Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions

Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)

Table Of Contents

Tank Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.8284557E-55.796445E-50.090732711565.31640.090682.0691741E-42.4839927E-40.112470515452.781220.112250.00251630880.00302073360.1434253347.4802970.140830.024880060.0298636160.183688456.1509110.15856
6.11.7796336E-52.0873378E-50.033770171617.85840.033757.626778E-58.945448E-50.04294562480.08350.042869.281647E-40.00108860240.0564582651.863070.055430.0092429750.0108366420.073678196.7989870.06353
6.21.7796336E-52.0873378E-50.033770171617.85840.033757.626778E-58.945448E-50.04294562480.08350.042869.281647E-40.00108860240.0564582651.863070.055430.0092429750.0108366420.073678196.7989870.06353
6.31.3515912E-51.5759651E-50.024715371568.26880.02475.792405E-56.7539746E-50.03162541468.248840.031567.049971E-48.2200987E-40.0415784850.5814860.040790.0070276470.0081921570.0546881076.67566630.04688
6.41.0870146E-51.2618114E-50.0187623821486.94020.018754.658551E-55.4076605E-50.023912786442.202060.023865.67031E-46.582015E-40.03165778548.0974040.031020.0056558630.0065643820.042069776.4087940.03574
6.57.964826E-69.196184E-60.0119290861297.1780.011923.4134522E-53.941168E-50.014988823380.31420.014954.1550855E-44.797421E-40.0198404541.356490.019370.00414732470.0047882090.027021245.6432870.02234
6.66.6317E-67.612378E-60.0087975461155.68950.008792.8421264E-53.262412E-50.010992266336.93680.010963.4597394E-43.9713533E-40.01457150436.6915320.014180.00345435790.00396525160.0203400635.1295770.01644
6.74.793663E-65.4308593E-60.004765405877.467960.004762.0544108E-52.3274928E-50.006003136257.922850.005982.500958E-42.833398E-40.00800115228.238720.007720.00249814520.00283031890.01185470454.18846940.00905
6.84.382823E-64.969325E-60.0043749474880.390750.004371.8783392E-52.1296957E-50.00551118258.77780.005492.286638E-42.5926388E-40.007297438628.1467630.007040.00228428650.00259012330.0108187554.17692660.00825
6.92.729601E-63.0735862E-60.0020530673667.971250.002051.1698237E-51.3172453E-50.0026131382198.379010.00261.4241673E-41.6036403E-40.003479831621.6995770.003320.0014232550.00160248080.0055561353.46720840.00396
7.01.8987357E-62.126971E-60.0010821247508.763240.001088.137413E-69.115562E-60.0012891039141.417920.001289.90685E-51.1097702E-40.001700800615.3257020.001599.902435E-40.00110928460.00299718812.70191070.00189
7.11.4928986E-61.6641525E-66.216631E-4373.561376.2E-46.398121E-67.132066E-67.571267E-4106.158127.5E-47.789434E-58.6830034E-50.001036747611.9399659.5E-47.786704E-48.6801895E-40.00201702072.3237060.00115
7.21.069082E-61.1828765E-62.8118255E-4237.710822.8E-44.581772E-65.0694644E-63.550677E-470.0404743.5E-45.5781646E-56.171951E-55.4168986E-48.7766394.8E-45.576765E-46.1707594E-40.00119671811.93933675.8E-4
7.38.776551E-79.770151E-71.7097685E-4174.999181.7E-43.7613736E-64.187204E-62.0418636E-448.764372.0E-44.579376E-55.0978535E-53.5096324E-46.88452963.0E-44.5784327E-45.097194E-48.6953596E-41.70591093.6E-4
7.47.55721E-78.5103835E-71.5085092E-4177.255131.5E-43.2388E-63.6473052E-61.8364665E-450.3513261.8E-43.9431678E-54.4405555E-53.1439358E-47.08005052.7E-43.942468E-44.4401767E-47.7387114E-41.74288373.3E-4
7.55.587665E-76.305732E-71.0063051E-4159.585771.0E-42.3947114E-62.7024564E-61.2270213E-445.4039271.2E-42.915522E-53.2902408E-52.2289615E-46.7744631.9E-42.9151395E-43.2902407E-45.589484E-41.6988072.3E-4

Garlock (Central)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.5131142E-57.02476E-50.129131181838.2290.129072.3625491E-43.0102677E-40.14865635493.831020.14840.00287260950.0036589060.1752288547.891050.17220.0283575910.0361366570.21493335.94779160.1855
6.15.5131142E-57.02476E-50.129131181838.2290.129072.3625491E-43.0102677E-40.14865635493.831020.14840.00287260950.0036589060.1752288547.891050.17220.0283575910.0361366570.21493335.94779160.1855
6.24.216245E-55.1661802E-50.0794875551538.61380.079441.806837E-42.213891E-40.09226101416.73690.092060.00219760460.0026921120.1104113441.0129050.108010.0217599890.0267013180.140411815.25860930.11683
6.34.216245E-55.1661802E-50.0794875551538.61380.079441.806837E-42.213891E-40.09226101416.73690.092060.00219760460.0026921120.1104113441.0129050.108010.0217599890.0267013180.140411815.25860930.11683
6.43.6858168E-54.411026E-50.06145141393.13170.061411.5795401E-41.8903041E-40.07183549380.020780.071660.00192139370.00229904130.0866746137.700330.084570.0190486550.0228660980.11259634.9241590.09183
6.53.39199E-54.0018425E-50.0551178161377.31090.055081.453629E-41.7149639E-40.064430475375.69580.064270.00176835650.00208599070.07796737637.3766630.076040.0175435080.0207587830.101604944.89455180.08256
6.63.3571985E-53.947258E-50.0550273021394.0640.054991.4387199E-41.6915736E-40.06431831380.227660.064160.00175023420.00205756720.0777614837.7929230.075860.0173651330.0204800420.101123924.9376810.08233
6.73.2580007E-53.808902E-50.052836081387.17350.05281.3962112E-41.6322857E-40.061823163378.75210.061670.00169856170.00198551780.07484057537.6932260.0730.0168563720.0197708740.097463834.92966750.07926
6.83.2185937E-53.7516216E-50.051855571382.21750.051821.3793244E-41.60774E-40.060661044377.306340.060510.00167803370.00195568750.07334579537.5038450.071530.0166541920.0194778780.095644844.91043420.07768
6.93.165394E-53.672075E-50.050734861381.640.05071.3565269E-41.5736527E-40.05938804377.389770.059240.00165032020.001914260.0718501337.5341530.070070.016381180.0190715180.093680944.9120860.07606
7.03.0903822E-53.562591E-50.0491838751380.56470.049151.3243823E-41.5267366E-40.05756391377.03890.057420.00161124280.00185723820.0695712437.4595150.067840.0159961040.0185134930.0908196054.905590.07367
7.13.0069863E-53.4392175E-50.0469827761366.08920.046951.2886449E-41.4738683E-40.055119283373.9770.054980.00156779590.00179297870.0667263437.215360.065050.015567810.017880990.087277524.8810230.07066
7.22.7957109E-53.128141E-50.0393400531257.61740.039311.1981068E-41.3405642E-40.046297867345.361050.046170.00145771880.00163093450.0562616934.4965970.054720.0144819370.0162843520.074697394.5870650.05938
7.32.4519275E-52.6714602E-50.0282159621056.20.028191.0507837E-41.1448621E-40.03336068291.394740.033250.00127857830.0013929930.0408579429.3310450.039520.0127124690.013928610.0564184264.05054240.04309
7.42.3225532E-52.5199166E-50.025784551023.23030.025769.95342E-51.0799204E-40.03030473280.620030.03020.00121115510.00131402440.03711691528.2467460.035850.0120457530.0131461960.0517124423.9336430.03908
7.52.097765E-52.2483406E-50.020492023911.42880.020478.9901114E-59.6353964E-50.024194032251.095340.02410.00109399650.001172490.02972896825.3554130.028590.0108862640.01174065750.0425348173.62286520.03116
7.61.511254E-51.5990969E-50.011145813697.00670.011136.476642E-56.8530964E-50.01320763192.724990.013147.882459E-48.34053E-40.01628115819.5205330.015460.0078545580.0083838670.0251520973.0000590.01691
7.79.934069E-61.0678523E-50.003340643312.837550.003334.2573887E-54.5764296E-50.004015582687.744870.003975.182138E-45.570383E-40.00517446459.2892450.004620.005170070.0056274190.0105992821.88350680.005
7.86.7562896E-68.42837E-60.002078411246.597030.002072.8955206E-53.6121084E-50.002516031569.655480.002483.5247262E-44.3968562E-40.00329842817.5017870.002860.00351914060.0044464160.0075425881.69632970.00311
7.93.975453E-65.3710532E-60.0011953646222.556850.001191.7037546E-52.3018596E-50.00144298662.687830.001422.0741238E-42.8021546E-40.00189976156.77964540.001620.0020721890.00283356690.00456863641.61232710.00174
8.01.6729537E-62.0775192E-64.3207663E-4207.97724.3E-47.169782E-68.903624E-65.1889906E-458.2795375.1E-48.7288594E-51.0839626E-46.883334E-46.3501585.8E-48.7254314E-40.0010968540.0017361521.5828476.4E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1489736E-79.031487E-5286.80739.0E-51.5742813E-61.3495595E-61.01349426E-475.098151.0E-41.9166706E-51.643078E-51.1642914E-47.0860381.0E-41.9165053E-41.662928E-42.6627615E-41.6012491.0E-4

Little Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.8424427E-53.1205716E-50.0586893741880.72520.058661.2181328E-41.3373268E-40.06772469506.418430.06760.00148206770.00162711250.0800792649.215560.078580.0147222230.0161653980.099919246.18105650.08513
6.12.8424427E-53.1205716E-50.0586893741880.72520.058661.2181328E-41.3373268E-40.06772469506.418430.06760.00148206770.00162711250.0800792649.215560.078580.0147222230.0161653980.099919246.18105650.08513
6.22.8424427E-53.1205716E-50.0586893741880.72520.058661.2181328E-41.3373268E-40.06772469506.418430.06760.00148206770.00162711250.0800792649.215560.078580.0147222230.0161653980.099919246.18105650.08513
6.31.48860645E-51.6081383E-50.0401954352499.5010.040186.379586E-56.8918554E-50.046255734671.165160.046197.7643775E-48.387886E-40.05418400564.597930.053390.0077373050.0083590450.065408157.82483530.05753
6.41.48860645E-51.6081383E-50.0401954352499.5010.040186.379586E-56.8918554E-50.046255734671.165160.046197.7643775E-48.387886E-40.05418400564.597930.053390.0077373050.0083590450.065408157.82483530.05753
6.51.2797581E-51.376556E-50.0372532532706.26510.037245.4845623E-55.8994065E-50.04285647726.45390.04286.675408E-47.1804173E-40.0501525269.8462450.049470.0066553920.0071597670.0599887978.3785950.05321
6.69.661896E-61.0289033E-50.0326199533170.36160.032614.1407468E-54.40952E-50.037522443850.941650.037485.040193E-45.36743E-40.04362360481.274650.043110.0050287770.00535607150.051427989.60180950.04632
6.77.767871E-68.199681E-60.0287079643501.10740.02873.329045E-53.5141096E-50.032913987936.62380.032884.0523586E-44.2777258E-40.03805167288.953040.037640.0040449770.0042708430.04448834410.4167590.04039
6.86.4235196E-66.735739E-60.0223365853316.130.022332.752908E-52.8867207E-50.025658127888.833070.025633.35115E-43.5141438E-40.02966111284.4049450.029320.0033461010.00350984720.034889329.9404110.03149
6.93.1283696E-63.1121751E-60.0141030684531.57960.01411.3407229E-51.33378335E-50.0161731221212.5750.016161.6322079E-41.6237753E-40.01855939114.297770.01840.00163100950.00162273720.021210913.0710620.01962
7.02.290603E-62.2286763E-60.0087722093936.06270.008779.816834E-69.551441E-60.0100994551057.37510.010091.19513395E-41.1628362E-40.01145496598.508840.011340.00119449140.00116232990.01318833511.3464650.01204
7.11.293693E-61.1776774E-60.0039611733363.54660.003965.5443866E-65.047183E-60.004625024916.35750.004626.750081E-56.1448416E-50.005281127585.944080.005226.7480316E-46.1438273E-40.00613099159.9791070.00552
7.24.715842E-73.091732E-72.003091E-4647.88642.0E-42.0210737E-61.3250274E-62.2132474E-4167.034092.2E-42.4606294E-51.6132095E-52.9612757E-418.3564242.8E-42.460357E-41.6130977E-44.7125976E-42.92145823.1E-4
7.33.9430947E-72.3096938E-71.2023094E-4520.549261.2E-41.6898966E-69.898685E-71.3098973E-4132.330461.3E-42.0574296E-51.2051582E-52.020493E-416.7653751.9E-42.0572392E-41.2050936E-43.4048286E-42.82536442.2E-4
7.43.547123E-71.9678579E-71.0019677E-4509.16671.0E-41.5201948E-68.433674E-71.1084328E-4131.42941.1E-41.8508214E-51.02679505E-51.802662E-417.5562021.7E-41.8506673E-41.0267482E-43.0265428E-42.94769722.0E-4
7.52.6354266E-71.4422719E-79.014421E-5625.01549.0E-51.129468E-66.1811636E-71.00618054E-4162.781741.0E-41.3751187E-57.525541E-61.5752441E-420.931971.5E-41.3750336E-47.5252916E-52.5523937E-43.3917541.8E-4
7.61.269913E-77.572344E-83.0075722E-5397.178473.0E-55.4424834E-73.24529E-74.0324518E-5124.255514.0E-56.6262032E-63.9511337E-67.3950854E-518.7163647.0E-56.626006E-53.9510673E-51.3950672E-43.53086191.0E-4

Owl Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.0320643E-56.6358676E-50.0371639560.04580.03712.1564208E-42.843643E-40.045781422160.995670.045510.00262228120.0034575470.0596725117.2586250.056410.025915530.0341412950.094652342.7723710.06265
6.15.0320643E-56.6358676E-50.0371639560.04580.03712.1564208E-42.843643E-40.045781422160.995670.045510.00262228120.0034575470.0596725117.2586250.056410.025915530.0341412950.094652342.7723710.06265
6.22.4125871E-53.0980515E-50.02815011908.639160.028121.0339249E-41.3276804E-40.033978272255.922090.033850.00125807660.00161542520.0434976626.9264450.041950.0125097810.0160707550.061912023.85246470.04659
6.31.7433485E-52.2355545E-50.0246818051104.05740.024667.471279E-59.580685E-50.029343005306.272520.029259.0924866E-40.0011659620.0370440831.7712610.035920.0090553730.01162914650.050659914.3562880.03949
6.41.7433485E-52.2355545E-50.0246818051104.05740.024667.471279E-59.580685E-50.029343005306.272520.029259.0924866E-40.0011659620.0370440831.7712610.035920.0090553730.01162914650.050659914.3562880.03949
6.51.5182742E-51.9429277E-50.0233289771200.71250.023316.506727E-58.3266525E-50.027650971332.077880.027577.919061E-40.00101343440.0346992634.2392770.033720.00789090.0101186780.0466749974.61275630.03693
6.66.7271576E-68.547518E-60.0180083942106.85640.0182.8830356E-53.6631736E-50.020745873566.336060.020713.5095305E-44.4590578E-40.02496496855.987090.024530.00350399320.00446801870.0306704216.86443420.02632
6.76.682835E-68.479961E-60.0179783272120.09550.017972.8640408E-53.6342215E-50.02071559570.01450.020683.4864116E-44.423823E-40.02493154456.3574640.02450.0034809470.00443293250.0305964356.9020760.02628
6.86.5774975E-68.326427E-60.0179381782154.36670.017932.8188972E-53.5684232E-50.020644948578.54540.020613.4314668E-44.3437455E-40.02484376757.1943440.024420.00342617280.00435310560.0304191416.98791740.02618
6.96.363419E-67.999591E-60.0178478572231.09640.017842.727151E-53.428354E-50.02053358598.93410.02053.3198006E-44.1732774E-40.02464721259.0596050.024240.00331484550.00418306470.0300543897.18477730.02598
7.06.1342453E-67.631779E-60.0176874982317.6110.017682.6289357E-53.2707245E-50.020332044621.637270.02033.2002592E-43.9814346E-40.02434860461.1553540.023960.00319565440.0039917390.029579197.41010140.02569
7.15.842926E-67.142312E-60.0167970232351.76270.016792.504087E-53.060958E-50.01931002630.84890.019283.0482994E-43.7261334E-40.02316411862.1666370.02280.00304412140.00373715950.0280858247.5152860.02444
7.24.77173E-65.358478E-60.01098532050.07810.010982.045011E-52.2964727E-50.012612675549.21950.012592.4895166E-42.7956374E-40.01513540954.1393850.014860.00248672930.00280862120.0185243586.59553430.01576
7.33.0494948E-62.710356E-60.00288270251063.58810.002881.3069198E-51.1615762E-50.0033715768290.25880.003361.5910587E-41.4141288E-40.00417084329.4940810.004030.00158991990.00142310890.00567704633.98918630.00426
7.42.7263884E-62.3055634E-60.001952301846.77830.001951.1684469E-59.880949E-60.0021998594222.636440.002191.4224913E-41.2029401E-40.0027299822.6942310.002610.00142158110.00121105780.00395772753.26799230.00275
7.52.6090431E-62.1655019E-60.0016721619772.18220.001671.1181565E-59.2806895E-60.0018692635201.414280.001861.3612706E-41.1298663E-40.002332735820.6461220.002220.0013604370.00113781260.003475153.05423760.00234
7.62.3008756E-61.8726826E-60.0011618705620.43110.001169.860858E-68.025758E-60.0013580149169.207060.001351.20049335E-49.770931E-50.00170755217.4758380.001610.0011998459.848307E-40.00268315642.72448520.0017
7.71.7184348E-61.341808E-67.713408E-4574.85187.7E-47.3646997E-65.750593E-69.1574533E-4159.243649.1E-48.966153E-57.0011265E-50.001069941215.2824150.0018.962536E-47.0769014E-40.00175694712.482650.00105
7.88.4612907E-78.4054994E-72.7084033E-4322.2182.7E-43.6262625E-63.602352E-63.1360122E-487.054573.1E-44.4148852E-54.3857777E-53.738433E-48.5239923.3E-44.414008E-44.4386165E-48.23693E-41.85574263.8E-4
7.92.716738E-73.7681625E-77.037679E-5186.766867.0E-51.1643157E-61.6149258E-61.01614765E-462.922251.0E-41.4175452E-51.9661555E-51.296594E-46.59456441.1E-41.4174548E-41.9829652E-43.2827075E-41.65545391.3E-4
8.02.1995428E-83.3853325E-83.3853325E-81.00.09.426611E-81.4508568E-71.4508568E-71.00.01.1476893E-61.7664173E-61.1766399E-56.6611661.0E-51.14768345E-51.7869768E-53.7869413E-52.11918852.0E-5

Airport Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.0520024233968.6940.051995.3086325E-55.615534E-50.058752861046.2560.05876.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0670281398.0652850.066390.00644258880.00681683930.07730304411.34001350.07097
6.11.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.0520024233968.6940.051995.3086325E-55.615534E-50.058752861046.2560.05876.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0670281398.0652850.066390.00644258880.00681683930.07730304411.34001350.07097
6.21.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.0520024233968.6940.051995.3086325E-55.615534E-50.058752861046.2560.05876.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0670281398.0652850.066390.00644258880.00681683930.07730304411.34001350.07097
6.31.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.0520024233968.6940.051995.3086325E-55.615534E-50.058752861046.2560.05876.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0670281398.0652850.066390.00644258880.00681683930.07730304411.34001350.07097
6.41.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.0520024233968.6940.051995.3086325E-55.615534E-50.058752861046.2560.05876.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0670281398.0652850.066390.00644258880.00681683930.07730304411.34001350.07097
6.56.9922594E-67.384925E-60.0393670955330.7370.039362.996648E-53.1649324E-50.0446002371409.20030.044573.6478083E-43.8526783E-40.05086581132.027150.05050.0036418260.00384653660.057618914.97942350.05398
6.66.9922594E-67.384925E-60.0393670955330.7370.039362.996648E-53.1649324E-50.0446002371409.20030.044573.6478083E-43.8526783E-40.05086581132.027150.05050.0036418260.00384653660.057618914.97942350.05398
6.75.477277E-65.7860684E-60.0336155935809.74660.033612.3473833E-52.4797222E-50.0381238541537.42430.03812.8575645E-43.0186825E-40.04350882144.131820.043220.00285389270.0030149660.04917537416.3104250.0463
6.83.9950432E-64.2190873E-60.0253541126009.38330.025351.7121502E-51.8081691E-50.028897561598.16670.028882.0843433E-42.2012512E-40.03295292149.700850.032740.00208238930.00219934180.03717225416.9015370.03505
6.92.95695E-63.1230243E-60.0184230665899.11040.018421.2672582E-51.3384334E-50.0209731031566.9890.020961.5427776E-41.6294434E-40.023919072146.79290.023760.0015417070.00162847120.0269671416.559790.02538
7.01.456072E-61.540812E-60.00822152855335.84130.008226.2402937E-66.603469E-60.0094865411436.59960.009487.597293E-58.039528E-50.010709541133.211070.010637.594696E-48.0376083E-40.01206470315.0103140.01127
7.16.995192E-77.4089746E-70.00365073824927.4540.003652.997936E-63.1752747E-60.00429316141352.05990.004293.649926E-53.865897E-50.0048684725125.933830.004833.6493264E-43.865897E-40.005484618214.1871810.0051

Panamint Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0211835E-53.3984263E-50.02986297878.729430.029831.2947287E-41.4563887E-40.03687029253.162430.036730.00157519230.00177174060.04753052426.827020.045840.0156407360.0175830030.068639213.90372540.05197
6.13.0211835E-53.3984263E-50.02986297878.729430.029831.2947287E-41.4563887E-40.03687029253.162430.036730.00157519230.00177174060.04753052426.827020.045840.0156407360.0175830030.068639213.90372540.05197
6.23.0211835E-53.3984263E-50.02986297878.729430.029831.2947287E-41.4563887E-40.03687029253.162430.036730.00157519230.00177174060.04753052426.827020.045840.0156407360.0175830030.068639213.90372540.05197
6.32.8573924E-53.2102445E-50.02849119887.50840.028461.2245393E-41.375748E-40.035082765255.008670.034950.0014898570.00167371410.0450809426.9346710.043480.014799080.0166180380.06502013.9126220.04922
6.42.8573924E-53.2102445E-50.02849119887.50840.028461.2245393E-41.375748E-40.035082765255.008670.034950.0014898570.00167371410.0450809426.9346710.043480.014799080.0166180380.06502013.9126220.04922
6.52.7468774E-53.0828138E-50.02785997903.71880.027831.1771801E-41.3211406E-40.034207612258.924840.034080.00143227450.00160732920.04372951827.2063220.042190.0142307820.0159638820.0629024063.9402950.0477
6.62.6135967E-52.9252153E-50.026828468917.145140.02681.1200648E-41.2536049E-40.032871254262.213840.032750.00136282570.00152522190.0418735927.4540960.040410.0135449820.0151543430.0601026973.96603780.04564
6.72.4498746E-52.7341044E-50.025526645933.63820.02551.04990395E-41.17170785E-40.031163532265.966740.031050.00127750840.00142564590.03948131627.6936340.038110.0127018930.0141715930.0564439153.98289160.04288
6.82.2244329E-52.4935374E-50.023624348947.4230.02369.532935E-51.0686163E-40.02866381268.232940.028560.00116001690.00130028570.0360350627.7131880.034780.0115398020.0129329550.0514581843.97884180.03903
6.91.9902658E-52.2290182E-50.021181818950.27570.021168.529431E-59.552596E-50.025573092267.70830.025480.00103796350.00116242650.03186669227.4139420.030740.0103312880.0115690210.0455216243.9347860.03435
7.01.8353881E-52.056605E-50.019680161956.92470.019667.865712E-58.813734E-50.02366606268.513430.023589.5722964E-40.00107256160.0291923727.217430.028150.0095311680.010679390.0416748043.90235830.03133
7.11.7667631E-51.9772435E-50.018919399956.85730.01897.571623E-58.4736355E-50.022792812268.985050.022719.2145515E-40.00103119450.0280832727.233730.027080.0091764370.01026959250.040090173.9037740.03013
7.21.6381597E-51.8158042E-50.01700785936.656560.016997.020495E-57.781795E-50.020576222264.414860.02058.544101E-49.470391E-40.02542383626.8456040.02450.0085113250.0094352690.0363489133.8524510.02717
7.31.4520491E-51.596657E-50.014405737902.243650.014396.222919E-56.842646E-50.01740724254.393420.017347.57377E-48.327899E-40.02154552625.8715020.020730.00754800950.0083003990.0310995733.7467560.02299
7.41.2852287E-51.41454875E-50.01381395976.56230.01385.5080065E-56.06222E-50.016639616274.48060.016586.7039346E-47.378411E-40.02052323127.8152450.01980.00668374640.0073574290.0291657863.96412750.02197
7.51.1637851E-51.2836868E-50.0135426631054.98190.013534.987555E-55.5014076E-50.016284121295.999180.016236.070656E-46.696062E-40.0200066529.8782310.019350.0060540990.00667938450.0279861114.1899240.02145
7.63.0068115E-63.3330623E-60.0059733131792.13960.005971.2886271E-51.4284516E-50.007074184495.23440.007061.5687906E-41.7390738E-40.0085524549.178190.008380.00156768350.00173979730.01101363456.33041240.00929

Garlock (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5092507E-56.2904815E-50.024951339396.652280.024891.9323928E-42.6956675E-40.031441163116.635910.031180.00235014970.0032774820.0426480213.0124350.03950.0232545040.032353770.0755011142.3336110.04459
6.14.5092507E-56.2904815E-50.024951339396.652280.024891.9323928E-42.6956675E-40.031441163116.635910.031180.00235014970.0032774820.0426480213.0124350.03950.0232545040.032353770.0755011142.3336110.04459
6.22.6674514E-53.4511588E-50.017533908508.058560.01751.1431433E-41.4789861E-40.021714708146.82160.021570.00139088840.00179921140.02856097415.8741630.026810.013822150.0178727880.0472187472.64193530.02988
6.32.6674514E-53.4511588E-50.017533908508.058560.01751.1431433E-41.4789861E-40.021714708146.82160.021570.00139088840.00179921140.02856097415.8741630.026810.013822150.0178727880.0472187472.64193530.02988
6.42.5312667E-53.2340467E-50.017251784533.442570.017221.0847834E-41.3859481E-40.021315658153.79840.021180.00131992370.00168611520.02791182116.5539230.026270.0131211120.0167722870.0455316982.71469830.02925
6.52.5312667E-53.2340467E-50.017251784533.442570.017221.0847834E-41.3859481E-40.021315658153.79840.021180.00131992370.00168611520.02791182116.5539230.026270.0131211120.0167722870.0455316982.71469830.02925
6.62.246556E-52.8134691E-50.016347675581.05050.016329.627742E-51.2057181E-40.019938182165.363540.019820.00117154720.00146699690.025901117.6558670.024470.0116539010.0146131690.041445252.83615780.02723
6.72.2241198E-52.7804432E-50.016247353584.344060.016229.531594E-51.1915654E-40.019836808166.476870.019720.00115985380.00144978890.02574451617.7574230.024330.0115381870.0144428290.0411317162.8478990.02708
6.81.9528685E-52.3898969E-50.015223536636.995540.01528.369167E-51.0242024E-40.01846054180.243090.018360.00101846980.00124627280.0236483218.9752350.022430.0101381470.0124367230.037027052.9772350.0249
6.91.3318621E-51.5198818E-50.013424995883.292050.013415.7078556E-56.51362E-50.016014097245.855580.015956.9470983E-47.927504E-40.0200274925.2632980.019250.00692542040.0079407210.0290418213.65732810.02127
7.01.1760853E-51.3107653E-50.012892939983.61920.012885.0402683E-55.6174475E-50.015295318272.282350.015246.134799E-46.8371464E-40.01905114827.8641820.018380.00611789060.0068574010.0268791563.91972920.02016
7.11.0064758E-51.0902761E-50.012120771111.71580.012114.3133965E-54.67253E-50.014226063304.461670.014185.2502943E-45.6873553E-40.0175890530.9265880.017030.0052379070.00571334730.0242269654.2404150.01862
7.29.768808E-61.0498628E-50.0117603751120.1820.011754.186565E-54.499337E-50.013804374306.809080.013765.095951E-45.4766005E-40.01706860831.1664280.016530.00508428040.0055035840.0234144654.2544030.01801
7.39.344516E-69.9442705E-60.0109198351098.10330.010914.004731E-54.2617627E-50.012732076298.751430.012694.8746695E-45.187495E-40.0157008730.2667640.015190.00486399050.0052152690.0216889054.15873150.01656
7.49.023491E-69.490441E-60.0099293961046.25230.009923.867153E-54.0672705E-50.011490207282.504120.011454.7072413E-44.95081E-40.01419829428.6787280.013710.0046972830.00497872660.0197846423.9738360.01488
7.57.081253E-67.0873994E-60.005007052706.47240.0053.0347876E-53.0374218E-50.0058601974192.933260.005833.6942272E-43.697441E-40.007347163319.8709410.006980.0036880920.00372447450.011156692.9955070.00746
7.66.116396E-65.9589424E-60.0030959405519.54530.003092.6212863E-52.5538076E-50.0036554453143.137070.003633.1909486E-43.1088197E-40.00450957614.505750.00420.00318637070.00313591260.00766167562.44320440.00454
7.74.797145E-64.7571157E-60.0018547483389.889280.001852.055903E-52.0387479E-50.0022103428108.416680.002192.5027743E-42.481894E-40.002847544211.4732690.00260.00249995760.00250940650.0053522552.13287660.00285
7.83.4028885E-63.978375E-60.0012139735305.14310.001211.4583726E-51.7050066E-50.001447025784.869210.001431.775424E-42.0756487E-40.00186722038.995840.001660.00177400620.00210121410.0038774741.84534930.00178
7.92.5928412E-63.372436E-68.333696E-4247.112088.3E-41.1112129E-51.4453217E-59.744393E-467.420249.6E-41.3528178E-41.7595377E-40.00127576027.2505420.00110.00135199450.00178124260.0029691231.6668830.00119
8.01.3743648E-61.6734741E-63.5167288E-4210.14543.5E-45.8901214E-67.1720124E-64.27169E-459.560554.2E-47.1709874E-58.731578E-55.672739E-46.4968084.8E-47.1686733E-48.837377E-40.00140327821.58788995.2E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1489736E-79.031487E-5286.80739.0E-51.5742813E-61.3495595E-61.01349426E-475.098151.0E-41.9166706E-51.643078E-51.1642914E-47.0860381.0E-41.9165053E-41.662928E-42.6627615E-41.6012491.0E-4

Ash Hill

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1545662E-52.3194447E-50.010932941471.36030.010919.2335285E-59.940143E-50.014477972145.651540.014380.00112360230.00120962060.02073597217.1425420.019550.0111793810.0120383480.0340995342.83257560.02233
6.12.1545662E-52.3194447E-50.010932941471.36030.010919.2335285E-59.940143E-50.014477972145.651540.014380.00112360230.00120962060.02073597217.1425420.019550.0111793810.0120383480.0340995342.83257560.02233
6.22.1545662E-52.3194447E-50.010932941471.36030.010919.2335285E-59.940143E-50.014477972145.651540.014380.00112360230.00120962060.02073597217.1425420.019550.0111793810.0120383480.0340995342.83257560.02233
6.31.0025529E-51.0746934E-50.004650697432.74640.004644.2965847E-54.605755E-50.0062957695136.693540.006255.229836E-45.6061964E-40.00898589416.0285030.008430.0052175450.00559336650.0152490552.7262750.00971
6.41.0025529E-51.0746934E-50.004650697432.74640.004644.2965847E-54.605755E-50.0062957695136.693540.006255.229836E-45.6061964E-40.00898589416.0285030.008430.0052175450.00559336650.0152490552.7262750.00971
6.56.9617327E-67.456634E-60.002917435391.25360.002912.9835655E-53.195666E-50.004061828127.104260.004033.6318856E-43.8901155E-40.005936852715.2613780.005550.00362595570.00388416020.01041868052.68235060.00656
6.64.9919777E-65.3466883E-60.001995336373.1910.001992.1394015E-52.2914215E-50.0028528494124.501290.002832.60441E-42.7895154E-40.004177863714.9770220.00390.00260135970.00278667270.00740377052.65684960.00463
6.73.6630722E-63.924624E-60.0015339187390.844760.001531.5698786E-51.681974E-50.0022767817135.363680.002261.9111596E-42.0476682E-40.003184156715.55015850.002980.00190951680.00204634460.00554916172.71174360.00351
6.82.5599613E-62.744925E-60.001062742387.166140.001061.0971216E-51.1763939E-50.001621745137.85730.001611.3356637E-41.4322149E-40.002262917815.8001270.002120.00133486130.00143177690.00397812582.77845380.00255
6.91.7684905E-61.8968707E-66.4189563E-4338.397166.4E-47.579223E-68.129446E-60.0010781208132.619220.001079.2273134E-59.8976E-50.001578829515.9516390.001489.223483E-49.8976E-40.00278797842.81682250.0018

Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5103672E-55.456906E-50.014473782265.237880.014421.9328714E-42.3384714E-40.01756979275.133670.017340.0023507310.00284354620.0236143158.304530.020830.0232601950.0280926250.050621441.80194760.02318
6.14.5103672E-55.456906E-50.014473782265.237880.014421.9328714E-42.3384714E-40.01756979275.133670.017340.0023507310.00284354620.0236143158.304530.020830.0232601950.0280926250.050621441.80194760.02318
6.23.9363465E-54.706271E-50.01433639304.623140.014291.6868966E-42.016826E-40.01737821886.166170.017180.0020518620.00245285340.0230522039.3981170.020650.0203301960.0242741870.046686611.92330270.02297
6.33.9363465E-54.706271E-50.01433639304.623140.014291.6868966E-42.016826E-40.01737821886.166170.017180.0020518620.00245285340.0230522039.3981170.020650.0203301960.0242741870.046686611.92330270.02297
6.43.2311684E-53.795112E-50.014237412375.151340.01421.384713E-41.6263791E-40.017229863105.940010.017070.00168458430.0019783870.0224178711.33138750.020480.0167187140.0196171180.041950242.13845060.02278
6.53.2311684E-53.795112E-50.014237412375.151340.01421.384713E-41.6263791E-40.017229863105.940010.017070.00168458430.0019783870.0224178711.33138750.020480.0167187140.0196171180.041950242.13845060.02278
6.62.9305844E-53.418196E-50.014183698414.946870.014151.2559042E-41.4648624E-40.017153995117.10310.017010.00152799090.00178207270.022155712.4325470.020410.0151752720.0176863240.040004492.26188830.02272
6.72.7826512E-53.2344353E-50.014131889436.91980.01411.19251024E-41.3861163E-40.01709626123.3392940.016960.00145091420.00168635060.02200203413.047130.020350.0144147760.0167438180.039004742.3295010.02264
6.82.3389874E-52.6866792E-50.014036491522.44760.014011.0023846E-41.1513857E-40.0169532147.24170.016840.001219720.0014009580.02155268815.3842490.020180.012130470.0139280670.03603582.58727930.02242
6.92.069209E-52.357011E-50.013993241593.685850.013978.867737E-51.0101105E-40.016899314167.301640.01680.00107911230.00122915190.02130444517.332640.02010.0107388710.0122291580.0342959582.80444170.02234
7.01.7462342E-51.9633622E-50.01393936709.973940.013927.483646E-58.414151E-50.016812734199.814970.016739.1075303E-40.00102396410.02100348520.5119340.020.0090702950.0101966880.0321901183.1569190.02222
7.11.4807709E-51.6441827E-50.013896214845.174560.013886.3460066E-57.046316E-50.016749287237.702760.016687.723524E-48.575678E-40.02077047724.2202150.019930.0076967350.0085461680.0304969553.56849480.02214
7.21.4180048E-51.5698413E-50.013895481885.15190.013886.077022E-56.727727E-50.016736155248.76390.016677.396263E-48.1880915E-40.02071250625.295890.019910.00737169430.0081614690.0301009383.68817620.02212
7.31.3730402E-51.5172151E-50.013834963911.86560.013825.8843252E-56.502197E-50.016673941256.43550.016617.161811E-47.9137104E-40.0206156726.0505730.019840.0071387740.0078890580.0297551833.7717030.02204
7.41.2810095E-51.4109353E-50.013743916974.09960.013735.489925E-56.0467344E-50.01656947274.023440.016516.681934E-47.3595706E-40.02045143627.7888980.019730.0066618780.00733868960.0290779713.9622840.0219
7.51.1595659E-51.2800734E-50.0134726291052.48880.013464.9694736E-55.485922E-50.016213972295.5560.016166.0486543E-46.67722E-40.01993484829.8550110.019280.0060322170.0066606320.0278982284.18852570.02138
7.62.997694E-63.3251877E-60.00595330541790.36680.005951.28471975E-51.4250767E-50.0070541506495.001460.007041.564034E-41.7349655E-40.00853204649.1770360.008360.00156293370.00173569550.0109896056.33152870.00927

Blackwater

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0708583E-53.3095846E-50.010982733331.846250.010951.3160157E-41.4183241E-40.01385988797.720170.013720.00160107140.00172557840.02006387911.6273360.018370.0158958510.0171356330.037982192.21656160.02121
6.13.0708583E-53.3095846E-50.010982733331.846250.010951.3160157E-41.4183241E-40.01385988797.720170.013720.00160107140.00172557840.02006387911.6273360.018370.0158958510.0171356330.037982192.21656160.02121
6.21.1707779E-51.2545122E-50.004082494325.42480.004075.017523E-55.3763757E-50.005083493494.552420.005036.107122E-46.5438676E-40.00748991111.4456940.006840.0060903660.00652556960.01444356052.21337940.00797
6.31.1707779E-51.2545122E-50.004082494325.42480.004075.017523E-55.3763757E-50.005083493494.552420.005036.107122E-46.5438676E-40.00748991111.4456940.006840.0060903660.00652556960.01444356052.21337940.00797
6.47.929244E-68.480098E-60.0026484577312.31450.002643.3982033E-53.6342793E-50.00322622788.772120.003194.136527E-44.423877E-40.00484044110.9416270.00440.00412883560.00441547580.0095128692.15443780.00512
6.55.8832115E-66.285991E-60.0019262739306.439180.001922.521352E-52.6939697E-50.00231687886.002380.002293.0693135E-43.27944E-40.00340693410.3887670.003080.00306507780.00327485380.00688299862.10177280.00362
6.65.8832115E-66.285991E-60.0019262739306.439180.001922.521352E-52.6939697E-50.00231687886.002380.002293.0693135E-43.27944E-40.00340693410.3887670.003080.00306507780.00327485380.00688299862.10177280.00362
6.73.0715053E-63.2814662E-68.932786E-4272.219338.9E-41.3163528E-51.4063357E-50.001074048576.372120.001061.6025416E-41.7120909E-40.00167095239.7597170.00150.00160138650.00171088640.00342794372.00360680.00172
6.82.2722281E-62.4287538E-66.824271E-4280.97836.8E-49.738084E-61.0408908E-57.904008E-475.9350367.8E-41.1855473E-41.26722E-40.00121658399.6004150.001090.0011849150.00126658760.00252499181.9935390.00126
6.99.952399E-71.0653489E-62.2106511E-4207.50492.2E-44.265307E-64.5657757E-62.3456472E-451.374562.3E-45.1928873E-55.5587418E-54.0556796E-47.2960393.5E-45.191674E-45.557858E-49.355745E-41.68333673.8E-4
7.04.7385504E-75.0755597E-79.050751E-5178.320279.0E-52.0308057E-62.1752398E-61.0217502E-446.9718441.0E-42.4724779E-52.6483543E-51.564801E-45.90857841.3E-42.4722028E-42.6483546E-43.9480103E-41.49074091.3E-4

McLean Lake

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7360222E-51.8501627E-50.006918374373.933260.00697.439883E-57.9290556E-50.009788521123.451290.009719.0542925E-49.6498354E-40.0148515715.3904910.01390.0090174910.00961277450.0260631072.7112990.01661
6.19.062689E-69.592193E-60.0035295584367.961550.003523.8839516E-54.1108804E-50.005100901124.082930.005064.727685E-45.003936E-40.00798664515.9607270.007490.00471763960.0049935520.0138789592.77937630.00893
6.29.062689E-69.592193E-60.0035295584367.961550.003523.8839516E-54.1108804E-50.005100901124.082930.005064.727685E-45.003936E-40.00798664515.9607270.007490.00471763960.0049935520.0138789592.77937630.00893
6.37.2575485E-67.66771E-60.0028576457372.685730.002853.110341E-53.2861237E-50.0040727286123.937160.004043.786182E-44.0001926E-40.006367631315.9183120.005970.00377973750.00399369650.0111350622.78815910.00717
6.47.2575485E-67.66771E-60.0028576457372.685730.002853.110341E-53.2861237E-50.0040727286123.937160.004043.786182E-44.0001926E-40.006367631315.9183120.005970.00377973750.00399369650.0111350622.78815910.00717
6.56.06582E-66.4038773E-60.0023963887374.2090.002392.5996113E-52.7444936E-50.0034273516124.881030.00343.164567E-43.3409733E-40.005362416616.0504630.005030.00316006430.00333658930.0093863362.8131530.00607
6.65.598744E-65.910262E-60.0021658975366.463870.002162.3994397E-52.5329486E-50.0031052516122.594340.003082.9209262E-43.0834923E-40.004926924615.9783910.004620.00291708970.0030798430.0086027812.7932530.00554
6.75.246996E-65.539162E-60.0020655277372.895360.002062.2486933E-52.3739085E-50.0029136704122.737270.002892.73744E-42.8899137E-40.004667725416.1517810.004380.00273407040.00288677960.0081216242.81338550.00525
6.84.02324E-64.2469046E-60.00163424384.807340.001631.7242342E-51.8200926E-50.0022781598125.167250.002262.099053E-42.2157968E-40.003580835216.1604840.003360.00209707140.0022141720.0062252712.8115570.00402
6.96.835972E-77.1399285E-72.4071382E-4337.13762.4E-42.9296991E-63.0599674E-63.530589E-4115.379953.5E-43.56685E-53.7254784E-55.872343E-415.7626545.5E-43.5662777E-43.7251666E-40.00104226712.79790746.7E-4

Goldstone Lake

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.671352E-53.0376103E-50.005400213177.778340.005371.1448149E-41.3017791E-40.007599205758.3755380.007470.0013929210.00158396010.0128460938.1101110.011280.0138422220.0157462020.0293190611.86197670.01379
6.12.671352E-53.0376103E-50.005400213177.778340.005371.1448149E-41.3017791E-40.007599205758.3755380.007470.0013929210.00158396010.0128460938.1101110.011280.0138422220.0157462020.0293190611.86197670.01379
6.21.4197047E-51.6096254E-50.0028060514174.329450.002796.0843064E-56.898268E-50.00391871756.8072620.003857.4051257E-48.3963916E-40.0066847277.96142860.005850.0073804980.0083743640.0156231481.86559210.00731
6.31.4197047E-51.6096254E-50.0028060514174.329450.002796.0843064E-56.898268E-50.00391871756.8072620.003857.4051257E-48.3963916E-40.0066847277.96142860.005850.0073804980.0083743640.0156231481.86559210.00731
6.41.3238931E-51.500847E-50.002634969175.565480.002625.6737044E-56.432098E-50.003644090656.6547780.003586.9055456E-47.8292453E-40.00621866537.9428670.005440.0068841260.0078112890.0145581721.8637350.0068
6.51.3238931E-51.500847E-50.002634969175.565480.002625.6737044E-56.432098E-50.003644090656.6547780.003586.9055456E-47.8292453E-40.00621866537.9428670.005440.0068841260.0078112890.0145581721.8637350.0068
6.61.1328278E-51.2855176E-50.0022328265173.690870.002224.8548856E-55.5092984E-50.003074926655.8133960.003025.90922E-46.706464E-40.0052275887.7948510.004560.00589353130.00669561370.0123574481.84560360.0057
6.78.651175E-69.824575E-60.0016598083168.944550.001653.707594E-54.2105148E-50.002212013852.535470.002174.5130608E-45.126002E-40.00380091377.4149680.003290.00450390620.00512305650.0092121.79814550.00411
6.81.0215377E-61.1754802E-66.117541E-552.042916.0E-54.378012E-65.037763E-68.503736E-516.8799848.0E-55.3300988E-56.133315E-52.0132457E-43.28247551.4E-45.3288206E-46.131735E-47.730754E-41.26077761.6E-4
6.97.9360774E-79.283496E-73.092832E-533.3153843.0E-53.4011714E-63.9786355E-64.3978478E-511.05365854.0E-54.1408475E-54.843888E-51.28435E-42.6514868.0E-54.140076E-44.842902E-45.842418E-41.20638781.0E-4
7.07.4382757E-78.747428E-73.0874715E-535.2957653.0E-53.1878285E-63.7488926E-64.3748743E-511.6697774.0E-53.8811122E-54.564188E-51.15638686E-42.53360927.0E-53.8804344E-44.563317E-45.4629066E-41.1971359.0E-5
7.16.4709513E-77.711399E-72.0771124E-526.935612.0E-52.773262E-63.3048816E-63.3304783E-510.0774513.0E-53.376394E-54.023625E-59.0234236E-52.24261055.0E-53.375881E-44.022956E-44.6227148E-41.14908416.0E-5
7.26.356704E-77.588459E-72.0758831E-527.3557932.0E-52.7242988E-63.252193E-63.3252094E-510.2245153.0E-53.3167835E-53.959479E-58.959281E-52.26274235.0E-53.3162883E-43.9588328E-44.5585955E-41.15149996.0E-5
7.35.7695723E-76.896648E-72.0689651E-529.9995752.0E-52.4726714E-62.9557032E-63.2955613E-511.1498383.0E-53.0104358E-53.598515E-57.598371E-52.11152964.0E-53.0100282E-43.5979896E-44.0978097E-41.13891655.0E-5
7.45.209647E-76.193583E-72.0619345E-533.2914662.0E-52.232704E-62.6543903E-63.2654312E-512.3020013.0E-52.718283E-53.2316777E-57.231549E-52.23770714.0E-52.7179506E-43.2312635E-43.7311018E-41.15468825.0E-5
7.54.512955E-75.3489487E-72.0534884E-538.3905032.0E-51.934122E-62.2924048E-62.2292359E-59.72444252.0E-52.3547682E-52.7909726E-54.790917E-51.71657612.0E-52.3545188E-42.7906752E-43.0905916E-41.10747093.0E-5
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.0260397E-577.804312.0E-59.478797E-71.1160082E-62.1115986E-518.9209962.0E-51.1540374E-51.3587343E-53.358707E-52.47193812.0E-51.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.6586386E-41.22077263.0E-5

Garlock (West)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.5181727E-52.5197181E-50.00902497358.17380.0091.0791722E-41.0798347E-40.01068684198.967380.010580.00131310020.00131390930.01395727510.6227080.012660.0130536830.0131417940.026533462.01901340.01357
6.12.5077732E-52.5098223E-50.009024872359.582120.0091.0747157E-41.075594E-40.01068642299.3536760.010580.0013076810.00130875250.01395218410.6606740.012660.0130001260.0130908350.0264831932.02303310.01357
6.22.494612E-52.4979914E-50.009024755361.280460.0091.0690756E-41.070524E-40.0106859299.819520.010580.00130082240.00130258720.01394609610.7064590.012660.0129323410.0130299060.0264230912.02788040.01357
6.32.4733758E-52.4799276E-50.009024576363.904820.0091.0599751E-41.06278305E-40.010685154100.5393750.010580.00128975560.00129317360.01393680210.7772080.012660.0128229570.01293687150.0263313192.03536990.01357
6.42.3237335E-52.3178607E-50.008972971387.122960.008959.958477E-59.933313E-50.010628287106.996410.010530.00121177020.00120871260.01373355611.3621340.012540.0120518380.0121017310.0253692052.09632850.01343
6.52.2732203E-52.2992977E-50.008962788389.805450.008949.742009E-59.8537625E-50.010617501107.750730.010520.00118544420.00119903810.01371401511.4375130.012530.0117914030.0120060350.0252649152.1043510.01342
6.62.1319436E-52.1773201E-50.008931579410.209720.008919.136581E-59.3310395E-50.010582332113.4099960.010490.0011118110.00113546430.01360129411.9786190.012480.0110626490.0113769520.0245849562.1609440.01336
6.71.970802E-52.0393094E-50.008930211437.90370.008918.446021E-58.739606E-50.010576479121.017810.010490.0010278180.00106352940.01353025612.7220340.012480.0102307710.01066468750.0238822082.23937250.01336
6.81.8744462E-51.9900775E-50.008929724448.712340.008918.033094E-58.528626E-50.010574392123.987050.010499.775903E-40.00103786720.01350491513.0121790.012480.0097330090.0104104950.0236116182.26805930.01334
6.91.7559682E-51.8953151E-50.008918785470.570.00897.5253614E-58.122527E-50.010550375129.89030.010479.158276E-49.884704E-40.01343615413.5928740.012460.00912062450.0099210730.0231089242.32927680.01332
7.01.6794445E-51.8215967E-50.0088680545486.828640.008857.197421E-57.806611E-50.010487254134.338120.010418.759337E-49.5004175E-40.01330828914.008110.012370.0087248910.0095399580.0226437452.37356850.01323
7.11.6337795E-51.771677E-50.008847561499.389040.008837.0017246E-57.592681E-50.010455139137.700230.010388.521265E-49.2401815E-40.01325261614.3423760.012340.0084886640.0092817210.0223492942.40788270.01319
7.21.5780008E-51.71654E-50.008827014514.2330.008816.762685E-57.3563926E-50.010412803141.547680.010348.2304585E-48.952741E-40.01318426214.7265090.01230.0082000420.0089965590.0220183452.44741850.01314
7.31.5058865E-51.6618484E-50.008806473529.920350.008796.45364E-57.122013E-50.010370486145.611720.01037.854473E-48.667614E-40.01310614315.1208210.012250.007826770.0087132630.0216792932.48807980.01308
7.41.4887923E-51.6454453E-50.008676312527.292660.008666.380382E-57.0517184E-50.010189803144.5010.010127.7653467E-48.5820974E-40.01287788515.0055230.012030.00773826750.0086281010.0213474042.47417140.01283
7.51.4509299E-51.6046468E-50.008035918500.790440.008026.218123E-56.876877E-50.009378129136.37190.009317.567935E-48.369394E-40.01188768314.2037560.011060.00754221340.0084164110.0201071822.38904480.01179
7.61.2756717E-51.4050529E-50.0052239774371.799350.005215.4670498E-56.0215163E-50.0061998456102.961530.006146.6541E-47.328737E-40.00787763410.7489650.007150.0066342110.0073813740.0150146112.03412150.00769
7.71.0328985E-51.146033E-50.0033414222291.56420.003334.4266326E-54.9114777E-50.0040189281.82710.003975.388092E-45.9780874E-40.0052150478.7236040.004620.00537504670.0060382860.0110080941.82304950.005
7.87.0306583E-68.899537E-60.002078881233.594310.002073.0131043E-53.8140315E-50.002518045766.0205840.002483.667837E-44.6425956E-40.00332293177.15748740.002860.0036617890.00469506670.0077904651.65928750.00311
7.94.060633E-65.465412E-60.0011954589218.73170.001191.7402595E-52.3422985E-50.001443389761.622790.001422.11856E-42.8513762E-40.00190467576.6798470.001620.00211654140.0028841430.0046191251.60155880.00174
8.01.6729537E-62.0775192E-64.3207663E-4207.97724.3E-47.169782E-68.903624E-65.1889906E-458.2795375.1E-48.7288594E-51.0839626E-46.883334E-46.3501585.8E-48.7254314E-40.0010968540.0017361521.5828476.4E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1489736E-79.031487E-5286.80739.0E-51.5742813E-61.3495595E-61.01349426E-475.098151.0E-41.9166706E-51.643078E-51.1642914E-47.0860381.0E-41.9165053E-41.662928E-42.6627615E-41.6012491.0E-4

Gravel Hills-Harper Lk

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0679566E-53.1464628E-50.0055112923175.158360.005481.3147724E-41.3484266E-40.00732387354.3142170.007190.00159955990.001640690.01146454556.98763660.009840.0158809520.0163073370.0276198031.6937040.0115
6.13.0679566E-53.1464628E-50.0055112923175.158360.005481.3147724E-41.3484266E-40.00732387354.3142170.007190.00159955990.001640690.01146454556.98763660.009840.0158809520.0163073370.0276198031.6937040.0115
6.21.514536E-51.36352E-50.0018136107133.009460.00186.490707E-55.843533E-50.002348301540.186330.002297.8995706E-47.112298E-40.00379903225.34149740.003090.0078715480.0070907370.0106453521.5013040.00358
6.31.514536E-51.36352E-50.0018136107133.009460.00186.490707E-55.843533E-50.002348301540.186330.002297.8995706E-47.112298E-40.00379903225.34149740.003090.0078715480.0070907370.0106453521.5013040.00358
6.41.2532521E-51.0689684E-50.0011206778104.837320.001115.37097E-54.581216E-50.001495745732.6495360.001456.537194E-45.5762613E-40.0025365224.5487860.001980.00651799650.0055628590.0078699531.41473170.00232
6.51.1094058E-59.083657E-67.7907665E-485.766857.7E-44.7545094E-53.89294E-50.001058889727.2002580.001025.787078E-44.7386638E-40.00190318884.01629830.001430.00577203040.0047289670.00639106941.35147260.00167
6.69.688328E-67.531688E-64.7752814E-463.402544.7E-44.1520743E-53.227828E-57.022566E-421.7563236.7E-45.053978E-43.9291973E-40.00133255043.3914069.4E-40.00504249940.00392250670.00501819231.27933290.0011
6.78.974824E-66.749406E-63.5674704E-452.8560643.5E-43.8462964E-52.8925719E-55.0891185E-417.593754.8E-44.6818596E-43.5211592E-40.00107186243.04406127.2E-40.0046720080.0035158010.0043428831.2352478.3E-4
6.87.4780046E-65.1161865E-61.5511541E-430.3185631.5E-43.20482E-52.1926337E-52.3192173E-410.5773132.1E-43.9011694E-42.6692182E-45.868364E-42.19853283.2E-40.00389432810.00266615050.0030351641.13840693.7E-4
6.96.3409307E-63.907489E-61.2390703E-431.7101381.2E-42.7175134E-51.674628E-51.767436E-410.5542011.6E-43.3080703E-42.0386786E-44.2382302E-42.07891042.2E-40.00330315020.00203690650.00227641781.11758582.4E-4
7.05.1239335E-62.6058492E-66.260569E-524.0250636.0E-52.195953E-51.1167879E-51.1116676E-49.9541521.0E-42.6732447E-41.359607E-42.9593895E-42.17665081.6E-40.00267003130.00135880050.00152856941.12494041.7E-4
7.14.438899E-62.0984692E-64.2098385E-520.0614744.0E-51.9023713E-58.99341E-68.899269E-59.8953228.0E-52.315891E-41.0948948E-42.4947416E-42.27852151.4E-40.0023134790.00109437740.00124421321.13691431.5E-4
7.23.50367E-61.2615715E-63.1261534E-524.7798373.0E-51.5015643E-55.406724E-66.54064E-512.0972336.0E-51.8280011E-46.5824956E-51.458197E-42.21526468.0E-50.00182649826.580628E-47.380102E-41.12148898.0E-5
7.32.561638E-67.118686E-77.118686E-71.00.01.0978401E-53.050862E-62.3050801E-57.55550432.0E-51.3365384E-43.7143633E-55.714289E-51.53843032.0E-50.00133573493.7137623E-43.913688E-41.05383372.0E-5
7.42.0368864E-65.304471E-75.304471E-71.00.08.729483E-62.2733427E-62.2273298E-59.7975982.0E-51.06276275E-42.76776E-54.7677047E-51.72258592.0E-50.00106225472.767421E-42.9673654E-41.07224942.0E-5
7.51.1681728E-63.6028484E-73.6028484E-71.00.05.0064455E-61.544077E-61.1544062E-57.4763511.0E-56.0951766E-51.879898E-52.8798791E-51.53193381.0E-56.093505E-41.8797436E-41.9797249E-41.05318881.0E-5
7.61.3154387E-77.1196716E-87.1196716E-81.00.05.6375933E-73.0512876E-73.0512876E-71.00.06.863748E-63.714938E-63.714938E-61.00.06.863536E-53.7148915E-53.7148915E-51.00.0

Coyote Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.5090034E-54.0364317E-50.003450226785.477150.003411.503772E-41.7297991E-40.00494215528.5706860.004770.00182930470.00210425330.0094188294.4760910.007330.0181431940.0208692050.0297107571.42366490.00903
6.13.5090034E-54.0364317E-50.003450226785.477150.003411.503772E-41.7297991E-40.00494215528.5706860.004770.00182930470.00210425330.0094188294.4760910.007330.0181431940.0208692050.0297107571.42366490.00903
6.21.841879E-52.1059794E-50.001831021686.9439540.001817.8935285E-59.025371E-50.002650022729.3619250.002569.606133E-40.00109838710.00519388364.72864630.00410.00956471450.0109396680.0160036571.46290150.00512
6.31.841879E-52.1059794E-50.001831021686.9439540.001817.8935285E-59.025371E-50.002650022729.3619250.002569.606133E-40.00109838710.00519388364.72864630.00410.00956471450.0109396680.0160036571.46290150.00512
6.41.712201E-51.9565212E-50.001729531888.3983150.001717.337798E-58.3848776E-50.002553641630.4553240.002478.930107E-40.00102048130.00485656274.759090.003840.0088943070.0101678710.014948761.47019570.00483
6.51.4744935E-51.6836972E-50.001466812687.118550.001456.3191044E-57.215698E-50.002232001230.9325730.002167.6907943E-48.782507E-40.0042452914.8338030.003370.0076642320.0087569940.0130193391.4867360.0043
6.61.2017839E-51.3724089E-50.00126370792.0794750.001255.150401E-55.88167E-50.001848711431.4317440.001796.268809E-47.159466E-40.00354392064.9499790.002830.00625115450.00714509380.0107094431.49885260.00359
6.71.00956095E-51.1533517E-50.001091521194.639050.001084.326618E-54.942891E-50.001589352832.1543160.001545.266384E-46.017178E-40.00299027964.96957160.002390.0052539210.00600941250.0090112641.4995250.00302

Nelson Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.913453E-61.0192255E-50.0028301636277.677860.002824.2485535E-54.3680422E-50.004383491100.3536760.004345.1713863E-45.316897E-40.00739803713.9142010.006870.00515936830.0053052040.0136705872.57682590.00841
6.19.913453E-61.0192255E-50.0028301636277.677860.002824.2485535E-54.3680422E-50.004383491100.3536760.004345.1713863E-45.316897E-40.00739803713.9142010.006870.00515936830.0053052040.0136705872.57682590.00841
6.24.5596407E-64.696313E-60.0011346911241.613160.001131.954117E-52.0126909E-50.001880089593.4117360.001862.3788778E-42.4501883E-40.003304269213.4857770.003060.00237633290.00244761280.0062383122.54873320.0038
6.34.5596407E-64.696313E-60.0011346911241.613160.001131.954117E-52.0126909E-50.001880089593.4117360.001862.3788778E-42.4501883E-40.003304269213.4857770.003060.00237633290.00244761280.0062383122.54873320.0038
6.43.4025713E-63.5098972E-68.535069E-4243.171488.5E-41.4582367E-51.5042335E-50.001435020995.398820.001421.7752586E-41.8312587E-40.002532695413.8303530.002350.0017738410.00182983270.0046845992.56012440.00286
6.52.8352947E-62.927856E-67.029258E-4240.082097.0E-41.2151207E-51.2547898E-50.001212532996.632340.00121.479309E-41.5276071E-40.002122459713.8940160.001970.00147832460.00152663080.00389301262.55006810.00237
6.62.251518E-62.3290677E-66.423276E-4275.787456.4E-49.649328E-69.981683E-60.001079971108.1952740.001071.1747423E-41.2152085E-40.00179131814.7408280.001670.00117412140.00121460580.00320218852.6364020.00199
6.71.8911853E-61.9591396E-65.5195804E-4281.734925.5E-48.105055E-68.39629E-69.2838856E-4110.57139.2E-49.867457E-51.0222061E-40.001522075514.8901030.001429.863076E-40.00102179350.00272005632.66204140.0017
6.81.4874814E-61.5438305E-65.0154305E-4324.869265.0E-46.374905E-66.6164025E-67.2661164E-4109.819757.2E-47.76117E-58.055224E-50.001180463614.65463350.00117.75846E-48.0528157E-40.00215419452.67508220.00135
6.96.835972E-77.1399285E-72.4071382E-4337.13762.4E-42.9296991E-63.0599674E-63.530589E-4115.379953.5E-43.56685E-53.7254784E-55.872343E-415.7626545.5E-43.5662777E-43.7251666E-40.00104226712.79790746.7E-4

Death Valley (So)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0684236E-52.5618314E-50.003975517155.182620.003958.864371E-51.0978825E-40.005389208449.08730.005280.00107870290.00133586920.0085162646.37507340.007190.0107348170.0132799850.0217263081.63601910.00856
6.12.0684236E-52.5618314E-50.003975517155.182620.003958.864371E-51.0978825E-40.005389208449.08730.005280.00107870290.00133586920.0085162646.37507340.007190.0107348170.0132799850.0217263081.63601910.00856
6.22.0684236E-52.5618314E-50.003975517155.182620.003958.864371E-51.0978825E-40.005389208449.08730.005280.00107870290.00133586920.0085162646.37507340.007190.0107348170.0132799850.0217263081.63601910.00856
6.32.0240292E-52.51184E-50.0037750243150.28920.003758.6741224E-51.0764593E-40.005087109747.25780.004980.00105556260.0013098180.0081009116.1847610.00680.0105056280.0130225430.0209381021.60783520.00802
6.42.0240292E-52.51184E-50.0037750243150.28920.003758.6741224E-51.0764593E-40.005087109747.25780.004980.00105556260.0013098180.0081009116.1847610.00680.0105056280.0130225430.0209381021.60783520.00802
6.51.9962767E-52.4807652E-50.0036847168148.531460.003668.55519E-51.0631427E-40.00492580246.3324620.004820.00104109680.00129362440.007905066.1107850.006620.0103623270.012862490.0205424191.59707960.00778
6.61.8937297E-52.3311462E-50.0033132348142.1290.003298.115732E-59.990252E-50.00446946644.738270.004379.876423E-40.00121564910.00713844045.87212230.005930.0098326450.01209150350.019026621.5735530.00702
6.71.8621096E-52.2912098E-50.0031928394139.351680.003177.980225E-59.8191085E-50.00432777644.0750350.004239.711593E-40.00119483540.0069080015.78155040.005720.0096692610.0118856250.0185850411.56365690.00678
6.81.7830353E-52.1806083E-50.0030417403139.490430.003027.641356E-59.3451374E-50.004143072844.3339960.004059.29938E-40.00113719070.00660097045.80462930.005470.0092605610.011316090.01769311.56353490.00645
6.91.3135183E-51.5304031E-50.0019852738129.722290.001975.6292425E-56.558709E-50.002785408642.4688570.002726.8514474E-47.982367E-40.0044353315.5564110.003640.0068303620.0079551580.0122705531.5424650.00435
7.01.1507512E-51.3154237E-50.0013631365103.6271740.001354.9316975E-55.637412E-50.00195626734.7015080.00196.002687E-46.861445E-40.00327436744.7721250.002590.00598649870.00684149240.0098606941.44130750.00304
7.19.715903E-61.0865287E-56.4085843E-458.9821936.3E-44.1638916E-54.6564706E-58.965251E-419.2533198.5E-45.068359E-45.667821E-40.00176610193.11601570.00120.00505681480.0056538340.0071055791.25677180.00146
7.29.233269E-61.0286314E-54.902814E-447.6634674.8E-43.9570554E-54.408348E-56.740557E-415.2904386.3E-44.81665E-45.365884E-40.00145609482.71361579.2E-40.00480622330.00535335950.0064176311.19880450.00107
7.38.8041315E-69.808164E-63.6980462E-437.703763.6E-43.7731446E-54.2034335E-55.2201416E-412.41875654.8E-44.592835E-45.1165203E-40.00121129392.36741737.0E-40.00458335460.0051051670.0059110321.15785288.1E-4
7.48.708749E-69.707175E-63.2970408E-433.9649853.2E-43.7322676E-54.160154E-54.7158365E-411.3357264.3E-44.5430884E-45.0638523E-40.00115605612.28295786.5E-40.0045338120.00505273980.005798951.14768437.5E-4
7.58.612678E-69.604817E-63.2960175E-434.3162963.2E-43.6910955E-54.1162875E-54.7114518E-411.4458764.3E-44.492982E-45.01047E-40.00115072132.29663356.5E-40.0044839090.00499959850.0057458491.14926217.5E-4
7.68.319024E-69.283916E-62.892813E-431.1594052.8E-43.5652476E-53.978763E-54.1977252E-410.5503273.8E-44.3398244E-44.8431093E-40.00108402042.23827366.0E-40.00433135870.00483297840.0055096921.140026.8E-4
7.77.4718328E-68.34517E-61.6834383E-420.1726071.6E-43.2021748E-53.5764548E-52.857556E-47.9899132.5E-43.8979502E-44.353504E-48.551676E-41.96432024.2E-40.003891120.00434538070.00483325121.11227354.9E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-73.6482615E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.5635396E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035933E-53.9035553E-52.05062462.0E-51.8045233E-41.9034347E-42.2033777E-41.15757983.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

So Sierra Nevada

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.00447103403.536740.004464.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.0058772066123.774290.005836.024253E-45.779681E-40.00797369113.7960760.00740.0060079480.0057659180.0142169072.465680.0085
6.11.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.00447103403.536740.004464.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.0058772066123.774290.005836.024253E-45.779681E-40.00797369113.7960760.00740.0060079480.0057659180.0142169072.465680.0085
6.21.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.00447103403.536740.004464.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.0058772066123.774290.005836.024253E-45.779681E-40.00797369113.7960760.00740.0060079480.0057659180.0142169072.465680.0085
6.31.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.00447103403.536740.004464.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.0058772066123.774290.005836.024253E-45.779681E-40.00797369113.7960760.00740.0060079480.0057659180.0142169072.465680.0085
6.41.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.00447103403.536740.004464.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.0058772066123.774290.005836.024253E-45.779681E-40.00797369113.7960760.00740.0060079480.0057659180.0142169072.465680.0085
6.51.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.00447103403.536740.004464.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.0058772066123.774290.005836.024253E-45.779681E-40.00797369113.7960760.00740.0060079480.0057659180.0142169072.465680.0085
6.67.587044E-66.9356042E-60.0022169203319.643430.002213.2515498E-52.9723697E-50.002829640495.1981350.00283.9580427E-43.6182883E-40.00396052610.9458560.00360.0039510.00361268870.00769787652.13078880.0041
6.77.587044E-66.9356042E-60.0022169203319.643430.002213.2515498E-52.9723697E-50.002829640495.1981350.00283.9580427E-43.6182883E-40.00396052610.9458560.00360.0039510.00361268870.00769787652.13078880.0041
6.85.9026956E-65.179362E-60.0015751712304.124570.001572.5297022E-52.2197082E-50.00196215488.3969350.001943.0794772E-42.7021713E-40.002759544210.2123210.002490.00307521320.0026990020.00554130972.05309580.00285
6.95.0118915E-64.2523943E-60.0013042468306.70880.00132.1479358E-51.8224424E-50.00162819589.341370.001612.614798E-42.2186051E-40.002241412410.10280.002020.00261172350.00221646270.00454129842.04889460.00233
7.04.4924795E-63.7138868E-60.0011937094321.417850.001191.925334E-51.5916565E-50.001435893990.213810.001422.3438422E-41.9376757E-40.001953426510.0812870.001760.00234137170.00193604910.0039321772.03103160.002
7.13.9118436E-63.1119469E-68.3310937E-4267.713238.3E-41.6764936E-51.333685E-50.001003323775.229439.9E-42.0409399E-41.6236462E-40.00142216018.7590510.001260.00203906630.00162251610.00309013091.90453030.00147
7.23.4200818E-62.6054236E-66.3260377E-4242.802666.3E-41.4657411E-51.11660565E-57.8115746E-469.958227.7E-41.7843937E-41.3593875E-40.00110580698.1345969.7E-40.00178296150.00135860580.0024770841.82325460.00112
7.32.6593618E-61.8283897E-63.4182778E-4186.955643.4E-41.13972155E-57.8359335E-64.2783265E-454.598814.2E-41.3875226E-49.539862E-56.553452E-46.86954645.6E-40.00138665659.536055E-40.0016329571.7124036.8E-4
7.42.2577992E-61.4364078E-62.9143598E-4202.892242.9E-49.676246E-66.1560204E-63.4615392E-456.230153.4E-41.1780193E-47.4947224E-55.44912E-47.27060944.7E-40.0011773957.4924453E-40.00131881751.76019635.7E-4
7.51.489319E-67.353661E-71.5073526E-4204.979891.5E-46.3827797E-63.1515651E-61.6315107E-451.7682651.6E-47.770758E-53.8369635E-52.683608E-46.99409342.3E-47.7680405E-43.8363054E-46.635231E-41.72958892.8E-4
7.61.0680322E-64.65941E-77.046591E-5151.233547.0E-54.577273E-61.9968884E-68.199673E-541.062258.0E-55.5726876E-52.4311848E-51.3430917E-45.52443271.1E-45.5712904E-42.4309216E-44.0305327E-41.65802661.6E-4
7.75.509146E-71.5578539E-71.01557835E-565.1908651.0E-52.3610605E-66.676515E-71.0667645E-515.9778641.0E-52.8745531E-58.128628E-61.8128547E-52.23020981.0E-52.8741814E-48.128342E-51.01281796E-41.24603262.0E-5

San Andreas (Mojave S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.00453202056.71784260.003860.00133063760.0028881720.0076344242.64334130.004760.0160806050.0345655940.040068571.15920390.00570.14965490.286545570.291104561.01591010.00639
6.13.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.00453202056.71784260.003860.00133063760.0028881720.0076344242.64334130.004760.0160806050.0345655940.040068571.15920390.00570.14965490.286545570.291104561.01591010.00639
6.23.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.00453202056.71784260.003860.00133063760.0028881720.0076344242.64334130.004760.0160806050.0345655940.040068571.15920390.00570.14965490.286545570.291104561.01591010.00639
6.33.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.00453202056.71784260.003860.00133063760.0028881720.0076344242.64334130.004760.0160806050.0345655940.040068571.15920390.00570.14965490.286545570.291104561.01591010.00639
6.41.9872203E-44.3181062E-40.00392030379.0787560.003498.5138786E-40.00184933260.00606152833.27768420.004220.0103164780.022289310.0271387551.21756820.004960.0985048560.196868390.20133381.02268220.00556
6.51.291105E-42.8754136E-40.003406644311.8474920.003125.5321335E-40.00123174090.0049371714.0082870.003710.0067145920.0148941550.0191498121.28572670.004320.0651529650.138007920.14214551.02998070.0048
6.61.291105E-42.8754136E-40.003406644311.8474920.003125.5321335E-40.00123174090.0049371714.0082870.003710.0067145920.0148941550.0191498121.28572670.004320.0651529650.138007920.14214551.02998070.0048
6.71.08001186E-42.4335351E-40.003212630713.2014970.002974.6278012E-40.00104252740.0045488684.3633080.003510.00561980160.01261920.0166477131.31923690.004080.0547979060.119184310.123174411.03347840.00453
6.81.0624356E-42.3853009E-40.003187826413.3644630.002954.5525006E-40.00102187180.00450830534.41181140.003490.00552859250.0123705930.0163803681.32413770.004060.0539305660.117133080.1211059841.03391780.0045
6.91.0393785E-42.3223337E-40.003161552813.6136880.002934.4537184E-49.949068E-40.0044614544.48429440.003470.00540892870.0120459630.0160274171.3305220.004030.052791560.1144334450.118391931.0345920.00447
7.01.0155622E-42.2592908E-40.003145269413.9214910.002924.3516833E-49.6790853E-40.00442455944.5712580.003460.0052853110.0117208380.0156838371.33811570.004010.051613610.111697450.115632631.03523080.00443
7.19.885595E-52.188132E-40.003108180814.2047220.002894.2359953E-49.374342E-40.0043642194.65549330.003430.00514513530.0113537330.0152885461.34656550.003980.050276290.108576070.112489421.03604250.00439
7.29.6411415E-52.1244297E-40.003091831214.55369950.002884.1312634E-49.101525E-40.00432703974.7541920.003420.0050182190.0110249870.0149512181.35612120.003970.0490640070.10576970.1096864341.03703070.00438
7.39.1180635E-51.9472656E-40.003054169715.68440150.002863.907156E-48.342756E-40.0042314395.0719920.00340.0047465910.0101101120.01401027851.38576880.003940.0464647860.097961760.101849551.03968680.00431
7.48.887388E-51.872126E-40.003046677216.273890.002863.8083247E-48.020931E-40.0041993665.23550940.00340.00462678170.0097218550.01362355051.40133250.003940.0453162860.0945938450.098496151.04125320.00431
7.58.6750515E-51.80528E-40.003020015316.7287920.002843.7173493E-47.734621E-40.0041508485.3665820.003380.0045164840.0093763270.0132496651.41309760.003910.044257870.091556060.0954441951.04246740.00428
7.68.453092E-51.7440386E-40.003003910417.2238750.002833.6222505E-47.4723107E-40.0041147135.50661370.003370.00440117530.0090596640.0129243311.42657950.00390.043150240.088714470.0926056651.0438620.00427
7.78.259102E-51.6962511E-40.002989146917.6220780.002823.539135E-47.267622E-40.00408432035.6198850.003360.0043003860.00881250.0126682191.43752840.003890.0421811340.0864654260.090357091.04500830.00426
7.87.444844E-51.528469E-40.00240250315.7183620.002253.1902574E-46.5489375E-40.00335312565.1201060.00270.00387722230.0079442310.01106920651.39336420.003150.038102690.0782938750.081519841.04120340.0035
7.95.2586525E-51.0007023E-40.001399940113.9895760.00132.2535135E-44.2880196E-40.00197813734.61317250.001550.00274020060.0052081780.0070186991.34763040.001820.0270665740.0522015880.0540971871.0363130.002
8.03.379877E-55.4075565E-55.340496E-49.8759884.8E-41.4484383E-42.3173184E-48.0159976E-43.45916965.7E-40.00176204710.00281768660.00348579881.23711376.7E-40.0174814090.0288359170.0295448661.02458567.3E-4
8.11.8668277E-51.9308145E-51.1930621E-46.17906141.0E-48.000444E-58.274657E-51.9273747E-42.32925031.1E-49.736188E-40.00100697450.00111686371.10912811.1E-40.0096936420.0107986240.0109074361.01007651.1E-4
8.28.541571E-65.4596358E-65.4596358E-61.00.03.660622E-52.339823E-52.339823E-51.00.04.455896E-42.848363E-42.848363E-41.00.00.00444697170.0032402830.0032402831.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Towne Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.849728E-63.894542E-60.0030138828773.87350.003011.649873E-51.6690812E-50.004086623244.842670.004072.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.005712076628.1111580.005510.00200672080.00203053190.0086071514.23886540.00659
6.13.849728E-63.894542E-60.0030138828773.87350.003011.649873E-51.6690812E-50.004086623244.842670.004072.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.005712076628.1111580.005510.00200672080.00203053190.0086071514.23886540.00659
6.23.849728E-63.894542E-60.0030138828773.87350.003011.649873E-51.6690812E-50.004086623244.842670.004072.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.005712076628.1111580.005510.00200672080.00203053190.0086071514.23886540.00659
6.33.849728E-63.894542E-60.0030138828773.87350.003011.649873E-51.6690812E-50.004086623244.842670.004072.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.005712076628.1111580.005510.00200672080.00203053190.0086071514.23886540.00659
6.43.849728E-63.894542E-60.0030138828773.87350.003011.649873E-51.6690812E-50.004086623244.842670.004072.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.005712076628.1111580.005510.00200672080.00203053190.0086071514.23886540.00659
6.51.1953545E-61.2030526E-64.8120247E-4399.984564.8E-45.1229376E-65.15593E-66.351527E-4123.188776.3E-46.236998E-56.277176E-58.427228E-413.425197.8E-46.235248E-46.2755204E-40.00156696212.49694379.4E-4
6.61.1953545E-61.2030526E-64.8120247E-4399.984564.8E-45.1229376E-65.15593E-66.351527E-4123.188776.3E-46.236998E-56.277176E-58.427228E-413.425197.8E-46.235248E-46.2755204E-40.00156696212.49694379.4E-4
6.78.375951E-78.410676E-72.8084085E-4333.909942.8E-43.5896885E-63.6045708E-63.836032E-4106.4213263.8E-44.370358E-54.3884826E-55.0386466E-411.48152354.6E-44.3694986E-44.3876728E-49.785304E-42.23018075.4E-4
6.86.38041E-76.3921624E-71.906391E-4298.238831.9E-42.7344586E-62.7394954E-62.527388E-492.257432.5E-43.3291526E-53.3352884E-53.233432E-49.694612.9E-43.3286537E-43.334826E-46.833659E-42.049183.5E-4
6.95.3460053E-75.345339E-71.5053446E-4281.618161.5E-42.2911431E-62.2908578E-62.1229038E-492.668512.1E-42.789431E-52.7890868E-52.778839E-49.9632572.5E-42.789081E-42.78877E-45.7879335E-42.0754433.0E-4
7.03.557783E-73.5324283E-77.035322E-5199.16397.0E-51.5247632E-61.513897E-69.1513764E-560.449139.0E-51.8563835E-51.8431549E-51.1842971E-46.42537981.0E-41.8562283E-41.8430105E-42.9428076E-41.59673951.1E-4
7.13.037942E-73.0002275E-75.030001E-5167.653985.0E-51.3019744E-61.2858112E-67.128572E-555.440277.0E-51.5851423E-51.5654647E-59.565339E-56.1102248.0E-51.5850292E-41.5653619E-42.465221E-41.57485699.0E-5
7.22.0808248E-72.0217735E-74.020217E-5198.846074.0E-58.917818E-78.6647407E-76.0866423E-570.24616.0E-51.0857389E-51.0549275E-58.054854E-57.6354577.0E-51.0856859E-41.0548821E-41.7548082E-41.66351137.0E-5
7.31.1162073E-71.0636902E-72.0106367E-5189.024642.0E-54.7837443E-74.5586717E-73.0455854E-566.808623.0E-55.8241935E-65.5501705E-64.554995E-58.2069454.0E-55.8240406E-55.550052E-59.5498304E-51.72067394.0E-5

San Andreas (Mojave N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.877682E-51.9402112E-40.004133256621.3031270.003944.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00552734736.64940640.00470.00514102770.0100736840.0155281781.54145970.005510.050237080.098322450.103768591.05539050.00604
6.19.877682E-51.9402112E-40.004133256621.3031270.003944.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00552734736.64940640.00470.00514102770.0100736840.0155281781.54145970.005510.050237080.098322450.103768591.05539050.00604
6.29.877682E-51.9402112E-40.004133256621.3031270.003944.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00552734736.64940640.00470.00514102770.0100736840.0155281781.54145970.005510.050237080.098322450.103768591.05539050.00604
6.39.877682E-51.9402112E-40.004133256621.3031270.003944.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00552734736.64940640.00470.00514102770.0100736840.0155281781.54145970.005510.050237080.098322450.103768591.05539050.00604
6.49.877682E-51.9402112E-40.004133256621.3031270.003944.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00552734736.64940640.00470.00514102770.0100736840.0155281781.54145970.005510.050237080.098322450.103768591.05539050.00604
6.59.861474E-51.937588E-40.00412299721.279020.003934.2256617E-48.3013077E-40.00551623766.6450220.004690.00513261320.01006013250.0155048021.54121240.00550.0501567460.098200350.10363821.05537510.00603
6.69.861474E-51.937588E-40.00412299721.279020.003934.2256617E-48.3013077E-40.00551623766.6450220.004690.00513261320.01006013250.0155048021.54121240.00550.0501567460.098200350.10363821.05537510.00603
6.79.8552715E-51.9365833E-40.00412289721.2895430.003934.223004E-48.2970044E-40.0055158096.64795260.004690.00512939270.0100549410.0154996391.54149470.00550.0501259980.098153560.1035916951.05540430.00603
6.89.8464974E-51.9350994E-40.004122749421.3051030.003934.219245E-48.290649E-40.0055151776.65228560.004690.00512483760.0100472760.01549201551.54191210.00550.050082510.098083780.103522341.0554480.00603
6.99.825824E-51.9319002E-40.00412243121.3387360.003934.2103877E-48.276947E-40.0055138136.66165070.004690.00511410460.0100307460.0154755781.54281410.00550.0499800220.0979329650.1033724251.05554270.00603
7.09.781462E-51.9250368E-40.00411174921.3593270.003924.1913814E-48.247551E-40.00549090336.6576170.004670.0050910730.0099952850.0154205111.54277850.005480.049760070.097609120.103032491.05556210.00601
7.19.7121134E-51.9152075E-40.0041107721.4638370.003924.1616702E-48.205452E-40.00548671336.6866680.004670.0050550680.00994449950.0153700041.54557840.005480.049416130.097145710.102571861.05585590.00601
7.29.663819E-51.9082859E-40.00409008421.4332890.00394.1409794E-48.175807E-40.0054637796.68286230.004650.00502999360.0099087350.0153146331.5455690.005460.0491765370.096818830.102228881.05587820.00599
7.39.6277574E-51.9035369E-40.00408961121.4842780.00394.125529E-48.1554666E-40.00546175436.6970470.004650.00501126940.0098841950.0152902281.5469370.005460.048997590.096592280.1020036861.05602320.00599
7.49.593308E-51.8975153E-40.004089011321.5492940.00394.1107697E-48.129676E-40.0054591876.7151350.004650.00499338240.0098530810.0152592831.54868140.005460.048826610.096309860.101722961.0562050.00599
7.59.561707E-51.8921228E-40.004088474421.607870.00394.0972308E-48.106579E-40.00545688866.73143150.004650.00497697430.0098252150.0152315681.5502530.005460.0486697440.0960562450.1014708651.05636930.00599
7.69.418194E-51.8573487E-40.004085010421.9937730.00394.0357444E-47.95764E-40.0054420646.83879140.004650.0049024540.0096454990.01505283451.56060720.005460.0479570250.0944374650.0998617861.05743830.00599
7.78.202141E-51.6022482E-40.003669662422.9032080.003513.51473E-46.8649714E-40.0048836147.11381530.00420.004270790.0083261280.0132051641.58599090.004920.041896390.0822379140.087193831.06026320.0054
7.87.2859846E-51.4517571E-40.00239484916.496210.002253.1221908E-46.2203326E-40.00332035385.3379040.00270.0037946430.00754699860.0106732261.41423440.003150.0373049750.074727660.077956861.04321290.00349
7.95.3874453E-51.00462625E-40.001400332113.9388350.00132.3087008E-44.3048308E-40.00197981584.59905620.001550.00280722020.00522854740.00703903151.3462690.001820.027720220.0524258840.0543210321.03614910.002
8.03.468538E-55.4261534E-55.342355E-49.8455654.8E-41.4864317E-42.3252872E-48.0239616E-43.450745.7E-40.00180822830.00282736360.00349546921.23629996.7E-40.0179358530.0289484620.0296573291.02448737.3E-4
8.11.9152367E-51.9401303E-51.1939936E-46.1541931.0E-48.207899E-58.3145795E-51.9313664E-42.32286741.1E-49.988535E-40.00101183050.00112171931.10860381.1E-40.0099437570.010855950.0109647571.01002261.1E-4
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.744542E-54.396349E-50.002763843962.8668020.002721.604705E-41.8840231E-40.003907701520.741260.003720.00195197760.00229155710.0072202373.15079930.004940.0193492060.0226972810.0282874541.24629260.00572
6.13.744542E-54.396349E-50.002763843962.8668020.002721.604705E-41.8840231E-40.003907701520.741260.003720.00195197760.00229155710.0072202373.15079930.004940.0193492060.0226972810.0282874541.24629260.00572
6.23.744542E-54.396349E-50.002763843962.8668020.002721.604705E-41.8840231E-40.003907701520.741260.003720.00195197760.00229155710.0072202373.15079930.004940.0193492060.0226972810.0282874541.24629260.00572
6.32.1079984E-52.5354384E-50.00110532743.5951040.001089.0339665E-51.0865723E-40.001658488815.2634920.001550.00109933040.00132211890.0033993692.57115220.002080.0109390790.0131447470.0155822791.18543780.00247
6.42.1079984E-52.5354384E-50.00110532743.5951040.001089.0339665E-51.0865723E-40.001658488815.2634920.001550.00109933040.00132211890.0033993692.57115220.002080.0109390790.0131447470.0155822791.18543780.00247
6.51.7397282E-52.0663285E-57.60648E-436.8115737.4E-47.455765E-58.8554E-50.00113846112.8561220.001059.073613E-40.00107762350.00249609332.31629440.001420.0090366540.0107252730.0124169331.15772650.00171
6.61.52050325E-51.7680086E-56.4766896E-436.6326836.3E-46.51628E-57.576964E-59.6570223E-412.745248.9E-47.9306826E-49.221128E-40.00212100642.30015920.00120.0079024390.0091837290.01065013651.15967460.00148
6.71.332523E-51.5264379E-55.7525584E-437.6861575.6E-45.7106878E-56.541716E-58.553655E-413.0755527.9E-46.950544E-47.9616875E-40.00181535672.28011540.001020.0069288450.00793379450.0091738771.15630390.00125
6.81.1525329E-51.3031365E-55.0302496E-438.6010974.9E-44.9393333E-55.5847537E-57.3580956E-413.1753276.8E-46.011979E-46.7973585E-40.00151916492.2349348.4E-40.005995740.00677701920.0077702421.14655750.001
6.91.0253909E-51.1514835E-54.215101E-436.6058354.1E-44.3944583E-54.934838E-56.0932076E-412.3473315.6E-45.3489394E-46.006545E-40.00128024612.13141856.8E-40.00533608250.00599068960.00682565761.13937768.4E-4
7.08.104563E-68.99143E-63.1898863E-435.4769633.1E-43.4733377E-53.853415E-54.5851796E-411.8990044.2E-44.2279682E-44.6905465E-49.788155E-42.08678345.1E-40.00421993340.00468089430.0052880391.1297076.1E-4
7.16.7986157E-67.5159796E-61.9751456E-426.2792821.9E-42.91366E-53.2210955E-53.0220227E-49.3819712.7E-43.5468035E-43.9209996E-47.4196275E-41.89227953.5E-40.0035411480.0039142980.00435257561.11196844.4E-4
7.25.6893327E-66.280132E-61.6627913E-426.477011.6E-42.4382627E-52.6914584E-52.4690866E-49.1737872.2E-42.9681803E-43.276378E-46.1754277E-41.88483382.9E-40.0029642190.0032717460.00365050281.11576593.8E-4
7.34.253348E-64.707075E-69.470665E-520.1200669.0E-51.8228506E-52.017303E-51.6017021E-47.93981841.4E-42.2190946E-42.455808E-44.255366E-41.73277631.8E-40.002216880.00245327530.00271263741.10572082.6E-4
7.42.5448119E-62.8520594E-64.2851945E-515.0249134.0E-51.0906291E-51.2223064E-58.222221E-56.7268087.0E-51.3277601E-41.4880729E-42.2879538E-41.5375288.0E-50.0013269670.00148723870.00161704541.08728031.3E-4
7.54.3706837E-84.562909E-84.562909E-81.00.01.8731501E-71.9555324E-71.9555324E-71.00.02.2805577E-62.3808586E-62.3808586E-61.00.02.2805343E-52.3808387E-52.3808387E-51.00.0

Bicycle Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9621975E-52.2097078E-50.00161206272.953630.001598.4091465E-59.4699084E-50.00254446726.868970.002450.00102333270.00115248650.00506796874.39742140.003920.010186330.0114784080.0163419341.42371080.00492
6.11.9621975E-52.2097078E-50.00161206272.953630.001598.4091465E-59.4699084E-50.00254446726.868970.002450.00102333270.00115248650.00506796874.39742140.003920.010186330.0114784080.0163419341.42371080.00492
6.29.9971285E-61.125564E-59.912446E-488.066489.8E-44.2844134E-54.8237856E-50.001508167531.2652240.001465.2150246E-45.871897E-40.0029557985.03380440.002370.00520280330.0058614870.0088339611.50711950.00299
6.39.589428E-61.0798346E-59.607881E-488.975499.5E-44.10969E-54.62781E-50.001456212831.4665660.001415.002399E-45.6334207E-40.00278209154.93854760.002220.00499115330.00562422960.0083985381.49327790.00279
6.49.589428E-61.0798346E-59.607881E-488.975499.5E-44.10969E-54.62781E-50.001456212831.4665660.001415.002399E-45.6334207E-40.00278209154.93854760.002220.00499115330.00562422960.0083985381.49327790.00279
6.55.557707E-66.2856016E-65.462822E-486.9100955.4E-42.3818526E-52.6938165E-58.6691556E-432.1816838.4E-42.8995197E-43.279497E-40.00162752334.9627230.00130.00289573940.00327729340.0048820171.4896490.00161
6.64.8742945E-65.5132896E-65.155105E-493.503245.1E-42.0889667E-52.3628318E-57.336115E-431.047987.1E-42.54302E-42.87663E-40.00139734374.8575720.001110.0025401120.00287547520.00419167941.45773460.00132
6.73.991108E-64.5159104E-64.4451392E-498.432854.4E-41.7104636E-51.9353902E-55.993427E-430.9675395.8E-42.0822904E-42.3563375E-40.0011554174.90344439.2E-40.00208034040.00235633740.00339388681.44032290.00104

Paradise

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4851273E-51.6694768E-50.0016966667101.628650.001686.364676E-57.154718E-50.002481374734.6816560.002417.7462377E-48.707624E-40.00446762755.1307080.00360.00771929140.0086758840.01300797051.4993250.00437
6.11.4851273E-51.6694768E-50.0016966667101.628650.001686.364676E-57.154718E-50.002481374734.6816560.002417.7462377E-48.707624E-40.00446762755.1307080.00360.00771929140.0086758840.01300797051.4993250.00437
6.21.4851273E-51.6694768E-50.0016966667101.628650.001686.364676E-57.154718E-50.002481374734.6816560.002417.7462377E-48.707624E-40.00446762755.1307080.00360.00771929140.0086758840.01300797051.4993250.00437
6.31.0426831E-51.1888697E-57.918794E-466.607757.8E-44.4685654E-55.09506E-50.00116089422.7846980.001115.43912E-46.201529E-40.00222915463.59452370.001610.00542582660.00618483170.0081128331.31173060.00194
6.41.0426831E-51.1888697E-57.918794E-466.607757.8E-44.4685654E-55.09506E-50.00116089422.7846980.001115.43912E-46.201529E-40.00222915463.59452370.001610.00542582660.00618483170.0081128331.31173060.00194
6.59.25027E-61.0620037E-55.406144E-450.9051325.3E-43.964341E-54.551368E-58.254782E-418.1369257.8E-44.8255164E-45.5399304E-40.00172334493.11076970.001170.00481505130.00552661950.0069188821.25191940.0014
6.67.904275E-69.159602E-63.3915657E-437.0274353.3E-43.3875025E-53.925487E-55.3923525E-413.7367735.0E-44.1235037E-44.7782718E-40.0011874882.4851837.1E-40.00411586040.0047683950.00561434171.1774078.5E-4
6.77.2061953E-68.407326E-62.384054E-428.3568632.3E-43.088333E-53.603092E-53.7601867E-410.4363.4E-43.7593965E-44.3859181E-49.5836376E-42.18509275.2E-40.0037530430.0043776310.00500487351.14328356.3E-4
6.86.6948724E-67.842242E-61.9784075E-425.2275751.9E-42.8691995E-53.3609194E-53.2359944E-49.6283012.9E-43.4926904E-44.091187E-48.689305E-42.1239084.6E-40.0034872060.00408401250.00461184841.12924435.3E-4
6.96.0421025E-67.1306963E-61.3712977E-419.230911.3E-42.5894467E-53.0559786E-52.5055307E-48.1987832.2E-43.1521954E-43.7200528E-47.4186764E-41.99423963.7E-40.00314772780.00371416380.004152531.11802544.4E-4
7.04.134091E-65.0803824E-61.05079875E-420.6834561.0E-41.7717413E-52.1772896E-51.7176963E-47.88914971.5E-42.1568815E-42.650543E-44.8499598E-41.82979862.2E-40.00215478920.00264753470.00292679341.10547882.8E-4
7.13.7674888E-64.631936E-68.463157E-518.2713178.0E-51.6146281E-51.9851012E-51.3984863E-47.0449121.2E-41.9656324E-42.4166079E-44.216173E-41.74466571.8E-40.00196389460.00241413060.00264357541.09504232.3E-4
7.23.4065345E-64.156782E-66.4156535E-515.4341826.0E-51.4599351E-51.7814667E-51.1781289E-46.6132521.0E-41.777326E-42.168735E-43.6684095E-41.69149741.5E-40.00177590530.00216676670.00236633331.09210352.0E-4
7.32.9934936E-63.6293673E-66.362915E-517.5317486.0E-51.2829195E-51.5554348E-51.0555295E-46.78607379.0E-51.5618425E-41.8935918E-42.9933837E-41.58079661.1E-40.00156074530.00189212370.0020518211.0844011.6E-4
7.42.4049796E-62.8890186E-66.2888845E-521.7682386.0E-51.0307015E-51.2381457E-51.0238034E-48.2688459.0E-51.2548068E-41.5073526E-42.6071866E-41.72964631.1E-40.00125409850.00150647150.00165624561.09942041.5E-4
7.51.2710091E-61.5134859E-64.1513424E-527.4290144.0E-55.44717E-66.4863593E-65.6486035E-58.7084355.0E-56.631728E-57.896981E-51.2896587E-41.63310345.0E-56.6297496E-47.895401E-48.7946904E-41.11390049.0E-5
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.0260397E-577.804312.0E-59.478797E-71.1160082E-62.1115986E-518.9209962.0E-51.1540374E-51.3587343E-53.358707E-52.47193812.0E-51.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.6586386E-41.22077263.0E-5

Garlic Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6760017E-51.8776833E-50.001298752869.167830.001287.182667E-58.0470316E-50.001940320624.1122530.001868.7413884E-49.794032E-40.00394649434.0294890.002970.0087070830.0097624130.0135649261.38950540.00384
6.19.852767E-61.0973587E-58.0096495E-472.990267.9E-44.222546E-54.702921E-50.00117697625.026490.001135.139737E-45.7250116E-40.00240145344.194670.001830.0051278660.0057172210.0080637291.41042790.00236
6.29.852767E-61.0973587E-58.0096495E-472.990267.9E-44.222546E-54.702921E-50.00117697625.026490.001135.139737E-45.7250116E-40.00240145344.194670.001830.0051278660.0057172210.0080637291.41042790.00236
6.34.3167724E-64.7780286E-64.3477598E-490.994844.3E-41.8500323E-52.0477235E-55.5046636E-426.8818725.3E-42.2521814E-42.4930484E-49.891203E-43.96751367.4E-40.00224990030.002492510.0034501171.38419399.6E-4
6.44.3167724E-64.7780286E-64.3477598E-490.994844.3E-41.8500323E-52.0477235E-55.5046636E-426.8818725.3E-42.2521814E-42.4930484E-49.891203E-43.96751367.4E-40.00224990030.002492510.0034501171.38419399.6E-4
6.54.3167724E-64.7780286E-64.3477598E-490.994844.3E-41.8500323E-52.0477235E-55.5046636E-426.8818725.3E-42.2521814E-42.4930484E-49.891203E-43.96751367.4E-40.00224990030.002492510.0034501171.38419399.6E-4
6.64.301311E-64.760897E-64.3475884E-491.318684.3E-41.8434059E-52.0403815E-55.50393E-426.9750045.3E-42.2441156E-42.4841115E-49.882273E-43.97819237.4E-40.00224185060.0024835930.00344120871.38557679.6E-4
6.73.8599724E-64.27106E-64.142693E-496.99454.1E-41.6542634E-51.8304541E-55.2829523E-428.8614275.1E-42.0138794E-42.228578E-49.326996E-44.1851787.1E-40.00201205540.0022285780.003136551.40742229.1E-4

San Andreas (San Bernardino N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4273766E-43.160784E-40.00211550956.69298930.00186.115894E-40.00135392450.00352098652.60057830.002170.00742070840.0163609390.0188987271.15511260.002580.071777480.150211630.152752491.01691520.00299
6.11.4273766E-43.160784E-40.00211550956.69298930.00186.115894E-40.00135392450.00352098652.60057830.002170.00742070840.0163609390.0188987271.15511260.002580.071777480.150211630.152752491.01691520.00299
6.21.4273766E-43.160784E-40.00211550956.69298930.00186.115894E-40.00135392450.00352098652.60057830.002170.00742070840.0163609390.0188987271.15511260.002580.071777480.150211630.152752491.01691520.00299
6.31.3730655E-43.0512668E-40.00209458066.8646260.001795.883239E-40.0013070360.00346421292.6504340.002160.00713934420.0157984550.018318011.15948120.002560.069142910.14551350.148042781.01738180.00296
6.41.3730655E-43.0512668E-40.00209458066.8646260.001795.883239E-40.0013070360.00346421292.6504340.002160.00713934420.0157984550.018318011.15948120.002560.069142910.14551350.148042781.01738180.00296
6.51.2942807E-42.8927144E-40.00206875667.151610.001785.545738E-40.00123915090.00338648682.7329090.002150.00673105240.0149835480.017485491.16697930.002540.065307880.138650880.141174631.01820220.00293
6.61.1125901E-42.5365927E-40.0019732237.779030.001724.767372E-40.00108666050.00316440032.91204120.002080.0057888390.01315046850.0155879861.1853560.002470.0564034540.123004960.125486851.02017720.00283
6.71.02209575E-42.3500937E-40.00194460758.2745950.001714.3796748E-40.00100679570.00305473183.0341130.002050.00531922470.0121892670.0145698911.19530490.002410.0519369060.1147927640.117244791.02136040.00277
6.89.610582E-52.2026796E-40.00190989578.6707830.001694.1181705E-49.436647E-40.0029717493.14915780.002030.00500235150.0114288590.0137915441.20672980.002390.0489123460.108204690.1106571261.02266480.00275
6.99.3877505E-52.1482339E-40.00188446468.7721580.001674.0227012E-49.203475E-40.00292849753.18194770.002010.00488664540.0111479070.0134815971.20933890.002360.047805770.1057982740.10823051.02298930.00272
7.09.1019785E-52.0809306E-40.00187774559.0235850.001673.900265E-48.915232E-40.00289973133.25255850.002010.00473823770.01080049950.013135011.21614840.002360.0463847440.102768150.105190681.02357270.0027
7.18.771155E-51.9983841E-40.00183951069.204990.001643.758525E-48.5616973E-40.00283447443.31064560.001980.00456640640.0103742430.0126800711.22226460.002330.0447370560.099076440.1014638841.0240970.00265
7.28.0830236E-51.8389444E-40.00181359479.8621510.001633.4636928E-47.8788114E-40.0027563293.49840710.001970.00420889440.0095503680.0118383081.23956550.002310.0413006580.091805180.094184661.02591870.00262
7.37.7668235E-51.7333007E-40.001793049310.3447090.001623.328214E-47.426318E-40.00270117633.63730220.001960.00404457330.0090041380.0112834281.25313810.00230.039717480.087067610.089441241.02726190.0026
7.47.520177E-51.655312E-40.001775264710.7246540.001613.2225347E-47.092266E-40.00265784353.7475240.001950.00391637950.0086007140.0108710171.2639670.002290.0384807440.083521570.085895241.028420.00259
7.57.274697E-51.584075E-40.001738157210.9726950.001583.1173544E-46.7871273E-40.00259740953.82696460.001920.0037887750.0082320760.01046355351.27107110.002250.037248270.080236540.0825727361.02911640.00254
7.67.1185845E-51.5410586E-40.001733862311.2511130.001583.0504653E-46.602866E-40.00257901873.90590830.001920.00370761780.00800940950.0102413881.27866960.002250.0364636670.078226610.080567921.02992980.00254
7.76.709961E-51.4319421E-40.00172296812.0323860.001582.8753807E-46.135452E-40.00253236714.1274340.001920.0034951570.00744436630.0096776171.2999920.002250.0344069380.073055580.0754100161.0322280.00254
7.86.300812E-51.320343E-40.001711825712.9650070.001582.7000686E-45.657386E-40.0024746584.37420750.001910.00328237870.0068661430.00909076351.32399850.002240.0323431750.067713850.070063211.03469540.00252
7.94.983037E-59.7241085E-50.001397114714.3675350.00132.1354125E-44.1668097E-40.0019660354.71832230.001550.00259676480.00506130050.00686213931.35580560.001810.0256662960.0506505070.0525397141.03729880.00199
8.03.2211527E-55.3306234E-55.3328066E-410.0040964.8E-41.380421E-42.2843528E-47.983051E-43.49466635.7E-40.00167936690.00277765420.00344579321.24054076.7E-40.0166673230.0283625680.0290718641.02500827.3E-4
8.11.743376E-51.8823403E-51.1882152E-46.3124361.0E-47.471398E-58.066923E-51.9066036E-42.3634831.1E-49.0926304E-49.81706E-40.00109159811.11193981.1E-40.0090555170.0104839790.0105928271.01038221.1E-4
8.27.831616E-65.1540533E-65.1540533E-61.00.03.3563636E-52.2088612E-52.2088612E-51.00.04.0856065E-42.6889573E-42.6889573E-41.00.00.0040781030.00304136680.00304136681.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Coyote Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.980352E-52.1706745E-58.5168873E-439.2361348.3E-48.486947E-59.302599E-50.001222920813.1460120.001130.00103279590.00113207510.00283015052.4999670.00170.0102800910.0112702580.0134059141.18949480.00216
6.11.980352E-52.1706745E-58.5168873E-439.2361348.3E-48.486947E-59.302599E-50.001222920813.1460120.001130.00103279590.00113207510.00283015052.4999670.00170.0102800910.0112702580.0134059141.18949480.00216
6.21.980352E-52.1706745E-58.5168873E-439.2361348.3E-48.486947E-59.302599E-50.001222920813.1460120.001130.00103279590.00113207510.00283015052.4999670.00170.0102800910.0112702580.0134059141.18949480.00216
6.31.5344787E-51.682067E-56.968092E-441.4257746.8E-46.576172E-57.2086936E-59.6202275E-413.3453148.9E-48.003548E-48.773662E-40.00220619932.51457050.001330.0079747840.008745070.0104401151.19382870.00171
6.41.5344787E-51.682067E-56.968092E-441.4257746.8E-46.576172E-57.2086936E-59.6202275E-413.3453148.9E-48.003548E-48.773662E-40.00220619932.51457050.001330.0079747840.008745070.0104401151.19382870.00171
6.51.4189697E-51.5557987E-56.755477E-443.421286.6E-46.081157E-56.6675726E-59.066197E-413.5974488.4E-47.401293E-48.115349E-40.00204053662.51441650.001230.00737669130.0080916560.0096390331.19123130.00156
6.61.3469301E-51.4771577E-56.64762E-445.0027776.5E-45.7724297E-56.330556E-58.93253E-414.1101828.3E-47.025667E-47.7053264E-40.0019696082.55616430.00120.00700349640.00768451440.0091928341.19628040.00152
6.71.3027966E-51.4281745E-56.442728E-445.1116266.3E-45.5832945E-56.120638E-58.711568E-414.2331058.1E-46.7955407E-47.4499263E-40.0019141212.56931540.001170.0067747980.00743082860.0088899051.19635450.00147
6.85.695434E-66.2244176E-61.2622368E-420.2787911.2E-42.4408775E-52.6675973E-51.9667143E-47.37260631.7E-42.971363E-43.2476155E-45.7468034E-41.76954562.5E-40.00296739330.00324581050.00357473921.10133963.3E-4
6.94.385688E-64.7930553E-66.4792766E-513.5180516.0E-51.879567E-52.0541665E-51.2053961E-45.86805441.0E-42.2881327E-42.5009477E-44.1005478E-41.63959741.6E-40.0022857780.00250094780.00273037261.09173512.3E-4

Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6707214E-51.867027E-50.001008651854.0244949.9E-47.160038E-58.001303E-50.00137990917.2460540.00138.71386E-49.737309E-40.00278196832.857020.001810.008679770.0096954960.0117454271.21143110.00207
6.11.6707214E-51.867027E-50.001008651854.0244949.9E-47.160038E-58.001303E-50.00137990917.2460540.00138.71386E-49.737309E-40.00278196832.857020.001810.008679770.0096954960.0117454271.21143110.00207
6.21.6707214E-51.867027E-50.001008651854.0244949.9E-47.160038E-58.001303E-50.00137990917.2460540.00138.71386E-49.737309E-40.00278196832.857020.001810.008679770.0096954960.0117454271.21143110.00207
6.31.6707214E-51.867027E-50.001008651854.0244949.9E-47.160038E-58.001303E-50.00137990917.2460540.00138.71386E-49.737309E-40.00278196832.857020.001810.008679770.0096954960.0117454271.21143110.00207
6.41.5515609E-51.7338214E-58.873231E-451.177318.7E-46.649377E-57.4304546E-50.001194221316.0719810.001128.0926094E-49.042885E-40.00240293222.65726260.00150.0080632020.0090067730.0107112821.18924740.00172
6.51.5515609E-51.7338214E-58.873231E-451.177318.7E-46.649377E-57.4304546E-50.001194221316.0719810.001128.0926094E-49.042885E-40.00240293222.65726260.00150.0080632020.0090067730.0107112821.18924740.00172
6.61.5041828E-51.6809145E-57.9679606E-447.4025347.8E-46.4463384E-57.203723E-50.001091963715.1583240.001027.8455906E-48.767063E-40.0022355142.54990050.001360.007817950.0087331320.0102795081.177070.00156
6.71.4634985E-51.6356016E-57.763436E-447.465327.6E-46.271985E-57.009536E-50.001040027414.8373219.7E-47.6334673E-48.5308263E-40.00213199062.49916080.001280.0076072990.0084987150.0099562231.17149730.00147
6.81.4209158E-51.5882048E-56.9587125E-443.8149576.8E-46.089497E-56.8064175E-59.5800357E-414.0750068.9E-47.4114406E-48.2837185E-40.00199740262.41123910.001170.0073867710.0082534560.0095923141.16221790.00135
6.91.3780098E-51.5404594E-56.153954E-439.9488226.0E-45.9056227E-56.6018045E-58.659652E-413.1170998.0E-47.1877235E-48.0347876E-40.0018726192.33063910.001070.00716451930.0080063320.0091967251.14868140.0012
7.01.3585064E-51.5188155E-55.5517995E-436.5534825.4E-45.8220405E-56.50905E-57.9504296E-412.2144247.3E-47.086029E-47.9219416E-40.001781412.24870379.9E-40.0070634760.0078942930.0089955311.13949790.00111
7.11.3398601E-51.49813395E-55.349736E-435.7093285.2E-45.742131E-56.420419E-57.6415925E-411.9020157.0E-46.9888023E-47.8141113E-40.0017406612.22758659.6E-40.00696686380.0077872240.0088588141.13760860.00108
7.21.3126312E-51.4679561E-54.746728E-432.335634.6E-45.6254412E-56.291092E-56.6287315E-410.53669556.0E-46.846822E-47.6567667E-40.00159504112.08317858.3E-40.0068257650.007630970.0085538731.12094189.3E-4
7.31.2922429E-51.4453788E-54.5444744E-431.4414064.4E-45.5380664E-56.194336E-56.4190745E-410.3628125.8E-46.74051E-47.53905E-40.00155330182.06034188.0E-40.0067201010.0075140550.0084072921.11887559.0E-4
7.41.2768878E-51.4283772E-54.242779E-429.7034934.1E-45.4722615E-56.1214756E-55.911823E-49.6575135.3E-46.660441E-47.4504025E-40.00149448152.0059077.5E-40.00664051440.00742600350.0082696921.11361278.5E-4
7.51.2521929E-51.40120155E-54.140064E-429.546534.0E-45.366431E-56.005014E-55.800189E-49.658915.2E-46.531671E-47.3087064E-40.00147032982.0117517.4E-40.0065125060.00728524570.0081191261.11446158.4E-4
7.61.1301089E-51.2648149E-53.326441E-426.2998263.2E-44.8432343E-55.4205255E-54.8418195E-48.932384.3E-45.895042E-46.5975444E-40.00130932561.9845656.5E-40.00587942820.006578510.0073037081.11023747.3E-4
7.79.189108E-61.0283358E-52.002814E-419.4762651.9E-43.93813E-54.407082E-53.3405804E-47.58002762.9E-44.7936183E-45.3643517E-49.961884E-41.85705284.6E-40.0047832910.0053519140.00587907761.09855.3E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-73.6482615E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.5635396E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035933E-53.9035553E-52.05062462.0E-51.8045233E-41.9034347E-42.2033777E-41.15757983.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

Helendale-So Lockhart

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7296055E-51.8103729E-59.1808743E-450.7126129.0E-47.412385E-57.7585224E-50.001267492916.3367820.001199.0208417E-49.4421144E-40.0025127292.66119310.001570.0089843110.0094041160.0111871891.18960560.0018
6.11.7296055E-51.8103729E-59.1808743E-450.7126129.0E-47.412385E-57.7585224E-50.001267492916.3367820.001199.0208417E-49.4421144E-40.0025127292.66119310.001570.0089843110.0094041160.0111871891.18960560.0018
6.21.7296055E-51.8103729E-59.1808743E-450.7126129.0E-47.412385E-57.7585224E-50.001267492916.3367820.001199.0208417E-49.4421144E-40.0025127292.66119310.001570.0089843110.0094041160.0111871891.18960560.0018
6.31.0669118E-51.1135425E-55.511294E-449.4933475.4E-44.5723988E-54.772239E-57.6768803E-416.0865387.2E-45.5654737E-45.80868E-40.00159028142.73776720.001010.00555155570.00579379360.0069570151.20077030.00117
6.41.0669118E-51.1135425E-55.511294E-449.4933475.4E-44.5723988E-54.772239E-57.6768803E-416.0865387.2E-45.5654737E-45.80868E-40.00159028142.73776720.001010.00555155570.00579379360.0069570151.20077030.00117
6.58.790038E-69.170197E-64.791659E-452.2525184.7E-43.767105E-53.930026E-56.692755E-417.0297996.3E-44.585485E-44.7837716E-40.00136795142.85956678.9E-40.00457603440.0047736380.0057788171.21056870.00101
6.67.396949E-67.715537E-63.5771282E-446.3626633.5E-43.1700827E-53.3066175E-55.430493E-416.4231075.1E-43.858892E-44.025073E-40.00111222152.76323327.1E-40.0038521980.004017890.0048345951.20326728.2E-4
6.76.4600285E-66.738031E-63.2673587E-448.49133.2E-42.7685543E-52.887696E-54.888637E-416.9291934.6E-43.3701936E-43.5152107E-49.713031E-42.76314356.2E-40.00336508690.0035097320.004237171.20726317.3E-4
6.85.600104E-65.836009E-62.8583437E-448.977712.8E-42.4000226E-52.5011232E-54.2500123E-416.9924144.0E-42.9216358E-43.044698E-47.743267E-42.54319724.7E-40.00291779750.0030405880.00358891581.18033615.5E-4
6.94.839122E-65.0395092E-62.5503826E-450.6077542.5E-42.0738931E-52.159772E-53.515906E-416.279063.3E-42.5246723E-42.6292098E-46.528184E-42.48294543.9E-40.0025218060.0026261470.00309491251.17849954.7E-4
7.03.6937633E-63.845208E-62.138444E-455.613222.1E-41.5830317E-51.647936E-52.7647507E-416.7770522.6E-41.9271708E-42.0061806E-45.1055587E-42.54491473.1E-40.00192550030.0020044010.00238363931.18920283.8E-4
7.12.7858857E-62.8978538E-61.4289745E-449.3114781.4E-41.1939455E-51.2419316E-51.9241708E-415.4933721.8E-41.4535317E-41.511949E-43.7116162E-42.45485572.2E-40.00145258140.00151094180.00178053381.17842652.7E-4
7.22.1672065E-62.2540128E-61.0225379E-445.365221.0E-49.2879945E-69.66002E-61.3965876E-414.4573991.3E-41.1307546E-41.1760458E-42.7758576E-42.36033131.6E-40.00113017940.00117544170.00138519481.17844632.1E-4
7.31.4823496E-61.5422102E-64.154215E-526.9367624.0E-56.3529114E-66.6094562E-66.660906E-510.0778436.0E-57.734395E-58.046731E-51.6046087E-41.99411258.0E-57.731704E-48.0439687E-49.3429233E-41.16148171.3E-4
7.44.2321457E-74.4108765E-71.0441083E-523.671221.0E-51.8137755E-61.8903745E-62.1890337E-511.5798942.0E-52.2082493E-52.3015113E-54.3014654E-51.86897422.0E-52.2080299E-42.3013182E-42.701226E-41.17377344.0E-5
7.55.6942316E-85.9415648E-85.9415648E-81.00.02.440385E-72.5463845E-72.5463845E-71.00.02.9711643E-63.1002196E-63.1002196E-61.00.02.9711247E-53.1001844E-53.1001844E-51.00.0

San Andreas (San Bernardino S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2336002E-43.0005194E-40.00126976094.2318049.7E-45.2857865E-40.00128532920.00245382541.90910270.001170.0064164720.0155415540.0169887081.09311510.001470.062343370.142946990.144403981.01019250.0017
6.11.2336002E-43.0005194E-40.00126976094.2318049.7E-45.2857865E-40.00128532920.00245382541.90910270.001170.0064164720.0155415540.0169887081.09311510.001470.062343370.142946990.144403981.01019250.0017
6.21.2336002E-43.0005194E-40.00126976094.2318049.7E-45.2857865E-40.00128532920.00245382541.90910270.001170.0064164720.0155415540.0169887081.09311510.001470.062343370.142946990.144403981.01019250.0017
6.31.1712257E-42.8793467E-40.00123766114.29840959.5E-45.018573E-40.00123344780.0023920171.93929330.001160.0060930080.0149186660.0163568851.0964040.001460.0592863220.137657790.139115141.01058690.00169
6.41.1712257E-42.8793467E-40.00123766114.29840959.5E-45.018573E-40.00123344780.0023920171.93929330.001160.0060930080.0149186660.0163568851.0964040.001460.0592863220.137657790.139115141.01058690.00169
6.51.0689076E-42.6806415E-40.00119781484.46838869.3E-44.5802278E-40.00114836530.00226707921.97417940.001120.00556217830.0138963350.0152966031.10076520.001420.054250030.12889890.130336231.01115070.00165
6.69.7648895E-52.505129E-40.00115028754.5917299.0E-44.1842813E-40.00107320860.00216203882.0145560.001090.0050824690.0129923990.0143544691.1048360.001380.0496778860.1210777460.122475231.01154210.00159
6.78.757013E-52.3122175E-40.00111101824.80499038.8E-43.7524657E-49.905964E-40.00205953632.07908750.001070.004559060.0119979020.0133218241.11034620.001340.044666560.1123730240.113739971.01216440.00154
6.88.562978E-52.2682057E-40.0011066214.87883858.8E-43.6693315E-49.7174826E-40.00204070842.10003830.001070.0044582630.0117709210.0130951481.11249980.001340.0436987580.110378630.111748651.0124120.00154
6.96.124075E-51.7066885E-40.00102052375.9795558.5E-42.6243398E-47.312337E-40.00176048062.40754840.001030.00319045270.0088666360.0101253751.14196360.001270.0314503460.084202620.085539681.01587920.00146
7.05.8598747E-51.6495936E-40.00101481916.15193468.5E-42.5111332E-47.067779E-40.0017260572.4421490.001020.00305301860.0085712650.0098204661.14574280.001260.030114140.081515620.082838231.01622530.00144
7.15.613814E-51.5914452E-49.890124E-46.21455538.3E-42.4056983E-46.818704E-40.00168118862.46555420.0010.00292500390.0082703530.00950009751.14869310.001240.0288680210.078812680.080102351.01636360.0014
7.24.991222E-51.4520933E-49.6509024E-46.64628.2E-42.1389198E-46.221777E-40.00161156172.59019549.9E-40.0026010250.00754880630.0087595961.16039490.001220.0257079120.072261910.073532911.01758890.00137
7.34.7410045E-51.371513E-49.470402E-46.9050768.1E-42.0317009E-45.8765925E-40.00156708332.66665329.8E-40.00247078970.00713136560.0083327371.1684630.001210.0244349820.0685419440.069808731.01848190.00136
7.44.5556746E-51.3123035E-49.211267E-47.01915937.9E-41.952286E-45.6229485E-40.0015217552.70632939.6E-40.0023743170.00682452930.0080064081.17318090.001190.0234910860.065791430.067043271.01902740.00134
7.54.3084514E-51.2358342E-48.9348824E-47.22983937.7E-41.8463485E-45.2953605E-40.00146903832.7741999.4E-40.00224561150.00642811460.0075806581.17929730.001160.0222305450.0621902830.063418811.01975440.00131
7.63.408608E-59.836477E-58.6828903E-48.8272367.7E-41.4607502E-44.214953E-40.00135110333.20550049.3E-40.00177701250.0051196560.00626376831.22347450.001150.0176286960.050022440.051257411.02468840.0013
7.72.8315713E-58.2495724E-58.524322E-410.3330477.7E-41.2134742E-43.5350522E-40.00128317653.62986569.3E-40.00147640340.0042954420.00543054471.26425770.001140.014666330.0422724150.0435078851.02922630.00129
7.82.6222975E-57.463898E-58.445815E-411.3155567.7E-41.1237934E-43.1984213E-40.00123954793.8754999.2E-40.00136735970.0038871310.00501273851.28957280.001130.0135897680.0384374750.039658661.03177070.00127
7.92.1469694E-55.7884805E-57.27846E-412.5740436.7E-49.200973E-52.4805416E-40.00104785574.22430238.0E-40.00111964280.003015880.00400289431.32727249.9E-40.0111401840.0301532650.03120071.0347370.00108
8.01.2420249E-53.1321662E-52.5131478E-48.0236732.2E-45.322855E-51.342288E-43.941939E-42.9367312.6E-46.478649E-40.00163301160.00196247271.20175063.3E-40.00645979350.016523690.0168974121.02261733.8E-4
8.14.9197724E-67.822525E-67.822525E-61.00.02.1084568E-53.3524673E-53.3524673E-51.00.02.566744E-44.080866E-44.080866E-41.00.00.0025637810.0043845570.0043845571.00.0
8.22.5634774E-62.9065757E-62.9065757E-61.00.01.0986286E-51.2456694E-51.2456694E-51.00.01.3374983E-41.5164974E-41.5164974E-41.00.00.00133669340.0017049410.0017049411.00.0
8.35.2850464E-73.2080476E-73.2080476E-71.00.02.2650179E-61.3748769E-61.3748769E-61.00.02.7576245E-51.673901E-51.673901E-51.00.02.7572823E-41.986671E-41.986671E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Big Bend)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0179969E-42.0073925E-48.306128E-44.13776976.3E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00166933181.94101938.1E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0114203351.0959110.001010.0517340970.1014559050.1025251751.01053920.00119
6.11.0179969E-42.0073925E-48.306128E-44.13776976.3E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00166933181.94101938.1E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0114203351.0959110.001010.0517340970.1014559050.1025251751.01053920.00119
6.21.0179969E-42.0073925E-48.306128E-44.13776976.3E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00166933181.94101938.1E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0114203351.0959110.001010.0517340970.1014559050.1025251751.01053920.00119
6.31.0179969E-42.0073925E-48.306128E-44.13776976.3E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00166933181.94101938.1E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0114203351.0959110.001010.0517340970.1014559050.1025251751.01053920.00119
6.49.1639464E-51.8430917E-46.1422994E-43.33260634.3E-43.9268145E-47.896575E-40.00128926271.63268595.0E-40.00477042050.0095718180.0101660751.0620846.0E-40.0466930640.093786950.0944394251.00695697.2E-4
6.59.1639464E-51.8430917E-46.1422994E-43.33260634.3E-43.9268145E-47.896575E-40.00128926271.63268595.0E-40.00477042050.0095718180.0101660751.0620846.0E-40.0466930640.093786950.0944394251.00695697.2E-4
6.69.042622E-51.8238011E-45.923053E-43.2476424.1E-43.8748336E-47.813951E-40.00126102011.61380594.8E-40.00470740950.00947210.0100466061.06065255.8E-40.0460893250.092877210.0935031251.00673916.9E-4
6.78.9836685E-51.8152347E-45.7145266E-43.14809253.9E-43.8495753E-47.7772595E-40.00123736821.5910084.6E-40.004676790.0094278150.0099726291.0577885.5E-40.0457958170.092471480.0930704551.00647746.6E-4
6.88.9471854E-51.8099119E-45.509242E-43.04392843.7E-43.8339442E-47.754462E-40.0012151051.56697524.4E-40.0046578410.0094002980.0099253151.05585125.3E-40.045614140.09221920.0928001851.00636.4E-4
6.98.858234E-51.7981093E-45.1974977E-42.8905353.4E-43.7958333E-47.7039085E-40.0011800751.53178744.1E-40.0046116380.0093392780.0098346081.05303735.0E-40.045171030.091659110.092213191.00604516.1E-4
7.08.7433385E-51.7819891E-45.081401E-42.85153323.3E-43.746607E-47.6348626E-40.00115318851.51042473.9E-40.0045519570.0092559320.0097314891.05137864.8E-40.0445983860.090893230.09142961.00590115.9E-4
7.18.684964E-51.7731842E-44.8726346E-42.74795753.1E-43.7215967E-47.597149E-40.00112943391.48665483.7E-40.00452163350.0092104050.0096661681.04948354.6E-40.044307310.090474750.090993181.00573025.7E-4
7.28.606521E-51.7622454E-44.6617343E-42.64533782.9E-43.6879873E-47.550296E-40.00110476531.4632083.5E-40.00448088350.0091538420.0095799051.04654484.3E-40.0439160240.089955180.090446611.0054635.4E-4
7.38.568266E-51.7564454E-44.6559362E-42.65077192.9E-43.6715972E-47.5254537E-40.0011022821.46473823.5E-40.00446101050.009123850.0095499271.04669934.3E-40.0437251480.089676230.0901678061.00548175.4E-4
7.48.5432206E-51.752704E-44.6521958E-42.65429642.9E-43.6608664E-47.509428E-40.001100681.46573083.5E-40.0044479990.0091045010.0095305871.04679944.3E-40.0436001570.089496420.089988091.00549385.4E-4
7.58.4791965E-51.7396381E-44.539151E-42.609252.8E-43.633435E-47.4534636E-40.00107510041.44241713.3E-40.00441473770.0090369320.0094432271.04495944.1E-40.0432805750.088872090.089345871.00533125.2E-4
7.68.241105E-51.6841735E-44.2837355E-42.5435242.6E-43.531424E-47.2158914E-40.00103136551.42929733.1E-40.00429103520.0087500470.0091366351.04418123.9E-40.0420911760.086250320.08670721.00529715.0E-4
7.77.00432E-51.4205615E-43.12032E-42.19653991.7E-43.001506E-46.0867006E-48.285361E-41.36122382.2E-40.00364821120.00738541740.00767327571.03897662.9E-40.0358889770.073522990.0738750551.00478843.8E-4
7.86.415362E-51.2969968E-42.9967763E-42.31055021.7E-42.749151E-45.557374E-47.656207E-41.37766642.1E-40.00334195470.00674514150.0070232531.04123142.8E-40.032921410.067255140.06758161.00485413.5E-4
7.94.939911E-59.341721E-52.0340693E-42.17740321.1E-42.116933E-44.0029807E-45.3024606E-41.3246281.3E-40.00257431950.0048627470.0050617751.0409292.0E-40.0254470130.0489158030.0491630841.00505532.6E-4
8.03.344983E-55.2228E-51.02225385E-41.95729095.0E-51.4334853E-42.2381509E-42.8380167E-41.26801856.0E-50.00174387110.00272154530.00281130031.03297959.0E-50.0173024960.0279231610.0280106481.00313329.0E-5
8.11.9104898E-51.9171663E-52.917147E-51.52159321.0E-58.1875565E-58.2161685E-59.216086E-51.12170121.0E-59.963791E-49.9986E-40.00100985011.00999141.0E-50.0099192350.0107495520.0107594451.00092031.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Death Valley (No)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0074807E-52.2500084E-54.7248995E-420.9994754.5E-48.603206E-59.642541E-56.963675E-47.22182666.0E-40.0010469370.00117335450.00207229841.76613169.0E-40.0104201830.0116725060.0126707171.08551810.00101
6.12.0074807E-52.2500084E-54.7248995E-420.9994754.5E-48.603206E-59.642541E-56.963675E-47.22182666.0E-40.0010469370.00117335450.00207229841.76613169.0E-40.0104201830.0116725060.0126707171.08551810.00101
6.22.0074807E-52.2500084E-54.7248995E-420.9994754.5E-48.603206E-59.642541E-56.963675E-47.22182666.0E-40.0010469370.00117335450.00207229841.76613169.0E-40.0104201830.0116725060.0126707171.08551810.00101
6.31.9050609E-52.1336948E-54.5132777E-421.1524074.3E-48.164292E-59.1440896E-56.713879E-47.3423155.8E-49.935491E-40.0011127310.0019817631.78099018.7E-40.0098911880.0110724190.0120316781.08663519.7E-4
6.41.9050609E-52.1336948E-54.5132777E-421.1524074.3E-48.164292E-59.1440896E-56.713879E-47.3423155.8E-49.935491E-40.0011127310.0019817631.78099018.7E-40.0098911880.0110724190.0120316781.08663519.7E-4
6.51.8367004E-52.0561009E-54.5055218E-421.9129414.3E-47.8713354E-58.811567E-56.680646E-47.58167745.8E-49.5791375E-40.00107228690.00193136461.80116438.6E-40.0095379510.01067191550.0116216711.08899579.6E-4
6.61.779439E-51.9910927E-54.4990238E-422.595754.3E-47.625944E-58.53298E-56.652803E-47.7965775.8E-49.280632E-40.00103840150.00189750851.82733618.6E-40.0092419690.0103362530.01128632951.0919179.6E-4
6.71.7025437E-51.9043426E-54.4903523E-423.5795424.3E-47.296412E-58.161216E-56.615648E-48.1062045.8E-48.87976E-49.931813E-40.0018323471.84492718.4E-40.0088443620.0098881450.010818851.09412349.4E-4
6.81.6545107E-51.8512545E-54.3850477E-423.6868974.2E-47.090568E-57.93371E-56.492919E-48.1839635.7E-48.629347E-49.655073E-40.00179470591.85882178.3E-40.0085959150.0096138290.0105348881.09580569.3E-4
6.91.615478E-51.8087594E-54.3808E-424.2199154.2E-46.9232934E-57.751599E-56.374726E-48.2237565.6E-48.4258494E-49.433546E-40.0017625811.86841838.2E-40.0083939730.0093941960.0103055531.09701289.2E-4
7.01.5894311E-51.780555E-54.2779825E-424.026124.1E-46.81167E-57.6307304E-56.262653E-48.2071495.5E-48.2900526E-49.286515E-40.00172790861.86066418.0E-40.0082591950.0092483970.01014007351.09641429.0E-4
7.11.5602263E-51.7483504E-54.2747633E-424.4502684.1E-46.6865134E-57.492718E-56.2488596E-48.33991055.5E-48.137789E-49.118627E-40.00171113331.8765258.0E-40.0081080520.0090818940.009973721.09819839.0E-4
7.21.5323829E-51.717063E-54.2716358E-424.8775734.1E-46.56719E-57.358637E-56.235459E-48.47365955.5E-47.99262E-48.9555193E-40.00169483551.89250398.0E-40.0079639340.0089201070.0098120781.09999569.0E-4
7.31.4556212E-51.6302456E-54.2629577E-426.1491764.1E-46.238227E-56.9865826E-56.098281E-48.728565.4E-47.592395E-48.5029035E-40.00160964421.89305237.6E-40.00756650740.0084710140.0093237291.10066278.6E-4
7.41.411725E-51.580796E-54.2580147E-426.935894.1E-46.0501097E-56.7746674E-55.977108E-48.8227325.3E-47.363519E-48.245094E-40.0015738911.90888187.5E-40.00733916740.0082151380.0090581551.10261758.5E-4
7.51.3503312E-51.5126289E-54.1512024E-427.4436264.0E-45.7870053E-56.482538E-55.8479165E-49.021035.2E-47.043401E-47.8896893E-40.00152838511.9371937.4E-40.0070211190.0078623040.00869571.10599898.4E-4
7.61.1279839E-51.2626327E-53.326223E-426.3435523.2E-44.834127E-55.4111737E-54.8408846E-48.946094.3E-45.88396E-46.5861654E-40.00130818841.98626726.5E-40.0058684050.0065671990.00729240431.11042857.3E-4
7.79.189108E-61.0283358E-52.002814E-419.4762651.9E-43.93813E-54.407082E-53.3405804E-47.58002762.9E-44.7936183E-45.3643517E-49.961884E-41.85705284.6E-40.0047832910.0053519140.00587907761.09855.3E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-73.6482615E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.5635396E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035933E-53.9035553E-52.05062462.0E-51.8045233E-41.9034347E-42.2033777E-41.15757983.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

Red Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.258278E-68.551265E-64.485475E-452.4539384.4E-43.539214E-53.6647863E-56.3662586E-417.3714316.0E-44.308141E-44.4611428E-40.00124575732.79246268.0E-40.00429979850.0044539450.00541962451.21681459.7E-4
6.13.649988E-63.7753161E-61.7377468E-446.029171.7E-41.5642712E-51.6179853E-52.5617596E-415.8330222.4E-41.9043336E-41.9697666E-45.069156E-42.57348063.1E-40.00190270260.0019684880.00235772041.19773163.9E-4
6.23.649988E-63.7753161E-61.7377468E-446.029171.7E-41.5642712E-51.6179853E-52.5617596E-415.8330222.4E-41.9043336E-41.9697666E-45.069156E-42.57348063.1E-40.00190270260.0019684880.00235772041.19773163.9E-4
6.31.3924937E-61.4411166E-67.144101E-549.5733767.0E-55.9678164E-66.1762075E-67.617578E-512.3337467.0E-57.265574E-57.519415E-51.7518662E-42.32979081.0E-47.263199E-47.518258E-48.817281E-41.17278241.3E-4
6.41.3924937E-61.4411166E-67.144101E-549.5733767.0E-55.9678164E-66.1762075E-67.617578E-512.3337467.0E-57.265574E-57.519415E-51.7518662E-42.32979081.0E-47.263199E-47.518258E-48.817281E-41.17278241.3E-4
6.59.876812E-71.0221912E-63.1022162E-530.3486863.0E-54.2329125E-64.3808195E-63.438069E-57.8480043.0E-55.153449E-55.3336476E-51.1333328E-42.12487366.0E-55.1522546E-45.333648E-46.033274E-41.13117237.0E-5

Calico-Hidalgo

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0906612E-55.0704355E-54.106861E-48.0996223.6E-41.7530227E-42.1728857E-47.271778E-43.3465995.1E-40.00213221580.0026426780.00332088121.25663476.8E-40.021118730.0261528140.0269124151.02904477.8E-4
6.14.0906612E-55.0704355E-54.106861E-48.0996223.6E-41.7530227E-42.1728857E-47.271778E-43.3465995.1E-40.00213221580.0026426780.00332088121.25663476.8E-40.021118730.0261528140.0269124151.02904477.8E-4
6.24.0906612E-55.0704355E-54.106861E-48.0996223.6E-41.7530227E-42.1728857E-47.271778E-43.3465995.1E-40.00213221580.0026426780.00332088121.25663476.8E-40.021118730.0261528140.0269124151.02904477.8E-4
6.32.4242801E-53.0090967E-52.4008464E-47.97862862.1E-41.0389358E-41.289551E-44.2891642E-43.3260913.0E-40.00126417040.00156893120.00199825641.2736424.3E-40.012570030.0155822290.0160744381.03158785.0E-4
6.42.4242801E-53.0090967E-52.4008464E-47.97862862.1E-41.0389358E-41.289551E-44.2891642E-43.3260913.0E-40.00126417040.00156893120.00199825641.2736424.3E-40.012570030.0155822290.0160744381.03158785.0E-4
6.52.0286952E-52.5316054E-52.2531099E-48.8999252.0E-48.694118E-51.0849296E-43.884626E-43.58053262.8E-40.00105799490.00132011860.00172957731.31016814.1E-40.0105297190.0131247010.01359841.03609234.8E-4
6.62.0269223E-52.5297004E-52.2529195E-48.9058742.0E-48.6865206E-51.08411325E-43.8838095E-43.58247612.8E-40.00105707070.00131912580.00172858491.31040194.1E-40.0105205650.013114890.0135885951.03611964.8E-4
6.71.799852E-52.2540933E-52.0253687E-48.9852921.8E-47.713423E-59.660051E-53.4657636E-43.5877282.5E-49.3870464E-40.00117549110.0015350681.3058953.6E-40.0093474930.0116943460.0121193171.03633994.3E-4
6.81.7458793E-52.184258E-52.0183864E-49.2406041.8E-47.4821255E-59.360778E-53.4358437E-43.6704682.5E-49.10568E-40.00113909330.00149868321.31568093.6E-40.0090684590.0113341310.0117592571.03750854.3E-4
6.91.542884E-51.9026285E-51.9902286E-410.4604161.8E-46.612192E-58.153875E-53.2151918E-43.9431462.4E-48.04737E-49.922953E-40.00132196781.33223243.3E-40.0080182910.0098800430.0102562891.03808143.8E-4
7.01.468253E-51.803109E-51.9802785E-410.9825761.8E-46.292361E-57.727389E-53.0725612E-43.97619582.3E-47.658257E-49.4041653E-40.0012501251.32933123.1E-40.00763191840.0093657360.0097223641.0380783.6E-4
7.11.3139281E-51.620139E-51.6619895E-410.2583151.5E-45.6309986E-56.943275E-52.5941955E-43.7362711.9E-46.853584E-48.4502844E-40.00110480881.30742192.6E-40.00683248560.0084194490.008726841.03650953.1E-4
7.21.1127404E-51.3867038E-51.03865794E-47.49012049.0E-54.7688E-55.9428872E-51.8942115E-43.18735891.3E-45.8044674E-47.233172E-49.1317977E-41.26248861.9E-40.00578932980.0072107370.00744900671.03304372.4E-4
7.39.808154E-61.2176586E-51.0217549E-48.3911459.0E-54.2034266E-55.2184383E-51.7217812E-43.29941841.2E-45.11647E-46.351704E-47.850751E-41.23600711.5E-40.00510470570.0063346250.00653335821.03137252.0E-4
7.47.942452E-69.792348E-68.979157E-59.1695648.0E-53.4038632E-54.1966585E-51.5196197E-43.62102321.1E-44.1434157E-45.108328E-46.507613E-41.27392221.4E-40.00413569850.0050975270.00527660971.03513121.8E-4
7.54.7121216E-65.7729717E-66.577263E-511.3932016.0E-52.019465E-52.4741115E-59.4739386E-53.82922847.0E-52.4584212E-43.011891E-43.7116802E-41.23234217.0E-50.00245570320.00300856140.00311823051.03645231.1E-4
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.0260397E-577.804312.0E-59.478797E-71.1160082E-62.1115986E-518.9209962.0E-51.1540374E-51.3587343E-53.358707E-52.47193812.0E-51.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.6586386E-41.22077263.0E-5

Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6204086E-42.937271E-45.736448E-41.95298592.8E-46.94276E-40.00125837780.0016478871.30953283.9E-40.0084200970.01523461750.0158156291.03813765.9E-40.0810811450.139624540.14020961.00419026.8E-4
6.11.6204086E-42.937271E-45.736448E-41.95298592.8E-46.94276E-40.00125837780.0016478871.30953283.9E-40.0084200970.01523461750.0158156291.03813765.9E-40.0810811450.139624540.14020961.00419026.8E-4
6.21.6204086E-42.937271E-45.736448E-41.95298592.8E-46.94276E-40.00125837780.0016478871.30953283.9E-40.0084200970.01523461750.0158156291.03813765.9E-40.0810811450.139624540.14020961.00419026.8E-4
6.31.0111737E-41.7703463E-43.769992E-42.12952262.0E-44.332882E-47.5861585E-40.00103840351.36881332.8E-40.0052625310.00921772050.0096437581.04621924.3E-40.05139640.087073930.087503011.00492784.7E-4
6.41.0111737E-41.7703463E-43.769992E-42.12952262.0E-44.332882E-47.5861585E-40.00103840351.36881332.8E-40.0052625310.00921772050.0096437581.04621924.3E-40.05139640.087073930.087503011.00492784.7E-4
6.53.6624708E-54.6391986E-51.16388735E-42.50881127.0E-51.569536E-41.9880968E-42.987898E-41.50289371.0E-40.0019092350.00241818140.0025977461.07425611.8E-40.018929150.0236970610.0238825591.00782791.9E-4
6.62.5051324E-52.6147465E-57.6146156E-52.91218145.0E-51.073584E-41.12056E-41.7204927E-41.53538666.0E-50.00130630470.00136347250.00148330881.08789061.2E-40.0129865250.0135657590.0136841311.00872581.2E-4
6.72.2189772E-52.2072489E-57.207139E-53.26521335.0E-59.509556E-59.459316E-51.5458748E-41.63423546.0E-50.00115717340.00115109960.0012609731.09545081.1E-40.0115116630.01146632250.0115750621.00948331.1E-4
6.81.6654378E-51.44376E-54.4437165E-53.07787783.0E-57.137396E-56.187399E-59.1872134E-51.48482643.0E-58.686314E-47.5306057E-48.230079E-41.09288417.0E-50.0086524390.00751007630.00757955061.00925087.0E-5
6.91.5042909E-51.2331886E-54.2331514E-53.4326883.0E-56.446802E-55.2849886E-58.28483E-51.56761553.0E-57.8461546E-46.4326054E-47.132155E-41.10875067.0E-50.0078185090.0064179250.00648747571.0108377.0E-5
7.01.4361385E-51.1451172E-54.145083E-53.61978913.0E-56.154734E-54.9075545E-57.9074074E-51.61127253.0E-57.490812E-45.973339E-46.57298E-41.10038646.0E-50.0074656120.0059609820.0060206241.01000556.0E-5
7.11.3265571E-51.0244736E-54.0244428E-53.92830323.0E-55.6851208E-54.3905282E-57.390397E-51.6832593.0E-56.919436E-45.344183E-45.843915E-41.09350975.0E-50.0068979310.00533460030.00538433341.00932285.0E-5
7.21.1596403E-58.504847E-63.8504593E-54.52737053.0E-54.9697923E-53.6448844E-56.644775E-51.82304133.0E-56.049042E-44.4367602E-44.936538E-41.11264485.0E-50.0060326030.0044293570.00447913541.01123835.0E-5
7.31.0150827E-57.238537E-62.7238393E-53.76296932.0E-54.3502816E-53.102194E-55.102132E-51.6446852.0E-55.2951806E-43.776281E-44.1761302E-41.10588434.0E-50.0052825810.0037702710.00381012031.01056934.0E-5
7.49.080705E-66.352307E-61.6352244E-52.57422111.0E-53.8916725E-52.7223898E-53.7223625E-51.36731431.0E-54.7370812E-43.314019E-43.5139528E-41.06032972.0E-50.0047269960.00330922570.00332915951.00602382.0E-5
7.57.671649E-65.225419E-61.5225367E-52.9137121.0E-53.287808E-52.2394468E-53.2394244E-51.44652891.0E-54.0021708E-42.7261977E-42.9261434E-41.07334222.0E-50.00399497060.00272297840.0027429241.00732492.0E-5
7.66.990086E-64.687336E-61.4687289E-53.1333981.0E-52.9957167E-52.0088435E-53.0088233E-51.49778891.0E-53.6466747E-42.445504E-42.6454552E-41.08176272.0E-50.00364069640.00244292920.00246288021.00816692.0E-5
7.74.163505E-62.329331E-61.23293075E-55.29306841.0E-51.7843471E-59.982813E-61.9982714E-52.00171161.0E-52.172226E-41.2153471E-41.315335E-41.0822711.0E-50.00217010380.00121475550.00122474331.00822211.0E-5
7.82.2692414E-79.384417E-89.384417E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0218927E-74.0218927E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8966467E-64.8966467E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8965718E-54.8965718E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4397174E-93.4397174E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4741646E-81.4741646E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.7947953E-71.7947953E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.794794E-61.794794E-61.00.0

Cady

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9892565E-52.1858728E-53.5185152E-416.0966133.3E-48.525106E-59.3677416E-55.636334E-46.0167484.7E-40.00103743740.00114001670.00173933271.52570816.0E-40.0103260750.0113507010.0120724141.06358337.3E-4
6.11.9892565E-52.1858728E-53.5185152E-416.0966133.3E-48.525106E-59.3677416E-55.636334E-46.0167484.7E-40.00103743740.00114001670.00173933271.52570816.0E-40.0103260750.0113507010.0120724141.06358337.3E-4
6.21.9892565E-52.1858728E-53.5185152E-416.0966133.3E-48.525106E-59.3677416E-55.636334E-46.0167484.7E-40.00103743740.00114001670.00173933271.52570816.0E-40.0103260750.0113507010.0120724141.06358337.3E-4
6.31.1117327E-51.2176583E-51.8217451E-414.9610531.7E-44.764482E-55.2184492E-53.1217092E-45.98206332.6E-45.7992124E-46.351925E-49.649829E-41.51919763.3E-40.00578410220.00633687530.00673434051.06272264.0E-4
6.41.1117327E-51.2176583E-51.8217451E-414.9610531.7E-44.764482E-55.2184492E-53.1217092E-45.98206332.6E-45.7992124E-46.351925E-49.649829E-41.51919763.3E-40.00578410220.00633687530.00673434051.06272264.0E-4
6.56.103093E-66.672021E-68.667148E-512.9902918.0E-52.615585E-52.8594131E-51.6859012E-45.89596941.4E-43.1840094E-43.480905E-45.480209E-41.57436322.0E-40.00317945120.00347668650.00369592171.06305862.2E-4
6.65.817237E-66.3656585E-68.636515E-513.5673558.0E-52.4930776E-52.728118E-51.5727764E-45.765061.3E-43.034899E-43.3211018E-45.2204705E-41.57190931.9E-40.00303075770.00331736050.00352666391.06309332.1E-4
6.74.8846314E-65.3405684E-66.5340246E-512.2346996.0E-52.0933967E-52.2888014E-51.2288573E-45.3689991.0E-42.5484123E-42.7863772E-44.3859315E-41.57406231.6E-40.00254549180.00278403910.0029635381.06447421.8E-4
6.81.7788773E-61.9399079E-63.193985E-516.464623.0E-57.6237375E-68.313874E-63.8313625E-54.6083963.0E-59.281505E-51.01218284E-41.5121323E-41.49393195.0E-59.2776294E-40.00101187650.00107181571.05923586.0E-5
6.97.5455404E-78.297092E-71.0829701E-513.0524051.0E-53.233799E-63.5558937E-61.35558585E-53.81222251.0E-53.937079E-54.3292483E-57.329118E-51.69293093.0E-53.9363815E-44.3287344E-44.6286045E-41.06927433.0E-5
7.06.8578805E-77.541816E-71.0754174E-514.2593961.0E-52.9390883E-63.2322048E-61.3232172E-54.09385351.0E-53.578281E-53.9351715E-55.9350925E-51.50821712.0E-53.577705E-43.9347992E-44.1347204E-41.05080852.0E-5

San Andreas (Parkfield)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.556969E-47.778562E-40.00116755291.5009883.9E-40.00237938480.00332995830.00377845971.13468684.5E-40.0285869630.0402350430.0408204981.01455096.1E-40.251762840.33719730.33767451.00141537.2E-4
6.11.925858E-43.0278185E-45.127183E-41.69335872.1E-48.2510663E-40.0012970850.00153677361.18479032.4E-40.00999948850.015773930.016079041.01934273.1E-40.0956132560.149758250.150081341.00215743.8E-4
6.29.4306815E-51.8243887E-43.5240786E-41.9316491.7E-44.0410945E-47.8164786E-49.714993E-41.24288621.9E-40.00490893840.0094752460.0097228771.02613452.5E-40.0480190630.09185650.092138031.00306493.1E-4
6.39.283051E-51.794041E-43.4937361E-41.94741141.7E-43.9778434E-47.686494E-49.5850334E-41.24699691.9E-40.00483227470.0093183550.0095660251.02657882.5E-40.0472853850.0905094740.090791411.0031153.1E-4
6.49.138826E-51.7702584E-43.4699574E-41.96014181.7E-43.916052E-47.5846276E-49.3832624E-41.23714211.8E-40.00475737450.0091953870.009433181.02586012.4E-40.0465680920.08941360.089686771.00305523.0E-4
6.59.000255E-51.746064E-43.445767E-41.97344841.7E-43.8566816E-47.4809964E-49.27965E-41.24042961.8E-40.00468540470.0090702840.0093081071.02622012.4E-40.0458784030.088296080.088569591.00309773.0E-4
6.68.8109264E-51.7141816E-43.41389E-41.99155691.7E-43.7755648E-47.3444354E-49.143113E-41.24490361.8E-40.00458706540.0089054040.0091432671.02670992.4E-40.044935290.086827070.087101031.00315513.0E-4
6.78.738073E-51.7008898E-43.4006007E-41.99930681.7E-43.7443507E-47.287503E-49.0861914E-41.24681821.8E-40.00454922160.0088366950.0090745741.02691952.4E-40.044572130.08622680.086500931.00317923.0E-4
6.88.710195E-51.6954402E-43.395152E-42.00251941.7E-43.7324068E-47.26416E-49.0628525E-41.24761191.8E-40.00453474050.0088085130.0090463991.02700642.4E-40.044433130.085974360.086248571.00318943.0E-4
6.98.6801556E-51.6895356E-43.3892484E-42.00602361.7E-43.7195362E-47.238869E-49.037566E-41.24847761.8E-40.00451913570.00877796950.0090158631.02710122.4E-40.0442833270.085700420.085974711.00320053.0E-4
7.08.5571606E-51.664819E-43.364536E-42.0209621.7E-43.6668387E-47.132999E-48.931715E-41.25216831.8E-40.0044552410.0086501030.0088880271.02750532.4E-40.0436697270.084548360.0848231.00324823.0E-4
7.17.82589E-51.5128969E-43.2126397E-42.12350231.7E-43.3535215E-46.4822397E-48.281073E-41.27750181.8E-40.00407527060.0078637380.0081018511.03027992.4E-40.0400134180.0774604450.077727981.00345392.9E-4
7.27.690929E-51.4866212E-43.1863686E-42.14336281.7E-43.2956956E-46.369685E-48.1685383E-41.28240861.8E-40.0040051290.00772768260.0079658281.03081722.4E-40.03933710.076233410.07650131.0035142.9E-4
7.37.5543794E-51.4562748E-43.1560272E-42.16719221.7E-43.2371894E-46.239692E-48.038569E-41.28829571.8E-40.0039341570.00757052560.0078087091.03146182.4E-40.0386523340.074797770.075066081.00358712.9E-4
7.47.4214564E-51.4263717E-43.1261292E-42.19166521.7E-43.1802364E-46.1115966E-47.910497E-41.2943421.8E-40.0038650650.00741564160.0076538621.0321242.4E-40.037985290.073371520.073640251.00366252.9E-4
7.56.149578E-51.1191443E-42.818954E-42.51884771.7E-42.6352672E-44.795452E-46.5945886E-41.37517561.8E-40.00320371780.0058228650.00605152551.03926942.3E-40.031579230.0585594620.0588136541.00434062.7E-4
7.66.0643448E-51.102009E-42.8018217E-42.5424671.7E-42.598746E-44.7220418E-46.5211917E-41.3810111.8E-40.00315938280.0057339620.00596264331.03988182.3E-40.0311484170.057720420.0579748341.00440782.7E-4
7.75.1652263E-59.175265E-52.0174256E-42.19876551.1E-42.2134806E-43.9316638E-45.131192E-41.30509421.2E-40.0026915820.00477630460.00493554031.03333871.6E-40.0265921410.048536410.0487171861.00372461.9E-4
7.84.8090482E-58.560165E-51.9559223E-42.28491191.1E-42.060858E-43.6681266E-44.8676864E-41.32702241.2E-40.00250620720.0044568070.0046160941.03574011.6E-40.0247813050.0453022640.045483661.0040041.9E-4
7.93.970278E-56.7507375E-51.4750197E-42.18497568.0E-51.7014367E-42.8928524E-43.692621E-41.27646368.0E-50.0020695310.00351636340.00363594151.03400611.2E-40.0205036360.035881760.0360263771.00403031.5E-4
8.02.8982335E-54.0698153E-57.069693E-51.73710423.0E-51.2420409E-41.7440901E-42.0440377E-41.17197943.0E-50.00151113570.00212136280.00218123551.02822386.0E-50.0150090120.022011180.022069861.00266596.0E-5
8.11.8836186E-51.867974E-52.8679553E-51.53532931.0E-58.0724014E-58.005358E-59.0052774E-51.12490631.0E-59.823717E-49.742171E-49.842074E-41.01025461.0E-50.0097804030.0104877110.0104976051.00094351.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.31567E-52.3384395E-46.137551E-42.62463523.8E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.00149131161.48862844.9E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0127312231.04968436.1E-40.0424638280.112581870.113211941.00559657.1E-4
6.18.31567E-52.3384395E-46.137551E-42.62463523.8E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.00149131161.48862844.9E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0127312231.04968436.1E-40.0424638280.112581870.113211941.00559657.1E-4
6.28.31567E-52.3384395E-46.137551E-42.62463523.8E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.00149131161.48862844.9E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0127312231.04968436.1E-40.0424638280.112581870.113211941.00559657.1E-4
6.38.31567E-52.3384395E-46.137551E-42.62463523.8E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.00149131161.48862844.9E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0127312231.04968436.1E-40.0424638280.112581870.113211941.00559657.1E-4
6.48.059055E-52.2941893E-45.99334E-42.61243.7E-43.4534236E-49.828559E-40.00146238421.48789264.8E-40.00419643940.0119008190.0124936781.04981676.0E-40.0411807450.1105629650.111185571.00563127.0E-4
6.58.059055E-52.2941893E-45.99334E-42.61243.7E-43.4534236E-49.828559E-40.00146238421.48789264.8E-40.00419643940.0119008190.0124936781.04981676.0E-40.0411807450.1105629650.111185571.00563127.0E-4
6.67.619237E-52.2186468E-45.9178256E-42.66731333.7E-43.2649786E-49.5050444E-40.00143004811.5045154.8E-40.00396786770.01151153350.0121046271.05152176.0E-40.038977640.107099540.107724571.0058367.0E-4
6.77.440636E-52.1862281E-45.885419E-42.69204263.7E-43.188454E-49.3662075E-40.00141617121.51200074.8E-40.00387503460.0113442680.0119374621.05229026.0E-40.0380815640.10560810.106234181.00592837.0E-4
6.87.3735864E-52.1709445E-45.8701413E-42.70395733.7E-43.1597257E-49.300753E-40.00140962891.51560724.8E-40.00384018150.0112654060.0118586481.05266036.0E-40.037744950.1049096960.105536261.00597247.0E-4
6.97.27575E-52.1478413E-45.847047E-42.72228983.7E-43.117806E-49.20181E-40.00138974851.51029914.7E-40.0037893230.0111461820.01172960551.05234295.9E-40.0372535620.103857530.104475871.00595376.9E-4
7.07.102591E-52.1062451E-45.8054656E-42.75631073.7E-43.0436125E-49.023664E-40.00136195131.50931074.6E-40.0036993030.0109314840.0115051441.05247775.8E-40.036383250.1019595340.102561221.00590126.7E-4
7.17.028513E-52.0898094E-45.789036E-42.77012633.7E-43.0118722E-48.953274E-40.00135491561.51331854.6E-40.00366078970.0108466410.011420351.05289285.8E-40.0360106860.101202430.101804631.00595056.7E-4
7.26.8498244E-52.050596E-45.649858E-42.7552273.6E-42.9353087E-48.7853306E-40.00132813771.51176754.5E-40.0035678830.01064418350.0112081161.05298045.7E-40.0351114050.099394490.0999798851.00588976.5E-4
7.36.622592E-51.9733235E-45.5726134E-42.82397343.6E-42.8379448E-48.4543816E-40.00129505771.53181844.5E-40.00344972430.0102451110.0108092711.05506635.7E-40.0339666120.0958912450.096478921.00612856.5E-4
7.45.1050705E-51.4690042E-44.668534E-43.17802643.2E-42.1877038E-46.294222E-40.00102917051.63510354.0E-40.0026602760.0076364820.0081525111.06757415.2E-40.026286540.072865540.073421821.00763446.0E-4
7.53.9302922E-51.11307076E-44.1127368E-43.69494653.0E-41.6843023E-44.7694342E-48.5676217E-41.79636033.8E-40.00204870920.00579139540.00626861541.08240164.8E-40.0202992470.056011510.0565401431.00943795.6E-4
7.62.9851626E-58.4956984E-53.7493234E-44.41320232.9E-41.2792926E-43.6405068E-47.239196E-41.98851343.6E-40.00155642590.00442333470.00488131.1035344.6E-40.01545569950.0431961450.043712821.01196115.4E-4
7.72.1135214E-56.353527E-53.5351684E-45.5641042.9E-49.0576345E-52.722656E-46.321676E-42.32187823.6E-40.00110220910.00330980080.00375831131.13550984.5E-40.0109675820.032584560.033097291.01573545.3E-4
7.81.883379E-55.564576E-53.456296E-46.2112482.9E-48.0713755E-52.3846005E-45.883766E-42.4674013.5E-49.822468E-40.0028993890.00333811341.15131624.4E-40.00977916550.0286969780.0292020551.01760045.2E-4
7.91.5156185E-54.1662403E-53.1165115E-47.4803932.7E-46.495346E-51.7854095E-45.0848204E-42.84798553.3E-47.9052144E-40.00217157040.00259065841.19298844.2E-40.0078771520.0217609460.02223051.02157784.8E-4
8.01.1405907E-52.9976925E-51.9997184E-46.67085841.7E-44.8881542E-51.2846621E-43.3843925E-42.6344612.1E-45.9497025E-40.00156295510.0018325331.17247962.7E-40.0059337980.0157740130.0160889641.01996653.2E-4
8.14.3511436E-67.369465E-67.369465E-61.00.01.8647626E-53.158304E-53.158304E-51.00.02.2701119E-43.844558E-43.844558E-41.00.00.00226779420.00411654450.00411654451.00.0
8.22.3042528E-62.7328301E-62.7328301E-61.00.09.875332E-61.1712076E-51.1712076E-51.00.01.2022553E-41.4258524E-41.4258524E-41.00.00.00120160510.00159796370.00159796371.00.0
8.35.202968E-73.1590292E-73.1590292E-71.00.02.2298414E-61.353869E-61.353869E-61.00.02.714798E-51.6483244E-51.6483244E-51.00.02.7144665E-41.955901E-41.955901E-41.00.0

Manix-Afton Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3783202E-51.47110895E-52.9470696E-420.032982.8E-45.906953E-56.30461E-54.8301963E-47.66137174.2E-47.189342E-47.6733343E-40.00132690371.72924015.6E-40.00716612770.0076485960.0083233951.08822526.8E-4
6.11.3783202E-51.47110895E-52.9470696E-420.032982.8E-45.906953E-56.30461E-54.8301963E-47.66137174.2E-47.189342E-47.6733343E-40.00132690371.72924015.6E-40.00716612770.0076485960.0083233951.08822526.8E-4
6.21.3783202E-51.47110895E-52.9470696E-420.032982.8E-45.906953E-56.30461E-54.8301963E-47.66137174.2E-47.189342E-47.6733343E-40.00132690371.72924015.6E-40.00716612770.0076485960.0083233951.08822526.8E-4
6.31.10494875E-51.1793136E-52.2179066E-418.8067592.1E-44.7354086E-55.054109E-53.805244E-47.5290113.3E-45.763835E-46.151744E-40.00105490371.71480434.4E-40.0057489080.00613575570.0066724421.08746875.4E-4
6.41.10494875E-51.1793136E-52.2179066E-418.8067592.1E-44.7354086E-55.054109E-53.805244E-47.5290113.3E-45.763835E-46.151744E-40.00105490371.71480434.4E-40.0057489080.00613575570.0066724421.08746875.4E-4
6.59.788949E-61.045432E-52.1045223E-420.1306482.0E-44.1951964E-54.480351E-53.4479008E-47.6956043.0E-45.1064545E-45.453555E-49.2514826E-41.69641323.8E-40.00509473630.00544109850.0058985961.08408184.6E-4
6.68.810006E-69.4136285E-61.7941203E-419.0587541.7E-43.775662E-54.0343548E-52.9033347E-47.1965282.5E-44.5958988E-44.9108086E-48.109237E-41.65130393.2E-40.00458640560.0049008390.0052988791.08121874.0E-4
6.78.80128E-69.404108E-61.7940252E-419.0770361.7E-43.7719226E-54.0302748E-52.9029266E-47.2028012.5E-44.591348E-44.9058435E-48.1042736E-41.65196343.2E-40.0045818740.00489589570.00529393741.08130114.0E-4
6.86.8994877E-67.380076E-61.5737896E-421.3248441.5E-42.9568899E-53.162856E-52.616213E-48.2716792.3E-43.5994186E-43.8501783E-46.6491E-41.7269592.8E-40.0035935940.00384431290.00419296741.09069363.5E-4
6.94.9328037E-65.2709615E-61.2527032E-423.7661251.2E-42.1140417E-52.2589675E-51.7258628E-47.64005231.5E-42.5735417E-42.7500073E-44.7494573E-41.72707082.0E-40.00257056350.00274720950.002986551.08712142.4E-4
7.03.347973E-63.59003E-69.3589704E-526.0693389.0E-51.4348378E-51.5385775E-51.1538424E-47.499411.0E-41.746775E-41.8730981E-43.1728548E-41.69390731.3E-40.00174540250.00187192190.00201165981.07464951.4E-4
7.11.2073567E-61.293482E-63.1293443E-524.193183.0E-55.1743755E-65.543492E-63.5543326E-56.4117213.0E-56.29962E-56.749156E-59.748953E-51.444473.0E-56.297835E-46.7487074E-47.048505E-41.0444233.0E-5

Baker

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.695525E-65.8348373E-62.7583327E-447.2735142.7E-42.4409164E-52.5006228E-53.9499698E-415.7959443.7E-42.9714106E-43.044123E-48.24254E-42.70768955.2E-40.00296744050.00304034860.00364849411.20002486.1E-4
6.15.695525E-65.8348373E-62.7583327E-447.2735142.7E-42.4409164E-52.5006228E-53.9499698E-415.7959443.7E-42.9714106E-43.044123E-48.24254E-42.70768955.2E-40.00296744050.00304034860.00364849411.20002486.1E-4
6.25.695525E-65.8348373E-62.7583327E-447.2735142.7E-42.4409164E-52.5006228E-53.9499698E-415.7959443.7E-42.9714106E-43.044123E-48.24254E-42.70768955.2E-40.00296744050.00304034860.00364849411.20002486.1E-4
6.33.2995713E-63.383667E-61.9338302E-457.1519051.9E-41.4140943E-51.4501353E-52.7449758E-418.9291022.6E-41.7215237E-41.7654014E-45.164801E-42.92556763.4E-40.00172019070.0017640460.00219328751.24332794.3E-4
6.43.2995713E-63.383667E-61.9338302E-457.1519051.9E-41.4140943E-51.4501353E-52.7449758E-418.9291022.6E-41.7215237E-41.7654014E-45.164801E-42.92556763.4E-40.00172019070.0017640460.00219328751.24332794.3E-4
6.52.782202E-62.8558404E-61.6285539E-457.025381.6E-41.1923668E-51.223926E-52.4223645E-419.7917562.3E-41.4516099E-41.4900314E-44.5895696E-43.0801833.1E-40.0014506620.00148906510.00187848441.26151933.9E-4
6.62.3163404E-62.38092E-61.6238054E-468.200751.6E-49.927136E-61.0203904E-52.3020167E-422.5601562.2E-41.20856166E-41.2422565E-44.0419088E-43.25368292.8E-40.00120790470.00124158230.00160113541.28959263.6E-4
6.72.037056E-62.0965003E-61.5209618E-472.547651.5E-48.7302105E-68.984972E-62.1898308E-424.372152.1E-41.0628513E-41.093867E-43.7935717E-43.46803742.7E-40.00106234310.00109334480.00144296211.31976873.5E-4
6.81.8356744E-61.8915287E-61.4189126E-475.014071.4E-47.867153E-68.106527E-61.9810499E-424.4377141.9E-49.577837E-59.869264E-53.4866796E-43.5328672.5E-49.57371E-49.86502E-40.00131617651.33418523.3E-4
6.91.6310546E-61.6832072E-61.3168299E-478.233381.3E-46.9902153E-67.213726E-61.8721243E-425.9522511.8E-48.510255E-58.782368E-53.178035E-43.61865352.3E-48.5069967E-48.7790104E-40.00117763771.34142413.0E-4
7.01.2058036E-61.2508665E-61.0125074E-480.944481.0E-45.1677193E-65.3608455E-61.453601E-427.1151431.4E-46.291517E-56.5266366E-52.452546E-43.7577491.8E-46.289736E-46.524743E-48.8232424E-41.35227432.3E-4
7.11.052382E-61.0951609E-61.0109505E-492.3106841.0E-44.5102006E-64.693538E-61.3469293E-428.6975251.3E-45.491031E-55.7142337E-52.2713262E-43.9748571.7E-45.4896745E-45.7127734E-47.8115735E-41.36738732.1E-4
7.21.0067454E-61.0487711E-61.0104867E-496.3495941.0E-44.3146156E-64.4947255E-61.3449414E-429.922661.3E-45.252918E-55.4721917E-52.1471316E-43.92371421.6E-45.251676E-45.470853E-47.469759E-41.36537372.0E-4
7.39.3596316E-79.767723E-76.0976712E-562.4267436.0E-54.0112645E-64.1861604E-68.418583E-520.110518.0E-54.8836053E-55.096532E-51.6095971E-43.15822051.1E-44.8825322E-45.095371E-46.494658E-41.27461921.4E-4
7.48.8117395E-79.2076635E-74.0920728E-544.4420364.0E-53.7764542E-63.9461356E-66.3945896E-516.2046896.0E-54.5977362E-54.8043148E-51.3803883E-42.8732269.0E-54.596785E-44.8032837E-45.9027557E-41.22891.1E-4
7.58.292386E-78.6745956E-74.0867424E-547.1116184.0E-53.5538749E-63.7176785E-66.371745E-517.1390446.0E-54.326757E-54.5261804E-51.3525772E-42.98834169.0E-54.3259145E-44.5252658E-45.624768E-41.24296961.1E-4
7.67.553842E-77.9144706E-72.079143E-526.2701472.0E-53.2373566E-63.3919116E-64.3391778E-512.792724.0E-53.9414106E-54.129575E-51.1129286E-42.69501977.0E-53.9407116E-44.1288146E-44.928484E-41.19368028.0E-5
7.76.5285366E-76.852797E-71.0685273E-515.5925721.0E-52.797941E-62.9369096E-63.2936823E-511.2147893.0E-53.40644E-53.5756293E-58.575451E-52.39830525.0E-53.405918E-43.5750607E-44.1748464E-41.16776936.0E-5
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-73.6482615E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.5635396E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035933E-53.9035553E-52.05062462.0E-51.8045233E-41.9034347E-42.2033777E-41.15757983.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

Ludlow

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2407607E-52.3657254E-52.5365182E-410.7219472.3E-49.602906E-51.0138454E-44.6134804E-44.55047753.6E-40.00116852670.0012337020.00174307281.412885.1E-40.0116240130.0122730420.01283604651.04587335.7E-4
6.12.2407607E-52.3657254E-52.5365182E-410.7219472.3E-49.602906E-51.0138454E-44.6134804E-44.55047753.6E-40.00116852670.0012337020.00174307281.412885.1E-40.0116240130.0122730420.01283604651.04587335.7E-4
6.21.0781252E-51.1365663E-51.1136453E-49.798331.0E-44.620455E-54.8709102E-51.8870228E-43.87406641.4E-45.623952E-45.9287593E-47.827633E-41.32028171.9E-40.005609740.00591336140.0061519421.0403462.4E-4
6.31.0781252E-51.1365663E-51.1136453E-49.798331.0E-44.620455E-54.8709102E-51.8870228E-43.87406641.4E-45.623952E-45.9287593E-47.827633E-41.32028171.9E-40.005609740.00591336140.0061519421.0403462.4E-4
6.47.814439E-68.237729E-68.823707E-510.7113348.0E-53.3490025E-53.530408E-51.453002E-44.1156771.1E-44.0766477E-44.2974384E-45.5968796E-41.30237581.3E-40.00406917740.00428927460.00446850251.04178511.8E-4
6.56.4986366E-66.85092E-68.685037E-512.6771848.0E-52.7851002E-52.9360759E-51.3935752E-44.7463871.1E-43.390332E-43.5740953E-44.7736664E-41.33562931.2E-40.0033851640.00356844320.00372787241.04467751.6E-4
6.65.582177E-65.8860055E-65.588571E-59.4946765.0E-52.3923398E-52.5225498E-51.0522348E-44.17131428.0E-52.9122844E-43.0707786E-43.9705023E-41.29299529.0E-50.00290847060.0030666090.00317627141.03576031.1E-4
6.74.6858763E-64.940427E-65.494018E-511.1205325.0E-52.0082172E-52.1173091E-51.011714E-44.7783018.0E-52.4447302E-42.5775246E-43.4772925E-41.34908229.0E-50.00244204230.00257459120.00267433381.03874111.0E-4
6.83.5584908E-63.7520183E-65.375183E-514.3261115.0E-51.5250586E-51.6079981E-59.607869E-55.975058.0E-51.8566006E-41.957566E-42.85739E-41.45966469.0E-50.00185505020.00195588260.00204570661.0459259.0E-5
6.92.532834E-62.6710034E-63.2670923E-512.2317043.0E-51.0854958E-51.1447109E-57.144642E-56.2414386.0E-51.3215111E-41.3935992E-42.0935017E-41.50222657.0E-50.00132072540.00139275290.00146265541.05019027.0E-5
7.01.7083285E-61.8019439E-61.1801926E-56.54955241.0E-57.3213873E-67.722595E-64.7722286E-56.17956644.0E-58.913424E-59.40187E-51.3401493E-41.42540734.0E-58.9098496E-49.3980576E-49.797681E-41.0425224.0E-5
7.11.0905424E-61.1497619E-61.114975E-59.6974421.0E-54.6737446E-64.9275427E-64.4927347E-59.1175974.0E-55.6901354E-55.999128E-59.998888E-51.66672364.0E-55.6886784E-45.997606E-46.3973665E-41.06665334.0E-5
7.26.06668E-76.387277E-71.06387215E-516.6561131.0E-52.600003E-62.7374022E-61.2737375E-54.65308861.0E-53.1654577E-53.3327433E-54.3327098E-51.30004311.0E-53.1650066E-43.3323118E-43.4322785E-41.02999931.0E-5

San Andreas (Carrizo) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1674632E-42.4324407E-46.131541E-42.5207363.7E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.00146162211.4026284.2E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0130975761.03835644.9E-40.05910160.1206402260.121167841.00437346.0E-4
6.11.1674632E-42.4324407E-46.131541E-42.5207363.7E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.00146162211.4026284.2E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0130975761.03835644.9E-40.05910160.1206402260.121167841.00437346.0E-4
6.21.1674632E-42.4324407E-46.131541E-42.5207363.7E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.00146162211.4026284.2E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0130975761.03835644.9E-40.05910160.1206402260.121167841.00437346.0E-4
6.31.1674632E-42.4324407E-46.131541E-42.5207363.7E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.00146162211.4026284.2E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0130975761.03835644.9E-40.05910160.1206402260.121167841.00437346.0E-4
6.41.1674632E-42.4324407E-46.131541E-42.5207363.7E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.00146162211.4026284.2E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0130975761.03835644.9E-40.05910160.1206402260.121167841.00437346.0E-4
6.51.13136164E-42.3644442E-45.863617E-42.47991323.5E-44.847792E-40.00101294120.0014125361.39448964.0E-40.00588622550.0122632710.0127275071.03785594.7E-40.0573273340.117610080.118121871.00435155.8E-4
6.61.13136164E-42.3644442E-45.863617E-42.47991323.5E-44.847792E-40.00101294120.0014125361.39448964.0E-40.00588622550.0122632710.0127275071.03785594.7E-40.0573273340.117610080.118121871.00435155.8E-4
6.71.1149675E-42.3335687E-45.832752E-42.49949863.5E-44.777557E-49.997191E-40.00139931921.39971244.0E-40.00580117340.0121040880.0125683991.03835994.7E-40.056520510.11622910.116741691.00441015.8E-4
6.81.1103589E-42.3237852E-45.6230184E-42.4197673.3E-44.7578133E-49.955293E-40.0013751511.38132663.8E-40.0057772630.0120536430.0124982191.03688314.5E-40.0562935840.115788940.116275261.00425.5E-4
6.91.1053259E-42.3130233E-45.61226E-42.42637423.3E-44.7362508E-49.909206E-40.00137054411.38310183.8E-40.00575114970.0119981520.0124427531.03705574.5E-40.056045690.115304450.115791031.004225.5E-4
7.01.1005377E-42.3031076E-45.6023477E-42.43251663.3E-44.7157376E-49.866742E-40.00136629931.38475223.8E-40.00572630620.0119470210.01239164451.03721634.5E-40.0558097960.114856580.1153434141.00423865.5E-4
7.11.0308142E-42.1540876E-45.1534415E-42.3924013.0E-44.417027E-49.228548E-40.0012625411.36808193.4E-40.00536447760.0111781880.0115836061.03626864.1E-40.0523681380.108090420.1085452961.00420835.1E-4
7.21.0027479E-42.094876E-45.094248E-42.43176583.0E-44.296783E-48.9749607E-40.00123719091.37849183.4E-40.00521879220.0108725660.0112781091.03729964.1E-40.0509792120.105390860.105847111.00432915.1E-4
7.39.816942E-52.0423878E-45.0417753E-42.4685693.0E-44.2065824E-48.7501644E-40.00121471891.38822413.4E-40.0051094930.0106015720.0110072251.03826364.1E-40.0499359850.102975460.103432941.00444275.1E-4
7.49.5634205E-51.9793298E-44.878756E-42.46485232.9E-44.0979648E-48.4800937E-40.00117772961.38881663.3E-40.00497786370.0102759010.0106717911.0385264.0E-40.0486782530.1000678840.100517851.00449665.0E-4
7.58.052417E-51.6113915E-44.3109566E-42.67530042.7E-43.4505792E-46.9041376E-49.902066E-41.4342223.0E-40.00419299030.0083734710.0087304571.04263293.6E-40.041147530.0828152450.083227981.00498384.5E-4
7.67.897024E-51.5767086E-44.0763145E-42.58533142.5E-43.384E-46.755574E-49.553683E-41.41419262.8E-40.00411223850.008193970.0085311841.04115393.4E-40.0403696970.081158660.0815537651.00486834.3E-4
7.76.707427E-51.3277122E-42.9275E-42.20492031.6E-42.8742946E-45.688955E-47.587874E-41.33379051.9E-40.0034938390.00690433850.00714268161.03452072.4E-40.0343941640.069053390.069341991.00417923.1E-4
7.86.147705E-51.2198445E-42.8196492E-42.31148271.6E-42.6344648E-45.226858E-47.125865E-41.36331711.9E-40.00320274360.0063451560.00658363341.03758422.4E-40.0315697640.06351720.0637981441.00442313.0E-4
7.94.7636717E-58.8802946E-51.8879407E-42.12598871.0E-42.0414138E-43.8052857E-44.904867E-41.28896161.1E-40.00248258840.0046231010.00478236141.03444891.6E-40.0245503650.0466293660.0468295741.00429362.1E-4
8.03.3554235E-55.2138024E-51.0213542E-41.9589435.0E-51.4379594E-42.2342955E-42.8341616E-41.2684816.0E-50.00174930970.0027168630.00280661861.03303659.0E-50.0173560340.0278819050.0279693961.0031389.0E-5
8.11.9175432E-51.9183564E-52.9183373E-51.52126961.0E-58.217783E-58.221269E-59.221186E-51.12162581.0E-50.00100005580.00100048050.00101047041.00998521.0E-50.0099556730.0107577710.0107676641.00091961.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.872328E-54.7265705E-52.7725482E-45.86587762.3E-41.6594635E-42.0255324E-45.2248844E-42.57951143.2E-40.00201852460.00246356060.0029623291.20245835.0E-40.020002880.0243883380.0249444361.02280195.7E-4
6.13.872328E-54.7265705E-52.7725482E-45.86587762.3E-41.6594635E-42.0255324E-45.2248844E-42.57951143.2E-40.00201852460.00246356060.0029623291.20245835.0E-40.020002880.0243883380.0249444361.02280195.7E-4
6.23.872328E-54.7265705E-52.7725482E-45.86587762.3E-41.6594635E-42.0255324E-45.2248844E-42.57951143.2E-40.00201852460.00246356060.0029623291.20245835.0E-40.020002880.0243883380.0249444361.02280195.7E-4
6.32.8356371E-53.360979E-52.6360207E-47.84301422.3E-41.2152165E-41.4403443E-44.6398834E-43.2213713.2E-40.00147852190.00175227880.00225140271.28484275.0E-40.0146872350.0173918160.0179519021.0322045.7E-4
6.42.8356371E-53.360979E-52.6360207E-47.84301422.3E-41.2152165E-41.4403443E-44.6398834E-43.2213713.2E-40.00147852190.00175227880.00225140271.28484275.0E-40.0146872350.0173918160.0179519021.0322045.7E-4
6.52.4448687E-52.8607585E-52.58601E-49.0395962.3E-41.0477588E-41.2259845E-44.4255922E-43.60982733.2E-40.00127489980.00149166160.00199091571.33469675.0E-40.0126761050.0148213920.0153829441.03788795.7E-4
6.62.1298161E-52.4660083E-52.546544E-410.3265842.3E-49.127464E-51.0568197E-44.2564815E-44.02763273.2E-40.00111070220.00128595120.00178530821.38831725.0E-40.0110516720.012788530.0133512411.04400125.7E-4
6.71.8959729E-52.1781027E-52.4177623E-411.1003142.2E-48.125345E-59.334406E-54.0331512E-44.3207373.1E-49.888117E-40.0011358970.00162534041.43088714.9E-40.0098442340.011303570.011857241.04898195.6E-4
6.81.6691629E-51.9018351E-52.3901417E-412.5675542.2E-47.153359E-58.150477E-53.914795E-44.80314833.1E-48.7057345E-49.918857E-40.00148139961.49351864.9E-40.0086717080.0098763430.0104308131.05614115.6E-4
6.91.450505E-51.638954E-52.263861E-413.812842.1E-46.216302E-57.0239046E-53.7021798E-45.27082873.0E-47.5657194E-48.5483363E-40.00133442331.56103284.8E-40.0075400130.0085163860.0090617021.06403145.5E-4
7.01.2940855E-51.4537972E-52.2453492E-415.4447212.1E-45.545963E-56.230414E-53.5228606E-45.65429642.9E-46.750118E-47.5829466E-40.00122793831.61934194.7E-40.0067296510.00755768970.0080936091.07091055.4E-4
7.11.2544658E-51.4078208E-52.2407525E-415.9164622.1E-45.3761712E-56.0333812E-53.5031632E-45.80630162.9E-46.5435225E-47.343222E-40.00119398441.6259684.6E-40.0065242880.0073195510.0078456721.07187885.3E-4
7.21.2489416E-51.4015674E-52.2401274E-415.9830152.1E-45.3524967E-56.0065824E-53.5004842E-45.8277472.9E-46.514716E-47.310616E-40.00119072541.62876194.6E-40.0064956510.00728715960.0078132971.07220075.3E-4
7.31.2368307E-51.3879812E-52.238769E-416.1296772.1E-45.3005948E-55.9483587E-53.4946634E-45.87500432.9E-46.451563E-47.2397763E-40.00118364461.63491884.6E-40.00643286530.0072167820.00774295671.072915.3E-4
7.41.2161707E-51.36478675E-52.2364501E-416.3868082.1E-45.212056E-55.8489582E-53.4847262E-45.9578582.9E-46.3438306E-47.118836E-40.00117155621.64571314.6E-40.0063257510.00709662070.00762285941.07415345.3E-4
7.51.1707948E-51.3145515E-52.2314275E-416.9748212.1E-45.0175953E-55.6336736E-53.463204E-46.1473282.9E-46.10721E-46.856895E-40.0011453741.67039764.6E-40.00609045340.0068363210.00736269771.0769975.3E-4
7.61.0319538E-51.1579622E-52.0157742E-417.4079441.9E-44.4225842E-54.9626036E-53.1961265E-46.4404222.7E-45.383166E-46.040347E-40.0010437691.7279954.4E-40.00537014430.00602446030.0065313881.08414485.1E-4
7.78.937764E-61.0022779E-51.9002098E-418.958911.8E-43.830414E-54.295409E-53.029429E-47.05271432.6E-44.6625308E-45.228456E-49.5262076E-41.82199254.3E-40.00465276050.0052166640.0057140561.09534675.0E-4
7.83.108007E-73.284654E-73.284654E-71.00.01.3320023E-61.407708E-61.407708E-61.00.01.6217007E-51.7138715E-53.7138372E-52.16692852.0E-51.6215823E-41.7137431E-42.0136917E-41.17502553.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Cholame) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2302514E-42.5205986E-45.719792E-42.26921963.2E-45.27144E-40.00107981090.00143942231.33303173.6E-40.00639910860.0130679580.0135120771.03398544.5E-40.062179490.124384120.124883221.00401265.7E-4
6.11.2302514E-42.5205986E-45.719792E-42.26921963.2E-45.27144E-40.00107981090.00143942231.33303173.6E-40.00639910860.0130679580.0135120771.03398544.5E-40.062179490.124384120.124883221.00401265.7E-4
6.21.2203569E-42.502277E-45.6015013E-42.23856163.1E-45.2290526E-40.00107196530.00142159011.32615323.5E-40.0063478040.0129735780.013407871.0334754.4E-40.0616951360.1235713140.124062111.00397185.6E-4
6.31.2142645E-42.4908737E-45.590102E-42.24423313.1E-45.202953E-40.00106708230.00141670881.32764723.5E-40.0063162120.0129148340.0133491511.03362934.4E-40.061396770.123065320.1235564051.00399045.6E-4
6.41.1865206E-42.4414246E-45.540668E-42.26944043.1E-45.0840975E-40.00104590680.00138555121.32473673.4E-40.0061723350.0126600440.0130846011.03353514.3E-40.0600368680.120859040.121342571.00400085.5E-4
6.51.17443946E-42.4207575E-45.520007E-42.28028083.1E-45.032341E-40.00103705660.0013767041.3275113.4E-40.0061096770.0125535360.0129781381.03382334.3E-40.0594440770.119930080.120414121.0040365.5E-4
6.61.13579066E-42.3516564E-45.4509274E-42.31790973.1E-44.866766E-40.0010074650.00134712251.33714073.4E-40.00590920170.0121973450.0126220991.03482354.3E-40.0575451850.11684920.11732611.00408145.4E-4
6.71.1271412E-42.336088E-45.435364E-42.32669473.1E-44.829711E-40.0010007980.00134045771.3393893.4E-40.0058643310.0121170790.0125418691.03505714.3E-40.0571196970.116152750.116630031.0041095.4E-4
6.81.1217975E-42.3249313E-45.324234E-42.29006083.0E-44.8068175E-49.960202E-40.00132569151.33098863.3E-40.0058366080.0120595550.012474491.03440714.2E-40.0568567250.115650610.1161104741.00397635.2E-4
6.91.1146753E-42.3098059E-45.309113E-42.29851063.0E-44.7763053E-49.895428E-40.00131921621.33315733.3E-40.00579965770.0119815640.0123965311.03463394.2E-40.0565061270.114970270.115430481.00400295.2E-4
7.01.0965793E-42.2721413E-45.27146E-42.32004053.0E-44.698779E-49.734129E-40.00130309161.33868343.3E-40.0057057680.0117873240.0121924911.03437324.1E-40.0556147360.113270110.113722351.00399265.1E-4
7.19.927982E-52.0540332E-45.053417E-42.4602413.0E-44.2541555E-48.8000396E-40.00120971361.37466843.3E-40.00516714060.0106617080.0110574441.03711754.0E-40.050486340.103365730.103805081.00425044.9E-4
7.29.696786E-52.0044584E-45.003857E-42.49636363.0E-44.1551032E-48.587718E-40.00118848831.38393973.3E-40.005047110.0104057030.0108015421.03804044.0E-40.049340090.101102330.101542791.00435664.9E-4
7.39.4727984E-51.9473763E-44.946792E-42.54023433.0E-44.0591392E-48.343239E-40.00116404861.39519993.3E-40.00493080870.0101108510.0105068071.03916144.0E-40.0482282680.098474120.098915871.0044864.9E-4
7.49.220358E-51.8844259E-44.7838793E-42.53864032.9E-43.9509835E-48.07362E-40.00112710371.39603263.2E-40.0047997170.0097855780.0101717611.03946463.9E-40.0469736530.095558310.095992441.00454314.8E-4
7.57.71631E-51.5179155E-44.2175056E-42.7784852.7E-43.306571E-46.5037323E-49.501781E-41.46097363.0E-40.00401832070.0078896170.0082467771.04526963.6E-40.039464330.0782891960.078694751.00518024.4E-4
7.67.5634416E-51.4838556E-43.9834846E-42.684552.5E-43.241072E-46.357833E-49.156053E-41.44012172.8E-40.00393886720.0077132560.0080506341.04373993.4E-40.0386977940.0766548740.0770426841.00505914.2E-4
7.76.3783E-51.2359623E-42.8357646E-42.29437781.6E-42.7332708E-45.2959064E-47.1949E-41.35857771.9E-40.00332267980.00642873070.00666718741.03709242.4E-40.0327343640.064544880.064825511.00434793.0E-4
7.85.863422E-51.14169685E-42.7415142E-42.40126281.6E-42.512653E-44.892069E-46.79114E-41.38819371.9E-40.0030548640.00593984970.00617842381.04016512.4E-40.0301320940.059661620.0599343181.00457072.9E-4
7.94.595283E-58.426815E-51.8425973E-42.1865881.0E-41.9692584E-43.6109926E-44.7105952E-41.30451541.1E-40.00239493580.00438752770.0045468261.0363071.6E-40.0236928910.0443631370.0445638221.00452362.1E-4
8.03.2950178E-55.077396E-51.0077142E-41.98470685.0E-51.412074E-42.1758456E-42.775715E-41.27569486.0E-50.00171784440.00264587530.00273563741.03392529.0E-50.0170462560.0271810720.0272686261.00322129.0E-5
8.11.9177472E-51.9183733E-52.9183542E-51.52126491.0E-58.218658E-58.221342E-59.221259E-51.12162471.0E-50.00100016220.00100048930.00101047931.00998511.0E-50.0099567280.0107578870.0107677791.00091961.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Coachella) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1925945E-43.273077E-46.4720295E-41.97735323.2E-45.110118E-40.0014019980.00181142311.29202994.1E-40.00620383540.0169370680.0174187681.02844064.9E-40.0603347530.152676720.15312581.00294145.3E-4
6.11.1925945E-43.273077E-46.4720295E-41.97735323.2E-45.110118E-40.0014019980.00181142311.29202994.1E-40.00620383540.0169370680.0174187681.02844064.9E-40.0603347530.152676720.15312581.00294145.3E-4
6.21.07432395E-43.0231563E-46.122219E-42.02510833.1E-44.603433E-40.0012949990.0016844941.30076853.9E-40.0055902860.0156537310.0161163731.02955484.7E-40.054517310.141827840.14226551.00308595.1E-4
6.31.0718766E-43.0176868E-46.1167515E-42.02696683.1E-44.592948E-40.00129265730.00168215321.30131413.9E-40.0055775860.015625630.0160882861.02960884.7E-40.0543965550.141596050.142033851.00309185.1E-4
6.41.0355944E-42.9384956E-45.937614E-42.02063063.0E-44.4375064E-40.00125875140.0016382731.30150653.8E-40.00538928850.0152186620.0156716611.02976614.6E-40.0526044960.138157950.138588881.0031195.0E-4
6.51.0227914E-42.9104383E-45.9095654E-42.03047253.0E-44.382655E-40.00124673850.00162626471.30441523.8E-40.00532283540.0150744390.01552750451.03005534.6E-40.0519713160.136942390.137373911.00315125.0E-4
6.61.0116757E-42.8870135E-45.886147E-42.03883623.0E-44.3350324E-40.00123670870.00161623871.30688713.8E-40.00526513670.0149540080.015407131.0303014.6E-40.0514212470.135919730.136351781.00317865.0E-4
6.71.0050676E-42.8728697E-45.872008E-42.0439523.0E-44.3067214E-40.00123065280.00161018531.30839923.8E-40.0052308340.0148812880.0153344421.03045134.6E-40.0510940850.135304640.1357371.00319545.0E-4
6.89.976819E-52.8532353E-45.852379E-42.0511383.0E-44.2750788E-40.0012222460.00160178161.3105233.8E-40.00519249360.0147803280.0152335291.03066244.6E-40.0507282950.134456280.134889051.00321875.0E-4
6.99.77719E-52.802926E-45.802085E-42.07001023.0E-44.1895514E-40.00120070480.00157026051.30778233.7E-40.00508885550.01452158950.01496505551.03053834.5E-40.0497388880.132284760.132709941.00321414.9E-4
7.08.500761E-52.4763815E-45.375663E-42.17077352.9E-43.6426744E-40.00106087790.00141050651.32956543.5E-40.00442594060.012840470.0132649491.03305794.3E-40.043388230.118136160.1185506361.00350844.7E-4
7.18.319876E-52.4366553E-45.3359487E-42.1898662.9E-43.5651738E-40.00104386620.00139350071.3349423.5E-40.0043319630.0126357730.013060341.03360034.3E-40.0424848460.116356320.116771631.00356944.7E-4
7.27.563917E-52.2414974E-45.0408696E-42.2488852.8E-43.2412758E-49.602912E-40.00128997431.34331573.3E-40.00393911450.0116295590.01203479151.0348454.1E-40.038700180.107762020.108163521.00372594.5E-4
7.37.082985E-52.07311E-44.8725295E-42.35034782.8E-43.0352117E-48.881761E-40.0012178831.3712183.3E-40.00368910960.0107605530.0111661411.03769214.1E-40.036284650.100284030.1006889051.00403734.5E-4
7.45.146215E-51.4274761E-43.8271336E-42.6810492.4E-42.2053342E-46.1163295E-48.914617E-41.4575112.8E-40.00268168840.00742139430.00777872231.04814843.6E-40.026495570.070850490.071222151.00524574.0E-4
7.54.0285166E-51.0942422E-43.4939795E-43.19305872.4E-41.7263928E-44.6887697E-47.487457E-41.59689162.8E-40.0020998570.00569370440.00604171171.06112133.5E-40.0208012540.0550130830.0553816261.00669923.9E-4
7.63.1168736E-58.439599E-53.1437658E-43.72501782.3E-41.3357346E-43.616471E-46.3154945E-41.74631422.7E-40.00162504370.0043941910.0047326971.07703483.4E-40.0161321160.0428124780.0431762081.00849593.8E-4
7.72.2100989E-56.239345E-52.923791E-44.6860542.3E-49.4715084E-52.6737314E-45.3730095E-42.00955492.7E-40.0011525460.00325041520.003589311.1042623.4E-40.0114658670.0319021680.0322700481.01153153.8E-4
7.81.7484861E-55.180078E-52.8178887E-45.43985752.3E-47.493296E-52.2198448E-44.919245E-42.21603132.7E-49.1192697E-40.00269931420.00302842351.12192333.3E-40.0090819380.0266417880.027001931.0135183.7E-4
7.91.3967285E-53.8226146E-52.4821813E-46.4934122.1E-45.985842E-51.6381606E-44.1377512E-42.5258522.5E-47.2853256E-40.00199263730.00230201961.15526273.1E-40.00726148770.0199110020.0202344321.01624373.3E-4
8.01.1887396E-53.106798E-52.3106177E-47.4372962.0E-45.094499E-51.331417E-43.631111E-42.7272532.3E-46.200787E-40.00161979580.00188935851.16641772.7E-40.0061835130.0162805670.0165658441.01752272.9E-4
8.15.100864E-68.973766E-68.973766E-61.00.02.1860664E-53.845843E-53.845843E-51.00.02.6612106E-44.6813092E-44.6813092E-41.00.00.0026580260.0049180920.0049180921.00.0
8.22.3004484E-62.7863473E-62.7863473E-61.00.09.859027E-61.19414335E-51.19414335E-51.00.01.2002704E-41.4537729E-41.4537729E-41.00.00.00119962230.00159737820.00159737821.00.0
8.31.0424446E-75.814421E-85.814421E-81.00.04.4676187E-72.4918944E-72.4918944E-71.00.05.439312E-63.0338776E-63.0338776E-61.00.05.4391792E-53.189592E-53.189592E-51.00.0

Santa Ynez (West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.7352758E-55.497084E-51.8496369E-43.36476021.3E-42.0292461E-42.3556968E-44.0552963E-41.72148491.7E-40.00246780760.0028645580.00315372721.10094732.9E-40.0244058180.0283044560.0286542661.01235893.6E-4
6.14.7352758E-55.497084E-51.8496369E-43.36476021.3E-42.0292461E-42.3556968E-44.0552963E-41.72148491.7E-40.00246780760.0028645580.0031238131.09050442.6E-40.0244058180.0283044560.0286251161.01132893.3E-4
6.23.0415853E-53.3925004E-59.3922965E-52.7685476.0E-51.3034715E-41.4538495E-42.453704E-41.68772911.0E-40.00158582120.00176865920.00194834081.10159211.8E-40.0157455220.017549780.0177757421.01287562.3E-4
6.33.0415853E-53.3925004E-59.3922965E-52.7685476.0E-51.3034715E-41.4538495E-42.453704E-41.68772911.0E-40.00158582120.00176865920.00194834081.10159211.8E-40.0157455220.017549780.0177757421.01287562.3E-4
6.42.5452082E-52.7912318E-58.7910645E-53.14952856.0E-51.09075794E-41.1961885E-42.0960809E-41.75229989.0E-50.00132718870.00145540560.00162515811.11663591.7E-40.0131929020.014460910.01467772851.01499342.2E-4
6.52.3143784E-52.5128133E-58.512662E-53.3877026.0E-59.9183875E-51.07687636E-41.9767795E-41.83566069.0E-50.00120689480.0013103230.00146012641.11432561.5E-40.0120036110.0130276380.0132250321.0151522.0E-4
6.61.9118515E-52.0354244E-57.035323E-53.456445.0E-58.193392E-58.722961E-51.6722264E-41.91703988.0E-59.97089E-40.0010615110.00120136231.13174751.4E-40.009926270.0105653170.0107335211.01592041.7E-4
6.71.722807E-51.8146253E-56.8145346E-53.75533995.0E-57.3832496E-57.776737E-51.5776115E-42.0286298.0E-58.985399E-49.4641204E-40.00108627951.14778711.4E-40.0089491540.0094244610.0095730481.0157661.5E-4
6.81.5317364E-51.5926391E-56.59256E-54.13939335.0E-56.56442E-56.82542E-51.4824874E-42.1720098.0E-57.98925E-48.3068234E-49.7056606E-41.16839611.4E-40.0079605890.0082762610.008425021.01797411.5E-4
6.91.3071226E-51.332953E-56.3328866E-54.751025.0E-55.6018336E-55.712532E-51.3712075E-42.40034998.0E-56.8180985E-46.952811E-48.251907E-41.18684471.3E-40.00679721730.00693131840.0070703481.02005821.4E-4
7.01.1836986E-51.1932688E-55.193221E-54.35209664.0E-55.0728955E-55.1139097E-51.2113552E-42.36874587.0E-56.1745E-46.2244234E-47.3237385E-41.17661321.1E-40.0061573720.00620718250.00632643751.01921251.2E-4
7.11.0597169E-51.0542107E-53.0541898E-52.89713382.0E-54.541565E-54.5179684E-58.5177875E-51.88531374.0E-55.5279525E-45.4992497E-46.2988093E-41.14539448.0E-50.00551422130.0054857720.00557527831.0163169.0E-5
7.29.59113E-69.45905E-62.945886E-53.11435722.0E-54.11042E-54.053816E-57.0536946E-51.74001353.0E-55.0032866E-44.934414E-45.534118E-41.1215356.0E-50.0049920370.00492357650.00500318271.01616848.0E-5
7.38.586084E-68.379489E-62.8379322E-53.38676022.0E-53.679698E-53.591161E-56.591053E-51.83535443.0E-54.4791115E-44.3713715E-44.871153E-41.11433055.0E-50.0044700940.0043628840.00443257861.01597447.0E-5
7.47.2622997E-66.9514485E-62.695131E-53.8770782.0E-53.112377E-52.9791589E-55.9790695E-52.00696563.0E-53.78866E-43.6265317E-44.1263504E-41.13782275.0E-50.00378220740.0036207140.00368049671.01651136.0E-5
7.55.627296E-65.2514984E-62.5251393E-54.8084172.0E-52.411676E-52.2506232E-54.250578E-51.88862282.0E-52.9358198E-42.7397962E-43.039714E-41.10946713.0E-50.00293194430.00273649050.0027763811.01457734.0E-5
7.62.265244E-62.0608632E-62.0608632E-61.00.09.708152E-68.832241E-68.832241E-61.00.01.18190335E-41.0752732E-41.1752624E-41.09298971.0E-50.0011812750.00107476150.001094741.01858882.0E-5
7.71.3099874E-61.1016228E-61.1016228E-61.00.05.61422E-64.7212325E-64.7212325E-61.00.06.8350986E-55.7479516E-55.7479516E-51.00.06.832996E-45.7464885E-45.846431E-41.01739191.0E-5
7.87.903951E-76.0710704E-76.0710704E-71.00.03.3874032E-62.601885E-62.601885E-61.00.04.1240855E-53.16775E-53.16775E-51.00.04.12332E-43.167312E-43.167312E-41.00.0
7.97.0753297E-95.090092E-95.090092E-91.00.03.032284E-82.181468E-82.181468E-81.00.03.6918053E-72.655937E-72.655937E-71.00.03.691799E-62.6559348E-62.6559348E-61.00.0

Cleghorn Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5467183E-51.6794203E-52.0679101E-412.3132371.9E-46.6286244E-57.197348E-53.1195622E-44.33432152.4E-48.067362E-48.759797E-40.00124565561.42201423.7E-40.0080381370.0087306960.00918667951.05222764.6E-4
6.11.5467183E-51.6794203E-52.0679101E-412.3132371.9E-46.6286244E-57.197348E-53.1195622E-44.33432152.4E-48.067362E-48.759797E-40.00124565561.42201423.7E-40.0080381370.0087306960.00918667951.05222764.6E-4
6.21.2624631E-51.3681544E-51.9367908E-414.1562291.8E-45.410444E-55.863415E-52.8862065E-44.9223992.3E-46.585225E-47.1368564E-40.00102346441.4340553.1E-40.00656574450.00711873170.00750595561.05439513.9E-4
6.31.2624631E-51.3681544E-51.9367908E-414.1562291.8E-45.410444E-55.863415E-52.8862065E-44.9223992.3E-46.585225E-47.1368564E-40.00102346441.4340553.1E-40.00656574450.00711873170.00750595561.05439513.9E-4
6.49.417684E-61.0170118E-51.20168996E-411.8158911.1E-44.036088E-54.3585722E-51.9357918E-44.4413441.5E-44.912829E-45.3056807E-47.5045135E-41.41442992.2E-40.0049019820.0052970490.00555567161.0488242.6E-4
6.59.368219E-61.0117545E-51.20116434E-411.8720931.1E-44.014889E-54.3360415E-51.9335392E-44.45922661.5E-44.8870314E-45.2782625E-47.477101E-41.41658382.2E-40.0048762980.00526976170.00552839131.04907812.6E-4
6.67.803798E-68.441831E-67.844124E-59.291977.0E-53.3444423E-53.6179E-51.4617502E-44.0403281.1E-44.0710976E-44.4043022E-46.2035094E-41.40851131.8E-40.00406364720.00439949050.00460856641.04752282.1E-4
6.72.3108669E-62.4438336E-63.244376E-513.2757643.0E-59.903678E-61.0473532E-57.04729E-56.7286676.0E-51.205706E-41.2750797E-41.9749904E-41.54891537.0E-50.0012050520.00127436670.00134427761.05485937.0E-5
6.82.0882828E-62.2062823E-63.2206215E-514.5975063.0E-58.949753E-69.455462E-66.9454894E-57.3454796.0E-51.08957785E-41.1511434E-41.8510628E-41.6080217.0E-50.00108904380.00115056390.00122048341.06076977.0E-5
6.91.876935E-61.981051E-63.198099E-516.1434483.0E-58.043982E-68.490192E-66.848968E-58.0669186.0E-59.7931086E-51.03363345E-41.7335611E-41.67715267.0E-59.788794E-40.00103316860.00110309631.06768277.0E-5
7.01.5357559E-61.6202807E-61.1620265E-57.171761.0E-56.5817944E-66.9440425E-64.6943765E-56.76029354.0E-58.01304E-58.454057E-51.2453718E-41.47310574.0E-58.010151E-48.450965E-48.850627E-41.04729194.0E-5
7.11.0905424E-61.1497619E-61.114975E-59.6974421.0E-54.6737446E-64.9275427E-64.4927347E-59.1175974.0E-55.6901354E-55.999128E-59.998888E-51.66672364.0E-55.6886784E-45.997606E-46.3973665E-41.06665334.0E-5
7.26.06668E-76.387277E-71.06387215E-516.6561131.0E-52.600003E-62.7374022E-61.2737375E-54.65308861.0E-53.1654577E-53.3327433E-54.3327098E-51.30004311.0E-53.1650066E-43.3323118E-43.4322785E-41.02999931.0E-5

Sierra Nevada (No Extension)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.7690465E-66.9762887E-62.769744E-439.702262.7E-43.329549E-52.989824E-53.4988867E-411.7026513.2E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-48.0382597E-42.20839744.4E-40.0040455880.00363741540.00414556031.13969955.1E-4
6.17.7690465E-66.9762887E-62.769744E-439.702262.7E-43.329549E-52.989824E-53.4988867E-411.7026513.2E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-48.0382597E-42.20839744.4E-40.0040455880.00363741540.00414556031.13969955.1E-4
6.27.7690465E-66.9762887E-62.769744E-439.702262.7E-43.329549E-52.989824E-53.4988867E-411.7026513.2E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-48.0382597E-42.20839744.4E-40.0040455880.00363741540.00414556031.13969955.1E-4
6.37.7690465E-66.9762887E-62.769744E-439.702262.7E-43.329549E-52.989824E-53.4988867E-411.7026513.2E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-48.0382597E-42.20839744.4E-40.0040455880.00363741540.00414556031.13969955.1E-4
6.47.7690465E-66.9762887E-62.769744E-439.702262.7E-43.329549E-52.989824E-53.4988867E-411.7026513.2E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-48.0382597E-42.20839744.4E-40.0040455880.00363741540.00414556031.13969955.1E-4
6.57.7690465E-66.9762887E-62.769744E-439.702262.7E-43.329549E-52.989824E-53.4988867E-411.7026513.2E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-48.0382597E-42.20839744.4E-40.0040455880.00363741540.00414556031.13969955.1E-4
6.62.653E-61.6148208E-62.016145E-4124.852552.0E-41.136995E-56.9206426E-62.1691919E-431.3437942.1E-41.3842035E-48.42556E-53.842303E-44.5602943.0E-40.00138334158.4224E-40.00119194521.41520853.5E-4
6.72.5902466E-61.5501544E-61.9154986E-4123.5682451.9E-41.11010095E-56.643502E-62.0664217E-431.1044042.0E-41.351464E-48.088166E-53.708582E-44.5851952.9E-40.00135064248.0852525E-40.00114825031.42017883.4E-4
6.82.5853892E-61.5469546E-61.9154666E-4123.821771.9E-41.1080193E-56.629789E-62.0662847E-431.1666742.0E-41.34893E-48.071472E-53.7069133E-44.5926112.9E-40.00134811148.06857E-40.00114658271.42104823.4E-4
6.92.458257E-61.422029E-61.9142176E-4134.611721.9E-41.0535345E-56.0943958E-62.0609317E-433.8168372.0E-41.2826028E-47.419676E-53.6417524E-44.90823652.9E-40.00128186277.4172183E-40.00108146961.45805293.4E-4
7.02.4341468E-61.3989927E-61.9139872E-4136.811811.9E-41.0432016E-55.9956697E-62.0599447E-434.357212.0E-41.270024E-47.299485E-53.629737E-44.9725932.9E-40.00126929847.297107E-40.00106946251.46559813.4E-4
7.12.3652476E-61.3339427E-61.9133369E-4143.434711.9E-41.0136736E-55.716885E-62.0571574E-435.9838872.0E-41.2340778E-46.9600865E-53.5958068E-45.16632462.9E-40.00123339266.957924E-40.00103555581.48831153.4E-4
7.22.272158E-61.2502497E-61.9125002E-4152.969451.9E-49.737784E-65.358202E-62.0535714E-438.3257522.0E-41.1855107E-46.523417E-53.5521525E-45.4452332.9E-40.00118487846.5215176E-49.9193E-41.52101113.4E-4
7.32.1382127E-61.1419382E-61.8114173E-4158.626561.8E-49.163737E-64.894012E-61.9489309E-439.8227651.9E-41.1156279E-45.9582977E-53.395663E-45.6990492.8E-40.0011150685.956712E-49.254746E-41.5536673.3E-4
7.41.9048055E-69.574928E-71.6095734E-4168.102921.6E-48.163426E-64.103534E-61.7410284E-442.4275321.7E-49.9385186E-54.995939E-53.099464E-46.20396662.6E-49.934074E-44.9948227E-48.0932747E-41.62033263.1E-4
7.51.5373403E-67.559763E-71.5075586E-4199.418761.5E-46.5885843E-63.2398946E-61.6323938E-450.3841631.6E-48.021306E-53.9445007E-52.6943593E-46.83067272.3E-48.0184115E-43.9438053E-46.742701E-41.70969432.8E-4
7.61.0680322E-64.65941E-77.046591E-5151.233547.0E-54.577273E-61.9968884E-68.199673E-541.062258.0E-55.5726876E-52.4311848E-51.3430917E-45.52443271.1E-45.5712904E-42.4309216E-44.0305327E-41.65802661.6E-4
7.75.509146E-71.5578539E-71.01557835E-565.1908651.0E-52.3610605E-66.676515E-71.0667645E-515.9778641.0E-52.8745531E-58.128628E-61.8128547E-52.23020981.0E-52.8741814E-48.128342E-51.01281796E-41.24603262.0E-5

Lake Isabella (Seismicity)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.431637E-69.741651E-62.6973913E-427.6892592.6E-44.0420677E-54.1749343E-53.61736E-48.6644723.2E-44.920106E-45.0819275E-49.179844E-41.80637054.1E-40.0049092270.0050715990.0055392151.09220294.7E-4
6.19.431637E-69.741651E-62.6973913E-427.6892592.6E-44.0420677E-54.1749343E-53.61736E-48.6644723.2E-44.920106E-45.0819275E-49.179844E-41.80637054.1E-40.0049092270.0050715990.0055392151.09220294.7E-4
6.29.431637E-69.741651E-62.6973913E-427.6892592.6E-44.0420677E-54.1749343E-53.61736E-48.6644723.2E-44.920106E-45.0819275E-49.179844E-41.80637054.1E-40.0049092270.0050715990.0055392151.09220294.7E-4
6.39.431637E-69.741651E-62.6973913E-427.6892592.6E-44.0420677E-54.1749343E-53.61736E-48.6644723.2E-44.920106E-45.0819275E-49.179844E-41.80637054.1E-40.0049092270.0050715990.0055392151.09220294.7E-4
6.45.144063E-65.3000763E-61.5529928E-429.301331.5E-42.2045799E-52.2714434E-51.9271058E-48.4840581.7E-42.6837454E-42.765166E-45.06453E-41.83154652.3E-40.00268050660.00276206570.003031321.09748292.7E-4
6.55.144063E-65.3000763E-61.5529928E-429.301331.5E-42.2045799E-52.2714434E-51.9271058E-48.4840581.7E-42.6837454E-42.765166E-45.06453E-41.83154652.3E-40.00268050660.00276206570.003031321.09748292.7E-4
6.63.4009804E-63.498786E-68.3498504E-523.8649928.0E-51.4575549E-51.4994721E-51.1499322E-47.6689141.0E-41.7744285E-41.8254704E-43.3251964E-41.82155611.5E-40.00177301230.00182412860.00199381841.09302521.7E-4
6.73.3880428E-63.4856528E-68.348537E-523.9511458.0E-51.4520103E-51.4938435E-51.1493694E-47.69404131.0E-41.767679E-41.8186188E-43.318346E-41.82465181.5E-40.00176627360.00181728820.00198697931.09337591.7E-4
6.82.6582E-62.7337003E-66.273354E-522.9482146.0E-51.1392236E-51.1715813E-59.171488E-57.8282988.0E-51.3869164E-41.4263204E-42.7261348E-41.91130631.3E-40.00138605120.00142553690.0015753231.10507351.5E-4
6.92.406011E-62.4743288E-64.247423E-517.165964.0E-51.0311434E-51.0604231E-57.060359E-56.6580596.0E-51.2553448E-41.2910018E-42.3908597E-41.85194151.1E-40.00125463590.00129038140.00142021371.10061541.3E-4
7.01.6953097E-61.7429371E-63.1742886E-518.2122943.0E-57.265593E-67.469715E-64.7469417E-56.35491664.0E-58.8455E-59.094104E-51.6093467E-41.76965957.0E-58.84198E-49.09141E-49.990592E-41.09890469.0E-5
7.13.5013824E-73.5714822E-71.0357145E-528.9995691.0E-51.5005916E-61.5306344E-62.1530604E-514.0664582.0E-51.826955E-51.8635317E-53.8634946E-52.0732112.0E-51.8268047E-41.863378E-42.0633407E-41.1073122.0E-5
7.22.2321095E-72.2750574E-71.02275035E-544.9549261.0E-59.56618E-79.750242E-71.0975014E-511.25614551.0E-51.1646762E-51.1870856E-52.1870737E-51.84238921.0E-51.1646151E-41.1870232E-41.2870114E-41.08423441.0E-5
7.31.5760406E-71.6060922E-71.0160607E-563.2629171.0E-56.7544585E-76.8832503E-71.0688318E-515.5280091.0E-58.223522E-68.380326E-61.8380242E-52.1932611.0E-58.2232174E-58.3800165E-59.3799325E-51.11932151.0E-5
7.41.1216497E-71.1431706E-71.0114316E-588.4761.0E-54.8070694E-74.899302E-71.0489925E-521.4110621.0E-55.852591E-65.964884E-61.5964824E-52.67646861.0E-55.8524372E-55.9647282E-56.964669E-51.16764221.0E-5
7.54.885185E-84.9787737E-84.9787737E-81.00.02.0936506E-72.13376E-72.13376E-71.00.02.5490165E-62.59785E-62.59785E-61.00.02.5489873E-52.5978214E-52.5978214E-51.00.0
7.61.504641E-91.5317903E-91.5317903E-91.00.06.4484613E-96.5648154E-96.5648154E-91.00.07.851001E-87.992663E-87.992663E-81.00.07.8509987E-77.992663E-77.992663E-71.00.0

Santa Ynez (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2269712E-53.6750775E-52.3674342E-46.4418622.0E-41.3829143E-41.5749714E-44.4745146E-42.84101342.9E-40.00168239790.00191642530.0022956971.19790593.8E-40.0166971780.0190564380.0194880531.02264934.4E-4
6.13.2269712E-53.6750775E-52.3674342E-46.4418622.0E-41.3829143E-41.5749714E-44.4745146E-42.84101342.9E-40.00168239790.00191642530.0022956971.19790593.8E-40.0166971780.0190564380.0194880531.02264934.4E-4
6.23.2269712E-53.6750775E-52.3674342E-46.4418622.0E-41.3829143E-41.5749714E-44.4745146E-42.84101342.9E-40.00168239790.00191642530.0022956971.19790593.8E-40.0166971780.0190564380.0194880531.02264934.4E-4
6.33.2269712E-53.6750775E-52.3674342E-46.4418622.0E-41.3829143E-41.5749714E-44.4745146E-42.84101342.9E-40.00168239790.00191642530.0022956971.19790593.8E-40.0166971780.0190564380.0194880531.02264934.4E-4
6.41.4404779E-51.48492945E-55.48487E-53.69369084.0E-56.1733306E-56.363831E-51.2363448E-41.94276836.0E-57.513438E-47.7452604E-48.8444084E-41.14191231.1E-40.00748808540.0077188170.0078378911.01542641.2E-4
6.51.4404779E-51.48492945E-55.48487E-53.69369084.0E-56.1733306E-56.363831E-51.2363448E-41.94276836.0E-57.513438E-47.7452604E-48.8444084E-41.14191231.1E-40.00748808540.0077188170.0078378911.01542641.2E-4
6.61.280208E-51.301186E-55.301134E-54.07407864.0E-55.4864904E-55.5763932E-51.1576059E-42.07590446.0E-56.6777546E-46.7871617E-47.7864825E-41.1472371.0E-40.0066577240.00676664340.0068758991.01614621.1E-4
6.71.2457027E-51.262838E-55.2627875E-54.1674294.0E-55.3386164E-55.4120515E-51.1411727E-42.10857686.0E-56.497827E-46.5871974E-47.5865386E-41.15170971.0E-40.006478860.006567870.0066771471.01663821.1E-4
6.81.2095134E-51.2230827E-55.2230338E-54.2703854.0E-55.1835254E-55.2416784E-51.1241364E-42.14461146.0E-56.309115E-46.3798914E-47.379253E-41.15664241.0E-40.00629123250.0063617640.0064710641.01718081.1E-4
6.91.1104036E-51.115726E-55.1156814E-54.58506974.0E-54.758786E-54.781596E-51.0781309E-42.25475126.0E-55.7922816E-45.82005E-46.719527E-41.15454789.0E-50.0057772070.00580495360.00590437321.01712671.0E-4
7.01.0577444E-51.05815925E-55.058117E-54.78010944.0E-54.5331115E-54.53489E-51.0534618E-42.3230156.0E-55.5176654E-45.5198424E-46.419345E-41.16295819.0E-50.00550398560.005506270.00560571951.01806121.0E-4
7.11.0021775E-59.9809E-62.99807E-53.00380732.0E-54.294976E-54.277459E-58.277288E-51.93509464.0E-55.2278786E-45.206574E-45.9062097E-41.13437557.0E-50.00521559640.0051945080.0052740931.01532098.0E-5
7.28.874109E-68.748706E-62.874853E-53.28603222.0E-53.8031343E-53.7493923E-56.74928E-51.80009963.0E-54.629332E-44.56394E-45.163666E-41.13140546.0E-50.00461970.00455468470.00462436631.01529887.0E-5
7.37.5504267E-67.5050243E-62.7504873E-53.66486142.0E-53.235857E-53.2164E-56.216303E-51.93268993.0E-53.9389438E-43.9152734E-44.4150776E-41.1276555.0E-50.00393196940.00390848240.0039682481.01529126.0E-5
7.46.309394E-66.183062E-62.618294E-54.23462342.0E-52.703998E-52.6498574E-55.6497778E-52.13210633.0E-53.2916202E-43.2257332E-43.725572E-41.15495355.0E-50.0032867490.00322114840.00327098721.01547245.0E-5
7.54.6103073E-64.4408016E-62.4440713E-55.5036712.0E-51.975831E-51.9031871E-53.9031493E-52.05084872.0E-52.4053088E-42.316891E-42.6168214E-41.12945393.0E-50.0024027070.0023145450.00234447561.01293153.0E-5
7.61.2858658E-61.3008196E-61.3008196E-61.00.05.5108417E-65.574929E-65.574929E-61.00.06.7092435E-56.787272E-57.787204E-51.14732461.0E-56.707218E-46.7852676E-46.8852E-41.01472781.0E-5
7.75.3302307E-75.612138E-75.612138E-71.00.02.2843826E-62.4052001E-62.4052001E-61.00.02.7812002E-52.9282955E-52.9282955E-51.00.02.7808524E-42.9279455E-42.9279455E-41.00.0
7.84.613933E-84.80301E-84.80301E-81.00.01.9773998E-72.0584326E-72.0584326E-71.00.02.4074816E-62.5061388E-62.5061388E-61.00.02.4074554E-52.5061116E-52.5061116E-51.00.0

San Jacinto (San Bernardino)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.409352E-53.598562E-53.059759E-48.50272752.7E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-44.8416408E-43.139543.3E-40.00177740.00187595210.00226522051.20750443.9E-40.017632510.0193499920.0197912851.02280584.5E-4
6.13.409352E-53.598562E-53.059759E-48.50272752.7E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-44.8416408E-43.139543.3E-40.00177740.00187595210.00226522051.20750443.9E-40.017632510.0193499920.0197912851.02280584.5E-4
6.23.409352E-53.598562E-53.059759E-48.50272752.7E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-44.8416408E-43.139543.3E-40.00177740.00187595210.00226522051.20750443.9E-40.017632510.0193499920.0197912851.02280584.5E-4
6.33.409352E-53.598562E-53.059759E-48.50272752.7E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-44.8416408E-43.139543.3E-40.00177740.00187595210.00226522051.20750443.9E-40.017632510.0193499920.0197912851.02280584.5E-4
6.43.400795E-53.5878285E-53.058686E-48.5251732.7E-41.4574021E-41.5375503E-44.837043E-43.14594133.3E-40.00177294280.00187036190.00225963231.20812583.9E-40.0175886450.0192950740.0197363921.0228724.5E-4
6.53.341482E-53.5138914E-53.0512942E-48.6835182.7E-41.4319851E-41.5058667E-44.8053698E-43.19109923.3E-40.00174204770.00183185220.00222113781.21250933.9E-40.0172845460.0189166160.0193482921.022824.4E-4
6.63.3364955E-53.5076133E-53.0506667E-48.6972722.7E-41.4298483E-41.5031763E-44.8026803E-43.19502143.3E-40.00173945010.00182858230.00221786931.212893.9E-40.0172589760.018884480.019316171.02285964.4E-4
6.73.335922E-53.5065907E-53.0505643E-48.6995162.7E-41.4296026E-41.5027382E-44.8022423E-43.19566153.3E-40.00173915140.00182804970.00221733681.21295213.9E-40.0172560350.0188792720.0193109641.0228664.4E-4
6.83.327683E-53.4959972E-53.0495055E-48.7228482.7E-41.4260718E-41.4981985E-44.7977042E-43.20231533.3E-40.00173485970.0018225320.00221182131.2135983.9E-40.0172137840.0188250450.0192567611.02293314.4E-4
6.93.3235785E-53.4900928E-52.9489186E-48.4493992.6E-41.4243131E-41.4956683E-44.6951897E-43.13919193.2E-40.00173272170.00181945670.00219876531.20847363.8E-40.0171927340.0187949110.0192168281.02244854.3E-4
7.03.3197095E-53.4840854E-52.9483179E-48.4622432.6E-41.422655E-41.4930942E-44.6926163E-43.14288043.2E-40.00173070630.00181632780.00219563771.20883333.8E-40.0171728940.018764290.0191862211.02248594.3E-4
7.13.3129716E-53.4721066E-52.9471202E-48.4879892.6E-41.4197677E-41.4879608E-44.6874848E-43.15027433.2E-40.00172719660.00181008840.00218940061.20955463.8E-40.0171383380.0187033660.0191253241.02256054.3E-4
7.23.3034008E-53.4588513E-52.945795E-48.5166862.6E-41.4156665E-41.4822806E-44.6818063E-43.15851553.2E-40.00172221110.00180318430.0021824991.21035833.8E-40.0170892530.018635750.0190577361.02264394.3E-4
7.33.2956614E-53.4456265E-52.944473E-48.5455372.6E-41.4123498E-41.4766137E-44.6761413E-43.16680073.2E-40.00171817960.00179629610.00217561351.21116643.8E-40.0170495570.0185684950.0189905111.02272754.3E-4
7.43.2915937E-53.4377957E-52.9436903E-48.5627252.6E-41.4106068E-41.473258E-44.6727865E-43.17173673.2E-40.00171606080.00179221730.00217153621.21164793.8E-40.0170286930.0185287690.0189508011.02277724.3E-4
7.53.281791E-53.424287E-52.9423396E-48.5925622.6E-41.406406E-41.4674691E-44.6669994E-43.18030523.2E-40.00171095420.00178518090.00216450261.21248353.8E-40.0169784110.0184596520.0188817141.02286414.3E-4
7.63.2521442E-53.396782E-52.93959E-48.6540432.6E-41.3937015E-41.4556825E-44.6552168E-43.19796163.2E-40.00169551090.00177085420.00215018121.21420573.8E-40.0168263280.0183172950.0187394191.02304514.3E-4
7.73.0287873E-53.245191E-52.9244347E-49.0115952.6E-41.297987E-41.3907222E-44.590277E-43.3006433.2E-40.00157915370.00169189030.00207124741.22422093.8E-40.015679790.0175281990.0179506611.02410194.3E-4
7.82.6316151E-52.9662837E-52.8965512E-49.7649162.6E-41.1277862E-41.2712025E-44.4707957E-43.51698163.2E-40.00137221490.00154659130.0019160191.23886593.7E-40.0136377240.0160698780.0164831281.02571584.2E-4
7.92.0761147E-52.3417291E-52.834112E-412.1026472.6E-48.897331E-51.0035596E-44.1032486E-44.0886943.1E-40.00108271170.00122114980.00157072241.28626513.5E-40.0107745170.0127932720.0131782821.03009473.9E-4
8.01.5738568E-51.6032505E-52.160293E-413.4744572.0E-46.744926E-56.8708934E-53.0869246E-44.49275542.4E-48.2088535E-48.3621085E-40.00110598511.3226152.7E-40.0081785960.0088657410.0091432581.03130222.8E-4
8.11.0105832E-58.329479E-61.0832865E-413.0054531.0E-44.3309992E-53.569728E-51.4569335E-44.08135751.1E-45.2717153E-44.3452822E-45.444804E-41.25303821.1E-40.0052592270.00467687940.00478636471.023411.1E-4
8.24.189207E-61.577699E-61.577699E-61.00.01.7953622E-56.7615497E-66.7615497E-61.00.02.1856341E-48.231879E-58.231879E-51.00.00.00218348589.562628E-49.562628E-41.00.0
8.31.2758221E-63.612677E-73.612677E-71.00.05.4677976E-61.5482892E-61.5482892E-61.00.06.65684E-51.8850264E-51.8850264E-51.00.06.6548464E-42.2739546E-42.2739546E-41.00.0

Scodie Lineament

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2919327E-63.0133303E-62.6301254E-487.2830052.6E-41.4108206E-51.2914227E-53.2291023E-425.0042233.1E-41.7175387E-41.5722254E-45.5715966E-43.54376444.0E-40.00171621180.00157142480.00202071761.28591434.5E-4
6.11.8663811E-61.5490382E-67.154893E-546.1892627.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-69.663813E-514.5567399.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-52.0081423E-42.48458891.2E-49.7337784E-48.079941E-49.4788097E-41.17312861.4E-4
6.21.8663811E-61.5490382E-67.154893E-546.1892627.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-69.663813E-514.5567399.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-52.0081423E-42.48458891.2E-49.7337784E-48.079941E-49.4788097E-41.17312861.4E-4
6.31.8663811E-61.5490382E-67.154893E-546.1892627.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-69.663813E-514.5567399.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-52.0081423E-42.48458891.2E-49.7337784E-48.079941E-49.4788097E-41.17312861.4E-4
6.41.8663811E-61.5490382E-67.154893E-546.1892627.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-69.663813E-514.5567399.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-52.0081423E-42.48458891.2E-49.7337784E-48.079941E-49.4788097E-41.17312861.4E-4
6.51.8106311E-61.4909722E-67.149087E-547.9491657.0E-57.759824E-66.389868E-69.6389296E-515.0847089.0E-59.447177E-57.779436E-51.9778502E-42.54240821.2E-49.4431615E-47.7771995E-49.1761106E-41.17987331.4E-4
6.61.2414679E-68.9974395E-78.9974395E-71.00.05.320566E-63.85604E-63.85604E-61.00.06.477596E-54.6946367E-57.694496E-51.63899713.0E-56.475708E-44.6937316E-44.993591E-41.0638853.0E-5
6.71.1062215E-67.594193E-77.594193E-71.00.04.7409408E-63.2546504E-63.2546504E-61.00.05.7719422E-53.962472E-55.962393E-51.50471542.0E-55.770443E-43.9618355E-44.161756E-41.05046162.0E-5
6.81.0006736E-66.5002786E-76.5002786E-71.00.04.288594E-62.7858312E-62.7858312E-61.00.05.221238E-53.391703E-55.391635E-51.58965432.0E-55.220012E-43.3912458E-43.591178E-41.05895542.0E-5
6.99.167364E-75.6315065E-75.6315065E-71.00.03.9288643E-62.413501E-62.413501E-61.00.04.7832873E-52.9384037E-52.9384037E-51.00.04.782258E-42.9380718E-42.9380718E-41.00.0
7.07.6987664E-74.113265E-74.113265E-71.00.03.2994672E-61.7628269E-61.7628269E-61.00.04.0170275E-52.1462245E-52.1462245E-51.00.04.0163012E-42.1460558E-42.1460558E-41.00.0
7.17.1038727E-73.5210306E-73.5210306E-71.00.03.0445133E-61.5090123E-61.5090123E-61.00.03.706632E-51.8372106E-51.8372106E-51.00.03.7060137E-41.8370937E-41.8370937E-41.00.0
7.22.0799602E-73.1178534E-83.1178534E-81.00.08.914113E-71.3362228E-71.3362228E-71.00.01.0852878E-51.6268501E-61.6268501E-61.00.01.08523476E-41.626839E-51.626839E-51.00.0
7.31.5048182E-71.5939106E-81.5939106E-81.00.06.449219E-76.8310456E-86.8310456E-81.00.07.851896E-68.316795E-78.316795E-71.00.07.851618E-58.316767E-68.316767E-61.00.0
7.45.9334678E-84.8638475E-94.8638475E-91.00.02.5429145E-72.084506E-82.084506E-81.00.03.095994E-62.5378858E-72.5378858E-71.00.03.095951E-52.5378843E-62.5378843E-61.00.0

White Wolf (Extension)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.222555E-66.066615E-62.0606541E-433.9671132.0E-43.5239045E-52.5999556E-53.059923E-411.76913452.8E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-46.464008E-42.04230673.3E-40.00428123870.00316119660.00358983731.13559454.3E-4
6.18.222555E-66.066615E-62.0606541E-433.9671132.0E-43.5239045E-52.5999556E-53.059923E-411.76913452.8E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-46.464008E-42.04230673.3E-40.00428123870.00316119660.00358983731.13559454.3E-4
6.28.222555E-66.066615E-62.0606541E-433.9671132.0E-43.5239045E-52.5999556E-53.059923E-411.76913452.8E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-46.464008E-42.04230673.3E-40.00428123870.00316119660.00358983731.13559454.3E-4
6.38.222555E-66.066615E-62.0606541E-433.9671132.0E-43.5239045E-52.5999556E-53.059923E-411.76913452.8E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-46.464008E-42.04230673.3E-40.00428123870.00316119660.00358983731.13559454.3E-4
6.45.821773E-63.5571256E-61.6355656E-445.9799771.6E-42.4950215E-51.5244741E-51.95242E-412.807171.8E-43.0372653E-41.8559002E-43.9555103E-42.13131642.1E-40.00303311760.00185445860.0021039951.13456022.5E-4
6.55.766023E-63.4990599E-61.634985E-446.726411.6E-42.4711293E-51.49958905E-51.9499319E-413.0031091.8E-43.0081844E-41.8256076E-43.9252243E-42.1500922.1E-40.00300411580.00182421610.00207376011.13679522.5E-4
6.64.643576E-62.3325733E-65.2332456E-522.4355055.0E-51.9900888E-59.9967065E-65.9996208E-56.00159745.0E-52.4226638E-41.2170354E-42.016938E-41.6572558.0E-50.00242002420.00121641120.00130630181.07389819.0E-5
6.73.9529173E-61.6482975E-62.1648264E-513.1337122.0E-51.6940963E-57.064114E-62.7063972E-53.83119132.0E-52.0623671E-48.600239E-51.2599894E-41.46506334.0E-50.0020604548.597095E-49.0966653E-41.05810925.0E-5
6.83.4377522E-61.2244764E-62.1224452E-517.3334922.0E-51.473314E-55.247746E-62.524764E-54.811142.0E-51.7936122E-46.388952E-51.0388697E-41.62604074.0E-50.00179216526.3872064E-46.786951E-41.06258524.0E-5
6.93.1367306E-61.0033316E-62.1003312E-520.933572.0E-51.3443062E-54.299986E-62.42999E-55.65115832.0E-51.63657E-45.2351144E-57.23501E-51.38201562.0E-50.00163536525.233958E-45.433853E-41.0381922.0E-5
7.02.8298145E-67.4282326E-71.0742816E-514.4621421.0E-51.2127721E-53.1835248E-61.3183493E-54.14116241.0E-51.47645E-43.8758775E-54.8758386E-51.25799611.0E-50.00147546933.8752513E-43.9752127E-41.02579471.0E-5
7.12.4091064E-65.4223835E-71.0542233E-519.4420641.0E-51.03247E-52.3238767E-61.2323853E-55.3031441.0E-51.2569598E-42.8292874E-53.829259E-51.35343591.0E-50.0012562492.8289677E-42.9289394E-41.03533861.0E-5
7.21.3875518E-61.0740268E-71.0740268E-71.00.05.9466374E-64.6029712E-74.6029712E-71.00.07.23979E-55.604104E-65.604104E-61.00.07.2374323E-45.6039742E-55.6039742E-51.00.0
7.37.056077E-75.0002956E-85.0002956E-81.00.03.0240296E-62.1429837E-72.1429837E-71.00.03.681694E-52.60908E-62.60908E-61.00.03.681084E-42.609054E-52.609054E-51.00.0
7.45.9334678E-84.8638475E-94.8638475E-91.00.02.5429145E-72.084506E-82.084506E-81.00.03.095994E-62.5378858E-72.5378858E-71.00.03.095951E-52.5378843E-62.5378843E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.986481E-40.00122759290.00137740871.12204041.5E-40.00256311240.0052455470.00540470751.03034211.6E-40.0307628460.061204910.0614491.0039882.6E-40.268354770.425934940.42611291.00041783.1E-4
6.15.015945E-40.00102179860.00115166571.12709671.3E-40.002147920.00436785960.0045072481.03191231.4E-40.0258393510.051248370.0514760731.0044432.4E-40.230327760.372856680.373032271.0004712.8E-4
6.24.073338E-48.1073755E-49.4063213E-41.16021791.3E-40.00174454840.00346714770.00360666221.0402391.4E-40.0210340580.040933170.0411441621.00515462.2E-40.191507820.313033460.31320521.00054862.5E-4
6.33.464099E-46.7391695E-47.938361E-41.17794351.2E-40.00148376920.00288295930.00301258451.04496251.3E-40.0179158730.0341895820.0343827421.00564972.0E-40.165383590.27131660.27147691.00059092.2E-4
6.42.935057E-45.5442745E-46.743609E-41.21631961.2E-40.00125727510.00237253630.0025022281.05466371.3E-40.0152002480.028264510.0284588561.0068762.0E-40.142015770.232985290.233154031.00072432.2E-4
6.52.3409708E-44.2093755E-45.4088706E-41.28495791.2E-40.00100288750.00180196840.00193173431.07201341.3E-40.0121419650.0215874610.0217831451.00906472.0E-40.114995730.186823680.187002581.00095762.2E-4
6.61.5842178E-42.506933E-43.6066573E-41.43867311.1E-46.7877385E-40.00107394970.00119382081.11161711.2E-40.00823280.0129955750.0131732361.01367091.8E-40.079343960.123146380.123321751.00142412.0E-4
6.71.5616413E-42.4605883E-43.5603176E-41.44693761.1E-46.691031E-40.00105410690.00117398031.11372041.2E-40.00811594350.012757440.0129351441.01392941.8E-40.07825860.121173510.1213492751.00145052.0E-4
6.81.5538467E-42.4429744E-43.5427057E-41.45016071.1E-46.6576427E-40.00104656450.00116643891.11454081.2E-40.0080755960.0126668380.0128445591.01403031.8E-40.077883580.1204043550.120580271.0014612.0E-4
6.91.5153569E-42.3539034E-43.4536445E-41.46719881.1E-46.49277E-40.00100842760.00112830661.11887721.2E-40.0078763330.012209010.0123868131.01456321.8E-40.076029520.116474450.1166511551.0015172.0E-4
7.01.4588932E-42.2396253E-43.339379E-41.49104361.1E-46.250901E-49.5948833E-40.00107937321.12494671.2E-40.00758394740.0116196970.0117976051.01531091.8E-40.0733028950.111320460.111498191.00159662.0E-4
7.11.1565079E-41.6281738E-42.7279946E-41.67549361.1E-44.955521E-46.9760304E-48.175193E-41.17189761.2E-40.0060166690.00846044350.00862900451.01992361.7E-40.0585635380.083670460.0838445651.00208081.9E-4
7.21.0393792E-41.4615769E-42.5614162E-41.75250181.1E-44.4537216E-46.2624045E-47.461653E-41.19149971.2E-40.0054089330.00759799270.0077667011.02220431.7E-40.0527915950.075619690.075795321.00232261.9E-4
7.39.332884E-51.2780898E-42.3779493E-41.86054931.1E-43.999194E-45.4763845E-46.675727E-41.21900271.2E-40.00485815340.0066472490.0068161191.02540451.7E-40.0475331020.066483260.066660631.00266791.9E-4
7.48.670252E-51.17032345E-42.2701947E-41.93980111.1E-43.715293E-45.0147134E-46.214112E-41.23917581.2E-40.0045139910.0060884430.0062574081.02775181.7E-40.0442339370.0611516420.0613300241.0029171.9E-4
7.57.3036405E-59.005856E-52.0004866E-42.22131751.1E-43.129756E-43.8590826E-45.0586194E-41.31083481.2E-40.00380382170.00468833230.00485753551.03609031.7E-40.037393670.0478777920.0480586961.00377851.9E-4
7.66.3935775E-58.280385E-51.9279473E-42.32833081.1E-42.7398168E-43.5482543E-44.7478286E-41.33807441.2E-40.00333062540.0043114610.00448072841.03925981.7E-40.0328114740.043992010.044173651.00412891.9E-4
7.75.5050095E-56.6618326E-51.2661434E-41.9005936.0E-52.3590765E-42.854759E-43.554559E-41.24513467.0E-50.00286839270.0034701340.00357975231.0315891.1E-40.02831650.0357962140.035921561.00350171.3E-4
7.85.027131E-56.162871E-51.2162501E-41.97351236.0E-52.1543067E-42.640963E-43.340778E-41.26498487.0E-50.00261971350.0032106350.00332028191.03415111.1E-40.0258904530.033126660.0332523551.00379431.3E-4
7.93.7271806E-55.022507E-51.00222554E-41.99546895.0E-51.5972654E-42.1523255E-42.6522178E-41.23225695.0E-50.00194293590.0026173090.00270707371.03429659.0E-50.0192603620.0270674660.0271744881.00395391.1E-4
8.02.7310243E-53.1427757E-54.1427444E-51.31818011.0E-51.17038646E-41.3468343E-41.446821E-41.07423821.0E-50.00142401410.00163853830.00167847291.0243724.0E-50.0141492350.017213860.0172531721.00228374.0E-5
8.11.7940547E-51.7399378E-51.7399378E-51.00.07.688579E-57.456663E-57.456663E-51.00.09.3568244E-49.074711E-49.074711E-41.00.00.0093175250.0097986360.0097986361.00.0
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.169034E-54.7137048E-51.671314E-43.54564831.2E-41.7866064E-42.0200513E-43.5197483E-41.74240541.5E-40.00217302330.00245746570.00266694981.08524392.1E-40.0215189680.024384830.0246384891.01040232.6E-4
6.11.73813E-51.6854203E-52.6854035E-51.59331381.0E-57.4489166E-57.223036E-59.222892E-51.27687192.0E-59.065282E-48.790605E-48.9904293E-41.02273152.0E-50.0090283910.0087571280.0088166041.00679166.0E-5
6.21.4622182E-51.3673262E-52.3673127E-51.73134431.0E-56.2664985E-55.85984E-57.859723E-51.34128622.0E-57.6267915E-47.132059E-47.331916E-41.02802242.0E-50.0076006690.0071097670.00716934031.00837916.0E-5
6.31.3552434E-51.2482174E-52.2482049E-51.80113261.0E-55.8080568E-55.349395E-57.349288E-51.3738542.0E-57.069015E-46.510974E-46.7108433E-41.03069732.0E-50.007046570.0064924150.00654209031.00765135.0E-5
6.41.30977305E-51.1979128E-52.1979009E-51.83477521.0E-55.613192E-55.133813E-57.1337105E-51.3895542.0E-56.831918E-46.2486547E-46.44853E-41.03198682.0E-50.0068109530.0062315840.00628127251.00797375.0E-5
6.51.225205E-51.1048776E-52.1048665E-51.90506771.0E-55.2507727E-54.735105E-56.7350105E-51.42235712.0E-56.3909404E-45.7634927E-45.963377E-41.03468122.0E-50.0063725920.0057490090.00579872171.00864725.0E-5
6.61.1352241E-51.0063508E-52.0063408E-51.99367931.0E-54.8651553E-54.3128617E-56.312776E-51.46370922.0E-55.921717E-45.249665E-45.44956E-41.03807772.0E-50.00590596160.00523766460.00528740231.00949625.0E-5
6.71.0864116E-59.517E-61.9516905E-52.05074121.0E-54.6559664E-54.0786515E-56.07857E-51.49033812.0E-55.667165E-44.964647E-45.164548E-41.04026482.0E-50.0056527340.00495394370.0050036961.0100435.0E-5
6.81.0666365E-59.299752E-61.929966E-52.07528761.0E-54.571219E-53.985548E-55.9854683E-51.5017932.0E-55.564038E-44.8513446E-45.0512474E-41.04120562.0E-50.0055501270.004841140.00489089821.01027815.0E-5
6.91.0038665E-58.592018E-61.8591933E-52.16386081.0E-54.302214E-53.682243E-55.682169E-51.54312732.0E-55.236687E-44.4822265E-44.6821366E-41.04460072.0E-50.0052243640.00447355070.0045233271.01112685.0E-5
7.09.5379955E-68.025047E-61.8024966E-52.24608871.0E-54.0876483E-53.439261E-55.4391923E-51.58150032.0E-54.975576E-44.1865133E-44.3864295E-41.04775252.0E-50.004964450.004178980.00422877071.01191465.0E-5
7.19.207389E-67.652347E-61.7652272E-52.30677841.0E-53.945964E-53.2795375E-55.2794716E-51.60982222.0E-54.803152E-43.992122E-44.1920424E-41.05007862.0E-50.0047927840.0039853010.00403510171.01249615.0E-5
7.27.638091E-65.9310923E-61.5931033E-52.68602011.0E-53.2734264E-52.5418722E-53.5418467E-51.39340081.0E-53.984668E-43.094293E-43.194262E-41.03230751.0E-50.00397753060.00309019560.0031300721.01290424.0E-5
7.37.2500147E-65.596131E-61.5596075E-52.7869391.0E-53.1071122E-52.3983199E-53.398296E-51.41694861.0E-53.7822526E-42.9195662E-43.019537E-41.03424171.0E-50.00377582150.00291594020.00295582371.01367774.0E-5
7.46.3899715E-64.9184864E-61.4918437E-53.0331361.0E-52.7385306E-52.1079059E-53.107885E-51.47439441.0E-53.3336508E-42.566075E-42.6660494E-41.038961.0E-50.00332865420.0025633110.00260320841.01556484.0E-5
7.55.379025E-64.0838477E-61.40838065E-53.44866131.0E-52.305276E-51.7502087E-52.7501912E-51.57135051.0E-52.806312E-42.1306718E-42.2306504E-41.04692351.0E-50.00280277080.00212864020.00215857641.01406353.0E-5
7.64.1270696E-63.0883373E-61.3088306E-54.23797851.0E-51.768732E-51.32356645E-52.3235532E-51.75552441.0E-52.1532185E-41.6113237E-41.7113076E-41.06205081.0E-50.00215113330.00161016350.00164011521.01860173.0E-5
7.72.5406805E-61.8282044E-61.8282044E-61.00.01.0888585E-57.835139E-67.835139E-61.00.01.3256045E-49.53887E-59.53887E-51.00.00.00132481429.534837E-49.534837E-41.00.0
7.84.8608285E-73.509864E-73.509864E-71.00.02.0832106E-61.5042266E-61.5042266E-61.00.02.5362791E-51.8313805E-51.8313805E-51.00.02.5359896E-41.8312308E-41.8312308E-41.00.0
7.92.0472514E-81.2688718E-81.2688718E-81.00.08.7739345E-85.438022E-85.438022E-81.00.01.068226E-66.6207895E-76.6207895E-71.00.01.0682209E-56.620771E-66.620771E-61.00.0
8.04.443582E-92.032067E-92.032067E-91.00.01.9043922E-88.7088585E-98.7088585E-91.00.02.3185973E-71.0603035E-71.0603035E-71.00.02.3185949E-61.0603031E-61.0603031E-61.00.0

Cleghorn Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0522846E-51.1040642E-51.3103931E-411.86881351.2E-44.509713E-54.7316473E-51.9730937E-44.16999341.5E-45.4891926E-45.759784E-48.358287E-41.45114582.6E-40.00547565330.0057500220.00604829661.05187373.0E-4
6.11.0522846E-51.1040642E-51.3103931E-411.86881351.2E-44.509713E-54.7316473E-51.9730937E-44.16999341.5E-45.4891926E-45.759784E-48.358287E-41.45114582.6E-40.00547565330.0057500220.00604829661.05187373.0E-4
6.22.1045846E-62.2082024E-62.2208158E-510.057122.0E-59.019617E-69.463714E-63.946343E-54.1699733.0E-51.098083E-41.1521882E-41.6521306E-41.43390695.0E-50.00109754060.00115200230.00120194471.04335275.0E-5
6.32.1045846E-62.2082024E-62.2208158E-510.057122.0E-59.019617E-69.463714E-63.946343E-54.1699733.0E-51.098083E-41.1521882E-41.6521306E-41.43390695.0E-50.00109754060.00115200230.00120194471.04335275.0E-5
6.41.7259927E-61.810877E-62.1810842E-512.0443522.0E-57.3970905E-67.760902E-63.776067E-54.86553.0E-59.005586E-59.4488976E-51.4448425E-41.52911225.0E-59.001937E-49.448898E-49.948425E-41.05286625.0E-5

San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.652694E-53.4401106E-52.3439423E-46.81356672.0E-41.5653463E-41.4742499E-43.8738962E-42.62770652.4E-40.00190414310.00179342330.00208290321.16141192.9E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0188501891.01748253.3E-4
6.13.652694E-53.4401106E-52.3439423E-46.81356672.0E-41.5653463E-41.4742499E-43.8738962E-42.62770652.4E-40.00190414310.00179342330.00208290321.16141192.9E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0188501891.01748253.3E-4
6.23.652694E-53.4401106E-52.3439423E-46.81356672.0E-41.5653463E-41.4742499E-43.8738962E-42.62770652.4E-40.00190414310.00179342330.00208290321.16141192.9E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0188501891.01748253.3E-4
6.33.652694E-53.4401106E-52.3439423E-46.81356672.0E-41.5653463E-41.4742499E-43.8738962E-42.62770652.4E-40.00190414310.00179342330.00208290321.16141192.9E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0188501891.01748253.3E-4
6.43.646941E-53.432268E-52.3431581E-46.8268512.0E-41.5628811E-41.4708891E-43.8705362E-42.6314262.4E-40.00190114680.00178933890.002078821.16178112.9E-40.0188496450.0184861810.0188100821.01752113.3E-4
6.53.646941E-53.432268E-52.3431581E-46.8268512.0E-41.5628811E-41.4708891E-43.8705362E-42.6314262.4E-40.00190114680.00178933890.002078821.16178112.9E-40.0188496450.0184861810.0188100821.01752113.3E-4
6.63.6442503E-53.4286066E-52.3427921E-46.8330732.0E-41.561728E-41.4693203E-43.8689675E-42.63316852.4E-40.00189974550.0017874320.00207691361.16195392.9E-40.0188358690.018467450.0187913571.01753933.3E-4
6.73.6432113E-53.427164E-52.342648E-46.83552842.0E-41.5612828E-41.4687021E-43.8683496E-42.63385582.4E-40.00189920440.00178668070.00207616251.16202212.9E-40.0188305490.0184600740.0187839831.01754643.3E-4
6.83.6409598E-53.4240697E-52.3423386E-46.84080272.0E-41.560318E-41.4673761E-43.867024E-42.63533262.4E-40.00189803180.00178506890.00207455131.16216872.9E-40.0188190230.0184442290.0187681431.01756183.3E-4
6.93.638078E-53.4201123E-52.3419427E-46.84756142.0E-41.5590832E-41.4656801E-43.8653283E-42.63722522.4E-40.00189653110.00178300750.00207249051.16235652.9E-40.0188042690.0184239630.0187478831.01758153.3E-4
7.03.6294874E-53.408314E-52.3407632E-46.8678042.0E-41.5554018E-41.4606243E-43.860274E-42.6428932.4E-40.00189205690.00177686230.0020663471.1629192.9E-40.0187602840.0183635450.0186874851.01764043.3E-4
7.13.6260717E-53.403942E-52.3403262E-46.87534052.0E-41.5539382E-41.4587509E-43.8584007E-42.6450032.4E-40.0018902780.00177458510.00206407041.16312852.9E-40.0187427960.0183411390.0186650861.01766233.3E-4
7.23.6210204E-53.397364E-52.3396684E-46.8867172.0E-41.5517735E-41.455932E-43.8555826E-42.64818862.4E-40.0018876470.00177115880.0020606451.16344462.9E-40.018716930.0183074080.0186313671.01769553.3E-4
7.33.6119454E-53.386193E-52.3385516E-46.90613842.0E-41.5478847E-41.4511449E-43.8507965E-42.65362672.4E-40.00188292060.00176533980.00205482781.16398432.9E-40.0186704620.018249960.0185739381.01775233.3E-4
7.43.607848E-53.380943E-52.3380267E-46.915312.0E-41.5461289E-41.4488952E-43.8485473E-42.65619442.4E-40.00188078660.00176260520.0020520941.16423922.9E-40.0186494810.0182229560.0185469431.0177793.3E-4
7.53.5856774E-53.3619202E-52.3361247E-46.9487812.0E-41.5366284E-41.4407437E-43.8403977E-42.66556642.4E-40.00186923960.00175269670.00204218831.16516942.9E-40.0185359440.0181240570.0184480751.01787783.3E-4
7.63.286655E-53.2142278E-52.3213585E-47.22213462.0E-41.4084904E-41.3774536E-43.777123E-42.74210552.4E-40.0017134880.00167576170.00196527571.17276562.9E-40.0170033610.0173438040.017668081.0186973.3E-4
7.72.8882527E-52.9235205E-52.2922936E-47.8408672.0E-41.237764E-41.2528773E-43.6525764E-42.91535072.4E-40.00150593570.00152431180.00181386971.18995982.9E-40.0149577130.0158303380.0161551141.0205163.3E-4
7.82.4950225E-52.6526219E-52.2652092E-48.539512.0E-41.0692515E-41.1367885E-43.5365156E-43.11097072.4E-40.00130103620.00138316210.00166277481.20215462.8E-40.0129344550.014411760.0147271481.02188413.2E-4
7.91.9881603E-52.150649E-52.215022E-410.2993182.0E-48.520408E-59.216742E-53.321453E-43.6037172.4E-40.0010368660.00112156150.00140124751.24937192.8E-40.0103204150.0117769980.0120833471.02601253.1E-4
8.01.563292E-51.5936288E-52.159331E-413.5497742.0E-46.6996516E-56.829659E-53.082802E-44.51384452.4E-48.153773E-48.3119445E-40.00110097011.32456372.7E-40.008123920.0088103310.0090878641.03150082.8E-4
8.11.0045313E-58.300794E-61.08299966E-413.046941.0E-44.305063E-53.557435E-51.4557043E-44.09200571.1E-45.2401534E-44.3303217E-45.429845E-41.25391271.1E-40.00522781440.00465876660.00476825421.02350141.1E-4
8.24.1554413E-61.5648296E-61.5648296E-61.00.01.7808914E-56.7063957E-66.7063957E-61.00.02.1680194E-48.164734E-58.164734E-51.00.00.00216590549.479703E-49.479703E-41.00.0
8.31.2758221E-63.612677E-73.612677E-71.00.05.4677976E-61.5482892E-61.5482892E-61.00.06.65684E-51.8850264E-51.8850264E-51.00.06.6548464E-42.2739546E-42.2739546E-41.00.0

San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0667746E-53.5271103E-52.3526404E-46.6701642.0E-41.742787E-41.5115313E-43.9111686E-42.58755372.4E-40.00211977820.00183873720.00211822241.15199842.8E-40.0209967140.0189864950.019300421.01653413.2E-4
6.14.0667746E-53.5271103E-52.3526404E-46.6701642.0E-41.742787E-41.5115313E-43.9111686E-42.58755372.4E-40.00211977820.00183873720.00211822241.15199842.8E-40.0209967140.0189864950.019300421.01653413.2E-4
6.24.0667746E-53.5271103E-52.3526404E-46.6701642.0E-41.742787E-41.5115313E-43.9111686E-42.58755372.4E-40.00211977820.00183873720.00211822241.15199842.8E-40.0209967140.0189864950.019300421.01653413.2E-4
6.34.0667746E-53.5271103E-52.3526404E-46.6701642.0E-41.742787E-41.5115313E-43.9111686E-42.58755372.4E-40.00211977820.00183873720.00211822241.15199842.8E-40.0209967140.0189864950.019300421.01653413.2E-4
6.44.0577226E-53.5143014E-52.3513599E-46.69083172.0E-41.738908E-41.5060425E-43.905681E-42.59334062.4E-40.00211506480.00183206690.0021115541.15255282.8E-40.0209504720.0189210620.0192350071.01659243.2E-4
6.54.0577226E-53.5143014E-52.3513599E-46.69083172.0E-41.738908E-41.5060425E-43.905681E-42.59334062.4E-40.00211506480.00183206690.0021115541.15255282.8E-40.0209504720.0189210620.0192350071.01659243.2E-4
6.64.053861E-53.5088357E-52.3508134E-46.69969652.0E-41.7372532E-41.5037002E-43.9033394E-42.59582282.4E-40.00211305380.00182922060.00210870851.15279072.8E-40.0209307430.018893140.0192070941.01661743.2E-4
6.74.0516545E-53.505743E-52.3505042E-46.7047252.0E-41.7363077E-41.502375E-43.9020143E-42.59723072.4E-40.0021119050.00182761010.00210709821.15292552.8E-40.0209194680.0188773370.0191912951.01663163.2E-4
6.84.049434E-53.5028992E-52.3502199E-46.7093562.0E-41.7353562E-41.5011564E-43.900796E-42.59852742.4E-40.00211074880.00182612890.00210561771.15304982.8E-40.0209081250.0188627490.0191767121.01664463.2E-4
6.94.046386E-53.4991554E-52.3498456E-46.7154652.0E-41.73405E-41.499552E-43.899192E-42.6002382.4E-40.00210916160.00182417880.00210366821.15321372.8E-40.0208925530.0188435220.0191574921.0166623.2E-4
7.04.036382E-53.4872126E-52.3486515E-46.73503972.0E-41.7297632E-41.4944343E-43.8940756E-42.6057192.4E-40.00210395250.00181795840.00209744951.1537392.8E-40.020841440.0187821370.0190961271.01671743.2E-4
7.14.0343282E-53.485059E-52.3484362E-46.7385842.0E-41.7288832E-41.4935112E-43.8931528E-42.60671142.4E-40.0021028830.00181683680.0020963281.1538342.8E-40.0208309480.0187710080.0190850011.01672763.2E-4
7.24.0257353E-53.475509E-52.3474813E-46.7543532.0E-41.725201E-41.489419E-43.8890613E-42.61112672.4E-40.00209840850.00181186260.00209135521.1542572.8E-40.0207870420.0187217460.0190357551.01677243.2E-4
7.33.9940667E-53.458276E-52.3457584E-46.78302862.0E-41.7116306E-41.4820343E-43.8816786E-42.61915562.4E-40.00208191850.00180288660.00208238191.15502642.8E-40.0206252170.0186303870.0189444261.01685623.2E-4
7.43.9721202E-53.4468165E-52.3446127E-46.80225562.0E-41.7022261E-41.4771236E-43.876769E-42.62453942.4E-40.00207049030.00179691790.00207641461.15554242.8E-40.0205130520.0185695220.0188835781.01691263.2E-4
7.53.7036873E-53.3535776E-52.3352906E-46.96358062.0E-41.5871979E-41.4371685E-43.8368235E-42.66971042.4E-40.00193070060.00174835130.00202786181.15987092.8E-40.0191401240.0180711280.0183853451.01738773.2E-4
7.63.2940967E-53.13167E-52.3131043E-47.38616852.0E-41.4116794E-41.3420754E-43.7417535E-42.78803522.4E-40.00171736450.00163275450.00191229721.17120932.8E-40.017041530.0169040910.0172186811.01861043.2E-4
7.72.8236149E-52.7882697E-52.2787711E-48.1727082.0E-41.2100645E-41.1949181E-43.5946313E-43.0082662.4E-40.00147225790.00145384290.00173343581.19231312.8E-40.0146254210.0151149120.0154300751.02085113.2E-4
7.82.4329287E-52.5206451E-52.2520141E-48.9342772.0E-41.042642E-41.08023174E-43.4799727E-43.22150542.4E-40.00126867740.00131438950.00158403461.20514862.7E-40.0126145890.0137123410.01401808951.02229743.1E-4
7.91.9370926E-52.0420413E-52.2041633E-410.7939212.0E-48.301561E-58.751312E-53.2749213E-43.74220592.4E-40.00101024650.00106495220.00133466481.25326252.7E-40.01005666050.0111994020.0114960421.02648713.0E-4
8.01.5583017E-51.5885415E-52.1588223E-413.5899652.0E-46.6782646E-56.807858E-53.0806224E-44.5250982.4E-48.127754E-48.2854216E-40.00109831851.32560362.7E-40.0080980910.0087816360.0090591781.03160482.8E-4
8.11.0024873E-58.291399E-61.0829057E-413.060591.0E-44.2963035E-53.553409E-51.4553018E-44.0955091.1E-45.229494E-44.3254215E-45.424946E-41.25420051.1E-40.00521720430.00465306550.00476255361.02353041.1E-4
8.24.142796E-61.5602761E-61.5602761E-61.00.01.775472E-56.6868806E-66.6868806E-61.00.02.1614227E-48.140976E-58.140976E-51.00.00.00215932179.4514614E-49.4514614E-41.00.0
8.31.2750878E-63.609817E-73.609817E-71.00.05.4646503E-61.5470634E-61.5470634E-61.00.06.653009E-51.8835339E-51.8835339E-51.00.06.6510175E-42.272251E-42.272251E-41.00.0

San Jacinto (Anza) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.3015636E-54.3298347E-52.4328969E-45.6189142.0E-42.7003905E-41.8555121E-44.2550667E-42.29320342.4E-40.00328276910.00225675730.00253612551.12379182.8E-40.0323469680.023293610.0236061571.01341773.2E-4
6.16.3015636E-54.3298347E-52.4328969E-45.6189142.0E-42.7003905E-41.8555121E-44.2550667E-42.29320342.4E-40.00328276910.00225675730.00253612551.12379182.8E-40.0323469680.023293610.0236061571.01341773.2E-4
6.26.3015636E-54.3298347E-52.4328969E-45.6189142.0E-42.7003905E-41.8555121E-44.2550667E-42.29320342.4E-40.00328276910.00225675730.00253612551.12379182.8E-40.0323469680.023293610.0236061571.01341773.2E-4
6.36.3015636E-54.3298347E-52.4328969E-45.6189142.0E-42.7003905E-41.8555121E-44.2550667E-42.29320342.4E-40.00328276910.00225675730.00253612551.12379182.8E-40.0323469680.023293610.0236061571.01341773.2E-4
6.46.3015636E-54.3298347E-52.4328969E-45.6189142.0E-42.7003905E-41.8555121E-44.2550667E-42.29320342.4E-40.00328276910.00225675730.00253612551.12379182.8E-40.0323469680.023293610.0236061571.01341773.2E-4
6.55.811017E-54.0080286E-52.4007227E-45.98978422.0E-42.4901982E-41.7176138E-44.1172016E-42.39704732.4E-40.00302760140.00208919470.00236860971.13374292.8E-40.029866840.0215908330.0219039251.01450113.2E-4
6.65.811017E-54.0080286E-52.4007227E-45.98978422.0E-42.4901982E-41.7176138E-44.1172016E-42.39704732.4E-40.00302760140.00208919470.00236860971.13374292.8E-40.029866840.0215908330.0219039251.01450113.2E-4
6.75.712442E-53.950301E-52.3949512E-46.0627052.0E-42.4479596E-41.6928767E-44.0924703E-42.41746522.4E-40.00297631770.00205913440.0023385581.13569952.8E-40.0293676930.0212829190.0215961081.01471563.2E-4
6.85.6967532E-53.93593E-52.3935143E-46.08119152.0E-42.4412372E-41.6867183E-44.0863134E-42.42264132.4E-40.00296815530.00205165080.00233107641.13619542.8E-40.0292882290.021208520.0215217321.01476823.2E-4
6.95.6211324E-53.9064216E-52.390564E-46.1195752.0E-42.4088343E-41.6740736E-44.073672E-42.43338872.4E-40.00292881160.00203628470.00231571451.13722532.8E-40.0289051090.0210475270.0213607921.01488363.2E-4
7.05.4383527E-53.7925012E-52.3791743E-46.27336452.0E-42.3305144E-41.6252567E-44.0248665E-42.476452.4E-40.00283370940.0019769590.00225640551.14135172.8E-40.0279784650.020440950.0207544081.01533483.2E-4
7.15.1393665E-53.638787E-52.363806E-46.4961372.0E-42.2023996E-41.5593872E-43.959013E-42.53882622.4E-40.00267812420.00189690480.00217637371.14732892.8E-40.0264607820.0196160770.01992981.01599313.2E-4
7.24.785222E-53.4738845E-52.347319E-46.7570442.0E-42.0506482E-41.4887229E-43.8883655E-42.611882.4E-40.00249380550.00181101670.00209050971.15432932.8E-40.0246600490.0187287830.019042791.0167663.2E-4
7.34.2143256E-53.3834414E-52.3382764E-46.91094162.0E-41.8060145E-41.449966E-43.8496178E-42.65497142.4E-40.0021966050.00176390750.00204341351.15845852.8E-40.021750190.0182366950.018550861.0172273.2E-4
7.44.0264713E-53.3472694E-52.33466E-46.97481972.0E-41.7255165E-41.4344654E-43.8341212E-42.67285732.4E-40.0020987920.00174506590.00202457721.16017232.8E-40.0207908040.0180413890.0183556151.0174173.2E-4
7.53.694492E-53.2186905E-52.3218046E-47.2135072.0E-41.5832575E-41.379366E-43.779035E-42.73968982.4E-40.00192591180.00167808760.00195761771.16657662.8E-40.019093060.0173578880.0176723341.01811543.2E-4
7.63.200565E-52.9502702E-52.294968E-47.778842.0E-41.3715986E-41.2643404E-43.664037E-42.8979832.4E-40.0016686420.00153824970.0018178191.1817452.8E-40.016561680.0159460160.0162609151.01974773.2E-4
7.72.731642E-52.6091477E-52.2608625E-48.6651382.0E-41.1706512E-41.11815825E-43.51789E-43.14614682.4E-40.0014243360.00136050850.00164012751.20552542.8E-40.0141524120.01416680.0144822661.0222683.2E-4
7.82.3466424E-52.3503619E-52.2349892E-49.5091282.0E-41.0056651E-41.0072591E-43.4070175E-43.38246372.4E-40.00122370940.00122564890.00149531791.22002152.7E-40.0121699280.0128087960.0131148261.02389223.1E-4
7.91.8611925E-51.890698E-52.189032E-411.5779042.0E-47.9762955E-58.10274E-53.2100794E-43.9617212.4E-49.7068126E-49.860628E-40.00125579661.27354622.7E-40.00966452250.0103937050.0106905881.02856363.0E-4
8.01.5460775E-51.5739915E-52.1573677E-413.7063482.0E-46.6258784E-56.745504E-53.0743884E-44.55768542.4E-48.0640207E-48.2095637E-40.00109073471.32861472.7E-40.0080348210.0087027060.0089802691.03189382.8E-4
8.19.983884E-68.268954E-61.0826813E-413.09332751.0E-44.2787375E-53.5437897E-51.45434E-44.1039121.1E-45.2081177E-44.313715E-45.41324E-41.25489071.1E-40.00519592830.004639680.004749171.02359861.1E-4
8.24.1226E-61.5522551E-61.5522551E-61.00.01.7668166E-56.6525045E-66.6525045E-61.00.02.1508869E-48.099126E-58.099126E-51.00.00.00214880649.401847E-49.401847E-41.00.0
8.31.2750878E-63.609817E-73.609817E-71.00.05.4646503E-61.5470634E-61.5470634E-61.00.06.653009E-51.8835339E-51.8835339E-51.00.06.6510175E-42.272251E-42.272251E-41.00.0

Chino alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.939946E-54.894798E-51.3894358E-42.83859669.0E-51.6884391E-42.0976314E-43.2973796E-41.57195391.2E-40.00205373620.0025513850.00278079841.08991712.3E-40.0203485950.0252801680.0255433431.01041032.7E-4
6.12.1505624E-52.6878823E-58.687721E-53.23218066.0E-59.2163704E-51.15190494E-41.8518243E-41.6076197.0E-50.00112151540.00140165170.00153146941.09261781.3E-40.0111587220.0139474250.0140854731.00989771.4E-4
6.22.1505624E-52.6878823E-58.687721E-53.23218066.0E-59.2163704E-51.15190494E-41.8518243E-41.6076197.0E-50.00112151540.00140165170.00153146941.09261781.3E-40.0111587220.0139474250.0140854731.00989771.4E-4
6.31.4290785E-51.8164832E-54.8164286E-52.65151293.0E-56.1244784E-57.784722E-51.178441E-41.5137874.0E-57.454001E-49.4742293E-40.00102734721.08435958.0E-50.0074290480.009446740.0095259841.00838858.0E-5
6.41.4290785E-51.8164832E-54.8164286E-52.65151293.0E-56.1244784E-57.784722E-51.178441E-41.5137874.0E-57.454001E-49.4742293E-40.00102734721.08435958.0E-50.0074290480.009446740.0095259841.00838858.0E-5
6.51.3017944E-51.6651793E-53.6651458E-52.2010522.0E-55.5789995E-57.1363116E-51.0136098E-41.42035523.0E-56.790315E-48.6854334E-49.384826E-41.08052477.0E-50.00676960360.0086642330.0087336261.00800927.0E-5
6.69.470016E-61.2039209E-53.203897E-52.66121862.0E-54.058515E-55.159578E-58.159423E-51.58141293.0E-54.940122E-46.280315E-46.780001E-41.07956395.0E-50.0049291540.0062732480.0063229341.00792045.0E-5
6.78.314155E-61.040749E-53.0407282E-52.92167282.0E-53.5631605E-54.4602948E-57.460161E-51.67257133.0E-54.3372845E-45.4293784E-45.929107E-41.09204165.0E-50.0043288290.00542708070.00547680961.0091635.0E-5
6.83.4856364E-63.8134033E-61.38133655E-53.62231951.0E-51.4938357E-51.6343065E-52.6342903E-51.61187031.0E-51.8185932E-41.9896074E-42.1895676E-41.10050242.0E-50.00181710560.00198945290.0020094131.0100332.0E-5
6.92.2645952E-62.152909E-61.2152887E-55.64486841.0E-59.705372E-69.226722E-61.9226629E-52.08379861.0E-51.18156495E-41.12329755E-41.323275E-41.17802722.0E-50.00118093690.00112331380.00114329141.01778452.0E-5
7.01.7864003E-61.5430741E-61.15430585E-57.48056031.0E-57.655979E-66.613158E-61.6613092E-52.5121271.0E-59.3207556E-58.051228E-59.051148E-51.12419461.0E-59.316847E-48.052856E-48.1527757E-41.01240791.0E-5
7.11.7315456E-61.4733466E-61.1473332E-57.7872591.0E-57.420889E-66.314328E-61.6314265E-52.583691.0E-59.034557E-57.687428E-58.6873515E-51.13007251.0E-59.0308854E-47.68921E-47.7891327E-41.01299521.0E-5
7.21.6008337E-61.3574178E-61.1357404E-58.3669191.0E-56.860698E-65.817492E-61.5817433E-52.71894381.0E-58.352579E-57.082572E-58.082501E-51.14118171.0E-58.34944E-47.0846075E-47.1845367E-41.01410511.0E-5
7.31.3320939E-61.1217794E-61.1121769E-59.9143981.0E-55.7089615E-64.8076176E-61.480757E-53.08002231.0E-56.9504385E-55.853122E-56.853064E-51.1708391.0E-56.9482654E-45.8530655E-45.953007E-41.01707511.0E-5
7.41.114294E-69.237087E-71.09237E-511.8259141.0E-54.775537E-63.9587458E-61.3958706E-53.52604271.0E-55.8140613E-54.81967E-55.8196216E-51.2074731.0E-55.81254E-44.8187698E-44.9187214E-41.02074221.0E-5
7.59.354081E-77.6233886E-71.0762331E-514.11751651.0E-54.0088858E-63.2671626E-61.326713E-54.060751.0E-54.8807087E-53.9777013E-54.9776616E-51.25139151.0E-54.879637E-43.9770233E-44.0769836E-41.02513441.0E-5
7.68.521771E-76.880688E-71.0688062E-515.5334211.0E-53.6521824E-62.948863E-61.29488335E-54.39112761.0E-54.4464414E-53.590185E-54.590149E-51.27852711.0E-54.4455516E-43.5896365E-43.6896006E-41.0278481.0E-5
7.72.1803626E-71.4186368E-71.0141862E-571.49021.0E-59.344408E-76.0798715E-71.06079815E-517.4477061.0E-51.1376757E-57.4022278E-61.7402153E-52.35093451.0E-51.13761744E-47.402077E-58.402003E-51.13508731.0E-5

Pinto Mtn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.4194956E-54.7853926E-51.778477E-43.71647051.3E-41.893932E-42.0507304E-43.6504024E-41.78004981.6E-40.00230342360.00249406880.00273347021.09598832.4E-40.0227969380.0246783050.0249513951.0110662.8E-4
6.14.4194956E-54.7853926E-51.778477E-43.71647051.3E-41.893932E-42.0507304E-43.6504024E-41.78004981.6E-40.00230342360.00249406880.00273347021.09598832.4E-40.0227969380.0246783050.0249513951.0110662.8E-4
6.24.4194956E-54.7853926E-51.778477E-43.71647051.3E-41.893932E-42.0507304E-43.6504024E-41.78004981.6E-40.00230342360.00249406880.00273347021.09598832.4E-40.0227969380.0246783050.0249513951.0110662.8E-4
6.34.4194956E-54.7853926E-51.778477E-43.71647051.3E-41.893932E-42.0507304E-43.6504024E-41.78004981.6E-40.00230342360.00249406880.00273347021.09598832.4E-40.0227969380.0246783050.0249513951.0110662.8E-4
6.43.729929E-53.960349E-51.3959954E-43.524931.0E-41.5984432E-41.6971873E-42.8969836E-41.70693221.2E-40.00194436730.00206446040.00224408881.08700991.8E-40.0192744270.0204628480.0206587561.00957382.0E-4
6.53.729929E-53.960349E-51.3959954E-43.524931.0E-41.5984432E-41.6971873E-42.8969836E-41.70693221.2E-40.00194436730.00206446040.00224408881.08700991.8E-40.0192744270.0204628480.0206587561.00957382.0E-4
6.63.0204548E-53.12056E-58.120404E-52.60222655.0E-51.2944164E-41.3373162E-41.9372361E-41.44859986.0E-50.00157481270.00162700120.00171685471.05522649.0E-50.0156369920.0161547640.0162629881.00669911.1E-4
6.72.9857754E-53.0814987E-58.081344E-52.62253715.0E-51.2795553E-41.3205773E-41.920498E-41.45428676.0E-50.00155674530.00160665170.00169650711.05592729.0E-50.0154588480.0159542040.016062451.00678471.1E-4
6.82.4819734E-52.5009665E-56.5008666E-52.59934164.0E-51.0636595E-41.0718E-41.5717464E-41.4664555.0E-50.00129423620.0013041570.00138405271.06126228.0E-50.0128672440.0129674030.01306610651.00761161.0E-4
6.92.331124E-52.3337945E-56.3337015E-52.7139074.0E-59.990149E-51.0001605E-41.5001104E-41.49986985.0E-50.0012156220.00121703550.00129693821.06565348.0E-50.0120899360.0121058970.0122046861.00816051.0E-4
7.02.1818534E-52.1761074E-56.1760205E-52.83810454.0E-59.3504656E-59.3258524E-51.4325386E-41.53609415.0E-50.00113782460.00113485090.00121476011.07041388.0E-50.0113201630.011292660.011391531.00875531.0E-4
7.12.066081E-52.0540718E-56.0539896E-52.94731164.0E-58.854332E-58.8028784E-51.3802439E-41.5679465.0E-50.00107748180.00107124310.00115115741.07459968.0E-50.0107227240.01066284350.0107617771.00927841.0E-4
7.21.8990233E-51.9054001E-55.905324E-53.09925654.0E-58.138417E-58.165756E-51.3165348E-41.61226325.0E-59.904018E-49.937467E-40.00106367711.07037047.0E-50.0098599950.0098950290.0099841381.00900549.0E-5
7.31.3335872E-51.4906713E-55.4906115E-53.68331484.0E-55.7152483E-56.388442E-51.0388187E-41.62609084.0E-56.956093E-47.77528E-48.3748135E-41.07710776.0E-50.0069343590.0077493760.0078188331.0089637.0E-5
7.49.414066E-61.186096E-55.1860487E-54.37236834.0E-54.0345374E-55.083175E-59.0829715E-51.78686984.0E-54.910942E-46.1871024E-46.786731E-41.0969166.0E-50.00490010340.00617082560.00624039351.01127377.0E-5
7.57.2101157E-69.158192E-64.9157825E-55.36763434.0E-53.090013E-53.9248847E-57.924728E-52.01909834.0E-53.7614413E-44.7775774E-45.277339E-41.10460565.0E-50.00375508070.0047680820.0048277961.01252376.0E-5
7.63.296375E-64.5455017E-62.454541E-55.39993432.0E-51.4127245E-51.9480583E-53.9480194E-52.02664332.0E-51.7198564E-42.3715167E-42.6714455E-41.12647133.0E-50.00171852590.00236912330.00240902861.01684394.0E-5
7.72.5741092E-63.5844084E-63.5844084E-61.00.01.103185E-51.5361667E-51.5361667E-51.00.01.3430449E-41.8701357E-41.970117E-41.0534621.0E-50.00134223350.00186869180.00187867311.00534131.0E-5

Independence rev 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.422171E-64.3262253E-61.8432544E-442.606531.8E-41.8952025E-51.8540852E-52.0853733E-411.2474521.9E-42.3071647E-42.2571447E-44.7565805E-42.10734422.5E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00252453681.11945622.7E-4
6.14.422171E-64.3262253E-61.8432544E-442.606531.8E-41.8952025E-51.8540852E-52.0853733E-411.2474521.9E-42.3071647E-42.2571447E-44.7565805E-42.10734422.5E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00252453681.11945622.7E-4
6.24.422171E-64.3262253E-61.8432544E-442.606531.8E-41.8952025E-51.8540852E-52.0853733E-411.2474521.9E-42.3071647E-42.2571447E-44.7565805E-42.10734422.5E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00252453681.11945622.7E-4
6.34.422171E-64.3262253E-61.8432544E-442.606531.8E-41.8952025E-51.8540852E-52.0853733E-411.2474521.9E-42.3071647E-42.2571447E-44.7565805E-42.10734422.5E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00252453681.11945622.7E-4
6.44.422171E-64.3262253E-61.8432544E-442.606531.8E-41.8952025E-51.8540852E-52.0853733E-411.2474521.9E-42.3071647E-42.2571447E-44.7565805E-42.10734422.5E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00252453681.11945622.7E-4
6.54.422171E-64.3262253E-61.8432544E-442.606531.8E-41.8952025E-51.8540852E-52.0853733E-411.2474521.9E-42.3071647E-42.2571447E-44.7565805E-42.10734422.5E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00252453681.11945622.7E-4
6.62.663744E-62.5319846E-61.7253155E-468.140841.7E-41.1415996E-51.08513195E-51.9084937E-417.5876641.8E-41.3898089E-41.321073E-43.620769E-42.7407792.3E-40.00138893990.00132033590.00157000581.18909572.5E-4
6.72.663744E-62.5319846E-61.7253155E-468.140841.7E-41.1415996E-51.08513195E-51.9084937E-417.5876641.8E-41.3898089E-41.321073E-43.620769E-42.7407792.3E-40.00138893990.00132033590.00157000581.18909572.5E-4
6.81.9716529E-61.8322567E-61.7183194E-493.781591.7E-48.449913E-67.852505E-61.878511E-423.922441.8E-41.0287284E-49.560019E-53.255782E-43.4056232.3E-40.00102825239.5560355E-40.00120536461.26136482.5E-4
6.91.8788617E-61.7429976E-61.7174271E-498.532961.7E-48.0522395E-67.4699688E-61.8746863E-425.0963061.8E-49.80316E-59.09432E-53.209223E-43.52882122.3E-49.798837E-49.090718E-40.00115884461.27475572.5E-4
7.01.5045488E-61.3849498E-61.5138474E-4109.307031.5E-46.44805E-65.9354857E-61.6593453E-427.9563541.6E-47.8502184E-57.226219E-52.8224703E-43.9058742.1E-47.8474457E-47.223921E-49.5222594E-41.31815662.3E-4
7.11.272341E-61.1625089E-61.4116235E-4121.429051.4E-45.4528787E-64.9821715E-61.5498142E-431.1072041.5E-46.6386776E-56.0656283E-52.6064416E-44.29706762.0E-46.636695E-46.064005E-48.2626706E-41.36257662.2E-4
7.21.0416892E-69.409871E-71.3094087E-4139.152661.3E-44.464375E-64.032796E-61.4403224E-435.7152331.4E-45.4352407E-54.9098202E-52.3908887E-44.86960551.9E-45.4339116E-44.908754E-47.0077233E-41.42759722.1E-4
7.37.9450155E-77.2350036E-71.1072342E-4153.038511.1E-43.4050022E-63.1007123E-61.2310034E-439.7006651.2E-44.1455114E-53.7750528E-52.0774412E-45.5030781.7E-44.144738E-43.7744228E-45.6737056E-41.50319831.9E-4
7.45.3893444E-75.0195166E-71.105019E-4220.14451.1E-42.309717E-62.1512196E-61.2215096E-456.7821921.2E-42.8120441E-52.6190788E-51.9618633E-47.49066161.7E-42.8116882E-42.6187746E-44.518277E-41.72534011.9E-4
7.53.8852085E-73.6825622E-71.10368215E-4299.704961.1E-41.6650882E-61.57824E-61.2157805E-477.033941.2E-42.027226E-51.9214905E-51.8921164E-49.8471281.7E-42.0270412E-41.9213265E-43.8209616E-41.988711.9E-4
7.62.414929E-72.3457605E-76.023456E-5256.780526.0E-51.0349692E-61.0053255E-67.1005255E-570.629127.0E-51.2600677E-51.2239771E-51.12238544E-49.1699881.0E-41.2599962E-41.223911E-42.4237641E-41.98034351.2E-4
7.76.8298014E-86.8589785E-81.0068589E-5146.79431.0E-52.9270575E-72.939562E-71.0293953E-535.0186651.0E-53.5636867E-63.5789112E-61.3578875E-53.79413581.0E-53.5636294E-53.5788584E-54.5788227E-51.27940871.0E-5

Rose Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5923203E-54.9714607E-52.0970665E-44.218211.6E-41.9679888E-42.1304654E-44.1300393E-41.9385622.0E-40.00239339330.00259094780.00282035191.08854062.3E-40.0236777980.0256185180.0258718561.00988892.6E-4
6.14.5923203E-54.9714607E-51.4970964E-43.01138111.0E-41.9679888E-42.1304654E-43.4301885E-41.61006531.3E-40.00239339330.00259094780.00276050741.0654431.7E-40.0236777980.0256185180.025803651.00722651.9E-4
6.22.8844734E-52.9669678E-57.966819E-52.6851725.0E-51.2361443E-41.2714976E-41.771434E-41.3931875.0E-50.00150396650.0015469760.00160688321.03872546.0E-50.01493828650.0153648730.01544364451.00512678.0E-5
6.32.3171577E-52.3162425E-57.316127E-53.15861875.0E-59.9302975E-59.926383E-51.4925886E-41.50365825.0E-50.00120834310.00120788040.0012678081.04961386.0E-50.0120179380.0120121520.0120813111.00575757.0E-5
6.42.0066604E-51.9668067E-54.9667477E-52.52528523.0E-58.599689E-58.428905E-51.1428652E-41.35588813.0E-50.00104650920.0010257460.0010657051.0389564.0E-50.0104159460.0102114790.01026096851.00484655.0E-5
6.51.776989E-51.7115402E-54.711489E-52.75277733.0E-57.615444E-57.33497E-51.033475E-41.40896963.0E-59.267859E-48.926737E-49.3263795E-41.04476924.0E-50.0092293030.0088746630.008924221.0055845.0E-5
6.61.5227364E-51.4340872E-52.4340728E-51.69729761.0E-56.52585E-56.145947E-57.145885E-51.16269891.0E-57.942326E-47.480173E-47.6800236E-41.02671732.0E-50.0079140.00744103360.00747081031.00400173.0E-5
6.71.2703898E-51.1674277E-52.1674161E-51.8565741.0E-55.4444143E-55.0031682E-56.003118E-51.19986331.0E-56.626558E-46.089697E-46.289575E-41.03282242.0E-50.0066068330.00606230930.00609212741.00491863.0E-5
6.81.1554917E-51.0610384E-52.0610278E-51.94246291.0E-54.9520135E-54.547231E-55.5471854E-51.21990411.0E-56.0274085E-45.5348873E-45.734777E-41.03611452.0E-50.00601108650.0055044140.0055342491.00542023.0E-5
6.98.732078E-67.882285E-61.7882207E-52.26865771.0E-53.7422655E-53.37808E-54.3780463E-51.29601611.0E-54.5552556E-44.112066E-44.3119836E-41.04861742.0E-50.00454592940.0040895150.00411939251.00730593.0E-5
7.05.9337494E-65.107436E-61.51073855E-52.95791961.0E-52.5430107E-52.1888829E-53.1888612E-51.4568441.0E-53.0956755E-42.6646405E-42.764614E-41.03751851.0E-50.00309136670.0026614610.00268140781.00749472.0E-5
7.15.013409E-64.17734E-61.4177298E-53.3938581.0E-52.1485863E-51.7902763E-52.7902584E-51.5585631.0E-52.6155898E-42.1794444E-42.2794226E-41.04587331.0E-50.00261251330.00217731880.00219727521.00916562.0E-5
7.24.120763E-63.2820917E-61.3282059E-54.04682731.0E-51.7660293E-51.4066032E-52.4065892E-51.71092261.0E-52.1499286E-41.7124058E-41.8123887E-41.05838741.0E-50.00214784990.00171109580.00173106151.01166842.0E-5
7.33.2081239E-62.4404965E-61.2440472E-55.0975171.0E-51.374903E-51.0459229E-52.0459123E-51.95608341.0E-51.6738157E-41.2733374E-41.3733246E-41.07852381.0E-50.00167255560.00127261480.00129258941.01569572.0E-5
7.42.4194755E-61.7680321E-61.1768015E-56.6559961.0E-51.0369139E-57.5772587E-61.7577182E-52.31972861.0E-51.2623696E-49.224927E-51.0224835E-41.10839191.0E-50.00126165279.221151E-49.420967E-41.02166932.0E-5
7.51.3842889E-69.3782967E-79.3782967E-71.00.05.9326535E-64.019264E-64.019264E-61.00.07.222766E-54.8933474E-54.8933474E-51.00.07.220419E-44.8923056E-44.992256E-41.02043021.0E-5
7.61.0021575E-66.4113493E-76.4113493E-71.00.04.2949537E-62.7477186E-62.7477186E-61.00.05.2289808E-53.345298E-53.345298E-51.00.05.2277505E-43.344816E-43.344816E-41.00.0
7.78.7620116E-86.449304E-86.449304E-81.00.03.7551473E-72.763987E-72.763987E-71.00.04.5718825E-63.3651493E-63.3651493E-61.00.04.5717883E-53.3651013E-53.3651013E-51.00.0

San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.7349746E-47.38255931.5E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-43.2069252E-43.18416882.2E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00147520821.2037462.5E-40.00699927660.0122287440.012505321.02261692.8E-4
6.11.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.7349746E-47.38255931.5E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-43.2069252E-43.18416882.2E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00147520821.2037462.5E-40.00699927660.0122287440.012505321.02261692.8E-4
6.21.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.7349746E-47.38255931.5E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-43.2069252E-43.18416882.2E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00147520821.2037462.5E-40.00699927660.0122287440.012505321.02261692.8E-4
6.31.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.7349746E-47.38255931.5E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-43.2069252E-43.18416882.2E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00147520821.2037462.5E-40.00699927660.0122287440.012505321.02261692.8E-4
6.41.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.7349746E-47.38255931.5E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-43.2069252E-43.18416882.2E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00147520821.2037462.5E-40.00699927660.0122287440.012505321.02261692.8E-4
6.51.3450706E-52.348995E-51.7348643E-47.3855591.5E-45.764461E-51.00667356E-43.206452E-43.18519542.2E-47.0159714E-40.00122493920.0014746331.20384182.5E-40.0069938620.0122230540.0124996311.02262752.8E-4
6.61.3074523E-52.3104236E-51.7310077E-47.4921661.5E-45.6032466E-59.901441E-53.1899262E-43.22167872.2E-46.8198174E-40.0012048370.00145453591.20724692.5E-40.0067989260.0120242190.0123008531.02300632.8E-4
6.71.3050216E-52.3079532E-51.7307607E-47.4991151.5E-45.59283E-59.890855E-53.188868E-43.2240572.2E-46.8071426E-40.00120354960.00145324871.20746892.5E-40.00678632870.0120114840.0122881211.0230312.8E-4
6.81.29049395E-52.2927941E-51.729245E-47.5420861.5E-45.530571E-59.825892E-53.182373E-43.23876242.2E-46.73139E-40.0011956490.00144535011.20884142.5E-40.00671103640.0119333290.0122099871.02318372.8E-4
6.91.2867369E-52.2887343E-51.7288391E-47.55369041.5E-45.51447E-59.808494E-53.1806336E-43.24273372.2E-46.711799E-40.00119353320.00144323491.20921222.5E-40.0066915640.0119123970.0121890621.0232252.8E-4
7.01.2495996E-52.2287419E-51.7228408E-47.73010441.5E-45.3553173E-59.551403E-53.1549303E-43.30310652.2E-46.518148E-40.00116226580.00141197521.21484712.5E-40.00649906230.0116030.0118797511.02385162.8E-4
7.11.2452067E-52.2232492E-51.7222916E-47.7467321.5E-45.3364907E-59.527864E-53.1525767E-43.3087972.2E-46.4952404E-40.0011594030.00140911321.21537822.5E-40.00647628870.0115746710.011851431.02391082.8E-4
7.21.2002777E-52.1611015E-51.7160777E-47.9407551.5E-45.143946E-59.261536E-53.12595E-43.3751962.2E-46.2609545E-40.00112701140.00136674091.21271262.4E-40.0062433440.0112540580.0115210191.02372132.7E-4
7.31.1923425E-52.1480853E-51.7147763E-47.98281241.5E-45.109939E-59.205757E-53.1203733E-43.38958882.2E-46.219575E-40.00112022730.00135995841.21400232.4E-40.00620219620.0111869450.0114539251.02386522.7E-4
7.41.16105175E-52.0854808E-51.7085168E-48.1924361.5E-44.975841E-58.93747E-53.0935503E-43.46132682.2E-46.0564023E-40.00108759630.00132733541.22043012.4E-40.0060399230.0108644090.0111314761.02458182.7E-4
7.51.1037265E-51.9554842E-51.695519E-48.6705851.5E-44.7301706E-58.380379E-53.0378535E-43.62495972.2E-45.757461E-40.00101983570.0012595911.2350922.4E-40.0057425670.0101955270.0104627751.02621222.7E-4
7.61.0720915E-51.8996727E-51.6899388E-48.89594651.5E-44.5945973E-58.141202E-53.0139412E-43.70208382.2E-45.592486E-49.907428E-40.00123050511.24200252.4E-40.0055784330.0099072380.0101745641.02698282.7E-4
7.79.276279E-61.6442464E-51.6644E-410.122571.5E-43.9754876E-57.046581E-52.9045032E-44.12186152.2E-44.839081E-48.5758517E-40.00109737941.27961552.4E-40.00482855740.0085865760.0088542581.03117442.7E-4
7.85.8346777E-61.11555855E-51.6115392E-414.446031.5E-42.5005522E-54.7808775E-52.6779826E-45.60144572.2E-43.043997E-45.819165E-48.1178267E-41.39501572.3E-40.00303983080.00584733350.00610581271.04420472.6E-4
7.94.690204E-68.509473E-61.4850828E-417.4521121.4E-42.0100719E-53.6468664E-52.2646174E-46.20976261.9E-42.4469878E-44.439156E-46.4382685E-41.45033612.0E-40.0024442950.0044711650.00469018151.04898422.2E-4
8.02.9570454E-64.8470656E-66.4846776E-513.3785636.0E-51.267299E-52.0772974E-59.077152E-54.36969337.0E-51.5428272E-42.5288164E-43.2286393E-41.27673947.0E-50.00154175660.0025499320.00261975361.02738177.0E-5
8.11.6376824E-62.1968672E-62.1968672E-61.00.07.01862E-69.415111E-69.415111E-61.00.08.544835E-51.1462297E-41.1462297E-41.00.08.54155E-40.00116074450.00116074451.00.0
8.26.9631557E-74.535001E-74.535001E-71.00.02.984206E-61.9435704E-61.9435704E-61.00.03.63321E-52.3662713E-52.3662713E-51.00.03.6326164E-42.4510184E-42.4510184E-41.00.0
8.31.7876137E-78.357368E-88.357368E-81.00.07.661199E-73.5817288E-73.5817288E-71.00.09.32747E-64.3607465E-64.3607465E-61.00.09.3270784E-54.5800018E-54.5800018E-51.00.0

Santa Rosa Island

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1143165E-54.709113E-51.77085E-43.7604751.3E-41.7631594E-42.0180462E-43.9176628E-41.94131471.9E-40.0021445330.00245439910.00267385921.0894152.2E-40.0212395530.0242935570.024547241.01044242.6E-4
6.12.1061249E-52.3864959E-51.2386257E-45.1901441.0E-49.0259375E-51.0227455E-42.3226126E-42.27095841.3E-40.00109835390.00124451030.00138433621.1123541.4E-40.010929410.012378450.0125463461.01356351.7E-4
6.22.1061249E-52.3864959E-51.2386257E-45.1901441.0E-49.0259375E-51.0227455E-42.3226126E-42.27095841.3E-40.00109835390.00124451030.00138433621.1123541.4E-40.010929410.012378450.0125463461.01356351.7E-4
6.31.5158236E-51.7074419E-51.0707288E-46.2709539.0E-56.496225E-57.3174095E-51.8316605E-42.50315431.1E-47.906284E-48.9054246E-40.00100044451.12341021.1E-40.0078782140.008870990.0089998371.01452451.3E-4
6.41.2341918E-51.3852917E-58.385195E-56.05301767.0E-55.2892858E-55.9368336E-51.49363E-42.51586969.0E-56.437803E-47.225779E-48.125129E-41.1244649.0E-50.0064191840.00720312170.00731232951.01516121.1E-4
6.59.061158E-61.0117032E-56.0116527E-55.9421115.0E-53.883296E-54.3358017E-51.1335498E-42.61439517.0E-54.726887E-45.277613E-45.9772434E-41.13256577.0E-50.0047168450.00526561770.00535514351.0170029.0E-5
6.67.5461685E-68.400734E-65.8400314E-56.9518115.0E-53.2340322E-53.600267E-51.0600015E-42.944237.0E-53.936723E-44.3824868E-45.08218E-41.15965667.0E-50.0039297560.00437427360.0044539241.01820878.0E-5
6.75.5023775E-66.087381E-65.6087076E-59.2136635.0E-52.3581404E-52.6088532E-59.6086704E-53.68310127.0E-52.8706578E-43.1758484E-43.875626E-41.22034367.0E-50.00286695220.00317163160.00325137771.02514368.0E-5
6.83.7351679E-64.0831405E-63.408302E-58.3472563.0E-51.6007763E-51.7499071E-55.749837E-53.28579574.0E-51.948771E-42.1303285E-42.5302434E-41.18772454.0E-50.00194706290.00212853150.0021784251.02344045.0E-5
6.92.456366E-62.6292707E-62.2629218E-58.6066522.0E-51.0527241E-51.1268255E-54.1267915E-53.66231683.0E-51.2816161E-41.3718239E-41.6717827E-41.2186573.0E-50.00128087730.00137097990.00140093881.02185213.0E-5
7.02.3245157E-62.4827784E-62.2482729E-59.0554712.0E-59.962172E-61.0640436E-54.0640116E-53.81940343.0E-51.2128269E-41.2953962E-41.5953573E-41.23155943.0E-50.00121216520.00129464340.00132460461.02314253.0E-5
7.12.2248344E-62.37325E-62.2373202E-59.4272422.0E-59.53497E-61.0171032E-54.0170726E-53.94952323.0E-51.1608207E-41.238253E-41.5382159E-41.24224693.0E-50.00116021440.00123756510.00126752791.02421123.0E-5
7.22.1350402E-62.2761542E-62.2276108E-59.7867322.0E-59.150141E-69.75491E-63.9754617E-54.07534463.0E-51.1139726E-41.1875957E-41.4875601E-41.25258123.0E-50.00111341440.00118696290.00121692731.02524463.0E-5
7.31.9793572E-62.1087192E-62.2108678E-510.484412.0E-58.482932E-69.037337E-63.9037066E-54.3195323.0E-51.032748E-41.1002403E-41.4002074E-41.27263773.0E-50.00103226820.00109969740.00112966451.02725033.0E-5
7.41.6951194E-61.8045735E-62.1804537E-512.08293152.0E-57.264777E-67.733864E-62.773371E-53.58600952.0E-58.844508E-59.415574E-51.1415385E-41.2123942.0E-58.840988E-49.411601E-49.6114125E-41.02123032.0E-5
7.58.987207E-79.512216E-79.512216E-71.00.03.8516546E-64.0766577E-64.0766577E-61.00.04.6892885E-54.9632188E-54.9632188E-51.00.04.688299E-44.962122E-44.962122E-41.00.0
7.63.8783037E-74.0529335E-74.0529335E-71.00.01.6621291E-61.7369704E-61.7369704E-61.00.02.0236233E-52.1147416E-52.1147416E-51.00.02.023439E-42.114547E-42.114547E-41.00.0
7.76.181804E-86.339047E-86.339047E-81.00.02.6493444E-72.7167343E-72.7167343E-71.00.03.225572E-63.307619E-63.307619E-61.00.03.225525E-53.3075703E-53.3075703E-51.00.0
7.81.3704449E-91.3964153E-91.3964153E-91.00.05.873335E-95.984637E-95.984637E-91.00.07.1507856E-87.286295E-87.286295E-81.00.07.1507833E-77.286294E-77.286294E-71.00.0

Deep Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9810619E-52.311252E-51.231102E-45.32655951.0E-48.489989E-59.9052755E-52.1904087E-42.21135571.2E-40.0010331660.00120580780.00141555461.17394712.1E-40.0102837570.012042430.0123091791.02215082.7E-4
6.11.9810619E-52.311252E-51.231102E-45.32655951.0E-48.489989E-59.9052755E-52.1904087E-42.21135571.2E-40.0010331660.00120580780.00141555461.17394712.1E-40.0102837570.012042430.0123091791.02215082.7E-4
6.21.9810619E-52.311252E-51.231102E-45.32655951.0E-48.489989E-59.9052755E-52.1904087E-42.21135571.2E-40.0010331660.00120580780.00141555461.17394712.1E-40.0102837570.012042430.0123091791.02215082.7E-4
6.31.9810619E-52.311252E-51.231102E-45.32655951.0E-48.489989E-59.9052755E-52.1904087E-42.21135571.2E-40.0010331660.00120580780.00141555461.17394712.1E-40.0102837570.012042430.0123091791.02215082.7E-4
6.41.9810619E-52.311252E-51.231102E-45.32655951.0E-48.489989E-59.9052755E-52.1904087E-42.21135571.2E-40.0010331660.00120580780.00141555461.17394712.1E-40.0102837570.012042430.0123091791.02215082.7E-4
6.51.7190405E-52.0050558E-51.0004895E-44.9898348.0E-57.367108E-58.593096E-51.7592323E-42.04726249.0E-58.9657627E-40.00104620920.00120604191.1527731.6E-40.0089296760.0104620610.0106698641.01986252.1E-4
6.61.7190405E-52.0050558E-51.0004895E-44.9898348.0E-57.367108E-58.593096E-51.7592323E-42.04726249.0E-58.9657627E-40.00104620920.00120604191.1527731.6E-40.0089296760.0104620610.0106698641.01986252.1E-4

Lost Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.233523E-52.5106583E-51.4510356E-45.7795031.2E-49.571891E-51.0759615E-42.5758002E-42.3939521.5E-40.00116475460.0013093640.00151908911.16017322.1E-40.0115866860.0130330910.01326009351.01741742.3E-4
6.12.233523E-52.5106583E-51.4510356E-45.7795031.2E-49.571891E-51.0759615E-42.5758002E-42.3939521.5E-40.00116475460.0013093640.00151908911.16017322.1E-40.0115866860.0130330910.01326009351.01741742.3E-4
6.22.233523E-52.5106583E-51.4510356E-45.7795031.2E-49.571891E-51.0759615E-42.5758002E-42.3939521.5E-40.00116475460.0013093640.00151908911.16017322.1E-40.0115866860.0130330910.01326009351.01741742.3E-4
6.32.233523E-52.5106583E-51.4510356E-45.7795031.2E-49.571891E-51.0759615E-42.5758002E-42.3939521.5E-40.00116475460.0013093640.00151908911.16017322.1E-40.0115866860.0130330910.01326009351.01741742.3E-4
6.41.2288092E-51.3781108E-57.3780284E-55.35372646.0E-55.2662188E-55.906108E-51.3905636E-42.354458.0E-56.409735E-47.189252E-48.388389E-41.16679581.2E-40.0063912790.00717520060.0073042681.0179881.3E-4
6.51.2288092E-51.3781108E-57.3780284E-55.35372646.0E-55.2662188E-55.906108E-51.3905636E-42.354458.0E-56.409735E-47.189252E-48.388389E-41.16679581.2E-40.0063912790.00717520060.0073042681.0179881.3E-4
6.68.58281E-69.63377E-65.9633287E-56.19002635.0E-53.6782953E-54.12874E-51.01284924E-42.4531686.0E-54.4774043E-45.026414E-46.0259114E-41.1988491.0E-40.00446839350.0050232050.0051326531.02178841.1E-4
6.77.205685E-68.088302E-64.808798E-55.9453744.0E-53.088114E-53.466415E-58.466242E-52.44236235.0E-53.7591302E-44.2203604E-45.0200225E-41.18947738.0E-50.00375277760.00422036040.00430998071.02123529.0E-5

Red Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1810763E-54.7590016E-51.3758574E-42.8910639.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-43.1391977E-41.53925851.1E-40.00217929340.00248033340.00265988681.07239091.8E-40.0215804520.024544110.0247587111.00874342.2E-4
6.14.1810763E-54.7590016E-51.3758574E-42.8910639.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-43.1391977E-41.53925851.1E-40.00217929340.00248033340.00265988681.07239091.8E-40.0215804520.024544110.0247587111.00874342.2E-4
6.24.1810763E-54.7590016E-51.3758574E-42.8910639.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-43.1391977E-41.53925851.1E-40.00217929340.00248033340.00265988681.07239091.8E-40.0215804520.024544110.0247587111.00874342.2E-4
6.34.1810763E-54.7590016E-51.3758574E-42.8910639.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-43.1391977E-41.53925851.1E-40.00217929340.00248033340.00265988681.07239091.8E-40.0215804520.024544110.0247587111.00874342.2E-4
6.44.1810763E-54.7590016E-51.3758574E-42.8910639.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-43.1391977E-41.53925851.1E-40.00217929340.00248033340.00265988681.07239091.8E-40.0215804520.024544110.0247587111.00874342.2E-4
6.53.154503E-53.5359757E-51.1535693E-43.2623798.0E-51.3518598E-41.5153353E-42.515184E-41.659821.0E-40.00164464670.00184345180.00198319371.07580451.4E-40.016325280.0182912440.0184581351.0091241.7E-4
6.63.1535834E-53.5349138E-51.1534631E-43.26305878.0E-51.3514658E-41.5148803E-42.514729E-41.66001811.0E-40.00164416760.00184289870.00198264071.07582721.4E-40.016320560.0182858050.0184526971.00912681.7E-4
6.72.8267326E-53.1469353E-51.0146715E-43.22431617.0E-51.2114006E-41.3486217E-42.1485139E-41.59311828.0E-50.00147388240.00164079540.00176059851.07301521.2E-40.0146414520.016295570.016433291.00845131.4E-4
6.82.8212884E-53.1407242E-51.0140504E-43.22871547.0E-51.20906756E-41.3459599E-42.1458523E-41.59429138.0E-50.00147104570.00163755950.00175736311.07315981.2E-40.0146134590.0162636880.016401411.00846821.4E-4
6.92.4227871E-52.6706994E-57.6705655E-52.87211875.0E-51.03829596E-41.1445395E-41.7444708E-41.52416836.0E-50.00126339230.00139266210.00149252281.0717051.0E-40.0125623360.01384703350.0139653721.00854611.2E-4
7.02.348524E-52.5835778E-57.583448E-52.93525085.0E-51.0064714E-41.10720495E-41.7071384E-41.54184516.0E-50.00122469010.0013472640.00144712931.07412451.0E-40.0121796270.0133985980.013516991.00883621.2E-4
7.12.2311642E-52.4462845E-57.446162E-53.0438665.0E-59.561782E-51.04836974E-41.6483068E-41.57225726.0E-50.00116352520.00127571760.001375591.07828721.0E-40.011574520.012691460.0128099371.00933521.2E-4
7.21.6533986E-51.7670362E-53.7670008E-52.13181882.0E-57.085802E-57.572828E-51.0572601E-41.39612323.0E-58.623549E-49.2166534E-49.8161E-41.06503956.0E-50.0085901610.0091847070.00925406351.00755137.0E-5
7.31.4703092E-51.5559537E-52.555938E-51.64268271.0E-56.301173E-56.668237E-58.668104E-51.29990942.0E-57.668978E-48.1161706E-48.6157647E-41.06155545.0E-50.00764256580.0080926040.0081521181.00735416.0E-5
7.46.1331984E-65.5288874E-61.5528833E-52.80867221.0E-52.6284872E-52.3695018E-53.369478E-51.42201961.0E-53.199713E-42.884492E-43.084434E-41.06931632.0E-50.00319510980.00288080240.0029107161.01038373.0E-5
7.55.954766E-65.338517E-61.5338464E-52.87316941.0E-52.5520176E-52.2879161E-53.2878932E-51.43706891.0E-53.1066386E-42.785187E-42.9851313E-41.07178842.0E-50.0031022990.00278175040.00281166681.01075463.0E-5
7.64.9726646E-64.315309E-61.4315266E-53.3173211.0E-52.1311245E-51.8494053E-52.8493867E-51.54070441.0E-52.5943352E-42.2514217E-42.4513766E-41.08881272.0E-50.00259130840.00224917540.0022791081.01330823.0E-5
7.73.3613894E-62.8526886E-62.8526886E-61.00.01.4405875E-51.22257525E-51.22257525E-51.00.01.7537741E-41.4883863E-41.5883715E-41.06717681.0E-50.00175239080.00148741570.00149740091.0067131.0E-5
7.81.1828961E-61.0122935E-61.0122935E-61.00.05.069545E-64.338394E-64.338394E-61.00.06.171996E-55.281869E-55.281869E-51.00.06.170282E-45.280643E-45.280643E-41.00.0
7.92.2967266E-71.861919E-71.861919E-71.00.09.843111E-77.97965E-77.97965E-71.00.01.19839215E-59.715184E-69.715184E-61.00.01.1983275E-49.714788E-59.714788E-51.00.0

Whittier alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.2554693E-54.7252182E-51.2724841E-42.69296348.0E-51.8236451E-42.0249544E-43.024752E-41.49373831.0E-40.0022180270.00246291630.00263249781.06885391.7E-40.021960190.0243902630.0246146541.00922.3E-4
6.14.2554693E-54.7252182E-51.2724841E-42.69296348.0E-51.8236451E-42.0249544E-43.024752E-41.49373831.0E-40.0022180270.00246291630.00263249781.06885391.7E-40.021960190.0243902630.0246146541.00922.3E-4
6.24.2554693E-54.7252182E-51.2724841E-42.69296348.0E-51.8236451E-42.0249544E-43.024752E-41.49373831.0E-40.0022180270.00246291630.00263249781.06885391.7E-40.021960190.0243902630.0246146541.00922.3E-4
6.31.9617712E-51.826841E-56.8267494E-53.7369155.0E-58.40732E-57.829095E-51.2828704E-41.63859345.0E-50.00102311059.527944E-40.00103271821.08388358.0E-50.010184130.00949040.0095795451.00939329.0E-5
6.41.5611336E-51.3604089E-55.3603544E-53.94025234.0E-56.690401E-55.8301972E-59.829964E-51.68604314.0E-58.142519E-47.096013E-47.695587E-41.08449456.0E-50.0081127480.00707533770.0071349131.00842016.0E-5
6.51.5150166E-51.3100744E-55.310022E-54.05322174.0E-56.492767E-55.614487E-59.614263E-51.71240274.0E-57.9020765E-46.8335526E-47.433143E-41.08774216.0E-50.0078740360.0068145080.0068740991.00874476.0E-5
6.61.295588E-51.0380544E-55.0380128E-54.85332254.0E-55.552402E-54.44873E-58.448552E-51.8990934.0E-56.7579525E-45.415002E-46.0146773E-41.11074336.0E-50.0067374380.0054033430.0054630191.01104436.0E-5
6.71.2542085E-59.899189E-64.9898794E-55.0406954.0E-55.3750682E-54.2424414E-58.242272E-51.94281334.0E-56.542181E-45.163967E-45.7636574E-41.11612986.0E-50.0065229540.0051534640.0052131551.01158266.0E-5
6.81.2195878E-59.49523E-63.9494946E-54.1594513.0E-55.2267E-54.069322E-57.0692E-51.73719363.0E-56.36165E-44.9532915E-45.453044E-41.1008935.0E-50.00634346860.00494369630.00499344941.01006395.0E-5
6.91.1580298E-58.772739E-63.8772476E-54.41965443.0E-54.9628903E-53.759692E-56.759579E-51.79790763.0E-56.040644E-44.5764804E-45.0762517E-41.10920435.0E-50.006024250.00456846460.0046182361.01089475.0E-5
7.01.0964795E-58.083794E-63.808355E-54.7110993.0E-54.6991136E-53.4644378E-56.464334E-51.86591143.0E-55.7196687E-44.217152E-44.716941E-41.11851355.0E-50.00570496960.0042104590.00426024851.01182525.0E-5
7.11.0230601E-57.32646E-63.732624E-55.0947173.0E-54.3844695E-53.1398744E-56.1397805E-51.95542233.0E-55.336784E-43.8221394E-44.2219865E-41.10461344.0E-50.0053239860.00381675920.00385660651.01044014.0E-5
7.29.40865E-66.5430822E-63.6542886E-55.5849653.0E-54.032216E-52.8041486E-55.8040645E-52.06981353.0E-54.908117E-43.4135283E-43.813392E-41.11714084.0E-50.00489729130.00340940240.0034492661.01169234.0E-5
7.38.237384E-65.5975433E-62.5597432E-54.5729762.0E-53.5302593E-52.3989258E-54.3988777E-51.83368652.0E-54.2972428E-42.920311E-43.2202236E-41.10269883.0E-50.00428894260.00291679920.00294671161.01025523.0E-5
7.47.5316966E-65.0276153E-61.5027565E-52.98900461.0E-53.2278298E-52.154675E-53.1546533E-51.46409711.0E-53.9291743E-42.623011E-42.722985E-41.03811411.0E-50.00392223430.00262002670.00263000051.00380671.0E-5
7.56.149649E-63.9336355E-61.3933596E-53.54216741.0E-52.6355372E-51.6858336E-52.6858166E-51.59316841.0E-53.208294E-42.052318E-42.1522974E-41.04871541.0E-50.0032036660.00205051180.00206049141.00486681.0E-5
7.65.457711E-63.3951796E-61.3395145E-53.94534231.0E-52.338998E-51.4550694E-52.4550549E-51.68724251.0E-52.8473578E-41.771411E-41.8713933E-41.05644211.0E-50.00284371220.00177007980.00178006211.00563941.0E-5
7.74.1676276E-62.3329922E-61.2332969E-55.2863311.0E-51.7861139E-59.998504E-61.9998404E-52.00013971.0E-52.1743766E-41.2172572E-41.317245E-41.08214191.0E-50.00217225030.00121666350.00122665141.00820921.0E-5
7.82.2692414E-79.384417E-89.384417E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0218927E-74.0218927E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8966467E-64.8966467E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8965718E-54.8965718E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4397174E-93.4397174E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4741646E-81.4741646E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.7947953E-71.7947953E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.794794E-61.794794E-61.00.0

Ortigalita (North)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.711876E-51.0505308E-42.0504257E-41.95179981.0E-43.3046713E-44.501601E-45.701061E-41.26645181.2E-40.0040160160.00546805470.0056570161.03455721.9E-40.0394421030.0534556140.053644921.00354152.0E-4
6.14.607858E-56.0239887E-57.0239286E-51.1659931.0E-51.9746469E-42.5814763E-42.6814506E-41.03872751.0E-50.00240148180.00313873660.00319854821.0190566.0E-50.0237569530.0309753120.0310334531.00187716.0E-5
6.24.607858E-56.0239887E-57.0239286E-51.1659931.0E-51.9746469E-42.5814763E-42.6814506E-41.03872751.0E-50.00240148180.00313873660.00319854821.0190566.0E-50.0237569530.0309753120.0310334531.00187716.0E-5
6.33.327423E-54.2476124E-55.2475698E-51.23541641.0E-51.4259605E-41.8202956E-41.9202773E-41.05492621.0E-50.00173472440.0022142060.00227407321.02703776.0E-50.0172124520.021945740.0220044221.0026746.0E-5
6.42.7732503E-53.4999008E-54.4998655E-51.28571241.0E-51.1884817E-41.499886E-41.599871E-41.06666171.0E-50.0014460160.00182481580.00188470631.032826.0E-50.0143664280.0181212970.018180211.00325116.0E-5
6.52.7689714E-53.4948822E-54.4948472E-51.28612271.0E-51.186648E-41.4977354E-41.5977204E-41.06675741.0E-50.00144378640.00182220180.00188209241.03286726.0E-50.0143444210.0180955850.0181544981.00325576.0E-5
6.62.2976905E-52.871829E-53.8718004E-51.34820011.0E-59.846873E-51.23074E-41.3307277E-41.0812421.0E-50.00119819750.00149763480.00153757491.02666884.0E-50.0119175740.0148987330.01493813751.00264484.0E-5
6.71.9871539E-52.4904637E-53.4904388E-51.40152171.0E-58.516096E-51.067312E-41.1673012E-41.09368341.0E-50.00103634150.00129891990.0013288811.02306623.0E-50.0103152180.0129369380.012966551.00228893.0E-5
6.86.5640475E-67.6054926E-61.7605416E-52.31482931.0E-52.813133E-53.2594577E-54.259425E-51.30678951.0E-53.424451E-43.9676955E-44.0676558E-41.02519361.0E-50.00341917880.0039608990.0039708591.00251471.0E-5
6.95.6219683E-66.5018376E-61.6501772E-52.53801681.0E-52.4093928E-52.7864735E-53.7864458E-51.35886661.0E-52.933041E-43.3920293E-43.4919954E-41.02947091.0E-50.00292917270.0033871090.0033970751.00294231.0E-5
7.03.875591E-64.4847548E-64.4847548E-61.00.01.6609569E-51.9220248E-51.9220248E-51.00.02.0220275E-42.339835E-42.339835E-41.00.00.00202018860.00233757980.00233757981.00.0
7.11.6017933E-61.8570418E-61.8570418E-61.00.06.8648105E-67.958732E-67.958732E-61.00.08.357586E-59.689432E-59.689432E-51.00.08.3544437E-49.686254E-49.686254E-41.00.0

Camp Rock 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6710783E-54.249999E-61.2424949E-429.235181.2E-47.161568E-51.8214158E-51.7821124E-49.7842151.6E-48.7157206E-42.2173533E-44.4168654E-41.99195382.2E-40.0086816160.00221519380.00245466221.10810272.4E-4
6.11.6710783E-54.249999E-61.2424949E-429.235181.2E-47.161568E-51.8214158E-51.7821124E-49.7842151.6E-48.7157206E-42.2173533E-44.4168654E-41.99195382.2E-40.0086816160.00221519380.00245466221.10810272.4E-4
6.21.6710783E-54.249999E-61.2424949E-429.235181.2E-47.161568E-51.8214158E-51.7821124E-49.7842151.6E-48.7157206E-42.2173533E-44.4168654E-41.99195382.2E-40.0086816160.00221519380.00245466221.10810272.4E-4
6.31.6710783E-54.249999E-61.2424949E-429.235181.2E-47.161568E-51.8214158E-51.7821124E-49.7842151.6E-48.7157206E-42.2173533E-44.4168654E-41.99195382.2E-40.0086816160.00221519380.00245466221.10810272.4E-4
6.47.982846E-63.6820359E-61.1368163E-430.8746661.1E-43.421175E-51.578006E-51.6577769E-410.5055171.5E-44.1644843E-41.9210564E-44.0206529E-42.09293842.1E-40.00415668870.00191943060.00213900841.11439732.2E-4
6.57.982846E-63.6820359E-61.1368163E-430.8746661.1E-43.421175E-51.578006E-51.6577769E-410.5055171.5E-44.1644843E-41.9210564E-44.0206529E-42.09293842.1E-40.00415668870.00191943060.00213900841.11439732.2E-4
6.67.048869E-63.4242998E-61.03423954E-430.202951.0E-43.0209088E-51.467549E-51.5467344E-410.5395761.4E-43.677336E-41.7865976E-43.78624E-42.11924622.0E-40.00367125660.00178519290.0019948181.11742442.1E-4
6.76.987307E-63.3622775E-61.0336194E-430.7416461.0E-42.9945259E-51.4409683E-51.5440767E-410.7155491.4E-43.6452254E-41.7542407E-43.7538898E-42.13989452.0E-40.00363925170.00175288720.0019625191.11959232.1E-4
6.86.3737602E-63.1178672E-67.311765E-523.4511747.0E-52.731583E-51.3362222E-51.2336075E-49.2320541.1E-43.3251947E-41.6267318E-43.3264555E-42.04487011.7E-40.00332022370.00162556980.00180527711.11055041.8E-4
6.96.112211E-62.933078E-67.2932875E-524.8656447.0E-52.6194928E-51.2570275E-51.2256889E-49.7506921.1E-43.1887658E-41.5303263E-43.2300662E-42.11070421.7E-40.0031841940.00152930020.0017090251.11752091.8E-4
7.05.5140117E-62.64191E-66.264175E-523.7107836.0E-52.3631264E-51.1322423E-51.1132129E-49.8319321.0E-42.8767265E-41.3784204E-42.9782E-42.1605891.6E-40.00287300530.00137759070.00154735651.12323391.7E-4
7.14.8151105E-62.1342612E-64.2134176E-519.741814.0E-52.0636026E-59.146803E-68.914607E-59.7461468.0E-52.5121463E-41.1135685E-42.5134126E-42.25707941.4E-40.00250930830.00111303250.00126286551.1346171.5E-4
7.23.818335E-61.2937372E-63.1293697E-524.1886043.0E-51.6364189E-55.5445767E-66.554424E-511.8213256.0E-51.9921579E-46.750321E-51.4749782E-42.18504888.0E-50.00199037286.7483535E-47.5478136E-41.11846758.0E-5
7.32.7166698E-67.383078E-77.383078E-71.00.01.1642818E-53.1641725E-62.316411E-57.3207482.0E-51.4174209E-43.852314E-55.852237E-51.51914852.0E-50.00141651723.8516664E-44.0515893E-41.05190562.0E-5
7.42.0893426E-65.4614605E-75.4614605E-71.00.08.954295E-62.340624E-62.2340577E-59.544712.0E-51.0901308E-42.8496728E-54.849616E-51.70181492.0E-50.00108959622.849313E-43.0492558E-41.07017232.0E-5
7.51.1681728E-63.6028484E-73.6028484E-71.00.05.0064455E-61.544077E-61.1544062E-57.4763511.0E-56.0951766E-51.879898E-52.8798791E-51.53193381.0E-56.093505E-41.8797436E-41.9797249E-41.05318881.0E-5
7.61.3154387E-77.1196716E-87.1196716E-81.00.05.6375933E-73.0512876E-73.0512876E-71.00.06.863748E-63.714938E-63.714938E-61.00.06.863536E-53.7148915E-53.7148915E-51.00.0

Big Pine (Central)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2706755E-51.4250602E-51.2424904E-48.7188621.1E-45.4456385E-56.107279E-52.1106363E-43.45593571.5E-46.628048E-47.433441E-49.3320286E-41.25541171.9E-40.0066083140.0074136390.00764193431.03079392.3E-4
6.18.342579E-69.510835E-65.951036E-56.25711155.0E-53.5753423E-54.076021E-51.10757355E-42.7172917.0E-54.3521097E-44.9616426E-45.861196E-41.18130169.0E-50.00434359630.0049541550.005063611.02209351.1E-4
6.26.923899E-67.967221E-65.7966823E-57.2756645.0E-52.9673516E-53.4144894E-59.4142844E-52.75715736.0E-53.6121515E-44.1565404E-44.9562077E-41.19238778.0E-50.0036062860.00415210940.00425169431.02398421.0E-4
6.32.728396E-63.4243646E-61.342433E-53.92023971.0E-51.1693074E-51.4675771E-53.467548E-52.36277032.0E-51.4235388E-41.7866373E-42.0865837E-41.16788323.0E-50.00142262720.00178674330.00183665391.02793385.0E-5
6.42.7136944E-63.4086581E-61.3408624E-53.93369581.0E-51.1630066E-51.4608458E-53.4608165E-52.36904982.0E-51.4158686E-41.7784433E-42.07839E-41.16865683.0E-50.00141496690.00177856230.00182847341.02806265.0E-5
6.52.6971882E-63.3910032E-61.3390969E-53.94896981.0E-51.1559327E-51.4532795E-53.4532502E-52.37617782.0E-51.4072572E-41.7692328E-42.0691798E-41.1695353.0E-50.00140636640.00176936660.00181927811.02820875.0E-5
6.62.669092E-63.3610236E-61.336099E-53.9752741.0E-51.1438916E-51.4404312E-53.4404024E-52.3884532.0E-51.3925991E-41.7535927E-42.05354E-41.17104733.0E-50.00139172670.00175375110.00180366341.02846035.0E-5
6.72.6408059E-63.3310494E-61.3331016E-54.0020471.0E-51.1317691E-51.4275853E-53.4275567E-52.4009472.0E-51.3778417E-41.737955E-42.0379029E-41.17258673.0E-50.00137698770.00173813810.00178805121.02871645.0E-5
6.82.1786943E-62.8545066E-62.8545066E-61.00.09.337228E-61.2233547E-52.2233424E-51.81741441.0E-51.1367482E-41.4893398E-41.5893248E-41.06713391.0E-50.00113616690.00148987040.00151982571.0201063.0E-5
6.91.4411696E-62.0685677E-62.0685677E-61.00.06.1764263E-68.865261E-61.8865174E-52.12798831.0E-57.51954E-51.0792949E-41.1792841E-41.09264311.0E-57.5169955E-40.00108025480.0010902441.00924711.0E-5
7.01.0073411E-61.5543274E-61.5543274E-61.00.04.317169E-66.661387E-66.661387E-61.00.05.2560266E-58.109952E-58.109952E-51.00.05.2547833E-48.1217213E-48.1217213E-41.00.0
7.18.947104E-71.430316E-61.430316E-61.00.03.834468E-66.1299124E-66.1299124E-61.00.04.6683643E-57.462928E-57.462928E-51.00.04.6673836E-47.4751483E-47.4751483E-41.00.0
7.25.215166E-71.0112277E-61.0112277E-61.00.02.2350691E-64.333826E-64.333826E-61.00.02.7211627E-55.27631E-55.27631E-51.00.02.7208295E-45.289683E-45.289683E-41.00.0
7.34.4024807E-79.220183E-79.220183E-71.00.01.8867761E-63.951501E-63.951501E-61.00.02.2971257E-54.8108504E-54.8108504E-51.00.02.2968883E-44.824433E-44.824433E-41.00.0
7.43.6130905E-78.359109E-78.359109E-71.00.01.5484665E-63.5824705E-63.5824705E-61.00.01.8852415E-54.3615746E-54.3615746E-51.00.01.8850817E-44.3752496E-44.3752496E-41.00.0
7.53.408184E-78.1087245E-78.1087245E-71.00.01.4606494E-63.475163E-63.475163E-61.00.01.7783263E-54.230933E-54.230933E-51.00.01.778184E-44.2444657E-44.2444657E-41.00.0
7.63.1428627E-77.732167E-77.732167E-71.00.01.3469405E-63.313782E-63.313782E-61.00.01.6398877E-54.0344585E-54.0344585E-51.00.01.6397667E-44.0477706E-44.0477706E-41.00.0
7.71.7972785E-75.0782415E-75.0782415E-71.00.07.70262E-72.1763874E-62.1763874E-61.00.09.377899E-62.6497206E-52.6497206E-51.00.09.377503E-52.6633305E-42.6633305E-41.00.0
7.84.9230927E-81.1981747E-71.1981747E-71.00.02.1098968E-75.135033E-75.135033E-71.00.02.5687964E-66.2518866E-66.2518866E-61.00.02.5687666E-56.2971965E-56.2971965E-51.00.0
7.93.6805972E-94.1051638E-94.1051638E-91.00.01.5773987E-81.7593557E-81.7593557E-81.00.01.9204828E-72.1420155E-72.1420155E-71.00.01.920481E-62.1898923E-62.1898923E-61.00.0

San Diego Trough north alt1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.329252E-58.821269E-51.8820388E-42.13352371.0E-43.14073E-43.7800326E-44.7796546E-41.26444791.0E-40.00381713550.00459304870.00472245131.02817371.3E-40.037522310.0450451370.045236131.004242.0E-4
6.13.7940346E-54.4884906E-57.488356E-51.66834623.0E-51.6259136E-41.9235026E-42.2234449E-41.15593553.0E-50.00197775240.0023394310.00239929071.02558736.0E-50.0196024310.0231567320.0232544171.00421831.0E-4
6.22.8645263E-53.329672E-56.329572E-51.90095963.0E-51.2275964E-41.4269259E-41.726883E-41.21021223.0E-50.00149357390.00173592060.00178583371.02875325.0E-50.01483575350.0172262680.0173048881.0045648.0E-5
6.32.8645263E-53.329672E-56.329572E-51.90095963.0E-51.2275964E-41.4269259E-41.726883E-41.21021223.0E-50.00149357390.00173592060.00178583371.02875325.0E-50.01483575350.0172262680.0173048881.0045648.0E-5
6.42.2204576E-52.544832E-55.5447555E-52.17882973.0E-59.5159E-51.0905972E-41.3905646E-41.27504863.0E-50.0011579450.00132700280.00137693641.03762895.0E-50.0115192980.0131919590.0132709031.00598438.0E-5
6.52.1004838E-52.4024695E-55.4023974E-52.24868513.0E-59.0017624E-51.0295897E-41.3295589E-41.29134823.0E-50.00109541360.00125281350.00130275081.03986015.0E-50.0109002960.0124585920.0125375951.00634128.0E-5
6.61.820557E-52.070479E-54.0704377E-51.965942.0E-57.802154E-58.8731824E-51.08730055E-41.22537832.0E-59.4949827E-40.00107977990.00111973681.03700464.0E-50.0094545160.0107460050.01081525351.00644417.0E-5
6.71.5884485E-51.7983646E-53.7983285E-52.11210162.0E-56.807459E-57.707051E-59.7068965E-51.25948262.0E-58.284929E-49.3793223E-49.778948E-41.0426074.0E-50.0082541090.0093401040.0093995431.00636396.0E-5
6.81.4331171E-51.6201066E-53.620074E-52.23446682.0E-56.141786E-56.94313E-58.942991E-51.28803462.0E-57.4750587E-48.450002E-48.849664E-41.04729724.0E-50.00744996450.0084181390.0084677181.00588955.0E-5
6.91.2574203E-51.4205835E-53.420555E-52.40785222.0E-55.3888325E-56.0880735E-58.0879516E-51.32849112.0E-56.558929E-47.409723E-47.809427E-41.05394324.0E-50.00653960370.0073852030.00743483431.00672035.0E-5
7.01.0883844E-51.2289262E-53.2289016E-52.6274172.0E-54.664421E-55.2667205E-57.266615E-51.3797232.0E-55.677453E-46.4103556E-46.810099E-41.0623594.0E-50.005662970.0063919930.00644167331.00777235.0E-5
7.19.393088E-61.060702E-53.0606807E-52.88552382.0E-54.025547E-54.545787E-56.545696E-51.43994782.0E-54.900001E-45.533098E-45.9328764E-41.07225234.0E-50.00488921070.0055194180.0055591971.00720724.0E-5
7.28.190791E-69.258625E-62.9258441E-53.16012792.0E-53.510292E-53.9679224E-55.967843E-51.50402212.0E-54.2729423E-44.8298817E-45.229688E-41.08277774.0E-50.00426473560.0048194650.0048592721.00825974.0E-5
7.36.268162E-67.089716E-61.7089646E-52.41048381.0E-52.6863276E-53.0384144E-54.038384E-51.32910911.0E-53.2701128E-43.6986457E-43.9985348E-41.08108083.0E-50.0032653050.0036925360.0037224251.00809453.0E-5
7.44.985186E-65.6426816E-65.6426816E-61.00.02.1364907E-52.4182698E-52.4182698E-51.00.02.600867E-42.9438498E-43.0438203E-41.03395921.0E-50.0025978250.00293999140.0029499621.00339141.0E-5
7.51.7489613E-61.969678E-61.969678E-61.00.07.495527E-68.4414505E-68.4414505E-61.00.09.125422E-51.02770035E-41.1276901E-41.09729461.0E-59.1216754E-40.00102724720.00103723691.00972471.0E-5
7.61.6988751E-71.7533823E-71.7533823E-71.00.07.2808916E-77.5144936E-77.5144936E-71.00.08.864449E-69.14886E-69.14886E-61.00.08.8640954E-59.1485024E-59.1485024E-51.00.0

Pleito

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6763008E-52.4764735E-51.4476177E-45.845481.2E-47.183948E-51.0613067E-42.3611687E-42.2247751.3E-48.742947E-40.0012914470.00148120161.14693181.9E-40.008708630.0129544120.0131814321.01752462.3E-4
6.11.6763008E-52.4764735E-51.4476177E-45.845481.2E-47.183948E-51.0613067E-42.3611687E-42.2247751.3E-48.742947E-40.0012914470.00148120161.14693181.9E-40.008708630.0129544120.0131814321.01752462.3E-4
6.21.6763008E-52.4764735E-51.4476177E-45.845481.2E-47.183948E-51.0613067E-42.3611687E-42.2247751.3E-48.742947E-40.0012914470.00148120161.14693181.9E-40.008708630.0129544120.0131814321.01752462.3E-4
6.31.6763008E-52.4764735E-51.4476177E-45.845481.2E-47.183948E-51.0613067E-42.3611687E-42.2247751.3E-48.742947E-40.0012914470.00148120161.14693181.9E-40.008708630.0129544120.0131814321.01752462.3E-4
6.41.6763008E-52.4764735E-51.4476177E-45.845481.2E-47.183948E-51.0613067E-42.3611687E-42.2247751.3E-48.742947E-40.0012914470.00148120161.14693181.9E-40.008708630.0129544120.0131814321.01752462.3E-4
6.51.6763008E-52.4764735E-51.4476177E-45.845481.2E-47.183948E-51.0613067E-42.3611687E-42.2247751.3E-48.742947E-40.0012914470.00148120161.14693181.9E-40.008708630.0129544120.0131814321.01752462.3E-4
6.69.910213E-61.721552E-57.7214485E-54.4851676.0E-54.247165E-57.3778734E-51.4377358E-41.94871287.0E-55.169696E-48.9788967E-49.778178E-41.08901798.0E-50.00515768630.0090512260.0091404111.00985349.0E-5
6.79.910213E-61.721552E-57.7214485E-54.4851676.0E-54.247165E-57.3778734E-51.4377358E-41.94871287.0E-55.169696E-48.9788967E-49.778178E-41.08901798.0E-50.00515768630.0090512260.0091404111.00985349.0E-5
6.88.300162E-61.5475129E-55.547451E-53.58475264.0E-53.557164E-56.63203E-51.1631699E-41.75386695.0E-54.3299864E-48.07152E-48.671036E-41.07427556.0E-50.0043215590.0081506630.0082101741.00730136.0E-5
6.98.183114E-61.5346344E-55.5345732E-53.6064444.0E-53.5070017E-56.57684E-51.15765106E-41.76019365.0E-54.2689382E-48.0043747E-48.6038944E-41.0748996.0E-50.00426074680.0080840080.0081435231.0073626.0E-5
7.07.1748823E-61.4133306E-55.413274E-53.83015424.0E-53.0749135E-56.0569906E-51.1056688E-41.82544245.0E-53.743064E-47.3718966E-47.971454E-41.08133026.0E-50.00373676540.00745537550.00751492851.00798796.0E-5
7.17.1671807E-61.4123676E-55.412311E-53.8320844.0E-53.0716128E-56.0528637E-51.1052561E-41.82600525.0E-53.7390468E-47.366875E-47.966433E-41.08138566.0E-50.00373276180.00745038830.00750994121.00799326.0E-5
7.27.0649667E-61.3970962E-54.3970544E-53.1472813.0E-53.0278077E-55.987418E-59.987179E-51.66802764.0E-53.6857324E-47.287248E-47.786884E-41.0685635.0E-50.00367962550.00737113740.0074207691.00673325.0E-5
7.37.02082E-61.3914415E-54.3914E-53.15600753.0E-53.008888E-55.9631846E-59.962946E-51.67074254.0E-53.6627054E-47.257764E-47.7574013E-41.06884175.0E-50.00365667440.00734163730.00739127031.00676055.0E-5
7.46.987146E-61.3873975E-54.387356E-53.16229183.0E-52.9944567E-55.9458544E-59.945616E-51.67269774.0E-53.6451413E-47.2366785E-47.736316E-41.06904245.0E-50.00363916790.0073205710.00737020561.006785.0E-5
7.56.9494554E-61.383088E-54.3830467E-53.16902953.0E-52.9783041E-55.9273858E-59.9271485E-51.67479374.0E-53.625482E-47.2142074E-47.713847E-41.06925775.0E-50.00361957260.0072981990.0073478341.0068015.0E-5
7.66.92694E-61.3789992E-53.3789715E-52.45030712.0E-52.9686547E-55.909863E-58.909686E-51.5075963.0E-53.6137376E-47.192888E-47.5926003E-41.05557054.0E-50.00360786660.0072769510.00731665971.00545684.0E-5
7.76.395867E-61.26690065E-53.2668755E-52.57863572.0E-52.741057E-55.4294615E-58.429299E-51.5525113.0E-53.336726E-46.6083675E-47.0081034E-41.06048934.0E-50.00333172010.00669554530.00673527741.00593414.0E-5
7.85.8664327E-61.1536581E-53.153635E-52.73359582.0E-52.5141611E-54.9441554E-57.944007E-51.6067473.0E-53.060561E-46.0178485E-46.417608E-41.06642894.0E-50.00305634950.00610101640.00614077231.00651634.0E-5
7.93.7167474E-67.1145205E-61.711445E-52.4055661.0E-51.592882E-53.0490448E-54.0490144E-51.32796161.0E-51.9391612E-43.7115812E-43.911507E-41.05386542.0E-50.00193746990.00376762430.0037875491.00528842.0E-5
8.01.0903841E-61.2879104E-61.2879104E-61.00.04.6730665E-65.5196047E-65.5196047E-61.00.05.68931E-56.719913E-56.719913E-51.00.05.6878536E-46.942094E-46.942094E-41.00.0
8.12.6894583E-71.1056095E-71.1056095E-71.00.01.1526245E-64.7383253E-74.7383253E-71.00.01.4033113E-55.768896E-65.768896E-61.00.01.4032227E-46.454915E-56.454915E-51.00.0
8.25.2967013E-92.4567874E-92.4567874E-91.00.02.2700148E-81.0529089E-81.0529089E-81.00.02.7637427E-71.2819166E-71.2819166E-71.00.02.7637393E-61.4588004E-61.4588004E-61.00.0

Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2521618E-44.763429E-45.7629525E-41.20983281.0E-49.6485513E-40.00203990940.0021995831.07827481.6E-40.0116839880.0245445310.0247396231.00794842.0E-40.110884230.213499230.213672271.00081052.2E-4
6.12.2521618E-44.763429E-45.7629525E-41.20983281.0E-49.6485513E-40.00203990940.00218960341.07338271.5E-40.0116839880.0245445310.0247298681.00755111.9E-40.110884230.213499230.21366441.00077372.1E-4
6.22.198148E-44.6718874E-45.6714204E-41.21394621.0E-49.417233E-40.00200073770.00215043761.07482231.5E-40.0114053430.0240785130.0242639391.00770081.9E-40.108374280.209935720.210101631.00079042.1E-4
6.32.1704129E-44.615455E-45.614993E-41.21656331.0E-49.298453E-40.00197658920.00212629281.07573831.5E-40.0112622340.0237920340.0239775121.00779581.9E-40.1070827250.207826840.20799321.00080052.1E-4
6.41.876142E-44.004663E-44.904303E-41.2246489.0E-58.038131E-40.00171516950.00184494651.07566431.3E-40.009742590.0206786620.0208451451.0080511.7E-40.0932636860.184577870.18473281.00083941.9E-4
6.51.7390939E-43.7478763E-44.6475392E-41.2400469.0E-57.45113E-40.00160525610.00173504741.08085391.3E-40.0090340780.0193672930.0195340011.00860761.7E-40.0867552160.174400150.174557021.00089941.9E-4
6.61.591791E-43.4893592E-44.389045E-41.2578379.0E-56.8201777E-40.00149459260.00162439831.08685021.3E-40.0082719960.0180450080.018202121.00870671.6E-40.079707740.163807870.163958391.00091891.8E-4
6.71.4268003E-43.2059717E-44.1056835E-41.28063619.0E-56.1134255E-40.00137327260.00150309411.09453441.3E-40.0074177230.016591710.0167490541.00948331.6E-40.071749560.151935940.152088581.00100471.8E-4
6.81.239713E-42.9055026E-43.7052704E-41.27525968.0E-55.3119735E-40.00124462740.0013644781.09629441.2E-40.00644816740.0150494820.0151972251.00981711.5E-40.062642430.138380510.138526981.00105851.7E-4
6.91.0180238E-42.6255674E-43.325384E-41.2665397.0E-54.3622297E-40.00112476220.00123463851.09768841.1E-40.0052980890.0136089980.0137470921.01014731.4E-40.051735430.124964730.125104731.00112031.6E-4
7.07.6619996E-52.2400476E-42.8399134E-41.26779146.0E-53.283301E-49.596704E-40.00105957441.10410251.0E-40.00399009320.0116221030.0117505921.01105561.3E-40.0391920660.107269820.107403731.00124841.5E-4
7.17.5127435E-52.2083633E-42.808231E-41.27163456.0E-53.2193496E-49.461013E-40.00104600671.10559691.0E-40.00391251550.0114586480.0115871591.01121511.3E-40.0384434420.105833780.10596791.00126731.5E-4
7.26.788582E-52.0211334E-42.5210323E-41.24733595.0E-52.9090676E-48.6591556E-49.4584626E-41.09230788.0E-50.00353603860.01049220.0106010461.0103741.1E-40.0348030.0975036840.097621011.00120331.3E-4
7.36.399602E-51.8842232E-42.3841289E-41.26531145.0E-52.7423984E-48.0727716E-48.872126E-41.09901868.0E-50.00333375860.0097848970.009893821.01113181.1E-40.032841880.0913979860.091516111.00129231.3E-4
7.44.506759E-51.2530042E-41.5529666E-41.23939453.0E-51.9313251E-45.3689216E-45.868653E-41.09307865.0E-50.00234885260.0065172450.00659672361.01219518.0E-50.0232418050.0623645220.0624582841.00150351.0E-4
7.53.43289E-59.336103E-51.2335823E-41.32130323.0E-51.4711556E-44.0005764E-44.5003765E-41.12493195.0E-50.00178966030.0048598860.00492954631.01433367.0E-50.017753160.0470570660.047142831.00182269.0E-5
7.62.5980507E-57.053672E-59.0535315E-51.28352022.0E-51.1134028E-43.0226534E-43.3225628E-41.09922053.0E-50.0013547250.00367389480.00372371121.01355965.0E-50.0134649590.035842980.0359104721.00188297.0E-5
7.71.7292105E-54.9412036E-56.941105E-51.40473962.0E-57.4106916E-52.1174872E-42.4174237E-41.14164733.0E-59.018782E-40.00257499840.00262486961.01936755.0E-50.0089822670.0252920970.0253603251.00269777.0E-5
7.81.2927471E-53.9697254E-55.969646E-51.50379312.0E-55.5402274E-51.7012001E-42.0011491E-41.17631613.0E-56.743139E-40.00206924630.00210916341.01929074.0E-50.00672271430.0204331450.0204919191.00287646.0E-5
7.91.0200774E-52.8748475E-52.8748475E-51.00.04.371687E-51.2320194E-41.3320071E-41.08115761.0E-55.321229E-40.00149895260.00151892261.01332262.0E-50.0053085050.0149928950.0150125951.00131392.0E-5
8.08.650396E-62.3279512E-52.3279512E-51.00.03.70726E-59.976552E-59.976552E-51.00.04.5126543E-40.00121396930.00121396931.00.00.00450350160.0122121640.0122121641.00.0
8.13.9368224E-67.3283345E-67.3283345E-61.00.01.6871985E-53.1406773E-53.1406773E-51.00.02.0539707E-43.8231048E-43.8231048E-41.00.00.00205207310.00400153130.00400153131.00.0
8.21.7101195E-62.2178374E-62.2178374E-61.00.07.329063E-69.504983E-69.504983E-61.00.08.922769E-51.15717055E-41.15717055E-41.00.08.9191867E-40.001266690.001266691.00.0
8.33.0346666E-81.721086E-81.721086E-81.00.01.3005713E-77.376083E-87.376083E-81.00.01.5834444E-68.98038E-78.98038E-71.00.01.5834332E-59.36379E-69.36379E-61.00.0

Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.6264497E-66.75733E-61.3675645E-420.2382371.3E-42.8398761E-52.895971E-51.6895565E-45.83416271.4E-43.4570007E-43.5253543E-45.32472E-41.5104071.8E-40.00345162770.00352055020.00373977591.06227032.2E-4
6.16.6264497E-66.75733E-61.3675645E-420.2382371.3E-42.8398761E-52.895971E-51.6895565E-45.83416271.4E-43.4570007E-43.5253543E-45.32472E-41.5104071.8E-40.00345162770.00352055020.00373977591.06227032.2E-4
6.26.6264497E-66.75733E-61.3675645E-420.2382371.3E-42.8398761E-52.895971E-51.6895565E-45.83416271.4E-43.4570007E-43.5253543E-45.32472E-41.5104071.8E-40.00345162770.00352055020.00373977591.06227032.2E-4
6.36.6264497E-66.75733E-61.3675645E-420.2382371.3E-42.8398761E-52.895971E-51.6895565E-45.83416271.4E-43.4570007E-43.5253543E-45.32472E-41.5104071.8E-40.00345162770.00352055020.00373977591.06227032.2E-4
6.46.6264497E-66.75733E-61.3675645E-420.2382371.3E-42.8398761E-52.895971E-51.6895565E-45.83416271.4E-43.4570007E-43.5253543E-45.32472E-41.5104071.8E-40.00345162770.00352055020.00373977591.06227032.2E-4
6.53.2162225E-63.2570915E-67.3256866E-522.4914977.0E-51.3783738E-51.3958894E-58.3957915E-56.0146547.0E-51.6780409E-41.6993708E-42.699201E-41.5883531.0E-40.00167677440.0016981510.00181794731.07054511.2E-4
6.63.2162225E-63.2570915E-67.3256866E-522.4914977.0E-51.3783738E-51.3958894E-58.3957915E-56.0146547.0E-51.6780409E-41.6993708E-42.699201E-41.5883531.0E-40.00167677440.0016981510.00181794731.07054511.2E-4
6.72.1908265E-62.2071222E-65.220701E-523.6538835.0E-59.389223E-69.459062E-65.945859E-56.28588635.0E-51.1430779E-41.1515819E-41.8515013E-41.60778957.0E-50.00114249010.00115100460.0012209241.06074647.0E-5
6.81.7303895E-61.736553E-64.1736483E-524.0340984.0E-57.415934E-67.442349E-64.7442052E-56.3746074.0E-59.028525E-59.060693E-51.506015E-41.6621416.0E-59.024858E-49.0570963E-49.656553E-41.06618646.0E-5
6.91.3700314E-61.3688623E-63.136882E-522.915983.0E-55.87155E-65.86654E-63.5866364E-56.1137173.0E-57.148377E-57.142283E-51.2141926E-41.70000625.0E-57.146078E-47.140033E-47.639676E-41.06997765.0E-5
7.01.1467797E-61.1413805E-62.1141357E-518.522622.0E-54.9147607E-64.8916218E-62.4891524E-55.08860352.0E-55.983557E-55.95539E-59.9551515E-51.67162054.0E-55.981946E-45.9538253E-46.3535874E-41.06714374.0E-5
7.19.3952065E-79.3026915E-71.093026E-511.7495671.0E-54.026511E-63.986862E-61.3986822E-53.50822851.0E-54.9021666E-54.853898E-57.853752E-51.618033.0E-54.901085E-44.8528553E-45.15271E-41.06178933.0E-5
7.26.858055E-76.7193014E-71.06719235E-515.8824891.0E-52.939163E-62.8796974E-61.2879668E-54.4725771.0E-53.5783723E-53.5059762E-54.5059413E-51.28521731.0E-53.5777962E-43.5054318E-43.6053968E-41.02851711.0E-5
7.35.1101983E-74.939301E-71.0493925E-521.2457711.0E-52.1900833E-62.1168414E-61.21168205E-55.72400951.0E-52.6663936E-52.5772246E-53.5771987E-51.38800431.0E-52.6660739E-42.5769303E-42.6769046E-41.03879581.0E-5
7.43.4999414E-73.2995916E-71.0329956E-531.3067721.0E-51.499974E-61.4141099E-61.1414096E-58.0715761.0E-51.8262032E-51.7216655E-52.7216482E-51.5808231.0E-51.826053E-41.7215345E-41.8215172E-41.05807771.0E-5
7.51.7021522E-71.4750053E-71.4750053E-71.00.07.2949354E-76.32145E-76.32145E-71.00.08.881548E-67.696339E-67.696339E-61.00.08.8811925E-57.696081E-57.696081E-51.00.0
7.62.572245E-81.735264E-81.735264E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436845E-87.436845E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.0543557E-79.0543557E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054324E-69.054324E-61.00.0

Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0240792E-52.40909E-51.1408873E-44.73576079.0E-51.2959696E-41.032432E-42.0323288E-41.96848681.0E-40.00157670080.00125636180.0013961861.11129281.4E-40.0156556090.0125026130.0127198621.01737632.2E-4
6.13.0240792E-52.40909E-51.1408873E-44.73576079.0E-51.2959696E-41.032432E-42.0323288E-41.96848681.0E-40.00157670080.00125636180.0013961861.11129281.4E-40.0156556090.0125026130.0127198621.01737632.2E-4
6.23.0240792E-52.40909E-51.1408873E-44.73576079.0E-51.2959696E-41.032432E-42.0323288E-41.96848681.0E-40.00157670080.00125636180.0013961861.11129281.4E-40.0156556090.0125026130.0127198621.01737632.2E-4
6.32.0498217E-51.3638054E-56.363737E-54.6661625.0E-58.784654E-55.8447586E-51.0844466E-41.85541745.0E-50.00106900697.1138324E-47.813335E-41.09832987.0E-50.010638790.00709268640.00720190631.0153991.1E-4
6.42.0498217E-51.3638054E-56.363737E-54.6661625.0E-58.784654E-55.8447586E-51.0844466E-41.85541745.0E-50.00106900697.1138324E-47.813335E-41.09832987.0E-50.010638790.00709268640.00720190631.0153991.1E-4
6.51.7316182E-51.04769715E-54.0476658E-53.86339283.0E-57.42101E-54.490059E-57.4899246E-51.66811263.0E-59.0313336E-45.465376E-45.865157E-41.0731484.0E-50.0089947180.005452930.00550265751.00911945.0E-5
6.61.5251077E-58.414133E-62.8413964E-53.3769332.0E-56.536012E-53.606011E-55.605939E-51.55460942.0E-57.9546886E-44.3895066E-44.6893748E-41.06831483.0E-50.0079262740.00438155370.00442137851.00908924.0E-5
6.71.2997425E-56.4112146E-66.4112146E-61.00.05.570206E-52.7476372E-52.7476372E-51.00.06.7796157E-43.3447813E-43.4447477E-41.02988731.0E-50.00675896930.0033402070.00336014041.00596762.0E-5
6.81.035386E-54.333145E-64.333145E-61.00.04.437293E-51.8570496E-51.8570496E-51.00.05.401065E-42.260732E-42.3607093E-41.04422341.0E-50.00538795670.0022585190.00226849641.00441771.0E-5
6.98.816252E-63.5805879E-63.5805879E-61.00.03.778339E-51.534529E-51.534529E-51.00.04.5991567E-41.8681347E-41.9681161E-41.05351941.0E-50.004589650.00186662280.00187660421.00534731.0E-5
7.06.8232207E-62.5674399E-62.5674399E-61.00.02.9242048E-51.100327E-51.100327E-51.00.03.5596377E-41.3395688E-41.3395688E-41.00.00.00355394110.00133879250.00133879251.00.0
7.15.837013E-62.2273143E-62.2273143E-61.00.02.501553E-59.5456E-69.5456E-61.00.03.045215E-41.1621177E-41.1621177E-41.00.00.00304104550.0011615390.0011615391.00.0
7.24.278052E-61.6275065E-61.6275065E-61.00.01.833438E-56.975011E-66.975011E-61.00.02.231982E-48.491768E-58.491768E-51.00.00.00222974188.4887556E-48.4887556E-41.00.0
7.31.8803692E-68.344788E-78.344788E-71.00.08.0587E-63.5763337E-63.5763337E-61.00.09.811026E-54.354114E-54.354114E-51.00.09.806695E-44.3534054E-44.3534054E-41.00.0

San Clemente

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.681379E-58.163834E-52.216269E-42.71474051.4E-42.8631336E-43.4983488E-44.9978244E-41.42862371.5E-40.0034802940.004251410.00444060241.04450111.9E-40.034262910.041756030.041957261.00481922.1E-4
6.16.681379E-58.163834E-51.7163099E-42.10233339.0E-52.8631336E-43.4983488E-44.497999E-41.28574911.0E-40.0034802940.004251410.0043908151.03279031.4E-40.034262910.041756030.0418997671.00344231.5E-4
6.23.9400576E-54.6452373E-56.6451445E-51.43052852.0E-51.6884868E-41.9906677E-42.1906279E-41.10044882.0E-50.00205379450.00242099840.00248085331.02472326.0E-50.0203491670.0239529030.0240114671.00244496.0E-5
6.33.2590255E-53.792912E-54.7928737E-51.26363971.0E-51.3966505E-41.6254342E-41.725418E-41.0615121.0E-50.00169909560.00197720020.00200714081.01514293.0E-50.016861630.0195998830.0196292941.00150063.0E-5
6.42.9454652E-53.4097764E-54.409742E-51.29326441.0E-51.2622811E-41.4612524E-41.5612377E-41.06842451.0E-50.00153574380.00177764930.0018075961.01684623.0E-50.0152517390.017637470.0176669421.0016713.0E-5
6.52.790836E-53.2247463E-54.224714E-51.3100921.0E-51.1960178E-41.3819624E-41.4819486E-41.07235091.0E-50.0014551790.00168126620.00171121581.01781373.0E-50.0144568680.0166884850.0167179831.00176763.0E-5
6.62.2492153E-52.5762702E-53.5762445E-51.38814811.0E-59.639138E-51.1040699E-41.20405886E-41.0905641.0E-50.00117293310.00134339090.00137335061.02230163.0E-50.0116676150.0133544170.0133840161.00221653.0E-5
6.71.9862755E-52.2666423E-53.2666198E-51.44117121.0E-58.512331E-59.713826E-51.0713729E-41.1029361.0E-50.00103588360.00118202790.00121199251.02535013.0E-50.0103106820.0117587010.0117883481.00252133.0E-5
6.81.6697575E-51.897771E-52.897752E-51.5269241.0E-57.155907E-58.133056E-59.132974E-51.12294511.0E-58.7088346E-49.897591E-49.997492E-41.01009351.0E-50.0086747840.00985453650.0098644381.00100481.0E-5
6.91.5218415E-51.72694E-52.7269229E-51.57904891.0E-56.522015E-57.4009666E-58.400893E-51.13510751.0E-57.93766E-49.00704E-49.10695E-41.01109241.0E-50.0079093670.0089714810.0089813911.00110461.0E-5
7.01.2392958E-51.4033016E-51.4033016E-51.00.05.3111595E-56.014015E-56.014015E-51.00.06.4644177E-47.319679E-47.319679E-41.00.00.00644564540.00729635640.00729635641.00.0
7.11.0934128E-51.2375138E-51.2375138E-51.00.04.6859706E-55.303527E-55.303527E-51.00.05.7036756E-46.455204E-46.455204E-41.00.00.00568905850.00643719970.00643719971.00.0
7.29.5798805E-61.0844935E-51.0844935E-51.00.04.1055984E-54.6477508E-54.6477508E-51.00.04.9974193E-45.657239E-45.657239E-41.00.00.00498619630.00564356150.00564356151.00.0
7.38.0167365E-69.083918E-69.083918E-61.00.03.4356988E-53.8930535E-53.8930535E-51.00.04.1821605E-44.7388324E-44.7388324E-41.00.00.00417429860.00472942970.00472942971.00.0
7.42.9581017E-63.3623792E-63.3623792E-61.00.01.2677518E-51.4410146E-51.4410146E-51.00.01.5433785E-41.7543444E-41.7543444E-41.00.00.0015423070.00175345460.00175345461.00.0

Bullion Mountains

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6420427E-51.4692009E-55.4691423E-53.72252824.0E-57.037136E-56.296445E-51.3296005E-42.11166837.0E-58.5643446E-47.6636096E-48.86269E-41.15646421.2E-40.0085314130.00764097460.007849371.02727342.1E-4
6.11.6420427E-51.4692009E-55.4691423E-53.72252824.0E-57.037136E-56.296445E-51.3296005E-42.11166837.0E-58.5643446E-47.6636096E-48.86269E-41.15646421.2E-40.0085314130.00764097460.007849371.02727342.1E-4
6.21.6420427E-51.4692009E-55.4691423E-53.72252824.0E-57.037136E-56.296445E-51.3296005E-42.11166837.0E-58.5643446E-47.6636096E-48.86269E-41.15646421.2E-40.0085314130.00764097460.007849371.02727342.1E-4
6.31.2046778E-59.862255E-64.986186E-55.05582764.0E-55.1628023E-54.2266256E-51.122633E-42.65609777.0E-56.283899E-45.144933E-46.144419E-41.1942661.0E-40.00626615950.00513530340.00527458451.02712231.4E-4
6.41.2046778E-59.862255E-64.986186E-55.05582764.0E-55.1628023E-54.2266256E-51.122633E-42.65609777.0E-56.283899E-45.144933E-46.144419E-41.1942661.0E-40.00626615950.00513530340.00527458451.02712231.4E-4
6.51.0244343E-57.879378E-63.787914E-54.8073773.0E-54.390359E-53.3768443E-59.3766415E-52.77674676.0E-55.343951E-44.1107394E-44.9104105E-41.19453228.0E-50.0053311180.00410516650.0042047561.02425961.0E-4
6.69.605408E-67.1774166E-63.71772E-55.17974663.0E-54.1165385E-53.0760108E-59.0758265E-52.95051816.0E-55.010733E-43.7446033E-44.4443412E-41.18686577.0E-50.004999450.00374029060.00381999141.02130878.0E-5
6.78.60418E-66.123926E-63.6123743E-55.8987883.0E-53.687454E-52.6245243E-58.624367E-53.28606846.0E-54.48855E-43.195085E-43.8948611E-41.21901667.0E-50.0044794950.00319240310.00326217971.0218577.0E-5
6.85.187994E-62.563117E-61.2563091E-54.90148971.0E-52.223407E-51.0984763E-52.0984653E-51.91034191.0E-52.7066618E-41.3373529E-41.4373395E-41.07476461.0E-50.00270336750.00133693960.00134692621.00746981.0E-5
6.94.5302368E-62.3442778E-61.2344254E-55.2656961.0E-51.9415156E-51.0046889E-52.004679E-51.9953231.0E-52.3635388E-41.2231797E-41.3231675E-41.08174411.0E-50.00236102660.00122289560.00123288331.00816731.0E-5
7.03.431668E-61.6882177E-61.6882177E-61.00.01.4707065E-57.2352186E-67.2352186E-61.00.01.7904381E-48.808879E-58.808879E-51.00.00.00178899628.8088785E-48.8088785E-41.00.0

White Mountains

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.503579E-53.3784127E-59.3782095E-52.7759226.0E-51.5014476E-41.4478175E-42.3476873E-41.62153539.0E-50.00182647960.00176141340.00190116691.07934171.4E-40.0181154030.0174868570.0176833591.01123712.0E-4
6.13.503579E-53.3784127E-59.3782095E-52.7759226.0E-51.5014476E-41.4478175E-42.3476873E-41.62153539.0E-50.00182647960.00176141340.00190116691.07934171.4E-40.0181154030.0174868570.0176833591.01123712.0E-4
6.23.503579E-53.3784127E-59.3782095E-52.7759226.0E-51.5014476E-41.4478175E-42.3476873E-41.62153539.0E-50.00182647960.00176141340.00190116691.07934171.4E-40.0181154030.0174868570.0176833591.01123712.0E-4
6.31.7818425E-51.591616E-53.591584E-52.25656462.0E-57.636245E-56.821041E-59.820836E-51.43978563.0E-59.293162E-48.301596E-48.7012636E-41.04814354.0E-50.0092543950.00827204250.0083612991.010799.0E-5
6.41.7818425E-51.591616E-53.591584E-52.25656462.0E-57.636245E-56.821041E-59.820836E-51.43978563.0E-59.293162E-48.301596E-48.7012636E-41.04814354.0E-50.0092543950.00827204250.0083612991.010799.0E-5
6.51.3397557E-51.1336374E-53.133615E-52.76421262.0E-55.741684E-54.8583595E-57.858214E-51.61746243.0E-56.988258E-45.913517E-46.3132803E-41.06760174.0E-50.0069663230.0058984870.0059780151.01348288.0E-5
6.61.0818695E-58.625434E-61.8625347E-52.15935181.0E-54.6365014E-53.6965648E-55.696491E-51.54102292.0E-55.6434784E-44.4996818E-44.7995467E-41.06664133.0E-50.0056291680.00449100740.0045507381.01330016.0E-5
6.79.067908E-66.802476E-66.802476E-61.00.03.8861883E-52.915316E-52.915316E-51.00.04.7304068E-43.548851E-43.6488156E-41.02816811.0E-50.004720350.0035435010.00358335931.01124824.0E-5
6.87.295947E-64.9364285E-64.9364285E-61.00.03.126797E-52.1155956E-52.1155956E-51.00.03.8062103E-42.5754445E-42.5754445E-41.00.00.00379969760.00257257280.0025825471.00387721.0E-5
6.96.2243444E-63.8322546E-63.8322546E-61.00.02.6675489E-51.6423846E-51.6423846E-51.00.03.2472567E-41.9994251E-41.9994251E-41.00.00.00324251570.0019976790.0020076591.00499581.0E-5
7.04.9878413E-62.679564E-62.679564E-61.00.02.1376287E-51.1483797E-51.1483797E-51.00.02.602252E-41.3980652E-41.3980652E-41.00.00.0025992070.00139721190.00139721191.00.0
7.14.0252844E-61.885702E-61.885702E-61.00.01.7251105E-58.081555E-68.081555E-61.00.02.1001195E-49.838863E-59.838863E-51.00.00.00209813599.834635E-49.834635E-41.00.0
7.23.3284066E-61.2818929E-61.2818929E-61.00.01.4264522E-55.4938155E-65.4938155E-61.00.01.736567E-46.688525E-56.688525E-51.00.00.00173521076.6866126E-46.6866126E-41.00.0
7.32.458226E-66.056684E-76.056684E-71.00.01.0535211E-52.5957193E-62.5957193E-61.00.01.2825865E-43.160246E-53.160246E-51.00.00.00128184643.1598343E-43.1598343E-41.00.0
7.41.965953E-63.1084684E-73.1084684E-71.00.08.425486E-61.3322001E-61.3322001E-61.00.01.0257547E-41.6219417E-51.6219417E-51.00.00.00102528131.6218246E-41.6218246E-41.00.0
7.51.2014192E-61.8241002E-71.8241002E-71.00.05.148929E-67.8175697E-77.8175697E-71.00.06.2686406E-59.51785E-69.51785E-61.00.06.266873E-49.517451E-59.517451E-51.00.0
7.62.5612175E-74.893784E-84.893784E-81.00.01.0976642E-62.0973359E-72.0973359E-71.00.01.3363979E-52.5535037E-62.5535037E-61.00.01.3363175E-42.553478E-52.553478E-51.00.0

Oceanic - West Huasna

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.195567E-52.7926368E-58.7924695E-53.1484476.0E-51.3694567E-41.19679185E-42.1966721E-41.83546721.0E-40.00166603840.00145616340.0015859741.08914571.3E-40.0165360330.014470770.0146580211.01293991.9E-4
6.12.1156782E-51.7573117E-56.757224E-53.8452055.0E-59.066878E-57.531123E-51.5530521E-42.06217848.0E-50.00110333339.1653795E-40.00102643721.11990691.1E-40.0109787130.0091285870.0092772181.01628181.5E-4
6.21.6195117E-51.3327227E-54.332683E-53.2510013.0E-56.9405796E-55.7115452E-51.17112024E-42.0504446.0E-58.44688E-46.9516135E-47.8509876E-41.12937639.0E-50.0084148440.00693016170.00704933051.01719561.2E-4
6.31.3559345E-51.1179013E-54.117868E-53.683573.0E-55.811018E-54.7909183E-51.0790631E-42.25230966.0E-57.072618E-45.8313913E-46.630925E-41.13710868.0E-50.00705015050.0058162080.00591562641.01709331.0E-4
6.41.2120619E-51.0000874E-54.0000574E-53.9997083.0E-55.1944477E-54.2860185E-51.02857615E-42.39984066.0E-56.322405E-45.216983E-46.016566E-41.15326548.0E-50.0063044470.0052048040.0052943351.01720179.0E-5
6.51.13511915E-59.367378E-63.9367096E-54.2025743.0E-54.8647056E-54.0145293E-51.0014288E-42.49451146.0E-55.9211696E-44.886598E-45.686207E-41.16363318.0E-50.00590541730.00487591140.00496547251.01836819.0E-5
6.69.850605E-68.1353155E-63.8135073E-54.6875963.0E-54.2216197E-53.4865174E-58.486343E-52.43404585.0E-55.1386096E-44.2440102E-44.9437134E-41.16486847.0E-50.00512674360.00423593770.0043155991.0188068.0E-5
6.78.8558645E-67.318341E-63.731812E-55.099263.0E-53.7953152E-53.1363943E-58.136238E-52.59413745.0E-54.6198163E-43.8178926E-44.5176255E-41.18327727.0E-50.0046102240.00381135920.0038910541.02090998.0E-5
6.87.67136E-66.39169E-63.63915E-55.69356443.0E-53.2876844E-52.739267E-57.73913E-52.82525595.0E-54.0020206E-43.3345487E-44.0343154E-41.20985347.0E-50.0039948210.00332956640.00340931.02394718.0E-5
6.96.534529E-65.458261E-63.54581E-56.49622633.0E-52.8004823E-52.3392338E-57.3391166E-53.1374025.0E-53.4090536E-42.8476462E-43.547447E-41.24574717.0E-50.00340382870.0028440140.0029138151.0245437.0E-5
7.05.460525E-64.5699203E-62.4569828E-55.37642432.0E-52.3402039E-51.9585226E-54.958464E-52.53173693.0E-52.8488258E-42.3842414E-42.884122E-41.20966035.0E-50.00284517650.00238169730.00243157821.02094345.0E-5
7.14.4825083E-63.7524153E-62.375234E-56.329882.0E-51.9210609E-51.6081682E-54.6081197E-52.86544663.0E-52.3386406E-41.9577699E-42.4576718E-41.25534265.0E-50.0023361810.0019560570.00200595941.02551165.0E-5
7.22.821708E-62.424941E-61.2424916E-55.12380171.0E-51.2092979E-51.0392562E-52.039246E-51.96221661.0E-51.4722206E-41.265221E-41.4651958E-41.15805522.0E-50.00147124570.00126450320.0012844781.01579652.0E-5
7.32.0644757E-61.7687502E-61.7687502E-61.00.08.847723E-67.580336E-67.580336E-61.00.01.0771569E-49.228668E-51.0228576E-41.1083481.0E-50.0010766359.224854E-49.324762E-41.01083031.0E-5
7.41.6980367E-61.4379966E-61.4379966E-61.00.07.27728E-66.1628284E-66.1628284E-61.00.08.8597284E-57.502986E-58.50291E-51.13327031.0E-58.8561967E-47.5004686E-47.600394E-41.01332251.0E-5
7.51.3637683E-61.1302697E-61.1302697E-61.00.05.844708E-64.844004E-64.844004E-61.00.07.1156996E-55.897415E-56.897356E-51.16955581.0E-57.1134215E-45.8958656E-45.995807E-41.01695111.0E-5
7.69.802994E-77.6772847E-77.6772847E-71.00.04.2012766E-63.2902608E-63.2902608E-61.00.05.1149345E-54.005819E-54.005819E-51.00.05.113757E-44.0051117E-44.0051117E-41.00.0
7.75.986191E-74.0050708E-74.0050708E-71.00.02.5655079E-61.7164577E-61.7164577E-61.00.03.1234613E-52.0897673E-52.0897673E-51.00.03.123022E-42.0895849E-42.0895849E-41.00.0
7.82.9189815E-71.5285202E-71.5285202E-71.00.01.2509914E-66.5507993E-76.5507993E-71.00.01.5230714E-57.975569E-67.975569E-61.00.01.522967E-47.97542E-57.97542E-51.00.0
7.91.2057845E-74.6208047E-84.6208047E-81.00.05.1676466E-71.9803447E-71.9803447E-71.00.06.2915915E-62.411067E-62.411067E-61.00.06.2914136E-52.4111772E-52.4111772E-51.00.0
8.03.3806387E-99.0093144E-109.0093144E-101.00.01.4488451E-83.8611354E-93.8611354E-91.00.01.7639688E-74.7009323E-84.7009323E-81.00.01.7639674E-64.712806E-74.712806E-71.00.0

San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7374346E-52.41444E-51.5414126E-46.38414141.3E-41.1731335E-41.034719E-42.6345535E-42.54615351.6E-40.00142735420.0012590450.00143881841.14278551.8E-40.014182210.0129281950.013125611.01527012.0E-4
6.12.7374346E-52.41444E-51.5414126E-46.38414141.3E-41.1731335E-41.034719E-42.6345535E-42.54615351.6E-40.00142735420.0012590450.00143881841.14278551.8E-40.014182210.0129281950.013125611.01527012.0E-4
6.22.7374346E-52.41444E-51.5414126E-46.38414141.3E-41.1731335E-41.034719E-42.6345535E-42.54615351.6E-40.00142735420.0012590450.00143881841.14278551.8E-40.014182210.0129281950.013125611.01527012.0E-4
6.32.7374346E-52.41444E-51.5414126E-46.38414141.3E-41.1731335E-41.034719E-42.6345535E-42.54615351.6E-40.00142735420.0012590450.00143881841.14278551.8E-40.014182210.0129281950.013125611.01527012.0E-4
6.42.7374346E-52.41444E-51.5414126E-46.38414141.3E-41.1731335E-41.034719E-42.6345535E-42.54615351.6E-40.00142735420.0012590450.00143881841.14278551.8E-40.014182210.0129281950.013125611.01527012.0E-4
6.52.7282445E-52.4030476E-51.5402735E-46.4096671.3E-41.16919524E-41.0298371E-42.6296722E-42.55348371.6E-40.00142256570.0012531080.00143288251.14346291.8E-40.0141349340.0128695220.0130669481.01534062.0E-4
6.62.7282445E-52.4030476E-51.5402735E-46.4096671.3E-41.16919524E-41.0298371E-42.6296722E-42.55348371.6E-40.00142256570.0012531080.00143288251.14346291.8E-40.0141349340.0128695220.0130669481.01534062.0E-4
6.72.7216198E-52.3955597E-51.5395248E-46.42657661.3E-41.1663563E-41.02662816E-42.6264638E-42.558341.6E-40.00141911370.00124920580.0014289811.14391161.8E-40.0141008550.0128309340.0130283671.01538732.0E-4
6.82.7078617E-52.3872815E-51.5386971E-46.44539451.3E-41.1604605E-41.0230807E-42.622917E-42.5637441.6E-40.0014119450.00124489170.00142466751.14441081.8E-40.0140300750.01278808250.0129855251.01543952.0E-4
6.92.6982952E-52.3792329E-51.5378924E-46.46381571.3E-41.15636096E-41.0196315E-42.6194684E-42.56903431.6E-40.00140696020.00124069710.00142047381.14489971.8E-40.0139808560.0127463780.01294382851.01549082.0E-4
7.02.6449972E-52.3369357E-51.5336632E-46.56271031.3E-41.1335209E-41.0015055E-42.6013452E-42.59743481.6E-40.0013791880.00121865350.00139843421.1475241.8E-40.01370659750.0125277330.01272522751.01576462.0E-4
7.12.6257849E-52.3195396E-51.5319238E-46.604431.3E-41.1252879E-49.940507E-52.5938917E-42.60941581.6E-40.00136917690.00120958730.00138936961.14863111.8E-40.0136077170.0124376610.0126351731.01588022.0E-4
7.22.5270041E-52.2390155E-51.5238725E-46.8059931.3E-41.0829568E-49.5954296E-52.5593894E-42.66730051.6E-40.00131770240.00116761980.00134740961.15397981.8E-40.0130991620.01201879050.0122163861.01644062.0E-4
7.32.339701E-52.1122027E-51.5111928E-47.15458251.3E-41.0026905E-49.051985E-52.5050537E-42.76740811.6E-40.0012200920.0011015240.00128132571.163231.8E-40.0121341490.0113576420.0115553711.01740932.0E-4
7.42.296333E-52.0852396E-51.5084968E-47.23416571.3E-49.841056E-58.936436E-52.4935007E-42.7902631.6E-40.00119748990.00108747010.00126727441.16534191.8E-40.0119105750.0112167540.011414511.01763052.0E-4
7.52.2188895E-52.037534E-51.503727E-47.38013121.3E-49.50918E-58.731998E-52.4730602E-42.83218121.6E-40.00115712770.00106260420.00124241311.16921511.8E-40.0115112090.0109663690.0111641761.01803762.0E-4
7.62.0013189E-51.8961666E-51.489592E-47.8558081.3E-48.5767984E-58.126176E-52.4124875E-42.96878581.6E-40.0010437259.889146E-40.00116873661.18183771.8E-40.0103883650.0102243710.0104223271.01936112.0E-4
7.71.7230794E-51.6743043E-51.4674087E-48.7642891.3E-47.384417E-57.175393E-52.3174245E-43.22968321.6E-48.986819E-48.732547E-40.00105309751.20594541.8E-40.0089505620.009062920.0092611081.0218682.0E-4
7.81.4478809E-51.499039E-51.4498844E-49.6720921.3E-46.205057E-56.424295E-52.2423267E-43.49038581.6E-47.552038E-47.8187784E-49.5174497E-41.21725521.7E-40.00752642420.0081413880.0083298411.02314761.9E-4
7.91.1114467E-51.1644517E-51.41643E-412.1639221.3E-44.7632562E-54.990412E-52.0989614E-44.2059881.6E-45.797721E-46.074139E-47.773106E-41.2797051.7E-40.00578261870.00638035450.0065592061.02803161.8E-4
8.09.327402E-69.8986575E-61.3989737E-414.1329641.3E-43.9973966E-54.2422133E-52.0241535E-44.77145621.6E-44.8657437E-45.163676E-46.862798E-41.32905281.7E-40.00485510330.005449940.00562895931.03284791.8E-4
8.17.0235833E-66.826985E-61.068263E-415.6476551.0E-43.0100724E-52.9258183E-51.3925496E-44.7595221.1E-43.664147E-43.5616063E-44.6612148E-41.30873941.1E-40.0036581110.00378745720.00389704061.02893331.1E-4
8.22.0358202E-68.9912584E-78.9912584E-71.00.08.724915E-63.853391E-63.853391E-61.00.01.06220665E-44.6914047E-54.6914047E-51.00.00.0010616995.3239096E-45.3239096E-41.00.0
8.32.0051264E-76.61379E-86.61379E-81.00.08.5933965E-72.8344812E-72.8344812E-71.00.01.046241E-53.450976E-63.450976E-61.00.01.0461917E-44.0120205E-54.0120205E-51.00.0

Dry Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.222801E-66.439381E-67.643893E-511.870547.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-51.1759466E-44.2611179.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-44.8590897E-41.44633261.5E-40.00324171320.00335607680.00355540571.05939342.0E-4
6.16.222801E-66.439381E-67.643893E-511.870547.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-51.1759466E-44.2611179.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-44.8590897E-41.44633261.5E-40.00324171320.00335607680.00355540571.05939342.0E-4
6.26.222801E-66.439381E-67.643893E-511.870547.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-51.1759466E-44.2611179.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-44.8590897E-41.44633261.5E-40.00324171320.00335607680.00355540571.05939342.0E-4
6.36.222801E-66.439381E-67.643893E-511.870547.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-51.1759466E-44.2611179.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-44.8590897E-41.44633261.5E-40.00324171320.00335607680.00355540571.05939342.0E-4
6.46.222801E-66.439381E-67.643893E-511.870547.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-51.1759466E-44.2611179.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-44.8590897E-41.44633261.5E-40.00324171320.00335607680.00355540571.05939342.0E-4
6.52.8528623E-62.9521684E-63.295208E-511.1619923.0E-51.22264955E-51.2652138E-56.26515E-54.95185145.0E-51.4884741E-41.540376E-42.1402835E-41.38945536.0E-50.00148747740.00154016160.0016300231.05834549.0E-5
6.62.8528623E-62.9521684E-63.295208E-511.1619923.0E-51.22264955E-51.2652138E-56.26515E-54.95185145.0E-51.4884741E-41.540376E-42.1402835E-41.38945536.0E-50.00148747740.00154016160.0016300231.05834549.0E-5
6.72.541E-62.6293578E-63.262928E-512.40963.0E-51.0889954E-51.1268677E-55.1268227E-54.54962254.0E-51.3257713E-41.3719614E-41.7719065E-41.29151344.0E-50.00132498060.00137196130.0014318791.0436736.0E-5

Mission Creek

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1549387E-51.6322783E-51.3632083E-48.3515681.2E-44.9496433E-56.995299E-52.299418E-43.28709031.6E-46.0245243E-48.5135986E-40.00102121511.19951061.7E-40.0060082180.0085101570.008698541.02213621.9E-4
6.11.1549387E-51.6322783E-51.3632083E-48.3515681.2E-44.9496433E-56.995299E-52.299418E-43.28709031.6E-46.0245243E-48.5135986E-40.00102121511.19951061.7E-40.0060082180.0085101570.008698541.02213621.9E-4
6.21.1549387E-51.6322783E-51.3632083E-48.3515681.2E-44.9496433E-56.995299E-52.299418E-43.28709031.6E-46.0245243E-48.5135986E-40.00102121511.19951061.7E-40.0060082180.0085101570.008698541.02213621.9E-4
6.31.1549387E-51.6322783E-51.3632083E-48.3515681.2E-44.9496433E-56.995299E-52.299418E-43.28709031.6E-46.0245243E-48.5135986E-40.00102121511.19951061.7E-40.0060082180.0085101570.008698541.02213621.9E-4
6.41.1549387E-51.6322783E-51.3632083E-48.3515681.2E-44.9496433E-56.995299E-52.299418E-43.28709031.6E-46.0245243E-48.5135986E-40.00102121511.19951061.7E-40.0060082180.0085101570.008698541.02213621.9E-4
6.51.1549387E-51.6322783E-51.3632083E-48.3515681.2E-44.9496433E-56.995299E-52.299418E-43.28709031.6E-46.0245243E-48.5135986E-40.00102121511.19951061.7E-40.0060082180.0085101570.008698541.02213621.9E-4
6.69.202681E-61.3846059E-51.338444E-49.6666061.2E-43.9439463E-55.9338956E-51.9933065E-43.35918711.4E-44.800697E-47.2222133E-48.72113E-41.20754251.5E-40.0047903390.00722734020.0073861841.02197811.6E-4
6.79.019164E-61.3651728E-51.3365009E-49.7899761.2E-43.8652986E-55.8506146E-51.9849796E-43.3927711.4E-44.7049852E-47.1208854E-48.619817E-41.2104981.5E-40.0046950360.00712666470.0072855241.0222911.6E-4
6.88.673558E-61.3273839E-51.3327225E-410.0402181.2E-43.717186E-55.688669E-51.9687873E-43.46089271.4E-44.524734E-46.923842E-48.4228034E-41.21649281.5E-40.00451553240.00693085230.00708974341.02292511.6E-4
6.97.002255E-61.1478069E-51.3147669E-411.4546011.2E-43.000932E-54.9190832E-51.8918395E-43.8459191.4E-43.653022E-45.9874065E-47.4865087E-41.25037591.5E-40.00364702290.0059996760.00615871561.02650811.6E-4
7.05.84644E-69.675359E-61.296742E-413.402521.2E-42.5055931E-54.146519E-51.8145939E-44.3761861.4E-43.0501327E-45.047263E-46.546506E-41.29704071.5E-40.00304594960.0050639940.0052231841.03143561.6E-4
7.15.54703E-69.329834E-61.2932872E-413.8618451.2E-42.377277E-53.9984414E-51.7997882E-44.5012241.4E-42.8939504E-44.8670598E-46.3663296E-41.30804431.5E-40.00289018450.00488458760.0050438061.03259611.6E-4
7.24.384709E-67.681918E-61.2768099E-416.620981.2E-41.8791474E-53.292211E-51.729175E-45.25232121.4E-42.2876218E-44.0075663E-45.506965E-41.3741421.5E-40.00228526820.0040285420.00418789731.03955661.6E-4
7.33.7888456E-66.915788E-61.2691497E-418.351481.2E-41.623781E-52.9638775E-51.6963463E-45.7234021.4E-41.9767738E-43.6079568E-45.1074155E-41.41559781.5E-40.00197501620.003630270.00378968921.04391381.6E-4
7.42.1982462E-65.0241033E-61.2502351E-424.8847391.2E-49.421021E-62.1531694E-51.6152867E-47.5019031.4E-41.1469489E-42.6211704E-44.120777E-41.57211351.5E-40.00114635720.00264603270.00280560931.06030791.6E-4
7.52.051923E-64.6153277E-61.2461477E-427.0002021.2E-48.793926E-61.9779825E-51.5977706E-48.0777791.4E-41.0706078E-42.4079291E-43.907568E-41.62279191.5E-40.00107009220.00243359320.00259320371.06558641.6E-4
7.61.8733427E-64.1236603E-61.2412317E-430.1002391.2E-48.028587E-61.7672712E-51.5767023E-48.9216781.4E-49.774366E-52.151441E-43.6511183E-41.69705711.5E-49.770069E-40.00217825130.00233790281.07329341.6E-4
7.71.8411953E-64.0433315E-61.2404285E-430.6783751.2E-47.890813E-61.732845E-51.5732602E-49.079061.4E-49.606641E-52.1095353E-43.609219E-41.71090711.5E-49.6024893E-40.00213652920.00229618721.07472781.6E-4
7.81.7194251E-63.71068E-61.2371024E-433.3389661.2E-47.368944E-61.5902819E-51.5590059E-49.8033311.4E-48.97132E-51.9359968E-43.4357063E-41.77464461.5E-48.967699E-40.00196247570.00212216171.08136961.6E-4
7.91.4035052E-62.9502596E-61.229499E-441.6742671.2E-46.0150082E-61.2643909E-51.5264214E-412.0723851.4E-47.3230265E-51.5392878E-43.039057E-41.97432661.5E-47.3206134E-40.00156311740.00172286731.10219961.6E-4
8.03.9318823E-75.528477E-75.055282E-591.4407655.0E-51.6850913E-62.3693453E-65.2369225E-522.1028255.0E-52.0515794E-52.8846403E-58.8844674E-53.0799226.0E-52.0513899E-42.990952E-43.5907727E-41.20054516.0E-5
8.11.596793E-71.13775044E-71.13775044E-71.00.06.8433974E-74.876072E-74.876072E-71.00.08.331805E-65.936602E-65.936602E-61.00.08.331492E-56.5494125E-56.5494125E-51.00.0
8.24.9003038E-82.5435753E-82.5435753E-81.00.02.10013E-71.09010365E-71.09010365E-71.00.02.5569052E-61.3272004E-61.3272004E-61.00.02.556876E-51.4952613E-51.4952613E-51.00.0

Imperial

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7496446E-45.055345E-45.9548905E-41.17793949.0E-50.00117788690.0021648170.0023045141.06453061.4E-40.01424676550.0260484090.0262237211.00673021.8E-40.133672490.228070290.228216961.00064311.9E-4
6.12.5356023E-44.8657708E-45.7653326E-41.18487569.0E-50.0010862340.0020837020.00222341041.06704811.4E-40.0131449280.025070940.0252464261.00699961.8E-40.1239401550.219495610.21964391.00067571.9E-4
6.22.4820742E-44.775311E-45.6748814E-41.18837949.0E-50.00106331240.00204499460.00218470841.06831981.4E-40.012869190.0246106760.0247862451.00713381.8E-40.121489270.216001360.216150331.00068961.9E-4
6.32.3205351E-44.5892023E-45.488789E-41.19602259.0E-59.94136E-40.00196535540.00210508031.07109391.4E-40.0120365990.0236611870.0238369271.00742751.8E-40.114051330.207938270.208088761.00072371.9E-4
6.42.0304754E-43.9878016E-44.7874823E-41.20053188.0E-58.6991355E-40.00170795290.0018277481.07013951.2E-40.0105398690.0205954180.0207521231.00760881.6E-40.1005376350.185071130.185209661.00074851.7E-4
6.51.854992E-43.6990462E-44.4987505E-41.2161928.0E-57.9475436E-40.00158435480.00170416471.07562071.2E-40.0096332810.019114430.019271371.00821071.6E-40.09226230.17330390.173444441.0008111.7E-4
6.61.6586106E-43.4036173E-44.2033452E-41.2349648.0E-57.106394E-40.00145788780.0015777131.08219091.2E-40.0086177630.0176076260.0177549831.00836911.5E-40.082911320.160780550.160914821.00083521.6E-4
6.71.4224656E-43.076812E-43.876566E-41.25992948.0E-56.094856E-40.00131797560.00143781741.09092871.2E-40.00739526930.0159285220.0160761331.00926711.5E-40.071539550.146487980.146624551.00093221.6E-4
6.81.2317259E-42.779231E-43.4790364E-41.25179837.0E-55.2777573E-40.00119056150.00130043051.09228341.1E-40.00640675470.0144001310.0145381151.00958221.4E-40.062251660.132940890.133070951.00097841.5E-4
6.99.859898E-52.5015484E-43.1013982E-41.23979156.0E-54.2249862E-40.00107165590.00117154871.09321361.0E-40.00513179460.0129703190.0130986321.0098931.3E-40.050148930.1194088760.119532151.00103251.4E-4
7.07.3191884E-52.1267848E-42.6266786E-41.23504665.0E-53.136418E-49.11164E-40.0010010821.09868489.0E-50.0038119040.0110376810.0111563571.01075181.2E-40.0374717640.102067560.1021842961.00114371.3E-4
7.17.1760296E-52.0969207E-42.5968158E-41.23839495.0E-53.0750787E-48.9837395E-49.882931E-41.1000919.0E-50.0037374820.0108835280.0110022221.01090591.2E-40.036752450.100704060.100820971.00116091.3E-4
7.26.46614E-51.9137723E-42.3136957E-41.20897134.0E-52.7709085E-48.199333E-48.898759E-41.08530287.0E-50.00336836280.0099376170.0100366241.00996281.0E-40.0331776250.0925110060.092610831.00107911.1E-4
7.36.088115E-51.780939E-42.1808677E-41.22456064.0E-52.6089314E-47.6303916E-48.3298574E-41.09166847.0E-50.00317174760.0092510060.0093500811.01070961.0E-40.0312685850.086561350.086661831.00116071.1E-4
7.44.199346E-51.1511097E-41.3510867E-41.17372542.0E-51.7995955E-44.932403E-45.332206E-41.08105644.0E-50.00218880570.0059888350.0060584161.01161847.0E-50.021673720.057440240.0575156441.00131278.0E-5
7.53.130448E-58.333871E-51.0333704E-41.23996452.0E-51.3415517E-43.5711733E-43.9710305E-41.1119684.0E-50.00163211530.00433929540.00439903471.01376716.0E-50.0162018030.0421335060.0422005581.00159147.0E-5
7.62.3074248E-56.0849357E-57.084875E-51.16433021.0E-59.888588E-52.6075702E-42.8075182E-41.07667972.0E-50.00120327060.00317011820.00320999161.01257784.0E-50.0119677610.031028160.031076611.00156145.0E-5
7.71.45864815E-54.0128452E-55.0128052E-51.24918971.0E-56.2511994E-51.7196777E-41.9196433E-41.11628092.0E-57.608177E-40.00209170250.00213161881.01908314.0E-50.0075821820.020629090.0206780581.00237385.0E-5
7.81.0352979E-53.096395E-54.096364E-51.32294621.0E-54.4369157E-51.326959E-41.5269325E-41.15070062.0E-55.400606E-40.00161437780.00164432941.0185533.0E-50.00538750.0160178930.0160572531.00245734.0E-5
7.98.137906E-62.2151205E-52.2151205E-51.00.03.4876273E-59.493029E-51.0492934E-41.10533051.0E-54.2453592E-40.00115516440.00117514131.01729362.0E-50.0042372580.0116188420.011638611.00170142.0E-5
8.06.93792E-61.8010365E-51.8010365E-51.00.02.9733603E-57.7185E-57.7185E-51.00.03.6194647E-49.3932304E-49.3932304E-41.00.00.00361357510.0095024150.0095024151.00.0
8.13.4286315E-66.380179E-66.380179E-61.00.01.4694053E-52.734334E-52.734334E-51.00.01.7888541E-43.3285443E-43.3285443E-41.00.00.00178741480.00348636740.00348636741.00.0
8.21.4906886E-61.936633E-61.936633E-61.00.06.3886496E-68.2998295E-68.2998295E-61.00.07.7779034E-51.0104576E-41.0104576E-41.00.07.775182E-40.00110754230.00110754231.00.0
8.32.5758007E-81.4495866E-81.4495866E-81.00.01.10391454E-76.212514E-86.212514E-81.00.01.3440151E-67.563736E-77.563736E-71.00.01.344007E-57.884359E-67.884359E-61.00.0

Blue Cut

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1227985E-52.2719574E-51.1271753E-44.96125179.0E-59.097391E-59.73663E-51.9735657E-42.02694941.0E-40.00110704450.00118484810.00134465861.13487841.6E-40.0110154580.0117911520.0119690291.01508571.8E-4
6.12.1227985E-52.2719574E-51.1271753E-44.96125179.0E-59.097391E-59.73663E-51.9735657E-42.02694941.0E-40.00110704450.00118484810.00134465861.13487841.6E-40.0110154580.0117911520.0119690291.01508571.8E-4
6.22.1227985E-52.2719574E-51.1271753E-44.96125179.0E-59.097391E-59.73663E-51.9735657E-42.02694941.0E-40.00110704450.00118484810.00134465861.13487841.6E-40.0110154580.0117911520.0119690291.01508571.8E-4
6.31.1613981E-51.2353542E-56.235293E-55.04737235.0E-54.9773254E-55.2942745E-51.1293957E-42.13323976.0E-56.0582085E-46.443998E-47.143547E-41.10855827.0E-50.00604171960.00642655930.0065060451.01236838.0E-5
6.41.1613981E-51.2353542E-56.235293E-55.04737235.0E-54.9773254E-55.2942745E-51.1293957E-42.13323976.0E-56.0582085E-46.443998E-47.143547E-41.10855827.0E-50.00604171960.00642655930.0065060451.01236838.0E-5
6.58.931326E-69.4816E-63.9481314E-54.1639933.0E-53.8276554E-54.0634844E-57.063363E-51.73825263.0E-54.6591737E-44.946261E-45.3460634E-41.08082914.0E-50.00464941750.0049361610.0049859141.01007945.0E-5
6.67.345353E-67.79028E-62.7790124E-53.56728222.0E-53.1479703E-53.338653E-55.3385862E-51.5990242.0E-53.83198E-44.064132E-44.36401E-41.07378653.0E-50.00382537880.00405749070.00409732851.00981834.0E-5
6.76.2775666E-66.655149E-62.6655016E-54.0051722.0E-52.690358E-52.8521798E-54.8521226E-51.70119812.0E-53.2750185E-43.472051E-43.7719466E-41.08637433.0E-50.00327019630.0034673670.00350722831.01149624.0E-5
6.85.5234095E-65.8551113E-62.5854994E-54.4157992.0E-52.367154E-52.5093133E-54.509263E-51.79701082.0E-52.8816288E-43.0547334E-43.354642E-41.09817833.0E-50.0028778950.00305125050.00309112851.01306944.0E-5
6.94.7780054E-65.0654203E-62.506532E-54.94831942.0E-52.0477004E-52.1708804E-54.170837E-51.92126522.0E-52.4927902E-42.642797E-42.9427174E-41.1134863.0E-50.00248999570.0026403460.00268024041.01510954.0E-5
7.03.883171E-64.118487E-62.4118404E-55.8561322.0E-51.6642054E-51.7650578E-53.7650225E-52.13308742.0E-52.0259817E-42.1488148E-42.4487503E-41.13958183.0E-50.00202413560.00214741290.00217734841.01394033.0E-5
7.12.8358215E-63.0097158E-63.0097158E-61.00.01.2153464E-51.2898756E-51.2898756E-51.00.01.4795837E-41.5703762E-41.6703604E-41.0636691.0E-50.0014785990.00156991160.0015798961.00635981.0E-5

Santa Cruz Island

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9164563E-53.1599742E-59.1597845E-52.89868956.0E-51.2498499E-41.3542121E-42.2540902E-41.66450319.0E-50.00152063010.00164764260.00176744491.07271131.2E-40.0151026670.0163680.0164958721.00781241.3E-4
6.12.9164563E-53.1599742E-59.1597845E-52.89868956.0E-51.2498499E-41.3542121E-42.2540902E-41.66450319.0E-50.00152063010.00164764260.00176744491.07271131.2E-40.0151026670.0163680.0164958721.00781241.3E-4
6.22.9164563E-53.1599742E-59.1597845E-52.89868956.0E-51.2498499E-41.3542121E-42.2540902E-41.66450319.0E-50.00152063010.00164764260.00176744491.07271131.2E-40.0151026670.0163680.0164958721.00781241.3E-4
6.31.6635553E-51.780436E-56.780347E-53.80825115.0E-57.1293274E-57.630227E-51.3629769E-41.78628626.0E-58.6765E-49.286024E-40.00100852821.0860718.0E-50.0086427010.0092490940.0093283541.00856958.0E-5
6.41.6635553E-51.780436E-56.780347E-53.80825115.0E-57.1293274E-57.630227E-51.3629769E-41.78628626.0E-58.6765E-49.286024E-40.00100852821.0860718.0E-50.0086427010.0092490940.0093283541.00856958.0E-5
6.51.2238748E-51.3042996E-54.3042604E-53.3000553.0E-55.2450723E-55.5897377E-59.589514E-51.71555714.0E-56.3840044E-46.8034173E-47.303077E-41.07344255.0E-50.00636569550.0067829880.0068326491.00732145.0E-5
6.61.0489767E-51.1156636E-53.1156414E-52.7926352.0E-54.495537E-54.781329E-57.7811856E-51.62741073.0E-55.4719415E-45.819736E-46.119561E-41.05151873.0E-50.0054584870.0058047360.0058345621.00513823.0E-5
6.78.699222E-69.236783E-62.9236597E-53.16523622.0E-53.7281847E-53.958561E-56.958443E-51.75782113.0E-54.5381195E-44.818488E-45.1183434E-41.06223023.0E-50.00452886340.0048081080.00483796371.00620953.0E-5
6.88.307732E-68.8169045E-62.8816728E-53.268352.0E-53.560408E-53.7786187E-56.7785055E-51.79391093.0E-54.3339343E-44.5995016E-44.899364E-41.06519453.0E-50.0043254920.00459003540.0046198981.00650583.0E-5
6.98.073121E-68.564939E-62.8564767E-53.3350812.0E-53.459863E-53.670637E-56.670527E-51.81726683.0E-54.2115687E-44.4680882E-44.767954E-41.06711283.0E-50.0042035960.0044591560.00448902231.00669783.0E-5
7.07.617019E-68.074665E-62.8074503E-53.47686312.0E-53.264396E-53.4605247E-56.460421E-51.86689053.0E-53.9736772E-44.2123784E-44.512252E-41.07118873.0E-50.0039665790.00420444130.00423431541.00710543.0E-5
7.17.1224836E-67.5457883E-62.7545637E-53.65046532.0E-53.052457E-53.2338692E-56.233772E-51.92765133.0E-53.715733E-43.9365282E-44.23641E-41.07617933.0E-50.0037095260.00392959830.003959481.00760443.0E-5
7.26.441115E-66.8273835E-62.6827247E-53.929362.0E-52.7604487E-52.9259889E-55.925901E-52.02526453.0E-53.360328E-43.5618115E-43.8617046E-41.08419683.0E-50.00335525120.00355613120.00358602451.00840623.0E-5
7.35.494274E-65.8199944E-62.5819878E-54.43640952.0E-52.3546674E-52.4942596E-55.4941847E-52.20273163.0E-52.8664304E-43.03634E-43.336249E-41.09877313.0E-50.0028627360.00303221450.00306212341.00986373.0E-5
7.44.0802624E-64.3122564E-62.431217E-55.63792322.0E-51.7486722E-51.8480969E-53.8480597E-52.08217432.0E-52.1288003E-42.2498264E-42.4497815E-41.08887582.0E-50.00212676220.00224755770.00226751271.00887862.0E-5
7.52.3584746E-62.4753099E-62.4753099E-61.00.01.0107709E-51.0608428E-51.0608428E-51.00.01.2305441E-41.2915001E-41.2915001E-41.00.00.00122986290.00129075450.00129075451.00.0
7.69.4981914E-79.860934E-79.860934E-71.00.04.0706473E-64.2261076E-64.2261076E-61.00.04.9559E-55.1451658E-55.1451658E-51.00.04.954795E-45.1439874E-45.1439874E-41.00.0
7.72.6013532E-72.6416632E-72.6416632E-71.00.01.1148652E-61.1321408E-61.1321408E-61.00.01.3573399E-51.3783729E-51.3783729E-51.00.01.357257E-41.378288E-41.378288E-41.00.0
7.84.1522263E-83.965698E-83.965698E-81.00.01.7795254E-71.6995848E-71.6995848E-71.00.02.16657E-62.0692428E-62.0692428E-61.00.02.1665488E-52.0692256E-52.0692256E-51.00.0
7.97.7242046E-105.9475225E-105.9475225E-101.00.03.3103735E-92.5489382E-92.5489382E-91.00.04.0303796E-83.1033323E-83.1033323E-81.00.04.030379E-73.103332E-73.103332E-71.00.0

Owens Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.83821E-53.6210524E-69.362073E-525.8545639.0E-52.0733538E-41.551871E-51.15517156E-47.44373461.0E-40.0025213861.889249E-43.0890224E-41.6350531.2E-40.0249296910.00192971410.00209938621.08792591.7E-4
6.14.83821E-53.6210524E-69.362073E-525.8545639.0E-52.0733538E-41.551871E-51.15517156E-47.44373461.0E-40.0025213861.889249E-43.0890224E-41.6350531.2E-40.0249296910.00192971410.00209938621.08792591.7E-4
6.24.83821E-53.6210524E-69.362073E-525.8545639.0E-52.0733538E-41.551871E-51.15517156E-47.44373461.0E-40.0025213861.889249E-43.0890224E-41.6350531.2E-40.0249296910.00192971410.00209938621.08792591.7E-4
6.33.953008E-53.1530958E-67.315288E-523.2003337.0E-51.6940363E-41.3513202E-58.3512256E-56.18004947.0E-50.0020605381.6451156E-42.444984E-41.48620818.0E-50.0204153640.00166216270.00178196331.07207511.2E-4
6.43.953008E-53.1530958E-67.315288E-523.2003337.0E-51.6940363E-41.3513202E-58.3512256E-56.18004947.0E-50.0020605381.6451156E-42.444984E-41.48620818.0E-50.0204153640.00166216270.00178196331.07207511.2E-4
6.53.457342E-52.9707387E-66.297056E-521.1969366.0E-51.4816338E-41.273168E-57.2730916E-55.7125946.0E-50.00180239651.5499788E-42.2498702E-41.4515497.0E-50.0178784770.00155631190.00166614061.07056991.1E-4
6.63.1127765E-52.8737306E-66.287356E-521.8787236.0E-51.3339789E-41.2315934E-57.23152E-55.87167746.0E-50.00162290921.4993687E-42.1992637E-41.46679327.0E-50.0161110810.00150134380.00161117861.07315771.1E-4
6.72.806885E-52.8101606E-66.2809995E-522.3510346.0E-51.2028952E-41.2043493E-57.204277E-55.9818836.0E-50.0014635411.4662035E-42.1661009E-41.47735357.0E-50.0145393970.00146560870.00157544751.07494411.1E-4
6.82.524524E-52.2351392E-65.2235027E-523.3699235.0E-51.0818939E-49.579134E-65.9578655E-56.21962835.0E-50.00131640991.16620016E-41.7661302E-41.51443156.0E-50.013086390.0011658270.00125572211.07710849.0E-5
6.92.2704568E-51.6079711E-65.160789E-532.0950365.0E-59.730166E-56.8912864E-65.689094E-58.2554895.0E-50.00118400398.38982E-51.4389316E-41.71509246.0E-50.0117771538.38853E-49.2877756E-41.10719939.0E-5
7.02.0871712E-51.5393621E-65.1539286E-533.4809385.0E-58.944713E-56.5972495E-65.659692E-58.5788665.0E-50.00108847468.031857E-51.4031376E-41.74696536.0E-50.0108315868.030395E-48.929673E-41.11198419.0E-5
7.11.944928E-51.3862556E-65.1386185E-537.0683365.0E-58.335139E-55.941082E-65.5940785E-59.4159265.0E-50.00101433087.233028E-51.3232593E-41.82946816.0E-50.0100971337.2319806E-48.1313297E-41.12435729.0E-5
7.21.7876306E-51.2487686E-65.1248706E-541.0393945.0E-57.6610486E-55.3518543E-65.5351586E-510.3425065.0E-59.3233347E-46.515689E-51.2515298E-41.92079426.0E-50.0092843166.5148395E-47.414253E-41.13805629.0E-5
7.31.2618672E-51.1113839E-65.111133E-545.9889035.0E-55.40789E-54.763065E-65.4762826E-511.4973925.0E-56.582117E-45.7988782E-51.17985306E-42.0346236.0E-50.00656265535.7983754E-46.6978537E-41.15512599.0E-5
7.47.4874442E-68.547518E-74.0854717E-547.7971734.0E-53.208865E-53.6632168E-64.366307E-511.9193254.0E-53.906093E-44.4598757E-59.459653E-52.12105755.0E-50.0038992344.459579E-45.259222E-41.17930918.0E-5
7.52.4734156E-66.0679935E-73.060678E-550.4397053.0E-51.060031E-52.6005662E-63.260049E-512.5359193.0E-51.2905113E-43.1661435E-56.166049E-51.9474953.0E-50.00128976213.1656958E-43.765506E-41.18947186.0E-5
7.61.1328841E-63.1961991E-71.0319617E-532.287151.0E-54.8552088E-61.369799E-61.1369785E-58.3003311.0E-55.9110564E-51.6677177E-52.667701E-51.59961191.0E-55.9094845E-41.6675945E-42.0675277E-41.23982644.0E-5
7.74.8613185E-78.962742E-88.962742E-81.00.02.0834207E-63.8411747E-73.8411747E-71.00.02.536535E-54.676621E-64.676621E-61.00.02.5362454E-44.676529E-55.6764824E-51.21382381.0E-5

Ventura-Pitas Point

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.3179622E-53.373519E-59.3733164E-52.77849846.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-42.145627E-41.48411517.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00189876351.07945021.4E-40.0171639320.0174764970.01763371.00899521.6E-4
6.13.3179622E-53.373519E-59.3733164E-52.77849846.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-42.145627E-41.48411517.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00189876351.07945021.4E-40.0171639320.0174764970.01763371.00899521.6E-4
6.23.3179622E-53.373519E-59.3733164E-52.77849846.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-42.145627E-41.48411517.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00189876351.07945021.4E-40.0171639320.0174764970.01763371.00899521.6E-4
6.33.3179622E-53.373519E-59.3733164E-52.77849846.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-42.145627E-41.48411517.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00189876351.07945021.4E-40.0171639320.0174764970.01763371.00899521.6E-4
6.41.8754668E-51.7019594E-54.7019083E-52.76264433.0E-58.037467E-57.2939205E-51.1293629E-41.54836194.0E-59.781223E-48.8769617E-49.876074E-41.11255121.0E-40.0097382820.0088439430.008952971.01232791.1E-4
6.51.8754668E-51.7019594E-54.7019083E-52.76264433.0E-58.037467E-57.2939205E-51.1293629E-41.54836194.0E-59.781223E-48.8769617E-49.876074E-41.11255121.0E-40.0097382820.0088439430.008952971.01232791.1E-4
6.61.4361558E-51.2122258E-54.2121894E-53.47475653.0E-56.154808E-55.1951512E-59.1949434E-51.76990874.0E-57.490902E-46.323284E-47.222715E-41.14224119.0E-50.00746570160.0063056520.00640502151.01575881.0E-4
6.71.4361558E-51.2122258E-54.2121894E-53.47475653.0E-56.154808E-55.1951512E-59.1949434E-51.76990874.0E-57.490902E-46.323284E-47.222715E-41.14224119.0E-50.00746570160.0063056520.00640502151.01575881.0E-4
6.81.3663846E-51.1344401E-54.134406E-53.64444643.0E-55.8558027E-54.8617967E-58.861602E-51.82270114.0E-57.127108E-45.917649E-46.8171165E-41.15199749.0E-50.0071042930.00590221070.00600162061.01684281.0E-4
6.91.3644157E-51.1322501E-54.132216E-53.64956123.0E-55.8473648E-54.8524114E-58.8522174E-51.82429244.0E-57.116841E-45.906229E-46.8056973E-41.15229159.0E-50.0070940920.00589085140.0059902621.01687551.0E-4
7.01.3568845E-51.12420685E-54.1241732E-53.6685183.0E-55.8150898E-54.8179416E-58.817749E-51.83019014.0E-57.077572E-45.8642845E-46.7637564E-41.15338159.0E-50.0070550730.0058491280.0059485431.01699661.0E-4
7.11.306572E-51.0720521E-54.07202E-53.79834153.0E-55.599474E-54.594429E-57.594291E-51.65293473.0E-56.815227E-45.5923004E-46.391853E-41.14297388.0E-50.00679436370.0055785360.0056680341.01604339.0E-5
7.21.232604E-59.995121E-63.9994822E-54.00143433.0E-55.2824813E-54.283554E-57.283426E-51.7003233.0E-56.429523E-45.2139966E-46.0135796E-41.15335328.0E-50.00641095270.0052020590.0052915911.01721089.0E-5
7.31.0917261E-58.843812E-63.8843547E-54.39217233.0E-54.678742E-53.7901507E-56.790037E-51.79149523.0E-55.69488E-44.6135474E-45.21327E-41.12999186.0E-50.00568030770.0046042390.00467391641.01513347.0E-5
7.41.039959E-58.42354E-63.8423288E-54.5614183.0E-54.456891E-53.6100395E-56.609931E-51.83098583.0E-55.424914E-44.394352E-44.9940887E-41.13647896.0E-50.00541168960.00438592770.0044556211.01589017.0E-5
7.59.015877E-67.29752E-62.7297374E-53.7406372.0E-53.86389E-53.1274718E-55.127409E-51.63947422.0E-54.7032707E-43.8070456E-44.3068553E-41.13128545.0E-50.0046933290.0038007720.0038605441.01572626.0E-5
7.64.900162E-63.874119E-62.3874041E-56.1624442.0E-52.1000526E-51.6603262E-53.660293E-52.20456272.0E-52.556514E-42.0212609E-42.4211801E-41.19785634.0E-50.00255357470.0020194360.00206933521.02470935.0E-5
7.73.8850626E-63.12676E-62.3126697E-57.39637762.0E-51.6650163E-51.3400332E-53.3400065E-52.49248032.0E-52.0269687E-41.6313691E-42.0313039E-41.24515284.0E-50.0020251210.00163018090.00168009941.03062145.0E-5
7.82.4654719E-62.029902E-61.2029882E-55.92633631.0E-51.0566265E-58.699551E-61.8699464E-52.14947461.0E-51.2863669E-41.0591193E-41.259098E-41.18881622.0E-50.00128562250.00105861920.00107859811.01887252.0E-5
7.94.095894E-73.2765078E-71.0327648E-531.520291.0E-51.7553821E-61.4042168E-61.1404203E-58.1213971.0E-52.1371567E-51.709621E-52.7096039E-51.58491491.0E-52.1369511E-41.7094925E-41.8094754E-41.05848691.0E-5
8.07.791402E-95.6836056E-95.6836056E-91.00.03.3391725E-82.4358311E-82.4358311E-81.00.04.0654416E-72.965624E-72.965624E-71.00.04.065434E-62.9656223E-62.9656223E-61.00.0

Santa Ynez River

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6396456E-51.7209444E-59.720807E-55.648538.0E-57.026863E-57.3752875E-51.5374698E-42.08462338.0E-58.551848E-48.976069E-40.00103748121.15583031.4E-40.00851901250.0089433630.0091019321.01773041.6E-4
6.11.6396456E-51.7209444E-59.720807E-55.648538.0E-57.026863E-57.3752875E-51.5374698E-42.08462338.0E-58.551848E-48.976069E-40.00103748121.15583031.4E-40.00851901250.0089433630.0091019321.01773041.6E-4
6.21.6396456E-51.7209444E-59.720807E-55.648538.0E-57.026863E-57.3752875E-51.5374698E-42.08462338.0E-58.551848E-48.976069E-40.00103748121.15583031.4E-40.00851901250.0089433630.0091019321.01773041.6E-4
6.39.736976E-61.01223395E-59.012153E-58.9032328.0E-54.172923E-54.338076E-51.233773E-42.84405548.0E-55.0793495E-45.280378E-46.479744E-41.22713651.2E-40.0050677550.00526833670.00540759931.02643381.4E-4
6.49.736976E-61.01223395E-59.012153E-58.9032328.0E-54.172923E-54.338076E-51.233773E-42.84405548.0E-55.0793495E-45.280378E-46.479744E-41.22713651.2E-40.0050677550.00526833670.00540759931.02643381.4E-4
6.57.081964E-67.329905E-67.7329394E-510.5498497.0E-53.035092E-53.141351E-51.01411315E-43.22827057.0E-53.694598E-43.8239395E-44.823557E-41.26141041.0E-40.00368846160.00381752150.00392710141.02870451.1E-4
6.65.873247E-66.0597517E-66.605939E-510.9013366.0E-52.5170815E-52.5970112E-58.596855E-53.31028826.0E-53.064116E-43.161411E-43.961158E-41.25297158.0E-50.00305989430.0031570010.0032467171.02841819.0E-5
6.74.973277E-65.11591E-66.51156E-512.7280596.0E-52.1313872E-52.1925147E-58.1923834E-53.73652366.0E-52.5946548E-42.6690646E-43.468851E-41.29965058.0E-50.00259162740.00266590780.00274569451.02992868.0E-5
6.84.396492E-64.510987E-66.4510714E-514.3007996.0E-51.884197E-51.933266E-57.93315E-54.10349666.0E-52.2937685E-42.3535005E-43.0533358E-41.29735937.0E-50.00229140230.00235104330.00242087871.0297047.0E-5
6.93.5255632E-63.6013423E-66.3601125E-517.6603956.0E-51.5109469E-51.5434234E-57.543331E-54.8874026.0E-51.8394225E-41.8789574E-42.5788258E-41.3724777.0E-50.00183790070.0018773850.00194725361.0372167.0E-5
7.03.211603E-63.273663E-64.3273532E-513.2186894.0E-51.376394E-51.402991E-55.4029348E-53.85101184.0E-51.6756308E-41.708009E-42.2079235E-41.29268855.0E-50.00167436790.00170671040.00175662511.02924615.0E-5
7.12.5094619E-62.5409295E-63.2540855E-512.8066733.0E-51.0754793E-51.0889652E-54.0889325E-53.7548793.0E-51.3093173E-41.325735E-41.7256821E-41.30167944.0E-50.00130854620.00132495030.00136489721.03014984.0E-5
7.22.0515774E-62.0619466E-63.2061886E-515.5493293.0E-58.792445E-68.836884E-63.8836617E-54.39483173.0E-51.0704277E-41.0758379E-41.4757949E-41.37176324.0E-50.00106991220.00107532150.00111527831.03715814.0E-5
7.31.6845745E-61.6773996E-63.1677348E-518.8847963.0E-57.219585E-67.1888358E-63.718862E-55.17310763.0E-58.78949E-58.752059E-51.17517964E-41.34274653.0E-58.7860145E-48.7486405E-49.0483786E-41.0342613.0E-5
7.41.3600285E-61.3333447E-63.1333304E-523.4997793.0E-55.82868E-65.714322E-63.571415E-56.24993663.0E-57.096187E-56.956967E-59.956759E-51.43119243.0E-57.0939213E-46.9548114E-47.254603E-41.04310563.0E-5
7.59.735342E-79.2901894E-73.092899E-533.29213.0E-54.172283E-63.9815036E-63.3981385E-58.5348123.0E-55.079636E-54.8473747E-57.8472294E-51.61886173.0E-55.0784746E-44.8463346E-45.1461894E-41.06187253.0E-5
7.65.067187E-74.778609E-71.0477856E-521.926581.0E-52.1716498E-62.0479738E-61.20479535E-55.8828651.0E-52.6439517E-52.4933803E-53.4933553E-51.4010521.0E-52.643637E-42.493108E-42.5930832E-41.04010061.0E-5
7.72.769089E-72.5759346E-71.02575905E-539.8208541.0E-51.1867519E-61.1039714E-61.1103961E-510.0581951.0E-51.4448608E-51.344077E-52.3440636E-51.74399511.0E-51.444767E-41.343996E-41.4439826E-41.0743951.0E-5
7.81.7044663E-71.5449208E-71.015449E-565.7282261.0E-57.3048534E-76.6210873E-71.0662102E-516.1032491.0E-58.893623E-68.061144E-61.8061064E-52.24050861.0E-58.893267E-58.060854E-59.060773E-51.12404631.0E-5
7.94.8344287E-84.0911143E-81.0040911E-5245.432171.0E-52.0718979E-71.7533345E-71.0175332E-558.0341721.0E-52.5225327E-62.1346827E-61.2134661E-55.6845271.0E-52.5225041E-52.1346626E-53.134641E-51.46844821.0E-5

Coronado Bank alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.533492E-59.3951705E-51.739442E-41.85142128.0E-53.22824E-44.025903E-45.12546E-41.27312061.1E-40.00392330070.0048911210.0050403871.03051781.5E-40.038547550.0479040.0480563341.003181.6E-4
6.14.1807285E-55.0493105E-51.0049058E-41.99018425.0E-51.7916178E-42.1638138E-42.763684E-41.27722826.0E-50.00217911230.00263133650.00270115231.02653247.0E-50.0215786770.0260111240.0260793031.00262127.0E-5
6.24.1807285E-55.0493105E-51.0049058E-41.99018425.0E-51.7916178E-42.1638138E-42.763684E-41.27722826.0E-50.00217911230.00263133650.00270115231.02653247.0E-50.0215786770.0260111240.0260793031.00262127.0E-5
6.33.1793104E-53.7711125E-56.7709996E-51.79549123.0E-51.3624904E-41.6160926E-41.9160441E-41.18560293.0E-50.00165756980.0019658490.00200577031.02030744.0E-50.0164526030.0194884950.0195277151.00201254.0E-5
6.42.9878007E-53.5335797E-55.533509E-51.56597832.0E-51.2804232E-41.5143053E-41.714275E-41.13205372.0E-50.00155780030.00184213950.00187208421.01625543.0E-50.0154692530.0182724630.0183019151.00161183.0E-5
6.52.4512565E-52.8764101E-54.8763526E-51.69529122.0E-51.0504962E-41.2326906E-41.4326659E-41.16222672.0E-50.00127822870.00149979430.00152974941.01997283.0E-50.0127090120.01489969250.0149292461.00198353.0E-5
6.62.1317413E-52.490667E-54.490617E-51.80297782.0E-59.135714E-51.0673863E-41.267365E-41.18735362.0E-50.00111170560.00129879030.00132875131.02306843.0E-50.0110616050.0129144070.012944021.0022933.0E-5
6.71.8585655E-52.1634882E-54.163445E-51.92441312.0E-57.9650374E-59.271774E-51.1271588E-41.21568852.0E-59.6931186E-40.00112827440.00115824051.02655923.0E-50.00965094750.0112276230.0112572861.0026423.0E-5
6.81.5862879E-51.8419476E-53.8419108E-52.08578732.0E-56.798199E-57.8938334E-59.8936755E-51.25334242.0E-58.273665E-49.606697E-49.906408E-41.03119833.0E-50.0082429280.0095671510.0095968641.00310583.0E-5
6.91.3021509E-51.5095266E-52.5095114E-51.66244941.0E-55.5805274E-56.46925E-57.4691845E-51.15456751.0E-56.792174E-47.873646E-48.073488E-41.02538122.0E-50.0067714520.0078475730.0078674161.00252852.0E-5
7.01.0974371E-51.2720105E-52.2719978E-51.7861471.0E-54.7032172E-55.4513697E-56.451315E-51.18343021.0E-55.7246623E-46.635197E-46.7351304E-41.01506111.0E-50.00570993730.00661713540.00662706931.00150121.0E-5
7.18.766221E-61.0163833E-52.0163732E-51.98387071.0E-53.7568978E-54.3558655E-55.355822E-51.22956551.0E-54.573063E-45.302148E-45.4020947E-41.01885031.0E-50.00456366360.0052911970.00530114441.00187991.0E-5
7.28.026024E-78.331776E-78.331776E-71.00.03.43972E-63.5707562E-63.5707562E-61.00.04.1877785E-54.34731E-54.34731E-51.00.04.1869894E-44.3464705E-44.3464705E-41.00.0
7.33.7293114E-73.700106E-73.700106E-71.00.01.5982754E-61.5857588E-61.5857588E-61.00.01.9458828E-51.9306442E-51.9306442E-51.00.01.9457124E-41.9304773E-41.9304773E-41.00.0
7.42.0557036E-71.9674441E-71.9674441E-71.00.08.810155E-78.4319004E-78.4319004E-71.00.01.0726311E-51.02657905E-51.02657905E-51.00.01.0725793E-41.026532E-41.026532E-41.00.0
7.56.845446E-86.2794086E-86.2794086E-81.00.02.9337625E-72.6911746E-72.6911746E-71.00.03.5718497E-63.2765004E-63.2765004E-61.00.03.5717923E-53.276453E-53.276453E-51.00.0
7.66.0975145E-95.531901E-95.531901E-91.00.02.6132206E-82.3708148E-82.3708148E-81.00.03.1815955E-72.8864667E-72.8864667E-71.00.03.181591E-62.886464E-62.886464E-61.00.0

San Pedro Basin

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.3449043E-56.337018E-51.433651E-42.26234348.0E-52.2904722E-42.7156167E-43.6153724E-41.33132659.0E-50.00278508360.00330185150.00344138921.04226041.4E-40.0275043660.032589480.032753941.00504641.7E-4
6.15.3449043E-56.337018E-51.433651E-42.26234348.0E-52.2904722E-42.7156167E-43.6153724E-41.33132659.0E-50.00278508360.00330185150.00344138921.04226041.4E-40.0275043660.032589480.032753941.00504641.7E-4
6.22.3189454E-52.6642829E-55.664203E-52.12597663.0E-59.9379584E-51.1417881E-41.5417424E-41.35028774.0E-50.00120927490.00138928750.00145919031.05031557.0E-50.0120271550.013810890.0138996471.00642669.0E-5
6.32.3189454E-52.6642829E-55.664203E-52.12597663.0E-59.9379584E-51.1417881E-41.5417424E-41.35028774.0E-50.00120927490.00138928750.00145919031.05031557.0E-50.0120271550.013810890.0138996471.00642669.0E-5
6.41.966056E-52.246342E-54.2462972E-51.89031642.0E-58.425682E-59.626848E-51.2626559E-41.31159853.0E-50.0010253440.00117147870.001221421.04263115.0E-50.0102062590.0116571190.0117263031.0059357.0E-5
6.51.7342953E-51.9745152E-53.974476E-52.01288682.0E-57.4324824E-58.461954E-51.0461785E-41.2363322.0E-59.04529E-40.00102979290.00105976211.02910213.0E-50.0090085610.0102539320.010303421.00482625.0E-5
6.61.439804E-51.6322716E-53.632239E-52.22526622.0E-56.170443E-56.99528E-58.9951405E-51.2858872.0E-57.509924E-48.513747E-48.813492E-41.03520723.0E-50.00748459530.0084843330.0085339091.00584325.0E-5
6.71.2634884E-51.4285298E-53.428501E-52.40002082.0E-55.414838E-56.122144E-58.122022E-51.32666292.0E-56.590571E-47.451466E-47.7512424E-41.04023053.0E-50.0065710590.0074295020.00747913031.00667995.0E-5
6.81.146091E-51.2933193E-53.2932934E-52.54638862.0E-54.911726E-55.542696E-57.542585E-51.36081532.0E-55.9783855E-46.74644E-47.046238E-41.04443793.0E-50.00596232760.00672889970.00677856341.00738065.0E-5
6.99.109035E-61.0235013E-53.0234809E-52.95405672.0E-53.9038136E-54.386376E-56.3862884E-51.45593732.0E-54.7518566E-45.339384E-45.5392773E-41.03743762.0E-50.00474170830.00532930950.00536909651.00746574.0E-5
7.05.9351028E-66.583965E-61.65839E-52.51883151.0E-52.5435906E-52.821682E-53.8216538E-51.35438851.0E-53.0963816E-43.4350925E-43.5350583E-41.02910131.0E-50.00309207060.00343209970.00345203121.00580732.0E-5
7.12.1557585E-62.2096492E-62.2096492E-61.00.09.238933E-69.469892E-69.469892E-61.00.01.1247819E-41.15289986E-41.15289986E-41.00.00.00112421280.00115231720.00115231721.00.0
7.22.1251979E-62.1779954E-62.1779954E-61.00.09.107958E-69.334234E-69.334234E-61.00.01.1088375E-41.13638525E-41.13638525E-41.00.00.00110828450.00113581950.00113581951.00.0
7.31.7145798E-61.7442885E-61.7442885E-61.00.07.3481783E-67.475501E-67.475501E-61.00.08.94604E-59.1010515E-59.1010515E-51.00.08.9424395E-49.0974156E-49.0974156E-41.00.0
7.41.4467993E-61.4641878E-61.4641878E-61.00.06.200554E-66.275076E-66.275076E-61.00.07.548913E-57.639644E-57.639644E-51.00.07.546349E-47.6370913E-47.6370913E-41.00.0
7.51.2803735E-61.2931506E-61.2931506E-61.00.05.487303E-65.5420624E-65.5420624E-61.00.06.680587E-56.747259E-56.747259E-51.00.06.678579E-46.745281E-46.745281E-41.00.0
7.66.755009E-76.76947E-76.76947E-71.00.02.8950008E-62.9011985E-62.9011985E-61.00.03.5246063E-53.532158E-53.532158E-51.00.03.5240475E-43.5316538E-43.5316538E-41.00.0
7.76.211885E-84.5699714E-84.5699714E-81.00.02.6622362E-71.9585592E-71.9585592E-71.00.03.2412677E-62.3845432E-62.3845432E-61.00.03.2412205E-52.3845198E-52.3845198E-51.00.0
7.82.6580573E-91.5138054E-91.5138054E-91.00.01.1391674E-86.4877375E-96.4877375E-91.00.01.3869362E-77.89882E-87.89882E-81.00.01.3869354E-67.89882E-77.89882E-71.00.0

San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.693995E-66.660123E-69.6659525E-514.5131749.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-51.4853965E-45.20405241.2E-43.492233E-43.4745657E-44.974044E-41.43155861.5E-40.003486750.00354911670.00370854881.04492161.6E-4
6.16.693995E-66.660123E-69.6659525E-514.5131749.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-51.4853965E-45.20405241.2E-43.492233E-43.4745657E-44.974044E-41.43155861.5E-40.003486750.00354911670.00370854881.04492161.6E-4
6.26.693995E-66.660123E-69.6659525E-514.5131749.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-51.4853965E-45.20405241.2E-43.492233E-43.4745657E-44.974044E-41.43155861.5E-40.003486750.00354911670.00370854881.04492161.6E-4
6.36.693995E-66.660123E-69.6659525E-514.5131749.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-51.4853965E-45.20405241.2E-43.492233E-43.4745657E-44.974044E-41.43155861.5E-40.003486750.00354911670.00370854881.04492161.6E-4
6.46.693995E-66.660123E-69.6659525E-514.5131749.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-51.4853965E-45.20405241.2E-43.492233E-43.4745657E-44.974044E-41.43155861.5E-40.003486750.00354911670.00370854881.04492161.6E-4
6.56.6561875E-66.620341E-69.661975E-514.5943769.0E-52.8526205E-52.8372582E-51.4836917E-45.22931531.2E-43.472512E-43.453815E-44.953297E-41.43415241.5E-40.00346709070.00352843220.00368786771.04518591.6E-4
6.66.6561875E-66.620341E-69.661975E-514.5943769.0E-52.8526205E-52.8372582E-51.4836917E-45.22931531.2E-43.472512E-43.453815E-44.953297E-41.43415241.5E-40.00346709070.00352843220.00368786771.04518591.6E-4
6.76.5802237E-66.539518E-69.6538926E-514.7623939.0E-52.8200653E-52.8026205E-51.4802284E-45.2815871.2E-43.4328885E-43.4116567E-44.911145E-41.4395191.5E-40.00342759020.00348640650.00364584871.04573251.6E-4
6.86.575632E-66.5340073E-69.653342E-514.7739999.0E-52.8180975E-52.8002589E-51.4799924E-45.2851981.2E-43.4304935E-43.4087826E-44.9082714E-41.43988981.5E-40.00342520260.00348354130.0036429841.04577031.6E-4
6.96.570433E-66.525401E-69.652481E-514.7921659.0E-52.8158694E-52.7965707E-51.4796235E-45.29084971.2E-43.4277816E-43.4042934E-44.903783E-41.44047011.5E-40.00342249920.00347906650.003638511.04582931.6E-4
7.06.5643826E-66.5155223E-69.651494E-514.8130779.0E-52.8132765E-52.7923368E-51.4792001E-45.29735571.2E-43.424626E-43.3991406E-44.8986304E-41.4411381.5E-40.00341935320.00347392960.00363337391.04589741.6E-4
7.16.557402E-66.504234E-69.6503645E-514.837059.0E-52.8102848E-52.7874992E-51.4787164E-45.3048141.2E-43.4209844E-43.3932526E-44.8927433E-41.44190371.5E-40.00341572290.00346806060.00362750591.04597531.6E-4
7.26.546394E-66.4862006E-69.6485615E-514.8755229.0E-52.8055672E-52.7797707E-51.4779437E-45.3167831.2E-43.4152428E-43.383846E-44.883338E-41.44313261.5E-40.00340999870.00345868830.0036181351.04610031.6E-4
7.36.5364216E-66.4669857E-69.646641E-514.9167499.0E-52.8012933E-52.771536E-51.4771204E-45.32960941.2E-43.4100408E-43.373823E-44.873317E-41.44444941.5E-40.0034048130.00344871030.00360815861.04623411.6E-4
7.46.5269523E-66.4480723E-69.644749E-514.957579.0E-52.7972354E-52.7634303E-51.4763098E-45.3423091.2E-43.4051016E-43.3639578E-44.8634532E-41.44575331.5E-40.00339988880.00343889230.0035983421.04636661.6E-4
7.56.5111835E-66.424346E-69.642377E-515.0091189.0E-52.7904773E-52.753262E-51.4752931E-45.35834651.2E-43.3968766E-43.3515817E-44.8510788E-41.44739991.5E-40.00339168870.00342656440.00358601611.0465341.6E-4
7.66.4768806E-66.383454E-69.638288E-515.098869.0E-52.7757764E-52.7357375E-51.4735409E-45.38626581.2E-43.3789838E-43.330252E-44.8297524E-41.45026641.5E-40.00337385040.00340529720.00356475221.04682561.6E-4
7.76.1655364E-66.1759456E-69.617539E-515.5725779.0E-52.642346E-52.646807E-51.464649E-45.53364471.2E-43.2165812E-43.2220117E-44.7215284E-41.46539771.5E-40.00321192950.00329693620.00345640891.04836991.6E-4
7.85.5043524E-65.7370175E-69.5736505E-516.6875049.0E-52.3589868E-52.4586987E-51.4458403E-45.88051031.2E-42.871688E-42.993055E-44.492606E-41.50101021.5E-40.00286797970.00306705850.00322656781.05200721.6E-4
7.93.889249E-64.0766436E-68.407632E-520.6239078.0E-51.6668104E-51.7471213E-51.2746929E-47.2959611.1E-42.0291525E-42.126913E-43.4266364E-41.61108451.3E-40.00202730070.00219410730.00233381.06366731.4E-4
8.02.668535E-62.5313454E-67.253117E-528.653217.0E-51.1436528E-51.0848577E-51.1084749E-410.2176981.0E-41.3923083E-41.3207346E-42.4205893E-41.83275991.1E-40.00139143630.00137556650.00148541521.07985711.1E-4
8.11.5911459E-61.2185134E-65.1218452E-542.0335585.0E-56.8191785E-65.2221894E-66.522187E-512.4893736.0E-58.3020335E-56.357832E-51.2357451E-41.94365796.0E-58.298933E-46.6911156E-47.290714E-41.08961126.0E-5
8.26.1294963E-72.1802066E-72.1802066E-71.00.02.6269242E-69.3437393E-79.3437393E-71.00.03.1982334E-51.1375943E-51.1375943E-51.00.03.1977732E-41.2778955E-41.2778955E-41.00.0
8.31.762871E-74.7516316E-84.7516316E-81.00.07.5551594E-72.0364133E-72.0364133E-71.00.09.1983675E-62.4793305E-62.4793305E-61.00.09.197987E-52.8671833E-52.8671833E-51.00.0

Oak Ridge (Onshore)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.155064E-52.9526076E-59.952401E-53.37071567.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-42.2652175E-41.79019891.0E-40.0016449390.00153950580.00166930571.08431271.3E-40.016328160.0152930540.0154407611.00965831.5E-4
6.13.155064E-52.9526076E-59.952401E-53.37071567.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-42.2652175E-41.79019891.0E-40.0016449390.00153950580.00166930571.08431271.3E-40.016328160.0152930540.0154407611.00965831.5E-4
6.23.155064E-52.9526076E-59.952401E-53.37071567.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-42.2652175E-41.79019891.0E-40.0016449390.00153950580.00166930571.08431271.3E-40.016328160.0152930540.0154407611.00965831.5E-4
6.33.155064E-52.9526076E-59.952401E-53.37071567.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-42.2652175E-41.79019891.0E-40.0016449390.00153950580.00166930571.08431271.3E-40.016328160.0152930540.0154407611.00965831.5E-4
6.43.155064E-52.9526076E-59.952401E-53.37071567.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-42.2652175E-41.79019891.0E-40.0016449390.00153950580.00166930571.08431271.3E-40.016328160.0152930540.0154407611.00965831.5E-4
6.53.155064E-52.9526076E-59.952401E-53.37071567.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-42.2652175E-41.79019891.0E-40.0016449390.00153950580.00166930571.08431271.3E-40.016328160.0152930540.0154407611.00965831.5E-4
6.63.155064E-52.9526076E-59.952401E-53.37071567.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-42.2652175E-41.79019891.0E-40.0016449390.00153950580.00166930571.08431271.3E-40.016328160.0152930540.0154407611.00965831.5E-4
6.73.098897E-52.8864279E-59.8862256E-53.4250737.0E-51.328031E-41.236984E-42.2368603E-41.80831791.0E-40.00161567850.00150502530.00163482961.08624731.3E-40.0160398220.0149529090.0151006661.00988151.5E-4
6.83.0449872E-52.8239476E-59.82375E-53.47872957.0E-51.3049292E-41.2102092E-42.2100883E-41.82620331.0E-40.00158759350.0014724710.00160227961.08815691.3E-40.0157629920.0146316580.01477946251.01010181.5E-4
6.92.697928E-52.4219877E-57.421867E-53.06437025.0E-51.15620365E-41.03795464E-41.737882E-41.67433327.0E-50.00140676890.00126299880.0013528851.0711699.0E-50.01397896650.0125610660.012659811.00786111.0E-4
7.02.4893961E-52.1862146E-57.186105E-53.2870085.0E-51.0668404E-49.369165E-51.636851E-41.74706177.0E-50.00129810430.00114011660.0012300141.07884939.0E-50.0129054770.0113451020.0114439681.00871431.0E-4
7.12.0945363E-51.7354592E-55.73539E-53.30482534.0E-58.976275E-57.437473E-51.3437028E-41.80666556.0E-50.00109231369.0514094E-49.850685E-41.0883048.0E-50.01086960.0090156210.0091048091.00989279.0E-5
7.22.0439404E-51.680953E-55.6808858E-53.37956264.0E-58.7594504E-57.203888E-51.3203456E-41.83282366.0E-50.00106594138.767251E-49.5665496E-41.09116868.0E-50.0106084270.0087337230.00882293751.01021499.0E-5
7.31.8463334E-51.5381947E-55.538133E-53.60041124.0E-57.912617E-56.592098E-51.2591704E-41.91012066.0E-59.6293533E-48.0229685E-48.822327E-41.09963378.0E-50.0095877340.00799500850.0080842891.0111679.0E-5
7.41.763139E-51.4516977E-55.4516397E-53.75535464.0E-57.556091E-56.221415E-51.2221042E-41.96435086.0E-59.1956573E-47.57198E-48.3713746E-41.10557278.0E-50.0091576990.0075471260.0076364471.01183519.0E-5
7.51.3594944E-51.1163363E-52.116325E-51.89577751.0E-55.8262744E-54.7842117E-57.784068E-51.62703253.0E-57.0911803E-45.8232463E-46.322955E-41.08581285.0E-50.0070685950.0058083620.0058680131.01026996.0E-5
7.66.9889534E-65.6367194E-61.5636662E-52.77407151.0E-52.9952313E-52.4157147E-54.4156666E-51.82789232.0E-53.646084E-42.94074E-43.240652E-41.10198513.0E-50.00364010730.00293689240.00297677521.01357984.0E-5
7.74.0824193E-63.2832731E-63.2832731E-61.00.01.7495966E-51.4071096E-52.4070956E-51.71066671.0E-52.1299256E-41.7130225E-41.9129882E-41.11673272.0E-50.00212788510.00171171550.00173168131.01166422.0E-5
7.81.7023609E-61.43706E-61.43706E-61.00.07.295812E-66.158814E-66.158814E-61.00.08.882289E-57.4981006E-57.4981006E-51.00.08.8787393E-47.4955984E-47.4955984E-41.00.0
7.92.721225E-72.261692E-72.261692E-71.00.01.1662388E-69.692963E-79.692963E-71.00.01.4198865E-51.1801121E-51.1801121E-51.00.01.4197957E-41.1800523E-41.1800523E-41.00.0
8.09.364255E-95.1204916E-95.1204916E-91.00.04.0132523E-82.1944963E-82.1944963E-81.00.04.8861335E-72.671799E-72.671799E-71.00.04.8861225E-62.6717962E-62.6717962E-61.00.0

Sheephole

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5579695E-64.7412627E-67.474093E-515.763937.0E-51.9534009E-52.031957E-51.3031733E-46.41339061.1E-42.3780059E-42.473682E-43.7733605E-41.52540231.3E-40.00237546280.0024714730.00263107781.06457881.6E-4
6.14.5579695E-64.7412627E-67.474093E-515.763937.0E-51.9534009E-52.031957E-51.3031733E-46.41339061.1E-42.3780059E-42.473682E-43.7733605E-41.52540231.3E-40.00237546280.0024714730.00263107781.06457881.6E-4
6.22.6677674E-62.7873941E-67.2787196E-526.1129917.0E-51.1433239E-51.1945926E-51.1194473E-49.37095451.0E-41.3919079E-41.4543302E-42.454185E-41.68750171.0E-40.00139103640.00145348440.001573311.08244031.2E-4
6.32.6677674E-62.7873941E-67.2787196E-526.1129917.0E-51.1433239E-51.1945926E-51.1194473E-49.37095451.0E-41.3919079E-41.4543302E-42.454185E-41.68750171.0E-40.00139103640.00145348440.001573311.08244031.2E-4
6.42.2159759E-62.3228788E-65.232276E-522.5249655.0E-59.497005E-69.955161E-67.9954465E-58.0314597.0E-51.156199E-41.2119815E-41.9118967E-41.57749657.0E-50.00115559760.00121139990.0012913031.06595938.0E-5
6.52.1986082E-62.304759E-65.2304644E-522.6941915.0E-59.4225725E-69.877506E-67.9876816E-58.086747.0E-51.1471378E-41.2025281E-41.9024439E-41.5820377.0E-50.00114654580.00120195660.00128186051.06647818.0E-5
6.61.5232331E-61.6018919E-62.160186E-513.4852172.0E-56.5281256E-66.865234E-64.686496E-56.82641844.0E-57.947703E-58.35812E-51.2357786E-41.47853654.0E-57.9448614E-48.3551643E-48.75483E-41.04783464.0E-5
6.71.3137362E-61.382819E-62.1382792E-515.4631882.0E-55.6302856E-65.926355E-64.5926117E-57.74947174.0E-56.854657E-57.215112E-51.12148235E-41.55435194.0E-56.8525434E-47.212908E-47.61262E-41.05541614.0E-5
6.81.2275751E-61.2922847E-62.1292259E-516.4764462.0E-55.2610258E-65.5383516E-64.553813E-58.2223254.0E-56.4051106E-56.7427485E-51.07424785E-41.593194.0E-56.4032647E-46.740836E-47.140566E-41.05929984.0E-5
6.91.1837088E-61.246102E-62.1246076E-517.050032.0E-55.0730278E-65.340427E-64.5340214E-58.4899984.0E-56.176237E-56.501789E-51.0501529E-41.61517524.0E-56.17452E-46.5000186E-46.8997586E-41.06149834.0E-5
7.09.849371E-71.0366288E-61.1036618E-510.6466451.0E-54.2211523E-64.442688E-63.4442553E-57.7526393.0E-55.1391315E-55.4088487E-58.408686E-51.55461673.0E-55.137943E-45.407633E-45.7074707E-41.05544713.0E-5
7.18.1643645E-78.591669E-71.08591585E-512.6391731.0E-53.4990085E-63.682139E-63.368203E-59.1474083.0E-54.2599597E-54.482921E-57.482786E-51.66917663.0E-54.259143E-44.4821028E-44.7819686E-41.06690293.0E-5
7.25.7295756E-76.029502E-71.0602944E-517.5851081.0E-52.45553E-62.58407E-61.2584044E-54.8698541.0E-52.9895667E-53.1460666E-54.1460353E-51.31784731.0E-52.9891645E-43.145688E-43.2456568E-41.03177951.0E-5

Big Pine (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.916913E-61.28172705E-57.28165E-55.68112376.0E-54.250036E-55.493013E-51.4492519E-42.6383559.0E-55.173191E-46.685912E-48.084976E-41.20925551.4E-40.00516116430.0066704490.00682938151.02382641.6E-4
6.19.916913E-61.28172705E-57.28165E-55.68112376.0E-54.250036E-55.493013E-51.4492519E-42.6383559.0E-55.173191E-46.685912E-48.084976E-41.20925551.4E-40.00516116430.0066704490.00682938151.02382641.6E-4
6.29.916913E-61.28172705E-57.28165E-55.68112376.0E-54.250036E-55.493013E-51.4492519E-42.6383559.0E-55.173191E-46.685912E-48.084976E-41.20925551.4E-40.00516116430.0066704490.00682938151.02382641.6E-4
6.35.479711E-68.1132375E-66.811275E-58.3952616.0E-52.3484265E-53.4770575E-51.1476779E-43.30071628.0E-52.858834E-44.232527E-45.232104E-41.23616551.0E-40.00285515890.00422725130.0043467441.02826731.2E-4
6.45.465009E-68.0975315E-66.809705E-58.4096066.0E-52.3421257E-53.4703262E-51.1470049E-43.30517898.0E-52.851165E-44.2243348E-45.2239123E-41.23662361.0E-40.00284750970.004219090.0043385841.02832211.2E-4
6.54.826767E-67.4225877E-66.7422145E-59.0833746.0E-52.068598E-53.1810716E-51.1180817E-43.51479588.0E-52.518227E-43.8722943E-44.871907E-41.25814491.0E-40.00251537510.00386829070.00398782641.03090141.2E-4
6.64.3146847E-66.8825234E-66.688211E-59.7176726.0E-51.8491375E-52.949621E-59.9494144E-53.37311637.0E-52.2510924E-43.5905963E-44.490273E-41.25056479.0E-50.00224881340.00358750620.00369711151.03055191.1E-4
6.73.6968106E-65.9957474E-64.5995508E-57.6713554.0E-51.5843378E-52.5695816E-57.569453E-52.9457925.0E-51.9287605E-43.128032E-43.7278442E-41.19175396.0E-50.00192708730.00312624990.00320599971.02550978.0E-5
6.83.4671132E-65.7024477E-64.5702218E-58.0144924.0E-51.4858972E-52.4438841E-57.4437616E-53.04587365.0E-51.8089297E-42.9750372E-43.5748587E-41.20161826.0E-50.00180745790.00297366660.00305342881.02682288.0E-5
6.92.7686972E-64.8254797E-61.4825431E-53.07232281.0E-51.1865792E-52.0680467E-54.0680054E-51.96707622.0E-51.4445644E-42.5175634E-42.817488E-41.11913293.0E-50.00144362570.0025172560.00255715521.01585034.0E-5
7.02.1472624E-63.985277E-61.3985237E-53.50922581.0E-59.20252E-61.707965E-52.7079479E-51.58548211.0E-51.12034926E-42.0792543E-42.2792126E-41.09616832.0E-50.00111978450.00207982380.00210976131.01439433.0E-5
7.11.7018335E-63.3450835E-61.334505E-53.9894521.0E-57.293552E-61.4335996E-52.4335852E-51.69753481.0E-58.879537E-51.7452713E-41.9452363E-41.11457542.0E-58.87599E-40.00174637920.00177632681.01714843.0E-5
7.21.25603E-62.794679E-62.794679E-61.00.05.3829745E-61.1977142E-51.1977142E-51.00.06.553574E-51.4581217E-41.4581217E-41.00.06.551642E-40.00145961730.00146960271.00684111.0E-5
7.31.112297E-62.610519E-62.610519E-61.00.04.7669787E-61.1187892E-51.1187892E-51.00.05.803642E-51.3620428E-41.3620428E-41.00.05.802127E-40.0013635020.00137348831.00732411.0E-5
7.41.0137181E-62.4836752E-62.4836752E-61.00.04.3444993E-61.064428E-51.064428E-51.00.05.2892992E-51.2958662E-41.2958662E-41.00.05.288041E-40.00129719180.00130717891.0076991.0E-5
7.59.598608E-72.407328E-62.407328E-61.00.04.1136827E-61.03170805E-51.03170805E-51.00.05.0082934E-51.2560343E-41.2560343E-41.00.05.007165E-40.00125721320.00126720071.00794411.0E-5
7.67.929459E-72.0450152E-62.0450152E-61.00.03.3983351E-68.764322E-68.764322E-61.00.04.1373947E-51.0670057E-41.0670057E-41.00.04.1366243E-40.00106858250.00107857191.00934821.0E-5
7.74.155788E-71.1606729E-61.1606729E-61.00.01.7810507E-64.974303E-64.974303E-61.00.02.1684076E-56.05605E-56.05605E-51.00.02.1681961E-46.085995E-46.185935E-41.01642121.0E-5
7.81.14666925E-72.592197E-72.592197E-71.00.04.914296E-71.1109411E-61.1109411E-61.00.05.9831386E-61.3525627E-51.3525627E-51.00.05.9829777E-51.3636416E-41.3636416E-41.00.0
7.92.9231824E-84.1462318E-84.1462318E-81.00.01.2527924E-71.7769564E-71.7769564E-71.00.01.5252737E-62.1634426E-62.1634426E-61.00.01.5252632E-52.197062E-52.197062E-51.00.0

Palos Verdes

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.126063E-57.622572E-51.6621886E-42.18061389.0E-52.6251914E-43.266441E-44.466049E-41.36725231.2E-40.00319148650.00397017370.0041096181.0351231.4E-40.0314603930.039049090.039193231.00369131.5E-4
6.16.126063E-57.622572E-51.6621886E-42.18061389.0E-52.6251914E-43.266441E-44.466049E-41.36725231.2E-40.00319148650.00397017370.0041096181.0351231.4E-40.0314603930.039049090.039193231.00369131.5E-4
6.26.126063E-57.622572E-51.6621886E-42.18061389.0E-52.6251914E-43.266441E-44.466049E-41.36725231.2E-40.00319148650.00397017370.0041096181.0351231.4E-40.0314603930.039049090.039193231.00369131.5E-4
6.34.0838047E-54.9749007E-51.0974602E-42.20599416.0E-51.7500846E-42.1319388E-42.9317682E-41.37516538.0E-50.00212864580.0025927540.0026924951.03846911.0E-40.0210837090.0256467460.0257539261.0041791.1E-4
6.44.0838047E-54.9749007E-51.0974602E-42.20599416.0E-51.7500846E-42.1319388E-42.9317682E-41.37516538.0E-50.00212864580.0025927540.0026924951.03846911.0E-40.0210837090.0256467460.0257539261.0041791.1E-4
6.53.0512005E-53.6561592E-58.655977E-52.36750535.0E-51.3075917E-41.566838E-42.1667441E-41.38287696.0E-50.00159083040.0019060720.00199590041.04712759.0E-50.0157949030.0189091730.0190072821.00518851.0E-4
6.62.9255087E-53.5154393E-57.515299E-52.13779784.0E-51.2537291E-41.5065364E-42.006461E-41.3318375.0E-50.00152534640.00183277820.00191263161.04356968.0E-50.0151491890.0181882440.0182766081.00485839.0E-5
6.72.287198E-52.724828E-55.724746E-52.1009573.0E-59.801909E-51.16773626E-41.4677012E-41.25687733.0E-50.0011927290.00142088330.00148079811.04216736.0E-50.0118634770.0141272170.0141962281.0048857.0E-5
6.82.1325764E-52.5431878E-55.5431115E-52.1795923.0E-59.139293E-51.0898972E-41.3898645E-41.27522533.0E-50.0011121410.00132623230.0013761661.03765085.0E-50.0110659150.0131922110.013251421.00448816.0E-5
6.91.9009392E-52.2613547E-53.2613323E-51.44220281.0E-58.1466285E-59.6912096E-51.0691113E-41.10317621.0E-59.914007E-40.00117935350.0012093181.02540773.0E-50.0098698940.0117396330.0117791631.00336734.0E-5
7.01.7098473E-52.0319356E-53.0319152E-51.49213161.0E-57.3277115E-58.708052E-59.7079654E-51.11482621.0E-58.917837E-40.0010597750.00108974321.02827793.0E-50.0088821340.0105556460.0105952251.00374954.0E-5
7.11.5982785E-51.899476E-52.8994571E-51.5264511.0E-56.849585E-58.1404054E-59.1403235E-51.1228341.0E-58.336179E-49.907284E-40.00102069871.03025083.0E-50.0083049770.0098714790.0099011841.00300913.0E-5
7.21.4468002E-51.7197237E-52.7197064E-51.58147881.0E-56.200425E-57.370083E-58.370009E-51.13567361.0E-57.546402E-48.970222E-49.269953E-41.0334143.0E-50.0075208270.0089422840.0089720151.00332493.0E-5
7.35.288233E-66.2036747E-66.2036747E-61.00.02.2663658E-52.6587102E-52.6587102E-51.00.02.7589512E-43.236848E-43.3368156E-41.03088431.0E-50.00275552830.00323555620.0032455241.00308061.0E-5
7.48.279556E-78.408347E-78.408347E-71.00.03.5483763E-63.6035726E-63.6035726E-61.00.04.3200624E-54.3872686E-54.3872686E-51.00.04.3192226E-44.3864746E-44.3864746E-41.00.0
7.56.559831E-76.667229E-76.667229E-71.00.02.8113532E-62.857381E-62.857381E-61.00.03.4227687E-53.4788125E-53.4788125E-51.00.03.4222414E-43.4783344E-43.4783344E-41.00.0
7.63.5018968E-73.5620027E-73.5620027E-71.00.01.500812E-61.526572E-61.526572E-61.00.01.8272232E-51.8585903E-51.8585903E-51.00.01.8270731E-41.8584808E-41.8584808E-41.00.0
7.71.1986104E-71.2198376E-71.2198376E-71.00.05.1369005E-75.2278745E-75.2278745E-71.00.06.2541585E-66.364919E-66.364919E-61.00.06.2539824E-56.364741E-56.364741E-51.00.0
7.83.0445005E-83.1027582E-83.1027582E-81.00.01.3047858E-71.3297536E-71.3297536E-71.00.01.5885756E-61.6189739E-61.6189739E-61.00.01.5885644E-51.6189642E-51.6189642E-51.00.0

Channel Islands Thrust

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2156251E-52.4092022E-51.1408985E-44.73558669.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-42.1323668E-42.06528541.1E-40.00115542640.00125642660.00136628831.08743991.1E-40.0114943730.01250382050.012622321.0094771.2E-4
6.12.2156251E-52.4092022E-51.1408985E-44.73558669.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-42.1323668E-42.06528541.1E-40.00115542640.00125642660.00136628831.08743991.1E-40.0114943730.01250382050.012622321.0094771.2E-4
6.22.2156251E-52.4092022E-51.1408985E-44.73558669.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-42.1323668E-42.06528541.1E-40.00115542640.00125642660.00136628831.08743991.1E-40.0114943730.01250382050.012622321.0094771.2E-4
6.32.2156251E-52.4092022E-51.1408985E-44.73558669.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-42.1323668E-42.06528541.1E-40.00115542640.00125642660.00136628831.08743991.1E-40.0114943730.01250382050.012622321.0094771.2E-4
6.42.2156251E-52.4092022E-51.1408985E-44.73558669.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-42.1323668E-42.06528541.1E-40.00115542640.00125642660.00136628831.08743991.1E-40.0114943730.01250382050.012622321.0094771.2E-4
6.52.2156251E-52.4092022E-51.1408985E-44.73558669.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-42.1323668E-42.06528541.1E-40.00115542640.00125642660.00136628831.08743991.1E-40.0114943730.01250382050.012622321.0094771.2E-4
6.62.2156251E-52.4092022E-51.1408985E-44.73558669.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-42.1323668E-42.06528541.1E-40.00115542640.00125642660.00136628831.08743991.1E-40.0114943730.01250382050.012622321.0094771.2E-4
6.71.0601296E-51.1379544E-52.137943E-51.87875991.0E-54.5433335E-54.876859E-57.876712E-51.615123.0E-55.5301044E-45.936007E-46.235829E-41.0505093.0E-50.0055163630.0059206530.0059504761.0050373.0E-5
6.81.0246747E-51.0996669E-52.0996558E-51.90935621.0E-54.391389E-54.7127756E-57.7126344E-51.63653763.0E-55.345204E-45.7363417E-46.0361694E-41.05226813.0E-50.00533236560.0057220250.00575185331.00521293.0E-5
6.99.049551E-69.699645E-69.699645E-61.00.03.878322E-54.1569267E-56.156843E-51.48110472.0E-54.7208337E-45.059924E-45.259823E-41.03950632.0E-50.00471081720.00504882030.00506871941.00394132.0E-5
7.08.6542195E-69.274603E-69.274603E-61.00.03.7088983E-53.9747716E-55.9746922E-51.50315362.0E-54.5146482E-44.8382508E-45.038154E-41.04131722.0E-50.0045054870.00482812940.00484803271.00412242.0E-5
7.18.391028E-68.992925E-68.992925E-61.00.03.5961057E-53.8540562E-55.853979E-51.51891392.0E-54.3773788E-44.6913436E-44.8912497E-41.04261172.0E-50.0043687660.00468185030.0047017571.00425182.0E-5
7.25.965188E-66.3716957E-66.3716957E-61.00.02.556484E-52.7306984E-54.730644E-51.73239342.0E-53.1120746E-43.3241237E-43.524057E-41.06014622.0E-50.003107720.00331920940.0033391431.00600552.0E-5
7.34.877518E-65.206007E-65.206007E-61.00.02.0903482E-52.231127E-53.2311047E-51.4481941.0E-52.5447016E-42.716063E-42.8160357E-41.0368081.0E-50.00254178980.00271278970.00272276251.00367631.0E-5
7.43.8829853E-64.141863E-64.141863E-61.00.01.664126E-51.7750723E-51.7750723E-51.00.02.0258849E-42.1609403E-42.1609403E-41.00.00.0020240390.0021588810.0021588811.00.0
7.51.3489616E-61.4277905E-61.4277905E-61.00.05.7812517E-66.119088E-66.119088E-61.00.07.038446E-57.449739E-57.449739E-51.00.07.036218E-47.4472814E-47.4472814E-41.00.0
7.66.058192E-76.35378E-76.35378E-71.00.02.5963652E-62.7230458E-62.7230458E-61.00.03.161029E-53.3152595E-53.3152595E-51.00.03.1605794E-43.314781E-43.314781E-41.00.0
7.72.2170494E-72.2607924E-72.2607924E-71.00.09.5016367E-79.689107E-79.689107E-71.00.01.1568181E-51.17964355E-51.17964355E-51.00.01.1567579E-41.179592E-41.179592E-41.00.0
7.82.1613102E-81.5466837E-81.5466837E-81.00.09.262757E-86.628645E-86.628645E-81.00.01.1277401E-68.070372E-78.070372E-71.00.01.1277344E-58.07035E-68.07035E-61.00.0

Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.4353277E-57.050019E-51.1049736E-41.56733444.0E-52.3292181E-43.0211007E-43.6209196E-41.19854316.0E-50.00283213520.00367200560.00377163851.02713311.0E-40.027963120.0361158440.0362218731.00293581.1E-4
6.14.5578287E-55.822054E-57.8219375E-51.34350132.0E-51.953209E-42.4949352E-42.8948355E-41.16028484.0E-50.00237543830.00303335490.00310314261.02300687.0E-50.0235020630.0299198930.0299877971.00226967.0E-5
6.22.8536782E-53.4736422E-53.4736422E-51.00.01.2229476E-41.4886161E-41.4886161E-41.00.00.00148792170.00181085760.00183082141.01102452.0E-50.0147799860.0179582760.0179779181.00109372.0E-5
6.32.3698774E-52.8213344E-52.8213344E-51.00.01.01562226E-41.2090833E-41.2090833E-41.00.00.00123581860.0014710510.00149102161.01357572.0E-50.0122896860.0146114550.0146311621.00134872.0E-5
6.41.9191197E-52.212289E-52.212289E-51.00.08.2245395E-59.4808805E-59.4808805E-51.00.00.00100087770.00115369060.00117366751.01731562.0E-50.0099638180.0114770220.0114967931.00172262.0E-5
6.51.5203241E-51.6801298E-51.6801298E-51.00.06.5155116E-57.200338E-57.200338E-51.00.07.9297484E-48.76301E-48.8629226E-41.01140171.0E-50.0079015120.0087295810.0087394941.00113561.0E-5
6.61.0984925E-51.12425605E-51.12425605E-51.00.04.70774E-54.8181533E-54.8181533E-51.00.05.730166E-45.8645604E-45.8645604E-41.00.00.0057154130.00584947550.00584947551.00.0
6.79.134616E-69.019868E-69.019868E-61.00.03.9147766E-53.865602E-53.865602E-51.00.04.7651984E-44.7053778E-44.7053778E-41.00.00.0047549930.004695660.004695661.00.0
6.87.785589E-67.4519185E-67.4519185E-61.00.03.3366385E-53.1936415E-53.1936415E-51.00.04.0616E-43.887585E-43.887585E-41.00.00.00405418450.0038809880.0038809881.00.0
6.95.579095E-64.8984666E-64.8984666E-61.00.02.3910188E-52.0993268E-52.0993268E-51.00.02.9106764E-42.5556443E-42.5556443E-41.00.00.0029068670.00255284270.00255284271.00.0
7.02.6816688E-61.521587E-61.521587E-61.00.01.1492816E-56.521071E-66.521071E-61.00.01.3991605E-47.939124E-57.939124E-51.00.00.00139827997.936375E-47.936375E-41.00.0
7.11.9951021E-67.45357E-77.45357E-71.00.08.55041E-63.1943835E-63.1943835E-61.00.01.0409627E-43.889097E-53.889097E-51.00.00.00104047523.8884574E-43.8884574E-41.00.0
7.21.9951021E-67.45357E-77.45357E-71.00.08.55041E-63.1943835E-63.1943835E-61.00.01.0409627E-43.889097E-53.889097E-51.00.00.00104047523.8884574E-43.8884574E-41.00.0
7.31.7087556E-66.578663E-76.578663E-71.00.07.3232177E-62.819424E-62.819424E-61.00.08.915652E-53.432599E-53.432599E-51.00.08.9120766E-43.432109E-43.432109E-41.00.0
7.41.3804846E-66.0737113E-76.0737113E-71.00.05.916349E-62.6030168E-62.6030168E-61.00.07.2029165E-53.169131E-53.169131E-51.00.07.200583E-43.168719E-43.168719E-41.00.0
7.51.3804846E-66.0737113E-76.0737113E-71.00.05.916349E-62.6030168E-62.6030168E-61.00.07.2029165E-53.169131E-53.169131E-51.00.07.200583E-43.168719E-43.168719E-41.00.0

San Cayetano

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.3476267E-51.8169216E-57.816812E-54.3022296.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.5785954E-42.02732928.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-40.00105750281.11597191.1E-40.0121750020.009436750.0095655231.01364591.3E-4
6.12.3476267E-51.8169216E-57.816812E-54.3022296.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.5785954E-42.02732928.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-40.00105750281.11597191.1E-40.0121750020.009436750.0095655231.01364591.3E-4
6.22.3476267E-51.8169216E-57.816812E-54.3022296.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.5785954E-42.02732928.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-40.00105750281.11597191.1E-40.0121750020.009436750.0095655231.01364591.3E-4
6.32.3476267E-51.8169216E-57.816812E-54.3022296.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.5785954E-42.02732928.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-40.00105750281.11597191.1E-40.0121750020.009436750.0095655231.01364591.3E-4
6.42.3476267E-51.8169216E-57.816812E-54.3022296.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.5785954E-42.02732928.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-40.00105750281.11597191.1E-40.0121750020.009436750.0095655231.01364591.3E-4
6.52.3476267E-51.8169216E-57.816812E-54.3022296.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.5785954E-42.02732928.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-40.00105750281.11597191.1E-40.0121750020.009436750.0095655231.01364591.3E-4
6.62.3476267E-51.8169216E-57.816812E-54.3022296.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.5785954E-42.02732928.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-40.00105750281.11597191.1E-40.0121750020.009436750.0095655231.01364591.3E-4
6.72.3476267E-51.8169216E-57.816812E-54.3022296.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.5785954E-42.02732928.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-40.00105750281.11597191.1E-40.0121750020.009436750.0095655231.01364591.3E-4
6.82.3241924E-51.7936945E-57.793587E-54.3449916.0E-59.960445E-57.687038E-51.5686423E-42.0406338.0E-50.00121200959.354987E-40.00104539571.11747431.1E-40.0120542040.00931661950.0094454081.01382351.3E-4
6.92.2761007E-51.7432383E-57.743134E-54.441816.0E-59.7543525E-57.47081E-51.5470212E-42.07075438.0E-50.00118694549.09195E-40.0010190951.12087621.1E-40.0118062560.0090557410.00918456351.01422551.3E-4
7.02.240283E-51.7066137E-56.706528E-53.92972855.0E-59.600859E-57.313856E-51.4313344E-41.95701757.0E-50.00116827778.9010154E-49.900125E-41.11224681.0E-40.0116215490.0088663360.0089852731.01341441.2E-4
7.12.1871154E-51.658602E-56.658519E-54.0145375.0E-59.373015E-57.108103E-51.4107605E-41.98472177.0E-50.00114056718.6507126E-49.649847E-41.11549751.0E-40.0113473090.0086179960.0087369621.01380431.2E-4
7.22.0714133E-51.5564563E-56.5563785E-54.21237565.0E-58.8771834E-56.670358E-51.2669958E-41.8994426.0E-50.00108026118.118168E-49.017437E-41.11077259.0E-50.0107502490.0080894430.0081985531.01348791.1E-4
7.31.8408395E-51.3996829E-56.399613E-54.5721885.0E-57.8890735E-55.9985046E-51.1998144E-42.00018936.0E-59.600714E-47.300762E-48.0002507E-41.09581047.0E-50.0095593420.00727764470.00736698971.01227669.0E-5
7.41.6856795E-51.285006E-56.2849416E-54.89098265.0E-57.2241404E-55.5070537E-51.1506723E-42.08945186.0E-58.7918417E-46.7028037E-47.4023346E-41.10436397.0E-50.008757140.00668340870.00677280731.01337629.0E-5
7.51.2822778E-59.577415E-64.9577033E-55.17645264.0E-55.495361E-54.1045427E-59.1043374E-52.21811255.0E-56.688548E-44.9961504E-45.5958505E-41.12003246.0E-50.0066684520.00498519230.0050548431.01397167.0E-5
7.65.6272684E-63.854899E-63.3854783E-58.7822743.0E-52.4116642E-51.6520893E-54.65204E-52.81585243.0E-52.9358055E-42.0112342E-42.4111537E-41.19884294.0E-50.00293193010.00200942480.00205932441.02483275.0E-5
7.73.5261346E-62.3407094E-62.2340662E-59.5443972.0E-51.5111918E-51.0031574E-53.0031373E-52.9936852.0E-51.8397206E-41.2212765E-41.5212398E-41.24561463.0E-50.00183819840.00122061270.00126056381.03273054.0E-5
7.81.4826929E-61.0564395E-61.1056429E-510.4657481.0E-56.354383E-64.52759E-61.4527544E-53.20867061.0E-57.736187E-55.5122033E-57.512093E-51.36281132.0E-57.733494E-45.510856E-45.710746E-41.0362722.0E-5
7.92.7568166E-71.6977887E-71.0169777E-559.9001351.0E-51.1814923E-67.276235E-71.0727616E-514.7433611.0E-51.4384574E-58.85878E-61.8858691E-52.12881351.0E-51.4383643E-48.858431E-59.858342E-51.11287681.0E-5
8.05.407832E-82.688677E-82.688677E-81.00.02.3176422E-71.15229014E-71.15229014E-71.00.02.8217257E-61.4029123E-61.4029123E-61.00.02.8216898E-51.40290385E-51.40290385E-51.00.0

San Jacinto (Borrego)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.543992E-52.7925962E-51.3792289E-44.9388771.1E-41.5187653E-41.1967727E-42.496617E-42.08612471.3E-40.00184752840.00145610920.00159590531.09600661.4E-40.0183224360.014868150.0150060691.00927621.4E-4
6.13.542281E-52.7925962E-51.3792289E-44.9388771.1E-41.5180321E-41.1967727E-42.496617E-42.08612471.3E-40.00184663720.00145610920.00159590531.09600661.4E-40.0183136720.014868150.0150060691.00927621.4E-4
6.23.4688688E-52.7925962E-51.3792289E-44.9388771.1E-41.4865733E-41.1967727E-42.496617E-42.08612471.3E-40.00180840050.00145610910.00159590531.09600661.4E-40.0179375480.014868150.0150060691.00927621.4E-4
6.33.2087122E-52.7771312E-51.3776826E-44.9608121.1E-41.3750899E-41.1901455E-42.4899907E-42.09217331.3E-40.00167288620.00144805120.00158784851.09654161.4E-40.0166034880.0147893080.0149272371.00932631.4E-4
6.43.1828724E-52.773829E-51.3773523E-44.96552751.1E-41.364017E-41.1887303E-42.4885757E-42.0934741.3E-40.00165942540.00144633060.0015861281.09665671.4E-40.0164708850.0147725020.0149104331.00933711.4E-4
6.53.1563577E-52.7477974E-51.3747496E-45.00309661.1E-41.3526545E-41.17757496E-42.477422E-42.10383371.3E-40.00164561280.00143276680.00157256621.0975731.4E-40.01633480.014639910.0147778611.00942291.4E-4
6.63.1467625E-52.7322194E-51.3731919E-45.0259211.1E-41.3485427E-41.17089934E-42.470747E-42.11012771.3E-40.00164061420.00142464980.00156445041.09812971.4E-40.0162855480.0145602280.014698191.00947521.4E-4
6.73.1223695E-52.6940217E-51.3693725E-45.0830051.1E-41.3380898E-41.1545303E-42.4543802E-42.1258691.3E-40.00162790680.00140474640.00154454981.09952211.4E-40.016160330.014364510.0145024981.00960621.4E-4
6.83.1015585E-52.6761221E-51.3675827E-45.11031531.1E-41.3291716E-41.1468597E-42.4467107E-42.13341.3E-40.0016170650.00139541950.00153522411.10018831.4E-40.0160534870.0142717720.0144097741.00966951.4E-4
6.92.6641965E-52.2183434E-51.32181E-45.9585451.1E-41.1417485E-49.506842E-52.2505606E-42.36730621.3E-40.00138919240.00115684730.00129668531.12087861.4E-40.01380540150.0118821910.0120205271.01164231.4E-4
7.02.3854353E-52.047825E-51.30476E-46.3714431.1E-41.02228936E-48.776099E-52.1774958E-42.4811661.3E-40.00124392660.00106796890.00120781931.130951.4E-40.0123698660.01098262050.0111210831.01260751.4E-4
7.12.3672901E-52.0314741E-51.303125E-46.4146771.1E-41.0145135E-48.706028E-52.1704896E-42.49308821.3E-40.00123447020.00105944610.00119929771.13200451.4E-40.01227635050.0108978580.0110363331.01270651.4E-4
7.22.2717244E-51.9542116E-51.2953997E-46.62875841.1E-49.735599E-58.3749255E-52.1373837E-42.55212261.3E-40.00118466460.00101917250.00115902981.13722631.4E-40.011783690.0104953220.0106338521.01319931.4E-4
7.32.1016205E-51.8383771E-51.2838175E-46.98342851.1E-49.006634E-57.878522E-52.0877497E-42.64992571.3E-40.0010960069.5879E-40.00109865571.14587741.4E-40.0109061630.0098909010.0100295161.01401451.4E-4
7.42.0683625E-51.8186302E-51.281843E-47.04839851.1E-48.86411E-57.7938974E-52.0792884E-42.66784171.3E-40.0010786719.48496E-40.00108836321.14746211.4E-40.0107345010.00978762750.0099262581.01416371.4E-4
7.51.9993966E-51.7781347E-51.2777939E-47.18614771.1E-48.568561E-57.6203556E-52.0619365E-42.7058271.3E-40.0010427239.2738547E-40.00106725561.1508221.4E-40.0103784380.0095745480.0097132081.01448211.4E-4
7.61.788966E-51.6434618E-51.2643282E-47.6930791.1E-47.666772E-57.043219E-52.0042303E-42.8456171.3E-49.3302975E-48.5717626E-49.970563E-41.1631871.4E-40.009291220.0088664150.0090051741.01564991.4E-4
7.71.5125781E-51.4236738E-51.2423517E-48.7263791.1E-46.4823165E-56.101317E-51.9100524E-43.13055751.3E-47.889362E-47.4258295E-48.82479E-41.18839111.4E-40.0078614120.0077141610.0078530811.01800851.4E-4
7.81.250089E-51.262994E-51.2262855E-49.7093531.1E-45.3574146E-55.4127195E-51.8412016E-43.40162011.3E-46.5207E-46.588E-47.8871433E-41.19719851.3E-40.0065015990.0068677590.00699686631.01879911.3E-4
7.99.561E-69.754065E-61.1975299E-412.277241.1E-44.0975072E-54.180247E-51.7179703E-44.1097341.3E-44.987573E-45.0882675E-46.387606E-41.25535961.3E-40.00497639370.00535236070.00548166461.02415841.3E-4
8.08.01699E-68.292994E-61.1829208E-414.2640991.1E-43.4358076E-53.554092E-51.655363E-44.65762571.3E-44.1822926E-44.3262533E-45.6256907E-41.30036091.3E-40.00417443040.00457331860.00470272451.02829581.3E-4
8.16.541947E-66.461784E-61.06461135E-416.4755021.0E-42.8036617E-52.7693068E-51.3769002E-44.9720031.1E-43.4129233E-43.3711144E-44.4707436E-41.32619151.1E-40.00340768650.00358057560.00369018151.03061131.1E-4
8.21.7968189E-67.9684827E-77.9684827E-71.00.07.70063E-63.4150596E-63.4150596E-61.00.09.3751136E-54.157758E-54.157758E-51.00.09.371159E-44.7107413E-44.7107413E-41.00.0
8.31.5167889E-74.8951257E-84.8951257E-81.00.06.500522E-72.0979108E-72.0979108E-71.00.07.9143565E-62.5542038E-62.5542038E-61.00.07.914075E-52.9679897E-52.9679897E-51.00.0

Tin Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.083776E-64.1815365E-66.418129E-515.3487326.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-57.791969E-54.34801056.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.981498E-41.36661118.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00228965651.05035111.1E-4
6.14.083776E-64.1815365E-66.418129E-515.3487326.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-57.791969E-54.34801056.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.981498E-41.36661118.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00228965651.05035111.1E-4
6.24.083776E-64.1815365E-66.418129E-515.3487326.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-57.791969E-54.34801056.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.981498E-41.36661118.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00228965651.05035111.1E-4
6.34.083776E-64.1815365E-66.418129E-515.3487326.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-57.791969E-54.34801056.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.981498E-41.36661118.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00228965651.05035111.1E-4
6.44.083776E-64.1815365E-66.418129E-515.3487326.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-57.791969E-54.34801056.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.981498E-41.36661118.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00228965651.05035111.1E-4
6.52.3143427E-62.3731573E-64.2373063E-517.8551454.0E-59.9185745E-61.0170638E-55.017023E-54.932854.0E-51.2075195E-41.2382126E-41.7381506E-41.40375795.0E-50.00120686360.00123759860.00128753671.04035085.0E-5
6.62.3143427E-62.3731573E-64.2373063E-517.8551454.0E-59.9185745E-61.0170638E-55.017023E-54.932854.0E-51.2075195E-41.2382126E-41.7381506E-41.40375795.0E-50.00120686360.00123759860.00128753671.04035085.0E-5
6.71.7029532E-61.7497915E-63.174974E-518.144873.0E-57.2983503E-67.499088E-63.7498863E-55.00045633.0E-58.885379E-59.1298105E-51.3129445E-41.43808524.0E-58.881827E-49.1265864E-49.526221E-41.0437884.0E-5
6.81.2914646E-61.3299378E-62.1329912E-516.0382772.0E-55.534837E-65.6997237E-62.569961E-54.5089222.0E-56.738455E-56.939237E-58.939098E-51.28819612.0E-56.736412E-46.9375033E-47.1373646E-41.02880882.0E-5
6.95.8708974E-76.1169936E-76.1169936E-71.00.02.5160964E-62.6215664E-62.6215664E-61.00.03.0633044E-53.1917145E-53.1917145E-51.00.03.0628822E-43.191297E-43.191297E-41.00.0
7.04.6248786E-74.832015E-74.832015E-71.00.01.9820893E-62.0708624E-62.0708624E-61.00.02.413167E-52.5212494E-52.5212494E-51.00.02.412905E-42.5210003E-42.5210003E-41.00.0
7.13.804606E-73.987147E-73.987147E-71.00.01.6305444E-61.7087764E-61.7087764E-61.00.01.9851697E-52.0804187E-52.0804187E-51.00.01.9849923E-42.0802575E-42.0802575E-41.00.0
7.23.5864858E-73.7616863E-73.7616863E-71.00.01.5370645E-61.6121504E-61.6121504E-61.00.01.87136E-51.9627789E-51.9627789E-51.00.01.8712023E-41.9626386E-41.9626386E-41.00.0
7.33.342063E-73.506347E-73.506347E-71.00.01.4323119E-61.5027196E-61.5027196E-61.00.01.7438259E-51.829549E-51.829549E-51.00.01.743689E-41.8294314E-41.8294314E-41.00.0
7.42.971242E-73.1165817E-73.1165817E-71.00.01.2733886E-61.3356774E-61.3356774E-61.00.01.5503398E-51.6261785E-51.6261785E-51.00.01.5502315E-41.6260923E-41.6260923E-41.00.0
7.51.4326713E-71.5012525E-71.5012525E-71.00.06.140018E-76.433939E-76.433939E-71.00.07.4754466E-67.8333205E-67.8333205E-61.00.07.475195E-57.833321E-57.833321E-51.00.0

San Diego Trough south

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.279495E-51.0425541E-41.6424916E-41.57544976.0E-53.5478722E-44.4673498E-45.167037E-41.15662247.0E-50.0043109820.00542591330.0055154251.0164979.0E-50.0422830540.052993030.05309721.00196581.1E-4
6.14.6961468E-55.773024E-59.7727934E-51.69283774.0E-52.0124791E-42.473905E-42.873806E-41.16164774.0E-50.002447440.0030078860.00306770551.01988766.0E-50.0242066030.0296796360.0297378541.00196166.0E-5
6.23.5079658E-54.214258E-57.2141316E-51.71183913.0E-51.5033272E-41.8059829E-42.1059287E-41.16608453.0E-50.00182876420.0021965870.00224647721.02271265.0E-50.0181378760.0217511880.0218000991.00224885.0E-5
6.33.5079658E-54.214258E-57.2141316E-51.71183913.0E-51.5033272E-41.8059829E-42.1059287E-41.16608453.0E-50.00182876420.0021965870.00224647721.02271265.0E-50.0181378760.0217511880.0218000991.00224885.0E-5
6.42.7196904E-53.208715E-56.208619E-51.93492363.0E-51.16552954E-41.3750911E-41.6750499E-41.21813743.0E-50.00141810850.00167289950.00172281581.02983825.0E-50.0140909290.0166046660.0166538361.00296125.0E-5
6.52.5584688E-53.0101632E-56.010073E-51.99659373.0E-51.0964406E-41.2900059E-41.5899673E-41.2325273.0E-50.00133409890.00156946270.00161938421.0318085.0E-50.0132611810.0155853320.0156345541.00315815.0E-5
6.62.2034688E-52.574271E-55.5741937E-52.16534853.0E-59.443096E-51.1032127E-41.4031796E-41.2719033.0E-50.00114909050.00134234120.0013922741.03719835.0E-50.0114316680.0133433250.0133926571.00369725.0E-5
6.71.9394853E-52.254176E-54.254131E-51.88722222.0E-58.311815E-59.6604E-51.1660207E-41.20701072.0E-50.00101149360.00117552430.00121547741.03398744.0E-50.010069020.0116937660.0117332981.00338074.0E-5
6.81.7615313E-52.0403182E-54.0402774E-51.98021922.0E-57.549201E-58.743931E-51.07437554E-41.228712.0E-59.1872766E-40.00106405790.00110401541.03755194.0E-50.0091493870.0105901980.0106297751.00373714.0E-5
6.91.5621423E-51.8026114E-53.8025755E-52.10948132.0E-56.6947236E-57.725251E-59.7250966E-51.25887132.0E-58.147778E-49.40147E-49.801094E-41.04250664.0E-50.0081179690.0093621420.00940176751.00423254.0E-5
7.01.3444376E-51.544809E-53.544778E-52.29463862.0E-55.7617483E-56.620443E-58.620311E-51.30207462.0E-57.0126704E-48.057436E-48.457114E-41.04960364.0E-50.0069905820.0080285550.0080682341.00494224.0E-5
7.11.2268361E-51.407303E-53.407275E-52.4211382.0E-55.2577634E-56.0311606E-58.03104E-51.33159112.0E-56.399447E-47.3404907E-47.740197E-41.05445234.0E-50.00638104930.00731654930.00735625621.0054274.0E-5
7.21.0922655E-51.2513563E-53.251331E-52.59824592.0E-54.681054E-55.3628468E-57.3627394E-51.37291622.0E-55.697693E-46.5273355E-46.927074E-41.06124084.0E-50.00568310640.00650844350.00654818351.00610594.0E-5
7.36.1106753E-66.928925E-61.6928856E-52.44321541.0E-52.6188345E-52.9695057E-53.9694758E-51.33674631.0E-53.1879646E-43.6147775E-43.914669E-41.08296263.0E-50.00318339510.0036089430.00363883471.00828273.0E-5
7.44.933187E-65.5895525E-65.5895525E-61.00.02.114206E-52.3955008E-52.3955008E-51.00.02.5737417E-42.9161357E-43.0161065E-41.0342821.0E-50.0025707630.00291235050.00292232121.00342371.0E-5
7.51.7489613E-61.969678E-61.969678E-61.00.07.495527E-68.4414505E-68.4414505E-61.00.09.125422E-51.02770035E-41.1276901E-41.09729461.0E-59.1216754E-40.00102724720.00103723691.00972471.0E-5
7.61.6988751E-71.7533823E-71.7533823E-71.00.07.2808916E-77.5144936E-77.5144936E-71.00.08.864449E-69.14886E-69.14886E-61.00.08.8640954E-59.1485024E-59.1485024E-51.00.0

Kern Canyon (South Kern) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.105075E-64.113726E-65.411352E-513.1543825.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-57.762908E-54.4032036.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-43.2460282E-41.51240841.1E-40.00213968130.00214425540.00225401951.05118991.1E-4
6.14.105075E-64.113726E-65.411352E-513.1543825.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-57.762908E-54.4032036.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-43.2460282E-41.51240841.1E-40.00213968130.00214425540.00225401951.05118991.1E-4
6.24.105075E-64.113726E-65.411352E-513.1543825.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-57.762908E-54.4032036.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-43.2460282E-41.51240841.1E-40.00213968130.00214425540.00225401951.05118991.1E-4
6.34.105075E-64.113726E-65.411352E-513.1543825.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-57.762908E-54.4032036.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-43.2460282E-41.51240841.1E-40.00213968130.00214425540.00225401951.05118991.1E-4
6.44.105075E-64.113726E-65.411352E-513.1543825.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-57.762908E-54.4032036.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-43.2460282E-41.51240841.1E-40.00213968130.00214425540.00225401951.05118991.1E-4
6.52.9849807E-62.973154E-64.2973035E-514.4536864.0E-51.2792712E-51.2742028E-55.2741518E-54.1391784.0E-51.5574014E-41.551233E-42.3511089E-41.51563888.0E-50.00155631030.00155016540.00163004131.05152748.0E-5
6.62.9849807E-62.973154E-64.2973035E-514.4536864.0E-51.2792712E-51.2742028E-55.2741518E-54.1391784.0E-51.5574014E-41.551233E-42.3511089E-41.51563888.0E-50.00155631030.00155016540.00163004131.05152748.0E-5
6.72.6756725E-62.6582202E-64.2658114E-516.0476234.0E-51.1467117E-51.1392323E-55.1391868E-54.51109654.0E-51.396032E-41.386928E-42.0868311E-41.50464257.0E-50.00139515530.00138607340.00145597641.05043237.0E-5
6.82.3283721E-62.3047783E-63.230471E-514.0164073.0E-59.9787E-69.877584E-63.9877286E-54.037153.0E-51.214839E-41.2025302E-41.8024581E-41.4988886.0E-50.0012141750.0012018870.00126181481.04986166.0E-5
6.92.0972677E-62.0696405E-63.206958E-515.4952413.0E-58.988259E-68.869858E-63.886959E-54.3822113.0E-51.0942656E-41.0798523E-41.6797875E-41.55557166.0E-50.00109372680.00107933340.00113926861.05552986.0E-5
7.01.7132242E-61.6787029E-61.1678686E-56.956971.0E-57.3423685E-67.1944214E-61.719435E-52.38995581.0E-58.938967E-58.75886E-51.275851E-41.45664054.0E-58.935372E-48.755446E-49.155096E-41.04564584.0E-5
7.11.4215541E-61.3815746E-61.138156E-58.2381081.0E-56.0923603E-65.9210206E-61.5920961E-52.6888881.0E-57.417196E-57.208607E-51.1208319E-41.55485224.0E-57.414721E-47.206296E-47.606007E-41.0554674.0E-5
7.29.097853E-78.60377E-71.0860368E-512.6228031.0E-53.899074E-63.6873246E-61.3687288E-53.71198341.0E-54.7470192E-54.4892266E-55.4891814E-51.22274551.0E-54.7460053E-44.4883305E-44.5882855E-41.022271.0E-5
7.36.144169E-75.628199E-71.0562814E-518.7676641.0E-52.6332125E-62.4120832E-61.2412059E-55.14578441.0E-53.205889E-52.9366722E-53.9366427E-51.34051161.0E-53.2054266E-42.9362892E-43.0362597E-41.03404661.0E-5
7.44.049844E-73.5728252E-71.0357279E-528.9890461.0E-51.7356463E-61.5312098E-61.1531194E-57.53077361.0E-52.1131287E-51.8642324E-52.8642136E-51.53640381.0E-52.1129279E-41.8640784E-41.9640598E-41.05363581.0E-5
7.51.9871162E-71.5830383E-71.5830383E-71.00.08.5162094E-76.784448E-76.784448E-71.00.01.0368436E-58.260035E-68.260035E-61.00.01.0367952E-48.259736E-58.259736E-51.00.0
7.62.572245E-81.735264E-81.735264E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436845E-87.436845E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.0543557E-79.0543557E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054324E-69.054324E-61.00.0

San Juan

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.682808E-68.74917E-68.874847E-510.1436458.0E-53.72115E-53.749593E-51.2749256E-43.40017069.0E-54.5295584E-44.5642213E-45.563765E-41.21899551.0E-40.0045203370.0045553890.0046549331.0218521.0E-4
6.18.682808E-68.74917E-68.874847E-510.1436458.0E-53.72115E-53.749593E-51.2749256E-43.40017069.0E-54.5295584E-44.5642213E-45.563765E-41.21899551.0E-40.0045203370.0045553890.0046549331.0218521.0E-4
6.28.682808E-68.74917E-68.874847E-510.1436458.0E-53.72115E-53.749593E-51.2749256E-43.40017069.0E-54.5295584E-44.5642213E-45.563765E-41.21899551.0E-40.0045203370.0045553890.0046549331.0218521.0E-4
6.36.3054235E-66.282591E-68.628209E-513.733528.0E-52.7022963E-52.692512E-51.0692297E-43.9711238.0E-53.2895492E-43.2776545E-44.1773592E-41.27449669.0E-50.0032846840.00327302050.0033627261.02740759.0E-5
6.46.1490473E-66.1144706E-68.611398E-514.0836368.0E-52.6352795E-52.6204618E-51.0620252E-44.0528178.0E-53.2079802E-43.189959E-44.089672E-41.28204529.0E-50.00320335340.00318557680.00327529011.02816249.0E-5
6.55.204848E-65.137238E-66.513693E-512.6793686.0E-52.23063E-52.2016555E-58.2015235E-53.7251626.0E-52.7154534E-42.6801953E-43.3800077E-41.2611057.0E-50.00271213780.00267711720.00274692991.02607757.0E-5
6.64.5179986E-64.415036E-65.4414817E-512.3248855.0E-51.9362706E-51.892145E-56.8920504E-53.64245345.0E-52.3571544E-42.303451E-42.8033357E-41.21701565.0E-50.00235465590.00230120080.0023510861.02167775.0E-5
6.73.9442616E-63.8198336E-64.381968E-511.4716214.0E-51.6903869E-51.6370615E-55.636996E-53.44336224.0E-52.0578515E-41.9929469E-42.3928672E-41.20066794.0E-50.0020559470.0019912850.00203120521.02004754.0E-5
6.83.4536245E-63.3163408E-64.331621E-513.0614474.0E-51.4801163E-51.4212815E-55.4212247E-53.81432154.0E-51.8018926E-41.7302789E-42.1302098E-41.23113664.0E-50.00180043220.0017290510.00176898181.0230944.0E-5
6.93.059865E-62.9120363E-63.291195E-511.3020393.0E-51.3113641E-51.2480099E-54.2479725E-53.40379713.0E-51.596469E-41.5193518E-41.8193062E-41.19742263.0E-50.00159532240.00151842810.00154838261.01972723.0E-5
7.02.6504351E-62.492005E-63.249193E-513.0384693.0E-51.1358958E-51.0679981E-54.067966E-53.80896383.0E-51.3828653E-41.3002155E-41.6001765E-41.2307013.0E-50.00138200520.0012995670.0013295281.02305463.0E-5
7.12.2039317E-62.0338366E-62.2033795E-510.83361152.0E-59.445387E-68.716416E-62.8716242E-53.29450082.0E-51.1499152E-41.0611773E-41.2611561E-41.18844992.0E-50.00114932030.00106078110.00108075981.0188342.0E-5
7.21.0786707E-68.770239E-78.770239E-71.00.04.622866E-63.7586685E-63.7586685E-61.00.05.628194E-54.576084E-54.576084E-51.00.05.6267687E-44.5757365E-44.5757365E-41.00.0
7.36.846433E-74.868812E-74.868812E-71.00.02.9341822E-62.086632E-62.086632E-61.00.03.5723086E-52.5404452E-52.5404452E-51.00.03.571734E-42.5405022E-42.5405022E-41.00.0
7.45.23043E-73.2627884E-73.2627884E-71.00.02.2416111E-61.3983371E-61.3983371E-61.00.02.7291273E-51.7024622E-51.7024622E-51.00.02.7287923E-41.7026608E-41.7026608E-41.00.0
7.54.648444E-72.723464E-72.723464E-71.00.01.9921886E-61.1671983E-61.1671983E-61.00.02.4254627E-51.4210547E-51.4210547E-51.00.02.425198E-41.4212691E-41.4212691E-41.00.0
7.63.9906567E-72.2083036E-72.2083036E-71.00.01.7102802E-69.4641547E-79.4641547E-71.00.02.0822463E-51.1522548E-51.1522548E-51.00.02.0820512E-41.15244526E-41.15244526E-41.00.0
7.71.8784601E-75.366277E-85.366277E-81.00.08.0505407E-72.2998329E-72.2998329E-71.00.09.80149E-62.800043E-62.800043E-61.00.09.801057E-52.8008939E-52.8008939E-51.00.0
7.81.00154914E-71.2412917E-81.2412917E-81.00.04.2923529E-75.3198217E-85.3198217E-81.00.05.225927E-66.476881E-76.476881E-71.00.05.225804E-56.4827886E-66.4827886E-61.00.0
7.96.171429E-84.2946513E-94.2946513E-91.00.02.6448978E-71.8405647E-81.8405647E-81.00.03.2201583E-62.2408874E-72.2408874E-71.00.03.2201115E-52.2462114E-62.2462114E-61.00.0
8.01.3974572E-83.3737857E-103.3737857E-101.00.05.989102E-81.4459075E-91.4459075E-91.00.07.2917294E-71.760392E-81.760392E-81.00.07.2917055E-61.8038004E-71.8038004E-71.00.0
8.11.8403477E-91.1291601E-101.1291601E-101.00.07.887204E-94.839261E-104.839261E-101.00.09.602671E-85.8917977E-95.8917977E-91.00.09.602667E-76.0206084E-86.0206084E-81.00.0

Newport-Inglewood alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9668912E-53.0404828E-59.0403E-52.97331076.0E-51.2714628E-41.3030265E-42.0029352E-41.53714087.0E-50.00154690680.00158576540.00166563851.05036888.0E-50.0153618290.015792110.0158905311.00623231.0E-4
6.12.9668912E-53.0404828E-59.0403E-52.97331076.0E-51.2714628E-41.3030265E-42.0029352E-41.53714087.0E-50.00154690680.00158576540.00166563851.05036888.0E-50.0153618290.015792110.0158905311.00623231.0E-4
6.22.9668912E-53.0404828E-59.0403E-52.97331076.0E-51.2714628E-41.3030265E-42.0029352E-41.53714087.0E-50.00154690680.00158576540.00166563851.05036888.0E-50.0153618290.015792110.0158905311.00623231.0E-4
6.32.9668912E-53.0404828E-59.0403E-52.97331076.0E-51.2714628E-41.3030265E-42.0029352E-41.53714087.0E-50.00154690680.00158576540.00166563851.05036888.0E-50.0153618290.015792110.0158905311.00623231.0E-4
6.41.275942E-51.02725335E-53.0272327E-52.94691942.0E-55.4682085E-54.4024422E-57.4023104E-51.681413.0E-56.65551E-45.358697E-45.758483E-41.0746054.0E-50.00663561230.00534620.00539593261.00930245.0E-5
6.51.275942E-51.02725335E-53.0272327E-52.94691942.0E-55.4682085E-54.4024422E-57.4023104E-51.681413.0E-56.65551E-45.358697E-45.758483E-41.0746054.0E-50.00663561230.00534620.00539593261.00930245.0E-5
6.61.1255358E-58.661911E-62.8661738E-53.30893922.0E-54.8236358E-53.7121958E-55.7121215E-51.53874472.0E-55.871194E-44.5186782E-44.8185425E-41.06636113.0E-50.0058557060.00450966740.0045494871.00882984.0E-5
6.71.0504745E-57.8998455E-62.7899687E-53.5316752.0E-54.5019555E-53.385605E-55.3855372E-51.59071642.0E-55.4797524E-44.121207E-44.421083E-41.07276423.0E-50.00546625960.0041136940.00415352961.00968364.0E-5
6.81.0476007E-57.881227E-62.788107E-53.53765582.0E-54.4896402E-53.3776258E-55.377558E-51.5921122.0E-55.464766E-44.1114958E-44.4113724E-41.07293623.0E-50.0054513470.0041040190.00414385461.00970654.0E-5
6.99.076797E-66.4896567E-62.6489526E-54.0818072.0E-53.889998E-52.7812519E-54.7811962E-51.71908062.0E-54.7350433E-43.3856515E-43.68555E-41.08857933.0E-50.0047249670.0033805310.00342039581.01179244.0E-5
7.08.73795E-66.2120503E-62.6211927E-54.2195292.0E-53.7447822E-52.6622802E-54.662227E-51.75121572.0E-54.5583185E-43.2408469E-43.440782E-41.06169222.0E-50.00454897950.00323615220.00326605511.00924033.0E-5
7.18.391299E-65.9557533E-62.5955635E-54.35807752.0E-53.5962214E-52.5524409E-54.55239E-51.78354372.0E-54.37752E-43.1071564E-43.3070942E-41.06434752.0E-50.0043689070.00310284160.00313274841.00963853.0E-5
7.27.796882E-65.4964826E-62.5496372E-54.63867042.0E-53.341478E-52.3556144E-54.3555672E-51.84901552.0E-54.06749E-42.867585E-43.0675277E-41.0697252.0E-50.00406005330.0028639090.0028938231.01044523.0E-5
7.36.4738833E-64.6477753E-62.4647683E-55.3031142.0E-52.774492E-51.9918885E-53.9918486E-52.00405222.0E-53.3774204E-42.424856E-42.6248075E-41.08245912.0E-50.00337229180.00242222680.00245215421.01235533.0E-5
7.45.382145E-63.8857215E-61.3885683E-53.57351451.0E-52.3066134E-51.6652988E-52.665282E-51.60048281.0E-52.8079396E-42.0273139E-42.1272937E-41.04931641.0E-50.00280439430.0020254790.00204543861.00985422.0E-5
7.53.648244E-62.5737634E-62.5737634E-61.00.01.5635238E-51.1030369E-51.1030369E-51.00.01.9034238E-41.3428657E-41.3428657E-41.00.00.00190179430.00134206460.00135205131.00744121.0E-5
7.62.2906888E-61.547986E-61.547986E-61.00.09.817201E-66.634209E-66.634209E-61.00.01.1951787E-48.076857E-58.076857E-51.00.00.00119453618.073989E-48.073989E-41.00.0
7.76.0479874E-73.397468E-73.397468E-71.00.02.5919921E-61.456057E-61.456057E-61.00.03.1557047E-51.7727363E-51.7727363E-51.00.03.1552566E-41.7726087E-41.7726087E-41.00.0
7.81.16056995E-89.782997E-99.782997E-91.00.04.9738713E-84.1927127E-84.1927127E-81.00.06.0556863E-75.1046277E-75.1046277E-71.00.06.05567E-65.1046277E-65.1046277E-61.00.0

Cucamonga

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1848348E-51.1737109E-55.173664E-54.4079544.0E-55.0777642E-55.0300943E-51.0029843E-41.99396725.0E-56.180424E-46.122446E-46.921956E-41.13058678.0E-50.00616326370.0061067450.00620613431.01627531.0E-4
6.11.1848348E-51.1737109E-55.173664E-54.4079544.0E-55.0777642E-55.0300943E-51.0029843E-41.99396725.0E-56.180424E-46.122446E-46.921956E-41.13058678.0E-50.00616326370.0061067450.00620613431.01627531.0E-4
6.21.1848348E-51.1737109E-55.173664E-54.4079544.0E-55.0777642E-55.0300943E-51.0029843E-41.99396725.0E-56.180424E-46.122446E-46.921956E-41.13058678.0E-50.00616326370.0061067450.00620613431.01627531.0E-4
6.31.1848348E-51.1737109E-55.173664E-54.4079544.0E-55.0777642E-55.0300943E-51.0029843E-41.99396725.0E-56.180424E-46.122446E-46.921956E-41.13058678.0E-50.00616326370.0061067450.00620613431.01627531.0E-4
6.41.1848348E-51.1737109E-55.173664E-54.4079544.0E-55.0777642E-55.0300943E-51.0029843E-41.99396725.0E-56.180424E-46.122446E-46.921956E-41.13058678.0E-50.00616326370.0061067450.00620613431.01627531.0E-4
6.51.16988695E-51.157614E-54.1575793E-53.59150743.0E-55.013705E-54.9611102E-58.9609115E-51.80623114.0E-56.102476E-46.0385047E-46.7380816E-41.11585277.0E-50.0060857450.00602325940.0061127171.0148529.0E-5
6.61.16988695E-51.157614E-54.1575793E-53.59150743.0E-55.013705E-54.9611102E-58.9609115E-51.80623114.0E-56.102476E-46.0385047E-46.7380816E-41.11585277.0E-50.0060857450.00602325940.0061127171.0148529.0E-5
6.71.1397107E-51.1115039E-54.1114705E-53.69901593.0E-54.884383E-54.7635025E-57.7633595E-51.62975873.0E-55.9451134E-45.798046E-46.3976983E-41.10342316.0E-50.0059292340.0057840610.0058635981.01375118.0E-5
6.81.058387E-59.785037E-62.9784842E-53.0439172.0E-54.5358654E-54.1935207E-56.193437E-51.47690622.0E-55.521017E-45.1044265E-45.6041713E-41.09790425.0E-50.005507320.0050937020.00516334551.01367257.0E-5
6.99.690046E-68.579504E-61.8579418E-52.16555861.0E-54.1528107E-53.6768783E-54.6768415E-51.27195981.0E-55.054874E-44.475684E-44.8755048E-41.08933194.0E-50.0050433910.00446759540.0045273271.013376.0E-5
7.09.381461E-68.18712E-61.8187038E-52.22142081.0E-54.020564E-53.508719E-54.5086836E-51.28499441.0E-54.893937E-44.2710314E-44.5709033E-41.07021073.0E-50.00488317340.0042637470.0043135341.01167685.0E-5
7.18.946492E-67.781904E-61.7781826E-52.28502251.0E-53.8341543E-53.3350592E-54.335026E-51.29983471.0E-54.667083E-44.0596814E-44.3595597E-41.07386743.0E-50.00465729370.00405319270.004102991.0122865.0E-5
7.28.251016E-66.9752878E-61.6975218E-52.43362261.0E-53.5361016E-52.9893748E-53.989345E-51.33450811.0E-54.3043532E-43.6389584E-43.8388858E-41.05494082.0E-50.00429602530.00363392520.00367377981.01096744.0E-5
7.37.717881E-66.4863584E-61.6486294E-52.5416871.0E-53.3076216E-52.7798384E-53.7798105E-51.35972311.0E-54.026285E-43.38393E-43.5838623E-41.05908292.0E-50.0040189980.00337971030.0034195751.01179534.0E-5
7.47.275623E-66.032004E-66.032004E-61.00.03.118087E-52.5851192E-52.5851192E-51.00.03.7956095E-43.1469302E-43.2468987E-41.0317671.0E-50.00378913320.00314340460.00317331031.00951373.0E-5
7.56.5109502E-65.100593E-65.100593E-61.00.02.7903774E-52.1859503E-52.1859503E-51.00.03.3967546E-42.661071E-42.7610443E-41.03756881.0E-50.00339156740.00265880160.00267874851.00750222.0E-5
7.65.4495326E-63.908547E-63.908547E-61.00.02.335493E-51.6750808E-51.6750808E-51.00.02.8430918E-42.0392207E-42.1392004E-41.04902841.0E-50.00283945720.00203826160.00205822081.00979232.0E-5
7.74.7997164E-63.2002263E-63.2002263E-61.00.02.057005E-51.3715184E-51.3715184E-51.00.02.504116E-41.6696959E-41.6696959E-41.00.00.0025012960.00166937010.00167935341.00598031.0E-5
7.83.3941733E-62.0641678E-62.0641678E-61.00.01.4546376E-58.846404E-68.846404E-61.00.01.7708774E-41.07699656E-41.07699656E-41.00.00.00176946680.00107660320.00108659241.00927841.0E-5
7.99.750552E-75.155798E-75.155798E-71.00.04.178801E-62.2096258E-62.2096258E-61.00.05.0875715E-52.6901867E-52.6901867E-51.00.05.086407E-42.689865E-42.7898382E-41.03716661.0E-5
8.01.133857E-76.053372E-86.053372E-81.00.04.8593864E-72.594302E-72.594302E-71.00.05.9162867E-63.1585582E-63.1585582E-61.00.05.916129E-53.158515E-53.158515E-51.00.0

Cleghorn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.9267165E-69.831764E-67.983108E-58.119717.0E-53.39712E-54.2135514E-51.2213214E-42.8985568.0E-54.1352084E-45.1288976E-46.028436E-41.17538639.0E-50.0041275220.0051322140.0052317011.01938471.0E-4
6.17.9267165E-69.831764E-67.983108E-58.119717.0E-53.39712E-54.2135514E-51.2213214E-42.8985568.0E-54.1352084E-45.1288976E-46.028436E-41.17538639.0E-50.0041275220.0051322140.0052317011.01938471.0E-4
6.27.9267165E-69.831764E-67.983108E-58.119717.0E-53.39712E-54.2135514E-51.2213214E-42.8985568.0E-54.1352084E-45.1288976E-46.028436E-41.17538639.0E-50.0041275220.0051322140.0052317011.01938471.0E-4
6.37.9267165E-69.831764E-67.983108E-58.119717.0E-53.39712E-54.2135514E-51.2213214E-42.8985568.0E-54.1352084E-45.1288976E-46.028436E-41.17538639.0E-50.0041275220.0051322140.0052317011.01938471.0E-4
6.44.3445207E-66.0916254E-63.6091442E-55.9247643.0E-51.8619241E-52.6106709E-56.610566E-52.5321334.0E-52.2666567E-43.1780385E-43.6778796E-41.15727975.0E-50.00226434620.00318772460.00324753351.01876226.0E-5
6.54.3445207E-66.0916254E-63.6091442E-55.9247643.0E-51.8619241E-52.6106709E-56.610566E-52.5321334.0E-52.2666567E-43.1780385E-43.6778796E-41.15727975.0E-50.00226434620.00318772460.00324753351.01876226.0E-5
6.64.040109E-65.774033E-61.5773976E-52.73188161.0E-51.7314638E-52.4745626E-54.474513E-51.80820362.0E-52.1078532E-43.0123728E-43.2123126E-41.06637292.0E-50.0021058550.00302251430.00305242371.00989563.0E-5
6.73.3632055E-65.06753E-61.5067479E-52.97333811.0E-51.4413658E-52.1717806E-54.1717372E-51.92088332.0E-51.7547216E-42.643825E-42.8437722E-41.07562792.0E-50.00175333660.00265484860.0026847691.011273.0E-5
6.83.2902772E-64.9894375E-61.4989388E-53.0042241.0E-51.4101111E-52.138313E-54.1382704E-51.93529682.0E-51.716675E-42.6030882E-42.8030362E-41.07681182.0E-50.00171534950.00261420760.0026441291.01144583.0E-5
6.93.031547E-64.6911987E-64.6911987E-61.00.01.299228E-52.0104984E-53.0104784E-51.49737911.0E-51.5816953E-42.4475096E-42.547485E-41.04084791.0E-50.001580570.00245898050.00247893131.00811352.0E-5
7.02.8259715E-64.3707637E-64.3707637E-61.00.01.211125E-51.8731711E-52.8731525E-51.5338441.0E-51.4744449E-42.2803496E-42.3803268E-41.04384291.0E-50.0014734670.00229217480.0023121291.00870542.0E-5
7.12.5962665E-64.065983E-64.065983E-61.00.01.1126809E-51.7425526E-52.7425353E-51.57386081.0E-51.3546048E-42.1213535E-42.2213323E-41.04712981.0E-50.00135377930.00213349590.00215345321.00935422.0E-5
7.22.3247253E-63.6765352E-63.6765352E-61.00.09.96307E-61.5756486E-51.5756486E-51.00.01.21293626E-41.9181852E-41.9181852E-41.00.00.00121227440.00193071660.00194069721.00516941.0E-5
7.32.056928E-63.235253E-63.235253E-61.00.08.815376E-61.3865297E-51.3865297E-51.00.01.0732192E-41.6879707E-41.6879707E-41.00.00.0010727010.00170094230.00171092531.00586921.0E-5
7.41.8055999E-62.8256538E-62.8256538E-61.00.07.738263E-61.210989E-51.210989E-51.00.09.4209274E-51.4742807E-41.4742807E-41.00.09.4169343E-40.00148767050.00149765551.0067121.0E-5
7.51.4683443E-62.4248943E-62.4248943E-61.00.06.292889E-61.0392363E-51.0392363E-51.00.07.661323E-51.2651978E-41.2651978E-41.00.07.658682E-40.00127888120.00128886851.00780931.0E-5
7.69.804088E-71.9004091E-61.9004091E-61.00.04.201745E-68.144585E-68.144585E-61.00.05.1155046E-59.915586E-59.915586E-51.00.05.114327E-40.00100555830.00101554821.00993481.0E-5
7.77.3434086E-71.6285549E-61.6285549E-61.00.03.1471714E-66.9795024E-66.9795024E-61.00.03.831614E-58.4972155E-58.4972155E-51.00.03.8309532E-48.6387293E-48.738643E-41.01156581.0E-5
7.86.434184E-71.5221389E-61.5221389E-61.00.02.7575045E-66.523436E-66.523436E-61.00.03.35721E-57.9419966E-57.9419966E-51.00.03.3567028E-48.080443E-48.180362E-41.01236561.0E-5
7.93.4943926E-77.5750586E-77.5750586E-71.00.01.497596E-63.2464498E-63.2464498E-61.00.01.8233079E-53.9524817E-53.9524817E-51.00.01.8231584E-44.0401975E-44.140157E-41.02474131.0E-5
8.06.717524E-85.837515E-85.837515E-81.00.02.8789387E-72.501792E-72.501792E-71.00.03.505102E-63.0459275E-63.0459275E-61.00.03.5050467E-53.2751934E-53.2751934E-51.00.0
8.13.1984914E-81.2949885E-81.2949885E-81.00.01.370782E-75.549951E-85.549951E-81.00.01.6689258E-66.757063E-76.757063E-71.00.01.6689133E-57.741151E-67.741151E-61.00.0
8.21.21887656E-83.6471115E-93.6471115E-91.00.05.2237567E-81.563048E-81.563048E-81.00.06.359922E-71.9030107E-71.9030107E-71.00.06.3599036E-62.245849E-62.245849E-61.00.0

Monterey Bay-Tularcitos

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0131365E-53.279877E-57.279746E-52.2195184.0E-51.2912804E-41.4055918E-42.0055076E-41.42680646.0E-50.0015710.00171007030.00178993341.04670178.0E-50.0155994020.0169799160.0170683881.00521049.0E-5
6.13.0131365E-53.279877E-57.279746E-52.2195184.0E-51.2912804E-41.4055918E-42.0055076E-41.42680646.0E-50.0015710.00171007030.00178993341.04670178.0E-50.0155994020.0169799160.0170683881.00521049.0E-5
6.23.0131365E-53.279877E-57.279746E-52.2195184.0E-51.2912804E-41.4055918E-42.0055076E-41.42680646.0E-50.0015710.00171007030.00178993341.04670178.0E-50.0155994020.0169799160.0170683881.00521049.0E-5
6.31.6998249E-51.8330798E-53.8330432E-52.091042.0E-57.28476E-57.85583E-51.0855595E-41.3818523.0E-58.865586E-49.5604634E-49.96008E-41.0417994.0E-50.00883030050.0095212580.0095707821.00520155.0E-5
6.41.6998249E-51.8330798E-53.8330432E-52.091042.0E-57.28476E-57.85583E-51.0855595E-41.3818523.0E-58.865586E-49.5604634E-49.96008E-41.0417994.0E-50.00883030050.0095212580.0095707821.00520155.0E-5
6.51.27470785E-51.3693312E-52.3693176E-51.73027351.0E-55.4629192E-55.8684363E-57.868319E-51.34078632.0E-56.649074E-47.1425823E-47.442368E-41.04197163.0E-50.00662921460.0071206780.00715046471.0041833.0E-5
6.61.2739422E-51.36854E-52.3685263E-51.73069571.0E-55.4596385E-55.8650454E-57.864928E-51.34098342.0E-56.645082E-47.1384566E-47.4382423E-41.04199593.0E-50.00662524670.0071165790.00714636551.00418563.0E-5
6.71.0160109E-51.0885755E-52.0885645E-51.91862181.0E-54.35426E-54.665244E-56.6651504E-51.42868212.0E-55.300022E-45.6785246E-45.9783546E-41.05280073.0E-50.0052873990.00566472630.0056945561.0052663.0E-5
6.88.349859E-68.932587E-61.8932498E-52.11948661.0E-53.578462E-53.8281985E-55.828122E-51.5224192.0E-54.3559066E-44.6598914E-44.8597984E-41.04289952.0E-50.0043473780.0046506850.0046705921.00428042.0E-5
6.95.193639E-65.53643E-61.5536374E-52.80620811.0E-52.2258262E-52.372736E-53.3727123E-51.42144441.0E-52.7096065E-42.8884556E-42.9884267E-41.03461061.0E-50.00270630510.00288502240.00289499341.00345621.0E-5
7.04.359381E-64.643366E-61.4643319E-53.15360021.0E-51.8682927E-51.9900004E-52.9899806E-51.50250241.0E-52.274409E-42.422586E-42.5225617E-41.04126821.0E-50.00227208270.0024202380.00243021381.00412181.0E-5
7.13.0398533E-63.2310427E-61.3231011E-54.09496641.0E-51.3027877E-51.3847267E-52.3847128E-51.72215411.0E-51.5860285E-41.6858005E-41.7857837E-41.0593091.0E-50.0015848970.00168477930.00169476251.00592551.0E-5
7.21.642335E-61.7333153E-61.7333153E-61.00.07.0385595E-67.428485E-67.428485E-61.00.08.569109E-59.044012E-59.044012E-51.00.08.5658056E-49.042358E-49.042358E-41.00.0
7.33.356842E-73.2952389E-73.2952389E-71.00.01.4386458E-61.4122445E-61.4122445E-61.00.01.7515373E-51.7193941E-51.7193941E-51.00.01.7513991E-41.719262E-41.719262E-41.00.0
7.42.1973483E-72.1006414E-72.1006414E-71.00.09.417204E-79.002746E-79.002746E-71.00.01.1465385E-51.0960788E-51.0960788E-51.00.01.1464794E-41.0960251E-41.0960251E-41.00.0
7.51.1944135E-71.0696035E-71.0696035E-71.00.05.118914E-74.5840142E-74.5840142E-71.00.06.23226E-65.581023E-65.581023E-61.00.06.2320854E-55.5808843E-55.5808843E-51.00.0
7.64.636058E-83.3364433E-83.3364433E-81.00.01.9868818E-71.4299042E-71.4299042E-71.00.02.419026E-61.740907E-61.740907E-61.00.02.4189996E-51.7408936E-51.7408936E-51.00.0
7.71.8588572E-88.003168E-98.003168E-91.00.07.9665305E-83.429929E-83.429929E-81.00.09.699246E-74.1759378E-74.1759378E-71.00.09.699204E-64.1759304E-64.1759304E-61.00.0
7.82.7960154E-97.608624E-107.608624E-101.00.01.1982923E-83.2608392E-93.2608392E-91.00.01.4589209E-73.9700716E-83.9700716E-81.00.01.4589199E-63.970071E-73.970071E-71.00.0

Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5183659E-43.0520977E-43.2520367E-41.06550872.0E-56.5056595E-40.00130681880.00132679261.01528432.0E-50.0078919120.0156962030.0157651061.00438967.0E-50.0761745940.138489050.138557971.00049778.0E-5
6.11.5024997E-43.021517E-43.2214564E-41.06617192.0E-56.437695E-40.00129372780.0013137021.01543922.0E-50.00780976140.0155395960.0156085081.00443467.0E-50.0754093450.137158630.137227671.00050338.0E-5
6.21.2743923E-42.5313982E-42.7313476E-41.07898772.0E-55.460538E-40.00108399990.00110397831.01843022.0E-50.00662795830.0130468810.0130962291.00378245.0E-50.0643372760.1172560750.117300211.00037655.0E-5
6.31.1525114E-42.2599236E-42.4598785E-41.08847862.0E-54.9383997E-49.678718E-49.878525E-41.0206442.0E-50.00599593860.0116680790.01171749551.00423515.0E-50.0583671740.1063721250.106416811.00042015.0E-5
6.41.07200925E-42.0840544E-42.2840127E-41.09594682.0E-54.5935164E-48.926123E-49.1259443E-41.02238622.0E-50.00557827440.0107729590.010822421.00459125.0E-50.05440310.0991947650.099239811.00045415.0E-5
6.59.69631E-51.8734725E-42.073435E-41.10673372.0E-54.1548995E-48.024631E-48.22447E-41.02490332.0E-50.00504686260.0096948420.0097344541.00408594.0E-50.049337730.0900865640.090122961.0004044.0E-5
6.68.0552316E-51.507068E-41.7070377E-41.1326882.0E-53.4517853E-46.4569083E-46.656779E-41.03095462.0E-50.00419445240.0078265080.0078661951.00507084.0E-50.041161610.07485630.074893311.00049444.0E-5
6.77.815757E-51.4611272E-41.6610979E-41.13686062.0E-53.34918E-46.26014E-46.4600154E-41.03192822.0E-50.0040700050.0075893120.0076290081.00523054.0E-50.0399626570.072705820.072742911.00051024.0E-5
6.86.965264E-51.2722758E-41.4722504E-41.15717862.0E-52.9847719E-45.4513285E-45.6512194E-41.03666832.0E-50.00362790520.00661359450.0066433961.00450613.0E-50.035692470.0638010650.0638291541.00044023.0E-5
6.95.8000453E-51.01439E-41.1143799E-41.09857141.0E-52.4854968E-44.346666E-44.4466226E-41.02299621.0E-50.00302189330.0052793220.00529921661.00376832.0E-50.0298112950.0515029650.0515219351.00036842.0E-5
7.04.9865852E-58.568029E-59.5679425E-51.11670291.0E-52.1369329E-43.6715003E-43.7714635E-41.02722681.0E-50.00259861140.0044609790.00448088951.00446332.0E-50.0256843360.0437820180.043801141.00043682.0E-5
7.14.283875E-57.1124625E-58.1123915E-51.14058831.0E-51.8358172E-43.0478454E-43.1478147E-41.03280011.0E-50.00223281630.0037044940.003724421.00537882.0E-50.0221051460.036735820.036755091.00052442.0E-5
7.23.450115E-55.5778568E-56.577801E-51.17927041.0E-51.478537E-42.3902925E-42.4902687E-41.04182591.0E-50.00179863230.00290632640.00292626841.00686162.0E-50.0178414420.0290790420.029098461.00066782.0E-5
7.32.5709045E-54.059001E-55.0589606E-51.2463561.0E-51.1017697E-41.7394568E-41.8394395E-41.05747931.0E-50.00134057910.00211574860.00213570641.00943292.0E-50.0133252080.021296860.0213164351.00091912.0E-5
7.41.8003093E-52.8511378E-53.8511094E-51.35072721.0E-57.715383E-51.2218591E-41.321847E-41.08183251.0E-59.3894306E-40.00148660060.0015065711.01343352.0E-50.0093498570.0150515890.0150712891.00130882.0E-5
7.51.5595824E-52.5823752E-53.5823494E-51.38723041.0E-56.683753E-51.10668545E-41.20667435E-41.09034991.0E-58.134431E-40.00134655890.0013665321.01483262.0E-50.0081047190.0136515710.01367129851.0014452.0E-5
7.61.1110309E-51.9223195E-52.9223003E-51.52019491.0E-54.761474E-58.2382525E-59.2381706E-51.1213751.0E-55.795553E-40.00100254710.00102252711.01992922.0E-50.00578046120.010203440.0102232361.00194012.0E-5
7.76.2140443E-61.04376995E-52.0437596E-51.95805551.0E-52.6631347E-54.4732235E-55.4731787E-51.22354251.0E-53.241884E-45.4447894E-45.6446804E-41.03671242.0E-50.00323715880.0056201020.005639991.00353862.0E-5
7.85.305533E-69.433651E-61.9433557E-52.0600251.0E-52.27378E-54.0429306E-55.0428902E-51.24733531.0E-52.7679754E-44.9211574E-45.121059E-41.04062082.0E-50.00276453020.0050746220.00509452071.00392122.0E-5
7.93.363505E-67.3854467E-67.3854467E-61.00.01.4414942E-53.1651532E-53.1651532E-51.00.01.7548777E-43.8528934E-43.952855E-41.02594451.0E-50.00175349260.0039487840.00395874451.00252251.0E-5
8.02.0271132E-64.4134235E-64.4134235E-61.00.08.687599E-61.8914534E-51.8914534E-51.00.01.05766376E-42.3026018E-42.4025787E-41.04341911.0E-50.00105716060.0023511940.00236117051.00424311.0E-5
8.11.2206116E-62.3752666E-62.3752666E-61.00.05.2311816E-61.0179674E-51.0179674E-51.00.06.3687774E-51.2393051E-41.2393051E-41.00.06.366953E-40.00127056180.00127056181.00.0

Simi-Santa Rosa

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.198912E-52.2275388E-57.227428E-53.24457985.0E-59.4235686E-59.54627E-51.5545698E-41.62845776.0E-50.00114671560.00116168250.0012515781.07738399.0E-50.0114081630.0115605470.0116495071.00769519.0E-5
6.12.198912E-52.2275388E-57.227428E-53.24457985.0E-59.4235686E-59.54627E-51.5545698E-41.62845776.0E-50.00114671560.00116168250.0012515781.07738399.0E-50.0114081630.0115605470.0116495071.00769519.0E-5
6.21.69983E-51.6668506E-54.6668007E-52.79977133.0E-57.284782E-57.143466E-51.114318E-41.55991224.0E-58.865613E-48.6939917E-49.393383E-41.08044547.0E-50.0088303270.00866290.0087322941.00801047.0E-5
6.31.69983E-51.6668506E-54.6668007E-52.79977133.0E-57.284782E-57.143466E-51.114318E-41.55991224.0E-58.865613E-48.6939917E-49.393383E-41.08044547.0E-50.0088303270.00866290.0087322941.00801047.0E-5
6.41.4666188E-51.4052489E-54.4052067E-53.1348233.0E-56.285358E-56.0223705E-51.00221296E-41.66415044.0E-57.6497364E-47.330018E-47.9295784E-41.08179526.0E-50.00762345640.00730831640.00736787781.00814996.0E-5
6.51.4666188E-51.4052489E-54.4052067E-53.1348233.0E-56.285358E-56.0223705E-51.00221296E-41.66415044.0E-57.6497364E-47.330018E-47.9295784E-41.08179526.0E-50.00762345640.00730831640.00736787781.00814996.0E-5
6.61.4377586E-51.3729529E-54.3729116E-53.18504143.0E-56.1616774E-55.883965E-59.88373E-51.67977374.0E-57.4992597E-47.1616215E-47.761192E-41.083726.0E-50.0074740030.00714101040.0072005821.00834216.0E-5
6.71.3881404E-51.3207497E-54.3207103E-53.27140713.0E-55.9490372E-55.6602472E-59.660021E-51.70664294.0E-57.240546E-46.889419E-47.489006E-41.087036.0E-50.0072170.00687051050.00693009841.0086736.0E-5
6.81.0176516E-59.1541E-61.9154008E-52.09239671.0E-54.3612912E-53.923136E-55.9230573E-51.50977622.0E-55.308578E-44.775537E-44.975441E-41.04186012.0E-50.00529591460.0047669080.00478681271.00417552.0E-5
6.99.699797E-68.774672E-61.8774585E-52.13963371.0E-54.15699E-53.760529E-54.760491E-51.265911.0E-55.05996E-44.5776463E-44.6776005E-41.02183531.0E-50.0050484540.00456983460.0045797891.00217831.0E-5
7.07.4049476E-66.559291E-61.6559225E-52.52454521.0E-53.1735104E-52.8111013E-53.811073E-51.35572241.0E-53.8630638E-43.422105E-43.5220708E-41.02921181.0E-50.00385635530.00341807750.00342804331.00291561.0E-5
7.13.873439E-62.759473E-62.759473E-61.00.01.6600346E-51.1826261E-51.1826261E-51.00.02.0209046E-41.4397544E-41.4397544E-41.00.00.00201906780.00143884530.00143884531.00.0
7.23.417706E-62.367616E-62.367616E-61.00.01.4647229E-51.0146887E-51.0146887E-51.00.01.7831543E-41.2353157E-41.2353157E-41.00.00.00178172420.00123465130.00123465131.00.0
7.31.90225E-61.4073756E-61.4073756E-61.00.08.152474E-66.031596E-66.031596E-61.00.09.9251854E-57.343223E-57.343223E-51.00.09.920754E-47.340819E-47.340819E-41.00.0
7.41.5170556E-61.1024792E-61.1024792E-61.00.06.5016507E-64.7249023E-64.7249023E-61.00.07.915472E-55.752418E-55.752418E-51.00.07.9126534E-45.75094E-45.75094E-41.00.0
7.51.178732E-68.5351127E-78.5351127E-71.00.05.0516987E-63.6579004E-63.6579004E-61.00.06.1502695E-54.4534037E-54.4534037E-51.00.06.148568E-44.4525208E-44.4525208E-41.00.0
7.66.8722386E-74.793211E-74.793211E-71.00.02.9452417E-62.0542318E-62.0542318E-61.00.03.5857727E-52.5009986E-52.5009986E-51.00.03.5851944E-42.5007184E-42.5007184E-41.00.0
7.75.5126515E-73.6731117E-73.6731117E-71.00.02.3625628E-61.5741898E-61.5741898E-61.00.02.8763823E-51.9165593E-51.9165593E-51.00.02.87601E-41.9163951E-41.9163951E-41.00.0
7.83.3860243E-72.0075514E-72.0075514E-71.00.01.4511525E-68.6037886E-78.6037886E-71.00.01.7667637E-51.0475063E-51.0475063E-51.00.01.7666233E-41.0474575E-41.0474575E-41.00.0
7.92.7955386E-71.4648724E-71.4648724E-71.00.01.1980875E-66.278023E-76.278023E-71.00.01.4586617E-57.643467E-67.643467E-61.00.01.458566E-47.643208E-57.643208E-51.00.0
8.05.6259015E-83.335318E-83.335318E-81.00.02.4111003E-71.429422E-71.429422E-71.00.02.9355108E-61.7403199E-61.7403199E-61.00.02.935472E-51.7403077E-51.7403077E-51.00.0

San Jacinto (Clark) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.482615E-52.1153059E-56.115221E-52.89093954.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.4064834E-41.55150455.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.00117307191.06338477.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115746751.00774599.0E-5
6.14.482615E-52.1153059E-56.115221E-52.89093954.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.4064834E-41.55150455.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.00117307191.06338477.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115746751.00774599.0E-5
6.24.482615E-52.1153059E-56.115221E-52.89093954.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.4064834E-41.55150455.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.00117307191.06338477.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115746751.00774599.0E-5
6.34.482615E-52.1153059E-56.115221E-52.89093954.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.4064834E-41.55150455.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.00117307191.06338477.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115746751.00774599.0E-5
6.44.482615E-52.1153059E-56.115221E-52.89093954.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.4064834E-41.55150455.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.00117307191.06338477.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115746751.00774599.0E-5
6.53.7294863E-51.7354667E-55.7353973E-53.30481554.0E-51.5982533E-47.437504E-51.2437132E-41.67221845.0E-50.00194413669.051445E-49.750811E-41.07726577.0E-50.019272160.0094859020.0095750491.00939779.0E-5
6.63.7294863E-51.7354667E-55.7353973E-53.30481554.0E-51.5982533E-47.437504E-51.2437132E-41.67221845.0E-50.00194413669.051445E-49.750811E-41.07726577.0E-50.019272160.0094859020.0095750491.00939779.0E-5
6.73.6039248E-51.6602684E-55.660202E-53.4092094.0E-51.5444479E-47.115244E-51.21148885E-41.70266665.0E-50.00187874348.659408E-49.358802E-41.08076697.0E-50.018629390.0090881890.0091773711.0098139.0E-5
6.83.5031844E-51.6231123E-55.6230474E-53.46436124.0E-51.5012783E-46.956012E-51.19556644E-41.71875265.0E-50.00182627398.4656954E-49.1651024E-41.08261677.0E-50.018113380.0088887880.0089779881.01003529.0E-5
6.93.435112E-51.6061658E-55.6061017E-53.4903634.0E-51.4721078E-46.8833884E-51.18830445E-41.72633655.0E-50.00179081788.377344E-49.0767577E-41.08348877.0E-50.0177645480.0087965120.008885721.01014149.0E-5
7.02.8959772E-51.43355255E-55.4334952E-53.7902314.0E-51.241074E-46.1436534E-51.1143346E-41.8137985.0E-50.00150996037.477359E-48.176835E-41.09354597.0E-50.0149974160.0078683310.0079576231.01134829.0E-5
7.12.6002877E-51.2827699E-55.2827185E-54.1182124.0E-51.11436144E-45.4974706E-51.0497196E-41.90945925.0E-50.00135589076.6911365E-47.390668E-41.10454617.0E-50.0134764750.00704834330.00713770931.0126799.0E-5
7.22.2544838E-51.1260331E-55.125988E-54.55225324.0E-59.661716E-54.825768E-59.825527E-52.03605465.0E-50.0011756795.873803E-46.573392E-41.11910327.0E-50.0116947850.006192560.00628200271.01444359.0E-5
7.31.75334E-51.0810585E-55.081015E-54.70003754.0E-57.514098E-54.6330264E-59.6327945E-52.0791585.0E-59.144575E-45.6392635E-46.338869E-41.12405977.0E-50.0091070360.00593321960.0060226851.01507889.0E-5
7.41.5924552E-51.0610475E-55.061005E-54.76981934.0E-56.82463E-54.547268E-59.547041E-52.09951145.0E-58.305819E-45.534906E-46.234519E-41.12640017.0E-50.0082748440.00582058630.0059100621.01537249.0E-5
7.51.3428931E-59.851045E-64.9850652E-55.0604434.0E-55.7551293E-54.221809E-59.2215974E-52.18427665.0E-57.004617E-45.1388505E-45.838491E-41.13614737.0E-50.0069825790.0054062090.00549572241.01655769.0E-5
7.61.0688787E-58.614091E-64.8613747E-55.64351464.0E-54.5808283E-53.6917012E-58.691516E-52.35433915.0E-55.5757316E-44.4937237E-45.193409E-41.15570287.0E-50.0055617620.00474136140.00483093461.01889199.0E-5
7.78.81236E-67.4673385E-64.746704E-56.3566214.0E-53.776671E-53.200249E-58.2000886E-52.56232865.0E-54.597127E-43.8956082E-44.5953356E-41.17961967.0E-50.00458762840.00413441940.0042240471.02167849.0E-5
7.87.780431E-66.695928E-64.669566E-56.973744.0E-53.3344273E-52.8696519E-57.8695084E-52.74232175.0E-54.0589093E-43.4932428E-44.1929982E-41.20031697.0E-50.00405150370.00372262720.00381229211.02408659.0E-5
7.96.5437994E-65.7797783E-64.5779547E-57.92064054.0E-52.8044553E-52.4770245E-57.476901E-53.0185015.0E-53.4138895E-43.0153614E-43.7151505E-41.23207467.0E-50.00340864950.00323432940.00332403831.02773649.0E-5
8.05.4488164E-64.812793E-64.48126E-59.3111424.0E-52.3351862E-52.0626094E-57.0625065E-53.4240645.0E-52.8427184E-42.510939E-43.210763E-41.27871017.0E-50.00283908450.00271070380.00278051381.02575357.0E-5
8.12.8397242E-61.3665673E-61.3665673E-61.00.01.217019E-55.856704E-65.856704E-61.00.01.4816198E-47.1303046E-57.1303046E-51.00.00.00148063258.113543E-48.113543E-41.00.0
8.22.030244E-66.3151083E-76.3151083E-71.00.08.701017E-62.7064723E-62.7064723E-61.00.01.05929736E-43.2950808E-53.2950808E-51.00.00.00105879253.9470522E-43.9470522E-41.00.0
8.31.0659804E-62.9230563E-72.9230563E-71.00.04.568479E-61.2527379E-61.2527379E-61.00.05.5619817E-51.5251981E-51.5251981E-51.00.05.5605895E-41.8556409E-41.8556409E-41.00.0

Los Alamos extension

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0146506E-64.086164E-61.4086124E-53.44727281.0E-51.7205533E-51.7512022E-54.7511498E-52.7130793.0E-52.0945723E-42.1318911E-42.9317205E-41.37517378.0E-50.00209259920.0021299550.00221976341.04216449.0E-5
6.14.0146506E-64.086164E-61.4086124E-53.44727281.0E-51.7205533E-51.7512022E-54.7511498E-52.7130793.0E-52.0945723E-42.1318911E-42.9317205E-41.37517378.0E-50.00209259920.0021299550.00221976341.04216449.0E-5
6.24.0146506E-64.086164E-61.4086124E-53.44727281.0E-51.7205533E-51.7512022E-54.7511498E-52.7130793.0E-52.0945723E-42.1318911E-42.9317205E-41.37517378.0E-50.00209259920.0021299550.00221976341.04216449.0E-5
6.34.0146506E-64.086164E-61.4086124E-53.44727281.0E-51.7205533E-51.7512022E-54.7511498E-52.7130793.0E-52.0945723E-42.1318911E-42.9317205E-41.37517378.0E-50.00209259920.0021299550.00221976341.04216449.0E-5
6.44.0146506E-64.086164E-61.4086124E-53.44727281.0E-51.7205533E-51.7512022E-54.7511498E-52.7130793.0E-52.0945723E-42.1318911E-42.9317205E-41.37517378.0E-50.00209259920.0021299550.00221976341.04216449.0E-5
6.54.0146506E-64.086164E-61.4086124E-53.44727281.0E-51.7205533E-51.7512022E-54.7511498E-52.7130793.0E-52.0945723E-42.1318911E-42.9317205E-41.37517378.0E-50.00209259920.0021299550.00221976341.04216449.0E-5
6.64.0146506E-64.086164E-61.4086124E-53.44727281.0E-51.7205533E-51.7512022E-54.7511498E-52.7130793.0E-52.0945723E-42.1318911E-42.9317205E-41.37517378.0E-50.00209259920.0021299550.00221976341.04216449.0E-5
6.74.0146506E-64.086164E-61.4086124E-53.44727281.0E-51.7205533E-51.7512022E-54.7511498E-52.7130793.0E-52.0945723E-42.1318911E-42.9317205E-41.37517378.0E-50.00209259920.0021299550.00221976341.04216449.0E-5
6.83.6584688E-63.7188636E-61.3718826E-53.68898341.0E-51.5679057E-51.5937894E-53.5937577E-52.25485092.0E-51.9087581E-41.9402753E-42.4401782E-41.25764545.0E-50.00190711940.00193867370.00199855721.0308896.0E-5
6.93.644631E-63.7045736E-61.3704536E-53.6993561.0E-51.5619753E-51.5876652E-53.5876335E-52.25969152.0E-51.901539E-41.9328203E-42.4327237E-41.25863935.0E-50.00189991270.00193123170.00199111571.03100826.0E-5
7.03.6318522E-63.691334E-61.3691297E-53.70903781.0E-51.5564989E-51.5819913E-53.5819598E-52.26420952.0E-51.8948725E-41.9259135E-42.4258172E-41.2595675.0E-50.00189325760.00192433680.00198422141.03111966.0E-5
7.13.5001724E-63.5554046E-61.3555369E-53.81260941.0E-51.5000653E-51.5237365E-53.523706E-52.3125432.0E-51.8261763E-41.8550004E-42.3549076E-41.26949175.0E-50.00182467640.00185354260.00191343141.03231056.0E-5
7.22.5204702E-62.5436989E-61.2543674E-54.9312731.0E-51.080197E-51.0901522E-52.0901412E-51.91729321.0E-51.3150605E-41.3271799E-41.6271402E-41.22601323.0E-50.00131428250.0013263930.00136633991.03011694.0E-5
7.32.1399692E-62.1501362E-61.2150114E-55.6508581.0E-59.1712645E-69.2148375E-61.9214745E-52.08519631.0E-51.1165442E-41.121849E-41.4218154E-41.26738573.0E-50.00111598340.0011212860.00116124111.03563334.0E-5
7.41.9660122E-61.970241E-61.1970222E-56.0755111.0E-58.42574E-68.4438625E-61.8443778E-52.1842821.0E-51.0257855E-41.0279921E-41.3279612E-41.2918013.0E-50.00102531210.00102751970.00106747861.03888874.0E-5
7.51.7204633E-61.7151029E-61.1715086E-56.83054351.0E-57.373393E-67.3504207E-61.7350347E-52.36045621.0E-58.976737E-58.948772E-51.1948504E-41.33521153.0E-58.9731114E-48.945199E-49.344841E-41.04467684.0E-5
7.61.3717638E-61.3535872E-61.1353573E-58.3877671.0E-55.878974E-65.801075E-61.5801017E-52.72380831.0E-57.157416E-57.062583E-59.062442E-51.28316252.0E-57.1551115E-47.0603646E-47.3601527E-41.04246073.0E-5
7.78.272564E-77.9576733E-71.0795759E-513.5664781.0E-53.5453797E-63.4104269E-61.3410393E-53.93217421.0E-54.3164142E-54.1521158E-55.1520743E-51.2408311.0E-54.315576E-44.151342E-44.2513004E-41.02407861.0E-5
7.83.9708277E-73.671937E-71.036719E-528.2335721.0E-51.7017821E-61.5736864E-61.157367E-57.35449651.0E-52.0719E-51.9159465E-52.9159273E-51.52192521.0E-52.071707E-41.9157819E-42.0157627E-41.0521881.0E-5
7.99.292528E-87.889168E-81.0078891E-5127.756071.0E-53.9825116E-73.3810713E-71.03381035E-530.5764141.0E-54.848697E-64.1164467E-61.41164055E-53.42926961.0E-54.8485912E-54.1163716E-55.1163304E-51.24292241.0E-5
8.07.880441E-118.2353124E-118.2353124E-111.00.03.3773329E-103.52942E-103.52942E-101.00.04.1119033E-94.2970694E-94.2970694E-91.00.04.1119034E-84.2970694E-84.2970694E-81.00.0

Santa Cruz Catalina Ridge alt1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2833184E-53.6558402E-57.6556935E-52.09409984.0E-51.4070606E-41.5667039E-42.2665942E-41.44672797.0E-50.001711750.00190595940.0019858071.04189368.0E-50.0169862470.0189130320.0190013311.00466869.0E-5
6.11.9835548E-52.1659505E-54.1659074E-51.92336212.0E-58.500672E-59.282326E-51.2282048E-41.32316483.0E-50.00103446550.00112955750.00115952361.02652913.0E-50.0102966320.0112402960.0112798461.00351864.0E-5
6.21.9835548E-52.1659505E-54.1659074E-51.92336212.0E-58.500672E-59.282326E-51.2282048E-41.32316483.0E-50.00103446550.00112955750.00115952361.02652913.0E-50.0102966320.0112402960.0112798461.00351864.0E-5
6.31.5728183E-51.703395E-53.703361E-52.1741062.0E-56.7404755E-57.300063E-51.0299844E-41.41092543.0E-58.2034385E-48.884264E-49.183997E-41.03373753.0E-50.0081732220.0088494270.0088890731.00448014.0E-5
6.41.5728183E-51.703395E-53.703361E-52.1741062.0E-56.7404755E-57.300063E-51.0299844E-41.41092543.0E-58.2034385E-48.884264E-49.183997E-41.03373753.0E-50.0081732220.0088494270.0088890731.00448014.0E-5
6.51.3707734E-51.4794522E-53.4794226E-52.35183172.0E-55.8746107E-56.3403575E-58.34023E-51.31541972.0E-57.1499916E-47.716686E-47.916532E-41.02589792.0E-50.00712703030.00769028950.0077200591.0038713.0E-5
6.61.2539813E-51.3510219E-53.350995E-52.4803412.0E-55.3740947E-55.789967E-57.789851E-51.34540512.0E-56.540996E-47.0470315E-47.2468905E-41.02836072.0E-50.00652177630.00702498850.0070547781.00424053.0E-5
6.71.1504083E-51.2377375E-53.2377127E-52.61583162.0E-54.930228E-55.3044827E-57.304377E-51.37701962.0E-56.0008996E-46.456314E-46.6561846E-41.03095752.0E-50.0059847210.0064377860.0064576571.00308672.0E-5
6.81.012739E-51.0877071E-53.0876854E-52.83871032.0E-54.340238E-54.6615194E-56.6614266E-51.42902472.0E-55.282958E-45.673937E-45.8738235E-41.03522882.0E-50.00527041640.00565961930.00567950631.00351382.0E-5
6.98.9607865E-69.609117E-62.9608926E-53.08133672.0E-53.8402806E-54.1181287E-56.1180464E-51.48563742.0E-54.6745385E-45.012679E-45.2125787E-41.03987882.0E-50.00466471770.0050014920.0050213921.00397882.0E-5
7.08.046829E-68.619746E-62.8619574E-53.3202342.0E-53.4485955E-53.694125E-55.694051E-51.54138022.0E-54.1978562E-44.496677E-44.6965873E-41.04445732.0E-50.0041899350.00448766860.0045075791.00443662.0E-5
7.17.136131E-67.637656E-61.763758E-52.30929231.0E-53.0583058E-53.2732405E-54.2732077E-51.30549761.0E-53.7228514E-43.9844486E-44.084409E-41.02508761.0E-50.00371662060.0039773810.00398734171.00250421.0E-5
7.26.362014E-66.8049585E-61.680489E-52.46950671.0E-52.726549E-52.9163786E-53.9163493E-51.3428811.0E-53.3190678E-43.550119E-43.6500834E-41.02815811.0E-50.00331411490.0035445160.00355448061.00281131.0E-5
7.35.004101E-65.351715E-61.5351661E-52.86854981.0E-52.1445969E-52.2935723E-53.293549E-51.4359911.0E-52.6107338E-42.792072E-42.8920438E-41.03580571.0E-50.0026076690.00278861870.00279859081.0035761.0E-5
7.43.4901443E-63.7320526E-61.3732015E-53.67948081.0E-51.4957676E-51.5994416E-52.5994255E-51.62520831.0E-51.8209449E-41.9471499E-42.0471304E-41.05134711.0E-50.00181945340.00194548230.00195546291.00513021.0E-5
7.51.1215045E-61.189387E-61.189387E-61.00.04.806439E-65.097363E-65.097363E-61.00.05.851682E-56.205866E-56.205866E-51.00.05.850142E-46.2041637E-46.2041637E-41.00.0
7.62.8599047E-72.9951994E-72.9951994E-71.00.01.2256729E-61.2836562E-61.2836562E-61.00.01.4922465E-51.5628404E-51.5628404E-51.00.01.4921463E-41.5627318E-41.5627318E-41.00.0
7.72.0781519E-72.1744323E-72.1744323E-71.00.08.906362E-79.3189925E-79.3189925E-71.00.01.08434415E-51.13458145E-51.13458145E-51.00.01.0842913E-41.1345245E-41.1345245E-41.00.0
7.83.614776E-83.764102E-83.764102E-81.00.01.5491896E-71.6131864E-71.6131864E-71.00.01.8861368E-61.9640527E-61.9640527E-61.00.01.8861208E-51.9640367E-51.9640367E-51.00.0

Elysian Park (Upper)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1876025E-53.7035275E-58.7033426E-52.35001425.0E-51.3660437E-41.5871569E-42.0870776E-41.31497875.0E-50.00166188950.0019311220.00200098681.03617847.0E-50.0164951590.0191898630.0192683261.00408898.0E-5
6.13.1876025E-53.7035275E-58.7033426E-52.35001425.0E-51.3660437E-41.5871569E-42.0870776E-41.31497875.0E-50.00166188950.0019311220.00200098681.03617847.0E-50.0164951590.0191898630.0192683261.00408898.0E-5
6.23.1876025E-53.7035275E-58.7033426E-52.35001425.0E-51.3660437E-41.5871569E-42.0870776E-41.31497875.0E-50.00166188950.0019311220.00200098681.03617847.0E-50.0164951590.0191898630.0192683261.00408898.0E-5
6.33.1876025E-53.7035275E-58.7033426E-52.35001425.0E-51.3660437E-41.5871569E-42.0870776E-41.31497875.0E-50.00166188950.0019311220.00200098681.03617847.0E-50.0164951590.0191898630.0192683261.00408898.0E-5
6.41.9273462E-52.120244E-56.1201594E-52.88653524.0E-58.259794E-59.086542E-51.3086178E-41.44017154.0E-50.0010051660.00110589670.00115584141.04516225.0E-50.0100063150.0110207440.01108008251.00538436.0E-5
6.51.9273462E-52.120244E-56.1201594E-52.88653524.0E-58.259794E-59.086542E-51.3086178E-41.44017154.0E-50.0010051660.00110589670.00115584141.04516225.0E-50.0100063150.0110207440.01108008251.00538436.0E-5
6.69.813258E-69.665589E-62.9665394E-53.06917642.0E-54.205614E-54.1423333E-56.142251E-51.48279962.0E-55.119132E-45.042196E-45.242095E-41.03964532.0E-50.0051073560.00503147950.0050513791.0039552.0E-5
6.79.801478E-69.653158E-62.9652965E-53.0718412.0E-54.2005657E-54.137006E-56.136923E-51.48342142.0E-55.112989E-45.0357135E-45.2356126E-41.03969632.0E-50.00510124070.0050250260.00504492551.00396012.0E-5
6.88.102489E-67.772994E-62.7772838E-53.57299112.0E-53.4724493E-53.3312434E-55.3311767E-51.60035652.0E-54.2268867E-44.0550836E-44.2550027E-41.04930082.0E-50.0042188560.00404817840.0040680971.00492052.0E-5
6.96.08275E-65.481441E-61.5481386E-52.82432771.0E-52.6068668E-52.3491682E-53.3491448E-51.42567251.0E-53.173398E-42.8597447E-42.959716E-41.03495811.0E-50.00316887020.00285614240.00286611381.00349131.0E-5
7.05.5995934E-64.9827686E-61.4982719E-53.00690631.0E-52.3998036E-52.1354552E-53.135434E-51.46827421.0E-52.9213692E-42.5996132E-42.6995872E-41.03845731.0E-50.00291753160.00259663960.00260661361.00384121.0E-5
7.14.709881E-64.0873906E-61.408735E-53.44653871.0E-52.0185047E-51.7517272E-52.7517097E-51.57085511.0E-52.4572524E-42.1325232E-42.232502E-41.04688271.0E-50.0024545370.00213051840.0021404971.00468371.0E-5
7.23.6063436E-62.9779412E-61.2977912E-54.35801461.0E-51.5455667E-51.27625435E-52.2762415E-51.78353291.0E-51.881565E-41.55373E-41.6537144E-41.06435121.0E-50.00187997260.00155265490.00156263941.00643061.0E-5
7.32.471135E-62.0954562E-61.20954355E-55.772221.0E-51.0590536E-58.980496E-61.8980407E-52.11351421.0E-51.2893214E-41.0933213E-41.1933104E-41.09145441.0E-50.00128857360.00109279060.00110277981.00914081.0E-5
7.41.163943E-61.0275061E-61.0275061E-61.00.04.988318E-64.40359E-64.40359E-61.00.06.0731076E-55.361242E-55.361242E-51.00.06.071448E-45.3599785E-45.3599785E-41.00.0
7.54.99459E-74.917601E-74.917601E-71.00.02.140537E-62.1075416E-62.1075416E-61.00.02.6060725E-52.5659032E-52.5659032E-51.00.02.605767E-42.5656226E-42.5656226E-41.00.0
7.62.4667852E-72.4778313E-72.4778313E-71.00.01.0571932E-61.0619274E-61.0619274E-61.00.01.2871251E-51.2928893E-51.2928893E-51.00.01.2870505E-41.2928178E-41.2928178E-41.00.0
7.78.2312795E-87.3864214E-87.3864214E-81.00.03.527691E-73.165609E-73.165609E-71.00.04.294955E-63.854123E-63.854123E-61.00.04.2948723E-53.854068E-53.854068E-51.00.0
7.82.7819295E-81.7565618E-81.7565618E-81.00.01.1922555E-77.528122E-87.528122E-81.00.01.45157E-69.1654863E-79.1654863E-71.00.01.45156055E-59.165463E-69.165463E-61.00.0

Ortigalita (South)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.72394E-54.32556E-58.325387E-51.92469574.0E-51.5958765E-41.8536886E-42.3535959E-41.26968255.0E-50.00194124810.00225468630.00232452851.03097647.0E-50.0192437750.0223345010.0224127151.00350198.0E-5
6.12.7299884E-53.1492036E-57.149077E-52.27012254.0E-51.16994255E-41.349592E-41.8495246E-41.37043245.0E-50.00142347430.00164194570.00171183071.04256247.0E-50.0141439060.0163040720.016372931.00422337.0E-5
6.22.7299884E-53.1492036E-57.149077E-52.27012254.0E-51.16994255E-41.349592E-41.8495246E-41.37043245.0E-50.00142347430.00164194570.00171183071.04256247.0E-50.0141439060.0163040720.016372931.00422337.0E-5
6.32.0546433E-52.3631454E-55.3630745E-52.26946453.0E-58.805317E-51.0127383E-41.3127079E-41.29619663.0E-50.001071520.00123233050.00128226881.04052355.0E-50.0106636810.0122570310.0123064181.00402935.0E-5
6.42.0546433E-52.3631454E-55.3630745E-52.26946453.0E-58.805317E-51.0127383E-41.3127079E-41.29619663.0E-50.001071520.00123233050.00128226881.04052355.0E-50.0106636810.0122570310.0123064181.00402935.0E-5
6.51.7779594E-52.0446974E-55.044636E-52.46717983.0E-57.619603E-58.762703E-51.176244E-41.34233013.0E-59.272918E-40.00106635050.00110630781.03747124.0E-50.0092343190.0106138040.0106533791.00372864.0E-5
6.61.6272212E-51.8714967E-54.8714406E-52.6029653.0E-56.973618E-58.0204605E-51.102022E-41.37401333.0E-58.487073E-49.760659E-40.00101602681.04094094.0E-50.0084547330.0097190910.0097587021.00407564.0E-5
6.71.3051484E-51.5038758E-54.5038305E-52.99481563.0E-55.593373E-56.445028E-59.444835E-51.4654453.0E-56.807804E-47.844092E-48.243778E-41.05095374.0E-50.0067869860.0078173880.0078570751.00507684.0E-5
6.81.04277415E-51.1987235E-52.1987114E-51.83421081.0E-54.4689557E-55.1372896E-56.137238E-51.19464521.0E-55.439595E-46.2529295E-46.452804E-41.0319652.0E-50.00542629930.006236090.0062559651.00318722.0E-5
6.97.639968E-68.791503E-61.8791416E-52.1374521.0E-53.274231E-53.767736E-54.7676982E-51.26540141.0E-53.9856473E-44.586312E-44.78622E-41.0435882.0E-50.0039785060.0045774330.00459734161.00434922.0E-5
7.03.919831E-64.5334014E-64.5334014E-61.00.01.679917E-51.942873E-51.942873E-51.00.02.045107E-42.3652123E-42.3652123E-41.00.00.00204322580.00236290340.00236290341.00.0
7.11.6017933E-61.8570418E-61.8570418E-61.00.06.8648105E-67.958732E-67.958732E-61.00.08.357586E-59.689432E-59.689432E-51.00.08.3544437E-49.686254E-49.686254E-41.00.0

Hayward (So) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.8091932E-43.570673E-44.0704943E-41.13997965.0E-57.751381E-40.00152940080.00158930911.03917116.0E-50.009396540.0184638850.0185325931.00372127.0E-50.0900900660.16670850.166775151.00039988.0E-5
6.11.8091932E-43.570673E-44.0704943E-41.13997965.0E-57.751381E-40.00152940080.00158930911.03917116.0E-50.009396540.0184638850.0185325931.00372127.0E-50.0900900660.16670850.166775151.00039988.0E-5
6.21.8091932E-43.570673E-44.0704943E-41.13997965.0E-57.751381E-40.00152940080.00158930911.03917116.0E-50.009396540.0184638850.0185325931.00372127.0E-50.0900900660.16670850.166775151.00039988.0E-5
6.31.7322872E-43.4263515E-43.8262145E-41.11670224.0E-57.4219756E-40.00146761970.0015075611.0272154.0E-50.00899887550.0177241470.0177732611.0027715.0E-50.086430750.160659540.16070991.00031346.0E-5
6.41.6334097E-43.2345165E-43.634387E-41.12362614.0E-56.998449E-40.00138549360.00142543821.02883054.0E-50.0084873720.0167399270.0167792571.00234954.0E-50.0817044150.152566060.152608421.00027785.0E-5
6.51.5600289E-43.101982E-43.501858E-41.12890984.0E-56.684125E-40.00132875180.00136869871.03006344.0E-50.0081075980.0160594430.0160988011.00245074.0E-50.0781810360.146842910.146885571.00029055.0E-5
6.61.4046066E-42.8034003E-43.2032884E-41.14264384.0E-56.018354E-40.00120091090.00124086291.03326814.0E-50.00730275550.0145245710.014563991.00271394.0E-50.070673840.133930440.133973751.00032335.0E-5
6.71.14696966E-42.3272466E-42.627177E-41.12887763.0E-54.914658E-49.970153E-40.00102698541.03005983.0E-50.00596719240.0120721630.0121018011.00245513.0E-50.0580948220.112741410.1127769051.00031484.0E-5
6.89.3874296E-51.8862431E-42.0862053E-41.10601092.0E-54.0225635E-48.081431E-48.2812697E-41.02472812.0E-50.00488647870.0097954890.0098152931.00202182.0E-50.0478041730.0925929840.092620211.0002943.0E-5
6.95.551852E-51.0729875E-41.272966E-41.18637552.0E-52.3791482E-44.5977137E-44.7976218E-41.04347992.0E-50.00289276540.0055834680.0056033561.0035622.0E-50.0285539810.0542460750.054264991.00034872.0E-5
7.04.2662363E-58.246792E-59.24671E-51.12124931.0E-51.8282588E-43.5338648E-43.6338295E-41.02828761.0E-50.00222363280.00429406580.0043040231.00231871.0E-50.0220151380.042065090.042074671.00022771.0E-5
7.13.305886E-56.302183E-56.302183E-51.00.01.4167312E-42.7006568E-42.7006568E-41.00.00.00172350560.0032831110.0032831111.00.00.0171019980.0324539020.0324539021.00.0
7.22.9856887E-55.701622E-55.701622E-51.00.01.2795182E-42.4433242E-42.4433242E-41.00.00.00155670010.00297070620.00297070621.00.00.0154584030.0294548010.0294548011.00.0
7.32.4559737E-54.599286E-54.599286E-51.00.01.0525176E-41.9709744E-41.9709744E-41.00.00.00128068690.00239703340.00239703341.00.00.0127333130.0238585160.0238585161.00.0
7.41.9002231E-53.505084E-53.505084E-51.00.08.143559E-51.502093E-41.502093E-41.00.09.910273E-40.0018272740.0018272741.00.00.0098661940.0182588080.0182588081.00.0
7.51.2783333E-52.3331182E-52.3331182E-51.00.05.4784563E-59.998698E-59.998698E-51.00.06.667979E-40.00121666750.00121666751.00.00.0066480070.0122094430.0122094431.00.0
7.64.8149627E-68.888056E-68.888056E-61.00.02.063539E-53.8091122E-53.8091122E-51.00.02.5120692E-44.6366194E-44.6366194E-41.00.00.00250923140.00468050870.00468050871.00.0
7.76.0838227E-71.205754E-61.205754E-61.00.02.6073499E-65.1675065E-65.1675065E-61.00.03.174402E-56.291258E-56.291258E-51.00.03.1739488E-46.5296254E-46.5296254E-41.00.0
7.84.5542808E-79.792941E-79.792941E-71.00.01.9518332E-64.196968E-64.196968E-61.00.02.376331E-55.109689E-55.109689E-51.00.02.3760769E-45.321693E-45.321693E-41.00.0
7.93.3016747E-77.3869535E-77.3869535E-71.00.01.4150027E-63.1658333E-63.1658333E-61.00.01.7227521E-53.854334E-53.854334E-51.00.01.7226185E-43.9932923E-43.9932923E-41.00.0
8.02.347038E-75.471963E-75.471963E-71.00.01.0058731E-62.3451248E-62.3451248E-61.00.01.2246436E-52.8551523E-52.8551523E-51.00.01.2245761E-42.9357258E-42.9357258E-41.00.0
8.11.18822804E-72.6060948E-72.6060948E-71.00.05.092405E-71.1168972E-61.1168972E-61.00.06.1999854E-61.359814E-51.359814E-51.00.06.199812E-51.3918082E-41.3918082E-41.00.0

Elsinore (Stepovers Combined)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.144392E-51.976007E-55.975928E-53.02424434.0E-59.189928E-58.468338E-51.2468E-41.47230774.0E-50.00111829940.00103055150.0011104691.07754848.0E-50.0111268850.0102646170.0103437971.00771388.0E-5
6.12.144392E-51.976007E-55.975928E-53.02424434.0E-59.189928E-58.468338E-51.2468E-41.47230774.0E-50.00111829940.00103055150.0011104691.07754848.0E-50.0111268850.0102646170.0103437971.00771388.0E-5
6.22.144392E-51.976007E-55.975928E-53.02424434.0E-59.189928E-58.468338E-51.2468E-41.47230774.0E-50.00111829940.00103055150.0011104691.07754848.0E-50.0111268850.0102646170.0103437971.00771388.0E-5
6.31.9751555E-51.7741326E-55.7740614E-53.25458314.0E-58.4646774E-57.603211E-51.1602907E-41.52605344.0E-50.00103008729.25312E-40.00100523791.08637748.0E-50.0102532540.00922097450.0093002371.00859588.0E-5
6.41.9751555E-51.7741326E-55.7740614E-53.25458314.0E-58.4646774E-57.603211E-51.1602907E-41.52605344.0E-50.00103008729.25312E-40.00100523791.08637748.0E-50.0102532540.00922097450.0093002371.00859588.0E-5
6.51.9751555E-51.7741326E-55.7740614E-53.25458314.0E-58.4646774E-57.603211E-51.1602907E-41.52605344.0E-50.00103008729.25312E-40.00100523791.08637748.0E-50.0102532540.00922097450.0093002371.00859588.0E-5
6.61.9188685E-51.7003247E-55.7002566E-53.35245184.0E-58.2234634E-57.2869116E-51.128662E-41.54888944.0E-50.00100074678.8683655E-49.6676557E-41.09012838.0E-50.009962520.0088395460.0089188391.00897038.0E-5
6.71.7608272E-51.4732402E-55.4731812E-53.71506384.0E-57.546184E-56.313739E-51.03134866E-41.6334994.0E-59.183606E-47.684364E-48.3838264E-41.0910247.0E-50.0091457460.0076644410.00773390431.00906317.0E-5
6.81.697165E-51.3783126E-54.378271E-53.17654443.0E-57.273361E-55.906925E-58.906748E-51.50784853.0E-58.8517193E-47.189395E-47.788964E-41.08339626.0E-50.0088165430.00717221060.00723178031.00830576.0E-5
6.91.600365E-51.2846429E-54.2846044E-53.33524923.0E-56.858527E-55.5055007E-58.5053354E-51.54487963.0E-58.347058E-46.700963E-47.3005614E-41.08947936.0E-50.0083157750.0066864220.00674602061.00891346.0E-5
7.01.3314581E-51.044738E-53.044717E-52.91433552.0E-55.7061243E-54.4773733E-56.477284E-51.44667052.0E-56.944992E-45.449866E-45.8496476E-41.07335634.0E-50.0069233270.0054400550.0054798381.00731294.0E-5
7.11.2865345E-59.937339E-62.993714E-53.01259112.0E-55.5136024E-54.258792E-56.258707E-51.46959672.0E-56.710743E-45.1838707E-45.5836636E-41.07712244.0E-50.00669051430.0051750210.0052148141.00768954.0E-5
7.21.1650051E-58.633585E-62.8633413E-53.31651472.0E-54.9927836E-53.7000562E-55.6999823E-51.54051232.0E-56.0770183E-44.503905E-44.903725E-41.08877184.0E-50.00606042660.004496240.00453606061.00885634.0E-5
7.31.0008533E-57.2008215E-61.720075E-52.38872051.0E-54.2893007E-53.0860305E-54.086E-51.32403091.0E-55.220972E-43.756609E-44.0564963E-41.07982923.0E-50.0052087230.00375066630.00378055381.00796853.0E-5
7.49.116759E-66.409854E-61.640979E-52.5600881.0E-53.907124E-52.7470522E-53.7470247E-51.36401651.0E-54.7558855E-43.3440365E-43.5439697E-41.0597882.0E-50.004745720.00333915420.00335908731.00596952.0E-5
7.57.870524E-65.382316E-61.5382262E-52.85792641.0E-53.3730383E-52.306687E-53.306664E-51.43351221.0E-54.1059E-42.8080423E-43.0079862E-41.0712042.0E-50.00409832220.00280462070.00282456471.00711112.0E-5
7.66.9774537E-64.677398E-61.4677352E-53.13793061.0E-52.990303E-52.0045845E-53.0045645E-51.49884651.0E-53.640086E-42.44032E-42.6402713E-41.08193652.0E-50.0036341290.00243775640.00245770771.00818432.0E-5
7.74.1616954E-62.3281368E-61.2328113E-55.295271.0E-51.7835715E-59.977695E-61.9977595E-52.00222541.0E-52.171282E-41.2147242E-41.314712E-41.08231321.0E-50.00216916160.00121413320.00122412111.00822631.0E-5
7.82.2692414E-79.384417E-89.384417E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0218927E-74.0218927E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8966467E-64.8966467E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8965718E-54.8965718E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4397174E-93.4397174E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4741646E-81.4741646E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.7947953E-71.7947953E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.794794E-61.794794E-61.00.0

Santa Susana alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.674877E-52.7198214E-55.7197398E-52.10298373.0E-51.1463255E-41.16559204E-41.5655454E-41.34313324.0E-50.00139475780.00141829810.00146822721.03520365.0E-50.0138603620.0141043880.0141734011.0048937.0E-5
6.12.674877E-52.7198214E-55.7197398E-52.10298373.0E-51.1463255E-41.16559204E-41.5655454E-41.34313324.0E-50.00139475780.00141829810.00146822721.03520365.0E-50.0138603620.0141043880.0141734011.0048937.0E-5
6.22.674877E-52.7198214E-55.7197398E-52.10298373.0E-51.1463255E-41.16559204E-41.5655454E-41.34313324.0E-50.00139475780.00141829810.00146822721.03520365.0E-50.0138603620.0141043880.0141734011.0048937.0E-5
6.32.674877E-52.7198214E-55.7197398E-52.10298373.0E-51.1463255E-41.16559204E-41.5655454E-41.34313324.0E-50.00139475780.00141829810.00146822721.03520365.0E-50.0138603620.0141043880.0141734011.0048937.0E-5
6.42.674877E-52.7198214E-55.7197398E-52.10298373.0E-51.1463255E-41.16559204E-41.5655454E-41.34313324.0E-50.00139475780.00141829810.00146822721.03520365.0E-50.0138603620.0141043880.0141734011.0048937.0E-5
6.52.674877E-52.7198214E-55.7197398E-52.10298373.0E-51.1463255E-41.16559204E-41.5655454E-41.34313324.0E-50.00139475780.00141829810.00146822721.03520365.0E-50.0138603620.0141043880.0141734011.0048937.0E-5
6.62.6647976E-52.7074553E-55.707374E-52.10802153.0E-51.14200615E-41.16029274E-41.5602463E-41.34470064.0E-50.00138950560.00141185460.0014617841.03536445.0E-50.0138084940.0140407730.014109791.00491557.0E-5
6.72.6647976E-52.7074553E-55.707374E-52.10802153.0E-51.14200615E-41.16029274E-41.5602463E-41.34470064.0E-50.00138950560.00141185460.0014617841.03536445.0E-50.0138084940.0140407730.014109791.00491557.0E-5
6.81.9073179E-51.7637467E-54.763694E-52.70089463.0E-58.1739636E-57.558706E-51.1558403E-41.52915124.0E-59.947256E-49.19902E-49.69856E-41.05430365.0E-50.0099028480.0091633610.009232721.00756917.0E-5
6.91.9041876E-51.7619597E-54.761907E-52.70261963.0E-58.160549E-57.551048E-51.1550746E-41.52968784.0E-59.930939E-49.189705E-49.6892455E-41.05435875.0E-50.00988667550.0091541230.0092234831.00757687.0E-5
7.01.5917482E-51.3864049E-54.3863634E-53.163843.0E-56.8215995E-55.9416023E-59.941365E-51.6731794.0E-58.302132E-47.2315463E-47.731185E-41.06909165.0E-50.0082711850.00720906720.00727856251.009647.0E-5
7.11.577788E-51.3744056E-54.3743643E-53.18273193.0E-56.761774E-55.890179E-59.8899436E-51.67905654.0E-58.2293496E-47.16898E-47.668622E-41.06969495.0E-50.0081989410.00714690420.0072164041.00972457.0E-5
7.21.5416446E-51.34701295E-54.3469725E-53.227123.0E-56.606882E-55.7727877E-59.772557E-51.69286614.0E-58.0409093E-47.026149E-47.5257977E-41.07111285.0E-50.0080118770.00700497630.0070744861.00992297.0E-5
7.31.4534083E-51.2718032E-54.271765E-53.35882573.0E-56.228744E-55.4504737E-59.450255E-51.73384124.0E-57.580857E-46.633976E-47.133644E-41.07531955.0E-50.0075550480.00661517170.00668470841.01051187.0E-5
7.41.2858995E-51.1229814E-54.1229476E-53.671433.0E-55.5108816E-54.812691E-58.812498E-51.83109594.0E-56.7074323E-45.8579154E-46.3576223E-41.08530465.0E-50.00668722340.00584339020.00591298151.01190947.0E-5
7.58.827668E-67.805494E-67.805494E-61.00.03.7832317E-53.3451703E-54.3451368E-51.29892851.0E-54.605111E-44.072008E-44.2719266E-41.04909592.0E-50.00459557960.00406489850.00409477671.00735023.0E-5
7.63.2533426E-62.8720106E-62.8720106E-61.00.01.3942822E-51.230856E-51.230856E-51.00.01.6974064E-41.4984679E-41.4984679E-41.00.00.00169611040.00149749430.00150747931.00666791.0E-5
7.71.2751709E-61.1491339E-61.1491339E-61.00.05.4650063E-64.9248506E-64.9248506E-61.00.06.653442E-55.99585E-55.99585E-51.00.06.6514505E-45.9943215E-45.9943215E-41.00.0
7.83.067544E-73.240052E-73.240052E-71.00.01.3146611E-61.3885931E-61.3885931E-61.00.01.600588E-51.6906E-51.6906E-51.00.01.6004729E-41.6904817E-41.6904817E-41.00.0
7.97.622999E-88.0879715E-88.0879715E-81.00.03.2669993E-73.4662733E-73.4662733E-71.00.03.977564E-64.220182E-64.220182E-61.00.03.977493E-54.2201224E-54.2201224E-51.00.0

Los Alamos 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.6284417E-64.7517333E-61.4751686E-53.10448531.0E-51.9836029E-52.0364423E-54.0364015E-51.9820852.0E-52.4147688E-42.479104E-43.0789553E-41.24196296.0E-50.00241214670.00247651250.0025463391.02819557.0E-5
6.14.6284417E-64.7517333E-61.4751686E-53.10448531.0E-51.9836029E-52.0364423E-54.0364015E-51.9820852.0E-52.4147688E-42.479104E-43.0789553E-41.24196296.0E-50.00241214670.00247651250.0025463391.02819557.0E-5
6.24.6284417E-64.7517333E-61.4751686E-53.10448531.0E-51.9836029E-52.0364423E-54.0364015E-51.9820852.0E-52.4147688E-42.479104E-43.0789553E-41.24196296.0E-50.00241214670.00247651250.0025463391.02819557.0E-5
6.34.6284417E-64.7517333E-61.4751686E-53.10448531.0E-51.9836029E-52.0364423E-54.0364015E-51.9820852.0E-52.4147688E-42.479104E-43.0789553E-41.24196296.0E-50.00241214670.00247651250.0025463391.02819557.0E-5
6.44.6284417E-64.7517333E-61.4751686E-53.10448531.0E-51.9836029E-52.0364423E-54.0364015E-51.9820852.0E-52.4147688E-42.479104E-43.0789553E-41.24196296.0E-50.00241214670.00247651250.0025463391.02819557.0E-5
6.54.6284417E-64.7517333E-61.4751686E-53.10448531.0E-51.9836029E-52.0364423E-54.0364015E-51.9820852.0E-52.4147688E-42.479104E-43.0789553E-41.24196296.0E-50.00241214670.00247651250.0025463391.02819557.0E-5
6.64.6284417E-64.7517333E-61.4751686E-53.10448531.0E-51.9836029E-52.0364423E-54.0364015E-51.9820852.0E-52.4147688E-42.479104E-43.0789553E-41.24196296.0E-50.00241214670.00247651250.0025463391.02819557.0E-5
6.74.062321E-64.166351E-64.166351E-61.00.01.7409831E-51.7855677E-52.7855498E-51.5600361.0E-52.1194408E-42.1737268E-42.5736398E-41.18397584.0E-50.00211742050.00217175040.00222164181.0229735.0E-5
6.84.062321E-64.166351E-64.166351E-61.00.01.7409831E-51.7855677E-52.7855498E-51.5600361.0E-52.1194408E-42.1737268E-42.5736398E-41.18397584.0E-50.00211742050.00217175040.00222164181.0229735.0E-5
6.93.2936077E-63.37296E-63.37296E-61.00.01.4115385E-51.4455468E-52.4455323E-51.69176971.0E-51.7184127E-41.7598206E-42.1597501E-41.2272564.0E-50.00171708440.00175851960.00180843161.0283835.0E-5
7.03.1687898E-63.2448177E-63.2448177E-61.00.01.3580457E-51.3906293E-52.3906154E-51.71908891.0E-51.6532952E-41.692969E-42.0929011E-41.23623134.0E-50.00165206570.00169177070.00174168611.02950485.0E-5
7.12.9379228E-63.007328E-63.007328E-61.00.01.25910365E-51.288849E-52.2888362E-51.7758761.0E-51.5328509E-41.5690697E-41.969007E-41.25488824.0E-50.0015317940.0015680510.00161797261.03183675.0E-5
7.22.0020686E-62.041632E-62.041632E-61.00.08.580266E-68.749822E-68.749822E-61.00.01.0445973E-41.0652392E-41.2652179E-41.18773132.0E-50.00104410640.0010647330.00109470111.0281463.0E-5
7.31.7364243E-61.7678824E-61.7678824E-61.00.07.441797E-67.576617E-67.576617E-61.00.09.0600115E-59.224144E-51.1223959E-41.21680222.0E-59.0563187E-49.2203467E-49.52007E-41.03250673.0E-5
7.41.5718434E-61.5983198E-61.5983198E-61.00.06.7364545E-66.8499244E-66.8499244E-61.00.08.201325E-58.339467E-51.03392995E-41.23980342.0E-58.198299E-48.3363673E-48.636117E-41.03595693.0E-5
7.51.3841119E-61.4042814E-61.4042814E-61.00.05.9318945E-66.018335E-66.018335E-61.00.07.221842E-57.327079E-59.326933E-51.272942.0E-57.2194956E-47.3246926E-47.6244725E-41.04092743.0E-5
7.61.0843726E-61.0934443E-61.0934443E-61.00.04.647303E-64.6861815E-64.6861815E-61.00.05.6579443E-55.705279E-56.705222E-51.17526631.0E-55.656504E-45.70384E-45.903726E-41.03504412.0E-5
7.75.544814E-75.501884E-75.501884E-71.00.02.3763469E-62.3579482E-62.3579482E-61.00.02.8931638E-52.8707644E-52.8707644E-51.00.02.8927872E-42.870395E-42.870395E-41.00.0
7.82.0707465E-71.9778598E-71.9778598E-71.00.08.874625E-78.476539E-78.476539E-71.00.01.08048025E-51.0320137E-51.0320137E-51.00.01.0804277E-41.0319663E-41.0319663E-41.00.0
7.93.9821284E-83.4331528E-83.4331528E-81.00.01.7066264E-71.4713511E-71.4713511E-71.00.02.0778157E-61.7913685E-61.7913685E-61.00.02.0777963E-51.7913546E-51.7913546E-51.00.0
8.07.880441E-118.2353124E-118.2353124E-111.00.03.3773329E-103.52942E-103.52942E-101.00.04.1119033E-94.2970694E-94.2970694E-91.00.04.1119034E-84.2970694E-84.2970694E-81.00.0

Channel Islands Western Deep Ramp

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.0213506E-66.2548684E-62.6254744E-54.19748932.0E-52.5805533E-52.6806329E-54.680579E-51.74607252.0E-53.1413708E-43.2632265E-43.8630306E-41.18380716.0E-50.00313693380.00325887630.00332864821.02140977.0E-5
6.16.0213506E-66.2548684E-62.6254744E-54.19748932.0E-52.5805533E-52.6806329E-54.680579E-51.74607252.0E-53.1413708E-43.2632265E-43.8630306E-41.18380716.0E-50.00313693380.00325887630.00332864821.02140977.0E-5
6.26.0213506E-66.2548684E-62.6254744E-54.19748932.0E-52.5805533E-52.6806329E-54.680579E-51.74607252.0E-53.1413708E-43.2632265E-43.8630306E-41.18380716.0E-50.00313693380.00325887630.00332864821.02140977.0E-5
6.36.0213506E-66.2548684E-62.6254744E-54.19748932.0E-52.5805533E-52.6806329E-54.680579E-51.74607252.0E-53.1413708E-43.2632265E-43.8630306E-41.18380716.0E-50.00313693380.00325887630.00332864821.02140977.0E-5
6.46.0213506E-66.2548684E-62.6254744E-54.19748932.0E-52.5805533E-52.6806329E-54.680579E-51.74607252.0E-53.1413708E-43.2632265E-43.8630306E-41.18380716.0E-50.00313693380.00325887630.00332864821.02140977.0E-5
6.56.0213506E-66.2548684E-62.6254744E-54.19748932.0E-52.5805533E-52.6806329E-54.680579E-51.74607252.0E-53.1413708E-43.2632265E-43.8630306E-41.18380716.0E-50.00313693380.00325887630.00332864821.02140977.0E-5
6.66.0213506E-66.2548684E-62.6254744E-54.19748932.0E-52.5805533E-52.6806329E-54.680579E-51.74607252.0E-53.1413708E-43.2632265E-43.8630306E-41.18380716.0E-50.00313693380.00325887630.00332864821.02140977.0E-5
6.75.313309E-65.5252403E-61.5525186E-52.8098661.0E-52.2771126E-52.367941E-53.3679175E-51.42229781.0E-52.772032E-42.8826276E-43.182541E-41.10404173.0E-50.00276857660.00287929180.00291917661.01385244.0E-5
6.85.313309E-65.5252403E-61.5525186E-52.8098661.0E-52.2771126E-52.367941E-53.3679175E-51.42229781.0E-52.772032E-42.8826276E-43.182541E-41.10404173.0E-50.00276857660.00287929180.00291917661.01385244.0E-5
6.94.744377E-64.9394303E-61.4939381E-53.0245151.0E-52.0332885E-52.1168837E-53.1168624E-51.47238251.0E-52.4752476E-42.5770385E-42.876961E-41.11638273.0E-50.00247249220.00257441750.00261431441.01549744.0E-5
7.04.722209E-64.9164732E-61.4916424E-53.03396841.0E-52.0237881E-52.107045E-53.1070238E-51.47458831.0E-52.4636835E-42.5650626E-42.8649857E-41.11692623.0E-50.0024609540.00256246930.00260236671.01556994.0E-5
7.14.611174E-64.801409E-61.48013605E-53.0827121.0E-51.9762025E-52.0577325E-53.057712E-51.48596181.0E-52.4057609E-42.5050386E-42.8049634E-41.11972873.0E-50.0024031580.0025025820.00254248181.01594354.0E-5
7.24.043994E-64.2120264E-61.4211984E-53.3741441.0E-51.7331287E-51.8051438E-52.8051258E-51.55396251.0E-52.10988E-42.1975765E-42.4975106E-41.1364843.0E-50.0021078780.00219575430.00223566641.0181774.0E-5
7.32.1233036E-62.2297875E-62.2297875E-61.00.09.099841E-69.556197E-69.556197E-61.00.01.1078493E-41.1634055E-41.1634055E-41.00.00.00110729710.0011628020.0011628021.00.0
7.41.9051884E-62.0014973E-62.0014973E-61.00.08.165067E-68.577817E-68.577817E-61.00.09.940516E-51.0442998E-41.0442998E-41.00.09.93607E-40.00104381440.00104381441.00.0
7.51.2408497E-61.3038839E-61.3038839E-61.00.05.317916E-65.588062E-65.588062E-61.00.06.4743705E-56.8032554E-56.8032554E-51.00.06.4724847E-46.8011944E-46.8011944E-41.00.0
7.66.5440025E-76.886718E-76.886718E-71.00.02.8045695E-62.9514472E-62.9514472E-61.00.03.4145098E-53.593329E-53.593329E-51.00.03.4139853E-43.5927625E-43.5927625E-41.00.0
7.73.985963E-74.1930787E-74.1930787E-71.00.01.7082689E-61.7970326E-61.7970326E-61.00.02.0797976E-52.1878664E-52.1878664E-51.00.02.0796029E-42.1876628E-42.1876628E-41.00.0
7.83.706329E-83.8591796E-83.8591796E-81.00.01.5884267E-71.653934E-71.653934E-71.00.01.9339077E-62.0136629E-62.0136629E-61.00.01.933891E-52.0136458E-52.0136458E-51.00.0

Pine Mtn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.894797E-67.2254716E-63.7225254E-55.1519483.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-56.0965027E-51.96877593.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.169332E-41.10607544.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.0038331231.01853027.0E-5
6.16.894797E-67.2254716E-63.7225254E-55.1519483.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-56.0965027E-51.96877593.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.169332E-41.10607544.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.0038331231.01853027.0E-5
6.26.894797E-67.2254716E-63.7225254E-55.1519483.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-56.0965027E-51.96877593.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.169332E-41.10607544.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.0038331231.01853027.0E-5
6.36.894797E-67.2254716E-63.7225254E-55.1519483.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-56.0965027E-51.96877593.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.169332E-41.10607544.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.0038331231.01853027.0E-5
6.46.894797E-67.2254716E-63.7225254E-55.1519483.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-56.0965027E-51.96877593.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.169332E-41.10607544.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.0038331231.01853027.0E-5
6.56.894797E-67.2254716E-63.7225254E-55.1519483.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-56.0965027E-51.96877593.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.169332E-41.10607544.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.0038331231.01853027.0E-5
6.66.894797E-67.2254716E-63.7225254E-55.1519483.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-56.0965027E-51.96877593.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.169332E-41.10607544.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.0038331231.01853027.0E-5
6.76.0867933E-66.397124E-63.639693E-55.68957763.0E-52.6085996E-52.7415968E-55.7415145E-52.09422283.0E-53.1755073E-43.337405E-43.7372715E-41.11981364.0E-50.00317097340.00333261190.00340237861.02093467.0E-5
6.85.6530425E-65.950606E-62.5950487E-54.36098242.0E-52.42271E-52.5502359E-54.550185E-51.78422122.0E-52.94925E-43.1044905E-43.3044282E-41.06440282.0E-50.0029453390.00310035820.00315020331.01607725.0E-5
6.94.6015225E-64.8638444E-62.4863748E-55.11195372.0E-51.9720663E-52.084489E-54.0844472E-51.95944772.0E-52.4007261E-42.5375842E-42.7375337E-41.07879512.0E-50.00239813420.0025348310.00256475481.0118053.0E-5
7.04.4875965E-64.7474837E-62.4747389E-55.2127382.0E-51.9232413E-52.0346208E-54.03458E-51.98296422.0E-52.3412947E-42.4768838E-42.676834E-41.08072662.0E-50.00233882950.00247426680.00250419251.01209493.0E-5
7.13.203907E-63.42942E-61.3429386E-53.9159351.0E-51.3730958E-51.4697435E-52.4697289E-51.68038081.0E-51.6716159E-41.7892725E-41.8892546E-41.05587861.0E-50.00167035890.0017878980.00180786221.01116632.0E-5
7.22.2060601E-62.3784874E-61.2378464E-55.2043431.0E-59.4545085E-61.019348E-52.0193378E-51.98100921.0E-51.15102564E-41.2409901E-41.3409776E-41.08057081.0E-50.00115042960.00124034190.00126031721.01610462.0E-5
7.31.3765207E-61.5216535E-61.5216535E-61.00.05.899361E-66.5213567E-66.5213567E-61.00.07.182235E-57.939472E-57.939472E-51.00.07.1799144E-47.9367263E-48.036647E-41.01258971.0E-5
7.41.1245983E-61.2587126E-61.2587126E-61.00.04.819698E-65.394472E-65.394472E-61.00.05.8678244E-56.56758E-56.56758E-51.00.05.866275E-46.565722E-46.565722E-41.00.0
7.58.031682E-79.276999E-79.276999E-71.00.03.4421448E-63.975851E-63.975851E-61.00.04.1907308E-54.840498E-54.840498E-51.00.04.1899405E-44.8395112E-44.8395112E-41.00.0
7.64.8953444E-76.0030544E-76.0030544E-71.00.02.098003E-62.5727354E-62.5727354E-61.00.02.5542888E-53.1322652E-53.1322652E-51.00.02.5539953E-43.1318725E-43.1318725E-41.00.0
7.76.634529E-86.788826E-86.788826E-81.00.02.843369E-72.9094966E-72.9094966E-71.00.03.4617963E-63.5423066E-63.5423066E-61.00.03.4617424E-53.542255E-53.542255E-51.00.0
7.89.235578E-99.488566E-99.488566E-91.00.03.9581046E-84.0665284E-84.0665284E-81.00.04.818991E-74.950997E-74.950997E-71.00.04.8189804E-64.950988E-64.950988E-61.00.0

Kern Canyon (Lake Isabella) 2011

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
<
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.2387383E-64.0016344E-62.4001554E-55.9979382.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-55.714907E-53.33235434.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.7876557E-41.33521097.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.0021558781.03348667.0E-5
6.14.2387383E-64.0016344E-62.4001554E-55.9979382.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-55.714907E-53.33235434.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.7876557E-41.33521097.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.0021558781.03348667.0E-5
6.24.2387383E-64.0016344E-62.4001554E-55.9979382.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-55.714907E-53.33235434.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.7876557E-41.33521097.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.0021558781.03348667.0E-5