Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions
Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)
Table Of Contents
Tank Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8284557E-5 | 5.796445E-5 | 0.09073271 | 1565.3164 | 0.09068 | 2.0691741E-4 | 2.4839927E-4 | 0.112470515 | 452.78122 | 0.11225 | 0.0025163088 | 0.0030207336 | 0.14342533 | 47.480297 | 0.14083 | 0.02488006 | 0.029863616 | 0.18368845 | 6.150911 | 0.15856 |
6.1 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.0873378E-5 | 0.03377017 | 1617.8584 | 0.03375 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.945448E-5 | 0.04294562 | 480.0835 | 0.04286 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010886024 | 0.05645826 | 51.86307 | 0.05543 | 0.009242975 | 0.010836642 | 0.07367819 | 6.798987 | 0.06353 |
6.2 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.0873378E-5 | 0.03377017 | 1617.8584 | 0.03375 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.945448E-5 | 0.04294562 | 480.0835 | 0.04286 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010886024 | 0.05645826 | 51.86307 | 0.05543 | 0.009242975 | 0.010836642 | 0.07367819 | 6.798987 | 0.06353 |
6.3 | 1.3515912E-5 | 1.5759651E-5 | 0.02471537 | 1568.2688 | 0.0247 | 5.792405E-5 | 6.7539746E-5 | 0.03162541 | 468.24884 | 0.03156 | 7.049971E-4 | 8.2200987E-4 | 0.04157848 | 50.581486 | 0.04079 | 0.007027647 | 0.008192157 | 0.054688107 | 6.6756663 | 0.04688 |
6.4 | 1.0870146E-5 | 1.2618114E-5 | 0.018762382 | 1486.9402 | 0.01875 | 4.658551E-5 | 5.4076605E-5 | 0.023912786 | 442.20206 | 0.02386 | 5.67031E-4 | 6.582015E-4 | 0.031657785 | 48.097404 | 0.03102 | 0.005655863 | 0.006564382 | 0.04206977 | 6.408794 | 0.03574 |
6.5 | 7.964826E-6 | 9.196184E-6 | 0.011929086 | 1297.178 | 0.01192 | 3.4134522E-5 | 3.941168E-5 | 0.014988823 | 380.3142 | 0.01495 | 4.1550855E-4 | 4.797421E-4 | 0.01984045 | 41.35649 | 0.01937 | 0.0041473247 | 0.004788209 | 0.02702124 | 5.643287 | 0.02234 |
6.6 | 6.6317E-6 | 7.612378E-6 | 0.008797546 | 1155.6895 | 0.00879 | 2.8421264E-5 | 3.262412E-5 | 0.010992266 | 336.9368 | 0.01096 | 3.4597394E-4 | 3.9713533E-4 | 0.014571504 | 36.691532 | 0.01418 | 0.0034543579 | 0.0039652516 | 0.020340063 | 5.129577 | 0.01644 |
6.7 | 4.793663E-6 | 5.4308593E-6 | 0.004765405 | 877.46796 | 0.00476 | 2.0544108E-5 | 2.3274928E-5 | 0.006003136 | 257.92285 | 0.00598 | 2.500958E-4 | 2.833398E-4 | 0.008001152 | 28.23872 | 0.00772 | 0.0024981452 | 0.0028303189 | 0.0118547045 | 4.1884694 | 0.00905 |
6.8 | 4.382823E-6 | 4.969325E-6 | 0.0043749474 | 880.39075 | 0.00437 | 1.8783392E-5 | 2.1296957E-5 | 0.00551118 | 258.7778 | 0.00549 | 2.286638E-4 | 2.5926388E-4 | 0.0072974386 | 28.146763 | 0.00704 | 0.0022842865 | 0.0025901233 | 0.010818755 | 4.1769266 | 0.00825 |
6.9 | 2.729601E-6 | 3.0735862E-6 | 0.0020530673 | 667.97125 | 0.00205 | 1.1698237E-5 | 1.3172453E-5 | 0.0026131382 | 198.37901 | 0.0026 | 1.4241673E-4 | 1.6036403E-4 | 0.0034798316 | 21.699577 | 0.00332 | 0.001423255 | 0.0016024808 | 0.005556135 | 3.4672084 | 0.00396 |
7.0 | 1.8987357E-6 | 2.126971E-6 | 0.0010821247 | 508.76324 | 0.00108 | 8.137413E-6 | 9.115562E-6 | 0.0012891039 | 141.41792 | 0.00128 | 9.90685E-5 | 1.1097702E-4 | 0.0017008006 | 15.325702 | 0.00159 | 9.902435E-4 | 0.0011092846 | 0.0029971881 | 2.7019107 | 0.00189 |
7.1 | 1.4928986E-6 | 1.6641525E-6 | 6.216631E-4 | 373.56137 | 6.2E-4 | 6.398121E-6 | 7.132066E-6 | 7.571267E-4 | 106.15812 | 7.5E-4 | 7.789434E-5 | 8.6830034E-5 | 0.0010367476 | 11.939965 | 9.5E-4 | 7.786704E-4 | 8.6801895E-4 | 0.0020170207 | 2.323706 | 0.00115 |
7.2 | 1.069082E-6 | 1.1828765E-6 | 2.8118255E-4 | 237.71082 | 2.8E-4 | 4.581772E-6 | 5.0694644E-6 | 3.550677E-4 | 70.040474 | 3.5E-4 | 5.5781646E-5 | 6.171951E-5 | 5.4168986E-4 | 8.776639 | 4.8E-4 | 5.576765E-4 | 6.1707594E-4 | 0.0011967181 | 1.9393367 | 5.8E-4 |
7.3 | 8.776551E-7 | 9.770151E-7 | 1.7097685E-4 | 174.99918 | 1.7E-4 | 3.7613736E-6 | 4.187204E-6 | 2.0418636E-4 | 48.76437 | 2.0E-4 | 4.579376E-5 | 5.0978535E-5 | 3.5096324E-4 | 6.8845296 | 3.0E-4 | 4.5784327E-4 | 5.097194E-4 | 8.6953596E-4 | 1.7059109 | 3.6E-4 |
7.4 | 7.55721E-7 | 8.5103835E-7 | 1.5085092E-4 | 177.25513 | 1.5E-4 | 3.2388E-6 | 3.6473052E-6 | 1.8364665E-4 | 50.351326 | 1.8E-4 | 3.9431678E-5 | 4.4405555E-5 | 3.1439358E-4 | 7.0800505 | 2.7E-4 | 3.942468E-4 | 4.4401767E-4 | 7.7387114E-4 | 1.7428837 | 3.3E-4 |
7.5 | 5.587665E-7 | 6.305732E-7 | 1.0063051E-4 | 159.58577 | 1.0E-4 | 2.3947114E-6 | 2.7024564E-6 | 1.2270213E-4 | 45.403927 | 1.2E-4 | 2.915522E-5 | 3.2902408E-5 | 2.2289615E-4 | 6.774463 | 1.9E-4 | 2.9151395E-4 | 3.2902407E-4 | 5.589484E-4 | 1.698807 | 2.3E-4 |
Garlock (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.02476E-5 | 0.12913118 | 1838.229 | 0.12907 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.0102677E-4 | 0.14865635 | 493.83102 | 0.1484 | 0.0028726095 | 0.003658906 | 0.17522885 | 47.89105 | 0.1722 | 0.028357591 | 0.036136657 | 0.2149333 | 5.9477916 | 0.1855 |
6.1 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.02476E-5 | 0.12913118 | 1838.229 | 0.12907 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.0102677E-4 | 0.14865635 | 493.83102 | 0.1484 | 0.0028726095 | 0.003658906 | 0.17522885 | 47.89105 | 0.1722 | 0.028357591 | 0.036136657 | 0.2149333 | 5.9477916 | 0.1855 |
6.2 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.1661802E-5 | 0.079487555 | 1538.6138 | 0.07944 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.213891E-4 | 0.09226101 | 416.7369 | 0.09206 | 0.0021976046 | 0.002692112 | 0.11041134 | 41.012905 | 0.10801 | 0.021759989 | 0.026701318 | 0.14041181 | 5.2586093 | 0.11683 |
6.3 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.1661802E-5 | 0.079487555 | 1538.6138 | 0.07944 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.213891E-4 | 0.09226101 | 416.7369 | 0.09206 | 0.0021976046 | 0.002692112 | 0.11041134 | 41.012905 | 0.10801 | 0.021759989 | 0.026701318 | 0.14041181 | 5.2586093 | 0.11683 |
6.4 | 3.6858168E-5 | 4.411026E-5 | 0.0614514 | 1393.1317 | 0.06141 | 1.5795401E-4 | 1.8903041E-4 | 0.07183549 | 380.02078 | 0.07166 | 0.0019213937 | 0.0022990413 | 0.08667461 | 37.70033 | 0.08457 | 0.019048655 | 0.022866098 | 0.1125963 | 4.924159 | 0.09183 |
6.5 | 3.39199E-5 | 4.0018425E-5 | 0.055117816 | 1377.3109 | 0.05508 | 1.453629E-4 | 1.7149639E-4 | 0.064430475 | 375.6958 | 0.06427 | 0.0017683565 | 0.0020859907 | 0.077967376 | 37.376663 | 0.07604 | 0.017543508 | 0.020758783 | 0.10160494 | 4.8945518 | 0.08256 |
6.6 | 3.3571985E-5 | 3.947258E-5 | 0.055027302 | 1394.064 | 0.05499 | 1.4387199E-4 | 1.6915736E-4 | 0.06431831 | 380.22766 | 0.06416 | 0.0017502342 | 0.0020575672 | 0.07776148 | 37.792923 | 0.07586 | 0.017365133 | 0.020480042 | 0.10112392 | 4.937681 | 0.08233 |
6.7 | 3.2580007E-5 | 3.808902E-5 | 0.05283608 | 1387.1735 | 0.0528 | 1.3962112E-4 | 1.6322857E-4 | 0.061823163 | 378.7521 | 0.06167 | 0.0016985617 | 0.0019855178 | 0.074840575 | 37.693226 | 0.073 | 0.016856372 | 0.019770874 | 0.09746383 | 4.9296675 | 0.07926 |
6.8 | 3.2185937E-5 | 3.7516216E-5 | 0.05185557 | 1382.2175 | 0.05182 | 1.3793244E-4 | 1.60774E-4 | 0.060661044 | 377.30634 | 0.06051 | 0.0016780337 | 0.0019556875 | 0.073345795 | 37.503845 | 0.07153 | 0.016654192 | 0.019477878 | 0.09564484 | 4.9104342 | 0.07768 |
6.9 | 3.165394E-5 | 3.672075E-5 | 0.05073486 | 1381.64 | 0.0507 | 1.3565269E-4 | 1.5736527E-4 | 0.05938804 | 377.38977 | 0.05924 | 0.0016503202 | 0.00191426 | 0.07185013 | 37.534153 | 0.07007 | 0.01638118 | 0.019071518 | 0.09368094 | 4.912086 | 0.07606 |
7.0 | 3.0903822E-5 | 3.562591E-5 | 0.049183875 | 1380.5647 | 0.04915 | 1.3243823E-4 | 1.5267366E-4 | 0.05756391 | 377.0389 | 0.05742 | 0.0016112428 | 0.0018572382 | 0.06957124 | 37.459515 | 0.06784 | 0.015996104 | 0.018513493 | 0.090819605 | 4.90559 | 0.07367 |
7.1 | 3.0069863E-5 | 3.4392175E-5 | 0.046982776 | 1366.0892 | 0.04695 | 1.2886449E-4 | 1.4738683E-4 | 0.055119283 | 373.977 | 0.05498 | 0.0015677959 | 0.0017929787 | 0.06672634 | 37.21536 | 0.06505 | 0.01556781 | 0.01788099 | 0.08727752 | 4.881023 | 0.07066 |
7.2 | 2.7957109E-5 | 3.128141E-5 | 0.039340053 | 1257.6174 | 0.03931 | 1.1981068E-4 | 1.3405642E-4 | 0.046297867 | 345.36105 | 0.04617 | 0.0014577188 | 0.0016309345 | 0.05626169 | 34.496597 | 0.05472 | 0.014481937 | 0.016284352 | 0.07469739 | 4.587065 | 0.05938 |
7.3 | 2.4519275E-5 | 2.6714602E-5 | 0.028215962 | 1056.2 | 0.02819 | 1.0507837E-4 | 1.1448621E-4 | 0.03336068 | 291.39474 | 0.03325 | 0.0012785783 | 0.001392993 | 0.04085794 | 29.331045 | 0.03952 | 0.012712469 | 0.01392861 | 0.056418426 | 4.0505424 | 0.04309 |
7.4 | 2.3225532E-5 | 2.5199166E-5 | 0.02578455 | 1023.2303 | 0.02576 | 9.95342E-5 | 1.0799204E-4 | 0.03030473 | 280.62003 | 0.0302 | 0.0012111551 | 0.0013140244 | 0.037116915 | 28.246746 | 0.03585 | 0.012045753 | 0.013146196 | 0.051712442 | 3.933643 | 0.03908 |
7.5 | 2.097765E-5 | 2.2483406E-5 | 0.020492023 | 911.4288 | 0.02047 | 8.9901114E-5 | 9.6353964E-5 | 0.024194032 | 251.09534 | 0.0241 | 0.0010939965 | 0.00117249 | 0.029728968 | 25.355413 | 0.02859 | 0.010886264 | 0.0117406575 | 0.042534817 | 3.6228652 | 0.03116 |
7.6 | 1.511254E-5 | 1.5990969E-5 | 0.011145813 | 697.0067 | 0.01113 | 6.476642E-5 | 6.8530964E-5 | 0.01320763 | 192.72499 | 0.01314 | 7.882459E-4 | 8.34053E-4 | 0.016281158 | 19.520533 | 0.01546 | 0.007854558 | 0.008383867 | 0.025152097 | 3.000059 | 0.01691 |
7.7 | 9.934069E-6 | 1.0678523E-5 | 0.003340643 | 312.83755 | 0.00333 | 4.2573887E-5 | 4.5764296E-5 | 0.0040155826 | 87.74487 | 0.00397 | 5.182138E-4 | 5.570383E-4 | 0.0051744645 | 9.289245 | 0.00462 | 0.00517007 | 0.005627419 | 0.010599282 | 1.8835068 | 0.005 |
7.8 | 6.7562896E-6 | 8.42837E-6 | 0.002078411 | 246.59703 | 0.00207 | 2.8955206E-5 | 3.6121084E-5 | 0.0025160315 | 69.65548 | 0.00248 | 3.5247262E-4 | 4.3968562E-4 | 0.0032984281 | 7.501787 | 0.00286 | 0.0035191406 | 0.004446416 | 0.007542588 | 1.6963297 | 0.00311 |
7.9 | 3.975453E-6 | 5.3710532E-6 | 0.0011953646 | 222.55685 | 0.00119 | 1.7037546E-5 | 2.3018596E-5 | 0.001442986 | 62.68783 | 0.00142 | 2.0741238E-4 | 2.8021546E-4 | 0.0018997615 | 6.7796454 | 0.00162 | 0.002072189 | 0.0028335669 | 0.0045686364 | 1.6123271 | 0.00174 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.0775192E-6 | 4.3207663E-4 | 207.9772 | 4.3E-4 | 7.169782E-6 | 8.903624E-6 | 5.1889906E-4 | 58.279537 | 5.1E-4 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.0839626E-4 | 6.883334E-4 | 6.350158 | 5.8E-4 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.001096854 | 0.001736152 | 1.582847 | 6.4E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1489736E-7 | 9.031487E-5 | 286.8073 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3495595E-6 | 1.01349426E-4 | 75.09815 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.643078E-5 | 1.1642914E-4 | 7.086038 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.662928E-4 | 2.6627615E-4 | 1.601249 | 1.0E-4 |
Little Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1205716E-5 | 0.058689374 | 1880.7252 | 0.05866 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3373268E-4 | 0.06772469 | 506.41843 | 0.0676 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016271125 | 0.08007926 | 49.21556 | 0.07858 | 0.014722223 | 0.016165398 | 0.09991924 | 6.1810565 | 0.08513 |
6.1 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1205716E-5 | 0.058689374 | 1880.7252 | 0.05866 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3373268E-4 | 0.06772469 | 506.41843 | 0.0676 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016271125 | 0.08007926 | 49.21556 | 0.07858 | 0.014722223 | 0.016165398 | 0.09991924 | 6.1810565 | 0.08513 |
6.2 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1205716E-5 | 0.058689374 | 1880.7252 | 0.05866 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3373268E-4 | 0.06772469 | 506.41843 | 0.0676 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016271125 | 0.08007926 | 49.21556 | 0.07858 | 0.014722223 | 0.016165398 | 0.09991924 | 6.1810565 | 0.08513 |
6.3 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.6081383E-5 | 0.040195435 | 2499.501 | 0.04018 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.8918554E-5 | 0.046255734 | 671.16516 | 0.04619 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.387886E-4 | 0.054184005 | 64.59793 | 0.05339 | 0.007737305 | 0.008359045 | 0.06540815 | 7.8248353 | 0.05753 |
6.4 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.6081383E-5 | 0.040195435 | 2499.501 | 0.04018 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.8918554E-5 | 0.046255734 | 671.16516 | 0.04619 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.387886E-4 | 0.054184005 | 64.59793 | 0.05339 | 0.007737305 | 0.008359045 | 0.06540815 | 7.8248353 | 0.05753 |
6.5 | 1.2797581E-5 | 1.376556E-5 | 0.037253253 | 2706.2651 | 0.03724 | 5.4845623E-5 | 5.8994065E-5 | 0.04285647 | 726.4539 | 0.0428 | 6.675408E-4 | 7.1804173E-4 | 0.05015252 | 69.846245 | 0.04947 | 0.006655392 | 0.007159767 | 0.059988797 | 8.378595 | 0.05321 |
6.6 | 9.661896E-6 | 1.0289033E-5 | 0.032619953 | 3170.3616 | 0.03261 | 4.1407468E-5 | 4.40952E-5 | 0.037522443 | 850.94165 | 0.03748 | 5.040193E-4 | 5.36743E-4 | 0.043623604 | 81.27465 | 0.04311 | 0.005028777 | 0.0053560715 | 0.05142798 | 9.6018095 | 0.04632 |
6.7 | 7.767871E-6 | 8.199681E-6 | 0.028707964 | 3501.1074 | 0.0287 | 3.329045E-5 | 3.5141096E-5 | 0.032913987 | 936.6238 | 0.03288 | 4.0523586E-4 | 4.2777258E-4 | 0.038051672 | 88.95304 | 0.03764 | 0.004044977 | 0.004270843 | 0.044488344 | 10.416759 | 0.04039 |
6.8 | 6.4235196E-6 | 6.735739E-6 | 0.022336585 | 3316.13 | 0.02233 | 2.752908E-5 | 2.8867207E-5 | 0.025658127 | 888.83307 | 0.02563 | 3.35115E-4 | 3.5141438E-4 | 0.029661112 | 84.404945 | 0.02932 | 0.003346101 | 0.0035098472 | 0.03488932 | 9.940411 | 0.03149 |
6.9 | 3.1283696E-6 | 3.1121751E-6 | 0.014103068 | 4531.5796 | 0.0141 | 1.3407229E-5 | 1.33378335E-5 | 0.016173122 | 1212.575 | 0.01616 | 1.6322079E-4 | 1.6237753E-4 | 0.01855939 | 114.29777 | 0.0184 | 0.0016310095 | 0.0016227372 | 0.0212109 | 13.071062 | 0.01962 |
7.0 | 2.290603E-6 | 2.2286763E-6 | 0.008772209 | 3936.0627 | 0.00877 | 9.816834E-6 | 9.551441E-6 | 0.010099455 | 1057.3751 | 0.01009 | 1.19513395E-4 | 1.1628362E-4 | 0.011454965 | 98.50884 | 0.01134 | 0.0011944914 | 0.0011623299 | 0.013188335 | 11.346465 | 0.01204 |
7.1 | 1.293693E-6 | 1.1776774E-6 | 0.003961173 | 3363.5466 | 0.00396 | 5.5443866E-6 | 5.047183E-6 | 0.004625024 | 916.3575 | 0.00462 | 6.750081E-5 | 6.1448416E-5 | 0.0052811275 | 85.94408 | 0.00522 | 6.7480316E-4 | 6.1438273E-4 | 0.0061309915 | 9.979107 | 0.00552 |
7.2 | 4.715842E-7 | 3.091732E-7 | 2.003091E-4 | 647.8864 | 2.0E-4 | 2.0210737E-6 | 1.3250274E-6 | 2.2132474E-4 | 167.03409 | 2.2E-4 | 2.4606294E-5 | 1.6132095E-5 | 2.9612757E-4 | 18.356424 | 2.8E-4 | 2.460357E-4 | 1.6130977E-4 | 4.7125976E-4 | 2.9214582 | 3.1E-4 |
7.3 | 3.9430947E-7 | 2.3096938E-7 | 1.2023094E-4 | 520.54926 | 1.2E-4 | 1.6898966E-6 | 9.898685E-7 | 1.3098973E-4 | 132.33046 | 1.3E-4 | 2.0574296E-5 | 1.2051582E-5 | 2.020493E-4 | 16.765375 | 1.9E-4 | 2.0572392E-4 | 1.2050936E-4 | 3.4048286E-4 | 2.8253644 | 2.2E-4 |
7.4 | 3.547123E-7 | 1.9678579E-7 | 1.0019677E-4 | 509.1667 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5201948E-6 | 8.433674E-7 | 1.1084328E-4 | 131.4294 | 1.1E-4 | 1.8508214E-5 | 1.02679505E-5 | 1.802662E-4 | 17.556202 | 1.7E-4 | 1.8506673E-4 | 1.0267482E-4 | 3.0265428E-4 | 2.9476972 | 2.0E-4 |
7.5 | 2.6354266E-7 | 1.4422719E-7 | 9.014421E-5 | 625.0154 | 9.0E-5 | 1.129468E-6 | 6.1811636E-7 | 1.00618054E-4 | 162.78174 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3751187E-5 | 7.525541E-6 | 1.5752441E-4 | 20.93197 | 1.5E-4 | 1.3750336E-4 | 7.5252916E-5 | 2.5523937E-4 | 3.391754 | 1.8E-4 |
7.6 | 1.269913E-7 | 7.572344E-8 | 3.0075722E-5 | 397.17847 | 3.0E-5 | 5.4424834E-7 | 3.24529E-7 | 4.0324518E-5 | 124.25551 | 4.0E-5 | 6.6262032E-6 | 3.9511337E-6 | 7.3950854E-5 | 18.716364 | 7.0E-5 | 6.626006E-5 | 3.9510673E-5 | 1.3950672E-4 | 3.5308619 | 1.0E-4 |
Owl Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.6358676E-5 | 0.0371639 | 560.0458 | 0.0371 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.843643E-4 | 0.045781422 | 160.99567 | 0.04551 | 0.0026222812 | 0.003457547 | 0.05967251 | 17.258625 | 0.05641 | 0.02591553 | 0.034141295 | 0.09465234 | 2.772371 | 0.06265 |
6.1 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.6358676E-5 | 0.0371639 | 560.0458 | 0.0371 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.843643E-4 | 0.045781422 | 160.99567 | 0.04551 | 0.0026222812 | 0.003457547 | 0.05967251 | 17.258625 | 0.05641 | 0.02591553 | 0.034141295 | 0.09465234 | 2.772371 | 0.06265 |
6.2 | 2.4125871E-5 | 3.0980515E-5 | 0.02815011 | 908.63916 | 0.02812 | 1.0339249E-4 | 1.3276804E-4 | 0.033978272 | 255.92209 | 0.03385 | 0.0012580766 | 0.0016154252 | 0.04349766 | 26.926445 | 0.04195 | 0.012509781 | 0.016070755 | 0.06191202 | 3.8524647 | 0.04659 |
6.3 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2355545E-5 | 0.024681805 | 1104.0574 | 0.02466 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.580685E-5 | 0.029343005 | 306.27252 | 0.02925 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.001165962 | 0.03704408 | 31.771261 | 0.03592 | 0.009055373 | 0.0116291465 | 0.05065991 | 4.356288 | 0.03949 |
6.4 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2355545E-5 | 0.024681805 | 1104.0574 | 0.02466 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.580685E-5 | 0.029343005 | 306.27252 | 0.02925 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.001165962 | 0.03704408 | 31.771261 | 0.03592 | 0.009055373 | 0.0116291465 | 0.05065991 | 4.356288 | 0.03949 |
6.5 | 1.5182742E-5 | 1.9429277E-5 | 0.023328977 | 1200.7125 | 0.02331 | 6.506727E-5 | 8.3266525E-5 | 0.027650971 | 332.07788 | 0.02757 | 7.919061E-4 | 0.0010134344 | 0.03469926 | 34.239277 | 0.03372 | 0.0078909 | 0.010118678 | 0.046674997 | 4.6127563 | 0.03693 |
6.6 | 6.7271576E-6 | 8.547518E-6 | 0.018008394 | 2106.8564 | 0.018 | 2.8830356E-5 | 3.6631736E-5 | 0.020745873 | 566.33606 | 0.02071 | 3.5095305E-4 | 4.4590578E-4 | 0.024964968 | 55.98709 | 0.02453 | 0.0035039932 | 0.0044680187 | 0.030670421 | 6.8644342 | 0.02632 |
6.7 | 6.682835E-6 | 8.479961E-6 | 0.017978327 | 2120.0955 | 0.01797 | 2.8640408E-5 | 3.6342215E-5 | 0.02071559 | 570.0145 | 0.02068 | 3.4864116E-4 | 4.423823E-4 | 0.024931544 | 56.357464 | 0.0245 | 0.003480947 | 0.0044329325 | 0.030596435 | 6.902076 | 0.02628 |
6.8 | 6.5774975E-6 | 8.326427E-6 | 0.017938178 | 2154.3667 | 0.01793 | 2.8188972E-5 | 3.5684232E-5 | 0.020644948 | 578.5454 | 0.02061 | 3.4314668E-4 | 4.3437455E-4 | 0.024843767 | 57.194344 | 0.02442 | 0.0034261728 | 0.0043531056 | 0.030419141 | 6.9879174 | 0.02618 |
6.9 | 6.363419E-6 | 7.999591E-6 | 0.017847857 | 2231.0964 | 0.01784 | 2.727151E-5 | 3.428354E-5 | 0.02053358 | 598.9341 | 0.0205 | 3.3198006E-4 | 4.1732774E-4 | 0.024647212 | 59.059605 | 0.02424 | 0.0033148455 | 0.0041830647 | 0.030054389 | 7.1847773 | 0.02598 |
7.0 | 6.1342453E-6 | 7.631779E-6 | 0.017687498 | 2317.611 | 0.01768 | 2.6289357E-5 | 3.2707245E-5 | 0.020332044 | 621.63727 | 0.0203 | 3.2002592E-4 | 3.9814346E-4 | 0.024348604 | 61.155354 | 0.02396 | 0.0031956544 | 0.003991739 | 0.02957919 | 7.4101014 | 0.02569 |
7.1 | 5.842926E-6 | 7.142312E-6 | 0.016797023 | 2351.7627 | 0.01679 | 2.504087E-5 | 3.060958E-5 | 0.01931002 | 630.8489 | 0.01928 | 3.0482994E-4 | 3.7261334E-4 | 0.023164118 | 62.166637 | 0.0228 | 0.0030441214 | 0.0037371595 | 0.028085824 | 7.515286 | 0.02444 |
7.2 | 4.77173E-6 | 5.358478E-6 | 0.0109853 | 2050.0781 | 0.01098 | 2.045011E-5 | 2.2964727E-5 | 0.012612675 | 549.2195 | 0.01259 | 2.4895166E-4 | 2.7956374E-4 | 0.015135409 | 54.139385 | 0.01486 | 0.0024867293 | 0.0028086212 | 0.018524358 | 6.5955343 | 0.01576 |
7.3 | 3.0494948E-6 | 2.710356E-6 | 0.0028827025 | 1063.5881 | 0.00288 | 1.3069198E-5 | 1.1615762E-5 | 0.0033715768 | 290.2588 | 0.00336 | 1.5910587E-4 | 1.4141288E-4 | 0.004170843 | 29.494081 | 0.00403 | 0.0015899199 | 0.0014231089 | 0.0056770463 | 3.9891863 | 0.00426 |
7.4 | 2.7263884E-6 | 2.3055634E-6 | 0.001952301 | 846.7783 | 0.00195 | 1.1684469E-5 | 9.880949E-6 | 0.0021998594 | 222.63644 | 0.00219 | 1.4224913E-4 | 1.2029401E-4 | 0.00272998 | 22.694231 | 0.00261 | 0.0014215811 | 0.0012110578 | 0.0039577275 | 3.2679923 | 0.00275 |
7.5 | 2.6090431E-6 | 2.1655019E-6 | 0.0016721619 | 772.1822 | 0.00167 | 1.1181565E-5 | 9.2806895E-6 | 0.0018692635 | 201.41428 | 0.00186 | 1.3612706E-4 | 1.1298663E-4 | 0.0023327358 | 20.646122 | 0.00222 | 0.001360437 | 0.0011378126 | 0.00347515 | 3.0542376 | 0.00234 |
7.6 | 2.3008756E-6 | 1.8726826E-6 | 0.0011618705 | 620.4311 | 0.00116 | 9.860858E-6 | 8.025758E-6 | 0.0013580149 | 169.20706 | 0.00135 | 1.20049335E-4 | 9.770931E-5 | 0.001707552 | 17.475838 | 0.00161 | 0.001199845 | 9.848307E-4 | 0.0026831564 | 2.7244852 | 0.0017 |
7.7 | 1.7184348E-6 | 1.341808E-6 | 7.713408E-4 | 574.8518 | 7.7E-4 | 7.3646997E-6 | 5.750593E-6 | 9.1574533E-4 | 159.24364 | 9.1E-4 | 8.966153E-5 | 7.0011265E-5 | 0.0010699412 | 15.282415 | 0.001 | 8.962536E-4 | 7.0769014E-4 | 0.0017569471 | 2.48265 | 0.00105 |
7.8 | 8.4612907E-7 | 8.4054994E-7 | 2.7084033E-4 | 322.218 | 2.7E-4 | 3.6262625E-6 | 3.602352E-6 | 3.1360122E-4 | 87.05457 | 3.1E-4 | 4.4148852E-5 | 4.3857777E-5 | 3.738433E-4 | 8.523992 | 3.3E-4 | 4.414008E-4 | 4.4386165E-4 | 8.23693E-4 | 1.8557426 | 3.8E-4 |
7.9 | 2.716738E-7 | 3.7681625E-7 | 7.037679E-5 | 186.76686 | 7.0E-5 | 1.1643157E-6 | 1.6149258E-6 | 1.01614765E-4 | 62.92225 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4175452E-5 | 1.9661555E-5 | 1.296594E-4 | 6.5945644 | 1.1E-4 | 1.4174548E-4 | 1.9829652E-4 | 3.2827075E-4 | 1.6554539 | 1.3E-4 |
8.0 | 2.1995428E-8 | 3.3853325E-8 | 3.3853325E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.426611E-8 | 1.4508568E-7 | 1.4508568E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1476893E-6 | 1.7664173E-6 | 1.1766399E-5 | 6.661166 | 1.0E-5 | 1.14768345E-5 | 1.7869768E-5 | 3.7869413E-5 | 2.1191885 | 2.0E-5 |
Airport Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103157E-5 | 0.052002423 | 3968.694 | 0.05199 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615534E-5 | 0.05875286 | 1046.256 | 0.0587 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8350515E-4 | 0.06702813 | 98.065285 | 0.06639 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168393 | 0.077303044 | 11.3400135 | 0.07097 |
6.1 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103157E-5 | 0.052002423 | 3968.694 | 0.05199 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615534E-5 | 0.05875286 | 1046.256 | 0.0587 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8350515E-4 | 0.06702813 | 98.065285 | 0.06639 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168393 | 0.077303044 | 11.3400135 | 0.07097 |
6.2 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103157E-5 | 0.052002423 | 3968.694 | 0.05199 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615534E-5 | 0.05875286 | 1046.256 | 0.0587 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8350515E-4 | 0.06702813 | 98.065285 | 0.06639 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168393 | 0.077303044 | 11.3400135 | 0.07097 |
6.3 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103157E-5 | 0.052002423 | 3968.694 | 0.05199 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615534E-5 | 0.05875286 | 1046.256 | 0.0587 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8350515E-4 | 0.06702813 | 98.065285 | 0.06639 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168393 | 0.077303044 | 11.3400135 | 0.07097 |
6.4 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103157E-5 | 0.052002423 | 3968.694 | 0.05199 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615534E-5 | 0.05875286 | 1046.256 | 0.0587 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8350515E-4 | 0.06702813 | 98.065285 | 0.06639 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168393 | 0.077303044 | 11.3400135 | 0.07097 |
6.5 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.384925E-6 | 0.039367095 | 5330.737 | 0.03936 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.1649324E-5 | 0.044600237 | 1409.2003 | 0.04457 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8526783E-4 | 0.05086581 | 132.02715 | 0.0505 | 0.003641826 | 0.0038465366 | 0.0576189 | 14.9794235 | 0.05398 |
6.6 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.384925E-6 | 0.039367095 | 5330.737 | 0.03936 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.1649324E-5 | 0.044600237 | 1409.2003 | 0.04457 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8526783E-4 | 0.05086581 | 132.02715 | 0.0505 | 0.003641826 | 0.0038465366 | 0.0576189 | 14.9794235 | 0.05398 |
6.7 | 5.477277E-6 | 5.7860684E-6 | 0.033615593 | 5809.7466 | 0.03361 | 2.3473833E-5 | 2.4797222E-5 | 0.038123854 | 1537.4243 | 0.0381 | 2.8575645E-4 | 3.0186825E-4 | 0.04350882 | 144.13182 | 0.04322 | 0.0028538927 | 0.003014966 | 0.049175374 | 16.310425 | 0.0463 |
6.8 | 3.9950432E-6 | 4.2190873E-6 | 0.025354112 | 6009.3833 | 0.02535 | 1.7121502E-5 | 1.8081691E-5 | 0.02889756 | 1598.1667 | 0.02888 | 2.0843433E-4 | 2.2012512E-4 | 0.03295292 | 149.70085 | 0.03274 | 0.0020823893 | 0.0021993418 | 0.037172254 | 16.901537 | 0.03505 |
6.9 | 2.95695E-6 | 3.1230243E-6 | 0.018423066 | 5899.1104 | 0.01842 | 1.2672582E-5 | 1.3384334E-5 | 0.020973103 | 1566.989 | 0.02096 | 1.5427776E-4 | 1.6294434E-4 | 0.023919072 | 146.7929 | 0.02376 | 0.001541707 | 0.0016284712 | 0.02696714 | 16.55979 | 0.02538 |
7.0 | 1.456072E-6 | 1.540812E-6 | 0.0082215285 | 5335.8413 | 0.00822 | 6.2402937E-6 | 6.603469E-6 | 0.009486541 | 1436.5996 | 0.00948 | 7.597293E-5 | 8.039528E-5 | 0.010709541 | 133.21107 | 0.01063 | 7.594696E-4 | 8.0376083E-4 | 0.012064703 | 15.010314 | 0.01127 |
7.1 | 6.995192E-7 | 7.4089746E-7 | 0.0036507382 | 4927.454 | 0.00365 | 2.997936E-6 | 3.1752747E-6 | 0.0042931614 | 1352.0599 | 0.00429 | 3.649926E-5 | 3.865897E-5 | 0.0048684725 | 125.93383 | 0.00483 | 3.6493264E-4 | 3.865897E-4 | 0.0054846182 | 14.187181 | 0.0051 |
Panamint Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3984263E-5 | 0.02986297 | 878.72943 | 0.02983 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4563887E-4 | 0.03687029 | 253.16243 | 0.03673 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017717406 | 0.047530524 | 26.82702 | 0.04584 | 0.015640736 | 0.017583003 | 0.06863921 | 3.9037254 | 0.05197 |
6.1 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3984263E-5 | 0.02986297 | 878.72943 | 0.02983 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4563887E-4 | 0.03687029 | 253.16243 | 0.03673 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017717406 | 0.047530524 | 26.82702 | 0.04584 | 0.015640736 | 0.017583003 | 0.06863921 | 3.9037254 | 0.05197 |
6.2 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3984263E-5 | 0.02986297 | 878.72943 | 0.02983 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4563887E-4 | 0.03687029 | 253.16243 | 0.03673 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017717406 | 0.047530524 | 26.82702 | 0.04584 | 0.015640736 | 0.017583003 | 0.06863921 | 3.9037254 | 0.05197 |
6.3 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.2102445E-5 | 0.02849119 | 887.5084 | 0.02846 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.375748E-4 | 0.035082765 | 255.00867 | 0.03495 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016737141 | 0.04508094 | 26.934671 | 0.04348 | 0.01479908 | 0.016618038 | 0.0650201 | 3.912622 | 0.04922 |
6.4 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.2102445E-5 | 0.02849119 | 887.5084 | 0.02846 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.375748E-4 | 0.035082765 | 255.00867 | 0.03495 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016737141 | 0.04508094 | 26.934671 | 0.04348 | 0.01479908 | 0.016618038 | 0.0650201 | 3.912622 | 0.04922 |
6.5 | 2.7468774E-5 | 3.0828138E-5 | 0.02785997 | 903.7188 | 0.02783 | 1.1771801E-4 | 1.3211406E-4 | 0.034207612 | 258.92484 | 0.03408 | 0.0014322745 | 0.0016073292 | 0.043729518 | 27.206322 | 0.04219 | 0.014230782 | 0.015963882 | 0.062902406 | 3.940295 | 0.0477 |
6.6 | 2.6135967E-5 | 2.9252153E-5 | 0.026828468 | 917.14514 | 0.0268 | 1.1200648E-4 | 1.2536049E-4 | 0.032871254 | 262.21384 | 0.03275 | 0.0013628257 | 0.0015252219 | 0.04187359 | 27.454096 | 0.04041 | 0.013544982 | 0.015154343 | 0.060102697 | 3.9660378 | 0.04564 |
6.7 | 2.4498746E-5 | 2.7341044E-5 | 0.025526645 | 933.6382 | 0.0255 | 1.04990395E-4 | 1.17170785E-4 | 0.031163532 | 265.96674 | 0.03105 | 0.0012775084 | 0.0014256459 | 0.039481316 | 27.693634 | 0.03811 | 0.012701893 | 0.014171593 | 0.056443915 | 3.9828916 | 0.04288 |
6.8 | 2.2244329E-5 | 2.4935374E-5 | 0.023624348 | 947.423 | 0.0236 | 9.532935E-5 | 1.0686163E-4 | 0.02866381 | 268.23294 | 0.02856 | 0.0011600169 | 0.0013002857 | 0.03603506 | 27.713188 | 0.03478 | 0.011539802 | 0.012932955 | 0.051458184 | 3.9788418 | 0.03903 |
6.9 | 1.9902658E-5 | 2.2290182E-5 | 0.021181818 | 950.2757 | 0.02116 | 8.529431E-5 | 9.552596E-5 | 0.025573092 | 267.7083 | 0.02548 | 0.0010379635 | 0.0011624265 | 0.031866692 | 27.413942 | 0.03074 | 0.010331288 | 0.011569021 | 0.045521624 | 3.934786 | 0.03435 |
7.0 | 1.8353881E-5 | 2.056605E-5 | 0.019680161 | 956.9247 | 0.01966 | 7.865712E-5 | 8.813734E-5 | 0.02366606 | 268.51343 | 0.02358 | 9.5722964E-4 | 0.0010725616 | 0.02919237 | 27.21743 | 0.02815 | 0.009531168 | 0.01067939 | 0.041674804 | 3.9023583 | 0.03133 |
7.1 | 1.7667631E-5 | 1.9772435E-5 | 0.018919399 | 956.8573 | 0.0189 | 7.571623E-5 | 8.4736355E-5 | 0.022792812 | 268.98505 | 0.02271 | 9.2145515E-4 | 0.0010311945 | 0.02808327 | 27.23373 | 0.02708 | 0.009176437 | 0.0102695925 | 0.04009017 | 3.903774 | 0.03013 |
7.2 | 1.6381597E-5 | 1.8158042E-5 | 0.01700785 | 936.65656 | 0.01699 | 7.020495E-5 | 7.781795E-5 | 0.020576222 | 264.41486 | 0.0205 | 8.544101E-4 | 9.470391E-4 | 0.025423836 | 26.845604 | 0.0245 | 0.008511325 | 0.009435269 | 0.036348913 | 3.852451 | 0.02717 |
7.3 | 1.4520491E-5 | 1.596657E-5 | 0.014405737 | 902.24365 | 0.01439 | 6.222919E-5 | 6.842646E-5 | 0.01740724 | 254.39342 | 0.01734 | 7.57377E-4 | 8.327899E-4 | 0.021545526 | 25.871502 | 0.02073 | 0.0075480095 | 0.008300399 | 0.031099573 | 3.746756 | 0.02299 |
7.4 | 1.2852287E-5 | 1.41454875E-5 | 0.01381395 | 976.5623 | 0.0138 | 5.5080065E-5 | 6.06222E-5 | 0.016639616 | 274.4806 | 0.01658 | 6.7039346E-4 | 7.378411E-4 | 0.020523231 | 27.815245 | 0.0198 | 0.0066837464 | 0.007357429 | 0.029165786 | 3.9641275 | 0.02197 |
7.5 | 1.1637851E-5 | 1.2836868E-5 | 0.013542663 | 1054.9819 | 0.01353 | 4.987555E-5 | 5.5014076E-5 | 0.016284121 | 295.99918 | 0.01623 | 6.070656E-4 | 6.696062E-4 | 0.02000665 | 29.878231 | 0.01935 | 0.006054099 | 0.0066793845 | 0.027986111 | 4.189924 | 0.02145 |
7.6 | 3.0068115E-6 | 3.3330623E-6 | 0.005973313 | 1792.1396 | 0.00597 | 1.2886271E-5 | 1.4284516E-5 | 0.007074184 | 495.2344 | 0.00706 | 1.5687906E-4 | 1.7390738E-4 | 0.00855245 | 49.17819 | 0.00838 | 0.0015676835 | 0.0017397973 | 0.0110136345 | 6.3304124 | 0.00929 |
Garlock (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.2904815E-5 | 0.024951339 | 396.65228 | 0.02489 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.6956675E-4 | 0.031441163 | 116.63591 | 0.03118 | 0.0023501497 | 0.003277482 | 0.04264802 | 13.012435 | 0.0395 | 0.023254504 | 0.03235377 | 0.075501114 | 2.333611 | 0.04459 |
6.1 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.2904815E-5 | 0.024951339 | 396.65228 | 0.02489 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.6956675E-4 | 0.031441163 | 116.63591 | 0.03118 | 0.0023501497 | 0.003277482 | 0.04264802 | 13.012435 | 0.0395 | 0.023254504 | 0.03235377 | 0.075501114 | 2.333611 | 0.04459 |
6.2 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4511588E-5 | 0.017533908 | 508.05856 | 0.0175 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4789861E-4 | 0.021714708 | 146.8216 | 0.02157 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0017992114 | 0.028560974 | 15.874163 | 0.02681 | 0.01382215 | 0.017872788 | 0.047218747 | 2.6419353 | 0.02988 |
6.3 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4511588E-5 | 0.017533908 | 508.05856 | 0.0175 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4789861E-4 | 0.021714708 | 146.8216 | 0.02157 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0017992114 | 0.028560974 | 15.874163 | 0.02681 | 0.01382215 | 0.017872788 | 0.047218747 | 2.6419353 | 0.02988 |
6.4 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2340467E-5 | 0.017251784 | 533.44257 | 0.01722 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3859481E-4 | 0.021315658 | 153.7984 | 0.02118 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016861152 | 0.027911821 | 16.553923 | 0.02627 | 0.013121112 | 0.016772287 | 0.045531698 | 2.7146983 | 0.02925 |
6.5 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2340467E-5 | 0.017251784 | 533.44257 | 0.01722 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3859481E-4 | 0.021315658 | 153.7984 | 0.02118 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016861152 | 0.027911821 | 16.553923 | 0.02627 | 0.013121112 | 0.016772287 | 0.045531698 | 2.7146983 | 0.02925 |
6.6 | 2.246556E-5 | 2.8134691E-5 | 0.016347675 | 581.0505 | 0.01632 | 9.627742E-5 | 1.2057181E-4 | 0.019938182 | 165.36354 | 0.01982 | 0.0011715472 | 0.0014669969 | 0.0259011 | 17.655867 | 0.02447 | 0.011653901 | 0.014613169 | 0.04144525 | 2.8361578 | 0.02723 |
6.7 | 2.2241198E-5 | 2.7804432E-5 | 0.016247353 | 584.34406 | 0.01622 | 9.531594E-5 | 1.1915654E-4 | 0.019836808 | 166.47687 | 0.01972 | 0.0011598538 | 0.0014497889 | 0.025744516 | 17.757423 | 0.02433 | 0.011538187 | 0.014442829 | 0.041131716 | 2.847899 | 0.02708 |
6.8 | 1.9528685E-5 | 2.3898969E-5 | 0.015223536 | 636.99554 | 0.0152 | 8.369167E-5 | 1.0242024E-4 | 0.01846054 | 180.24309 | 0.01836 | 0.0010184698 | 0.0012462728 | 0.02364832 | 18.975235 | 0.02243 | 0.010138147 | 0.012436723 | 0.03702705 | 2.977235 | 0.0249 |
6.9 | 1.3318621E-5 | 1.5198818E-5 | 0.013424995 | 883.29205 | 0.01341 | 5.7078556E-5 | 6.51362E-5 | 0.016014097 | 245.85558 | 0.01595 | 6.9470983E-4 | 7.927504E-4 | 0.02002749 | 25.263298 | 0.01925 | 0.0069254204 | 0.007940721 | 0.029041821 | 3.6573281 | 0.02127 |
7.0 | 1.1760853E-5 | 1.3107653E-5 | 0.012892939 | 983.6192 | 0.01288 | 5.0402683E-5 | 5.6174475E-5 | 0.015295318 | 272.28235 | 0.01524 | 6.134799E-4 | 6.8371464E-4 | 0.019051148 | 27.864182 | 0.01838 | 0.0061178906 | 0.006857401 | 0.026879156 | 3.9197292 | 0.02016 |
7.1 | 1.0064758E-5 | 1.0902761E-5 | 0.01212077 | 1111.7158 | 0.01211 | 4.3133965E-5 | 4.67253E-5 | 0.014226063 | 304.46167 | 0.01418 | 5.2502943E-4 | 5.6873553E-4 | 0.01758905 | 30.926588 | 0.01703 | 0.005237907 | 0.0057133473 | 0.024226965 | 4.240415 | 0.01862 |
7.2 | 9.768808E-6 | 1.0498628E-5 | 0.011760375 | 1120.182 | 0.01175 | 4.186565E-5 | 4.499337E-5 | 0.013804374 | 306.80908 | 0.01376 | 5.095951E-4 | 5.4766005E-4 | 0.017068608 | 31.166428 | 0.01653 | 0.0050842804 | 0.005503584 | 0.023414465 | 4.254403 | 0.01801 |
7.3 | 9.344516E-6 | 9.9442705E-6 | 0.010919835 | 1098.1033 | 0.01091 | 4.004731E-5 | 4.2617627E-5 | 0.012732076 | 298.75143 | 0.01269 | 4.8746695E-4 | 5.187495E-4 | 0.01570087 | 30.266764 | 0.01519 | 0.0048639905 | 0.005215269 | 0.021688905 | 4.1587315 | 0.01656 |
7.4 | 9.023491E-6 | 9.490441E-6 | 0.009929396 | 1046.2523 | 0.00992 | 3.867153E-5 | 4.0672705E-5 | 0.011490207 | 282.50412 | 0.01145 | 4.7072413E-4 | 4.95081E-4 | 0.014198294 | 28.678728 | 0.01371 | 0.004697283 | 0.0049787266 | 0.019784642 | 3.973836 | 0.01488 |
7.5 | 7.081253E-6 | 7.0873994E-6 | 0.005007052 | 706.4724 | 0.005 | 3.0347876E-5 | 3.0374218E-5 | 0.0058601974 | 192.93326 | 0.00583 | 3.6942272E-4 | 3.697441E-4 | 0.0073471633 | 19.870941 | 0.00698 | 0.003688092 | 0.0037244745 | 0.01115669 | 2.995507 | 0.00746 |
7.6 | 6.116396E-6 | 5.9589424E-6 | 0.0030959405 | 519.5453 | 0.00309 | 2.6212863E-5 | 2.5538076E-5 | 0.0036554453 | 143.13707 | 0.00363 | 3.1909486E-4 | 3.1088197E-4 | 0.004509576 | 14.50575 | 0.0042 | 0.0031863707 | 0.0031359126 | 0.0076616756 | 2.4432044 | 0.00454 |
7.7 | 4.797145E-6 | 4.7571157E-6 | 0.0018547483 | 389.88928 | 0.00185 | 2.055903E-5 | 2.0387479E-5 | 0.0022103428 | 108.41668 | 0.00219 | 2.5027743E-4 | 2.481894E-4 | 0.0028475442 | 11.473269 | 0.0026 | 0.0024999576 | 0.0025094065 | 0.005352255 | 2.1328766 | 0.00285 |
7.8 | 3.4028885E-6 | 3.978375E-6 | 0.0012139735 | 305.1431 | 0.00121 | 1.4583726E-5 | 1.7050066E-5 | 0.0014470257 | 84.86921 | 0.00143 | 1.775424E-4 | 2.0756487E-4 | 0.0018672203 | 8.99584 | 0.00166 | 0.0017740062 | 0.0021012141 | 0.003877474 | 1.8453493 | 0.00178 |
7.9 | 2.5928412E-6 | 3.372436E-6 | 8.333696E-4 | 247.11208 | 8.3E-4 | 1.1112129E-5 | 1.4453217E-5 | 9.744393E-4 | 67.42024 | 9.6E-4 | 1.3528178E-4 | 1.7595377E-4 | 0.0012757602 | 7.250542 | 0.0011 | 0.0013519945 | 0.0017812426 | 0.002969123 | 1.666883 | 0.00119 |
8.0 | 1.3743648E-6 | 1.6734741E-6 | 3.5167288E-4 | 210.1454 | 3.5E-4 | 5.8901214E-6 | 7.1720124E-6 | 4.27169E-4 | 59.56055 | 4.2E-4 | 7.1709874E-5 | 8.731578E-5 | 5.672739E-4 | 6.496808 | 4.8E-4 | 7.1686733E-4 | 8.837377E-4 | 0.0014032782 | 1.5878899 | 5.2E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1489736E-7 | 9.031487E-5 | 286.8073 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3495595E-6 | 1.01349426E-4 | 75.09815 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.643078E-5 | 1.1642914E-4 | 7.086038 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.662928E-4 | 2.6627615E-4 | 1.601249 | 1.0E-4 |
Ash Hill
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3194447E-5 | 0.010932941 | 471.3603 | 0.01091 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.940143E-5 | 0.014477972 | 145.65154 | 0.01438 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012096206 | 0.020735972 | 17.142542 | 0.01955 | 0.011179381 | 0.012038348 | 0.034099534 | 2.8325756 | 0.02233 |
6.1 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3194447E-5 | 0.010932941 | 471.3603 | 0.01091 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.940143E-5 | 0.014477972 | 145.65154 | 0.01438 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012096206 | 0.020735972 | 17.142542 | 0.01955 | 0.011179381 | 0.012038348 | 0.034099534 | 2.8325756 | 0.02233 |
6.2 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3194447E-5 | 0.010932941 | 471.3603 | 0.01091 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.940143E-5 | 0.014477972 | 145.65154 | 0.01438 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012096206 | 0.020735972 | 17.142542 | 0.01955 | 0.011179381 | 0.012038348 | 0.034099534 | 2.8325756 | 0.02233 |
6.3 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0746934E-5 | 0.004650697 | 432.7464 | 0.00464 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.605755E-5 | 0.0062957695 | 136.69354 | 0.00625 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.6061964E-4 | 0.008985894 | 16.028503 | 0.00843 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055933665 | 0.015249055 | 2.726275 | 0.00971 |
6.4 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0746934E-5 | 0.004650697 | 432.7464 | 0.00464 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.605755E-5 | 0.0062957695 | 136.69354 | 0.00625 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.6061964E-4 | 0.008985894 | 16.028503 | 0.00843 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055933665 | 0.015249055 | 2.726275 | 0.00971 |
6.5 | 6.9617327E-6 | 7.456634E-6 | 0.002917435 | 391.2536 | 0.00291 | 2.9835655E-5 | 3.195666E-5 | 0.004061828 | 127.10426 | 0.00403 | 3.6318856E-4 | 3.8901155E-4 | 0.0059368527 | 15.261378 | 0.00555 | 0.0036259557 | 0.0038841602 | 0.0104186805 | 2.6823506 | 0.00656 |
6.6 | 4.9919777E-6 | 5.3466883E-6 | 0.001995336 | 373.191 | 0.00199 | 2.1394015E-5 | 2.2914215E-5 | 0.0028528494 | 124.50129 | 0.00283 | 2.60441E-4 | 2.7895154E-4 | 0.0041778637 | 14.977022 | 0.0039 | 0.0026013597 | 0.0027866727 | 0.0074037705 | 2.6568496 | 0.00463 |
6.7 | 3.6630722E-6 | 3.924624E-6 | 0.0015339187 | 390.84476 | 0.00153 | 1.5698786E-5 | 1.681974E-5 | 0.0022767817 | 135.36368 | 0.00226 | 1.9111596E-4 | 2.0476682E-4 | 0.0031841567 | 15.5501585 | 0.00298 | 0.0019095168 | 0.0020463446 | 0.0055491617 | 2.7117436 | 0.00351 |
6.8 | 2.5599613E-6 | 2.744925E-6 | 0.001062742 | 387.16614 | 0.00106 | 1.0971216E-5 | 1.1763939E-5 | 0.001621745 | 137.8573 | 0.00161 | 1.3356637E-4 | 1.4322149E-4 | 0.0022629178 | 15.800127 | 0.00212 | 0.0013348613 | 0.0014317769 | 0.0039781258 | 2.7784538 | 0.00255 |
6.9 | 1.7684905E-6 | 1.8968707E-6 | 6.4189563E-4 | 338.39716 | 6.4E-4 | 7.579223E-6 | 8.129446E-6 | 0.0010781208 | 132.61922 | 0.00107 | 9.2273134E-5 | 9.8976E-5 | 0.0015788295 | 15.951639 | 0.00148 | 9.223483E-4 | 9.8976E-4 | 0.0027879784 | 2.8168225 | 0.0018 |
Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.456906E-5 | 0.014473782 | 265.23788 | 0.01442 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3384714E-4 | 0.017569792 | 75.13367 | 0.01734 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028435462 | 0.023614315 | 8.30453 | 0.02083 | 0.023260195 | 0.028092625 | 0.05062144 | 1.8019476 | 0.02318 |
6.1 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.456906E-5 | 0.014473782 | 265.23788 | 0.01442 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3384714E-4 | 0.017569792 | 75.13367 | 0.01734 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028435462 | 0.023614315 | 8.30453 | 0.02083 | 0.023260195 | 0.028092625 | 0.05062144 | 1.8019476 | 0.02318 |
6.2 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.706271E-5 | 0.01433639 | 304.62314 | 0.01429 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.016826E-4 | 0.017378218 | 86.16617 | 0.01718 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024528534 | 0.023052203 | 9.398117 | 0.02065 | 0.020330196 | 0.024274187 | 0.04668661 | 1.9233027 | 0.02297 |
6.3 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.706271E-5 | 0.01433639 | 304.62314 | 0.01429 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.016826E-4 | 0.017378218 | 86.16617 | 0.01718 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024528534 | 0.023052203 | 9.398117 | 0.02065 | 0.020330196 | 0.024274187 | 0.04668661 | 1.9233027 | 0.02297 |
6.4 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.795112E-5 | 0.014237412 | 375.15134 | 0.0142 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6263791E-4 | 0.017229863 | 105.94001 | 0.01707 | 0.0016845843 | 0.001978387 | 0.02241787 | 11.3313875 | 0.02048 | 0.016718714 | 0.019617118 | 0.04195024 | 2.1384506 | 0.02278 |
6.5 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.795112E-5 | 0.014237412 | 375.15134 | 0.0142 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6263791E-4 | 0.017229863 | 105.94001 | 0.01707 | 0.0016845843 | 0.001978387 | 0.02241787 | 11.3313875 | 0.02048 | 0.016718714 | 0.019617118 | 0.04195024 | 2.1384506 | 0.02278 |
6.6 | 2.9305844E-5 | 3.418196E-5 | 0.014183698 | 414.94687 | 0.01415 | 1.2559042E-4 | 1.4648624E-4 | 0.017153995 | 117.1031 | 0.01701 | 0.0015279909 | 0.0017820727 | 0.0221557 | 12.432547 | 0.02041 | 0.015175272 | 0.017686324 | 0.04000449 | 2.2618883 | 0.02272 |
6.7 | 2.7826512E-5 | 3.2344353E-5 | 0.014131889 | 436.9198 | 0.0141 | 1.19251024E-4 | 1.3861163E-4 | 0.01709626 | 123.339294 | 0.01696 | 0.0014509142 | 0.0016863506 | 0.022002034 | 13.04713 | 0.02035 | 0.014414776 | 0.016743818 | 0.03900474 | 2.329501 | 0.02264 |
6.8 | 2.3389874E-5 | 2.6866792E-5 | 0.014036491 | 522.4476 | 0.01401 | 1.0023846E-4 | 1.1513857E-4 | 0.0169532 | 147.2417 | 0.01684 | 0.00121972 | 0.001400958 | 0.021552688 | 15.384249 | 0.02018 | 0.01213047 | 0.013928067 | 0.0360358 | 2.5872793 | 0.02242 |
6.9 | 2.069209E-5 | 2.357011E-5 | 0.013993241 | 593.68585 | 0.01397 | 8.867737E-5 | 1.0101105E-4 | 0.016899314 | 167.30164 | 0.0168 | 0.0010791123 | 0.0012291519 | 0.021304445 | 17.33264 | 0.0201 | 0.010738871 | 0.012229158 | 0.034295958 | 2.8044417 | 0.02234 |
7.0 | 1.7462342E-5 | 1.9633622E-5 | 0.01393936 | 709.97394 | 0.01392 | 7.483646E-5 | 8.414151E-5 | 0.016812734 | 199.81497 | 0.01673 | 9.1075303E-4 | 0.0010239641 | 0.021003485 | 20.511934 | 0.02 | 0.009070295 | 0.010196688 | 0.032190118 | 3.156919 | 0.02222 |
7.1 | 1.4807709E-5 | 1.6441827E-5 | 0.013896214 | 845.17456 | 0.01388 | 6.3460066E-5 | 7.046316E-5 | 0.016749287 | 237.70276 | 0.01668 | 7.723524E-4 | 8.575678E-4 | 0.020770477 | 24.220215 | 0.01993 | 0.007696735 | 0.008546168 | 0.030496955 | 3.5684948 | 0.02214 |
7.2 | 1.4180048E-5 | 1.5698413E-5 | 0.013895481 | 885.1519 | 0.01388 | 6.077022E-5 | 6.727727E-5 | 0.016736155 | 248.7639 | 0.01667 | 7.396263E-4 | 8.1880915E-4 | 0.020712506 | 25.29589 | 0.01991 | 0.0073716943 | 0.008161469 | 0.030100938 | 3.6881762 | 0.02212 |
7.3 | 1.3730402E-5 | 1.5172151E-5 | 0.013834963 | 911.8656 | 0.01382 | 5.8843252E-5 | 6.502197E-5 | 0.016673941 | 256.4355 | 0.01661 | 7.161811E-4 | 7.9137104E-4 | 0.02061567 | 26.050573 | 0.01984 | 0.007138774 | 0.007889058 | 0.029755183 | 3.771703 | 0.02204 |
7.4 | 1.2810095E-5 | 1.4109353E-5 | 0.013743916 | 974.0996 | 0.01373 | 5.489925E-5 | 6.0467344E-5 | 0.01656947 | 274.02344 | 0.01651 | 6.681934E-4 | 7.3595706E-4 | 0.020451436 | 27.788898 | 0.01973 | 0.006661878 | 0.0073386896 | 0.029077971 | 3.962284 | 0.0219 |
7.5 | 1.1595659E-5 | 1.2800734E-5 | 0.013472629 | 1052.4888 | 0.01346 | 4.9694736E-5 | 5.485922E-5 | 0.016213972 | 295.556 | 0.01616 | 6.0486543E-4 | 6.67722E-4 | 0.019934848 | 29.855011 | 0.01928 | 0.006032217 | 0.006660632 | 0.027898228 | 4.1885257 | 0.02138 |
7.6 | 2.997694E-6 | 3.3251877E-6 | 0.0059533054 | 1790.3668 | 0.00595 | 1.28471975E-5 | 1.4250767E-5 | 0.0070541506 | 495.00146 | 0.00704 | 1.564034E-4 | 1.7349655E-4 | 0.008532046 | 49.177036 | 0.00836 | 0.0015629337 | 0.0017356955 | 0.010989605 | 6.3315287 | 0.00927 |
Blackwater
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.3095846E-5 | 0.010982733 | 331.84625 | 0.01095 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4183241E-4 | 0.013859887 | 97.72017 | 0.01372 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017255784 | 0.020063879 | 11.627336 | 0.01837 | 0.015895851 | 0.017135633 | 0.03798219 | 2.2165616 | 0.02121 |
6.1 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.3095846E-5 | 0.010982733 | 331.84625 | 0.01095 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4183241E-4 | 0.013859887 | 97.72017 | 0.01372 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017255784 | 0.020063879 | 11.627336 | 0.01837 | 0.015895851 | 0.017135633 | 0.03798219 | 2.2165616 | 0.02121 |
6.2 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2545122E-5 | 0.004082494 | 325.4248 | 0.00407 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.3763757E-5 | 0.0050834934 | 94.55242 | 0.00503 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.5438676E-4 | 0.007489911 | 11.445694 | 0.00684 | 0.006090366 | 0.0065255696 | 0.0144435605 | 2.2133794 | 0.00797 |
6.3 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2545122E-5 | 0.004082494 | 325.4248 | 0.00407 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.3763757E-5 | 0.0050834934 | 94.55242 | 0.00503 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.5438676E-4 | 0.007489911 | 11.445694 | 0.00684 | 0.006090366 | 0.0065255696 | 0.0144435605 | 2.2133794 | 0.00797 |
6.4 | 7.929244E-6 | 8.480098E-6 | 0.0026484577 | 312.3145 | 0.00264 | 3.3982033E-5 | 3.6342793E-5 | 0.003226227 | 88.77212 | 0.00319 | 4.136527E-4 | 4.423877E-4 | 0.004840441 | 10.941627 | 0.0044 | 0.0041288356 | 0.0044154758 | 0.009512869 | 2.1544378 | 0.00512 |
6.5 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.285991E-6 | 0.0019262739 | 306.43918 | 0.00192 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6939697E-5 | 0.002316878 | 86.00238 | 0.00229 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.27944E-4 | 0.003406934 | 10.388767 | 0.00308 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032748538 | 0.0068829986 | 2.1017728 | 0.00362 |
6.6 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.285991E-6 | 0.0019262739 | 306.43918 | 0.00192 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6939697E-5 | 0.002316878 | 86.00238 | 0.00229 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.27944E-4 | 0.003406934 | 10.388767 | 0.00308 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032748538 | 0.0068829986 | 2.1017728 | 0.00362 |
6.7 | 3.0715053E-6 | 3.2814662E-6 | 8.932786E-4 | 272.21933 | 8.9E-4 | 1.3163528E-5 | 1.4063357E-5 | 0.0010740485 | 76.37212 | 0.00106 | 1.6025416E-4 | 1.7120909E-4 | 0.0016709523 | 9.759717 | 0.0015 | 0.0016013865 | 0.0017108864 | 0.0034279437 | 2.0036068 | 0.00172 |
6.8 | 2.2722281E-6 | 2.4287538E-6 | 6.824271E-4 | 280.9783 | 6.8E-4 | 9.738084E-6 | 1.0408908E-5 | 7.904008E-4 | 75.935036 | 7.8E-4 | 1.1855473E-4 | 1.26722E-4 | 0.0012165839 | 9.600415 | 0.00109 | 0.001184915 | 0.0012665876 | 0.0025249918 | 1.993539 | 0.00126 |
6.9 | 9.952399E-7 | 1.0653489E-6 | 2.2106511E-4 | 207.5049 | 2.2E-4 | 4.265307E-6 | 4.5657757E-6 | 2.3456472E-4 | 51.37456 | 2.3E-4 | 5.1928873E-5 | 5.5587418E-5 | 4.0556796E-4 | 7.296039 | 3.5E-4 | 5.191674E-4 | 5.557858E-4 | 9.355745E-4 | 1.6833367 | 3.8E-4 |
7.0 | 4.7385504E-7 | 5.0755597E-7 | 9.050751E-5 | 178.32027 | 9.0E-5 | 2.0308057E-6 | 2.1752398E-6 | 1.0217502E-4 | 46.971844 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4724779E-5 | 2.6483543E-5 | 1.564801E-4 | 5.9085784 | 1.3E-4 | 2.4722028E-4 | 2.6483546E-4 | 3.9480103E-4 | 1.4907409 | 1.3E-4 |
McLean Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7360222E-5 | 1.8501627E-5 | 0.006918374 | 373.93326 | 0.0069 | 7.439883E-5 | 7.9290556E-5 | 0.009788521 | 123.45129 | 0.00971 | 9.0542925E-4 | 9.6498354E-4 | 0.01485157 | 15.390491 | 0.0139 | 0.009017491 | 0.0096127745 | 0.026063107 | 2.711299 | 0.01661 |
6.1 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.592193E-6 | 0.0035295584 | 367.96155 | 0.00352 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.1108804E-5 | 0.005100901 | 124.08293 | 0.00506 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.003936E-4 | 0.007986645 | 15.960727 | 0.00749 | 0.0047176396 | 0.004993552 | 0.013878959 | 2.7793763 | 0.00893 |
6.2 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.592193E-6 | 0.0035295584 | 367.96155 | 0.00352 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.1108804E-5 | 0.005100901 | 124.08293 | 0.00506 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.003936E-4 | 0.007986645 | 15.960727 | 0.00749 | 0.0047176396 | 0.004993552 | 0.013878959 | 2.7793763 | 0.00893 |
6.3 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.66771E-6 | 0.0028576457 | 372.68573 | 0.00285 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.2861237E-5 | 0.0040727286 | 123.93716 | 0.00404 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0001926E-4 | 0.0063676313 | 15.918312 | 0.00597 | 0.0037797375 | 0.0039936965 | 0.011135062 | 2.7881591 | 0.00717 |
6.4 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.66771E-6 | 0.0028576457 | 372.68573 | 0.00285 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.2861237E-5 | 0.0040727286 | 123.93716 | 0.00404 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0001926E-4 | 0.0063676313 | 15.918312 | 0.00597 | 0.0037797375 | 0.0039936965 | 0.011135062 | 2.7881591 | 0.00717 |
6.5 | 6.06582E-6 | 6.4038773E-6 | 0.0023963887 | 374.209 | 0.00239 | 2.5996113E-5 | 2.7444936E-5 | 0.0034273516 | 124.88103 | 0.0034 | 3.164567E-4 | 3.3409733E-4 | 0.0053624166 | 16.050463 | 0.00503 | 0.0031600643 | 0.0033365893 | 0.009386336 | 2.813153 | 0.00607 |
6.6 | 5.598744E-6 | 5.910262E-6 | 0.0021658975 | 366.46387 | 0.00216 | 2.3994397E-5 | 2.5329486E-5 | 0.0031052516 | 122.59434 | 0.00308 | 2.9209262E-4 | 3.0834923E-4 | 0.0049269246 | 15.978391 | 0.00462 | 0.0029170897 | 0.003079843 | 0.008602781 | 2.793253 | 0.00554 |
6.7 | 5.246996E-6 | 5.539162E-6 | 0.0020655277 | 372.89536 | 0.00206 | 2.2486933E-5 | 2.3739085E-5 | 0.0029136704 | 122.73727 | 0.00289 | 2.73744E-4 | 2.8899137E-4 | 0.0046677254 | 16.151781 | 0.00438 | 0.0027340704 | 0.0028867796 | 0.008121624 | 2.8133855 | 0.00525 |
6.8 | 4.02324E-6 | 4.2469046E-6 | 0.00163424 | 384.80734 | 0.00163 | 1.7242342E-5 | 1.8200926E-5 | 0.0022781598 | 125.16725 | 0.00226 | 2.099053E-4 | 2.2157968E-4 | 0.0035808352 | 16.160484 | 0.00336 | 0.0020970714 | 0.002214172 | 0.006225271 | 2.811557 | 0.00402 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.1399285E-7 | 2.4071382E-4 | 337.1376 | 2.4E-4 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0599674E-6 | 3.530589E-4 | 115.37995 | 3.5E-4 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.7254784E-5 | 5.872343E-4 | 15.762654 | 5.5E-4 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7251666E-4 | 0.0010422671 | 2.7979074 | 6.7E-4 |
Goldstone Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0376103E-5 | 0.005400213 | 177.77834 | 0.00537 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3017791E-4 | 0.0075992057 | 58.375538 | 0.00747 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015839601 | 0.012846093 | 8.110111 | 0.01128 | 0.013842222 | 0.015746202 | 0.029319061 | 1.8619767 | 0.01379 |
6.1 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0376103E-5 | 0.005400213 | 177.77834 | 0.00537 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3017791E-4 | 0.0075992057 | 58.375538 | 0.00747 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015839601 | 0.012846093 | 8.110111 | 0.01128 | 0.013842222 | 0.015746202 | 0.029319061 | 1.8619767 | 0.01379 |
6.2 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6096254E-5 | 0.0028060514 | 174.32945 | 0.00279 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.898268E-5 | 0.003918717 | 56.807262 | 0.00385 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.3963916E-4 | 0.006684727 | 7.9614286 | 0.00585 | 0.007380498 | 0.008374364 | 0.015623148 | 1.8655921 | 0.00731 |
6.3 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6096254E-5 | 0.0028060514 | 174.32945 | 0.00279 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.898268E-5 | 0.003918717 | 56.807262 | 0.00385 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.3963916E-4 | 0.006684727 | 7.9614286 | 0.00585 | 0.007380498 | 0.008374364 | 0.015623148 | 1.8655921 | 0.00731 |
6.4 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.500847E-5 | 0.002634969 | 175.56548 | 0.00262 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.432098E-5 | 0.0036440906 | 56.654778 | 0.00358 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.8292453E-4 | 0.0062186653 | 7.942867 | 0.00544 | 0.006884126 | 0.007811289 | 0.014558172 | 1.863735 | 0.0068 |
6.5 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.500847E-5 | 0.002634969 | 175.56548 | 0.00262 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.432098E-5 | 0.0036440906 | 56.654778 | 0.00358 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.8292453E-4 | 0.0062186653 | 7.942867 | 0.00544 | 0.006884126 | 0.007811289 | 0.014558172 | 1.863735 | 0.0068 |
6.6 | 1.1328278E-5 | 1.2855176E-5 | 0.0022328265 | 173.69087 | 0.00222 | 4.8548856E-5 | 5.5092984E-5 | 0.0030749266 | 55.813396 | 0.00302 | 5.90922E-4 | 6.706464E-4 | 0.005227588 | 7.794851 | 0.00456 | 0.0058935313 | 0.0066956137 | 0.012357448 | 1.8456036 | 0.0057 |
6.7 | 8.651175E-6 | 9.824575E-6 | 0.0016598083 | 168.94455 | 0.00165 | 3.707594E-5 | 4.2105148E-5 | 0.0022120138 | 52.53547 | 0.00217 | 4.5130608E-4 | 5.126002E-4 | 0.0038009137 | 7.414968 | 0.00329 | 0.0045039062 | 0.0051230565 | 0.009212 | 1.7981455 | 0.00411 |
6.8 | 1.0215377E-6 | 1.1754802E-6 | 6.117541E-5 | 52.04291 | 6.0E-5 | 4.378012E-6 | 5.037763E-6 | 8.503736E-5 | 16.879984 | 8.0E-5 | 5.3300988E-5 | 6.133315E-5 | 2.0132457E-4 | 3.2824755 | 1.4E-4 | 5.3288206E-4 | 6.131735E-4 | 7.730754E-4 | 1.2607776 | 1.6E-4 |
6.9 | 7.9360774E-7 | 9.283496E-7 | 3.092832E-5 | 33.315384 | 3.0E-5 | 3.4011714E-6 | 3.9786355E-6 | 4.3978478E-5 | 11.0536585 | 4.0E-5 | 4.1408475E-5 | 4.843888E-5 | 1.28435E-4 | 2.651486 | 8.0E-5 | 4.140076E-4 | 4.842902E-4 | 5.842418E-4 | 1.2063878 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 7.4382757E-7 | 8.747428E-7 | 3.0874715E-5 | 35.295765 | 3.0E-5 | 3.1878285E-6 | 3.7488926E-6 | 4.3748743E-5 | 11.669777 | 4.0E-5 | 3.8811122E-5 | 4.564188E-5 | 1.15638686E-4 | 2.5336092 | 7.0E-5 | 3.8804344E-4 | 4.563317E-4 | 5.4629066E-4 | 1.197135 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.4709513E-7 | 7.711399E-7 | 2.0771124E-5 | 26.93561 | 2.0E-5 | 2.773262E-6 | 3.3048816E-6 | 3.3304783E-5 | 10.077451 | 3.0E-5 | 3.376394E-5 | 4.023625E-5 | 9.0234236E-5 | 2.2426105 | 5.0E-5 | 3.375881E-4 | 4.022956E-4 | 4.6227148E-4 | 1.1490841 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.356704E-7 | 7.588459E-7 | 2.0758831E-5 | 27.355793 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7242988E-6 | 3.252193E-6 | 3.3252094E-5 | 10.224515 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3167835E-5 | 3.959479E-5 | 8.959281E-5 | 2.2627423 | 5.0E-5 | 3.3162883E-4 | 3.9588328E-4 | 4.5585955E-4 | 1.1514999 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.7695723E-7 | 6.896648E-7 | 2.0689651E-5 | 29.999575 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4726714E-6 | 2.9557032E-6 | 3.2955613E-5 | 11.149838 | 3.0E-5 | 3.0104358E-5 | 3.598515E-5 | 7.598371E-5 | 2.1115296 | 4.0E-5 | 3.0100282E-4 | 3.5979896E-4 | 4.0978097E-4 | 1.1389165 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.209647E-7 | 6.193583E-7 | 2.0619345E-5 | 33.291466 | 2.0E-5 | 2.232704E-6 | 2.6543903E-6 | 3.2654312E-5 | 12.302001 | 3.0E-5 | 2.718283E-5 | 3.2316777E-5 | 7.231549E-5 | 2.2377071 | 4.0E-5 | 2.7179506E-4 | 3.2312635E-4 | 3.7311018E-4 | 1.1546882 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.512955E-7 | 5.3489487E-7 | 2.0534884E-5 | 38.390503 | 2.0E-5 | 1.934122E-6 | 2.2924048E-6 | 2.2292359E-5 | 9.7244425 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3547682E-5 | 2.7909726E-5 | 4.790917E-5 | 1.7165761 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3545188E-4 | 2.7906752E-4 | 3.0905916E-4 | 1.1074709 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 2.0260397E-5 | 77.80431 | 2.0E-5 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160082E-6 | 2.1115986E-5 | 18.920996 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 3.358707E-5 | 2.4719381 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.6586386E-4 | 1.2207726 | 3.0E-5 |
Garlock (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.5181727E-5 | 2.5197181E-5 | 0.00902497 | 358.1738 | 0.009 | 1.0791722E-4 | 1.0798347E-4 | 0.010686841 | 98.96738 | 0.01058 | 0.0013131002 | 0.0013139093 | 0.013957275 | 10.622708 | 0.01266 | 0.013053683 | 0.013141794 | 0.02653346 | 2.0190134 | 0.01357 |
6.1 | 2.5077732E-5 | 2.5098223E-5 | 0.009024872 | 359.58212 | 0.009 | 1.0747157E-4 | 1.075594E-4 | 0.010686422 | 99.353676 | 0.01058 | 0.001307681 | 0.0013087525 | 0.013952184 | 10.660674 | 0.01266 | 0.013000126 | 0.013090835 | 0.026483193 | 2.0230331 | 0.01357 |
6.2 | 2.494612E-5 | 2.4979914E-5 | 0.009024755 | 361.28046 | 0.009 | 1.0690756E-4 | 1.070524E-4 | 0.01068592 | 99.81952 | 0.01058 | 0.0013008224 | 0.0013025872 | 0.013946096 | 10.706459 | 0.01266 | 0.012932341 | 0.013029906 | 0.026423091 | 2.0278804 | 0.01357 |
6.3 | 2.4733758E-5 | 2.4799276E-5 | 0.009024576 | 363.90482 | 0.009 | 1.0599751E-4 | 1.06278305E-4 | 0.010685154 | 100.539375 | 0.01058 | 0.0012897556 | 0.0012931736 | 0.013936802 | 10.777208 | 0.01266 | 0.012822957 | 0.0129368715 | 0.026331319 | 2.0353699 | 0.01357 |
6.4 | 2.3237335E-5 | 2.3178607E-5 | 0.008972971 | 387.12296 | 0.00895 | 9.958477E-5 | 9.933313E-5 | 0.010628287 | 106.99641 | 0.01053 | 0.0012117702 | 0.0012087126 | 0.013733556 | 11.362134 | 0.01254 | 0.012051838 | 0.012101731 | 0.025369205 | 2.0963285 | 0.01343 |
6.5 | 2.2732203E-5 | 2.2992977E-5 | 0.008962788 | 389.80545 | 0.00894 | 9.742009E-5 | 9.8537625E-5 | 0.010617501 | 107.75073 | 0.01052 | 0.0011854442 | 0.0011990381 | 0.013714015 | 11.437513 | 0.01253 | 0.011791403 | 0.012006035 | 0.025264915 | 2.104351 | 0.01342 |
6.6 | 2.1319436E-5 | 2.1773201E-5 | 0.008931579 | 410.20972 | 0.00891 | 9.136581E-5 | 9.3310395E-5 | 0.010582332 | 113.409996 | 0.01049 | 0.001111811 | 0.0011354643 | 0.013601294 | 11.978619 | 0.01248 | 0.011062649 | 0.011376952 | 0.024584956 | 2.160944 | 0.01336 |
6.7 | 1.970802E-5 | 2.0393094E-5 | 0.008930211 | 437.9037 | 0.00891 | 8.446021E-5 | 8.739606E-5 | 0.010576479 | 121.01781 | 0.01049 | 0.001027818 | 0.0010635294 | 0.013530256 | 12.722034 | 0.01248 | 0.010230771 | 0.0106646875 | 0.023882208 | 2.2393725 | 0.01336 |
6.8 | 1.8744462E-5 | 1.9900775E-5 | 0.008929724 | 448.71234 | 0.00891 | 8.033094E-5 | 8.528626E-5 | 0.010574392 | 123.98705 | 0.01049 | 9.775903E-4 | 0.0010378672 | 0.013504915 | 13.012179 | 0.01248 | 0.009733009 | 0.010410495 | 0.023611618 | 2.2680593 | 0.01334 |
6.9 | 1.7559682E-5 | 1.8953151E-5 | 0.008918785 | 470.57 | 0.0089 | 7.5253614E-5 | 8.122527E-5 | 0.010550375 | 129.8903 | 0.01047 | 9.158276E-4 | 9.884704E-4 | 0.013436154 | 13.592874 | 0.01246 | 0.0091206245 | 0.009921073 | 0.023108924 | 2.3292768 | 0.01332 |
7.0 | 1.6794445E-5 | 1.8215967E-5 | 0.0088680545 | 486.82864 | 0.00885 | 7.197421E-5 | 7.806611E-5 | 0.010487254 | 134.33812 | 0.01041 | 8.759337E-4 | 9.5004175E-4 | 0.013308289 | 14.00811 | 0.01237 | 0.008724891 | 0.009539958 | 0.022643745 | 2.3735685 | 0.01323 |
7.1 | 1.6337795E-5 | 1.771677E-5 | 0.008847561 | 499.38904 | 0.00883 | 7.0017246E-5 | 7.592681E-5 | 0.010455139 | 137.70023 | 0.01038 | 8.521265E-4 | 9.2401815E-4 | 0.013252616 | 14.342376 | 0.01234 | 0.008488664 | 0.009281721 | 0.022349294 | 2.4078827 | 0.01319 |
7.2 | 1.5780008E-5 | 1.71654E-5 | 0.008827014 | 514.233 | 0.00881 | 6.762685E-5 | 7.3563926E-5 | 0.010412803 | 141.54768 | 0.01034 | 8.2304585E-4 | 8.952741E-4 | 0.013184262 | 14.726509 | 0.0123 | 0.008200042 | 0.008996559 | 0.022018345 | 2.4474185 | 0.01314 |
7.3 | 1.5058865E-5 | 1.6618484E-5 | 0.008806473 | 529.92035 | 0.00879 | 6.45364E-5 | 7.122013E-5 | 0.010370486 | 145.61172 | 0.0103 | 7.854473E-4 | 8.667614E-4 | 0.013106143 | 15.120821 | 0.01225 | 0.00782677 | 0.008713263 | 0.021679293 | 2.4880798 | 0.01308 |
7.4 | 1.4887923E-5 | 1.6454453E-5 | 0.008676312 | 527.29266 | 0.00866 | 6.380382E-5 | 7.0517184E-5 | 0.010189803 | 144.501 | 0.01012 | 7.7653467E-4 | 8.5820974E-4 | 0.012877885 | 15.005523 | 0.01203 | 0.0077382675 | 0.008628101 | 0.021347404 | 2.4741714 | 0.01283 |
7.5 | 1.4509299E-5 | 1.6046468E-5 | 0.008035918 | 500.79044 | 0.00802 | 6.218123E-5 | 6.876877E-5 | 0.009378129 | 136.3719 | 0.00931 | 7.567935E-4 | 8.369394E-4 | 0.011887683 | 14.203756 | 0.01106 | 0.0075422134 | 0.008416411 | 0.020107182 | 2.3890448 | 0.01179 |
7.6 | 1.2756717E-5 | 1.4050529E-5 | 0.0052239774 | 371.79935 | 0.00521 | 5.4670498E-5 | 6.0215163E-5 | 0.0061998456 | 102.96153 | 0.00614 | 6.6541E-4 | 7.328737E-4 | 0.007877634 | 10.748965 | 0.00715 | 0.006634211 | 0.007381374 | 0.015014611 | 2.0341215 | 0.00769 |
7.7 | 1.0328985E-5 | 1.146033E-5 | 0.0033414222 | 291.5642 | 0.00333 | 4.4266326E-5 | 4.9114777E-5 | 0.00401892 | 81.8271 | 0.00397 | 5.388092E-4 | 5.9780874E-4 | 0.005215047 | 8.723604 | 0.00462 | 0.0053750467 | 0.006038286 | 0.011008094 | 1.8230495 | 0.005 |
7.8 | 7.0306583E-6 | 8.899537E-6 | 0.002078881 | 233.59431 | 0.00207 | 3.0131043E-5 | 3.8140315E-5 | 0.0025180457 | 66.020584 | 0.00248 | 3.667837E-4 | 4.6425956E-4 | 0.0033229317 | 7.1574874 | 0.00286 | 0.003661789 | 0.0046950667 | 0.007790465 | 1.6592875 | 0.00311 |
7.9 | 4.060633E-6 | 5.465412E-6 | 0.0011954589 | 218.7317 | 0.00119 | 1.7402595E-5 | 2.3422985E-5 | 0.0014433897 | 61.62279 | 0.00142 | 2.11856E-4 | 2.8513762E-4 | 0.0019046757 | 6.679847 | 0.00162 | 0.0021165414 | 0.002884143 | 0.004619125 | 1.6015588 | 0.00174 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.0775192E-6 | 4.3207663E-4 | 207.9772 | 4.3E-4 | 7.169782E-6 | 8.903624E-6 | 5.1889906E-4 | 58.279537 | 5.1E-4 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.0839626E-4 | 6.883334E-4 | 6.350158 | 5.8E-4 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.001096854 | 0.001736152 | 1.582847 | 6.4E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1489736E-7 | 9.031487E-5 | 286.8073 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3495595E-6 | 1.01349426E-4 | 75.09815 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.643078E-5 | 1.1642914E-4 | 7.086038 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.662928E-4 | 2.6627615E-4 | 1.601249 | 1.0E-4 |
Gravel Hills-Harper Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.1464628E-5 | 0.0055112923 | 175.15836 | 0.00548 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3484266E-4 | 0.007323873 | 54.314217 | 0.00719 | 0.0015995599 | 0.00164069 | 0.0114645455 | 6.9876366 | 0.00984 | 0.015880952 | 0.016307337 | 0.027619803 | 1.693704 | 0.0115 |
6.1 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.1464628E-5 | 0.0055112923 | 175.15836 | 0.00548 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3484266E-4 | 0.007323873 | 54.314217 | 0.00719 | 0.0015995599 | 0.00164069 | 0.0114645455 | 6.9876366 | 0.00984 | 0.015880952 | 0.016307337 | 0.027619803 | 1.693704 | 0.0115 |
6.2 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.36352E-5 | 0.0018136107 | 133.00946 | 0.0018 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.843533E-5 | 0.0023483015 | 40.18633 | 0.00229 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.112298E-4 | 0.0037990322 | 5.3414974 | 0.00309 | 0.007871548 | 0.007090737 | 0.010645352 | 1.501304 | 0.00358 |
6.3 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.36352E-5 | 0.0018136107 | 133.00946 | 0.0018 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.843533E-5 | 0.0023483015 | 40.18633 | 0.00229 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.112298E-4 | 0.0037990322 | 5.3414974 | 0.00309 | 0.007871548 | 0.007090737 | 0.010645352 | 1.501304 | 0.00358 |
6.4 | 1.2532521E-5 | 1.0689684E-5 | 0.0011206778 | 104.83732 | 0.00111 | 5.37097E-5 | 4.581216E-5 | 0.0014957457 | 32.649536 | 0.00145 | 6.537194E-4 | 5.5762613E-4 | 0.002536522 | 4.548786 | 0.00198 | 0.0065179965 | 0.005562859 | 0.007869953 | 1.4147317 | 0.00232 |
6.5 | 1.1094058E-5 | 9.083657E-6 | 7.7907665E-4 | 85.76685 | 7.7E-4 | 4.7545094E-5 | 3.89294E-5 | 0.0010588897 | 27.200258 | 0.00102 | 5.787078E-4 | 4.7386638E-4 | 0.0019031888 | 4.0162983 | 0.00143 | 0.0057720304 | 0.004728967 | 0.0063910694 | 1.3514726 | 0.00167 |
6.6 | 9.688328E-6 | 7.531688E-6 | 4.7752814E-4 | 63.40254 | 4.7E-4 | 4.1520743E-5 | 3.227828E-5 | 7.022566E-4 | 21.756323 | 6.7E-4 | 5.053978E-4 | 3.9291973E-4 | 0.0013325504 | 3.391406 | 9.4E-4 | 0.0050424994 | 0.0039225067 | 0.0050181923 | 1.2793329 | 0.0011 |
6.7 | 8.974824E-6 | 6.749406E-6 | 3.5674704E-4 | 52.856064 | 3.5E-4 | 3.8462964E-5 | 2.8925719E-5 | 5.0891185E-4 | 17.59375 | 4.8E-4 | 4.6818596E-4 | 3.5211592E-4 | 0.0010718624 | 3.0440612 | 7.2E-4 | 0.004672008 | 0.003515801 | 0.004342883 | 1.235247 | 8.3E-4 |
6.8 | 7.4780046E-6 | 5.1161865E-6 | 1.5511541E-4 | 30.318563 | 1.5E-4 | 3.20482E-5 | 2.1926337E-5 | 2.3192173E-4 | 10.577313 | 2.1E-4 | 3.9011694E-4 | 2.6692182E-4 | 5.868364E-4 | 2.1985328 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0038943281 | 0.0026661505 | 0.003035164 | 1.1384069 | 3.7E-4 |
6.9 | 6.3409307E-6 | 3.907489E-6 | 1.2390703E-4 | 31.710138 | 1.2E-4 | 2.7175134E-5 | 1.674628E-5 | 1.767436E-4 | 10.554201 | 1.6E-4 | 3.3080703E-4 | 2.0386786E-4 | 4.2382302E-4 | 2.0789104 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0033031502 | 0.0020369065 | 0.0022764178 | 1.1175858 | 2.4E-4 |
7.0 | 5.1239335E-6 | 2.6058492E-6 | 6.260569E-5 | 24.025063 | 6.0E-5 | 2.195953E-5 | 1.1167879E-5 | 1.1116676E-4 | 9.954152 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6732447E-4 | 1.359607E-4 | 2.9593895E-4 | 2.1766508 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0026700313 | 0.0013588005 | 0.0015285694 | 1.1249404 | 1.7E-4 |
7.1 | 4.438899E-6 | 2.0984692E-6 | 4.2098385E-5 | 20.061474 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9023713E-5 | 8.99341E-6 | 8.899269E-5 | 9.895322 | 8.0E-5 | 2.315891E-4 | 1.0948948E-4 | 2.4947416E-4 | 2.2785215 | 1.4E-4 | 0.002313479 | 0.0010943774 | 0.0012442132 | 1.1369143 | 1.5E-4 |
7.2 | 3.50367E-6 | 1.2615715E-6 | 3.1261534E-5 | 24.779837 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5015643E-5 | 5.406724E-6 | 6.54064E-5 | 12.097233 | 6.0E-5 | 1.8280011E-4 | 6.5824956E-5 | 1.458197E-4 | 2.2152646 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0018264982 | 6.580628E-4 | 7.380102E-4 | 1.1214889 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.561638E-6 | 7.118686E-7 | 7.118686E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0978401E-5 | 3.050862E-6 | 2.3050801E-5 | 7.5555043 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3365384E-4 | 3.7143633E-5 | 5.714289E-5 | 1.5384303 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013357349 | 3.7137623E-4 | 3.913688E-4 | 1.0538337 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0368864E-6 | 5.304471E-7 | 5.304471E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.729483E-6 | 2.2733427E-6 | 2.2273298E-5 | 9.797598 | 2.0E-5 | 1.06276275E-4 | 2.76776E-5 | 4.7677047E-5 | 1.7225859 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010622547 | 2.767421E-4 | 2.9673654E-4 | 1.0722494 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6028484E-7 | 3.6028484E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.544077E-6 | 1.1544062E-5 | 7.476351 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.879898E-5 | 2.8798791E-5 | 1.5319338 | 1.0E-5 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8797436E-4 | 1.9797249E-4 | 1.0531888 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.1196716E-8 | 7.1196716E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.0512876E-7 | 3.0512876E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.714938E-6 | 3.714938E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.7148915E-5 | 3.7148915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0364317E-5 | 0.0034502267 | 85.47715 | 0.00341 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7297991E-4 | 0.004942155 | 28.570686 | 0.00477 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0021042533 | 0.009418829 | 4.476091 | 0.00733 | 0.018143194 | 0.020869205 | 0.029710757 | 1.4236649 | 0.00903 |
6.1 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0364317E-5 | 0.0034502267 | 85.47715 | 0.00341 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7297991E-4 | 0.004942155 | 28.570686 | 0.00477 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0021042533 | 0.009418829 | 4.476091 | 0.00733 | 0.018143194 | 0.020869205 | 0.029710757 | 1.4236649 | 0.00903 |
6.2 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1059794E-5 | 0.0018310216 | 86.943954 | 0.00181 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.025371E-5 | 0.0026500227 | 29.361925 | 0.00256 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010983871 | 0.0051938836 | 4.7286463 | 0.0041 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010939668 | 0.016003657 | 1.4629015 | 0.00512 |
6.3 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1059794E-5 | 0.0018310216 | 86.943954 | 0.00181 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.025371E-5 | 0.0026500227 | 29.361925 | 0.00256 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010983871 | 0.0051938836 | 4.7286463 | 0.0041 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010939668 | 0.016003657 | 1.4629015 | 0.00512 |
6.4 | 1.712201E-5 | 1.9565212E-5 | 0.0017295318 | 88.398315 | 0.00171 | 7.337798E-5 | 8.3848776E-5 | 0.0025536416 | 30.455324 | 0.00247 | 8.930107E-4 | 0.0010204813 | 0.0048565627 | 4.75909 | 0.00384 | 0.008894307 | 0.010167871 | 0.01494876 | 1.4701957 | 0.00483 |
6.5 | 1.4744935E-5 | 1.6836972E-5 | 0.0014668126 | 87.11855 | 0.00145 | 6.3191044E-5 | 7.215698E-5 | 0.0022320012 | 30.932573 | 0.00216 | 7.6907943E-4 | 8.782507E-4 | 0.004245291 | 4.833803 | 0.00337 | 0.007664232 | 0.008756994 | 0.013019339 | 1.486736 | 0.0043 |
6.6 | 1.2017839E-5 | 1.3724089E-5 | 0.001263707 | 92.079475 | 0.00125 | 5.150401E-5 | 5.88167E-5 | 0.0018487114 | 31.431744 | 0.00179 | 6.268809E-4 | 7.159466E-4 | 0.0035439206 | 4.949979 | 0.00283 | 0.0062511545 | 0.0071450938 | 0.010709443 | 1.4988526 | 0.00359 |
6.7 | 1.00956095E-5 | 1.1533517E-5 | 0.0010915211 | 94.63905 | 0.00108 | 4.326618E-5 | 4.942891E-5 | 0.0015893528 | 32.154316 | 0.00154 | 5.266384E-4 | 6.017178E-4 | 0.0029902796 | 4.9695716 | 0.00239 | 0.005253921 | 0.0060094125 | 0.009011264 | 1.499525 | 0.00302 |
Nelson Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0192255E-5 | 0.0028301636 | 277.67786 | 0.00282 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.3680422E-5 | 0.004383491 | 100.353676 | 0.00434 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.316897E-4 | 0.007398037 | 13.914201 | 0.00687 | 0.0051593683 | 0.005305204 | 0.013670587 | 2.5768259 | 0.00841 |
6.1 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0192255E-5 | 0.0028301636 | 277.67786 | 0.00282 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.3680422E-5 | 0.004383491 | 100.353676 | 0.00434 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.316897E-4 | 0.007398037 | 13.914201 | 0.00687 | 0.0051593683 | 0.005305204 | 0.013670587 | 2.5768259 | 0.00841 |
6.2 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.696313E-6 | 0.0011346911 | 241.61316 | 0.00113 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0126909E-5 | 0.0018800895 | 93.411736 | 0.00186 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4501883E-4 | 0.0033042692 | 13.485777 | 0.00306 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024476128 | 0.006238312 | 2.5487332 | 0.0038 |
6.3 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.696313E-6 | 0.0011346911 | 241.61316 | 0.00113 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0126909E-5 | 0.0018800895 | 93.411736 | 0.00186 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4501883E-4 | 0.0033042692 | 13.485777 | 0.00306 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024476128 | 0.006238312 | 2.5487332 | 0.0038 |
6.4 | 3.4025713E-6 | 3.5098972E-6 | 8.535069E-4 | 243.17148 | 8.5E-4 | 1.4582367E-5 | 1.5042335E-5 | 0.0014350209 | 95.39882 | 0.00142 | 1.7752586E-4 | 1.8312587E-4 | 0.0025326954 | 13.830353 | 0.00235 | 0.001773841 | 0.0018298327 | 0.004684599 | 2.5601244 | 0.00286 |
6.5 | 2.8352947E-6 | 2.927856E-6 | 7.029258E-4 | 240.08209 | 7.0E-4 | 1.2151207E-5 | 1.2547898E-5 | 0.0012125329 | 96.63234 | 0.0012 | 1.479309E-4 | 1.5276071E-4 | 0.0021224597 | 13.894016 | 0.00197 | 0.0014783246 | 0.0015266308 | 0.0038930126 | 2.5500681 | 0.00237 |
6.6 | 2.251518E-6 | 2.3290677E-6 | 6.423276E-4 | 275.78745 | 6.4E-4 | 9.649328E-6 | 9.981683E-6 | 0.001079971 | 108.195274 | 0.00107 | 1.1747423E-4 | 1.2152085E-4 | 0.001791318 | 14.740828 | 0.00167 | 0.0011741214 | 0.0012146058 | 0.0032021885 | 2.636402 | 0.00199 |
6.7 | 1.8911853E-6 | 1.9591396E-6 | 5.5195804E-4 | 281.73492 | 5.5E-4 | 8.105055E-6 | 8.39629E-6 | 9.2838856E-4 | 110.5713 | 9.2E-4 | 9.867457E-5 | 1.0222061E-4 | 0.0015220755 | 14.890103 | 0.00142 | 9.863076E-4 | 0.0010217935 | 0.0027200563 | 2.6620414 | 0.0017 |
6.8 | 1.4874814E-6 | 1.5438305E-6 | 5.0154305E-4 | 324.86926 | 5.0E-4 | 6.374905E-6 | 6.6164025E-6 | 7.2661164E-4 | 109.81975 | 7.2E-4 | 7.76117E-5 | 8.055224E-5 | 0.0011804636 | 14.6546335 | 0.0011 | 7.75846E-4 | 8.0528157E-4 | 0.0021541945 | 2.6750822 | 0.00135 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.1399285E-7 | 2.4071382E-4 | 337.1376 | 2.4E-4 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0599674E-6 | 3.530589E-4 | 115.37995 | 3.5E-4 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.7254784E-5 | 5.872343E-4 | 15.762654 | 5.5E-4 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7251666E-4 | 0.0010422671 | 2.7979074 | 6.7E-4 |
Death Valley (So)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5618314E-5 | 0.003975517 | 155.18262 | 0.00395 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0978825E-4 | 0.0053892084 | 49.0873 | 0.00528 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013358692 | 0.008516264 | 6.3750734 | 0.00719 | 0.010734817 | 0.013279985 | 0.021726308 | 1.6360191 | 0.00856 |
6.1 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5618314E-5 | 0.003975517 | 155.18262 | 0.00395 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0978825E-4 | 0.0053892084 | 49.0873 | 0.00528 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013358692 | 0.008516264 | 6.3750734 | 0.00719 | 0.010734817 | 0.013279985 | 0.021726308 | 1.6360191 | 0.00856 |
6.2 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5618314E-5 | 0.003975517 | 155.18262 | 0.00395 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0978825E-4 | 0.0053892084 | 49.0873 | 0.00528 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013358692 | 0.008516264 | 6.3750734 | 0.00719 | 0.010734817 | 0.013279985 | 0.021726308 | 1.6360191 | 0.00856 |
6.3 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.51184E-5 | 0.0037750243 | 150.2892 | 0.00375 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0764593E-4 | 0.0050871097 | 47.2578 | 0.00498 | 0.0010555626 | 0.001309818 | 0.008100911 | 6.184761 | 0.0068 | 0.010505628 | 0.013022543 | 0.020938102 | 1.6078352 | 0.00802 |
6.4 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.51184E-5 | 0.0037750243 | 150.2892 | 0.00375 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0764593E-4 | 0.0050871097 | 47.2578 | 0.00498 | 0.0010555626 | 0.001309818 | 0.008100911 | 6.184761 | 0.0068 | 0.010505628 | 0.013022543 | 0.020938102 | 1.6078352 | 0.00802 |
6.5 | 1.9962767E-5 | 2.4807652E-5 | 0.0036847168 | 148.53146 | 0.00366 | 8.55519E-5 | 1.0631427E-4 | 0.004925802 | 46.332462 | 0.00482 | 0.0010410968 | 0.0012936244 | 0.00790506 | 6.110785 | 0.00662 | 0.010362327 | 0.01286249 | 0.020542419 | 1.5970796 | 0.00778 |
6.6 | 1.8937297E-5 | 2.3311462E-5 | 0.0033132348 | 142.129 | 0.00329 | 8.115732E-5 | 9.990252E-5 | 0.004469466 | 44.73827 | 0.00437 | 9.876423E-4 | 0.0012156491 | 0.0071384404 | 5.8721223 | 0.00593 | 0.009832645 | 0.0120915035 | 0.01902662 | 1.573553 | 0.00702 |
6.7 | 1.8621096E-5 | 2.2912098E-5 | 0.0031928394 | 139.35168 | 0.00317 | 7.980225E-5 | 9.8191085E-5 | 0.004327776 | 44.075035 | 0.00423 | 9.711593E-4 | 0.0011948354 | 0.006908001 | 5.7815504 | 0.00572 | 0.009669261 | 0.011885625 | 0.018585041 | 1.5636569 | 0.00678 |
6.8 | 1.7830353E-5 | 2.1806083E-5 | 0.0030417403 | 139.49043 | 0.00302 | 7.641356E-5 | 9.3451374E-5 | 0.0041430728 | 44.333996 | 0.00405 | 9.29938E-4 | 0.0011371907 | 0.0066009704 | 5.8046293 | 0.00547 | 0.009260561 | 0.01131609 | 0.0176931 | 1.5635349 | 0.00645 |
6.9 | 1.3135183E-5 | 1.5304031E-5 | 0.0019852738 | 129.72229 | 0.00197 | 5.6292425E-5 | 6.558709E-5 | 0.0027854086 | 42.468857 | 0.00272 | 6.8514474E-4 | 7.982367E-4 | 0.004435331 | 5.556411 | 0.00364 | 0.006830362 | 0.007955158 | 0.012270553 | 1.542465 | 0.00435 |
7.0 | 1.1507512E-5 | 1.3154237E-5 | 0.0013631365 | 103.627174 | 0.00135 | 4.9316975E-5 | 5.637412E-5 | 0.001956267 | 34.701508 | 0.0019 | 6.002687E-4 | 6.861445E-4 | 0.0032743674 | 4.772125 | 0.00259 | 0.0059864987 | 0.0068414924 | 0.009860694 | 1.4413075 | 0.00304 |
7.1 | 9.715903E-6 | 1.0865287E-5 | 6.4085843E-4 | 58.982193 | 6.3E-4 | 4.1638916E-5 | 4.6564706E-5 | 8.965251E-4 | 19.253319 | 8.5E-4 | 5.068359E-4 | 5.667821E-4 | 0.0017661019 | 3.1160157 | 0.0012 | 0.0050568148 | 0.005653834 | 0.007105579 | 1.2567718 | 0.00146 |
7.2 | 9.233269E-6 | 1.0286314E-5 | 4.902814E-4 | 47.663467 | 4.8E-4 | 3.9570554E-5 | 4.408348E-5 | 6.740557E-4 | 15.290438 | 6.3E-4 | 4.81665E-4 | 5.365884E-4 | 0.0014560948 | 2.7136157 | 9.2E-4 | 0.0048062233 | 0.0053533595 | 0.006417631 | 1.1988045 | 0.00107 |
7.3 | 8.8041315E-6 | 9.808164E-6 | 3.6980462E-4 | 37.70376 | 3.6E-4 | 3.7731446E-5 | 4.2034335E-5 | 5.2201416E-4 | 12.4187565 | 4.8E-4 | 4.592835E-4 | 5.1165203E-4 | 0.0012112939 | 2.3674173 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0045833546 | 0.005105167 | 0.005911032 | 1.1578528 | 8.1E-4 |
7.4 | 8.708749E-6 | 9.707175E-6 | 3.2970408E-4 | 33.964985 | 3.2E-4 | 3.7322676E-5 | 4.160154E-5 | 4.7158365E-4 | 11.335726 | 4.3E-4 | 4.5430884E-4 | 5.0638523E-4 | 0.0011560561 | 2.2829578 | 6.5E-4 | 0.004533812 | 0.0050527398 | 0.00579895 | 1.1476843 | 7.5E-4 |
7.5 | 8.612678E-6 | 9.604817E-6 | 3.2960175E-4 | 34.316296 | 3.2E-4 | 3.6910955E-5 | 4.1162875E-5 | 4.7114518E-4 | 11.445876 | 4.3E-4 | 4.492982E-4 | 5.01047E-4 | 0.0011507213 | 2.2966335 | 6.5E-4 | 0.004483909 | 0.0049995985 | 0.005745849 | 1.1492621 | 7.5E-4 |
7.6 | 8.319024E-6 | 9.283916E-6 | 2.892813E-4 | 31.159405 | 2.8E-4 | 3.5652476E-5 | 3.978763E-5 | 4.1977252E-4 | 10.550327 | 3.8E-4 | 4.3398244E-4 | 4.8431093E-4 | 0.0010840204 | 2.2382736 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0043313587 | 0.0048329784 | 0.005509692 | 1.14002 | 6.8E-4 |
7.7 | 7.4718328E-6 | 8.34517E-6 | 1.6834383E-4 | 20.172607 | 1.6E-4 | 3.2021748E-5 | 3.5764548E-5 | 2.857556E-4 | 7.989913 | 2.5E-4 | 3.8979502E-4 | 4.353504E-4 | 8.551676E-4 | 1.9643202 | 4.2E-4 | 0.00389112 | 0.0043453807 | 0.0048332512 | 1.1122735 | 4.9E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6482615E-7 | 3.6482615E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635396E-6 | 1.5635396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9035933E-5 | 3.9035553E-5 | 2.0506246 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9034347E-4 | 2.2033777E-4 | 1.1575798 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
So Sierra Nevada
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079612E-5 | 0.00447103 | 403.53674 | 0.00446 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483256E-5 | 0.0058772066 | 123.77429 | 0.00583 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779681E-4 | 0.007973691 | 13.796076 | 0.0074 | 0.006007948 | 0.005765918 | 0.014216907 | 2.46568 | 0.0085 |
6.1 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079612E-5 | 0.00447103 | 403.53674 | 0.00446 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483256E-5 | 0.0058772066 | 123.77429 | 0.00583 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779681E-4 | 0.007973691 | 13.796076 | 0.0074 | 0.006007948 | 0.005765918 | 0.014216907 | 2.46568 | 0.0085 |
6.2 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079612E-5 | 0.00447103 | 403.53674 | 0.00446 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483256E-5 | 0.0058772066 | 123.77429 | 0.00583 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779681E-4 | 0.007973691 | 13.796076 | 0.0074 | 0.006007948 | 0.005765918 | 0.014216907 | 2.46568 | 0.0085 |
6.3 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079612E-5 | 0.00447103 | 403.53674 | 0.00446 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483256E-5 | 0.0058772066 | 123.77429 | 0.00583 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779681E-4 | 0.007973691 | 13.796076 | 0.0074 | 0.006007948 | 0.005765918 | 0.014216907 | 2.46568 | 0.0085 |
6.4 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079612E-5 | 0.00447103 | 403.53674 | 0.00446 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483256E-5 | 0.0058772066 | 123.77429 | 0.00583 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779681E-4 | 0.007973691 | 13.796076 | 0.0074 | 0.006007948 | 0.005765918 | 0.014216907 | 2.46568 | 0.0085 |
6.5 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079612E-5 | 0.00447103 | 403.53674 | 0.00446 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483256E-5 | 0.0058772066 | 123.77429 | 0.00583 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779681E-4 | 0.007973691 | 13.796076 | 0.0074 | 0.006007948 | 0.005765918 | 0.014216907 | 2.46568 | 0.0085 |
6.6 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.9356042E-6 | 0.0022169203 | 319.64343 | 0.00221 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.9723697E-5 | 0.0028296404 | 95.198135 | 0.0028 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.6182883E-4 | 0.003960526 | 10.945856 | 0.0036 | 0.003951 | 0.0036126887 | 0.0076978765 | 2.1307888 | 0.0041 |
6.7 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.9356042E-6 | 0.0022169203 | 319.64343 | 0.00221 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.9723697E-5 | 0.0028296404 | 95.198135 | 0.0028 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.6182883E-4 | 0.003960526 | 10.945856 | 0.0036 | 0.003951 | 0.0036126887 | 0.0076978765 | 2.1307888 | 0.0041 |
6.8 | 5.9026956E-6 | 5.179362E-6 | 0.0015751712 | 304.12457 | 0.00157 | 2.5297022E-5 | 2.2197082E-5 | 0.001962154 | 88.396935 | 0.00194 | 3.0794772E-4 | 2.7021713E-4 | 0.0027595442 | 10.212321 | 0.00249 | 0.0030752132 | 0.002699002 | 0.0055413097 | 2.0530958 | 0.00285 |
6.9 | 5.0118915E-6 | 4.2523943E-6 | 0.0013042468 | 306.7088 | 0.0013 | 2.1479358E-5 | 1.8224424E-5 | 0.001628195 | 89.34137 | 0.00161 | 2.614798E-4 | 2.2186051E-4 | 0.0022414124 | 10.1028 | 0.00202 | 0.0026117235 | 0.0022164627 | 0.0045412984 | 2.0488946 | 0.00233 |
7.0 | 4.4924795E-6 | 3.7138868E-6 | 0.0011937094 | 321.41785 | 0.00119 | 1.925334E-5 | 1.5916565E-5 | 0.0014358939 | 90.21381 | 0.00142 | 2.3438422E-4 | 1.9376757E-4 | 0.0019534265 | 10.081287 | 0.00176 | 0.0023413717 | 0.0019360491 | 0.003932177 | 2.0310316 | 0.002 |
7.1 | 3.9118436E-6 | 3.1119469E-6 | 8.3310937E-4 | 267.71323 | 8.3E-4 | 1.6764936E-5 | 1.333685E-5 | 0.0010033237 | 75.22943 | 9.9E-4 | 2.0409399E-4 | 1.6236462E-4 | 0.0014221601 | 8.759051 | 0.00126 | 0.0020390663 | 0.0016225161 | 0.0030901309 | 1.9045303 | 0.00147 |
7.2 | 3.4200818E-6 | 2.6054236E-6 | 6.3260377E-4 | 242.80266 | 6.3E-4 | 1.4657411E-5 | 1.11660565E-5 | 7.8115746E-4 | 69.95822 | 7.7E-4 | 1.7843937E-4 | 1.3593875E-4 | 0.0011058069 | 8.134596 | 9.7E-4 | 0.0017829615 | 0.0013586058 | 0.002477084 | 1.8232546 | 0.00112 |
7.3 | 2.6593618E-6 | 1.8283897E-6 | 3.4182778E-4 | 186.95564 | 3.4E-4 | 1.13972155E-5 | 7.8359335E-6 | 4.2783265E-4 | 54.59881 | 4.2E-4 | 1.3875226E-4 | 9.539862E-5 | 6.553452E-4 | 6.8695464 | 5.6E-4 | 0.0013866565 | 9.536055E-4 | 0.001632957 | 1.712403 | 6.8E-4 |
7.4 | 2.2577992E-6 | 1.4364078E-6 | 2.9143598E-4 | 202.89224 | 2.9E-4 | 9.676246E-6 | 6.1560204E-6 | 3.4615392E-4 | 56.23015 | 3.4E-4 | 1.1780193E-4 | 7.4947224E-5 | 5.44912E-4 | 7.2706094 | 4.7E-4 | 0.001177395 | 7.4924453E-4 | 0.0013188175 | 1.7601963 | 5.7E-4 |
7.5 | 1.489319E-6 | 7.353661E-7 | 1.5073526E-4 | 204.97989 | 1.5E-4 | 6.3827797E-6 | 3.1515651E-6 | 1.6315107E-4 | 51.768265 | 1.6E-4 | 7.770758E-5 | 3.8369635E-5 | 2.683608E-4 | 6.9940934 | 2.3E-4 | 7.7680405E-4 | 3.8363054E-4 | 6.635231E-4 | 1.7295889 | 2.8E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.65941E-7 | 7.046591E-5 | 151.23354 | 7.0E-5 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.9968884E-6 | 8.199673E-5 | 41.06225 | 8.0E-5 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.4311848E-5 | 1.3430917E-4 | 5.5244327 | 1.1E-4 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.4309216E-4 | 4.0305327E-4 | 1.6580266 | 1.6E-4 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5578539E-7 | 1.01557835E-5 | 65.190865 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.676515E-7 | 1.0667645E-5 | 15.977864 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.128628E-6 | 1.8128547E-5 | 2.2302098 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.128342E-5 | 1.01281796E-4 | 1.2460326 | 2.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Mojave S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7462435E-4 | 0.0045320205 | 6.7178426 | 0.00386 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002888172 | 0.007634424 | 2.6433413 | 0.00476 | 0.016080605 | 0.034565594 | 0.04006857 | 1.1592039 | 0.0057 | 0.1496549 | 0.28654557 | 0.29110456 | 1.0159101 | 0.00639 |
6.1 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7462435E-4 | 0.0045320205 | 6.7178426 | 0.00386 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002888172 | 0.007634424 | 2.6433413 | 0.00476 | 0.016080605 | 0.034565594 | 0.04006857 | 1.1592039 | 0.0057 | 0.1496549 | 0.28654557 | 0.29110456 | 1.0159101 | 0.00639 |
6.2 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7462435E-4 | 0.0045320205 | 6.7178426 | 0.00386 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002888172 | 0.007634424 | 2.6433413 | 0.00476 | 0.016080605 | 0.034565594 | 0.04006857 | 1.1592039 | 0.0057 | 0.1496549 | 0.28654557 | 0.29110456 | 1.0159101 | 0.00639 |
6.3 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7462435E-4 | 0.0045320205 | 6.7178426 | 0.00386 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002888172 | 0.007634424 | 2.6433413 | 0.00476 | 0.016080605 | 0.034565594 | 0.04006857 | 1.1592039 | 0.0057 | 0.1496549 | 0.28654557 | 0.29110456 | 1.0159101 | 0.00639 |
6.4 | 1.9872203E-4 | 4.3181062E-4 | 0.0039203037 | 9.078756 | 0.00349 | 8.5138786E-4 | 0.0018493326 | 0.0060615283 | 3.2776842 | 0.00422 | 0.010316478 | 0.02228931 | 0.027138755 | 1.2175682 | 0.00496 | 0.098504856 | 0.19686839 | 0.2013338 | 1.0226822 | 0.00556 |
6.5 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.8754136E-4 | 0.0034066443 | 11.847492 | 0.00312 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012317409 | 0.004937171 | 4.008287 | 0.00371 | 0.006714592 | 0.014894155 | 0.019149812 | 1.2857267 | 0.00432 | 0.065152965 | 0.13800792 | 0.1421455 | 1.0299807 | 0.0048 |
6.6 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.8754136E-4 | 0.0034066443 | 11.847492 | 0.00312 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012317409 | 0.004937171 | 4.008287 | 0.00371 | 0.006714592 | 0.014894155 | 0.019149812 | 1.2857267 | 0.00432 | 0.065152965 | 0.13800792 | 0.1421455 | 1.0299807 | 0.0048 |
6.7 | 1.08001186E-4 | 2.4335351E-4 | 0.0032126307 | 13.201497 | 0.00297 | 4.6278012E-4 | 0.0010425274 | 0.004548868 | 4.363308 | 0.00351 | 0.0056198016 | 0.0126192 | 0.016647713 | 1.3192369 | 0.00408 | 0.054797906 | 0.11918431 | 0.12317441 | 1.0334784 | 0.00453 |
6.8 | 1.0624356E-4 | 2.3853009E-4 | 0.0031878264 | 13.364463 | 0.00295 | 4.5525006E-4 | 0.0010218718 | 0.0045083053 | 4.4118114 | 0.00349 | 0.0055285925 | 0.012370593 | 0.016380368 | 1.3241377 | 0.00406 | 0.053930566 | 0.11713308 | 0.121105984 | 1.0339178 | 0.0045 |
6.9 | 1.0393785E-4 | 2.3223337E-4 | 0.0031615528 | 13.613688 | 0.00293 | 4.4537184E-4 | 9.949068E-4 | 0.004461454 | 4.4842944 | 0.00347 | 0.0054089287 | 0.012045963 | 0.016027417 | 1.330522 | 0.00403 | 0.05279156 | 0.114433445 | 0.11839193 | 1.034592 | 0.00447 |
7.0 | 1.0155622E-4 | 2.2592908E-4 | 0.0031452694 | 13.921491 | 0.00292 | 4.3516833E-4 | 9.6790853E-4 | 0.0044245594 | 4.571258 | 0.00346 | 0.005285311 | 0.011720838 | 0.015683837 | 1.3381157 | 0.00401 | 0.05161361 | 0.11169745 | 0.11563263 | 1.0352308 | 0.00443 |
7.1 | 9.885595E-5 | 2.188132E-4 | 0.0031081808 | 14.204722 | 0.00289 | 4.2359953E-4 | 9.374342E-4 | 0.004364219 | 4.6554933 | 0.00343 | 0.0051451353 | 0.011353733 | 0.015288546 | 1.3465655 | 0.00398 | 0.05027629 | 0.10857607 | 0.11248942 | 1.0360425 | 0.00439 |
7.2 | 9.6411415E-5 | 2.1244297E-4 | 0.0030918312 | 14.5536995 | 0.00288 | 4.1312634E-4 | 9.101525E-4 | 0.0043270397 | 4.754192 | 0.00342 | 0.005018219 | 0.011024987 | 0.014951218 | 1.3561212 | 0.00397 | 0.049064007 | 0.1057697 | 0.109686434 | 1.0370307 | 0.00438 |
7.3 | 9.1180635E-5 | 1.9472656E-4 | 0.0030541697 | 15.6844015 | 0.00286 | 3.907156E-4 | 8.342756E-4 | 0.004231439 | 5.071992 | 0.0034 | 0.004746591 | 0.010110112 | 0.0140102785 | 1.3857688 | 0.00394 | 0.046464786 | 0.09796176 | 0.10184955 | 1.0396868 | 0.00431 |
7.4 | 8.887388E-5 | 1.872126E-4 | 0.0030466772 | 16.27389 | 0.00286 | 3.8083247E-4 | 8.020931E-4 | 0.004199366 | 5.2355094 | 0.0034 | 0.0046267817 | 0.009721855 | 0.0136235505 | 1.4013325 | 0.00394 | 0.045316286 | 0.094593845 | 0.09849615 | 1.0412532 | 0.00431 |
7.5 | 8.6750515E-5 | 1.80528E-4 | 0.0030200153 | 16.728792 | 0.00284 | 3.7173493E-4 | 7.734621E-4 | 0.004150848 | 5.366582 | 0.00338 | 0.004516484 | 0.009376327 | 0.013249665 | 1.4130976 | 0.00391 | 0.04425787 | 0.09155606 | 0.095444195 | 1.0424674 | 0.00428 |
7.6 | 8.453092E-5 | 1.7440386E-4 | 0.0030039104 | 17.223875 | 0.00283 | 3.6222505E-4 | 7.4723107E-4 | 0.004114713 | 5.5066137 | 0.00337 | 0.0044011753 | 0.009059664 | 0.012924331 | 1.4265795 | 0.0039 | 0.04315024 | 0.08871447 | 0.092605665 | 1.043862 | 0.00427 |
7.7 | 8.259102E-5 | 1.6962511E-4 | 0.0029891469 | 17.622078 | 0.00282 | 3.539135E-4 | 7.267622E-4 | 0.0040843203 | 5.619885 | 0.00336 | 0.004300386 | 0.0088125 | 0.012668219 | 1.4375284 | 0.00389 | 0.042181134 | 0.086465426 | 0.09035709 | 1.0450083 | 0.00426 |
7.8 | 7.444844E-5 | 1.528469E-4 | 0.002402503 | 15.718362 | 0.00225 | 3.1902574E-4 | 6.5489375E-4 | 0.0033531256 | 5.120106 | 0.0027 | 0.0038772223 | 0.007944231 | 0.0110692065 | 1.3933642 | 0.00315 | 0.03810269 | 0.078293875 | 0.08151984 | 1.0412034 | 0.0035 |
7.9 | 5.2586525E-5 | 1.0007023E-4 | 0.0013999401 | 13.989576 | 0.0013 | 2.2535135E-4 | 4.2880196E-4 | 0.0019781373 | 4.6131725 | 0.00155 | 0.0027402006 | 0.005208178 | 0.007018699 | 1.3476304 | 0.00182 | 0.027066574 | 0.052201588 | 0.054097187 | 1.036313 | 0.002 |
8.0 | 3.379877E-5 | 5.4075565E-5 | 5.340496E-4 | 9.875988 | 4.8E-4 | 1.4484383E-4 | 2.3173184E-4 | 8.0159976E-4 | 3.4591696 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0017620471 | 0.0028176866 | 0.0034857988 | 1.2371137 | 6.7E-4 | 0.017481409 | 0.028835917 | 0.029544866 | 1.0245856 | 7.3E-4 |
8.1 | 1.8668277E-5 | 1.9308145E-5 | 1.1930621E-4 | 6.1790614 | 1.0E-4 | 8.000444E-5 | 8.274657E-5 | 1.9273747E-4 | 2.3292503 | 1.1E-4 | 9.736188E-4 | 0.0010069745 | 0.0011168637 | 1.1091281 | 1.1E-4 | 0.009693642 | 0.010798624 | 0.010907436 | 1.0100765 | 1.1E-4 |
8.2 | 8.541571E-6 | 5.4596358E-6 | 5.4596358E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.660622E-5 | 2.339823E-5 | 2.339823E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.455896E-4 | 2.848363E-4 | 2.848363E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044469717 | 0.003240283 | 0.003240283 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6564595E-7 | 7.6564595E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9949547E-5 | 3.9949547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.717979E-4 | 4.717979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Towne Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894542E-6 | 0.0030138828 | 773.8735 | 0.00301 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690812E-5 | 0.004086623 | 244.84267 | 0.00407 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319606E-4 | 0.0057120766 | 28.111158 | 0.00551 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305319 | 0.008607151 | 4.2388654 | 0.00659 |
6.1 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894542E-6 | 0.0030138828 | 773.8735 | 0.00301 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690812E-5 | 0.004086623 | 244.84267 | 0.00407 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319606E-4 | 0.0057120766 | 28.111158 | 0.00551 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305319 | 0.008607151 | 4.2388654 | 0.00659 |
6.2 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894542E-6 | 0.0030138828 | 773.8735 | 0.00301 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690812E-5 | 0.004086623 | 244.84267 | 0.00407 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319606E-4 | 0.0057120766 | 28.111158 | 0.00551 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305319 | 0.008607151 | 4.2388654 | 0.00659 |
6.3 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894542E-6 | 0.0030138828 | 773.8735 | 0.00301 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690812E-5 | 0.004086623 | 244.84267 | 0.00407 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319606E-4 | 0.0057120766 | 28.111158 | 0.00551 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305319 | 0.008607151 | 4.2388654 | 0.00659 |
6.4 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894542E-6 | 0.0030138828 | 773.8735 | 0.00301 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690812E-5 | 0.004086623 | 244.84267 | 0.00407 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319606E-4 | 0.0057120766 | 28.111158 | 0.00551 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305319 | 0.008607151 | 4.2388654 | 0.00659 |
6.5 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2030526E-6 | 4.8120247E-4 | 399.98456 | 4.8E-4 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.15593E-6 | 6.351527E-4 | 123.18877 | 6.3E-4 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.277176E-5 | 8.427228E-4 | 13.42519 | 7.8E-4 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.2755204E-4 | 0.0015669621 | 2.4969437 | 9.4E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2030526E-6 | 4.8120247E-4 | 399.98456 | 4.8E-4 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.15593E-6 | 6.351527E-4 | 123.18877 | 6.3E-4 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.277176E-5 | 8.427228E-4 | 13.42519 | 7.8E-4 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.2755204E-4 | 0.0015669621 | 2.4969437 | 9.4E-4 |
6.7 | 8.375951E-7 | 8.410676E-7 | 2.8084085E-4 | 333.90994 | 2.8E-4 | 3.5896885E-6 | 3.6045708E-6 | 3.836032E-4 | 106.421326 | 3.8E-4 | 4.370358E-5 | 4.3884826E-5 | 5.0386466E-4 | 11.4815235 | 4.6E-4 | 4.3694986E-4 | 4.3876728E-4 | 9.785304E-4 | 2.2301807 | 5.4E-4 |
6.8 | 6.38041E-7 | 6.3921624E-7 | 1.906391E-4 | 298.23883 | 1.9E-4 | 2.7344586E-6 | 2.7394954E-6 | 2.527388E-4 | 92.25743 | 2.5E-4 | 3.3291526E-5 | 3.3352884E-5 | 3.233432E-4 | 9.69461 | 2.9E-4 | 3.3286537E-4 | 3.334826E-4 | 6.833659E-4 | 2.04918 | 3.5E-4 |
6.9 | 5.3460053E-7 | 5.345339E-7 | 1.5053446E-4 | 281.61816 | 1.5E-4 | 2.2911431E-6 | 2.2908578E-6 | 2.1229038E-4 | 92.66851 | 2.1E-4 | 2.789431E-5 | 2.7890868E-5 | 2.778839E-4 | 9.963257 | 2.5E-4 | 2.789081E-4 | 2.78877E-4 | 5.7879335E-4 | 2.075443 | 3.0E-4 |
7.0 | 3.557783E-7 | 3.5324283E-7 | 7.035322E-5 | 199.1639 | 7.0E-5 | 1.5247632E-6 | 1.513897E-6 | 9.1513764E-5 | 60.44913 | 9.0E-5 | 1.8563835E-5 | 1.8431549E-5 | 1.1842971E-4 | 6.4253798 | 1.0E-4 | 1.8562283E-4 | 1.8430105E-4 | 2.9428076E-4 | 1.5967395 | 1.1E-4 |
7.1 | 3.037942E-7 | 3.0002275E-7 | 5.030001E-5 | 167.65398 | 5.0E-5 | 1.3019744E-6 | 1.2858112E-6 | 7.128572E-5 | 55.44027 | 7.0E-5 | 1.5851423E-5 | 1.5654647E-5 | 9.565339E-5 | 6.110224 | 8.0E-5 | 1.5850292E-4 | 1.5653619E-4 | 2.465221E-4 | 1.5748569 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0808248E-7 | 2.0217735E-7 | 4.020217E-5 | 198.84607 | 4.0E-5 | 8.917818E-7 | 8.6647407E-7 | 6.0866423E-5 | 70.2461 | 6.0E-5 | 1.0857389E-5 | 1.0549275E-5 | 8.054854E-5 | 7.635457 | 7.0E-5 | 1.0856859E-4 | 1.0548821E-4 | 1.7548082E-4 | 1.6635113 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.1162073E-7 | 1.0636902E-7 | 2.0106367E-5 | 189.02464 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7837443E-7 | 4.5586717E-7 | 3.0455854E-5 | 66.80862 | 3.0E-5 | 5.8241935E-6 | 5.5501705E-6 | 4.554995E-5 | 8.206945 | 4.0E-5 | 5.8240406E-5 | 5.550052E-5 | 9.5498304E-5 | 1.7206739 | 4.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Mojave N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9402112E-4 | 0.0041332566 | 21.303127 | 0.00394 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.312543E-4 | 0.0055273473 | 6.6494064 | 0.0047 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010073684 | 0.015528178 | 1.5414597 | 0.00551 | 0.05023708 | 0.09832245 | 0.10376859 | 1.0553905 | 0.00604 |
6.1 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9402112E-4 | 0.0041332566 | 21.303127 | 0.00394 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.312543E-4 | 0.0055273473 | 6.6494064 | 0.0047 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010073684 | 0.015528178 | 1.5414597 | 0.00551 | 0.05023708 | 0.09832245 | 0.10376859 | 1.0553905 | 0.00604 |
6.2 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9402112E-4 | 0.0041332566 | 21.303127 | 0.00394 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.312543E-4 | 0.0055273473 | 6.6494064 | 0.0047 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010073684 | 0.015528178 | 1.5414597 | 0.00551 | 0.05023708 | 0.09832245 | 0.10376859 | 1.0553905 | 0.00604 |
6.3 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9402112E-4 | 0.0041332566 | 21.303127 | 0.00394 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.312543E-4 | 0.0055273473 | 6.6494064 | 0.0047 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010073684 | 0.015528178 | 1.5414597 | 0.00551 | 0.05023708 | 0.09832245 | 0.10376859 | 1.0553905 | 0.00604 |
6.4 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9402112E-4 | 0.0041332566 | 21.303127 | 0.00394 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.312543E-4 | 0.0055273473 | 6.6494064 | 0.0047 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010073684 | 0.015528178 | 1.5414597 | 0.00551 | 0.05023708 | 0.09832245 | 0.10376859 | 1.0553905 | 0.00604 |
6.5 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.937588E-4 | 0.004122997 | 21.27902 | 0.00393 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.3013077E-4 | 0.0055162376 | 6.645022 | 0.00469 | 0.0051326132 | 0.0100601325 | 0.015504802 | 1.5412124 | 0.0055 | 0.050156746 | 0.09820035 | 0.1036382 | 1.0553751 | 0.00603 |
6.6 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.937588E-4 | 0.004122997 | 21.27902 | 0.00393 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.3013077E-4 | 0.0055162376 | 6.645022 | 0.00469 | 0.0051326132 | 0.0100601325 | 0.015504802 | 1.5412124 | 0.0055 | 0.050156746 | 0.09820035 | 0.1036382 | 1.0553751 | 0.00603 |
6.7 | 9.8552715E-5 | 1.9365833E-4 | 0.004122897 | 21.289543 | 0.00393 | 4.223004E-4 | 8.2970044E-4 | 0.005515809 | 6.6479526 | 0.00469 | 0.0051293927 | 0.010054941 | 0.015499639 | 1.5414947 | 0.0055 | 0.050125998 | 0.09815356 | 0.103591695 | 1.0554043 | 0.00603 |
6.8 | 9.8464974E-5 | 1.9350994E-4 | 0.0041227494 | 21.305103 | 0.00393 | 4.219245E-4 | 8.290649E-4 | 0.005515177 | 6.6522856 | 0.00469 | 0.0051248376 | 0.010047276 | 0.0154920155 | 1.5419121 | 0.0055 | 0.05008251 | 0.09808378 | 0.10352234 | 1.055448 | 0.00603 |
6.9 | 9.825824E-5 | 1.9319002E-4 | 0.004122431 | 21.338736 | 0.00393 | 4.2103877E-4 | 8.276947E-4 | 0.005513813 | 6.6616507 | 0.00469 | 0.0051141046 | 0.010030746 | 0.015475578 | 1.5428141 | 0.0055 | 0.049980022 | 0.097932965 | 0.103372425 | 1.0555427 | 0.00603 |
7.0 | 9.781462E-5 | 1.9250368E-4 | 0.004111749 | 21.359327 | 0.00392 | 4.1913814E-4 | 8.247551E-4 | 0.0054909033 | 6.657617 | 0.00467 | 0.005091073 | 0.009995285 | 0.015420511 | 1.5427785 | 0.00548 | 0.04976007 | 0.09760912 | 0.10303249 | 1.0555621 | 0.00601 |
7.1 | 9.7121134E-5 | 1.9152075E-4 | 0.00411077 | 21.463837 | 0.00392 | 4.1616702E-4 | 8.205452E-4 | 0.0054867133 | 6.686668 | 0.00467 | 0.005055068 | 0.0099444995 | 0.015370004 | 1.5455784 | 0.00548 | 0.04941613 | 0.09714571 | 0.10257186 | 1.0558559 | 0.00601 |
7.2 | 9.663819E-5 | 1.9082859E-4 | 0.004090084 | 21.433289 | 0.0039 | 4.1409794E-4 | 8.175807E-4 | 0.005463779 | 6.6828623 | 0.00465 | 0.0050299936 | 0.009908735 | 0.015314633 | 1.545569 | 0.00546 | 0.049176537 | 0.09681883 | 0.10222888 | 1.0558782 | 0.00599 |
7.3 | 9.6277574E-5 | 1.9035369E-4 | 0.004089611 | 21.484278 | 0.0039 | 4.125529E-4 | 8.1554666E-4 | 0.0054617543 | 6.697047 | 0.00465 | 0.0050112694 | 0.009884195 | 0.015290228 | 1.546937 | 0.00546 | 0.04899759 | 0.09659228 | 0.102003686 | 1.0560232 | 0.00599 |
7.4 | 9.593308E-5 | 1.8975153E-4 | 0.0040890113 | 21.549294 | 0.0039 | 4.1107697E-4 | 8.129676E-4 | 0.005459187 | 6.715135 | 0.00465 | 0.0049933824 | 0.009853081 | 0.015259283 | 1.5486814 | 0.00546 | 0.04882661 | 0.09630986 | 0.10172296 | 1.056205 | 0.00599 |
7.5 | 9.561707E-5 | 1.8921228E-4 | 0.0040884744 | 21.60787 | 0.0039 | 4.0972308E-4 | 8.106579E-4 | 0.0054568886 | 6.7314315 | 0.00465 | 0.0049769743 | 0.009825215 | 0.015231568 | 1.550253 | 0.00546 | 0.048669744 | 0.096056245 | 0.101470865 | 1.0563693 | 0.00599 |
7.6 | 9.418194E-5 | 1.8573487E-4 | 0.0040850104 | 21.993773 | 0.0039 | 4.0357444E-4 | 7.95764E-4 | 0.005442064 | 6.8387914 | 0.00465 | 0.004902454 | 0.009645499 | 0.0150528345 | 1.5606072 | 0.00546 | 0.047957025 | 0.094437465 | 0.099861786 | 1.0574383 | 0.00599 |
7.7 | 8.202141E-5 | 1.6022482E-4 | 0.0036696624 | 22.903208 | 0.00351 | 3.51473E-4 | 6.8649714E-4 | 0.004883614 | 7.1138153 | 0.0042 | 0.00427079 | 0.008326128 | 0.013205164 | 1.5859909 | 0.00492 | 0.04189639 | 0.082237914 | 0.08719383 | 1.0602632 | 0.0054 |
7.8 | 7.2859846E-5 | 1.4517571E-4 | 0.002394849 | 16.49621 | 0.00225 | 3.1221908E-4 | 6.2203326E-4 | 0.0033203538 | 5.337904 | 0.0027 | 0.003794643 | 0.0075469986 | 0.010673226 | 1.4142344 | 0.00315 | 0.037304975 | 0.07472766 | 0.07795686 | 1.0432129 | 0.00349 |
7.9 | 5.3874453E-5 | 1.00462625E-4 | 0.0014003321 | 13.938835 | 0.0013 | 2.3087008E-4 | 4.3048308E-4 | 0.0019798158 | 4.5990562 | 0.00155 | 0.0028072202 | 0.0052285474 | 0.0070390315 | 1.346269 | 0.00182 | 0.02772022 | 0.052425884 | 0.054321032 | 1.0361491 | 0.002 |
8.0 | 3.468538E-5 | 5.4261534E-5 | 5.342355E-4 | 9.845565 | 4.8E-4 | 1.4864317E-4 | 2.3252872E-4 | 8.0239616E-4 | 3.45074 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0018082283 | 0.0028273636 | 0.0034954692 | 1.2362999 | 6.7E-4 | 0.017935853 | 0.028948462 | 0.029657329 | 1.0244873 | 7.3E-4 |
8.1 | 1.9152367E-5 | 1.9401303E-5 | 1.1939936E-4 | 6.154193 | 1.0E-4 | 8.207899E-5 | 8.3145795E-5 | 1.9313664E-4 | 2.3228674 | 1.1E-4 | 9.988535E-4 | 0.0010118305 | 0.0011217193 | 1.1086038 | 1.1E-4 | 0.009943757 | 0.01085595 | 0.010964757 | 1.0100226 | 1.1E-4 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032481793 | 0.0032481793 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6564595E-7 | 7.6564595E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9949547E-5 | 3.9949547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.717979E-4 | 4.717979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.396349E-5 | 0.0027638439 | 62.866802 | 0.00272 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8840231E-4 | 0.0039077015 | 20.74126 | 0.00372 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022915571 | 0.007220237 | 3.1507993 | 0.00494 | 0.019349206 | 0.022697281 | 0.028287454 | 1.2462926 | 0.00572 |
6.1 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.396349E-5 | 0.0027638439 | 62.866802 | 0.00272 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8840231E-4 | 0.0039077015 | 20.74126 | 0.00372 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022915571 | 0.007220237 | 3.1507993 | 0.00494 | 0.019349206 | 0.022697281 | 0.028287454 | 1.2462926 | 0.00572 |
6.2 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.396349E-5 | 0.0027638439 | 62.866802 | 0.00272 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8840231E-4 | 0.0039077015 | 20.74126 | 0.00372 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022915571 | 0.007220237 | 3.1507993 | 0.00494 | 0.019349206 | 0.022697281 | 0.028287454 | 1.2462926 | 0.00572 |
6.3 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.5354384E-5 | 0.001105327 | 43.595104 | 0.00108 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0865723E-4 | 0.0016584888 | 15.263492 | 0.00155 | 0.0010993304 | 0.0013221189 | 0.003399369 | 2.5711522 | 0.00208 | 0.010939079 | 0.013144747 | 0.015582279 | 1.1854378 | 0.00247 |
6.4 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.5354384E-5 | 0.001105327 | 43.595104 | 0.00108 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0865723E-4 | 0.0016584888 | 15.263492 | 0.00155 | 0.0010993304 | 0.0013221189 | 0.003399369 | 2.5711522 | 0.00208 | 0.010939079 | 0.013144747 | 0.015582279 | 1.1854378 | 0.00247 |
6.5 | 1.7397282E-5 | 2.0663285E-5 | 7.60648E-4 | 36.811573 | 7.4E-4 | 7.455765E-5 | 8.8554E-5 | 0.001138461 | 12.856122 | 0.00105 | 9.073613E-4 | 0.0010776235 | 0.0024960933 | 2.3162944 | 0.00142 | 0.009036654 | 0.010725273 | 0.012416933 | 1.1577265 | 0.00171 |
6.6 | 1.52050325E-5 | 1.7680086E-5 | 6.4766896E-4 | 36.632683 | 6.3E-4 | 6.51628E-5 | 7.576964E-5 | 9.6570223E-4 | 12.74524 | 8.9E-4 | 7.9306826E-4 | 9.221128E-4 | 0.0021210064 | 2.3001592 | 0.0012 | 0.007902439 | 0.009183729 | 0.0106501365 | 1.1596746 | 0.00148 |
6.7 | 1.332523E-5 | 1.5264379E-5 | 5.7525584E-4 | 37.686157 | 5.6E-4 | 5.7106878E-5 | 6.541716E-5 | 8.553655E-4 | 13.075552 | 7.9E-4 | 6.950544E-4 | 7.9616875E-4 | 0.0018153567 | 2.2801154 | 0.00102 | 0.006928845 | 0.0079337945 | 0.009173877 | 1.1563039 | 0.00125 |
6.8 | 1.1525329E-5 | 1.3031365E-5 | 5.0302496E-4 | 38.601097 | 4.9E-4 | 4.9393333E-5 | 5.5847537E-5 | 7.3580956E-4 | 13.175327 | 6.8E-4 | 6.011979E-4 | 6.7973585E-4 | 0.0015191649 | 2.234934 | 8.4E-4 | 0.00599574 | 0.0067770192 | 0.007770242 | 1.1465575 | 0.001 |
6.9 | 1.0253909E-5 | 1.1514835E-5 | 4.215101E-4 | 36.605835 | 4.1E-4 | 4.3944583E-5 | 4.934838E-5 | 6.0932076E-4 | 12.347331 | 5.6E-4 | 5.3489394E-4 | 6.006545E-4 | 0.0012802461 | 2.1314185 | 6.8E-4 | 0.0053360825 | 0.0059906896 | 0.0068256576 | 1.1393776 | 8.4E-4 |
7.0 | 8.104563E-6 | 8.99143E-6 | 3.1898863E-4 | 35.476963 | 3.1E-4 | 3.4733377E-5 | 3.853415E-5 | 4.5851796E-4 | 11.899004 | 4.2E-4 | 4.2279682E-4 | 4.6905465E-4 | 9.788155E-4 | 2.0867834 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0042199334 | 0.0046808943 | 0.005288039 | 1.129707 | 6.1E-4 |
7.1 | 6.7986157E-6 | 7.5159796E-6 | 1.9751456E-4 | 26.279282 | 1.9E-4 | 2.91366E-5 | 3.2210955E-5 | 3.0220227E-4 | 9.381971 | 2.7E-4 | 3.5468035E-4 | 3.9209996E-4 | 7.4196275E-4 | 1.8922795 | 3.5E-4 | 0.003541148 | 0.003914298 | 0.0043525756 | 1.1119684 | 4.4E-4 |
7.2 | 5.6893327E-6 | 6.280132E-6 | 1.6627913E-4 | 26.47701 | 1.6E-4 | 2.4382627E-5 | 2.6914584E-5 | 2.4690866E-4 | 9.173787 | 2.2E-4 | 2.9681803E-4 | 3.276378E-4 | 6.1754277E-4 | 1.8848338 | 2.9E-4 | 0.002964219 | 0.003271746 | 0.0036505028 | 1.1157659 | 3.8E-4 |
7.3 | 4.253348E-6 | 4.707075E-6 | 9.470665E-5 | 20.120066 | 9.0E-5 | 1.8228506E-5 | 2.017303E-5 | 1.6017021E-4 | 7.9398184 | 1.4E-4 | 2.2190946E-4 | 2.455808E-4 | 4.255366E-4 | 1.7327763 | 1.8E-4 | 0.00221688 | 0.0024532753 | 0.0027126374 | 1.1057208 | 2.6E-4 |
7.4 | 2.5448119E-6 | 2.8520594E-6 | 4.2851945E-5 | 15.024913 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0906291E-5 | 1.2223064E-5 | 8.222221E-5 | 6.726808 | 7.0E-5 | 1.3277601E-4 | 1.4880729E-4 | 2.2879538E-4 | 1.537528 | 8.0E-5 | 0.001326967 | 0.0014872387 | 0.0016170454 | 1.0872803 | 1.3E-4 |
7.5 | 4.3706837E-8 | 4.562909E-8 | 4.562909E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8731501E-7 | 1.9555324E-7 | 1.9555324E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805577E-6 | 2.3808586E-6 | 2.3808586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805343E-5 | 2.3808387E-5 | 2.3808387E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bicycle Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.2097078E-5 | 0.001612062 | 72.95363 | 0.00159 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.4699084E-5 | 0.002544467 | 26.86897 | 0.00245 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011524865 | 0.0050679687 | 4.3974214 | 0.00392 | 0.01018633 | 0.011478408 | 0.016341934 | 1.4237108 | 0.00492 |
6.1 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.2097078E-5 | 0.001612062 | 72.95363 | 0.00159 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.4699084E-5 | 0.002544467 | 26.86897 | 0.00245 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011524865 | 0.0050679687 | 4.3974214 | 0.00392 | 0.01018633 | 0.011478408 | 0.016341934 | 1.4237108 | 0.00492 |
6.2 | 9.9971285E-6 | 1.125564E-5 | 9.912446E-4 | 88.06648 | 9.8E-4 | 4.2844134E-5 | 4.8237856E-5 | 0.0015081675 | 31.265224 | 0.00146 | 5.2150246E-4 | 5.871897E-4 | 0.002955798 | 5.0338044 | 0.00237 | 0.0052028033 | 0.005861487 | 0.008833961 | 1.5071195 | 0.00299 |
6.3 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0798346E-5 | 9.607881E-4 | 88.97549 | 9.5E-4 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.62781E-5 | 0.0014562128 | 31.466566 | 0.00141 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.6334207E-4 | 0.0027820915 | 4.9385476 | 0.00222 | 0.0049911533 | 0.0056242296 | 0.008398538 | 1.4932779 | 0.00279 |
6.4 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0798346E-5 | 9.607881E-4 | 88.97549 | 9.5E-4 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.62781E-5 | 0.0014562128 | 31.466566 | 0.00141 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.6334207E-4 | 0.0027820915 | 4.9385476 | 0.00222 | 0.0049911533 | 0.0056242296 | 0.008398538 | 1.4932779 | 0.00279 |
6.5 | 5.557707E-6 | 6.2856016E-6 | 5.462822E-4 | 86.910095 | 5.4E-4 | 2.3818526E-5 | 2.6938165E-5 | 8.6691556E-4 | 32.181683 | 8.4E-4 | 2.8995197E-4 | 3.279497E-4 | 0.0016275233 | 4.962723 | 0.0013 | 0.0028957394 | 0.0032772934 | 0.004882017 | 1.489649 | 0.00161 |
6.6 | 4.8742945E-6 | 5.5132896E-6 | 5.155105E-4 | 93.50324 | 5.1E-4 | 2.0889667E-5 | 2.3628318E-5 | 7.336115E-4 | 31.04798 | 7.1E-4 | 2.54302E-4 | 2.87663E-4 | 0.0013973437 | 4.857572 | 0.00111 | 0.002540112 | 0.0028754752 | 0.0041916794 | 1.4577346 | 0.00132 |
6.7 | 3.991108E-6 | 4.5159104E-6 | 4.4451392E-4 | 98.43285 | 4.4E-4 | 1.7104636E-5 | 1.9353902E-5 | 5.993427E-4 | 30.967539 | 5.8E-4 | 2.0822904E-4 | 2.3563375E-4 | 0.001155417 | 4.9034443 | 9.2E-4 | 0.0020803404 | 0.0023563374 | 0.0033938868 | 1.4403229 | 0.00104 |
Paradise
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6694768E-5 | 0.0016966667 | 101.62865 | 0.00168 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.154718E-5 | 0.0024813747 | 34.681656 | 0.00241 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.707624E-4 | 0.0044676275 | 5.130708 | 0.0036 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008675884 | 0.0130079705 | 1.499325 | 0.00437 |
6.1 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6694768E-5 | 0.0016966667 | 101.62865 | 0.00168 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.154718E-5 | 0.0024813747 | 34.681656 | 0.00241 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.707624E-4 | 0.0044676275 | 5.130708 | 0.0036 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008675884 | 0.0130079705 | 1.499325 | 0.00437 |
6.2 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6694768E-5 | 0.0016966667 | 101.62865 | 0.00168 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.154718E-5 | 0.0024813747 | 34.681656 | 0.00241 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.707624E-4 | 0.0044676275 | 5.130708 | 0.0036 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008675884 | 0.0130079705 | 1.499325 | 0.00437 |
6.3 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.1888697E-5 | 7.918794E-4 | 66.60775 | 7.8E-4 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.09506E-5 | 0.001160894 | 22.784698 | 0.00111 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.201529E-4 | 0.0022291546 | 3.5945237 | 0.00161 | 0.0054258266 | 0.0061848317 | 0.008112833 | 1.3117306 | 0.00194 |
6.4 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.1888697E-5 | 7.918794E-4 | 66.60775 | 7.8E-4 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.09506E-5 | 0.001160894 | 22.784698 | 0.00111 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.201529E-4 | 0.0022291546 | 3.5945237 | 0.00161 | 0.0054258266 | 0.0061848317 | 0.008112833 | 1.3117306 | 0.00194 |
6.5 | 9.25027E-6 | 1.0620037E-5 | 5.406144E-4 | 50.905132 | 5.3E-4 | 3.964341E-5 | 4.551368E-5 | 8.254782E-4 | 18.136925 | 7.8E-4 | 4.8255164E-4 | 5.5399304E-4 | 0.0017233449 | 3.1107697 | 0.00117 | 0.0048150513 | 0.0055266195 | 0.006918882 | 1.2519194 | 0.0014 |
6.6 | 7.904275E-6 | 9.159602E-6 | 3.3915657E-4 | 37.027435 | 3.3E-4 | 3.3875025E-5 | 3.925487E-5 | 5.3923525E-4 | 13.736773 | 5.0E-4 | 4.1235037E-4 | 4.7782718E-4 | 0.001187488 | 2.485183 | 7.1E-4 | 0.0041158604 | 0.004768395 | 0.0056143417 | 1.177407 | 8.5E-4 |
6.7 | 7.2061953E-6 | 8.407326E-6 | 2.384054E-4 | 28.356863 | 2.3E-4 | 3.088333E-5 | 3.603092E-5 | 3.7601867E-4 | 10.436 | 3.4E-4 | 3.7593965E-4 | 4.3859181E-4 | 9.5836376E-4 | 2.1850927 | 5.2E-4 | 0.003753043 | 0.004377631 | 0.0050048735 | 1.1432835 | 6.3E-4 |
6.8 | 6.6948724E-6 | 7.842242E-6 | 1.9784075E-4 | 25.227575 | 1.9E-4 | 2.8691995E-5 | 3.3609194E-5 | 3.2359944E-4 | 9.628301 | 2.9E-4 | 3.4926904E-4 | 4.091187E-4 | 8.689305E-4 | 2.123908 | 4.6E-4 | 0.003487206 | 0.0040840125 | 0.0046118484 | 1.1292443 | 5.3E-4 |
6.9 | 6.0421025E-6 | 7.1306963E-6 | 1.3712977E-4 | 19.23091 | 1.3E-4 | 2.5894467E-5 | 3.0559786E-5 | 2.5055307E-4 | 8.198783 | 2.2E-4 | 3.1521954E-4 | 3.7200528E-4 | 7.4186764E-4 | 1.9942396 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0031477278 | 0.0037141638 | 0.00415253 | 1.1180254 | 4.4E-4 |
7.0 | 4.134091E-6 | 5.0803824E-6 | 1.05079875E-4 | 20.683456 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7717413E-5 | 2.1772896E-5 | 1.7176963E-4 | 7.8891497 | 1.5E-4 | 2.1568815E-4 | 2.650543E-4 | 4.8499598E-4 | 1.8297986 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0021547892 | 0.0026475347 | 0.0029267934 | 1.1054788 | 2.8E-4 |
7.1 | 3.7674888E-6 | 4.631936E-6 | 8.463157E-5 | 18.271317 | 8.0E-5 | 1.6146281E-5 | 1.9851012E-5 | 1.3984863E-4 | 7.044912 | 1.2E-4 | 1.9656324E-4 | 2.4166079E-4 | 4.216173E-4 | 1.7446657 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0019638946 | 0.0024141306 | 0.0026435754 | 1.0950423 | 2.3E-4 |
7.2 | 3.4065345E-6 | 4.156782E-6 | 6.4156535E-5 | 15.434182 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4599351E-5 | 1.7814667E-5 | 1.1781289E-4 | 6.613252 | 1.0E-4 | 1.777326E-4 | 2.168735E-4 | 3.6684095E-4 | 1.6914974 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0017759053 | 0.0021667667 | 0.0023663333 | 1.0921035 | 2.0E-4 |
7.3 | 2.9934936E-6 | 3.6293673E-6 | 6.362915E-5 | 17.531748 | 6.0E-5 | 1.2829195E-5 | 1.5554348E-5 | 1.0555295E-4 | 6.7860737 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5618425E-4 | 1.8935918E-4 | 2.9933837E-4 | 1.5807966 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0015607453 | 0.0018921237 | 0.002051821 | 1.084401 | 1.6E-4 |
7.4 | 2.4049796E-6 | 2.8890186E-6 | 6.2888845E-5 | 21.768238 | 6.0E-5 | 1.0307015E-5 | 1.2381457E-5 | 1.0238034E-4 | 8.268845 | 9.0E-5 | 1.2548068E-4 | 1.5073526E-4 | 2.6071866E-4 | 1.7296463 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0012540985 | 0.0015064715 | 0.0016562456 | 1.0994204 | 1.5E-4 |
7.5 | 1.2710091E-6 | 1.5134859E-6 | 4.1513424E-5 | 27.429014 | 4.0E-5 | 5.44717E-6 | 6.4863593E-6 | 5.6486035E-5 | 8.708435 | 5.0E-5 | 6.631728E-5 | 7.896981E-5 | 1.2896587E-4 | 1.6331034 | 5.0E-5 | 6.6297496E-4 | 7.895401E-4 | 8.7946904E-4 | 1.1139004 | 9.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 2.0260397E-5 | 77.80431 | 2.0E-5 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160082E-6 | 2.1115986E-5 | 18.920996 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 3.358707E-5 | 2.4719381 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.6586386E-4 | 1.2207726 | 3.0E-5 |
Garlic Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6760017E-5 | 1.8776833E-5 | 0.0012987528 | 69.16783 | 0.00128 | 7.182667E-5 | 8.0470316E-5 | 0.0019403206 | 24.112253 | 0.00186 | 8.7413884E-4 | 9.794032E-4 | 0.0039464943 | 4.029489 | 0.00297 | 0.008707083 | 0.009762413 | 0.013564926 | 1.3895054 | 0.00384 |
6.1 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0973587E-5 | 8.0096495E-4 | 72.99026 | 7.9E-4 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.702921E-5 | 0.001176976 | 25.02649 | 0.00113 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.7250116E-4 | 0.0024014534 | 4.19467 | 0.00183 | 0.005127866 | 0.005717221 | 0.008063729 | 1.4104279 | 0.00236 |
6.2 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0973587E-5 | 8.0096495E-4 | 72.99026 | 7.9E-4 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.702921E-5 | 0.001176976 | 25.02649 | 0.00113 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.7250116E-4 | 0.0024014534 | 4.19467 | 0.00183 | 0.005127866 | 0.005717221 | 0.008063729 | 1.4104279 | 0.00236 |
6.3 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.7780286E-6 | 4.3477598E-4 | 90.99484 | 4.3E-4 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0477235E-5 | 5.5046636E-4 | 26.881872 | 5.3E-4 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4930484E-4 | 9.891203E-4 | 3.9675136 | 7.4E-4 | 0.0022499003 | 0.00249251 | 0.003450117 | 1.3841939 | 9.6E-4 |
6.4 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.7780286E-6 | 4.3477598E-4 | 90.99484 | 4.3E-4 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0477235E-5 | 5.5046636E-4 | 26.881872 | 5.3E-4 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4930484E-4 | 9.891203E-4 | 3.9675136 | 7.4E-4 | 0.0022499003 | 0.00249251 | 0.003450117 | 1.3841939 | 9.6E-4 |
6.5 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.7780286E-6 | 4.3477598E-4 | 90.99484 | 4.3E-4 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0477235E-5 | 5.5046636E-4 | 26.881872 | 5.3E-4 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4930484E-4 | 9.891203E-4 | 3.9675136 | 7.4E-4 | 0.0022499003 | 0.00249251 | 0.003450117 | 1.3841939 | 9.6E-4 |
6.6 | 4.301311E-6 | 4.760897E-6 | 4.3475884E-4 | 91.31868 | 4.3E-4 | 1.8434059E-5 | 2.0403815E-5 | 5.50393E-4 | 26.975004 | 5.3E-4 | 2.2441156E-4 | 2.4841115E-4 | 9.882273E-4 | 3.9781923 | 7.4E-4 | 0.0022418506 | 0.002483593 | 0.0034412087 | 1.3855767 | 9.6E-4 |
6.7 | 3.8599724E-6 | 4.27106E-6 | 4.142693E-4 | 96.9945 | 4.1E-4 | 1.6542634E-5 | 1.8304541E-5 | 5.2829523E-4 | 28.861427 | 5.1E-4 | 2.0138794E-4 | 2.228578E-4 | 9.326996E-4 | 4.185178 | 7.1E-4 | 0.0020120554 | 0.002228578 | 0.00313655 | 1.4074222 | 9.1E-4 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.160784E-4 | 0.0021155095 | 6.6929893 | 0.0018 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013539245 | 0.0035209865 | 2.6005783 | 0.00217 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016360939 | 0.018898727 | 1.1551126 | 0.00258 | 0.07177748 | 0.15021163 | 0.15275249 | 1.0169152 | 0.00299 |
6.1 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.160784E-4 | 0.0021155095 | 6.6929893 | 0.0018 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013539245 | 0.0035209865 | 2.6005783 | 0.00217 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016360939 | 0.018898727 | 1.1551126 | 0.00258 | 0.07177748 | 0.15021163 | 0.15275249 | 1.0169152 | 0.00299 |
6.2 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.160784E-4 | 0.0021155095 | 6.6929893 | 0.0018 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013539245 | 0.0035209865 | 2.6005783 | 0.00217 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016360939 | 0.018898727 | 1.1551126 | 0.00258 | 0.07177748 | 0.15021163 | 0.15275249 | 1.0169152 | 0.00299 |
6.3 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.0512668E-4 | 0.0020945806 | 6.864626 | 0.00179 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.001307036 | 0.0034642129 | 2.650434 | 0.00216 | 0.0071393442 | 0.015798455 | 0.01831801 | 1.1594812 | 0.00256 | 0.06914291 | 0.1455135 | 0.14804278 | 1.0173818 | 0.00296 |
6.4 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.0512668E-4 | 0.0020945806 | 6.864626 | 0.00179 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.001307036 | 0.0034642129 | 2.650434 | 0.00216 | 0.0071393442 | 0.015798455 | 0.01831801 | 1.1594812 | 0.00256 | 0.06914291 | 0.1455135 | 0.14804278 | 1.0173818 | 0.00296 |
6.5 | 1.2942807E-4 | 2.8927144E-4 | 0.0020687566 | 7.15161 | 0.00178 | 5.545738E-4 | 0.0012391509 | 0.0033864868 | 2.732909 | 0.00215 | 0.0067310524 | 0.014983548 | 0.01748549 | 1.1669793 | 0.00254 | 0.06530788 | 0.13865088 | 0.14117463 | 1.0182022 | 0.00293 |
6.6 | 1.1125901E-4 | 2.5365927E-4 | 0.001973223 | 7.77903 | 0.00172 | 4.767372E-4 | 0.0010866605 | 0.0031644003 | 2.9120412 | 0.00208 | 0.005788839 | 0.0131504685 | 0.015587986 | 1.185356 | 0.00247 | 0.056403454 | 0.12300496 | 0.12548685 | 1.0201772 | 0.00283 |
6.7 | 1.02209575E-4 | 2.3500937E-4 | 0.0019446075 | 8.274595 | 0.00171 | 4.3796748E-4 | 0.0010067957 | 0.0030547318 | 3.034113 | 0.00205 | 0.0053192247 | 0.012189267 | 0.014569891 | 1.1953049 | 0.00241 | 0.051936906 | 0.114792764 | 0.11724479 | 1.0213604 | 0.00277 |
6.8 | 9.610582E-5 | 2.2026796E-4 | 0.0019098957 | 8.670783 | 0.00169 | 4.1181705E-4 | 9.436647E-4 | 0.002971749 | 3.1491578 | 0.00203 | 0.0050023515 | 0.011428859 | 0.013791544 | 1.2067298 | 0.00239 | 0.048912346 | 0.10820469 | 0.110657126 | 1.0226648 | 0.00275 |
6.9 | 9.3877505E-5 | 2.1482339E-4 | 0.0018844646 | 8.772158 | 0.00167 | 4.0227012E-4 | 9.203475E-4 | 0.0029284975 | 3.1819477 | 0.00201 | 0.0048866454 | 0.011147907 | 0.013481597 | 1.2093389 | 0.00236 | 0.04780577 | 0.105798274 | 0.1082305 | 1.0229893 | 0.00272 |
7.0 | 9.1019785E-5 | 2.0809306E-4 | 0.0018777455 | 9.023585 | 0.00167 | 3.900265E-4 | 8.915232E-4 | 0.0028997313 | 3.2525585 | 0.00201 | 0.0047382377 | 0.0108004995 | 0.01313501 | 1.2161484 | 0.00236 | 0.046384744 | 0.10276815 | 0.10519068 | 1.0235727 | 0.0027 |
7.1 | 8.771155E-5 | 1.9983841E-4 | 0.0018395106 | 9.20499 | 0.00164 | 3.758525E-4 | 8.5616973E-4 | 0.0028344744 | 3.3106456 | 0.00198 | 0.0045664064 | 0.010374243 | 0.012680071 | 1.2222646 | 0.00233 | 0.044737056 | 0.09907644 | 0.101463884 | 1.024097 | 0.00265 |
7.2 | 8.0830236E-5 | 1.8389444E-4 | 0.0018135947 | 9.862151 | 0.00163 | 3.4636928E-4 | 7.8788114E-4 | 0.002756329 | 3.4984071 | 0.00197 | 0.0042088944 | 0.009550368 | 0.011838308 | 1.2395655 | 0.00231 | 0.041300658 | 0.09180518 | 0.09418466 | 1.0259187 | 0.00262 |
7.3 | 7.7668235E-5 | 1.7333007E-4 | 0.0017930493 | 10.344709 | 0.00162 | 3.328214E-4 | 7.426318E-4 | 0.0027011763 | 3.6373022 | 0.00196 | 0.0040445733 | 0.009004138 | 0.011283428 | 1.2531381 | 0.0023 | 0.03971748 | 0.08706761 | 0.08944124 | 1.0272619 | 0.0026 |
7.4 | 7.520177E-5 | 1.655312E-4 | 0.0017752647 | 10.724654 | 0.00161 | 3.2225347E-4 | 7.092266E-4 | 0.0026578435 | 3.747524 | 0.00195 | 0.0039163795 | 0.008600714 | 0.010871017 | 1.263967 | 0.00229 | 0.038480744 | 0.08352157 | 0.08589524 | 1.02842 | 0.00259 |
7.5 | 7.274697E-5 | 1.584075E-4 | 0.0017381572 | 10.972695 | 0.00158 | 3.1173544E-4 | 6.7871273E-4 | 0.0025974095 | 3.8269646 | 0.00192 | 0.003788775 | 0.008232076 | 0.0104635535 | 1.2710711 | 0.00225 | 0.03724827 | 0.08023654 | 0.082572736 | 1.0291164 | 0.00254 |
7.6 | 7.1185845E-5 | 1.5410586E-4 | 0.0017338623 | 11.251113 | 0.00158 | 3.0504653E-4 | 6.602866E-4 | 0.0025790187 | 3.9059083 | 0.00192 | 0.0037076178 | 0.0080094095 | 0.010241388 | 1.2786696 | 0.00225 | 0.036463667 | 0.07822661 | 0.08056792 | 1.0299298 | 0.00254 |
7.7 | 6.709961E-5 | 1.4319421E-4 | 0.001722968 | 12.032386 | 0.00158 | 2.8753807E-4 | 6.135452E-4 | 0.0025323671 | 4.127434 | 0.00192 | 0.003495157 | 0.0074443663 | 0.009677617 | 1.299992 | 0.00225 | 0.034406938 | 0.07305558 | 0.075410016 | 1.032228 | 0.00254 |
7.8 | 6.300812E-5 | 1.320343E-4 | 0.0017118257 | 12.965007 | 0.00158 | 2.7000686E-4 | 5.657386E-4 | 0.002474658 | 4.3742075 | 0.00191 | 0.0032823787 | 0.006866143 | 0.0090907635 | 1.3239985 | 0.00224 | 0.032343175 | 0.06771385 | 0.07006321 | 1.0346954 | 0.00252 |
7.9 | 4.983037E-5 | 9.7241085E-5 | 0.0013971147 | 14.367535 | 0.0013 | 2.1354125E-4 | 4.1668097E-4 | 0.001966035 | 4.7183223 | 0.00155 | 0.0025967648 | 0.0050613005 | 0.0068621393 | 1.3558056 | 0.00181 | 0.025666296 | 0.050650507 | 0.052539714 | 1.0372988 | 0.00199 |
8.0 | 3.2211527E-5 | 5.3306234E-5 | 5.3328066E-4 | 10.004096 | 4.8E-4 | 1.380421E-4 | 2.2843528E-4 | 7.983051E-4 | 3.4946663 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0016793669 | 0.0027776542 | 0.0034457932 | 1.2405407 | 6.7E-4 | 0.016667323 | 0.028362568 | 0.029071864 | 1.0250082 | 7.3E-4 |
8.1 | 1.743376E-5 | 1.8823403E-5 | 1.1882152E-4 | 6.312436 | 1.0E-4 | 7.471398E-5 | 8.066923E-5 | 1.9066036E-4 | 2.363483 | 1.1E-4 | 9.0926304E-4 | 9.81706E-4 | 0.0010915981 | 1.1119398 | 1.1E-4 | 0.009055517 | 0.010483979 | 0.010592827 | 1.0103822 | 1.1E-4 |
8.2 | 7.831616E-6 | 5.1540533E-6 | 5.1540533E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3563636E-5 | 2.2088612E-5 | 2.2088612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0856065E-4 | 2.6889573E-4 | 2.6889573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004078103 | 0.0030413668 | 0.0030413668 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6564595E-7 | 7.6564595E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9949547E-5 | 3.9949547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.717979E-4 | 4.717979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1706745E-5 | 8.5168873E-4 | 39.236134 | 8.3E-4 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.302599E-5 | 0.0012229208 | 13.146012 | 0.00113 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011320751 | 0.0028301505 | 2.499967 | 0.0017 | 0.010280091 | 0.011270258 | 0.013405914 | 1.1894948 | 0.00216 |
6.1 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1706745E-5 | 8.5168873E-4 | 39.236134 | 8.3E-4 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.302599E-5 | 0.0012229208 | 13.146012 | 0.00113 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011320751 | 0.0028301505 | 2.499967 | 0.0017 | 0.010280091 | 0.011270258 | 0.013405914 | 1.1894948 | 0.00216 |
6.2 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1706745E-5 | 8.5168873E-4 | 39.236134 | 8.3E-4 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.302599E-5 | 0.0012229208 | 13.146012 | 0.00113 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011320751 | 0.0028301505 | 2.499967 | 0.0017 | 0.010280091 | 0.011270258 | 0.013405914 | 1.1894948 | 0.00216 |
6.3 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.682067E-5 | 6.968092E-4 | 41.425774 | 6.8E-4 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.2086936E-5 | 9.6202275E-4 | 13.345314 | 8.9E-4 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.773662E-4 | 0.0022061993 | 2.5145705 | 0.00133 | 0.007974784 | 0.00874507 | 0.010440115 | 1.1938287 | 0.00171 |
6.4 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.682067E-5 | 6.968092E-4 | 41.425774 | 6.8E-4 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.2086936E-5 | 9.6202275E-4 | 13.345314 | 8.9E-4 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.773662E-4 | 0.0022061993 | 2.5145705 | 0.00133 | 0.007974784 | 0.00874507 | 0.010440115 | 1.1938287 | 0.00171 |
6.5 | 1.4189697E-5 | 1.5557987E-5 | 6.755477E-4 | 43.42128 | 6.6E-4 | 6.081157E-5 | 6.6675726E-5 | 9.066197E-4 | 13.597448 | 8.4E-4 | 7.401293E-4 | 8.115349E-4 | 0.0020405366 | 2.5144165 | 0.00123 | 0.0073766913 | 0.008091656 | 0.009639033 | 1.1912313 | 0.00156 |
6.6 | 1.3469301E-5 | 1.4771577E-5 | 6.64762E-4 | 45.002777 | 6.5E-4 | 5.7724297E-5 | 6.330556E-5 | 8.93253E-4 | 14.110182 | 8.3E-4 | 7.025667E-4 | 7.7053264E-4 | 0.001969608 | 2.5561643 | 0.0012 | 0.0070034964 | 0.0076845144 | 0.009192834 | 1.1962804 | 0.00152 |
6.7 | 1.3027966E-5 | 1.4281745E-5 | 6.442728E-4 | 45.111626 | 6.3E-4 | 5.5832945E-5 | 6.120638E-5 | 8.711568E-4 | 14.233105 | 8.1E-4 | 6.7955407E-4 | 7.4499263E-4 | 0.001914121 | 2.5693154 | 0.00117 | 0.006774798 | 0.0074308286 | 0.008889905 | 1.1963545 | 0.00147 |
6.8 | 5.695434E-6 | 6.2244176E-6 | 1.2622368E-4 | 20.278791 | 1.2E-4 | 2.4408775E-5 | 2.6675973E-5 | 1.9667143E-4 | 7.3726063 | 1.7E-4 | 2.971363E-4 | 3.2476155E-4 | 5.7468034E-4 | 1.7695456 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0029673933 | 0.0032458105 | 0.0035747392 | 1.1013396 | 3.3E-4 |
6.9 | 4.385688E-6 | 4.7930553E-6 | 6.4792766E-5 | 13.518051 | 6.0E-5 | 1.879567E-5 | 2.0541665E-5 | 1.2053961E-4 | 5.8680544 | 1.0E-4 | 2.2881327E-4 | 2.5009477E-4 | 4.1005478E-4 | 1.6395974 | 1.6E-4 | 0.002285778 | 0.0025009478 | 0.0027303726 | 1.0917351 | 2.3E-4 |
Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.867027E-5 | 0.0010086518 | 54.024494 | 9.9E-4 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.001303E-5 | 0.001379909 | 17.246054 | 0.0013 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.737309E-4 | 0.0027819683 | 2.85702 | 0.00181 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695496 | 0.011745427 | 1.2114311 | 0.00207 |
6.1 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.867027E-5 | 0.0010086518 | 54.024494 | 9.9E-4 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.001303E-5 | 0.001379909 | 17.246054 | 0.0013 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.737309E-4 | 0.0027819683 | 2.85702 | 0.00181 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695496 | 0.011745427 | 1.2114311 | 0.00207 |
6.2 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.867027E-5 | 0.0010086518 | 54.024494 | 9.9E-4 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.001303E-5 | 0.001379909 | 17.246054 | 0.0013 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.737309E-4 | 0.0027819683 | 2.85702 | 0.00181 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695496 | 0.011745427 | 1.2114311 | 0.00207 |
6.3 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.867027E-5 | 0.0010086518 | 54.024494 | 9.9E-4 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.001303E-5 | 0.001379909 | 17.246054 | 0.0013 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.737309E-4 | 0.0027819683 | 2.85702 | 0.00181 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695496 | 0.011745427 | 1.2114311 | 0.00207 |
6.4 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.7338214E-5 | 8.873231E-4 | 51.17731 | 8.7E-4 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.4304546E-5 | 0.0011942213 | 16.071981 | 0.00112 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.042885E-4 | 0.0024029322 | 2.6572626 | 0.0015 | 0.008063202 | 0.009006773 | 0.010711282 | 1.1892474 | 0.00172 |
6.5 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.7338214E-5 | 8.873231E-4 | 51.17731 | 8.7E-4 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.4304546E-5 | 0.0011942213 | 16.071981 | 0.00112 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.042885E-4 | 0.0024029322 | 2.6572626 | 0.0015 | 0.008063202 | 0.009006773 | 0.010711282 | 1.1892474 | 0.00172 |
6.6 | 1.5041828E-5 | 1.6809145E-5 | 7.9679606E-4 | 47.402534 | 7.8E-4 | 6.4463384E-5 | 7.203723E-5 | 0.0010919637 | 15.158324 | 0.00102 | 7.8455906E-4 | 8.767063E-4 | 0.002235514 | 2.5499005 | 0.00136 | 0.00781795 | 0.008733132 | 0.010279508 | 1.17707 | 0.00156 |
6.7 | 1.4634985E-5 | 1.6356016E-5 | 7.763436E-4 | 47.46532 | 7.6E-4 | 6.271985E-5 | 7.009536E-5 | 0.0010400274 | 14.837321 | 9.7E-4 | 7.6334673E-4 | 8.5308263E-4 | 0.0021319906 | 2.4991608 | 0.00128 | 0.007607299 | 0.008498715 | 0.009956223 | 1.1714973 | 0.00147 |
6.8 | 1.4209158E-5 | 1.5882048E-5 | 6.9587125E-4 | 43.814957 | 6.8E-4 | 6.089497E-5 | 6.8064175E-5 | 9.5800357E-4 | 14.075006 | 8.9E-4 | 7.4114406E-4 | 8.2837185E-4 | 0.0019974026 | 2.4112391 | 0.00117 | 0.007386771 | 0.008253456 | 0.009592314 | 1.1622179 | 0.00135 |
6.9 | 1.3780098E-5 | 1.5404594E-5 | 6.153954E-4 | 39.948822 | 6.0E-4 | 5.9056227E-5 | 6.6018045E-5 | 8.659652E-4 | 13.117099 | 8.0E-4 | 7.1877235E-4 | 8.0347876E-4 | 0.001872619 | 2.3306391 | 0.00107 | 0.0071645193 | 0.008006332 | 0.009196725 | 1.1486814 | 0.0012 |
7.0 | 1.3585064E-5 | 1.5188155E-5 | 5.5517995E-4 | 36.553482 | 5.4E-4 | 5.8220405E-5 | 6.50905E-5 | 7.9504296E-4 | 12.214424 | 7.3E-4 | 7.086029E-4 | 7.9219416E-4 | 0.00178141 | 2.2487037 | 9.9E-4 | 0.007063476 | 0.007894293 | 0.008995531 | 1.1394979 | 0.00111 |
7.1 | 1.3398601E-5 | 1.49813395E-5 | 5.349736E-4 | 35.709328 | 5.2E-4 | 5.742131E-5 | 6.420419E-5 | 7.6415925E-4 | 11.902015 | 7.0E-4 | 6.9888023E-4 | 7.8141113E-4 | 0.001740661 | 2.2275865 | 9.6E-4 | 0.0069668638 | 0.007787224 | 0.008858814 | 1.1376086 | 0.00108 |
7.2 | 1.3126312E-5 | 1.4679561E-5 | 4.746728E-4 | 32.33563 | 4.6E-4 | 5.6254412E-5 | 6.291092E-5 | 6.6287315E-4 | 10.5366955 | 6.0E-4 | 6.846822E-4 | 7.6567667E-4 | 0.0015950411 | 2.0831785 | 8.3E-4 | 0.006825765 | 0.00763097 | 0.008553873 | 1.1209418 | 9.3E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2922429E-5 | 1.4453788E-5 | 4.5444744E-4 | 31.441406 | 4.4E-4 | 5.5380664E-5 | 6.194336E-5 | 6.4190745E-4 | 10.362812 | 5.8E-4 | 6.74051E-4 | 7.53905E-4 | 0.0015533018 | 2.0603418 | 8.0E-4 | 0.006720101 | 0.007514055 | 0.008407292 | 1.1188755 | 9.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.2768878E-5 | 1.4283772E-5 | 4.242779E-4 | 29.703493 | 4.1E-4 | 5.4722615E-5 | 6.1214756E-5 | 5.911823E-4 | 9.657513 | 5.3E-4 | 6.660441E-4 | 7.4504025E-4 | 0.0014944815 | 2.005907 | 7.5E-4 | 0.0066405144 | 0.0074260035 | 0.008269692 | 1.1136127 | 8.5E-4 |
7.5 | 1.2521929E-5 | 1.40120155E-5 | 4.140064E-4 | 29.54653 | 4.0E-4 | 5.366431E-5 | 6.005014E-5 | 5.800189E-4 | 9.65891 | 5.2E-4 | 6.531671E-4 | 7.3087064E-4 | 0.0014703298 | 2.011751 | 7.4E-4 | 0.006512506 | 0.0072852457 | 0.008119126 | 1.1144615 | 8.4E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1301089E-5 | 1.2648149E-5 | 3.326441E-4 | 26.299826 | 3.2E-4 | 4.8432343E-5 | 5.4205255E-5 | 4.8418195E-4 | 8.93238 | 4.3E-4 | 5.895042E-4 | 6.5975444E-4 | 0.0013093256 | 1.984565 | 6.5E-4 | 0.0058794282 | 0.00657851 | 0.007303708 | 1.1102374 | 7.3E-4 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.0283358E-5 | 2.002814E-4 | 19.476265 | 1.9E-4 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.407082E-5 | 3.3405804E-4 | 7.5800276 | 2.9E-4 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.3643517E-4 | 9.961884E-4 | 1.8570528 | 4.6E-4 | 0.004783291 | 0.005351914 | 0.0058790776 | 1.0985 | 5.3E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6482615E-7 | 3.6482615E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635396E-6 | 1.5635396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9035933E-5 | 3.9035553E-5 | 2.0506246 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9034347E-4 | 2.2033777E-4 | 1.1575798 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Helendale-So Lockhart
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8103729E-5 | 9.1808743E-4 | 50.712612 | 9.0E-4 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.7585224E-5 | 0.0012674929 | 16.336782 | 0.00119 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.4421144E-4 | 0.002512729 | 2.6611931 | 0.00157 | 0.008984311 | 0.009404116 | 0.011187189 | 1.1896056 | 0.0018 |
6.1 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8103729E-5 | 9.1808743E-4 | 50.712612 | 9.0E-4 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.7585224E-5 | 0.0012674929 | 16.336782 | 0.00119 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.4421144E-4 | 0.002512729 | 2.6611931 | 0.00157 | 0.008984311 | 0.009404116 | 0.011187189 | 1.1896056 | 0.0018 |
6.2 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8103729E-5 | 9.1808743E-4 | 50.712612 | 9.0E-4 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.7585224E-5 | 0.0012674929 | 16.336782 | 0.00119 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.4421144E-4 | 0.002512729 | 2.6611931 | 0.00157 | 0.008984311 | 0.009404116 | 0.011187189 | 1.1896056 | 0.0018 |
6.3 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1135425E-5 | 5.511294E-4 | 49.493347 | 5.4E-4 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.772239E-5 | 7.6768803E-4 | 16.086538 | 7.2E-4 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.80868E-4 | 0.0015902814 | 2.7377672 | 0.00101 | 0.0055515557 | 0.0057937936 | 0.006957015 | 1.2007703 | 0.00117 |
6.4 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1135425E-5 | 5.511294E-4 | 49.493347 | 5.4E-4 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.772239E-5 | 7.6768803E-4 | 16.086538 | 7.2E-4 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.80868E-4 | 0.0015902814 | 2.7377672 | 0.00101 | 0.0055515557 | 0.0057937936 | 0.006957015 | 1.2007703 | 0.00117 |
6.5 | 8.790038E-6 | 9.170197E-6 | 4.791659E-4 | 52.252518 | 4.7E-4 | 3.767105E-5 | 3.930026E-5 | 6.692755E-4 | 17.029799 | 6.3E-4 | 4.585485E-4 | 4.7837716E-4 | 0.0013679514 | 2.8595667 | 8.9E-4 | 0.0045760344 | 0.004773638 | 0.005778817 | 1.2105687 | 0.00101 |
6.6 | 7.396949E-6 | 7.715537E-6 | 3.5771282E-4 | 46.362663 | 3.5E-4 | 3.1700827E-5 | 3.3066175E-5 | 5.430493E-4 | 16.423107 | 5.1E-4 | 3.858892E-4 | 4.025073E-4 | 0.0011122215 | 2.7632332 | 7.1E-4 | 0.003852198 | 0.00401789 | 0.004834595 | 1.2032672 | 8.2E-4 |
6.7 | 6.4600285E-6 | 6.738031E-6 | 3.2673587E-4 | 48.4913 | 3.2E-4 | 2.7685543E-5 | 2.887696E-5 | 4.888637E-4 | 16.929193 | 4.6E-4 | 3.3701936E-4 | 3.5152107E-4 | 9.713031E-4 | 2.7631435 | 6.2E-4 | 0.0033650869 | 0.003509732 | 0.00423717 | 1.2072631 | 7.3E-4 |
6.8 | 5.600104E-6 | 5.836009E-6 | 2.8583437E-4 | 48.97771 | 2.8E-4 | 2.4000226E-5 | 2.5011232E-5 | 4.2500123E-4 | 16.992414 | 4.0E-4 | 2.9216358E-4 | 3.044698E-4 | 7.743267E-4 | 2.5431972 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0029177975 | 0.003040588 | 0.0035889158 | 1.1803361 | 5.5E-4 |
6.9 | 4.839122E-6 | 5.0395092E-6 | 2.5503826E-4 | 50.607754 | 2.5E-4 | 2.0738931E-5 | 2.159772E-5 | 3.515906E-4 | 16.27906 | 3.3E-4 | 2.5246723E-4 | 2.6292098E-4 | 6.528184E-4 | 2.4829454 | 3.9E-4 | 0.002521806 | 0.002626147 | 0.0030949125 | 1.1784995 | 4.7E-4 |
7.0 | 3.6937633E-6 | 3.845208E-6 | 2.138444E-4 | 55.61322 | 2.1E-4 | 1.5830317E-5 | 1.647936E-5 | 2.7647507E-4 | 16.777052 | 2.6E-4 | 1.9271708E-4 | 2.0061806E-4 | 5.1055587E-4 | 2.5449147 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0019255003 | 0.002004401 | 0.0023836393 | 1.1892028 | 3.8E-4 |
7.1 | 2.7858857E-6 | 2.8978538E-6 | 1.4289745E-4 | 49.311478 | 1.4E-4 | 1.1939455E-5 | 1.2419316E-5 | 1.9241708E-4 | 15.493372 | 1.8E-4 | 1.4535317E-4 | 1.511949E-4 | 3.7116162E-4 | 2.4548557 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0014525814 | 0.0015109418 | 0.0017805338 | 1.1784265 | 2.7E-4 |
7.2 | 2.1672065E-6 | 2.2540128E-6 | 1.0225379E-4 | 45.36522 | 1.0E-4 | 9.2879945E-6 | 9.66002E-6 | 1.3965876E-4 | 14.457399 | 1.3E-4 | 1.1307546E-4 | 1.1760458E-4 | 2.7758576E-4 | 2.3603313 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0011301794 | 0.0011754417 | 0.0013851948 | 1.1784463 | 2.1E-4 |
7.3 | 1.4823496E-6 | 1.5422102E-6 | 4.154215E-5 | 26.936762 | 4.0E-5 | 6.3529114E-6 | 6.6094562E-6 | 6.660906E-5 | 10.077843 | 6.0E-5 | 7.734395E-5 | 8.046731E-5 | 1.6046087E-4 | 1.9941125 | 8.0E-5 | 7.731704E-4 | 8.0439687E-4 | 9.3429233E-4 | 1.1614817 | 1.3E-4 |
7.4 | 4.2321457E-7 | 4.4108765E-7 | 1.0441083E-5 | 23.67122 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8137755E-6 | 1.8903745E-6 | 2.1890337E-5 | 11.579894 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2082493E-5 | 2.3015113E-5 | 4.3014654E-5 | 1.8689742 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2080299E-4 | 2.3013182E-4 | 2.701226E-4 | 1.1737734 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.6942316E-8 | 5.9415648E-8 | 5.9415648E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.440385E-7 | 2.5463845E-7 | 2.5463845E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711643E-6 | 3.1002196E-6 | 3.1002196E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711247E-5 | 3.1001844E-5 | 3.1001844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0005194E-4 | 0.0012697609 | 4.231804 | 9.7E-4 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012853292 | 0.0024538254 | 1.9091027 | 0.00117 | 0.006416472 | 0.015541554 | 0.016988708 | 1.0931151 | 0.00147 | 0.06234337 | 0.14294699 | 0.14440398 | 1.0101925 | 0.0017 |
6.1 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0005194E-4 | 0.0012697609 | 4.231804 | 9.7E-4 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012853292 | 0.0024538254 | 1.9091027 | 0.00117 | 0.006416472 | 0.015541554 | 0.016988708 | 1.0931151 | 0.00147 | 0.06234337 | 0.14294699 | 0.14440398 | 1.0101925 | 0.0017 |
6.2 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0005194E-4 | 0.0012697609 | 4.231804 | 9.7E-4 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012853292 | 0.0024538254 | 1.9091027 | 0.00117 | 0.006416472 | 0.015541554 | 0.016988708 | 1.0931151 | 0.00147 | 0.06234337 | 0.14294699 | 0.14440398 | 1.0101925 | 0.0017 |
6.3 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.8793467E-4 | 0.0012376611 | 4.2984095 | 9.5E-4 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012334478 | 0.002392017 | 1.9392933 | 0.00116 | 0.006093008 | 0.014918666 | 0.016356885 | 1.096404 | 0.00146 | 0.059286322 | 0.13765779 | 0.13911514 | 1.0105869 | 0.00169 |
6.4 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.8793467E-4 | 0.0012376611 | 4.2984095 | 9.5E-4 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012334478 | 0.002392017 | 1.9392933 | 0.00116 | 0.006093008 | 0.014918666 | 0.016356885 | 1.096404 | 0.00146 | 0.059286322 | 0.13765779 | 0.13911514 | 1.0105869 | 0.00169 |
6.5 | 1.0689076E-4 | 2.6806415E-4 | 0.0011978148 | 4.4683886 | 9.3E-4 | 4.5802278E-4 | 0.0011483653 | 0.0022670792 | 1.9741794 | 0.00112 | 0.0055621783 | 0.013896335 | 0.015296603 | 1.1007652 | 0.00142 | 0.05425003 | 0.1288989 | 0.13033623 | 1.0111507 | 0.00165 |
6.6 | 9.7648895E-5 | 2.505129E-4 | 0.0011502875 | 4.591729 | 9.0E-4 | 4.1842813E-4 | 0.0010732086 | 0.0021620388 | 2.014556 | 0.00109 | 0.005082469 | 0.012992399 | 0.014354469 | 1.104836 | 0.00138 | 0.049677886 | 0.121077746 | 0.12247523 | 1.0115421 | 0.00159 |
6.7 | 8.757013E-5 | 2.3122175E-4 | 0.0011110182 | 4.8049903 | 8.8E-4 | 3.7524657E-4 | 9.905964E-4 | 0.0020595363 | 2.0790875 | 0.00107 | 0.00455906 | 0.011997902 | 0.013321824 | 1.1103462 | 0.00134 | 0.04466656 | 0.112373024 | 0.11373997 | 1.0121644 | 0.00154 |
6.8 | 8.562978E-5 | 2.2682057E-4 | 0.001106621 | 4.8788385 | 8.8E-4 | 3.6693315E-4 | 9.7174826E-4 | 0.0020407084 | 2.1000383 | 0.00107 | 0.004458263 | 0.011770921 | 0.013095148 | 1.1124998 | 0.00134 | 0.043698758 | 0.11037863 | 0.11174865 | 1.012412 | 0.00154 |
6.9 | 6.124075E-5 | 1.7066885E-4 | 0.0010205237 | 5.979555 | 8.5E-4 | 2.6243398E-4 | 7.312337E-4 | 0.0017604806 | 2.4075484 | 0.00103 | 0.0031904527 | 0.008866636 | 0.010125375 | 1.1419636 | 0.00127 | 0.031450346 | 0.08420262 | 0.08553968 | 1.0158792 | 0.00146 |
7.0 | 5.8598747E-5 | 1.6495936E-4 | 0.0010148191 | 6.1519346 | 8.5E-4 | 2.5111332E-4 | 7.067779E-4 | 0.001726057 | 2.442149 | 0.00102 | 0.0030530186 | 0.008571265 | 0.009820466 | 1.1457428 | 0.00126 | 0.03011414 | 0.08151562 | 0.08283823 | 1.0162253 | 0.00144 |
7.1 | 5.613814E-5 | 1.5914452E-4 | 9.890124E-4 | 6.2145553 | 8.3E-4 | 2.4056983E-4 | 6.818704E-4 | 0.0016811886 | 2.4655542 | 0.001 | 0.0029250039 | 0.008270353 | 0.0095000975 | 1.1486931 | 0.00124 | 0.028868021 | 0.07881268 | 0.08010235 | 1.0163636 | 0.0014 |
7.2 | 4.991222E-5 | 1.4520933E-4 | 9.6509024E-4 | 6.6462 | 8.2E-4 | 2.1389198E-4 | 6.221777E-4 | 0.0016115617 | 2.5901954 | 9.9E-4 | 0.002601025 | 0.0075488063 | 0.008759596 | 1.1603949 | 0.00122 | 0.025707912 | 0.07226191 | 0.07353291 | 1.0175889 | 0.00137 |
7.3 | 4.7410045E-5 | 1.371513E-4 | 9.470402E-4 | 6.905076 | 8.1E-4 | 2.0317009E-4 | 5.8765925E-4 | 0.0015670833 | 2.6666532 | 9.8E-4 | 0.0024707897 | 0.0071313656 | 0.008332737 | 1.168463 | 0.00121 | 0.024434982 | 0.068541944 | 0.06980873 | 1.0184819 | 0.00136 |
7.4 | 4.5556746E-5 | 1.3123035E-4 | 9.211267E-4 | 7.0191593 | 7.9E-4 | 1.952286E-4 | 5.6229485E-4 | 0.001521755 | 2.7063293 | 9.6E-4 | 0.002374317 | 0.0068245293 | 0.008006408 | 1.1731809 | 0.00119 | 0.023491086 | 0.06579143 | 0.06704327 | 1.0190274 | 0.00134 |
7.5 | 4.3084514E-5 | 1.2358342E-4 | 8.9348824E-4 | 7.2298393 | 7.7E-4 | 1.8463485E-4 | 5.2953605E-4 | 0.0014690383 | 2.774199 | 9.4E-4 | 0.0022456115 | 0.0064281146 | 0.007580658 | 1.1792973 | 0.00116 | 0.022230545 | 0.062190283 | 0.06341881 | 1.0197544 | 0.00131 |
7.6 | 3.408608E-5 | 9.836477E-5 | 8.6828903E-4 | 8.827236 | 7.7E-4 | 1.4607502E-4 | 4.214953E-4 | 0.0013511033 | 3.2055004 | 9.3E-4 | 0.0017770125 | 0.005119656 | 0.0062637683 | 1.2234745 | 0.00115 | 0.017628696 | 0.05002244 | 0.05125741 | 1.0246884 | 0.0013 |
7.7 | 2.8315713E-5 | 8.2495724E-5 | 8.524322E-4 | 10.333047 | 7.7E-4 | 1.2134742E-4 | 3.5350522E-4 | 0.0012831765 | 3.6298656 | 9.3E-4 | 0.0014764034 | 0.004295442 | 0.0054305447 | 1.2642577 | 0.00114 | 0.01466633 | 0.042272415 | 0.043507885 | 1.0292263 | 0.00129 |
7.8 | 2.6222975E-5 | 7.463898E-5 | 8.445815E-4 | 11.315556 | 7.7E-4 | 1.1237934E-4 | 3.1984213E-4 | 0.0012395479 | 3.875499 | 9.2E-4 | 0.0013673597 | 0.003887131 | 0.0050127385 | 1.2895728 | 0.00113 | 0.013589768 | 0.038437475 | 0.03965866 | 1.0317707 | 0.00127 |
7.9 | 2.1469694E-5 | 5.7884805E-5 | 7.27846E-4 | 12.574043 | 6.7E-4 | 9.200973E-5 | 2.4805416E-4 | 0.0010478557 | 4.2243023 | 8.0E-4 | 0.0011196428 | 0.00301588 | 0.0040028943 | 1.3272724 | 9.9E-4 | 0.011140184 | 0.030153265 | 0.0312007 | 1.034737 | 0.00108 |
8.0 | 1.2420249E-5 | 3.1321662E-5 | 2.5131478E-4 | 8.023673 | 2.2E-4 | 5.322855E-5 | 1.342288E-4 | 3.941939E-4 | 2.936731 | 2.6E-4 | 6.478649E-4 | 0.0016330116 | 0.0019624727 | 1.2017506 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0064597935 | 0.01652369 | 0.016897412 | 1.0226173 | 3.8E-4 |
8.1 | 4.9197724E-6 | 7.822525E-6 | 7.822525E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1084568E-5 | 3.3524673E-5 | 3.3524673E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.566744E-4 | 4.080866E-4 | 4.080866E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002563781 | 0.004384557 | 0.004384557 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.5634774E-6 | 2.9065757E-6 | 2.9065757E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0986286E-5 | 1.2456694E-5 | 1.2456694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3374983E-4 | 1.5164974E-4 | 1.5164974E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013366934 | 0.001704941 | 0.001704941 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.2850464E-7 | 3.2080476E-7 | 3.2080476E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2650179E-6 | 1.3748769E-6 | 1.3748769E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7576245E-5 | 1.673901E-5 | 1.673901E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7572823E-4 | 1.986671E-4 | 1.986671E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Big Bend)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0073925E-4 | 8.306128E-4 | 4.1377697 | 6.3E-4 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.6002843E-4 | 0.0016693318 | 1.9410193 | 8.1E-4 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010420859 | 0.011420335 | 1.095911 | 0.00101 | 0.051734097 | 0.101455905 | 0.102525175 | 1.0105392 | 0.00119 |
6.1 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0073925E-4 | 8.306128E-4 | 4.1377697 | 6.3E-4 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.6002843E-4 | 0.0016693318 | 1.9410193 | 8.1E-4 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010420859 | 0.011420335 | 1.095911 | 0.00101 | 0.051734097 | 0.101455905 | 0.102525175 | 1.0105392 | 0.00119 |
6.2 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0073925E-4 | 8.306128E-4 | 4.1377697 | 6.3E-4 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.6002843E-4 | 0.0016693318 | 1.9410193 | 8.1E-4 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010420859 | 0.011420335 | 1.095911 | 0.00101 | 0.051734097 | 0.101455905 | 0.102525175 | 1.0105392 | 0.00119 |
6.3 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0073925E-4 | 8.306128E-4 | 4.1377697 | 6.3E-4 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.6002843E-4 | 0.0016693318 | 1.9410193 | 8.1E-4 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010420859 | 0.011420335 | 1.095911 | 0.00101 | 0.051734097 | 0.101455905 | 0.102525175 | 1.0105392 | 0.00119 |
6.4 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8430917E-4 | 6.1422994E-4 | 3.3326063 | 4.3E-4 | 3.9268145E-4 | 7.896575E-4 | 0.0012892627 | 1.6326859 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009571818 | 0.010166075 | 1.062084 | 6.0E-4 | 0.046693064 | 0.09378695 | 0.094439425 | 1.0069569 | 7.2E-4 |
6.5 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8430917E-4 | 6.1422994E-4 | 3.3326063 | 4.3E-4 | 3.9268145E-4 | 7.896575E-4 | 0.0012892627 | 1.6326859 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009571818 | 0.010166075 | 1.062084 | 6.0E-4 | 0.046693064 | 0.09378695 | 0.094439425 | 1.0069569 | 7.2E-4 |
6.6 | 9.042622E-5 | 1.8238011E-4 | 5.923053E-4 | 3.247642 | 4.1E-4 | 3.8748336E-4 | 7.813951E-4 | 0.0012610201 | 1.6138059 | 4.8E-4 | 0.0047074095 | 0.0094721 | 0.010046606 | 1.0606525 | 5.8E-4 | 0.046089325 | 0.09287721 | 0.093503125 | 1.0067391 | 6.9E-4 |
6.7 | 8.9836685E-5 | 1.8152347E-4 | 5.7145266E-4 | 3.1480925 | 3.9E-4 | 3.8495753E-4 | 7.7772595E-4 | 0.0012373682 | 1.591008 | 4.6E-4 | 0.00467679 | 0.009427815 | 0.009972629 | 1.057788 | 5.5E-4 | 0.045795817 | 0.09247148 | 0.093070455 | 1.0064774 | 6.6E-4 |
6.8 | 8.9471854E-5 | 1.8099119E-4 | 5.509242E-4 | 3.0439284 | 3.7E-4 | 3.8339442E-4 | 7.754462E-4 | 0.001215105 | 1.5669752 | 4.4E-4 | 0.004657841 | 0.009400298 | 0.009925315 | 1.0558512 | 5.3E-4 | 0.04561414 | 0.0922192 | 0.092800185 | 1.0063 | 6.4E-4 |
6.9 | 8.858234E-5 | 1.7981093E-4 | 5.1974977E-4 | 2.890535 | 3.4E-4 | 3.7958333E-4 | 7.7039085E-4 | 0.001180075 | 1.5317874 | 4.1E-4 | 0.004611638 | 0.009339278 | 0.009834608 | 1.0530373 | 5.0E-4 | 0.04517103 | 0.09165911 | 0.09221319 | 1.0060451 | 6.1E-4 |
7.0 | 8.7433385E-5 | 1.7819891E-4 | 5.081401E-4 | 2.8515332 | 3.3E-4 | 3.746607E-4 | 7.6348626E-4 | 0.0011531885 | 1.5104247 | 3.9E-4 | 0.004551957 | 0.009255932 | 0.009731489 | 1.0513786 | 4.8E-4 | 0.044598386 | 0.09089323 | 0.0914296 | 1.0059011 | 5.9E-4 |
7.1 | 8.684964E-5 | 1.7731842E-4 | 4.8726346E-4 | 2.7479575 | 3.1E-4 | 3.7215967E-4 | 7.597149E-4 | 0.0011294339 | 1.4866548 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0045216335 | 0.009210405 | 0.009666168 | 1.0494835 | 4.6E-4 | 0.04430731 | 0.09047475 | 0.09099318 | 1.0057302 | 5.7E-4 |
7.2 | 8.606521E-5 | 1.7622454E-4 | 4.6617343E-4 | 2.6453378 | 2.9E-4 | 3.6879873E-4 | 7.550296E-4 | 0.0011047653 | 1.463208 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0044808835 | 0.009153842 | 0.009579905 | 1.0465448 | 4.3E-4 | 0.043916024 | 0.08995518 | 0.09044661 | 1.005463 | 5.4E-4 |
7.3 | 8.568266E-5 | 1.7564454E-4 | 4.6559362E-4 | 2.6507719 | 2.9E-4 | 3.6715972E-4 | 7.5254537E-4 | 0.001102282 | 1.4647382 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0044610105 | 0.00912385 | 0.009549927 | 1.0466993 | 4.3E-4 | 0.043725148 | 0.08967623 | 0.090167806 | 1.0054817 | 5.4E-4 |
7.4 | 8.5432206E-5 | 1.752704E-4 | 4.6521958E-4 | 2.6542964 | 2.9E-4 | 3.6608664E-4 | 7.509428E-4 | 0.00110068 | 1.4657308 | 3.5E-4 | 0.004447999 | 0.009104501 | 0.009530587 | 1.0467994 | 4.3E-4 | 0.043600157 | 0.08949642 | 0.08998809 | 1.0054938 | 5.4E-4 |
7.5 | 8.4791965E-5 | 1.7396381E-4 | 4.539151E-4 | 2.60925 | 2.8E-4 | 3.633435E-4 | 7.4534636E-4 | 0.0010751004 | 1.4424171 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0044147377 | 0.009036932 | 0.009443227 | 1.0449594 | 4.1E-4 | 0.043280575 | 0.08887209 | 0.08934587 | 1.0053312 | 5.2E-4 |
7.6 | 8.241105E-5 | 1.6841735E-4 | 4.2837355E-4 | 2.543524 | 2.6E-4 | 3.531424E-4 | 7.2158914E-4 | 0.0010313655 | 1.4292973 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0042910352 | 0.008750047 | 0.009136635 | 1.0441812 | 3.9E-4 | 0.042091176 | 0.08625032 | 0.0867072 | 1.0052971 | 5.0E-4 |
7.7 | 7.00432E-5 | 1.4205615E-4 | 3.12032E-4 | 2.1965399 | 1.7E-4 | 3.001506E-4 | 6.0867006E-4 | 8.285361E-4 | 1.3612238 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0036482112 | 0.0073854174 | 0.0076732757 | 1.0389766 | 2.9E-4 | 0.035888977 | 0.07352299 | 0.073875055 | 1.0047884 | 3.8E-4 |
7.8 | 6.415362E-5 | 1.2969968E-4 | 2.9967763E-4 | 2.3105502 | 1.7E-4 | 2.749151E-4 | 5.557374E-4 | 7.656207E-4 | 1.3776664 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0033419547 | 0.0067451415 | 0.007023253 | 1.0412314 | 2.8E-4 | 0.03292141 | 0.06725514 | 0.0675816 | 1.0048541 | 3.5E-4 |
7.9 | 4.939911E-5 | 9.341721E-5 | 2.0340693E-4 | 2.1774032 | 1.1E-4 | 2.116933E-4 | 4.0029807E-4 | 5.3024606E-4 | 1.324628 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0025743195 | 0.004862747 | 0.005061775 | 1.040929 | 2.0E-4 | 0.025447013 | 0.048915803 | 0.049163084 | 1.0050553 | 2.6E-4 |
8.0 | 3.344983E-5 | 5.2228E-5 | 1.02225385E-4 | 1.9572909 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4334853E-4 | 2.2381509E-4 | 2.8380167E-4 | 1.2680185 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0017438711 | 0.0027215453 | 0.0028113003 | 1.0329795 | 9.0E-5 | 0.017302496 | 0.027923161 | 0.028010648 | 1.0031332 | 9.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9104898E-5 | 1.9171663E-5 | 2.917147E-5 | 1.5215932 | 1.0E-5 | 8.1875565E-5 | 8.2161685E-5 | 9.216086E-5 | 1.1217012 | 1.0E-5 | 9.963791E-4 | 9.9986E-4 | 0.0010098501 | 1.0099914 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009919235 | 0.010749552 | 0.010759445 | 1.0009203 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032481793 | 0.0032481793 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6564595E-7 | 7.6564595E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9949547E-5 | 3.9949547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.717979E-4 | 4.717979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (No)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2500084E-5 | 4.7248995E-4 | 20.999475 | 4.5E-4 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.642541E-5 | 6.963675E-4 | 7.2218266 | 6.0E-4 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011733545 | 0.0020722984 | 1.7661316 | 9.0E-4 | 0.010420183 | 0.011672506 | 0.012670717 | 1.0855181 | 0.00101 |
6.1 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2500084E-5 | 4.7248995E-4 | 20.999475 | 4.5E-4 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.642541E-5 | 6.963675E-4 | 7.2218266 | 6.0E-4 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011733545 | 0.0020722984 | 1.7661316 | 9.0E-4 | 0.010420183 | 0.011672506 | 0.012670717 | 1.0855181 | 0.00101 |
6.2 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2500084E-5 | 4.7248995E-4 | 20.999475 | 4.5E-4 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.642541E-5 | 6.963675E-4 | 7.2218266 | 6.0E-4 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011733545 | 0.0020722984 | 1.7661316 | 9.0E-4 | 0.010420183 | 0.011672506 | 0.012670717 | 1.0855181 | 0.00101 |
6.3 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.1336948E-5 | 4.5132777E-4 | 21.152407 | 4.3E-4 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.1440896E-5 | 6.713879E-4 | 7.342315 | 5.8E-4 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.001112731 | 0.001981763 | 1.7809901 | 8.7E-4 | 0.009891188 | 0.011072419 | 0.012031678 | 1.0866351 | 9.7E-4 |
6.4 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.1336948E-5 | 4.5132777E-4 | 21.152407 | 4.3E-4 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.1440896E-5 | 6.713879E-4 | 7.342315 | 5.8E-4 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.001112731 | 0.001981763 | 1.7809901 | 8.7E-4 | 0.009891188 | 0.011072419 | 0.012031678 | 1.0866351 | 9.7E-4 |
6.5 | 1.8367004E-5 | 2.0561009E-5 | 4.5055218E-4 | 21.912941 | 4.3E-4 | 7.8713354E-5 | 8.811567E-5 | 6.680646E-4 | 7.5816774 | 5.8E-4 | 9.5791375E-4 | 0.0010722869 | 0.0019313646 | 1.8011643 | 8.6E-4 | 0.009537951 | 0.0106719155 | 0.011621671 | 1.0889957 | 9.6E-4 |
6.6 | 1.779439E-5 | 1.9910927E-5 | 4.4990238E-4 | 22.59575 | 4.3E-4 | 7.625944E-5 | 8.53298E-5 | 6.652803E-4 | 7.796577 | 5.8E-4 | 9.280632E-4 | 0.0010384015 | 0.0018975085 | 1.8273361 | 8.6E-4 | 0.009241969 | 0.010336253 | 0.0112863295 | 1.091917 | 9.6E-4 |
6.7 | 1.7025437E-5 | 1.9043426E-5 | 4.4903523E-4 | 23.579542 | 4.3E-4 | 7.296412E-5 | 8.161216E-5 | 6.615648E-4 | 8.106204 | 5.8E-4 | 8.87976E-4 | 9.931813E-4 | 0.001832347 | 1.8449271 | 8.4E-4 | 0.008844362 | 0.009888145 | 0.01081885 | 1.0941234 | 9.4E-4 |
6.8 | 1.6545107E-5 | 1.8512545E-5 | 4.3850477E-4 | 23.686897 | 4.2E-4 | 7.090568E-5 | 7.93371E-5 | 6.492919E-4 | 8.183963 | 5.7E-4 | 8.629347E-4 | 9.655073E-4 | 0.0017947059 | 1.8588217 | 8.3E-4 | 0.008595915 | 0.009613829 | 0.010534888 | 1.0958056 | 9.3E-4 |
6.9 | 1.615478E-5 | 1.8087594E-5 | 4.3808E-4 | 24.219915 | 4.2E-4 | 6.9232934E-5 | 7.751599E-5 | 6.374726E-4 | 8.223756 | 5.6E-4 | 8.4258494E-4 | 9.433546E-4 | 0.001762581 | 1.8684183 | 8.2E-4 | 0.008393973 | 0.009394196 | 0.010305553 | 1.0970128 | 9.2E-4 |
7.0 | 1.5894311E-5 | 1.780555E-5 | 4.2779825E-4 | 24.02612 | 4.1E-4 | 6.81167E-5 | 7.6307304E-5 | 6.262653E-4 | 8.207149 | 5.5E-4 | 8.2900526E-4 | 9.286515E-4 | 0.0017279086 | 1.8606641 | 8.0E-4 | 0.008259195 | 0.009248397 | 0.0101400735 | 1.0964142 | 9.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.5602263E-5 | 1.7483504E-5 | 4.2747633E-4 | 24.450268 | 4.1E-4 | 6.6865134E-5 | 7.492718E-5 | 6.2488596E-4 | 8.3399105 | 5.5E-4 | 8.137789E-4 | 9.118627E-4 | 0.0017111333 | 1.876525 | 8.0E-4 | 0.008108052 | 0.009081894 | 0.00997372 | 1.0981983 | 9.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.5323829E-5 | 1.717063E-5 | 4.2716358E-4 | 24.877573 | 4.1E-4 | 6.56719E-5 | 7.358637E-5 | 6.235459E-4 | 8.4736595 | 5.5E-4 | 7.99262E-4 | 8.9555193E-4 | 0.0016948355 | 1.8925039 | 8.0E-4 | 0.007963934 | 0.008920107 | 0.009812078 | 1.0999956 | 9.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.4556212E-5 | 1.6302456E-5 | 4.2629577E-4 | 26.149176 | 4.1E-4 | 6.238227E-5 | 6.9865826E-5 | 6.098281E-4 | 8.72856 | 5.4E-4 | 7.592395E-4 | 8.5029035E-4 | 0.0016096442 | 1.8930523 | 7.6E-4 | 0.0075665074 | 0.008471014 | 0.009323729 | 1.1006627 | 8.6E-4 |
7.4 | 1.411725E-5 | 1.580796E-5 | 4.2580147E-4 | 26.93589 | 4.1E-4 | 6.0501097E-5 | 6.7746674E-5 | 5.977108E-4 | 8.822732 | 5.3E-4 | 7.363519E-4 | 8.245094E-4 | 0.001573891 | 1.9088818 | 7.5E-4 | 0.0073391674 | 0.008215138 | 0.009058155 | 1.1026175 | 8.5E-4 |
7.5 | 1.3503312E-5 | 1.5126289E-5 | 4.1512024E-4 | 27.443626 | 4.0E-4 | 5.7870053E-5 | 6.482538E-5 | 5.8479165E-4 | 9.02103 | 5.2E-4 | 7.043401E-4 | 7.8896893E-4 | 0.0015283851 | 1.937193 | 7.4E-4 | 0.007021119 | 0.007862304 | 0.0086957 | 1.1059989 | 8.4E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1279839E-5 | 1.2626327E-5 | 3.326223E-4 | 26.343552 | 3.2E-4 | 4.834127E-5 | 5.4111737E-5 | 4.8408846E-4 | 8.94609 | 4.3E-4 | 5.88396E-4 | 6.5861654E-4 | 0.0013081884 | 1.9862672 | 6.5E-4 | 0.005868405 | 0.006567199 | 0.0072924043 | 1.1104285 | 7.3E-4 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.0283358E-5 | 2.002814E-4 | 19.476265 | 1.9E-4 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.407082E-5 | 3.3405804E-4 | 7.5800276 | 2.9E-4 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.3643517E-4 | 9.961884E-4 | 1.8570528 | 4.6E-4 | 0.004783291 | 0.005351914 | 0.0058790776 | 1.0985 | 5.3E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6482615E-7 | 3.6482615E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635396E-6 | 1.5635396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9035933E-5 | 3.9035553E-5 | 2.0506246 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9034347E-4 | 2.2033777E-4 | 1.1575798 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.258278E-6 | 8.551265E-6 | 4.485475E-4 | 52.453938 | 4.4E-4 | 3.539214E-5 | 3.6647863E-5 | 6.3662586E-4 | 17.371431 | 6.0E-4 | 4.308141E-4 | 4.4611428E-4 | 0.0012457573 | 2.7924626 | 8.0E-4 | 0.0042997985 | 0.004453945 | 0.0054196245 | 1.2168145 | 9.7E-4 |
6.1 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7753161E-6 | 1.7377468E-4 | 46.02917 | 1.7E-4 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6179853E-5 | 2.5617596E-4 | 15.833022 | 2.4E-4 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9697666E-4 | 5.069156E-4 | 2.5734806 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0019027026 | 0.001968488 | 0.0023577204 | 1.1977316 | 3.9E-4 |
6.2 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7753161E-6 | 1.7377468E-4 | 46.02917 | 1.7E-4 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6179853E-5 | 2.5617596E-4 | 15.833022 | 2.4E-4 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9697666E-4 | 5.069156E-4 | 2.5734806 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0019027026 | 0.001968488 | 0.0023577204 | 1.1977316 | 3.9E-4 |
6.3 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4411166E-6 | 7.144101E-5 | 49.573376 | 7.0E-5 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.1762075E-6 | 7.617578E-5 | 12.333746 | 7.0E-5 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.519415E-5 | 1.7518662E-4 | 2.3297908 | 1.0E-4 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.518258E-4 | 8.817281E-4 | 1.1727824 | 1.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4411166E-6 | 7.144101E-5 | 49.573376 | 7.0E-5 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.1762075E-6 | 7.617578E-5 | 12.333746 | 7.0E-5 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.519415E-5 | 1.7518662E-4 | 2.3297908 | 1.0E-4 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.518258E-4 | 8.817281E-4 | 1.1727824 | 1.3E-4 |
6.5 | 9.876812E-7 | 1.0221912E-6 | 3.1022162E-5 | 30.348686 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2329125E-6 | 4.3808195E-6 | 3.438069E-5 | 7.848004 | 3.0E-5 | 5.153449E-5 | 5.3336476E-5 | 1.1333328E-4 | 2.1248736 | 6.0E-5 | 5.1522546E-4 | 5.333648E-4 | 6.033274E-4 | 1.1311723 | 7.0E-5 |
Calico-Hidalgo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0704355E-5 | 4.106861E-4 | 8.099622 | 3.6E-4 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1728857E-4 | 7.271778E-4 | 3.346599 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0021322158 | 0.002642678 | 0.0033208812 | 1.2566347 | 6.8E-4 | 0.02111873 | 0.026152814 | 0.026912415 | 1.0290447 | 7.8E-4 |
6.1 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0704355E-5 | 4.106861E-4 | 8.099622 | 3.6E-4 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1728857E-4 | 7.271778E-4 | 3.346599 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0021322158 | 0.002642678 | 0.0033208812 | 1.2566347 | 6.8E-4 | 0.02111873 | 0.026152814 | 0.026912415 | 1.0290447 | 7.8E-4 |
6.2 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0704355E-5 | 4.106861E-4 | 8.099622 | 3.6E-4 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1728857E-4 | 7.271778E-4 | 3.346599 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0021322158 | 0.002642678 | 0.0033208812 | 1.2566347 | 6.8E-4 | 0.02111873 | 0.026152814 | 0.026912415 | 1.0290447 | 7.8E-4 |
6.3 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0090967E-5 | 2.4008464E-4 | 7.9786286 | 2.1E-4 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.289551E-4 | 4.2891642E-4 | 3.326091 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015689312 | 0.0019982564 | 1.273642 | 4.3E-4 | 0.01257003 | 0.015582229 | 0.016074438 | 1.0315878 | 5.0E-4 |
6.4 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0090967E-5 | 2.4008464E-4 | 7.9786286 | 2.1E-4 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.289551E-4 | 4.2891642E-4 | 3.326091 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015689312 | 0.0019982564 | 1.273642 | 4.3E-4 | 0.01257003 | 0.015582229 | 0.016074438 | 1.0315878 | 5.0E-4 |
6.5 | 2.0286952E-5 | 2.5316054E-5 | 2.2531099E-4 | 8.899925 | 2.0E-4 | 8.694118E-5 | 1.0849296E-4 | 3.884626E-4 | 3.5805326 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0010579949 | 0.0013201186 | 0.0017295773 | 1.3101681 | 4.1E-4 | 0.010529719 | 0.013124701 | 0.0135984 | 1.0360923 | 4.8E-4 |
6.6 | 2.0269223E-5 | 2.5297004E-5 | 2.2529195E-4 | 8.905874 | 2.0E-4 | 8.6865206E-5 | 1.08411325E-4 | 3.8838095E-4 | 3.5824761 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0010570707 | 0.0013191258 | 0.0017285849 | 1.3104019 | 4.1E-4 | 0.010520565 | 0.01311489 | 0.013588595 | 1.0361196 | 4.8E-4 |
6.7 | 1.799852E-5 | 2.2540933E-5 | 2.0253687E-4 | 8.985292 | 1.8E-4 | 7.713423E-5 | 9.660051E-5 | 3.4657636E-4 | 3.587728 | 2.5E-4 | 9.3870464E-4 | 0.0011754911 | 0.001535068 | 1.305895 | 3.6E-4 | 0.009347493 | 0.011694346 | 0.012119317 | 1.0363399 | 4.3E-4 |
6.8 | 1.7458793E-5 | 2.184258E-5 | 2.0183864E-4 | 9.240604 | 1.8E-4 | 7.4821255E-5 | 9.360778E-5 | 3.4358437E-4 | 3.670468 | 2.5E-4 | 9.10568E-4 | 0.0011390933 | 0.0014986832 | 1.3156809 | 3.6E-4 | 0.009068459 | 0.011334131 | 0.011759257 | 1.0375085 | 4.3E-4 |
6.9 | 1.542884E-5 | 1.9026285E-5 | 1.9902286E-4 | 10.460416 | 1.8E-4 | 6.612192E-5 | 8.153875E-5 | 3.2151918E-4 | 3.943146 | 2.4E-4 | 8.04737E-4 | 9.922953E-4 | 0.0013219678 | 1.3322324 | 3.3E-4 | 0.008018291 | 0.009880043 | 0.010256289 | 1.0380814 | 3.8E-4 |
7.0 | 1.468253E-5 | 1.803109E-5 | 1.9802785E-4 | 10.982576 | 1.8E-4 | 6.292361E-5 | 7.727389E-5 | 3.0725612E-4 | 3.9761958 | 2.3E-4 | 7.658257E-4 | 9.4041653E-4 | 0.001250125 | 1.3293312 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0076319184 | 0.009365736 | 0.009722364 | 1.038078 | 3.6E-4 |
7.1 | 1.3139281E-5 | 1.620139E-5 | 1.6619895E-4 | 10.258315 | 1.5E-4 | 5.6309986E-5 | 6.943275E-5 | 2.5941955E-4 | 3.736271 | 1.9E-4 | 6.853584E-4 | 8.4502844E-4 | 0.0011048088 | 1.3074219 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0068324856 | 0.008419449 | 0.00872684 | 1.0365095 | 3.1E-4 |
7.2 | 1.1127404E-5 | 1.3867038E-5 | 1.03865794E-4 | 7.4901204 | 9.0E-5 | 4.7688E-5 | 5.9428872E-5 | 1.8942115E-4 | 3.1873589 | 1.3E-4 | 5.8044674E-4 | 7.233172E-4 | 9.1317977E-4 | 1.2624886 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0057893298 | 0.007210737 | 0.0074490067 | 1.0330437 | 2.4E-4 |
7.3 | 9.808154E-6 | 1.2176586E-5 | 1.0217549E-4 | 8.391145 | 9.0E-5 | 4.2034266E-5 | 5.2184383E-5 | 1.7217812E-4 | 3.2994184 | 1.2E-4 | 5.11647E-4 | 6.351704E-4 | 7.850751E-4 | 1.2360071 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0051047057 | 0.006334625 | 0.0065333582 | 1.0313725 | 2.0E-4 |
7.4 | 7.942452E-6 | 9.792348E-6 | 8.979157E-5 | 9.169564 | 8.0E-5 | 3.4038632E-5 | 4.1966585E-5 | 1.5196197E-4 | 3.6210232 | 1.1E-4 | 4.1434157E-4 | 5.108328E-4 | 6.507613E-4 | 1.2739222 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0041356985 | 0.005097527 | 0.0052766097 | 1.0351312 | 1.8E-4 |
7.5 | 4.7121216E-6 | 5.7729717E-6 | 6.577263E-5 | 11.393201 | 6.0E-5 | 2.019465E-5 | 2.4741115E-5 | 9.4739386E-5 | 3.8292284 | 7.0E-5 | 2.4584212E-4 | 3.011891E-4 | 3.7116802E-4 | 1.2323421 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0024557032 | 0.0030085614 | 0.0031182305 | 1.0364523 | 1.1E-4 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 2.0260397E-5 | 77.80431 | 2.0E-5 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160082E-6 | 2.1115986E-5 | 18.920996 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 3.358707E-5 | 2.4719381 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.6586386E-4 | 1.2207726 | 3.0E-5 |
Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.937271E-4 | 5.736448E-4 | 1.9529859 | 2.8E-4 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012583778 | 0.001647887 | 1.3095328 | 3.9E-4 | 0.008420097 | 0.0152346175 | 0.015815629 | 1.0381376 | 5.9E-4 | 0.081081145 | 0.13962454 | 0.1402096 | 1.0041902 | 6.8E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.937271E-4 | 5.736448E-4 | 1.9529859 | 2.8E-4 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012583778 | 0.001647887 | 1.3095328 | 3.9E-4 | 0.008420097 | 0.0152346175 | 0.015815629 | 1.0381376 | 5.9E-4 | 0.081081145 | 0.13962454 | 0.1402096 | 1.0041902 | 6.8E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.937271E-4 | 5.736448E-4 | 1.9529859 | 2.8E-4 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012583778 | 0.001647887 | 1.3095328 | 3.9E-4 | 0.008420097 | 0.0152346175 | 0.015815629 | 1.0381376 | 5.9E-4 | 0.081081145 | 0.13962454 | 0.1402096 | 1.0041902 | 6.8E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7703463E-4 | 3.769992E-4 | 2.1295226 | 2.0E-4 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.5861585E-4 | 0.0010384035 | 1.3688133 | 2.8E-4 | 0.005262531 | 0.0092177205 | 0.009643758 | 1.0462192 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0513964 | 0.08707393 | 0.08750301 | 1.0049278 | 4.7E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7703463E-4 | 3.769992E-4 | 2.1295226 | 2.0E-4 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.5861585E-4 | 0.0010384035 | 1.3688133 | 2.8E-4 | 0.005262531 | 0.0092177205 | 0.009643758 | 1.0462192 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0513964 | 0.08707393 | 0.08750301 | 1.0049278 | 4.7E-4 |
6.5 | 3.6624708E-5 | 4.6391986E-5 | 1.16388735E-4 | 2.5088112 | 7.0E-5 | 1.569536E-4 | 1.9880968E-4 | 2.987898E-4 | 1.5028937 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001909235 | 0.0024181814 | 0.002597746 | 1.0742561 | 1.8E-4 | 0.01892915 | 0.023697061 | 0.023882559 | 1.0078279 | 1.9E-4 |
6.6 | 2.5051324E-5 | 2.6147465E-5 | 7.6146156E-5 | 2.9121814 | 5.0E-5 | 1.073584E-4 | 1.12056E-4 | 1.7204927E-4 | 1.5353866 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0013063047 | 0.0013634725 | 0.0014833088 | 1.0878906 | 1.2E-4 | 0.012986525 | 0.013565759 | 0.013684131 | 1.0087258 | 1.2E-4 |
6.7 | 2.2189772E-5 | 2.2072489E-5 | 7.207139E-5 | 3.2652133 | 5.0E-5 | 9.509556E-5 | 9.459316E-5 | 1.5458748E-4 | 1.6342354 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0011571734 | 0.0011510996 | 0.001260973 | 1.0954508 | 1.1E-4 | 0.011511663 | 0.0114663225 | 0.011575062 | 1.0094833 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 1.6654378E-5 | 1.44376E-5 | 4.4437165E-5 | 3.0778778 | 3.0E-5 | 7.137396E-5 | 6.187399E-5 | 9.1872134E-5 | 1.4848264 | 3.0E-5 | 8.686314E-4 | 7.5306057E-4 | 8.230079E-4 | 1.0928841 | 7.0E-5 | 0.008652439 | 0.0075100763 | 0.0075795506 | 1.0092508 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5042909E-5 | 1.2331886E-5 | 4.2331514E-5 | 3.432688 | 3.0E-5 | 6.446802E-5 | 5.2849886E-5 | 8.28483E-5 | 1.5676155 | 3.0E-5 | 7.8461546E-4 | 6.4326054E-4 | 7.132155E-4 | 1.1087506 | 7.0E-5 | 0.007818509 | 0.006417925 | 0.0064874757 | 1.010837 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.4361385E-5 | 1.1451172E-5 | 4.145083E-5 | 3.6197891 | 3.0E-5 | 6.154734E-5 | 4.9075545E-5 | 7.9074074E-5 | 1.6112725 | 3.0E-5 | 7.490812E-4 | 5.973339E-4 | 6.57298E-4 | 1.1003864 | 6.0E-5 | 0.007465612 | 0.005960982 | 0.006020624 | 1.0100055 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3265571E-5 | 1.0244736E-5 | 4.0244428E-5 | 3.9283032 | 3.0E-5 | 5.6851208E-5 | 4.3905282E-5 | 7.390397E-5 | 1.683259 | 3.0E-5 | 6.919436E-4 | 5.344183E-4 | 5.843915E-4 | 1.0935097 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006897931 | 0.0053346003 | 0.0053843334 | 1.0093228 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1596403E-5 | 8.504847E-6 | 3.8504593E-5 | 4.5273705 | 3.0E-5 | 4.9697923E-5 | 3.6448844E-5 | 6.644775E-5 | 1.8230413 | 3.0E-5 | 6.049042E-4 | 4.4367602E-4 | 4.936538E-4 | 1.1126448 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006032603 | 0.004429357 | 0.0044791354 | 1.0112383 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0150827E-5 | 7.238537E-6 | 2.7238393E-5 | 3.7629693 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3502816E-5 | 3.102194E-5 | 5.102132E-5 | 1.644685 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2951806E-4 | 3.776281E-4 | 4.1761302E-4 | 1.1058843 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005282581 | 0.003770271 | 0.0038101203 | 1.0105693 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.080705E-6 | 6.352307E-6 | 1.6352244E-5 | 2.5742211 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8916725E-5 | 2.7223898E-5 | 3.7223625E-5 | 1.3673143 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7370812E-4 | 3.314019E-4 | 3.5139528E-4 | 1.0603297 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004726996 | 0.0033092257 | 0.0033291595 | 1.0060238 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.671649E-6 | 5.225419E-6 | 1.5225367E-5 | 2.913712 | 1.0E-5 | 3.287808E-5 | 2.2394468E-5 | 3.2394244E-5 | 1.4465289 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0021708E-4 | 2.7261977E-4 | 2.9261434E-4 | 1.0733422 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0039949706 | 0.0027229784 | 0.002742924 | 1.0073249 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.990086E-6 | 4.687336E-6 | 1.4687289E-5 | 3.133398 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9957167E-5 | 2.0088435E-5 | 3.0088233E-5 | 1.4977889 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6466747E-4 | 2.445504E-4 | 2.6454552E-4 | 1.0817627 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036406964 | 0.0024429292 | 0.0024628802 | 1.0081669 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.163505E-6 | 2.329331E-6 | 1.23293075E-5 | 5.2930684 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7843471E-5 | 9.982813E-6 | 1.9982714E-5 | 2.0017116 | 1.0E-5 | 2.172226E-4 | 1.2153471E-4 | 1.315335E-4 | 1.082271 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021701038 | 0.0012147555 | 0.0012247433 | 1.0082221 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.384417E-8 | 9.384417E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0218927E-7 | 4.0218927E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.8966467E-6 | 4.8966467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.8965718E-5 | 4.8965718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4397174E-9 | 3.4397174E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4741646E-8 | 1.4741646E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7947953E-7 | 1.7947953E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.794794E-6 | 1.794794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cady
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1858728E-5 | 3.5185152E-4 | 16.096613 | 3.3E-4 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3677416E-5 | 5.636334E-4 | 6.016748 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011400167 | 0.0017393327 | 1.5257081 | 6.0E-4 | 0.010326075 | 0.011350701 | 0.012072414 | 1.0635833 | 7.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1858728E-5 | 3.5185152E-4 | 16.096613 | 3.3E-4 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3677416E-5 | 5.636334E-4 | 6.016748 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011400167 | 0.0017393327 | 1.5257081 | 6.0E-4 | 0.010326075 | 0.011350701 | 0.012072414 | 1.0635833 | 7.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1858728E-5 | 3.5185152E-4 | 16.096613 | 3.3E-4 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3677416E-5 | 5.636334E-4 | 6.016748 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011400167 | 0.0017393327 | 1.5257081 | 6.0E-4 | 0.010326075 | 0.011350701 | 0.012072414 | 1.0635833 | 7.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2176583E-5 | 1.8217451E-4 | 14.961053 | 1.7E-4 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.2184492E-5 | 3.1217092E-4 | 5.9820633 | 2.6E-4 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.351925E-4 | 9.649829E-4 | 1.5191976 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0063368753 | 0.0067343405 | 1.0627226 | 4.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2176583E-5 | 1.8217451E-4 | 14.961053 | 1.7E-4 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.2184492E-5 | 3.1217092E-4 | 5.9820633 | 2.6E-4 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.351925E-4 | 9.649829E-4 | 1.5191976 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0063368753 | 0.0067343405 | 1.0627226 | 4.0E-4 |
6.5 | 6.103093E-6 | 6.672021E-6 | 8.667148E-5 | 12.990291 | 8.0E-5 | 2.615585E-5 | 2.8594131E-5 | 1.6859012E-4 | 5.8959694 | 1.4E-4 | 3.1840094E-4 | 3.480905E-4 | 5.480209E-4 | 1.5743632 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0031794512 | 0.0034766865 | 0.0036959217 | 1.0630586 | 2.2E-4 |
6.6 | 5.817237E-6 | 6.3656585E-6 | 8.636515E-5 | 13.567355 | 8.0E-5 | 2.4930776E-5 | 2.728118E-5 | 1.5727764E-4 | 5.76506 | 1.3E-4 | 3.034899E-4 | 3.3211018E-4 | 5.2204705E-4 | 1.5719093 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0030307577 | 0.0033173605 | 0.0035266639 | 1.0630933 | 2.1E-4 |
6.7 | 4.8846314E-6 | 5.3405684E-6 | 6.5340246E-5 | 12.234699 | 6.0E-5 | 2.0933967E-5 | 2.2888014E-5 | 1.2288573E-4 | 5.368999 | 1.0E-4 | 2.5484123E-4 | 2.7863772E-4 | 4.3859315E-4 | 1.5740623 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0025454918 | 0.0027840391 | 0.002963538 | 1.0644742 | 1.8E-4 |
6.8 | 1.7788773E-6 | 1.9399079E-6 | 3.193985E-5 | 16.46462 | 3.0E-5 | 7.6237375E-6 | 8.313874E-6 | 3.8313625E-5 | 4.608396 | 3.0E-5 | 9.281505E-5 | 1.01218284E-4 | 1.5121323E-4 | 1.4939319 | 5.0E-5 | 9.2776294E-4 | 0.0010118765 | 0.0010718157 | 1.0592358 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.5455404E-7 | 8.297092E-7 | 1.0829701E-5 | 13.052405 | 1.0E-5 | 3.233799E-6 | 3.5558937E-6 | 1.35558585E-5 | 3.8122225 | 1.0E-5 | 3.937079E-5 | 4.3292483E-5 | 7.329118E-5 | 1.6929309 | 3.0E-5 | 3.9363815E-4 | 4.3287344E-4 | 4.6286045E-4 | 1.0692743 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.8578805E-7 | 7.541816E-7 | 1.0754174E-5 | 14.259396 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9390883E-6 | 3.2322048E-6 | 1.3232172E-5 | 4.0938535 | 1.0E-5 | 3.578281E-5 | 3.9351715E-5 | 5.9350925E-5 | 1.5082171 | 2.0E-5 | 3.577705E-4 | 3.9347992E-4 | 4.1347204E-4 | 1.0508085 | 2.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Parkfield)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.556969E-4 | 7.778562E-4 | 0.0011675529 | 1.500988 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0023793848 | 0.0033299583 | 0.0037784597 | 1.1346868 | 4.5E-4 | 0.028586963 | 0.040235043 | 0.040820498 | 1.0145509 | 6.1E-4 | 0.25176284 | 0.3371973 | 0.3376745 | 1.0014153 | 7.2E-4 |
6.1 | 1.925858E-4 | 3.0278185E-4 | 5.127183E-4 | 1.6933587 | 2.1E-4 | 8.2510663E-4 | 0.001297085 | 0.0015367736 | 1.1847903 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0099994885 | 0.01577393 | 0.01607904 | 1.0193427 | 3.1E-4 | 0.095613256 | 0.14975825 | 0.15008134 | 1.0021574 | 3.8E-4 |
6.2 | 9.4306815E-5 | 1.8243887E-4 | 3.5240786E-4 | 1.931649 | 1.7E-4 | 4.0410945E-4 | 7.8164786E-4 | 9.714993E-4 | 1.2428862 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0049089384 | 0.009475246 | 0.009722877 | 1.0261345 | 2.5E-4 | 0.048019063 | 0.0918565 | 0.09213803 | 1.0030649 | 3.1E-4 |
6.3 | 9.283051E-5 | 1.794041E-4 | 3.4937361E-4 | 1.9474114 | 1.7E-4 | 3.9778434E-4 | 7.686494E-4 | 9.5850334E-4 | 1.2469969 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0048322747 | 0.009318355 | 0.009566025 | 1.0265788 | 2.5E-4 | 0.047285385 | 0.090509474 | 0.09079141 | 1.003115 | 3.1E-4 |
6.4 | 9.138826E-5 | 1.7702584E-4 | 3.4699574E-4 | 1.9601418 | 1.7E-4 | 3.916052E-4 | 7.5846276E-4 | 9.3832624E-4 | 1.2371421 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0047573745 | 0.009195387 | 0.00943318 | 1.0258601 | 2.4E-4 | 0.046568092 | 0.0894136 | 0.08968677 | 1.0030552 | 3.0E-4 |
6.5 | 9.000255E-5 | 1.746064E-4 | 3.445767E-4 | 1.9734484 | 1.7E-4 | 3.8566816E-4 | 7.4809964E-4 | 9.27965E-4 | 1.2404296 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0046854047 | 0.009070284 | 0.009308107 | 1.0262201 | 2.4E-4 | 0.045878403 | 0.08829608 | 0.08856959 | 1.0030977 | 3.0E-4 |
6.6 | 8.8109264E-5 | 1.7141816E-4 | 3.41389E-4 | 1.9915569 | 1.7E-4 | 3.7755648E-4 | 7.3444354E-4 | 9.143113E-4 | 1.2449036 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0045870654 | 0.008905404 | 0.009143267 | 1.0267099 | 2.4E-4 | 0.04493529 | 0.08682707 | 0.08710103 | 1.0031551 | 3.0E-4 |
6.7 | 8.738073E-5 | 1.7008898E-4 | 3.4006007E-4 | 1.9993068 | 1.7E-4 | 3.7443507E-4 | 7.287503E-4 | 9.0861914E-4 | 1.2468182 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0045492216 | 0.008836695 | 0.009074574 | 1.0269195 | 2.4E-4 | 0.04457213 | 0.0862268 | 0.08650093 | 1.0031792 | 3.0E-4 |
6.8 | 8.710195E-5 | 1.6954402E-4 | 3.395152E-4 | 2.0025194 | 1.7E-4 | 3.7324068E-4 | 7.26416E-4 | 9.0628525E-4 | 1.2476119 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0045347405 | 0.008808513 | 0.009046399 | 1.0270064 | 2.4E-4 | 0.04443313 | 0.08597436 | 0.08624857 | 1.0031894 | 3.0E-4 |
6.9 | 8.6801556E-5 | 1.6895356E-4 | 3.3892484E-4 | 2.0060236 | 1.7E-4 | 3.7195362E-4 | 7.238869E-4 | 9.037566E-4 | 1.2484776 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0045191357 | 0.0087779695 | 0.009015863 | 1.0271012 | 2.4E-4 | 0.044283327 | 0.08570042 | 0.08597471 | 1.0032005 | 3.0E-4 |
7.0 | 8.5571606E-5 | 1.664819E-4 | 3.364536E-4 | 2.020962 | 1.7E-4 | 3.6668387E-4 | 7.132999E-4 | 8.931715E-4 | 1.2521683 | 1.8E-4 | 0.004455241 | 0.008650103 | 0.008888027 | 1.0275053 | 2.4E-4 | 0.043669727 | 0.08454836 | 0.084823 | 1.0032482 | 3.0E-4 |
7.1 | 7.82589E-5 | 1.5128969E-4 | 3.2126397E-4 | 2.1235023 | 1.7E-4 | 3.3535215E-4 | 6.4822397E-4 | 8.281073E-4 | 1.2775018 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0040752706 | 0.007863738 | 0.008101851 | 1.0302799 | 2.4E-4 | 0.040013418 | 0.077460445 | 0.07772798 | 1.0034539 | 2.9E-4 |
7.2 | 7.690929E-5 | 1.4866212E-4 | 3.1863686E-4 | 2.1433628 | 1.7E-4 | 3.2956956E-4 | 6.369685E-4 | 8.1685383E-4 | 1.2824086 | 1.8E-4 | 0.004005129 | 0.0077276826 | 0.007965828 | 1.0308172 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0393371 | 0.07623341 | 0.0765013 | 1.003514 | 2.9E-4 |
7.3 | 7.5543794E-5 | 1.4562748E-4 | 3.1560272E-4 | 2.1671922 | 1.7E-4 | 3.2371894E-4 | 6.239692E-4 | 8.038569E-4 | 1.2882957 | 1.8E-4 | 0.003934157 | 0.0075705256 | 0.007808709 | 1.0314618 | 2.4E-4 | 0.038652334 | 0.07479777 | 0.07506608 | 1.0035871 | 2.9E-4 |
7.4 | 7.4214564E-5 | 1.4263717E-4 | 3.1261292E-4 | 2.1916652 | 1.7E-4 | 3.1802364E-4 | 6.1115966E-4 | 7.910497E-4 | 1.294342 | 1.8E-4 | 0.003865065 | 0.0074156416 | 0.007653862 | 1.032124 | 2.4E-4 | 0.03798529 | 0.07337152 | 0.07364025 | 1.0036625 | 2.9E-4 |
7.5 | 6.149578E-5 | 1.1191443E-4 | 2.818954E-4 | 2.5188477 | 1.7E-4 | 2.6352672E-4 | 4.795452E-4 | 6.5945886E-4 | 1.3751756 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0032037178 | 0.005822865 | 0.0060515255 | 1.0392694 | 2.3E-4 | 0.03157923 | 0.058559462 | 0.058813654 | 1.0043406 | 2.7E-4 |
7.6 | 6.0643448E-5 | 1.102009E-4 | 2.8018217E-4 | 2.542467 | 1.7E-4 | 2.598746E-4 | 4.7220418E-4 | 6.5211917E-4 | 1.381011 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0031593828 | 0.005733962 | 0.0059626433 | 1.0398818 | 2.3E-4 | 0.031148417 | 0.05772042 | 0.057974834 | 1.0044078 | 2.7E-4 |
7.7 | 5.1652263E-5 | 9.175265E-5 | 2.0174256E-4 | 2.1987655 | 1.1E-4 | 2.2134806E-4 | 3.9316638E-4 | 5.131192E-4 | 1.3050942 | 1.2E-4 | 0.002691582 | 0.0047763046 | 0.0049355403 | 1.0333387 | 1.6E-4 | 0.026592141 | 0.04853641 | 0.048717186 | 1.0037246 | 1.9E-4 |
7.8 | 4.8090482E-5 | 8.560165E-5 | 1.9559223E-4 | 2.2849119 | 1.1E-4 | 2.060858E-4 | 3.6681266E-4 | 4.8676864E-4 | 1.3270224 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0025062072 | 0.004456807 | 0.004616094 | 1.0357401 | 1.6E-4 | 0.024781305 | 0.045302264 | 0.04548366 | 1.004004 | 1.9E-4 |
7.9 | 3.970278E-5 | 6.7507375E-5 | 1.4750197E-4 | 2.1849756 | 8.0E-5 | 1.7014367E-4 | 2.8928524E-4 | 3.692621E-4 | 1.2764636 | 8.0E-5 | 0.002069531 | 0.0035163634 | 0.0036359415 | 1.0340061 | 1.2E-4 | 0.020503636 | 0.03588176 | 0.036026377 | 1.0040303 | 1.5E-4 |
8.0 | 2.8982335E-5 | 4.0698153E-5 | 7.069693E-5 | 1.7371042 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2420409E-4 | 1.7440901E-4 | 2.0440377E-4 | 1.1719794 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015111357 | 0.0021213628 | 0.0021812355 | 1.0282238 | 6.0E-5 | 0.015009012 | 0.02201118 | 0.02206986 | 1.0026659 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.8836186E-5 | 1.867974E-5 | 2.8679553E-5 | 1.5353293 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0724014E-5 | 8.005358E-5 | 9.0052774E-5 | 1.1249063 | 1.0E-5 | 9.823717E-4 | 9.742171E-4 | 9.842074E-4 | 1.0102546 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009780403 | 0.010487711 | 0.010497605 | 1.0009435 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032481793 | 0.0032481793 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6564595E-7 | 7.6564595E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9949547E-5 | 3.9949547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.717979E-4 | 4.717979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3384395E-4 | 6.137551E-4 | 2.6246352 | 3.8E-4 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010018025 | 0.0014913116 | 1.4886284 | 4.9E-4 | 0.004329778 | 0.012128622 | 0.012731223 | 1.0496843 | 6.1E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.11258187 | 0.11321194 | 1.0055965 | 7.1E-4 |
6.1 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3384395E-4 | 6.137551E-4 | 2.6246352 | 3.8E-4 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010018025 | 0.0014913116 | 1.4886284 | 4.9E-4 | 0.004329778 | 0.012128622 | 0.012731223 | 1.0496843 | 6.1E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.11258187 | 0.11321194 | 1.0055965 | 7.1E-4 |
6.2 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3384395E-4 | 6.137551E-4 | 2.6246352 | 3.8E-4 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010018025 | 0.0014913116 | 1.4886284 | 4.9E-4 | 0.004329778 | 0.012128622 | 0.012731223 | 1.0496843 | 6.1E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.11258187 | 0.11321194 | 1.0055965 | 7.1E-4 |
6.3 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3384395E-4 | 6.137551E-4 | 2.6246352 | 3.8E-4 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010018025 | 0.0014913116 | 1.4886284 | 4.9E-4 | 0.004329778 | 0.012128622 | 0.012731223 | 1.0496843 | 6.1E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.11258187 | 0.11321194 | 1.0055965 | 7.1E-4 |
6.4 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.2941893E-4 | 5.99334E-4 | 2.6124 | 3.7E-4 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.828559E-4 | 0.0014623842 | 1.4878926 | 4.8E-4 | 0.0041964394 | 0.011900819 | 0.012493678 | 1.0498167 | 6.0E-4 | 0.041180745 | 0.110562965 | 0.11118557 | 1.0056312 | 7.0E-4 |
6.5 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.2941893E-4 | 5.99334E-4 | 2.6124 | 3.7E-4 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.828559E-4 | 0.0014623842 | 1.4878926 | 4.8E-4 | 0.0041964394 | 0.011900819 | 0.012493678 | 1.0498167 | 6.0E-4 | 0.041180745 | 0.110562965 | 0.11118557 | 1.0056312 | 7.0E-4 |
6.6 | 7.619237E-5 | 2.2186468E-4 | 5.9178256E-4 | 2.6673133 | 3.7E-4 | 3.2649786E-4 | 9.5050444E-4 | 0.0014300481 | 1.504515 | 4.8E-4 | 0.0039678677 | 0.0115115335 | 0.012104627 | 1.0515217 | 6.0E-4 | 0.03897764 | 0.10709954 | 0.10772457 | 1.005836 | 7.0E-4 |
6.7 | 7.440636E-5 | 2.1862281E-4 | 5.885419E-4 | 2.6920426 | 3.7E-4 | 3.188454E-4 | 9.3662075E-4 | 0.0014161712 | 1.5120007 | 4.8E-4 | 0.0038750346 | 0.011344268 | 0.011937462 | 1.0522902 | 6.0E-4 | 0.038081564 | 0.1056081 | 0.10623418 | 1.0059283 | 7.0E-4 |
6.8 | 7.3735864E-5 | 2.1709445E-4 | 5.8701413E-4 | 2.7039573 | 3.7E-4 | 3.1597257E-4 | 9.300753E-4 | 0.0014096289 | 1.5156072 | 4.8E-4 | 0.0038401815 | 0.011265406 | 0.011858648 | 1.0526603 | 6.0E-4 | 0.03774495 | 0.104909696 | 0.10553626 | 1.0059724 | 7.0E-4 |
6.9 | 7.27575E-5 | 2.1478413E-4 | 5.847047E-4 | 2.7222898 | 3.7E-4 | 3.117806E-4 | 9.20181E-4 | 0.0013897485 | 1.5102991 | 4.7E-4 | 0.003789323 | 0.011146182 | 0.0117296055 | 1.0523429 | 5.9E-4 | 0.037253562 | 0.10385753 | 0.10447587 | 1.0059537 | 6.9E-4 |
7.0 | 7.102591E-5 | 2.1062451E-4 | 5.8054656E-4 | 2.7563107 | 3.7E-4 | 3.0436125E-4 | 9.023664E-4 | 0.0013619513 | 1.5093107 | 4.6E-4 | 0.003699303 | 0.010931484 | 0.011505144 | 1.0524777 | 5.8E-4 | 0.03638325 | 0.101959534 | 0.10256122 | 1.0059012 | 6.7E-4 |
7.1 | 7.028513E-5 | 2.0898094E-4 | 5.789036E-4 | 2.7701263 | 3.7E-4 | 3.0118722E-4 | 8.953274E-4 | 0.0013549156 | 1.5133185 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0036607897 | 0.010846641 | 0.01142035 | 1.0528928 | 5.8E-4 | 0.036010686 | 0.10120243 | 0.10180463 | 1.0059505 | 6.7E-4 |
7.2 | 6.8498244E-5 | 2.050596E-4 | 5.649858E-4 | 2.755227 | 3.6E-4 | 2.9353087E-4 | 8.7853306E-4 | 0.0013281377 | 1.5117675 | 4.5E-4 | 0.003567883 | 0.0106441835 | 0.011208116 | 1.0529804 | 5.7E-4 | 0.035111405 | 0.09939449 | 0.099979885 | 1.0058897 | 6.5E-4 |
7.3 | 6.622592E-5 | 1.9733235E-4 | 5.5726134E-4 | 2.8239734 | 3.6E-4 | 2.8379448E-4 | 8.4543816E-4 | 0.0012950577 | 1.5318184 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0034497243 | 0.010245111 | 0.010809271 | 1.0550663 | 5.7E-4 | 0.033966612 | 0.095891245 | 0.09647892 | 1.0061285 | 6.5E-4 |
7.4 | 5.1050705E-5 | 1.4690042E-4 | 4.668534E-4 | 3.1780264 | 3.2E-4 | 2.1877038E-4 | 6.294222E-4 | 0.0010291705 | 1.6351035 | 4.0E-4 | 0.002660276 | 0.007636482 | 0.008152511 | 1.0675741 | 5.2E-4 | 0.02628654 | 0.07286554 | 0.07342182 | 1.0076344 | 6.0E-4 |
7.5 | 3.9302922E-5 | 1.11307076E-4 | 4.1127368E-4 | 3.6949465 | 3.0E-4 | 1.6843023E-4 | 4.7694342E-4 | 8.5676217E-4 | 1.7963603 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0020487092 | 0.0057913954 | 0.0062686154 | 1.0824016 | 4.8E-4 | 0.020299247 | 0.05601151 | 0.056540143 | 1.0094379 | 5.6E-4 |
7.6 | 2.9851626E-5 | 8.4956984E-5 | 3.7493234E-4 | 4.4132023 | 2.9E-4 | 1.2792926E-4 | 3.6405068E-4 | 7.239196E-4 | 1.9885134 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0015564259 | 0.0044233347 | 0.0048813 | 1.103534 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0154556995 | 0.043196145 | 0.04371282 | 1.0119611 | 5.4E-4 |
7.7 | 2.1135214E-5 | 6.353527E-5 | 3.5351684E-4 | 5.564104 | 2.9E-4 | 9.0576345E-5 | 2.722656E-4 | 6.321676E-4 | 2.3218782 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0011022091 | 0.0033098008 | 0.0037583113 | 1.1355098 | 4.5E-4 | 0.010967582 | 0.03258456 | 0.03309729 | 1.0157354 | 5.3E-4 |
7.8 | 1.883379E-5 | 5.564576E-5 | 3.456296E-4 | 6.211248 | 2.9E-4 | 8.0713755E-5 | 2.3846005E-4 | 5.883766E-4 | 2.467401 | 3.5E-4 | 9.822468E-4 | 0.002899389 | 0.0033381134 | 1.1513162 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0097791655 | 0.028696978 | 0.029202055 | 1.0176004 | 5.2E-4 |
7.9 | 1.5156185E-5 | 4.1662403E-5 | 3.1165115E-4 | 7.480393 | 2.7E-4 | 6.495346E-5 | 1.7854095E-4 | 5.0848204E-4 | 2.8479855 | 3.3E-4 | 7.9052144E-4 | 0.0021715704 | 0.0025906584 | 1.1929884 | 4.2E-4 | 0.007877152 | 0.021760946 | 0.0222305 | 1.0215778 | 4.8E-4 |
8.0 | 1.1405907E-5 | 2.9976925E-5 | 1.9997184E-4 | 6.6708584 | 1.7E-4 | 4.8881542E-5 | 1.2846621E-4 | 3.3843925E-4 | 2.634461 | 2.1E-4 | 5.9497025E-4 | 0.0015629551 | 0.001832533 | 1.1724796 | 2.7E-4 | 0.005933798 | 0.015774013 | 0.016088964 | 1.0199665 | 3.2E-4 |
8.1 | 4.3511436E-6 | 7.369465E-6 | 7.369465E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8647626E-5 | 3.158304E-5 | 3.158304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2701119E-4 | 3.844558E-4 | 3.844558E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022677942 | 0.0041165445 | 0.0041165445 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.3042528E-6 | 2.7328301E-6 | 2.7328301E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.875332E-6 | 1.1712076E-5 | 1.1712076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2022553E-4 | 1.4258524E-4 | 1.4258524E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012016051 | 0.0015979637 | 0.0015979637 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.202968E-7 | 3.1590292E-7 | 3.1590292E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2298414E-6 | 1.353869E-6 | 1.353869E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.714798E-5 | 1.6483244E-5 | 1.6483244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7144665E-4 | 1.955901E-4 | 1.955901E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Manix-Afton Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.47110895E-5 | 2.9470696E-4 | 20.03298 | 2.8E-4 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.30461E-5 | 4.8301963E-4 | 7.6613717 | 4.2E-4 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.6733343E-4 | 0.0013269037 | 1.7292401 | 5.6E-4 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007648596 | 0.008323395 | 1.0882252 | 6.8E-4 |
6.1 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.47110895E-5 | 2.9470696E-4 | 20.03298 | 2.8E-4 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.30461E-5 | 4.8301963E-4 | 7.6613717 | 4.2E-4 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.6733343E-4 | 0.0013269037 | 1.7292401 | 5.6E-4 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007648596 | 0.008323395 | 1.0882252 | 6.8E-4 |
6.2 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.47110895E-5 | 2.9470696E-4 | 20.03298 | 2.8E-4 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.30461E-5 | 4.8301963E-4 | 7.6613717 | 4.2E-4 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.6733343E-4 | 0.0013269037 | 1.7292401 | 5.6E-4 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007648596 | 0.008323395 | 1.0882252 | 6.8E-4 |
6.3 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1793136E-5 | 2.2179066E-4 | 18.806759 | 2.1E-4 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.054109E-5 | 3.805244E-4 | 7.529011 | 3.3E-4 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.151744E-4 | 0.0010549037 | 1.7148043 | 4.4E-4 | 0.005748908 | 0.0061357557 | 0.006672442 | 1.0874687 | 5.4E-4 |
6.4 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1793136E-5 | 2.2179066E-4 | 18.806759 | 2.1E-4 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.054109E-5 | 3.805244E-4 | 7.529011 | 3.3E-4 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.151744E-4 | 0.0010549037 | 1.7148043 | 4.4E-4 | 0.005748908 | 0.0061357557 | 0.006672442 | 1.0874687 | 5.4E-4 |
6.5 | 9.788949E-6 | 1.045432E-5 | 2.1045223E-4 | 20.130648 | 2.0E-4 | 4.1951964E-5 | 4.480351E-5 | 3.4479008E-4 | 7.695604 | 3.0E-4 | 5.1064545E-4 | 5.453555E-4 | 9.2514826E-4 | 1.6964132 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0050947363 | 0.0054410985 | 0.005898596 | 1.0840818 | 4.6E-4 |
6.6 | 8.810006E-6 | 9.4136285E-6 | 1.7941203E-4 | 19.058754 | 1.7E-4 | 3.775662E-5 | 4.0343548E-5 | 2.9033347E-4 | 7.196528 | 2.5E-4 | 4.5958988E-4 | 4.9108086E-4 | 8.109237E-4 | 1.6513039 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0045864056 | 0.004900839 | 0.005298879 | 1.0812187 | 4.0E-4 |
6.7 | 8.80128E-6 | 9.404108E-6 | 1.7940252E-4 | 19.077036 | 1.7E-4 | 3.7719226E-5 | 4.0302748E-5 | 2.9029266E-4 | 7.202801 | 2.5E-4 | 4.591348E-4 | 4.9058435E-4 | 8.1042736E-4 | 1.6519634 | 3.2E-4 | 0.004581874 | 0.0048958957 | 0.0052939374 | 1.0813011 | 4.0E-4 |
6.8 | 6.8994877E-6 | 7.380076E-6 | 1.5737896E-4 | 21.324844 | 1.5E-4 | 2.9568899E-5 | 3.162856E-5 | 2.616213E-4 | 8.271679 | 2.3E-4 | 3.5994186E-4 | 3.8501783E-4 | 6.6491E-4 | 1.726959 | 2.8E-4 | 0.003593594 | 0.0038443129 | 0.0041929674 | 1.0906936 | 3.5E-4 |
6.9 | 4.9328037E-6 | 5.2709615E-6 | 1.2527032E-4 | 23.766125 | 1.2E-4 | 2.1140417E-5 | 2.2589675E-5 | 1.7258628E-4 | 7.6400523 | 1.5E-4 | 2.5735417E-4 | 2.7500073E-4 | 4.7494573E-4 | 1.7270708 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0025705635 | 0.0027472095 | 0.00298655 | 1.0871214 | 2.4E-4 |
7.0 | 3.347973E-6 | 3.59003E-6 | 9.3589704E-5 | 26.069338 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4348378E-5 | 1.5385775E-5 | 1.1538424E-4 | 7.49941 | 1.0E-4 | 1.746775E-4 | 1.8730981E-4 | 3.1728548E-4 | 1.6939073 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0017454025 | 0.0018719219 | 0.0020116598 | 1.0746495 | 1.4E-4 |
7.1 | 1.2073567E-6 | 1.293482E-6 | 3.1293443E-5 | 24.19318 | 3.0E-5 | 5.1743755E-6 | 5.543492E-6 | 3.5543326E-5 | 6.411721 | 3.0E-5 | 6.29962E-5 | 6.749156E-5 | 9.748953E-5 | 1.44447 | 3.0E-5 | 6.297835E-4 | 6.7487074E-4 | 7.048505E-4 | 1.044423 | 3.0E-5 |
Baker
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8348373E-6 | 2.7583327E-4 | 47.273514 | 2.7E-4 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5006228E-5 | 3.9499698E-4 | 15.795944 | 3.7E-4 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.044123E-4 | 8.24254E-4 | 2.7076895 | 5.2E-4 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030403486 | 0.0036484941 | 1.2000248 | 6.1E-4 |
6.1 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8348373E-6 | 2.7583327E-4 | 47.273514 | 2.7E-4 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5006228E-5 | 3.9499698E-4 | 15.795944 | 3.7E-4 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.044123E-4 | 8.24254E-4 | 2.7076895 | 5.2E-4 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030403486 | 0.0036484941 | 1.2000248 | 6.1E-4 |
6.2 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8348373E-6 | 2.7583327E-4 | 47.273514 | 2.7E-4 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5006228E-5 | 3.9499698E-4 | 15.795944 | 3.7E-4 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.044123E-4 | 8.24254E-4 | 2.7076895 | 5.2E-4 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030403486 | 0.0036484941 | 1.2000248 | 6.1E-4 |
6.3 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.383667E-6 | 1.9338302E-4 | 57.151905 | 1.9E-4 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.4501353E-5 | 2.7449758E-4 | 18.929102 | 2.6E-4 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.7654014E-4 | 5.164801E-4 | 2.9255676 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0017201907 | 0.001764046 | 0.0021932875 | 1.2433279 | 4.3E-4 |
6.4 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.383667E-6 | 1.9338302E-4 | 57.151905 | 1.9E-4 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.4501353E-5 | 2.7449758E-4 | 18.929102 | 2.6E-4 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.7654014E-4 | 5.164801E-4 | 2.9255676 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0017201907 | 0.001764046 | 0.0021932875 | 1.2433279 | 4.3E-4 |
6.5 | 2.782202E-6 | 2.8558404E-6 | 1.6285539E-4 | 57.02538 | 1.6E-4 | 1.1923668E-5 | 1.223926E-5 | 2.4223645E-4 | 19.791756 | 2.3E-4 | 1.4516099E-4 | 1.4900314E-4 | 4.5895696E-4 | 3.080183 | 3.1E-4 | 0.001450662 | 0.0014890651 | 0.0018784844 | 1.2615193 | 3.9E-4 |
6.6 | 2.3163404E-6 | 2.38092E-6 | 1.6238054E-4 | 68.20075 | 1.6E-4 | 9.927136E-6 | 1.0203904E-5 | 2.3020167E-4 | 22.560156 | 2.2E-4 | 1.20856166E-4 | 1.2422565E-4 | 4.0419088E-4 | 3.2536829 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0012079047 | 0.0012415823 | 0.0016011354 | 1.2895926 | 3.6E-4 |
6.7 | 2.037056E-6 | 2.0965003E-6 | 1.5209618E-4 | 72.54765 | 1.5E-4 | 8.7302105E-6 | 8.984972E-6 | 2.1898308E-4 | 24.37215 | 2.1E-4 | 1.0628513E-4 | 1.093867E-4 | 3.7935717E-4 | 3.4680374 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0010623431 | 0.0010933448 | 0.0014429621 | 1.3197687 | 3.5E-4 |
6.8 | 1.8356744E-6 | 1.8915287E-6 | 1.4189126E-4 | 75.01407 | 1.4E-4 | 7.867153E-6 | 8.106527E-6 | 1.9810499E-4 | 24.437714 | 1.9E-4 | 9.577837E-5 | 9.869264E-5 | 3.4866796E-4 | 3.532867 | 2.5E-4 | 9.57371E-4 | 9.86502E-4 | 0.0013161765 | 1.3341852 | 3.3E-4 |
6.9 | 1.6310546E-6 | 1.6832072E-6 | 1.3168299E-4 | 78.23338 | 1.3E-4 | 6.9902153E-6 | 7.213726E-6 | 1.8721243E-4 | 25.952251 | 1.8E-4 | 8.510255E-5 | 8.782368E-5 | 3.178035E-4 | 3.6186535 | 2.3E-4 | 8.5069967E-4 | 8.7790104E-4 | 0.0011776377 | 1.3414241 | 3.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.2058036E-6 | 1.2508665E-6 | 1.0125074E-4 | 80.94448 | 1.0E-4 | 5.1677193E-6 | 5.3608455E-6 | 1.453601E-4 | 27.115143 | 1.4E-4 | 6.291517E-5 | 6.5266366E-5 | 2.452546E-4 | 3.757749 | 1.8E-4 | 6.289736E-4 | 6.524743E-4 | 8.8232424E-4 | 1.3522743 | 2.3E-4 |
7.1 | 1.052382E-6 | 1.0951609E-6 | 1.0109505E-4 | 92.310684 | 1.0E-4 | 4.5102006E-6 | 4.693538E-6 | 1.3469293E-4 | 28.697525 | 1.3E-4 | 5.491031E-5 | 5.7142337E-5 | 2.2713262E-4 | 3.974857 | 1.7E-4 | 5.4896745E-4 | 5.7127734E-4 | 7.8115735E-4 | 1.3673873 | 2.1E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0067454E-6 | 1.0487711E-6 | 1.0104867E-4 | 96.349594 | 1.0E-4 | 4.3146156E-6 | 4.4947255E-6 | 1.3449414E-4 | 29.92266 | 1.3E-4 | 5.252918E-5 | 5.4721917E-5 | 2.1471316E-4 | 3.9237142 | 1.6E-4 | 5.251676E-4 | 5.470853E-4 | 7.469759E-4 | 1.3653737 | 2.0E-4 |
7.3 | 9.3596316E-7 | 9.767723E-7 | 6.0976712E-5 | 62.426743 | 6.0E-5 | 4.0112645E-6 | 4.1861604E-6 | 8.418583E-5 | 20.11051 | 8.0E-5 | 4.8836053E-5 | 5.096532E-5 | 1.6095971E-4 | 3.1582205 | 1.1E-4 | 4.8825322E-4 | 5.095371E-4 | 6.494658E-4 | 1.2746192 | 1.4E-4 |
7.4 | 8.8117395E-7 | 9.2076635E-7 | 4.0920728E-5 | 44.442036 | 4.0E-5 | 3.7764542E-6 | 3.9461356E-6 | 6.3945896E-5 | 16.204689 | 6.0E-5 | 4.5977362E-5 | 4.8043148E-5 | 1.3803883E-4 | 2.873226 | 9.0E-5 | 4.596785E-4 | 4.8032837E-4 | 5.9027557E-4 | 1.2289 | 1.1E-4 |
7.5 | 8.292386E-7 | 8.6745956E-7 | 4.0867424E-5 | 47.111618 | 4.0E-5 | 3.5538749E-6 | 3.7176785E-6 | 6.371745E-5 | 17.139044 | 6.0E-5 | 4.326757E-5 | 4.5261804E-5 | 1.3525772E-4 | 2.9883416 | 9.0E-5 | 4.3259145E-4 | 4.5252658E-4 | 5.624768E-4 | 1.2429696 | 1.1E-4 |
7.6 | 7.553842E-7 | 7.9144706E-7 | 2.079143E-5 | 26.270147 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2373566E-6 | 3.3919116E-6 | 4.3391778E-5 | 12.79272 | 4.0E-5 | 3.9414106E-5 | 4.129575E-5 | 1.1129286E-4 | 2.6950197 | 7.0E-5 | 3.9407116E-4 | 4.1288146E-4 | 4.928484E-4 | 1.1936802 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.5285366E-7 | 6.852797E-7 | 1.0685273E-5 | 15.592572 | 1.0E-5 | 2.797941E-6 | 2.9369096E-6 | 3.2936823E-5 | 11.214789 | 3.0E-5 | 3.40644E-5 | 3.5756293E-5 | 8.575451E-5 | 2.3983052 | 5.0E-5 | 3.405918E-4 | 3.5750607E-4 | 4.1748464E-4 | 1.1677693 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6482615E-7 | 3.6482615E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635396E-6 | 1.5635396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9035933E-5 | 3.9035553E-5 | 2.0506246 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9034347E-4 | 2.2033777E-4 | 1.1575798 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ludlow
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3657254E-5 | 2.5365182E-4 | 10.721947 | 2.3E-4 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.0138454E-4 | 4.6134804E-4 | 4.5504775 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0011685267 | 0.001233702 | 0.0017430728 | 1.41288 | 5.1E-4 | 0.011624013 | 0.012273042 | 0.0128360465 | 1.0458733 | 5.7E-4 |
6.1 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3657254E-5 | 2.5365182E-4 | 10.721947 | 2.3E-4 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.0138454E-4 | 4.6134804E-4 | 4.5504775 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0011685267 | 0.001233702 | 0.0017430728 | 1.41288 | 5.1E-4 | 0.011624013 | 0.012273042 | 0.0128360465 | 1.0458733 | 5.7E-4 |
6.2 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1365663E-5 | 1.1136453E-4 | 9.79833 | 1.0E-4 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.8709102E-5 | 1.8870228E-4 | 3.8740664 | 1.4E-4 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.9287593E-4 | 7.827633E-4 | 1.3202817 | 1.9E-4 | 0.00560974 | 0.0059133614 | 0.006151942 | 1.040346 | 2.4E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1365663E-5 | 1.1136453E-4 | 9.79833 | 1.0E-4 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.8709102E-5 | 1.8870228E-4 | 3.8740664 | 1.4E-4 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.9287593E-4 | 7.827633E-4 | 1.3202817 | 1.9E-4 | 0.00560974 | 0.0059133614 | 0.006151942 | 1.040346 | 2.4E-4 |
6.4 | 7.814439E-6 | 8.237729E-6 | 8.823707E-5 | 10.711334 | 8.0E-5 | 3.3490025E-5 | 3.530408E-5 | 1.453002E-4 | 4.115677 | 1.1E-4 | 4.0766477E-4 | 4.2974384E-4 | 5.5968796E-4 | 1.3023758 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0040691774 | 0.0042892746 | 0.0044685025 | 1.0417851 | 1.8E-4 |
6.5 | 6.4986366E-6 | 6.85092E-6 | 8.685037E-5 | 12.677184 | 8.0E-5 | 2.7851002E-5 | 2.9360759E-5 | 1.3935752E-4 | 4.746387 | 1.1E-4 | 3.390332E-4 | 3.5740953E-4 | 4.7736664E-4 | 1.3356293 | 1.2E-4 | 0.003385164 | 0.0035684432 | 0.0037278724 | 1.0446775 | 1.6E-4 |
6.6 | 5.582177E-6 | 5.8860055E-6 | 5.588571E-5 | 9.494676 | 5.0E-5 | 2.3923398E-5 | 2.5225498E-5 | 1.0522348E-4 | 4.1713142 | 8.0E-5 | 2.9122844E-4 | 3.0707786E-4 | 3.9705023E-4 | 1.2929952 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0029084706 | 0.003066609 | 0.0031762714 | 1.0357603 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 4.6858763E-6 | 4.940427E-6 | 5.494018E-5 | 11.120532 | 5.0E-5 | 2.0082172E-5 | 2.1173091E-5 | 1.011714E-4 | 4.778301 | 8.0E-5 | 2.4447302E-4 | 2.5775246E-4 | 3.4772925E-4 | 1.3490822 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0024420423 | 0.0025745912 | 0.0026743338 | 1.0387411 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 3.5584908E-6 | 3.7520183E-6 | 5.375183E-5 | 14.326111 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5250586E-5 | 1.6079981E-5 | 9.607869E-5 | 5.97505 | 8.0E-5 | 1.8566006E-4 | 1.957566E-4 | 2.85739E-4 | 1.4596646 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0018550502 | 0.0019558826 | 0.0020457066 | 1.045925 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.532834E-6 | 2.6710034E-6 | 3.2670923E-5 | 12.231704 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0854958E-5 | 1.1447109E-5 | 7.144642E-5 | 6.241438 | 6.0E-5 | 1.3215111E-4 | 1.3935992E-4 | 2.0935017E-4 | 1.5022265 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0013207254 | 0.0013927529 | 0.0014626554 | 1.0501902 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7083285E-6 | 1.8019439E-6 | 1.1801926E-5 | 6.5495524 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3213873E-6 | 7.722595E-6 | 4.7722286E-5 | 6.1795664 | 4.0E-5 | 8.913424E-5 | 9.40187E-5 | 1.3401493E-4 | 1.4254073 | 4.0E-5 | 8.9098496E-4 | 9.3980576E-4 | 9.797681E-4 | 1.042522 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1497619E-6 | 1.114975E-5 | 9.697442 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.9275427E-6 | 4.4927347E-5 | 9.117597 | 4.0E-5 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.999128E-5 | 9.998888E-5 | 1.6667236 | 4.0E-5 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.997606E-4 | 6.3973665E-4 | 1.0666533 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.387277E-7 | 1.06387215E-5 | 16.656113 | 1.0E-5 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7374022E-6 | 1.2737375E-5 | 4.6530886 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3327433E-5 | 4.3327098E-5 | 1.3000431 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.3323118E-4 | 3.4322785E-4 | 1.0299993 | 1.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4324407E-4 | 6.131541E-4 | 2.520736 | 3.7E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010420597 | 0.0014616221 | 1.402628 | 4.2E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.012613757 | 0.013097576 | 1.0383564 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.120640226 | 0.12116784 | 1.0043734 | 6.0E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4324407E-4 | 6.131541E-4 | 2.520736 | 3.7E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010420597 | 0.0014616221 | 1.402628 | 4.2E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.012613757 | 0.013097576 | 1.0383564 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.120640226 | 0.12116784 | 1.0043734 | 6.0E-4 |
6.2 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4324407E-4 | 6.131541E-4 | 2.520736 | 3.7E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010420597 | 0.0014616221 | 1.402628 | 4.2E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.012613757 | 0.013097576 | 1.0383564 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.120640226 | 0.12116784 | 1.0043734 | 6.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4324407E-4 | 6.131541E-4 | 2.520736 | 3.7E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010420597 | 0.0014616221 | 1.402628 | 4.2E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.012613757 | 0.013097576 | 1.0383564 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.120640226 | 0.12116784 | 1.0043734 | 6.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4324407E-4 | 6.131541E-4 | 2.520736 | 3.7E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010420597 | 0.0014616221 | 1.402628 | 4.2E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.012613757 | 0.013097576 | 1.0383564 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.120640226 | 0.12116784 | 1.0043734 | 6.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.3644442E-4 | 5.863617E-4 | 2.4799132 | 3.5E-4 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010129412 | 0.001412536 | 1.3944896 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012263271 | 0.012727507 | 1.0378559 | 4.7E-4 | 0.057327334 | 0.11761008 | 0.11812187 | 1.0043515 | 5.8E-4 |
6.6 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.3644442E-4 | 5.863617E-4 | 2.4799132 | 3.5E-4 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010129412 | 0.001412536 | 1.3944896 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012263271 | 0.012727507 | 1.0378559 | 4.7E-4 | 0.057327334 | 0.11761008 | 0.11812187 | 1.0043515 | 5.8E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1149675E-4 | 2.3335687E-4 | 5.832752E-4 | 2.4994986 | 3.5E-4 | 4.777557E-4 | 9.997191E-4 | 0.0013993192 | 1.3997124 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0058011734 | 0.012104088 | 0.012568399 | 1.0383599 | 4.7E-4 | 0.05652051 | 0.1162291 | 0.11674169 | 1.0044101 | 5.8E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1103589E-4 | 2.3237852E-4 | 5.6230184E-4 | 2.419767 | 3.3E-4 | 4.7578133E-4 | 9.955293E-4 | 0.001375151 | 1.3813266 | 3.8E-4 | 0.005777263 | 0.012053643 | 0.012498219 | 1.0368831 | 4.5E-4 | 0.056293584 | 0.11578894 | 0.11627526 | 1.0042 | 5.5E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1053259E-4 | 2.3130233E-4 | 5.61226E-4 | 2.4263742 | 3.3E-4 | 4.7362508E-4 | 9.909206E-4 | 0.0013705441 | 1.3831018 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0057511497 | 0.011998152 | 0.012442753 | 1.0370557 | 4.5E-4 | 0.05604569 | 0.11530445 | 0.11579103 | 1.00422 | 5.5E-4 |
7.0 | 1.1005377E-4 | 2.3031076E-4 | 5.6023477E-4 | 2.4325166 | 3.3E-4 | 4.7157376E-4 | 9.866742E-4 | 0.0013662993 | 1.3847522 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0057263062 | 0.011947021 | 0.0123916445 | 1.0372163 | 4.5E-4 | 0.055809796 | 0.11485658 | 0.115343414 | 1.0042386 | 5.5E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0308142E-4 | 2.1540876E-4 | 5.1534415E-4 | 2.392401 | 3.0E-4 | 4.417027E-4 | 9.228548E-4 | 0.001262541 | 1.3680819 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0053644776 | 0.011178188 | 0.011583606 | 1.0362686 | 4.1E-4 | 0.052368138 | 0.10809042 | 0.108545296 | 1.0042083 | 5.1E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0027479E-4 | 2.094876E-4 | 5.094248E-4 | 2.4317658 | 3.0E-4 | 4.296783E-4 | 8.9749607E-4 | 0.0012371909 | 1.3784918 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0052187922 | 0.010872566 | 0.011278109 | 1.0372996 | 4.1E-4 | 0.050979212 | 0.10539086 | 0.10584711 | 1.0043291 | 5.1E-4 |
7.3 | 9.816942E-5 | 2.0423878E-4 | 5.0417753E-4 | 2.468569 | 3.0E-4 | 4.2065824E-4 | 8.7501644E-4 | 0.0012147189 | 1.3882241 | 3.4E-4 | 0.005109493 | 0.010601572 | 0.011007225 | 1.0382636 | 4.1E-4 | 0.049935985 | 0.10297546 | 0.10343294 | 1.0044427 | 5.1E-4 |
7.4 | 9.5634205E-5 | 1.9793298E-4 | 4.878756E-4 | 2.4648523 | 2.9E-4 | 4.0979648E-4 | 8.4800937E-4 | 0.0011777296 | 1.3888166 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0049778637 | 0.010275901 | 0.010671791 | 1.038526 | 4.0E-4 | 0.048678253 | 0.100067884 | 0.10051785 | 1.0044966 | 5.0E-4 |
7.5 | 8.052417E-5 | 1.6113915E-4 | 4.3109566E-4 | 2.6753004 | 2.7E-4 | 3.4505792E-4 | 6.9041376E-4 | 9.902066E-4 | 1.434222 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0041929903 | 0.008373471 | 0.008730457 | 1.0426329 | 3.6E-4 | 0.04114753 | 0.082815245 | 0.08322798 | 1.0049838 | 4.5E-4 |
7.6 | 7.897024E-5 | 1.5767086E-4 | 4.0763145E-4 | 2.5853314 | 2.5E-4 | 3.384E-4 | 6.755574E-4 | 9.553683E-4 | 1.4141926 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0041122385 | 0.00819397 | 0.008531184 | 1.0411539 | 3.4E-4 | 0.040369697 | 0.08115866 | 0.081553765 | 1.0048683 | 4.3E-4 |
7.7 | 6.707427E-5 | 1.3277122E-4 | 2.9275E-4 | 2.2049203 | 1.6E-4 | 2.8742946E-4 | 5.688955E-4 | 7.587874E-4 | 1.3337905 | 1.9E-4 | 0.003493839 | 0.0069043385 | 0.0071426816 | 1.0345207 | 2.4E-4 | 0.034394164 | 0.06905339 | 0.06934199 | 1.0041792 | 3.1E-4 |
7.8 | 6.147705E-5 | 1.2198445E-4 | 2.8196492E-4 | 2.3114827 | 1.6E-4 | 2.6344648E-4 | 5.226858E-4 | 7.125865E-4 | 1.3633171 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0032027436 | 0.006345156 | 0.0065836334 | 1.0375842 | 2.4E-4 | 0.031569764 | 0.0635172 | 0.063798144 | 1.0044231 | 3.0E-4 |
7.9 | 4.7636717E-5 | 8.8802946E-5 | 1.8879407E-4 | 2.1259887 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0414138E-4 | 3.8052857E-4 | 4.904867E-4 | 1.2889616 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0024825884 | 0.004623101 | 0.0047823614 | 1.0344489 | 1.6E-4 | 0.024550365 | 0.046629366 | 0.046829574 | 1.0042936 | 2.1E-4 |
8.0 | 3.3554235E-5 | 5.2138024E-5 | 1.0213542E-4 | 1.958943 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4379594E-4 | 2.2342955E-4 | 2.8341616E-4 | 1.268481 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0017493097 | 0.002716863 | 0.0028066186 | 1.0330365 | 9.0E-5 | 0.017356034 | 0.027881905 | 0.027969396 | 1.003138 | 9.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9175432E-5 | 1.9183564E-5 | 2.9183373E-5 | 1.5212696 | 1.0E-5 | 8.217783E-5 | 8.221269E-5 | 9.221186E-5 | 1.1216258 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010000558 | 0.0010004805 | 0.0010104704 | 1.0099852 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009955673 | 0.010757771 | 0.010767664 | 1.0009196 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032481793 | 0.0032481793 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6564595E-7 | 7.6564595E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9949547E-5 | 3.9949547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.717979E-4 | 4.717979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7265705E-5 | 2.7725482E-4 | 5.8658776 | 2.3E-4 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0255324E-4 | 5.2248844E-4 | 2.5795114 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024635606 | 0.002962329 | 1.2024583 | 5.0E-4 | 0.02000288 | 0.024388338 | 0.024944436 | 1.0228019 | 5.7E-4 |
6.1 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7265705E-5 | 2.7725482E-4 | 5.8658776 | 2.3E-4 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0255324E-4 | 5.2248844E-4 | 2.5795114 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024635606 | 0.002962329 | 1.2024583 | 5.0E-4 | 0.02000288 | 0.024388338 | 0.024944436 | 1.0228019 | 5.7E-4 |
6.2 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7265705E-5 | 2.7725482E-4 | 5.8658776 | 2.3E-4 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0255324E-4 | 5.2248844E-4 | 2.5795114 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024635606 | 0.002962329 | 1.2024583 | 5.0E-4 | 0.02000288 | 0.024388338 | 0.024944436 | 1.0228019 | 5.7E-4 |
6.3 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.360979E-5 | 2.6360207E-4 | 7.8430142 | 2.3E-4 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.4403443E-4 | 4.6398834E-4 | 3.221371 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0017522788 | 0.0022514027 | 1.2848427 | 5.0E-4 | 0.014687235 | 0.017391816 | 0.017951902 | 1.032204 | 5.7E-4 |
6.4 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.360979E-5 | 2.6360207E-4 | 7.8430142 | 2.3E-4 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.4403443E-4 | 4.6398834E-4 | 3.221371 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0017522788 | 0.0022514027 | 1.2848427 | 5.0E-4 | 0.014687235 | 0.017391816 | 0.017951902 | 1.032204 | 5.7E-4 |
6.5 | 2.4448687E-5 | 2.8607585E-5 | 2.58601E-4 | 9.039596 | 2.3E-4 | 1.0477588E-4 | 1.2259845E-4 | 4.4255922E-4 | 3.6098273 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0012748998 | 0.0014916616 | 0.0019909157 | 1.3346967 | 5.0E-4 | 0.012676105 | 0.014821392 | 0.015382944 | 1.0378879 | 5.7E-4 |
6.6 | 2.1298161E-5 | 2.4660083E-5 | 2.546544E-4 | 10.326584 | 2.3E-4 | 9.127464E-5 | 1.0568197E-4 | 4.2564815E-4 | 4.0276327 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0011107022 | 0.0012859512 | 0.0017853082 | 1.3883172 | 5.0E-4 | 0.011051672 | 0.01278853 | 0.013351241 | 1.0440012 | 5.7E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8959729E-5 | 2.1781027E-5 | 2.4177623E-4 | 11.100314 | 2.2E-4 | 8.125345E-5 | 9.334406E-5 | 4.0331512E-4 | 4.320737 | 3.1E-4 | 9.888117E-4 | 0.001135897 | 0.0016253404 | 1.4308871 | 4.9E-4 | 0.009844234 | 0.01130357 | 0.01185724 | 1.0489819 | 5.6E-4 |
6.8 | 1.6691629E-5 | 1.9018351E-5 | 2.3901417E-4 | 12.567554 | 2.2E-4 | 7.153359E-5 | 8.150477E-5 | 3.914795E-4 | 4.8031483 | 3.1E-4 | 8.7057345E-4 | 9.918857E-4 | 0.0014813996 | 1.4935186 | 4.9E-4 | 0.008671708 | 0.009876343 | 0.010430813 | 1.0561411 | 5.6E-4 |
6.9 | 1.450505E-5 | 1.638954E-5 | 2.263861E-4 | 13.81284 | 2.1E-4 | 6.216302E-5 | 7.0239046E-5 | 3.7021798E-4 | 5.2708287 | 3.0E-4 | 7.5657194E-4 | 8.5483363E-4 | 0.0013344233 | 1.5610328 | 4.8E-4 | 0.007540013 | 0.008516386 | 0.009061702 | 1.0640314 | 5.5E-4 |
7.0 | 1.2940855E-5 | 1.4537972E-5 | 2.2453492E-4 | 15.444721 | 2.1E-4 | 5.545963E-5 | 6.230414E-5 | 3.5228606E-4 | 5.6542964 | 2.9E-4 | 6.750118E-4 | 7.5829466E-4 | 0.0012279383 | 1.6193419 | 4.7E-4 | 0.006729651 | 0.0075576897 | 0.008093609 | 1.0709105 | 5.4E-4 |
7.1 | 1.2544658E-5 | 1.4078208E-5 | 2.2407525E-4 | 15.916462 | 2.1E-4 | 5.3761712E-5 | 6.0333812E-5 | 3.5031632E-4 | 5.8063016 | 2.9E-4 | 6.5435225E-4 | 7.343222E-4 | 0.0011939844 | 1.625968 | 4.6E-4 | 0.006524288 | 0.007319551 | 0.007845672 | 1.0718788 | 5.3E-4 |
7.2 | 1.2489416E-5 | 1.4015674E-5 | 2.2401274E-4 | 15.983015 | 2.1E-4 | 5.3524967E-5 | 6.0065824E-5 | 3.5004842E-4 | 5.827747 | 2.9E-4 | 6.514716E-4 | 7.310616E-4 | 0.0011907254 | 1.6287619 | 4.6E-4 | 0.006495651 | 0.0072871596 | 0.007813297 | 1.0722007 | 5.3E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2368307E-5 | 1.3879812E-5 | 2.238769E-4 | 16.129677 | 2.1E-4 | 5.3005948E-5 | 5.9483587E-5 | 3.4946634E-4 | 5.8750043 | 2.9E-4 | 6.451563E-4 | 7.2397763E-4 | 0.0011836446 | 1.6349188 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0064328653 | 0.007216782 | 0.0077429567 | 1.07291 | 5.3E-4 |
7.4 | 1.2161707E-5 | 1.36478675E-5 | 2.2364501E-4 | 16.386808 | 2.1E-4 | 5.212056E-5 | 5.8489582E-5 | 3.4847262E-4 | 5.957858 | 2.9E-4 | 6.3438306E-4 | 7.118836E-4 | 0.0011715562 | 1.6457131 | 4.6E-4 | 0.006325751 | 0.0070966207 | 0.0076228594 | 1.0741534 | 5.3E-4 |
7.5 | 1.1707948E-5 | 1.3145515E-5 | 2.2314275E-4 | 16.974821 | 2.1E-4 | 5.0175953E-5 | 5.6336736E-5 | 3.463204E-4 | 6.147328 | 2.9E-4 | 6.10721E-4 | 6.856895E-4 | 0.001145374 | 1.6703976 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0060904534 | 0.006836321 | 0.0073626977 | 1.076997 | 5.3E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0319538E-5 | 1.1579622E-5 | 2.0157742E-4 | 17.407944 | 1.9E-4 | 4.4225842E-5 | 4.9626036E-5 | 3.1961265E-4 | 6.440422 | 2.7E-4 | 5.383166E-4 | 6.040347E-4 | 0.001043769 | 1.727995 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0053701443 | 0.0060244603 | 0.006531388 | 1.0841448 | 5.1E-4 |
7.7 | 8.937764E-6 | 1.0022779E-5 | 1.9002098E-4 | 18.95891 | 1.8E-4 | 3.830414E-5 | 4.295409E-5 | 3.029429E-4 | 7.0527143 | 2.6E-4 | 4.6625308E-4 | 5.228456E-4 | 9.5262076E-4 | 1.8219925 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0046527605 | 0.005216664 | 0.005714056 | 1.0953467 | 5.0E-4 |
7.8 | 3.108007E-7 | 3.284654E-7 | 3.284654E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3320023E-6 | 1.407708E-6 | 1.407708E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6217007E-5 | 1.7138715E-5 | 3.7138372E-5 | 2.1669285 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6215823E-4 | 1.7137431E-4 | 2.0136917E-4 | 1.1750255 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Cholame) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.5205986E-4 | 5.719792E-4 | 2.2692196 | 3.2E-4 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0010798109 | 0.0014394223 | 1.3330317 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0063991086 | 0.013067958 | 0.013512077 | 1.0339854 | 4.5E-4 | 0.06217949 | 0.12438412 | 0.12488322 | 1.0040126 | 5.7E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.5205986E-4 | 5.719792E-4 | 2.2692196 | 3.2E-4 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0010798109 | 0.0014394223 | 1.3330317 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0063991086 | 0.013067958 | 0.013512077 | 1.0339854 | 4.5E-4 | 0.06217949 | 0.12438412 | 0.12488322 | 1.0040126 | 5.7E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2203569E-4 | 2.502277E-4 | 5.6015013E-4 | 2.2385616 | 3.1E-4 | 5.2290526E-4 | 0.0010719653 | 0.0014215901 | 1.3261532 | 3.5E-4 | 0.006347804 | 0.012973578 | 0.01340787 | 1.033475 | 4.4E-4 | 0.061695136 | 0.123571314 | 0.12406211 | 1.0039718 | 5.6E-4 |
6.3 | 1.2142645E-4 | 2.4908737E-4 | 5.590102E-4 | 2.2442331 | 3.1E-4 | 5.202953E-4 | 0.0010670823 | 0.0014167088 | 1.3276472 | 3.5E-4 | 0.006316212 | 0.012914834 | 0.013349151 | 1.0336293 | 4.4E-4 | 0.06139677 | 0.12306532 | 0.123556405 | 1.0039904 | 5.6E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1865206E-4 | 2.4414246E-4 | 5.540668E-4 | 2.2694404 | 3.1E-4 | 5.0840975E-4 | 0.0010459068 | 0.0013855512 | 1.3247367 | 3.4E-4 | 0.006172335 | 0.012660044 | 0.013084601 | 1.0335351 | 4.3E-4 | 0.060036868 | 0.12085904 | 0.12134257 | 1.0040008 | 5.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.17443946E-4 | 2.4207575E-4 | 5.520007E-4 | 2.2802808 | 3.1E-4 | 5.032341E-4 | 0.0010370566 | 0.001376704 | 1.327511 | 3.4E-4 | 0.006109677 | 0.012553536 | 0.012978138 | 1.0338233 | 4.3E-4 | 0.059444077 | 0.11993008 | 0.12041412 | 1.004036 | 5.5E-4 |
6.6 | 1.13579066E-4 | 2.3516564E-4 | 5.4509274E-4 | 2.3179097 | 3.1E-4 | 4.866766E-4 | 0.001007465 | 0.0013471225 | 1.3371407 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0059092017 | 0.012197345 | 0.012622099 | 1.0348235 | 4.3E-4 | 0.057545185 | 0.1168492 | 0.1173261 | 1.0040814 | 5.4E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1271412E-4 | 2.336088E-4 | 5.435364E-4 | 2.3266947 | 3.1E-4 | 4.829711E-4 | 0.001000798 | 0.0013404577 | 1.339389 | 3.4E-4 | 0.005864331 | 0.012117079 | 0.012541869 | 1.0350571 | 4.3E-4 | 0.057119697 | 0.11615275 | 0.11663003 | 1.004109 | 5.4E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1217975E-4 | 2.3249313E-4 | 5.324234E-4 | 2.2900608 | 3.0E-4 | 4.8068175E-4 | 9.960202E-4 | 0.0013256915 | 1.3309886 | 3.3E-4 | 0.005836608 | 0.012059555 | 0.01247449 | 1.0344071 | 4.2E-4 | 0.056856725 | 0.11565061 | 0.116110474 | 1.0039763 | 5.2E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1146753E-4 | 2.3098059E-4 | 5.309113E-4 | 2.2985106 | 3.0E-4 | 4.7763053E-4 | 9.895428E-4 | 0.0013192162 | 1.3331573 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0057996577 | 0.011981564 | 0.012396531 | 1.0346339 | 4.2E-4 | 0.056506127 | 0.11497027 | 0.11543048 | 1.0040029 | 5.2E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0965793E-4 | 2.2721413E-4 | 5.27146E-4 | 2.3200405 | 3.0E-4 | 4.698779E-4 | 9.734129E-4 | 0.0013030916 | 1.3386834 | 3.3E-4 | 0.005705768 | 0.011787324 | 0.012192491 | 1.0343732 | 4.1E-4 | 0.055614736 | 0.11327011 | 0.11372235 | 1.0039926 | 5.1E-4 |
7.1 | 9.927982E-5 | 2.0540332E-4 | 5.053417E-4 | 2.460241 | 3.0E-4 | 4.2541555E-4 | 8.8000396E-4 | 0.0012097136 | 1.3746684 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0051671406 | 0.010661708 | 0.011057444 | 1.0371175 | 4.0E-4 | 0.05048634 | 0.10336573 | 0.10380508 | 1.0042504 | 4.9E-4 |
7.2 | 9.696786E-5 | 2.0044584E-4 | 5.003857E-4 | 2.4963636 | 3.0E-4 | 4.1551032E-4 | 8.587718E-4 | 0.0011884883 | 1.3839397 | 3.3E-4 | 0.00504711 | 0.010405703 | 0.010801542 | 1.0380404 | 4.0E-4 | 0.04934009 | 0.10110233 | 0.10154279 | 1.0043566 | 4.9E-4 |
7.3 | 9.4727984E-5 | 1.9473763E-4 | 4.946792E-4 | 2.5402343 | 3.0E-4 | 4.0591392E-4 | 8.343239E-4 | 0.0011640486 | 1.3951999 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0049308087 | 0.010110851 | 0.010506807 | 1.0391614 | 4.0E-4 | 0.048228268 | 0.09847412 | 0.09891587 | 1.004486 | 4.9E-4 |
7.4 | 9.220358E-5 | 1.8844259E-4 | 4.7838793E-4 | 2.5386403 | 2.9E-4 | 3.9509835E-4 | 8.07362E-4 | 0.0011271037 | 1.3960326 | 3.2E-4 | 0.004799717 | 0.009785578 | 0.010171761 | 1.0394646 | 3.9E-4 | 0.046973653 | 0.09555831 | 0.09599244 | 1.0045431 | 4.8E-4 |
7.5 | 7.71631E-5 | 1.5179155E-4 | 4.2175056E-4 | 2.778485 | 2.7E-4 | 3.306571E-4 | 6.5037323E-4 | 9.501781E-4 | 1.4609736 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0040183207 | 0.007889617 | 0.008246777 | 1.0452696 | 3.6E-4 | 0.03946433 | 0.078289196 | 0.07869475 | 1.0051802 | 4.4E-4 |
7.6 | 7.5634416E-5 | 1.4838556E-4 | 3.9834846E-4 | 2.68455 | 2.5E-4 | 3.241072E-4 | 6.357833E-4 | 9.156053E-4 | 1.4401217 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0039388672 | 0.007713256 | 0.008050634 | 1.0437399 | 3.4E-4 | 0.038697794 | 0.076654874 | 0.077042684 | 1.0050591 | 4.2E-4 |
7.7 | 6.3783E-5 | 1.2359623E-4 | 2.8357646E-4 | 2.2943778 | 1.6E-4 | 2.7332708E-4 | 5.2959064E-4 | 7.1949E-4 | 1.3585777 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0033226798 | 0.0064287307 | 0.0066671874 | 1.0370924 | 2.4E-4 | 0.032734364 | 0.06454488 | 0.06482551 | 1.0043479 | 3.0E-4 |
7.8 | 5.863422E-5 | 1.14169685E-4 | 2.7415142E-4 | 2.4012628 | 1.6E-4 | 2.512653E-4 | 4.892069E-4 | 6.79114E-4 | 1.3881937 | 1.9E-4 | 0.003054864 | 0.0059398497 | 0.0061784238 | 1.0401651 | 2.4E-4 | 0.030132094 | 0.05966162 | 0.059934318 | 1.0045707 | 2.9E-4 |
7.9 | 4.595283E-5 | 8.426815E-5 | 1.8425973E-4 | 2.186588 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9692584E-4 | 3.6109926E-4 | 4.7105952E-4 | 1.3045154 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0023949358 | 0.0043875277 | 0.004546826 | 1.036307 | 1.6E-4 | 0.023692891 | 0.044363137 | 0.044563822 | 1.0045236 | 2.1E-4 |
8.0 | 3.2950178E-5 | 5.077396E-5 | 1.0077142E-4 | 1.9847068 | 5.0E-5 | 1.412074E-4 | 2.1758456E-4 | 2.775715E-4 | 1.2756948 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0017178444 | 0.0026458753 | 0.0027356374 | 1.0339252 | 9.0E-5 | 0.017046256 | 0.027181072 | 0.027268626 | 1.0032212 | 9.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9177472E-5 | 1.9183733E-5 | 2.9183542E-5 | 1.5212649 | 1.0E-5 | 8.218658E-5 | 8.221342E-5 | 9.221259E-5 | 1.1216247 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010001622 | 0.0010004893 | 0.0010104793 | 1.0099851 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009956728 | 0.010757887 | 0.010767779 | 1.0009196 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032481793 | 0.0032481793 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6564595E-7 | 7.6564595E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9949547E-5 | 3.9949547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.717979E-4 | 4.717979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Coachella) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.273077E-4 | 6.4720295E-4 | 1.9773532 | 3.2E-4 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.001401998 | 0.0018114231 | 1.2920299 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0062038354 | 0.016937068 | 0.017418768 | 1.0284406 | 4.9E-4 | 0.060334753 | 0.15267672 | 0.1531258 | 1.0029414 | 5.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.273077E-4 | 6.4720295E-4 | 1.9773532 | 3.2E-4 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.001401998 | 0.0018114231 | 1.2920299 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0062038354 | 0.016937068 | 0.017418768 | 1.0284406 | 4.9E-4 | 0.060334753 | 0.15267672 | 0.1531258 | 1.0029414 | 5.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.07432395E-4 | 3.0231563E-4 | 6.122219E-4 | 2.0251083 | 3.1E-4 | 4.603433E-4 | 0.001294999 | 0.001684494 | 1.3007685 | 3.9E-4 | 0.005590286 | 0.015653731 | 0.016116373 | 1.0295548 | 4.7E-4 | 0.05451731 | 0.14182784 | 0.1422655 | 1.0030859 | 5.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0718766E-4 | 3.0176868E-4 | 6.1167515E-4 | 2.0269668 | 3.1E-4 | 4.592948E-4 | 0.0012926573 | 0.0016821532 | 1.3013141 | 3.9E-4 | 0.005577586 | 0.01562563 | 0.016088286 | 1.0296088 | 4.7E-4 | 0.054396555 | 0.14159605 | 0.14203385 | 1.0030918 | 5.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0355944E-4 | 2.9384956E-4 | 5.937614E-4 | 2.0206306 | 3.0E-4 | 4.4375064E-4 | 0.0012587514 | 0.001638273 | 1.3015065 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0053892885 | 0.015218662 | 0.015671661 | 1.0297661 | 4.6E-4 | 0.052604496 | 0.13815795 | 0.13858888 | 1.003119 | 5.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.0227914E-4 | 2.9104383E-4 | 5.9095654E-4 | 2.0304725 | 3.0E-4 | 4.382655E-4 | 0.0012467385 | 0.0016262647 | 1.3044152 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0053228354 | 0.015074439 | 0.0155275045 | 1.0300553 | 4.6E-4 | 0.051971316 | 0.13694239 | 0.13737391 | 1.0031512 | 5.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.0116757E-4 | 2.8870135E-4 | 5.886147E-4 | 2.0388362 | 3.0E-4 | 4.3350324E-4 | 0.0012367087 | 0.0016162387 | 1.3068871 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0052651367 | 0.014954008 | 0.01540713 | 1.030301 | 4.6E-4 | 0.051421247 | 0.13591973 | 0.13635178 | 1.0031786 | 5.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.0050676E-4 | 2.8728697E-4 | 5.872008E-4 | 2.043952 | 3.0E-4 | 4.3067214E-4 | 0.0012306528 | 0.0016101853 | 1.3083992 | 3.8E-4 | 0.005230834 | 0.014881288 | 0.015334442 | 1.0304513 | 4.6E-4 | 0.051094085 | 0.13530464 | 0.135737 | 1.0031954 | 5.0E-4 |
6.8 | 9.976819E-5 | 2.8532353E-4 | 5.852379E-4 | 2.051138 | 3.0E-4 | 4.2750788E-4 | 0.001222246 | 0.0016017816 | 1.310523 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0051924936 | 0.014780328 | 0.015233529 | 1.0306624 | 4.6E-4 | 0.050728295 | 0.13445628 | 0.13488905 | 1.0032187 | 5.0E-4 |
6.9 | 9.77719E-5 | 2.802926E-4 | 5.802085E-4 | 2.0700102 | 3.0E-4 | 4.1895514E-4 | 0.0012007048 | 0.0015702605 | 1.3077823 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0050888555 | 0.0145215895 | 0.0149650555 | 1.0305383 | 4.5E-4 | 0.049738888 | 0.13228476 | 0.13270994 | 1.0032141 | 4.9E-4 |
7.0 | 8.500761E-5 | 2.4763815E-4 | 5.375663E-4 | 2.1707735 | 2.9E-4 | 3.6426744E-4 | 0.0010608779 | 0.0014105065 | 1.3295654 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0044259406 | 0.01284047 | 0.013264949 | 1.0330579 | 4.3E-4 | 0.04338823 | 0.11813616 | 0.118550636 | 1.0035084 | 4.7E-4 |
7.1 | 8.319876E-5 | 2.4366553E-4 | 5.3359487E-4 | 2.189866 | 2.9E-4 | 3.5651738E-4 | 0.0010438662 | 0.0013935007 | 1.334942 | 3.5E-4 | 0.004331963 | 0.012635773 | 0.01306034 | 1.0336003 | 4.3E-4 | 0.042484846 | 0.11635632 | 0.11677163 | 1.0035694 | 4.7E-4 |
7.2 | 7.563917E-5 | 2.2414974E-4 | 5.0408696E-4 | 2.248885 | 2.8E-4 | 3.2412758E-4 | 9.602912E-4 | 0.0012899743 | 1.3433157 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0039391145 | 0.011629559 | 0.0120347915 | 1.034845 | 4.1E-4 | 0.03870018 | 0.10776202 | 0.10816352 | 1.0037259 | 4.5E-4 |
7.3 | 7.082985E-5 | 2.07311E-4 | 4.8725295E-4 | 2.3503478 | 2.8E-4 | 3.0352117E-4 | 8.881761E-4 | 0.001217883 | 1.371218 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0036891096 | 0.010760553 | 0.011166141 | 1.0376921 | 4.1E-4 | 0.03628465 | 0.10028403 | 0.100688905 | 1.0040373 | 4.5E-4 |
7.4 | 5.146215E-5 | 1.4274761E-4 | 3.8271336E-4 | 2.681049 | 2.4E-4 | 2.2053342E-4 | 6.1163295E-4 | 8.914617E-4 | 1.457511 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0026816884 | 0.0074213943 | 0.0077787223 | 1.0481484 | 3.6E-4 | 0.02649557 | 0.07085049 | 0.07122215 | 1.0052457 | 4.0E-4 |
7.5 | 4.0285166E-5 | 1.0942422E-4 | 3.4939795E-4 | 3.1930587 | 2.4E-4 | 1.7263928E-4 | 4.6887697E-4 | 7.487457E-4 | 1.5968916 | 2.8E-4 | 0.002099857 | 0.0056937044 | 0.0060417117 | 1.0611213 | 3.5E-4 | 0.020801254 | 0.055013083 | 0.055381626 | 1.0066992 | 3.9E-4 |
7.6 | 3.1168736E-5 | 8.439599E-5 | 3.1437658E-4 | 3.7250178 | 2.3E-4 | 1.3357346E-4 | 3.616471E-4 | 6.3154945E-4 | 1.7463142 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0016250437 | 0.004394191 | 0.004732697 | 1.0770348 | 3.4E-4 | 0.016132116 | 0.042812478 | 0.043176208 | 1.0084959 | 3.8E-4 |
7.7 | 2.2100989E-5 | 6.239345E-5 | 2.923791E-4 | 4.686054 | 2.3E-4 | 9.4715084E-5 | 2.6737314E-4 | 5.3730095E-4 | 2.0095549 | 2.7E-4 | 0.001152546 | 0.0032504152 | 0.00358931 | 1.104262 | 3.4E-4 | 0.011465867 | 0.031902168 | 0.032270048 | 1.0115315 | 3.8E-4 |
7.8 | 1.7484861E-5 | 5.180078E-5 | 2.8178887E-4 | 5.4398575 | 2.3E-4 | 7.493296E-5 | 2.2198448E-4 | 4.919245E-4 | 2.2160313 | 2.7E-4 | 9.1192697E-4 | 0.0026993142 | 0.0030284235 | 1.1219233 | 3.3E-4 | 0.009081938 | 0.026641788 | 0.02700193 | 1.013518 | 3.7E-4 |
7.9 | 1.3967285E-5 | 3.8226146E-5 | 2.4821813E-4 | 6.493412 | 2.1E-4 | 5.985842E-5 | 1.6381606E-4 | 4.1377512E-4 | 2.525852 | 2.5E-4 | 7.2853256E-4 | 0.0019926373 | 0.0023020196 | 1.1552627 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0072614877 | 0.019911002 | 0.020234432 | 1.0162437 | 3.3E-4 |
8.0 | 1.1887396E-5 | 3.106798E-5 | 2.3106177E-4 | 7.437296 | 2.0E-4 | 5.094499E-5 | 1.331417E-4 | 3.631111E-4 | 2.727253 | 2.3E-4 | 6.200787E-4 | 0.0016197958 | 0.0018893585 | 1.1664177 | 2.7E-4 | 0.006183513 | 0.016280567 | 0.016565844 | 1.0175227 | 2.9E-4 |
8.1 | 5.100864E-6 | 8.973766E-6 | 8.973766E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1860664E-5 | 3.845843E-5 | 3.845843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6612106E-4 | 4.6813092E-4 | 4.6813092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002658026 | 0.004918092 | 0.004918092 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.3004484E-6 | 2.7863473E-6 | 2.7863473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.859027E-6 | 1.19414335E-5 | 1.19414335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2002704E-4 | 1.4537729E-4 | 1.4537729E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011996223 | 0.0015973782 | 0.0015973782 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.0424446E-7 | 5.814421E-8 | 5.814421E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4676187E-7 | 2.4918944E-7 | 2.4918944E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.439312E-6 | 3.0338776E-6 | 3.0338776E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4391792E-5 | 3.189592E-5 | 3.189592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.497084E-5 | 1.8496369E-4 | 3.3647602 | 1.3E-4 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3556968E-4 | 4.0552963E-4 | 1.7214849 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0024678076 | 0.002864558 | 0.0031537272 | 1.1009473 | 2.9E-4 | 0.024405818 | 0.028304456 | 0.028654266 | 1.0123589 | 3.6E-4 |
6.1 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.497084E-5 | 1.8496369E-4 | 3.3647602 | 1.3E-4 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3556968E-4 | 4.0552963E-4 | 1.7214849 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0024678076 | 0.002864558 | 0.003123813 | 1.0905044 | 2.6E-4 | 0.024405818 | 0.028304456 | 0.028625116 | 1.0113289 | 3.3E-4 |
6.2 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.3925004E-5 | 9.3922965E-5 | 2.768547 | 6.0E-5 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4538495E-4 | 2.453704E-4 | 1.6877291 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017686592 | 0.0019483408 | 1.1015921 | 1.8E-4 | 0.015745522 | 0.01754978 | 0.017775742 | 1.0128756 | 2.3E-4 |
6.3 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.3925004E-5 | 9.3922965E-5 | 2.768547 | 6.0E-5 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4538495E-4 | 2.453704E-4 | 1.6877291 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017686592 | 0.0019483408 | 1.1015921 | 1.8E-4 | 0.015745522 | 0.01754978 | 0.017775742 | 1.0128756 | 2.3E-4 |
6.4 | 2.5452082E-5 | 2.7912318E-5 | 8.7910645E-5 | 3.1495285 | 6.0E-5 | 1.09075794E-4 | 1.1961885E-4 | 2.0960809E-4 | 1.7522998 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0013271887 | 0.0014554056 | 0.0016251581 | 1.1166359 | 1.7E-4 | 0.013192902 | 0.01446091 | 0.0146777285 | 1.0149934 | 2.2E-4 |
6.5 | 2.3143784E-5 | 2.5128133E-5 | 8.512662E-5 | 3.387702 | 6.0E-5 | 9.9183875E-5 | 1.07687636E-4 | 1.9767795E-4 | 1.8356606 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0012068948 | 0.001310323 | 0.0014601264 | 1.1143256 | 1.5E-4 | 0.012003611 | 0.013027638 | 0.013225032 | 1.015152 | 2.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.9118515E-5 | 2.0354244E-5 | 7.035323E-5 | 3.45644 | 5.0E-5 | 8.193392E-5 | 8.722961E-5 | 1.6722264E-4 | 1.9170398 | 8.0E-5 | 9.97089E-4 | 0.001061511 | 0.0012013623 | 1.1317475 | 1.4E-4 | 0.00992627 | 0.010565317 | 0.010733521 | 1.0159204 | 1.7E-4 |
6.7 | 1.722807E-5 | 1.8146253E-5 | 6.8145346E-5 | 3.7553399 | 5.0E-5 | 7.3832496E-5 | 7.776737E-5 | 1.5776115E-4 | 2.028629 | 8.0E-5 | 8.985399E-4 | 9.4641204E-4 | 0.0010862795 | 1.1477871 | 1.4E-4 | 0.008949154 | 0.009424461 | 0.009573048 | 1.015766 | 1.5E-4 |
6.8 | 1.5317364E-5 | 1.5926391E-5 | 6.59256E-5 | 4.1393933 | 5.0E-5 | 6.56442E-5 | 6.82542E-5 | 1.4824874E-4 | 2.172009 | 8.0E-5 | 7.98925E-4 | 8.3068234E-4 | 9.7056606E-4 | 1.1683961 | 1.4E-4 | 0.007960589 | 0.008276261 | 0.00842502 | 1.0179741 | 1.5E-4 |
6.9 | 1.3071226E-5 | 1.332953E-5 | 6.3328866E-5 | 4.75102 | 5.0E-5 | 5.6018336E-5 | 5.712532E-5 | 1.3712075E-4 | 2.4003499 | 8.0E-5 | 6.8180985E-4 | 6.952811E-4 | 8.251907E-4 | 1.1868447 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0067972173 | 0.0069313184 | 0.007070348 | 1.0200582 | 1.4E-4 |
7.0 | 1.1836986E-5 | 1.1932688E-5 | 5.193221E-5 | 4.3520966 | 4.0E-5 | 5.0728955E-5 | 5.1139097E-5 | 1.2113552E-4 | 2.3687458 | 7.0E-5 | 6.1745E-4 | 6.2244234E-4 | 7.3237385E-4 | 1.1766132 | 1.1E-4 | 0.006157372 | 0.0062071825 | 0.0063264375 | 1.0192125 | 1.2E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0597169E-5 | 1.0542107E-5 | 3.0541898E-5 | 2.8971338 | 2.0E-5 | 4.541565E-5 | 4.5179684E-5 | 8.5177875E-5 | 1.8853137 | 4.0E-5 | 5.5279525E-4 | 5.4992497E-4 | 6.2988093E-4 | 1.1453944 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0055142213 | 0.005485772 | 0.0055752783 | 1.016316 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.59113E-6 | 9.45905E-6 | 2.945886E-5 | 3.1143572 | 2.0E-5 | 4.11042E-5 | 4.053816E-5 | 7.0536946E-5 | 1.7400135 | 3.0E-5 | 5.0032866E-4 | 4.934414E-4 | 5.534118E-4 | 1.121535 | 6.0E-5 | 0.004992037 | 0.0049235765 | 0.0050031827 | 1.0161684 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.586084E-6 | 8.379489E-6 | 2.8379322E-5 | 3.3867602 | 2.0E-5 | 3.679698E-5 | 3.591161E-5 | 6.591053E-5 | 1.8353544 | 3.0E-5 | 4.4791115E-4 | 4.3713715E-4 | 4.871153E-4 | 1.1143305 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004470094 | 0.004362884 | 0.0044325786 | 1.0159744 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.2622997E-6 | 6.9514485E-6 | 2.695131E-5 | 3.877078 | 2.0E-5 | 3.112377E-5 | 2.9791589E-5 | 5.9790695E-5 | 2.0069656 | 3.0E-5 | 3.78866E-4 | 3.6265317E-4 | 4.1263504E-4 | 1.1378227 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0037822074 | 0.003620714 | 0.0036804967 | 1.0165113 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.627296E-6 | 5.2514984E-6 | 2.5251393E-5 | 4.808417 | 2.0E-5 | 2.411676E-5 | 2.2506232E-5 | 4.250578E-5 | 1.8886228 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9358198E-4 | 2.7397962E-4 | 3.039714E-4 | 1.1094671 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0029319443 | 0.0027364905 | 0.002776381 | 1.0145773 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.265244E-6 | 2.0608632E-6 | 2.0608632E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.708152E-6 | 8.832241E-6 | 8.832241E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18190335E-4 | 1.0752732E-4 | 1.1752624E-4 | 1.0929897 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001181275 | 0.0010747615 | 0.00109474 | 1.0185888 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.3099874E-6 | 1.1016228E-6 | 1.1016228E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.61422E-6 | 4.7212325E-6 | 4.7212325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8350986E-5 | 5.7479516E-5 | 5.7479516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.832996E-4 | 5.7464885E-4 | 5.846431E-4 | 1.0173919 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 7.903951E-7 | 6.0710704E-7 | 6.0710704E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3874032E-6 | 2.601885E-6 | 2.601885E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1240855E-5 | 3.16775E-5 | 3.16775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.12332E-4 | 3.167312E-4 | 3.167312E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.0753297E-9 | 5.090092E-9 | 5.090092E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.032284E-8 | 2.181468E-8 | 2.181468E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6918053E-7 | 2.655937E-7 | 2.655937E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.691799E-6 | 2.6559348E-6 | 2.6559348E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6794203E-5 | 2.0679101E-4 | 12.313237 | 1.9E-4 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.197348E-5 | 3.1195622E-4 | 4.3343215 | 2.4E-4 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.759797E-4 | 0.0012456556 | 1.4220142 | 3.7E-4 | 0.008038137 | 0.008730696 | 0.0091866795 | 1.0522276 | 4.6E-4 |
6.1 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6794203E-5 | 2.0679101E-4 | 12.313237 | 1.9E-4 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.197348E-5 | 3.1195622E-4 | 4.3343215 | 2.4E-4 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.759797E-4 | 0.0012456556 | 1.4220142 | 3.7E-4 | 0.008038137 | 0.008730696 | 0.0091866795 | 1.0522276 | 4.6E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3681544E-5 | 1.9367908E-4 | 14.156229 | 1.8E-4 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.863415E-5 | 2.8862065E-4 | 4.922399 | 2.3E-4 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.1368564E-4 | 0.0010234644 | 1.434055 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0065657445 | 0.0071187317 | 0.0075059556 | 1.0543951 | 3.9E-4 |
6.3 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3681544E-5 | 1.9367908E-4 | 14.156229 | 1.8E-4 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.863415E-5 | 2.8862065E-4 | 4.922399 | 2.3E-4 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.1368564E-4 | 0.0010234644 | 1.434055 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0065657445 | 0.0071187317 | 0.0075059556 | 1.0543951 | 3.9E-4 |
6.4 | 9.417684E-6 | 1.0170118E-5 | 1.20168996E-4 | 11.815891 | 1.1E-4 | 4.036088E-5 | 4.3585722E-5 | 1.9357918E-4 | 4.441344 | 1.5E-4 | 4.912829E-4 | 5.3056807E-4 | 7.5045135E-4 | 1.4144299 | 2.2E-4 | 0.004901982 | 0.005297049 | 0.0055556716 | 1.048824 | 2.6E-4 |
6.5 | 9.368219E-6 | 1.0117545E-5 | 1.20116434E-4 | 11.872093 | 1.1E-4 | 4.014889E-5 | 4.3360415E-5 | 1.9335392E-4 | 4.4592266 | 1.5E-4 | 4.8870314E-4 | 5.2782625E-4 | 7.477101E-4 | 1.4165838 | 2.2E-4 | 0.004876298 | 0.0052697617 | 0.0055283913 | 1.0490781 | 2.6E-4 |
6.6 | 7.803798E-6 | 8.441831E-6 | 7.844124E-5 | 9.29197 | 7.0E-5 | 3.3444423E-5 | 3.6179E-5 | 1.4617502E-4 | 4.040328 | 1.1E-4 | 4.0710976E-4 | 4.4043022E-4 | 6.2035094E-4 | 1.4085113 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0040636472 | 0.0043994905 | 0.0046085664 | 1.0475228 | 2.1E-4 |
6.7 | 2.3108669E-6 | 2.4438336E-6 | 3.244376E-5 | 13.275764 | 3.0E-5 | 9.903678E-6 | 1.0473532E-5 | 7.04729E-5 | 6.728667 | 6.0E-5 | 1.205706E-4 | 1.2750797E-4 | 1.9749904E-4 | 1.5489153 | 7.0E-5 | 0.001205052 | 0.0012743667 | 0.0013442776 | 1.0548593 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.0882828E-6 | 2.2062823E-6 | 3.2206215E-5 | 14.597506 | 3.0E-5 | 8.949753E-6 | 9.455462E-6 | 6.9454894E-5 | 7.345479 | 6.0E-5 | 1.08957785E-4 | 1.1511434E-4 | 1.8510628E-4 | 1.608021 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0010890438 | 0.0011505639 | 0.0012204834 | 1.0607697 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.876935E-6 | 1.981051E-6 | 3.198099E-5 | 16.143448 | 3.0E-5 | 8.043982E-6 | 8.490192E-6 | 6.848968E-5 | 8.066918 | 6.0E-5 | 9.7931086E-5 | 1.03363345E-4 | 1.7335611E-4 | 1.6771526 | 7.0E-5 | 9.788794E-4 | 0.0010331686 | 0.0011030963 | 1.0676827 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.5357559E-6 | 1.6202807E-6 | 1.1620265E-5 | 7.17176 | 1.0E-5 | 6.5817944E-6 | 6.9440425E-6 | 4.6943765E-5 | 6.7602935 | 4.0E-5 | 8.01304E-5 | 8.454057E-5 | 1.2453718E-4 | 1.4731057 | 4.0E-5 | 8.010151E-4 | 8.450965E-4 | 8.850627E-4 | 1.0472919 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1497619E-6 | 1.114975E-5 | 9.697442 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.9275427E-6 | 4.4927347E-5 | 9.117597 | 4.0E-5 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.999128E-5 | 9.998888E-5 | 1.6667236 | 4.0E-5 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.997606E-4 | 6.3973665E-4 | 1.0666533 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.387277E-7 | 1.06387215E-5 | 16.656113 | 1.0E-5 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7374022E-6 | 1.2737375E-5 | 4.6530886 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3327433E-5 | 4.3327098E-5 | 1.3000431 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.3323118E-4 | 3.4322785E-4 | 1.0299993 | 1.0E-5 |
Sierra Nevada (No Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9762887E-6 | 2.769744E-4 | 39.70226 | 2.7E-4 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.989824E-5 | 3.4988867E-4 | 11.702651 | 3.2E-4 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398612E-4 | 8.0382597E-4 | 2.2083974 | 4.4E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374154 | 0.0041455603 | 1.1396995 | 5.1E-4 |
6.1 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9762887E-6 | 2.769744E-4 | 39.70226 | 2.7E-4 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.989824E-5 | 3.4988867E-4 | 11.702651 | 3.2E-4 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398612E-4 | 8.0382597E-4 | 2.2083974 | 4.4E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374154 | 0.0041455603 | 1.1396995 | 5.1E-4 |
6.2 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9762887E-6 | 2.769744E-4 | 39.70226 | 2.7E-4 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.989824E-5 | 3.4988867E-4 | 11.702651 | 3.2E-4 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398612E-4 | 8.0382597E-4 | 2.2083974 | 4.4E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374154 | 0.0041455603 | 1.1396995 | 5.1E-4 |
6.3 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9762887E-6 | 2.769744E-4 | 39.70226 | 2.7E-4 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.989824E-5 | 3.4988867E-4 | 11.702651 | 3.2E-4 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398612E-4 | 8.0382597E-4 | 2.2083974 | 4.4E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374154 | 0.0041455603 | 1.1396995 | 5.1E-4 |
6.4 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9762887E-6 | 2.769744E-4 | 39.70226 | 2.7E-4 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.989824E-5 | 3.4988867E-4 | 11.702651 | 3.2E-4 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398612E-4 | 8.0382597E-4 | 2.2083974 | 4.4E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374154 | 0.0041455603 | 1.1396995 | 5.1E-4 |
6.5 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9762887E-6 | 2.769744E-4 | 39.70226 | 2.7E-4 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.989824E-5 | 3.4988867E-4 | 11.702651 | 3.2E-4 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398612E-4 | 8.0382597E-4 | 2.2083974 | 4.4E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374154 | 0.0041455603 | 1.1396995 | 5.1E-4 |
6.6 | 2.653E-6 | 1.6148208E-6 | 2.016145E-4 | 124.85255 | 2.0E-4 | 1.136995E-5 | 6.9206426E-6 | 2.1691919E-4 | 31.343794 | 2.1E-4 | 1.3842035E-4 | 8.42556E-5 | 3.842303E-4 | 4.560294 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0013833415 | 8.4224E-4 | 0.0011919452 | 1.4152085 | 3.5E-4 |
6.7 | 2.5902466E-6 | 1.5501544E-6 | 1.9154986E-4 | 123.568245 | 1.9E-4 | 1.11010095E-5 | 6.643502E-6 | 2.0664217E-4 | 31.104404 | 2.0E-4 | 1.351464E-4 | 8.088166E-5 | 3.708582E-4 | 4.585195 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0013506424 | 8.0852525E-4 | 0.0011482503 | 1.4201788 | 3.4E-4 |
6.8 | 2.5853892E-6 | 1.5469546E-6 | 1.9154666E-4 | 123.82177 | 1.9E-4 | 1.1080193E-5 | 6.629789E-6 | 2.0662847E-4 | 31.166674 | 2.0E-4 | 1.34893E-4 | 8.071472E-5 | 3.7069133E-4 | 4.592611 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0013481114 | 8.06857E-4 | 0.0011465827 | 1.4210482 | 3.4E-4 |
6.9 | 2.458257E-6 | 1.422029E-6 | 1.9142176E-4 | 134.61172 | 1.9E-4 | 1.0535345E-5 | 6.0943958E-6 | 2.0609317E-4 | 33.816837 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2826028E-4 | 7.419676E-5 | 3.6417524E-4 | 4.9082365 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0012818627 | 7.4172183E-4 | 0.0010814696 | 1.4580529 | 3.4E-4 |
7.0 | 2.4341468E-6 | 1.3989927E-6 | 1.9139872E-4 | 136.81181 | 1.9E-4 | 1.0432016E-5 | 5.9956697E-6 | 2.0599447E-4 | 34.35721 | 2.0E-4 | 1.270024E-4 | 7.299485E-5 | 3.629737E-4 | 4.972593 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0012692984 | 7.297107E-4 | 0.0010694625 | 1.4655981 | 3.4E-4 |
7.1 | 2.3652476E-6 | 1.3339427E-6 | 1.9133369E-4 | 143.43471 | 1.9E-4 | 1.0136736E-5 | 5.716885E-6 | 2.0571574E-4 | 35.983887 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2340778E-4 | 6.9600865E-5 | 3.5958068E-4 | 5.1663246 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0012333926 | 6.957924E-4 | 0.0010355558 | 1.4883115 | 3.4E-4 |
7.2 | 2.272158E-6 | 1.2502497E-6 | 1.9125002E-4 | 152.96945 | 1.9E-4 | 9.737784E-6 | 5.358202E-6 | 2.0535714E-4 | 38.325752 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1855107E-4 | 6.523417E-5 | 3.5521525E-4 | 5.445233 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0011848784 | 6.5215176E-4 | 9.9193E-4 | 1.5210111 | 3.4E-4 |
7.3 | 2.1382127E-6 | 1.1419382E-6 | 1.8114173E-4 | 158.62656 | 1.8E-4 | 9.163737E-6 | 4.894012E-6 | 1.9489309E-4 | 39.822765 | 1.9E-4 | 1.1156279E-4 | 5.9582977E-5 | 3.395663E-4 | 5.699049 | 2.8E-4 | 0.001115068 | 5.956712E-4 | 9.254746E-4 | 1.553667 | 3.3E-4 |
7.4 | 1.9048055E-6 | 9.574928E-7 | 1.6095734E-4 | 168.10292 | 1.6E-4 | 8.163426E-6 | 4.103534E-6 | 1.7410284E-4 | 42.427532 | 1.7E-4 | 9.9385186E-5 | 4.995939E-5 | 3.099464E-4 | 6.2039666 | 2.6E-4 | 9.934074E-4 | 4.9948227E-4 | 8.0932747E-4 | 1.6203326 | 3.1E-4 |
7.5 | 1.5373403E-6 | 7.559763E-7 | 1.5075586E-4 | 199.41876 | 1.5E-4 | 6.5885843E-6 | 3.2398946E-6 | 1.6323938E-4 | 50.384163 | 1.6E-4 | 8.021306E-5 | 3.9445007E-5 | 2.6943593E-4 | 6.8306727 | 2.3E-4 | 8.0184115E-4 | 3.9438053E-4 | 6.742701E-4 | 1.7096943 | 2.8E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.65941E-7 | 7.046591E-5 | 151.23354 | 7.0E-5 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.9968884E-6 | 8.199673E-5 | 41.06225 | 8.0E-5 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.4311848E-5 | 1.3430917E-4 | 5.5244327 | 1.1E-4 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.4309216E-4 | 4.0305327E-4 | 1.6580266 | 1.6E-4 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5578539E-7 | 1.01557835E-5 | 65.190865 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.676515E-7 | 1.0667645E-5 | 15.977864 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.128628E-6 | 1.8128547E-5 | 2.2302098 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.128342E-5 | 1.01281796E-4 | 1.2460326 | 2.0E-5 |
Lake Isabella (Seismicity)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741651E-6 | 2.6973913E-4 | 27.689259 | 2.6E-4 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749343E-5 | 3.61736E-4 | 8.664472 | 3.2E-4 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.0819275E-4 | 9.179844E-4 | 1.8063705 | 4.1E-4 | 0.004909227 | 0.005071599 | 0.005539215 | 1.0922029 | 4.7E-4 |
6.1 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741651E-6 | 2.6973913E-4 | 27.689259 | 2.6E-4 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749343E-5 | 3.61736E-4 | 8.664472 | 3.2E-4 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.0819275E-4 | 9.179844E-4 | 1.8063705 | 4.1E-4 | 0.004909227 | 0.005071599 | 0.005539215 | 1.0922029 | 4.7E-4 |
6.2 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741651E-6 | 2.6973913E-4 | 27.689259 | 2.6E-4 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749343E-5 | 3.61736E-4 | 8.664472 | 3.2E-4 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.0819275E-4 | 9.179844E-4 | 1.8063705 | 4.1E-4 | 0.004909227 | 0.005071599 | 0.005539215 | 1.0922029 | 4.7E-4 |
6.3 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741651E-6 | 2.6973913E-4 | 27.689259 | 2.6E-4 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749343E-5 | 3.61736E-4 | 8.664472 | 3.2E-4 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.0819275E-4 | 9.179844E-4 | 1.8063705 | 4.1E-4 | 0.004909227 | 0.005071599 | 0.005539215 | 1.0922029 | 4.7E-4 |
6.4 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.3000763E-6 | 1.5529928E-4 | 29.30133 | 1.5E-4 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2714434E-5 | 1.9271058E-4 | 8.484058 | 1.7E-4 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.765166E-4 | 5.06453E-4 | 1.8315465 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027620657 | 0.00303132 | 1.0974829 | 2.7E-4 |
6.5 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.3000763E-6 | 1.5529928E-4 | 29.30133 | 1.5E-4 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2714434E-5 | 1.9271058E-4 | 8.484058 | 1.7E-4 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.765166E-4 | 5.06453E-4 | 1.8315465 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027620657 | 0.00303132 | 1.0974829 | 2.7E-4 |
6.6 | 3.4009804E-6 | 3.498786E-6 | 8.3498504E-5 | 23.864992 | 8.0E-5 | 1.4575549E-5 | 1.4994721E-5 | 1.1499322E-4 | 7.668914 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7744285E-4 | 1.8254704E-4 | 3.3251964E-4 | 1.8215561 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0017730123 | 0.0018241286 | 0.0019938184 | 1.0930252 | 1.7E-4 |
6.7 | 3.3880428E-6 | 3.4856528E-6 | 8.348537E-5 | 23.951145 | 8.0E-5 | 1.4520103E-5 | 1.4938435E-5 | 1.1493694E-4 | 7.6940413 | 1.0E-4 | 1.767679E-4 | 1.8186188E-4 | 3.318346E-4 | 1.8246518 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0017662736 | 0.0018172882 | 0.0019869793 | 1.0933759 | 1.7E-4 |
6.8 | 2.6582E-6 | 2.7337003E-6 | 6.273354E-5 | 22.948214 | 6.0E-5 | 1.1392236E-5 | 1.1715813E-5 | 9.171488E-5 | 7.828298 | 8.0E-5 | 1.3869164E-4 | 1.4263204E-4 | 2.7261348E-4 | 1.9113063 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0013860512 | 0.0014255369 | 0.001575323 | 1.1050735 | 1.5E-4 |
6.9 | 2.406011E-6 | 2.4743288E-6 | 4.247423E-5 | 17.16596 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0311434E-5 | 1.0604231E-5 | 7.060359E-5 | 6.658059 | 6.0E-5 | 1.2553448E-4 | 1.2910018E-4 | 2.3908597E-4 | 1.8519415 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0012546359 | 0.0012903814 | 0.0014202137 | 1.1006154 | 1.3E-4 |
7.0 | 1.6953097E-6 | 1.7429371E-6 | 3.1742886E-5 | 18.212294 | 3.0E-5 | 7.265593E-6 | 7.469715E-6 | 4.7469417E-5 | 6.3549166 | 4.0E-5 | 8.8455E-5 | 9.094104E-5 | 1.6093467E-4 | 1.7696595 | 7.0E-5 | 8.84198E-4 | 9.09141E-4 | 9.990592E-4 | 1.0989046 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.5013824E-7 | 3.5714822E-7 | 1.0357145E-5 | 28.999569 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5005916E-6 | 1.5306344E-6 | 2.1530604E-5 | 14.066458 | 2.0E-5 | 1.826955E-5 | 1.8635317E-5 | 3.8634946E-5 | 2.073211 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8268047E-4 | 1.863378E-4 | 2.0633407E-4 | 1.107312 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.2321095E-7 | 2.2750574E-7 | 1.02275035E-5 | 44.954926 | 1.0E-5 | 9.56618E-7 | 9.750242E-7 | 1.0975014E-5 | 11.2561455 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1646762E-5 | 1.1870856E-5 | 2.1870737E-5 | 1.8423892 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1646151E-4 | 1.1870232E-4 | 1.2870114E-4 | 1.0842344 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.5760406E-7 | 1.6060922E-7 | 1.0160607E-5 | 63.262917 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7544585E-7 | 6.8832503E-7 | 1.0688318E-5 | 15.528009 | 1.0E-5 | 8.223522E-6 | 8.380326E-6 | 1.8380242E-5 | 2.193261 | 1.0E-5 | 8.2232174E-5 | 8.3800165E-5 | 9.3799325E-5 | 1.1193215 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.1216497E-7 | 1.1431706E-7 | 1.0114316E-5 | 88.476 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8070694E-7 | 4.899302E-7 | 1.0489925E-5 | 21.411062 | 1.0E-5 | 5.852591E-6 | 5.964884E-6 | 1.5964824E-5 | 2.6764686 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8524372E-5 | 5.9647282E-5 | 6.964669E-5 | 1.1676422 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.885185E-8 | 4.9787737E-8 | 4.9787737E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0936506E-7 | 2.13376E-7 | 2.13376E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5490165E-6 | 2.59785E-6 | 2.59785E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5489873E-5 | 2.5978214E-5 | 2.5978214E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.504641E-9 | 1.5317903E-9 | 1.5317903E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4484613E-9 | 6.5648154E-9 | 6.5648154E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851001E-8 | 7.992663E-8 | 7.992663E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8509987E-7 | 7.992663E-7 | 7.992663E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6750775E-5 | 2.3674342E-4 | 6.441862 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5749714E-4 | 4.4745146E-4 | 2.8410134 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019164253 | 0.002295697 | 1.1979059 | 3.8E-4 | 0.016697178 | 0.019056438 | 0.019488053 | 1.0226493 | 4.4E-4 |
6.1 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6750775E-5 | 2.3674342E-4 | 6.441862 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5749714E-4 | 4.4745146E-4 | 2.8410134 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019164253 | 0.002295697 | 1.1979059 | 3.8E-4 | 0.016697178 | 0.019056438 | 0.019488053 | 1.0226493 | 4.4E-4 |
6.2 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6750775E-5 | 2.3674342E-4 | 6.441862 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5749714E-4 | 4.4745146E-4 | 2.8410134 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019164253 | 0.002295697 | 1.1979059 | 3.8E-4 | 0.016697178 | 0.019056438 | 0.019488053 | 1.0226493 | 4.4E-4 |
6.3 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6750775E-5 | 2.3674342E-4 | 6.441862 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5749714E-4 | 4.4745146E-4 | 2.8410134 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019164253 | 0.002295697 | 1.1979059 | 3.8E-4 | 0.016697178 | 0.019056438 | 0.019488053 | 1.0226493 | 4.4E-4 |
6.4 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.48492945E-5 | 5.48487E-5 | 3.6936908 | 4.0E-5 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.363831E-5 | 1.2363448E-4 | 1.9427683 | 6.0E-5 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.7452604E-4 | 8.8444084E-4 | 1.1419123 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0074880854 | 0.007718817 | 0.007837891 | 1.0154264 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.48492945E-5 | 5.48487E-5 | 3.6936908 | 4.0E-5 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.363831E-5 | 1.2363448E-4 | 1.9427683 | 6.0E-5 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.7452604E-4 | 8.8444084E-4 | 1.1419123 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0074880854 | 0.007718817 | 0.007837891 | 1.0154264 | 1.2E-4 |
6.6 | 1.280208E-5 | 1.301186E-5 | 5.301134E-5 | 4.0740786 | 4.0E-5 | 5.4864904E-5 | 5.5763932E-5 | 1.1576059E-4 | 2.0759044 | 6.0E-5 | 6.6777546E-4 | 6.7871617E-4 | 7.7864825E-4 | 1.147237 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006657724 | 0.0067666434 | 0.006875899 | 1.0161462 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.2457027E-5 | 1.262838E-5 | 5.2627875E-5 | 4.167429 | 4.0E-5 | 5.3386164E-5 | 5.4120515E-5 | 1.1411727E-4 | 2.1085768 | 6.0E-5 | 6.497827E-4 | 6.5871974E-4 | 7.5865386E-4 | 1.1517097 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00647886 | 0.00656787 | 0.006677147 | 1.0166382 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 1.2095134E-5 | 1.2230827E-5 | 5.2230338E-5 | 4.270385 | 4.0E-5 | 5.1835254E-5 | 5.2416784E-5 | 1.1241364E-4 | 2.1446114 | 6.0E-5 | 6.309115E-4 | 6.3798914E-4 | 7.379253E-4 | 1.1566424 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0062912325 | 0.006361764 | 0.006471064 | 1.0171808 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1104036E-5 | 1.115726E-5 | 5.1156814E-5 | 4.5850697 | 4.0E-5 | 4.758786E-5 | 4.781596E-5 | 1.0781309E-4 | 2.2547512 | 6.0E-5 | 5.7922816E-4 | 5.82005E-4 | 6.719527E-4 | 1.1545478 | 9.0E-5 | 0.005777207 | 0.0058049536 | 0.0059043732 | 1.0171267 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0577444E-5 | 1.05815925E-5 | 5.058117E-5 | 4.7801094 | 4.0E-5 | 4.5331115E-5 | 4.53489E-5 | 1.0534618E-4 | 2.323015 | 6.0E-5 | 5.5176654E-4 | 5.5198424E-4 | 6.419345E-4 | 1.1629581 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0055039856 | 0.00550627 | 0.0056057195 | 1.0180612 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0021775E-5 | 9.9809E-6 | 2.99807E-5 | 3.0038073 | 2.0E-5 | 4.294976E-5 | 4.277459E-5 | 8.277288E-5 | 1.9350946 | 4.0E-5 | 5.2278786E-4 | 5.206574E-4 | 5.9062097E-4 | 1.1343755 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0052155964 | 0.005194508 | 0.005274093 | 1.0153209 | 8.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.874109E-6 | 8.748706E-6 | 2.874853E-5 | 3.2860322 | 2.0E-5 | 3.8031343E-5 | 3.7493923E-5 | 6.74928E-5 | 1.8000996 | 3.0E-5 | 4.629332E-4 | 4.56394E-4 | 5.163666E-4 | 1.1314054 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0046197 | 0.0045546847 | 0.0046243663 | 1.0152988 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.5504267E-6 | 7.5050243E-6 | 2.7504873E-5 | 3.6648614 | 2.0E-5 | 3.235857E-5 | 3.2164E-5 | 6.216303E-5 | 1.9326899 | 3.0E-5 | 3.9389438E-4 | 3.9152734E-4 | 4.4150776E-4 | 1.127655 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0039319694 | 0.0039084824 | 0.003968248 | 1.0152912 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.309394E-6 | 6.183062E-6 | 2.618294E-5 | 4.2346234 | 2.0E-5 | 2.703998E-5 | 2.6498574E-5 | 5.6497778E-5 | 2.1321063 | 3.0E-5 | 3.2916202E-4 | 3.2257332E-4 | 3.725572E-4 | 1.1549535 | 5.0E-5 | 0.003286749 | 0.0032211484 | 0.0032709872 | 1.0154724 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.6103073E-6 | 4.4408016E-6 | 2.4440713E-5 | 5.503671 | 2.0E-5 | 1.975831E-5 | 1.9031871E-5 | 3.9031493E-5 | 2.0508487 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4053088E-4 | 2.316891E-4 | 2.6168214E-4 | 1.1294539 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002402707 | 0.002314545 | 0.0023444756 | 1.0129315 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.2858658E-6 | 1.3008196E-6 | 1.3008196E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5108417E-6 | 5.574929E-6 | 5.574929E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7092435E-5 | 6.787272E-5 | 7.787204E-5 | 1.1473246 | 1.0E-5 | 6.707218E-4 | 6.7852676E-4 | 6.8852E-4 | 1.0147278 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.3302307E-7 | 5.612138E-7 | 5.612138E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2843826E-6 | 2.4052001E-6 | 2.4052001E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7812002E-5 | 2.9282955E-5 | 2.9282955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7808524E-4 | 2.9279455E-4 | 2.9279455E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.613933E-8 | 4.80301E-8 | 4.80301E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9773998E-7 | 2.0584326E-7 | 2.0584326E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074816E-6 | 2.5061388E-6 | 2.5061388E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074554E-5 | 2.5061116E-5 | 2.5061116E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Bernardino)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.598562E-5 | 3.059759E-4 | 8.5027275 | 2.7E-4 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5421498E-4 | 4.8416408E-4 | 3.13954 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018759521 | 0.0022652205 | 1.2075044 | 3.9E-4 | 0.01763251 | 0.019349992 | 0.019791285 | 1.0228058 | 4.5E-4 |
6.1 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.598562E-5 | 3.059759E-4 | 8.5027275 | 2.7E-4 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5421498E-4 | 4.8416408E-4 | 3.13954 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018759521 | 0.0022652205 | 1.2075044 | 3.9E-4 | 0.01763251 | 0.019349992 | 0.019791285 | 1.0228058 | 4.5E-4 |
6.2 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.598562E-5 | 3.059759E-4 | 8.5027275 | 2.7E-4 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5421498E-4 | 4.8416408E-4 | 3.13954 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018759521 | 0.0022652205 | 1.2075044 | 3.9E-4 | 0.01763251 | 0.019349992 | 0.019791285 | 1.0228058 | 4.5E-4 |
6.3 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.598562E-5 | 3.059759E-4 | 8.5027275 | 2.7E-4 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5421498E-4 | 4.8416408E-4 | 3.13954 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018759521 | 0.0022652205 | 1.2075044 | 3.9E-4 | 0.01763251 | 0.019349992 | 0.019791285 | 1.0228058 | 4.5E-4 |
6.4 | 3.400795E-5 | 3.5878285E-5 | 3.058686E-4 | 8.525173 | 2.7E-4 | 1.4574021E-4 | 1.5375503E-4 | 4.837043E-4 | 3.1459413 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0017729428 | 0.0018703619 | 0.0022596323 | 1.2081258 | 3.9E-4 | 0.017588645 | 0.019295074 | 0.019736392 | 1.022872 | 4.5E-4 |
6.5 | 3.341482E-5 | 3.5138914E-5 | 3.0512942E-4 | 8.683518 | 2.7E-4 | 1.4319851E-4 | 1.5058667E-4 | 4.8053698E-4 | 3.1910992 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0017420477 | 0.0018318522 | 0.0022211378 | 1.2125093 | 3.9E-4 | 0.017284546 | 0.018916616 | 0.019348292 | 1.02282 | 4.4E-4 |
6.6 | 3.3364955E-5 | 3.5076133E-5 | 3.0506667E-4 | 8.697272 | 2.7E-4 | 1.4298483E-4 | 1.5031763E-4 | 4.8026803E-4 | 3.1950214 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0017394501 | 0.0018285823 | 0.0022178693 | 1.21289 | 3.9E-4 | 0.017258976 | 0.01888448 | 0.01931617 | 1.0228596 | 4.4E-4 |
6.7 | 3.335922E-5 | 3.5065907E-5 | 3.0505643E-4 | 8.699516 | 2.7E-4 | 1.4296026E-4 | 1.5027382E-4 | 4.8022423E-4 | 3.1956615 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0017391514 | 0.0018280497 | 0.0022173368 | 1.2129521 | 3.9E-4 | 0.017256035 | 0.018879272 | 0.019310964 | 1.022866 | 4.4E-4 |
6.8 | 3.327683E-5 | 3.4959972E-5 | 3.0495055E-4 | 8.722848 | 2.7E-4 | 1.4260718E-4 | 1.4981985E-4 | 4.7977042E-4 | 3.2023153 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0017348597 | 0.001822532 | 0.0022118213 | 1.213598 | 3.9E-4 | 0.017213784 | 0.018825045 | 0.019256761 | 1.0229331 | 4.4E-4 |
6.9 | 3.3235785E-5 | 3.4900928E-5 | 2.9489186E-4 | 8.449399 | 2.6E-4 | 1.4243131E-4 | 1.4956683E-4 | 4.6951897E-4 | 3.1391919 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0017327217 | 0.0018194567 | 0.0021987653 | 1.2084736 | 3.8E-4 | 0.017192734 | 0.018794911 | 0.019216828 | 1.0224485 | 4.3E-4 |
7.0 | 3.3197095E-5 | 3.4840854E-5 | 2.9483179E-4 | 8.462243 | 2.6E-4 | 1.422655E-4 | 1.4930942E-4 | 4.6926163E-4 | 3.1428804 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0017307063 | 0.0018163278 | 0.0021956377 | 1.2088333 | 3.8E-4 | 0.017172894 | 0.01876429 | 0.019186221 | 1.0224859 | 4.3E-4 |
7.1 | 3.3129716E-5 | 3.4721066E-5 | 2.9471202E-4 | 8.487989 | 2.6E-4 | 1.4197677E-4 | 1.4879608E-4 | 4.6874848E-4 | 3.1502743 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0017271966 | 0.0018100884 | 0.0021894006 | 1.2095546 | 3.8E-4 | 0.017138338 | 0.018703366 | 0.019125324 | 1.0225605 | 4.3E-4 |
7.2 | 3.3034008E-5 | 3.4588513E-5 | 2.945795E-4 | 8.516686 | 2.6E-4 | 1.4156665E-4 | 1.4822806E-4 | 4.6818063E-4 | 3.1585155 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0017222111 | 0.0018031843 | 0.002182499 | 1.2103583 | 3.8E-4 | 0.017089253 | 0.01863575 | 0.019057736 | 1.0226439 | 4.3E-4 |
7.3 | 3.2956614E-5 | 3.4456265E-5 | 2.944473E-4 | 8.545537 | 2.6E-4 | 1.4123498E-4 | 1.4766137E-4 | 4.6761413E-4 | 3.1668007 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0017181796 | 0.0017962961 | 0.0021756135 | 1.2111664 | 3.8E-4 | 0.017049557 | 0.018568495 | 0.018990511 | 1.0227275 | 4.3E-4 |
7.4 | 3.2915937E-5 | 3.4377957E-5 | 2.9436903E-4 | 8.562725 | 2.6E-4 | 1.4106068E-4 | 1.473258E-4 | 4.6727865E-4 | 3.1717367 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0017160608 | 0.0017922173 | 0.0021715362 | 1.2116479 | 3.8E-4 | 0.017028693 | 0.018528769 | 0.018950801 | 1.0227772 | 4.3E-4 |
7.5 | 3.281791E-5 | 3.424287E-5 | 2.9423396E-4 | 8.592562 | 2.6E-4 | 1.406406E-4 | 1.4674691E-4 | 4.6669994E-4 | 3.1803052 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0017109542 | 0.0017851809 | 0.0021645026 | 1.2124835 | 3.8E-4 | 0.016978411 | 0.018459652 | 0.018881714 | 1.0228641 | 4.3E-4 |
7.6 | 3.2521442E-5 | 3.396782E-5 | 2.93959E-4 | 8.654043 | 2.6E-4 | 1.3937015E-4 | 1.4556825E-4 | 4.6552168E-4 | 3.1979616 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0016955109 | 0.0017708542 | 0.0021501812 | 1.2142057 | 3.8E-4 | 0.016826328 | 0.018317295 | 0.018739419 | 1.0230451 | 4.3E-4 |
7.7 | 3.0287873E-5 | 3.245191E-5 | 2.9244347E-4 | 9.011595 | 2.6E-4 | 1.297987E-4 | 1.3907222E-4 | 4.590277E-4 | 3.300643 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0015791537 | 0.0016918903 | 0.0020712474 | 1.2242209 | 3.8E-4 | 0.01567979 | 0.017528199 | 0.017950661 | 1.0241019 | 4.3E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6316151E-5 | 2.9662837E-5 | 2.8965512E-4 | 9.764916 | 2.6E-4 | 1.1277862E-4 | 1.2712025E-4 | 4.4707957E-4 | 3.5169816 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0013722149 | 0.0015465913 | 0.001916019 | 1.2388659 | 3.7E-4 | 0.013637724 | 0.016069878 | 0.016483128 | 1.0257158 | 4.2E-4 |
7.9 | 2.0761147E-5 | 2.3417291E-5 | 2.834112E-4 | 12.102647 | 2.6E-4 | 8.897331E-5 | 1.0035596E-4 | 4.1032486E-4 | 4.088694 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0010827117 | 0.0012211498 | 0.0015707224 | 1.2862651 | 3.5E-4 | 0.010774517 | 0.012793272 | 0.013178282 | 1.0300947 | 3.9E-4 |
8.0 | 1.5738568E-5 | 1.6032505E-5 | 2.160293E-4 | 13.474457 | 2.0E-4 | 6.744926E-5 | 6.8708934E-5 | 3.0869246E-4 | 4.4927554 | 2.4E-4 | 8.2088535E-4 | 8.3621085E-4 | 0.0011059851 | 1.322615 | 2.7E-4 | 0.008178596 | 0.008865741 | 0.009143258 | 1.0313022 | 2.8E-4 |
8.1 | 1.0105832E-5 | 8.329479E-6 | 1.0832865E-4 | 13.005453 | 1.0E-4 | 4.3309992E-5 | 3.569728E-5 | 1.4569335E-4 | 4.0813575 | 1.1E-4 | 5.2717153E-4 | 4.3452822E-4 | 5.444804E-4 | 1.2530382 | 1.1E-4 | 0.005259227 | 0.0046768794 | 0.0047863647 | 1.02341 | 1.1E-4 |
8.2 | 4.189207E-6 | 1.577699E-6 | 1.577699E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7953622E-5 | 6.7615497E-6 | 6.7615497E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1856341E-4 | 8.231879E-5 | 8.231879E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021834858 | 9.562628E-4 | 9.562628E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 3.612677E-7 | 3.612677E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.5482892E-6 | 1.5482892E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 1.8850264E-5 | 1.8850264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.2739546E-4 | 2.2739546E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Scodie Lineament
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2919327E-6 | 3.0133303E-6 | 2.6301254E-4 | 87.283005 | 2.6E-4 | 1.4108206E-5 | 1.2914227E-5 | 3.2291023E-4 | 25.004223 | 3.1E-4 | 1.7175387E-4 | 1.5722254E-4 | 5.5715966E-4 | 3.5437644 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0017162118 | 0.0015714248 | 0.0020207176 | 1.2859143 | 4.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5490382E-6 | 7.154893E-5 | 46.189262 | 7.0E-5 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6387206E-6 | 9.663813E-5 | 14.556739 | 9.0E-5 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082393E-5 | 2.0081423E-4 | 2.4845889 | 1.2E-4 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.079941E-4 | 9.4788097E-4 | 1.1731286 | 1.4E-4 |
6.2 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5490382E-6 | 7.154893E-5 | 46.189262 | 7.0E-5 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6387206E-6 | 9.663813E-5 | 14.556739 | 9.0E-5 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082393E-5 | 2.0081423E-4 | 2.4845889 | 1.2E-4 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.079941E-4 | 9.4788097E-4 | 1.1731286 | 1.4E-4 |
6.3 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5490382E-6 | 7.154893E-5 | 46.189262 | 7.0E-5 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6387206E-6 | 9.663813E-5 | 14.556739 | 9.0E-5 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082393E-5 | 2.0081423E-4 | 2.4845889 | 1.2E-4 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.079941E-4 | 9.4788097E-4 | 1.1731286 | 1.4E-4 |
6.4 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5490382E-6 | 7.154893E-5 | 46.189262 | 7.0E-5 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6387206E-6 | 9.663813E-5 | 14.556739 | 9.0E-5 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082393E-5 | 2.0081423E-4 | 2.4845889 | 1.2E-4 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.079941E-4 | 9.4788097E-4 | 1.1731286 | 1.4E-4 |
6.5 | 1.8106311E-6 | 1.4909722E-6 | 7.149087E-5 | 47.949165 | 7.0E-5 | 7.759824E-6 | 6.389868E-6 | 9.6389296E-5 | 15.084708 | 9.0E-5 | 9.447177E-5 | 7.779436E-5 | 1.9778502E-4 | 2.5424082 | 1.2E-4 | 9.4431615E-4 | 7.7771995E-4 | 9.1761106E-4 | 1.1798733 | 1.4E-4 |
6.6 | 1.2414679E-6 | 8.9974395E-7 | 8.9974395E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.320566E-6 | 3.85604E-6 | 3.85604E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.477596E-5 | 4.6946367E-5 | 7.694496E-5 | 1.6389971 | 3.0E-5 | 6.475708E-4 | 4.6937316E-4 | 4.993591E-4 | 1.063885 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1062215E-6 | 7.594193E-7 | 7.594193E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7409408E-6 | 3.2546504E-6 | 3.2546504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7719422E-5 | 3.962472E-5 | 5.962393E-5 | 1.5047154 | 2.0E-5 | 5.770443E-4 | 3.9618355E-4 | 4.161756E-4 | 1.0504616 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0006736E-6 | 6.5002786E-7 | 6.5002786E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.288594E-6 | 2.7858312E-6 | 2.7858312E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.221238E-5 | 3.391703E-5 | 5.391635E-5 | 1.5896543 | 2.0E-5 | 5.220012E-4 | 3.3912458E-4 | 3.591178E-4 | 1.0589554 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.167364E-7 | 5.6315065E-7 | 5.6315065E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9288643E-6 | 2.413501E-6 | 2.413501E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7832873E-5 | 2.9384037E-5 | 2.9384037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.782258E-4 | 2.9380718E-4 | 2.9380718E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.6987664E-7 | 4.113265E-7 | 4.113265E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2994672E-6 | 1.7628269E-6 | 1.7628269E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0170275E-5 | 2.1462245E-5 | 2.1462245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0163012E-4 | 2.1460558E-4 | 2.1460558E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 7.1038727E-7 | 3.5210306E-7 | 3.5210306E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0445133E-6 | 1.5090123E-6 | 1.5090123E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.706632E-5 | 1.8372106E-5 | 1.8372106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7060137E-4 | 1.8370937E-4 | 1.8370937E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.0799602E-7 | 3.1178534E-8 | 3.1178534E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.914113E-7 | 1.3362228E-7 | 1.3362228E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0852878E-5 | 1.6268501E-6 | 1.6268501E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08523476E-4 | 1.626839E-5 | 1.626839E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5048182E-7 | 1.5939106E-8 | 1.5939106E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.449219E-7 | 6.8310456E-8 | 6.8310456E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851896E-6 | 8.316795E-7 | 8.316795E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851618E-5 | 8.316767E-6 | 8.316767E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.8638475E-9 | 4.8638475E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 2.084506E-8 | 2.084506E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.5378858E-7 | 2.5378858E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095951E-5 | 2.5378843E-6 | 2.5378843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Wolf (Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066615E-6 | 2.0606541E-4 | 33.967113 | 2.0E-4 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.5999556E-5 | 3.059923E-4 | 11.7691345 | 2.8E-4 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1650523E-4 | 6.464008E-4 | 2.0423067 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031611966 | 0.0035898373 | 1.1355945 | 4.3E-4 |
6.1 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066615E-6 | 2.0606541E-4 | 33.967113 | 2.0E-4 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.5999556E-5 | 3.059923E-4 | 11.7691345 | 2.8E-4 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1650523E-4 | 6.464008E-4 | 2.0423067 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031611966 | 0.0035898373 | 1.1355945 | 4.3E-4 |
6.2 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066615E-6 | 2.0606541E-4 | 33.967113 | 2.0E-4 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.5999556E-5 | 3.059923E-4 | 11.7691345 | 2.8E-4 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1650523E-4 | 6.464008E-4 | 2.0423067 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031611966 | 0.0035898373 | 1.1355945 | 4.3E-4 |
6.3 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066615E-6 | 2.0606541E-4 | 33.967113 | 2.0E-4 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.5999556E-5 | 3.059923E-4 | 11.7691345 | 2.8E-4 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1650523E-4 | 6.464008E-4 | 2.0423067 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031611966 | 0.0035898373 | 1.1355945 | 4.3E-4 |
6.4 | 5.821773E-6 | 3.5571256E-6 | 1.6355656E-4 | 45.979977 | 1.6E-4 | 2.4950215E-5 | 1.5244741E-5 | 1.95242E-4 | 12.80717 | 1.8E-4 | 3.0372653E-4 | 1.8559002E-4 | 3.9555103E-4 | 2.1313164 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0030331176 | 0.0018544586 | 0.002103995 | 1.1345602 | 2.5E-4 |
6.5 | 5.766023E-6 | 3.4990599E-6 | 1.634985E-4 | 46.72641 | 1.6E-4 | 2.4711293E-5 | 1.49958905E-5 | 1.9499319E-4 | 13.003109 | 1.8E-4 | 3.0081844E-4 | 1.8256076E-4 | 3.9252243E-4 | 2.150092 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0030041158 | 0.0018242161 | 0.0020737601 | 1.1367952 | 2.5E-4 |
6.6 | 4.643576E-6 | 2.3325733E-6 | 5.2332456E-5 | 22.435505 | 5.0E-5 | 1.9900888E-5 | 9.9967065E-6 | 5.9996208E-5 | 6.0015974 | 5.0E-5 | 2.4226638E-4 | 1.2170354E-4 | 2.016938E-4 | 1.657255 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0024200242 | 0.0012164112 | 0.0013063018 | 1.0738981 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.9529173E-6 | 1.6482975E-6 | 2.1648264E-5 | 13.133712 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6940963E-5 | 7.064114E-6 | 2.7063972E-5 | 3.8311913 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0623671E-4 | 8.600239E-5 | 1.2599894E-4 | 1.4650633 | 4.0E-5 | 0.002060454 | 8.597095E-4 | 9.0966653E-4 | 1.0581092 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4377522E-6 | 1.2244764E-6 | 2.1224452E-5 | 17.333492 | 2.0E-5 | 1.473314E-5 | 5.247746E-6 | 2.524764E-5 | 4.81114 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7936122E-4 | 6.388952E-5 | 1.0388697E-4 | 1.6260407 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017921652 | 6.3872064E-4 | 6.786951E-4 | 1.0625852 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.1367306E-6 | 1.0033316E-6 | 2.1003312E-5 | 20.93357 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3443062E-5 | 4.299986E-6 | 2.42999E-5 | 5.6511583 | 2.0E-5 | 1.63657E-4 | 5.2351144E-5 | 7.23501E-5 | 1.3820156 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016353652 | 5.233958E-4 | 5.433853E-4 | 1.038192 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8298145E-6 | 7.4282326E-7 | 1.0742816E-5 | 14.462142 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2127721E-5 | 3.1835248E-6 | 1.3183493E-5 | 4.1411624 | 1.0E-5 | 1.47645E-4 | 3.8758775E-5 | 4.8758386E-5 | 1.2579961 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014754693 | 3.8752513E-4 | 3.9752127E-4 | 1.0257947 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.4091064E-6 | 5.4223835E-7 | 1.0542233E-5 | 19.442064 | 1.0E-5 | 1.03247E-5 | 2.3238767E-6 | 1.2323853E-5 | 5.303144 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2569598E-4 | 2.8292874E-5 | 3.829259E-5 | 1.3534359 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001256249 | 2.8289677E-4 | 2.9289394E-4 | 1.0353386 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.3875518E-6 | 1.0740268E-7 | 1.0740268E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9466374E-6 | 4.6029712E-7 | 4.6029712E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.23979E-5 | 5.604104E-6 | 5.604104E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2374323E-4 | 5.6039742E-5 | 5.6039742E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.056077E-7 | 5.0002956E-8 | 5.0002956E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0240296E-6 | 2.1429837E-7 | 2.1429837E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.681694E-5 | 2.60908E-6 | 2.60908E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.681084E-4 | 2.609054E-5 | 2.609054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.8638475E-9 | 4.8638475E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 2.084506E-8 | 2.084506E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.5378858E-7 | 2.5378858E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095951E-5 | 2.5378843E-6 | 2.5378843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.986481E-4 | 0.0012275929 | 0.0013774087 | 1.1220404 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0025631124 | 0.005245547 | 0.0054047075 | 1.0303421 | 1.6E-4 | 0.030762846 | 0.06120491 | 0.061449 | 1.003988 | 2.6E-4 | 0.26835477 | 0.42593494 | 0.4261129 | 1.0004178 | 3.1E-4 |
6.1 | 5.015945E-4 | 0.0010217986 | 0.0011516657 | 1.1270967 | 1.3E-4 | 0.00214792 | 0.0043678596 | 0.004507248 | 1.0319123 | 1.4E-4 | 0.025839351 | 0.05124837 | 0.051476073 | 1.004443 | 2.4E-4 | 0.23032776 | 0.37285668 | 0.37303227 | 1.000471 | 2.8E-4 |
6.2 | 4.073338E-4 | 8.1073755E-4 | 9.4063213E-4 | 1.1602179 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0017445484 | 0.0034671477 | 0.0036066622 | 1.040239 | 1.4E-4 | 0.021034058 | 0.04093317 | 0.041144162 | 1.0051546 | 2.2E-4 | 0.19150782 | 0.31303346 | 0.3132052 | 1.0005486 | 2.5E-4 |
6.3 | 3.464099E-4 | 6.7391695E-4 | 7.938361E-4 | 1.1779435 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0014837692 | 0.0028829593 | 0.0030125845 | 1.0449625 | 1.3E-4 | 0.017915873 | 0.034189582 | 0.034382742 | 1.0056497 | 2.0E-4 | 0.16538359 | 0.2713166 | 0.2714769 | 1.0005909 | 2.2E-4 |
6.4 | 2.935057E-4 | 5.5442745E-4 | 6.743609E-4 | 1.2163196 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0012572751 | 0.0023725363 | 0.002502228 | 1.0546637 | 1.3E-4 | 0.015200248 | 0.02826451 | 0.028458856 | 1.006876 | 2.0E-4 | 0.14201577 | 0.23298529 | 0.23315403 | 1.0007243 | 2.2E-4 |
6.5 | 2.3409708E-4 | 4.2093755E-4 | 5.4088706E-4 | 1.2849579 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0010028875 | 0.0018019684 | 0.0019317343 | 1.0720134 | 1.3E-4 | 0.012141965 | 0.021587461 | 0.021783145 | 1.0090647 | 2.0E-4 | 0.11499573 | 0.18682368 | 0.18700258 | 1.0009576 | 2.2E-4 |
6.6 | 1.5842178E-4 | 2.506933E-4 | 3.6066573E-4 | 1.4386731 | 1.1E-4 | 6.7877385E-4 | 0.0010739497 | 0.0011938208 | 1.1116171 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0082328 | 0.012995575 | 0.013173236 | 1.0136709 | 1.8E-4 | 0.07934396 | 0.12314638 | 0.12332175 | 1.0014241 | 2.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.5616413E-4 | 2.4605883E-4 | 3.5603176E-4 | 1.4469376 | 1.1E-4 | 6.691031E-4 | 0.0010541069 | 0.0011739803 | 1.1137204 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0081159435 | 0.01275744 | 0.012935144 | 1.0139294 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0782586 | 0.12117351 | 0.121349275 | 1.0014505 | 2.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.5538467E-4 | 2.4429744E-4 | 3.5427057E-4 | 1.4501607 | 1.1E-4 | 6.6576427E-4 | 0.0010465645 | 0.0011664389 | 1.1145408 | 1.2E-4 | 0.008075596 | 0.012666838 | 0.012844559 | 1.0140303 | 1.8E-4 | 0.07788358 | 0.120404355 | 0.12058027 | 1.001461 | 2.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.5153569E-4 | 2.3539034E-4 | 3.4536445E-4 | 1.4671988 | 1.1E-4 | 6.49277E-4 | 0.0010084276 | 0.0011283066 | 1.1188772 | 1.2E-4 | 0.007876333 | 0.01220901 | 0.012386813 | 1.0145632 | 1.8E-4 | 0.07602952 | 0.11647445 | 0.116651155 | 1.001517 | 2.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.4588932E-4 | 2.2396253E-4 | 3.339379E-4 | 1.4910436 | 1.1E-4 | 6.250901E-4 | 9.5948833E-4 | 0.0010793732 | 1.1249467 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0075839474 | 0.011619697 | 0.011797605 | 1.0153109 | 1.8E-4 | 0.073302895 | 0.11132046 | 0.11149819 | 1.0015966 | 2.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.1565079E-4 | 1.6281738E-4 | 2.7279946E-4 | 1.6754936 | 1.1E-4 | 4.955521E-4 | 6.9760304E-4 | 8.175193E-4 | 1.1718976 | 1.2E-4 | 0.006016669 | 0.0084604435 | 0.0086290045 | 1.0199236 | 1.7E-4 | 0.058563538 | 0.08367046 | 0.083844565 | 1.0020808 | 1.9E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0393792E-4 | 1.4615769E-4 | 2.5614162E-4 | 1.7525018 | 1.1E-4 | 4.4537216E-4 | 6.2624045E-4 | 7.461653E-4 | 1.1914997 | 1.2E-4 | 0.005408933 | 0.0075979927 | 0.007766701 | 1.0222043 | 1.7E-4 | 0.052791595 | 0.07561969 | 0.07579532 | 1.0023226 | 1.9E-4 |
7.3 | 9.332884E-5 | 1.2780898E-4 | 2.3779493E-4 | 1.8605493 | 1.1E-4 | 3.999194E-4 | 5.4763845E-4 | 6.675727E-4 | 1.2190027 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0048581534 | 0.006647249 | 0.006816119 | 1.0254045 | 1.7E-4 | 0.047533102 | 0.06648326 | 0.06666063 | 1.0026679 | 1.9E-4 |
7.4 | 8.670252E-5 | 1.17032345E-4 | 2.2701947E-4 | 1.9398011 | 1.1E-4 | 3.715293E-4 | 5.0147134E-4 | 6.214112E-4 | 1.2391758 | 1.2E-4 | 0.004513991 | 0.006088443 | 0.006257408 | 1.0277518 | 1.7E-4 | 0.044233937 | 0.061151642 | 0.061330024 | 1.002917 | 1.9E-4 |
7.5 | 7.3036405E-5 | 9.005856E-5 | 2.0004866E-4 | 2.2213175 | 1.1E-4 | 3.129756E-4 | 3.8590826E-4 | 5.0586194E-4 | 1.3108348 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0038038217 | 0.0046883323 | 0.0048575355 | 1.0360903 | 1.7E-4 | 0.03739367 | 0.047877792 | 0.048058696 | 1.0037785 | 1.9E-4 |
7.6 | 6.3935775E-5 | 8.280385E-5 | 1.9279473E-4 | 2.3283308 | 1.1E-4 | 2.7398168E-4 | 3.5482543E-4 | 4.7478286E-4 | 1.3380744 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0033306254 | 0.004311461 | 0.0044807284 | 1.0392598 | 1.7E-4 | 0.032811474 | 0.04399201 | 0.04417365 | 1.0041289 | 1.9E-4 |
7.7 | 5.5050095E-5 | 6.6618326E-5 | 1.2661434E-4 | 1.900593 | 6.0E-5 | 2.3590765E-4 | 2.854759E-4 | 3.554559E-4 | 1.2451346 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0028683927 | 0.003470134 | 0.0035797523 | 1.031589 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0283165 | 0.035796214 | 0.03592156 | 1.0035017 | 1.3E-4 |
7.8 | 5.027131E-5 | 6.162871E-5 | 1.2162501E-4 | 1.9735123 | 6.0E-5 | 2.1543067E-4 | 2.640963E-4 | 3.340778E-4 | 1.2649848 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0026197135 | 0.003210635 | 0.0033202819 | 1.0341511 | 1.1E-4 | 0.025890453 | 0.03312666 | 0.033252355 | 1.0037943 | 1.3E-4 |
7.9 | 3.7271806E-5 | 5.022507E-5 | 1.00222554E-4 | 1.9954689 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5972654E-4 | 2.1523255E-4 | 2.6522178E-4 | 1.2322569 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0019429359 | 0.002617309 | 0.0027070737 | 1.0342965 | 9.0E-5 | 0.019260362 | 0.027067466 | 0.027174488 | 1.0039539 | 1.1E-4 |
8.0 | 2.7310243E-5 | 3.1427757E-5 | 4.1427444E-5 | 1.3181801 | 1.0E-5 | 1.17038646E-4 | 1.3468343E-4 | 1.446821E-4 | 1.0742382 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014240141 | 0.0016385383 | 0.0016784729 | 1.024372 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014149235 | 0.01721386 | 0.017253172 | 1.0022837 | 4.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.7940547E-5 | 1.7399378E-5 | 1.7399378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.688579E-5 | 7.456663E-5 | 7.456663E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3568244E-4 | 9.074711E-4 | 9.074711E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009317525 | 0.009798636 | 0.009798636 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032481793 | 0.0032481793 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6564595E-7 | 7.6564595E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9949547E-5 | 3.9949547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.717979E-4 | 4.717979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.169034E-5 | 4.7137048E-5 | 1.671314E-4 | 3.5456483 | 1.2E-4 | 1.7866064E-4 | 2.0200513E-4 | 3.5197483E-4 | 1.7424054 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0021730233 | 0.0024574657 | 0.0026669498 | 1.0852439 | 2.1E-4 | 0.021518968 | 0.02438483 | 0.024638489 | 1.0104023 | 2.6E-4 |
6.1 | 1.73813E-5 | 1.6854203E-5 | 2.6854035E-5 | 1.5933138 | 1.0E-5 | 7.4489166E-5 | 7.223036E-5 | 9.222892E-5 | 1.2768719 | 2.0E-5 | 9.065282E-4 | 8.790605E-4 | 8.9904293E-4 | 1.0227315 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009028391 | 0.008757128 | 0.008816604 | 1.0067916 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4622182E-5 | 1.3673262E-5 | 2.3673127E-5 | 1.7313443 | 1.0E-5 | 6.2664985E-5 | 5.85984E-5 | 7.859723E-5 | 1.3412862 | 2.0E-5 | 7.6267915E-4 | 7.132059E-4 | 7.331916E-4 | 1.0280224 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007600669 | 0.007109767 | 0.0071693403 | 1.0083791 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3552434E-5 | 1.2482174E-5 | 2.2482049E-5 | 1.8011326 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8080568E-5 | 5.349395E-5 | 7.349288E-5 | 1.373854 | 2.0E-5 | 7.069015E-4 | 6.510974E-4 | 6.7108433E-4 | 1.0306973 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00704657 | 0.006492415 | 0.0065420903 | 1.0076513 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.30977305E-5 | 1.1979128E-5 | 2.1979009E-5 | 1.8347752 | 1.0E-5 | 5.613192E-5 | 5.133813E-5 | 7.1337105E-5 | 1.389554 | 2.0E-5 | 6.831918E-4 | 6.2486547E-4 | 6.44853E-4 | 1.0319868 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006810953 | 0.006231584 | 0.0062812725 | 1.0079737 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.225205E-5 | 1.1048776E-5 | 2.1048665E-5 | 1.9050677 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2507727E-5 | 4.735105E-5 | 6.7350105E-5 | 1.4223571 | 2.0E-5 | 6.3909404E-4 | 5.7634927E-4 | 5.963377E-4 | 1.0346812 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006372592 | 0.005749009 | 0.0057987217 | 1.0086472 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1352241E-5 | 1.0063508E-5 | 2.0063408E-5 | 1.9936793 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8651553E-5 | 4.3128617E-5 | 6.312776E-5 | 1.4637092 | 2.0E-5 | 5.921717E-4 | 5.249665E-4 | 5.44956E-4 | 1.0380777 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0059059616 | 0.0052376646 | 0.0052874023 | 1.0094962 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0864116E-5 | 9.517E-6 | 1.9516905E-5 | 2.0507412 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6559664E-5 | 4.0786515E-5 | 6.07857E-5 | 1.4903381 | 2.0E-5 | 5.667165E-4 | 4.964647E-4 | 5.164548E-4 | 1.0402648 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005652734 | 0.0049539437 | 0.005003696 | 1.010043 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0666365E-5 | 9.299752E-6 | 1.929966E-5 | 2.0752876 | 1.0E-5 | 4.571219E-5 | 3.985548E-5 | 5.9854683E-5 | 1.501793 | 2.0E-5 | 5.564038E-4 | 4.8513446E-4 | 5.0512474E-4 | 1.0412056 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005550127 | 0.00484114 | 0.0048908982 | 1.0102781 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0038665E-5 | 8.592018E-6 | 1.8591933E-5 | 2.1638608 | 1.0E-5 | 4.302214E-5 | 3.682243E-5 | 5.682169E-5 | 1.5431273 | 2.0E-5 | 5.236687E-4 | 4.4822265E-4 | 4.6821366E-4 | 1.0446007 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005224364 | 0.0044735507 | 0.004523327 | 1.0111268 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.5379955E-6 | 8.025047E-6 | 1.8024966E-5 | 2.2460887 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0876483E-5 | 3.439261E-5 | 5.4391923E-5 | 1.5815003 | 2.0E-5 | 4.975576E-4 | 4.1865133E-4 | 4.3864295E-4 | 1.0477525 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00496445 | 0.00417898 | 0.0042287707 | 1.0119146 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.207389E-6 | 7.652347E-6 | 1.7652272E-5 | 2.3067784 | 1.0E-5 | 3.945964E-5 | 3.2795375E-5 | 5.2794716E-5 | 1.6098222 | 2.0E-5 | 4.803152E-4 | 3.992122E-4 | 4.1920424E-4 | 1.0500786 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004792784 | 0.003985301 | 0.0040351017 | 1.0124961 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.638091E-6 | 5.9310923E-6 | 1.5931033E-5 | 2.6860201 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2734264E-5 | 2.5418722E-5 | 3.5418467E-5 | 1.3934008 | 1.0E-5 | 3.984668E-4 | 3.094293E-4 | 3.194262E-4 | 1.0323075 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039775306 | 0.0030901956 | 0.003130072 | 1.0129042 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.2500147E-6 | 5.596131E-6 | 1.5596075E-5 | 2.786939 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1071122E-5 | 2.3983199E-5 | 3.398296E-5 | 1.4169486 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7822526E-4 | 2.9195662E-4 | 3.019537E-4 | 1.0342417 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037758215 | 0.0029159402 | 0.0029558237 | 1.0136777 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.3899715E-6 | 4.9184864E-6 | 1.4918437E-5 | 3.033136 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7385306E-5 | 2.1079059E-5 | 3.107885E-5 | 1.4743944 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3336508E-4 | 2.566075E-4 | 2.6660494E-4 | 1.03896 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033286542 | 0.002563311 | 0.0026032084 | 1.0155648 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.379025E-6 | 4.0838477E-6 | 1.40838065E-5 | 3.4486613 | 1.0E-5 | 2.305276E-5 | 1.7502087E-5 | 2.7501912E-5 | 1.5713505 | 1.0E-5 | 2.806312E-4 | 2.1306718E-4 | 2.2306504E-4 | 1.0469235 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028027708 | 0.0021286402 | 0.0021585764 | 1.0140635 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.1270696E-6 | 3.0883373E-6 | 1.3088306E-5 | 4.2379785 | 1.0E-5 | 1.768732E-5 | 1.32356645E-5 | 2.3235532E-5 | 1.7555244 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1532185E-4 | 1.6113237E-4 | 1.7113076E-4 | 1.0620508 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021511333 | 0.0016101635 | 0.0016401152 | 1.0186017 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.5406805E-6 | 1.8282044E-6 | 1.8282044E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0888585E-5 | 7.835139E-6 | 7.835139E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3256045E-4 | 9.53887E-5 | 9.53887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013248142 | 9.534837E-4 | 9.534837E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.8608285E-7 | 3.509864E-7 | 3.509864E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0832106E-6 | 1.5042266E-6 | 1.5042266E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5362791E-5 | 1.8313805E-5 | 1.8313805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5359896E-4 | 1.8312308E-4 | 1.8312308E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.0472514E-8 | 1.2688718E-8 | 1.2688718E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7739345E-8 | 5.438022E-8 | 5.438022E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.068226E-6 | 6.6207895E-7 | 6.6207895E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0682209E-5 | 6.620771E-6 | 6.620771E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 4.443582E-9 | 2.032067E-9 | 2.032067E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043922E-8 | 8.7088585E-9 | 8.7088585E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185973E-7 | 1.0603035E-7 | 1.0603035E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185949E-6 | 1.0603031E-6 | 1.0603031E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.1040642E-5 | 1.3103931E-4 | 11.8688135 | 1.2E-4 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.7316473E-5 | 1.9730937E-4 | 4.1699934 | 1.5E-4 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.759784E-4 | 8.358287E-4 | 1.4511458 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0054756533 | 0.005750022 | 0.0060482966 | 1.0518737 | 3.0E-4 |
6.1 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.1040642E-5 | 1.3103931E-4 | 11.8688135 | 1.2E-4 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.7316473E-5 | 1.9730937E-4 | 4.1699934 | 1.5E-4 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.759784E-4 | 8.358287E-4 | 1.4511458 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0054756533 | 0.005750022 | 0.0060482966 | 1.0518737 | 3.0E-4 |
6.2 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2082024E-6 | 2.2208158E-5 | 10.05712 | 2.0E-5 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.463714E-6 | 3.946343E-5 | 4.169973 | 3.0E-5 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1521882E-4 | 1.6521306E-4 | 1.4339069 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011520023 | 0.0012019447 | 1.0433527 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2082024E-6 | 2.2208158E-5 | 10.05712 | 2.0E-5 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.463714E-6 | 3.946343E-5 | 4.169973 | 3.0E-5 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1521882E-4 | 1.6521306E-4 | 1.4339069 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011520023 | 0.0012019447 | 1.0433527 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7259927E-6 | 1.810877E-6 | 2.1810842E-5 | 12.044352 | 2.0E-5 | 7.3970905E-6 | 7.760902E-6 | 3.776067E-5 | 4.8655 | 3.0E-5 | 9.005586E-5 | 9.4488976E-5 | 1.4448425E-4 | 1.5291122 | 5.0E-5 | 9.001937E-4 | 9.448898E-4 | 9.948425E-4 | 1.0528662 | 5.0E-5 |
San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4401106E-5 | 2.3439423E-4 | 6.8135667 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4742499E-4 | 3.8738962E-4 | 2.6277065 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017934233 | 0.0020829032 | 1.1614119 | 2.9E-4 | 0.018879099 | 0.018526303 | 0.018850189 | 1.0174825 | 3.3E-4 |
6.1 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4401106E-5 | 2.3439423E-4 | 6.8135667 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4742499E-4 | 3.8738962E-4 | 2.6277065 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017934233 | 0.0020829032 | 1.1614119 | 2.9E-4 | 0.018879099 | 0.018526303 | 0.018850189 | 1.0174825 | 3.3E-4 |
6.2 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4401106E-5 | 2.3439423E-4 | 6.8135667 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4742499E-4 | 3.8738962E-4 | 2.6277065 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017934233 | 0.0020829032 | 1.1614119 | 2.9E-4 | 0.018879099 | 0.018526303 | 0.018850189 | 1.0174825 | 3.3E-4 |
6.3 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4401106E-5 | 2.3439423E-4 | 6.8135667 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4742499E-4 | 3.8738962E-4 | 2.6277065 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017934233 | 0.0020829032 | 1.1614119 | 2.9E-4 | 0.018879099 | 0.018526303 | 0.018850189 | 1.0174825 | 3.3E-4 |
6.4 | 3.646941E-5 | 3.432268E-5 | 2.3431581E-4 | 6.826851 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5628811E-4 | 1.4708891E-4 | 3.8705362E-4 | 2.631426 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0019011468 | 0.0017893389 | 0.00207882 | 1.1617811 | 2.9E-4 | 0.018849645 | 0.018486181 | 0.018810082 | 1.0175211 | 3.3E-4 |
6.5 | 3.646941E-5 | 3.432268E-5 | 2.3431581E-4 | 6.826851 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5628811E-4 | 1.4708891E-4 | 3.8705362E-4 | 2.631426 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0019011468 | 0.0017893389 | 0.00207882 | 1.1617811 | 2.9E-4 | 0.018849645 | 0.018486181 | 0.018810082 | 1.0175211 | 3.3E-4 |
6.6 | 3.6442503E-5 | 3.4286066E-5 | 2.3427921E-4 | 6.833073 | 2.0E-4 | 1.561728E-4 | 1.4693203E-4 | 3.8689675E-4 | 2.6331685 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0018997455 | 0.001787432 | 0.0020769136 | 1.1619539 | 2.9E-4 | 0.018835869 | 0.01846745 | 0.018791357 | 1.0175393 | 3.3E-4 |
6.7 | 3.6432113E-5 | 3.427164E-5 | 2.342648E-4 | 6.8355284 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5612828E-4 | 1.4687021E-4 | 3.8683496E-4 | 2.6338558 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0018992044 | 0.0017866807 | 0.0020761625 | 1.1620221 | 2.9E-4 | 0.018830549 | 0.018460074 | 0.018783983 | 1.0175464 | 3.3E-4 |
6.8 | 3.6409598E-5 | 3.4240697E-5 | 2.3423386E-4 | 6.8408027 | 2.0E-4 | 1.560318E-4 | 1.4673761E-4 | 3.867024E-4 | 2.6353326 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0018980318 | 0.0017850689 | 0.0020745513 | 1.1621687 | 2.9E-4 | 0.018819023 | 0.018444229 | 0.018768143 | 1.0175618 | 3.3E-4 |
6.9 | 3.638078E-5 | 3.4201123E-5 | 2.3419427E-4 | 6.8475614 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5590832E-4 | 1.4656801E-4 | 3.8653283E-4 | 2.6372252 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0018965311 | 0.0017830075 | 0.0020724905 | 1.1623565 | 2.9E-4 | 0.018804269 | 0.018423963 | 0.018747883 | 1.0175815 | 3.3E-4 |
7.0 | 3.6294874E-5 | 3.408314E-5 | 2.3407632E-4 | 6.867804 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5554018E-4 | 1.4606243E-4 | 3.860274E-4 | 2.642893 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0018920569 | 0.0017768623 | 0.002066347 | 1.162919 | 2.9E-4 | 0.018760284 | 0.018363545 | 0.018687485 | 1.0176404 | 3.3E-4 |
7.1 | 3.6260717E-5 | 3.403942E-5 | 2.3403262E-4 | 6.8753405 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5539382E-4 | 1.4587509E-4 | 3.8584007E-4 | 2.645003 | 2.4E-4 | 0.001890278 | 0.0017745851 | 0.0020640704 | 1.1631285 | 2.9E-4 | 0.018742796 | 0.018341139 | 0.018665086 | 1.0176623 | 3.3E-4 |
7.2 | 3.6210204E-5 | 3.397364E-5 | 2.3396684E-4 | 6.886717 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5517735E-4 | 1.455932E-4 | 3.8555826E-4 | 2.6481886 | 2.4E-4 | 0.001887647 | 0.0017711588 | 0.002060645 | 1.1634446 | 2.9E-4 | 0.01871693 | 0.018307408 | 0.018631367 | 1.0176955 | 3.3E-4 |
7.3 | 3.6119454E-5 | 3.386193E-5 | 2.3385516E-4 | 6.9061384 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5478847E-4 | 1.4511449E-4 | 3.8507965E-4 | 2.6536267 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0018829206 | 0.0017653398 | 0.0020548278 | 1.1639843 | 2.9E-4 | 0.018670462 | 0.01824996 | 0.018573938 | 1.0177523 | 3.3E-4 |
7.4 | 3.607848E-5 | 3.380943E-5 | 2.3380267E-4 | 6.91531 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5461289E-4 | 1.4488952E-4 | 3.8485473E-4 | 2.6561944 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0018807866 | 0.0017626052 | 0.002052094 | 1.1642392 | 2.9E-4 | 0.018649481 | 0.018222956 | 0.018546943 | 1.017779 | 3.3E-4 |
7.5 | 3.5856774E-5 | 3.3619202E-5 | 2.3361247E-4 | 6.948781 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5366284E-4 | 1.4407437E-4 | 3.8403977E-4 | 2.6655664 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0018692396 | 0.0017526967 | 0.0020421883 | 1.1651694 | 2.9E-4 | 0.018535944 | 0.018124057 | 0.018448075 | 1.0178778 | 3.3E-4 |
7.6 | 3.286655E-5 | 3.2142278E-5 | 2.3213585E-4 | 7.2221346 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4084904E-4 | 1.3774536E-4 | 3.777123E-4 | 2.7421055 | 2.4E-4 | 0.001713488 | 0.0016757617 | 0.0019652757 | 1.1727656 | 2.9E-4 | 0.017003361 | 0.017343804 | 0.01766808 | 1.018697 | 3.3E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8882527E-5 | 2.9235205E-5 | 2.2922936E-4 | 7.840867 | 2.0E-4 | 1.237764E-4 | 1.2528773E-4 | 3.6525764E-4 | 2.9153507 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0015059357 | 0.0015243118 | 0.0018138697 | 1.1899598 | 2.9E-4 | 0.014957713 | 0.015830338 | 0.016155114 | 1.020516 | 3.3E-4 |
7.8 | 2.4950225E-5 | 2.6526219E-5 | 2.2652092E-4 | 8.53951 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0692515E-4 | 1.1367885E-4 | 3.5365156E-4 | 3.1109707 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0013010362 | 0.0013831621 | 0.0016627748 | 1.2021546 | 2.8E-4 | 0.012934455 | 0.01441176 | 0.014727148 | 1.0218841 | 3.2E-4 |
7.9 | 1.9881603E-5 | 2.150649E-5 | 2.215022E-4 | 10.299318 | 2.0E-4 | 8.520408E-5 | 9.216742E-5 | 3.321453E-4 | 3.603717 | 2.4E-4 | 0.001036866 | 0.0011215615 | 0.0014012475 | 1.2493719 | 2.8E-4 | 0.010320415 | 0.011776998 | 0.012083347 | 1.0260125 | 3.1E-4 |
8.0 | 1.563292E-5 | 1.5936288E-5 | 2.159331E-4 | 13.549774 | 2.0E-4 | 6.6996516E-5 | 6.829659E-5 | 3.082802E-4 | 4.5138445 | 2.4E-4 | 8.153773E-4 | 8.3119445E-4 | 0.0011009701 | 1.3245637 | 2.7E-4 | 0.00812392 | 0.008810331 | 0.009087864 | 1.0315008 | 2.8E-4 |
8.1 | 1.0045313E-5 | 8.300794E-6 | 1.08299966E-4 | 13.04694 | 1.0E-4 | 4.305063E-5 | 3.557435E-5 | 1.4557043E-4 | 4.0920057 | 1.1E-4 | 5.2401534E-4 | 4.3303217E-4 | 5.429845E-4 | 1.2539127 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0052278144 | 0.0046587666 | 0.0047682542 | 1.0235014 | 1.1E-4 |
8.2 | 4.1554413E-6 | 1.5648296E-6 | 1.5648296E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7808914E-5 | 6.7063957E-6 | 6.7063957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1680194E-4 | 8.164734E-5 | 8.164734E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021659054 | 9.479703E-4 | 9.479703E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 3.612677E-7 | 3.612677E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.5482892E-6 | 1.5482892E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 1.8850264E-5 | 1.8850264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.2739546E-4 | 2.2739546E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5271103E-5 | 2.3526404E-4 | 6.670164 | 2.0E-4 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5115313E-4 | 3.9111686E-4 | 2.5875537 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018387372 | 0.0021182224 | 1.1519984 | 2.8E-4 | 0.020996714 | 0.018986495 | 0.01930042 | 1.0165341 | 3.2E-4 |
6.1 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5271103E-5 | 2.3526404E-4 | 6.670164 | 2.0E-4 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5115313E-4 | 3.9111686E-4 | 2.5875537 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018387372 | 0.0021182224 | 1.1519984 | 2.8E-4 | 0.020996714 | 0.018986495 | 0.01930042 | 1.0165341 | 3.2E-4 |
6.2 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5271103E-5 | 2.3526404E-4 | 6.670164 | 2.0E-4 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5115313E-4 | 3.9111686E-4 | 2.5875537 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018387372 | 0.0021182224 | 1.1519984 | 2.8E-4 | 0.020996714 | 0.018986495 | 0.01930042 | 1.0165341 | 3.2E-4 |
6.3 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5271103E-5 | 2.3526404E-4 | 6.670164 | 2.0E-4 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5115313E-4 | 3.9111686E-4 | 2.5875537 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018387372 | 0.0021182224 | 1.1519984 | 2.8E-4 | 0.020996714 | 0.018986495 | 0.01930042 | 1.0165341 | 3.2E-4 |
6.4 | 4.0577226E-5 | 3.5143014E-5 | 2.3513599E-4 | 6.6908317 | 2.0E-4 | 1.738908E-4 | 1.5060425E-4 | 3.905681E-4 | 2.5933406 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0018320669 | 0.002111554 | 1.1525528 | 2.8E-4 | 0.020950472 | 0.018921062 | 0.019235007 | 1.0165924 | 3.2E-4 |
6.5 | 4.0577226E-5 | 3.5143014E-5 | 2.3513599E-4 | 6.6908317 | 2.0E-4 | 1.738908E-4 | 1.5060425E-4 | 3.905681E-4 | 2.5933406 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0018320669 | 0.002111554 | 1.1525528 | 2.8E-4 | 0.020950472 | 0.018921062 | 0.019235007 | 1.0165924 | 3.2E-4 |
6.6 | 4.053861E-5 | 3.5088357E-5 | 2.3508134E-4 | 6.6996965 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7372532E-4 | 1.5037002E-4 | 3.9033394E-4 | 2.5958228 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0021130538 | 0.0018292206 | 0.0021087085 | 1.1527907 | 2.8E-4 | 0.020930743 | 0.01889314 | 0.019207094 | 1.0166174 | 3.2E-4 |
6.7 | 4.0516545E-5 | 3.505743E-5 | 2.3505042E-4 | 6.704725 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7363077E-4 | 1.502375E-4 | 3.9020143E-4 | 2.5972307 | 2.4E-4 | 0.002111905 | 0.0018276101 | 0.0021070982 | 1.1529255 | 2.8E-4 | 0.020919468 | 0.018877337 | 0.019191295 | 1.0166316 | 3.2E-4 |
6.8 | 4.049434E-5 | 3.5028992E-5 | 2.3502199E-4 | 6.709356 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7353562E-4 | 1.5011564E-4 | 3.900796E-4 | 2.5985274 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0021107488 | 0.0018261289 | 0.0021056177 | 1.1530498 | 2.8E-4 | 0.020908125 | 0.018862749 | 0.019176712 | 1.0166446 | 3.2E-4 |
6.9 | 4.046386E-5 | 3.4991554E-5 | 2.3498456E-4 | 6.715465 | 2.0E-4 | 1.73405E-4 | 1.499552E-4 | 3.899192E-4 | 2.600238 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0021091616 | 0.0018241788 | 0.0021036682 | 1.1532137 | 2.8E-4 | 0.020892553 | 0.018843522 | 0.019157492 | 1.016662 | 3.2E-4 |
7.0 | 4.036382E-5 | 3.4872126E-5 | 2.3486515E-4 | 6.7350397 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7297632E-4 | 1.4944343E-4 | 3.8940756E-4 | 2.605719 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0021039525 | 0.0018179584 | 0.0020974495 | 1.153739 | 2.8E-4 | 0.02084144 | 0.018782137 | 0.019096127 | 1.0167174 | 3.2E-4 |
7.1 | 4.0343282E-5 | 3.485059E-5 | 2.3484362E-4 | 6.738584 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7288832E-4 | 1.4935112E-4 | 3.8931528E-4 | 2.6067114 | 2.4E-4 | 0.002102883 | 0.0018168368 | 0.002096328 | 1.153834 | 2.8E-4 | 0.020830948 | 0.018771008 | 0.019085001 | 1.0167276 | 3.2E-4 |
7.2 | 4.0257353E-5 | 3.475509E-5 | 2.3474813E-4 | 6.754353 | 2.0E-4 | 1.725201E-4 | 1.489419E-4 | 3.8890613E-4 | 2.6111267 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0020984085 | 0.0018118626 | 0.0020913552 | 1.154257 | 2.8E-4 | 0.020787042 | 0.018721746 | 0.019035755 | 1.0167724 | 3.2E-4 |
7.3 | 3.9940667E-5 | 3.458276E-5 | 2.3457584E-4 | 6.7830286 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7116306E-4 | 1.4820343E-4 | 3.8816786E-4 | 2.6191556 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0020819185 | 0.0018028866 | 0.0020823819 | 1.1550264 | 2.8E-4 | 0.020625217 | 0.018630387 | 0.018944426 | 1.0168562 | 3.2E-4 |
7.4 | 3.9721202E-5 | 3.4468165E-5 | 2.3446127E-4 | 6.8022556 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7022261E-4 | 1.4771236E-4 | 3.876769E-4 | 2.6245394 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0020704903 | 0.0017969179 | 0.0020764146 | 1.1555424 | 2.8E-4 | 0.020513052 | 0.018569522 | 0.018883578 | 1.0169126 | 3.2E-4 |
7.5 | 3.7036873E-5 | 3.3535776E-5 | 2.3352906E-4 | 6.9635806 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5871979E-4 | 1.4371685E-4 | 3.8368235E-4 | 2.6697104 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0019307006 | 0.0017483513 | 0.0020278618 | 1.1598709 | 2.8E-4 | 0.019140124 | 0.018071128 | 0.018385345 | 1.0173877 | 3.2E-4 |
7.6 | 3.2940967E-5 | 3.13167E-5 | 2.3131043E-4 | 7.3861685 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4116794E-4 | 1.3420754E-4 | 3.7417535E-4 | 2.7880352 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0017173645 | 0.0016327545 | 0.0019122972 | 1.1712093 | 2.8E-4 | 0.01704153 | 0.016904091 | 0.017218681 | 1.0186104 | 3.2E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8236149E-5 | 2.7882697E-5 | 2.2787711E-4 | 8.172708 | 2.0E-4 | 1.2100645E-4 | 1.1949181E-4 | 3.5946313E-4 | 3.008266 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0014722579 | 0.0014538429 | 0.0017334358 | 1.1923131 | 2.8E-4 | 0.014625421 | 0.015114912 | 0.015430075 | 1.0208511 | 3.2E-4 |
7.8 | 2.4329287E-5 | 2.5206451E-5 | 2.2520141E-4 | 8.934277 | 2.0E-4 | 1.042642E-4 | 1.08023174E-4 | 3.4799727E-4 | 3.2215054 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0012686774 | 0.0013143895 | 0.0015840346 | 1.2051486 | 2.7E-4 | 0.012614589 | 0.013712341 | 0.0140180895 | 1.0222974 | 3.1E-4 |
7.9 | 1.9370926E-5 | 2.0420413E-5 | 2.2041633E-4 | 10.793921 | 2.0E-4 | 8.301561E-5 | 8.751312E-5 | 3.2749213E-4 | 3.7422059 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0010102465 | 0.0010649522 | 0.0013346648 | 1.2532625 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0100566605 | 0.011199402 | 0.011496042 | 1.0264871 | 3.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.5583017E-5 | 1.5885415E-5 | 2.1588223E-4 | 13.589965 | 2.0E-4 | 6.6782646E-5 | 6.807858E-5 | 3.0806224E-4 | 4.525098 | 2.4E-4 | 8.127754E-4 | 8.2854216E-4 | 0.0010983185 | 1.3256036 | 2.7E-4 | 0.008098091 | 0.008781636 | 0.009059178 | 1.0316048 | 2.8E-4 |
8.1 | 1.0024873E-5 | 8.291399E-6 | 1.0829057E-4 | 13.06059 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2963035E-5 | 3.553409E-5 | 1.4553018E-4 | 4.095509 | 1.1E-4 | 5.229494E-4 | 4.3254215E-4 | 5.424946E-4 | 1.2542005 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0052172043 | 0.0046530655 | 0.0047625536 | 1.0235304 | 1.1E-4 |
8.2 | 4.142796E-6 | 1.5602761E-6 | 1.5602761E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.775472E-5 | 6.6868806E-6 | 6.6868806E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1614227E-4 | 8.140976E-5 | 8.140976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021593217 | 9.4514614E-4 | 9.4514614E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 3.609817E-7 | 3.609817E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.5470634E-6 | 1.5470634E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 1.8835339E-5 | 1.8835339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.272251E-4 | 2.272251E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Anza) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3298347E-5 | 2.4328969E-4 | 5.618914 | 2.0E-4 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8555121E-4 | 4.2550667E-4 | 2.2932034 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022567573 | 0.0025361255 | 1.1237918 | 2.8E-4 | 0.032346968 | 0.02329361 | 0.023606157 | 1.0134177 | 3.2E-4 |
6.1 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3298347E-5 | 2.4328969E-4 | 5.618914 | 2.0E-4 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8555121E-4 | 4.2550667E-4 | 2.2932034 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022567573 | 0.0025361255 | 1.1237918 | 2.8E-4 | 0.032346968 | 0.02329361 | 0.023606157 | 1.0134177 | 3.2E-4 |
6.2 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3298347E-5 | 2.4328969E-4 | 5.618914 | 2.0E-4 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8555121E-4 | 4.2550667E-4 | 2.2932034 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022567573 | 0.0025361255 | 1.1237918 | 2.8E-4 | 0.032346968 | 0.02329361 | 0.023606157 | 1.0134177 | 3.2E-4 |
6.3 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3298347E-5 | 2.4328969E-4 | 5.618914 | 2.0E-4 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8555121E-4 | 4.2550667E-4 | 2.2932034 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022567573 | 0.0025361255 | 1.1237918 | 2.8E-4 | 0.032346968 | 0.02329361 | 0.023606157 | 1.0134177 | 3.2E-4 |
6.4 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3298347E-5 | 2.4328969E-4 | 5.618914 | 2.0E-4 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8555121E-4 | 4.2550667E-4 | 2.2932034 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022567573 | 0.0025361255 | 1.1237918 | 2.8E-4 | 0.032346968 | 0.02329361 | 0.023606157 | 1.0134177 | 3.2E-4 |
6.5 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.0080286E-5 | 2.4007227E-4 | 5.9897842 | 2.0E-4 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.7176138E-4 | 4.1172016E-4 | 2.3970473 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0030276014 | 0.0020891947 | 0.0023686097 | 1.1337429 | 2.8E-4 | 0.02986684 | 0.021590833 | 0.021903925 | 1.0145011 | 3.2E-4 |
6.6 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.0080286E-5 | 2.4007227E-4 | 5.9897842 | 2.0E-4 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.7176138E-4 | 4.1172016E-4 | 2.3970473 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0030276014 | 0.0020891947 | 0.0023686097 | 1.1337429 | 2.8E-4 | 0.02986684 | 0.021590833 | 0.021903925 | 1.0145011 | 3.2E-4 |
6.7 | 5.712442E-5 | 3.950301E-5 | 2.3949512E-4 | 6.062705 | 2.0E-4 | 2.4479596E-4 | 1.6928767E-4 | 4.0924703E-4 | 2.4174652 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0029763177 | 0.0020591344 | 0.002338558 | 1.1356995 | 2.8E-4 | 0.029367693 | 0.021282919 | 0.021596108 | 1.0147156 | 3.2E-4 |
6.8 | 5.6967532E-5 | 3.93593E-5 | 2.3935143E-4 | 6.0811915 | 2.0E-4 | 2.4412372E-4 | 1.6867183E-4 | 4.0863134E-4 | 2.4226413 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0029681553 | 0.0020516508 | 0.0023310764 | 1.1361954 | 2.8E-4 | 0.029288229 | 0.02120852 | 0.021521732 | 1.0147682 | 3.2E-4 |
6.9 | 5.6211324E-5 | 3.9064216E-5 | 2.390564E-4 | 6.119575 | 2.0E-4 | 2.4088343E-4 | 1.6740736E-4 | 4.073672E-4 | 2.4333887 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0029288116 | 0.0020362847 | 0.0023157145 | 1.1372253 | 2.8E-4 | 0.028905109 | 0.021047527 | 0.021360792 | 1.0148836 | 3.2E-4 |
7.0 | 5.4383527E-5 | 3.7925012E-5 | 2.3791743E-4 | 6.2733645 | 2.0E-4 | 2.3305144E-4 | 1.6252567E-4 | 4.0248665E-4 | 2.47645 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0028337094 | 0.001976959 | 0.0022564055 | 1.1413517 | 2.8E-4 | 0.027978465 | 0.02044095 | 0.020754408 | 1.0153348 | 3.2E-4 |
7.1 | 5.1393665E-5 | 3.638787E-5 | 2.363806E-4 | 6.496137 | 2.0E-4 | 2.2023996E-4 | 1.5593872E-4 | 3.959013E-4 | 2.5388262 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0026781242 | 0.0018969048 | 0.0021763737 | 1.1473289 | 2.8E-4 | 0.026460782 | 0.019616077 | 0.0199298 | 1.0159931 | 3.2E-4 |
7.2 | 4.785222E-5 | 3.4738845E-5 | 2.347319E-4 | 6.757044 | 2.0E-4 | 2.0506482E-4 | 1.4887229E-4 | 3.8883655E-4 | 2.61188 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0024938055 | 0.0018110167 | 0.0020905097 | 1.1543293 | 2.8E-4 | 0.024660049 | 0.018728783 | 0.01904279 | 1.016766 | 3.2E-4 |
7.3 | 4.2143256E-5 | 3.3834414E-5 | 2.3382764E-4 | 6.9109416 | 2.0E-4 | 1.8060145E-4 | 1.449966E-4 | 3.8496178E-4 | 2.6549714 | 2.4E-4 | 0.002196605 | 0.0017639075 | 0.0020434135 | 1.1584585 | 2.8E-4 | 0.02175019 | 0.018236695 | 0.01855086 | 1.017227 | 3.2E-4 |
7.4 | 4.0264713E-5 | 3.3472694E-5 | 2.33466E-4 | 6.9748197 | 2.0E-4 | 1.7255165E-4 | 1.4344654E-4 | 3.8341212E-4 | 2.6728573 | 2.4E-4 | 0.002098792 | 0.0017450659 | 0.0020245772 | 1.1601723 | 2.8E-4 | 0.020790804 | 0.018041389 | 0.018355615 | 1.017417 | 3.2E-4 |
7.5 | 3.694492E-5 | 3.2186905E-5 | 2.3218046E-4 | 7.213507 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5832575E-4 | 1.379366E-4 | 3.779035E-4 | 2.7396898 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0019259118 | 0.0016780876 | 0.0019576177 | 1.1665766 | 2.8E-4 | 0.01909306 | 0.017357888 | 0.017672334 | 1.0181154 | 3.2E-4 |
7.6 | 3.200565E-5 | 2.9502702E-5 | 2.294968E-4 | 7.77884 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3715986E-4 | 1.2643404E-4 | 3.664037E-4 | 2.897983 | 2.4E-4 | 0.001668642 | 0.0015382497 | 0.001817819 | 1.181745 | 2.8E-4 | 0.01656168 | 0.015946016 | 0.016260915 | 1.0197477 | 3.2E-4 |
7.7 | 2.731642E-5 | 2.6091477E-5 | 2.2608625E-4 | 8.665138 | 2.0E-4 | 1.1706512E-4 | 1.11815825E-4 | 3.51789E-4 | 3.1461468 | 2.4E-4 | 0.001424336 | 0.0013605085 | 0.0016401275 | 1.2055254 | 2.8E-4 | 0.014152412 | 0.0141668 | 0.014482266 | 1.022268 | 3.2E-4 |
7.8 | 2.3466424E-5 | 2.3503619E-5 | 2.2349892E-4 | 9.509128 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0056651E-4 | 1.0072591E-4 | 3.4070175E-4 | 3.3824637 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0012237094 | 0.0012256489 | 0.0014953179 | 1.2200215 | 2.7E-4 | 0.012169928 | 0.012808796 | 0.013114826 | 1.0238922 | 3.1E-4 |
7.9 | 1.8611925E-5 | 1.890698E-5 | 2.189032E-4 | 11.577904 | 2.0E-4 | 7.9762955E-5 | 8.10274E-5 | 3.2100794E-4 | 3.961721 | 2.4E-4 | 9.7068126E-4 | 9.860628E-4 | 0.0012557966 | 1.2735462 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0096645225 | 0.010393705 | 0.010690588 | 1.0285636 | 3.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.5460775E-5 | 1.5739915E-5 | 2.1573677E-4 | 13.706348 | 2.0E-4 | 6.6258784E-5 | 6.745504E-5 | 3.0743884E-4 | 4.5576854 | 2.4E-4 | 8.0640207E-4 | 8.2095637E-4 | 0.0010907347 | 1.3286147 | 2.7E-4 | 0.008034821 | 0.008702706 | 0.008980269 | 1.0318938 | 2.8E-4 |
8.1 | 9.983884E-6 | 8.268954E-6 | 1.0826813E-4 | 13.0933275 | 1.0E-4 | 4.2787375E-5 | 3.5437897E-5 | 1.45434E-4 | 4.103912 | 1.1E-4 | 5.2081177E-4 | 4.313715E-4 | 5.41324E-4 | 1.2548907 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0051959283 | 0.00463968 | 0.00474917 | 1.0235986 | 1.1E-4 |
8.2 | 4.1226E-6 | 1.5522551E-6 | 1.5522551E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7668166E-5 | 6.6525045E-6 | 6.6525045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1508869E-4 | 8.099126E-5 | 8.099126E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021488064 | 9.401847E-4 | 9.401847E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 3.609817E-7 | 3.609817E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.5470634E-6 | 1.5470634E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 1.8835339E-5 | 1.8835339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.272251E-4 | 2.272251E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Chino alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.939946E-5 | 4.894798E-5 | 1.3894358E-4 | 2.8385966 | 9.0E-5 | 1.6884391E-4 | 2.0976314E-4 | 3.2973796E-4 | 1.5719539 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0020537362 | 0.002551385 | 0.0027807984 | 1.0899171 | 2.3E-4 | 0.020348595 | 0.025280168 | 0.025543343 | 1.0104103 | 2.7E-4 |
6.1 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.6878823E-5 | 8.687721E-5 | 3.2321806 | 6.0E-5 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.15190494E-4 | 1.8518243E-4 | 1.607619 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0014016517 | 0.0015314694 | 1.0926178 | 1.3E-4 | 0.011158722 | 0.013947425 | 0.014085473 | 1.0098977 | 1.4E-4 |
6.2 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.6878823E-5 | 8.687721E-5 | 3.2321806 | 6.0E-5 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.15190494E-4 | 1.8518243E-4 | 1.607619 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0014016517 | 0.0015314694 | 1.0926178 | 1.3E-4 | 0.011158722 | 0.013947425 | 0.014085473 | 1.0098977 | 1.4E-4 |
6.3 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.8164832E-5 | 4.8164286E-5 | 2.6515129 | 3.0E-5 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.784722E-5 | 1.178441E-4 | 1.513787 | 4.0E-5 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.4742293E-4 | 0.0010273472 | 1.0843595 | 8.0E-5 | 0.007429048 | 0.00944674 | 0.009525984 | 1.0083885 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.8164832E-5 | 4.8164286E-5 | 2.6515129 | 3.0E-5 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.784722E-5 | 1.178441E-4 | 1.513787 | 4.0E-5 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.4742293E-4 | 0.0010273472 | 1.0843595 | 8.0E-5 | 0.007429048 | 0.00944674 | 0.009525984 | 1.0083885 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3017944E-5 | 1.6651793E-5 | 3.6651458E-5 | 2.201052 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5789995E-5 | 7.1363116E-5 | 1.0136098E-4 | 1.4203552 | 3.0E-5 | 6.790315E-4 | 8.6854334E-4 | 9.384826E-4 | 1.0805247 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0067696036 | 0.008664233 | 0.008733626 | 1.0080092 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.470016E-6 | 1.2039209E-5 | 3.203897E-5 | 2.6612186 | 2.0E-5 | 4.058515E-5 | 5.159578E-5 | 8.159423E-5 | 1.5814129 | 3.0E-5 | 4.940122E-4 | 6.280315E-4 | 6.780001E-4 | 1.0795639 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004929154 | 0.006273248 | 0.006322934 | 1.0079204 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.314155E-6 | 1.040749E-5 | 3.0407282E-5 | 2.9216728 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5631605E-5 | 4.4602948E-5 | 7.460161E-5 | 1.6725713 | 3.0E-5 | 4.3372845E-4 | 5.4293784E-4 | 5.929107E-4 | 1.0920416 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004328829 | 0.0054270807 | 0.0054768096 | 1.009163 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4856364E-6 | 3.8134033E-6 | 1.38133655E-5 | 3.6223195 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4938357E-5 | 1.6343065E-5 | 2.6342903E-5 | 1.6118703 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8185932E-4 | 1.9896074E-4 | 2.1895676E-4 | 1.1005024 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018171056 | 0.0019894529 | 0.002009413 | 1.010033 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2645952E-6 | 2.152909E-6 | 1.2152887E-5 | 5.6448684 | 1.0E-5 | 9.705372E-6 | 9.226722E-6 | 1.9226629E-5 | 2.0837986 | 1.0E-5 | 1.18156495E-4 | 1.12329755E-4 | 1.323275E-4 | 1.1780272 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011809369 | 0.0011233138 | 0.0011432914 | 1.0177845 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7864003E-6 | 1.5430741E-6 | 1.15430585E-5 | 7.4805603 | 1.0E-5 | 7.655979E-6 | 6.613158E-6 | 1.6613092E-5 | 2.512127 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3207556E-5 | 8.051228E-5 | 9.051148E-5 | 1.1241946 | 1.0E-5 | 9.316847E-4 | 8.052856E-4 | 8.1527757E-4 | 1.0124079 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.7315456E-6 | 1.4733466E-6 | 1.1473332E-5 | 7.787259 | 1.0E-5 | 7.420889E-6 | 6.314328E-6 | 1.6314265E-5 | 2.58369 | 1.0E-5 | 9.034557E-5 | 7.687428E-5 | 8.6873515E-5 | 1.1300725 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0308854E-4 | 7.68921E-4 | 7.7891327E-4 | 1.0129952 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6008337E-6 | 1.3574178E-6 | 1.1357404E-5 | 8.366919 | 1.0E-5 | 6.860698E-6 | 5.817492E-6 | 1.5817433E-5 | 2.7189438 | 1.0E-5 | 8.352579E-5 | 7.082572E-5 | 8.082501E-5 | 1.1411817 | 1.0E-5 | 8.34944E-4 | 7.0846075E-4 | 7.1845367E-4 | 1.0141051 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.3320939E-6 | 1.1217794E-6 | 1.1121769E-5 | 9.914398 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7089615E-6 | 4.8076176E-6 | 1.480757E-5 | 3.0800223 | 1.0E-5 | 6.9504385E-5 | 5.853122E-5 | 6.853064E-5 | 1.170839 | 1.0E-5 | 6.9482654E-4 | 5.8530655E-4 | 5.953007E-4 | 1.0170751 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.114294E-6 | 9.237087E-7 | 1.09237E-5 | 11.825914 | 1.0E-5 | 4.775537E-6 | 3.9587458E-6 | 1.3958706E-5 | 3.5260427 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8140613E-5 | 4.81967E-5 | 5.8196216E-5 | 1.207473 | 1.0E-5 | 5.81254E-4 | 4.8187698E-4 | 4.9187214E-4 | 1.0207422 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 9.354081E-7 | 7.6233886E-7 | 1.0762331E-5 | 14.1175165 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0088858E-6 | 3.2671626E-6 | 1.326713E-5 | 4.06075 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8807087E-5 | 3.9777013E-5 | 4.9776616E-5 | 1.2513915 | 1.0E-5 | 4.879637E-4 | 3.9770233E-4 | 4.0769836E-4 | 1.0251344 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.521771E-7 | 6.880688E-7 | 1.0688062E-5 | 15.533421 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6521824E-6 | 2.948863E-6 | 1.29488335E-5 | 4.3911276 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4464414E-5 | 3.590185E-5 | 4.590149E-5 | 1.2785271 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4455516E-4 | 3.5896365E-4 | 3.6896006E-4 | 1.027848 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.1803626E-7 | 1.4186368E-7 | 1.0141862E-5 | 71.4902 | 1.0E-5 | 9.344408E-7 | 6.0798715E-7 | 1.06079815E-5 | 17.447706 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1376757E-5 | 7.4022278E-6 | 1.7402153E-5 | 2.3509345 | 1.0E-5 | 1.13761744E-4 | 7.402077E-5 | 8.402003E-5 | 1.1350873 | 1.0E-5 |
Pinto Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7853926E-5 | 1.778477E-4 | 3.7164705 | 1.3E-4 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0507304E-4 | 3.6504024E-4 | 1.7800498 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024940688 | 0.0027334702 | 1.0959883 | 2.4E-4 | 0.022796938 | 0.024678305 | 0.024951395 | 1.011066 | 2.8E-4 |
6.1 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7853926E-5 | 1.778477E-4 | 3.7164705 | 1.3E-4 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0507304E-4 | 3.6504024E-4 | 1.7800498 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024940688 | 0.0027334702 | 1.0959883 | 2.4E-4 | 0.022796938 | 0.024678305 | 0.024951395 | 1.011066 | 2.8E-4 |
6.2 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7853926E-5 | 1.778477E-4 | 3.7164705 | 1.3E-4 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0507304E-4 | 3.6504024E-4 | 1.7800498 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024940688 | 0.0027334702 | 1.0959883 | 2.4E-4 | 0.022796938 | 0.024678305 | 0.024951395 | 1.011066 | 2.8E-4 |
6.3 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7853926E-5 | 1.778477E-4 | 3.7164705 | 1.3E-4 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0507304E-4 | 3.6504024E-4 | 1.7800498 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024940688 | 0.0027334702 | 1.0959883 | 2.4E-4 | 0.022796938 | 0.024678305 | 0.024951395 | 1.011066 | 2.8E-4 |
6.4 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.960349E-5 | 1.3959954E-4 | 3.52493 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.6971873E-4 | 2.8969836E-4 | 1.7069322 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0020644604 | 0.0022440888 | 1.0870099 | 1.8E-4 | 0.019274427 | 0.020462848 | 0.020658756 | 1.0095738 | 2.0E-4 |
6.5 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.960349E-5 | 1.3959954E-4 | 3.52493 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.6971873E-4 | 2.8969836E-4 | 1.7069322 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0020644604 | 0.0022440888 | 1.0870099 | 1.8E-4 | 0.019274427 | 0.020462848 | 0.020658756 | 1.0095738 | 2.0E-4 |
6.6 | 3.0204548E-5 | 3.12056E-5 | 8.120404E-5 | 2.6022265 | 5.0E-5 | 1.2944164E-4 | 1.3373162E-4 | 1.9372361E-4 | 1.4485998 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0015748127 | 0.0016270012 | 0.0017168547 | 1.0552264 | 9.0E-5 | 0.015636992 | 0.016154764 | 0.016262988 | 1.0066991 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 2.9857754E-5 | 3.0814987E-5 | 8.081344E-5 | 2.6225371 | 5.0E-5 | 1.2795553E-4 | 1.3205773E-4 | 1.920498E-4 | 1.4542867 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0015567453 | 0.0016066517 | 0.0016965071 | 1.0559272 | 9.0E-5 | 0.015458848 | 0.015954204 | 0.01606245 | 1.0067847 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 2.4819734E-5 | 2.5009665E-5 | 6.5008666E-5 | 2.5993416 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0636595E-4 | 1.0718E-4 | 1.5717464E-4 | 1.466455 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0012942362 | 0.001304157 | 0.0013840527 | 1.0612622 | 8.0E-5 | 0.012867244 | 0.012967403 | 0.0130661065 | 1.0076116 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 2.331124E-5 | 2.3337945E-5 | 6.3337015E-5 | 2.713907 | 4.0E-5 | 9.990149E-5 | 1.0001605E-4 | 1.5001104E-4 | 1.4998698 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001215622 | 0.0012170355 | 0.0012969382 | 1.0656534 | 8.0E-5 | 0.012089936 | 0.012105897 | 0.012204686 | 1.0081605 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 2.1818534E-5 | 2.1761074E-5 | 6.1760205E-5 | 2.8381045 | 4.0E-5 | 9.3504656E-5 | 9.3258524E-5 | 1.4325386E-4 | 1.5360941 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011378246 | 0.0011348509 | 0.0012147601 | 1.0704138 | 8.0E-5 | 0.011320163 | 0.01129266 | 0.01139153 | 1.0087553 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 2.066081E-5 | 2.0540718E-5 | 6.0539896E-5 | 2.9473116 | 4.0E-5 | 8.854332E-5 | 8.8028784E-5 | 1.3802439E-4 | 1.567946 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0010774818 | 0.0010712431 | 0.0011511574 | 1.0745996 | 8.0E-5 | 0.010722724 | 0.0106628435 | 0.010761777 | 1.0092784 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.8990233E-5 | 1.9054001E-5 | 5.905324E-5 | 3.0992565 | 4.0E-5 | 8.138417E-5 | 8.165756E-5 | 1.3165348E-4 | 1.6122632 | 5.0E-5 | 9.904018E-4 | 9.937467E-4 | 0.0010636771 | 1.0703704 | 7.0E-5 | 0.009859995 | 0.009895029 | 0.009984138 | 1.0090054 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.3335872E-5 | 1.4906713E-5 | 5.4906115E-5 | 3.6833148 | 4.0E-5 | 5.7152483E-5 | 6.388442E-5 | 1.0388187E-4 | 1.6260908 | 4.0E-5 | 6.956093E-4 | 7.77528E-4 | 8.3748135E-4 | 1.0771077 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006934359 | 0.007749376 | 0.007818833 | 1.008963 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.414066E-6 | 1.186096E-5 | 5.1860487E-5 | 4.3723683 | 4.0E-5 | 4.0345374E-5 | 5.083175E-5 | 9.0829715E-5 | 1.7868698 | 4.0E-5 | 4.910942E-4 | 6.1871024E-4 | 6.786731E-4 | 1.096916 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0049001034 | 0.0061708256 | 0.0062403935 | 1.0112737 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.2101157E-6 | 9.158192E-6 | 4.9157825E-5 | 5.3676343 | 4.0E-5 | 3.090013E-5 | 3.9248847E-5 | 7.924728E-5 | 2.0190983 | 4.0E-5 | 3.7614413E-4 | 4.7775774E-4 | 5.277339E-4 | 1.1046056 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0037550807 | 0.004768082 | 0.004827796 | 1.0125237 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.296375E-6 | 4.5455017E-6 | 2.454541E-5 | 5.3999343 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4127245E-5 | 1.9480583E-5 | 3.9480194E-5 | 2.0266433 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7198564E-4 | 2.3715167E-4 | 2.6714455E-4 | 1.1264713 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017185259 | 0.0023691233 | 0.0024090286 | 1.0168439 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.5741092E-6 | 3.5844084E-6 | 3.5844084E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.103185E-5 | 1.5361667E-5 | 1.5361667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3430449E-4 | 1.8701357E-4 | 1.970117E-4 | 1.053462 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013422335 | 0.0018686918 | 0.0018786731 | 1.0053413 | 1.0E-5 |
Independence rev 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3262253E-6 | 1.8432544E-4 | 42.60653 | 1.8E-4 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540852E-5 | 2.0853733E-4 | 11.247452 | 1.9E-4 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571447E-4 | 4.7565805E-4 | 2.1073442 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551457 | 0.0025245368 | 1.1194562 | 2.7E-4 |
6.1 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3262253E-6 | 1.8432544E-4 | 42.60653 | 1.8E-4 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540852E-5 | 2.0853733E-4 | 11.247452 | 1.9E-4 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571447E-4 | 4.7565805E-4 | 2.1073442 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551457 | 0.0025245368 | 1.1194562 | 2.7E-4 |
6.2 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3262253E-6 | 1.8432544E-4 | 42.60653 | 1.8E-4 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540852E-5 | 2.0853733E-4 | 11.247452 | 1.9E-4 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571447E-4 | 4.7565805E-4 | 2.1073442 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551457 | 0.0025245368 | 1.1194562 | 2.7E-4 |
6.3 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3262253E-6 | 1.8432544E-4 | 42.60653 | 1.8E-4 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540852E-5 | 2.0853733E-4 | 11.247452 | 1.9E-4 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571447E-4 | 4.7565805E-4 | 2.1073442 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551457 | 0.0025245368 | 1.1194562 | 2.7E-4 |
6.4 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3262253E-6 | 1.8432544E-4 | 42.60653 | 1.8E-4 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540852E-5 | 2.0853733E-4 | 11.247452 | 1.9E-4 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571447E-4 | 4.7565805E-4 | 2.1073442 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551457 | 0.0025245368 | 1.1194562 | 2.7E-4 |
6.5 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3262253E-6 | 1.8432544E-4 | 42.60653 | 1.8E-4 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540852E-5 | 2.0853733E-4 | 11.247452 | 1.9E-4 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571447E-4 | 4.7565805E-4 | 2.1073442 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551457 | 0.0025245368 | 1.1194562 | 2.7E-4 |
6.6 | 2.663744E-6 | 2.5319846E-6 | 1.7253155E-4 | 68.14084 | 1.7E-4 | 1.1415996E-5 | 1.08513195E-5 | 1.9084937E-4 | 17.587664 | 1.8E-4 | 1.3898089E-4 | 1.321073E-4 | 3.620769E-4 | 2.740779 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0013889399 | 0.0013203359 | 0.0015700058 | 1.1890957 | 2.5E-4 |
6.7 | 2.663744E-6 | 2.5319846E-6 | 1.7253155E-4 | 68.14084 | 1.7E-4 | 1.1415996E-5 | 1.08513195E-5 | 1.9084937E-4 | 17.587664 | 1.8E-4 | 1.3898089E-4 | 1.321073E-4 | 3.620769E-4 | 2.740779 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0013889399 | 0.0013203359 | 0.0015700058 | 1.1890957 | 2.5E-4 |
6.8 | 1.9716529E-6 | 1.8322567E-6 | 1.7183194E-4 | 93.78159 | 1.7E-4 | 8.449913E-6 | 7.852505E-6 | 1.878511E-4 | 23.92244 | 1.8E-4 | 1.0287284E-4 | 9.560019E-5 | 3.255782E-4 | 3.405623 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0010282523 | 9.5560355E-4 | 0.0012053646 | 1.2613648 | 2.5E-4 |
6.9 | 1.8788617E-6 | 1.7429976E-6 | 1.7174271E-4 | 98.53296 | 1.7E-4 | 8.0522395E-6 | 7.4699688E-6 | 1.8746863E-4 | 25.096306 | 1.8E-4 | 9.80316E-5 | 9.09432E-5 | 3.209223E-4 | 3.5288212 | 2.3E-4 | 9.798837E-4 | 9.090718E-4 | 0.0011588446 | 1.2747557 | 2.5E-4 |
7.0 | 1.5045488E-6 | 1.3849498E-6 | 1.5138474E-4 | 109.30703 | 1.5E-4 | 6.44805E-6 | 5.9354857E-6 | 1.6593453E-4 | 27.956354 | 1.6E-4 | 7.8502184E-5 | 7.226219E-5 | 2.8224703E-4 | 3.905874 | 2.1E-4 | 7.8474457E-4 | 7.223921E-4 | 9.5222594E-4 | 1.3181566 | 2.3E-4 |
7.1 | 1.272341E-6 | 1.1625089E-6 | 1.4116235E-4 | 121.42905 | 1.4E-4 | 5.4528787E-6 | 4.9821715E-6 | 1.5498142E-4 | 31.107204 | 1.5E-4 | 6.6386776E-5 | 6.0656283E-5 | 2.6064416E-4 | 4.2970676 | 2.0E-4 | 6.636695E-4 | 6.064005E-4 | 8.2626706E-4 | 1.3625766 | 2.2E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0416892E-6 | 9.409871E-7 | 1.3094087E-4 | 139.15266 | 1.3E-4 | 4.464375E-6 | 4.032796E-6 | 1.4403224E-4 | 35.715233 | 1.4E-4 | 5.4352407E-5 | 4.9098202E-5 | 2.3908887E-4 | 4.8696055 | 1.9E-4 | 5.4339116E-4 | 4.908754E-4 | 7.0077233E-4 | 1.4275972 | 2.1E-4 |
7.3 | 7.9450155E-7 | 7.2350036E-7 | 1.1072342E-4 | 153.03851 | 1.1E-4 | 3.4050022E-6 | 3.1007123E-6 | 1.2310034E-4 | 39.700665 | 1.2E-4 | 4.1455114E-5 | 3.7750528E-5 | 2.0774412E-4 | 5.503078 | 1.7E-4 | 4.144738E-4 | 3.7744228E-4 | 5.6737056E-4 | 1.5031983 | 1.9E-4 |
7.4 | 5.3893444E-7 | 5.0195166E-7 | 1.105019E-4 | 220.1445 | 1.1E-4 | 2.309717E-6 | 2.1512196E-6 | 1.2215096E-4 | 56.782192 | 1.2E-4 | 2.8120441E-5 | 2.6190788E-5 | 1.9618633E-4 | 7.4906616 | 1.7E-4 | 2.8116882E-4 | 2.6187746E-4 | 4.518277E-4 | 1.7253401 | 1.9E-4 |
7.5 | 3.8852085E-7 | 3.6825622E-7 | 1.10368215E-4 | 299.70496 | 1.1E-4 | 1.6650882E-6 | 1.57824E-6 | 1.2157805E-4 | 77.03394 | 1.2E-4 | 2.027226E-5 | 1.9214905E-5 | 1.8921164E-4 | 9.847128 | 1.7E-4 | 2.0270412E-4 | 1.9213265E-4 | 3.8209616E-4 | 1.98871 | 1.9E-4 |
7.6 | 2.414929E-7 | 2.3457605E-7 | 6.023456E-5 | 256.78052 | 6.0E-5 | 1.0349692E-6 | 1.0053255E-6 | 7.1005255E-5 | 70.62912 | 7.0E-5 | 1.2600677E-5 | 1.2239771E-5 | 1.12238544E-4 | 9.169988 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2599962E-4 | 1.223911E-4 | 2.4237641E-4 | 1.9803435 | 1.2E-4 |
7.7 | 6.8298014E-8 | 6.8589785E-8 | 1.0068589E-5 | 146.7943 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9270575E-7 | 2.939562E-7 | 1.0293953E-5 | 35.018665 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5636867E-6 | 3.5789112E-6 | 1.3578875E-5 | 3.7941358 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5636294E-5 | 3.5788584E-5 | 4.5788227E-5 | 1.2794087 | 1.0E-5 |
Rose Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.9714607E-5 | 2.0970665E-4 | 4.21821 | 1.6E-4 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.1304654E-4 | 4.1300393E-4 | 1.938562 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0023933933 | 0.0025909478 | 0.0028203519 | 1.0885406 | 2.3E-4 | 0.023677798 | 0.025618518 | 0.025871856 | 1.0098889 | 2.6E-4 |
6.1 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.9714607E-5 | 1.4970964E-4 | 3.0113811 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.1304654E-4 | 3.4301885E-4 | 1.6100653 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0023933933 | 0.0025909478 | 0.0027605074 | 1.065443 | 1.7E-4 | 0.023677798 | 0.025618518 | 0.02580365 | 1.0072265 | 1.9E-4 |
6.2 | 2.8844734E-5 | 2.9669678E-5 | 7.966819E-5 | 2.685172 | 5.0E-5 | 1.2361443E-4 | 1.2714976E-4 | 1.771434E-4 | 1.393187 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0015039665 | 0.001546976 | 0.0016068832 | 1.0387254 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0149382865 | 0.015364873 | 0.0154436445 | 1.0051267 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3171577E-5 | 2.3162425E-5 | 7.316127E-5 | 3.1586187 | 5.0E-5 | 9.9302975E-5 | 9.926383E-5 | 1.4925886E-4 | 1.5036582 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0012083431 | 0.0012078804 | 0.001267808 | 1.0496138 | 6.0E-5 | 0.012017938 | 0.012012152 | 0.012081311 | 1.0057575 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0066604E-5 | 1.9668067E-5 | 4.9667477E-5 | 2.5252852 | 3.0E-5 | 8.599689E-5 | 8.428905E-5 | 1.1428652E-4 | 1.3558881 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010465092 | 0.001025746 | 0.001065705 | 1.038956 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010415946 | 0.010211479 | 0.0102609685 | 1.0048465 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.776989E-5 | 1.7115402E-5 | 4.711489E-5 | 2.7527773 | 3.0E-5 | 7.615444E-5 | 7.33497E-5 | 1.033475E-4 | 1.4089696 | 3.0E-5 | 9.267859E-4 | 8.926737E-4 | 9.3263795E-4 | 1.0447692 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009229303 | 0.008874663 | 0.00892422 | 1.005584 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5227364E-5 | 1.4340872E-5 | 2.4340728E-5 | 1.6972976 | 1.0E-5 | 6.52585E-5 | 6.145947E-5 | 7.145885E-5 | 1.1626989 | 1.0E-5 | 7.942326E-4 | 7.480173E-4 | 7.6800236E-4 | 1.0267173 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007914 | 0.0074410336 | 0.0074708103 | 1.0040017 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2703898E-5 | 1.1674277E-5 | 2.1674161E-5 | 1.856574 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4444143E-5 | 5.0031682E-5 | 6.003118E-5 | 1.1998633 | 1.0E-5 | 6.626558E-4 | 6.089697E-4 | 6.289575E-4 | 1.0328224 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006606833 | 0.0060623093 | 0.0060921274 | 1.0049186 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1554917E-5 | 1.0610384E-5 | 2.0610278E-5 | 1.9424629 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9520135E-5 | 4.547231E-5 | 5.5471854E-5 | 1.2199041 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0274085E-4 | 5.5348873E-4 | 5.734777E-4 | 1.0361145 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0060110865 | 0.005504414 | 0.005534249 | 1.0054202 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.732078E-6 | 7.882285E-6 | 1.7882207E-5 | 2.2686577 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7422655E-5 | 3.37808E-5 | 4.3780463E-5 | 1.2960161 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5552556E-4 | 4.112066E-4 | 4.3119836E-4 | 1.0486174 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045459294 | 0.004089515 | 0.0041193925 | 1.0073059 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.9337494E-6 | 5.107436E-6 | 1.51073855E-5 | 2.9579196 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5430107E-5 | 2.1888829E-5 | 3.1888612E-5 | 1.456844 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0956755E-4 | 2.6646405E-4 | 2.764614E-4 | 1.0375185 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030913667 | 0.002661461 | 0.0026814078 | 1.0074947 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.013409E-6 | 4.17734E-6 | 1.4177298E-5 | 3.393858 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1485863E-5 | 1.7902763E-5 | 2.7902584E-5 | 1.558563 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6155898E-4 | 2.1794444E-4 | 2.2794226E-4 | 1.0458733 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026125133 | 0.0021773188 | 0.0021972752 | 1.0091656 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.120763E-6 | 3.2820917E-6 | 1.3282059E-5 | 4.0468273 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7660293E-5 | 1.4066032E-5 | 2.4065892E-5 | 1.7109226 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1499286E-4 | 1.7124058E-4 | 1.8123887E-4 | 1.0583874 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021478499 | 0.0017110958 | 0.0017310615 | 1.0116684 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.2081239E-6 | 2.4404965E-6 | 1.2440472E-5 | 5.097517 | 1.0E-5 | 1.374903E-5 | 1.0459229E-5 | 2.0459123E-5 | 1.9560834 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6738157E-4 | 1.2733374E-4 | 1.3733246E-4 | 1.0785238 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016725556 | 0.0012726148 | 0.0012925894 | 1.0156957 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.4194755E-6 | 1.7680321E-6 | 1.1768015E-5 | 6.655996 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0369139E-5 | 7.5772587E-6 | 1.7577182E-5 | 2.3197286 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2623696E-4 | 9.224927E-5 | 1.0224835E-4 | 1.1083919 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012616527 | 9.221151E-4 | 9.420967E-4 | 1.0216693 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3842889E-6 | 9.3782967E-7 | 9.3782967E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9326535E-6 | 4.019264E-6 | 4.019264E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.222766E-5 | 4.8933474E-5 | 4.8933474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.220419E-4 | 4.8923056E-4 | 4.992256E-4 | 1.0204302 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0021575E-6 | 6.4113493E-7 | 6.4113493E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2949537E-6 | 2.7477186E-6 | 2.7477186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2289808E-5 | 3.345298E-5 | 3.345298E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2277505E-4 | 3.344816E-4 | 3.344816E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.7620116E-8 | 6.449304E-8 | 6.449304E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7551473E-7 | 2.763987E-7 | 2.763987E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5718825E-6 | 3.3651493E-6 | 3.3651493E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5717883E-5 | 3.3651013E-5 | 3.3651013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3500992E-5 | 1.7349746E-4 | 7.3825593 | 1.5E-4 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.00714664E-4 | 3.2069252E-4 | 3.1841688 | 2.2E-4 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012255146 | 0.0014752082 | 1.203746 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012228744 | 0.01250532 | 1.0226169 | 2.8E-4 |
6.1 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3500992E-5 | 1.7349746E-4 | 7.3825593 | 1.5E-4 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.00714664E-4 | 3.2069252E-4 | 3.1841688 | 2.2E-4 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012255146 | 0.0014752082 | 1.203746 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012228744 | 0.01250532 | 1.0226169 | 2.8E-4 |
6.2 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3500992E-5 | 1.7349746E-4 | 7.3825593 | 1.5E-4 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.00714664E-4 | 3.2069252E-4 | 3.1841688 | 2.2E-4 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012255146 | 0.0014752082 | 1.203746 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012228744 | 0.01250532 | 1.0226169 | 2.8E-4 |
6.3 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3500992E-5 | 1.7349746E-4 | 7.3825593 | 1.5E-4 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.00714664E-4 | 3.2069252E-4 | 3.1841688 | 2.2E-4 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012255146 | 0.0014752082 | 1.203746 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012228744 | 0.01250532 | 1.0226169 | 2.8E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3500992E-5 | 1.7349746E-4 | 7.3825593 | 1.5E-4 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.00714664E-4 | 3.2069252E-4 | 3.1841688 | 2.2E-4 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012255146 | 0.0014752082 | 1.203746 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012228744 | 0.01250532 | 1.0226169 | 2.8E-4 |
6.5 | 1.3450706E-5 | 2.348995E-5 | 1.7348643E-4 | 7.385559 | 1.5E-4 | 5.764461E-5 | 1.00667356E-4 | 3.206452E-4 | 3.1851954 | 2.2E-4 | 7.0159714E-4 | 0.0012249392 | 0.001474633 | 1.2038418 | 2.5E-4 | 0.006993862 | 0.012223054 | 0.012499631 | 1.0226275 | 2.8E-4 |
6.6 | 1.3074523E-5 | 2.3104236E-5 | 1.7310077E-4 | 7.492166 | 1.5E-4 | 5.6032466E-5 | 9.901441E-5 | 3.1899262E-4 | 3.2216787 | 2.2E-4 | 6.8198174E-4 | 0.001204837 | 0.0014545359 | 1.2072469 | 2.5E-4 | 0.006798926 | 0.012024219 | 0.012300853 | 1.0230063 | 2.8E-4 |
6.7 | 1.3050216E-5 | 2.3079532E-5 | 1.7307607E-4 | 7.499115 | 1.5E-4 | 5.59283E-5 | 9.890855E-5 | 3.188868E-4 | 3.224057 | 2.2E-4 | 6.8071426E-4 | 0.0012035496 | 0.0014532487 | 1.2074689 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0067863287 | 0.012011484 | 0.012288121 | 1.023031 | 2.8E-4 |
6.8 | 1.29049395E-5 | 2.2927941E-5 | 1.729245E-4 | 7.542086 | 1.5E-4 | 5.530571E-5 | 9.825892E-5 | 3.182373E-4 | 3.2387624 | 2.2E-4 | 6.73139E-4 | 0.001195649 | 0.0014453501 | 1.2088414 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0067110364 | 0.011933329 | 0.012209987 | 1.0231837 | 2.8E-4 |
6.9 | 1.2867369E-5 | 2.2887343E-5 | 1.7288391E-4 | 7.5536904 | 1.5E-4 | 5.51447E-5 | 9.808494E-5 | 3.1806336E-4 | 3.2427337 | 2.2E-4 | 6.711799E-4 | 0.0011935332 | 0.0014432349 | 1.2092122 | 2.5E-4 | 0.006691564 | 0.011912397 | 0.012189062 | 1.023225 | 2.8E-4 |
7.0 | 1.2495996E-5 | 2.2287419E-5 | 1.7228408E-4 | 7.7301044 | 1.5E-4 | 5.3553173E-5 | 9.551403E-5 | 3.1549303E-4 | 3.3031065 | 2.2E-4 | 6.518148E-4 | 0.0011622658 | 0.0014119752 | 1.2148471 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0064990623 | 0.011603 | 0.011879751 | 1.0238516 | 2.8E-4 |
7.1 | 1.2452067E-5 | 2.2232492E-5 | 1.7222916E-4 | 7.746732 | 1.5E-4 | 5.3364907E-5 | 9.527864E-5 | 3.1525767E-4 | 3.308797 | 2.2E-4 | 6.4952404E-4 | 0.001159403 | 0.0014091132 | 1.2153782 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0064762887 | 0.011574671 | 0.01185143 | 1.0239108 | 2.8E-4 |
7.2 | 1.2002777E-5 | 2.1611015E-5 | 1.7160777E-4 | 7.940755 | 1.5E-4 | 5.143946E-5 | 9.261536E-5 | 3.12595E-4 | 3.375196 | 2.2E-4 | 6.2609545E-4 | 0.0011270114 | 0.0013667409 | 1.2127126 | 2.4E-4 | 0.006243344 | 0.011254058 | 0.011521019 | 1.0237213 | 2.7E-4 |
7.3 | 1.1923425E-5 | 2.1480853E-5 | 1.7147763E-4 | 7.9828124 | 1.5E-4 | 5.109939E-5 | 9.205757E-5 | 3.1203733E-4 | 3.3895888 | 2.2E-4 | 6.219575E-4 | 0.0011202273 | 0.0013599584 | 1.2140023 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0062021962 | 0.011186945 | 0.011453925 | 1.0238652 | 2.7E-4 |
7.4 | 1.16105175E-5 | 2.0854808E-5 | 1.7085168E-4 | 8.192436 | 1.5E-4 | 4.975841E-5 | 8.93747E-5 | 3.0935503E-4 | 3.4613268 | 2.2E-4 | 6.0564023E-4 | 0.0010875963 | 0.0013273354 | 1.2204301 | 2.4E-4 | 0.006039923 | 0.010864409 | 0.011131476 | 1.0245818 | 2.7E-4 |
7.5 | 1.1037265E-5 | 1.9554842E-5 | 1.695519E-4 | 8.670585 | 1.5E-4 | 4.7301706E-5 | 8.380379E-5 | 3.0378535E-4 | 3.6249597 | 2.2E-4 | 5.757461E-4 | 0.0010198357 | 0.001259591 | 1.235092 | 2.4E-4 | 0.005742567 | 0.010195527 | 0.010462775 | 1.0262122 | 2.7E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0720915E-5 | 1.8996727E-5 | 1.6899388E-4 | 8.8959465 | 1.5E-4 | 4.5945973E-5 | 8.141202E-5 | 3.0139412E-4 | 3.7020838 | 2.2E-4 | 5.592486E-4 | 9.907428E-4 | 0.0012305051 | 1.2420025 | 2.4E-4 | 0.005578433 | 0.009907238 | 0.010174564 | 1.0269828 | 2.7E-4 |
7.7 | 9.276279E-6 | 1.6442464E-5 | 1.6644E-4 | 10.12257 | 1.5E-4 | 3.9754876E-5 | 7.046581E-5 | 2.9045032E-4 | 4.1218615 | 2.2E-4 | 4.839081E-4 | 8.5758517E-4 | 0.0010973794 | 1.2796155 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0048285574 | 0.008586576 | 0.008854258 | 1.0311744 | 2.7E-4 |
7.8 | 5.8346777E-6 | 1.11555855E-5 | 1.6115392E-4 | 14.44603 | 1.5E-4 | 2.5005522E-5 | 4.7808775E-5 | 2.6779826E-4 | 5.6014457 | 2.2E-4 | 3.043997E-4 | 5.819165E-4 | 8.1178267E-4 | 1.3950157 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0030398308 | 0.0058473335 | 0.0061058127 | 1.0442047 | 2.6E-4 |
7.9 | 4.690204E-6 | 8.509473E-6 | 1.4850828E-4 | 17.452112 | 1.4E-4 | 2.0100719E-5 | 3.6468664E-5 | 2.2646174E-4 | 6.2097626 | 1.9E-4 | 2.4469878E-4 | 4.439156E-4 | 6.4382685E-4 | 1.4503361 | 2.0E-4 | 0.002444295 | 0.004471165 | 0.0046901815 | 1.0489842 | 2.2E-4 |
8.0 | 2.9570454E-6 | 4.8470656E-6 | 6.4846776E-5 | 13.378563 | 6.0E-5 | 1.267299E-5 | 2.0772974E-5 | 9.077152E-5 | 4.3696933 | 7.0E-5 | 1.5428272E-4 | 2.5288164E-4 | 3.2286393E-4 | 1.2767394 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0015417566 | 0.002549932 | 0.0026197536 | 1.0273817 | 7.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.6376824E-6 | 2.1968672E-6 | 2.1968672E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.01862E-6 | 9.415111E-6 | 9.415111E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.544835E-5 | 1.1462297E-4 | 1.1462297E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.54155E-4 | 0.0011607445 | 0.0011607445 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 6.9631557E-7 | 4.535001E-7 | 4.535001E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.984206E-6 | 1.9435704E-6 | 1.9435704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.63321E-5 | 2.3662713E-5 | 2.3662713E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6326164E-4 | 2.4510184E-4 | 2.4510184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.7876137E-7 | 8.357368E-8 | 8.357368E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.661199E-7 | 3.5817288E-7 | 3.5817288E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.32747E-6 | 4.3607465E-6 | 4.3607465E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3270784E-5 | 4.5800018E-5 | 4.5800018E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Rosa Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1143165E-5 | 4.709113E-5 | 1.77085E-4 | 3.760475 | 1.3E-4 | 1.7631594E-4 | 2.0180462E-4 | 3.9176628E-4 | 1.9413147 | 1.9E-4 | 0.002144533 | 0.0024543991 | 0.0026738592 | 1.089415 | 2.2E-4 | 0.021239553 | 0.024293557 | 0.02454724 | 1.0104424 | 2.6E-4 |
6.1 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3864959E-5 | 1.2386257E-4 | 5.190144 | 1.0E-4 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.0227455E-4 | 2.3226126E-4 | 2.2709584 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012445103 | 0.0013843362 | 1.112354 | 1.4E-4 | 0.01092941 | 0.01237845 | 0.012546346 | 1.0135635 | 1.7E-4 |
6.2 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3864959E-5 | 1.2386257E-4 | 5.190144 | 1.0E-4 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.0227455E-4 | 2.3226126E-4 | 2.2709584 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012445103 | 0.0013843362 | 1.112354 | 1.4E-4 | 0.01092941 | 0.01237845 | 0.012546346 | 1.0135635 | 1.7E-4 |
6.3 | 1.5158236E-5 | 1.7074419E-5 | 1.0707288E-4 | 6.270953 | 9.0E-5 | 6.496225E-5 | 7.3174095E-5 | 1.8316605E-4 | 2.5031543 | 1.1E-4 | 7.906284E-4 | 8.9054246E-4 | 0.0010004445 | 1.1234102 | 1.1E-4 | 0.007878214 | 0.00887099 | 0.008999837 | 1.0145245 | 1.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.2341918E-5 | 1.3852917E-5 | 8.385195E-5 | 6.0530176 | 7.0E-5 | 5.2892858E-5 | 5.9368336E-5 | 1.49363E-4 | 2.5158696 | 9.0E-5 | 6.437803E-4 | 7.225779E-4 | 8.125129E-4 | 1.124464 | 9.0E-5 | 0.006419184 | 0.0072031217 | 0.0073123295 | 1.0151612 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 9.061158E-6 | 1.0117032E-5 | 6.0116527E-5 | 5.942111 | 5.0E-5 | 3.883296E-5 | 4.3358017E-5 | 1.1335498E-4 | 2.6143951 | 7.0E-5 | 4.726887E-4 | 5.277613E-4 | 5.9772434E-4 | 1.1325657 | 7.0E-5 | 0.004716845 | 0.0052656177 | 0.0053551435 | 1.017002 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.5461685E-6 | 8.400734E-6 | 5.8400314E-5 | 6.951811 | 5.0E-5 | 3.2340322E-5 | 3.600267E-5 | 1.0600015E-4 | 2.94423 | 7.0E-5 | 3.936723E-4 | 4.3824868E-4 | 5.08218E-4 | 1.1596566 | 7.0E-5 | 0.003929756 | 0.0043742736 | 0.004453924 | 1.0182087 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.5023775E-6 | 6.087381E-6 | 5.6087076E-5 | 9.213663 | 5.0E-5 | 2.3581404E-5 | 2.6088532E-5 | 9.6086704E-5 | 3.6831012 | 7.0E-5 | 2.8706578E-4 | 3.1758484E-4 | 3.875626E-4 | 1.2203436 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0028669522 | 0.0031716316 | 0.0032513777 | 1.0251436 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.7351679E-6 | 4.0831405E-6 | 3.408302E-5 | 8.347256 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6007763E-5 | 1.7499071E-5 | 5.749837E-5 | 3.2857957 | 4.0E-5 | 1.948771E-4 | 2.1303285E-4 | 2.5302434E-4 | 1.1877245 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0019470629 | 0.0021285315 | 0.002178425 | 1.0234404 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.456366E-6 | 2.6292707E-6 | 2.2629218E-5 | 8.606652 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0527241E-5 | 1.1268255E-5 | 4.1267915E-5 | 3.6623168 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2816161E-4 | 1.3718239E-4 | 1.6717827E-4 | 1.218657 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012808773 | 0.0013709799 | 0.0014009388 | 1.0218521 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.3245157E-6 | 2.4827784E-6 | 2.2482729E-5 | 9.055471 | 2.0E-5 | 9.962172E-6 | 1.0640436E-5 | 4.0640116E-5 | 3.8194034 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2128269E-4 | 1.2953962E-4 | 1.5953573E-4 | 1.2315594 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012121652 | 0.0012946434 | 0.0013246046 | 1.0231425 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2248344E-6 | 2.37325E-6 | 2.2373202E-5 | 9.427242 | 2.0E-5 | 9.53497E-6 | 1.0171032E-5 | 4.0170726E-5 | 3.9495232 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1608207E-4 | 1.238253E-4 | 1.5382159E-4 | 1.2422469 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011602144 | 0.0012375651 | 0.0012675279 | 1.0242112 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.1350402E-6 | 2.2761542E-6 | 2.2276108E-5 | 9.786732 | 2.0E-5 | 9.150141E-6 | 9.75491E-6 | 3.9754617E-5 | 4.0753446 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1139726E-4 | 1.1875957E-4 | 1.4875601E-4 | 1.2525812 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011134144 | 0.0011869629 | 0.0012169273 | 1.0252446 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.9793572E-6 | 2.1087192E-6 | 2.2108678E-5 | 10.48441 | 2.0E-5 | 8.482932E-6 | 9.037337E-6 | 3.9037066E-5 | 4.319532 | 3.0E-5 | 1.032748E-4 | 1.1002403E-4 | 1.4002074E-4 | 1.2726377 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010322682 | 0.0010996974 | 0.0011296645 | 1.0272503 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.6951194E-6 | 1.8045735E-6 | 2.1804537E-5 | 12.0829315 | 2.0E-5 | 7.264777E-6 | 7.733864E-6 | 2.773371E-5 | 3.5860095 | 2.0E-5 | 8.844508E-5 | 9.415574E-5 | 1.1415385E-4 | 1.212394 | 2.0E-5 | 8.840988E-4 | 9.411601E-4 | 9.6114125E-4 | 1.0212303 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.987207E-7 | 9.512216E-7 | 9.512216E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8516546E-6 | 4.0766577E-6 | 4.0766577E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6892885E-5 | 4.9632188E-5 | 4.9632188E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.688299E-4 | 4.962122E-4 | 4.962122E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.8783037E-7 | 4.0529335E-7 | 4.0529335E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6621291E-6 | 1.7369704E-6 | 1.7369704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0236233E-5 | 2.1147416E-5 | 2.1147416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.023439E-4 | 2.114547E-4 | 2.114547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.181804E-8 | 6.339047E-8 | 6.339047E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6493444E-7 | 2.7167343E-7 | 2.7167343E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225572E-6 | 3.307619E-6 | 3.307619E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225525E-5 | 3.3075703E-5 | 3.3075703E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.3704449E-9 | 1.3964153E-9 | 1.3964153E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.873335E-9 | 5.984637E-9 | 5.984637E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507856E-8 | 7.286295E-8 | 7.286295E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507833E-7 | 7.286294E-7 | 7.286294E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Deep Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.311252E-5 | 1.231102E-4 | 5.3265595 | 1.0E-4 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9052755E-5 | 2.1904087E-4 | 2.2113557 | 1.2E-4 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058078 | 0.0014155546 | 1.1739471 | 2.1E-4 | 0.010283757 | 0.01204243 | 0.012309179 | 1.0221508 | 2.7E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.311252E-5 | 1.231102E-4 | 5.3265595 | 1.0E-4 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9052755E-5 | 2.1904087E-4 | 2.2113557 | 1.2E-4 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058078 | 0.0014155546 | 1.1739471 | 2.1E-4 | 0.010283757 | 0.01204243 | 0.012309179 | 1.0221508 | 2.7E-4 |
6.2 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.311252E-5 | 1.231102E-4 | 5.3265595 | 1.0E-4 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9052755E-5 | 2.1904087E-4 | 2.2113557 | 1.2E-4 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058078 | 0.0014155546 | 1.1739471 | 2.1E-4 | 0.010283757 | 0.01204243 | 0.012309179 | 1.0221508 | 2.7E-4 |
6.3 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.311252E-5 | 1.231102E-4 | 5.3265595 | 1.0E-4 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9052755E-5 | 2.1904087E-4 | 2.2113557 | 1.2E-4 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058078 | 0.0014155546 | 1.1739471 | 2.1E-4 | 0.010283757 | 0.01204243 | 0.012309179 | 1.0221508 | 2.7E-4 |
6.4 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.311252E-5 | 1.231102E-4 | 5.3265595 | 1.0E-4 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9052755E-5 | 2.1904087E-4 | 2.2113557 | 1.2E-4 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058078 | 0.0014155546 | 1.1739471 | 2.1E-4 | 0.010283757 | 0.01204243 | 0.012309179 | 1.0221508 | 2.7E-4 |
6.5 | 1.7190405E-5 | 2.0050558E-5 | 1.0004895E-4 | 4.989834 | 8.0E-5 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.593096E-5 | 1.7592323E-4 | 2.0472624 | 9.0E-5 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.0010462092 | 0.0012060419 | 1.152773 | 1.6E-4 | 0.008929676 | 0.010462061 | 0.010669864 | 1.0198625 | 2.1E-4 |
6.6 | 1.7190405E-5 | 2.0050558E-5 | 1.0004895E-4 | 4.989834 | 8.0E-5 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.593096E-5 | 1.7592323E-4 | 2.0472624 | 9.0E-5 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.0010462092 | 0.0012060419 | 1.152773 | 1.6E-4 | 0.008929676 | 0.010462061 | 0.010669864 | 1.0198625 | 2.1E-4 |
Lost Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5106583E-5 | 1.4510356E-4 | 5.779503 | 1.2E-4 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0759615E-4 | 2.5758002E-4 | 2.393952 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0011647546 | 0.001309364 | 0.0015190891 | 1.1601732 | 2.1E-4 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033091 | 0.0132600935 | 1.0174174 | 2.3E-4 |
6.1 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5106583E-5 | 1.4510356E-4 | 5.779503 | 1.2E-4 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0759615E-4 | 2.5758002E-4 | 2.393952 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0011647546 | 0.001309364 | 0.0015190891 | 1.1601732 | 2.1E-4 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033091 | 0.0132600935 | 1.0174174 | 2.3E-4 |
6.2 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5106583E-5 | 1.4510356E-4 | 5.779503 | 1.2E-4 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0759615E-4 | 2.5758002E-4 | 2.393952 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0011647546 | 0.001309364 | 0.0015190891 | 1.1601732 | 2.1E-4 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033091 | 0.0132600935 | 1.0174174 | 2.3E-4 |
6.3 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5106583E-5 | 1.4510356E-4 | 5.779503 | 1.2E-4 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0759615E-4 | 2.5758002E-4 | 2.393952 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0011647546 | 0.001309364 | 0.0015190891 | 1.1601732 | 2.1E-4 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033091 | 0.0132600935 | 1.0174174 | 2.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3781108E-5 | 7.3780284E-5 | 5.3537264 | 6.0E-5 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.906108E-5 | 1.3905636E-4 | 2.35445 | 8.0E-5 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.189252E-4 | 8.388389E-4 | 1.1667958 | 1.2E-4 | 0.006391279 | 0.0071752006 | 0.007304268 | 1.017988 | 1.3E-4 |
6.5 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3781108E-5 | 7.3780284E-5 | 5.3537264 | 6.0E-5 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.906108E-5 | 1.3905636E-4 | 2.35445 | 8.0E-5 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.189252E-4 | 8.388389E-4 | 1.1667958 | 1.2E-4 | 0.006391279 | 0.0071752006 | 0.007304268 | 1.017988 | 1.3E-4 |
6.6 | 8.58281E-6 | 9.63377E-6 | 5.9633287E-5 | 6.1900263 | 5.0E-5 | 3.6782953E-5 | 4.12874E-5 | 1.01284924E-4 | 2.453168 | 6.0E-5 | 4.4774043E-4 | 5.026414E-4 | 6.0259114E-4 | 1.198849 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0044683935 | 0.005023205 | 0.005132653 | 1.0217884 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 7.205685E-6 | 8.088302E-6 | 4.808798E-5 | 5.945374 | 4.0E-5 | 3.088114E-5 | 3.466415E-5 | 8.466242E-5 | 2.4423623 | 5.0E-5 | 3.7591302E-4 | 4.2203604E-4 | 5.0200225E-4 | 1.1894773 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0037527776 | 0.0042203604 | 0.0043099807 | 1.0212352 | 9.0E-5 |
Red Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7590016E-5 | 1.3758574E-4 | 2.891063 | 9.0E-5 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.039422E-4 | 3.1391977E-4 | 1.5392585 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024803334 | 0.0026598868 | 1.0723909 | 1.8E-4 | 0.021580452 | 0.02454411 | 0.024758711 | 1.0087434 | 2.2E-4 |
6.1 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7590016E-5 | 1.3758574E-4 | 2.891063 | 9.0E-5 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.039422E-4 | 3.1391977E-4 | 1.5392585 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024803334 | 0.0026598868 | 1.0723909 | 1.8E-4 | 0.021580452 | 0.02454411 | 0.024758711 | 1.0087434 | 2.2E-4 |
6.2 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7590016E-5 | 1.3758574E-4 | 2.891063 | 9.0E-5 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.039422E-4 | 3.1391977E-4 | 1.5392585 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024803334 | 0.0026598868 | 1.0723909 | 1.8E-4 | 0.021580452 | 0.02454411 | 0.024758711 | 1.0087434 | 2.2E-4 |
6.3 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7590016E-5 | 1.3758574E-4 | 2.891063 | 9.0E-5 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.039422E-4 | 3.1391977E-4 | 1.5392585 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024803334 | 0.0026598868 | 1.0723909 | 1.8E-4 | 0.021580452 | 0.02454411 | 0.024758711 | 1.0087434 | 2.2E-4 |
6.4 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7590016E-5 | 1.3758574E-4 | 2.891063 | 9.0E-5 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.039422E-4 | 3.1391977E-4 | 1.5392585 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024803334 | 0.0026598868 | 1.0723909 | 1.8E-4 | 0.021580452 | 0.02454411 | 0.024758711 | 1.0087434 | 2.2E-4 |
6.5 | 3.154503E-5 | 3.5359757E-5 | 1.1535693E-4 | 3.262379 | 8.0E-5 | 1.3518598E-4 | 1.5153353E-4 | 2.515184E-4 | 1.65982 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0016446467 | 0.0018434518 | 0.0019831937 | 1.0758045 | 1.4E-4 | 0.01632528 | 0.018291244 | 0.018458135 | 1.009124 | 1.7E-4 |
6.6 | 3.1535834E-5 | 3.5349138E-5 | 1.1534631E-4 | 3.2630587 | 8.0E-5 | 1.3514658E-4 | 1.5148803E-4 | 2.514729E-4 | 1.6600181 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0016441676 | 0.0018428987 | 0.0019826407 | 1.0758272 | 1.4E-4 | 0.01632056 | 0.018285805 | 0.018452697 | 1.0091268 | 1.7E-4 |
6.7 | 2.8267326E-5 | 3.1469353E-5 | 1.0146715E-4 | 3.2243161 | 7.0E-5 | 1.2114006E-4 | 1.3486217E-4 | 2.1485139E-4 | 1.5931182 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0014738824 | 0.0016407954 | 0.0017605985 | 1.0730152 | 1.2E-4 | 0.014641452 | 0.01629557 | 0.01643329 | 1.0084513 | 1.4E-4 |
6.8 | 2.8212884E-5 | 3.1407242E-5 | 1.0140504E-4 | 3.2287154 | 7.0E-5 | 1.20906756E-4 | 1.3459599E-4 | 2.1458523E-4 | 1.5942913 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0014710457 | 0.0016375595 | 0.0017573631 | 1.0731598 | 1.2E-4 | 0.014613459 | 0.016263688 | 0.01640141 | 1.0084682 | 1.4E-4 |
6.9 | 2.4227871E-5 | 2.6706994E-5 | 7.6705655E-5 | 2.8721187 | 5.0E-5 | 1.03829596E-4 | 1.1445395E-4 | 1.7444708E-4 | 1.5241683 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0012633923 | 0.0013926621 | 0.0014925228 | 1.071705 | 1.0E-4 | 0.012562336 | 0.0138470335 | 0.013965372 | 1.0085461 | 1.2E-4 |
7.0 | 2.348524E-5 | 2.5835778E-5 | 7.583448E-5 | 2.9352508 | 5.0E-5 | 1.0064714E-4 | 1.10720495E-4 | 1.7071384E-4 | 1.5418451 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0012246901 | 0.001347264 | 0.0014471293 | 1.0741245 | 1.0E-4 | 0.012179627 | 0.013398598 | 0.01351699 | 1.0088362 | 1.2E-4 |
7.1 | 2.2311642E-5 | 2.4462845E-5 | 7.446162E-5 | 3.043866 | 5.0E-5 | 9.561782E-5 | 1.04836974E-4 | 1.6483068E-4 | 1.5722572 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0011635252 | 0.0012757176 | 0.00137559 | 1.0782872 | 1.0E-4 | 0.01157452 | 0.01269146 | 0.012809937 | 1.0093352 | 1.2E-4 |
7.2 | 1.6533986E-5 | 1.7670362E-5 | 3.7670008E-5 | 2.1318188 | 2.0E-5 | 7.085802E-5 | 7.572828E-5 | 1.0572601E-4 | 1.3961232 | 3.0E-5 | 8.623549E-4 | 9.2166534E-4 | 9.8161E-4 | 1.0650395 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008590161 | 0.009184707 | 0.0092540635 | 1.0075513 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4703092E-5 | 1.5559537E-5 | 2.555938E-5 | 1.6426827 | 1.0E-5 | 6.301173E-5 | 6.668237E-5 | 8.668104E-5 | 1.2999094 | 2.0E-5 | 7.668978E-4 | 8.1161706E-4 | 8.6157647E-4 | 1.0615554 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0076425658 | 0.008092604 | 0.008152118 | 1.0073541 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.1331984E-6 | 5.5288874E-6 | 1.5528833E-5 | 2.8086722 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6284872E-5 | 2.3695018E-5 | 3.369478E-5 | 1.4220196 | 1.0E-5 | 3.199713E-4 | 2.884492E-4 | 3.084434E-4 | 1.0693163 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0031951098 | 0.0028808024 | 0.002910716 | 1.0103837 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.954766E-6 | 5.338517E-6 | 1.5338464E-5 | 2.8731694 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5520176E-5 | 2.2879161E-5 | 3.2878932E-5 | 1.4370689 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1066386E-4 | 2.785187E-4 | 2.9851313E-4 | 1.0717884 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003102299 | 0.0027817504 | 0.0028116668 | 1.0107546 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.9726646E-6 | 4.315309E-6 | 1.4315266E-5 | 3.317321 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1311245E-5 | 1.8494053E-5 | 2.8493867E-5 | 1.5407044 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5943352E-4 | 2.2514217E-4 | 2.4513766E-4 | 1.0888127 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0025913084 | 0.0022491754 | 0.002279108 | 1.0133082 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.3613894E-6 | 2.8526886E-6 | 2.8526886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4405875E-5 | 1.22257525E-5 | 1.22257525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7537741E-4 | 1.4883863E-4 | 1.5883715E-4 | 1.0671768 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017523908 | 0.0014874157 | 0.0014974009 | 1.006713 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.1828961E-6 | 1.0122935E-6 | 1.0122935E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.069545E-6 | 4.338394E-6 | 4.338394E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.171996E-5 | 5.281869E-5 | 5.281869E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.170282E-4 | 5.280643E-4 | 5.280643E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.2967266E-7 | 1.861919E-7 | 1.861919E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.843111E-7 | 7.97965E-7 | 7.97965E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19839215E-5 | 9.715184E-6 | 9.715184E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1983275E-4 | 9.714788E-5 | 9.714788E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Whittier alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7252182E-5 | 1.2724841E-4 | 2.6929634 | 8.0E-5 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0249544E-4 | 3.024752E-4 | 1.4937383 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024629163 | 0.0026324978 | 1.0688539 | 1.7E-4 | 0.02196019 | 0.024390263 | 0.024614654 | 1.0092 | 2.3E-4 |
6.1 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7252182E-5 | 1.2724841E-4 | 2.6929634 | 8.0E-5 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0249544E-4 | 3.024752E-4 | 1.4937383 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024629163 | 0.0026324978 | 1.0688539 | 1.7E-4 | 0.02196019 | 0.024390263 | 0.024614654 | 1.0092 | 2.3E-4 |
6.2 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7252182E-5 | 1.2724841E-4 | 2.6929634 | 8.0E-5 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0249544E-4 | 3.024752E-4 | 1.4937383 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024629163 | 0.0026324978 | 1.0688539 | 1.7E-4 | 0.02196019 | 0.024390263 | 0.024614654 | 1.0092 | 2.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.9617712E-5 | 1.826841E-5 | 6.8267494E-5 | 3.736915 | 5.0E-5 | 8.40732E-5 | 7.829095E-5 | 1.2828704E-4 | 1.6385934 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0010231105 | 9.527944E-4 | 0.0010327182 | 1.0838835 | 8.0E-5 | 0.01018413 | 0.0094904 | 0.009579545 | 1.0093932 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5611336E-5 | 1.3604089E-5 | 5.3603544E-5 | 3.9402523 | 4.0E-5 | 6.690401E-5 | 5.8301972E-5 | 9.829964E-5 | 1.6860431 | 4.0E-5 | 8.142519E-4 | 7.096013E-4 | 7.695587E-4 | 1.0844945 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008112748 | 0.0070753377 | 0.007134913 | 1.0084201 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5150166E-5 | 1.3100744E-5 | 5.310022E-5 | 4.0532217 | 4.0E-5 | 6.492767E-5 | 5.614487E-5 | 9.614263E-5 | 1.7124027 | 4.0E-5 | 7.9020765E-4 | 6.8335526E-4 | 7.433143E-4 | 1.0877421 | 6.0E-5 | 0.007874036 | 0.006814508 | 0.006874099 | 1.0087447 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.295588E-5 | 1.0380544E-5 | 5.0380128E-5 | 4.8533225 | 4.0E-5 | 5.552402E-5 | 4.44873E-5 | 8.448552E-5 | 1.899093 | 4.0E-5 | 6.7579525E-4 | 5.415002E-4 | 6.0146773E-4 | 1.1107433 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006737438 | 0.005403343 | 0.005463019 | 1.0110443 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2542085E-5 | 9.899189E-6 | 4.9898794E-5 | 5.040695 | 4.0E-5 | 5.3750682E-5 | 4.2424414E-5 | 8.242272E-5 | 1.9428133 | 4.0E-5 | 6.542181E-4 | 5.163967E-4 | 5.7636574E-4 | 1.1161298 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006522954 | 0.005153464 | 0.005213155 | 1.0115826 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2195878E-5 | 9.49523E-6 | 3.9494946E-5 | 4.159451 | 3.0E-5 | 5.2267E-5 | 4.069322E-5 | 7.0692E-5 | 1.7371936 | 3.0E-5 | 6.36165E-4 | 4.9532915E-4 | 5.453044E-4 | 1.100893 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0063434686 | 0.0049436963 | 0.0049934494 | 1.0100639 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1580298E-5 | 8.772739E-6 | 3.8772476E-5 | 4.4196544 | 3.0E-5 | 4.9628903E-5 | 3.759692E-5 | 6.759579E-5 | 1.7979076 | 3.0E-5 | 6.040644E-4 | 4.5764804E-4 | 5.0762517E-4 | 1.1092043 | 5.0E-5 | 0.00602425 | 0.0045684646 | 0.004618236 | 1.0108947 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0964795E-5 | 8.083794E-6 | 3.808355E-5 | 4.711099 | 3.0E-5 | 4.6991136E-5 | 3.4644378E-5 | 6.464334E-5 | 1.8659114 | 3.0E-5 | 5.7196687E-4 | 4.217152E-4 | 4.716941E-4 | 1.1185135 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0057049696 | 0.004210459 | 0.0042602485 | 1.0118252 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0230601E-5 | 7.32646E-6 | 3.732624E-5 | 5.094717 | 3.0E-5 | 4.3844695E-5 | 3.1398744E-5 | 6.1397805E-5 | 1.9554223 | 3.0E-5 | 5.336784E-4 | 3.8221394E-4 | 4.2219865E-4 | 1.1046134 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005323986 | 0.0038167592 | 0.0038566065 | 1.0104401 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.40865E-6 | 6.5430822E-6 | 3.6542886E-5 | 5.584965 | 3.0E-5 | 4.032216E-5 | 2.8041486E-5 | 5.8040645E-5 | 2.0698135 | 3.0E-5 | 4.908117E-4 | 3.4135283E-4 | 3.813392E-4 | 1.1171408 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0048972913 | 0.0034094024 | 0.003449266 | 1.0116923 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.237384E-6 | 5.5975433E-6 | 2.5597432E-5 | 4.572976 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5302593E-5 | 2.3989258E-5 | 4.3988777E-5 | 1.8336865 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2972428E-4 | 2.920311E-4 | 3.2202236E-4 | 1.1026988 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0042889426 | 0.0029167992 | 0.0029467116 | 1.0102552 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.5316966E-6 | 5.0276153E-6 | 1.5027565E-5 | 2.9890046 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2278298E-5 | 2.154675E-5 | 3.1546533E-5 | 1.4640971 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9291743E-4 | 2.623011E-4 | 2.722985E-4 | 1.0381141 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039222343 | 0.0026200267 | 0.0026300005 | 1.0038067 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.149649E-6 | 3.9336355E-6 | 1.3933596E-5 | 3.5421674 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6355372E-5 | 1.6858336E-5 | 2.6858166E-5 | 1.5931684 | 1.0E-5 | 3.208294E-4 | 2.052318E-4 | 2.1522974E-4 | 1.0487154 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003203666 | 0.0020505118 | 0.0020604914 | 1.0048668 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.457711E-6 | 3.3951796E-6 | 1.3395145E-5 | 3.9453423 | 1.0E-5 | 2.338998E-5 | 1.4550694E-5 | 2.4550549E-5 | 1.6872425 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8473578E-4 | 1.771411E-4 | 1.8713933E-4 | 1.0564421 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028437122 | 0.0017700798 | 0.0017800621 | 1.0056394 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.1676276E-6 | 2.3329922E-6 | 1.2332969E-5 | 5.286331 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7861139E-5 | 9.998504E-6 | 1.9998404E-5 | 2.0001397 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1743766E-4 | 1.2172572E-4 | 1.317245E-4 | 1.0821419 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021722503 | 0.0012166635 | 0.0012266514 | 1.0082092 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.384417E-8 | 9.384417E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0218927E-7 | 4.0218927E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.8966467E-6 | 4.8966467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.8965718E-5 | 4.8965718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4397174E-9 | 3.4397174E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4741646E-8 | 1.4741646E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7947953E-7 | 1.7947953E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.794794E-6 | 1.794794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ortigalita (North)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.711876E-5 | 1.0505308E-4 | 2.0504257E-4 | 1.9517998 | 1.0E-4 | 3.3046713E-4 | 4.501601E-4 | 5.701061E-4 | 1.2664518 | 1.2E-4 | 0.004016016 | 0.0054680547 | 0.005657016 | 1.0345572 | 1.9E-4 | 0.039442103 | 0.053455614 | 0.05364492 | 1.0035415 | 2.0E-4 |
6.1 | 4.607858E-5 | 6.0239887E-5 | 7.0239286E-5 | 1.165993 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.5814763E-4 | 2.6814506E-4 | 1.0387275 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024014818 | 0.0031387366 | 0.0031985482 | 1.019056 | 6.0E-5 | 0.023756953 | 0.030975312 | 0.031033453 | 1.0018771 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.607858E-5 | 6.0239887E-5 | 7.0239286E-5 | 1.165993 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.5814763E-4 | 2.6814506E-4 | 1.0387275 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024014818 | 0.0031387366 | 0.0031985482 | 1.019056 | 6.0E-5 | 0.023756953 | 0.030975312 | 0.031033453 | 1.0018771 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.327423E-5 | 4.2476124E-5 | 5.2475698E-5 | 1.2354164 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4259605E-4 | 1.8202956E-4 | 1.9202773E-4 | 1.0549262 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017347244 | 0.002214206 | 0.0022740732 | 1.0270377 | 6.0E-5 | 0.017212452 | 0.02194574 | 0.022004422 | 1.002674 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7732503E-5 | 3.4999008E-5 | 4.4998655E-5 | 1.2857124 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1884817E-4 | 1.499886E-4 | 1.599871E-4 | 1.0666617 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001446016 | 0.0018248158 | 0.0018847063 | 1.03282 | 6.0E-5 | 0.014366428 | 0.018121297 | 0.01818021 | 1.0032511 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7689714E-5 | 3.4948822E-5 | 4.4948472E-5 | 1.2861227 | 1.0E-5 | 1.186648E-4 | 1.4977354E-4 | 1.5977204E-4 | 1.0667574 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014437864 | 0.0018222018 | 0.0018820924 | 1.0328672 | 6.0E-5 | 0.014344421 | 0.018095585 | 0.018154498 | 1.0032557 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2976905E-5 | 2.871829E-5 | 3.8718004E-5 | 1.3482001 | 1.0E-5 | 9.846873E-5 | 1.23074E-4 | 1.3307277E-4 | 1.081242 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011981975 | 0.0014976348 | 0.0015375749 | 1.0266688 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011917574 | 0.014898733 | 0.0149381375 | 1.0026448 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9871539E-5 | 2.4904637E-5 | 3.4904388E-5 | 1.4015217 | 1.0E-5 | 8.516096E-5 | 1.067312E-4 | 1.1673012E-4 | 1.0936834 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010363415 | 0.0012989199 | 0.001328881 | 1.0230662 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010315218 | 0.012936938 | 0.01296655 | 1.0022889 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.5640475E-6 | 7.6054926E-6 | 1.7605416E-5 | 2.3148293 | 1.0E-5 | 2.813133E-5 | 3.2594577E-5 | 4.259425E-5 | 1.3067895 | 1.0E-5 | 3.424451E-4 | 3.9676955E-4 | 4.0676558E-4 | 1.0251936 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034191788 | 0.003960899 | 0.003970859 | 1.0025147 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.6219683E-6 | 6.5018376E-6 | 1.6501772E-5 | 2.5380168 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4093928E-5 | 2.7864735E-5 | 3.7864458E-5 | 1.3588666 | 1.0E-5 | 2.933041E-4 | 3.3920293E-4 | 3.4919954E-4 | 1.0294709 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029291727 | 0.003387109 | 0.003397075 | 1.0029423 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.875591E-6 | 4.4847548E-6 | 4.4847548E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6609569E-5 | 1.9220248E-5 | 1.9220248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0220275E-4 | 2.339835E-4 | 2.339835E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020201886 | 0.0023375798 | 0.0023375798 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.6017933E-6 | 1.8570418E-6 | 1.8570418E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8648105E-6 | 7.958732E-6 | 7.958732E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.357586E-5 | 9.689432E-5 | 9.689432E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3544437E-4 | 9.686254E-4 | 9.686254E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Camp Rock 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.249999E-6 | 1.2424949E-4 | 29.23518 | 1.2E-4 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8214158E-5 | 1.7821124E-4 | 9.784215 | 1.6E-4 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2173533E-4 | 4.4168654E-4 | 1.9919538 | 2.2E-4 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022151938 | 0.0024546622 | 1.1081027 | 2.4E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.249999E-6 | 1.2424949E-4 | 29.23518 | 1.2E-4 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8214158E-5 | 1.7821124E-4 | 9.784215 | 1.6E-4 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2173533E-4 | 4.4168654E-4 | 1.9919538 | 2.2E-4 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022151938 | 0.0024546622 | 1.1081027 | 2.4E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.249999E-6 | 1.2424949E-4 | 29.23518 | 1.2E-4 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8214158E-5 | 1.7821124E-4 | 9.784215 | 1.6E-4 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2173533E-4 | 4.4168654E-4 | 1.9919538 | 2.2E-4 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022151938 | 0.0024546622 | 1.1081027 | 2.4E-4 |
6.3 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.249999E-6 | 1.2424949E-4 | 29.23518 | 1.2E-4 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8214158E-5 | 1.7821124E-4 | 9.784215 | 1.6E-4 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2173533E-4 | 4.4168654E-4 | 1.9919538 | 2.2E-4 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022151938 | 0.0024546622 | 1.1081027 | 2.4E-4 |
6.4 | 7.982846E-6 | 3.6820359E-6 | 1.1368163E-4 | 30.874666 | 1.1E-4 | 3.421175E-5 | 1.578006E-5 | 1.6577769E-4 | 10.505517 | 1.5E-4 | 4.1644843E-4 | 1.9210564E-4 | 4.0206529E-4 | 2.0929384 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0041566887 | 0.0019194306 | 0.0021390084 | 1.1143973 | 2.2E-4 |
6.5 | 7.982846E-6 | 3.6820359E-6 | 1.1368163E-4 | 30.874666 | 1.1E-4 | 3.421175E-5 | 1.578006E-5 | 1.6577769E-4 | 10.505517 | 1.5E-4 | 4.1644843E-4 | 1.9210564E-4 | 4.0206529E-4 | 2.0929384 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0041566887 | 0.0019194306 | 0.0021390084 | 1.1143973 | 2.2E-4 |
6.6 | 7.048869E-6 | 3.4242998E-6 | 1.03423954E-4 | 30.20295 | 1.0E-4 | 3.0209088E-5 | 1.467549E-5 | 1.5467344E-4 | 10.539576 | 1.4E-4 | 3.677336E-4 | 1.7865976E-4 | 3.78624E-4 | 2.1192462 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0036712566 | 0.0017851929 | 0.001994818 | 1.1174244 | 2.1E-4 |
6.7 | 6.987307E-6 | 3.3622775E-6 | 1.0336194E-4 | 30.741646 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9945259E-5 | 1.4409683E-5 | 1.5440767E-4 | 10.715549 | 1.4E-4 | 3.6452254E-4 | 1.7542407E-4 | 3.7538898E-4 | 2.1398945 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0036392517 | 0.0017528872 | 0.001962519 | 1.1195923 | 2.1E-4 |
6.8 | 6.3737602E-6 | 3.1178672E-6 | 7.311765E-5 | 23.451174 | 7.0E-5 | 2.731583E-5 | 1.3362222E-5 | 1.2336075E-4 | 9.232054 | 1.1E-4 | 3.3251947E-4 | 1.6267318E-4 | 3.3264555E-4 | 2.0448701 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0033202237 | 0.0016255698 | 0.0018052771 | 1.1105504 | 1.8E-4 |
6.9 | 6.112211E-6 | 2.933078E-6 | 7.2932875E-5 | 24.865644 | 7.0E-5 | 2.6194928E-5 | 1.2570275E-5 | 1.2256889E-4 | 9.750692 | 1.1E-4 | 3.1887658E-4 | 1.5303263E-4 | 3.2300662E-4 | 2.1107042 | 1.7E-4 | 0.003184194 | 0.0015293002 | 0.001709025 | 1.1175209 | 1.8E-4 |
7.0 | 5.5140117E-6 | 2.64191E-6 | 6.264175E-5 | 23.710783 | 6.0E-5 | 2.3631264E-5 | 1.1322423E-5 | 1.1132129E-4 | 9.831932 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8767265E-4 | 1.3784204E-4 | 2.9782E-4 | 2.160589 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0028730053 | 0.0013775907 | 0.0015473565 | 1.1232339 | 1.7E-4 |
7.1 | 4.8151105E-6 | 2.1342612E-6 | 4.2134176E-5 | 19.74181 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0636026E-5 | 9.146803E-6 | 8.914607E-5 | 9.746146 | 8.0E-5 | 2.5121463E-4 | 1.1135685E-4 | 2.5134126E-4 | 2.2570794 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0025093083 | 0.0011130325 | 0.0012628655 | 1.134617 | 1.5E-4 |
7.2 | 3.818335E-6 | 1.2937372E-6 | 3.1293697E-5 | 24.188604 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6364189E-5 | 5.5445767E-6 | 6.554424E-5 | 11.821325 | 6.0E-5 | 1.9921579E-4 | 6.750321E-5 | 1.4749782E-4 | 2.1850488 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0019903728 | 6.7483535E-4 | 7.5478136E-4 | 1.1184675 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.7166698E-6 | 7.383078E-7 | 7.383078E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1642818E-5 | 3.1641725E-6 | 2.316411E-5 | 7.320748 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4174209E-4 | 3.852314E-5 | 5.852237E-5 | 1.5191485 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014165172 | 3.8516664E-4 | 4.0515893E-4 | 1.0519056 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0893426E-6 | 5.4614605E-7 | 5.4614605E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.954295E-6 | 2.340624E-6 | 2.2340577E-5 | 9.54471 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0901308E-4 | 2.8496728E-5 | 4.849616E-5 | 1.7018149 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010895962 | 2.849313E-4 | 3.0492558E-4 | 1.0701723 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6028484E-7 | 3.6028484E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.544077E-6 | 1.1544062E-5 | 7.476351 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.879898E-5 | 2.8798791E-5 | 1.5319338 | 1.0E-5 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8797436E-4 | 1.9797249E-4 | 1.0531888 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.1196716E-8 | 7.1196716E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.0512876E-7 | 3.0512876E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.714938E-6 | 3.714938E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.7148915E-5 | 3.7148915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2706755E-5 | 1.4250602E-5 | 1.2424904E-4 | 8.718862 | 1.1E-4 | 5.4456385E-5 | 6.107279E-5 | 2.1106363E-4 | 3.4559357 | 1.5E-4 | 6.628048E-4 | 7.433441E-4 | 9.3320286E-4 | 1.2554117 | 1.9E-4 | 0.006608314 | 0.007413639 | 0.0076419343 | 1.0307939 | 2.3E-4 |
6.1 | 8.342579E-6 | 9.510835E-6 | 5.951036E-5 | 6.2571115 | 5.0E-5 | 3.5753423E-5 | 4.076021E-5 | 1.10757355E-4 | 2.717291 | 7.0E-5 | 4.3521097E-4 | 4.9616426E-4 | 5.861196E-4 | 1.1813016 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0043435963 | 0.004954155 | 0.00506361 | 1.0220935 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 6.923899E-6 | 7.967221E-6 | 5.7966823E-5 | 7.275664 | 5.0E-5 | 2.9673516E-5 | 3.4144894E-5 | 9.4142844E-5 | 2.7571573 | 6.0E-5 | 3.6121515E-4 | 4.1565404E-4 | 4.9562077E-4 | 1.1923877 | 8.0E-5 | 0.003606286 | 0.0041521094 | 0.0042516943 | 1.0239842 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 2.728396E-6 | 3.4243646E-6 | 1.342433E-5 | 3.9202397 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1693074E-5 | 1.4675771E-5 | 3.467548E-5 | 2.3627703 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4235388E-4 | 1.7866373E-4 | 2.0865837E-4 | 1.1678832 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014226272 | 0.0017867433 | 0.0018366539 | 1.0279338 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7136944E-6 | 3.4086581E-6 | 1.3408624E-5 | 3.9336958 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1630066E-5 | 1.4608458E-5 | 3.4608165E-5 | 2.3690498 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4158686E-4 | 1.7784433E-4 | 2.07839E-4 | 1.1686568 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014149669 | 0.0017785623 | 0.0018284734 | 1.0280626 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.6971882E-6 | 3.3910032E-6 | 1.3390969E-5 | 3.9489698 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1559327E-5 | 1.4532795E-5 | 3.4532502E-5 | 2.3761778 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4072572E-4 | 1.7692328E-4 | 2.0691798E-4 | 1.169535 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014063664 | 0.0017693666 | 0.0018192781 | 1.0282087 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.669092E-6 | 3.3610236E-6 | 1.336099E-5 | 3.975274 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1438916E-5 | 1.4404312E-5 | 3.4404024E-5 | 2.388453 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3925991E-4 | 1.7535927E-4 | 2.05354E-4 | 1.1710473 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013917267 | 0.0017537511 | 0.0018036634 | 1.0284603 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6408059E-6 | 3.3310494E-6 | 1.3331016E-5 | 4.002047 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1317691E-5 | 1.4275853E-5 | 3.4275567E-5 | 2.400947 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3778417E-4 | 1.737955E-4 | 2.0379029E-4 | 1.1725867 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013769877 | 0.0017381381 | 0.0017880512 | 1.0287164 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.1786943E-6 | 2.8545066E-6 | 2.8545066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.337228E-6 | 1.2233547E-5 | 2.2233424E-5 | 1.8174144 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1367482E-4 | 1.4893398E-4 | 1.5893248E-4 | 1.0671339 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011361669 | 0.0014898704 | 0.0015198257 | 1.020106 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.4411696E-6 | 2.0685677E-6 | 2.0685677E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1764263E-6 | 8.865261E-6 | 1.8865174E-5 | 2.1279883 | 1.0E-5 | 7.51954E-5 | 1.0792949E-4 | 1.1792841E-4 | 1.0926431 | 1.0E-5 | 7.5169955E-4 | 0.0010802548 | 0.001090244 | 1.0092471 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0073411E-6 | 1.5543274E-6 | 1.5543274E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.317169E-6 | 6.661387E-6 | 6.661387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2560266E-5 | 8.109952E-5 | 8.109952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2547833E-4 | 8.1217213E-4 | 8.1217213E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.947104E-7 | 1.430316E-6 | 1.430316E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.834468E-6 | 6.1299124E-6 | 6.1299124E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6683643E-5 | 7.462928E-5 | 7.462928E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6673836E-4 | 7.4751483E-4 | 7.4751483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.215166E-7 | 1.0112277E-6 | 1.0112277E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2350691E-6 | 4.333826E-6 | 4.333826E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7211627E-5 | 5.27631E-5 | 5.27631E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7208295E-4 | 5.289683E-4 | 5.289683E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.4024807E-7 | 9.220183E-7 | 9.220183E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8867761E-6 | 3.951501E-6 | 3.951501E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2971257E-5 | 4.8108504E-5 | 4.8108504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2968883E-4 | 4.824433E-4 | 4.824433E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.6130905E-7 | 8.359109E-7 | 8.359109E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5484665E-6 | 3.5824705E-6 | 3.5824705E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8852415E-5 | 4.3615746E-5 | 4.3615746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8850817E-4 | 4.3752496E-4 | 4.3752496E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.408184E-7 | 8.1087245E-7 | 8.1087245E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4606494E-6 | 3.475163E-6 | 3.475163E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7783263E-5 | 4.230933E-5 | 4.230933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.778184E-4 | 4.2444657E-4 | 4.2444657E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.1428627E-7 | 7.732167E-7 | 7.732167E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3469405E-6 | 3.313782E-6 | 3.313782E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6398877E-5 | 4.0344585E-5 | 4.0344585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6397667E-4 | 4.0477706E-4 | 4.0477706E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7972785E-7 | 5.0782415E-7 | 5.0782415E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70262E-7 | 2.1763874E-6 | 2.1763874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377899E-6 | 2.6497206E-5 | 2.6497206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377503E-5 | 2.6633305E-4 | 2.6633305E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.9230927E-8 | 1.1981747E-7 | 1.1981747E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1098968E-7 | 5.135033E-7 | 5.135033E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687964E-6 | 6.2518866E-6 | 6.2518866E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687666E-5 | 6.2971965E-5 | 6.2971965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.6805972E-9 | 4.1051638E-9 | 4.1051638E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5773987E-8 | 1.7593557E-8 | 1.7593557E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9204828E-7 | 2.1420155E-7 | 2.1420155E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.920481E-6 | 2.1898923E-6 | 2.1898923E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough north alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.329252E-5 | 8.821269E-5 | 1.8820388E-4 | 2.1335237 | 1.0E-4 | 3.14073E-4 | 3.7800326E-4 | 4.7796546E-4 | 1.2644479 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0038171355 | 0.0045930487 | 0.0047224513 | 1.0281737 | 1.3E-4 | 0.03752231 | 0.045045137 | 0.04523613 | 1.00424 | 2.0E-4 |
6.1 | 3.7940346E-5 | 4.4884906E-5 | 7.488356E-5 | 1.6683462 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6259136E-4 | 1.9235026E-4 | 2.2234449E-4 | 1.1559355 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019777524 | 0.002339431 | 0.0023992907 | 1.0255873 | 6.0E-5 | 0.019602431 | 0.023156732 | 0.023254417 | 1.0042183 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.329672E-5 | 6.329572E-5 | 1.9009596 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4269259E-4 | 1.726883E-4 | 1.2102122 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014935739 | 0.0017359206 | 0.0017858337 | 1.0287532 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0148357535 | 0.017226268 | 0.017304888 | 1.004564 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.329672E-5 | 6.329572E-5 | 1.9009596 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4269259E-4 | 1.726883E-4 | 1.2102122 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014935739 | 0.0017359206 | 0.0017858337 | 1.0287532 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0148357535 | 0.017226268 | 0.017304888 | 1.004564 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.2204576E-5 | 2.544832E-5 | 5.5447555E-5 | 2.1788297 | 3.0E-5 | 9.5159E-5 | 1.0905972E-4 | 1.3905646E-4 | 1.2750486 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001157945 | 0.0013270028 | 0.0013769364 | 1.0376289 | 5.0E-5 | 0.011519298 | 0.013191959 | 0.013270903 | 1.0059843 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.1004838E-5 | 2.4024695E-5 | 5.4023974E-5 | 2.2486851 | 3.0E-5 | 9.0017624E-5 | 1.0295897E-4 | 1.3295589E-4 | 1.2913482 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010954136 | 0.0012528135 | 0.0013027508 | 1.0398601 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010900296 | 0.012458592 | 0.012537595 | 1.0063412 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.820557E-5 | 2.070479E-5 | 4.0704377E-5 | 1.96594 | 2.0E-5 | 7.802154E-5 | 8.8731824E-5 | 1.08730055E-4 | 1.2253783 | 2.0E-5 | 9.4949827E-4 | 0.0010797799 | 0.0011197368 | 1.0370046 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009454516 | 0.010746005 | 0.0108152535 | 1.0064441 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.5884485E-5 | 1.7983646E-5 | 3.7983285E-5 | 2.1121016 | 2.0E-5 | 6.807459E-5 | 7.707051E-5 | 9.7068965E-5 | 1.2594826 | 2.0E-5 | 8.284929E-4 | 9.3793223E-4 | 9.778948E-4 | 1.042607 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008254109 | 0.009340104 | 0.009399543 | 1.0063639 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.4331171E-5 | 1.6201066E-5 | 3.620074E-5 | 2.2344668 | 2.0E-5 | 6.141786E-5 | 6.94313E-5 | 8.942991E-5 | 1.2880346 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4750587E-4 | 8.450002E-4 | 8.849664E-4 | 1.0472972 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0074499645 | 0.008418139 | 0.008467718 | 1.0058895 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2574203E-5 | 1.4205835E-5 | 3.420555E-5 | 2.4078522 | 2.0E-5 | 5.3888325E-5 | 6.0880735E-5 | 8.0879516E-5 | 1.3284911 | 2.0E-5 | 6.558929E-4 | 7.409723E-4 | 7.809427E-4 | 1.0539432 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0065396037 | 0.007385203 | 0.0074348343 | 1.0067203 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0883844E-5 | 1.2289262E-5 | 3.2289016E-5 | 2.627417 | 2.0E-5 | 4.664421E-5 | 5.2667205E-5 | 7.266615E-5 | 1.379723 | 2.0E-5 | 5.677453E-4 | 6.4103556E-4 | 6.810099E-4 | 1.062359 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00566297 | 0.006391993 | 0.0064416733 | 1.0077723 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.393088E-6 | 1.060702E-5 | 3.0606807E-5 | 2.8855238 | 2.0E-5 | 4.025547E-5 | 4.545787E-5 | 6.545696E-5 | 1.4399478 | 2.0E-5 | 4.900001E-4 | 5.533098E-4 | 5.9328764E-4 | 1.0722523 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0048892107 | 0.005519418 | 0.005559197 | 1.0072072 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.190791E-6 | 9.258625E-6 | 2.9258441E-5 | 3.1601279 | 2.0E-5 | 3.510292E-5 | 3.9679224E-5 | 5.967843E-5 | 1.5040221 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2729423E-4 | 4.8298817E-4 | 5.229688E-4 | 1.0827777 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0042647356 | 0.004819465 | 0.004859272 | 1.0082597 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.268162E-6 | 7.089716E-6 | 1.7089646E-5 | 2.4104838 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6863276E-5 | 3.0384144E-5 | 4.038384E-5 | 1.3291091 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2701128E-4 | 3.6986457E-4 | 3.9985348E-4 | 1.0810808 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003265305 | 0.003692536 | 0.003722425 | 1.0080945 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.985186E-6 | 5.6426816E-6 | 5.6426816E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1364907E-5 | 2.4182698E-5 | 2.4182698E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600867E-4 | 2.9438498E-4 | 3.0438203E-4 | 1.0339592 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002597825 | 0.0029399914 | 0.002949962 | 1.0033914 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.969678E-6 | 1.969678E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.4414505E-6 | 8.4414505E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 1.02770035E-4 | 1.1276901E-4 | 1.0972946 | 1.0E-5 | 9.1216754E-4 | 0.0010272472 | 0.0010372369 | 1.0097247 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7533823E-7 | 1.7533823E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.5144936E-7 | 7.5144936E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.14886E-6 | 9.14886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.1485024E-5 | 9.1485024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pleito
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4764735E-5 | 1.4476177E-4 | 5.84548 | 1.2E-4 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0613067E-4 | 2.3611687E-4 | 2.224775 | 1.3E-4 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.001291447 | 0.0014812016 | 1.1469318 | 1.9E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.012954412 | 0.013181432 | 1.0175246 | 2.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4764735E-5 | 1.4476177E-4 | 5.84548 | 1.2E-4 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0613067E-4 | 2.3611687E-4 | 2.224775 | 1.3E-4 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.001291447 | 0.0014812016 | 1.1469318 | 1.9E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.012954412 | 0.013181432 | 1.0175246 | 2.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4764735E-5 | 1.4476177E-4 | 5.84548 | 1.2E-4 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0613067E-4 | 2.3611687E-4 | 2.224775 | 1.3E-4 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.001291447 | 0.0014812016 | 1.1469318 | 1.9E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.012954412 | 0.013181432 | 1.0175246 | 2.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4764735E-5 | 1.4476177E-4 | 5.84548 | 1.2E-4 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0613067E-4 | 2.3611687E-4 | 2.224775 | 1.3E-4 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.001291447 | 0.0014812016 | 1.1469318 | 1.9E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.012954412 | 0.013181432 | 1.0175246 | 2.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4764735E-5 | 1.4476177E-4 | 5.84548 | 1.2E-4 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0613067E-4 | 2.3611687E-4 | 2.224775 | 1.3E-4 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.001291447 | 0.0014812016 | 1.1469318 | 1.9E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.012954412 | 0.013181432 | 1.0175246 | 2.3E-4 |
6.5 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4764735E-5 | 1.4476177E-4 | 5.84548 | 1.2E-4 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0613067E-4 | 2.3611687E-4 | 2.224775 | 1.3E-4 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.001291447 | 0.0014812016 | 1.1469318 | 1.9E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.012954412 | 0.013181432 | 1.0175246 | 2.3E-4 |
6.6 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.721552E-5 | 7.7214485E-5 | 4.485167 | 6.0E-5 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.3778734E-5 | 1.4377358E-4 | 1.9487128 | 7.0E-5 | 5.169696E-4 | 8.9788967E-4 | 9.778178E-4 | 1.0890179 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0051576863 | 0.009051226 | 0.009140411 | 1.0098534 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.721552E-5 | 7.7214485E-5 | 4.485167 | 6.0E-5 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.3778734E-5 | 1.4377358E-4 | 1.9487128 | 7.0E-5 | 5.169696E-4 | 8.9788967E-4 | 9.778178E-4 | 1.0890179 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0051576863 | 0.009051226 | 0.009140411 | 1.0098534 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.300162E-6 | 1.5475129E-5 | 5.547451E-5 | 3.5847526 | 4.0E-5 | 3.557164E-5 | 6.63203E-5 | 1.1631699E-4 | 1.7538669 | 5.0E-5 | 4.3299864E-4 | 8.07152E-4 | 8.671036E-4 | 1.0742755 | 6.0E-5 | 0.004321559 | 0.008150663 | 0.008210174 | 1.0073013 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.183114E-6 | 1.5346344E-5 | 5.5345732E-5 | 3.606444 | 4.0E-5 | 3.5070017E-5 | 6.57684E-5 | 1.15765106E-4 | 1.7601936 | 5.0E-5 | 4.2689382E-4 | 8.0043747E-4 | 8.6038944E-4 | 1.074899 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0042607468 | 0.008084008 | 0.008143523 | 1.007362 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.1748823E-6 | 1.4133306E-5 | 5.413274E-5 | 3.8301542 | 4.0E-5 | 3.0749135E-5 | 6.0569906E-5 | 1.1056688E-4 | 1.8254424 | 5.0E-5 | 3.743064E-4 | 7.3718966E-4 | 7.971454E-4 | 1.0813302 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0037367654 | 0.0074553755 | 0.0075149285 | 1.0079879 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1671807E-6 | 1.4123676E-5 | 5.412311E-5 | 3.832084 | 4.0E-5 | 3.0716128E-5 | 6.0528637E-5 | 1.1052561E-4 | 1.8260052 | 5.0E-5 | 3.7390468E-4 | 7.366875E-4 | 7.966433E-4 | 1.0813856 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0037327618 | 0.0074503883 | 0.0075099412 | 1.0079932 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.0649667E-6 | 1.3970962E-5 | 4.3970544E-5 | 3.147281 | 3.0E-5 | 3.0278077E-5 | 5.987418E-5 | 9.987179E-5 | 1.6680276 | 4.0E-5 | 3.6857324E-4 | 7.287248E-4 | 7.786884E-4 | 1.068563 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0036796255 | 0.0073711374 | 0.007420769 | 1.0067332 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.02082E-6 | 1.3914415E-5 | 4.3914E-5 | 3.1560075 | 3.0E-5 | 3.008888E-5 | 5.9631846E-5 | 9.962946E-5 | 1.6707425 | 4.0E-5 | 3.6627054E-4 | 7.257764E-4 | 7.7574013E-4 | 1.0688417 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0036566744 | 0.0073416373 | 0.0073912703 | 1.0067605 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.987146E-6 | 1.3873975E-5 | 4.387356E-5 | 3.1622918 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9944567E-5 | 5.9458544E-5 | 9.945616E-5 | 1.6726977 | 4.0E-5 | 3.6451413E-4 | 7.2366785E-4 | 7.736316E-4 | 1.0690424 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0036391679 | 0.007320571 | 0.0073702056 | 1.00678 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.9494554E-6 | 1.383088E-5 | 4.3830467E-5 | 3.1690295 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9783041E-5 | 5.9273858E-5 | 9.9271485E-5 | 1.6747937 | 4.0E-5 | 3.625482E-4 | 7.2142074E-4 | 7.713847E-4 | 1.0692577 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0036195726 | 0.007298199 | 0.007347834 | 1.006801 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.92694E-6 | 1.3789992E-5 | 3.3789715E-5 | 2.4503071 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9686547E-5 | 5.909863E-5 | 8.909686E-5 | 1.507596 | 3.0E-5 | 3.6137376E-4 | 7.192888E-4 | 7.5926003E-4 | 1.0555705 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0036078666 | 0.007276951 | 0.0073166597 | 1.0054568 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.395867E-6 | 1.26690065E-5 | 3.2668755E-5 | 2.5786357 | 2.0E-5 | 2.741057E-5 | 5.4294615E-5 | 8.429299E-5 | 1.552511 | 3.0E-5 | 3.336726E-4 | 6.6083675E-4 | 7.0081034E-4 | 1.0604893 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0033317201 | 0.0066955453 | 0.0067352774 | 1.0059341 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.8664327E-6 | 1.1536581E-5 | 3.153635E-5 | 2.7335958 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5141611E-5 | 4.9441554E-5 | 7.944007E-5 | 1.606747 | 3.0E-5 | 3.060561E-4 | 6.0178485E-4 | 6.417608E-4 | 1.0664289 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0030563495 | 0.0061010164 | 0.0061407723 | 1.0065163 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.7167474E-6 | 7.1145205E-6 | 1.711445E-5 | 2.405566 | 1.0E-5 | 1.592882E-5 | 3.0490448E-5 | 4.0490144E-5 | 1.3279616 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9391612E-4 | 3.7115812E-4 | 3.911507E-4 | 1.0538654 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019374699 | 0.0037676243 | 0.003787549 | 1.0052884 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.0903841E-6 | 1.2879104E-6 | 1.2879104E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6730665E-6 | 5.5196047E-6 | 5.5196047E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.68931E-5 | 6.719913E-5 | 6.719913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6878536E-4 | 6.942094E-4 | 6.942094E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.6894583E-7 | 1.1056095E-7 | 1.1056095E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1526245E-6 | 4.7383253E-7 | 4.7383253E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4033113E-5 | 5.768896E-6 | 5.768896E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4032227E-4 | 6.454915E-5 | 6.454915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 5.2967013E-9 | 2.4567874E-9 | 2.4567874E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2700148E-8 | 1.0529089E-8 | 1.0529089E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637427E-7 | 1.2819166E-7 | 1.2819166E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637393E-6 | 1.4588004E-6 | 1.4588004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.763429E-4 | 5.7629525E-4 | 1.2098328 | 1.0E-4 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0020399094 | 0.002199583 | 1.0782748 | 1.6E-4 | 0.011683988 | 0.024544531 | 0.024739623 | 1.0079484 | 2.0E-4 | 0.11088423 | 0.21349923 | 0.21367227 | 1.0008105 | 2.2E-4 |
6.1 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.763429E-4 | 5.7629525E-4 | 1.2098328 | 1.0E-4 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0020399094 | 0.0021896034 | 1.0733827 | 1.5E-4 | 0.011683988 | 0.024544531 | 0.024729868 | 1.0075511 | 1.9E-4 | 0.11088423 | 0.21349923 | 0.2136644 | 1.0007737 | 2.1E-4 |
6.2 | 2.198148E-4 | 4.6718874E-4 | 5.6714204E-4 | 1.2139462 | 1.0E-4 | 9.417233E-4 | 0.0020007377 | 0.0021504376 | 1.0748223 | 1.5E-4 | 0.011405343 | 0.024078513 | 0.024263939 | 1.0077008 | 1.9E-4 | 0.10837428 | 0.20993572 | 0.21010163 | 1.0007904 | 2.1E-4 |
6.3 | 2.1704129E-4 | 4.615455E-4 | 5.614993E-4 | 1.2165633 | 1.0E-4 | 9.298453E-4 | 0.0019765892 | 0.0021262928 | 1.0757383 | 1.5E-4 | 0.011262234 | 0.023792034 | 0.023977512 | 1.0077958 | 1.9E-4 | 0.107082725 | 0.20782684 | 0.2079932 | 1.0008005 | 2.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.876142E-4 | 4.004663E-4 | 4.904303E-4 | 1.224648 | 9.0E-5 | 8.038131E-4 | 0.0017151695 | 0.0018449465 | 1.0756643 | 1.3E-4 | 0.00974259 | 0.020678662 | 0.020845145 | 1.008051 | 1.7E-4 | 0.093263686 | 0.18457787 | 0.1847328 | 1.0008394 | 1.9E-4 |
6.5 | 1.7390939E-4 | 3.7478763E-4 | 4.6475392E-4 | 1.240046 | 9.0E-5 | 7.45113E-4 | 0.0016052561 | 0.0017350474 | 1.0808539 | 1.3E-4 | 0.009034078 | 0.019367293 | 0.019534001 | 1.0086076 | 1.7E-4 | 0.086755216 | 0.17440015 | 0.17455702 | 1.0008994 | 1.9E-4 |
6.6 | 1.591791E-4 | 3.4893592E-4 | 4.389045E-4 | 1.257837 | 9.0E-5 | 6.8201777E-4 | 0.0014945926 | 0.0016243983 | 1.0868502 | 1.3E-4 | 0.008271996 | 0.018045008 | 0.01820212 | 1.0087067 | 1.6E-4 | 0.07970774 | 0.16380787 | 0.16395839 | 1.0009189 | 1.8E-4 |
6.7 | 1.4268003E-4 | 3.2059717E-4 | 4.1056835E-4 | 1.2806361 | 9.0E-5 | 6.1134255E-4 | 0.0013732726 | 0.0015030941 | 1.0945344 | 1.3E-4 | 0.007417723 | 0.01659171 | 0.016749054 | 1.0094833 | 1.6E-4 | 0.07174956 | 0.15193594 | 0.15208858 | 1.0010047 | 1.8E-4 |
6.8 | 1.239713E-4 | 2.9055026E-4 | 3.7052704E-4 | 1.2752596 | 8.0E-5 | 5.3119735E-4 | 0.0012446274 | 0.001364478 | 1.0962944 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0064481674 | 0.015049482 | 0.015197225 | 1.0098171 | 1.5E-4 | 0.06264243 | 0.13838051 | 0.13852698 | 1.0010585 | 1.7E-4 |
6.9 | 1.0180238E-4 | 2.6255674E-4 | 3.325384E-4 | 1.266539 | 7.0E-5 | 4.3622297E-4 | 0.0011247622 | 0.0012346385 | 1.0976884 | 1.1E-4 | 0.005298089 | 0.013608998 | 0.013747092 | 1.0101473 | 1.4E-4 | 0.05173543 | 0.12496473 | 0.12510473 | 1.0011203 | 1.6E-4 |
7.0 | 7.6619996E-5 | 2.2400476E-4 | 2.8399134E-4 | 1.2677914 | 6.0E-5 | 3.283301E-4 | 9.596704E-4 | 0.0010595744 | 1.1041025 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0039900932 | 0.011622103 | 0.011750592 | 1.0110556 | 1.3E-4 | 0.039192066 | 0.10726982 | 0.10740373 | 1.0012484 | 1.5E-4 |
7.1 | 7.5127435E-5 | 2.2083633E-4 | 2.808231E-4 | 1.2716345 | 6.0E-5 | 3.2193496E-4 | 9.461013E-4 | 0.0010460067 | 1.1055969 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0039125155 | 0.011458648 | 0.011587159 | 1.0112151 | 1.3E-4 | 0.038443442 | 0.10583378 | 0.1059679 | 1.0012673 | 1.5E-4 |
7.2 | 6.788582E-5 | 2.0211334E-4 | 2.5210323E-4 | 1.2473359 | 5.0E-5 | 2.9090676E-4 | 8.6591556E-4 | 9.4584626E-4 | 1.0923078 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0035360386 | 0.0104922 | 0.010601046 | 1.010374 | 1.1E-4 | 0.034803 | 0.097503684 | 0.09762101 | 1.0012033 | 1.3E-4 |
7.3 | 6.399602E-5 | 1.8842232E-4 | 2.3841289E-4 | 1.2653114 | 5.0E-5 | 2.7423984E-4 | 8.0727716E-4 | 8.872126E-4 | 1.0990186 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0033337586 | 0.009784897 | 0.00989382 | 1.0111318 | 1.1E-4 | 0.03284188 | 0.091397986 | 0.09151611 | 1.0012923 | 1.3E-4 |
7.4 | 4.506759E-5 | 1.2530042E-4 | 1.5529666E-4 | 1.2393945 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9313251E-4 | 5.3689216E-4 | 5.868653E-4 | 1.0930786 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0023488526 | 0.006517245 | 0.0065967236 | 1.0121951 | 8.0E-5 | 0.023241805 | 0.062364522 | 0.062458284 | 1.0015035 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 3.43289E-5 | 9.336103E-5 | 1.2335823E-4 | 1.3213032 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4711556E-4 | 4.0005764E-4 | 4.5003765E-4 | 1.1249319 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0017896603 | 0.004859886 | 0.0049295463 | 1.0143336 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01775316 | 0.047057066 | 0.04714283 | 1.0018226 | 9.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.5980507E-5 | 7.053672E-5 | 9.0535315E-5 | 1.2835202 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1134028E-4 | 3.0226534E-4 | 3.3225628E-4 | 1.0992205 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001354725 | 0.0036738948 | 0.0037237112 | 1.0135596 | 5.0E-5 | 0.013464959 | 0.03584298 | 0.035910472 | 1.0018829 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7292105E-5 | 4.9412036E-5 | 6.941105E-5 | 1.4047396 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4106916E-5 | 2.1174872E-4 | 2.4174237E-4 | 1.1416473 | 3.0E-5 | 9.018782E-4 | 0.0025749984 | 0.0026248696 | 1.0193675 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008982267 | 0.025292097 | 0.025360325 | 1.0026977 | 7.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.2927471E-5 | 3.9697254E-5 | 5.969646E-5 | 1.5037931 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5402274E-5 | 1.7012001E-4 | 2.0011491E-4 | 1.1763161 | 3.0E-5 | 6.743139E-4 | 0.0020692463 | 0.0021091634 | 1.0192907 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0067227143 | 0.020433145 | 0.020491919 | 1.0028764 | 6.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.0200774E-5 | 2.8748475E-5 | 2.8748475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.371687E-5 | 1.2320194E-4 | 1.3320071E-4 | 1.0811576 | 1.0E-5 | 5.321229E-4 | 0.0014989526 | 0.0015189226 | 1.0133226 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005308505 | 0.014992895 | 0.015012595 | 1.0013139 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 8.650396E-6 | 2.3279512E-5 | 2.3279512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.70726E-5 | 9.976552E-5 | 9.976552E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5126543E-4 | 0.0012139693 | 0.0012139693 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045035016 | 0.012212164 | 0.012212164 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.9368224E-6 | 7.3283345E-6 | 7.3283345E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6871985E-5 | 3.1406773E-5 | 3.1406773E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0539707E-4 | 3.8231048E-4 | 3.8231048E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020520731 | 0.0040015313 | 0.0040015313 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.7101195E-6 | 2.2178374E-6 | 2.2178374E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.329063E-6 | 9.504983E-6 | 9.504983E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.922769E-5 | 1.15717055E-4 | 1.15717055E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9191867E-4 | 0.00126669 | 0.00126669 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 3.0346666E-8 | 1.721086E-8 | 1.721086E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3005713E-7 | 7.376083E-8 | 7.376083E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834444E-6 | 8.98038E-7 | 8.98038E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834332E-5 | 9.36379E-6 | 9.36379E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.75733E-6 | 1.3675645E-4 | 20.238237 | 1.3E-4 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.895971E-5 | 1.6895565E-4 | 5.8341627 | 1.4E-4 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253543E-4 | 5.32472E-4 | 1.510407 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035205502 | 0.0037397759 | 1.0622703 | 2.2E-4 |
6.1 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.75733E-6 | 1.3675645E-4 | 20.238237 | 1.3E-4 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.895971E-5 | 1.6895565E-4 | 5.8341627 | 1.4E-4 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253543E-4 | 5.32472E-4 | 1.510407 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035205502 | 0.0037397759 | 1.0622703 | 2.2E-4 |
6.2 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.75733E-6 | 1.3675645E-4 | 20.238237 | 1.3E-4 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.895971E-5 | 1.6895565E-4 | 5.8341627 | 1.4E-4 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253543E-4 | 5.32472E-4 | 1.510407 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035205502 | 0.0037397759 | 1.0622703 | 2.2E-4 |
6.3 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.75733E-6 | 1.3675645E-4 | 20.238237 | 1.3E-4 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.895971E-5 | 1.6895565E-4 | 5.8341627 | 1.4E-4 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253543E-4 | 5.32472E-4 | 1.510407 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035205502 | 0.0037397759 | 1.0622703 | 2.2E-4 |
6.4 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.75733E-6 | 1.3675645E-4 | 20.238237 | 1.3E-4 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.895971E-5 | 1.6895565E-4 | 5.8341627 | 1.4E-4 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253543E-4 | 5.32472E-4 | 1.510407 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035205502 | 0.0037397759 | 1.0622703 | 2.2E-4 |
6.5 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2570915E-6 | 7.3256866E-5 | 22.491497 | 7.0E-5 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3958894E-5 | 8.3957915E-5 | 6.014654 | 7.0E-5 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.6993708E-4 | 2.699201E-4 | 1.588353 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0016767744 | 0.001698151 | 0.0018179473 | 1.0705451 | 1.2E-4 |
6.6 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2570915E-6 | 7.3256866E-5 | 22.491497 | 7.0E-5 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3958894E-5 | 8.3957915E-5 | 6.014654 | 7.0E-5 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.6993708E-4 | 2.699201E-4 | 1.588353 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0016767744 | 0.001698151 | 0.0018179473 | 1.0705451 | 1.2E-4 |
6.7 | 2.1908265E-6 | 2.2071222E-6 | 5.220701E-5 | 23.653883 | 5.0E-5 | 9.389223E-6 | 9.459062E-6 | 5.945859E-5 | 6.2858863 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1430779E-4 | 1.1515819E-4 | 1.8515013E-4 | 1.6077895 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011424901 | 0.0011510046 | 0.001220924 | 1.0607464 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7303895E-6 | 1.736553E-6 | 4.1736483E-5 | 24.034098 | 4.0E-5 | 7.415934E-6 | 7.442349E-6 | 4.7442052E-5 | 6.374607 | 4.0E-5 | 9.028525E-5 | 9.060693E-5 | 1.506015E-4 | 1.662141 | 6.0E-5 | 9.024858E-4 | 9.0570963E-4 | 9.656553E-4 | 1.0661864 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3700314E-6 | 1.3688623E-6 | 3.136882E-5 | 22.91598 | 3.0E-5 | 5.87155E-6 | 5.86654E-6 | 3.5866364E-5 | 6.113717 | 3.0E-5 | 7.148377E-5 | 7.142283E-5 | 1.2141926E-4 | 1.7000062 | 5.0E-5 | 7.146078E-4 | 7.140033E-4 | 7.639676E-4 | 1.0699776 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1467797E-6 | 1.1413805E-6 | 2.1141357E-5 | 18.52262 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9147607E-6 | 4.8916218E-6 | 2.4891524E-5 | 5.0886035 | 2.0E-5 | 5.983557E-5 | 5.95539E-5 | 9.9551515E-5 | 1.6716205 | 4.0E-5 | 5.981946E-4 | 5.9538253E-4 | 6.3535874E-4 | 1.0671437 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.3952065E-7 | 9.3026915E-7 | 1.093026E-5 | 11.749567 | 1.0E-5 | 4.026511E-6 | 3.986862E-6 | 1.3986822E-5 | 3.5082285 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9021666E-5 | 4.853898E-5 | 7.853752E-5 | 1.61803 | 3.0E-5 | 4.901085E-4 | 4.8528553E-4 | 5.15271E-4 | 1.0617893 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.858055E-7 | 6.7193014E-7 | 1.06719235E-5 | 15.882489 | 1.0E-5 | 2.939163E-6 | 2.8796974E-6 | 1.2879668E-5 | 4.472577 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5783723E-5 | 3.5059762E-5 | 4.5059413E-5 | 1.2852173 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5777962E-4 | 3.5054318E-4 | 3.6053968E-4 | 1.0285171 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.1101983E-7 | 4.939301E-7 | 1.0493925E-5 | 21.245771 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1900833E-6 | 2.1168414E-6 | 1.21168205E-5 | 5.7240095 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6663936E-5 | 2.5772246E-5 | 3.5771987E-5 | 1.3880043 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6660739E-4 | 2.5769303E-4 | 2.6769046E-4 | 1.0387958 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.4999414E-7 | 3.2995916E-7 | 1.0329956E-5 | 31.306772 | 1.0E-5 | 1.499974E-6 | 1.4141099E-6 | 1.1414096E-5 | 8.071576 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8262032E-5 | 1.7216655E-5 | 2.7216482E-5 | 1.580823 | 1.0E-5 | 1.826053E-4 | 1.7215345E-4 | 1.8215172E-4 | 1.0580777 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.7021522E-7 | 1.4750053E-7 | 1.4750053E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2949354E-7 | 6.32145E-7 | 6.32145E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.881548E-6 | 7.696339E-6 | 7.696339E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8811925E-5 | 7.696081E-5 | 7.696081E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.735264E-8 | 1.735264E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.436845E-8 | 7.436845E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.0543557E-7 | 9.0543557E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.054324E-6 | 9.054324E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.40909E-5 | 1.1408873E-4 | 4.7357607 | 9.0E-5 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.032432E-4 | 2.0323288E-4 | 1.9684868 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012563618 | 0.001396186 | 1.1112928 | 1.4E-4 | 0.015655609 | 0.012502613 | 0.012719862 | 1.0173763 | 2.2E-4 |
6.1 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.40909E-5 | 1.1408873E-4 | 4.7357607 | 9.0E-5 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.032432E-4 | 2.0323288E-4 | 1.9684868 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012563618 | 0.001396186 | 1.1112928 | 1.4E-4 | 0.015655609 | 0.012502613 | 0.012719862 | 1.0173763 | 2.2E-4 |
6.2 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.40909E-5 | 1.1408873E-4 | 4.7357607 | 9.0E-5 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.032432E-4 | 2.0323288E-4 | 1.9684868 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012563618 | 0.001396186 | 1.1112928 | 1.4E-4 | 0.015655609 | 0.012502613 | 0.012719862 | 1.0173763 | 2.2E-4 |
6.3 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.3638054E-5 | 6.363737E-5 | 4.666162 | 5.0E-5 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.8447586E-5 | 1.0844466E-4 | 1.8554174 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0010690069 | 7.1138324E-4 | 7.813335E-4 | 1.0983298 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01063879 | 0.0070926864 | 0.0072019063 | 1.015399 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.3638054E-5 | 6.363737E-5 | 4.666162 | 5.0E-5 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.8447586E-5 | 1.0844466E-4 | 1.8554174 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0010690069 | 7.1138324E-4 | 7.813335E-4 | 1.0983298 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01063879 | 0.0070926864 | 0.0072019063 | 1.015399 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 1.7316182E-5 | 1.04769715E-5 | 4.0476658E-5 | 3.8633928 | 3.0E-5 | 7.42101E-5 | 4.490059E-5 | 7.4899246E-5 | 1.6681126 | 3.0E-5 | 9.0313336E-4 | 5.465376E-4 | 5.865157E-4 | 1.073148 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008994718 | 0.00545293 | 0.0055026575 | 1.0091194 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5251077E-5 | 8.414133E-6 | 2.8413964E-5 | 3.376933 | 2.0E-5 | 6.536012E-5 | 3.606011E-5 | 5.605939E-5 | 1.5546094 | 2.0E-5 | 7.9546886E-4 | 4.3895066E-4 | 4.6893748E-4 | 1.0683148 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007926274 | 0.0043815537 | 0.0044213785 | 1.0090892 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2997425E-5 | 6.4112146E-6 | 6.4112146E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.570206E-5 | 2.7476372E-5 | 2.7476372E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7796157E-4 | 3.3447813E-4 | 3.4447477E-4 | 1.0298873 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0067589693 | 0.003340207 | 0.0033601404 | 1.0059676 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.035386E-5 | 4.333145E-6 | 4.333145E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.437293E-5 | 1.8570496E-5 | 1.8570496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.401065E-4 | 2.260732E-4 | 2.3607093E-4 | 1.0442234 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053879567 | 0.002258519 | 0.0022684964 | 1.0044177 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.816252E-6 | 3.5805879E-6 | 3.5805879E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.778339E-5 | 1.534529E-5 | 1.534529E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5991567E-4 | 1.8681347E-4 | 1.9681161E-4 | 1.0535194 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00458965 | 0.0018666228 | 0.0018766042 | 1.0053473 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.8232207E-6 | 2.5674399E-6 | 2.5674399E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9242048E-5 | 1.100327E-5 | 1.100327E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5596377E-4 | 1.3395688E-4 | 1.3395688E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035539411 | 0.0013387925 | 0.0013387925 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.837013E-6 | 2.2273143E-6 | 2.2273143E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.501553E-5 | 9.5456E-6 | 9.5456E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.045215E-4 | 1.1621177E-4 | 1.1621177E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030410455 | 0.001161539 | 0.001161539 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.278052E-6 | 1.6275065E-6 | 1.6275065E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.833438E-5 | 6.975011E-6 | 6.975011E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.231982E-4 | 8.491768E-5 | 8.491768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022297418 | 8.4887556E-4 | 8.4887556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.8803692E-6 | 8.344788E-7 | 8.344788E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0587E-6 | 3.5763337E-6 | 3.5763337E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.811026E-5 | 4.354114E-5 | 4.354114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.806695E-4 | 4.3534054E-4 | 4.3534054E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Clemente
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.163834E-5 | 2.216269E-4 | 2.7147405 | 1.4E-4 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.4983488E-4 | 4.9978244E-4 | 1.4286237 | 1.5E-4 | 0.003480294 | 0.00425141 | 0.0044406024 | 1.0445011 | 1.9E-4 | 0.03426291 | 0.04175603 | 0.04195726 | 1.0048192 | 2.1E-4 |
6.1 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.163834E-5 | 1.7163099E-4 | 2.1023333 | 9.0E-5 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.4983488E-4 | 4.497999E-4 | 1.2857491 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003480294 | 0.00425141 | 0.004390815 | 1.0327903 | 1.4E-4 | 0.03426291 | 0.04175603 | 0.041899767 | 1.0034423 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 3.9400576E-5 | 4.6452373E-5 | 6.6451445E-5 | 1.4305285 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6884868E-4 | 1.9906677E-4 | 2.1906279E-4 | 1.1004488 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020537945 | 0.0024209984 | 0.0024808533 | 1.0247232 | 6.0E-5 | 0.020349167 | 0.023952903 | 0.024011467 | 1.0024449 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2590255E-5 | 3.792912E-5 | 4.7928737E-5 | 1.2636397 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3966505E-4 | 1.6254342E-4 | 1.725418E-4 | 1.061512 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016990956 | 0.0019772002 | 0.0020071408 | 1.0151429 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01686163 | 0.019599883 | 0.019629294 | 1.0015006 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.9454652E-5 | 3.4097764E-5 | 4.409742E-5 | 1.2932644 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2622811E-4 | 1.4612524E-4 | 1.5612377E-4 | 1.0684245 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015357438 | 0.0017776493 | 0.001807596 | 1.0168462 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015251739 | 0.01763747 | 0.017666942 | 1.001671 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.790836E-5 | 3.2247463E-5 | 4.224714E-5 | 1.310092 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1960178E-4 | 1.3819624E-4 | 1.4819486E-4 | 1.0723509 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001455179 | 0.0016812662 | 0.0017112158 | 1.0178137 | 3.0E-5 | 0.014456868 | 0.016688485 | 0.016717983 | 1.0017676 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2492153E-5 | 2.5762702E-5 | 3.5762445E-5 | 1.3881481 | 1.0E-5 | 9.639138E-5 | 1.1040699E-4 | 1.20405886E-4 | 1.090564 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011729331 | 0.0013433909 | 0.0013733506 | 1.0223016 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011667615 | 0.013354417 | 0.013384016 | 1.0022165 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9862755E-5 | 2.2666423E-5 | 3.2666198E-5 | 1.4411712 | 1.0E-5 | 8.512331E-5 | 9.713826E-5 | 1.0713729E-4 | 1.102936 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010358836 | 0.0011820279 | 0.0012119925 | 1.0253501 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010310682 | 0.011758701 | 0.011788348 | 1.0025213 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6697575E-5 | 1.897771E-5 | 2.897752E-5 | 1.526924 | 1.0E-5 | 7.155907E-5 | 8.133056E-5 | 9.132974E-5 | 1.1229451 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7088346E-4 | 9.897591E-4 | 9.997492E-4 | 1.0100935 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008674784 | 0.0098545365 | 0.009864438 | 1.0010048 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5218415E-5 | 1.72694E-5 | 2.7269229E-5 | 1.5790489 | 1.0E-5 | 6.522015E-5 | 7.4009666E-5 | 8.400893E-5 | 1.1351075 | 1.0E-5 | 7.93766E-4 | 9.00704E-4 | 9.10695E-4 | 1.0110924 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007909367 | 0.008971481 | 0.008981391 | 1.0011046 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2392958E-5 | 1.4033016E-5 | 1.4033016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3111595E-5 | 6.014015E-5 | 6.014015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4644177E-4 | 7.319679E-4 | 7.319679E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064456454 | 0.0072963564 | 0.0072963564 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0934128E-5 | 1.2375138E-5 | 1.2375138E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6859706E-5 | 5.303527E-5 | 5.303527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7036756E-4 | 6.455204E-4 | 6.455204E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056890585 | 0.0064371997 | 0.0064371997 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.5798805E-6 | 1.0844935E-5 | 1.0844935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1055984E-5 | 4.6477508E-5 | 4.6477508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9974193E-4 | 5.657239E-4 | 5.657239E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049861963 | 0.0056435615 | 0.0056435615 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.0167365E-6 | 9.083918E-6 | 9.083918E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4356988E-5 | 3.8930535E-5 | 3.8930535E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1821605E-4 | 4.7388324E-4 | 4.7388324E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041742986 | 0.0047294297 | 0.0047294297 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.9581017E-6 | 3.3623792E-6 | 3.3623792E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2677518E-5 | 1.4410146E-5 | 1.4410146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5433785E-4 | 1.7543444E-4 | 1.7543444E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001542307 | 0.0017534546 | 0.0017534546 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bullion Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4692009E-5 | 5.4691423E-5 | 3.7225282 | 4.0E-5 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.296445E-5 | 1.3296005E-4 | 2.1116683 | 7.0E-5 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.6636096E-4 | 8.86269E-4 | 1.1564642 | 1.2E-4 | 0.008531413 | 0.0076409746 | 0.00784937 | 1.0272734 | 2.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4692009E-5 | 5.4691423E-5 | 3.7225282 | 4.0E-5 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.296445E-5 | 1.3296005E-4 | 2.1116683 | 7.0E-5 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.6636096E-4 | 8.86269E-4 | 1.1564642 | 1.2E-4 | 0.008531413 | 0.0076409746 | 0.00784937 | 1.0272734 | 2.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4692009E-5 | 5.4691423E-5 | 3.7225282 | 4.0E-5 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.296445E-5 | 1.3296005E-4 | 2.1116683 | 7.0E-5 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.6636096E-4 | 8.86269E-4 | 1.1564642 | 1.2E-4 | 0.008531413 | 0.0076409746 | 0.00784937 | 1.0272734 | 2.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.2046778E-5 | 9.862255E-6 | 4.986186E-5 | 5.0558276 | 4.0E-5 | 5.1628023E-5 | 4.2266256E-5 | 1.122633E-4 | 2.6560977 | 7.0E-5 | 6.283899E-4 | 5.144933E-4 | 6.144419E-4 | 1.194266 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0062661595 | 0.0051353034 | 0.0052745845 | 1.0271223 | 1.4E-4 |
6.4 | 1.2046778E-5 | 9.862255E-6 | 4.986186E-5 | 5.0558276 | 4.0E-5 | 5.1628023E-5 | 4.2266256E-5 | 1.122633E-4 | 2.6560977 | 7.0E-5 | 6.283899E-4 | 5.144933E-4 | 6.144419E-4 | 1.194266 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0062661595 | 0.0051353034 | 0.0052745845 | 1.0271223 | 1.4E-4 |
6.5 | 1.0244343E-5 | 7.879378E-6 | 3.787914E-5 | 4.807377 | 3.0E-5 | 4.390359E-5 | 3.3768443E-5 | 9.3766415E-5 | 2.7767467 | 6.0E-5 | 5.343951E-4 | 4.1107394E-4 | 4.9104105E-4 | 1.1945322 | 8.0E-5 | 0.005331118 | 0.0041051665 | 0.004204756 | 1.0242596 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 9.605408E-6 | 7.1774166E-6 | 3.71772E-5 | 5.1797466 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1165385E-5 | 3.0760108E-5 | 9.0758265E-5 | 2.9505181 | 6.0E-5 | 5.010733E-4 | 3.7446033E-4 | 4.4443412E-4 | 1.1868657 | 7.0E-5 | 0.00499945 | 0.0037402906 | 0.0038199914 | 1.0213087 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.60418E-6 | 6.123926E-6 | 3.6123743E-5 | 5.898788 | 3.0E-5 | 3.687454E-5 | 2.6245243E-5 | 8.624367E-5 | 3.2860684 | 6.0E-5 | 4.48855E-4 | 3.195085E-4 | 3.8948611E-4 | 1.2190166 | 7.0E-5 | 0.004479495 | 0.0031924031 | 0.0032621797 | 1.021857 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.187994E-6 | 2.563117E-6 | 1.2563091E-5 | 4.9014897 | 1.0E-5 | 2.223407E-5 | 1.0984763E-5 | 2.0984653E-5 | 1.9103419 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7066618E-4 | 1.3373529E-4 | 1.4373395E-4 | 1.0747646 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027033675 | 0.0013369396 | 0.0013469262 | 1.0074698 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.5302368E-6 | 2.3442778E-6 | 1.2344254E-5 | 5.265696 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9415156E-5 | 1.0046889E-5 | 2.004679E-5 | 1.995323 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3635388E-4 | 1.2231797E-4 | 1.3231675E-4 | 1.0817441 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023610266 | 0.0012228956 | 0.0012328833 | 1.0081673 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.431668E-6 | 1.6882177E-6 | 1.6882177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4707065E-5 | 7.2352186E-6 | 7.2352186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7904381E-4 | 8.808879E-5 | 8.808879E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017889962 | 8.8088785E-4 | 8.8088785E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3784127E-5 | 9.3782095E-5 | 2.775922 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4478175E-4 | 2.3476873E-4 | 1.6215353 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017614134 | 0.0019011669 | 1.0793417 | 1.4E-4 | 0.018115403 | 0.017486857 | 0.017683359 | 1.0112371 | 2.0E-4 |
6.1 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3784127E-5 | 9.3782095E-5 | 2.775922 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4478175E-4 | 2.3476873E-4 | 1.6215353 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017614134 | 0.0019011669 | 1.0793417 | 1.4E-4 | 0.018115403 | 0.017486857 | 0.017683359 | 1.0112371 | 2.0E-4 |
6.2 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3784127E-5 | 9.3782095E-5 | 2.775922 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4478175E-4 | 2.3476873E-4 | 1.6215353 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017614134 | 0.0019011669 | 1.0793417 | 1.4E-4 | 0.018115403 | 0.017486857 | 0.017683359 | 1.0112371 | 2.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.591616E-5 | 3.591584E-5 | 2.2565646 | 2.0E-5 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.821041E-5 | 9.820836E-5 | 1.4397856 | 3.0E-5 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.301596E-4 | 8.7012636E-4 | 1.0481435 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009254395 | 0.0082720425 | 0.008361299 | 1.01079 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.591616E-5 | 3.591584E-5 | 2.2565646 | 2.0E-5 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.821041E-5 | 9.820836E-5 | 1.4397856 | 3.0E-5 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.301596E-4 | 8.7012636E-4 | 1.0481435 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009254395 | 0.0082720425 | 0.008361299 | 1.01079 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3397557E-5 | 1.1336374E-5 | 3.133615E-5 | 2.7642126 | 2.0E-5 | 5.741684E-5 | 4.8583595E-5 | 7.858214E-5 | 1.6174624 | 3.0E-5 | 6.988258E-4 | 5.913517E-4 | 6.3132803E-4 | 1.0676017 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006966323 | 0.005898487 | 0.005978015 | 1.0134828 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0818695E-5 | 8.625434E-6 | 1.8625347E-5 | 2.1593518 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6365014E-5 | 3.6965648E-5 | 5.696491E-5 | 1.5410229 | 2.0E-5 | 5.6434784E-4 | 4.4996818E-4 | 4.7995467E-4 | 1.0666413 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005629168 | 0.0044910074 | 0.004550738 | 1.0133001 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.067908E-6 | 6.802476E-6 | 6.802476E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8861883E-5 | 2.915316E-5 | 2.915316E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7304068E-4 | 3.548851E-4 | 3.6488156E-4 | 1.0281681 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00472035 | 0.003543501 | 0.0035833593 | 1.0112482 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.295947E-6 | 4.9364285E-6 | 4.9364285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.126797E-5 | 2.1155956E-5 | 2.1155956E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8062103E-4 | 2.5754445E-4 | 2.5754445E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037996976 | 0.0025725728 | 0.002582547 | 1.0038772 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.2243444E-6 | 3.8322546E-6 | 3.8322546E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6675489E-5 | 1.6423846E-5 | 1.6423846E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2472567E-4 | 1.9994251E-4 | 1.9994251E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032425157 | 0.001997679 | 0.002007659 | 1.0049958 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.9878413E-6 | 2.679564E-6 | 2.679564E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1376287E-5 | 1.1483797E-5 | 1.1483797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.602252E-4 | 1.3980652E-4 | 1.3980652E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002599207 | 0.0013972119 | 0.0013972119 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.0252844E-6 | 1.885702E-6 | 1.885702E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7251105E-5 | 8.081555E-6 | 8.081555E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1001195E-4 | 9.838863E-5 | 9.838863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020981359 | 9.834635E-4 | 9.834635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.3284066E-6 | 1.2818929E-6 | 1.2818929E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4264522E-5 | 5.4938155E-6 | 5.4938155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.736567E-4 | 6.688525E-5 | 6.688525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017352107 | 6.6866126E-4 | 6.6866126E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.458226E-6 | 6.056684E-7 | 6.056684E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0535211E-5 | 2.5957193E-6 | 2.5957193E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2825865E-4 | 3.160246E-5 | 3.160246E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012818464 | 3.1598343E-4 | 3.1598343E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.965953E-6 | 3.1084684E-7 | 3.1084684E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.425486E-6 | 1.3322001E-6 | 1.3322001E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0257547E-4 | 1.6219417E-5 | 1.6219417E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010252813 | 1.6218246E-4 | 1.6218246E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2014192E-6 | 1.8241002E-7 | 1.8241002E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.148929E-6 | 7.8175697E-7 | 7.8175697E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2686406E-5 | 9.51785E-6 | 9.51785E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.266873E-4 | 9.517451E-5 | 9.517451E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.5612175E-7 | 4.893784E-8 | 4.893784E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0976642E-6 | 2.0973359E-7 | 2.0973359E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363979E-5 | 2.5535037E-6 | 2.5535037E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363175E-4 | 2.553478E-5 | 2.553478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Oceanic - West Huasna
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.195567E-5 | 2.7926368E-5 | 8.7924695E-5 | 3.148447 | 6.0E-5 | 1.3694567E-4 | 1.19679185E-4 | 2.1966721E-4 | 1.8354672 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0016660384 | 0.0014561634 | 0.001585974 | 1.0891457 | 1.3E-4 | 0.016536033 | 0.01447077 | 0.014658021 | 1.0129399 | 1.9E-4 |
6.1 | 2.1156782E-5 | 1.7573117E-5 | 6.757224E-5 | 3.845205 | 5.0E-5 | 9.066878E-5 | 7.531123E-5 | 1.5530521E-4 | 2.0621784 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0011033333 | 9.1653795E-4 | 0.0010264372 | 1.1199069 | 1.1E-4 | 0.010978713 | 0.009128587 | 0.009277218 | 1.0162818 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6195117E-5 | 1.3327227E-5 | 4.332683E-5 | 3.251001 | 3.0E-5 | 6.9405796E-5 | 5.7115452E-5 | 1.17112024E-4 | 2.050444 | 6.0E-5 | 8.44688E-4 | 6.9516135E-4 | 7.8509876E-4 | 1.1293763 | 9.0E-5 | 0.008414844 | 0.0069301617 | 0.0070493305 | 1.0171956 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.3559345E-5 | 1.1179013E-5 | 4.117868E-5 | 3.68357 | 3.0E-5 | 5.811018E-5 | 4.7909183E-5 | 1.0790631E-4 | 2.2523096 | 6.0E-5 | 7.072618E-4 | 5.8313913E-4 | 6.630925E-4 | 1.1371086 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0070501505 | 0.005816208 | 0.0059156264 | 1.0170933 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.2120619E-5 | 1.0000874E-5 | 4.0000574E-5 | 3.999708 | 3.0E-5 | 5.1944477E-5 | 4.2860185E-5 | 1.02857615E-4 | 2.3998406 | 6.0E-5 | 6.322405E-4 | 5.216983E-4 | 6.016566E-4 | 1.1532654 | 8.0E-5 | 0.006304447 | 0.005204804 | 0.005294335 | 1.0172017 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.13511915E-5 | 9.367378E-6 | 3.9367096E-5 | 4.202574 | 3.0E-5 | 4.8647056E-5 | 4.0145293E-5 | 1.0014288E-4 | 2.4945114 | 6.0E-5 | 5.9211696E-4 | 4.886598E-4 | 5.686207E-4 | 1.1636331 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0059054173 | 0.0048759114 | 0.0049654725 | 1.0183681 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.850605E-6 | 8.1353155E-6 | 3.8135073E-5 | 4.687596 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2216197E-5 | 3.4865174E-5 | 8.486343E-5 | 2.4340458 | 5.0E-5 | 5.1386096E-4 | 4.2440102E-4 | 4.9437134E-4 | 1.1648684 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0051267436 | 0.0042359377 | 0.004315599 | 1.018806 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.8558645E-6 | 7.318341E-6 | 3.731812E-5 | 5.09926 | 3.0E-5 | 3.7953152E-5 | 3.1363943E-5 | 8.136238E-5 | 2.5941374 | 5.0E-5 | 4.6198163E-4 | 3.8178926E-4 | 4.5176255E-4 | 1.1832772 | 7.0E-5 | 0.004610224 | 0.0038113592 | 0.003891054 | 1.0209099 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.67136E-6 | 6.39169E-6 | 3.63915E-5 | 5.6935644 | 3.0E-5 | 3.2876844E-5 | 2.739267E-5 | 7.73913E-5 | 2.8252559 | 5.0E-5 | 4.0020206E-4 | 3.3345487E-4 | 4.0343154E-4 | 1.2098534 | 7.0E-5 | 0.003994821 | 0.0033295664 | 0.0034093 | 1.0239471 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.534529E-6 | 5.458261E-6 | 3.54581E-5 | 6.4962263 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8004823E-5 | 2.3392338E-5 | 7.3391166E-5 | 3.137402 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4090536E-4 | 2.8476462E-4 | 3.547447E-4 | 1.2457471 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0034038287 | 0.002844014 | 0.002913815 | 1.024543 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.460525E-6 | 4.5699203E-6 | 2.4569828E-5 | 5.3764243 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3402039E-5 | 1.9585226E-5 | 4.958464E-5 | 2.5317369 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8488258E-4 | 2.3842414E-4 | 2.884122E-4 | 1.2096603 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0028451765 | 0.0023816973 | 0.0024315782 | 1.0209434 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.4825083E-6 | 3.7524153E-6 | 2.375234E-5 | 6.32988 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9210609E-5 | 1.6081682E-5 | 4.6081197E-5 | 2.8654466 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3386406E-4 | 1.9577699E-4 | 2.4576718E-4 | 1.2553426 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002336181 | 0.001956057 | 0.0020059594 | 1.0255116 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.821708E-6 | 2.424941E-6 | 1.2424916E-5 | 5.1238017 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2092979E-5 | 1.0392562E-5 | 2.039246E-5 | 1.9622166 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4722206E-4 | 1.265221E-4 | 1.4651958E-4 | 1.1580552 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014712457 | 0.0012645032 | 0.001284478 | 1.0157965 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.0644757E-6 | 1.7687502E-6 | 1.7687502E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.847723E-6 | 7.580336E-6 | 7.580336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0771569E-4 | 9.228668E-5 | 1.0228576E-4 | 1.108348 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001076635 | 9.224854E-4 | 9.324762E-4 | 1.0108303 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.6980367E-6 | 1.4379966E-6 | 1.4379966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.27728E-6 | 6.1628284E-6 | 6.1628284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8597284E-5 | 7.502986E-5 | 8.50291E-5 | 1.1332703 | 1.0E-5 | 8.8561967E-4 | 7.5004686E-4 | 7.600394E-4 | 1.0133225 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3637683E-6 | 1.1302697E-6 | 1.1302697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.844708E-6 | 4.844004E-6 | 4.844004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1156996E-5 | 5.897415E-5 | 6.897356E-5 | 1.1695558 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1134215E-4 | 5.8958656E-4 | 5.995807E-4 | 1.0169511 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 9.802994E-7 | 7.6772847E-7 | 7.6772847E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2012766E-6 | 3.2902608E-6 | 3.2902608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1149345E-5 | 4.005819E-5 | 4.005819E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.113757E-4 | 4.0051117E-4 | 4.0051117E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.986191E-7 | 4.0050708E-7 | 4.0050708E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5655079E-6 | 1.7164577E-6 | 1.7164577E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1234613E-5 | 2.0897673E-5 | 2.0897673E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.123022E-4 | 2.0895849E-4 | 2.0895849E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.9189815E-7 | 1.5285202E-7 | 1.5285202E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2509914E-6 | 6.5507993E-7 | 6.5507993E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5230714E-5 | 7.975569E-6 | 7.975569E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.522967E-4 | 7.97542E-5 | 7.97542E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.2057845E-7 | 4.6208047E-8 | 4.6208047E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1676466E-7 | 1.9803447E-7 | 1.9803447E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2915915E-6 | 2.411067E-6 | 2.411067E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2914136E-5 | 2.4111772E-5 | 2.4111772E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.3806387E-9 | 9.0093144E-10 | 9.0093144E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4488451E-8 | 3.8611354E-9 | 3.8611354E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639688E-7 | 4.7009323E-8 | 4.7009323E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639674E-6 | 4.712806E-7 | 4.712806E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.41444E-5 | 1.5414126E-4 | 6.3841414 | 1.3E-4 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.034719E-4 | 2.6345535E-4 | 2.5461535 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001259045 | 0.0014388184 | 1.1427855 | 1.8E-4 | 0.01418221 | 0.012928195 | 0.01312561 | 1.0152701 | 2.0E-4 |
6.1 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.41444E-5 | 1.5414126E-4 | 6.3841414 | 1.3E-4 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.034719E-4 | 2.6345535E-4 | 2.5461535 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001259045 | 0.0014388184 | 1.1427855 | 1.8E-4 | 0.01418221 | 0.012928195 | 0.01312561 | 1.0152701 | 2.0E-4 |
6.2 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.41444E-5 | 1.5414126E-4 | 6.3841414 | 1.3E-4 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.034719E-4 | 2.6345535E-4 | 2.5461535 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001259045 | 0.0014388184 | 1.1427855 | 1.8E-4 | 0.01418221 | 0.012928195 | 0.01312561 | 1.0152701 | 2.0E-4 |
6.3 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.41444E-5 | 1.5414126E-4 | 6.3841414 | 1.3E-4 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.034719E-4 | 2.6345535E-4 | 2.5461535 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001259045 | 0.0014388184 | 1.1427855 | 1.8E-4 | 0.01418221 | 0.012928195 | 0.01312561 | 1.0152701 | 2.0E-4 |
6.4 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.41444E-5 | 1.5414126E-4 | 6.3841414 | 1.3E-4 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.034719E-4 | 2.6345535E-4 | 2.5461535 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001259045 | 0.0014388184 | 1.1427855 | 1.8E-4 | 0.01418221 | 0.012928195 | 0.01312561 | 1.0152701 | 2.0E-4 |
6.5 | 2.7282445E-5 | 2.4030476E-5 | 1.5402735E-4 | 6.409667 | 1.3E-4 | 1.16919524E-4 | 1.0298371E-4 | 2.6296722E-4 | 2.5534837 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0014225657 | 0.001253108 | 0.0014328825 | 1.1434629 | 1.8E-4 | 0.014134934 | 0.012869522 | 0.013066948 | 1.0153406 | 2.0E-4 |
6.6 | 2.7282445E-5 | 2.4030476E-5 | 1.5402735E-4 | 6.409667 | 1.3E-4 | 1.16919524E-4 | 1.0298371E-4 | 2.6296722E-4 | 2.5534837 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0014225657 | 0.001253108 | 0.0014328825 | 1.1434629 | 1.8E-4 | 0.014134934 | 0.012869522 | 0.013066948 | 1.0153406 | 2.0E-4 |
6.7 | 2.7216198E-5 | 2.3955597E-5 | 1.5395248E-4 | 6.4265766 | 1.3E-4 | 1.1663563E-4 | 1.02662816E-4 | 2.6264638E-4 | 2.55834 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0014191137 | 0.0012492058 | 0.001428981 | 1.1439116 | 1.8E-4 | 0.014100855 | 0.012830934 | 0.013028367 | 1.0153873 | 2.0E-4 |
6.8 | 2.7078617E-5 | 2.3872815E-5 | 1.5386971E-4 | 6.4453945 | 1.3E-4 | 1.1604605E-4 | 1.0230807E-4 | 2.622917E-4 | 2.563744 | 1.6E-4 | 0.001411945 | 0.0012448917 | 0.0014246675 | 1.1444108 | 1.8E-4 | 0.014030075 | 0.0127880825 | 0.012985525 | 1.0154395 | 2.0E-4 |
6.9 | 2.6982952E-5 | 2.3792329E-5 | 1.5378924E-4 | 6.4638157 | 1.3E-4 | 1.15636096E-4 | 1.0196315E-4 | 2.6194684E-4 | 2.5690343 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0014069602 | 0.0012406971 | 0.0014204738 | 1.1448997 | 1.8E-4 | 0.013980856 | 0.012746378 | 0.0129438285 | 1.0154908 | 2.0E-4 |
7.0 | 2.6449972E-5 | 2.3369357E-5 | 1.5336632E-4 | 6.5627103 | 1.3E-4 | 1.1335209E-4 | 1.0015055E-4 | 2.6013452E-4 | 2.5974348 | 1.6E-4 | 0.001379188 | 0.0012186535 | 0.0013984342 | 1.147524 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0137065975 | 0.012527733 | 0.0127252275 | 1.0157646 | 2.0E-4 |
7.1 | 2.6257849E-5 | 2.3195396E-5 | 1.5319238E-4 | 6.60443 | 1.3E-4 | 1.1252879E-4 | 9.940507E-5 | 2.5938917E-4 | 2.6094158 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0013691769 | 0.0012095873 | 0.0013893696 | 1.1486311 | 1.8E-4 | 0.013607717 | 0.012437661 | 0.012635173 | 1.0158802 | 2.0E-4 |
7.2 | 2.5270041E-5 | 2.2390155E-5 | 1.5238725E-4 | 6.805993 | 1.3E-4 | 1.0829568E-4 | 9.5954296E-5 | 2.5593894E-4 | 2.6673005 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0013177024 | 0.0011676198 | 0.0013474096 | 1.1539798 | 1.8E-4 | 0.013099162 | 0.0120187905 | 0.012216386 | 1.0164406 | 2.0E-4 |
7.3 | 2.339701E-5 | 2.1122027E-5 | 1.5111928E-4 | 7.1545825 | 1.3E-4 | 1.0026905E-4 | 9.051985E-5 | 2.5050537E-4 | 2.7674081 | 1.6E-4 | 0.001220092 | 0.001101524 | 0.0012813257 | 1.16323 | 1.8E-4 | 0.012134149 | 0.011357642 | 0.011555371 | 1.0174093 | 2.0E-4 |
7.4 | 2.296333E-5 | 2.0852396E-5 | 1.5084968E-4 | 7.2341657 | 1.3E-4 | 9.841056E-5 | 8.936436E-5 | 2.4935007E-4 | 2.790263 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0011974899 | 0.0010874701 | 0.0012672744 | 1.1653419 | 1.8E-4 | 0.011910575 | 0.011216754 | 0.01141451 | 1.0176305 | 2.0E-4 |
7.5 | 2.2188895E-5 | 2.037534E-5 | 1.503727E-4 | 7.3801312 | 1.3E-4 | 9.50918E-5 | 8.731998E-5 | 2.4730602E-4 | 2.8321812 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0011571277 | 0.0010626042 | 0.0012424131 | 1.1692151 | 1.8E-4 | 0.011511209 | 0.010966369 | 0.011164176 | 1.0180376 | 2.0E-4 |
7.6 | 2.0013189E-5 | 1.8961666E-5 | 1.489592E-4 | 7.855808 | 1.3E-4 | 8.5767984E-5 | 8.126176E-5 | 2.4124875E-4 | 2.9687858 | 1.6E-4 | 0.001043725 | 9.889146E-4 | 0.0011687366 | 1.1818377 | 1.8E-4 | 0.010388365 | 0.010224371 | 0.010422327 | 1.0193611 | 2.0E-4 |
7.7 | 1.7230794E-5 | 1.6743043E-5 | 1.4674087E-4 | 8.764289 | 1.3E-4 | 7.384417E-5 | 7.175393E-5 | 2.3174245E-4 | 3.2296832 | 1.6E-4 | 8.986819E-4 | 8.732547E-4 | 0.0010530975 | 1.2059454 | 1.8E-4 | 0.008950562 | 0.00906292 | 0.009261108 | 1.021868 | 2.0E-4 |
7.8 | 1.4478809E-5 | 1.499039E-5 | 1.4498844E-4 | 9.672092 | 1.3E-4 | 6.205057E-5 | 6.424295E-5 | 2.2423267E-4 | 3.4903858 | 1.6E-4 | 7.552038E-4 | 7.8187784E-4 | 9.5174497E-4 | 1.2172552 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0075264242 | 0.008141388 | 0.008329841 | 1.0231476 | 1.9E-4 |
7.9 | 1.1114467E-5 | 1.1644517E-5 | 1.41643E-4 | 12.163922 | 1.3E-4 | 4.7632562E-5 | 4.990412E-5 | 2.0989614E-4 | 4.205988 | 1.6E-4 | 5.797721E-4 | 6.074139E-4 | 7.773106E-4 | 1.279705 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0057826187 | 0.0063803545 | 0.006559206 | 1.0280316 | 1.8E-4 |
8.0 | 9.327402E-6 | 9.8986575E-6 | 1.3989737E-4 | 14.132964 | 1.3E-4 | 3.9973966E-5 | 4.2422133E-5 | 2.0241535E-4 | 4.7714562 | 1.6E-4 | 4.8657437E-4 | 5.163676E-4 | 6.862798E-4 | 1.3290528 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0048551033 | 0.00544994 | 0.0056289593 | 1.0328479 | 1.8E-4 |
8.1 | 7.0235833E-6 | 6.826985E-6 | 1.068263E-4 | 15.647655 | 1.0E-4 | 3.0100724E-5 | 2.9258183E-5 | 1.3925496E-4 | 4.759522 | 1.1E-4 | 3.664147E-4 | 3.5616063E-4 | 4.6612148E-4 | 1.3087394 | 1.1E-4 | 0.003658111 | 0.0037874572 | 0.0038970406 | 1.0289333 | 1.1E-4 |
8.2 | 2.0358202E-6 | 8.9912584E-7 | 8.9912584E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.724915E-6 | 3.853391E-6 | 3.853391E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06220665E-4 | 4.6914047E-5 | 4.6914047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001061699 | 5.3239096E-4 | 5.3239096E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.0051264E-7 | 6.61379E-8 | 6.61379E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5933965E-7 | 2.8344812E-7 | 2.8344812E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.046241E-5 | 3.450976E-6 | 3.450976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0461917E-4 | 4.0120205E-5 | 4.0120205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Dry Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.439381E-6 | 7.643893E-5 | 11.87054 | 7.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597147E-5 | 1.1759466E-4 | 4.261117 | 9.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3595937E-4 | 4.8590897E-4 | 1.4463326 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033560768 | 0.0035554057 | 1.0593934 | 2.0E-4 |
6.1 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.439381E-6 | 7.643893E-5 | 11.87054 | 7.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597147E-5 | 1.1759466E-4 | 4.261117 | 9.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3595937E-4 | 4.8590897E-4 | 1.4463326 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033560768 | 0.0035554057 | 1.0593934 | 2.0E-4 |
6.2 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.439381E-6 | 7.643893E-5 | 11.87054 | 7.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597147E-5 | 1.1759466E-4 | 4.261117 | 9.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3595937E-4 | 4.8590897E-4 | 1.4463326 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033560768 | 0.0035554057 | 1.0593934 | 2.0E-4 |
6.3 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.439381E-6 | 7.643893E-5 | 11.87054 | 7.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597147E-5 | 1.1759466E-4 | 4.261117 | 9.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3595937E-4 | 4.8590897E-4 | 1.4463326 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033560768 | 0.0035554057 | 1.0593934 | 2.0E-4 |
6.4 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.439381E-6 | 7.643893E-5 | 11.87054 | 7.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597147E-5 | 1.1759466E-4 | 4.261117 | 9.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3595937E-4 | 4.8590897E-4 | 1.4463326 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033560768 | 0.0035554057 | 1.0593934 | 2.0E-4 |
6.5 | 2.8528623E-6 | 2.9521684E-6 | 3.295208E-5 | 11.161992 | 3.0E-5 | 1.22264955E-5 | 1.2652138E-5 | 6.26515E-5 | 4.9518514 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4884741E-4 | 1.540376E-4 | 2.1402835E-4 | 1.3894553 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0014874774 | 0.0015401616 | 0.001630023 | 1.0583454 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.8528623E-6 | 2.9521684E-6 | 3.295208E-5 | 11.161992 | 3.0E-5 | 1.22264955E-5 | 1.2652138E-5 | 6.26515E-5 | 4.9518514 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4884741E-4 | 1.540376E-4 | 2.1402835E-4 | 1.3894553 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0014874774 | 0.0015401616 | 0.001630023 | 1.0583454 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.541E-6 | 2.6293578E-6 | 3.262928E-5 | 12.4096 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0889954E-5 | 1.1268677E-5 | 5.1268227E-5 | 4.5496225 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3257713E-4 | 1.3719614E-4 | 1.7719065E-4 | 1.2915134 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013249806 | 0.0013719613 | 0.001431879 | 1.043673 | 6.0E-5 |
Mission Creek
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6322783E-5 | 1.3632083E-4 | 8.351568 | 1.2E-4 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.995299E-5 | 2.299418E-4 | 3.2870903 | 1.6E-4 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5135986E-4 | 0.0010212151 | 1.1995106 | 1.7E-4 | 0.006008218 | 0.008510157 | 0.00869854 | 1.0221362 | 1.9E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6322783E-5 | 1.3632083E-4 | 8.351568 | 1.2E-4 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.995299E-5 | 2.299418E-4 | 3.2870903 | 1.6E-4 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5135986E-4 | 0.0010212151 | 1.1995106 | 1.7E-4 | 0.006008218 | 0.008510157 | 0.00869854 | 1.0221362 | 1.9E-4 |
6.2 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6322783E-5 | 1.3632083E-4 | 8.351568 | 1.2E-4 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.995299E-5 | 2.299418E-4 | 3.2870903 | 1.6E-4 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5135986E-4 | 0.0010212151 | 1.1995106 | 1.7E-4 | 0.006008218 | 0.008510157 | 0.00869854 | 1.0221362 | 1.9E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6322783E-5 | 1.3632083E-4 | 8.351568 | 1.2E-4 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.995299E-5 | 2.299418E-4 | 3.2870903 | 1.6E-4 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5135986E-4 | 0.0010212151 | 1.1995106 | 1.7E-4 | 0.006008218 | 0.008510157 | 0.00869854 | 1.0221362 | 1.9E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6322783E-5 | 1.3632083E-4 | 8.351568 | 1.2E-4 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.995299E-5 | 2.299418E-4 | 3.2870903 | 1.6E-4 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5135986E-4 | 0.0010212151 | 1.1995106 | 1.7E-4 | 0.006008218 | 0.008510157 | 0.00869854 | 1.0221362 | 1.9E-4 |
6.5 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6322783E-5 | 1.3632083E-4 | 8.351568 | 1.2E-4 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.995299E-5 | 2.299418E-4 | 3.2870903 | 1.6E-4 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5135986E-4 | 0.0010212151 | 1.1995106 | 1.7E-4 | 0.006008218 | 0.008510157 | 0.00869854 | 1.0221362 | 1.9E-4 |
6.6 | 9.202681E-6 | 1.3846059E-5 | 1.338444E-4 | 9.666606 | 1.2E-4 | 3.9439463E-5 | 5.9338956E-5 | 1.9933065E-4 | 3.3591871 | 1.4E-4 | 4.800697E-4 | 7.2222133E-4 | 8.72113E-4 | 1.2075425 | 1.5E-4 | 0.004790339 | 0.0072273402 | 0.007386184 | 1.0219781 | 1.6E-4 |
6.7 | 9.019164E-6 | 1.3651728E-5 | 1.3365009E-4 | 9.789976 | 1.2E-4 | 3.8652986E-5 | 5.8506146E-5 | 1.9849796E-4 | 3.392771 | 1.4E-4 | 4.7049852E-4 | 7.1208854E-4 | 8.619817E-4 | 1.210498 | 1.5E-4 | 0.004695036 | 0.0071266647 | 0.007285524 | 1.022291 | 1.6E-4 |
6.8 | 8.673558E-6 | 1.3273839E-5 | 1.3327225E-4 | 10.040218 | 1.2E-4 | 3.717186E-5 | 5.688669E-5 | 1.9687873E-4 | 3.4608927 | 1.4E-4 | 4.524734E-4 | 6.923842E-4 | 8.4228034E-4 | 1.2164928 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0045155324 | 0.0069308523 | 0.0070897434 | 1.0229251 | 1.6E-4 |
6.9 | 7.002255E-6 | 1.1478069E-5 | 1.3147669E-4 | 11.454601 | 1.2E-4 | 3.000932E-5 | 4.9190832E-5 | 1.8918395E-4 | 3.845919 | 1.4E-4 | 3.653022E-4 | 5.9874065E-4 | 7.4865087E-4 | 1.2503759 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0036470229 | 0.005999676 | 0.0061587156 | 1.0265081 | 1.6E-4 |
7.0 | 5.84644E-6 | 9.675359E-6 | 1.296742E-4 | 13.40252 | 1.2E-4 | 2.5055931E-5 | 4.146519E-5 | 1.8145939E-4 | 4.376186 | 1.4E-4 | 3.0501327E-4 | 5.047263E-4 | 6.546506E-4 | 1.2970407 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0030459496 | 0.005063994 | 0.005223184 | 1.0314356 | 1.6E-4 |
7.1 | 5.54703E-6 | 9.329834E-6 | 1.2932872E-4 | 13.861845 | 1.2E-4 | 2.377277E-5 | 3.9984414E-5 | 1.7997882E-4 | 4.501224 | 1.4E-4 | 2.8939504E-4 | 4.8670598E-4 | 6.3663296E-4 | 1.3080443 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0028901845 | 0.0048845876 | 0.005043806 | 1.0325961 | 1.6E-4 |
7.2 | 4.384709E-6 | 7.681918E-6 | 1.2768099E-4 | 16.62098 | 1.2E-4 | 1.8791474E-5 | 3.292211E-5 | 1.729175E-4 | 5.2523212 | 1.4E-4 | 2.2876218E-4 | 4.0075663E-4 | 5.506965E-4 | 1.374142 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0022852682 | 0.004028542 | 0.0041878973 | 1.0395566 | 1.6E-4 |
7.3 | 3.7888456E-6 | 6.915788E-6 | 1.2691497E-4 | 18.35148 | 1.2E-4 | 1.623781E-5 | 2.9638775E-5 | 1.6963463E-4 | 5.723402 | 1.4E-4 | 1.9767738E-4 | 3.6079568E-4 | 5.1074155E-4 | 1.4155978 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0019750162 | 0.00363027 | 0.0037896892 | 1.0439138 | 1.6E-4 |
7.4 | 2.1982462E-6 | 5.0241033E-6 | 1.2502351E-4 | 24.884739 | 1.2E-4 | 9.421021E-6 | 2.1531694E-5 | 1.6152867E-4 | 7.501903 | 1.4E-4 | 1.1469489E-4 | 2.6211704E-4 | 4.120777E-4 | 1.5721135 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0011463572 | 0.0026460327 | 0.0028056093 | 1.0603079 | 1.6E-4 |
7.5 | 2.051923E-6 | 4.6153277E-6 | 1.2461477E-4 | 27.000202 | 1.2E-4 | 8.793926E-6 | 1.9779825E-5 | 1.5977706E-4 | 8.077779 | 1.4E-4 | 1.0706078E-4 | 2.4079291E-4 | 3.907568E-4 | 1.6227919 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0010700922 | 0.0024335932 | 0.0025932037 | 1.0655864 | 1.6E-4 |
7.6 | 1.8733427E-6 | 4.1236603E-6 | 1.2412317E-4 | 30.100239 | 1.2E-4 | 8.028587E-6 | 1.7672712E-5 | 1.5767023E-4 | 8.921678 | 1.4E-4 | 9.774366E-5 | 2.151441E-4 | 3.6511183E-4 | 1.6970571 | 1.5E-4 | 9.770069E-4 | 0.0021782513 | 0.0023379028 | 1.0732934 | 1.6E-4 |
7.7 | 1.8411953E-6 | 4.0433315E-6 | 1.2404285E-4 | 30.678375 | 1.2E-4 | 7.890813E-6 | 1.732845E-5 | 1.5732602E-4 | 9.07906 | 1.4E-4 | 9.606641E-5 | 2.1095353E-4 | 3.609219E-4 | 1.7109071 | 1.5E-4 | 9.6024893E-4 | 0.0021365292 | 0.0022961872 | 1.0747278 | 1.6E-4 |
7.8 | 1.7194251E-6 | 3.71068E-6 | 1.2371024E-4 | 33.338966 | 1.2E-4 | 7.368944E-6 | 1.5902819E-5 | 1.5590059E-4 | 9.803331 | 1.4E-4 | 8.97132E-5 | 1.9359968E-4 | 3.4357063E-4 | 1.7746446 | 1.5E-4 | 8.967699E-4 | 0.0019624757 | 0.0021221617 | 1.0813696 | 1.6E-4 |
7.9 | 1.4035052E-6 | 2.9502596E-6 | 1.229499E-4 | 41.674267 | 1.2E-4 | 6.0150082E-6 | 1.2643909E-5 | 1.5264214E-4 | 12.072385 | 1.4E-4 | 7.3230265E-5 | 1.5392878E-4 | 3.039057E-4 | 1.9743266 | 1.5E-4 | 7.3206134E-4 | 0.0015631174 | 0.0017228673 | 1.1021996 | 1.6E-4 |
8.0 | 3.9318823E-7 | 5.528477E-7 | 5.055282E-5 | 91.440765 | 5.0E-5 | 1.6850913E-6 | 2.3693453E-6 | 5.2369225E-5 | 22.102825 | 5.0E-5 | 2.0515794E-5 | 2.8846403E-5 | 8.8844674E-5 | 3.079922 | 6.0E-5 | 2.0513899E-4 | 2.990952E-4 | 3.5907727E-4 | 1.2005451 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.596793E-7 | 1.13775044E-7 | 1.13775044E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8433974E-7 | 4.876072E-7 | 4.876072E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331805E-6 | 5.936602E-6 | 5.936602E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331492E-5 | 6.5494125E-5 | 6.5494125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.9003038E-8 | 2.5435753E-8 | 2.5435753E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.10013E-7 | 1.09010365E-7 | 1.09010365E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5569052E-6 | 1.3272004E-6 | 1.3272004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556876E-5 | 1.4952613E-5 | 1.4952613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Imperial
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7496446E-4 | 5.055345E-4 | 5.9548905E-4 | 1.1779394 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0011778869 | 0.002164817 | 0.002304514 | 1.0645306 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0142467655 | 0.026048409 | 0.026223721 | 1.0067302 | 1.8E-4 | 0.13367249 | 0.22807029 | 0.22821696 | 1.0006431 | 1.9E-4 |
6.1 | 2.5356023E-4 | 4.8657708E-4 | 5.7653326E-4 | 1.1848756 | 9.0E-5 | 0.001086234 | 0.002083702 | 0.0022234104 | 1.0670481 | 1.4E-4 | 0.013144928 | 0.02507094 | 0.025246426 | 1.0069996 | 1.8E-4 | 0.123940155 | 0.21949561 | 0.2196439 | 1.0006757 | 1.9E-4 |
6.2 | 2.4820742E-4 | 4.775311E-4 | 5.6748814E-4 | 1.1883794 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0010633124 | 0.0020449946 | 0.0021847084 | 1.0683198 | 1.4E-4 | 0.01286919 | 0.024610676 | 0.024786245 | 1.0071338 | 1.8E-4 | 0.12148927 | 0.21600136 | 0.21615033 | 1.0006896 | 1.9E-4 |
6.3 | 2.3205351E-4 | 4.5892023E-4 | 5.488789E-4 | 1.1960225 | 9.0E-5 | 9.94136E-4 | 0.0019653554 | 0.0021050803 | 1.0710939 | 1.4E-4 | 0.012036599 | 0.023661187 | 0.023836927 | 1.0074275 | 1.8E-4 | 0.11405133 | 0.20793827 | 0.20808876 | 1.0007237 | 1.9E-4 |
6.4 | 2.0304754E-4 | 3.9878016E-4 | 4.7874823E-4 | 1.2005318 | 8.0E-5 | 8.6991355E-4 | 0.0017079529 | 0.001827748 | 1.0701395 | 1.2E-4 | 0.010539869 | 0.020595418 | 0.020752123 | 1.0076088 | 1.6E-4 | 0.100537635 | 0.18507113 | 0.18520966 | 1.0007485 | 1.7E-4 |
6.5 | 1.854992E-4 | 3.6990462E-4 | 4.4987505E-4 | 1.216192 | 8.0E-5 | 7.9475436E-4 | 0.0015843548 | 0.0017041647 | 1.0756207 | 1.2E-4 | 0.009633281 | 0.01911443 | 0.01927137 | 1.0082107 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0922623 | 0.1733039 | 0.17344444 | 1.000811 | 1.7E-4 |
6.6 | 1.6586106E-4 | 3.4036173E-4 | 4.2033452E-4 | 1.234964 | 8.0E-5 | 7.106394E-4 | 0.0014578878 | 0.001577713 | 1.0821909 | 1.2E-4 | 0.008617763 | 0.017607626 | 0.017754983 | 1.0083691 | 1.5E-4 | 0.08291132 | 0.16078055 | 0.16091482 | 1.0008352 | 1.6E-4 |
6.7 | 1.4224656E-4 | 3.076812E-4 | 3.876566E-4 | 1.2599294 | 8.0E-5 | 6.094856E-4 | 0.0013179756 | 0.0014378174 | 1.0909287 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0073952693 | 0.015928522 | 0.016076133 | 1.0092671 | 1.5E-4 | 0.07153955 | 0.14648798 | 0.14662455 | 1.0009322 | 1.6E-4 |
6.8 | 1.2317259E-4 | 2.779231E-4 | 3.4790364E-4 | 1.2517983 | 7.0E-5 | 5.2777573E-4 | 0.0011905615 | 0.0013004305 | 1.0922834 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0064067547 | 0.014400131 | 0.014538115 | 1.0095822 | 1.4E-4 | 0.06225166 | 0.13294089 | 0.13307095 | 1.0009784 | 1.5E-4 |
6.9 | 9.859898E-5 | 2.5015484E-4 | 3.1013982E-4 | 1.2397915 | 6.0E-5 | 4.2249862E-4 | 0.0010716559 | 0.0011715487 | 1.0932136 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0051317946 | 0.012970319 | 0.013098632 | 1.009893 | 1.3E-4 | 0.05014893 | 0.119408876 | 0.11953215 | 1.0010325 | 1.4E-4 |
7.0 | 7.3191884E-5 | 2.1267848E-4 | 2.6266786E-4 | 1.2350466 | 5.0E-5 | 3.136418E-4 | 9.11164E-4 | 0.001001082 | 1.0986848 | 9.0E-5 | 0.003811904 | 0.011037681 | 0.011156357 | 1.0107518 | 1.2E-4 | 0.037471764 | 0.10206756 | 0.102184296 | 1.0011437 | 1.3E-4 |
7.1 | 7.1760296E-5 | 2.0969207E-4 | 2.5968158E-4 | 1.2383949 | 5.0E-5 | 3.0750787E-4 | 8.9837395E-4 | 9.882931E-4 | 1.100091 | 9.0E-5 | 0.003737482 | 0.010883528 | 0.011002222 | 1.0109059 | 1.2E-4 | 0.03675245 | 0.10070406 | 0.10082097 | 1.0011609 | 1.3E-4 |
7.2 | 6.46614E-5 | 1.9137723E-4 | 2.3136957E-4 | 1.2089713 | 4.0E-5 | 2.7709085E-4 | 8.199333E-4 | 8.898759E-4 | 1.0853028 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0033683628 | 0.009937617 | 0.010036624 | 1.0099628 | 1.0E-4 | 0.033177625 | 0.092511006 | 0.09261083 | 1.0010791 | 1.1E-4 |
7.3 | 6.088115E-5 | 1.780939E-4 | 2.1808677E-4 | 1.2245606 | 4.0E-5 | 2.6089314E-4 | 7.6303916E-4 | 8.3298574E-4 | 1.0916684 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0031717476 | 0.009251006 | 0.009350081 | 1.0107096 | 1.0E-4 | 0.031268585 | 0.08656135 | 0.08666183 | 1.0011607 | 1.1E-4 |
7.4 | 4.199346E-5 | 1.1511097E-4 | 1.3510867E-4 | 1.1737254 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7995955E-4 | 4.932403E-4 | 5.332206E-4 | 1.0810564 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0021888057 | 0.005988835 | 0.006058416 | 1.0116184 | 7.0E-5 | 0.02167372 | 0.05744024 | 0.057515644 | 1.0013127 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.130448E-5 | 8.333871E-5 | 1.0333704E-4 | 1.2399645 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3415517E-4 | 3.5711733E-4 | 3.9710305E-4 | 1.111968 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016321153 | 0.0043392954 | 0.0043990347 | 1.0137671 | 6.0E-5 | 0.016201803 | 0.042133506 | 0.042200558 | 1.0015914 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.3074248E-5 | 6.0849357E-5 | 7.084875E-5 | 1.1643302 | 1.0E-5 | 9.888588E-5 | 2.6075702E-4 | 2.8075182E-4 | 1.0766797 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012032706 | 0.0031701182 | 0.0032099916 | 1.0125778 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011967761 | 0.03102816 | 0.03107661 | 1.0015614 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.45864815E-5 | 4.0128452E-5 | 5.0128052E-5 | 1.2491897 | 1.0E-5 | 6.2511994E-5 | 1.7196777E-4 | 1.9196433E-4 | 1.1162809 | 2.0E-5 | 7.608177E-4 | 0.0020917025 | 0.0021316188 | 1.0190831 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007582182 | 0.02062909 | 0.020678058 | 1.0023738 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.0352979E-5 | 3.096395E-5 | 4.096364E-5 | 1.3229462 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4369157E-5 | 1.326959E-4 | 1.5269325E-4 | 1.1507006 | 2.0E-5 | 5.400606E-4 | 0.0016143778 | 0.0016443294 | 1.018553 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0053875 | 0.016017893 | 0.016057253 | 1.0024573 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 8.137906E-6 | 2.2151205E-5 | 2.2151205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4876273E-5 | 9.493029E-5 | 1.0492934E-4 | 1.1053305 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2453592E-4 | 0.0011551644 | 0.0011751413 | 1.0172936 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004237258 | 0.011618842 | 0.01163861 | 1.0017014 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 6.93792E-6 | 1.8010365E-5 | 1.8010365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9733603E-5 | 7.7185E-5 | 7.7185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6194647E-4 | 9.3932304E-4 | 9.3932304E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036135751 | 0.009502415 | 0.009502415 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.4286315E-6 | 6.380179E-6 | 6.380179E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4694053E-5 | 2.734334E-5 | 2.734334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7888541E-4 | 3.3285443E-4 | 3.3285443E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017874148 | 0.0034863674 | 0.0034863674 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.4906886E-6 | 1.936633E-6 | 1.936633E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3886496E-6 | 8.2998295E-6 | 8.2998295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7779034E-5 | 1.0104576E-4 | 1.0104576E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.775182E-4 | 0.0011075423 | 0.0011075423 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.5758007E-8 | 1.4495866E-8 | 1.4495866E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10391454E-7 | 6.212514E-8 | 6.212514E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3440151E-6 | 7.563736E-7 | 7.563736E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.344007E-5 | 7.884359E-6 | 7.884359E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Blue Cut
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2719574E-5 | 1.1271753E-4 | 4.9612517 | 9.0E-5 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.73663E-5 | 1.9735657E-4 | 2.0269494 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011848481 | 0.0013446586 | 1.1348784 | 1.6E-4 | 0.011015458 | 0.011791152 | 0.011969029 | 1.0150857 | 1.8E-4 |
6.1 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2719574E-5 | 1.1271753E-4 | 4.9612517 | 9.0E-5 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.73663E-5 | 1.9735657E-4 | 2.0269494 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011848481 | 0.0013446586 | 1.1348784 | 1.6E-4 | 0.011015458 | 0.011791152 | 0.011969029 | 1.0150857 | 1.8E-4 |
6.2 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2719574E-5 | 1.1271753E-4 | 4.9612517 | 9.0E-5 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.73663E-5 | 1.9735657E-4 | 2.0269494 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011848481 | 0.0013446586 | 1.1348784 | 1.6E-4 | 0.011015458 | 0.011791152 | 0.011969029 | 1.0150857 | 1.8E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2353542E-5 | 6.235293E-5 | 5.0473723 | 5.0E-5 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2942745E-5 | 1.1293957E-4 | 2.1332397 | 6.0E-5 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.443998E-4 | 7.143547E-4 | 1.1085582 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0060417196 | 0.0064265593 | 0.006506045 | 1.0123683 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2353542E-5 | 6.235293E-5 | 5.0473723 | 5.0E-5 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2942745E-5 | 1.1293957E-4 | 2.1332397 | 6.0E-5 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.443998E-4 | 7.143547E-4 | 1.1085582 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0060417196 | 0.0064265593 | 0.006506045 | 1.0123683 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.931326E-6 | 9.4816E-6 | 3.9481314E-5 | 4.163993 | 3.0E-5 | 3.8276554E-5 | 4.0634844E-5 | 7.063363E-5 | 1.7382526 | 3.0E-5 | 4.6591737E-4 | 4.946261E-4 | 5.3460634E-4 | 1.0808291 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0046494175 | 0.004936161 | 0.004985914 | 1.0100794 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.345353E-6 | 7.79028E-6 | 2.7790124E-5 | 3.5672822 | 2.0E-5 | 3.1479703E-5 | 3.338653E-5 | 5.3385862E-5 | 1.599024 | 2.0E-5 | 3.83198E-4 | 4.064132E-4 | 4.36401E-4 | 1.0737865 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0038253788 | 0.0040574907 | 0.0040973285 | 1.0098183 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.2775666E-6 | 6.655149E-6 | 2.6655016E-5 | 4.005172 | 2.0E-5 | 2.690358E-5 | 2.8521798E-5 | 4.8521226E-5 | 1.7011981 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2750185E-4 | 3.472051E-4 | 3.7719466E-4 | 1.0863743 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032701963 | 0.003467367 | 0.0035072283 | 1.0114962 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.5234095E-6 | 5.8551113E-6 | 2.5854994E-5 | 4.415799 | 2.0E-5 | 2.367154E-5 | 2.5093133E-5 | 4.509263E-5 | 1.7970108 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8816288E-4 | 3.0547334E-4 | 3.354642E-4 | 1.0981783 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002877895 | 0.0030512505 | 0.0030911285 | 1.0130694 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.7780054E-6 | 5.0654203E-6 | 2.506532E-5 | 4.9483194 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0477004E-5 | 2.1708804E-5 | 4.170837E-5 | 1.9212652 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4927902E-4 | 2.642797E-4 | 2.9427174E-4 | 1.113486 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0024899957 | 0.002640346 | 0.0026802404 | 1.0151095 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.883171E-6 | 4.118487E-6 | 2.4118404E-5 | 5.856132 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6642054E-5 | 1.7650578E-5 | 3.7650225E-5 | 2.1330874 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0259817E-4 | 2.1488148E-4 | 2.4487503E-4 | 1.1395818 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020241356 | 0.0021474129 | 0.0021773484 | 1.0139403 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.8358215E-6 | 3.0097158E-6 | 3.0097158E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2153464E-5 | 1.2898756E-5 | 1.2898756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4795837E-4 | 1.5703762E-4 | 1.6703604E-4 | 1.063669 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001478599 | 0.0015699116 | 0.001579896 | 1.0063598 | 1.0E-5 |
Santa Cruz Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1599742E-5 | 9.1597845E-5 | 2.8986895 | 6.0E-5 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3542121E-4 | 2.2540902E-4 | 1.6645031 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016476426 | 0.0017674449 | 1.0727113 | 1.2E-4 | 0.015102667 | 0.016368 | 0.016495872 | 1.0078124 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1599742E-5 | 9.1597845E-5 | 2.8986895 | 6.0E-5 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3542121E-4 | 2.2540902E-4 | 1.6645031 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016476426 | 0.0017674449 | 1.0727113 | 1.2E-4 | 0.015102667 | 0.016368 | 0.016495872 | 1.0078124 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1599742E-5 | 9.1597845E-5 | 2.8986895 | 6.0E-5 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3542121E-4 | 2.2540902E-4 | 1.6645031 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016476426 | 0.0017674449 | 1.0727113 | 1.2E-4 | 0.015102667 | 0.016368 | 0.016495872 | 1.0078124 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.780436E-5 | 6.780347E-5 | 3.8082511 | 5.0E-5 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.630227E-5 | 1.3629769E-4 | 1.7862862 | 6.0E-5 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.286024E-4 | 0.0010085282 | 1.086071 | 8.0E-5 | 0.008642701 | 0.009249094 | 0.009328354 | 1.0085695 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.780436E-5 | 6.780347E-5 | 3.8082511 | 5.0E-5 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.630227E-5 | 1.3629769E-4 | 1.7862862 | 6.0E-5 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.286024E-4 | 0.0010085282 | 1.086071 | 8.0E-5 | 0.008642701 | 0.009249094 | 0.009328354 | 1.0085695 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2238748E-5 | 1.3042996E-5 | 4.3042604E-5 | 3.300055 | 3.0E-5 | 5.2450723E-5 | 5.5897377E-5 | 9.589514E-5 | 1.7155571 | 4.0E-5 | 6.3840044E-4 | 6.8034173E-4 | 7.303077E-4 | 1.0734425 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0063656955 | 0.006782988 | 0.006832649 | 1.0073214 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0489767E-5 | 1.1156636E-5 | 3.1156414E-5 | 2.792635 | 2.0E-5 | 4.495537E-5 | 4.781329E-5 | 7.7811856E-5 | 1.6274107 | 3.0E-5 | 5.4719415E-4 | 5.819736E-4 | 6.119561E-4 | 1.0515187 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005458487 | 0.005804736 | 0.005834562 | 1.0051382 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.699222E-6 | 9.236783E-6 | 2.9236597E-5 | 3.1652362 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7281847E-5 | 3.958561E-5 | 6.958443E-5 | 1.7578211 | 3.0E-5 | 4.5381195E-4 | 4.818488E-4 | 5.1183434E-4 | 1.0622302 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0045288634 | 0.004808108 | 0.0048379637 | 1.0062095 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.307732E-6 | 8.8169045E-6 | 2.8816728E-5 | 3.26835 | 2.0E-5 | 3.560408E-5 | 3.7786187E-5 | 6.7785055E-5 | 1.7939109 | 3.0E-5 | 4.3339343E-4 | 4.5995016E-4 | 4.899364E-4 | 1.0651945 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004325492 | 0.0045900354 | 0.004619898 | 1.0065058 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.073121E-6 | 8.564939E-6 | 2.8564767E-5 | 3.335081 | 2.0E-5 | 3.459863E-5 | 3.670637E-5 | 6.670527E-5 | 1.8172668 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2115687E-4 | 4.4680882E-4 | 4.767954E-4 | 1.0671128 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004203596 | 0.004459156 | 0.0044890223 | 1.0066978 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.617019E-6 | 8.074665E-6 | 2.8074503E-5 | 3.4768631 | 2.0E-5 | 3.264396E-5 | 3.4605247E-5 | 6.460421E-5 | 1.8668905 | 3.0E-5 | 3.9736772E-4 | 4.2123784E-4 | 4.512252E-4 | 1.0711887 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003966579 | 0.0042044413 | 0.0042343154 | 1.0071054 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1224836E-6 | 7.5457883E-6 | 2.7545637E-5 | 3.6504653 | 2.0E-5 | 3.052457E-5 | 3.2338692E-5 | 6.233772E-5 | 1.9276513 | 3.0E-5 | 3.715733E-4 | 3.9365282E-4 | 4.23641E-4 | 1.0761793 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003709526 | 0.0039295983 | 0.00395948 | 1.0076044 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.441115E-6 | 6.8273835E-6 | 2.6827247E-5 | 3.92936 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7604487E-5 | 2.9259889E-5 | 5.925901E-5 | 2.0252645 | 3.0E-5 | 3.360328E-4 | 3.5618115E-4 | 3.8617046E-4 | 1.0841968 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0033552512 | 0.0035561312 | 0.0035860245 | 1.0084062 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.494274E-6 | 5.8199944E-6 | 2.5819878E-5 | 4.4364095 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3546674E-5 | 2.4942596E-5 | 5.4941847E-5 | 2.2027316 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8664304E-4 | 3.03634E-4 | 3.336249E-4 | 1.0987731 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002862736 | 0.0030322145 | 0.0030621234 | 1.0098637 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.0802624E-6 | 4.3122564E-6 | 2.431217E-5 | 5.6379232 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7486722E-5 | 1.8480969E-5 | 3.8480597E-5 | 2.0821743 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1288003E-4 | 2.2498264E-4 | 2.4497815E-4 | 1.0888758 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021267622 | 0.0022475577 | 0.0022675127 | 1.0088786 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.3584746E-6 | 2.4753099E-6 | 2.4753099E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0107709E-5 | 1.0608428E-5 | 1.0608428E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2305441E-4 | 1.2915001E-4 | 1.2915001E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012298629 | 0.0012907545 | 0.0012907545 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.4981914E-7 | 9.860934E-7 | 9.860934E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0706473E-6 | 4.2261076E-6 | 4.2261076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9559E-5 | 5.1451658E-5 | 5.1451658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.954795E-4 | 5.1439874E-4 | 5.1439874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.6013532E-7 | 2.6416632E-7 | 2.6416632E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1148652E-6 | 1.1321408E-6 | 1.1321408E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3573399E-5 | 1.3783729E-5 | 1.3783729E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.357257E-4 | 1.378288E-4 | 1.378288E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.1522263E-8 | 3.965698E-8 | 3.965698E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7795254E-7 | 1.6995848E-7 | 1.6995848E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.16657E-6 | 2.0692428E-6 | 2.0692428E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1665488E-5 | 2.0692256E-5 | 2.0692256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.7242046E-10 | 5.9475225E-10 | 5.9475225E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3103735E-9 | 2.5489382E-9 | 2.5489382E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0303796E-8 | 3.1033323E-8 | 3.1033323E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.030379E-7 | 3.103332E-7 | 3.103332E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Owens Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6210524E-6 | 9.362073E-5 | 25.854563 | 9.0E-5 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.551871E-5 | 1.15517156E-4 | 7.4437346 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002521386 | 1.889249E-4 | 3.0890224E-4 | 1.635053 | 1.2E-4 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019297141 | 0.0020993862 | 1.0879259 | 1.7E-4 |
6.1 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6210524E-6 | 9.362073E-5 | 25.854563 | 9.0E-5 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.551871E-5 | 1.15517156E-4 | 7.4437346 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002521386 | 1.889249E-4 | 3.0890224E-4 | 1.635053 | 1.2E-4 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019297141 | 0.0020993862 | 1.0879259 | 1.7E-4 |
6.2 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6210524E-6 | 9.362073E-5 | 25.854563 | 9.0E-5 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.551871E-5 | 1.15517156E-4 | 7.4437346 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002521386 | 1.889249E-4 | 3.0890224E-4 | 1.635053 | 1.2E-4 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019297141 | 0.0020993862 | 1.0879259 | 1.7E-4 |
6.3 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.1530958E-6 | 7.315288E-5 | 23.200333 | 7.0E-5 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.3513202E-5 | 8.3512256E-5 | 6.1800494 | 7.0E-5 | 0.002060538 | 1.6451156E-4 | 2.444984E-4 | 1.4862081 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020415364 | 0.0016621627 | 0.0017819633 | 1.0720751 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.1530958E-6 | 7.315288E-5 | 23.200333 | 7.0E-5 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.3513202E-5 | 8.3512256E-5 | 6.1800494 | 7.0E-5 | 0.002060538 | 1.6451156E-4 | 2.444984E-4 | 1.4862081 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020415364 | 0.0016621627 | 0.0017819633 | 1.0720751 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 3.457342E-5 | 2.9707387E-6 | 6.297056E-5 | 21.196936 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4816338E-4 | 1.273168E-5 | 7.2730916E-5 | 5.712594 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0018023965 | 1.5499788E-4 | 2.2498702E-4 | 1.451549 | 7.0E-5 | 0.017878477 | 0.0015563119 | 0.0016661406 | 1.0705699 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 3.1127765E-5 | 2.8737306E-6 | 6.287356E-5 | 21.878723 | 6.0E-5 | 1.3339789E-4 | 1.2315934E-5 | 7.23152E-5 | 5.8716774 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0016229092 | 1.4993687E-4 | 2.1992637E-4 | 1.4667932 | 7.0E-5 | 0.016111081 | 0.0015013438 | 0.0016111786 | 1.0731577 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 2.806885E-5 | 2.8101606E-6 | 6.2809995E-5 | 22.351034 | 6.0E-5 | 1.2028952E-4 | 1.2043493E-5 | 7.204277E-5 | 5.981883 | 6.0E-5 | 0.001463541 | 1.4662035E-4 | 2.1661009E-4 | 1.4773535 | 7.0E-5 | 0.014539397 | 0.0014656087 | 0.0015754475 | 1.0749441 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 2.524524E-5 | 2.2351392E-6 | 5.2235027E-5 | 23.369923 | 5.0E-5 | 1.0818939E-4 | 9.579134E-6 | 5.9578655E-5 | 6.2196283 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0013164099 | 1.16620016E-4 | 1.7661302E-4 | 1.5144315 | 6.0E-5 | 0.01308639 | 0.001165827 | 0.0012557221 | 1.0771084 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2704568E-5 | 1.6079711E-6 | 5.160789E-5 | 32.095036 | 5.0E-5 | 9.730166E-5 | 6.8912864E-6 | 5.689094E-5 | 8.255489 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011840039 | 8.38982E-5 | 1.4389316E-4 | 1.7150924 | 6.0E-5 | 0.011777153 | 8.38853E-4 | 9.2877756E-4 | 1.1071993 | 9.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.0871712E-5 | 1.5393621E-6 | 5.1539286E-5 | 33.480938 | 5.0E-5 | 8.944713E-5 | 6.5972495E-6 | 5.659692E-5 | 8.578866 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0010884746 | 8.031857E-5 | 1.4031376E-4 | 1.7469653 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010831586 | 8.030395E-4 | 8.929673E-4 | 1.1119841 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.944928E-5 | 1.3862556E-6 | 5.1386185E-5 | 37.068336 | 5.0E-5 | 8.335139E-5 | 5.941082E-6 | 5.5940785E-5 | 9.415926 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0010143308 | 7.233028E-5 | 1.3232593E-4 | 1.8294681 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010097133 | 7.2319806E-4 | 8.1313297E-4 | 1.1243572 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.7876306E-5 | 1.2487686E-6 | 5.1248706E-5 | 41.039394 | 5.0E-5 | 7.6610486E-5 | 5.3518543E-6 | 5.5351586E-5 | 10.342506 | 5.0E-5 | 9.3233347E-4 | 6.515689E-5 | 1.2515298E-4 | 1.9207942 | 6.0E-5 | 0.009284316 | 6.5148395E-4 | 7.414253E-4 | 1.1380562 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.2618672E-5 | 1.1113839E-6 | 5.111133E-5 | 45.988903 | 5.0E-5 | 5.40789E-5 | 4.763065E-6 | 5.4762826E-5 | 11.497392 | 5.0E-5 | 6.582117E-4 | 5.7988782E-5 | 1.17985306E-4 | 2.034623 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0065626553 | 5.7983754E-4 | 6.6978537E-4 | 1.1551259 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.4874442E-6 | 8.547518E-7 | 4.0854717E-5 | 47.797173 | 4.0E-5 | 3.208865E-5 | 3.6632168E-6 | 4.366307E-5 | 11.919325 | 4.0E-5 | 3.906093E-4 | 4.4598757E-5 | 9.459653E-5 | 2.1210575 | 5.0E-5 | 0.003899234 | 4.459579E-4 | 5.259222E-4 | 1.1793091 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.4734156E-6 | 6.0679935E-7 | 3.060678E-5 | 50.439705 | 3.0E-5 | 1.060031E-5 | 2.6005662E-6 | 3.260049E-5 | 12.535919 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2905113E-4 | 3.1661435E-5 | 6.166049E-5 | 1.947495 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012897621 | 3.1656958E-4 | 3.765506E-4 | 1.1894718 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1328841E-6 | 3.1961991E-7 | 1.0319617E-5 | 32.28715 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8552088E-6 | 1.369799E-6 | 1.1369785E-5 | 8.300331 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9110564E-5 | 1.6677177E-5 | 2.667701E-5 | 1.5996119 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9094845E-4 | 1.6675945E-4 | 2.0675277E-4 | 1.2398264 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.8613185E-7 | 8.962742E-8 | 8.962742E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0834207E-6 | 3.8411747E-7 | 3.8411747E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.536535E-5 | 4.676621E-6 | 4.676621E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5362454E-4 | 4.676529E-5 | 5.6764824E-5 | 1.2138238 | 1.0E-5 |
Ventura-Pitas Point
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.373519E-5 | 9.3733164E-5 | 2.7784984 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4457281E-4 | 2.145627E-4 | 1.4841151 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017590097 | 0.0018987635 | 1.0794502 | 1.4E-4 | 0.017163932 | 0.017476497 | 0.0176337 | 1.0089952 | 1.6E-4 |
6.1 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.373519E-5 | 9.3733164E-5 | 2.7784984 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4457281E-4 | 2.145627E-4 | 1.4841151 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017590097 | 0.0018987635 | 1.0794502 | 1.4E-4 | 0.017163932 | 0.017476497 | 0.0176337 | 1.0089952 | 1.6E-4 |
6.2 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.373519E-5 | 9.3733164E-5 | 2.7784984 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4457281E-4 | 2.145627E-4 | 1.4841151 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017590097 | 0.0018987635 | 1.0794502 | 1.4E-4 | 0.017163932 | 0.017476497 | 0.0176337 | 1.0089952 | 1.6E-4 |
6.3 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.373519E-5 | 9.3733164E-5 | 2.7784984 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4457281E-4 | 2.145627E-4 | 1.4841151 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017590097 | 0.0018987635 | 1.0794502 | 1.4E-4 | 0.017163932 | 0.017476497 | 0.0176337 | 1.0089952 | 1.6E-4 |
6.4 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.7019594E-5 | 4.7019083E-5 | 2.7626443 | 3.0E-5 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.2939205E-5 | 1.1293629E-4 | 1.5483619 | 4.0E-5 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.8769617E-4 | 9.876074E-4 | 1.1125512 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009738282 | 0.008843943 | 0.00895297 | 1.0123279 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.7019594E-5 | 4.7019083E-5 | 2.7626443 | 3.0E-5 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.2939205E-5 | 1.1293629E-4 | 1.5483619 | 4.0E-5 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.8769617E-4 | 9.876074E-4 | 1.1125512 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009738282 | 0.008843943 | 0.00895297 | 1.0123279 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.2122258E-5 | 4.2121894E-5 | 3.4747565 | 3.0E-5 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.1951512E-5 | 9.1949434E-5 | 1.7699087 | 4.0E-5 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.323284E-4 | 7.222715E-4 | 1.1422411 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0074657016 | 0.006305652 | 0.0064050215 | 1.0157588 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.2122258E-5 | 4.2121894E-5 | 3.4747565 | 3.0E-5 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.1951512E-5 | 9.1949434E-5 | 1.7699087 | 4.0E-5 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.323284E-4 | 7.222715E-4 | 1.1422411 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0074657016 | 0.006305652 | 0.0064050215 | 1.0157588 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.3663846E-5 | 1.1344401E-5 | 4.134406E-5 | 3.6444464 | 3.0E-5 | 5.8558027E-5 | 4.8617967E-5 | 8.861602E-5 | 1.8227011 | 4.0E-5 | 7.127108E-4 | 5.917649E-4 | 6.8171165E-4 | 1.1519974 | 9.0E-5 | 0.007104293 | 0.0059022107 | 0.0060016206 | 1.0168428 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.3644157E-5 | 1.1322501E-5 | 4.132216E-5 | 3.6495612 | 3.0E-5 | 5.8473648E-5 | 4.8524114E-5 | 8.8522174E-5 | 1.8242924 | 4.0E-5 | 7.116841E-4 | 5.906229E-4 | 6.8056973E-4 | 1.1522915 | 9.0E-5 | 0.007094092 | 0.0058908514 | 0.005990262 | 1.0168755 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.3568845E-5 | 1.12420685E-5 | 4.1241732E-5 | 3.668518 | 3.0E-5 | 5.8150898E-5 | 4.8179416E-5 | 8.817749E-5 | 1.8301901 | 4.0E-5 | 7.077572E-4 | 5.8642845E-4 | 6.7637564E-4 | 1.1533815 | 9.0E-5 | 0.007055073 | 0.005849128 | 0.005948543 | 1.0169966 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.306572E-5 | 1.0720521E-5 | 4.07202E-5 | 3.7983415 | 3.0E-5 | 5.599474E-5 | 4.594429E-5 | 7.594291E-5 | 1.6529347 | 3.0E-5 | 6.815227E-4 | 5.5923004E-4 | 6.391853E-4 | 1.1429738 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0067943637 | 0.005578536 | 0.005668034 | 1.0160433 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.232604E-5 | 9.995121E-6 | 3.9994822E-5 | 4.0014343 | 3.0E-5 | 5.2824813E-5 | 4.283554E-5 | 7.283426E-5 | 1.700323 | 3.0E-5 | 6.429523E-4 | 5.2139966E-4 | 6.0135796E-4 | 1.1533532 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0064109527 | 0.005202059 | 0.005291591 | 1.0172108 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0917261E-5 | 8.843812E-6 | 3.8843547E-5 | 4.3921723 | 3.0E-5 | 4.678742E-5 | 3.7901507E-5 | 6.790037E-5 | 1.7914952 | 3.0E-5 | 5.69488E-4 | 4.6135474E-4 | 5.21327E-4 | 1.1299918 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0056803077 | 0.004604239 | 0.0046739164 | 1.0151334 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.039959E-5 | 8.42354E-6 | 3.8423288E-5 | 4.561418 | 3.0E-5 | 4.456891E-5 | 3.6100395E-5 | 6.609931E-5 | 1.8309858 | 3.0E-5 | 5.424914E-4 | 4.394352E-4 | 4.9940887E-4 | 1.1364789 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0054116896 | 0.0043859277 | 0.004455621 | 1.0158901 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 9.015877E-6 | 7.29752E-6 | 2.7297374E-5 | 3.740637 | 2.0E-5 | 3.86389E-5 | 3.1274718E-5 | 5.127409E-5 | 1.6394742 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7032707E-4 | 3.8070456E-4 | 4.3068553E-4 | 1.1312854 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004693329 | 0.003800772 | 0.003860544 | 1.0157262 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.900162E-6 | 3.874119E-6 | 2.3874041E-5 | 6.162444 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1000526E-5 | 1.6603262E-5 | 3.660293E-5 | 2.2045627 | 2.0E-5 | 2.556514E-4 | 2.0212609E-4 | 2.4211801E-4 | 1.1978563 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0025535747 | 0.002019436 | 0.0020693352 | 1.0247093 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.8850626E-6 | 3.12676E-6 | 2.3126697E-5 | 7.3963776 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6650163E-5 | 1.3400332E-5 | 3.3400065E-5 | 2.4924803 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0269687E-4 | 1.6313691E-4 | 2.0313039E-4 | 1.2451528 | 4.0E-5 | 0.002025121 | 0.0016301809 | 0.0016800994 | 1.0306214 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.4654719E-6 | 2.029902E-6 | 1.2029882E-5 | 5.9263363 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0566265E-5 | 8.699551E-6 | 1.8699464E-5 | 2.1494746 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2863669E-4 | 1.0591193E-4 | 1.259098E-4 | 1.1888162 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012856225 | 0.0010586192 | 0.0010785981 | 1.0188725 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.095894E-7 | 3.2765078E-7 | 1.0327648E-5 | 31.52029 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7553821E-6 | 1.4042168E-6 | 1.1404203E-5 | 8.121397 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1371567E-5 | 1.709621E-5 | 2.7096039E-5 | 1.5849149 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1369511E-4 | 1.7094925E-4 | 1.8094754E-4 | 1.0584869 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.6836056E-9 | 5.6836056E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.4358311E-8 | 2.4358311E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.965624E-7 | 2.965624E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.9656223E-6 | 2.9656223E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez River
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7209444E-5 | 9.720807E-5 | 5.64853 | 8.0E-5 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.3752875E-5 | 1.5374698E-4 | 2.0846233 | 8.0E-5 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.976069E-4 | 0.0010374812 | 1.1558303 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008943363 | 0.009101932 | 1.0177304 | 1.6E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7209444E-5 | 9.720807E-5 | 5.64853 | 8.0E-5 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.3752875E-5 | 1.5374698E-4 | 2.0846233 | 8.0E-5 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.976069E-4 | 0.0010374812 | 1.1558303 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008943363 | 0.009101932 | 1.0177304 | 1.6E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7209444E-5 | 9.720807E-5 | 5.64853 | 8.0E-5 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.3752875E-5 | 1.5374698E-4 | 2.0846233 | 8.0E-5 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.976069E-4 | 0.0010374812 | 1.1558303 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008943363 | 0.009101932 | 1.0177304 | 1.6E-4 |
6.3 | 9.736976E-6 | 1.01223395E-5 | 9.012153E-5 | 8.903232 | 8.0E-5 | 4.172923E-5 | 4.338076E-5 | 1.233773E-4 | 2.8440554 | 8.0E-5 | 5.0793495E-4 | 5.280378E-4 | 6.479744E-4 | 1.2271365 | 1.2E-4 | 0.005067755 | 0.0052683367 | 0.0054075993 | 1.0264338 | 1.4E-4 |
6.4 | 9.736976E-6 | 1.01223395E-5 | 9.012153E-5 | 8.903232 | 8.0E-5 | 4.172923E-5 | 4.338076E-5 | 1.233773E-4 | 2.8440554 | 8.0E-5 | 5.0793495E-4 | 5.280378E-4 | 6.479744E-4 | 1.2271365 | 1.2E-4 | 0.005067755 | 0.0052683367 | 0.0054075993 | 1.0264338 | 1.4E-4 |
6.5 | 7.081964E-6 | 7.329905E-6 | 7.7329394E-5 | 10.549849 | 7.0E-5 | 3.035092E-5 | 3.141351E-5 | 1.01411315E-4 | 3.2282705 | 7.0E-5 | 3.694598E-4 | 3.8239395E-4 | 4.823557E-4 | 1.2614104 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0036884616 | 0.0038175215 | 0.0039271014 | 1.0287045 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 5.873247E-6 | 6.0597517E-6 | 6.605939E-5 | 10.901336 | 6.0E-5 | 2.5170815E-5 | 2.5970112E-5 | 8.596855E-5 | 3.3102882 | 6.0E-5 | 3.064116E-4 | 3.161411E-4 | 3.961158E-4 | 1.2529715 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0030598943 | 0.003157001 | 0.003246717 | 1.0284181 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.973277E-6 | 5.11591E-6 | 6.51156E-5 | 12.728059 | 6.0E-5 | 2.1313872E-5 | 2.1925147E-5 | 8.1923834E-5 | 3.7365236 | 6.0E-5 | 2.5946548E-4 | 2.6690646E-4 | 3.468851E-4 | 1.2996505 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0025916274 | 0.0026659078 | 0.0027456945 | 1.0299286 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.396492E-6 | 4.510987E-6 | 6.4510714E-5 | 14.300799 | 6.0E-5 | 1.884197E-5 | 1.933266E-5 | 7.93315E-5 | 4.1034966 | 6.0E-5 | 2.2937685E-4 | 2.3535005E-4 | 3.0533358E-4 | 1.2973593 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0022914023 | 0.0023510433 | 0.0024208787 | 1.029704 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.5255632E-6 | 3.6013423E-6 | 6.3601125E-5 | 17.660395 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5109469E-5 | 1.5434234E-5 | 7.543331E-5 | 4.887402 | 6.0E-5 | 1.8394225E-4 | 1.8789574E-4 | 2.5788258E-4 | 1.372477 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0018379007 | 0.001877385 | 0.0019472536 | 1.037216 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.211603E-6 | 3.273663E-6 | 4.3273532E-5 | 13.218689 | 4.0E-5 | 1.376394E-5 | 1.402991E-5 | 5.4029348E-5 | 3.8510118 | 4.0E-5 | 1.6756308E-4 | 1.708009E-4 | 2.2079235E-4 | 1.2926885 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0016743679 | 0.0017067104 | 0.0017566251 | 1.0292461 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.5094619E-6 | 2.5409295E-6 | 3.2540855E-5 | 12.806673 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0754793E-5 | 1.0889652E-5 | 4.0889325E-5 | 3.754879 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3093173E-4 | 1.325735E-4 | 1.7256821E-4 | 1.3016794 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013085462 | 0.0013249503 | 0.0013648972 | 1.0301498 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0515774E-6 | 2.0619466E-6 | 3.2061886E-5 | 15.549329 | 3.0E-5 | 8.792445E-6 | 8.836884E-6 | 3.8836617E-5 | 4.3948317 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0704277E-4 | 1.0758379E-4 | 1.4757949E-4 | 1.3717632 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010699122 | 0.0010753215 | 0.0011152783 | 1.0371581 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.6845745E-6 | 1.6773996E-6 | 3.1677348E-5 | 18.884796 | 3.0E-5 | 7.219585E-6 | 7.1888358E-6 | 3.718862E-5 | 5.1731076 | 3.0E-5 | 8.78949E-5 | 8.752059E-5 | 1.17517964E-4 | 1.3427465 | 3.0E-5 | 8.7860145E-4 | 8.7486405E-4 | 9.0483786E-4 | 1.034261 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.3600285E-6 | 1.3333447E-6 | 3.1333304E-5 | 23.499779 | 3.0E-5 | 5.82868E-6 | 5.714322E-6 | 3.571415E-5 | 6.2499366 | 3.0E-5 | 7.096187E-5 | 6.956967E-5 | 9.956759E-5 | 1.4311924 | 3.0E-5 | 7.0939213E-4 | 6.9548114E-4 | 7.254603E-4 | 1.0431056 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 9.735342E-7 | 9.2901894E-7 | 3.092899E-5 | 33.2921 | 3.0E-5 | 4.172283E-6 | 3.9815036E-6 | 3.3981385E-5 | 8.534812 | 3.0E-5 | 5.079636E-5 | 4.8473747E-5 | 7.8472294E-5 | 1.6188617 | 3.0E-5 | 5.0784746E-4 | 4.8463346E-4 | 5.1461894E-4 | 1.0618725 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.067187E-7 | 4.778609E-7 | 1.0477856E-5 | 21.92658 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1716498E-6 | 2.0479738E-6 | 1.20479535E-5 | 5.882865 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6439517E-5 | 2.4933803E-5 | 3.4933553E-5 | 1.401052 | 1.0E-5 | 2.643637E-4 | 2.493108E-4 | 2.5930832E-4 | 1.0401006 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.769089E-7 | 2.5759346E-7 | 1.02575905E-5 | 39.820854 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1867519E-6 | 1.1039714E-6 | 1.1103961E-5 | 10.058195 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4448608E-5 | 1.344077E-5 | 2.3440636E-5 | 1.7439951 | 1.0E-5 | 1.444767E-4 | 1.343996E-4 | 1.4439826E-4 | 1.074395 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.7044663E-7 | 1.5449208E-7 | 1.015449E-5 | 65.728226 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3048534E-7 | 6.6210873E-7 | 1.0662102E-5 | 16.103249 | 1.0E-5 | 8.893623E-6 | 8.061144E-6 | 1.8061064E-5 | 2.2405086 | 1.0E-5 | 8.893267E-5 | 8.060854E-5 | 9.060773E-5 | 1.1240463 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.8344287E-8 | 4.0911143E-8 | 1.0040911E-5 | 245.43217 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0718979E-7 | 1.7533345E-7 | 1.0175332E-5 | 58.034172 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5225327E-6 | 2.1346827E-6 | 1.2134661E-5 | 5.684527 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5225041E-5 | 2.1346626E-5 | 3.134641E-5 | 1.4684482 | 1.0E-5 |
Coronado Bank alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.533492E-5 | 9.3951705E-5 | 1.739442E-4 | 1.8514212 | 8.0E-5 | 3.22824E-4 | 4.025903E-4 | 5.12546E-4 | 1.2731206 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0039233007 | 0.004891121 | 0.005040387 | 1.0305178 | 1.5E-4 | 0.03854755 | 0.047904 | 0.048056334 | 1.00318 | 1.6E-4 |
6.1 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.0493105E-5 | 1.0049058E-4 | 1.9901842 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.1638138E-4 | 2.763684E-4 | 1.2772282 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0026313365 | 0.0027011523 | 1.0265324 | 7.0E-5 | 0.021578677 | 0.026011124 | 0.026079303 | 1.0026212 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.0493105E-5 | 1.0049058E-4 | 1.9901842 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.1638138E-4 | 2.763684E-4 | 1.2772282 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0026313365 | 0.0027011523 | 1.0265324 | 7.0E-5 | 0.021578677 | 0.026011124 | 0.026079303 | 1.0026212 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.1793104E-5 | 3.7711125E-5 | 6.7709996E-5 | 1.7954912 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3624904E-4 | 1.6160926E-4 | 1.9160441E-4 | 1.1856029 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016575698 | 0.001965849 | 0.0020057703 | 1.0203074 | 4.0E-5 | 0.016452603 | 0.019488495 | 0.019527715 | 1.0020125 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.9878007E-5 | 3.5335797E-5 | 5.533509E-5 | 1.5659783 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2804232E-4 | 1.5143053E-4 | 1.714275E-4 | 1.1320537 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015578003 | 0.0018421395 | 0.0018720842 | 1.0162554 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015469253 | 0.018272463 | 0.018301915 | 1.0016118 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.4512565E-5 | 2.8764101E-5 | 4.8763526E-5 | 1.6952912 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0504962E-4 | 1.2326906E-4 | 1.4326659E-4 | 1.1622267 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012782287 | 0.0014997943 | 0.0015297494 | 1.0199728 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012709012 | 0.0148996925 | 0.014929246 | 1.0019835 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.1317413E-5 | 2.490667E-5 | 4.490617E-5 | 1.8029778 | 2.0E-5 | 9.135714E-5 | 1.0673863E-4 | 1.267365E-4 | 1.1873536 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011117056 | 0.0012987903 | 0.0013287513 | 1.0230684 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011061605 | 0.012914407 | 0.01294402 | 1.002293 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8585655E-5 | 2.1634882E-5 | 4.163445E-5 | 1.9244131 | 2.0E-5 | 7.9650374E-5 | 9.271774E-5 | 1.1271588E-4 | 1.2156885 | 2.0E-5 | 9.6931186E-4 | 0.0011282744 | 0.0011582405 | 1.0265592 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0096509475 | 0.011227623 | 0.011257286 | 1.002642 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5862879E-5 | 1.8419476E-5 | 3.8419108E-5 | 2.0857873 | 2.0E-5 | 6.798199E-5 | 7.8938334E-5 | 9.8936755E-5 | 1.2533424 | 2.0E-5 | 8.273665E-4 | 9.606697E-4 | 9.906408E-4 | 1.0311983 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008242928 | 0.009567151 | 0.009596864 | 1.0031058 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3021509E-5 | 1.5095266E-5 | 2.5095114E-5 | 1.6624494 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5805274E-5 | 6.46925E-5 | 7.4691845E-5 | 1.1545675 | 1.0E-5 | 6.792174E-4 | 7.873646E-4 | 8.073488E-4 | 1.0253812 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006771452 | 0.007847573 | 0.007867416 | 1.0025285 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0974371E-5 | 1.2720105E-5 | 2.2719978E-5 | 1.786147 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7032172E-5 | 5.4513697E-5 | 6.451315E-5 | 1.1834302 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7246623E-4 | 6.635197E-4 | 6.7351304E-4 | 1.0150611 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057099373 | 0.0066171354 | 0.0066270693 | 1.0015012 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.766221E-6 | 1.0163833E-5 | 2.0163732E-5 | 1.9838707 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7568978E-5 | 4.3558655E-5 | 5.355822E-5 | 1.2295655 | 1.0E-5 | 4.573063E-4 | 5.302148E-4 | 5.4020947E-4 | 1.0188503 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045636636 | 0.005291197 | 0.0053011444 | 1.0018799 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.026024E-7 | 8.331776E-7 | 8.331776E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.43972E-6 | 3.5707562E-6 | 3.5707562E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1877785E-5 | 4.34731E-5 | 4.34731E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1869894E-4 | 4.3464705E-4 | 4.3464705E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.7293114E-7 | 3.700106E-7 | 3.700106E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5982754E-6 | 1.5857588E-6 | 1.5857588E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9458828E-5 | 1.9306442E-5 | 1.9306442E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9457124E-4 | 1.9304773E-4 | 1.9304773E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0557036E-7 | 1.9674441E-7 | 1.9674441E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.810155E-7 | 8.4319004E-7 | 8.4319004E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0726311E-5 | 1.02657905E-5 | 1.02657905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0725793E-4 | 1.026532E-4 | 1.026532E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.845446E-8 | 6.2794086E-8 | 6.2794086E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9337625E-7 | 2.6911746E-7 | 2.6911746E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5718497E-6 | 3.2765004E-6 | 3.2765004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5717923E-5 | 3.276453E-5 | 3.276453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.0975145E-9 | 5.531901E-9 | 5.531901E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6132206E-8 | 2.3708148E-8 | 2.3708148E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1815955E-7 | 2.8864667E-7 | 2.8864667E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.181591E-6 | 2.886464E-6 | 2.886464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Pedro Basin
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.3449043E-5 | 6.337018E-5 | 1.433651E-4 | 2.2623434 | 8.0E-5 | 2.2904722E-4 | 2.7156167E-4 | 3.6153724E-4 | 1.3313265 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0027850836 | 0.0033018515 | 0.0034413892 | 1.0422604 | 1.4E-4 | 0.027504366 | 0.03258948 | 0.03275394 | 1.0050464 | 1.7E-4 |
6.1 | 5.3449043E-5 | 6.337018E-5 | 1.433651E-4 | 2.2623434 | 8.0E-5 | 2.2904722E-4 | 2.7156167E-4 | 3.6153724E-4 | 1.3313265 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0027850836 | 0.0033018515 | 0.0034413892 | 1.0422604 | 1.4E-4 | 0.027504366 | 0.03258948 | 0.03275394 | 1.0050464 | 1.7E-4 |
6.2 | 2.3189454E-5 | 2.6642829E-5 | 5.664203E-5 | 2.1259766 | 3.0E-5 | 9.9379584E-5 | 1.1417881E-4 | 1.5417424E-4 | 1.3502877 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012092749 | 0.0013892875 | 0.0014591903 | 1.0503155 | 7.0E-5 | 0.012027155 | 0.01381089 | 0.013899647 | 1.0064266 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3189454E-5 | 2.6642829E-5 | 5.664203E-5 | 2.1259766 | 3.0E-5 | 9.9379584E-5 | 1.1417881E-4 | 1.5417424E-4 | 1.3502877 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012092749 | 0.0013892875 | 0.0014591903 | 1.0503155 | 7.0E-5 | 0.012027155 | 0.01381089 | 0.013899647 | 1.0064266 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.966056E-5 | 2.246342E-5 | 4.2462972E-5 | 1.8903164 | 2.0E-5 | 8.425682E-5 | 9.626848E-5 | 1.2626559E-4 | 1.3115985 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001025344 | 0.0011714787 | 0.00122142 | 1.0426311 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010206259 | 0.011657119 | 0.011726303 | 1.005935 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7342953E-5 | 1.9745152E-5 | 3.974476E-5 | 2.0128868 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4324824E-5 | 8.461954E-5 | 1.0461785E-4 | 1.236332 | 2.0E-5 | 9.04529E-4 | 0.0010297929 | 0.0010597621 | 1.0291021 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009008561 | 0.010253932 | 0.01030342 | 1.0048262 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.439804E-5 | 1.6322716E-5 | 3.632239E-5 | 2.2252662 | 2.0E-5 | 6.170443E-5 | 6.99528E-5 | 8.9951405E-5 | 1.285887 | 2.0E-5 | 7.509924E-4 | 8.513747E-4 | 8.813492E-4 | 1.0352072 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0074845953 | 0.008484333 | 0.008533909 | 1.0058432 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2634884E-5 | 1.4285298E-5 | 3.428501E-5 | 2.4000208 | 2.0E-5 | 5.414838E-5 | 6.122144E-5 | 8.122022E-5 | 1.3266629 | 2.0E-5 | 6.590571E-4 | 7.451466E-4 | 7.7512424E-4 | 1.0402305 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006571059 | 0.007429502 | 0.0074791303 | 1.0066799 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.146091E-5 | 1.2933193E-5 | 3.2932934E-5 | 2.5463886 | 2.0E-5 | 4.911726E-5 | 5.542696E-5 | 7.542585E-5 | 1.3608153 | 2.0E-5 | 5.9783855E-4 | 6.74644E-4 | 7.046238E-4 | 1.0444379 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0059623276 | 0.0067288997 | 0.0067785634 | 1.0073806 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.109035E-6 | 1.0235013E-5 | 3.0234809E-5 | 2.9540567 | 2.0E-5 | 3.9038136E-5 | 4.386376E-5 | 6.3862884E-5 | 1.4559373 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7518566E-4 | 5.339384E-4 | 5.5392773E-4 | 1.0374376 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0047417083 | 0.0053293095 | 0.0053690965 | 1.0074657 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.9351028E-6 | 6.583965E-6 | 1.65839E-5 | 2.5188315 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5435906E-5 | 2.821682E-5 | 3.8216538E-5 | 1.3543885 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0963816E-4 | 3.4350925E-4 | 3.5350583E-4 | 1.0291013 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030920706 | 0.0034320997 | 0.0034520312 | 1.0058073 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.1557585E-6 | 2.2096492E-6 | 2.2096492E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.238933E-6 | 9.469892E-6 | 9.469892E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1247819E-4 | 1.15289986E-4 | 1.15289986E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011242128 | 0.0011523172 | 0.0011523172 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.1251979E-6 | 2.1779954E-6 | 2.1779954E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.107958E-6 | 9.334234E-6 | 9.334234E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1088375E-4 | 1.13638525E-4 | 1.13638525E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011082845 | 0.0011358195 | 0.0011358195 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7145798E-6 | 1.7442885E-6 | 1.7442885E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3481783E-6 | 7.475501E-6 | 7.475501E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.94604E-5 | 9.1010515E-5 | 9.1010515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9424395E-4 | 9.0974156E-4 | 9.0974156E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.4467993E-6 | 1.4641878E-6 | 1.4641878E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.200554E-6 | 6.275076E-6 | 6.275076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.548913E-5 | 7.639644E-5 | 7.639644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.546349E-4 | 7.6370913E-4 | 7.6370913E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2803735E-6 | 1.2931506E-6 | 1.2931506E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.487303E-6 | 5.5420624E-6 | 5.5420624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.680587E-5 | 6.747259E-5 | 6.747259E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.678579E-4 | 6.745281E-4 | 6.745281E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.755009E-7 | 6.76947E-7 | 6.76947E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8950008E-6 | 2.9011985E-6 | 2.9011985E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5246063E-5 | 3.532158E-5 | 3.532158E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5240475E-4 | 3.5316538E-4 | 3.5316538E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.211885E-8 | 4.5699714E-8 | 4.5699714E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6622362E-7 | 1.9585592E-7 | 1.9585592E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412677E-6 | 2.3845432E-6 | 2.3845432E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412205E-5 | 2.3845198E-5 | 2.3845198E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.6580573E-9 | 1.5138054E-9 | 1.5138054E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1391674E-8 | 6.4877375E-9 | 6.4877375E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869362E-7 | 7.89882E-8 | 7.89882E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869354E-6 | 7.89882E-7 | 7.89882E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.660123E-6 | 9.6659525E-5 | 14.513174 | 9.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8543072E-5 | 1.4853965E-4 | 5.2040524 | 1.2E-4 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4745657E-4 | 4.974044E-4 | 1.4315586 | 1.5E-4 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035491167 | 0.0037085488 | 1.0449216 | 1.6E-4 |
6.1 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.660123E-6 | 9.6659525E-5 | 14.513174 | 9.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8543072E-5 | 1.4853965E-4 | 5.2040524 | 1.2E-4 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4745657E-4 | 4.974044E-4 | 1.4315586 | 1.5E-4 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035491167 | 0.0037085488 | 1.0449216 | 1.6E-4 |
6.2 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.660123E-6 | 9.6659525E-5 | 14.513174 | 9.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8543072E-5 | 1.4853965E-4 | 5.2040524 | 1.2E-4 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4745657E-4 | 4.974044E-4 | 1.4315586 | 1.5E-4 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035491167 | 0.0037085488 | 1.0449216 | 1.6E-4 |
6.3 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.660123E-6 | 9.6659525E-5 | 14.513174 | 9.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8543072E-5 | 1.4853965E-4 | 5.2040524 | 1.2E-4 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4745657E-4 | 4.974044E-4 | 1.4315586 | 1.5E-4 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035491167 | 0.0037085488 | 1.0449216 | 1.6E-4 |
6.4 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.660123E-6 | 9.6659525E-5 | 14.513174 | 9.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8543072E-5 | 1.4853965E-4 | 5.2040524 | 1.2E-4 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4745657E-4 | 4.974044E-4 | 1.4315586 | 1.5E-4 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035491167 | 0.0037085488 | 1.0449216 | 1.6E-4 |
6.5 | 6.6561875E-6 | 6.620341E-6 | 9.661975E-5 | 14.594376 | 9.0E-5 | 2.8526205E-5 | 2.8372582E-5 | 1.4836917E-4 | 5.2293153 | 1.2E-4 | 3.472512E-4 | 3.453815E-4 | 4.953297E-4 | 1.4341524 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0034670907 | 0.0035284322 | 0.0036878677 | 1.0451859 | 1.6E-4 |
6.6 | 6.6561875E-6 | 6.620341E-6 | 9.661975E-5 | 14.594376 | 9.0E-5 | 2.8526205E-5 | 2.8372582E-5 | 1.4836917E-4 | 5.2293153 | 1.2E-4 | 3.472512E-4 | 3.453815E-4 | 4.953297E-4 | 1.4341524 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0034670907 | 0.0035284322 | 0.0036878677 | 1.0451859 | 1.6E-4 |
6.7 | 6.5802237E-6 | 6.539518E-6 | 9.6538926E-5 | 14.762393 | 9.0E-5 | 2.8200653E-5 | 2.8026205E-5 | 1.4802284E-4 | 5.281587 | 1.2E-4 | 3.4328885E-4 | 3.4116567E-4 | 4.911145E-4 | 1.439519 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0034275902 | 0.0034864065 | 0.0036458487 | 1.0457325 | 1.6E-4 |
6.8 | 6.575632E-6 | 6.5340073E-6 | 9.653342E-5 | 14.773999 | 9.0E-5 | 2.8180975E-5 | 2.8002589E-5 | 1.4799924E-4 | 5.285198 | 1.2E-4 | 3.4304935E-4 | 3.4087826E-4 | 4.9082714E-4 | 1.4398898 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0034252026 | 0.0034835413 | 0.003642984 | 1.0457703 | 1.6E-4 |
6.9 | 6.570433E-6 | 6.525401E-6 | 9.652481E-5 | 14.792165 | 9.0E-5 | 2.8158694E-5 | 2.7965707E-5 | 1.4796235E-4 | 5.2908497 | 1.2E-4 | 3.4277816E-4 | 3.4042934E-4 | 4.903783E-4 | 1.4404701 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0034224992 | 0.0034790665 | 0.00363851 | 1.0458293 | 1.6E-4 |
7.0 | 6.5643826E-6 | 6.5155223E-6 | 9.651494E-5 | 14.813077 | 9.0E-5 | 2.8132765E-5 | 2.7923368E-5 | 1.4792001E-4 | 5.2973557 | 1.2E-4 | 3.424626E-4 | 3.3991406E-4 | 4.8986304E-4 | 1.441138 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0034193532 | 0.0034739296 | 0.0036333739 | 1.0458974 | 1.6E-4 |
7.1 | 6.557402E-6 | 6.504234E-6 | 9.6503645E-5 | 14.83705 | 9.0E-5 | 2.8102848E-5 | 2.7874992E-5 | 1.4787164E-4 | 5.304814 | 1.2E-4 | 3.4209844E-4 | 3.3932526E-4 | 4.8927433E-4 | 1.4419037 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0034157229 | 0.0034680606 | 0.0036275059 | 1.0459753 | 1.6E-4 |
7.2 | 6.546394E-6 | 6.4862006E-6 | 9.6485615E-5 | 14.875522 | 9.0E-5 | 2.8055672E-5 | 2.7797707E-5 | 1.4779437E-4 | 5.316783 | 1.2E-4 | 3.4152428E-4 | 3.383846E-4 | 4.883338E-4 | 1.4431326 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0034099987 | 0.0034586883 | 0.003618135 | 1.0461003 | 1.6E-4 |
7.3 | 6.5364216E-6 | 6.4669857E-6 | 9.646641E-5 | 14.916749 | 9.0E-5 | 2.8012933E-5 | 2.771536E-5 | 1.4771204E-4 | 5.3296094 | 1.2E-4 | 3.4100408E-4 | 3.373823E-4 | 4.873317E-4 | 1.4444494 | 1.5E-4 | 0.003404813 | 0.0034487103 | 0.0036081586 | 1.0462341 | 1.6E-4 |
7.4 | 6.5269523E-6 | 6.4480723E-6 | 9.644749E-5 | 14.95757 | 9.0E-5 | 2.7972354E-5 | 2.7634303E-5 | 1.4763098E-4 | 5.342309 | 1.2E-4 | 3.4051016E-4 | 3.3639578E-4 | 4.8634532E-4 | 1.4457533 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0033998888 | 0.0034388923 | 0.003598342 | 1.0463666 | 1.6E-4 |
7.5 | 6.5111835E-6 | 6.424346E-6 | 9.642377E-5 | 15.009118 | 9.0E-5 | 2.7904773E-5 | 2.753262E-5 | 1.4752931E-4 | 5.3583465 | 1.2E-4 | 3.3968766E-4 | 3.3515817E-4 | 4.8510788E-4 | 1.4473999 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0033916887 | 0.0034265644 | 0.0035860161 | 1.046534 | 1.6E-4 |
7.6 | 6.4768806E-6 | 6.383454E-6 | 9.638288E-5 | 15.09886 | 9.0E-5 | 2.7757764E-5 | 2.7357375E-5 | 1.4735409E-4 | 5.3862658 | 1.2E-4 | 3.3789838E-4 | 3.330252E-4 | 4.8297524E-4 | 1.4502664 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0033738504 | 0.0034052972 | 0.0035647522 | 1.0468256 | 1.6E-4 |
7.7 | 6.1655364E-6 | 6.1759456E-6 | 9.617539E-5 | 15.572577 | 9.0E-5 | 2.642346E-5 | 2.646807E-5 | 1.464649E-4 | 5.5336447 | 1.2E-4 | 3.2165812E-4 | 3.2220117E-4 | 4.7215284E-4 | 1.4653977 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0032119295 | 0.0032969362 | 0.0034564089 | 1.0483699 | 1.6E-4 |
7.8 | 5.5043524E-6 | 5.7370175E-6 | 9.5736505E-5 | 16.687504 | 9.0E-5 | 2.3589868E-5 | 2.4586987E-5 | 1.4458403E-4 | 5.8805103 | 1.2E-4 | 2.871688E-4 | 2.993055E-4 | 4.492606E-4 | 1.5010102 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0028679797 | 0.0030670585 | 0.0032265678 | 1.0520072 | 1.6E-4 |
7.9 | 3.889249E-6 | 4.0766436E-6 | 8.407632E-5 | 20.623907 | 8.0E-5 | 1.6668104E-5 | 1.7471213E-5 | 1.2746929E-4 | 7.295961 | 1.1E-4 | 2.0291525E-4 | 2.126913E-4 | 3.4266364E-4 | 1.6110845 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0020273007 | 0.0021941073 | 0.0023338 | 1.0636673 | 1.4E-4 |
8.0 | 2.668535E-6 | 2.5313454E-6 | 7.253117E-5 | 28.65321 | 7.0E-5 | 1.1436528E-5 | 1.0848577E-5 | 1.1084749E-4 | 10.217698 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3923083E-4 | 1.3207346E-4 | 2.4205893E-4 | 1.8327599 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0013914363 | 0.0013755665 | 0.0014854152 | 1.0798571 | 1.1E-4 |
8.1 | 1.5911459E-6 | 1.2185134E-6 | 5.1218452E-5 | 42.033558 | 5.0E-5 | 6.8191785E-6 | 5.2221894E-6 | 6.522187E-5 | 12.489373 | 6.0E-5 | 8.3020335E-5 | 6.357832E-5 | 1.2357451E-4 | 1.9436579 | 6.0E-5 | 8.298933E-4 | 6.6911156E-4 | 7.290714E-4 | 1.0896112 | 6.0E-5 |
8.2 | 6.1294963E-7 | 2.1802066E-7 | 2.1802066E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6269242E-6 | 9.3437393E-7 | 9.3437393E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1982334E-5 | 1.1375943E-5 | 1.1375943E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1977732E-4 | 1.2778955E-4 | 1.2778955E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.762871E-7 | 4.7516316E-8 | 4.7516316E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5551594E-7 | 2.0364133E-7 | 2.0364133E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1983675E-6 | 2.4793305E-6 | 2.4793305E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.197987E-5 | 2.8671833E-5 | 2.8671833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Oak Ridge (Onshore)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9526076E-5 | 9.952401E-5 | 3.3707156 | 7.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.265344E-4 | 2.2652175E-4 | 1.7901989 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395058 | 0.0016693057 | 1.0843127 | 1.3E-4 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293054 | 0.015440761 | 1.0096583 | 1.5E-4 |
6.1 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9526076E-5 | 9.952401E-5 | 3.3707156 | 7.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.265344E-4 | 2.2652175E-4 | 1.7901989 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395058 | 0.0016693057 | 1.0843127 | 1.3E-4 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293054 | 0.015440761 | 1.0096583 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9526076E-5 | 9.952401E-5 | 3.3707156 | 7.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.265344E-4 | 2.2652175E-4 | 1.7901989 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395058 | 0.0016693057 | 1.0843127 | 1.3E-4 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293054 | 0.015440761 | 1.0096583 | 1.5E-4 |
6.3 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9526076E-5 | 9.952401E-5 | 3.3707156 | 7.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.265344E-4 | 2.2652175E-4 | 1.7901989 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395058 | 0.0016693057 | 1.0843127 | 1.3E-4 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293054 | 0.015440761 | 1.0096583 | 1.5E-4 |
6.4 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9526076E-5 | 9.952401E-5 | 3.3707156 | 7.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.265344E-4 | 2.2652175E-4 | 1.7901989 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395058 | 0.0016693057 | 1.0843127 | 1.3E-4 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293054 | 0.015440761 | 1.0096583 | 1.5E-4 |
6.5 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9526076E-5 | 9.952401E-5 | 3.3707156 | 7.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.265344E-4 | 2.2652175E-4 | 1.7901989 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395058 | 0.0016693057 | 1.0843127 | 1.3E-4 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293054 | 0.015440761 | 1.0096583 | 1.5E-4 |
6.6 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9526076E-5 | 9.952401E-5 | 3.3707156 | 7.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.265344E-4 | 2.2652175E-4 | 1.7901989 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395058 | 0.0016693057 | 1.0843127 | 1.3E-4 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293054 | 0.015440761 | 1.0096583 | 1.5E-4 |
6.7 | 3.098897E-5 | 2.8864279E-5 | 9.8862256E-5 | 3.425073 | 7.0E-5 | 1.328031E-4 | 1.236984E-4 | 2.2368603E-4 | 1.8083179 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0016156785 | 0.0015050253 | 0.0016348296 | 1.0862473 | 1.3E-4 | 0.016039822 | 0.014952909 | 0.015100666 | 1.0098815 | 1.5E-4 |
6.8 | 3.0449872E-5 | 2.8239476E-5 | 9.82375E-5 | 3.4787295 | 7.0E-5 | 1.3049292E-4 | 1.2102092E-4 | 2.2100883E-4 | 1.8262033 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015875935 | 0.001472471 | 0.0016022796 | 1.0881569 | 1.3E-4 | 0.015762992 | 0.014631658 | 0.0147794625 | 1.0101018 | 1.5E-4 |
6.9 | 2.697928E-5 | 2.4219877E-5 | 7.421867E-5 | 3.0643702 | 5.0E-5 | 1.15620365E-4 | 1.03795464E-4 | 1.737882E-4 | 1.6743332 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0014067689 | 0.0012629988 | 0.001352885 | 1.071169 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0139789665 | 0.012561066 | 0.01265981 | 1.0078611 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 2.4893961E-5 | 2.1862146E-5 | 7.186105E-5 | 3.287008 | 5.0E-5 | 1.0668404E-4 | 9.369165E-5 | 1.636851E-4 | 1.7470617 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0012981043 | 0.0011401166 | 0.001230014 | 1.0788493 | 9.0E-5 | 0.012905477 | 0.011345102 | 0.011443968 | 1.0087143 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 2.0945363E-5 | 1.7354592E-5 | 5.73539E-5 | 3.3048253 | 4.0E-5 | 8.976275E-5 | 7.437473E-5 | 1.3437028E-4 | 1.8066655 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0010923136 | 9.0514094E-4 | 9.850685E-4 | 1.088304 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0108696 | 0.009015621 | 0.009104809 | 1.0098927 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0439404E-5 | 1.680953E-5 | 5.6808858E-5 | 3.3795626 | 4.0E-5 | 8.7594504E-5 | 7.203888E-5 | 1.3203456E-4 | 1.8328236 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0010659413 | 8.767251E-4 | 9.5665496E-4 | 1.0911686 | 8.0E-5 | 0.010608427 | 0.008733723 | 0.0088229375 | 1.0102149 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.8463334E-5 | 1.5381947E-5 | 5.538133E-5 | 3.6004112 | 4.0E-5 | 7.912617E-5 | 6.592098E-5 | 1.2591704E-4 | 1.9101206 | 6.0E-5 | 9.6293533E-4 | 8.0229685E-4 | 8.822327E-4 | 1.0996337 | 8.0E-5 | 0.009587734 | 0.0079950085 | 0.008084289 | 1.011167 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.763139E-5 | 1.4516977E-5 | 5.4516397E-5 | 3.7553546 | 4.0E-5 | 7.556091E-5 | 6.221415E-5 | 1.2221042E-4 | 1.9643508 | 6.0E-5 | 9.1956573E-4 | 7.57198E-4 | 8.3713746E-4 | 1.1055727 | 8.0E-5 | 0.009157699 | 0.007547126 | 0.007636447 | 1.0118351 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3594944E-5 | 1.1163363E-5 | 2.116325E-5 | 1.8957775 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8262744E-5 | 4.7842117E-5 | 7.784068E-5 | 1.6270325 | 3.0E-5 | 7.0911803E-4 | 5.8232463E-4 | 6.322955E-4 | 1.0858128 | 5.0E-5 | 0.007068595 | 0.005808362 | 0.005868013 | 1.0102699 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.9889534E-6 | 5.6367194E-6 | 1.5636662E-5 | 2.7740715 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9952313E-5 | 2.4157147E-5 | 4.4156666E-5 | 1.8278923 | 2.0E-5 | 3.646084E-4 | 2.94074E-4 | 3.240652E-4 | 1.1019851 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0036401073 | 0.0029368924 | 0.0029767752 | 1.0135798 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.0824193E-6 | 3.2832731E-6 | 3.2832731E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7495966E-5 | 1.4071096E-5 | 2.4070956E-5 | 1.7106667 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1299256E-4 | 1.7130225E-4 | 1.9129882E-4 | 1.1167327 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021278851 | 0.0017117155 | 0.0017316813 | 1.0116642 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.7023609E-6 | 1.43706E-6 | 1.43706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.295812E-6 | 6.158814E-6 | 6.158814E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.882289E-5 | 7.4981006E-5 | 7.4981006E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8787393E-4 | 7.4955984E-4 | 7.4955984E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.721225E-7 | 2.261692E-7 | 2.261692E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1662388E-6 | 9.692963E-7 | 9.692963E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4198865E-5 | 1.1801121E-5 | 1.1801121E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4197957E-4 | 1.1800523E-4 | 1.1800523E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 9.364255E-9 | 5.1204916E-9 | 5.1204916E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0132523E-8 | 2.1944963E-8 | 2.1944963E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8861335E-7 | 2.671799E-7 | 2.671799E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8861225E-6 | 2.6717962E-6 | 2.6717962E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sheephole
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5579695E-6 | 4.7412627E-6 | 7.474093E-5 | 15.76393 | 7.0E-5 | 1.9534009E-5 | 2.031957E-5 | 1.3031733E-4 | 6.4133906 | 1.1E-4 | 2.3780059E-4 | 2.473682E-4 | 3.7733605E-4 | 1.5254023 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0023754628 | 0.002471473 | 0.0026310778 | 1.0645788 | 1.6E-4 |
6.1 | 4.5579695E-6 | 4.7412627E-6 | 7.474093E-5 | 15.76393 | 7.0E-5 | 1.9534009E-5 | 2.031957E-5 | 1.3031733E-4 | 6.4133906 | 1.1E-4 | 2.3780059E-4 | 2.473682E-4 | 3.7733605E-4 | 1.5254023 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0023754628 | 0.002471473 | 0.0026310778 | 1.0645788 | 1.6E-4 |
6.2 | 2.6677674E-6 | 2.7873941E-6 | 7.2787196E-5 | 26.112991 | 7.0E-5 | 1.1433239E-5 | 1.1945926E-5 | 1.1194473E-4 | 9.3709545 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3919079E-4 | 1.4543302E-4 | 2.454185E-4 | 1.6875017 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013910364 | 0.0014534844 | 0.00157331 | 1.0824403 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 2.6677674E-6 | 2.7873941E-6 | 7.2787196E-5 | 26.112991 | 7.0E-5 | 1.1433239E-5 | 1.1945926E-5 | 1.1194473E-4 | 9.3709545 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3919079E-4 | 1.4543302E-4 | 2.454185E-4 | 1.6875017 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013910364 | 0.0014534844 | 0.00157331 | 1.0824403 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 2.2159759E-6 | 2.3228788E-6 | 5.232276E-5 | 22.524965 | 5.0E-5 | 9.497005E-6 | 9.955161E-6 | 7.9954465E-5 | 8.031459 | 7.0E-5 | 1.156199E-4 | 1.2119815E-4 | 1.9118967E-4 | 1.5774965 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011555976 | 0.0012113999 | 0.001291303 | 1.0659593 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.1986082E-6 | 2.304759E-6 | 5.2304644E-5 | 22.694191 | 5.0E-5 | 9.4225725E-6 | 9.877506E-6 | 7.9876816E-5 | 8.08674 | 7.0E-5 | 1.1471378E-4 | 1.2025281E-4 | 1.9024439E-4 | 1.582037 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011465458 | 0.0012019566 | 0.0012818605 | 1.0664781 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5232331E-6 | 1.6018919E-6 | 2.160186E-5 | 13.485217 | 2.0E-5 | 6.5281256E-6 | 6.865234E-6 | 4.686496E-5 | 6.8264184 | 4.0E-5 | 7.947703E-5 | 8.35812E-5 | 1.2357786E-4 | 1.4785365 | 4.0E-5 | 7.9448614E-4 | 8.3551643E-4 | 8.75483E-4 | 1.0478346 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3137362E-6 | 1.382819E-6 | 2.1382792E-5 | 15.463188 | 2.0E-5 | 5.6302856E-6 | 5.926355E-6 | 4.5926117E-5 | 7.7494717 | 4.0E-5 | 6.854657E-5 | 7.215112E-5 | 1.12148235E-4 | 1.5543519 | 4.0E-5 | 6.8525434E-4 | 7.212908E-4 | 7.61262E-4 | 1.0554161 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2275751E-6 | 1.2922847E-6 | 2.1292259E-5 | 16.476446 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2610258E-6 | 5.5383516E-6 | 4.553813E-5 | 8.222325 | 4.0E-5 | 6.4051106E-5 | 6.7427485E-5 | 1.07424785E-4 | 1.59319 | 4.0E-5 | 6.4032647E-4 | 6.740836E-4 | 7.140566E-4 | 1.0592998 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1837088E-6 | 1.246102E-6 | 2.1246076E-5 | 17.05003 | 2.0E-5 | 5.0730278E-6 | 5.340427E-6 | 4.5340214E-5 | 8.489998 | 4.0E-5 | 6.176237E-5 | 6.501789E-5 | 1.0501529E-4 | 1.6151752 | 4.0E-5 | 6.17452E-4 | 6.5000186E-4 | 6.8997586E-4 | 1.0614983 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.849371E-7 | 1.0366288E-6 | 1.1036618E-5 | 10.646645 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2211523E-6 | 4.442688E-6 | 3.4442553E-5 | 7.752639 | 3.0E-5 | 5.1391315E-5 | 5.4088487E-5 | 8.408686E-5 | 1.5546167 | 3.0E-5 | 5.137943E-4 | 5.407633E-4 | 5.7074707E-4 | 1.0554471 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.1643645E-7 | 8.591669E-7 | 1.08591585E-5 | 12.639173 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4990085E-6 | 3.682139E-6 | 3.368203E-5 | 9.147408 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2599597E-5 | 4.482921E-5 | 7.482786E-5 | 1.6691766 | 3.0E-5 | 4.259143E-4 | 4.4821028E-4 | 4.7819686E-4 | 1.0669029 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.7295756E-7 | 6.029502E-7 | 1.0602944E-5 | 17.585108 | 1.0E-5 | 2.45553E-6 | 2.58407E-6 | 1.2584044E-5 | 4.869854 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9895667E-5 | 3.1460666E-5 | 4.1460353E-5 | 1.3178473 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9891645E-4 | 3.145688E-4 | 3.2456568E-4 | 1.0317795 | 1.0E-5 |
Big Pine (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.28172705E-5 | 7.28165E-5 | 5.6811237 | 6.0E-5 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.493013E-5 | 1.4492519E-4 | 2.638355 | 9.0E-5 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.685912E-4 | 8.084976E-4 | 1.2092555 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0051611643 | 0.006670449 | 0.0068293815 | 1.0238264 | 1.6E-4 |
6.1 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.28172705E-5 | 7.28165E-5 | 5.6811237 | 6.0E-5 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.493013E-5 | 1.4492519E-4 | 2.638355 | 9.0E-5 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.685912E-4 | 8.084976E-4 | 1.2092555 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0051611643 | 0.006670449 | 0.0068293815 | 1.0238264 | 1.6E-4 |
6.2 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.28172705E-5 | 7.28165E-5 | 5.6811237 | 6.0E-5 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.493013E-5 | 1.4492519E-4 | 2.638355 | 9.0E-5 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.685912E-4 | 8.084976E-4 | 1.2092555 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0051611643 | 0.006670449 | 0.0068293815 | 1.0238264 | 1.6E-4 |
6.3 | 5.479711E-6 | 8.1132375E-6 | 6.811275E-5 | 8.395261 | 6.0E-5 | 2.3484265E-5 | 3.4770575E-5 | 1.1476779E-4 | 3.3007162 | 8.0E-5 | 2.858834E-4 | 4.232527E-4 | 5.232104E-4 | 1.2361655 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0028551589 | 0.0042272513 | 0.004346744 | 1.0282673 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 5.465009E-6 | 8.0975315E-6 | 6.809705E-5 | 8.409606 | 6.0E-5 | 2.3421257E-5 | 3.4703262E-5 | 1.1470049E-4 | 3.3051789 | 8.0E-5 | 2.851165E-4 | 4.2243348E-4 | 5.2239123E-4 | 1.2366236 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0028475097 | 0.00421909 | 0.004338584 | 1.0283221 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 4.826767E-6 | 7.4225877E-6 | 6.7422145E-5 | 9.083374 | 6.0E-5 | 2.068598E-5 | 3.1810716E-5 | 1.1180817E-4 | 3.5147958 | 8.0E-5 | 2.518227E-4 | 3.8722943E-4 | 4.871907E-4 | 1.2581449 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0025153751 | 0.0038682907 | 0.0039878264 | 1.0309014 | 1.2E-4 |
6.6 | 4.3146847E-6 | 6.8825234E-6 | 6.688211E-5 | 9.717672 | 6.0E-5 | 1.8491375E-5 | 2.949621E-5 | 9.9494144E-5 | 3.3731163 | 7.0E-5 | 2.2510924E-4 | 3.5905963E-4 | 4.490273E-4 | 1.2505647 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0022488134 | 0.0035875062 | 0.0036971115 | 1.0305519 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 3.6968106E-6 | 5.9957474E-6 | 4.5995508E-5 | 7.671355 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5843378E-5 | 2.5695816E-5 | 7.569453E-5 | 2.945792 | 5.0E-5 | 1.9287605E-4 | 3.128032E-4 | 3.7278442E-4 | 1.1917539 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0019270873 | 0.0031262499 | 0.0032059997 | 1.0255097 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4671132E-6 | 5.7024477E-6 | 4.5702218E-5 | 8.014492 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4858972E-5 | 2.4438841E-5 | 7.4437616E-5 | 3.0458736 | 5.0E-5 | 1.8089297E-4 | 2.9750372E-4 | 3.5748587E-4 | 1.2016182 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0018074579 | 0.0029736666 | 0.0030534288 | 1.0268228 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.7686972E-6 | 4.8254797E-6 | 1.4825431E-5 | 3.0723228 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1865792E-5 | 2.0680467E-5 | 4.0680054E-5 | 1.9670762 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4445644E-4 | 2.5175634E-4 | 2.817488E-4 | 1.1191329 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014436257 | 0.002517256 | 0.0025571552 | 1.0158503 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.1472624E-6 | 3.985277E-6 | 1.3985237E-5 | 3.5092258 | 1.0E-5 | 9.20252E-6 | 1.707965E-5 | 2.7079479E-5 | 1.5854821 | 1.0E-5 | 1.12034926E-4 | 2.0792543E-4 | 2.2792126E-4 | 1.0961683 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011197845 | 0.0020798238 | 0.0021097613 | 1.0143943 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.7018335E-6 | 3.3450835E-6 | 1.334505E-5 | 3.989452 | 1.0E-5 | 7.293552E-6 | 1.4335996E-5 | 2.4335852E-5 | 1.6975348 | 1.0E-5 | 8.879537E-5 | 1.7452713E-4 | 1.9452363E-4 | 1.1145754 | 2.0E-5 | 8.87599E-4 | 0.0017463792 | 0.0017763268 | 1.0171484 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.25603E-6 | 2.794679E-6 | 2.794679E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3829745E-6 | 1.1977142E-5 | 1.1977142E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.553574E-5 | 1.4581217E-4 | 1.4581217E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.551642E-4 | 0.0014596173 | 0.0014696027 | 1.0068411 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.112297E-6 | 2.610519E-6 | 2.610519E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7669787E-6 | 1.1187892E-5 | 1.1187892E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.803642E-5 | 1.3620428E-4 | 1.3620428E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.802127E-4 | 0.001363502 | 0.0013734883 | 1.0073241 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.0137181E-6 | 2.4836752E-6 | 2.4836752E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3444993E-6 | 1.064428E-5 | 1.064428E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2892992E-5 | 1.2958662E-4 | 1.2958662E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.288041E-4 | 0.0012971918 | 0.0013071789 | 1.007699 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 9.598608E-7 | 2.407328E-6 | 2.407328E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1136827E-6 | 1.03170805E-5 | 1.03170805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0082934E-5 | 1.2560343E-4 | 1.2560343E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.007165E-4 | 0.0012572132 | 0.0012672007 | 1.0079441 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.929459E-7 | 2.0450152E-6 | 2.0450152E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3983351E-6 | 8.764322E-6 | 8.764322E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1373947E-5 | 1.0670057E-4 | 1.0670057E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1366243E-4 | 0.0010685825 | 0.0010785719 | 1.0093482 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.155788E-7 | 1.1606729E-6 | 1.1606729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7810507E-6 | 4.974303E-6 | 4.974303E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1684076E-5 | 6.05605E-5 | 6.05605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1681961E-4 | 6.085995E-4 | 6.185935E-4 | 1.0164212 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.14666925E-7 | 2.592197E-7 | 2.592197E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.914296E-7 | 1.1109411E-6 | 1.1109411E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9831386E-6 | 1.3525627E-5 | 1.3525627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9829777E-5 | 1.3636416E-4 | 1.3636416E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.9231824E-8 | 4.1462318E-8 | 4.1462318E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2527924E-7 | 1.7769564E-7 | 1.7769564E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5252737E-6 | 2.1634426E-6 | 2.1634426E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5252632E-5 | 2.197062E-5 | 2.197062E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Palos Verdes
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.622572E-5 | 1.6621886E-4 | 2.1806138 | 9.0E-5 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.266441E-4 | 4.466049E-4 | 1.3672523 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0039701737 | 0.004109618 | 1.035123 | 1.4E-4 | 0.031460393 | 0.03904909 | 0.03919323 | 1.0036913 | 1.5E-4 |
6.1 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.622572E-5 | 1.6621886E-4 | 2.1806138 | 9.0E-5 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.266441E-4 | 4.466049E-4 | 1.3672523 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0039701737 | 0.004109618 | 1.035123 | 1.4E-4 | 0.031460393 | 0.03904909 | 0.03919323 | 1.0036913 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.622572E-5 | 1.6621886E-4 | 2.1806138 | 9.0E-5 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.266441E-4 | 4.466049E-4 | 1.3672523 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0039701737 | 0.004109618 | 1.035123 | 1.4E-4 | 0.031460393 | 0.03904909 | 0.03919323 | 1.0036913 | 1.5E-4 |
6.3 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.9749007E-5 | 1.0974602E-4 | 2.2059941 | 6.0E-5 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1319388E-4 | 2.9317682E-4 | 1.3751653 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0021286458 | 0.002592754 | 0.002692495 | 1.0384691 | 1.0E-4 | 0.021083709 | 0.025646746 | 0.025753926 | 1.004179 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.9749007E-5 | 1.0974602E-4 | 2.2059941 | 6.0E-5 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1319388E-4 | 2.9317682E-4 | 1.3751653 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0021286458 | 0.002592754 | 0.002692495 | 1.0384691 | 1.0E-4 | 0.021083709 | 0.025646746 | 0.025753926 | 1.004179 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 3.0512005E-5 | 3.6561592E-5 | 8.655977E-5 | 2.3675053 | 5.0E-5 | 1.3075917E-4 | 1.566838E-4 | 2.1667441E-4 | 1.3828769 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0015908304 | 0.001906072 | 0.0019959004 | 1.0471275 | 9.0E-5 | 0.015794903 | 0.018909173 | 0.019007282 | 1.0051885 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 2.9255087E-5 | 3.5154393E-5 | 7.515299E-5 | 2.1377978 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2537291E-4 | 1.5065364E-4 | 2.006461E-4 | 1.331837 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0015253464 | 0.0018327782 | 0.0019126316 | 1.0435696 | 8.0E-5 | 0.015149189 | 0.018188244 | 0.018276608 | 1.0048583 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.287198E-5 | 2.724828E-5 | 5.724746E-5 | 2.100957 | 3.0E-5 | 9.801909E-5 | 1.16773626E-4 | 1.4677012E-4 | 1.2568773 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001192729 | 0.0014208833 | 0.0014807981 | 1.0421673 | 6.0E-5 | 0.011863477 | 0.014127217 | 0.014196228 | 1.004885 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.1325764E-5 | 2.5431878E-5 | 5.5431115E-5 | 2.179592 | 3.0E-5 | 9.139293E-5 | 1.0898972E-4 | 1.3898645E-4 | 1.2752253 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001112141 | 0.0013262323 | 0.001376166 | 1.0376508 | 5.0E-5 | 0.011065915 | 0.013192211 | 0.01325142 | 1.0044881 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.9009392E-5 | 2.2613547E-5 | 3.2613323E-5 | 1.4422028 | 1.0E-5 | 8.1466285E-5 | 9.6912096E-5 | 1.0691113E-4 | 1.1031762 | 1.0E-5 | 9.914007E-4 | 0.0011793535 | 0.001209318 | 1.0254077 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009869894 | 0.011739633 | 0.011779163 | 1.0033673 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7098473E-5 | 2.0319356E-5 | 3.0319152E-5 | 1.4921316 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3277115E-5 | 8.708052E-5 | 9.7079654E-5 | 1.1148262 | 1.0E-5 | 8.917837E-4 | 0.001059775 | 0.0010897432 | 1.0282779 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008882134 | 0.010555646 | 0.010595225 | 1.0037495 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.5982785E-5 | 1.899476E-5 | 2.8994571E-5 | 1.526451 | 1.0E-5 | 6.849585E-5 | 8.1404054E-5 | 9.1403235E-5 | 1.122834 | 1.0E-5 | 8.336179E-4 | 9.907284E-4 | 0.0010206987 | 1.0302508 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008304977 | 0.009871479 | 0.009901184 | 1.0030091 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.4468002E-5 | 1.7197237E-5 | 2.7197064E-5 | 1.5814788 | 1.0E-5 | 6.200425E-5 | 7.370083E-5 | 8.370009E-5 | 1.1356736 | 1.0E-5 | 7.546402E-4 | 8.970222E-4 | 9.269953E-4 | 1.033414 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007520827 | 0.008942284 | 0.008972015 | 1.0033249 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.288233E-6 | 6.2036747E-6 | 6.2036747E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2663658E-5 | 2.6587102E-5 | 2.6587102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7589512E-4 | 3.236848E-4 | 3.3368156E-4 | 1.0308843 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027555283 | 0.0032355562 | 0.003245524 | 1.0030806 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.279556E-7 | 8.408347E-7 | 8.408347E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5483763E-6 | 3.6035726E-6 | 3.6035726E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3200624E-5 | 4.3872686E-5 | 4.3872686E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3192226E-4 | 4.3864746E-4 | 4.3864746E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.559831E-7 | 6.667229E-7 | 6.667229E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8113532E-6 | 2.857381E-6 | 2.857381E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4227687E-5 | 3.4788125E-5 | 3.4788125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4222414E-4 | 3.4783344E-4 | 3.4783344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.5018968E-7 | 3.5620027E-7 | 3.5620027E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.500812E-6 | 1.526572E-6 | 1.526572E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8272232E-5 | 1.8585903E-5 | 1.8585903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8270731E-4 | 1.8584808E-4 | 1.8584808E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.1986104E-7 | 1.2198376E-7 | 1.2198376E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1369005E-7 | 5.2278745E-7 | 5.2278745E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2541585E-6 | 6.364919E-6 | 6.364919E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2539824E-5 | 6.364741E-5 | 6.364741E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.0445005E-8 | 3.1027582E-8 | 3.1027582E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3047858E-7 | 1.3297536E-7 | 1.3297536E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885756E-6 | 1.6189739E-6 | 1.6189739E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885644E-5 | 1.6189642E-5 | 1.6189642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Channel Islands Thrust
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092022E-5 | 1.1408985E-4 | 4.7355866 | 9.0E-5 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03248036E-4 | 2.1323668E-4 | 2.0652854 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564266 | 0.0013662883 | 1.0874399 | 1.1E-4 | 0.011494373 | 0.0125038205 | 0.01262232 | 1.009477 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092022E-5 | 1.1408985E-4 | 4.7355866 | 9.0E-5 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03248036E-4 | 2.1323668E-4 | 2.0652854 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564266 | 0.0013662883 | 1.0874399 | 1.1E-4 | 0.011494373 | 0.0125038205 | 0.01262232 | 1.009477 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092022E-5 | 1.1408985E-4 | 4.7355866 | 9.0E-5 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03248036E-4 | 2.1323668E-4 | 2.0652854 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564266 | 0.0013662883 | 1.0874399 | 1.1E-4 | 0.011494373 | 0.0125038205 | 0.01262232 | 1.009477 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092022E-5 | 1.1408985E-4 | 4.7355866 | 9.0E-5 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03248036E-4 | 2.1323668E-4 | 2.0652854 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564266 | 0.0013662883 | 1.0874399 | 1.1E-4 | 0.011494373 | 0.0125038205 | 0.01262232 | 1.009477 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092022E-5 | 1.1408985E-4 | 4.7355866 | 9.0E-5 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03248036E-4 | 2.1323668E-4 | 2.0652854 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564266 | 0.0013662883 | 1.0874399 | 1.1E-4 | 0.011494373 | 0.0125038205 | 0.01262232 | 1.009477 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092022E-5 | 1.1408985E-4 | 4.7355866 | 9.0E-5 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03248036E-4 | 2.1323668E-4 | 2.0652854 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564266 | 0.0013662883 | 1.0874399 | 1.1E-4 | 0.011494373 | 0.0125038205 | 0.01262232 | 1.009477 | 1.2E-4 |
6.6 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092022E-5 | 1.1408985E-4 | 4.7355866 | 9.0E-5 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03248036E-4 | 2.1323668E-4 | 2.0652854 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564266 | 0.0013662883 | 1.0874399 | 1.1E-4 | 0.011494373 | 0.0125038205 | 0.01262232 | 1.009477 | 1.2E-4 |
6.7 | 1.0601296E-5 | 1.1379544E-5 | 2.137943E-5 | 1.8787599 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5433335E-5 | 4.876859E-5 | 7.876712E-5 | 1.61512 | 3.0E-5 | 5.5301044E-4 | 5.936007E-4 | 6.235829E-4 | 1.050509 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005516363 | 0.005920653 | 0.005950476 | 1.005037 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0246747E-5 | 1.0996669E-5 | 2.0996558E-5 | 1.9093562 | 1.0E-5 | 4.391389E-5 | 4.7127756E-5 | 7.7126344E-5 | 1.6365376 | 3.0E-5 | 5.345204E-4 | 5.7363417E-4 | 6.0361694E-4 | 1.0522681 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0053323656 | 0.005722025 | 0.0057518533 | 1.0052129 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.049551E-6 | 9.699645E-6 | 9.699645E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.878322E-5 | 4.1569267E-5 | 6.156843E-5 | 1.4811047 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7208337E-4 | 5.059924E-4 | 5.259823E-4 | 1.0395063 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0047108172 | 0.0050488203 | 0.0050687194 | 1.0039413 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.6542195E-6 | 9.274603E-6 | 9.274603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7088983E-5 | 3.9747716E-5 | 5.9746922E-5 | 1.5031536 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5146482E-4 | 4.8382508E-4 | 5.038154E-4 | 1.0413172 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004505487 | 0.0048281294 | 0.0048480327 | 1.0041224 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.391028E-6 | 8.992925E-6 | 8.992925E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5961057E-5 | 3.8540562E-5 | 5.853979E-5 | 1.5189139 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3773788E-4 | 4.6913436E-4 | 4.8912497E-4 | 1.0426117 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004368766 | 0.0046818503 | 0.004701757 | 1.0042518 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.965188E-6 | 6.3716957E-6 | 6.3716957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556484E-5 | 2.7306984E-5 | 4.730644E-5 | 1.7323934 | 2.0E-5 | 3.1120746E-4 | 3.3241237E-4 | 3.524057E-4 | 1.0601462 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00310772 | 0.0033192094 | 0.003339143 | 1.0060055 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.877518E-6 | 5.206007E-6 | 5.206007E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0903482E-5 | 2.231127E-5 | 3.2311047E-5 | 1.448194 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5447016E-4 | 2.716063E-4 | 2.8160357E-4 | 1.036808 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025417898 | 0.0027127897 | 0.0027227625 | 1.0036763 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.8829853E-6 | 4.141863E-6 | 4.141863E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.664126E-5 | 1.7750723E-5 | 1.7750723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0258849E-4 | 2.1609403E-4 | 2.1609403E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002024039 | 0.002158881 | 0.002158881 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3489616E-6 | 1.4277905E-6 | 1.4277905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7812517E-6 | 6.119088E-6 | 6.119088E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.038446E-5 | 7.449739E-5 | 7.449739E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.036218E-4 | 7.4472814E-4 | 7.4472814E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.058192E-7 | 6.35378E-7 | 6.35378E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5963652E-6 | 2.7230458E-6 | 2.7230458E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.161029E-5 | 3.3152595E-5 | 3.3152595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1605794E-4 | 3.314781E-4 | 3.314781E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.2170494E-7 | 2.2607924E-7 | 2.2607924E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5016367E-7 | 9.689107E-7 | 9.689107E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1568181E-5 | 1.17964355E-5 | 1.17964355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1567579E-4 | 1.179592E-4 | 1.179592E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.1613102E-8 | 1.5466837E-8 | 1.5466837E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.262757E-8 | 6.628645E-8 | 6.628645E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277401E-6 | 8.070372E-7 | 8.070372E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277344E-5 | 8.07035E-6 | 8.07035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.4353277E-5 | 7.050019E-5 | 1.1049736E-4 | 1.5673344 | 4.0E-5 | 2.3292181E-4 | 3.0211007E-4 | 3.6209196E-4 | 1.1985431 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0028321352 | 0.0036720056 | 0.0037716385 | 1.0271331 | 1.0E-4 | 0.02796312 | 0.036115844 | 0.036221873 | 1.0029358 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 4.5578287E-5 | 5.822054E-5 | 7.8219375E-5 | 1.3435013 | 2.0E-5 | 1.953209E-4 | 2.4949352E-4 | 2.8948355E-4 | 1.1602848 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0023754383 | 0.0030333549 | 0.0031031426 | 1.0230068 | 7.0E-5 | 0.023502063 | 0.029919893 | 0.029987797 | 1.0022696 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8536782E-5 | 3.4736422E-5 | 3.4736422E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2229476E-4 | 1.4886161E-4 | 1.4886161E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014879217 | 0.0018108576 | 0.0018308214 | 1.0110245 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014779986 | 0.017958276 | 0.017977918 | 1.0010937 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3698774E-5 | 2.8213344E-5 | 2.8213344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.01562226E-4 | 1.2090833E-4 | 1.2090833E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012358186 | 0.001471051 | 0.0014910216 | 1.0135757 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012289686 | 0.014611455 | 0.014631162 | 1.0013487 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9191197E-5 | 2.212289E-5 | 2.212289E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2245395E-5 | 9.4808805E-5 | 9.4808805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010008777 | 0.0011536906 | 0.0011736675 | 1.0173156 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009963818 | 0.011477022 | 0.011496793 | 1.0017226 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5203241E-5 | 1.6801298E-5 | 1.6801298E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5155116E-5 | 7.200338E-5 | 7.200338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9297484E-4 | 8.76301E-4 | 8.8629226E-4 | 1.0114017 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007901512 | 0.008729581 | 0.008739494 | 1.0011356 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0984925E-5 | 1.12425605E-5 | 1.12425605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.70774E-5 | 4.8181533E-5 | 4.8181533E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.730166E-4 | 5.8645604E-4 | 5.8645604E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005715413 | 0.0058494755 | 0.0058494755 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.134616E-6 | 9.019868E-6 | 9.019868E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9147766E-5 | 3.865602E-5 | 3.865602E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7651984E-4 | 4.7053778E-4 | 4.7053778E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004754993 | 0.00469566 | 0.00469566 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.785589E-6 | 7.4519185E-6 | 7.4519185E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3366385E-5 | 3.1936415E-5 | 3.1936415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0616E-4 | 3.887585E-4 | 3.887585E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040541845 | 0.003880988 | 0.003880988 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.579095E-6 | 4.8984666E-6 | 4.8984666E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3910188E-5 | 2.0993268E-5 | 2.0993268E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9106764E-4 | 2.5556443E-4 | 2.5556443E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002906867 | 0.0025528427 | 0.0025528427 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.6816688E-6 | 1.521587E-6 | 1.521587E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1492816E-5 | 6.521071E-6 | 6.521071E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3991605E-4 | 7.939124E-5 | 7.939124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013982799 | 7.936375E-4 | 7.936375E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.45357E-7 | 7.45357E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.1943835E-6 | 3.1943835E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.889097E-5 | 3.889097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.8884574E-4 | 3.8884574E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.45357E-7 | 7.45357E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.1943835E-6 | 3.1943835E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.889097E-5 | 3.889097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.8884574E-4 | 3.8884574E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7087556E-6 | 6.578663E-7 | 6.578663E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3232177E-6 | 2.819424E-6 | 2.819424E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.915652E-5 | 3.432599E-5 | 3.432599E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9120766E-4 | 3.432109E-4 | 3.432109E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.3804846E-6 | 6.0737113E-7 | 6.0737113E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.6030168E-6 | 2.6030168E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.169131E-5 | 3.169131E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.168719E-4 | 3.168719E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3804846E-6 | 6.0737113E-7 | 6.0737113E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.6030168E-6 | 2.6030168E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.169131E-5 | 3.169131E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.168719E-4 | 3.168719E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Cayetano
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169216E-5 | 7.816812E-5 | 4.302229 | 6.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786576E-5 | 1.5785954E-4 | 2.0273292 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760704E-4 | 0.0010575028 | 1.1159719 | 1.1E-4 | 0.012175002 | 0.00943675 | 0.009565523 | 1.0136459 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169216E-5 | 7.816812E-5 | 4.302229 | 6.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786576E-5 | 1.5785954E-4 | 2.0273292 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760704E-4 | 0.0010575028 | 1.1159719 | 1.1E-4 | 0.012175002 | 0.00943675 | 0.009565523 | 1.0136459 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169216E-5 | 7.816812E-5 | 4.302229 | 6.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786576E-5 | 1.5785954E-4 | 2.0273292 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760704E-4 | 0.0010575028 | 1.1159719 | 1.1E-4 | 0.012175002 | 0.00943675 | 0.009565523 | 1.0136459 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169216E-5 | 7.816812E-5 | 4.302229 | 6.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786576E-5 | 1.5785954E-4 | 2.0273292 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760704E-4 | 0.0010575028 | 1.1159719 | 1.1E-4 | 0.012175002 | 0.00943675 | 0.009565523 | 1.0136459 | 1.3E-4 |
6.4 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169216E-5 | 7.816812E-5 | 4.302229 | 6.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786576E-5 | 1.5785954E-4 | 2.0273292 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760704E-4 | 0.0010575028 | 1.1159719 | 1.1E-4 | 0.012175002 | 0.00943675 | 0.009565523 | 1.0136459 | 1.3E-4 |
6.5 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169216E-5 | 7.816812E-5 | 4.302229 | 6.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786576E-5 | 1.5785954E-4 | 2.0273292 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760704E-4 | 0.0010575028 | 1.1159719 | 1.1E-4 | 0.012175002 | 0.00943675 | 0.009565523 | 1.0136459 | 1.3E-4 |
6.6 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169216E-5 | 7.816812E-5 | 4.302229 | 6.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786576E-5 | 1.5785954E-4 | 2.0273292 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760704E-4 | 0.0010575028 | 1.1159719 | 1.1E-4 | 0.012175002 | 0.00943675 | 0.009565523 | 1.0136459 | 1.3E-4 |
6.7 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169216E-5 | 7.816812E-5 | 4.302229 | 6.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786576E-5 | 1.5785954E-4 | 2.0273292 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760704E-4 | 0.0010575028 | 1.1159719 | 1.1E-4 | 0.012175002 | 0.00943675 | 0.009565523 | 1.0136459 | 1.3E-4 |
6.8 | 2.3241924E-5 | 1.7936945E-5 | 7.793587E-5 | 4.344991 | 6.0E-5 | 9.960445E-5 | 7.687038E-5 | 1.5686423E-4 | 2.040633 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0012120095 | 9.354987E-4 | 0.0010453957 | 1.1174743 | 1.1E-4 | 0.012054204 | 0.0093166195 | 0.009445408 | 1.0138235 | 1.3E-4 |
6.9 | 2.2761007E-5 | 1.7432383E-5 | 7.743134E-5 | 4.44181 | 6.0E-5 | 9.7543525E-5 | 7.47081E-5 | 1.5470212E-4 | 2.0707543 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0011869454 | 9.09195E-4 | 0.001019095 | 1.1208762 | 1.1E-4 | 0.011806256 | 0.009055741 | 0.0091845635 | 1.0142255 | 1.3E-4 |
7.0 | 2.240283E-5 | 1.7066137E-5 | 6.706528E-5 | 3.9297285 | 5.0E-5 | 9.600859E-5 | 7.313856E-5 | 1.4313344E-4 | 1.9570175 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011682777 | 8.9010154E-4 | 9.900125E-4 | 1.1122468 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011621549 | 0.008866336 | 0.008985273 | 1.0134144 | 1.2E-4 |
7.1 | 2.1871154E-5 | 1.658602E-5 | 6.658519E-5 | 4.014537 | 5.0E-5 | 9.373015E-5 | 7.108103E-5 | 1.4107605E-4 | 1.9847217 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011405671 | 8.6507126E-4 | 9.649847E-4 | 1.1154975 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011347309 | 0.008617996 | 0.008736962 | 1.0138043 | 1.2E-4 |
7.2 | 2.0714133E-5 | 1.5564563E-5 | 6.5563785E-5 | 4.2123756 | 5.0E-5 | 8.8771834E-5 | 6.670358E-5 | 1.2669958E-4 | 1.899442 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0010802611 | 8.118168E-4 | 9.017437E-4 | 1.1107725 | 9.0E-5 | 0.010750249 | 0.008089443 | 0.008198553 | 1.0134879 | 1.1E-4 |
7.3 | 1.8408395E-5 | 1.3996829E-5 | 6.399613E-5 | 4.572188 | 5.0E-5 | 7.8890735E-5 | 5.9985046E-5 | 1.1998144E-4 | 2.0001893 | 6.0E-5 | 9.600714E-4 | 7.300762E-4 | 8.0002507E-4 | 1.0958104 | 7.0E-5 | 0.009559342 | 0.0072776447 | 0.0073669897 | 1.0122766 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.6856795E-5 | 1.285006E-5 | 6.2849416E-5 | 4.8909826 | 5.0E-5 | 7.2241404E-5 | 5.5070537E-5 | 1.1506723E-4 | 2.0894518 | 6.0E-5 | 8.7918417E-4 | 6.7028037E-4 | 7.4023346E-4 | 1.1043639 | 7.0E-5 | 0.00875714 | 0.0066834087 | 0.0067728073 | 1.0133762 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2822778E-5 | 9.577415E-6 | 4.9577033E-5 | 5.1764526 | 4.0E-5 | 5.495361E-5 | 4.1045427E-5 | 9.1043374E-5 | 2.2181125 | 5.0E-5 | 6.688548E-4 | 4.9961504E-4 | 5.5958505E-4 | 1.1200324 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006668452 | 0.0049851923 | 0.005054843 | 1.0139716 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.6272684E-6 | 3.854899E-6 | 3.3854783E-5 | 8.782274 | 3.0E-5 | 2.4116642E-5 | 1.6520893E-5 | 4.65204E-5 | 2.8158524 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9358055E-4 | 2.0112342E-4 | 2.4111537E-4 | 1.1988429 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0029319301 | 0.0020094248 | 0.0020593244 | 1.0248327 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.5261346E-6 | 2.3407094E-6 | 2.2340662E-5 | 9.544397 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5111918E-5 | 1.0031574E-5 | 3.0031373E-5 | 2.993685 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8397206E-4 | 1.2212765E-4 | 1.5212398E-4 | 1.2456146 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0018381984 | 0.0012206127 | 0.0012605638 | 1.0327305 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.4826929E-6 | 1.0564395E-6 | 1.1056429E-5 | 10.465748 | 1.0E-5 | 6.354383E-6 | 4.52759E-6 | 1.4527544E-5 | 3.2086706 | 1.0E-5 | 7.736187E-5 | 5.5122033E-5 | 7.512093E-5 | 1.3628113 | 2.0E-5 | 7.733494E-4 | 5.510856E-4 | 5.710746E-4 | 1.036272 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.7568166E-7 | 1.6977887E-7 | 1.0169777E-5 | 59.900135 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1814923E-6 | 7.276235E-7 | 1.0727616E-5 | 14.743361 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4384574E-5 | 8.85878E-6 | 1.8858691E-5 | 2.1288135 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4383643E-4 | 8.858431E-5 | 9.858342E-5 | 1.1128768 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 5.407832E-8 | 2.688677E-8 | 2.688677E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3176422E-7 | 1.15229014E-7 | 1.15229014E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8217257E-6 | 1.4029123E-6 | 1.4029123E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8216898E-5 | 1.40290385E-5 | 1.40290385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Borrego)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.543992E-5 | 2.7925962E-5 | 1.3792289E-4 | 4.938877 | 1.1E-4 | 1.5187653E-4 | 1.1967727E-4 | 2.496617E-4 | 2.0861247 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0018475284 | 0.0014561092 | 0.0015959053 | 1.0960066 | 1.4E-4 | 0.018322436 | 0.01486815 | 0.015006069 | 1.0092762 | 1.4E-4 |
6.1 | 3.542281E-5 | 2.7925962E-5 | 1.3792289E-4 | 4.938877 | 1.1E-4 | 1.5180321E-4 | 1.1967727E-4 | 2.496617E-4 | 2.0861247 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0018466372 | 0.0014561092 | 0.0015959053 | 1.0960066 | 1.4E-4 | 0.018313672 | 0.01486815 | 0.015006069 | 1.0092762 | 1.4E-4 |
6.2 | 3.4688688E-5 | 2.7925962E-5 | 1.3792289E-4 | 4.938877 | 1.1E-4 | 1.4865733E-4 | 1.1967727E-4 | 2.496617E-4 | 2.0861247 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0018084005 | 0.0014561091 | 0.0015959053 | 1.0960066 | 1.4E-4 | 0.017937548 | 0.01486815 | 0.015006069 | 1.0092762 | 1.4E-4 |
6.3 | 3.2087122E-5 | 2.7771312E-5 | 1.3776826E-4 | 4.960812 | 1.1E-4 | 1.3750899E-4 | 1.1901455E-4 | 2.4899907E-4 | 2.0921733 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0016728862 | 0.0014480512 | 0.0015878485 | 1.0965416 | 1.4E-4 | 0.016603488 | 0.014789308 | 0.014927237 | 1.0093263 | 1.4E-4 |
6.4 | 3.1828724E-5 | 2.773829E-5 | 1.3773523E-4 | 4.9655275 | 1.1E-4 | 1.364017E-4 | 1.1887303E-4 | 2.4885757E-4 | 2.093474 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0016594254 | 0.0014463306 | 0.001586128 | 1.0966567 | 1.4E-4 | 0.016470885 | 0.014772502 | 0.014910433 | 1.0093371 | 1.4E-4 |
6.5 | 3.1563577E-5 | 2.7477974E-5 | 1.3747496E-4 | 5.0030966 | 1.1E-4 | 1.3526545E-4 | 1.17757496E-4 | 2.477422E-4 | 2.1038337 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0016456128 | 0.0014327668 | 0.0015725662 | 1.097573 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0163348 | 0.01463991 | 0.014777861 | 1.0094229 | 1.4E-4 |
6.6 | 3.1467625E-5 | 2.7322194E-5 | 1.3731919E-4 | 5.025921 | 1.1E-4 | 1.3485427E-4 | 1.17089934E-4 | 2.470747E-4 | 2.1101277 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0016406142 | 0.0014246498 | 0.0015644504 | 1.0981297 | 1.4E-4 | 0.016285548 | 0.014560228 | 0.01469819 | 1.0094752 | 1.4E-4 |
6.7 | 3.1223695E-5 | 2.6940217E-5 | 1.3693725E-4 | 5.083005 | 1.1E-4 | 1.3380898E-4 | 1.1545303E-4 | 2.4543802E-4 | 2.125869 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0016279068 | 0.0014047464 | 0.0015445498 | 1.0995221 | 1.4E-4 | 0.01616033 | 0.01436451 | 0.014502498 | 1.0096062 | 1.4E-4 |
6.8 | 3.1015585E-5 | 2.6761221E-5 | 1.3675827E-4 | 5.1103153 | 1.1E-4 | 1.3291716E-4 | 1.1468597E-4 | 2.4467107E-4 | 2.1334 | 1.3E-4 | 0.001617065 | 0.0013954195 | 0.0015352241 | 1.1001883 | 1.4E-4 | 0.016053487 | 0.014271772 | 0.014409774 | 1.0096695 | 1.4E-4 |
6.9 | 2.6641965E-5 | 2.2183434E-5 | 1.32181E-4 | 5.958545 | 1.1E-4 | 1.1417485E-4 | 9.506842E-5 | 2.2505606E-4 | 2.3673062 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0013891924 | 0.0011568473 | 0.0012966853 | 1.1208786 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0138054015 | 0.011882191 | 0.012020527 | 1.0116423 | 1.4E-4 |
7.0 | 2.3854353E-5 | 2.047825E-5 | 1.30476E-4 | 6.371443 | 1.1E-4 | 1.02228936E-4 | 8.776099E-5 | 2.1774958E-4 | 2.481166 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0012439266 | 0.0010679689 | 0.0012078193 | 1.13095 | 1.4E-4 | 0.012369866 | 0.0109826205 | 0.011121083 | 1.0126075 | 1.4E-4 |
7.1 | 2.3672901E-5 | 2.0314741E-5 | 1.303125E-4 | 6.414677 | 1.1E-4 | 1.0145135E-4 | 8.706028E-5 | 2.1704896E-4 | 2.4930882 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0012344702 | 0.0010594461 | 0.0011992977 | 1.1320045 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0122763505 | 0.010897858 | 0.011036333 | 1.0127065 | 1.4E-4 |
7.2 | 2.2717244E-5 | 1.9542116E-5 | 1.2953997E-4 | 6.6287584 | 1.1E-4 | 9.735599E-5 | 8.3749255E-5 | 2.1373837E-4 | 2.5521226 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0011846646 | 0.0010191725 | 0.0011590298 | 1.1372263 | 1.4E-4 | 0.01178369 | 0.010495322 | 0.010633852 | 1.0131993 | 1.4E-4 |
7.3 | 2.1016205E-5 | 1.8383771E-5 | 1.2838175E-4 | 6.9834285 | 1.1E-4 | 9.006634E-5 | 7.878522E-5 | 2.0877497E-4 | 2.6499257 | 1.3E-4 | 0.001096006 | 9.5879E-4 | 0.0010986557 | 1.1458774 | 1.4E-4 | 0.010906163 | 0.009890901 | 0.010029516 | 1.0140145 | 1.4E-4 |
7.4 | 2.0683625E-5 | 1.8186302E-5 | 1.281843E-4 | 7.0483985 | 1.1E-4 | 8.86411E-5 | 7.7938974E-5 | 2.0792884E-4 | 2.6678417 | 1.3E-4 | 0.001078671 | 9.48496E-4 | 0.0010883632 | 1.1474621 | 1.4E-4 | 0.010734501 | 0.0097876275 | 0.009926258 | 1.0141637 | 1.4E-4 |
7.5 | 1.9993966E-5 | 1.7781347E-5 | 1.2777939E-4 | 7.1861477 | 1.1E-4 | 8.568561E-5 | 7.6203556E-5 | 2.0619365E-4 | 2.705827 | 1.3E-4 | 0.001042723 | 9.2738547E-4 | 0.0010672556 | 1.150822 | 1.4E-4 | 0.010378438 | 0.009574548 | 0.009713208 | 1.0144821 | 1.4E-4 |
7.6 | 1.788966E-5 | 1.6434618E-5 | 1.2643282E-4 | 7.693079 | 1.1E-4 | 7.666772E-5 | 7.043219E-5 | 2.0042303E-4 | 2.845617 | 1.3E-4 | 9.3302975E-4 | 8.5717626E-4 | 9.970563E-4 | 1.163187 | 1.4E-4 | 0.00929122 | 0.008866415 | 0.009005174 | 1.0156499 | 1.4E-4 |
7.7 | 1.5125781E-5 | 1.4236738E-5 | 1.2423517E-4 | 8.726379 | 1.1E-4 | 6.4823165E-5 | 6.101317E-5 | 1.9100524E-4 | 3.1305575 | 1.3E-4 | 7.889362E-4 | 7.4258295E-4 | 8.82479E-4 | 1.1883911 | 1.4E-4 | 0.007861412 | 0.007714161 | 0.007853081 | 1.0180085 | 1.4E-4 |
7.8 | 1.250089E-5 | 1.262994E-5 | 1.2262855E-4 | 9.709353 | 1.1E-4 | 5.3574146E-5 | 5.4127195E-5 | 1.8412016E-4 | 3.4016201 | 1.3E-4 | 6.5207E-4 | 6.588E-4 | 7.8871433E-4 | 1.1971985 | 1.3E-4 | 0.006501599 | 0.006867759 | 0.0069968663 | 1.0187991 | 1.3E-4 |
7.9 | 9.561E-6 | 9.754065E-6 | 1.1975299E-4 | 12.27724 | 1.1E-4 | 4.0975072E-5 | 4.180247E-5 | 1.7179703E-4 | 4.109734 | 1.3E-4 | 4.987573E-4 | 5.0882675E-4 | 6.387606E-4 | 1.2553596 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0049763937 | 0.0053523607 | 0.0054816646 | 1.0241584 | 1.3E-4 |
8.0 | 8.01699E-6 | 8.292994E-6 | 1.1829208E-4 | 14.264099 | 1.1E-4 | 3.4358076E-5 | 3.554092E-5 | 1.655363E-4 | 4.6576257 | 1.3E-4 | 4.1822926E-4 | 4.3262533E-4 | 5.6256907E-4 | 1.3003609 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0041744304 | 0.0045733186 | 0.0047027245 | 1.0282958 | 1.3E-4 |
8.1 | 6.541947E-6 | 6.461784E-6 | 1.06461135E-4 | 16.475502 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8036617E-5 | 2.7693068E-5 | 1.3769002E-4 | 4.972003 | 1.1E-4 | 3.4129233E-4 | 3.3711144E-4 | 4.4707436E-4 | 1.3261915 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0034076865 | 0.0035805756 | 0.0036901815 | 1.0306113 | 1.1E-4 |
8.2 | 1.7968189E-6 | 7.9684827E-7 | 7.9684827E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70063E-6 | 3.4150596E-6 | 3.4150596E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3751136E-5 | 4.157758E-5 | 4.157758E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.371159E-4 | 4.7107413E-4 | 4.7107413E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.5167889E-7 | 4.8951257E-8 | 4.8951257E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.500522E-7 | 2.0979108E-7 | 2.0979108E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9143565E-6 | 2.5542038E-6 | 2.5542038E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.914075E-5 | 2.9679897E-5 | 2.9679897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Tin Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1815365E-6 | 6.418129E-5 | 15.348732 | 6.0E-5 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.792077E-5 | 7.791969E-5 | 4.3480105 | 6.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1816725E-4 | 2.981498E-4 | 1.3666111 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021798965 | 0.0022896565 | 1.0503511 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1815365E-6 | 6.418129E-5 | 15.348732 | 6.0E-5 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.792077E-5 | 7.791969E-5 | 4.3480105 | 6.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1816725E-4 | 2.981498E-4 | 1.3666111 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021798965 | 0.0022896565 | 1.0503511 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1815365E-6 | 6.418129E-5 | 15.348732 | 6.0E-5 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.792077E-5 | 7.791969E-5 | 4.3480105 | 6.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1816725E-4 | 2.981498E-4 | 1.3666111 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021798965 | 0.0022896565 | 1.0503511 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1815365E-6 | 6.418129E-5 | 15.348732 | 6.0E-5 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.792077E-5 | 7.791969E-5 | 4.3480105 | 6.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1816725E-4 | 2.981498E-4 | 1.3666111 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021798965 | 0.0022896565 | 1.0503511 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1815365E-6 | 6.418129E-5 | 15.348732 | 6.0E-5 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.792077E-5 | 7.791969E-5 | 4.3480105 | 6.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1816725E-4 | 2.981498E-4 | 1.3666111 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021798965 | 0.0022896565 | 1.0503511 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 2.3143427E-6 | 2.3731573E-6 | 4.2373063E-5 | 17.855145 | 4.0E-5 | 9.9185745E-6 | 1.0170638E-5 | 5.017023E-5 | 4.93285 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2075195E-4 | 1.2382126E-4 | 1.7381506E-4 | 1.4037579 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0012068636 | 0.0012375986 | 0.0012875367 | 1.0403508 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3143427E-6 | 2.3731573E-6 | 4.2373063E-5 | 17.855145 | 4.0E-5 | 9.9185745E-6 | 1.0170638E-5 | 5.017023E-5 | 4.93285 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2075195E-4 | 1.2382126E-4 | 1.7381506E-4 | 1.4037579 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0012068636 | 0.0012375986 | 0.0012875367 | 1.0403508 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7029532E-6 | 1.7497915E-6 | 3.174974E-5 | 18.14487 | 3.0E-5 | 7.2983503E-6 | 7.499088E-6 | 3.7498863E-5 | 5.0004563 | 3.0E-5 | 8.885379E-5 | 9.1298105E-5 | 1.3129445E-4 | 1.4380852 | 4.0E-5 | 8.881827E-4 | 9.1265864E-4 | 9.526221E-4 | 1.043788 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2914646E-6 | 1.3299378E-6 | 2.1329912E-5 | 16.038277 | 2.0E-5 | 5.534837E-6 | 5.6997237E-6 | 2.569961E-5 | 4.508922 | 2.0E-5 | 6.738455E-5 | 6.939237E-5 | 8.939098E-5 | 1.2881961 | 2.0E-5 | 6.736412E-4 | 6.9375033E-4 | 7.1373646E-4 | 1.0288088 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.8708974E-7 | 6.1169936E-7 | 6.1169936E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5160964E-6 | 2.6215664E-6 | 2.6215664E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0633044E-5 | 3.1917145E-5 | 3.1917145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0628822E-4 | 3.191297E-4 | 3.191297E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.6248786E-7 | 4.832015E-7 | 4.832015E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9820893E-6 | 2.0708624E-6 | 2.0708624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.413167E-5 | 2.5212494E-5 | 2.5212494E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.412905E-4 | 2.5210003E-4 | 2.5210003E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.804606E-7 | 3.987147E-7 | 3.987147E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6305444E-6 | 1.7087764E-6 | 1.7087764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9851697E-5 | 2.0804187E-5 | 2.0804187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9849923E-4 | 2.0802575E-4 | 2.0802575E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.5864858E-7 | 3.7616863E-7 | 3.7616863E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5370645E-6 | 1.6121504E-6 | 1.6121504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.87136E-5 | 1.9627789E-5 | 1.9627789E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8712023E-4 | 1.9626386E-4 | 1.9626386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.342063E-7 | 3.506347E-7 | 3.506347E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4323119E-6 | 1.5027196E-6 | 1.5027196E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7438259E-5 | 1.829549E-5 | 1.829549E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.743689E-4 | 1.8294314E-4 | 1.8294314E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.971242E-7 | 3.1165817E-7 | 3.1165817E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2733886E-6 | 1.3356774E-6 | 1.3356774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5503398E-5 | 1.6261785E-5 | 1.6261785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5502315E-4 | 1.6260923E-4 | 1.6260923E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4326713E-7 | 1.5012525E-7 | 1.5012525E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.140018E-7 | 6.433939E-7 | 6.433939E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4754466E-6 | 7.8333205E-6 | 7.8333205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.475195E-5 | 7.833321E-5 | 7.833321E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough south
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.279495E-5 | 1.0425541E-4 | 1.6424916E-4 | 1.5754497 | 6.0E-5 | 3.5478722E-4 | 4.4673498E-4 | 5.167037E-4 | 1.1566224 | 7.0E-5 | 0.004310982 | 0.0054259133 | 0.005515425 | 1.016497 | 9.0E-5 | 0.042283054 | 0.05299303 | 0.0530972 | 1.0019658 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 4.6961468E-5 | 5.773024E-5 | 9.7727934E-5 | 1.6928377 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0124791E-4 | 2.473905E-4 | 2.873806E-4 | 1.1616477 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00244744 | 0.003007886 | 0.0030677055 | 1.0198876 | 6.0E-5 | 0.024206603 | 0.029679636 | 0.029737854 | 1.0019616 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.5079658E-5 | 4.214258E-5 | 7.2141316E-5 | 1.7118391 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5033272E-4 | 1.8059829E-4 | 2.1059287E-4 | 1.1660845 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0018287642 | 0.002196587 | 0.0022464772 | 1.0227126 | 5.0E-5 | 0.018137876 | 0.021751188 | 0.021800099 | 1.0022488 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.5079658E-5 | 4.214258E-5 | 7.2141316E-5 | 1.7118391 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5033272E-4 | 1.8059829E-4 | 2.1059287E-4 | 1.1660845 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0018287642 | 0.002196587 | 0.0022464772 | 1.0227126 | 5.0E-5 | 0.018137876 | 0.021751188 | 0.021800099 | 1.0022488 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7196904E-5 | 3.208715E-5 | 6.208619E-5 | 1.9349236 | 3.0E-5 | 1.16552954E-4 | 1.3750911E-4 | 1.6750499E-4 | 1.2181374 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014181085 | 0.0016728995 | 0.0017228158 | 1.0298382 | 5.0E-5 | 0.014090929 | 0.016604666 | 0.016653836 | 1.0029612 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.5584688E-5 | 3.0101632E-5 | 6.010073E-5 | 1.9965937 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0964406E-4 | 1.2900059E-4 | 1.5899673E-4 | 1.232527 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013340989 | 0.0015694627 | 0.0016193842 | 1.031808 | 5.0E-5 | 0.013261181 | 0.015585332 | 0.015634554 | 1.0031581 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2034688E-5 | 2.574271E-5 | 5.5741937E-5 | 2.1653485 | 3.0E-5 | 9.443096E-5 | 1.1032127E-4 | 1.4031796E-4 | 1.271903 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011490905 | 0.0013423412 | 0.001392274 | 1.0371983 | 5.0E-5 | 0.011431668 | 0.013343325 | 0.013392657 | 1.0036972 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9394853E-5 | 2.254176E-5 | 4.254131E-5 | 1.8872222 | 2.0E-5 | 8.311815E-5 | 9.6604E-5 | 1.1660207E-4 | 1.2070107 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010114936 | 0.0011755243 | 0.0012154774 | 1.0339874 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01006902 | 0.011693766 | 0.011733298 | 1.0033807 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7615313E-5 | 2.0403182E-5 | 4.0402774E-5 | 1.9802192 | 2.0E-5 | 7.549201E-5 | 8.743931E-5 | 1.07437554E-4 | 1.22871 | 2.0E-5 | 9.1872766E-4 | 0.0010640579 | 0.0011040154 | 1.0375519 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009149387 | 0.010590198 | 0.010629775 | 1.0037371 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5621423E-5 | 1.8026114E-5 | 3.8025755E-5 | 2.1094813 | 2.0E-5 | 6.6947236E-5 | 7.725251E-5 | 9.7250966E-5 | 1.2588713 | 2.0E-5 | 8.147778E-4 | 9.40147E-4 | 9.801094E-4 | 1.0425066 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008117969 | 0.009362142 | 0.0094017675 | 1.0042325 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3444376E-5 | 1.544809E-5 | 3.544778E-5 | 2.2946386 | 2.0E-5 | 5.7617483E-5 | 6.620443E-5 | 8.620311E-5 | 1.3020746 | 2.0E-5 | 7.0126704E-4 | 8.057436E-4 | 8.457114E-4 | 1.0496036 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006990582 | 0.008028555 | 0.008068234 | 1.0049422 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2268361E-5 | 1.407303E-5 | 3.407275E-5 | 2.421138 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2577634E-5 | 6.0311606E-5 | 8.03104E-5 | 1.3315911 | 2.0E-5 | 6.399447E-4 | 7.3404907E-4 | 7.740197E-4 | 1.0544523 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0063810493 | 0.0073165493 | 0.0073562562 | 1.005427 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0922655E-5 | 1.2513563E-5 | 3.251331E-5 | 2.5982459 | 2.0E-5 | 4.681054E-5 | 5.3628468E-5 | 7.3627394E-5 | 1.3729162 | 2.0E-5 | 5.697693E-4 | 6.5273355E-4 | 6.927074E-4 | 1.0612408 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0056831064 | 0.0065084435 | 0.0065481835 | 1.0061059 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.1106753E-6 | 6.928925E-6 | 1.6928856E-5 | 2.4432154 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6188345E-5 | 2.9695057E-5 | 3.9694758E-5 | 1.3367463 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1879646E-4 | 3.6147775E-4 | 3.914669E-4 | 1.0829626 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0031833951 | 0.003608943 | 0.0036388347 | 1.0082827 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.933187E-6 | 5.5895525E-6 | 5.5895525E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.114206E-5 | 2.3955008E-5 | 2.3955008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5737417E-4 | 2.9161357E-4 | 3.0161065E-4 | 1.034282 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002570763 | 0.0029123505 | 0.0029223212 | 1.0034237 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.969678E-6 | 1.969678E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.4414505E-6 | 8.4414505E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 1.02770035E-4 | 1.1276901E-4 | 1.0972946 | 1.0E-5 | 9.1216754E-4 | 0.0010272472 | 0.0010372369 | 1.0097247 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7533823E-7 | 1.7533823E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.5144936E-7 | 7.5144936E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.14886E-6 | 9.14886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.1485024E-5 | 9.1485024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (South Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.113726E-6 | 5.411352E-5 | 13.154382 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630138E-5 | 7.762908E-5 | 4.403203 | 6.0E-5 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462643E-4 | 3.2460282E-4 | 1.5124084 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442554 | 0.0022540195 | 1.0511899 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.113726E-6 | 5.411352E-5 | 13.154382 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630138E-5 | 7.762908E-5 | 4.403203 | 6.0E-5 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462643E-4 | 3.2460282E-4 | 1.5124084 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442554 | 0.0022540195 | 1.0511899 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.113726E-6 | 5.411352E-5 | 13.154382 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630138E-5 | 7.762908E-5 | 4.403203 | 6.0E-5 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462643E-4 | 3.2460282E-4 | 1.5124084 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442554 | 0.0022540195 | 1.0511899 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.113726E-6 | 5.411352E-5 | 13.154382 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630138E-5 | 7.762908E-5 | 4.403203 | 6.0E-5 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462643E-4 | 3.2460282E-4 | 1.5124084 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442554 | 0.0022540195 | 1.0511899 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.113726E-6 | 5.411352E-5 | 13.154382 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630138E-5 | 7.762908E-5 | 4.403203 | 6.0E-5 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462643E-4 | 3.2460282E-4 | 1.5124084 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442554 | 0.0022540195 | 1.0511899 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 2.9849807E-6 | 2.973154E-6 | 4.2973035E-5 | 14.453686 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2792712E-5 | 1.2742028E-5 | 5.2741518E-5 | 4.139178 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5574014E-4 | 1.551233E-4 | 2.3511089E-4 | 1.5156388 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0015563103 | 0.0015501654 | 0.0016300413 | 1.0515274 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9849807E-6 | 2.973154E-6 | 4.2973035E-5 | 14.453686 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2792712E-5 | 1.2742028E-5 | 5.2741518E-5 | 4.139178 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5574014E-4 | 1.551233E-4 | 2.3511089E-4 | 1.5156388 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0015563103 | 0.0015501654 | 0.0016300413 | 1.0515274 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6756725E-6 | 2.6582202E-6 | 4.2658114E-5 | 16.047623 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1467117E-5 | 1.1392323E-5 | 5.1391868E-5 | 4.5110965 | 4.0E-5 | 1.396032E-4 | 1.386928E-4 | 2.0868311E-4 | 1.5046425 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0013951553 | 0.0013860734 | 0.0014559764 | 1.0504323 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.3283721E-6 | 2.3047783E-6 | 3.230471E-5 | 14.016407 | 3.0E-5 | 9.9787E-6 | 9.877584E-6 | 3.9877286E-5 | 4.03715 | 3.0E-5 | 1.214839E-4 | 1.2025302E-4 | 1.8024581E-4 | 1.498888 | 6.0E-5 | 0.001214175 | 0.001201887 | 0.0012618148 | 1.0498616 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.0972677E-6 | 2.0696405E-6 | 3.206958E-5 | 15.495241 | 3.0E-5 | 8.988259E-6 | 8.869858E-6 | 3.886959E-5 | 4.382211 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0942656E-4 | 1.0798523E-4 | 1.6797875E-4 | 1.5555716 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0010937268 | 0.0010793334 | 0.0011392686 | 1.0555298 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7132242E-6 | 1.6787029E-6 | 1.1678686E-5 | 6.95697 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3423685E-6 | 7.1944214E-6 | 1.719435E-5 | 2.3899558 | 1.0E-5 | 8.938967E-5 | 8.75886E-5 | 1.275851E-4 | 1.4566405 | 4.0E-5 | 8.935372E-4 | 8.755446E-4 | 9.155096E-4 | 1.0456458 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.4215541E-6 | 1.3815746E-6 | 1.138156E-5 | 8.238108 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0923603E-6 | 5.9210206E-6 | 1.5920961E-5 | 2.688888 | 1.0E-5 | 7.417196E-5 | 7.208607E-5 | 1.1208319E-4 | 1.5548522 | 4.0E-5 | 7.414721E-4 | 7.206296E-4 | 7.606007E-4 | 1.055467 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.097853E-7 | 8.60377E-7 | 1.0860368E-5 | 12.622803 | 1.0E-5 | 3.899074E-6 | 3.6873246E-6 | 1.3687288E-5 | 3.7119834 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7470192E-5 | 4.4892266E-5 | 5.4891814E-5 | 1.2227455 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7460053E-4 | 4.4883305E-4 | 4.5882855E-4 | 1.02227 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.144169E-7 | 5.628199E-7 | 1.0562814E-5 | 18.767664 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6332125E-6 | 2.4120832E-6 | 1.2412059E-5 | 5.1457844 | 1.0E-5 | 3.205889E-5 | 2.9366722E-5 | 3.9366427E-5 | 1.3405116 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2054266E-4 | 2.9362892E-4 | 3.0362597E-4 | 1.0340466 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.049844E-7 | 3.5728252E-7 | 1.0357279E-5 | 28.989046 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7356463E-6 | 1.5312098E-6 | 1.1531194E-5 | 7.5307736 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1131287E-5 | 1.8642324E-5 | 2.8642136E-5 | 1.5364038 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1129279E-4 | 1.8640784E-4 | 1.9640598E-4 | 1.0536358 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.9871162E-7 | 1.5830383E-7 | 1.5830383E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5162094E-7 | 6.784448E-7 | 6.784448E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0368436E-5 | 8.260035E-6 | 8.260035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0367952E-4 | 8.259736E-5 | 8.259736E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.735264E-8 | 1.735264E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.436845E-8 | 7.436845E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.0543557E-7 | 9.0543557E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.054324E-6 | 9.054324E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Juan
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.74917E-6 | 8.874847E-5 | 10.143645 | 8.0E-5 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.749593E-5 | 1.2749256E-4 | 3.4001706 | 9.0E-5 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.5642213E-4 | 5.563765E-4 | 1.2189955 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004520337 | 0.004555389 | 0.004654933 | 1.021852 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.74917E-6 | 8.874847E-5 | 10.143645 | 8.0E-5 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.749593E-5 | 1.2749256E-4 | 3.4001706 | 9.0E-5 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.5642213E-4 | 5.563765E-4 | 1.2189955 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004520337 | 0.004555389 | 0.004654933 | 1.021852 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.74917E-6 | 8.874847E-5 | 10.143645 | 8.0E-5 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.749593E-5 | 1.2749256E-4 | 3.4001706 | 9.0E-5 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.5642213E-4 | 5.563765E-4 | 1.2189955 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004520337 | 0.004555389 | 0.004654933 | 1.021852 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 6.3054235E-6 | 6.282591E-6 | 8.628209E-5 | 13.73352 | 8.0E-5 | 2.7022963E-5 | 2.692512E-5 | 1.0692297E-4 | 3.971123 | 8.0E-5 | 3.2895492E-4 | 3.2776545E-4 | 4.1773592E-4 | 1.2744966 | 9.0E-5 | 0.003284684 | 0.0032730205 | 0.003362726 | 1.0274075 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.1490473E-6 | 6.1144706E-6 | 8.611398E-5 | 14.083636 | 8.0E-5 | 2.6352795E-5 | 2.6204618E-5 | 1.0620252E-4 | 4.052817 | 8.0E-5 | 3.2079802E-4 | 3.189959E-4 | 4.089672E-4 | 1.2820452 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0032033534 | 0.0031855768 | 0.0032752901 | 1.0281624 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.204848E-6 | 5.137238E-6 | 6.513693E-5 | 12.679368 | 6.0E-5 | 2.23063E-5 | 2.2016555E-5 | 8.2015235E-5 | 3.725162 | 6.0E-5 | 2.7154534E-4 | 2.6801953E-4 | 3.3800077E-4 | 1.261105 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0027121378 | 0.0026771172 | 0.0027469299 | 1.0260775 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.5179986E-6 | 4.415036E-6 | 5.4414817E-5 | 12.324885 | 5.0E-5 | 1.9362706E-5 | 1.892145E-5 | 6.8920504E-5 | 3.6424534 | 5.0E-5 | 2.3571544E-4 | 2.303451E-4 | 2.8033357E-4 | 1.2170156 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0023546559 | 0.0023012008 | 0.002351086 | 1.0216777 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.9442616E-6 | 3.8198336E-6 | 4.381968E-5 | 11.471621 | 4.0E-5 | 1.6903869E-5 | 1.6370615E-5 | 5.636996E-5 | 3.4433622 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0578515E-4 | 1.9929469E-4 | 2.3928672E-4 | 1.2006679 | 4.0E-5 | 0.002055947 | 0.001991285 | 0.0020312052 | 1.0200475 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4536245E-6 | 3.3163408E-6 | 4.331621E-5 | 13.061447 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4801163E-5 | 1.4212815E-5 | 5.4212247E-5 | 3.8143215 | 4.0E-5 | 1.8018926E-4 | 1.7302789E-4 | 2.1302098E-4 | 1.2311366 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0018004322 | 0.001729051 | 0.0017689818 | 1.023094 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.059865E-6 | 2.9120363E-6 | 3.291195E-5 | 11.302039 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3113641E-5 | 1.2480099E-5 | 4.2479725E-5 | 3.4037971 | 3.0E-5 | 1.596469E-4 | 1.5193518E-4 | 1.8193062E-4 | 1.1974226 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015953224 | 0.0015184281 | 0.0015483826 | 1.0197272 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.6504351E-6 | 2.492005E-6 | 3.249193E-5 | 13.038469 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1358958E-5 | 1.0679981E-5 | 4.067966E-5 | 3.8089638 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3828653E-4 | 1.3002155E-4 | 1.6001765E-4 | 1.230701 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013820052 | 0.001299567 | 0.001329528 | 1.0230546 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2039317E-6 | 2.0338366E-6 | 2.2033795E-5 | 10.8336115 | 2.0E-5 | 9.445387E-6 | 8.716416E-6 | 2.8716242E-5 | 3.2945008 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1499152E-4 | 1.0611773E-4 | 1.2611561E-4 | 1.1884499 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011493203 | 0.0010607811 | 0.0010807598 | 1.018834 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0786707E-6 | 8.770239E-7 | 8.770239E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.622866E-6 | 3.7586685E-6 | 3.7586685E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.628194E-5 | 4.576084E-5 | 4.576084E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6267687E-4 | 4.5757365E-4 | 4.5757365E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.846433E-7 | 4.868812E-7 | 4.868812E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9341822E-6 | 2.086632E-6 | 2.086632E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5723086E-5 | 2.5404452E-5 | 2.5404452E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.571734E-4 | 2.5405022E-4 | 2.5405022E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.23043E-7 | 3.2627884E-7 | 3.2627884E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2416111E-6 | 1.3983371E-6 | 1.3983371E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7291273E-5 | 1.7024622E-5 | 1.7024622E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7287923E-4 | 1.7026608E-4 | 1.7026608E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.648444E-7 | 2.723464E-7 | 2.723464E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9921886E-6 | 1.1671983E-6 | 1.1671983E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4254627E-5 | 1.4210547E-5 | 1.4210547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.425198E-4 | 1.4212691E-4 | 1.4212691E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.9906567E-7 | 2.2083036E-7 | 2.2083036E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7102802E-6 | 9.4641547E-7 | 9.4641547E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0822463E-5 | 1.1522548E-5 | 1.1522548E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0820512E-4 | 1.15244526E-4 | 1.15244526E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.8784601E-7 | 5.366277E-8 | 5.366277E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0505407E-7 | 2.2998329E-7 | 2.2998329E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.80149E-6 | 2.800043E-6 | 2.800043E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.801057E-5 | 2.8008939E-5 | 2.8008939E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.00154914E-7 | 1.2412917E-8 | 1.2412917E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2923529E-7 | 5.3198217E-8 | 5.3198217E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.225927E-6 | 6.476881E-7 | 6.476881E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.225804E-5 | 6.4827886E-6 | 6.4827886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.171429E-8 | 4.2946513E-9 | 4.2946513E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6448978E-7 | 1.8405647E-8 | 1.8405647E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2201583E-6 | 2.2408874E-7 | 2.2408874E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2201115E-5 | 2.2462114E-6 | 2.2462114E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.3974572E-8 | 3.3737857E-10 | 3.3737857E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.989102E-8 | 1.4459075E-9 | 1.4459075E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2917294E-7 | 1.760392E-8 | 1.760392E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2917055E-6 | 1.8038004E-7 | 1.8038004E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.8403477E-9 | 1.1291601E-10 | 1.1291601E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.887204E-9 | 4.839261E-10 | 4.839261E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602671E-8 | 5.8917977E-9 | 5.8917977E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602667E-7 | 6.0206084E-8 | 6.0206084E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Newport-Inglewood alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9668912E-5 | 3.0404828E-5 | 9.0403E-5 | 2.9733107 | 6.0E-5 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.3030265E-4 | 2.0029352E-4 | 1.5371408 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015857654 | 0.0016656385 | 1.0503688 | 8.0E-5 | 0.015361829 | 0.01579211 | 0.015890531 | 1.0062323 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 2.9668912E-5 | 3.0404828E-5 | 9.0403E-5 | 2.9733107 | 6.0E-5 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.3030265E-4 | 2.0029352E-4 | 1.5371408 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015857654 | 0.0016656385 | 1.0503688 | 8.0E-5 | 0.015361829 | 0.01579211 | 0.015890531 | 1.0062323 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 2.9668912E-5 | 3.0404828E-5 | 9.0403E-5 | 2.9733107 | 6.0E-5 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.3030265E-4 | 2.0029352E-4 | 1.5371408 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015857654 | 0.0016656385 | 1.0503688 | 8.0E-5 | 0.015361829 | 0.01579211 | 0.015890531 | 1.0062323 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 2.9668912E-5 | 3.0404828E-5 | 9.0403E-5 | 2.9733107 | 6.0E-5 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.3030265E-4 | 2.0029352E-4 | 1.5371408 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015857654 | 0.0016656385 | 1.0503688 | 8.0E-5 | 0.015361829 | 0.01579211 | 0.015890531 | 1.0062323 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.275942E-5 | 1.02725335E-5 | 3.0272327E-5 | 2.9469194 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4682085E-5 | 4.4024422E-5 | 7.4023104E-5 | 1.68141 | 3.0E-5 | 6.65551E-4 | 5.358697E-4 | 5.758483E-4 | 1.074605 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0066356123 | 0.0053462 | 0.0053959326 | 1.0093024 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.275942E-5 | 1.02725335E-5 | 3.0272327E-5 | 2.9469194 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4682085E-5 | 4.4024422E-5 | 7.4023104E-5 | 1.68141 | 3.0E-5 | 6.65551E-4 | 5.358697E-4 | 5.758483E-4 | 1.074605 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0066356123 | 0.0053462 | 0.0053959326 | 1.0093024 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1255358E-5 | 8.661911E-6 | 2.8661738E-5 | 3.3089392 | 2.0E-5 | 4.8236358E-5 | 3.7121958E-5 | 5.7121215E-5 | 1.5387447 | 2.0E-5 | 5.871194E-4 | 4.5186782E-4 | 4.8185425E-4 | 1.0663611 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005855706 | 0.0045096674 | 0.004549487 | 1.0088298 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0504745E-5 | 7.8998455E-6 | 2.7899687E-5 | 3.531675 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5019555E-5 | 3.385605E-5 | 5.3855372E-5 | 1.5907164 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4797524E-4 | 4.121207E-4 | 4.421083E-4 | 1.0727642 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0054662596 | 0.004113694 | 0.0041535296 | 1.0096836 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0476007E-5 | 7.881227E-6 | 2.788107E-5 | 3.5376558 | 2.0E-5 | 4.4896402E-5 | 3.3776258E-5 | 5.377558E-5 | 1.592112 | 2.0E-5 | 5.464766E-4 | 4.1114958E-4 | 4.4113724E-4 | 1.0729362 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005451347 | 0.004104019 | 0.0041438546 | 1.0097065 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.076797E-6 | 6.4896567E-6 | 2.6489526E-5 | 4.081807 | 2.0E-5 | 3.889998E-5 | 2.7812519E-5 | 4.7811962E-5 | 1.7190806 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7350433E-4 | 3.3856515E-4 | 3.68555E-4 | 1.0885793 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004724967 | 0.003380531 | 0.0034203958 | 1.0117924 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.73795E-6 | 6.2120503E-6 | 2.6211927E-5 | 4.219529 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7447822E-5 | 2.6622802E-5 | 4.662227E-5 | 1.7512157 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5583185E-4 | 3.2408469E-4 | 3.440782E-4 | 1.0616922 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045489795 | 0.0032361522 | 0.0032660551 | 1.0092403 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.391299E-6 | 5.9557533E-6 | 2.5955635E-5 | 4.3580775 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5962214E-5 | 2.5524409E-5 | 4.55239E-5 | 1.7835437 | 2.0E-5 | 4.37752E-4 | 3.1071564E-4 | 3.3070942E-4 | 1.0643475 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004368907 | 0.0031028416 | 0.0031327484 | 1.0096385 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.796882E-6 | 5.4964826E-6 | 2.5496372E-5 | 4.6386704 | 2.0E-5 | 3.341478E-5 | 2.3556144E-5 | 4.3555672E-5 | 1.8490155 | 2.0E-5 | 4.06749E-4 | 2.867585E-4 | 3.0675277E-4 | 1.069725 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0040600533 | 0.002863909 | 0.002893823 | 1.0104452 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.4738833E-6 | 4.6477753E-6 | 2.4647683E-5 | 5.303114 | 2.0E-5 | 2.774492E-5 | 1.9918885E-5 | 3.9918486E-5 | 2.0040522 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3774204E-4 | 2.424856E-4 | 2.6248075E-4 | 1.0824591 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033722918 | 0.0024222268 | 0.0024521542 | 1.0123553 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.382145E-6 | 3.8857215E-6 | 1.3885683E-5 | 3.5735145 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3066134E-5 | 1.6652988E-5 | 2.665282E-5 | 1.6004828 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8079396E-4 | 2.0273139E-4 | 2.1272937E-4 | 1.0493164 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028043943 | 0.002025479 | 0.0020454386 | 1.0098542 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.648244E-6 | 2.5737634E-6 | 2.5737634E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5635238E-5 | 1.1030369E-5 | 1.1030369E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9034238E-4 | 1.3428657E-4 | 1.3428657E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019017943 | 0.0013420646 | 0.0013520513 | 1.0074412 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.2906888E-6 | 1.547986E-6 | 1.547986E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.817201E-6 | 6.634209E-6 | 6.634209E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1951787E-4 | 8.076857E-5 | 8.076857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011945361 | 8.073989E-4 | 8.073989E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.0479874E-7 | 3.397468E-7 | 3.397468E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5919921E-6 | 1.456057E-6 | 1.456057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1557047E-5 | 1.7727363E-5 | 1.7727363E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1552566E-4 | 1.7726087E-4 | 1.7726087E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.16056995E-8 | 9.782997E-9 | 9.782997E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9738713E-8 | 4.1927127E-8 | 4.1927127E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0556863E-7 | 5.1046277E-7 | 5.1046277E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.05567E-6 | 5.1046277E-6 | 5.1046277E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cucamonga
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.1737109E-5 | 5.173664E-5 | 4.407954 | 4.0E-5 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.0300943E-5 | 1.0029843E-4 | 1.9939672 | 5.0E-5 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.122446E-4 | 6.921956E-4 | 1.1305867 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0061632637 | 0.006106745 | 0.0062061343 | 1.0162753 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.1737109E-5 | 5.173664E-5 | 4.407954 | 4.0E-5 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.0300943E-5 | 1.0029843E-4 | 1.9939672 | 5.0E-5 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.122446E-4 | 6.921956E-4 | 1.1305867 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0061632637 | 0.006106745 | 0.0062061343 | 1.0162753 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.1737109E-5 | 5.173664E-5 | 4.407954 | 4.0E-5 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.0300943E-5 | 1.0029843E-4 | 1.9939672 | 5.0E-5 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.122446E-4 | 6.921956E-4 | 1.1305867 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0061632637 | 0.006106745 | 0.0062061343 | 1.0162753 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.1737109E-5 | 5.173664E-5 | 4.407954 | 4.0E-5 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.0300943E-5 | 1.0029843E-4 | 1.9939672 | 5.0E-5 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.122446E-4 | 6.921956E-4 | 1.1305867 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0061632637 | 0.006106745 | 0.0062061343 | 1.0162753 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.1737109E-5 | 5.173664E-5 | 4.407954 | 4.0E-5 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.0300943E-5 | 1.0029843E-4 | 1.9939672 | 5.0E-5 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.122446E-4 | 6.921956E-4 | 1.1305867 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0061632637 | 0.006106745 | 0.0062061343 | 1.0162753 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.16988695E-5 | 1.157614E-5 | 4.1575793E-5 | 3.5915074 | 3.0E-5 | 5.013705E-5 | 4.9611102E-5 | 8.9609115E-5 | 1.8062311 | 4.0E-5 | 6.102476E-4 | 6.0385047E-4 | 6.7380816E-4 | 1.1158527 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006085745 | 0.0060232594 | 0.006112717 | 1.014852 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.16988695E-5 | 1.157614E-5 | 4.1575793E-5 | 3.5915074 | 3.0E-5 | 5.013705E-5 | 4.9611102E-5 | 8.9609115E-5 | 1.8062311 | 4.0E-5 | 6.102476E-4 | 6.0385047E-4 | 6.7380816E-4 | 1.1158527 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006085745 | 0.0060232594 | 0.006112717 | 1.014852 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1397107E-5 | 1.1115039E-5 | 4.1114705E-5 | 3.6990159 | 3.0E-5 | 4.884383E-5 | 4.7635025E-5 | 7.7633595E-5 | 1.6297587 | 3.0E-5 | 5.9451134E-4 | 5.798046E-4 | 6.3976983E-4 | 1.1034231 | 6.0E-5 | 0.005929234 | 0.005784061 | 0.005863598 | 1.0137511 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.058387E-5 | 9.785037E-6 | 2.9784842E-5 | 3.043917 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5358654E-5 | 4.1935207E-5 | 6.193437E-5 | 1.4769062 | 2.0E-5 | 5.521017E-4 | 5.1044265E-4 | 5.6041713E-4 | 1.0979042 | 5.0E-5 | 0.00550732 | 0.005093702 | 0.0051633455 | 1.0136725 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.690046E-6 | 8.579504E-6 | 1.8579418E-5 | 2.1655586 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1528107E-5 | 3.6768783E-5 | 4.6768415E-5 | 1.2719598 | 1.0E-5 | 5.054874E-4 | 4.475684E-4 | 4.8755048E-4 | 1.0893319 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005043391 | 0.0044675954 | 0.004527327 | 1.01337 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.381461E-6 | 8.18712E-6 | 1.8187038E-5 | 2.2214208 | 1.0E-5 | 4.020564E-5 | 3.508719E-5 | 4.5086836E-5 | 1.2849944 | 1.0E-5 | 4.893937E-4 | 4.2710314E-4 | 4.5709033E-4 | 1.0702107 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0048831734 | 0.004263747 | 0.004313534 | 1.0116768 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.946492E-6 | 7.781904E-6 | 1.7781826E-5 | 2.2850225 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8341543E-5 | 3.3350592E-5 | 4.335026E-5 | 1.2998347 | 1.0E-5 | 4.667083E-4 | 4.0596814E-4 | 4.3595597E-4 | 1.0738674 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0046572937 | 0.0040531927 | 0.00410299 | 1.012286 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.251016E-6 | 6.9752878E-6 | 1.6975218E-5 | 2.4336226 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5361016E-5 | 2.9893748E-5 | 3.989345E-5 | 1.3345081 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3043532E-4 | 3.6389584E-4 | 3.8388858E-4 | 1.0549408 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042960253 | 0.0036339252 | 0.0036737798 | 1.0109674 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.717881E-6 | 6.4863584E-6 | 1.6486294E-5 | 2.541687 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3076216E-5 | 2.7798384E-5 | 3.7798105E-5 | 1.3597231 | 1.0E-5 | 4.026285E-4 | 3.38393E-4 | 3.5838623E-4 | 1.0590829 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004018998 | 0.0033797103 | 0.003419575 | 1.0117953 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.275623E-6 | 6.032004E-6 | 6.032004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.118087E-5 | 2.5851192E-5 | 2.5851192E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7956095E-4 | 3.1469302E-4 | 3.2468987E-4 | 1.031767 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037891332 | 0.0031434046 | 0.0031733103 | 1.0095137 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.5109502E-6 | 5.100593E-6 | 5.100593E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7903774E-5 | 2.1859503E-5 | 2.1859503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3967546E-4 | 2.661071E-4 | 2.7610443E-4 | 1.0375688 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033915674 | 0.0026588016 | 0.0026787485 | 1.0075022 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.4495326E-6 | 3.908547E-6 | 3.908547E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.335493E-5 | 1.6750808E-5 | 1.6750808E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8430918E-4 | 2.0392207E-4 | 2.1392004E-4 | 1.0490284 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028394572 | 0.0020382616 | 0.0020582208 | 1.0097923 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.7997164E-6 | 3.2002263E-6 | 3.2002263E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.057005E-5 | 1.3715184E-5 | 1.3715184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.504116E-4 | 1.6696959E-4 | 1.6696959E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002501296 | 0.0016693701 | 0.0016793534 | 1.0059803 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.3941733E-6 | 2.0641678E-6 | 2.0641678E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4546376E-5 | 8.846404E-6 | 8.846404E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7708774E-4 | 1.07699656E-4 | 1.07699656E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017694668 | 0.0010766032 | 0.0010865924 | 1.0092784 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 9.750552E-7 | 5.155798E-7 | 5.155798E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.178801E-6 | 2.2096258E-6 | 2.2096258E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0875715E-5 | 2.6901867E-5 | 2.6901867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.086407E-4 | 2.689865E-4 | 2.7898382E-4 | 1.0371666 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.133857E-7 | 6.053372E-8 | 6.053372E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8593864E-7 | 2.594302E-7 | 2.594302E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9162867E-6 | 3.1585582E-6 | 3.1585582E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916129E-5 | 3.158515E-5 | 3.158515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.831764E-6 | 7.983108E-5 | 8.11971 | 7.0E-5 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2135514E-5 | 1.2213214E-4 | 2.898556 | 8.0E-5 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.1288976E-4 | 6.028436E-4 | 1.1753863 | 9.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.005132214 | 0.005231701 | 1.0193847 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.831764E-6 | 7.983108E-5 | 8.11971 | 7.0E-5 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2135514E-5 | 1.2213214E-4 | 2.898556 | 8.0E-5 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.1288976E-4 | 6.028436E-4 | 1.1753863 | 9.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.005132214 | 0.005231701 | 1.0193847 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.831764E-6 | 7.983108E-5 | 8.11971 | 7.0E-5 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2135514E-5 | 1.2213214E-4 | 2.898556 | 8.0E-5 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.1288976E-4 | 6.028436E-4 | 1.1753863 | 9.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.005132214 | 0.005231701 | 1.0193847 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.831764E-6 | 7.983108E-5 | 8.11971 | 7.0E-5 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2135514E-5 | 1.2213214E-4 | 2.898556 | 8.0E-5 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.1288976E-4 | 6.028436E-4 | 1.1753863 | 9.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.005132214 | 0.005231701 | 1.0193847 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 4.3445207E-6 | 6.0916254E-6 | 3.6091442E-5 | 5.924764 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8619241E-5 | 2.6106709E-5 | 6.610566E-5 | 2.532133 | 4.0E-5 | 2.2666567E-4 | 3.1780385E-4 | 3.6778796E-4 | 1.1572797 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0022643462 | 0.0031877246 | 0.0032475335 | 1.0187622 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.3445207E-6 | 6.0916254E-6 | 3.6091442E-5 | 5.924764 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8619241E-5 | 2.6106709E-5 | 6.610566E-5 | 2.532133 | 4.0E-5 | 2.2666567E-4 | 3.1780385E-4 | 3.6778796E-4 | 1.1572797 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0022643462 | 0.0031877246 | 0.0032475335 | 1.0187622 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.040109E-6 | 5.774033E-6 | 1.5773976E-5 | 2.7318816 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7314638E-5 | 2.4745626E-5 | 4.474513E-5 | 1.8082036 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1078532E-4 | 3.0123728E-4 | 3.2123126E-4 | 1.0663729 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002105855 | 0.0030225143 | 0.0030524237 | 1.0098956 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.3632055E-6 | 5.06753E-6 | 1.5067479E-5 | 2.9733381 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4413658E-5 | 2.1717806E-5 | 4.1717372E-5 | 1.9208833 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7547216E-4 | 2.643825E-4 | 2.8437722E-4 | 1.0756279 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017533366 | 0.0026548486 | 0.002684769 | 1.01127 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.2902772E-6 | 4.9894375E-6 | 1.4989388E-5 | 3.004224 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4101111E-5 | 2.138313E-5 | 4.1382704E-5 | 1.9352968 | 2.0E-5 | 1.716675E-4 | 2.6030882E-4 | 2.8030362E-4 | 1.0768118 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017153495 | 0.0026142076 | 0.002644129 | 1.0114458 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.031547E-6 | 4.6911987E-6 | 4.6911987E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.299228E-5 | 2.0104984E-5 | 3.0104784E-5 | 1.4973791 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5816953E-4 | 2.4475096E-4 | 2.547485E-4 | 1.0408479 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00158057 | 0.0024589805 | 0.0024789313 | 1.0081135 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8259715E-6 | 4.3707637E-6 | 4.3707637E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.211125E-5 | 1.8731711E-5 | 2.8731525E-5 | 1.533844 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4744449E-4 | 2.2803496E-4 | 2.3803268E-4 | 1.0438429 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001473467 | 0.0022921748 | 0.002312129 | 1.0087054 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.5962665E-6 | 4.065983E-6 | 4.065983E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1126809E-5 | 1.7425526E-5 | 2.7425353E-5 | 1.5738608 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3546048E-4 | 2.1213535E-4 | 2.2213323E-4 | 1.0471298 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013537793 | 0.0021334959 | 0.0021534532 | 1.0093542 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.3247253E-6 | 3.6765352E-6 | 3.6765352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.96307E-6 | 1.5756486E-5 | 1.5756486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.21293626E-4 | 1.9181852E-4 | 1.9181852E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012122744 | 0.0019307166 | 0.0019406972 | 1.0051694 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.056928E-6 | 3.235253E-6 | 3.235253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.815376E-6 | 1.3865297E-5 | 1.3865297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0732192E-4 | 1.6879707E-4 | 1.6879707E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001072701 | 0.0017009423 | 0.0017109253 | 1.0058692 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.8055999E-6 | 2.8256538E-6 | 2.8256538E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.738263E-6 | 1.210989E-5 | 1.210989E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4209274E-5 | 1.4742807E-4 | 1.4742807E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4169343E-4 | 0.0014876705 | 0.0014976555 | 1.006712 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.4683443E-6 | 2.4248943E-6 | 2.4248943E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.292889E-6 | 1.0392363E-5 | 1.0392363E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.661323E-5 | 1.2651978E-4 | 1.2651978E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.658682E-4 | 0.0012788812 | 0.0012888685 | 1.0078093 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 9.804088E-7 | 1.9004091E-6 | 1.9004091E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.201745E-6 | 8.144585E-6 | 8.144585E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1155046E-5 | 9.915586E-5 | 9.915586E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.114327E-4 | 0.0010055583 | 0.0010155482 | 1.0099348 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 7.3434086E-7 | 1.6285549E-6 | 1.6285549E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1471714E-6 | 6.9795024E-6 | 6.9795024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.831614E-5 | 8.4972155E-5 | 8.4972155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8309532E-4 | 8.6387293E-4 | 8.738643E-4 | 1.0115658 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.434184E-7 | 1.5221389E-6 | 1.5221389E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7575045E-6 | 6.523436E-6 | 6.523436E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.35721E-5 | 7.9419966E-5 | 7.9419966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3567028E-4 | 8.080443E-4 | 8.180362E-4 | 1.0123656 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.4943926E-7 | 7.5750586E-7 | 7.5750586E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.497596E-6 | 3.2464498E-6 | 3.2464498E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8233079E-5 | 3.9524817E-5 | 3.9524817E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8231584E-4 | 4.0401975E-4 | 4.140157E-4 | 1.0247413 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 6.717524E-8 | 5.837515E-8 | 5.837515E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8789387E-7 | 2.501792E-7 | 2.501792E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.505102E-6 | 3.0459275E-6 | 3.0459275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5050467E-5 | 3.2751934E-5 | 3.2751934E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.1984914E-8 | 1.2949885E-8 | 1.2949885E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.370782E-7 | 5.549951E-8 | 5.549951E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6689258E-6 | 6.757063E-7 | 6.757063E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6689133E-5 | 7.741151E-6 | 7.741151E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.21887656E-8 | 3.6471115E-9 | 3.6471115E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2237567E-8 | 1.563048E-8 | 1.563048E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.359922E-7 | 1.9030107E-7 | 1.9030107E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3599036E-6 | 2.245849E-6 | 2.245849E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Monterey Bay-Tularcitos
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.279877E-5 | 7.279746E-5 | 2.219518 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.4055918E-4 | 2.0055076E-4 | 1.4268064 | 6.0E-5 | 0.001571 | 0.0017100703 | 0.0017899334 | 1.0467017 | 8.0E-5 | 0.015599402 | 0.016979916 | 0.017068388 | 1.0052104 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.279877E-5 | 7.279746E-5 | 2.219518 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.4055918E-4 | 2.0055076E-4 | 1.4268064 | 6.0E-5 | 0.001571 | 0.0017100703 | 0.0017899334 | 1.0467017 | 8.0E-5 | 0.015599402 | 0.016979916 | 0.017068388 | 1.0052104 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.279877E-5 | 7.279746E-5 | 2.219518 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.4055918E-4 | 2.0055076E-4 | 1.4268064 | 6.0E-5 | 0.001571 | 0.0017100703 | 0.0017899334 | 1.0467017 | 8.0E-5 | 0.015599402 | 0.016979916 | 0.017068388 | 1.0052104 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6998249E-5 | 1.8330798E-5 | 3.8330432E-5 | 2.09104 | 2.0E-5 | 7.28476E-5 | 7.85583E-5 | 1.0855595E-4 | 1.381852 | 3.0E-5 | 8.865586E-4 | 9.5604634E-4 | 9.96008E-4 | 1.041799 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0088303005 | 0.009521258 | 0.009570782 | 1.0052015 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6998249E-5 | 1.8330798E-5 | 3.8330432E-5 | 2.09104 | 2.0E-5 | 7.28476E-5 | 7.85583E-5 | 1.0855595E-4 | 1.381852 | 3.0E-5 | 8.865586E-4 | 9.5604634E-4 | 9.96008E-4 | 1.041799 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0088303005 | 0.009521258 | 0.009570782 | 1.0052015 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.27470785E-5 | 1.3693312E-5 | 2.3693176E-5 | 1.7302735 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4629192E-5 | 5.8684363E-5 | 7.868319E-5 | 1.3407863 | 2.0E-5 | 6.649074E-4 | 7.1425823E-4 | 7.442368E-4 | 1.0419716 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0066292146 | 0.007120678 | 0.0071504647 | 1.004183 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2739422E-5 | 1.36854E-5 | 2.3685263E-5 | 1.7306957 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4596385E-5 | 5.8650454E-5 | 7.864928E-5 | 1.3409834 | 2.0E-5 | 6.645082E-4 | 7.1384566E-4 | 7.4382423E-4 | 1.0419959 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0066252467 | 0.007116579 | 0.0071463655 | 1.0041856 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0160109E-5 | 1.0885755E-5 | 2.0885645E-5 | 1.9186218 | 1.0E-5 | 4.35426E-5 | 4.665244E-5 | 6.6651504E-5 | 1.4286821 | 2.0E-5 | 5.300022E-4 | 5.6785246E-4 | 5.9783546E-4 | 1.0528007 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005287399 | 0.0056647263 | 0.005694556 | 1.005266 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.349859E-6 | 8.932587E-6 | 1.8932498E-5 | 2.1194866 | 1.0E-5 | 3.578462E-5 | 3.8281985E-5 | 5.828122E-5 | 1.522419 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3559066E-4 | 4.6598914E-4 | 4.8597984E-4 | 1.0428995 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004347378 | 0.004650685 | 0.004670592 | 1.0042804 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.193639E-6 | 5.53643E-6 | 1.5536374E-5 | 2.8062081 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2258262E-5 | 2.372736E-5 | 3.3727123E-5 | 1.4214444 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7096065E-4 | 2.8884556E-4 | 2.9884267E-4 | 1.0346106 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027063051 | 0.0028850224 | 0.0028949934 | 1.0034562 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.359381E-6 | 4.643366E-6 | 1.4643319E-5 | 3.1536002 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8682927E-5 | 1.9900004E-5 | 2.9899806E-5 | 1.5025024 | 1.0E-5 | 2.274409E-4 | 2.422586E-4 | 2.5225617E-4 | 1.0412682 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022720827 | 0.002420238 | 0.0024302138 | 1.0041218 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.0398533E-6 | 3.2310427E-6 | 1.3231011E-5 | 4.0949664 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3027877E-5 | 1.3847267E-5 | 2.3847128E-5 | 1.7221541 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5860285E-4 | 1.6858005E-4 | 1.7857837E-4 | 1.059309 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001584897 | 0.0016847793 | 0.0016947625 | 1.0059255 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.642335E-6 | 1.7333153E-6 | 1.7333153E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0385595E-6 | 7.428485E-6 | 7.428485E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.569109E-5 | 9.044012E-5 | 9.044012E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5658056E-4 | 9.042358E-4 | 9.042358E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.356842E-7 | 3.2952389E-7 | 3.2952389E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4386458E-6 | 1.4122445E-6 | 1.4122445E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7515373E-5 | 1.7193941E-5 | 1.7193941E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7513991E-4 | 1.719262E-4 | 1.719262E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.1973483E-7 | 2.1006414E-7 | 2.1006414E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.417204E-7 | 9.002746E-7 | 9.002746E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1465385E-5 | 1.0960788E-5 | 1.0960788E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1464794E-4 | 1.0960251E-4 | 1.0960251E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1944135E-7 | 1.0696035E-7 | 1.0696035E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.118914E-7 | 4.5840142E-7 | 4.5840142E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.23226E-6 | 5.581023E-6 | 5.581023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2320854E-5 | 5.5808843E-5 | 5.5808843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.636058E-8 | 3.3364433E-8 | 3.3364433E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9868818E-7 | 1.4299042E-7 | 1.4299042E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.419026E-6 | 1.740907E-6 | 1.740907E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4189996E-5 | 1.7408936E-5 | 1.7408936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.8588572E-8 | 8.003168E-9 | 8.003168E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9665305E-8 | 3.429929E-8 | 3.429929E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.699246E-7 | 4.1759378E-7 | 4.1759378E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.699204E-6 | 4.1759304E-6 | 4.1759304E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7960154E-9 | 7.608624E-10 | 7.608624E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1982923E-8 | 3.2608392E-9 | 3.2608392E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4589209E-7 | 3.9700716E-8 | 3.9700716E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4589199E-6 | 3.970071E-7 | 3.970071E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5183659E-4 | 3.0520977E-4 | 3.2520367E-4 | 1.0655087 | 2.0E-5 | 6.5056595E-4 | 0.0013068188 | 0.0013267926 | 1.0152843 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007891912 | 0.015696203 | 0.015765106 | 1.0043896 | 7.0E-5 | 0.076174594 | 0.13848905 | 0.13855797 | 1.0004977 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5024997E-4 | 3.021517E-4 | 3.2214564E-4 | 1.0661719 | 2.0E-5 | 6.437695E-4 | 0.0012937278 | 0.001313702 | 1.0154392 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0078097614 | 0.015539596 | 0.015608508 | 1.0044346 | 7.0E-5 | 0.075409345 | 0.13715863 | 0.13722767 | 1.0005033 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2743923E-4 | 2.5313982E-4 | 2.7313476E-4 | 1.0789877 | 2.0E-5 | 5.460538E-4 | 0.0010839999 | 0.0011039783 | 1.0184302 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0066279583 | 0.013046881 | 0.013096229 | 1.0037824 | 5.0E-5 | 0.064337276 | 0.117256075 | 0.11730021 | 1.0003765 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1525114E-4 | 2.2599236E-4 | 2.4598785E-4 | 1.0884786 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9383997E-4 | 9.678718E-4 | 9.878525E-4 | 1.020644 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0059959386 | 0.011668079 | 0.0117174955 | 1.0042351 | 5.0E-5 | 0.058367174 | 0.106372125 | 0.10641681 | 1.0004201 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.07200925E-4 | 2.0840544E-4 | 2.2840127E-4 | 1.0959468 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5935164E-4 | 8.926123E-4 | 9.1259443E-4 | 1.0223862 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0055782744 | 0.010772959 | 0.01082242 | 1.0045912 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0544031 | 0.099194765 | 0.09923981 | 1.0004541 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.69631E-5 | 1.8734725E-4 | 2.073435E-4 | 1.1067337 | 2.0E-5 | 4.1548995E-4 | 8.024631E-4 | 8.22447E-4 | 1.0249033 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0050468626 | 0.009694842 | 0.009734454 | 1.0040859 | 4.0E-5 | 0.04933773 | 0.090086564 | 0.09012296 | 1.000404 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.0552316E-5 | 1.507068E-4 | 1.7070377E-4 | 1.132688 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4517853E-4 | 6.4569083E-4 | 6.656779E-4 | 1.0309546 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0041944524 | 0.007826508 | 0.007866195 | 1.0050708 | 4.0E-5 | 0.04116161 | 0.0748563 | 0.07489331 | 1.0004944 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.815757E-5 | 1.4611272E-4 | 1.6610979E-4 | 1.1368606 | 2.0E-5 | 3.34918E-4 | 6.26014E-4 | 6.4600154E-4 | 1.0319282 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004070005 | 0.007589312 | 0.007629008 | 1.0052305 | 4.0E-5 | 0.039962657 | 0.07270582 | 0.07274291 | 1.0005102 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.965264E-5 | 1.2722758E-4 | 1.4722504E-4 | 1.1571786 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9847719E-4 | 5.4513285E-4 | 5.6512194E-4 | 1.0366683 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036279052 | 0.0066135945 | 0.006643396 | 1.0045061 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03569247 | 0.063801065 | 0.063829154 | 1.0004402 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.8000453E-5 | 1.01439E-4 | 1.1143799E-4 | 1.0985714 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4854968E-4 | 4.346666E-4 | 4.4466226E-4 | 1.0229962 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030218933 | 0.005279322 | 0.0052992166 | 1.0037683 | 2.0E-5 | 0.029811295 | 0.051502965 | 0.051521935 | 1.0003684 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.9865852E-5 | 8.568029E-5 | 9.5679425E-5 | 1.1167029 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1369329E-4 | 3.6715003E-4 | 3.7714635E-4 | 1.0272268 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025986114 | 0.004460979 | 0.0044808895 | 1.0044633 | 2.0E-5 | 0.025684336 | 0.043782018 | 0.04380114 | 1.0004368 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.283875E-5 | 7.1124625E-5 | 8.1123915E-5 | 1.1405883 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8358172E-4 | 3.0478454E-4 | 3.1478147E-4 | 1.0328001 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022328163 | 0.003704494 | 0.00372442 | 1.0053788 | 2.0E-5 | 0.022105146 | 0.03673582 | 0.03675509 | 1.0005244 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.450115E-5 | 5.5778568E-5 | 6.577801E-5 | 1.1792704 | 1.0E-5 | 1.478537E-4 | 2.3902925E-4 | 2.4902687E-4 | 1.0418259 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017986323 | 0.0029063264 | 0.0029262684 | 1.0068616 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017841442 | 0.029079042 | 0.02909846 | 1.0006678 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.5709045E-5 | 4.059001E-5 | 5.0589606E-5 | 1.246356 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1017697E-4 | 1.7394568E-4 | 1.8394395E-4 | 1.0574793 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013405791 | 0.0021157486 | 0.0021357064 | 1.0094329 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013325208 | 0.02129686 | 0.021316435 | 1.0009191 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.8003093E-5 | 2.8511378E-5 | 3.8511094E-5 | 1.3507272 | 1.0E-5 | 7.715383E-5 | 1.2218591E-4 | 1.321847E-4 | 1.0818325 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3894306E-4 | 0.0014866006 | 0.001506571 | 1.0134335 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009349857 | 0.015051589 | 0.015071289 | 1.0013088 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.5595824E-5 | 2.5823752E-5 | 3.5823494E-5 | 1.3872304 | 1.0E-5 | 6.683753E-5 | 1.10668545E-4 | 1.20667435E-4 | 1.0903499 | 1.0E-5 | 8.134431E-4 | 0.0013465589 | 0.001366532 | 1.0148326 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008104719 | 0.013651571 | 0.0136712985 | 1.001445 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1110309E-5 | 1.9223195E-5 | 2.9223003E-5 | 1.5201949 | 1.0E-5 | 4.761474E-5 | 8.2382525E-5 | 9.2381706E-5 | 1.121375 | 1.0E-5 | 5.795553E-4 | 0.0010025471 | 0.0010225271 | 1.0199292 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0057804612 | 0.01020344 | 0.010223236 | 1.0019401 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.2140443E-6 | 1.04376995E-5 | 2.0437596E-5 | 1.9580555 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6631347E-5 | 4.4732235E-5 | 5.4731787E-5 | 1.2235425 | 1.0E-5 | 3.241884E-4 | 5.4447894E-4 | 5.6446804E-4 | 1.0367124 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032371588 | 0.005620102 | 0.00563999 | 1.0035386 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.305533E-6 | 9.433651E-6 | 1.9433557E-5 | 2.060025 | 1.0E-5 | 2.27378E-5 | 4.0429306E-5 | 5.0428902E-5 | 1.2473353 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7679754E-4 | 4.9211574E-4 | 5.121059E-4 | 1.0406208 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0027645302 | 0.005074622 | 0.0050945207 | 1.0039212 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.363505E-6 | 7.3854467E-6 | 7.3854467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4414942E-5 | 3.1651532E-5 | 3.1651532E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7548777E-4 | 3.8528934E-4 | 3.952855E-4 | 1.0259445 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017534926 | 0.003948784 | 0.0039587445 | 1.0025225 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.0271132E-6 | 4.4134235E-6 | 4.4134235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.687599E-6 | 1.8914534E-5 | 1.8914534E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05766376E-4 | 2.3026018E-4 | 2.4025787E-4 | 1.0434191 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010571606 | 0.002351194 | 0.0023611705 | 1.0042431 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.2206116E-6 | 2.3752666E-6 | 2.3752666E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2311816E-6 | 1.0179674E-5 | 1.0179674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3687774E-5 | 1.2393051E-4 | 1.2393051E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.366953E-4 | 0.0012705618 | 0.0012705618 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Simi-Santa Rosa
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.198912E-5 | 2.2275388E-5 | 7.227428E-5 | 3.2445798 | 5.0E-5 | 9.4235686E-5 | 9.54627E-5 | 1.5545698E-4 | 1.6284577 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0011467156 | 0.0011616825 | 0.001251578 | 1.0773839 | 9.0E-5 | 0.011408163 | 0.011560547 | 0.011649507 | 1.0076951 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.198912E-5 | 2.2275388E-5 | 7.227428E-5 | 3.2445798 | 5.0E-5 | 9.4235686E-5 | 9.54627E-5 | 1.5545698E-4 | 1.6284577 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0011467156 | 0.0011616825 | 0.001251578 | 1.0773839 | 9.0E-5 | 0.011408163 | 0.011560547 | 0.011649507 | 1.0076951 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.69983E-5 | 1.6668506E-5 | 4.6668007E-5 | 2.7997713 | 3.0E-5 | 7.284782E-5 | 7.143466E-5 | 1.114318E-4 | 1.5599122 | 4.0E-5 | 8.865613E-4 | 8.6939917E-4 | 9.393383E-4 | 1.0804454 | 7.0E-5 | 0.008830327 | 0.0086629 | 0.008732294 | 1.0080104 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.69983E-5 | 1.6668506E-5 | 4.6668007E-5 | 2.7997713 | 3.0E-5 | 7.284782E-5 | 7.143466E-5 | 1.114318E-4 | 1.5599122 | 4.0E-5 | 8.865613E-4 | 8.6939917E-4 | 9.393383E-4 | 1.0804454 | 7.0E-5 | 0.008830327 | 0.0086629 | 0.008732294 | 1.0080104 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4666188E-5 | 1.4052489E-5 | 4.4052067E-5 | 3.134823 | 3.0E-5 | 6.285358E-5 | 6.0223705E-5 | 1.00221296E-4 | 1.6641504 | 4.0E-5 | 7.6497364E-4 | 7.330018E-4 | 7.9295784E-4 | 1.0817952 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0076234564 | 0.0073083164 | 0.0073678778 | 1.0081499 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4666188E-5 | 1.4052489E-5 | 4.4052067E-5 | 3.134823 | 3.0E-5 | 6.285358E-5 | 6.0223705E-5 | 1.00221296E-4 | 1.6641504 | 4.0E-5 | 7.6497364E-4 | 7.330018E-4 | 7.9295784E-4 | 1.0817952 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0076234564 | 0.0073083164 | 0.0073678778 | 1.0081499 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4377586E-5 | 1.3729529E-5 | 4.3729116E-5 | 3.1850414 | 3.0E-5 | 6.1616774E-5 | 5.883965E-5 | 9.88373E-5 | 1.6797737 | 4.0E-5 | 7.4992597E-4 | 7.1616215E-4 | 7.761192E-4 | 1.08372 | 6.0E-5 | 0.007474003 | 0.0071410104 | 0.007200582 | 1.0083421 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3881404E-5 | 1.3207497E-5 | 4.3207103E-5 | 3.2714071 | 3.0E-5 | 5.9490372E-5 | 5.6602472E-5 | 9.660021E-5 | 1.7066429 | 4.0E-5 | 7.240546E-4 | 6.889419E-4 | 7.489006E-4 | 1.08703 | 6.0E-5 | 0.007217 | 0.0068705105 | 0.0069300984 | 1.008673 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0176516E-5 | 9.1541E-6 | 1.9154008E-5 | 2.0923967 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3612912E-5 | 3.923136E-5 | 5.9230573E-5 | 1.5097762 | 2.0E-5 | 5.308578E-4 | 4.775537E-4 | 4.975441E-4 | 1.0418601 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0052959146 | 0.004766908 | 0.0047868127 | 1.0041755 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.699797E-6 | 8.774672E-6 | 1.8774585E-5 | 2.1396337 | 1.0E-5 | 4.15699E-5 | 3.760529E-5 | 4.760491E-5 | 1.26591 | 1.0E-5 | 5.05996E-4 | 4.5776463E-4 | 4.6776005E-4 | 1.0218353 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005048454 | 0.0045698346 | 0.004579789 | 1.0021783 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.4049476E-6 | 6.559291E-6 | 1.6559225E-5 | 2.5245452 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1735104E-5 | 2.8111013E-5 | 3.811073E-5 | 1.3557224 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8630638E-4 | 3.422105E-4 | 3.5220708E-4 | 1.0292118 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038563553 | 0.0034180775 | 0.0034280433 | 1.0029156 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.873439E-6 | 2.759473E-6 | 2.759473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6600346E-5 | 1.1826261E-5 | 1.1826261E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0209046E-4 | 1.4397544E-4 | 1.4397544E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020190678 | 0.0014388453 | 0.0014388453 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.417706E-6 | 2.367616E-6 | 2.367616E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4647229E-5 | 1.0146887E-5 | 1.0146887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7831543E-4 | 1.2353157E-4 | 1.2353157E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017817242 | 0.0012346513 | 0.0012346513 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.90225E-6 | 1.4073756E-6 | 1.4073756E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.152474E-6 | 6.031596E-6 | 6.031596E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9251854E-5 | 7.343223E-5 | 7.343223E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.920754E-4 | 7.340819E-4 | 7.340819E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.5170556E-6 | 1.1024792E-6 | 1.1024792E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5016507E-6 | 4.7249023E-6 | 4.7249023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.915472E-5 | 5.752418E-5 | 5.752418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9126534E-4 | 5.75094E-4 | 5.75094E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.178732E-6 | 8.5351127E-7 | 8.5351127E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0516987E-6 | 3.6579004E-6 | 3.6579004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1502695E-5 | 4.4534037E-5 | 4.4534037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.148568E-4 | 4.4525208E-4 | 4.4525208E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.8722386E-7 | 4.793211E-7 | 4.793211E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9452417E-6 | 2.0542318E-6 | 2.0542318E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5857727E-5 | 2.5009986E-5 | 2.5009986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5851944E-4 | 2.5007184E-4 | 2.5007184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.5126515E-7 | 3.6731117E-7 | 3.6731117E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3625628E-6 | 1.5741898E-6 | 1.5741898E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8763823E-5 | 1.9165593E-5 | 1.9165593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.87601E-4 | 1.9163951E-4 | 1.9163951E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.3860243E-7 | 2.0075514E-7 | 2.0075514E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4511525E-6 | 8.6037886E-7 | 8.6037886E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7667637E-5 | 1.0475063E-5 | 1.0475063E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7666233E-4 | 1.0474575E-4 | 1.0474575E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.7955386E-7 | 1.4648724E-7 | 1.4648724E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1980875E-6 | 6.278023E-7 | 6.278023E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4586617E-5 | 7.643467E-6 | 7.643467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.458566E-4 | 7.643208E-5 | 7.643208E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.6259015E-8 | 3.335318E-8 | 3.335318E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4111003E-7 | 1.429422E-7 | 1.429422E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9355108E-6 | 1.7403199E-6 | 1.7403199E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.935472E-5 | 1.7403077E-5 | 1.7403077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Clark) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1153059E-5 | 6.115221E-5 | 2.8909395 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.065287E-5 | 1.4064834E-4 | 1.5515045 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011031491 | 0.0011730719 | 1.0633847 | 7.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011485709 | 0.011574675 | 1.0077459 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1153059E-5 | 6.115221E-5 | 2.8909395 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.065287E-5 | 1.4064834E-4 | 1.5515045 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011031491 | 0.0011730719 | 1.0633847 | 7.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011485709 | 0.011574675 | 1.0077459 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1153059E-5 | 6.115221E-5 | 2.8909395 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.065287E-5 | 1.4064834E-4 | 1.5515045 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011031491 | 0.0011730719 | 1.0633847 | 7.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011485709 | 0.011574675 | 1.0077459 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1153059E-5 | 6.115221E-5 | 2.8909395 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.065287E-5 | 1.4064834E-4 | 1.5515045 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011031491 | 0.0011730719 | 1.0633847 | 7.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011485709 | 0.011574675 | 1.0077459 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1153059E-5 | 6.115221E-5 | 2.8909395 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.065287E-5 | 1.4064834E-4 | 1.5515045 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011031491 | 0.0011730719 | 1.0633847 | 7.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011485709 | 0.011574675 | 1.0077459 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.7294863E-5 | 1.7354667E-5 | 5.7353973E-5 | 3.3048155 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5982533E-4 | 7.437504E-5 | 1.2437132E-4 | 1.6722184 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0019441366 | 9.051445E-4 | 9.750811E-4 | 1.0772657 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01927216 | 0.009485902 | 0.009575049 | 1.0093977 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.7294863E-5 | 1.7354667E-5 | 5.7353973E-5 | 3.3048155 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5982533E-4 | 7.437504E-5 | 1.2437132E-4 | 1.6722184 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0019441366 | 9.051445E-4 | 9.750811E-4 | 1.0772657 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01927216 | 0.009485902 | 0.009575049 | 1.0093977 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6039248E-5 | 1.6602684E-5 | 5.660202E-5 | 3.409209 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5444479E-4 | 7.115244E-5 | 1.21148885E-4 | 1.7026666 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0018787434 | 8.659408E-4 | 9.358802E-4 | 1.0807669 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01862939 | 0.009088189 | 0.009177371 | 1.009813 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5031844E-5 | 1.6231123E-5 | 5.6230474E-5 | 3.4643612 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5012783E-4 | 6.956012E-5 | 1.19556644E-4 | 1.7187526 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0018262739 | 8.4656954E-4 | 9.1651024E-4 | 1.0826167 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01811338 | 0.008888788 | 0.008977988 | 1.0100352 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.435112E-5 | 1.6061658E-5 | 5.6061017E-5 | 3.490363 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4721078E-4 | 6.8833884E-5 | 1.18830445E-4 | 1.7263365 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0017908178 | 8.377344E-4 | 9.0767577E-4 | 1.0834887 | 7.0E-5 | 0.017764548 | 0.008796512 | 0.00888572 | 1.0101414 | 9.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8959772E-5 | 1.43355255E-5 | 5.4334952E-5 | 3.790231 | 4.0E-5 | 1.241074E-4 | 6.1436534E-5 | 1.1143346E-4 | 1.813798 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0015099603 | 7.477359E-4 | 8.176835E-4 | 1.0935459 | 7.0E-5 | 0.014997416 | 0.007868331 | 0.007957623 | 1.0113482 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.6002877E-5 | 1.2827699E-5 | 5.2827185E-5 | 4.118212 | 4.0E-5 | 1.11436144E-4 | 5.4974706E-5 | 1.0497196E-4 | 1.9094592 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0013558907 | 6.6911365E-4 | 7.390668E-4 | 1.1045461 | 7.0E-5 | 0.013476475 | 0.0070483433 | 0.0071377093 | 1.012679 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.2544838E-5 | 1.1260331E-5 | 5.125988E-5 | 4.5522532 | 4.0E-5 | 9.661716E-5 | 4.825768E-5 | 9.825527E-5 | 2.0360546 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001175679 | 5.873803E-4 | 6.573392E-4 | 1.1191032 | 7.0E-5 | 0.011694785 | 0.00619256 | 0.0062820027 | 1.0144435 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.75334E-5 | 1.0810585E-5 | 5.081015E-5 | 4.7000375 | 4.0E-5 | 7.514098E-5 | 4.6330264E-5 | 9.6327945E-5 | 2.079158 | 5.0E-5 | 9.144575E-4 | 5.6392635E-4 | 6.338869E-4 | 1.1240597 | 7.0E-5 | 0.009107036 | 0.0059332196 | 0.006022685 | 1.0150788 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.5924552E-5 | 1.0610475E-5 | 5.061005E-5 | 4.7698193 | 4.0E-5 | 6.82463E-5 | 4.547268E-5 | 9.547041E-5 | 2.0995114 | 5.0E-5 | 8.305819E-4 | 5.534906E-4 | 6.234519E-4 | 1.1264001 | 7.0E-5 | 0.008274844 | 0.0058205863 | 0.005910062 | 1.0153724 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3428931E-5 | 9.851045E-6 | 4.9850652E-5 | 5.060443 | 4.0E-5 | 5.7551293E-5 | 4.221809E-5 | 9.2215974E-5 | 2.1842766 | 5.0E-5 | 7.004617E-4 | 5.1388505E-4 | 5.838491E-4 | 1.1361473 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006982579 | 0.005406209 | 0.0054957224 | 1.0165576 | 9.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0688787E-5 | 8.614091E-6 | 4.8613747E-5 | 5.6435146 | 4.0E-5 | 4.5808283E-5 | 3.6917012E-5 | 8.691516E-5 | 2.3543391 | 5.0E-5 | 5.5757316E-4 | 4.4937237E-4 | 5.193409E-4 | 1.1557028 | 7.0E-5 | 0.005561762 | 0.0047413614 | 0.0048309346 | 1.0188919 | 9.0E-5 |
7.7 | 8.81236E-6 | 7.4673385E-6 | 4.746704E-5 | 6.356621 | 4.0E-5 | 3.776671E-5 | 3.200249E-5 | 8.2000886E-5 | 2.5623286 | 5.0E-5 | 4.597127E-4 | 3.8956082E-4 | 4.5953356E-4 | 1.1796196 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0045876284 | 0.0041344194 | 0.004224047 | 1.0216784 | 9.0E-5 |
7.8 | 7.780431E-6 | 6.695928E-6 | 4.669566E-5 | 6.97374 | 4.0E-5 | 3.3344273E-5 | 2.8696519E-5 | 7.8695084E-5 | 2.7423217 | 5.0E-5 | 4.0589093E-4 | 3.4932428E-4 | 4.1929982E-4 | 1.2003169 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0040515037 | 0.0037226272 | 0.0038122921 | 1.0240865 | 9.0E-5 |
7.9 | 6.5437994E-6 | 5.7797783E-6 | 4.5779547E-5 | 7.9206405 | 4.0E-5 | 2.8044553E-5 | 2.4770245E-5 | 7.476901E-5 | 3.018501 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4138895E-4 | 3.0153614E-4 | 3.7151505E-4 | 1.2320746 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0034086495 | 0.0032343294 | 0.0033240383 | 1.0277364 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 5.4488164E-6 | 4.812793E-6 | 4.48126E-5 | 9.311142 | 4.0E-5 | 2.3351862E-5 | 2.0626094E-5 | 7.0625065E-5 | 3.424064 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8427184E-4 | 2.510939E-4 | 3.210763E-4 | 1.2787101 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0028390845 | 0.0027107038 | 0.0027805138 | 1.0257535 | 7.0E-5 |
8.1 | 2.8397242E-6 | 1.3665673E-6 | 1.3665673E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.217019E-5 | 5.856704E-6 | 5.856704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4816198E-4 | 7.1303046E-5 | 7.1303046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014806325 | 8.113543E-4 | 8.113543E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.030244E-6 | 6.3151083E-7 | 6.3151083E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.701017E-6 | 2.7064723E-6 | 2.7064723E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05929736E-4 | 3.2950808E-5 | 3.2950808E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010587925 | 3.9470522E-4 | 3.9470522E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.0659804E-6 | 2.9230563E-7 | 2.9230563E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.568479E-6 | 1.2527379E-6 | 1.2527379E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5619817E-5 | 1.5251981E-5 | 1.5251981E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5605895E-4 | 1.8556409E-4 | 1.8556409E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Los Alamos extension
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.086164E-6 | 1.4086124E-5 | 3.4472728 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7512022E-5 | 4.7511498E-5 | 2.713079 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1318911E-4 | 2.9317205E-4 | 1.3751737 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0020925992 | 0.002129955 | 0.0022197634 | 1.0421644 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.086164E-6 | 1.4086124E-5 | 3.4472728 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7512022E-5 | 4.7511498E-5 | 2.713079 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1318911E-4 | 2.9317205E-4 | 1.3751737 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0020925992 | 0.002129955 | 0.0022197634 | 1.0421644 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.086164E-6 | 1.4086124E-5 | 3.4472728 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7512022E-5 | 4.7511498E-5 | 2.713079 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1318911E-4 | 2.9317205E-4 | 1.3751737 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0020925992 | 0.002129955 | 0.0022197634 | 1.0421644 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.086164E-6 | 1.4086124E-5 | 3.4472728 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7512022E-5 | 4.7511498E-5 | 2.713079 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1318911E-4 | 2.9317205E-4 | 1.3751737 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0020925992 | 0.002129955 | 0.0022197634 | 1.0421644 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.086164E-6 | 1.4086124E-5 | 3.4472728 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7512022E-5 | 4.7511498E-5 | 2.713079 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1318911E-4 | 2.9317205E-4 | 1.3751737 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0020925992 | 0.002129955 | 0.0022197634 | 1.0421644 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.086164E-6 | 1.4086124E-5 | 3.4472728 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7512022E-5 | 4.7511498E-5 | 2.713079 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1318911E-4 | 2.9317205E-4 | 1.3751737 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0020925992 | 0.002129955 | 0.0022197634 | 1.0421644 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.086164E-6 | 1.4086124E-5 | 3.4472728 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7512022E-5 | 4.7511498E-5 | 2.713079 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1318911E-4 | 2.9317205E-4 | 1.3751737 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0020925992 | 0.002129955 | 0.0022197634 | 1.0421644 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.086164E-6 | 1.4086124E-5 | 3.4472728 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7512022E-5 | 4.7511498E-5 | 2.713079 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1318911E-4 | 2.9317205E-4 | 1.3751737 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0020925992 | 0.002129955 | 0.0022197634 | 1.0421644 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.6584688E-6 | 3.7188636E-6 | 1.3718826E-5 | 3.6889834 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5679057E-5 | 1.5937894E-5 | 3.5937577E-5 | 2.2548509 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9087581E-4 | 1.9402753E-4 | 2.4401782E-4 | 1.2576454 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0019071194 | 0.0019386737 | 0.0019985572 | 1.030889 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.644631E-6 | 3.7045736E-6 | 1.3704536E-5 | 3.699356 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5619753E-5 | 1.5876652E-5 | 3.5876335E-5 | 2.2596915 | 2.0E-5 | 1.901539E-4 | 1.9328203E-4 | 2.4327237E-4 | 1.2586393 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0018999127 | 0.0019312317 | 0.0019911157 | 1.0310082 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.6318522E-6 | 3.691334E-6 | 1.3691297E-5 | 3.7090378 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5564989E-5 | 1.5819913E-5 | 3.5819598E-5 | 2.2642095 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8948725E-4 | 1.9259135E-4 | 2.4258172E-4 | 1.259567 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0018932576 | 0.0019243368 | 0.0019842214 | 1.0311196 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.5001724E-6 | 3.5554046E-6 | 1.3555369E-5 | 3.8126094 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5000653E-5 | 1.5237365E-5 | 3.523706E-5 | 2.312543 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8261763E-4 | 1.8550004E-4 | 2.3549076E-4 | 1.2694917 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0018246764 | 0.0018535426 | 0.0019134314 | 1.0323105 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.5204702E-6 | 2.5436989E-6 | 1.2543674E-5 | 4.931273 | 1.0E-5 | 1.080197E-5 | 1.0901522E-5 | 2.0901412E-5 | 1.9172932 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3150605E-4 | 1.3271799E-4 | 1.6271402E-4 | 1.2260132 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013142825 | 0.001326393 | 0.0013663399 | 1.0301169 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.1399692E-6 | 2.1501362E-6 | 1.2150114E-5 | 5.650858 | 1.0E-5 | 9.1712645E-6 | 9.2148375E-6 | 1.9214745E-5 | 2.0851963 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1165442E-4 | 1.121849E-4 | 1.4218154E-4 | 1.2673857 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011159834 | 0.001121286 | 0.0011612411 | 1.0356333 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.9660122E-6 | 1.970241E-6 | 1.1970222E-5 | 6.075511 | 1.0E-5 | 8.42574E-6 | 8.4438625E-6 | 1.8443778E-5 | 2.184282 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0257855E-4 | 1.0279921E-4 | 1.3279612E-4 | 1.291801 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010253121 | 0.0010275197 | 0.0010674786 | 1.0388887 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.7204633E-6 | 1.7151029E-6 | 1.1715086E-5 | 6.8305435 | 1.0E-5 | 7.373393E-6 | 7.3504207E-6 | 1.7350347E-5 | 2.3604562 | 1.0E-5 | 8.976737E-5 | 8.948772E-5 | 1.1948504E-4 | 1.3352115 | 3.0E-5 | 8.9731114E-4 | 8.945199E-4 | 9.344841E-4 | 1.0446768 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.3717638E-6 | 1.3535872E-6 | 1.1353573E-5 | 8.387767 | 1.0E-5 | 5.878974E-6 | 5.801075E-6 | 1.5801017E-5 | 2.7238083 | 1.0E-5 | 7.157416E-5 | 7.062583E-5 | 9.062442E-5 | 1.2831625 | 2.0E-5 | 7.1551115E-4 | 7.0603646E-4 | 7.3601527E-4 | 1.0424607 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 8.272564E-7 | 7.9576733E-7 | 1.0795759E-5 | 13.566478 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5453797E-6 | 3.4104269E-6 | 1.3410393E-5 | 3.9321742 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3164142E-5 | 4.1521158E-5 | 5.1520743E-5 | 1.240831 | 1.0E-5 | 4.315576E-4 | 4.151342E-4 | 4.2513004E-4 | 1.0240786 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.9708277E-7 | 3.671937E-7 | 1.036719E-5 | 28.233572 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7017821E-6 | 1.5736864E-6 | 1.157367E-5 | 7.3544965 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0719E-5 | 1.9159465E-5 | 2.9159273E-5 | 1.5219252 | 1.0E-5 | 2.071707E-4 | 1.9157819E-4 | 2.0157627E-4 | 1.052188 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 9.292528E-8 | 7.889168E-8 | 1.0078891E-5 | 127.75607 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9825116E-7 | 3.3810713E-7 | 1.03381035E-5 | 30.576414 | 1.0E-5 | 4.848697E-6 | 4.1164467E-6 | 1.41164055E-5 | 3.4292696 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8485912E-5 | 4.1163716E-5 | 5.1163304E-5 | 1.2429224 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 7.880441E-11 | 8.2353124E-11 | 8.2353124E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3773329E-10 | 3.52942E-10 | 3.52942E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1119033E-9 | 4.2970694E-9 | 4.2970694E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1119034E-8 | 4.2970694E-8 | 4.2970694E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Cruz Catalina Ridge alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2833184E-5 | 3.6558402E-5 | 7.6556935E-5 | 2.0940998 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4070606E-4 | 1.5667039E-4 | 2.2665942E-4 | 1.4467279 | 7.0E-5 | 0.00171175 | 0.0019059594 | 0.001985807 | 1.0418936 | 8.0E-5 | 0.016986247 | 0.018913032 | 0.019001331 | 1.0046686 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9835548E-5 | 2.1659505E-5 | 4.1659074E-5 | 1.9233621 | 2.0E-5 | 8.500672E-5 | 9.282326E-5 | 1.2282048E-4 | 1.3231648 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010344655 | 0.0011295575 | 0.0011595236 | 1.0265291 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010296632 | 0.011240296 | 0.011279846 | 1.0035186 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9835548E-5 | 2.1659505E-5 | 4.1659074E-5 | 1.9233621 | 2.0E-5 | 8.500672E-5 | 9.282326E-5 | 1.2282048E-4 | 1.3231648 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010344655 | 0.0011295575 | 0.0011595236 | 1.0265291 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010296632 | 0.011240296 | 0.011279846 | 1.0035186 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5728183E-5 | 1.703395E-5 | 3.703361E-5 | 2.174106 | 2.0E-5 | 6.7404755E-5 | 7.300063E-5 | 1.0299844E-4 | 1.4109254 | 3.0E-5 | 8.2034385E-4 | 8.884264E-4 | 9.183997E-4 | 1.0337375 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008173222 | 0.008849427 | 0.008889073 | 1.0044801 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5728183E-5 | 1.703395E-5 | 3.703361E-5 | 2.174106 | 2.0E-5 | 6.7404755E-5 | 7.300063E-5 | 1.0299844E-4 | 1.4109254 | 3.0E-5 | 8.2034385E-4 | 8.884264E-4 | 9.183997E-4 | 1.0337375 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008173222 | 0.008849427 | 0.008889073 | 1.0044801 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3707734E-5 | 1.4794522E-5 | 3.4794226E-5 | 2.3518317 | 2.0E-5 | 5.8746107E-5 | 6.3403575E-5 | 8.34023E-5 | 1.3154197 | 2.0E-5 | 7.1499916E-4 | 7.716686E-4 | 7.916532E-4 | 1.0258979 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0071270303 | 0.0076902895 | 0.007720059 | 1.003871 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2539813E-5 | 1.3510219E-5 | 3.350995E-5 | 2.480341 | 2.0E-5 | 5.3740947E-5 | 5.789967E-5 | 7.789851E-5 | 1.3454051 | 2.0E-5 | 6.540996E-4 | 7.0470315E-4 | 7.2468905E-4 | 1.0283607 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0065217763 | 0.0070249885 | 0.007054778 | 1.0042405 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1504083E-5 | 1.2377375E-5 | 3.2377127E-5 | 2.6158316 | 2.0E-5 | 4.930228E-5 | 5.3044827E-5 | 7.304377E-5 | 1.3770196 | 2.0E-5 | 6.0008996E-4 | 6.456314E-4 | 6.6561846E-4 | 1.0309575 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005984721 | 0.006437786 | 0.006457657 | 1.0030867 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.012739E-5 | 1.0877071E-5 | 3.0876854E-5 | 2.8387103 | 2.0E-5 | 4.340238E-5 | 4.6615194E-5 | 6.6614266E-5 | 1.4290247 | 2.0E-5 | 5.282958E-4 | 5.673937E-4 | 5.8738235E-4 | 1.0352288 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0052704164 | 0.0056596193 | 0.0056795063 | 1.0035138 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.9607865E-6 | 9.609117E-6 | 2.9608926E-5 | 3.0813367 | 2.0E-5 | 3.8402806E-5 | 4.1181287E-5 | 6.1180464E-5 | 1.4856374 | 2.0E-5 | 4.6745385E-4 | 5.012679E-4 | 5.2125787E-4 | 1.0398788 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0046647177 | 0.005001492 | 0.005021392 | 1.0039788 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.046829E-6 | 8.619746E-6 | 2.8619574E-5 | 3.320234 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4485955E-5 | 3.694125E-5 | 5.694051E-5 | 1.5413802 | 2.0E-5 | 4.1978562E-4 | 4.496677E-4 | 4.6965873E-4 | 1.0444573 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004189935 | 0.0044876686 | 0.004507579 | 1.0044366 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.136131E-6 | 7.637656E-6 | 1.763758E-5 | 2.3092923 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0583058E-5 | 3.2732405E-5 | 4.2732077E-5 | 1.3054976 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7228514E-4 | 3.9844486E-4 | 4.084409E-4 | 1.0250876 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037166206 | 0.003977381 | 0.0039873417 | 1.0025042 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.362014E-6 | 6.8049585E-6 | 1.680489E-5 | 2.4695067 | 1.0E-5 | 2.726549E-5 | 2.9163786E-5 | 3.9163493E-5 | 1.342881 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3190678E-4 | 3.550119E-4 | 3.6500834E-4 | 1.0281581 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033141149 | 0.003544516 | 0.0035544806 | 1.0028113 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.004101E-6 | 5.351715E-6 | 1.5351661E-5 | 2.8685498 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1445969E-5 | 2.2935723E-5 | 3.293549E-5 | 1.435991 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6107338E-4 | 2.792072E-4 | 2.8920438E-4 | 1.0358057 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002607669 | 0.0027886187 | 0.0027985908 | 1.003576 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.4901443E-6 | 3.7320526E-6 | 1.3732015E-5 | 3.6794808 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4957676E-5 | 1.5994416E-5 | 2.5994255E-5 | 1.6252083 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8209449E-4 | 1.9471499E-4 | 2.0471304E-4 | 1.0513471 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018194534 | 0.0019454823 | 0.0019554629 | 1.0051302 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1215045E-6 | 1.189387E-6 | 1.189387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.806439E-6 | 5.097363E-6 | 5.097363E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.851682E-5 | 6.205866E-5 | 6.205866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.850142E-4 | 6.2041637E-4 | 6.2041637E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.8599047E-7 | 2.9951994E-7 | 2.9951994E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2256729E-6 | 1.2836562E-6 | 1.2836562E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4922465E-5 | 1.5628404E-5 | 1.5628404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4921463E-4 | 1.5627318E-4 | 1.5627318E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.0781519E-7 | 2.1744323E-7 | 2.1744323E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.906362E-7 | 9.3189925E-7 | 9.3189925E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08434415E-5 | 1.13458145E-5 | 1.13458145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0842913E-4 | 1.1345245E-4 | 1.1345245E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.614776E-8 | 3.764102E-8 | 3.764102E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5491896E-7 | 1.6131864E-7 | 1.6131864E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8861368E-6 | 1.9640527E-6 | 1.9640527E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8861208E-5 | 1.9640367E-5 | 1.9640367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elysian Park (Upper)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7035275E-5 | 8.7033426E-5 | 2.3500142 | 5.0E-5 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5871569E-4 | 2.0870776E-4 | 1.3149787 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0016618895 | 0.001931122 | 0.0020009868 | 1.0361784 | 7.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.019189863 | 0.019268326 | 1.0040889 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7035275E-5 | 8.7033426E-5 | 2.3500142 | 5.0E-5 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5871569E-4 | 2.0870776E-4 | 1.3149787 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0016618895 | 0.001931122 | 0.0020009868 | 1.0361784 | 7.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.019189863 | 0.019268326 | 1.0040889 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7035275E-5 | 8.7033426E-5 | 2.3500142 | 5.0E-5 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5871569E-4 | 2.0870776E-4 | 1.3149787 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0016618895 | 0.001931122 | 0.0020009868 | 1.0361784 | 7.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.019189863 | 0.019268326 | 1.0040889 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7035275E-5 | 8.7033426E-5 | 2.3500142 | 5.0E-5 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5871569E-4 | 2.0870776E-4 | 1.3149787 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0016618895 | 0.001931122 | 0.0020009868 | 1.0361784 | 7.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.019189863 | 0.019268326 | 1.0040889 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.120244E-5 | 6.1201594E-5 | 2.8865352 | 4.0E-5 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.086542E-5 | 1.3086178E-4 | 1.4401715 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011058967 | 0.0011558414 | 1.0451622 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010006315 | 0.011020744 | 0.0110800825 | 1.0053843 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.120244E-5 | 6.1201594E-5 | 2.8865352 | 4.0E-5 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.086542E-5 | 1.3086178E-4 | 1.4401715 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011058967 | 0.0011558414 | 1.0451622 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010006315 | 0.011020744 | 0.0110800825 | 1.0053843 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.813258E-6 | 9.665589E-6 | 2.9665394E-5 | 3.0691764 | 2.0E-5 | 4.205614E-5 | 4.1423333E-5 | 6.142251E-5 | 1.4827996 | 2.0E-5 | 5.119132E-4 | 5.042196E-4 | 5.242095E-4 | 1.0396453 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005107356 | 0.0050314795 | 0.005051379 | 1.003955 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.801478E-6 | 9.653158E-6 | 2.9652965E-5 | 3.071841 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2005657E-5 | 4.137006E-5 | 6.136923E-5 | 1.4834214 | 2.0E-5 | 5.112989E-4 | 5.0357135E-4 | 5.2356126E-4 | 1.0396963 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0051012407 | 0.005025026 | 0.0050449255 | 1.0039601 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.102489E-6 | 7.772994E-6 | 2.7772838E-5 | 3.5729911 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4724493E-5 | 3.3312434E-5 | 5.3311767E-5 | 1.6003565 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2268867E-4 | 4.0550836E-4 | 4.2550027E-4 | 1.0493008 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004218856 | 0.0040481784 | 0.004068097 | 1.0049205 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.08275E-6 | 5.481441E-6 | 1.5481386E-5 | 2.8243277 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6068668E-5 | 2.3491682E-5 | 3.3491448E-5 | 1.4256725 | 1.0E-5 | 3.173398E-4 | 2.8597447E-4 | 2.959716E-4 | 1.0349581 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031688702 | 0.0028561424 | 0.0028661138 | 1.0034913 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.5995934E-6 | 4.9827686E-6 | 1.4982719E-5 | 3.0069063 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3998036E-5 | 2.1354552E-5 | 3.135434E-5 | 1.4682742 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9213692E-4 | 2.5996132E-4 | 2.6995872E-4 | 1.0384573 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029175316 | 0.0025966396 | 0.0026066136 | 1.0038412 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.709881E-6 | 4.0873906E-6 | 1.408735E-5 | 3.4465387 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0185047E-5 | 1.7517272E-5 | 2.7517097E-5 | 1.5708551 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4572524E-4 | 2.1325232E-4 | 2.232502E-4 | 1.0468827 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002454537 | 0.0021305184 | 0.002140497 | 1.0046837 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.6063436E-6 | 2.9779412E-6 | 1.2977912E-5 | 4.3580146 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5455667E-5 | 1.27625435E-5 | 2.2762415E-5 | 1.7835329 | 1.0E-5 | 1.881565E-4 | 1.55373E-4 | 1.6537144E-4 | 1.0643512 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018799726 | 0.0015526549 | 0.0015626394 | 1.0064306 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.471135E-6 | 2.0954562E-6 | 1.20954355E-5 | 5.77222 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0590536E-5 | 8.980496E-6 | 1.8980407E-5 | 2.1135142 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2893214E-4 | 1.0933213E-4 | 1.1933104E-4 | 1.0914544 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012885736 | 0.0010927906 | 0.0011027798 | 1.0091408 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.163943E-6 | 1.0275061E-6 | 1.0275061E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.988318E-6 | 4.40359E-6 | 4.40359E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0731076E-5 | 5.361242E-5 | 5.361242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.071448E-4 | 5.3599785E-4 | 5.3599785E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.99459E-7 | 4.917601E-7 | 4.917601E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.140537E-6 | 2.1075416E-6 | 2.1075416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6060725E-5 | 2.5659032E-5 | 2.5659032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.605767E-4 | 2.5656226E-4 | 2.5656226E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.4667852E-7 | 2.4778313E-7 | 2.4778313E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0571932E-6 | 1.0619274E-6 | 1.0619274E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2871251E-5 | 1.2928893E-5 | 1.2928893E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2870505E-4 | 1.2928178E-4 | 1.2928178E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.2312795E-8 | 7.3864214E-8 | 7.3864214E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.527691E-7 | 3.165609E-7 | 3.165609E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.294955E-6 | 3.854123E-6 | 3.854123E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2948723E-5 | 3.854068E-5 | 3.854068E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7819295E-8 | 1.7565618E-8 | 1.7565618E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1922555E-7 | 7.528122E-8 | 7.528122E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45157E-6 | 9.1654863E-7 | 9.1654863E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45156055E-5 | 9.165463E-6 | 9.165463E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ortigalita (South)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.72394E-5 | 4.32556E-5 | 8.325387E-5 | 1.9246957 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5958765E-4 | 1.8536886E-4 | 2.3535959E-4 | 1.2696825 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0019412481 | 0.0022546863 | 0.0023245285 | 1.0309764 | 7.0E-5 | 0.019243775 | 0.022334501 | 0.022412715 | 1.0035019 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.7299884E-5 | 3.1492036E-5 | 7.149077E-5 | 2.2701225 | 4.0E-5 | 1.16994255E-4 | 1.349592E-4 | 1.8495246E-4 | 1.3704324 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0014234743 | 0.0016419457 | 0.0017118307 | 1.0425624 | 7.0E-5 | 0.014143906 | 0.016304072 | 0.01637293 | 1.0042233 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.7299884E-5 | 3.1492036E-5 | 7.149077E-5 | 2.2701225 | 4.0E-5 | 1.16994255E-4 | 1.349592E-4 | 1.8495246E-4 | 1.3704324 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0014234743 | 0.0016419457 | 0.0017118307 | 1.0425624 | 7.0E-5 | 0.014143906 | 0.016304072 | 0.01637293 | 1.0042233 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0546433E-5 | 2.3631454E-5 | 5.3630745E-5 | 2.2694645 | 3.0E-5 | 8.805317E-5 | 1.0127383E-4 | 1.3127079E-4 | 1.2961966 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00107152 | 0.0012323305 | 0.0012822688 | 1.0405235 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010663681 | 0.012257031 | 0.012306418 | 1.0040293 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0546433E-5 | 2.3631454E-5 | 5.3630745E-5 | 2.2694645 | 3.0E-5 | 8.805317E-5 | 1.0127383E-4 | 1.3127079E-4 | 1.2961966 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00107152 | 0.0012323305 | 0.0012822688 | 1.0405235 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010663681 | 0.012257031 | 0.012306418 | 1.0040293 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7779594E-5 | 2.0446974E-5 | 5.044636E-5 | 2.4671798 | 3.0E-5 | 7.619603E-5 | 8.762703E-5 | 1.176244E-4 | 1.3423301 | 3.0E-5 | 9.272918E-4 | 0.0010663505 | 0.0011063078 | 1.0374712 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009234319 | 0.010613804 | 0.010653379 | 1.0037286 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.6272212E-5 | 1.8714967E-5 | 4.8714406E-5 | 2.602965 | 3.0E-5 | 6.973618E-5 | 8.0204605E-5 | 1.102022E-4 | 1.3740133 | 3.0E-5 | 8.487073E-4 | 9.760659E-4 | 0.0010160268 | 1.0409409 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008454733 | 0.009719091 | 0.009758702 | 1.0040756 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3051484E-5 | 1.5038758E-5 | 4.5038305E-5 | 2.9948156 | 3.0E-5 | 5.593373E-5 | 6.445028E-5 | 9.444835E-5 | 1.465445 | 3.0E-5 | 6.807804E-4 | 7.844092E-4 | 8.243778E-4 | 1.0509537 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006786986 | 0.007817388 | 0.007857075 | 1.0050768 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.04277415E-5 | 1.1987235E-5 | 2.1987114E-5 | 1.8342108 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4689557E-5 | 5.1372896E-5 | 6.137238E-5 | 1.1946452 | 1.0E-5 | 5.439595E-4 | 6.2529295E-4 | 6.452804E-4 | 1.031965 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0054262993 | 0.00623609 | 0.006255965 | 1.0031872 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.639968E-6 | 8.791503E-6 | 1.8791416E-5 | 2.137452 | 1.0E-5 | 3.274231E-5 | 3.767736E-5 | 4.7676982E-5 | 1.2654014 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9856473E-4 | 4.586312E-4 | 4.78622E-4 | 1.043588 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003978506 | 0.004577433 | 0.0045973416 | 1.0043492 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.919831E-6 | 4.5334014E-6 | 4.5334014E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.679917E-5 | 1.942873E-5 | 1.942873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.045107E-4 | 2.3652123E-4 | 2.3652123E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020432258 | 0.0023629034 | 0.0023629034 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.6017933E-6 | 1.8570418E-6 | 1.8570418E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8648105E-6 | 7.958732E-6 | 7.958732E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.357586E-5 | 9.689432E-5 | 9.689432E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3544437E-4 | 9.686254E-4 | 9.686254E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hayward (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.570673E-4 | 4.0704943E-4 | 1.1399796 | 5.0E-5 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015294008 | 0.0015893091 | 1.0391711 | 6.0E-5 | 0.00939654 | 0.018463885 | 0.018532593 | 1.0037212 | 7.0E-5 | 0.090090066 | 0.1667085 | 0.16677515 | 1.0003998 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.570673E-4 | 4.0704943E-4 | 1.1399796 | 5.0E-5 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015294008 | 0.0015893091 | 1.0391711 | 6.0E-5 | 0.00939654 | 0.018463885 | 0.018532593 | 1.0037212 | 7.0E-5 | 0.090090066 | 0.1667085 | 0.16677515 | 1.0003998 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.570673E-4 | 4.0704943E-4 | 1.1399796 | 5.0E-5 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015294008 | 0.0015893091 | 1.0391711 | 6.0E-5 | 0.00939654 | 0.018463885 | 0.018532593 | 1.0037212 | 7.0E-5 | 0.090090066 | 0.1667085 | 0.16677515 | 1.0003998 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7322872E-4 | 3.4263515E-4 | 3.8262145E-4 | 1.1167022 | 4.0E-5 | 7.4219756E-4 | 0.0014676197 | 0.001507561 | 1.027215 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0089988755 | 0.017724147 | 0.017773261 | 1.002771 | 5.0E-5 | 0.08643075 | 0.16065954 | 0.1607099 | 1.0003134 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6334097E-4 | 3.2345165E-4 | 3.634387E-4 | 1.1236261 | 4.0E-5 | 6.998449E-4 | 0.0013854936 | 0.0014254382 | 1.0288305 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008487372 | 0.016739927 | 0.016779257 | 1.0023495 | 4.0E-5 | 0.081704415 | 0.15256606 | 0.15260842 | 1.0002778 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5600289E-4 | 3.101982E-4 | 3.501858E-4 | 1.1289098 | 4.0E-5 | 6.684125E-4 | 0.0013287518 | 0.0013686987 | 1.0300634 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008107598 | 0.016059443 | 0.016098801 | 1.0024507 | 4.0E-5 | 0.078181036 | 0.14684291 | 0.14688557 | 1.0002905 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4046066E-4 | 2.8034003E-4 | 3.2032884E-4 | 1.1426438 | 4.0E-5 | 6.018354E-4 | 0.0012009109 | 0.0012408629 | 1.0332681 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0073027555 | 0.014524571 | 0.01456399 | 1.0027139 | 4.0E-5 | 0.07067384 | 0.13393044 | 0.13397375 | 1.0003233 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.14696966E-4 | 2.3272466E-4 | 2.627177E-4 | 1.1288776 | 3.0E-5 | 4.914658E-4 | 9.970153E-4 | 0.0010269854 | 1.0300598 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0059671924 | 0.012072163 | 0.012101801 | 1.0024551 | 3.0E-5 | 0.058094822 | 0.11274141 | 0.112776905 | 1.0003148 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.3874296E-5 | 1.8862431E-4 | 2.0862053E-4 | 1.1060109 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0225635E-4 | 8.081431E-4 | 8.2812697E-4 | 1.0247281 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0048864787 | 0.009795489 | 0.009815293 | 1.0020218 | 2.0E-5 | 0.047804173 | 0.092592984 | 0.09262021 | 1.000294 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.551852E-5 | 1.0729875E-4 | 1.272966E-4 | 1.1863755 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3791482E-4 | 4.5977137E-4 | 4.7976218E-4 | 1.0434799 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028927654 | 0.005583468 | 0.005603356 | 1.003562 | 2.0E-5 | 0.028553981 | 0.054246075 | 0.05426499 | 1.0003487 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.2662363E-5 | 8.246792E-5 | 9.24671E-5 | 1.1212493 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8282588E-4 | 3.5338648E-4 | 3.6338295E-4 | 1.0282876 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022236328 | 0.0042940658 | 0.004304023 | 1.0023187 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022015138 | 0.04206509 | 0.04207467 | 1.0002277 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.305886E-5 | 6.302183E-5 | 6.302183E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4167312E-4 | 2.7006568E-4 | 2.7006568E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017235056 | 0.003283111 | 0.003283111 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017101998 | 0.032453902 | 0.032453902 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.9856887E-5 | 5.701622E-5 | 5.701622E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2795182E-4 | 2.4433242E-4 | 2.4433242E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015567001 | 0.0029707062 | 0.0029707062 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015458403 | 0.029454801 | 0.029454801 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.4559737E-5 | 4.599286E-5 | 4.599286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0525176E-4 | 1.9709744E-4 | 1.9709744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012806869 | 0.0023970334 | 0.0023970334 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012733313 | 0.023858516 | 0.023858516 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.9002231E-5 | 3.505084E-5 | 3.505084E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.143559E-5 | 1.502093E-4 | 1.502093E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.910273E-4 | 0.001827274 | 0.001827274 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009866194 | 0.018258808 | 0.018258808 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2783333E-5 | 2.3331182E-5 | 2.3331182E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4784563E-5 | 9.998698E-5 | 9.998698E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.667979E-4 | 0.0012166675 | 0.0012166675 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006648007 | 0.012209443 | 0.012209443 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.8149627E-6 | 8.888056E-6 | 8.888056E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.063539E-5 | 3.8091122E-5 | 3.8091122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5120692E-4 | 4.6366194E-4 | 4.6366194E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025092314 | 0.0046805087 | 0.0046805087 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.0838227E-7 | 1.205754E-6 | 1.205754E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6073499E-6 | 5.1675065E-6 | 5.1675065E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.174402E-5 | 6.291258E-5 | 6.291258E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1739488E-4 | 6.5296254E-4 | 6.5296254E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.5542808E-7 | 9.792941E-7 | 9.792941E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9518332E-6 | 4.196968E-6 | 4.196968E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.376331E-5 | 5.109689E-5 | 5.109689E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3760769E-4 | 5.321693E-4 | 5.321693E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.3016747E-7 | 7.3869535E-7 | 7.3869535E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4150027E-6 | 3.1658333E-6 | 3.1658333E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7227521E-5 | 3.854334E-5 | 3.854334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7226185E-4 | 3.9932923E-4 | 3.9932923E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.347038E-7 | 5.471963E-7 | 5.471963E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0058731E-6 | 2.3451248E-6 | 2.3451248E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2246436E-5 | 2.8551523E-5 | 2.8551523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2245761E-4 | 2.9357258E-4 | 2.9357258E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.18822804E-7 | 2.6060948E-7 | 2.6060948E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.092405E-7 | 1.1168972E-6 | 1.1168972E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1999854E-6 | 1.359814E-5 | 1.359814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.199812E-5 | 1.3918082E-4 | 1.3918082E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Stepovers Combined)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.144392E-5 | 1.976007E-5 | 5.975928E-5 | 3.0242443 | 4.0E-5 | 9.189928E-5 | 8.468338E-5 | 1.2468E-4 | 1.4723077 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011182994 | 0.0010305515 | 0.001110469 | 1.0775484 | 8.0E-5 | 0.011126885 | 0.010264617 | 0.010343797 | 1.0077138 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.144392E-5 | 1.976007E-5 | 5.975928E-5 | 3.0242443 | 4.0E-5 | 9.189928E-5 | 8.468338E-5 | 1.2468E-4 | 1.4723077 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011182994 | 0.0010305515 | 0.001110469 | 1.0775484 | 8.0E-5 | 0.011126885 | 0.010264617 | 0.010343797 | 1.0077138 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.144392E-5 | 1.976007E-5 | 5.975928E-5 | 3.0242443 | 4.0E-5 | 9.189928E-5 | 8.468338E-5 | 1.2468E-4 | 1.4723077 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011182994 | 0.0010305515 | 0.001110469 | 1.0775484 | 8.0E-5 | 0.011126885 | 0.010264617 | 0.010343797 | 1.0077138 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.7741326E-5 | 5.7740614E-5 | 3.2545831 | 4.0E-5 | 8.4646774E-5 | 7.603211E-5 | 1.1602907E-4 | 1.5260534 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010300872 | 9.25312E-4 | 0.0010052379 | 1.0863774 | 8.0E-5 | 0.010253254 | 0.0092209745 | 0.009300237 | 1.0085958 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.7741326E-5 | 5.7740614E-5 | 3.2545831 | 4.0E-5 | 8.4646774E-5 | 7.603211E-5 | 1.1602907E-4 | 1.5260534 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010300872 | 9.25312E-4 | 0.0010052379 | 1.0863774 | 8.0E-5 | 0.010253254 | 0.0092209745 | 0.009300237 | 1.0085958 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.7741326E-5 | 5.7740614E-5 | 3.2545831 | 4.0E-5 | 8.4646774E-5 | 7.603211E-5 | 1.1602907E-4 | 1.5260534 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010300872 | 9.25312E-4 | 0.0010052379 | 1.0863774 | 8.0E-5 | 0.010253254 | 0.0092209745 | 0.009300237 | 1.0085958 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9188685E-5 | 1.7003247E-5 | 5.7002566E-5 | 3.3524518 | 4.0E-5 | 8.2234634E-5 | 7.2869116E-5 | 1.128662E-4 | 1.5488894 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010007467 | 8.8683655E-4 | 9.6676557E-4 | 1.0901283 | 8.0E-5 | 0.00996252 | 0.008839546 | 0.008918839 | 1.0089703 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7608272E-5 | 1.4732402E-5 | 5.4731812E-5 | 3.7150638 | 4.0E-5 | 7.546184E-5 | 6.313739E-5 | 1.03134866E-4 | 1.633499 | 4.0E-5 | 9.183606E-4 | 7.684364E-4 | 8.3838264E-4 | 1.091024 | 7.0E-5 | 0.009145746 | 0.007664441 | 0.0077339043 | 1.0090631 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.697165E-5 | 1.3783126E-5 | 4.378271E-5 | 3.1765444 | 3.0E-5 | 7.273361E-5 | 5.906925E-5 | 8.906748E-5 | 1.5078485 | 3.0E-5 | 8.8517193E-4 | 7.189395E-4 | 7.788964E-4 | 1.0833962 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008816543 | 0.0071722106 | 0.0072317803 | 1.0083057 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.600365E-5 | 1.2846429E-5 | 4.2846044E-5 | 3.3352492 | 3.0E-5 | 6.858527E-5 | 5.5055007E-5 | 8.5053354E-5 | 1.5448796 | 3.0E-5 | 8.347058E-4 | 6.700963E-4 | 7.3005614E-4 | 1.0894793 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008315775 | 0.006686422 | 0.0067460206 | 1.0089134 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3314581E-5 | 1.044738E-5 | 3.044717E-5 | 2.9143355 | 2.0E-5 | 5.7061243E-5 | 4.4773733E-5 | 6.477284E-5 | 1.4466705 | 2.0E-5 | 6.944992E-4 | 5.449866E-4 | 5.8496476E-4 | 1.0733563 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006923327 | 0.005440055 | 0.005479838 | 1.0073129 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2865345E-5 | 9.937339E-6 | 2.993714E-5 | 3.0125911 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5136024E-5 | 4.258792E-5 | 6.258707E-5 | 1.4695967 | 2.0E-5 | 6.710743E-4 | 5.1838707E-4 | 5.5836636E-4 | 1.0771224 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0066905143 | 0.005175021 | 0.005214814 | 1.0076895 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1650051E-5 | 8.633585E-6 | 2.8633413E-5 | 3.3165147 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9927836E-5 | 3.7000562E-5 | 5.6999823E-5 | 1.5405123 | 2.0E-5 | 6.0770183E-4 | 4.503905E-4 | 4.903725E-4 | 1.0887718 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0060604266 | 0.00449624 | 0.0045360606 | 1.0088563 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0008533E-5 | 7.2008215E-6 | 1.720075E-5 | 2.3887205 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2893007E-5 | 3.0860305E-5 | 4.086E-5 | 1.3240309 | 1.0E-5 | 5.220972E-4 | 3.756609E-4 | 4.0564963E-4 | 1.0798292 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005208723 | 0.0037506663 | 0.0037805538 | 1.0079685 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.116759E-6 | 6.409854E-6 | 1.640979E-5 | 2.560088 | 1.0E-5 | 3.907124E-5 | 2.7470522E-5 | 3.7470247E-5 | 1.3640165 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7558855E-4 | 3.3440365E-4 | 3.5439697E-4 | 1.059788 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00474572 | 0.0033391542 | 0.0033590873 | 1.0059695 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.870524E-6 | 5.382316E-6 | 1.5382262E-5 | 2.8579264 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3730383E-5 | 2.306687E-5 | 3.306664E-5 | 1.4335122 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1059E-4 | 2.8080423E-4 | 3.0079862E-4 | 1.071204 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0040983222 | 0.0028046207 | 0.0028245647 | 1.0071111 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.9774537E-6 | 4.677398E-6 | 1.4677352E-5 | 3.1379306 | 1.0E-5 | 2.990303E-5 | 2.0045845E-5 | 3.0045645E-5 | 1.4988465 | 1.0E-5 | 3.640086E-4 | 2.44032E-4 | 2.6402713E-4 | 1.0819365 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003634129 | 0.0024377564 | 0.0024577077 | 1.0081843 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.1616954E-6 | 2.3281368E-6 | 1.2328113E-5 | 5.29527 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7835715E-5 | 9.977695E-6 | 1.9977595E-5 | 2.0022254 | 1.0E-5 | 2.171282E-4 | 1.2147242E-4 | 1.314712E-4 | 1.0823132 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021691616 | 0.0012141332 | 0.0012241211 | 1.0082263 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.384417E-8 | 9.384417E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0218927E-7 | 4.0218927E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.8966467E-6 | 4.8966467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.8965718E-5 | 4.8965718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4397174E-9 | 3.4397174E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4741646E-8 | 1.4741646E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7947953E-7 | 1.7947953E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.794794E-6 | 1.794794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Susana alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7198214E-5 | 5.7197398E-5 | 2.1029837 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.16559204E-4 | 1.5655454E-4 | 1.3431332 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014182981 | 0.0014682272 | 1.0352036 | 5.0E-5 | 0.013860362 | 0.014104388 | 0.014173401 | 1.004893 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7198214E-5 | 5.7197398E-5 | 2.1029837 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.16559204E-4 | 1.5655454E-4 | 1.3431332 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014182981 | 0.0014682272 | 1.0352036 | 5.0E-5 | 0.013860362 | 0.014104388 | 0.014173401 | 1.004893 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7198214E-5 | 5.7197398E-5 | 2.1029837 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.16559204E-4 | 1.5655454E-4 | 1.3431332 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014182981 | 0.0014682272 | 1.0352036 | 5.0E-5 | 0.013860362 | 0.014104388 | 0.014173401 | 1.004893 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7198214E-5 | 5.7197398E-5 | 2.1029837 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.16559204E-4 | 1.5655454E-4 | 1.3431332 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014182981 | 0.0014682272 | 1.0352036 | 5.0E-5 | 0.013860362 | 0.014104388 | 0.014173401 | 1.004893 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7198214E-5 | 5.7197398E-5 | 2.1029837 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.16559204E-4 | 1.5655454E-4 | 1.3431332 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014182981 | 0.0014682272 | 1.0352036 | 5.0E-5 | 0.013860362 | 0.014104388 | 0.014173401 | 1.004893 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7198214E-5 | 5.7197398E-5 | 2.1029837 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.16559204E-4 | 1.5655454E-4 | 1.3431332 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014182981 | 0.0014682272 | 1.0352036 | 5.0E-5 | 0.013860362 | 0.014104388 | 0.014173401 | 1.004893 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.6647976E-5 | 2.7074553E-5 | 5.707374E-5 | 2.1080215 | 3.0E-5 | 1.14200615E-4 | 1.16029274E-4 | 1.5602463E-4 | 1.3447006 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013895056 | 0.0014118546 | 0.001461784 | 1.0353644 | 5.0E-5 | 0.013808494 | 0.014040773 | 0.01410979 | 1.0049155 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6647976E-5 | 2.7074553E-5 | 5.707374E-5 | 2.1080215 | 3.0E-5 | 1.14200615E-4 | 1.16029274E-4 | 1.5602463E-4 | 1.3447006 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013895056 | 0.0014118546 | 0.001461784 | 1.0353644 | 5.0E-5 | 0.013808494 | 0.014040773 | 0.01410979 | 1.0049155 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.9073179E-5 | 1.7637467E-5 | 4.763694E-5 | 2.7008946 | 3.0E-5 | 8.1739636E-5 | 7.558706E-5 | 1.1558403E-4 | 1.5291512 | 4.0E-5 | 9.947256E-4 | 9.19902E-4 | 9.69856E-4 | 1.0543036 | 5.0E-5 | 0.009902848 | 0.009163361 | 0.00923272 | 1.0075691 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.9041876E-5 | 1.7619597E-5 | 4.761907E-5 | 2.7026196 | 3.0E-5 | 8.160549E-5 | 7.551048E-5 | 1.1550746E-4 | 1.5296878 | 4.0E-5 | 9.930939E-4 | 9.189705E-4 | 9.6892455E-4 | 1.0543587 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0098866755 | 0.009154123 | 0.009223483 | 1.0075768 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.5917482E-5 | 1.3864049E-5 | 4.3863634E-5 | 3.16384 | 3.0E-5 | 6.8215995E-5 | 5.9416023E-5 | 9.941365E-5 | 1.673179 | 4.0E-5 | 8.302132E-4 | 7.2315463E-4 | 7.731185E-4 | 1.0690916 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008271185 | 0.0072090672 | 0.0072785625 | 1.00964 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.577788E-5 | 1.3744056E-5 | 4.3743643E-5 | 3.1827319 | 3.0E-5 | 6.761774E-5 | 5.890179E-5 | 9.8899436E-5 | 1.6790565 | 4.0E-5 | 8.2293496E-4 | 7.16898E-4 | 7.668622E-4 | 1.0696949 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008198941 | 0.0071469042 | 0.007216404 | 1.0097245 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.5416446E-5 | 1.34701295E-5 | 4.3469725E-5 | 3.22712 | 3.0E-5 | 6.606882E-5 | 5.7727877E-5 | 9.772557E-5 | 1.6928661 | 4.0E-5 | 8.0409093E-4 | 7.026149E-4 | 7.5257977E-4 | 1.0711128 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008011877 | 0.0070049763 | 0.007074486 | 1.0099229 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4534083E-5 | 1.2718032E-5 | 4.271765E-5 | 3.3588257 | 3.0E-5 | 6.228744E-5 | 5.4504737E-5 | 9.450255E-5 | 1.7338412 | 4.0E-5 | 7.580857E-4 | 6.633976E-4 | 7.133644E-4 | 1.0753195 | 5.0E-5 | 0.007555048 | 0.0066151717 | 0.0066847084 | 1.0105118 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.2858995E-5 | 1.1229814E-5 | 4.1229476E-5 | 3.67143 | 3.0E-5 | 5.5108816E-5 | 4.812691E-5 | 8.812498E-5 | 1.8310959 | 4.0E-5 | 6.7074323E-4 | 5.8579154E-4 | 6.3576223E-4 | 1.0853046 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0066872234 | 0.0058433902 | 0.0059129815 | 1.0119094 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.827668E-6 | 7.805494E-6 | 7.805494E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7832317E-5 | 3.3451703E-5 | 4.3451368E-5 | 1.2989285 | 1.0E-5 | 4.605111E-4 | 4.072008E-4 | 4.2719266E-4 | 1.0490959 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045955796 | 0.0040648985 | 0.0040947767 | 1.0073502 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.2533426E-6 | 2.8720106E-6 | 2.8720106E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3942822E-5 | 1.230856E-5 | 1.230856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6974064E-4 | 1.4984679E-4 | 1.4984679E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016961104 | 0.0014974943 | 0.0015074793 | 1.0066679 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.2751709E-6 | 1.1491339E-6 | 1.1491339E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4650063E-6 | 4.9248506E-6 | 4.9248506E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653442E-5 | 5.99585E-5 | 5.99585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6514505E-4 | 5.9943215E-4 | 5.9943215E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.067544E-7 | 3.240052E-7 | 3.240052E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3146611E-6 | 1.3885931E-6 | 1.3885931E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.600588E-5 | 1.6906E-5 | 1.6906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6004729E-4 | 1.6904817E-4 | 1.6904817E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.622999E-8 | 8.0879715E-8 | 8.0879715E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2669993E-7 | 3.4662733E-7 | 3.4662733E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.977564E-6 | 4.220182E-6 | 4.220182E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.977493E-5 | 4.2201224E-5 | 4.2201224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Los Alamos 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7517333E-6 | 1.4751686E-5 | 3.1044853 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0364423E-5 | 4.0364015E-5 | 1.982085 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.479104E-4 | 3.0789553E-4 | 1.2419629 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024765125 | 0.002546339 | 1.0281955 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7517333E-6 | 1.4751686E-5 | 3.1044853 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0364423E-5 | 4.0364015E-5 | 1.982085 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.479104E-4 | 3.0789553E-4 | 1.2419629 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024765125 | 0.002546339 | 1.0281955 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7517333E-6 | 1.4751686E-5 | 3.1044853 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0364423E-5 | 4.0364015E-5 | 1.982085 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.479104E-4 | 3.0789553E-4 | 1.2419629 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024765125 | 0.002546339 | 1.0281955 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7517333E-6 | 1.4751686E-5 | 3.1044853 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0364423E-5 | 4.0364015E-5 | 1.982085 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.479104E-4 | 3.0789553E-4 | 1.2419629 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024765125 | 0.002546339 | 1.0281955 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7517333E-6 | 1.4751686E-5 | 3.1044853 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0364423E-5 | 4.0364015E-5 | 1.982085 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.479104E-4 | 3.0789553E-4 | 1.2419629 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024765125 | 0.002546339 | 1.0281955 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7517333E-6 | 1.4751686E-5 | 3.1044853 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0364423E-5 | 4.0364015E-5 | 1.982085 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.479104E-4 | 3.0789553E-4 | 1.2419629 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024765125 | 0.002546339 | 1.0281955 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7517333E-6 | 1.4751686E-5 | 3.1044853 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0364423E-5 | 4.0364015E-5 | 1.982085 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.479104E-4 | 3.0789553E-4 | 1.2419629 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024765125 | 0.002546339 | 1.0281955 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.062321E-6 | 4.166351E-6 | 4.166351E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7409831E-5 | 1.7855677E-5 | 2.7855498E-5 | 1.560036 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1194408E-4 | 2.1737268E-4 | 2.5736398E-4 | 1.1839758 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0021174205 | 0.0021717504 | 0.0022216418 | 1.022973 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.062321E-6 | 4.166351E-6 | 4.166351E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7409831E-5 | 1.7855677E-5 | 2.7855498E-5 | 1.560036 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1194408E-4 | 2.1737268E-4 | 2.5736398E-4 | 1.1839758 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0021174205 | 0.0021717504 | 0.0022216418 | 1.022973 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.2936077E-6 | 3.37296E-6 | 3.37296E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4115385E-5 | 1.4455468E-5 | 2.4455323E-5 | 1.6917697 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7184127E-4 | 1.7598206E-4 | 2.1597501E-4 | 1.227256 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017170844 | 0.0017585196 | 0.0018084316 | 1.028383 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.1687898E-6 | 3.2448177E-6 | 3.2448177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3580457E-5 | 1.3906293E-5 | 2.3906154E-5 | 1.7190889 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6532952E-4 | 1.692969E-4 | 2.0929011E-4 | 1.2362313 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016520657 | 0.0016917707 | 0.0017416861 | 1.0295048 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.9379228E-6 | 3.007328E-6 | 3.007328E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.25910365E-5 | 1.288849E-5 | 2.2888362E-5 | 1.775876 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5328509E-4 | 1.5690697E-4 | 1.969007E-4 | 1.2548882 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001531794 | 0.001568051 | 0.0016179726 | 1.0318367 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0020686E-6 | 2.041632E-6 | 2.041632E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.580266E-6 | 8.749822E-6 | 8.749822E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0445973E-4 | 1.0652392E-4 | 1.2652179E-4 | 1.1877313 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010441064 | 0.001064733 | 0.0010947011 | 1.028146 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.7364243E-6 | 1.7678824E-6 | 1.7678824E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.441797E-6 | 7.576617E-6 | 7.576617E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0600115E-5 | 9.224144E-5 | 1.1223959E-4 | 1.2168022 | 2.0E-5 | 9.0563187E-4 | 9.2203467E-4 | 9.52007E-4 | 1.0325067 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.5718434E-6 | 1.5983198E-6 | 1.5983198E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7364545E-6 | 6.8499244E-6 | 6.8499244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.201325E-5 | 8.339467E-5 | 1.03392995E-4 | 1.2398034 | 2.0E-5 | 8.198299E-4 | 8.3363673E-4 | 8.636117E-4 | 1.0359569 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3841119E-6 | 1.4042814E-6 | 1.4042814E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9318945E-6 | 6.018335E-6 | 6.018335E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.221842E-5 | 7.327079E-5 | 9.326933E-5 | 1.27294 | 2.0E-5 | 7.2194956E-4 | 7.3246926E-4 | 7.6244725E-4 | 1.0409274 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0843726E-6 | 1.0934443E-6 | 1.0934443E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.647303E-6 | 4.6861815E-6 | 4.6861815E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6579443E-5 | 5.705279E-5 | 6.705222E-5 | 1.1752663 | 1.0E-5 | 5.656504E-4 | 5.70384E-4 | 5.903726E-4 | 1.0350441 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.544814E-7 | 5.501884E-7 | 5.501884E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3763469E-6 | 2.3579482E-6 | 2.3579482E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8931638E-5 | 2.8707644E-5 | 2.8707644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8927872E-4 | 2.870395E-4 | 2.870395E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.0707465E-7 | 1.9778598E-7 | 1.9778598E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.874625E-7 | 8.476539E-7 | 8.476539E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08048025E-5 | 1.0320137E-5 | 1.0320137E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0804277E-4 | 1.0319663E-4 | 1.0319663E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.9821284E-8 | 3.4331528E-8 | 3.4331528E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7066264E-7 | 1.4713511E-7 | 1.4713511E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0778157E-6 | 1.7913685E-6 | 1.7913685E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0777963E-5 | 1.7913546E-5 | 1.7913546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 7.880441E-11 | 8.2353124E-11 | 8.2353124E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3773329E-10 | 3.52942E-10 | 3.52942E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1119033E-9 | 4.2970694E-9 | 4.2970694E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1119034E-8 | 4.2970694E-8 | 4.2970694E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Channel Islands Western Deep Ramp
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2548684E-6 | 2.6254744E-5 | 4.1974893 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6806329E-5 | 4.680579E-5 | 1.7460725 | 2.0E-5 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2632265E-4 | 3.8630306E-4 | 1.1838071 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032588763 | 0.0033286482 | 1.0214097 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2548684E-6 | 2.6254744E-5 | 4.1974893 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6806329E-5 | 4.680579E-5 | 1.7460725 | 2.0E-5 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2632265E-4 | 3.8630306E-4 | 1.1838071 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032588763 | 0.0033286482 | 1.0214097 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2548684E-6 | 2.6254744E-5 | 4.1974893 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6806329E-5 | 4.680579E-5 | 1.7460725 | 2.0E-5 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2632265E-4 | 3.8630306E-4 | 1.1838071 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032588763 | 0.0033286482 | 1.0214097 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2548684E-6 | 2.6254744E-5 | 4.1974893 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6806329E-5 | 4.680579E-5 | 1.7460725 | 2.0E-5 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2632265E-4 | 3.8630306E-4 | 1.1838071 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032588763 | 0.0033286482 | 1.0214097 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2548684E-6 | 2.6254744E-5 | 4.1974893 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6806329E-5 | 4.680579E-5 | 1.7460725 | 2.0E-5 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2632265E-4 | 3.8630306E-4 | 1.1838071 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032588763 | 0.0033286482 | 1.0214097 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2548684E-6 | 2.6254744E-5 | 4.1974893 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6806329E-5 | 4.680579E-5 | 1.7460725 | 2.0E-5 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2632265E-4 | 3.8630306E-4 | 1.1838071 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032588763 | 0.0033286482 | 1.0214097 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2548684E-6 | 2.6254744E-5 | 4.1974893 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6806329E-5 | 4.680579E-5 | 1.7460725 | 2.0E-5 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2632265E-4 | 3.8630306E-4 | 1.1838071 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032588763 | 0.0033286482 | 1.0214097 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.313309E-6 | 5.5252403E-6 | 1.5525186E-5 | 2.809866 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2771126E-5 | 2.367941E-5 | 3.3679175E-5 | 1.4222978 | 1.0E-5 | 2.772032E-4 | 2.8826276E-4 | 3.182541E-4 | 1.1040417 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0027685766 | 0.0028792918 | 0.0029191766 | 1.0138524 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.313309E-6 | 5.5252403E-6 | 1.5525186E-5 | 2.809866 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2771126E-5 | 2.367941E-5 | 3.3679175E-5 | 1.4222978 | 1.0E-5 | 2.772032E-4 | 2.8826276E-4 | 3.182541E-4 | 1.1040417 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0027685766 | 0.0028792918 | 0.0029191766 | 1.0138524 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.744377E-6 | 4.9394303E-6 | 1.4939381E-5 | 3.024515 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0332885E-5 | 2.1168837E-5 | 3.1168624E-5 | 1.4723825 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4752476E-4 | 2.5770385E-4 | 2.876961E-4 | 1.1163827 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0024724922 | 0.0025744175 | 0.0026143144 | 1.0154974 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.722209E-6 | 4.9164732E-6 | 1.4916424E-5 | 3.0339684 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0237881E-5 | 2.107045E-5 | 3.1070238E-5 | 1.4745883 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4636835E-4 | 2.5650626E-4 | 2.8649857E-4 | 1.1169262 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002460954 | 0.0025624693 | 0.0026023667 | 1.0155699 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.611174E-6 | 4.801409E-6 | 1.48013605E-5 | 3.082712 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9762025E-5 | 2.0577325E-5 | 3.057712E-5 | 1.4859618 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4057609E-4 | 2.5050386E-4 | 2.8049634E-4 | 1.1197287 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002403158 | 0.002502582 | 0.0025424818 | 1.0159435 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.043994E-6 | 4.2120264E-6 | 1.4211984E-5 | 3.374144 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7331287E-5 | 1.8051438E-5 | 2.8051258E-5 | 1.5539625 | 1.0E-5 | 2.10988E-4 | 2.1975765E-4 | 2.4975106E-4 | 1.136484 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002107878 | 0.0021957543 | 0.0022356664 | 1.018177 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.1233036E-6 | 2.2297875E-6 | 2.2297875E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.099841E-6 | 9.556197E-6 | 9.556197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1078493E-4 | 1.1634055E-4 | 1.1634055E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011072971 | 0.001162802 | 0.001162802 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.9051884E-6 | 2.0014973E-6 | 2.0014973E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.165067E-6 | 8.577817E-6 | 8.577817E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.940516E-5 | 1.0442998E-4 | 1.0442998E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.93607E-4 | 0.0010438144 | 0.0010438144 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2408497E-6 | 1.3038839E-6 | 1.3038839E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.317916E-6 | 5.588062E-6 | 5.588062E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4743705E-5 | 6.8032554E-5 | 6.8032554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4724847E-4 | 6.8011944E-4 | 6.8011944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.5440025E-7 | 6.886718E-7 | 6.886718E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8045695E-6 | 2.9514472E-6 | 2.9514472E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4145098E-5 | 3.593329E-5 | 3.593329E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4139853E-4 | 3.5927625E-4 | 3.5927625E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.985963E-7 | 4.1930787E-7 | 4.1930787E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7082689E-6 | 1.7970326E-6 | 1.7970326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0797976E-5 | 2.1878664E-5 | 2.1878664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0796029E-4 | 2.1876628E-4 | 2.1876628E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.706329E-8 | 3.8591796E-8 | 3.8591796E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5884267E-7 | 1.653934E-7 | 1.653934E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9339077E-6 | 2.0136629E-6 | 2.0136629E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.933891E-5 | 2.0136458E-5 | 2.0136458E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pine Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2254716E-6 | 3.7225254E-5 | 5.151948 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0965955E-5 | 6.0965027E-5 | 1.9687759 | 3.0E-5 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7694827E-4 | 4.169332E-4 | 1.1060754 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037633865 | 0.003833123 | 1.0185302 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2254716E-6 | 3.7225254E-5 | 5.151948 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0965955E-5 | 6.0965027E-5 | 1.9687759 | 3.0E-5 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7694827E-4 | 4.169332E-4 | 1.1060754 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037633865 | 0.003833123 | 1.0185302 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2254716E-6 | 3.7225254E-5 | 5.151948 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0965955E-5 | 6.0965027E-5 | 1.9687759 | 3.0E-5 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7694827E-4 | 4.169332E-4 | 1.1060754 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037633865 | 0.003833123 | 1.0185302 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2254716E-6 | 3.7225254E-5 | 5.151948 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0965955E-5 | 6.0965027E-5 | 1.9687759 | 3.0E-5 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7694827E-4 | 4.169332E-4 | 1.1060754 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037633865 | 0.003833123 | 1.0185302 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2254716E-6 | 3.7225254E-5 | 5.151948 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0965955E-5 | 6.0965027E-5 | 1.9687759 | 3.0E-5 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7694827E-4 | 4.169332E-4 | 1.1060754 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037633865 | 0.003833123 | 1.0185302 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2254716E-6 | 3.7225254E-5 | 5.151948 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0965955E-5 | 6.0965027E-5 | 1.9687759 | 3.0E-5 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7694827E-4 | 4.169332E-4 | 1.1060754 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037633865 | 0.003833123 | 1.0185302 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2254716E-6 | 3.7225254E-5 | 5.151948 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0965955E-5 | 6.0965027E-5 | 1.9687759 | 3.0E-5 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7694827E-4 | 4.169332E-4 | 1.1060754 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037633865 | 0.003833123 | 1.0185302 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.0867933E-6 | 6.397124E-6 | 3.639693E-5 | 5.6895776 | 3.0E-5 | 2.6085996E-5 | 2.7415968E-5 | 5.7415145E-5 | 2.0942228 | 3.0E-5 | 3.1755073E-4 | 3.337405E-4 | 3.7372715E-4 | 1.1198136 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0031709734 | 0.0033326119 | 0.0034023786 | 1.0209346 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.6530425E-6 | 5.950606E-6 | 2.5950487E-5 | 4.3609824 | 2.0E-5 | 2.42271E-5 | 2.5502359E-5 | 4.550185E-5 | 1.7842212 | 2.0E-5 | 2.94925E-4 | 3.1044905E-4 | 3.3044282E-4 | 1.0644028 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002945339 | 0.0031003582 | 0.0031502033 | 1.0160772 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.6015225E-6 | 4.8638444E-6 | 2.4863748E-5 | 5.1119537 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9720663E-5 | 2.084489E-5 | 4.0844472E-5 | 1.9594477 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4007261E-4 | 2.5375842E-4 | 2.7375337E-4 | 1.0787951 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023981342 | 0.002534831 | 0.0025647548 | 1.011805 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.4875965E-6 | 4.7474837E-6 | 2.4747389E-5 | 5.212738 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9232413E-5 | 2.0346208E-5 | 4.03458E-5 | 1.9829642 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3412947E-4 | 2.4768838E-4 | 2.676834E-4 | 1.0807266 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023388295 | 0.0024742668 | 0.0025041925 | 1.0120949 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.203907E-6 | 3.42942E-6 | 1.3429386E-5 | 3.915935 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3730958E-5 | 1.4697435E-5 | 2.4697289E-5 | 1.6803808 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6716159E-4 | 1.7892725E-4 | 1.8892546E-4 | 1.0558786 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016703589 | 0.001787898 | 0.0018078622 | 1.0111663 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.2060601E-6 | 2.3784874E-6 | 1.2378464E-5 | 5.204343 | 1.0E-5 | 9.4545085E-6 | 1.019348E-5 | 2.0193378E-5 | 1.9810092 | 1.0E-5 | 1.15102564E-4 | 1.2409901E-4 | 1.3409776E-4 | 1.0805708 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011504296 | 0.0012403419 | 0.0012603172 | 1.0161046 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.3765207E-6 | 1.5216535E-6 | 1.5216535E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.899361E-6 | 6.5213567E-6 | 6.5213567E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.182235E-5 | 7.939472E-5 | 7.939472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1799144E-4 | 7.9367263E-4 | 8.036647E-4 | 1.0125897 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.1245983E-6 | 1.2587126E-6 | 1.2587126E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.819698E-6 | 5.394472E-6 | 5.394472E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8678244E-5 | 6.56758E-5 | 6.56758E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.866275E-4 | 6.565722E-4 | 6.565722E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.031682E-7 | 9.276999E-7 | 9.276999E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4421448E-6 | 3.975851E-6 | 3.975851E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1907308E-5 | 4.840498E-5 | 4.840498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1899405E-4 | 4.8395112E-4 | 4.8395112E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.8953444E-7 | 6.0030544E-7 | 6.0030544E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.098003E-6 | 2.5727354E-6 | 2.5727354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5542888E-5 | 3.1322652E-5 | 3.1322652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5539953E-4 | 3.1318725E-4 | 3.1318725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.634529E-8 | 6.788826E-8 | 6.788826E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.843369E-7 | 2.9094966E-7 | 2.9094966E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4617963E-6 | 3.5423066E-6 | 3.5423066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4617424E-5 | 3.542255E-5 | 3.542255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 9.235578E-9 | 9.488566E-9 | 9.488566E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9581046E-8 | 4.0665284E-8 | 4.0665284E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.818991E-7 | 4.950997E-7 | 4.950997E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8189804E-6 | 4.950988E-6 | 4.950988E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (Lake Isabella) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0016344E-6 | 2.4001554E-5 | 5.997938 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149758E-5 | 5.714907E-5 | 3.3323543 | 4.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878017E-4 | 2.7876557E-4 | 1.3352109 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.002086024 | 0.002155878 | 1.0334866 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0016344E-6 | 2.4001554E-5 | 5.997938 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149758E-5 | 5.714907E-5 | 3.3323543 | 4.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878017E-4 | 2.7876557E-4 | 1.3352109 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.002086024 | 0.002155878 | 1.0334866 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0016344E-6 | 2.4001554E-5 | 5.997938 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149758E-5 | 5.714907E-5 | 3.3323543 | 4.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878017E-4 | 2.7876557E-4 | 1.3352109 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.002086024 | 0.002155878 | 1.0334866 | 7.0E-5 |
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