Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions

Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)

Table Of Contents

Garlock (Central)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.5131142E-57.02476E-50.126461371800.22330.12642.3625491E-43.0102677E-40.13499047448.433440.134730.00287260950.0036589060.1488258140.6749460.14570.0283575910.0361366570.18339575.075060.15278
6.15.5131142E-57.02476E-50.126461371800.22330.12642.3625491E-43.0102677E-40.13499047448.433440.134730.00287260950.0036589060.1488258140.6749460.14570.0283575910.0361366570.18339575.075060.15278
6.24.216245E-55.1661802E-50.076527711481.3210.076481.806837E-42.213891E-40.08169335369.003480.081490.00219760460.0026921120.0905748833.6445470.088120.0217599890.0267013180.116575724.36591630.09234
6.34.216245E-55.1661802E-50.076527711481.3210.076481.806837E-42.213891E-40.08169335369.003480.081490.00219760460.0026921120.0905748833.6445470.088120.0217599890.0267013180.116575724.36591630.09234
6.43.6858168E-54.411026E-50.0587015231330.79060.058661.5795401E-41.8903041E-40.062827185332.365480.062650.00192139370.00229904130.0700429430.4661480.06790.0190486550.0228660980.092408724.0412980.07117
6.53.39199E-54.0018425E-50.0527979061319.340.052761.453629E-41.7149639E-40.05646184329.23050.05630.00176835650.00208599070.0630685230.2343220.061110.0175435080.0207587830.083498774.02233460.06407
6.63.3571985E-53.947258E-50.052777391337.06460.052741.4387199E-41.6915736E-40.05642964333.59260.056270.00175023420.00205756720.0630118930.6244640.061080.0173651330.0204800420.08320854.06290670.06404
6.73.2580007E-53.808902E-50.0508361531334.66690.05081.3962112E-41.6322857E-40.054394376333.240540.054240.00169856170.00198551780.0607286530.58580.058860.0168563720.0197708740.080251014.05905250.0617
6.83.2185937E-53.7516216E-50.049805651327.57650.049771.3793244E-41.60774E-40.053312227331.597350.053160.00167803370.00195568750.05948296230.4153730.057640.0166541920.0194778780.0787210244.04156060.06042
6.93.165394E-53.672075E-50.048474941320.09670.048441.3565269E-41.5736527E-40.05184923329.48330.05170.00165032020.001914260.0578869130.2398360.056080.016381180.0190715180.0767795444.02587460.05883
7.03.0903822E-53.562591E-50.0469839541318.81410.046951.3243823E-41.5267366E-40.050225027328.969850.050080.00161124280.00185723820.05602644830.1665380.054270.0159961040.0185134930.074418964.0197150.05696
7.13.0069863E-53.4392175E-50.044972851307.64770.044941.2886449E-41.4738683E-40.04802033325.811550.047880.00156779590.00179297870.05351008529.8442380.051810.015567810.017880990.071219873.9829940.05431
7.22.7957109E-53.128141E-50.037140121187.29040.037111.1981068E-41.3405642E-40.039608765295.463380.039480.00145771880.00163093450.04416145827.0773940.04260.0144819370.0162843520.0602367673.69905830.04468
7.32.4519275E-52.6714602E-50.026046019974.973140.026021.0507837E-41.1448621E-40.027841311243.184840.027730.00127857830.0013929930.0313112622.4776860.029960.0127124690.013928610.0449701363.22861620.03148
7.42.3225532E-52.5199166E-50.023474608931.562870.023459.95342E-51.0799204E-40.025045298231.9180.024940.00121115510.00131402440.02826855921.5129620.026990.0120457530.0131461960.041133373.12891820.02836
7.52.097765E-52.2483406E-50.018422069819.36290.01848.9901114E-59.6353964E-50.019684466204.293270.019590.00109399650.001172490.02228770419.0088650.021140.0108862640.01174065750.033768962.87624070.02229
7.61.511254E-51.5990969E-50.010285826643.227230.010276.476642E-56.8530964E-50.010957785159.895370.010897.882459E-48.34053E-40.01262421115.13598250.01180.0078545580.0083838670.0207394042.47372770.01246
7.79.934069E-61.0678523E-50.003430642321.26560.003424.2573887E-54.5764296E-50.003685597880.534340.003645.182138E-45.570383E-40.00456480458.19477750.004010.005170070.0056274190.0099032211.75981580.0043
7.86.7562896E-68.42837E-60.0021384105253.715770.002132.8955206E-53.6121084E-50.002326038464.3955840.002293.5247262E-44.3968562E-40.00293858656.68338060.00250.00351914060.0044464160.0070746781.59109660.00264
7.93.975453E-65.3710532E-60.001125365209.52410.001121.7037546E-52.3018596E-50.001222990953.130560.00122.0741238E-42.8021546E-40.00157985115.6379870.00130.0020721890.00283356690.0042196281.48915780.00139
8.01.6729537E-62.0775192E-63.6207677E-4174.283233.6E-47.169782E-68.903624E-63.7890032E-442.5557443.7E-48.7288594E-51.0839626E-45.283507E-44.87425234.2E-48.7254314E-40.0010968540.00153637141.40070724.4E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1489736E-74.0314884E-5128.025474.0E-51.5742813E-61.3495595E-64.1349507E-530.639264.0E-51.9166706E-51.643078E-56.642996E-54.04301935.0E-51.9165053E-41.662928E-42.1628448E-41.30062455.0E-5

Little Lake

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.8424427E-53.1205716E-50.0606493131943.53220.060621.2181328E-41.3373268E-40.06489507485.259640.064770.00148206770.00162711250.07165298644.03690.070140.0147222230.0161653980.088654335.48420330.07368
6.12.8424427E-53.1205716E-50.0606493131943.53220.060621.2181328E-41.3373268E-40.06489507485.259640.064770.00148206770.00162711250.07165298644.03690.070140.0147222230.0161653980.088654335.48420330.07368
6.22.8424427E-53.1205716E-50.0606493131943.53220.060621.2181328E-41.3373268E-40.06489507485.259640.064770.00148206770.00162711250.07165298644.03690.070140.0147222230.0161653980.088654335.48420330.07368
6.31.48860645E-51.6081383E-50.04241542637.54660.04246.379586E-56.8918554E-50.045385797658.54250.045327.7643775E-48.387886E-40.04975772359.320930.048960.0077373050.0083590450.059299647.0940690.05137
6.41.48860645E-51.6081383E-50.04241542637.54660.04246.379586E-56.8918554E-50.045385797658.54250.045327.7643775E-48.387886E-40.04975772359.320930.048960.0077373050.0083590450.059299647.0940690.05137
6.51.2797581E-51.376556E-50.039713222884.96950.03975.4845623E-55.8994065E-50.042456493719.673950.04246.675408E-47.1804173E-40.0465451164.8222960.045860.0066553920.0071597670.0548955247.6672220.04808
6.69.661896E-61.0289033E-50.034889933390.98270.034884.1407468E-54.40952E-50.03731245846.179440.037275.040193E-45.36743E-40.0408950776.191150.040380.0050287770.00535607150.047509088.8701350.04238
6.77.767871E-68.199681E-60.0309679453776.72560.030963.329045E-53.5141096E-50.033133976942.884030.03314.0523586E-44.2777258E-40.03626243884.770360.035850.0040449770.0042708430.041680399.7592880.03757
6.86.4235196E-66.735739E-60.0244765713633.8360.024472.752908E-52.8867207E-50.026198111907.53890.026173.35115E-43.5141438E-40.02870144981.674090.028360.0033461010.00350984720.0330657449.420850.02966
6.93.1283696E-63.1121751E-60.0157330635055.3270.015731.3407229E-51.33378335E-50.0168131141260.55810.01681.6322079E-41.6237753E-40.018409414113.3741460.018250.00163100950.00162273720.02070172712.7572890.01911
7.02.290603E-62.2286763E-60.0099822074478.9850.009989.816834E-69.551441E-60.010569451106.58190.010561.19513395E-41.1628362E-40.01155495499.368710.011440.00119449140.00116232990.01312840511.2949050.01198
7.11.293693E-61.1776774E-60.0047111724000.39280.004715.5443866E-65.047183E-60.00506502161003.534360.005066.750081E-56.1448416E-50.00554111290.175010.005486.7480316E-46.1438273E-40.006350856310.336970.00574
7.24.715842E-73.091732E-72.003091E-4647.88642.0E-42.0210737E-61.3250274E-62.2132474E-4167.034092.2E-42.4606294E-51.6132095E-52.3612854E-414.6371912.2E-42.460357E-41.6130977E-43.9127268E-42.42559812.3E-4
7.33.9430947E-72.3096938E-71.4023094E-4607.14081.4E-41.6898966E-69.898685E-71.5098973E-4152.535141.5E-42.0574296E-51.2051582E-51.6204978E-413.4463481.5E-42.0572392E-41.2050936E-42.804901E-42.32753781.6E-4
7.43.547123E-71.9678579E-71.3019676E-4661.61671.3E-41.5201948E-68.433674E-71.4084324E-4167.001051.4E-41.8508214E-51.02679505E-51.5026651E-414.6345191.4E-41.8506673E-41.0267482E-42.5265943E-42.4607731.5E-4
7.52.6354266E-71.4422719E-77.014422E-5486.34537.0E-51.129468E-66.1811636E-78.061807E-5130.425388.0E-51.3751187E-57.525541E-68.752494E-511.6303848.0E-51.3750336E-47.5252916E-51.552469E-42.06300168.0E-5
7.61.269913E-77.572344E-84.007572E-5529.2384.0E-55.4424834E-73.24529E-75.0324514E-5155.069385.0E-56.6262032E-63.9511337E-65.3950935E-513.6545465.0E-56.626006E-53.9510673E-58.950869E-52.2654315.0E-5

Tank Canyon

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.8284557E-55.796445E-50.05589473964.29320.055842.0691741E-42.4839927E-40.060603403243.975780.060370.00251630880.00302073360.0694095922.9777240.066590.024880060.0298636160.0984910653.29802870.07074
6.11.7796336E-52.0873378E-50.018130496868.594240.018117.626778E-58.945448E-50.019827688221.651150.019749.281647E-40.00108860240.02293479421.0681110.021870.0092429750.0108366420.0340523053.142330.02347
6.21.7796336E-52.0873378E-50.018130496868.594240.018117.626778E-58.945448E-50.019827688221.651150.019749.281647E-40.00108860240.02293479421.0681110.021870.0092429750.0108366420.0340523053.142330.02347
6.31.3515912E-51.5759651E-50.012895557818.264040.012885.792405E-56.7539746E-50.014236582210.788210.014177.049971E-48.2200987E-40.0165390820.1202930.015730.0070276470.0081921570.0249834643.04968070.01693
6.41.0870146E-51.2618114E-50.0093625741.98890.009354.658551E-55.4076605E-50.01033352191.090410.010285.67031E-46.582015E-40.01208067918.3540730.011430.0056558630.0065643820.0188035092.8644750.01232
6.57.964826E-69.196184E-60.006199139674.09910.006193.4134522E-53.941168E-50.006859143174.038330.006824.1550855E-44.797421E-40.00801612516.7092380.007540.00414732470.0047882090.012919092.69810460.00817
6.66.6317E-67.612378E-60.0046175774606.5880.004612.8421264E-53.262412E-50.0051124585156.707930.005083.4597394E-43.9713533E-40.005984915415.0702160.005590.00345435790.00396525160.0100410642.5322640.0061
6.74.793663E-65.4308593E-60.002545417468.69510.002542.0544108E-52.3274928E-50.0028532092122.5872340.002832.500958E-42.833398E-40.00336246711.8672610.003080.00249814520.00283031890.00619078062.18730850.00337
6.84.382823E-64.969325E-60.0023149578465.849550.002311.8783392E-52.1296957E-50.0026112418122.611030.002592.286638E-42.5926388E-40.003068535411.8355680.002810.00228428650.00259012330.0056820942.19375420.0031
6.92.729601E-63.0735862E-60.0010230704332.85890.001021.1698237E-51.3172453E-50.001213156692.098010.00121.4241673E-41.6036403E-40.00143016048.9182120.001270.0014232550.00160248080.00299025331.86601510.00139
7.01.8987357E-62.126971E-64.921259E-4231.374074.9E-48.137413E-69.115562E-65.991102E-465.723895.9E-49.90685E-51.1097702E-47.109104E-46.4059256.0E-49.902435E-40.00110928460.00175856361.58531326.5E-4
7.11.4928986E-61.6641525E-62.816637E-4169.253522.8E-46.398121E-67.132066E-63.5712958E-450.0737883.5E-47.789434E-58.6830034E-54.4679877E-45.1456713.6E-47.786704E-48.6801895E-40.00125768051.44890893.9E-4
7.21.069082E-61.1828765E-61.7118268E-4144.717271.7E-44.581772E-65.0694644E-62.0506846E-440.4517022.0E-45.5781646E-56.171951E-52.7170655E-44.402282.1E-45.576765E-46.1707594E-48.4693404E-41.37249552.3E-4
7.38.776551E-79.770151E-71.20976896E-4123.822951.2E-43.7613736E-64.187204E-61.3418666E-432.046841.3E-44.579376E-55.0978535E-51.8097191E-43.54996281.3E-44.5784327E-45.097194E-46.59643E-41.29412951.5E-4
7.47.55721E-78.5103835E-78.085097E-595.002738.0E-53.2388E-63.6473052E-68.364701E-522.9339228.0E-53.9431678E-54.4405555E-51.24402E-42.80149658.0E-53.942468E-44.4401767E-45.4397323E-41.22511631.0E-4
7.55.587665E-76.305732E-76.0630537E-596.151476.0E-52.3947114E-62.7024564E-66.27023E-523.2019636.0E-52.915522E-53.2902408E-59.290043E-52.82351476.0E-52.9151395E-43.2902407E-44.0899776E-41.24306338.0E-5

Airport Lake

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.0584623374461.69870.058455.3086325E-55.615534E-50.0625026451113.03120.062456.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0681573599.717390.067520.00644258880.00681683930.07718386511.322530.07085
6.11.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.0584623374461.69870.058455.3086325E-55.615534E-50.0625026451113.03120.062456.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0681573599.717390.067520.00644258880.00681683930.07718386511.322530.07085
6.21.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.0584623374461.69870.058455.3086325E-55.615534E-50.0625026451113.03120.062456.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0681573599.717390.067520.00644258880.00681683930.07718386511.322530.07085
6.31.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.0584623374461.69870.058455.3086325E-55.615534E-50.0625026451113.03120.062456.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0681573599.717390.067520.00644258880.00681683930.07718386511.322530.07085
6.41.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.0584623374461.69870.058455.3086325E-55.615534E-50.0625026451113.03120.062456.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0681573599.717390.067520.00644258880.00681683930.07718386511.322530.07085
6.56.9922594E-67.384925E-60.044347066005.07860.044342.996648E-53.1649324E-50.047370151496.71910.047343.6478083E-43.8526783E-40.051475577133.609850.051110.0036418260.00384653660.05731009314.8991410.05367
6.66.9922594E-67.384925E-60.044347066005.07860.044342.996648E-53.1649324E-50.047370151496.71910.047343.6478083E-43.8526783E-40.051475577133.609850.051110.0036418260.00384653660.05731009314.8991410.05367
6.75.477277E-65.7860684E-60.037715576518.34130.037712.3473833E-52.4797222E-50.04019381620.89930.040172.8575645E-43.0186825E-40.04370876144.794160.043420.00285389270.0030149660.04850739216.088870.04563
6.83.9950432E-64.2190873E-60.0289540966862.6450.028951.7121502E-51.8081691E-50.0308875241708.22080.030872.0843433E-42.2012512E-40.033512793152.244310.03330.00208238930.00219934180.03707247616.8561690.03495
6.92.95695E-63.1230243E-60.0209130576696.4120.020911.2672582E-51.3384334E-50.0222830871664.86330.022271.5427776E-41.6294434E-40.02423902148.756440.024080.0015417070.00162847120.02692720516.5352670.02534
7.01.456072E-61.540812E-60.00949152656160.08060.009496.2402937E-66.603469E-60.0100365371519.88850.010037.597293E-58.039528E-50.010979519136.56920.01097.594696E-48.0376083E-40.01222457415.2092180.01143
7.16.995192E-77.4089746E-70.00438073745912.7450.004382.997936E-63.1752747E-60.00469316031478.03280.004693.649926E-53.865897E-50.005138462132.917710.00513.6493264E-43.865897E-40.005734521414.83361150.00535

Owl Lake

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.0320643E-56.6358676E-50.02431475366.414030.024252.1564208E-42.843643E-40.0266668693.77710.026390.00262228120.0034575470.0323871759.3670960.029030.025915530.0341412950.063851111.87020170.03076
6.15.0320643E-56.6358676E-50.02431475366.414030.024252.1564208E-42.843643E-40.0266668693.77710.026390.00262228120.0034575470.0323871759.3670960.029030.025915530.0341412950.063851111.87020170.03076
6.22.4125871E-53.0980515E-50.02074034669.4640.020711.0339249E-41.3276804E-40.022569789169.994140.022440.00125807660.00161542520.02610579916.1603260.024530.0125097810.0160707550.0415348452.58449860.02588
6.31.7433485E-52.2355545E-50.019531919873.694640.019517.471279E-59.580685E-50.021183787221.109310.021099.0924866E-40.0011659620.02413914520.7032010.0230.0090553730.01162914650.0355576053.05762820.02421
6.41.7433485E-52.2355545E-50.019531919873.694640.019517.471279E-59.580685E-50.021183787221.109310.021099.0924866E-40.0011659620.02413914520.7032010.0230.0090553730.01162914650.0355576053.05762820.02421
6.51.5182742E-51.9429277E-50.019189056987.636170.019176.506727E-58.3266525E-50.020761544249.338440.020687.919061E-40.00101343440.02351061323.198950.022520.00789090.0101186780.0335689673.3175250.02369
6.66.7271576E-68.547518E-60.0174383992040.1710.017432.8830356E-53.6631736E-50.018735947511.467620.01873.5095305E-44.4590578E-40.02070686846.4377630.020270.00350399320.00446801870.0256927615.750370.02132
6.76.682835E-68.479961E-60.0174383322056.41650.017432.8640408E-53.6342215E-50.018735662515.53440.01873.4864116E-44.423823E-40.0206934246.7772330.020260.0034809470.00443293250.0256484675.78589150.02131
6.86.5774975E-68.326427E-60.0174281822093.11650.017422.8188972E-53.5684232E-50.018725017524.742070.018693.4314668E-44.3437455E-40.0206755847.5985030.020250.00342617280.00435310560.0255603855.87175850.0213
6.96.363419E-67.999591E-60.0173878612173.59380.017382.727151E-53.428354E-50.018683644544.97420.018653.3198006E-44.1732774E-40.02060889849.3830030.02020.00331484550.00418306470.0253441746.05875730.02125
7.06.1342453E-67.631779E-60.01727752263.8890.017272.6289357E-53.2707245E-50.018542102566.911130.018513.2002592E-43.9814346E-40.02045015651.363790.020060.00319565440.0039917390.0249975536.26232150.02109
7.15.842926E-67.142312E-60.0164170252298.55880.016412.504087E-53.060958E-50.017560072573.678960.017533.0482994E-43.7261334E-40.01933554651.8917160.018970.00304412140.00373715950.023562796.3050.0199
7.24.77173E-65.358478E-60.0103553031932.50820.010352.045011E-52.2964727E-50.011082711482.59710.011062.4895166E-42.7956374E-40.01214624643.447140.011870.00248672930.00280862120.0152435975.4274310.01247
7.33.0494948E-62.710356E-60.0025927033956.59140.002591.3069198E-51.1615762E-50.0028015834241.18810.002791.5910587E-41.4141288E-40.003140988522.2114750.0030.00158991990.00142310890.00463852663.25943180.00322
7.42.7263884E-62.3055634E-60.0017023017738.34520.00171.1684469E-59.880949E-60.0018198631184.178990.001811.4224913E-41.2029401E-40.002070059517.2083340.001950.00142158110.00121105780.00332849032.7484160.00212
7.52.6090431E-62.1655019E-60.0014621624675.207150.001461.1181565E-59.2806895E-60.0015592664168.01190.001551.3612706E-41.1298663E-40.00178279815.778840.001670.0013604370.00113781260.00296573042.60651920.00183
7.62.3008756E-61.8726826E-69.918709E-4529.65249.9E-49.860858E-68.025758E-60.0010580174131.827710.001051.20049335E-49.770931E-50.001237597912.66612150.001140.0011998459.848307E-40.002253582.2882920.00127
7.71.7184348E-61.341808E-66.6134095E-4492.8736.6E-47.3646997E-65.750593E-67.157465E-4124.464817.1E-48.966153E-57.0011265E-58.5995597E-412.2831097.9E-48.962536E-47.0769014E-40.00159706042.25672258.9E-4
7.88.4612907E-78.4054994E-72.3084036E-4274.630162.3E-43.6262625E-63.602352E-62.6360143E-473.1748052.6E-44.4148852E-54.3857777E-53.4384461E-47.8399923.0E-44.414008E-44.4386165E-47.637196E-41.72062543.2E-4
7.92.716738E-73.7681625E-75.03768E-5133.690615.0E-51.1643157E-61.6149258E-66.161483E-538.153356.0E-51.4175452E-51.9661555E-57.966038E-54.05158046.0E-51.4174548E-41.9829652E-42.5828462E-41.30251726.0E-5
8.02.1995428E-83.3853325E-83.3853325E-81.00.09.426611E-81.4508568E-71.4508568E-71.00.01.1476893E-61.7664173E-61.7664173E-61.00.01.14768345E-51.7869768E-51.7869768E-51.00.0

Panamint Valley

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0211835E-53.3984263E-50.020513289603.61140.020481.2947287E-41.4563887E-40.022162432152.173870.022020.00157519230.00177174060.02562939614.4656590.02390.0156407360.0175830030.0424381532.41358950.0253
6.13.0211835E-53.3984263E-50.020513289603.61140.020481.2947287E-41.4563887E-40.022162432152.173870.022020.00157519230.00177174060.02562939614.4656590.02390.0156407360.0175830030.0424381532.41358950.0253
6.23.0211835E-53.3984263E-50.020513289603.61140.020481.2947287E-41.4563887E-40.022162432152.173870.022020.00157519230.00177174060.02562939614.4656590.02390.0156407360.0175830030.0424381532.41358950.0253
6.32.8573924E-53.2102445E-50.020171456628.346440.020141.2245393E-41.375748E-40.021794595158.419970.021660.0014898570.00167371410.02512439915.0111650.023490.014799080.0166180380.0410157442.4681460.02481
6.42.8573924E-53.2102445E-50.020171456628.346440.020141.2245393E-41.375748E-40.021794595158.419970.021660.0014898570.00167371410.02512439915.0111650.023490.014799080.0166180380.0410157442.4681460.02481
6.52.7468774E-53.0828138E-50.019960213647.467350.019931.1771801E-41.3211406E-40.021569282163.262570.021440.00143227450.00160732920.02480997515.4355270.023240.0142307820.0159638820.0400826072.51083090.02451
6.62.6135967E-52.9252153E-50.019518683667.25630.019491.1200648E-41.2536049E-40.021082733168.176850.020960.00136282570.00152522190.02422055415.8800190.022730.0135449820.0151543430.0387512452.55710480.02396
6.72.4498746E-52.7341044E-50.018966824693.712460.018941.04990395E-41.17170785E-40.020444788174.487090.020330.00127750840.00142564590.02344421116.4446240.022050.0127018930.0141715930.037042812.61387780.0232
6.82.2244329E-52.4935374E-50.018434476739.290160.018419.532935E-51.0686163E-40.019834753185.611540.019730.00116001690.00130028570.02264249917.4134790.021370.0115398020.0129329550.0351222232.71571520.02248
6.91.9902658E-52.2290182E-50.016971912761.407530.016958.529431E-59.552596E-50.01826379191.191910.018170.00103796350.00116242650.02077959717.876050.019640.0103312880.0115690210.0319010472.75745420.02057
7.01.8353881E-52.056605E-50.016300231792.57950.016287.865712E-58.813734E-50.017506601198.628660.017429.5722964E-40.00107256160.01987237718.5279580.018820.0095311680.010679390.0301591122.82404830.01969
7.11.7667631E-51.9772435E-50.015779462798.053470.015767.571623E-58.4736355E-50.016963307200.189240.016889.2145515E-40.00103119450.01927236518.6893620.018260.0091764370.01026959250.0291833412.84172320.01911
7.21.6381597E-51.8158042E-50.014077903775.29850.014067.020495E-57.781795E-50.01508665193.871060.015018.544101E-49.470391E-40.01717165918.1319430.016240.0085113250.0094352690.0262847752.78580020.01701
7.31.4520491E-51.596657E-50.011645781729.385250.011636.222919E-56.842646E-50.012537573183.226970.012477.57377E-48.327899E-40.01427158917.1370810.013450.00754800950.0083003990.0223131162.68819760.01413
7.41.2852287E-51.41454875E-50.011313986799.830.01135.5080065E-56.06222E-50.012169888200.74970.012116.7039346E-47.378411E-40.0138081918.7143140.013080.00668374640.0073574290.0209963382.85376020.01374
7.51.1637851E-51.2836868E-50.011152694868.801760.011144.987555E-55.5014076E-50.012004357218.205180.011956.070656E-46.696062E-40.01357096220.2670780.012910.0060540990.00667938450.0201388783.015080.01355
7.63.0068115E-63.3330623E-60.00505331621516.11820.005051.2886271E-51.4284516E-50.0053842077376.926180.005371.5687906E-41.7390738E-40.00595290234.23030.005780.00156768350.00173979730.00774932374.4541530.00602

Garlock (East)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5092507E-56.2904815E-50.015761917250.567730.01571.9323928E-42.6956675E-40.01710502863.4537770.016840.00235014970.0032774820.0218264896.65952970.018610.0232545040.032353770.0514938121.59158610.01978
6.14.5092507E-56.2904815E-50.015761917250.567730.01571.9323928E-42.6956675E-40.01710502863.4537770.016840.00235014970.0032774820.0218264896.65952970.018610.0232545040.032353770.0514938121.59158610.01978
6.22.6674514E-53.4511588E-50.013494047391.00050.013461.1431433E-41.4789861E-40.01449577698.011580.014350.00139088840.00179921140.0174410189.6937020.015670.013822150.0178727880.0341368131.90998820.01656
6.32.6674514E-53.4511588E-50.013494047391.00050.013461.1431433E-41.4789861E-40.01449577698.011580.014350.00139088840.00179921140.0174410189.6937020.015670.013822150.0178727880.0341368131.90998820.01656
6.42.5312667E-53.2340467E-50.013431907415.328160.01341.0847834E-41.3859481E-40.014406617103.947740.014270.00131992370.00168611520.01722986310.2186750.015570.0131211120.0167722870.032946381.96433460.01645
6.52.5312667E-53.2340467E-50.013431907415.328160.01341.0847834E-41.3859481E-40.014406617103.947740.014270.00131992370.00168611520.01722986310.2186750.015570.0131211120.0167722870.032946381.96433460.01645
6.62.246556E-52.8134691E-50.013127767466.604250.01319.627742E-51.2057181E-40.014038893116.435950.013920.00117154720.00146699690.01658478611.3052640.015140.0116539010.0146131690.030359652.07755420.01598
6.72.2241198E-52.7804432E-50.01311744471.775180.013099.531594E-51.1915654E-40.014027499117.723290.013910.00115985380.00144978890.01654786811.4139840.015120.0115381870.0144428290.0301624672.08840420.01595
6.81.9528685E-52.3898969E-50.012803594535.738340.012788.369167E-51.0242024E-40.013691029133.675030.013590.00101846980.00124627280.01596790212.8125270.014740.0101381470.0124367230.0277834572.23398520.01554
6.91.3318621E-51.5198818E-50.012345011812.23490.012335.7078556E-56.51362E-50.013164283202.103940.01316.9470983E-47.927504E-40.01495151718.860310.014170.00692542040.0079407210.0227323252.86275340.01491
7.01.1760853E-51.3107653E-50.012182948929.453060.012175.0402683E-55.6174475E-50.012995448231.34080.012946.134799E-46.8371464E-40.01465415721.4331470.013980.00611789060.0068574010.0214665293.13041760.01471
7.11.0064758E-51.0902761E-50.0119407731095.20640.011934.3133965E-54.67253E-50.012696134271.718630.012655.2502943E-45.6873553E-40.01424095525.0396790.013680.0052379070.00571334730.0200211333.50427370.01439
7.29.768808E-61.0498628E-50.0117603751120.1820.011754.186565E-54.499337E-50.012494433277.6950.012455.095951E-45.4766005E-40.01399029425.545580.013450.00508428040.0055035840.0195657633.5550950.01414
7.39.344516E-69.9442705E-60.0107898371085.03050.010784.004731E-54.2617627E-50.011452131268.71820.011414.8746695E-45.187495E-40.01286234324.79490.012350.00486399050.0052152690.0181076793.47205070.01296
7.49.023491E-69.490441E-60.00951941003.05140.009513.867153E-54.0672705E-50.010100263248.330260.010064.7072413E-44.95081E-40.01138968523.00570.01090.0046972830.00497872660.0163518193.28433780.01143
7.57.081253E-67.0873994E-60.004817053679.66440.004813.0347876E-53.0374218E-50.0051202197168.571240.005093.6942272E-43.697441E-40.005837721815.7885460.005470.0036880920.00372447450.0095128352.55414150.00581
7.66.116396E-65.9589424E-60.0031959398536.32670.003192.6212863E-52.5538076E-50.0034054518133.3480.003383.1909486E-43.1088197E-40.003999734812.8657670.003690.00318637070.00313591260.00704361962.24611470.00392
7.74.797145E-64.7571157E-60.0018347484385.685060.001832.055903E-52.0387479E-50.001990347497.625960.001972.5027743E-42.481894E-40.00241765089.7411520.002170.00249995760.00250940650.0048036351.91425130.0023
7.83.4028885E-63.978375E-60.001083974272.466550.001081.4583726E-51.7050066E-50.001207029870.793260.001191.775424E-42.0756487E-40.00148729927.16546730.001280.00177400620.00210121410.00343839851.63638650.00134
7.92.5928412E-63.372436E-67.2337E-4214.494817.2E-41.1112129E-51.4453217E-58.044418E-455.658327.9E-41.3528178E-41.7595377E-40.00103580245.88678748.6E-40.00135199450.00178124260.00268962161.50996949.1E-4
8.01.3743648E-61.6734741E-63.2167294E-4192.218663.2E-45.8901214E-67.1720124E-63.3716965E-447.0118643.3E-47.1709874E-58.731578E-54.672826E-45.35163973.8E-47.1686733E-48.837377E-40.00128338431.4522234.0E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1489736E-74.0314884E-5128.025474.0E-51.5742813E-61.3495595E-64.1349507E-530.639264.0E-51.9166706E-51.643078E-56.642996E-54.04301935.0E-51.9165053E-41.662928E-42.1628448E-41.30062455.0E-5

Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5103672E-55.456906E-50.011643937213.379820.011591.9328714E-42.3384714E-40.01263094854.0136950.01240.0023507310.00284354620.016245335.71305270.013440.0232601950.0280926250.0418159551.4885030.01412
6.14.5103672E-55.456906E-50.011643937213.379820.011591.9328714E-42.3384714E-40.01263094854.0136950.01240.0023507310.00284354620.016245335.71305270.013440.0232601950.0280926250.0418159551.4885030.01412
6.23.9363465E-54.706271E-50.011606519246.618150.011561.6868966E-42.016826E-40.01256918862.3216250.012370.0020518620.00245285340.0158199856.44962550.01340.0203301960.0242741870.038002651.56555810.01407
6.33.9363465E-54.706271E-50.011606519246.618150.011561.6868966E-42.016826E-40.01256918862.3216250.012370.0020518620.00245285340.0158199856.44962550.01340.0203301960.0242741870.038002651.56555810.01407
6.43.2311684E-53.795112E-50.011547514304.273380.011511.384713E-41.6263791E-40.01248063476.738780.012320.00168458430.0019783870.0153019757.73457150.013350.0167187140.0196171180.0333522821.70016220.01401
6.53.2311684E-53.795112E-50.011547514304.273380.011511.384713E-41.6263791E-40.01248063476.738780.012320.00168458430.0019783870.0153019757.73457150.013350.0167187140.0196171180.0333522821.70016220.01401
6.62.9305844E-53.418196E-50.011523789337.13070.011491.2559042E-41.4648624E-40.01243468684.886370.012290.00152799090.00178207270.0150783358.46112250.013320.0151752720.0176863240.031419071.77646120.01398
6.72.7826512E-53.2344353E-50.0115019735355.609920.011471.19251024E-41.3861163E-40.01240691189.508440.012270.00145091420.00168635060.0149539398.8676340.013290.0144147760.0167438180.0304602421.81919340.01395
6.82.3389874E-52.6866792E-50.011426561425.304260.01141.0023846E-41.1513857E-40.012313734106.9470750.01220.001219720.0014009580.01459245110.4160520.013210.012130470.0139280670.0276048851.98196090.01387
6.92.069209E-52.357011E-50.011393302483.379270.011378.867737E-51.0101105E-40.012269782121.46970.012170.00107911230.00122915190.014392951511.70966150.013180.0107388710.0122291580.0258999062.11788150.01384
7.01.7462342E-51.9633622E-50.011339411577.550660.011327.483646E-58.414151E-50.012203122145.030930.012129.1075303E-40.00102396410.0141305313.79982950.013120.0090702950.0101966880.0238361772.33763930.01378
7.11.4807709E-51.6441827E-50.011316256688.260250.01136.3460066E-57.046316E-50.012169611172.708830.01217.723524E-48.575678E-40.01393634316.2510090.013090.0076967350.0085461680.0221786572.59515830.01375
7.21.4180048E-51.5698413E-50.011315521720.80670.01136.077022E-56.727727E-50.012166463180.840620.01217.396263E-48.1880915E-40.01387810716.9491350.013070.00737169430.0081614690.0217794122.6685650.01373
7.31.3730402E-51.5172151E-50.011305001745.115230.011295.8843252E-56.502197E-50.0121542355186.925060.012097.161811E-47.9137104E-40.01384103617.4899440.013060.0071387740.0078890580.021500822.72539760.01372
7.41.2810095E-51.4109353E-50.011243951796.91470.011235.489925E-56.0467344E-50.01208974199.938340.012036.681934E-47.3595706E-40.0137263918.6510730.0130.0066618780.00733868960.0208984432.84770770.01366
7.51.1595659E-51.2800734E-50.0110826595865.78310.011074.9694736E-55.485922E-50.011924208217.360140.011876.0486543E-46.67722E-40.01348915520.2017540.012830.0060322170.0066606320.0200409133.00886060.01347
7.62.997694E-63.3251877E-60.00505330831519.70630.005051.28471975E-51.4250767E-50.005384174377.816440.005371.564034E-41.7349655E-40.005952493834.3090020.005780.00156293370.00173569550.00774524644.46233030.00602

Garlock (West)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.5181727E-52.5197181E-50.00866498343.886840.008641.0791722E-41.0798347E-40.00924699785.6334460.009140.00131310020.00131390930.0112308628.5476690.009930.0130536830.0131417940.023543281.79148140.01054
6.12.5077732E-52.5098223E-50.008664882345.238830.008641.0747157E-41.075594E-40.00924657785.967160.009140.0013076810.00130875250.0112257568.5774480.009930.0130001260.0130908350.0234928581.79460350.01054
6.22.494612E-52.4979914E-50.008664764346.869230.008641.0690756E-41.070524E-40.00924607486.3696060.009140.00130082240.00130258720.0112196528.613360.009930.0129323410.0130299060.0234325711.79836830.01054
6.32.4733758E-52.4799276E-50.008664585349.38860.008641.0599751E-41.06278305E-40.00924530786.991480.009140.00128975560.00129317360.0112103338.6688530.009930.0128229570.01293687150.0233405181.80418550.01054
6.42.3237335E-52.3178607E-50.008612979371.591770.008599.958477E-59.933313E-50.0091884392.501170.009090.00121177020.00120871260.0110667829.1558430.009870.0120518380.0121017310.0224549061.85551180.01048
6.52.2732203E-52.2992977E-50.008612796374.583740.008599.742009E-59.8537625E-50.00918764293.239940.009090.00118544420.00119903810.0110572049.2217280.009870.0117914030.0120060350.0223602131.86241440.01048
6.62.1319436E-52.1773201E-50.008601586395.05380.008589.136581E-59.3310395E-50.00917246398.3005450.009080.0011118110.00113546430.0109842699.6738120.009860.0110626490.0113769520.0217278361.90981160.01047
6.71.970802E-52.0393094E-50.008590219421.231720.008578.446021E-58.739606E-50.009156603104.7713550.009070.0010278180.00106352940.01090305410.2517650.009850.0102307710.01066468750.0210131351.97034690.01046
6.81.8744462E-51.9900775E-50.00857973431.125460.008568.033094E-58.528626E-50.009144514107.221420.009069.775903E-40.00103786720.01086765410.4711420.009840.0097330090.0104104950.0207517051.99334480.01045
6.91.7559682E-51.8953151E-50.008558791451.576170.008547.5253614E-58.122527E-50.009120491112.286380.009049.158276E-49.884704E-40.010798763510.9247210.009820.00912062450.0099210730.0202475952.04086760.01043
7.01.6794445E-51.8215967E-50.008528061468.164030.008517.197421E-57.806611E-50.009087362116.4060.009018.759337E-49.5004175E-40.01073074111.295020.009790.0087248910.0095399580.0198407422.07975150.0104
7.11.6337795E-51.771677E-50.008517566480.762940.00857.0017246E-57.592681E-50.009075243119.526210.0098.521265E-49.2401815E-40.01069498211.5744280.009780.0084886640.0092817210.0195752852.10901450.01039
7.21.5780008E-51.71654E-50.008517019496.17370.00856.762685E-57.3563926E-50.009072902123.333570.0098.2304585E-48.952741E-40.010666518511.9142480.009780.0082000420.0089965590.0192930852.1444960.01039
7.31.5058865E-51.6618484E-50.008486478510.6650.008476.45364E-57.122013E-50.009040581126.938570.008977.854473E-48.667614E-40.01060831112.2390210.009750.007826770.0087132630.0189829932.1786320.01036
7.41.4887923E-51.6454453E-50.008316318505.414430.00836.380382E-57.0517184E-50.008839899125.358080.008777.7653467E-48.5820974E-40.01038003112.0949820.009530.00773826750.0086281010.0186806122.16508960.01014
7.51.4509299E-51.6046468E-50.0077459225482.71820.007736.218123E-56.876877E-50.008238207119.795750.008177.567935E-48.369394E-40.0096695411.5534540.008840.00754221340.0084164110.0177670442.1110.00943
7.61.2756717E-51.4050529E-50.005233977372.511050.005225.4670498E-56.0215163E-50.005579882892.665740.005526.6541E-47.328737E-40.00674846169.208220.006020.0066342110.0073813740.0137738381.86602630.00644
7.71.0328985E-51.146033E-50.0034314212299.41730.003424.4266326E-54.9114777E-50.00368893675.1084750.003645.388092E-45.9780874E-40.00460541167.70382070.004010.00537504670.0060382860.0103123211.70782270.0043
7.87.0306583E-68.899537E-60.0021388805240.336180.002133.0131043E-53.8140315E-50.00232805361.0391650.002293.667837E-44.6425956E-40.0029630996.38241860.00250.0036617890.00469506670.0073226721.55965230.00264
7.94.060633E-65.465412E-60.0011254593205.923970.001121.7402595E-52.3422985E-50.001223394952.230530.00122.11856E-42.8513762E-40.00158476695.5579020.00130.00211654140.0028841430.0042701341.48055550.00139
8.01.6729537E-62.0775192E-63.6207677E-4174.283233.6E-47.169782E-68.903624E-63.7890032E-442.5557443.7E-48.7288594E-51.0839626E-45.283507E-44.87425234.2E-48.7254314E-40.0010968540.00153637141.40070724.4E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1489736E-74.0314884E-5128.025474.0E-51.5742813E-61.3495595E-64.1349507E-530.639264.0E-51.9166706E-51.643078E-56.642996E-54.04301935.0E-51.9165053E-41.662928E-42.1628448E-41.30062455.0E-5

Blackwater

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0708583E-53.3095846E-50.0058429036176.54490.005811.3160157E-41.4183241E-40.006280961444.284390.006140.00160107140.00172557840.0084739134.9107670.006760.0158958510.0171356330.0241336281.40838840.00712
6.13.0708583E-53.3095846E-50.0058429036176.54490.005811.3160157E-41.4183241E-40.006280961444.284390.006140.00160107140.00172557840.0084739134.9107670.006760.0158958510.0171356330.0241336281.40838840.00712
6.21.1707779E-51.2545122E-50.0021125188168.393630.00215.017523E-55.3763757E-50.002273644342.289540.002226.107122E-46.5438676E-40.00313276384.7873280.002480.0060903660.00652556960.0091384071.40039990.00263
6.31.1707779E-51.2545122E-50.0021125188168.393630.00215.017523E-55.3763757E-50.002273644342.289540.002226.107122E-46.5438676E-40.00313276384.7873280.002480.0060903660.00652556960.0091384071.40039990.00263
6.47.929244E-68.480098E-60.0013284689156.657260.001323.3982033E-53.6342793E-50.001426292239.2455330.001394.136527E-44.423877E-40.0019917024.5021640.001550.00412883560.00441547580.0060781021.37654520.00167
6.55.8832115E-66.285991E-69.1628026E-4145.765449.1E-42.521352E-52.6939697E-59.769141E-436.2629979.5E-43.0693135E-43.27944E-40.00137759974.2007160.001050.00306507780.00327485380.0043911861.340880.00112
6.65.8832115E-66.285991E-69.1628026E-4145.765449.1E-42.521352E-52.6939697E-59.769141E-436.2629979.5E-43.0693135E-43.27944E-40.00137759974.2007160.001050.00306507780.00327485380.0043911861.340880.00112
6.73.0715053E-63.2814662E-64.732799E-4144.22824.7E-41.3163528E-51.4063357E-55.140563E-436.5528875.0E-41.6025416E-41.7120909E-47.1111665E-44.1534985.4E-40.00160138650.00171088640.0022998771.34426055.9E-4
6.82.2722281E-62.4287538E-63.5242792E-4145.106493.5E-49.738084E-61.0408908E-53.7040515E-435.58543.6E-41.1855473E-41.26722E-45.266713E-44.1561164.0E-40.0011849150.00126658760.00171601761.35483544.5E-4
6.99.952399E-71.0653489E-61.3106522E-4123.025631.3E-44.265307E-64.5657757E-61.4456514E-431.6627771.4E-45.1928873E-55.5587418E-52.1557852E-43.8781891.6E-45.191674E-45.557858E-47.2569126E-41.30570331.7E-4
7.04.7385504E-75.0755597E-77.050752E-5138.915767.0E-52.0308057E-62.1752398E-67.2175084E-533.180297.0E-52.4724779E-52.6483543E-51.0648143E-44.02066378.0E-52.4722028E-42.6483546E-43.548116E-41.33974369.0E-5

Ash Hill

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1545662E-52.3194447E-50.0043430943187.247160.004329.2335285E-59.940143E-50.00481893248.4795040.004720.00112360230.00120962060.0066330525.4835810.005430.0111793810.0120383480.0178376831.48173840.00587
6.12.1545662E-52.3194447E-50.0043430943187.247160.004329.2335285E-59.940143E-50.00481893248.4795040.004720.00112360230.00120962060.0066330525.4835810.005430.0111793810.0120383480.0178376831.48173840.00587
6.22.1545662E-52.3194447E-50.0043430943187.247160.004329.2335285E-59.940143E-50.00481893248.4795040.004720.00112360230.00120962060.0066330525.4835810.005430.0111793810.0120383480.0178376831.48173840.00587
6.31.0025529E-51.0746934E-50.0017907278166.626850.001784.2965847E-54.605755E-50.00196596942.6850550.001925.229836E-45.6061964E-40.00273939764.88637450.002180.0052175450.00559336650.0079202781.41601280.00234
6.41.0025529E-51.0746934E-50.0017907278166.626850.001784.2965847E-54.605755E-50.00196596942.6850550.001925.229836E-45.6061964E-40.00273939764.88637450.002180.0052175450.00559336650.0079202781.41601280.00234
6.56.9617327E-67.456634E-60.001157448155.223940.001152.9835655E-53.195666E-50.001281916740.1142270.001253.6318856E-43.8901155E-40.00180845924.6488570.001420.00362595570.00388416020.00541817861.3949420.00154
6.64.9919777E-65.3466883E-68.453422E-4158.105768.4E-42.1394015E-52.2914215E-59.528929E-441.585239.3E-42.60441E-42.7895154E-40.00132865874.76304440.001050.00260135970.00278667270.00391352361.40437150.00113
6.73.6630722E-63.924624E-66.4392213E-4164.072336.4E-41.5698786E-51.681974E-57.268078E-443.2115977.1E-41.9111596E-42.0476682E-49.94605E-44.8572577.9E-40.00190951680.00204634460.0028946051.41452488.5E-4
6.82.5599613E-62.744925E-64.527437E-4164.938454.5E-41.0971216E-51.1763939E-55.3175783E-445.202365.2E-41.3356637E-41.4322149E-47.431356E-45.18871556.0E-40.00133486130.00143177690.0020908321.46030576.6E-4
6.91.7684905E-61.8968707E-63.3189624E-4174.970413.3E-47.579223E-68.129446E-63.9812629E-448.973363.9E-49.2273134E-59.8976E-55.689295E-45.74815564.7E-49.223483E-49.8976E-40.00149925531.51476655.1E-4

San Andreas (Mojave N)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.877682E-51.9402112E-40.00399328420.5816970.00384.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00487788775.86810540.004050.00514102770.0100736840.0144788571.43729510.004450.050237080.098322450.10259641.04346870.00474
6.19.877682E-51.9402112E-40.00399328420.5816970.00384.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00487788775.86810540.004050.00514102770.0100736840.0144788571.43729510.004450.050237080.098322450.10259641.04346870.00474
6.29.877682E-51.9402112E-40.00399328420.5816970.00384.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00487788775.86810540.004050.00514102770.0100736840.0144788571.43729510.004450.050237080.098322450.10259641.04346870.00474
6.39.877682E-51.9402112E-40.00399328420.5816970.00384.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00487788775.86810540.004050.00514102770.0100736840.0144788571.43729510.004450.050237080.098322450.10259641.04346870.00474
6.49.877682E-51.9402112E-40.00399328420.5816970.00384.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00487788775.86810540.004050.00514102770.0100736840.0144788571.43729510.004450.050237080.098322450.10259641.04346870.00474
6.59.861474E-51.937588E-40.003983024520.5566120.003794.2256617E-48.3013077E-40.0048667775.8626630.004040.00513261320.01006013250.0144554661.43690610.004440.0501567460.098200350.102465861.04343690.00473
6.69.861474E-51.937588E-40.003983024520.5566120.003794.2256617E-48.3013077E-40.0048667775.8626630.004040.00513261320.01006013250.0144554661.43690610.004440.0501567460.098200350.102465861.04343690.00473
6.79.8552715E-51.9365833E-40.003982924420.5667610.003794.223004E-48.2970044E-40.00486634865.8651870.004040.00512939270.0100549410.0144502981.43713390.004440.0501259980.098153560.1024192941.04345980.00473
6.89.8464974E-51.9350994E-40.003982776320.5817660.003794.219245E-48.290649E-40.00486571535.868920.004040.00512483760.0100472760.01444266551.43747090.004440.050082510.098083780.102349841.04349410.00473
6.99.825824E-51.9319002E-40.00398245820.61420.003794.2103877E-48.276947E-40.0048643515.8769870.004040.00511410460.0100307460.014426211.4381990.004440.0499800220.0979329650.102199741.04356840.00473
7.09.781462E-51.9250368E-40.00397177620.6322080.003784.1913814E-48.247551E-40.0048514315.8822690.004030.0050910730.0099952850.0143810061.4387790.004430.049760070.097609120.1018684061.04363610.00472
7.19.7121134E-51.9152075E-40.003970796720.7329850.003784.1616702E-48.205452E-40.00484723835.90733860.004030.0050550680.00994449950.0143304451.44104240.004430.049416130.097145710.101407181.04386680.00472
7.29.663819E-51.9082859E-40.00397010720.8045730.003784.1409794E-48.175807E-40.0048442865.9251470.004030.00502999360.0099087350.0142948391.44265030.004430.0491765370.096818830.101081841.04403090.00472
7.39.6277574E-51.9035369E-40.00396963420.853990.003784.125529E-48.1554666E-40.004842265.9374410.004030.00501126940.0098841950.0142704091.44376030.004430.048997590.096592280.1008563641.04414520.00472
7.49.593308E-51.8975153E-40.00396903420.9170070.003784.1107697E-48.129676E-40.00483969135.95311740.004030.00499338240.0098530810.0142394311.44517550.004430.048826610.096309860.1005752761.04428850.00472
7.59.561707E-51.8921228E-40.003968497320.9737820.003784.0972308E-48.106579E-40.0048373915.9672410.004030.00497697430.0098252150.0142116881.44645070.004430.0486697440.0960562450.100322861.04441790.00472
7.69.418194E-51.8573487E-40.003945036321.2401490.003764.0357444E-47.95764E-40.0048025736.0351730.004010.0049024540.0096454990.0140129631.45279810.004410.0479570250.0944374650.098693611.04506840.0047
7.78.202141E-51.6022482E-40.003689659323.0280130.003533.51473E-46.8649714E-40.0044339236.45876360.003750.004270790.0083261280.0124316581.49308990.004140.041896390.0822379140.08630361.04943810.00443
7.87.2859846E-51.4517571E-40.002384850516.427340.002243.1221908E-46.2203326E-40.00302054034.85591460.00240.0037946430.00754699860.010157151.34585290.002630.0373049750.074727660.077290671.0342980.00277
7.95.3874453E-51.00462625E-40.001330339113.2421280.001232.3087008E-44.3048308E-40.00173991924.0417830.001310.00280722020.00522854740.0066411231.27016590.001420.027720220.0524258840.053856721.02729260.00151
8.03.468538E-55.4261534E-54.642393E-48.5555874.1E-41.4864317E-42.3252872E-46.5243104E-42.80580854.2E-40.00180822830.00282736360.00329603491.16576254.7E-40.0179358530.0289484620.0294242761.01643664.9E-4
8.11.9152367E-51.9401303E-57.940014E-54.0925166.0E-58.207899E-58.3145795E-51.431408E-41.7215646.0E-59.988535E-40.00101183050.00108175971.06911167.0E-50.0099437570.010855950.01092519051.0063787.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-61.5473614E-52.82691841.0E-53.704486E-52.3458366E-53.345813E-51.42627721.0E-54.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.955654E-41.0350081.0E-50.00450013950.00324817930.0032581471.00306871.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Mojave S)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.00399238485.91793730.003320.00133063760.0028881720.006437892.22905350.003560.0160806050.0345655940.038330791.10892890.00390.14965490.286545570.289492161.01028310.00413
6.13.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.00399238485.91793730.003320.00133063760.0028881720.006437892.22905350.003560.0160806050.0345655940.038330791.10892890.00390.14965490.286545570.289492161.01028310.00413
6.23.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.00399238485.91793730.003320.00133063760.0028881720.006437892.22905350.003560.0160806050.0345655940.038330791.10892890.00390.14965490.286545570.289492161.01028310.00413
6.33.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.00399238485.91793730.003320.00133063760.0028881720.006437892.22905350.003560.0160806050.0345655940.038330791.10892890.00390.14965490.286545570.289492161.01028310.00413
6.41.9872203E-44.3181062E-40.00349048928.083380.003068.5138786E-40.00184933260.00513324842.77573010.003290.0103164780.022289310.0257797371.15659640.003570.0985048560.196868390.199888171.0153390.00376
6.51.291105E-42.8754136E-40.00313672210.9087670.002855.5321335E-40.00123174090.0042779843.473120.003050.0067145920.0148941550.0181745571.22024760.003330.0651529650.138007920.14102491.02186080.0035
6.61.291105E-42.8754136E-40.00313672210.9087670.002855.5321335E-40.00123174090.0042779843.473120.003050.0067145920.0148941550.0181745571.22024760.003330.0651529650.138007920.14102491.02186080.0035
6.71.08001186E-42.4335351E-40.003052669612.5441780.002814.6278012E-40.00104252740.0040493893.88420440.003010.00561980160.01261920.0158676821.25742390.003290.0547979060.119184310.122231931.02557060.00346
6.81.0624356E-42.3853009E-40.003047859812.7776750.002814.5525006E-40.00102187180.0040287963.9425650.003010.00552859250.0123705930.0156198941.26266320.003290.0539305660.117133080.12018781.0260790.00346
6.91.0393785E-42.3223337E-40.003041580813.0970870.002814.4537184E-49.949068E-40.0040019124.02239940.003010.00540892870.0120459630.0152963321.26983060.003290.052791560.1144334450.117497511.0267760.00346
7.01.0155622E-42.2592908E-40.003025296413.39047050.00284.3516833E-49.6790853E-40.0039650054.09646650.0030.0052853110.0117208380.0149623941.27656350.003280.051613610.111697450.11476211.0274370.00345
7.19.885595E-52.188132E-40.003018200613.7935030.00284.2359953E-49.374342E-40.0039346224.19722460.0030.00514513530.0113537330.0145964931.28561170.003280.050276290.108576070.111651481.0283250.00345
7.29.6411415E-52.1244297E-40.00301184814.1772080.00284.1312634E-49.101525E-40.0039074224.2931510.0030.0050182190.0110249870.0142688251.2942260.003280.0490640070.10576970.10885481.0291680.00345
7.39.1180635E-51.9472656E-40.002984183415.3249930.002793.907156E-48.342756E-40.00382178114.58095740.002990.0047465910.0101101120.0133470521.32016850.003270.0464647860.097961760.101064771.03167570.00344
7.48.887388E-51.872126E-40.002976690215.9000520.002793.8083247E-48.020931E-40.00377970284.71229930.002980.00462678170.0097218550.01295016151.3320670.003260.0453162860.0945938450.097699391.03283020.00343
7.58.6750515E-51.80528E-40.002970024216.4518760.002793.7173493E-47.734621E-40.0037511574.8498270.002980.0045164840.0093763270.0126057591.34442410.003260.044257870.091556060.094672021.03403340.00343
7.68.453092E-51.7440386E-40.00295391916.9372330.002783.6222505E-47.4723107E-40.00371501184.9717040.002970.00440117530.0090596640.012280221.35548290.003250.043150240.088714470.091831071.03513060.00342
7.78.259102E-51.6962511E-40.002949153517.3863030.002783.539135E-47.267622E-40.00369460375.0836480.002970.0043003860.00881250.012033861.36554430.003250.0421811340.0864654260.0895897151.03613340.00342
7.87.444844E-51.528469E-40.00240250315.7183620.002253.1902574E-46.5489375E-40.00306331554.6775760.002410.00387722230.0079442310.0105632581.32967660.002640.038102690.0782938750.080856221.03272720.00278
7.95.2586525E-51.0007023E-40.001329947113.2901370.001232.2535135E-44.2880196E-40.00173824024.05371330.001310.00274020060.0052081780.0066207821.27122820.001420.0270665740.0522015880.0536327661.02741630.00151
8.03.379877E-55.4075565E-54.640534E-48.5815734.1E-41.4484383E-42.3173184E-46.5163453E-42.81201984.2E-40.00176204710.00281768660.00328636241.16633364.7E-40.0174814090.0288359170.0293117871.01650274.9E-4
8.11.8668277E-51.9308145E-57.9306985E-54.1074376.0E-58.000444E-58.274657E-51.427416E-41.72504566.0E-59.736188E-40.00100697450.0010769041.06944517.0E-50.0096936420.0107986240.0108678681.00641237.0E-5
8.28.541571E-65.4596358E-61.5459582E-52.8316141.0E-53.660622E-52.339823E-53.3397995E-51.42737281.0E-54.455896E-42.848363E-42.9483344E-41.03509781.0E-50.00444697170.0032402830.00325025081.00307621.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Gravel Hills-Harper Lk

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0679566E-53.1464628E-50.003001371295.388750.002971.3147724E-41.3484266E-40.003334411224.7281630.00320.00159955990.001640690.00516489853.14800380.003530.0158809520.0163073370.0200256971.22801740.00378
6.13.0679566E-53.1464628E-50.003001371295.388750.002971.3147724E-41.3484266E-40.003334411224.7281630.00320.00159955990.001640690.00516489853.14800380.003530.0158809520.0163073370.0200256971.22801740.00378
6.21.514536E-51.36352E-57.2362553E-453.07047.1E-46.490707E-55.843533E-58.2839036E-414.1761897.7E-47.8995706E-47.112298E-40.00162058252.2785649.1E-40.0078715480.0070907370.0080538591.13582819.7E-4
6.31.514536E-51.36352E-57.2362553E-453.07047.1E-46.490707E-55.843533E-58.2839036E-414.1761897.7E-47.8995706E-47.112298E-40.00162058252.2785649.1E-40.0078715480.0070907370.0080538591.13582819.7E-4
6.41.2532521E-51.0689684E-54.006855E-437.4833833.9E-45.37097E-54.581216E-54.7579245E-410.3857244.3E-46.537194E-45.5762613E-40.00106734181.91408135.1E-40.00651799650.0055628590.0061197441.10010775.6E-4
6.51.1094058E-59.083657E-62.3908156E-426.319972.3E-44.7545094E-53.89294E-52.7892005E-47.1647672.4E-45.787078E-44.7386638E-47.737242E-41.63278993.0E-40.00577203040.0047289670.0050673591.07155733.4E-4
6.69.688328E-67.531688E-61.375307E-418.2602771.3E-44.1520743E-53.227828E-51.7227377E-45.3371421.4E-45.053978E-43.9291973E-45.72849E-41.45792891.8E-40.00504249940.00392250670.0041217221.05078782.0E-4
6.78.974824E-66.749406E-69.67488E-514.3344169.0E-53.8462964E-52.8925719E-51.2892282E-44.45703121.0E-44.6818596E-43.5211592E-44.8207014E-41.36906661.3E-40.0046720080.0035158010.00365530861.03968021.4E-4
6.87.4780046E-65.1161865E-65.5115932E-510.7728555.0E-53.20482E-52.1926337E-57.192524E-53.28031285.0E-53.9011694E-42.6692182E-43.169085E-41.18727085.0E-50.00389432810.00266615050.00271601721.01870365.0E-5
6.96.3409307E-63.907489E-64.3907334E-511.2367134.0E-52.7175134E-51.674628E-55.6745608E-53.38855034.0E-53.3080703E-42.0386786E-42.4385971E-41.19616564.0E-50.00330315020.00203690650.00207682511.01959764.0E-5
7.05.1239335E-62.6058492E-61.2605823E-54.83751061.0E-52.195953E-51.1167879E-52.1167767E-51.89541521.0E-52.6732447E-41.359607E-41.4595933E-41.07354071.0E-50.00267003130.00135880050.00136878681.00734951.0E-5
7.14.438899E-62.0984692E-61.2098449E-55.76536851.0E-51.9023713E-58.99341E-61.899332E-52.11191531.0E-52.315891E-41.0948948E-41.1948839E-41.0913231.0E-50.0023134790.00109437740.00110436641.00912761.0E-5
7.23.50367E-61.2615715E-61.1261559E-58.9266121.0E-51.5015643E-55.406724E-61.540667E-52.84953881.0E-51.8280011E-46.5824956E-57.5824304E-51.1519081.0E-50.00182649826.580628E-46.6805625E-41.01518611.0E-5
7.32.561638E-67.118686E-77.118686E-71.00.01.0978401E-53.050862E-63.050862E-61.00.01.3365384E-43.7143633E-53.7143633E-51.00.00.00133573493.7137623E-43.7137623E-41.00.0
7.42.0368864E-65.304471E-75.304471E-71.00.08.729483E-62.2733427E-62.2733427E-61.00.01.06276275E-42.76776E-52.76776E-51.00.00.00106225472.767421E-42.767421E-41.00.0
7.51.1681728E-63.6028484E-73.6028484E-71.00.05.0064455E-61.544077E-61.544077E-61.00.06.0951766E-51.879898E-51.879898E-51.00.06.093505E-41.8797436E-41.8797436E-41.00.0
7.61.3154387E-77.1196716E-87.1196716E-81.00.05.6375933E-73.0512876E-73.0512876E-71.00.06.863748E-63.714938E-63.714938E-61.00.06.863536E-53.7148915E-53.7148915E-51.00.0

So Sierra Nevada

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0020210573182.41230.002014.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002277377347.9616930.002236.024253E-45.779681E-40.00299656935.18466230.002420.0060079480.0057659180.0083906961.4552230.00264
6.11.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0020210573182.41230.002014.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002277377347.9616930.002236.024253E-45.779681E-40.00299656935.18466230.002420.0060079480.0057659180.0083906961.4552230.00264
6.21.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0020210573182.41230.002014.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002277377347.9616930.002236.024253E-45.779681E-40.00299656935.18466230.002420.0060079480.0057659180.0083906961.4552230.00264
6.31.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0020210573182.41230.002014.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002277377347.9616930.002236.024253E-45.779681E-40.00299656935.18466230.002420.0060079480.0057659180.0083906961.4552230.00264
6.41.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0020210573182.41230.002014.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002277377347.9616930.002236.024253E-45.779681E-40.00299656935.18466230.002420.0060079480.0057659180.0083906961.4552230.00264
6.51.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0020210573182.41230.002014.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002277377347.9616930.002236.024253E-45.779681E-40.00299656935.18466230.002420.0060079480.0057659180.0083906961.4552230.00264
6.67.587044E-66.9356042E-60.0013469263194.20460.001343.2515498E-52.9723697E-50.001509679750.7904430.001483.9580427E-43.6182883E-40.00197124625.44800760.001610.0039510.00361268870.0053364391.47713770.00173
6.77.587044E-66.9356042E-60.0013469263194.20460.001343.2515498E-52.9723697E-50.001509679750.7904430.001483.9580427E-43.6182883E-40.00197124625.44800760.001610.0039510.00361268870.0053364391.47713770.00173
6.85.9026956E-65.179362E-60.0010751738207.588090.001072.5297022E-52.2197082E-50.001212170754.609460.001193.0794772E-42.7021713E-40.00156986595.80964570.00130.00307521320.0026990020.0040653041.5062250.00137
6.95.0118915E-64.2523943E-69.0424856E-4212.644569.0E-42.1479358E-51.8224424E-50.001008206455.3217129.9E-42.614798E-42.2186051E-40.00130162095.86684370.001080.00261172350.00221646270.0033539361.5131930.00114
7.04.4924795E-63.7138868E-68.1371085E-4219.099538.1E-41.925334E-51.5916565E-58.959026E-456.2874348.8E-42.3438422E-41.9376757E-40.00115358155.9534299.6E-40.00234137170.00193604910.00293411311.51551580.001
7.13.9118436E-63.1119469E-66.0311006E-4193.804756.0E-41.6764936E-51.333685E-56.833279E-451.236086.7E-42.0409399E-41.6236462E-49.022445E-45.5569037.4E-40.00203906630.00162251610.00240125041.47995487.8E-4
7.23.4200818E-62.6054236E-64.2260432E-4162.201774.2E-41.4657411E-51.11660565E-54.811608E-443.091384.7E-41.7843937E-41.3593875E-46.558681E-44.8247325.2E-40.00178296150.00135860580.00190785851.40427675.5E-4
7.32.6593618E-61.8283897E-62.5182794E-4137.732092.5E-41.13972155E-57.8359335E-62.8783374E-436.7325362.8E-41.3875226E-49.539862E-54.0536904E-44.2492133.1E-40.00138665659.536055E-40.00129328131.35620153.4E-4
7.42.2577992E-61.4364078E-62.3143608E-4161.121432.3E-49.676246E-66.1560204E-62.5615448E-441.61042.5E-41.1780193E-47.4947224E-53.44927E-44.6022652.7E-40.0011773957.4924453E-40.00102903471.37342982.8E-4
7.51.489319E-67.353661E-71.0073529E-4136.986591.0E-46.3827797E-63.1515651E-61.1315122E-435.9031831.1E-47.770758E-53.8369635E-51.5836503E-44.1273531.2E-47.7680405E-43.8363054E-45.035845E-41.3126811.2E-4
7.61.0680322E-64.65941E-75.046592E-5108.309675.0E-54.577273E-61.9968884E-66.199677E-531.0466866.0E-55.5726876E-52.4311848E-59.431015E-53.87918457.0E-55.5712904E-42.4309216E-43.1307514E-41.28788667.0E-5
7.75.509146E-71.5578539E-71.01557835E-565.1908651.0E-52.3610605E-66.676515E-71.0667645E-515.9778641.0E-52.8745531E-58.128628E-62.8128465E-53.460422.0E-52.8741814E-48.128342E-51.01281796E-41.24603262.0E-5

McLean Lake

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7360222E-51.8501627E-50.001828468298.827420.001817.439883E-57.9290556E-50.002089131226.3477940.002019.0542925E-49.6498354E-40.00321281243.3293960.002250.0090174910.00961277450.0120491271.25344940.00246
6.19.062689E-69.592193E-69.895827E-4103.1654369.8E-43.8839516E-54.1108804E-50.001121064427.2706660.001084.727685E-45.003936E-40.00173977313.47680930.001240.00471763960.0049935520.006297011.26102830.00131
6.29.062689E-69.592193E-69.895827E-4103.1654369.8E-43.8839516E-54.1108804E-50.001121064427.2706660.001084.727685E-45.003936E-40.00173977313.47680930.001240.00471763960.0049935520.006297011.26102830.00131
6.37.2575485E-67.66771E-67.3766214E-496.203717.3E-43.110341E-53.2861237E-58.328349E-425.3439928.0E-43.786182E-44.0001926E-40.00132964733.32395829.3E-40.00377973750.00399369650.0049797431.24690079.9E-4
6.47.2575485E-67.66771E-67.3766214E-496.203717.3E-43.110341E-53.2861237E-58.328349E-425.3439928.0E-43.786182E-44.0001926E-40.00132964733.32395829.3E-40.00377973750.00399369650.0049797431.24690079.9E-4
6.56.06582E-66.4038773E-65.8640016E-491.569555.8E-42.5996113E-52.7444936E-56.674274E-424.318786.4E-43.164567E-43.3409733E-40.00107385013.21418337.4E-40.00316006430.00333658930.0041239531.23597877.9E-4
6.65.598744E-65.910262E-65.359071E-490.6745.3E-42.3994397E-52.5329486E-56.153145E-424.2924215.9E-42.9209262E-43.0834923E-49.881395E-43.20461156.8E-40.00291708970.0030798430.00380759481.23629517.3E-4
6.75.246996E-65.539162E-64.955364E-489.460544.9E-42.2486933E-52.3739085E-55.637263E-423.7467565.4E-42.73744E-42.8899137E-49.088122E-43.14477286.2E-40.00273407040.00288677960.00355484551.23142256.7E-4
6.84.02324E-64.2469046E-63.4424546E-481.057973.4E-41.7242342E-51.8200926E-53.98194E-421.877683.8E-42.099053E-42.2157968E-46.7147997E-43.0304224.5E-40.00209707140.0022141720.0027030871.22081174.9E-4
6.96.835972E-77.1399285E-73.071397E-543.01723.0E-52.9296991E-63.0599674E-63.3059874E-510.8039963.0E-53.56685E-53.7254784E-56.725367E-51.80523563.0E-53.5662777E-43.7251666E-44.0250548E-41.08050333.0E-5

San Andreas (San Bernardino N)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4273766E-43.160784E-40.00205552836.5032230.001746.115894E-40.00135392450.00320141972.36454820.001850.00742070840.0163609390.0183085451.11903990.001980.071777480.150211630.151987691.01182370.00209
6.11.4273766E-43.160784E-40.00205552836.5032230.001746.115894E-40.00135392450.00320141972.36454820.001850.00742070840.0163609390.0183085451.11903990.001980.071777480.150211630.151987691.01182370.00209
6.21.4273766E-43.160784E-40.00205552836.5032230.001746.115894E-40.00135392450.00320141972.36454820.001850.00742070840.0163609390.0183085451.11903990.001980.071777480.150211630.151987691.01182370.00209
6.31.3730655E-43.0512668E-40.00203459876.66804650.001735.883239E-40.0013070360.00314463122.40592530.001840.00713934420.0157984550.0177373331.12272570.001970.069142910.14551350.147290841.01221420.00208
6.41.3730655E-43.0512668E-40.00203459876.66804650.001735.883239E-40.0013070360.00314463122.40592530.001840.00713934420.0157984550.0177373331.12272570.001970.069142910.14551350.147290841.01221420.00208
6.51.2942807E-42.8927144E-40.0020187716.97881170.001735.545738E-40.00123915090.0030768712.48304770.001840.00673105240.0149835480.016924031.12950750.001970.065307880.138650880.140442491.01292170.00208
6.61.1125901E-42.5365927E-40.00194323067.6607910.001694.767372E-40.00108666050.00288470462.65465120.00180.0057888390.01315046850.0150550871.14483280.001930.0564034540.123004960.124794031.01454470.00204
6.71.02209575E-42.3500937E-40.00191461468.1469710.001684.3796748E-40.00100679570.00279499362.77612780.001790.00531922470.0121892670.0140858641.15559570.001920.0519369060.1147927640.116589741.01565410.00203
6.89.610582E-52.2026796E-40.00187990238.53461550.001664.1181705E-49.436647E-40.00271199432.87389610.001770.00500235150.0114288590.0133071451.16434590.00190.0489123460.108204690.10999721.01656590.00201
6.99.3877505E-52.1482339E-40.00187446688.7256170.001664.0227012E-49.203475E-40.00268871852.92141650.001770.00488664540.0111479070.01302672551.16853560.00190.047805770.1057982740.1075956151.01698840.00201
7.09.1019785E-52.0809306E-40.00186774768.975540.001663.900265E-48.915232E-40.00265994532.9835960.001770.00473823770.01080049950.0126799781.17401780.00190.0463847440.102768150.104571591.01754860.00201
7.18.771155E-51.9983841E-40.00184950879.2550210.001653.758525E-48.5616973E-40.0026146633.05390720.001760.00456640640.0103742430.0122446351.1802920.001890.0447370560.099076440.100878281.01818650.002
7.28.0830236E-51.8389444E-40.00182359289.916520.001643.4636928E-47.8788114E-40.00253650243.21939730.001750.00420889440.0095503680.0114124141.19497110.001880.0413006580.091805180.093612491.01968630.00199
7.37.7668235E-51.7333007E-40.001803047610.4023920.001633.328214E-47.426318E-40.00248133973.34127860.001740.00404457330.0090041380.0108573011.20581230.001870.039717480.087067610.088875221.02076090.00198
7.47.520177E-51.655312E-40.001795261410.8454570.001633.2225347E-47.092266E-40.00243799973.4375470.001730.00391637950.0086007140.0104447161.21440110.001860.0384807440.083521570.085327031.02161670.00197
7.57.274697E-51.584075E-40.001788149411.2882860.001633.1173544E-46.7871273E-40.00240753853.54721280.001730.0037887750.0082320760.0100767641.22408550.001860.037248270.080236540.0820484761.02258240.00197
7.67.1185845E-51.5410586E-40.001783854711.5755150.001633.0504653E-46.602866E-40.00238914423.61834450.001730.00370761780.00800940950.0098545121.23036680.001860.0364636670.078226610.0800425041.02321330.00197
7.76.709961E-51.4319421E-40.001772960812.3815120.001632.8753807E-46.135452E-40.00234248373.81794830.001730.0034951570.00744436630.009290521.24799340.001860.0344069380.073055580.074881661.02499580.00197
7.86.300812E-51.320343E-40.001741821813.1921910.001612.7000686E-45.657386E-40.00227477124.02088740.001710.00328237870.0068661430.008693511.26614150.001840.0323431750.067713850.0695318061.02684760.00195
7.94.983037E-59.7241085E-50.001317122513.5449170.001222.1354125E-44.1668097E-40.00171613934.1185930.00130.00259676480.00506130050.0064641641.27717460.001410.0256662960.0506505070.0520745331.02811470.0015
8.03.2211527E-55.3306234E-54.6328438E-48.6909984.1E-41.380421E-42.2843528E-46.4833934E-42.8381754.2E-40.00167936690.00277765420.00324634881.16873754.7E-40.0166673230.0283625680.0288386721.01678634.9E-4
8.11.743376E-51.8823403E-57.8822275E-54.18746146.0E-57.471398E-58.066923E-51.4066439E-41.7437186.0E-59.0926304E-49.81706E-40.00105163721.07123457.0E-50.0090555170.0104839790.0105532451.00660687.0E-5
8.27.831616E-65.1540533E-61.5154002E-52.94021061.0E-53.3563636E-52.2088612E-53.2088392E-51.45271191.0E-54.0856065E-42.6889573E-42.7889304E-41.03717911.0E-50.0040781030.00304136680.00305133641.0032781.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Goldstone Lake

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.671352E-53.0376103E-50.001510331249.721030.001481.1448149E-41.3017791E-40.001739968313.3660790.001610.0013929210.00158396010.00343102992.16610860.001850.0138422220.0157462020.0177147091.12501480.002
6.12.671352E-53.0376103E-50.001510331249.721030.001481.1448149E-41.3017791E-40.001739968313.3660790.001610.0013929210.00158396010.00343102992.16610860.001850.0138422220.0157462020.0177147091.12501480.002
6.21.4197047E-51.6096254E-58.160834E-450.7002038.0E-46.0843064E-56.898268E-59.1892405E-413.3210848.5E-47.4051257E-48.3963916E-40.00176885832.10668879.3E-40.0073804980.0083743640.009365991.1184120.001
6.31.4197047E-51.6096254E-58.160834E-450.7002038.0E-46.0843064E-56.898268E-59.1892405E-413.3210848.5E-47.4051257E-48.3963916E-40.00176885832.10668879.3E-40.0073804980.0083743640.009365991.1184120.001
6.41.3238931E-51.500847E-57.849969E-452.3035967.7E-45.6737044E-56.432098E-58.8426826E-413.7477438.2E-46.9055456E-47.8292453E-40.00167222782.13587368.9E-40.0068841260.0078112890.008763791.12193919.6E-4
6.51.3238931E-51.500847E-57.849969E-452.3035967.7E-45.6737044E-56.432098E-58.8426826E-413.7477438.2E-46.9055456E-47.8292453E-40.00167222782.13587368.9E-40.0068841260.0078112890.008763791.12193919.6E-4
6.61.1328278E-51.2855176E-56.028476E-446.895325.9E-44.8548856E-55.5092984E-56.850583E-412.4345836.3E-45.90922E-46.706464E-40.00137017692.04306917.0E-40.00589353130.00669561370.0074604581.11423067.7E-4
6.78.651175E-69.824575E-64.4982025E-445.7852134.4E-43.707594E-54.2105148E-55.020858E-411.9245694.6E-44.5130608E-45.126002E-40.00104232842.03341445.3E-40.00450390620.00512305650.0057000851.11263375.8E-4
6.81.0215377E-61.1754802E-62.1175456E-518.0143032.0E-54.378012E-65.037763E-62.5037662E-54.9699962.0E-55.3300988E-56.133315E-59.133131E-51.48910193.0E-55.3288206E-46.131735E-46.4315513E-41.04889583.0E-5
6.97.9360774E-79.283496E-79.283496E-71.00.03.4011714E-63.9786355E-63.9786355E-61.00.04.1408475E-54.843888E-54.843888E-51.00.04.140076E-44.842902E-44.842902E-41.00.0
7.07.4382757E-78.747428E-78.747428E-71.00.03.1878285E-63.7488926E-63.7488926E-61.00.03.8811122E-54.564188E-54.564188E-51.00.03.8804344E-44.563317E-44.563317E-41.00.0
7.16.4709513E-77.711399E-77.711399E-71.00.02.773262E-63.3048816E-63.3048816E-61.00.03.376394E-54.023625E-54.023625E-51.00.03.375881E-44.022956E-44.022956E-41.00.0
7.26.356704E-77.588459E-77.588459E-71.00.02.7242988E-63.252193E-63.252193E-61.00.03.3167835E-53.959479E-53.959479E-51.00.03.3162883E-43.9588328E-43.9588328E-41.00.0
7.35.7695723E-76.896648E-76.896648E-71.00.02.4726714E-62.9557032E-62.9557032E-61.00.03.0104358E-53.598515E-53.598515E-51.00.03.0100282E-43.5979896E-43.5979896E-41.00.0
7.45.209647E-76.193583E-76.193583E-71.00.02.232704E-62.6543903E-62.6543903E-61.00.02.718283E-53.2316777E-53.2316777E-51.00.02.7179506E-43.2312635E-43.2312635E-41.00.0
7.54.512955E-75.3489487E-75.3489487E-71.00.01.934122E-62.2924048E-62.2924048E-61.00.02.3547682E-52.7909726E-52.7909726E-51.00.02.3545188E-42.7906752E-42.7906752E-41.00.0
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-51.3587343E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.3586794E-41.00.0

Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.744542E-54.396349E-50.001403903731.9334010.001361.604705E-41.8840231E-40.00165812538.80098150.001470.00195197760.00229155710.0039078451.70532290.001620.0193492060.0226972810.0244173351.07578230.00176
6.13.744542E-54.396349E-50.001403903731.9334010.001361.604705E-41.8840231E-40.00165812538.80098150.001470.00195197760.00229155710.0039078451.70532290.001620.0193492060.0226972810.0244173351.07578230.00176
6.23.744542E-54.396349E-50.001403903731.9334010.001361.604705E-41.8840231E-40.00165812538.80098150.001470.00195197760.00229155710.0039078451.70532290.001620.0193492060.0226972810.0244173351.07578230.00176
6.32.1079984E-52.5354384E-56.1533944E-424.2695475.9E-49.0339665E-51.0865723E-47.285899E-46.70539676.2E-40.00109933040.00132211890.002001221.51364596.8E-40.0109390790.0131447470.0138651511.05480557.3E-4
6.42.1079984E-52.5354384E-56.1533944E-424.2695475.9E-49.0339665E-51.0865723E-47.285899E-46.70539676.2E-40.00109933040.00132211890.002001221.51364596.8E-40.0109390790.0131447470.0138651511.05480557.3E-4
6.51.7397282E-52.0663285E-54.506544E-421.8094274.3E-47.455765E-58.8554E-55.4851326E-46.1941114.6E-49.073613E-40.00107762350.00157708471.46348395.0E-40.0090366540.0107252730.0112594811.04980845.4E-4
6.61.52050325E-51.7680086E-53.576741E-420.2303373.4E-46.51628E-57.576964E-54.457416E-45.88285263.7E-47.9306826E-49.221128E-40.00133173471.4442214.1E-40.0079024390.0091837290.0096295961.04854974.5E-4
6.71.332523E-51.5264379E-53.152598E-420.65333.0E-45.7106878E-56.541716E-53.953956E-46.04421763.3E-46.950544E-47.9616875E-40.00115588211.45180553.6E-40.0069288450.00793379450.0083306211.05001724.0E-4
6.81.1525329E-51.3031365E-52.7302798E-420.9516032.6E-44.9393333E-55.5847537E-53.4583133E-46.1924192.9E-46.011979E-46.7973585E-49.895251E-41.45574953.1E-40.005995740.00677701920.0071147151.04982963.4E-4
6.91.0253909E-51.1514835E-52.0151265E-417.5002631.9E-44.3944583E-54.934838E-52.6933753E-45.457882.2E-45.3489394E-46.006545E-48.3051634E-41.38268572.3E-40.00533608250.00599068960.0062391921.04148142.5E-4
7.08.104563E-68.99143E-61.2899034E-414.3459211.2E-43.4733377E-53.853415E-51.7852875E-44.63300131.4E-44.2279682E-44.6905465E-46.189843E-41.31964221.5E-40.00421993340.00468089430.00484014541.03402151.6E-4
7.16.7986157E-67.5159796E-68.751538E-511.64390858.0E-52.91366E-53.2210955E-51.3220773E-44.10443351.0E-43.5468035E-43.9209996E-45.0205685E-41.28043071.1E-40.0035411480.0039142980.0040338281.03053691.2E-4
7.25.6893327E-66.280132E-67.627969E-512.1461937.0E-52.4382627E-52.6914584E-51.1691216E-44.3438229.0E-52.9681803E-43.276378E-44.2760503E-41.30511511.0E-40.0029642190.0032717460.00338138621.03351121.1E-4
7.34.253348E-64.707075E-65.4706838E-511.6222585.0E-51.8228506E-52.017303E-58.017182E-53.97420796.0E-52.2190946E-42.455808E-43.155636E-41.28496867.0E-50.002216880.00245327530.0025330791.03252958.0E-5
7.42.5448119E-62.8520594E-63.2851975E-511.5186843.0E-51.0906291E-51.2223064E-54.22227E-53.45434643.0E-51.3277601E-41.4880729E-41.7880283E-41.2015733.0E-50.0013269670.00148723870.00151719411.02014163.0E-5
7.54.3706837E-84.562909E-84.562909E-81.00.01.8731501E-71.9555324E-71.9555324E-71.00.02.2805577E-62.3808586E-62.3808586E-61.00.02.2805343E-52.3808387E-52.3808387E-51.00.0

Coyote Canyon

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.5090034E-54.0364317E-50.001160319128.746160.001121.503772E-41.7297991E-40.00142276378.2250220.001250.00182930470.00210425330.00349132861.65917680.001390.0181431940.0208692050.0223183181.06943790.00148
6.13.5090034E-54.0364317E-50.001160319128.746160.001121.503772E-41.7297991E-40.00142276378.2250220.001250.00182930470.00210425330.00349132861.65917680.001390.0181431940.0208692050.0223183181.06943790.00148
6.21.841879E-52.1059794E-56.2104716E-429.4897086.0E-47.8935285E-59.025371E-57.501941E-48.3120586.6E-49.606133E-40.00109838710.00181759611.65478677.2E-40.00956471450.0109396680.0116913531.0687127.6E-4
6.31.841879E-52.1059794E-56.2104716E-429.4897086.0E-47.8935285E-59.025371E-57.501941E-48.3120586.6E-49.606133E-40.00109838710.00181759611.65478677.2E-40.00956471450.0109396680.0116913531.0687127.6E-4
6.41.712201E-51.9565212E-56.0955365E-431.1549745.9E-47.337798E-58.3848776E-57.337943E-48.7514016.5E-48.930107E-40.00102048130.00172975681.69504017.1E-40.0088943070.0101678710.0109102451.07301187.5E-4
6.51.4744935E-51.6836972E-54.9682887E-429.508214.8E-46.3191044E-57.215698E-55.9211947E-48.205995.2E-47.6907943E-48.782507E-40.00145774131.65982375.8E-40.0076642320.0087569940.0093715661.07018056.2E-4
6.61.2017839E-51.3724089E-54.3371832E-431.6027054.2E-45.150401E-55.88167E-55.1878963E-48.8204484.6E-46.268809E-47.159466E-40.00123557441.72579115.2E-40.00625115450.00714509380.0076911641.07642595.5E-4
6.71.00956095E-51.1533517E-53.8152924E-433.0800443.7E-44.326618E-54.942891E-54.5940865E-49.2943314.1E-45.266384E-46.017178E-40.00107143491.7806274.7E-40.0052539210.00600941250.00650640761.08270285.0E-4

Death Valley (So)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0684236E-52.5618314E-50.001045592140.8142470.001028.864371E-51.0978825E-40.001249663111.3824840.001140.00107870290.00133586920.00266409251.99427640.001330.0107348170.0132799850.0146811271.10550790.00142
6.12.0684236E-52.5618314E-50.001045592140.8142470.001028.864371E-51.0978825E-40.001249663111.3824840.001140.00107870290.00133586920.00266409251.99427640.001330.0107348170.0132799850.0146811271.10550790.00142
6.22.0684236E-52.5618314E-50.001045592140.8142470.001028.864371E-51.0978825E-40.001249663111.3824840.001140.00107870290.00133586920.00266409251.99427640.001330.0107348170.0132799850.0146811271.10550790.00142
6.32.0240292E-52.51184E-59.950941E-439.6161429.7E-48.6741224E-51.0764593E-40.001177530710.9389250.001070.00105556260.0013098180.00255818081.9530810.001250.0105056280.0130225430.0143549631.10231640.00135
6.42.0240292E-52.51184E-59.950941E-439.6161429.7E-48.6741224E-51.0764593E-40.001177530710.9389250.001070.00105556260.0013098180.00255818081.9530810.001250.0105056280.0130225430.0143549631.10231640.00135
6.51.9962767E-52.4807652E-59.5478457E-438.4875039.3E-48.55519E-51.0631427E-40.001116206910.49912550.001010.00104109680.00129362440.0024820851.9187060.001190.0103623270.012862490.0141260251.09823420.00128
6.61.8937297E-52.3311462E-58.7329163E-437.46198.5E-48.115732E-59.990252E-50.001029809610.3081459.3E-49.876423E-40.00121564910.00228434821.87911820.001070.0098326450.01209150350.0132374771.09477510.00116
6.71.8621096E-52.2912098E-58.6289283E-437.6610158.4E-47.980225E-59.8191085E-59.981027E-410.1649019.0E-49.711593E-40.00119483540.00222360461.86101340.001030.0096692610.0118856250.0129824321.09228010.00111
6.81.7830353E-52.1806083E-58.417882E-438.6033638.2E-47.641356E-59.3451374E-59.733691E-410.4157828.8E-49.29938E-40.00113719070.00211607621.86079289.8E-40.0092605610.011316090.0123640941.09261190.00106
6.91.3135183E-51.5304031E-56.05295E-439.5513465.9E-45.6292425E-56.558709E-56.9554575E-410.6049196.3E-46.8514474E-47.982367E-40.0014876861.86371536.9E-40.0068303620.0079551580.0086793511.09103447.3E-4
7.01.1507512E-51.3154237E-54.031491E-430.647853.9E-44.9316975E-55.637412E-54.863499E-48.6271844.3E-46.002687E-46.861445E-40.00113583581.65538854.5E-40.00598649870.00684149240.00731820851.06968014.8E-4
7.19.715903E-61.0865287E-52.4086279E-422.1681022.3E-44.1638916E-54.6564706E-52.76554E-45.9391332.3E-45.068359E-45.667821E-48.066461E-41.42320312.4E-40.00505681480.0056538340.0059123641.04572652.6E-4
7.29.233269E-61.0286314E-51.9028447E-418.49881.8E-43.9570554E-54.408348E-52.2407554E-45.0829821.8E-44.81665E-45.365884E-47.1649184E-41.33527271.8E-40.00480622330.00535335950.00555228861.03715972.0E-4
7.38.8041315E-69.808164E-61.5980669E-416.2932321.5E-43.7731446E-54.2034335E-51.9202803E-44.56836131.5E-44.592835E-45.1165203E-46.615753E-41.2930181.5E-40.00458335460.0051051670.005264351.03118071.6E-4
7.48.708749E-69.707175E-61.3970591E-414.3920261.3E-43.7322676E-54.160154E-51.7159613E-44.12475441.3E-44.5430884E-45.0638523E-46.363194E-41.25659161.3E-40.0045338120.00505273980.0051920321.02756771.4E-4
7.58.612678E-69.604817E-61.2960366E-413.493611.2E-43.6910955E-54.1162875E-51.6115794E-43.91512821.2E-44.492982E-45.01047E-46.2098686E-41.23937851.2E-40.0044839090.00499959850.0051289491.02587211.3E-4
7.68.319024E-69.283916E-61.1928289E-412.8483381.1E-43.5652476E-53.978763E-51.4978326E-43.76456831.1E-44.3398244E-44.8431093E-45.9425767E-41.22701681.1E-40.00433135870.00483297840.0049523981.02470951.2E-4
7.77.4718328E-68.34517E-68.83445E-510.5863048.0E-53.2021748E-53.5764548E-51.15761686E-43.2367728.0E-53.8979502E-44.353504E-45.1531557E-41.183688.0E-50.003891120.00434538070.00443498931.02062179.0E-5
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-73.6482615E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.5635396E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035933E-51.9035933E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.9034347E-41.9034347E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

Towne Pass

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.849728E-63.894542E-68.638912E-4221.8218.6E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-59.566751E-457.317479.4E-42.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.00129297466.36318730.001090.00200672080.00203053190.00319815611.57503380.00117
6.13.849728E-63.894542E-68.638912E-4221.8218.6E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-59.566751E-457.317479.4E-42.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.00129297466.36318730.001090.00200672080.00203053190.00319815611.57503380.00117
6.23.849728E-63.894542E-68.638912E-4221.8218.6E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-59.566751E-457.317479.4E-42.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.00129297466.36318730.001090.00200672080.00203053190.00319815611.57503380.00117
6.33.849728E-63.894542E-68.638912E-4221.8218.6E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-59.566751E-457.317479.4E-42.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.00129297466.36318730.001090.00200672080.00203053190.00319815611.57503380.00117
6.43.849728E-63.894542E-68.638912E-4221.8218.6E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-59.566751E-457.317479.4E-42.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.00129297466.36318730.001090.00200672080.00203053190.00319815611.57503380.00117
6.51.1953545E-61.2030526E-61.8120283E-4150.619221.8E-45.1229376E-65.15593E-62.051549E-439.7900852.0E-46.236998E-56.277176E-52.9275732E-44.6638382.3E-46.235248E-46.2755204E-48.674014E-41.38219852.4E-4
6.61.1953545E-61.2030526E-61.8120283E-4150.619221.8E-45.1229376E-65.15593E-62.051549E-439.7900852.0E-46.236998E-56.277176E-52.9275732E-44.6638382.3E-46.235248E-46.2755204E-48.674014E-41.38219852.4E-4
6.78.375951E-78.410676E-71.4084094E-4167.454971.4E-43.5896885E-63.6045708E-61.63604E-445.3879241.6E-44.370358E-54.3884826E-52.3387649E-45.32932471.9E-44.3694986E-44.3876728E-46.2868395E-41.43284141.9E-4
6.86.38041E-76.3921624E-71.2063914E-4188.729781.2E-42.7344586E-62.7394954E-61.4273911E-452.104161.4E-43.3291526E-53.3352884E-52.0334721E-46.09684041.7E-43.3286537E-43.334826E-45.034259E-41.50960171.7E-4
6.95.3460053E-75.345339E-71.2053447E-4225.494541.2E-42.2911431E-62.2908578E-61.4229053E-462.1123431.4E-42.789431E-52.7890868E-51.9788613E-47.09501461.7E-42.789081E-42.78877E-44.488296E-41.60941771.7E-4
7.03.557783E-73.5324283E-77.035322E-5199.16397.0E-51.5247632E-61.513897E-69.1513764E-560.449139.0E-51.8563835E-51.8431549E-51.0842989E-45.8828429.0E-51.8562283E-41.8430105E-42.7428445E-41.48824149.0E-5
7.13.037942E-73.0002275E-75.030001E-5167.653985.0E-51.3019744E-61.2858112E-67.128572E-555.440277.0E-51.5851423E-51.5654647E-58.565355E-55.47144567.0E-51.5850292E-41.5653619E-42.2652523E-41.44711097.0E-5
7.22.0808248E-72.0217735E-73.020217E-5149.384553.0E-58.917818E-78.6647407E-75.086643E-558.7050825.0E-51.0857389E-51.0549275E-56.0548748E-55.7396125.0E-51.0856859E-41.0548821E-41.5548294E-41.47393675.0E-5
7.31.1162073E-71.0636902E-72.0106367E-5189.024642.0E-54.7837443E-74.5586717E-73.0455854E-566.808623.0E-55.8241935E-65.5501705E-63.5550005E-56.4052093.0E-55.8240406E-55.550052E-58.5498854E-51.54050543.0E-5

San Andreas (San Bernardino S)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2336002E-43.0005194E-40.00104982693.49881727.5E-45.2857865E-40.00128532920.00208430091.62160868.0E-40.0064164720.0155415540.0163783451.05384218.5E-40.062343370.142946990.143726921.0054569.1E-4
6.11.2336002E-43.0005194E-40.00104982693.49881727.5E-45.2857865E-40.00128532920.00208430091.62160868.0E-40.0064164720.0155415540.0163783451.05384218.5E-40.062343370.142946990.143726921.0054569.1E-4
6.21.2336002E-43.0005194E-40.00104982693.49881727.5E-45.2857865E-40.00128532920.00208430091.62160868.0E-40.0064164720.0155415540.0163783451.05384218.5E-40.062343370.142946990.143726921.0054569.1E-4
6.31.1712257E-42.8793467E-40.00103771873.60400777.5E-45.018573E-40.00123344780.0020324611.64778858.0E-40.0060930080.0149186660.0157559851.05612568.5E-40.0592863220.137657790.138442521.00570069.1E-4
6.41.1712257E-42.8793467E-40.00103771873.60400777.5E-45.018573E-40.00123344780.0020324611.64778858.0E-40.0060930080.0149186660.0157559851.05612568.5E-40.0592863220.137657790.138442521.00570069.1E-4
6.51.0689076E-42.6806415E-40.00100786583.75979337.4E-44.5802278E-40.00114836530.00193745821.68714447.9E-40.00556217830.0138963350.01472466251.05960768.4E-40.054250030.12889890.12968291.00608229.0E-4
6.69.7648895E-52.505129E-49.7033253E-43.87338337.2E-44.1842813E-40.00107320860.00184238221.71670467.7E-40.0050824690.0129923990.0138017451.06229388.2E-40.0496778860.1210777460.12185121.00638818.8E-4
6.78.757013E-52.3122175E-49.5105526E-44.1131747.2E-43.7524657E-49.905964E-40.00175983351.77653967.7E-40.004559060.0119979020.0128080641.06752538.2E-40.044666560.1123730240.1131541361.00695118.8E-4
6.88.562978E-52.2682057E-49.4665727E-44.17359547.2E-43.6693315E-49.7174826E-40.0017411.79161637.7E-40.0044582630.0117709210.0125812691.06884328.2E-40.0436987580.110378630.11116151.00709268.8E-4
6.96.124075E-51.7066885E-48.805477E-45.15939337.1E-42.6243398E-47.312337E-40.00149067792.03857957.6E-40.00319045270.0088666360.0096694551.09054378.1E-40.0314503460.084202620.084999361.00946228.7E-4
7.05.8598747E-51.6495936E-48.748422E-45.30338057.1E-42.5111332E-47.067779E-40.00146624072.07454257.6E-40.00305301860.0085712650.0093743221.09369188.1E-40.030114140.081515620.08231471.00980288.7E-4
7.15.613814E-51.5914452E-48.5903314E-45.3978187.0E-42.4056983E-46.818704E-40.0014313592.09916577.5E-40.00292500390.0082703530.0090637371.0959318.0E-40.0288680210.078812680.07960491.0100528.6E-4
7.24.991222E-51.4520933E-48.3510915E-45.7510716.9E-42.1389198E-46.221777E-40.00136171722.18863087.4E-40.0026010250.00754880630.0083328431.10386237.9E-40.0257079120.072261910.0730504841.01091288.5E-4
7.34.7410045E-51.371513E-48.17058E-45.9573486.8E-42.0317009E-45.8765925E-40.00131723032.24148657.3E-40.00247078970.00713136560.0079058031.1085967.8E-40.0244349820.0685419440.069324371.01141528.4E-4
7.44.5556746E-51.3123035E-48.111411E-46.18104846.8E-41.952286E-45.6229485E-40.001281892.2797477.2E-40.0023743170.00682452930.00758927461.11205837.7E-40.0234910860.065791430.0665668251.01178568.3E-4
7.54.3084514E-51.2358342E-48.0349937E-46.5016766.8E-41.8463485E-45.2953605E-40.00124915482.35896097.2E-40.00224561150.00642811460.0071931651.11901637.7E-40.0222305450.0621902830.0629686641.01251618.3E-4
7.63.408608E-59.836477E-57.782979E-47.91236456.8E-41.4607502E-44.214953E-40.00114119182.70748427.2E-40.00177701250.0051196560.00588571371.14963087.7E-40.0176286960.050022440.050810921.01576268.3E-4
7.72.8315713E-58.2495724E-57.624396E-49.2421716.8E-41.2134742E-43.5350522E-40.00107325073.0360257.2E-40.00147640340.0042954420.0050621341.17848987.7E-40.014666330.0422724150.043067331.01880468.3E-4
7.82.6222975E-57.463898E-57.4458896E-49.9758736.7E-41.1237934E-43.1984213E-40.0010296153.2191357.1E-40.00136735970.0038871310.0046441771.1947577.6E-40.0135897680.0384374750.0392259551.02051338.2E-4
7.92.1469694E-55.7884805E-56.278518E-410.8465745.7E-49.200973E-52.4805416E-48.5790287E-43.45853046.1E-40.00111964280.003015880.00367388971.21818166.6E-40.0111401840.0301532650.0308515541.0231587.2E-4
8.01.2420249E-53.1321662E-52.4131508E-47.7044152.1E-45.322855E-51.342288E-43.5419926E-42.63877252.2E-46.478649E-40.00163301160.00187261961.14672772.4E-40.00645979350.016523690.0167793951.0154752.6E-4
8.14.9197724E-67.822525E-61.7822445E-52.27834961.0E-52.1084568E-53.3524673E-54.352434E-51.29827771.0E-52.566744E-44.080866E-44.1808252E-41.02449461.0E-50.0025637810.0043845570.0043945131.00227071.0E-5
8.22.5634774E-62.9065757E-61.29065465E-54.44046451.0E-51.0986286E-51.2456694E-52.245657E-51.80277121.0E-51.3374983E-41.5164974E-41.6164822E-41.06593141.0E-50.00133669340.0017049410.0017149241.00585531.0E-5
8.35.2850464E-73.2080476E-73.2080476E-71.00.02.2650179E-61.3748769E-61.3748769E-61.00.02.7576245E-51.673901E-51.673901E-51.00.02.7572823E-41.986671E-41.986671E-41.00.0

Nelson Lake

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.913453E-61.0192255E-55.7018653E-455.943125.6E-44.2485535E-54.3680422E-56.93652E-415.8801586.5E-45.1713863E-45.316897E-40.00125130692.35345347.2E-40.00515936830.0053052040.0060611721.14249557.6E-4
6.19.913453E-61.0192255E-55.7018653E-455.943125.6E-44.2485535E-54.3680422E-56.93652E-415.8801586.5E-45.1713863E-45.316897E-40.00125130692.35345347.2E-40.00515936830.0053052040.0060611721.14249557.6E-4
6.24.5596407E-64.696313E-62.3469524E-449.9743582.3E-41.954117E-52.0126909E-53.0012126E-414.9114452.8E-42.3788778E-42.4501883E-45.549429E-42.2648993.1E-40.00237633290.00244761280.0027967561.14264643.5E-4
6.34.5596407E-64.696313E-62.3469524E-449.9743582.3E-41.954117E-52.0126909E-53.0012126E-414.9114452.8E-42.3788778E-42.4501883E-45.549429E-42.2648993.1E-40.00237633290.00244761280.0027967561.14264643.5E-4
6.43.4025713E-63.5098972E-61.735093E-449.4342961.7E-41.4582367E-51.5042335E-52.0503948E-413.6308281.9E-41.7752586E-41.8312587E-44.0308558E-42.20113952.2E-40.0017738410.00182983270.0020893571.14182952.6E-4
6.52.8352947E-62.927856E-61.2292751E-441.98551.2E-41.2151207E-51.2547898E-51.5254614E-412.1571061.4E-41.479309E-41.5276071E-43.2273473E-42.11268161.7E-40.00147832460.00152663080.00173631021.13734782.1E-4
6.62.251518E-62.3290677E-68.232888E-535.348438.0E-59.649328E-69.981683E-61.0998068E-411.018251.0E-41.1747423E-41.2152085E-42.5150506E-42.06964541.3E-40.00117412140.00121460580.00137441141.131571.6E-4
6.71.8911853E-61.9591396E-67.1959E-536.72997.0E-58.105055E-68.39629E-69.839553E-511.7189319.0E-59.867457E-51.0222061E-42.2220834E-42.17381141.2E-49.863076E-40.00102179350.00116165041.1368741.4E-4
6.81.4874814E-61.5438305E-65.1543753E-533.3869255.0E-56.374905E-66.6164025E-67.661594E-511.5796987.0E-57.76117E-58.055224E-51.70545E-42.11719739.0E-57.75846E-48.0528157E-49.1519294E-41.13648821.1E-4
6.96.835972E-77.1399285E-73.071397E-543.01723.0E-52.9296991E-63.0599674E-63.3059874E-510.8039963.0E-53.56685E-53.7254784E-56.725367E-51.80523563.0E-53.5662777E-43.7251666E-44.0250548E-41.08050333.0E-5

Paradise

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4851273E-51.6694768E-55.4668594E-432.745945.3E-46.364676E-57.154718E-56.5150566E-49.1059595.8E-47.7462377E-48.707624E-40.00153018771.75729646.6E-40.00771929140.0086758840.0093896381.08226877.2E-4
6.11.4851273E-51.6694768E-55.4668594E-432.745945.3E-46.364676E-57.154718E-56.5150566E-49.1059595.8E-47.7462377E-48.707624E-40.00153018771.75729646.6E-40.00771929140.0086758840.0093896381.08226877.2E-4
6.21.4851273E-51.6694768E-55.4668594E-432.745945.3E-46.364676E-57.154718E-56.5150566E-49.1059595.8E-47.7462377E-48.707624E-40.00153018771.75729646.6E-40.00771929140.0086758840.0093896381.08226877.2E-4
6.31.0426831E-51.1888697E-53.0188524E-425.3926262.9E-44.4685654E-55.09506E-53.609348E-47.0840153.1E-45.43912E-46.201529E-49.599421E-41.54791193.4E-40.00542582660.00618483170.00654260531.05784693.6E-4
6.41.0426831E-51.1888697E-53.0188524E-425.3926262.9E-44.4685654E-55.09506E-53.609348E-47.0840153.1E-45.43912E-46.201529E-49.599421E-41.54791193.4E-40.00542582660.00618483170.00654260531.05784693.6E-4
6.59.25027E-61.0620037E-52.4061759E-422.6569442.3E-43.964341E-54.551368E-52.955023E-46.49260432.5E-44.8255164E-45.5399304E-48.1384904E-41.469062.6E-40.00481505130.00552661950.0058050721.05038392.8E-4
6.67.904275E-69.159602E-61.4915832E-416.2843671.4E-43.3875025E-53.925487E-51.7924937E-44.56629661.4E-44.1235037E-44.7782718E-46.277555E-41.3137711.5E-40.00411586040.0047683950.0049375841.03548151.7E-4
6.77.2061953E-68.407326E-61.184064E-414.0837171.1E-43.088333E-53.603092E-51.4602696E-44.05282351.1E-43.7593965E-44.3859181E-45.585392E-41.27348291.2E-40.0037530430.0043776310.0045070621.02956641.3E-4
6.86.6948724E-67.842242E-68.784162E-511.2010848.0E-52.8691995E-53.3609194E-51.13606504E-43.3802218.0E-53.4926904E-44.091187E-44.9908186E-41.2198959.0E-50.0034872060.00408401250.00418360441.02438571.0E-4
6.96.0421025E-67.1306963E-66.713027E-59.4142666.0E-52.5894467E-53.0559786E-59.055795E-52.96330456.0E-53.1521954E-43.7200528E-44.3198297E-41.16122816.0E-50.00314772780.00371416380.00378390381.01877687.0E-5
7.04.134091E-65.0803824E-62.508028E-54.93669132.0E-51.7717413E-52.1772896E-54.177246E-51.91855342.0E-52.1568815E-42.650543E-42.85049E-41.07543622.0E-50.00215478920.00264753470.00266748181.00753412.0E-5
7.13.7674888E-64.631936E-62.4631843E-55.3178292.0E-51.6146281E-51.9851012E-53.9850616E-52.00748542.0E-51.9656324E-42.4166079E-42.6165595E-41.08274072.0E-50.00196389460.00241413060.00243408231.00826452.0E-5
7.23.4065345E-64.156782E-62.41567E-55.8113942.0E-51.4599351E-51.7814667E-53.7814312E-52.12265042.0E-51.777326E-42.168735E-42.3686915E-41.09219972.0E-50.00177590530.00216676670.00218672331.00921032.0E-5
7.32.9934936E-63.6293673E-63.6293673E-61.00.01.2829195E-51.5554348E-51.5554348E-51.00.01.5618425E-41.8935918E-41.8935918E-41.00.00.00156074530.00189212370.00189212371.00.0
7.42.4049796E-62.8890186E-62.8890186E-61.00.01.0307015E-51.2381457E-51.2381457E-51.00.01.2548068E-41.5073526E-41.5073526E-41.00.00.00125409850.00150647150.00150647151.00.0
7.51.2710091E-61.5134859E-61.5134859E-61.00.05.44717E-66.4863593E-66.4863593E-61.00.06.631728E-57.896981E-57.896981E-51.00.06.6297496E-47.895401E-47.895401E-41.00.0
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-51.3587343E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.3586794E-41.00.0

Bicycle Lake

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9621975E-52.2097078E-54.2208823E-419.1015424.0E-48.4091465E-59.4699084E-55.2465836E-45.54026844.3E-40.00102333270.00115248650.00166189881.44201155.1E-40.010186330.0114784080.0120220951.0473665.5E-4
6.11.9621975E-52.2097078E-54.2208823E-419.1015424.0E-48.4091465E-59.4699084E-55.2465836E-45.54026844.3E-40.00102333270.00115248650.00166189881.44201155.1E-40.010186330.0114784080.0120220951.0473665.5E-4
6.29.9971285E-61.125564E-52.712527E-424.0992722.6E-44.2844134E-54.8237856E-53.2822436E-46.804292.8E-45.2150246E-45.871897E-49.2699E-41.57868923.4E-40.00520280330.0058614870.00622931771.06275393.7E-4
6.39.589428E-61.0798346E-52.5079577E-423.2253862.4E-44.10969E-54.62781E-53.0626607E-46.61794852.6E-45.002399E-45.6334207E-48.831618E-41.56771853.2E-40.00499115330.00562422960.0059722611.06188073.5E-4
6.49.589428E-61.0798346E-52.5079577E-423.2253862.4E-44.10969E-54.62781E-53.0626607E-46.61794852.6E-45.002399E-45.6334207E-48.831618E-41.56771853.2E-40.00499115330.00562422960.0059722611.06188073.5E-4
6.55.557707E-66.2856016E-61.8628447E-429.6366981.8E-42.3818526E-52.6938165E-52.2693278E-48.4242112.0E-42.8995197E-43.279497E-45.67871E-41.73157952.4E-40.00289573940.00327729340.00353644141.07907382.6E-4
6.64.8742945E-65.5132896E-61.7551235E-431.8344151.7E-42.0889667E-52.3628318E-52.1362383E-49.0410091.9E-42.54302E-42.87663E-45.1759684E-41.79931662.3E-40.0025401120.00287547520.00312475631.08669212.5E-4
6.73.991108E-64.5159104E-61.4451527E-432.001361.4E-41.7104636E-51.9353902E-51.793508E-49.2669071.6E-42.0822904E-42.3563375E-44.355866E-41.84857492.0E-40.00208034040.00235633740.00257581911.09314532.2E-4

Garlic Springs

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6760017E-51.8776833E-54.2876913E-422.8350094.1E-47.182667E-58.0470316E-55.404333E-46.71593334.6E-48.7413884E-49.794032E-40.00147891351.5100155.0E-40.0087070830.0097624130.0102674351.05173125.1E-4
6.19.852767E-61.0973587E-52.2097128E-420.136652.1E-44.222546E-54.702921E-52.6701886E-45.6777242.2E-45.139737E-45.7250116E-48.2235807E-41.43643032.5E-40.0051278660.0057172210.0059757351.04521672.6E-4
6.29.852767E-61.0973587E-52.2097128E-420.136652.1E-44.222546E-54.702921E-52.6701886E-45.6777242.2E-45.139737E-45.7250116E-48.2235807E-41.43643032.5E-40.0051278660.0057172210.0059757351.04521672.6E-4
6.34.3167724E-64.7780286E-64.4777837E-59.37161354.0E-51.8500323E-52.0477235E-56.0476414E-52.95334894.0E-52.2521814E-42.4930484E-42.9929238E-41.20050765.0E-50.00224990030.002492510.00254238541.02001015.0E-5
6.44.3167724E-64.7780286E-64.4777837E-59.37161354.0E-51.8500323E-52.0477235E-56.0476414E-52.95334894.0E-52.2521814E-42.4930484E-42.9929238E-41.20050765.0E-50.00224990030.002492510.00254238541.02001015.0E-5
6.54.3167724E-64.7780286E-64.4777837E-59.37161354.0E-51.8500323E-52.0477235E-56.0476414E-52.95334894.0E-52.2521814E-42.4930484E-42.9929238E-41.20050765.0E-50.00224990030.002492510.00254238541.02001015.0E-5
6.64.301311E-64.760897E-64.4760705E-59.4017384.0E-51.8434059E-52.0403815E-56.0403E-52.96037774.0E-52.2441156E-42.4841115E-42.9839872E-41.20122925.0E-50.00224185060.0024835930.00253346891.02008215.0E-5
6.73.8599724E-64.27106E-64.4270888E-510.3653174.0E-51.6542634E-51.8304541E-55.830381E-53.185214.0E-52.0138794E-42.228578E-42.7284666E-41.22430835.0E-50.00201205540.0022285780.00227846651.02238585.0E-5

Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6707214E-51.867027E-53.6866372E-419.7460333.5E-47.160038E-58.001303E-54.5998264E-45.74884653.8E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.00138333161.4206514.1E-40.008679770.0096954960.0101510371.04698474.6E-4
6.11.6707214E-51.867027E-53.6866372E-419.7460333.5E-47.160038E-58.001303E-54.5998264E-45.74884653.8E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.00138333161.4206514.1E-40.008679770.0096954960.0101510371.04698474.6E-4
6.21.6707214E-51.867027E-53.6866372E-419.7460333.5E-47.160038E-58.001303E-54.5998264E-45.74884653.8E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.00138333161.4206514.1E-40.008679770.0096954960.0101510371.04698474.6E-4
6.31.6707214E-51.867027E-53.6866372E-419.7460333.5E-47.160038E-58.001303E-54.5998264E-45.74884653.8E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.00138333161.4206514.1E-40.008679770.0096954960.0101510371.04698474.6E-4
6.41.5515609E-51.7338214E-53.2733285E-418.8792723.1E-46.649377E-57.4304546E-54.0428003E-45.44085173.3E-48.0926094E-49.042885E-40.0012639631.3977433.6E-40.0080632020.0090067730.009413081.04511134.1E-4
6.51.5515609E-51.7338214E-53.2733285E-418.8792723.1E-46.649377E-57.4304546E-54.0428003E-45.44085173.3E-48.0926094E-49.042885E-40.0012639631.3977433.6E-40.0080632020.0090067730.009413081.04511134.1E-4
6.61.5041828E-51.6809145E-52.868046E-417.0624162.7E-46.4463384E-57.203723E-53.5201706E-44.88659862.8E-47.8455906E-48.767063E-40.00118643451.35328613.1E-40.007817950.0087331320.0090899891.04086233.6E-4
6.71.4634985E-51.6356016E-52.7635176E-416.896032.6E-46.271985E-57.009536E-53.4007643E-44.85162542.7E-47.6334673E-48.5308263E-40.00115282671.35136583.0E-40.0076072990.0084987150.0088457411.04083263.5E-4
6.81.4209158E-51.5882048E-52.5587823E-416.1111622.4E-46.089497E-56.8064175E-53.1804715E-44.67275432.5E-47.4114406E-48.2837185E-40.00109814821.32567062.7E-40.0073867710.0082534560.0085608981.037253.1E-4
6.91.3780098E-51.5404594E-52.4540105E-415.9303822.3E-45.9056227E-56.6018045E-53.060022E-44.635132.4E-47.1877235E-48.0347876E-40.00106326981.32333292.6E-40.00716451930.0080063320.0082940111.03593132.9E-4
7.01.3585064E-51.5188155E-52.3518481E-415.4847522.2E-45.8220405E-56.50905E-52.8507618E-44.37968972.2E-47.086029E-47.9219416E-40.0010220121.29010282.3E-40.0070634760.0078942930.0081522411.03267512.6E-4
7.11.3398601E-51.49813395E-52.3497804E-415.6847152.2E-45.742131E-56.420419E-52.8419006E-44.42634772.2E-46.9888023E-47.8141113E-40.00101123141.29410932.3E-40.00696686380.0077872240.0080451991.0331282.6E-4
7.21.3126312E-51.4679561E-52.1467662E-414.6241862.0E-45.6254412E-56.291092E-52.6289833E-44.17889832.0E-46.846822E-47.6567667E-49.6552353E-41.26100682.0E-40.0068257650.007630970.0078592151.02991032.3E-4
7.31.2922429E-51.4453788E-51.9445119E-413.4533021.8E-45.5380664E-56.194336E-52.4193221E-43.90570021.8E-46.74051E-47.53905E-49.337693E-41.23857691.8E-40.0067201010.0075140550.0077125521.02641682.0E-4
7.41.2768878E-51.4283772E-51.742815E-412.2013641.6E-45.4722615E-56.1214756E-52.2120496E-43.61358881.6E-46.660441E-47.4504025E-49.0492103E-41.21459351.6E-40.00664051440.00742600350.0076046671.02405921.8E-4
7.51.2521929E-51.40120155E-51.640099E-411.7049481.5E-45.366431E-56.005014E-52.1004114E-43.49776241.5E-46.531671E-47.3087064E-48.80761E-41.20508471.5E-40.0065125060.00728524570.00745400741.02316491.7E-4
7.61.1301089E-51.2648149E-51.426465E-411.2780541.3E-44.8432343E-55.4205255E-51.8419822E-43.39816141.3E-45.895042E-46.5975444E-47.896687E-41.1969131.3E-40.00587942820.006578510.00672752361.02265161.5E-4
7.79.189108E-61.0283358E-51.00282436E-49.7519159.0E-53.93813E-54.407082E-51.3406685E-43.04207759.0E-54.7936183E-45.3643517E-46.263869E-41.16768429.0E-50.0047832910.0053519140.00546132541.02044341.1E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-73.6482615E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.5635396E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035933E-51.9035933E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.9034347E-41.9034347E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.31567E-52.3384395E-45.537691E-42.3681143.2E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.00135145191.34902023.5E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0124941351.03013633.7E-40.0424638280.112581870.112936841.0031534.0E-4
6.18.31567E-52.3384395E-45.537691E-42.3681143.2E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.00135145191.34902023.5E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0124941351.03013633.7E-40.0424638280.112581870.112936841.0031534.0E-4
6.28.31567E-52.3384395E-45.537691E-42.3681143.2E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.00135145191.34902023.5E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0124941351.03013633.7E-40.0424638280.112581870.112936841.0031534.0E-4
6.38.31567E-52.3384395E-45.537691E-42.3681143.2E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.00135145191.34902023.5E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0124941351.03013633.7E-40.0424638280.112581870.112936841.0031534.0E-4
6.48.059055E-52.2941893E-45.493455E-42.39450843.2E-43.4534236E-49.828559E-40.0013325121.35575513.5E-40.00419643940.0119008190.0122664161.03072043.7E-40.0411807450.1105629650.110918741.00321784.0E-4
6.58.059055E-52.2941893E-45.493455E-42.39450843.2E-43.4534236E-49.828559E-40.0013325121.35575513.5E-40.00419643940.0119008190.0122664161.03072043.7E-40.0411807450.1105629650.110918741.00321784.0E-4
6.67.619237E-52.2186468E-45.417937E-42.44200063.2E-43.2649786E-49.5050444E-40.00130017171.36787563.5E-40.00396786770.01151153350.0118772741.03177173.7E-40.038977640.107099540.10745671.00333494.0E-4
6.77.440636E-52.1862281E-45.385529E-42.46338823.2E-43.188454E-49.3662075E-40.00128629291.37333383.5E-40.00387503460.0113442680.0117100711.03224563.7E-40.0380815640.10560810.105965861.00338764.0E-4
6.87.3735864E-52.1709445E-45.37025E-42.4736933.2E-43.1597257E-49.300753E-40.00127974981.37596363.5E-40.00384018150.0112654060.0116312381.03247393.7E-40.037744950.1049096960.105267731.00341284.0E-4
6.97.27575E-52.1478413E-45.2471756E-42.44299963.1E-43.117806E-49.20181E-40.00125986811.36915253.4E-40.0037893230.0111461820.0115021691.03193813.6E-40.0372535620.103857530.1042070241.00336523.9E-4
7.07.102591E-52.1062451E-45.205592E-42.47150353.1E-43.0436125E-49.023664E-40.00124205961.37644713.4E-40.0036993030.0109314840.0112875491.03257243.6E-40.036383250.1019595340.102309771.0034353.9E-4
7.17.028513E-52.0898094E-45.189162E-42.4830793.1E-43.0118722E-48.953274E-40.0012350231.37940933.4E-40.00366078970.0108466410.0112027361.032833.6E-40.0360106860.101202430.101552961.00346363.9E-4
7.26.8498244E-52.050596E-45.049981E-42.46268943.0E-42.9353087E-48.7853306E-40.00120824321.37529613.3E-40.0035678830.01064418350.0109904581.03253193.5E-40.0351114050.099394490.099736721.00344313.8E-4
7.36.622592E-51.9733235E-44.9727317E-42.51997783.0E-42.8379448E-48.4543816E-40.00117515911.39000013.3E-40.00344972430.0102451110.0105915251.03381263.5E-40.0339666120.0958912450.0962348061.00358283.8E-4
7.45.1050705E-51.4690042E-44.4685634E-43.04189973.0E-42.1877038E-46.294222E-49.592145E-41.52396043.3E-40.0026602760.0076364820.0079838091.04548263.5E-40.026286540.072865540.073217851.00483513.8E-4
7.53.9302922E-51.11307076E-44.1127368E-43.69494653.0E-41.6843023E-44.7694342E-48.0678606E-41.6915763.3E-40.00204870920.00579139540.00613936831.06008453.5E-40.0202992470.056011510.0563702251.00640433.8E-4
7.62.9851626E-58.4956984E-53.849315E-44.53089863.0E-41.2792926E-43.6405068E-46.9393055E-41.90613723.3E-40.00155642590.00442333470.00477178671.07877583.5E-40.01545569950.0431961450.0435597341.00841713.8E-4
7.72.1135214E-56.353527E-53.5351684E-45.5641042.9E-49.0576345E-52.722656E-45.921785E-42.17500283.2E-40.00110220910.00330980080.00364867551.10238523.4E-40.0109675820.032584560.0329425041.0109853.7E-4
7.81.883379E-55.564576E-53.3563017E-46.031552.8E-48.0713755E-52.3846005E-45.4838613E-42.2996983.1E-49.822468E-40.0028993890.00322843231.11348713.3E-40.00977916550.0286969780.0290466471.01218493.6E-4
7.91.5156185E-54.1662403E-53.1165115E-47.4803932.7E-46.495346E-51.7854095E-44.7848737E-42.67998673.0E-47.9052144E-40.00217157040.00249087551.14703883.2E-40.0078771520.0217609460.0221033281.01573383.5E-4
8.01.1405907E-52.9976925E-52.3997063E-48.0051782.1E-44.8881542E-51.2846621E-43.4843796E-42.71229242.2E-45.9497025E-40.00156295510.001802581.15331532.4E-40.0059337980.0157740130.0160299111.01622282.6E-4
8.14.3511436E-67.369465E-61.7369392E-52.35694051.0E-51.8647626E-53.158304E-54.1582723E-51.31661561.0E-52.2701119E-43.844558E-43.9445196E-41.02600071.0E-50.00226779420.00411654450.0041265031.00241921.0E-5
8.22.3042528E-62.7328301E-61.2732803E-54.65921.0E-59.875332E-61.1712076E-52.171196E-51.85380961.0E-51.2022553E-41.4258524E-41.5258382E-41.07012341.0E-50.00120160510.00159796370.00160794781.0062481.0E-5
8.35.202968E-73.1590292E-73.1590292E-71.00.02.2298414E-61.353869E-61.353869E-61.00.02.714798E-51.6483244E-51.6483244E-51.00.02.7144665E-41.955901E-41.955901E-41.00.0

Helendale-So Lockhart

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7296055E-51.8103729E-53.0809848E-417.0185092.9E-47.412385E-57.7585224E-53.8756116E-44.99529653.1E-49.0208417E-49.4421144E-40.0013138621.39149143.7E-40.0089843110.0094041160.0098003551.04213454.0E-4
6.11.7296055E-51.8103729E-53.0809848E-417.0185092.9E-47.412385E-57.7585224E-53.8756116E-44.99529653.1E-49.0208417E-49.4421144E-40.0013138621.39149143.7E-40.0089843110.0094041160.0098003551.04213454.0E-4
6.21.7296055E-51.8103729E-53.0809848E-417.0185092.9E-47.412385E-57.7585224E-53.8756116E-44.99529653.1E-49.0208417E-49.4421144E-40.0013138621.39149143.7E-40.0089843110.0094041160.0098003551.04213454.0E-4
6.31.0669118E-51.1135425E-52.111332E-418.9604992.0E-44.5723988E-54.772239E-52.5771238E-45.400242.1E-45.5654737E-45.80868E-48.307228E-41.43014042.5E-40.00555155570.00579379360.0060622291.04633162.7E-4
6.41.0669118E-51.1135425E-52.111332E-418.9604992.0E-44.5723988E-54.772239E-52.5771238E-45.400242.1E-45.5654737E-45.80868E-48.307228E-41.43014042.5E-40.00555155570.00579379360.0060622291.04633162.7E-4
6.58.790038E-69.170197E-61.5916882E-417.3571871.5E-43.767105E-53.930026E-51.9929397E-45.07105971.6E-44.585485E-44.7837716E-46.682863E-41.39698611.9E-40.00457603440.0047736380.00497268371.04169682.0E-4
6.67.396949E-67.715537E-61.3771454E-417.848991.3E-43.1700827E-53.3066175E-51.7306155E-45.2337941.4E-43.858892E-44.025073E-45.724389E-41.42218261.7E-40.0038521980.004017890.00419716681.04461971.8E-4
6.76.4600285E-66.738031E-61.2673723E-418.8092371.2E-42.7685543E-52.887696E-51.5887321E-45.5017291.3E-43.3701936E-43.5152107E-45.1146484E-41.45500481.6E-40.00336508690.0035097320.00367913531.04826681.7E-4
6.85.600104E-65.836009E-61.1583537E-419.8483871.1E-42.4000226E-52.5011232E-51.4500823E-45.79772421.2E-42.9216358E-43.044698E-44.4442716E-41.45967571.4E-40.00291779750.0030405880.00319013191.04918251.5E-4
6.94.839122E-65.0395092E-69.503905E-518.8587919.0E-52.0738931E-52.159772E-51.2159556E-45.6300181.0E-42.5246723E-42.6292098E-43.7289207E-41.41826671.1E-40.0025218060.0026261470.00274583161.04557431.2E-4
7.03.6937633E-63.845208E-68.38449E-521.8050378.0E-51.5830317E-51.647936E-59.647804E-55.85447748.0E-51.9271708E-42.0061806E-42.906E-41.44852369.0E-50.00192550030.0020044010.00210420041.04979031.0E-4
7.12.7858857E-62.8978538E-66.289768E-521.7049186.0E-51.1939455E-51.2419316E-57.2418574E-55.83112436.0E-51.4535317E-41.511949E-42.2118431E-41.46290867.0E-50.00145258140.00151094180.00159082081.0528678.0E-5
7.22.1672065E-62.2540128E-64.2253923E-518.7460884.0E-59.2879945E-69.66002E-64.9659633E-55.1407384.0E-51.1307546E-41.1760458E-41.675987E-41.42510355.0E-50.00113017940.00117544170.00123537111.05098466.0E-5
7.31.4823496E-61.5422102E-62.1542179E-513.9683812.0E-56.3529114E-66.6094562E-62.6609325E-54.02594762.0E-57.734395E-58.046731E-51.104649E-41.37279223.0E-57.731704E-48.0439687E-48.443647E-41.04968674.0E-5
7.44.2321457E-74.4108765E-71.0441083E-523.671221.0E-51.8137755E-61.8903745E-61.1890355E-56.2899471.0E-52.2082493E-52.3015113E-53.3014883E-51.43448711.0E-52.2080299E-42.3013182E-42.4012952E-41.04344331.0E-5
7.55.6942316E-85.9415648E-85.9415648E-81.00.02.440385E-72.5463845E-72.5463845E-71.00.02.9711643E-63.1002196E-63.1002196E-61.00.02.9711247E-53.1001844E-53.1001844E-51.00.0

San Andreas (Parkfield)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.556969E-47.778562E-40.00109760731.41106713.2E-40.00237938480.00332995830.00364889251.09577733.2E-40.0285869630.0402350430.0405613631.00811043.4E-40.251762840.33719730.337422641.00066833.4E-4
6.11.925858E-43.0278185E-44.627334E-41.52827321.6E-48.2510663E-40.0012970850.00145687741.12319351.6E-40.00999948850.015773930.015951091.01123121.8E-40.0956132560.149758250.149911281.0010221.8E-4
6.29.4306815E-51.8243887E-43.4240968E-41.87684611.6E-44.0410945E-47.8164786E-49.4152277E-41.20453571.6E-40.00490893840.0094752460.0096535411.01881681.8E-40.0480190630.09185650.092019971.00177961.8E-4
6.39.283051E-51.794041E-43.393754E-41.89168131.6E-43.9778434E-47.686494E-49.285264E-41.20799731.6E-40.00483227470.0093183550.0094966771.01913671.8E-40.0472853850.0905094740.090673181.00180881.8E-4
6.49.138826E-51.7702584E-43.369975E-41.90366291.6E-43.916052E-47.5846276E-49.183414E-41.2107931.6E-40.00475737450.0091953870.0093737321.0193951.8E-40.0465680920.08941360.08957751.00183311.8E-4
6.59.000255E-51.746064E-43.3457845E-41.91618681.6E-43.8566816E-47.4809964E-49.0797996E-41.21371521.6E-40.00468540470.0090702840.0092486521.0196651.8E-40.0458784030.088296080.0884601851.00185861.8E-4
6.68.8109264E-51.7141816E-43.3139074E-41.933231.6E-43.7755648E-47.3444354E-48.94326E-41.2176921.6E-40.00458706540.0089054040.0090838011.02003241.8E-40.044935290.086827070.0869914441.0018931.8E-4
6.78.738073E-51.7008898E-43.3006177E-41.94052411.6E-43.7443507E-47.287503E-48.886337E-41.2193941.6E-40.00454922160.0088366950.0090151041.02018961.8E-40.044572130.08622680.086391281.00190751.8E-4
6.88.710195E-51.6954402E-43.295169E-41.94354771.6E-43.7324068E-47.26416E-48.8629976E-41.22009941.6E-40.00453474050.0088085130.0089869281.02025471.8E-40.044433130.085974360.086138881.00191371.8E-4
6.98.6801556E-51.6895356E-43.2892652E-41.94684581.6E-43.7195362E-47.238869E-48.8377105E-41.22086911.6E-40.00451913570.00877796950.00895638951.02032591.8E-40.0442833270.085700420.085864991.00192031.8E-4
7.08.5571606E-51.664819E-43.2645525E-41.96090541.6E-43.6668387E-47.132999E-48.7318575E-41.22414961.6E-40.0044552410.0086501030.0088285461.0206291.8E-40.0436697270.084548360.0847131461.0019491.8E-4
7.17.82589E-51.5128969E-43.01267E-41.99132551.5E-43.3535215E-46.4822397E-47.9812674E-41.23125151.5E-40.00407527060.0078637380.008022481.02018651.6E-40.0400134180.0774604450.077608051.00190561.6E-4
7.27.690929E-51.4866212E-42.9863982E-42.00884961.5E-43.2956956E-46.369685E-47.86873E-41.23534051.5E-40.0040051290.00772768260.0078864461.02054481.6E-40.03933710.076233410.0763812141.00193881.6E-4
7.37.5543794E-51.4562748E-42.9560563E-42.02987551.5E-43.2371894E-46.239692E-47.738756E-41.24024651.5E-40.0039341570.00757052560.00772931471.02097461.6E-40.0386523340.074797770.074945811.00197911.6E-4
7.47.4214564E-51.4263717E-42.926158E-42.05146931.5E-43.1802364E-46.1115966E-47.61068E-41.2452851.5E-40.0038650650.00741564160.0075744551.02141611.6E-40.037985290.073371520.073519791.00202071.6E-4
7.56.149578E-51.1191443E-42.31901E-42.07212781.2E-42.6352672E-44.795452E-45.994877E-41.25011711.2E-40.00320371780.0058228650.0059521081.02219581.3E-40.031579230.0585594620.058681851.002091.3E-4
7.66.0643448E-51.102009E-42.3018767E-42.08880041.2E-42.598746E-44.7220418E-45.921475E-41.25400731.2E-40.00315938280.0057339620.00586321671.02254191.3E-40.0311484170.057720420.0578429141.00212231.3E-4
7.75.1652263E-59.175265E-52.0174256E-42.19876551.1E-42.2134806E-43.9316638E-45.0312316E-41.27966981.1E-40.0026915820.00477630460.00489573131.0250041.2E-40.0265921410.048536410.048650581.00235241.2E-4
7.84.8090482E-58.560165E-51.9559223E-42.28491191.1E-42.060858E-43.6681266E-44.7677231E-41.29977061.1E-40.00250620720.0044568070.00457627231.02680521.2E-40.0247813050.0453022640.045416831.00252891.2E-4
7.93.970278E-56.7507375E-51.6750062E-42.48121981.0E-41.7014367E-42.8928524E-43.892563E-41.34557961.0E-40.0020695310.00351636340.00362597661.03117231.1E-40.0205036360.035881760.0359878131.00295571.1E-4
8.02.8982335E-54.0698153E-58.0696525E-51.98280564.0E-51.2420409E-41.7440901E-42.1440203E-41.2293064.0E-50.00151113570.00212136280.0021612781.01881584.0E-50.0150090120.022011180.02205031.00177734.0E-5
8.11.8836186E-51.867974E-53.8679365E-52.07065872.0E-58.0724014E-58.005358E-51.0005198E-41.24981272.0E-59.823717E-49.742171E-49.941976E-41.02050942.0E-50.0097804030.0104877110.0105075011.0018872.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-61.5473614E-52.82691841.0E-53.704486E-52.3458366E-53.345813E-51.42627721.0E-54.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.955654E-41.0350081.0E-50.00450013950.00324817930.0032581471.00306871.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Sierra Nevada (No Extension)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.7690465E-66.9762887E-63.069742E-444.0025063.0E-43.329549E-52.989824E-53.3988897E-411.3681943.1E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-46.8386964E-41.87883453.2E-40.0040455880.00363741540.0039662151.09039383.3E-4
6.17.7690465E-66.9762887E-63.069742E-444.0025063.0E-43.329549E-52.989824E-53.3988897E-411.3681943.1E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-46.8386964E-41.87883453.2E-40.0040455880.00363741540.0039662151.09039383.3E-4
6.27.7690465E-66.9762887E-63.069742E-444.0025063.0E-43.329549E-52.989824E-53.3988897E-411.3681943.1E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-46.8386964E-41.87883453.2E-40.0040455880.00363741540.0039662151.09039383.3E-4
6.37.7690465E-66.9762887E-63.069742E-444.0025063.0E-43.329549E-52.989824E-53.3988897E-411.3681943.1E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-46.8386964E-41.87883453.2E-40.0040455880.00363741540.0039662151.09039383.3E-4
6.47.7690465E-66.9762887E-63.069742E-444.0025063.0E-43.329549E-52.989824E-53.3988897E-411.3681943.1E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-46.8386964E-41.87883453.2E-40.0040455880.00363741540.0039662151.09039383.3E-4
6.57.7690465E-66.9762887E-63.069742E-444.0025063.0E-43.329549E-52.989824E-53.3988897E-411.3681943.1E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-46.8386964E-41.87883453.2E-40.0040455880.00363741540.0039662151.09039383.3E-4
6.62.653E-61.6148208E-62.1161448E-4131.045182.1E-41.136995E-56.9206426E-62.2691912E-432.7887342.2E-41.3842035E-48.42556E-53.142362E-43.7295592.3E-40.00138334158.4224E-40.00108203781.28471452.4E-4
6.72.5902466E-61.5501544E-62.1154984E-4136.470172.1E-41.11010095E-56.643502E-62.2664203E-434.1148452.2E-41.351464E-48.088166E-53.1086305E-43.84343052.3E-40.00135064248.0852525E-40.00104833131.29659682.4E-4
6.82.5853892E-61.5469546E-62.1154663E-4136.750382.1E-41.1080193E-56.629789E-62.2662833E-434.1833422.2E-41.34893E-48.071472E-53.1069617E-43.8493122.3E-40.00134811148.06857E-40.00104666341.29721052.4E-4
6.92.458257E-61.422029E-62.1142174E-4148.676122.1E-41.0535345E-56.0943958E-62.2609305E-437.098522.2E-41.2826028E-47.419676E-53.041797E-44.0996362.3E-40.00128186277.4172183E-49.815438E-41.32333152.4E-4
7.02.4341468E-61.3989927E-62.0139871E-4143.95982.0E-41.0432016E-55.9956697E-62.1599441E-436.025072.1E-41.270024E-47.299485E-52.929788E-44.01369142.2E-40.00126929847.297107E-49.595428E-41.31496352.3E-4
7.12.3652476E-61.3339427E-62.0133368E-4150.931272.0E-41.0136736E-55.716885E-62.1571569E-437.733082.1E-41.2340778E-46.9600865E-52.8958556E-44.16066032.2E-40.00123339266.957924E-49.2563237E-41.33032832.3E-4
7.22.272158E-61.2502497E-62.0125E-4160.967852.0E-49.737784E-65.358202E-62.1535708E-440.192042.1E-41.1855107E-46.523417E-52.852198E-44.3722462.2E-40.00118487846.5215176E-48.8200177E-41.35244872.3E-4
7.32.1382127E-61.1419382E-61.9114172E-4167.383591.9E-49.163737E-64.894012E-62.0489303E-441.8660662.0E-41.1156279E-45.9582977E-52.6957048E-44.52428672.1E-40.0011150685.956712E-48.1554014E-41.36911132.2E-4
7.41.9048055E-69.574928E-71.6095734E-4168.102921.6E-48.163426E-64.103534E-61.7410284E-442.4275321.7E-49.9385186E-54.995939E-52.299504E-44.6027461.8E-49.934074E-44.9948227E-46.893874E-41.38020381.9E-4
7.51.5373403E-67.559763E-71.00755904E-4133.279171.0E-46.5885843E-63.2398946E-61.1323954E-434.9516141.1E-48.021306E-53.9445007E-51.5944027E-44.04209041.2E-48.0184115E-43.9438053E-45.143332E-41.30415461.2E-4
7.61.0680322E-64.65941E-75.046592E-5108.309675.0E-54.577273E-61.9968884E-66.199677E-531.0466866.0E-55.5726876E-52.4311848E-59.431015E-53.87918457.0E-55.5712904E-42.4309216E-43.1307514E-41.28788667.0E-5
7.75.509146E-71.5578539E-71.01557835E-565.1908651.0E-52.3610605E-66.676515E-71.0667645E-515.9778641.0E-52.8745531E-58.128628E-62.8128465E-53.460422.0E-52.8741814E-48.128342E-51.01281796E-41.24603262.0E-5

San Andreas (Coachella) rev

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1925945E-43.273077E-45.772259E-41.76355722.5E-45.110118E-40.0014019980.00166163351.18518962.6E-40.00620383540.0169370680.0172221551.01683222.9E-40.0603347530.152676720.152930921.00166493.0E-4
6.11.1925945E-43.273077E-45.772259E-41.76355722.5E-45.110118E-40.0014019980.00166163351.18518962.6E-40.00620383540.0169370680.0172221551.01683222.9E-40.0603347530.152676720.152930921.00166493.0E-4
6.21.07432395E-43.0231563E-45.4224307E-41.79363232.4E-44.603433E-40.0012949990.00154467531.19280032.5E-40.0055902860.0156537310.0159293491.01760712.8E-40.054517310.141827840.14207671.00175482.9E-4
6.31.0718766E-43.0176868E-45.4169627E-41.79507112.4E-44.592948E-40.00129265730.00154233421.193152.5E-40.0055775860.015625630.0159012541.01763932.8E-40.0543965550.141596050.141844991.00175812.9E-4
6.41.0355944E-42.9384956E-45.3377904E-41.81650452.4E-44.4375064E-40.00125875140.00150843661.19835952.5E-40.00538928850.0152186620.0154944011.01811852.8E-40.0526044960.138157950.138407891.0018092.9E-4
6.51.0227914E-42.9104383E-45.30974E-41.8243782.4E-44.382655E-40.00124673850.00149642681.20027322.5E-40.00532283540.0150744390.0153502181.01829452.8E-40.0519713160.136942390.137192671.00182772.9E-4
6.61.0116757E-42.8870135E-45.286321E-41.83106892.4E-44.3350324E-40.00123670870.00148639961.20189942.5E-40.00526513670.0149540080.0152298211.01844412.8E-40.0514212470.135919730.136170331.00184362.9E-4
6.71.0050676E-42.8728697E-45.2721804E-41.83516162.4E-44.3067214E-40.00123065280.00148034511.20289422.5E-40.0052308340.0148812880.0151571211.01853562.8E-40.0510940850.135304640.135555421.00185332.9E-4
6.89.976819E-52.8532353E-45.2525505E-41.84091042.4E-44.2750788E-40.0012222460.00147194041.20429152.5E-40.00519249360.0147803280.0150561891.01866412.8E-40.0507282950.134456280.134707291.00186682.9E-4
6.99.77719E-52.802926E-45.102281E-41.82034112.3E-44.1895514E-40.00120070480.00144041671.19964272.4E-40.00508885550.01452158950.0147876691.01832312.7E-40.0497388880.132284760.132527721.00183672.8E-4
7.08.500761E-52.4763815E-44.6758365E-41.8881732.2E-43.6426744E-40.00106087790.00129063391.21657162.3E-40.00442594060.012840470.0130971321.01998852.6E-40.043388230.118136160.118374261.00201552.7E-4
7.18.319876E-52.4366553E-44.636119E-41.9026572.2E-43.5651738E-40.00104386620.0012736261.22010482.3E-40.0043319630.0126357730.0128924871.02031652.6E-40.0424848460.116356320.11659491.00205042.7E-4
7.27.563917E-52.2414974E-44.4410044E-41.98126672.2E-43.2412758E-49.602912E-40.00119007031.23928072.3E-40.00393911450.0116295590.0118865361.02209692.6E-40.038700180.107762020.1080029161.00223552.7E-4
7.37.082985E-52.07311E-44.272654E-42.06098752.2E-43.0352117E-48.881761E-40.00111797181.25872772.3E-40.00368910960.0107605530.0110177561.02390232.6E-40.036284650.100284030.100526961.00242232.7E-4
7.45.146215E-51.4274761E-43.627162E-42.54096172.2E-42.2053342E-46.1163295E-48.4149226E-41.37581252.3E-40.00268168840.00742139430.00767946481.03477382.6E-40.026495570.070850490.071101361.00354092.7E-4
7.54.0285166E-51.0942422E-43.2940015E-43.0103042.2E-41.7263928E-44.6887697E-46.987691E-41.49030382.3E-40.0020998570.00569370440.0059522241.04540442.6E-40.0208012540.0550130830.0552682281.0046382.7E-4
7.63.1168736E-58.439599E-53.0437743E-43.60653882.2E-41.3357346E-43.616471E-45.9156393E-41.63574912.3E-40.00162504370.0043941910.00465304821.0589092.6E-40.0161321160.0428124780.0430709161.00603652.7E-4
7.72.2100989E-56.239345E-52.7238033E-44.3655282.1E-49.4715084E-52.6737314E-44.873143E-41.82260012.2E-40.0011525460.00325041520.00349960241.07666332.5E-40.0114658670.0319021680.0321538751.00788992.6E-4
7.81.7484861E-55.180078E-52.5179042E-44.86074542.0E-47.493296E-52.2198448E-44.3193786E-41.94580212.1E-49.1192697E-40.00269931420.00293866641.08867142.4E-40.0090819380.0266417880.0268851281.00913372.5E-4
7.91.3967285E-53.8226146E-52.2821888E-45.97022961.9E-45.985842E-51.6381606E-43.637833E-42.22068142.0E-47.2853256E-40.00199263730.0022221791.11519492.3E-40.00726148770.0199110020.0201462251.01181362.4E-4
8.01.1887396E-53.106798E-52.2106207E-47.11543131.9E-45.094499E-51.331417E-43.3311508E-42.5019592.0E-46.200787E-40.00161979580.00184942331.14176322.3E-40.0061835130.0162805670.016516661.01450152.4E-4
8.15.100864E-68.973766E-62.8973585E-53.22869872.0E-52.1860664E-53.845843E-55.845766E-51.5200222.0E-52.6612106E-44.6813092E-44.8812156E-41.0427032.0E-50.0026580260.0049180920.00493799341.00404662.0E-5
8.22.3004484E-62.7863473E-61.27863195E-54.5889181.0E-59.859027E-61.19414335E-52.1941314E-51.83741041.0E-51.2002704E-41.4537729E-41.5537583E-41.06877651.0E-50.00119962230.00159737820.00160736221.00625031.0E-5
8.31.0424446E-75.814421E-85.814421E-81.00.04.4676187E-72.4918944E-72.4918944E-71.00.05.439312E-63.0338776E-63.0338776E-61.00.05.4391792E-53.189592E-53.189592E-51.00.0

San Andreas (Big Bend)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0179969E-42.0073925E-44.5068905E-42.24514682.5E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00110981351.2904382.5E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0106979411.02658922.8E-40.0517340970.1014559050.101716491.00256842.9E-4
6.11.0179969E-42.0073925E-44.5068905E-42.24514682.5E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00110981351.2904382.5E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0106979411.02658922.8E-40.0517340970.1014559050.101716491.00256842.9E-4
6.21.0179969E-42.0073925E-44.5068905E-42.24514682.5E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00110981351.2904382.5E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0106979411.02658922.8E-40.0517340970.1014559050.101716491.00256842.9E-4
6.31.0179969E-42.0073925E-44.5068905E-42.24514682.5E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00110981351.2904382.5E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0106979411.02658922.8E-40.0517340970.1014559050.101716491.00256842.9E-4
6.49.1639464E-51.8430917E-43.7427415E-42.03068661.9E-43.9268145E-47.896575E-49.795076E-41.24042061.9E-40.00477042050.0095718180.0097897121.02276412.2E-40.0466930640.093786950.093986321.00212572.2E-4
6.59.1639464E-51.8430917E-43.7427415E-42.03068661.9E-43.9268145E-47.896575E-49.795076E-41.24042061.9E-40.00477042050.0095718180.0097897121.02276412.2E-40.0466930640.093786950.093986321.00212572.2E-4
6.69.042622E-51.8238011E-43.623473E-41.98676971.8E-43.8748336E-47.813951E-49.6125447E-41.23017721.8E-40.00470740950.00947210.0096702051.02091472.0E-40.0460893250.092877210.093058641.00195342.0E-4
6.78.9836685E-51.8152347E-43.514926E-41.93634811.7E-43.8495753E-47.7772595E-49.4759377E-41.2184161.7E-40.004676790.0094278150.0096160231.01996311.9E-40.0457958170.092471480.092643921.00186471.9E-4
6.88.9471854E-51.8099119E-43.509604E-41.93910221.7E-43.8339442E-47.754462E-49.4531436E-41.21905861.7E-40.0046578410.0094002980.0095885121.02002221.9E-40.045614140.09221920.0923916851.00187031.9E-4
6.98.858234E-51.7981093E-43.3978216E-41.88966361.6E-43.7958333E-47.7039085E-49.3026756E-41.20752681.6E-40.0046116380.0093392780.0095175971.01909341.8E-40.045171030.091659110.091822611.00178381.8E-4
7.08.7433385E-51.7819891E-43.2817217E-41.8416061.5E-43.746607E-47.6348626E-49.1337174E-41.19631721.5E-40.0045519570.0092559320.0094243591.01819661.7E-40.0445983860.090893230.091047781.00170031.7E-4
7.18.684964E-51.7731842E-43.272918E-41.84578591.5E-43.7215967E-47.597149E-49.09601E-41.19729241.5E-40.00452163350.0092104050.0093788391.01828741.7E-40.044307310.090474750.090629371.0017091.7E-4
7.28.606521E-51.7622454E-43.1619988E-41.7943011.4E-43.6879873E-47.550296E-48.9492387E-41.18528321.4E-40.00448088350.0091538420.0093123771.0173191.6E-40.0439160240.089955180.090100791.00161861.6E-4
7.38.568266E-51.7564454E-43.1561995E-41.79692441.4E-43.6715972E-47.5254537E-48.9244003E-41.18589531.4E-40.00446101050.009123850.0092823911.01737641.6E-40.0437251480.089676230.089821881.00162421.6E-4
7.48.5432206E-51.752704E-43.1524585E-41.79862581.4E-43.6608664E-47.509428E-48.9083763E-41.18629231.4E-40.0044479990.0091045010.0092630451.01741371.6E-40.0436001570.089496420.08964211.00162781.6E-4
7.58.4791965E-51.7396381E-43.1393947E-41.8046251.4E-43.633435E-47.4534636E-48.85242E-41.18769221.4E-40.00441473770.0090369320.0091954871.01754511.6E-40.0432805750.088872090.089017871.00164031.6E-4
7.68.241105E-51.6841735E-42.9839543E-41.7717621.3E-43.531424E-47.2158914E-48.514953E-41.1800281.3E-40.00429103520.0087500470.0088987341.01699281.5E-40.0420911760.086250320.086387381.00158921.5E-4
7.77.00432E-51.4205615E-42.620391E-41.84461641.2E-43.001506E-46.0867006E-47.28597E-41.19703111.2E-40.00364821120.00738541740.00752438371.01881621.4E-40.0358889770.073522990.07365271.00176421.4E-4
7.86.415362E-51.2969968E-42.4968412E-41.92509441.2E-42.749151E-45.557374E-46.756707E-41.21580931.2E-40.00334195470.00674514150.00688419721.02061571.4E-40.032921410.067255140.0673857261.00194171.4E-4
7.94.939911E-59.341721E-52.0340693E-42.17740321.1E-42.116933E-44.0029807E-45.1025406E-41.27468531.1E-40.00257431950.0048627470.00498216371.02455741.2E-40.0254470130.0489158030.049029931.00233321.2E-4
8.03.344983E-55.2228E-51.02225385E-41.95729095.0E-51.4334853E-42.2381509E-42.738039E-41.22334875.0E-50.00174387110.00272154530.00277140921.01832195.0E-50.0173024960.0279231610.0279717651.00174065.0E-5
8.11.9104898E-51.9171663E-53.917128E-52.04318642.0E-58.1875565E-58.2161685E-51.0216004E-41.24340252.0E-59.963791E-49.9986E-40.001019841.01998282.0E-50.0099192350.0107495520.0107693371.00184062.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-61.5473614E-52.82691841.0E-53.704486E-52.3458366E-53.345813E-51.42627721.0E-54.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.955654E-41.0350081.0E-50.00450013950.00324817930.0032581471.00306871.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

San Jacinto (San Bernardino)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.409352E-53.598562E-52.9597626E-48.2248492.6E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-44.141749E-42.68569832.6E-40.00177740.00187595210.0021554271.14897752.8E-40.017632510.0193499920.0196245741.01419032.8E-4
6.13.409352E-53.598562E-52.9597626E-48.2248492.6E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-44.141749E-42.68569832.6E-40.00177740.00187595210.0021554271.14897752.8E-40.017632510.0193499920.0196245741.01419032.8E-4
6.23.409352E-53.598562E-52.9597626E-48.2248492.6E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-44.141749E-42.68569832.6E-40.00177740.00187595210.0021554271.14897752.8E-40.017632510.0193499920.0196245741.01419032.8E-4
6.33.409352E-53.598562E-52.9597626E-48.2248492.6E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-44.141749E-42.68569832.6E-40.00177740.00187595210.0021554271.14897752.8E-40.017632510.0193499920.0196245741.01419032.8E-4
6.43.400795E-53.5878285E-52.9586896E-48.2464642.6E-41.4574021E-41.5375503E-44.1371505E-42.69074152.6E-40.00177294280.00187036190.00214983831.14942362.8E-40.0175886450.0192950740.0195696731.01423142.8E-4
6.53.341482E-53.5138914E-52.9512978E-48.3989442.6E-41.4319851E-41.5058667E-44.105475E-42.72632052.6E-40.00174204770.00183185220.00211133921.15257072.8E-40.0172845460.0189166160.019191321.01452182.8E-4
6.63.3364955E-53.5076133E-52.8506736E-48.1271042.5E-41.4298483E-41.5031763E-44.0028006E-42.6628952.5E-40.00173945010.00182858230.00209808861.14738542.7E-40.0172589760.018884480.0191493821.01402752.7E-4
6.73.335922E-53.5065907E-52.8505715E-48.1291822.5E-41.4296026E-41.5027382E-44.0023625E-42.663382.5E-40.00173915140.00182804970.00209755611.14742842.7E-40.0172560350.0188792720.0191441741.01403142.7E-4
6.83.327683E-53.4959972E-52.8495124E-48.1507852.5E-41.4260718E-41.4981985E-43.997824E-42.66842062.5E-40.00173485970.0018225320.002092041.14787552.7E-40.0172137840.0188250450.0190899611.01407252.7E-4
6.93.3235785E-53.4900928E-52.848922E-48.1628842.5E-41.4243131E-41.4956683E-43.9952944E-42.67124372.5E-40.00173272170.00181945670.00208896541.1481262.7E-40.0171927340.0187949110.0190598371.01409552.7E-4
7.03.3197095E-53.4840854E-52.8483215E-48.1752342.5E-41.422655E-41.4930942E-43.9927207E-42.67412542.5E-40.00173070630.00181632780.00208583751.14838162.7E-40.0171728940.018764290.0190292221.0141192.7E-4
7.13.3129716E-53.4721066E-52.8471238E-48.199992.5E-41.4197677E-41.4879608E-43.987589E-42.67990182.5E-40.00172719660.00181008840.00207959981.1488942.7E-40.0171383380.0187033660.0189683161.01416592.7E-4
7.23.3034008E-53.4588513E-52.8457987E-48.2275842.5E-41.4156665E-41.4822806E-43.98191E-42.68634032.5E-40.00172221110.00180318430.00207269751.14946512.7E-40.0170892530.018635750.0189007191.01421832.7E-4
7.33.2956614E-53.4456265E-52.8444765E-48.2553242.5E-41.4123498E-41.4766137E-43.9762445E-42.69281322.5E-40.00171817960.00179629610.0020658111.15003932.7E-40.0170495570.0185684950.0188334831.01427082.7E-4
7.43.2915937E-53.4377957E-52.8436937E-48.2718522.5E-41.4106068E-41.473258E-43.9728897E-42.69666932.5E-40.00171606080.00179221730.00206173351.15038132.7E-40.0170286930.0185287690.0187937651.01430192.7E-4
7.53.281791E-53.424287E-52.8423432E-48.300542.5E-41.406406E-41.4674691E-43.967102E-42.70336342.5E-40.00171095420.00178518090.0020546991.15097522.7E-40.0169784110.0184596520.0187246691.01435652.7E-4
7.63.2521442E-53.396782E-52.8395932E-48.3596572.5E-41.3937015E-41.4556825E-43.9553185E-42.71715742.5E-40.00169551090.00177085420.0020403761.15219882.7E-40.0168263280.0183172950.018582351.01447022.7E-4
7.73.0287873E-53.245191E-52.824438E-48.7034572.5E-41.297987E-41.3907222E-43.8903745E-42.79737732.5E-40.00157915370.00169189030.00196143361.15931492.7E-40.015679790.0175281990.0177934671.01513372.7E-4
7.82.6316151E-52.9662837E-52.6965572E-49.09069252.4E-41.1277862E-41.2712025E-43.6708976E-42.8877362.4E-40.00137221490.00154659130.00180618921.16785172.6E-40.0136377240.0160698780.01632571.01591932.6E-4
7.92.0761147E-52.3417291E-52.534119E-410.8215722.3E-48.897331E-51.0035596E-43.3033287E-43.2916122.3E-40.00108271170.00122114980.00147084451.2044752.5E-40.0107745170.0127932720.0130400731.01929152.5E-4
8.01.5738568E-51.6032505E-51.16030904E-47.23722841.0E-46.744926E-56.8708934E-51.6870206E-42.45531491.0E-48.2088535E-48.3621085E-49.461189E-41.13143581.1E-40.0081785960.0088657410.0089747651.01229731.1E-4
8.11.0105832E-58.329479E-63.8329228E-54.6016363.0E-54.3309992E-53.569728E-56.569621E-51.84037023.0E-55.2717153E-44.3452822E-44.7451083E-41.09201384.0E-50.0052592270.00467687940.0047166921.00851274.0E-5
8.24.189207E-61.577699E-61.577699E-61.00.01.7953622E-56.7615497E-66.7615497E-61.00.02.1856341E-48.231879E-58.231879E-51.00.00.00218348589.562628E-49.562628E-41.00.0
8.31.2758221E-63.612677E-73.612677E-71.00.05.4677976E-61.5482892E-61.5482892E-61.00.06.65684E-51.8850264E-51.8850264E-51.00.06.6548464E-42.2739546E-42.2739546E-41.00.0

Death Valley (No)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0074807E-52.2500084E-52.524949E-411.2219542.3E-48.603206E-59.642541E-53.2640324E-43.38503342.3E-40.0010469370.00117335450.00141307291.20430172.4E-40.0104201830.0116725060.0119393551.02286122.7E-4
6.12.0074807E-52.2500084E-52.524949E-411.2219542.3E-48.603206E-59.642541E-53.2640324E-43.38503342.3E-40.0010469370.00117335450.00141307291.20430172.4E-40.0104201830.0116725060.0119393551.02286122.7E-4
6.22.0074807E-52.2500084E-52.524949E-411.2219542.3E-48.603206E-59.642541E-53.2640324E-43.38503342.3E-40.0010469370.00117335450.00141307291.20430172.4E-40.0104201830.0116725060.0119393551.02286122.7E-4
6.31.9050609E-52.1336948E-52.4133225E-411.3105342.2E-48.164292E-59.1440896E-53.1142076E-43.40570572.2E-49.935491E-40.0011127310.00134247511.20646872.3E-40.0098911880.0110724190.011329541.02322172.6E-4
6.41.9050609E-52.1336948E-52.4133225E-411.3105342.2E-48.164292E-59.1440896E-53.1142076E-43.40570572.2E-49.935491E-40.0011127310.00134247511.20646872.3E-40.0098911880.0110724190.011329541.02322172.6E-4
6.51.8367004E-52.0561009E-52.4055649E-411.6996442.2E-47.8713354E-58.811567E-53.080963E-43.49649832.2E-49.5791375E-40.00107228690.00130204021.21426492.3E-40.0095379510.01067191550.0109291411.0241032.6E-4
6.61.779439E-51.9910927E-52.3990654E-412.0489882.2E-47.625944E-58.53298E-53.0531103E-43.5780122.2E-49.280632E-40.00103840150.00126816261.22126422.3E-40.0092419690.0103362530.0105935651.02489422.6E-4
6.71.7025437E-51.9043426E-52.2903943E-412.0272182.1E-47.296412E-58.161216E-52.9159503E-43.57293582.1E-48.87976E-49.931813E-40.00120297271.21123172.1E-40.0088443620.0098881450.0101158711.02303022.3E-4
6.81.6545107E-51.8512545E-52.1850884E-411.8032852.0E-47.090568E-57.93371E-52.7932125E-43.52068852.0E-48.629347E-49.655073E-40.00116531421.2069452.0E-40.0085959150.0096138290.00983171351.02266372.2E-4
6.91.615478E-51.8087594E-52.0808415E-411.5042481.9E-46.9232934E-57.751599E-52.6750125E-43.45091721.9E-48.4258494E-49.433546E-40.00113317551.20121881.9E-40.0083939730.0093941960.0096022231.02214422.1E-4
7.01.5894311E-51.780555E-52.0780216E-411.670641.9E-46.81167E-57.6307304E-52.662928E-43.4897421.9E-48.2900526E-49.286515E-40.00111847511.20440771.9E-40.0082591950.0092483970.0094564561.02249662.1E-4
7.11.5602263E-51.7483504E-52.0748017E-411.8671971.9E-46.6865134E-57.492718E-52.6491293E-43.53560541.9E-48.137789E-49.118627E-40.00110168941.20817471.9E-40.0081080520.0090818940.0092899861.0229132.1E-4
7.21.5323829E-51.717063E-52.0716737E-412.0652161.9E-46.56719E-57.358637E-52.6357238E-43.58180981.9E-47.99262E-48.9555193E-40.00108538171.21196961.9E-40.0079639340.0089201070.0091282331.02333242.1E-4
7.31.4556212E-51.6302456E-51.7629984E-410.8143131.6E-46.238227E-56.9865826E-52.2985465E-43.2899441.6E-47.592395E-48.5029035E-40.00101015431.1880111.6E-40.00756650740.0084710140.008649491.02106891.8E-4
7.41.411725E-51.580796E-51.7580543E-411.1213231.6E-46.0501097E-56.7746674E-52.2773583E-43.36157971.6E-47.363519E-48.245094E-49.843775E-41.19389471.6E-40.00733916740.0082151380.0083936591.02173081.8E-4
7.51.3503312E-51.5126289E-51.6512402E-410.916361.5E-45.7870053E-56.482538E-52.1481565E-43.31375861.5E-47.043401E-47.8896893E-49.3885063E-41.18997161.5E-40.0070211190.0078623040.0080309681.02145221.7E-4
7.61.1279839E-51.2626327E-51.4262469E-411.2958171.3E-44.834127E-55.4111737E-51.841047E-43.40230631.3E-45.88396E-46.5861654E-47.885309E-41.19725351.3E-40.0058684050.0065671990.00671621371.02269081.5E-4
7.79.189108E-61.0283358E-51.00282436E-49.7519159.0E-53.93813E-54.407082E-51.3406685E-43.04207759.0E-54.7936183E-45.3643517E-46.263869E-41.16768429.0E-50.0047832910.0053519140.00546132541.02044341.1E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-73.6482615E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.5635396E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035933E-51.9035933E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.9034347E-41.9034347E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3461156E-52.3500992E-52.1349653E-49.0845761.9E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-43.1069352E-43.08488852.1E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00146522051.19559612.4E-40.00699927660.0122287440.01246580951.01938592.4E-4
6.11.3461156E-52.3500992E-52.1349653E-49.0845761.9E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-43.1069352E-43.08488852.1E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00146522051.19559612.4E-40.00699927660.0122287440.01246580951.01938592.4E-4
6.21.3461156E-52.3500992E-52.1349653E-49.0845761.9E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-43.1069352E-43.08488852.1E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00146522051.19559612.4E-40.00699927660.0122287440.01246580951.01938592.4E-4
6.31.3461156E-52.3500992E-52.1349653E-49.0845761.9E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-43.1069352E-43.08488852.1E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00146522051.19559612.4E-40.00699927660.0122287440.01246580951.01938592.4E-4
6.41.3461156E-52.3500992E-52.1349653E-49.0845761.9E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-43.1069352E-43.08488852.1E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00146522051.19559612.4E-40.00699927660.0122287440.01246580951.01938592.4E-4
6.51.3450706E-52.348995E-52.1348549E-49.0883751.9E-45.764461E-51.00667356E-43.1064622E-43.08586842.1E-47.0159714E-40.00122493920.00146464531.19568812.4E-40.0069938620.0122230540.012460121.0193952.4E-4
6.61.3074523E-52.3104236E-52.1309985E-49.2234111.9E-45.6032466E-59.901441E-53.0899362E-43.12069342.1E-46.8198174E-40.0012048370.00144454791.19895712.4E-40.0067989260.0120242190.0122613331.01971972.4E-4
6.71.3050216E-52.3079532E-52.1307515E-49.2322121.9E-45.59283E-59.890855E-53.0888777E-43.12296342.1E-46.8071426E-40.00120354960.00144326071.19917012.4E-40.00678632870.0120114840.0122486021.01974082.4E-4
6.81.29049395E-52.2927941E-52.1292358E-49.2866421.9E-45.530571E-59.825892E-53.082383E-43.13700062.1E-46.73139E-40.0011956490.0014353621.20048792.4E-40.00671103640.0119333290.0121704651.01987172.4E-4
6.91.2867369E-52.2887343E-52.12883E-49.3013411.9E-45.51447E-59.808494E-53.0806434E-43.14079142.1E-46.711799E-40.00119353320.00143324681.20084372.4E-40.0066915640.0119123970.0121495391.01990712.4E-4
7.01.2495996E-52.2287419E-52.1228318E-49.5247981.9E-45.3553173E-59.551403E-53.0549397E-43.19841982.1E-46.518148E-40.00116226580.00140198681.20625322.4E-40.00649906230.0116030.0118402151.02044432.4E-4
7.11.2452067E-52.2232492E-52.1222826E-49.545861.9E-45.3364907E-59.527864E-53.0525864E-43.20385172.1E-46.4952404E-40.0011594030.00139912471.2067632.4E-40.00647628870.0115746710.01181189251.02049492.4E-4
7.21.2002777E-52.1611015E-52.1160691E-49.7916231.9E-45.143946E-59.261536E-53.025959E-43.26723242.1E-46.2609545E-40.00112701140.00135675211.20384962.3E-40.0062433440.0112540580.01148146951.0202072.3E-4
7.31.1923425E-52.1480853E-52.1147677E-49.8448961.9E-45.109939E-59.205757E-53.0203824E-43.28097132.1E-46.219575E-40.00112022730.00134996971.20508552.3E-40.00620219620.0111869450.0114143721.02032972.3E-4
7.41.16105175E-52.0854808E-52.1085085E-410.1104191.9E-44.975841E-58.93747E-52.9935592E-43.34944822.1E-46.0564023E-40.00108759630.00131734621.21124552.3E-40.0060399230.0108644090.011091911.02094012.3E-4
7.51.1037265E-51.9554842E-52.0955113E-410.7160731.9E-44.7301706E-58.380379E-52.937862E-43.50564342.1E-45.757461E-40.00101983570.00124960111.22529652.3E-40.0057425670.0101955270.01042318251.02232892.3E-4
7.61.0720915E-51.8996727E-52.0899312E-411.0015331.9E-44.5945973E-58.141202E-52.913949E-43.57926182.1E-45.592486E-49.907428E-40.00122051491.2319192.3E-40.0055784330.0099072380.010134961.02298532.3E-4
7.79.276279E-61.6442464E-52.0643933E-412.5552561.9E-43.9754876E-57.046581E-52.80451E-43.97995882.1E-44.839081E-48.5758517E-40.00108738791.2679652.3E-40.00482855740.0085865760.0088146011.0265562.3E-4
7.85.8346777E-61.11555855E-52.0115347E-418.0316371.9E-42.5005522E-54.7808775E-52.5779873E-45.3922892.1E-43.043997E-45.819165E-48.1178267E-41.39501572.3E-40.00303983080.00584733350.00607598851.03910422.3E-4
7.94.690204E-68.509473E-61.9850786E-423.3278661.9E-42.0100719E-53.6468664E-52.4646102E-46.7581582.1E-42.4469878E-44.439156E-46.738135E-41.51788652.3E-40.0024442950.0044711650.00470013641.05121082.3E-4
8.02.9570454E-64.8470656E-69.4846626E-519.5678449.0E-51.267299E-52.0772974E-51.1077111E-45.3324639.0E-51.5428272E-42.5288164E-43.628538E-41.43487611.1E-40.00154175660.0025499320.00265965171.04302841.1E-4
8.11.6376824E-62.1968672E-61.2196845E-55.55192661.0E-57.01862E-69.415111E-61.9415018E-52.06211231.0E-58.544835E-51.1462297E-41.2462182E-41.08723261.0E-58.54155E-40.00116074450.00117073281.00860511.0E-5
8.26.9631557E-74.535001E-74.535001E-71.00.02.984206E-61.9435704E-61.9435704E-61.00.03.63321E-52.3662713E-52.3662713E-51.00.03.6326164E-42.4510184E-42.4510184E-41.00.0
8.31.7876137E-78.357368E-88.357368E-81.00.07.661199E-73.5817288E-73.5817288E-71.00.09.32747E-64.3607465E-64.3607465E-61.00.09.3270784E-54.5800018E-54.5800018E-51.00.0

San Andreas (Cholame) rev

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2302514E-42.5205986E-44.4201198E-41.75359921.9E-45.27144E-40.00107981090.0012795951.18501762.0E-40.00639910860.0130679580.0132949521.01737032.3E-40.062179490.124384120.124585511.00161912.3E-4
6.11.2302514E-42.5205986E-44.4201198E-41.75359921.9E-45.27144E-40.00107981090.0012795951.18501762.0E-40.00639910860.0130679580.0132949521.01737032.3E-40.062179490.124384120.124585511.00161912.3E-4
6.21.2203569E-42.502277E-44.4018016E-41.75911841.9E-45.2290526E-40.00107196530.00127175091.18637322.0E-40.0063478040.0129735780.0132005941.01749842.3E-40.0616951360.1235713140.123772891.00163132.3E-4
6.31.2142645E-42.4908737E-44.3904004E-41.76259461.9E-45.202953E-40.00106708230.00126686881.1872272.0E-40.0063162120.0129148340.0131418631.0175792.3E-40.061396770.123065320.123267021.00163892.3E-4
6.41.1865206E-42.4414246E-44.3409606E-41.77804411.9E-45.0840975E-40.00104590680.00124569761.19102162.0E-40.0061723350.0126600440.0128871321.01793742.3E-40.0600368680.120859040.121061241.00167312.3E-4
6.51.17443946E-42.4207575E-44.3202977E-41.78468821.9E-45.032341E-40.00103705660.00123684911.19265352.0E-40.0061096770.0125535360.0127806491.01809162.3E-40.0594440770.119930080.12013251.00168782.3E-4
6.61.13579066E-42.3516564E-44.2512096E-41.80775121.9E-44.866766E-40.0010074650.00120726341.19831812.0E-40.00590920170.0121973450.0124245391.01862662.3E-40.0575451850.11684920.1170523241.00173832.3E-4
6.71.1271412E-42.336088E-44.235644E-41.81313551.9E-44.829711E-40.0010007980.00120059771.19964052.0E-40.0058643310.0121170790.0123442921.01875152.3E-40.0571196970.116152750.116356041.00175012.3E-4
6.81.1217975E-42.3249313E-44.2244894E-41.81703841.9E-44.8068175E-49.960202E-40.0011958211.20059922.0E-40.0058366080.0120595550.0122867811.0188422.3E-40.0568567250.115650610.115854011.00175872.3E-4
6.91.1146753E-42.3098059E-44.209367E-41.822391.9E-44.7763053E-49.895428E-40.00117935471.19181791.9E-40.00579965770.0119815640.0121989281.01814152.2E-40.0565061270.114970270.115164971.00169352.2E-4
7.01.0965793E-42.2721413E-44.1717096E-41.83602561.9E-44.698779E-49.734129E-40.0011632281.19499961.9E-40.0057057680.0117873240.0120047311.01844412.2E-40.0556147360.113270110.11346521.00172222.2E-4
7.19.927982E-52.0540332E-43.8536635E-41.87614461.8E-44.2541555E-48.8000396E-40.00105984561.20436451.8E-40.00516714060.0106617080.0108595761.01855872.0E-40.050486340.103365730.1035450551.00173492.0E-4
7.29.696786E-52.0044584E-43.8040977E-41.89781821.8E-44.1551032E-48.587718E-40.00103861721.20942161.8E-40.005047110.0104057030.01060362251.01902022.0E-40.049340090.101102330.101282111.00177822.0E-4
7.39.4727984E-51.9473763E-43.7470256E-41.92414061.8E-44.0591392E-48.343239E-40.00101417371.21556351.8E-40.00493080870.0101108510.0103088291.01958072.0E-40.0482282680.098474120.098654431.00183092.0E-4
7.49.220358E-51.8844259E-43.5841056E-41.90196161.7E-43.9509835E-48.07362E-49.772248E-41.21039221.7E-40.0047997170.0097855780.0099737191.01922631.9E-40.0469736530.095558310.095730151.00179831.9E-4
7.57.71631E-51.5179155E-42.8177182E-41.85630761.3E-43.306571E-46.5037323E-47.8028865E-41.19975521.3E-40.00401832070.0078896170.0080384331.01886241.5E-40.039464330.0782891960.078427461.0017661.5E-4
7.67.5634416E-51.4838556E-42.7836626E-41.87596611.3E-43.241072E-46.357833E-47.6570065E-41.20434211.3E-40.00393886720.0077132560.00786209851.0192971.5E-40.0386977940.0766548740.076793381.00180691.5E-4
7.76.3783E-51.2359623E-42.435814E-41.97078341.2E-42.7332708E-45.2959064E-46.4952706E-41.22647011.2E-40.00332267980.00642873070.00656783071.02163721.4E-40.0327343640.064544880.064675841.00202911.4E-4
7.85.863422E-51.14169685E-42.3415599E-42.05094721.2E-42.512653E-44.892069E-46.0914824E-41.2451751.2E-40.0030548640.00593984970.0060790181.02342961.4E-40.0301320940.059661620.0597932671.00220661.4E-4
7.94.595283E-58.426815E-51.9425889E-42.30524681.1E-41.9692584E-43.6109926E-44.7105952E-41.30451541.1E-40.00239493580.00438752770.0045070011.02723031.2E-40.0236928910.0443631370.0444778171.00258491.2E-4
8.03.2950178E-55.077396E-51.0077142E-41.98470685.0E-51.412074E-42.1758456E-42.6757366E-41.22974575.0E-50.00171784440.00264587530.0026957431.01884735.0E-50.0170462560.0271810720.0272297131.00178965.0E-5
8.11.9177472E-51.9183733E-53.918335E-52.04252982.0E-58.218658E-58.221342E-51.0221177E-41.24324932.0E-50.00100016220.00100048930.00102046941.01997022.0E-50.0099567280.0107578870.0107776721.0018392.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-61.5473614E-52.82691841.0E-53.704486E-52.3458366E-53.345813E-51.42627721.0E-54.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.955654E-41.0350081.0E-50.00450013950.00324817930.0032581471.00306871.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6204086E-42.937271E-44.4368303E-41.51052811.5E-46.94276E-40.00125837780.00143815131.14286121.8E-40.0084200970.01523461750.0154315711.0129282.0E-40.0810811450.139624540.139805211.0012942.1E-4
6.11.6204086E-42.937271E-44.4368303E-41.51052811.5E-46.94276E-40.00125837780.00143815131.14286121.8E-40.0084200970.01523461750.0154315711.0129282.0E-40.0810811450.139624540.139805211.0012942.1E-4
6.21.6204086E-42.937271E-44.4368303E-41.51052811.5E-46.94276E-40.00125837780.00143815131.14286121.8E-40.0084200970.01523461750.0154315711.0129282.0E-40.0810811450.139624540.139805211.0012942.1E-4
6.31.0111737E-41.7703463E-43.0701162E-41.73418961.3E-44.332882E-47.5861585E-49.184945E-41.21075051.6E-40.0052625310.00921772050.0093960611.01934751.8E-40.05139640.087073930.087238261.00188721.8E-4
6.41.0111737E-41.7703463E-43.0701162E-41.73418961.3E-44.332882E-47.5861585E-49.184945E-41.21075051.6E-40.0052625310.00921772050.0093960611.01934751.8E-40.05139640.087073930.087238261.00188721.8E-4
6.53.6624708E-54.6391986E-58.639013E-51.8621784.0E-51.569536E-41.9880968E-42.3880172E-41.20115754.0E-50.0019092350.00241818140.00245808461.01650134.0E-50.018929150.0236970610.0237361141.0016484.0E-5
6.62.5051324E-52.6147465E-53.61472E-51.38243631.0E-51.073584E-41.12056E-41.2205488E-41.08923111.0E-50.00130630470.00136347250.00137345891.00732421.0E-50.0129865250.0135657590.0135756241.00072721.0E-5
6.72.2189772E-52.2072489E-53.207227E-51.45304261.0E-59.509556E-59.459316E-51.0459221E-41.10570591.0E-50.00115717340.00115109960.00116108811.00867741.0E-50.0115116630.01146632250.0114762081.00086211.0E-5
6.81.6654378E-51.44376E-51.44376E-51.00.07.137396E-56.187399E-56.187399E-51.00.08.686314E-47.5306057E-47.5306057E-41.00.00.0086524390.00751007630.00751007631.00.0
6.91.5042909E-51.2331886E-51.2331886E-51.00.06.446802E-55.2849886E-55.2849886E-51.00.07.8461546E-46.4326054E-46.4326054E-41.00.00.0078185090.0064179250.0064179251.00.0
7.01.4361385E-51.1451172E-51.1451172E-51.00.06.154734E-54.9075545E-54.9075545E-51.00.07.490812E-45.973339E-45.973339E-41.00.00.0074656120.0059609820.0059609821.00.0
7.11.3265571E-51.0244736E-51.0244736E-51.00.05.6851208E-54.3905282E-54.3905282E-51.00.06.919436E-45.344183E-45.344183E-41.00.00.0068979310.00533460030.00533460031.00.0
7.21.1596403E-58.504847E-68.504847E-61.00.04.9697923E-53.6448844E-53.6448844E-51.00.06.049042E-44.4367602E-44.4367602E-41.00.00.0060326030.0044293570.0044293571.00.0
7.31.0150827E-57.238537E-67.238537E-61.00.04.3502816E-53.102194E-53.102194E-51.00.05.2951806E-43.776281E-43.776281E-41.00.00.0052825810.0037702710.0037702711.00.0
7.49.080705E-66.352307E-66.352307E-61.00.03.8916725E-52.7223898E-52.7223898E-51.00.04.7370812E-43.314019E-43.314019E-41.00.00.0047269960.00330922570.00330922571.00.0
7.57.671649E-65.225419E-65.225419E-61.00.03.287808E-52.2394468E-52.2394468E-51.00.04.0021708E-42.7261977E-42.7261977E-41.00.00.00399497060.00272297840.00272297841.00.0
7.66.990086E-64.687336E-64.687336E-61.00.02.9957167E-52.0088435E-52.0088435E-51.00.03.6466747E-42.445504E-42.445504E-41.00.00.00364069640.00244292920.00244292921.00.0
7.74.163505E-62.329331E-62.329331E-61.00.01.7843471E-59.982813E-69.982813E-61.00.02.172226E-41.2153471E-41.2153471E-41.00.00.00217010380.00121475550.00121475551.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.384417E-89.384417E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0218927E-74.0218927E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8966467E-64.8966467E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8965718E-54.8965718E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4397174E-93.4397174E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4741646E-81.4741646E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.7947953E-71.7947953E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.794794E-61.794794E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Carrizo) rev

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1674632E-42.4324407E-44.2320028E-41.73981751.8E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.00123186181.18214121.9E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0128211081.01643852.1E-40.05910160.1206402260.120824891.00153082.1E-4
6.11.1674632E-42.4324407E-44.2320028E-41.73981751.8E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.00123186181.18214121.9E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0128211081.01643852.1E-40.05910160.1206402260.120824891.00153082.1E-4
6.21.1674632E-42.4324407E-44.2320028E-41.73981751.8E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.00123186181.18214121.9E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0128211081.01643852.1E-40.05910160.1206402260.120824891.00153082.1E-4
6.31.1674632E-42.4324407E-44.2320028E-41.73981751.8E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.00123186181.18214121.9E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0128211081.01643852.1E-40.05910160.1206402260.120824891.00153082.1E-4
6.41.1674632E-42.4324407E-44.2320028E-41.73981751.8E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.00123186181.18214121.9E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0128211081.01643852.1E-40.05910160.1206402260.120824891.00153082.1E-4
6.51.13136164E-42.3644442E-44.1640186E-41.76109831.8E-44.847792E-40.00101294120.00120274871.18738261.9E-40.00588622550.0122632710.0124706951.01691422.1E-40.0573273340.117610080.1177953851.00157562.1E-4
6.61.13136164E-42.3644442E-44.1640186E-41.76109831.8E-44.847792E-40.00101294120.00120274871.18738261.9E-40.00588622550.0122632710.0124706951.01691422.1E-40.0573273340.117610080.1177953851.00157562.1E-4
6.71.1149675E-42.3335687E-44.1331488E-41.77117071.8E-44.777557E-49.997191E-40.00118952911.18986341.9E-40.00580117340.0121040880.0123115461.01713962.1E-40.056520510.11622910.1164146961.00159682.1E-4
6.81.1103589E-42.3237852E-44.123367E-41.77441841.8E-44.7578133E-49.955293E-40.00118534011.19066321.9E-40.0057772630.0120536430.0122611121.01721222.1E-40.0562935840.115788940.115974621.00160362.1E-4
6.91.1053259E-42.3130233E-44.112607E-41.77802231.8E-44.7362508E-49.909206E-40.00117074221.18146931.8E-40.00575114970.0119981520.0121957521.01646922.0E-40.056045690.115304450.1154813841.00153462.0E-4
7.01.1005377E-42.3031076E-44.102693E-41.78137271.8E-44.7157376E-49.866742E-40.00116649671.1822511.8E-40.00572630620.0119470210.0121446321.01654052.0E-40.0558097960.114856580.115033611.00154132.0E-4
7.11.0308142E-42.1540876E-43.9536998E-41.83544061.8E-44.417027E-49.228548E-40.00110268871.19486691.8E-40.00536447760.0111781880.01137595251.0176922.0E-40.0523681380.108090420.1082688051.00165032.0E-4
7.21.0027479E-42.094876E-43.8944988E-41.85905951.8E-44.296783E-48.9749607E-40.00107733451.2003781.8E-40.00521879220.0108725660.0110703921.01819492.0E-40.0509792120.105390860.105569781.00169772.0E-4
7.39.816942E-52.0423878E-43.8420202E-41.88114141.8E-44.2065824E-48.7501644E-40.00105485891.20553041.8E-40.0051094930.0106015720.0107994521.01866512.0E-40.0499359850.102975460.103154861.00174222.0E-4
7.49.5634205E-51.9793298E-43.6789934E-41.85870661.7E-44.0979648E-48.4800937E-40.00101786531.20029951.7E-40.00497786370.0102759010.0104639491.01829981.9E-40.0486782530.1000678840.1002388751.00170871.9E-4
7.58.052417E-51.6113915E-42.911182E-41.80662611.3E-43.4505792E-46.9041376E-48.20324E-41.18816291.3E-40.00419299030.0083734710.0085222151.01776371.5E-40.041147530.0828152450.082952821.00166131.5E-4
7.67.897024E-51.5767086E-42.8765036E-41.82437241.3E-43.384E-46.755574E-48.0546964E-41.19230371.3E-40.00411223850.008193970.0083427411.01815621.5E-40.0403696970.081158660.081296491.00169831.5E-4
7.76.707427E-51.3277122E-42.527553E-41.90369031.2E-42.8742946E-45.688955E-46.8882725E-41.21081511.2E-40.0034938390.00690433850.0070433721.02013711.4E-40.0343941640.069053390.069183721.00188741.4E-4
7.86.147705E-51.2198445E-42.4196981E-41.9836121.2E-42.6344648E-45.226858E-46.4262305E-41.22946351.2E-40.00320274360.0063451560.0064842681.0219241.4E-40.0315697640.06351720.0636483061.00206411.4E-4
7.94.7636717E-58.8802946E-51.9879318E-42.23858761.1E-42.0414138E-43.8052857E-44.904867E-41.28896161.1E-40.00248258840.0046231010.00474254651.02583661.2E-40.0245503650.0466293660.046743771.00245341.2E-4
8.03.3554235E-55.2138024E-51.0213542E-41.9589435.0E-51.4379594E-42.2342955E-42.7341838E-41.22373415.0E-50.00174930970.0027168630.00276672721.01835365.0E-50.0173560340.0278819050.0279305111.00174335.0E-5
8.11.9175432E-51.9183564E-53.918318E-52.04253912.0E-58.217783E-58.221269E-51.02211045E-41.24325142.0E-50.00100005580.00100048050.00102046051.01997042.0E-50.0099556730.0107577710.0107775561.00183922.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-61.5473614E-52.82691841.0E-53.704486E-52.3458366E-53.345813E-51.42627721.0E-54.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.955654E-41.0350081.0E-50.00450013950.00324817930.0032581471.00306871.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Ludlow

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2407607E-52.3657254E-52.0365299E-48.608481.8E-49.602906E-51.0138454E-42.913653E-42.8738631.9E-40.00116852670.0012337020.00142346751.1538181.9E-40.0116240130.0122730420.01246071051.01529111.9E-4
6.12.2407607E-52.3657254E-52.0365299E-48.608481.8E-49.602906E-51.0138454E-42.913653E-42.8738631.9E-40.00116852670.0012337020.00142346751.1538181.9E-40.0116240130.0122730420.01246071051.01529111.9E-4
6.21.0781252E-51.1365663E-58.1364866E-57.1588317.0E-54.620455E-54.8709102E-51.287052E-42.64232358.0E-55.623952E-45.9287593E-46.728285E-41.13485558.0E-50.005609740.00591336140.0059928881.01344878.0E-5
6.31.0781252E-51.1365663E-58.1364866E-57.1588317.0E-54.620455E-54.8709102E-51.287052E-42.64232358.0E-55.623952E-45.9287593E-46.728285E-41.13485558.0E-50.005609740.00591336140.0059928881.01344878.0E-5
6.47.814439E-68.237729E-64.8237398E-55.8556674.0E-53.3490025E-53.530408E-58.5302316E-52.41621695.0E-54.0766477E-44.2974384E-44.7972234E-41.11629845.0E-50.00406917740.00428927460.00433906031.01160695.0E-5
6.56.4986366E-66.85092E-64.6850644E-56.8385924.0E-52.7851002E-52.9360759E-57.935929E-52.70290335.0E-53.390332E-43.5740953E-44.0739166E-41.13984555.0E-50.0033851640.00356844320.00361826481.01396175.0E-5
6.65.582177E-65.8860055E-63.588583E-56.0968053.0E-52.3923398E-52.5225498E-56.522449E-52.58565714.0E-52.9122844E-43.0707786E-43.470656E-41.13022024.0E-50.00290847060.0030666090.00310648631.01300374.0E-5
6.74.6858763E-64.940427E-62.494033E-55.0482132.0E-52.0082172E-52.1173091E-54.117267E-51.94457522.0E-52.4447302E-42.5775246E-42.7774728E-41.07757382.0E-50.00244204230.00257459120.002594541.00774822.0E-5
6.83.5584908E-63.7520183E-62.3751943E-56.33044432.0E-51.5250586E-51.6079981E-53.607966E-52.24376252.0E-51.8566006E-41.957566E-42.1575269E-41.10214772.0E-50.00185505020.00195588260.00197584371.01020552.0E-5
6.92.532834E-62.6710034E-62.267095E-58.48780252.0E-51.0854958E-51.1447109E-53.144688E-52.74714612.0E-51.3215111E-41.3935992E-41.5935714E-41.14349332.0E-50.00132072540.00139275290.0014127251.014342.0E-5
7.01.7083285E-61.8019439E-62.1801909E-512.0991052.0E-57.3213873E-67.722595E-62.772244E-53.58978322.0E-58.913424E-59.40187E-51.1401682E-41.21270362.0E-58.9098496E-49.3980576E-49.5978694E-41.0212612.0E-5
7.11.0905424E-61.1497619E-61.114975E-59.6974421.0E-54.6737446E-64.9275427E-61.4927493E-53.02939921.0E-55.6901354E-55.999128E-56.999068E-51.16668091.0E-55.6886784E-45.997606E-46.0975464E-41.01666331.0E-5
7.26.06668E-76.387277E-76.387277E-71.00.02.600003E-62.7374022E-62.7374022E-61.00.03.1654577E-53.3327433E-53.3327433E-51.00.03.1650066E-43.3323118E-43.3323118E-41.00.0

Calico-Hidalgo

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0906612E-55.0704355E-51.9069726E-43.7609641.4E-41.7530227E-42.1728857E-43.5725816E-41.64416441.4E-40.00213221580.0026426780.00280225531.06038461.6E-40.021118730.0261528140.0263378451.0070751.9E-4
6.14.0906612E-55.0704355E-51.9069726E-43.7609641.4E-41.7530227E-42.1728857E-43.5725816E-41.64416441.4E-40.00213221580.0026426780.00280225531.06038461.6E-40.021118730.0261528140.0263378451.0070751.9E-4
6.24.0906612E-55.0704355E-51.9069726E-43.7609641.4E-41.7530227E-42.1728857E-43.5725816E-41.64416441.4E-40.00213221580.0026426780.00280225531.06038461.6E-40.021118730.0261528140.0263378451.0070751.9E-4
6.32.4242801E-53.0090967E-51.2008826E-43.99084079.0E-51.0389358E-41.289551E-42.189435E-41.69782739.0E-50.00126417040.00156893120.00165878991.05727399.0E-50.012570030.0155822290.015680671.00631761.0E-4
6.42.4242801E-53.0090967E-51.2008826E-43.99084079.0E-51.0389358E-41.289551E-42.189435E-41.69782739.0E-50.00126417040.00156893120.00165878991.05727399.0E-50.012570030.0155822290.015680671.00631761.0E-4
6.52.0286952E-52.5316054E-51.1531378E-44.55496649.0E-58.694118E-51.0849296E-41.9848319E-41.82945699.0E-50.00105799490.00132011860.00140999971.06808579.0E-50.0105297190.0131247010.0132135191.00676739.0E-5
6.62.0269223E-52.5297004E-51.1529473E-44.55764349.0E-58.6865206E-51.08411325E-41.9840157E-41.83008169.0E-50.00105707070.00131912580.0014090071.0681379.0E-50.0105205650.013114890.013203711.00677249.0E-5
6.71.799852E-52.2540933E-51.125389E-44.9926469.0E-57.713423E-59.660051E-51.8659182E-41.93158219.0E-59.3870464E-40.00117549110.00126538541.07647379.0E-50.0093474930.0116943460.0117832931.0076069.0E-5
6.81.7458793E-52.184258E-51.0184083E-44.6624918.0E-57.4821255E-59.360778E-51.7360029E-41.85454988.0E-59.10568E-40.00113909330.00121900221.07015138.0E-50.0090684590.0113341310.0114132241.00697838.0E-5
6.91.542884E-51.9026285E-58.902495E-54.6790517.0E-56.612192E-58.153875E-51.5153304E-41.85841757.0E-58.04737E-49.922953E-40.00106222581.07047367.0E-50.0080182910.0098800430.0099493521.0070157.0E-5
7.01.468253E-51.803109E-57.803001E-54.32752566.0E-56.292361E-57.727389E-51.3726925E-41.77639896.0E-57.658257E-49.4041653E-40.00100036011.06374166.0E-50.00763191840.0093657360.0094251741.00634636.0E-5
7.11.3139281E-51.620139E-57.620042E-54.7033266.0E-55.6309986E-56.943275E-51.2942858E-41.86408566.0E-56.853584E-48.4502844E-49.049777E-41.07094356.0E-50.00683248560.0084194490.0084789441.00706646.0E-5
7.21.1127404E-51.3867038E-54.386662E-53.16337353.0E-54.7688E-55.9428872E-58.942709E-51.50477523.0E-55.8044674E-47.233172E-47.5329555E-41.04144563.0E-50.00578932980.0072107370.0072405211.00413053.0E-5
7.39.808154E-61.2176586E-52.2176464E-51.82123831.0E-54.2034266E-55.2184383E-56.218386E-51.19161821.0E-55.11647E-46.351704E-46.4516405E-41.01573381.0E-50.00510470570.0063346250.0063445621.00156871.0E-5
7.47.942452E-69.792348E-61.979225E-52.02119571.0E-53.4038632E-54.1966585E-55.1966163E-51.23827481.0E-54.1434157E-45.108328E-45.208277E-41.01956581.0E-50.00413569850.0050975270.00510747641.00195171.0E-5
7.54.7121216E-65.7729717E-65.7729717E-61.00.02.019465E-52.4741115E-52.4741115E-51.00.02.4584212E-43.011891E-43.011891E-41.00.00.00245570320.00300856140.00300856141.00.0
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-51.3587343E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.3586794E-41.00.0

Scodie Lineament

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2919327E-63.0133303E-61.2301297E-440.8229261.2E-41.4108206E-51.2914227E-51.4291256E-411.0662871.3E-41.7175387E-41.5722254E-43.2719583E-42.08109971.7E-40.00171621180.00157142480.00175114191.11436571.8E-4
6.11.8663811E-61.5490382E-64.1548978E-526.8224354.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-65.663839E-58.5315225.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.4081907E-41.74229446.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-48.679456E-41.0741986.0E-5
6.21.8663811E-61.5490382E-64.1548978E-526.8224354.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-65.663839E-58.5315225.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.4081907E-41.74229446.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-48.679456E-41.0741986.0E-5
6.31.8663811E-61.5490382E-64.1548978E-526.8224354.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-65.663839E-58.5315225.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.4081907E-41.74229446.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-48.679456E-41.0741986.0E-5
6.41.8663811E-61.5490382E-64.1548978E-526.8224354.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-65.663839E-58.5315225.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.4081907E-41.74229446.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-48.679456E-41.0741986.0E-5
6.51.8106311E-61.4909722E-64.1490912E-527.8280944.0E-57.759824E-66.389868E-64.6389614E-57.25987054.0E-59.447177E-57.779436E-51.2779047E-41.64267025.0E-59.4431615E-47.7771995E-48.2768104E-41.06424055.0E-5
6.61.2414679E-68.9974395E-73.089972E-534.342793.0E-55.320566E-63.85604E-63.3855926E-58.7799713.0E-56.477596E-54.6946367E-57.694496E-51.63899713.0E-56.475708E-44.6937316E-44.993591E-41.0638853.0E-5
6.71.1062215E-67.594193E-72.0759404E-527.3358922.0E-54.7409408E-63.2546504E-62.3254586E-57.1450332.0E-55.7719422E-53.962472E-55.962393E-51.50471542.0E-55.770443E-43.9618355E-44.161756E-41.05046162.0E-5
6.81.0006736E-66.5002786E-71.0650021E-516.3839451.0E-54.288594E-62.7858312E-61.2785803E-54.5895831.0E-55.221238E-53.391703E-54.3916687E-51.29482711.0E-55.220012E-43.3912458E-43.491212E-41.02947771.0E-5
6.99.167364E-75.6315065E-71.0563145E-518.7572271.0E-53.9288643E-62.413501E-61.2413477E-55.14334871.0E-54.7832873E-52.9384037E-53.9383744E-51.34031081.0E-54.782258E-42.9380718E-43.0380423E-41.03402591.0E-5
7.07.6987664E-74.113265E-71.0411322E-525.3115771.0E-53.2994672E-61.7628269E-61.176281E-56.67269661.0E-54.0170275E-52.1462245E-53.146203E-51.46592451.0E-54.0163012E-42.1460558E-42.2460344E-41.04658711.0E-5
7.17.1038727E-73.5210306E-71.03521E-529.4007661.0E-53.0445133E-61.5090123E-61.1508997E-57.6268411.0E-53.706632E-51.8372106E-52.8371922E-51.54429341.0E-53.7060137E-41.8370937E-41.9370753E-41.05442381.0E-5
7.22.0799602E-73.1178534E-83.1178534E-81.00.08.914113E-71.3362228E-71.3362228E-71.00.01.0852878E-51.6268501E-61.6268501E-61.00.01.08523476E-41.626839E-51.626839E-51.00.0
7.31.5048182E-71.5939106E-81.5939106E-81.00.06.449219E-76.8310456E-86.8310456E-81.00.07.851896E-68.316795E-78.316795E-71.00.07.851618E-58.316767E-68.316767E-61.00.0
7.45.9334678E-84.8638475E-94.8638475E-91.00.02.5429145E-72.084506E-82.084506E-81.00.03.095994E-62.5378858E-72.5378858E-71.00.03.095951E-52.5378843E-62.5378843E-61.00.0

Cady

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9892565E-52.1858728E-51.5185589E-46.94715071.3E-48.525106E-59.3677416E-52.4366337E-42.60108971.5E-40.00103743740.00114001670.00129983431.14018881.6E-40.0103260750.0113507010.0115286581.0156781.8E-4
6.11.9892565E-52.1858728E-51.5185589E-46.94715071.3E-48.525106E-59.3677416E-52.4366337E-42.60108971.5E-40.00103743740.00114001670.00129983431.14018881.6E-40.0103260750.0113507010.0115286581.0156781.8E-4
6.21.9892565E-52.1858728E-51.5185589E-46.94715071.3E-48.525106E-59.3677416E-52.4366337E-42.60108971.5E-40.00103743740.00114001670.00129983431.14018881.6E-40.0103260750.0113507010.0115286581.0156781.8E-4
6.31.1117327E-51.2176583E-55.2176096E-54.28495364.0E-54.764482E-55.2184492E-51.0218188E-41.95808915.0E-55.7992124E-46.351925E-46.8516075E-41.07866635.0E-50.00578410220.00633687530.00639649531.00940846.0E-5
6.41.1117327E-51.2176583E-55.2176096E-54.28495364.0E-54.764482E-55.2184492E-51.0218188E-41.95808915.0E-55.7992124E-46.351925E-46.8516075E-41.07866635.0E-50.00578410220.00633687530.00639649531.00940846.0E-5
6.56.103093E-66.672021E-61.6671955E-52.49878621.0E-52.615585E-52.8594131E-53.8593847E-51.34971211.0E-53.1840094E-43.480905E-43.58087E-41.02871811.0E-50.00317945120.00347668650.0034866521.00286631.0E-5
6.65.817237E-66.3656585E-61.6365595E-52.57091931.0E-52.4930776E-52.728118E-53.7280905E-51.3665431.0E-53.034899E-43.3211018E-43.4210685E-41.03010051.0E-50.00303075770.00331736050.00332732731.00300441.0E-5
6.74.8846314E-65.3405684E-61.5340514E-52.87244991.0E-52.0933967E-52.2888014E-53.2887787E-51.43689991.0E-52.5484123E-42.7863772E-42.8863494E-41.03587891.0E-50.00254549180.00278403910.00279401131.00358191.0E-5
6.81.7788773E-61.9399079E-61.1939888E-56.1548741.0E-57.6237375E-68.313874E-61.831379E-52.20279881.0E-59.281505E-51.01218284E-41.11217276E-41.09878641.0E-59.2776294E-40.00101187650.00102186631.00987271.0E-5
6.97.5455404E-78.297092E-78.297092E-71.00.03.233799E-63.5558937E-63.5558937E-61.00.03.937079E-54.3292483E-54.3292483E-51.00.03.9363815E-44.3287344E-44.3287344E-41.00.0
7.06.8578805E-77.541816E-77.541816E-71.00.02.9390883E-63.2322048E-63.2322048E-61.00.03.578281E-53.9351715E-53.9351715E-51.00.03.577705E-43.9347992E-43.9347992E-41.00.0

Red Pass

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.258278E-68.551265E-61.3855015E-416.20231.3E-43.539214E-53.6647863E-51.666431E-44.54714351.3E-44.308141E-44.4611428E-46.1603845E-41.38089821.7E-40.00429979850.0044539450.00462318771.03799841.7E-4
6.13.649988E-63.7753161E-65.3775126E-514.2438755.0E-51.5642712E-51.6179853E-56.617904E-54.0902135.0E-51.9043336E-41.9697666E-42.5696485E-41.30454466.0E-50.00190270260.0019684880.00202836981.03042036.0E-5
6.23.649988E-63.7753161E-65.3775126E-514.2438755.0E-51.5642712E-51.6179853E-56.617904E-54.0902135.0E-51.9043336E-41.9697666E-42.5696485E-41.30454466.0E-50.00190270260.0019684880.00202836981.03042036.0E-5
6.31.3924937E-61.4411166E-61.1441102E-57.93905351.0E-55.9678164E-66.1762075E-61.6176145E-52.61910651.0E-57.265574E-57.519415E-58.5193395E-51.1329791.0E-57.263199E-47.518258E-47.6181826E-41.0132911.0E-5
6.41.3924937E-61.4411166E-61.1441102E-57.93905351.0E-55.9678164E-66.1762075E-61.6176145E-52.61910651.0E-57.265574E-57.519415E-58.5193395E-51.1329791.0E-57.263199E-47.518258E-47.6181826E-41.0132911.0E-5
6.59.876812E-71.0221912E-61.1022181E-510.7828951.0E-54.2329125E-64.3808195E-61.4380776E-53.28266791.0E-55.153449E-55.3336476E-56.3335945E-51.18747891.0E-55.1522546E-45.333648E-45.4335943E-41.01873891.0E-5

San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.652694E-53.4401106E-51.8439595E-45.3601751.5E-41.5653463E-41.4742499E-42.9740288E-42.01731661.5E-40.00190414310.00179342330.00195313641.08905481.6E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0186833371.00847641.6E-4
6.13.652694E-53.4401106E-51.8439595E-45.3601751.5E-41.5653463E-41.4742499E-42.9740288E-42.01731661.5E-40.00190414310.00179342330.00195313641.08905481.6E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0186833371.00847641.6E-4
6.23.652694E-53.4401106E-51.8439595E-45.3601751.5E-41.5653463E-41.4742499E-42.9740288E-42.01731661.5E-40.00190414310.00179342330.00195313641.08905481.6E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0186833371.00847641.6E-4
6.33.652694E-53.4401106E-51.8439595E-45.3601751.5E-41.5653463E-41.4742499E-42.9740288E-42.01731661.5E-40.00190414310.00179342330.00195313641.08905481.6E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0186833371.00847641.6E-4
6.43.646941E-53.432268E-51.8431753E-45.3701381.5E-41.5628811E-41.4708891E-42.9706684E-42.01964141.5E-40.00190114680.00178933890.00194905261.08925861.6E-40.0188496450.0184861810.0186432251.00849511.6E-4
6.53.646941E-53.432268E-51.8431753E-45.3701381.5E-41.5628811E-41.4708891E-42.9706684E-42.01964141.5E-40.00190114680.00178933890.00194905261.08925861.6E-40.0188496450.0184861810.0186432251.00849511.6E-4
6.63.6442503E-53.4286066E-51.8428093E-45.3748051.5E-41.561728E-41.4693203E-42.9690997E-42.02073031.5E-40.00189974550.0017874320.00194714591.08935391.6E-40.0188358690.018467450.0186244961.00850391.6E-4
6.73.6432113E-53.427164E-51.8426651E-45.37664651.5E-41.5612828E-41.4687021E-42.968482E-42.021161.5E-40.00189920440.00178668070.00194639481.08939161.6E-40.0188305490.0184600740.0186171221.00850741.6E-4
6.83.6409598E-53.4240697E-51.8423556E-45.3806021.5E-41.560318E-41.4673761E-42.967156E-42.02208281.5E-40.00189803180.00178506890.00194478331.08947241.6E-40.0188190230.0184442290.0186012781.00851481.6E-4
6.93.638078E-53.4201123E-51.8419599E-45.3856711.5E-41.5590832E-41.4656801E-42.9654603E-42.02326561.5E-40.00189653110.00178300750.00194272221.0895761.6E-40.0188042690.0184239630.0185810141.00852431.6E-4
7.03.6294874E-53.408314E-51.8407803E-45.4008531.5E-41.5554018E-41.4606243E-42.9604053E-42.0268081.5E-40.00189205690.00177686230.0019365781.08988641.6E-40.0187602840.0183635450.0185206071.00855291.6E-4
7.13.6260717E-53.403942E-51.8403432E-45.4065051.5E-41.5539382E-41.4587509E-42.958532E-42.0281271.5E-40.0018902780.00177458510.00193430121.0900021.6E-40.0187427960.0183411390.0184982051.00856351.6E-4
7.23.6210204E-53.397364E-51.8396854E-45.41503761.5E-41.5517735E-41.455932E-42.9557137E-42.03011781.5E-40.0018876470.00177115880.00193087541.09017631.6E-40.018716930.0183074080.018464481.00857961.6E-4
7.33.6119454E-53.386193E-51.8385684E-45.42960361.5E-41.5478847E-41.4511449E-42.9509273E-42.03351661.5E-40.00188292060.00176533980.00192505741.09047411.6E-40.0186704620.018249960.0184070411.00860711.6E-4
7.43.607848E-53.380943E-51.8380435E-45.43648241.5E-41.5461289E-41.4488952E-42.948678E-42.03512171.5E-40.00188078660.00176260520.00192232311.09061471.6E-40.0186494810.0182229560.018380041.00862011.6E-4
7.53.5856774E-53.3619202E-51.8361416E-45.46158551.5E-41.5366284E-41.4407437E-42.9405273E-42.04097911.5E-40.00186923960.00175269670.00191241631.09112791.6E-40.0185359440.0181240570.0182811561.00866811.6E-4
7.63.286655E-53.2142278E-51.8213746E-45.66660071.5E-41.4084904E-41.3774536E-42.877247E-42.0888161.5E-40.0017134880.00167576170.00183549361.09531891.6E-40.0170033610.0173438040.0175010281.00906521.6E-4
7.72.8882527E-52.9235205E-51.7923082E-46.13065051.5E-41.237764E-41.2528773E-42.7526892E-42.19709421.5E-40.00150593570.00152431180.00168406791.10480541.6E-40.0149577130.0158303380.0159878041.00994721.6E-4
7.82.4950225E-52.6526219E-51.665225E-46.2776571.4E-41.0692515E-41.1367885E-42.5366293E-42.23139951.4E-40.00130103620.00138316210.00153295461.10829711.5E-40.0129344550.014411760.0145595981.01025821.5E-4
7.91.9881603E-52.150649E-51.6150349E-47.5095231.4E-48.520408E-59.216742E-52.3215452E-42.51883481.4E-40.0010368660.00112156150.00127139331.13359211.5E-40.0103204150.0117769980.0119252321.01258671.5E-4
8.01.563292E-51.5936288E-51.15934694E-47.2748871.0E-46.6996516E-56.829659E-51.6828976E-42.4641021.0E-48.153773E-48.3119445E-49.4110303E-41.13222971.1E-40.008123920.0088103310.0089193621.01237541.1E-4
8.11.0045313E-58.300794E-63.8300546E-54.6140823.0E-54.305063E-53.557435E-56.557328E-51.84327423.0E-55.2401534E-44.3303217E-44.7301484E-41.09233194.0E-50.00522781440.00465876660.00469858061.0085464.0E-5
8.24.1554413E-61.5648296E-61.5648296E-61.00.01.7808914E-56.7063957E-66.7063957E-61.00.02.1680194E-48.164734E-58.164734E-51.00.00.00216590549.479703E-49.479703E-41.00.0
8.31.2758221E-63.612677E-73.612677E-71.00.05.4677976E-61.5482892E-61.5482892E-61.00.06.65684E-51.8850264E-51.8850264E-51.00.06.6548464E-42.2739546E-42.2739546E-41.00.0

Coyote Lake

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.980352E-52.1706745E-51.7170349E-47.91014431.5E-48.486947E-59.302599E-52.4301204E-42.61230251.5E-40.00103279590.00113207510.00129189391.14117341.6E-40.0102800910.0112702580.0114284551.01403671.6E-4
6.11.980352E-52.1706745E-51.7170349E-47.91014431.5E-48.486947E-59.302599E-52.4301204E-42.61230251.5E-40.00103279590.00113207510.00129189391.14117341.6E-40.0102800910.0112702580.0114284551.01403671.6E-4
6.21.980352E-52.1706745E-51.7170349E-47.91014431.5E-48.486947E-59.302599E-52.4301204E-42.61230251.5E-40.00103279590.00113207510.00129189391.14117341.6E-40.0102800910.0112702580.0114284551.01403671.6E-4
6.31.5344787E-51.682067E-51.2681882E-47.53946351.1E-46.576172E-57.2086936E-51.82079E-42.52582531.1E-48.003548E-48.773662E-49.972609E-41.1366531.2E-40.0079747840.008745070.008864021.0136021.2E-4
6.41.5344787E-51.682067E-51.2681882E-47.53946351.1E-46.576172E-57.2086936E-51.82079E-42.52582531.1E-48.003548E-48.773662E-49.972609E-41.1366531.2E-40.0079747840.008745070.008864021.0136021.2E-4
6.51.4189697E-51.5557987E-51.0555659E-46.784729.0E-56.081157E-56.6675726E-51.5666972E-42.34972679.0E-57.401293E-48.115349E-49.1145374E-41.12312331.0E-40.00737669130.0080916560.0081908471.01225841.0E-4
6.61.3469301E-51.4771577E-51.04770246E-47.0926929.0E-55.7724297E-56.330556E-51.5329986E-42.4215869.0E-57.025667E-47.7053264E-48.704556E-41.12968041.0E-40.00700349640.00768451440.0077837461.01291321.0E-4
6.71.3027966E-51.4281745E-51.0428046E-47.3016619.0E-55.5832945E-56.120638E-51.5120087E-42.4703459.0E-56.7955407E-47.4499263E-48.4491813E-41.13412951.0E-40.0067747980.00743082860.00753008571.01335741.0E-4
6.85.695434E-66.2244176E-65.6224108E-59.032835.0E-52.4408775E-52.6675973E-57.667464E-52.8742965.0E-52.971363E-43.2476155E-43.7474532E-41.15390915.0E-50.00296739330.00324581050.00329564811.01535455.0E-5
6.94.385688E-64.7930553E-64.4792865E-59.3453674.0E-51.879567E-52.0541665E-56.0540846E-52.94722184.0E-52.2881327E-42.5009477E-42.9008478E-41.15989944.0E-50.0022857780.00250094780.00254084781.01595394.0E-5

San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.986481E-40.00122759290.00134744551.09763231.2E-40.00256311240.0052455470.0053649171.02275661.2E-40.0307628460.061204910.061345731.00230071.5E-40.268354770.425934940.426021041.00020221.5E-4
6.15.015945E-40.00102179860.00113168611.10754331.1E-40.002147920.00436785960.0044773791.0250741.1E-40.0258393510.051248370.0513811971.00259181.4E-40.230327760.372856680.372944471.00023541.4E-4
6.24.073338E-48.1073755E-49.1065647E-41.12324451.0E-40.00174454840.00346714770.00356680081.02874221.0E-40.0210340580.040933170.0410578471.00304591.3E-40.191507820.313033460.313122781.00028531.3E-4
6.33.464099E-46.7391695E-47.7384955E-41.14828621.0E-40.00148376920.00288295930.00298267111.03458651.0E-40.0179158730.0341895820.0343151351.00367241.3E-40.165383590.27131660.27141131.00034921.3E-4
6.42.935057E-45.5442745E-46.4437755E-41.16223979.0E-50.00125727510.00237253630.00246232281.03784419.0E-50.0152002480.028264510.0283811191.00412561.2E-40.142015770.232985290.233077331.0003951.2E-4
6.52.3409708E-44.2093755E-45.108997E-41.21371849.0E-50.00100288750.00180196840.00189180631.04985549.0E-50.0121419650.0215874610.0216950871.00498561.1E-40.114995730.186823680.186913131.00047871.1E-4
6.61.5842178E-42.506933E-43.2067575E-41.27915567.0E-56.7877385E-40.00107394970.00114387461.065117.0E-50.00823280.0129955750.0130745351.0060768.0E-50.079343960.123146380.1232165251.00056968.0E-5
6.71.5616413E-42.4605883E-43.160416E-41.28441487.0E-56.691031E-40.00105410690.0011240331.0663377.0E-50.00811594350.012757440.012836421.00619098.0E-50.07825860.121173510.121243821.00058028.0E-5
6.81.5538467E-42.4429744E-43.1428036E-41.2864667.0E-56.6576427E-40.00104656450.00111649131.06681557.0E-50.0080755960.0126668380.0127458261.00623578.0E-50.077883580.1204043550.120474721.00058458.0E-5
6.91.5153569E-42.3539034E-43.0537386E-41.29730847.0E-56.49277E-40.00100842760.0010783571.0693457.0E-50.0078763330.012209010.0122880341.00647268.0E-50.076029520.116474450.1165451261.00060698.0E-5
7.01.4588932E-42.2396253E-42.9394685E-41.31248227.0E-56.250901E-49.5948833E-40.00102942121.07288557.0E-50.00758394740.0116196970.0116987681.00680488.0E-50.0733028950.111320460.111391551.00063868.0E-5
7.11.1565079E-41.6281738E-42.3280598E-41.42985957.0E-54.955521E-46.9760304E-47.675542E-41.10027367.0E-50.0060166690.00846044350.0085397661.00937588.0E-50.0585635380.083670460.0837437661.00087628.0E-5
7.21.0393792E-41.4615769E-42.1614745E-41.47886487.0E-54.4537216E-46.2624045E-46.961966E-41.11170827.0E-50.0054089330.00759799270.00767738471.0104498.0E-50.0527915950.075619690.0756936451.00097798.0E-5
7.39.332884E-51.2780898E-41.9780004E-41.54762237.0E-53.999194E-45.4763845E-46.176001E-41.12775167.0E-50.00485815340.0066472490.0067267171.0119558.0E-50.0475331020.066483260.066557941.00112338.0E-5
7.48.670252E-51.17032345E-41.8702415E-41.59805527.0E-53.715293E-45.0147134E-45.7143625E-41.13951927.0E-50.0045139910.0060884430.00616795571.01305968.0E-50.0442339370.0611516420.061226751.00122828.0E-5
7.57.3036405E-59.005856E-51.5005315E-41.66617326.0E-53.129756E-43.8590826E-44.4588512E-41.15541736.0E-50.00380382170.00468833230.0047580041.01486067.0E-50.037393670.0478777920.047944441.0013927.0E-5
7.66.3935775E-58.280385E-51.4279888E-41.7245446.0E-52.7398168E-43.5482543E-44.1480415E-41.16903726.0E-50.00333062540.0043114610.00438115931.01616597.0E-50.0328114740.043992010.044058931.00152127.0E-5
7.75.5050095E-56.6618326E-51.16614996E-41.75049425.0E-52.3590765E-42.854759E-43.3546163E-41.17509625.0E-50.00286839270.0034701340.00352992561.01723046.0E-50.02831650.0357962140.0358540641.00161616.0E-5
7.85.027131E-56.162871E-51.11625624E-41.81126025.0E-52.1543067E-42.640963E-43.140831E-41.18927495.0E-50.00261971350.0032106350.00327044241.01862796.0E-50.0258904530.033126660.0331846741.00175126.0E-5
7.93.7271806E-55.022507E-59.022306E-51.7963754.0E-51.5972654E-42.1523255E-42.5522395E-41.18580564.0E-50.00194293590.0026173090.00266717841.01905365.0E-50.0192603620.0270674660.0271161121.00179725.0E-5
8.02.7310243E-53.1427757E-55.142713E-51.63636022.0E-51.17038646E-41.3468343E-41.5468075E-41.14847642.0E-50.00142401410.00163853830.00165850551.0121862.0E-50.0141492350.017213860.0172335151.00114192.0E-5
8.11.7940547E-51.7399378E-53.739903E-52.14944652.0E-57.688579E-57.456663E-59.456514E-51.26819652.0E-59.3568244E-49.074711E-49.27453E-41.02201932.0E-50.0093175250.0097986360.0098184391.00202112.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-61.5473614E-52.82691841.0E-53.704486E-52.3458366E-53.345813E-51.42627721.0E-54.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.955654E-41.0350081.0E-50.00450013950.00324817930.0032581471.00306871.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

White Wolf (Extension)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.222555E-66.066615E-61.16065945E-419.1319121.1E-43.5239045E-52.5999556E-51.5599618E-45.9999551.3E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-44.5646093E-41.44219081.4E-40.00428123870.00316119660.00331072231.04730031.5E-4
6.18.222555E-66.066615E-61.16065945E-419.1319121.1E-43.5239045E-52.5999556E-51.5599618E-45.9999551.3E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-44.5646093E-41.44219081.4E-40.00428123870.00316119660.00331072231.04730031.5E-4
6.28.222555E-66.066615E-61.16065945E-419.1319121.1E-43.5239045E-52.5999556E-51.5599618E-45.9999551.3E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-44.5646093E-41.44219081.4E-40.00428123870.00316119660.00331072231.04730031.5E-4
6.38.222555E-66.066615E-61.16065945E-419.1319121.1E-43.5239045E-52.5999556E-51.5599618E-45.9999551.3E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-44.5646093E-41.44219081.4E-40.00428123870.00316119660.00331072231.04730031.5E-4
6.45.821773E-63.5571256E-67.3556876E-520.678747.0E-52.4950215E-51.5244741E-59.524352E-56.2476318.0E-53.0372653E-41.8559002E-42.7557331E-41.48484999.0E-50.00303311760.00185445860.00194429181.04844169.0E-5
6.55.766023E-63.4990599E-67.349881E-521.0053047.0E-52.4711293E-51.49958905E-58.499484E-55.6678767.0E-53.0081844E-41.8256076E-42.6254615E-41.43813038.0E-50.00300411580.00182421610.00190407011.04377458.0E-5
6.64.643576E-62.3325733E-65.2332456E-522.4355055.0E-51.9900888E-59.9967065E-65.9996208E-56.00159745.0E-52.4226638E-41.2170354E-41.7169745E-41.41078445.0E-50.00242002420.00121641120.00126635051.04105455.0E-5
6.73.9529173E-61.6482975E-63.1648247E-519.2005673.0E-51.6940963E-57.064114E-63.7063903E-55.2467873.0E-52.0623671E-48.600239E-51.1599981E-41.34879763.0E-50.0020604548.597095E-48.896837E-41.03486553.0E-5
6.83.4377522E-61.2244764E-62.1224452E-517.3334922.0E-51.473314E-55.247746E-62.524764E-54.811142.0E-51.7936122E-46.388952E-58.388825E-51.31302032.0E-50.00179216526.3872064E-46.5870787E-41.03129262.0E-5
6.93.1367306E-61.0033316E-62.1003312E-520.933572.0E-51.3443062E-54.299986E-62.42999E-55.65115832.0E-51.63657E-45.2351144E-57.23501E-51.38201562.0E-50.00163536525.233958E-45.433853E-41.0381922.0E-5
7.02.8298145E-67.4282326E-72.074281E-527.9242842.0E-51.2127721E-53.1835248E-62.318346E-57.2823252.0E-51.47645E-43.8758775E-55.8758E-51.51599222.0E-50.00147546933.8752513E-44.075174E-41.05158962.0E-5
7.12.4091064E-65.4223835E-72.0542228E-537.884132.0E-51.03247E-52.3238767E-62.2323831E-59.6062882.0E-51.2569598E-42.8292874E-54.829231E-51.70687172.0E-50.0012562492.8289677E-43.028911E-41.07067722.0E-5
7.21.3875518E-61.0740268E-71.0107402E-594.107541.0E-55.9466374E-64.6029712E-71.0460292E-522.7250881.0E-57.23979E-55.604104E-61.5604048E-52.78439661.0E-57.2374323E-45.6039742E-56.603918E-51.17843481.0E-5
7.37.056077E-75.0002956E-85.0002956E-81.00.03.0240296E-62.1429837E-72.1429837E-71.00.03.681694E-52.60908E-62.60908E-61.00.03.681084E-42.609054E-52.609054E-51.00.0
7.45.9334678E-84.8638475E-94.8638475E-91.00.02.5429145E-72.084506E-82.084506E-81.00.03.095994E-62.5378858E-72.5378858E-71.00.03.095951E-52.5378843E-62.5378843E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.693995E-66.660123E-61.3665926E-420.519031.3E-42.8688235E-52.8543072E-51.5853936E-45.55439041.3E-43.492233E-43.4745657E-44.8740793E-41.4027881.4E-40.003486750.00354911670.00368861971.03930641.4E-4
6.16.693995E-66.660123E-61.3665926E-420.519031.3E-42.8688235E-52.8543072E-51.5853936E-45.55439041.3E-43.492233E-43.4745657E-44.8740793E-41.4027881.4E-40.003486750.00354911670.00368861971.03930641.4E-4
6.26.693995E-66.660123E-61.3665926E-420.519031.3E-42.8688235E-52.8543072E-51.5853936E-45.55439041.3E-43.492233E-43.4745657E-44.8740793E-41.4027881.4E-40.003486750.00354911670.00368861971.03930641.4E-4
6.36.693995E-66.660123E-61.3665926E-420.519031.3E-42.8688235E-52.8543072E-51.5853936E-45.55439041.3E-43.492233E-43.4745657E-44.8740793E-41.4027881.4E-40.003486750.00354911670.00368861971.03930641.4E-4
6.46.693995E-66.660123E-61.3665926E-420.519031.3E-42.8688235E-52.8543072E-51.5853936E-45.55439041.3E-43.492233E-43.4745657E-44.8740793E-41.4027881.4E-40.003486750.00354911670.00368861971.03930641.4E-4
6.56.6561875E-66.620341E-61.3661948E-420.636321.3E-42.8526205E-52.8372582E-51.5836889E-45.58175851.3E-43.472512E-43.453815E-44.8533315E-41.40520881.4E-40.00346709070.00352843220.00366793831.03953771.4E-4
6.66.6561875E-66.620341E-61.3661948E-420.636321.3E-42.8526205E-52.8372582E-51.5836889E-45.58175851.3E-43.472512E-43.453815E-44.8533315E-41.40520881.4E-40.00346709070.00352843220.00366793831.03953771.4E-4
6.76.5802237E-66.539518E-61.3653867E-420.8790111.3E-42.8200653E-52.8026205E-51.5802257E-45.63838621.3E-43.4328885E-43.4116567E-44.8111792E-41.41021781.4E-40.00342759020.00348640650.00362591841.04001591.4E-4
6.86.575632E-66.5340073E-61.3653316E-420.8957771.3E-42.8180975E-52.8002589E-51.5799895E-45.64229771.3E-43.4304935E-43.4087826E-44.8083052E-41.41056381.4E-40.00342520260.00348354130.00362305371.0400491.4E-4
6.96.570433E-66.525401E-61.3652456E-420.9220161.3E-42.8158694E-52.7965707E-51.5796207E-45.64842031.3E-43.4277816E-43.4042934E-44.8038168E-41.41110541.4E-40.00342249920.00347906650.00361857941.04010071.4E-4
7.06.5643826E-66.5155223E-61.3651467E-420.9522231.3E-42.8132765E-52.7923368E-51.5791974E-45.6554691.3E-43.424626E-43.3991406E-44.7986646E-41.41172891.4E-40.00341935320.00347392960.00361344331.04016021.4E-4
7.16.557402E-66.504234E-61.3650338E-420.986851.3E-42.8102848E-52.7874992E-51.5787137E-45.66354851.3E-43.4209844E-43.3932526E-44.7927775E-41.41244351.4E-40.00341572290.00346806060.0036075751.04022841.4E-4
7.26.546394E-66.4862006E-61.3648535E-421.042421.3E-42.8055672E-52.7797707E-51.5779409E-45.67651461.3E-43.4152428E-43.383846E-44.7833723E-41.41359041.4E-40.00340999870.00345868830.00359820391.04033781.4E-4
7.36.5364216E-66.4669857E-61.3646614E-421.101971.3E-42.8012933E-52.771536E-51.5771175E-45.690411.3E-43.4100408E-43.373823E-44.773351E-41.41481951.4E-40.0034048130.00344871030.00358822761.04045491.4E-4
7.46.5269523E-66.4480723E-61.3644724E-421.1609341.3E-42.7972354E-52.7634303E-51.5763071E-45.70416831.3E-43.4051016E-43.3639578E-44.7634868E-41.41603651.4E-40.00339988880.00343889230.00357841071.04057071.4E-4
7.56.5111835E-66.424346E-61.364235E-421.2353941.3E-42.7904773E-52.753262E-51.5752904E-45.7215421.3E-43.3968766E-43.3515817E-44.7511124E-41.41757321.4E-40.00339168870.00342656440.00356608471.04071721.4E-4
7.66.4768806E-66.383454E-61.3638263E-421.3650191.3E-42.7757764E-52.7357375E-51.5735382E-45.7517881.3E-43.3789838E-43.330252E-44.7297857E-41.42024861.4E-40.00337385040.00340529720.00354482051.04097251.4E-4
7.76.1655364E-66.1759456E-61.3617515E-422.0492781.3E-42.642346E-52.646807E-51.5646462E-45.91144851.3E-43.2165812E-43.2220117E-44.6215605E-41.43437111.4E-40.00321192950.00329693620.00343647461.04232371.4E-4
7.85.5043524E-65.7370175E-61.3573628E-423.6597271.3E-42.3589868E-52.4586987E-51.5458379E-46.28721951.3E-42.871688E-42.993055E-44.392636E-41.46760951.4E-40.00286797970.00306705850.0032066291.04550641.4E-4
7.93.889249E-64.0766436E-61.3407611E-432.8888471.3E-41.6668104E-51.7471213E-51.4746895E-48.4406811.3E-42.0291525E-42.126913E-43.5266153E-41.6580911.4E-40.00202730070.00219410730.00233381.06366731.4E-4
8.02.668535E-62.5313454E-66.2531195E-524.7027516.0E-51.1436528E-51.0848577E-57.084793E-56.53061876.0E-51.3923083E-41.3207346E-42.0206421E-41.52993817.0E-50.00139143630.00137556650.00144547031.05081817.0E-5
8.11.5911459E-61.2185134E-62.121849E-517.4134242.0E-56.8191785E-65.2221894E-62.5222085E-54.8297912.0E-58.3020335E-56.357832E-59.357642E-51.47182893.0E-58.298933E-46.6911156E-46.9909147E-41.04480553.0E-5
8.26.1294963E-72.1802066E-72.1802066E-71.00.02.6269242E-69.3437393E-79.3437393E-71.00.03.1982334E-51.1375943E-51.1375943E-51.00.03.1977732E-41.2778955E-41.2778955E-41.00.0
8.31.762871E-74.7516316E-84.7516316E-81.00.07.5551594E-72.0364133E-72.0364133E-71.00.09.1983675E-62.4793305E-62.4793305E-61.00.09.197987E-52.8671833E-52.8671833E-51.00.0

Owens Valley

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.83821E-53.6210524E-61.2362062E-434.1394161.2E-42.0733538E-41.551871E-51.455167E-49.3768551.3E-40.0025213861.889249E-43.1890033E-41.68797411.3E-40.0249296910.00192971410.0020694441.07240961.4E-4
6.14.83821E-53.6210524E-61.2362062E-434.1394161.2E-42.0733538E-41.551871E-51.455167E-49.3768551.3E-40.0025213861.889249E-43.1890033E-41.68797411.3E-40.0249296910.00192971410.0020694441.07240961.4E-4
6.24.83821E-53.6210524E-61.2362062E-434.1394161.2E-42.0733538E-41.551871E-51.455167E-49.3768551.3E-40.0025213861.889249E-43.1890033E-41.68797411.3E-40.0249296910.00192971410.0020694441.07240961.4E-4
6.33.953008E-53.1530958E-61.0315278E-432.714761.0E-41.6940363E-41.3513202E-51.2351171E-49.1400781.1E-40.0020605381.6451156E-42.7449345E-41.66853611.1E-40.0204153640.00166216270.00178196331.07207511.2E-4
6.43.953008E-53.1530958E-61.0315278E-432.714761.0E-41.6940363E-41.3513202E-51.2351171E-49.1400781.1E-40.0020605381.6451156E-42.7449345E-41.66853611.1E-40.0204153640.00166216270.00178196331.07207511.2E-4
6.53.457342E-52.9707387E-68.29705E-527.9292498.0E-51.4816338E-41.273168E-51.0273053E-48.0688919.0E-50.00180239651.5499788E-42.449839E-41.58056329.0E-50.0178784770.00155631190.00165615611.06415451.0E-4
6.63.1127765E-52.8737306E-68.28735E-528.8382998.0E-51.3339789E-41.2315934E-51.0231483E-48.3075169.0E-50.00162290921.4993687E-42.3992338E-41.60016269.0E-50.0161110810.00150134380.00160119371.0665071.0E-4
6.72.806885E-52.8101606E-68.280994E-529.4680448.0E-51.2028952E-41.2043493E-51.0204241E-48.4728259.0E-50.0014635411.4662035E-42.3660716E-41.61374029.0E-50.0145393970.00146560870.00156546221.06813111.0E-4
6.82.524524E-52.2351392E-68.223496E-536.7918748.0E-51.0818939E-49.579134E-69.957827E-510.3953319.0E-50.00131640991.16620016E-42.0660952E-41.77164719.0E-50.013086390.0011658270.00126571051.08567611.0E-4
6.92.2704568E-51.6079711E-68.160784E-550.752068.0E-59.730166E-56.8912864E-69.689067E-514.0598819.0E-50.00118400398.38982E-51.7389064E-42.07263859.0E-50.0117771538.38853E-49.3876914E-41.11911031.0E-4
7.02.0871712E-51.5393621E-68.153924E-552.9694988.0E-58.944713E-56.5972495E-69.6596654E-514.6419599.0E-50.00108847468.031857E-51.7031134E-42.12044799.0E-50.0108315868.030395E-49.029592E-41.12442681.0E-4
7.11.944928E-51.3862556E-68.138615E-558.709348.0E-58.335139E-55.941082E-69.5940544E-516.1486669.0E-50.00101433087.233028E-51.6232378E-42.24420219.0E-50.0100971337.2319806E-48.231257E-41.13817471.0E-4
7.21.7876306E-51.2487686E-68.124867E-565.0630348.0E-57.6610486E-55.3518543E-69.535137E-517.8165119.0E-59.3233347E-46.515689E-51.5515102E-42.38119159.0E-50.0092843166.5148395E-47.514188E-41.15339581.0E-4
7.31.2618672E-51.1113839E-68.111129E-572.982258.0E-55.40789E-54.763065E-69.476264E-519.8953069.0E-56.582117E-45.7988782E-51.4798356E-42.55193429.0E-50.00656265535.7983754E-46.7977956E-41.17236211.0E-4
7.47.4874442E-68.547518E-78.085468E-594.5943458.0E-53.208865E-53.6632168E-69.3662886E-525.568489.0E-53.906093E-44.4598757E-51.3459474E-43.01790369.0E-50.0038992344.459579E-45.459133E-41.22413641.0E-4
7.52.4734156E-66.0679935E-74.0606774E-566.919614.0E-51.060031E-52.6005662E-65.2600437E-520.2265325.0E-51.2905113E-43.1661435E-58.1659855E-52.57915835.0E-50.00128976213.1656958E-43.6655375E-41.15789325.0E-5
7.61.1328841E-63.1961991E-72.0319614E-563.5743032.0E-54.8552088E-61.369799E-63.1369756E-522.9009933.0E-55.9110564E-51.6677177E-54.6676676E-52.79883553.0E-55.9094845E-41.6675945E-41.9675444E-41.17986993.0E-5
7.74.8613185E-78.962742E-81.0089627E-5112.572991.0E-52.0834207E-63.8411747E-71.0384114E-527.0336931.0E-52.536535E-54.676621E-61.4676574E-53.1382861.0E-52.5362454E-44.676529E-55.6764824E-51.21382381.0E-5

San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0667746E-53.5271103E-51.5526687E-44.40209871.2E-41.742787E-41.5115313E-42.7113498E-41.79377691.2E-40.00211977820.00183873720.0019684981.07057071.3E-40.0209967140.0189864950.0191140271.0067171.3E-4
6.14.0667746E-53.5271103E-51.5526687E-44.40209871.2E-41.742787E-41.5115313E-42.7113498E-41.79377691.2E-40.00211977820.00183873720.0019684981.07057071.3E-40.0209967140.0189864950.0191140271.0067171.3E-4
6.24.0667746E-53.5271103E-51.5526687E-44.40209871.2E-41.742787E-41.5115313E-42.7113498E-41.79377691.2E-40.00211977820.00183873720.0019684981.07057071.3E-40.0209967140.0189864950.0191140271.0067171.3E-4
6.34.0667746E-53.5271103E-51.5526687E-44.40209871.2E-41.742787E-41.5115313E-42.7113498E-41.79377691.2E-40.00211977820.00183873720.0019684981.07057071.3E-40.0209967140.0189864950.0191140271.0067171.3E-4
6.44.0577226E-53.5143014E-51.551388E-44.4144991.2E-41.738908E-41.5060425E-42.7058617E-41.79667031.2E-40.00211506480.00183206690.00196182871.07082811.3E-40.0209504720.0189210620.0190486031.00674071.3E-4
6.54.0577226E-53.5143014E-51.551388E-44.4144991.2E-41.738908E-41.5060425E-42.7058617E-41.79667031.2E-40.00211506480.00183206690.00196182871.07082811.3E-40.0209504720.0189210620.0190486031.00674071.3E-4
6.64.053861E-53.5088357E-51.5508414E-44.4198181.2E-41.7372532E-41.5037002E-42.7035197E-41.79791141.2E-40.00211305380.00182922060.00195898281.07093851.3E-40.0209307430.018893140.0190206841.00675081.3E-4
6.74.0516545E-53.505743E-51.5505322E-44.4228351.2E-41.7363077E-41.502375E-42.7021946E-41.79861531.2E-40.0021119050.00182761010.00195737251.07100121.3E-40.0209194680.0188773370.0190048831.00675651.3E-4
6.84.049434E-53.5028992E-51.5502478E-44.42561341.2E-41.7353562E-41.5011564E-42.7009763E-41.79926371.2E-40.00211074880.00182612890.00195589151.07105891.3E-40.0209081250.0188627490.0189902971.00676191.3E-4
6.94.046386E-53.4991554E-51.5498736E-44.4292791.2E-41.73405E-41.499552E-42.699372E-41.8001191.2E-40.00210916160.00182417880.00195394181.07113491.3E-40.0208925530.0188435220.0189710731.0067691.3E-4
7.04.036382E-53.4872126E-51.5486794E-44.4410241.2E-41.7297632E-41.4944343E-42.6942548E-41.80285951.2E-40.00210395250.00181795840.00194772221.07137881.3E-40.020841440.0187821370.0189096951.00679151.3E-4
7.14.0343282E-53.485059E-51.548464E-44.44315051.2E-41.7288832E-41.4935112E-42.6933322E-41.80335571.2E-40.0021028830.00181683680.00194660051.07142291.3E-40.0208309480.0187710080.0188985671.00679551.3E-4
7.24.0257353E-53.475509E-51.5475092E-44.4526121.2E-41.725201E-41.489419E-42.6892402E-41.80556331.2E-40.00209840850.00181186260.0019416271.07161941.3E-40.0207870420.0187217460.0188493131.00681381.3E-4
7.33.9940667E-53.458276E-51.545786E-44.4698171.2E-41.7116306E-41.4820343E-42.6818563E-41.80957781.2E-40.00208191850.00180288660.00193265231.07197651.3E-40.0206252170.0186303870.0187579651.00684791.3E-4
7.43.9721202E-53.4468165E-51.5446403E-44.48135331.2E-41.7022261E-41.4771236E-42.6769465E-41.81226971.2E-40.00207049030.00179691790.00192668431.07221621.3E-40.0205130520.0185695220.0186971071.00687071.3E-4
7.53.7036873E-53.3535776E-51.5353176E-44.57814841.2E-41.5871979E-41.4371685E-42.636996E-41.83485521.2E-40.00193070060.00174835130.0018781241.07422581.3E-40.0191401240.0180711280.0181987791.00706371.3E-4
7.63.2940967E-53.13167E-51.5131294E-44.83170131.2E-41.4116794E-41.3420754E-42.5419143E-41.89401761.2E-40.00171736450.00163275450.00176254221.07949011.3E-40.017041530.0169040910.0170318931.00756051.3E-4
7.72.8236149E-52.7882697E-51.4787936E-45.3036241.2E-41.2100645E-41.1949181E-42.3947746E-42.0041331.2E-40.00147225790.00145384290.00158365391.08928821.3E-40.0146254210.0151149120.0152429461.00847081.3E-4
7.82.4329287E-52.5206451E-51.3520368E-45.36385251.1E-41.042642E-41.08023174E-42.180113E-42.018191.1E-40.00126867740.00131438950.00143423191.09117711.2E-40.0126145890.0137123410.0138306951.00863121.2E-4
7.91.9370926E-52.0420413E-51.3041816E-46.38665681.1E-48.301561E-58.751312E-51.975035E-42.25684431.1E-40.00101024650.00106495220.00118482451.11256111.2E-40.01005666050.0111994020.0113180581.01059481.2E-4
8.01.5583017E-51.5885415E-51.1588383E-47.29498241.0E-46.6782646E-56.807858E-51.6807177E-42.46879081.0E-48.127754E-48.2854216E-49.3845103E-41.13265341.1E-40.0080980910.0087816360.0088906711.01241611.1E-4
8.11.0024873E-58.291399E-63.829115E-54.6181773.0E-54.2963035E-53.553409E-56.553302E-51.84422973.0E-55.229494E-44.3254215E-44.7252484E-41.09243664.0E-50.00521720430.00465306550.00469287951.00855654.0E-5
8.24.142796E-61.5602761E-61.5602761E-61.00.01.775472E-56.6868806E-66.6868806E-61.00.02.1614227E-48.140976E-58.140976E-51.00.00.00215932179.4514614E-49.4514614E-41.00.0
8.31.2750878E-63.609817E-73.609817E-71.00.05.4646503E-61.5470634E-61.5470634E-61.00.06.653009E-51.8835339E-51.8835339E-51.00.06.6510175E-42.272251E-42.272251E-41.00.0

Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.872328E-54.7265705E-51.5726051E-43.3271591.1E-41.6594635E-42.0255324E-43.1253096E-41.54295711.1E-40.00201852460.00246356060.00257328971.04454081.1E-40.020002880.0243883380.0245151671.00520041.3E-4
6.13.872328E-54.7265705E-51.5726051E-43.3271591.1E-41.6594635E-42.0255324E-43.1253096E-41.54295711.1E-40.00201852460.00246356060.00257328971.04454081.1E-40.020002880.0243883380.0245151671.00520041.3E-4
6.23.872328E-54.7265705E-51.5726051E-43.3271591.1E-41.6594635E-42.0255324E-43.1253096E-41.54295711.1E-40.00201852460.00246356060.00257328971.04454081.1E-40.020002880.0243883380.0245151671.00520041.3E-4
6.32.8356371E-53.360979E-51.436061E-44.2727461.1E-41.2152165E-41.4403443E-42.5401858E-41.76359631.1E-40.00147852190.00175227880.0018620861.06266531.1E-40.0146872350.0173918160.0175195561.00734471.3E-4
6.42.8356371E-53.360979E-51.436061E-44.2727461.1E-41.2152165E-41.4403443E-42.5401858E-41.76359631.1E-40.00147852190.00175227880.0018620861.06266531.1E-40.0146872350.0173918160.0175195561.00734471.3E-4
6.52.4448687E-52.8607585E-51.3860443E-44.8450241.1E-41.0477588E-41.2259845E-42.3258496E-41.89712811.1E-40.00127489980.00149166160.00160149761.07363331.1E-40.0126761050.0148213920.0149494641.00864111.3E-4
6.62.1298161E-52.4660083E-51.3465737E-45.460541.1E-49.127464E-51.0568197E-42.1567034E-42.04074881.1E-40.00111070220.00128595120.00139580981.08542981.1E-40.0110516720.012788530.0129168681.01003541.3E-4
6.71.8959729E-52.1781027E-51.21778845E-45.5910521.0E-48.125345E-59.334406E-51.9333472E-42.07120541.0E-49.888117E-40.0011358970.00123578331.08793621.0E-40.0098442340.011303570.0114222141.01049611.2E-4
6.81.6691629E-51.9018351E-51.1901645E-46.25797941.0E-47.153359E-58.150477E-51.8149662E-42.22682211.0E-48.7057345E-49.918857E-40.00109178651.1007181.0E-40.0086717080.0098763430.0099951591.01203021.2E-4
6.91.450505E-51.638954E-51.163879E-47.10135271.0E-46.216302E-57.0239046E-51.7023202E-42.42360951.0E-47.5657194E-48.5483363E-49.5474813E-41.11688181.0E-40.0075400130.0085163860.0086353641.01397051.2E-4
7.01.2940855E-51.4537972E-51.1453652E-47.87843851.0E-45.545963E-56.230414E-51.622979E-42.604931.0E-46.750118E-47.5829466E-48.582189E-41.13177491.0E-40.0067296510.00755768970.0076767831.01575791.2E-4
7.11.2544658E-51.4078208E-51.140768E-48.1030771.0E-45.3761712E-56.0333812E-51.6032778E-42.65734551.0E-46.5435225E-47.343222E-48.342488E-41.136081.0E-40.0065242880.0073195510.00743867271.01627451.2E-4
7.21.2489416E-51.4015674E-51.1401427E-48.1347691.0E-45.3524967E-56.0065824E-51.6005982E-42.66474031.0E-46.514716E-47.310616E-48.309885E-41.13668741.0E-40.0064956510.00728715960.0074062851.01634731.2E-4
7.31.2368307E-51.3879812E-51.1387842E-48.2046081.0E-45.3005948E-55.9483587E-51.5947764E-42.6810361.0E-46.451563E-47.2397763E-48.239052E-41.13802581.0E-40.00643286530.0072167820.00733591571.01650791.2E-4
7.41.2161707E-51.36478675E-51.136465E-48.3270521.0E-45.212056E-55.8489582E-51.5848373E-42.70960621.0E-46.3438306E-47.118836E-48.118124E-41.14037241.0E-40.0063257510.00709662070.0072157691.01678941.2E-4
7.51.1707948E-51.3145515E-51.13144204E-48.6070581.0E-45.0175953E-55.6336736E-51.5633111E-42.77494071.0E-46.10721E-46.856895E-47.8562094E-41.14573861.0E-40.00609045340.0068363210.00695550071.01743331.2E-4
7.61.0319538E-51.1579622E-51.1157846E-49.635761.0E-44.4225842E-54.9626036E-51.4962108E-43.01497131.0E-45.383166E-46.040347E-47.039743E-41.16545341.0E-40.00537014430.00602446030.00614373761.01979881.2E-4
7.78.937764E-61.0022779E-51.00021876E-49.9794559.0E-53.830414E-54.295409E-51.3295023E-43.09517039.0E-54.6625308E-45.228456E-46.1279855E-41.1720459.0E-50.00465276050.0052166640.00532609041.02097631.1E-4
7.83.108007E-73.284654E-73.284654E-71.00.01.3320023E-61.407708E-61.407708E-61.00.01.6217007E-51.7138715E-51.7138715E-51.00.01.6215823E-41.7137431E-41.7137431E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

Manix-Afton Hills

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3783202E-51.47110895E-51.2470948E-48.4772421.1E-45.906953E-56.30461E-51.7303917E-42.74464491.1E-47.189342E-47.6733343E-48.872414E-41.15626571.2E-40.00716612770.0076485960.00777760151.01686661.3E-4
6.11.3783202E-51.47110895E-51.2470948E-48.4772421.1E-45.906953E-56.30461E-51.7303917E-42.74464491.1E-47.189342E-47.6733343E-48.872414E-41.15626571.2E-40.00716612770.0076485960.00777760151.01686661.3E-4
6.21.3783202E-51.47110895E-51.2470948E-48.4772421.1E-45.906953E-56.30461E-51.7303917E-42.74464491.1E-47.189342E-47.6733343E-48.872414E-41.15626571.2E-40.00716612770.0076485960.00777760151.01686661.3E-4
6.31.10494875E-51.1793136E-59.179219E-57.78352748.0E-54.7354086E-55.054109E-51.3053704E-42.58279068.0E-55.763835E-46.151744E-47.0511905E-41.146219.0E-50.0057489080.00613575570.0062351421.01619791.0E-4
6.41.10494875E-51.1793136E-59.179219E-57.78352748.0E-54.7354086E-55.054109E-51.3053704E-42.58279068.0E-55.763835E-46.151744E-47.0511905E-41.146219.0E-50.0057489080.00613575570.0062351421.01619791.0E-4
6.59.788949E-61.045432E-57.0453694E-56.73919446.0E-54.1951964E-54.480351E-51.0480082E-42.33912096.0E-55.1064545E-45.453555E-46.153173E-41.12828667.0E-50.00509473630.00544109850.0055206631.01462298.0E-5
6.68.810006E-69.4136285E-65.9413156E-56.31139855.0E-53.775662E-54.0343548E-59.034153E-52.23930555.0E-54.5958988E-44.9108086E-45.510514E-41.12211946.0E-50.00458640560.0049008390.0049704961.01421337.0E-5
6.78.80128E-69.404108E-65.940364E-56.31677535.0E-53.7719226E-54.0302748E-59.030073E-52.24056035.0E-54.591348E-44.9058435E-45.5055495E-41.12224326.0E-50.0045818740.00489589570.0049655531.01422777.0E-5
6.86.8994877E-67.380076E-65.7379708E-57.7749485.0E-52.9568899E-53.162856E-58.1626975E-52.58079985.0E-53.5994186E-43.8501783E-44.4499474E-41.1557776.0E-50.0035935940.00384431290.0039140441.01813887.0E-5
6.94.9328037E-65.2709615E-64.527075E-58.5887084.0E-52.1140417E-52.2589675E-56.258877E-52.77068074.0E-52.5735417E-42.7500073E-43.1498974E-41.14541414.0E-50.00257056350.00274720950.0027970721.01815035.0E-5
7.03.347973E-63.59003E-62.3589959E-56.57096432.0E-51.4348378E-51.5385775E-53.5385467E-52.2998822.0E-51.746775E-41.8730981E-42.0730606E-41.1067552.0E-50.00174540250.00187192190.00190186581.01599633.0E-5
7.11.2073567E-61.293482E-62.1293456E-516.462122.0E-55.1743755E-65.543492E-62.554338E-54.60781432.0E-56.29962E-56.749156E-58.749021E-51.29631342.0E-56.297835E-46.7487074E-46.9485727E-41.02961532.0E-5

Lake Isabella (Seismicity)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.431637E-69.741651E-69.974078E-510.2385899.0E-54.0420677E-54.1749343E-51.6174433E-43.87417671.2E-44.920106E-45.0819275E-46.281318E-41.23601091.2E-40.0049092270.0050715990.00519099041.02354121.2E-4
6.19.431637E-69.741651E-69.974078E-510.2385899.0E-54.0420677E-54.1749343E-51.6174433E-43.87417671.2E-44.920106E-45.0819275E-46.281318E-41.23601091.2E-40.0049092270.0050715990.00519099041.02354121.2E-4
6.29.431637E-69.741651E-69.974078E-510.2385899.0E-54.0420677E-54.1749343E-51.6174433E-43.87417671.2E-44.920106E-45.0819275E-46.281318E-41.23601091.2E-40.0049092270.0050715990.00519099041.02354121.2E-4
6.39.431637E-69.741651E-69.974078E-510.2385899.0E-54.0420677E-54.1749343E-51.6174433E-43.87417671.2E-44.920106E-45.0819275E-46.281318E-41.23601091.2E-40.0049092270.0050715990.00519099041.02354121.2E-4
6.45.144063E-65.3000763E-64.5299865E-58.5470224.0E-52.2045799E-52.2714434E-57.27133E-53.20119365.0E-52.6837454E-42.765166E-43.2650278E-41.1807715.0E-50.00268050660.00276206570.00281192761.01805235.0E-5
6.55.144063E-65.3000763E-64.5299865E-58.5470224.0E-52.2045799E-52.2714434E-57.27133E-53.20119365.0E-52.6837454E-42.765166E-43.2650278E-41.1807715.0E-50.00268050660.00276206570.00281192761.01805235.0E-5
6.63.4009804E-63.498786E-63.349868E-59.5743723.0E-51.4575549E-51.4994721E-55.499412E-53.66756564.0E-51.7744285E-41.8254704E-42.2253973E-41.21908164.0E-50.00177301230.00182412860.00186405561.02188834.0E-5
6.73.3880428E-63.4856528E-63.3485547E-59.6066793.0E-51.4520103E-51.4938435E-55.493784E-53.67761664.0E-51.767679E-41.8186188E-42.218546E-41.21990724.0E-50.00176627360.00181728820.00185721551.02197094.0E-5
6.82.6582E-62.7337003E-63.2733617E-511.9741073.0E-51.1392236E-51.1715813E-55.1715346E-54.4141494.0E-51.3869164E-41.4263204E-41.8262633E-41.2804024.0E-50.00138605120.00142553690.001465481.02801954.0E-5
6.92.406011E-62.4743288E-63.2474254E-513.124473.0E-51.0311434E-51.0604231E-55.0603805E-54.77203944.0E-51.2553448E-41.2910018E-41.6909502E-41.30979694.0E-50.00125463590.00129038140.00133032981.03095854.0E-5
7.01.6953097E-61.7429371E-63.1742886E-518.2122943.0E-57.265593E-67.469715E-64.7469417E-56.35491664.0E-58.8455E-59.094104E-51.3093739E-41.43980544.0E-58.84198E-49.09141E-49.491046E-41.04395764.0E-5
7.13.5013824E-73.5714822E-73.5714822E-71.00.01.5005916E-61.5306344E-61.5306344E-61.00.01.826955E-51.8635317E-51.8635317E-51.00.01.8268047E-41.863378E-41.863378E-41.00.0
7.22.2321095E-72.2750574E-72.2750574E-71.00.09.56618E-79.750242E-79.750242E-71.00.01.1646762E-51.1870856E-51.1870856E-51.00.01.1646151E-41.1870232E-41.1870232E-41.00.0
7.31.5760406E-71.6060922E-71.6060922E-71.00.06.7544585E-76.8832503E-76.8832503E-71.00.08.223522E-68.380326E-68.380326E-61.00.08.2232174E-58.3800165E-58.3800165E-51.00.0
7.41.1216497E-71.1431706E-71.1431706E-71.00.04.8070694E-74.899302E-74.899302E-71.00.05.852591E-65.964884E-65.964884E-61.00.05.8524372E-55.9647282E-55.9647282E-51.00.0
7.54.885185E-84.9787737E-84.9787737E-81.00.02.0936506E-72.13376E-72.13376E-71.00.02.5490165E-62.59785E-62.59785E-61.00.02.5489873E-52.5978214E-52.5978214E-51.00.0
7.61.504641E-91.5317903E-91.5317903E-91.00.06.4484613E-96.5648154E-96.5648154E-91.00.07.851001E-87.992663E-87.992663E-81.00.07.8509987E-77.992663E-77.992663E-71.00.0

San Jacinto (Anza) rev

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.3015636E-54.3298347E-51.5329359E-43.54040271.1E-42.7003905E-41.8555121E-42.955308E-41.59271821.1E-40.00328276910.00225675730.00237648651.05305361.2E-40.0323469680.023293610.0234108161.00503161.2E-4
6.16.3015636E-54.3298347E-51.5329359E-43.54040271.1E-42.7003905E-41.8555121E-42.955308E-41.59271821.1E-40.00328276910.00225675730.00237648651.05305361.2E-40.0323469680.023293610.0234108161.00503161.2E-4
6.26.3015636E-54.3298347E-51.5329359E-43.54040271.1E-42.7003905E-41.8555121E-42.955308E-41.59271821.1E-40.00328276910.00225675730.00237648651.05305361.2E-40.0323469680.023293610.0234108161.00503161.2E-4
6.36.3015636E-54.3298347E-51.5329359E-43.54040271.1E-42.7003905E-41.8555121E-42.955308E-41.59271821.1E-40.00328276910.00225675730.00237648651.05305361.2E-40.0323469680.023293610.0234108161.00503161.2E-4
6.46.3015636E-54.3298347E-51.5329359E-43.54040271.1E-42.7003905E-41.8555121E-42.955308E-41.59271821.1E-40.00328276910.00225675730.00237648651.05305361.2E-40.0323469680.023293610.0234108161.00503161.2E-4
6.55.811017E-54.0080286E-51.5007588E-43.74438141.1E-42.4901982E-41.7176138E-42.8174248E-41.64031341.1E-40.00302760140.00208919470.0022089441.05731841.2E-40.029866840.0215908330.0217082431.0054381.2E-4
6.65.811017E-54.0080286E-51.5007588E-43.74438141.1E-42.4901982E-41.7176138E-42.8174248E-41.64031341.1E-40.00302760140.00208919470.0022089441.05731841.2E-40.029866840.0215908330.0217082431.0054381.2E-4
6.75.712442E-53.950301E-51.4949866E-43.78448771.1E-42.4479596E-41.6928767E-42.7926904E-41.64967161.1E-40.00297631770.00205913440.00217888741.0581571.2E-40.0293676930.0212829190.0214003641.00551831.2E-4
6.85.6967532E-53.93593E-51.4935496E-43.79465531.1E-42.4412372E-41.6867183E-42.786533E-41.65204391.1E-40.00296815530.00205165080.00217140471.05836951.2E-40.0292882290.021208520.0213259741.00553811.2E-4
6.95.6211324E-53.9064216E-51.4905992E-43.81576631.1E-42.4088343E-41.6740736E-42.7738893E-41.65696981.1E-40.00292881160.00203628470.00215604041.05881081.2E-40.0289051090.0210475270.0211650021.00558141.2E-4
7.05.4383527E-53.7925012E-51.4792084E-43.90035061.1E-42.3305144E-41.6252567E-42.7250778E-41.67670621.1E-40.00283370940.0019769590.00209672171.06057931.2E-40.0279784650.020440950.0205584971.00575051.2E-4
7.15.1393665E-53.638787E-51.4638387E-44.02287531.1E-42.2023996E-41.5593872E-42.6592155E-41.70529531.1E-40.00267812420.00189690480.00201667731.0631411.2E-40.0264607820.0196160770.0197337231.00599741.2E-4
7.24.785222E-53.4738845E-51.4473502E-44.1663741.1E-42.0506482E-41.4887229E-42.588559E-41.73877841.1E-40.00249380550.00181101670.00193079951.06614111.2E-40.0246600490.0187287830.0188465361.00628721.2E-4
7.34.2143256E-53.3834414E-51.438307E-44.25101761.1E-41.8060145E-41.449966E-42.5498064E-41.75852861.1E-40.0021966050.00176390750.00188369581.06791081.2E-40.021750190.0182366950.0183545071.00646021.2E-4
7.44.0264713E-53.3472694E-51.43469E-44.2861511.1E-41.7255165E-41.4344654E-42.5343074E-41.76672631.1E-40.0020987920.00174506590.00186485661.06864541.2E-40.0207908040.0180413890.0181592241.00653141.2E-4
7.53.694492E-53.2186905E-51.4218336E-44.4174291.1E-41.5832575E-41.379366E-42.4792145E-41.79735781.1E-40.00192591180.00167808760.00179788621.07138991.2E-40.019093060.0173578880.0174758041.00679331.2E-4
7.63.200565E-52.9502702E-51.3949946E-44.7283621.1E-41.3715986E-41.2643404E-42.3642014E-41.86990891.1E-40.0016686420.00153824970.00165806511.07789081.2E-40.016561680.0159460160.0160641041.00740541.2E-4
7.72.731642E-52.6091477E-51.3608861E-45.21582651.1E-41.1706512E-41.11815825E-42.2180352E-41.98365061.1E-40.0014243360.00136050850.00148034531.08808231.2E-40.0141524120.01416680.01428511.00835051.2E-4
7.82.3466424E-52.3503619E-51.2350128E-45.2545641.0E-41.0056651E-41.0072591E-42.0071583E-41.99269321.0E-40.00122370940.00122564890.0013355141.08963841.1E-40.0121699280.0128087960.0129173871.00847781.1E-4
7.91.8611925E-51.890698E-51.1890509E-46.2889521.0E-47.9762955E-58.10274E-51.8101929E-42.23405051.0E-49.7068126E-49.860628E-40.00109595441.11144471.1E-40.00966452250.0103937050.0105025621.01047341.1E-4
8.01.5460775E-51.5739915E-51.15738345E-47.3531741.0E-46.6258784E-56.745504E-51.6744829E-42.4823691.0E-48.0640207E-48.2095637E-49.3086605E-41.133881.1E-40.0080348210.0087027060.0088117491.01252971.1E-4
8.19.983884E-68.268954E-63.8268707E-54.62799843.0E-54.2787375E-53.5437897E-56.5436834E-51.84652143.0E-55.2081177E-44.313715E-44.7135423E-41.09268754.0E-50.00519592830.004639680.00467949451.00858134.0E-5
8.24.1226E-61.5522551E-61.5522551E-61.00.01.7668166E-56.6525045E-66.6525045E-61.00.02.1508869E-48.099126E-58.099126E-51.00.00.00214880649.401847E-49.401847E-41.00.0
8.31.2750878E-63.609817E-73.609817E-71.00.05.4646503E-61.5470634E-61.5470634E-61.00.06.653009E-51.8835339E-51.8835339E-51.00.06.6510175E-42.272251E-42.272251E-41.00.0

Baker

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.695525E-65.8348373E-61.2583414E-421.5660081.2E-42.4409164E-52.5006228E-51.4500323E-45.79868461.2E-42.9714106E-43.044123E-44.2437576E-41.39408221.2E-40.00296744050.00304034860.00315998381.03934921.2E-4
6.15.695525E-65.8348373E-61.2583414E-421.5660081.2E-42.4409164E-52.5006228E-51.4500323E-45.79868461.2E-42.9714106E-43.044123E-44.2437576E-41.39408221.2E-40.00296744050.00304034860.00315998381.03934921.2E-4
6.25.695525E-65.8348373E-61.2583414E-421.5660081.2E-42.4409164E-52.5006228E-51.4500323E-45.79868461.2E-42.9714106E-43.044123E-44.2437576E-41.39408221.2E-40.00296744050.00304034860.00315998381.03934921.2E-4
6.33.2995713E-63.383667E-69.3383365E-527.598279.0E-51.4140943E-51.4501353E-51.04500046E-47.2062289.0E-51.7215237E-41.7654014E-42.6652424E-41.50970919.0E-50.00172019070.0017640460.00185388721.05092919.0E-5
6.43.2995713E-63.383667E-69.3383365E-527.598279.0E-51.4140943E-51.4501353E-51.04500046E-47.2062289.0E-51.7215237E-41.7654014E-42.6652424E-41.50970919.0E-50.00172019070.0017640460.00185388721.05092919.0E-5
6.52.782202E-62.8558404E-66.2855666E-522.0095186.0E-51.1923668E-51.223926E-57.223852E-55.9021976.0E-51.4516099E-41.4900314E-42.089942E-41.40261616.0E-50.0014506620.00148906510.00154897571.04023376.0E-5
6.62.3163404E-62.38092E-66.238078E-526.2002836.0E-59.927136E-61.0203904E-57.020329E-56.88004266.0E-51.20856166E-41.2422565E-41.842182E-41.4829326.0E-50.00120790470.00124158230.00130150781.04826556.0E-5
6.72.037056E-62.0965003E-66.209638E-529.619066.0E-58.7302105E-68.984972E-66.898443E-57.67775736.0E-51.0628513E-41.093867E-41.6938015E-41.54845276.0E-50.00106234310.00109334480.00115327911.05481746.0E-5
6.81.8356744E-61.8915287E-66.189141E-532.7203146.0E-57.867153E-68.106527E-66.810604E-58.4013836.0E-59.577837E-59.869264E-51.5868671E-41.60788816.0E-59.57371E-49.86502E-40.00104644291.0607616.0E-5
6.91.6310546E-61.6832072E-65.1683124E-530.7051475.0E-56.9902153E-67.213726E-65.7213365E-57.9311815.0E-58.510255E-58.782368E-51.378193E-41.56927255.0E-58.5069967E-48.7790104E-49.278572E-41.05690415.0E-5
7.01.2058036E-61.2508665E-64.1250816E-532.977794.0E-55.1677193E-65.3608455E-64.536063E-58.461474.0E-56.291517E-56.5266366E-51.0526375E-41.61283314.0E-56.289736E-46.524743E-46.924482E-41.06126514.0E-5
7.11.052382E-61.0951609E-64.1095118E-537.5242774.0E-54.5102006E-64.693538E-64.469335E-59.5223154.0E-55.491031E-55.7142337E-59.714005E-51.69996644.0E-55.4896745E-45.7127734E-46.112545E-41.06997854.0E-5
7.21.0067454E-61.0487711E-63.104874E-529.6048773.0E-54.3146156E-64.4947255E-63.449459E-57.674463.0E-55.252918E-55.4721917E-58.4720275E-51.54819643.0E-55.251676E-45.470853E-45.770689E-41.05480613.0E-5
7.39.3596316E-79.767723E-72.0976753E-521.475582.0E-54.0112645E-64.1861604E-62.4186076E-55.77762752.0E-54.8836053E-55.096532E-57.09643E-51.39240372.0E-54.8825322E-45.095371E-45.295269E-41.03923132.0E-5
7.48.8117395E-79.2076635E-71.0920757E-511.8605091.0E-53.7764542E-63.9461356E-61.3946096E-53.53411481.0E-54.5977362E-54.8043148E-55.8042668E-51.20813621.0E-54.596785E-44.8032837E-44.903236E-41.0208091.0E-5
7.58.292386E-78.6745956E-71.0867451E-512.52790451.0E-53.5538749E-63.7176785E-61.3717641E-53.68984061.0E-54.326757E-54.5261804E-55.5261353E-51.22092691.0E-54.3259145E-44.5252658E-44.6252206E-41.02208821.0E-5
7.67.553842E-77.9144706E-71.0791439E-513.6350741.0E-53.2373566E-63.3919116E-61.33918775E-53.948181.0E-53.9414106E-54.129575E-55.1295334E-51.24214571.0E-53.9407116E-44.1288146E-44.2287732E-41.024211.0E-5
7.76.5285366E-76.852797E-76.852797E-71.00.02.797941E-62.9369096E-62.9369096E-61.00.03.40644E-53.5756293E-53.5756293E-51.00.03.405918E-43.5750607E-43.5750607E-41.00.0
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-73.6482615E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.5635396E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035933E-51.9035933E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.9034347E-41.9034347E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

Cleghorn Lake

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5467183E-51.6794203E-51.1679252E-46.9543351.0E-46.6286244E-57.197348E-51.7196628E-42.38930061.0E-48.067362E-48.759797E-49.758921E-41.11405791.0E-40.0080381370.0087306960.0088298231.01135391.0E-4
6.11.5467183E-51.6794203E-51.1679252E-46.9543351.0E-46.6286244E-57.197348E-51.7196628E-42.38930061.0E-48.067362E-48.759797E-49.758921E-41.11405791.0E-40.0080381370.0087306960.0088298231.01135391.0E-4
6.21.2624631E-51.3681544E-59.368045E-56.8472138.0E-55.410444E-55.863415E-51.4862887E-42.53485189.0E-56.585225E-47.1368564E-48.0362137E-41.12601599.0E-50.00656574450.00711873170.0072080911.01255279.0E-5
6.31.2624631E-51.3681544E-59.368045E-56.8472138.0E-55.410444E-55.863415E-51.4862887E-42.53485189.0E-56.585225E-47.1368564E-48.0362137E-41.12601599.0E-50.00656574450.00711873170.0072080911.01255279.0E-5
6.49.417684E-61.0170118E-58.0169404E-57.88283977.0E-54.036088E-54.3585722E-51.1358267E-42.60596067.0E-54.912829E-45.3056807E-46.005309E-41.13186417.0E-50.0049019820.0052970490.00536667831.01314497.0E-5
6.59.368219E-61.0117545E-58.0116835E-57.9186057.0E-54.014889E-54.3360415E-51.1335738E-42.61430577.0E-54.8870314E-45.2782625E-45.977893E-41.13254947.0E-50.0048762980.00526976170.00533939251.01321337.0E-5
6.67.803798E-68.441831E-65.844141E-56.9228365.0E-53.3444423E-53.6179E-58.617719E-52.38196735.0E-54.0710976E-44.4043022E-44.904082E-41.11347535.0E-50.00406364720.00439949050.004449271.0113155.0E-5
6.72.3108669E-62.4438336E-62.2443784E-59.1838432.0E-59.903678E-61.0473532E-53.0473322E-52.90955542.0E-51.205706E-41.2750797E-41.4750543E-41.15683292.0E-50.0012050520.00127436670.00129434131.01567412.0E-5
6.82.0882828E-62.2062823E-62.2206237E-510.0650032.0E-58.949753E-69.455462E-62.9455272E-53.11515952.0E-51.08957785E-41.1511434E-41.3511203E-41.17372042.0E-50.00108904380.00115056390.00117054091.01736282.0E-5
6.91.876935E-61.981051E-62.1981012E-511.0956322.0E-58.043982E-68.490192E-62.8490022E-53.35563952.0E-59.7931086E-51.03363345E-41.2336127E-41.19347212.0E-59.788794E-40.00103316860.0010531481.01933792.0E-5
7.01.5357559E-61.6202807E-62.1620248E-513.343522.0E-56.5817944E-66.9440425E-62.6943904E-53.88014672.0E-58.01304E-58.454057E-51.0453887E-41.23655282.0E-58.010151E-48.450965E-48.650796E-41.02364592.0E-5
7.11.0905424E-61.1497619E-61.114975E-59.6974421.0E-54.6737446E-64.9275427E-61.4927493E-53.02939921.0E-55.6901354E-55.999128E-56.999068E-51.16668091.0E-55.6886784E-45.997606E-46.0975464E-41.01666331.0E-5
7.26.06668E-76.387277E-76.387277E-71.00.02.600003E-62.7374022E-62.7374022E-61.00.03.1654577E-53.3327433E-53.3327433E-51.00.03.1650066E-43.3323118E-43.3323118E-41.00.0

Santa Rosa Island

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1143165E-54.709113E-51.2708736E-42.69875388.0E-51.7631594E-42.0180462E-42.8178847E-41.3963438.0E-50.0021445330.00245439910.00253420281.03251468.0E-50.0212395530.0242935570.024381371.00361479.0E-5
6.12.1061249E-52.3864959E-59.386329E-53.93310077.0E-59.0259375E-51.0227455E-41.7226739E-41.68436237.0E-50.00109835390.00124451030.00131442321.0561777.0E-50.010929410.012378450.01244758351.0055857.0E-5
6.22.1061249E-52.3864959E-59.386329E-53.93310077.0E-59.0259375E-51.0227455E-41.7226739E-41.68436237.0E-50.00109835390.00124451030.00131442321.0561777.0E-50.010929410.012378450.01244758351.0055857.0E-5
6.31.5158236E-51.7074419E-57.70734E-54.5139696.0E-56.496225E-57.3174095E-51.331697E-41.81990236.0E-57.906284E-48.9054246E-49.50489E-41.06731466.0E-50.0078782140.008870990.0089304581.00670366.0E-5
6.41.2341918E-51.3852917E-57.385208E-55.33115776.0E-55.2892858E-55.9368336E-51.1936478E-42.01057986.0E-56.437803E-47.225779E-47.825346E-41.0829766.0E-50.0064191840.00720312170.00726268951.00826976.0E-5
6.59.061158E-61.0117032E-56.0116527E-55.9421115.0E-53.883296E-54.3358017E-59.335585E-52.15313945.0E-54.726887E-45.277613E-45.777349E-41.09468985.0E-50.0047168450.00526561770.0053153541.00944555.0E-5
6.67.5461685E-68.400734E-64.8400398E-55.7614494.0E-53.2340322E-53.600267E-57.600123E-52.11098864.0E-53.936723E-44.3824868E-44.7823114E-41.09123244.0E-50.0039297560.00437427360.0044140991.00910444.0E-5
6.75.5023775E-66.087381E-62.6087258E-54.28546522.0E-52.3581404E-52.6088532E-54.608801E-51.76660042.0E-52.8706578E-43.1758484E-43.3757847E-41.06295532.0E-50.00286695220.00317163160.00319156821.00628592.0E-5
6.83.7351679E-64.0831405E-61.40831E-53.44908521.0E-51.6007763E-51.7499071E-52.7498896E-51.57144891.0E-51.948771E-42.1303285E-42.2303071E-41.04693111.0E-50.00194706290.00212853150.002138511.0046881.0E-5
6.92.456366E-62.6292707E-61.2629244E-54.8033261.0E-51.0527241E-51.1268255E-52.1268143E-51.88743891.0E-51.2816161E-41.3718239E-41.4718101E-41.07288561.0E-50.00128087730.00137097990.00138096631.0072841.0E-5
7.02.3245157E-62.4827784E-61.2482754E-55.02773571.0E-59.962172E-61.0640436E-52.064033E-51.93980111.0E-51.2128269E-41.2953962E-41.3953833E-41.07718651.0E-50.00121216520.00129464340.00130463041.00771421.0E-5
7.12.2248344E-62.37325E-61.2373226E-55.2136211.0E-59.53497E-61.0171032E-52.017093E-51.98317431.0E-51.1608207E-41.238253E-41.3382405E-41.08074891.0E-50.00116021440.00123756510.00124755271.00807031.0E-5
7.22.1350402E-62.2761542E-61.2276131E-55.3933661.0E-59.150141E-69.75491E-61.9754812E-52.02511481.0E-51.1139726E-41.1875957E-41.2875839E-41.08419371.0E-50.00111341440.00118696290.00119695111.00841491.0E-5
7.31.9793572E-62.1087192E-61.2108698E-55.7422051.0E-58.482932E-69.037337E-61.9037247E-52.10651061.0E-51.032748E-41.1002403E-41.2002294E-41.09087921.0E-50.00103226820.00109969740.00110968641.00908341.0E-5
7.41.6951194E-61.8045735E-61.8045735E-61.00.07.264777E-67.733864E-67.733864E-61.00.08.844508E-59.415574E-59.415574E-51.00.08.840988E-49.411601E-49.411601E-41.00.0
7.58.987207E-79.512216E-79.512216E-71.00.03.8516546E-64.0766577E-64.0766577E-61.00.04.6892885E-54.9632188E-54.9632188E-51.00.04.688299E-44.962122E-44.962122E-41.00.0
7.63.8783037E-74.0529335E-74.0529335E-71.00.01.6621291E-61.7369704E-61.7369704E-61.00.02.0236233E-52.1147416E-52.1147416E-51.00.02.023439E-42.114547E-42.114547E-41.00.0
7.76.181804E-86.339047E-86.339047E-81.00.02.6493444E-72.7167343E-72.7167343E-71.00.03.225572E-63.307619E-63.307619E-61.00.03.225525E-53.3075703E-53.3075703E-51.00.0
7.81.3704449E-91.3964153E-91.3964153E-91.00.05.873335E-95.984637E-95.984637E-91.00.07.1507856E-87.286295E-87.286295E-81.00.07.1507833E-77.286294E-77.286294E-71.00.0

Mission Creek

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1549387E-51.6322783E-51.0632131E-46.51367579.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.5994669E-42.28648839.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.4128324E-41.10562329.0E-50.0060082180.0085101570.008619221.01281571.1E-4
6.11.1549387E-51.6322783E-51.0632131E-46.51367579.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.5994669E-42.28648839.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.4128324E-41.10562329.0E-50.0060082180.0085101570.008619221.01281571.1E-4
6.21.1549387E-51.6322783E-51.0632131E-46.51367579.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.5994669E-42.28648839.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.4128324E-41.10562329.0E-50.0060082180.0085101570.008619221.01281571.1E-4
6.31.1549387E-51.6322783E-51.0632131E-46.51367579.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.5994669E-42.28648839.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.4128324E-41.10562329.0E-50.0060082180.0085101570.008619221.01281571.1E-4
6.41.1549387E-51.6322783E-51.0632131E-46.51367579.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.5994669E-42.28648839.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.4128324E-41.10562329.0E-50.0060082180.0085101570.008619221.01281571.1E-4
6.51.1549387E-51.6322783E-51.0632131E-46.51367579.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.5994669E-42.28648839.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.4128324E-41.10562329.0E-50.0060082180.0085101570.008619221.01281571.1E-4
6.69.202681E-61.3846059E-51.0384481E-47.49995479.0E-53.9439463E-55.9338956E-51.4933362E-42.51662029.0E-54.800697E-47.2222133E-48.121563E-41.12452559.0E-50.0047903390.00722734020.00733654531.015111.1E-4
6.79.019164E-61.3651728E-51.036505E-47.59248169.0E-53.8652986E-55.8506146E-51.4850088E-42.538219.0E-54.7049852E-47.1208854E-48.0202444E-41.12629889.0E-50.0046950360.00712666470.00723588051.0153251.1E-4
6.88.673558E-61.3273839E-51.0327264E-47.78016429.0E-53.717186E-55.688669E-51.4688158E-42.58200249.0E-54.524734E-46.923842E-47.823219E-41.12989579.0E-50.00451553240.00693085230.007040091.0157611.1E-4
6.97.002255E-61.1478069E-51.0147704E-48.8409519.0E-53.000932E-54.9190832E-51.391864E-42.82951939.0E-53.653022E-45.9874065E-46.886868E-41.15022559.0E-50.00364702290.0059996760.00610901561.01822441.1E-4
7.05.84644E-69.675359E-69.9674486E-510.301899.0E-52.5055931E-54.146519E-51.3146146E-43.17040519.0E-53.0501327E-45.047263E-45.946809E-41.17822449.0E-50.00304594960.0050639940.0051734371.02161191.1E-4
7.15.54703E-69.329834E-69.9328994E-510.6463849.0E-52.377277E-53.9984414E-51.2998082E-43.2507879.0E-52.8939504E-44.8670598E-45.766622E-41.18482669.0E-50.00289018450.00488458760.004994051.02240981.1E-4
7.24.384709E-67.681918E-69.768123E-512.71573459.0E-51.8791474E-53.292211E-51.2291914E-43.73363529.0E-52.2876218E-44.0075663E-44.9072056E-41.22448529.0E-50.00228526820.0040285420.00413809861.02719521.1E-4
7.33.7888456E-66.915788E-69.6915166E-514.0136119.0E-51.623781E-52.9638775E-51.19636105E-44.0364739.0E-51.9767738E-43.6079568E-44.507632E-41.24935879.0E-50.00197501620.003630270.00373987061.03019081.1E-4
7.42.1982462E-65.0241033E-69.502365E-518.9135559.0E-59.421021E-62.1531694E-51.1152976E-45.1797959.0E-51.1469489E-42.6211704E-43.5209343E-41.3432689.0E-50.00114635720.00264603270.00275574161.04146171.1E-4
7.52.051923E-64.6153277E-69.4614916E-520.500159.0E-58.793926E-61.9779825E-51.0977805E-45.55000079.0E-51.0706078E-42.4079291E-43.3077123E-41.37367519.0E-50.00107009220.00243359320.00254332531.04509071.1E-4
7.61.8733427E-64.1236603E-69.412329E-522.8251789.0E-58.028587E-61.7672712E-51.0767112E-46.0925079.0E-59.774366E-52.151441E-43.0512473E-41.41823429.0E-59.770069E-40.00217825130.00228801161.05038921.1E-4
7.71.8411953E-64.0433315E-69.404297E-523.2587819.0E-57.890813E-61.732845E-51.0732689E-46.19368129.0E-59.606641E-52.1095353E-43.0093454E-41.42654429.0E-59.6024893E-40.00213652920.00224629421.05137541.1E-4
7.81.7194251E-63.71068E-69.371035E-525.2542259.0E-57.368944E-61.5902819E-51.0590139E-46.65928469.0E-58.97132E-51.9359968E-42.8358225E-41.46478689.0E-58.967699E-40.00196247570.00207225981.05594171.1E-4
7.91.4035052E-62.9502596E-69.2949995E-531.50579.0E-56.0150082E-61.2643909E-51.0264277E-48.1179629.0E-57.3230265E-51.5392878E-42.4391492E-41.5845969.0E-57.3206134E-40.00156311740.00167294551.07026221.1E-4
8.03.9318823E-75.528477E-71.05528425E-519.0881521.0E-51.6850913E-62.3693453E-61.2369322E-55.2205651.0E-52.0515794E-52.8846403E-53.8846116E-51.34665371.0E-52.0513899E-42.990952E-43.0909223E-41.03342411.0E-5
8.11.596793E-71.13775044E-71.13775044E-71.00.06.8433974E-74.876072E-74.876072E-71.00.08.331805E-65.936602E-65.936602E-61.00.08.331492E-56.5494125E-56.5494125E-51.00.0
8.24.9003038E-82.5435753E-82.5435753E-81.00.02.10013E-71.09010365E-71.09010365E-71.00.02.5569052E-61.3272004E-61.3272004E-61.00.02.556876E-51.4952613E-51.4952613E-51.00.0

Independence rev 2011

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.422171E-64.3262253E-69.4325835E-521.8032659.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-51.08539185E-45.85405649.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.256919E-41.44293761.0E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00235492011.0442431.0E-4
6.14.422171E-64.3262253E-69.4325835E-521.8032659.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-51.08539185E-45.85405649.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.256919E-41.44293761.0E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00235492011.0442431.0E-4
6.24.422171E-64.3262253E-69.4325835E-521.8032659.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-51.08539185E-45.85405649.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.256919E-41.44293761.0E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00235492011.0442431.0E-4
6.34.422171E-64.3262253E-69.4325835E-521.8032659.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-51.08539185E-45.85405649.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.256919E-41.44293761.0E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00235492011.0442431.0E-4
6.44.422171E-64.3262253E-69.4325835E-521.8032659.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-51.08539185E-45.85405649.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.256919E-41.44293761.0E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00235492011.0442431.0E-4
6.54.422171E-64.3262253E-69.4325835E-521.8032659.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-51.08539185E-45.85405649.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.256919E-41.44293761.0E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00235492011.0442431.0E-4
6.62.663744E-62.5319846E-69.253176E-536.545159.0E-51.1415996E-51.08513195E-51.00850346E-49.2938329.0E-51.3898089E-41.321073E-42.3209408E-41.75686051.0E-40.00138893990.00132033590.00142020381.07563831.0E-4
6.72.663744E-62.5319846E-69.253176E-536.545159.0E-51.1415996E-51.08513195E-51.00850346E-49.2938329.0E-51.3898089E-41.321073E-42.3209408E-41.75686051.0E-40.00138893990.00132033590.00142020381.07563831.0E-4
6.81.9716529E-61.8322567E-69.1832095E-550.1196679.0E-58.449913E-67.852505E-69.78518E-512.461229.0E-51.0287284E-49.560019E-51.9559063E-42.0459231.0E-40.00102825239.5560355E-40.00105550791.1045461.0E-4
6.91.8788617E-61.7429976E-69.174284E-552.6350949.0E-58.0522395E-67.4699688E-69.7469296E-513.0481539.0E-59.80316E-59.09432E-51.9093411E-42.09948751.0E-49.798837E-49.090718E-40.00100898091.10990231.0E-4
7.01.5045488E-61.3849498E-68.138484E-558.763758.0E-56.44805E-65.9354857E-68.593501E-514.4781778.0E-57.8502184E-57.226219E-51.6225569E-42.24537479.0E-57.8474457E-47.223921E-48.123271E-41.12449619.0E-5
7.11.272341E-61.1625089E-68.116241E-569.81668.0E-55.4528787E-64.9821715E-68.498177E-517.0571758.0E-56.6386776E-56.0656283E-51.5065083E-42.48368059.0E-56.636695E-46.064005E-46.963459E-41.14832689.0E-5
7.21.0416892E-69.409871E-78.094091E-586.017038.0E-54.464375E-64.032796E-68.403247E-520.8372758.0E-55.4352407E-54.9098202E-51.3909378E-42.8329719.0E-55.4339116E-44.908754E-45.808312E-41.18325599.0E-5
7.37.9450155E-77.2350036E-78.072344E-5111.573468.0E-53.4050022E-63.1007123E-68.3100465E-526.8004448.0E-54.1455114E-53.7750528E-51.2774713E-43.38398279.0E-54.144738E-43.7744228E-44.674083E-41.23835719.0E-5
7.45.3893444E-75.0195166E-76.0501923E-5120.533366.0E-52.309717E-62.1512196E-66.215109E-528.8910966.0E-52.8120441E-52.6190788E-59.618895E-53.67262537.0E-52.8116882E-42.6187746E-43.3185913E-41.26723067.0E-5
7.53.8852085E-73.6825622E-76.0368235E-5163.929986.0E-51.6650882E-61.57824E-66.157815E-539.016976.0E-52.027226E-51.9214905E-58.921356E-54.64293537.0E-52.0270412E-41.9213265E-42.621192E-41.36426167.0E-5
7.62.414929E-72.3457605E-73.0234569E-5128.890263.0E-51.0349692E-61.0053255E-63.1005296E-530.841053.0E-51.2600677E-51.2239771E-55.223928E-54.2679954.0E-51.2599962E-41.223911E-41.6238619E-41.32678124.0E-5
7.76.8298014E-86.8589785E-86.8589785E-81.00.02.9270575E-72.939562E-72.939562E-71.00.03.5636867E-63.5789112E-61.3578875E-53.79413581.0E-53.5636294E-53.5788584E-54.5788227E-51.27940871.0E-5

Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0240792E-52.40909E-59.408921E-53.90559157.0E-51.2959696E-41.032432E-41.8323494E-41.77478958.0E-50.00157670080.00125636180.00135623621.0794951.0E-40.0156556090.0125026130.0126013631.00789831.0E-4
6.13.0240792E-52.40909E-59.408921E-53.90559157.0E-51.2959696E-41.032432E-41.8323494E-41.77478958.0E-50.00157670080.00125636180.00135623621.0794951.0E-40.0156556090.0125026130.0126013631.00789831.0E-4
6.23.0240792E-52.40909E-59.408921E-53.90559157.0E-51.2959696E-41.032432E-41.8323494E-41.77478958.0E-50.00157670080.00125636180.00135623621.0794951.0E-40.0156556090.0125026130.0126013631.00789831.0E-4
6.32.0498217E-51.3638054E-53.363778E-52.46646482.0E-58.784654E-55.8447586E-58.8445835E-51.51325043.0E-50.00106900697.1138324E-47.4136193E-41.04214133.0E-50.010638790.00709268640.0071224741.00419973.0E-5
6.42.0498217E-51.3638054E-53.363778E-52.46646482.0E-58.784654E-55.8447586E-58.8445835E-51.51325043.0E-50.00106900697.1138324E-47.4136193E-41.04214133.0E-50.010638790.00709268640.0071224741.00419973.0E-5
6.51.7316182E-51.04769715E-52.0476868E-51.95446431.0E-57.42101E-54.490059E-56.4899694E-51.44540852.0E-59.0313336E-45.465376E-45.665266E-41.0365742.0E-50.0089947180.005452930.0054728211.00364782.0E-5
6.61.5251077E-58.414133E-61.8414048E-52.18846651.0E-56.536012E-53.606011E-55.605939E-51.55460942.0E-57.9546886E-44.3895066E-44.5894188E-41.04554322.0E-50.0079262740.00438155370.0044014661.00454462.0E-5
6.71.2997425E-56.4112146E-61.641115E-52.55975681.0E-55.570206E-52.7476372E-54.747582E-51.72787822.0E-56.7796157E-43.3447813E-43.5447144E-41.05977462.0E-50.00675896930.0033402070.00336014041.00596762.0E-5
6.81.035386E-54.333145E-64.333145E-61.00.04.437293E-51.8570496E-51.8570496E-51.00.05.401065E-42.260732E-42.260732E-41.00.00.00538795670.0022585190.0022585191.00.0
6.98.816252E-63.5805879E-63.5805879E-61.00.03.778339E-51.534529E-51.534529E-51.00.04.5991567E-41.8681347E-41.8681347E-41.00.00.004589650.00186662280.00186662281.00.0
7.06.8232207E-62.5674399E-62.5674399E-61.00.02.9242048E-51.100327E-51.100327E-51.00.03.5596377E-41.3395688E-41.3395688E-41.00.00.00355394110.00133879250.00133879251.00.0
7.15.837013E-62.2273143E-62.2273143E-61.00.02.501553E-59.5456E-69.5456E-61.00.03.045215E-41.1621177E-41.1621177E-41.00.00.00304104550.0011615390.0011615391.00.0
7.24.278052E-61.6275065E-61.6275065E-61.00.01.833438E-56.975011E-66.975011E-61.00.02.231982E-48.491768E-58.491768E-51.00.00.00222974188.4887556E-48.4887556E-41.00.0
7.31.8803692E-68.344788E-78.344788E-71.00.08.0587E-63.5763337E-63.5763337E-61.00.09.811026E-54.354114E-54.354114E-51.00.09.806695E-44.3534054E-44.3534054E-41.00.0

Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.6264497E-66.75733E-67.6756856E-511.3590517.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-51.18957105E-44.1076769.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.425037E-41.25520359.0E-50.00345162770.00352055020.00362019821.02830471.0E-4
6.16.6264497E-66.75733E-67.6756856E-511.3590517.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-51.18957105E-44.1076769.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.425037E-41.25520359.0E-50.00345162770.00352055020.00362019821.02830471.0E-4
6.26.6264497E-66.75733E-67.6756856E-511.3590517.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-51.18957105E-44.1076769.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.425037E-41.25520359.0E-50.00345162770.00352055020.00362019821.02830471.0E-4
6.36.6264497E-66.75733E-67.6756856E-511.3590517.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-51.18957105E-44.1076769.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.425037E-41.25520359.0E-50.00345162770.00352055020.00362019821.02830471.0E-4
6.46.6264497E-66.75733E-67.6756856E-511.3590517.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-51.18957105E-44.1076769.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.425037E-41.25520359.0E-50.00345162770.00352055020.00362019821.02830471.0E-4
6.53.2162225E-63.2570915E-63.3256994E-510.2106423.0E-51.3783738E-51.3958894E-56.395819E-54.5818965.0E-51.6780409E-41.6993708E-42.1992858E-41.29417665.0E-50.00167677440.0016981510.00175804911.03527266.0E-5
6.63.2162225E-63.2570915E-63.3256994E-510.2106423.0E-51.3783738E-51.3958894E-56.395819E-54.5818965.0E-51.6780409E-41.6993708E-42.1992858E-41.29417665.0E-50.00167677440.0016981510.00175804911.03527266.0E-5
6.72.1908265E-62.2071222E-62.2207078E-510.0615532.0E-59.389223E-69.459062E-63.9458777E-54.17153173.0E-51.1430779E-41.1515819E-41.4515474E-41.26048123.0E-50.00114249010.00115100460.00119095851.03471224.0E-5
6.81.7303895E-61.736553E-62.1736518E-512.5170492.0E-57.415934E-67.442349E-63.7442125E-55.03095533.0E-59.028525E-59.060693E-51.20604214E-41.33107053.0E-59.024858E-49.0570963E-49.456734E-41.04412424.0E-5
6.91.3700314E-61.3688623E-62.1368834E-515.6106532.0E-55.87155E-65.86654E-63.5866364E-56.1137173.0E-57.148377E-57.142283E-51.0142069E-41.42000383.0E-57.146078E-47.140033E-47.539747E-41.05598214.0E-5
7.01.1467797E-61.1413805E-61.1141369E-59.761311.0E-54.9147607E-64.8916218E-61.4891573E-53.04430171.0E-55.983557E-55.95539E-56.95533E-51.16790511.0E-55.981946E-45.9538253E-46.1537063E-41.03357182.0E-5
7.19.3952065E-79.3026915E-71.093026E-511.7495671.0E-54.026511E-63.986862E-61.3986822E-53.50822851.0E-54.9021666E-54.853898E-55.853849E-51.206011.0E-54.901085E-44.8528553E-45.0527585E-41.04119292.0E-5
7.26.858055E-76.7193014E-71.06719235E-515.8824891.0E-52.939163E-62.8796974E-61.2879668E-54.4725771.0E-53.5783723E-53.5059762E-54.5059413E-51.28521731.0E-53.5777962E-43.5054318E-43.6053968E-41.02851711.0E-5
7.35.1101983E-74.939301E-71.0493925E-521.2457711.0E-52.1900833E-62.1168414E-61.21168205E-55.72400951.0E-52.6663936E-52.5772246E-53.5771987E-51.38800431.0E-52.6660739E-42.5769303E-42.6769046E-41.03879581.0E-5
7.43.4999414E-73.2995916E-71.0329956E-531.3067721.0E-51.499974E-61.4141099E-61.1414096E-58.0715761.0E-51.8262032E-51.7216655E-52.7216482E-51.5808231.0E-51.826053E-41.7215345E-41.8215172E-41.05807771.0E-5
7.51.7021522E-71.4750053E-71.4750053E-71.00.07.2949354E-76.32145E-76.32145E-71.00.08.881548E-67.696339E-67.696339E-61.00.08.8811925E-57.696081E-57.696081E-51.00.0
7.62.572245E-81.735264E-81.735264E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436845E-87.436845E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.0543557E-79.0543557E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054324E-69.054324E-61.00.0

Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.169034E-54.7137048E-51.0713422E-42.2728246.0E-51.7866064E-42.0200513E-42.7199098E-41.34645587.0E-50.00217302330.00245746570.00254724451.03653319.0E-50.0215189680.024384830.0244726351.00360089.0E-5
6.11.73813E-51.6854203E-51.6854203E-51.00.07.4489166E-57.223036E-57.223036E-51.00.09.065282E-48.790605E-48.790605E-41.00.00.0090283910.0087571280.0087571281.00.0
6.21.4622182E-51.3673262E-51.3673262E-51.00.06.2664985E-55.85984E-55.85984E-51.00.07.6267915E-47.132059E-47.132059E-41.00.00.0076006690.0071097670.0071097671.00.0
6.31.3552434E-51.2482174E-51.2482174E-51.00.05.8080568E-55.349395E-55.349395E-51.00.07.069015E-46.510974E-46.510974E-41.00.00.007046570.0064924150.0064924151.00.0
6.41.30977305E-51.1979128E-51.1979128E-51.00.05.613192E-55.133813E-55.133813E-51.00.06.831918E-46.2486547E-46.2486547E-41.00.00.0068109530.0062315840.0062315841.00.0
6.51.225205E-51.1048776E-51.1048776E-51.00.05.2507727E-54.735105E-54.735105E-51.00.06.3909404E-45.7634927E-45.7634927E-41.00.00.0063725920.0057490090.0057490091.00.0
6.61.1352241E-51.0063508E-51.0063508E-51.00.04.8651553E-54.3128617E-54.3128617E-51.00.05.921717E-45.249665E-45.249665E-41.00.00.00590596160.00523766460.00523766461.00.0
6.71.0864116E-59.517E-69.517E-61.00.04.6559664E-54.0786515E-54.0786515E-51.00.05.667165E-44.964647E-44.964647E-41.00.00.0056527340.00495394370.00495394371.00.0
6.81.0666365E-59.299752E-69.299752E-61.00.04.571219E-53.985548E-53.985548E-51.00.05.564038E-44.8513446E-44.8513446E-41.00.00.0055501270.004841140.004841141.00.0
6.91.0038665E-58.592018E-68.592018E-61.00.04.302214E-53.682243E-53.682243E-51.00.05.236687E-44.4822265E-44.4822265E-41.00.00.0052243640.00447355070.00447355071.00.0
7.09.5379955E-68.025047E-68.025047E-61.00.04.0876483E-53.439261E-53.439261E-51.00.04.975576E-44.1865133E-44.1865133E-41.00.00.004964450.004178980.004178981.00.0
7.19.207389E-67.652347E-67.652347E-61.00.03.945964E-53.2795375E-53.2795375E-51.00.04.803152E-43.992122E-43.992122E-41.00.00.0047927840.0039853010.0039853011.00.0
7.27.638091E-65.9310923E-65.9310923E-61.00.03.2734264E-52.5418722E-52.5418722E-51.00.03.984668E-43.094293E-43.094293E-41.00.00.00397753060.00309019560.00309019561.00.0
7.37.2500147E-65.596131E-65.596131E-61.00.03.1071122E-52.3983199E-52.3983199E-51.00.03.7822526E-42.9195662E-42.9195662E-41.00.00.00377582150.00291594020.00291594021.00.0
7.46.3899715E-64.9184864E-64.9184864E-61.00.02.7385306E-52.1079059E-52.1079059E-51.00.03.3336508E-42.566075E-42.566075E-41.00.00.00332865420.0025633110.0025633111.00.0
7.55.379025E-64.0838477E-64.0838477E-61.00.02.305276E-51.7502087E-51.7502087E-51.00.02.806312E-42.1306718E-42.1306718E-41.00.00.00280277080.00212864020.00212864021.00.0
7.64.1270696E-63.0883373E-63.0883373E-61.00.01.768732E-51.32356645E-51.32356645E-51.00.02.1532185E-41.6113237E-41.6113237E-41.00.00.00215113330.00161016350.00161016351.00.0
7.72.5406805E-61.8282044E-61.8282044E-61.00.01.0888585E-57.835139E-67.835139E-61.00.01.3256045E-49.53887E-59.53887E-51.00.00.00132481429.534837E-49.534837E-41.00.0
7.84.8608285E-73.509864E-73.509864E-71.00.02.0832106E-61.5042266E-61.5042266E-61.00.02.5362791E-51.8313805E-51.8313805E-51.00.02.5359896E-41.8312308E-41.8312308E-41.00.0
7.92.0472514E-81.2688718E-81.2688718E-81.00.08.7739345E-85.438022E-85.438022E-81.00.01.068226E-66.6207895E-76.6207895E-71.00.01.0682209E-56.620771E-66.620771E-61.00.0
8.04.443582E-92.032067E-92.032067E-91.00.01.9043922E-88.7088585E-98.7088585E-91.00.02.3185973E-71.0603035E-71.0603035E-71.00.02.3185949E-61.0603031E-61.0603031E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7374346E-52.41444E-59.4142706E-53.89915327.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.7346466E-41.67644217.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00133894431.06346028.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.013007161.0061088.0E-5
6.12.7374346E-52.41444E-59.4142706E-53.89915327.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.7346466E-41.67644217.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00133894431.06346028.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.013007161.0061088.0E-5
6.22.7374346E-52.41444E-59.4142706E-53.89915327.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.7346466E-41.67644217.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00133894431.06346028.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.013007161.0061088.0E-5
6.32.7374346E-52.41444E-59.4142706E-53.89915327.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.7346466E-41.67644217.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00133894431.06346028.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.013007161.0061088.0E-5
6.42.7374346E-52.41444E-59.4142706E-53.89915327.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.7346466E-41.67644217.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00133894431.06346028.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.013007161.0061088.0E-5
6.52.7282445E-52.4030476E-59.4028794E-53.91289767.0E-51.16919524E-41.0298371E-41.7297649E-41.67964927.0E-50.00142256570.0012531080.00133300781.06376128.0E-50.0141349340.0128695220.0129484931.00613628.0E-5
6.62.7282445E-52.4030476E-59.4028794E-53.91289767.0E-51.16919524E-41.0298371E-41.7297649E-41.67964927.0E-50.00142256570.0012531080.00133300781.06376128.0E-50.0141349340.0128695220.0129484931.00613628.0E-5
6.72.7216198E-52.3955597E-59.395392E-53.92200287.0E-51.1663563E-41.02662816E-41.7265564E-41.68177387.0E-50.00141911370.00124920580.00132910581.06396078.0E-50.0141008550.0128309340.0129099081.00615498.0E-5
6.82.7078617E-52.3872815E-59.3871146E-53.93213537.0E-51.1604605E-41.0230807E-41.723009E-41.68413817.0E-50.0014119450.00124489170.0013247921.06418268.0E-50.0140300750.01278808250.012867061.00617598.0E-5
6.92.6982952E-52.3792329E-59.3790666E-53.94205477.0E-51.15636096E-41.0196315E-41.7195602E-41.68645257.0E-50.00140696020.00124069710.00132059781.06439988.0E-50.0139808560.0127463780.0128253591.00619638.0E-5
7.02.6449972E-52.3369357E-59.336772E-53.99530557.0E-51.1335209E-41.0015055E-41.7014354E-41.69887777.0E-50.0013791880.00121865350.00129855611.06556628.0E-50.01370659750.0125277330.0126067311.00630588.0E-5
7.12.6257849E-52.3195396E-59.3193776E-54.01777037.0E-51.1252879E-49.940507E-51.693981E-41.70411947.0E-50.00136917690.00120958730.00128949061.06605838.0E-50.0136077170.0124376610.0125166651.00635218.0E-5
7.22.5270041E-52.2390155E-59.238859E-54.1263047.0E-51.0829568E-49.5954296E-51.6594758E-41.7294447.0E-50.00131770240.00116761980.00124752641.06843548.0E-50.0130991620.01201879050.0120978291.00657638.0E-5
7.32.339701E-52.1122027E-59.112055E-54.3140067.0E-51.0026905E-49.051985E-51.605135E-41.77324127.0E-50.0012200920.0011015240.00118143591.07254668.0E-50.0121341490.0113576420.0114367331.00696378.0E-5
7.42.296333E-52.0852396E-59.085094E-54.35685837.0E-59.841056E-58.936436E-51.593581E-41.78324017.0E-50.00119748990.00108747010.0011673831.07348538.0E-50.0119105750.0112167540.0112958561.00705228.0E-5
7.52.2188895E-52.037534E-59.037391E-54.43545537.0E-59.50918E-58.731998E-51.5731387E-41.80157927.0E-50.00115712770.00106260420.00114251931.07520688.0E-50.0115112090.0109663690.0110454921.0072158.0E-5
7.62.0013189E-51.8961666E-58.896034E-54.6915897.0E-58.5767984E-58.126176E-51.5125607E-41.86134377.0E-50.0010437259.889146E-40.00106883551.08081678.0E-50.0103883650.0102243710.0103035531.00774448.0E-5
7.71.7230794E-51.6743043E-58.674187E-55.1807717.0E-57.384417E-57.175393E-51.4174891E-41.97548647.0E-58.986819E-48.732547E-49.531849E-41.09153138.0E-50.0089505620.009062920.0091421951.00874728.0E-5
7.81.4478809E-51.499039E-57.498949E-55.00250436.0E-56.205057E-56.424295E-51.242391E-41.93389466.0E-57.552038E-47.8187784E-48.5182313E-41.08945817.0E-50.00752642420.0081413880.0082108181.0085287.0E-5
7.91.1114467E-51.1644517E-57.1643815E-56.152586.0E-54.7632562E-54.990412E-51.0990113E-42.20224556.0E-55.797721E-46.074139E-46.7737134E-41.11517267.0E-50.00578261870.00638035450.0064499081.01090127.0E-5
8.09.327402E-69.8986575E-66.9898066E-57.0613686.0E-53.9973966E-54.2422133E-51.0241959E-42.41429626.0E-54.8657437E-45.163676E-45.863315E-41.13549237.0E-50.00485510330.005449940.00551955871.01277427.0E-5
8.17.0235833E-66.826985E-62.6826849E-53.92953092.0E-53.0100724E-52.9258183E-54.9257596E-51.68354952.0E-53.664147E-43.5616063E-43.8614997E-41.08420173.0E-50.0036581110.00378745720.00381734361.00789093.0E-5
8.22.0358202E-68.9912584E-78.9912584E-71.00.08.724915E-63.853391E-63.853391E-61.00.01.06220665E-44.6914047E-54.6914047E-51.00.00.0010616995.3239096E-45.3239096E-41.00.0
8.32.0051264E-76.61379E-86.61379E-81.00.08.5933965E-72.8344812E-72.8344812E-71.00.01.046241E-53.450976E-63.450976E-61.00.01.0461917E-44.0120205E-54.0120205E-51.00.0

Cleghorn Pass

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0522846E-51.1040642E-58.103987E-57.34014137.0E-54.509713E-54.7316473E-51.1731316E-42.479337.0E-55.4891926E-45.759784E-46.4593815E-41.12146237.0E-50.00547565330.0057500220.0058295621.0138338.0E-5
6.11.0522846E-51.1040642E-58.103987E-57.34014137.0E-54.509713E-54.7316473E-51.1731316E-42.479337.0E-55.4891926E-45.759784E-46.4593815E-41.12146237.0E-50.00547565330.0057500220.0058295621.0138338.0E-5
6.22.1045846E-62.2082024E-62.2082024E-61.00.09.019617E-69.463714E-69.463714E-61.00.01.098083E-41.1521882E-41.1521882E-41.00.00.00109754060.00115200230.00115200231.00.0
6.32.1045846E-62.2082024E-62.2082024E-61.00.09.019617E-69.463714E-69.463714E-61.00.01.098083E-41.1521882E-41.1521882E-41.00.00.00109754060.00115200230.00115200231.00.0
6.41.7259927E-61.810877E-61.810877E-61.00.07.3970905E-67.760902E-67.760902E-61.00.09.005586E-59.4488976E-59.4488976E-51.00.09.001937E-49.448898E-49.448898E-41.00.0

Imperial

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7496446E-45.055345E-45.854941E-41.15816838.0E-50.00117788690.0021648170.00224464391.03687478.0E-50.01424676550.0260484090.0261263251.00299128.0E-50.133672490.228070290.228132041.00027078.0E-5
6.12.5356023E-44.8657708E-45.56543E-41.14379227.0E-50.0010862340.0020837020.0021535561.0335247.0E-50.0131449280.025070940.0251391831.0027227.0E-50.1239401550.219495610.219550251.00024897.0E-5
6.22.4820742E-44.775311E-45.474977E-41.14651737.0E-50.00106331240.00204499460.00211485151.03415997.0E-50.012869190.0246106760.0246789531.00277427.0E-50.121489270.216001360.216056241.0002547.0E-5
6.32.3205351E-44.5892023E-45.2888814E-41.1524627.0E-59.94136E-40.00196535540.00203521781.0355477.0E-50.0120365990.0236611870.023729531.00288847.0E-50.114051330.207938270.207993721.00026677.0E-5
6.42.0304754E-43.9878016E-44.6875223E-41.17546537.0E-58.6991355E-40.00170795290.00177783341.04091487.0E-50.0105398690.0205954180.0206639771.00332887.0E-50.1005376350.185071130.185128171.00030837.0E-5
6.51.854992E-43.6990462E-44.3987873E-41.1891687.0E-57.9475436E-40.00158435480.00165424381.0441127.0E-50.0096332810.019114430.019183091.00359217.0E-50.09226230.17330390.173361761.00033397.0E-5
6.61.6586106E-43.4036173E-44.0034132E-41.1762236.0E-57.106394E-40.00145788780.00151780041.04109546.0E-50.0086177630.0176076260.0176665691.00334766.0E-50.082911320.160780550.16083091.00031326.0E-5
6.71.4224656E-43.076812E-43.6766275E-41.1949476.0E-56.094856E-40.00131797560.00137789641.04546446.0E-50.00739526930.0159285220.0159875661.00370686.0E-50.071539550.146487980.14653921.00034966.0E-5
6.81.2317259E-42.779231E-43.3790641E-41.21582716.0E-55.2777573E-40.00119056150.001250491.05033646.0E-50.00640675470.0144001310.0144592671.00410666.0E-50.062251660.132940890.132992911.00039146.0E-5
6.99.859898E-52.5015484E-43.1013982E-41.23979156.0E-54.2249862E-40.00107165590.00113159161.05592816.0E-50.00513179460.0129703190.013029541.0045666.0E-50.050148930.1194088760.119461711.00044256.0E-5
7.07.3191884E-52.1267848E-42.6266786E-41.23504665.0E-53.136418E-49.11164E-49.6111844E-41.05482485.0E-50.0038119040.0110376810.0110871291.00447995.0E-50.0374717640.102067560.102112461.00043995.0E-5
7.17.1760296E-52.0969207E-42.5968158E-41.23839495.0E-53.0750787E-48.9837395E-49.4832905E-41.05560615.0E-50.0037374820.0108835280.0109329841.00454415.0E-50.036752450.100704060.100749021.00044665.0E-5
7.26.46614E-51.9137723E-42.4136766E-41.26121415.0E-52.7709085E-48.199333E-48.6989236E-41.06093065.0E-50.00336836280.0099376170.00998712051.00498145.0E-50.0331776250.0925110060.092556381.00049045.0E-5
7.36.088115E-51.780939E-42.28085E-41.28070085.0E-52.6089314E-47.6303916E-48.13001E-41.06547755.0E-50.00317174760.0092510060.0093005431.00535485.0E-50.0312685850.086561350.0866070241.00052765.0E-5
7.44.199346E-51.1511097E-41.6510522E-41.43431345.0E-51.7995955E-44.932403E-45.4321566E-41.10132055.0E-50.00218880570.0059888350.0060385361.00829895.0E-50.021673720.057440240.057487371.00082055.0E-5
7.53.130448E-58.333871E-51.3333454E-41.59991135.0E-51.3415517E-43.5711733E-44.070995E-41.139965.0E-50.00163211530.00433929540.00438907841.01147265.0E-50.0162018030.0421335060.04218141.00113675.0E-5
7.62.3074248E-56.0849357E-51.1084631E-41.82165135.0E-59.888588E-52.6075702E-43.1074398E-41.19169945.0E-50.00120327060.00317011820.00321995981.01572235.0E-50.0119677610.031028160.031076611.00156145.0E-5
7.71.45864815E-54.0128452E-58.012685E-51.99675894.0E-56.2511994E-51.7196777E-42.119609E-41.23256174.0E-57.608177E-40.00209170250.00213161881.01908314.0E-50.0075821820.020629090.0206682641.0018994.0E-5
7.81.0352979E-53.096395E-56.0963022E-51.96883873.0E-54.4369157E-51.326959E-41.6269193E-41.22605093.0E-55.400606E-40.00161437780.00164432941.0185533.0E-50.00538750.0160178930.0160474131.00184293.0E-5
7.98.137906E-62.2151205E-54.215076E-51.90286542.0E-53.4876273E-59.493029E-51.1492839E-41.21066092.0E-54.2453592E-40.00115516440.00117514131.01729362.0E-50.0042372580.0116188420.011638611.00170142.0E-5
8.06.93792E-61.8010365E-53.8010006E-52.11045172.0E-52.9733603E-57.7185E-59.718346E-51.25909772.0E-53.6194647E-49.3932304E-49.593042E-41.0212722.0E-50.00361357510.0095024150.0095222251.00208472.0E-5
8.13.4286315E-66.380179E-61.6380116E-52.56734421.0E-51.4694053E-52.734334E-53.7343067E-51.36570981.0E-51.7888541E-43.3285443E-43.428511E-41.03003311.0E-50.00178741480.00348636740.00349633261.00285831.0E-5
8.21.4906886E-61.936633E-61.1936613E-56.1635911.0E-56.3886496E-68.2998295E-61.8299746E-52.2048341.0E-57.7779034E-51.0104576E-41.11044756E-41.0989551.0E-57.775182E-40.00110754230.00111753121.0090191.0E-5
8.32.5758007E-81.4495866E-81.4495866E-81.00.01.10391454E-76.212514E-86.212514E-81.00.01.3440151E-67.563736E-77.563736E-71.00.01.344007E-57.884359E-67.884359E-61.00.0

Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2521618E-44.763429E-45.5630476E-41.16786628.0E-59.6485513E-40.00203990940.00211974631.03913758.0E-50.0116839880.0245445310.0246225691.00317948.0E-50.110884230.213499230.213562151.00029478.0E-5
6.12.2521618E-44.763429E-45.5630476E-41.16786628.0E-59.6485513E-40.00203990940.00211974631.03913758.0E-50.0116839880.0245445310.0246225691.00317948.0E-50.110884230.213499230.213562151.00029478.0E-5
6.22.198148E-44.6718874E-45.471514E-41.1711578.0E-59.417233E-40.00200073770.00208057771.03990538.0E-50.0114053430.0240785130.0241565871.00324258.0E-50.108374280.209935720.209998941.00030118.0E-5
6.32.1704129E-44.615455E-45.415086E-41.17325078.0E-59.298453E-40.00197658920.00205643131.04039378.0E-50.0112622340.0237920340.0238701311.00328248.0E-50.1070827250.207826840.207890211.00030498.0E-5
6.41.876142E-44.004663E-44.8043425E-41.19968718.0E-58.038131E-40.00171516950.00179503231.04656278.0E-50.009742590.0206786620.0207570061.00378878.0E-50.0932636860.184577870.18464311.00035358.0E-5
6.51.7390939E-43.7478763E-44.5475765E-41.21337438.0E-57.45113E-40.00160525610.00168512771.04975638.0E-50.0090340780.0193672930.0194457431.00405078.0E-50.0867552160.174400150.17446621.00037878.0E-5
6.61.591791E-43.4893592E-44.1891148E-41.200547.0E-56.8201777E-40.00149459260.0015644881.04676547.0E-50.0082719960.0180450080.0181137451.00380927.0E-50.079707740.163807870.16386641.00035747.0E-5
6.71.4268003E-43.2059717E-43.9057474E-41.21827267.0E-56.1134255E-40.00137327260.00144317651.05090317.0E-50.0074177230.016591710.0166605471.0041497.0E-50.071749560.151935940.151995291.00039087.0E-5
6.81.239713E-42.9055026E-43.6052993E-41.24085217.0E-55.3119735E-40.00124462740.00131454031.05617187.0E-50.00644816740.0150494820.01511842851.00458137.0E-50.062642430.138380510.138440821.00043587.0E-5
6.91.0180238E-42.6255674E-43.325384E-41.2665397.0E-54.3622297E-40.00112476220.00119468351.06216547.0E-50.0052980890.0136089980.0136780451.00507377.0E-50.051735430.124964730.125025971.00049027.0E-5
7.07.6619996E-52.2400476E-42.8399134E-41.26779146.0E-53.283301E-49.596704E-40.00101961281.06246156.0E-50.00399009320.0116221030.0116814051.00510266.0E-50.0391920660.107269820.1073233861.00049946.0E-5
7.17.5127435E-52.2083633E-42.808231E-41.27163456.0E-53.2193496E-49.461013E-40.00100604461.06335826.0E-50.00391251550.0114586480.0115179611.00517626.0E-50.0384434420.105833780.105887431.00050696.0E-5
7.26.788582E-52.0211334E-42.621012E-41.29680316.0E-52.9090676E-48.6591556E-49.2586357E-41.06923086.0E-50.00353603860.01049220.010551571.00565856.0E-50.0348030.0975036840.0975578351.00055546.0E-5
7.36.399602E-51.8842232E-42.48411E-41.31837376.0E-52.7423984E-48.0727716E-48.672287E-41.07426396.0E-50.00333375860.0097848970.009844311.00607196.0E-50.032841880.0913979860.09145251.00059656.0E-5
7.44.506759E-51.2530042E-41.852929E-41.47878926.0E-51.9313251E-45.3689216E-45.968599E-41.11169436.0E-50.00234885260.0065172450.00657685431.00914636.0E-50.0232418050.0623645220.0624207781.0009026.0E-5
7.53.43289E-59.336103E-51.5335543E-41.64260646.0E-51.4711556E-44.0005764E-44.6003365E-41.14991846.0E-50.00178966030.0048598860.00491959461.0122866.0E-50.017753160.0470570660.0471142421.00121516.0E-5
7.62.5980507E-57.053672E-51.3053248E-41.85056086.0E-51.1134028E-43.0226534E-43.622472E-41.19844116.0E-50.0013547250.00367389480.00373367451.01627156.0E-50.0134649590.035842980.035900831.0016146.0E-5
7.71.7292105E-54.9412036E-59.940957E-52.01184925.0E-57.4106916E-52.1174872E-42.6173814E-41.2360795.0E-59.018782E-40.00257499840.00262486961.01936755.0E-50.0089822670.0252920970.025340831.00192695.0E-5
7.81.2927471E-53.9697254E-57.969567E-52.00758624.0E-55.5402274E-51.7012001E-42.1011321E-41.23508814.0E-56.743139E-40.00206924630.00210916341.01929074.0E-50.00672271430.0204331450.0204723271.00191764.0E-5
7.91.0200774E-52.8748475E-55.8747613E-52.04350353.0E-54.371687E-51.2320194E-41.5319824E-41.24347273.0E-55.321229E-40.00149895260.00152890771.0199843.0E-50.0053085050.0149928950.0150224451.0019713.0E-5
8.08.650396E-62.3279512E-55.3278814E-52.2886573.0E-53.70726E-59.976552E-51.2976253E-41.3006753.0E-54.5126543E-40.00121396930.00124393291.02468233.0E-50.00450350160.0122121640.01224179751.00242663.0E-5
8.13.9368224E-67.3283345E-61.732826E-52.36455661.0E-51.6871985E-53.1406773E-54.1406456E-51.31839261.0E-52.0539707E-43.8231048E-43.9230665E-41.02614681.0E-50.00205207310.00400153130.00401149131.00248911.0E-5
8.21.7101195E-62.2178374E-61.2217815E-55.5088871.0E-57.329063E-69.504983E-61.9504889E-52.05206971.0E-58.922769E-51.15717055E-41.257159E-41.08640771.0E-58.9191867E-40.001266690.00127667741.00788461.0E-5
8.33.0346666E-81.721086E-81.721086E-81.00.01.3005713E-77.376083E-87.376083E-81.00.01.5834444E-68.98038E-78.98038E-71.00.01.5834332E-59.36379E-69.36379E-61.00.0

Kern Canyon (South Kern) 2011

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.105075E-64.113726E-65.411352E-513.1543825.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-57.762908E-54.4032036.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-42.7461356E-41.27949556.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00221410531.03257547.0E-5
6.14.105075E-64.113726E-65.411352E-513.1543825.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-57.762908E-54.4032036.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-42.7461356E-41.27949556.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00221410531.03257547.0E-5
6.24.105075E-64.113726E-65.411352E-513.1543825.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-57.762908E-54.4032036.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-42.7461356E-41.27949556.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00221410531.03257547.0E-5
6.34.105075E-64.113726E-65.411352E-513.1543825.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-57.762908E-54.4032036.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-42.7461356E-41.27949556.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00221410531.03257547.0E-5
6.44.105075E-64.113726E-65.411352E-513.1543825.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-57.762908E-54.4032036.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-42.7461356E-41.27949556.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00221410531.03257547.0E-5
6.52.9849807E-62.973154E-63.2973065E-511.0902643.0E-51.2792712E-51.2742028E-55.2741518E-54.1391784.0E-51.5574014E-41.551233E-41.9511709E-41.25781944.0E-50.00155631030.00155016540.00160008791.03220465.0E-5
6.62.9849807E-62.973154E-63.2973065E-511.0902643.0E-51.2792712E-51.2742028E-55.2741518E-54.1391784.0E-51.5574014E-41.551233E-41.9511709E-41.25781944.0E-50.00155631030.00155016540.00160008791.03220465.0E-5
6.72.6756725E-62.6582202E-63.265814E-512.2857173.0E-51.1467117E-51.1392323E-55.1391868E-54.51109654.0E-51.396032E-41.386928E-41.7868726E-41.28836724.0E-50.00139515530.00138607340.00143600421.03602315.0E-5
6.82.3283721E-62.3047783E-62.2304732E-59.6776052.0E-59.9787E-69.877584E-63.9877286E-54.037153.0E-51.214839E-41.2025302E-41.5024941E-41.2494443.0E-50.0012141750.0012018870.00124183891.0332414.0E-5
6.92.0972677E-62.0696405E-62.2069598E-510.6634942.0E-58.988259E-68.869858E-63.886959E-54.3822113.0E-51.0942656E-41.0798523E-41.3798199E-41.27778583.0E-50.00109372680.00107933340.00111929021.037024.0E-5
7.01.7132242E-61.6787029E-61.1678686E-56.956971.0E-57.3423685E-67.1944214E-61.719435E-52.38995581.0E-58.938967E-58.75886E-59.758773E-51.11416011.0E-58.935372E-48.755446E-48.9552713E-41.0228232.0E-5
7.11.4215541E-61.3815746E-61.138156E-58.2381081.0E-56.0923603E-65.9210206E-61.5920961E-52.6888881.0E-57.417196E-57.208607E-58.2085346E-51.1387131.0E-57.414721E-47.206296E-47.406151E-41.02773362.0E-5
7.29.097853E-78.60377E-71.0860368E-512.6228031.0E-53.899074E-63.6873246E-61.3687288E-53.71198341.0E-54.7470192E-54.4892266E-55.4891814E-51.22274551.0E-54.7460053E-44.4883305E-44.5882855E-41.022271.0E-5
7.36.144169E-75.628199E-71.0562814E-518.7676641.0E-52.6332125E-62.4120832E-61.2412059E-55.14578441.0E-53.205889E-52.9366722E-53.9366427E-51.34051161.0E-53.2054266E-42.9362892E-43.0362597E-41.03404661.0E-5
7.44.049844E-73.5728252E-71.0357279E-528.9890461.0E-51.7356463E-61.5312098E-61.1531194E-57.53077361.0E-52.1131287E-51.8642324E-52.8642136E-51.53640381.0E-52.1129279E-41.8640784E-41.9640598E-41.05363581.0E-5
7.51.9871162E-71.5830383E-71.5830383E-71.00.08.5162094E-76.784448E-76.784448E-71.00.01.0368436E-58.260035E-68.260035E-61.00.01.0367952E-48.259736E-58.259736E-51.00.0
7.62.572245E-81.735264E-81.735264E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436845E-87.436845E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.0543557E-79.0543557E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054324E-69.054324E-61.00.0

Santa Ynez (East)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2269712E-53.6750775E-59.674857E-52.63255866.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.1748769E-41.38089936.0E-50.00168239790.00191642530.00197631031.03124836.0E-50.0166971780.0190564380.0191251041.00360337.0E-5
6.13.2269712E-53.6750775E-59.674857E-52.63255866.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.1748769E-41.38089936.0E-50.00168239790.00191642530.00197631031.03124836.0E-50.0166971780.0190564380.0191251041.00360337.0E-5
6.23.2269712E-53.6750775E-59.674857E-52.63255866.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.1748769E-41.38089936.0E-50.00168239790.00191642530.00197631031.03124836.0E-50.0166971780.0190564380.0191251041.00360337.0E-5
6.33.2269712E-53.6750775E-59.674857E-52.63255866.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.1748769E-41.38089936.0E-50.00168239790.00191642530.00197631031.03124836.0E-50.0166971780.0190564380.0191251041.00360337.0E-5
6.41.4404779E-51.48492945E-52.4849145E-51.67342271.0E-56.1733306E-56.363831E-57.3637675E-51.15712811.0E-57.513438E-47.7452604E-47.845183E-41.01290111.0E-50.00748808540.0077188170.00772873961.00128561.0E-5
6.51.4404779E-51.48492945E-52.4849145E-51.67342271.0E-56.1733306E-56.363831E-57.3637675E-51.15712811.0E-57.513438E-47.7452604E-47.845183E-41.01290111.0E-50.00748808540.0077188170.00772873961.00128561.0E-5
6.61.280208E-51.301186E-51.301186E-51.00.05.4864904E-55.5763932E-55.5763932E-51.00.06.6777546E-46.7871617E-46.7871617E-41.00.00.0066577240.00676664340.00676664341.00.0
6.71.2457027E-51.262838E-51.262838E-51.00.05.3386164E-55.4120515E-55.4120515E-51.00.06.497827E-46.5871974E-46.5871974E-41.00.00.006478860.006567870.006567871.00.0
6.81.2095134E-51.2230827E-51.2230827E-51.00.05.1835254E-55.2416784E-55.2416784E-51.00.06.309115E-46.3798914E-46.3798914E-41.00.00.00629123250.0063617640.0063617641.00.0
6.91.1104036E-51.115726E-51.115726E-51.00.04.758786E-54.781596E-54.781596E-51.00.05.7922816E-45.82005E-45.82005E-41.00.00.0057772070.00580495360.00580495361.00.0
7.01.0577444E-51.05815925E-51.05815925E-51.00.04.5331115E-54.53489E-54.53489E-51.00.05.5176654E-45.5198424E-45.5198424E-41.00.00.00550398560.005506270.005506271.00.0
7.11.0021775E-59.9809E-69.9809E-61.00.04.294976E-54.277459E-54.277459E-51.00.05.2278786E-45.206574E-45.206574E-41.00.00.00521559640.0051945080.0051945081.00.0
7.28.874109E-68.748706E-68.748706E-61.00.03.8031343E-53.7493923E-53.7493923E-51.00.04.629332E-44.56394E-44.56394E-41.00.00.00461970.00455468470.00455468471.00.0
7.37.5504267E-67.5050243E-67.5050243E-61.00.03.235857E-53.2164E-53.2164E-51.00.03.9389438E-43.9152734E-43.9152734E-41.00.00.00393196940.00390848240.00390848241.00.0
7.46.309394E-66.183062E-66.183062E-61.00.02.703998E-52.6498574E-52.6498574E-51.00.03.2916202E-43.2257332E-43.2257332E-41.00.00.0032867490.00322114840.00322114841.00.0
7.54.6103073E-64.4408016E-64.4408016E-61.00.01.975831E-51.9031871E-51.9031871E-51.00.02.4053088E-42.316891E-42.316891E-41.00.00.0024027070.0023145450.0023145451.00.0
7.61.2858658E-61.3008196E-61.3008196E-61.00.05.5108417E-65.574929E-65.574929E-61.00.06.7092435E-56.787272E-56.787272E-51.00.06.707218E-46.7852676E-46.7852676E-41.00.0
7.75.3302307E-75.612138E-75.612138E-71.00.02.2843826E-62.4052001E-62.4052001E-61.00.02.7812002E-52.9282955E-52.9282955E-51.00.02.7808524E-42.9279455E-42.9279455E-41.00.0
7.84.613933E-84.80301E-84.80301E-81.00.01.9773998E-72.0584326E-72.0584326E-71.00.02.4074816E-62.5061388E-62.5061388E-61.00.02.4074554E-52.5061116E-52.5061116E-51.00.0

San Pedro Basin

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.3449043E-56.337018E-51.3336574E-42.10455047.0E-52.2904722E-42.7156167E-43.4154268E-41.25769837.0E-50.00278508360.00330185150.00337162031.02113027.0E-50.0275043660.032589480.03265721.00207797.0E-5
6.15.3449043E-56.337018E-51.3336574E-42.10455047.0E-52.2904722E-42.7156167E-43.4154268E-41.25769837.0E-50.00278508360.00330185150.00337162031.02113027.0E-50.0275043660.032589480.03265721.00207797.0E-5
6.22.3189454E-52.6642829E-53.6642563E-51.37532561.0E-59.9379584E-51.1417881E-41.2417766E-41.0875721.0E-50.00120927490.00138928750.00139927361.0071881.0E-50.0120271550.013810890.0138207521.00071411.0E-5
6.32.3189454E-52.6642829E-53.6642563E-51.37532561.0E-59.9379584E-51.1417881E-41.2417766E-41.0875721.0E-50.00120927490.00138928750.00139927361.0071881.0E-50.0120271550.013810890.0138207521.00071411.0E-5
6.41.966056E-52.246342E-53.2463195E-51.44515811.0E-58.425682E-59.626848E-51.06267515E-41.10386621.0E-50.0010253440.00117147870.0011814671.00852621.0E-50.0102062590.0116571190.0116670031.00084781.0E-5
6.51.7342953E-51.9745152E-51.9745152E-51.00.07.4324824E-58.461954E-58.461954E-51.00.09.04529E-40.00102979290.00102979291.00.00.0090085610.0102539320.0102539321.00.0
6.61.439804E-51.6322716E-51.6322716E-51.00.06.170443E-56.99528E-56.99528E-51.00.07.509924E-48.513747E-48.513747E-41.00.00.00748459530.0084843330.0084843331.00.0
6.71.2634884E-51.4285298E-51.4285298E-51.00.05.414838E-56.122144E-56.122144E-51.00.06.590571E-47.451466E-47.451466E-41.00.00.0065710590.0074295020.0074295021.00.0
6.81.146091E-51.2933193E-51.2933193E-51.00.04.911726E-55.542696E-55.542696E-51.00.05.9783855E-46.74644E-46.74644E-41.00.00.00596232760.00672889970.00672889971.00.0
6.99.109035E-61.0235013E-51.0235013E-51.00.03.9038136E-54.386376E-54.386376E-51.00.04.7518566E-45.339384E-45.339384E-41.00.00.00474170830.00532930950.00532930951.00.0
7.05.9351028E-66.583965E-66.583965E-61.00.02.5435906E-52.821682E-52.821682E-51.00.03.0963816E-43.4350925E-43.4350925E-41.00.00.00309207060.00343209970.00343209971.00.0
7.12.1557585E-62.2096492E-62.2096492E-61.00.09.238933E-69.469892E-69.469892E-61.00.01.1247819E-41.15289986E-41.15289986E-41.00.00.00112421280.00115231720.00115231721.00.0
7.22.1251979E-62.1779954E-62.1779954E-61.00.09.107958E-69.334234E-69.334234E-61.00.01.1088375E-41.13638525E-41.13638525E-41.00.00.00110828450.00113581950.00113581951.00.0
7.31.7145798E-61.7442885E-61.7442885E-61.00.07.3481783E-67.475501E-67.475501E-61.00.08.94604E-59.1010515E-59.1010515E-51.00.08.9424395E-49.0974156E-49.0974156E-41.00.0
7.41.4467993E-61.4641878E-61.4641878E-61.00.06.200554E-66.275076E-66.275076E-61.00.07.548913E-57.639644E-57.639644E-51.00.07.546349E-47.6370913E-47.6370913E-41.00.0
7.51.2803735E-61.2931506E-61.2931506E-61.00.05.487303E-65.5420624E-65.5420624E-61.00.06.680587E-56.747259E-56.747259E-51.00.06.678579E-46.745281E-46.745281E-41.00.0
7.66.755009E-76.76947E-76.76947E-71.00.02.8950008E-62.9011985E-62.9011985E-61.00.03.5246063E-53.532158E-53.532158E-51.00.03.5240475E-43.5316538E-43.5316538E-41.00.0
7.76.211885E-84.5699714E-84.5699714E-81.00.02.6622362E-71.9585592E-71.9585592E-71.00.03.2412677E-62.3845432E-62.3845432E-61.00.03.2412205E-52.3845198E-52.3845198E-51.00.0
7.82.6580573E-91.5138054E-91.5138054E-91.00.01.1391674E-86.4877375E-96.4877375E-91.00.01.3869362E-77.89882E-87.89882E-81.00.01.3869354E-67.89882E-77.89882E-71.00.0

Ortigalita (North)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.711876E-51.0505308E-41.5504782E-41.47589995.0E-53.3046713E-44.501601E-45.0013757E-41.11102165.0E-50.0040160160.00546805470.00551778121.0090945.0E-50.0394421030.0534556140.053502941.00088545.0E-5
6.14.607858E-56.0239887E-51.0023748E-41.66397194.0E-51.9746469E-42.5814763E-42.981373E-41.15491014.0E-50.00240148180.00313873660.00317861121.0127044.0E-50.0237569530.0309753120.0310140721.00125134.0E-5
6.24.607858E-56.0239887E-51.0023748E-41.66397194.0E-51.9746469E-42.5814763E-42.981373E-41.15491014.0E-50.00240148180.00313873660.00317861121.0127044.0E-50.0237569530.0309753120.0310140721.00125134.0E-5
6.33.327423E-54.2476124E-57.2474846E-51.70624913.0E-51.4259605E-41.8202956E-42.120241E-41.16477843.0E-50.00173472440.0022142060.00224413961.01351893.0E-50.0172124520.021945740.0219750811.0013373.0E-5
6.42.7732503E-53.4999008E-55.4998305E-51.57142482.0E-51.1884817E-41.499886E-41.699856E-41.13332342.0E-50.0014460160.00182481580.00184477921.010942.0E-50.0143664280.0181212970.0181409341.00108372.0E-5
6.52.7689714E-53.4948822E-55.4948123E-51.57224542.0E-51.186648E-41.4977354E-41.6977054E-41.13351492.0E-50.00144378640.00182220180.00184216541.01095572.0E-50.0143444210.0180955850.0181152221.00108532.0E-5
6.62.2976905E-52.871829E-54.8717717E-51.69640032.0E-59.846873E-51.23074E-41.4307155E-41.16248382.0E-50.00119819750.00149763480.00151760491.01333442.0E-50.0119175740.0148987330.0149184351.00132242.0E-5
6.71.9871539E-52.4904637E-54.490414E-51.80304322.0E-58.516096E-51.067312E-41.2672906E-41.18736662.0E-50.00103634150.00129891990.0013188941.01537742.0E-50.0103152180.0129369380.0129566791.0015262.0E-5
6.86.5640475E-67.6054926E-61.7605416E-52.31482931.0E-52.813133E-53.2594577E-54.259425E-51.30678951.0E-53.424451E-43.9676955E-44.0676558E-41.02519361.0E-50.00341917880.0039608990.0039708591.00251471.0E-5
6.95.6219683E-66.5018376E-61.6501772E-52.53801681.0E-52.4093928E-52.7864735E-53.7864458E-51.35886661.0E-52.933041E-43.3920293E-43.4919954E-41.02947091.0E-50.00292917270.0033871090.0033970751.00294231.0E-5
7.03.875591E-64.4847548E-61.448471E-53.22976611.0E-51.6609569E-51.9220248E-52.9220057E-51.52027461.0E-52.0220275E-42.339835E-42.4398117E-41.04272811.0E-50.00202018860.00233757980.00234755641.00426791.0E-5
7.11.6017933E-61.8570418E-61.1857023E-56.38489871.0E-56.8648105E-67.958732E-61.7958653E-52.25647161.0E-58.357586E-59.689432E-51.06893356E-41.10319521.0E-58.3544437E-49.686254E-49.786157E-41.01031391.0E-5

Palos Verdes

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.126063E-57.622572E-51.16222676E-41.52471724.0E-52.6251914E-43.266441E-43.6663105E-41.12241744.0E-50.00319148650.00397017370.0040100151.01003524.0E-50.0314603930.039049090.0391067451.00147656.0E-5
6.16.126063E-57.622572E-51.16222676E-41.52471724.0E-52.6251914E-43.266441E-43.6663105E-41.12241744.0E-50.00319148650.00397017370.0040100151.01003524.0E-50.0314603930.039049090.0391067451.00147656.0E-5
6.26.126063E-57.622572E-51.16222676E-41.52471724.0E-52.6251914E-43.266441E-43.6663105E-41.12241744.0E-50.00319148650.00397017370.0040100151.01003524.0E-50.0314603930.039049090.0391067451.00147656.0E-5
6.34.0838047E-54.9749007E-56.974801E-51.4019982.0E-51.7500846E-42.1319388E-42.3318961E-41.09379142.0E-50.00212864580.0025927540.00261270231.00769382.0E-50.0210837090.0256467460.0256759771.00113983.0E-5
6.44.0838047E-54.9749007E-56.974801E-51.4019982.0E-51.7500846E-42.1319388E-42.3318961E-41.09379142.0E-50.00212864580.0025927540.00261270231.00769382.0E-50.0210837090.0256467460.0256759771.00113983.0E-5
6.53.0512005E-53.6561592E-54.656123E-51.2735011.0E-51.3075917E-41.566838E-41.6668225E-41.06381291.0E-50.00159083040.0019060720.0019160531.00523641.0E-50.0157949030.0189091730.0189287941.00103772.0E-5
6.62.9255087E-53.5154393E-54.515404E-51.28444951.0E-51.2537291E-41.5065364E-41.6065213E-41.06636741.0E-50.00152534640.00183277820.00184275991.00544621.0E-50.0151491890.0181882440.018207881.00107962.0E-5
6.72.287198E-52.724828E-52.724828E-51.00.09.801909E-51.16773626E-41.16773626E-41.00.00.0011927290.00142088330.00142088331.00.00.0118634770.0141272170.0141370761.00069791.0E-5
6.82.1325764E-52.5431878E-52.5431878E-51.00.09.139293E-51.0898972E-41.0898972E-41.00.00.0011121410.00132623230.00132623231.00.00.0110659150.0131922110.013202081.0007481.0E-5
6.91.9009392E-52.2613547E-52.2613547E-51.00.08.1466285E-59.6912096E-59.6912096E-51.00.09.914007E-40.00117935350.00117935351.00.00.0098698940.0117396330.0117495151.00084191.0E-5
7.01.7098473E-52.0319356E-52.0319356E-51.00.07.3277115E-58.708052E-58.708052E-51.00.08.917837E-40.0010597750.0010597751.00.00.0088821340.0105556460.0105655411.00093731.0E-5
7.11.5982785E-51.899476E-51.899476E-51.00.06.849585E-58.1404054E-58.1404054E-51.00.08.336179E-49.907284E-49.907284E-41.00.00.0083049770.0098714790.0098813811.0010031.0E-5
7.21.4468002E-51.7197237E-51.7197237E-51.00.06.200425E-57.370083E-57.370083E-51.00.07.546402E-48.970222E-48.970222E-41.00.00.0075208270.0089422840.0089521941.00110831.0E-5
7.35.288233E-66.2036747E-66.2036747E-61.00.02.2663658E-52.6587102E-52.6587102E-51.00.02.7589512E-43.236848E-43.236848E-41.00.00.00275552830.00323555620.0032455241.00308061.0E-5
7.48.279556E-78.408347E-78.408347E-71.00.03.5483763E-63.6035726E-63.6035726E-61.00.04.3200624E-54.3872686E-54.3872686E-51.00.04.3192226E-44.3864746E-44.3864746E-41.00.0
7.56.559831E-76.667229E-76.667229E-71.00.02.8113532E-62.857381E-62.857381E-61.00.03.4227687E-53.4788125E-53.4788125E-51.00.03.4222414E-43.4783344E-43.4783344E-41.00.0
7.63.5018968E-73.5620027E-73.5620027E-71.00.01.500812E-61.526572E-61.526572E-61.00.01.8272232E-51.8585903E-51.8585903E-51.00.01.8270731E-41.8584808E-41.8584808E-41.00.0
7.71.1986104E-71.2198376E-71.2198376E-71.00.05.1369005E-75.2278745E-75.2278745E-71.00.06.2541585E-66.364919E-66.364919E-61.00.06.2539824E-56.364741E-56.364741E-51.00.0
7.83.0445005E-83.1027582E-83.1027582E-81.00.01.3047858E-71.3297536E-71.3297536E-71.00.01.5885756E-61.6189739E-61.6189739E-61.00.01.5885644E-51.6189642E-51.6189642E-51.00.0

Santa Ynez (West)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.7352758E-55.497084E-51.14967545E-42.09142786.0E-52.0292461E-42.3556968E-42.9555554E-41.25464186.0E-50.00246780760.0028645580.00292438621.02088566.0E-50.0244058180.0283044560.0283627571.00205986.0E-5
6.14.7352758E-55.497084E-58.496919E-51.54571393.0E-52.0292461E-42.3556968E-42.6556262E-41.12732093.0E-50.00246780760.0028645580.0028944721.01044293.0E-50.0244058180.0283044560.0283336061.00102983.0E-5
6.23.0415853E-53.3925004E-56.392399E-51.88427353.0E-51.3034715E-41.4538495E-41.753806E-41.20631873.0E-50.00158582120.00176865920.00179860611.0169323.0E-50.0157455220.017549780.0175792521.00167943.0E-5
6.33.0415853E-53.3925004E-56.392399E-51.88427353.0E-51.3034715E-41.4538495E-41.753806E-41.20631873.0E-50.00158582120.00176865920.00179860611.0169323.0E-50.0157455220.017549780.0175792521.00167943.0E-5
6.42.5452082E-52.7912318E-55.7911482E-52.07476433.0E-51.09075794E-41.1961885E-41.4961527E-41.25076663.0E-50.00132718870.00145540560.0014853621.02058283.0E-50.0131929020.014460910.0144904761.00204463.0E-5
6.52.3143784E-52.5128133E-55.5127377E-52.1938513.0E-59.9183875E-51.07687636E-41.376844E-41.27855353.0E-50.00120689480.0013103230.00134028371.02286523.0E-50.0120036110.0130276380.0130572471.00227283.0E-5
6.61.9118515E-52.0354244E-55.0353636E-52.4738643.0E-58.193392E-58.722961E-51.1722699E-41.343893.0E-59.97089E-40.0010615110.00109147911.02823163.0E-50.009926270.0105653170.0105951.00280953.0E-5
6.71.722807E-51.8146253E-54.814571E-52.6532043.0E-57.3832496E-57.776737E-51.0776504E-41.38573593.0E-58.985399E-49.4641204E-49.763836E-41.03166873.0E-50.0089491540.0094244610.0094541791.00315323.0E-5
6.81.5317364E-51.5926391E-53.5926074E-52.25575732.0E-56.56442E-56.82542E-58.825283E-51.29300222.0E-57.98925E-48.3068234E-48.5066573E-41.02405662.0E-50.0079605890.0082762610.0082960961.00239662.0E-5
6.91.3071226E-51.332953E-52.3329396E-51.7502041.0E-55.6018336E-55.712532E-56.712475E-51.17504371.0E-56.8180985E-46.952811E-47.052741E-41.01437271.0E-50.00679721730.00693131840.0069412491.00143281.0E-5
7.01.1836986E-51.1932688E-51.1932688E-51.00.05.0728955E-55.1139097E-55.1139097E-51.00.06.1745E-46.2244234E-46.2244234E-41.00.00.0061573720.00620718250.00620718251.00.0
7.11.0597169E-51.0542107E-51.0542107E-51.00.04.541565E-54.5179684E-54.5179684E-51.00.05.5279525E-45.4992497E-45.4992497E-41.00.00.00551422130.0054857720.0054857721.00.0
7.29.59113E-69.45905E-69.45905E-61.00.04.11042E-54.053816E-54.053816E-51.00.05.0032866E-44.934414E-44.934414E-41.00.00.0049920370.00492357650.00492357651.00.0
7.38.586084E-68.379489E-68.379489E-61.00.03.679698E-53.591161E-53.591161E-51.00.04.4791115E-44.3713715E-44.3713715E-41.00.00.0044700940.0043628840.0043628841.00.0
7.47.2622997E-66.9514485E-66.9514485E-61.00.03.112377E-52.9791589E-52.9791589E-51.00.03.78866E-43.6265317E-43.6265317E-41.00.00.00378220740.0036207140.0036207141.00.0
7.55.627296E-65.2514984E-65.2514984E-61.00.02.411676E-52.2506232E-52.2506232E-51.00.02.9358198E-42.7397962E-42.7397962E-41.00.00.00293194430.00273649050.00273649051.00.0
7.62.265244E-62.0608632E-62.0608632E-61.00.09.708152E-68.832241E-68.832241E-61.00.01.18190335E-41.0752732E-41.0752732E-41.00.00.0011812750.00107476150.00107476151.00.0
7.71.3099874E-61.1016228E-61.1016228E-61.00.05.61422E-64.7212325E-64.7212325E-61.00.06.8350986E-55.7479516E-55.7479516E-51.00.06.832996E-45.7464885E-45.7464885E-41.00.0
7.87.903951E-76.0710704E-76.0710704E-71.00.03.3874032E-62.601885E-62.601885E-61.00.04.1240855E-53.16775E-53.16775E-51.00.04.12332E-43.167312E-43.167312E-41.00.0
7.97.0753297E-95.090092E-95.090092E-91.00.03.032284E-82.181468E-82.181468E-81.00.03.6918053E-72.655937E-72.655937E-71.00.03.691799E-62.6559348E-62.6559348E-61.00.0

Lost Hills

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.233523E-52.5106583E-57.510533E-52.99145965.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.675897E-41.55758086.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00136928541.04576376.0E-50.0115866860.0130330910.0130923091.00454376.0E-5
6.12.233523E-52.5106583E-57.510533E-52.99145965.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.675897E-41.55758086.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00136928541.04576376.0E-50.0115866860.0130330910.0130923091.00454376.0E-5
6.22.233523E-52.5106583E-57.510533E-52.99145965.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.675897E-41.55758086.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00136928541.04576376.0E-50.0115866860.0130330910.0130923091.00454376.0E-5
6.32.233523E-52.5106583E-57.510533E-52.99145965.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.675897E-41.55758086.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00136928541.04576376.0E-50.0115866860.0130330910.0130923091.00454376.0E-5
6.41.2288092E-51.3781108E-53.378083E-52.45124222.0E-55.2662188E-55.906108E-57.90599E-51.33861242.0E-56.409735E-47.189252E-47.3891087E-41.02779922.0E-50.0063912790.00717520060.00719505731.00276732.0E-5
6.51.2288092E-51.3781108E-53.378083E-52.45124222.0E-55.2662188E-55.906108E-57.90599E-51.33861242.0E-56.409735E-47.189252E-47.3891087E-41.02779922.0E-50.0063912790.00717520060.00719505731.00276732.0E-5
6.68.58281E-69.63377E-62.9633577E-53.07601052.0E-53.6782953E-54.12874E-56.128658E-51.48438932.0E-54.4774043E-45.026414E-45.2263134E-41.03976982.0E-50.00446839350.0050232050.00504310481.00396162.0E-5
6.77.205685E-68.088302E-62.808814E-53.4726872.0E-53.088114E-53.466415E-55.466346E-51.5769452.0E-53.7591302E-44.2203604E-44.4202758E-41.04736942.0E-50.00375277760.00422036040.0042402761.00471892.0E-5

Deep Springs

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9810619E-52.311252E-56.31116E-52.73062374.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.490478E-41.50473155.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.00126573551.04969926.0E-50.0102837570.012042430.0121017081.00492246.0E-5
6.11.9810619E-52.311252E-56.31116E-52.73062374.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.490478E-41.50473155.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.00126573551.04969926.0E-50.0102837570.012042430.0121017081.00492246.0E-5
6.21.9810619E-52.311252E-56.31116E-52.73062374.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.490478E-41.50473155.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.00126573551.04969926.0E-50.0102837570.012042430.0121017081.00492246.0E-5
6.31.9810619E-52.311252E-56.31116E-52.73062374.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.490478E-41.50473155.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.00126573551.04969926.0E-50.0102837570.012042430.0121017081.00492246.0E-5
6.41.9810619E-52.311252E-56.31116E-52.73062374.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.490478E-41.50473155.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.00126573551.04969926.0E-50.0102837570.012042430.0121017081.00492246.0E-5
6.51.7190405E-52.0050558E-56.0049755E-52.9949174.0E-57.367108E-58.593096E-51.3592666E-41.58181255.0E-58.9657627E-40.00104620920.00109615691.04774155.0E-50.0089296760.0104620610.0105115381.00472925.0E-5
6.61.7190405E-52.0050558E-56.0049755E-52.9949174.0E-57.367108E-58.593096E-51.3592666E-41.58181255.0E-58.9657627E-40.00104620920.00109615691.04774155.0E-50.0089296760.0104620610.0105115381.00472925.0E-5

Red Mountain

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1810763E-54.7590016E-57.7588586E-51.63035433.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.4393405E-41.1960944.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.00253020931.02010865.0E-50.0215804520.024544110.0245928841.00198715.0E-5
6.14.1810763E-54.7590016E-57.7588586E-51.63035433.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.4393405E-41.1960944.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.00253020931.02010865.0E-50.0215804520.024544110.0245928841.00198715.0E-5
6.24.1810763E-54.7590016E-57.7588586E-51.63035433.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.4393405E-41.1960944.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.00253020931.02010865.0E-50.0215804520.024544110.0245928841.00198715.0E-5
6.34.1810763E-54.7590016E-57.7588586E-51.63035433.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.4393405E-41.1960944.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.00253020931.02010865.0E-50.0215804520.024544110.0245928841.00198715.0E-5
6.44.1810763E-54.7590016E-57.7588586E-51.63035433.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.4393405E-41.1960944.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.00253020931.02010865.0E-50.0215804520.024544110.0245928841.00198715.0E-5
6.53.154503E-53.5359757E-55.535905E-51.56559482.0E-51.3518598E-41.5153353E-41.8152899E-41.1979463.0E-50.00164464670.00184345180.0018833781.02165844.0E-50.016325280.0182912440.0183305131.00214684.0E-5
6.63.1535834E-53.5349138E-55.534843E-51.56576472.0E-51.3514658E-41.5148803E-41.8148348E-41.19800543.0E-50.00164416760.00184289870.00188282491.0216654.0E-50.016320560.0182858050.0183250741.00214744.0E-5
6.72.8267326E-53.1469353E-55.1468727E-51.63551892.0E-51.2114006E-41.3486217E-41.6485812E-41.22241943.0E-50.00147388240.00164079540.00168072971.02433844.0E-50.0146414520.016295570.016334921.00241474.0E-5
6.82.8212884E-53.1407242E-55.1406612E-51.63677592.0E-51.20906756E-41.3459599E-41.6459195E-41.22285933.0E-50.00147104570.00163755950.0016774941.02438664.0E-50.0146134590.0162636880.0163030361.00241954.0E-5
6.92.4227871E-52.6706994E-54.670646E-51.74884752.0E-51.03829596E-41.1445395E-41.4445052E-41.26208413.0E-50.00126339230.00139266210.00143260641.0286824.0E-50.0125623360.01384703350.013886481.00284874.0E-5
7.02.348524E-52.5835778E-54.5835262E-51.77410032.0E-51.0064714E-41.10720495E-41.4071717E-41.27092253.0E-50.00122469010.0013472640.00138721011.02964994.0E-50.0121796270.0133985980.0134380621.00294544.0E-5
7.12.2311642E-52.4462845E-54.4462355E-51.81754642.0E-59.561782E-51.04836974E-41.3483383E-41.28612863.0E-50.00116352520.00127571760.00131566661.03131484.0E-50.011574520.012691460.0127309511.00311174.0E-5
7.21.6533986E-51.7670362E-53.7670008E-52.13181882.0E-57.085802E-57.572828E-51.0572601E-41.39612323.0E-58.623549E-49.2166534E-49.516377E-41.03251983.0E-50.0085901610.0091847070.0092144311.00323633.0E-5
7.31.4703092E-51.5559537E-52.555938E-51.64268271.0E-56.301173E-56.668237E-58.668104E-51.29990942.0E-57.668978E-48.1161706E-48.3160086E-41.02462222.0E-50.00764256580.0080926040.0081124421.00245142.0E-5
7.46.1331984E-65.5288874E-65.5288874E-61.00.02.6284872E-52.3695018E-52.3695018E-51.00.03.199713E-42.884492E-42.884492E-41.00.00.00319510980.00288080240.00288080241.00.0
7.55.954766E-65.338517E-65.338517E-61.00.02.5520176E-52.2879161E-52.2879161E-51.00.03.1066386E-42.785187E-42.785187E-41.00.00.0031022990.00278175040.00278175041.00.0
7.64.9726646E-64.315309E-64.315309E-61.00.02.1311245E-51.8494053E-51.8494053E-51.00.02.5943352E-42.2514217E-42.2514217E-41.00.00.00259130840.00224917540.00224917541.00.0
7.73.3613894E-62.8526886E-62.8526886E-61.00.01.4405875E-51.22257525E-51.22257525E-51.00.01.7537741E-41.4883863E-41.4883863E-41.00.00.00175239080.00148741570.00148741571.00.0
7.81.1828961E-61.0122935E-61.0122935E-61.00.05.069545E-64.338394E-64.338394E-61.00.06.171996E-55.281869E-55.281869E-51.00.06.170282E-45.280643E-45.280643E-41.00.0
7.92.2967266E-71.861919E-71.861919E-71.00.09.843111E-77.97965E-77.97965E-71.00.01.19839215E-59.715184E-69.715184E-61.00.01.1983275E-49.714788E-59.714788E-51.00.0

Coronado Bank alt1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.533492E-59.3951705E-51.43947E-41.53213835.0E-53.22824E-44.025903E-44.5257015E-41.12414575.0E-50.00392330070.0048911210.00494087631.01017265.0E-50.038547550.0479040.0479516051.00099375.0E-5
6.14.1807285E-55.0493105E-58.049159E-51.59411053.0E-51.7916178E-42.1638138E-42.463749E-41.1386143.0E-50.00217911230.00263133650.00266125751.0113713.0E-50.0215786770.0260111240.0260403441.00112333.0E-5
6.24.1807285E-55.0493105E-58.049159E-51.59411053.0E-51.7916178E-42.1638138E-42.463749E-41.1386143.0E-50.00217911230.00263133650.00266125751.0113713.0E-50.0215786770.0260111240.0260403441.00112333.0E-5
6.33.1793104E-53.7711125E-54.771075E-51.26516381.0E-51.3624904E-41.6160926E-41.7160765E-41.06186761.0E-50.00165756980.0019658490.00197582921.00507691.0E-50.0164526030.0194884950.01949831.00050321.0E-5
6.42.9878007E-53.5335797E-54.5335444E-51.28298911.0E-51.2804232E-41.5143053E-41.6142902E-41.06602691.0E-50.00155780030.00184213950.00185212111.00541841.0E-50.0154692530.0182724630.0182822811.00053731.0E-5
6.52.4512565E-52.8764101E-53.8763814E-51.34764551.0E-51.0504962E-41.2326906E-41.3326782E-41.08111331.0E-50.00127822870.00149979430.00150977941.00665761.0E-50.0127090120.01489969250.0149095441.00066111.0E-5
6.62.1317413E-52.490667E-52.490667E-51.00.09.135714E-51.0673863E-41.0673863E-41.00.00.00111170560.00129879030.00129879031.00.00.0110616050.0129144070.0129144071.00.0
6.71.8585655E-52.1634882E-52.1634882E-51.00.07.9650374E-59.271774E-59.271774E-51.00.09.6931186E-40.00112827440.00112827441.00.00.00965094750.0112276230.0112276231.00.0
6.81.5862879E-51.8419476E-51.8419476E-51.00.06.798199E-57.8938334E-57.8938334E-51.00.08.273665E-49.606697E-49.606697E-41.00.00.0082429280.0095671510.0095671511.00.0
6.91.3021509E-51.5095266E-51.5095266E-51.00.05.5805274E-56.46925E-56.46925E-51.00.06.792174E-47.873646E-47.873646E-41.00.00.0067714520.0078475730.0078475731.00.0
7.01.0974371E-51.2720105E-51.2720105E-51.00.04.7032172E-55.4513697E-55.4513697E-51.00.05.7246623E-46.635197E-46.635197E-41.00.00.00570993730.00661713540.00661713541.00.0
7.18.766221E-61.0163833E-51.0163833E-51.00.03.7568978E-54.3558655E-54.3558655E-51.00.04.573063E-45.302148E-45.302148E-41.00.00.00456366360.0052911970.0052911971.00.0
7.28.026024E-78.331776E-78.331776E-71.00.03.43972E-63.5707562E-63.5707562E-61.00.04.1877785E-54.34731E-54.34731E-51.00.04.1869894E-44.3464705E-44.3464705E-41.00.0
7.33.7293114E-73.700106E-73.700106E-71.00.01.5982754E-61.5857588E-61.5857588E-61.00.01.9458828E-51.9306442E-51.9306442E-51.00.01.9457124E-41.9304773E-41.9304773E-41.00.0
7.42.0557036E-71.9674441E-71.9674441E-71.00.08.810155E-78.4319004E-78.4319004E-71.00.01.0726311E-51.02657905E-51.02657905E-51.00.01.0725793E-41.026532E-41.026532E-41.00.0
7.56.845446E-86.2794086E-86.2794086E-81.00.02.9337625E-72.6911746E-72.6911746E-71.00.03.5718497E-63.2765004E-63.2765004E-61.00.03.5717923E-53.276453E-53.276453E-51.00.0
7.66.0975145E-95.531901E-95.531901E-91.00.02.6132206E-82.3708148E-82.3708148E-81.00.03.1815955E-72.8864667E-72.8864667E-71.00.03.181591E-62.886464E-62.886464E-61.00.0

Rose Canyon

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5923203E-54.9714607E-59.9712124E-52.00569065.0E-51.9679888E-42.1304654E-42.630359E-41.23464055.0E-50.00239339330.00259094780.00264081821.0192485.0E-50.0236777980.0256185180.0256672371.00190175.0E-5
6.14.5923203E-54.9714607E-59.9712124E-52.00569065.0E-51.9679888E-42.1304654E-42.630359E-41.23464055.0E-50.00239339330.00259094780.00264081821.0192485.0E-50.0236777980.0256185180.0256672371.00190175.0E-5
6.22.8844734E-52.9669678E-57.966819E-52.6851725.0E-51.2361443E-41.2714976E-41.771434E-41.3931875.0E-50.00150396650.0015469760.00159689881.03227115.0E-50.01493828650.0153648730.0154141051.00320425.0E-5
6.32.3171577E-52.3162425E-57.316127E-53.15861875.0E-59.9302975E-59.926383E-51.4925886E-41.50365825.0E-50.00120834310.00120788040.001257821.04134495.0E-50.0120179380.0120121520.0120615511.00411255.0E-5
6.42.0066604E-51.9668067E-54.9667477E-52.52528523.0E-58.599689E-58.428905E-51.1428652E-41.35588813.0E-50.00104650920.0010257460.00105571531.0292173.0E-50.0104159460.0102114790.0102411721.00290793.0E-5
6.51.776989E-51.7115402E-54.711489E-52.75277733.0E-57.615444E-57.33497E-51.033475E-41.40896963.0E-59.267859E-48.926737E-49.226469E-41.0335773.0E-50.0092293030.0088746630.00890439751.00335043.0E-5
6.61.5227364E-51.4340872E-54.4340442E-53.0918933.0E-56.52585E-56.145947E-59.145762E-51.48809663.0E-57.942326E-47.480173E-47.7799486E-41.0400763.0E-50.0079140.00744103360.00747081031.00400173.0E-5
6.71.2703898E-51.1674277E-54.1673928E-53.56972223.0E-55.4444143E-55.0031682E-58.003018E-51.59959013.0E-56.626558E-46.089697E-46.3895143E-41.04923363.0E-50.0066068330.00606230930.00609212741.00491863.0E-5
6.81.1554917E-51.0610384E-54.0610066E-53.82738883.0E-54.9520135E-54.547231E-57.547094E-51.65971223.0E-56.0274085E-45.5348873E-45.8347214E-41.05417173.0E-50.00601108650.0055044140.0055342491.00542023.0E-5
6.98.732078E-67.882285E-61.7882207E-52.26865771.0E-53.7422655E-53.37808E-54.3780463E-51.29601611.0E-54.5552556E-44.112066E-44.2120248E-41.02430871.0E-50.00454592940.0040895150.00409947431.00243531.0E-5
7.05.9337494E-65.107436E-65.107436E-61.00.02.5430107E-52.1888829E-52.1888829E-51.00.03.0956755E-42.6646405E-42.6646405E-41.00.00.00309136670.0026614610.0026614611.00.0
7.15.013409E-64.17734E-64.17734E-61.00.02.1485863E-51.7902763E-51.7902763E-51.00.02.6155898E-42.1794444E-42.1794444E-41.00.00.00261251330.00217731880.00217731881.00.0
7.24.120763E-63.2820917E-63.2820917E-61.00.01.7660293E-51.4066032E-51.4066032E-51.00.02.1499286E-41.7124058E-41.7124058E-41.00.00.00214784990.00171109580.00171109581.00.0
7.33.2081239E-62.4404965E-62.4404965E-61.00.01.374903E-51.0459229E-51.0459229E-51.00.01.6738157E-41.2733374E-41.2733374E-41.00.00.00167255560.00127261480.00127261481.00.0
7.42.4194755E-61.7680321E-61.7680321E-61.00.01.0369139E-57.5772587E-67.5772587E-61.00.01.2623696E-49.224927E-59.224927E-51.00.00.00126165279.221151E-49.221151E-41.00.0
7.51.3842889E-69.3782967E-79.3782967E-71.00.05.9326535E-64.019264E-64.019264E-61.00.07.222766E-54.8933474E-54.8933474E-51.00.07.220419E-44.8923056E-44.8923056E-41.00.0
7.61.0021575E-66.4113493E-76.4113493E-71.00.04.2949537E-62.7477186E-62.7477186E-61.00.05.2289808E-53.345298E-53.345298E-51.00.05.2277505E-43.344816E-43.344816E-41.00.0
7.78.7620116E-86.449304E-86.449304E-81.00.03.7551473E-72.763987E-72.763987E-71.00.04.5718825E-63.3651493E-63.3651493E-61.00.04.5717883E-53.3651013E-53.3651013E-51.00.0

San Juan

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.682808E-68.74917E-65.8748734E-56.7147785.0E-53.72115E-53.749593E-58.749405E-52.33342815.0E-54.5295584E-44.5642213E-45.063993E-41.10949775.0E-50.0045203370.0045553890.0046051611.0109265.0E-5
6.18.682808E-68.74917E-65.8748734E-56.7147785.0E-53.72115E-53.749593E-58.749405E-52.33342815.0E-54.5295584E-44.5642213E-45.063993E-41.10949775.0E-50.0045203370.0045553890.0046051611.0109265.0E-5
6.28.682808E-68.74917E-65.8748734E-56.7147785.0E-53.72115E-53.749593E-58.749405E-52.33342815.0E-54.5295584E-44.5642213E-45.063993E-41.10949775.0E-50.0045203370.0045553890.0046051611.0109265.0E-5
6.36.3054235E-66.282591E-61.6282529E-52.591691.0E-52.7022963E-52.692512E-53.6924852E-51.37139031.0E-53.2895492E-43.2776545E-43.3776215E-41.03049961.0E-50.0032846840.00327302050.00328298771.00304531.0E-5
6.46.1490473E-66.1144706E-61.6114409E-52.63545471.0E-52.6352795E-52.6204618E-53.6204357E-51.38160221.0E-53.2079802E-43.189959E-43.289927E-41.03133831.0E-50.00320335340.00318557680.0031955451.00312911.0E-5
6.55.204848E-65.137238E-61.5137187E-52.94656131.0E-52.23063E-52.2016555E-53.2016334E-51.45419371.0E-52.7154534E-42.6801953E-42.7801684E-41.03730071.0E-50.00271213780.00267711720.00268709051.00372541.0E-5
6.64.5179986E-64.415036E-61.4414992E-53.26497721.0E-51.9362706E-51.892145E-52.8921262E-51.52849071.0E-52.3571544E-42.303451E-42.403428E-41.04340311.0E-50.00235465590.00230120080.00231117781.00433551.0E-5
6.73.9442616E-63.8198336E-61.3819796E-53.61790511.0E-51.6903869E-51.6370615E-52.6370451E-51.61084061.0E-52.0578515E-41.9929469E-42.092927E-41.0501671.0E-50.0020559470.0019912850.0020012651.00501191.0E-5
6.83.4536245E-63.3163408E-61.3316308E-54.0153621.0E-51.4801163E-51.4212815E-52.4212673E-51.70358041.0E-51.8018926E-41.7302789E-41.8302616E-41.05778421.0E-50.00180043220.0017290510.00173903371.00577351.0E-5
6.93.059865E-62.9120363E-61.2912007E-54.4340131.0E-51.3113641E-51.2480099E-52.2479975E-51.80126571.0E-51.596469E-41.5193518E-41.6193367E-41.06580761.0E-50.00159532240.00151842810.00152841291.00657571.0E-5
7.02.6504351E-62.492005E-61.249198E-55.0128231.0E-51.1358958E-51.0679981E-52.0679874E-51.93632131.0E-51.3828653E-41.3002155E-41.4002025E-41.07690041.0E-50.00138200520.0012995670.00130955411.00768481.0E-5
7.12.2039317E-62.0338366E-61.2033816E-55.91680571.0E-59.445387E-68.716416E-61.871633E-52.14725041.0E-51.1499152E-41.0611773E-41.1611667E-41.09422491.0E-50.00114932030.00106078110.00107077041.0094171.0E-5
7.21.0786707E-68.770239E-78.770239E-71.00.04.622866E-63.7586685E-63.7586685E-61.00.05.628194E-54.576084E-54.576084E-51.00.05.6267687E-44.5757365E-44.5757365E-41.00.0
7.36.846433E-74.868812E-74.868812E-71.00.02.9341822E-62.086632E-62.086632E-61.00.03.5723086E-52.5404452E-52.5404452E-51.00.03.571734E-42.5405022E-42.5405022E-41.00.0
7.45.23043E-73.2627884E-73.2627884E-71.00.02.2416111E-61.3983371E-61.3983371E-61.00.02.7291273E-51.7024622E-51.7024622E-51.00.02.7287923E-41.7026608E-41.7026608E-41.00.0
7.54.648444E-72.723464E-72.723464E-71.00.01.9921886E-61.1671983E-61.1671983E-61.00.02.4254627E-51.4210547E-51.4210547E-51.00.02.425198E-41.4212691E-41.4212691E-41.00.0
7.63.9906567E-72.2083036E-72.2083036E-71.00.01.7102802E-69.4641547E-79.4641547E-71.00.02.0822463E-51.1522548E-51.1522548E-51.00.02.0820512E-41.15244526E-41.15244526E-41.00.0
7.71.8784601E-75.366277E-85.366277E-81.00.08.0505407E-72.2998329E-72.2998329E-71.00.09.80149E-62.800043E-62.800043E-61.00.09.801057E-52.8008939E-52.8008939E-51.00.0
7.81.00154914E-71.2412917E-81.2412917E-81.00.04.2923529E-75.3198217E-85.3198217E-81.00.05.225927E-66.476881E-76.476881E-71.00.05.225804E-56.4827886E-66.4827886E-61.00.0
7.96.171429E-84.2946513E-94.2946513E-91.00.02.6448978E-71.8405647E-81.8405647E-81.00.03.2201583E-62.2408874E-72.2408874E-71.00.03.2201115E-52.2462114E-62.2462114E-61.00.0
8.01.3974572E-83.3737857E-103.3737857E-101.00.05.989102E-81.4459075E-91.4459075E-91.00.07.2917294E-71.760392E-81.760392E-81.00.07.2917055E-61.8038004E-71.8038004E-71.00.0
8.11.8403477E-91.1291601E-101.1291601E-101.00.07.887204E-94.839261E-104.839261E-101.00.09.602671E-85.8917977E-95.8917977E-91.00.09.602667E-76.0206084E-86.0206084E-81.00.0

Gillem - Big Crack 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.196852E-52.3604485E-55.3603777E-52.27091483.0E-59.4147406E-51.01158665E-41.4115461E-41.39537854.0E-50.00114564190.00123099980.00128093831.04056745.0E-50.0113975370.0122506690.0123000571.00403145.0E-5
6.19.992795E-61.071189E-52.0711783E-51.93353211.0E-54.2825563E-54.5907396E-56.5906475E-51.43563962.0E-55.2127644E-45.587975E-45.8878073E-41.05365673.0E-50.00520055370.00557573470.00560556721.00535053.0E-5
6.29.992795E-61.071189E-52.0711783E-51.93353211.0E-54.2825563E-54.5907396E-56.5906475E-51.43563962.0E-55.2127644E-45.587975E-45.8878073E-41.05365673.0E-50.00520055370.00557573470.00560556721.00535053.0E-5
6.34.6127884E-64.942657E-64.942657E-61.00.01.9768944E-52.1182668E-53.118246E-51.4720741.0E-52.406603E-42.5787292E-42.6787035E-41.03876881.0E-50.00240399850.00257617510.00258614941.00387171.0E-5
6.44.6127884E-64.942657E-64.942657E-61.00.01.9768944E-52.1182668E-53.118246E-51.4720741.0E-52.406603E-42.5787292E-42.6787035E-41.03876881.0E-50.00240399850.00257617510.00258614941.00387171.0E-5
6.52.716712E-62.9111113E-62.9111113E-61.00.01.1643E-51.24761455E-52.247602E-51.80151961.0E-51.417443E-41.5188892E-41.618874E-41.06582761.0E-50.00141653930.0015180890.00152807381.00657731.0E-5
6.61.3818255E-61.4820689E-61.4820689E-61.00.05.922096E-66.3517155E-66.3517155E-61.00.07.209913E-57.7330624E-57.7330624E-51.00.07.2075747E-47.7315804E-47.7315804E-41.00.0

Kern Canyon (Lake Isabella) 2011

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.2387383E-64.0016344E-65.4001433E-513.4948455.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-56.71489E-53.9154435.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.5876972E-41.23943645.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.00213591991.0239195.0E-5
6.14.2387383E-64.0016344E-65.4001433E-513.4948455.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-56.71489E-53.9154435.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.5876972E-41.23943645.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.00213591991.0239195.0E-5
6.24.2387383E-64.0016344E-65.4001433E-513.4948455.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-56.71489E-53.9154435.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.5876972E-41.23943645.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.00213591991.0239195.0E-5
6.34.2387383E-64.0016344E-65.4001433E-513.4948455.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-56.71489E-53.9154435.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.5876972E-41.23943645.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.00213591991.0239195.0E-5
6.44.2387383E-64.0016344E-65.4001433E-513.4948455.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-56.71489E-53.9154435.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.5876972E-41.23943645.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.00213591991.0239195.0E-5
6.52.7857532E-62.5178624E-64.251776E-516.8864524.0E-51.1938888E-51.0790796E-55.0790364E-54.7068234.0E-51.4534626E-41.3137035E-41.713651E-41.30444284.0E-50.00145251230.00131295960.00135290721.03042554.0E-5
6.62.2233348E-61.944119E-62.194408E-511.28741552.0E-59.528543E-68.331913E-62.8331746E-53.40038922.0E-51.1600384E-41.014364E-41.2143437E-41.19714782.0E-50.0011594330.00101390960.00103388941.01970572.0E-5
6.72.1635126E-61.8834991E-62.1883461E-511.6185152.0E-59.272164E-68.072114E-62.8071952E-53.47764562.0E-51.1288274E-49.827364E-51.1827167E-41.20349342.0E-50.00112825429.8231E-40.00100229031.02034022.0E-5
6.81.8685711E-61.583138E-61.1583122E-57.3165591.0E-58.008137E-66.7848596E-61.6784792E-52.47385981.0E-59.74947E-58.2602586E-59.260176E-51.12105151.0E-59.745194E-48.2572375E-48.357155E-41.01210061.0E-5
6.91.5815071E-61.3064887E-61.1306475E-58.6540941.0E-56.77787E-65.5992255E-61.559917E-52.78595141.0E-58.251744E-56.816846E-57.816778E-51.14668541.0E-58.248681E-46.8147824E-46.914714E-41.01466391.0E-5
7.01.3772564E-61.1210681E-61.1121057E-59.9200541.0E-55.9025137E-64.8045686E-61.4804521E-53.08134221.0E-57.186073E-55.8494075E-56.849349E-51.17094741.0E-57.18375E-45.8478885E-45.94783E-41.01709021.0E-5
7.11.0916998E-68.7637505E-71.0876366E-512.410631.0E-54.678705E-63.7558877E-61.375585E-53.66247631.0E-55.6961744E-54.5726985E-55.572653E-51.21867921.0E-55.6947145E-44.571771E-44.6717256E-41.02186331.0E-5
7.27.6277024E-75.901439E-71.0590138E-517.9450111.0E-53.2690114E-62.5291856E-61.252916E-54.95383171.0E-53.9799485E-53.0792406E-54.07921E-51.32474541.0E-53.9792358E-43.07882E-43.1787893E-41.032471.0E-5
7.35.3265916E-74.3824264E-71.0438238E-523.81841.0E-52.282823E-61.8781814E-61.1878163E-56.32428931.0E-52.7793016E-52.2866623E-53.2866392E-51.43730871.0E-52.778954E-42.2864307E-42.3864079E-41.04372631.0E-5
7.43.4946007E-73.0065647E-71.0300653E-534.2605441.0E-51.497685E-61.2885271E-61.12885145E-58.7607891.0E-51.8234163E-51.5687707E-52.568755E-51.63743191.0E-51.8232666E-41.5686621E-41.6686464E-41.06373861.0E-5
7.51.8317026E-71.4244755E-71.4244755E-71.00.07.850152E-76.1048934E-76.1048934E-71.00.09.557518E-67.432683E-67.432683E-61.00.09.5571064E-57.432442E-57.432442E-51.00.0
7.62.572245E-81.735264E-81.735264E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436845E-87.436845E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.0543557E-79.0543557E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054324E-69.054324E-61.00.0

Pinto Mtn

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.4194956E-54.7853926E-59.785153E-52.04479655.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-42.550628E-41.24376565.0E-50.00230342360.00249406880.0025439441.01999765.0E-50.0227969380.0246783050.024727071.0019765.0E-5
6.14.4194956E-54.7853926E-59.785153E-52.04479655.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-42.550628E-41.24376565.0E-50.00230342360.00249406880.0025439441.01999765.0E-50.0227969380.0246783050.024727071.0019765.0E-5
6.24.4194956E-54.7853926E-59.785153E-52.04479655.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-42.550628E-41.24376565.0E-50.00230342360.00249406880.0025439441.01999765.0E-50.0227969380.0246783050.024727071.0019765.0E-5
6.34.4194956E-54.7853926E-59.785153E-52.04479655.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-42.550628E-41.24376565.0E-50.00230342360.00249406880.0025439441.01999765.0E-50.0227969380.0246783050.024727071.0019765.0E-5
6.43.729929E-53.960349E-58.960151E-52.2624655.0E-51.5984432E-41.6971873E-42.1971024E-41.29455515.0E-50.00194436730.00206446040.00211435721.02416945.0E-50.0192744270.0204628480.0205118251.00239355.0E-5
6.53.729929E-53.960349E-58.960151E-52.2624655.0E-51.5984432E-41.6971873E-42.1971024E-41.29455515.0E-50.00194436730.00206446040.00211435721.02416945.0E-50.0192744270.0204628480.0205118251.00239355.0E-5
6.63.0204548E-53.12056E-56.1204664E-51.96133593.0E-51.2944164E-41.3373162E-41.6372761E-41.22429993.0E-50.00157481270.00162700120.00165695241.01840883.0E-50.0156369920.0161547640.016184281.0018273.0E-5
6.72.9857754E-53.0814987E-56.081406E-51.97352233.0E-51.2795553E-41.3205773E-41.6205377E-41.22714343.0E-50.00155674530.00160665170.00163660351.01864243.0E-50.0154588480.0159542040.0159837251.00185043.0E-5
6.82.4819734E-52.5009665E-54.5009165E-51.79967082.0E-51.0636595E-41.0718E-41.2717786E-41.1865822.0E-50.00129423620.0013041570.00132413091.01531552.0E-50.0128672440.0129674030.0129871431.00152232.0E-5
6.92.331124E-52.3337945E-54.3337477E-51.85695352.0E-59.990149E-51.0001605E-41.2001405E-41.1999482.0E-50.0012156220.00121703550.00123701121.01641332.0E-50.0120899360.0121058970.0121256551.00163212.0E-5
7.02.1818534E-52.1761074E-54.176064E-51.91905222.0E-59.3504656E-59.3258524E-51.13256654E-41.21443762.0E-50.00113782460.00113485090.00115482821.01760352.0E-50.0113201630.011292660.01131243351.00175112.0E-5
7.12.066081E-52.0540718E-54.0540308E-51.97365582.0E-58.854332E-58.8028784E-51.0802703E-41.22717852.0E-50.00107748180.00107124310.00109122171.01864992.0E-50.0107227240.01066284350.010682631.00185572.0E-5
7.21.8990233E-51.9054001E-53.9053622E-52.04962832.0E-58.138417E-58.165756E-51.01655925E-41.24490522.0E-59.904018E-49.937467E-40.00101372681.02010582.0E-50.0098599950.0098950290.0099148311.00200122.0E-5
7.31.3335872E-51.4906713E-52.4906563E-51.67082871.0E-55.7152483E-56.388442E-57.388378E-51.15652281.0E-56.956093E-47.77528E-47.875202E-41.01285121.0E-50.0069343590.0077493760.0077592981.00128041.0E-5
7.49.414066E-61.186096E-52.1860842E-51.84309211.0E-54.0345374E-55.083175E-56.083124E-51.19671751.0E-54.910942E-46.1871024E-46.2870403E-41.01615261.0E-50.00490010340.00617082560.00618076371.00161051.0E-5
7.57.2101157E-69.158192E-69.158192E-61.00.03.090013E-53.9248847E-53.9248847E-51.00.03.7614413E-44.7775774E-44.7775774E-41.00.00.00375508070.0047680820.0047680821.00.0
7.63.296375E-64.5455017E-64.5455017E-61.00.01.4127245E-51.9480583E-51.9480583E-51.00.01.7198564E-42.3715167E-42.3715167E-41.00.00.00171852590.00236912330.00236912331.00.0
7.72.5741092E-63.5844084E-63.5844084E-61.00.01.103185E-51.5361667E-51.5361667E-51.00.01.3430449E-41.8701357E-41.8701357E-41.00.00.00134223350.00186869180.00186869181.00.0

White Mountains

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.503579E-53.3784127E-57.378277E-52.1839484.0E-51.5014476E-41.4478175E-41.8477596E-41.2762384.0E-50.00182647960.00176141340.00181132531.02833635.0E-50.0181154030.0174868570.0175359831.00280935.0E-5
6.13.503579E-53.3784127E-57.378277E-52.1839484.0E-51.5014476E-41.4478175E-41.8477596E-41.2762384.0E-50.00182647960.00176141340.00181132531.02833635.0E-50.0181154030.0174868570.0175359831.00280935.0E-5
6.23.503579E-53.3784127E-57.378277E-52.1839484.0E-51.5014476E-41.4478175E-41.8477596E-41.2762384.0E-50.00182647960.00176141340.00181132531.02833635.0E-50.0181154030.0174868570.0175359831.00280935.0E-5
6.31.7818425E-51.591616E-54.591568E-52.8848473.0E-57.636245E-56.821041E-59.820836E-51.43978563.0E-59.293162E-48.301596E-48.7012636E-41.04814354.0E-50.0092543950.00827204250.0083117121.00479564.0E-5
6.41.7818425E-51.591616E-54.591568E-52.8848473.0E-57.636245E-56.821041E-59.820836E-51.43978563.0E-59.293162E-48.301596E-48.7012636E-41.04814354.0E-50.0092543950.00827204250.0083117121.00479564.0E-5
6.51.3397557E-51.1336374E-53.133615E-52.76421262.0E-55.741684E-54.8583595E-56.858262E-51.41164162.0E-56.988258E-45.913517E-46.2133395E-41.05070133.0E-50.0069663230.0058984870.00592830961.0050563.0E-5
6.61.0818695E-58.625434E-62.8625262E-53.3187042.0E-54.6365014E-53.6965648E-55.696491E-51.54102292.0E-55.6434784E-44.4996818E-44.6995917E-41.04442762.0E-50.0056291680.00449100740.00451091771.00443342.0E-5
6.79.067908E-66.802476E-61.6802407E-52.4700431.0E-53.8861883E-52.915316E-53.915287E-51.3430061.0E-54.7304068E-43.548851E-43.6488156E-41.02816811.0E-50.004720350.0035435010.00355346551.0028121.0E-5
6.87.295947E-64.9364285E-61.4936379E-53.0257461.0E-53.126797E-52.1155956E-53.1155745E-51.47267011.0E-53.8062103E-42.5754445E-42.6754188E-41.03881821.0E-50.00379969760.00257257280.0025825471.00387721.0E-5
6.96.2243444E-63.8322546E-61.3832216E-53.609421.0E-52.6675489E-51.6423846E-52.6423682E-51.60886071.0E-53.2472567E-41.9994251E-42.0994052E-41.05000441.0E-50.00324251570.0019976790.0020076591.00499581.0E-5
7.04.9878413E-62.679564E-61.2679538E-54.73194031.0E-52.1376287E-51.1483797E-52.1483682E-51.87078211.0E-52.602252E-41.3980652E-41.4980511E-41.07151751.0E-50.0025992070.00139721190.00140719791.00714711.0E-5
7.14.0252844E-61.885702E-61.885702E-61.00.01.7251105E-58.081555E-68.081555E-61.00.02.1001195E-49.838863E-59.838863E-51.00.00.00209813599.834635E-49.834635E-41.00.0
7.23.3284066E-61.2818929E-61.2818929E-61.00.01.4264522E-55.4938155E-65.4938155E-61.00.01.736567E-46.688525E-56.688525E-51.00.00.00173521076.6866126E-46.6866126E-41.00.0
7.32.458226E-66.056684E-76.056684E-71.00.01.0535211E-52.5957193E-62.5957193E-61.00.01.2825865E-43.160246E-53.160246E-51.00.00.00128184643.1598343E-43.1598343E-41.00.0
7.41.965953E-63.1084684E-73.1084684E-71.00.08.425486E-61.3322001E-61.3322001E-61.00.01.0257547E-41.6219417E-51.6219417E-51.00.00.00102528131.6218246E-41.6218246E-41.00.0
7.51.2014192E-61.8241002E-71.8241002E-71.00.05.148929E-67.8175697E-77.8175697E-71.00.06.2686406E-59.51785E-69.51785E-61.00.06.266873E-49.517451E-59.517451E-51.00.0
7.62.5612175E-74.893784E-84.893784E-81.00.01.0976642E-62.0973359E-72.0973359E-71.00.01.3363979E-52.5535037E-62.5535037E-61.00.01.3363175E-42.553478E-52.553478E-51.00.0

Blue Cut

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1227985E-52.2719574E-57.271844E-53.20069555.0E-59.097391E-59.73663E-51.4736142E-41.51347475.0E-50.00110704450.00118484810.00123478891.04214955.0E-50.0110154580.0117911520.0118405621.00419045.0E-5
6.12.1227985E-52.2719574E-57.271844E-53.20069555.0E-59.097391E-59.73663E-51.4736142E-41.51347475.0E-50.00110704450.00118484810.00123478891.04214955.0E-50.0110154580.0117911520.0118405621.00419045.0E-5
6.22.1227985E-52.2719574E-57.271844E-53.20069555.0E-59.097391E-59.73663E-51.4736142E-41.51347475.0E-50.00110704450.00118484810.00123478891.04214955.0E-50.0110154580.0117911520.0118405621.00419045.0E-5
6.31.1613981E-51.2353542E-55.2353047E-54.2378984.0E-54.9773254E-55.2942745E-59.294063E-51.75549324.0E-56.0582085E-46.443998E-46.84374E-41.06203334.0E-50.00604171960.00642655930.0064663021.00618424.0E-5
6.41.1613981E-51.2353542E-55.2353047E-54.2378984.0E-54.9773254E-55.2942745E-59.294063E-51.75549324.0E-56.0582085E-46.443998E-46.84374E-41.06203334.0E-50.00604171960.00642655930.0064663021.00618424.0E-5
6.58.931326E-69.4816E-64.948122E-55.21865754.0E-53.8276554E-54.0634844E-58.063322E-51.98433694.0E-54.6591737E-44.946261E-45.3460634E-41.08082914.0E-50.00464941750.0049361610.0049759641.00806344.0E-5
6.67.345353E-67.79028E-64.7789967E-56.13456444.0E-53.1479703E-53.338653E-57.338519E-52.1980484.0E-53.83198E-44.064132E-44.4639694E-41.0983824.0E-50.00382537880.00405749070.00409732851.00981834.0E-5
6.76.2775666E-66.655149E-63.665495E-55.50775773.0E-52.690358E-52.8521798E-55.8520942E-52.05179723.0E-53.2750185E-43.472051E-43.7719466E-41.08637433.0E-50.00327019630.0034673670.00349726321.0086223.0E-5
6.85.5234095E-65.8551113E-63.5854937E-56.1236983.0E-52.367154E-52.5093133E-55.509238E-52.1955163.0E-52.8816288E-43.0547334E-43.354642E-41.09817833.0E-50.0028778950.00305125050.0030811591.0098023.0E-5
6.94.7780054E-65.0654203E-62.506532E-54.94831942.0E-52.0477004E-52.1708804E-54.170837E-51.92126522.0E-52.4927902E-42.642797E-42.842744E-41.07565742.0E-50.00248999570.0026403460.00266029341.00755482.0E-5
7.03.883171E-64.118487E-62.4118404E-55.8561322.0E-51.6642054E-51.7650578E-53.7650225E-52.13308742.0E-52.0259817E-42.1488148E-42.348772E-41.09305452.0E-50.00202413560.00214741290.002167371.00929362.0E-5
7.12.8358215E-63.0097158E-62.3009656E-57.64512542.0E-51.2153464E-51.2898756E-53.2898497E-52.5505172.0E-51.4795837E-41.5703762E-41.7703447E-41.1273382.0E-50.0014785990.00156991160.00158988021.01271952.0E-5

San Diego Trough north alt1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.329252E-58.821269E-51.0821093E-41.22670472.0E-53.14073E-43.7800326E-43.979957E-41.05288962.0E-50.00381713550.00459304870.0046328651.00866884.0E-50.037522310.0450451370.0450928841.001065.0E-5
6.13.7940346E-54.4884906E-55.488446E-51.2227821.0E-51.6259136E-41.9235026E-42.0234832E-41.05197851.0E-50.00197775240.0023394310.00235938421.00852912.0E-50.0196024310.0231567320.0231860371.00126553.0E-5
6.22.8645263E-53.329672E-53.329672E-51.00.01.2275964E-41.4269259E-41.4269259E-41.00.00.00149357390.00173592060.00173592061.00.00.01483575350.0172262680.0172360951.00057051.0E-5
6.32.8645263E-53.329672E-53.329672E-51.00.01.2275964E-41.4269259E-41.4269259E-41.00.00.00149357390.00173592060.00173592061.00.00.01483575350.0172262680.0172360951.00057051.0E-5
6.42.2204576E-52.544832E-52.544832E-51.00.09.5159E-51.0905972E-41.0905972E-41.00.00.0011579450.00132700280.00132700281.00.00.0115192980.0131919590.0132018271.0007481.0E-5
6.52.1004838E-52.4024695E-52.4024695E-51.00.09.0017624E-51.0295897E-41.0295897E-41.00.00.00109541360.00125281350.00125281351.00.00.0109002960.0124585920.01246846751.00079261.0E-5
6.61.820557E-52.070479E-52.070479E-51.00.07.802154E-58.8731824E-58.8731824E-51.00.09.4949827E-40.00107977990.00107977991.00.00.0094545160.0107460050.01075589751.00092051.0E-5
6.71.5884485E-51.7983646E-51.7983646E-51.00.06.807459E-57.707051E-57.707051E-51.00.08.284929E-49.3793223E-49.3793223E-41.00.00.0082541090.0093401040.009350011.00106061.0E-5
6.81.4331171E-51.6201066E-51.6201066E-51.00.06.141786E-56.94313E-56.94313E-51.00.07.4750587E-48.450002E-48.450002E-41.00.00.00744996450.0084181390.0084280551.00117791.0E-5
6.91.2574203E-51.4205835E-51.4205835E-51.00.05.3888325E-56.0880735E-56.0880735E-51.00.06.558929E-47.409723E-47.409723E-41.00.00.00653960370.0073852030.00739512971.00134411.0E-5
7.01.0883844E-51.2289262E-51.2289262E-51.00.04.664421E-55.2667205E-55.2667205E-51.00.05.677453E-46.4103556E-46.4103556E-41.00.00.005662970.0063919930.00640192861.00155451.0E-5
7.19.393088E-61.060702E-51.060702E-51.00.04.025547E-54.545787E-54.545787E-51.00.04.900001E-45.533098E-45.533098E-41.00.00.00488921070.0055194180.00552936271.00180171.0E-5
7.28.190791E-69.258625E-69.258625E-61.00.03.510292E-53.9679224E-53.9679224E-51.00.04.2729423E-44.8298817E-44.8298817E-41.00.00.00426473560.0048194650.00482941651.0020651.0E-5
7.36.268162E-67.089716E-67.089716E-61.00.02.6863276E-53.0384144E-53.0384144E-51.00.03.2701128E-43.6986457E-43.6986457E-41.00.00.0032653050.0036925360.0037024991.00269821.0E-5
7.44.985186E-65.6426816E-65.6426816E-61.00.02.1364907E-52.4182698E-52.4182698E-51.00.02.600867E-42.9438498E-42.9438498E-41.00.00.0025978250.00293999140.0029499621.00339141.0E-5
7.51.7489613E-61.969678E-61.969678E-61.00.07.495527E-68.4414505E-68.4414505E-61.00.09.125422E-51.02770035E-41.02770035E-41.00.09.1216754E-40.00102724720.00102724721.00.0
7.61.6988751E-71.7533823E-71.7533823E-71.00.07.2808916E-77.5144936E-77.5144936E-71.00.08.864449E-69.14886E-69.14886E-61.00.08.8640954E-59.1485024E-59.1485024E-51.00.0

Bullion Mountains

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6420427E-51.4692009E-55.4691423E-53.72252824.0E-57.037136E-56.296445E-51.129613E-41.79404895.0E-58.5643446E-47.6636096E-48.1632263E-41.06519345.0E-50.0085314130.00764097460.00769059271.00649375.0E-5
6.11.6420427E-51.4692009E-55.4691423E-53.72252824.0E-57.037136E-56.296445E-51.129613E-41.79404895.0E-58.5643446E-47.6636096E-48.1632263E-41.06519345.0E-50.0085314130.00764097460.00769059271.00649375.0E-5
6.21.6420427E-51.4692009E-55.4691423E-53.72252824.0E-57.037136E-56.296445E-51.129613E-41.79404895.0E-58.5643446E-47.6636096E-48.1632263E-41.06519345.0E-50.0085314130.00764097460.00769059271.00649375.0E-5
6.31.2046778E-59.862255E-63.986196E-54.04187063.0E-55.1628023E-54.2266256E-58.226457E-51.94634154.0E-56.283899E-45.144933E-45.5447273E-41.07770634.0E-50.00626615950.00513530340.00517509831.00774924.0E-5
6.41.2046778E-59.862255E-63.986196E-54.04187063.0E-55.1628023E-54.2266256E-58.226457E-51.94634154.0E-56.283899E-45.144933E-45.5447273E-41.07770634.0E-50.00626615950.00513530340.00517509831.00774924.0E-5
6.51.0244343E-57.879378E-62.7879221E-53.53825122.0E-54.390359E-53.3768443E-56.376743E-51.88837343.0E-55.343951E-44.1107394E-44.410616E-41.07294953.0E-50.0053311180.00410516650.00413504341.00727783.0E-5
6.69.605408E-67.1774166E-62.7177273E-53.78649782.0E-54.1165385E-53.0760108E-56.0759186E-51.97525913.0E-55.010733E-43.7446033E-44.044491E-41.08008533.0E-50.004999450.00374029060.00377017841.00799073.0E-5
6.78.60418E-66.123926E-62.6123804E-54.26585872.0E-53.687454E-52.6245243E-55.6244455E-52.14303423.0E-54.48855E-43.195085E-43.494989E-41.09386423.0E-50.0044794950.00319240310.00322230721.00936733.0E-5
6.85.187994E-62.563117E-62.2563067E-58.8029792.0E-52.223407E-51.0984763E-54.0984432E-53.73102553.0E-52.7066618E-41.3373529E-41.6373127E-41.22429373.0E-50.00270336750.00133693960.00136689951.02240933.0E-5
6.94.5302368E-62.3442778E-62.2344231E-59.5313922.0E-51.9415156E-51.0046889E-54.0046587E-53.9859693.0E-52.3635388E-41.2231797E-41.523143E-41.24523233.0E-50.00236102660.00122289560.00125285891.02450193.0E-5
7.03.431668E-61.6882177E-62.1688184E-512.8467932.0E-51.4707065E-57.2352186E-63.7235E-55.14635473.0E-51.7904381E-48.808879E-51.1808614E-41.34053553.0E-50.00178899628.8088785E-49.108614E-41.03402653.0E-5

Big Pine (Central)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2706755E-51.4250602E-53.425032E-52.40342952.0E-55.4456385E-56.107279E-58.1071565E-51.32745812.0E-56.628048E-47.433441E-47.8331435E-41.05377094.0E-50.0066083140.0074136390.0074533431.00535554.0E-5
6.18.342579E-69.510835E-61.951074E-52.05142241.0E-53.5753423E-54.076021E-55.07598E-51.24532741.0E-54.3521097E-44.9616426E-45.061593E-41.02014461.0E-50.00434359630.0049541550.00496410531.00200861.0E-5
6.26.923899E-67.967221E-61.7967142E-52.25513271.0E-52.9673516E-53.4144894E-54.4144555E-51.29285961.0E-53.6121515E-44.1565404E-44.256499E-41.02404841.0E-50.0036062860.00415210940.0041620681.00239841.0E-5
6.32.728396E-63.4243646E-61.342433E-53.92023971.0E-51.1693074E-51.4675771E-52.4675624E-51.68138521.0E-51.4235388E-41.7866373E-41.8866194E-41.0559611.0E-50.00142262720.00178674330.00179672541.00558671.0E-5
6.42.7136944E-63.4086581E-61.3408624E-53.93369581.0E-51.1630066E-51.4608458E-52.4608311E-51.68452491.0E-51.4158686E-41.7784433E-41.8784255E-41.0562191.0E-50.00141496690.00177856230.00178854461.00561251.0E-5
6.52.6971882E-63.3910032E-61.3390969E-53.94896981.0E-51.1559327E-51.4532795E-52.453265E-51.68808891.0E-51.4072572E-41.7692328E-41.869215E-41.05651161.0E-50.00140636640.00176936660.00177934881.00564171.0E-5
6.62.669092E-63.3610236E-61.336099E-53.9752741.0E-51.1438916E-51.4404312E-52.4404168E-51.69422651.0E-51.3925991E-41.7535927E-41.8535751E-41.05701581.0E-50.00139172670.00175375110.00176373361.0056921.0E-5
6.72.6408059E-63.3310494E-61.3331016E-54.0020471.0E-51.1317691E-51.4275853E-52.4275709E-51.70047351.0E-51.3778417E-41.737955E-41.8379377E-41.05752891.0E-50.00137698770.00173813810.00174812081.00574331.0E-5
6.82.1786943E-62.8545066E-61.2854478E-54.50322251.0E-59.337228E-61.2233547E-52.2233424E-51.81741441.0E-51.1367482E-41.4893398E-41.5893248E-41.06713391.0E-50.00113616690.00148987040.00149985551.0067021.0E-5
6.91.4411696E-62.0685677E-61.2068547E-55.8342531.0E-56.1764263E-68.865261E-61.8865174E-52.12798831.0E-57.51954E-51.0792949E-41.1792841E-41.09264311.0E-57.5169955E-40.00108025480.0010902441.00924711.0E-5
7.01.0073411E-61.5543274E-61.1554312E-57.4336411.0E-54.317169E-66.661387E-61.666132E-52.5011791.0E-55.2560266E-58.109952E-59.109871E-51.12329531.0E-55.2547833E-48.1217213E-48.2216406E-41.01230261.0E-5
7.18.947104E-71.430316E-61.1430302E-57.99145171.0E-53.834468E-66.1299124E-61.612985E-52.63133481.0E-54.6683643E-57.462928E-58.462853E-51.13398561.0E-54.6673836E-47.4751483E-47.5750734E-41.01336771.0E-5
7.25.215166E-71.0112277E-61.0112277E-61.00.02.2350691E-64.333826E-64.333826E-61.00.02.7211627E-55.27631E-55.27631E-51.00.02.7208295E-45.289683E-45.289683E-41.00.0
7.34.4024807E-79.220183E-79.220183E-71.00.01.8867761E-63.951501E-63.951501E-61.00.02.2971257E-54.8108504E-54.8108504E-51.00.02.2968883E-44.824433E-44.824433E-41.00.0
7.43.6130905E-78.359109E-78.359109E-71.00.01.5484665E-63.5824705E-63.5824705E-61.00.01.8852415E-54.3615746E-54.3615746E-51.00.01.8850817E-44.3752496E-44.3752496E-41.00.0
7.53.408184E-78.1087245E-78.1087245E-71.00.01.4606494E-63.475163E-63.475163E-61.00.01.7783263E-54.230933E-54.230933E-51.00.01.778184E-44.2444657E-44.2444657E-41.00.0
7.63.1428627E-77.732167E-77.732167E-71.00.01.3469405E-63.313782E-63.313782E-61.00.01.6398877E-54.0344585E-54.0344585E-51.00.01.6397667E-44.0477706E-44.0477706E-41.00.0
7.71.7972785E-75.0782415E-75.0782415E-71.00.07.70262E-72.1763874E-62.1763874E-61.00.09.377899E-62.6497206E-52.6497206E-51.00.09.377503E-52.6633305E-42.6633305E-41.00.0
7.84.9230927E-81.1981747E-71.1981747E-71.00.02.1098968E-75.135033E-75.135033E-71.00.02.5687964E-66.2518866E-66.2518866E-61.00.02.5687666E-56.2971965E-56.2971965E-51.00.0
7.93.6805972E-94.1051638E-94.1051638E-91.00.01.5773987E-81.7593557E-81.7593557E-81.00.01.9204828E-72.1420155E-72.1420155E-71.00.01.920481E-62.1898923E-62.1898923E-61.00.0

San Clemente

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.681379E-58.163834E-51.1163589E-41.36744443.0E-52.8631336E-43.4983488E-43.798244E-41.08572473.0E-50.0034802940.004251410.004291241.00936874.0E-50.034262910.041756030.041794361.00091794.0E-5
6.16.681379E-58.163834E-51.1163589E-41.36744443.0E-52.8631336E-43.4983488E-43.798244E-41.08572473.0E-50.0034802940.004251410.004291241.00936874.0E-50.034262910.041756030.041794361.00091794.0E-5
6.23.9400576E-54.6452373E-54.6452373E-51.00.01.6884868E-41.9906677E-41.9906677E-41.00.00.00205379450.00242099840.00243097431.00412051.0E-50.0203491670.0239529030.0239626631.00040751.0E-5
6.33.2590255E-53.792912E-53.792912E-51.00.01.3966505E-41.6254342E-41.6254342E-41.00.00.00169909560.00197720020.00197720021.00.00.016861630.0195998830.0195998831.00.0
6.42.9454652E-53.4097764E-53.4097764E-51.00.01.2622811E-41.4612524E-41.4612524E-41.00.00.00153574380.00177764930.00177764931.00.00.0152517390.017637470.017637471.00.0
6.52.790836E-53.2247463E-53.2247463E-51.00.01.1960178E-41.3819624E-41.3819624E-41.00.00.0014551790.00168126620.00168126621.00.00.0144568680.0166884850.0166884851.00.0
6.62.2492153E-52.5762702E-52.5762702E-51.00.09.639138E-51.1040699E-41.1040699E-41.00.00.00117293310.00134339090.00134339091.00.00.0116676150.0133544170.0133544171.00.0
6.71.9862755E-52.2666423E-52.2666423E-51.00.08.512331E-59.713826E-59.713826E-51.00.00.00103588360.00118202790.00118202791.00.00.0103106820.0117587010.0117587011.00.0
6.81.6697575E-51.897771E-51.897771E-51.00.07.155907E-58.133056E-58.133056E-51.00.08.7088346E-49.897591E-49.897591E-41.00.00.0086747840.00985453650.00985453651.00.0
6.91.5218415E-51.72694E-51.72694E-51.00.06.522015E-57.4009666E-57.4009666E-51.00.07.93766E-49.00704E-49.00704E-41.00.00.0079093670.0089714810.0089714811.00.0
7.01.2392958E-51.4033016E-51.4033016E-51.00.05.3111595E-56.014015E-56.014015E-51.00.06.4644177E-47.319679E-47.319679E-41.00.00.00644564540.00729635640.00729635641.00.0
7.11.0934128E-51.2375138E-51.2375138E-51.00.04.6859706E-55.303527E-55.303527E-51.00.05.7036756E-46.455204E-46.455204E-41.00.00.00568905850.00643719970.00643719971.00.0
7.29.5798805E-61.0844935E-51.0844935E-51.00.04.1055984E-54.6477508E-54.6477508E-51.00.04.9974193E-45.657239E-45.657239E-41.00.00.00498619630.00564356150.00564356151.00.0
7.38.0167365E-69.083918E-69.083918E-61.00.03.4356988E-53.8930535E-53.8930535E-51.00.04.1821605E-44.7388324E-44.7388324E-41.00.00.00417429860.00472942970.00472942971.00.0
7.42.9581017E-63.3623792E-63.3623792E-61.00.01.2677518E-51.4410146E-51.4410146E-51.00.01.5433785E-41.7543444E-41.7543444E-41.00.00.0015423070.00175345460.00175345461.00.0

Big Pine (East)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.916913E-61.28172705E-55.281676E-54.1207494.0E-54.250036E-55.493013E-59.4927935E-51.72815794.0E-55.173191E-46.685912E-47.085645E-41.05978734.0E-50.00516116430.0066704490.0067101821.00595664.0E-5
6.19.916913E-61.28172705E-55.281676E-54.1207494.0E-54.250036E-55.493013E-59.4927935E-51.72815794.0E-55.173191E-46.685912E-47.085645E-41.05978734.0E-50.00516116430.0066704490.0067101821.00595664.0E-5
6.29.916913E-61.28172705E-55.281676E-54.1207494.0E-54.250036E-55.493013E-59.4927935E-51.72815794.0E-55.173191E-46.685912E-47.085645E-41.05978734.0E-50.00516116430.0066704490.0067101821.00595664.0E-5
6.35.479711E-68.1132375E-64.8112914E-55.93017444.0E-52.3484265E-53.4770575E-57.476918E-52.1503584.0E-52.858834E-44.232527E-44.6323577E-41.09446624.0E-50.00285515890.00422725130.0042670821.00942244.0E-5
6.45.465009E-68.0975315E-64.809721E-55.93973734.0E-52.3421257E-53.4703262E-57.470187E-52.15258934.0E-52.851165E-44.2243348E-44.624166E-41.09464944.0E-50.00284750970.004219090.00425892141.00944074.0E-5
6.54.826767E-67.4225877E-64.742229E-56.38891654.0E-52.068598E-53.1810716E-57.1809445E-52.2573984.0E-52.518227E-43.8722943E-44.2721393E-41.10325794.0E-50.00251537510.00386829070.0039081361.01030054.0E-5
6.64.3146847E-66.8825234E-64.6882247E-56.8117824.0E-51.8491375E-52.949621E-56.949503E-52.35606654.0E-52.2510924E-43.5905963E-43.9904527E-41.11136214.0E-50.00224881340.00358750620.00362736271.01110984.0E-5
6.73.6968106E-65.9957474E-63.5995567E-56.0035163.0E-51.5843378E-52.5695816E-55.5695047E-52.16747523.0E-51.9287605E-43.128032E-43.427938E-41.09587693.0E-50.00192708730.00312624990.0031561561.00956623.0E-5
6.83.4671132E-65.7024477E-63.5702276E-56.26086853.0E-51.4858972E-52.4438841E-55.4438107E-52.2275243.0E-51.8089297E-42.9750372E-43.2749478E-41.10080913.0E-50.00180745790.00297366660.00300357751.01005853.0E-5
6.92.7686972E-64.8254797E-62.4825384E-55.14464572.0E-51.1865792E-52.0680467E-54.0680054E-51.96707622.0E-51.4445644E-42.5175634E-42.717513E-41.07942192.0E-50.00144362570.0025172560.00253720561.00792522.0E-5
7.02.1472624E-63.985277E-61.3985237E-53.50922581.0E-59.20252E-61.707965E-52.7079479E-51.58548211.0E-51.12034926E-42.0792543E-42.1792336E-41.04808411.0E-50.00111978450.00207982380.0020898031.0047981.0E-5
7.11.7018335E-63.3450835E-61.334505E-53.9894521.0E-57.293552E-61.4335996E-52.4335852E-51.69753481.0E-58.879537E-51.7452713E-41.8452539E-41.05728771.0E-58.87599E-40.00174637920.00175636171.00571611.0E-5
7.21.25603E-62.794679E-62.794679E-61.00.05.3829745E-61.1977142E-51.1977142E-51.00.06.553574E-51.4581217E-41.4581217E-41.00.06.551642E-40.00145961730.00145961731.00.0
7.31.112297E-62.610519E-62.610519E-61.00.04.7669787E-61.1187892E-51.1187892E-51.00.05.803642E-51.3620428E-41.3620428E-41.00.05.802127E-40.0013635020.0013635021.00.0
7.41.0137181E-62.4836752E-62.4836752E-61.00.04.3444993E-61.064428E-51.064428E-51.00.05.2892992E-51.2958662E-41.2958662E-41.00.05.288041E-40.00129719180.00129719181.00.0
7.59.598608E-72.407328E-62.407328E-61.00.04.1136827E-61.03170805E-51.03170805E-51.00.05.0082934E-51.2560343E-41.2560343E-41.00.05.007165E-40.00125721320.00125721321.00.0
7.67.929459E-72.0450152E-62.0450152E-61.00.03.3983351E-68.764322E-68.764322E-61.00.04.1373947E-51.0670057E-41.0670057E-41.00.04.1366243E-40.00106858250.00106858251.00.0
7.74.155788E-71.1606729E-61.1606729E-61.00.01.7810507E-64.974303E-64.974303E-61.00.02.1684076E-56.05605E-56.05605E-51.00.02.1681961E-46.085995E-46.085995E-41.00.0
7.81.14666925E-72.592197E-72.592197E-71.00.04.914296E-71.1109411E-61.1109411E-61.00.05.9831386E-61.3525627E-51.3525627E-51.00.05.9829777E-51.3636416E-41.3636416E-41.00.0
7.92.9231824E-84.1462318E-84.1462318E-81.00.01.2527924E-71.7769564E-71.7769564E-71.00.01.5252737E-62.1634426E-62.1634426E-61.00.01.5252632E-52.197062E-52.197062E-51.00.0

Pine Mtn

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.894797E-67.2254716E-63.7225254E-55.1519483.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-56.0965027E-51.96877593.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.0693698E-41.07955653.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.00379327361.00794153.0E-5
6.16.894797E-67.2254716E-63.7225254E-55.1519483.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-56.0965027E-51.96877593.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.0693698E-41.07955653.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.00379327361.00794153.0E-5
6.26.894797E-67.2254716E-63.7225254E-55.1519483.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-56.0965027E-51.96877593.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.0693698E-41.07955653.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.00379327361.00794153.0E-5
6.36.894797E-67.2254716E-63.7225254E-55.1519483.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-56.0965027E-51.96877593.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.0693698E-41.07955653.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.00379327361.00794153.0E-5
6.46.894797E-67.2254716E-63.7225254E-55.1519483.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-56.0965027E-51.96877593.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.0693698E-41.07955653.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.00379327361.00794153.0E-5
6.56.894797E-67.2254716E-63.7225254E-55.1519483.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-56.0965027E-51.96877593.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.0693698E-41.07955653.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.00379327361.00794153.0E-5
6.66.894797E-67.2254716E-63.7225254E-55.1519483.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-56.0965027E-51.96877593.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.0693698E-41.07955653.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.00379327361.00794153.0E-5
6.76.0867933E-66.397124E-62.6396996E-54.1263852.0E-52.6085996E-52.7415968E-54.741542E-51.72948182.0E-53.1755073E-43.337405E-43.537338E-41.05990682.0E-50.00317097340.00333261190.00335254521.00598132.0E-5
6.85.6530425E-65.950606E-62.5950487E-54.36098242.0E-52.42271E-52.5502359E-54.550185E-51.78422122.0E-52.94925E-43.1044905E-43.3044282E-41.06440282.0E-50.0029453390.00310035820.00312029621.00643092.0E-5
6.94.6015225E-64.8638444E-62.4863748E-55.11195372.0E-51.9720663E-52.084489E-54.0844472E-51.95944772.0E-52.4007261E-42.5375842E-42.7375337E-41.07879512.0E-50.00239813420.0025348310.002554781.00787012.0E-5
7.04.4875965E-64.7474837E-62.4747389E-55.2127382.0E-51.9232413E-52.0346208E-54.03458E-51.98296422.0E-52.3412947E-42.4768838E-42.676834E-41.08072662.0E-50.00233882950.00247426680.00249421741.00806322.0E-5
7.13.203907E-63.42942E-61.3429386E-53.9159351.0E-51.3730958E-51.4697435E-52.4697289E-51.68038081.0E-51.6716159E-41.7892725E-41.8892546E-41.05587861.0E-50.00167035890.0017878980.00179788021.00558321.0E-5
7.22.2060601E-62.3784874E-62.3784874E-61.00.09.4545085E-61.019348E-51.019348E-51.00.01.15102564E-41.2409901E-41.2409901E-41.00.00.00115042960.00124034190.00124034191.00.0
7.31.3765207E-61.5216535E-61.5216535E-61.00.05.899361E-66.5213567E-66.5213567E-61.00.07.182235E-57.939472E-57.939472E-51.00.07.1799144E-47.9367263E-47.9367263E-41.00.0
7.41.1245983E-61.2587126E-61.2587126E-61.00.04.819698E-65.394472E-65.394472E-61.00.05.8678244E-56.56758E-56.56758E-51.00.05.866275E-46.565722E-46.565722E-41.00.0
7.58.031682E-79.276999E-79.276999E-71.00.03.4421448E-63.975851E-63.975851E-61.00.04.1907308E-54.840498E-54.840498E-51.00.04.1899405E-44.8395112E-44.8395112E-41.00.0
7.64.8953444E-76.0030544E-76.0030544E-71.00.02.098003E-62.5727354E-62.5727354E-61.00.02.5542888E-53.1322652E-53.1322652E-51.00.02.5539953E-43.1318725E-43.1318725E-41.00.0
7.76.634529E-86.788826E-86.788826E-81.00.02.843369E-72.9094966E-72.9094966E-71.00.03.4617963E-63.5423066E-63.5423066E-61.00.03.4617424E-53.542255E-53.542255E-51.00.0
7.89.235578E-99.488566E-99.488566E-91.00.03.9581046E-84.0665284E-84.0665284E-81.00.04.818991E-74.950997E-74.950997E-71.00.04.8189804E-64.950988E-64.950988E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (Clark) rev

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.482615E-52.1153059E-55.1152423E-52.41820453.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.2065015E-41.33090273.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.0011331161.02716483.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115153641.0025823.0E-5
6.14.482615E-52.1153059E-55.1152423E-52.41820453.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.2065015E-41.33090273.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.0011331161.02716483.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115153641.0025823.0E-5
6.24.482615E-52.1153059E-55.1152423E-52.41820453.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.2065015E-41.33090273.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.0011331161.02716483.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115153641.0025823.0E-5
6.34.482615E-52.1153059E-55.1152423E-52.41820453.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.2065015E-41.33090273.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.0011331161.02716483.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115153641.0025823.0E-5
6.44.482615E-52.1153059E-55.1152423E-52.41820453.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.2065015E-41.33090273.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.0011331161.02716483.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115153641.0025823.0E-5
6.53.7294863E-51.7354667E-54.7354144E-52.72861173.0E-51.5982533E-47.437504E-51.0437281E-41.4033313.0E-50.00194413669.051445E-49.351173E-41.03311383.0E-50.019272160.0094859020.0095156181.00313263.0E-5
6.63.7294863E-51.7354667E-54.7354144E-52.72861173.0E-51.5982533E-47.437504E-51.0437281E-41.4033313.0E-50.00194413669.051445E-49.351173E-41.03311383.0E-50.019272160.0094859020.0095156181.00313263.0E-5
6.73.6039248E-51.6602684E-54.6602185E-52.80690673.0E-51.5444479E-47.115244E-51.01150305E-41.42163.0E-50.00187874348.659408E-48.9591485E-41.03461443.0E-50.018629390.0090881890.0091179161.0032713.0E-5
6.83.5031844E-51.6231123E-54.6230634E-52.8482713.0E-51.5012783E-46.956012E-59.9558034E-51.43125153.0E-50.00182627398.4656954E-48.765441E-41.03540723.0E-50.018113380.0088887880.0089185211.0033453.0E-5
6.93.435112E-51.6061658E-54.6061177E-52.8677723.0E-51.4721078E-46.8833884E-59.883182E-51.43580193.0E-50.00179081788.377344E-48.677093E-41.03578093.0E-50.0177645480.0087965120.0088262481.00338043.0E-5
7.02.8959772E-51.43355255E-54.4335095E-53.09267333.0E-51.241074E-46.1436534E-59.143469E-51.48827873.0E-50.00150996037.477359E-47.7771343E-41.04009123.0E-50.0149974160.0078683310.0078980951.00378273.0E-5
7.12.6002877E-51.2827699E-54.2827312E-53.3386593.0E-51.11436144E-45.4974706E-58.497306E-51.54567553.0E-50.00135589076.6911365E-46.9909357E-41.04480543.0E-50.0134764750.00704834330.0070781321.00422633.0E-5
7.22.2544838E-51.1260331E-54.1259995E-53.664193.0E-59.661716E-54.825768E-57.8256235E-51.62163273.0E-50.0011756795.873803E-46.173627E-41.05104423.0E-50.0116947850.006192560.00622237431.00481453.0E-5
7.31.75334E-51.0810585E-54.081026E-53.7750283.0E-57.514098E-54.6330264E-57.632888E-51.64749493.0E-59.144575E-45.6392635E-45.9390947E-41.05316843.0E-50.0091070360.00593321960.00596304141.00502623.0E-5
7.41.5924552E-51.0610475E-54.0610157E-53.82736473.0E-56.82463E-54.547268E-57.547132E-51.65970683.0E-58.305819E-45.534906E-45.83474E-41.05417143.0E-50.0082748440.00582058630.00585041151.00512413.0E-5
7.51.3428931E-59.851045E-63.985075E-54.0453323.0E-55.7551293E-54.221809E-57.221682E-51.71056593.0E-57.004617E-45.1388505E-45.438697E-41.05834883.0E-50.0069825790.0054062090.00543604651.00551923.0E-5
7.61.0688787E-58.614091E-63.861383E-54.4826363.0E-54.5808283E-53.6917012E-56.6915905E-51.81260353.0E-55.5757316E-44.4937237E-44.793589E-41.06672983.0E-50.0055617620.00474136140.0047712191.00629733.0E-5
7.78.81236E-67.4673385E-63.7467114E-55.01746563.0E-53.776671E-53.200249E-56.200153E-51.93739713.0E-54.597127E-43.8956082E-44.1954915E-41.07697983.0E-50.00458762840.00413441940.00416429531.00722613.0E-5
7.87.780431E-66.695928E-63.669573E-55.4803053.0E-53.3344273E-52.8696519E-55.8695656E-52.0453933.0E-54.0589093E-43.4932428E-43.793138E-41.08585013.0E-50.00405150370.00372262720.00375251541.00802893.0E-5
7.96.5437994E-65.7797783E-63.5779605E-56.19048073.0E-52.8044553E-52.4770245E-55.47695E-52.21110063.0E-53.4138895E-43.0153614E-43.3152712E-41.09946063.0E-50.00340864950.00323432940.00326423231.00924553.0E-5
8.05.4488164E-64.812793E-63.481265E-57.23335653.0E-52.3351862E-52.0626094E-55.0625476E-52.45443843.0E-52.8427184E-42.510939E-42.8108637E-41.11944723.0E-50.00283908450.00271070380.00274062231.01103723.0E-5
8.12.8397242E-61.3665673E-61.1366554E-58.31759551.0E-51.217019E-55.856704E-61.5856645E-52.70743511.0E-51.4816198E-47.1303046E-58.1302336E-51.14023651.0E-50.00148063258.113543E-48.213462E-41.0123151.0E-5
8.22.030244E-66.3151083E-76.3151083E-71.00.08.701017E-62.7064723E-62.7064723E-61.00.01.05929736E-43.2950808E-53.2950808E-51.00.00.00105879253.9470522E-43.9470522E-41.00.0
8.31.0659804E-62.9230563E-72.9230563E-71.00.04.568479E-61.2527379E-61.2527379E-61.00.05.5619817E-51.5251981E-51.5251981E-51.00.05.5605895E-41.8556409E-41.8556409E-41.00.0

Chino alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.939946E-54.894798E-55.894749E-51.20428851.0E-51.6884391E-42.0976314E-42.1976103E-41.04766291.0E-50.00205373620.0025513850.00258130861.01172833.0E-50.0203485950.0252801680.025309411.00115673.0E-5
6.12.1505624E-52.6878823E-53.6878555E-51.37203011.0E-59.2163704E-51.15190494E-41.2518934E-41.08680271.0E-50.00112151540.00140165170.00141163761.00712441.0E-50.0111587220.0139474250.0139572851.0007071.0E-5
6.22.1505624E-52.6878823E-53.6878555E-51.37203011.0E-59.2163704E-51.15190494E-41.2518934E-41.08680271.0E-50.00112151540.00140165170.00141163761.00712441.0E-50.0111587220.0139474250.0139572851.0007071.0E-5
6.31.4290785E-51.8164832E-52.816465E-51.55050431.0E-56.1244784E-57.784722E-58.7846434E-51.12844671.0E-57.454001E-49.4742293E-49.5741346E-41.01054491.0E-50.0074290480.009446740.0094566461.00104861.0E-5
6.41.4290785E-51.8164832E-52.816465E-51.55050431.0E-56.1244784E-57.784722E-58.7846434E-51.12844671.0E-57.454001E-49.4742293E-49.5741346E-41.01054491.0E-50.0074290480.009446740.0094566461.00104861.0E-5
6.51.3017944E-51.6651793E-52.6651625E-51.6005261.0E-55.5789995E-57.1363116E-58.136241E-51.14011841.0E-56.790315E-48.6854334E-48.785347E-41.01150361.0E-50.00676960360.0086642330.0086741461.00114421.0E-5
6.69.470016E-61.2039209E-52.2039088E-51.83060931.0E-54.058515E-55.159578E-56.159527E-51.19380431.0E-54.940122E-46.280315E-46.3802523E-41.01591281.0E-50.0049291540.0062732480.0062831851.0015841.0E-5
6.78.314155E-61.040749E-52.0407386E-51.96083641.0E-53.5631605E-54.4602948E-55.4602504E-51.22419051.0E-54.3372845E-45.4293784E-45.529324E-41.01840831.0E-50.0043288290.00542708070.00543702631.00183261.0E-5
6.83.4856364E-63.8134033E-63.8134033E-61.00.01.4938357E-51.6343065E-51.6343065E-51.00.01.8185932E-41.9896074E-41.9896074E-41.00.00.00181710560.00198945290.00198945291.00.0
6.92.2645952E-62.152909E-62.152909E-61.00.09.705372E-69.226722E-69.226722E-61.00.01.18156495E-41.12329755E-41.12329755E-41.00.00.00118093690.00112331380.00112331381.00.0
7.01.7864003E-61.5430741E-61.5430741E-61.00.07.655979E-66.613158E-66.613158E-61.00.09.3207556E-58.051228E-58.051228E-51.00.09.316847E-48.052856E-48.052856E-41.00.0
7.11.7315456E-61.4733466E-61.4733466E-61.00.07.420889E-66.314328E-66.314328E-61.00.09.034557E-57.687428E-57.687428E-51.00.09.0308854E-47.68921E-47.68921E-41.00.0
7.21.6008337E-61.3574178E-61.3574178E-61.00.06.860698E-65.817492E-65.817492E-61.00.08.352579E-57.082572E-57.082572E-51.00.08.34944E-47.0846075E-47.0846075E-41.00.0
7.31.3320939E-61.1217794E-61.1217794E-61.00.05.7089615E-64.8076176E-64.8076176E-61.00.06.9504385E-55.853122E-55.853122E-51.00.06.9482654E-45.8530655E-45.8530655E-41.00.0
7.41.114294E-69.237087E-79.237087E-71.00.04.775537E-63.9587458E-63.9587458E-61.00.05.8140613E-54.81967E-54.81967E-51.00.05.81254E-44.8187698E-44.8187698E-41.00.0
7.59.354081E-77.6233886E-77.6233886E-71.00.04.0088858E-63.2671626E-63.2671626E-61.00.04.8807087E-53.9777013E-53.9777013E-51.00.04.879637E-43.9770233E-43.9770233E-41.00.0
7.68.521771E-76.880688E-76.880688E-71.00.03.6521824E-62.948863E-62.948863E-61.00.04.4464414E-53.590185E-53.590185E-51.00.04.4455516E-43.5896365E-43.5896365E-41.00.0
7.72.1803626E-71.4186368E-71.4186368E-71.00.09.344408E-76.0798715E-76.0798715E-71.00.01.1376757E-57.4022278E-67.4022278E-61.00.01.13761744E-47.402077E-57.402077E-51.00.0

Ventura-Pitas Point

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.3179622E-53.373519E-55.373451E-51.59283282.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.7456847E-41.20747793.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00178895691.0170253.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.0175059741.00168663.0E-5
6.13.3179622E-53.373519E-55.373451E-51.59283282.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.7456847E-41.20747793.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00178895691.0170253.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.0175059741.00168663.0E-5
6.23.3179622E-53.373519E-55.373451E-51.59283282.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.7456847E-41.20747793.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00178895691.0170253.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.0175059741.00168663.0E-5
6.33.3179622E-53.373519E-55.373451E-51.59283282.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.7456847E-41.20747793.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00178895691.0170253.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.0175059741.00168663.0E-5
6.41.8754668E-51.7019594E-52.7019423E-51.58754811.0E-58.037467E-57.2939205E-58.293848E-51.13709041.0E-59.781223E-48.8769617E-48.976873E-41.01125511.0E-50.0097382820.0088439430.0088538541.00112071.0E-5
6.51.8754668E-51.7019594E-52.7019423E-51.58754811.0E-58.037467E-57.2939205E-58.293848E-51.13709041.0E-59.781223E-48.8769617E-48.976873E-41.01125511.0E-50.0097382820.0088439430.0088538541.00112071.0E-5
6.61.4361558E-51.2122258E-51.2122258E-51.00.06.154808E-55.1951512E-55.1951512E-51.00.07.490902E-46.323284E-46.323284E-41.00.00.00746570160.0063056520.0063056521.00.0
6.71.4361558E-51.2122258E-51.2122258E-51.00.06.154808E-55.1951512E-55.1951512E-51.00.07.490902E-46.323284E-46.323284E-41.00.00.00746570160.0063056520.0063056521.00.0
6.81.3663846E-51.1344401E-51.1344401E-51.00.05.8558027E-54.8617967E-54.8617967E-51.00.07.127108E-45.917649E-45.917649E-41.00.00.0071042930.00590221070.00590221071.00.0
6.91.3644157E-51.1322501E-51.1322501E-51.00.05.8473648E-54.8524114E-54.8524114E-51.00.07.116841E-45.906229E-45.906229E-41.00.00.0070940920.00589085140.00589085141.00.0
7.01.3568845E-51.12420685E-51.12420685E-51.00.05.8150898E-54.8179416E-54.8179416E-51.00.07.077572E-45.8642845E-45.8642845E-41.00.00.0070550730.0058491280.0058491281.00.0
7.11.306572E-51.0720521E-51.0720521E-51.00.05.599474E-54.594429E-54.594429E-51.00.06.815227E-45.5923004E-45.5923004E-41.00.00.00679436370.0055785360.0055785361.00.0
7.21.232604E-59.995121E-69.995121E-61.00.05.2824813E-54.283554E-54.283554E-51.00.06.429523E-45.2139966E-45.2139966E-41.00.00.00641095270.0052020590.0052020591.00.0
7.31.0917261E-58.843812E-68.843812E-61.00.04.678742E-53.7901507E-53.7901507E-51.00.05.69488E-44.6135474E-44.6135474E-41.00.00.00568030770.0046042390.0046042391.00.0
7.41.039959E-58.42354E-68.42354E-61.00.04.456891E-53.6100395E-53.6100395E-51.00.05.424914E-44.394352E-44.394352E-41.00.00.00541168960.00438592770.00438592771.00.0
7.59.015877E-67.29752E-67.29752E-61.00.03.86389E-53.1274718E-53.1274718E-51.00.04.7032707E-43.8070456E-43.8070456E-41.00.00.0046933290.0038007720.0038007721.00.0
7.64.900162E-63.874119E-63.874119E-61.00.02.1000526E-51.6603262E-51.6603262E-51.00.02.556514E-42.0212609E-42.0212609E-41.00.00.00255357470.0020194360.0020194361.00.0
7.73.8850626E-63.12676E-63.12676E-61.00.01.6650163E-51.3400332E-51.3400332E-51.00.02.0269687E-41.6313691E-41.6313691E-41.00.00.0020251210.00163018090.00163018091.00.0
7.82.4654719E-62.029902E-62.029902E-61.00.01.0566265E-58.699551E-68.699551E-61.00.01.2863669E-41.0591193E-41.0591193E-41.00.00.00128562250.00105861920.00105861921.00.0
7.94.095894E-73.2765078E-73.2765078E-71.00.01.7553821E-61.4042168E-61.4042168E-61.00.02.1371567E-51.709621E-51.709621E-51.00.02.1369511E-41.7094925E-41.7094925E-41.00.0
8.07.791402E-95.6836056E-95.6836056E-91.00.03.3391725E-82.4358311E-82.4358311E-81.00.04.0654416E-72.965624E-72.965624E-71.00.04.065434E-62.9656223E-62.9656223E-61.00.0

Simi-Santa Rosa

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.198912E-52.2275388E-55.227472E-52.34674793.0E-59.4235686E-59.54627E-51.2545985E-41.31422893.0E-50.00114671560.00116168250.00119164771.02579463.0E-50.0114081630.0115605470.01159020051.0025653.0E-5
6.12.198912E-52.2275388E-55.227472E-52.34674793.0E-59.4235686E-59.54627E-51.2545985E-41.31422893.0E-50.00114671560.00116168250.00119164771.02579463.0E-50.0114081630.0115605470.01159020051.0025653.0E-5
6.21.69983E-51.6668506E-54.6668007E-52.79977133.0E-57.284782E-57.143466E-51.0143252E-41.41993423.0E-58.865613E-48.6939917E-48.993731E-41.03447663.0E-50.0088303270.00866290.008692641.0034333.0E-5
6.31.69983E-51.6668506E-54.6668007E-52.79977133.0E-57.284782E-57.143466E-51.0143252E-41.41993423.0E-58.865613E-48.6939917E-48.993731E-41.03447663.0E-50.0088303270.00866290.008692641.0034333.0E-5
6.41.4666188E-51.4052489E-53.405221E-52.42321542.0E-56.285358E-56.0223705E-58.02225E-51.33207512.0E-57.6497364E-47.330018E-47.5298717E-41.02726512.0E-50.00762345640.00730831640.007328171.00271672.0E-5
6.51.4666188E-51.4052489E-53.405221E-52.42321542.0E-56.285358E-56.0223705E-58.02225E-51.33207512.0E-57.6497364E-47.330018E-47.5298717E-41.02726512.0E-50.00762345640.00730831640.007328171.00271672.0E-5
6.61.4377586E-51.3729529E-52.3729392E-51.72834711.0E-56.1616774E-55.883965E-56.8839065E-51.16994351.0E-57.4992597E-47.1616215E-47.26155E-41.01395331.0E-50.0074740030.00714101040.0071509391.00139031.0E-5
6.71.3881404E-51.3207497E-52.3207365E-51.75713571.0E-55.9490372E-55.6602472E-56.6601904E-51.17666081.0E-57.240546E-46.889419E-46.98935E-41.0145051.0E-50.0072170.00687051050.0068804421.00144551.0E-5
6.81.0176516E-59.1541E-69.1541E-61.00.04.3612912E-53.923136E-53.923136E-51.00.05.308578E-44.775537E-44.775537E-41.00.00.00529591460.0047669080.0047669081.00.0
6.99.699797E-68.774672E-68.774672E-61.00.04.15699E-53.760529E-53.760529E-51.00.05.05996E-44.5776463E-44.5776463E-41.00.00.0050484540.00456983460.00456983461.00.0
7.07.4049476E-66.559291E-66.559291E-61.00.03.1735104E-52.8111013E-52.8111013E-51.00.03.8630638E-43.422105E-43.422105E-41.00.00.00385635530.00341807750.00341807751.00.0
7.13.873439E-62.759473E-62.759473E-61.00.01.6600346E-51.1826261E-51.1826261E-51.00.02.0209046E-41.4397544E-41.4397544E-41.00.00.00201906780.00143884530.00143884531.00.0
7.23.417706E-62.367616E-62.367616E-61.00.01.4647229E-51.0146887E-51.0146887E-51.00.01.7831543E-41.2353157E-41.2353157E-41.00.00.00178172420.00123465130.00123465131.00.0
7.31.90225E-61.4073756E-61.4073756E-61.00.08.152474E-66.031596E-66.031596E-61.00.09.9251854E-57.343223E-57.343223E-51.00.09.920754E-47.340819E-47.340819E-41.00.0
7.41.5170556E-61.1024792E-61.1024792E-61.00.06.5016507E-64.7249023E-64.7249023E-61.00.07.915472E-55.752418E-55.752418E-51.00.07.9126534E-45.75094E-45.75094E-41.00.0
7.51.178732E-68.5351127E-78.5351127E-71.00.05.0516987E-63.6579004E-63.6579004E-61.00.06.1502695E-54.4534037E-54.4534037E-51.00.06.148568E-44.4525208E-44.4525208E-41.00.0
7.66.8722386E-74.793211E-74.793211E-71.00.02.9452417E-62.0542318E-62.0542318E-61.00.03.5857727E-52.5009986E-52.5009986E-51.00.03.5851944E-42.5007184E-42.5007184E-41.00.0
7.75.5126515E-73.6731117E-73.6731117E-71.00.02.3625628E-61.5741898E-61.5741898E-61.00.02.8763823E-51.9165593E-51.9165593E-51.00.02.87601E-41.9163951E-41.9163951E-41.00.0
7.83.3860243E-72.0075514E-72.0075514E-71.00.01.4511525E-68.6037886E-78.6037886E-71.00.01.7667637E-51.0475063E-51.0475063E-51.00.01.7666233E-41.0474575E-41.0474575E-41.00.0
7.92.7955386E-71.4648724E-71.4648724E-71.00.01.1980875E-66.278023E-76.278023E-71.00.01.4586617E-57.643467E-67.643467E-61.00.01.458566E-47.643208E-57.643208E-51.00.0
8.05.6259015E-83.335318E-83.335318E-81.00.02.4111003E-71.429422E-71.429422E-71.00.02.9355108E-61.7403199E-61.7403199E-61.00.02.935472E-51.7403077E-51.7403077E-51.00.0

Sheephole

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5579695E-64.7412627E-63.474112E-57.32739833.0E-51.9534009E-52.031957E-55.031896E-52.47637923.0E-52.3780059E-42.473682E-42.7736078E-41.12124673.0E-50.00237546280.0024714730.0025013991.01210863.0E-5
6.14.5579695E-64.7412627E-63.474112E-57.32739833.0E-51.9534009E-52.031957E-55.031896E-52.47637923.0E-52.3780059E-42.473682E-42.7736078E-41.12124673.0E-50.00237546280.0024714730.0025013991.01210863.0E-5
6.22.6677674E-62.7873941E-61.2787366E-54.587571.0E-51.1433239E-51.1945926E-52.1945807E-51.83709541.0E-51.3919079E-41.4543302E-41.5543157E-41.06875011.0E-50.00139103640.00145348440.00146346981.006871.0E-5
6.32.6677674E-62.7873941E-61.2787366E-54.587571.0E-51.1433239E-51.1945926E-52.1945807E-51.83709541.0E-51.3919079E-41.4543302E-41.5543157E-41.06875011.0E-50.00139103640.00145348440.00146346981.006871.0E-5
6.42.2159759E-62.3228788E-61.2322856E-55.3049931.0E-59.497005E-69.955161E-61.9955061E-52.00449421.0E-51.156199E-41.2119815E-41.3119694E-41.08249951.0E-50.00115559760.00121139990.00122138781.00824491.0E-5
6.52.1986082E-62.304759E-61.2304736E-55.33883861.0E-59.4225725E-69.877506E-61.9877407E-52.01239131.0E-51.1471378E-41.2025281E-41.302516E-41.08314811.0E-50.00114654580.00120195660.00121194461.00830971.0E-5
6.61.5232331E-61.6018919E-61.16018755E-57.24260851.0E-56.5281256E-66.865234E-61.6865166E-52.45660471.0E-57.947703E-58.35812E-59.358037E-51.11963421.0E-57.9448614E-48.3551643E-48.4550807E-41.01195861.0E-5
6.71.3137362E-61.382819E-61.13828055E-58.2315941.0E-55.6302856E-65.926355E-61.5926295E-52.6873681.0E-56.854657E-57.215112E-58.21504E-51.1385881.0E-56.8525434E-47.212908E-47.312836E-41.0138541.0E-5
6.81.2275751E-61.2922847E-61.1292272E-58.7382231.0E-55.2610258E-65.5383516E-61.5538297E-52.80558131.0E-56.4051106E-56.7427485E-57.7426805E-51.14829741.0E-56.4032647E-46.740836E-46.8407686E-41.0148251.0E-5
6.91.1837088E-61.246102E-61.1246089E-59.0250151.0E-55.0730278E-65.340427E-61.5340374E-52.87249951.0E-56.176237E-56.501789E-57.501724E-51.15379381.0E-56.17452E-46.5000186E-46.5999536E-41.01537451.0E-5
7.09.849371E-71.0366288E-61.1036618E-510.6466451.0E-54.2211523E-64.442688E-61.4442643E-53.25087951.0E-55.1391315E-55.4088487E-56.4087944E-51.18487231.0E-55.137943E-45.407633E-45.5075786E-41.01848231.0E-5
7.18.1643645E-78.591669E-71.08591585E-512.6391731.0E-53.4990085E-63.682139E-61.3682103E-53.71580271.0E-54.2599597E-54.482921E-55.482876E-51.22305881.0E-54.259143E-44.4821028E-44.5820582E-41.0223011.0E-5
7.25.7295756E-76.029502E-76.029502E-71.00.02.45553E-62.58407E-62.58407E-61.00.02.9895667E-53.1460666E-53.1460666E-51.00.02.9891645E-43.145688E-43.145688E-41.00.0

Whittier alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.2554693E-54.7252182E-57.725076E-51.63486143.0E-51.8236451E-42.0249544E-42.3248937E-41.14812153.0E-50.0022180270.00246291630.00249284251.01215063.0E-50.021960190.0243902630.0244195311.00123.0E-5
6.14.2554693E-54.7252182E-57.725076E-51.63486143.0E-51.8236451E-42.0249544E-42.3248937E-41.14812153.0E-50.0022180270.00246291630.00249284251.01215063.0E-50.021960190.0243902630.0244195311.00123.0E-5
6.24.2554693E-54.7252182E-57.725076E-51.63486143.0E-51.8236451E-42.0249544E-42.3248937E-41.14812153.0E-50.0022180270.00246291630.00249284251.01215063.0E-50.021960190.0243902630.0244195311.00123.0E-5
6.31.9617712E-51.826841E-51.826841E-51.00.08.40732E-57.829095E-57.829095E-51.00.00.00102311059.527944E-49.527944E-41.00.00.010184130.00949040.00949041.00.0
6.41.5611336E-51.3604089E-51.3604089E-51.00.06.690401E-55.8301972E-55.8301972E-51.00.08.142519E-47.096013E-47.096013E-41.00.00.0081127480.00707533770.00707533771.00.0
6.51.5150166E-51.3100744E-51.3100744E-51.00.06.492767E-55.614487E-55.614487E-51.00.07.9020765E-46.8335526E-46.8335526E-41.00.00.0078740360.0068145080.0068145081.00.0
6.61.295588E-51.0380544E-51.0380544E-51.00.05.552402E-54.44873E-54.44873E-51.00.06.7579525E-45.415002E-45.415002E-41.00.00.0067374380.0054033430.0054033431.00.0
6.71.2542085E-59.899189E-69.899189E-61.00.05.3750682E-54.2424414E-54.2424414E-51.00.06.542181E-45.163967E-45.163967E-41.00.00.0065229540.0051534640.0051534641.00.0
6.81.2195878E-59.49523E-69.49523E-61.00.05.2267E-54.069322E-54.069322E-51.00.06.36165E-44.9532915E-44.9532915E-41.00.00.00634346860.00494369630.00494369631.00.0
6.91.1580298E-58.772739E-68.772739E-61.00.04.9628903E-53.759692E-53.759692E-51.00.06.040644E-44.5764804E-44.5764804E-41.00.00.006024250.00456846460.00456846461.00.0
7.01.0964795E-58.083794E-68.083794E-61.00.04.6991136E-53.4644378E-53.4644378E-51.00.05.7196687E-44.217152E-44.217152E-41.00.00.00570496960.0042104590.0042104591.00.0
7.11.0230601E-57.32646E-67.32646E-61.00.04.3844695E-53.1398744E-53.1398744E-51.00.05.336784E-43.8221394E-43.8221394E-41.00.00.0053239860.00381675920.00381675921.00.0
7.29.40865E-66.5430822E-66.5430822E-61.00.04.032216E-52.8041486E-52.8041486E-51.00.04.908117E-43.4135283E-43.4135283E-41.00.00.00489729130.00340940240.00340940241.00.0
7.38.237384E-65.5975433E-65.5975433E-61.00.03.5302593E-52.3989258E-52.3989258E-51.00.04.2972428E-42.920311E-42.920311E-41.00.00.00428894260.00291679920.00291679921.00.0
7.47.5316966E-65.0276153E-65.0276153E-61.00.03.2278298E-52.154675E-52.154675E-51.00.03.9291743E-42.623011E-42.623011E-41.00.00.00392223430.00262002670.00262002671.00.0
7.56.149649E-63.9336355E-63.9336355E-61.00.02.6355372E-51.6858336E-51.6858336E-51.00.03.208294E-42.052318E-42.052318E-41.00.00.0032036660.00205051180.00205051181.00.0
7.65.457711E-63.3951796E-63.3951796E-61.00.02.338998E-51.4550694E-51.4550694E-51.00.02.8473578E-41.771411E-41.771411E-41.00.00.00284371220.00177007980.00177007981.00.0
7.74.1676276E-62.3329922E-62.3329922E-61.00.01.7861139E-59.998504E-69.998504E-61.00.02.1743766E-41.2172572E-41.2172572E-41.00.00.00217225030.00121666350.00121666351.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.384417E-89.384417E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0218927E-74.0218927E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8966467E-64.8966467E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8965718E-54.8965718E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4397174E-93.4397174E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4741646E-81.4741646E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.7947953E-71.7947953E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.794794E-61.794794E-61.00.0

Ortigalita (South)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.72394E-54.32556E-57.3254305E-51.69352193.0E-51.5958765E-41.8536886E-42.153633E-41.16180943.0E-50.00194124810.00225468630.00228461861.01327563.0E-50.0192437750.0223345010.0223638321.00131323.0E-5
6.12.7299884E-53.1492036E-56.149109E-51.95259183.0E-51.16994255E-41.349592E-41.6495516E-41.22225943.0E-50.00142347430.00164194570.00167189641.0182413.0E-50.0141439060.0163040720.0163335841.00181013.0E-5
6.22.7299884E-53.1492036E-56.149109E-51.95259183.0E-51.16994255E-41.349592E-41.6495516E-41.22225943.0E-50.00142347430.00164194570.00167189641.0182413.0E-50.0141439060.0163040720.0163335841.00181013.0E-5
6.32.0546433E-52.3631454E-55.3630745E-52.26946453.0E-58.805317E-51.0127383E-41.3127079E-41.29619663.0E-50.001071520.00123233050.00126229341.02431423.0E-50.0106636810.0122570310.0122866631.00241763.0E-5
6.42.0546433E-52.3631454E-55.3630745E-52.26946453.0E-58.805317E-51.0127383E-41.3127079E-41.29619663.0E-50.001071520.00123233050.00126229341.02431423.0E-50.0106636810.0122570310.0122866631.00241763.0E-5
6.51.7779594E-52.0446974E-55.044636E-52.46717983.0E-57.619603E-58.762703E-51.176244E-41.34233013.0E-59.272918E-40.00106635050.00109631851.02810343.0E-50.0092343190.0106138040.0106434851.00279653.0E-5
6.61.6272212E-51.8714967E-54.8714406E-52.6029653.0E-56.973618E-58.0204605E-51.102022E-41.37401333.0E-58.487073E-49.760659E-40.00100603651.03070563.0E-50.0084547330.0097190910.0097487991.00305683.0E-5
6.71.3051484E-51.5038758E-53.5038458E-52.32987712.0E-55.593373E-56.445028E-58.444899E-51.31029682.0E-56.807804E-47.844092E-48.043935E-41.02547692.0E-50.0067869860.0078173880.0078372311.00253842.0E-5
6.81.04277415E-51.1987235E-53.1986994E-52.66842152.0E-54.4689557E-55.1372896E-57.137187E-51.38929032.0E-55.439595E-46.2529295E-46.452804E-41.0319652.0E-50.00542629930.006236090.0062559651.00318722.0E-5
6.97.639968E-68.791503E-61.8791416E-52.1374521.0E-53.274231E-53.767736E-54.7676982E-51.26540141.0E-53.9856473E-44.586312E-44.686266E-41.0217941.0E-50.0039785060.0045774330.0045873871.00217461.0E-5
7.03.919831E-64.5334014E-61.4533356E-53.20583941.0E-51.679917E-51.942873E-52.9428536E-51.51469171.0E-52.045107E-42.3652123E-42.4651887E-41.04226951.0E-50.00204322580.00236290340.00237287981.0042221.0E-5
7.11.6017933E-61.8570418E-61.1857023E-56.38489871.0E-56.8648105E-67.958732E-61.7958653E-52.25647161.0E-58.357586E-59.689432E-51.06893356E-41.10319521.0E-58.3544437E-49.686254E-49.786157E-41.01031391.0E-5

Dry Mountain

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.222801E-66.439381E-62.6439253E-54.10586832.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-54.7596594E-51.72469262.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-43.659493E-41.08926653.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.00338597621.0089093.0E-5
6.16.222801E-66.439381E-62.6439253E-54.10586832.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-54.7596594E-51.72469262.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-43.659493E-41.08926653.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.00338597621.0089093.0E-5
6.26.222801E-66.439381E-62.6439253E-54.10586832.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-54.7596594E-51.72469262.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-43.659493E-41.08926653.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.00338597621.0089093.0E-5
6.36.222801E-66.439381E-62.6439253E-54.10586832.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-54.7596594E-51.72469262.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-43.659493E-41.08926653.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.00338597621.0089093.0E-5
6.46.222801E-66.439381E-62.6439253E-54.10586832.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-54.7596594E-51.72469262.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-43.659493E-41.08926653.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.00338597621.0089093.0E-5
6.52.8528623E-62.9521684E-61.2952139E-54.38733051.0E-51.22264955E-51.2652138E-52.2652011E-51.79037021.0E-51.4884741E-41.540376E-41.7403452E-41.12981842.0E-50.00148747740.00154016160.00156013091.01296572.0E-5
6.62.8528623E-62.9521684E-61.2952139E-54.38733051.0E-51.22264955E-51.2652138E-52.2652011E-51.79037021.0E-51.4884741E-41.540376E-41.7403452E-41.12981842.0E-50.00148747740.00154016160.00156013091.01296572.0E-5
6.72.541E-62.6293578E-61.2629332E-54.80321.0E-51.0889954E-51.1268677E-52.1268565E-51.88740561.0E-51.3257713E-41.3719614E-41.4719476E-41.07287841.0E-50.00132498060.00137196130.00138194771.00727881.0E-5

Hector Mine

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.8760093E-52.7962699E-62.2796214E-58.1523662.0E-58.039792E-51.19839815E-54.198362E-53.50331163.0E-59.78405E-41.458992E-41.7589482E-41.20559143.0E-50.0097410860.00145842640.00148838261.02054013.0E-5
6.11.8760093E-52.7962699E-62.2796214E-58.1523662.0E-58.039792E-51.19839815E-54.198362E-53.50331163.0E-59.78405E-41.458992E-41.7589482E-41.20559143.0E-50.0097410860.00145842640.00148838261.02054013.0E-5
6.21.8760093E-52.7962699E-62.2796214E-58.1523662.0E-58.039792E-51.19839815E-54.198362E-53.50331163.0E-59.78405E-41.458992E-41.7589482E-41.20559143.0E-50.0097410860.00145842640.00148838261.02054013.0E-5
6.31.8760093E-52.7962699E-62.2796214E-58.1523662.0E-58.039792E-51.19839815E-54.198362E-53.50331163.0E-59.78405E-41.458992E-41.7589482E-41.20559143.0E-50.0097410860.00145842640.00148838261.02054013.0E-5
6.41.0888055E-52.7962699E-62.2796214E-58.1523662.0E-54.666226E-51.19839815E-54.198362E-53.50331163.0E-55.679649E-41.458992E-41.7589482E-41.20559143.0E-50.00566515470.00145842640.00148838261.02054013.0E-5
6.51.0888055E-52.7962699E-62.2796214E-58.1523662.0E-54.666226E-51.19839815E-54.198362E-53.50331163.0E-55.679649E-41.458992E-41.7589482E-41.20559143.0E-50.00566515470.00145842640.00148838261.02054013.0E-5
6.61.0730738E-52.7962699E-62.2796214E-58.1523662.0E-54.5988065E-51.19839815E-54.198362E-53.50331163.0E-55.5976084E-41.458992E-41.7589482E-41.20559143.0E-50.00558352940.00145842640.00148838261.02054013.0E-5
6.77.881326E-62.770952E-62.2770897E-58.2177152.0E-53.3776672E-51.1875478E-54.1875122E-53.5261843.0E-54.111534E-41.4457834E-41.74574E-41.20746993.0E-50.00410393530.0014452350.00147519161.02072793.0E-5
6.87.5683483E-62.7327321E-62.2732678E-58.3186632.0E-53.2435375E-51.1711679E-54.1711326E-53.56151563.0E-53.9482914E-41.4258435E-41.7258008E-41.21037173.0E-50.00394128360.00142532070.0014552781.02101793.0E-5
6.96.473048E-62.513824E-62.2513774E-58.9559862.0E-52.7741338E-51.07735095E-54.0773186E-53.78457783.0E-53.3769844E-41.3116356E-41.6115962E-41.2286923.0E-50.00337185730.0013112510.00134121161.0228493.0E-5
7.04.9959954E-61.8564588E-62.1856422E-511.7731792.0E-52.1411232E-57.956248E-63.7956008E-54.77059173.0E-52.6065056E-49.686658E-51.2686367E-41.30967443.0E-50.00260345069.685931E-49.985641E-41.03094283.0E-5
7.11.2997541E-61.5599346E-71.5599346E-71.00.05.5703626E-66.685433E-76.685433E-71.00.06.7817055E-58.139488E-68.139488E-61.00.06.779636E-48.1392296E-58.1392296E-51.00.0
7.28.392699E-79.725453E-89.725453E-81.00.03.596866E-64.1680505E-74.1680505E-71.00.04.3790962E-55.0745916E-65.0745916E-61.00.04.3782333E-45.074495E-55.074495E-51.00.0
7.33.13015E-74.8283802E-84.8283802E-81.00.01.3414921E-62.0693057E-72.0693057E-71.00.01.6332544E-52.5193776E-62.5193776E-61.00.01.6331344E-42.5193574E-52.5193574E-51.00.0

Swain Ravine - Spenceville

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.596169E-65.663794E-63.5663623E-56.29677253.0E-52.398336E-52.4273193E-55.4272467E-52.23590143.0E-52.9195828E-42.9548878E-43.2547992E-41.10149673.0E-50.002915750.0029512280.00298113961.01013533.0E-5
6.15.596169E-65.663794E-63.5663623E-56.29677253.0E-52.398336E-52.4273193E-55.4272467E-52.23590143.0E-52.9195828E-42.9548878E-43.2547992E-41.10149673.0E-50.002915750.0029512280.00298113961.01013533.0E-5
6.25.596169E-65.663794E-63.5663623E-56.29677253.0E-52.398336E-52.4273193E-55.4272467E-52.23590143.0E-52.9195828E-42.9548878E-43.2547992E-41.10149673.0E-50.002915750.0029512280.00298113961.01013533.0E-5
6.35.596169E-65.663794E-63.5663623E-56.29677253.0E-52.398336E-52.4273193E-55.4272467E-52.23590143.0E-52.9195828E-42.9548878E-43.2547992E-41.10149673.0E-50.002915750.0029512280.00298113961.01013533.0E-5
6.42.8426775E-62.874144E-61.2874115E-54.47928671.0E-51.2182847E-51.2317704E-52.2317581E-51.81182961.0E-51.4831607E-41.4995811E-41.5995662E-41.06667531.0E-50.00148217110.00149860770.00150859261.00666281.0E-5
6.51.9210793E-61.9414147E-61.1941395E-56.1508731.0E-58.233172E-68.320323E-61.832024E-52.20186641.0E-51.0023425E-41.0129536E-41.1129434E-41.09871131.0E-50.00100189050.00101250530.00102249521.00986651.0E-5
6.61.9210793E-61.9414147E-61.1941395E-56.1508731.0E-58.233172E-68.320323E-61.832024E-52.20186641.0E-51.0023425E-41.0129536E-41.1129434E-41.09871131.0E-50.00100189050.00101250530.00102249521.00986651.0E-5
6.71.4667394E-61.4818934E-61.1481879E-57.7481141.0E-56.286011E-66.3509565E-61.6350892E-52.57455591.0E-57.65295E-57.732023E-58.731946E-51.12932231.0E-57.6503144E-47.72941E-47.8293326E-41.01292771.0E-5
6.81.1076943E-61.1189535E-61.1118942E-59.9369131.0E-54.747252E-64.7955064E-61.4795458E-53.08527571.0E-55.7796264E-55.838377E-56.838319E-51.17127051.0E-55.778124E-45.836887E-45.936829E-41.01712241.0E-5
6.98.514296E-78.600095E-71.0860001E-512.62776851.0E-53.648979E-63.6857498E-61.3685713E-53.71314221.0E-54.442541E-54.4873108E-55.487266E-51.22284071.0E-54.441653E-44.4864335E-44.5863885E-41.02227941.0E-5
7.04.8544706E-74.9033E-71.0490325E-521.3944171.0E-52.0804857E-62.1014127E-61.2101392E-55.7586931.0E-52.532962E-52.5584413E-53.558416E-51.39085291.0E-52.5326732E-42.5581598E-42.6581343E-41.03908061.0E-5
7.13.829186E-73.8678783E-71.0386784E-526.8539581.0E-51.6410787E-61.6576612E-61.1657645E-57.0325861.0E-51.997995E-52.0181848E-53.0181647E-51.49548471.0E-51.9978154E-42.0180122E-42.117992E-41.04954371.0E-5
7.21.4726595E-71.4879437E-71.0148793E-568.206831.0E-56.3113964E-76.3769005E-71.0637684E-516.681591.0E-57.684098E-67.763854E-61.7763776E-52.28801011.0E-57.6838325E-57.763636E-58.7635584E-51.12879561.0E-5
7.34.1880604E-84.2324306E-84.2324306E-81.00.01.7948828E-71.8138988E-71.8138988E-71.00.02.1852677E-62.2084218E-62.2084218E-61.00.02.1852462E-52.2084218E-52.2084218E-51.00.0

San Jacinto (Borrego)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.543992E-52.7925962E-54.7925405E-51.71615952.0E-51.5187653E-41.1967727E-41.3967488E-41.16709612.0E-50.00184752840.00145610920.00148606541.02057293.0E-50.0183224360.014868150.0148977051.00198773.0E-5
6.13.542281E-52.7925962E-54.7925405E-51.71615952.0E-51.5180321E-41.1967727E-41.3967488E-41.16709612.0E-50.00184663720.00145610920.00148606541.02057293.0E-50.0183136720.014868150.0148977051.00198773.0E-5
6.23.4688688E-52.7925962E-54.7925405E-51.71615952.0E-51.4865733E-41.1967727E-41.3967488E-41.16709612.0E-50.00180840050.00145610910.00148606541.02057293.0E-50.0179375480.014868150.0148977041.00198773.0E-5
6.33.2087122E-52.7771312E-54.7770758E-51.72014762.0E-51.3750899E-41.1901455E-41.3901216E-41.16802672.0E-50.00167288620.00144805120.00147800781.02068753.0E-50.0166034880.0147893080.0148188651.00199853.0E-5
6.43.1828724E-52.773829E-54.7737733E-51.7210052.0E-51.364017E-41.1887303E-41.3887066E-41.16822672.0E-50.00165942540.00144633060.00147628711.02071213.0E-50.0164708850.0147725020.0148020581.00200083.0E-5
6.53.1563577E-52.7477974E-54.7477424E-51.72783572.0E-51.3526545E-41.17757496E-41.3775514E-41.16982052.0E-50.00164561280.00143276680.00146272381.02090853.0E-50.01633480.014639910.01466947051.00201923.0E-5
6.63.1467625E-52.7322194E-54.7321646E-51.73198572.0E-51.3485427E-41.17089934E-41.3708758E-41.17078892.0E-50.00164061420.00142464980.00145460711.02102783.0E-50.0162855480.0145602280.0145897911.00203043.0E-5
6.73.1223695E-52.6940217E-54.693968E-51.74236452.0E-51.3380898E-41.1545303E-41.3545073E-41.17321062.0E-50.00162790680.00140474640.00143470431.02132623.0E-50.016160330.014364510.0143940781.00205853.0E-5
6.83.1015585E-52.6761221E-54.6760684E-51.74733012.0E-51.3291716E-41.1468597E-41.3468368E-41.17436922.0E-50.0016170650.00139541950.00142537761.02146893.0E-50.0160534870.0142717720.0143013441.00207213.0E-5
6.92.6641965E-52.2183434E-54.218299E-51.90155362.0E-51.1417485E-49.506842E-51.1506652E-41.21035482.0E-50.00138919240.00115684730.00118681261.02590253.0E-50.01380540150.0118821910.0119118351.00249483.0E-5
7.02.3854353E-52.047825E-54.047784E-51.97662592.0E-51.02228936E-48.776099E-51.0775924E-41.22787172.0E-50.00124392660.00106796890.00109793691.02806073.0E-50.0123698660.01098262050.0110122911.00270163.0E-5
7.12.3672901E-52.0314741E-54.0314335E-51.98448682.0E-51.0145135E-48.706028E-51.0705854E-41.22970592.0E-50.00123447020.00105944610.00108941431.02828673.0E-50.01227635050.0108978580.0109275321.00272293.0E-5
7.22.2717244E-51.9542116E-53.9541726E-52.02341062.0E-59.735599E-58.3749255E-51.03747574E-41.23878812.0E-50.00118466460.00101917250.0010491421.02940563.0E-50.011783690.0104953220.0105250071.00282843.0E-5
7.32.1016205E-51.8383771E-53.8383405E-52.0878962.0E-59.006634E-57.878522E-59.878365E-51.25383472.0E-50.0010960069.5879E-49.887613E-41.03125943.0E-50.0109061630.0098909010.00992060451.00300313.0E-5
7.42.0683625E-51.8186302E-53.818594E-52.09970882.0E-58.86411E-57.7938974E-59.7937416E-51.2565912.0E-50.0010786719.48496E-49.784675E-41.0315993.0E-50.0107345010.00978762750.0098173341.00303513.0E-5
7.51.9993966E-51.7781347E-53.7780992E-52.12475422.0E-58.568561E-57.6203556E-59.6202035E-51.2624352.0E-50.0010427239.2738547E-49.5735764E-41.0323193.0E-50.0103784380.0095745480.0096042611.00310333.0E-5
7.61.788966E-51.6434618E-53.643429E-52.21692352.0E-57.666772E-57.043219E-59.0430774E-51.2839412.0E-59.3302975E-48.5717626E-48.871505E-41.03496863.0E-50.009291220.0088664150.008896151.00335363.0E-5
7.71.5125781E-51.4236738E-53.4236455E-52.40479612.0E-56.4823165E-56.101317E-58.1011945E-51.32777812.0E-57.889362E-47.4258295E-47.725607E-41.04036953.0E-50.0078614120.0077141610.00774392951.00385893.0E-5
7.81.250089E-51.262994E-52.2629814E-51.79175941.0E-55.3574146E-55.4127195E-56.412665E-51.18474011.0E-56.5207E-46.588E-46.7878683E-41.03033832.0E-50.0065015990.0068677590.00688762171.00289212.0E-5
7.99.561E-69.754065E-61.9753967E-52.02520371.0E-54.0975072E-54.180247E-55.180205E-51.23921041.0E-54.987573E-45.0882675E-45.288166E-41.03928612.0E-50.00497639370.00535236070.00537225321.00371672.0E-5
8.08.01699E-68.292994E-61.829291E-52.20582721.0E-53.4358076E-53.554092E-54.5540564E-51.28135591.0E-54.1822926E-44.3262533E-44.5261666E-41.04620932.0E-50.00417443040.00457331860.00459322751.00435322.0E-5
8.16.541947E-66.461784E-61.646172E-52.54755021.0E-52.8036617E-52.7693068E-53.7692793E-51.36109111.0E-53.4129233E-43.3711144E-43.571047E-41.05930762.0E-50.00340768650.00358057560.00360050381.00556562.0E-5
8.21.7968189E-67.9684827E-77.9684827E-71.00.07.70063E-63.4150596E-63.4150596E-61.00.09.3751136E-54.157758E-54.157758E-51.00.09.371159E-44.7107413E-44.7107413E-41.00.0
8.31.5167889E-74.8951257E-84.8951257E-81.00.06.500522E-72.0979108E-72.0979108E-71.00.07.9143565E-62.5542038E-62.5542038E-61.00.07.914075E-52.9679897E-52.9679897E-51.00.0

Elysian Park (Upper)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1876025E-53.7035275E-55.7034536E-51.54000572.0E-51.3660437E-41.5871569E-41.7871251E-41.12599152.0E-50.00166188950.0019311220.0019610641.0155053.0E-50.0164951590.0191898630.0192192871.00153333.0E-5
6.13.1876025E-53.7035275E-55.7034536E-51.54000572.0E-51.3660437E-41.5871569E-41.7871251E-41.12599152.0E-50.00166188950.0019311220.0019610641.0155053.0E-50.0164951590.0191898630.0192192871.00153333.0E-5
6.23.1876025E-53.7035275E-55.7034536E-51.54000572.0E-51.3660437E-41.5871569E-41.7871251E-41.12599152.0E-50.00166188950.0019311220.0019610641.0155053.0E-50.0164951590.0191898630.0192192871.00153333.0E-5
6.33.1876025E-53.7035275E-55.7034536E-51.54000572.0E-51.3660437E-41.5871569E-41.7871251E-41.12599152.0E-50.00166188950.0019311220.0019610641.0155053.0E-50.0164951590.0191898630.0192192871.00153333.0E-5
6.41.9273462E-52.120244E-53.1202228E-51.47163381.0E-58.259794E-59.086542E-51.0086451E-41.11004281.0E-50.0010051660.00110589670.00111588571.00903251.0E-50.0100063150.0110207440.0110306341.00089741.0E-5
6.51.9273462E-52.120244E-53.1202228E-51.47163381.0E-58.259794E-59.086542E-51.0086451E-41.11004281.0E-50.0010051660.00110589670.00111588571.00903251.0E-50.0100063150.0110207440.0110306341.00089741.0E-5
6.69.813258E-69.665589E-69.665589E-61.00.04.205614E-54.1423333E-54.1423333E-51.00.05.119132E-45.042196E-45.042196E-41.00.00.0051073560.00503147950.00503147951.00.0
6.79.801478E-69.653158E-69.653158E-61.00.04.2005657E-54.137006E-54.137006E-51.00.05.112989E-45.0357135E-45.0357135E-41.00.00.00510124070.0050250260.0050250261.00.0
6.88.102489E-67.772994E-67.772994E-61.00.03.4724493E-53.3312434E-53.3312434E-51.00.04.2268867E-44.0550836E-44.0550836E-41.00.00.0042188560.00404817840.00404817841.00.0
6.96.08275E-65.481441E-65.481441E-61.00.02.6068668E-52.3491682E-52.3491682E-51.00.03.173398E-42.8597447E-42.8597447E-41.00.00.00316887020.00285614240.00285614241.00.0
7.05.5995934E-64.9827686E-64.9827686E-61.00.02.3998036E-52.1354552E-52.1354552E-51.00.02.9213692E-42.5996132E-42.5996132E-41.00.00.00291753160.00259663960.00259663961.00.0
7.14.709881E-64.0873906E-64.0873906E-61.00.02.0185047E-51.7517272E-51.7517272E-51.00.02.4572524E-42.1325232E-42.1325232E-41.00.00.0024545370.00213051840.00213051841.00.0
7.23.6063436E-62.9779412E-62.9779412E-61.00.01.5455667E-51.27625435E-51.27625435E-51.00.01.881565E-41.55373E-41.55373E-41.00.00.00187997260.00155265490.00155265491.00.0
7.32.471135E-62.0954562E-62.0954562E-61.00.01.0590536E-58.980496E-68.980496E-61.00.01.2893214E-41.0933213E-41.0933213E-41.00.00.00128857360.00109279060.00109279061.00.0
7.41.163943E-61.0275061E-61.0275061E-61.00.04.988318E-64.40359E-64.40359E-61.00.06.0731076E-55.361242E-55.361242E-51.00.06.071448E-45.3599785E-45.3599785E-41.00.0
7.54.99459E-74.917601E-74.917601E-71.00.02.140537E-62.1075416E-62.1075416E-61.00.02.6060725E-52.5659032E-52.5659032E-51.00.02.605767E-42.5656226E-42.5656226E-41.00.0
7.62.4667852E-72.4778313E-72.4778313E-71.00.01.0571932E-61.0619274E-61.0619274E-61.00.01.2871251E-51.2928893E-51.2928893E-51.00.01.2870505E-41.2928178E-41.2928178E-41.00.0
7.78.2312795E-87.3864214E-87.3864214E-81.00.03.527691E-73.165609E-73.165609E-71.00.04.294955E-63.854123E-63.854123E-61.00.04.2948723E-53.854068E-53.854068E-51.00.0
7.82.7819295E-81.7565618E-81.7565618E-81.00.01.1922555E-77.528122E-87.528122E-81.00.01.45157E-69.1654863E-79.1654863E-71.00.01.45156055E-59.165463E-69.165463E-61.00.0

Santa Ynez River

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6396456E-51.7209444E-53.72091E-52.16213252.0E-57.026863E-57.3752875E-59.3751405E-51.27115582.0E-58.551848E-48.976069E-49.2758E-41.03339223.0E-50.00851901250.0089433630.0089730951.00332443.0E-5
6.11.6396456E-51.7209444E-53.72091E-52.16213252.0E-57.026863E-57.3752875E-59.3751405E-51.27115582.0E-58.551848E-48.976069E-49.2758E-41.03339223.0E-50.00851901250.0089433630.0089730951.00332443.0E-5
6.21.6396456E-51.7209444E-53.72091E-52.16213252.0E-57.026863E-57.3752875E-59.3751405E-51.27115582.0E-58.551848E-48.976069E-49.2758E-41.03339223.0E-50.00851901250.0089433630.0089730951.00332443.0E-5
6.39.736976E-61.01223395E-51.01223395E-51.00.04.172923E-54.338076E-54.338076E-51.00.05.0793495E-45.280378E-45.380325E-41.0189281.0E-50.0050677550.00526833670.0052782841.00188821.0E-5
6.49.736976E-61.01223395E-51.01223395E-51.00.04.172923E-54.338076E-54.338076E-51.00.05.0793495E-45.280378E-45.380325E-41.0189281.0E-50.0050677550.00526833670.0052782841.00188821.0E-5
6.57.081964E-67.329905E-67.329905E-61.00.03.035092E-53.141351E-53.141351E-51.00.03.694598E-43.8239395E-43.8239395E-41.00.00.00368846160.00381752150.00381752151.00.0
6.65.873247E-66.0597517E-66.0597517E-61.00.02.5170815E-52.5970112E-52.5970112E-51.00.03.064116E-43.161411E-43.161411E-41.00.00.00305989430.0031570010.0031570011.00.0
6.74.973277E-65.11591E-65.11591E-61.00.02.1313872E-52.1925147E-52.1925147E-51.00.02.5946548E-42.6690646E-42.6690646E-41.00.00.00259162740.00266590780.00266590781.00.0
6.84.396492E-64.510987E-64.510987E-61.00.01.884197E-51.933266E-51.933266E-51.00.02.2937685E-42.3535005E-42.3535005E-41.00.00.00229140230.00235104330.00235104331.00.0
6.93.5255632E-63.6013423E-63.6013423E-61.00.01.5109469E-51.5434234E-51.5434234E-51.00.01.8394225E-41.8789574E-41.8789574E-41.00.00.00183790070.0018773850.0018773851.00.0
7.03.211603E-63.273663E-63.273663E-61.00.01.376394E-51.402991E-51.402991E-51.00.01.6756308E-41.708009E-41.708009E-41.00.00.00167436790.00170671040.00170671041.00.0
7.12.5094619E-62.5409295E-62.5409295E-61.00.01.0754793E-51.0889652E-51.0889652E-51.00.01.3093173E-41.325735E-41.325735E-41.00.00.00130854620.00132495030.00132495031.00.0
7.22.0515774E-62.0619466E-62.0619466E-61.00.08.792445E-68.836884E-68.836884E-61.00.01.0704277E-41.0758379E-41.0758379E-41.00.00.00106991220.00107532150.00107532151.00.0
7.31.6845745E-61.6773996E-61.6773996E-61.00.07.219585E-67.1888358E-67.1888358E-61.00.08.78949E-58.752059E-58.752059E-51.00.08.7860145E-48.7486405E-48.7486405E-41.00.0
7.41.3600285E-61.3333447E-61.3333447E-61.00.05.82868E-65.714322E-65.714322E-61.00.07.096187E-56.956967E-56.956967E-51.00.07.0939213E-46.9548114E-46.9548114E-41.00.0
7.59.735342E-79.2901894E-79.2901894E-71.00.04.172283E-63.9815036E-63.9815036E-61.00.05.079636E-54.8473747E-54.8473747E-51.00.05.0784746E-44.8463346E-44.8463346E-41.00.0
7.65.067187E-74.778609E-74.778609E-71.00.02.1716498E-62.0479738E-62.0479738E-61.00.02.6439517E-52.4933803E-52.4933803E-51.00.02.643637E-42.493108E-42.493108E-41.00.0
7.72.769089E-72.5759346E-72.5759346E-71.00.01.1867519E-61.1039714E-61.1039714E-61.00.01.4448608E-51.344077E-51.344077E-51.00.01.444767E-41.343996E-41.343996E-41.00.0
7.81.7044663E-71.5449208E-71.5449208E-71.00.07.3048534E-76.6210873E-76.6210873E-71.00.08.893623E-68.061144E-68.061144E-61.00.08.893267E-58.060854E-58.060854E-51.00.0
7.94.8344287E-84.0911143E-84.0911143E-81.00.02.0718979E-71.7533345E-71.7533345E-71.00.02.5225327E-62.1346827E-62.1346827E-61.00.02.5225041E-52.1346626E-52.1346626E-51.00.0

Hunting Creek - Berryessa 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1270982E-42.0028367E-42.1028167E-41.04991911.0E-54.8295266E-48.579912E-48.779741E-41.02329032.0E-50.00586410750.0103861730.0104059651.00190572.0E-50.0571175780.098040480.0980585141.00018392.0E-5
6.11.1239393E-41.9976508E-42.097631E-41.05004881.0E-54.8159933E-48.557703E-48.757532E-41.02335072.0E-50.00584771950.0103594170.0103792091.00191062.0E-50.0569621320.097798950.0978171.00018452.0E-5
6.27.596265E-51.2933646E-41.2933646E-41.00.03.2551357E-45.5415573E-45.5415573E-41.00.00.00395592770.00672135870.00672135871.00.00.0388624330.064592290.064592291.00.0
6.36.78794E-51.1448377E-41.1448377E-41.00.02.9087928E-44.9052597E-44.9052597E-41.00.00.0035357050.0059526610.0059526611.00.00.0347997660.0574662130.0574662131.00.0
6.46.2165134E-51.0434825E-41.0434825E-41.00.02.6639478E-44.4711027E-44.4711027E-41.00.00.00323853320.00542741830.00542741831.00.00.031917420.052551380.052551381.00.0
6.55.4368087E-59.070258E-59.070258E-51.00.02.3298527E-43.886537E-43.886537E-41.00.00.00283290590.00471970160.00471970161.00.00.0279706330.0458811820.0458811821.00.0
6.64.729947E-57.847101E-57.847101E-51.00.02.0269625E-43.3624718E-43.3624718E-41.00.00.0024650340.0040847460.0040847461.00.00.024378690.039852690.039852691.00.0
6.73.6875328E-56.0443555E-56.0443555E-51.00.01.5802756E-42.5900968E-42.5900968E-41.00.00.00192228750.00314827240.00314827241.00.00.0190574420.030893710.030893711.00.0
6.82.0292036E-52.8976721E-52.8976721E-51.00.08.6962966E-51.2417998E-41.2417998E-41.00.00.00105825990.00151083020.00151083021.00.00.0105323440.01497907750.01497907751.00.0
6.91.7871042E-52.4472653E-52.4472653E-51.00.07.658793E-51.04878585E-41.04878585E-41.00.09.320591E-40.00127614860.00127614861.00.00.0092815950.0126803950.0126803951.00.0
7.01.6415532E-52.1906566E-52.1906566E-51.00.07.035038E-59.388191E-59.388191E-51.00.08.561793E-40.00114241440.00114241441.00.00.0085288820.0113650170.0113650171.00.0
7.11.5409885E-52.0346588E-52.0346588E-51.00.06.6040695E-58.719676E-58.719676E-51.00.08.0374884E-40.00106110620.00106110621.00.00.008008480.0105609240.0105609241.00.0
7.21.4497423E-51.905519E-51.905519E-51.00.06.213033E-58.166256E-58.166256E-51.00.07.5617427E-49.937913E-49.937913E-41.00.00.00753606340.009894250.009894251.00.0
7.31.3615175E-51.7826347E-51.7826347E-51.00.05.8349444E-57.6396405E-57.6396405E-51.00.07.101729E-49.297323E-49.297323E-41.00.00.00707907650.0092591240.0092591241.00.0
7.41.2252825E-51.6026455E-51.6026455E-51.00.05.251105E-56.868302E-56.868302E-51.00.06.391345E-48.3589775E-48.3589775E-41.00.00.00637299430.0083281720.0083281721.00.0
7.51.0913301E-51.4241286E-51.4241286E-51.00.04.6770452E-56.103267E-56.103267E-51.00.05.6928146E-47.428222E-47.428222E-41.00.00.00567825320.00740398650.00740398651.00.0
7.68.623192E-61.12347825E-51.12347825E-51.00.03.6956015E-54.8148195E-54.8148195E-51.00.04.4984656E-45.8604917E-45.8604917E-41.00.00.004489370.0058455040.0058455041.00.0
7.72.0993634E-62.66264E-62.66264E-61.00.08.997241E-61.1411265E-51.1411265E-51.00.01.09535904E-41.3892337E-41.3892337E-41.00.00.00109481930.00138839940.00138839941.00.0
7.81.8428308E-72.1674624E-72.1674624E-71.00.07.897844E-79.289122E-79.289122E-71.00.09.615583E-61.130945E-51.130945E-51.00.09.615166E-51.1308173E-41.1308173E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Peninsula) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.6200685E-52.5207937E-54.5207435E-51.79338092.0E-53.6937918E-41.0802955E-41.2802739E-41.18511452.0E-50.00448792150.00131446790.00133444161.01519532.0E-50.0439836120.014772180.01479188351.0013342.0E-5
6.18.6200685E-52.5207937E-54.5207435E-51.79338092.0E-53.6937918E-41.0802955E-41.2802739E-41.18511452.0E-50.00448792150.00131446790.00133444161.01519532.0E-50.0439836120.014772180.01479188351.0013342.0E-5
6.28.6200685E-52.5207937E-54.5207435E-51.79338092.0E-53.6937918E-41.0802955E-41.2802739E-41.18511452.0E-50.00448792150.00131446790.00133444161.01519532.0E-50.0439836120.014772180.01479188351.0013342.0E-5
6.38.551163E-52.4899866E-54.4899367E-51.80319712.0E-53.6642692E-41.06709354E-41.2670722E-41.1874052.0E-50.0044521250.00129841370.00131838771.01538342.0E-50.0436397940.014598920.0146186291.00134992.0E-5
6.48.551163E-52.4899866E-54.4899367E-51.80319712.0E-53.6642692E-41.06709354E-41.2670722E-41.1874052.0E-50.0044521250.00129841370.00131838771.01538342.0E-50.0436397940.014598920.0146186291.00134992.0E-5
6.58.511146E-52.4721267E-54.472077E-51.8092.0E-53.647124E-41.0594399E-41.2594186E-41.1887592.0E-50.0044313360.00128910640.00130908061.01549462.0E-50.043440070.0144989630.01451867351.00135952.0E-5
6.68.4985084E-52.4651948E-54.4651457E-51.81127492.0E-53.6417096E-41.0564694E-41.2564483E-41.18928982.0E-50.00442477040.00128549420.00130546841.01553822.0E-50.0433769860.01446093150.0144806431.0013632.0E-5
6.78.462618E-52.4480485E-54.4479995E-51.81695722.0E-53.6263323E-41.0491216E-41.2491006E-41.19061572.0E-50.0044061250.00127655860.00129653321.01564722.0E-50.0431978070.0143657270.0143854391.00137222.0E-5
6.88.42337E-52.4376272E-54.4375785E-51.820452.0E-53.6095164E-41.04465566E-41.2446348E-41.19143072.0E-50.0043857340.00127112770.00129110241.0157142.0E-50.0430018230.0143063630.0143260771.00137792.0E-5
6.98.365989E-52.4180892E-54.4180408E-51.82707932.0E-53.5849313E-41.0362829E-41.2362622E-41.19297752.0E-50.0043559220.00126094580.00128092061.01584112.0E-50.042715230.0141989110.0142186271.00138852.0E-5
7.08.30936E-52.3942457E-54.394198E-51.83531622.0E-53.560668E-41.026065E-41.2260446E-41.19489942.0E-50.0043264990.00124851990.00126849491.0159992.0E-50.0424322970.0140699020.0140896211.00140142.0E-5
7.18.041264E-52.3628894E-54.362842E-51.84640132.0E-53.4458007E-41.0126277E-41.21260746E-41.19748592.0E-50.00418719460.00123217850.00125215391.01621142.0E-50.0410917250.0138929050.01391262751.00141952.0E-5
7.27.8427016E-52.3052688E-54.3052227E-51.86755792.0E-53.3607247E-49.87935E-51.1879152E-41.20242252.0E-50.0040840080.00120214870.00122212471.01661682.0E-50.0400976350.0135767450.0135964741.00145322.0E-5
7.37.721087E-52.2837554E-54.28371E-51.87573052.0E-53.3086175E-49.787157E-51.1786961E-41.20432952.0E-50.0040208030.00119093650.00121091271.01677352.0E-50.039488270.0134604640.0134801951.00146582.0E-5
7.47.3536525E-52.095521E-54.095479E-51.95439662.0E-53.1511846E-48.980496E-51.09803164E-41.22268492.0E-50.00382981940.00109282820.00111280641.01828112.0E-50.0376448520.01241727450.0124370261.00159062.0E-5
7.56.806207E-51.876151E-53.8761136E-52.06599242.0E-52.9166197E-48.0404E-51.00402394E-41.24872392.0E-50.00354520359.784801E-49.984606E-41.02041982.0E-50.0348917660.0111704780.0111902541.00177042.0E-5
7.65.6731416E-51.4173155E-53.4172874E-52.41109852.0E-52.43112E-46.074068E-58.073947E-51.32924872.0E-50.00295587127.3926704E-47.5925223E-41.02703382.0E-50.029168620.008483320.0085031491.00233762.0E-5
7.74.946994E-51.3242368E-53.3242104E-52.5102842.0E-52.1199681E-45.675177E-57.6750635E-51.3523922.0E-50.0025780066.907339E-47.107201E-41.02893472.0E-50.025483030.0079057420.0079255841.00250982.0E-5
7.83.9718198E-51.2979126E-53.2978867E-52.54091572.0E-51.7020974E-45.562364E-57.562253E-51.35953942.0E-50.00207033386.7700754E-46.96994E-41.02952182.0E-50.0205115150.0077165470.0077363931.00257182.0E-5
7.92.4115114E-51.2183215E-53.2182972E-52.64158272.0E-51.0334639E-45.2212738E-57.221169E-51.38302832.0E-50.0012575166.355048E-46.5549207E-41.0314512.0E-50.0125042380.00715784870.00717770541.00277412.0E-5
8.01.7756569E-51.1408184E-53.1407955E-52.75310732.0E-57.6097356E-54.8891303E-56.8890324E-51.40905072.0E-59.260915E-45.9508916E-46.1507727E-41.03358842.0E-50.0092224160.0066585350.00667840151.00298372.0E-5
8.11.3159258E-59.744603E-62.9744408E-53.05239822.0E-55.6395602E-54.1761916E-56.176108E-51.47888532.0E-56.864001E-45.083328E-45.2832265E-41.03932432.0E-50.00684283860.0056888650.00570875171.00349572.0E-5
8.28.635426E-65.465718E-61.5465663E-52.82957581.0E-53.700844E-52.3424296E-53.342406E-51.42689721.0E-54.5048463E-42.8515357E-42.951507E-41.03505891.0E-50.0044957250.00324397490.00325394241.00307261.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

San Andreas (North Coast) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5333705E-47.109695E-59.109552E-51.2812862.0E-56.5699324E-43.046658E-43.246597E-41.06562572.0E-50.0079695950.00370303080.00372295691.0053812.0E-50.07689770.0393642670.0393834821.0004882.0E-5
6.11.5333705E-47.109695E-59.109552E-51.2812862.0E-56.5699324E-43.046658E-43.246597E-41.06562572.0E-50.0079695950.00370303080.00372295691.0053812.0E-50.07689770.0393642670.0393834821.0004882.0E-5
6.21.3912938E-46.049243E-58.049122E-51.33059992.0E-55.961325E-42.5922767E-42.7922247E-41.07713222.0E-50.0072337870.00315155620.00317149331.00632612.0E-50.070027980.033697920.033717251.00057352.0E-5
6.31.3912938E-46.049243E-58.049122E-51.33059992.0E-55.961325E-42.5922767E-42.7922247E-41.07713222.0E-50.0072337870.00315155620.00317149331.00632612.0E-50.070027980.033697920.033717251.00057352.0E-5
6.41.2623647E-45.0433562E-57.043256E-51.39654142.0E-55.4090127E-42.1612605E-42.3612172E-41.09251862.0E-50.00656560580.00262817930.00264812681.00758982.0E-50.063749810.028305520.0283249521.00068652.0E-5
6.51.1736096E-44.3516375E-56.351551E-51.45957712.0E-55.028786E-41.8648551E-42.0648178E-41.1072272.0E-50.0061053730.00226811320.00228806771.00879792.0E-50.059403350.0245769470.0245964551.00079382.0E-5
6.61.1586959E-44.2416294E-56.241544E-51.47149692.0E-54.964894E-41.8177154E-42.017679E-41.11000822.0E-50.0060280180.00221083850.00223079421.00902632.0E-50.0586710240.0239821640.0240016841.0008142.0E-5
6.71.13693764E-44.0728228E-56.0727412E-51.49103992.0E-54.87168E-41.7453796E-41.9453447E-41.11456822.0E-50.0059151520.00212294470.00214290221.00940082.0E-50.0576015930.0230752420.023094781.00084672.0E-5
6.81.1204889E-43.9945848E-55.994505E-51.50065782.0E-54.8012115E-41.7118535E-41.9118193E-41.11681252.0E-50.0058298190.00208220540.00210216361.00958512.0E-50.056792320.0226353310.022654881.00086362.0E-5
6.91.1005794E-43.9001738E-55.9000955E-51.51277772.0E-54.7159163E-41.6713967E-41.8713633E-41.11964042.0E-50.00572652280.00203304230.00205300171.00981752.0E-50.0558118520.022101340.0221208991.00088492.0E-5
7.01.0647948E-43.7159174E-55.715843E-51.53820512.0E-54.562608E-41.5924397E-41.7924079E-41.12557352.0E-50.00554083570.00193708680.0019570481.01030482.0E-50.0540470330.021059310.021078891.00092972.0E-5
7.11.04795035E-43.620866E-55.6207937E-51.55233412.0E-54.4904428E-41.5517084E-41.7516773E-41.12887022.0E-50.00545341750.00188758340.00190754561.01057552.0E-50.0532151650.020528210.02054781.00095432.0E-5
7.21.02724036E-43.5117457E-55.5116754E-51.56949732.0E-54.401716E-41.5049479E-41.7049178E-41.1328752.0E-50.00534592850.00183074960.00185071291.01090442.0E-50.0521913950.019915730.019935331.00098422.0E-5
7.31.00650694E-43.45853E-55.458461E-51.57826042.0E-54.312888E-41.4821437E-41.6821141E-41.13491962.0E-50.0052383060.00180303180.00182299571.01107242.0E-50.0511653570.019592640.0196122491.00100082.0E-5
7.49.672919E-53.3374814E-55.3374148E-51.59923432.0E-54.144878E-41.4302715E-41.6302429E-41.13981352.0E-50.0050347180.001739980.00175994521.01147442.0E-50.0492216830.018866820.0188864431.00104012.0E-5
7.58.7600405E-52.2694192E-54.269374E-51.88126272.0E-53.753763E-49.725721E-51.17255266E-41.20562032.0E-50.00456063260.00118346510.00120344141.01687962.0E-50.044681650.0131279380.01314767451.00150352.0E-5
7.67.9562284E-51.922004E-53.9219656E-52.04056052.0E-53.4093665E-48.236901E-51.0236736E-41.24278972.0E-50.00414300520.00100238280.00102236281.01993252.0E-50.0406661260.01121940.0112391751.00176262.0E-5
7.76.3866544E-51.1936281E-53.193604E-52.67554382.0E-52.7368503E-45.115449E-57.115347E-51.39095262.0E-50.00332702446.226282E-46.426157E-41.03210192.0E-50.0327765270.00720732940.0072271851.00275492.0E-5
7.84.2543215E-59.0726735E-62.9072493E-53.20440172.0E-51.8231533E-43.888231E-55.888153E-51.51435282.0E-50.00221742924.7328937E-44.932799E-41.04223742.0E-50.0219543320.00548846830.00550835861.0036242.0E-5
7.92.2636612E-57.811842E-62.7811686E-53.56019542.0E-59.7010445E-53.3478893E-55.3478223E-51.59737132.0E-50.00118046214.0752938E-44.2752124E-41.04905622.0E-50.0117421110.00468211160.0047020181.00425162.0E-5
8.01.5167874E-57.0475517E-62.704741E-53.8378452.0E-56.500356E-53.0203442E-55.0202838E-51.66215612.0E-57.9113094E-43.6766496E-43.876576E-41.05437732.0E-50.0078832030.0042147010.00423461661.00472532.0E-5
8.11.0681047E-56.3854363E-62.6385309E-54.13210732.0E-54.5775112E-52.7365868E-54.736532E-51.73081742.0E-55.5716943E-43.331286E-43.5312193E-41.06001692.0E-50.00555774570.0038166980.00383662151.00522022.0E-5
8.28.226114E-65.1139064E-61.5113855E-52.95544241.0E-53.52543E-52.1916558E-53.1916337E-51.4562661.0E-54.2913653E-42.6680148E-42.7679882E-41.0374711.0E-50.0042830880.00304456850.0030545381.00327461.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Calaveras (So) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5950744E-43.0713255E-43.1712948E-41.03254931.0E-56.834242E-40.0013154090.00132539581.00759221.0E-50.008288990.0158583260.0158780091.00124122.0E-50.0798654260.144401850.144418951.00011852.0E-5
6.11.3584697E-42.603514E-42.603514E-41.00.05.8207137E-40.00111517540.00111517541.00.00.0070637160.0134613850.013471251.00073291.0E-50.068433610.1240299940.1240387561.00007061.0E-5
6.21.14676266E-42.1714384E-42.1714384E-41.00.04.9137714E-49.30223E-49.30223E-41.00.00.00596611850.0112450580.0112549461.00087931.0E-50.0580846480.105020570.1050295161.00008521.0E-5
6.38.691518E-51.5987935E-41.5987935E-41.00.03.7244044E-46.849807E-46.849807E-41.00.00.0045250380.0083011220.0083110391.00119471.0E-50.0443399920.07933650.07934571.0001161.0E-5
6.48.50982E-51.5694331E-41.5694331E-41.00.03.646556E-46.724042E-46.724042E-41.00.00.00443064750.0081491550.0081590741.00121711.0E-50.043433450.077942680.077951891.00011831.0E-5
6.58.4062965E-51.5518743E-41.5518743E-41.00.03.602201E-46.6488347E-46.6488347E-41.00.00.0043768630.0080583650.0080682851.0012311.0E-50.0429165550.077113880.077123111.00011971.0E-5
6.68.194716E-51.5154552E-41.5154552E-41.00.03.5115483E-46.492843E-46.492843E-41.00.00.00426693170.0078702090.0078801311.00126061.0E-50.041859270.075399190.075408441.00012271.0E-5
6.78.012326E-51.4822475E-41.4822475E-41.00.03.433402E-46.350612E-46.350612E-41.00.00.0041721570.0076987010.0077086241.00128891.0E-50.0409469120.073841320.073850581.00012541.0E-5
6.87.119773E-51.2881879E-41.2881879E-41.00.03.0509746E-45.519494E-45.519494E-41.00.00.00370823570.0066960660.0067059991.00148341.0E-50.0364696420.064685750.06469511.00014461.0E-5
6.95.7343088E-59.919277E-59.919277E-51.00.02.4573295E-44.25043E-44.25043E-41.00.00.00298769420.0051626940.00517264241.0019271.0E-50.029478440.050510360.0505198581.0001881.0E-5
7.04.8746577E-58.2850725E-58.2850725E-51.00.02.0889717E-43.5502657E-43.5502657E-41.00.00.00254035650.0043139480.0043239051.0023081.0E-50.0251151210.0424852450.042494821.00022541.0E-5
7.14.2998014E-57.265203E-57.265203E-51.00.01.8426418E-43.1132903E-43.1132903E-41.00.00.0022411080.0037839030.00379386521.00263271.0E-50.0221864120.0374235620.037433191.00025731.0E-5
7.23.221292E-55.390791E-55.390791E-51.00.01.3804805E-42.3101359E-42.3101359E-41.00.00.00167943930.00280899070.00281896261.003551.0E-50.0166680370.028036020.0280457421.00034671.0E-5
7.32.3756531E-53.9473416E-53.9473416E-51.00.01.0180973E-41.6916092E-41.6916092E-41.00.00.00123882860.00205760570.00206758521.004851.0E-50.0123194520.0206431450.0206529391.00047451.0E-5
7.41.5997684E-52.7342163E-52.7342163E-51.00.06.8559704E-51.1717545E-41.1717545E-41.00.08.343947E-40.001425680.00143566581.00700411.0E-50.0083126870.0143760110.0143858671.00068561.0E-5
7.51.3814293E-52.4783874E-52.4783874E-51.00.05.9202768E-51.062123E-41.062123E-41.00.07.205553E-40.001292370.00130235711.00772771.0E-50.0071822340.0130550850.0130649541.0007561.0E-5
7.68.817309E-61.6430757E-51.6430757E-51.00.03.7787922E-57.0415634E-57.0415634E-51.00.04.5997082E-48.569745E-48.669659E-41.01165891.0E-50.0045901990.0087192840.0087291971.00113691.0E-5
7.74.0352206E-67.707318E-67.707318E-61.00.01.7293689E-53.3030945E-53.3030945E-51.00.02.1053031E-44.0207763E-44.1207363E-41.02486091.0E-50.00210330960.0041651720.00417513071.00239091.0E-5
7.83.413169E-66.787282E-66.787282E-61.00.01.4627784E-52.9088029E-52.9088029E-51.00.01.7807873E-43.5408925E-43.6408572E-41.02823151.0E-50.00177936090.00366651660.003676481.00271741.0E-5
7.92.4740732E-65.2791843E-65.2791843E-61.00.01.06031275E-52.262488E-52.262488E-51.00.01.2908543E-42.7542314E-42.854204E-41.03629781.0E-50.00129010470.00283479550.00284476721.00351761.0E-5
8.01.5231818E-63.2889548E-63.2889548E-61.00.06.527906E-61.40954435E-51.40954435E-51.00.07.9474354E-51.7159856E-41.7159856E-41.00.07.944594E-40.00175643030.00175643031.00.0
8.11.0104524E-62.045782E-62.045782E-61.00.04.330503E-68.767608E-68.767608E-61.00.05.2722597E-51.0674043E-41.0674043E-41.00.05.271009E-40.0010929340.0010929341.00.0

San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7221631E-41.3792426E-41.579215E-41.14498712.0E-57.378611E-45.9097214E-46.109603E-41.03382252.0E-50.0089465150.00717172350.00719158031.00276882.0E-50.085947940.070547960.070566551.00026352.0E-5
6.11.7221631E-41.3792426E-41.579215E-41.14498712.0E-57.378611E-45.9097214E-46.109603E-41.03382252.0E-50.0089465150.00717172350.00719158031.00276882.0E-50.085947940.070547960.070566551.00026352.0E-5
6.21.7221631E-41.3792426E-41.579215E-41.14498712.0E-57.378611E-45.9097214E-46.109603E-41.03382252.0E-50.0089465150.00717172350.00719158031.00276882.0E-50.085947940.070547960.070566551.00026352.0E-5
6.31.716926E-41.3711878E-41.5711605E-41.1458392.0E-57.3561794E-45.8752164E-46.075099E-41.03402132.0E-50.0089194280.0071299890.00714984681.00278512.0E-50.085698090.070159930.070178521.00026512.0E-5
6.41.6392978E-41.3587909E-41.5587638E-41.14716972.0E-57.02367E-45.82211E-46.021994E-41.03433182.0E-50.0085178390.00706575250.0070856111.00281062.0E-50.081986540.0693949760.069413591.00026822.0E-5
6.51.5742714E-41.2647794E-41.4647542E-41.15811042.0E-56.745133E-45.419374E-45.6192663E-41.03688472.0E-50.008181320.00657843750.0065983061.00302032.0E-50.0788659450.064860930.064879631.00028842.0E-5
6.61.3038084E-41.1587992E-41.358776E-41.17257252.0E-55.5865536E-44.96535E-45.1652506E-41.04025912.0E-50.0067804380.0060287840.00604866351.00329742.0E-50.06577250.0593305380.059349351.00031712.0E-5
6.71.2867592E-41.1314491E-41.3314265E-41.17674452.0E-55.5135164E-44.8481792E-45.048082E-41.04123262.0E-50.00669206540.0058869070.00590678961.00337732.0E-50.064940930.0580414160.0580602551.00032462.0E-5
6.81.2801298E-41.12520516E-41.3251827E-41.17772532.0E-55.485117E-44.8214293E-45.021333E-41.04146152.0E-50.00665770050.00585452930.00587441261.00339622.0E-50.064617380.057755240.0577740861.00032632.0E-5
6.91.269149E-41.1094256E-41.3094033E-41.18025352.0E-55.4380763E-44.7538272E-44.953732E-41.04205132.0E-50.0066007770.0057726630.00579254751.00344462.0E-50.064081220.0570271160.0570459781.00033072.0E-5
7.01.2030331E-41.0824356E-41.282414E-41.18474852.0E-55.154837E-44.638198E-44.8381052E-41.04310022.0E-50.0062579690.00563262030.00565250731.00353072.0E-50.060846480.0556999220.055718811.0003392.0E-5
7.18.049617E-55.392429E-57.392321E-51.37087042.0E-53.4493793E-42.3108382E-42.510792E-41.08652872.0E-50.00419153460.00280985050.00282979431.00709782.0E-50.0411335160.0296188330.029638241.00065532.0E-5
7.27.093979E-54.2935415E-56.293456E-51.46579592.0E-53.0399222E-41.8399608E-42.0399239E-41.1086782.0E-50.00369482530.00223787360.00225782881.00891712.0E-50.036339940.0239411260.0239606481.00081542.0E-5
7.36.193693E-52.8891074E-54.8890495E-51.69223542.0E-52.6541698E-41.2381302E-41.4381054E-41.16151392.0E-50.00322666370.0015063830.00152635281.01325682.0E-50.0318021330.0164976770.0165173471.00119232.0E-5
7.45.906492E-52.7020369E-54.701983E-51.74016242.0E-52.5311083E-41.1579645E-41.3579414E-41.17269682.0E-50.00307726980.00140891140.00142888331.01417542.0E-50.0303500440.01546950450.01548919551.00127292.0E-5
7.55.424296E-52.4675093E-54.46746E-51.81051392.0E-52.324491E-41.0574612E-41.25744E-41.18911222.0E-50.0028263950.00128669980.00130667411.01552372.0E-50.0279071650.0141618540.0141815711.00139222.0E-5
7.64.43084E-51.990151E-53.990111E-52.00492882.0E-51.8987931E-48.528939E-51.0528769E-41.23447572.0E-50.00230932960.0010379040.00105788331.01924962.0E-50.0228547830.0114111230.0114308951.00173272.0E-5
7.74.118098E-51.8933848E-53.8933467E-52.05628942.0E-51.7647797E-48.1142534E-51.0114091E-41.24645982.0E-50.0021465029.874629E-40.00100744321.02023392.0E-50.0212588660.0108689950.0108887781.00182012.0E-5
7.83.5408906E-51.856201E-53.856164E-52.07744962.0E-51.5174363E-47.954905E-59.9547455E-51.25139732.0E-50.00184591319.6807955E-49.880601E-41.02063942.0E-50.0183065520.01065066550.0106704521.00185782.0E-5
7.92.5860836E-51.7313954E-53.7313606E-52.15511752.0E-51.10827445E-47.420055E-59.4199066E-51.26951982.0E-50.0013484899.030175E-49.2299946E-41.0221282.0E-50.0134033540.0099066010.0099264031.00199892.0E-5
8.01.9777332E-51.4837888E-53.483759E-52.34788082.0E-58.4757245E-56.3589396E-58.358812E-51.31449782.0E-50.00103143097.739261E-47.939106E-41.02582232.0E-50.0102665670.0085080870.0085279171.00233072.0E-5
8.11.468494E-51.2105831E-53.210559E-52.65207652.0E-56.293394E-55.1881103E-57.1880066E-51.38547682.0E-57.6595135E-46.3146953E-46.5145694E-41.03165222.0E-50.00763316640.00696849540.00698835641.002852.0E-5
8.28.63836E-65.4678667E-61.5467813E-52.82885671.0E-53.7021015E-52.3433504E-53.343327E-51.42672941.0E-54.5063766E-42.8526565E-42.9526278E-41.0350451.0E-50.0044972490.0032451620.00325512981.00307151.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Cedar Mtn-Mahogany Mtn

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7763876E-52.9588866E-54.9588274E-51.675912.0E-51.1898261E-41.2680366E-41.4680112E-41.15770412.0E-50.00144765060.00154281120.00156278041.01294342.0E-50.01438256350.0153282250.01534791851.00128482.0E-5
6.11.6162443E-51.7142966E-53.714262E-52.16663932.0E-56.926578E-57.346788E-59.346641E-51.27220772.0E-58.4298453E-48.941221E-49.141043E-41.02234832.0E-50.0083979390.0089070590.0089268811.00222542.0E-5
6.21.6162443E-51.7142966E-53.714262E-52.16663932.0E-56.926578E-57.346788E-59.346641E-51.27220772.0E-58.4298453E-48.941221E-49.141043E-41.02234832.0E-50.0083979390.0089070590.0089268811.00222542.0E-5
6.39.746053E-61.0303152E-53.0302946E-52.94113352.0E-54.1768133E-54.415564E-56.415476E-51.45292332.0E-55.0840835E-45.3746643E-45.5745564E-41.03719162.0E-50.00507246750.0053620840.0053819771.00370992.0E-5
6.49.746053E-61.0303152E-53.0302946E-52.94113352.0E-54.1768133E-54.415564E-56.415476E-51.45292332.0E-55.0840835E-45.3746643E-45.5745564E-41.03719162.0E-50.00507246750.0053620840.0053819771.00370992.0E-5
6.57.290083E-67.695325E-62.769517E-53.59896062.0E-53.124284E-53.297956E-55.29789E-51.60641622.0E-53.8031515E-44.014543E-44.2144628E-41.04979882.0E-50.00379664940.0040075110.0040274311.00497072.0E-5
6.65.67907E-65.9891527E-62.5989033E-54.33935072.0E-52.4338644E-52.5667552E-54.566704E-51.77917392.0E-52.962827E-43.12459E-43.3245274E-41.06398842.0E-50.00295887980.0031203330.00314027051.00638962.0E-5
6.73.4853963E-63.672631E-61.3672594E-53.72283361.0E-51.4937327E-51.5739755E-52.5739599E-51.63532391.0E-51.8184677E-41.916153E-42.0161338E-41.05217791.0E-50.00181698040.00191456290.00192454361.00521311.0E-5
6.82.7535168E-62.9015764E-61.2901547E-54.44639251.0E-51.1800733E-51.2435271E-52.2435146E-51.80415431.0E-51.4366445E-41.5138938E-41.6138787E-41.06604481.0E-50.00143571620.00151290980.00152289461.00659981.0E-5
6.91.6594106E-61.7496985E-61.7496985E-61.00.07.1117406E-67.4986883E-67.4986883E-61.00.08.6582E-59.129302E-59.129302E-51.00.08.654827E-49.125856E-49.125856E-41.00.0
7.05.10215E-75.389254E-75.389254E-71.00.02.186634E-62.3096788E-62.3096788E-61.00.02.6621943E-52.8120105E-52.8120105E-51.00.02.6618753E-42.81178E-42.81178E-41.00.0

Channel Islands Thrust

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2156251E-52.4092022E-54.409154E-51.83013032.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.2324598E-41.19368832.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00127640131.01589812.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.0125235711.00157952.0E-5
6.12.2156251E-52.4092022E-54.409154E-51.83013032.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.2324598E-41.19368832.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00127640131.01589812.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.0125235711.00157952.0E-5
6.22.2156251E-52.4092022E-54.409154E-51.83013032.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.2324598E-41.19368832.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00127640131.01589812.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.0125235711.00157952.0E-5
6.32.2156251E-52.4092022E-54.409154E-51.83013032.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.2324598E-41.19368832.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00127640131.01589812.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.0125235711.00157952.0E-5
6.42.2156251E-52.4092022E-54.409154E-51.83013032.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.2324598E-41.19368832.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00127640131.01589812.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.0125235711.00157952.0E-5
6.52.2156251E-52.4092022E-54.409154E-51.83013032.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.2324598E-41.19368832.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00127640131.01589812.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.0125235711.00157952.0E-5
6.62.2156251E-52.4092022E-54.409154E-51.83013032.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.2324598E-41.19368832.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00127640131.01589812.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.0125235711.00157952.0E-5
6.71.0601296E-51.1379544E-53.1379317E-52.75751972.0E-54.5433335E-54.876859E-56.8767615E-51.41008012.0E-55.5301044E-45.936007E-46.1358884E-41.03367272.0E-50.0055163630.0059206530.0059405351.0033582.0E-5
6.81.0246747E-51.0996669E-53.099645E-52.81871252.0E-54.391389E-54.7127756E-56.712681E-51.42435842.0E-55.345204E-45.7363417E-45.936227E-41.03484552.0E-50.00533236560.0057220250.00574191051.00347532.0E-5
6.99.049551E-69.699645E-62.9699451E-53.06191132.0E-53.878322E-54.1569267E-56.156843E-51.48110472.0E-54.7208337E-45.059924E-45.259823E-41.03950632.0E-50.00471081720.00504882030.00506871941.00394132.0E-5
7.08.6542195E-69.274603E-62.9274417E-53.15640642.0E-53.7088983E-53.9747716E-55.9746922E-51.50315362.0E-54.5146482E-44.8382508E-45.038154E-41.04131722.0E-50.0045054870.00482812940.00484803271.00412242.0E-5
7.18.391028E-68.992925E-62.8992745E-53.22395042.0E-53.5961057E-53.8540562E-55.853979E-51.51891392.0E-54.3773788E-44.6913436E-44.8912497E-41.04261172.0E-50.0043687660.00468185030.0047017571.00425182.0E-5
7.25.965188E-66.3716957E-62.6371568E-54.1388622.0E-52.556484E-52.7306984E-54.730644E-51.73239342.0E-53.1120746E-43.3241237E-43.524057E-41.06014622.0E-50.003107720.00331920940.0033391431.00600552.0E-5
7.34.877518E-65.206007E-62.5205904E-54.84169632.0E-52.0903482E-52.231127E-54.231082E-51.8963882.0E-52.5447016E-42.716063E-42.9160085E-41.0736162.0E-50.00254178980.00271278970.00273273541.00735252.0E-5
7.43.8829853E-64.141863E-64.141863E-61.00.01.664126E-51.7750723E-51.7750723E-51.00.02.0258849E-42.1609403E-42.1609403E-41.00.00.0020240390.0021588810.0021588811.00.0
7.51.3489616E-61.4277905E-61.4277905E-61.00.05.7812517E-66.119088E-66.119088E-61.00.07.038446E-57.449739E-57.449739E-51.00.07.036218E-47.4472814E-47.4472814E-41.00.0
7.66.058192E-76.35378E-76.35378E-71.00.02.5963652E-62.7230458E-62.7230458E-61.00.03.161029E-53.3152595E-53.3152595E-51.00.03.1605794E-43.314781E-43.314781E-41.00.0
7.72.2170494E-72.2607924E-72.2607924E-71.00.09.5016367E-79.689107E-79.689107E-71.00.01.1568181E-51.17964355E-51.17964355E-51.00.01.1567579E-41.179592E-41.179592E-41.00.0
7.82.1613102E-81.5466837E-81.5466837E-81.00.09.262757E-86.628645E-86.628645E-81.00.01.1277401E-68.070372E-78.070372E-71.00.01.1277344E-58.07035E-68.07035E-61.00.0

Camp Rock 2011

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6710783E-54.249999E-62.4249914E-55.7058632.0E-57.161568E-51.8214158E-53.8213795E-52.0980272.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-42.417309E-41.09017772.0E-50.0086816160.00221519380.00223514951.00900852.0E-5
6.11.6710783E-54.249999E-62.4249914E-55.7058632.0E-57.161568E-51.8214158E-53.8213795E-52.0980272.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-42.417309E-41.09017772.0E-50.0086816160.00221519380.00223514951.00900852.0E-5
6.21.6710783E-54.249999E-62.4249914E-55.7058632.0E-57.161568E-51.8214158E-53.8213795E-52.0980272.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-42.417309E-41.09017772.0E-50.0086816160.00221519380.00223514951.00900852.0E-5
6.31.6710783E-54.249999E-62.4249914E-55.7058632.0E-57.161568E-51.8214158E-53.8213795E-52.0980272.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-42.417309E-41.09017772.0E-50.0086816160.00221519380.00223514951.00900852.0E-5
6.47.982846E-63.6820359E-61.3681999E-53.71587871.0E-53.421175E-51.578006E-52.5779902E-51.63370111.0E-54.1644843E-41.9210564E-42.0210372E-41.05204471.0E-50.00415668870.00191943060.00192941141.00519991.0E-5
6.57.982846E-63.6820359E-61.3681999E-53.71587871.0E-53.421175E-51.578006E-52.5779902E-51.63370111.0E-54.1644843E-41.9210564E-42.0210372E-41.05204471.0E-50.00415668870.00191943060.00192941141.00519991.0E-5
6.67.048869E-63.4242998E-61.34242655E-53.9202951.0E-53.0209088E-51.467549E-52.4675343E-51.68139831.0E-53.677336E-41.7865976E-41.8865797E-41.05596231.0E-50.00367125660.00178519290.0017951751.00559161.0E-5
6.76.987307E-63.3622775E-61.3362243E-53.97416451.0E-52.9945259E-51.4409683E-52.4409539E-51.69396781.0E-53.6452254E-41.7542407E-41.8542232E-41.05699471.0E-50.00363925170.00175288720.00176286951.00569491.0E-5
6.86.3737602E-63.1178672E-61.3117836E-54.20731071.0E-52.731583E-51.3362222E-52.3362089E-51.74836851.0E-53.3251947E-41.6267318E-41.7267156E-41.0614631.0E-50.00332022370.00162556980.00163555341.00614171.0E-5
6.96.112211E-62.933078E-61.2933048E-54.40937761.0E-52.6194928E-51.2570275E-52.257015E-51.79551761.0E-53.1887658E-41.5303263E-41.630311E-41.06533551.0E-50.0031841940.00152930020.0015392851.0065291.0E-5
7.05.5140117E-62.64191E-61.2641884E-54.78513051.0E-52.3631264E-51.1322423E-52.132231E-51.88319311.0E-52.8767265E-41.3784204E-41.4784066E-41.07253681.0E-50.00287300530.00137759070.00138757691.0072491.0E-5
7.14.8151105E-62.1342612E-61.213424E-55.68545251.0E-52.0636026E-59.146803E-61.9146712E-52.09326821.0E-52.5121463E-41.1135685E-41.2135574E-41.08979141.0E-50.00250930830.00111303250.00112302121.00897441.0E-5
7.23.818335E-61.2937372E-61.1293724E-58.7295351.0E-51.6364189E-55.5445767E-61.5544521E-52.8035541.0E-51.9921579E-46.750321E-57.750254E-51.14813111.0E-50.00199037286.7483535E-46.848286E-41.01480841.0E-5
7.32.7166698E-67.383078E-77.383078E-71.00.01.1642818E-53.1641725E-63.1641725E-61.00.01.4174209E-43.852314E-53.852314E-51.00.00.00141651723.8516664E-43.8516664E-41.00.0
7.42.0893426E-65.4614605E-75.4614605E-71.00.08.954295E-62.340624E-62.340624E-61.00.01.0901308E-42.8496728E-52.8496728E-51.00.00.00108959622.849313E-42.849313E-41.00.0
7.51.1681728E-63.6028484E-73.6028484E-71.00.05.0064455E-61.544077E-61.544077E-61.00.06.0951766E-51.879898E-51.879898E-51.00.06.093505E-41.8797436E-41.8797436E-41.00.0
7.61.3154387E-77.1196716E-87.1196716E-81.00.05.6375933E-73.0512876E-73.0512876E-71.00.06.863748E-63.714938E-63.714938E-61.00.06.863536E-53.7148915E-53.7148915E-51.00.0

Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.4353277E-57.050019E-59.0498776E-51.28366722.0E-52.3292181E-43.0211007E-43.2210402E-41.06618112.0E-50.00283213520.00367200560.00369193221.00542662.0E-50.027963120.0361158440.0361351221.00053382.0E-5
6.14.5578287E-55.822054E-56.821996E-51.17175071.0E-51.953209E-42.4949352E-42.5949103E-41.04007121.0E-50.00237543830.00303335490.00304332471.00328671.0E-50.0235020630.0299198930.0299295931.00032421.0E-5
6.22.8536782E-53.4736422E-54.4736073E-51.28787231.0E-51.2229476E-41.4886161E-41.5886012E-41.06716641.0E-50.00148792170.00181085760.00182083951.00551221.0E-50.0147799860.0179582760.0179680981.00054681.0E-5
6.32.3698774E-52.8213344E-53.8213064E-51.35443221.0E-51.01562226E-41.2090833E-41.3090711E-41.08269731.0E-50.00123581860.0014710510.00148103631.00678791.0E-50.0122896860.0146114550.0146213081.00067441.0E-5
6.41.9191197E-52.212289E-52.212289E-51.00.08.2245395E-59.4808805E-59.4808805E-51.00.00.00100087770.00115369060.00115369061.00.00.0099638180.0114770220.0114770221.00.0
6.51.5203241E-51.6801298E-51.6801298E-51.00.06.5155116E-57.200338E-57.200338E-51.00.07.9297484E-48.76301E-48.76301E-41.00.00.0079015120.0087295810.0087295811.00.0
6.61.0984925E-51.12425605E-51.12425605E-51.00.04.70774E-54.8181533E-54.8181533E-51.00.05.730166E-45.8645604E-45.8645604E-41.00.00.0057154130.00584947550.00584947551.00.0
6.79.134616E-69.019868E-69.019868E-61.00.03.9147766E-53.865602E-53.865602E-51.00.04.7651984E-44.7053778E-44.7053778E-41.00.00.0047549930.004695660.004695661.00.0
6.87.785589E-67.4519185E-67.4519185E-61.00.03.3366385E-53.1936415E-53.1936415E-51.00.04.0616E-43.887585E-43.887585E-41.00.00.00405418450.0038809880.0038809881.00.0
6.95.579095E-64.8984666E-64.8984666E-61.00.02.3910188E-52.0993268E-52.0993268E-51.00.02.9106764E-42.5556443E-42.5556443E-41.00.00.0029068670.00255284270.00255284271.00.0
7.02.6816688E-61.521587E-61.521587E-61.00.01.1492816E-56.521071E-66.521071E-61.00.01.3991605E-47.939124E-57.939124E-51.00.00.00139827997.936375E-47.936375E-41.00.0
7.11.9951021E-67.45357E-77.45357E-71.00.08.55041E-63.1943835E-63.1943835E-61.00.01.0409627E-43.889097E-53.889097E-51.00.00.00104047523.8884574E-43.8884574E-41.00.0
7.21.9951021E-67.45357E-77.45357E-71.00.08.55041E-63.1943835E-63.1943835E-61.00.01.0409627E-43.889097E-53.889097E-51.00.00.00104047523.8884574E-43.8884574E-41.00.0
7.31.7087556E-66.578663E-76.578663E-71.00.07.3232177E-62.819424E-62.819424E-61.00.08.915652E-53.432599E-53.432599E-51.00.08.9120766E-43.432109E-43.432109E-41.00.0
7.41.3804846E-66.0737113E-76.0737113E-71.00.05.916349E-62.6030168E-62.6030168E-61.00.07.2029165E-53.169131E-53.169131E-51.00.07.200583E-43.168719E-43.168719E-41.00.0
7.51.3804846E-66.0737113E-76.0737113E-71.00.05.916349E-62.6030168E-62.6030168E-61.00.07.2029165E-53.169131E-53.169131E-51.00.07.200583E-43.168719E-43.168719E-41.00.0

Calaveras (Central) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5010907E-42.4804124E-42.5803875E-41.04030591.0E-56.4316596E-40.0010624980.00107248731.00940181.0E-50.00780246640.0128504430.0128701861.00153642.0E-50.075341360.1204112250.1204288151.00014622.0E-5
6.11.4521465E-42.3965565E-42.4965324E-41.04171661.0E-56.222001E-40.00102659420.00103658391.00973091.0E-50.00754900560.0124197630.01243951451.00159042.0E-50.072976570.116682730.1167003961.00015142.0E-5
6.21.429998E-42.3896809E-42.489657E-41.04183661.0E-56.127123E-40.00102364990.00103363981.0097591.0E-50.0074342860.0123843720.0124041241.00159492.0E-50.071904440.116336770.116354441.00015192.0E-5
6.31.3536277E-42.3227946E-42.4227714E-41.04304161.0E-55.799972E-49.950127E-40.00100500281.01004021.0E-50.00703862640.0120405340.0120602931.0016412.0E-50.06819820.1132495250.113267261.00015662.0E-5
6.41.2993296E-42.2651516E-42.3651289E-41.04413711.0E-55.5673666E-49.703276E-49.803178E-41.01029571.0E-50.0067572230.0117433380.0117631021.00168312.0E-50.065554120.110527520.1105453151.00016092.0E-5
6.51.0498927E-41.7981966E-41.7981966E-41.00.04.498764E-47.7042676E-47.7042676E-41.00.00.0054634980.009339520.0093494261.00106071.0E-50.0533111240.089207390.089216491.0001021.0E-5
6.61.0157505E-41.7469494E-41.7469494E-41.00.04.35249E-47.4847665E-47.4847665E-41.00.00.00528628840.0090745670.0090844761.0010921.0E-50.051622930.086784870.0867940041.00010531.0E-5
6.79.660386E-51.6728783E-41.6728783E-41.00.04.1395082E-47.167497E-47.167497E-41.00.00.00502821060.0086914740.0087013871.00114061.0E-50.0491594970.083274010.083283171.000111.0E-5
6.89.089927E-51.5643238E-41.5643238E-41.00.03.8951015E-46.702511E-46.702511E-41.00.00.00473197880.0081297420.0081396611.00122011.0E-50.0463247750.0781630.078172221.00011791.0E-5
6.97.353187E-51.2295779E-41.2295779E-41.00.03.150985E-45.2685605E-45.2685605E-41.00.00.00382957720.0063957280.00640566371.00155351.0E-50.0376425120.062189280.0621986581.00015081.0E-5
7.05.746064E-59.3890936E-59.3890936E-51.00.02.4623662E-44.0232803E-44.0232803E-41.00.00.00299380980.00488741320.00489736441.00203611.0E-50.029537970.047987130.0479966481.00019841.0E-5
7.14.9557195E-58.052768E-58.052768E-51.00.02.123707E-43.4507332E-43.4507332E-41.00.00.00258254730.0041932370.0042031951.00237481.0E-50.02552740.0413734730.0413830581.00023171.0E-5
7.23.687595E-55.952694E-55.952694E-51.00.01.5803022E-42.5509068E-42.5509068E-41.00.00.00192231990.0031013350.00311130381.00321441.0E-50.019057760.0308838230.0308935141.00031381.0E-5
7.32.5846984E-54.2473923E-54.2473923E-51.00.01.1076809E-41.820185E-41.820185E-41.00.00.00134776710.00221384040.0022238181.00450711.0E-50.0133962230.0221752170.0221849961.0004411.0E-5
7.41.7747854E-52.993759E-52.993759E-51.00.07.6060016E-51.2829766E-41.2829766E-41.00.09.2563726E-40.00156090780.00157089221.00639651.0E-50.0092179110.0157086870.0157185291.00062661.0E-5
7.51.4883479E-52.6244672E-52.6244672E-51.00.06.378478E-51.12472335E-41.12472335E-41.00.07.76303E-40.00136849320.00137847951.00729731.0E-50.00773596670.0138016670.0138115291.00071451.0E-5
7.68.166975E-61.4964299E-51.4964299E-51.00.03.5000852E-56.413114E-56.413114E-51.00.04.2605202E-47.805183E-47.905105E-41.0128021.0E-50.0042523610.0079392030.0079491241.00124961.0E-5
7.73.3858064E-66.254251E-66.254251E-61.00.01.4510518E-52.6803657E-52.6803657E-51.00.01.7665124E-43.2628572E-43.3628245E-41.0306381.0E-50.00176510880.0033883630.0033983291.00294131.0E-5
7.82.7721615E-65.366695E-65.366695E-61.00.01.1880637E-52.2999919E-52.2999919E-51.00.01.4463716E-42.7998807E-42.8998527E-41.03570581.0E-50.00144543060.0029076150.00291758571.00342931.0E-5
7.91.9736292E-64.128705E-64.128705E-61.00.08.4583835E-61.769433E-51.769433E-51.00.01.0297595E-42.1540721E-42.2540505E-41.04641371.0E-50.00102928250.00222372990.00223370781.00448691.0E-5
8.01.1767289E-62.5546633E-62.5546633E-61.00.05.0431145E-61.0948511E-51.0948511E-51.00.06.139818E-51.3329E-41.3329E-41.00.06.1381224E-40.0013661260.0013661261.00.0
8.17.5112825E-71.541076E-61.541076E-61.00.03.2191172E-66.604595E-66.604595E-61.00.03.9192048E-58.0408E-58.0408E-51.00.03.9185135E-48.2356273E-48.2356273E-41.00.0

Newport-Inglewood (Offshore)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9626508E-51.8965342E-53.8964965E-52.05453522.0E-58.411089E-58.1277576E-51.0127595E-41.24605042.0E-50.0010235699.891179E-40.00100909811.02022.0E-50.0101886720.0098484970.00986831.00201082.0E-5
6.11.331886E-51.2218078E-53.2217835E-52.63689852.0E-55.707958E-55.2362153E-57.23611E-51.38193522.0E-56.947222E-46.3732424E-46.5731147E-41.03136122.0E-50.0069255440.0063551420.0063750151.00312712.0E-5
6.21.2250852E-51.1076016E-53.1075793E-52.80568342.0E-55.2502597E-54.746778E-56.746683E-51.42131842.0E-56.3903164E-45.7776796E-45.977564E-41.0345962.0E-50.0063719710.00576277960.00578266431.00345052.0E-5
6.31.2106258E-51.0918878E-53.0918658E-52.831672.0E-55.1882926E-54.6794354E-56.679342E-51.4273822.0E-56.3149154E-45.695733E-45.8956194E-41.0350942.0E-50.00629700070.0056812520.00570113861.00350032.0E-5
6.41.1348758E-51.0109348E-53.0109146E-52.97834682.0E-54.8636626E-54.3325064E-56.3324194E-51.46160652.0E-55.919901E-45.2735576E-45.4734526E-41.03790512.0E-50.0059041550.00526113950.00528103441.00378142.0E-5
6.51.100837E-59.743376E-62.9743182E-53.05265672.0E-54.7177873E-54.175666E-56.1755825E-51.47894552.0E-55.7423924E-45.082695E-45.282594E-41.03932922.0E-50.0057275760.0050711620.00509106041.00392392.0E-5
6.61.0634696E-59.34553E-62.9345343E-53.14004062.0E-54.557647E-54.0051662E-56.005086E-51.4993352.0E-55.5475225E-44.875206E-45.0751085E-41.0410042.0E-50.00553369430.00486459770.00488450051.00409142.0E-5
6.79.9780855E-68.667898E-62.8667726E-53.30734422.0E-54.276252E-53.7147613E-55.714687E-51.53837262.0E-55.205093E-44.5217903E-44.7216998E-41.04421032.0E-50.00519291820.00451266860.00453257841.00441192.0E-5
6.89.59546E-68.272933E-62.8272767E-53.41750242.0E-54.1122752E-53.545495E-55.545424E-51.56407622.0E-55.0055445E-44.3157916E-44.5157052E-41.04632142.0E-50.0049942850.0043074860.00432739971.0046232.0E-5
6.99.000614E-67.706823E-61.7706747E-52.29754141.0E-53.857349E-53.3028828E-54.30285E-51.30275581.0E-54.6953102E-44.0205245E-44.1204842E-41.02486241.0E-50.0046854020.00401332230.0040232821.00248171.0E-5
7.07.4070194E-66.148865E-66.148865E-61.00.03.1743984E-52.6352012E-52.6352012E-51.00.03.8641447E-43.2078868E-43.2078868E-41.00.00.00385743220.00320327580.00320327581.00.0
7.16.299615E-65.0565613E-65.0565613E-61.00.02.699807E-52.1670798E-52.1670798E-51.00.03.2865192E-42.6381016E-42.6381016E-41.00.00.0032816630.00263498470.00263498471.00.0
7.25.096653E-63.892733E-63.892733E-61.00.02.1842614E-51.6683034E-51.6683034E-51.00.02.6590136E-42.0309711E-42.0309711E-41.00.00.00265583420.00202912630.00202912631.00.0
7.33.9753018E-62.9098787E-62.9098787E-61.00.01.7036897E-51.24708495E-51.24708495E-51.00.02.0740448E-41.518221E-41.518221E-41.00.00.002072110.00151719190.00151719191.00.0
7.43.0568392E-62.1449732E-62.1449732E-61.00.01.3100675E-59.19271E-69.19271E-61.00.01.5948903E-41.11915564E-41.11915564E-41.00.00.00159374610.00111859830.00111859831.00.0
7.51.7279019E-61.1469651E-61.1469651E-61.00.07.405273E-64.9155556E-64.9155556E-61.00.09.015547E-55.9845286E-55.9845286E-51.00.09.01189E-45.982956E-45.982956E-41.00.0
7.61.1156416E-67.222962E-77.222962E-71.00.04.7813123E-63.0955514E-63.0955514E-61.00.05.821092E-53.768771E-53.768771E-51.00.05.8195676E-43.7681553E-43.7681553E-41.00.0
7.79.117973E-86.7342256E-86.7342256E-81.00.03.907702E-72.8860964E-72.8860964E-71.00.04.757617E-63.5138169E-63.5138169E-61.00.04.7575148E-53.5137644E-53.5137644E-51.00.0

Santa Cruz Island

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9164563E-53.1599742E-55.1599112E-51.63289652.0E-51.2498499E-41.3542121E-41.554185E-41.14766742.0E-50.00152063010.00164764260.00166760961.01211862.0E-50.0151026670.0163680.0163876711.00120192.0E-5
6.12.9164563E-53.1599742E-55.1599112E-51.63289652.0E-51.2498499E-41.3542121E-41.554185E-41.14766742.0E-50.00152063010.00164764260.00166760961.01211862.0E-50.0151026670.0163680.0163876711.00120192.0E-5
6.22.9164563E-53.1599742E-55.1599112E-51.63289652.0E-51.2498499E-41.3542121E-41.554185E-41.14766742.0E-50.00152063010.00164764260.00166760961.01211862.0E-50.0151026670.0163680.0163876711.00120192.0E-5
6.31.6635553E-51.780436E-52.780418E-51.56165021.0E-57.1293274E-57.630227E-58.63015E-51.13104771.0E-58.6765E-49.286024E-49.385931E-41.01075891.0E-50.0086427010.0092490940.0092590011.00107121.0E-5
6.41.6635553E-51.780436E-52.780418E-51.56165021.0E-57.1293274E-57.630227E-58.63015E-51.13104771.0E-58.6765E-49.286024E-49.385931E-41.01075891.0E-50.0086427010.0092490940.0092590011.00107121.0E-5
6.51.2238748E-51.3042996E-52.3042865E-51.7666851.0E-55.2450723E-55.5897377E-56.589682E-51.17888931.0E-56.3840044E-46.8034173E-46.9033494E-41.01468851.0E-50.00636569550.0067829880.006792921.00146421.0E-5
6.61.0489767E-51.1156636E-52.1156524E-51.89631751.0E-54.495537E-54.781329E-55.7812813E-51.20913681.0E-55.4719415E-45.819736E-45.919677E-41.01717291.0E-50.0054584870.0058047360.0058146781.00171271.0E-5
6.78.699222E-69.236783E-61.923669E-52.0826181.0E-53.7281847E-53.958561E-54.958522E-51.2526071.0E-54.5381195E-44.818488E-44.9184397E-41.02074341.0E-50.00452886340.0048081080.004818061.00206981.0E-5
6.88.307732E-68.8169045E-61.8816816E-52.13417481.0E-53.560408E-53.7786187E-54.7785812E-51.2646371.0E-54.3339343E-44.5995016E-44.6994555E-41.02173151.0E-50.0043254920.00459003540.00459998941.00216871.0E-5
6.98.073121E-68.564939E-61.8564853E-52.16754061.0E-53.459863E-53.670637E-54.6706E-51.27242231.0E-54.2115687E-44.4680882E-44.5680435E-41.02237091.0E-50.0042035960.0044591560.00446911161.00223261.0E-5
7.07.617019E-68.074665E-61.8074585E-52.23843151.0E-53.264396E-53.4605247E-54.46049E-51.28896361.0E-53.9736772E-44.2123784E-44.3123364E-41.02372961.0E-50.0039665790.00420444130.00421439951.00236851.0E-5
7.17.1224836E-67.5457883E-61.7545713E-52.32523251.0E-53.052457E-53.2338692E-54.2338368E-51.30921711.0E-53.715733E-43.9365282E-44.0364888E-41.02539311.0E-50.0037095260.00392959830.00393955881.00253471.0E-5
7.26.441115E-66.8273835E-61.6827315E-52.464681.0E-52.7604487E-52.9259889E-53.9259598E-51.34175481.0E-53.360328E-43.5618115E-43.6617758E-41.02806561.0E-50.00335525120.00355613120.00356609561.0028021.0E-5
7.35.494274E-65.8199944E-61.5819936E-52.71820471.0E-52.3546674E-52.4942596E-53.4942346E-51.40091061.0E-52.8664304E-43.03634E-43.1363097E-41.03292441.0E-50.0028627360.00303221450.00304218431.00328791.0E-5
7.44.0802624E-64.3122564E-64.3122564E-61.00.01.7486722E-51.8480969E-51.8480969E-51.00.02.1288003E-42.2498264E-42.2498264E-41.00.00.00212676220.00224755770.00224755771.00.0
7.52.3584746E-62.4753099E-62.4753099E-61.00.01.0107709E-51.0608428E-51.0608428E-51.00.01.2305441E-41.2915001E-41.2915001E-41.00.00.00122986290.00129075450.00129075451.00.0
7.69.4981914E-79.860934E-79.860934E-71.00.04.0706473E-64.2261076E-64.2261076E-61.00.04.9559E-55.1451658E-55.1451658E-51.00.04.954795E-45.1439874E-45.1439874E-41.00.0
7.72.6013532E-72.6416632E-72.6416632E-71.00.01.1148652E-61.1321408E-61.1321408E-61.00.01.3573399E-51.3783729E-51.3783729E-51.00.01.357257E-41.378288E-41.378288E-41.00.0
7.84.1522263E-83.965698E-83.965698E-81.00.01.7795254E-71.6995848E-71.6995848E-71.00.02.16657E-62.0692428E-62.0692428E-61.00.02.1665488E-52.0692256E-52.0692256E-51.00.0
7.97.7242046E-105.9475225E-105.9475225E-101.00.03.3103735E-92.5489382E-92.5489382E-91.00.04.0303796E-83.1033323E-83.1033323E-81.00.04.030379E-73.103332E-73.103332E-71.00.0

Tin Mountain

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.083776E-64.1815365E-61.4181494E-53.39145541.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-53.792041E-52.11600352.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.3816289E-41.09165282.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00219985281.00915482.0E-5
6.14.083776E-64.1815365E-61.4181494E-53.39145541.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-53.792041E-52.11600352.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.3816289E-41.09165282.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00219985281.00915482.0E-5
6.24.083776E-64.1815365E-61.4181494E-53.39145541.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-53.792041E-52.11600352.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.3816289E-41.09165282.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00219985281.00915482.0E-5
6.34.083776E-64.1815365E-61.4181494E-53.39145541.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-53.792041E-52.11600352.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.3816289E-41.09165282.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00219985281.00915482.0E-5
6.44.083776E-64.1815365E-61.4181494E-53.39145541.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-53.792041E-52.11600352.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.3816289E-41.09165282.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00219985281.00915482.0E-5
6.52.3143427E-62.3731573E-62.3731573E-61.00.09.9185745E-61.0170638E-51.0170638E-51.00.01.2075195E-41.2382126E-41.2382126E-41.00.00.00120686360.00123759860.00123759861.00.0
6.62.3143427E-62.3731573E-62.3731573E-61.00.09.9185745E-61.0170638E-51.0170638E-51.00.01.2075195E-41.2382126E-41.2382126E-41.00.00.00120686360.00123759860.00123759861.00.0
6.71.7029532E-61.7497915E-61.7497915E-61.00.07.2983503E-67.499088E-67.499088E-61.00.08.885379E-59.1298105E-59.1298105E-51.00.08.881827E-49.1265864E-49.1265864E-41.00.0
6.81.2914646E-61.3299378E-61.3299378E-61.00.05.534837E-65.6997237E-65.6997237E-61.00.06.738455E-56.939237E-56.939237E-51.00.06.736412E-46.9375033E-46.9375033E-41.00.0
6.95.8708974E-76.1169936E-76.1169936E-71.00.02.5160964E-62.6215664E-62.6215664E-61.00.03.0633044E-53.1917145E-53.1917145E-51.00.03.0628822E-43.191297E-43.191297E-41.00.0
7.04.6248786E-74.832015E-74.832015E-71.00.01.9820893E-62.0708624E-62.0708624E-61.00.02.413167E-52.5212494E-52.5212494E-51.00.02.412905E-42.5210003E-42.5210003E-41.00.0
7.13.804606E-73.987147E-73.987147E-71.00.01.6305444E-61.7087764E-61.7087764E-61.00.01.9851697E-52.0804187E-52.0804187E-51.00.01.9849923E-42.0802575E-42.0802575E-41.00.0
7.23.5864858E-73.7616863E-73.7616863E-71.00.01.5370645E-61.6121504E-61.6121504E-61.00.01.87136E-51.9627789E-51.9627789E-51.00.01.8712023E-41.9626386E-41.9626386E-41.00.0
7.33.342063E-73.506347E-73.506347E-71.00.01.4323119E-61.5027196E-61.5027196E-61.00.01.7438259E-51.829549E-51.829549E-51.00.01.743689E-41.8294314E-41.8294314E-41.00.0
7.42.971242E-73.1165817E-73.1165817E-71.00.01.2733886E-61.3356774E-61.3356774E-61.00.01.5503398E-51.6261785E-51.6261785E-51.00.01.5502315E-41.6260923E-41.6260923E-41.00.0
7.51.4326713E-71.5012525E-71.5012525E-71.00.06.140018E-76.433939E-76.433939E-71.00.07.4754466E-67.8333205E-67.8333205E-61.00.07.475195E-57.833321E-57.833321E-51.00.0

Hosgri (Extension)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1369135E-51.2083073E-53.2082833E-52.6551882.0E-54.8723956E-55.17837E-57.178266E-51.3862022.0E-55.9305265E-46.303069E-46.502943E-41.03171062.0E-50.0059147250.006287440.00630731461.0031612.0E-5
6.16.934979E-67.324556E-62.732441E-53.7305212.0E-52.9721E-53.13906E-55.1389972E-51.63711352.0E-53.617931E-43.821177E-44.0211005E-41.05231992.0E-50.00361204640.0038150190.00383494281.00522242.0E-5
6.26.934979E-67.324556E-62.732441E-53.7305212.0E-52.9721E-53.13906E-55.1389972E-51.63711352.0E-53.617931E-43.821177E-44.0211005E-41.05231992.0E-50.00361204640.0038150190.00383494281.00522242.0E-5
6.34.5484676E-64.769331E-62.4769235E-55.193442.0E-51.9493287E-52.0439833E-54.0439423E-51.97846152.0E-52.3730492E-42.4882698E-42.6882198E-41.08035722.0E-50.00237051680.00248552630.00250547661.00802662.0E-5
6.44.218095E-64.416863E-62.4416775E-55.5280812.0E-51.8077424E-51.8929275E-53.8928898E-52.05654452.0E-52.2007042E-42.3043988E-42.504353E-41.08677052.0E-50.0021985260.0023020430.00232199671.0086682.0E-5
6.53.717374E-63.883879E-62.38838E-56.14947132.0E-51.5931506E-51.664509E-53.6644757E-52.20153572.0E-51.9394881E-42.026353E-42.2263125E-41.09867952.0E-50.00193779620.00202452410.00204448361.00985882.0E-5
6.63.4605036E-63.6083072E-62.3608234E-56.54274562.0E-51.4830645E-51.5464082E-53.5463774E-52.29329942.0E-51.8054814E-41.8825909E-42.0825531E-41.10621652.0E-50.00180401520.00188101070.0019009731.01061262.0E-5
6.73.123439E-63.2465698E-62.3246504E-57.1603282.0E-51.33860985E-51.39137965E-53.391352E-52.43740222.0E-51.6296357E-41.6938741E-41.8938402E-41.11805252.0E-50.0016284410.0016925940.00171256011.01179622.0E-5
6.82.8290783E-62.9305413E-61.2930512E-54.41232871.0E-51.2124565E-51.2559403E-52.2559278E-51.79620611.0E-51.4760658E-41.5290009E-41.6289856E-41.06539211.0E-50.00147508570.00152795760.00153794231.00653471.0E-5
6.92.454112E-62.5283207E-61.2528295E-54.95518451.0E-51.0517581E-51.0835615E-52.0835507E-51.92287251.0E-51.2804402E-41.3191569E-41.4191437E-41.0757961.0E-50.00127970280.00131837990.00132836671.0075751.0E-5
7.02.1008145E-62.1498715E-62.1498715E-61.00.09.003459E-69.2137025E-69.2137025E-61.00.01.096116E-41.1217109E-41.1217109E-41.00.00.00109557550.00112114850.00112114851.00.0
7.11.744384E-61.7686364E-61.7686364E-61.00.07.47591E-67.579848E-67.579848E-61.00.09.1015405E-59.228076E-59.228076E-51.00.09.097813E-49.224261E-49.224261E-41.00.0
7.21.5456587E-61.5562894E-61.5562894E-61.00.06.6242346E-66.6697944E-66.6697944E-61.00.08.064707E-58.120173E-58.120173E-51.00.08.0617814E-48.117219E-48.117219E-41.00.0
7.31.3775123E-61.3766092E-61.3766092E-61.00.05.9036106E-65.8997407E-65.8997407E-61.00.07.187409E-57.182699E-57.182699E-51.00.07.185085E-47.180387E-47.180387E-41.00.0
7.41.214491E-61.2023471E-61.2023471E-61.00.05.2049513E-65.152906E-65.152906E-61.00.06.336844E-56.2734835E-56.2734835E-51.00.06.335037E-46.2717206E-46.2717206E-41.00.0
7.51.0101123E-69.842256E-79.842256E-71.00.04.3290456E-64.218103E-64.218103E-61.00.05.2704854E-55.13542E-55.13542E-51.00.05.2692357E-45.1342393E-45.1342393E-41.00.0
7.68.1558215E-77.765977E-77.765977E-71.00.03.4953473E-63.3282718E-63.3282718E-61.00.04.255502E-54.0520958E-54.0520958E-51.00.04.2546875E-44.0513615E-44.0513615E-41.00.0
7.74.757816E-74.1308996E-74.1308996E-71.00.02.0390623E-61.7703843E-61.7703843E-61.00.02.4825302E-52.1554217E-52.1554217E-51.00.02.482253E-42.1552139E-42.1552139E-41.00.0
7.82.782787E-72.004783E-72.004783E-71.00.01.1926223E-68.591924E-78.591924E-71.00.01.452008E-51.0460618E-51.0460618E-51.00.01.4519131E-41.04601284E-41.04601284E-41.00.0
7.91.6948086E-79.243938E-89.243938E-81.00.07.2634634E-73.961687E-73.961687E-71.00.08.843231E-64.8233433E-64.8233433E-61.00.08.842879E-54.8232392E-54.8232392E-51.00.0
8.01.0225492E-74.473497E-84.473497E-81.00.04.382353E-71.917213E-71.917213E-71.00.05.335502E-62.3342043E-62.3342043E-61.00.05.335374E-52.33418E-52.33418E-51.00.0
8.11.43711345E-85.78716E-95.78716E-91.00.06.1590576E-82.4802116E-82.4802116E-81.00.07.4986497E-73.019657E-73.019657E-71.00.07.4986247E-63.0196536E-63.0196536E-61.00.0

San Gorgonio Pass

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.644328E-61.331474E-53.3314474E-52.50207472.0E-53.2760996E-55.706197E-57.706083E-51.35047612.0E-53.987921E-46.945166E-47.145027E-41.0287772.0E-50.0039807720.0069300240.00694988531.0028662.0E-5
6.17.644328E-61.331474E-53.3314474E-52.50207472.0E-53.2760996E-55.706197E-57.706083E-51.35047612.0E-53.987921E-46.945166E-47.145027E-41.0287772.0E-50.0039807720.0069300240.00694988531.0028662.0E-5
6.27.644328E-61.331474E-53.3314474E-52.50207472.0E-53.2760996E-55.706197E-57.706083E-51.35047612.0E-53.987921E-46.945166E-47.145027E-41.0287772.0E-50.0039807720.0069300240.00694988531.0028662.0E-5
6.37.644328E-61.331474E-53.3314474E-52.50207472.0E-53.2760996E-55.706197E-57.706083E-51.35047612.0E-53.987921E-46.945166E-47.145027E-41.0287772.0E-50.0039807720.0069300240.00694988531.0028662.0E-5
6.47.644328E-61.331474E-53.3314474E-52.50207472.0E-53.2760996E-55.706197E-57.706083E-51.35047612.0E-53.987921E-46.945166E-47.145027E-41.0287772.0E-50.0039807720.0069300240.00694988531.0028662.0E-5
6.57.644328E-61.331474E-53.3314474E-52.50207472.0E-53.2760996E-55.706197E-57.706083E-51.35047612.0E-53.987921E-46.945166E-47.145027E-41.0287772.0E-50.0039807720.0069300240.00694988531.0028662.0E-5
6.67.644328E-61.331474E-53.3314474E-52.50207472.0E-53.2760996E-55.706197E-57.706083E-51.35047612.0E-53.987921E-46.945166E-47.145027E-41.0287772.0E-50.0039807720.0069300240.00694988531.0028662.0E-5
6.76.987586E-61.2619013E-53.2618762E-52.584892.0E-52.9946454E-55.408041E-57.4079326E-51.36979972.0E-53.645371E-46.582382E-46.78225E-41.03036422.0E-50.00363939670.00656940.0065892691.00302452.0E-5
6.86.987586E-61.2619013E-53.2618762E-52.584892.0E-52.9946454E-55.408041E-57.4079326E-51.36979972.0E-53.645371E-46.582382E-46.78225E-41.03036422.0E-50.00363939670.00656940.0065892691.00302452.0E-5
6.95.504702E-61.1049877E-53.1049654E-52.8099552.0E-52.3591367E-54.7355785E-56.7354835E-51.42231492.0E-52.8718702E-45.764092E-45.963977E-41.03467762.0E-50.00286816180.00575535230.00577523751.0034552.0E-5
7.05.4825764E-61.1026218E-53.1025997E-52.81383872.0E-52.3496545E-54.725439E-56.7253444E-51.42322112.0E-52.8603288E-45.751754E-45.951639E-41.0347522.0E-50.002856650.00574307840.00576296361.00346242.0E-5
7.15.4692787E-61.1011928E-53.1011707E-52.81619242.0E-52.3439556E-54.719315E-56.719221E-51.42377032.0E-52.8533922E-45.744302E-45.944187E-41.03479712.0E-50.00284973110.00573566460.00575554981.0034672.0E-5
7.25.453661E-61.0994954E-53.0994735E-52.81899622.0E-52.3372622E-54.712041E-56.7119465E-51.42442452.0E-52.8452452E-45.7354505E-45.9353356E-41.03485082.0E-50.0028416050.0057268590.0057467441.00347232.0E-5
7.35.4422303E-61.09818775E-53.0981657E-52.82116222.0E-52.3323635E-54.7064368E-56.7063425E-51.424932.0E-52.8392827E-45.728631E-45.928516E-41.03489232.0E-50.00283565770.00572007430.005739961.00347652.0E-5
7.45.398595E-61.0929241E-53.0929023E-52.82993322.0E-52.313663E-54.6838795E-56.6837856E-51.42697642.0E-52.8165206E-45.701182E-45.9010676E-41.03506042.0E-50.00281295340.00569276650.00571265261.00349322.0E-5
7.55.3578788E-61.0855785E-53.085557E-52.84231572.0E-52.2962136E-54.6523994E-56.652306E-51.42986572.0E-52.7952815E-45.662875E-45.862761E-41.03529782.0E-50.0027917680.00565469130.00567457821.00351692.0E-5
7.64.8091474E-69.604131E-62.960394E-53.0824172.0E-52.0610469E-54.1159943E-56.115912E-51.48588932.0E-52.5090357E-45.010119E-45.210019E-41.03989922.0E-50.00250620460.00500545840.00502535841.00397562.0E-5
7.71.5991155E-63.353035E-61.3353001E-53.98236251.0E-56.853334E-61.4370073E-52.4369929E-51.69588071.0E-58.343615E-51.7494184E-41.8494009E-41.05715191.0E-58.340483E-40.00175358520.00176356761.00569261.0E-5
7.89.258398E-72.0581049E-61.2058084E-55.8588291.0E-53.967879E-68.82042E-61.8820332E-52.13372281.0E-54.8307855E-51.0738334E-41.1738227E-41.09311431.0E-54.8297356E-40.00107881030.00108879961.00925951.0E-5
7.95.975575E-71.2292295E-61.1229217E-59.1351681.0E-52.5609581E-65.2681157E-61.5268062E-52.8982021.0E-53.117922E-56.413743E-57.413679E-51.15590521.0E-53.1174847E-46.464778E-46.5647135E-41.01545851.0E-5
8.03.4413725E-76.714992E-71.0671492E-515.892041.0E-51.4748731E-62.8778506E-61.2877822E-54.47480541.0E-51.7956432E-53.5037272E-54.5036923E-51.28540041.0E-51.7954981E-43.5392298E-43.6391945E-41.02824471.0E-5
8.11.1787731E-89.6332045E-99.6332045E-91.00.05.0518846E-84.1285162E-84.1285162E-81.00.06.1506677E-75.0264674E-75.0264674E-71.00.06.1506507E-65.2417968E-65.2417968E-61.00.0

White Wolf

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0037822E-51.0468583E-62.1046837E-520.1047632.0E-58.587355E-54.4865283E-62.4486439E-55.457772.0E-50.0010450095.4622164E-57.462107E-51.36613182.0E-50.0104010855.4609246E-45.660815E-41.03660382.0E-5
6.12.0037822E-51.0468583E-62.1046837E-520.1047632.0E-58.587355E-54.4865283E-62.4486439E-55.457772.0E-50.0010450095.4622164E-57.462107E-51.36613182.0E-50.0104010855.4609246E-45.660815E-41.03660382.0E-5
6.22.0037822E-51.0468583E-62.1046837E-520.1047632.0E-58.587355E-54.4865283E-62.4486439E-55.457772.0E-50.0010450095.4622164E-57.462107E-51.36613182.0E-50.0104010855.4609246E-45.660815E-41.03660382.0E-5
6.32.0037822E-51.0468583E-62.1046837E-520.1047632.0E-58.587355E-54.4865283E-62.4486439E-55.457772.0E-50.0010450095.4622164E-57.462107E-51.36613182.0E-50.0104010855.4609246E-45.660815E-41.03660382.0E-5
6.41.132487E-51.0468583E-62.1046837E-520.1047632.0E-54.8534253E-54.4865283E-62.4486439E-55.457772.0E-55.907443E-45.4622164E-57.462107E-51.36613182.0E-50.0058917645.4609246E-45.660815E-41.03660382.0E-5
6.51.132487E-51.0468583E-62.1046837E-520.1047632.0E-54.8534253E-54.4865283E-62.4486439E-55.457772.0E-55.907443E-45.4622164E-57.462107E-51.36613182.0E-50.0058917645.4609246E-45.660815E-41.03660382.0E-5
6.69.347473E-61.0468583E-62.1046837E-520.1047632.0E-54.0059982E-54.4865283E-62.4486439E-55.457772.0E-54.8762115E-45.4622164E-57.462107E-51.36613182.0E-50.00486552535.4609246E-45.660815E-41.03660382.0E-5
6.77.842647E-61.0047773E-62.1004756E-520.9048882.0E-53.361091E-54.306182E-62.4306095E-55.6444662.0E-54.0913603E-45.2426552E-57.24255E-51.3814662.0E-50.0040838365.241468E-45.4413633E-41.03813722.0E-5
6.86.26597E-69.734289E-72.097341E-521.545912.0E-52.685388E-54.1718313E-62.4171748E-55.79403732.0E-53.2689696E-45.0790914E-57.07899E-51.39375132.0E-50.0032641655.07798E-45.2778784E-41.03936582.0E-5
6.95.258436E-69.1827343E-72.0918254E-522.7799852.0E-52.2535958E-53.935452E-62.3935374E-56.08198832.0E-52.7434074E-44.7913123E-56.7912166E-51.41740212.0E-50.00274002324.7903272E-44.990231E-41.04173082.0E-5
7.04.675028E-68.660704E-72.0866053E-524.092792.0E-52.003568E-53.7117254E-62.3711651E-56.388312.0E-52.4390711E-44.518937E-56.518846E-51.4425622.0E-50.00243639574.518065E-44.7179745E-41.04424682.0E-5
7.12.8270078E-66.8737717E-72.0687363E-530.0960882.0E-51.2115692E-52.945899E-62.294584E-57.7890792.0E-51.4749856E-43.586577E-55.5865054E-51.55761472.0E-50.0014740073.5860392E-43.7859674E-41.05575182.0E-5
7.21.6881406E-62.2703432E-71.0227032E-545.0461961.0E-57.2348685E-69.730038E-71.09729945E-511.2774411.0E-58.808096E-51.1846259E-52.1846141E-51.84413841.0E-58.8046055E-41.1845643E-41.2845524E-41.08440921.0E-5
7.39.086107E-71.5264496E-71.5264496E-71.00.03.8940398E-66.5419255E-76.5419255E-71.00.04.7408903E-57.964766E-67.964766E-61.00.04.739879E-47.964489E-57.964489E-51.00.0
7.41.9717383E-79.003399E-89.003399E-81.00.08.450304E-73.8585992E-73.8585992E-71.00.01.0288197E-54.697835E-64.697835E-61.00.01.028772E-44.6977384E-54.6977384E-51.00.0
7.51.086975E-76.659662E-86.659662E-81.00.04.6584634E-72.8541407E-72.8541407E-71.00.05.6716644E-63.474911E-63.474911E-61.00.05.6715195E-53.474859E-53.474859E-51.00.0
7.62.4217808E-81.5820849E-81.5820849E-81.00.01.03790605E-76.780364E-86.780364E-81.00.01.2636499E-68.25509E-78.25509E-71.00.01.2636427E-58.255064E-68.255064E-61.00.0

La Panza 2011

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.6754544E-64.7175886E-61.47175415E-53.1197171.0E-52.0037509E-52.021809E-53.0217889E-51.49459651.0E-52.4392935E-42.4612944E-42.661245E-41.0812382.0E-50.00243661760.00245876280.00247871361.00811422.0E-5
6.14.6754544E-64.7175886E-61.47175415E-53.1197171.0E-52.0037509E-52.021809E-53.0217889E-51.49459651.0E-52.4392935E-42.4612944E-42.661245E-41.0812382.0E-50.00243661760.00245876280.00247871361.00811422.0E-5
6.24.6754544E-64.7175886E-61.47175415E-53.1197171.0E-52.0037509E-52.021809E-53.0217889E-51.49459651.0E-52.4392935E-42.4612944E-42.661245E-41.0812382.0E-50.00243661760.00245876280.00247871361.00811422.0E-5
6.34.6754544E-64.7175886E-61.47175415E-53.1197171.0E-52.0037509E-52.021809E-53.0217889E-51.49459651.0E-52.4392935E-42.4612944E-42.661245E-41.0812382.0E-50.00243661760.00245876280.00247871361.00811422.0E-5
6.44.6754544E-64.7175886E-61.47175415E-53.1197171.0E-52.0037509E-52.021809E-53.0217889E-51.49459651.0E-52.4392935E-42.4612944E-42.661245E-41.0812382.0E-50.00243661760.00245876280.00247871361.00811422.0E-5
6.52.485343E-62.5006007E-61.2500575E-54.9990291.0E-51.0651426E-51.0716818E-52.071671E-51.93310281.0E-51.296734E-41.3046984E-41.4046853E-41.07663611.0E-50.00129597750.00130397070.00131395771.00765881.0E-5
6.62.485343E-62.5006007E-61.2500575E-54.9990291.0E-51.0651426E-51.0716818E-52.071671E-51.93310281.0E-51.296734E-41.3046984E-41.4046853E-41.07663611.0E-50.00129597750.00130397070.00131395771.00765881.0E-5
6.71.5108508E-61.514639E-61.1514624E-57.6022231.0E-56.4750584E-66.4912947E-61.649123E-52.54051471.0E-57.8830984E-57.902876E-58.902797E-51.12652621.0E-57.880303E-47.9001737E-48.0000947E-41.0126481.0E-5
6.81.3865837E-61.3885118E-61.1388498E-58.2019451.0E-55.942488E-65.950752E-61.5950693E-52.680451.0E-57.234739E-57.244809E-58.244737E-51.13801981.0E-57.232384E-47.242546E-47.342473E-41.01379731.0E-5
6.99.826583E-79.796303E-71.097962E-511.2079231.0E-54.2113857E-64.198409E-61.4198367E-53.38184451.0E-55.1272415E-55.1114486E-56.111398E-51.19562921.0E-55.126059E-45.1103265E-45.2102754E-41.01955821.0E-5
7.06.7797646E-76.710231E-76.710231E-71.00.02.9056102E-62.8758104E-62.8758104E-61.00.03.537523E-53.501246E-53.501246E-51.00.03.5369597E-43.5007254E-43.5007254E-41.00.0
7.13.4979826E-73.3874045E-73.3874045E-71.00.01.4991346E-61.4517441E-61.4517441E-61.00.01.825181E-51.7674853E-51.7674853E-51.00.01.825031E-41.7673563E-41.7673563E-41.00.0
7.22.5088332E-72.3832064E-72.3832064E-71.00.01.0752137E-61.0213738E-61.0213738E-61.00.01.3090649E-51.2435164E-51.2435164E-51.00.01.3089878E-41.2434553E-41.2434553E-41.00.0
7.31.0159086E-78.644785E-88.644785E-81.00.04.3538932E-73.704907E-73.704907E-71.00.05.300852E-64.510716E-64.510716E-61.00.05.3007258E-54.510628E-54.510628E-51.00.0
7.43.5006252E-81.9403883E-81.9403883E-81.00.01.5002678E-78.315949E-88.315949E-81.00.01.8265745E-61.0124663E-61.0124663E-61.00.01.8265595E-51.012462E-51.012462E-51.00.0
7.52.592274E-81.0238468E-81.0238468E-81.00.01.1109746E-74.3879147E-84.3879147E-81.00.01.3526106E-65.342285E-75.342285E-71.00.01.3526024E-55.342273E-65.342273E-61.00.0
7.61.9016717E-85.2442264E-95.2442264E-91.00.08.150022E-82.2475257E-82.2475257E-81.00.09.922647E-72.736362E-72.736362E-71.00.09.922603E-62.736359E-62.736359E-61.00.0
7.71.17738495E-81.2393437E-91.2393437E-91.00.05.0459356E-85.3114735E-95.3114735E-91.00.06.1434247E-76.466719E-86.466719E-81.00.06.143408E-66.466717E-76.466717E-71.00.0
7.85.489079E-92.009185E-102.009185E-101.00.02.3524624E-88.61079E-108.61079E-101.00.02.8641225E-71.0483639E-81.0483639E-81.00.02.8641189E-61.0483638E-71.0483638E-71.00.0
7.92.5081048E-96.675449E-116.675449E-111.00.01.0749021E-82.8609015E-102.8609015E-101.00.01.3086932E-73.483148E-93.483148E-91.00.01.3086925E-63.483148E-83.483148E-81.00.0

Cerro Prieto

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9101528E-45.9654453E-46.1653263E-41.03350642.0E-50.00124661220.00255435660.00257430551.00780982.0E-50.0150722310.0308029280.0308223121.00062932.0E-50.140899790.253862560.25387751.00005882.0E-5
6.12.9101528E-45.9654453E-46.1653263E-41.03350642.0E-50.00124661220.00255435660.00257430551.00780982.0E-50.0150722310.0308029280.0308223121.00062932.0E-50.140899790.253862560.25387751.00005882.0E-5
6.22.9101528E-45.9654453E-46.1653263E-41.03350642.0E-50.00124661220.00255435660.00257430551.00780982.0E-50.0150722310.0308029280.0308223121.00062932.0E-50.140899790.253862560.25387751.00005882.0E-5
6.32.9101528E-45.9654453E-46.1653263E-41.03350642.0E-50.00124661220.00255435660.00257430551.00780982.0E-50.0150722310.0308029280.0308223121.00062932.0E-50.140899790.253862560.25387751.00005882.0E-5
6.42.508648E-45.140412E-45.3403096E-41.03888742.0E-50.00107469180.00220137250.00222132841.00906532.0E-50.0130060880.0266294160.0266488831.0007312.0E-50.122706850.22422220.224237711.00006912.0E-5
6.52.508648E-45.140412E-45.3403096E-41.03888742.0E-50.00107469180.00220137250.00222132841.00906532.0E-50.0130060880.0266294160.0266488831.0007312.0E-50.122706850.22422220.224237711.00006912.0E-5
6.62.294914E-44.7123645E-44.91227E-41.04242162.0E-59.831638E-40.00201820930.0020381691.00988972.0E-50.0119044820.0243941940.0244137051.00079992.0E-50.112865860.208375630.208391461.00007592.0E-5
6.71.9621674E-44.0426268E-44.0426268E-41.00.08.4065786E-40.00173156240.00173156241.00.00.0101870710.0208889620.0208889621.00.00.097325390.182647320.182647321.00.0
6.81.5476145E-43.0572579E-43.0572579E-41.00.06.6309475E-40.00130969770.00130969771.00.00.0080433350.0158268250.0158268251.00.00.077583630.143100570.143100571.00.0
6.91.20509176E-42.2588465E-42.2588465E-41.00.05.1636563E-49.6778123E-49.6778123E-41.00.00.0062686450.0117340250.0117340251.00.00.0609473740.109179580.109179581.00.0
7.09.3269155E-51.6721459E-41.6721459E-41.00.03.9966372E-47.1648025E-47.1648025E-41.00.00.00485505440.0086959140.0086959141.00.00.047503440.0829432160.0829432161.00.0
7.15.029709E-58.174011E-58.174011E-51.00.02.1554115E-43.50287E-43.50287E-41.00.00.00262105530.0042598210.0042598211.00.00.0259035560.042268130.042268131.00.0
7.26.5445185E-86.824737E-86.824737E-81.00.02.8047933E-72.9248872E-72.9248872E-71.00.03.4148304E-63.56105E-63.56105E-61.00.03.414778E-53.56105E-53.56105E-51.00.0

Santa Susana East (connector)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.858397E-53.2021693E-54.2021373E-51.31227831.0E-51.2249697E-41.3723019E-41.4722883E-41.07286021.0E-50.00149038030.001669770.00167975331.00597881.0E-50.0148042440.0165993160.0166189841.00118482.0E-5
6.12.858397E-53.2021693E-54.2021373E-51.31227831.0E-51.2249697E-41.3723019E-41.4722883E-41.07286021.0E-50.00149038030.001669770.00167975331.00597881.0E-50.0148042440.0165993160.0166189841.00118482.0E-5
6.22.858397E-53.2021693E-54.2021373E-51.31227831.0E-51.2249697E-41.3723019E-41.4722883E-41.07286021.0E-50.00149038030.001669770.00167975331.00597881.0E-50.0148042440.0165993160.0166189841.00118482.0E-5
6.31.943582E-52.0367343E-53.0367139E-51.4909721.0E-58.329371E-58.7286324E-59.7285454E-51.11455551.0E-50.0010136290.0010623050.00107229431.00940351.0E-50.0100901810.0105838520.0105937471.00093481.0E-5
6.41.943582E-52.0367343E-53.0367139E-51.4909721.0E-58.329371E-58.7286324E-59.7285454E-51.11455551.0E-50.0010136290.0010623050.00107229431.00940351.0E-50.0100901810.0105838520.0105937471.00093481.0E-5
6.51.943582E-52.0367343E-53.0367139E-51.4909721.0E-58.329371E-58.7286324E-59.7285454E-51.11455551.0E-50.0010136290.0010623050.00107229431.00940351.0E-50.0100901810.0105838520.0105937471.00093481.0E-5
6.61.943582E-52.0367343E-53.0367139E-51.4909721.0E-58.329371E-58.7286324E-59.7285454E-51.11455551.0E-50.0010136290.0010623050.00107229431.00940351.0E-50.0100901810.0105838520.0105937471.00093481.0E-5
6.71.9404439E-52.0354766E-53.0354562E-51.49127541.0E-58.3159226E-58.723242E-59.7231554E-51.11462631.0E-50.00101199330.00106164930.00107163881.00940931.0E-50.0100739710.0105773580.0105872531.00093541.0E-5
6.81.2217526E-51.1593157E-51.1593157E-51.00.05.2359774E-54.9684106E-54.9684106E-51.00.06.372938E-46.047529E-46.047529E-41.00.00.00635469240.0060332740.0060332741.00.0
6.91.2217526E-51.1593157E-51.1593157E-51.00.05.2359774E-54.9684106E-54.9684106E-51.00.06.372938E-46.047529E-46.047529E-41.00.00.00635469240.0060332740.0060332741.00.0
7.09.276017E-68.059273E-68.059273E-61.00.03.9753755E-53.4539302E-53.4539302E-51.00.04.8389446E-44.2043833E-44.2043833E-41.00.00.00482842140.00419730970.00419730971.00.0
7.19.130355E-67.942446E-67.942446E-61.00.03.9129503E-53.4038632E-53.4038632E-51.00.04.7629757E-44.1434498E-44.1434498E-41.00.00.004752780.00413660470.00413660471.00.0
7.28.851015E-67.741608E-67.741608E-61.00.03.7932372E-53.317792E-53.317792E-51.00.04.6172875E-44.038697E-44.038697E-41.00.00.00460770540.00403223470.00403223471.00.0
7.38.573006E-67.5503312E-67.5503312E-61.00.03.6740938E-53.235818E-53.235818E-51.00.04.472291E-43.9389305E-43.9389305E-41.00.00.0044633010.0039328170.0039328171.00.0
7.47.852282E-66.8178556E-66.8178556E-61.00.03.36522E-52.921907E-52.921907E-51.00.04.096385E-43.5568717E-43.5568717E-41.00.00.00408884230.00355198680.00355198681.00.0
7.54.8869324E-64.2790975E-64.2790975E-61.00.02.0943828E-51.833887E-51.833887E-51.00.02.5496128E-42.2325452E-42.2325452E-41.00.00.00254668950.002230570.002230571.00.0
7.61.3894544E-61.1568394E-61.1568394E-61.00.05.954791E-64.957875E-64.957875E-61.00.07.249717E-56.036068E-56.036068E-51.00.07.247352E-46.0346466E-46.0346466E-41.00.0
7.72.9924632E-72.3719332E-72.3719332E-71.00.01.2824837E-61.0165425E-61.0165425E-61.00.01.5614127E-51.2376341E-51.2376341E-51.00.01.5613029E-41.2375724E-41.2375724E-41.00.0
7.84.8188564E-82.6321862E-82.6321862E-81.00.02.065224E-71.12807975E-71.12807975E-71.00.02.5144072E-61.3734362E-61.3734362E-61.00.02.5143789E-51.3734286E-51.3734286E-51.00.0
7.92.6127251E-92.7681102E-92.7681102E-91.00.01.1197393E-81.186333E-81.186333E-81.00.01.3632825E-71.4443603E-71.4443603E-71.00.01.3632817E-61.4443604E-61.4443604E-61.00.0

South Klamath Lake West

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.174025E-52.3042025E-53.3041793E-51.43397961.0E-59.3169176E-59.874817E-51.0874718E-41.10125771.0E-50.00113374440.00120166170.00121164971.00831191.0E-50.0112797770.01195824050.0119681211.00082621.0E-5
6.12.174025E-52.3042025E-53.3041793E-51.43397961.0E-59.3169176E-59.874817E-51.0874718E-41.10125771.0E-50.00113374440.00120166170.00121164971.00831191.0E-50.0112797770.01195824050.0119681211.00082621.0E-5
6.29.834929E-61.0393841E-52.0393738E-51.96209821.0E-54.2149015E-54.4544326E-55.4543878E-51.22448551.0E-55.1304343E-45.422012E-45.521958E-41.01843331.0E-50.00511860570.00540968540.00541963151.00183861.0E-5
6.39.834929E-61.0393841E-52.0393738E-51.96209821.0E-54.2149015E-54.4544326E-55.4543878E-51.22448551.0E-55.1304343E-45.422012E-45.521958E-41.01843331.0E-50.00511860570.00540968540.00541963151.00183861.0E-5
6.46.066321E-66.40043E-61.6400365E-52.5623851.0E-52.5998259E-52.743014E-53.7429865E-51.36455251.0E-53.1648282E-43.3391351E-43.4391016E-41.02993791.0E-50.00316032490.00333438810.00334435471.0029891.0E-5
6.56.066321E-66.40043E-61.6400365E-52.5623851.0E-52.5998259E-52.743014E-53.7429865E-51.36455251.0E-53.1648282E-43.3391351E-43.4391016E-41.02993791.0E-50.00316032490.00333438810.00334435471.0029891.0E-5
6.64.2321803E-64.461291E-61.4461247E-53.24149351.0E-51.8137789E-51.9119685E-52.9119494E-51.52301121.0E-52.208052E-42.3275832E-42.42756E-41.0429531.0E-50.00220585940.00232524730.0023352241.00429061.0E-5
6.73.186646E-63.360305E-61.3360272E-53.97591021.0E-51.3656982E-51.4401232E-52.4401088E-51.6943751.0E-51.6626107E-41.7532158E-41.8531982E-41.0570281.0E-50.00166136740.00175189970.00176188221.00569811.0E-5
6.82.380121E-62.510907E-61.2510882E-54.98261451.0E-51.0200479E-51.07609885E-52.0760881E-51.92927271.0E-51.2418375E-41.3100762E-41.4100631E-41.07632151.0E-50.00124114370.00130934970.00131933661.00762741.0E-5
6.98.928287E-79.4302504E-79.4302504E-71.00.03.826403E-64.0415307E-64.0415307E-61.00.04.658546E-54.9204747E-54.9204747E-51.00.04.6575698E-44.9196015E-44.9196015E-41.00.0

Mono Lake 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0341662E-52.3828192E-54.3827713E-51.8393222.0E-58.717564E-51.0211982E-41.2211778E-41.19582832.0E-50.00106084660.00124313080.00126310591.01606852.0E-50.0105579660.0124138420.0124335931.00159112.0E-5
6.12.0341662E-52.3828192E-54.3827713E-51.8393222.0E-58.717564E-51.0211982E-41.2211778E-41.19582832.0E-50.00106084660.00124313080.00126310591.01606852.0E-50.0105579660.0124138420.0124335931.00159112.0E-5
6.22.0341662E-52.3828192E-54.3827713E-51.8393222.0E-58.717564E-51.0211982E-41.2211778E-41.19582832.0E-50.00106084660.00124313080.00126310591.01606852.0E-50.0105579660.0124138420.0124335931.00159112.0E-5
6.32.0341662E-52.3828192E-54.3827713E-51.8393222.0E-58.717564E-51.0211982E-41.2211778E-41.19582832.0E-50.00106084660.00124313080.00126310591.01606852.0E-50.0105579660.0124138420.0124335931.00159112.0E-5
6.41.749821E-52.049101E-54.04906E-51.97601782.0E-57.499018E-58.781861E-51.0781686E-41.22772222.0E-59.1262296E-40.00106919140.001089171.01868572.0E-50.0090888410.010691870.0107116571.00185062.0E-5
6.51.749821E-52.049101E-54.04906E-51.97601782.0E-57.499018E-58.781861E-51.0781686E-41.22772222.0E-59.1262296E-40.00106919140.001089171.01868572.0E-50.0090888410.010691870.0107116571.00185062.0E-5

Fitzhugh Creek

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.1090436E-66.2101562E-61.6210093E-52.61025551.0E-52.6181353E-52.6614709E-54.6614176E-51.75144422.0E-53.1871133E-43.239904E-43.439839E-41.06171022.0E-50.00318254650.00323562460.00325555981.00616122.0E-5
6.12.9741811E-63.021581E-63.021581E-61.00.01.2746428E-51.2949574E-51.2949574E-51.00.01.5517672E-41.576506E-41.576506E-41.00.00.0015506840.00157548060.00157548061.00.0
6.22.9741811E-63.021581E-63.021581E-61.00.01.2746428E-51.2949574E-51.2949574E-51.00.01.5517672E-41.576506E-41.576506E-41.00.00.0015506840.00157548060.00157548061.00.0
6.31.4781198E-61.5012708E-61.5012708E-61.00.06.3347834E-66.4340034E-66.4340034E-61.00.07.712326E-57.833137E-57.833137E-51.00.07.70965E-47.830576E-47.830576E-41.00.0
6.41.4781198E-61.5012708E-61.5012708E-61.00.06.3347834E-66.4340034E-66.4340034E-61.00.07.712326E-57.833137E-57.833137E-51.00.07.70965E-47.830576E-47.830576E-41.00.0
6.59.5176676E-79.66606E-79.66606E-71.00.04.078994E-64.142591E-64.142591E-61.00.04.9660623E-55.0434985E-55.0434985E-51.00.04.964952E-45.042458E-45.042458E-41.00.0
6.66.21145E-76.3085855E-76.3085855E-71.00.02.662047E-62.7036772E-62.7036772E-61.00.03.2409942E-53.291684E-53.291684E-51.00.03.2405215E-43.2912623E-43.2912623E-41.00.0
6.72.2377962E-72.2734636E-72.2734636E-71.00.09.590551E-79.743413E-79.743413E-71.00.01.1676434E-51.1862574E-51.1862574E-51.00.01.1675821E-41.1862254E-41.1862254E-41.00.0
6.81.4785022E-71.5021492E-71.5021492E-71.00.06.3364365E-76.4377826E-76.4377826E-71.00.07.714584E-67.838E-67.838E-61.00.07.714316E-57.838E-57.838E-51.00.0

Santa Cruz Catalina Ridge alt1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2833184E-53.6558402E-55.655767E-51.54704992.0E-51.4070606E-41.5667039E-41.7666725E-41.12763662.0E-50.001711750.00190595940.00192592131.01047342.0E-50.0169862470.0189130320.0189326551.00103752.0E-5
6.11.9835548E-52.1659505E-54.1659074E-51.92336212.0E-58.500672E-59.282326E-51.12821406E-41.21544332.0E-50.00103446550.00112955750.0011495351.0176862.0E-50.0102966320.0112402960.0112600711.00175932.0E-5
6.21.9835548E-52.1659505E-54.1659074E-51.92336212.0E-58.500672E-59.282326E-51.12821406E-41.21544332.0E-50.00103446550.00112955750.0011495351.0176862.0E-50.0102966320.0112402960.0112600711.00175932.0E-5
6.31.5728183E-51.703395E-53.703361E-52.1741062.0E-56.7404755E-57.300063E-59.299917E-51.27395022.0E-58.2034385E-48.884264E-49.084086E-41.02249172.0E-50.0081732220.0088494270.008869251.00224012.0E-5
6.41.5728183E-51.703395E-53.703361E-52.1741062.0E-56.7404755E-57.300063E-59.299917E-51.27395022.0E-58.2034385E-48.884264E-49.084086E-41.02249172.0E-50.0081732220.0088494270.008869251.00224012.0E-5
6.51.3707734E-51.4794522E-53.4794226E-52.35183172.0E-55.8746107E-56.3403575E-58.34023E-51.31541972.0E-57.1499916E-47.716686E-47.916532E-41.02589792.0E-50.00712703030.00769028950.0077101361.00258062.0E-5
6.61.2539813E-51.3510219E-53.350995E-52.4803412.0E-55.3740947E-55.789967E-57.789851E-51.34540512.0E-56.540996E-47.0470315E-47.2468905E-41.02836072.0E-50.00652177630.00702498850.0070448481.00282692.0E-5
6.71.1504083E-51.2377375E-53.2377127E-52.61583162.0E-54.930228E-55.3044827E-57.304377E-51.37701962.0E-56.0008996E-46.456314E-46.6561846E-41.03095752.0E-50.0059847210.0064377860.0064576571.00308672.0E-5
6.81.012739E-51.0877071E-53.0876854E-52.83871032.0E-54.340238E-54.6615194E-56.6614266E-51.42902472.0E-55.282958E-45.673937E-45.8738235E-41.03522882.0E-50.00527041640.00565961930.00567950631.00351382.0E-5
6.98.9607865E-69.609117E-62.9608926E-53.08133672.0E-5