Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions

Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)

Table Of Contents

Garlock (Central)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.5131142E-57.02476E-50.1111724451582.580.111112.3625491E-43.0102677E-40.1262231419.30860.125960.00287260950.0036589060.1525222441.68520.149410.0283575910.0361366570.197978945.47861860.16791
6.15.5131142E-57.02476E-50.1111724451582.580.111112.3625491E-43.0102677E-40.1262231419.30860.125960.00287260950.0036589060.1525222441.68520.149410.0283575910.0361366570.197978945.47861860.16791
6.24.216245E-55.1661802E-50.066558231288.34510.066511.806837E-42.213891E-40.07588463342.76590.075680.00219760460.0026921120.0926991534.4336170.090250.0217599890.0267013180.12536464.69507170.10137
6.34.216245E-55.1661802E-50.066558231288.34510.066511.806837E-42.213891E-40.07588463342.76590.075680.00219760460.0026921120.0926991534.4336170.090250.0217599890.0267013180.12536464.69507170.10137
6.43.6858168E-54.411026E-50.0502318961138.78030.050191.5795401E-41.8903041E-40.05752819304.332980.057350.00192139370.00229904130.07088130.8306790.068740.0190486550.0228660980.098642834.31393340.07755
6.53.39199E-54.0018425E-50.0450382161125.4370.0451.453629E-41.7149639E-40.05157268300.721680.051410.00176835650.00208599070.0637670530.5691930.061810.0175435080.0207587830.088933564.2841410.06962
6.63.3571985E-53.947258E-50.04499771139.97350.044961.4387199E-41.6915736E-40.05153047304.630370.051370.00175023420.00205756720.0636705330.944570.061740.0173651330.0204800420.088576274.32500460.06952
6.73.2580007E-53.808902E-50.0431464461132.77920.043111.3962112E-41.6322857E-40.049475178303.103670.049320.00169856170.00198551780.06126757730.857230.05940.0168563720.0197708740.085259984.3124030.06681
6.83.2185937E-53.7516216E-50.042315931127.93710.042281.3793244E-41.60774E-40.048463006301.43560.048310.00167803370.00195568750.0601117330.736880.058270.0166541920.0194778780.08374134.2993030.06554
6.93.165394E-53.672075E-50.0413152051125.11880.041281.3565269E-41.5736527E-40.04739993301.20960.047250.00165032020.001914260.0588450730.7403760.057040.016381180.0190715180.081988274.29899020.06414
7.03.0903822E-53.562591E-50.04006421124.58040.040031.3243823E-41.5267366E-40.04589569300.6130.045750.00161124280.00185723820.0569048130.6394790.055150.0159961040.0185134930.079444184.291150.06208
7.13.0069863E-53.4392175E-50.038473071118.65770.038441.2886449E-41.4738683E-40.044060912298.947450.043920.00156779590.00179297870.0545382430.4176710.052840.015567810.017880990.0762974254.26695780.05948
7.22.7957109E-53.128141E-50.032130281027.13640.03211.1981068E-41.3405642E-40.03694912275.623660.036820.00145771880.00163093450.04571891228.0323410.044160.0144819370.0162843520.065145514.00049730.04967
7.32.4519275E-52.6714602E-50.022946103858.93480.022921.0507837E-41.1448621E-40.02627149229.472980.026160.00127857830.0013929930.03276922623.5243280.031420.0127124690.013928610.048904563.51108720.03547
7.42.3225532E-52.5199166E-50.020824675826.40330.02089.95342E-51.0799204E-40.023795433220.344330.023690.00121115510.00131402440.02980653622.6833930.028530.0120457530.0131461960.0448834153.4141750.03216
7.52.097765E-52.2483406E-50.01664211740.19520.016628.9901114E-59.6353964E-50.018874545195.887570.018780.00109399650.001172490.0237559820.2611370.022610.0108862640.01174065750.0370005673.15149020.02556
7.61.511254E-51.5990969E-50.00883585552.55250.008826.476642E-56.8530964E-50.010067846146.909440.017.882459E-48.34053E-40.01281405215.3635960.011990.0078545580.0083838670.021969012.62039070.0137
7.79.934069E-61.0678523E-50.00270065252.90480.002694.2573887E-54.5764296E-50.003095624767.642790.003055.182138E-45.570383E-40.00420500527.5488620.003650.005170070.0056274190.0096247971.71033940.00402
7.86.7562896E-68.42837E-60.0017284139205.070950.001722.8955206E-53.6121084E-50.001926052853.3221170.001893.5247262E-44.3968562E-40.00272867886.20597650.002290.00351914060.0044464160.0070049891.57542360.00257
7.93.975453E-65.3710532E-60.0010953652203.938630.001091.7037546E-52.3018596E-50.001202991552.261720.001182.0741238E-42.8021546E-40.00165982885.9234020.001380.0020721890.00283356690.0043692031.54194460.00154
8.01.6729537E-62.0775192E-63.2207684E-4155.029543.2E-47.169782E-68.903624E-63.5890052E-440.3094863.5E-48.7288594E-51.0839626E-45.183518E-44.7820084.1E-48.7254314E-40.0010968540.00157632751.43713524.8E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1489736E-73.0314888E-596.2691043.0E-51.5742813E-61.3495595E-63.134952E-523.2294453.0E-51.9166706E-51.643078E-54.6430287E-52.82581143.0E-51.9165053E-41.662928E-41.962878E-41.18037473.0E-5

Tank Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.8284557E-55.796445E-50.05313489916.68060.053082.0691741E-42.4839927E-40.06313278254.158460.06290.00251630880.00302073360.0823802827.2716140.07960.024880060.0298636160.121153454.05689140.0941
6.11.7796336E-52.0873378E-50.017570507841.766360.017557.626778E-58.945448E-50.020757606232.046570.020679.281647E-40.00108860240.02791936325.646980.026860.0092429750.0108366420.0429646673.96475840.03248
6.21.7796336E-52.0873378E-50.017570507841.766360.017557.626778E-58.945448E-50.020757606232.046570.020679.281647E-40.00108860240.02791936325.646980.026860.0092429750.0108366420.0429646673.96475840.03248
6.31.3515912E-51.5759651E-50.012425564788.44150.012415.792405E-56.7539746E-50.0145865595215.970.014527.049971E-48.2200987E-40.01972645723.9978350.018920.0070276470.0081921570.0309640653.77972050.02296
6.41.0870146E-51.2618114E-50.009242502732.47880.009234.658551E-55.4076605E-50.010843493200.520970.010795.67031E-46.582015E-40.0146889622.3168130.014040.0056558630.0065643820.0235123933.58181380.01706
6.57.964826E-69.196184E-60.0059591415648.00160.005953.4134522E-53.941168E-50.0069191405175.560650.006884.1550855E-44.797421E-40.009545390519.8969210.009070.00414732470.0047882090.0157255873.28423140.01099
6.66.6317E-67.612378E-60.0044175787580.31520.004412.8421264E-53.262412E-50.0051624565158.24050.005133.4597394E-43.9713533E-40.007194434818.1158260.00680.00345435790.00396525160.0122024583.0773480.00827
6.74.793663E-65.4308593E-60.0024454177450.281920.002442.0544108E-52.3274928E-50.0028632088123.016880.002842.500958E-42.833398E-40.004072265714.3723760.003790.00249814520.00283031890.0074272712.62418170.00461
6.84.382823E-64.969325E-60.002124959427.615170.002121.8783392E-52.1296957E-50.0025012442117.446080.002482.286638E-42.5926388E-40.003618392913.9564090.003360.00228428650.00259012330.0066894782.5826870.00411
6.92.729601E-63.0735862E-60.0010830703352.380.001081.1698237E-51.3172453E-50.001223156592.8571550.001211.4241673E-41.6036403E-40.001790102711.1627440.001630.0014232550.00160248080.00363921162.2709860.00204
7.01.8987357E-62.126971E-65.721258E-4268.986185.7E-48.137413E-69.115562E-66.091101E-466.820916.0E-49.90685E-51.1097702E-49.208871E-48.2979988.1E-49.902435E-40.00110928460.00206821971.86446269.6E-4
7.11.4928986E-61.6641525E-63.6166355E-4217.325973.6E-46.398121E-67.132066E-63.8712934E-454.2801133.8E-47.789434E-58.6830034E-55.9678574E-46.87303355.1E-47.786704E-48.6801895E-40.00147748951.70213966.1E-4
7.21.069082E-61.1828765E-62.0118264E-4170.079152.0E-44.581772E-65.0694644E-62.150684E-442.4242862.1E-45.5781646E-56.171951E-53.517016E-45.6983862.9E-45.576765E-46.1707594E-49.6686E-41.56684113.5E-4
7.38.776551E-79.770151E-71.6097687E-4164.763931.6E-43.7613736E-64.187204E-61.741865E-441.5997161.7E-44.579376E-55.0978535E-52.5096833E-44.923022.0E-44.5784327E-45.097194E-47.59592E-41.49021592.5E-4
7.47.55721E-78.5103835E-71.5085092E-4177.255131.5E-43.2388E-63.6473052E-61.5364676E-442.1261061.5E-43.9431678E-54.4405555E-52.2439756E-45.0533671.8E-43.942468E-44.4401767E-46.6391996E-41.49525582.2E-4
7.55.587665E-76.305732E-71.3063049E-4207.161511.3E-42.3947114E-62.7024564E-61.327021E-449.104251.3E-42.915522E-53.2902408E-51.8289748E-45.5587871.5E-42.9151395E-43.2902407E-45.089649E-41.54689241.8E-4

Little Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.8424427E-53.1205716E-50.0515595971652.24850.051531.2181328E-41.3373268E-40.05854592437.78320.058420.00148206770.00162711250.0709541343.6073880.069440.0147222230.0161653980.094134295.82319640.07925
6.12.8424427E-53.1205716E-50.0515595971652.24850.051531.2181328E-41.3373268E-40.05854592437.78320.058420.00148206770.00162711250.0709541343.6073880.069440.0147222230.0161653980.094134295.82319640.07925
6.22.8424427E-53.1205716E-50.0515595971652.24850.051531.2181328E-41.3373268E-40.05854592437.78320.058420.00148206770.00162711250.0709541343.6073880.069440.0147222230.0161653980.094134295.82319640.07925
6.31.48860645E-51.6081383E-50.0358355052228.38430.035826.379586E-56.8918554E-50.040586125588.899840.040527.7643775E-48.387886E-40.0484588157.7723770.047660.0077373050.0083590450.0621059837.42979430.0542
6.41.48860645E-51.6081383E-50.0358355052228.38430.035826.379586E-56.8918554E-50.040586125588.899840.040527.7643775E-48.387886E-40.0484588157.7723770.047660.0077373050.0083590450.0621059837.42979430.0542
6.51.2797581E-51.376556E-50.0334333072428.76460.033425.4845623E-55.8994065E-50.037866764641.87410.037816.675408E-47.1804173E-40.0451461262.8739430.044460.0066553920.0071597670.0574074138.0180560.05061
6.69.661896E-61.0289033E-50.0295899852875.87650.029584.1407468E-54.40952E-50.033442624758.41870.03345.040193E-45.36743E-40.0397456974.049740.039230.0050287770.00535607150.0496475669.26940.04453
6.77.767871E-68.199681E-60.0260979853182.8050.026093.329045E-53.5141096E-50.029464107838.45160.029434.0523586E-44.2777258E-40.0350129781.84950.03460.0040449770.0042708430.04334325710.1486420.03924
6.86.4235196E-66.735739E-60.0204465993035.53880.020442.752908E-52.8867207E-50.023038203798.075260.023013.35115E-43.5141438E-40.0275018778.260510.027160.0033461010.00350984720.034231649.7530280.03083
6.93.1283696E-63.1121751E-60.0128730724136.35840.012871.3407229E-51.33378335E-50.0143331471074.62330.014321.6322079E-41.6237753E-40.017179614105.800440.017020.00163100950.00162273720.02064182412.7203740.01905
7.02.290603E-62.2286763E-60.00767221163442.49730.007679.816834E-69.551441E-60.00856947897.191350.008561.19513395E-41.1628362E-40.01034509488.9643250.010230.00119449140.00116232990.01269890510.9253870.01155
7.11.293693E-61.1776774E-60.00345117372930.49150.003455.5443866E-65.047183E-60.0038750276767.76050.003876.750081E-56.1448416E-50.004681164476.180390.004626.7480316E-46.1438273E-40.0058111889.4585790.0052
7.24.715842E-73.091732E-71.2030914E-4389.131841.2E-42.0210737E-61.3250274E-61.4132484E-4106.658061.4E-42.4606294E-51.6132095E-51.9612919E-412.15770151.8E-42.460357E-41.6130977E-43.5127913E-42.17766791.9E-4
7.33.9430947E-72.3096938E-79.023095E-5390.661969.0E-51.6898966E-69.898685E-71.1098976E-4112.125771.1E-42.0574296E-51.2051582E-51.3205013E-410.9570791.2E-42.0572392E-41.2050936E-42.404949E-41.99565331.2E-4
7.43.547123E-71.9678579E-79.0196765E-5458.359.0E-51.5201948E-68.433674E-71.1084328E-4131.42941.1E-41.8508214E-51.02679505E-51.3026672E-412.686731.2E-41.8506673E-41.0267482E-42.2266251E-42.16861821.2E-4
7.52.6354266E-71.4422719E-76.014422E-5417.010286.0E-51.129468E-66.1811636E-78.061807E-5130.425388.0E-51.3751187E-57.525541E-68.752494E-511.6303848.0E-51.3750336E-47.5252916E-51.552469E-42.06300168.0E-5
7.61.269913E-77.572344E-81.00757225E-5133.05951.0E-55.4424834E-73.24529E-73.032452E-593.4416353.0E-56.6262032E-63.9511337E-63.3951015E-58.5927283.0E-56.626006E-53.9510673E-56.9509486E-51.75925853.0E-5

Airport Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.049102463747.37650.049095.3086325E-55.615534E-50.05557304989.630550.055526.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0661986996.851780.065560.00644258880.00681683930.0804216411.7974980.07411
6.11.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.049102463747.37650.049095.3086325E-55.615534E-50.05557304989.630550.055526.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0661986996.851780.065560.00644258880.00681683930.0804216411.7974980.07411
6.21.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.049102463747.37650.049095.3086325E-55.615534E-50.05557304989.630550.055526.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0661986996.851780.065560.00644258880.00681683930.0804216411.7974980.07411
6.31.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.049102463747.37650.049095.3086325E-55.615534E-50.05557304989.630550.055526.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0661986996.851780.065560.00644258880.00681683930.0804216411.7974980.07411
6.41.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.049102463747.37650.049095.3086325E-55.615534E-50.05557304989.630550.055526.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0661986996.851780.065560.00644258880.00681683930.0804216411.7974980.07411
6.56.9922594E-67.384925E-60.037077115020.6480.037072.996648E-53.1649324E-50.042090321329.89620.042063.6478083E-43.8526783E-40.049836207129.35470.049470.0036418260.00384653660.05920278315.3911920.05557
6.66.9922594E-67.384925E-60.037077115020.6480.037072.996648E-53.1649324E-50.042090321329.89620.042063.6478083E-43.8526783E-40.049836207129.35470.049470.0036418260.00384653660.05920278315.3911920.05557
6.75.477277E-65.7860684E-60.03154565451.99270.031542.3473833E-52.4797222E-50.0356639141438.2220.035642.8575645E-43.0186825E-40.042269196140.025310.041980.00285389270.0030149660.0500726616.6080360.0472
6.83.9950432E-64.2190873E-60.0239441195675.18950.023941.7121502E-51.8081691E-50.0270375931495.30210.027022.0843433E-42.2012512E-40.032283064146.65780.032070.00208238930.00219934180.0381600817.3506810.03604
6.92.95695E-63.1230243E-60.0172730685530.8790.017271.2672582E-51.3384334E-50.0194031241449.68920.019391.5427776E-41.6294434E-40.023099206141.761320.022940.0015417070.00162847120.02730658716.7682340.02572
7.01.456072E-61.540812E-60.00739152964797.1650.007396.2402937E-66.603469E-60.008216551244.27770.008217.597293E-58.039528E-50.009859609122.639160.009787.594696E-48.0376083E-40.01186486314.7616840.01107
7.16.995192E-77.4089746E-70.00328073844428.060.003282.997936E-63.1752747E-60.00366316361153.65250.003663.649926E-53.865897E-50.0043884907113.518050.004353.6493264E-43.865897E-40.005304687713.7217510.00492

Owl Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.0320643E-56.6358676E-50.02248487338.838440.022422.1564208E-42.843643E-40.02706674795.183340.026790.00262228120.0034575470.03708088810.7246240.033740.025915530.0341412950.0721381752.11293030.03934
6.15.0320643E-56.6358676E-50.02248487338.838440.022422.1564208E-42.843643E-40.02706674795.183340.026790.00262228120.0034575470.03708088810.7246240.033740.025915530.0341412950.0721381752.11293030.03934
6.22.4125871E-53.0980515E-50.018300414590.70720.018271.0339249E-41.3276804E-40.02164991163.065690.021520.00125807660.00161542520.0285218917.6559640.026950.0125097810.0160707550.0466414352.90225550.03107
6.31.7433485E-52.2355545E-50.01682198752.47460.01687.471279E-59.580685E-50.019813918206.811080.019729.0924866E-40.0011659620.02545760621.8339940.024320.0090553730.01162914650.0392639973.37634370.02796
6.41.7433485E-52.2355545E-50.01682198752.47460.01687.471279E-59.580685E-50.019813918206.811080.019729.0924866E-40.0011659620.02545760621.8339940.024320.0090553730.01162914650.0392639973.37634370.02796
6.51.5182742E-51.9429277E-50.01641911845.07060.01646.506727E-58.3266525E-50.01926167231.325490.019187.919061E-40.00101343440.02453956824.2142660.023550.00789090.0101186780.0369048683.64720250.02706
6.66.7271576E-68.547518E-60.0142884251671.64610.014282.8830356E-53.6631736E-50.016646024454.415340.016613.5095305E-44.4590578E-40.0205469446.07910.020110.00350399320.00446801870.026927226.02665760.02256
6.76.682835E-68.479961E-60.0142783591683.77650.014272.8640408E-53.6342215E-50.016635738457.752470.01663.4864116E-44.423823E-40.0205334946.4157140.02010.0034809470.00443293250.026882976.06437640.02255
6.86.5774975E-68.326427E-60.0142582081712.4040.014252.8188972E-53.5684232E-50.016595094465.053960.016563.4314668E-44.3437455E-40.0204856647.161280.020060.00342617280.00435310560.0267551626.14622350.0225
6.96.363419E-67.999591E-60.0142078861776.07670.01422.727151E-53.428354E-50.016523719481.972350.016493.3198006E-44.1732774E-40.02036899748.8081550.019960.00331484550.00418306470.0264893646.33252530.0224
7.06.1342453E-67.631779E-60.0140775251844.59270.014072.6289357E-53.2707245E-50.016352173499.95570.016323.2002592E-43.9814346E-40.02013028450.560380.019740.00319565440.0039917390.0260732426.53180030.02217
7.15.842926E-67.142312E-60.0134870461888.33060.013482.504087E-53.060958E-50.015630132510.628750.01563.0482994E-43.7261334E-40.01912562451.328340.018760.00304412140.00373715950.0246188296.5875780.02096
7.24.77173E-65.358478E-60.0087553111633.91750.008752.045011E-52.2964727E-50.010332728449.939060.010312.4895166E-42.7956374E-40.01256612844.9490620.012290.00248672930.00280862120.0164202845.8463860.01365
7.33.0494948E-62.710356E-60.0025027036923.38550.00251.3069198E-51.1615762E-50.0029815813256.68410.002971.5910587E-41.4141288E-40.003640917825.7467210.00350.00158991990.00142310890.00527761553.70851160.00386
7.42.7263884E-62.3055634E-60.0016323018707.983950.001631.1684469E-59.880949E-60.0019498618197.335480.001941.4224913E-41.2029401E-40.002460012420.4499990.002340.00142158110.00121105780.00379792113.13603640.00259
7.52.6090431E-62.1655019E-60.0014721623679.8250.001471.1181565E-59.2806895E-60.0017392646187.406830.001731.3612706E-41.1298663E-40.002212749319.584170.00210.0013604370.00113781260.00344518433.02790120.00231
7.62.3008756E-61.8726826E-60.0010918706583.051640.001099.860858E-68.025758E-60.0012680156157.993260.001261.20049335E-49.770931E-50.001617560716.5548290.001520.0011998459.848307E-40.0026631762.70419720.00168
7.71.7184348E-61.341808E-65.91341E-4440.704655.9E-47.3646997E-65.750593E-67.057466E-4122.725877.0E-48.966153E-57.0011265E-59.0995245E-412.997238.4E-48.962536E-47.0769014E-40.00159706042.25672258.9E-4
7.88.4612907E-78.4054994E-72.6084034E-4310.321042.6E-43.6262625E-63.602352E-62.936013E-481.502672.9E-44.4148852E-54.3857777E-54.3384067E-49.891993.9E-44.414008E-44.4386165E-48.736708E-41.96834044.3E-4
7.92.716738E-73.7681625E-71.1037677E-4292.919371.1E-41.1643157E-61.6149258E-61.3161471E-481.4989241.3E-41.4175452E-51.9661555E-51.6965861E-48.6289511.5E-41.4174548E-41.9829652E-43.5826478E-41.80671251.6E-4
8.02.1995428E-83.3853325E-83.3853325E-81.00.09.426611E-81.4508568E-71.4508568E-71.00.01.1476893E-61.7664173E-61.7664173E-61.00.01.14768345E-51.7869768E-51.7869768E-51.00.0

Panamint Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0211835E-53.3984263E-50.019593319576.540950.019561.2947287E-41.4563887E-40.022752346156.224410.022610.00157519230.00177174060.02999165316.927790.028270.0156407360.0175830030.049825932.83375530.03282
6.13.0211835E-53.3984263E-50.019593319576.540950.019561.2947287E-41.4563887E-40.022752346156.224410.022610.00157519230.00177174060.02999165316.927790.028270.0156407360.0175830030.049825932.83375530.03282
6.23.0211835E-53.3984263E-50.019593319576.540950.019561.2947287E-41.4563887E-40.022752346156.224410.022610.00157519230.00177174060.02999165316.927790.028270.0156407360.0175830030.049825932.83375530.03282
6.32.8573924E-53.2102445E-50.01910149595.01670.019071.2245393E-41.375748E-40.022084555160.527620.021950.0014898570.00167371410.02892802117.283730.02730.014799080.0166180380.0477125762.87113170.03162
6.42.8573924E-53.2102445E-50.01910149595.01670.019071.2245393E-41.375748E-40.022084555160.527620.021950.0014898570.00167371410.02892802117.283730.02730.014799080.0166180380.0477125762.87113170.03162
6.52.7468774E-53.0828138E-50.018820249610.489260.018791.1771801E-41.3211406E-40.021719262164.397810.021590.00143227450.00160732920.02829436617.603340.026730.0142307820.0159638820.04637062.90471940.0309
6.62.6135967E-52.9252153E-50.018498711632.388060.018471.1200648E-41.2536049E-40.021302706169.931580.021180.00136282570.00152522190.02764532218.1254430.026160.0135449820.0151543430.044857292.96002840.03016
6.72.4498746E-52.7341044E-50.017776856650.189330.017751.04990395E-41.17170785E-40.020444788174.487090.020330.00127750840.00142564590.02649984718.587960.025110.0127018930.0141715930.0426718933.01108650.02891
6.82.2244329E-52.4935374E-50.01706451684.34950.017049.532935E-51.0686163E-40.019544784182.898040.019440.00116001690.00130028570.02518918419.3720380.023920.0115398020.0129329550.0400279463.09503460.02745
6.91.9902658E-52.2290182E-50.015891936712.95680.015878.529431E-59.552596E-50.018133802189.831150.018040.00103796350.00116242650.02314684219.912520.022010.0103312880.0115690210.0363885243.14534140.02511
7.01.8353881E-52.056605E-50.015130255735.690860.015117.865712E-58.813734E-50.01718663194.998280.01719.5722964E-40.00107256160.02186024220.381340.020810.0095311680.010679390.0339877833.18255850.02356
7.11.7667631E-51.9772435E-50.014629483739.89290.014617.571623E-58.4736355E-50.016653333196.531140.016579.2145515E-40.00103119450.02116041620.5202980.020150.0091764370.01026959250.0328354463.19734640.0228
7.21.6381597E-51.8158042E-50.0129979225715.82180.012987.020495E-57.781795E-50.014806672190.273210.014738.544101E-49.470391E-40.01882009619.8725660.017890.0085113250.0094352690.0294743943.1238530.02023
7.31.4520491E-51.596657E-50.010695796669.886840.010686.222919E-56.842646E-50.0121476177.527820.012087.57377E-48.327899E-40.01551055618.6248130.014690.00754800950.0083003990.0248816182.99764080.01672
7.41.2852287E-51.41454875E-50.010383999734.085630.010375.5080065E-56.06222E-50.011759913193.986910.01176.7039346E-47.378411E-40.01491737120.2175920.014190.00668374640.0073574290.0233985333.18025950.01616
7.51.1637851E-51.2836868E-50.010302705802.58710.010294.987555E-55.5014076E-50.011664376212.025280.011616.070656E-46.696062E-40.01471019821.9684310.014050.0060540990.00667938450.0225725143.37943030.016
7.63.0068115E-63.3330623E-60.0042133191264.09850.004211.2886271E-51.4284516E-50.0047942162335.62330.004781.5687906E-41.7390738E-40.005932905734.115320.005760.00156768350.00173979730.0084181584.83858540.00669

Garlock (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5092507E-56.2904815E-50.014052025223.385510.013991.9323928E-42.6956675E-40.01688508762.637870.016620.00235014970.0032774820.0240591477.3407410.020850.0232545040.032353770.0562062521.73723960.02465
6.14.5092507E-56.2904815E-50.014052025223.385510.013991.9323928E-42.6956675E-40.01688508762.637870.016620.00235014970.0032774820.0240591477.3407410.020850.0232545040.032353770.0562062521.73723960.02465
6.22.6674514E-53.4511588E-50.011724108339.715120.011691.1431433E-41.4789861E-40.01385587193.684940.013710.00139088840.00179921140.01856898510.3206240.01680.013822150.0178727880.036886772.06385090.01936
6.32.6674514E-53.4511588E-50.011724108339.715120.011691.1431433E-41.4789861E-40.01385587193.684940.013710.00139088840.00179921140.01856898510.3206240.01680.013822150.0178727880.036886772.06385090.01936
6.42.5312667E-53.2340467E-50.011571967357.816930.011541.0847834E-41.3859481E-40.01364672398.464890.013510.00131992370.00168611520.01818824410.787070.016530.0131211120.0167722870.0354732762.11499360.01902
6.52.5312667E-53.2340467E-50.011571967357.816930.011541.0847834E-41.3859481E-40.01364672398.464890.013510.00131992370.00168611520.01818824410.787070.016530.0131211120.0167722870.0354732762.11499360.01902
6.62.246556E-52.8134691E-50.011297817401.56180.011279.627742E-51.2057181E-40.013298983110.299270.013180.00117154720.00146699690.01749345111.9246690.016050.0116539010.0146131690.0327245782.23938970.01838
6.72.2241198E-52.7804432E-50.011277491405.600520.011259.531594E-51.1915654E-40.013257591111.261970.013140.00115985380.00144978890.01742659312.0200890.0160.0115381870.0144428290.0325080942.25081180.01833
6.81.9528685E-52.3898969E-50.010953638458.3310.010938.369167E-51.0242024E-40.012841116125.376740.012740.00101846980.00124627280.01672695613.4215850.01550.0101381470.0124367230.029877092.40232830.01766
6.91.3318621E-51.5198818E-50.010335042679.98980.010325.7078556E-56.51362E-50.0119843595183.989240.011926.9470983E-47.927504E-40.015111390519.0619770.014330.00692542040.0079407210.0240616843.03016380.01625
7.01.1760853E-51.3107653E-50.010232974780.686950.010225.0402683E-55.6174475E-50.011845512210.870010.011796.134799E-46.8371464E-40.0148240421.681620.014150.00611789060.0068574010.0228072723.32593510.01606
7.11.0064758E-51.0902761E-50.010050793921.857670.010044.3133965E-54.67253E-50.0115861865247.963870.011545.2502943E-45.6873553E-40.01438087625.2856980.013820.0052379070.00571334730.0212838763.725290.01566
7.29.768808E-61.0498628E-50.009880395941.11290.009874.186565E-54.499337E-50.011384483253.02580.011345.095951E-45.4766005E-40.01408024525.7098260.013540.00508428040.0055035840.0207492133.77012750.01533
7.39.344516E-69.9442705E-60.009109854916.09070.00914.004731E-54.2617627E-50.010502172246.42790.010464.8746695E-45.187495E-40.0130022725.064640.012490.00486399050.0052152690.019261633.69331460.01412
7.49.023491E-69.490441E-60.008159413859.75070.008153.867153E-54.0672705E-50.0094202915231.612120.009384.7072413E-44.95081E-40.01171952123.6719260.011230.0046972830.00497872660.0175358953.52216460.01262
7.57.081253E-67.0873994E-60.0042170575595.007750.004213.0347876E-53.0374218E-50.0047902297157.707090.004763.6942272E-43.697441E-40.00603764816.329260.005670.0036880920.00372447450.0101205632.7173130.00642
7.66.116396E-65.9589424E-60.0025959434435.63830.002592.6212863E-52.5538076E-50.003005462117.6855240.002983.1909486E-43.1088197E-40.003819790712.2869480.003510.00318637070.00313591260.00710343152.2651880.00398
7.74.797145E-64.7571157E-60.0014047505295.29460.00142.055903E-52.0387479E-50.001640354480.4589160.001622.5027743E-42.481894E-40.00215771548.6938250.001910.00249995760.00250940650.0046141121.83872630.00211
7.83.4028885E-63.978375E-68.53975E-4214.654248.5E-41.4583726E-51.7050066E-59.770337E-457.3038069.6E-41.775424E-42.0756487E-40.00129733866.25028040.001090.00177400620.00210121410.00330867151.57464750.00121
7.92.5928412E-63.372436E-67.033701E-4208.56447.0E-41.1112129E-51.4453217E-57.644424E-452.8908127.5E-41.3528178E-41.7595377E-40.00103580245.88678748.6E-40.00135199450.00178124260.00273953261.53798969.6E-4
8.01.3743648E-61.6734741E-62.4167307E-4144.413992.4E-45.8901214E-67.1720124E-62.6717014E-437.251772.6E-47.1709874E-58.731578E-53.7729045E-44.3209882.9E-47.1686733E-48.837377E-40.00123342841.39569513.5E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1489736E-73.0314888E-596.2691043.0E-51.5742813E-61.3495595E-63.134952E-523.2294453.0E-51.9166706E-51.643078E-54.6430287E-52.82581143.0E-51.9165053E-41.662928E-41.962878E-41.18037473.0E-5

Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5103672E-55.456906E-50.010643991195.055420.010591.9328714E-42.3384714E-40.01226103452.431830.012030.0023507310.00284354620.0174219746.12684770.014620.0232601950.0280926250.0443331971.57810810.01671
6.14.5103672E-55.456906E-50.010643991195.055420.010591.9328714E-42.3384714E-40.01226103452.431830.012030.0023507310.00284354620.0174219746.12684770.014620.0232601950.0280926250.0443331971.57810810.01671
6.23.9363465E-54.706271E-50.0106065655225.370910.010561.6868966E-42.016826E-40.01217926760.3882830.011980.0020518620.00245285340.0169671646.91731740.014550.0203301960.0242741870.040490751.66805790.01662
6.33.9363465E-54.706271E-50.0106065655225.370910.010561.6868966E-42.016826E-40.01217926760.3882830.011980.0020518620.00245285340.0169671646.91731740.014550.0203301960.0242741870.040490751.66805790.01662
6.43.2311684E-53.795112E-50.010577551278.715150.010541.384713E-41.6263791E-40.01212069374.525630.011960.00168458430.0019783870.0164696618.3247920.014520.0167187140.0196171180.035852261.82760070.01656
6.53.2311684E-53.795112E-50.010577551278.715150.010541.384713E-41.6263791E-40.01212069374.525630.011960.00168458430.0019783870.0164696618.3247920.014520.0167187140.0196171180.035852261.82760070.01656
6.62.9305844E-53.418196E-50.010553822308.754150.010521.2559042E-41.4648624E-40.0120647482.360910.011920.00152799090.00178207270.0162362689.110890.014480.0151752720.0176863240.033904321.91697970.01651
6.72.7826512E-53.2344353E-50.010552004326.239440.010521.19251024E-41.3861163E-40.0120569686.983750.011920.00145091420.00168635060.0161419329.5721090.014480.0144147760.0167438180.0329675451.96893840.0165
6.82.3389874E-52.6866792E-50.010516585391.434360.010491.0023846E-41.1513857E-40.011983772104.081290.011870.001219720.0014009580.0157907711.2714080.014410.012130470.0139280670.0301095082.16178660.01641
6.92.069209E-52.357011E-50.010513322446.04470.010498.867737E-51.0101105E-40.011969812118.500030.011870.00107911230.00122915190.01560146512.692870.014390.0107388710.0122291580.0284187222.32384940.01639
7.01.7462342E-51.9633622E-50.010439429531.71180.010427.483646E-58.414151E-50.011853151140.871610.011779.1075303E-40.00102396410.01529933114.94127750.014290.0090702950.0101966880.0263106862.5803170.01628
7.11.4807709E-51.6441827E-50.010416271633.52270.01046.3460066E-57.046316E-50.0118196355167.742050.011757.723524E-48.575678E-40.01508535617.590860.014240.0076967350.0085461680.0246176352.88054660.01621
7.21.4180048E-51.5698413E-50.010405535662.839970.010396.077022E-56.727727E-50.011806487175.489990.011747.396263E-48.1880915E-40.01502716518.3524650.014220.00737169430.0081614690.0242193362.96752140.01619
7.31.3730402E-51.5172151E-50.010395015685.13790.010385.8843252E-56.502197E-50.01178426181.235050.011727.161811E-47.9137104E-40.01498013418.9293420.01420.0071387740.0078890580.0239314923.03350420.01617
7.41.2810095E-51.4109353E-50.010343963733.12810.010335.489925E-56.0467344E-50.011719762193.81970.011666.681934E-47.3595706E-40.0148655520.1989380.014140.0066618780.00733868960.0233304633.17910480.01611
7.51.1595659E-51.2800734E-50.010262669801.72510.010254.9694736E-55.485922E-50.0116242245211.891890.011576.0486543E-46.67722E-40.01465837421.9528080.0140.0060322170.0066606320.0225043953.37871770.01595
7.62.997694E-63.3251877E-60.00421331121267.08970.004211.28471975E-51.4250767E-50.0047941827336.415770.004781.564034E-41.7349655E-40.00592249934.136120.005750.00156293370.00173569550.0084041014.84192130.00668

Garlock (West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.5181727E-52.5197181E-50.0074750097296.660550.007451.0791722E-41.0798347E-40.00859706779.6146550.008490.00131310020.00131390930.0114705478.730090.010170.0130536830.0131417940.0244906641.86357070.0115
6.12.5077732E-52.5098223E-50.0074749114297.82630.007451.0747157E-41.075594E-40.00859664779.924640.008490.0013076810.00130875250.0114654428.7605890.010170.0130001260.0130908350.024440291.86697720.0115
6.22.494612E-52.4979914E-50.0074747936299.232150.007451.0690756E-41.070524E-40.00859614480.298460.008490.00130082240.00130258720.0114593398.7973690.010170.0129323410.0130299060.0243800621.8710850.0115
6.32.4733758E-52.4799276E-50.0074746143301.404540.007451.0599751E-41.06278305E-40.00859537680.8761140.008490.00128975560.00129317360.0114500228.8542030.010170.0128229570.01293687150.0242880971.87743210.0115
6.42.3237335E-52.3178607E-50.007453006321.546750.007439.958477E-59.933313E-50.00856849286.260160.008470.00121177020.00120871260.01134644459.3872140.010150.0120518380.0121017310.0234428031.93714460.01148
6.52.2732203E-52.2992977E-50.0074328226323.264920.007419.742009E-59.8537625E-50.00854770586.74560.008450.00118544420.00119903810.0113168929.4383090.010130.0117914030.0120060350.0233284461.94305990.01146
6.62.1319436E-52.1773201E-50.007411612340.400670.007399.136581E-59.3310395E-50.00852252491.33520.008430.0011118110.00113546430.01123398459.8937360.010110.0110626490.0113769520.02268681.99410180.01144
6.71.970802E-52.0393094E-50.007410242363.370180.007398.446021E-58.739606E-50.00851665997.4490050.008430.0010278180.00106352940.01116277710.4959750.010110.0102307710.01066468750.0219826832.0612590.01144
6.81.8744462E-51.9900775E-50.0074097537372.334930.007398.033094E-58.528626E-50.00850456999.717920.008429.775903E-40.00103786720.01112738410.72139550.01010.0097330090.0104104950.0217215032.08650040.01143
6.91.7559682E-51.8953151E-50.007408813390.90140.007397.5253614E-58.122527E-50.008500542104.65390.008429.158276E-49.884704E-40.01107848711.2077060.01010.00912062450.0099210730.0212376752.14066310.01143
7.01.6794445E-51.8215967E-50.0074080816406.680630.007397.197421E-57.806611E-50.00848741108.72080.008418.759337E-49.5004175E-40.01102046611.5999790.010080.0087248910.0095399580.0208411072.1846120.01141
7.11.6337795E-51.771677E-50.0074075856418.111540.007397.0017246E-57.592681E-50.008485288111.756160.008418.521265E-49.2401815E-40.01099470411.8987960.010080.0084886640.0092817210.0205660022.2157530.01139
7.21.5780008E-51.71654E-50.007397039430.927280.007386.762685E-57.3563926E-50.008472946115.1780.00848.2304585E-48.952741E-40.010956258512.2378820.010070.0082000420.0089965590.0202741792.25354810.01138
7.31.5058865E-51.6618484E-50.007366496443.27130.007356.45364E-57.122013E-50.008440624118.514580.008377.854473E-48.667614E-40.01089805912.573310.010040.007826770.0087132630.0199346282.2878490.01132
7.41.4887923E-51.6454453E-50.007256335440.995240.007246.380382E-57.0517184E-50.008309936117.842710.008247.7653467E-48.5820974E-40.010749713512.5257420.00990.00773826750.0086281010.0196818992.2811390.01115
7.51.4509299E-51.6046468E-50.0068559367427.25520.006846.218123E-56.876877E-50.007818236113.688750.007757.567935E-48.369394E-40.01012915612.1026160.00930.00754221340.0084164110.0187784582.2311720.01045
7.61.2756717E-51.4050529E-50.004623986329.096920.004615.4670498E-56.0215163E-50.005289987.849970.005236.6541E-47.328737E-40.00697829349.5218230.006250.0066342110.0073813740.01436940951.9467120.00704
7.71.0328985E-51.146033E-50.0027014294235.720050.002694.4266326E-54.9114777E-50.00309896563.0963860.003055.388092E-45.9780874E-40.00424562677.10198160.003650.00537504670.0060382860.0100340121.66173180.00402
7.87.0306583E-68.899537E-60.0017288842194.266770.001723.0131043E-53.8140315E-50.001928068250.5519750.001893.667837E-44.6425956E-40.00275319635.93029550.002290.0036617890.00469506670.0072531.5448130.00257
7.94.060633E-65.465412E-60.0010954594200.434920.001091.7402595E-52.3422985E-50.001203395351.3766860.001182.11856E-42.8513762E-40.00166474415.8383880.001380.00211654140.0028841430.00441970161.53241410.00154
8.01.6729537E-62.0775192E-63.2207684E-4155.029543.2E-47.169782E-68.903624E-63.5890052E-440.3094863.5E-48.7288594E-51.0839626E-45.183518E-44.7820084.1E-48.7254314E-40.0010968540.00157632751.43713524.8E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1489736E-73.0314888E-596.2691043.0E-51.5742813E-61.3495595E-63.134952E-523.2294453.0E-51.9166706E-51.643078E-54.6430287E-52.82581143.0E-51.9165053E-41.662928E-41.962878E-41.18037473.0E-5

Blackwater

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0708583E-53.3095846E-50.0055729123168.387050.005541.3160157E-41.4183241E-40.006690903647.1747130.006550.00160107140.00172557840.0101410325.87688830.008430.0158958510.0171356330.027082221.58046220.01012
6.13.0708583E-53.3095846E-50.0055729123168.387050.005541.3160157E-41.4183241E-40.006690903647.1747130.006550.00160107140.00172557840.0101410325.87688830.008430.0158958510.0171356330.027082221.58046220.01012
6.21.1707779E-51.2545122E-50.0021325184169.987870.002125.017523E-55.3763757E-50.002593627248.2411840.002546.107122E-46.5438676E-40.0039522276.03958940.00330.0060903660.00652556960.0104299241.59831630.00393
6.31.1707779E-51.2545122E-50.0021325184169.987870.002125.017523E-55.3763757E-50.002593627248.2411840.002546.107122E-46.5438676E-40.0039522276.03958940.00330.0060903660.00652556960.0104299241.59831630.00393
6.47.929244E-68.480098E-60.001428468168.449480.001423.3982033E-53.6342793E-50.00173628147.7751120.00174.136527E-44.423877E-40.00263141895.9482190.002190.00412883560.00441547580.00702390731.59074750.00262
6.55.8832115E-66.285991E-60.0010662794169.627880.001062.521352E-52.6939697E-50.001296905548.1410560.001273.0693135E-43.27944E-40.00199739636.0906630.001670.00306507780.00327485380.0052384021.59958360.00197
6.65.8832115E-66.285991E-60.0010662794169.627880.001062.521352E-52.6939697E-50.001296905548.1410560.001273.0693135E-43.27944E-40.00199739636.0906630.001670.00306507780.00327485380.0052384021.59958360.00197
6.73.0715053E-63.2814662E-64.1328013E-4125.943744.1E-41.3163528E-51.4063357E-55.240562E-437.2639475.1E-41.6025416E-41.7120909E-48.4109436E-44.9126746.7E-40.00160138650.00171088640.00251950071.47262888.1E-4
6.82.2722281E-62.4287538E-62.9242804E-4120.402512.9E-49.738084E-61.0408908E-53.8040505E-436.546113.7E-41.1855473E-41.26722E-46.1665993E-44.8662424.9E-40.0011849150.00126658760.00183586571.44945815.7E-4
6.99.952399E-71.0653489E-61.2106522E-4113.639041.2E-44.265307E-64.5657757E-61.4456514E-431.6627771.4E-45.1928873E-55.5587418E-52.2557797E-44.0580761.7E-45.191674E-45.557858E-47.356857E-41.32368581.8E-4
7.04.7385504E-75.0755597E-76.0507526E-5119.213516.0E-52.0308057E-62.1752398E-67.2175084E-533.180297.0E-52.4724779E-52.6483543E-51.1648116E-44.3982479.0E-52.4722028E-42.6483546E-43.548116E-41.33974369.0E-5

Ash Hill

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1545662E-52.3194447E-50.004823083207.941280.00489.2335285E-59.940143E-50.0058488358.8404960.005750.00112360230.00120962060.0091100527.53133060.007910.0111793810.0120383480.021552421.79031360.00963
6.12.1545662E-52.3194447E-50.004823083207.941280.00489.2335285E-59.940143E-50.0058488358.8404960.005750.00112360230.00120962060.0091100527.53133060.007910.0111793810.0120383480.021552421.79031360.00963
6.22.1545662E-52.3194447E-50.004823083207.941280.00489.2335285E-59.940143E-50.0058488358.8404960.005750.00112360230.00120962060.0091100527.53133060.007910.0111793810.0120383480.021552421.79031360.00963
6.31.0025529E-51.0746934E-50.002060725191.750030.002054.2965847E-54.605755E-50.002485945153.974760.002445.229836E-45.6061964E-40.00385876956.8830440.00330.0052175450.00559336650.0095809371.71291070.00401
6.41.0025529E-51.0746934E-50.002060725191.750030.002054.2965847E-54.605755E-50.002485945153.974760.002445.229836E-45.6061964E-40.00385876956.8830440.00330.0052175450.00559336650.0095809371.71291070.00401
6.56.9617327E-67.456634E-60.0013774465184.727650.001372.9835655E-53.195666E-50.001621905850.7532960.001593.6318856E-43.8901155E-40.00251818296.47328570.002130.00362595570.00388416020.00639437231.64626880.00252
6.64.9919777E-65.3466883E-60.0010253412191.771270.001022.1394015E-52.2914215E-50.001222886753.368040.00122.60441E-42.7895154E-40.0018685086.69832470.001590.00260135970.00278667270.00465146171.66918120.00187
6.73.6630722E-63.924624E-67.539217E-4192.100377.5E-41.5698786E-51.681974E-58.9680497E-453.31868.8E-41.9111596E-42.0476682E-40.0014145196.90795040.001210.00190951680.00204634460.00347341831.69737710.00143
6.82.5599613E-62.744925E-65.827433E-4212.298455.8E-41.0971216E-51.1763939E-56.8175606E-457.953046.7E-41.3356637E-41.4322149E-40.0010330947.2132618.9E-40.00133486130.00143177690.00248027361.73230450.00105
6.91.7684905E-61.8968707E-64.7189597E-4248.776034.7E-47.579223E-68.129446E-65.4812507E-467.424655.4E-49.2273134E-59.8976E-57.989067E-48.0717217.0E-49.223483E-49.8976E-40.00175899791.77719637.7E-4

Gravel Hills-Harper Lk

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0679566E-53.1464628E-50.002741379487.1257550.002711.3147724E-41.3484266E-40.003334411224.7281630.00320.00159955990.001640690.00602348753.67131350.004390.0158809520.0163073370.0214913991.31789740.00527
6.13.0679566E-53.1464628E-50.002741379487.1257550.002711.3147724E-41.3484266E-40.003334411224.7281630.00320.00159955990.001640690.00602348753.67131350.004390.0158809520.0163073370.0214913991.31789740.00527
6.21.514536E-51.36352E-59.936219E-472.871829.8E-46.490707E-55.843533E-50.001198368720.5076070.001147.8995706E-47.112298E-40.0023000993.23397450.001590.0078715480.0070907370.0089375481.2604540.00186
6.31.514536E-51.36352E-59.936219E-472.871829.8E-46.490707E-55.843533E-50.001198368720.5076070.001147.8995706E-47.112298E-40.0023000993.23397450.001590.0078715480.0070907370.0089375481.2604540.00186
6.41.2532521E-51.0689684E-56.3068303E-458.9992266.2E-45.37097E-54.581216E-58.057773E-417.5887227.6E-46.537194E-45.5762613E-40.00154707412.7743939.9E-40.00651799650.0055628590.00671640641.20736590.00116
6.51.1094058E-59.083657E-64.4907967E-449.43824.4E-44.7545094E-53.89294E-55.7890837E-414.8707255.4E-45.787078E-44.7386638E-40.00114354892.41323076.7E-40.00577203040.0047289670.0055152311.16626557.9E-4
6.69.688328E-67.531688E-62.3752995E-431.5374132.3E-44.1520743E-53.227828E-53.5226796E-410.9134673.2E-45.053978E-43.9291973E-48.127547E-42.06850054.2E-40.00504249940.00392250670.0044205461.12696955.0E-4
6.78.974824E-66.749406E-61.3674852E-420.2608241.3E-43.8462964E-52.8925719E-52.0892051E-47.22265621.8E-44.6818596E-43.5211592E-46.0202787E-41.70974352.5E-40.0046720080.0035158010.00383467581.09069763.2E-4
6.87.4780046E-65.1161865E-62.5116084E-54.90914152.0E-53.20482E-52.1926337E-57.192524E-53.28031285.0E-53.9011694E-42.6692182E-43.6689514E-41.37454151.0E-40.00389432810.00266615050.00278583051.04488871.2E-4
6.96.3409307E-63.907489E-61.390745E-53.55917841.0E-52.7175134E-51.674628E-54.6745776E-52.79141263.0E-53.3080703E-42.0386786E-42.6385565E-41.29424826.0E-50.00330315020.00203690650.00211674371.03919538.0E-5
7.05.1239335E-62.6058492E-62.6058492E-61.00.02.195953E-51.1167879E-52.1167767E-51.89541521.0E-52.6732447E-41.359607E-41.7595525E-41.29416264.0E-50.00267003130.00135880050.0014187191.04409666.0E-5
7.14.438899E-62.0984692E-62.0984692E-61.00.01.9023713E-58.99341E-61.899332E-52.11191531.0E-52.315891E-41.0948948E-41.394862E-41.27396893.0E-50.0023134790.00109437740.00113433351.03651054.0E-5
7.23.50367E-61.2615715E-61.2615715E-61.00.01.5015643E-55.406724E-61.540667E-52.84953881.0E-51.8280011E-46.5824956E-58.5823645E-51.30381612.0E-50.00182649826.580628E-46.780497E-41.03037232.0E-5
7.32.561638E-67.118686E-77.118686E-71.00.01.0978401E-53.050862E-61.30508315E-54.27775241.0E-51.3365384E-43.7143633E-54.714326E-51.26921511.0E-50.00133573493.7137623E-43.8137252E-41.02691691.0E-5
7.42.0368864E-65.304471E-75.304471E-71.00.08.729483E-62.2733427E-62.2733427E-61.00.01.06276275E-42.76776E-52.76776E-51.00.00.00106225472.767421E-42.767421E-41.00.0
7.51.1681728E-63.6028484E-73.6028484E-71.00.05.0064455E-61.544077E-61.544077E-61.00.06.0951766E-51.879898E-51.879898E-51.00.06.093505E-41.8797436E-41.8797436E-41.00.0
7.61.3154387E-77.1196716E-87.1196716E-81.00.05.6375933E-73.0512876E-73.0512876E-71.00.06.863748E-63.714938E-63.714938E-61.00.06.863536E-53.7148915E-53.7148915E-51.00.0

San Andreas (Mojave N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.877682E-51.9402112E-40.003473384817.9020960.003284.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00453817055.4594250.003710.00514102770.0100736840.014429361.43238160.00440.050237080.098322450.102731661.04484430.00489
6.19.877682E-51.9402112E-40.003473384817.9020960.003284.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00453817055.4594250.003710.00514102770.0100736840.014429361.43238160.00440.050237080.098322450.102731661.04484430.00489
6.29.877682E-51.9402112E-40.003473384817.9020960.003284.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00453817055.4594250.003710.00514102770.0100736840.014429361.43238160.00440.050237080.098322450.102731661.04484430.00489
6.39.877682E-51.9402112E-40.003473384817.9020960.003284.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00453817055.4594250.003710.00514102770.0100736840.014429361.43238160.00440.050237080.098322450.102731661.04484430.00489
6.49.877682E-51.9402112E-40.003473384817.9020960.003284.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00453817055.4594250.003710.00514102770.0100736840.014429361.43238160.00440.050237080.098322450.102731661.04484430.00489
6.59.861474E-51.937588E-40.003473123317.9249840.003284.2256617E-48.3013077E-40.0045370515.4654650.003710.00513261320.01006013250.0144158681.432970.00440.0501567460.098200350.102610151.04490610.00489
6.69.861474E-51.937588E-40.003473123317.9249840.003284.2256617E-48.3013077E-40.0045370515.4654650.003710.00513261320.01006013250.0144158681.432970.00440.0501567460.098200350.102610151.04490610.00489
6.79.8552715E-51.9365833E-40.003473023217.9337650.003284.223004E-48.2970044E-40.0045366225.46778350.003710.00512939270.0100549410.01441071.43319580.00440.0501259980.098153560.102563591.04492990.00489
6.89.8464974E-51.9350994E-40.003472875317.9467540.003284.219245E-48.290649E-40.0045359895.4712110.003710.00512483760.0100472760.01440306751.43352970.00440.050082510.098083780.102494151.04496540.00489
6.99.825824E-51.9319002E-40.003472556417.9748230.003284.2103877E-48.276947E-40.0045346245.4786190.003710.00511410460.0100307460.0143866111.43425130.00440.0499800220.0979329650.102344071.04504220.00489
7.09.781462E-51.9250368E-40.003471872318.0353570.003284.1913814E-48.247551E-40.0045316955.4945950.003710.0050910730.0099952850.01435130651.43580760.00440.049760070.097609120.102021811.04520770.00489
7.19.7121134E-51.9152075E-40.003470892618.12280.003284.1616702E-48.205452E-40.0045275015.5176740.003710.0050550680.00994449950.0143007431.43805560.00440.049416130.097145710.101560671.04544680.00489
7.29.663819E-51.9082859E-40.003470202718.184920.003284.1409794E-48.175807E-40.00452454765.53406860.003710.00502999360.0099087350.0142651371.43965270.00440.0491765370.096818830.101235381.04561670.00489
7.39.6277574E-51.9035369E-40.003469729318.2278020.003284.125529E-48.1554666E-40.0045225215.5453860.003710.00501126940.0098841950.0142407051.44075510.00440.048997590.096592280.101009941.04573510.00489
7.49.593308E-51.8975153E-40.00346912918.2824820.003284.1107697E-48.129676E-40.00451995155.55981730.003710.00499338240.0098530810.0142097271.44216080.00440.048826610.096309860.100728911.04588370.00489
7.59.561707E-51.8921228E-40.003468591718.3317470.003284.0972308E-48.106579E-40.004517655.57281970.003710.00497697430.0098252150.0141819841.44342730.00440.0486697440.0960562450.100476531.04601760.00489
7.69.418194E-51.8573487E-40.003465125618.65630.003284.0357444E-47.95764E-40.00450281155.65847640.003710.0049024540.0096454990.0140030591.45177130.00440.0479570250.0944374650.0988656651.04689030.00489
7.78.202141E-51.6022482E-40.002939779318.347840.002783.51473E-46.8649714E-40.00385432095.6144750.003170.004270790.0083261280.0120845731.45140350.003790.041896390.0822379140.086083341.04675970.00419
7.87.2859846E-51.4517571E-40.001944914313.3969690.00183.1221908E-46.2203326E-40.00264077684.24539470.002020.0037946430.00754699860.0099685841.32086730.002440.0373049750.074727660.077272161.03405030.00275
7.95.3874453E-51.00462625E-40.00126034612.5454230.001162.3087008E-44.3048308E-40.00170993213.97212360.001280.00280722020.00522854740.0067107571.2834840.001490.027720220.0524258840.054017811.03036520.00168
8.03.468538E-55.4261534E-54.2424147E-47.81845663.7E-41.4864317E-42.3252872E-46.4243336E-42.7628134.1E-40.00180822830.00282736360.00329603491.16576254.7E-40.0179358530.0289484620.029482541.01844935.5E-4
8.11.9152367E-51.9401303E-55.9400525E-53.06167724.0E-58.207899E-58.3145795E-51.3314163E-41.60130335.0E-59.988535E-40.00101183050.00106177991.04936545.0E-50.0099437570.010855950.0109054081.00455585.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Mojave S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.00356267465.28097530.002890.00133063760.0028881720.0061985832.14619610.003320.0160806050.0345655940.0384273341.1117220.0040.14965490.286545570.289820341.01142840.00459
6.13.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.00356267465.28097530.002890.00133063760.0028881720.0061985832.14619610.003320.0160806050.0345655940.0384273341.1117220.0040.14965490.286545570.289820341.01142840.00459
6.23.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.00356267465.28097530.002890.00133063760.0028881720.0061985832.14619610.003320.0160806050.0345655940.0384273341.1117220.0040.14965490.286545570.289820341.01142840.00459
6.33.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.00356267465.28097530.002890.00133063760.0028881720.0061985832.14619610.003320.0160806050.0345655940.0384273341.1117220.0040.14965490.286545570.289820341.01142840.00459
6.41.9872203E-44.3181062E-40.0029707146.8796680.002548.5138786E-40.00184933260.00474396952.56523320.00290.0103164780.022289310.0257504061.15528050.003540.0985048560.196868390.20012911.01656290.00406
6.51.291105E-42.8754136E-40.0026668579.274690.002385.5321335E-40.00123174090.00392841553.18931940.00270.0067145920.0148941550.0180957481.21495640.003250.0651529650.138007920.141214531.0232350.00372
6.61.291105E-42.8754136E-40.0026668579.274690.002385.5321335E-40.00123174090.00392841553.18931940.00270.0067145920.0148941550.0180957481.21495640.003250.0651529650.138007920.141214531.0232350.00372
6.71.08001186E-42.4335351E-40.002542793810.4489710.00234.6278012E-40.00104252740.0036597963.51050350.002620.00561980160.01261920.0157097021.24490480.003130.0547979060.119184310.12230241.02616190.00354
6.81.0624356E-42.3853009E-40.002527983910.5981760.002294.5525006E-40.00102187180.00362920483.55152630.002610.00552859250.0123705930.0154519971.2490910.003120.0539305660.117133080.12024961.02660670.00353
6.91.0393785E-42.3223337E-40.002521701610.858480.002294.4537184E-49.949068E-40.003602313.62075160.002610.00540892870.0120459630.01511851.25506780.003110.052791560.1144334450.117550641.02724030.00352
7.01.0155622E-42.2592908E-40.002515411711.1336350.002294.3516833E-49.6790853E-40.00357538233.69392590.002610.0052853110.0117208380.0147943861.26222940.003110.051613610.111697450.114815391.02791420.00351
7.19.885595E-52.188132E-40.002488316511.3718760.002274.2359953E-49.374342E-40.00352500643.76027060.002590.00514513530.0113537330.0143987641.26819650.003080.050276290.108576070.111669311.02848910.00347
7.29.6411415E-52.1244297E-40.002481960711.6829510.002274.1312634E-49.101525E-40.00349779523.8430870.002590.0050182190.0110249870.014071031.27628540.003080.0490640070.10576970.108863741.02925250.00346
7.39.1180635E-51.9472656E-40.002444288512.5524140.002253.907156E-48.342756E-40.003392144.06597040.002560.0047465910.0101101120.0131193771.2976490.003040.0464647860.097961760.101046731.03149160.00342
7.48.887388E-51.872126E-40.002436791313.0161710.002253.8083247E-48.020931E-40.00336003984.18908930.002560.00462678170.0097218550.01273231.30965760.003040.0453162860.0945938450.0976812841.03263890.00341
7.58.6750515E-51.80528E-40.002420123713.40580750.002243.7173493E-47.734621E-40.00332148984.2943150.002550.0045164840.0093763270.0123779161.32012430.003030.044257870.091556060.094644761.03373580.0034
7.68.453092E-51.7440386E-40.002414013313.8415120.002243.6222505E-47.4723107E-40.00329532574.4100490.002550.00440117530.0090596640.0120622131.33141950.003030.043150240.088714470.091812851.03492520.0034
7.78.259102E-51.6962511E-40.002409245114.2033520.002243.539135E-47.267622E-40.0032749094.50616260.002550.0043003860.00881250.01181579851.34079980.003030.0421811340.0864654260.0895714461.0359220.0034
7.87.444844E-51.528469E-40.001952571812.774690.00183.1902574E-46.5489375E-40.00267357084.082450.002020.00387722230.0079442310.0103648471.30470110.002440.038102690.0782938750.080828561.0323740.00275
7.95.2586525E-51.0007023E-40.001259954212.5906980.001162.2535135E-44.2880196E-40.0017082533.9837810.001280.00274020060.0052081780.00669041741.28459860.001490.0270665740.0522015880.0537938921.03050290.00168
8.03.379877E-55.4075565E-54.2405556E-47.84190753.7E-41.4484383E-42.3173184E-46.4163684E-42.76887664.1E-40.00176204710.00281768660.00328636241.16633364.7E-40.0174814090.0288359170.0293700561.01852355.5E-4
8.11.8668277E-51.9308145E-55.930737E-53.07162484.0E-58.000444E-58.274657E-51.3274243E-41.60420475.0E-59.736188E-40.00100697450.00105692411.04960375.0E-50.0096936420.0107986240.01084808351.00458035.0E-5
8.28.541571E-65.4596358E-65.4596358E-61.00.03.660622E-52.339823E-52.339823E-51.00.04.455896E-42.848363E-42.848363E-41.00.00.00444697170.0032402830.0032402831.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

McLean Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7360222E-51.8501627E-50.0018984668102.61080.001887.439883E-57.9290556E-50.002529096331.8965640.002459.0542925E-49.6498354E-40.0044616064.62350460.00350.0090174910.00961277450.0141685561.47392990.0046
6.19.062689E-69.592193E-60.0010295825107.335450.001023.8839516E-54.1108804E-50.001291057431.4058630.001254.727685E-45.003936E-40.0022095384.41560.001710.00471763960.0049935520.00726216661.45430890.00228
6.29.062689E-69.592193E-60.0010295825107.335450.001023.8839516E-54.1108804E-50.001291057431.4058630.001254.727685E-45.003936E-40.0022095384.41560.001710.00471763960.0049935520.00726216661.45430890.00228
6.37.2575485E-67.66771E-66.876625E-489.6829156.8E-43.110341E-53.2861237E-58.828333E-426.8654928.5E-43.786182E-44.0001926E-40.00164951924.12359950.001250.00377973750.00399369650.00571678771.43145260.00173
6.47.2575485E-67.66771E-66.876625E-489.6829156.8E-43.110341E-53.2861237E-58.828333E-426.8654928.5E-43.786182E-44.0001926E-40.00164951924.12359950.001250.00377973750.00399369650.00571678771.43145260.00173
6.56.06582E-66.4038773E-66.164E-496.254196.1E-42.5996113E-52.7444936E-57.774244E-428.3266967.5E-43.164567E-43.3409733E-40.00142373324.2614320.001090.00316006430.00333658930.00486148431.45702210.00153
6.65.598744E-65.910262E-65.4590707E-492.365975.4E-42.3994397E-52.5329486E-56.853128E-427.055936.6E-42.9209262E-43.0834923E-40.00124805944.0475519.4E-40.00291708970.0030798430.0044555931.44669470.00138
6.75.246996E-65.539162E-65.055364E-491.265865.0E-42.2486933E-52.3739085E-56.337246E-426.695416.1E-42.73744E-42.8899137E-40.00115873994.00968.7E-40.00273407040.00288677960.00416308461.44212070.00128
6.84.02324E-64.2469046E-63.842453E-490.4765553.8E-41.7242342E-51.8200926E-54.981922E-427.3718054.8E-42.099053E-42.2157968E-49.0142904E-44.06819346.8E-40.00209707140.0022141720.00325186921.46866150.00104
6.96.835972E-77.1399285E-77.071394E-599.040137.0E-52.9296991E-63.0599674E-68.305972E-527.143998.0E-53.56685E-53.7254784E-51.6724995E-44.48935461.3E-43.5662777E-43.7251666E-45.624459E-41.50985431.9E-4

So Sierra Nevada

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0020010576180.60720.001994.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002447369351.5417330.00246.024253E-45.779681E-40.00377611866.5334380.00320.0060079480.0057659180.0095340661.65352080.00379
6.11.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0020010576180.60720.001994.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002447369351.5417330.00246.024253E-45.779681E-40.00377611866.5334380.00320.0060079480.0057659180.0095340661.65352080.00379
6.21.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0020010576180.60720.001994.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002447369351.5417330.00246.024253E-45.779681E-40.00377611866.5334380.00320.0060079480.0057659180.0095340661.65352080.00379
6.31.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0020010576180.60720.001994.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002447369351.5417330.00246.024253E-45.779681E-40.00377611866.5334380.00320.0060079480.0057659180.0095340661.65352080.00379
6.41.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0020010576180.60720.001994.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002447369351.5417330.00246.024253E-45.779681E-40.00377611866.5334380.00320.0060079480.0057659180.0095340661.65352080.00379
6.51.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0020010576180.60720.001994.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002447369351.5417330.00246.024253E-45.779681E-40.00377611866.5334380.00320.0060079480.0057659180.0095340661.65352080.00379
6.67.587044E-66.9356042E-60.0011769275169.693570.001173.2515498E-52.9723697E-50.00139968347.08980.001373.9580427E-43.6182883E-40.00214118495.9176730.001780.0039510.00361268870.00570510231.57918450.0021
6.77.587044E-66.9356042E-60.0011769275169.693570.001173.2515498E-52.9723697E-50.00139968347.08980.001373.9580427E-43.6182883E-40.00214118495.9176730.001780.0039510.00361268870.00570510231.57918450.0021
6.85.9026956E-65.179362E-68.45175E-4163.18138.4E-42.5297022E-52.2197082E-50.001022174846.0499650.0013.0794772E-42.7021713E-40.00157986315.8466430.001310.00307521320.0026990020.00420492651.55795610.00151
6.95.0118915E-64.2523943E-66.542496E-4153.85446.5E-42.1479358E-51.8224424E-57.982102E-443.7989237.8E-42.614798E-42.2186051E-40.00126162975.686590.001040.00261172350.00221646270.00339384731.53119980.00118
7.04.4924795E-63.7138868E-65.5371184E-4149.092295.5E-41.925334E-51.5916565E-56.759061E-442.4655766.6E-42.3438422E-41.9376757E-40.00105360095.4374478.6E-40.00234137170.00193604910.00291415191.50520559.8E-4
7.13.9118436E-63.1119469E-63.8311078E-4123.109673.8E-41.6764936E-51.333685E-54.6333086E-434.740654.5E-42.0409399E-41.6236462E-47.622672E-44.6947866.0E-40.00203906630.00162251610.00231139641.42457546.9E-4
7.23.4200818E-62.6054236E-62.9260467E-4112.3059842.9E-41.4657411E-51.11660565E-53.5116225E-431.4490853.4E-41.7843937E-41.3593875E-45.658803E-44.16275934.3E-40.00178296150.00135860580.00185792651.36752445.0E-4
7.32.6593618E-61.8283897E-61.7182808E-493.977821.7E-41.13972155E-57.8359335E-62.1783428E-427.7994042.1E-41.3875226E-49.539862E-53.553738E-43.72514652.6E-40.00138665659.536055E-40.0012433291.3038192.9E-4
7.42.2577992E-61.4364078E-61.3143622E-491.503421.3E-49.676246E-66.1560204E-61.6615503E-426.9906581.6E-41.1780193E-47.4947224E-52.8493148E-43.80176162.1E-40.0011773957.4924453E-49.690797E-41.29340912.2E-4
7.51.489319E-67.353661E-78.0735306E-5109.7892768.0E-56.3827797E-63.1515651E-61.0315125E-432.7301671.0E-47.770758E-53.8369635E-51.4836542E-43.86674051.1E-47.7680405E-43.8363054E-45.035845E-41.3126811.2E-4
7.61.0680322E-64.65941E-72.0465932E-543.923872.0E-54.577273E-61.9968884E-64.199681E-521.0311244.0E-55.5726876E-52.4311848E-57.4310636E-53.05656035.0E-55.5712904E-42.4309216E-43.0307757E-41.246766.0E-5
7.75.509146E-71.5578539E-71.01557835E-565.1908651.0E-52.3610605E-66.676515E-71.0667645E-515.9778641.0E-52.8745531E-58.128628E-61.8128547E-52.23020981.0E-52.8741814E-48.128342E-59.128261E-51.12301641.0E-5

Goldstone Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.671352E-53.0376103E-50.001620327853.3421860.001591.1448149E-41.3017791E-40.002089922816.0543580.001960.0013929210.00158396010.0043695412.75861790.002790.0138422220.0157462020.0192501451.22252630.00356
6.12.671352E-53.0376103E-50.001620327853.3421860.001591.1448149E-41.3017791E-40.002089922816.0543580.001960.0013929210.00158396010.0043695412.75861790.002790.0138422220.0157462020.0192501451.22252630.00356
6.21.4197047E-51.6096254E-58.360831E-451.9427078.2E-46.0843064E-56.898268E-50.001108910916.0752090.001047.4051257E-48.3963916E-40.00223846362.6659830.00140.0073804980.0083743640.0101890391.2166940.00183
6.31.4197047E-51.6096254E-58.360831E-451.9427078.2E-46.0843064E-56.898268E-50.001108910916.0752090.001047.4051257E-48.3963916E-40.00223846362.6659830.00140.0073804980.0083743640.0101890391.2166940.00183
6.41.3238931E-51.500847E-57.5499737E-450.3047527.4E-45.6737044E-56.432098E-50.001024259315.9241869.6E-46.9055456E-47.8292453E-40.00203194592.59532790.001250.0068841260.0078112890.0094583221.2108530.00166
6.51.3238931E-51.500847E-57.5499737E-450.3047527.4E-45.6737044E-56.432098E-50.001024259315.9241869.6E-46.9055456E-47.8292453E-40.00203194592.59532790.001250.0068841260.0078112890.0094583221.2108530.00166
6.61.1328278E-51.2855176E-56.928464E-453.8963056.8E-44.8548856E-55.5092984E-59.450439E-417.1536168.9E-45.90922E-46.706464E-40.00177990192.65400980.001110.00589353130.00669561370.0081458381.21659310.00146
6.78.651175E-69.824575E-65.1981956E-452.9101375.1E-43.707594E-54.2105148E-57.320761E-417.3868546.9E-44.5130608E-45.126002E-40.0014021442.7353568.9E-40.00450390620.00512305650.006227371.21555760.00111
6.81.0215377E-61.1754802E-61.1175468E-59.5071521.0E-54.378012E-65.037763E-62.5037662E-54.9699962.0E-55.3300988E-56.133315E-58.133193E-51.32606792.0E-55.3288206E-46.131735E-46.331613E-41.03259722.0E-5
6.97.9360774E-79.283496E-79.283496E-71.00.03.4011714E-63.9786355E-63.9786355E-61.00.04.1408475E-54.843888E-54.843888E-51.00.04.140076E-44.842902E-44.842902E-41.00.0
7.07.4382757E-78.747428E-78.747428E-71.00.03.1878285E-63.7488926E-63.7488926E-61.00.03.8811122E-54.564188E-54.564188E-51.00.03.8804344E-44.563317E-44.563317E-41.00.0
7.16.4709513E-77.711399E-77.711399E-71.00.02.773262E-63.3048816E-63.3048816E-61.00.03.376394E-54.023625E-54.023625E-51.00.03.375881E-44.022956E-44.022956E-41.00.0
7.26.356704E-77.588459E-77.588459E-71.00.02.7242988E-63.252193E-63.252193E-61.00.03.3167835E-53.959479E-53.959479E-51.00.03.3162883E-43.9588328E-43.9588328E-41.00.0
7.35.7695723E-76.896648E-76.896648E-71.00.02.4726714E-62.9557032E-62.9557032E-61.00.03.0104358E-53.598515E-53.598515E-51.00.03.0100282E-43.5979896E-43.5979896E-41.00.0
7.45.209647E-76.193583E-76.193583E-71.00.02.232704E-62.6543903E-62.6543903E-61.00.02.718283E-53.2316777E-53.2316777E-51.00.02.7179506E-43.2312635E-43.2312635E-41.00.0
7.54.512955E-75.3489487E-75.3489487E-71.00.01.934122E-62.2924048E-62.2924048E-61.00.02.3547682E-52.7909726E-52.7909726E-51.00.02.3545188E-42.7906752E-42.7906752E-41.00.0
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-51.3587343E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.3586794E-41.00.0

Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.744542E-54.396349E-50.001423902832.3883060.001381.604705E-41.8840231E-40.001918076410.1807470.001730.00195197760.00229155710.0045264241.97526120.002240.0193492060.0226972810.0253653171.11754870.00273
6.13.744542E-54.396349E-50.001423902832.3883060.001381.604705E-41.8840231E-40.001918076410.1807470.001730.00195197760.00229155710.0045264241.97526120.002240.0193492060.0226972810.0253653171.11754870.00273
6.23.744542E-54.396349E-50.001423902832.3883060.001381.604705E-41.8840231E-40.001918076410.1807470.001730.00195197760.00229155710.0045264241.97526120.002240.0193492060.0226972810.0253653171.11754870.00273
6.32.1079984E-52.5354384E-56.1533944E-424.2695475.9E-49.0339665E-51.0865723E-48.385779E-47.71764477.3E-40.00109933040.00132211890.00228084971.72514719.6E-40.0109390790.0131447470.0143191051.08934040.00119
6.42.1079984E-52.5354384E-56.1533944E-424.2695475.9E-49.0339665E-51.0865723E-48.385779E-47.71764477.3E-40.00109933040.00132211890.00228084971.72514719.6E-40.0109390790.0131447470.0143191051.08934040.00119
6.51.7397282E-52.0663285E-54.8065378E-423.2612484.6E-47.455765E-58.8554E-56.285062E-47.09743455.4E-49.073613E-40.00107762350.00179684761.66741697.2E-40.0090366540.0107252730.0116650841.08762599.5E-4
6.61.52050325E-51.7680086E-54.4767247E-425.320724.3E-46.51628E-57.576964E-55.557333E-47.33451134.8E-47.9306826E-49.221128E-40.00152155951.65007966.0E-40.0079024390.0091837290.0099763811.08631068.0E-4
6.71.332523E-51.5264379E-53.552592E-423.2737393.4E-45.7106878E-56.541716E-54.65391E-47.11420354.0E-46.950544E-47.9616875E-40.00129577061.62750765.0E-40.0069288450.00793379450.0085885581.08252856.6E-4
6.81.1525329E-51.3031365E-52.630281E-420.1842332.5E-44.9393333E-55.5847537E-53.558308E-46.3714683.0E-46.011979E-46.7973585E-40.00105947761.55866063.8E-40.005995740.00677701920.00727363071.07327885.0E-4
6.91.0253909E-51.1514835E-52.1151252E-418.36872.0E-44.3944583E-54.934838E-52.8933655E-45.86314152.4E-45.3489394E-46.006545E-49.104683E-41.51579373.1E-40.00533608250.00599068960.00640817361.06968884.2E-4
7.08.104563E-68.99143E-61.6899E-418.7945611.6E-43.4733377E-53.853415E-52.1852722E-45.6710021.8E-44.2279682E-44.6905465E-46.8895146E-41.46880852.2E-40.00421993340.00468089430.00495958371.05953762.8E-4
7.16.7986157E-67.5159796E-61.2751507E-416.9658621.2E-42.91366E-53.2210955E-51.7220645E-45.3462071.4E-43.5468035E-43.9209996E-45.4204115E-41.38240551.5E-40.0035411480.0039142980.0041035541.048351.9E-4
7.25.6893327E-66.280132E-69.627957E-515.3308199.0E-52.4382627E-52.6914584E-51.3691162E-45.08689361.1E-42.9681803E-43.276378E-44.4759846E-41.36613811.2E-40.0029642190.0032717460.00341128811.04265061.4E-4
7.34.253348E-64.707075E-69.470665E-520.1200669.0E-51.8228506E-52.017303E-51.3017081E-46.45271441.1E-42.2190946E-42.455808E-43.6555133E-41.48851751.2E-40.002216880.00245327530.00258295631.05286041.3E-4
7.42.5448119E-62.8520594E-65.2851916E-518.5311415.0E-51.0906291E-51.2223064E-58.222221E-56.7268087.0E-51.3277601E-41.4880729E-42.2879538E-41.5375288.0E-50.0013269670.00148723870.00157710481.06042489.0E-5
7.54.3706837E-84.562909E-84.562909E-81.00.01.8731501E-71.9555324E-71.9555324E-71.00.02.2805577E-62.3808586E-62.3808586E-61.00.02.2805343E-52.3808387E-52.3808387E-51.00.0

Death Valley (So)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0684236E-52.5618314E-50.001095590942.7659260.001078.864371E-51.0978825E-40.001539631314.02364350.001430.00107870290.00133586920.00336315742.51757980.002030.0107348170.0132799850.0157171821.18352430.00247
6.12.0684236E-52.5618314E-50.001095590942.7659260.001078.864371E-51.0978825E-40.001539631314.02364350.001430.00107870290.00133586920.00336315742.51757980.002030.0107348170.0132799850.0157171821.18352430.00247
6.22.0684236E-52.5618314E-50.001095590942.7659260.001078.864371E-51.0978825E-40.001539631314.02364350.001430.00107870290.00133586920.00336315742.51757980.002030.0107348170.0132799850.0157171821.18352430.00247
6.32.0240292E-52.51184E-50.001045092841.6066630.001028.6741224E-51.0764593E-40.001477498413.7255390.001370.00105556260.0013098180.00324727692.47918180.001940.0105056280.0130225430.01535181051.17886420.00236
6.42.0240292E-52.51184E-50.001045092841.6066630.001028.6741224E-51.0764593E-40.001477498413.7255390.001370.00105556260.0013098180.00324727692.47918180.001940.0105056280.0130225430.01535181051.17886420.00236
6.51.9962767E-52.4807652E-59.747841E-439.2936869.5E-48.55519E-51.0631427E-40.00140617613.2265980.00130.00104109680.00129362440.0031212572.41280.001830.0103623270.012862490.0150539341.17037490.00222
6.61.8937297E-52.3311462E-58.832914E-437.890868.6E-48.115732E-59.990252E-50.001269785712.7102460.001179.876423E-40.00121564910.00286364322.35564950.001650.0098326450.01209150350.0140574421.16258840.00199
6.71.8621096E-52.2912098E-58.428933E-436.7881368.2E-47.980225E-59.8191085E-50.00119808312.2015460.00119.711593E-40.00119483540.00276295962.31241850.001570.0096692610.0118856250.0137630421.1579570.0019
6.81.7830353E-52.1806083E-57.7178975E-435.3933227.5E-47.641356E-59.3451374E-50.001113356111.9137470.001029.29938E-40.00113719070.00261550772.29997280.001480.0092605610.011316090.0130561731.15377080.00176
6.91.3135183E-51.5304031E-55.3529604E-434.977465.2E-45.6292425E-56.558709E-57.4554246E-411.3672146.8E-46.8514474E-47.982367E-40.00176746252.21420849.7E-40.0068303620.0079551580.0091158511.14590440.00117
7.01.1507512E-51.3154237E-54.2314886E-432.168254.1E-44.9316975E-55.637412E-55.9634366E-410.5783235.4E-46.002687E-46.861445E-40.00143562992.09231427.5E-40.00598649870.00684149240.00776512971.13500529.3E-4
7.19.715903E-61.0865287E-52.4086279E-422.1681022.3E-44.1638916E-54.6564706E-53.365512E-47.2276032.9E-45.068359E-45.667821E-49.5656107E-41.68770523.9E-40.00505681480.0056538340.006131121.08441824.8E-4
7.29.233269E-61.0286314E-51.8028457E-417.5266441.7E-43.9570554E-54.408348E-52.5407423E-45.7634792.1E-44.81665E-45.365884E-48.164382E-41.52153522.8E-40.00480622330.00535335950.00567164641.05945553.2E-4
7.38.8041315E-69.808164E-61.7980649E-418.332331.7E-43.7731446E-54.2034335E-52.3202634E-45.5199241.9E-44.592835E-45.1165203E-47.415344E-41.44929422.3E-40.00458335460.0051051670.00536383971.05066882.6E-4
7.48.708749E-69.707175E-61.7970553E-418.512651.7E-43.7322676E-54.160154E-52.3159363E-45.5669491.9E-44.5430884E-45.0638523E-47.3626876E-41.45396972.3E-40.0045338120.00505273980.0053114261.05119732.6E-4
7.58.612678E-69.604817E-61.7960319E-418.6992821.7E-43.6910955E-54.1162875E-52.2115547E-45.3726921.8E-44.492982E-45.01047E-47.109418E-41.41891242.1E-40.0044839090.00499959850.0052383991.04776382.4E-4
7.68.319024E-69.283916E-61.5928253E-417.1568241.5E-43.5652476E-53.978763E-51.8978165E-44.7698661.5E-44.3398244E-44.8431093E-46.542286E-41.35084411.7E-40.00433135870.00483297840.005022061.03912321.9E-4
7.77.4718328E-68.34517E-61.1834425E-414.1811681.1E-43.2021748E-53.5764548E-51.4576061E-44.07556151.1E-43.8979502E-44.353504E-45.652938E-41.298481.3E-40.003891120.00434538070.0044847721.03207811.4E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-73.6482615E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.5635396E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035933E-51.9035933E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.9034347E-41.9034347E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

Coyote Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.5090034E-54.0364317E-50.001170318728.9938950.001131.503772E-41.7297991E-40.0015427438.9186250.001370.00182930470.00210425330.00403019231.915260.001930.0181431940.0208692050.0231701621.11025610.00235
6.13.5090034E-54.0364317E-50.001170318728.9938950.001131.503772E-41.7297991E-40.0015427438.9186250.001370.00182930470.00210425330.00403019231.915260.001930.0181431940.0208692050.0231701621.11025610.00235
6.21.841879E-52.1059794E-56.110474E-429.014885.9E-47.8935285E-59.025371E-58.501851E-49.4199477.6E-49.606133E-40.00109838710.00215722271.96399150.001060.00956471450.0109396680.0121759931.1130130.00125
6.31.841879E-52.1059794E-56.110474E-429.014885.9E-47.8935285E-59.025371E-58.501851E-49.4199477.6E-49.606133E-40.00109838710.00215722271.96399150.001060.00956471450.0109396680.0121759931.1130130.00125
6.41.712201E-51.9565212E-55.5955467E-428.5994685.4E-47.337798E-58.3848776E-57.7379093E-49.228416.9E-48.930107E-40.00102048130.00199948131.95935129.8E-40.0088943070.0101678710.0113061781.11195140.00115
6.51.4744935E-51.6836972E-54.668294E-427.7264464.5E-46.3191044E-57.215698E-56.621144E-49.1760275.9E-47.6907943E-48.782507E-40.00169753051.93285428.2E-40.0076642320.0087569940.00971851.10979869.7E-4
6.61.2017839E-51.3724089E-53.9371886E-428.688163.8E-45.150401E-55.88167E-55.487879E-49.3304784.9E-46.268809E-47.159466E-40.00136548131.9072396.5E-40.00625115450.00714509380.0079195211.10838587.8E-4
6.71.00956095E-51.1533517E-53.415297E-429.6119333.3E-44.326618E-54.942891E-54.8940716E-49.9012334.4E-45.266384E-46.017178E-40.00117137481.9467185.7E-40.0052539210.00600941250.0067052061.11578397.0E-4

Towne Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.849728E-63.894542E-60.0010938903280.877780.001091.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001366668381.881480.001352.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.00207281610.2010640.001870.00200672080.00203053190.004375762.15498230.00235
6.13.849728E-63.894542E-60.0010938903280.877780.001091.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001366668381.881480.001352.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.00207281610.2010640.001870.00200672080.00203053190.004375762.15498230.00235
6.23.849728E-63.894542E-60.0010938903280.877780.001091.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001366668381.881480.001352.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.00207281610.2010640.001870.00200672080.00203053190.004375762.15498230.00235
6.33.849728E-63.894542E-60.0010938903280.877780.001091.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001366668381.881480.001352.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.00207281610.2010640.001870.00200672080.00203053190.004375762.15498230.00235
6.43.849728E-63.894542E-60.0010938903280.877780.001091.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001366668381.881480.001352.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.00207281610.2010640.001870.00200672080.00203053190.004375762.15498230.00235
6.51.1953545E-61.2030526E-62.2120279E-4183.867922.2E-45.1229376E-65.15593E-62.5515465E-449.4876062.5E-46.236998E-56.277176E-53.5275356E-45.61962182.9E-46.235248E-46.2755204E-40.00101730731.62107243.9E-4
6.61.1953545E-61.2030526E-62.2120279E-4183.867922.2E-45.1229376E-65.15593E-62.5515465E-449.4876062.5E-46.236998E-56.277176E-53.5275356E-45.61962182.9E-46.235248E-46.2755204E-40.00101730731.62107243.9E-4
6.78.375951E-78.410676E-71.1084098E-4131.786041.1E-43.5896885E-63.6045708E-61.336041E-437.065191.3E-44.370358E-54.3884826E-52.038778E-44.6457471.6E-44.3694986E-44.3876728E-46.78662E-41.5467472.4E-4
6.86.38041E-76.3921624E-75.0639184E-579.220745.0E-52.7344586E-62.7394954E-67.2739305E-526.552087.0E-53.3291526E-53.3352884E-51.2334988E-43.69832739.0E-53.3286537E-43.334826E-44.6343924E-41.38969541.3E-4
6.95.3460053E-75.345339E-75.053451E-594.539395.0E-52.2911431E-62.2908578E-67.22907E-531.5561717.0E-52.789431E-52.7890868E-51.07888634E-43.86824238.0E-52.789081E-42.78877E-43.8884633E-41.39432911.1E-4
7.03.557783E-73.5324283E-73.0353232E-585.927383.0E-51.5247632E-61.513897E-64.1513835E-527.4218354.0E-51.8563835E-51.8431549E-56.843063E-53.71268995.0E-51.8562283E-41.8430105E-42.4429E-41.32549436.0E-5
7.13.037942E-73.0002275E-73.0300014E-5100.9923863.0E-51.3019744E-61.2858112E-64.128576E-532.1087274.0E-51.5851423E-51.5654647E-55.565402E-53.5551124.0E-51.5850292E-41.5653619E-42.0652836E-41.31936495.0E-5
7.22.0808248E-72.0217735E-73.020217E-5149.384553.0E-58.917818E-78.6647407E-73.086645E-535.623053.0E-51.0857389E-51.0549275E-54.054896E-53.84376723.0E-51.0856859E-41.0548821E-41.45484E-41.37914934.0E-5
7.31.1162073E-71.0636902E-71.0106368E-595.012321.0E-54.7837443E-74.5586717E-71.0455863E-522.9362051.0E-55.8241935E-65.5501705E-61.5550115E-52.80173641.0E-55.8240406E-55.550052E-57.549941E-51.3603372.0E-5

San Andreas (San Bernardino N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4273766E-43.160784E-40.00178561385.6492750.001476.115894E-40.00135392450.0029917042.20965360.001640.00742070840.0163609390.0183183811.11964120.001990.071777480.150211630.152123641.01272880.00225
6.11.4273766E-43.160784E-40.00178561385.6492750.001476.115894E-40.00135392450.0029917042.20965360.001640.00742070840.0163609390.0183183811.11964120.001990.071777480.150211630.152123641.01272880.00225
6.21.4273766E-43.160784E-40.00178561385.6492750.001476.115894E-40.00135392450.0029917042.20965360.001640.00742070840.0163609390.0183183811.11964120.001990.071777480.150211630.152123641.01272880.00225
6.31.3730655E-43.0512668E-40.00177467815.8162010.001475.883239E-40.0013070360.00294489252.25310730.001640.00713934420.0157984550.0177570171.12397170.001990.069142910.14551350.14743611.01321240.00225
6.41.3730655E-43.0512668E-40.00177467815.8162010.001475.883239E-40.0013070360.00294489252.25310730.001640.00713934420.0157984550.0177570171.12397170.001990.069142910.14551350.14743611.01321240.00225
6.51.2942807E-42.8927144E-40.0017488496.04570250.001465.545738E-40.00123915090.00285714352.30572680.001620.00673105240.0149835480.016924031.12950750.001970.065307880.138650880.140571681.01385350.00223
6.61.1125901E-42.5365927E-40.00170329146.714880.001454.767372E-40.00108666050.0026949112.47999360.001610.0057888390.01315046850.0150748251.14633370.001950.0564034540.123004960.1249431151.01575670.00221
6.71.02209575E-42.3500937E-40.00166467337.08343360.001434.3796748E-40.00100679570.00259519482.57767770.001590.00531922470.0121892670.0140759851.15478530.001910.0519369060.1147927640.1167136651.01673360.00217
6.89.610582E-52.2026796E-40.00162995737.3998840.001414.1181705E-49.436647E-40.0025121832.66215660.001570.00500235150.0114288590.0132972591.16348090.001890.0489123460.108204690.110122051.01771970.00215
6.99.3877505E-52.1482339E-40.00162452057.5621210.001414.0227012E-49.203475E-40.00248890252.70430730.001570.00488664540.0111479070.0130069491.16676150.001880.047805770.1057982740.107711861.01808710.00214
7.09.1019785E-52.0809306E-40.00161779967.77440450.001413.900265E-48.915232E-40.00246012352.7594610.001570.00473823770.01080049950.0126601951.1721860.001880.0463847440.102768150.104679261.01859630.00213
7.18.771155E-51.9983841E-40.00158956067.954230.001393.758525E-48.5616973E-40.00240484282.80883860.001550.00456640640.0103742430.012205051.17647620.001850.0447370560.099076440.1009683761.01909580.0021
7.28.0830236E-51.8389444E-40.00157363898.5572940.001393.4636928E-47.8788114E-40.002336662.9657520.001550.00420889440.0095503680.01138271.19185980.001850.0413006580.091805180.09371241.02077450.0021
7.37.7668235E-51.7333007E-40.00156308929.0179910.001393.328214E-47.426318E-40.00228148823.0721660.001540.00404457330.0090041380.010827571.20251050.001840.039717480.087067610.0889756461.02191440.00209
7.47.520177E-51.655312E-40.00155530119.3958190.001393.2225347E-47.092266E-40.00224813453.16983940.001540.00391637950.0086007140.0104248881.21209570.001840.0384807440.083521570.085427841.02282370.00208
7.57.274697E-51.584075E-40.00153818899.7103280.001383.1173544E-46.7871273E-40.00220767433.25273750.001530.0037887750.0082320760.0100470111.22047110.001830.037248270.080236540.0821404461.02372870.00207
7.67.1185845E-51.5410586E-40.00153389329.9535040.001383.0504653E-46.602866E-40.00218927633.31564570.001530.00370761780.00800940950.0098247521.22665130.001830.0364636670.078226610.080134681.02439150.00207
7.76.709961E-51.4319421E-40.001522996610.6358810.001382.8753807E-46.135452E-40.00214260653.4921740.001530.0034951570.00744436630.0092607431.24399350.001830.0344069380.073055580.074974361.02626450.00207
7.86.300812E-51.320343E-40.001481856111.2232660.001352.7000686E-45.657386E-40.002064893.64990120.00150.00328237870.0068661430.0086537841.2603560.00180.0323431750.067713850.069615711.02808680.00204
7.94.983037E-59.7241085E-50.001257128312.9279550.001162.1354125E-44.1668097E-40.00169614764.0706150.001280.00259676480.00506130050.0065437591.29290080.001490.0256662960.0506505070.0522454161.03148840.00168
8.03.2211527E-55.3306234E-54.2328652E-47.9406573.7E-41.380421E-42.2843528E-46.3834165E-42.7944094.1E-40.00167936690.00277765420.00324634881.16873754.7E-40.0166673230.0283625680.0288969691.01884175.5E-4
8.11.743376E-51.8823403E-55.882265E-53.12497454.0E-57.471398E-58.066923E-51.306652E-41.6197655.0E-59.0926304E-49.81706E-40.00103165691.05088175.0E-50.0090555170.0104839790.0105334561.00471915.0E-5
8.27.831616E-65.1540533E-65.1540533E-61.00.03.3563636E-52.2088612E-52.2088612E-51.00.04.0856065E-42.6889573E-42.6889573E-41.00.00.0040781030.00304136680.00304136681.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Nelson Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.913453E-61.0192255E-55.8018643E-456.9242445.7E-44.2485535E-54.3680422E-57.4364984E-417.0247867.0E-45.1713863E-45.316897E-40.00163110493.0677760.00110.00515936830.0053052040.00686687461.29436590.00157
6.19.913453E-61.0192255E-55.8018643E-456.9242445.7E-44.2485535E-54.3680422E-57.4364984E-417.0247867.0E-45.1713863E-45.316897E-40.00163110493.0677760.00110.00515936830.0053052040.00686687461.29436590.00157
6.24.5596407E-64.696313E-62.7469505E-458.491642.7E-41.954117E-52.0126909E-53.1012108E-415.4082822.9E-42.3788778E-42.4501883E-46.7491346E-42.75453734.3E-40.00237633290.00244761280.0031359241.28121736.9E-4
6.34.5596407E-64.696313E-62.7469505E-458.491642.7E-41.954117E-52.0126909E-53.1012108E-415.4082822.9E-42.3788778E-42.4501883E-46.7491346E-42.75453734.3E-40.00237633290.00244761280.0031359241.28121736.9E-4
6.43.4025713E-63.5098972E-61.8350927E-452.283371.8E-41.4582367E-51.5042335E-52.1503933E-414.29560852.0E-41.7752586E-41.8312587E-45.1306543E-42.80170923.3E-40.0017738410.00182983270.0023588631.2891145.3E-4
6.52.8352947E-62.927856E-61.7292736E-459.0627941.7E-41.2151207E-51.2547898E-51.9254565E-415.34485151.8E-41.479309E-41.5276071E-44.3271793E-42.8326522.8E-40.00147832460.00152663080.00200589821.31393794.8E-4
6.62.251518E-62.3290677E-61.3232876E-456.8161961.3E-49.649328E-69.981683E-61.4998029E-415.025551.4E-41.1747423E-41.2152085E-43.514929E-42.89244942.3E-40.00117412140.00121460580.0016041321.32070183.9E-4
6.71.8911853E-61.9591396E-61.219589E-462.2512551.2E-48.105055E-68.39629E-61.383952E-416.48291.3E-49.867457E-51.0222061E-43.1219915E-43.05417012.1E-49.863076E-40.00102179350.00138142551.35196173.6E-4
6.81.4874814E-61.5438305E-61.1154366E-472.2512361.1E-46.374905E-66.6164025E-61.266156E-419.1366231.2E-47.76117E-58.055224E-52.6053775E-43.23439461.8E-47.75846E-48.0528157E-40.00111503191.38464863.1E-4
6.96.835972E-77.1399285E-77.071394E-599.040137.0E-52.9296991E-63.0599674E-68.305972E-527.143998.0E-53.56685E-53.7254784E-51.6724995E-44.48935461.3E-43.5662777E-43.7251666E-45.624459E-41.50985431.9E-4

Paradise

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4851273E-51.6694768E-55.2668626E-431.5479815.1E-46.364676E-57.154718E-57.015021E-49.8047496.3E-47.7462377E-48.707624E-40.00176997872.0326779.0E-40.00771929140.0086758840.009825821.13254390.00116
6.11.4851273E-51.6694768E-55.2668626E-431.5479815.1E-46.364676E-57.154718E-57.015021E-49.8047496.3E-47.7462377E-48.707624E-40.00176997872.0326779.0E-40.00771929140.0086758840.009825821.13254390.00116
6.21.4851273E-51.6694768E-55.2668626E-431.5479815.1E-46.364676E-57.154718E-57.015021E-49.8047496.3E-47.7462377E-48.707624E-40.00176997872.0326779.0E-40.00771929140.0086758840.009825821.13254390.00116
6.31.0426831E-51.1888697E-52.3188608E-419.5047512.2E-44.4685654E-55.09506E-53.2093684E-46.29898072.7E-45.43912E-46.201529E-40.00100991111.62848713.9E-40.00542582660.00618483170.00669167751.08194985.1E-4
6.41.0426831E-51.1888697E-52.3188608E-419.5047512.2E-44.4685654E-55.09506E-53.2093684E-46.29898072.7E-45.43912E-46.201529E-40.00100991111.62848713.9E-40.00542582660.00618483170.00669167751.08194985.1E-4
6.59.25027E-61.0620037E-51.5061855E-414.1824881.4E-43.964341E-54.551368E-52.3550504E-45.17437931.9E-44.8255164E-45.5399304E-48.3383796E-41.50514152.8E-40.00481505130.00552661950.0058746851.06297983.5E-4
6.67.904275E-69.159602E-69.915878E-510.8256649.0E-53.3875025E-53.925487E-51.5925016E-44.05682561.2E-44.1235037E-44.7782718E-46.277555E-41.3137711.5E-40.00411586040.0047683950.0049674411.04174282.0E-4
6.77.2061953E-68.407326E-66.840682E-58.1365736.0E-53.088333E-53.603092E-51.2602768E-43.49776469.0E-53.7593965E-44.3859181E-45.485436E-41.25069271.1E-40.0037530430.0043776310.00452697461.03411511.5E-4
6.86.6948724E-67.842242E-65.784185E-57.3756785.0E-52.8691995E-53.3609194E-51.13606504E-43.3802218.0E-53.4926904E-44.091187E-45.090778E-41.24432791.0E-40.0034872060.00408401250.00421348171.03170141.3E-4
6.96.0421025E-67.1306963E-63.713048E-55.2071333.0E-52.5894467E-53.0559786E-58.055826E-52.6360875.0E-53.1521954E-43.7200528E-44.3198297E-41.16122816.0E-50.00314772780.00371416380.00380382971.02414169.0E-5
7.04.134091E-65.0803824E-61.5080332E-52.96834561.0E-51.7717413E-52.1772896E-53.1772677E-51.45927671.0E-52.1568815E-42.650543E-42.85049E-41.07543622.0E-50.00215478920.00264753470.00266748181.00753412.0E-5
7.13.7674888E-64.631936E-61.463189E-53.15891461.0E-51.6146281E-51.9851012E-52.9850813E-51.50374271.0E-51.9656324E-42.4166079E-42.6165595E-41.08274072.0E-50.00196389460.00241413060.00243408231.00826452.0E-5
7.23.4065345E-64.156782E-61.4156741E-53.4056971.0E-51.4599351E-51.7814667E-52.7814489E-51.56132521.0E-51.777326E-42.168735E-42.3686915E-41.09219972.0E-50.00177590530.00216676670.00218672331.00921032.0E-5
7.32.9934936E-63.6293673E-61.3629331E-53.75529121.0E-51.2829195E-51.5554348E-52.555419E-51.64289711.0E-51.5618425E-41.8935918E-42.093554E-41.10559942.0E-50.00156074530.00189212370.00191208591.01055012.0E-5
7.42.4049796E-62.8890186E-61.288899E-54.46137331.0E-51.0307015E-51.2381457E-52.2381333E-51.80764941.0E-51.2548068E-41.5073526E-41.6073375E-41.06633151.0E-50.00125409850.00150647150.00151645651.0066281.0E-5
7.51.2710091E-61.5134859E-61.5134859E-61.00.05.44717E-66.4863593E-66.4863593E-61.00.06.631728E-57.896981E-57.896981E-51.00.06.6297496E-47.895401E-47.895401E-41.00.0
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-51.3587343E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.3586794E-41.00.0

San Andreas (San Bernardino S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2336002E-43.0005194E-40.00102983293.43218237.3E-45.2857865E-40.00128532920.00211426241.64491898.3E-40.0064164720.0155415540.016496481.06144339.7E-40.062343370.142946990.143906891.0067150.00112
6.11.2336002E-43.0005194E-40.00102983293.43218237.3E-45.2857865E-40.00128532920.00211426241.64491898.3E-40.0064164720.0155415540.016496481.06144339.7E-40.062343370.142946990.143906891.0067150.00112
6.21.2336002E-43.0005194E-40.00102983293.43218237.3E-45.2857865E-40.00128532920.00211426241.64491898.3E-40.0064164720.0155415540.016496481.06144339.7E-40.062343370.142946990.143906891.0067150.00112
6.31.1712257E-42.8793467E-40.00101772453.53456747.3E-45.018573E-40.00123344780.00205243631.66398328.2E-40.0060930080.0149186660.0158643441.0633899.6E-40.0592863220.137657790.138614981.00695350.00111
6.41.1712257E-42.8793467E-40.00101772453.53456747.3E-45.018573E-40.00123344780.00205243631.66398328.2E-40.0060930080.0149186660.0158643441.0633899.6E-40.0592863220.137657790.138614981.00695350.00111
6.51.0689076E-42.6806415E-49.878712E-43.68520437.2E-44.5802278E-40.00114836530.00195743521.70454058.1E-40.00556217830.0138963350.0148331341.06741339.5E-40.054250030.12889890.129857111.00743380.0011
6.69.7648895E-52.505129E-49.603351E-43.8334757.1E-44.1842813E-40.00107320860.00187235011.74462828.0E-40.0050824690.0129923990.0139201861.071419.4E-40.0496778860.1210777460.122026981.00783990.00108
6.78.757013E-52.3122175E-49.310599E-44.02669677.0E-43.7524657E-49.905964E-40.00176982371.78662447.8E-40.004559060.0119979020.0129068641.07576019.2E-40.044666560.1123730240.1133139061.00837290.00106
6.88.562978E-52.2682057E-49.2666177E-44.08543977.0E-43.6693315E-49.7174826E-40.00175099031.8018977.8E-40.0044582630.0117709210.0126800921.07723879.2E-40.0436987580.110378630.111321631.00854330.00106
6.96.124075E-51.7066885E-48.405545E-44.9250616.7E-42.6243398E-47.312337E-40.00147069262.01124847.4E-40.00319045270.0088666360.0097190111.09613288.6E-40.0314503460.084202620.0851092561.01076739.9E-4
7.05.8598747E-51.6495936E-48.3484885E-45.06093656.7E-42.5111332E-47.067779E-40.00144625492.0462657.4E-40.00305301860.0085712650.0094238941.09947538.6E-40.030114140.081515620.082415731.01104229.8E-4
7.15.613814E-51.5914452E-48.190395E-45.1465146.6E-42.4056983E-46.818704E-40.00141137272.06985477.3E-40.00292500390.0082703530.0091133231.10192688.5E-40.0288680210.078812680.079706241.01133769.7E-4
7.24.991222E-51.4520933E-48.0511346E-45.54450276.6E-42.1389198E-46.221777E-40.00135172342.17256837.3E-40.0026010250.00754880630.008392391.11175068.5E-40.0257079120.072261910.073161811.01245349.7E-4
7.34.7410045E-51.371513E-47.970608E-45.81154356.6E-42.0317009E-45.8765925E-40.00130723612.224487.2E-40.00247078970.00713136560.0079653751.11694968.4E-40.0244349820.0685419440.069436141.0130469.6E-4
7.44.5556746E-51.3123035E-47.9114374E-46.02866466.6E-41.952286E-45.6229485E-40.001281892.2797477.2E-40.0023743170.00682452930.0076488651.12079018.3E-40.0234910860.065791430.066669581.01334769.4E-4
7.54.3084514E-51.2358342E-47.735031E-46.2589556.5E-41.8463485E-45.2953605E-40.00123916012.34008657.1E-40.00224561150.00642811460.00724284351.12674468.2E-40.0222305450.0621902830.0630624441.01402419.3E-4
7.63.408608E-59.836477E-57.3830184E-47.50575456.4E-41.4607502E-44.214953E-40.00112120032.6600547.0E-40.00177701250.0051196560.0059255091.15740378.1E-40.0176286960.050022440.0508964171.01747189.2E-4
7.72.8315713E-58.2495724E-57.224429E-48.7573386.4E-41.2134742E-43.5350522E-40.00105325772.97946887.0E-40.00147640340.0042954420.00510196251.1877628.1E-40.014666330.0422724150.0431535241.02084369.2E-4
7.82.6222975E-57.463898E-56.945927E-49.3060326.2E-41.1237934E-43.1984213E-49.996246E-43.12536886.8E-40.00136735970.0038871310.00467406031.20244477.9E-40.0135897680.0384374750.039302881.02251479.0E-4
7.92.1469694E-55.7884805E-56.478506E-411.1920685.9E-49.200973E-52.4805416E-48.978929E-43.61974556.5E-40.00111964280.003015880.00376361821.24793367.5E-40.0111401840.0301532650.0309873341.0276618.6E-4
8.01.2420249E-53.1321662E-52.313154E-47.3851572.0E-45.322855E-51.342288E-43.5419926E-42.63877252.2E-46.478649E-40.00163301160.00190257071.16506872.7E-40.00645979350.016523690.0168285691.0184513.1E-4
8.14.9197724E-67.822525E-61.7822445E-52.27834961.0E-52.1084568E-53.3524673E-54.352434E-51.29827771.0E-52.566744E-44.080866E-44.1808252E-41.02449461.0E-50.0025637810.0043845570.0043945131.00227071.0E-5
8.22.5634774E-62.9065757E-62.9065757E-61.00.01.0986286E-51.2456694E-51.2456694E-51.00.01.3374983E-41.5164974E-41.5164974E-41.00.00.00133669340.0017049410.0017049411.00.0
8.35.2850464E-73.2080476E-73.2080476E-71.00.02.2650179E-61.3748769E-61.3748769E-61.00.02.7576245E-51.673901E-51.673901E-51.00.02.7572823E-41.986671E-41.986671E-41.00.0

Bicycle Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9621975E-52.2097078E-55.720849E-425.8896185.5E-48.4091465E-59.4699084E-57.8463374E-48.2855476.9E-40.00102333270.00115248650.00208141471.80602099.3E-40.010186330.0114784080.0125756671.09559330.00111
6.11.9621975E-52.2097078E-55.720849E-425.8896185.5E-48.4091465E-59.4699084E-57.8463374E-48.2855476.9E-40.00102333270.00115248650.00208141471.80602099.3E-40.010186330.0114784080.0125756671.09559330.00111
6.29.9971285E-61.125564E-53.4125193E-430.3183063.3E-44.2844134E-54.8237856E-54.5821807E-49.4991394.1E-45.2150246E-45.871897E-40.00112687261.91909475.4E-40.00520280330.0058614870.00647785241.10515526.2E-4
6.39.589428E-61.0798346E-53.20795E-429.707793.1E-44.10969E-54.62781E-54.3626004E-49.4269233.9E-45.002399E-45.6334207E-40.00108304911.92254275.2E-40.00499115330.00562422960.00622085531.10608126.0E-4
6.49.589428E-61.0798346E-53.20795E-429.707793.1E-44.10969E-54.62781E-54.3626004E-49.4269233.9E-45.002399E-45.6334207E-40.00108304911.92254275.2E-40.00499115330.00562422960.00622085531.10608126.0E-4
6.55.557707E-66.2856016E-62.2628422E-436.000412.2E-42.3818526E-52.6938165E-52.969309E-411.0226842.7E-42.8995197E-43.279497E-46.4784475E-41.97543943.2E-40.00289573940.00327729340.00364608081.11252813.7E-4
6.64.8742945E-65.5132896E-61.655124E-430.0206261.6E-42.0889667E-52.3628318E-52.2362359E-49.4642192.0E-42.54302E-42.87663E-45.2759395E-41.83406962.4E-40.0025401120.00287547520.00315467011.09709532.8E-4
6.73.991108E-64.5159104E-61.3451533E-429.7869781.3E-41.7104636E-51.9353902E-51.8935061E-49.7835881.7E-42.0822904E-42.3563375E-44.4558427E-41.89100362.1E-40.00208034040.00235633740.00260574841.10584692.5E-4

Helendale-So Lockhart

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7296055E-51.8103729E-53.5809758E-419.7803213.4E-47.412385E-57.7585224E-54.8755342E-46.28410154.1E-49.0208417E-49.4421144E-40.00158360721.67717436.4E-40.0089843110.0094041160.0102164051.08637588.2E-4
6.11.7296055E-51.8103729E-53.5809758E-419.7803213.4E-47.412385E-57.7585224E-54.8755342E-46.28410154.1E-49.0208417E-49.4421144E-40.00158360721.67717436.4E-40.0089843110.0094041160.0102164051.08637588.2E-4
6.21.7296055E-51.8103729E-53.5809758E-419.7803213.4E-47.412385E-57.7585224E-54.8755342E-46.28410154.1E-49.0208417E-49.4421144E-40.00158360721.67717436.4E-40.0089843110.0094041160.0102164051.08637588.2E-4
6.31.0669118E-51.1135425E-52.2113309E-419.8585222.1E-44.5723988E-54.772239E-53.0770997E-46.44791652.6E-45.5654737E-45.80868E-40.0010006241.72263594.2E-40.00555155570.00579379360.00633066471.09266325.4E-4
6.41.0669118E-51.1135425E-52.2113309E-419.8585222.1E-44.5723988E-54.772239E-53.0770997E-46.44791652.6E-45.5654737E-45.80868E-40.0010006241.72263594.2E-40.00555155570.00579379360.00633066471.09266325.4E-4
6.58.790038E-69.170197E-61.8916855E-420.6286241.8E-43.767105E-53.930026E-52.49292E-46.3432662.1E-44.585485E-44.7837716E-48.082193E-41.68950223.3E-40.00457603440.0047736380.00519163351.08756324.2E-4
6.67.396949E-67.715537E-61.7771423E-423.0332931.7E-43.1700827E-53.3066175E-52.2305989E-46.74586341.9E-43.858892E-44.025073E-46.7239866E-41.67052532.7E-40.0038521980.004017890.00436648351.08676043.5E-4
6.76.4600285E-66.738031E-61.4673709E-421.7774431.4E-42.7685543E-52.887696E-51.8887233E-46.54058931.6E-43.3701936E-43.5152107E-45.714437E-41.62563162.2E-40.00336508690.0035097320.0038086791.08517663.0E-4
6.85.600104E-65.836009E-61.05835425E-418.1348971.0E-42.4000226E-52.5011232E-51.3500848E-45.3979141.1E-42.9216358E-43.044698E-44.5442412E-41.49250971.5E-40.00291779750.0030405880.00323001041.06229791.9E-4
6.94.839122E-65.0395092E-68.503911E-516.8744818.0E-52.0738931E-52.159772E-51.1159578E-45.16701659.0E-52.5246723E-42.6292098E-43.7289207E-41.41826671.1E-40.0025218060.0026261470.0027757531.05696791.5E-4
7.03.6937633E-63.845208E-67.384494E-519.2044077.0E-51.5830317E-51.647936E-58.6478205E-55.2476687.0E-51.9271708E-42.0061806E-42.80602E-41.39868778.0E-50.00192550030.0020044010.00211418051.05476931.1E-4
7.12.7858857E-62.8978538E-66.289768E-521.7049186.0E-51.1939455E-51.2419316E-57.2418574E-55.83112436.0E-51.4535317E-41.511949E-42.1118582E-41.39677886.0E-50.00145258140.00151094180.0015808361.04625877.0E-5
7.22.1672065E-62.2540128E-65.22539E-523.182615.0E-59.2879945E-69.66002E-65.965954E-56.1759235.0E-51.1307546E-41.1760458E-41.675987E-41.42510355.0E-50.00113017940.00117544170.00123537111.05098466.0E-5
7.31.4823496E-61.5422102E-65.1542134E-533.420955.0E-56.3529114E-66.6094562E-65.6609126E-58.5648695.0E-57.734395E-58.046731E-51.3046329E-41.62132045.0E-57.731704E-48.0439687E-48.543567E-41.06210845.0E-5
7.44.2321457E-74.4108765E-74.4108765E-71.00.01.8137755E-61.8903745E-61.8903745E-61.00.02.2082493E-52.3015113E-52.3015113E-51.00.02.2080299E-42.3013182E-42.3013182E-41.00.0
7.55.6942316E-85.9415648E-85.9415648E-81.00.02.440385E-72.5463845E-72.5463845E-71.00.02.9711643E-63.1002196E-63.1002196E-61.00.02.9711247E-53.1001844E-53.1001844E-51.00.0

Garlic Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6760017E-51.8776833E-54.4876875E-423.9001314.3E-47.182667E-58.0470316E-55.704309E-47.08871174.9E-48.7413884E-49.794032E-40.00159879591.63241866.2E-40.0087070830.0097624130.0105347991.07911837.8E-4
6.19.852767E-61.0973587E-52.6097085E-423.7817272.5E-44.222546E-54.702921E-53.170165E-46.7408432.7E-45.139737E-45.7250116E-49.3229505E-41.62845973.6E-40.0051278660.0057172210.00616464861.07825964.5E-4
6.29.852767E-61.0973587E-52.6097085E-423.7817272.5E-44.222546E-54.702921E-53.170165E-46.7408432.7E-45.139737E-45.7250116E-49.3229505E-41.62845973.6E-40.0051278660.0057172210.00616464861.07825964.5E-4
6.34.3167724E-64.7780286E-61.0477755E-421.9290331.0E-41.8500323E-52.0477235E-51.3047497E-46.37170931.1E-42.2521814E-42.4930484E-44.0926496E-41.64162461.6E-40.00224990030.002492510.00273191181.09604852.4E-4
6.44.3167724E-64.7780286E-61.0477755E-421.9290331.0E-41.8500323E-52.0477235E-51.3047497E-46.37170931.1E-42.2521814E-42.4930484E-44.0926496E-41.64162461.6E-40.00224990030.002492510.00273191181.09604852.4E-4
6.54.3167724E-64.7780286E-61.0477755E-421.9290331.0E-41.8500323E-52.0477235E-51.3047497E-46.37170931.1E-42.2521814E-42.4930484E-44.0926496E-41.64162461.6E-40.00224990030.002492510.00273191181.09604852.4E-4
6.64.301311E-64.760897E-61.04760424E-422.0043451.0E-41.8434059E-52.0403815E-51.3040158E-46.3910391.1E-42.2441156E-42.4841115E-44.0837142E-41.64393341.6E-40.00224185060.0024835930.0027229971.09639422.4E-4
6.73.8599724E-64.27106E-69.4270676E-522.0719629.0E-51.6542634E-51.8304541E-51.083029E-45.91672239.0E-52.0138794E-42.228578E-43.628266E-41.62806331.4E-40.00201205540.0022285780.00244808781.09849762.2E-4

Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6707214E-51.867027E-53.7866354E-420.2816333.6E-47.160038E-58.001303E-55.099786E-46.3736954.3E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.0015132051.5540285.4E-40.008679770.0096954960.0103490981.06741296.6E-4
6.11.6707214E-51.867027E-53.7866354E-420.2816333.6E-47.160038E-58.001303E-55.099786E-46.3736954.3E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.0015132051.5540285.4E-40.008679770.0096954960.0103490981.06741296.6E-4
6.21.6707214E-51.867027E-53.7866354E-420.2816333.6E-47.160038E-58.001303E-55.099786E-46.3736954.3E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.0015132051.5540285.4E-40.008679770.0096954960.0103490981.06741296.6E-4
6.31.6707214E-51.867027E-53.7866354E-420.2816333.6E-47.160038E-58.001303E-55.099786E-46.3736954.3E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.0015132051.5540285.4E-40.008679770.0096954960.0103490981.06741296.6E-4
6.41.5515609E-51.7338214E-53.3733266E-419.4560223.2E-46.649377E-57.4304546E-54.542763E-46.1137083.8E-48.0926094E-49.042885E-40.00139384541.54137244.9E-40.0080632020.0090067730.0096013691.06601666.0E-4
6.51.5515609E-51.7338214E-53.3733266E-419.4560223.2E-46.649377E-57.4304546E-54.542763E-46.1137083.8E-48.0926094E-49.042885E-40.00139384541.54137244.9E-40.0080632020.0090067730.0096013691.06601666.0E-4
6.61.5041828E-51.6809145E-53.0680426E-418.2522242.9E-46.4463384E-57.203723E-54.2201203E-45.8582483.5E-47.8455906E-48.767063E-40.00133630311.52423114.6E-40.007817950.0087331320.0092882421.06356365.6E-4
6.71.4634985E-51.6356016E-52.7635176E-416.896032.6E-46.271985E-57.009536E-53.8007364E-45.42223643.1E-47.6334673E-48.5308263E-40.00126273291.48019994.1E-40.0076072990.0084987150.00900438151.0594995.1E-4
6.81.4209158E-51.5882048E-52.5587823E-416.1111622.4E-46.089497E-56.8064175E-53.480451E-45.1134852.8E-47.4114406E-48.2837185E-40.0012080571.45835113.8E-40.0073867710.0082534560.008709661.05527424.6E-4
6.91.3780098E-51.5404594E-52.554009E-416.5795292.4E-45.9056227E-56.6018045E-53.4599955E-45.2409852.8E-47.1877235E-48.0347876E-40.00117318151.46012763.7E-40.00716451930.0080063320.008452731.05575554.5E-4
7.01.3585064E-51.5188155E-52.551845E-416.8015482.4E-45.8220405E-56.50905E-53.4507227E-45.3014232.8E-47.086029E-47.9219416E-40.0011619011.46668723.7E-40.0070634760.0078942930.008330821.05529644.4E-4
7.11.3398601E-51.49813395E-52.3497804E-415.6847152.2E-45.742131E-56.420419E-53.241875E-45.04931972.6E-46.9888023E-47.8141113E-40.00111115331.42198293.3E-40.00696686380.0077872240.00817418751.0496923.9E-4
7.21.3126312E-51.4679561E-52.0467678E-413.9429771.9E-45.6254412E-56.291092E-52.9289644E-44.6557332.3E-46.846822E-47.6567667E-40.00105545461.37845992.9E-40.0068257650.007630970.0079683751.04421533.4E-4
7.31.2922429E-51.4453788E-51.9445119E-413.4533021.8E-45.5380664E-56.194336E-52.7193036E-44.38998372.1E-46.74051E-47.53905E-40.00101370891.3446112.6E-40.0067201010.0075140550.0078217261.0409463.1E-4
7.41.2768878E-51.4283772E-51.942812E-413.6015341.8E-45.4722615E-56.1214756E-52.712019E-44.43033552.1E-46.660441E-47.4504025E-40.00100484651.34871452.6E-40.00664051440.00742600350.00773370131.04143523.1E-4
7.51.2521929E-51.40120155E-51.940095E-413.8459381.8E-45.366431E-56.005014E-52.6003813E-44.330352.0E-46.531671E-47.3087064E-49.706952E-41.32813552.4E-40.0065125060.00728524570.0075731331.03951642.9E-4
7.61.1301089E-51.2648149E-51.6264625E-412.8592931.5E-44.8432343E-55.4205255E-52.1419658E-43.95158341.6E-45.895042E-46.5975444E-48.496291E-41.28779591.9E-40.00587942820.006578510.0068069971.03473232.3E-4
7.79.189108E-61.0283358E-51.20282224E-411.6967851.1E-43.93813E-54.407082E-51.6406552E-43.72277021.2E-44.7936183E-45.3643517E-46.863547E-41.27947371.5E-40.0047832910.0053519140.0055210041.03159441.7E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-73.6482615E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.5635396E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035933E-51.9035933E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.9034347E-41.9034347E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.31567E-52.3384395E-45.437715E-42.32536033.1E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.00135145191.34902023.5E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0125731641.03665234.5E-40.0424638280.112581870.113043331.00409895.2E-4
6.18.31567E-52.3384395E-45.437715E-42.32536033.1E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.00135145191.34902023.5E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0125731641.03665234.5E-40.0424638280.112581870.113043331.00409895.2E-4
6.28.31567E-52.3384395E-45.437715E-42.32536033.1E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.00135145191.34902023.5E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0125731641.03665234.5E-40.0424638280.112581870.113043331.00409895.2E-4
6.38.31567E-52.3384395E-45.437715E-42.32536033.1E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.00135145191.34902023.5E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0125731641.03665234.5E-40.0424638280.112581870.113043331.00409895.2E-4
6.48.059055E-52.2941893E-45.293501E-42.30735163.0E-43.4534236E-49.828559E-40.00132252181.34559063.4E-40.00419643940.0119008190.0123355831.03653234.4E-40.0411807450.1105629650.111016581.00410275.1E-4
6.58.059055E-52.2941893E-45.293501E-42.30735163.0E-43.4534236E-49.828559E-40.00132252181.34559063.4E-40.00419643940.0119008190.0123355831.03653234.4E-40.0411807450.1105629650.111016581.00410275.1E-4
6.67.619237E-52.2186468E-45.1180035E-42.3068132.9E-43.2649786E-49.5050444E-40.00128019081.34685413.3E-40.00396786770.01151153350.0119266991.03606514.2E-40.038977640.107099540.107537061.00408524.9E-4
6.77.440636E-52.1862281E-45.085594E-42.32619552.9E-43.188454E-49.3662075E-40.00126631161.35200053.3E-40.00387503460.0113442680.0117595041.03660314.2E-40.0380815640.10560810.1060463561.00414984.9E-4
6.87.3735864E-52.1709445E-45.070315E-42.3355342.9E-43.1597257E-49.300753E-40.00125976841.354483.3E-40.00384018150.0112654060.0116806751.03686234.2E-40.037744950.1049096960.105348291.00418074.9E-4
6.97.27575E-52.1478413E-45.0472183E-42.34990292.9E-43.117806E-49.20181E-40.00124987731.35829513.3E-40.0037893230.0111461820.0115615011.0372614.2E-40.0372535620.103857530.104287681.00414174.8E-4
7.07.102591E-52.1062451E-45.005634E-42.37656782.9E-43.0436125E-49.023664E-40.00123206861.3653753.3E-40.0036993030.0109314840.0113468931.03800124.2E-40.036383250.1019595340.1023905951.00422784.8E-4
7.17.028513E-52.0898094E-44.9892033E-42.38739632.9E-43.0118722E-48.953274E-40.00122503191.36825033.3E-40.00366078970.0108466410.0112620851.03830174.2E-40.0360106860.101202430.1016338541.00426294.8E-4
7.26.8498244E-52.050596E-44.9500016E-42.4139332.9E-42.9353087E-48.7853306E-40.00120824321.37529613.3E-40.0035678830.01064418350.0110597131.03903824.2E-40.0351114050.099394490.099826781.00434924.8E-4
7.36.622592E-51.9733235E-44.8727513E-42.4693122.9E-42.8379448E-48.4543816E-40.00117515911.39000013.3E-40.00344972430.0102451110.0106608081.04057514.2E-40.0339666120.0958912450.096325221.00452574.8E-4
7.45.1050705E-51.4690042E-44.2685927E-42.90577322.8E-42.1877038E-46.294222E-49.492208E-41.50808273.2E-40.0026602760.0076364820.0080433521.05327964.1E-40.026286540.072865540.073301291.00598034.7E-4
7.53.9302922E-51.11307076E-43.7127815E-43.33562042.6E-41.6843023E-44.7694342E-47.768003E-41.62870543.0E-40.00204870920.00579139540.00617913671.06695133.9E-40.0202992470.056011510.0564268641.00741554.4E-4
7.62.9851626E-58.4956984E-53.3493576E-43.94241552.5E-41.2792926E-43.6405068E-46.4394873E-41.76884372.8E-40.00155642590.00442333470.0047916981.08327733.7E-40.01545569950.0431961450.0435980041.00930314.2E-4
7.72.1135214E-56.353527E-53.1351938E-44.9345722.5E-49.0576345E-52.722656E-45.5218936E-42.02812742.8E-40.00110220910.00330980080.0036785761.11141923.7E-40.0109675820.032584560.0329908771.01246954.2E-4
7.81.883379E-55.564576E-52.8563297E-45.1330592.3E-48.0713755E-52.3846005E-44.9839803E-42.09006932.6E-49.822468E-40.0028993890.00324837421.12036513.5E-40.00977916550.0286969780.02908551.01353874.0E-4
7.91.5156185E-54.1662403E-52.6165324E-46.280322.2E-46.495346E-51.7854095E-44.284963E-42.3999892.5E-47.9052144E-40.00217157040.0025108321.15622883.4E-40.0078771520.0217609460.0221424591.0175323.9E-4
8.01.1405907E-52.9976925E-51.9997184E-46.67085841.7E-44.8881542E-51.2846621E-43.084431E-42.40096661.8E-45.9497025E-40.00156295510.00179259561.14692712.3E-40.0059337980.0157740130.0160397531.01684682.7E-4
8.14.3511436E-67.369465E-61.7369392E-52.35694051.0E-51.8647626E-53.158304E-54.1582723E-51.31661561.0E-52.2701119E-43.844558E-43.9445196E-41.02600071.0E-50.00226779420.00411654450.0041265031.00241921.0E-5
8.22.3042528E-62.7328301E-62.7328301E-61.00.09.875332E-61.1712076E-51.1712076E-51.00.01.2022553E-41.4258524E-41.4258524E-41.00.00.00120160510.00159796370.00159796371.00.0
8.35.202968E-73.1590292E-73.1590292E-71.00.02.2298414E-61.353869E-61.353869E-61.00.02.714798E-51.6483244E-51.6483244E-51.00.02.7144665E-41.955901E-41.955901E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Parkfield)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.556969E-47.778562E-40.00107762291.38537543.0E-40.00237938480.00332995830.00367879261.10475653.5E-40.0285869630.0402350430.040609351.00930313.9E-40.251762840.33719730.33752871.00098285.0E-4
6.11.925858E-43.0278185E-44.5273642E-41.49525621.5E-48.2510663E-40.0012970850.00146686441.13089311.7E-40.00999948850.015773930.015951091.01123121.8E-40.0956132560.149758250.14996231.00136262.4E-4
6.29.4306815E-51.8243887E-43.2241334E-41.76724031.4E-44.0410945E-47.8164786E-49.4152277E-41.20453571.6E-40.00490893840.0094752460.0096436361.01777151.7E-40.0480190630.09185650.092065381.00227392.3E-4
6.39.283051E-51.794041E-43.1937897E-41.78022121.4E-43.9778434E-47.686494E-49.285264E-41.20799731.6E-40.00483227470.0093183550.009486771.01807361.7E-40.0472853850.0905094740.090718661.00231122.3E-4
6.49.138826E-51.7702584E-43.1700105E-41.79070511.4E-43.916052E-47.5846276E-49.183414E-41.2107931.6E-40.00475737450.0091953870.00936382451.01831761.7E-40.0465680920.08941360.0896230341.00234232.3E-4
6.59.000255E-51.746064E-43.1458194E-41.80166341.4E-43.8566816E-47.4809964E-49.0797996E-41.21371521.6E-40.00468540470.0090702840.0092387421.01857261.7E-40.0458784030.088296080.088505771.00237492.3E-4
6.68.8109264E-51.7141816E-43.1139416E-41.81657621.4E-43.7755648E-47.3444354E-48.94326E-41.2176921.6E-40.00458706540.0089054040.0090738911.01891961.7E-40.044935290.086827070.08703711.0024192.3E-4
6.78.738073E-51.7008898E-43.1006517E-41.82295861.4E-43.7443507E-47.287503E-48.886337E-41.2193941.6E-40.00454922160.0088366950.0090051931.0190681.7E-40.044572130.08622680.0864369651.00243742.3E-4
6.88.710195E-51.6954402E-43.0952028E-41.82560431.4E-43.7324068E-47.26416E-48.8629976E-41.22009941.6E-40.00453474050.0088085130.00897701551.01912951.7E-40.044433130.085974360.086184581.00244522.3E-4
6.98.6801556E-51.6895356E-43.089299E-41.82849011.4E-43.7195362E-47.238869E-48.8377105E-41.22086911.6E-40.00451913570.00877796950.0089464771.01919661.7E-40.0442833270.085700420.085910711.00245382.3E-4
7.08.5571606E-51.664819E-43.064586E-41.84079231.4E-43.6668387E-47.132999E-48.7318575E-41.22414961.6E-40.0044552410.0086501030.0088186321.0194831.7E-40.0436697270.084548360.0847589151.00249032.3E-4
7.17.82589E-51.5128969E-42.6127303E-41.7269721.1E-43.3535215E-46.4822397E-47.781397E-41.2004181.3E-40.00407527060.0078637380.0080026371.01766321.4E-40.0400134180.0774604450.077635731.00226281.9E-4
7.27.690929E-51.4866212E-42.5864577E-41.7398231.1E-43.2956956E-46.369685E-47.668857E-41.20396171.3E-40.0040051290.00772768260.00786660051.01797661.4E-40.03933710.076233410.076408921.00230231.9E-4
7.37.5543794E-51.4562748E-42.5561146E-41.7552421.1E-43.2371894E-46.239692E-47.538881E-41.20821361.3E-40.0039341570.00757052560.0077094661.01835271.4E-40.0386523340.074797770.074973561.00235021.9E-4
7.47.4214564E-51.4263717E-42.5262148E-41.77107751.1E-43.1802364E-46.1115966E-47.410802E-41.21258031.3E-40.0038650650.00741564160.00755460331.0187391.4E-40.037985290.073371520.073547591.00239961.9E-4
7.56.149578E-51.1191443E-42.0190436E-41.80409599.0E-52.6352672E-44.795452E-45.8949244E-41.2292741.1E-40.00320371780.0058228650.00594216631.02048841.2E-40.031579230.0585594620.0587100951.00257231.6E-4
7.66.0643448E-51.102009E-42.0019097E-41.81660029.0E-52.598746E-44.7220418E-45.821522E-41.23284011.1E-40.00315938280.0057339620.0058532741.0208081.2E-40.0311484170.057720420.057871181.0026121.6E-4
7.75.1652263E-59.175265E-51.5174714E-41.65387216.0E-52.2134806E-43.9316638E-44.7313495E-41.20339628.0E-50.0026915820.00477630460.00486587451.0187539.0E-50.0265921410.048536410.0486600961.00254851.3E-4
7.84.8090482E-58.560165E-51.4559651E-41.70086116.0E-52.060858E-43.6681266E-44.4678332E-41.2180158.0E-50.00250620720.0044568070.0045464061.02010389.0E-50.0247813050.0453022640.0454263761.00273971.3E-4
7.93.970278E-56.7507375E-51.2750333E-41.88873186.0E-51.7014367E-42.8928524E-43.692621E-41.27646368.0E-50.0020695310.00351636340.0036060471.02550469.0E-50.0205036360.035881760.0359974541.00322441.2E-4
8.02.8982335E-54.0698153E-58.0696525E-51.98280564.0E-51.2420409E-41.7440901E-42.2440028E-41.28663245.0E-50.00151113570.00212136280.00217125681.02351985.0E-50.0150090120.022011180.022069861.00266596.0E-5
8.11.8836186E-51.867974E-52.8679553E-51.53532931.0E-58.0724014E-58.005358E-51.0005198E-41.24981272.0E-59.823717E-49.742171E-49.941976E-41.02050942.0E-50.0097804030.0104877110.0105075011.0018872.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Big Bend)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0179969E-42.0073925E-44.5068905E-42.24514682.5E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00118974471.38337833.3E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0108463781.04083344.3E-40.0517340970.1014559050.10189621.00433974.9E-4
6.11.0179969E-42.0073925E-44.5068905E-42.24514682.5E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00118974471.38337833.3E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0108463781.04083344.3E-40.0517340970.1014559050.10189621.00433974.9E-4
6.21.0179969E-42.0073925E-44.5068905E-42.24514682.5E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00118974471.38337833.3E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0108463781.04083344.3E-40.0517340970.1014559050.10189621.00433974.9E-4
6.31.0179969E-42.0073925E-44.5068905E-42.24514682.5E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00118974471.38337833.3E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0108463781.04083344.3E-40.0517340970.1014559050.10189621.00433974.9E-4
6.49.1639464E-51.8430917E-43.442797E-41.86794651.6E-43.9268145E-47.896575E-49.994918E-41.26572812.1E-40.00477042050.0095718180.0098293291.0269032.6E-40.0466930640.093786950.094067871.00299543.1E-4
6.59.1639464E-51.8430917E-43.442797E-41.86794651.6E-43.9268145E-47.896575E-49.994918E-41.26572812.1E-40.00477042050.0095718180.0098293291.0269032.6E-40.0466930640.093786950.094067871.00299543.1E-4
6.69.042622E-51.8238011E-43.2235458E-41.76748751.4E-43.8748336E-47.813951E-49.712467E-41.24296491.9E-40.00470740950.00947210.0097098271.02509762.4E-40.0460893250.092877210.093131211.00273482.8E-4
6.78.9836685E-51.8152347E-43.2149805E-41.77111021.4E-43.8495753E-47.7772595E-49.675782E-41.2441121.9E-40.004676790.0094278150.0096655521.02521662.4E-40.0457958170.092471480.092725591.0027482.8E-4
6.88.9471854E-51.8099119E-43.2096586E-41.77337831.4E-43.8339442E-47.754462E-49.6529885E-41.24483031.9E-40.0046578410.0094002980.0096380411.02529112.4E-40.045614140.09221920.092473391.00275622.8E-4
6.98.858234E-51.7981093E-43.1978576E-41.77845561.4E-43.7958333E-47.7039085E-49.6024445E-41.2464381.9E-40.0046116380.0093392780.0095770371.02545792.4E-40.045171030.091659110.091913441.00277482.8E-4
7.08.7433385E-51.7819891E-43.1817396E-41.7854991.4E-43.746607E-47.6348626E-49.4334886E-41.23558071.8E-40.0045519570.0092559320.0094838031.0246192.3E-40.0445983860.090893230.091138681.00270062.7E-4
7.18.684964E-51.7731842E-43.172936E-41.78940011.4E-43.7215967E-47.597149E-49.3957817E-41.2367511.8E-40.00452163350.0092104050.0094382871.02474182.3E-40.044307310.090474750.090720321.00271432.7E-4
7.28.606521E-51.7622454E-43.1619988E-41.7943011.4E-43.6879873E-47.550296E-49.348937E-41.23822131.8E-40.00448088350.0091538420.0093817371.0248962.3E-40.0439160240.089955180.090200891.00273142.7E-4
7.38.568266E-51.7564454E-43.1561995E-41.79692441.4E-43.6715972E-47.5254537E-49.324099E-41.23900821.8E-40.00446101050.009123850.0093517521.02497862.3E-40.0437251480.089676230.089922021.00274092.7E-4
7.48.5432206E-51.752704E-43.1524585E-41.79862581.4E-43.6608664E-47.509428E-49.308076E-41.23951861.8E-40.0044479990.0091045010.0093324081.02503232.3E-40.0436001570.089496420.089742261.00274692.7E-4
7.58.4791965E-51.7396381E-43.1393947E-41.8046251.4E-43.633435E-47.4534636E-49.2521217E-41.24131851.8E-40.00441473770.0090369320.0092648541.02522112.3E-40.0432805750.088872090.089118091.0027682.7E-4
7.68.241105E-51.6841735E-43.0839376E-41.83112841.4E-43.531424E-47.2158914E-49.0145925E-41.24926951.8E-40.00429103520.0087500470.0089780341.02605562.3E-40.0420911760.086250320.086497031.00286042.7E-4
7.77.00432E-51.4205615E-42.3204336E-41.63346239.0E-53.001506E-46.0867006E-47.385909E-41.21345041.3E-40.00364821120.00738541740.00753430981.02016031.5E-40.0358889770.073522990.073699021.00239421.9E-4
7.86.415362E-51.2969968E-42.096893E-41.61672958.0E-52.749151E-45.557374E-46.756707E-41.21580931.2E-40.00334195470.00674514150.00688419721.02061571.4E-40.032921410.067255140.067423031.00249641.8E-4
7.94.939911E-59.341721E-51.6341067E-41.74925657.0E-52.116933E-44.0029807E-45.0025806E-41.24971391.0E-40.00257431950.0048627470.00497221251.0225111.1E-40.0254470130.0489158030.0490489531.0027221.4E-4
8.03.344983E-55.2228E-51.02225385E-41.95729095.0E-51.4334853E-42.2381509E-42.8380167E-41.26801856.0E-50.00174387110.00272154530.0027813821.02198626.0E-50.0173024960.0279231610.0279912071.00243697.0E-5
8.11.9104898E-51.9171663E-52.917147E-51.52159321.0E-58.1875565E-58.2161685E-51.0216004E-41.24340252.0E-59.963791E-49.9986E-40.001019841.01998282.0E-50.0099192350.0107495520.0107693371.00184062.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Coyote Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.980352E-52.1706745E-52.6170153E-412.05623152.4E-48.486947E-59.302599E-53.5300181E-43.79465772.6E-40.00103279590.00113207510.00150165611.32646353.7E-40.0102800910.0112702580.0117448481.042114.8E-4
6.11.980352E-52.1706745E-52.6170153E-412.05623152.4E-48.486947E-59.302599E-53.5300181E-43.79465772.6E-40.00103279590.00113207510.00150165611.32646353.7E-40.0102800910.0112702580.0117448481.042114.8E-4
6.21.980352E-52.1706745E-52.6170153E-412.05623152.4E-48.486947E-59.302599E-53.5300181E-43.79465772.6E-40.00103279590.00113207510.00150165611.32646353.7E-40.0102800910.0112702580.0117448481.042114.8E-4
6.31.5344787E-51.682067E-51.6681815E-49.917451.5E-46.576172E-57.2086936E-52.320754E-43.21938231.6E-48.003548E-48.773662E-40.00111715571.2733062.4E-40.0079747840.008745070.0090920091.03967253.5E-4
6.41.5344787E-51.682067E-51.6681815E-49.917451.5E-46.576172E-57.2086936E-52.320754E-43.21938231.6E-48.003548E-48.773662E-40.00111715571.2733062.4E-40.0079747840.008745070.0090920091.03967253.5E-4
6.51.4189697E-51.5557987E-51.5555581E-49.9984531.4E-46.081157E-56.6675726E-52.1666572E-43.24954441.5E-47.401293E-48.115349E-40.00102136451.25855892.1E-40.00737669130.0080916560.0084090671.03922693.2E-4
6.61.3469301E-51.4771577E-51.5476951E-410.4775211.4E-45.7724297E-56.330556E-52.1329607E-43.36931011.5E-47.025667E-47.7053264E-49.803708E-41.27232872.1E-40.00700349640.00768451440.0080020551.04132223.2E-4
6.71.3027966E-51.4281745E-51.4427988E-410.1023991.3E-45.5832945E-56.120638E-51.9119843E-43.12383151.3E-46.7955407E-47.4499263E-49.3485106E-41.25484611.9E-40.0067747980.00743082860.00772859951.04007233.0E-4
6.85.695434E-66.2244176E-64.622417E-57.4262644.0E-52.4408775E-52.6675973E-56.6674904E-52.49943664.0E-52.971363E-43.2476155E-43.6474856E-41.12312734.0E-50.00296739330.00324581050.00330561561.01842536.0E-5
6.94.385688E-64.7930553E-62.479296E-55.17268372.0E-51.879567E-52.0541665E-54.0541254E-51.97361092.0E-52.2881327E-42.5009477E-42.7008977E-41.07994972.0E-50.0022857780.00250094780.00254084781.01595394.0E-5

San Andreas (Coachella) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1925945E-43.273077E-45.8722263E-41.79409962.6E-45.110118E-40.0014019980.00170157731.21368043.0E-40.00620383540.0169370680.0173008011.02147563.7E-40.0603347530.152676720.153041061.00238654.3E-4
6.11.1925945E-43.273077E-45.8722263E-41.79409962.6E-45.110118E-40.0014019980.00170157731.21368043.0E-40.00620383540.0169370680.0173008011.02147563.7E-40.0603347530.152676720.153041061.00238654.3E-4
6.21.07432395E-43.0231563E-45.4224307E-41.79363232.4E-44.603433E-40.0012949990.00157463641.21593642.8E-40.0055902860.0156537310.0159982521.02200893.5E-40.054517310.141827840.142179681.00248094.1E-4
6.31.0718766E-43.0176868E-45.4169627E-41.79507112.4E-44.592948E-40.00129265730.00157229531.2163282.8E-40.0055775860.015625630.0159701611.02204913.5E-40.0543965550.141596050.1419481.00248554.1E-4
6.41.0355944E-42.9384956E-45.3377904E-41.81650452.4E-44.4375064E-40.00125875140.00153839891.22216262.8E-40.00538928850.0152186620.0155633361.02264813.5E-40.0526044960.138157950.13851131.00255764.1E-4
6.51.0227914E-42.9104383E-45.30974E-41.8243782.4E-44.382655E-40.00124673850.00152638941.2243062.8E-40.00532283540.0150744390.0154191631.02286823.5E-40.0519713160.136942390.137296231.0025844.1E-4
6.61.0116757E-42.8870135E-45.18635E-41.79644112.3E-44.3350324E-40.00123670870.00150637481.21805142.7E-40.00526513670.0149540080.0152889241.02239633.4E-40.0514212470.135919730.136265371.0025434.0E-4
6.71.0050676E-42.8728697E-45.172209E-41.80036322.3E-44.3067214E-40.00123065280.00150032061.21912572.7E-40.0052308340.0148812880.0152162291.02250743.4E-40.0510940850.135304640.135650531.00255634.0E-4
6.89.976819E-52.8532353E-45.152579E-41.80587242.3E-44.2750788E-40.0012222460.0014919161.22063482.7E-40.00519249360.0147803280.0151153031.02266363.4E-40.0507282950.134456280.134802491.00257494.0E-4
6.99.77719E-52.802926E-45.102281E-41.82034112.3E-44.1895514E-40.00120070480.00147038061.22459792.7E-40.00508885550.01452158950.0148566521.02307343.4E-40.0497388880.132284760.132623171.00255823.9E-4
7.08.500761E-52.4763815E-44.775812E-41.92854452.3E-43.6426744E-40.00106087790.00133059151.25423622.7E-40.00442594060.012840470.0131761051.02613883.4E-40.043388230.118136160.118480091.00291133.9E-4
7.18.319876E-52.4366553E-44.636119E-41.9026572.2E-43.5651738E-40.00104386620.00130359471.24881412.6E-40.0043319630.0126357730.0129616041.02578633.3E-40.0424848460.116356320.11669211.00288583.8E-4
7.27.563917E-52.2414974E-44.4410044E-41.98126672.2E-43.2412758E-49.602912E-40.00122004151.27049122.6E-40.00393911450.0116295590.0119557211.0280463.3E-40.038700180.107762020.108101061.00314633.8E-4
7.37.082985E-52.07311E-44.272654E-42.06098752.2E-43.0352117E-48.881761E-40.00114794521.29247472.6E-40.00368910960.0107605530.0110870021.03033763.3E-40.036284650.100284030.1006259251.00340933.8E-4
7.45.146215E-51.4274761E-43.627162E-42.54096172.2E-42.2053342E-46.1163295E-48.714739E-41.42483162.6E-40.00268168840.00742139430.0077489451.0441363.3E-40.026495570.070850490.071203571.00498343.8E-4
7.54.0285166E-51.0942422E-43.0940233E-42.8275492.0E-41.7263928E-44.6887697E-47.087644E-41.51162142.4E-40.0020998570.00569370440.00600193951.05413623.1E-40.0208012540.0550130830.055343831.00601213.5E-4
7.63.1168736E-58.439599E-52.7437997E-43.25110171.9E-41.3357346E-43.616471E-45.815675E-41.60810782.2E-40.00162504370.0043941910.00468291671.06570632.9E-40.0161321160.0428124780.043128351.0073783.3E-4
7.72.2100989E-56.239345E-52.523816E-44.04500151.9E-49.4715084E-52.6737314E-44.873143E-41.82260012.2E-40.0011525460.00325041520.00353947261.08892942.9E-40.0114658670.0319021680.032221641.01001423.3E-4
7.81.7484861E-55.180078E-52.3179146E-44.4746711.8E-47.493296E-52.2198448E-44.3193786E-41.94580212.1E-49.1192697E-40.00269931420.00297855841.10345012.8E-40.0090819380.0266417880.0269532611.01169123.2E-4
7.91.3967285E-53.8226146E-52.0821964E-45.44704771.7E-45.985842E-51.6381606E-43.5378494E-42.15964751.9E-47.2853256E-40.00199263730.0022421391.12521182.5E-40.00726148770.0199110020.0201952291.01427482.9E-4
8.01.1887396E-53.106798E-52.0106269E-46.47170161.7E-45.094499E-51.331417E-43.231164E-42.4268611.9E-46.200787E-40.00161979580.0018693911.15409042.5E-40.0061835130.0162805670.0165658441.01752272.9E-4
8.15.100864E-68.973766E-61.8973677E-52.11434941.0E-52.1860664E-53.845843E-55.845766E-51.5200222.0E-52.6612106E-44.6813092E-44.8812156E-41.0427032.0E-50.0026580260.0049180920.00493799341.00404662.0E-5
8.22.3004484E-62.7863473E-62.7863473E-61.00.09.859027E-61.19414335E-51.19414335E-51.00.01.2002704E-41.4537729E-41.4537729E-41.00.00.00119962230.00159737820.00159737821.00.0
8.31.0424446E-75.814421E-85.814421E-81.00.04.4676187E-72.4918944E-72.4918944E-71.00.05.439312E-63.0338776E-63.0338776E-61.00.05.4391792E-53.189592E-53.189592E-51.00.0

Death Valley (No)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0074807E-52.2500084E-52.7249445E-412.110822.5E-48.603206E-59.642541E-53.763984E-43.9035192.8E-40.0010469370.00117335450.00152294381.29794013.5E-40.0104201830.0116725060.0120974871.03640874.3E-4
6.12.0074807E-52.2500084E-52.7249445E-412.110822.5E-48.603206E-59.642541E-53.763984E-43.9035192.8E-40.0010469370.00117335450.00152294381.29794013.5E-40.0104201830.0116725060.0120974871.03640874.3E-4
6.22.0074807E-52.2500084E-52.7249445E-412.110822.5E-48.603206E-59.642541E-53.763984E-43.9035192.8E-40.0010469370.00117335450.00152294381.29794013.5E-40.0104201830.0116725060.0120974871.03640874.3E-4
6.31.9050609E-52.1336948E-52.713316E-412.7165162.5E-48.164292E-59.1440896E-53.7141528E-44.0618072.8E-49.935491E-40.0011127310.00146234161.31419153.5E-40.0098911880.0110724190.0114976581.03840524.3E-4
6.41.9050609E-52.1336948E-52.713316E-412.7165162.5E-48.164292E-59.1440896E-53.7141528E-44.0618072.8E-49.935491E-40.0011127310.00146234161.31419153.5E-40.0098911880.0110724190.0114976581.03840524.3E-4
6.51.8367004E-52.0561009E-52.7055587E-413.1586872.5E-47.8713354E-58.811567E-53.68091E-44.17736152.8E-49.5791375E-40.00107228690.00142191151.32605523.5E-40.0095379510.01067191550.0110973271.03986264.3E-4
6.61.779439E-51.9910927E-52.3990654E-412.0489882.2E-47.625944E-58.53298E-53.3530846E-43.9295592.5E-49.280632E-40.00103840150.00134807961.29822583.1E-40.0092419690.0103362530.0107123251.03638373.8E-4
6.71.7025437E-51.9043426E-52.3903923E-412.5523232.2E-47.296412E-58.161216E-53.3159176E-44.0630192.5E-48.87976E-49.931813E-40.00129288331.30175963.0E-40.0088443620.0098881450.0102544861.03704863.7E-4
6.81.6545107E-51.8512545E-52.3850847E-412.8836132.2E-47.090568E-57.93371E-53.1931806E-44.02482652.4E-48.629347E-49.655073E-40.00125522731.30007032.9E-40.0085959150.0096138290.0099703681.0370863.6E-4
6.91.615478E-51.8087594E-52.3808361E-413.1628132.2E-46.9232934E-57.751599E-53.1749738E-44.09589532.4E-48.4258494E-49.433546E-40.00123308111.30712352.9E-40.0083939730.0093941960.0097310011.03585263.4E-4
7.01.5894311E-51.780555E-52.2780181E-412.7938652.1E-46.81167E-57.6307304E-53.0628976E-44.01389842.3E-48.2900526E-49.286515E-40.00120839151.30123252.8E-40.0082591950.0092483970.0095753461.03535193.3E-4
7.11.5602263E-51.7483504E-52.1748E-412.4391552.0E-46.6865134E-57.492718E-52.949107E-43.9359642.2E-48.137789E-49.118627E-40.00118161661.29582722.7E-40.0081080520.0090818940.00939898751.0349153.2E-4
7.21.5323829E-51.717063E-52.171672E-412.6475962.0E-46.56719E-57.358637E-52.935702E-43.9894642.2E-47.99262E-48.9555193E-40.00116531021.301222.7E-40.0079639340.0089201070.0092372521.0355543.2E-4
7.31.4556212E-51.6302456E-51.9629952E-412.0411011.8E-46.238227E-56.9865826E-52.6985185E-43.86242992.0E-47.592395E-48.5029035E-40.00110007781.29376722.5E-40.00756650740.0084710140.0087684731.03511493.0E-4
7.41.411725E-51.580796E-51.9580511E-412.3864891.8E-46.0501097E-56.7746674E-52.6773312E-43.95197442.0E-47.363519E-48.245094E-40.00107430331.30296062.5E-40.00733916740.0082151380.0085126741.03621793.0E-4
7.51.3503312E-51.5126289E-51.9512356E-412.8996321.8E-45.7870053E-56.482538E-52.648124E-44.08501152.0E-47.043401E-47.8896893E-40.00102877951.30395452.4E-40.0070211190.0078623040.0081500241.03659492.9E-4
7.61.1279839E-51.2626327E-51.6262443E-412.8797891.5E-44.834127E-55.4111737E-52.1410309E-43.95668461.6E-45.88396E-46.5861654E-48.4849144E-41.28829351.9E-40.0058684050.0065671990.0067956881.03479252.3E-4
7.79.189108E-61.0283358E-51.20282224E-411.6967851.1E-43.93813E-54.407082E-51.6406552E-43.72277021.2E-44.7936183E-45.3643517E-46.863547E-41.27947371.5E-40.0047832910.0053519140.0055210041.03159441.7E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-73.6482615E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.5635396E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035933E-51.9035933E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.9034347E-41.9034347E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

White Wolf (Extension)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.222555E-66.066615E-62.1606534E-435.615472.1E-43.5239045E-52.5999556E-53.059923E-411.76913452.8E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-46.663945E-42.10547693.5E-40.00428123870.00316119660.0035599321.12613444.0E-4
6.18.222555E-66.066615E-62.1606534E-435.615472.1E-43.5239045E-52.5999556E-53.059923E-411.76913452.8E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-46.663945E-42.10547693.5E-40.00428123870.00316119660.0035599321.12613444.0E-4
6.28.222555E-66.066615E-62.1606534E-435.615472.1E-43.5239045E-52.5999556E-53.059923E-411.76913452.8E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-46.663945E-42.10547693.5E-40.00428123870.00316119660.0035599321.12613444.0E-4
6.38.222555E-66.066615E-62.1606534E-435.615472.1E-43.5239045E-52.5999556E-53.059923E-411.76913452.8E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-46.663945E-42.10547693.5E-40.00428123870.00316119660.0035599321.12613444.0E-4
6.45.821773E-63.5571256E-61.235567E-434.734981.2E-42.4950215E-51.5244741E-51.95242E-412.807171.8E-43.0372653E-41.8559002E-44.055492E-42.18518852.2E-40.00303311760.00185445860.0021039951.13456022.5E-4
6.55.766023E-63.4990599E-61.2349864E-435.2948071.2E-42.4711293E-51.49958905E-51.9499319E-413.0031091.8E-43.0081844E-41.8256076E-44.025206E-42.20485832.2E-40.00300411580.00182421610.00207376011.13679522.5E-4
6.64.643576E-62.3325733E-66.233243E-526.7226056.0E-51.9900888E-59.9967065E-69.999581E-510.0028759.0E-52.4226638E-41.2170354E-42.2169137E-41.82156881.0E-40.00242002420.00121641120.00132627751.090321.1E-4
6.73.9529173E-61.6482975E-64.1648233E-525.2674244.0E-51.6940963E-57.064114E-66.706369E-59.4935746.0E-52.0623671E-48.600239E-51.5599636E-41.81386097.0E-50.0020604548.597095E-49.3964074E-41.09297478.0E-5
6.83.4377522E-61.2244764E-64.1224426E-533.6669854.0E-51.473314E-55.247746E-65.5247485E-510.5278515.0E-51.7936122E-46.388952E-51.238857E-41.93906126.0E-50.00179216526.3872064E-47.0867594E-41.10952417.0E-5
6.93.1367306E-61.0033316E-62.1003312E-520.933572.0E-51.3443062E-54.299986E-63.4299857E-57.97673753.0E-51.63657E-45.2351144E-59.234905E-51.76403124.0E-50.00163536525.233958E-45.733696E-41.095485.0E-5
7.02.8298145E-67.4282326E-72.074281E-527.9242842.0E-51.2127721E-53.1835248E-63.318343E-510.4234883.0E-51.47645E-43.8758775E-57.875722E-52.03198434.0E-50.00147546933.8752513E-44.3750578E-41.12897385.0E-5
7.12.4091064E-65.4223835E-72.0542228E-537.884132.0E-51.03247E-52.3238767E-63.2323805E-513.9094323.0E-51.2569598E-42.8292874E-56.8291745E-52.41374354.0E-50.0012562492.8289677E-43.328826E-41.1766935.0E-5
7.21.3875518E-61.0740268E-71.0740268E-71.00.05.9466374E-64.6029712E-71.0460292E-522.7250881.0E-57.23979E-55.604104E-62.5603991E-54.56879332.0E-57.2374323E-45.6039742E-57.603862E-51.35686962.0E-5
7.37.056077E-75.0002956E-85.0002956E-81.00.03.0240296E-62.1429837E-71.0214296E-547.66391.0E-53.681694E-52.60908E-61.2609054E-54.83275841.0E-53.681084E-42.609054E-53.609028E-51.38327061.0E-5
7.45.9334678E-84.8638475E-94.8638475E-91.00.02.5429145E-72.084506E-82.084506E-81.00.03.095994E-62.5378858E-72.5378858E-71.00.03.095951E-52.5378843E-62.5378843E-61.00.0

Scodie Lineament

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2919327E-63.0133303E-62.130127E-470.6901252.1E-41.4108206E-51.2914227E-53.1291036E-424.2298933.0E-41.7175387E-41.5722254E-44.8717068E-43.09860563.3E-40.00171621180.00157142480.00197079611.25414614.0E-4
6.11.8663811E-61.5490382E-68.154891E-552.644878.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-61.0663806E-416.0630441.0E-49.738045E-58.082393E-52.0081423E-42.48458891.2E-49.7337784E-48.079941E-49.578729E-41.18549491.5E-4
6.21.8663811E-61.5490382E-68.154891E-552.644878.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-61.0663806E-416.0630441.0E-49.738045E-58.082393E-52.0081423E-42.48458891.2E-49.7337784E-48.079941E-49.578729E-41.18549491.5E-4
6.31.8663811E-61.5490382E-68.154891E-552.644878.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-61.0663806E-416.0630441.0E-49.738045E-58.082393E-52.0081423E-42.48458891.2E-49.7337784E-48.079941E-49.578729E-41.18549491.5E-4
6.41.8663811E-61.5490382E-68.154891E-552.644878.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-61.0663806E-416.0630441.0E-49.738045E-58.082393E-52.0081423E-42.48458891.2E-49.7337784E-48.079941E-49.578729E-41.18549491.5E-4
6.51.8106311E-61.4909722E-68.1490856E-554.656198.0E-57.759824E-66.389868E-61.0638923E-416.6496751.0E-49.447177E-57.779436E-51.9778502E-42.54240821.2E-49.4431615E-47.7771995E-49.276033E-41.19272151.5E-4
6.61.2414679E-68.9974395E-74.0899708E-545.457054.0E-55.320566E-63.85604E-65.385585E-513.96661955.0E-56.477596E-54.6946367E-59.694402E-52.0649955.0E-56.475708E-44.6937316E-45.29345E-41.12777016.0E-5
6.71.1062215E-67.594193E-73.07594E-540.5038383.0E-54.7409408E-63.2546504E-64.325452E-513.2900664.0E-55.7719422E-53.962472E-57.962313E-52.0094314.0E-55.770443E-43.9618355E-44.4616373E-41.12615425.0E-5
6.81.0006736E-66.5002786E-73.0650008E-547.1518363.0E-54.288594E-62.7858312E-63.278575E-511.7687493.0E-55.221238E-53.391703E-56.391601E-51.88448143.0E-55.220012E-43.3912458E-43.7911104E-41.11791074.0E-5
6.99.167364E-75.6315065E-71.0563145E-518.7572271.0E-53.9288643E-62.413501E-61.2413477E-55.14334871.0E-54.7832873E-52.9384037E-53.9383744E-51.34031081.0E-54.782258E-42.9380718E-43.138013E-41.06805182.0E-5
7.07.6987664E-74.113265E-71.0411322E-525.3115771.0E-53.2994672E-61.7628269E-61.176281E-56.67269661.0E-54.0170275E-52.1462245E-53.146203E-51.46592451.0E-54.0163012E-42.1460558E-42.3460129E-41.09317422.0E-5
7.17.1038727E-73.5210306E-71.03521E-529.4007661.0E-53.0445133E-61.5090123E-61.1508997E-57.6268411.0E-53.706632E-51.8372106E-52.8371922E-51.54429341.0E-53.7060137E-41.8370937E-42.037057E-41.10884762.0E-5
7.22.0799602E-73.1178534E-83.1178534E-81.00.08.914113E-71.3362228E-71.3362228E-71.00.01.0852878E-51.6268501E-61.6268501E-61.00.01.08523476E-41.626839E-51.626839E-51.00.0
7.31.5048182E-71.5939106E-81.5939106E-81.00.06.449219E-76.8310456E-86.8310456E-81.00.07.851896E-68.316795E-78.316795E-71.00.07.851618E-58.316767E-68.316767E-61.00.0
7.45.9334678E-84.8638475E-94.8638475E-91.00.02.5429145E-72.084506E-82.084506E-81.00.03.095994E-62.5378858E-72.5378858E-71.00.03.095951E-52.5378843E-62.5378843E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Cholame) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2302514E-42.5205986E-44.4201198E-41.75359921.9E-45.27144E-40.00107981090.00131955181.22202112.4E-40.00639910860.0130679580.013334431.02039122.7E-40.062179490.124384120.124681831.00239353.4E-4
6.11.2302514E-42.5205986E-44.4201198E-41.75359921.9E-45.27144E-40.00107981090.00131955181.22202112.4E-40.00639910860.0130679580.013334431.02039122.7E-40.062179490.124384120.124681831.00239353.4E-4
6.21.2203569E-42.502277E-44.4018016E-41.75911841.9E-45.2290526E-40.00107196530.0013117081.22364782.4E-40.0063478040.0129735780.0132400761.02054152.7E-40.0616951360.1235713140.12386931.00241153.4E-4
6.31.2142645E-42.4908737E-44.3904004E-41.76259461.9E-45.202953E-40.00106708230.00130682611.22467232.4E-40.0063162120.0129148340.01318134651.02063622.7E-40.061396770.123065320.123363481.00242283.4E-4
6.41.1865206E-42.4414246E-44.3409606E-41.77804411.9E-45.0840975E-40.00104590680.00127566631.21967482.3E-40.0061723350.0126600440.0129167521.0202772.6E-40.0600368680.120859040.121140371.00232773.2E-4
6.51.17443946E-42.4207575E-44.3202977E-41.78468821.9E-45.032341E-40.00103705660.0012668181.22155152.3E-40.0061096770.0125535360.0128102721.02045132.6E-40.0594440770.119930080.1202117061.00234823.2E-4
6.61.13579066E-42.3516564E-44.2512096E-41.80775121.9E-44.866766E-40.0010074650.00123723331.22806572.3E-40.00590920170.0121973450.01245417351.0210562.6E-40.0575451850.11684920.117131811.00241853.2E-4
6.71.1271412E-42.336088E-44.235644E-41.81313551.9E-44.829711E-40.0010007980.00123056781.22958662.3E-40.0058643310.0121170790.0123739291.02119732.6E-40.0571196970.116152750.116435581.0024353.2E-4
6.81.1217975E-42.3249313E-44.2244894E-41.81703841.9E-44.8068175E-49.960202E-40.0012257911.2306892.3E-40.0058366080.0120595550.012316421.02129972.6E-40.0568567250.115650610.1159336051.0024473.2E-4
6.91.1146753E-42.3098059E-44.209367E-41.822391.9E-44.7763053E-49.895428E-40.00121931521.23220062.3E-40.00579965770.0119815640.01223844851.021442.6E-40.0565061270.114970270.115253481.00246333.2E-4
7.01.0965793E-42.2721413E-44.1717096E-41.83602561.9E-44.698779E-49.734129E-40.0012031891.2360522.3E-40.0057057680.0117873240.0120442591.02179752.6E-40.0556147360.113270110.113553871.00250513.2E-4
7.19.927982E-52.0540332E-43.4537457E-41.68144581.4E-44.2541555E-48.8000396E-40.00105984561.20436451.8E-40.00516714060.0106617080.01086946951.01948672.1E-40.050486340.103365730.1035988551.00225532.6E-4
7.29.696786E-52.0044584E-43.4041778E-41.6983031.4E-44.1551032E-48.587718E-40.00103861721.20942161.8E-40.005047110.0104057030.0106135181.01997132.1E-40.049340090.101102330.101336051.00231172.6E-4
7.39.4727984E-51.9473763E-43.3471035E-41.7187761.4E-44.0591392E-48.343239E-40.00101417371.21556351.8E-40.00493080870.0101108510.0103187281.02055982.1E-40.0482282680.098474120.098708521.00238032.6E-4
7.49.220358E-51.8844259E-43.284162E-41.74279191.4E-43.9509835E-48.07362E-49.872167E-41.22276831.8E-40.0047997170.0097855780.0099935221.02125012.1E-40.0469736530.095558310.095793461.00246082.6E-4
7.57.71631E-51.5179155E-42.7177334E-41.79043781.2E-43.306571E-46.5037323E-48.1026915E-41.24585261.6E-40.00401832070.0078896170.0080781181.02389231.9E-40.039464330.0782891960.0785011951.00270782.3E-4
7.67.5634416E-51.4838556E-42.6836776E-41.8085841.2E-43.241072E-46.357833E-47.9568155E-41.25149811.6E-40.00393886720.0077132560.0079017911.02444291.9E-40.0386977940.0766548740.0768672451.00277042.3E-4
7.76.3783E-51.2359623E-41.9358758E-41.56629037.0E-52.7332708E-45.2959064E-46.395324E-41.20759761.1E-40.00332267980.00642873070.0065479591.01854621.2E-40.0327343640.064544880.064694551.00231891.6E-4
7.85.863422E-51.14169685E-41.8416169E-41.61305257.0E-52.512653E-44.892069E-45.991531E-41.22474371.1E-40.0030548640.00593984970.00605913671.02008251.2E-40.0301320940.059661620.0598120731.00252181.6E-4
7.94.595283E-58.426815E-51.5426225E-41.83061167.0E-51.9692584E-43.6109926E-44.6106314E-41.27683221.0E-40.00239493580.00438752770.0044970451.02496111.1E-40.0236928910.0443631370.0444969271.00301581.4E-4
8.03.2950178E-55.077396E-51.0077142E-41.98470685.0E-51.412074E-42.1758456E-42.775715E-41.27569486.0E-50.00171784440.00264587530.00270571651.02261696.0E-50.0170462560.0271810720.027249171.00250537.0E-5
8.11.9177472E-51.9183733E-52.9183542E-51.52126491.0E-58.218658E-58.221342E-51.0221177E-41.24324932.0E-50.00100016220.00100048930.00102046941.01997022.0E-50.0099567280.0107578870.0107776721.0018392.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3461156E-52.3500992E-52.0349676E-48.6590711.8E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-43.306915E-43.28344942.3E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00150517151.22819542.8E-40.00699927660.0122287440.0125448311.02584793.2E-4
6.11.3461156E-52.3500992E-52.0349676E-48.6590711.8E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-43.306915E-43.28344942.3E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00150517151.22819542.8E-40.00699927660.0122287440.0125448311.02584793.2E-4
6.21.3461156E-52.3500992E-52.0349676E-48.6590711.8E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-43.306915E-43.28344942.3E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00150517151.22819542.8E-40.00699927660.0122287440.0125448311.02584793.2E-4
6.31.3461156E-52.3500992E-52.0349676E-48.6590711.8E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-43.306915E-43.28344942.3E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00150517151.22819542.8E-40.00699927660.0122287440.0125448311.02584793.2E-4
6.41.3461156E-52.3500992E-52.0349676E-48.6590711.8E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-43.306915E-43.28344942.3E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00150517151.22819542.8E-40.00699927660.0122287440.0125448311.02584793.2E-4
6.51.3450706E-52.348995E-52.0348572E-48.6626711.8E-45.764461E-51.00667356E-43.306442E-43.28452252.3E-47.0159714E-40.00122493920.00150459631.22830272.8E-40.0069938620.0122230540.0125391431.02586013.2E-4
6.61.3074523E-52.3104236E-52.0310008E-48.7905991.8E-45.6032466E-59.901441E-53.2899165E-43.32266432.3E-46.8198174E-40.0012048370.00148449971.23211662.8E-40.0067989260.0120242190.01234037151.02629293.2E-4
6.71.3050216E-52.3079532E-52.0307538E-48.7989381.8E-45.59283E-59.890855E-53.288858E-43.32515032.3E-46.8071426E-40.00120354960.00148321261.23236512.8E-40.00678632870.0120114840.012327641.02632123.2E-4
6.81.29049395E-52.2927941E-52.0292381E-48.8505031.8E-45.530571E-59.825892E-53.2823632E-43.34052442.3E-46.73139E-40.0011956490.00147531431.23390252.8E-40.00671103640.0119333290.012249511.02649573.2E-4
6.91.2867369E-52.2887343E-52.0288322E-48.86442851.8E-45.51447E-59.808494E-53.280624E-43.34467632.3E-46.711799E-40.00119353320.0014731991.23431752.8E-40.0066915640.0119123970.0122285861.02654283.2E-4
7.01.2495996E-52.2287419E-52.0228341E-49.0761251.8E-45.3553173E-59.551403E-53.2549206E-43.40779332.3E-46.518148E-40.00116226580.00144194031.24062872.8E-40.00649906230.0116030.0119192871.02725913.2E-4
7.11.2452067E-52.2232492E-52.0222849E-49.0960791.8E-45.3364907E-59.527864E-53.2525673E-43.41374232.3E-46.4952404E-40.0011594030.00143907841.24122362.8E-40.00647628870.0115746710.0118909671.02732663.2E-4
7.21.2002777E-52.1611015E-52.0160712E-49.3289061.8E-45.143946E-59.261536E-53.2259405E-43.48315932.3E-46.2609545E-40.00112701140.00140669581.24816472.8E-40.0062433440.0112540580.0115704561.02811423.2E-4
7.31.1923425E-52.1480853E-52.0147699E-49.3793751.8E-45.109939E-59.205757E-53.220364E-43.49820662.3E-46.219575E-40.00112022730.00139991361.24966932.8E-40.00620219620.0111869450.0115033651.02828483.2E-4
7.41.16105175E-52.0854808E-52.0085105E-49.6309231.8E-44.975841E-58.93747E-53.1935415E-43.57320522.3E-46.0564023E-40.00108759630.00136729181.25716842.8E-40.0060399230.0108644090.0111809331.02913393.2E-4
7.51.1037265E-51.9554842E-51.8955152E-49.6933291.7E-44.7301706E-58.380379E-53.0378535E-43.62495972.2E-45.757461E-40.00101983570.00128956031.26447862.7E-40.0057425670.0101955270.0105023671.03009553.1E-4
7.61.0720915E-51.8996727E-51.889935E-49.948741.7E-44.5945973E-58.141202E-53.0139412E-43.70208382.2E-45.592486E-49.907428E-40.00126047531.27225282.7E-40.0055784330.0099072380.0102141681.03098023.1E-4
7.79.276279E-61.6442464E-51.8643966E-411.3389131.7E-43.9754876E-57.046581E-52.9045032E-44.12186152.2E-44.839081E-48.5758517E-40.00112735361.31456762.7E-40.00482855740.0085865760.00889391451.03579283.1E-4
7.85.8346777E-61.11555855E-51.811537E-416.2388321.7E-42.5005522E-54.7808775E-52.6779826E-45.60144572.2E-43.043997E-45.819165E-48.517594E-41.46371412.7E-40.00303983080.00584733350.00615552071.05270563.1E-4
7.94.690204E-68.509473E-61.7850802E-420.9775641.7E-42.0100719E-53.6468664E-52.4646102E-46.7581582.1E-42.4469878E-44.439156E-46.9380464E-41.56292012.5E-40.0024442950.0044711650.0047598681.06457012.9E-4
8.02.9570454E-64.8470656E-64.484687E-59.2523764.0E-51.267299E-52.0772974E-57.077194E-53.40692385.0E-51.5428272E-42.5288164E-43.1286647E-41.23720516.0E-50.00154175660.0025499320.00263970281.0352059.0E-5
8.11.6376824E-62.1968672E-62.1968672E-61.00.07.01862E-69.415111E-61.9415018E-52.06211231.0E-58.544835E-51.1462297E-41.2462182E-41.08723261.0E-58.54155E-40.00116074450.00117073281.00860511.0E-5
8.26.9631557E-74.535001E-74.535001E-71.00.02.984206E-61.9435704E-61.9435704E-61.00.03.63321E-52.3662713E-52.3662713E-51.00.03.6326164E-42.4510184E-42.4510184E-41.00.0
8.31.7876137E-78.357368E-88.357368E-81.00.07.661199E-73.5817288E-73.5817288E-71.00.09.32747E-64.3607465E-64.3607465E-61.00.09.3270784E-54.5800018E-54.5800018E-51.00.0

Sierra Nevada (No Extension)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.7690465E-66.9762887E-62.1697482E-431.1017552.1E-43.329549E-52.989824E-52.6989105E-49.0269892.4E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-46.6387694E-41.82390733.0E-40.0040455880.00363741540.0039462881.08491543.1E-4
6.17.7690465E-66.9762887E-62.1697482E-431.1017552.1E-43.329549E-52.989824E-52.6989105E-49.0269892.4E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-46.6387694E-41.82390733.0E-40.0040455880.00363741540.0039462881.08491543.1E-4
6.27.7690465E-66.9762887E-62.1697482E-431.1017552.1E-43.329549E-52.989824E-52.6989105E-49.0269892.4E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-46.6387694E-41.82390733.0E-40.0040455880.00363741540.0039462881.08491543.1E-4
6.37.7690465E-66.9762887E-62.1697482E-431.1017552.1E-43.329549E-52.989824E-52.6989105E-49.0269892.4E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-46.6387694E-41.82390733.0E-40.0040455880.00363741540.0039462881.08491543.1E-4
6.47.7690465E-66.9762887E-62.1697482E-431.1017552.1E-43.329549E-52.989824E-52.6989105E-49.0269892.4E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-46.6387694E-41.82390733.0E-40.0040455880.00363741540.0039462881.08491543.1E-4
6.57.7690465E-66.9762887E-62.1697482E-431.1017552.1E-43.329549E-52.989824E-52.6989105E-49.0269892.4E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-46.6387694E-41.82390733.0E-40.0040455880.00363741540.0039462881.08491543.1E-4
6.62.653E-61.6148208E-61.3161461E-481.504161.3E-41.136995E-56.9206426E-61.569196E-422.6741371.5E-41.3842035E-48.42556E-52.742396E-43.2548531.9E-40.00138334158.4224E-40.00104207151.2372622.0E-4
6.72.5902466E-61.5501544E-61.3154995E-484.862491.3E-41.11010095E-56.643502E-61.566425E-423.5783021.5E-41.351464E-48.088166E-52.708663E-43.34892081.9E-40.00135064248.0852525E-40.00100836361.24716392.0E-4
6.82.5853892E-61.5469546E-61.3154675E-485.035951.3E-41.1080193E-56.629789E-61.566288E-423.6250041.5E-41.34893E-48.071472E-52.7069938E-43.35377961.9E-40.00134811148.06857E-40.00100669571.24767542.0E-4
6.92.458257E-61.422029E-61.3142184E-492.418551.3E-41.0535345E-56.0943958E-61.5609348E-425.6126271.5E-41.2826028E-47.419676E-52.6418266E-43.56056881.9E-40.00128186277.4172183E-49.4157347E-41.26944292.0E-4
7.02.4341468E-61.3989927E-61.3139882E-493.923871.3E-41.0432016E-55.9956697E-61.5599477E-426.0179061.5E-41.270024E-47.299485E-52.62981E-43.60273341.9E-40.00126929847.297107E-49.295647E-41.27388122.0E-4
7.12.3652476E-61.3339427E-61.3133377E-498.455331.3E-41.0136736E-55.716885E-61.5571603E-427.2379151.5E-41.2340778E-46.9600865E-52.5958763E-43.7296611.9E-40.00123339266.957924E-48.956532E-41.2872422.0E-4
7.22.272158E-61.2502497E-61.3125008E-4104.97911.3E-49.737784E-65.358202E-61.553574E-428.9943141.5E-41.1855107E-46.523417E-52.5522176E-43.91239381.9E-40.00118487846.5215176E-48.5202133E-41.30647712.0E-4
7.32.1382127E-61.1419382E-61.211418E-4106.084371.2E-49.163737E-64.894012E-61.4489333E-429.6062471.4E-41.1156279E-45.9582977E-52.2957285E-43.8529941.7E-40.0011150685.956712E-47.75564E-41.30200021.8E-4
7.41.9048055E-69.574928E-71.10957386E-4115.8832551.1E-48.163426E-64.103534E-61.34103E-432.679881.3E-49.9385186E-54.995939E-52.099514E-44.2024411.6E-49.934074E-44.9948227E-46.6939736E-41.34018241.7E-4
7.51.5373403E-67.559763E-78.075592E-5106.823348.0E-56.5885843E-63.2398946E-61.03239574E-431.8651031.0E-48.021306E-53.9445007E-51.4944066E-43.78858261.1E-48.0184115E-43.9438053E-45.143332E-41.30415461.2E-4
7.61.0680322E-64.65941E-72.0465932E-543.923872.0E-54.577273E-61.9968884E-64.199681E-521.0311244.0E-55.5726876E-52.4311848E-57.4310636E-53.05656035.0E-55.5712904E-42.4309216E-43.0307757E-41.246766.0E-5
7.75.509146E-71.5578539E-71.01557835E-565.1908651.0E-52.3610605E-66.676515E-71.0667645E-515.9778641.0E-52.8745531E-58.128628E-61.8128547E-52.23020981.0E-52.8741814E-48.128342E-59.128261E-51.12301641.0E-5

San Andreas (Carrizo) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1674632E-42.4324407E-44.132027E-41.69871651.7E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.00125184081.2013142.1E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0128606041.01956962.5E-40.05910160.1206402260.120912831.00225963.1E-4
6.11.1674632E-42.4324407E-44.132027E-41.69871651.7E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.00125184081.2013142.1E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0128606041.01956962.5E-40.05910160.1206402260.120912831.00225963.1E-4
6.21.1674632E-42.4324407E-44.132027E-41.69871651.7E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.00125184081.2013142.1E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0128606041.01956962.5E-40.05910160.1206402260.120912831.00225963.1E-4
6.31.1674632E-42.4324407E-44.132027E-41.69871651.7E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.00125184081.2013142.1E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0128606041.01956962.5E-40.05910160.1206402260.120912831.00225963.1E-4
6.41.1674632E-42.4324407E-44.132027E-41.69871651.7E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.00125184081.2013142.1E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0128606041.01956962.5E-40.05910160.1206402260.120912831.00225963.1E-4
6.51.13136164E-42.3644442E-43.964066E-41.67653181.6E-44.847792E-40.00101294120.00121273871.19724492.0E-40.00588622550.0122632710.0125003281.01933062.4E-40.0573273340.117610080.117865971.00217582.9E-4
6.61.13136164E-42.3644442E-43.964066E-41.67653181.6E-44.847792E-40.00101294120.00121273871.19724492.0E-40.00588622550.0122632710.0125003281.01933062.4E-40.0573273340.117610080.117865971.00217582.9E-4
6.71.1149675E-42.3335687E-43.9331953E-41.68548511.6E-44.777557E-49.997191E-40.00119951911.19985622.0E-40.00580117340.0121040880.0123411841.0195882.4E-40.056520510.11622910.1164853951.0022052.9E-4
6.81.1103589E-42.3237852E-43.9234132E-41.68837181.6E-44.7578133E-49.955293E-40.00119533021.20069812.0E-40.0057772630.0120536430.0122907511.0196712.4E-40.0562935840.115788940.116045361.00221462.9E-4
6.91.1053259E-42.3130233E-43.9126532E-41.69157531.6E-44.7362508E-49.909206E-40.00119072251.20163252.0E-40.00575114970.0119981520.0122352731.01976312.4E-40.056045690.115304450.115561011.0022252.9E-4
7.01.1005377E-42.3031076E-43.9027393E-41.69455351.6E-44.7157376E-49.866742E-40.00118647691.20250122.0E-40.00572630620.0119470210.0121841531.01984872.4E-40.0558097960.114856580.115113271.00223492.9E-4
7.11.0308142E-42.1540876E-43.553786E-41.64978721.4E-44.417027E-49.228548E-40.00110268871.19486691.8E-40.00536447760.0111781880.0113957291.01946122.2E-40.0523681380.108090420.108331241.00222792.7E-4
7.21.0027479E-42.094876E-43.4945828E-41.66815731.4E-44.296783E-48.9749607E-40.00107733451.2003781.8E-40.00521879220.0108725660.0110901741.02001442.2E-40.0509792120.105390860.10563241.00229192.7E-4
7.39.816942E-52.0423878E-43.442102E-41.68533221.4E-44.2065824E-48.7501644E-40.00105485891.20553041.8E-40.0051094930.0106015720.010819241.02053172.2E-40.0499359850.102975460.1032176541.0023522.7E-4
7.49.5634205E-51.9793298E-43.3790528E-41.70717011.4E-44.0979648E-48.4800937E-40.00102785671.21208181.8E-40.00497786370.0102759010.0104936411.02118932.2E-40.0486782530.1000678840.100310861.00242822.7E-4
7.58.052417E-51.6113915E-42.811198E-41.7445781.2E-43.4505792E-46.9041376E-48.5030333E-41.23158511.6E-40.00419299030.0083734710.0085717971.0236852.0E-40.041147530.0828152450.083035371.0026582.4E-4
7.67.897024E-51.5767086E-42.7765194E-41.76095911.2E-43.384E-46.755574E-48.354493E-41.23668151.6E-40.00411223850.008193970.0083923311.02420822.0E-40.0403696970.081158660.081379181.00271712.4E-4
7.76.707427E-51.3277122E-42.0276193E-41.52715277.0E-52.8742946E-45.688955E-46.7883293E-41.19324711.1E-40.0034938390.00690433850.007023511.01726041.2E-40.0343941640.069053390.069202341.00215711.6E-4
7.86.147705E-51.2198445E-41.9197591E-41.57377367.0E-52.6344648E-45.226858E-46.326283E-41.21034151.1E-40.00320274360.0063451560.00646439471.0187921.2E-40.0315697640.06351720.063667041.0023591.6E-4
7.94.7636717E-58.8802946E-51.5879673E-41.78819227.0E-52.0414138E-43.8052857E-44.804905E-41.26269231.0E-40.00248258840.0046231010.0047325931.02368351.1E-40.0245503650.0466293660.0467628351.00286251.4E-4
8.03.3554235E-55.2138024E-51.0213542E-41.9589435.0E-51.4379594E-42.2342955E-42.8341616E-41.2684816.0E-50.00174930970.0027168630.00277671.02202436.0E-50.0173560340.0278819050.0279499531.00244067.0E-5
8.11.9175432E-51.9183564E-52.9183373E-51.52126961.0E-58.217783E-58.221269E-51.02211045E-41.24325142.0E-50.00100005580.00100048050.00102046051.01997042.0E-50.0099556730.0107577710.0107775561.00183922.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6204086E-42.937271E-44.3368596E-41.47649291.4E-46.94276E-40.00125837780.00141817651.12698781.6E-40.0084200970.01523461750.0154611141.01486722.3E-40.0810811450.139624540.139865441.00172542.8E-4
6.11.6204086E-42.937271E-44.3368596E-41.47649291.4E-46.94276E-40.00125837780.00141817651.12698781.6E-40.0084200970.01523461750.0154611141.01486722.3E-40.0810811450.139624540.139865441.00172542.8E-4
6.21.6204086E-42.937271E-44.3368596E-41.47649291.4E-46.94276E-40.00125837780.00141817651.12698781.6E-40.0084200970.01523461750.0154611141.01486722.3E-40.0810811450.139624540.139865441.00172542.8E-4
6.31.0111737E-41.7703463E-42.6701868E-41.50828529.0E-54.332882E-47.5861585E-48.685324E-41.14489091.1E-40.0052625310.00921772050.0093663381.0161231.5E-40.05139640.087073930.087247391.00199211.9E-4
6.41.0111737E-41.7703463E-42.6701868E-41.50828529.0E-54.332882E-47.5861585E-48.685324E-41.14489091.1E-40.0052625310.00921772050.0093663381.0161231.5E-40.05139640.087073930.087247391.00199211.9E-4
6.53.6624708E-54.6391986E-57.639059E-51.64663343.0E-51.569536E-41.9880968E-42.288037E-41.1508683.0E-50.0019092350.00241818140.00244810871.01237613.0E-50.018929150.0236970610.0237361141.0016484.0E-5
6.62.5051324E-52.6147465E-54.6146943E-51.76487262.0E-51.073584E-41.12056E-41.3205376E-41.17846212.0E-50.00130630470.00136347250.00138344521.01464842.0E-50.0129865250.0135657590.0135953531.00218143.0E-5
6.72.2189772E-52.2072489E-54.207205E-51.90608532.0E-59.509556E-59.459316E-51.1459127E-41.21141182.0E-50.00115717340.00115109960.00117107661.01735472.0E-50.0115116630.01146632250.0114959791.00258643.0E-5
6.81.6654378E-51.44376E-53.443731E-52.38525182.0E-57.137396E-56.187399E-58.187275E-51.32321762.0E-58.686314E-47.5306057E-47.730455E-41.02653832.0E-50.0086524390.00751007630.0075398511.00396473.0E-5
6.91.5042909E-51.2331886E-52.2331762E-51.8108961.0E-56.446802E-55.2849886E-56.284936E-51.18920521.0E-57.8461546E-46.4326054E-46.532541E-41.01553581.0E-50.0078185090.0064179250.00643779661.00309622.0E-5
7.01.4361385E-51.1451172E-52.1451058E-51.87326311.0E-56.154734E-54.9075545E-55.9075053E-51.20375751.0E-57.490812E-45.973339E-46.073279E-41.0167311.0E-50.0074656120.0059609820.0059808631.00333512.0E-5
7.11.3265571E-51.0244736E-51.0244736E-51.00.05.6851208E-54.3905282E-54.3905282E-51.00.06.919436E-45.344183E-45.344183E-41.00.00.0068979310.00533460030.00533460031.00.0
7.21.1596403E-58.504847E-68.504847E-61.00.04.9697923E-53.6448844E-53.6448844E-51.00.06.049042E-44.4367602E-44.4367602E-41.00.00.0060326030.0044293570.0044293571.00.0
7.31.0150827E-57.238537E-67.238537E-61.00.04.3502816E-53.102194E-53.102194E-51.00.05.2951806E-43.776281E-43.776281E-41.00.00.0052825810.0037702710.0037702711.00.0
7.49.080705E-66.352307E-66.352307E-61.00.03.8916725E-52.7223898E-52.7223898E-51.00.04.7370812E-43.314019E-43.314019E-41.00.00.0047269960.00330922570.00330922571.00.0
7.57.671649E-65.225419E-65.225419E-61.00.03.287808E-52.2394468E-52.2394468E-51.00.04.0021708E-42.7261977E-42.7261977E-41.00.00.00399497060.00272297840.00272297841.00.0
7.66.990086E-64.687336E-64.687336E-61.00.02.9957167E-52.0088435E-52.0088435E-51.00.03.6466747E-42.445504E-42.445504E-41.00.00.00364069640.00244292920.00244292921.00.0
7.74.163505E-62.329331E-62.329331E-61.00.01.7843471E-59.982813E-69.982813E-61.00.02.172226E-41.2153471E-41.2153471E-41.00.00.00217010380.00121475550.00121475551.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.384417E-89.384417E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0218927E-74.0218927E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8966467E-64.8966467E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8965718E-54.8965718E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4397174E-93.4397174E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4741646E-81.4741646E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.7947953E-71.7947953E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.794794E-61.794794E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (San Bernardino)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.409352E-53.598562E-52.6597735E-47.3912122.3E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-44.0417642E-42.62086372.5E-40.00177740.00187595210.00214544571.1436572.7E-40.017632510.0193499920.0196245741.01419032.8E-4
6.13.409352E-53.598562E-52.6597735E-47.3912122.3E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-44.0417642E-42.62086372.5E-40.00177740.00187595210.00214544571.1436572.7E-40.017632510.0193499920.0196245741.01419032.8E-4
6.23.409352E-53.598562E-52.6597735E-47.3912122.3E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-44.0417642E-42.62086372.5E-40.00177740.00187595210.00214544571.1436572.7E-40.017632510.0193499920.0196245741.01419032.8E-4
6.33.409352E-53.598562E-52.6597735E-47.3912122.3E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-44.0417642E-42.62086372.5E-40.00177740.00187595210.00214544571.1436572.7E-40.017632510.0193499920.0196245741.01419032.8E-4
6.43.400795E-53.5878285E-52.6587004E-47.4103332.3E-41.4574021E-41.5375503E-44.0371658E-42.6257132.5E-40.00177294280.00187036190.00213985681.14408712.7E-40.0175886450.0192950740.0195696731.01423142.8E-4
6.53.341482E-53.5138914E-52.551312E-47.2606452.2E-41.4319851E-41.5058667E-43.9055053E-42.59352662.4E-40.00174204770.00183185220.00209137591.14167282.6E-40.0172845460.0189166160.0191815091.01400322.7E-4
6.63.3364955E-53.5076133E-52.5506841E-47.2718512.2E-41.4298483E-41.5031763E-43.9028155E-42.5963792.4E-40.00173945010.00182858230.0020881071.14192662.6E-40.0172589760.018884480.0191493821.01402752.7E-4
6.73.335922E-53.5065907E-52.550582E-47.273682.2E-41.4296026E-41.5027382E-43.9023775E-42.59684472.4E-40.00173915140.00182804970.00208757451.14196812.6E-40.0172560350.0188792720.0191441741.01403142.7E-4
6.83.327683E-53.4959972E-52.549523E-47.2926912.2E-41.4260718E-41.4981985E-43.897839E-42.60168392.4E-40.00173485970.0018225320.00208205821.14239872.6E-40.0172137840.0188250450.0190899611.01407252.7E-4
6.93.3235785E-53.4900928E-52.5489324E-47.30333762.2E-41.4243131E-41.4956683E-43.8953093E-42.6043942.4E-40.00173272170.00181945670.00207898371.14263982.6E-40.0171927340.0187949110.0190598371.01409552.7E-4
7.03.3197095E-53.4840854E-52.548332E-47.31420562.2E-41.422655E-41.4930942E-43.8927357E-42.60716032.4E-40.00173070630.00181632780.00207585561.14288592.6E-40.0171728940.018764290.0190292221.0141192.7E-4
7.13.3129716E-53.4721066E-52.5471344E-47.33599142.2E-41.4197677E-41.4879608E-43.8876038E-42.61270572.4E-40.00172719660.00181008840.00206961791.14337942.6E-40.0171383380.0187033660.0189683161.01416592.7E-4
7.23.3034008E-53.4588513E-52.545809E-47.36027342.2E-41.4156665E-41.4822806E-43.8819248E-42.61888672.4E-40.00172221110.00180318430.00206271541.14392942.6E-40.0170892530.018635750.0189007191.01421832.7E-4
7.33.2956614E-53.4456265E-52.5444868E-47.38468552.2E-41.4123498E-41.4766137E-43.876259E-42.62510062.4E-40.00171817960.00179629610.00205582921.14448232.6E-40.0170495570.0185684950.0188334831.01427082.7E-4
7.43.2915937E-53.4377957E-52.543704E-47.3992292.2E-41.4106068E-41.473258E-43.8729043E-42.62880252.4E-40.00171606080.00179221730.00205175141.14481172.6E-40.0170286930.0185287690.0187937651.01430192.7E-4
7.53.281791E-53.424287E-52.5423535E-47.4244752.2E-41.406406E-41.4674691E-43.867117E-42.63522892.4E-40.00171095420.00178518090.00204471681.14538352.6E-40.0169784110.0184596520.0187246691.01435652.7E-4
7.63.2521442E-53.396782E-52.5396034E-47.47649862.2E-41.3937015E-41.4556825E-43.8553332E-42.6484712.4E-40.00169551090.00177085420.00203039381.14656172.6E-40.0168263280.0183172950.018582351.01447022.7E-4
7.73.0287873E-53.245191E-52.5244476E-47.7790422.2E-41.297987E-41.3907222E-43.7903883E-42.72548222.4E-40.00157915370.00169189030.00195145041.15341422.6E-40.015679790.0175281990.0177934671.01513372.7E-4
7.82.6316151E-52.9662837E-52.3965661E-48.0793562.1E-41.1277862E-41.2712025E-43.5709102E-42.80908042.3E-40.00137221490.00154659130.00179620461.16139582.5E-40.0136377240.0160698780.01632571.01591932.6E-4
7.92.0761147E-52.3417291E-52.1341284E-49.1134731.9E-48.897331E-51.0035596E-43.003359E-42.9927062.0E-40.00108271170.00122114980.00144088121.17993812.2E-40.0107745170.0127932720.0130203291.01774822.3E-4
8.01.5738568E-51.6032505E-51.4603042E-49.1083971.3E-46.744926E-56.8708934E-52.0869932E-43.03744081.4E-48.2088535E-48.3621085E-49.760938E-41.16728191.4E-40.0081785960.0088657410.0090144111.0167691.5E-4
8.11.0105832E-58.329479E-63.8329228E-54.6016363.0E-54.3309992E-53.569728E-56.569621E-51.84037023.0E-55.2717153E-44.3452822E-44.6451518E-41.06901043.0E-50.0052592270.00467687940.0047067391.00638453.0E-5
8.24.189207E-61.577699E-61.577699E-61.00.01.7953622E-56.7615497E-66.7615497E-61.00.02.1856341E-48.231879E-58.231879E-51.00.00.00218348589.562628E-49.562628E-41.00.0
8.31.2758221E-63.612677E-73.612677E-71.00.05.4677976E-61.5482892E-61.5482892E-61.00.06.65684E-51.8850264E-51.8850264E-51.00.06.6548464E-42.2739546E-42.2739546E-41.00.0

Cady

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9892565E-52.1858728E-51.6185567E-47.4046241.4E-48.525106E-59.3677416E-52.4366337E-42.60108971.5E-40.00103743740.00114001670.00130982291.14895061.7E-40.0103260750.0113507010.0116176351.02351712.7E-4
6.11.9892565E-52.1858728E-51.6185567E-47.4046241.4E-48.525106E-59.3677416E-52.4366337E-42.60108971.5E-40.00103743740.00114001670.00130982291.14895061.7E-40.0103260750.0113507010.0116176351.02351712.7E-4
6.21.9892565E-52.1858728E-51.6185567E-47.4046241.4E-48.525106E-59.3677416E-52.4366337E-42.60108971.5E-40.00103743740.00114001670.00130982291.14895061.7E-40.0103260750.0113507010.0116176351.02351712.7E-4
6.31.1117327E-51.2176583E-58.2175735E-56.7486697.0E-54.764482E-55.2184492E-51.3218031E-42.53294258.0E-55.7992124E-46.351925E-47.35129E-41.15733251.0E-40.00578410220.00633687530.00649586131.0250891.6E-4
6.41.1117327E-51.2176583E-58.2175735E-56.7486697.0E-54.764482E-55.2184492E-51.3218031E-42.53294258.0E-55.7992124E-46.351925E-47.35129E-41.15733251.0E-40.00578410220.00633687530.00649586131.0250891.6E-4
6.56.103093E-66.672021E-62.6671887E-53.99757272.0E-52.615585E-52.8594131E-55.8593272E-52.04913643.0E-53.1840094E-43.480905E-43.880766E-41.11487274.0E-50.00317945120.00347668650.00352651281.01433155.0E-5
6.65.817237E-66.3656585E-62.6365531E-54.14183862.0E-52.4930776E-52.728118E-55.7280362E-52.09962923.0E-53.034899E-43.3211018E-43.720969E-41.1204024.0E-50.00303075770.00331736050.00336719471.01502235.0E-5
6.74.8846314E-65.3405684E-65.3405684E-61.00.02.0933967E-52.2888014E-53.2887787E-51.43689991.0E-52.5484123E-42.7863772E-42.9863216E-41.07175782.0E-50.00254549180.00278403910.00281395551.01074583.0E-5
6.81.7788773E-61.9399079E-61.9399079E-61.00.07.6237375E-68.313874E-68.313874E-61.00.09.281505E-51.01218284E-41.01218284E-41.00.09.2776294E-40.00101187650.00101187651.00.0
6.97.5455404E-78.297092E-78.297092E-71.00.03.233799E-63.5558937E-63.5558937E-61.00.03.937079E-54.3292483E-54.3292483E-51.00.03.9363815E-44.3287344E-44.3287344E-41.00.0
7.06.8578805E-77.541816E-77.541816E-71.00.02.9390883E-63.2322048E-63.2322048E-61.00.03.578281E-53.9351715E-53.9351715E-51.00.03.577705E-43.9347992E-43.9347992E-41.00.0

Ludlow

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2407607E-52.3657254E-51.6365394E-46.91770651.4E-49.602906E-51.0138454E-42.7136732E-42.67661431.7E-40.00116852670.0012337020.00145343051.17810512.2E-40.0116240130.0122730420.0125397291.02172952.7E-4
6.12.2407607E-52.3657254E-51.6365394E-46.91770651.4E-49.602906E-51.0138454E-42.7136732E-42.67661431.7E-40.00116852670.0012337020.00145343051.17810512.2E-40.0116240130.0122730420.0125397291.02172952.7E-4
6.21.0781252E-51.1365663E-57.136498E-56.27899846.0E-54.620455E-54.8709102E-51.287052E-42.64232358.0E-55.623952E-45.9287593E-47.0281076E-41.18542621.1E-40.005609740.00591336140.00604259271.02185421.3E-4
6.31.0781252E-51.1365663E-57.136498E-56.27899846.0E-54.620455E-54.8709102E-51.287052E-42.64232358.0E-55.623952E-45.9287593E-47.0281076E-41.18542621.1E-40.005609740.00591336140.00604259271.02185421.3E-4
6.47.814439E-68.237729E-64.8237398E-55.8556674.0E-53.3490025E-53.530408E-59.530196E-52.69946036.0E-54.0766477E-44.2974384E-45.0970947E-41.18607748.0E-50.00406917740.00428927460.00438884551.0232141.0E-4
6.56.4986366E-66.85092E-63.6850714E-55.37894443.0E-52.7851002E-52.9360759E-56.935959E-52.36232264.0E-53.390332E-43.5740953E-44.1738807E-41.16781466.0E-50.0033851640.00356844320.00363819351.01954647.0E-5
6.65.582177E-65.8860055E-63.588583E-56.0968053.0E-52.3923398E-52.5225498E-56.522449E-52.58565714.0E-52.9122844E-43.0707786E-43.5706253E-41.16277525.0E-50.00290847060.0030666090.0031264251.01950566.0E-5
6.74.6858763E-64.940427E-63.494028E-57.07231953.0E-52.0082172E-52.1173091E-56.117224E-52.88915044.0E-52.4447302E-42.5775246E-43.0773957E-41.19393465.0E-50.00244204230.00257459120.00263443681.02324466.0E-5
6.83.5584908E-63.7520183E-62.3751943E-56.33044432.0E-51.5250586E-51.6079981E-54.6079498E-52.86564373.0E-51.8566006E-41.957566E-42.3574877E-41.20429544.0E-50.00185505020.00195588260.0020057851.02551395.0E-5
6.92.532834E-62.6710034E-61.26709765E-54.74390131.0E-51.0854958E-51.1447109E-53.144688E-52.74714612.0E-51.3215111E-41.3935992E-41.6935574E-41.21523993.0E-50.00132072540.00139275290.00143269721.02868014.0E-5
7.01.7083285E-61.8019439E-61.8019439E-61.00.07.3213873E-67.722595E-67.722595E-61.00.08.913424E-59.40187E-59.40187E-51.00.08.9098496E-49.3980576E-49.4979635E-41.01063051.0E-5
7.11.0905424E-61.1497619E-61.1497619E-61.00.04.6737446E-64.9275427E-64.9275427E-61.00.05.6901354E-55.999128E-55.999128E-51.00.05.6886784E-45.997606E-46.0975464E-41.01666331.0E-5
7.26.06668E-76.387277E-76.387277E-71.00.02.600003E-62.7374022E-62.7374022E-61.00.03.1654577E-53.3327433E-53.3327433E-51.00.03.1650066E-43.3323118E-43.4322785E-41.02999931.0E-5

Red Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.258278E-68.551265E-61.3855015E-416.20231.3E-43.539214E-53.6647863E-52.1664127E-45.91142941.8E-44.308141E-44.4611428E-46.7601167E-41.51533292.3E-40.00429979850.0044539450.0047028311.05588012.5E-4
6.13.649988E-63.7753161E-66.377509E-516.8926496.0E-51.5642712E-51.6179853E-58.617872E-55.3262987.0E-51.9043336E-41.9697666E-42.8695894E-41.45681699.0E-50.00190270260.0019684880.0020583111.04563039.0E-5
6.23.649988E-63.7753161E-66.377509E-516.8926496.0E-51.5642712E-51.6179853E-58.617872E-55.3262987.0E-51.9043336E-41.9697666E-42.8695894E-41.45681699.0E-50.00190270260.0019684880.0020583111.04563039.0E-5
6.31.3924937E-61.4411166E-65.1441046E-535.6952675.0E-55.9678164E-66.1762075E-65.6175897E-59.0955335.0E-57.265574E-57.519415E-51.3518964E-41.79787456.0E-57.263199E-47.518258E-48.117807E-41.07974586.0E-5
6.41.3924937E-61.4411166E-65.1441046E-535.6952675.0E-55.9678164E-66.1762075E-65.6175897E-59.0955335.0E-57.265574E-57.519415E-51.3518964E-41.79787456.0E-57.263199E-47.518258E-48.117807E-41.07974586.0E-5
6.59.876812E-71.0221912E-64.102215E-540.131584.0E-54.2329125E-64.3808195E-64.4380646E-510.13067154.0E-55.153449E-55.3336476E-59.333435E-51.74991584.0E-55.1522546E-45.333648E-45.733434E-41.07495564.0E-5

San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.986481E-40.00122759290.00133745791.08949631.1E-40.00256311240.0052455470.00537486471.0246531.3E-40.0307628460.061204910.0613738931.00276091.8E-40.268354770.425934940.426066961.000312.3E-4
6.15.015945E-40.00102179860.00110171681.07821338.0E-50.002147920.00436785960.00446742261.02279451.0E-40.0258393510.051248370.051390681.0027771.5E-40.230327760.372856680.372975831.00031961.9E-4
6.24.073338E-48.1073755E-48.906727E-41.09859568.0E-50.00174454840.00346714770.00356680081.02874221.0E-40.0210340580.040933170.0410674361.00328021.4E-40.191507820.313033460.31315711.0003951.8E-4
6.33.464099E-46.7391695E-47.53863E-41.1186298.0E-50.00148376920.00288295930.00298267111.03458651.0E-40.0179158730.0341895820.0343247951.00395481.4E-40.165383590.27131660.271447751.00048341.8E-4
6.42.935057E-45.5442745E-46.3438306E-41.1442138.0E-50.00125727510.00237253630.00247229921.04204891.0E-40.0152002480.028264510.0284005531.00481321.4E-40.142015770.232985290.233123351.00059261.8E-4
6.52.3409708E-44.2093755E-45.009039E-41.18997198.0E-50.00100288750.00180196840.00190178831.05539491.0E-40.0121419650.0215874610.021724441.00634531.4E-40.114995730.186823680.186970061.00078341.8E-4
6.61.5842178E-42.506933E-43.2067575E-41.27915567.0E-56.7877385E-40.00107394970.00116385311.08371289.0E-50.00823280.0129955750.0131041451.00835441.1E-40.079343960.123146380.123277911.00106811.5E-4
6.71.5616413E-42.4605883E-43.160416E-41.28441487.0E-56.691031E-40.00105410690.0011440121.08529039.0E-50.00811594350.012757440.0128561641.00773861.0E-40.07825860.121173510.121296551.00101541.4E-4
6.81.5538467E-42.4429744E-43.1428036E-41.2864667.0E-56.6576427E-40.00104656450.00113647041.08590579.0E-50.0080755960.0126668380.0127655721.00779461.0E-40.077883580.1204043550.12052751.00102271.4E-4
6.91.5153569E-42.3539034E-43.0537386E-41.29730847.0E-56.49277E-40.00100842760.00109833691.08915789.0E-50.0078763330.012209010.012307791.00809061.0E-40.076029520.116474450.1165981441.0010621.4E-4
7.01.4588932E-42.2396253E-42.9394685E-41.31248227.0E-56.250901E-49.5948833E-40.00104940191.093719.0E-50.00758394740.0116196970.0117185351.00850611.0E-40.0733028950.111320460.111444871.00111761.4E-4
7.11.1565079E-41.6281738E-42.3280598E-41.42985957.0E-54.955521E-46.9760304E-47.875402E-41.12892329.0E-50.0060166690.00846044350.0085595971.01171971.0E-40.0585635380.083670460.0837987441.00153331.4E-4
7.21.0393792E-41.4615769E-42.1614745E-41.47886487.0E-54.4537216E-46.2624045E-47.161841E-41.14362489.0E-50.0054089330.00759799270.0076972331.01306141.0E-40.0527915950.075619690.075749111.00171141.4E-4
7.39.332884E-51.2780898E-41.9780004E-41.54762237.0E-53.999194E-45.4763845E-46.3758914E-41.1642529.0E-50.00485815340.0066472490.0067465841.01494381.0E-40.0475331020.066483260.066613951.00196581.4E-4
7.48.670252E-51.17032345E-41.8702415E-41.59805527.0E-53.715293E-45.0147134E-45.914262E-41.17938189.0E-50.0045139910.0060884430.00618783431.01632451.0E-40.0442339370.0611516420.061283081.00214931.4E-4
7.57.3036405E-59.005856E-51.4005406E-41.55514435.0E-53.129756E-43.8590826E-44.5588124E-41.18132037.0E-50.00380382170.00468833230.0047679571.01698368.0E-50.037393670.0478777920.0479825251.00218751.1E-4
7.66.3935775E-58.280385E-51.327997E-41.60378675.0E-52.7398168E-43.5482543E-44.248006E-41.19721017.0E-50.00333062540.0043114610.0043911161.01847528.0E-50.0328114740.043992010.044097171.00239051.1E-4
7.75.5050095E-56.6618326E-51.0661566E-41.60039534.0E-52.3590765E-42.854759E-43.4545877E-41.21011536.0E-50.00286839270.0034701340.0035398911.02010217.0E-50.02831650.0357962140.035892631.00269351.0E-4
7.85.027131E-56.162871E-51.0162624E-41.64900824.0E-52.1543067E-42.640963E-43.2408047E-41.22712986.0E-50.00261971350.0032106350.00328041031.02173267.0E-50.0258904530.033126660.0332233461.00291871.0E-4
7.93.7271806E-55.022507E-59.022306E-51.7963754.0E-51.5972654E-42.1523255E-42.7521962E-41.27870826.0E-50.00194293590.0026173090.0026871261.0266757.0E-50.0192603620.0270674660.0271550291.0032359.0E-5
8.02.7310243E-53.1427757E-57.14265E-52.27272034.0E-51.17038646E-41.3468343E-41.8467671E-41.37119095.0E-50.00142401410.00163853830.00168845641.0304655.0E-50.0141492350.017213860.0172728281.00342566.0E-5
8.11.7940547E-51.7399378E-52.7399203E-51.57472321.0E-57.688579E-57.456663E-59.456514E-51.26819652.0E-59.3568244E-49.074711E-49.27453E-41.02201932.0E-50.0093175250.0097986360.0098184391.00202112.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.872328E-54.7265705E-51.7725956E-43.75027871.3E-41.6594635E-42.0255324E-43.425249E-41.69103621.4E-40.00201852460.00246356060.00264311721.07288491.8E-40.020002880.0243883380.0245932151.00840072.1E-4
6.13.872328E-54.7265705E-51.7725956E-43.75027871.3E-41.6594635E-42.0255324E-43.425249E-41.69103621.4E-40.00201852460.00246356060.00264311721.07288491.8E-40.020002880.0243883380.0245932151.00840072.1E-4
6.23.872328E-54.7265705E-51.7725956E-43.75027871.3E-41.6594635E-42.0255324E-43.425249E-41.69103621.4E-40.00201852460.00246356060.00264311721.07288491.8E-40.020002880.0243883380.0245932151.00840072.1E-4
6.32.8356371E-53.360979E-51.6360542E-44.86779071.3E-41.2152165E-41.4403443E-42.8401427E-41.97184981.4E-40.00147852190.00175227880.00193196341.10254341.8E-40.0146872350.0173918160.0175981631.01186472.1E-4
6.42.8356371E-53.360979E-51.6360542E-44.86779071.3E-41.2152165E-41.4403443E-42.8401427E-41.97184981.4E-40.00147852190.00175227880.00193196341.10254341.8E-40.0146872350.0173918160.0175981631.01186472.1E-4
6.52.4448687E-52.8607585E-51.5860387E-45.54411941.3E-41.0477588E-41.2259845E-42.6258128E-42.14179941.4E-40.00127489980.00149166160.00167139321.12049081.8E-40.0126761050.0148213920.0150282791.01395872.1E-4
6.62.1298161E-52.4660083E-51.5465688E-46.27154731.3E-49.127464E-51.0568197E-42.4566718E-42.32458931.4E-40.00111070220.00128595120.00146571981.13979421.8E-40.0110516720.012788530.0129958451.01621092.1E-4
6.71.8959729E-52.1781027E-51.517782E-46.96836761.3E-48.125345E-59.334406E-52.33331E-42.49968771.4E-49.888117E-40.0011358970.00131569261.1582851.8E-40.0098442340.011303570.0115111961.01836822.1E-4
6.81.6691629E-51.9018351E-51.4901588E-47.8353731.3E-47.153359E-58.150477E-52.2149336E-42.71755081.4E-48.7057345E-49.918857E-40.00116171711.17122071.7E-40.0086717080.0098763430.0100743691.02005042.0E-4
6.91.450505E-51.638954E-51.3638758E-48.3216231.2E-46.216302E-57.0239046E-52.0022992E-42.85069251.3E-47.5657194E-48.5483363E-40.00101469691.18701091.6E-40.0075400130.0085163860.0087047681.02211991.9E-4
7.01.2940855E-51.4537972E-51.3453623E-49.2541271.2E-45.545963E-56.230414E-51.9229604E-43.08640891.3E-46.750118E-47.5829466E-49.1817335E-41.21083971.6E-40.0067296510.00755768970.0077462541.02494991.9E-4
7.11.2544658E-51.4078208E-51.3407652E-49.5236921.2E-45.3761712E-56.0333812E-51.9032597E-43.15454911.3E-46.5435225E-47.343222E-48.942047E-41.2177281.6E-40.0065242880.0073195510.007508161.02576791.9E-4
7.21.2489416E-51.4015674E-51.3401399E-49.5617231.2E-45.3524967E-56.0065824E-51.9005801E-43.16416241.3E-46.514716E-47.310616E-48.909447E-41.21869981.6E-40.0064956510.00728715960.0074757751.02588331.9E-4
7.31.2368307E-51.3879812E-51.3387814E-49.645531.2E-45.3005948E-55.9483587E-51.8947585E-43.18534681.3E-46.451563E-47.2397763E-48.838618E-41.22084131.6E-40.00643286530.0072167820.00740541051.02613751.9E-4
7.41.2161707E-51.36478675E-51.3364623E-49.7924621.2E-45.212056E-55.8489582E-51.8848198E-43.2224881.3E-46.3438306E-47.118836E-48.717697E-41.22459591.6E-40.0063257510.00709662070.00728527221.02658331.9E-4
7.51.1707948E-51.3145515E-51.3314394E-410.12846851.2E-45.0175953E-55.6336736E-51.8632942E-43.30742291.3E-46.10721E-46.856895E-48.455798E-41.23318171.6E-40.00609045340.0068363210.00702502251.02760271.9E-4
7.61.0319538E-51.1579622E-51.3157823E-411.3629121.2E-44.4225842E-54.9626036E-51.7961959E-43.61946251.3E-45.383166E-46.040347E-47.6393806E-41.26472541.6E-40.00537014430.00602446030.00621331581.03134811.9E-4
7.78.937764E-61.0022779E-51.2002168E-411.974891.1E-43.830414E-54.295409E-51.6294894E-43.79356051.2E-44.6625308E-45.228456E-46.727672E-41.28674161.5E-40.00465276050.0052166640.00538577741.03241791.7E-4
7.83.108007E-73.284654E-73.284654E-71.00.01.3320023E-61.407708E-61.407708E-61.00.01.6217007E-51.7138715E-51.7138715E-51.00.01.6215823E-41.7137431E-41.7137431E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

Manix-Afton Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3783202E-51.47110895E-51.2470948E-48.4772421.1E-45.906953E-56.30461E-51.9303791E-43.06185321.3E-47.189342E-47.6733343E-49.37203E-41.22137641.7E-40.00716612770.0076485960.0078569891.0272462.1E-4
6.11.3783202E-51.47110895E-51.2470948E-48.4772421.1E-45.906953E-56.30461E-51.9303791E-43.06185321.3E-47.189342E-47.6733343E-49.37203E-41.22137641.7E-40.00716612770.0076485960.0078569891.0272462.1E-4
6.21.3783202E-51.47110895E-51.2470948E-48.4772421.1E-45.906953E-56.30461E-51.9303791E-43.06185321.3E-47.189342E-47.6733343E-49.37203E-41.22137641.7E-40.00716612770.0076485960.0078569891.0272462.1E-4
6.31.10494875E-51.1793136E-51.0179207E-48.6314689.0E-54.7354086E-55.054109E-51.5053604E-42.97848821.0E-45.763835E-46.151744E-47.550883E-41.22743771.4E-40.0057489080.00613575570.00630471251.02753641.7E-4
6.41.10494875E-51.1793136E-51.0179207E-48.6314689.0E-54.7354086E-55.054109E-51.5053604E-42.97848821.0E-45.763835E-46.151744E-47.550883E-41.22743771.4E-40.0057489080.00613575570.00630471251.02753641.7E-4
6.59.788949E-61.045432E-58.045359E-57.6957277.0E-54.1951964E-54.480351E-51.2479993E-42.78549438.0E-55.1064545E-45.453555E-46.6529005E-41.21991991.2E-40.00509473630.00544109850.0055803371.02559011.4E-4
6.68.810006E-69.4136285E-66.9413065E-57.3736786.0E-53.775662E-54.0343548E-51.1034072E-42.73502787.0E-54.5958988E-44.9108086E-45.9103174E-41.20353251.0E-40.00458640560.0049008390.0050202511.02436551.2E-4
6.78.80128E-69.404108E-66.940354E-57.38013036.0E-53.7719226E-54.0302748E-51.1029992E-42.73678427.0E-54.591348E-44.9058435E-45.905353E-41.20373861.0E-40.0045818740.00489589570.00501530851.02439031.2E-4
6.86.8994877E-67.380076E-66.737963E-59.1299376.0E-52.9568899E-53.162856E-59.1626665E-52.89695986.0E-53.5994186E-43.8501783E-44.749832E-41.23366539.0E-50.0035935940.00384431290.003953891.02850371.1E-4
6.94.9328037E-65.2709615E-65.52707E-510.4858865.0E-52.1140417E-52.2589675E-57.258855E-53.21335085.0E-52.5735417E-42.7500073E-43.4498147E-41.25447487.0E-50.00257056350.00274720950.00282698961.02904058.0E-5
7.03.347973E-63.59003E-62.3589959E-56.57096432.0E-51.4348378E-51.5385775E-53.5385467E-52.2998822.0E-51.746775E-41.8730981E-42.2730233E-41.21350994.0E-50.00174540250.00187192190.0019118471.02132844.0E-5
7.11.2073567E-61.293482E-61.12934695E-58.731061.0E-55.1743755E-65.543492E-61.5543437E-52.80390721.0E-56.29962E-56.749156E-57.7490884E-51.14815661.0E-56.297835E-46.7487074E-46.84864E-41.01480771.0E-5

San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.652694E-53.4401106E-52.0439526E-45.94153171.7E-41.5653463E-41.4742499E-43.2739845E-42.220781.8E-40.00190414310.00179342330.00198308261.10575261.9E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0187225961.01059542.0E-4
6.13.652694E-53.4401106E-52.0439526E-45.94153171.7E-41.5653463E-41.4742499E-43.2739845E-42.220781.8E-40.00190414310.00179342330.00198308261.10575261.9E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0187225961.01059542.0E-4
6.23.652694E-53.4401106E-52.0439526E-45.94153171.7E-41.5653463E-41.4742499E-43.2739845E-42.220781.8E-40.00190414310.00179342330.00198308261.10575261.9E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0187225961.01059542.0E-4
6.33.652694E-53.4401106E-52.0439526E-45.94153171.7E-41.5653463E-41.4742499E-43.2739845E-42.220781.8E-40.00190414310.00179342330.00198308261.10575261.9E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0187225961.01059542.0E-4
6.43.646941E-53.432268E-52.0431685E-45.9528231.7E-41.5628811E-41.4708891E-43.2706244E-42.22356961.8E-40.00190114680.00178933890.00197899881.10599451.9E-40.0188496450.0184861810.0186824851.01061892.0E-4
6.53.646941E-53.432268E-52.0431685E-45.9528231.7E-41.5628811E-41.4708891E-43.2706244E-42.22356961.8E-40.00190114680.00178933890.00197899881.10599451.9E-40.0188496450.0184861810.0186824851.01061892.0E-4
6.63.6442503E-53.4286066E-52.0428024E-45.95811221.7E-41.561728E-41.4693203E-43.2690557E-42.22487641.8E-40.00189974550.0017874320.00197709241.10610771.9E-40.0188358690.018467450.0186637571.01062992.0E-4
6.73.6432113E-53.427164E-52.0426582E-45.96019941.7E-41.5612828E-41.4687021E-43.268438E-42.22539191.8E-40.00189920440.00178668070.00197634121.10615241.9E-40.0188305490.0184600740.0186563821.01063422.0E-4
6.83.6409598E-53.4240697E-52.0423488E-45.9646821.7E-41.560318E-41.4673761E-43.267112E-42.22649931.8E-40.00189803180.00178506890.00197472981.10624851.9E-40.0188190230.0184442290.018640541.01064352.0E-4
6.93.638078E-53.4201123E-52.0419531E-45.97042751.7E-41.5590832E-41.4656801E-43.2654163E-42.22791891.8E-40.00189653110.00178300750.00197266881.10637151.9E-40.0188042690.0184239630.0186202791.01065542.0E-4
7.03.6294874E-53.408314E-52.0407734E-45.9876331.7E-41.5554018E-41.4606243E-43.2603616E-42.23216961.8E-40.00189205690.00177686230.00196652461.10674011.9E-40.0187602840.0183635450.0185598711.01069122.0E-4
7.13.6260717E-53.403942E-52.0403364E-45.99403951.7E-41.5539382E-41.4587509E-43.2584884E-42.23375231.8E-40.0018902780.00177458510.0019642481.10687731.9E-40.0187427960.0183411390.0185374711.01070442.0E-4
7.23.6210204E-53.397364E-52.0396787E-46.00370931.7E-41.5517735E-41.455932E-43.25567E-42.23614141.8E-40.0018876470.00177115880.00196082211.10708441.9E-40.018716930.0183074080.0185037461.01072452.0E-4
7.33.6119454E-53.386193E-52.0385617E-46.02021741.7E-41.5478847E-41.4511449E-43.2508836E-42.24021981.8E-40.00188292060.00176533980.00195500441.1074381.9E-40.0186704620.018249960.018446311.01075892.0E-4
7.43.607848E-53.380943E-52.0380368E-46.0280131.7E-41.5461289E-41.4488952E-43.2486345E-42.2421461.8E-40.00188078660.00176260520.00195227031.1076051.9E-40.0186494810.0182229560.018419311.01077522.0E-4
7.53.5856774E-53.3619202E-52.0361348E-46.05646371.7E-41.5366284E-41.4407437E-43.2404842E-42.24917481.8E-40.00186923960.00175269670.00194236371.10821441.9E-40.0185359440.0181240570.0183204321.0108352.0E-4
7.63.286655E-53.2142278E-52.0213681E-46.28881451.7E-41.4084904E-41.3774536E-43.1772055E-42.3065791.8E-40.0017134880.00167576170.00186544331.11319121.9E-40.0170033610.0173438040.0175403341.01133142.0E-4
7.72.8882527E-52.9235205E-51.9923023E-46.81473731.7E-41.237764E-41.2528773E-43.0526516E-42.4365131.8E-40.00150593570.00152431180.00171402211.12445641.9E-40.0149577130.0158303380.0160271711.0124342.0E-4
7.82.4950225E-52.6526219E-51.8652198E-47.0316081.6E-41.0692515E-41.1367885E-42.8365952E-42.4952711.7E-40.00130103620.00138316210.00156291321.12995661.8E-40.0129344550.014411760.01459902151.01299371.9E-4
7.91.9881603E-52.150649E-51.8150306E-48.4394551.6E-48.520408E-59.216742E-52.6215176E-42.84429961.7E-40.0010368660.00112156150.00130135961.16031051.8E-40.0103204150.0117769980.011964761.01594321.9E-4
8.01.563292E-51.5936288E-51.4593422E-49.1573531.3E-46.6996516E-56.829659E-52.0828703E-43.04974271.4E-48.153773E-48.3119445E-49.710781E-41.16829231.4E-40.008123920.0088103310.0089590091.01687551.5E-4
8.11.0045313E-58.300794E-63.8300546E-54.6140823.0E-54.305063E-53.557435E-56.557328E-51.84327423.0E-55.2401534E-44.3303217E-44.6301915E-41.06924893.0E-50.00522781440.00465876660.0046886271.00640953.0E-5
8.24.1554413E-61.5648296E-61.5648296E-61.00.01.7808914E-56.7063957E-66.7063957E-61.00.02.1680194E-48.164734E-58.164734E-51.00.00.00216590549.479703E-49.479703E-41.00.0
8.31.2758221E-63.612677E-73.612677E-71.00.05.4677976E-61.5482892E-61.5482892E-61.00.06.65684E-51.8850264E-51.8850264E-51.00.06.6548464E-42.2739546E-42.2739546E-41.00.0

Lake Isabella (Seismicity)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.431637E-69.741651E-61.4974028E-415.371141.4E-44.0420677E-54.1749343E-51.817435E-44.3532061.4E-44.920106E-45.0819275E-46.781064E-41.33434881.7E-40.0049092270.0050715990.00527058451.03923542.0E-4
6.19.431637E-69.741651E-61.4974028E-415.371141.4E-44.0420677E-54.1749343E-51.817435E-44.3532061.4E-44.920106E-45.0819275E-46.781064E-41.33434881.7E-40.0049092270.0050715990.00527058451.03923542.0E-4
6.29.431637E-69.741651E-61.4974028E-415.371141.4E-44.0420677E-54.1749343E-51.817435E-44.3532061.4E-44.920106E-45.0819275E-46.781064E-41.33434881.7E-40.0049092270.0050715990.00527058451.03923542.0E-4
6.39.431637E-69.741651E-61.4974028E-415.371141.4E-44.0420677E-54.1749343E-51.817435E-44.3532061.4E-44.920106E-45.0819275E-46.781064E-41.33434881.7E-40.0049092270.0050715990.00527058451.03923542.0E-4
6.45.144063E-65.3000763E-69.52996E-517.9807999.0E-52.2045799E-52.2714434E-51.1271239E-44.9621489.0E-52.6837454E-42.765166E-43.964834E-41.43385031.2E-40.00268050660.00276206570.00289170651.04693631.3E-4
6.55.144063E-65.3000763E-69.52996E-517.9807999.0E-52.2045799E-52.2714434E-51.1271239E-44.9621489.0E-52.6837454E-42.765166E-43.964834E-41.43385031.2E-40.00268050660.00276206570.00289170651.04693631.3E-4
6.63.4009804E-63.498786E-66.349858E-518.1487456.0E-51.4575549E-51.4994721E-57.499382E-55.00134856.0E-51.7744285E-41.8254704E-42.5253426E-41.38339287.0E-50.00177301230.00182412860.00189400091.03830447.0E-5
6.73.3880428E-63.4856528E-66.3485444E-518.2133586.0E-51.4520103E-51.4938435E-57.493754E-55.01642476.0E-51.767679E-41.8186188E-42.5184915E-41.38483757.0E-50.00176627360.00181728820.0018871611.03844897.0E-5
6.82.6582E-62.7337003E-64.273359E-515.6321424.0E-51.1392236E-51.1715813E-55.1715346E-54.4141494.0E-51.3869164E-41.4263204E-41.926249E-41.35050245.0E-50.00138605120.00142553690.00147546561.03502455.0E-5
6.92.406011E-62.4743288E-64.247423E-517.165964.0E-51.0311434E-51.0604231E-55.0603805E-54.77203944.0E-51.2553448E-41.2910018E-41.7909372E-41.38724615.0E-50.00125463590.00129038140.0013403171.03869825.0E-5
7.01.6953097E-61.7429371E-62.1742902E-512.4748632.0E-57.265593E-67.469715E-62.7469567E-53.67745832.0E-58.8455E-59.094104E-51.1093922E-41.21990282.0E-58.84198E-49.09141E-49.291228E-41.02197872.0E-5
7.13.5013824E-73.5714822E-71.0357145E-528.9995691.0E-51.5005916E-61.5306344E-61.1530619E-57.5332291.0E-51.826955E-51.8635317E-52.8635131E-51.53660551.0E-51.8268047E-41.863378E-41.9633592E-41.0536561.0E-5
7.22.2321095E-72.2750574E-71.02275035E-544.9549261.0E-59.56618E-79.750242E-71.0975014E-511.25614551.0E-51.1646762E-51.1870856E-52.1870737E-51.84238921.0E-51.1646151E-41.1870232E-41.2870114E-41.08423441.0E-5
7.31.5760406E-71.6060922E-71.6060922E-71.00.06.7544585E-76.8832503E-76.8832503E-71.00.08.223522E-68.380326E-68.380326E-61.00.08.2232174E-58.3800165E-58.3800165E-51.00.0
7.41.1216497E-71.1431706E-71.1431706E-71.00.04.8070694E-74.899302E-74.899302E-71.00.05.852591E-65.964884E-65.964884E-61.00.05.8524372E-55.9647282E-55.9647282E-51.00.0
7.54.885185E-84.9787737E-84.9787737E-81.00.02.0936506E-72.13376E-72.13376E-71.00.02.5490165E-62.59785E-62.59785E-61.00.02.5489873E-52.5978214E-52.5978214E-51.00.0
7.61.504641E-91.5317903E-91.5317903E-91.00.06.4484613E-96.5648154E-96.5648154E-91.00.07.851001E-87.992663E-87.992663E-81.00.07.8509987E-77.992663E-77.992663E-71.00.0

San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0667746E-53.5271103E-51.9526546E-45.53613141.6E-41.742787E-41.5115313E-43.2112745E-42.12451721.7E-40.00211977820.00183873720.00201840631.09771321.8E-40.0209967140.0189864950.0191728881.00981711.9E-4
6.14.0667746E-53.5271103E-51.9526546E-45.53613141.6E-41.742787E-41.5115313E-43.2112745E-42.12451721.7E-40.00211977820.00183873720.00201840631.09771321.8E-40.0209967140.0189864950.0191728881.00981711.9E-4
6.24.0667746E-53.5271103E-51.9526546E-45.53613141.6E-41.742787E-41.5115313E-43.2112745E-42.12451721.7E-40.00211977820.00183873720.00201840631.09771321.8E-40.0209967140.0189864950.0191728881.00981711.9E-4
6.34.0667746E-53.5271103E-51.9526546E-45.53613141.6E-41.742787E-41.5115313E-43.2112745E-42.12451721.7E-40.00211977820.00183873720.00201840631.09771321.8E-40.0209967140.0189864950.0191728881.00981711.9E-4
6.44.0577226E-53.5143014E-51.9513739E-45.5526651.6E-41.738908E-41.5060425E-43.2057863E-42.12861631.7E-40.00211506480.00183206690.0020117371.09806971.8E-40.0209504720.0189210620.0191074681.00985171.9E-4
6.54.0577226E-53.5143014E-51.9513739E-45.5526651.6E-41.738908E-41.5060425E-43.2057863E-42.12861631.7E-40.00211506480.00183206690.0020117371.09806971.8E-40.0209504720.0189210620.0191074681.00985171.9E-4
6.64.053861E-53.5088357E-51.9508274E-45.5597571.6E-41.7372532E-41.5037002E-43.2034446E-42.13037441.7E-40.00211305380.00182922060.00200889141.09822261.8E-40.0209307430.018893140.0190795511.00986661.9E-4
6.74.0516545E-53.505743E-51.9505182E-45.563781.6E-41.7363077E-41.502375E-43.2021196E-42.13137171.7E-40.0021119050.00182761010.00200728121.09830931.8E-40.0209194680.0188773370.019063751.00987491.9E-4
6.84.049434E-53.5028992E-51.9502339E-45.5674851.6E-41.7353562E-41.5011564E-43.2009013E-42.13229041.7E-40.00211074880.00182612890.00200580011.09838911.8E-40.0209081250.0188627490.0190491641.00988281.9E-4
6.94.046386E-53.4991554E-51.9498596E-45.5723721.6E-41.73405E-41.499552E-43.199297E-42.1335021.7E-40.00210916160.00182417880.00200385041.09849451.8E-40.0208925530.0188435220.0190299411.00989311.9E-4
7.04.036382E-53.4872126E-51.9486654E-45.5880321.6E-41.7297632E-41.4944343E-43.19418E-42.13738421.7E-40.00210395250.00181795840.00199763131.09883211.8E-40.020841440.0187821370.0189685671.0099261.9E-4
7.14.0343282E-53.485059E-51.9484501E-45.59086751.6E-41.7288832E-41.4935112E-43.1932574E-42.13808731.7E-40.0021028830.00181683680.00199650971.09889331.8E-40.0208309480.0187710080.018957441.0099321.9E-4
7.24.0257353E-53.475509E-51.9474953E-45.60348271.6E-41.725201E-41.489419E-43.1891657E-42.14121481.7E-40.00209840850.00181186260.00199153651.09916531.8E-40.0207870420.0187217460.018908191.00995861.9E-4
7.33.9940667E-53.458276E-51.9457722E-45.6264231.6E-41.7116306E-41.4820343E-43.1817824E-42.1469021.7E-40.00208191850.00180288660.00198256221.09965991.8E-40.0206252170.0186303870.0188168471.01000831.9E-4
7.43.9721202E-53.4468165E-51.9446266E-45.6418041.6E-41.7022261E-41.4771236E-43.1768726E-42.15071541.7E-40.00207049030.00179691790.00197659431.09999161.8E-40.0205130520.0185695220.0187559931.01004181.9E-4
7.53.7036873E-53.3535776E-51.935304E-45.77086451.6E-41.5871979E-41.4371685E-43.136924E-42.18271161.7E-40.00193070060.00174835130.00192803661.10277411.8E-40.0191401240.0180711280.0182576941.0103241.9E-4
7.63.2940967E-53.13167E-51.9131169E-46.1089351.6E-41.4116794E-41.3420754E-43.0418474E-42.26652481.7E-40.00171736450.00163275450.00181246061.11006321.8E-40.017041530.0169040910.017090881.01104991.9E-4
7.72.8236149E-52.7882697E-51.8787824E-46.7381661.6E-41.2100645E-41.1949181E-42.894715E-42.42252181.7E-40.00147225790.00145384290.00163358121.12362981.8E-40.0146254210.0151149120.015302041.01238041.9E-4
7.82.4329287E-52.5206451E-51.7520267E-46.95070741.5E-41.042642E-41.08023174E-42.6800588E-42.48100351.6E-40.00126867740.00131438950.00148416611.12916761.7E-40.0126145890.0137123410.01388987251.01294681.8E-4
7.91.9370926E-52.0420413E-51.7041735E-48.3454411.5E-48.301561E-58.751312E-52.4749912E-42.82813721.6E-40.00101024650.00106495220.00123477121.15946161.7E-40.01005666050.0111994020.0113773861.01589231.8E-4
8.01.5583017E-51.5885415E-51.4588334E-49.1834771.3E-46.6782646E-56.807858E-52.0806905E-43.0563071.4E-48.127754E-48.2854216E-49.684262E-41.16883151.4E-40.0080980910.0087816360.0089303191.0169311.5E-4
8.11.0024873E-58.291399E-63.829115E-54.6181773.0E-54.2963035E-53.553409E-56.553302E-51.84422973.0E-55.229494E-44.3254215E-44.6252916E-41.06932743.0E-50.00521720430.00465306550.0046829261.00641743.0E-5
8.24.142796E-61.5602761E-61.5602761E-61.00.01.775472E-56.6868806E-66.6868806E-61.00.02.1614227E-48.140976E-58.140976E-51.00.00.00215932179.4514614E-49.4514614E-41.00.0
8.31.2750878E-63.609817E-73.609817E-71.00.05.4646503E-61.5470634E-61.5470634E-61.00.06.653009E-51.8835339E-51.8835339E-51.00.06.6510175E-42.272251E-42.272251E-41.00.0

Calico-Hidalgo

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0906612E-55.0704355E-51.307003E-42.57769378.0E-51.7530227E-42.1728857E-43.1726685E-41.46011751.0E-40.00213221580.0026426780.00280225531.06038461.6E-40.021118730.0261528140.0263378451.0070751.9E-4
6.14.0906612E-55.0704355E-51.307003E-42.57769378.0E-51.7530227E-42.1728857E-43.1726685E-41.46011751.0E-40.00213221580.0026426780.00280225531.06038461.6E-40.021118730.0261528140.0263378451.0070751.9E-4
6.24.0906612E-55.0704355E-51.307003E-42.57769378.0E-51.7530227E-42.1728857E-43.1726685E-41.46011751.0E-40.00213221580.0026426780.00280225531.06038461.6E-40.021118730.0261528140.0263378451.0070751.9E-4
6.32.4242801E-53.0090967E-57.0089765E-52.32926254.0E-51.0389358E-41.289551E-41.8894736E-41.46521826.0E-50.00126417040.00156893120.00166877431.06363761.0E-40.012570030.0155822290.015680671.00631761.0E-4
6.42.4242801E-53.0090967E-57.0089765E-52.32926254.0E-51.0389358E-41.289551E-41.8894736E-41.46521826.0E-50.00126417040.00156893120.00166877431.06363761.0E-40.012570030.0155822290.015680671.00631761.0E-4
6.52.0286952E-52.5316054E-56.531504E-52.5799854.0E-58.694118E-51.0849296E-41.6848645E-41.55297126.0E-50.00105799490.00132011860.00141998651.07565081.0E-40.0105297190.0131247010.0132233881.00751921.0E-4
6.62.0269223E-52.5297004E-56.529599E-52.58117494.0E-58.6865206E-51.08411325E-41.6840482E-41.55338786.0E-50.00105707070.00131912580.00141899381.07570781.0E-40.0105205650.013114890.0132135791.0075251.0E-4
6.71.799852E-52.2540933E-56.2540035E-52.77450944.0E-57.713423E-59.660051E-51.4659567E-41.51754565.0E-59.3870464E-40.00117549110.00125539711.06797678.0E-50.0093474930.0116943460.011773411.0067618.0E-5
6.81.7458793E-52.184258E-55.1841926E-52.3734343.0E-57.4821255E-59.360778E-51.3360403E-41.4272754.0E-59.10568E-40.00113909330.00120901361.06138247.0E-50.0090684590.0113341310.0114033371.0061067.0E-5
6.91.542884E-51.9026285E-54.9025715E-52.5767363.0E-56.612192E-58.153875E-51.11536305E-41.36789323.0E-58.04737E-49.922953E-40.00105223571.06040596.0E-50.0080182910.0098800430.009939451.00601286.0E-5
7.01.468253E-51.803109E-53.8030732E-52.10917522.0E-56.292361E-57.727389E-59.727234E-51.25879972.0E-57.658257E-49.4041653E-49.80379E-41.04249434.0E-50.00763191840.0093657360.00940536151.00423094.0E-5
7.11.3139281E-51.620139E-53.6201065E-52.2344422.0E-55.6309986E-56.943275E-58.9431356E-51.28802852.0E-56.853584E-48.4502844E-48.8499463E-41.04729574.0E-50.00683248560.0084194490.0084591131.00471094.0E-5
7.21.1127404E-51.3867038E-52.38669E-51.72112451.0E-54.7688E-55.9428872E-56.942828E-51.16825841.0E-55.8044674E-47.233172E-47.5329555E-41.04144563.0E-50.00578932980.0072107370.0072405211.00413053.0E-5
7.39.808154E-61.2176586E-52.2176464E-51.82123831.0E-54.2034266E-55.2184383E-56.218386E-51.19161821.0E-55.11647E-46.351704E-46.6515134E-41.04720143.0E-50.00510470570.0063346250.00636443541.00470593.0E-5
7.47.942452E-69.792348E-61.979225E-52.02119571.0E-53.4038632E-54.1966585E-55.1966163E-51.23827481.0E-54.1434157E-45.108328E-45.308226E-41.03913182.0E-50.00413569850.0050975270.0051174251.00390352.0E-5
7.54.7121216E-65.7729717E-65.7729717E-61.00.02.019465E-52.4741115E-52.4741115E-51.00.02.4584212E-43.011891E-43.111861E-41.03319171.0E-50.00245570320.00300856140.00301853151.00331391.0E-5
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-51.3587343E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.3586794E-41.00.0

Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.6264497E-66.75733E-61.16756586E-417.278511.1E-42.8398761E-52.895971E-51.5895594E-45.48886541.3E-43.4570007E-43.5253543E-45.1247905E-41.4536951.6E-40.00345162770.00352055020.00370988131.05377891.9E-4
6.16.6264497E-66.75733E-61.16756586E-417.278511.1E-42.8398761E-52.895971E-51.5895594E-45.48886541.3E-43.4570007E-43.5253543E-45.1247905E-41.4536951.6E-40.00345162770.00352055020.00370988131.05377891.9E-4
6.26.6264497E-66.75733E-61.16756586E-417.278511.1E-42.8398761E-52.895971E-51.5895594E-45.48886541.3E-43.4570007E-43.5253543E-45.1247905E-41.4536951.6E-40.00345162770.00352055020.00370988131.05377891.9E-4
6.36.6264497E-66.75733E-61.16756586E-417.278511.1E-42.8398761E-52.895971E-51.5895594E-45.48886541.3E-43.4570007E-43.5253543E-45.1247905E-41.4536951.6E-40.00345162770.00352055020.00370988131.05377891.9E-4
6.46.6264497E-66.75733E-61.16756586E-417.278511.1E-42.8398761E-52.895971E-51.5895594E-45.48886541.3E-43.4570007E-43.5253543E-45.1247905E-41.4536951.6E-40.00345162770.00352055020.00370988131.05377891.9E-4
6.53.2162225E-63.2570915E-69.32568E-528.6319249.0E-51.3783738E-51.3958894E-51.13957496E-48.1637921.0E-41.6780409E-41.6993708E-42.799184E-41.64718841.1E-40.00167677440.0016981510.00181794731.07054511.2E-4
6.63.2162225E-63.2570915E-69.32568E-528.6319249.0E-51.3783738E-51.3958894E-51.13957496E-48.1637921.0E-41.6780409E-41.6993708E-42.799184E-41.64718841.1E-40.00167677440.0016981510.00181794731.07054511.2E-4
6.72.1908265E-62.2071222E-66.220699E-528.184666.0E-59.389223E-69.459062E-66.9458496E-57.34306346.0E-51.1430779E-41.1515819E-41.7515128E-41.52096256.0E-50.00114249010.00115100460.0012209241.06074647.0E-5
6.81.7303895E-61.736553E-65.1736468E-529.7926225.0E-57.415934E-67.442349E-65.7441976E-57.7182595.0E-59.028525E-59.060693E-51.4060241E-41.55178425.0E-59.024858E-49.0570963E-49.656553E-41.06618646.0E-5
6.91.3700314E-61.3688623E-63.136882E-522.915983.0E-55.87155E-65.86654E-63.5866364E-56.1137173.0E-57.148377E-57.142283E-51.0142069E-41.42000383.0E-57.146078E-47.140033E-47.539747E-41.05598214.0E-5
7.01.1467797E-61.1413805E-62.1141357E-518.522622.0E-54.9147607E-64.8916218E-62.4891524E-55.08860352.0E-55.983557E-55.95539E-57.955271E-51.33581022.0E-55.981946E-45.9538253E-46.253647E-41.05035783.0E-5
7.19.3952065E-79.3026915E-72.093025E-522.4991342.0E-54.026511E-63.986862E-62.3986782E-56.0164572.0E-54.9021666E-54.853898E-56.853801E-51.412022.0E-54.901085E-44.8528553E-45.15271E-41.06178933.0E-5
7.26.858055E-76.7193014E-71.06719235E-515.8824891.0E-52.939163E-62.8796974E-61.2879668E-54.4725771.0E-53.5783723E-53.5059762E-54.5059413E-51.28521731.0E-53.5777962E-43.5054318E-43.6053968E-41.02851711.0E-5
7.35.1101983E-74.939301E-71.0493925E-521.2457711.0E-52.1900833E-62.1168414E-61.21168205E-55.72400951.0E-52.6663936E-52.5772246E-53.5771987E-51.38800431.0E-52.6660739E-42.5769303E-42.6769046E-41.03879581.0E-5
7.43.4999414E-73.2995916E-73.2995916E-71.00.01.499974E-61.4141099E-61.4141099E-61.00.01.8262032E-51.7216655E-51.7216655E-51.00.01.826053E-41.7215345E-41.7215345E-41.00.0
7.51.7021522E-71.4750053E-71.4750053E-71.00.07.2949354E-76.32145E-76.32145E-71.00.08.881548E-67.696339E-67.696339E-61.00.08.8811925E-57.696081E-57.696081E-51.00.0
7.62.572245E-81.735264E-81.735264E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436845E-87.436845E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.0543557E-79.0543557E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054324E-69.054324E-61.00.0

Mission Creek

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1549387E-51.6322783E-51.1632115E-47.12630651.0E-44.9496433E-56.995299E-51.8994459E-42.71531771.2E-46.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.812493E-41.15256691.3E-40.0060082180.0085101570.0086886251.02097121.8E-4
6.11.1549387E-51.6322783E-51.1632115E-47.12630651.0E-44.9496433E-56.995299E-51.8994459E-42.71531771.2E-46.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.812493E-41.15256691.3E-40.0060082180.0085101570.0086886251.02097121.8E-4
6.21.1549387E-51.6322783E-51.1632115E-47.12630651.0E-44.9496433E-56.995299E-51.8994459E-42.71531771.2E-46.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.812493E-41.15256691.3E-40.0060082180.0085101570.0086886251.02097121.8E-4
6.31.1549387E-51.6322783E-51.1632115E-47.12630651.0E-44.9496433E-56.995299E-51.8994459E-42.71531771.2E-46.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.812493E-41.15256691.3E-40.0060082180.0085101570.0086886251.02097121.8E-4
6.41.1549387E-51.6322783E-51.1632115E-47.12630651.0E-44.9496433E-56.995299E-51.8994459E-42.71531771.2E-46.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.812493E-41.15256691.3E-40.0060082180.0085101570.0086886251.02097121.8E-4
6.51.1549387E-51.6322783E-51.1632115E-47.12630651.0E-44.9496433E-56.995299E-51.8994459E-42.71531771.2E-46.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.812493E-41.15256691.3E-40.0060082180.0085101570.0086886251.02097121.8E-4
6.69.202681E-61.3846059E-51.13844675E-48.2221721.0E-43.9439463E-55.9338956E-51.7933184E-43.02216031.2E-44.800697E-47.2222133E-48.5212744E-41.17987021.3E-40.0047903390.00722734020.0073861841.02197811.6E-4
6.79.019164E-61.3651728E-51.1365036E-48.324981.0E-43.8652986E-55.8506146E-51.7849913E-43.05094651.2E-44.7049852E-47.1208854E-48.41996E-41.18243161.3E-40.0046950360.00712666470.0072855241.0222911.6E-4
6.88.673558E-61.3273839E-51.1327251E-48.5335161.0E-43.717186E-55.688669E-51.7687987E-43.10933661.2E-44.524734E-46.923842E-48.222942E-41.18762711.3E-40.00451553240.00693085230.00708974341.02292511.6E-4
6.97.002255E-61.1478069E-51.1147692E-49.7121681.0E-43.000932E-54.9190832E-51.6918493E-43.4393591.2E-43.653022E-45.9874065E-47.286628E-41.21699241.3E-40.00364702290.0059996760.00615871561.02650811.6E-4
7.05.84644E-69.675359E-61.09674394E-411.3354341.0E-42.5055931E-54.146519E-51.6146022E-43.89387371.2E-43.0501327E-45.047263E-46.346607E-41.25743531.3E-40.00304594960.0050639940.00521323461.02947091.5E-4
7.15.54703E-69.329834E-61.093289E-411.71820451.0E-42.377277E-53.9984414E-51.5997962E-44.00104951.2E-42.8939504E-44.8670598E-46.166427E-41.26697171.3E-40.00289018450.00488458760.0050338551.03055881.5E-4
7.24.384709E-67.681918E-61.0768115E-414.0174831.0E-41.8791474E-53.292211E-51.5291816E-44.6448471.2E-42.2876218E-44.0075663E-45.307045E-41.32425641.3E-40.00228526820.0040285420.00417793771.03708431.5E-4
7.33.7888456E-66.915788E-61.069151E-415.4595681.0E-41.623781E-52.9638775E-51.4963522E-45.048631.2E-41.9767738E-43.6079568E-44.907488E-41.36018481.3E-40.00197501620.003630270.00377972541.04116931.5E-4
7.42.1982462E-65.0241033E-61.050236E-420.903951.0E-49.421021E-62.1531694E-51.415291E-46.57305961.2E-41.1469489E-42.6211704E-43.8208556E-41.45769071.2E-40.00114635720.00264603270.00278566221.05276941.4E-4
7.52.051923E-64.6153277E-61.0461487E-422.6668341.0E-48.793926E-61.9779825E-51.3977745E-47.06666761.2E-41.0706078E-42.4079291E-43.60764E-41.49823361.2E-40.00107009220.00243359320.00257325241.05738811.4E-4
7.61.8733427E-64.1236603E-61.04123246E-425.2501981.0E-48.028587E-61.7672712E-51.3767059E-47.79000951.2E-49.774366E-52.151441E-43.351183E-41.55764571.2E-49.770069E-40.00217825130.00231794621.06413171.4E-4
7.71.8411953E-64.0433315E-61.0404293E-425.731981.0E-47.890813E-61.732845E-51.3732637E-47.9249081.2E-49.606641E-52.1095353E-43.3092822E-41.56872571.2E-49.6024893E-40.00213652920.002276231.06538691.4E-4
7.81.7194251E-63.71068E-61.0371031E-427.9491391.0E-47.368944E-61.5902819E-51.359009E-48.5457121.2E-48.97132E-51.9359968E-43.1357646E-41.61971571.2E-48.967699E-40.00196247570.00210220091.07119851.4E-4
7.91.4035052E-62.9502596E-61.0294996E-434.895221.0E-46.0150082E-61.2643909E-51.326424E-410.4906161.2E-47.3230265E-51.5392878E-42.7391032E-41.77946131.2E-47.3206134E-40.00156311740.00170289851.08942461.4E-4
8.03.9318823E-75.528477E-73.055283E-555.2644583.0E-51.6850913E-62.3693453E-64.236925E-517.882264.0E-52.0515794E-52.8846403E-56.884525E-52.38661464.0E-52.0513899E-42.990952E-43.3908326E-41.13369674.0E-5
8.11.596793E-71.13775044E-71.13775044E-71.00.06.8433974E-74.876072E-74.876072E-71.00.08.331805E-65.936602E-65.936602E-61.00.08.331492E-56.5494125E-56.5494125E-51.00.0
8.24.9003038E-82.5435753E-82.5435753E-81.00.02.10013E-71.09010365E-71.09010365E-71.00.02.5569052E-61.3272004E-61.3272004E-61.00.02.556876E-51.4952613E-51.4952613E-51.00.0

Baker

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.695525E-65.8348373E-65.5834545E-59.5691695.0E-52.4409164E-52.5006228E-59.500448E-53.79923277.0E-52.9714106E-43.044123E-43.943849E-41.29556179.0E-50.00296744050.00304034860.0032098321.05574461.7E-4
6.15.695525E-65.8348373E-65.5834545E-59.5691695.0E-52.4409164E-52.5006228E-59.500448E-53.79923277.0E-52.9714106E-43.044123E-43.943849E-41.29556179.0E-50.00296744050.00304034860.0032098321.05574461.7E-4
6.25.695525E-65.8348373E-65.5834545E-59.5691695.0E-52.4409164E-52.5006228E-59.500448E-53.79923277.0E-52.9714106E-43.044123E-43.943849E-41.29556179.0E-50.00296744050.00304034860.0032098321.05574461.7E-4
6.33.2995713E-63.383667E-64.338353E-512.8214544.0E-51.4140943E-51.4501353E-56.450063E-54.4479045.0E-51.7215237E-41.7654014E-42.3652954E-41.33980616.0E-50.00172019070.0017640460.00186386961.05658781.0E-4
6.43.2995713E-63.383667E-64.338353E-512.8214544.0E-51.4140943E-51.4501353E-56.450063E-54.4479045.0E-51.7215237E-41.7654014E-42.3652954E-41.33980616.0E-50.00172019070.0017640460.00186386961.05658781.0E-4
6.52.782202E-62.8558404E-64.2855725E-515.0063454.0E-51.1923668E-51.223926E-56.223865E-55.0851645.0E-51.4516099E-41.4900314E-42.089942E-41.40261616.0E-50.0014506620.00148906510.00158891621.06705621.0E-4
6.62.3163404E-62.38092E-63.238085E-513.6001423.0E-59.927136E-61.0203904E-54.02036E-53.94002133.0E-51.20856166E-41.2422565E-41.6422068E-41.32195474.0E-50.00120790470.00124158230.00132148291.0643548.0E-5
6.72.037056E-62.0965003E-63.209644E-515.309533.0E-58.7302105E-68.984972E-63.89847E-54.33887863.0E-51.0628513E-41.093867E-41.3938342E-41.27422633.0E-50.00106234310.00109334480.00116326821.06395387.0E-5
6.81.8356744E-61.8915287E-63.189147E-516.8601573.0E-57.867153E-68.106527E-63.8106286E-54.70069173.0E-59.577837E-59.869264E-51.2868967E-41.3039443.0E-59.57371E-49.86502E-40.0010564331.07088787.0E-5
6.91.6310546E-61.6832072E-63.1683157E-518.8230883.0E-56.9902153E-67.213726E-63.721351E-55.15870863.0E-58.510255E-58.782368E-51.1782105E-41.34156353.0E-58.5069967E-48.7790104E-49.278572E-41.05690415.0E-5
7.01.2058036E-61.2508665E-62.1250842E-516.9888952.0E-55.1677193E-65.3608455E-62.5360738E-54.7307352.0E-56.291517E-56.5266366E-58.526506E-51.30641652.0E-56.289736E-46.524743E-46.924482E-41.06126514.0E-5
7.11.052382E-61.0951609E-61.109515E-510.1310691.0E-54.5102006E-64.693538E-61.4693491E-53.13057881.0E-55.491031E-55.7142337E-56.7141766E-51.17499161.0E-55.4896745E-45.7127734E-46.0126017E-41.05248393.0E-5
7.21.0067454E-61.0487711E-61.0487711E-61.00.04.3146156E-64.4947255E-64.4947255E-61.00.05.252918E-55.4721917E-55.4721917E-51.00.05.251676E-45.470853E-45.470853E-41.00.0
7.39.3596316E-79.767723E-79.767723E-71.00.04.0112645E-64.1861604E-64.1861604E-61.00.04.8836053E-55.096532E-55.096532E-51.00.04.8825322E-45.095371E-45.095371E-41.00.0
7.48.8117395E-79.2076635E-79.2076635E-71.00.03.7764542E-63.9461356E-63.9461356E-61.00.04.5977362E-54.8043148E-54.8043148E-51.00.04.596785E-44.8032837E-44.8032837E-41.00.0
7.58.292386E-78.6745956E-78.6745956E-71.00.03.5538749E-63.7176785E-63.7176785E-61.00.04.326757E-54.5261804E-54.5261804E-51.00.04.3259145E-44.5252658E-44.5252658E-41.00.0
7.67.553842E-77.9144706E-77.9144706E-71.00.03.2373566E-63.3919116E-63.3919116E-61.00.03.9414106E-54.129575E-54.129575E-51.00.03.9407116E-44.1288146E-44.1288146E-41.00.0
7.76.5285366E-76.852797E-76.852797E-71.00.02.797941E-62.9369096E-62.9369096E-61.00.03.40644E-53.5756293E-53.5756293E-51.00.03.405918E-43.5750607E-43.5750607E-41.00.0
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-73.6482615E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.5635396E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035933E-51.9035933E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.9034347E-41.9034347E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

Santa Ynez (West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.7352758E-55.497084E-51.14967545E-42.09142786.0E-52.0292461E-42.3556968E-43.055532E-41.2970827.0E-50.00246780760.0028645580.0029742431.03829041.1E-40.0244058180.0283044560.0284404921.00480621.4E-4
6.14.7352758E-55.497084E-59.4968644E-51.72761864.0E-52.0292461E-42.3556968E-42.7556025E-41.16976124.0E-50.00246780760.0028645580.00294432881.02784758.0E-50.0244058180.0283044560.0284113421.00377631.1E-4
6.23.0415853E-53.3925004E-56.392399E-51.88427353.0E-51.3034715E-41.4538495E-41.753806E-41.20631873.0E-50.00158582120.00176865920.0018285531.0338646.0E-50.0157455220.017549780.0176283751.00447858.0E-5
6.33.0415853E-53.3925004E-56.392399E-51.88427353.0E-51.3034715E-41.4538495E-41.753806E-41.20631873.0E-50.00158582120.00176865920.0018285531.0338646.0E-50.0157455220.017549780.0176283751.00447858.0E-5
6.42.5452082E-52.7912318E-54.791176E-51.71650952.0E-51.09075794E-41.1961885E-41.3961646E-41.16717772.0E-50.00132718870.00145540560.00150533281.03430475.0E-50.0131929020.014460910.0145298981.00477067.0E-5
6.52.3143784E-52.5128133E-54.512763E-51.79590072.0E-59.9183875E-51.07687636E-41.2768549E-41.18570232.0E-50.00120689480.0013103230.00136025751.03810865.0E-50.0120036110.0130276380.01309672651.00530317.0E-5
6.61.9118515E-52.0354244E-54.0353836E-51.9825762.0E-58.193392E-58.722961E-51.0722786E-41.229262.0E-59.97089E-40.0010615110.00111145791.04705265.0E-50.009926270.0105653170.01062468251.00561896.0E-5
6.71.722807E-51.8146253E-53.814589E-52.1021362.0E-57.3832496E-57.776737E-59.776581E-51.25715732.0E-58.985399E-49.4641204E-49.963647E-41.05278115.0E-50.0089491540.0094244610.0094838961.00630646.0E-5
6.81.5317364E-51.5926391E-53.5926074E-52.25575732.0E-56.56442E-56.82542E-58.825283E-51.29300222.0E-57.98925E-48.3068234E-48.806408E-41.06014145.0E-50.0079605890.0082762610.00833576451.00718966.0E-5
6.91.3071226E-51.332953E-52.3329396E-51.7502041.0E-55.6018336E-55.712532E-56.712475E-51.17504371.0E-56.8180985E-46.952811E-47.3525327E-41.05749074.0E-50.00679721730.00693131840.0069809721.00716365.0E-5
7.01.1836986E-51.1932688E-52.1932568E-51.83802411.0E-55.0728955E-55.1139097E-56.1138584E-51.19553511.0E-56.1745E-46.2244234E-46.6241744E-41.06422294.0E-50.0061573720.00620718250.0062568721.00800515.0E-5
7.11.0597169E-51.0542107E-52.0542002E-51.94856691.0E-54.541565E-54.5179684E-55.5179233E-51.22132841.0E-55.5279525E-45.4992497E-45.899029E-41.07269724.0E-50.00551422130.0054857720.0055354981.00906445.0E-5
7.29.59113E-69.45905E-61.9458956E-52.05717871.0E-54.11042E-54.053816E-55.0537757E-51.24667121.0E-55.0032866E-44.934414E-45.334217E-41.08102334.0E-50.0049920370.00492357650.004973331.01010535.0E-5
7.38.586084E-68.379489E-61.8379405E-52.193381.0E-53.679698E-53.591161E-54.591125E-51.27845141.0E-54.4791115E-44.3713715E-44.6712405E-41.06859843.0E-50.0044700940.0043628840.00440270971.00912824.0E-5
7.47.2622997E-66.9514485E-61.6951379E-52.4385391.0E-53.112377E-52.9791589E-53.9791288E-51.33565521.0E-53.78866E-43.6265317E-43.8264593E-41.0551292.0E-50.00378220740.0036207140.00365060541.00825563.0E-5
7.55.627296E-65.2514984E-61.5251446E-52.90420841.0E-52.411676E-52.2506232E-53.2506006E-51.44431141.0E-52.9358198E-42.7397962E-42.9397415E-41.07297812.0E-50.00293194430.00273649050.00276640851.01093293.0E-5
7.62.265244E-62.0608632E-61.2060843E-55.8523261.0E-59.708152E-68.832241E-61.8832152E-52.13220551.0E-51.18190335E-41.0752732E-41.2752517E-41.18597922.0E-50.0011812750.00107476150.001094741.01858882.0E-5
7.71.3099874E-61.1016228E-61.1016228E-61.00.05.61422E-64.7212325E-64.7212325E-61.00.06.8350986E-55.7479516E-55.7479516E-51.00.06.832996E-45.7464885E-45.7464885E-41.00.0
7.87.903951E-76.0710704E-76.0710704E-71.00.03.3874032E-62.601885E-62.601885E-61.00.04.1240855E-53.16775E-53.16775E-51.00.04.12332E-43.167312E-43.167312E-41.00.0
7.97.0753297E-95.090092E-95.090092E-91.00.03.032284E-82.181468E-82.181468E-81.00.03.6918053E-72.655937E-72.655937E-71.00.03.691799E-62.6559348E-62.6559348E-61.00.0

Santa Ynez (East)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2269712E-53.6750775E-51.2674747E-43.4488389.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.5748138E-41.63483211.0E-40.00168239790.00191642530.00204617621.06770471.3E-40.0166971780.0190564380.019193771.00720661.4E-4
6.13.2269712E-53.6750775E-51.2674747E-43.4488389.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.5748138E-41.63483211.0E-40.00168239790.00191642530.00204617621.06770471.3E-40.0166971780.0190564380.019193771.00720661.4E-4
6.23.2269712E-53.6750775E-51.2674747E-43.4488389.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.5748138E-41.63483211.0E-40.00168239790.00191642530.00204617621.06770471.3E-40.0166971780.0190564380.019193771.00720661.4E-4
6.33.2269712E-53.6750775E-51.2674747E-43.4488389.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.5748138E-41.63483211.0E-40.00168239790.00191642530.00204617621.06770471.3E-40.0166971780.0190564380.019193771.00720661.4E-4
6.41.4404779E-51.48492945E-53.4848996E-52.34684542.0E-56.1733306E-56.363831E-58.363704E-51.31425612.0E-57.513438E-47.7452604E-48.144951E-41.05160454.0E-50.00748808540.0077188170.00776843071.00642765.0E-5
6.51.4404779E-51.48492945E-53.4848996E-52.34684542.0E-56.1733306E-56.363831E-58.363704E-51.31425612.0E-57.513438E-47.7452604E-48.144951E-41.05160454.0E-50.00748808540.0077188170.00776843071.00642765.0E-5
6.61.280208E-51.301186E-53.3011598E-52.53703932.0E-55.4864904E-55.5763932E-57.5762815E-51.35863482.0E-56.6777546E-46.7871617E-47.18689E-41.05889484.0E-50.0066577240.00676664340.00681630481.00733925.0E-5
6.71.2457027E-51.262838E-53.2628126E-52.58371452.0E-55.3386164E-55.4120515E-57.411943E-51.36952572.0E-56.497827E-46.5871974E-46.986934E-41.06068384.0E-50.006478860.006567870.00661754141.00756295.0E-5
6.81.2095134E-51.2230827E-53.2230582E-52.63519242.0E-55.1835254E-55.2416784E-57.2415736E-51.38153722.0E-56.309115E-46.3798914E-46.779636E-41.0626574.0E-50.00629123250.0063617640.0064114461.00780945.0E-5
6.91.1104036E-51.115726E-53.1157037E-52.79253482.0E-54.758786E-54.781596E-56.7815E-51.41825042.0E-55.7922816E-45.82005E-46.2198174E-41.06868794.0E-50.0057772070.00580495360.00585466341.00856335.0E-5
7.01.0577444E-51.05815925E-53.058138E-52.89005472.0E-54.5331115E-54.53489E-56.5347995E-51.4410052.0E-55.5176654E-45.5198424E-45.9196213E-41.07242584.0E-50.00550398560.005506270.0055559951.00903065.0E-5
7.11.0021775E-59.9809E-62.99807E-53.00380732.0E-54.294976E-54.277459E-56.277374E-51.46754732.0E-55.2278786E-45.206574E-45.606366E-41.07678594.0E-50.00521559640.0051945080.00524424851.00957565.0E-5
7.28.874109E-68.748706E-62.874853E-53.28603222.0E-53.8031343E-53.7493923E-55.7493173E-51.53339982.0E-54.629332E-44.56394E-44.963757E-41.08760364.0E-50.00461970.00455468470.00460445741.01092775.0E-5
7.37.5504267E-67.5050243E-61.750495E-52.33243081.0E-53.235857E-53.2164E-54.2163676E-51.31089661.0E-53.9389438E-43.9152734E-44.2151558E-41.0765933.0E-50.00393196940.00390848240.0039483261.01019424.0E-5
7.46.309394E-66.183062E-61.6183E-52.61731171.0E-52.703998E-52.6498574E-53.649831E-51.37736881.0E-53.2916202E-43.2257332E-43.4256687E-41.06198142.0E-50.0032867490.00322114840.00325105181.00928343.0E-5
7.54.6103073E-64.4408016E-64.4408016E-61.00.01.975831E-51.9031871E-51.9031871E-51.00.02.4053088E-42.316891E-42.4168678E-41.04315131.0E-50.0024027070.0023145450.00233449861.0086212.0E-5
7.61.2858658E-61.3008196E-61.3008196E-61.00.05.5108417E-65.574929E-65.574929E-61.00.06.7092435E-56.787272E-56.787272E-51.00.06.707218E-46.7852676E-46.7852676E-41.00.0
7.75.3302307E-75.612138E-75.612138E-71.00.02.2843826E-62.4052001E-62.4052001E-61.00.02.7812002E-52.9282955E-52.9282955E-51.00.02.7808524E-42.9279455E-42.9279455E-41.00.0
7.84.613933E-84.80301E-84.80301E-81.00.01.9773998E-72.0584326E-72.0584326E-71.00.02.4074816E-62.5061388E-62.5061388E-61.00.02.4074554E-52.5061116E-52.5061116E-51.00.0

Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.169034E-54.7137048E-51.1713375E-42.48496157.0E-51.7866064E-42.0200513E-42.8198896E-41.39594968.0E-50.00217302330.00245746570.002557221.04059231.0E-40.0215189680.024384830.0245214161.00560131.4E-4
6.11.73813E-51.6854203E-55.685353E-53.37325534.0E-57.4489166E-57.223036E-51.1222747E-41.55374374.0E-59.065282E-48.790605E-49.1902533E-41.04546314.0E-50.0090283910.0087571280.0088066911.00565965.0E-5
6.21.4622182E-51.3673262E-55.3672717E-53.92537744.0E-56.2664985E-55.85984E-59.859606E-51.68257254.0E-57.6267915E-47.132059E-47.531774E-41.05604484.0E-50.0076006690.0071097670.00714948261.0055864.0E-5
6.31.3552434E-51.2482174E-55.2481675E-54.20453024.0E-55.8080568E-55.349395E-59.349181E-51.74770814.0E-57.069015E-46.510974E-46.910713E-41.06139474.0E-50.007046570.0064924150.0065321551.0061214.0E-5
6.41.30977305E-51.1979128E-55.1978648E-54.3391014.0E-55.613192E-55.133813E-59.133608E-51.77910794.0E-56.831918E-46.2486547E-46.648405E-41.06397384.0E-50.0068109530.0062315840.0062713351.00637894.0E-5
6.51.225205E-51.1048776E-54.1048443E-53.7152033.0E-55.2507727E-54.735105E-57.734963E-51.63353563.0E-56.3909404E-45.7634927E-46.06332E-41.05202173.0E-50.0063725920.0057490090.00577883661.00518833.0E-5
6.61.1352241E-51.0063508E-54.0063205E-53.98103793.0E-54.8651553E-54.3128617E-57.3127325E-51.69556383.0E-55.921717E-45.249665E-45.549508E-41.05711653.0E-50.00590596160.00523766460.00526750741.00569773.0E-5
6.71.0864116E-59.517E-63.9516715E-54.15222363.0E-54.6559664E-54.0786515E-57.0785296E-51.73550713.0E-55.667165E-44.964647E-45.264498E-41.06039733.0E-50.0056527340.00495394370.00498379531.00602583.0E-5
6.81.0666365E-59.299752E-63.9299473E-54.22586253.0E-54.571219E-53.985548E-56.9854286E-51.75268963.0E-55.564038E-44.8513446E-45.151199E-41.06180863.0E-50.0055501270.004841140.0048709951.00616693.0E-5
6.91.0038665E-58.592018E-63.859176E-54.49158243.0E-54.302214E-53.682243E-56.6821325E-51.81469083.0E-55.236687E-44.4822265E-44.782092E-41.0669013.0E-50.0052243640.00447355070.0045034171.00667613.0E-5
7.09.5379955E-68.025047E-63.8024806E-54.7382663.0E-54.0876483E-53.439261E-56.439158E-51.87225033.0E-54.975576E-44.1865133E-44.4863875E-41.07162873.0E-50.004964450.004178980.00420885441.00714873.0E-5
7.19.207389E-67.652347E-63.7652117E-54.92033533.0E-53.945964E-53.2795375E-56.279439E-51.91473323.0E-54.803152E-43.992122E-44.2920024E-41.0751183.0E-50.0047927840.0039853010.00401518171.00749773.0E-5
7.27.638091E-65.9310923E-63.5930916E-56.058063.0E-53.2734264E-52.5418722E-55.541796E-52.18020253.0E-53.984668E-43.094293E-43.3942002E-41.09692263.0E-50.00397753060.00309019560.0031201031.00967813.0E-5
7.37.2500147E-65.596131E-63.5595964E-56.3608173.0E-53.1071122E-52.3983199E-55.398248E-52.25084573.0E-53.7822526E-42.9195662E-43.2194785E-41.1027253.0E-50.00377582150.00291594020.00294585271.01025833.0E-5
7.46.3899715E-64.9184864E-63.491834E-57.0994073.0E-52.7385306E-52.1079059E-55.1078427E-52.42318343.0E-53.3336508E-42.566075E-42.8659982E-41.116883.0E-50.00332865420.0025633110.0025932341.01167363.0E-5
7.55.379025E-64.0838477E-63.4083725E-58.34598353.0E-52.305276E-51.7502087E-54.7501562E-52.71405123.0E-52.806312E-42.1306718E-42.4306079E-41.14077073.0E-50.00280277080.00212864020.00215857641.01406353.0E-5
7.64.1270696E-63.0883373E-63.3088243E-510.7139353.0E-51.768732E-51.32356645E-54.3235268E-53.26657323.0E-52.1532185E-41.6113237E-41.9112753E-41.18615233.0E-50.00215113330.00161016350.00164011521.01860173.0E-5
7.72.5406805E-61.8282044E-62.1828168E-511.9396762.0E-51.0888585E-57.835139E-62.7834982E-53.55258322.0E-51.3256045E-49.53887E-51.15386785E-41.20964852.0E-50.00132481429.534837E-49.7346463E-41.02095572.0E-5
7.84.8608285E-73.509864E-73.509864E-71.00.02.0832106E-61.5042266E-61.5042266E-61.00.02.5362791E-51.8313805E-51.8313805E-51.00.02.5359896E-41.8312308E-41.8312308E-41.00.0
7.92.0472514E-81.2688718E-81.2688718E-81.00.08.7739345E-85.438022E-85.438022E-81.00.01.068226E-66.6207895E-76.6207895E-71.00.01.0682209E-56.620771E-66.620771E-61.00.0
8.04.443582E-92.032067E-92.032067E-91.00.01.9043922E-88.7088585E-98.7088585E-91.00.02.3185973E-71.0603035E-71.0603035E-71.00.02.3185949E-61.0603031E-61.0603031E-61.00.0

Independence rev 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.422171E-64.3262253E-61.1432575E-426.4262121.1E-41.8952025E-51.8540852E-51.3853863E-47.4720751.2E-42.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.6568285E-41.62011271.4E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00240480741.06636451.5E-4
6.14.422171E-64.3262253E-61.1432575E-426.4262121.1E-41.8952025E-51.8540852E-51.3853863E-47.4720751.2E-42.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.6568285E-41.62011271.4E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00240480741.06636451.5E-4
6.24.422171E-64.3262253E-61.1432575E-426.4262121.1E-41.8952025E-51.8540852E-51.3853863E-47.4720751.2E-42.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.6568285E-41.62011271.4E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00240480741.06636451.5E-4
6.34.422171E-64.3262253E-61.1432575E-426.4262121.1E-41.8952025E-51.8540852E-51.3853863E-47.4720751.2E-42.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.6568285E-41.62011271.4E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00240480741.06636451.5E-4
6.44.422171E-64.3262253E-61.1432575E-426.4262121.1E-41.8952025E-51.8540852E-51.3853863E-47.4720751.2E-42.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.6568285E-41.62011271.4E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00240480741.06636451.5E-4
6.54.422171E-64.3262253E-61.1432575E-426.4262121.1E-41.8952025E-51.8540852E-51.3853863E-47.4720751.2E-42.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.6568285E-41.62011271.4E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00240480741.06636451.5E-4
6.62.663744E-62.5319846E-61.0253173E-440.4946141.0E-41.1415996E-51.08513195E-51.2085013E-411.1369061.1E-41.3898089E-41.321073E-42.6209012E-41.98391851.3E-40.00138893990.00132033590.0014601511.10589361.4E-4
6.72.663744E-62.5319846E-61.0253173E-440.4946141.0E-41.1415996E-51.08513195E-51.2085013E-411.1369061.1E-41.3898089E-41.321073E-42.6209012E-41.98391851.3E-40.00138893990.00132033590.0014601511.10589361.4E-4
6.81.9716529E-61.8322567E-69.1832095E-550.1196679.0E-58.449913E-67.852505E-61.0785172E-413.7346891.0E-41.0287284E-49.560019E-52.1558872E-42.25510761.2E-40.00102825239.5560355E-40.00108547931.13590971.3E-4
6.91.8788617E-61.7429976E-69.174284E-552.6350949.0E-58.0522395E-67.4699688E-61.0746922E-414.3868371.0E-49.80316E-59.09432E-52.1093228E-42.3193851.2E-49.798837E-49.090718E-40.00103895371.1428731.3E-4
7.01.5045488E-61.3849498E-69.138483E-565.9842159.0E-56.44805E-65.9354857E-61.05934894E-417.8477211.0E-47.8502184E-57.226219E-51.9225352E-42.66049931.2E-47.8474457E-47.223921E-48.5229817E-41.17982771.3E-4
7.11.272341E-61.1625089E-68.116241E-569.81668.0E-55.4528787E-64.9821715E-69.4981726E-519.0643229.0E-56.6386776E-56.0656283E-51.7064961E-42.81338721.1E-46.636695E-46.064005E-47.263277E-41.1977691.2E-4
7.21.0416892E-69.409871E-78.094091E-586.017038.0E-54.464375E-64.032796E-69.403243E-523.3169359.0E-55.4352407E-54.9098202E-51.590928E-43.2402981.1E-45.4339116E-44.908754E-46.1081647E-41.24434131.2E-4
7.37.9450155E-77.2350036E-78.072344E-5111.573468.0E-53.4050022E-63.1007123E-69.310043E-530.02559.0E-54.1455114E-53.7750528E-51.4774638E-43.91375661.1E-44.144738E-43.7744228E-44.97397E-41.31780951.2E-4
7.45.3893444E-75.0195166E-77.050192E-5140.45567.0E-52.309717E-62.1512196E-68.215105E-538.1881268.0E-52.8120441E-52.6190788E-51.2618817E-44.8180361.0E-42.8116882E-42.6187746E-43.7184867E-41.41993381.1E-4
7.53.8852085E-73.6825622E-76.0368235E-5163.929986.0E-51.6650882E-61.57824E-67.157813E-545.353137.0E-52.027226E-51.9214905E-59.9213365E-55.16335448.0E-52.0270412E-41.9213265E-42.8211536E-41.46833639.0E-5
7.62.414929E-72.3457605E-72.0234571E-586.260182.0E-51.0349692E-61.0053255E-63.1005296E-530.841053.0E-51.2600677E-51.2239771E-55.223928E-54.2679954.0E-51.2599962E-41.223911E-41.7238497E-41.40847655.0E-5
7.76.8298014E-86.8589785E-81.0068589E-5146.79431.0E-52.9270575E-72.939562E-71.0293953E-535.0186651.0E-53.5636867E-63.5789112E-61.3578875E-53.79413581.0E-53.5636294E-53.5788584E-54.5788227E-51.27940871.0E-5

San Jacinto (Anza) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.3015636E-54.3298347E-51.7329272E-44.0022941.3E-42.7003905E-41.8555121E-43.2552524E-41.75436871.4E-40.00328276910.00225675730.00239644151.0618961.4E-40.0323469680.023293610.0234401171.00628951.5E-4
6.16.3015636E-54.3298347E-51.7329272E-44.0022941.3E-42.7003905E-41.8555121E-43.2552524E-41.75436871.4E-40.00328276910.00225675730.00239644151.0618961.4E-40.0323469680.023293610.0234401171.00628951.5E-4
6.26.3015636E-54.3298347E-51.7329272E-44.0022941.3E-42.7003905E-41.8555121E-43.2552524E-41.75436871.4E-40.00328276910.00225675730.00239644151.0618961.4E-40.0323469680.023293610.0234401171.00628951.5E-4
6.36.3015636E-54.3298347E-51.7329272E-44.0022941.3E-42.7003905E-41.8555121E-43.2552524E-41.75436871.4E-40.00328276910.00225675730.00239644151.0618961.4E-40.0323469680.023293610.0234401171.00628951.5E-4
6.46.3015636E-54.3298347E-51.7329272E-44.0022941.3E-42.7003905E-41.8555121E-43.2552524E-41.75436871.4E-40.00328276910.00225675730.00239644151.0618961.4E-40.0323469680.023293610.0234401171.00628951.5E-4
6.55.811017E-54.0080286E-51.7007507E-44.243361.3E-42.4901982E-41.7176138E-43.1173733E-41.81494431.4E-40.00302760140.00208919470.00222890221.06687151.4E-40.029866840.0215908330.0217375941.00679741.5E-4
6.65.811017E-54.0080286E-51.7007507E-44.243361.3E-42.4901982E-41.7176138E-43.1173733E-41.81494431.4E-40.00302760140.00208919470.00222890221.06687151.4E-40.029866840.0215908330.0217375941.00679741.5E-4
6.75.712442E-53.950301E-51.6949787E-44.2907581.3E-42.4479596E-41.6928767E-43.0926397E-41.82685471.4E-40.00297631770.00205913440.00219884631.06784981.4E-40.0293676930.0212829190.0214297251.00689791.5E-4
6.85.6967532E-53.93593E-51.6935419E-44.30277441.3E-42.4412372E-41.6867183E-43.0864822E-41.8298741.4E-40.00296815530.00205165080.00219136361.06809771.4E-40.0292882290.021208520.0213553381.00692261.5E-4
6.95.6211324E-53.9064216E-51.6905913E-44.3277241.3E-42.4088343E-41.6740736E-43.0738392E-41.83614351.4E-40.00292881160.00203628470.00217599961.06861271.4E-40.0289051090.0210475270.021194371.00697671.5E-4
7.05.4383527E-53.7925012E-51.6792008E-44.4276871.3E-42.3305144E-41.6252567E-43.0250291E-41.86126241.4E-40.00283370940.0019769590.00211668221.07067581.4E-40.0279784650.020440950.0205878841.00718821.5E-4
7.15.1393665E-53.638787E-51.6638314E-44.57248931.3E-42.2023996E-41.5593872E-42.959169E-41.89764861.4E-40.00267812420.00189690480.00203663931.07366441.4E-40.0264607820.0196160770.0197631341.00749681.5E-4
7.24.785222E-53.4738845E-51.6473433E-44.7420791.3E-42.0506482E-41.4887229E-42.8885144E-41.94026341.4E-40.00249380550.00181101670.00195076321.07716461.4E-40.0246600490.0187287830.0188759731.00785911.5E-4
7.34.2143256E-53.3834414E-51.6383002E-44.8421121.3E-41.8060145E-41.449966E-42.849763E-41.96541.4E-40.0021966050.00176390750.00190366051.07922921.4E-40.021750190.0182366950.018383961.00807511.5E-4
7.44.0264713E-53.3472694E-51.6346834E-44.88363271.3E-41.7255165E-41.4344654E-42.8342646E-41.97583341.4E-40.0020987920.00174506590.00188482161.08008621.4E-40.0207908040.0180413890.0181886831.00816421.5E-4
7.53.694492E-53.2186905E-51.6218273E-45.03877971.3E-41.5832575E-41.379366E-42.7791728E-42.0148191.4E-40.00192591180.00167808760.00181785271.08328831.4E-40.019093060.0173578880.0175052841.00849161.5E-4
7.63.200565E-52.9502702E-51.5949887E-45.4062461.3E-41.3715986E-41.2643404E-42.6641635E-42.10715681.4E-40.0016686420.00153824970.00167803431.09087251.4E-40.016561680.0159460160.0160936251.00925671.5E-4
7.72.731642E-52.6091477E-51.5608808E-45.98234031.3E-41.1706512E-41.11815825E-42.5180017E-42.2519191.4E-40.0014243360.00136050850.00150031811.10276271.4E-40.0141524120.01416680.0143146751.01043811.5E-4
7.82.3466424E-52.3503619E-51.435008E-46.1054771.2E-41.0056651E-41.0072591E-42.3071282E-42.2905011.3E-40.00122370940.00122564890.00135548961.10593631.3E-40.0121699280.0128087960.0129470031.010791.4E-4
7.91.8611925E-51.890698E-51.3890471E-47.34674261.2E-47.9762955E-58.10274E-52.1101687E-42.60426551.3E-49.7068126E-49.860628E-40.00111593471.13170741.3E-40.00966452250.0103937050.0105322511.01332971.4E-4
8.01.5460775E-51.5739915E-51.3573802E-48.6238091.2E-46.6258784E-56.745504E-51.9744626E-42.92707971.3E-48.0640207E-48.2095637E-49.508496E-41.1582221.3E-40.0080348210.0087027060.0088414881.0159471.4E-4
8.19.983884E-68.268954E-63.8268707E-54.62799843.0E-54.2787375E-53.5437897E-56.5436834E-51.84652143.0E-55.2081177E-44.313715E-44.6135855E-41.06951563.0E-50.00519592830.004639680.0046695411.0064363.0E-5
8.24.1226E-61.5522551E-61.5522551E-61.00.01.7668166E-56.6525045E-66.6525045E-61.00.02.1508869E-48.099126E-58.099126E-51.00.00.00214880649.401847E-49.401847E-41.00.0
8.31.2750878E-63.609817E-73.609817E-71.00.05.4646503E-61.5470634E-61.5470634E-61.00.06.653009E-51.8835339E-51.8835339E-51.00.06.6510175E-42.272251E-42.272251E-41.00.0

Cleghorn Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5467183E-51.6794203E-58.679303E-55.16803467.0E-56.6286244E-57.197348E-51.8196556E-42.52823071.1E-48.067362E-48.759797E-40.00100586591.14827531.3E-40.0080381370.0087306960.0088793861.01703071.5E-4
6.11.5467183E-51.6794203E-58.679303E-55.16803467.0E-56.6286244E-57.197348E-51.8196556E-42.52823071.1E-48.067362E-48.759797E-40.00100586591.14827531.3E-40.0080381370.0087306960.0088793861.01703071.5E-4
6.21.2624631E-51.3681544E-57.368073E-55.385416.0E-55.410444E-55.863415E-51.4862887E-42.53485189.0E-56.585225E-47.1368564E-48.236071E-41.15401951.1E-40.00656574450.00711873170.00724780651.01813171.3E-4
6.31.2624631E-51.3681544E-57.368073E-55.385416.0E-55.410444E-55.863415E-51.4862887E-42.53485189.0E-56.585225E-47.1368564E-48.236071E-41.15401951.1E-40.00656574450.00711873170.00724780651.01813171.3E-4
6.49.417684E-61.0170118E-56.016961E-55.9163145.0E-54.036088E-54.3585722E-51.2358224E-42.83538348.0E-54.912829E-45.3056807E-46.30515E-41.18837731.0E-40.0049019820.0052970490.00540646631.02065621.1E-4
6.59.368219E-61.0117545E-56.011704E-55.94186075.0E-54.014889E-54.3360415E-51.2335695E-42.84492098.0E-54.8870314E-45.2782625E-46.2777346E-41.18935631.0E-40.0048762980.00526976170.0053791821.02076381.1E-4
6.67.803798E-68.441831E-64.8441492E-55.73826844.0E-53.3444423E-53.6179E-58.617719E-52.38196735.0E-54.0710976E-44.4043022E-45.103994E-41.15886557.0E-50.00406364720.00439949050.00447913861.0181048.0E-5
6.72.3108669E-62.4438336E-61.2443809E-55.09192131.0E-59.903678E-61.0473532E-53.0473322E-52.90955542.0E-51.205706E-41.2750797E-41.4750543E-41.15683292.0E-50.0012050520.00127436670.00130432861.0235113.0E-5
6.82.0882828E-62.2062823E-61.220626E-55.53250171.0E-58.949753E-69.455462E-62.9455272E-53.11515952.0E-51.08957785E-41.1511434E-41.3511203E-41.17372042.0E-50.00108904380.00115056390.00118052941.02604413.0E-5
6.91.876935E-61.981051E-61.981051E-61.00.08.043982E-68.490192E-61.8490107E-52.17781971.0E-59.7931086E-51.03363345E-41.1336231E-41.09673611.0E-59.788794E-40.00103316860.0010531481.01933792.0E-5
7.01.5357559E-61.6202807E-61.6202807E-61.00.06.5817944E-66.9440425E-66.9440425E-61.00.08.01304E-58.454057E-58.454057E-51.00.08.010151E-48.450965E-48.55088E-41.01182291.0E-5
7.11.0905424E-61.1497619E-61.1497619E-61.00.04.6737446E-64.9275427E-64.9275427E-61.00.05.6901354E-55.999128E-55.999128E-51.00.05.6886784E-45.997606E-46.0975464E-41.01666331.0E-5
7.26.06668E-76.387277E-76.387277E-71.00.02.600003E-62.7374022E-62.7374022E-61.00.03.1654577E-53.3327433E-53.3327433E-51.00.03.1650066E-43.3323118E-43.4322785E-41.02999931.0E-5

White Mountains

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.503579E-53.3784127E-51.3378075E-43.959871.0E-41.5014476E-41.4478175E-42.5476582E-41.75965431.1E-40.00182647960.00176141340.00187121961.06233991.1E-40.0181154030.0174868570.0176244081.0078661.4E-4
6.13.503579E-53.3784127E-51.3378075E-43.959871.0E-41.5014476E-41.4478175E-42.5476582E-41.75965431.1E-40.00182647960.00176141340.00187121961.06233991.1E-40.0181154030.0174868570.0176244081.0078661.4E-4
6.23.503579E-53.3784127E-51.3378075E-43.959871.0E-41.5014476E-41.4478175E-42.5476582E-41.75965431.1E-40.00182647960.00176141340.00187121961.06233991.1E-40.0181154030.0174868570.0176244081.0078661.4E-4
6.31.7818425E-51.591616E-57.59152E-54.7696946.0E-57.636245E-56.821041E-51.2820632E-41.87957126.0E-59.293162E-48.301596E-48.9010975E-41.07221536.0E-50.0092543950.00827204250.0083315471.00719336.0E-5
6.41.7818425E-51.591616E-57.59152E-54.7696946.0E-57.636245E-56.821041E-51.2820632E-41.87957126.0E-59.293162E-48.301596E-48.9010975E-41.07221536.0E-50.0092543950.00827204250.0083315471.00719336.0E-5
6.51.3397557E-51.1336374E-56.1335806E-55.41053155.0E-55.741684E-54.8583595E-59.8581164E-52.0291045.0E-56.988258E-45.913517E-46.413221E-41.08450215.0E-50.0069663230.0058984870.0059481921.00842685.0E-5
6.61.0818695E-58.625434E-64.862509E-55.6374084.0E-54.6365014E-53.6965648E-57.696417E-52.08204584.0E-55.6434784E-44.4996818E-44.899502E-41.08885514.0E-50.0056291680.00449100740.0045308281.00886674.0E-5
6.79.067908E-66.802476E-62.680234E-53.9400862.0E-53.8861883E-52.915316E-54.915258E-51.6860122.0E-54.7304068E-43.548851E-43.74878E-41.05633632.0E-50.004720350.0035435010.00356343021.00562422.0E-5
6.87.295947E-64.9364285E-62.493633E-55.0514922.0E-53.126797E-52.1155956E-54.1155534E-51.94534032.0E-53.8062103E-42.5754445E-42.775393E-41.07763652.0E-50.00379969760.00257257280.00259252131.00775432.0E-5
6.96.2243444E-63.8322546E-62.3832177E-56.218842.0E-52.6675489E-51.6423846E-53.642352E-52.21772152.0E-53.2472567E-41.9994251E-42.1993852E-41.10000872.0E-50.00324251570.0019976790.0020176391.00999162.0E-5
7.04.9878413E-62.679564E-62.2679511E-58.4638812.0E-52.1376287E-51.1483797E-53.1483567E-52.74156432.0E-52.602252E-41.3980652E-41.5980372E-41.14303482.0E-50.0025992070.00139721190.00141718391.01429432.0E-5
7.14.0252844E-61.885702E-61.885702E-61.00.01.7251105E-58.081555E-68.081555E-61.00.02.1001195E-49.838863E-59.838863E-51.00.00.00209813599.834635E-49.834635E-41.00.0
7.23.3284066E-61.2818929E-61.2818929E-61.00.01.4264522E-55.4938155E-65.4938155E-61.00.01.736567E-46.688525E-56.688525E-51.00.00.00173521076.6866126E-46.6866126E-41.00.0
7.32.458226E-66.056684E-76.056684E-71.00.01.0535211E-52.5957193E-62.5957193E-61.00.01.2825865E-43.160246E-53.160246E-51.00.00.00128184643.1598343E-43.1598343E-41.00.0
7.41.965953E-63.1084684E-73.1084684E-71.00.08.425486E-61.3322001E-61.3322001E-61.00.01.0257547E-41.6219417E-51.6219417E-51.00.00.00102528131.6218246E-41.6218246E-41.00.0
7.51.2014192E-61.8241002E-71.8241002E-71.00.05.148929E-67.8175697E-77.8175697E-71.00.06.2686406E-59.51785E-69.51785E-61.00.06.266873E-49.517451E-59.517451E-51.00.0
7.62.5612175E-74.893784E-84.893784E-81.00.01.0976642E-62.0973359E-72.0973359E-71.00.01.3363979E-52.5535037E-62.5535037E-61.00.01.3363175E-42.553478E-52.553478E-51.00.0

Santa Rosa Island

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1143165E-54.709113E-51.1708783E-42.48640977.0E-51.7631594E-42.0180462E-43.0178443E-41.49542881.0E-40.0021445330.00245439910.00256412921.04470751.1E-40.0212395530.0242935570.0244203971.00522121.3E-4
6.12.1061249E-52.3864959E-54.3864482E-51.83802882.0E-59.0259375E-51.0227455E-41.5226944E-41.48883025.0E-50.00109835390.00124451030.00130443571.04815176.0E-50.010929410.012378450.01244758351.0055857.0E-5
6.22.1061249E-52.3864959E-54.3864482E-51.83802882.0E-59.0259375E-51.0227455E-41.5226944E-41.48883025.0E-50.00109835390.00124451030.00130443571.04815176.0E-50.010929410.012378450.01244758351.0055857.0E-5
6.31.5158236E-51.7074419E-53.7074078E-52.1713232.0E-56.496225E-57.3174095E-51.2317044E-41.6832525.0E-57.906284E-48.9054246E-49.50489E-41.06731466.0E-50.0078782140.008870990.0089403691.00782087.0E-5
6.41.2341918E-51.3852917E-53.385264E-52.44371942.0E-55.2892858E-55.9368336E-51.0936537E-41.84214975.0E-56.437803E-47.225779E-47.825346E-41.0829766.0E-50.0064191840.00720312170.00727261741.0096487.0E-5
6.59.061158E-61.0117032E-53.011683E-52.97684452.0E-53.883296E-54.3358017E-59.335585E-52.15313945.0E-54.726887E-45.277613E-45.877296E-41.11362786.0E-50.0047168450.00526561770.00532530161.01133476.0E-5
6.67.5461685E-68.400734E-68.400734E-61.00.03.2340322E-53.600267E-56.6001594E-51.83324153.0E-53.936723E-44.3824868E-44.6823552E-41.06842433.0E-50.0039297560.00437427360.00440414251.00682833.0E-5
6.75.5023775E-66.087381E-66.087381E-61.00.02.3581404E-52.6088532E-54.608801E-51.76660042.0E-52.8706578E-43.1758484E-43.3757847E-41.06295532.0E-50.00286695220.00317163160.00319156821.00628592.0E-5
6.83.7351679E-64.0831405E-64.0831405E-61.00.01.6007763E-51.7499071E-51.7499071E-51.00.01.948771E-42.1303285E-42.1303285E-41.00.00.00194706290.00212853150.00212853151.00.0
6.92.456366E-62.6292707E-62.6292707E-61.00.01.0527241E-51.1268255E-51.1268255E-51.00.01.2816161E-41.3718239E-41.3718239E-41.00.00.00128087730.00137097990.00137097991.00.0
7.02.3245157E-62.4827784E-62.4827784E-61.00.09.962172E-61.0640436E-51.0640436E-51.00.01.2128269E-41.2953962E-41.2953962E-41.00.00.00121216520.00129464340.00129464341.00.0
7.12.2248344E-62.37325E-62.37325E-61.00.09.53497E-61.0171032E-51.0171032E-51.00.01.1608207E-41.238253E-41.238253E-41.00.00.00116021440.00123756510.00123756511.00.0
7.22.1350402E-62.2761542E-62.2761542E-61.00.09.150141E-69.75491E-69.75491E-61.00.01.1139726E-41.1875957E-41.1875957E-41.00.00.00111341440.00118696290.00118696291.00.0
7.31.9793572E-62.1087192E-62.1087192E-61.00.08.482932E-69.037337E-69.037337E-61.00.01.032748E-41.1002403E-41.1002403E-41.00.00.00103226820.00109969740.00109969741.00.0
7.41.6951194E-61.8045735E-61.8045735E-61.00.07.264777E-67.733864E-67.733864E-61.00.08.844508E-59.415574E-59.415574E-51.00.08.840988E-49.411601E-49.411601E-41.00.0
7.58.987207E-79.512216E-79.512216E-71.00.03.8516546E-64.0766577E-64.0766577E-61.00.04.6892885E-54.9632188E-54.9632188E-51.00.04.688299E-44.962122E-44.962122E-41.00.0
7.63.8783037E-74.0529335E-74.0529335E-71.00.01.6621291E-61.7369704E-61.7369704E-61.00.02.0236233E-52.1147416E-52.1147416E-51.00.02.023439E-42.114547E-42.114547E-41.00.0
7.76.181804E-86.339047E-86.339047E-81.00.02.6493444E-72.7167343E-72.7167343E-71.00.03.225572E-63.307619E-63.307619E-61.00.03.225525E-53.3075703E-53.3075703E-51.00.0
7.81.3704449E-91.3964153E-91.3964153E-91.00.05.873335E-95.984637E-95.984637E-91.00.07.1507856E-87.286295E-87.286295E-81.00.07.1507833E-77.286294E-77.286294E-71.00.0

Coronado Bank alt1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.533492E-59.3951705E-51.6394514E-41.74499367.0E-53.22824E-44.025903E-44.825581E-41.19863328.0E-50.00392330070.0048911210.00499063171.02034521.0E-40.038547550.0479040.048018251.0023851.2E-4
6.14.1807285E-55.0493105E-56.04926E-51.19803681.0E-51.7916178E-42.1638138E-42.2637921E-41.04620471.0E-50.00217911230.00263133650.00264131021.00379041.0E-50.0215786770.0260111240.0260306041.00074892.0E-5
6.24.1807285E-55.0493105E-56.04926E-51.19803681.0E-51.7916178E-42.1638138E-42.2637921E-41.04620471.0E-50.00217911230.00263133650.00264131021.00379041.0E-50.0215786770.0260111240.0260306041.00074892.0E-5
6.33.1793104E-53.7711125E-54.771075E-51.26516381.0E-51.3624904E-41.6160926E-41.7160765E-41.06186761.0E-50.00165756980.0019658490.00197582921.00507691.0E-50.0164526030.0194884950.0195081051.00100622.0E-5
6.42.9878007E-53.5335797E-54.5335444E-51.28298911.0E-51.2804232E-41.5143053E-41.6142902E-41.06602691.0E-50.00155780030.00184213950.00185212111.00541841.0E-50.0154692530.0182724630.01829211.00107462.0E-5
6.52.4512565E-52.8764101E-52.8764101E-51.00.01.0504962E-41.2326906E-41.2326906E-41.00.00.00127822870.00149979430.00149979431.00.00.0127090120.01489969250.0149095441.00066111.0E-5
6.62.1317413E-52.490667E-52.490667E-51.00.09.135714E-51.0673863E-41.0673863E-41.00.00.00111170560.00129879030.00129879031.00.00.0110616050.0129144070.0129242781.00076441.0E-5
6.71.8585655E-52.1634882E-52.1634882E-51.00.07.9650374E-59.271774E-59.271774E-51.00.09.6931186E-40.00112827440.00112827441.00.00.00965094750.0112276230.0112276231.00.0
6.81.5862879E-51.8419476E-51.8419476E-51.00.06.798199E-57.8938334E-57.8938334E-51.00.08.273665E-49.606697E-49.606697E-41.00.00.0082429280.0095671510.0095671511.00.0
6.91.3021509E-51.5095266E-51.5095266E-51.00.05.5805274E-56.46925E-56.46925E-51.00.06.792174E-47.873646E-47.873646E-41.00.00.0067714520.0078475730.0078475731.00.0
7.01.0974371E-51.2720105E-51.2720105E-51.00.04.7032172E-55.4513697E-55.4513697E-51.00.05.7246623E-46.635197E-46.635197E-41.00.00.00570993730.00661713540.00661713541.00.0
7.18.766221E-61.0163833E-51.0163833E-51.00.03.7568978E-54.3558655E-54.3558655E-51.00.04.573063E-45.302148E-45.302148E-41.00.00.00456366360.0052911970.0052911971.00.0
7.28.026024E-78.331776E-78.331776E-71.00.03.43972E-63.5707562E-63.5707562E-61.00.04.1877785E-54.34731E-54.34731E-51.00.04.1869894E-44.3464705E-44.3464705E-41.00.0
7.33.7293114E-73.700106E-73.700106E-71.00.01.5982754E-61.5857588E-61.5857588E-61.00.01.9458828E-51.9306442E-51.9306442E-51.00.01.9457124E-41.9304773E-41.9304773E-41.00.0
7.42.0557036E-71.9674441E-71.9674441E-71.00.08.810155E-78.4319004E-78.4319004E-71.00.01.0726311E-51.02657905E-51.02657905E-51.00.01.0725793E-41.026532E-41.026532E-41.00.0
7.56.845446E-86.2794086E-86.2794086E-81.00.02.9337625E-72.6911746E-72.6911746E-71.00.03.5718497E-63.2765004E-63.2765004E-61.00.03.5717923E-53.276453E-53.276453E-51.00.0
7.66.0975145E-95.531901E-95.531901E-91.00.02.6132206E-82.3708148E-82.3708148E-81.00.03.1815955E-72.8864667E-72.8864667E-71.00.03.181591E-62.886464E-62.886464E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.693995E-66.660123E-61.16659394E-417.5161021.1E-42.8688235E-52.8543072E-51.3853994E-44.8537151.1E-43.492233E-43.4745657E-44.5741835E-41.31647631.1E-40.003486750.00354911670.00366869081.03369131.2E-4
6.16.693995E-66.660123E-61.16659394E-417.5161021.1E-42.8688235E-52.8543072E-51.3853994E-44.8537151.1E-43.492233E-43.4745657E-44.5741835E-41.31647631.1E-40.003486750.00354911670.00366869081.03369131.2E-4
6.26.693995E-66.660123E-61.16659394E-417.5161021.1E-42.8688235E-52.8543072E-51.3853994E-44.8537151.1E-43.492233E-43.4745657E-44.5741835E-41.31647631.1E-40.003486750.00354911670.00366869081.03369131.2E-4
6.36.693995E-66.660123E-61.16659394E-417.5161021.1E-42.8688235E-52.8543072E-51.3853994E-44.8537151.1E-43.492233E-43.4745657E-44.5741835E-41.31647631.1E-40.003486750.00354911670.00366869081.03369131.2E-4
6.46.693995E-66.660123E-61.16659394E-417.5161021.1E-42.8688235E-52.8543072E-51.3853994E-44.8537151.1E-43.492233E-43.4745657E-44.5741835E-41.31647631.1E-40.003486750.00354911670.00366869081.03369131.2E-4
6.56.6561875E-66.620341E-61.16619616E-417.6153491.1E-42.8526205E-52.8372582E-51.3836946E-44.87687251.1E-43.472512E-43.453815E-44.553435E-41.31837831.1E-40.00346709070.00352843220.00364800871.03388941.2E-4
6.66.6561875E-66.620341E-61.16619616E-417.6153491.1E-42.8526205E-52.8372582E-51.3836946E-44.87687251.1E-43.472512E-43.453815E-44.553435E-41.31837831.1E-40.00346709070.00352843220.00364800871.03388941.2E-4
6.76.5802237E-66.539518E-61.16538795E-417.8207021.1E-42.8200653E-52.8026205E-51.3802313E-44.92478851.1E-43.4328885E-43.4116567E-44.5112814E-41.3223141.1E-40.00342759020.00348640650.00360598831.03429941.2E-4
6.86.575632E-66.5340073E-61.1653329E-417.8348881.1E-42.8180975E-52.8002589E-51.3799951E-44.9280981.1E-43.4304935E-43.4087826E-44.5084074E-41.32258581.1E-40.00342520260.00348354130.00360312341.03432771.2E-4
6.96.570433E-66.525401E-61.1652469E-417.857091.1E-42.8158694E-52.7965707E-51.3796263E-44.9332791.1E-43.4277816E-43.4042934E-44.503919E-41.32301141.1E-40.00342249920.00347906650.0035986491.0343721.2E-4
7.06.5643826E-66.5155223E-61.16514806E-417.882651.1E-42.8132765E-52.7923368E-51.379203E-44.9392431.1E-43.424626E-43.3991406E-44.4987665E-41.32350121.1E-40.00341935320.00347392960.00359351281.0344231.2E-4
7.16.557402E-66.504234E-61.1650352E-417.9119511.1E-42.8102848E-52.7874992E-51.3787193E-44.94607971.1E-43.4209844E-43.3932526E-44.492879E-41.32406271.1E-40.00341572290.00346806060.00358764451.03448151.2E-4
7.26.546394E-66.4862006E-61.16485484E-417.9589711.1E-42.8055672E-52.7797707E-51.3779465E-44.9570511.1E-43.4152428E-43.383846E-44.4834736E-41.32496391.1E-40.00340999870.00345868830.0035782731.03457521.2E-4
7.36.5364216E-66.4669857E-61.16466275E-418.009361.1E-42.8012933E-52.771536E-51.3771231E-44.96880871.1E-43.4100408E-43.373823E-44.473452E-41.32592961.1E-40.0034048130.00344871030.00356829661.03467561.2E-4
7.46.5269523E-66.4480723E-61.16447365E-418.0592521.1E-42.7972354E-52.7634303E-51.3763126E-44.980451.1E-43.4051016E-43.3639578E-44.4635875E-41.32688581.1E-40.00339988880.00343889230.00355847951.03477491.2E-4
7.56.5111835E-66.424346E-61.1642364E-418.1222551.1E-42.7904773E-52.753262E-51.375296E-44.9951511.1E-43.3968766E-43.3515817E-44.451213E-41.32809331.1E-40.00339168870.00342656440.00354615321.03490051.2E-4
7.66.4768806E-66.383454E-61.16382755E-418.231941.1E-42.7757764E-52.7357375E-51.3735436E-45.0207441.1E-43.3789838E-43.330252E-44.4298856E-41.33019531.1E-40.00337385040.00340529720.00352488851.03511921.2E-4
7.76.1655364E-66.1759456E-61.16175266E-418.8109281.1E-42.642346E-52.646807E-51.3646515E-45.1558411.1E-43.2165812E-43.2220117E-44.3216572E-41.34129171.1E-40.00321192950.00329693620.00341654061.03627741.2E-4
7.85.5043524E-65.7370175E-61.1573639E-420.1736151.1E-42.3589868E-52.4586987E-51.3458428E-45.4738011.1E-42.871688E-42.993055E-44.092726E-41.36740741.1E-40.00286797970.00306705850.00318669061.03900541.2E-4
7.93.889249E-64.0766436E-69.407628E-523.0768959.0E-51.6668104E-51.7471213E-51.0746964E-46.1512419.0E-52.0291525E-42.126913E-43.0267215E-41.42305859.0E-50.00202730070.00219410730.00228390981.0409299.0E-5
8.02.668535E-62.5313454E-64.2531243E-516.8018344.0E-51.1436528E-51.0848577E-55.0848143E-54.68707944.0E-51.3923083E-41.3207346E-41.7206818E-41.30282184.0E-50.00139143630.00137556650.00141551151.02903894.0E-5
8.11.5911459E-61.2185134E-62.121849E-517.4134242.0E-56.8191785E-65.2221894E-62.5222085E-54.8297912.0E-58.3020335E-56.357832E-58.3577055E-51.31455272.0E-58.298933E-46.6911156E-46.8909815E-41.02987042.0E-5
8.26.1294963E-72.1802066E-72.1802066E-71.00.02.6269242E-69.3437393E-79.3437393E-71.00.03.1982334E-51.1375943E-51.1375943E-51.00.03.1977732E-41.2778955E-41.2778955E-41.00.0
8.31.762871E-74.7516316E-84.7516316E-81.00.07.5551594E-72.0364133E-72.0364133E-71.00.09.1983675E-62.4793305E-62.4793305E-61.00.09.197987E-52.8671833E-52.8671833E-51.00.0

Kern Canyon (South Kern) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.105075E-64.113726E-66.4113476E-515.58525856.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-51.0762855E-46.1048059.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-43.1460496E-41.46582581.0E-40.00213968130.00214425540.00225401951.05118991.1E-4
6.14.105075E-64.113726E-66.4113476E-515.58525856.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-51.0762855E-46.1048059.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-43.1460496E-41.46582581.0E-40.00213968130.00214425540.00225401951.05118991.1E-4
6.24.105075E-64.113726E-66.4113476E-515.58525856.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-51.0762855E-46.1048059.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-43.1460496E-41.46582581.0E-40.00213968130.00214425540.00225401951.05118991.1E-4
6.34.105075E-64.113726E-66.4113476E-515.58525856.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-51.0762855E-46.1048059.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-43.1460496E-41.46582581.0E-40.00213968130.00214425540.00225401951.05118991.1E-4
6.44.105075E-64.113726E-66.4113476E-515.58525856.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-51.0762855E-46.1048059.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-43.1460496E-41.46582581.0E-40.00213968130.00214425540.00225401951.05118991.1E-4
6.52.9849807E-62.973154E-66.297298E-521.1805296.0E-51.2792712E-51.2742028E-59.274101E-57.27835568.0E-51.5574014E-41.551233E-42.4510935E-41.58009369.0E-50.00155631030.00155016540.00165001021.06440931.0E-4
6.62.9849807E-62.973154E-66.297298E-521.1805296.0E-51.2792712E-51.2742028E-59.274101E-57.27835568.0E-51.5574014E-41.551233E-42.4510935E-41.58009369.0E-50.00155631030.00155016540.00165001021.06440931.0E-4
6.72.6756725E-62.6582202E-66.265806E-523.5714346.0E-51.1467117E-51.1392323E-59.139141E-58.0221938.0E-51.396032E-41.386928E-42.1868171E-41.57673438.0E-50.00139515530.00138607340.00147594871.06484169.0E-5
6.82.3283721E-62.3047783E-66.230464E-527.0328146.0E-59.9787E-69.877584E-68.987679E-59.0990678.0E-51.214839E-41.2025302E-42.002434E-41.66518398.0E-50.0012141750.0012018870.00129177881.07479239.0E-5
6.92.0972677E-62.0696405E-66.2069514E-529.9904826.0E-58.988259E-68.869858E-67.8869234E-58.8918277.0E-51.0942656E-41.0798523E-41.7797766E-41.64816687.0E-50.00109372680.00107933340.0011592471.07403988.0E-5
7.01.7132242E-61.6787029E-62.167867E-512.913942.0E-57.3423685E-67.1944214E-63.7194204E-55.16986753.0E-58.938967E-58.75886E-51.1758597E-41.34248033.0E-58.935372E-48.755446E-49.155096E-41.04564584.0E-5
7.11.4215541E-61.3815746E-62.1381547E-515.4762162.0E-56.0923603E-65.9210206E-63.5920842E-56.06666373.0E-57.417196E-57.208607E-51.02083904E-41.41613913.0E-57.414721E-47.206296E-47.606007E-41.0554674.0E-5
7.29.097853E-78.60377E-71.0860368E-512.6228031.0E-53.899074E-63.6873246E-62.3687251E-56.4239672.0E-54.7470192E-54.4892266E-56.489136E-51.44549112.0E-54.7460053E-44.4883305E-44.6882406E-41.044542.0E-5
7.36.144169E-75.628199E-71.0562814E-518.7676641.0E-52.6332125E-62.4120832E-62.2412034E-59.2915692.0E-53.205889E-52.9366722E-54.9366132E-51.6810232.0E-53.2054266E-42.9362892E-43.1362305E-41.06809322.0E-5
7.44.049844E-73.5728252E-73.5728252E-71.00.01.7356463E-61.5312098E-61.1531194E-57.53077361.0E-52.1131287E-51.8642324E-52.8642136E-51.53640381.0E-52.1129279E-41.8640784E-41.9640598E-41.05363581.0E-5
7.51.9871162E-71.5830383E-71.5830383E-71.00.08.5162094E-76.784448E-71.0678438E-515.7395831.0E-51.0368436E-58.260035E-61.8259952E-52.21063851.0E-51.0367952E-48.259736E-59.2596536E-51.12105921.0E-5
7.62.572245E-81.735264E-81.735264E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436845E-87.436845E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.0543557E-79.0543557E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054324E-69.054324E-61.00.0

Pinto Mtn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.4194956E-54.7853926E-51.07851054E-42.25375566.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-42.9505457E-41.4387789.0E-50.00230342360.00249406880.00259381931.03999511.0E-40.0227969380.0246783050.0247758371.00395211.0E-4
6.14.4194956E-54.7853926E-51.07851054E-42.25375566.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-42.9505457E-41.4387789.0E-50.00230342360.00249406880.00259381931.03999511.0E-40.0227969380.0246783050.0247758371.00395211.0E-4
6.24.4194956E-54.7853926E-51.07851054E-42.25375566.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-42.9505457E-41.4387789.0E-50.00230342360.00249406880.00259381931.03999511.0E-40.0227969380.0246783050.0247758371.00395211.0E-4
6.34.4194956E-54.7853926E-51.07851054E-42.25375566.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-42.9505457E-41.4387789.0E-50.00230342360.00249406880.00259381931.03999511.0E-40.0227969380.0246783050.0247758371.00395211.0E-4
6.43.729929E-53.960349E-58.960151E-52.2624655.0E-51.5984432E-41.6971873E-42.3970685E-41.41237717.0E-50.00194436730.00206446040.00214429531.0386718.0E-50.0192744270.0204628480.0205412121.00382958.0E-5
6.53.729929E-53.960349E-58.960151E-52.2624655.0E-51.5984432E-41.6971873E-42.3970685E-41.41237717.0E-50.00194436730.00206446040.00214429531.0386718.0E-50.0192744270.0204628480.0205412121.00382958.0E-5
6.63.0204548E-53.12056E-56.1204664E-51.96133593.0E-51.2944164E-41.3373162E-41.7372628E-41.29906654.0E-50.00157481270.00162700120.00167691991.03068145.0E-50.0156369920.0161547640.0162039571.00304515.0E-5
6.72.9857754E-53.0814987E-56.081406E-51.97352233.0E-51.2795553E-41.3205773E-41.7205245E-41.30285794.0E-50.00155674530.00160665170.00165657141.03107065.0E-50.0154588480.0159542040.0160034061.0030845.0E-5
6.82.4819734E-52.5009665E-53.5009416E-51.39983551.0E-51.0636595E-41.0718E-41.2717786E-41.1865822.0E-50.00129423620.0013041570.00133411781.02297343.0E-50.0128672440.0129674030.0129970141.00228353.0E-5
6.92.331124E-52.3337945E-53.333771E-51.42847671.0E-59.990149E-51.0001605E-41.2001405E-41.1999482.0E-50.0012156220.00121703550.0012469991.024623.0E-50.0120899360.0121058970.0121355341.00244813.0E-5
7.02.1818534E-52.1761074E-53.1760857E-51.45952621.0E-59.3504656E-59.3258524E-51.0325759E-41.10721891.0E-50.00113782460.00113485090.00115482821.01760352.0E-50.0113201630.011292660.01131243351.00175112.0E-5
7.12.066081E-52.0540718E-53.0540512E-51.48682791.0E-58.854332E-58.8028784E-59.802791E-51.11358921.0E-50.00107748180.00107124310.00109122171.01864992.0E-50.0107227240.01066284350.010682631.00185572.0E-5
7.21.8990233E-51.9054001E-52.9053812E-51.52481411.0E-58.138417E-58.165756E-59.1656744E-51.12245261.0E-59.904018E-49.937467E-40.00101372681.02010582.0E-50.0098599950.0098950290.0099148311.00200122.0E-5
7.31.3335872E-51.4906713E-51.4906713E-51.00.05.7152483E-56.388442E-56.388442E-51.00.06.956093E-47.77528E-47.875202E-41.01285121.0E-50.0069343590.0077493760.0077592981.00128041.0E-5
7.49.414066E-61.186096E-51.186096E-51.00.04.0345374E-55.083175E-55.083175E-51.00.04.910942E-46.1871024E-46.2870403E-41.01615261.0E-50.00490010340.00617082560.00618076371.00161051.0E-5
7.57.2101157E-69.158192E-69.158192E-61.00.03.090013E-53.9248847E-53.9248847E-51.00.03.7614413E-44.7775774E-44.87753E-41.02092111.0E-50.00375508070.0047680820.00477803451.00208721.0E-5
7.63.296375E-64.5455017E-64.5455017E-61.00.01.4127245E-51.9480583E-51.9480583E-51.00.01.7198564E-42.3715167E-42.3715167E-41.00.00.00171852590.00236912330.00236912331.00.0
7.72.5741092E-63.5844084E-63.5844084E-61.00.01.103185E-51.5361667E-51.5361667E-51.00.01.3430449E-41.8701357E-41.8701357E-41.00.00.00134223350.00186869180.00186869181.00.0

Rose Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5923203E-54.9714607E-58.9712616E-51.80455264.0E-51.9679888E-42.1304654E-42.5303802E-41.18771244.0E-50.00239339330.00259094780.00266076651.02694717.0E-50.0236777980.0256185180.0257159561.00380341.0E-4
6.14.5923203E-54.9714607E-58.9712616E-51.80455264.0E-51.9679888E-42.1304654E-42.5303802E-41.18771244.0E-50.00239339330.00259094780.00265079251.02309756.0E-50.0236777980.0256185180.0256867241.00266247.0E-5
6.22.8844734E-52.9669678E-53.9669383E-51.33703451.0E-51.2361443E-41.2714976E-41.371485E-41.07863741.0E-50.00150396650.0015469760.00156694511.01290852.0E-50.01493828650.0153648730.0153944121.00192253.0E-5
6.32.3171577E-52.3162425E-53.3162192E-51.43172371.0E-59.9302975E-59.926383E-51.0926284E-41.10073161.0E-50.00120834310.00120788040.00122785631.01653792.0E-50.0120179380.0120121520.0120417921.00246753.0E-5
6.42.0066604E-51.9668067E-52.966787E-51.50842831.0E-58.599689E-58.428905E-59.42882E-51.11862931.0E-50.00104650920.0010257460.00104572551.0194782.0E-50.0104159460.0102114790.0102411721.00290793.0E-5
6.51.776989E-51.7115402E-52.7115231E-51.5842591.0E-57.615444E-57.33497E-58.334896E-51.13632321.0E-59.267859E-48.926737E-49.126558E-41.02238462.0E-50.0092293030.0088746630.00890439751.00335043.0E-5
6.61.5227364E-51.4340872E-52.4340728E-51.69729761.0E-56.52585E-56.145947E-57.145885E-51.16269891.0E-57.942326E-47.480173E-47.6800236E-41.02671732.0E-50.0079140.00744103360.00747081031.00400173.0E-5
6.71.2703898E-51.1674277E-51.1674277E-51.00.05.4444143E-55.0031682E-55.0031682E-51.00.06.626558E-46.089697E-46.089697E-41.00.00.0066068330.00606230930.0060722491.00163951.0E-5
6.81.1554917E-51.0610384E-51.0610384E-51.00.04.9520135E-54.547231E-54.547231E-51.00.06.0274085E-45.5348873E-45.5348873E-41.00.00.00601108650.0055044140.0055143591.00180671.0E-5
6.98.732078E-67.882285E-67.882285E-61.00.03.7422655E-53.37808E-53.37808E-51.00.04.5552556E-44.112066E-44.112066E-41.00.00.00454592940.0040895150.0040895151.00.0
7.05.9337494E-65.107436E-65.107436E-61.00.02.5430107E-52.1888829E-52.1888829E-51.00.03.0956755E-42.6646405E-42.6646405E-41.00.00.00309136670.0026614610.0026614611.00.0
7.15.013409E-64.17734E-64.17734E-61.00.02.1485863E-51.7902763E-51.7902763E-51.00.02.6155898E-42.1794444E-42.1794444E-41.00.00.00261251330.00217731880.00217731881.00.0
7.24.120763E-63.2820917E-63.2820917E-61.00.01.7660293E-51.4066032E-51.4066032E-51.00.02.1499286E-41.7124058E-41.7124058E-41.00.00.00214784990.00171109580.00171109581.00.0
7.33.2081239E-62.4404965E-62.4404965E-61.00.01.374903E-51.0459229E-51.0459229E-51.00.01.6738157E-41.2733374E-41.2733374E-41.00.00.00167255560.00127261480.00127261481.00.0
7.42.4194755E-61.7680321E-61.7680321E-61.00.01.0369139E-57.5772587E-67.5772587E-61.00.01.2623696E-49.224927E-59.224927E-51.00.00.00126165279.221151E-49.221151E-41.00.0
7.51.3842889E-69.3782967E-79.3782967E-71.00.05.9326535E-64.019264E-64.019264E-61.00.07.222766E-54.8933474E-54.8933474E-51.00.07.220419E-44.8923056E-44.8923056E-41.00.0
7.61.0021575E-66.4113493E-76.4113493E-71.00.04.2949537E-62.7477186E-62.7477186E-61.00.05.2289808E-53.345298E-53.345298E-51.00.05.2277505E-43.344816E-43.344816E-41.00.0
7.78.7620116E-86.449304E-86.449304E-81.00.03.7551473E-72.763987E-72.763987E-71.00.04.5718825E-63.3651493E-63.3651493E-61.00.04.5717883E-53.3651013E-53.3651013E-51.00.0

Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2521618E-44.763429E-45.363143E-41.12589976.0E-59.6485513E-40.00203990940.00211974631.03913758.0E-50.0116839880.0245445310.0246225691.00317948.0E-50.110884230.213499230.213570011.00033159.0E-5
6.12.2521618E-44.763429E-45.363143E-41.12589976.0E-59.6485513E-40.00203990940.00211974631.03913758.0E-50.0116839880.0245445310.0246225691.00317948.0E-50.110884230.213499230.213570011.00033159.0E-5
6.22.198148E-44.6718874E-45.271607E-41.12836786.0E-59.417233E-40.00200073770.00208057771.03990538.0E-50.0114053430.0240785130.0241565871.00324258.0E-50.108374280.209935720.210006831.00033879.0E-5
6.32.1704129E-44.615455E-45.215178E-41.1299386.0E-59.298453E-40.00197658920.00205643131.04039378.0E-50.0112622340.0237920340.0238701311.00328248.0E-50.1070827250.207826840.207898131.00034319.0E-5
6.41.876142E-44.004663E-44.6044227E-41.14976546.0E-58.038131E-40.00171516950.00179503231.04656278.0E-50.009742590.0206786620.0207570061.00378878.0E-50.0932636860.184577870.184651261.00039769.0E-5
6.51.7390939E-43.7478763E-44.3476516E-41.16003066.0E-57.45113E-40.00160525610.00168512771.04975638.0E-50.0090340780.0193672930.0194457431.00405078.0E-50.0867552160.174400150.174474451.0004269.0E-5
6.61.591791E-43.4893592E-44.08915E-41.17189136.0E-56.8201777E-40.00149459260.00157447311.05344638.0E-50.0082719960.0180450080.0181235651.00435348.0E-50.079707740.163807870.163883121.00045949.0E-5
6.71.4268003E-43.2059717E-43.8057796E-41.18709086.0E-56.1134255E-40.00137327260.00145316281.0581758.0E-50.0074177230.016591710.0166703821.00474178.0E-50.071749560.151935940.152012261.00050239.0E-5
6.81.239713E-42.9055026E-43.5053285E-41.20644476.0E-55.3119735E-40.00124462740.00132452781.06419628.0E-50.00644816740.0150494820.0151282781.00523588.0E-50.062642430.138380510.138458061.00056049.0E-5
6.91.0180238E-42.6255674E-43.22541E-41.2284626.0E-54.3622297E-40.00112476220.00120467231.07104618.0E-50.0052980890.0136089980.0136879091.00579858.0E-50.051735430.124964730.125043481.00063039.0E-5
7.07.6619996E-52.2400476E-42.8399134E-41.26779146.0E-53.283301E-49.596704E-40.00103959361.0832828.0E-50.00399009320.0116221030.0117011731.00680348.0E-50.0391920660.107269820.107350171.0007499.0E-5
7.17.5127435E-52.2083633E-42.708253E-41.2263625.0E-53.2193496E-49.461013E-40.00101603511.07391797.0E-50.00391251550.0114586480.0115278461.00603897.0E-50.0384434420.105833780.105905311.00067598.0E-5
7.26.788582E-52.0211334E-42.5210323E-41.24733595.0E-52.9090676E-48.6591556E-49.358549E-41.08076937.0E-50.00353603860.01049220.0105614651.00660167.0E-50.0348030.0975036840.097575891.00074058.0E-5
7.36.399602E-51.8842232E-42.3841289E-41.26531145.0E-52.7423984E-48.0727716E-48.7722065E-41.08664127.0E-50.00333375860.0097848970.00985421151.00708397.0E-50.032841880.0913979860.091470671.00079528.0E-5
7.44.506759E-51.2530042E-41.7529415E-41.3989915.0E-51.9313251E-45.3689216E-46.0685456E-41.130317.0E-50.00234885260.0065172450.00658678871.01067087.0E-50.0232418050.0623645220.062439531.00120288.0E-5
7.53.43289E-59.336103E-51.2335823E-41.32130323.0E-51.4711556E-44.0005764E-44.5003765E-41.12493195.0E-50.00178966030.0048598860.00490964341.01023835.0E-50.017753160.0470570660.0471047131.00101265.0E-5
7.62.5980507E-57.053672E-59.0535315E-51.28352022.0E-51.1134028E-43.0226534E-43.3225628E-41.09922053.0E-50.0013547250.00367389480.00370378471.00813573.0E-50.0134649590.035842980.0358719041.00080693.0E-5
7.71.7292105E-54.9412036E-56.941105E-51.40473962.0E-57.4106916E-52.1174872E-42.4174237E-41.14164733.0E-59.018782E-40.00257499840.0026049211.01162053.0E-50.0089822670.0252920970.0253213381.00115613.0E-5
7.81.2927471E-53.9697254E-54.9696857E-51.25189661.0E-55.5402274E-51.7012001E-41.9011661E-41.1175442.0E-56.743139E-40.00206924630.00208920471.00964532.0E-50.00672271430.0204331450.0204527361.00095882.0E-5
7.91.0200774E-52.8748475E-53.874819E-51.34783461.0E-54.371687E-51.2320194E-41.3320071E-41.08115761.0E-55.321229E-40.00149895260.00150893761.00666131.0E-50.0053085050.0149928950.0150027441.0006571.0E-5
8.08.650396E-62.3279512E-53.3279277E-51.42955231.0E-53.70726E-59.976552E-51.0976452E-41.1002251.0E-54.5126543E-40.00121396930.00122395721.00822751.0E-50.00450350160.0122121640.0122220411.00080881.0E-5
8.13.9368224E-67.3283345E-61.732826E-52.36455661.0E-51.6871985E-53.1406773E-54.1406456E-51.31839261.0E-52.0539707E-43.8231048E-43.9230665E-41.02614681.0E-50.00205207310.00400153130.00401149131.00248911.0E-5
8.21.7101195E-62.2178374E-62.2178374E-61.00.07.329063E-69.504983E-69.504983E-61.00.08.922769E-51.15717055E-41.15717055E-41.00.08.9191867E-40.001266690.001266691.00.0
8.33.0346666E-81.721086E-81.721086E-81.00.01.3005713E-77.376083E-87.376083E-81.00.01.5834444E-68.98038E-78.98038E-71.00.01.5834332E-59.36379E-69.36379E-61.00.0

Tin Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.083776E-64.1815365E-64.4181368E-510.5658224.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-55.7920053E-53.2320074.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.6815635E-41.22913195.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00227967841.04577371.0E-4
6.14.083776E-64.1815365E-64.4181368E-510.5658224.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-55.7920053E-53.2320074.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.6815635E-41.22913195.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00227967841.04577371.0E-4
6.24.083776E-64.1815365E-64.4181368E-510.5658224.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-55.7920053E-53.2320074.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.6815635E-41.22913195.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00227967841.04577371.0E-4
6.34.083776E-64.1815365E-64.4181368E-510.5658224.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-55.7920053E-53.2320074.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.6815635E-41.22913195.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00227967841.04577371.0E-4
6.44.083776E-64.1815365E-64.4181368E-510.5658224.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-55.7920053E-53.2320074.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.6815635E-41.22913195.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00227967841.04577371.0E-4
6.52.3143427E-62.3731573E-62.237311E-59.4275722.0E-59.9185745E-61.0170638E-53.0170435E-52.9664252.0E-51.2075195E-41.2382126E-41.4381878E-41.16150322.0E-50.00120686360.00123759860.00128753671.04035085.0E-5
6.62.3143427E-62.3731573E-62.237311E-59.4275722.0E-59.9185745E-61.0170638E-53.0170435E-52.9664252.0E-51.2075195E-41.2382126E-41.4381878E-41.16150322.0E-50.00120686360.00123759860.00128753671.04035085.0E-5
6.71.7029532E-61.7497915E-62.1749756E-512.42991352.0E-57.2983503E-67.499088E-62.7498938E-53.6669712.0E-58.885379E-59.1298105E-51.1129628E-41.21904252.0E-58.881827E-49.1265864E-49.62613E-41.0547355.0E-5
6.81.2914646E-61.3299378E-61.1329925E-58.5191381.0E-55.534837E-65.6997237E-61.5699667E-52.7544611.0E-56.738455E-56.939237E-57.939168E-51.1440981.0E-56.736412E-46.9375033E-47.337226E-41.05761774.0E-5
6.95.8708974E-76.1169936E-71.0611693E-517.3478891.0E-52.5160964E-62.6215664E-61.262154E-54.81450371.0E-53.0633044E-53.1917145E-54.1916825E-51.31330121.0E-53.0628822E-43.191297E-43.2912652E-41.03132521.0E-5
7.04.6248786E-74.832015E-74.832015E-71.00.01.9820893E-62.0708624E-62.0708624E-61.00.02.413167E-52.5212494E-52.5212494E-51.00.02.412905E-42.5210003E-42.5210003E-41.00.0
7.13.804606E-73.987147E-73.987147E-71.00.01.6305444E-61.7087764E-61.7087764E-61.00.01.9851697E-52.0804187E-52.0804187E-51.00.01.9849923E-42.0802575E-42.0802575E-41.00.0
7.23.5864858E-73.7616863E-73.7616863E-71.00.01.5370645E-61.6121504E-61.6121504E-61.00.01.87136E-51.9627789E-51.9627789E-51.00.01.8712023E-41.9626386E-41.9626386E-41.00.0
7.33.342063E-73.506347E-73.506347E-71.00.01.4323119E-61.5027196E-61.5027196E-61.00.01.7438259E-51.829549E-51.829549E-51.00.01.743689E-41.8294314E-41.8294314E-41.00.0
7.42.971242E-73.1165817E-73.1165817E-71.00.01.2733886E-61.3356774E-61.3356774E-61.00.01.5503398E-51.6261785E-51.6261785E-51.00.01.5502315E-41.6260923E-41.6260923E-41.00.0
7.51.4326713E-71.5012525E-71.5012525E-71.00.06.140018E-76.433939E-76.433939E-71.00.07.4754466E-67.8333205E-67.8333205E-61.00.07.475195E-57.833321E-57.833321E-51.00.0

Red Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1810763E-54.7590016E-58.758811E-51.84047254.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.4393405E-41.1960944.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.00253020931.02010865.0E-50.0215804520.024544110.02463191.00357699.0E-5
6.14.1810763E-54.7590016E-58.758811E-51.84047254.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.4393405E-41.1960944.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.00253020931.02010865.0E-50.0215804520.024544110.02463191.00357699.0E-5
6.24.1810763E-54.7590016E-58.758811E-51.84047254.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.4393405E-41.1960944.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.00253020931.02010865.0E-50.0215804520.024544110.02463191.00357699.0E-5
6.34.1810763E-54.7590016E-58.758811E-51.84047254.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.4393405E-41.1960944.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.00253020931.02010865.0E-50.0215804520.024544110.02463191.00357699.0E-5
6.44.1810763E-54.7590016E-58.758811E-51.84047254.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.4393405E-41.1960944.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.00253020931.02010865.0E-50.0215804520.024544110.02463191.00357699.0E-5
6.53.154503E-53.5359757E-57.5358344E-52.13118964.0E-51.3518598E-41.5153353E-41.9152748E-41.26392794.0E-50.00164464670.00184345180.00189335961.0270735.0E-50.016325280.0182912440.0183599651.0037577.0E-5
6.63.1535834E-53.5349138E-57.534772E-52.13152934.0E-51.3514658E-41.5148803E-41.9148197E-41.26400724.0E-50.00164416760.00184289870.00189280651.02708115.0E-50.016320560.0182858050.0183545261.00375817.0E-5
6.72.8267326E-53.1469353E-57.1468094E-52.27103784.0E-51.2114006E-41.3486217E-41.7485677E-41.29655914.0E-50.00147388240.00164079540.00169071331.0304235.0E-50.0146414520.016295570.0163644311.00422567.0E-5
6.82.8212884E-53.1407242E-57.1405986E-52.27355174.0E-51.20906756E-41.3459599E-41.745906E-41.29714564.0E-50.00147104570.00163755950.00168747771.03048325.0E-50.0146134590.0162636880.016332551.00423417.0E-5
6.92.4227871E-52.6706994E-56.670593E-52.4976954.0E-51.03829596E-41.1445395E-41.5444937E-41.34944564.0E-50.00126339230.00139266210.00144259241.03585245.0E-50.0125623360.01384703350.0139062031.0042736.0E-5
7.02.348524E-52.5835778E-56.583474E-52.54820064.0E-51.0064714E-41.10720495E-41.5071606E-41.361234.0E-50.00122469010.0013472640.00139719671.03706235.0E-50.0121796270.0133985980.0134577941.00441816.0E-5
7.12.2311642E-52.4462845E-55.446211E-52.22631963.0E-59.561782E-51.04836974E-41.3483383E-41.28612863.0E-50.00116352520.00127571760.00131566661.03131484.0E-50.011574520.012691460.0127408251.00388975.0E-5
7.21.6533986E-51.7670362E-54.7669833E-52.69772823.0E-57.085802E-57.572828E-51.0572601E-41.39612323.0E-58.623549E-49.2166534E-49.6162845E-41.04335984.0E-50.0085901610.0091847070.0092243391.0043154.0E-5
7.31.4703092E-51.5559537E-54.555907E-52.9280483.0E-56.301173E-56.668237E-59.668037E-51.4498643.0E-57.668978E-48.1161706E-48.515846E-41.04924434.0E-50.00764256580.0080926040.008132281.00490284.0E-5
7.46.1331984E-65.5288874E-63.5528723E-56.4260173.0E-52.6284872E-52.3695018E-55.3694308E-52.2660593.0E-53.199713E-42.884492E-43.2843766E-41.13863274.0E-50.00319510980.00288080240.00292068721.0138454.0E-5
7.55.954766E-65.338517E-63.533836E-56.61950833.0E-52.5520176E-52.2879161E-55.2878473E-52.31120683.0E-53.1066386E-42.785187E-43.1850755E-41.1435774.0E-50.0031022990.00278175040.0028216391.01433944.0E-5
7.64.9726646E-64.315309E-63.431518E-57.95196343.0E-52.1311245E-51.8494053E-54.8493497E-52.62211323.0E-52.5943352E-42.2514217E-42.6513316E-41.17762554.0E-50.00259130840.00224917540.00228908541.01774434.0E-5
7.73.3613894E-62.8526886E-62.2852631E-58.010912.0E-51.4405875E-51.22257525E-53.2225507E-52.63587122.0E-51.7537741E-41.4883863E-41.6883566E-41.13435382.0E-50.00175239080.00148741570.00150738611.01342622.0E-5
7.81.1828961E-61.0122935E-61.0122935E-61.00.05.069545E-64.338394E-64.338394E-61.00.06.171996E-55.281869E-55.281869E-51.00.06.170282E-45.280643E-45.280643E-41.00.0
7.92.2967266E-71.861919E-71.861919E-71.00.09.843111E-77.97965E-77.97965E-71.00.01.19839215E-59.715184E-69.715184E-61.00.01.1983275E-49.714788E-59.714788E-51.00.0

Kern Canyon (Lake Isabella) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.2387383E-64.0016344E-63.4001514E-58.4969073.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-57.714873E-54.49853136.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.8876346E-41.38309818.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.00217583641.04305429.0E-5
6.14.2387383E-64.0016344E-63.4001514E-58.4969073.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-57.714873E-54.49853136.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.8876346E-41.38309818.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.00217583641.04305429.0E-5
6.24.2387383E-64.0016344E-63.4001514E-58.4969073.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-57.714873E-54.49853136.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.8876346E-41.38309818.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.00217583641.04305429.0E-5
6.34.2387383E-64.0016344E-63.4001514E-58.4969073.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-57.714873E-54.49853136.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.8876346E-41.38309818.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.00217583641.04305429.0E-5
6.44.2387383E-64.0016344E-63.4001514E-58.4969073.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-57.714873E-54.49853136.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.8876346E-41.38309818.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.00217583641.04305429.0E-5
6.52.7857532E-62.5178624E-62.2517812E-58.9432262.0E-51.1938888E-51.0790796E-56.0790255E-55.63352875.0E-51.4534626E-41.3137035E-41.9136247E-41.45666416.0E-50.00145251230.00131295960.00137288091.04563836.0E-5
6.62.2233348E-61.944119E-62.194408E-511.28741552.0E-59.528543E-68.331913E-64.8331578E-55.80077844.0E-51.1600384E-41.014364E-41.5143133E-41.49286975.0E-50.0011594330.00101390960.0010638591.04926415.0E-5
6.72.1635126E-61.8834991E-62.1883461E-511.6185152.0E-59.272164E-68.072114E-64.807179E-55.95529134.0E-51.1288274E-49.827364E-51.4826872E-41.50873345.0E-50.00112825429.8231E-40.00103226081.05085045.0E-5
6.81.8685711E-61.583138E-62.1583106E-513.6331182.0E-58.008137E-66.7848596E-64.678459E-56.8954394.0E-59.74947E-58.2602586E-51.3259845E-41.6052585.0E-59.745194E-48.2572375E-48.7568245E-41.06050295.0E-5
6.91.5815071E-61.3064887E-62.1306463E-516.3081872.0E-56.77787E-65.5992255E-63.5599056E-56.3578543.0E-58.251744E-56.816846E-51.0816574E-41.58674164.0E-58.248681E-46.8147824E-47.2145095E-41.0586564.0E-5
7.01.3772564E-61.1210681E-61.1121057E-59.9200541.0E-55.9025137E-64.8045686E-62.4804473E-55.16268442.0E-57.186073E-55.8494075E-58.849232E-51.51284243.0E-57.18375E-45.8478885E-46.1477127E-41.05127063.0E-5
7.11.0916998E-68.7637505E-71.0876366E-512.410631.0E-54.678705E-63.7558877E-62.3755812E-56.32495262.0E-55.6961744E-54.5726985E-56.5726075E-51.43735852.0E-55.6947145E-44.571771E-44.7716798E-41.04372672.0E-5
7.27.6277024E-75.901439E-71.0590138E-517.9450111.0E-53.2690114E-62.5291856E-62.2529135E-58.9076632.0E-53.9799485E-53.0792406E-55.079179E-51.64949082.0E-53.9792358E-43.07882E-43.2787584E-41.064942.0E-5
7.35.3265916E-74.3824264E-74.3824264E-71.00.02.282823E-61.8781814E-61.1878163E-56.32428931.0E-52.7793016E-52.2866623E-53.2866392E-51.43730871.0E-52.778954E-42.2864307E-42.3864079E-41.04372631.0E-5
7.43.4946007E-73.0065647E-73.0065647E-71.00.01.497685E-61.2885271E-61.12885145E-58.7607891.0E-51.8234163E-51.5687707E-52.568755E-51.63743191.0E-51.8232666E-41.5686621E-41.6686464E-41.06373861.0E-5
7.51.8317026E-71.4244755E-71.4244755E-71.00.07.850152E-76.1048934E-71.06104835E-517.3802931.0E-59.557518E-67.432683E-61.7432609E-52.34539911.0E-59.5571064E-57.432442E-58.4323685E-51.13453531.0E-5
7.62.572245E-81.735264E-81.735264E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436845E-87.436845E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.0543557E-79.0543557E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054324E-69.054324E-61.00.0

Santa Cruz Catalina Ridge alt1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2833184E-53.6558402E-57.6556935E-52.09409984.0E-51.4070606E-41.5667039E-42.1666099E-41.38290976.0E-50.001711750.00190595940.0019758261.03665697.0E-50.0169862470.0189130320.018991521.00414998.0E-5
6.11.9835548E-52.1659505E-54.1659074E-51.92336212.0E-58.500672E-59.282326E-51.12821406E-41.21544332.0E-50.00103446550.00112955750.00115952361.02652913.0E-50.0102966320.0112402960.0112798461.00351864.0E-5
6.21.9835548E-52.1659505E-54.1659074E-51.92336212.0E-58.500672E-59.282326E-51.12821406E-41.21544332.0E-50.00103446550.00112955750.00115952361.02652913.0E-50.0102966320.0112402960.0112798461.00351864.0E-5
6.31.5728183E-51.703395E-53.703361E-52.1741062.0E-56.7404755E-57.300063E-59.299917E-51.27395022.0E-58.2034385E-48.884264E-49.183997E-41.03373753.0E-50.0081732220.0088494270.0088890731.00448014.0E-5
6.41.5728183E-51.703395E-53.703361E-52.1741062.0E-56.7404755E-57.300063E-59.299917E-51.27395022.0E-58.2034385E-48.884264E-49.183997E-41.03373753.0E-50.0081732220.0088494270.0088890731.00448014.0E-5
6.51.3707734E-51.4794522E-53.4794226E-52.35183172.0E-55.8746107E-56.3403575E-58.34023E-51.31541972.0E-57.1499916E-47.716686E-48.0164545E-41.03884693.0E-50.00712703030.00769028950.0077299821.00516144.0E-5
6.61.2539813E-51.3510219E-53.350995E-52.4803412.0E-55.3740947E-55.789967E-57.789851E-51.34540512.0E-56.540996E-47.0470315E-47.34682E-41.04254113.0E-50.00652177630.00702498850.00706470761.0056544.0E-5
6.71.1504083E-51.2377375E-53.2377127E-52.61583162.0E-54.930228E-55.3044827E-57.304377E-51.37701962.0E-56.0008996E-46.456314E-46.6561846E-41.03095752.0E-50.0059847210.0064377860.0064675931.004633.0E-5
6.81.012739E-51.0877071E-53.0876854E-52.83871032.0E-54.340238E-54.6615194E-56.6614266E-51.42902472.0E-55.282958E-45.673937E-45.8738235E-41.03522882.0E-50.00527041640.00565961930.00568944961.00527073.0E-5
6.98.9607865E-69.609117E-62.9608926E-53.08133672.0E-53.8402806E-54.1181287E-56.1180464E-51.48563742.0E-54.6745385E-45.012679E-45.2125787E-41.03987882.0E-50.00466471770.0050014920.00503134171.00596823.0E-5
7.08.046829E-68.619746E-62.8619574E-53.3202342.0E-53.4485955E-53.694125E-55.694051E-51.54138022.0E-54.1978562E-44.496677E-44.6965873E-41.04445732.0E-50.0041899350.00448766860.00451753431.0066553.0E-5
7.17.136131E-67.637656E-62.7637503E-53.61858442.0E-53.0583058E-53.2732405E-55.273175E-51.61099532.0E-53.7228514E-43.9844486E-44.184369E-41.05017522.0E-50.00371662060.0039773810.00400726171.00751273.0E-5
7.26.362014E-66.8049585E-62.6804822E-53.93901322.0E-52.726549E-52.9163786E-54.91632E-51.6857622.0E-53.3190678E-43.550119E-43.7500478E-41.05631612.0E-50.00331411490.0035445160.00357440981.00843383.0E-5
7.35.004101E-65.351715E-62.5351608E-54.73709962.0E-52.1445969E-52.2935723E-54.2935266E-51.87198222.0E-52.6107338E-42.792072E-42.9920158E-41.07161142.0E-50.0026076690.00278861870.00281853481.0107283.0E-5
7.43.4901443E-63.7320526E-62.3731978E-56.35896162.0E-51.4957676E-51.5994416E-53.5994093E-52.25041652.0E-51.8209449E-41.9471499E-42.147111E-41.10269432.0E-50.00181945340.00194548230.00197542411.01539043.0E-5
7.51.1215045E-61.189387E-62.1189364E-517.8153652.0E-54.806439E-65.097363E-62.509726E-54.92357732.0E-55.851682E-56.205866E-58.205742E-51.32225572.0E-55.850142E-46.2041637E-46.4040394E-41.03221642.0E-5
7.62.8599047E-72.9951994E-71.0299517E-534.386751.0E-51.2256729E-61.2836562E-61.1283643E-58.7902371.0E-51.4922465E-51.5628404E-52.5628247E-51.63985061.0E-51.4921463E-41.5627318E-41.6627162E-41.06398051.0E-5
7.72.0781519E-72.1744323E-72.1744323E-71.00.08.906362E-79.3189925E-79.3189925E-71.00.01.08434415E-51.13458145E-51.13458145E-51.00.01.0842913E-41.1345245E-41.1345245E-41.00.0
7.83.614776E-83.764102E-83.764102E-81.00.01.5491896E-71.6131864E-71.6131864E-71.00.01.8861368E-61.9640527E-61.9640527E-61.00.01.8861208E-51.9640367E-51.9640367E-51.00.0

San Cayetano

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.3476267E-51.8169216E-57.816812E-54.3022296.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.3786109E-41.77049686.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-40.00101754071.07380037.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0095159951.00839758.0E-5
6.12.3476267E-51.8169216E-57.816812E-54.3022296.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.3786109E-41.77049686.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-40.00101754071.07380037.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0095159951.00839758.0E-5
6.22.3476267E-51.8169216E-57.816812E-54.3022296.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.3786109E-41.77049686.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-40.00101754071.07380037.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0095159951.00839758.0E-5
6.32.3476267E-51.8169216E-57.816812E-54.3022296.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.3786109E-41.77049686.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-40.00101754071.07380037.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0095159951.00839758.0E-5
6.42.3476267E-51.8169216E-57.816812E-54.3022296.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.3786109E-41.77049686.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-40.00101754071.07380037.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0095159951.00839758.0E-5
6.52.3476267E-51.8169216E-57.816812E-54.3022296.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.3786109E-41.77049686.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-40.00101754071.07380037.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0095159951.00839758.0E-5
6.62.3476267E-51.8169216E-57.816812E-54.3022296.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.3786109E-41.77049686.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-40.00101754071.07380037.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0095159951.00839758.0E-5
6.72.3476267E-51.8169216E-57.816812E-54.3022296.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.3786109E-41.77049686.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-40.00101754071.07380037.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0095159951.00839758.0E-5
6.82.3241924E-51.7936945E-57.793587E-54.3449916.0E-59.960445E-57.687038E-51.3686577E-41.78047476.0E-50.00121200959.354987E-40.00100543321.07475647.0E-50.0120542040.00931661950.0093958741.00850688.0E-5
6.92.2761007E-51.7432383E-57.743134E-54.441816.0E-59.7543525E-57.47081E-51.3470362E-41.80306586.0E-50.00118694549.09195E-49.791313E-41.07692127.0E-50.0118062560.0090557410.0091350161.00875418.0E-5
7.02.240283E-51.7066137E-57.706512E-54.5156746.0E-59.600859E-57.313856E-51.3313416E-41.82030076.0E-50.00116827778.9010154E-49.6003927E-41.07857287.0E-50.0116215490.0088663360.0089456271.00894288.0E-5
7.12.1871154E-51.658602E-57.658503E-54.61744456.0E-59.373015E-57.108103E-51.3107675E-41.84404726.0E-50.00114056718.6507126E-49.3501067E-41.08084827.0E-50.0113473090.0086179960.0086973071.0092038.0E-5
7.22.0714133E-51.5564563E-57.556363E-54.8548516.0E-58.8771834E-56.670358E-51.2669958E-41.8994426.0E-50.00108026118.118168E-48.817599E-41.08615647.0E-50.0107502490.0080894430.0081687961.00980948.0E-5
7.31.8408395E-51.3996829E-56.399613E-54.5721885.0E-57.8890735E-55.9985046E-51.09982044E-41.83349115.0E-59.600714E-47.300762E-47.900324E-41.08212326.0E-50.0095593420.00727764470.00734713531.00954857.0E-5
7.41.6856795E-51.285006E-56.2849416E-54.89098265.0E-57.2241404E-55.5070537E-51.0506778E-41.90787655.0E-58.7918417E-46.7028037E-47.3024014E-41.08945486.0E-50.008757140.00668340870.0067529411.01040387.0E-5
7.51.2822778E-59.577415E-64.9577033E-55.17645264.0E-55.495361E-54.1045427E-58.1043785E-51.974494.0E-56.688548E-44.9961504E-45.495901E-41.10002715.0E-50.0066684520.00498519230.0050448931.01197566.0E-5
7.65.6272684E-63.854899E-62.3854822E-56.1881832.0E-52.4116642E-51.6520893E-53.6520563E-52.21056822.0E-52.9358055E-42.0112342E-42.211194E-41.09942142.0E-50.00293193010.00200942480.00202938451.00993312.0E-5
7.73.5261346E-62.3407094E-62.2340662E-59.5443972.0E-51.5111918E-51.0031574E-53.0031373E-52.9936852.0E-51.8397206E-41.2212765E-41.421252E-41.16374312.0E-50.00183819840.00122061270.00124058831.01636522.0E-5
7.81.4826929E-61.0564395E-61.0564395E-61.00.06.354383E-64.52759E-64.52759E-61.00.07.736187E-55.5122033E-55.5122033E-51.00.07.733494E-45.510856E-45.510856E-41.00.0
7.92.7568166E-71.6977887E-71.6977887E-71.00.01.1814923E-67.276235E-77.276235E-71.00.01.4384574E-58.85878E-68.85878E-61.00.01.4383643E-48.858431E-58.858431E-51.00.0
8.05.407832E-82.688677E-82.688677E-81.00.02.3176422E-71.15229014E-71.15229014E-71.00.02.8217257E-61.4029123E-61.4029123E-61.00.02.8216898E-51.40290385E-51.40290385E-51.00.0

San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7374346E-52.41444E-59.4142706E-53.89915327.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.8346362E-41.77307688.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00133894431.06346028.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.013007161.0061088.0E-5
6.12.7374346E-52.41444E-59.4142706E-53.89915327.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.8346362E-41.77307688.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00133894431.06346028.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.013007161.0061088.0E-5
6.22.7374346E-52.41444E-59.4142706E-53.89915327.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.8346362E-41.77307688.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00133894431.06346028.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.013007161.0061088.0E-5
6.32.7374346E-52.41444E-59.4142706E-53.89915327.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.8346362E-41.77307688.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00133894431.06346028.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.013007161.0061088.0E-5
6.42.7374346E-52.41444E-59.4142706E-53.89915327.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.8346362E-41.77307688.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00133894431.06346028.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.013007161.0061088.0E-5
6.52.7282445E-52.4030476E-59.4028794E-53.91289767.0E-51.16919524E-41.0298371E-41.8297546E-41.77674198.0E-50.00142256570.0012531080.00133300781.06376128.0E-50.0141349340.0128695220.0129484931.00613628.0E-5
6.62.7282445E-52.4030476E-59.4028794E-53.91289767.0E-51.16919524E-41.0298371E-41.8297546E-41.77674198.0E-50.00142256570.0012531080.00133300781.06376128.0E-50.0141349340.0128695220.0129484931.00613628.0E-5
6.72.7216198E-52.3955597E-59.395392E-53.92200287.0E-51.1663563E-41.02662816E-41.826546E-41.779178.0E-50.00141911370.00124920580.00132910581.06396078.0E-50.0141008550.0128309340.0129099081.00615498.0E-5
6.82.7078617E-52.3872815E-59.3871146E-53.93213537.0E-51.1604605E-41.0230807E-41.8229989E-41.7818728.0E-50.0014119450.00124489170.0013247921.06418268.0E-50.0140300750.01278808250.012867061.00617598.0E-5
6.92.6982952E-52.3792329E-59.3790666E-53.94205477.0E-51.15636096E-41.0196315E-41.81955E-41.78451728.0E-50.00140696020.00124069710.00132059781.06439988.0E-50.0139808560.0127463780.0128253591.00619638.0E-5
7.02.6449972E-52.3369357E-59.336772E-53.99530557.0E-51.1335209E-41.0015055E-41.8014254E-41.79871748.0E-50.0013791880.00121865350.00129855611.06556628.0E-50.01370659750.0125277330.0126067311.00630588.0E-5
7.12.6257849E-52.3195396E-59.3193776E-54.01777037.0E-51.1252879E-49.940507E-51.7939712E-41.80470798.0E-50.00136917690.00120958730.00128949061.06605838.0E-50.0136077170.0124376610.0125166651.00635218.0E-5
7.22.5270041E-52.2390155E-59.238859E-54.1263047.0E-51.0829568E-49.5954296E-51.7594661E-41.83365028.0E-50.00131770240.00116761980.00124752641.06843548.0E-50.0130991620.01201879050.0120978291.00657638.0E-5
7.32.339701E-52.1122027E-59.112055E-54.3140067.0E-51.0026905E-49.051985E-51.705126E-41.88370418.0E-50.0012200920.0011015240.00118143591.07254668.0E-50.0121341490.0113576420.0114367331.00696378.0E-5
7.42.296333E-52.0852396E-59.085094E-54.35685837.0E-59.841056E-58.936436E-51.6935721E-41.89513158.0E-50.00119748990.00108747010.0011673831.07348538.0E-50.0119105750.0112167540.0112958561.00705228.0E-5
7.52.2188895E-52.037534E-59.037391E-54.43545537.0E-59.50918E-58.731998E-51.6731299E-41.91609068.0E-50.00115712770.00106260420.00114251931.07520688.0E-50.0115112090.0109663690.0110454921.0072158.0E-5
7.62.0013189E-51.8961666E-58.896034E-54.6915897.0E-58.5767984E-58.126176E-51.6125526E-41.98439298.0E-50.0010437259.889146E-40.00106883551.08081678.0E-50.0103883650.0102243710.0103035531.00774448.0E-5
7.71.7230794E-51.6743043E-58.674187E-55.1807717.0E-57.384417E-57.175393E-51.5174819E-42.11484158.0E-58.986819E-48.732547E-49.531849E-41.09153138.0E-50.0089505620.009062920.0091421951.00874728.0E-5
7.81.4478809E-51.499039E-57.498949E-55.00250436.0E-56.205057E-56.424295E-51.3423845E-42.08954387.0E-57.552038E-47.8187784E-48.5182313E-41.08945817.0E-50.00752642420.0081413880.0082108181.0085287.0E-5
7.91.1114467E-51.1644517E-57.1643815E-56.152586.0E-54.7632562E-54.990412E-51.1990063E-42.40261987.0E-55.797721E-46.074139E-46.7737134E-41.11517267.0E-50.00578261870.00638035450.0064499081.01090127.0E-5
8.09.327402E-69.8986575E-66.9898066E-57.0613686.0E-53.9973966E-54.2422133E-51.1241916E-42.6500127.0E-54.8657437E-45.163676E-45.863315E-41.13549237.0E-50.00485510330.005449940.00551955871.01277427.0E-5
8.17.0235833E-66.826985E-63.682678E-55.3942963.0E-53.0100724E-52.9258183E-55.9257305E-52.0253243.0E-53.664147E-43.5616063E-43.8614997E-41.08420173.0E-50.0036581110.00378745720.00381734361.00789093.0E-5
8.22.0358202E-68.9912584E-78.9912584E-71.00.08.724915E-63.853391E-63.853391E-61.00.01.06220665E-44.6914047E-54.6914047E-51.00.00.0010616995.3239096E-45.3239096E-41.00.0
8.32.0051264E-76.61379E-86.61379E-81.00.08.5933965E-72.8344812E-72.8344812E-71.00.01.046241E-53.450976E-63.450976E-61.00.01.0461917E-44.0120205E-54.0120205E-51.00.0

Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0240792E-52.40909E-55.409018E-52.24525363.0E-51.2959696E-41.032432E-41.7323597E-41.67794077.0E-50.00157670080.00125636180.00132627391.05564647.0E-50.0156556090.0125026130.0125816131.00631878.0E-5
6.13.0240792E-52.40909E-55.409018E-52.24525363.0E-51.2959696E-41.032432E-41.7323597E-41.67794077.0E-50.00157670080.00125636180.00132627391.05564647.0E-50.0156556090.0125026130.0125816131.00631878.0E-5
6.23.0240792E-52.40909E-55.409018E-52.24525363.0E-51.2959696E-41.032432E-41.7323597E-41.67794077.0E-50.00157670080.00125636180.00132627391.05564647.0E-50.0156556090.0125026130.0125816131.00631878.0E-5
6.32.0498217E-51.3638054E-53.363778E-52.46646482.0E-58.784654E-55.8447586E-59.844525E-51.68433394.0E-50.00106900697.1138324E-47.513548E-41.05618854.0E-50.010638790.00709268640.0071324031.00559964.0E-5
6.42.0498217E-51.3638054E-53.363778E-52.46646482.0E-58.784654E-55.8447586E-59.844525E-51.68433394.0E-50.00106900697.1138324E-47.513548E-41.05618854.0E-50.010638790.00709268640.0071324031.00559964.0E-5
6.51.7316182E-51.04769715E-53.0476762E-52.90892862.0E-57.42101E-54.490059E-58.489879E-51.89081694.0E-59.0313336E-45.465376E-45.865157E-41.0731484.0E-50.0089947180.005452930.0054927121.00729554.0E-5
6.61.5251077E-58.414133E-61.8414048E-52.18846651.0E-56.536012E-53.606011E-56.605903E-51.83191423.0E-57.9546886E-44.3895066E-44.6893748E-41.06831483.0E-50.0079262740.00438155370.0044114221.00681693.0E-5
6.71.2997425E-56.4112146E-61.641115E-52.55975681.0E-55.570206E-52.7476372E-54.747582E-51.72787822.0E-56.7796157E-43.3447813E-43.5447144E-41.05977462.0E-50.00675896930.0033402070.00336014041.00596762.0E-5
6.81.035386E-54.333145E-61.4333102E-53.30778241.0E-54.437293E-51.8570496E-53.8570124E-52.07695722.0E-55.401065E-42.260732E-42.4606867E-41.0884472.0E-50.00538795670.0022585190.00227847371.00883532.0E-5
6.98.816252E-63.5805879E-63.5805879E-61.00.03.778339E-51.534529E-52.5345136E-51.65165581.0E-54.5991567E-41.8681347E-41.9681161E-41.05351941.0E-50.004589650.00186662280.00187660421.00534731.0E-5
7.06.8232207E-62.5674399E-62.5674399E-61.00.02.9242048E-51.100327E-51.100327E-51.00.03.5596377E-41.3395688E-41.3395688E-41.00.00.00355394110.00133879250.00133879251.00.0
7.15.837013E-62.2273143E-62.2273143E-61.00.02.501553E-59.5456E-69.5456E-61.00.03.045215E-41.1621177E-41.1621177E-41.00.00.00304104550.0011615390.0011615391.00.0
7.24.278052E-61.6275065E-61.6275065E-61.00.01.833438E-56.975011E-66.975011E-61.00.02.231982E-48.491768E-58.491768E-51.00.00.00222974188.4887556E-48.4887556E-41.00.0
7.31.8803692E-68.344788E-78.344788E-71.00.08.0587E-63.5763337E-63.5763337E-61.00.09.811026E-54.354114E-54.354114E-51.00.09.806695E-44.3534054E-44.3534054E-41.00.0

Oceanic - West Huasna

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.195567E-52.7926368E-56.792525E-52.43229824.0E-51.3694567E-41.19679185E-41.696732E-41.41773365.0E-50.00166603840.00145616340.00151607591.04114416.0E-50.0165360330.014470770.0145496131.00544838.0E-5
6.12.1156782E-51.7573117E-54.757259E-52.7071233.0E-59.066878E-57.531123E-51.1530823E-41.53108924.0E-50.00110333339.1653795E-49.565013E-41.04360254.0E-50.0109787130.0091285870.0091682221.00434184.0E-5
6.21.6195117E-51.3327227E-54.332683E-53.2510013.0E-56.9405796E-55.7115452E-59.711317E-51.70029594.0E-58.44688E-46.9516135E-47.3513354E-41.05750064.0E-50.0084148440.00693016170.00696988451.00573184.0E-5
6.31.3559345E-51.1179013E-54.117868E-53.683573.0E-55.811018E-54.7909183E-57.7907745E-51.62615483.0E-57.072618E-45.8313913E-46.1312167E-41.05141573.0E-50.00705015050.0058162080.00584603331.0051283.0E-5
6.41.2120619E-51.0000874E-54.0000574E-53.9997083.0E-55.1944477E-54.2860185E-57.28589E-51.69992033.0E-56.322405E-45.216983E-45.5168266E-41.05747453.0E-50.0063044470.0052048040.00523464751.00573383.0E-5
6.51.13511915E-59.367378E-63.9367096E-54.2025743.0E-54.8647056E-54.0145293E-57.014409E-51.74725573.0E-55.9211696E-44.886598E-45.186451E-41.06136243.0E-50.00590541730.00487591140.0049057651.00612273.0E-5
6.69.850605E-68.1353155E-62.8135153E-53.45839722.0E-54.2216197E-53.4865174E-55.4864475E-51.57361832.0E-55.1386096E-44.2440102E-44.4439253E-41.04710522.0E-50.00512674360.00423593770.0042558531.00470152.0E-5
6.78.8558645E-67.318341E-62.7318194E-53.73283982.0E-53.7953152E-53.1363943E-55.1363313E-51.63765492.0E-54.6198163E-43.8178926E-44.0178164E-41.0523652.0E-50.0046102240.00381135920.0038312831.00522742.0E-5
6.87.67136E-66.39169E-62.6391563E-54.1290432.0E-53.2876844E-52.739267E-54.739212E-51.73010232.0E-54.0020206E-43.3345487E-43.534482E-41.05995812.0E-50.0039948210.00332956640.00334949981.00598682.0E-5
6.96.534529E-65.458261E-62.5458152E-54.66415072.0E-52.8004823E-52.3392338E-54.339187E-51.85496082.0E-53.4090536E-42.8476462E-43.0475893E-41.07021342.0E-50.00340382870.0028440140.0028639571.00701242.0E-5
7.05.460525E-64.5699203E-62.4569828E-55.37642432.0E-52.3402039E-51.9585226E-53.9584833E-52.0211582.0E-52.8488258E-42.3842414E-42.5841937E-41.08386412.0E-50.00284517650.00238169730.00240164971.00837732.0E-5
7.14.4825083E-63.7524153E-61.37523775E-53.664941.0E-51.9210609E-51.6081682E-52.6081521E-51.62181561.0E-52.3386406E-41.9577699E-42.0577502E-41.05106851.0E-50.0023361810.0019560570.00196603761.00510231.0E-5
7.22.821708E-62.424941E-62.424941E-61.00.01.2092979E-51.0392562E-51.0392562E-51.00.01.4722206E-41.265221E-41.265221E-41.00.00.00147124570.00126450320.00126450321.00.0
7.32.0644757E-61.7687502E-61.7687502E-61.00.08.847723E-67.580336E-67.580336E-61.00.01.0771569E-49.228668E-59.228668E-51.00.00.0010766359.224854E-49.224854E-41.00.0
7.41.6980367E-61.4379966E-61.4379966E-61.00.07.27728E-66.1628284E-66.1628284E-61.00.08.8597284E-57.502986E-57.502986E-51.00.08.8561967E-47.5004686E-47.5004686E-41.00.0
7.51.3637683E-61.1302697E-61.1302697E-61.00.05.844708E-64.844004E-64.844004E-61.00.07.1156996E-55.897415E-55.897415E-51.00.07.1134215E-45.8958656E-45.8958656E-41.00.0
7.69.802994E-77.6772847E-77.6772847E-71.00.04.2012766E-63.2902608E-63.2902608E-61.00.05.1149345E-54.005819E-54.005819E-51.00.05.113757E-44.0051117E-44.0051117E-41.00.0
7.75.986191E-74.0050708E-74.0050708E-71.00.02.5655079E-61.7164577E-61.7164577E-61.00.03.1234613E-52.0897673E-52.0897673E-51.00.03.123022E-42.0895849E-42.0895849E-41.00.0
7.82.9189815E-71.5285202E-71.5285202E-71.00.01.2509914E-66.5507993E-76.5507993E-71.00.01.5230714E-57.975569E-67.975569E-61.00.01.522967E-47.97542E-57.97542E-51.00.0
7.91.2057845E-74.6208047E-84.6208047E-81.00.05.1676466E-71.9803447E-71.9803447E-71.00.06.2915915E-62.411067E-62.411067E-61.00.06.2914136E-52.4111772E-52.4111772E-51.00.0
8.03.3806387E-99.0093144E-109.0093144E-101.00.01.4488451E-83.8611354E-93.8611354E-91.00.01.7639688E-74.7009323E-84.7009323E-81.00.01.7639674E-64.712806E-74.712806E-71.00.0

Pleito

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6763008E-52.4764735E-55.4763994E-52.211373.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.5612536E-41.47106735.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.00135136951.04639956.0E-50.008708630.0129544120.0130333751.00609558.0E-5
6.11.6763008E-52.4764735E-55.4763994E-52.211373.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.5612536E-41.47106735.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.00135136951.04639956.0E-50.008708630.0129544120.0130333751.00609558.0E-5
6.21.6763008E-52.4764735E-55.4763994E-52.211373.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.5612536E-41.47106735.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.00135136951.04639956.0E-50.008708630.0129544120.0130333751.00609558.0E-5
6.31.6763008E-52.4764735E-55.4763994E-52.211373.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.5612536E-41.47106735.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.00135136951.04639956.0E-50.008708630.0129544120.0130333751.00609558.0E-5
6.41.6763008E-52.4764735E-55.4763994E-52.211373.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.5612536E-41.47106735.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.00135136951.04639956.0E-50.008708630.0129544120.0130333751.00609558.0E-5
6.51.6763008E-52.4764735E-55.4763994E-52.211373.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.5612536E-41.47106735.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.00135136951.04639956.0E-50.008708630.0129544120.0130333751.00609558.0E-5
6.69.910213E-61.721552E-53.7215177E-52.16172242.0E-54.247165E-57.3778734E-51.13775786E-41.54212164.0E-55.169696E-48.9788967E-49.378537E-41.04450894.0E-50.00515768630.0090512260.0091007731.00547415.0E-5
6.79.910213E-61.721552E-53.7215177E-52.16172242.0E-54.247165E-57.3778734E-51.13775786E-41.54212164.0E-55.169696E-48.9788967E-49.378537E-41.04450894.0E-50.00515768630.0090512260.0091007731.00547415.0E-5
6.88.300162E-61.5475129E-52.5474974E-51.64618811.0E-53.557164E-56.63203E-58.631898E-51.30154682.0E-54.3299864E-48.07152E-48.2713587E-41.02475852.0E-50.0043215590.0081506630.0081804191.00365073.0E-5
6.98.183114E-61.5346344E-52.5346191E-51.6516111.0E-53.5070017E-56.57684E-58.576708E-51.30407742.0E-54.2689382E-48.0043747E-48.204215E-41.02496642.0E-50.00426074680.0080840080.0081137651.00368113.0E-5
7.07.1748823E-61.4133306E-52.4133164E-51.70753861.0E-53.0749135E-56.0569906E-57.05693E-51.16508851.0E-53.743064E-47.3718966E-47.471823E-41.0135551.0E-50.00373676540.00745537550.00747522671.00266272.0E-5
7.17.1671807E-61.4123676E-52.4123534E-51.7080211.0E-53.0716128E-56.0528637E-57.052803E-51.16520111.0E-53.7390468E-47.366875E-47.4668013E-41.01356421.0E-50.00373276180.00745038830.0074702391.00266442.0E-5
7.27.0649667E-61.3970962E-52.3970822E-51.71576041.0E-53.0278077E-55.987418E-56.987358E-51.16700691.0E-53.6857324E-47.287248E-47.3871756E-41.01371261.0E-50.00367962550.00737113740.007390991.00269332.0E-5
7.37.02082E-61.3914415E-52.3914276E-51.71866921.0E-53.008888E-55.9631846E-56.963125E-51.16768561.0E-53.6627054E-47.257764E-47.3576916E-41.01376831.0E-50.00365667440.00734163730.00736149071.00270412.0E-5
7.46.987146E-61.3873975E-52.3873838E-51.72076391.0E-52.9944567E-55.9458544E-56.945795E-51.16817441.0E-53.6451413E-47.2366785E-47.336606E-41.01380851.0E-50.00363916790.0073205710.0073404251.0027122.0E-5
7.56.9494554E-61.383088E-52.3830742E-51.72300981.0E-52.9783041E-55.9273858E-56.9273265E-51.16869841.0E-53.625482E-47.2142074E-47.3141354E-41.01385151.0E-50.00361957260.0072981990.0073180531.00272042.0E-5
7.66.92694E-61.3789992E-52.3789855E-51.72515361.0E-52.9686547E-55.909863E-56.909804E-51.16919861.0E-53.6137376E-47.192888E-47.292816E-41.01389271.0E-50.00360786660.0072769510.00729680531.00272852.0E-5
7.76.395867E-61.26690065E-52.266888E-51.78931781.0E-52.741057E-55.4294615E-56.429407E-51.18417041.0E-53.336726E-46.6083675E-46.7083014E-41.01512231.0E-50.00333172010.00669554530.00671541131.00296712.0E-5
7.85.8664327E-61.1536581E-52.1536465E-51.86679791.0E-52.5141611E-54.9441554E-55.944106E-51.2022491.0E-53.060561E-46.0178485E-46.117789E-41.01660731.0E-50.00305634950.00610101640.00612089461.00325812.0E-5
7.93.7167474E-67.1145205E-61.711445E-52.4055661.0E-51.592882E-53.0490448E-54.0490144E-51.32796161.0E-51.9391612E-43.7115812E-43.8115442E-41.02693271.0E-50.00193746990.00376762430.0037875491.00528842.0E-5
8.01.0903841E-61.2879104E-61.2879104E-61.00.04.6730665E-65.5196047E-65.5196047E-61.00.05.68931E-56.719913E-56.719913E-51.00.05.6878536E-46.942094E-46.942094E-41.00.0
8.12.6894583E-71.1056095E-71.1056095E-71.00.01.1526245E-64.7383253E-74.7383253E-71.00.01.4033113E-55.768896E-65.768896E-61.00.01.4032227E-46.454915E-56.454915E-51.00.0
8.25.2967013E-92.4567874E-92.4567874E-91.00.02.2700148E-81.0529089E-81.0529089E-81.00.02.7637427E-71.2819166E-71.2819166E-71.00.02.7637393E-61.4588004E-61.4588004E-61.00.0

Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.4353277E-57.050019E-51.2049666E-41.7091685.0E-52.3292181E-43.0211007E-43.6209196E-41.19854316.0E-50.00283213520.00367200560.0037517121.02170658.0E-50.027963120.0361158440.0361929541.0021358.0E-5
6.14.5578287E-55.822054E-57.8219375E-51.34350132.0E-51.953209E-42.4949352E-42.7948603E-41.12021363.0E-50.00237543830.00303335490.00308320321.01643345.0E-50.0235020630.0299198930.0299683961.00162115.0E-5
6.22.8536782E-53.4736422E-55.4735727E-51.57574452.0E-51.2229476E-41.4886161E-41.6885863E-41.1343332.0E-50.00148792170.00181085760.00184080331.01653673.0E-50.0147799860.0179582760.0179877371.00164063.0E-5
6.32.3698774E-52.8213344E-52.8213344E-51.00.01.01562226E-41.2090833E-41.2090833E-41.00.00.00123581860.0014710510.00148103631.00678791.0E-50.0122896860.0146114550.0146213081.00067441.0E-5
6.41.9191197E-52.212289E-52.212289E-51.00.08.2245395E-59.4808805E-59.4808805E-51.00.00.00100087770.00115369060.00115369061.00.00.0099638180.0114770220.0114770221.00.0
6.51.5203241E-51.6801298E-51.6801298E-51.00.06.5155116E-57.200338E-57.200338E-51.00.07.9297484E-48.76301E-48.76301E-41.00.00.0079015120.0087295810.0087295811.00.0
6.61.0984925E-51.12425605E-51.12425605E-51.00.04.70774E-54.8181533E-54.8181533E-51.00.05.730166E-45.8645604E-45.8645604E-41.00.00.0057154130.00584947550.00584947551.00.0
6.79.134616E-69.019868E-69.019868E-61.00.03.9147766E-53.865602E-53.865602E-51.00.04.7651984E-44.7053778E-44.7053778E-41.00.00.0047549930.004695660.004695661.00.0
6.87.785589E-67.4519185E-67.4519185E-61.00.03.3366385E-53.1936415E-53.1936415E-51.00.04.0616E-43.887585E-43.887585E-41.00.00.00405418450.0038809880.0038809881.00.0
6.95.579095E-64.8984666E-64.8984666E-61.00.02.3910188E-52.0993268E-52.0993268E-51.00.02.9106764E-42.5556443E-42.5556443E-41.00.00.0029068670.00255284270.00255284271.00.0
7.02.6816688E-61.521587E-61.521587E-61.00.01.1492816E-56.521071E-66.521071E-61.00.01.3991605E-47.939124E-57.939124E-51.00.00.00139827997.936375E-47.936375E-41.00.0
7.11.9951021E-67.45357E-77.45357E-71.00.08.55041E-63.1943835E-63.1943835E-61.00.01.0409627E-43.889097E-53.889097E-51.00.00.00104047523.8884574E-43.8884574E-41.00.0
7.21.9951021E-67.45357E-77.45357E-71.00.08.55041E-63.1943835E-63.1943835E-61.00.01.0409627E-43.889097E-53.889097E-51.00.00.00104047523.8884574E-43.8884574E-41.00.0
7.31.7087556E-66.578663E-76.578663E-71.00.07.3232177E-62.819424E-62.819424E-61.00.08.915652E-53.432599E-53.432599E-51.00.08.9120766E-43.432109E-43.432109E-41.00.0
7.41.3804846E-66.0737113E-76.0737113E-71.00.05.916349E-62.6030168E-62.6030168E-61.00.07.2029165E-53.169131E-53.169131E-51.00.07.200583E-43.168719E-43.168719E-41.00.0
7.51.3804846E-66.0737113E-76.0737113E-71.00.05.916349E-62.6030168E-62.6030168E-61.00.07.2029165E-53.169131E-53.169131E-51.00.07.200583E-43.168719E-43.168719E-41.00.0

San Pedro Basin

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.3449043E-56.337018E-51.03367645E-41.63117174.0E-52.2904722E-42.7156167E-43.215481E-41.18407025.0E-50.00278508360.00330185150.00336165331.01811166.0E-50.0275043660.032589480.03265721.00207797.0E-5
6.15.3449043E-56.337018E-51.03367645E-41.63117174.0E-52.2904722E-42.7156167E-43.215481E-41.18407025.0E-50.00278508360.00330185150.00336165331.01811166.0E-50.0275043660.032589480.03265721.00207797.0E-5
6.22.3189454E-52.6642829E-53.6642563E-51.37532561.0E-59.9379584E-51.1417881E-41.2417766E-41.0875721.0E-50.00120927490.00138928750.00140925971.01437592.0E-50.0120271550.013810890.0138306131.00142812.0E-5
6.32.3189454E-52.6642829E-53.6642563E-51.37532561.0E-59.9379584E-51.1417881E-41.2417766E-41.0875721.0E-50.00120927490.00138928750.00140925971.01437592.0E-50.0120271550.013810890.0138306131.00142812.0E-5
6.41.966056E-52.246342E-52.246342E-51.00.08.425682E-59.626848E-59.626848E-51.00.00.0010253440.00117147870.0011814671.00852621.0E-50.0102062590.0116571190.0116670031.00084781.0E-5
6.51.7342953E-51.9745152E-51.9745152E-51.00.07.4324824E-58.461954E-58.461954E-51.00.09.04529E-40.00102979290.00103978271.00970071.0E-50.0090085610.0102539320.010263831.00096521.0E-5
6.61.439804E-51.6322716E-51.6322716E-51.00.06.170443E-56.99528E-56.99528E-51.00.07.509924E-48.513747E-48.613662E-41.01173571.0E-50.00748459530.0084843330.0084942491.00116861.0E-5
6.71.2634884E-51.4285298E-51.4285298E-51.00.05.414838E-56.122144E-56.122144E-51.00.06.590571E-47.451466E-47.5513916E-41.01341021.0E-50.0065710590.0074295020.00743942751.0013361.0E-5
6.81.146091E-51.2933193E-51.2933193E-51.00.04.911726E-55.542696E-55.542696E-51.00.05.9783855E-46.74644E-46.846373E-41.01481261.0E-50.00596232760.00672889970.0067388321.00147621.0E-5
6.99.109035E-61.0235013E-51.0235013E-51.00.03.9038136E-54.386376E-54.386376E-51.00.04.7518566E-45.339384E-45.4393307E-41.01871871.0E-50.00474170830.00532930950.0053392561.00186651.0E-5
7.05.9351028E-66.583965E-66.583965E-61.00.02.5435906E-52.821682E-52.821682E-51.00.03.0963816E-43.4350925E-43.4350925E-41.00.00.00309207060.00343209970.00343209971.00.0
7.12.1557585E-62.2096492E-62.2096492E-61.00.09.238933E-69.469892E-69.469892E-61.00.01.1247819E-41.15289986E-41.15289986E-41.00.00.00112421280.00115231720.00115231721.00.0
7.22.1251979E-62.1779954E-62.1779954E-61.00.09.107958E-69.334234E-69.334234E-61.00.01.1088375E-41.13638525E-41.13638525E-41.00.00.00110828450.00113581950.00113581951.00.0
7.31.7145798E-61.7442885E-61.7442885E-61.00.07.3481783E-67.475501E-67.475501E-61.00.08.94604E-59.1010515E-59.1010515E-51.00.08.9424395E-49.0974156E-49.0974156E-41.00.0
7.41.4467993E-61.4641878E-61.4641878E-61.00.06.200554E-66.275076E-66.275076E-61.00.07.548913E-57.639644E-57.639644E-51.00.07.546349E-47.6370913E-47.6370913E-41.00.0
7.51.2803735E-61.2931506E-61.2931506E-61.00.05.487303E-65.5420624E-65.5420624E-61.00.06.680587E-56.747259E-56.747259E-51.00.06.678579E-46.745281E-46.745281E-41.00.0
7.66.755009E-76.76947E-76.76947E-71.00.02.8950008E-62.9011985E-62.9011985E-61.00.03.5246063E-53.532158E-53.532158E-51.00.03.5240475E-43.5316538E-43.5316538E-41.00.0
7.76.211885E-84.5699714E-84.5699714E-81.00.02.6622362E-71.9585592E-71.9585592E-71.00.03.2412677E-62.3845432E-62.3845432E-61.00.03.2412205E-52.3845198E-52.3845198E-51.00.0
7.82.6580573E-91.5138054E-91.5138054E-91.00.01.1391674E-86.4877375E-96.4877375E-91.00.01.3869362E-77.89882E-87.89882E-81.00.01.3869354E-67.89882E-77.89882E-71.00.0

Camp Rock 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6710783E-54.249999E-61.4249957E-53.35293151.0E-57.161568E-51.8214158E-53.8213795E-52.0980272.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-42.7172425E-41.22544415.0E-50.0086816160.00221519380.00228503881.03152997.0E-5
6.11.6710783E-54.249999E-61.4249957E-53.35293151.0E-57.161568E-51.8214158E-53.8213795E-52.0980272.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-42.7172425E-41.22544415.0E-50.0086816160.00221519380.00228503881.03152997.0E-5
6.21.6710783E-54.249999E-61.4249957E-53.35293151.0E-57.161568E-51.8214158E-53.8213795E-52.0980272.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-42.7172425E-41.22544415.0E-50.0086816160.00221519380.00228503881.03152997.0E-5
6.31.6710783E-54.249999E-61.4249957E-53.35293151.0E-57.161568E-51.8214158E-53.8213795E-52.0980272.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-42.7172425E-41.22544415.0E-50.0086816160.00221519380.00228503881.03152997.0E-5
6.47.982846E-63.6820359E-63.6820359E-61.00.03.421175E-51.578006E-52.5779902E-51.63370111.0E-54.1644843E-41.9210564E-42.3209795E-41.20817884.0E-50.00415668870.00191943060.00197931541.03119926.0E-5
6.57.982846E-63.6820359E-63.6820359E-61.00.03.421175E-51.578006E-52.5779902E-51.63370111.0E-54.1644843E-41.9210564E-42.3209795E-41.20817884.0E-50.00415668870.00191943060.00197931541.03119926.0E-5
6.67.048869E-63.4242998E-63.4242998E-61.00.03.0209088E-51.467549E-52.4675343E-51.68139831.0E-53.677336E-41.7865976E-42.1865261E-41.22384934.0E-50.00367125660.00178519290.00184508581.03354986.0E-5
6.76.987307E-63.3622775E-63.3622775E-61.00.02.9945259E-51.4409683E-52.4409539E-51.69396781.0E-53.6452254E-41.7542407E-42.1541705E-41.22797884.0E-50.00363925170.00175288720.00181278191.03416926.0E-5
6.86.3737602E-63.1178672E-63.1178672E-61.00.02.731583E-51.3362222E-52.3362089E-51.74836851.0E-53.3251947E-41.6267318E-42.0266668E-41.24585184.0E-50.00332022370.00162556980.00168547221.03685016.0E-5
6.96.112211E-62.933078E-62.933078E-61.00.02.6194928E-51.2570275E-52.257015E-51.79551761.0E-53.1887658E-41.5303263E-41.9302651E-41.26134224.0E-50.0031841940.00152930020.00158920851.03917366.0E-5
7.05.5140117E-62.64191E-62.64191E-61.00.02.3631264E-51.1322423E-52.132231E-51.88319311.0E-52.8767265E-41.3784204E-41.7783653E-41.29014724.0E-50.00287300530.00137759070.0014375081.04349436.0E-5
7.14.8151105E-62.1342612E-62.1342612E-61.00.02.0636026E-59.146803E-61.9146712E-52.09326821.0E-52.5121463E-41.1135685E-41.413535E-41.26937413.0E-50.00250930830.00111303250.00115298791.03589794.0E-5
7.23.818335E-61.2937372E-61.2937372E-61.00.01.6364189E-55.5445767E-61.5544521E-52.8035541.0E-51.9921579E-46.750321E-58.750187E-51.29626212.0E-50.00199037286.7483535E-46.948218E-41.02961682.0E-5
7.32.7166698E-67.383078E-77.383078E-71.00.01.1642818E-53.1641725E-61.3164141E-54.16037371.0E-51.4174209E-43.852314E-54.8522754E-51.25957431.0E-50.00141651723.8516664E-43.951628E-41.02595281.0E-5
7.42.0893426E-65.4614605E-75.4614605E-71.00.08.954295E-62.340624E-62.340624E-61.00.01.0901308E-42.8496728E-52.8496728E-51.00.00.00108959622.849313E-42.849313E-41.00.0
7.51.1681728E-63.6028484E-73.6028484E-71.00.05.0064455E-61.544077E-61.544077E-61.00.06.0951766E-51.879898E-51.879898E-51.00.06.093505E-41.8797436E-41.8797436E-41.00.0
7.61.3154387E-77.1196716E-87.1196716E-81.00.05.6375933E-73.0512876E-73.0512876E-71.00.06.863748E-63.714938E-63.714938E-61.00.06.863536E-53.7148915E-53.7148915E-51.00.0

Ventura-Pitas Point

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.3179622E-53.373519E-59.3733164E-52.77849846.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-42.0456414E-41.41495576.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00182888661.03972517.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.0175452741.00393537.0E-5
6.13.3179622E-53.373519E-59.3733164E-52.77849846.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-42.0456414E-41.41495576.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00182888661.03972517.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.0175452741.00393537.0E-5
6.23.3179622E-53.373519E-59.3733164E-52.77849846.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-42.0456414E-41.41495576.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00182888661.03972517.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.0175452741.00393537.0E-5
6.33.3179622E-53.373519E-59.3733164E-52.77849846.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-42.0456414E-41.41495576.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00182888661.03972517.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.0175452741.00393537.0E-5
6.41.8754668E-51.7019594E-54.7019083E-52.76264433.0E-58.037467E-57.2939205E-51.0293702E-41.41127153.0E-59.781223E-48.8769617E-49.176695E-41.03376533.0E-50.0097382820.0088439430.0088736771.00336223.0E-5
6.51.8754668E-51.7019594E-54.7019083E-52.76264433.0E-58.037467E-57.2939205E-51.0293702E-41.41127153.0E-59.781223E-48.8769617E-49.176695E-41.03376533.0E-50.0097382820.0088439430.0088736771.00336223.0E-5
6.61.4361558E-51.2122258E-53.2122014E-52.64983772.0E-56.154808E-55.1951512E-57.1950475E-51.38495432.0E-57.490902E-46.323284E-46.5231574E-41.03160922.0E-50.00746570160.0063056520.0063255261.00315182.0E-5
6.71.4361558E-51.2122258E-53.2122014E-52.64983772.0E-56.154808E-55.1951512E-57.1950475E-51.38495432.0E-57.490902E-46.323284E-46.5231574E-41.03160922.0E-50.00746570160.0063056520.0063255261.00315182.0E-5
6.81.3663846E-51.1344401E-53.1344174E-52.76296422.0E-55.8558027E-54.8617967E-56.8616995E-51.41135062.0E-57.127108E-45.917649E-46.117531E-41.03377722.0E-50.0071042930.00590221070.0059220931.00336862.0E-5
6.91.3644157E-51.1322501E-53.1322274E-52.7663742.0E-55.8473648E-54.8524114E-56.852314E-51.41214622.0E-57.116841E-45.906229E-46.106111E-41.03384262.0E-50.0070940920.00589085140.00591073371.0033752.0E-5
7.01.3568845E-51.12420685E-53.1241845E-52.7790122.0E-55.8150898E-54.8179416E-56.817845E-51.41509512.0E-57.077572E-45.8642845E-46.064167E-41.03408482.0E-50.0070550730.0058491280.00586901141.00339942.0E-5
7.11.306572E-51.0720521E-53.0720308E-52.8655612.0E-55.599474E-54.594429E-56.594337E-51.43528992.0E-56.815227E-45.5923004E-45.7921885E-41.03574352.0E-50.00679436370.0055785360.00559842451.00356522.0E-5
7.21.232604E-59.995121E-62.999492E-53.00095632.0E-55.2824813E-54.283554E-56.283468E-51.4668822.0E-56.429523E-45.2139966E-45.413893E-41.03833832.0E-50.00641095270.0052020590.0052219551.00382462.0E-5
7.31.0917261E-58.843812E-62.8843635E-53.26144842.0E-54.678742E-53.7901507E-55.790075E-51.52766352.0E-55.69488E-44.6135474E-44.813455E-41.04333062.0E-50.00568030770.0046042390.0046241471.00432382.0E-5
7.41.039959E-58.42354E-62.8423372E-53.37427852.0E-54.456891E-53.6100395E-55.6099674E-51.55399062.0E-55.424914E-44.394352E-44.5942643E-41.0454932.0E-50.00541168960.00438592770.00440584031.00454012.0E-5
7.59.015877E-67.29752E-62.7297374E-53.7406372.0E-53.86389E-53.1274718E-55.127409E-51.63947422.0E-54.7032707E-43.8070456E-44.0069697E-41.05251422.0E-50.0046933290.0038007720.0038206961.00524212.0E-5
7.64.900162E-63.874119E-63.874119E-61.00.02.1000526E-51.6603262E-51.6603262E-51.00.02.556514E-42.0212609E-42.0212609E-41.00.00.00255357470.0020194360.0020194361.00.0
7.73.8850626E-63.12676E-63.12676E-61.00.01.6650163E-51.3400332E-51.3400332E-51.00.02.0269687E-41.6313691E-41.6313691E-41.00.00.0020251210.00163018090.00163018091.00.0
7.82.4654719E-62.029902E-62.029902E-61.00.01.0566265E-58.699551E-68.699551E-61.00.01.2863669E-41.0591193E-41.0591193E-41.00.00.00128562250.00105861920.00105861921.00.0
7.94.095894E-73.2765078E-73.2765078E-71.00.01.7553821E-61.4042168E-61.4042168E-61.00.02.1371567E-51.709621E-51.709621E-51.00.02.1369511E-41.7094925E-41.7094925E-41.00.0
8.07.791402E-95.6836056E-95.6836056E-91.00.03.3391725E-82.4358311E-82.4358311E-81.00.04.0654416E-72.965624E-72.965624E-71.00.04.065434E-62.9656223E-62.9656223E-61.00.0

White Wolf

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0037822E-51.0468583E-62.1046837E-520.1047632.0E-58.587355E-54.4865283E-64.4486347E-59.915544.0E-50.0010450095.4622164E-51.1461889E-42.0983956.0E-50.0104010855.4609246E-46.160542E-41.12811347.0E-5
6.12.0037822E-51.0468583E-62.1046837E-520.1047632.0E-58.587355E-54.4865283E-64.4486347E-59.915544.0E-50.0010450095.4622164E-51.1461889E-42.0983956.0E-50.0104010855.4609246E-46.160542E-41.12811347.0E-5
6.22.0037822E-51.0468583E-62.1046837E-520.1047632.0E-58.587355E-54.4865283E-64.4486347E-59.915544.0E-50.0010450095.4622164E-51.1461889E-42.0983956.0E-50.0104010855.4609246E-46.160542E-41.12811347.0E-5
6.32.0037822E-51.0468583E-62.1046837E-520.1047632.0E-58.587355E-54.4865283E-64.4486347E-59.915544.0E-50.0010450095.4622164E-51.1461889E-42.0983956.0E-50.0104010855.4609246E-46.160542E-41.12811347.0E-5
6.41.132487E-51.0468583E-62.1046837E-520.1047632.0E-54.8534253E-54.4865283E-64.4486347E-59.915544.0E-55.907443E-45.4622164E-51.1461889E-42.0983956.0E-50.0058917645.4609246E-46.160542E-41.12811347.0E-5
6.51.132487E-51.0468583E-62.1046837E-520.1047632.0E-54.8534253E-54.4865283E-64.4486347E-59.915544.0E-55.907443E-45.4622164E-51.1461889E-42.0983956.0E-50.0058917645.4609246E-46.160542E-41.12811347.0E-5
6.69.347473E-61.0468583E-62.1046837E-520.1047632.0E-54.0059982E-54.4865283E-64.4486347E-59.915544.0E-54.8762115E-45.4622164E-51.1461889E-42.0983956.0E-50.00486552535.4609246E-46.160542E-41.12811347.0E-5
6.77.842647E-61.0047773E-62.1004756E-520.9048882.0E-53.361091E-54.306182E-64.430601E-510.2889324.0E-54.0913603E-45.2426552E-51.12423404E-42.14439826.0E-50.0040838365.241468E-45.941101E-41.13348047.0E-5
6.86.26597E-69.734289E-72.097341E-521.545912.0E-52.685388E-54.1718313E-64.4171666E-510.5880754.0E-53.2689696E-45.0790914E-51.1078786E-42.18125376.0E-50.0032641655.07798E-45.7776243E-41.13778017.0E-5
6.95.258436E-69.1827343E-72.0918254E-522.7799852.0E-52.2535958E-53.935452E-64.3935295E-511.1639774.0E-52.7434074E-44.7913123E-51.07910244E-42.25220666.0E-50.00274002324.7903272E-45.489992E-41.14605787.0E-5
7.04.675028E-68.660704E-72.0866053E-524.092792.0E-52.003568E-53.7117254E-64.3711578E-511.776624.0E-52.4390711E-44.518937E-51.0518666E-42.3276866.0E-50.00243639574.518065E-45.2177487E-41.15486367.0E-5
7.12.8270078E-66.8737717E-72.0687363E-530.0960882.0E-51.2115692E-52.945899E-64.294578E-514.5781584.0E-51.4749856E-43.586577E-58.5863976E-52.39403685.0E-50.0014740073.5860392E-44.185824E-41.16725556.0E-5
7.21.6881406E-62.2703432E-72.2703432E-71.00.07.2348685E-69.730038E-72.0972984E-521.5548822.0E-58.808096E-51.1846259E-54.1845902E-53.5324153.0E-58.8046055E-41.1845643E-41.4845288E-41.25322773.0E-5
7.39.086107E-71.5264496E-71.5264496E-71.00.03.8940398E-66.5419255E-72.0654179E-531.572022.0E-54.7408903E-57.964766E-62.7964606E-53.51103952.0E-54.739879E-47.964489E-59.9643294E-51.25109472.0E-5
7.41.9717383E-79.003399E-89.003399E-81.00.08.450304E-73.8585992E-71.03858565E-526.916131.0E-51.0288197E-54.697835E-61.4697788E-53.12863021.0E-51.028772E-44.6977384E-55.6976914E-51.21285841.0E-5
7.51.086975E-76.659662E-86.659662E-81.00.04.6584634E-72.8541407E-71.0285411E-536.0368041.0E-55.6716644E-63.474911E-61.3474876E-53.87776161.0E-55.6715195E-53.474859E-54.474824E-51.28777151.0E-5
7.62.4217808E-81.5820849E-81.5820849E-81.00.01.03790605E-76.780364E-86.780364E-81.00.01.2636499E-68.25509E-78.25509E-71.00.01.2636427E-58.255064E-68.255064E-61.00.0

Deep Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9810619E-52.311252E-54.3112057E-51.86531192.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.3904879E-41.40378524.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.00126573551.04969926.0E-50.0102837570.012042430.0121115871.00574287.0E-5
6.11.9810619E-52.311252E-54.3112057E-51.86531192.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.3904879E-41.40378524.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.00126573551.04969926.0E-50.0102837570.012042430.0121115871.00574287.0E-5
6.21.9810619E-52.311252E-54.3112057E-51.86531192.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.3904879E-41.40378524.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.00126573551.04969926.0E-50.0102837570.012042430.0121115871.00574287.0E-5
6.31.9810619E-52.311252E-54.3112057E-51.86531192.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.3904879E-41.40378524.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.00126573551.04969926.0E-50.0102837570.012042430.0121115871.00574287.0E-5
6.41.9810619E-52.311252E-54.3112057E-51.86531192.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.3904879E-41.40378524.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.00126573551.04969926.0E-50.0102837570.012042430.0121115871.00574287.0E-5
6.51.7190405E-52.0050558E-53.0050356E-51.49872921.0E-57.367108E-58.593096E-51.0592924E-41.2327252.0E-58.9657627E-40.00104620920.00108616741.03819324.0E-50.0089296760.0104620610.0105115381.00472925.0E-5
6.61.7190405E-52.0050558E-53.0050356E-51.49872921.0E-57.367108E-58.593096E-51.0592924E-41.2327252.0E-58.9657627E-40.00104620920.00108616741.03819324.0E-50.0089296760.0104620610.0105115381.00472925.0E-5

Oak Ridge (Onshore)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.155064E-52.9526076E-59.952401E-53.37071567.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.9652555E-41.55313927.0E-50.0016449390.00153950580.0016093981.04539927.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.0153619841.00450727.0E-5
6.13.155064E-52.9526076E-59.952401E-53.37071567.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.9652555E-41.55313927.0E-50.0016449390.00153950580.0016093981.04539927.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.0153619841.00450727.0E-5
6.23.155064E-52.9526076E-59.952401E-53.37071567.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.9652555E-41.55313927.0E-50.0016449390.00153950580.0016093981.04539927.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.0153619841.00450727.0E-5
6.33.155064E-52.9526076E-59.952401E-53.37071567.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.9652555E-41.55313927.0E-50.0016449390.00153950580.0016093981.04539927.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.0153619841.00450727.0E-5
6.43.155064E-52.9526076E-59.952401E-53.37071567.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.9652555E-41.55313927.0E-50.0016449390.00153950580.0016093981.04539927.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.0153619841.00450727.0E-5
6.53.155064E-52.9526076E-59.952401E-53.37071567.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.9652555E-41.55313927.0E-50.0016449390.00153950580.0016093981.04539927.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.0153619841.00450727.0E-5
6.63.155064E-52.9526076E-59.952401E-53.37071567.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.9652555E-41.55313927.0E-50.0016449390.00153950580.0016093981.04539927.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.0153619841.00450727.0E-5
6.73.098897E-52.8864279E-59.8862256E-53.4250737.0E-51.328031E-41.236984E-41.9368975E-41.56582257.0E-50.00161567850.00150502530.00157491991.04644087.0E-50.0160398220.0149529090.0150218621.00461147.0E-5
6.83.0449872E-52.8239476E-58.823778E-53.12462526.0E-51.3049292E-41.2102092E-41.8101366E-41.4957226.0E-50.00158759350.0014724710.00153238271.04068786.0E-50.0157629920.0146316580.014690781.00404076.0E-5
6.92.697928E-52.4219877E-57.421867E-53.06437025.0E-51.15620365E-41.03795464E-41.5379027E-41.48166665.0E-50.00140676890.00126299880.00131293561.03953835.0E-50.01397896650.0125610660.0126104381.00393065.0E-5
7.02.4893961E-52.1862146E-57.186105E-53.2870085.0E-51.0668404E-49.369165E-51.4368696E-41.53361555.0E-50.00129810430.00114011660.00119005961.04380515.0E-50.0129054770.0113451020.0113945351.00435725.0E-5
7.12.0945363E-51.7354592E-56.735372E-53.88103185.0E-58.976275E-57.437473E-51.2437101E-41.67222135.0E-50.00109231369.0514094E-49.5509563E-41.055195.0E-50.01086960.0090156210.009065171.00549595.0E-5
7.22.0439404E-51.680953E-56.680869E-53.97445325.0E-58.7594504E-57.203888E-51.2203528E-41.69401975.0E-50.00106594138.767251E-49.2668127E-41.05698045.0E-50.0106084270.0087337230.0087832861.0056755.0E-5
7.31.8463334E-51.5381947E-56.538118E-54.2505145.0E-57.912617E-56.592098E-51.1591769E-41.75843385.0E-59.6293533E-48.0229685E-48.522567E-41.06227115.0E-50.0095877340.00799500850.0080446091.00620395.0E-5
7.41.763139E-51.4516977E-56.451625E-54.44419345.0E-57.556091E-56.221415E-51.1221104E-41.80362565.0E-59.1956573E-47.57198E-48.0716016E-41.06598295.0E-50.0091576990.0075471260.00759674841.0065755.0E-5
7.51.3594944E-51.1163363E-56.1162806E-55.47888765.0E-55.8262744E-54.7842117E-59.783973E-52.04505425.0E-57.0911803E-45.8232463E-46.322955E-41.08581285.0E-50.0070685950.0058083620.0058580711.00855835.0E-5
7.66.9889534E-65.6367194E-63.563655E-56.32221463.0E-52.9952313E-52.4157147E-55.4156422E-52.24183853.0E-53.646084E-42.94074E-43.240652E-41.10198513.0E-50.00364010730.00293689240.00296680441.01018493.0E-5
7.74.0824193E-63.2832731E-62.3283208E-57.0914622.0E-51.7495966E-51.4071096E-53.4070814E-52.42133332.0E-52.1299256E-41.7130225E-41.9129882E-41.11673272.0E-50.00212788510.00171171550.00173168131.01166422.0E-5
7.81.7023609E-61.43706E-61.43706E-61.00.07.295812E-66.158814E-66.158814E-61.00.08.882289E-57.4981006E-57.4981006E-51.00.08.8787393E-47.4955984E-47.4955984E-41.00.0
7.92.721225E-72.261692E-72.261692E-71.00.01.1662388E-69.692963E-79.692963E-71.00.01.4198865E-51.1801121E-51.1801121E-51.00.01.4197957E-41.1800523E-41.1800523E-41.00.0
8.09.364255E-95.1204916E-95.1204916E-91.00.04.0132523E-82.1944963E-82.1944963E-81.00.04.8861335E-72.671799E-72.671799E-71.00.04.8861225E-62.6717962E-62.6717962E-61.00.0

Ortigalita (North)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.711876E-51.0505308E-41.3504992E-41.285543.0E-53.3046713E-44.501601E-45.0013757E-41.11102165.0E-50.0040160160.00546805470.0055277271.01091286.0E-50.0394421030.0534556140.0535124061.00106246.0E-5
6.14.607858E-56.0239887E-59.023808E-51.49797893.0E-51.9746469E-42.5814763E-42.8813988E-41.11618263.0E-50.00240148180.00313873660.00316864251.0095283.0E-50.0237569530.0309753120.0310043821.00093853.0E-5
6.24.607858E-56.0239887E-59.023808E-51.49797893.0E-51.9746469E-42.5814763E-42.8813988E-41.11618263.0E-50.00240148180.00313873660.00316864251.0095283.0E-50.0237569530.0309753120.0310043821.00093853.0E-5
6.33.327423E-54.2476124E-57.2474846E-51.70624913.0E-51.4259605E-41.8202956E-42.120241E-41.16477843.0E-50.00173472440.0022142060.00224413961.01351893.0E-50.0172124520.021945740.0219750811.0013373.0E-5
6.42.7732503E-53.4999008E-54.4998655E-51.28571241.0E-51.1884817E-41.499886E-41.599871E-41.06666171.0E-50.0014460160.00182481580.00183479761.005471.0E-50.0143664280.0181212970.0181311161.00054181.0E-5
6.52.7689714E-53.4948822E-54.4948472E-51.28612271.0E-51.186648E-41.4977354E-41.5977204E-41.06675741.0E-50.00144378640.00182220180.00183218361.00547791.0E-50.0143444210.0180955850.0181054031.00054261.0E-5
6.62.2976905E-52.871829E-53.8718004E-51.34820011.0E-59.846873E-51.23074E-41.3307277E-41.0812421.0E-50.00119819750.00149763480.00150761991.00666711.0E-50.0119175740.0148987330.0149085851.00066131.0E-5
6.71.9871539E-52.4904637E-53.4904388E-51.40152171.0E-58.516096E-51.067312E-41.1673012E-41.09368341.0E-50.00103634150.00129891990.00130890691.00768881.0E-50.0103152180.0129369380.0129468091.00076291.0E-5
6.86.5640475E-67.6054926E-67.6054926E-61.00.02.813133E-53.2594577E-53.2594577E-51.00.03.424451E-43.9676955E-43.9676955E-41.00.00.00341917880.0039608990.0039608991.00.0
6.95.6219683E-66.5018376E-66.5018376E-61.00.02.4093928E-52.7864735E-52.7864735E-51.00.02.933041E-43.3920293E-43.3920293E-41.00.00.00292917270.0033871090.0033871091.00.0
7.03.875591E-64.4847548E-64.4847548E-61.00.01.6609569E-51.9220248E-51.9220248E-51.00.02.0220275E-42.339835E-42.339835E-41.00.00.00202018860.00233757980.00233757981.00.0
7.11.6017933E-61.8570418E-61.8570418E-61.00.06.8648105E-67.958732E-67.958732E-61.00.08.357586E-59.689432E-59.689432E-51.00.08.3544437E-49.686254E-49.686254E-41.00.0

Blue Cut

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1227985E-52.2719574E-55.2718893E-52.32041723.0E-59.097391E-59.73663E-51.3736241E-41.41077974.0E-50.00110704450.00118484810.00123478891.04214955.0E-50.0110154580.0117911520.0118603261.00586667.0E-5
6.12.1227985E-52.2719574E-55.2718893E-52.32041723.0E-59.097391E-59.73663E-51.3736241E-41.41077974.0E-50.00110704450.00118484810.00123478891.04214955.0E-50.0110154580.0117911520.0118603261.00586667.0E-5
6.22.1227985E-52.2719574E-55.2718893E-52.32041723.0E-59.097391E-59.73663E-51.3736241E-41.41077974.0E-50.00110704450.00118484810.00123478891.04214955.0E-50.0110154580.0117911520.0118603261.00586667.0E-5
6.31.1613981E-51.2353542E-53.2353295E-52.6189492.0E-54.9773254E-55.2942745E-57.2941686E-51.37774662.0E-56.0582085E-46.443998E-46.643869E-41.03101662.0E-50.00604171960.00642655930.0064663021.00618424.0E-5
6.41.1613981E-51.2353542E-53.2353295E-52.6189492.0E-54.9773254E-55.2942745E-57.2941686E-51.37774662.0E-56.0582085E-46.443998E-46.643869E-41.03101662.0E-50.00604171960.00642655930.0064663021.00618424.0E-5
6.58.931326E-69.4816E-61.9481506E-52.05466441.0E-53.8276554E-54.0634844E-55.063444E-51.24608421.0E-54.6591737E-44.946261E-45.0462113E-41.02020731.0E-50.00464941750.0049361610.00495606241.00403182.0E-5
6.67.345353E-67.79028E-67.79028E-61.00.03.1479703E-53.338653E-53.338653E-51.00.03.83198E-44.064132E-44.064132E-41.00.00.00382537880.00405749070.00406745031.00245451.0E-5
6.76.2775666E-66.655149E-66.655149E-61.00.02.690358E-52.8521798E-52.8521798E-51.00.03.2750185E-43.472051E-43.472051E-41.00.00.00327019630.0034673670.0034673671.00.0
6.85.5234095E-65.8551113E-65.8551113E-61.00.02.367154E-52.5093133E-52.5093133E-51.00.02.8816288E-43.0547334E-43.0547334E-41.00.00.0028778950.00305125050.00305125051.00.0
6.94.7780054E-65.0654203E-65.0654203E-61.00.02.0477004E-52.1708804E-52.1708804E-51.00.02.4927902E-42.642797E-42.642797E-41.00.00.00248999570.0026403460.0026403461.00.0
7.03.883171E-64.118487E-64.118487E-61.00.01.6642054E-51.7650578E-51.7650578E-51.00.02.0259817E-42.1488148E-42.1488148E-41.00.00.00202413560.00214741290.00214741291.00.0
7.12.8358215E-63.0097158E-63.0097158E-61.00.01.2153464E-51.2898756E-51.2898756E-51.00.01.4795837E-41.5703762E-41.5703762E-41.00.00.0014785990.00156991160.00156991161.00.0

Chino alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.939946E-54.894798E-58.894602E-51.8171544.0E-51.6884391E-42.0976314E-42.5975265E-41.23831425.0E-50.00205373620.0025513850.00260125751.01954725.0E-50.0203485950.0252801680.0253386521.00231346.0E-5
6.12.1505624E-52.6878823E-54.6878286E-51.74406022.0E-59.2163704E-51.15190494E-41.351882E-41.17360542.0E-50.00112151540.00140165170.00142162361.01424882.0E-50.0111587220.0139474250.0139671461.0014142.0E-5
6.22.1505624E-52.6878823E-54.6878286E-51.74406022.0E-59.2163704E-51.15190494E-41.351882E-41.17360542.0E-50.00112151540.00140165170.00142162361.01424882.0E-50.0111587220.0139474250.0139671461.0014142.0E-5
6.31.4290785E-51.8164832E-52.816465E-51.55050431.0E-56.1244784E-57.784722E-58.7846434E-51.12844671.0E-57.454001E-49.4742293E-49.5741346E-41.01054491.0E-50.0074290480.009446740.0094566461.00104861.0E-5
6.41.4290785E-51.8164832E-52.816465E-51.55050431.0E-56.1244784E-57.784722E-58.7846434E-51.12844671.0E-57.454001E-49.4742293E-49.5741346E-41.01054491.0E-50.0074290480.009446740.0094566461.00104861.0E-5
6.51.3017944E-51.6651793E-52.6651625E-51.6005261.0E-55.5789995E-57.1363116E-58.136241E-51.14011841.0E-56.790315E-48.6854334E-48.785347E-41.01150361.0E-50.00676960360.0086642330.0086741461.00114421.0E-5
6.69.470016E-61.2039209E-52.2039088E-51.83060931.0E-54.058515E-55.159578E-56.159527E-51.19380431.0E-54.940122E-46.280315E-46.3802523E-41.01591281.0E-50.0049291540.0062732480.0062831851.0015841.0E-5
6.78.314155E-61.040749E-52.0407386E-51.96083641.0E-53.5631605E-54.4602948E-55.4602504E-51.22419051.0E-54.3372845E-45.4293784E-45.529324E-41.01840831.0E-50.0043288290.00542708070.00543702631.00183261.0E-5
6.83.4856364E-63.8134033E-61.38133655E-53.62231951.0E-51.4938357E-51.6343065E-52.6342903E-51.61187031.0E-51.8185932E-41.9896074E-42.0895875E-41.05025111.0E-50.00181710560.00198945290.0019994331.00501661.0E-5
6.92.2645952E-62.152909E-62.152909E-61.00.09.705372E-69.226722E-69.226722E-61.00.01.18156495E-41.12329755E-41.12329755E-41.00.00.00118093690.00112331380.00112331381.00.0
7.01.7864003E-61.5430741E-61.5430741E-61.00.07.655979E-66.613158E-66.613158E-61.00.09.3207556E-58.051228E-58.051228E-51.00.09.316847E-48.052856E-48.052856E-41.00.0
7.11.7315456E-61.4733466E-61.4733466E-61.00.07.420889E-66.314328E-66.314328E-61.00.09.034557E-57.687428E-57.687428E-51.00.09.0308854E-47.68921E-47.68921E-41.00.0
7.21.6008337E-61.3574178E-61.3574178E-61.00.06.860698E-65.817492E-65.817492E-61.00.08.352579E-57.082572E-57.082572E-51.00.08.34944E-47.0846075E-47.0846075E-41.00.0
7.31.3320939E-61.1217794E-61.1217794E-61.00.05.7089615E-64.8076176E-64.8076176E-61.00.06.9504385E-55.853122E-55.853122E-51.00.06.9482654E-45.8530655E-45.8530655E-41.00.0
7.41.114294E-69.237087E-79.237087E-71.00.04.775537E-63.9587458E-63.9587458E-61.00.05.8140613E-54.81967E-54.81967E-51.00.05.81254E-44.8187698E-44.8187698E-41.00.0
7.59.354081E-77.6233886E-77.6233886E-71.00.04.0088858E-63.2671626E-63.2671626E-61.00.04.8807087E-53.9777013E-53.9777013E-51.00.04.879637E-43.9770233E-43.9770233E-41.00.0
7.68.521771E-76.880688E-76.880688E-71.00.03.6521824E-62.948863E-62.948863E-61.00.04.4464414E-53.590185E-53.590185E-51.00.04.4455516E-43.5896365E-43.5896365E-41.00.0
7.72.1803626E-71.4186368E-71.4186368E-71.00.09.344408E-76.0798715E-76.0798715E-71.00.01.1376757E-57.4022278E-67.4022278E-61.00.01.13761744E-47.402077E-57.402077E-51.00.0

San Clemente

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.681379E-58.163834E-51.3163425E-41.61240735.0E-52.8631336E-43.4983488E-43.998174E-41.14287465.0E-50.0034802940.004251410.00430119741.01171085.0E-50.034262910.041756030.0418231081.00160637.0E-5
6.16.681379E-58.163834E-51.2163507E-41.48992594.0E-52.8631336E-43.4983488E-43.898209E-41.11429974.0E-50.0034802940.004251410.004291241.00936874.0E-50.034262910.041756030.0418135231.00137696.0E-5
6.23.9400576E-54.6452373E-57.645098E-51.64579273.0E-51.6884868E-41.9906677E-42.290608E-41.15067323.0E-50.00205379450.00242099840.0024509261.01236153.0E-50.0203491670.0239529030.0239821841.00122253.0E-5
6.33.2590255E-53.792912E-55.792836E-51.52727942.0E-51.3966505E-41.6254342E-41.8254017E-41.12302412.0E-50.00169909560.00197720020.00199716051.01009542.0E-50.016861630.0195998830.0196194911.00100042.0E-5
6.42.9454652E-53.4097764E-55.409708E-51.58652882.0E-51.2622811E-41.4612524E-41.661223E-41.13684892.0E-50.00153574380.00177764930.00179761371.01123082.0E-50.0152517390.017637470.0176571181.00111392.0E-5
6.52.790836E-53.2247463E-54.224714E-51.3100921.0E-51.1960178E-41.3819624E-41.4819486E-41.07235091.0E-50.0014551790.00168126620.00169124941.00593791.0E-50.0144568680.0166884850.0166983181.00058931.0E-5
6.62.2492153E-52.5762702E-52.5762702E-51.00.09.639138E-51.1040699E-41.1040699E-41.00.00.00117293310.00134339090.00134339091.00.00.0116676150.0133544170.0133544171.00.0
6.71.9862755E-52.2666423E-52.2666423E-51.00.08.512331E-59.713826E-59.713826E-51.00.00.00103588360.00118202790.00118202791.00.00.0103106820.0117587010.0117587011.00.0
6.81.6697575E-51.897771E-51.897771E-51.00.07.155907E-58.133056E-58.133056E-51.00.08.7088346E-49.897591E-49.897591E-41.00.00.0086747840.00985453650.00985453651.00.0
6.91.5218415E-51.72694E-51.72694E-51.00.06.522015E-57.4009666E-57.4009666E-51.00.07.93766E-49.00704E-49.00704E-41.00.00.0079093670.0089714810.0089714811.00.0
7.01.2392958E-51.4033016E-51.4033016E-51.00.05.3111595E-56.014015E-56.014015E-51.00.06.4644177E-47.319679E-47.319679E-41.00.00.00644564540.00729635640.00729635641.00.0
7.11.0934128E-51.2375138E-51.2375138E-51.00.04.6859706E-55.303527E-55.303527E-51.00.05.7036756E-46.455204E-46.455204E-41.00.00.00568905850.00643719970.00643719971.00.0
7.29.5798805E-61.0844935E-51.0844935E-51.00.04.1055984E-54.6477508E-54.6477508E-51.00.04.9974193E-45.657239E-45.657239E-41.00.00.00498619630.00564356150.00564356151.00.0
7.38.0167365E-69.083918E-69.083918E-61.00.03.4356988E-53.8930535E-53.8930535E-51.00.04.1821605E-44.7388324E-44.7388324E-41.00.00.00417429860.00472942970.00472942971.00.0
7.42.9581017E-63.3623792E-63.3623792E-61.00.01.2677518E-51.4410146E-51.4410146E-51.00.01.5433785E-41.7543444E-41.7543444E-41.00.00.0015423070.00175345460.00175345461.00.0

Santa Cruz Island

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9164563E-53.1599742E-58.159816E-52.58224135.0E-51.2498499E-41.3542121E-41.8541444E-41.36916845.0E-50.00152063010.00164764260.00169756021.03029645.0E-50.0151026670.0163680.0164368541.00420677.0E-5
6.12.9164563E-53.1599742E-58.159816E-52.58224135.0E-51.2498499E-41.3542121E-41.8541444E-41.36916845.0E-50.00152063010.00164764260.00169756021.03029645.0E-50.0151026670.0163680.0164368541.00420677.0E-5
6.22.9164563E-53.1599742E-58.159816E-52.58224135.0E-51.2498499E-41.3542121E-41.8541444E-41.36916845.0E-50.00152063010.00164764260.00169756021.03029645.0E-50.0151026670.0163680.0164368541.00420677.0E-5
6.31.6635553E-51.780436E-52.780418E-51.56165021.0E-57.1293274E-57.630227E-58.63015E-51.13104771.0E-58.6765E-49.286024E-49.385931E-41.01075891.0E-50.0086427010.0092490940.0092788161.00321353.0E-5
6.41.6635553E-51.780436E-52.780418E-51.56165021.0E-57.1293274E-57.630227E-58.63015E-51.13104771.0E-58.6765E-49.286024E-49.385931E-41.01075891.0E-50.0086427010.0092490940.0092788161.00321353.0E-5
6.51.2238748E-51.3042996E-51.3042996E-51.00.05.2450723E-55.5897377E-55.5897377E-51.00.06.3840044E-46.8034173E-46.8034173E-41.00.00.00636569550.0067829880.006792921.00146421.0E-5
6.61.0489767E-51.1156636E-51.1156636E-51.00.04.495537E-54.781329E-54.781329E-51.00.05.4719415E-45.819736E-45.819736E-41.00.00.0054584870.0058047360.0058146781.00171271.0E-5
6.78.699222E-69.236783E-69.236783E-61.00.03.7281847E-53.958561E-53.958561E-51.00.04.5381195E-44.818488E-44.818488E-41.00.00.00452886340.0048081080.004818061.00206981.0E-5
6.88.307732E-68.8169045E-68.8169045E-61.00.03.560408E-53.7786187E-53.7786187E-51.00.04.3339343E-44.5995016E-44.5995016E-41.00.00.0043254920.00459003540.00459998941.00216871.0E-5
6.98.073121E-68.564939E-68.564939E-61.00.03.459863E-53.670637E-53.670637E-51.00.04.2115687E-44.4680882E-44.4680882E-41.00.00.0042035960.0044591560.00446911161.00223261.0E-5
7.07.617019E-68.074665E-68.074665E-61.00.03.264396E-53.4605247E-53.4605247E-51.00.03.9736772E-44.2123784E-44.2123784E-41.00.00.0039665790.00420444130.00421439951.00236851.0E-5
7.17.1224836E-67.5457883E-67.5457883E-61.00.03.052457E-53.2338692E-53.2338692E-51.00.03.715733E-43.9365282E-43.9365282E-41.00.00.0037095260.00392959830.00393955881.00253471.0E-5
7.26.441115E-66.8273835E-66.8273835E-61.00.02.7604487E-52.9259889E-52.9259889E-51.00.03.360328E-43.5618115E-43.5618115E-41.00.00.00335525120.00355613120.00356609561.0028021.0E-5
7.35.494274E-65.8199944E-65.8199944E-61.00.02.3546674E-52.4942596E-52.4942596E-51.00.02.8664304E-43.03634E-43.03634E-41.00.00.0028627360.00303221450.00304218431.00328791.0E-5
7.44.0802624E-64.3122564E-64.3122564E-61.00.01.7486722E-51.8480969E-51.8480969E-51.00.02.1288003E-42.2498264E-42.2498264E-41.00.00.00212676220.00224755770.00225753521.00443921.0E-5
7.52.3584746E-62.4753099E-62.4753099E-61.00.01.0107709E-51.0608428E-51.0608428E-51.00.01.2305441E-41.2915001E-41.2915001E-41.00.00.00122986290.00129075450.00129075451.00.0
7.69.4981914E-79.860934E-79.860934E-71.00.04.0706473E-64.2261076E-64.2261076E-61.00.04.9559E-55.1451658E-55.1451658E-51.00.04.954795E-45.1439874E-45.1439874E-41.00.0
7.72.6013532E-72.6416632E-72.6416632E-71.00.01.1148652E-61.1321408E-61.1321408E-61.00.01.3573399E-51.3783729E-51.3783729E-51.00.01.357257E-41.378288E-41.378288E-41.00.0
7.84.1522263E-83.965698E-83.965698E-81.00.01.7795254E-71.6995848E-71.6995848E-71.00.02.16657E-62.0692428E-62.0692428E-61.00.02.1665488E-52.0692256E-52.0692256E-51.00.0
7.97.7242046E-105.9475225E-105.9475225E-101.00.03.3103735E-92.5489382E-92.5489382E-91.00.04.0303796E-83.1033323E-83.1033323E-81.00.04.030379E-73.103332E-73.103332E-71.00.0

Imperial

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7496446E-45.055345E-45.555093E-41.09885535.0E-50.00117788690.0021648170.0022246871.0276566.0E-50.01424676550.0260484090.0261068471.00224346.0E-50.133672490.228070290.228124321.00023697.0E-5
6.12.5356023E-44.8657708E-45.3655275E-41.10270875.0E-50.0010862340.0020837020.0021435771.02873496.0E-50.0131449280.025070940.0251294341.00233326.0E-50.1239401550.219495610.219550251.00024897.0E-5
6.22.4820742E-44.775311E-45.275072E-41.10465535.0E-50.00106331240.00204499460.0021048721.029286.0E-50.012869190.0246106760.0246691981.0023786.0E-50.121489270.216001360.216056241.0002547.0E-5
6.32.3205351E-44.5892023E-45.088973E-41.10890145.0E-59.94136E-40.00196535540.00202523751.03046886.0E-50.0120365990.0236611870.0237197671.00247596.0E-50.114051330.207938270.207993721.00026677.0E-5
6.42.0304754E-43.9878016E-44.487602E-41.12533245.0E-58.6991355E-40.00170795290.00176785051.03506986.0E-50.0105398690.0205954180.0206541831.00285336.0E-50.1005376350.185071130.185128171.00030837.0E-5
6.51.854992E-43.6990462E-44.1988614E-41.135125.0E-57.9475436E-40.00158435480.00164425971.03781036.0E-50.0096332810.019114430.0191732811.00307896.0E-50.09226230.17330390.173361761.00033397.0E-5
6.61.6586106E-43.4036173E-43.9034474E-41.14685255.0E-57.106394E-40.00145788780.00151780041.04109546.0E-50.0086177630.0176076260.0176665691.00334766.0E-50.082911320.160780550.160839291.00036547.0E-5
6.71.4224656E-43.076812E-43.5766582E-41.16245595.0E-56.094856E-40.00131797560.00137789641.04546446.0E-50.00739526930.0159285220.0159875661.00370686.0E-50.071539550.146487980.146547731.00040787.0E-5
6.81.2317259E-42.779231E-43.279092E-41.17985585.0E-55.2777573E-40.00119056150.001250491.05033646.0E-50.00640675470.0144001310.0144592671.00410666.0E-50.062251660.132940890.133001581.00045667.0E-5
6.99.859898E-52.5015484E-43.0014233E-41.19982625.0E-54.2249862E-40.00107165590.00113159161.05592816.0E-50.00513179460.0129703190.013029541.0045666.0E-50.050148930.1194088760.1194705141.00051627.0E-5
7.07.3191884E-52.1267848E-42.6266786E-41.23504665.0E-53.136418E-49.11164E-49.711093E-41.06578986.0E-50.0038119040.0110376810.0110970191.0053766.0E-50.0374717640.102067560.102130421.00061587.0E-5
7.17.1760296E-52.0969207E-42.4968368E-41.19071594.0E-53.0750787E-48.9837395E-49.4832905E-41.05560615.0E-50.0037374820.0108835280.0109329841.00454415.0E-50.036752450.100704060.1007580161.00053586.0E-5
7.26.46614E-51.9137723E-42.3136957E-41.20897134.0E-52.7709085E-48.199333E-48.6989236E-41.06093065.0E-50.00336836280.0099376170.00998712051.00498145.0E-50.0331776250.0925110060.0925654551.00058856.0E-5
7.36.088115E-51.780939E-42.1808677E-41.22456064.0E-52.6089314E-47.6303916E-48.13001E-41.06547755.0E-50.00317174760.0092510060.0093005431.00535485.0E-50.0312685850.086561350.086616161.00063316.0E-5
7.44.199346E-51.1511097E-41.5510636E-41.34745074.0E-51.7995955E-44.932403E-45.4321566E-41.10132055.0E-50.00218880570.0059888350.0060385361.00829895.0E-50.021673720.057440240.0574967941.00098456.0E-5
7.53.130448E-58.333871E-51.1333621E-41.35994673.0E-51.3415517E-43.5711733E-43.9710305E-41.1119684.0E-50.00163211530.00433929540.00437912161.0091784.0E-50.0162018030.0421335060.042171821.00090934.0E-5
7.62.3074248E-56.0849357E-58.084814E-51.32866062.0E-59.888588E-52.6075702E-42.8075182E-41.07667972.0E-50.00120327060.00317011820.0031900551.00628892.0E-50.0119677610.031028160.031047541.00062452.0E-5
7.71.45864815E-54.0128452E-56.0127648E-51.49837952.0E-56.2511994E-51.7196777E-41.9196433E-41.11628092.0E-57.608177E-40.00209170250.00211166081.00954162.0E-50.0075821820.020629090.0206486771.00094952.0E-5
7.81.0352979E-53.096395E-54.096364E-51.32294621.0E-54.4369157E-51.326959E-41.4269458E-41.07535031.0E-55.400606E-40.00161437780.00162436161.00618431.0E-50.00538750.0160178930.0160277321.00061431.0E-5
7.98.137906E-62.2151205E-53.2150983E-51.45143271.0E-53.4876273E-59.493029E-51.0492934E-41.10533051.0E-54.2453592E-40.00115516440.00116515291.00864671.0E-50.0042372580.0116188420.01162872651.00085071.0E-5
8.06.93792E-61.8010365E-52.8010185E-51.55522581.0E-52.9733603E-57.7185E-58.718423E-51.12954881.0E-53.6194647E-49.3932304E-49.4931363E-41.0106361.0E-50.00361357510.0095024150.009512321.00104241.0E-5
8.13.4286315E-66.380179E-61.6380116E-52.56734421.0E-51.4694053E-52.734334E-53.7343067E-51.36570981.0E-51.7888541E-43.3285443E-43.428511E-41.03003311.0E-50.00178741480.00348636740.00349633261.00285831.0E-5
8.21.4906886E-61.936633E-61.936633E-61.00.06.3886496E-68.2998295E-68.2998295E-61.00.07.7779034E-51.0104576E-41.0104576E-41.00.07.775182E-40.00110754230.00110754231.00.0
8.32.5758007E-81.4495866E-81.4495866E-81.00.01.10391454E-76.212514E-86.212514E-81.00.01.3440151E-67.563736E-77.563736E-71.00.01.344007E-57.884359E-67.884359E-61.00.0

Palos Verdes

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.126063E-57.622572E-51.16222676E-41.52471724.0E-52.6251914E-43.266441E-43.7662778E-41.15302185.0E-50.00319148650.00397017370.00402993571.01505276.0E-50.0314603930.039049090.0391163531.00172267.0E-5
6.16.126063E-57.622572E-51.16222676E-41.52471724.0E-52.6251914E-43.266441E-43.7662778E-41.15302185.0E-50.00319148650.00397017370.00402993571.01505276.0E-50.0314603930.039049090.0391163531.00172267.0E-5
6.26.126063E-57.622572E-51.16222676E-41.52471724.0E-52.6251914E-43.266441E-43.7662778E-41.15302185.0E-50.00319148650.00397017370.00402993571.01505276.0E-50.0314603930.039049090.0391163531.00172267.0E-5
6.34.0838047E-54.9749007E-58.9747016E-51.80399624.0E-51.7500846E-42.1319388E-42.631832E-41.23447845.0E-50.00212864580.0025927540.00264262451.01923455.0E-50.0210837090.0256467460.0256954641.00189965.0E-5
6.44.0838047E-54.9749007E-58.9747016E-51.80399624.0E-51.7500846E-42.1319388E-42.631832E-41.23447845.0E-50.00212864580.0025927540.00264262451.01923455.0E-50.0210837090.0256467460.0256954641.00189965.0E-5
6.53.0512005E-53.6561592E-55.6560864E-51.54700212.0E-51.3075917E-41.566838E-41.8667911E-41.19143843.0E-50.00159083040.0019060720.00193601491.01570923.0E-50.0157949030.0189091730.0189386051.00155653.0E-5
6.62.9255087E-53.5154393E-55.5153687E-51.56889892.0E-51.2537291E-41.5065364E-41.8064912E-41.19910233.0E-50.00152534640.00183277820.00186272331.01633863.0E-50.0151491890.0181882440.0182176981.00161953.0E-5
6.72.287198E-52.724828E-53.7248006E-51.36698571.0E-59.801909E-51.16773626E-41.367713E-41.17125152.0E-50.0011927290.00142088330.0014408551.01405572.0E-50.0118634770.0141272170.0141469351.00139572.0E-5
6.82.1325764E-52.5431878E-53.5431625E-51.39319731.0E-59.139293E-51.0898972E-41.2898754E-41.18348362.0E-50.0011121410.00132623230.00134620581.01506032.0E-50.0110659150.0131922110.0132119481.00149612.0E-5
6.91.9009392E-52.2613547E-53.2613323E-51.44220281.0E-58.1466285E-59.6912096E-51.1691016E-41.20635262.0E-59.914007E-40.00117935350.00119932991.01693842.0E-50.0098698940.0117396330.0117593981.00168362.0E-5
7.01.7098473E-52.0319356E-53.0319152E-51.49213161.0E-57.3277115E-58.708052E-51.07078784E-41.22965252.0E-58.917837E-40.0010597750.00107975371.01885192.0E-50.0088821340.0105556460.0105754351.00187472.0E-5
7.11.5982785E-51.899476E-52.8994571E-51.5264511.0E-56.849585E-58.1404054E-51.01402424E-41.2456682.0E-58.336179E-49.907284E-40.00101070861.02016712.0E-50.0083049770.0098714790.0098912821.0020062.0E-5
7.21.4468002E-51.7197237E-51.7197237E-51.00.06.200425E-57.370083E-58.370009E-51.13567361.0E-57.546402E-48.970222E-49.0701325E-41.0111381.0E-50.0075208270.0089422840.0089521941.00110831.0E-5
7.35.288233E-66.2036747E-66.2036747E-61.00.02.2663658E-52.6587102E-52.6587102E-51.00.02.7589512E-43.236848E-43.236848E-41.00.00.00275552830.00323555620.00323555621.00.0
7.48.279556E-78.408347E-78.408347E-71.00.03.5483763E-63.6035726E-63.6035726E-61.00.04.3200624E-54.3872686E-54.3872686E-51.00.04.3192226E-44.3864746E-44.3864746E-41.00.0
7.56.559831E-76.667229E-76.667229E-71.00.02.8113532E-62.857381E-62.857381E-61.00.03.4227687E-53.4788125E-53.4788125E-51.00.03.4222414E-43.4783344E-43.4783344E-41.00.0
7.63.5018968E-73.5620027E-73.5620027E-71.00.01.500812E-61.526572E-61.526572E-61.00.01.8272232E-51.8585903E-51.8585903E-51.00.01.8270731E-41.8584808E-41.8584808E-41.00.0
7.71.1986104E-71.2198376E-71.2198376E-71.00.05.1369005E-75.2278745E-75.2278745E-71.00.06.2541585E-66.364919E-66.364919E-61.00.06.2539824E-56.364741E-56.364741E-51.00.0
7.83.0445005E-83.1027582E-83.1027582E-81.00.01.3047858E-71.3297536E-71.3297536E-71.00.01.5885756E-61.6189739E-61.6189739E-61.00.01.5885644E-51.6189642E-51.6189642E-51.00.0

Bullion Mountains

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6420427E-51.4692009E-54.469157E-53.04189633.0E-57.037136E-56.296445E-51.2296067E-41.95285876.0E-58.5643446E-47.6636096E-48.2631496E-41.0782326.0E-50.0085314130.00764097460.00770051641.00779246.0E-5
6.11.6420427E-51.4692009E-54.469157E-53.04189633.0E-57.037136E-56.296445E-51.2296067E-41.95285876.0E-58.5643446E-47.6636096E-48.2631496E-41.0782326.0E-50.0085314130.00764097460.00770051641.00779246.0E-5
6.21.6420427E-51.4692009E-54.469157E-53.04189633.0E-57.037136E-56.296445E-51.2296067E-41.95285876.0E-58.5643446E-47.6636096E-48.2631496E-41.0782326.0E-50.0085314130.00764097460.00770051641.00779246.0E-5
6.31.2046778E-59.862255E-61.9862156E-52.01395681.0E-55.1628023E-54.2266256E-58.226457E-51.94634154.0E-56.283899E-45.144933E-45.5447273E-41.07770634.0E-50.00626615950.00513530340.00517509831.00774924.0E-5
6.41.2046778E-59.862255E-61.9862156E-52.01395681.0E-55.1628023E-54.2266256E-58.226457E-51.94634154.0E-56.283899E-45.144933E-45.5447273E-41.07770634.0E-50.00626615950.00513530340.00517509831.00774924.0E-5
6.51.0244343E-57.879378E-61.78793E-52.26912571.0E-54.390359E-53.3768443E-57.376709E-52.18449784.0E-55.343951E-44.1107394E-44.5105748E-41.09726614.0E-50.0053311180.00410516650.00414500251.00970394.0E-5
6.69.605408E-67.1774166E-61.7177344E-52.3932491.0E-54.1165385E-53.0760108E-57.075888E-52.30034544.0E-55.010733E-43.7446033E-44.1444536E-41.10678044.0E-50.004999450.00374029060.0037801411.01065434.0E-5
6.78.60418E-66.123926E-61.6123866E-52.63292931.0E-53.687454E-52.6245243E-56.6244196E-52.52404574.0E-54.48855E-43.195085E-43.594957E-41.12515234.0E-50.0044794950.00319240310.00323227541.01248984.0E-5
6.85.187994E-62.563117E-61.2563091E-54.90148971.0E-52.223407E-51.0984763E-52.0984653E-51.91034191.0E-52.7066618E-41.3373529E-41.4373395E-41.07476461.0E-50.00270336750.00133693960.00134692621.00746981.0E-5
6.94.5302368E-62.3442778E-61.2344254E-55.2656961.0E-51.9415156E-51.0046889E-52.004679E-51.9953231.0E-52.3635388E-41.2231797E-41.3231675E-41.08174411.0E-50.00236102660.00122289560.00123288331.00816731.0E-5
7.03.431668E-61.6882177E-61.1688201E-56.92339661.0E-51.4707065E-57.2352186E-61.7235147E-52.38211821.0E-51.7904381E-48.808879E-59.8087905E-51.11351181.0E-50.00178899628.8088785E-48.908791E-41.01134221.0E-5

Owens Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.83821E-53.6210524E-64.362091E-512.0464734.0E-52.0733538E-41.551871E-56.551793E-54.22186765.0E-50.0025213861.889249E-42.4891357E-41.31752666.0E-50.0249296910.00192971410.00198959841.03103276.0E-5
6.14.83821E-53.6210524E-64.362091E-512.0464734.0E-52.0733538E-41.551871E-56.551793E-54.22186765.0E-50.0025213861.889249E-42.4891357E-41.31752666.0E-50.0249296910.00192971410.00198959841.03103276.0E-5
6.24.83821E-53.6210524E-64.362091E-512.0464734.0E-52.0733538E-41.551871E-56.551793E-54.22186765.0E-50.0025213861.889249E-42.4891357E-41.31752666.0E-50.0249296910.00192971410.00198959841.03103276.0E-5
6.33.953008E-53.1530958E-64.315297E-513.68590454.0E-51.6940363E-41.3513202E-56.3512525E-54.7000355.0E-50.0020605381.6451156E-42.2450168E-41.36465616.0E-50.0204153640.00166216270.0017220631.03603766.0E-5
6.43.953008E-53.1530958E-64.315297E-513.68590454.0E-51.6940363E-41.3513202E-56.3512525E-54.7000355.0E-50.0020605381.6451156E-42.2450168E-41.36465616.0E-50.0204153640.00166216270.0017220631.03603766.0E-5
6.53.457342E-52.9707387E-64.297062E-514.4646244.0E-51.4816338E-41.273168E-56.2731044E-54.92716175.0E-50.00180239651.5499788E-42.1498857E-41.3870426.0E-50.0178784770.00155631190.00161621851.03849276.0E-5
6.63.1127765E-52.8737306E-64.2873617E-514.9191494.0E-51.3339789E-41.2315934E-56.231532E-55.05973155.0E-50.00162290921.4993687E-42.0992788E-41.40010856.0E-50.0161110810.00150134380.00156125371.03990426.0E-5
6.72.806885E-52.8101606E-64.2810047E-515.2340224.0E-51.2028952E-41.2043493E-56.204289E-55.15156945.0E-50.0014635411.4662035E-42.0661156E-41.40916016.0E-50.0145393970.00146560870.00152552081.04087876.0E-5
6.82.524524E-52.2351392E-64.223505E-518.8959374.0E-51.0818939E-49.579134E-65.9578655E-56.21962835.0E-50.00131640991.16620016E-41.7661302E-41.51443156.0E-50.013086390.0011658270.00122575721.05140576.0E-5
6.92.2704568E-51.6079711E-64.1607906E-525.876034.0E-59.730166E-56.8912864E-65.689094E-58.2554895.0E-50.00118400398.38982E-51.4389316E-41.71509246.0E-50.0117771538.38853E-48.988027E-41.07146626.0E-5
7.02.0871712E-51.5393621E-64.15393E-526.9847494.0E-58.944713E-56.5972495E-65.659692E-58.5788665.0E-50.00108847468.031857E-51.4031376E-41.74696536.0E-50.0108315868.030395E-48.629914E-41.07465616.0E-5
7.11.944928E-51.3862556E-64.13862E-529.854674.0E-58.335139E-55.941082E-65.5940785E-59.4159265.0E-50.00101433087.233028E-51.3232593E-41.82946816.0E-50.0100971337.2319806E-47.831547E-41.08290486.0E-5
7.21.7876306E-51.2487686E-64.1248717E-533.0315174.0E-57.6610486E-55.3518543E-65.5351586E-510.3425065.0E-59.3233347E-46.515689E-51.2515298E-41.92079426.0E-50.0092843166.5148395E-47.114449E-41.09203746.0E-5
7.31.2618672E-51.1113839E-64.111134E-536.9911234.0E-55.40789E-54.763065E-65.4762826E-511.4973925.0E-56.582117E-45.7988782E-51.17985306E-42.0346236.0E-50.00656265535.7983754E-46.398028E-41.10341736.0E-5
7.47.4874442E-68.547518E-74.0854717E-547.7971734.0E-53.208865E-53.6632168E-65.3663032E-514.6491565.0E-53.906093E-44.4598757E-51.0459608E-42.3452696.0E-50.0038992344.459579E-45.0593115E-41.13448186.0E-5
7.52.4734156E-66.0679935E-72.0606787E-533.9598052.0E-51.060031E-52.6005662E-63.260049E-512.5359193.0E-51.2905113E-43.1661435E-56.166049E-51.9474953.0E-50.00128976213.1656958E-43.465601E-41.09473593.0E-5
7.61.1328841E-63.1961991E-73.1961991E-71.00.04.8552088E-61.369799E-61.1369785E-58.3003311.0E-55.9110564E-51.6677177E-52.667701E-51.59961191.0E-55.9094845E-41.6675945E-41.7675778E-41.05995671.0E-5
7.74.8613185E-78.962742E-88.962742E-81.00.02.0834207E-63.8411747E-73.8411747E-71.00.02.536535E-54.676621E-64.676621E-61.00.02.5362454E-44.676529E-54.676529E-51.00.0

Big Pine (Central)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2706755E-51.4250602E-55.425003E-53.8068594.0E-55.4456385E-56.107279E-51.0107034E-41.65491624.0E-56.628048E-47.433441E-47.933069E-41.06721375.0E-50.0066083140.0074136390.00747319451.00803326.0E-5
6.18.342579E-69.510835E-62.9510646E-53.10284472.0E-53.5753423E-54.076021E-56.0759394E-51.49065462.0E-54.3521097E-44.9616426E-45.1615434E-41.04028932.0E-50.00434359630.0049541550.00498400631.00602563.0E-5
6.26.923899E-67.967221E-61.7967142E-52.25513271.0E-52.9673516E-53.4144894E-54.4144555E-51.29285961.0E-53.6121515E-44.1565404E-44.256499E-41.02404841.0E-50.0036062860.00415210940.0041720261.00479692.0E-5
6.32.728396E-63.4243646E-63.4243646E-61.00.01.1693074E-51.4675771E-51.4675771E-51.00.01.4235388E-41.7866373E-41.7866373E-41.00.00.00142262720.00178674330.00179672541.00558671.0E-5
6.42.7136944E-63.4086581E-63.4086581E-61.00.01.1630066E-51.4608458E-51.4608458E-51.00.01.4158686E-41.7784433E-41.7784433E-41.00.00.00141496690.00177856230.00178854461.00561251.0E-5
6.52.6971882E-63.3910032E-63.3910032E-61.00.01.1559327E-51.4532795E-51.4532795E-51.00.01.4072572E-41.7692328E-41.7692328E-41.00.00.00140636640.00176936660.00177934881.00564171.0E-5
6.62.669092E-63.3610236E-63.3610236E-61.00.01.1438916E-51.4404312E-51.4404312E-51.00.01.3925991E-41.7535927E-41.7535927E-41.00.00.00139172670.00175375110.00176373361.0056921.0E-5
6.72.6408059E-63.3310494E-63.3310494E-61.00.01.1317691E-51.4275853E-51.4275853E-51.00.01.3778417E-41.737955E-41.737955E-41.00.00.00137698770.00173813810.00174812081.00574331.0E-5
6.82.1786943E-62.8545066E-62.8545066E-61.00.09.337228E-61.2233547E-51.2233547E-51.00.01.1367482E-41.4893398E-41.4893398E-41.00.00.00113616690.00148987040.00148987041.00.0
6.91.4411696E-62.0685677E-62.0685677E-61.00.06.1764263E-68.865261E-68.865261E-61.00.07.51954E-51.0792949E-41.0792949E-41.00.07.5169955E-40.00108025480.00108025481.00.0
7.01.0073411E-61.5543274E-61.5543274E-61.00.04.317169E-66.661387E-66.661387E-61.00.05.2560266E-58.109952E-58.109952E-51.00.05.2547833E-48.1217213E-48.1217213E-41.00.0
7.18.947104E-71.430316E-61.430316E-61.00.03.834468E-66.1299124E-66.1299124E-61.00.04.6683643E-57.462928E-57.462928E-51.00.04.6673836E-47.4751483E-47.4751483E-41.00.0
7.25.215166E-71.0112277E-61.0112277E-61.00.02.2350691E-64.333826E-64.333826E-61.00.02.7211627E-55.27631E-55.27631E-51.00.02.7208295E-45.289683E-45.289683E-41.00.0
7.34.4024807E-79.220183E-79.220183E-71.00.01.8867761E-63.951501E-63.951501E-61.00.02.2971257E-54.8108504E-54.8108504E-51.00.02.2968883E-44.824433E-44.824433E-41.00.0
7.43.6130905E-78.359109E-78.359109E-71.00.01.5484665E-63.5824705E-63.5824705E-61.00.01.8852415E-54.3615746E-54.3615746E-51.00.01.8850817E-44.3752496E-44.3752496E-41.00.0
7.53.408184E-78.1087245E-78.1087245E-71.00.01.4606494E-63.475163E-63.475163E-61.00.01.7783263E-54.230933E-54.230933E-51.00.01.778184E-44.2444657E-44.2444657E-41.00.0
7.63.1428627E-77.732167E-77.732167E-71.00.01.3469405E-63.313782E-63.313782E-61.00.01.6398877E-54.0344585E-54.0344585E-51.00.01.6397667E-44.0477706E-44.0477706E-41.00.0
7.71.7972785E-75.0782415E-75.0782415E-71.00.07.70262E-72.1763874E-62.1763874E-61.00.09.377899E-62.6497206E-52.6497206E-51.00.09.377503E-52.6633305E-42.6633305E-41.00.0
7.84.9230927E-81.1981747E-71.1981747E-71.00.02.1098968E-75.135033E-75.135033E-71.00.02.5687964E-66.2518866E-66.2518866E-61.00.02.5687666E-56.2971965E-56.2971965E-51.00.0
7.93.6805972E-94.1051638E-94.1051638E-91.00.01.5773987E-81.7593557E-81.7593557E-81.00.01.9204828E-72.1420155E-72.1420155E-71.00.01.920481E-62.1898923E-62.1898923E-61.00.0

Great Valley 07 (Orestimba)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9687902E-53.27575E-57.2756186E-52.22105464.0E-51.2722766E-41.4038214E-41.8037652E-41.28489654.0E-50.00154789610.00170788440.00175779911.0292265.0E-50.0153715850.0169551350.0170042891.00289895.0E-5
6.12.9687902E-53.27575E-57.2756186E-52.22105464.0E-51.2722766E-41.4038214E-41.8037652E-41.28489654.0E-50.00154789610.00170788440.00175779911.0292265.0E-50.0153715850.0169551350.0170042891.00289895.0E-5
6.21.9231524E-52.1159167E-56.115832E-52.89039374.0E-58.2418206E-59.067912E-51.3067549E-41.44107594.0E-50.00100297970.00110348220.00115342711.04526115.0E-50.009984650.0109824410.0110318911.00450285.0E-5
6.31.324766E-51.4548534E-55.4547952E-53.7493784.0E-55.6774446E-56.234942E-51.0234692E-41.64150574.0E-56.910097E-47.5884897E-48.08811E-41.06583935.0E-50.0068886490.00756352350.00761314531.00656075.0E-5
6.47.818645E-68.57284E-62.857267E-53.33292912.0E-53.3508048E-53.6740246E-55.673951E-51.54434222.0E-54.078841E-44.4722404E-44.7721062E-41.06705053.0E-50.0040713630.00446358040.00449344661.00669113.0E-5
6.55.3076565E-65.8178007E-61.5817743E-52.71885251.0E-52.27469E-52.4933206E-53.4932957E-51.40106151.0E-52.7690834E-43.035216E-43.1351857E-41.03293661.0E-50.00276563530.003031280.00304124971.0032891.0E-5
6.63.6003578E-63.9484953E-63.9484953E-61.00.01.5430012E-51.6922022E-51.6922022E-51.00.01.8784421E-42.0600771E-42.0600771E-41.00.00.00187685520.00205832140.00205832141.00.0
6.72.5361826E-62.7834678E-62.7834678E-61.00.01.0869308E-51.1929101E-51.1929101E-51.00.01.3232579E-41.4522845E-41.4522845E-41.00.00.00132247030.00145146530.00145146531.00.0
6.81.2115831E-61.3313797E-61.3313797E-61.00.05.1924885E-65.7059065E-65.7059065E-61.00.06.3216714E-56.9468166E-56.9468166E-51.00.06.3198735E-46.945596E-46.945596E-41.00.0

Lost Hills

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.233523E-52.5106583E-55.510583E-52.19487573.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.3759293E-41.27879043.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00136928541.04576376.0E-50.0115866860.0130330910.0130923091.00454376.0E-5
6.12.233523E-52.5106583E-55.510583E-52.19487573.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.3759293E-41.27879043.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00136928541.04576376.0E-50.0115866860.0130330910.0130923091.00454376.0E-5
6.22.233523E-52.5106583E-55.510583E-52.19487573.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.3759293E-41.27879043.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00136928541.04576376.0E-50.0115866860.0130330910.0130923091.00454376.0E-5
6.32.233523E-52.5106583E-55.510583E-52.19487573.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.3759293E-41.27879043.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00136928541.04576376.0E-50.0115866860.0130330910.0130923091.00454376.0E-5
6.41.2288092E-51.3781108E-53.378083E-52.45124222.0E-55.2662188E-55.906108E-57.90599E-51.33861242.0E-56.409735E-47.189252E-47.5889647E-41.05559864.0E-50.0063912790.00717520060.00721491361.00553484.0E-5
6.51.2288092E-51.3781108E-53.378083E-52.45124222.0E-55.2662188E-55.906108E-57.90599E-51.33861242.0E-56.409735E-47.189252E-47.5889647E-41.05559864.0E-50.0063912790.00717520060.00721491361.00553484.0E-5
6.68.58281E-69.63377E-62.9633577E-53.07601052.0E-53.6782953E-54.12874E-56.128658E-51.48438932.0E-54.4774043E-45.026414E-45.4262124E-41.07953974.0E-50.00446839350.0050232050.00506300431.0079234.0E-5
6.77.205685E-68.088302E-62.808814E-53.4726872.0E-53.088114E-53.466415E-55.466346E-51.5769452.0E-53.7591302E-44.2203604E-44.6201915E-41.09473864.0E-50.00375277760.00422036040.00426019171.00943794.0E-5

Cleghorn Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0522846E-51.1040642E-54.104031E-53.71720343.0E-54.509713E-54.7316473E-58.7314584E-51.84533154.0E-55.4891926E-45.759784E-46.2594964E-41.08675895.0E-50.00547565330.0057500220.0058096771.01037486.0E-5
6.11.0522846E-51.1040642E-54.104031E-53.71720343.0E-54.509713E-54.7316473E-58.7314584E-51.84533154.0E-55.4891926E-45.759784E-46.2594964E-41.08675895.0E-50.00547565330.0057500220.0058096771.01037486.0E-5
6.22.1045846E-62.2082024E-61.220818E-55.528561.0E-59.019617E-69.463714E-61.946362E-52.05665761.0E-51.098083E-41.1521882E-41.2521767E-41.08678141.0E-50.00109754060.00115200230.00116199071.00867061.0E-5
6.32.1045846E-62.2082024E-61.220818E-55.528561.0E-59.019617E-69.463714E-61.946362E-52.05665761.0E-51.098083E-41.1521882E-41.2521767E-41.08678141.0E-50.00109754060.00115200230.00116199071.00867061.0E-5
6.41.7259927E-61.810877E-61.1810859E-56.5221761.0E-57.3970905E-67.760902E-61.7760824E-52.28851.0E-59.005586E-59.4488976E-51.04488034E-41.10582241.0E-59.001937E-49.448898E-49.548803E-41.01057331.0E-5

San Diego Trough south

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.279495E-51.0425541E-41.4425124E-41.38363314.0E-53.5478722E-44.4673498E-44.867171E-41.08949854.0E-50.0043109820.00542591330.00546569661.00733214.0E-50.0422830540.052993030.053040381.00089355.0E-5
6.14.6961468E-55.773024E-57.7729084E-51.34641892.0E-52.0124791E-42.473905E-42.6738556E-41.08082392.0E-50.002447440.0030078860.00302782581.00662922.0E-50.0242066030.0296796360.0297087451.00098073.0E-5
6.23.5079658E-54.214258E-56.2141735E-51.47455942.0E-51.5033272E-41.8059829E-42.0059469E-41.1107232.0E-50.00182876420.0021965870.0022165431.0090852.0E-50.0181378760.0217511880.0217707531.00089942.0E-5
6.33.5079658E-54.214258E-56.2141735E-51.47455942.0E-51.5033272E-41.8059829E-42.0059469E-41.1107232.0E-50.00182876420.0021965870.0022165431.0090852.0E-50.0181378760.0217511880.0217707531.00089942.0E-5
6.42.7196904E-53.208715E-54.208683E-51.31164121.0E-51.16552954E-41.3750911E-41.4750773E-41.07271241.0E-50.00141810850.00167289950.00168288281.00596761.0E-50.0140909290.0166046660.01661451.00059221.0E-5
6.52.5584688E-53.0101632E-54.010133E-51.33219791.0E-51.0964406E-41.2900059E-41.3899931E-41.0775091.0E-50.00133409890.00156946270.0015794471.00636161.0E-50.0132611810.0155853320.0155951761.00063161.0E-5
6.62.2034688E-52.574271E-53.5742454E-51.38844951.0E-59.443096E-51.1032127E-41.2032017E-41.09063431.0E-50.00114909050.00134234120.00135232781.00743961.0E-50.0114316680.0133433250.0133531911.00073951.0E-5
6.71.9394853E-52.254176E-53.2541535E-51.4436111.0E-58.311815E-59.6604E-51.0660303E-41.10350541.0E-50.00101149360.00117552430.00118551261.00849691.0E-50.010069020.0116937660.011703651.00084521.0E-5
6.81.7615313E-52.0403182E-53.0402978E-51.49010961.0E-57.549201E-58.743931E-59.743843E-51.11435511.0E-59.1872766E-40.00106405790.00107404731.0093881.0E-50.0091493870.0105901980.0106000921.00093421.0E-5
6.91.5621423E-51.8026114E-52.8025934E-51.55474071.0E-56.6947236E-57.725251E-58.7251734E-51.12943571.0E-58.147778E-49.40147E-49.501376E-41.01062671.0E-50.0081179690.0093621420.0093720481.00105811.0E-5
7.01.3444376E-51.544809E-51.544809E-51.00.05.7617483E-56.620443E-56.620443E-51.00.07.0126704E-48.057436E-48.057436E-41.00.00.0069905820.0080285550.0080285551.00.0
7.11.2268361E-51.407303E-51.407303E-51.00.05.2577634E-56.0311606E-56.0311606E-51.00.06.399447E-47.3404907E-47.3404907E-41.00.00.00638104930.00731654930.00731654931.00.0
7.21.0922655E-51.2513563E-51.2513563E-51.00.04.681054E-55.3628468E-55.3628468E-51.00.05.697693E-46.5273355E-46.5273355E-41.00.00.00568310640.00650844350.00650844351.00.0
7.36.1106753E-66.928925E-66.928925E-61.00.02.6188345E-52.9695057E-52.9695057E-51.00.03.1879646E-43.6147775E-43.6147775E-41.00.00.00318339510.0036089430.0036089431.00.0
7.44.933187E-65.5895525E-65.5895525E-61.00.02.114206E-52.3955008E-52.3955008E-51.00.02.5737417E-42.9161357E-42.9161357E-41.00.00.0025707630.00291235050.00291235051.00.0
7.51.7489613E-61.969678E-61.969678E-61.00.07.495527E-68.4414505E-68.4414505E-61.00.09.125422E-51.02770035E-41.02770035E-41.00.09.1216754E-40.00102724720.00102724721.00.0
7.61.6988751E-71.7533823E-71.7533823E-71.00.07.2808916E-77.5144936E-77.5144936E-71.00.08.864449E-69.14886E-69.14886E-61.00.08.8640954E-59.1485024E-59.1485024E-51.00.0

Whittier alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.2554693E-54.7252182E-58.725029E-51.84648174.0E-51.8236451E-42.0249544E-42.4248734E-41.19749534.0E-50.0022180270.00246291630.00251279331.02025125.0E-50.021960190.0243902630.0244390441.0025.0E-5
6.14.2554693E-54.7252182E-58.725029E-51.84648174.0E-51.8236451E-42.0249544E-42.4248734E-41.19749534.0E-50.0022180270.00246291630.00251279331.02025125.0E-50.021960190.0243902630.0244390441.0025.0E-5
6.24.2554693E-54.7252182E-58.725029E-51.84648174.0E-51.8236451E-42.0249544E-42.4248734E-41.19749534.0E-50.0022180270.00246291630.00251279331.02025125.0E-50.021960190.0243902630.0244390441.0025.0E-5
6.31.9617712E-51.826841E-54.8267862E-52.6421493.0E-58.40732E-57.829095E-51.08288594E-41.38315613.0E-50.00102311059.527944E-49.927563E-41.04194184.0E-50.010184130.00949040.009530021.00417484.0E-5
6.41.5611336E-51.3604089E-54.3603683E-53.20518923.0E-56.690401E-55.8301972E-58.830022E-51.51453233.0E-58.142519E-47.096013E-47.4957294E-41.05632974.0E-50.0081127480.00707533770.00711505441.00561344.0E-5
6.51.5150166E-51.3100744E-54.310035E-53.28991633.0E-56.492767E-55.614487E-58.614318E-51.5343023.0E-57.9020765E-46.8335526E-47.23328E-41.05849474.0E-50.0078740360.0068145080.0068542351.00582984.0E-5
6.61.295588E-51.0380544E-53.0380337E-52.92666132.0E-55.552402E-54.44873E-56.448641E-51.44954652.0E-56.7579525E-45.415002E-45.614894E-41.03691452.0E-50.0067374380.0054033430.00542323521.00368142.0E-5
6.71.2542085E-59.899189E-62.989899E-53.02034762.0E-55.3750682E-54.2424414E-56.242357E-51.47140672.0E-56.542181E-45.163967E-45.363864E-41.03870992.0E-50.0065229540.0051534640.00517336141.00386082.0E-5
6.81.2195878E-59.49523E-62.949504E-53.10630062.0E-55.2267E-54.069322E-56.0692408E-51.49146232.0E-56.36165E-44.9532915E-45.153193E-41.04035722.0E-50.00634346860.00494369630.00496359771.00402562.0E-5
6.91.1580298E-58.772739E-61.8772653E-52.13988471.0E-54.9628903E-53.759692E-54.7596546E-51.26596921.0E-56.040644E-44.5764804E-44.6764346E-41.02184081.0E-50.006024250.00456846460.00457841861.00217891.0E-5
7.01.0964795E-58.083794E-61.8083712E-52.2370331.0E-54.6991136E-53.4644378E-54.464403E-51.28863721.0E-55.7196687E-44.217152E-44.3171097E-41.02370271.0E-50.00570496960.0042104590.0042204171.0023651.0E-5
7.11.0230601E-57.32646E-67.32646E-61.00.04.3844695E-53.1398744E-53.1398744E-51.00.05.336784E-43.8221394E-43.8221394E-41.00.00.0053239860.00381675920.00381675921.00.0
7.29.40865E-66.5430822E-66.5430822E-61.00.04.032216E-52.8041486E-52.8041486E-51.00.04.908117E-43.4135283E-43.4135283E-41.00.00.00489729130.00340940240.00340940241.00.0
7.38.237384E-65.5975433E-65.5975433E-61.00.03.5302593E-52.3989258E-52.3989258E-51.00.04.2972428E-42.920311E-42.920311E-41.00.00.00428894260.00291679920.00291679921.00.0
7.47.5316966E-65.0276153E-65.0276153E-61.00.03.2278298E-52.154675E-52.154675E-51.00.03.9291743E-42.623011E-42.623011E-41.00.00.00392223430.00262002670.00262002671.00.0
7.56.149649E-63.9336355E-63.9336355E-61.00.02.6355372E-51.6858336E-51.6858336E-51.00.03.208294E-42.052318E-42.052318E-41.00.00.0032036660.00205051180.00205051181.00.0
7.65.457711E-63.3951796E-63.3951796E-61.00.02.338998E-51.4550694E-51.4550694E-51.00.02.8473578E-41.771411E-41.771411E-41.00.00.00284371220.00177007980.00177007981.00.0
7.74.1676276E-62.3329922E-62.3329922E-61.00.01.7861139E-59.998504E-69.998504E-61.00.02.1743766E-41.2172572E-41.2172572E-41.00.00.00217225030.00121666350.00121666351.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.384417E-89.384417E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0218927E-74.0218927E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8966467E-64.8966467E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8965718E-54.8965718E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4397174E-93.4397174E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4741646E-81.4741646E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.7947953E-71.7947953E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.794794E-61.794794E-61.00.0

Santa Ynez River

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6396456E-51.7209444E-51.7209444E-51.00.07.026863E-57.3752875E-57.3752875E-51.00.08.551848E-48.976069E-49.0759795E-41.01113071.0E-50.00851901250.0089433630.0089929161.00554075.0E-5
6.11.6396456E-51.7209444E-51.7209444E-51.00.07.026863E-57.3752875E-57.3752875E-51.00.08.551848E-48.976069E-49.0759795E-41.01113071.0E-50.00851901250.0089433630.0089929161.00554075.0E-5
6.21.6396456E-51.7209444E-51.7209444E-51.00.07.026863E-57.3752875E-57.3752875E-51.00.08.551848E-48.976069E-49.0759795E-41.01113071.0E-50.00851901250.0089433630.0089929161.00554075.0E-5
6.39.736976E-61.01223395E-51.01223395E-51.00.04.172923E-54.338076E-54.338076E-51.00.05.0793495E-45.280378E-45.380325E-41.0189281.0E-50.0050677550.00526833670.0053081261.00755254.0E-5
6.49.736976E-61.01223395E-51.01223395E-51.00.04.172923E-54.338076E-54.338076E-51.00.05.0793495E-45.280378E-45.380325E-41.0189281.0E-50.0050677550.00526833670.0053081261.00755254.0E-5
6.57.081964E-67.329905E-67.329905E-61.00.03.035092E-53.141351E-53.141351E-51.00.03.694598E-43.8239395E-43.9239012E-41.0261411.0E-50.00368846160.00381752150.00385736881.0104384.0E-5
6.65.873247E-66.0597517E-66.0597517E-61.00.02.5170815E-52.5970112E-52.5970112E-51.00.03.064116E-43.161411E-43.2613793E-41.03162151.0E-50.00305989430.0031570010.00318690621.00947273.0E-5
6.74.973277E-65.11591E-65.11591E-61.00.02.1313872E-52.1925147E-52.1925147E-51.00.02.5946548E-42.6690646E-42.6690646E-41.00.00.00259162740.00266590780.00268585441.00748222.0E-5
6.84.396492E-64.510987E-64.510987E-61.00.01.884197E-51.933266E-51.933266E-51.00.02.2937685E-42.3535005E-42.3535005E-41.00.00.00229140230.00235104330.00237099641.00848692.0E-5
6.93.5255632E-63.6013423E-63.6013423E-61.00.01.5109469E-51.5434234E-51.5434234E-51.00.01.8394225E-41.8789574E-41.8789574E-41.00.00.00183790070.0018773850.00189734741.01063312.0E-5
7.03.211603E-63.273663E-63.273663E-61.00.01.376394E-51.402991E-51.402991E-51.00.01.6756308E-41.708009E-41.708009E-41.00.00.00167436790.00170671040.00172667621.01169852.0E-5
7.12.5094619E-62.5409295E-62.5409295E-61.00.01.0754793E-51.0889652E-51.0889652E-51.00.01.3093173E-41.325735E-41.325735E-41.00.00.00130854620.00132495030.00133493691.00753751.0E-5
7.22.0515774E-62.0619466E-62.0619466E-61.00.08.792445E-68.836884E-68.836884E-61.00.01.0704277E-41.0758379E-41.0758379E-41.00.00.00106991220.00107532150.00108531061.00928951.0E-5
7.31.6845745E-61.6773996E-61.6773996E-61.00.07.219585E-67.1888358E-67.1888358E-61.00.08.78949E-58.752059E-58.752059E-51.00.08.7860145E-48.7486405E-48.8485534E-41.01142041.0E-5
7.41.3600285E-61.3333447E-61.3333447E-61.00.05.82868E-65.714322E-65.714322E-61.00.07.096187E-56.956967E-56.956967E-51.00.07.0939213E-46.9548114E-47.054742E-41.01436851.0E-5
7.59.735342E-79.2901894E-79.2901894E-71.00.04.172283E-63.9815036E-63.9815036E-61.00.05.079636E-54.8473747E-54.8473747E-51.00.05.0784746E-44.8463346E-44.946286E-41.02062421.0E-5
7.65.067187E-74.778609E-74.778609E-71.00.02.1716498E-62.0479738E-62.0479738E-61.00.02.6439517E-52.4933803E-52.4933803E-51.00.02.643637E-42.493108E-42.493108E-41.00.0
7.72.769089E-72.5759346E-72.5759346E-71.00.01.1867519E-61.1039714E-61.1039714E-61.00.01.4448608E-51.344077E-51.344077E-51.00.01.444767E-41.343996E-41.343996E-41.00.0
7.81.7044663E-71.5449208E-71.5449208E-71.00.07.3048534E-76.6210873E-76.6210873E-71.00.08.893623E-68.061144E-68.061144E-61.00.08.893267E-58.060854E-58.060854E-51.00.0
7.94.8344287E-84.0911143E-84.0911143E-81.00.02.0718979E-71.7533345E-71.7533345E-71.00.02.5225327E-62.1346827E-62.1346827E-61.00.02.5225041E-52.1346626E-52.1346626E-51.00.0

San Diego Trough north alt1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.329252E-58.821269E-51.2820917E-41.45340944.0E-53.14073E-43.7800326E-44.2798437E-41.1322245.0E-50.00381713550.00459304870.0046428191.0108365.0E-50.037522310.0450451370.0450928841.001065.0E-5
6.13.7940346E-54.4884906E-55.488446E-51.2227821.0E-51.6259136E-41.9235026E-42.0234832E-41.05197851.0E-50.00197775240.0023394310.00234940761.00426461.0E-50.0196024310.0231567320.0231665021.00042191.0E-5
6.22.8645263E-53.329672E-54.329639E-51.30031991.0E-51.2275964E-41.4269259E-41.5269115E-41.07007071.0E-50.00149357390.00173592060.00174590321.00575071.0E-50.01483575350.0172262680.0172360951.00057051.0E-5
6.32.8645263E-53.329672E-54.329639E-51.30031991.0E-51.2275964E-41.4269259E-41.5269115E-41.07007071.0E-50.00149357390.00173592060.00174590321.00575071.0E-50.01483575350.0172262680.0172360951.00057051.0E-5
6.42.2204576E-52.544832E-52.544832E-51.00.09.5159E-51.0905972E-41.0905972E-41.00.00.0011579450.00132700280.00132700281.00.00.0115192980.0131919590.0131919591.00.0
6.52.1004838E-52.4024695E-52.4024695E-51.00.09.0017624E-51.0295897E-41.0295897E-41.00.00.00109541360.00125281350.00125281351.00.00.0109002960.0124585920.0124585921.00.0
6.61.820557E-52.070479E-52.070479E-51.00.07.802154E-58.8731824E-58.8731824E-51.00.09.4949827E-40.00107977990.00107977991.00.00.0094545160.0107460050.0107460051.00.0
6.71.5884485E-51.7983646E-51.7983646E-51.00.06.807459E-57.707051E-57.707051E-51.00.08.284929E-49.3793223E-49.3793223E-41.00.00.0082541090.0093401040.0093401041.00.0
6.81.4331171E-51.6201066E-51.6201066E-51.00.06.141786E-56.94313E-56.94313E-51.00.07.4750587E-48.450002E-48.450002E-41.00.00.00744996450.0084181390.0084181391.00.0
6.91.2574203E-51.4205835E-51.4205835E-51.00.05.3888325E-56.0880735E-56.0880735E-51.00.06.558929E-47.409723E-47.409723E-41.00.00.00653960370.0073852030.0073852031.00.0
7.01.0883844E-51.2289262E-51.2289262E-51.00.04.664421E-55.2667205E-55.2667205E-51.00.05.677453E-46.4103556E-46.4103556E-41.00.00.005662970.0063919930.0063919931.00.0
7.19.393088E-61.060702E-51.060702E-51.00.04.025547E-54.545787E-54.545787E-51.00.04.900001E-45.533098E-45.533098E-41.00.00.00488921070.0055194180.0055194181.00.0
7.28.190791E-69.258625E-69.258625E-61.00.03.510292E-53.9679224E-53.9679224E-51.00.04.2729423E-44.8298817E-44.8298817E-41.00.00.00426473560.0048194650.0048194651.00.0
7.36.268162E-67.089716E-67.089716E-61.00.02.6863276E-53.0384144E-53.0384144E-51.00.03.2701128E-43.6986457E-43.6986457E-41.00.00.0032653050.0036925360.0036925361.00.0
7.44.985186E-65.6426816E-65.6426816E-61.00.02.1364907E-52.4182698E-52.4182698E-51.00.02.600867E-42.9438498E-42.9438498E-41.00.00.0025978250.00293999140.00293999141.00.0
7.51.7489613E-61.969678E-61.969678E-61.00.07.495527E-68.4414505E-68.4414505E-61.00.09.125422E-51.02770035E-41.02770035E-41.00.09.1216754E-40.00102724720.00102724721.00.0
7.61.6988751E-71.7533823E-71.7533823E-71.00.07.2808916E-77.5144936E-77.5144936E-71.00.08.864449E-69.14886E-69.14886E-61.00.08.8640954E-59.1485024E-59.1485024E-51.00.0

Dry Mountain

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.222801E-66.439381E-61.6439317E-52.55293421.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-53.759687E-51.36234631.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-43.7594594E-41.1190224.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.0034059091.01484845.0E-5
6.16.222801E-66.439381E-61.6439317E-52.55293421.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-53.759687E-51.36234631.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-43.7594594E-41.1190224.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.0034059091.01484845.0E-5
6.26.222801E-66.439381E-61.6439317E-52.55293421.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-53.759687E-51.36234631.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-43.7594594E-41.1190224.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.0034059091.01484845.0E-5
6.36.222801E-66.439381E-61.6439317E-52.55293421.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-53.759687E-51.36234631.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-43.7594594E-41.1190224.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.0034059091.01484845.0E-5
6.46.222801E-66.439381E-61.6439317E-52.55293421.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-53.759687E-51.36234631.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-43.7594594E-41.1190224.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.0034059091.01484845.0E-5
6.52.8528623E-62.9521684E-61.2952139E-54.38733051.0E-51.22264955E-51.2652138E-52.2652011E-51.79037021.0E-51.4884741E-41.540376E-41.6403606E-41.06490921.0E-50.00148747740.00154016160.00155014631.00648281.0E-5
6.62.8528623E-62.9521684E-61.2952139E-54.38733051.0E-51.22264955E-51.2652138E-52.2652011E-51.79037021.0E-51.4884741E-41.540376E-41.6403606E-41.06490921.0E-50.00148747740.00154016160.00155014631.00648281.0E-5
6.72.541E-62.6293578E-61.2629332E-54.80321.0E-51.0889954E-51.1268677E-52.1268565E-51.88740561.0E-51.3257713E-41.3719614E-41.4719476E-41.07287841.0E-50.00132498060.00137196130.00138194771.00727881.0E-5

Pitas Point (Lower West)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.151497E-67.855796E-63.785556E-54.8188063.0E-53.493452E-53.3667267E-56.366626E-51.89104323.0E-54.252448E-44.0982262E-44.4980622E-41.09756314.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.00413058561.00973824.0E-5
6.18.151497E-67.855796E-63.785556E-54.8188063.0E-53.493452E-53.3667267E-56.366626E-51.89104323.0E-54.252448E-44.0982262E-44.4980622E-41.09756314.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.00413058561.00973824.0E-5
6.28.151497E-67.855796E-63.785556E-54.8188063.0E-53.493452E-53.3667267E-56.366626E-51.89104323.0E-54.252448E-44.0982262E-44.4980622E-41.09756314.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.00413058561.00973824.0E-5
6.38.151497E-67.855796E-63.785556E-54.8188063.0E-53.493452E-53.3667267E-56.366626E-51.89104323.0E-54.252448E-44.0982262E-44.4980622E-41.09756314.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.00413058561.00973824.0E-5
6.48.151497E-67.855796E-63.785556E-54.8188063.0E-53.493452E-53.3667267E-56.366626E-51.89104323.0E-54.252448E-44.0982262E-44.4980622E-41.09756314.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.00413058561.00973824.0E-5
6.58.151497E-67.855796E-63.785556E-54.8188063.0E-53.493452E-53.3667267E-56.366626E-51.89104323.0E-54.252448E-44.0982262E-44.4980622E-41.09756314.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.00413058561.00973824.0E-5
6.68.151497E-67.855796E-63.785556E-54.8188063.0E-53.493452E-53.3667267E-56.366626E-51.89104323.0E-54.252448E-44.0982262E-44.4980622E-41.09756314.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.00413058561.00973824.0E-5
6.78.151497E-67.855796E-63.785556E-54.8188063.0E-53.493452E-53.3667267E-56.366626E-51.89104323.0E-54.252448E-44.0982262E-44.4980622E-41.09756314.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.00413058561.00973824.0E-5
6.88.151497E-67.855796E-63.785556E-54.8188063.0E-53.493452E-53.3667267E-56.366626E-51.89104323.0E-54.252448E-44.0982262E-44.4980622E-41.09756314.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.00413058561.00973824.0E-5
6.98.151497E-67.855796E-63.785556E-54.8188063.0E-53.493452E-53.3667267E-56.366626E-51.89104323.0E-54.252448E-44.0982262E-44.4980622E-41.09756314.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.00413058561.00973824.0E-5
7.08.103535E-67.805226E-63.780499E-54.8435493.0E-53.4728975E-53.3450542E-56.344954E-51.89681643.0E-54.2274324E-44.07185E-44.471687E-41.09819544.0E-50.00421939930.00406446960.0041043071.00980144.0E-5
7.17.853298E-67.540917E-62.7540766E-53.65217732.0E-53.3656554E-53.2317817E-55.2317173E-51.61883372.0E-54.096915E-43.9339912E-44.233873E-41.07622843.0E-50.004089370.00392710320.0039569851.00760923.0E-5
7.27.771102E-67.453199E-62.745305E-53.68339162.0E-53.33043E-53.1941894E-55.1941253E-51.6261172.0E-54.0540437E-43.8882386E-44.1881218E-41.07712583.0E-50.00404665570.0038815110.00391139461.00769893.0E-5
7.37.3945344E-67.0493033E-62.7049162E-53.83713982.0E-53.1690477E-53.0210955E-55.021035E-51.66199152.0E-53.8576324E-43.677569E-43.9774587E-41.08154563.0E-50.00385094270.0036715510.00370144081.00814093.0E-5
7.46.964645E-66.5901527E-62.659002E-54.0348112.0E-52.9848137E-52.8243208E-54.8242644E-51.70811492.0E-53.6334046E-43.438073E-43.7379697E-41.08722823.0E-50.00362746980.00343280730.00346270411.00870923.0E-5
7.56.6525035E-66.259191E-62.6259066E-54.1952812.0E-52.851042E-52.6824831E-54.6824294E-51.74555792.0E-53.4705905E-43.2654387E-43.5653406E-41.09184123.0E-50.00346517540.00326069190.0032905941.00917053.0E-5
7.65.613338E-65.15142E-62.5151317E-54.8824052.0E-52.405694E-52.2077327E-54.2076885E-51.90588682.0E-52.928539E-42.6875862E-42.9875056E-41.11159433.0E-50.00292468260.00268436740.0027142871.01114583.0E-5
7.74.494704E-63.996945E-63.996945E-61.00.01.9262876E-51.7129652E-51.7129652E-51.00.02.3450027E-42.0853379E-42.0853379E-41.00.00.00234252960.00208340520.00208340521.00.0
7.82.6075882E-62.1836663E-62.1836663E-61.00.01.117533E-59.358537E-69.358537E-61.00.01.3605114E-41.1393427E-41.1393427E-41.00.00.00135967880.00113876340.00113876341.00.0
7.94.045984E-73.2424057E-73.2424057E-71.00.01.733992E-61.3896017E-61.3896017E-61.00.02.1111147E-51.6918271E-51.6918271E-51.00.02.1109142E-41.6917015E-41.6917015E-41.00.0
8.07.791402E-95.6836056E-95.6836056E-91.00.03.3391725E-82.4358311E-82.4358311E-81.00.04.0654416E-72.965624E-72.965624E-71.00.04.065434E-62.9656223E-62.9656223E-61.00.0

Channel Islands Thrust

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2156251E-52.4092022E-52.4092022E-51.00.09.495191E-51.03248036E-41.2324598E-41.19368832.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00128638881.02384723.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.0125433211.0031594.0E-5
6.12.2156251E-52.4092022E-52.4092022E-51.00.09.495191E-51.03248036E-41.2324598E-41.19368832.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00128638881.02384723.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.0125433211.0031594.0E-5
6.22.2156251E-52.4092022E-52.4092022E-51.00.09.495191E-51.03248036E-41.2324598E-41.19368832.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00128638881.02384723.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.0125433211.0031594.0E-5
6.32.2156251E-52.4092022E-52.4092022E-51.00.09.495191E-51.03248036E-41.2324598E-41.19368832.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00128638881.02384723.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.0125433211.0031594.0E-5
6.42.2156251E-52.4092022E-52.4092022E-51.00.09.495191E-51.03248036E-41.2324598E-41.19368832.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00128638881.02384723.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.0125433211.0031594.0E-5
6.52.2156251E-52.4092022E-52.4092022E-51.00.09.495191E-51.03248036E-41.2324598E-41.19368832.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00128638881.02384723.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.0125433211.0031594.0E-5
6.62.2156251E-52.4092022E-52.4092022E-51.00.09.495191E-51.03248036E-41.2324598E-41.19368832.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00128638881.02384723.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.0125433211.0031594.0E-5
6.71.0601296E-51.1379544E-51.1379544E-51.00.04.5433335E-54.876859E-54.876859E-51.00.05.5301044E-45.936007E-45.936007E-41.00.00.0055163630.0059206530.0059305941.0016791.0E-5
6.81.0246747E-51.0996669E-51.0996669E-51.00.04.391389E-54.7127756E-54.7127756E-51.00.05.345204E-45.7363417E-45.7363417E-41.00.00.00533236560.0057220250.00573196771.00173761.0E-5
6.99.049551E-69.699645E-69.699645E-61.00.03.878322E-54.1569267E-54.1569267E-51.00.04.7208337E-45.059924E-45.059924E-41.00.00.00471081720.00504882030.005058771.00197061.0E-5
7.08.6542195E-69.274603E-69.274603E-61.00.03.7088983E-53.9747716E-53.9747716E-51.00.04.5146482E-44.8382508E-44.8382508E-41.00.00.0045054870.00482812940.0048380811.00206121.0E-5
7.18.391028E-68.992925E-68.992925E-61.00.03.5961057E-53.8540562E-53.8540562E-51.00.04.3773788E-44.6913436E-44.6913436E-41.00.00.0043687660.00468185030.00469180341.00212591.0E-5
7.25.965188E-66.3716957E-66.3716957E-61.00.02.556484E-52.7306984E-52.7306984E-51.00.03.1120746E-43.3241237E-43.3241237E-41.00.00.003107720.00331920940.00332917621.00300281.0E-5
7.34.877518E-65.206007E-65.206007E-61.00.02.0903482E-52.231127E-52.231127E-51.00.02.5447016E-42.716063E-42.716063E-41.00.00.00254178980.00271278970.00272276251.00367631.0E-5
7.43.8829853E-64.141863E-64.141863E-61.00.01.664126E-51.7750723E-51.7750723E-51.00.02.0258849E-42.1609403E-42.1609403E-41.00.00.0020240390.0021588810.00216885911.0046221.0E-5
7.51.3489616E-61.4277905E-61.4277905E-61.00.05.7812517E-66.119088E-66.119088E-61.00.07.038446E-57.449739E-57.449739E-51.00.07.036218E-47.4472814E-47.4472814E-41.00.0
7.66.058192E-76.35378E-76.35378E-71.00.02.5963652E-62.7230458E-62.7230458E-61.00.03.161029E-53.3152595E-53.3152595E-51.00.03.1605794E-43.314781E-43.314781E-41.00.0
7.72.2170494E-72.2607924E-72.2607924E-71.00.09.5016367E-79.689107E-79.689107E-71.00.01.1568181E-51.17964355E-51.17964355E-51.00.01.1567579E-41.179592E-41.179592E-41.00.0
7.82.1613102E-81.5466837E-81.5466837E-81.00.09.262757E-86.628645E-86.628645E-81.00.01.1277401E-68.070372E-78.070372E-71.00.01.1277344E-58.07035E-68.07035E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (Borrego)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.543992E-52.7925962E-56.792485E-52.4323194.0E-51.5187653E-41.1967727E-41.5967249E-41.33419224.0E-50.00184752840.00145610920.0014960511.02743044.0E-50.0183224360.014868150.0149075571.00265034.0E-5
6.13.542281E-52.7925962E-56.792485E-52.4323194.0E-51.5180321E-41.1967727E-41.5967249E-41.33419224.0E-50.00184663720.00145610920.0014960511.02743044.0E-50.0183136720.014868150.0149075571.00265034.0E-5
6.23.4688688E-52.7925962E-56.792485E-52.4323194.0E-51.4865733E-41.1967727E-41.5967249E-41.33419234.0E-50.00180840050.00145610910.00149605091.02743044.0E-50.0179375480.014868150.0149075561.00265034.0E-5
6.33.2087122E-52.7771312E-56.77702E-52.44029524.0E-51.3750899E-41.1901455E-41.5900978E-41.33605344.0E-50.00167288620.00144805120.00148799331.02758344.0E-50.0166034880.0147893080.0148287161.00266474.0E-5
6.43.1828724E-52.773829E-56.773718E-52.442014.0E-51.364017E-41.1887303E-41.5886828E-41.33645344.0E-50.00165942540.00144633060.00148627271.02761614.0E-50.0164708850.0147725020.0148119111.00266784.0E-5
6.53.1563577E-52.7477974E-56.7476874E-52.45567134.0E-51.3526545E-41.17757496E-41.5775279E-41.33964114.0E-50.00164561280.00143276680.00147270951.0278784.0E-50.01633480.014639910.0146793251.00269224.0E-5
6.63.1467625E-52.7322194E-56.73211E-52.46397144.0E-51.3485427E-41.17089934E-41.5708525E-41.34157784.0E-50.00164061420.00142464980.00146459291.02803714.0E-50.0162855480.0145602280.01459964551.00270724.0E-5
6.73.1223695E-52.6940217E-56.693914E-52.4847294.0E-51.3380898E-41.1545303E-41.5544842E-41.34642124.0E-50.00162790680.00140474640.00144469031.02843494.0E-50.016160330.014364510.0144039351.00274474.0E-5
6.83.1015585E-52.6761221E-56.676015E-52.49466014.0E-51.3291716E-41.1468597E-41.5468139E-41.34873844.0E-50.0016170650.00139541950.00143536371.02862524.0E-50.0160534870.0142717720.0143112011.00276284.0E-5
6.92.6641965E-52.2183434E-56.2182546E-52.80310734.0E-51.1417485E-49.506842E-51.3506462E-41.42070964.0E-50.00138919240.00115684730.00119680111.03453674.0E-50.01380540150.0118821910.0119217151.00332644.0E-5
7.02.3854353E-52.047825E-56.0477432E-52.95325184.0E-51.02228936E-48.776099E-51.2775748E-41.45574334.0E-50.00124392660.00106796890.00110792611.03741434.0E-50.0123698660.01098262050.0110221811.00360214.0E-5
7.12.3672901E-52.0314741E-56.0313927E-52.96897364.0E-51.0145135E-48.706028E-51.270568E-41.45941174.0E-50.00123447020.00105944610.00109940371.03771564.0E-50.01227635050.0108978580.01093742251.00363044.0E-5
7.22.2717244E-51.9542116E-55.9541333E-53.0468214.0E-59.735599E-58.3749255E-51.2374591E-41.47757634.0E-50.00118466460.00101917250.00105913171.03920764.0E-50.011783690.0104953220.0105349021.00377124.0E-5
7.32.1016205E-51.8383771E-55.8383037E-53.17579224.0E-59.006634E-57.878522E-51.1878207E-41.50766944.0E-50.0010960069.5879E-49.987517E-41.04167934.0E-50.0109061630.0098909010.0099305051.00400414.0E-5
7.42.0683625E-51.8186302E-55.8185575E-53.19941764.0E-58.86411E-57.7938974E-51.1793586E-41.5131824.0E-50.0010786719.48496E-49.88458E-41.0421324.0E-50.0107345010.00978762750.0098272371.00404684.0E-5
7.51.9993966E-51.7781347E-55.7780635E-53.24950844.0E-58.568561E-57.6203556E-51.16200514E-41.52486994.0E-50.0010427239.2738547E-49.6734834E-41.0430924.0E-50.0103784380.0095745480.0096141661.00413784.0E-5
7.61.788966E-51.6434618E-55.643396E-53.43384674.0E-57.666772E-57.043219E-51.1042937E-41.56788224.0E-59.3302975E-48.5717626E-48.97142E-41.04662494.0E-50.009291220.0088664150.0089060611.00447144.0E-5
7.71.5125781E-51.4236738E-55.4236167E-53.80959254.0E-56.4823165E-56.101317E-51.0101073E-41.65555624.0E-57.889362E-47.4258295E-47.825533E-41.05382614.0E-50.0078614120.0077141610.00775385281.00514534.0E-5
7.81.250089E-51.262994E-54.2629563E-53.37527823.0E-55.3574146E-55.4127195E-58.4125575E-51.55422013.0E-56.5207E-46.588E-46.887802E-41.04550733.0E-50.0065015990.0068677590.0068975531.00433833.0E-5
7.99.561E-69.754065E-63.9753773E-54.07561063.0E-54.0975072E-54.180247E-57.1801216E-51.7176313.0E-54.987573E-45.0882675E-45.388115E-41.05892923.0E-50.00497639370.00535236070.00538221.00557513.0E-5
8.08.01699E-68.292994E-63.8292746E-54.61748173.0E-53.4358076E-53.554092E-56.5539854E-51.84406753.0E-54.1822926E-44.3262533E-44.6261234E-41.06931413.0E-50.00417443040.00457331860.00460318151.00652983.0E-5
8.16.541947E-66.461784E-63.646159E-55.64265063.0E-52.8036617E-52.7693068E-55.769224E-52.08327363.0E-53.4129233E-43.3711144E-43.6710134E-41.08896143.0E-50.00340768650.00358057560.0036104681.00834863.0E-5
8.21.7968189E-67.9684827E-77.9684827E-71.00.07.70063E-63.4150596E-63.4150596E-61.00.09.3751136E-54.157758E-54.157758E-51.00.09.371159E-44.7107413E-44.7107413E-41.00.0
8.31.5167889E-74.8951257E-84.8951257E-81.00.06.500522E-72.0979108E-72.0979108E-71.00.07.9143565E-62.5542038E-62.5542038E-61.00.07.914075E-52.9679897E-52.9679897E-51.00.0

San Gabriel

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.083775E-51.198525E-52.198513E-51.83434891.0E-54.6446676E-55.1364408E-56.13639E-51.19467741.0E-55.653415E-46.251936E-46.6516857E-41.06394024.0E-50.00563905430.00624633250.0062860831.00636374.0E-5
6.11.083775E-51.198525E-52.198513E-51.83434891.0E-54.6446676E-55.1364408E-56.13639E-51.19467741.0E-55.653415E-46.251936E-46.6516857E-41.06394024.0E-50.00563905430.00624633250.0062860831.00636374.0E-5
6.21.083775E-51.198525E-52.198513E-51.83434891.0E-54.6446676E-55.1364408E-56.13639E-51.19467741.0E-55.653415E-46.251936E-46.6516857E-41.06394024.0E-50.00563905430.00624633250.0062860831.00636374.0E-5
6.31.083775E-51.198525E-52.198513E-51.83434891.0E-54.6446676E-55.1364408E-56.13639E-51.19467741.0E-55.653415E-46.251936E-46.6516857E-41.06394024.0E-50.00563905430.00624633250.0062860831.00636374.0E-5
6.41.083775E-51.198525E-52.198513E-51.83434891.0E-54.6446676E-55.1364408E-56.13639E-51.19467741.0E-55.653415E-46.251936E-46.6516857E-41.06394024.0E-50.00563905430.00624633250.0062860831.00636374.0E-5
6.56.7317824E-67.717007E-61.771693E-52.2958291.0E-52.8850178E-53.3072472E-54.3072145E-51.30235621.0E-53.511943E-44.0258403E-44.4256792E-41.09931814.0E-50.0035063980.0040295330.00406937161.00988674.0E-5
6.66.7317824E-67.717007E-61.771693E-52.2958291.0E-52.8850178E-53.3072472E-54.3072145E-51.30235621.0E-53.511943E-44.0258403E-44.4256792E-41.09931814.0E-50.0035063980.0040295330.00406937161.00988674.0E-5
6.76.274881E-67.2459275E-61.7245855E-52.38007571.0E-52.6892068E-53.105361E-54.10533E-51.32201371.0E-53.2736175E-43.7801306E-44.1799794E-41.10577644.0E-50.00326879930.00378467960.00382452831.01052894.0E-5
6.85.996209E-66.958647E-61.6958578E-52.43705081.0E-52.5697784E-52.9822439E-53.9822142E-51.3353081.0E-53.128256E-43.6302864E-44.030141E-41.11014414.0E-50.0031238560.00363533250.0036751871.01096314.0E-5
6.95.686331E-66.6236917E-61.6623626E-52.5097221.0E-52.4369761E-52.8386947E-53.8386665E-51.35226461.0E-52.9666146E-43.4555717E-43.8554336E-41.1157154.0E-50.00296265730.00346117350.0035010351.01151684.0E-5
7.05.2329838E-66.1475757E-61.6147515E-52.62664751.0E-52.242688E-52.6346492E-53.6346228E-51.37954711.0E-52.7301308E-43.207221E-43.6070927E-41.12467864.0E-50.0027267790.00321355490.00325342641.01240734.0E-5
7.15.135671E-66.0377E-61.603764E-52.65624981.0E-52.2009834E-52.5875606E-53.5875346E-51.38645431.0E-52.6793676E-43.1499073E-43.549781E-41.12694794.0E-50.00267613940.00315640540.0031962791.01263264.0E-5
7.24.989062E-65.8710784E-61.5871019E-52.70325451.0E-52.1381518E-52.5161527E-53.5161276E-51.39742221.0E-52.6028889E-43.0629928E-43.4628704E-41.13055124.0E-50.00259984240.0030697340.0031096111.01299054.0E-5
7.34.8219395E-65.7026323E-61.5702575E-52.75356631.0E-52.0665291E-52.4439627E-53.4439385E-51.40916161.0E-52.5157086E-42.975126E-43.3750068E-41.13440814.0E-50.00251286270.0029821060.0030219871.01337344.0E-5
7.44.7118383E-65.5911896E-61.5591133E-52.78851821.0E-52.0193436E-52.3962024E-53.3961784E-51.4173171.0E-52.4582737E-42.9169934E-43.3168768E-41.13708754.0E-50.0024555560.00292412660.00296400951.01363934.0E-5
7.54.5506545E-65.4365555E-61.54365E-52.839391.0E-51.9502659E-52.329932E-53.3299086E-51.4291871.0E-52.37419E-42.8363304E-43.236217E-41.14098734.0E-50.0023716550.00284367150.00288355771.01402634.0E-5
7.64.343636E-65.2294336E-61.52293815E-52.9122431.0E-51.861545E-52.241167E-53.2411444E-51.44618611.0E-52.2661954E-42.7282868E-43.1281775E-41.14657214.0E-50.00226388570.00273588930.00277577971.01458054.0E-5
7.72.936235E-62.743946E-62.743946E-61.00.01.2583803E-51.1759716E-51.1759716E-51.00.01.5319703E-41.4316518E-41.4316518E-41.00.00.00153091470.00143798490.00143798491.00.0
7.81.4541639E-69.122518E-79.122518E-71.00.06.232116E-63.9096444E-63.9096444E-61.00.07.587337E-54.7598885E-54.7598885E-51.00.07.584747E-44.8078224E-44.8078224E-41.00.0
7.98.098958E-72.4165956E-72.4165956E-71.00.03.4709774E-61.0356835E-61.0356835E-61.00.04.225833E-51.2609373E-51.2609373E-51.00.04.2250296E-41.2917137E-41.2917137E-41.00.0
8.05.2473234E-77.672734E-87.672734E-81.00.02.248851E-63.2883142E-73.2883142E-71.00.02.7379416E-54.003515E-64.003515E-61.00.02.7376044E-44.215796E-54.215796E-51.00.0
8.13.3162388E-74.1457096E-84.1457096E-81.00.01.4212444E-61.7767324E-71.7767324E-71.00.01.7303513E-52.1631695E-62.1631695E-61.00.01.7302166E-42.294416E-52.294416E-51.00.0
8.21.0235345E-71.4032201E-81.4032201E-81.00.04.3865757E-76.013801E-86.013801E-81.00.05.340643E-67.3217996E-77.3217996E-71.00.05.3405143E-57.921925E-67.921925E-61.00.0

West Napa 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.773104E-54.4528504E-57.452717E-51.67369583.0E-51.6169442E-41.9082428E-42.2081856E-41.15718273.0E-50.0019668520.00232112780.00235105821.01289473.0E-50.0194953480.0230020120.0230410921.0016994.0E-5
6.13.773104E-54.4528504E-57.452717E-51.67369583.0E-51.6169442E-41.9082428E-42.2081856E-41.15718273.0E-50.0019668520.00232112780.00235105821.01289473.0E-50.0194953480.0230020120.0230410921.0016994.0E-5
6.23.773104E-54.4528504E-57.452717E-51.67369583.0E-51.6169442E-41.9082428E-42.2081856E-41.15718273.0E-50.0019668520.00232112780.00235105821.01289473.0E-50.0194953480.0230020120.0230410921.0016994.0E-5
6.32.147964E-52.4987066E-54.4986566E-51.8003942.0E-59.2052345E-51.0708355E-41.2708141E-41.186752.0E-50.0011201610.00130305420.00132302811.01532852.0E-50.0111453150.0129644820.0129940941.0022843.0E-5
6.42.147964E-52.4987066E-54.4986566E-51.8003942.0E-59.2052345E-51.0708355E-41.2708141E-41.186752.0E-50.0011201610.00130305420.00132302811.01532852.0E-50.0111453150.0129644820.0129940941.0022843.0E-5
6.51.688201E-51.9547371E-52.9547176E-51.51156771.0E-57.234947E-58.377217E-59.3771334E-51.11936141.0E-58.804988E-40.00101952160.00102951141.00979851.0E-50.0087701820.010156840.0101766371.00194912.0E-5
6.61.6846381E-51.9507064E-52.950687E-51.51262471.0E-57.219678E-58.3599436E-59.35986E-51.1196081.0E-58.7864127E-40.00101742060.00102741041.00981881.0E-50.0087517540.0101360210.0101558181.00195312.0E-5
6.71.3396501E-51.5467684E-52.5467529E-51.64649921.0E-55.7412315E-56.628875E-57.628809E-51.15084521.0E-56.9877075E-48.068302E-48.168221E-41.01238421.0E-50.00696577550.0080464590.0080662981.00246562.0E-5
6.81.0139058E-51.16721785E-52.1672062E-51.85672811.0E-54.3452383E-55.0022976E-56.0022478E-51.19989811.0E-55.289043E-46.0891506E-46.1890896E-41.01641261.0E-50.0052764730.00607911260.00609899131.00326992.0E-5
6.97.761281E-68.890723E-61.8890634E-52.1247581.0E-53.326221E-53.810283E-54.8102447E-51.26243771.0E-54.0489217E-44.6385458E-44.7384994E-41.02154851.0E-50.00404155250.00463510260.00465500961.00429492.0E-5
7.02.2109202E-62.3666319E-62.3666319E-61.00.09.475338E-61.01426685E-51.01426685E-51.00.01.1535613E-41.2348007E-41.2348007E-41.00.00.00115296270.00123532380.00123532381.00.0
7.11.9008926E-62.0133207E-62.0133207E-61.00.08.146657E-68.628488E-68.628488E-61.00.09.918104E-51.05046805E-41.05046805E-41.00.09.913679E-40.00105117560.00105117561.00.0
7.21.8495944E-61.9561273E-61.9561273E-61.00.07.926808E-68.383376E-68.383376E-61.00.09.650462E-51.0206285E-41.0206285E-41.00.09.6462725E-40.00102136390.00102136391.00.0
7.31.7883189E-61.8880897E-61.8880897E-61.00.07.664201E-68.091788E-68.091788E-61.00.09.330765E-59.85131E-59.85131E-51.00.09.3268487E-49.858976E-49.858976E-41.00.0
7.41.6520572E-61.7415113E-61.7415113E-61.00.07.0802257E-67.463598E-67.463598E-61.00.08.6198335E-59.086554E-59.086554E-51.00.08.616491E-49.0948684E-49.0948684E-41.00.0
7.51.4040345E-61.4800271E-61.4800271E-61.00.06.0172765E-66.342958E-66.342958E-61.00.07.325788E-57.72228E-57.72228E-51.00.07.3233736E-47.7311805E-47.7311805E-41.00.0
7.61.3013842E-71.4416163E-71.4416163E-71.00.05.57736E-76.178354E-76.178354E-71.00.06.790414E-67.52212E-67.52212E-61.00.06.790207E-57.61463E-57.61463E-51.00.0
7.78.541512E-89.716462E-89.716462E-81.00.03.6606474E-74.1641974E-74.1641974E-71.00.04.456829E-65.069898E-65.069898E-61.00.04.4567398E-55.160189E-55.160189E-51.00.0
7.85.6074793E-86.895456E-86.895456E-81.00.02.403205E-72.955195E-72.955195E-71.00.02.9258983E-63.597944E-63.597944E-61.00.02.9258597E-53.6812045E-53.6812045E-51.00.0
7.92.9475839E-83.8567407E-83.8567407E-81.00.01.2632502E-71.6528887E-71.6528887E-71.00.01.538006E-62.01239E-62.01239E-61.00.01.5379954E-52.0664074E-52.0664074E-51.00.0
8.01.3337122E-82.1632943E-82.1632943E-81.00.05.7159088E-89.2712604E-89.2712604E-81.00.06.959117E-71.1287754E-61.1287754E-61.00.06.959095E-61.1644432E-51.1644432E-51.00.0
8.12.6589986E-104.8617654E-104.8617654E-101.00.01.1395708E-92.0836133E-92.0836133E-91.00.01.3874274E-82.536799E-82.536799E-81.00.01.3874273E-72.6036727E-72.6036727E-71.00.0

Big Pine (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.916913E-61.28172705E-54.2816886E-53.34056193.0E-54.250036E-55.493013E-58.492848E-51.54611843.0E-55.173191E-46.685912E-47.085645E-41.05978734.0E-50.00516116430.0066704490.0067101821.00595664.0E-5
6.19.916913E-61.28172705E-54.2816886E-53.34056193.0E-54.250036E-55.493013E-58.492848E-51.54611843.0E-55.173191E-46.685912E-47.085645E-41.05978734.0E-50.00516116430.0066704490.0067101821.00595664.0E-5
6.29.916913E-61.28172705E-54.2816886E-53.34056193.0E-54.250036E-55.493013E-58.492848E-51.54611843.0E-55.173191E-46.685912E-47.085645E-41.05978734.0E-50.00516116430.0066704490.0067101821.00595664.0E-5
6.35.479711E-68.1132375E-61.8113156E-52.23254351.0E-52.3484265E-53.4770575E-54.4770226E-51.28758961.0E-52.858834E-44.232527E-44.3324847E-41.02361661.0E-50.00285515890.00422725130.0042372091.00235561.0E-5
6.45.465009E-68.0975315E-61.8097451E-52.23493431.0E-52.3421257E-53.4703262E-54.4702916E-51.28814731.0E-52.851165E-44.2243348E-44.3242925E-41.02366231.0E-50.00284750970.004219090.00422904831.00236021.0E-5
6.54.826767E-67.4225877E-61.7422513E-52.3472291.0E-52.068598E-53.1810716E-54.18104E-51.31434941.0E-52.518227E-43.8722943E-43.9722555E-41.02581451.0E-50.00251537510.00386829070.00387825191.00257521.0E-5
6.64.3146847E-66.8825234E-61.6882455E-52.45294551.0E-51.8491375E-52.949621E-53.9495913E-51.33901661.0E-52.2510924E-43.5905963E-43.6905604E-41.02784051.0E-50.00224881340.00358750620.00359747021.00277751.0E-5
6.73.6968106E-65.9957474E-61.5995687E-52.66783881.0E-51.5843378E-52.5695816E-53.569556E-51.38915841.0E-51.9287605E-43.128032E-43.2280007E-41.03195891.0E-50.00192708730.00312624990.00313621881.00318871.0E-5
6.83.4671132E-65.7024477E-61.5702391E-52.7536231.0E-51.4858972E-52.4438841E-53.4438595E-51.40917471.0E-51.8089297E-42.9750372E-43.0750074E-41.03360311.0E-50.00180745790.00297366660.0029836371.00335291.0E-5
6.92.7686972E-64.8254797E-61.4825431E-53.07232281.0E-51.1865792E-52.0680467E-53.068026E-51.4835381.0E-51.4445644E-42.5175634E-42.6175383E-41.0397111.0E-50.00144362570.0025172560.00252723071.00396261.0E-5
7.02.1472624E-63.985277E-61.3985237E-53.50922581.0E-59.20252E-61.707965E-52.7079479E-51.58548211.0E-51.12034926E-42.0792543E-42.1792336E-41.04808411.0E-50.00111978450.00207982380.0020898031.0047981.0E-5
7.11.7018335E-63.3450835E-61.334505E-53.9894521.0E-57.293552E-61.4335996E-52.4335852E-51.69753481.0E-58.879537E-51.7452713E-41.8452539E-41.05728771.0E-58.87599E-40.00174637920.00175636171.00571611.0E-5
7.21.25603E-62.794679E-61.2794651E-54.57821851.0E-55.3829745E-61.1977142E-52.1977023E-51.83491371.0E-56.553574E-51.4581217E-41.5581072E-41.06857131.0E-56.551642E-40.00145961730.00146960271.00684111.0E-5
7.31.112297E-62.610519E-61.2610492E-54.8306461.0E-54.7669787E-61.1187892E-52.118778E-51.89381351.0E-55.803642E-51.3620428E-41.4620292E-41.07340911.0E-55.802127E-40.0013635020.00137348831.00732411.0E-5
7.41.0137181E-62.4836752E-61.2483651E-55.02628141.0E-54.3444993E-61.064428E-52.0644173E-51.93946171.0E-55.2892992E-51.2958662E-41.3958532E-41.07715851.0E-55.288041E-40.00129719180.00130717891.0076991.0E-5
7.59.598608E-72.407328E-61.2407304E-55.1539731.0E-54.1136827E-61.03170805E-52.0316978E-51.96925641.0E-55.0082934E-51.2560343E-41.3560218E-41.07960571.0E-55.007165E-40.00125721320.00126720071.00794411.0E-5
7.67.929459E-72.0450152E-61.2044995E-55.88992931.0E-53.3983351E-68.764322E-61.8764234E-52.14097951.0E-54.1373947E-51.0670057E-41.16699506E-41.09371021.0E-54.1366243E-40.00106858250.00107857191.00934821.0E-5
7.74.155788E-71.1606729E-61.1160661E-59.6156821.0E-51.7810507E-64.974303E-61.4974254E-53.01032191.0E-52.1684076E-56.05605E-57.0559894E-51.16511421.0E-52.1681961E-46.085995E-46.185935E-41.01642121.0E-5
7.81.14666925E-72.592197E-72.592197E-71.00.04.914296E-71.1109411E-61.1109411E-61.00.05.9831386E-61.3525627E-51.3525627E-51.00.05.9829777E-51.3636416E-41.3636416E-41.00.0
7.92.9231824E-84.1462318E-84.1462318E-81.00.01.2527924E-71.7769564E-71.7769564E-71.00.01.5252737E-62.1634426E-62.1634426E-61.00.01.5252632E-52.197062E-52.197062E-51.00.0

Sheephole

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5579695E-64.7412627E-62.4741168E-55.21826552.0E-51.9534009E-52.031957E-55.031896E-52.47637923.0E-52.3780059E-42.473682E-42.7736078E-41.12124673.0E-50.00237546280.0024714730.00251137421.01614464.0E-5
6.14.5579695E-64.7412627E-62.4741168E-55.21826552.0E-51.9534009E-52.031957E-55.031896E-52.47637923.0E-52.3780059E-42.473682E-42.7736078E-41.12124673.0E-50.00237546280.0024714730.00251137421.01614464.0E-5
6.22.6677674E-62.7873941E-62.7873941E-61.00.01.1433239E-51.1945926E-52.1945807E-51.83709541.0E-51.3919079E-41.4543302E-41.5543157E-41.06875011.0E-50.00139103640.00145348440.00147345531.01374012.0E-5
6.32.6677674E-62.7873941E-62.7873941E-61.00.01.1433239E-51.1945926E-52.1945807E-51.83709541.0E-51.3919079E-41.4543302E-41.5543157E-41.06875011.0E-50.00139103640.00145348440.00147345531.01374012.0E-5
6.42.2159759E-62.3228788E-62.3228788E-61.00.09.497005E-69.955161E-61.9955061E-52.00449421.0E-51.156199E-41.2119815E-41.3119694E-41.08249951.0E-50.00115559760.00121139990.00123137561.01648992.0E-5
6.52.1986082E-62.304759E-62.304759E-61.00.09.4225725E-69.877506E-61.9877407E-52.01239131.0E-51.1471378E-41.2025281E-41.302516E-41.08314811.0E-50.00114654580.00120195660.00122193261.01661962.0E-5
6.61.5232331E-61.6018919E-61.6018919E-61.00.06.5281256E-66.865234E-61.6865166E-52.45660471.0E-57.947703E-58.35812E-59.358037E-51.11963421.0E-57.9448614E-48.3551643E-48.554997E-41.02391732.0E-5
6.71.3137362E-61.382819E-61.382819E-61.00.05.6302856E-65.926355E-61.5926295E-52.6873681.0E-56.854657E-57.215112E-58.21504E-51.1385881.0E-56.8525434E-47.212908E-47.412764E-41.0277082.0E-5
6.81.2275751E-61.2922847E-61.2922847E-61.00.05.2610258E-65.5383516E-61.5538297E-52.80558131.0E-56.4051106E-56.7427485E-57.7426805E-51.14829741.0E-56.4032647E-46.740836E-46.940701E-41.02964992.0E-5
6.91.1837088E-61.246102E-61.246102E-61.00.05.0730278E-65.340427E-61.5340374E-52.87249951.0E-56.176237E-56.501789E-57.501724E-51.15379381.0E-56.17452E-46.5000186E-46.6998886E-41.03074922.0E-5
7.09.849371E-71.0366288E-61.0366288E-61.00.04.2211523E-64.442688E-64.442688E-61.00.05.1391315E-55.4088487E-55.4088487E-51.00.05.137943E-45.407633E-45.5075786E-41.01848231.0E-5
7.18.1643645E-78.591669E-78.591669E-71.00.03.4990085E-63.682139E-63.682139E-61.00.04.2599597E-54.482921E-54.482921E-51.00.04.259143E-44.4821028E-44.5820582E-41.0223011.0E-5
7.25.7295756E-76.029502E-76.029502E-71.00.02.45553E-62.58407E-62.58407E-61.00.02.9895667E-53.1460666E-53.1460666E-51.00.02.9891645E-43.145688E-43.2456568E-41.03177951.0E-5

San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7221631E-41.3792426E-41.4792288E-41.07249361.0E-57.378611E-45.9097214E-46.109603E-41.03382252.0E-50.0089465150.00717172350.00720150861.00415313.0E-50.085947940.070547960.070585141.0005274.0E-5
6.11.7221631E-41.3792426E-41.4792288E-41.07249361.0E-57.378611E-45.9097214E-46.109603E-41.03382252.0E-50.0089465150.00717172350.00720150861.00415313.0E-50.085947940.070547960.070585141.0005274.0E-5
6.21.7221631E-41.3792426E-41.4792288E-41.07249361.0E-57.378611E-45.9097214E-46.109603E-41.03382252.0E-50.0089465150.00717172350.00720150861.00415313.0E-50.085947940.070547960.070585141.0005274.0E-5
6.31.716926E-41.3711878E-41.4711742E-41.07291951.0E-57.3561794E-45.8752164E-46.075099E-41.03402132.0E-50.0089194280.0071299890.00715977561.00417763.0E-50.085698090.070159930.070197121.00053014.0E-5
6.41.6392978E-41.3587909E-41.4587774E-41.07358481.0E-57.02367E-45.82211E-46.021994E-41.03433182.0E-50.0085178390.00706575250.00709554041.00421583.0E-50.081986540.0693949760.06943221.00053644.0E-5
6.51.5742714E-41.2647794E-41.3647668E-41.07905521.0E-56.745133E-45.419374E-45.6192663E-41.03688472.0E-50.008181320.00657843750.00660824031.00453033.0E-50.0788659450.064860930.0648983341.00057674.0E-5
6.61.3038084E-41.1587992E-41.2587877E-41.08628621.0E-55.5865536E-44.96535E-45.1652506E-41.04025912.0E-50.0067804380.0060287840.00605860351.00494613.0E-50.06577250.0593305380.0593681631.00063424.0E-5
6.71.2867592E-41.1314491E-41.2314378E-41.08837221.0E-55.5135164E-44.8481792E-45.048082E-41.04123262.0E-50.00669206540.0058869070.00591673051.0050663.0E-50.064940930.0580414160.0580790941.00064924.0E-5
6.81.2801298E-41.12520516E-41.2251938E-41.08886271.0E-55.485117E-44.8214293E-45.021333E-41.04146152.0E-50.00665770050.00585452930.0058843541.00509433.0E-50.064617380.057755240.057792931.00065264.0E-5
6.91.269149E-41.1094256E-41.2094145E-41.09012681.0E-55.4380763E-44.7538272E-44.953732E-41.04205132.0E-50.0066007770.0057726630.005802491.00516693.0E-50.064081220.0570271160.0570648351.00066144.0E-5
7.01.2030331E-41.0824356E-41.1824248E-41.09237421.0E-55.154837E-44.638198E-44.8381052E-41.04310022.0E-50.0062579690.00563262030.0056624511.00529613.0E-50.060846480.0556999220.0557376971.00067824.0E-5
7.18.049617E-55.392429E-56.392375E-51.18543521.0E-53.4493793E-42.3108382E-42.510792E-41.08652872.0E-50.00419153460.00280985050.00283976621.01064673.0E-50.0411335160.0296188330.0296576471.00131054.0E-5
7.27.093979E-54.2935415E-55.2934985E-51.2328981.0E-53.0399222E-41.8399608E-42.0399239E-41.1086782.0E-50.00369482530.00223787360.00226780631.01337563.0E-50.036339940.0239411260.0239801691.00163084.0E-5
7.36.193693E-52.8891074E-53.8890787E-51.34611761.0E-52.6541698E-41.2381302E-41.4381054E-41.16151392.0E-50.00322666370.0015063830.00153633781.01988533.0E-50.0318021330.0164976770.0165370181.00238454.0E-5
7.45.906492E-52.7020369E-53.7020098E-51.37008121.0E-52.5311083E-41.1579645E-41.3579414E-41.17269682.0E-50.00307726980.00140891140.00143886921.0212633.0E-50.0303500440.01546950450.01550888551.00254574.0E-5
7.55.424296E-52.4675093E-53.4674846E-51.4052571.0E-52.324491E-41.0574612E-41.25744E-41.18911222.0E-50.0028263950.00128669980.00131666121.02328553.0E-50.0279071650.0141618540.0142012871.00278454.0E-5
7.64.43084E-51.990151E-52.9901312E-51.50246441.0E-51.8987931E-48.528939E-51.0528769E-41.23447572.0E-50.00230932960.0010379040.00106787291.02887443.0E-50.0228547830.0114111230.0114506671.00346534.0E-5
7.74.118098E-51.8933848E-52.8933659E-51.52814471.0E-51.7647797E-48.1142534E-51.0114091E-41.24645982.0E-50.0021465029.874629E-40.00101743321.03035093.0E-50.0212588660.0108689950.0109085611.00364024.0E-5
7.83.5408906E-51.856201E-52.8561824E-51.53872481.0E-51.5174363E-47.954905E-59.9547455E-51.25139732.0E-50.00184591319.6807955E-49.980506E-41.03095913.0E-50.0183065520.01065066550.0106902391.00371564.0E-5
7.92.5860836E-51.7313954E-52.7313781E-51.57755881.0E-51.10827445E-47.420055E-59.4199066E-51.26951982.0E-50.0013484899.030175E-49.3299046E-41.03319193.0E-50.0134033540.0099066010.0099363041.00299823.0E-5
8.01.9777332E-51.4837888E-52.4837738E-51.67394041.0E-58.4757245E-56.3589396E-58.358812E-51.31449782.0E-50.00103143097.739261E-47.939106E-41.02582232.0E-50.0102665670.0085080870.0085279171.00233072.0E-5
8.11.468494E-51.2105831E-52.210571E-51.82603821.0E-56.293394E-55.1881103E-57.1880066E-51.38547682.0E-57.6595135E-46.3146953E-46.5145694E-41.03165222.0E-50.00763316640.00696849540.00698835641.002852.0E-5
8.28.63836E-65.4678667E-65.4678667E-61.00.03.7021015E-52.3433504E-52.3433504E-51.00.04.5063766E-42.8526565E-42.8526565E-41.00.00.0044972490.0032451620.0032451621.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Cleghorn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.9267165E-69.831764E-62.9831568E-53.03420282.0E-53.39712E-54.2135514E-56.213467E-51.47463892.0E-54.1352084E-45.1288976E-45.4287433E-41.05846213.0E-50.0041275220.0051322140.0051720091.00775384.0E-5
6.17.9267165E-69.831764E-62.9831568E-53.03420282.0E-53.39712E-54.2135514E-56.213467E-51.47463892.0E-54.1352084E-45.1288976E-45.4287433E-41.05846213.0E-50.0041275220.0051322140.0051720091.00775384.0E-5
6.27.9267165E-69.831764E-62.9831568E-53.03420282.0E-53.39712E-54.2135514E-56.213467E-51.47463892.0E-54.1352084E-45.1288976E-45.4287433E-41.05846213.0E-50.0041275220.0051322140.0051720091.00775384.0E-5
6.37.9267165E-69.831764E-62.9831568E-53.03420282.0E-53.39712E-54.2135514E-56.213467E-51.47463892.0E-54.1352084E-45.1288976E-45.4287433E-41.05846213.0E-50.0041275220.0051322140.0051720091.00775384.0E-5
6.44.3445207E-66.0916254E-66.0916254E-61.00.01.8619241E-52.6106709E-52.6106709E-51.00.02.2666567E-43.1780385E-43.2780066E-41.0314561.0E-50.00226434620.00318772460.00319769281.0031271.0E-5
6.54.3445207E-66.0916254E-66.0916254E-61.00.01.8619241E-52.6106709E-52.6106709E-51.00.02.2666567E-43.1780385E-43.2780066E-41.0314561.0E-50.00226434620.00318772460.00319769281.0031271.0E-5
6.64.040109E-65.774033E-65.774033E-61.00.01.7314638E-52.4745626E-52.4745626E-51.00.02.1078532E-43.0123728E-43.1123427E-41.03318641.0E-50.0021058550.00302251430.0030324841.00329851.0E-5
6.73.3632055E-65.06753E-65.06753E-61.00.01.4413658E-52.1717806E-52.1717806E-51.00.01.7547216E-42.643825E-42.7437988E-41.0378141.0E-50.00175333660.00265484860.0026648221.00375661.0E-5
6.83.2902772E-64.9894375E-64.9894375E-61.00.01.4101111E-52.138313E-52.138313E-51.00.01.716675E-42.6030882E-42.7030622E-41.03840591.0E-50.00171534950.00261420760.00262418131.00381531.0E-5
6.93.031547E-64.6911987E-64.6911987E-61.00.01.299228E-52.0104984E-52.0104984E-51.00.01.5816953E-42.4475096E-42.547485E-41.04084791.0E-50.001580570.00245898050.0024689561.00405671.0E-5
7.02.8259715E-64.3707637E-64.3707637E-61.00.01.211125E-51.8731711E-51.8731711E-51.00.01.4744449E-42.2803496E-42.3803268E-41.04384291.0E-50.0014734670.00229217480.00230215191.00435271.0E-5
7.12.5962665E-64.065983E-64.065983E-61.00.01.1126809E-51.7425526E-51.7425526E-51.00.01.3546048E-42.1213535E-42.1213535E-41.00.00.00135377930.00213349590.00213349591.00.0
7.22.3247253E-63.6765352E-63.6765352E-61.00.09.96307E-61.5756486E-51.5756486E-51.00.01.21293626E-41.9181852E-41.9181852E-41.00.00.00121227440.00193071660.00193071661.00.0
7.32.056928E-63.235253E-63.235253E-61.00.08.815376E-61.3865297E-51.3865297E-51.00.01.0732192E-41.6879707E-41.6879707E-41.00.00.0010727010.00170094230.00170094231.00.0
7.41.8055999E-62.8256538E-62.8256538E-61.00.07.738263E-61.210989E-51.210989E-51.00.09.4209274E-51.4742807E-41.4742807E-41.00.09.4169343E-40.00148767050.00148767051.00.0
7.51.4683443E-62.4248943E-62.4248943E-61.00.06.292889E-61.0392363E-51.0392363E-51.00.07.661323E-51.2651978E-41.2651978E-41.00.07.658682E-40.00127888120.00127888121.00.0
7.69.804088E-71.9004091E-61.9004091E-61.00.04.201745E-68.144585E-68.144585E-61.00.05.1155046E-59.915586E-59.915586E-51.00.05.114327E-40.00100555830.00100555831.00.0
7.77.3434086E-71.6285549E-61.6285549E-61.00.03.1471714E-66.9795024E-66.9795024E-61.00.03.831614E-58.4972155E-58.4972155E-51.00.03.8309532E-48.6387293E-48.6387293E-41.00.0
7.86.434184E-71.5221389E-61.5221389E-61.00.02.7575045E-66.523436E-66.523436E-61.00.03.35721E-57.9419966E-57.9419966E-51.00.03.3567028E-48.080443E-48.080443E-41.00.0
7.93.4943926E-77.5750586E-77.5750586E-71.00.01.497596E-63.2464498E-63.2464498E-61.00.01.8233079E-53.9524817E-53.9524817E-51.00.01.8231584E-44.0401975E-44.0401975E-41.00.0
8.06.717524E-85.837515E-85.837515E-81.00.02.8789387E-72.501792E-72.501792E-71.00.03.505102E-63.0459275E-63.0459275E-61.00.03.5050467E-53.2751934E-53.2751934E-51.00.0
8.13.1984914E-81.2949885E-81.2949885E-81.00.01.370782E-75.549951E-85.549951E-81.00.01.6689258E-66.757063E-76.757063E-71.00.01.6689133E-57.741151E-67.741151E-61.00.0
8.21.21887656E-83.6471115E-93.6471115E-91.00.05.2237567E-81.563048E-81.563048E-81.00.06.359922E-71.9030107E-71.9030107E-71.00.06.3599036E-62.245849E-62.245849E-61.00.0

Robinson Creek

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3705327E-51.5285013E-54.5284556E-52.96267683.0E-55.8735794E-56.55072E-59.550524E-51.4579353.0E-57.1487366E-47.9755014E-48.3751825E-41.05011364.0E-50.00712578320.0079755010.0080151831.00497534.0E-5
6.11.3705327E-51.5285013E-54.5284556E-52.96267683.0E-55.8735794E-56.55072E-59.550524E-51.4579353.0E-57.1487366E-47.9755014E-48.3751825E-41.05011364.0E-50.00712578320.0079755010.0080151831.00497534.0E-5
6.21.3705327E-51.5285013E-54.5284556E-52.96267683.0E-55.8735794E-56.55072E-59.550524E-51.4579353.0E-57.1487366E-47.9755014E-48.3751825E-41.05011364.0E-50.00712578320.0079755010.0080151831.00497534.0E-5
6.31.3705327E-51.5285013E-54.5284556E-52.96267683.0E-55.8735794E-56.55072E-59.550524E-51.4579353.0E-57.1487366E-47.9755014E-48.3751825E-41.05011364.0E-50.00712578320.0079755010.0080151831.00497534.0E-5
6.41.3705327E-51.5285013E-54.5284556E-52.96267683.0E-55.8735794E-56.55072E-59.550524E-51.4579353.0E-57.1487366E-47.9755014E-48.3751825E-41.05011364.0E-50.00712578320.0079755010.0080151831.00497534.0E-5

Simi-Santa Rosa

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.198912E-52.2275388E-53.2275166E-51.4489161.0E-59.4235686E-59.54627E-51.0546175E-41.1047431.0E-50.00114671560.00116168250.00118165931.01719642.0E-50.0114081630.0115605470.0115803161.001712.0E-5
6.12.198912E-52.2275388E-53.2275166E-51.4489161.0E-59.4235686E-59.54627E-51.0546175E-41.1047431.0E-50.00114671560.00116168250.00118165931.01719642.0E-50.0114081630.0115605470.0115803161.001712.0E-5
6.21.69983E-51.6668506E-52.6668338E-51.59992381.0E-57.284782E-57.143466E-58.1433944E-51.1399781.0E-58.865613E-48.6939917E-48.8938174E-41.02298442.0E-50.0088303270.00866290.0086827271.00228872.0E-5
6.31.69983E-51.6668506E-52.6668338E-51.59992381.0E-57.284782E-57.143466E-58.1433944E-51.1399781.0E-58.865613E-48.6939917E-48.8938174E-41.02298442.0E-50.0088303270.00866290.0086827271.00228872.0E-5
6.41.4666188E-51.4052489E-52.4052348E-51.71160771.0E-56.285358E-56.0223705E-57.0223105E-51.16603761.0E-57.6497364E-47.330018E-47.5298717E-41.02726512.0E-50.00762345640.00730831640.007328171.00271672.0E-5
6.51.4666188E-51.4052489E-52.4052348E-51.71160771.0E-56.285358E-56.0223705E-57.0223105E-51.16603761.0E-57.6497364E-47.330018E-47.5298717E-41.02726512.0E-50.00762345640.00730831640.007328171.00271672.0E-5
6.61.4377586E-51.3729529E-52.3729392E-51.72834711.0E-56.1616774E-55.883965E-56.8839065E-51.16994351.0E-57.4992597E-47.1616215E-47.361478E-41.02790672.0E-50.0074740030.00714101040.00716086761.00278072.0E-5
6.71.3881404E-51.3207497E-52.3207365E-51.75713571.0E-55.9490372E-55.6602472E-56.6601904E-51.17666081.0E-57.240546E-46.889419E-47.0892816E-41.029012.0E-50.0072170.00687051050.00689037331.0028912.0E-5
6.81.0176516E-59.1541E-69.1541E-61.00.04.3612912E-53.923136E-53.923136E-51.00.05.308578E-44.775537E-44.775537E-41.00.00.00529591460.0047669080.0047669081.00.0
6.99.699797E-68.774672E-68.774672E-61.00.04.15699E-53.760529E-53.760529E-51.00.05.05996E-44.5776463E-44.5776463E-41.00.00.0050484540.00456983460.00456983461.00.0
7.07.4049476E-66.559291E-66.559291E-61.00.03.1735104E-52.8111013E-52.8111013E-51.00.03.8630638E-43.422105E-43.422105E-41.00.00.00385635530.00341807750.00341807751.00.0
7.13.873439E-62.759473E-62.759473E-61.00.01.6600346E-51.1826261E-51.1826261E-51.00.02.0209046E-41.4397544E-41.4397544E-41.00.00.00201906780.00143884530.00143884531.00.0
7.23.417706E-62.367616E-62.367616E-61.00.01.4647229E-51.0146887E-51.0146887E-51.00.01.7831543E-41.2353157E-41.2353157E-41.00.00.00178172420.00123465130.00123465131.00.0
7.31.90225E-61.4073756E-61.4073756E-61.00.08.152474E-66.031596E-66.031596E-61.00.09.9251854E-57.343223E-57.343223E-51.00.09.920754E-47.340819E-47.340819E-41.00.0
7.41.5170556E-61.1024792E-61.1024792E-61.00.06.5016507E-64.7249023E-64.7249023E-61.00.07.915472E-55.752418E-55.752418E-51.00.07.9126534E-45.75094E-45.75094E-41.00.0
7.51.178732E-68.5351127E-78.5351127E-71.00.05.0516987E-63.6579004E-63.6579004E-61.00.06.1502695E-54.4534037E-54.4534037E-51.00.06.148568E-44.4525208E-44.4525208E-41.00.0
7.66.8722386E-74.793211E-74.793211E-71.00.02.9452417E-62.0542318E-62.0542318E-61.00.03.5857727E-52.5009986E-52.5009986E-51.00.03.5851944E-42.5007184E-42.5007184E-41.00.0
7.75.5126515E-73.6731117E-73.6731117E-71.00.02.3625628E-61.5741898E-61.5741898E-61.00.02.8763823E-51.9165593E-51.9165593E-51.00.02.87601E-41.9163951E-41.9163951E-41.00.0
7.83.3860243E-72.0075514E-72.0075514E-71.00.01.4511525E-68.6037886E-78.6037886E-71.00.01.7667637E-51.0475063E-51.0475063E-51.00.01.7666233E-41.0474575E-41.0474575E-41.00.0
7.92.7955386E-71.4648724E-71.4648724E-71.00.01.1980875E-66.278023E-76.278023E-71.00.01.4586617E-57.643467E-67.643467E-61.00.01.458566E-47.643208E-57.643208E-51.00.0
8.05.6259015E-83.335318E-83.335318E-81.00.02.4111003E-71.429422E-71.429422E-71.00.02.9355108E-61.7403199E-61.7403199E-61.00.02.935472E-51.7403077E-51.7403077E-51.00.0

Fish Slough 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.3629925E-63.6772458E-62.3677172E-56.4388332.0E-51.8698405E-51.5759542E-53.5759225E-52.26905252.0E-52.276293E-41.9185765E-42.1185381E-41.1042242.0E-50.00227396280.0019171290.00194707151.01561843.0E-5
6.14.3629925E-63.6772458E-62.3677172E-56.4388332.0E-51.8698405E-51.5759542E-53.5759225E-52.26905252.0E-52.276293E-41.9185765E-42.1185381E-41.1042242.0E-50.00227396280.0019171290.00194707151.01561843.0E-5
6.24.3629925E-63.6772458E-62.3677172E-56.4388332.0E-51.8698405E-51.5759542E-53.5759225E-52.26905252.0E-52.276293E-41.9185765E-42.1185381E-41.1042242.0E-50.00227396280.0019171290.00194707151.01561843.0E-5
6.34.3629925E-63.6772458E-62.3677172E-56.4388332.0E-51.8698405E-51.5759542E-53.5759225E-52.26905252.0E-52.276293E-41.9185765E-42.1185381E-41.1042242.0E-50.00227396280.0019171290.00194707151.01561843.0E-5
6.44.3629925E-63.6772458E-62.3677172E-56.4388332.0E-51.8698405E-51.5759542E-53.5759225E-52.26905252.0E-52.276293E-41.9185765E-42.1185381E-41.1042242.0E-50.00227396280.0019171290.00194707151.01561843.0E-5
6.52.991715E-62.2703657E-62.227032E-59.8091342.0E-51.2821573E-59.730108E-62.9729914E-53.05545572.0E-51.5609147E-41.1845854E-41.3845618E-41.16881552.0E-50.00155981870.00118404420.00120402051.01687122.0E-5
6.62.991715E-62.2703657E-62.227032E-59.8091342.0E-51.2821573E-59.730108E-62.9729914E-53.05545572.0E-51.5609147E-41.1845854E-41.3845618E-41.16881552.0E-50.00155981870.00118404420.00120402051.01687122.0E-5
6.72.7890346E-62.0621612E-62.206212E-510.6985432.0E-51.1952951E-58.837809E-62.8837632E-53.26298432.0E-51.4551746E-41.07595915E-41.2759377E-41.18586062.0E-50.00145422210.00107552650.0010955051.01857552.0E-5
6.81.9416723E-61.192531E-62.1192507E-517.7710322.0E-58.321425E-65.1108377E-62.5110736E-54.9132332.0E-51.01308644E-46.2222716E-58.222147E-51.3214062.0E-50.00101262476.22057E-46.420446E-41.03213142.0E-5
6.91.8567416E-61.1046726E-62.110465E-519.104892.0E-57.957439E-64.734303E-62.4734209E-55.2244672.0E-59.687752E-55.7638652E-57.76375E-51.34696942.0E-59.6835295E-45.762409E-45.9622934E-41.03468782.0E-5
7.01.6634067E-69.0737336E-72.0907355E-523.0416242.0E-57.1288664E-63.8887374E-62.3888659E-56.1430382.0E-58.679049E-54.7344376E-56.734343E-51.42241672.0E-58.6756604E-44.733458E-44.9333635E-41.04223242.0E-5
7.11.4281054E-66.736389E-76.736389E-71.00.06.1204373E-62.8870209E-62.8870209E-61.00.07.451377E-53.514893E-53.514893E-51.00.07.44888E-43.5143548E-43.5143548E-41.00.0
7.21.1810387E-64.408126E-74.408126E-71.00.05.0615845E-61.8891956E-61.8891956E-61.00.06.1623046E-52.3000723E-52.3000723E-51.00.06.160596E-42.2998432E-42.2998432E-41.00.0
7.39.918052E-72.8731267E-72.8731267E-71.00.04.2505867E-61.2313394E-61.2313394E-61.00.05.1749663E-51.4991455E-51.4991455E-51.00.05.173762E-41.4990455E-41.4990455E-41.00.0
7.48.25252E-72.0692863E-72.0692863E-71.00.03.5367896E-68.868367E-78.868367E-71.00.04.3059565E-51.0797184E-51.0797184E-51.00.04.305122E-41.0796666E-41.0796666E-41.00.0
7.55.3248567E-71.2071294E-71.2071294E-71.00.02.2820795E-65.1734105E-75.1734105E-71.00.02.7783964E-56.2986096E-66.2986096E-61.00.02.778049E-46.298435E-56.298435E-51.00.0
7.62.037542E-74.7123013E-84.7123013E-81.00.08.73232E-72.0195576E-72.0195576E-71.00.01.0631547E-52.4588087E-62.4588087E-61.00.01.0631039E-42.4587836E-52.4587836E-51.00.0
7.72.2501226E-83.1506997E-93.1506997E-91.00.09.6433816E-81.3502998E-81.3502998E-81.00.01.1740811E-61.64399E-71.64399E-71.00.01.1740749E-51.6439889E-61.6439889E-61.00.0

Breckenridge 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1490393E-66.738007E-71.0673794E-515.8411741.0E-54.924445E-62.8877141E-62.2887656E-57.92587332.0E-55.995347E-53.5157373E-56.515632E-51.8532763.0E-55.9937296E-43.5152017E-43.8150963E-41.08531363.0E-5
6.11.1490393E-66.738007E-71.0673794E-515.8411741.0E-54.924445E-62.8877141E-62.2887656E-57.92587332.0E-55.995347E-53.5157373E-56.515632E-51.8532763.0E-55.9937296E-43.5152017E-43.8150963E-41.08531363.0E-5
6.21.1490393E-66.738007E-71.0673794E-515.8411741.0E-54.924445E-62.8877141E-62.2887656E-57.92587332.0E-55.995347E-53.5157373E-56.515632E-51.8532763.0E-55.9937296E-43.5152017E-43.8150963E-41.08531363.0E-5
6.31.064617E-65.886405E-71.0588635E-517.9882891.0E-54.5626366E-62.5227425E-62.2522692E-58.927862.0E-55.5548684E-53.071397E-56.071305E-51.97672433.0E-55.55348E-43.070984E-43.370892E-41.09765853.0E-5
6.41.064617E-65.886405E-71.0588635E-517.9882891.0E-54.5626366E-62.5227425E-62.2522692E-58.927862.0E-55.5548684E-53.071397E-56.071305E-51.97672433.0E-55.55348E-43.070984E-43.370892E-41.09765853.0E-5
6.51.064617E-65.886405E-71.0588635E-517.9882891.0E-54.5626366E-62.5227425E-62.2522692E-58.927862.0E-55.5548684E-53.071397E-56.071305E-51.97672433.0E-55.55348E-43.070984E-43.370892E-41.09765853.0E-5
6.61.064617E-65.886405E-71.0588635E-517.9882891.0E-54.5626366E-62.5227425E-62.2522692E-58.927862.0E-55.5548684E-53.071397E-56.071305E-51.97672433.0E-55.55348E-43.070984E-43.370892E-41.09765853.0E-5
6.79.4219524E-74.954012E-71.0495396E-521.185651.0E-54.037973E-62.1231463E-62.2123104E-510.4199622.0E-54.916122E-52.5849005E-55.584823E-52.16055633.0E-54.9150345E-42.5846064E-42.884529E-41.11604183.0E-5
6.88.556422E-74.311915E-71.0431188E-524.1915441.0E-53.667033E-61.8479623E-62.1847925E-511.8227122.0E-54.464521E-52.2498712E-55.2498035E-52.33337973.0E-54.4636242E-42.2496474E-42.54958E-41.13332433.0E-5
6.97.7357794E-73.841983E-71.0384195E-527.0282151.0E-53.3153299E-61.6465632E-62.164653E-513.1464932.0E-54.0363393E-52.0046726E-55.0046125E-52.49647383.0E-54.035606E-42.0044947E-42.3044346E-41.14963363.0E-5
7.06.8172454E-73.3470985E-71.03347065E-530.8766141.0E-52.9216735E-61.43447E-62.1434442E-514.9424112.0E-53.5570793E-51.7464534E-54.746401E-52.7177373.0E-53.55651E-41.7463184E-42.046266E-41.171763.0E-5
7.15.5936397E-72.8909366E-71.0289091E-535.5908551.0E-52.397272E-61.2389722E-62.1238948E-517.1423912.0E-52.9186394E-51.5084385E-53.5084082E-52.32585432.0E-52.9182562E-41.5083379E-41.7083077E-41.13257622.0E-5
7.23.8420822E-72.0468183E-71.020468E-549.8563041.0E-51.6466057E-68.772076E-72.087719E-523.79962.0E-52.004724E-51.0679951E-53.0679737E-52.87264782.0E-52.004543E-41.06794454E-41.2679232E-41.18725562.0E-5
7.32.6405158E-71.6473078E-71.6473078E-71.00.01.1316491E-67.0598884E-71.0705981E-515.1645191.0E-51.37777415E-58.595381E-61.8595296E-52.16340571.0E-51.3776887E-48.595055E-59.594969E-51.1163361.0E-5
7.41.792114E-71.2725252E-71.2725252E-71.00.07.6804866E-75.453678E-71.0545363E-519.3362391.0E-59.3509525E-66.639834E-61.6639768E-52.50605181.0E-59.350559E-56.63964E-57.6395736E-51.15060061.0E-5
7.51.3548703E-79.385346E-89.385346E-81.00.05.8065854E-74.0222903E-71.0402225E-525.8614461.0E-57.0694946E-64.897128E-61.4897079E-53.04200321.0E-57.0692695E-54.8970236E-55.8969745E-51.20419561.0E-5
7.62.572245E-81.735264E-81.735264E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436845E-87.436845E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.0543557E-79.0543557E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054324E-69.054324E-61.00.0

Malibu Coast alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6572556E-51.759807E-54.7597543E-52.70470243.0E-57.102331E-57.5418226E-51.0541596E-41.39775183.0E-58.6436566E-49.1784896E-49.478214E-41.03265513.0E-50.00861011350.0091425140.009172241.00325133.0E-5
6.11.6572556E-51.759807E-52.7597893E-51.56823421.0E-57.102331E-57.5418226E-58.5417465E-51.1325841.0E-58.6436566E-49.1784896E-49.278398E-41.0108851.0E-50.00861011350.0091425140.0091524231.00108371.0E-5
6.21.1085717E-51.155715E-51.155715E-51.00.04.750935E-54.9529724E-54.9529724E-51.00.05.782728E-46.0286105E-46.0286105E-41.00.00.00576770350.00601262740.00601262741.00.0
6.31.0208568E-51.0592241E-51.0592241E-51.00.04.375027E-54.5394543E-54.5394543E-51.00.05.325294E-45.5254134E-45.5254134E-41.00.00.00531255030.00551198330.00551198331.00.0
6.49.0682315E-69.342641E-69.342641E-61.00.03.8863272E-54.0039286E-54.0039286E-51.00.04.730576E-44.873713E-44.873713E-41.00.00.00472051840.0048632380.0048632381.00.0
6.57.605796E-67.74859E-67.74859E-61.00.03.259586E-53.320783E-53.320783E-51.00.03.9678233E-44.0423166E-44.0423166E-41.00.00.00396074630.00403510130.00403510131.00.0
6.65.889873E-65.8795417E-65.8795417E-61.00.02.5242069E-52.5197793E-52.5197793E-51.00.03.0727885E-43.0674002E-43.0674002E-41.00.00.0030685430.00306317930.00306317931.00.0
6.75.66586E-65.6416443E-65.6416443E-61.00.02.428203E-52.4178253E-52.4178253E-51.00.02.955936E-42.9433056E-42.9433056E-41.00.00.00295200730.00293941940.00293941941.00.0
6.85.521556E-65.48943E-65.48943E-61.00.02.3663597E-52.3525918E-52.3525918E-51.00.02.880662E-42.8639048E-42.8639048E-41.00.00.00287693060.00286022570.00286022571.00.0
6.95.29752E-65.2499345E-65.2499345E-61.00.02.270346E-52.2499526E-52.2499526E-51.00.02.7637955E-42.7389737E-42.7389737E-41.00.00.00276036070.00273560830.00273560831.00.0
7.05.106743E-65.0476815E-65.0476815E-61.00.02.1885859E-52.1632743E-52.1632743E-51.00.02.6642776E-42.6334688E-42.6334688E-41.00.00.00266108550.00263035760.00263035761.00.0
7.14.8469647E-64.770376E-64.770376E-61.00.02.0772539E-52.044431E-52.044431E-51.00.02.528763E-42.488811E-42.488811E-41.00.00.00252588750.00248603170.00248603171.00.0
7.24.545514E-64.4481967E-64.4481967E-61.00.01.9480629E-51.906356E-51.906356E-51.00.02.3715083E-42.3207419E-42.3207419E-41.00.00.00236897920.0023183260.0023183261.00.0
7.33.794097E-63.6519373E-63.6519373E-61.00.01.6260314E-51.5651065E-51.5651065E-51.00.01.9795135E-41.9053511E-41.9053511E-41.00.00.0019777510.00190372210.00190372211.00.0
7.42.808217E-62.7190777E-62.7190777E-61.00.01.203516E-51.1653137E-51.1653137E-51.00.01.4651821E-41.4186774E-41.4186774E-41.00.00.00146421650.00141777440.00141777441.00.0
7.51.83809E-61.8190703E-61.8190703E-61.00.07.877505E-67.795992E-67.795992E-61.00.09.59044E-59.4912095E-59.4912095E-51.00.09.5863023E-49.487176E-49.487176E-41.00.0
7.61.1292672E-61.1001456E-61.1001456E-61.00.04.839708E-64.7149015E-64.7149015E-61.00.05.8921847E-55.7402427E-55.7402427E-51.00.05.890623E-45.7387765E-45.7387765E-41.00.0
7.75.065272E-74.6091537E-74.6091537E-71.00.02.170829E-61.9753502E-61.9753502E-61.00.02.6429525E-52.4049634E-52.4049634E-51.00.02.642638E-42.4047145E-42.4047145E-41.00.0
7.88.952991E-86.707853E-86.707853E-81.00.03.8369956E-72.874794E-72.874794E-71.00.04.671532E-63.5000562E-63.5000562E-61.00.04.671434E-53.500003E-53.500003E-51.00.0
7.98.007447E-106.161581E-106.161581E-101.00.03.4317629E-92.640678E-92.640678E-91.00.04.1781714E-83.2150254E-83.2150254E-81.00.04.1781706E-73.2150248E-73.2150248E-71.00.0

Hartley Springs 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4352418E-51.4434111E-53.4433822E-52.38558652.0E-56.1508916E-56.185994E-59.1858084E-51.48493663.0E-57.486137E-47.5304887E-47.830263E-41.0398083.0E-50.0074609680.0075210920.00755086631.00395883.0E-5
6.11.4352418E-51.4434111E-53.4433822E-52.38558652.0E-56.1508916E-56.185994E-59.1858084E-51.48493663.0E-57.486137E-47.5304887E-47.830263E-41.0398083.0E-50.0074609680.0075210920.00755086631.00395883.0E-5
6.21.4352418E-51.4434111E-53.4433822E-52.38558652.0E-56.1508916E-56.185994E-59.1858084E-51.48493663.0E-57.486137E-47.5304887E-47.830263E-41.0398083.0E-50.0074609680.0075210920.00755086631.00395883.0E-5
6.31.4352418E-51.4434111E-53.4433822E-52.38558652.0E-56.1508916E-56.185994E-59.1858084E-51.48493663.0E-57.486137E-47.5304887E-47.830263E-41.0398083.0E-50.0074609680.0075210920.00755086631.00395883.0E-5
6.41.4352418E-51.4434111E-53.4433822E-52.38558652.0E-56.1508916E-56.185994E-59.1858084E-51.48493663.0E-57.486137E-47.5304887E-47.830263E-41.0398083.0E-50.0074609680.0075210920.00755086631.00395883.0E-5
6.51.2279858E-51.2133036E-52.2132914E-51.82418611.0E-55.26269E-55.199858E-57.199754E-51.38460592.0E-56.4054417E-46.33057E-46.530443E-41.03157272.0E-50.00638700980.0063280480.00634792171.00314062.0E-5
6.61.2279858E-51.2133036E-52.2132914E-51.82418611.0E-55.26269E-55.199858E-57.199754E-51.38460592.0E-56.4054417E-46.33057E-46.530443E-41.03157272.0E-50.00638700980.0063280480.00634792171.00314062.0E-5
6.72.1282601E-68.894127E-78.894127E-71.00.09.121083E-63.8117648E-63.8117648E-61.00.01.11043526E-44.6407506E-54.6407506E-51.00.00.00110988064.6400347E-44.6400347E-41.00.0
6.82.00516E-68.516916E-78.516916E-71.00.08.593515E-63.6501033E-63.6501033E-61.00.01.04621024E-44.443936E-54.443936E-51.00.00.00104571774.4432987E-44.4432987E-41.00.0
6.92.00516E-68.516916E-78.516916E-71.00.08.593515E-63.6501033E-63.6501033E-61.00.01.04621024E-44.443936E-54.443936E-51.00.00.00104571774.4432987E-44.4432987E-41.00.0
7.01.8366732E-68.2366813E-78.2366813E-71.00.07.871433E-63.5300031E-63.5300031E-61.00.09.583048E-54.2977194E-54.2977194E-51.00.09.5789164E-44.297139E-44.297139E-41.00.0
7.11.5097997E-67.1897E-77.1897E-71.00.06.470554E-63.0812978E-63.0812978E-61.00.07.877615E-53.7514397E-53.7514397E-51.00.07.874823E-43.7510434E-43.7510434E-41.00.0
7.21.3490993E-66.404769E-76.404769E-71.00.05.7818415E-62.7448996E-62.7448996E-61.00.07.0391645E-53.3418873E-53.3418873E-51.00.07.0369354E-43.3416142E-43.3416142E-41.00.0
7.37.900015E-74.0888176E-74.0888176E-71.00.03.3857161E-61.7523504E-61.7523504E-61.00.04.1220315E-52.1334865E-52.1334865E-51.00.04.121267E-42.1334866E-42.1334866E-41.00.0

Cucamonga

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1848348E-51.1737109E-53.1736876E-52.7039772.0E-55.0777642E-55.0300943E-57.029994E-51.39758682.0E-56.180424E-46.122446E-46.4222625E-41.048973.0E-50.00616326370.0061067450.00613656171.00488263.0E-5
6.11.1848348E-51.1737109E-53.1736876E-52.7039772.0E-55.0777642E-55.0300943E-57.029994E-51.39758682.0E-56.180424E-46.122446E-46.4222625E-41.048973.0E-50.00616326370.0061067450.00613656171.00488263.0E-5
6.21.1848348E-51.1737109E-53.1736876E-52.7039772.0E-55.0777642E-55.0300943E-57.029994E-51.39758682.0E-56.180424E-46.122446E-46.4222625E-41.048973.0E-50.00616326370.0061067450.00613656171.00488263.0E-5
6.31.1848348E-51.1737109E-53.1736876E-52.7039772.0E-55.0777642E-55.0300943E-57.029994E-51.39758682.0E-56.180424E-46.122446E-46.4222625E-41.048973.0E-50.00616326370.0061067450.00613656171.00488263.0E-5
6.41.1848348E-51.1737109E-53.1736876E-52.7039772.0E-55.0777642E-55.0300943E-57.029994E-51.39758682.0E-56.180424E-46.122446E-46.4222625E-41.048973.0E-50.00616326370.0061067450.00613656171.00488263.0E-5
6.51.16988695E-51.157614E-53.157591E-52.72767162.0E-55.013705E-54.9611102E-56.9610105E-51.40311562.0E-56.102476E-46.0385047E-46.338323E-41.04965113.0E-50.0060857450.00602325940.00605307851.00495063.0E-5
6.61.16988695E-51.157614E-53.157591E-52.72767162.0E-55.013705E-54.9611102E-56.9610105E-51.40311562.0E-56.102476E-46.0385047E-46.338323E-41.04965113.0E-50.0060857450.00602325940.00605307851.00495063.0E-5
6.71.1397107E-51.1115039E-53.1114818E-52.79934382.0E-54.884383E-54.7635025E-56.763407E-51.41983912.0E-55.9451134E-45.798046E-45.99793E-41.03447442.0E-50.0059292340.0057840610.0058039451.00343782.0E-5
6.81.058387E-59.785037E-61.9784939E-52.02195861.0E-54.5358654E-54.1935207E-55.1934785E-51.23845311.0E-55.521017E-45.1044265E-45.2043755E-41.01958081.0E-50.005507320.0050937020.0051036511.00195321.0E-5
6.99.690046E-68.579504E-61.8579418E-52.16555861.0E-54.1528107E-53.6768783E-54.6768415E-51.27195981.0E-55.054874E-44.475684E-44.5756393E-41.02233291.0E-50.0050433910.00446759540.00447755071.00222841.0E-5
7.09.381461E-68.18712E-61.8187038E-52.22142081.0E-54.020564E-53.508719E-54.5086836E-51.28499441.0E-54.893937E-44.2710314E-44.3709888E-41.02340351.0E-50.00488317340.0042637470.00427370471.00233531.0E-5
7.18.946492E-67.781904E-61.7781826E-52.28502251.0E-53.8341543E-53.3350592E-54.335026E-51.29983471.0E-54.667083E-44.0596814E-44.1596408E-41.02462241.0E-50.00465729370.00405319270.00406315221.00245711.0E-5
7.28.251016E-66.9752878E-66.9752878E-61.00.03.5361016E-52.9893748E-52.9893748E-51.00.04.3043532E-43.6389584E-43.6389584E-41.00.00.00429602530.00363392520.00363392521.00.0
7.37.717881E-66.4863584E-66.4863584E-61.00.03.3076216E-52.7798384E-52.7798384E-51.00.04.026285E-43.38393E-43.38393E-41.00.00.0040189980.00337971030.00337971031.00.0
7.47.275623E-66.032004E-66.032004E-61.00.03.118087E-52.5851192E-52.5851192E-51.00.03.7956095E-43.1469302E-43.1469302E-41.00.00.00378913320.00314340460.00314340461.00.0
7.56.5109502E-65.100593E-65.100593E-61.00.02.7903774E-52.1859503E-52.1859503E-51.00.03.3967546E-42.661071E-42.661071E-41.00.00.00339156740.00265880160.00265880161.00.0
7.65.4495326E-63.908547E-63.908547E-61.00.02.335493E-51.6750808E-51.6750808E-51.00.02.8430918E-42.0392207E-42.0392207E-41.00.00.00283945720.00203826160.00203826161.00.0
7.74.7997164E-63.2002263E-63.2002263E-61.00.02.057005E-51.3715184E-51.3715184E-51.00.02.504116E-41.6696959E-41.6696959E-41.00.00.0025012960.00166937010.00166937011.00.0
7.83.3941733E-62.0641678E-62.0641678E-61.00.01.4546376E-58.846404E-68.846404E-61.00.01.7708774E-41.07699656E-41.07699656E-41.00.00.00176946680.00107660320.00107660321.00.0
7.99.750552E-75.155798E-75.155798E-71.00.04.178801E-62.2096258E-62.2096258E-61.00.05.0875715E-52.6901867E-52.6901867E-51.00.05.086407E-42.689865E-42.689865E-41.00.0
8.01.133857E-76.053372E-86.053372E-81.00.04.8593864E-72.594302E-72.594302E-71.00.05.9162867E-63.1585582E-63.1585582E-61.00.05.916129E-53.158515E-53.158515E-51.00.0

Newport-Inglewood alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9668912E-53.0404828E-55.0404222E-51.65777032.0E-51.2714628E-41.3030265E-41.6029873E-41.23020333.0E-50.00154690680.00158576540.00161571791.01888843.0E-50.0153618290.015792110.0158216361.00186973.0E-5
6.12.9668912E-53.0404828E-55.0404222E-51.65777032.0E-51.2714628E-41.3030265E-41.6029873E-41.23020333.0E-50.00154690680.00158576540.00161571791.01888843.0E-50.0153618290.015792110.0158216361.00186973.0E-5
6.22.9668912E-53.0404828E-55.0404222E-51.65777032.0E-51.2714628E-41.3030265E-41.6029873E-41.23020333.0E-50.00154690680.00158576540.00161571791.01888843.0E-50.0153618290.015792110.0158216361.00186973.0E-5
6.32.9668912E-53.0404828E-55.0404222E-51.65777032.0E-51.2714628E-41.3030265E-41.6029873E-41.23020333.0E-50.00154690680.00158576540.00161571791.01888843.0E-50.0153618290.015792110.0158216361.00186973.0E-5
6.41.275942E-51.02725335E-51.02725335E-51.00.05.4682085E-54.4024422E-54.4024422E-51.00.06.65551E-45.358697E-45.358697E-41.00.00.00663561230.00534620.00534621.00.0
6.51.275942E-51.02725335E-51.02725335E-51.00.05.4682085E-54.4024422E-54.4024422E-51.00.06.65551E-45.358697E-45.358697E-41.00.00.00663561230.00534620.00534621.00.0
6.61.1255358E-58.661911E-68.661911E-61.00.04.8236358E-53.7121958E-53.7121958E-51.00.05.871194E-44.5186782E-44.5186782E-41.00.00.0058557060.00450966740.00450966741.00.0
6.71.0504745E-57.8998455E-67.8998455E-61.00.04.5019555E-53.385605E-53.385605E-51.00.05.4797524E-44.121207E-44.121207E-41.00.00.00546625960.0041136940.0041136941.00.0
6.81.0476007E-57.881227E-67.881227E-61.00.04.4896402E-53.3776258E-53.3776258E-51.00.05.464766E-44.1114958E-44.1114958E-41.00.00.0054513470.0041040190.0041040191.00.0
6.99.076797E-66.4896567E-66.4896567E-61.00.03.889998E-52.7812519E-52.7812519E-51.00.04.7350433E-43.3856515E-43.3856515E-41.00.00.0047249670.0033805310.0033805311.00.0
7.08.73795E-66.2120503E-66.2120503E-61.00.03.7447822E-52.6622802E-52.6622802E-51.00.04.5583185E-43.2408469E-43.2408469E-41.00.00.00454897950.00323615220.00323615221.00.0
7.18.391299E-65.9557533E-65.9557533E-61.00.03.5962214E-52.5524409E-52.5524409E-51.00.04.37752E-43.1071564E-43.1071564E-41.00.00.0043689070.00310284160.00310284161.00.0
7.27.796882E-65.4964826E-65.4964826E-61.00.03.341478E-52.3556144E-52.3556144E-51.00.04.06749E-42.867585E-42.867585E-41.00.00.00406005330.0028639090.0028639091.00.0
7.36.4738833E-64.6477753E-64.6477753E-61.00.02.774492E-51.9918885E-51.9918885E-51.00.03.3774204E-42.424856E-42.424856E-41.00.00.00337229180.00242222680.00242222681.00.0
7.45.382145E-63.8857215E-63.8857215E-61.00.02.3066134E-51.6652988E-51.6652988E-51.00.02.8079396E-42.0273139E-42.0273139E-41.00.00.00280439430.0020254790.0020254791.00.0
7.53.648244E-62.5737634E-62.5737634E-61.00.01.5635238E-51.1030369E-51.1030369E-51.00.01.9034238E-41.3428657E-41.3428657E-41.00.00.00190179430.00134206460.00134206461.00.0
7.62.2906888E-61.547986E-61.547986E-61.00.09.817201E-66.634209E-66.634209E-61.00.01.1951787E-48.076857E-58.076857E-51.00.00.00119453618.073989E-48.073989E-41.00.0
7.76.0479874E-73.397468E-73.397468E-71.00.02.5919921E-61.456057E-61.456057E-61.00.03.1557047E-51.7727363E-51.7727363E-51.00.03.1552566E-41.7726087E-41.7726087E-41.00.0
7.81.16056995E-89.782997E-99.782997E-91.00.04.9738713E-84.1927127E-84.1927127E-81.00.06.0556863E-75.1046277E-75.1046277E-71.00.06.05567E-65.1046277E-65.1046277E-61.00.0

Elsinore (Stepovers Combined)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.144392E-51.976007E-52.9759873E-51.50606111.0E-59.189928E-58.468338E-59.468253E-51.11807691.0E-50.00111829940.00103055150.00104054121.00969351.0E-50.0111268850.0102646170.010294311.00289263.0E-5
6.12.144392E-51.976007E-52.9759873E-51.50606111.0E-59.189928E-58.468338E-59.468253E-51.11807691.0E-50.00111829940.00103055150.00104054121.00969351.0E-50.0111268850.0102646170.010294311.00289263.0E-5
6.22.144392E-51.976007E-52.9759873E-51.50606111.0E-59.189928E-58.468338E-59.468253E-51.11807691.0E-50.00111829940.00103055150.00104054121.00969351.0E-50.0111268850.0102646170.010294311.00289263.0E-5
6.31.9751555E-51.7741326E-51.7741326E-51.00.08.4646774E-57.603211E-57.603211E-51.00.00.00103008729.25312E-49.25312E-41.00.00.0102532540.00922097450.0092308831.00107441.0E-5
6.41.9751555E-51.7741326E-51.7741326E-51.00.08.4646774E-57.603211E-57.603211E-51.00.00.00103008729.25312E-49.25312E-41.00.00.0102532540.00922097450.0092308831.00107441.0E-5
6.51.9751555E-51.7741326E-51.7741326E-51.00.08.4646774E-57.603211E-57.603211E-51.00.00.00103008729.25312E-49.25312E-41.00.00.0102532540.00922097450.0092308831.00107441.0E-5
6.61.9188685E-51.7003247E-51.7003247E-51.00.08.2234634E-57.2869116E-57.2869116E-51.00.00.00100074678.8683655E-48.8683655E-41.00.00.009962520.0088395460.0088494581.00112131.0E-5
6.71.7608272E-51.4732402E-51.4732402E-51.00.07.546184E-56.313739E-56.313739E-51.00.09.183606E-47.684364E-47.684364E-41.00.00.0091457460.0076644410.00767436441.00129471.0E-5
6.81.697165E-51.3783126E-51.3783126E-51.00.07.273361E-55.906925E-55.906925E-51.00.08.8517193E-47.189395E-47.189395E-41.00.00.0088165430.00717221060.0071821391.00138431.0E-5
6.91.600365E-51.2846429E-51.2846429E-51.00.06.858527E-55.5055007E-55.5055007E-51.00.08.347058E-46.700963E-46.700963E-41.00.00.0083157750.0066864220.0066963551.00148561.0E-5
7.01.3314581E-51.044738E-51.044738E-51.00.05.7061243E-54.4773733E-54.4773733E-51.00.06.944992E-45.449866E-45.449866E-41.00.00.0069233270.0054400550.0054500011.00182821.0E-5
7.11.2865345E-59.937339E-69.937339E-61.00.05.5136024E-54.258792E-54.258792E-51.00.06.710743E-45.1838707E-45.1838707E-41.00.00.00669051430.0051750210.0051750211.00.0
7.21.1650051E-58.633585E-68.633585E-61.00.04.9927836E-53.7000562E-53.7000562E-51.00.06.0770183E-44.503905E-44.503905E-41.00.00.00606042660.004496240.004496241.00.0
7.31.0008533E-57.2008215E-67.2008215E-61.00.04.2893007E-53.0860305E-53.0860305E-51.00.05.220972E-43.756609E-43.756609E-41.00.00.0052087230.00375066630.00375066631.00.0
7.49.116759E-66.409854E-66.409854E-61.00.03.907124E-52.7470522E-52.7470522E-51.00.04.7558855E-43.3440365E-43.3440365E-41.00.00.004745720.00333915420.00333915421.00.0
7.57.870524E-65.382316E-65.382316E-61.00.03.3730383E-52.306687E-52.306687E-51.00.04.1059E-42.8080423E-42.8080423E-41.00.00.00409832220.00280462070.00280462071.00.0
7.66.9774537E-64.677398E-64.677398E-61.00.02.990303E-52.0045845E-52.0045845E-51.00.03.640086E-42.44032E-42.44032E-41.00.00.0036341290.00243775640.00243775641.00.0
7.74.1616954E-62.3281368E-62.3281368E-61.00.01.7835715E-59.977695E-69.977695E-61.00.02.171282E-41.2147242E-41.2147242E-41.00.00.00216916160.00121413320.00121413321.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.384417E-89.384417E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0218927E-74.0218927E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8966467E-64.8966467E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8965718E-54.8965718E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4397174E-93.4397174E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4741646E-81.4741646E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.7947953E-71.7947953E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.794794E-61.794794E-61.00.0

Ortigalita (South)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.72394E-54.32556E-55.3255168E-51.2311741.0E-51.5958765E-41.8536886E-42.0536516E-41.1078732.0E-50.00194124810.00225468630.00227464131.00885052.0E-50.0192437750.0223345010.0223638321.00131323.0E-5
6.12.7299884E-53.1492036E-54.149172E-51.31753061.0E-51.16994255E-41.349592E-41.549565E-41.1481732.0E-50.00142347430.00164194570.00166191291.01216072.0E-50.0141439060.0163040720.0163237471.00120662.0E-5
6.22.7299884E-53.1492036E-54.149172E-51.31753061.0E-51.16994255E-41.349592E-41.549565E-41.1481732.0E-50.00142347430.00164194570.00166191291.01216072.0E-50.0141439060.0163040720.0163237471.00120662.0E-5
6.32.0546433E-52.3631454E-52.3631454E-51.00.08.805317E-51.0127383E-41.1127282E-41.09873221.0E-50.001071520.00123233050.00124231811.00810471.0E-50.0106636810.0122570310.0122669091.00080591.0E-5
6.42.0546433E-52.3631454E-52.3631454E-51.00.08.805317E-51.0127383E-41.1127282E-41.09873221.0E-50.001071520.00123233050.00124231811.00810471.0E-50.0106636810.0122570310.0122669091.00080591.0E-5
6.51.7779594E-52.0446974E-52.0446974E-51.00.07.619603E-58.762703E-59.762615E-51.114111.0E-59.272918E-40.00106635050.00107633991.00936781.0E-50.0092343190.0106138040.0106236971.00093221.0E-5
6.61.6272212E-51.8714967E-51.8714967E-51.00.06.973618E-58.0204605E-59.020381E-51.12467111.0E-58.487073E-49.760659E-49.86056E-41.01023521.0E-50.0084547330.0097190910.0097289931.00101891.0E-5
6.71.3051484E-51.5038758E-51.5038758E-51.00.05.593373E-56.445028E-57.4449636E-51.15514841.0E-56.807804E-47.844092E-47.9440133E-41.01273851.0E-50.0067869860.0078173880.007827311.00126921.0E-5
6.81.04277415E-51.1987235E-51.1987235E-51.00.04.4689557E-55.1372896E-55.1372896E-51.00.05.439595E-46.2529295E-46.2529295E-41.00.00.00542629930.006236090.006236091.00.0
6.97.639968E-68.791503E-68.791503E-61.00.03.274231E-53.767736E-53.767736E-51.00.03.9856473E-44.586312E-44.586312E-41.00.00.0039785060.0045774330.0045774331.00.0
7.03.919831E-64.5334014E-64.5334014E-61.00.01.679917E-51.942873E-51.942873E-51.00.02.045107E-42.3652123E-42.3652123E-41.00.00.00204322580.00236290340.00236290341.00.0
7.11.6017933E-61.8570418E-61.8570418E-61.00.06.8648105E-67.958732E-67.958732E-61.00.08.357586E-59.689432E-59.689432E-51.00.08.3544437E-49.686254E-49.686254E-41.00.0

Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5183659E-43.0520977E-43.0520977E-41.00.06.5056595E-40.00130681880.00130681881.00.00.0078919120.0156962030.0157060471.0006271.0E-50.0761745940.138489050.138514891.00018673.0E-5
6.11.5024997E-43.021517E-43.021517E-41.00.06.437695E-40.00129372780.00129372781.00.00.00780976140.0155395960.0155494411.00063351.0E-50.0754093450.137158630.137184521.00018873.0E-5
6.21.2743923E-42.5313982E-42.5313982E-41.00.05.460538E-40.00108399990.00108399991.00.00.00662795830.0130468810.0130468811.00.00.0643372760.1172560750.1172737261.00015062.0E-5
6.31.1525114E-42.2599236E-42.2599236E-41.00.04.9383997E-49.678718E-49.678718E-41.00.00.00599593860.0116680790.0116680791.00.00.0583671740.1063721250.106391.0001682.0E-5
6.41.07200925E-42.0840544E-42.0840544E-41.00.04.5935164E-48.926123E-48.926123E-41.00.00.00557827440.0107729590.0107729591.00.00.05440310.0991947650.099212781.00018172.0E-5
6.59.69631E-51.8734725E-41.8734725E-41.00.04.1548995E-48.024631E-48.024631E-41.00.00.00504686260.0096948420.0096948421.00.00.049337730.0900865640.0901047661.00020212.0E-5
6.68.0552316E-51.507068E-41.507068E-41.00.03.4517853E-46.4569083E-46.4569083E-41.00.00.00419445240.0078265080.0078265081.00.00.041161610.07485630.07487481.00024712.0E-5
6.77.815757E-51.4611272E-41.4611272E-41.00.03.34918E-46.26014E-46.26014E-41.00.00.0040700050.0075893120.0075893121.00.00.0399626570.072705820.0727243651.00025512.0E-5
6.86.965264E-51.2722758E-41.2722758E-41.00.02.9847719E-45.4513285E-45.4513285E-41.00.00.00362790520.00661359450.00661359451.00.00.035692470.0638010650.063819791.00029352.0E-5
6.95.8000453E-51.01439E-41.01439E-41.00.02.4854968E-44.346666E-44.346666E-41.00.00.00302189330.0052793220.0052793221.00.00.0298112950.0515029650.051512451.00018421.0E-5
7.04.9865852E-58.568029E-58.568029E-51.00.02.1369329E-43.6715003E-43.6715003E-41.00.00.00259861140.0044609790.0044609791.00.00.0256843360.0437820180.0437915771.00021841.0E-5
7.14.283875E-57.1124625E-57.1124625E-51.00.01.8358172E-43.0478454E-43.0478454E-41.00.00.00223281630.0037044940.0037044941.00.00.0221051460.036735820.0367454551.00026231.0E-5
7.23.450115E-55.5778568E-55.5778568E-51.00.01.478537E-42.3902925E-42.3902925E-41.00.00.00179863230.00290632640.00290632641.00.00.0178414420.0290790420.0290790421.00.0
7.32.5709045E-54.059001E-54.059001E-51.00.01.1017697E-41.7394568E-41.7394568E-41.00.00.00134057910.00211574860.00211574861.00.00.0133252080.021296860.021296861.00.0
7.41.8003093E-52.8511378E-52.8511378E-51.00.07.715383E-51.2218591E-41.2218591E-41.00.09.3894306E-40.00148660060.00148660061.00.00.0093498570.0150515890.0150515891.00.0
7.51.5595824E-52.5823752E-52.5823752E-51.00.06.683753E-51.10668545E-41.10668545E-41.00.08.134431E-40.00134655890.00134655891.00.00.0081047190.0136515710.0136515711.00.0
7.61.1110309E-51.9223195E-51.9223195E-51.00.04.761474E-58.2382525E-58.2382525E-51.00.05.795553E-40.00100254710.00100254711.00.00.00578046120.010203440.010203441.00.0
7.76.2140443E-61.04376995E-51.04376995E-51.00.02.6631347E-54.4732235E-54.4732235E-51.00.03.241884E-45.4447894E-45.4447894E-41.00.00.00323715880.0056201020.0056201021.00.0
7.85.305533E-69.433651E-69.433651E-61.00.02.27378E-54.0429306E-54.0429306E-51.00.02.7679754E-44.9211574E-44.9211574E-41.00.00.00276453020.0050746220.0050746221.00.0
7.93.363505E-67.3854467E-67.3854467E-61.00.01.4414942E-53.1651532E-53.1651532E-51.00.01.7548777E-43.8528934E-43.8528934E-41.00.00.00175349260.0039487840.0039487841.00.0
8.02.0271132E-64.4134235E-64.4134235E-61.00.08.687599E-61.8914534E-51.8914534E-51.00.01.05766376E-42.3026018E-42.3026018E-41.00.00.00105716060.0023511940.0023511941.00.0
8.11.2206116E-62.3752666E-62.3752666E-61.00.05.2311816E-61.0179674E-51.0179674E-51.00.06.3687774E-51.2393051E-41.2393051E-41.00.06.366953E-40.00127056180.00127056181.00.0

Santa Susana alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.674877E-52.7198214E-55.7197398E-52.10298373.0E-51.1463255E-41.16559204E-41.4655571E-41.257353.0E-50.00139475780.00141829810.00144825561.02112213.0E-50.0138603620.0141043880.0141339651.0020973.0E-5
6.12.674877E-52.7198214E-55.7197398E-52.10298373.0E-51.1463255E-41.16559204E-41.4655571E-41.257353.0E-50.00139475780.00141829810.00144825561.02112213.0E-50.0138603620.0141043880.0141339651.0020973.0E-5
6.22.674877E-52.7198214E-55.7197398E-52.10298373.0E-51.1463255E-41.16559204E-41.4655571E-41.257353.0E-50.00139475780.00141829810.00144825561.02112213.0E-50.0138603620.0141043880.0141339651.0020973.0E-5
6.32.674877E-52.7198214E-55.7197398E-52.10298373.0E-51.1463255E-41.16559204E-41.4655571E-41.257353.0E-50.00139475780.00141829810.00144825561.02112213.0E-50.0138603620.0141043880.0141339651.0020973.0E-5
6.42.674877E-52.7198214E-55.7197398E-52.10298373.0E-51.1463255E-41.16559204E-41.4655571E-41.257353.0E-50.00139475780.00141829810.00144825561.02112213.0E-50.0138603620.0141043880.0141339651.0020973.0E-5
6.52.674877E-52.7198214E-55.7197398E-52.10298373.0E-51.1463255E-41.16559204E-41.4655571E-41.257353.0E-50.00139475780.00141829810.00144825561.02112213.0E-50.0138603620.0141043880.0141339651.0020973.0E-5
6.62.6647976E-52.7074553E-55.707374E-52.10802153.0E-51.14200615E-41.16029274E-41.4602579E-41.25852553.0E-50.00138950560.00141185460.00144181231.02121873.0E-50.0138084940.0140407730.0140703521.00210673.0E-5
6.72.6647976E-52.7074553E-55.707374E-52.10802153.0E-51.14200615E-41.16029274E-41.4602579E-41.25852553.0E-50.00138950560.00141185460.00144181231.02121873.0E-50.0138084940.0140407730.0140703521.00210673.0E-5
6.81.9073179E-51.7637467E-54.763694E-52.70089463.0E-58.1739636E-57.558706E-51.0558479E-41.39686333.0E-59.947256E-49.19902E-49.498744E-41.03258223.0E-50.0099028480.0091633610.0091930861.00324393.0E-5
6.91.9041876E-51.7619597E-54.761907E-52.70261963.0E-58.160549E-57.551048E-51.0550822E-41.39726583.0E-59.930939E-49.189705E-49.489429E-41.03261523.0E-50.00988667550.0091541230.0091838481.00324733.0E-5
7.01.5917482E-51.3864049E-54.3863634E-53.163843.0E-56.8215995E-55.9416023E-58.941424E-51.50488423.0E-58.302132E-47.2315463E-47.53133E-41.04145493.0E-50.0082711850.00720906720.0072388511.00413143.0E-5
7.11.577788E-51.3744056E-54.3743643E-53.18273193.0E-56.761774E-55.890179E-58.890002E-51.50929243.0E-58.2293496E-47.16898E-47.468765E-41.0418173.0E-50.0081989410.00714690420.007176691.00416773.0E-5
7.21.5416446E-51.34701295E-54.3469725E-53.227123.0E-56.606882E-55.7727877E-58.772615E-51.51964963.0E-58.0409093E-47.026149E-47.325938E-41.04266763.0E-50.0080118770.00700497630.00703476651.00425273.0E-5
7.31.4534083E-51.2718032E-54.271765E-53.35882573.0E-56.228744E-55.4504737E-58.45031E-51.5503813.0E-57.580857E-46.633976E-46.933777E-41.04519183.0E-50.0075550480.00661517170.0066449731.0045053.0E-5
7.41.2858995E-51.1229814E-54.1229476E-53.671433.0E-55.5108816E-54.812691E-57.8125464E-51.62332193.0E-56.7074323E-45.8579154E-46.1577396E-41.05118273.0E-50.00668722340.00584339020.0058732151.00510413.0E-5
7.58.827668E-67.805494E-63.780526E-54.84341673.0E-53.7832317E-53.3451703E-56.34507E-51.89678543.0E-54.605111E-44.072008E-44.371886E-41.07364373.0E-50.00459557960.00406489850.00409477671.00735023.0E-5
7.63.2533426E-62.8720106E-61.2871982E-5</