Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions
Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)
Table Of Contents
Garlock (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.029151E-5 | 0.0013502015 | 19.2086 | 0.00128 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.0121492E-4 | 0.005449664 | 18.092278 | 0.00515 | 0.0028726095 | 0.0036611892 | 0.0269257 | 7.354359 | 0.02335 | 0.028357591 | 0.036105216 | 0.08162033 | 2.2606244 | 0.04722 |
6.1 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.029151E-5 | 0.0013502015 | 19.2086 | 0.00128 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.0121492E-4 | 0.005449664 | 18.092278 | 0.00515 | 0.0028726095 | 0.0036611892 | 0.0269257 | 7.354359 | 0.02335 | 0.028357591 | 0.036105216 | 0.08162033 | 2.2606244 | 0.04722 |
6.2 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.1702045E-5 | 8.1166276E-4 | 15.698853 | 7.6E-4 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.2156155E-4 | 0.0033008792 | 14.898249 | 0.00308 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0026942063 | 0.01682603 | 6.2452636 | 0.01417 | 0.021759989 | 0.026707722 | 0.055118125 | 2.0637524 | 0.02919 |
6.3 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.1702045E-5 | 8.1166276E-4 | 15.698853 | 7.6E-4 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.2156155E-4 | 0.0033008792 | 14.898249 | 0.00308 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0026942063 | 0.01682603 | 6.2452636 | 0.01417 | 0.021759989 | 0.026707722 | 0.055118125 | 2.0637524 | 0.02919 |
6.4 | 3.6858168E-5 | 4.4149096E-5 | 6.7412126E-4 | 15.269197 | 6.3E-4 | 1.5795401E-4 | 1.8919683E-4 | 0.0026787256 | 14.158407 | 0.00249 | 0.0019213937 | 0.0023010632 | 0.0131560275 | 5.717369 | 0.01088 | 0.019048655 | 0.022859517 | 0.04512855 | 1.9741689 | 0.02279 |
6.5 | 3.39199E-5 | 4.0055394E-5 | 6.100326E-4 | 15.229723 | 5.7E-4 | 1.453629E-4 | 1.7165481E-4 | 0.00247126 | 14.396684 | 0.0023 | 0.0017683565 | 0.0020879158 | 0.011847496 | 5.674317 | 0.00978 | 0.017543508 | 0.020787966 | 0.04063659 | 1.9548134 | 0.02027 |
6.6 | 3.3571985E-5 | 3.9509516E-5 | 6.09487E-4 | 15.426335 | 5.7E-4 | 1.4387199E-4 | 1.6931562E-4 | 0.0024689261 | 14.581798 | 0.0023 | 0.0017502342 | 0.0020594904 | 0.01180937 | 5.734122 | 0.00977 | 0.017365133 | 0.020509211 | 0.040353693 | 1.9675888 | 0.02026 |
6.7 | 3.2580007E-5 | 3.8125832E-5 | 5.781052E-4 | 15.163086 | 5.4E-4 | 1.3962112E-4 | 1.6338631E-4 | 0.0023330317 | 14.279237 | 0.00217 | 0.0016985617 | 0.001987435 | 0.011298892 | 5.6851635 | 0.00933 | 0.016856372 | 0.019797806 | 0.038843136 | 1.9619919 | 0.01943 |
6.8 | 3.2185937E-5 | 3.75529E-5 | 5.775326E-4 | 15.379174 | 5.4E-4 | 1.3793244E-4 | 1.609312E-4 | 0.0023205837 | 14.419724 | 0.00216 | 0.0016780337 | 0.0019575981 | 0.011079705 | 5.659847 | 0.00914 | 0.016654192 | 0.019504242 | 0.038202293 | 1.9586661 | 0.01907 |
6.9 | 3.165394E-5 | 3.6757305E-5 | 5.6673784E-4 | 15.418373 | 5.3E-4 | 1.3565269E-4 | 1.575219E-4 | 0.002297185 | 14.583272 | 0.00214 | 0.0016503202 | 0.0019161637 | 0.010829052 | 5.6514235 | 0.00893 | 0.01638118 | 0.019095475 | 0.037379533 | 1.9575075 | 0.01864 |
7.0 | 3.0903822E-5 | 3.5662288E-5 | 5.5564375E-4 | 15.5807085 | 5.2E-4 | 1.3243823E-4 | 1.5282955E-4 | 0.0022525087 | 14.738698 | 0.0021 | 0.0016112428 | 0.001859133 | 0.010493051 | 5.6440563 | 0.00865 | 0.015996104 | 0.018532708 | 0.036277637 | 1.9574925 | 0.01808 |
7.1 | 3.0069863E-5 | 3.442825E-5 | 5.244114E-4 | 15.232009 | 4.9E-4 | 1.2886449E-4 | 1.4754142E-4 | 0.0021372477 | 14.485748 | 0.00199 | 0.0015677959 | 0.0017948578 | 0.010050015 | 5.5993376 | 0.00827 | 0.01556781 | 0.017900206 | 0.03488071 | 1.9486207 | 0.01729 |
7.2 | 2.7957109E-5 | 3.1316726E-5 | 4.2130452E-4 | 13.453019 | 3.9E-4 | 1.1981068E-4 | 1.3420774E-4 | 0.0018539769 | 13.814232 | 0.00172 | 0.0014577188 | 0.0016327741 | 0.008541475 | 5.2312655 | 0.00692 | 0.014481937 | 0.016303398 | 0.030694878 | 1.8827289 | 0.01463 |
7.3 | 2.4519275E-5 | 2.6747832E-5 | 2.9674062E-4 | 11.094006 | 2.7E-4 | 1.0507837E-4 | 1.14628616E-4 | 0.0012544979 | 10.944021 | 0.00114 | 0.0012785783 | 0.0013947246 | 0.0061580716 | 4.41526 | 0.00477 | 0.012712469 | 0.013946408 | 0.024043597 | 1.7239993 | 0.01024 |
7.4 | 2.3225532E-5 | 2.5231737E-5 | 2.5522592E-4 | 10.115274 | 2.3E-4 | 9.95342E-5 | 1.08131615E-4 | 0.0011280213 | 10.431929 | 0.00102 | 0.0012111551 | 0.0013157218 | 0.0056699854 | 4.3094106 | 0.00436 | 0.012045753 | 0.013163699 | 0.022282066 | 1.6926904 | 0.00924 |
7.5 | 2.097765E-5 | 2.2514389E-5 | 2.3250966E-4 | 10.327159 | 2.1E-4 | 8.9901114E-5 | 9.648673E-5 | 8.8641053E-4 | 9.186864 | 7.9E-4 | 0.0010939965 | 0.0011741047 | 0.0046300422 | 3.9434662 | 0.00346 | 0.010886264 | 0.011757619 | 0.018912494 | 1.6085309 | 0.00724 |
7.6 | 1.511254E-5 | 1.6019863E-5 | 1.5601762E-4 | 9.739011 | 1.4E-4 | 6.476642E-5 | 6.8654794E-5 | 5.486218E-4 | 7.99102 | 4.8E-4 | 7.882459E-4 | 8.355594E-4 | 0.0028838464 | 3.4513962 | 0.00205 | 0.007854558 | 0.008399524 | 0.012326261 | 1.4674953 | 0.00396 |
7.7 | 9.934069E-6 | 1.0705238E-5 | 6.0704704E-5 | 5.670561 | 5.0E-5 | 4.2573887E-5 | 4.5878787E-5 | 1.7587282E-4 | 3.8334236 | 1.3E-4 | 5.182138E-4 | 5.5843143E-4 | 0.0012280573 | 2.199119 | 6.7E-4 | 0.00517007 | 0.005641526 | 0.0067850384 | 1.2026956 | 0.00115 |
7.8 | 6.7562896E-6 | 8.450306E-6 | 4.844997E-5 | 5.733516 | 4.0E-5 | 2.8955206E-5 | 3.6215097E-5 | 1.3621147E-4 | 3.7611794 | 1.0E-4 | 3.5247262E-4 | 4.4082975E-4 | 8.7064016E-4 | 1.9750032 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0035191406 | 0.00445807 | 0.0051649045 | 1.1585517 | 7.1E-4 |
7.9 | 3.975453E-6 | 5.384731E-6 | 2.5384623E-5 | 4.7141857 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7037546E-5 | 2.3077215E-5 | 8.307583E-5 | 3.5999072 | 6.0E-5 | 2.0741238E-4 | 2.8092897E-4 | 5.608503E-4 | 1.9964132 | 2.8E-4 | 0.002072189 | 0.0028407762 | 0.0032795263 | 1.1544472 | 4.4E-4 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.081991E-6 | 1.208197E-5 | 5.803085 | 1.0E-5 | 7.169782E-6 | 8.922788E-6 | 3.892252E-5 | 4.362148 | 3.0E-5 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.0862956E-4 | 1.7862195E-4 | 1.6443218 | 7.0E-5 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.001099239 | 0.001199129 | 1.090872 | 1.0E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1550337E-7 | 3.1550337E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3521568E-6 | 1.1352143E-5 | 8.395582 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.64624E-5 | 2.6462236E-5 | 1.6074349 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6675155E-4 | 1.7674988E-4 | 1.0599594 | 1.0E-5 |
Tank Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8284557E-5 | 5.797511E-5 | 9.2792464E-4 | 16.00557 | 8.7E-4 | 2.0691741E-4 | 2.4844494E-4 | 0.0034176575 | 13.756196 | 0.00317 | 0.0025163088 | 0.0030212838 | 0.018923094 | 6.2632627 | 0.01595 | 0.02488006 | 0.029869407 | 0.0640083 | 2.1429384 | 0.03519 |
6.1 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.0876503E-5 | 2.9087087E-4 | 13.932931 | 2.7E-4 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.9467874E-5 | 0.0012993596 | 14.523197 | 0.00121 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.001088765 | 0.0069224066 | 6.3580356 | 0.00584 | 0.009242975 | 0.010838684 | 0.02356919 | 2.1745436 | 0.01287 |
6.2 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.0876503E-5 | 2.9087087E-4 | 13.932931 | 2.7E-4 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.9467874E-5 | 0.0012993596 | 14.523197 | 0.00121 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.001088765 | 0.0069224066 | 6.3580356 | 0.00584 | 0.009242975 | 0.010838684 | 0.02356919 | 2.1745436 | 0.01287 |
6.3 | 1.3515912E-5 | 1.5761849E-5 | 2.0575886E-4 | 13.054234 | 1.9E-4 | 5.792405E-5 | 6.754917E-5 | 8.6749514E-4 | 12.842425 | 8.0E-4 | 7.049971E-4 | 8.2212436E-4 | 0.00517854 | 6.298974 | 0.00436 | 0.007027647 | 0.008193726 | 0.017784493 | 2.1705012 | 0.00967 |
6.4 | 1.0870146E-5 | 1.2619763E-5 | 1.8261762E-4 | 14.470764 | 1.7E-4 | 4.658551E-5 | 5.4083677E-5 | 7.240474E-4 | 13.387541 | 6.7E-4 | 5.67031E-4 | 6.5828755E-4 | 0.0040160757 | 6.1007924 | 0.00336 | 0.005655863 | 0.0065656696 | 0.013966755 | 2.12724 | 0.00745 |
6.5 | 7.964826E-6 | 9.197272E-6 | 1.4919598E-4 | 16.221764 | 1.4E-4 | 3.4134522E-5 | 3.9416347E-5 | 4.3940058E-4 | 11.147675 | 4.0E-4 | 4.1550855E-4 | 4.7979888E-4 | 0.0025987816 | 5.416398 | 0.00212 | 0.0041473247 | 0.0047892113 | 0.009695601 | 2.024467 | 0.00493 |
6.6 | 6.6317E-6 | 7.6132033E-6 | 9.7612516E-5 | 12.821478 | 9.0E-5 | 2.8421264E-5 | 3.2627657E-5 | 3.0261884E-4 | 9.274918 | 2.7E-4 | 3.4597394E-4 | 3.9717837E-4 | 0.0018865865 | 4.749973 | 0.00149 | 0.0034543579 | 0.0039661173 | 0.0075717596 | 1.9091115 | 0.00362 |
6.7 | 4.793663E-6 | 5.431329E-6 | 3.5431167E-5 | 6.52348 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0544108E-5 | 2.3276942E-5 | 1.2327461E-4 | 5.295997 | 1.0E-4 | 2.500958E-4 | 2.833643E-4 | 0.0010331518 | 3.6460197 | 7.5E-4 | 0.0024981452 | 0.0028310008 | 0.004645848 | 1.6410621 | 0.00182 |
6.8 | 4.382823E-6 | 4.9697283E-6 | 3.496958E-5 | 7.036517 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8783392E-5 | 2.1298687E-5 | 1.2129656E-4 | 5.6950254 | 1.0E-4 | 2.286638E-4 | 2.5928492E-4 | 9.391086E-4 | 3.6219175 | 6.8E-4 | 0.0022842865 | 0.002590777 | 0.004216554 | 1.6275249 | 0.00163 |
6.9 | 2.729601E-6 | 3.0737833E-6 | 2.3073722E-5 | 7.5066195 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1698237E-5 | 1.3173297E-5 | 8.3172374E-5 | 6.3137097 | 7.0E-5 | 1.4241673E-4 | 1.6037431E-4 | 5.9030537E-4 | 3.6807973 | 4.3E-4 | 0.001423255 | 0.0016028456 | 0.0024714512 | 1.5419147 | 8.7E-4 |
7.0 | 1.8987357E-6 | 2.1270855E-6 | 2.1270855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.137413E-6 | 9.116053E-6 | 3.911578E-5 | 4.290868 | 3.0E-5 | 9.90685E-5 | 1.10983E-4 | 3.209597E-4 | 2.8919718 | 2.1E-4 | 9.902435E-4 | 0.0011093443 | 0.0014889229 | 1.3421646 | 3.8E-4 |
7.1 | 1.4928986E-6 | 1.6642338E-6 | 1.6642338E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.398121E-6 | 7.1324143E-6 | 2.7132271E-5 | 3.8040795 | 2.0E-5 | 7.789434E-5 | 8.683427E-5 | 2.1682298E-4 | 2.4969747 | 1.3E-4 | 7.786704E-4 | 8.680613E-4 | 0.0011178443 | 1.2877481 | 2.5E-4 |
7.2 | 1.069082E-6 | 1.1829283E-6 | 1.1829283E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.581772E-6 | 5.069686E-6 | 1.5069635E-5 | 2.972499 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5781646E-5 | 6.172221E-5 | 1.21718505E-4 | 1.9720374 | 6.0E-5 | 5.576765E-4 | 6.171029E-4 | 7.370289E-4 | 1.194337 | 1.2E-4 |
7.3 | 8.776551E-7 | 9.770556E-7 | 9.770556E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7613736E-6 | 4.1873773E-6 | 1.4187335E-5 | 3.3881197 | 1.0E-5 | 4.579376E-5 | 5.0980645E-5 | 1.009781E-4 | 1.9807143 | 5.0E-5 | 4.5784327E-4 | 5.0974055E-4 | 5.896998E-4 | 1.1568626 | 8.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.55721E-7 | 8.510739E-7 | 8.510739E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2388E-6 | 3.6474573E-6 | 3.6474573E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9431678E-5 | 4.4407407E-5 | 7.4406074E-5 | 1.6755329 | 3.0E-5 | 3.942468E-4 | 4.4403618E-4 | 5.0400954E-4 | 1.1350641 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.587665E-7 | 6.305968E-7 | 6.305968E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3947114E-6 | 2.7025576E-6 | 2.7025576E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.915522E-5 | 3.290364E-5 | 5.2902982E-5 | 1.6078155 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9151395E-4 | 3.290364E-4 | 3.7901994E-4 | 1.1519089 | 5.0E-5 |
Little Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1208787E-5 | 7.5118634E-4 | 24.069704 | 7.2E-4 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3374584E-4 | 0.002413441 | 18.04498 | 0.00228 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016272726 | 0.01212017 | 7.4481497 | 0.01051 | 0.014722223 | 0.01616698 | 0.038037587 | 2.352795 | 0.02223 |
6.1 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1208787E-5 | 7.5118634E-4 | 24.069704 | 7.2E-4 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3374584E-4 | 0.002413441 | 18.04498 | 0.00228 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016272726 | 0.01212017 | 7.4481497 | 0.01051 | 0.014722223 | 0.01616698 | 0.038037587 | 2.352795 | 0.02223 |
6.2 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1208787E-5 | 7.5118634E-4 | 24.069704 | 7.2E-4 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3374584E-4 | 0.002413441 | 18.04498 | 0.00228 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016272726 | 0.01212017 | 7.4481497 | 0.01051 | 0.014722223 | 0.01616698 | 0.038037587 | 2.352795 | 0.02223 |
6.3 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.6082811E-5 | 4.960751E-4 | 30.845049 | 4.8E-4 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.892467E-5 | 0.0015688213 | 22.761389 | 0.0015 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.38863E-4 | 0.0076931086 | 9.170876 | 0.00686 | 0.007737305 | 0.008359784 | 0.022688985 | 2.7140636 | 0.01445 |
6.4 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.6082811E-5 | 4.960751E-4 | 30.845049 | 4.8E-4 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.892467E-5 | 0.0015688213 | 22.761389 | 0.0015 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.38863E-4 | 0.0076931086 | 9.170876 | 0.00686 | 0.007737305 | 0.008359784 | 0.022688985 | 2.7140636 | 0.01445 |
6.5 | 1.2797581E-5 | 1.3766752E-5 | 4.1376124E-4 | 30.055109 | 4.0E-4 | 5.4845623E-5 | 5.899918E-5 | 0.0013689218 | 23.202389 | 0.00131 | 6.675408E-4 | 7.1810395E-4 | 0.00694363 | 9.6693945 | 0.00623 | 0.006655392 | 0.0071603856 | 0.02019637 | 2.82057 | 0.01313 |
6.6 | 9.661896E-6 | 1.0289875E-5 | 3.202867E-4 | 31.126394 | 3.1E-4 | 4.1407468E-5 | 4.4098808E-5 | 0.0011340508 | 25.716131 | 0.00109 | 5.040193E-4 | 5.36787E-4 | 0.005833942 | 10.868263 | 0.0053 | 0.005028777 | 0.005356509 | 0.016307535 | 3.044433 | 0.01101 |
6.7 | 7.767871E-6 | 8.2003235E-6 | 2.681982E-4 | 32.705807 | 2.6E-4 | 3.329045E-5 | 3.5143847E-5 | 9.651112E-4 | 27.46174 | 9.3E-4 | 4.0523586E-4 | 4.2780605E-4 | 0.0051157996 | 11.958221 | 0.00469 | 0.004044977 | 0.004271177 | 0.013760473 | 3.2217052 | 0.00953 |
6.8 | 6.4235196E-6 | 6.7362594E-6 | 2.367347E-4 | 35.14335 | 2.3E-4 | 2.752908E-5 | 2.8869435E-5 | 8.2884636E-4 | 28.710167 | 8.0E-4 | 3.35115E-4 | 3.5144153E-4 | 0.003980166 | 11.325257 | 0.00363 | 0.003346101 | 0.003510118 | 0.011153195 | 3.1774416 | 0.00767 |
6.9 | 3.1283696E-6 | 3.1123586E-6 | 1.4311192E-4 | 45.981823 | 1.4E-4 | 1.3407229E-5 | 1.333862E-5 | 4.6333263E-4 | 34.73617 | 4.5E-4 | 1.6322079E-4 | 1.623871E-4 | 0.0022720445 | 13.991532 | 0.00211 | 0.0016310095 | 0.0016228328 | 0.006025676 | 3.7130601 | 0.00441 |
7.0 | 2.290603E-6 | 2.228815E-6 | 1.1222857E-4 | 50.35347 | 1.1E-4 | 9.816834E-6 | 9.552035E-6 | 2.8954935E-4 | 30.312845 | 2.8E-4 | 1.19513395E-4 | 1.1629087E-4 | 0.0014961304 | 12.865417 | 0.00138 | 0.0011944914 | 0.0011624022 | 0.0038792405 | 3.3372617 | 0.00272 |
7.1 | 1.293693E-6 | 1.1777632E-6 | 6.117769E-5 | 51.943966 | 6.0E-5 | 5.5443866E-6 | 5.047551E-6 | 1.350469E-4 | 26.754934 | 1.3E-4 | 6.750081E-5 | 6.14529E-5 | 8.314056E-4 | 13.529152 | 7.7E-4 | 6.7480316E-4 | 6.1442755E-4 | 0.001963598 | 3.1958172 | 0.00135 |
7.2 | 4.715842E-7 | 3.092135E-7 | 3.092135E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0210737E-6 | 1.3252001E-6 | 1.3252001E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4606294E-5 | 1.6134198E-5 | 3.6133875E-5 | 2.239583 | 2.0E-5 | 2.460357E-4 | 1.613308E-4 | 2.0132435E-4 | 1.2478977 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.9430947E-7 | 2.3100645E-7 | 2.3100645E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6898966E-6 | 9.900273E-7 | 9.900273E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0574296E-5 | 1.2053516E-5 | 2.2053397E-5 | 1.8296235 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0572392E-4 | 1.205287E-4 | 1.5052508E-4 | 1.2488734 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.547123E-7 | 1.9682027E-7 | 1.9682027E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5201948E-6 | 8.435152E-7 | 8.435152E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8508214E-5 | 1.02697495E-5 | 2.0269646E-5 | 1.9737236 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8506673E-4 | 1.02692815E-4 | 1.3268973E-4 | 1.2921034 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.6354266E-7 | 1.4425102E-7 | 1.4425102E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.129468E-6 | 6.182185E-7 | 6.182185E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3751187E-5 | 7.526785E-6 | 1.752671E-5 | 2.3285785 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3750336E-4 | 7.526535E-5 | 1.052631E-4 | 1.3985598 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.269913E-7 | 7.57337E-8 | 7.57337E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4424834E-7 | 3.24573E-7 | 3.24573E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6262032E-6 | 3.9516694E-6 | 1.395163E-5 | 3.5305662 | 1.0E-5 | 6.626006E-5 | 3.9516024E-5 | 5.9515234E-5 | 1.5061038 | 2.0E-5 |
Airport Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.31038605E-5 | 5.730965E-4 | 43.73494 | 5.6E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6158355E-5 | 0.0020060488 | 35.72129 | 0.00195 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835419E-4 | 0.009667397 | 14.143094 | 0.00899 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068172044 | 0.024416404 | 3.581586 | 0.01772 |
6.1 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.31038605E-5 | 5.730965E-4 | 43.73494 | 5.6E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6158355E-5 | 0.0020060488 | 35.72129 | 0.00195 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835419E-4 | 0.009667397 | 14.143094 | 0.00899 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068172044 | 0.024416404 | 3.581586 | 0.01772 |
6.2 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.31038605E-5 | 5.730965E-4 | 43.73494 | 5.6E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6158355E-5 | 0.0020060488 | 35.72129 | 0.00195 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835419E-4 | 0.009667397 | 14.143094 | 0.00899 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068172044 | 0.024416404 | 3.581586 | 0.01772 |
6.3 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.31038605E-5 | 5.730965E-4 | 43.73494 | 5.6E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6158355E-5 | 0.0020060488 | 35.72129 | 0.00195 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835419E-4 | 0.009667397 | 14.143094 | 0.00899 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068172044 | 0.024416404 | 3.581586 | 0.01772 |
6.4 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.31038605E-5 | 5.730965E-4 | 43.73494 | 5.6E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6158355E-5 | 0.0020060488 | 35.72129 | 0.00195 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835419E-4 | 0.009667397 | 14.143094 | 0.00899 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068172044 | 0.024416404 | 3.581586 | 0.01772 |
6.5 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.3853103E-6 | 4.0738235E-4 | 55.16117 | 4.0E-4 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.1650976E-5 | 0.0015216038 | 48.074467 | 0.00149 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8528792E-4 | 0.0071726716 | 18.616394 | 0.00679 | 0.003641826 | 0.0038467369 | 0.016976036 | 4.4131007 | 0.01318 |
6.6 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.3853103E-6 | 4.0738235E-4 | 55.16117 | 4.0E-4 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.1650976E-5 | 0.0015216038 | 48.074467 | 0.00149 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8528792E-4 | 0.0071726716 | 18.616394 | 0.00679 | 0.003641826 | 0.0038467369 | 0.016976036 | 4.4131007 | 0.01318 |
6.7 | 5.477277E-6 | 5.7863713E-6 | 3.0578463E-4 | 52.845665 | 3.0E-4 | 2.3473833E-5 | 2.479852E-5 | 0.00117477 | 47.372585 | 0.00115 | 2.8575645E-4 | 3.0188405E-4 | 0.0059501785 | 19.710146 | 0.00565 | 0.0028538927 | 0.0030151235 | 0.0141614145 | 4.696794 | 0.01118 |
6.8 | 3.9950432E-6 | 4.219307E-6 | 2.442183E-4 | 57.88114 | 2.4E-4 | 1.7121502E-5 | 1.8082634E-5 | 8.9806673E-4 | 49.664597 | 8.8E-4 | 2.0843433E-4 | 2.2013657E-4 | 0.004279243 | 19.439035 | 0.00406 | 0.0020823893 | 0.002199456 | 0.010541068 | 4.7925797 | 0.00836 |
6.9 | 2.95695E-6 | 3.123187E-6 | 1.931226E-4 | 61.835102 | 1.9E-4 | 1.2672582E-5 | 1.3385032E-5 | 6.6337636E-4 | 49.561058 | 6.5E-4 | 1.5427776E-4 | 1.6295284E-4 | 0.0029325015 | 17.996014 | 0.00277 | 0.001541707 | 0.001628556 | 0.007429094 | 4.5617676 | 0.00581 |
7.0 | 1.456072E-6 | 1.5408953E-6 | 1.1154073E-4 | 72.38696 | 1.1E-4 | 6.2402937E-6 | 6.6038256E-6 | 2.8660198E-4 | 43.399384 | 2.8E-4 | 7.597293E-5 | 8.039962E-5 | 0.0013502975 | 16.794825 | 0.00127 | 7.594696E-4 | 8.0380426E-4 | 0.0033317707 | 4.1450024 | 0.00253 |
7.1 | 6.995192E-7 | 7.409381E-7 | 6.0740895E-5 | 81.97836 | 6.0E-5 | 2.997936E-6 | 3.1754491E-6 | 1.3317504E-4 | 41.93896 | 1.3E-4 | 3.649926E-5 | 3.8661092E-5 | 7.286344E-4 | 18.84671 | 6.9E-4 | 3.6493264E-4 | 3.8661092E-4 | 0.0016361277 | 4.2319746 | 0.00125 |
Owl Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.638036E-5 | 3.3636243E-4 | 5.0671983 | 2.7E-4 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.844621E-4 | 0.0016040866 | 5.639017 | 0.00132 | 0.0026222812 | 0.0034586997 | 0.009796702 | 2.8324814 | 0.00636 | 0.02591553 | 0.03415267 | 0.04744273 | 1.3891368 | 0.01376 |
6.1 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.638036E-5 | 3.3636243E-4 | 5.0671983 | 2.7E-4 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.844621E-4 | 0.0016040866 | 5.639017 | 0.00132 | 0.0026222812 | 0.0034586997 | 0.009796702 | 2.8324814 | 0.00636 | 0.02591553 | 0.03415267 | 0.04744273 | 1.3891368 | 0.01376 |
6.2 | 2.4125871E-5 | 3.0992025E-5 | 2.509852E-4 | 8.09838 | 2.2E-4 | 1.0339249E-4 | 1.3281697E-4 | 0.0011126868 | 8.377595 | 9.8E-4 | 0.0012580766 | 0.001616022 | 0.006338378 | 3.9222105 | 0.00473 | 0.012509781 | 0.016076887 | 0.025916118 | 1.612011 | 0.01 |
6.3 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2364722E-5 | 2.2236025E-4 | 9.942455 | 2.0E-4 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.58458E-5 | 0.0010057585 | 10.493507 | 9.1E-4 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011664412 | 0.005271647 | 4.519428 | 0.00411 | 0.009055373 | 0.011634152 | 0.020193402 | 1.7357001 | 0.00866 |
6.4 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2364722E-5 | 2.2236025E-4 | 9.942455 | 2.0E-4 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.58458E-5 | 0.0010057585 | 10.493507 | 9.1E-4 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011664412 | 0.005271647 | 4.519428 | 0.00411 | 0.009055373 | 0.011634152 | 0.020193402 | 1.7357001 | 0.00866 |
6.5 | 1.5182742E-5 | 1.943766E-5 | 2.0943397E-4 | 10.774649 | 1.9E-4 | 6.506727E-5 | 8.3302235E-5 | 9.532298E-4 | 11.4430275 | 8.7E-4 | 7.919061E-4 | 0.0010138735 | 0.004989838 | 4.9215593 | 0.00398 | 0.0078909 | 0.010123296 | 0.018329374 | 1.8106133 | 0.00829 |
6.6 | 6.7271576E-6 | 8.553136E-6 | 1.9855151E-4 | 23.213886 | 1.9E-4 | 2.8830356E-5 | 3.6655812E-5 | 8.0662756E-4 | 22.005447 | 7.7E-4 | 3.5095305E-4 | 4.461988E-4 | 0.0035947934 | 8.056483 | 0.00315 | 0.0035039932 | 0.004471208 | 0.010772905 | 2.4093947 | 0.00633 |
6.7 | 6.682835E-6 | 8.485572E-6 | 1.9848396E-4 | 23.390759 | 1.9E-4 | 2.8640408E-5 | 3.6366262E-5 | 8.0633827E-4 | 22.1727 | 7.7E-4 | 3.4864116E-4 | 4.4267494E-4 | 0.0035912804 | 8.11268 | 0.00315 | 0.003480947 | 0.004436078 | 0.010728043 | 2.418362 | 0.00632 |
6.8 | 6.5774975E-6 | 8.332018E-6 | 1.9833044E-4 | 23.80341 | 1.9E-4 | 2.8188972E-5 | 3.570819E-5 | 8.056807E-4 | 22.562908 | 7.7E-4 | 3.4314668E-4 | 4.3466617E-4 | 0.0035633056 | 8.197799 | 0.00313 | 0.0034261728 | 0.004356129 | 0.010628685 | 2.439938 | 0.0063 |
6.9 | 6.363419E-6 | 8.005115E-6 | 1.9800359E-4 | 24.734634 | 1.9E-4 | 2.727151E-5 | 3.4307213E-5 | 8.042808E-4 | 23.44349 | 7.7E-4 | 3.3198006E-4 | 4.176159E-4 | 0.0035463087 | 8.491796 | 0.00313 | 0.0033148455 | 0.004186095 | 0.010449764 | 2.4963036 | 0.00629 |
7.0 | 6.1342453E-6 | 7.6372135E-6 | 1.9763576E-4 | 25.877995 | 1.9E-4 | 2.6289357E-5 | 3.2730535E-5 | 7.927057E-4 | 24.219149 | 7.6E-4 | 3.2002592E-4 | 3.984269E-4 | 0.0034871958 | 8.752411 | 0.00309 | 0.0031956544 | 0.0039947373 | 0.010179929 | 2.5483353 | 0.00621 |
7.1 | 5.842926E-6 | 7.147619E-6 | 1.771464E-4 | 24.783976 | 1.7E-4 | 2.504087E-5 | 3.0632324E-5 | 7.206112E-4 | 23.524536 | 6.9E-4 | 3.0482994E-4 | 3.7289012E-4 | 0.003281805 | 8.800998 | 0.00291 | 0.0030441214 | 0.003740181 | 0.009618114 | 2.5715637 | 0.0059 |
7.2 | 4.77173E-6 | 5.3633134E-6 | 9.536283E-5 | 17.78058 | 9.0E-5 | 2.045011E-5 | 2.2985449E-5 | 4.9297465E-4 | 21.447248 | 4.7E-4 | 2.4895166E-4 | 2.7981595E-4 | 0.0021492927 | 7.6810937 | 0.00187 | 0.0024867293 | 0.002811542 | 0.0066706613 | 2.372599 | 0.00387 |
7.3 | 3.0494948E-6 | 2.7139301E-6 | 4.2713822E-5 | 15.738733 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3069198E-5 | 1.16310775E-5 | 1.4162957E-4 | 12.176822 | 1.3E-4 | 1.5910587E-4 | 1.4159933E-4 | 6.1153277E-4 | 4.3187547 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0015899199 | 0.0014252542 | 0.0023938715 | 1.6796104 | 9.7E-4 |
7.4 | 2.7263884E-6 | 2.3089221E-6 | 2.2308875E-5 | 9.66203 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1684469E-5 | 9.895344E-6 | 7.989465E-5 | 8.073964 | 7.0E-5 | 1.4224913E-4 | 1.2046925E-4 | 4.404307E-4 | 3.6559594 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0014215811 | 0.0012130747 | 0.0018622861 | 1.5351785 | 6.5E-4 |
7.5 | 2.6090431E-6 | 2.168798E-6 | 2.2168755E-5 | 10.221679 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1181565E-5 | 9.294816E-6 | 6.9294256E-5 | 7.4551516 | 6.0E-5 | 1.3612706E-4 | 1.13158596E-4 | 3.631303E-4 | 3.2090387 | 2.5E-4 | 0.001360437 | 0.0011397728 | 0.0016791574 | 1.4732386 | 5.4E-4 |
7.6 | 2.3008756E-6 | 1.8758036E-6 | 2.1875767E-5 | 11.662077 | 2.0E-5 | 9.860858E-6 | 8.039134E-6 | 6.803865E-5 | 8.46343 | 6.0E-5 | 1.20049335E-4 | 9.7872144E-5 | 3.078516E-4 | 3.1454465 | 2.1E-4 | 0.001199845 | 9.866336E-4 | 0.0014461798 | 1.4657718 | 4.6E-4 |
7.7 | 1.7184348E-6 | 1.3446994E-6 | 2.1344673E-5 | 15.873193 | 2.0E-5 | 7.3646997E-6 | 5.7629845E-6 | 3.5762812E-5 | 6.205606 | 3.0E-5 | 8.966153E-5 | 7.016212E-5 | 1.7015511E-4 | 2.4251704 | 1.0E-4 | 8.962536E-4 | 7.093491E-4 | 9.1920013E-4 | 1.2958361 | 2.1E-4 |
7.8 | 8.4612907E-7 | 8.4260944E-7 | 2.0842592E-5 | 24.73577 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6262625E-6 | 3.6111785E-6 | 3.361107E-5 | 9.3075075 | 3.0E-5 | 4.4148852E-5 | 4.3965232E-5 | 7.3963914E-5 | 1.6823274 | 3.0E-5 | 4.414008E-4 | 4.4503546E-4 | 5.150043E-4 | 1.1572208 | 7.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.716738E-7 | 3.777363E-7 | 3.777363E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1643157E-6 | 1.618869E-6 | 1.618869E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4175452E-5 | 1.9709563E-5 | 1.9709563E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4174548E-4 | 1.9882798E-4 | 2.08826E-4 | 1.0502847 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.1995428E-8 | 3.3953167E-8 | 3.3953167E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.426611E-8 | 1.4551357E-7 | 1.4551357E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1476893E-6 | 1.7716269E-6 | 1.7716269E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.14768345E-5 | 1.7920589E-5 | 1.7920589E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Panamint Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.399103E-5 | 3.3398083E-4 | 9.825559 | 3.0E-4 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4566787E-4 | 0.0011955149 | 8.207129 | 0.00105 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017720931 | 0.0067233033 | 3.79399 | 0.00496 | 0.015640736 | 0.017587688 | 0.028620178 | 1.6272849 | 0.01123 |
6.1 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.399103E-5 | 3.3398083E-4 | 9.825559 | 3.0E-4 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4566787E-4 | 0.0011955149 | 8.207129 | 0.00105 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017720931 | 0.0067233033 | 3.79399 | 0.00496 | 0.015640736 | 0.017587688 | 0.028620178 | 1.6272849 | 0.01123 |
6.2 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.399103E-5 | 3.3398083E-4 | 9.825559 | 3.0E-4 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4566787E-4 | 0.0011955149 | 8.207129 | 0.00105 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017720931 | 0.0067233033 | 3.79399 | 0.00496 | 0.015640736 | 0.017587688 | 0.028620178 | 1.6272849 | 0.01123 |
6.3 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.210881E-5 | 3.3209918E-4 | 10.342931 | 3.0E-4 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.3760208E-4 | 0.001177459 | 8.556985 | 0.00104 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016740458 | 0.006366178 | 3.8028696 | 0.0047 | 0.01479908 | 0.016622033 | 0.027016338 | 1.625333 | 0.01057 |
6.4 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.210881E-5 | 3.3209918E-4 | 10.342931 | 3.0E-4 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.3760208E-4 | 0.001177459 | 8.556985 | 0.00104 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016740458 | 0.006366178 | 3.8028696 | 0.0047 | 0.01479908 | 0.016622033 | 0.027016338 | 1.625333 | 0.01057 |
6.5 | 2.7468774E-5 | 3.083434E-5 | 3.208254E-4 | 10.404808 | 2.9E-4 | 1.1771801E-4 | 1.3214063E-4 | 0.0011420072 | 8.642362 | 0.00101 | 0.0014322745 | 0.0016076524 | 0.0061603216 | 3.8318741 | 0.00456 | 0.014230782 | 0.015967801 | 0.026113173 | 1.6353644 | 0.01031 |
6.6 | 2.6135967E-5 | 2.925816E-5 | 3.1924967E-4 | 10.911474 | 2.9E-4 | 1.1200648E-4 | 1.2538624E-4 | 0.0011052634 | 8.81487 | 9.8E-4 | 0.0013628257 | 0.001525535 | 0.0059887157 | 3.9256496 | 0.00447 | 0.013544982 | 0.01515817 | 0.025026286 | 1.6510097 | 0.01002 |
6.7 | 2.4498746E-5 | 2.7346963E-5 | 2.9733957E-4 | 10.872856 | 2.7E-4 | 1.04990395E-4 | 1.1719614E-4 | 0.0010670848 | 9.105119 | 9.5E-4 | 0.0012775084 | 0.0014259542 | 0.005719823 | 4.0112247 | 0.0043 | 0.012701893 | 0.014175379 | 0.023570288 | 1.6627624 | 0.00953 |
6.8 | 2.2244329E-5 | 2.4940411E-5 | 2.8493392E-4 | 11.424588 | 2.6E-4 | 9.532935E-5 | 1.0688322E-4 | 0.001016786 | 9.513055 | 9.1E-4 | 0.0011600169 | 0.0013005482 | 0.005275372 | 4.0562677 | 0.00398 | 0.011539802 | 0.0129363 | 0.021691555 | 1.6767975 | 0.00887 |
6.9 | 1.9902658E-5 | 2.2294855E-5 | 2.7228927E-4 | 12.2130995 | 2.5E-4 | 8.529431E-5 | 9.554598E-5 | 9.654629E-4 | 10.104693 | 8.7E-4 | 0.0010379635 | 0.00116267 | 0.004818415 | 4.1442666 | 0.00366 | 0.010331288 | 0.011572009 | 0.019420126 | 1.6781985 | 0.00794 |
7.0 | 1.8353881E-5 | 2.0570593E-5 | 2.5056585E-4 | 12.180779 | 2.3E-4 | 7.865712E-5 | 8.8156805E-5 | 9.080845E-4 | 10.300787 | 8.2E-4 | 9.5722964E-4 | 0.0010727984 | 0.0044891294 | 4.1845045 | 0.00342 | 0.009531168 | 0.010682069 | 0.017983235 | 1.6834974 | 0.00738 |
7.1 | 1.7667631E-5 | 1.9776882E-5 | 2.3977253E-4 | 12.123879 | 2.2E-4 | 7.571623E-5 | 8.475541E-5 | 8.7468844E-4 | 10.320148 | 7.9E-4 | 9.2145515E-4 | 0.0010314262 | 0.004288064 | 4.157412 | 0.00326 | 0.009176437 | 0.010272204 | 0.017309168 | 1.6850492 | 0.00711 |
7.2 | 1.6381597E-5 | 1.816224E-5 | 2.181586E-4 | 12.011657 | 2.0E-4 | 7.020495E-5 | 7.783595E-5 | 8.0777914E-4 | 10.37797 | 7.3E-4 | 8.544101E-4 | 9.4725797E-4 | 0.003864492 | 4.0796614 | 0.00292 | 0.008511325 | 0.009437825 | 0.0157378 | 1.6675241 | 0.00636 |
7.3 | 1.4520491E-5 | 1.5969432E-5 | 1.559672E-4 | 9.766608 | 1.4E-4 | 6.222919E-5 | 6.843872E-5 | 6.284004E-4 | 9.181942 | 5.6E-4 | 7.57377E-4 | 8.329391E-4 | 0.003200965 | 3.842976 | 0.00237 | 0.0075480095 | 0.008302181 | 0.013409425 | 1.6151689 | 0.00515 |
7.4 | 1.2852287E-5 | 1.414802E-5 | 1.5414604E-4 | 10.895238 | 1.4E-4 | 5.5080065E-5 | 6.063305E-5 | 6.006003E-4 | 9.905494 | 5.4E-4 | 6.7039346E-4 | 7.379732E-4 | 0.003006298 | 4.0737224 | 0.00227 | 0.0066837464 | 0.0073590586 | 0.012163441 | 1.6528528 | 0.00484 |
7.5 | 1.1637851E-5 | 1.2839225E-5 | 1.5283743E-4 | 11.903945 | 1.4E-4 | 4.987555E-5 | 5.502418E-5 | 5.9499446E-4 | 10.813328 | 5.4E-4 | 6.070656E-4 | 6.6972914E-4 | 0.002908229 | 4.342396 | 0.00224 | 0.006054099 | 0.006680922 | 0.011419054 | 1.7092034 | 0.00477 |
7.6 | 3.0068115E-6 | 3.333996E-6 | 7.3333766E-5 | 21.995756 | 7.0E-5 | 1.2886271E-5 | 1.42885165E-5 | 2.6428496E-4 | 18.496319 | 2.5E-4 | 1.5687906E-4 | 1.7395608E-4 | 0.0011937787 | 6.862529 | 0.00102 | 0.0015676835 | 0.0017404144 | 0.003756899 | 2.158623 | 0.00202 |
Garlock (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.292704E-5 | 2.0291824E-4 | 3.2246587 | 1.4E-4 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.6966195E-4 | 0.0010894409 | 4.0400243 | 8.2E-4 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0032786378 | 0.007305392 | 2.228179 | 0.00404 | 0.023254504 | 0.03234611 | 0.041200142 | 1.2737279 | 0.00915 |
6.1 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.292704E-5 | 2.0291824E-4 | 3.2246587 | 1.4E-4 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.6966195E-4 | 0.0010894409 | 4.0400243 | 8.2E-4 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0032786378 | 0.007305392 | 2.228179 | 0.00404 | 0.023254504 | 0.03234611 | 0.041200142 | 1.2737279 | 0.00915 |
6.2 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.452987E-5 | 1.3452642E-4 | 3.8959436 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4797694E-4 | 7.478882E-4 | 5.0540857 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0018001635 | 0.004664997 | 2.5914297 | 0.00287 | 0.01382215 | 0.017890798 | 0.024166476 | 1.3507769 | 0.00639 |
6.3 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.452987E-5 | 1.3452642E-4 | 3.8959436 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4797694E-4 | 7.478882E-4 | 5.0540857 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0018001635 | 0.004664997 | 2.5914297 | 0.00287 | 0.01382215 | 0.017890798 | 0.024166476 | 1.3507769 | 0.00639 |
6.4 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2358683E-5 | 1.3235545E-4 | 4.0902605 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3867287E-4 | 7.2859105E-4 | 5.2540274 | 5.9E-4 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016870641 | 0.0045122895 | 2.6746404 | 0.00283 | 0.013121112 | 0.01679086 | 0.02300474 | 1.3700752 | 0.00632 |
6.5 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2358683E-5 | 1.3235545E-4 | 4.0902605 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3867287E-4 | 7.2859105E-4 | 5.2540274 | 5.9E-4 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016870641 | 0.0045122895 | 2.6746404 | 0.00283 | 0.013121112 | 0.01679086 | 0.02300474 | 1.3700752 | 0.00632 |
6.6 | 2.246556E-5 | 2.8152706E-5 | 1.2814988E-4 | 4.551956 | 1.0E-4 | 9.627742E-5 | 1.2064901E-4 | 6.8058143E-4 | 5.641003 | 5.6E-4 | 0.0011715472 | 0.0014679355 | 0.004153987 | 2.8298156 | 0.00269 | 0.011653901 | 0.014631511 | 0.02056343 | 1.4054208 | 0.00602 |
6.7 | 2.2241198E-5 | 2.7822367E-5 | 1.2781959E-4 | 4.5941305 | 1.0E-4 | 9.531594E-5 | 1.192334E-4 | 6.6916784E-4 | 5.6122513 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0011598538 | 0.0014507235 | 0.00411685 | 2.837791 | 0.00267 | 0.011538187 | 0.014462579 | 0.020365948 | 1.4081824 | 0.00599 |
6.8 | 1.9528685E-5 | 2.391574E-5 | 1.2391334E-4 | 5.1812468 | 1.0E-4 | 8.369167E-5 | 1.02492115E-4 | 6.324378E-4 | 6.1705995 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0010184698 | 0.0012471469 | 0.0038139417 | 3.0581336 | 0.00257 | 0.010138147 | 0.012444732 | 0.0181133 | 1.4554993 | 0.00574 |
6.9 | 1.3318621E-5 | 1.5213872E-5 | 9.521266E-5 | 6.2582793 | 8.0E-5 | 5.7078556E-5 | 6.520071E-5 | 5.751675E-4 | 8.82149 | 5.1E-4 | 6.9470983E-4 | 7.9353526E-4 | 0.0031316783 | 3.9464893 | 0.00234 | 0.0069254204 | 0.0079478 | 0.012977505 | 1.6328424 | 0.00507 |
7.0 | 1.1760853E-5 | 1.3122204E-5 | 8.312129E-5 | 6.3343997 | 7.0E-5 | 5.0402683E-5 | 5.6236833E-5 | 5.562087E-4 | 9.89047 | 5.0E-4 | 6.134799E-4 | 6.844734E-4 | 0.0029529196 | 4.314148 | 0.00227 | 0.0061178906 | 0.006864236 | 0.01172067 | 1.7074981 | 0.00489 |
7.1 | 1.0064758E-5 | 1.0916765E-5 | 8.0916E-5 | 7.412086 | 7.0E-5 | 4.3133965E-5 | 4.6785317E-5 | 5.467619E-4 | 11.686614 | 5.0E-4 | 5.2502943E-4 | 5.6946586E-4 | 0.0027682132 | 4.861069 | 0.0022 | 0.005237907 | 0.0057202494 | 0.010403307 | 1.8186806 | 0.00471 |
7.2 | 9.768808E-6 | 1.0512538E-5 | 8.05118E-5 | 7.658645 | 7.0E-5 | 4.186565E-5 | 4.5052977E-5 | 5.4503046E-4 | 12.097546 | 5.0E-4 | 5.095951E-4 | 5.4838543E-4 | 0.0027171955 | 4.9549007 | 0.00217 | 0.0050842804 | 0.005510402 | 0.010104944 | 1.8337944 | 0.00462 |
7.3 | 9.344516E-6 | 9.957919E-6 | 6.995732E-5 | 7.025295 | 6.0E-5 | 4.004731E-5 | 4.267612E-5 | 4.7265776E-4 | 11.075462 | 4.3E-4 | 4.8746695E-4 | 5.1946135E-4 | 0.0024584536 | 4.732698 | 0.00194 | 0.0048639905 | 0.0052219406 | 0.009370165 | 1.7943836 | 0.00417 |
7.4 | 9.023491E-6 | 9.50382E-6 | 5.9503345E-5 | 6.2609925 | 5.0E-5 | 3.867153E-5 | 4.073004E-5 | 4.3071416E-4 | 10.574852 | 3.9E-4 | 4.7072413E-4 | 4.9577875E-4 | 0.002254906 | 4.5482106 | 0.00176 | 0.004697283 | 0.0049852864 | 0.008686741 | 1.7424759 | 0.00372 |
7.5 | 7.081253E-6 | 7.099307E-6 | 3.7099093E-5 | 5.2257347 | 3.0E-5 | 3.0347876E-5 | 3.042525E-5 | 2.0042008E-4 | 6.5872946 | 1.7E-4 | 3.6942272E-4 | 3.703652E-4 | 0.0013000207 | 3.5101051 | 9.3E-4 | 0.003688092 | 0.0037305476 | 0.0055836085 | 1.4967263 | 0.00186 |
7.6 | 6.116396E-6 | 5.970284E-6 | 2.5970165E-5 | 4.3499045 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6212863E-5 | 2.558668E-5 | 1.3558386E-4 | 5.2990017 | 1.1E-4 | 3.1909486E-4 | 3.1147356E-4 | 9.3128043E-4 | 2.9899182 | 6.2E-4 | 0.0031863707 | 0.0031416502 | 0.0042481627 | 1.3522075 | 0.00111 |
7.7 | 4.797145E-6 | 4.767629E-6 | 1.4767581E-5 | 3.0974686 | 1.0E-5 | 2.055903E-5 | 2.0432535E-5 | 8.043131E-5 | 3.936433 | 6.0E-5 | 2.5027743E-4 | 2.4873787E-4 | 6.686334E-4 | 2.6881046 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0024999576 | 0.0025148373 | 0.003153228 | 1.2538496 | 6.4E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4028885E-6 | 3.9877796E-6 | 3.9877796E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4583726E-5 | 1.7090373E-5 | 4.708986E-5 | 2.7553442 | 3.0E-5 | 1.775424E-4 | 2.080555E-4 | 4.580035E-4 | 2.2013526 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0017740062 | 0.002106214 | 0.0024953925 | 1.1847764 | 3.9E-4 |
7.9 | 2.5928412E-6 | 3.3803783E-6 | 3.3803783E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1112129E-5 | 1.4487255E-5 | 3.4486966E-5 | 2.3805037 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3528178E-4 | 1.7636812E-4 | 3.663346E-4 | 2.0771022 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0013519945 | 0.0017855 | 0.0020849642 | 1.1677202 | 3.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.3743648E-6 | 1.6770537E-6 | 1.6770537E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8901214E-6 | 7.1873533E-6 | 2.718721E-5 | 3.7826455 | 2.0E-5 | 7.1709874E-5 | 8.750254E-5 | 1.3749817E-4 | 1.571362 | 5.0E-5 | 7.1686733E-4 | 8.856799E-4 | 9.6560904E-4 | 1.0902461 | 8.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1550337E-7 | 3.1550337E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3521568E-6 | 1.1352143E-5 | 8.395582 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.64624E-5 | 2.6462236E-5 | 1.6074349 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6675155E-4 | 1.7674988E-4 | 1.0599594 | 1.0E-5 |
Ash Hill
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3196095E-5 | 1.8319239E-4 | 7.8975525 | 1.6E-4 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.94085E-5 | 6.6935184E-4 | 6.733346 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012097065 | 0.003736646 | 3.0888863 | 0.00253 | 0.011179381 | 0.0120392 | 0.01758166 | 1.4603678 | 0.00561 |
6.1 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3196095E-5 | 1.8319239E-4 | 7.8975525 | 1.6E-4 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.94085E-5 | 6.6935184E-4 | 6.733346 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012097065 | 0.003736646 | 3.0888863 | 0.00253 | 0.011179381 | 0.0120392 | 0.01758166 | 1.4603678 | 0.00561 |
6.2 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3196095E-5 | 1.8319239E-4 | 7.8975525 | 1.6E-4 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.94085E-5 | 6.6935184E-4 | 6.733346 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012097065 | 0.003736646 | 3.0888863 | 0.00253 | 0.011179381 | 0.0120392 | 0.01758166 | 1.4603678 | 0.00561 |
6.3 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0747653E-5 | 5.074722E-5 | 4.721703 | 4.0E-5 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.6060628E-5 | 2.2605233E-4 | 4.907713 | 1.8E-4 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.6065706E-4 | 0.0015401077 | 2.746969 | 9.8E-4 | 0.005217545 | 0.005593739 | 0.0076819924 | 1.3733197 | 0.0021 |
6.4 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0747653E-5 | 5.074722E-5 | 4.721703 | 4.0E-5 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.6060628E-5 | 2.2605233E-4 | 4.907713 | 1.8E-4 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.6065706E-4 | 0.0015401077 | 2.746969 | 9.8E-4 | 0.005217545 | 0.005593739 | 0.0076819924 | 1.3733197 | 0.0021 |
6.5 | 6.9617327E-6 | 7.4571262E-6 | 3.7456903E-5 | 5.0229673 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9835655E-5 | 3.195877E-5 | 1.5195494E-4 | 4.754718 | 1.2E-4 | 3.6318856E-4 | 3.8903722E-4 | 0.001008796 | 2.5930579 | 6.2E-4 | 0.0036259557 | 0.0038844163 | 0.005269017 | 1.3564501 | 0.00139 |
6.6 | 4.9919777E-6 | 5.3470408E-6 | 3.5346882E-5 | 6.61055 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1394015E-5 | 2.2915727E-5 | 1.2291344E-4 | 5.363715 | 1.0E-4 | 2.60441E-4 | 2.7896996E-4 | 7.188472E-4 | 2.5767908 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0026013597 | 0.0027868561 | 0.0037142644 | 1.3327794 | 9.3E-4 |
6.7 | 3.6630722E-6 | 3.924884E-6 | 2.3924806E-5 | 6.095672 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5698786E-5 | 1.6820855E-5 | 9.681951E-5 | 5.755921 | 8.0E-5 | 1.9111596E-4 | 2.047804E-4 | 5.04719E-4 | 2.464684 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0019095168 | 0.00204648 | 0.00269515 | 1.3169686 | 6.5E-4 |
6.8 | 2.5599613E-6 | 2.7451092E-6 | 1.2745082E-5 | 4.6428323 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0971216E-5 | 1.1764729E-5 | 7.176402E-5 | 6.0999303 | 6.0E-5 | 1.3356637E-4 | 1.432311E-4 | 3.631996E-4 | 2.5357592 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0013348613 | 0.001431873 | 0.0019011999 | 1.3277714 | 4.7E-4 |
6.9 | 1.7684905E-6 | 1.8969986E-6 | 1.8969986E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.579223E-6 | 8.129994E-6 | 5.8129586E-5 | 7.1500163 | 5.0E-5 | 9.2273134E-5 | 9.898267E-5 | 2.6896584E-4 | 2.7173023 | 1.7E-4 | 9.223483E-4 | 9.898267E-4 | 0.0013494705 | 1.36334 | 3.6E-4 |
Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.4580792E-5 | 1.9457315E-4 | 3.5648649 | 1.4E-4 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3389791E-4 | 7.837693E-4 | 3.3509033 | 5.5E-4 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028441674 | 0.005197455 | 1.8274083 | 0.00236 | 0.023260195 | 0.028098991 | 0.033055685 | 1.1764011 | 0.0051 |
6.1 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.4580792E-5 | 1.9457315E-4 | 3.5648649 | 1.4E-4 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3389791E-4 | 7.837693E-4 | 3.3509033 | 5.5E-4 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028441674 | 0.005197455 | 1.8274083 | 0.00236 | 0.023260195 | 0.028098991 | 0.033055685 | 1.1764011 | 0.0051 |
6.2 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.7072488E-5 | 1.870659E-4 | 3.9739964 | 1.4E-4 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.017245E-4 | 7.516135E-4 | 3.725941 | 5.5E-4 | 0.002051862 | 0.002453367 | 0.0047976016 | 1.9555173 | 0.00235 | 0.020330196 | 0.024279535 | 0.029236194 | 1.2041497 | 0.00508 |
6.3 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.7072488E-5 | 1.870659E-4 | 3.9739964 | 1.4E-4 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.017245E-4 | 7.516135E-4 | 3.725941 | 5.5E-4 | 0.002051862 | 0.002453367 | 0.0047976016 | 1.9555173 | 0.00235 | 0.020330196 | 0.024279535 | 0.029236194 | 1.2041497 | 0.00508 |
6.4 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.79586E-5 | 1.7795329E-4 | 4.6880884 | 1.4E-4 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6266998E-4 | 7.125805E-4 | 4.380529 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0019787762 | 0.0043041655 | 2.1751654 | 0.00233 | 0.016718714 | 0.019621268 | 0.024562376 | 1.2518241 | 0.00504 |
6.5 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.79586E-5 | 1.7795329E-4 | 4.6880884 | 1.4E-4 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6266998E-4 | 7.125805E-4 | 4.380529 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0019787762 | 0.0043041655 | 2.1751654 | 0.00233 | 0.016718714 | 0.019621268 | 0.024562376 | 1.2518241 | 0.00504 |
6.6 | 2.9305844E-5 | 3.418855E-5 | 1.7418376E-4 | 5.094798 | 1.4E-4 | 1.2559042E-4 | 1.4651449E-4 | 6.964339E-4 | 4.753345 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0015279909 | 0.0017824162 | 0.004088299 | 2.2936835 | 0.00231 | 0.015175272 | 0.017690033 | 0.022611406 | 1.2782003 | 0.00501 |
6.7 | 2.7826512E-5 | 3.235054E-5 | 1.7234602E-4 | 5.327454 | 1.4E-4 | 1.19251024E-4 | 1.3863815E-4 | 6.885619E-4 | 4.9666123 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0014509142 | 0.0016866728 | 0.0039927764 | 2.3672502 | 0.00231 | 0.014414776 | 0.016747322 | 0.021653753 | 1.2929682 | 0.00499 |
6.8 | 2.3389874E-5 | 2.6871783E-5 | 1.6686802E-4 | 6.209786 | 1.4E-4 | 1.0023846E-4 | 1.1515997E-4 | 6.650966E-4 | 5.7754154 | 5.5E-4 | 0.00121972 | 0.0014012181 | 0.0036979953 | 2.639129 | 0.0023 | 0.01213047 | 0.013930965 | 0.018812006 | 1.3503735 | 0.00495 |
6.9 | 2.069209E-5 | 2.3574421E-5 | 1.6357112E-4 | 6.9385 | 1.4E-4 | 8.867737E-5 | 1.01029524E-4 | 6.5097393E-4 | 6.4434032 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0010791123 | 0.0012293765 | 0.003526549 | 2.868567 | 0.0023 | 0.010738871 | 0.012231709 | 0.017121162 | 1.3997359 | 0.00495 |
7.0 | 1.7462342E-5 | 1.9637135E-5 | 1.5963438E-4 | 8.1292095 | 1.4E-4 | 7.483646E-5 | 8.415656E-5 | 6.241111E-4 | 7.416072 | 5.4E-4 | 9.1075303E-4 | 0.0010241471 | 0.003311802 | 3.2337167 | 0.00229 | 0.009070295 | 0.010198831 | 0.015068652 | 1.4774883 | 0.00492 |
7.1 | 1.4807709E-5 | 1.644474E-5 | 1.5644243E-4 | 9.513222 | 1.4E-4 | 6.3460066E-5 | 7.047564E-5 | 6.104376E-4 | 8.661682 | 5.4E-4 | 7.723524E-4 | 8.577196E-4 | 0.0031257726 | 3.6442826 | 0.00227 | 0.007696735 | 0.008548004 | 0.013396204 | 1.5671734 | 0.00489 |
7.2 | 1.4180048E-5 | 1.5701198E-5 | 1.55699E-4 | 9.916377 | 1.4E-4 | 6.077022E-5 | 6.7289206E-5 | 6.072529E-4 | 9.024522 | 5.4E-4 | 7.396263E-4 | 8.189544E-4 | 0.0030870955 | 3.7695572 | 0.00227 | 0.0073716943 | 0.008163241 | 0.013013323 | 1.5941368 | 0.00489 |
7.3 | 1.3730402E-5 | 1.5174853E-5 | 1.5517273E-4 | 10.22565 | 1.4E-4 | 5.8843252E-5 | 6.503355E-5 | 6.0499844E-4 | 9.302866 | 5.4E-4 | 7.161811E-4 | 7.9151196E-4 | 0.0030597153 | 3.865659 | 0.00227 | 0.007138774 | 0.007890787 | 0.0127322795 | 1.6135627 | 0.00488 |
7.4 | 1.2810095E-5 | 1.411187E-5 | 1.5410989E-4 | 10.920587 | 1.4E-4 | 5.489925E-5 | 6.047813E-5 | 6.004455E-4 | 9.928308 | 5.4E-4 | 6.681934E-4 | 7.3608826E-4 | 0.0030044173 | 4.081599 | 0.00227 | 0.006661878 | 0.007340323 | 0.012124943 | 1.6518269 | 0.00482 |
7.5 | 1.1595659E-5 | 1.2803074E-5 | 1.5280128E-4 | 11.934733 | 1.4E-4 | 4.9694736E-5 | 5.4869255E-5 | 5.948396E-4 | 10.841037 | 5.4E-4 | 6.0486543E-4 | 6.678441E-4 | 0.002906348 | 4.351836 | 0.00224 | 0.006032217 | 0.006662174 | 0.011380529 | 1.7082305 | 0.00475 |
7.6 | 2.997694E-6 | 3.3261188E-6 | 7.3325886E-5 | 22.04548 | 7.0E-5 | 1.28471975E-5 | 1.4254758E-5 | 2.642512E-4 | 18.537754 | 2.5E-4 | 1.564034E-4 | 1.7354514E-4 | 0.0011933681 | 6.8764133 | 0.00102 | 0.0015629337 | 0.0017363235 | 0.0037428334 | 2.1556084 | 0.00201 |
Blackwater
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.309824E-5 | 8.309659E-5 | 2.5106044 | 5.0E-5 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4184265E-4 | 3.818086E-4 | 2.6917756 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017257031 | 0.0032929939 | 1.9082041 | 0.00157 | 0.015895851 | 0.017136863 | 0.021235403 | 1.2391651 | 0.00417 |
6.1 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.309824E-5 | 8.309659E-5 | 2.5106044 | 5.0E-5 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4184265E-4 | 3.818086E-4 | 2.6917756 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017257031 | 0.0032929939 | 1.9082041 | 0.00157 | 0.015895851 | 0.017136863 | 0.021235403 | 1.2391651 | 0.00417 |
6.2 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.25459555E-5 | 5.2545452E-5 | 4.1882386 | 4.0E-5 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.376733E-5 | 1.6376142E-4 | 3.045742 | 1.1E-4 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.544302E-4 | 0.0012540376 | 1.916228 | 6.0E-4 | 0.006090366 | 0.0065260017 | 0.008175168 | 1.2527071 | 0.00166 |
6.3 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.25459555E-5 | 5.2545452E-5 | 4.1882386 | 4.0E-5 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.376733E-5 | 1.6376142E-4 | 3.045742 | 1.1E-4 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.544302E-4 | 0.0012540376 | 1.916228 | 6.0E-4 | 0.006090366 | 0.0065260017 | 0.008175168 | 1.2527071 | 0.00166 |
6.4 | 7.929244E-6 | 8.480645E-6 | 4.8480306E-5 | 5.7165823 | 4.0E-5 | 3.3982033E-5 | 3.634514E-5 | 1.2634187E-4 | 3.4761696 | 9.0E-5 | 4.136527E-4 | 4.4241626E-4 | 8.422393E-4 | 1.9037259 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0041288356 | 0.0044157603 | 0.0055905497 | 1.2660446 | 0.00118 |
6.5 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.2863905E-6 | 2.6286265E-5 | 4.181456 | 2.0E-5 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.694141E-5 | 8.693979E-5 | 3.226995 | 6.0E-5 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.2796484E-4 | 6.378632E-4 | 1.9449133 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032750617 | 0.004211983 | 1.2860775 | 9.4E-4 |
6.6 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.2863905E-6 | 2.6286265E-5 | 4.181456 | 2.0E-5 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.694141E-5 | 8.693979E-5 | 3.226995 | 6.0E-5 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.2796484E-4 | 6.378632E-4 | 1.9449133 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032750617 | 0.004211983 | 1.2860775 | 9.4E-4 |
6.7 | 3.0715053E-6 | 3.2816745E-6 | 1.3281641E-5 | 4.047215 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3163528E-5 | 1.406425E-5 | 3.4063967E-5 | 2.4220252 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6025416E-4 | 1.7121994E-4 | 3.611874E-4 | 2.1094937 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0016013865 | 0.0017109949 | 0.0021801908 | 1.2742239 | 4.7E-4 |
6.8 | 2.2722281E-6 | 2.428909E-6 | 2.428909E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738084E-6 | 1.0409573E-5 | 2.040947E-5 | 1.9606441 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1855473E-4 | 1.2673011E-4 | 2.767111E-4 | 2.1834676 | 1.5E-4 | 0.001184915 | 0.0012666686 | 0.0016162252 | 1.2759653 | 3.5E-4 |
6.9 | 9.952399E-7 | 1.0654186E-6 | 1.0654186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.265307E-6 | 4.5660745E-6 | 4.5660745E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1928873E-5 | 5.5591052E-5 | 1.1558772E-4 | 2.0792503 | 6.0E-5 | 5.191674E-4 | 5.558221E-4 | 6.8574987E-4 | 1.2337577 | 1.3E-4 |
7.0 | 4.7385504E-7 | 5.0758945E-7 | 5.0758945E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0308057E-6 | 2.1753833E-6 | 2.1753833E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4724779E-5 | 2.6485293E-5 | 3.6485028E-5 | 1.377558 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4722028E-4 | 2.6485292E-4 | 3.0484234E-4 | 1.1509873 | 4.0E-5 |
Garlock (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.5181727E-5 | 2.5231666E-5 | 1.152294E-4 | 4.5668564 | 9.0E-5 | 1.0791722E-4 | 1.0813125E-4 | 4.4809448E-4 | 4.1439867 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0013131002 | 0.0013157063 | 0.0028936276 | 2.1992958 | 0.00158 | 0.013053683 | 0.013160085 | 0.01639692 | 1.2459586 | 0.00328 |
6.1 | 2.5077732E-5 | 2.5132702E-5 | 1.1513044E-4 | 4.5809016 | 9.0E-5 | 1.0747157E-4 | 1.0770715E-4 | 4.4767052E-4 | 4.156368 | 3.4E-4 | 0.001307681 | 0.0013105492 | 0.0028884786 | 2.2040215 | 0.00158 | 0.013000126 | 0.013109123 | 0.016346125 | 1.2469274 | 0.00328 |
6.2 | 2.494612E-5 | 2.501438E-5 | 1.1501213E-4 | 4.5978403 | 9.0E-5 | 1.0690756E-4 | 1.07200096E-4 | 4.4716365E-4 | 4.171299 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0013008224 | 0.0013043832 | 0.0028823223 | 2.2097206 | 0.00158 | 0.012932341 | 0.013048189 | 0.016275521 | 1.2473395 | 0.00327 |
6.3 | 2.4733758E-5 | 2.4833727E-5 | 1.1483149E-4 | 4.6240134 | 9.0E-5 | 1.0599751E-4 | 1.06425934E-4 | 4.4638975E-4 | 4.19437 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0012897556 | 0.001294969 | 0.002872923 | 2.2185264 | 0.00158 | 0.012822957 | 0.012955149 | 0.016182786 | 1.2491393 | 0.00327 |
6.4 | 2.3237335E-5 | 2.3212831E-5 | 1.1321074E-4 | 4.8770757 | 9.0E-5 | 9.958477E-5 | 9.947979E-5 | 4.3944595E-4 | 4.4174395 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0012117702 | 0.0012104963 | 0.0027785958 | 2.2954187 | 0.00157 | 0.012051838 | 0.012119907 | 0.015330518 | 1.2649039 | 0.00325 |
6.5 | 2.2732203E-5 | 2.3027189E-5 | 1.1302512E-4 | 4.9083333 | 9.0E-5 | 9.742009E-5 | 9.8684235E-5 | 4.386507E-4 | 4.4449925 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0011854442 | 0.0012008211 | 0.0027689359 | 2.3058686 | 0.00157 | 0.011791403 | 0.012024207 | 0.015235128 | 1.2670381 | 0.00325 |
6.6 | 2.1319436E-5 | 2.180725E-5 | 1.1180529E-4 | 5.126978 | 9.0E-5 | 9.136581E-5 | 9.34563E-5 | 4.3342452E-4 | 4.637724 | 3.4E-4 | 0.001111811 | 0.0011372389 | 0.0027054534 | 2.3789668 | 0.00157 | 0.011062649 | 0.011395049 | 0.014608015 | 1.2819616 | 0.00325 |
6.7 | 1.970802E-5 | 2.0426798E-5 | 1.1042496E-4 | 5.4058867 | 9.0E-5 | 8.446021E-5 | 8.7540495E-5 | 4.2751073E-4 | 4.883577 | 3.4E-4 | 0.001027818 | 0.0010652861 | 0.0026336135 | 2.4722126 | 0.00157 | 0.010230771 | 0.010682621 | 0.013897902 | 1.3009825 | 0.00325 |
6.8 | 1.8744462E-5 | 1.9934294E-5 | 1.099325E-4 | 5.514743 | 9.0E-5 | 8.033094E-5 | 8.54299E-5 | 4.2540085E-4 | 4.9795313 | 3.4E-4 | 9.775903E-4 | 0.0010396144 | 0.0026079821 | 2.5086052 | 0.00157 | 0.009733009 | 0.010428327 | 0.013644435 | 1.3084011 | 0.00325 |
6.9 | 1.7559682E-5 | 1.8986451E-5 | 1.0898474E-4 | 5.7401323 | 9.0E-5 | 7.5253614E-5 | 8.136797E-5 | 4.113411E-4 | 5.05532 | 3.3E-4 | 9.158276E-4 | 9.902063E-4 | 0.0025486615 | 2.5738692 | 0.00156 | 0.0091206245 | 0.009938788 | 0.013136685 | 1.3217593 | 0.00323 |
7.0 | 1.6794445E-5 | 1.8249037E-5 | 1.082474E-4 | 5.931677 | 9.0E-5 | 7.197421E-5 | 7.820782E-5 | 4.08182E-4 | 5.219197 | 3.3E-4 | 8.759337E-4 | 9.517657E-4 | 0.0025102808 | 2.6374989 | 0.00156 | 0.008724891 | 0.009557562 | 0.012746787 | 1.333686 | 0.00322 |
7.1 | 1.6337795E-5 | 1.7749666E-5 | 1.0774807E-4 | 6.070428 | 9.0E-5 | 7.0017246E-5 | 7.606779E-5 | 4.0604267E-4 | 5.337906 | 3.3E-4 | 8.521265E-4 | 9.257331E-4 | 0.002484289 | 2.683591 | 0.00156 | 0.008488664 | 0.009299264 | 0.012469507 | 1.3409133 | 0.0032 |
7.2 | 1.5780008E-5 | 1.7198181E-5 | 1.0719663E-4 | 6.2330217 | 9.0E-5 | 6.762685E-5 | 7.370441E-5 | 4.0368008E-4 | 5.477014 | 3.3E-4 | 8.2304585E-4 | 8.969831E-4 | 0.0024555838 | 2.7376032 | 0.00156 | 0.008200042 | 0.0090140365 | 0.012185192 | 1.3518019 | 0.0032 |
7.3 | 1.5058865E-5 | 1.6651024E-5 | 1.06649524E-4 | 6.404983 | 9.0E-5 | 6.45364E-5 | 7.135959E-5 | 4.0133603E-4 | 5.6241364 | 3.3E-4 | 7.854473E-4 | 8.6845784E-4 | 0.0024171118 | 2.783223 | 0.00155 | 0.00782677 | 0.008730621 | 0.011882857 | 1.3610553 | 0.00318 |
7.4 | 1.4887923E-5 | 1.6486894E-5 | 9.648557E-5 | 5.852259 | 8.0E-5 | 6.380382E-5 | 7.065621E-5 | 3.906336E-4 | 5.528652 | 3.2E-4 | 7.7653467E-4 | 8.59901E-4 | 0.0023885854 | 2.7777445 | 0.00153 | 0.0077382675 | 0.00864541 | 0.011728522 | 1.3566185 | 0.00311 |
7.5 | 1.4509299E-5 | 1.6078695E-5 | 9.607741E-5 | 5.975448 | 8.0E-5 | 6.218123E-5 | 6.8906884E-5 | 3.6888622E-4 | 5.3534017 | 3.0E-4 | 7.567935E-4 | 8.3861954E-4 | 0.0022874034 | 2.727582 | 0.00145 | 0.0075422134 | 0.008433594 | 0.011338884 | 1.34449 | 0.00293 |
7.6 | 1.2756717E-5 | 1.4081476E-5 | 8.408049E-5 | 5.9709997 | 7.0E-5 | 5.4670498E-5 | 6.0347793E-5 | 3.003333E-4 | 4.9767075 | 2.4E-4 | 6.6541E-4 | 7.344874E-4 | 0.0017737235 | 2.4149137 | 0.00104 | 0.006634211 | 0.007397861 | 0.0093433615 | 1.2629814 | 0.00196 |
7.7 | 1.0328985E-5 | 1.14892155E-5 | 6.1488645E-5 | 5.351857 | 5.0E-5 | 4.4266326E-5 | 4.923857E-5 | 1.7923217E-4 | 3.6400766 | 1.3E-4 | 5.388092E-4 | 5.993151E-4 | 0.0012689135 | 2.1172729 | 6.7E-4 | 0.0053750467 | 0.0060534477 | 0.007196486 | 1.1888244 | 0.00115 |
7.8 | 7.0306583E-6 | 8.922824E-6 | 4.8922466E-5 | 5.482846 | 4.0E-5 | 3.0131043E-5 | 3.8240116E-5 | 1.382363E-4 | 3.614955 | 1.0E-4 | 3.667837E-4 | 4.6547412E-4 | 8.9527393E-4 | 1.9233593 | 4.3E-4 | 0.003661789 | 0.004707369 | 0.005414027 | 1.1501174 | 7.1E-4 |
7.9 | 4.060633E-6 | 5.4793736E-6 | 2.5479265E-5 | 4.650032 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7402595E-5 | 2.348282E-5 | 8.348141E-5 | 3.5549994 | 6.0E-5 | 2.11856E-4 | 2.858659E-4 | 5.6578586E-4 | 1.9792001 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0021165414 | 0.002891497 | 0.0033302247 | 1.1517303 | 4.4E-4 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.081991E-6 | 1.208197E-5 | 5.803085 | 1.0E-5 | 7.169782E-6 | 8.922788E-6 | 3.892252E-5 | 4.362148 | 3.0E-5 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.0862956E-4 | 1.7862195E-4 | 1.6443218 | 7.0E-5 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.001099239 | 0.001199129 | 1.090872 | 1.0E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1550337E-7 | 3.1550337E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3521568E-6 | 1.1352143E-5 | 8.395582 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.64624E-5 | 2.6462236E-5 | 1.6074349 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6675155E-4 | 1.7674988E-4 | 1.0599594 | 1.0E-5 |
McLean Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7360222E-5 | 1.8502758E-5 | 4.8502203E-5 | 2.6213498 | 3.0E-5 | 7.439883E-5 | 7.92954E-5 | 1.8928669E-4 | 2.3871078 | 1.1E-4 | 9.0542925E-4 | 9.6504256E-4 | 0.0019740679 | 2.0455759 | 0.00101 | 0.009017491 | 0.00961336 | 0.012396347 | 1.2894915 | 0.00281 |
6.1 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.592714E-6 | 9.592714E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.1111034E-5 | 8.110939E-5 | 1.9729347 | 4.0E-5 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.004208E-4 | 9.202106E-4 | 1.8388736 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0047176396 | 0.0049938224 | 0.0064365813 | 1.2889087 | 0.00145 |
6.2 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.592714E-6 | 9.592714E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.1111034E-5 | 8.110939E-5 | 1.9729347 | 4.0E-5 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.004208E-4 | 9.202106E-4 | 1.8388736 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0047176396 | 0.0049938224 | 0.0064365813 | 1.2889087 | 0.00145 |
6.3 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.668112E-6 | 7.668112E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.2862965E-5 | 6.2861975E-5 | 1.9128518 | 3.0E-5 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0004024E-4 | 7.2990824E-4 | 1.824587 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0037797375 | 0.003993906 | 0.005129353 | 1.2842948 | 0.00114 |
6.4 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.668112E-6 | 7.668112E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.2862965E-5 | 6.2861975E-5 | 1.9128518 | 3.0E-5 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0004024E-4 | 7.2990824E-4 | 1.824587 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0037797375 | 0.003993906 | 0.005129353 | 1.2842948 | 0.00114 |
6.5 | 6.06582E-6 | 6.4042088E-6 | 6.4042088E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5996113E-5 | 2.7446356E-5 | 3.7446083E-5 | 1.3643371 | 1.0E-5 | 3.164567E-4 | 3.3411465E-4 | 6.0402445E-4 | 1.8078358 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0031600643 | 0.0033367618 | 0.004303525 | 1.289731 | 9.7E-4 |
6.6 | 5.598744E-6 | 5.910568E-6 | 5.910568E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3994397E-5 | 2.5330795E-5 | 3.533054E-5 | 1.3947664 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9209262E-4 | 3.0836518E-4 | 5.5828807E-4 | 1.810477 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0029170897 | 0.003080002 | 0.0039971685 | 1.2977811 | 9.2E-4 |
6.7 | 5.246996E-6 | 5.5394485E-6 | 5.5394485E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2486933E-5 | 2.3740315E-5 | 3.3740078E-5 | 1.4212145 | 1.0E-5 | 2.73744E-4 | 2.8900633E-4 | 5.28937E-4 | 1.8301916 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0027340704 | 0.0028869289 | 0.0037643884 | 1.3039422 | 8.8E-4 |
6.8 | 4.02324E-6 | 4.247124E-6 | 4.247124E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7242342E-5 | 1.8201867E-5 | 2.8201684E-5 | 1.5493842 | 1.0E-5 | 2.099053E-4 | 2.2159114E-4 | 4.1154903E-4 | 1.857245 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0020970714 | 0.0022142862 | 0.002872825 | 1.2974044 | 6.6E-4 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.140223E-7 | 7.140223E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0600938E-6 | 3.0600938E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.7256323E-5 | 4.725595E-5 | 1.2684008 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7253203E-4 | 4.9248734E-4 | 1.3219999 | 1.2E-4 |
Gravel Hills-Harper Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.146839E-5 | 7.146713E-5 | 2.271077 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3485878E-4 | 3.2483315E-4 | 2.4086912 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0015995599 | 0.0016408861 | 0.0026891632 | 1.6388482 | 0.00105 | 0.015880952 | 0.016309276 | 0.01867997 | 1.1453587 | 0.00241 |
6.1 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.146839E-5 | 7.146713E-5 | 2.271077 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3485878E-4 | 3.2483315E-4 | 2.4086912 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0015995599 | 0.0016408861 | 0.0026891632 | 1.6388482 | 0.00105 | 0.015880952 | 0.016309276 | 0.01867997 | 1.1453587 | 0.00241 |
6.2 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.3636492E-5 | 2.3636356E-5 | 1.7333164 | 1.0E-5 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.8440866E-5 | 9.843853E-5 | 1.6844125 | 4.0E-5 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.1129715E-4 | 0.0010310696 | 1.4495623 | 3.2E-4 | 0.007871548 | 0.0070914067 | 0.007796372 | 1.0994111 | 7.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.3636492E-5 | 2.3636356E-5 | 1.7333164 | 1.0E-5 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.8440866E-5 | 9.843853E-5 | 1.6844125 | 4.0E-5 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.1129715E-4 | 0.0010310696 | 1.4495623 | 3.2E-4 | 0.007871548 | 0.0070914067 | 0.007796372 | 1.0994111 | 7.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.2532521E-5 | 1.06906255E-5 | 1.06906255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.37097E-5 | 4.5816196E-5 | 5.5815737E-5 | 1.2182534 | 1.0E-5 | 6.537194E-4 | 5.5767526E-4 | 7.475693E-4 | 1.3405101 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0065179965 | 0.005563348 | 0.005990956 | 1.0768616 | 4.3E-4 |
6.5 | 1.1094058E-5 | 9.084424E-6 | 9.084424E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7545094E-5 | 3.8932685E-5 | 4.8932296E-5 | 1.2568436 | 1.0E-5 | 5.787078E-4 | 4.739064E-4 | 5.938495E-4 | 1.2530946 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0057720304 | 0.0047293655 | 0.0049980883 | 1.0568202 | 2.7E-4 |
6.6 | 9.688328E-6 | 7.532305E-6 | 7.532305E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1520743E-5 | 3.228092E-5 | 4.22806E-5 | 1.3097705 | 1.0E-5 | 5.053978E-4 | 3.929519E-4 | 4.629244E-4 | 1.1780689 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0050424994 | 0.0039228275 | 0.004062278 | 1.0355486 | 1.4E-4 |
6.7 | 8.974824E-6 | 6.7499527E-6 | 6.7499527E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8462964E-5 | 2.892806E-5 | 2.892806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6818596E-4 | 3.5214442E-4 | 3.9213034E-4 | 1.1135497 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004672008 | 0.0035160852 | 0.0036157335 | 1.0283407 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 7.4780046E-6 | 5.1165944E-6 | 5.1165944E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.20482E-5 | 2.1928086E-5 | 2.1928086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9011694E-4 | 2.6694313E-4 | 2.8693778E-4 | 1.0749023 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0038943281 | 0.002666363 | 0.0027062562 | 1.0149617 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.3409307E-6 | 3.907807E-6 | 3.907807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7175134E-5 | 1.6747641E-5 | 1.6747641E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3080703E-4 | 2.0388445E-4 | 2.2388037E-4 | 1.0980748 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033031502 | 0.002037072 | 0.0020769907 | 1.019596 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.1239335E-6 | 2.60607E-6 | 2.60607E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.195953E-5 | 1.1168825E-5 | 1.1168825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6732447E-4 | 1.3597221E-4 | 1.4597084E-4 | 1.0735345 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026700313 | 0.0013589154 | 0.0013888746 | 1.0220464 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.438899E-6 | 2.0986527E-6 | 2.0986527E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9023713E-5 | 8.994196E-6 | 8.994196E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.315891E-4 | 1.0949905E-4 | 1.0949905E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002313479 | 0.001094473 | 0.001114451 | 1.0182537 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.50367E-6 | 1.2617053E-6 | 1.2617053E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5015643E-5 | 5.4072975E-6 | 5.4072975E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8280011E-4 | 6.583194E-5 | 6.583194E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264982 | 6.5813266E-4 | 6.781195E-4 | 1.030369 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.561638E-6 | 7.119773E-7 | 7.119773E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0978401E-5 | 3.0513277E-6 | 3.0513277E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3365384E-4 | 3.71493E-5 | 3.71493E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013357349 | 3.7143292E-4 | 3.814292E-4 | 1.0269128 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0368864E-6 | 5.305326E-7 | 5.305326E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.729483E-6 | 2.2737092E-6 | 2.2737092E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06276275E-4 | 2.7682065E-5 | 2.7682065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010622547 | 2.7678668E-4 | 2.8678394E-4 | 1.0361189 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6033398E-7 | 3.6033398E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5442877E-6 | 1.5442877E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.8801546E-5 | 1.8801546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.88E-4 | 1.88E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.120132E-8 | 7.120132E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.051485E-7 | 3.051485E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.715178E-6 | 3.715178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.7151316E-5 | 3.7151316E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Goldstone Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.037987E-5 | 7.037866E-5 | 2.3166213 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3019405E-4 | 2.801745E-4 | 2.1519763 | 1.5E-4 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015841564 | 0.002303016 | 1.4537805 | 7.2E-4 | 0.013842222 | 0.015748141 | 0.017667433 | 1.1218741 | 0.00195 |
6.1 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.037987E-5 | 7.037866E-5 | 2.3166213 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3019405E-4 | 2.801745E-4 | 2.1519763 | 1.5E-4 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015841564 | 0.002303016 | 1.4537805 | 7.2E-4 | 0.013842222 | 0.015748141 | 0.017667433 | 1.1218741 | 0.00195 |
6.2 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6098153E-5 | 2.6097992E-5 | 1.6211792 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.899082E-5 | 1.3898598E-4 | 2.0145578 | 7.0E-5 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.397381E-4 | 0.0011594695 | 1.3807511 | 3.2E-4 | 0.007380498 | 0.008375349 | 0.009347141 | 1.1160301 | 9.8E-4 |
6.3 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6098153E-5 | 2.6097992E-5 | 1.6211792 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.899082E-5 | 1.3898598E-4 | 2.0145578 | 7.0E-5 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.397381E-4 | 0.0011594695 | 1.3807511 | 3.2E-4 | 0.007380498 | 0.008375349 | 0.009347141 | 1.1160301 | 9.8E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.5010231E-5 | 2.501008E-5 | 1.6662023 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.432853E-5 | 1.3432403E-4 | 2.0880942 | 7.0E-5 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.8301644E-4 | 0.0010727893 | 1.3700726 | 2.9E-4 | 0.006884126 | 0.0078122034 | 0.008725016 | 1.1168444 | 9.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.5010231E-5 | 2.501008E-5 | 1.6662023 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.432853E-5 | 1.3432403E-4 | 2.0880942 | 7.0E-5 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.8301644E-4 | 0.0010727893 | 1.3700726 | 2.9E-4 | 0.006884126 | 0.0078122034 | 0.008725016 | 1.1168444 | 9.2E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1328278E-5 | 1.28566835E-5 | 2.2856555E-5 | 1.7777956 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8548856E-5 | 5.509945E-5 | 1.2509558E-4 | 2.2703602 | 7.0E-5 | 5.90922E-4 | 6.70725E-4 | 9.1056403E-4 | 1.3575817 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0058935313 | 0.006696398 | 0.0074811075 | 1.1171839 | 7.9E-4 |
6.7 | 8.651175E-6 | 9.825711E-6 | 1.9825613E-5 | 2.017728 | 1.0E-5 | 3.707594E-5 | 4.211002E-5 | 9.210791E-5 | 2.187316 | 5.0E-5 | 4.5130608E-4 | 5.1265943E-4 | 7.125569E-4 | 1.3899225 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0045039062 | 0.0051236483 | 0.0057305233 | 1.1184458 | 6.1E-4 |
6.8 | 1.0215377E-6 | 1.175543E-6 | 1.175543E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.378012E-6 | 5.0380327E-6 | 5.0380327E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3300988E-5 | 6.133643E-5 | 6.133643E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3288206E-4 | 6.132063E-4 | 6.431879E-4 | 1.0488932 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.9360774E-7 | 9.2839315E-7 | 9.2839315E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4011714E-6 | 3.978822E-6 | 3.978822E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1408475E-5 | 4.8441154E-5 | 4.8441154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.140076E-4 | 4.8431294E-4 | 4.943081E-4 | 1.0206378 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.4382757E-7 | 8.7478253E-7 | 8.7478253E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1878285E-6 | 3.749063E-6 | 3.749063E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8811122E-5 | 4.5643952E-5 | 4.5643952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8804344E-4 | 4.5635243E-4 | 4.6634785E-4 | 1.0219029 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.4709513E-7 | 7.7117284E-7 | 7.7117284E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.773262E-6 | 3.3050226E-6 | 3.3050226E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.376394E-5 | 4.0237966E-5 | 4.0237966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.375881E-4 | 4.0231275E-4 | 4.1230876E-4 | 1.0248463 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.356704E-7 | 7.5887795E-7 | 7.5887795E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7242988E-6 | 3.2523303E-6 | 3.2523303E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3167835E-5 | 3.959646E-5 | 3.959646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3162883E-4 | 3.959E-4 | 4.0589605E-4 | 1.0252489 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.7695723E-7 | 6.896967E-7 | 6.896967E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4726714E-6 | 2.95584E-6 | 2.95584E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0104358E-5 | 3.5986817E-5 | 3.5986817E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0100282E-4 | 3.5981563E-4 | 3.69812E-4 | 1.027782 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.209647E-7 | 6.1938573E-7 | 6.1938573E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.232704E-6 | 2.6545079E-6 | 2.6545079E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.718283E-5 | 3.231821E-5 | 3.231821E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7179506E-4 | 3.2314064E-4 | 3.2314064E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.512955E-7 | 5.349163E-7 | 5.349163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.934122E-6 | 2.2924967E-6 | 2.2924967E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3547682E-5 | 2.7910843E-5 | 2.7910843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3545188E-4 | 2.7907867E-4 | 2.7907867E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6040675E-7 | 2.6040675E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160287E-6 | 1.1160287E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587593E-5 | 1.3587593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3587043E-4 | 1.3587043E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
So Sierra Nevada
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1080168E-5 | 6.107961E-5 | 5.512517 | 5.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7485642E-5 | 1.8747899E-4 | 3.9481196 | 1.4E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7799707E-4 | 0.0014774769 | 2.5562012 | 9.0E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.005766207 | 0.0076850783 | 1.3327788 | 0.00193 |
6.1 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1080168E-5 | 6.107961E-5 | 5.512517 | 5.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7485642E-5 | 1.8747899E-4 | 3.9481196 | 1.4E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7799707E-4 | 0.0014774769 | 2.5562012 | 9.0E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.005766207 | 0.0076850783 | 1.3327788 | 0.00193 |
6.2 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1080168E-5 | 6.107961E-5 | 5.512517 | 5.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7485642E-5 | 1.8747899E-4 | 3.9481196 | 1.4E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7799707E-4 | 0.0014774769 | 2.5562012 | 9.0E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.005766207 | 0.0076850783 | 1.3327788 | 0.00193 |
6.3 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1080168E-5 | 6.107961E-5 | 5.512517 | 5.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7485642E-5 | 1.8747899E-4 | 3.9481196 | 1.4E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7799707E-4 | 0.0014774769 | 2.5562012 | 9.0E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.005766207 | 0.0076850783 | 1.3327788 | 0.00193 |
6.4 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1080168E-5 | 6.107961E-5 | 5.512517 | 5.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7485642E-5 | 1.8747899E-4 | 3.9481196 | 1.4E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7799707E-4 | 0.0014774769 | 2.5562012 | 9.0E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.005766207 | 0.0076850783 | 1.3327788 | 0.00193 |
6.5 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1080168E-5 | 6.107961E-5 | 5.512517 | 5.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7485642E-5 | 1.8747899E-4 | 3.9481196 | 1.4E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7799707E-4 | 0.0014774769 | 2.5562012 | 9.0E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.005766207 | 0.0076850783 | 1.3327788 | 0.00193 |
6.6 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.9359835E-6 | 3.6935777E-5 | 5.3252397 | 3.0E-5 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.9725321E-5 | 1.0972294E-4 | 3.6912282 | 8.0E-5 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.6184862E-4 | 9.016532E-4 | 2.4917967 | 5.4E-4 | 0.003951 | 0.003612886 | 0.004688984 | 1.29785 | 0.00108 |
6.7 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.9359835E-6 | 3.6935777E-5 | 5.3252397 | 3.0E-5 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.9725321E-5 | 1.0972294E-4 | 3.6912282 | 8.0E-5 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.6184862E-4 | 9.016532E-4 | 2.4917967 | 5.4E-4 | 0.003951 | 0.003612886 | 0.004688984 | 1.29785 | 0.00108 |
6.8 | 5.9026956E-6 | 5.1796715E-6 | 3.5179517E-5 | 6.7918434 | 3.0E-5 | 2.5297022E-5 | 2.2198408E-5 | 8.2197075E-5 | 3.7028365 | 6.0E-5 | 3.0794772E-4 | 2.702333E-4 | 6.601279E-4 | 2.4428074 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0030752132 | 0.002699163 | 0.0034371656 | 1.273419 | 7.4E-4 |
6.9 | 5.0118915E-6 | 4.252669E-6 | 4.252669E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1479358E-5 | 1.82256E-5 | 3.8225236E-5 | 2.0973375 | 2.0E-5 | 2.614798E-4 | 2.2187483E-4 | 5.218083E-4 | 2.3518138 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0026117235 | 0.0022166057 | 0.0028252534 | 1.2745856 | 6.1E-4 |
7.0 | 4.4924795E-6 | 3.7141426E-6 | 3.7141426E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.925334E-5 | 1.5917662E-5 | 2.5917501E-5 | 1.6282231 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3438422E-4 | 1.9378091E-4 | 4.5373052E-4 | 2.3414614 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0023413717 | 0.0019361824 | 0.0024551756 | 1.2680497 | 5.2E-4 |
7.1 | 3.9118436E-6 | 3.1121801E-6 | 3.1121801E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6764936E-5 | 1.333785E-5 | 2.3337716E-5 | 1.7497361 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0409399E-4 | 1.6237679E-4 | 3.9233945E-4 | 2.4162285 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0020390663 | 0.0016226376 | 0.0020319724 | 1.252265 | 4.1E-4 |
7.2 | 3.4200818E-6 | 2.605639E-6 | 2.605639E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4657411E-5 | 1.116698E-5 | 2.1166868E-5 | 1.8954873 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7843937E-4 | 1.3595E-4 | 2.9592824E-4 | 2.1767433 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0017829615 | 0.001358718 | 0.0016782832 | 1.2351961 | 3.2E-4 |
7.3 | 2.6593618E-6 | 1.8285782E-6 | 1.8285782E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13972155E-5 | 7.836742E-6 | 7.836742E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3875226E-4 | 9.5408446E-5 | 1.9539891E-4 | 2.0480251 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013866565 | 9.5370377E-4 | 0.0011435226 | 1.1990333 | 1.9E-4 |
7.4 | 2.2577992E-6 | 1.4365797E-6 | 1.4365797E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.676246E-6 | 6.156757E-6 | 6.156757E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1780193E-4 | 7.4956195E-5 | 1.5495019E-4 | 2.06721 | 8.0E-5 | 0.001177395 | 7.4933417E-4 | 8.9922175E-4 | 1.2000277 | 1.5E-4 |
7.5 | 1.489319E-6 | 7.3550143E-7 | 7.3550143E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3827797E-6 | 3.1521452E-6 | 3.1521452E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.770758E-5 | 3.8376696E-5 | 7.837516E-5 | 2.0422592 | 4.0E-5 | 7.7680405E-4 | 3.8370112E-4 | 4.636704E-4 | 1.2084156 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.6604177E-7 | 4.6604177E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.9973204E-6 | 1.9973204E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.4317105E-5 | 4.431662E-5 | 1.8224463 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.4314472E-4 | 2.9313256E-4 | 1.2055888 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5583744E-7 | 1.5583744E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.678746E-7 | 6.678746E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.131344E-6 | 8.131344E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.131058E-5 | 8.131058E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0369956E-5 | 6.0369148E-5 | 1.4953979 | 2.0E-5 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7300407E-4 | 2.7298677E-4 | 1.5779212 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018293047 | 0.002104547 | 0.0026434106 | 1.2560472 | 5.4E-4 | 0.018143194 | 0.020872094 | 0.022321202 | 1.0694281 | 0.00148 |
6.1 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0369956E-5 | 6.0369148E-5 | 1.4953979 | 2.0E-5 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7300407E-4 | 2.7298677E-4 | 1.5779212 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018293047 | 0.002104547 | 0.0026434106 | 1.2560472 | 5.4E-4 | 0.018143194 | 0.020872094 | 0.022321202 | 1.0694281 | 0.00148 |
6.2 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1062599E-5 | 2.1062599E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.026573E-5 | 1.2026302E-4 | 1.332322 | 3.0E-5 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010985333 | 0.0014081927 | 1.2818844 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010941118 | 0.011762037 | 1.0750306 | 8.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1062599E-5 | 2.1062599E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.026573E-5 | 1.2026302E-4 | 1.332322 | 3.0E-5 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010985333 | 0.0014081927 | 1.2818844 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010941118 | 0.011762037 | 1.0750306 | 8.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.712201E-5 | 1.9567804E-5 | 1.9567804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.337798E-5 | 8.385989E-5 | 1.1385738E-4 | 1.3577095 | 3.0E-5 | 8.930107E-4 | 0.0010206165 | 0.0013303001 | 1.3034279 | 3.1E-4 | 0.008894307 | 0.010169214 | 0.010980874 | 1.0798155 | 8.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.4744935E-5 | 1.683919E-5 | 1.683919E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3191044E-5 | 7.216649E-5 | 1.02164326E-4 | 1.4156754 | 3.0E-5 | 7.6907943E-4 | 8.7836635E-4 | 0.0011681117 | 1.3298683 | 2.9E-4 | 0.007664232 | 0.008758145 | 0.0095214015 | 1.0871482 | 7.7E-4 |
6.6 | 1.2017839E-5 | 1.3725899E-5 | 1.3725899E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.150401E-5 | 5.8824455E-5 | 6.8823865E-5 | 1.1699873 | 1.0E-5 | 6.268809E-4 | 7.16041E-4 | 9.358835E-4 | 1.307025 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0062511545 | 0.007146034 | 0.0077814604 | 1.0889201 | 6.4E-4 |
6.7 | 1.00956095E-5 | 1.1535042E-5 | 1.1535042E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.326618E-5 | 4.943545E-5 | 5.9434955E-5 | 1.202274 | 1.0E-5 | 5.266384E-4 | 6.0179736E-4 | 7.9168304E-4 | 1.3155309 | 1.9E-4 | 0.005253921 | 0.0060102064 | 0.0065767807 | 1.0942687 | 5.7E-4 |
San Andreas (Mojave S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7530735E-4 | 7.3526683E-4 | 1.0887884 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0028910926 | 0.00305063 | 1.0551825 | 1.6E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.034758188 | 0.03553038 | 1.0222162 | 8.0E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.286948 | 0.28794625 | 1.0034789 | 0.0014 |
6.1 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7530735E-4 | 7.3526683E-4 | 1.0887884 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0028910926 | 0.00305063 | 1.0551825 | 1.6E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.034758188 | 0.03553038 | 1.0222162 | 8.0E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.286948 | 0.28794625 | 1.0034789 | 0.0014 |
6.2 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7530735E-4 | 7.3526683E-4 | 1.0887884 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0028910926 | 0.00305063 | 1.0551825 | 1.6E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.034758188 | 0.03553038 | 1.0222162 | 8.0E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.286948 | 0.28794625 | 1.0034789 | 0.0014 |
6.3 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7530735E-4 | 7.3526683E-4 | 1.0887884 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0028910926 | 0.00305063 | 1.0551825 | 1.6E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.034758188 | 0.03553038 | 1.0222162 | 8.0E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.286948 | 0.28794625 | 1.0034789 | 0.0014 |
6.4 | 1.9872203E-4 | 4.324569E-4 | 4.9243093E-4 | 1.1386821 | 6.0E-5 | 8.5138786E-4 | 0.0018520985 | 0.0020018206 | 1.0808392 | 1.5E-4 | 0.010316478 | 0.022322297 | 0.023026224 | 1.0315348 | 7.2E-4 | 0.098504856 | 0.19735298 | 0.19838037 | 1.0052059 | 0.00128 |
6.5 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.8815612E-4 | 3.3814172E-4 | 1.173467 | 5.0E-5 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012343731 | 0.0013442374 | 1.089004 | 1.1E-4 | 0.006714592 | 0.014925763 | 0.0155365085 | 1.040919 | 6.2E-4 | 0.065152965 | 0.1383144 | 0.13927947 | 1.0069774 | 0.00112 |
6.6 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.8815612E-4 | 3.3814172E-4 | 1.173467 | 5.0E-5 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012343731 | 0.0013442374 | 1.089004 | 1.1E-4 | 0.006714592 | 0.014925763 | 0.0155365085 | 1.040919 | 6.2E-4 | 0.065152965 | 0.1383144 | 0.13927947 | 1.0069774 | 0.00112 |
6.7 | 1.08001186E-4 | 2.4395836E-4 | 2.9394618E-4 | 1.204903 | 5.0E-5 | 4.6278012E-4 | 0.0010451175 | 0.0011550025 | 1.1051413 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0056198016 | 0.01265037 | 0.013242779 | 1.0468295 | 6.0E-4 | 0.054797906 | 0.119443044 | 0.12040285 | 1.0080357 | 0.00109 |
6.8 | 1.0624356E-4 | 2.3913325E-4 | 2.891213E-4 | 1.2090385 | 5.0E-5 | 4.5525006E-4 | 0.0010244548 | 0.0011343422 | 1.1072642 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0055285925 | 0.012401683 | 0.012994242 | 1.0477805 | 6.0E-4 | 0.053930566 | 0.117387526 | 0.118349575 | 1.0081955 | 0.00109 |
6.9 | 1.0393785E-4 | 2.3283427E-4 | 2.828226E-4 | 1.214695 | 5.0E-5 | 4.4537184E-4 | 9.9748E-4 | 0.0011073702 | 1.1101679 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0054089287 | 0.012076946 | 0.0126697 | 1.0490814 | 6.0E-4 | 0.05279156 | 0.11468494 | 0.11564993 | 1.0084143 | 0.00109 |
7.0 | 1.0155622E-4 | 2.2652652E-4 | 2.765152E-4 | 1.2206748 | 5.0E-5 | 4.3516833E-4 | 9.7046717E-4 | 0.0010803604 | 1.1132375 | 1.1E-4 | 0.005285311 | 0.011751654 | 0.0123446025 | 1.0504566 | 6.0E-4 | 0.05161361 | 0.11194681 | 0.112914786 | 1.0086467 | 0.00109 |
7.1 | 9.885595E-5 | 2.1940762E-4 | 2.6939664E-4 | 1.2278364 | 5.0E-5 | 4.2359953E-4 | 9.3997986E-4 | 0.0010498764 | 1.1169138 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0051451353 | 0.011384403 | 0.011977572 | 1.0521036 | 6.0E-4 | 0.05027629 | 0.108826265 | 0.109762 | 1.0085984 | 0.00105 |
7.2 | 9.6411415E-5 | 2.1303448E-4 | 2.6302383E-4 | 1.2346538 | 5.0E-5 | 4.1312634E-4 | 9.126858E-4 | 0.0010225854 | 1.1204134 | 1.1E-4 | 0.005018219 | 0.011055517 | 0.011638994 | 1.052777 | 5.9E-4 | 0.049064007 | 0.106015794 | 0.10694554 | 1.0087699 | 0.00104 |
7.3 | 9.1180635E-5 | 1.9530152E-4 | 2.4529174E-4 | 1.2559644 | 5.0E-5 | 3.907156E-4 | 8.367381E-4 | 9.466461E-4 | 1.1313529 | 1.1E-4 | 0.004746591 | 0.010139815 | 0.010713934 | 1.0566202 | 5.8E-4 | 0.046464786 | 0.09819893 | 0.09911876 | 1.0093671 | 0.00102 |
7.4 | 8.887388E-5 | 1.8778027E-4 | 2.3777089E-4 | 1.2662187 | 5.0E-5 | 3.8083247E-4 | 8.0452446E-4 | 9.14436E-4 | 1.1366167 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0046267817 | 0.009751192 | 0.010315634 | 1.0578843 | 5.7E-4 | 0.045316286 | 0.09483605 | 0.09573216 | 1.0094491 | 9.9E-4 |
7.5 | 8.6750515E-5 | 1.8108972E-4 | 2.3108067E-4 | 1.2760562 | 5.0E-5 | 3.7173493E-4 | 7.758681E-4 | 8.857827E-4 | 1.1416667 | 1.1E-4 | 0.004516484 | 0.009405366 | 0.009970006 | 1.0600337 | 5.7E-4 | 0.04425787 | 0.091797724 | 0.092696846 | 1.0097946 | 9.9E-4 |
7.6 | 8.453092E-5 | 1.7495759E-4 | 2.2494885E-4 | 1.2857336 | 5.0E-5 | 3.6222505E-4 | 7.4960286E-4 | 8.595204E-4 | 1.1466343 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0044011753 | 0.0090883 | 0.009653119 | 1.062148 | 5.7E-4 | 0.04315024 | 0.08895678 | 0.089849606 | 1.0100366 | 9.8E-4 |
7.7 | 8.259102E-5 | 1.7017267E-4 | 2.2016416E-4 | 1.2937692 | 5.0E-5 | 3.539135E-4 | 7.291077E-4 | 8.3902746E-4 | 1.1507593 | 1.1E-4 | 0.004300386 | 0.0088408245 | 0.009405785 | 1.0639036 | 5.7E-4 | 0.042181134 | 0.086704805 | 0.08759983 | 1.0103227 | 9.8E-4 |
7.8 | 7.444844E-5 | 1.5334546E-4 | 1.9333932E-4 | 1.260809 | 4.0E-5 | 3.1902574E-4 | 6.5702933E-4 | 7.569636E-4 | 1.1521002 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0038772223 | 0.007970042 | 0.008426376 | 1.0572561 | 4.6E-4 | 0.03810269 | 0.07851722 | 0.07922677 | 1.0090368 | 7.7E-4 |
7.9 | 5.2586525E-5 | 1.0041116E-4 | 1.2040915E-4 | 1.199161 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2535135E-4 | 4.302626E-4 | 4.902368E-4 | 1.1393898 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0027402006 | 0.005225876 | 0.0055143605 | 1.0552031 | 2.9E-4 | 0.027066574 | 0.052360725 | 0.052806113 | 1.0085062 | 4.7E-4 |
8.0 | 3.379877E-5 | 5.4272685E-5 | 6.427214E-5 | 1.1842448 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4484383E-4 | 2.325765E-4 | 2.6256952E-4 | 1.1289598 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017620471 | 0.0028279438 | 0.002897746 | 1.024683 | 7.0E-5 | 0.017481409 | 0.028931934 | 0.02902904 | 1.0033563 | 1.0E-4 |
8.1 | 1.8668277E-5 | 1.9401874E-5 | 1.9401874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.000444E-5 | 8.314824E-5 | 9.3147406E-5 | 1.1202571 | 1.0E-5 | 9.736188E-4 | 0.0010118603 | 0.0010218502 | 1.0098728 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009693642 | 0.010847191 | 0.010857083 | 1.000912 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.541571E-6 | 5.49592E-6 | 5.49592E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.660622E-5 | 2.355373E-5 | 2.355373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.455896E-4 | 2.8672902E-4 | 2.8672902E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044469717 | 0.0032601287 | 0.0032601287 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.715289E-7 | 7.715289E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.3065483E-6 | 3.3065483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.02565E-5 | 4.02565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7517708E-4 | 4.7517708E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Mojave N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.946306E-4 | 2.5461894E-4 | 1.3082163 | 6.0E-5 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.3386473E-4 | 0.0010237063 | 1.2276647 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010105172 | 0.010916886 | 1.0803266 | 8.2E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.09858144 | 0.09986146 | 1.0129843 | 0.00142 |
6.1 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.946306E-4 | 2.5461894E-4 | 1.3082163 | 6.0E-5 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.3386473E-4 | 0.0010237063 | 1.2276647 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010105172 | 0.010916886 | 1.0803266 | 8.2E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.09858144 | 0.09986146 | 1.0129843 | 0.00142 |
6.2 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.946306E-4 | 2.5461894E-4 | 1.3082163 | 6.0E-5 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.3386473E-4 | 0.0010237063 | 1.2276647 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010105172 | 0.010916886 | 1.0803266 | 8.2E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.09858144 | 0.09986146 | 1.0129843 | 0.00142 |
6.3 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.946306E-4 | 2.5461894E-4 | 1.3082163 | 6.0E-5 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.3386473E-4 | 0.0010237063 | 1.2276647 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010105172 | 0.010916886 | 1.0803266 | 8.2E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.09858144 | 0.09986146 | 1.0129843 | 0.00142 |
6.4 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.946306E-4 | 2.5461894E-4 | 1.3082163 | 6.0E-5 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.3386473E-4 | 0.0010237063 | 1.2276647 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010105172 | 0.010916886 | 1.0803266 | 8.2E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.09858144 | 0.09986146 | 1.0129843 | 0.00142 |
6.5 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.943681E-4 | 2.5435642E-4 | 1.3086326 | 6.0E-5 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.327404E-4 | 0.0010225822 | 1.2279724 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0051326132 | 0.01009161 | 0.010903335 | 1.0804356 | 8.2E-4 | 0.050156746 | 0.09845895 | 0.09973914 | 1.0130023 | 0.00142 |
6.6 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.943681E-4 | 2.5435642E-4 | 1.3086326 | 6.0E-5 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.327404E-4 | 0.0010225822 | 1.2279724 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0051326132 | 0.01009161 | 0.010903335 | 1.0804356 | 8.2E-4 | 0.050156746 | 0.09845895 | 0.09973914 | 1.0130023 | 0.00142 |
6.7 | 9.8552715E-5 | 1.9426754E-4 | 2.542559E-4 | 1.3087925 | 6.0E-5 | 4.223004E-4 | 8.323097E-4 | 0.0010221516 | 1.2280904 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0051293927 | 0.010086415 | 0.010898145 | 1.0804775 | 8.2E-4 | 0.050125998 | 0.09841215 | 0.099692404 | 1.0130091 | 0.00142 |
6.8 | 9.8464974E-5 | 1.9411898E-4 | 2.5410735E-4 | 1.3090287 | 6.0E-5 | 4.219245E-4 | 8.3167345E-4 | 0.0010215155 | 1.228265 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0051248376 | 0.01007874 | 0.0108904755 | 1.0805393 | 8.2E-4 | 0.05008251 | 0.09834212 | 0.09962247 | 1.0130194 | 0.00142 |
6.9 | 9.825824E-5 | 1.9379874E-4 | 2.5378712E-4 | 1.3095396 | 6.0E-5 | 4.2103877E-4 | 8.303019E-4 | 0.0010201441 | 1.2286425 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0051141046 | 0.010062196 | 0.010873945 | 1.0806731 | 8.2E-4 | 0.049980022 | 0.09819103 | 0.0994716 | 1.0130416 | 0.00142 |
7.0 | 9.781462E-5 | 1.9311167E-4 | 2.531001E-4 | 1.310641 | 6.0E-5 | 4.1913814E-4 | 8.2735915E-4 | 0.0010172019 | 1.2294563 | 1.9E-4 | 0.005091073 | 0.010026699 | 0.010838477 | 1.0809617 | 8.2E-4 | 0.04976007 | 0.09786714 | 0.09914817 | 1.0130894 | 0.00142 |
7.1 | 9.7121134E-5 | 1.9212779E-4 | 2.5211627E-4 | 1.3122321 | 6.0E-5 | 4.1616702E-4 | 8.2314515E-4 | 0.0010129887 | 1.230632 | 1.9E-4 | 0.005055068 | 0.009975864 | 0.010787684 | 1.0813783 | 8.2E-4 | 0.04941613 | 0.097403206 | 0.09868489 | 1.0131586 | 0.00142 |
7.2 | 9.663819E-5 | 1.9143494E-4 | 2.5142345E-4 | 1.3133624 | 6.0E-5 | 4.1409794E-4 | 8.2017767E-4 | 0.0010100219 | 1.2314671 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0050299936 | 0.009940065 | 0.010751915 | 1.0816745 | 8.2E-4 | 0.049176537 | 0.09707613 | 0.09835829 | 1.0132077 | 0.00142 |
7.3 | 9.6277574E-5 | 1.9095921E-4 | 2.5094775E-4 | 1.3141432 | 6.0E-5 | 4.125529E-4 | 8.181401E-4 | 0.0010079846 | 1.2320441 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0050112694 | 0.009915484 | 0.010727353 | 1.0818789 | 8.2E-4 | 0.04899759 | 0.09684925 | 0.09813172 | 1.013242 | 0.00142 |
7.4 | 9.593308E-5 | 1.9035603E-4 | 2.503446E-4 | 1.3151388 | 6.0E-5 | 4.1107697E-4 | 8.155567E-4 | 0.0010054017 | 1.2327797 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0049933824 | 0.009884317 | 0.010696212 | 1.0821397 | 8.2E-4 | 0.04882661 | 0.09656742 | 0.0978503 | 1.0132848 | 0.00142 |
7.5 | 9.561707E-5 | 1.89816E-4 | 2.498046E-4 | 1.3160356 | 6.0E-5 | 4.0972308E-4 | 8.132437E-4 | 0.0010030891 | 1.2334423 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0049769743 | 0.009856411 | 0.010668329 | 1.0823746 | 8.2E-4 | 0.048669744 | 0.09631341 | 0.097596645 | 1.0133235 | 0.00142 |
7.6 | 9.418194E-5 | 1.863328E-4 | 2.4632164E-4 | 1.3219445 | 6.0E-5 | 4.0357444E-4 | 7.9832494E-4 | 9.881733E-4 | 1.2378083 | 1.9E-4 | 0.004902454 | 0.009676402 | 0.010488468 | 1.0839223 | 8.2E-4 | 0.047957025 | 0.09469541 | 0.09598094 | 1.0135754 | 0.00142 |
7.7 | 8.202141E-5 | 1.607717E-4 | 2.1076367E-4 | 1.31095 | 5.0E-5 | 3.51473E-4 | 6.888397E-4 | 8.187501E-4 | 1.1885931 | 1.3E-4 | 0.00427079 | 0.008354431 | 0.009058499 | 1.0842749 | 7.1E-4 | 0.04189639 | 0.08247876 | 0.08359814 | 1.0135717 | 0.00122 |
7.8 | 7.2859846E-5 | 1.4566717E-4 | 1.8566134E-4 | 1.2745585 | 4.0E-5 | 3.1221908E-4 | 6.2413857E-4 | 7.240761E-4 | 1.1601208 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003794643 | 0.0075724525 | 0.008038893 | 1.0615971 | 4.7E-4 | 0.037304975 | 0.07494933 | 0.07567087 | 1.009627 | 7.8E-4 |
7.9 | 5.3874453E-5 | 1.00807396E-4 | 1.2080538E-4 | 1.1983782 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3087008E-4 | 4.3196016E-4 | 4.9193425E-4 | 1.1388417 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0028072202 | 0.0052464446 | 0.005534923 | 1.0549855 | 2.9E-4 | 0.02772022 | 0.052587092 | 0.053032376 | 1.0084676 | 4.7E-4 |
8.0 | 3.468538E-5 | 5.4460845E-5 | 6.44603E-5 | 1.1836082 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4864317E-4 | 2.3338276E-4 | 2.6337575E-4 | 1.1285142 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0018082283 | 0.0028377345 | 0.0029075358 | 1.0245975 | 7.0E-5 | 0.017935853 | 0.029045708 | 0.029142804 | 1.0033429 | 1.0E-4 |
8.1 | 1.9152367E-5 | 1.9496312E-5 | 1.9496312E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.207899E-5 | 8.355296E-5 | 9.355212E-5 | 1.1196746 | 1.0E-5 | 9.988535E-4 | 0.0010167832 | 0.001026773 | 1.009825 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009943757 | 0.010905267 | 0.010915158 | 1.000907 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.510076E-6 | 5.510076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3614397E-5 | 2.3614397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8746744E-4 | 2.8746744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032680929 | 0.0032680929 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.715289E-7 | 7.715289E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.3065483E-6 | 3.3065483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.02565E-5 | 4.02565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7517708E-4 | 4.7517708E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Nelson Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0192522E-5 | 4.0192215E-5 | 3.9433043 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.3681564E-5 | 9.367938E-5 | 2.1445978 | 5.0E-5 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.317036E-4 | 9.2149625E-4 | 1.7331014 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0051593683 | 0.0053053424 | 0.0065188697 | 1.2287369 | 0.00122 |
6.1 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0192522E-5 | 4.0192215E-5 | 3.9433043 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.3681564E-5 | 9.367938E-5 | 2.1445978 | 5.0E-5 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.317036E-4 | 9.2149625E-4 | 1.7331014 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0051593683 | 0.0053053424 | 0.0065188697 | 1.2287369 | 0.00122 |
6.2 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.696444E-6 | 1.4696397E-5 | 3.1292605 | 1.0E-5 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0127469E-5 | 4.0127066E-5 | 1.9936469 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4502564E-4 | 3.749938E-4 | 1.5304267 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0023763329 | 0.002447681 | 0.0029664082 | 1.211926 | 5.2E-4 |
6.3 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.696444E-6 | 1.4696397E-5 | 3.1292605 | 1.0E-5 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0127469E-5 | 4.0127066E-5 | 1.9936469 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4502564E-4 | 3.749938E-4 | 1.5304267 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0023763329 | 0.002447681 | 0.0029664082 | 1.211926 | 5.2E-4 |
6.4 | 3.4025713E-6 | 3.5100002E-6 | 1.3509965E-5 | 3.8489926 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4582367E-5 | 1.5042776E-5 | 2.5042626E-5 | 1.664761 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7752586E-4 | 1.8313125E-4 | 2.931111E-4 | 1.6005521 | 1.1E-4 | 0.001773841 | 0.0018298863 | 0.0021992093 | 1.2018284 | 3.7E-4 |
6.5 | 2.8352947E-6 | 2.927945E-6 | 1.2927916E-5 | 4.4153547 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2151207E-5 | 1.254828E-5 | 2.2548154E-5 | 1.796912 | 1.0E-5 | 1.479309E-4 | 1.5276535E-4 | 2.6274854E-4 | 1.7199486 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0014783246 | 0.0015266772 | 0.0018661581 | 1.2223659 | 3.4E-4 |
6.6 | 2.251518E-6 | 2.3291423E-6 | 1.2329119E-5 | 5.293416 | 1.0E-5 | 9.649328E-6 | 9.982004E-6 | 1.9981904E-5 | 2.001793 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1747423E-4 | 1.2152474E-4 | 2.0151502E-4 | 1.6582222 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0011741214 | 0.0012146446 | 0.0014743288 | 1.2137944 | 2.6E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8911853E-6 | 1.959205E-6 | 1.1959186E-5 | 6.1041007 | 1.0E-5 | 8.105055E-6 | 8.39657E-6 | 1.8396486E-5 | 2.1909525 | 1.0E-5 | 9.867457E-5 | 1.02224025E-4 | 1.622179E-4 | 1.5868862 | 6.0E-5 | 9.863076E-4 | 0.0010218276 | 0.0012416028 | 1.2150805 | 2.2E-4 |
6.8 | 1.4874814E-6 | 1.5438849E-6 | 1.154387E-5 | 7.4771566 | 1.0E-5 | 6.374905E-6 | 6.616636E-6 | 1.661657E-5 | 2.511332 | 1.0E-5 | 7.76117E-5 | 8.055508E-5 | 1.0055347E-4 | 1.2482573 | 2.0E-5 | 7.75846E-4 | 8.053099E-4 | 9.75173E-4 | 1.2109288 | 1.7E-4 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.140223E-7 | 7.140223E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0600938E-6 | 3.0600938E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.7256323E-5 | 4.725595E-5 | 1.2684008 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7253203E-4 | 4.9248734E-4 | 1.3219999 | 1.2E-4 |
Death Valley (So)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.562284E-5 | 5.562207E-5 | 2.1708004 | 3.0E-5 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0980764E-4 | 1.7979996E-4 | 1.6374084 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0010787029 | 0.001336105 | 0.0018753835 | 1.4036199 | 5.4E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.013284262 | 0.014636063 | 1.1017596 | 0.00137 |
6.1 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.562284E-5 | 5.562207E-5 | 2.1708004 | 3.0E-5 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0980764E-4 | 1.7979996E-4 | 1.6374084 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0010787029 | 0.001336105 | 0.0018753835 | 1.4036199 | 5.4E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.013284262 | 0.014636063 | 1.1017596 | 0.00137 |
6.2 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.562284E-5 | 5.562207E-5 | 2.1708004 | 3.0E-5 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0980764E-4 | 1.7979996E-4 | 1.6374084 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0010787029 | 0.001336105 | 0.0018753835 | 1.4036199 | 5.4E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.013284262 | 0.014636063 | 1.1017596 | 0.00137 |
6.3 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.5122865E-5 | 5.512211E-5 | 2.1941013 | 3.0E-5 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0766507E-4 | 1.7765754E-4 | 1.6500944 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0013100507 | 0.0018393564 | 1.4040345 | 5.3E-4 | 0.010505628 | 0.013026792 | 0.014319727 | 1.099252 | 0.00131 |
6.4 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.5122865E-5 | 5.512211E-5 | 2.1941013 | 3.0E-5 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0766507E-4 | 1.7765754E-4 | 1.6500944 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0013100507 | 0.0018393564 | 1.4040345 | 5.3E-4 | 0.010505628 | 0.013026792 | 0.014319727 | 1.099252 | 0.00131 |
6.5 | 1.9962767E-5 | 2.4812083E-5 | 5.481134E-5 | 2.2090583 | 3.0E-5 | 8.55519E-5 | 1.0633326E-4 | 1.7632582E-4 | 1.6582377 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0010410968 | 0.0012938553 | 0.0018131825 | 1.4013797 | 5.2E-4 | 0.010362327 | 0.0128667215 | 0.0141401235 | 1.0989686 | 0.00129 |
6.6 | 1.8937297E-5 | 2.3315686E-5 | 5.3314987E-5 | 2.2866573 | 3.0E-5 | 8.115732E-5 | 9.9920624E-5 | 1.5991463E-4 | 1.6004167 | 6.0E-5 | 9.876423E-4 | 0.0012158692 | 0.0016852978 | 1.3860847 | 4.7E-4 | 0.009832645 | 0.012095467 | 0.013261195 | 1.0963773 | 0.00118 |
6.7 | 1.8621096E-5 | 2.2916278E-5 | 5.291559E-5 | 2.3090832 | 3.0E-5 | 7.980225E-5 | 9.8209006E-5 | 1.5820311E-4 | 1.6108819 | 6.0E-5 | 9.711593E-4 | 0.0011950532 | 0.0016345275 | 1.3677444 | 4.4E-4 | 0.009669261 | 0.011889544 | 0.012996228 | 1.0930804 | 0.00112 |
6.8 | 1.7830353E-5 | 2.1810061E-5 | 5.180941E-5 | 2.3754818 | 3.0E-5 | 7.641356E-5 | 9.346842E-5 | 1.5346281E-4 | 1.641868 | 6.0E-5 | 9.29938E-4 | 0.0011373981 | 0.0015469317 | 1.3600619 | 4.1E-4 | 0.009260561 | 0.011317881 | 0.01237577 | 1.0934707 | 0.00107 |
6.9 | 1.3135183E-5 | 1.5306292E-5 | 3.5305988E-5 | 2.3066323 | 2.0E-5 | 5.6292425E-5 | 6.559678E-5 | 1.0559416E-4 | 1.609746 | 4.0E-5 | 6.8514474E-4 | 7.983547E-4 | 0.0010681391 | 1.3379256 | 2.7E-4 | 0.006830362 | 0.007955994 | 0.008660346 | 1.0885309 | 7.1E-4 |
7.0 | 1.1507512E-5 | 1.3156006E-5 | 2.3155875E-5 | 1.760099 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9316975E-5 | 5.63817E-5 | 8.638001E-5 | 1.5320575 | 3.0E-5 | 6.002687E-4 | 6.862368E-4 | 8.960927E-4 | 1.3058069 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0059864987 | 0.006842099 | 0.007368473 | 1.0769316 | 5.3E-4 |
7.1 | 9.715903E-6 | 1.0866516E-5 | 2.0866408E-5 | 1.9202482 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1638916E-5 | 4.6569978E-5 | 7.6568576E-5 | 1.6441618 | 3.0E-5 | 5.068359E-4 | 5.668462E-4 | 6.9677253E-4 | 1.2292091 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0050568148 | 0.0056545073 | 0.006002528 | 1.0615475 | 3.5E-4 |
7.2 | 9.233269E-6 | 1.0287453E-5 | 2.028735E-5 | 1.9720479 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9570554E-5 | 4.4088363E-5 | 6.408748E-5 | 1.4536145 | 2.0E-5 | 4.81665E-4 | 5.3664786E-4 | 6.0661027E-4 | 1.1303693 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0048062233 | 0.005353951 | 0.005602612 | 1.0464445 | 2.5E-4 |
7.3 | 8.8041315E-6 | 9.809208E-6 | 1.980911E-5 | 2.0194404 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7731446E-5 | 4.2038806E-5 | 5.2038387E-5 | 1.2378654 | 1.0E-5 | 4.592835E-4 | 5.1170646E-4 | 5.616809E-4 | 1.0976622 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0045833546 | 0.005105709 | 0.005314637 | 1.0409204 | 2.1E-4 |
7.4 | 8.708749E-6 | 9.708213E-6 | 1.9708115E-5 | 2.0300457 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7322676E-5 | 4.160599E-5 | 5.160557E-5 | 1.24034 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5430884E-4 | 5.0643936E-4 | 5.56414E-4 | 1.0986785 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004533812 | 0.0050532785 | 0.005252268 | 1.0393783 | 2.0E-4 |
7.5 | 8.612678E-6 | 9.605849E-6 | 1.9605754E-5 | 2.0410223 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6910955E-5 | 4.11673E-5 | 5.1166888E-5 | 1.2429012 | 1.0E-5 | 4.492982E-4 | 5.011008E-4 | 5.5107573E-4 | 1.0997304 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004483909 | 0.0050001345 | 0.0051991343 | 1.039799 | 2.0E-4 |
7.6 | 8.319024E-6 | 9.2849195E-6 | 1.9284827E-5 | 2.0770051 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5652476E-5 | 3.9791932E-5 | 4.979153E-5 | 1.2512972 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3398244E-4 | 4.8436326E-4 | 5.3433905E-4 | 1.1031783 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0043313587 | 0.0048334994 | 0.005022581 | 1.039119 | 1.9E-4 |
7.7 | 7.4718328E-6 | 8.346079E-6 | 1.8345996E-5 | 2.1981575 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2021748E-5 | 3.576844E-5 | 4.5768084E-5 | 1.279566 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8979502E-4 | 4.353978E-4 | 4.8537602E-4 | 1.1147875 | 5.0E-5 | 0.00389112 | 0.004345853 | 0.0045151142 | 1.0389477 | 1.7E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.648448E-7 | 3.648448E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5636197E-6 | 1.5636197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9036908E-5 | 1.9036908E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9035321E-4 | 2.0035131E-4 | 1.052524 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6697788E-9 | 2.6697788E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.144191E-8 | 1.144191E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3930524E-7 | 1.3930524E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3930525E-6 | 1.3930525E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Towne Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8946E-6 | 2.3894521E-5 | 6.135296 | 2.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.669106E-5 | 1.1668939E-4 | 6.9911313 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319909E-4 | 6.930995E-4 | 3.4109383 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.002030562 | 0.0032580644 | 1.6045136 | 0.00123 |
6.1 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8946E-6 | 2.3894521E-5 | 6.135296 | 2.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.669106E-5 | 1.1668939E-4 | 6.9911313 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319909E-4 | 6.930995E-4 | 3.4109383 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.002030562 | 0.0032580644 | 1.6045136 | 0.00123 |
6.2 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8946E-6 | 2.3894521E-5 | 6.135296 | 2.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.669106E-5 | 1.1668939E-4 | 6.9911313 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319909E-4 | 6.930995E-4 | 3.4109383 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.002030562 | 0.0032580644 | 1.6045136 | 0.00123 |
6.3 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8946E-6 | 2.3894521E-5 | 6.135296 | 2.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.669106E-5 | 1.1668939E-4 | 6.9911313 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319909E-4 | 6.930995E-4 | 3.4109383 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.002030562 | 0.0032580644 | 1.6045136 | 0.00123 |
6.4 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8946E-6 | 2.3894521E-5 | 6.135296 | 2.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.669106E-5 | 1.1668939E-4 | 6.9911313 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319909E-4 | 6.930995E-4 | 3.4109383 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.002030562 | 0.0032580644 | 1.6045136 | 0.00123 |
6.5 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2030756E-6 | 1.2030756E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.1560287E-6 | 2.5155925E-5 | 4.8789344 | 2.0E-5 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.277296E-5 | 1.927648E-4 | 3.0708253 | 1.3E-4 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.2756403E-4 | 8.874009E-4 | 1.4140403 | 2.6E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2030756E-6 | 1.2030756E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.1560287E-6 | 2.5155925E-5 | 4.8789344 | 2.0E-5 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.277296E-5 | 1.927648E-4 | 3.0708253 | 1.3E-4 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.2756403E-4 | 8.874009E-4 | 1.4140403 | 2.6E-4 |
6.7 | 8.375951E-7 | 8.4108666E-7 | 8.4108666E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5896885E-6 | 3.6046524E-6 | 1.36046165E-5 | 3.7741826 | 1.0E-5 | 4.370358E-5 | 4.388582E-5 | 1.1388275E-4 | 2.5949783 | 7.0E-5 | 4.3694986E-4 | 4.3877724E-4 | 5.887114E-4 | 1.3417091 | 1.5E-4 |
6.8 | 6.38041E-7 | 6.392331E-7 | 6.392331E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7344586E-6 | 2.739568E-6 | 1.2739541E-5 | 4.650201 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3291526E-5 | 3.335377E-5 | 9.3351766E-5 | 2.7988372 | 6.0E-5 | 3.3286537E-4 | 3.3349142E-4 | 4.534514E-4 | 1.3597094 | 1.2E-4 |
6.9 | 5.3460053E-7 | 5.345496E-7 | 5.345496E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2911431E-6 | 2.290925E-6 | 1.2290902E-5 | 5.365039 | 1.0E-5 | 2.789431E-5 | 2.789169E-5 | 7.78903E-5 | 2.7925987 | 5.0E-5 | 2.789081E-4 | 2.788852E-4 | 3.8885453E-4 | 1.3943175 | 1.1E-4 |
7.0 | 3.557783E-7 | 3.5325624E-7 | 3.5325624E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5247632E-6 | 1.5139544E-6 | 1.1513939E-5 | 7.6052084 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8563835E-5 | 1.8432249E-5 | 5.843151E-5 | 3.1700697 | 4.0E-5 | 1.8562283E-4 | 1.8430804E-4 | 2.4429697E-4 | 1.325482 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.037942E-7 | 3.0003497E-7 | 3.0003497E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3019744E-6 | 1.2858636E-6 | 1.1285851E-5 | 8.776864 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5851423E-5 | 1.5655285E-5 | 5.565466E-5 | 3.5550077 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5850292E-4 | 1.5654256E-4 | 2.1653317E-4 | 1.3832223 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0808248E-7 | 2.0218741E-7 | 2.0218741E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.917818E-7 | 8.665172E-7 | 1.0866509E-5 | 12.5404415 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0857389E-5 | 1.0549801E-5 | 4.0549483E-5 | 3.8436255 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0856859E-4 | 1.0549346E-4 | 1.4548925E-4 | 1.3791304 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.1162073E-7 | 1.0637571E-7 | 1.0637571E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7837443E-7 | 4.5589582E-7 | 1.0455891E-5 | 22.934826 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8241935E-6 | 5.5505197E-6 | 3.5550354E-5 | 6.4048696 | 3.0E-5 | 5.8240406E-5 | 5.550401E-5 | 8.5502346E-5 | 1.5404714 | 3.0E-5 |
Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3966167E-5 | 7.3964846E-5 | 1.6823128 | 3.0E-5 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8841379E-4 | 2.8839495E-4 | 1.5306467 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022916966 | 0.0027905507 | 1.2176789 | 5.0E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.02269865 | 0.023685725 | 1.043486 | 0.00101 |
6.1 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3966167E-5 | 7.3964846E-5 | 1.6823128 | 3.0E-5 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8841379E-4 | 2.8839495E-4 | 1.5306467 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022916966 | 0.0027905507 | 1.2176789 | 5.0E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.02269865 | 0.023685725 | 1.043486 | 0.00101 |
6.2 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3966167E-5 | 7.3964846E-5 | 1.6823128 | 3.0E-5 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8841379E-4 | 2.8839495E-4 | 1.5306467 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022916966 | 0.0027905507 | 1.2176789 | 5.0E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.02269865 | 0.023685725 | 1.043486 | 0.00101 |
6.3 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.5355073E-5 | 3.535482E-5 | 1.3943884 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0866019E-4 | 1.5865476E-4 | 1.4601002 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0010993304 | 0.0013221549 | 0.0015518508 | 1.1737285 | 2.3E-4 | 0.010939079 | 0.013145102 | 0.013589187 | 1.0337833 | 4.5E-4 |
6.4 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.5355073E-5 | 3.535482E-5 | 1.3943884 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0866019E-4 | 1.5865476E-4 | 1.4601002 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0010993304 | 0.0013221549 | 0.0015518508 | 1.1737285 | 2.3E-4 | 0.010939079 | 0.013145102 | 0.013589187 | 1.0337833 | 4.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.7397282E-5 | 2.0663796E-5 | 3.066359E-5 | 1.4839282 | 1.0E-5 | 7.455765E-5 | 8.855619E-5 | 1.2855264E-4 | 1.4516506 | 4.0E-5 | 9.073613E-4 | 0.00107765 | 0.0012474669 | 1.1575806 | 1.7E-4 | 0.009036654 | 0.010725537 | 0.011051998 | 1.0304377 | 3.3E-4 |
6.6 | 1.52050325E-5 | 1.7680522E-5 | 2.7680346E-5 | 1.5655842 | 1.0E-5 | 6.51628E-5 | 7.577151E-5 | 1.15768475E-4 | 1.5278629 | 4.0E-5 | 7.9306826E-4 | 9.2213554E-4 | 0.001081988 | 1.1733503 | 1.6E-4 | 0.007902439 | 0.009183954 | 0.009451475 | 1.0291291 | 2.7E-4 |
6.7 | 1.332523E-5 | 1.5264748E-5 | 2.5264595E-5 | 1.6550941 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7106878E-5 | 6.5418746E-5 | 1.05416126E-4 | 1.6114056 | 4.0E-5 | 6.950544E-4 | 7.9618796E-4 | 9.360765E-4 | 1.1756979 | 1.4E-4 | 0.006928845 | 0.007933985 | 0.008172081 | 1.0300096 | 2.4E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1525329E-5 | 1.3031667E-5 | 1.3031667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9393333E-5 | 5.584883E-5 | 8.5847154E-5 | 1.5371344 | 3.0E-5 | 6.011979E-4 | 6.7975157E-4 | 8.096632E-4 | 1.1911163 | 1.3E-4 | 0.00599574 | 0.0067771752 | 0.0069857524 | 1.0307764 | 2.1E-4 |
6.9 | 1.0253909E-5 | 1.1515089E-5 | 1.1515089E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3944583E-5 | 4.9349466E-5 | 7.9347985E-5 | 1.6078793 | 3.0E-5 | 5.3489394E-4 | 6.006677E-4 | 7.0060766E-4 | 1.1663814 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0053360825 | 0.0059908214 | 0.006149863 | 1.0265476 | 1.6E-4 |
7.0 | 8.104563E-6 | 8.991609E-6 | 8.991609E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4733377E-5 | 3.8534916E-5 | 6.853376E-5 | 1.7784848 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2279682E-4 | 4.69064E-4 | 5.490265E-4 | 1.1704724 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0042199334 | 0.0046809874 | 0.004820332 | 1.0297682 | 1.4E-4 |
7.1 | 6.7986157E-6 | 7.5161133E-6 | 7.5161133E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.91366E-5 | 3.221153E-5 | 4.2211206E-5 | 1.3104378 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5468035E-4 | 3.9210691E-4 | 4.4208733E-4 | 1.1274662 | 5.0E-5 | 0.003541148 | 0.0039143674 | 0.0040139756 | 1.0254469 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 5.6893327E-6 | 6.2802283E-6 | 6.2802283E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4382627E-5 | 2.6914997E-5 | 3.6914727E-5 | 1.37153 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9681803E-4 | 3.276428E-4 | 3.7762642E-4 | 1.1525552 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002964219 | 0.003271796 | 0.003371469 | 1.0304643 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 4.253348E-6 | 4.707127E-6 | 4.707127E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8228506E-5 | 2.0173256E-5 | 3.0173054E-5 | 1.4956958 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2190946E-4 | 2.4558353E-4 | 2.6557862E-4 | 1.0814186 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00221688 | 0.0024533025 | 0.00250318 | 1.0203307 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.5448119E-6 | 2.8520735E-6 | 2.8520735E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0906291E-5 | 1.2223124E-5 | 1.2223124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3277601E-4 | 1.4880802E-4 | 1.5880654E-4 | 1.0671906 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001326967 | 0.001487246 | 0.0014972311 | 1.0067139 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.3706837E-8 | 4.5630955E-8 | 4.5630955E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8731501E-7 | 1.9556123E-7 | 1.9556123E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805577E-6 | 2.380956E-6 | 2.380956E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805343E-5 | 2.3809358E-5 | 2.3809358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.16593E-4 | 3.3658667E-4 | 1.0631526 | 2.0E-5 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013561276 | 0.0014160462 | 1.0441836 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0074207084 | 0.01638736 | 0.016751297 | 1.0222083 | 3.7E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.15048723 | 0.1510734 | 1.0038952 | 6.9E-4 |
6.1 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.16593E-4 | 3.3658667E-4 | 1.0631526 | 2.0E-5 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013561276 | 0.0014160462 | 1.0441836 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0074207084 | 0.01638736 | 0.016751297 | 1.0222083 | 3.7E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.15048723 | 0.1510734 | 1.0038952 | 6.9E-4 |
6.2 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.16593E-4 | 3.3658667E-4 | 1.0631526 | 2.0E-5 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013561276 | 0.0014160462 | 1.0441836 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0074207084 | 0.01638736 | 0.016751297 | 1.0222083 | 3.7E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.15048723 | 0.1510734 | 1.0038952 | 6.9E-4 |
6.3 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.0563833E-4 | 3.2563222E-4 | 1.0654168 | 2.0E-5 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0013092267 | 0.0013691481 | 1.0457686 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0071393442 | 0.015824739 | 0.016179042 | 1.0223892 | 3.6E-4 | 0.06914291 | 0.14579867 | 0.14637953 | 1.003984 | 6.8E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.0563833E-4 | 3.2563222E-4 | 1.0654168 | 2.0E-5 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0013092267 | 0.0013691481 | 1.0457686 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0071393442 | 0.015824739 | 0.016179042 | 1.0223892 | 3.6E-4 | 0.06914291 | 0.14579867 | 0.14637953 | 1.003984 | 6.8E-4 |
6.5 | 1.2942807E-4 | 2.897785E-4 | 3.097727E-4 | 1.0689982 | 2.0E-5 | 5.545738E-4 | 0.0012413219 | 0.0013012474 | 1.0482756 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0067310524 | 0.015009616 | 0.015364212 | 1.0236247 | 3.6E-4 | 0.06530788 | 0.13896708 | 0.13955258 | 1.0042132 | 6.8E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1125901E-4 | 2.5415845E-4 | 2.7415337E-4 | 1.0786711 | 2.0E-5 | 4.767372E-4 | 0.0010887982 | 0.0011487327 | 1.0550467 | 6.0E-5 | 0.005788839 | 0.0131761795 | 0.013531436 | 1.026962 | 3.6E-4 | 0.056403454 | 0.12320382 | 0.12379128 | 1.0047681 | 6.7E-4 |
6.7 | 1.02209575E-4 | 2.3550415E-4 | 2.5549944E-4 | 1.0849042 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3796748E-4 | 0.0010089146 | 0.001068854 | 1.0594099 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0053192247 | 0.012214775 | 0.012570377 | 1.0291125 | 3.6E-4 | 0.051936906 | 0.115003996 | 0.11558809 | 1.0050789 | 6.6E-4 |
6.8 | 9.610582E-5 | 2.2075379E-4 | 2.4074937E-4 | 1.0905787 | 2.0E-5 | 4.1181705E-4 | 9.457454E-4 | 0.0010056886 | 1.063382 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0050023515 | 0.011453926 | 0.011809802 | 1.0310702 | 3.6E-4 | 0.048912346 | 0.10841405 | 0.10900249 | 1.0054277 | 6.6E-4 |
6.9 | 9.3877505E-5 | 2.1530695E-4 | 2.3530265E-4 | 1.0928706 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0227012E-4 | 9.2241843E-4 | 9.823631E-4 | 1.0649863 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0048866454 | 0.011172862 | 0.01152884 | 1.031861 | 3.6E-4 | 0.04780577 | 0.10600422 | 0.10659426 | 1.0055661 | 6.6E-4 |
7.0 | 9.1019785E-5 | 2.0857227E-4 | 2.285681E-4 | 1.09587 | 2.0E-5 | 3.900265E-4 | 8.9357555E-4 | 9.535219E-4 | 1.067086 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0047382377 | 0.010825239 | 0.011181342 | 1.0328956 | 3.6E-4 | 0.046384744 | 0.102976516 | 0.103568554 | 1.0057492 | 6.6E-4 |
7.1 | 8.771155E-5 | 2.0031419E-4 | 2.2031018E-4 | 1.0998231 | 2.0E-5 | 3.758525E-4 | 8.582074E-4 | 9.1815594E-4 | 1.0698532 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0045664064 | 0.010398815 | 0.010755072 | 1.0342593 | 3.6E-4 | 0.044737056 | 0.09928069 | 0.099839136 | 1.0056249 | 6.2E-4 |
7.2 | 8.0830236E-5 | 1.8436319E-4 | 2.0435952E-4 | 1.1084615 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4636928E-4 | 7.898889E-4 | 8.498415E-4 | 1.0759001 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0042088944 | 0.009574599 | 0.009921247 | 1.036205 | 3.5E-4 | 0.041300658 | 0.092006266 | 0.09256014 | 1.00602 | 6.1E-4 |
7.3 | 7.7668235E-5 | 1.7378991E-4 | 1.9378644E-4 | 1.1150615 | 2.0E-5 | 3.328214E-4 | 7.446014E-4 | 8.0455677E-4 | 1.08052 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0040445733 | 0.00902792 | 0.00937476 | 1.0384187 | 3.5E-4 | 0.03971748 | 0.087266706 | 0.08782347 | 1.0063801 | 6.1E-4 |
7.4 | 7.520177E-5 | 1.65984E-4 | 1.8598068E-4 | 1.1204735 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2225347E-4 | 7.111662E-4 | 7.711235E-4 | 1.0843085 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0039163795 | 0.008624141 | 0.008961209 | 1.0390842 | 3.4E-4 | 0.038480744 | 0.08372475 | 0.08425619 | 1.0063474 | 5.8E-4 |
7.5 | 7.274697E-5 | 1.5885441E-4 | 1.7885123E-4 | 1.1258814 | 2.0E-5 | 3.1173544E-4 | 6.8062707E-4 | 7.405862E-4 | 1.088094 | 6.0E-5 | 0.003788775 | 0.008255207 | 0.0085924 | 1.0408461 | 3.4E-4 | 0.03724827 | 0.080439344 | 0.08097269 | 1.0066304 | 5.8E-4 |
7.6 | 7.1185845E-5 | 1.5454896E-4 | 1.7454587E-4 | 1.1293888 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0504653E-4 | 6.621846E-4 | 7.2214485E-4 | 1.0905492 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0037076178 | 0.008032348 | 0.008369617 | 1.0419888 | 3.4E-4 | 0.036463667 | 0.07842895 | 0.07895424 | 1.0066978 | 5.7E-4 |
7.7 | 6.709961E-5 | 1.4362668E-4 | 1.636238E-4 | 1.1392299 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8753807E-4 | 6.153977E-4 | 6.753608E-4 | 1.097438 | 6.0E-5 | 0.003495157 | 0.0074667665 | 0.0078042275 | 1.0451951 | 3.4E-4 | 0.034406938 | 0.07325309 | 0.073781334 | 1.0072112 | 5.7E-4 |
7.8 | 6.300812E-5 | 1.3244407E-4 | 1.5244141E-4 | 1.1509871 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7000686E-4 | 5.6749396E-4 | 6.274599E-4 | 1.105668 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0032823787 | 0.00688738 | 0.007225038 | 1.0490257 | 3.4E-4 | 0.032343175 | 0.0679034 | 0.0684347 | 1.0078243 | 5.7E-4 |
7.9 | 4.983037E-5 | 9.756509E-5 | 1.1756314E-4 | 1.2049713 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1354125E-4 | 4.180691E-4 | 4.7804404E-4 | 1.1434569 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0025967648 | 0.0050781225 | 0.0053567006 | 1.0548584 | 2.8E-4 | 0.025666296 | 0.05080133 | 0.05123796 | 1.0085949 | 4.6E-4 |
8.0 | 3.2211527E-5 | 5.349586E-5 | 6.3495325E-5 | 1.1869204 | 1.0E-5 | 1.380421E-4 | 2.2924785E-4 | 2.5924097E-4 | 1.1308328 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016793669 | 0.0027875218 | 0.0028573268 | 1.0250419 | 7.0E-5 | 0.016667323 | 0.028454337 | 0.028551491 | 1.0034144 | 1.0E-4 |
8.1 | 1.743376E-5 | 1.8911482E-5 | 1.8911482E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.471398E-5 | 8.1046695E-5 | 9.1045884E-5 | 1.1233757 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0926304E-4 | 9.862975E-4 | 9.962876E-4 | 1.010129 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009055517 | 0.0105292145 | 0.01053911 | 1.0009397 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 7.831616E-6 | 5.18697E-6 | 5.18697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3563636E-5 | 2.2229682E-5 | 2.2229682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0856065E-4 | 2.7061286E-4 | 2.7061286E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004078103 | 0.0030592217 | 0.0030592217 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.715289E-7 | 7.715289E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.3065483E-6 | 3.3065483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.02565E-5 | 4.02565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7517708E-4 | 4.7517708E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bicycle Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.2099668E-5 | 2.2099668E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.471018E-5 | 1.0470924E-4 | 1.1055753 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011526216 | 0.0014023334 | 1.2166469 | 2.5E-4 | 0.01018633 | 0.0114797475 | 0.012161827 | 1.0594158 | 6.9E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.2099668E-5 | 2.2099668E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.471018E-5 | 1.0470924E-4 | 1.1055753 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011526216 | 0.0014023334 | 1.2166469 | 2.5E-4 | 0.01018633 | 0.0114797475 | 0.012161827 | 1.0594158 | 6.9E-4 |
6.2 | 9.9971285E-6 | 1.1256955E-5 | 1.1256955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2844134E-5 | 4.8243495E-5 | 5.8243015E-5 | 1.2072718 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2150246E-4 | 5.872583E-4 | 7.471643E-4 | 1.2722925 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0052028033 | 0.0058621704 | 0.0063294154 | 1.0797051 | 4.7E-4 |
6.3 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.079961E-5 | 1.079961E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.6283516E-5 | 5.6283054E-5 | 1.2160497 | 1.0E-5 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.63408E-4 | 7.2331785E-4 | 1.283826 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0049911533 | 0.005624887 | 0.0060922434 | 1.0830872 | 4.7E-4 |
6.4 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.079961E-5 | 1.079961E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.6283516E-5 | 5.6283054E-5 | 1.2160497 | 1.0E-5 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.63408E-4 | 7.2331785E-4 | 1.283826 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0049911533 | 0.005624887 | 0.0060922434 | 1.0830872 | 4.7E-4 |
6.5 | 5.557707E-6 | 6.286366E-6 | 6.286366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3818526E-5 | 2.6941441E-5 | 3.6941172E-5 | 1.3711654 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8995197E-4 | 3.2798958E-4 | 4.479502E-4 | 1.3657453 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0028957394 | 0.0032776918 | 0.0035667412 | 1.0881869 | 2.9E-4 |
6.6 | 4.8742945E-6 | 5.513961E-6 | 5.513961E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0889667E-5 | 2.3631193E-5 | 2.3631193E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.54302E-4 | 2.87698E-4 | 3.8766925E-4 | 1.3474867 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002540112 | 0.0028758252 | 0.0031450486 | 1.0936161 | 2.7E-4 |
6.7 | 3.991108E-6 | 4.5164616E-6 | 4.5164616E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7104636E-5 | 1.9356265E-5 | 1.9356265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0822904E-4 | 2.3566252E-4 | 3.05646E-4 | 1.2969649 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0020803404 | 0.0023566252 | 0.0025761067 | 1.0931338 | 2.2E-4 |
Garlic Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6760017E-5 | 1.8778932E-5 | 2.8778744E-5 | 1.5325017 | 1.0E-5 | 7.182667E-5 | 8.0479316E-5 | 1.104769E-4 | 1.3727366 | 3.0E-5 | 8.7413884E-4 | 9.795126E-4 | 0.0012991992 | 1.3263731 | 3.2E-4 | 0.008707083 | 0.009763501 | 0.010466569 | 1.0720098 | 7.1E-4 |
6.1 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0974746E-5 | 1.0974746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.703418E-5 | 4.703418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.7256164E-4 | 7.2247576E-4 | 1.2618306 | 1.5E-4 | 0.005127866 | 0.0057178247 | 0.0061254804 | 1.0712956 | 4.1E-4 |
6.2 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0974746E-5 | 1.0974746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.703418E-5 | 4.703418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.7256164E-4 | 7.2247576E-4 | 1.2618306 | 1.5E-4 | 0.005127866 | 0.0057178247 | 0.0061254804 | 1.0712956 | 4.1E-4 |
6.3 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.7785024E-6 | 4.7785024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0479267E-5 | 2.0479267E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4932958E-4 | 3.093146E-4 | 1.2405853 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.002492757 | 0.0026324082 | 1.0560228 | 1.4E-4 |
6.4 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.7785024E-6 | 4.7785024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0479267E-5 | 2.0479267E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4932958E-4 | 3.093146E-4 | 1.2405853 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.002492757 | 0.0026324082 | 1.0560228 | 1.4E-4 |
6.5 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.7785024E-6 | 4.7785024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0479267E-5 | 2.0479267E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4932958E-4 | 3.093146E-4 | 1.2405853 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.002492757 | 0.0026324082 | 1.0560228 | 1.4E-4 |
6.6 | 4.301311E-6 | 4.7613694E-6 | 4.7613694E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8434059E-5 | 2.040584E-5 | 2.040584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2441156E-4 | 2.484358E-4 | 3.084209E-4 | 1.2414511 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0022418506 | 0.0024838394 | 0.0026234917 | 1.0562243 | 1.4E-4 |
6.7 | 3.8599724E-6 | 4.2714823E-6 | 4.2714823E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6542634E-5 | 1.8306351E-5 | 1.8306351E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0138794E-4 | 2.2287984E-4 | 2.8286647E-4 | 1.2691433 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0020120554 | 0.0022287983 | 0.0023585085 | 1.0581974 | 1.3E-4 |
Paradise
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.669592E-5 | 3.6695586E-5 | 2.1978774 | 2.0E-5 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.155211E-5 | 1.01549966E-4 | 1.4192449 | 3.0E-5 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.708224E-4 | 0.0010406744 | 1.1950477 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0077192914 | 0.00867648 | 0.009340667 | 1.0765502 | 6.7E-4 |
6.1 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.669592E-5 | 3.6695586E-5 | 2.1978774 | 2.0E-5 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.155211E-5 | 1.01549966E-4 | 1.4192449 | 3.0E-5 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.708224E-4 | 0.0010406744 | 1.1950477 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0077192914 | 0.00867648 | 0.009340667 | 1.0765502 | 6.7E-4 |
6.2 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.669592E-5 | 3.6695586E-5 | 2.1978774 | 2.0E-5 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.155211E-5 | 1.01549966E-4 | 1.4192449 | 3.0E-5 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.708224E-4 | 0.0010406744 | 1.1950477 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0077192914 | 0.00867648 | 0.009340667 | 1.0765502 | 6.7E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.1889463E-5 | 1.1889463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.095388E-5 | 6.095337E-5 | 1.1962459 | 1.0E-5 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.2019285E-4 | 6.8015564E-4 | 1.0966841 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0054258266 | 0.0061852285 | 0.006483373 | 1.0482026 | 3.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.1889463E-5 | 1.1889463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.095388E-5 | 6.095337E-5 | 1.1962459 | 1.0E-5 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.2019285E-4 | 6.8015564E-4 | 1.0966841 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0054258266 | 0.0061852285 | 0.006483373 | 1.0482026 | 3.0E-4 |
6.5 | 9.25027E-6 | 1.062071E-5 | 1.062071E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.964341E-5 | 4.551656E-5 | 5.5516106E-5 | 1.2196902 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8255164E-4 | 5.5402814E-4 | 5.8401155E-4 | 1.0541189 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0048150513 | 0.0055269687 | 0.0057457527 | 1.0395849 | 2.2E-4 |
6.6 | 7.904275E-6 | 9.16016E-6 | 9.16016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3875025E-5 | 3.925726E-5 | 4.9256865E-5 | 1.25472 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1235037E-4 | 4.7785623E-4 | 4.978467E-4 | 1.0418336 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0041158604 | 0.004768684 | 0.0048881117 | 1.0250442 | 1.2E-4 |
6.7 | 7.2061953E-6 | 8.407828E-6 | 8.407828E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.088333E-5 | 3.6033074E-5 | 3.6033074E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7593965E-4 | 4.3861804E-4 | 4.3861804E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003753043 | 0.0043778922 | 0.0044674985 | 1.0204679 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.6948724E-6 | 7.8427065E-6 | 7.8427065E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8691995E-5 | 3.3611184E-5 | 3.3611184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4926904E-4 | 4.091429E-4 | 4.091429E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003487206 | 0.004084254 | 0.0041639274 | 1.0195074 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.0421025E-6 | 7.1311115E-6 | 7.1311115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5894467E-5 | 3.056157E-5 | 3.056157E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1521954E-4 | 3.7202696E-4 | 3.7202696E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031477278 | 0.0037143799 | 0.0037641942 | 1.0134112 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.134091E-6 | 5.0806752E-6 | 5.0806752E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7717413E-5 | 2.1774149E-5 | 2.1774149E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1568815E-4 | 2.6506957E-4 | 2.6506957E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021547892 | 0.002647687 | 0.002667634 | 1.0075338 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.7674888E-6 | 4.6322016E-6 | 4.6322016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6146281E-5 | 1.985215E-5 | 1.985215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9656324E-4 | 2.4167464E-4 | 2.4167464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019638946 | 0.002414269 | 0.0024342206 | 1.0082641 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.4065345E-6 | 4.1570206E-6 | 4.1570206E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4599351E-5 | 1.781569E-5 | 1.781569E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.777326E-4 | 2.1688594E-4 | 2.1688594E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017759053 | 0.0021668908 | 0.0021868476 | 1.0092099 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.9934936E-6 | 3.6295655E-6 | 3.6295655E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2829195E-5 | 1.5555197E-5 | 1.5555197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5618425E-4 | 1.8936953E-4 | 1.8936953E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015607453 | 0.001892227 | 0.0019121892 | 1.0105495 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.4049796E-6 | 2.8891639E-6 | 2.8891639E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0307015E-5 | 1.238208E-5 | 1.238208E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2548068E-4 | 1.5074282E-4 | 1.5074282E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012540985 | 0.0015065472 | 0.0015165322 | 1.0066277 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2710091E-6 | 1.5135553E-6 | 1.5135553E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.44717E-6 | 6.4866563E-6 | 6.4866563E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.631728E-5 | 7.897343E-5 | 7.897343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6297496E-4 | 7.8957627E-4 | 7.995684E-4 | 1.012655 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6040675E-7 | 2.6040675E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160287E-6 | 1.1160287E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587593E-5 | 1.3587593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3587043E-4 | 1.3587043E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8672312E-5 | 2.8672124E-5 | 1.5355424 | 1.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.0021775E-5 | 1.0002018E-4 | 1.2499119 | 2.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.7383733E-4 | 0.001113701 | 1.1436212 | 1.4E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.0096965525 | 0.010082771 | 1.0398304 | 3.9E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8672312E-5 | 2.8672124E-5 | 1.5355424 | 1.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.0021775E-5 | 1.0002018E-4 | 1.2499119 | 2.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.7383733E-4 | 0.001113701 | 1.1436212 | 1.4E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.0096965525 | 0.010082771 | 1.0398304 | 3.9E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8672312E-5 | 2.8672124E-5 | 1.5355424 | 1.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.0021775E-5 | 1.0002018E-4 | 1.2499119 | 2.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.7383733E-4 | 0.001113701 | 1.1436212 | 1.4E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.0096965525 | 0.010082771 | 1.0398304 | 3.9E-4 |
6.3 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8672312E-5 | 2.8672124E-5 | 1.5355424 | 1.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.0021775E-5 | 1.0002018E-4 | 1.2499119 | 2.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.7383733E-4 | 0.001113701 | 1.1436212 | 1.4E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.0096965525 | 0.010082771 | 1.0398304 | 3.9E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.734011E-5 | 2.7339936E-5 | 1.5766876 | 1.0E-5 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.431267E-5 | 9.431119E-5 | 1.2691131 | 2.0E-5 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.043874E-4 | 0.0010242788 | 1.1325665 | 1.2E-4 | 0.008063202 | 0.009007754 | 0.009344691 | 1.0374053 | 3.4E-4 |
6.5 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.734011E-5 | 2.7339936E-5 | 1.5766876 | 1.0E-5 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.431267E-5 | 9.431119E-5 | 1.2691131 | 2.0E-5 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.043874E-4 | 0.0010242788 | 1.1325665 | 1.2E-4 | 0.008063202 | 0.009007754 | 0.009344691 | 1.0374053 | 3.4E-4 |
6.6 | 1.5041828E-5 | 1.6810984E-5 | 2.6810816E-5 | 1.5948392 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4463384E-5 | 7.204512E-5 | 9.204368E-5 | 1.2775838 | 2.0E-5 | 7.8455906E-4 | 8.768022E-4 | 9.867058E-4 | 1.125346 | 1.1E-4 | 0.00781795 | 0.008734084 | 0.0090612015 | 1.037453 | 3.3E-4 |
6.7 | 1.4634985E-5 | 1.6357808E-5 | 2.6357644E-5 | 1.6113188 | 1.0E-5 | 6.271985E-5 | 7.010304E-5 | 9.010164E-5 | 1.2852744 | 2.0E-5 | 7.6334673E-4 | 8.5317605E-4 | 9.4309926E-4 | 1.1053982 | 9.0E-5 | 0.007607299 | 0.008499643 | 0.0087871775 | 1.0338291 | 2.9E-4 |
6.8 | 1.4209158E-5 | 1.5883788E-5 | 2.588363E-5 | 1.6295627 | 1.0E-5 | 6.089497E-5 | 6.807164E-5 | 8.807028E-5 | 1.2937881 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4114406E-4 | 8.2846265E-4 | 9.1838813E-4 | 1.108545 | 9.0E-5 | 0.007386771 | 0.008254358 | 0.008502294 | 1.030037 | 2.5E-4 |
6.9 | 1.3780098E-5 | 1.5406285E-5 | 2.540613E-5 | 1.6490757 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9056227E-5 | 6.602529E-5 | 8.6023974E-5 | 1.3028942 | 2.0E-5 | 7.1877235E-4 | 8.0356695E-4 | 8.9349464E-4 | 1.1119106 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0071645193 | 0.008007209 | 0.008255207 | 1.0309719 | 2.5E-4 |
7.0 | 1.3585064E-5 | 1.5189825E-5 | 2.5189673E-5 | 1.6583254 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8220405E-5 | 6.509766E-5 | 8.5096355E-5 | 1.3072107 | 2.0E-5 | 7.086029E-4 | 7.9228124E-4 | 8.822099E-4 | 1.1135061 | 9.0E-5 | 0.007063476 | 0.007895159 | 0.008143185 | 1.031415 | 2.5E-4 |
7.1 | 1.3398601E-5 | 1.4982988E-5 | 2.4982839E-5 | 1.6674136 | 1.0E-5 | 5.742131E-5 | 6.421126E-5 | 8.420997E-5 | 1.3114519 | 2.0E-5 | 6.9888023E-4 | 7.814971E-4 | 8.714268E-4 | 1.1150736 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0069668638 | 0.007788078 | 0.008036131 | 1.0318503 | 2.5E-4 |
7.2 | 1.3126312E-5 | 1.4681179E-5 | 2.4681032E-5 | 1.6811342 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6254412E-5 | 6.2917854E-5 | 7.2917224E-5 | 1.1589274 | 1.0E-5 | 6.846822E-4 | 7.6576107E-4 | 8.1572274E-4 | 1.0652446 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006825765 | 0.007631808 | 0.007840206 | 1.0273064 | 2.1E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2922429E-5 | 1.4455383E-5 | 2.445524E-5 | 1.6917738 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5380664E-5 | 6.19502E-5 | 7.194959E-5 | 1.16141 | 1.0E-5 | 6.74051E-4 | 7.5398816E-4 | 8.039505E-4 | 1.066264 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006720101 | 0.0075148814 | 0.0077133784 | 1.0264139 | 2.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.2768878E-5 | 1.428535E-5 | 2.4285207E-5 | 1.7000078 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4722615E-5 | 6.122152E-5 | 7.122091E-5 | 1.1633313 | 1.0E-5 | 6.660441E-4 | 7.4512255E-4 | 7.950853E-4 | 1.0670531 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0066405144 | 0.007426821 | 0.007625336 | 1.0267295 | 2.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.2521929E-5 | 1.4013568E-5 | 2.4013429E-5 | 1.7135842 | 1.0E-5 | 5.366431E-5 | 6.00568E-5 | 7.0056194E-5 | 1.166499 | 1.0E-5 | 6.531671E-4 | 7.309516E-4 | 7.809151E-4 | 1.068354 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006512506 | 0.0072860504 | 0.007484593 | 1.0272497 | 2.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1301089E-5 | 1.2649552E-5 | 2.2649427E-5 | 1.7905318 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8432343E-5 | 5.4211272E-5 | 6.421073E-5 | 1.1844535 | 1.0E-5 | 5.895042E-4 | 6.5982767E-4 | 7.097947E-4 | 1.0757273 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0058794282 | 0.006579238 | 0.006767988 | 1.0286887 | 1.9E-4 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.0284499E-5 | 2.0284397E-5 | 1.9723271 | 1.0E-5 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.4075707E-5 | 5.4075266E-5 | 1.2268723 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.3649466E-4 | 5.864678E-4 | 1.0931475 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004783291 | 0.005352506 | 0.005521596 | 1.0315908 | 1.7E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.648448E-7 | 3.648448E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5636197E-6 | 1.5636197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9036908E-5 | 1.9036908E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9035321E-4 | 2.0035131E-4 | 1.052524 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6697788E-9 | 2.6697788E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.144191E-8 | 1.144191E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3930524E-7 | 1.3930524E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3930525E-6 | 1.3930525E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Helendale-So Lockhart
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8104516E-5 | 1.8104516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.758859E-5 | 9.758704E-5 | 1.2577498 | 2.0E-5 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.442525E-4 | 0.0010941108 | 1.1587058 | 1.5E-4 | 0.008984311 | 0.009404523 | 0.009741326 | 1.0358129 | 3.4E-4 |
6.1 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8104516E-5 | 1.8104516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.758859E-5 | 9.758704E-5 | 1.2577498 | 2.0E-5 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.442525E-4 | 0.0010941108 | 1.1587058 | 1.5E-4 | 0.008984311 | 0.009404523 | 0.009741326 | 1.0358129 | 3.4E-4 |
6.2 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8104516E-5 | 1.8104516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.758859E-5 | 9.758704E-5 | 1.2577498 | 2.0E-5 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.442525E-4 | 0.0010941108 | 1.1587058 | 1.5E-4 | 0.008984311 | 0.009404523 | 0.009741326 | 1.0358129 | 3.4E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1135877E-5 | 1.1135877E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.772433E-5 | 6.772338E-5 | 1.4190534 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.808916E-4 | 6.8083353E-4 | 1.1720492 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0055515557 | 0.0057940283 | 0.006022696 | 1.039466 | 2.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1135877E-5 | 1.1135877E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.772433E-5 | 6.772338E-5 | 1.4190534 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.808916E-4 | 6.8083353E-4 | 1.1720492 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0055515557 | 0.0057940283 | 0.006022696 | 1.039466 | 2.3E-4 |
6.5 | 8.790038E-6 | 9.170565E-6 | 9.170565E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.767105E-5 | 3.930184E-5 | 5.9301055E-5 | 1.508862 | 2.0E-5 | 4.585485E-4 | 4.783964E-4 | 5.6835334E-4 | 1.1880385 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0045760344 | 0.00477383 | 0.004982827 | 1.0437799 | 2.1E-4 |
6.6 | 7.396949E-6 | 7.715846E-6 | 7.715846E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1700827E-5 | 3.30675E-5 | 5.3066837E-5 | 1.6048036 | 2.0E-5 | 3.858892E-4 | 4.0252344E-4 | 4.8249122E-4 | 1.1986662 | 8.0E-5 | 0.003852198 | 0.00401805 | 0.004167448 | 1.0371815 | 1.5E-4 |
6.7 | 6.4600285E-6 | 6.7383007E-6 | 6.7383007E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7685543E-5 | 2.8878116E-5 | 4.8877537E-5 | 1.692546 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3701936E-4 | 3.5153513E-4 | 4.2151051E-4 | 1.1990566 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0033650869 | 0.0035098721 | 0.0036394158 | 1.0369084 | 1.3E-4 |
6.8 | 5.600104E-6 | 5.836238E-6 | 5.836238E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4000226E-5 | 2.5012212E-5 | 4.501171E-5 | 1.7995894 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9216358E-4 | 3.044817E-4 | 3.744604E-4 | 1.2298288 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0029177975 | 0.003040707 | 0.003160342 | 1.0393445 | 1.2E-4 |
6.9 | 4.839122E-6 | 5.039703E-6 | 5.039703E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0738931E-5 | 2.1598551E-5 | 4.159812E-5 | 1.925968 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5246723E-4 | 2.629311E-4 | 3.2291532E-4 | 1.2281367 | 6.0E-5 | 0.002521806 | 0.0026262477 | 0.0027259851 | 1.0379771 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 3.6937633E-6 | 3.8453545E-6 | 3.8453545E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5830317E-5 | 1.6479988E-5 | 3.6479658E-5 | 2.2135732 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9271708E-4 | 2.006257E-4 | 2.5061567E-4 | 1.2491703 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0019255003 | 0.0020044772 | 0.0020942967 | 1.0448095 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.7858857E-6 | 2.8979618E-6 | 2.8979618E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1939455E-5 | 1.2419779E-5 | 2.2419656E-5 | 1.8051573 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4535317E-4 | 1.5120053E-4 | 1.81196E-4 | 1.198382 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014525814 | 0.0015109981 | 0.0015709074 | 1.0396489 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.1672065E-6 | 2.2540967E-6 | 2.2540967E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2879945E-6 | 9.660379E-6 | 1.9660283E-5 | 2.035146 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1307546E-4 | 1.1760896E-4 | 1.4760543E-4 | 1.2550526 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011301794 | 0.0011754853 | 0.0012354148 | 1.0509827 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4823496E-6 | 1.542268E-6 | 1.542268E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3529114E-6 | 6.609704E-6 | 1.6609638E-5 | 2.512917 | 1.0E-5 | 7.734395E-5 | 8.047033E-5 | 9.0469526E-5 | 1.1242594 | 1.0E-5 | 7.731704E-4 | 8.04427E-4 | 8.4439485E-4 | 1.0496849 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.2321457E-7 | 4.4110496E-7 | 4.4110496E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8137755E-6 | 1.8904486E-6 | 1.8904486E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2082493E-5 | 2.3016015E-5 | 2.3016015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2080299E-4 | 2.3014084E-4 | 2.3014084E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.6942316E-8 | 5.9418042E-8 | 5.9418042E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.440385E-7 | 2.5464874E-7 | 2.5464874E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711643E-6 | 3.1003447E-6 | 3.1003447E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711247E-5 | 3.1003092E-5 | 3.1003092E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.003871E-4 | 3.2038108E-4 | 1.0665607 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012867642 | 0.0013366998 | 1.0388072 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006416472 | 0.01555878 | 0.015765512 | 1.0132872 | 2.1E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.1431038 | 0.14339514 | 1.0020359 | 3.4E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.003871E-4 | 3.2038108E-4 | 1.0665607 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012867642 | 0.0013366998 | 1.0388072 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006416472 | 0.01555878 | 0.015765512 | 1.0132872 | 2.1E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.1431038 | 0.14339514 | 1.0020359 | 3.4E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.003871E-4 | 3.2038108E-4 | 1.0665607 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012867642 | 0.0013366998 | 1.0388072 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006416472 | 0.01555878 | 0.015765512 | 1.0132872 | 2.1E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.1431038 | 0.14339514 | 1.0020359 | 3.4E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.8826675E-4 | 3.0826096E-4 | 1.0693601 | 2.0E-5 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012348697 | 0.0012848079 | 1.0404401 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006093008 | 0.014935744 | 0.0151426075 | 1.0138502 | 2.1E-4 | 0.059286322 | 0.1378186 | 0.13811176 | 1.002127 | 3.4E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.8826675E-4 | 3.0826096E-4 | 1.0693601 | 2.0E-5 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012348697 | 0.0012848079 | 1.0404401 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006093008 | 0.014935744 | 0.0151426075 | 1.0138502 | 2.1E-4 | 0.059286322 | 0.1378186 | 0.13811176 | 1.002127 | 3.4E-4 |
6.5 | 1.0689076E-4 | 2.6838895E-4 | 2.8838357E-4 | 1.0744988 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5802278E-4 | 0.001149756 | 0.0011996985 | 1.0434375 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0055621783 | 0.013913055 | 0.014110272 | 1.0141749 | 2.0E-4 | 0.05425003 | 0.12905096 | 0.12933837 | 1.0022272 | 3.3E-4 |
6.6 | 9.7648895E-5 | 2.5083288E-4 | 2.7082788E-4 | 1.0797144 | 2.0E-5 | 4.1842813E-4 | 0.0010745788 | 0.0011245251 | 1.0464798 | 5.0E-5 | 0.005082469 | 0.013008885 | 0.013206284 | 1.0151742 | 2.0E-4 | 0.049677886 | 0.12114544 | 0.12143546 | 1.002394 | 3.3E-4 |
6.7 | 8.757013E-5 | 2.3153394E-4 | 2.515293E-4 | 1.0863605 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7524657E-4 | 9.919333E-4 | 0.0010418836 | 1.0503566 | 5.0E-5 | 0.00455906 | 0.012014003 | 0.0122116 | 1.0164472 | 2.0E-4 | 0.04466656 | 0.11249957 | 0.11279245 | 1.0026033 | 3.3E-4 |
6.8 | 8.562978E-5 | 2.271308E-4 | 2.4712627E-4 | 1.088035 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6693315E-4 | 9.7307685E-4 | 0.0010230282 | 1.0513334 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004458263 | 0.011786926 | 0.011984568 | 1.016768 | 2.0E-4 | 0.043698758 | 0.11050484 | 0.110798374 | 1.0026563 | 3.3E-4 |
6.9 | 6.124075E-5 | 1.7095442E-4 | 1.90951E-4 | 1.1169703 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6243398E-4 | 7.324569E-4 | 7.724276E-4 | 1.0545707 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0031904527 | 0.008881408 | 0.00906972 | 1.021203 | 1.9E-4 | 0.031450346 | 0.08431877 | 0.08460263 | 1.0033665 | 3.1E-4 |
7.0 | 5.8598747E-5 | 1.6524126E-4 | 1.8523795E-4 | 1.1210152 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5111332E-4 | 7.079854E-4 | 7.479571E-4 | 1.0564584 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0030530186 | 0.008585852 | 0.00877422 | 1.0219394 | 1.9E-4 | 0.03011414 | 0.08163556 | 0.08192025 | 1.0034873 | 3.1E-4 |
7.1 | 5.613814E-5 | 1.5942391E-4 | 1.7942072E-4 | 1.1254317 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4056983E-4 | 6.830672E-4 | 7.230399E-4 | 1.0585194 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0029250039 | 0.008284814 | 0.008473239 | 1.0227436 | 1.9E-4 | 0.028868021 | 0.078928486 | 0.079204805 | 1.0035009 | 3.0E-4 |
7.2 | 4.991222E-5 | 1.4548277E-4 | 1.6547985E-4 | 1.1374533 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1389198E-4 | 6.23349E-4 | 6.63324E-4 | 1.0641295 | 4.0E-5 | 0.002601025 | 0.0075629684 | 0.0077515314 | 1.0249324 | 1.9E-4 | 0.025707912 | 0.07237455 | 0.07265284 | 1.0038451 | 3.0E-4 |
7.3 | 4.7410045E-5 | 1.3741858E-4 | 1.5741582E-4 | 1.1455207 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0317009E-4 | 5.8880413E-4 | 6.287806E-4 | 1.0678943 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0024707897 | 0.0071452134 | 0.007333856 | 1.0264013 | 1.9E-4 | 0.024434982 | 0.068649046 | 0.06892845 | 1.00407 | 3.0E-4 |
7.4 | 4.5556746E-5 | 1.3149265E-4 | 1.5149002E-4 | 1.1520797 | 2.0E-5 | 1.952286E-4 | 5.6341855E-4 | 6.03396E-4 | 1.0709552 | 4.0E-5 | 0.002374317 | 0.0068381247 | 0.007016894 | 1.026143 | 1.8E-4 | 0.023491086 | 0.06590368 | 0.06616522 | 1.0039686 | 2.8E-4 |
7.5 | 4.3084514E-5 | 1.2384019E-4 | 1.4383771E-4 | 1.1614785 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8463485E-4 | 5.30636E-4 | 5.7061476E-4 | 1.0753412 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0022456115 | 0.0064414274 | 0.0066202683 | 1.0277641 | 1.8E-4 | 0.022230545 | 0.06230238 | 0.06256494 | 1.0042142 | 2.8E-4 |
7.6 | 3.408608E-5 | 9.860055E-5 | 1.18598575E-4 | 1.2028186 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4607502E-4 | 4.2250543E-4 | 4.6248853E-4 | 1.0946333 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017770125 | 0.0051318966 | 0.005310973 | 1.0348947 | 1.8E-4 | 0.017628696 | 0.050127413 | 0.050383877 | 1.0051162 | 2.7E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8315713E-5 | 8.2717124E-5 | 1.0271547E-4 | 1.2417679 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2134742E-4 | 3.5445383E-4 | 3.9443964E-4 | 1.1128097 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0014764034 | 0.0043069455 | 0.00448617 | 1.041613 | 1.8E-4 | 0.01466633 | 0.042372752 | 0.04263131 | 1.006102 | 2.7E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6222975E-5 | 7.484609E-5 | 9.4844596E-5 | 1.267195 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1237934E-4 | 3.2072954E-4 | 3.6071672E-4 | 1.1246756 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013673597 | 0.0038978967 | 0.004077195 | 1.0459987 | 1.8E-4 | 0.013589768 | 0.03853184 | 0.038791437 | 1.0067372 | 2.7E-4 |
7.9 | 2.1469694E-5 | 5.805764E-5 | 7.805648E-5 | 1.3444653 | 2.0E-5 | 9.200973E-5 | 2.4879473E-4 | 2.887848E-4 | 1.1607351 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011196428 | 0.0030248717 | 0.0031943575 | 1.0560308 | 1.7E-4 | 0.011140184 | 0.030232279 | 0.03047472 | 1.0080193 | 2.5E-4 |
8.0 | 1.2420249E-5 | 3.141739E-5 | 4.1417075E-5 | 1.3182851 | 1.0E-5 | 5.322855E-5 | 1.3463902E-4 | 1.4463767E-4 | 1.0742626 | 1.0E-5 | 6.478649E-4 | 0.0016379985 | 0.0016779329 | 1.0243801 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0064597935 | 0.016568666 | 0.016627673 | 1.0035613 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 4.9197724E-6 | 7.857409E-6 | 7.857409E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1084568E-5 | 3.3674176E-5 | 3.3674176E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.566744E-4 | 4.0990612E-4 | 4.0990612E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002563781 | 0.0044021094 | 0.0044021094 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.5634774E-6 | 2.9227742E-6 | 2.9227742E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0986286E-5 | 1.2526115E-5 | 1.2526115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3374983E-4 | 1.5249483E-4 | 1.5249483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013366934 | 0.0017134473 | 0.0017134473 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.2850464E-7 | 3.2294545E-7 | 3.2294545E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2650179E-6 | 1.3840513E-6 | 1.3840513E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7576245E-5 | 1.6850707E-5 | 1.6850707E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7572823E-4 | 1.9988706E-4 | 1.9988706E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1708682E-5 | 2.1708682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.30343E-5 | 1.03033366E-4 | 1.1074772 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.001132176 | 0.0012520402 | 1.1058706 | 1.2E-4 | 0.010280091 | 0.011271259 | 0.011557991 | 1.0254391 | 2.9E-4 |
6.1 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1708682E-5 | 2.1708682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.30343E-5 | 1.03033366E-4 | 1.1074772 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.001132176 | 0.0012520402 | 1.1058706 | 1.2E-4 | 0.010280091 | 0.011271259 | 0.011557991 | 1.0254391 | 2.9E-4 |
6.2 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1708682E-5 | 2.1708682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.30343E-5 | 1.03033366E-4 | 1.1074772 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.001132176 | 0.0012520402 | 1.1058706 | 1.2E-4 | 0.010280091 | 0.011271259 | 0.011557991 | 1.0254391 | 2.9E-4 |
6.3 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.6822172E-5 | 1.6822172E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.2093375E-5 | 7.2093375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.7744463E-4 | 9.773568E-4 | 1.1138673 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007974784 | 0.008745847 | 0.008993661 | 1.028335 | 2.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.6822172E-5 | 1.6822172E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.2093375E-5 | 7.2093375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.7744463E-4 | 9.773568E-4 | 1.1138673 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007974784 | 0.008745847 | 0.008993661 | 1.028335 | 2.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.4189697E-5 | 1.555938E-5 | 1.555938E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.081157E-5 | 6.668169E-5 | 6.668169E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.401293E-4 | 8.116075E-4 | 9.115264E-4 | 1.1231122 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0073766913 | 0.008092378 | 0.008330436 | 1.0294175 | 2.4E-4 |
6.6 | 1.3469301E-5 | 1.4772904E-5 | 1.4772904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7724297E-5 | 6.331125E-5 | 6.331125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.025667E-4 | 7.706018E-4 | 8.6053245E-4 | 1.1167018 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0070034964 | 0.007685202 | 0.007903512 | 1.0284065 | 2.2E-4 |
6.7 | 1.3027966E-5 | 1.4283021E-5 | 1.4283021E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5832945E-5 | 6.121185E-5 | 6.121185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7955407E-4 | 7.450592E-4 | 8.3499216E-4 | 1.1207057 | 9.0E-5 | 0.006774798 | 0.0074314913 | 0.0076399306 | 1.0280482 | 2.1E-4 |
6.8 | 5.695434E-6 | 6.2249546E-6 | 6.2249546E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4408775E-5 | 2.6678274E-5 | 2.6678274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.971363E-4 | 3.2478955E-4 | 3.347863E-4 | 1.0307791 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029673933 | 0.0032460901 | 0.0032859603 | 1.0122825 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.385688E-6 | 4.7934686E-6 | 4.7934686E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.879567E-5 | 2.0543437E-5 | 2.0543437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2881327E-4 | 2.5011634E-4 | 2.6011385E-4 | 1.0399714 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002285778 | 0.0025011634 | 0.0025310884 | 1.0119644 | 3.0E-5 |
Death Valley (No)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.250262E-5 | 3.2502394E-5 | 1.4443827 | 1.0E-5 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.643628E-5 | 1.0643531E-4 | 1.1036854 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011734866 | 0.0012334163 | 1.0510697 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.011673815 | 0.011891246 | 1.0186256 | 2.2E-4 |
6.1 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.250262E-5 | 3.2502394E-5 | 1.4443827 | 1.0E-5 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.643628E-5 | 1.0643531E-4 | 1.1036854 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011734866 | 0.0012334163 | 1.0510697 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.011673815 | 0.011891246 | 1.0186256 | 2.2E-4 |
6.2 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.250262E-5 | 3.2502394E-5 | 1.4443827 | 1.0E-5 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.643628E-5 | 1.0643531E-4 | 1.1036854 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011734866 | 0.0012334163 | 1.0510697 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010420183 | 0.011673815 | 0.011891246 | 1.0186256 | 2.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.1339336E-5 | 3.1339125E-5 | 1.4686081 | 1.0E-5 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.145113E-5 | 1.0145022E-4 | 1.109338 | 1.0E-5 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.0011128556 | 0.0011727888 | 1.0538553 | 6.0E-5 | 0.009891188 | 0.011073652 | 0.011291215 | 1.019647 | 2.2E-4 |
6.4 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.1339336E-5 | 3.1339125E-5 | 1.4686081 | 1.0E-5 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.145113E-5 | 1.0145022E-4 | 1.109338 | 1.0E-5 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.0011128556 | 0.0011727888 | 1.0538553 | 6.0E-5 | 0.009891188 | 0.011073652 | 0.011291215 | 1.019647 | 2.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.8367004E-5 | 2.05633E-5 | 3.0563093E-5 | 1.4862933 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8713354E-5 | 8.812549E-5 | 9.8124605E-5 | 1.1134646 | 1.0E-5 | 9.5791375E-4 | 0.0010724063 | 0.0011323419 | 1.0558889 | 6.0E-5 | 0.009537951 | 0.010673099 | 0.010890751 | 1.0203925 | 2.2E-4 |
6.6 | 1.779439E-5 | 1.9913137E-5 | 2.9912939E-5 | 1.502171 | 1.0E-5 | 7.625944E-5 | 8.533926E-5 | 9.5338415E-5 | 1.1171694 | 1.0E-5 | 9.280632E-4 | 0.0010385168 | 0.0010984543 | 1.0577147 | 6.0E-5 | 0.009241969 | 0.010337394 | 0.01055512 | 1.021062 | 2.2E-4 |
6.7 | 1.7025437E-5 | 1.9045532E-5 | 2.904534E-5 | 1.5250475 | 1.0E-5 | 7.296412E-5 | 8.162119E-5 | 9.162037E-5 | 1.1225072 | 1.0E-5 | 8.87976E-4 | 9.932911E-4 | 0.0010532315 | 1.0603453 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008844362 | 0.009889234 | 0.010107058 | 1.0220264 | 2.2E-4 |
6.8 | 1.6545107E-5 | 1.8514598E-5 | 2.8514414E-5 | 1.5401043 | 1.0E-5 | 7.090568E-5 | 7.9345904E-5 | 8.934511E-5 | 1.1260204 | 1.0E-5 | 8.629347E-4 | 9.6561434E-4 | 0.0010255564 | 1.0620766 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008595915 | 0.00961489 | 0.009822871 | 1.0216311 | 2.1E-4 |
6.9 | 1.615478E-5 | 1.8089611E-5 | 2.8089431E-5 | 1.5527935 | 1.0E-5 | 6.9232934E-5 | 7.752464E-5 | 8.752386E-5 | 1.1289812 | 1.0E-5 | 8.4258494E-4 | 9.434598E-4 | 0.0010034032 | 1.0635357 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008393973 | 0.009395239 | 0.009603266 | 1.0221417 | 2.1E-4 |
7.0 | 1.5894311E-5 | 1.7807544E-5 | 2.7807368E-5 | 1.5615497 | 1.0E-5 | 6.81167E-5 | 7.631585E-5 | 8.6315085E-5 | 1.1310244 | 1.0E-5 | 8.2900526E-4 | 9.287555E-4 | 9.787091E-4 | 1.0537854 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008259195 | 0.009249429 | 0.009447579 | 1.021423 | 2.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.5602263E-5 | 1.7485467E-5 | 2.7485292E-5 | 1.5718935 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6865134E-5 | 7.49356E-5 | 8.493485E-5 | 1.1334379 | 1.0E-5 | 8.137789E-4 | 9.119651E-4 | 9.619195E-4 | 1.0547767 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008108052 | 0.00908291 | 0.009281093 | 1.0218194 | 2.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.5323829E-5 | 1.7172559E-5 | 2.7172386E-5 | 1.5823144 | 1.0E-5 | 6.56719E-5 | 7.359464E-5 | 8.35939E-5 | 1.1358695 | 1.0E-5 | 7.99262E-4 | 8.956524E-4 | 9.456076E-4 | 1.0557753 | 5.0E-5 | 0.007963934 | 0.008921104 | 0.00911932 | 1.0222187 | 2.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.4556212E-5 | 1.6304277E-5 | 2.6304115E-5 | 1.613326 | 1.0E-5 | 6.238227E-5 | 6.987363E-5 | 7.987294E-5 | 1.1431055 | 1.0E-5 | 7.592395E-4 | 8.5038535E-4 | 9.003428E-4 | 1.0587469 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0075665074 | 0.008471957 | 0.008670263 | 1.0234073 | 2.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.411725E-5 | 1.5809725E-5 | 2.5809566E-5 | 1.6325121 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0501097E-5 | 6.7754234E-5 | 7.775355E-5 | 1.1475823 | 1.0E-5 | 7.363519E-4 | 8.246014E-4 | 8.7456015E-4 | 1.0605854 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0073391674 | 0.008216051 | 0.008414408 | 1.0241426 | 2.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.3503312E-5 | 1.5127982E-5 | 2.512783E-5 | 1.6610167 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7870053E-5 | 6.483263E-5 | 7.483198E-5 | 1.1542333 | 1.0E-5 | 7.043401E-4 | 7.8905723E-4 | 8.390178E-4 | 1.0633167 | 5.0E-5 | 0.007021119 | 0.007863181 | 0.008061608 | 1.025235 | 2.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1279839E-5 | 1.262773E-5 | 2.2627604E-5 | 1.7918979 | 1.0E-5 | 4.834127E-5 | 5.411775E-5 | 6.411721E-5 | 1.1847723 | 1.0E-5 | 5.88396E-4 | 6.5868977E-4 | 7.086568E-4 | 1.0758582 | 5.0E-5 | 0.005868405 | 0.006567926 | 0.006756678 | 1.0287385 | 1.9E-4 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.0284499E-5 | 2.0284397E-5 | 1.9723271 | 1.0E-5 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.4075707E-5 | 5.4075266E-5 | 1.2268723 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.3649466E-4 | 5.864678E-4 | 1.0931475 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004783291 | 0.005352506 | 0.005521596 | 1.0315908 | 1.7E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.648448E-7 | 3.648448E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5636197E-6 | 1.5636197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9036908E-5 | 1.9036908E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9035321E-4 | 2.0035131E-4 | 1.052524 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6697788E-9 | 2.6697788E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.144191E-8 | 1.144191E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3930524E-7 | 1.3930524E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3930525E-6 | 1.3930525E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Big Bend)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0133468E-4 | 2.0133468E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.6257857E-4 | 8.6257857E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052979486 | 0.01045161 | 0.010530774 | 1.0075743 | 8.0E-5 | 0.051734097 | 0.10169676 | 0.10187642 | 1.0017667 | 2.0E-4 |
6.1 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0133468E-4 | 2.0133468E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.6257857E-4 | 8.6257857E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052979486 | 0.01045161 | 0.010530774 | 1.0075743 | 8.0E-5 | 0.051734097 | 0.10169676 | 0.10187642 | 1.0017667 | 2.0E-4 |
6.2 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0133468E-4 | 2.0133468E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.6257857E-4 | 8.6257857E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052979486 | 0.01045161 | 0.010530774 | 1.0075743 | 8.0E-5 | 0.051734097 | 0.10169676 | 0.10187642 | 1.0017667 | 2.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0133468E-4 | 2.0133468E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.6257857E-4 | 8.6257857E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052979486 | 0.01045161 | 0.010530774 | 1.0075743 | 8.0E-5 | 0.051734097 | 0.10169676 | 0.10187642 | 1.0017667 | 2.0E-4 |
6.4 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8489485E-4 | 1.8489485E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9268145E-4 | 7.9216604E-4 | 7.9216604E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047704205 | 0.00960209 | 0.009661514 | 1.0061886 | 6.0E-5 | 0.046693064 | 0.09402724 | 0.09413596 | 1.0011562 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8489485E-4 | 1.8489485E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9268145E-4 | 7.9216604E-4 | 7.9216604E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047704205 | 0.00960209 | 0.009661514 | 1.0061886 | 6.0E-5 | 0.046693064 | 0.09402724 | 0.09413596 | 1.0011562 | 1.2E-4 |
6.6 | 9.042622E-5 | 1.8296375E-4 | 1.8296375E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8748336E-4 | 7.838949E-4 | 7.838949E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047074095 | 0.009502269 | 0.009551794 | 1.005212 | 5.0E-5 | 0.046089325 | 0.093123995 | 0.09321468 | 1.0009738 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 8.9836685E-5 | 1.8210655E-4 | 1.8210655E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8495753E-4 | 7.802234E-4 | 7.802234E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00467679 | 0.009457957 | 0.009507485 | 1.0052365 | 5.0E-5 | 0.045795817 | 0.092718124 | 0.09280885 | 1.0009786 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 8.9471854E-5 | 1.8157378E-4 | 1.8157378E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8339442E-4 | 7.779415E-4 | 7.779415E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004657841 | 0.009430416 | 0.009479945 | 1.005252 | 5.0E-5 | 0.04561414 | 0.09246524 | 0.09255599 | 1.0009815 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 8.858234E-5 | 1.8039253E-4 | 1.8039253E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7958333E-4 | 7.7288196E-4 | 7.7288196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004611638 | 0.009369347 | 0.009418879 | 1.0052866 | 5.0E-5 | 0.04517103 | 0.091904834 | 0.09198657 | 1.0008893 | 9.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.7433385E-5 | 1.7877891E-4 | 1.7877891E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.746607E-4 | 7.659705E-4 | 7.659705E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004551957 | 0.00928592 | 0.0093354555 | 1.0053345 | 5.0E-5 | 0.044598386 | 0.09113929 | 0.09122108 | 1.0008975 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.684964E-5 | 1.7789747E-4 | 1.7789747E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7215967E-4 | 7.6219515E-4 | 7.6219515E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045216335 | 0.009240346 | 0.009289884 | 1.0053611 | 5.0E-5 | 0.04430731 | 0.090720475 | 0.09080231 | 1.000902 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.606521E-5 | 1.7680266E-4 | 1.7680266E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6879873E-4 | 7.575058E-4 | 7.575058E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044808835 | 0.009183736 | 0.009233276 | 1.0053945 | 5.0E-5 | 0.043916024 | 0.090200655 | 0.09028254 | 1.0009078 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.568266E-5 | 1.7622167E-4 | 1.7622167E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6715972E-4 | 7.5501733E-4 | 7.5501733E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044610105 | 0.009153694 | 0.009203237 | 1.0054122 | 5.0E-5 | 0.043725148 | 0.08992133 | 0.09000324 | 1.0009109 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.5432206E-5 | 1.7584683E-4 | 1.7584683E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6608664E-4 | 7.534118E-4 | 7.534118E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004447999 | 0.009134311 | 0.009183854 | 1.0054239 | 5.0E-5 | 0.043600157 | 0.08974122 | 0.08982314 | 1.0009129 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.4791965E-5 | 1.7453753E-4 | 1.7453753E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.633435E-4 | 7.478037E-4 | 7.478037E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044147377 | 0.009066602 | 0.0091161495 | 1.0054648 | 5.0E-5 | 0.043280575 | 0.08911917 | 0.08920115 | 1.0009199 | 9.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.241105E-5 | 1.6898122E-4 | 1.6898122E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.531424E-4 | 7.240044E-4 | 7.240044E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042910352 | 0.008779217 | 0.008828778 | 1.0056453 | 5.0E-5 | 0.042091176 | 0.08649349 | 0.086566575 | 1.000845 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 7.00432E-5 | 1.4256543E-4 | 1.4256543E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.001506E-4 | 6.108517E-4 | 6.108517E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036482112 | 0.007411799 | 0.0074515026 | 1.0053568 | 4.0E-5 | 0.035888977 | 0.07374842 | 0.07381325 | 1.0008792 | 7.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.415362E-5 | 1.3015859E-4 | 1.3015859E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.749151E-4 | 5.577033E-4 | 5.577033E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033419547 | 0.0067689284 | 0.006808657 | 1.0058694 | 4.0E-5 | 0.03292141 | 0.06746327 | 0.067528546 | 1.0009676 | 7.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.939911E-5 | 9.374638E-5 | 9.374638E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.116933E-4 | 4.0170833E-4 | 4.0170833E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025743195 | 0.00487984 | 0.0048897914 | 1.0020392 | 1.0E-5 | 0.025447013 | 0.04907015 | 0.049098678 | 1.0005814 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.344983E-5 | 5.2424744E-5 | 5.2424744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4334853E-4 | 2.2465813E-4 | 2.2465813E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017438711 | 0.0027317838 | 0.0027317838 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017302496 | 0.028019326 | 0.028019326 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.9104898E-5 | 1.9267743E-5 | 1.9267743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1875565E-5 | 8.257343E-5 | 8.257343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.963791E-4 | 0.0010048685 | 0.0010048685 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009919235 | 0.010799433 | 0.010799433 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.510076E-6 | 5.510076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3614397E-5 | 2.3614397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8746744E-4 | 2.8746744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032680929 | 0.0032680929 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.715289E-7 | 7.715289E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.3065483E-6 | 3.3065483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.02565E-5 | 4.02565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7517708E-4 | 4.7517708E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.258278E-6 | 8.551547E-6 | 8.551547E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.539214E-5 | 3.664907E-5 | 3.664907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.308141E-4 | 4.4612895E-4 | 5.0610217E-4 | 1.1344303 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0042997985 | 0.004454091 | 0.004643245 | 1.0424674 | 1.9E-4 |
6.1 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7754364E-6 | 3.7754364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.618037E-5 | 1.618037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9698295E-4 | 2.0698097E-4 | 1.0507559 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019027026 | 0.0019685507 | 0.0020284327 | 1.0304192 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7754364E-6 | 3.7754364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.618037E-5 | 1.618037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9698295E-4 | 2.0698097E-4 | 1.0507559 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019027026 | 0.0019685507 | 0.0020284327 | 1.0304192 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4411634E-6 | 1.4411634E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.1764076E-6 | 6.1764076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.5196585E-5 | 8.519583E-5 | 1.1329747 | 1.0E-5 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.518502E-4 | 7.7183516E-4 | 1.026581 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4411634E-6 | 1.4411634E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.1764076E-6 | 6.1764076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.5196585E-5 | 8.519583E-5 | 1.1329747 | 1.0E-5 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.518502E-4 | 7.7183516E-4 | 1.026581 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.876812E-7 | 1.0222244E-6 | 1.0222244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2329125E-6 | 4.3809614E-6 | 4.3809614E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.153449E-5 | 5.3338208E-5 | 6.333768E-5 | 1.1874728 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1522546E-4 | 5.3338206E-4 | 5.433767E-4 | 1.0187383 | 1.0E-5 |
Manix-Afton Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4712011E-5 | 1.4712011E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.305005E-5 | 7.304942E-5 | 1.1585941 | 1.0E-5 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.6738145E-4 | 8.173431E-4 | 1.0651066 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007649073 | 0.007817773 | 1.0220549 | 1.7E-4 |
6.1 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4712011E-5 | 1.4712011E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.305005E-5 | 7.304942E-5 | 1.1585941 | 1.0E-5 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.6738145E-4 | 8.173431E-4 | 1.0651066 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007649073 | 0.007817773 | 1.0220549 | 1.7E-4 |
6.2 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4712011E-5 | 1.4712011E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.305005E-5 | 7.304942E-5 | 1.1585941 | 1.0E-5 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.6738145E-4 | 8.173431E-4 | 1.0651066 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007649073 | 0.007817773 | 1.0220549 | 1.7E-4 |
6.3 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1793874E-5 | 1.1793874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.0544255E-5 | 6.054375E-5 | 1.1978364 | 1.0E-5 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.1521295E-4 | 6.651822E-4 | 1.0812227 | 5.0E-5 | 0.005748908 | 0.0061361385 | 0.006285218 | 1.0242953 | 1.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1793874E-5 | 1.1793874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.0544255E-5 | 6.054375E-5 | 1.1978364 | 1.0E-5 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.1521295E-4 | 6.651822E-4 | 1.0812227 | 5.0E-5 | 0.005748908 | 0.0061361385 | 0.006285218 | 1.0242953 | 1.5E-4 |
6.5 | 9.788949E-6 | 1.0454981E-5 | 1.0454981E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1951964E-5 | 4.4806344E-5 | 5.4805896E-5 | 1.2231727 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1064545E-4 | 5.4539E-4 | 5.7537365E-4 | 1.0549765 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0050947363 | 0.005441442 | 0.005560789 | 1.021933 | 1.2E-4 |
6.6 | 8.810006E-6 | 9.414229E-6 | 9.414229E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.775662E-5 | 4.034612E-5 | 5.0345716E-5 | 1.2478453 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5958988E-4 | 4.911122E-4 | 5.111024E-4 | 1.0407039 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045864056 | 0.004901151 | 0.005010612 | 1.0223337 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 8.80128E-6 | 9.404707E-6 | 9.404707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7719226E-5 | 4.0305316E-5 | 5.0304912E-5 | 1.2480962 | 1.0E-5 | 4.591348E-4 | 4.906156E-4 | 5.106058E-4 | 1.0407451 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004581874 | 0.0048962072 | 0.005005669 | 1.0223564 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 6.8994877E-6 | 7.3805545E-6 | 7.3805545E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9568899E-5 | 3.163061E-5 | 3.163061E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5994186E-4 | 3.850428E-4 | 3.9503895E-4 | 1.0259612 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003593594 | 0.0038445618 | 0.0039242543 | 1.0207286 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.9328037E-6 | 5.271298E-6 | 5.271298E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1140417E-5 | 2.2591115E-5 | 2.2591115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5735417E-4 | 2.7501828E-4 | 2.8501553E-4 | 1.0363512 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025705635 | 0.0027473846 | 0.0027972471 | 1.0181491 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.347973E-6 | 3.5902717E-6 | 3.5902717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4348378E-5 | 1.5386811E-5 | 1.5386811E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.746775E-4 | 1.8732242E-4 | 1.9732055E-4 | 1.0533739 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017454025 | 0.0018720479 | 0.001911973 | 1.021327 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2073567E-6 | 1.2935677E-6 | 1.2935677E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1743755E-6 | 5.543859E-6 | 5.543859E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.29962E-5 | 6.7496025E-5 | 6.7496025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.297835E-4 | 6.7491544E-4 | 6.849087E-4 | 1.0148066 | 1.0E-5 |
Scodie Lineament
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2919327E-6 | 3.0134283E-6 | 3.0134283E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4108206E-5 | 1.29146465E-5 | 1.29146465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7175387E-4 | 1.5722765E-4 | 1.7722452E-4 | 1.127184 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017162118 | 0.0015714758 | 0.0017412086 | 1.1080086 | 1.7E-4 |
6.1 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.549099E-6 | 1.549099E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.638982E-6 | 6.638982E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082711E-5 | 9.0826295E-5 | 1.1237109 | 1.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.080259E-4 | 8.5798546E-4 | 1.0618292 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.549099E-6 | 1.549099E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.638982E-6 | 6.638982E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082711E-5 | 9.0826295E-5 | 1.1237109 | 1.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.080259E-4 | 8.5798546E-4 | 1.0618292 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.549099E-6 | 1.549099E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.638982E-6 | 6.638982E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082711E-5 | 9.0826295E-5 | 1.1237109 | 1.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.080259E-4 | 8.5798546E-4 | 1.0618292 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.549099E-6 | 1.549099E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.638982E-6 | 6.638982E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082711E-5 | 9.0826295E-5 | 1.1237109 | 1.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.080259E-4 | 8.5798546E-4 | 1.0618292 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8106311E-6 | 1.4910308E-6 | 1.4910308E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.759824E-6 | 6.3901193E-6 | 6.3901193E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.447177E-5 | 7.779742E-5 | 8.7796645E-5 | 1.128529 | 1.0E-5 | 9.4431615E-4 | 7.777505E-4 | 8.2771166E-4 | 1.064238 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2414679E-6 | 8.9978136E-7 | 8.9978136E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.320566E-6 | 3.8562007E-6 | 3.8562007E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.477596E-5 | 4.694832E-5 | 4.694832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.475708E-4 | 4.6939266E-4 | 4.993786E-4 | 1.0638824 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1062215E-6 | 7.5945184E-7 | 7.5945184E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7409408E-6 | 3.2547898E-6 | 3.2547898E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7719422E-5 | 3.962642E-5 | 3.962642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.770443E-4 | 3.9620048E-4 | 4.1619258E-4 | 1.0504595 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0006736E-6 | 6.500567E-7 | 6.500567E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.288594E-6 | 2.7859546E-6 | 2.7859546E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.221238E-5 | 3.391853E-5 | 3.391853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.220012E-4 | 3.3913963E-4 | 3.4913621E-4 | 1.0294764 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.167364E-7 | 5.631767E-7 | 5.631767E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9288643E-6 | 2.4136123E-6 | 2.4136123E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7832873E-5 | 2.9385392E-5 | 2.9385392E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.782258E-4 | 2.9382075E-4 | 3.038178E-4 | 1.0340244 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.6987664E-7 | 4.113477E-7 | 4.113477E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2994672E-6 | 1.7629178E-6 | 1.7629178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0170275E-5 | 2.1463353E-5 | 2.1463353E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0163012E-4 | 2.1461665E-4 | 2.246145E-4 | 1.0465847 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1038727E-7 | 3.521226E-7 | 3.521226E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0445133E-6 | 1.5090963E-6 | 1.5090963E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.706632E-5 | 1.8373128E-5 | 1.8373128E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7060137E-4 | 1.8371959E-4 | 1.9371774E-4 | 1.0544208 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0799602E-7 | 3.1185024E-8 | 3.1185024E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.914113E-7 | 1.3365009E-7 | 1.3365009E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0852878E-5 | 1.6271887E-6 | 1.6271887E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08523476E-4 | 1.6271775E-5 | 1.6271775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5048182E-7 | 1.5942275E-8 | 1.5942275E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.449219E-7 | 6.8324034E-8 | 6.8324034E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851896E-6 | 8.3184483E-7 | 8.3184483E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851618E-5 | 8.31842E-6 | 8.31842E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.864598E-9 | 4.864598E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 2.0848278E-8 | 2.0848278E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.5382775E-7 | 2.5382775E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095951E-5 | 2.5382758E-6 | 2.5382758E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Parkfield)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.556969E-4 | 7.8494044E-4 | 7.8494044E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023793848 | 0.0033602538 | 0.0033702203 | 1.0029659 | 1.0E-5 | 0.028586963 | 0.040571734 | 0.040638894 | 1.0016553 | 7.0E-5 | 0.25176284 | 0.33832487 | 0.33843738 | 1.0003325 | 1.7E-4 |
6.1 | 1.925858E-4 | 3.0477333E-4 | 3.0477333E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2510663E-4 | 0.0013056137 | 0.0013156006 | 1.0076492 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0099994885 | 0.015872182 | 0.015921388 | 1.0031002 | 5.0E-5 | 0.095613256 | 0.15022476 | 0.15029274 | 1.0004525 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.4306815E-5 | 1.8297294E-4 | 1.8297294E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0410945E-4 | 7.8393536E-4 | 7.8393536E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049089384 | 0.009502853 | 0.009542473 | 1.0041692 | 4.0E-5 | 0.048019063 | 0.09207031 | 0.092133865 | 1.0006903 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.283051E-5 | 1.7993625E-4 | 1.7993625E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9778434E-4 | 7.7092863E-4 | 7.7092863E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048322747 | 0.009345863 | 0.009385489 | 1.0042399 | 4.0E-5 | 0.047285385 | 0.09072326 | 0.09078691 | 1.0007015 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.138826E-5 | 1.7755425E-4 | 1.7755425E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.916052E-4 | 7.6072605E-4 | 7.6072605E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047573745 | 0.009222709 | 0.00926234 | 1.0042971 | 4.0E-5 | 0.046568092 | 0.08962564 | 0.08968937 | 1.0007111 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.000255E-5 | 1.751313E-4 | 1.751313E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8566816E-4 | 7.50348E-4 | 7.50348E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046854047 | 0.009097434 | 0.00913707 | 1.0043569 | 4.0E-5 | 0.045878403 | 0.088513255 | 0.088577054 | 1.0007209 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.8109264E-5 | 1.7193599E-4 | 1.7193599E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7755648E-4 | 7.3666155E-4 | 7.3666155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045870654 | 0.008932192 | 0.008971835 | 1.0044382 | 4.0E-5 | 0.04493529 | 0.08704351 | 0.08710742 | 1.0007342 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.738073E-5 | 1.7060526E-4 | 1.7060526E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7443507E-4 | 7.309617E-4 | 7.309617E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045492216 | 0.0088634 | 0.008903045 | 1.004473 | 4.0E-5 | 0.04457213 | 0.08644346 | 0.08650742 | 1.0007398 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.710195E-5 | 1.7005905E-4 | 1.7005905E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7324068E-4 | 7.286221E-4 | 7.286221E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045347405 | 0.0088351555 | 0.008874802 | 1.0044874 | 4.0E-5 | 0.04443313 | 0.08619062 | 0.08625458 | 1.0007422 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.6801556E-5 | 1.6946746E-4 | 1.6946746E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7195362E-4 | 7.2608807E-4 | 7.2608807E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045191357 | 0.008804554 | 0.008844201 | 1.0045031 | 4.0E-5 | 0.044283327 | 0.08591634 | 0.085980326 | 1.0007447 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.5571606E-5 | 1.6699129E-4 | 1.6699129E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6668387E-4 | 7.154818E-4 | 7.154818E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004455241 | 0.008676457 | 0.00871611 | 1.0045701 | 4.0E-5 | 0.043669727 | 0.08476284 | 0.08482691 | 1.0007558 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.82589E-5 | 1.5178401E-4 | 1.5178401E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3535215E-4 | 6.5034145E-4 | 6.5034145E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040752706 | 0.007889333 | 0.007919096 | 1.0037726 | 3.0E-5 | 0.040013418 | 0.07767008 | 0.07772542 | 1.0007125 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.690929E-5 | 1.4915351E-4 | 1.4915351E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2956956E-4 | 6.3907343E-4 | 6.3907343E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004005129 | 0.0077531287 | 0.007782896 | 1.0038394 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0393371 | 0.07644224 | 0.07649766 | 1.0007249 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.5543794E-5 | 1.461135E-4 | 1.461135E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2371894E-4 | 6.260511E-4 | 6.260511E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003934157 | 0.0075956974 | 0.0076254695 | 1.0039196 | 3.0E-5 | 0.038652334 | 0.075001545 | 0.075057045 | 1.0007399 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.4214564E-5 | 1.4311662E-4 | 1.4311662E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1802364E-4 | 6.1321346E-4 | 6.1321346E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003865065 | 0.0074404767 | 0.0074702534 | 1.004002 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03798529 | 0.07357279 | 0.07362838 | 1.0007555 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.149578E-5 | 1.12325244E-4 | 1.12325244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6352672E-4 | 4.813052E-4 | 4.813052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032037178 | 0.005844178 | 0.005874003 | 1.0051033 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03157923 | 0.058746405 | 0.05879347 | 1.0008011 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.0643448E-5 | 1.10607616E-4 | 1.10607616E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.598746E-4 | 4.7394662E-4 | 4.7394662E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031593828 | 0.005755064 | 0.0057848915 | 1.0051827 | 3.0E-5 | 0.031148417 | 0.05790586 | 0.057952963 | 1.0008135 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.1652263E-5 | 9.211752E-5 | 9.211752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2134806E-4 | 3.947297E-4 | 3.947297E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002691582 | 0.004795254 | 0.004815158 | 1.0041507 | 2.0E-5 | 0.026592141 | 0.048711475 | 0.048749525 | 1.0007812 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 4.8090482E-5 | 8.593766E-5 | 8.593766E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.060858E-4 | 3.6825228E-4 | 3.6825228E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025062072 | 0.0044742627 | 0.004494173 | 1.00445 | 2.0E-5 | 0.024781305 | 0.045464456 | 0.04550264 | 1.0008398 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.970278E-5 | 6.776978E-5 | 6.776978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7014367E-4 | 2.904096E-4 | 2.904096E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002069531 | 0.0035300083 | 0.003539973 | 1.0028229 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020503636 | 0.036008235 | 0.036027513 | 1.0005354 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.8982335E-5 | 4.086497E-5 | 4.086497E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2420409E-4 | 1.7512382E-4 | 1.7512382E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015111357 | 0.0021300488 | 0.0021300488 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015009012 | 0.022094226 | 0.022094226 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.8836186E-5 | 1.877429E-5 | 1.877429E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0724014E-5 | 8.045876E-5 | 8.045876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.823717E-4 | 9.791458E-4 | 9.791458E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009780403 | 0.01053722 | 0.01053722 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.510076E-6 | 5.510076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3614397E-5 | 2.3614397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8746744E-4 | 2.8746744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032680929 | 0.0032680929 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.715289E-7 | 7.715289E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.3065483E-6 | 3.3065483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.02565E-5 | 4.02565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7517708E-4 | 4.7517708E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.93789E-4 | 2.93789E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.001258643 | 0.0012686304 | 1.007935 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008420097 | 0.015237657 | 0.015286895 | 1.0032313 | 5.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.13957246 | 0.1396757 | 1.0007398 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.93789E-4 | 2.93789E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.001258643 | 0.0012686304 | 1.007935 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008420097 | 0.015237657 | 0.015286895 | 1.0032313 | 5.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.13957246 | 0.1396757 | 1.0007398 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.93789E-4 | 2.93789E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.001258643 | 0.0012686304 | 1.007935 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008420097 | 0.015237657 | 0.015286895 | 1.0032313 | 5.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.13957246 | 0.1396757 | 1.0007398 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7706223E-4 | 1.7706223E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.587342E-4 | 7.687266E-4 | 1.0131699 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005262531 | 0.009219154 | 0.009258785 | 1.0042988 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0513964 | 0.08700548 | 0.087105915 | 1.0011543 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7706223E-4 | 1.7706223E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.587342E-4 | 7.687266E-4 | 1.0131699 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005262531 | 0.009219154 | 0.009258785 | 1.0042988 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0513964 | 0.08700548 | 0.087105915 | 1.0011543 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 3.6624708E-5 | 4.640499E-5 | 4.640499E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.569536E-4 | 1.9886543E-4 | 2.0886344E-4 | 1.0502752 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001909235 | 0.0024188592 | 0.002428835 | 1.0041242 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01892915 | 0.023774527 | 0.023803815 | 1.0012319 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.5051324E-5 | 2.6158448E-5 | 2.6158448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.073584E-4 | 1.1210307E-4 | 1.1210307E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013063047 | 0.001364045 | 0.001364045 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012986525 | 0.013567233 | 0.013577097 | 1.000727 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.2189772E-5 | 2.2082244E-5 | 2.2082244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.509556E-5 | 9.463496E-5 | 9.463496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011571734 | 0.0011516081 | 0.0011516081 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011511663 | 0.011467294 | 0.01147718 | 1.000862 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6654378E-5 | 1.4443107E-5 | 1.4443107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.137396E-5 | 6.189759E-5 | 6.189759E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.686314E-4 | 7.533477E-4 | 7.533477E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008652439 | 0.007513603 | 0.0075235283 | 1.001321 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5042909E-5 | 1.23367845E-5 | 1.23367845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.446802E-5 | 5.287088E-5 | 5.287088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8461546E-4 | 6.4351596E-4 | 6.4351596E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007818509 | 0.0064211097 | 0.0064310455 | 1.0015473 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.4361385E-5 | 1.145584E-5 | 1.145584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154734E-5 | 4.909555E-5 | 4.909555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490812E-4 | 5.975773E-4 | 5.975773E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007465612 | 0.0059640473 | 0.0059739873 | 1.0016667 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3265571E-5 | 1.0248978E-5 | 1.0248978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6851208E-5 | 4.3923465E-5 | 4.3923465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.919436E-4 | 5.3463946E-4 | 5.3463946E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006897931 | 0.0053369836 | 0.00534693 | 1.0018637 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1596403E-5 | 8.508541E-6 | 8.508541E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9697923E-5 | 3.6464677E-5 | 3.6464677E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.049042E-4 | 4.438687E-4 | 4.438687E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006032603 | 0.0044312407 | 0.004441196 | 1.0022467 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0150827E-5 | 7.2417924E-6 | 7.2417924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3502816E-5 | 3.1035892E-5 | 3.1035892E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2951806E-4 | 3.777979E-4 | 3.777979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005282581 | 0.0037719137 | 0.0037719137 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.080705E-6 | 6.355245E-6 | 6.355245E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8916725E-5 | 2.7236489E-5 | 2.7236489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7370812E-4 | 3.3155514E-4 | 3.3155514E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004726996 | 0.003310757 | 0.003310757 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.671649E-6 | 5.2279997E-6 | 5.2279997E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.287808E-5 | 2.2405527E-5 | 2.2405527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0021708E-4 | 2.727544E-4 | 2.727544E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039949706 | 0.0027243216 | 0.0027243216 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.990086E-6 | 4.6897608E-6 | 4.6897608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9957167E-5 | 2.0098827E-5 | 2.0098827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6466747E-4 | 2.4467692E-4 | 2.4467692E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036406964 | 0.0024441916 | 0.0024441916 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.163505E-6 | 2.3306984E-6 | 2.3306984E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7843471E-5 | 9.988673E-6 | 9.988673E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.172226E-4 | 1.21606055E-4 | 1.21606055E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021701038 | 0.0012154683 | 0.0012154683 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.388284E-8 | 9.388284E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0235497E-7 | 4.0235497E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.8986644E-6 | 4.8986644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.898589E-5 | 4.898589E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4405956E-9 | 3.4405956E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4745409E-8 | 1.4745409E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7952534E-7 | 1.7952534E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7952522E-6 | 1.7952522E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.727564E-5 | 5.7275167E-5 | 1.2115154 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0259582E-4 | 2.125938E-4 | 1.0493493 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024640672 | 0.0025039685 | 1.0161933 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.024393266 | 0.024529852 | 1.0055993 | 1.4E-4 |
6.1 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.727564E-5 | 5.7275167E-5 | 1.2115154 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0259582E-4 | 2.125938E-4 | 1.0493493 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024640672 | 0.0025039685 | 1.0161933 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.024393266 | 0.024529852 | 1.0055993 | 1.4E-4 |
6.2 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.727564E-5 | 5.7275167E-5 | 1.2115154 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0259582E-4 | 2.125938E-4 | 1.0493493 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024640672 | 0.0025039685 | 1.0161933 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.024393266 | 0.024529852 | 1.0055993 | 1.4E-4 |
6.3 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.3615674E-5 | 4.361534E-5 | 1.2974702 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.4405964E-4 | 1.540582E-4 | 1.0694057 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0017525833 | 0.0017925133 | 1.0227834 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014687235 | 0.017394809 | 0.017532375 | 1.0079083 | 1.4E-4 |
6.4 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.3615674E-5 | 4.361534E-5 | 1.2974702 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.4405964E-4 | 1.540582E-4 | 1.0694057 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0017525833 | 0.0017925133 | 1.0227834 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014687235 | 0.017394809 | 0.017532375 | 1.0079083 | 1.4E-4 |
6.5 | 2.4448687E-5 | 2.8612161E-5 | 3.8611877E-5 | 1.3494917 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0477588E-4 | 1.2261808E-4 | 1.3261684E-4 | 1.081544 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012748998 | 0.0014919 | 0.0015318403 | 1.0267714 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012676105 | 0.014823741 | 0.0149616655 | 1.0093043 | 1.4E-4 |
6.6 | 2.1298161E-5 | 2.466373E-5 | 3.4663484E-5 | 1.4054437 | 1.0E-5 | 9.127464E-5 | 1.056976E-4 | 1.1569655E-4 | 1.0945995 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011107022 | 0.0012861418 | 0.0013260903 | 1.0310608 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011051672 | 0.012790414 | 0.012928623 | 1.0108057 | 1.4E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8959729E-5 | 2.1784066E-5 | 3.178385E-5 | 1.4590411 | 1.0E-5 | 8.125345E-5 | 9.3357085E-5 | 1.0335616E-4 | 1.1071056 | 1.0E-5 | 9.888117E-4 | 0.0011360554 | 0.00117601 | 1.0351696 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009844234 | 0.011305139 | 0.011443557 | 1.0122437 | 1.4E-4 |
6.8 | 1.6691629E-5 | 1.9020832E-5 | 2.9020643E-5 | 1.5257293 | 1.0E-5 | 7.153359E-5 | 8.15154E-5 | 9.151459E-5 | 1.1226662 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7057345E-4 | 9.92015E-4 | 0.0010319753 | 1.040282 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008671708 | 0.009877626 | 0.010016243 | 1.0140334 | 1.4E-4 |
6.9 | 1.450505E-5 | 1.6391527E-5 | 2.6391363E-5 | 1.6100613 | 1.0E-5 | 6.216302E-5 | 7.024756E-5 | 8.024686E-5 | 1.1423438 | 1.0E-5 | 7.5657194E-4 | 8.549372E-4 | 8.94903E-4 | 1.0467471 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007540013 | 0.008517413 | 0.008656221 | 1.0162969 | 1.4E-4 |
7.0 | 1.2940855E-5 | 1.45396425E-5 | 2.4539497E-5 | 1.6877649 | 1.0E-5 | 5.545963E-5 | 6.2311294E-5 | 7.231067E-5 | 1.1604745 | 1.0E-5 | 6.750118E-4 | 7.583818E-4 | 7.983514E-4 | 1.0527039 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006729651 | 0.0075585553 | 0.007697497 | 1.0183821 | 1.4E-4 |
7.1 | 1.2544658E-5 | 1.4079809E-5 | 2.4079669E-5 | 1.7102269 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3761712E-5 | 6.0340677E-5 | 7.034007E-5 | 1.1657157 | 1.0E-5 | 6.5435225E-4 | 7.344057E-4 | 7.743763E-4 | 1.0544258 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006524288 | 0.007320381 | 0.007459356 | 1.0189847 | 1.4E-4 |
7.2 | 1.2489416E-5 | 1.4017269E-5 | 2.4017128E-5 | 1.7133957 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3524967E-5 | 6.0072656E-5 | 7.0072056E-5 | 1.166455 | 1.0E-5 | 6.514716E-4 | 7.3114474E-4 | 7.7111553E-4 | 1.0546688 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006495651 | 0.0072879856 | 0.0074269655 | 1.0190697 | 1.4E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2368307E-5 | 1.3881391E-5 | 2.3881252E-5 | 1.7203789 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3005948E-5 | 5.949035E-5 | 6.948975E-5 | 1.1680845 | 1.0E-5 | 6.451563E-4 | 7.2405994E-4 | 7.6403096E-4 | 1.055204 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0064328653 | 0.0072176 | 0.007356589 | 1.0192571 | 1.4E-4 |
7.4 | 1.2161707E-5 | 1.364942E-5 | 2.3649283E-5 | 1.7326219 | 1.0E-5 | 5.212056E-5 | 5.8496233E-5 | 6.849565E-5 | 1.1709412 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3438306E-4 | 7.119645E-4 | 7.5193605E-4 | 1.0561426 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006325751 | 0.007097425 | 0.0072364314 | 1.0195855 | 1.4E-4 |
7.5 | 1.1707948E-5 | 1.3147017E-5 | 2.3146886E-5 | 1.7606188 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0175953E-5 | 5.634317E-5 | 6.634261E-5 | 1.1774738 | 1.0E-5 | 6.10721E-4 | 6.857678E-4 | 7.2574033E-4 | 1.0582888 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0060904534 | 0.0068370993 | 0.006976142 | 1.0203365 | 1.4E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0319538E-5 | 1.1580937E-5 | 2.1580821E-5 | 1.863478 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4225842E-5 | 4.963167E-5 | 5.9631177E-5 | 1.2014742 | 1.0E-5 | 5.383166E-4 | 6.0410326E-4 | 6.4407906E-4 | 1.0661738 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0053701443 | 0.0060251425 | 0.006164299 | 1.023096 | 1.4E-4 |
7.7 | 8.937764E-6 | 1.002391E-5 | 2.002381E-5 | 1.9976046 | 1.0E-5 | 3.830414E-5 | 4.2958938E-5 | 5.295851E-5 | 1.2327704 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6625308E-4 | 5.2290456E-4 | 5.628837E-4 | 1.0764558 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0046527605 | 0.005217252 | 0.0053565213 | 1.026694 | 1.4E-4 |
7.8 | 3.108007E-7 | 3.284828E-7 | 3.284828E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3320023E-6 | 1.4077827E-6 | 1.4077827E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6217007E-5 | 1.7139624E-5 | 1.7139624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6215823E-4 | 1.713834E-4 | 1.8138169E-4 | 1.0583388 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6697788E-9 | 2.6697788E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.144191E-8 | 1.144191E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3930524E-7 | 1.3930524E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3930525E-6 | 1.3930525E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Baker
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8349706E-6 | 5.8349706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5006799E-5 | 3.500655E-5 | 1.3998812 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.0441926E-4 | 3.4440708E-4 | 1.1313578 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.003040418 | 0.0031799925 | 1.0459063 | 1.4E-4 |
6.1 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8349706E-6 | 5.8349706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5006799E-5 | 3.500655E-5 | 1.3998812 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.0441926E-4 | 3.4440708E-4 | 1.1313578 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.003040418 | 0.0031799925 | 1.0459063 | 1.4E-4 |
6.2 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8349706E-6 | 5.8349706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5006799E-5 | 3.500655E-5 | 1.3998812 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.0441926E-4 | 3.4440708E-4 | 1.1313578 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.003040418 | 0.0031799925 | 1.0459063 | 1.4E-4 |
6.3 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.383748E-6 | 3.383748E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.4501698E-5 | 2.4501554E-5 | 1.6895643 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.7654434E-4 | 2.1653729E-4 | 1.226532 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017201907 | 0.001764088 | 0.0018838764 | 1.0679038 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.383748E-6 | 3.383748E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.4501698E-5 | 2.4501554E-5 | 1.6895643 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.7654434E-4 | 2.1653729E-4 | 1.226532 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017201907 | 0.001764088 | 0.0018838764 | 1.0679038 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 2.782202E-6 | 2.8559114E-6 | 2.8559114E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1923668E-5 | 1.2239564E-5 | 2.2239441E-5 | 1.8170125 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4516099E-4 | 1.4900684E-4 | 1.8900087E-4 | 1.268404 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001450662 | 0.001489102 | 0.0016089233 | 1.0804654 | 1.2E-4 |
6.6 | 2.3163404E-6 | 2.3809823E-6 | 2.3809823E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.927136E-6 | 1.0204171E-5 | 1.0204171E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.20856166E-4 | 1.242289E-4 | 1.5422517E-4 | 1.2414597 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012079047 | 0.0012416148 | 0.0013414907 | 1.0804403 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 2.037056E-6 | 2.0965579E-6 | 2.0965579E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7302105E-6 | 8.985218E-6 | 8.985218E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0628513E-4 | 1.093897E-4 | 1.3938642E-4 | 1.2742188 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010623431 | 0.0010933747 | 0.0011932653 | 1.09136 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.8356744E-6 | 1.8915827E-6 | 1.8915827E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.867153E-6 | 8.106758E-6 | 8.106758E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.577837E-5 | 9.8695455E-5 | 1.1869348E-4 | 1.2026236 | 2.0E-5 | 9.57371E-4 | 9.865302E-4 | 0.0010764414 | 1.0911388 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.6310546E-6 | 1.6832578E-6 | 1.6832578E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9902153E-6 | 7.2139424E-6 | 7.2139424E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.510255E-5 | 8.782632E-5 | 1.0782457E-4 | 1.2277021 | 2.0E-5 | 8.5069967E-4 | 8.779274E-4 | 9.578572E-4 | 1.0910437 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2058036E-6 | 1.2509104E-6 | 1.2509104E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1677193E-6 | 5.361034E-6 | 5.361034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.291517E-5 | 6.526865E-5 | 8.526735E-5 | 1.3064058 | 2.0E-5 | 6.289736E-4 | 6.5249717E-4 | 7.224515E-4 | 1.1072102 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.052382E-6 | 1.0952025E-6 | 1.0952025E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5102006E-6 | 4.6937166E-6 | 4.6937166E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.491031E-5 | 5.7144513E-5 | 7.714337E-5 | 1.3499699 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4896745E-4 | 5.7129905E-4 | 6.412591E-4 | 1.1224577 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0067454E-6 | 1.048812E-6 | 1.048812E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3146156E-6 | 4.494901E-6 | 4.494901E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.252918E-5 | 5.4724056E-5 | 7.472296E-5 | 1.36545 | 2.0E-5 | 5.251676E-4 | 5.4710667E-4 | 6.170684E-4 | 1.1278758 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.3596316E-7 | 9.768122E-7 | 9.768122E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0112645E-6 | 4.1863314E-6 | 4.1863314E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8836053E-5 | 5.09674E-5 | 6.096689E-5 | 1.1961938 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8825322E-4 | 5.095579E-4 | 5.6952727E-4 | 1.1176891 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.8117395E-7 | 9.20805E-7 | 9.20805E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7764542E-6 | 3.946301E-6 | 3.946301E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5977362E-5 | 4.8045167E-5 | 5.8044687E-5 | 1.2081275 | 1.0E-5 | 4.596785E-4 | 4.8034854E-4 | 5.303245E-4 | 1.1040411 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.292386E-7 | 8.674969E-7 | 8.674969E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5538749E-6 | 3.7178388E-6 | 3.7178388E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.326757E-5 | 4.5263754E-5 | 5.52633E-5 | 1.2209173 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3259145E-4 | 4.5254608E-4 | 5.0252344E-4 | 1.110436 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.553842E-7 | 7.9148236E-7 | 7.9148236E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2373566E-6 | 3.3920628E-6 | 3.3920628E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9414106E-5 | 4.129759E-5 | 5.1297175E-5 | 1.2421349 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9407116E-4 | 4.1289986E-4 | 4.5288334E-4 | 1.0968357 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.5285366E-7 | 6.853115E-7 | 6.853115E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.797941E-6 | 2.9370458E-6 | 2.9370458E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.40644E-5 | 3.5757952E-5 | 4.5757595E-5 | 1.2796481 | 1.0E-5 | 3.405918E-4 | 3.5752266E-4 | 3.9750835E-4 | 1.1118411 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.648448E-7 | 3.648448E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5636197E-6 | 1.5636197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9036908E-5 | 1.9036908E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9035321E-4 | 2.0035131E-4 | 1.052524 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6697788E-9 | 2.6697788E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.144191E-8 | 1.144191E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3930524E-7 | 1.3930524E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3930525E-6 | 1.3930525E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sierra Nevada (No Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.976721E-6 | 6.976721E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9900091E-5 | 2.9900091E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6400865E-4 | 4.239868E-4 | 1.1647712 | 6.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036376405 | 0.0037572042 | 1.0328684 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.976721E-6 | 6.976721E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9900091E-5 | 2.9900091E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6400865E-4 | 4.239868E-4 | 1.1647712 | 6.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036376405 | 0.0037572042 | 1.0328684 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.976721E-6 | 6.976721E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9900091E-5 | 2.9900091E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6400865E-4 | 4.239868E-4 | 1.1647712 | 6.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036376405 | 0.0037572042 | 1.0328684 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.976721E-6 | 6.976721E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9900091E-5 | 2.9900091E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6400865E-4 | 4.239868E-4 | 1.1647712 | 6.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036376405 | 0.0037572042 | 1.0328684 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.976721E-6 | 6.976721E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9900091E-5 | 2.9900091E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6400865E-4 | 4.239868E-4 | 1.1647712 | 6.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036376405 | 0.0037572042 | 1.0328684 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.976721E-6 | 6.976721E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9900091E-5 | 2.9900091E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6400865E-4 | 4.239868E-4 | 1.1647712 | 6.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036376405 | 0.0037572042 | 1.0328684 | 1.2E-4 |
6.6 | 2.653E-6 | 1.6150144E-6 | 1.6150144E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.136995E-5 | 6.921472E-6 | 6.921472E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3842035E-4 | 8.4265695E-5 | 1.2426233E-4 | 1.474649 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013833415 | 8.4234093E-4 | 9.222735E-4 | 1.0948935 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.5902466E-6 | 1.5503462E-6 | 1.5503462E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.11010095E-5 | 6.6443235E-6 | 6.6443235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.351464E-4 | 8.089167E-5 | 1.20888435E-4 | 1.4944485 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013506424 | 8.086252E-4 | 8.8856055E-4 | 1.0988533 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.5853892E-6 | 1.5471455E-6 | 1.5471455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1080193E-5 | 6.630607E-6 | 6.630607E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.34893E-4 | 8.0724676E-5 | 1.2072145E-4 | 1.4954715 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013481114 | 8.0695655E-4 | 8.8689197E-4 | 1.0990579 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.458257E-6 | 1.4222156E-6 | 1.4222156E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0535345E-5 | 6.0951957E-6 | 6.0951957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2826028E-4 | 7.42065E-5 | 1.1420353E-4 | 1.5389963 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012818627 | 7.4181915E-4 | 8.217598E-4 | 1.107763 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.4341468E-6 | 1.3991786E-6 | 1.3991786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0432016E-5 | 5.996466E-6 | 5.996466E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.270024E-4 | 7.300455E-5 | 1.13001624E-4 | 1.5478711 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012692984 | 7.2980754E-4 | 8.097492E-4 | 1.109538 | 8.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.3652476E-6 | 1.3341256E-6 | 1.3341256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0136736E-5 | 5.7176685E-6 | 5.7176685E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2340778E-4 | 6.961041E-5 | 1.0960762E-4 | 1.5745867 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012333926 | 6.958877E-4 | 7.7583204E-4 | 1.114881 | 8.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.272158E-6 | 1.2504283E-6 | 1.2504283E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.737784E-6 | 5.358968E-6 | 5.358968E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1855107E-4 | 6.52435E-5 | 1.05240884E-4 | 1.613048 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011848784 | 6.522449E-4 | 7.321927E-4 | 1.1225733 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.1382127E-6 | 1.1421115E-6 | 1.1421115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.163737E-6 | 4.8947545E-6 | 4.8947545E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1156279E-4 | 5.9592017E-5 | 9.958963E-5 | 1.6711909 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001115068 | 5.957615E-4 | 6.757139E-4 | 1.1342019 | 8.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.9048055E-6 | 9.576569E-7 | 9.576569E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.163426E-6 | 4.104237E-6 | 4.104237E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9385186E-5 | 4.9967948E-5 | 8.996595E-5 | 1.8004731 | 4.0E-5 | 9.934074E-4 | 4.9956783E-4 | 5.7952787E-4 | 1.1600584 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.5373403E-6 | 7.561163E-7 | 7.561163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5885843E-6 | 3.2404944E-6 | 3.2404944E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.021306E-5 | 3.945231E-5 | 7.945073E-5 | 2.0138423 | 4.0E-5 | 8.0184115E-4 | 3.9445353E-4 | 4.7442198E-4 | 1.2027322 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.6604177E-7 | 4.6604177E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.9973204E-6 | 1.9973204E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.4317105E-5 | 4.431662E-5 | 1.8224463 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.4314472E-4 | 2.9313256E-4 | 1.2055888 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5583744E-7 | 1.5583744E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.678746E-7 | 6.678746E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.131344E-6 | 8.131344E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.131058E-5 | 8.131058E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calico-Hidalgo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0711245E-5 | 5.0711245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1731808E-4 | 2.1731808E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026430348 | 0.002662982 | 1.007547 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.026156304 | 0.026263427 | 1.0040954 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0711245E-5 | 5.0711245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1731808E-4 | 2.1731808E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026430348 | 0.002662982 | 1.007547 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.026156304 | 0.026263427 | 1.0040954 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0711245E-5 | 5.0711245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1731808E-4 | 2.1731808E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026430348 | 0.002662982 | 1.007547 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.026156304 | 0.026263427 | 1.0040954 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0093666E-5 | 3.0093666E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.2896667E-4 | 1.2896667E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015690717 | 0.0015690717 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01257003 | 0.015583614 | 0.015642678 | 1.0037901 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0093666E-5 | 3.0093666E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.2896667E-4 | 1.2896667E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015690717 | 0.0015690717 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01257003 | 0.015583614 | 0.015642678 | 1.0037901 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.0286952E-5 | 2.5317931E-5 | 2.5317931E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.694118E-5 | 1.0850101E-4 | 1.0850101E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010579949 | 0.0013202163 | 0.0013202163 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010529719 | 0.013125667 | 0.013165142 | 1.0030074 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.0269223E-5 | 2.529888E-5 | 2.529888E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6865206E-5 | 1.08419365E-4 | 1.08419365E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010570707 | 0.0013192235 | 0.0013192235 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010520565 | 0.013115857 | 0.013155332 | 1.0030098 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.799852E-5 | 2.2542428E-5 | 2.2542428E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.713423E-5 | 9.660691E-5 | 9.660691E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3870464E-4 | 0.0011755691 | 0.0011755691 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009347493 | 0.011695117 | 0.011734649 | 1.0033802 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7458793E-5 | 2.1843762E-5 | 2.1843762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4821255E-5 | 9.361284E-5 | 9.361284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.10568E-4 | 0.0011391549 | 0.0011391549 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009068459 | 0.01133474 | 0.011374286 | 1.003489 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.542884E-5 | 1.9027233E-5 | 1.9027233E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.612192E-5 | 8.1542814E-5 | 8.1542814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.04737E-4 | 9.923447E-4 | 9.923447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008018291 | 0.0098805325 | 0.009910236 | 1.0030062 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.468253E-5 | 1.8031995E-5 | 1.8031995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.292361E-5 | 7.7277764E-5 | 7.7277764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.658257E-4 | 9.404636E-4 | 9.404636E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0076319184 | 0.009366203 | 0.009395922 | 1.003173 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3139281E-5 | 1.6202144E-5 | 1.6202144E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6309986E-5 | 6.9435984E-5 | 6.9435984E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.853584E-4 | 8.4506784E-4 | 8.4506784E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0068324856 | 0.008419841 | 0.008449588 | 1.003533 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1127404E-5 | 1.3867614E-5 | 1.3867614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7688E-5 | 5.9431342E-5 | 5.9431342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8044674E-4 | 7.2334724E-4 | 7.2334724E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057893298 | 0.0072110356 | 0.0072308914 | 1.0027535 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.808154E-6 | 1.2177084E-5 | 1.2177084E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2034266E-5 | 5.218652E-5 | 5.218652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.11647E-4 | 6.3519634E-4 | 6.3519634E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051047057 | 0.0063348836 | 0.006354757 | 1.0031371 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.942452E-6 | 9.792751E-6 | 9.792751E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4038632E-5 | 4.1968313E-5 | 4.1968313E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1434157E-4 | 5.108539E-4 | 5.108539E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041356985 | 0.005097737 | 0.005107686 | 1.0019517 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.7121216E-6 | 5.773167E-6 | 5.773167E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.019465E-5 | 2.4741952E-5 | 2.4741952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4584212E-4 | 3.0119927E-4 | 3.0119927E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024557032 | 0.003008663 | 0.003018633 | 1.0033138 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6040675E-7 | 2.6040675E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160287E-6 | 1.1160287E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587593E-5 | 1.3587593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3587043E-4 | 1.3587043E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4392032E-4 | 2.4392032E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010449557 | 0.0010449557 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006073493 | 0.012648607 | 0.012707848 | 1.0046836 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12088245 | 0.12097915 | 1.0008 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4392032E-4 | 2.4392032E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010449557 | 0.0010449557 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006073493 | 0.012648607 | 0.012707848 | 1.0046836 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12088245 | 0.12097915 | 1.0008 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4392032E-4 | 2.4392032E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010449557 | 0.0010449557 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006073493 | 0.012648607 | 0.012707848 | 1.0046836 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12088245 | 0.12097915 | 1.0008 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4392032E-4 | 2.4392032E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010449557 | 0.0010449557 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006073493 | 0.012648607 | 0.012707848 | 1.0046836 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12088245 | 0.12097915 | 1.0008 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4392032E-4 | 2.4392032E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010449557 | 0.0010449557 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006073493 | 0.012648607 | 0.012707848 | 1.0046836 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12088245 | 0.12097915 | 1.0008 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.3711726E-4 | 2.3711726E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010158226 | 0.0010158226 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012297957 | 0.012357219 | 1.0048189 | 6.0E-5 | 0.057327334 | 0.11785801 | 0.117955044 | 1.0008234 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.3711726E-4 | 2.3711726E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010158226 | 0.0010158226 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012297957 | 0.012357219 | 1.0048189 | 6.0E-5 | 0.057327334 | 0.11785801 | 0.117955044 | 1.0008234 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1149675E-4 | 2.3402803E-4 | 2.3402803E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.777557E-4 | 0.0010025933 | 0.0010025933 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058011734 | 0.012138693 | 0.012197965 | 1.0048828 | 6.0E-5 | 0.05652051 | 0.11647964 | 0.116576836 | 1.0008343 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1103589E-4 | 2.3304869E-4 | 2.3304869E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7578133E-4 | 9.983993E-4 | 9.983993E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005777263 | 0.012088199 | 0.012147474 | 1.0049036 | 6.0E-5 | 0.056293584 | 0.1160398 | 0.116137035 | 1.0008379 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1053259E-4 | 2.3197164E-4 | 2.3197164E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7362508E-4 | 9.937868E-4 | 9.937868E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057511497 | 0.012032664 | 0.012091943 | 1.0049264 | 6.0E-5 | 0.05604569 | 0.11555548 | 0.11565277 | 1.000842 | 1.1E-4 |
7.0 | 1.1005377E-4 | 2.3097925E-4 | 2.3097925E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7157376E-4 | 9.89537E-4 | 9.89537E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057263062 | 0.011981493 | 0.012040774 | 1.0049478 | 6.0E-5 | 0.055809796 | 0.115107104 | 0.11520444 | 1.0008457 | 1.1E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0308142E-4 | 2.1606238E-4 | 2.1606238E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.417027E-4 | 9.256541E-4 | 9.256541E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053644776 | 0.01121192 | 0.011261359 | 1.0044096 | 5.0E-5 | 0.052368138 | 0.108364016 | 0.108453184 | 1.0008228 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0027479E-4 | 2.1013604E-4 | 2.1013604E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.296783E-4 | 9.002732E-4 | 9.002732E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052187922 | 0.010906041 | 0.010955495 | 1.0045346 | 5.0E-5 | 0.050979212 | 0.10566457 | 0.10575401 | 1.0008464 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 9.816942E-5 | 2.0487948E-4 | 2.0487948E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2065824E-4 | 8.777604E-4 | 8.777604E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005109493 | 0.010634655 | 0.010684123 | 1.0046517 | 5.0E-5 | 0.049935985 | 0.103245236 | 0.10333491 | 1.0008686 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 9.5634205E-5 | 1.9856358E-4 | 1.9856358E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0979648E-4 | 8.5071014E-4 | 8.5071014E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049778637 | 0.010308473 | 0.010357957 | 1.0048003 | 5.0E-5 | 0.048678253 | 0.10032308 | 0.100413054 | 1.0008968 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 8.052417E-5 | 1.6168845E-4 | 1.6168845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4505792E-4 | 6.927666E-4 | 6.927666E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041929903 | 0.008401897 | 0.008451477 | 1.005901 | 5.0E-5 | 0.04114753 | 0.08305478 | 0.0831373 | 1.0009936 | 9.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.897024E-5 | 1.582135E-4 | 1.582135E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.384E-4 | 6.778818E-4 | 6.778818E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041122385 | 0.008222057 | 0.008271645 | 1.0060312 | 5.0E-5 | 0.040369697 | 0.0813929 | 0.08146639 | 1.0009029 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.707427E-5 | 1.3326058E-4 | 1.3326058E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8742946E-4 | 5.7099183E-4 | 5.7099183E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003493839 | 0.0069296993 | 0.006969422 | 1.0057323 | 4.0E-5 | 0.034394164 | 0.069271095 | 0.06933624 | 1.0009406 | 7.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.147705E-5 | 1.2242701E-4 | 1.2242701E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6344648E-4 | 5.2458176E-4 | 5.2458176E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032027436 | 0.006368105 | 0.00640785 | 1.0062413 | 4.0E-5 | 0.031569764 | 0.06371883 | 0.06378437 | 1.0010285 | 7.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.7636717E-5 | 8.912209E-5 | 8.912209E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0414138E-4 | 3.8189592E-4 | 3.8189592E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024825884 | 0.004639678 | 0.0046496317 | 1.0021453 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024550365 | 0.046779547 | 0.046808146 | 1.0006113 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.3554235E-5 | 5.2334988E-5 | 5.2334988E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4379594E-4 | 2.2427354E-4 | 2.2427354E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017493097 | 0.002727113 | 0.002727113 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017356034 | 0.027978247 | 0.027978247 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.9175432E-5 | 1.927984E-5 | 1.927984E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.217783E-5 | 8.262527E-5 | 8.262527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010000558 | 0.001005499 | 0.001005499 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009955673 | 0.010807775 | 0.010807775 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.510076E-6 | 5.510076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3614397E-5 | 2.3614397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8746744E-4 | 2.8746744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032680929 | 0.0032680929 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.715289E-7 | 7.715289E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.3065483E-6 | 3.3065483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.02565E-5 | 4.02565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7517708E-4 | 4.7517708E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ludlow
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3658478E-5 | 2.3658478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.0138979E-4 | 1.1138878E-4 | 1.0986192 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011685267 | 0.0012337659 | 0.0012936918 | 1.0485716 | 6.0E-5 | 0.011624013 | 0.012273674 | 0.012382324 | 1.0088522 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3658478E-5 | 2.3658478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.0138979E-4 | 1.1138878E-4 | 1.0986192 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011685267 | 0.0012337659 | 0.0012936918 | 1.0485716 | 6.0E-5 | 0.011624013 | 0.012273674 | 0.012382324 | 1.0088522 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1366236E-5 | 1.1366236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.8711554E-5 | 4.8711554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.929058E-4 | 6.328821E-4 | 1.0674243 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00560974 | 0.005913658 | 0.005953422 | 1.006724 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1366236E-5 | 1.1366236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.8711554E-5 | 4.8711554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.929058E-4 | 6.328821E-4 | 1.0674243 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00560974 | 0.005913658 | 0.005953422 | 1.006724 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.814439E-6 | 8.238143E-6 | 8.238143E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3490025E-5 | 3.530586E-5 | 3.530586E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0766477E-4 | 4.2976544E-4 | 4.6974825E-4 | 1.093034 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0040691774 | 0.0042894897 | 0.004329318 | 1.0092851 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.4986366E-6 | 6.8512645E-6 | 6.8512645E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7851002E-5 | 2.9362238E-5 | 2.9362238E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.390332E-4 | 3.5742752E-4 | 3.9741324E-4 | 1.1118708 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003385164 | 0.0035686227 | 0.0036084799 | 1.0111688 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.582177E-6 | 5.8863034E-6 | 5.8863034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3923398E-5 | 2.5226775E-5 | 2.5226775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9122844E-4 | 3.070934E-4 | 3.3708417E-4 | 1.0976602 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0029084706 | 0.0030667637 | 0.0030966718 | 1.0097523 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.6858763E-6 | 4.9406767E-6 | 4.9406767E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0082172E-5 | 2.1174159E-5 | 2.1174159E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4447302E-4 | 2.5776544E-4 | 2.777603E-4 | 1.07757 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0024420423 | 0.0025747211 | 0.0025946696 | 1.0077479 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5584908E-6 | 3.752208E-6 | 3.752208E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5250586E-5 | 1.6080794E-5 | 1.6080794E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8566006E-4 | 1.957665E-4 | 2.0576453E-4 | 1.0510713 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018550502 | 0.0019559814 | 0.001965962 | 1.0051025 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.532834E-6 | 2.6711389E-6 | 2.6711389E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0854958E-5 | 1.1447689E-5 | 1.1447689E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3215111E-4 | 1.3936698E-4 | 1.3936698E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013207254 | 0.0013928234 | 0.0013928234 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.7083285E-6 | 1.8020355E-6 | 1.8020355E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3213873E-6 | 7.722988E-6 | 7.722988E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.913424E-5 | 9.402348E-5 | 9.402348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9098496E-4 | 9.3985355E-4 | 9.3985355E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1498199E-6 | 1.1498199E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.927791E-6 | 4.927791E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.9994305E-5 | 5.9994305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.9979083E-4 | 5.9979083E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.387591E-7 | 6.387591E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7375365E-6 | 2.7375365E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3329066E-5 | 3.3329066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.3324753E-4 | 3.3324753E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Cholame) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.5273766E-4 | 2.5273766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0010827134 | 0.0010827134 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063991086 | 0.013102872 | 0.013152217 | 1.003766 | 5.0E-5 | 0.06217949 | 0.12466649 | 0.12475403 | 1.0007021 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.5273766E-4 | 2.5273766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0010827134 | 0.0010827134 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063991086 | 0.013102872 | 0.013152217 | 1.003766 | 5.0E-5 | 0.06217949 | 0.12466649 | 0.12475403 | 1.0007021 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2203569E-4 | 2.5090482E-4 | 2.5090482E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2290526E-4 | 0.0010748648 | 0.0010748648 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006347804 | 0.01300846 | 0.013057809 | 1.0037936 | 5.0E-5 | 0.061695136 | 0.12385206 | 0.12393968 | 1.0007074 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.2142645E-4 | 2.49764E-4 | 2.49764E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.202953E-4 | 0.0010699797 | 0.0010699797 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006316212 | 0.012949692 | 0.012999045 | 1.0038111 | 5.0E-5 | 0.06139677 | 0.123346314 | 0.123433985 | 1.0007107 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1865206E-4 | 2.4481487E-4 | 2.4481487E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0840975E-4 | 0.0010487862 | 0.0010487862 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006172335 | 0.012694694 | 0.01274406 | 1.0038886 | 5.0E-5 | 0.060036868 | 0.12114088 | 0.121219985 | 1.0006529 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.17443946E-4 | 2.4274494E-4 | 2.4274494E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.032341E-4 | 0.0010399222 | 0.0010399222 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006109677 | 0.012588023 | 0.012637394 | 1.003922 | 5.0E-5 | 0.059444077 | 0.12021703 | 0.12029621 | 1.0006586 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.13579066E-4 | 2.3582685E-4 | 2.3582685E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.866766E-4 | 0.0010102966 | 0.0010102966 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059092017 | 0.012231434 | 0.012280823 | 1.0040379 | 5.0E-5 | 0.057545185 | 0.11712534 | 0.1172048 | 1.0006784 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1271412E-4 | 2.3426833E-4 | 2.3426833E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.829711E-4 | 0.0010036223 | 0.0010036223 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005864331 | 0.012151084 | 0.012200477 | 1.0040649 | 5.0E-5 | 0.057119697 | 0.116428174 | 0.1165077 | 1.000683 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1217975E-4 | 2.3315087E-4 | 2.3315087E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8068175E-4 | 9.98837E-4 | 9.98837E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005836608 | 0.01209347 | 0.012142866 | 1.0040845 | 5.0E-5 | 0.056856725 | 0.115925655 | 0.11600522 | 1.0006864 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1146753E-4 | 2.3163657E-4 | 2.3163657E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7763053E-4 | 9.92352E-4 | 9.92352E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057996577 | 0.01201539 | 0.012064789 | 1.0041113 | 5.0E-5 | 0.056506127 | 0.11524498 | 0.1153246 | 1.0006909 | 9.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0965793E-4 | 2.2786458E-4 | 2.2786458E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.698779E-4 | 9.761985E-4 | 9.761985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005705768 | 0.011820872 | 0.011870281 | 1.0041798 | 5.0E-5 | 0.055614736 | 0.11354417 | 0.113623954 | 1.0007026 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.927982E-5 | 2.0603216E-4 | 2.0603216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2541555E-4 | 8.826972E-4 | 8.826972E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051671406 | 0.010694177 | 0.01073375 | 1.0037004 | 4.0E-5 | 0.05048634 | 0.103630394 | 0.103702106 | 1.000692 | 8.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.696786E-5 | 2.0106972E-4 | 2.0106972E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1551032E-4 | 8.614438E-4 | 8.614438E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00504711 | 0.010437925 | 0.0104775075 | 1.0037922 | 4.0E-5 | 0.04934009 | 0.10136713 | 0.10143902 | 1.0007092 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.4727984E-5 | 1.9535287E-4 | 1.9535287E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0591392E-4 | 8.3695893E-4 | 8.3695893E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049308087 | 0.010142636 | 0.01018223 | 1.0039037 | 4.0E-5 | 0.048228268 | 0.09873474 | 0.098806836 | 1.0007303 | 8.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.220358E-5 | 1.8904769E-4 | 1.8904769E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9509835E-4 | 8.099537E-4 | 8.099537E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004799717 | 0.009816849 | 0.009856456 | 1.0040346 | 4.0E-5 | 0.046973653 | 0.095804095 | 0.09587643 | 1.0007551 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.71631E-5 | 1.5231554E-4 | 1.5231554E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.306571E-4 | 6.526178E-4 | 6.526178E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040183207 | 0.007916746 | 0.007956429 | 1.0050126 | 4.0E-5 | 0.03946433 | 0.078519076 | 0.078583576 | 1.0008215 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.5634416E-5 | 1.4890295E-4 | 1.4890295E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.241072E-4 | 6.379996E-4 | 6.379996E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039388672 | 0.007740048 | 0.0077797384 | 1.0051279 | 4.0E-5 | 0.038697794 | 0.07687941 | 0.07694403 | 1.0008405 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.3783E-5 | 1.2406056E-4 | 1.2406056E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7332708E-4 | 5.3157983E-4 | 5.3157983E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033226798 | 0.006452806 | 0.0064826123 | 1.0046191 | 3.0E-5 | 0.032734364 | 0.06475257 | 0.06480868 | 1.0008667 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.863422E-5 | 1.1459167E-4 | 1.1459167E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.512653E-4 | 4.9101474E-4 | 4.9101474E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003054864 | 0.0059617395 | 0.005991561 | 1.0050021 | 3.0E-5 | 0.030132094 | 0.059853975 | 0.059910383 | 1.0009425 | 6.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.595283E-5 | 8.457613E-5 | 8.457613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9692584E-4 | 3.624188E-4 | 3.624188E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023949358 | 0.0044035283 | 0.0044134846 | 1.0022609 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023692891 | 0.0445086 | 0.04453726 | 1.000644 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.2950178E-5 | 5.0967243E-5 | 5.0967243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.412074E-4 | 2.1841277E-4 | 2.1841277E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017178444 | 0.0026559343 | 0.0026559343 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017046256 | 0.027275724 | 0.027275724 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.9177472E-5 | 1.9280013E-5 | 1.9280013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.218658E-5 | 8.262601E-5 | 8.262601E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010001622 | 0.001005508 | 0.001005508 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009956728 | 0.010807892 | 0.010807892 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.510076E-6 | 5.510076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3614397E-5 | 2.3614397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8746744E-4 | 2.8746744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032680929 | 0.0032680929 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.715289E-7 | 7.715289E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.3065483E-6 | 3.3065483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.02565E-5 | 4.02565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7517708E-4 | 4.7517708E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Bernardino)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.6096666E-5 | 3.6096666E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5469083E-4 | 1.6468928E-4 | 1.064635 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018817355 | 0.0019316414 | 1.0265212 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019405993 | 0.019504052 | 1.005053 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.6096666E-5 | 3.6096666E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5469083E-4 | 1.6468928E-4 | 1.064635 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018817355 | 0.0019316414 | 1.0265212 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019405993 | 0.019504052 | 1.005053 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.6096666E-5 | 3.6096666E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5469083E-4 | 1.6468928E-4 | 1.064635 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018817355 | 0.0019316414 | 1.0265212 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019405993 | 0.019504052 | 1.005053 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.6096666E-5 | 3.6096666E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5469083E-4 | 1.6468928E-4 | 1.064635 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018817355 | 0.0019316414 | 1.0265212 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019405993 | 0.019504052 | 1.005053 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 3.400795E-5 | 3.5989306E-5 | 3.5989306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4574021E-4 | 1.5423077E-4 | 1.6422922E-4 | 1.0648279 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017729428 | 0.001876144 | 0.0019260502 | 1.0266004 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017588645 | 0.019351063 | 0.019449128 | 1.0050677 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 3.341482E-5 | 3.5249766E-5 | 3.5249766E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4319851E-4 | 1.5106169E-4 | 1.6106018E-4 | 1.0661881 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017420477 | 0.0018376259 | 0.001887534 | 1.027159 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017284546 | 0.01897254 | 0.019070644 | 1.0051708 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 3.3364955E-5 | 3.5186968E-5 | 3.5186968E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4298483E-4 | 1.5079259E-4 | 1.6079108E-4 | 1.0663062 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017394501 | 0.0018343552 | 0.0018842635 | 1.0272075 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017258976 | 0.0189404 | 0.019038506 | 1.0051798 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 3.335922E-5 | 3.517674E-5 | 3.517674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4296026E-4 | 1.5074876E-4 | 1.6074725E-4 | 1.0663255 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017391514 | 0.0018338225 | 0.0018837308 | 1.0272155 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017256035 | 0.01893519 | 0.019033298 | 1.0051812 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 3.327683E-5 | 3.5070778E-5 | 3.5070778E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4260718E-4 | 1.5029468E-4 | 1.6029319E-4 | 1.0665259 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017348597 | 0.0018283034 | 0.0018782121 | 1.0272977 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017213784 | 0.018880952 | 0.018979063 | 1.0051963 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 3.3235785E-5 | 3.5011715E-5 | 3.5011715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4243131E-4 | 1.500416E-4 | 1.6004009E-4 | 1.0666382 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017327217 | 0.0018252272 | 0.0018751359 | 1.0273439 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017192734 | 0.018850813 | 0.018948928 | 1.0052048 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 3.3197095E-5 | 3.4951627E-5 | 3.4951627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.422655E-4 | 1.4978409E-4 | 1.5978259E-4 | 1.0667528 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017307063 | 0.0018220973 | 0.0018720062 | 1.027391 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017172894 | 0.018820183 | 0.018918302 | 1.0052135 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 3.3129716E-5 | 3.483179E-5 | 3.483179E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4197677E-4 | 1.4927058E-4 | 1.5926908E-4 | 1.0669824 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017271966 | 0.0018158557 | 0.001865765 | 1.0274853 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017138338 | 0.018759241 | 0.018857365 | 1.0052307 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 3.3034008E-5 | 3.4699202E-5 | 3.4699202E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4156665E-4 | 1.487024E-4 | 1.5870092E-4 | 1.0672385 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017222111 | 0.0018089497 | 0.0018588593 | 1.0275904 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017089253 | 0.018691622 | 0.018789753 | 1.00525 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 3.2956614E-5 | 3.4566892E-5 | 3.4566892E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4123498E-4 | 1.4813541E-4 | 1.5813393E-4 | 1.0674958 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017181796 | 0.0018020582 | 0.0018519681 | 1.027696 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017049557 | 0.018624345 | 0.018722482 | 1.0052693 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 3.2915937E-5 | 3.4488534E-5 | 3.4488534E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4106068E-4 | 1.4779964E-4 | 1.5779816E-4 | 1.0676491 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017160608 | 0.0017979768 | 0.001847887 | 1.0277591 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017028693 | 0.018584587 | 0.018682728 | 1.0052809 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 3.281791E-5 | 3.4353365E-5 | 3.4353365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.406406E-4 | 1.472204E-4 | 1.5721894E-4 | 1.0679153 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017109542 | 0.0017909363 | 0.0018408467 | 1.0278684 | 5.0E-5 | 0.016978411 | 0.018515434 | 0.018613584 | 1.0053009 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 3.2521442E-5 | 3.40781E-5 | 3.40781E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3937015E-4 | 1.4604084E-4 | 1.5603937E-4 | 1.068464 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016955109 | 0.0017765985 | 0.0018265097 | 1.0280937 | 5.0E-5 | 0.016826328 | 0.018372977 | 0.01847114 | 1.0053427 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 3.0287873E-5 | 3.25609E-5 | 3.25609E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.297987E-4 | 1.3953926E-4 | 1.4953787E-4 | 1.0716544 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015791537 | 0.0016975678 | 0.0017474829 | 1.0294039 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01567979 | 0.017583238 | 0.017681481 | 1.0055872 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6316151E-5 | 2.9767862E-5 | 2.9767862E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277862E-4 | 1.2757031E-4 | 1.3756905E-4 | 1.0783782 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013722149 | 0.001552063 | 0.0016019854 | 1.0321652 | 5.0E-5 | 0.013637724 | 0.016122816 | 0.016221203 | 1.0061024 | 1.0E-4 |
7.9 | 2.0761147E-5 | 2.3508894E-5 | 2.3508894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.897331E-5 | 1.0074852E-4 | 1.1074751E-4 | 1.0992471 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010827117 | 0.0012259238 | 0.0012658748 | 1.0325885 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010774517 | 0.012839608 | 0.01291858 | 1.0061507 | 8.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5738568E-5 | 1.6101161E-5 | 1.6101161E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.744926E-5 | 6.900316E-5 | 7.900247E-5 | 1.1449109 | 1.0E-5 | 8.2088535E-4 | 8.3979033E-4 | 8.5977354E-4 | 1.0237955 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008178596 | 0.008901275 | 0.008921097 | 1.0022268 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0105832E-5 | 8.369298E-6 | 8.369298E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3309992E-5 | 3.5867928E-5 | 4.586757E-5 | 1.2787906 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2717153E-4 | 4.3660504E-4 | 4.466007E-4 | 1.022894 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005259227 | 0.004697965 | 0.004707918 | 1.0021186 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.189207E-6 | 1.5894384E-6 | 1.5894384E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7953622E-5 | 6.811861E-6 | 6.811861E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1856341E-4 | 8.2931285E-5 | 8.2931285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021834858 | 9.629148E-4 | 9.629148E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 3.6442182E-7 | 3.6442182E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.5618069E-6 | 1.5618069E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 1.9014838E-5 | 1.9014838E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.2923788E-4 | 2.2923788E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.341191E-4 | 2.4411676E-4 | 1.0427033 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.001002981 | 0.0010229609 | 1.0199206 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.012142824 | 0.012211974 | 1.0056947 | 7.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.112695955 | 0.11278468 | 1.0007874 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.341191E-4 | 2.4411676E-4 | 1.0427033 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.001002981 | 0.0010229609 | 1.0199206 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.012142824 | 0.012211974 | 1.0056947 | 7.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.112695955 | 0.11278468 | 1.0007874 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.341191E-4 | 2.4411676E-4 | 1.0427033 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.001002981 | 0.0010229609 | 1.0199206 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.012142824 | 0.012211974 | 1.0056947 | 7.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.112695955 | 0.11278468 | 1.0007874 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.341191E-4 | 2.4411676E-4 | 1.0427033 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.001002981 | 0.0010229609 | 1.0199206 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.012142824 | 0.012211974 | 1.0056947 | 7.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.112695955 | 0.11278468 | 1.0007874 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.2969252E-4 | 2.3969023E-4 | 1.0435264 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.840275E-4 | 0.0010040079 | 1.0203047 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0041964394 | 0.0119149415 | 0.011984107 | 1.005805 | 7.0E-5 | 0.041180745 | 0.11067662 | 0.11076555 | 1.0008036 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.2969252E-4 | 2.3969023E-4 | 1.0435264 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.840275E-4 | 0.0010040079 | 1.0203047 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0041964394 | 0.0119149415 | 0.011984107 | 1.005805 | 7.0E-5 | 0.041180745 | 0.11067662 | 0.11076555 | 1.0008036 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 7.619237E-5 | 2.221361E-4 | 2.3213388E-4 | 1.0450075 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2649786E-4 | 9.516668E-4 | 9.716478E-4 | 1.0209957 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0039678677 | 0.011525537 | 0.01159473 | 1.0060035 | 7.0E-5 | 0.03897764 | 0.107212566 | 0.10730184 | 1.0008327 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 7.440636E-5 | 2.1889362E-4 | 2.2889144E-4 | 1.0456743 | 1.0E-5 | 3.188454E-4 | 9.377805E-4 | 9.577618E-4 | 1.021307 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0038750346 | 0.011358242 | 0.011427447 | 1.0060929 | 7.0E-5 | 0.038081564 | 0.10572102 | 0.10581044 | 1.0008459 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 7.3735864E-5 | 2.173649E-4 | 2.2736273E-4 | 1.0459956 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1597257E-4 | 9.312336E-4 | 9.512149E-4 | 1.0214568 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0038401815 | 0.011279363 | 0.0113485735 | 1.0061361 | 7.0E-5 | 0.03774495 | 0.10502263 | 0.10511213 | 1.0008522 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 7.27575E-5 | 2.1505415E-4 | 2.25052E-4 | 1.04649 | 1.0E-5 | 3.117806E-4 | 9.213374E-4 | 9.41319E-4 | 1.0216876 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003789323 | 0.011160118 | 0.011229336 | 1.0062023 | 7.0E-5 | 0.037253562 | 0.10397043 | 0.10406003 | 1.0008618 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 7.102591E-5 | 2.1089333E-4 | 2.2089122E-4 | 1.0474074 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0436125E-4 | 9.035177E-4 | 9.2349964E-4 | 1.0221157 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003699303 | 0.010945361 | 0.011014595 | 1.0063254 | 7.0E-5 | 0.03638325 | 0.10207189 | 0.10216168 | 1.0008796 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 7.028513E-5 | 2.0924919E-4 | 2.192471E-4 | 1.0477799 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0118722E-4 | 8.9647627E-4 | 9.164584E-4 | 1.0222895 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036607897 | 0.01086049 | 0.01092973 | 1.0063754 | 7.0E-5 | 0.036010686 | 0.10131482 | 0.10140469 | 1.000887 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 6.8498244E-5 | 2.0532653E-4 | 2.1532449E-4 | 1.048693 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9353087E-4 | 8.796763E-4 | 8.996588E-4 | 1.0227157 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003567883 | 0.010657967 | 0.010727221 | 1.0064979 | 7.0E-5 | 0.035111405 | 0.09950648 | 0.09959653 | 1.0009049 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 6.622592E-5 | 1.9759577E-4 | 2.075938E-4 | 1.0505984 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8379448E-4 | 8.4656634E-4 | 8.6654944E-4 | 1.0236049 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034497243 | 0.010258717 | 0.0103279995 | 1.0067534 | 7.0E-5 | 0.033966612 | 0.09600205 | 0.09609245 | 1.0009416 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 5.1050705E-5 | 1.4712752E-4 | 1.5712605E-4 | 1.0679582 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1877038E-4 | 6.30395E-4 | 6.503824E-4 | 1.0317061 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002660276 | 0.0076482436 | 0.0077077844 | 1.007785 | 6.0E-5 | 0.02628654 | 0.07296495 | 0.073039114 | 1.0010164 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.9302922E-5 | 1.1150455E-4 | 1.2150344E-4 | 1.0896724 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6843023E-4 | 4.7778946E-4 | 4.977799E-4 | 1.0418395 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020487092 | 0.005801641 | 0.005861293 | 1.0102819 | 6.0E-5 | 0.020299247 | 0.056099918 | 0.05617543 | 1.001346 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.9851626E-5 | 8.5132786E-5 | 9.513193E-5 | 1.1174536 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2792926E-4 | 3.6480388E-4 | 3.8479659E-4 | 1.054804 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015564259 | 0.0044324677 | 0.004492202 | 1.0134765 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0154556995 | 0.04327606 | 0.043352596 | 1.0017686 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.1135214E-5 | 6.3691485E-5 | 7.369085E-5 | 1.1569968 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0576345E-5 | 2.7293497E-4 | 2.929295E-4 | 1.0732576 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011022091 | 0.0033179251 | 0.003377726 | 1.0180236 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010967582 | 0.03265601 | 0.0327334 | 1.0023698 | 8.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.883379E-5 | 5.57891E-5 | 6.578854E-5 | 1.1792365 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0713755E-5 | 2.3907424E-4 | 2.5906946E-4 | 1.083636 | 2.0E-5 | 9.822468E-4 | 0.002906847 | 0.0029666726 | 1.0205809 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0097791655 | 0.028762693 | 0.028840391 | 1.0027014 | 8.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.5156185E-5 | 4.1780397E-5 | 5.1779978E-5 | 1.2393367 | 1.0E-5 | 6.495346E-5 | 1.7904656E-4 | 1.9904297E-4 | 1.1116828 | 2.0E-5 | 7.9052144E-4 | 0.002177714 | 0.002237583 | 1.0274918 | 6.0E-5 | 0.007877152 | 0.021815568 | 0.021893824 | 1.0035871 | 8.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.1405907E-5 | 3.0065365E-5 | 4.0065064E-5 | 1.3325987 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8881542E-5 | 1.288452E-4 | 1.3884391E-4 | 1.0776025 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9497025E-4 | 0.0015675626 | 0.0015975155 | 1.0191079 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005933798 | 0.015815256 | 0.015864465 | 1.0031115 | 5.0E-5 |
8.1 | 4.3511436E-6 | 7.401081E-6 | 7.401081E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8647626E-5 | 3.1718533E-5 | 3.1718533E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2701119E-4 | 3.8610483E-4 | 3.8610483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022677942 | 0.0041323407 | 0.0041323407 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.3042528E-6 | 2.7475924E-6 | 2.7475924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.875332E-6 | 1.17753425E-5 | 1.17753425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2022553E-4 | 1.4335541E-4 | 1.4335541E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012016051 | 0.0016056655 | 0.0016056655 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.202968E-7 | 3.1801042E-7 | 3.1801042E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2298414E-6 | 1.3629012E-6 | 1.3629012E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.714798E-5 | 1.6593209E-5 | 1.6593209E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7144665E-4 | 1.9679042E-4 | 1.9679042E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Wolf (Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.0668945E-6 | 1.6066833E-5 | 2.6482797 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.6000755E-5 | 3.6000492E-5 | 1.3845942 | 1.0E-5 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.165198E-4 | 3.5650717E-4 | 1.1263344 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.003161342 | 0.003261026 | 1.0315322 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.0668945E-6 | 1.6066833E-5 | 2.6482797 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.6000755E-5 | 3.6000492E-5 | 1.3845942 | 1.0E-5 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.165198E-4 | 3.5650717E-4 | 1.1263344 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.003161342 | 0.003261026 | 1.0315322 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.0668945E-6 | 1.6066833E-5 | 2.6482797 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.6000755E-5 | 3.6000492E-5 | 1.3845942 | 1.0E-5 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.165198E-4 | 3.5650717E-4 | 1.1263344 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.003161342 | 0.003261026 | 1.0315322 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.0668945E-6 | 1.6066833E-5 | 2.6482797 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.6000755E-5 | 3.6000492E-5 | 1.3845942 | 1.0E-5 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.165198E-4 | 3.5650717E-4 | 1.1263344 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.003161342 | 0.003261026 | 1.0315322 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 5.821773E-6 | 3.5572996E-6 | 3.5572996E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4950215E-5 | 1.5245487E-5 | 1.5245487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0372653E-4 | 1.8559908E-4 | 1.9559724E-4 | 1.0538696 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030331176 | 0.0018545492 | 0.0019244194 | 1.037675 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.766023E-6 | 3.4992315E-6 | 3.4992315E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4711293E-5 | 1.4996626E-5 | 1.4996626E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0081844E-4 | 1.8256973E-4 | 1.925679E-4 | 1.0547636 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030041158 | 0.0018243056 | 0.0018941779 | 1.0383008 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.643576E-6 | 2.3327025E-6 | 2.3327025E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9900888E-5 | 9.99726E-6 | 9.99726E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4226638E-4 | 1.21710276E-4 | 1.21710276E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024200242 | 0.0012164786 | 0.0012564299 | 1.0328418 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.9529173E-6 | 1.6484015E-6 | 1.6484015E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6940963E-5 | 7.0645597E-6 | 7.0645597E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0623671E-4 | 8.600781E-5 | 8.600781E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002060454 | 8.597637E-4 | 8.797465E-4 | 1.0232422 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4377522E-6 | 1.2245622E-6 | 1.2245622E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.473314E-5 | 5.2481137E-6 | 5.2481137E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7936122E-4 | 6.3894004E-5 | 6.3894004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017921652 | 6.3876546E-4 | 6.487591E-4 | 1.0156451 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.1367306E-6 | 1.0034067E-6 | 1.0034067E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3443062E-5 | 4.300308E-6 | 4.300308E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.63657E-4 | 5.235507E-5 | 5.235507E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016353652 | 5.23435E-4 | 5.334298E-4 | 1.0190946 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8298145E-6 | 7.4288783E-7 | 7.4288783E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2127721E-5 | 3.1838015E-6 | 3.1838015E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.47645E-4 | 3.8762144E-5 | 3.8762144E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014754693 | 3.8755883E-4 | 3.9755495E-4 | 1.0257925 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.4091064E-6 | 5.4229E-7 | 5.4229E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.03247E-5 | 2.3240984E-6 | 2.3240984E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2569598E-4 | 2.8295572E-5 | 2.8295572E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001256249 | 2.8292372E-4 | 2.929209E-4 | 1.0353352 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.3875518E-6 | 1.0743025E-7 | 1.0743025E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9466374E-6 | 4.604153E-7 | 4.604153E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.23979E-5 | 5.605543E-6 | 5.605543E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2374323E-4 | 5.605413E-5 | 5.605413E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.056077E-7 | 5.0018464E-8 | 5.0018464E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0240296E-6 | 2.1436483E-7 | 2.1436483E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.681694E-5 | 2.6098892E-6 | 2.6098892E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.681084E-4 | 2.6098633E-5 | 2.6098633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.864598E-9 | 4.864598E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 2.0848278E-8 | 2.0848278E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.5382775E-7 | 2.5382775E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095951E-5 | 2.5382758E-6 | 2.5382758E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lake Isabella (Seismicity)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741949E-6 | 9.741949E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1750616E-5 | 4.1750616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.082083E-4 | 5.3819304E-4 | 1.059001 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.005071753 | 0.0051712464 | 1.0196171 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741949E-6 | 9.741949E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1750616E-5 | 4.1750616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.082083E-4 | 5.3819304E-4 | 1.059001 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.005071753 | 0.0051712464 | 1.0196171 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741949E-6 | 9.741949E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1750616E-5 | 4.1750616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.082083E-4 | 5.3819304E-4 | 1.059001 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.005071753 | 0.0051712464 | 1.0196171 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741949E-6 | 9.741949E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1750616E-5 | 4.1750616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.082083E-4 | 5.3819304E-4 | 1.059001 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.005071753 | 0.0051712464 | 1.0196171 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.3002254E-6 | 5.3002254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2715074E-5 | 2.2715074E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.7652437E-4 | 2.8652162E-4 | 1.0361532 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027621435 | 0.002802033 | 1.0144415 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.3002254E-6 | 5.3002254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2715074E-5 | 2.2715074E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.7652437E-4 | 2.8652162E-4 | 1.0361532 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027621435 | 0.002802033 | 1.0144415 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.4009804E-6 | 3.4988796E-6 | 3.4988796E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4575549E-5 | 1.4995121E-5 | 1.4995121E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7744285E-4 | 1.8255191E-4 | 1.9255008E-4 | 1.0547689 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017730123 | 0.0018241772 | 0.0018641043 | 1.0218877 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.3880428E-6 | 3.485746E-6 | 3.485746E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4520103E-5 | 1.4938835E-5 | 1.4938835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.767679E-4 | 1.8186674E-4 | 1.9186492E-4 | 1.0549753 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017662736 | 0.0018173368 | 0.0018572641 | 1.0219703 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.6582E-6 | 2.7337724E-6 | 2.7337724E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1392236E-5 | 1.1716122E-5 | 1.1716122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869164E-4 | 1.4263579E-4 | 1.5263437E-4 | 1.0700986 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013860512 | 0.0014255745 | 0.0014555318 | 1.0210141 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.406011E-6 | 2.474394E-6 | 2.474394E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0311434E-5 | 1.0604511E-5 | 1.0604511E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2553448E-4 | 1.2910359E-4 | 1.391023E-4 | 1.0774472 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012546359 | 0.0012904154 | 0.0013203768 | 1.0232183 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.6953097E-6 | 1.7429827E-6 | 1.7429827E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265593E-6 | 7.46991E-6 | 7.46991E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8455E-5 | 9.094341E-5 | 9.094341E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.84198E-4 | 9.0916466E-4 | 9.291465E-4 | 1.0219783 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.5013824E-7 | 3.5715487E-7 | 3.5715487E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5005916E-6 | 1.5306629E-6 | 1.5306629E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.826955E-5 | 1.8635663E-5 | 1.8635663E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8268047E-4 | 1.8634126E-4 | 1.8634126E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.2321095E-7 | 2.275098E-7 | 2.275098E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.56618E-7 | 9.750416E-7 | 9.750416E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1646762E-5 | 1.1871069E-5 | 1.1871069E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1646151E-4 | 1.1870445E-4 | 1.1870445E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5760406E-7 | 1.6061206E-7 | 1.6061206E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7544585E-7 | 6.8833725E-7 | 6.8833725E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.223522E-6 | 8.380474E-6 | 8.380474E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2232174E-5 | 8.380164E-5 | 8.380164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.1216497E-7 | 1.143191E-7 | 1.143191E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8070694E-7 | 4.899389E-7 | 4.899389E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.852591E-6 | 5.96499E-6 | 5.96499E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8524372E-5 | 5.9648344E-5 | 5.9648344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.885185E-8 | 4.978862E-8 | 4.978862E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0936506E-7 | 2.1337979E-7 | 2.1337979E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5490165E-6 | 2.5978961E-6 | 2.5978961E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5489873E-5 | 2.5978676E-5 | 2.5978676E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.504641E-9 | 1.5318159E-9 | 1.5318159E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4484613E-9 | 6.5649255E-9 | 6.5649255E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851001E-8 | 7.9927965E-8 | 7.9927965E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8509987E-7 | 7.992797E-7 | 7.992797E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cady
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1860737E-5 | 2.1860737E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3686016E-5 | 1.0368508E-4 | 1.1067295 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011401214 | 0.0011501099 | 1.008761 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011351738 | 0.011440716 | 1.0078382 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1860737E-5 | 2.1860737E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3686016E-5 | 1.0368508E-4 | 1.1067295 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011401214 | 0.0011501099 | 1.008761 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011351738 | 0.011440716 | 1.0078382 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1860737E-5 | 2.1860737E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3686016E-5 | 1.0368508E-4 | 1.1067295 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011401214 | 0.0011501099 | 1.008761 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011351738 | 0.011440716 | 1.0078382 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2177661E-5 | 1.2177661E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.2189112E-5 | 6.218859E-5 | 1.1916008 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.352487E-4 | 6.4524234E-4 | 1.0157318 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057841022 | 0.006337435 | 0.006387118 | 1.0078397 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2177661E-5 | 1.2177661E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.2189112E-5 | 6.218859E-5 | 1.1916008 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.352487E-4 | 6.4524234E-4 | 1.0157318 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057841022 | 0.006337435 | 0.006387118 | 1.0078397 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.103093E-6 | 6.672599E-6 | 6.672599E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.615585E-5 | 2.8596609E-5 | 3.859632E-5 | 1.3496819 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1840094E-4 | 3.4812064E-4 | 3.5811716E-4 | 1.0287157 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031794512 | 0.0034769874 | 0.003496918 | 1.005732 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.817237E-6 | 6.366216E-6 | 6.366216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4930776E-5 | 2.7283568E-5 | 3.7283295E-5 | 1.366511 | 1.0E-5 | 3.034899E-4 | 3.3213926E-4 | 3.4213593E-4 | 1.0300978 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030307577 | 0.0033176509 | 0.0033375844 | 1.0060084 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.8846314E-6 | 5.3410313E-6 | 5.3410313E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0933967E-5 | 2.289E-5 | 3.288977E-5 | 1.436862 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5484123E-4 | 2.786619E-4 | 2.886591E-4 | 1.0358758 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025454918 | 0.0027842803 | 0.0028042246 | 1.0071632 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7788773E-6 | 1.9400711E-6 | 1.9400711E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6237375E-6 | 8.314573E-6 | 8.314573E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.281505E-5 | 1.012268E-4 | 1.012268E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2776294E-4 | 0.0010119616 | 0.0010119616 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.5455404E-7 | 8.2978596E-7 | 8.2978596E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.233799E-6 | 3.5562225E-6 | 3.5562225E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.937079E-5 | 4.3296484E-5 | 4.3296484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9363815E-4 | 4.3291345E-4 | 4.3291345E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.8578805E-7 | 7.5425146E-7 | 7.5425146E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9390883E-6 | 3.232504E-6 | 3.232504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.578281E-5 | 3.9355356E-5 | 3.9355356E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.577705E-4 | 3.9351635E-4 | 3.9351635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Independence rev 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.326354E-6 | 4.326354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8541403E-5 | 1.8541403E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2572117E-4 | 2.557144E-4 | 1.1328773 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022552127 | 0.0023250547 | 1.0309691 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.326354E-6 | 4.326354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8541403E-5 | 1.8541403E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2572117E-4 | 2.557144E-4 | 1.1328773 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022552127 | 0.0023250547 | 1.0309691 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.326354E-6 | 4.326354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8541403E-5 | 1.8541403E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2572117E-4 | 2.557144E-4 | 1.1328773 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022552127 | 0.0023250547 | 1.0309691 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.326354E-6 | 4.326354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8541403E-5 | 1.8541403E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2572117E-4 | 2.557144E-4 | 1.1328773 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022552127 | 0.0023250547 | 1.0309691 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.326354E-6 | 4.326354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8541403E-5 | 1.8541403E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2572117E-4 | 2.557144E-4 | 1.1328773 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022552127 | 0.0023250547 | 1.0309691 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.326354E-6 | 4.326354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8541403E-5 | 1.8541403E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2572117E-4 | 2.557144E-4 | 1.1328773 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022552127 | 0.0023250547 | 1.0309691 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.663744E-6 | 2.5320792E-6 | 2.5320792E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1415996E-5 | 1.0851726E-5 | 1.0851726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3898089E-4 | 1.3211224E-4 | 1.6210828E-4 | 1.2270496 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013889399 | 0.0013203853 | 0.0013902929 | 1.0529448 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.663744E-6 | 2.5320792E-6 | 2.5320792E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1415996E-5 | 1.0851726E-5 | 1.0851726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3898089E-4 | 1.3211224E-4 | 1.6210828E-4 | 1.2270496 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013889399 | 0.0013203853 | 0.0013902929 | 1.0529448 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.9716529E-6 | 1.8323382E-6 | 1.8323382E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.449913E-6 | 7.852855E-6 | 7.852855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0287284E-4 | 9.560444E-5 | 1.2560157E-4 | 1.3137629 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010282523 | 9.5564604E-4 | 0.0010255792 | 1.0731789 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.8788617E-6 | 1.7430759E-6 | 1.7430759E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0522395E-6 | 7.4703044E-6 | 7.4703044E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.80316E-5 | 9.094728E-5 | 1.20944555E-4 | 1.3298314 | 3.0E-5 | 9.798837E-4 | 9.091127E-4 | 9.79049E-4 | 1.0769281 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.5045488E-6 | 1.3850143E-6 | 1.3850143E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.44805E-6 | 5.9357626E-6 | 5.9357626E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8502184E-5 | 7.226557E-5 | 1.02263395E-4 | 1.4151055 | 3.0E-5 | 7.8474457E-4 | 7.224258E-4 | 7.9237524E-4 | 1.0968257 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.272341E-6 | 1.1625658E-6 | 1.1625658E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4528787E-6 | 4.9824157E-6 | 4.9824157E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6386776E-5 | 6.065925E-5 | 9.0657435E-5 | 1.4945359 | 3.0E-5 | 6.636695E-4 | 6.0643017E-4 | 6.763877E-4 | 1.1153597 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0416892E-6 | 9.410364E-7 | 9.410364E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.464375E-6 | 4.033007E-6 | 4.033007E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4352407E-5 | 4.910077E-5 | 7.90993E-5 | 1.6109583 | 3.0E-5 | 5.4339116E-4 | 4.9090106E-4 | 5.608667E-4 | 1.142525 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.9450155E-7 | 7.2353595E-7 | 7.2353595E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4050022E-6 | 3.100865E-6 | 3.100865E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1455114E-5 | 3.7752387E-5 | 6.775125E-5 | 1.7946217 | 3.0E-5 | 4.144738E-4 | 3.7746085E-4 | 4.4743443E-4 | 1.1853797 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.3893444E-7 | 5.0197326E-7 | 5.0197326E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.309717E-6 | 2.1513124E-6 | 2.1513124E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8120441E-5 | 2.6191918E-5 | 5.6191133E-5 | 2.1453614 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8116882E-4 | 2.6188875E-4 | 3.3187043E-4 | 1.2672191 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.8852085E-7 | 3.6827046E-7 | 3.6827046E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6650882E-6 | 1.5783011E-6 | 1.5783011E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.027226E-5 | 1.9215648E-5 | 4.9215072E-5 | 2.5611975 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0270412E-4 | 1.9214008E-4 | 2.6212662E-4 | 1.3642476 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.414929E-7 | 2.3458367E-7 | 2.3458367E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0349692E-6 | 1.0053582E-6 | 1.0053582E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2600677E-5 | 1.2240168E-5 | 3.2239925E-5 | 2.6339445 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2599962E-4 | 1.2239507E-4 | 1.7238894E-4 | 1.4084632 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.8298014E-8 | 6.8591284E-8 | 6.8591284E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9270575E-7 | 2.9396261E-7 | 2.9396261E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5636867E-6 | 3.5789894E-6 | 3.5789894E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5636294E-5 | 3.5789366E-5 | 3.5789366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3786862E-5 | 3.3786862E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4479349E-4 | 1.4479349E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017615561 | 0.0018014857 | 1.0226672 | 4.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.017488264 | 0.017557038 | 1.0039327 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3786862E-5 | 3.3786862E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4479349E-4 | 1.4479349E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017615561 | 0.0018014857 | 1.0226672 | 4.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.017488264 | 0.017557038 | 1.0039327 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3786862E-5 | 3.3786862E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4479349E-4 | 1.4479349E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017615561 | 0.0018014857 | 1.0226672 | 4.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.017488264 | 0.017557038 | 1.0039327 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.5917416E-5 | 1.5917416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.821579E-5 | 6.821579E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.3022506E-4 | 8.602002E-4 | 1.0361048 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009254395 | 0.0082726935 | 0.008312362 | 1.0047952 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.5917416E-5 | 1.5917416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.821579E-5 | 6.821579E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.3022506E-4 | 8.602002E-4 | 1.0361048 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009254395 | 0.0082726935 | 0.008312362 | 1.0047952 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3397557E-5 | 1.1337289E-5 | 1.1337289E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.741684E-5 | 4.8587513E-5 | 4.8587513E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.988258E-4 | 5.913994E-4 | 6.0139346E-4 | 1.016899 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006966323 | 0.0058989613 | 0.0059089023 | 1.0016853 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0818695E-5 | 8.626085E-6 | 8.626085E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6365014E-5 | 3.696844E-5 | 3.696844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6434784E-4 | 4.5000215E-4 | 4.5000215E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005629168 | 0.0044913455 | 0.0044913455 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.067908E-6 | 6.802965E-6 | 6.802965E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8861883E-5 | 2.9155255E-5 | 2.9155255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7304068E-4 | 3.5491062E-4 | 3.5491062E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00472035 | 0.0035437553 | 0.0035437553 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.295947E-6 | 4.936773E-6 | 4.936773E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.126797E-5 | 2.1157433E-5 | 2.1157433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8062103E-4 | 2.5756244E-4 | 2.5756244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037996976 | 0.002572752 | 0.002572752 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.2243444E-6 | 3.832534E-6 | 3.832534E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6675489E-5 | 1.6425045E-5 | 1.6425045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2472567E-4 | 1.9995711E-4 | 1.9995711E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032425157 | 0.0019978245 | 0.0019978245 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.9878413E-6 | 2.6797866E-6 | 2.6797866E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1376287E-5 | 1.148475E-5 | 1.148475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.602252E-4 | 1.3981812E-4 | 1.3981812E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002599207 | 0.0013973279 | 0.0013973279 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.0252844E-6 | 1.8859155E-6 | 1.8859155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7251105E-5 | 8.082471E-6 | 8.082471E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1001195E-4 | 9.839977E-5 | 9.839977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020981359 | 9.835748E-4 | 9.835748E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.3284066E-6 | 1.2820963E-6 | 1.2820963E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4264522E-5 | 5.4946872E-6 | 5.4946872E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.736567E-4 | 6.689587E-5 | 6.689587E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017352107 | 6.687674E-4 | 6.687674E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.458226E-6 | 6.0585836E-7 | 6.0585836E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0535211E-5 | 2.5965335E-6 | 2.5965335E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2825865E-4 | 3.1612373E-5 | 3.1612373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012818464 | 3.1608253E-4 | 3.1608253E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.965953E-6 | 3.1101226E-7 | 3.1101226E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.425486E-6 | 1.332909E-6 | 1.332909E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0257547E-4 | 1.6228048E-5 | 1.6228048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010252813 | 1.6226876E-4 | 1.6226876E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2014192E-6 | 1.8252557E-7 | 1.8252557E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.148929E-6 | 7.822522E-7 | 7.822522E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2686406E-5 | 9.523879E-6 | 9.523879E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.266873E-4 | 9.52348E-5 | 9.52348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.5612175E-7 | 4.8970218E-8 | 4.8970218E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0976642E-6 | 2.0987235E-7 | 2.0987235E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363979E-5 | 2.5551933E-6 | 2.5551933E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363175E-4 | 2.5551675E-5 | 2.5551675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Coachella) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.276167E-4 | 3.3761343E-4 | 1.0305135 | 1.0E-5 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.0014033208 | 0.0014232928 | 1.0142319 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0062038354 | 0.016952923 | 0.016992245 | 1.0023195 | 4.0E-5 | 0.060334753 | 0.1527848 | 0.1528441 | 1.0003881 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.276167E-4 | 3.3761343E-4 | 1.0305135 | 1.0E-5 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.0014033208 | 0.0014232928 | 1.0142319 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0062038354 | 0.016952923 | 0.016992245 | 1.0023195 | 4.0E-5 | 0.060334753 | 0.1527848 | 0.1528441 | 1.0003881 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.07432395E-4 | 3.0262195E-4 | 3.126189E-4 | 1.0330346 | 1.0E-5 | 4.603433E-4 | 0.0012963106 | 0.0013162846 | 1.0154084 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005590286 | 0.01566947 | 0.015708843 | 1.0025127 | 4.0E-5 | 0.05451731 | 0.14194544 | 0.1420055 | 1.0004232 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0718766E-4 | 3.02075E-4 | 3.1207196E-4 | 1.0330944 | 1.0E-5 | 4.592948E-4 | 0.0012939688 | 0.001313943 | 1.0154363 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005577586 | 0.015641369 | 0.015680743 | 1.0025173 | 4.0E-5 | 0.054396555 | 0.1417137 | 0.14177378 | 1.0004239 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0355944E-4 | 2.9415544E-4 | 3.041525E-4 | 1.0339856 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4375064E-4 | 0.001260061 | 0.0012800358 | 1.0158522 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0053892885 | 0.015234386 | 0.015273777 | 1.0025856 | 4.0E-5 | 0.052604496 | 0.13827178 | 0.1383321 | 1.0004363 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0227914E-4 | 2.913496E-4 | 3.0134668E-4 | 1.0343131 | 1.0E-5 | 4.382655E-4 | 0.0012480476 | 0.0012680226 | 1.016005 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0053228354 | 0.015090158 | 0.015129554 | 1.0026107 | 4.0E-5 | 0.051971316 | 0.13705607 | 0.13711648 | 1.0004407 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0116757E-4 | 2.8900697E-4 | 2.9900408E-4 | 1.0345912 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3350324E-4 | 0.0012380172 | 0.0012579925 | 1.0161349 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0052651367 | 0.014969722 | 0.015009123 | 1.002632 | 4.0E-5 | 0.051421247 | 0.13603368 | 0.13609417 | 1.0004445 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0050676E-4 | 2.875925E-4 | 2.9758964E-4 | 1.0347614 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3067214E-4 | 0.0012319611 | 0.0012519364 | 1.0162143 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005230834 | 0.014896998 | 0.014936402 | 1.0026451 | 4.0E-5 | 0.051094085 | 0.13541862 | 0.13547915 | 1.0004469 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.976819E-5 | 2.856287E-4 | 2.9562582E-4 | 1.0350004 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2750788E-4 | 0.0012235525 | 0.0012435281 | 1.0163258 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0051924936 | 0.01479602 | 0.014835428 | 1.0026634 | 4.0E-5 | 0.050728295 | 0.13457021 | 0.1346308 | 1.0004501 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.77719E-5 | 2.8059556E-4 | 2.9059275E-4 | 1.0356284 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1895514E-4 | 0.0012020022 | 0.0012219781 | 1.0166188 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0050888555 | 0.014537175 | 0.014576593 | 1.0027115 | 4.0E-5 | 0.049738888 | 0.13239814 | 0.13245888 | 1.0004587 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.500761E-5 | 2.4792412E-4 | 2.5792164E-4 | 1.0403249 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6426744E-4 | 0.0010621025 | 0.0010820812 | 1.0188106 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0044259406 | 0.012855205 | 0.012884819 | 1.0023037 | 3.0E-5 | 0.04338823 | 0.11825175 | 0.11830465 | 1.0004474 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.319876E-5 | 2.4394818E-4 | 2.5394573E-4 | 1.0409824 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5651738E-4 | 0.0010450765 | 0.0010650556 | 1.0191174 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004331963 | 0.01265034 | 0.01267996 | 1.0023415 | 3.0E-5 | 0.042484846 | 0.11647076 | 0.11652377 | 1.0004551 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.563917E-5 | 2.244237E-4 | 2.3442144E-4 | 1.0445486 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2412758E-4 | 9.6146436E-4 | 9.814451E-4 | 1.0207816 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0039391145 | 0.011643691 | 0.0116733415 | 1.0025465 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03870018 | 0.1078746 | 0.10792813 | 1.0004961 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.082985E-5 | 2.0757409E-4 | 2.1757201E-4 | 1.0481656 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0352117E-4 | 8.893029E-4 | 9.092851E-4 | 1.0224695 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036891096 | 0.010774137 | 0.010803814 | 1.0027544 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03628465 | 0.10039358 | 0.10044756 | 1.0005376 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.146215E-5 | 1.4296203E-4 | 1.5296061E-4 | 1.0699387 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2053342E-4 | 6.1255146E-4 | 6.325392E-4 | 1.0326303 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0026816884 | 0.0074325013 | 0.0074622785 | 1.0040064 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02649557 | 0.070946105 | 0.07100185 | 1.0007857 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.0285166E-5 | 1.0961026E-4 | 1.1960916E-4 | 1.0912223 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7263928E-4 | 4.6967398E-4 | 4.896646E-4 | 1.0425627 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002099857 | 0.0057033575 | 0.0057331864 | 1.0052301 | 3.0E-5 | 0.020801254 | 0.05509701 | 0.0551537 | 1.001029 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.1168736E-5 | 8.4561354E-5 | 9.4560506E-5 | 1.1182474 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3357346E-4 | 3.6235558E-4 | 3.8234834E-4 | 1.0551744 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016250437 | 0.004402782 | 0.00443265 | 1.0067838 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016132116 | 0.042888016 | 0.042945445 | 1.001339 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.2100989E-5 | 6.253887E-5 | 7.253825E-5 | 1.1598905 | 1.0E-5 | 9.4715084E-5 | 2.6799625E-4 | 2.8799087E-4 | 1.074608 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001152546 | 0.003257979 | 0.0032878811 | 1.0091782 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011465867 | 0.031969033 | 0.032027118 | 1.0018169 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.7484861E-5 | 5.193052E-5 | 6.1930004E-5 | 1.192555 | 1.0E-5 | 7.493296E-5 | 2.225404E-4 | 2.4253596E-4 | 1.0898514 | 2.0E-5 | 9.1192697E-4 | 0.0027060658 | 0.0027359847 | 1.0110562 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009081938 | 0.026701504 | 0.026759902 | 1.002187 | 6.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.3967285E-5 | 3.8332448E-5 | 4.8332065E-5 | 1.2608656 | 1.0E-5 | 5.985842E-5 | 1.6427158E-4 | 1.842683E-4 | 1.1217296 | 2.0E-5 | 7.2853256E-4 | 0.001998173 | 0.0020281132 | 1.0149838 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0072614877 | 0.019960236 | 0.020019038 | 1.002946 | 6.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.1887396E-5 | 3.115934E-5 | 4.1159026E-5 | 1.3209211 | 1.0E-5 | 5.094499E-5 | 1.3353319E-4 | 1.5353052E-4 | 1.1497555 | 2.0E-5 | 6.200787E-4 | 0.0016245552 | 0.0016545065 | 1.0184366 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006183513 | 0.016323188 | 0.01638221 | 1.0036157 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 5.100864E-6 | 9.01079E-6 | 9.01079E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1860664E-5 | 3.8617098E-5 | 3.8617098E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6612106E-4 | 4.7006187E-4 | 4.7006187E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002658026 | 0.004936272 | 0.004936272 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.3004484E-6 | 2.8012587E-6 | 2.8012587E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.859027E-6 | 1.2005339E-5 | 1.2005339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2002704E-4 | 1.4615523E-4 | 1.4615523E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011996223 | 0.0016050625 | 0.0016050625 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.0424446E-7 | 5.8552E-8 | 5.8552E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4676187E-7 | 2.5093712E-7 | 2.5093712E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.439312E-6 | 3.0551555E-6 | 3.0551555E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4391792E-5 | 3.2115335E-5 | 3.2115335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6795546E-5 | 1.6795546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.197924E-5 | 7.197924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.760497E-4 | 9.1601466E-4 | 1.0456195 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008038137 | 0.00873139 | 0.0088007795 | 1.0079471 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6795546E-5 | 1.6795546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.197924E-5 | 7.197924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.760497E-4 | 9.1601466E-4 | 1.0456195 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008038137 | 0.00873139 | 0.0088007795 | 1.0079471 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3682612E-5 | 1.3682612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.863872E-5 | 5.863872E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.137413E-4 | 7.4371987E-4 | 1.0420021 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0065657445 | 0.007119286 | 0.0071788584 | 1.0083678 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3682612E-5 | 1.3682612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.863872E-5 | 5.863872E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.137413E-4 | 7.4371987E-4 | 1.0420021 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0065657445 | 0.007119286 | 0.0071788584 | 1.0083678 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.417684E-6 | 1.0170876E-5 | 1.0170876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.036088E-5 | 4.358897E-5 | 4.358897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.912829E-4 | 5.306076E-4 | 5.6059164E-4 | 1.0565089 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004901982 | 0.0052974434 | 0.0053471783 | 1.0093886 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.368219E-6 | 1.01182995E-5 | 1.01182995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.014889E-5 | 4.336365E-5 | 4.336365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8870314E-4 | 5.2786566E-4 | 5.578498E-4 | 1.0568026 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004876298 | 0.005270154 | 0.0053198906 | 1.0094374 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.803798E-6 | 8.442475E-6 | 8.442475E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3444423E-5 | 3.6181755E-5 | 3.6181755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0710976E-4 | 4.4046377E-4 | 4.7045056E-4 | 1.0680801 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0040636472 | 0.0043998254 | 0.0044496055 | 1.011314 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.3108669E-6 | 2.4439644E-6 | 2.4439644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.903678E-6 | 1.0474092E-5 | 1.0474092E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.205706E-4 | 1.275148E-4 | 1.3751352E-4 | 1.0784123 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001205052 | 0.0012744348 | 0.0012844221 | 1.0078366 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.0882828E-6 | 2.206398E-6 | 2.206398E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.949753E-6 | 9.455958E-6 | 9.455958E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08957785E-4 | 1.15120376E-4 | 1.15120376E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010890438 | 0.0011506242 | 0.0011506242 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.876935E-6 | 1.981153E-6 | 1.981153E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.043982E-6 | 8.49063E-6 | 8.49063E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7931086E-5 | 1.0336867E-4 | 1.0336867E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.788794E-4 | 0.0010332218 | 0.0010332218 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.5357559E-6 | 1.6203635E-6 | 1.6203635E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5817944E-6 | 6.9443972E-6 | 6.9443972E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.01304E-5 | 8.454488E-5 | 8.454488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.010151E-4 | 8.451397E-4 | 8.451397E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1498199E-6 | 1.1498199E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.927791E-6 | 4.927791E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.9994305E-5 | 5.9994305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.9979083E-4 | 5.9979083E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.387591E-7 | 6.387591E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7375365E-6 | 2.7375365E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3329066E-5 | 3.3329066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.3324753E-4 | 3.3324753E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Palos Verdes
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.6243254E-5 | 7.6243254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2671916E-4 | 3.2671916E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0039710677 | 0.0039909882 | 1.0050164 | 2.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.039057687 | 0.039115343 | 1.0014762 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.6243254E-5 | 7.6243254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2671916E-4 | 3.2671916E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0039710677 | 0.0039909882 | 1.0050164 | 2.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.039057687 | 0.039115343 | 1.0014762 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.6243254E-5 | 7.6243254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2671916E-4 | 3.2671916E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0039710677 | 0.0039909882 | 1.0050164 | 2.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.039057687 | 0.039115343 | 1.0014762 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.9759205E-5 | 4.9759205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1323751E-4 | 2.1323751E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0025932798 | 0.002613228 | 1.0076922 | 2.0E-5 | 0.021083709 | 0.02565188 | 0.025700597 | 1.0018991 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.9759205E-5 | 4.9759205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1323751E-4 | 2.1323751E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0025932798 | 0.002613228 | 1.0076922 | 2.0E-5 | 0.021083709 | 0.02565188 | 0.025700597 | 1.0018991 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.0512005E-5 | 3.656839E-5 | 3.656839E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3075917E-4 | 1.5671285E-4 | 1.5671285E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015908304 | 0.0019064249 | 0.0019263867 | 1.0104709 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015794903 | 0.018912643 | 0.018951887 | 1.002075 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9255087E-5 | 3.5161032E-5 | 3.5161032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2537291E-4 | 1.5068201E-4 | 1.5068201E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015253464 | 0.0018331229 | 0.0018530863 | 1.0108904 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015149189 | 0.018191637 | 0.01823091 | 1.0021588 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.287198E-5 | 2.725316E-5 | 2.725316E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.801909E-5 | 1.16794545E-4 | 1.16794545E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001192729 | 0.0014211377 | 0.0014411093 | 1.0140532 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011863477 | 0.014129732 | 0.014159309 | 1.0020932 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.1325764E-5 | 2.543646E-5 | 2.543646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.139293E-5 | 1.0900936E-4 | 1.0900936E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001112141 | 0.0013264711 | 0.0013464446 | 1.0150576 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011065915 | 0.013194575 | 0.013224179 | 1.0022436 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.9009392E-5 | 2.2617563E-5 | 2.2617563E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1466285E-5 | 9.69293E-5 | 9.69293E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.914007E-4 | 0.0011795628 | 0.0011995392 | 1.0169355 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009869894 | 0.011741707 | 0.011771355 | 1.002525 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7098473E-5 | 2.0322943E-5 | 2.0322943E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3277115E-5 | 8.7095905E-5 | 8.7095905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.917837E-4 | 0.001059962 | 0.0010799408 | 1.0188487 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008882134 | 0.0105575025 | 0.010587186 | 1.0028116 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.5982785E-5 | 1.8998117E-5 | 1.8998117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.849585E-5 | 8.141843E-5 | 8.141843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.336179E-4 | 9.909034E-4 | 0.0010108836 | 1.0201637 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008304977 | 0.009873217 | 0.009902921 | 1.0030085 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.4468002E-5 | 1.7200278E-5 | 1.7200278E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.200425E-5 | 7.371387E-5 | 7.371387E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.546402E-4 | 8.971809E-4 | 9.171629E-4 | 1.022272 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007520827 | 0.00894386 | 0.008973592 | 1.0033243 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.288233E-6 | 6.2046975E-6 | 6.2046975E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2663658E-5 | 2.6591486E-5 | 2.6591486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7589512E-4 | 3.2373815E-4 | 3.2373815E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027555283 | 0.0032360894 | 0.003246057 | 1.0030801 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.279556E-7 | 8.408468E-7 | 8.408468E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5483763E-6 | 3.6036247E-6 | 3.6036247E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3200624E-5 | 4.387332E-5 | 4.387332E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3192226E-4 | 4.386538E-4 | 4.386538E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.559831E-7 | 6.66733E-7 | 6.66733E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8113532E-6 | 2.8574245E-6 | 2.8574245E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4227687E-5 | 3.4788656E-5 | 3.4788656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4222414E-4 | 3.478387E-4 | 3.478387E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.5018968E-7 | 3.5620596E-7 | 3.5620596E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.500812E-6 | 1.5265963E-6 | 1.5265963E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8272232E-5 | 1.8586199E-5 | 1.8586199E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8270731E-4 | 1.8585104E-4 | 1.8585104E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.1986104E-7 | 1.2198578E-7 | 1.2198578E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1369005E-7 | 5.227961E-7 | 5.227961E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2541585E-6 | 6.3650236E-6 | 6.3650236E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2539824E-5 | 6.3648455E-5 | 6.3648455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.0445005E-8 | 3.1028137E-8 | 3.1028137E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3047858E-7 | 1.3297772E-7 | 1.3297772E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885756E-6 | 1.6190027E-6 | 1.6190027E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885644E-5 | 1.618993E-5 | 1.618993E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ventura-Pitas Point
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.3740907E-5 | 3.3740907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4459733E-4 | 1.4459733E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017593077 | 0.001789255 | 1.0170221 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.017479451 | 0.017538404 | 1.0033726 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.3740907E-5 | 3.3740907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4459733E-4 | 1.4459733E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017593077 | 0.001789255 | 1.0170221 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.017479451 | 0.017538404 | 1.0033726 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.3740907E-5 | 3.3740907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4459733E-4 | 1.4459733E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017593077 | 0.001789255 | 1.0170221 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.017479451 | 0.017538404 | 1.0033726 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.3740907E-5 | 3.3740907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4459733E-4 | 1.4459733E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017593077 | 0.001789255 | 1.0170221 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.017479451 | 0.017538404 | 1.0033726 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.7022843E-5 | 1.7022843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.295313E-5 | 7.295313E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.8786555E-4 | 8.8786555E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009738282 | 0.008845638 | 0.008865461 | 1.002241 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.7022843E-5 | 1.7022843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.295313E-5 | 7.295313E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.8786555E-4 | 8.8786555E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009738282 | 0.008845638 | 0.008865461 | 1.002241 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.2124985E-5 | 1.2124985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.1963198E-5 | 5.1963198E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.324706E-4 | 6.324706E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074657016 | 0.006307081 | 0.006317018 | 1.0015755 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.2124985E-5 | 1.2124985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.1963198E-5 | 5.1963198E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.324706E-4 | 6.324706E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074657016 | 0.006307081 | 0.006317018 | 1.0015755 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.3663846E-5 | 1.1347045E-5 | 1.1347045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8558027E-5 | 4.86293E-5 | 4.86293E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.127108E-4 | 5.919028E-4 | 5.919028E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007104293 | 0.005903597 | 0.005913538 | 1.0016838 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3644157E-5 | 1.13251435E-5 | 1.13251435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8473648E-5 | 4.8535436E-5 | 4.8535436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.116841E-4 | 5.9076067E-4 | 5.9076067E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007094092 | 0.0058922363 | 0.0059021777 | 1.0016872 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3568845E-5 | 1.12447E-5 | 1.12447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8150898E-5 | 4.819069E-5 | 4.819069E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.077572E-4 | 5.8656564E-4 | 5.8656564E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007055073 | 0.005850508 | 0.0058604493 | 1.0016992 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.306572E-5 | 1.0723089E-5 | 1.0723089E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.599474E-5 | 4.5955298E-5 | 4.5955298E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.815227E-4 | 5.59364E-4 | 5.59364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067943637 | 0.005579883 | 0.005579883 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.232604E-5 | 9.99757E-6 | 9.99757E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2824813E-5 | 4.2846033E-5 | 4.2846033E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.429523E-4 | 5.2152737E-4 | 5.2152737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064109527 | 0.005203345 | 0.005203345 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0917261E-5 | 8.844777E-6 | 8.844777E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.678742E-5 | 3.7905647E-5 | 3.7905647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.69488E-4 | 4.6140506E-4 | 4.6140506E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056803077 | 0.004604755 | 0.004604755 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.039959E-5 | 8.424438E-6 | 8.424438E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.456891E-5 | 3.6104244E-5 | 3.6104244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.424914E-4 | 4.3948204E-4 | 4.3948204E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054116896 | 0.004386409 | 0.004386409 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.015877E-6 | 7.298208E-6 | 7.298208E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.86389E-5 | 3.1277665E-5 | 3.1277665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7032707E-4 | 3.8074044E-4 | 3.8074044E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004693329 | 0.003801144 | 0.003801144 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.900162E-6 | 3.8743847E-6 | 3.8743847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1000526E-5 | 1.6604401E-5 | 1.6604401E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556514E-4 | 2.0213996E-4 | 2.0213996E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025535747 | 0.0020195744 | 0.0020195744 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.8850626E-6 | 3.126958E-6 | 3.126958E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6650163E-5 | 1.3401181E-5 | 1.3401181E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0269687E-4 | 1.6314726E-4 | 1.6314726E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002025121 | 0.0016302841 | 0.0016302841 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.4654719E-6 | 2.030021E-6 | 2.030021E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0566265E-5 | 8.700062E-6 | 8.700062E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2863669E-4 | 1.05918145E-4 | 1.05918145E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012856225 | 0.0010586813 | 0.0010586813 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.095894E-7 | 3.276738E-7 | 3.276738E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7553821E-6 | 1.4043155E-6 | 1.4043155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1371567E-5 | 1.709741E-5 | 1.709741E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1369511E-4 | 1.7096127E-4 | 1.7096127E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.6840417E-9 | 5.6840417E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.436018E-8 | 2.436018E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.9658517E-7 | 2.9658517E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.96585E-6 | 2.96585E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Creek
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6339201E-5 | 1.6339201E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.002336E-5 | 8.0022655E-5 | 1.1427995 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.522159E-4 | 8.921818E-4 | 1.0468965 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008518902 | 0.00857839 | 1.0069832 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6339201E-5 | 1.6339201E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.002336E-5 | 8.0022655E-5 | 1.1427995 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.522159E-4 | 8.921818E-4 | 1.0468965 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008518902 | 0.00857839 | 1.0069832 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6339201E-5 | 1.6339201E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.002336E-5 | 8.0022655E-5 | 1.1427995 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.522159E-4 | 8.921818E-4 | 1.0468965 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008518902 | 0.00857839 | 1.0069832 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6339201E-5 | 1.6339201E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.002336E-5 | 8.0022655E-5 | 1.1427995 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.522159E-4 | 8.921818E-4 | 1.0468965 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008518902 | 0.00857839 | 1.0069832 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6339201E-5 | 1.6339201E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.002336E-5 | 8.0022655E-5 | 1.1427995 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.522159E-4 | 8.921818E-4 | 1.0468965 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008518902 | 0.00857839 | 1.0069832 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6339201E-5 | 1.6339201E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 7.002336E-5 | 8.0022655E-5 | 1.1427995 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.522159E-4 | 8.921818E-4 | 1.0468965 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008518902 | 0.00857839 | 1.0069832 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.202681E-6 | 1.3862352E-5 | 1.3862352E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9439463E-5 | 5.9408776E-5 | 6.940818E-5 | 1.1683153 | 1.0E-5 | 4.800697E-4 | 7.230708E-4 | 7.630419E-4 | 1.0552796 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004790339 | 0.0072360304 | 0.007295596 | 1.0082319 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.019164E-6 | 1.366801E-5 | 1.366801E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8652986E-5 | 5.8575923E-5 | 6.857533E-5 | 1.1707087 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7049852E-4 | 7.129375E-4 | 7.52909E-4 | 1.0560659 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004695036 | 0.00713535 | 0.007194922 | 1.0083488 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.673558E-6 | 1.3290086E-5 | 1.3290086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.717186E-5 | 5.695632E-5 | 6.695575E-5 | 1.1755631 | 1.0E-5 | 4.524734E-4 | 6.932314E-4 | 7.3320366E-4 | 1.0576608 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0045155324 | 0.006939522 | 0.0069991057 | 1.0085862 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.002255E-6 | 1.14941895E-5 | 1.14941895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.000932E-5 | 4.925992E-5 | 5.925943E-5 | 1.2029948 | 1.0E-5 | 3.653022E-4 | 5.995814E-4 | 6.395574E-4 | 1.0666732 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0036470229 | 0.006008288 | 0.0060679275 | 1.0099262 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.84644E-6 | 9.6906415E-6 | 9.6906415E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5055931E-5 | 4.1530686E-5 | 5.153027E-5 | 1.2407758 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0501327E-4 | 5.0552335E-4 | 5.455031E-4 | 1.079086 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0030459496 | 0.0050721783 | 0.005131874 | 1.0117693 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.54703E-6 | 9.345061E-6 | 9.345061E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.377277E-5 | 4.0049672E-5 | 5.004927E-5 | 1.2496799 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8939504E-4 | 4.875001E-4 | 5.274806E-4 | 1.0820112 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0028901845 | 0.0048927446 | 0.0049524507 | 1.0122031 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.384709E-6 | 7.696458E-6 | 7.696458E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8791474E-5 | 3.2984422E-5 | 4.2984095E-5 | 1.3031634 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2876218E-4 | 4.0151502E-4 | 4.4149897E-4 | 1.0995827 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0022852682 | 0.00403633 | 0.004096088 | 1.014805 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.7888456E-6 | 6.930043E-6 | 6.930043E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.623781E-5 | 2.9699866E-5 | 3.969957E-5 | 1.3366919 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9767738E-4 | 3.6153922E-4 | 4.0152477E-4 | 1.1105981 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0019750162 | 0.0036379362 | 0.003697718 | 1.0164329 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.1982462E-6 | 5.037933E-6 | 5.037933E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.421021E-6 | 2.1590964E-5 | 3.159075E-5 | 1.4631467 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1469489E-4 | 2.6283847E-4 | 3.0282795E-4 | 1.1521447 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011463572 | 0.0026534852 | 0.002713326 | 1.0225518 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.051923E-6 | 4.628777E-6 | 4.628777E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.793926E-6 | 1.9837464E-5 | 2.9837265E-5 | 1.5040867 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0706078E-4 | 2.414945E-4 | 2.8148486E-4 | 1.1655953 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010700922 | 0.0024408281 | 0.0025006817 | 1.0245218 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.8733427E-6 | 4.136653E-6 | 4.136653E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.028587E-6 | 1.7728393E-5 | 2.7728214E-5 | 1.564057 | 1.0E-5 | 9.774366E-5 | 2.1582188E-4 | 2.5581324E-4 | 1.185298 | 4.0E-5 | 9.770069E-4 | 0.0021851116 | 0.0022449805 | 1.0273986 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.8411953E-6 | 4.056236E-6 | 4.056236E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.890813E-6 | 1.7383754E-5 | 2.738358E-5 | 1.5752398 | 1.0E-5 | 9.606641E-5 | 2.1162673E-4 | 2.5161827E-4 | 1.188972 | 4.0E-5 | 9.6024893E-4 | 0.0021433574 | 0.0022032289 | 1.0279335 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.7194251E-6 | 3.722698E-6 | 3.722698E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.368944E-6 | 1.5954323E-5 | 2.5954163E-5 | 1.6267794 | 1.0E-5 | 8.97132E-5 | 1.9422664E-4 | 2.3421887E-4 | 1.205905 | 4.0E-5 | 8.967699E-4 | 0.0019688574 | 0.0020287393 | 1.0304146 | 6.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.4035052E-6 | 2.9601017E-6 | 2.9601017E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0150082E-6 | 1.268609E-5 | 2.2685963E-5 | 1.788255 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3230265E-5 | 1.5444226E-4 | 1.9443607E-4 | 1.2589564 | 4.0E-5 | 7.3206134E-4 | 0.0015684696 | 0.0016283755 | 1.0381938 | 6.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.9318823E-7 | 5.552465E-7 | 5.552465E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6850913E-6 | 2.3796256E-6 | 2.3796256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0515794E-5 | 2.8971563E-5 | 3.8971273E-5 | 1.3451561 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0513899E-4 | 3.0034265E-4 | 3.1033964E-4 | 1.0332853 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.596793E-7 | 1.1461042E-7 | 1.1461042E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8433974E-7 | 4.9118745E-7 | 4.9118745E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331805E-6 | 5.980191E-6 | 5.980191E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331492E-5 | 6.5938475E-5 | 6.5938475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.9003038E-8 | 2.5647555E-8 | 2.5647555E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.10013E-7 | 1.0991809E-7 | 1.0991809E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5569052E-6 | 1.338252E-6 | 1.338252E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556876E-5 | 1.5069656E-5 | 1.5069656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Oceanic - West Huasna
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.195567E-5 | 2.7929225E-5 | 3.7928945E-5 | 1.3580378 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3694567E-4 | 1.1969143E-4 | 1.2969023E-4 | 1.0835382 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016660384 | 0.0014563123 | 0.0014862685 | 1.0205699 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016536033 | 0.014472241 | 0.014531372 | 1.0040859 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1156782E-5 | 1.7575205E-5 | 2.757503E-5 | 1.5689734 | 1.0E-5 | 9.066878E-5 | 7.532018E-5 | 8.531943E-5 | 1.1327566 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011033333 | 9.1664685E-4 | 9.266377E-4 | 1.0108993 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010978713 | 0.009129667 | 0.009159393 | 1.003256 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6195117E-5 | 1.3328039E-5 | 2.3327906E-5 | 1.7502879 | 1.0E-5 | 6.9405796E-5 | 5.711893E-5 | 6.711836E-5 | 1.1750633 | 1.0E-5 | 8.44688E-4 | 6.9520366E-4 | 7.051967E-4 | 1.0143743 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008414844 | 0.006930582 | 0.0069504436 | 1.0028658 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3559345E-5 | 1.1179685E-5 | 2.1179574E-5 | 1.8944695 | 1.0E-5 | 5.811018E-5 | 4.7912064E-5 | 5.7911584E-5 | 1.2087057 | 1.0E-5 | 7.072618E-4 | 5.8317423E-4 | 5.9316837E-4 | 1.0171375 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0070501505 | 0.0058165565 | 0.0058364403 | 1.0034184 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2120619E-5 | 1.0001413E-5 | 2.0001313E-5 | 1.9998487 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1944477E-5 | 4.2862495E-5 | 5.2862066E-5 | 1.2332942 | 1.0E-5 | 6.322405E-4 | 5.2172644E-4 | 5.317212E-4 | 1.0191572 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006304447 | 0.005205083 | 0.005224979 | 1.0038224 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.13511915E-5 | 9.36787E-6 | 9.36787E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8647056E-5 | 4.0147403E-5 | 4.0147403E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9211696E-4 | 4.8868544E-4 | 4.8868544E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059054173 | 0.0048761666 | 0.0048861178 | 1.0020407 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.850605E-6 | 8.135737E-6 | 8.135737E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2216197E-5 | 3.486698E-5 | 3.486698E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1386096E-4 | 4.24423E-4 | 4.24423E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051267436 | 0.0042361566 | 0.0042461143 | 1.0023507 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.8558645E-6 | 7.318722E-6 | 7.318722E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7953152E-5 | 3.1365576E-5 | 3.1365576E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6198163E-4 | 3.8180914E-4 | 3.8180914E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004610224 | 0.003811557 | 0.003811557 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.67136E-6 | 6.392028E-6 | 6.392028E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2876844E-5 | 2.7394119E-5 | 2.7394119E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0020206E-4 | 3.334725E-4 | 3.334725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003994821 | 0.003329742 | 0.003329742 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.534529E-6 | 5.45856E-6 | 5.45856E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8004823E-5 | 2.3393619E-5 | 2.3393619E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4090536E-4 | 2.8478022E-4 | 2.8478022E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034038287 | 0.0028441695 | 0.0028441695 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.460525E-6 | 4.570186E-6 | 4.570186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3402039E-5 | 1.9586365E-5 | 1.9586365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8488258E-4 | 2.38438E-4 | 2.38438E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028451765 | 0.0023818356 | 0.0023818356 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.4825083E-6 | 3.7526645E-6 | 3.7526645E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9210609E-5 | 1.608275E-5 | 1.608275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3386406E-4 | 1.9578997E-4 | 1.9578997E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002336181 | 0.0019561867 | 0.0019561867 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.821708E-6 | 2.4251563E-6 | 2.4251563E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2092979E-5 | 1.0393485E-5 | 1.0393485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4722206E-4 | 1.2653334E-4 | 1.2653334E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014712457 | 0.0012646152 | 0.0012646152 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.0644757E-6 | 1.7689421E-6 | 1.7689421E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.847723E-6 | 7.581158E-6 | 7.581158E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0771569E-4 | 9.2296694E-5 | 9.2296694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001076635 | 9.2258526E-4 | 9.2258526E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6980367E-6 | 1.4381717E-6 | 1.4381717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.27728E-6 | 6.1635783E-6 | 6.1635783E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8597284E-5 | 7.503898E-5 | 7.503898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8561967E-4 | 7.501379E-4 | 7.501379E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3637683E-6 | 1.1304373E-6 | 1.1304373E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.844708E-6 | 4.8447223E-6 | 4.8447223E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1156996E-5 | 5.89829E-5 | 5.89829E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1134215E-4 | 5.896738E-4 | 5.896738E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.802994E-7 | 7.6788695E-7 | 7.6788695E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2012766E-6 | 3.29094E-6 | 3.29094E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1149345E-5 | 4.0066458E-5 | 4.0066458E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.113757E-4 | 4.0059362E-4 | 4.0059362E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.986191E-7 | 4.006319E-7 | 4.006319E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5655079E-6 | 1.7169926E-6 | 1.7169926E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1234613E-5 | 2.0904185E-5 | 2.0904185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.123022E-4 | 2.0902339E-4 | 2.0902339E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.9189815E-7 | 1.5295927E-7 | 1.5295927E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2509914E-6 | 6.5553957E-7 | 6.5553957E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5230714E-5 | 7.981165E-6 | 7.981165E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.522967E-4 | 7.980994E-5 | 7.980994E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.2057845E-7 | 4.626779E-8 | 4.626779E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1676466E-7 | 1.9829051E-7 | 1.9829051E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2915915E-6 | 2.414184E-6 | 2.414184E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2914136E-5 | 2.4142735E-5 | 2.4142735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.3806387E-9 | 9.033019E-10 | 9.033019E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4488451E-8 | 3.8712935E-9 | 3.8712935E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639688E-7 | 4.7133E-8 | 4.7133E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639674E-6 | 4.7229554E-7 | 4.7229554E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.354909E-5 | 2.354909E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.00920784E-4 | 1.1091978E-4 | 1.0990776 | 1.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012280213 | 0.0012479968 | 1.0162663 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012254219 | 0.012313483 | 1.0048363 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.354909E-5 | 2.354909E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.00920784E-4 | 1.1091978E-4 | 1.0990776 | 1.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012280213 | 0.0012479968 | 1.0162663 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012254219 | 0.012313483 | 1.0048363 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.354909E-5 | 2.354909E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.00920784E-4 | 1.1091978E-4 | 1.0990776 | 1.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012280213 | 0.0012479968 | 1.0162663 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012254219 | 0.012313483 | 1.0048363 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.354909E-5 | 2.354909E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.00920784E-4 | 1.1091978E-4 | 1.0990776 | 1.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012280213 | 0.0012479968 | 1.0162663 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012254219 | 0.012313483 | 1.0048363 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.354909E-5 | 2.354909E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.00920784E-4 | 1.1091978E-4 | 1.0990776 | 1.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012280213 | 0.0012479968 | 1.0162663 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012254219 | 0.012313483 | 1.0048363 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3450706E-5 | 2.353805E-5 | 2.353805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.764461E-5 | 1.00873476E-4 | 1.1087247E-4 | 1.0991241 | 1.0E-5 | 7.0159714E-4 | 0.0012274459 | 0.0012474214 | 1.016274 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006993862 | 0.012248528 | 0.012307793 | 1.0048386 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3074523E-5 | 2.3152317E-5 | 2.3152317E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6032466E-5 | 9.922046E-5 | 1.09219465E-4 | 1.1007757 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8198174E-4 | 0.0012073428 | 0.0012273188 | 1.0165453 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006798926 | 0.012049689 | 0.012108967 | 1.0049194 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3050216E-5 | 2.3127612E-5 | 2.3127612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.59283E-5 | 9.911459E-5 | 1.091136E-4 | 1.1008834 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8071426E-4 | 0.0012060554 | 0.0012260312 | 1.0165629 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0067863287 | 0.012036954 | 0.012096232 | 1.0049247 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.29049395E-5 | 2.2976012E-5 | 2.2976012E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.530571E-5 | 9.846492E-5 | 1.08463944E-4 | 1.101549 | 1.0E-5 | 6.73139E-4 | 0.0011981544 | 0.0012181305 | 1.0166724 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0067110364 | 0.0119587965 | 0.012018079 | 1.0049572 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2867369E-5 | 2.2935408E-5 | 2.2935408E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.51447E-5 | 9.8290926E-5 | 1.0828994E-4 | 1.1017288 | 1.0E-5 | 6.711799E-4 | 0.0011960382 | 0.0012160144 | 1.0167018 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006691564 | 0.011937862 | 0.0119971465 | 1.004966 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2495996E-5 | 2.2335122E-5 | 2.2335122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3553173E-5 | 9.571845E-5 | 1.05717496E-4 | 1.1044631 | 1.0E-5 | 6.518148E-4 | 0.001164752 | 0.0011847287 | 1.017151 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0064990623 | 0.011628285 | 0.011687588 | 1.0050998 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2452067E-5 | 2.228018E-5 | 2.228018E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3364907E-5 | 9.5483E-5 | 1.05482046E-4 | 1.1047207 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4952404E-4 | 0.0011618885 | 0.0011818652 | 1.0171933 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0064762887 | 0.01159995 | 0.011659253 | 1.0051124 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.2002777E-5 | 2.1658454E-5 | 2.1658454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.143946E-5 | 9.281866E-5 | 1.0281773E-4 | 1.1077269 | 1.0E-5 | 6.2609545E-4 | 0.001129484 | 0.0011394727 | 1.0088435 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006243344 | 0.011279189 | 0.011328625 | 1.004383 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.1923425E-5 | 2.152822E-5 | 2.152822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.109939E-5 | 9.2260554E-5 | 1.0225963E-4 | 1.1083786 | 1.0E-5 | 6.219575E-4 | 0.0011226961 | 0.0011326849 | 1.0088972 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062021962 | 0.011212013 | 0.011261452 | 1.0044096 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.16105175E-5 | 2.090172E-5 | 2.090172E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.975841E-5 | 8.957574E-5 | 9.957485E-5 | 1.1116273 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0564023E-4 | 0.0010900416 | 0.0011000307 | 1.009164 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006039923 | 0.010889379 | 0.010938835 | 1.0045416 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1037265E-5 | 1.9600137E-5 | 1.9600137E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7301706E-5 | 8.399789E-5 | 9.399705E-5 | 1.1190406 | 1.0E-5 | 5.757461E-4 | 0.0010221967 | 0.0010321864 | 1.0097729 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005742567 | 0.010218576 | 0.010268065 | 1.004843 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0720915E-5 | 1.9041456E-5 | 1.9041456E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5945973E-5 | 8.160369E-5 | 9.160288E-5 | 1.1225334 | 1.0E-5 | 5.592486E-4 | 9.930744E-4 | 0.0010030644 | 1.0100597 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005578433 | 0.009930001 | 0.009979504 | 1.0049852 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 9.276279E-6 | 1.6485044E-5 | 1.6485044E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9754876E-5 | 7.064828E-5 | 8.064758E-5 | 1.1415362 | 1.0E-5 | 4.839081E-4 | 8.598051E-4 | 8.697965E-4 | 1.0116205 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048285574 | 0.008608208 | 0.008657778 | 1.0057584 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.8346777E-6 | 1.1190235E-5 | 1.1190235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5005522E-5 | 4.795727E-5 | 5.795679E-5 | 1.208509 | 1.0E-5 | 3.043997E-4 | 5.837235E-4 | 5.937176E-4 | 1.0171214 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030398308 | 0.005864933 | 0.00591464 | 1.0084753 | 5.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.690204E-6 | 8.538368E-6 | 8.538368E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0100719E-5 | 3.6592493E-5 | 4.6592126E-5 | 1.2732701 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4469878E-4 | 4.4542263E-4 | 4.5541817E-4 | 1.0224406 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002444295 | 0.0044857226 | 0.004525543 | 1.0088772 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.9570454E-6 | 4.864763E-6 | 4.864763E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.267299E-5 | 2.0848818E-5 | 3.084861E-5 | 1.4796336 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5428272E-4 | 2.538048E-4 | 2.6380227E-4 | 1.0393903 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015417566 | 0.002558642 | 0.002578591 | 1.0077966 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.6376824E-6 | 2.2061447E-6 | 2.2061447E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.01862E-6 | 9.454871E-6 | 9.454871E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.544835E-5 | 1.15106996E-4 | 1.15106996E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.54155E-4 | 0.0011653107 | 0.0011653107 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 6.9631557E-7 | 4.563943E-7 | 4.563943E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.984206E-6 | 1.955974E-6 | 1.955974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.63321E-5 | 2.3813725E-5 | 2.3813725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6326164E-4 | 2.466393E-4 | 2.466393E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.7876137E-7 | 8.416178E-8 | 8.416178E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.661199E-7 | 3.606933E-7 | 3.606933E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.32747E-6 | 4.3914324E-6 | 4.3914324E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3270784E-5 | 4.611775E-5 | 4.611775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.498056E-5 | 5.498056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3561135E-4 | 2.45609E-4 | 1.0424328 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024678076 | 0.0028650586 | 0.0028850012 | 1.0069606 | 2.0E-5 | 0.024405818 | 0.028309325 | 0.028357908 | 1.0017163 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.498056E-5 | 5.498056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3561135E-4 | 2.45609E-4 | 1.0424328 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024678076 | 0.0028650586 | 0.0028850012 | 1.0069606 | 2.0E-5 | 0.024405818 | 0.028309325 | 0.02834819 | 1.0013729 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.3929882E-5 | 3.3929882E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4540588E-4 | 1.4540588E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017689142 | 0.0017788964 | 1.0056431 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015745522 | 0.017552286 | 0.01758176 | 1.0016792 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.3929882E-5 | 3.3929882E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4540588E-4 | 1.4540588E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017689142 | 0.0017788964 | 1.0056431 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015745522 | 0.017552286 | 0.01758176 | 1.0016792 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.5452082E-5 | 2.7916036E-5 | 2.7916036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.09075794E-4 | 1.1963477E-4 | 1.1963477E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013271887 | 0.0014555989 | 0.0014555989 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013192902 | 0.014462817 | 0.014472673 | 1.0006814 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3143784E-5 | 2.513131E-5 | 2.513131E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9183875E-5 | 1.0770125E-4 | 1.0770125E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012068948 | 0.0013104884 | 0.0013104884 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012003611 | 0.013029274 | 0.013039143 | 1.0007575 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9118515E-5 | 2.0356592E-5 | 2.0356592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.193392E-5 | 8.723966E-5 | 8.723966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.97089E-4 | 0.0010616332 | 0.0010616332 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00992627 | 0.010566529 | 0.010566529 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.722807E-5 | 1.8148254E-5 | 1.8148254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3832496E-5 | 7.777594E-5 | 7.777594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.985399E-4 | 9.465163E-4 | 9.465163E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008949154 | 0.009425495 | 0.009425495 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.5317364E-5 | 1.5928055E-5 | 1.5928055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.56442E-5 | 6.826133E-5 | 6.826133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.98925E-4 | 8.307691E-4 | 8.307691E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007960589 | 0.008277122 | 0.008277122 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.3071226E-5 | 1.3330815E-5 | 1.3330815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6018336E-5 | 5.7130823E-5 | 5.7130823E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8180985E-4 | 6.953481E-4 | 6.953481E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067972173 | 0.0069319843 | 0.0069319843 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.1836986E-5 | 1.19338E-5 | 1.19338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0728955E-5 | 5.1143863E-5 | 5.1143863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1745E-4 | 6.225003E-4 | 6.225003E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006157372 | 0.006207759 | 0.006207759 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0597169E-5 | 1.0543061E-5 | 1.0543061E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.541565E-5 | 4.518377E-5 | 4.518377E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5279525E-4 | 5.499747E-4 | 5.499747E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055142213 | 0.005486267 | 0.005486267 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.59113E-6 | 9.459925E-6 | 9.459925E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.11042E-5 | 4.0541916E-5 | 4.0541916E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0032866E-4 | 4.934871E-4 | 4.934871E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004992037 | 0.004924031 | 0.004924031 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.586084E-6 | 8.38029E-6 | 8.38029E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.679698E-5 | 3.591504E-5 | 3.591504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4791115E-4 | 4.371789E-4 | 4.371789E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004470094 | 0.0043633003 | 0.0043633003 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.2622997E-6 | 6.9521416E-6 | 6.9521416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.112377E-5 | 2.9794557E-5 | 2.9794557E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.78866E-4 | 3.6268932E-4 | 3.6268932E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037822074 | 0.0036210744 | 0.0036210744 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.627296E-6 | 5.252049E-6 | 5.252049E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.411676E-5 | 2.2508591E-5 | 2.2508591E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9358198E-4 | 2.7400834E-4 | 2.7400834E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029319443 | 0.002736777 | 0.002736777 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.265244E-6 | 2.061008E-6 | 2.061008E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.708152E-6 | 8.832862E-6 | 8.832862E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18190335E-4 | 1.0753487E-4 | 1.0753487E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001181275 | 0.0010748369 | 0.0010748369 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.3099874E-6 | 1.101694E-6 | 1.101694E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.61422E-6 | 4.7215376E-6 | 4.7215376E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8350986E-5 | 5.7483227E-5 | 5.7483227E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.832996E-4 | 5.74686E-4 | 5.74686E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.903951E-7 | 6.07143E-7 | 6.07143E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3874032E-6 | 2.6020389E-6 | 2.6020389E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1240855E-5 | 3.1679378E-5 | 3.1679378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.12332E-4 | 3.1674994E-4 | 3.1674994E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.0753297E-9 | 5.0902536E-9 | 5.0902536E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.032284E-8 | 2.1815373E-8 | 2.1815373E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6918053E-7 | 2.6560213E-7 | 2.6560213E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.691799E-6 | 2.6560192E-6 | 2.6560192E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7597434E-5 | 4.7597434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0397398E-4 | 2.1397194E-4 | 1.0490159 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024807197 | 0.0025106452 | 1.0120633 | 3.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024547892 | 0.02460642 | 1.0023842 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7597434E-5 | 4.7597434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0397398E-4 | 2.1397194E-4 | 1.0490159 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024807197 | 0.0025106452 | 1.0120633 | 3.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024547892 | 0.02460642 | 1.0023842 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7597434E-5 | 4.7597434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0397398E-4 | 2.1397194E-4 | 1.0490159 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024807197 | 0.0025106452 | 1.0120633 | 3.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024547892 | 0.02460642 | 1.0023842 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7597434E-5 | 4.7597434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0397398E-4 | 2.1397194E-4 | 1.0490159 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024807197 | 0.0025106452 | 1.0120633 | 3.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024547892 | 0.02460642 | 1.0023842 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7597434E-5 | 4.7597434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0397398E-4 | 2.1397194E-4 | 1.0490159 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024807197 | 0.0025106452 | 1.0120633 | 3.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024547892 | 0.02460642 | 1.0023842 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.154503E-5 | 3.5365007E-5 | 3.5365007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3518598E-4 | 1.5155603E-4 | 1.6155452E-4 | 1.0659722 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016446467 | 0.0018437251 | 0.0018736698 | 1.0162414 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01632528 | 0.018293936 | 0.018343022 | 1.0026832 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1535834E-5 | 3.5354387E-5 | 3.5354387E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3514658E-4 | 1.5151053E-4 | 1.61509E-4 | 1.065992 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016441676 | 0.001843172 | 0.0018731167 | 1.0162463 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01632056 | 0.018288497 | 0.018337581 | 1.002684 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.8267326E-5 | 3.147393E-5 | 3.147393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2114006E-4 | 1.3488178E-4 | 1.3488178E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014738824 | 0.0016410337 | 0.0016610009 | 1.0121675 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014641452 | 0.016297922 | 0.01633727 | 1.0024143 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.8212884E-5 | 3.1411808E-5 | 3.1411808E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.20906756E-4 | 1.3461556E-4 | 1.3461556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014710457 | 0.0016377975 | 0.0016577647 | 1.0121915 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014613459 | 0.016266035 | 0.016305383 | 1.0024191 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.4227871E-5 | 2.6710775E-5 | 2.6710775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.03829596E-4 | 1.1447016E-4 | 1.1447016E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012633923 | 0.001392859 | 0.0014128312 | 1.014339 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012562336 | 0.013848983 | 0.013878567 | 1.0021362 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.348524E-5 | 2.583942E-5 | 2.583942E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0064714E-4 | 1.10736095E-4 | 1.10736095E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012246901 | 0.0013474538 | 0.0013674268 | 1.0148228 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012179627 | 0.013400475 | 0.013430073 | 1.0022087 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2311642E-5 | 2.4466268E-5 | 2.4466268E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.561782E-5 | 1.0485164E-4 | 1.0485164E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011635252 | 0.001275896 | 0.0012958705 | 1.0156553 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01157452 | 0.012693226 | 0.012722845 | 1.0023335 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6533986E-5 | 1.7672677E-5 | 1.7672677E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.085802E-5 | 7.573821E-5 | 7.573821E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.623549E-4 | 9.21786E-4 | 9.317768E-4 | 1.0108385 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008590161 | 0.009185906 | 0.009205722 | 1.0021572 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4703092E-5 | 1.5561549E-5 | 1.5561549E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.301173E-5 | 6.6691E-5 | 6.6691E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.668978E-4 | 8.11722E-4 | 8.217139E-4 | 1.0123094 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0076425658 | 0.008093648 | 0.008113486 | 1.0024511 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.1331984E-6 | 5.529308E-6 | 5.529308E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6284872E-5 | 2.369682E-5 | 2.369682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.199713E-4 | 2.8847114E-4 | 2.8847114E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031951098 | 0.0028810212 | 0.0028810212 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.954766E-6 | 5.3389226E-6 | 5.3389226E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5520176E-5 | 2.2880899E-5 | 2.2880899E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1066386E-4 | 2.7853984E-4 | 2.7853984E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003102299 | 0.0027819613 | 0.0027819613 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.9726646E-6 | 4.315641E-6 | 4.315641E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1311245E-5 | 1.8495475E-5 | 1.8495475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5943352E-4 | 2.2515949E-4 | 2.2515949E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025913084 | 0.0022493482 | 0.0022493482 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.3613894E-6 | 2.852899E-6 | 2.852899E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4405875E-5 | 1.2226654E-5 | 1.2226654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7537741E-4 | 1.488496E-4 | 1.488496E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017523908 | 0.0014875253 | 0.0014875253 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.1828961E-6 | 1.0123521E-6 | 1.0123521E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.069545E-6 | 4.338645E-6 | 4.338645E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.171996E-5 | 5.282175E-5 | 5.282175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.170282E-4 | 5.280949E-4 | 5.280949E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.2967266E-7 | 1.8620237E-7 | 1.8620237E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.843111E-7 | 7.980099E-7 | 7.980099E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19839215E-5 | 9.71573E-6 | 9.71573E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1983275E-4 | 9.7153345E-5 | 9.7153345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Owens Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6313493E-6 | 3.6313493E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.5562839E-5 | 2.5562682E-5 | 1.6425463 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002521386 | 1.8946208E-4 | 2.294545E-4 | 1.211084 | 4.0E-5 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019204445 | 0.0019803292 | 1.0311828 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6313493E-6 | 3.6313493E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.5562839E-5 | 2.5562682E-5 | 1.6425463 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002521386 | 1.8946208E-4 | 2.294545E-4 | 1.211084 | 4.0E-5 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019204445 | 0.0019803292 | 1.0311828 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6313493E-6 | 3.6313493E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.5562839E-5 | 2.5562682E-5 | 1.6425463 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002521386 | 1.8946208E-4 | 2.294545E-4 | 1.211084 | 4.0E-5 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019204445 | 0.0019803292 | 1.0311828 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.157717E-6 | 3.157717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.35330065E-5 | 1.35330065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002060538 | 1.6475264E-4 | 1.8474934E-4 | 1.1213741 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020415364 | 0.00165925 | 0.0016892003 | 1.0180504 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.157717E-6 | 3.157717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.35330065E-5 | 1.35330065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002060538 | 1.6475264E-4 | 1.8474934E-4 | 1.1213741 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020415364 | 0.00165925 | 0.0016892003 | 1.0180504 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.457342E-5 | 2.972779E-6 | 2.972779E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4816338E-4 | 1.2740423E-5 | 1.2740423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018023965 | 1.5510431E-4 | 1.751012E-4 | 1.1289254 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017878477 | 0.001556028 | 0.0015859813 | 1.0192499 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1127765E-5 | 2.8756433E-6 | 2.8756433E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3339789E-4 | 1.2324132E-5 | 1.2324132E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016229092 | 1.5003666E-4 | 1.7003366E-4 | 1.1332808 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016111081 | 0.0015011339 | 0.0015310888 | 1.0199549 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.806885E-5 | 2.8112518E-6 | 2.8112518E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2028952E-4 | 1.204817E-5 | 1.204817E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001463541 | 1.4667728E-4 | 1.6667435E-4 | 1.1363338 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014539397 | 0.001466129 | 0.001496085 | 1.020432 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.524524E-5 | 2.2360725E-6 | 2.2360725E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0818939E-4 | 9.583135E-6 | 9.583135E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013164099 | 1.1666872E-4 | 1.366664E-4 | 1.1714056 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01308639 | 0.0011662989 | 0.0011962638 | 1.0256923 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2704568E-5 | 1.6086587E-6 | 1.6086587E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.730166E-5 | 6.8942336E-6 | 6.8942336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011840039 | 8.393408E-5 | 1.03932405E-4 | 1.2382622 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011777153 | 8.3918084E-4 | 8.691557E-4 | 1.0357192 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.0871712E-5 | 1.540018E-6 | 1.540018E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.944713E-5 | 6.600061E-6 | 6.600061E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010884746 | 8.0352795E-5 | 1.00351186E-4 | 1.2488824 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010831586 | 8.033526E-4 | 8.333285E-4 | 1.0373135 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.944928E-5 | 1.3868213E-6 | 1.3868213E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.335139E-5 | 5.9435065E-6 | 5.9435065E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010143308 | 7.23598E-5 | 9.235835E-5 | 1.2763766 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010097133 | 7.234634E-4 | 7.5344177E-4 | 1.0414371 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.7876306E-5 | 1.2492671E-6 | 1.2492671E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6610486E-5 | 5.353991E-6 | 5.353991E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3233347E-4 | 6.51829E-5 | 8.51816E-5 | 1.306809 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009284316 | 6.51727E-4 | 6.8170746E-4 | 1.0460016 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.2618672E-5 | 1.1118458E-6 | 1.1118458E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.40789E-5 | 4.7650447E-6 | 4.7650447E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.582117E-4 | 5.8012884E-5 | 7.8011726E-5 | 1.344731 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0065626553 | 5.8006146E-4 | 6.1004405E-4 | 1.0516887 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.4874442E-6 | 8.5514085E-7 | 8.5514085E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.208865E-5 | 3.6648844E-6 | 3.6648844E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.906093E-4 | 4.4619057E-5 | 6.4618165E-5 | 1.448219 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003899234 | 4.4614542E-4 | 4.7613203E-4 | 1.0672127 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.4734156E-6 | 6.070538E-7 | 6.070538E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.060031E-5 | 2.6016564E-6 | 2.6016564E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2905113E-4 | 3.167471E-5 | 5.1674077E-5 | 1.6313986 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012897621 | 3.167023E-4 | 3.4669277E-4 | 1.0946962 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1328841E-6 | 3.197493E-7 | 3.197493E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8552088E-6 | 1.3703534E-6 | 1.3703534E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9110564E-5 | 1.6683925E-5 | 2.668376E-5 | 1.5993693 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9094845E-4 | 1.6682693E-4 | 1.8682358E-4 | 1.1198647 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.8613185E-7 | 8.9678174E-8 | 8.9678174E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0834207E-6 | 3.8433498E-7 | 3.8433498E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.536535E-5 | 4.679269E-6 | 4.679269E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5362454E-4 | 4.679177E-5 | 4.679177E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.169034E-5 | 4.714597E-5 | 4.714597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7866064E-4 | 2.0204336E-4 | 2.0204336E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021730233 | 0.0024579426 | 0.0024778934 | 1.0081168 | 2.0E-5 | 0.021518968 | 0.024389418 | 0.024428444 | 1.0016 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.73813E-5 | 1.6856455E-5 | 1.6856455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4489166E-5 | 7.224001E-5 | 7.224001E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.065282E-4 | 8.791779E-4 | 8.891691E-4 | 1.0113642 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009028391 | 0.0087581985 | 0.0087780235 | 1.0022635 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4622182E-5 | 1.3675056E-5 | 1.3675056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2664985E-5 | 5.860609E-5 | 5.860609E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6267915E-4 | 7.132994E-4 | 7.232923E-4 | 1.0140094 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007600669 | 0.0071106013 | 0.007130459 | 1.0027927 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3552434E-5 | 1.248384E-5 | 1.248384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8080568E-5 | 5.350109E-5 | 5.350109E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.069015E-4 | 6.511843E-4 | 6.611778E-4 | 1.0153466 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00704657 | 0.006493184 | 0.006513054 | 1.0030601 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.30977305E-5 | 1.19807455E-5 | 1.19807455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.613192E-5 | 5.1345058E-5 | 5.1345058E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.831918E-4 | 6.249498E-4 | 6.3494354E-4 | 1.0159913 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006810953 | 0.0062323273 | 0.0062522027 | 1.0031891 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.225205E-5 | 1.1050306E-5 | 1.1050306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2507727E-5 | 4.7357607E-5 | 4.7357607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3909404E-4 | 5.7642907E-4 | 5.8642327E-4 | 1.0173382 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006372592 | 0.0057497076 | 0.0057695927 | 1.0034584 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1352241E-5 | 1.006495E-5 | 1.006495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8651553E-5 | 4.31348E-5 | 4.31348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.921717E-4 | 5.250418E-4 | 5.350365E-4 | 1.019036 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0059059616 | 0.005238318 | 0.0052582133 | 1.003798 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0864116E-5 | 9.518381E-6 | 9.518381E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6559664E-5 | 4.0792434E-5 | 4.0792434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.667165E-4 | 4.965367E-4 | 5.065318E-4 | 1.0201294 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005652734 | 0.004954566 | 0.0049744667 | 1.0040166 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0666365E-5 | 9.301113E-6 | 9.301113E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.571219E-5 | 3.9861316E-5 | 3.9861316E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.564038E-4 | 4.8520544E-4 | 4.9520057E-4 | 1.0205998 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005550127 | 0.0048417514 | 0.0048616547 | 1.0041107 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0038665E-5 | 8.593295E-6 | 8.593295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.302214E-5 | 3.68279E-5 | 3.68279E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.236687E-4 | 4.4828924E-4 | 4.5828475E-4 | 1.022297 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005224364 | 0.004474119 | 0.004484074 | 1.002225 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.5379955E-6 | 8.02625E-6 | 8.02625E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0876483E-5 | 3.439777E-5 | 3.439777E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.975576E-4 | 4.187141E-4 | 4.287099E-4 | 1.0238726 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00496445 | 0.00417951 | 0.004189468 | 1.0023826 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.207389E-6 | 7.653502E-6 | 7.653502E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.945964E-5 | 3.280032E-5 | 3.280032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.803152E-4 | 3.992724E-4 | 4.092684E-4 | 1.0250355 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004792784 | 0.0039858054 | 0.0039957655 | 1.0024989 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.638091E-6 | 5.9319905E-6 | 5.9319905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2734264E-5 | 2.542257E-5 | 2.542257E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.984668E-4 | 3.0947616E-4 | 3.1947307E-4 | 1.0323026 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039775306 | 0.0030905674 | 0.0031005365 | 1.0032257 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.2500147E-6 | 5.5969786E-6 | 5.5969786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1071122E-5 | 2.3986831E-5 | 2.3986831E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7822526E-4 | 2.9200086E-4 | 3.0199793E-4 | 1.0342364 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037758215 | 0.002916286 | 0.0029262567 | 1.003419 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.3899715E-6 | 4.9192163E-6 | 4.9192163E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7385306E-5 | 2.1082187E-5 | 2.1082187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3336508E-4 | 2.5664558E-4 | 2.5664558E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033286542 | 0.0025635953 | 0.0025635953 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.379025E-6 | 4.0844366E-6 | 4.0844366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.305276E-5 | 1.7504612E-5 | 1.7504612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.806312E-4 | 2.1309791E-4 | 2.1309791E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028027708 | 0.002128947 | 0.002128947 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.1270696E-6 | 3.0887406E-6 | 3.0887406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.768732E-5 | 1.3237393E-5 | 1.3237393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1532185E-4 | 1.6115342E-4 | 1.6115342E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021511333 | 0.0016103736 | 0.0016103736 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.5406805E-6 | 1.8284268E-6 | 1.8284268E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0888585E-5 | 7.836092E-6 | 7.836092E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3256045E-4 | 9.54003E-5 | 9.54003E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013248142 | 9.5359964E-4 | 9.5359964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.8608285E-7 | 3.5101831E-7 | 3.5101831E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0832106E-6 | 1.5043634E-6 | 1.5043634E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5362791E-5 | 1.8315472E-5 | 1.8315472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5359896E-4 | 1.8313974E-4 | 1.8313974E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.0472514E-8 | 1.2690719E-8 | 1.2690719E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7739345E-8 | 5.4388796E-8 | 5.4388796E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.068226E-6 | 6.6218337E-7 | 6.6218337E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0682209E-5 | 6.621815E-6 | 6.621815E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 4.443582E-9 | 2.0330049E-9 | 2.0330049E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043922E-8 | 8.712877E-9 | 8.712877E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185973E-7 | 1.0607927E-7 | 1.0607927E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185949E-6 | 1.0607923E-6 | 1.0607923E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lost Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5109475E-5 | 2.5109475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0760855E-4 | 1.0760855E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013095147 | 0.0013294886 | 1.0152528 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013034585 | 0.013083933 | 1.003786 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5109475E-5 | 2.5109475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0760855E-4 | 1.0760855E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013095147 | 0.0013294886 | 1.0152528 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013034585 | 0.013083933 | 1.003786 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5109475E-5 | 2.5109475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0760855E-4 | 1.0760855E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013095147 | 0.0013294886 | 1.0152528 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013034585 | 0.013083933 | 1.003786 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5109475E-5 | 2.5109475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0760855E-4 | 1.0760855E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013095147 | 0.0013294886 | 1.0152528 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013034585 | 0.013083933 | 1.003786 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3782662E-5 | 1.3782662E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.9067745E-5 | 5.9067745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.190063E-4 | 7.3899195E-4 | 1.0277961 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006391279 | 0.0071760085 | 0.007205793 | 1.0041506 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3782662E-5 | 1.3782662E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.9067745E-5 | 5.9067745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.190063E-4 | 7.3899195E-4 | 1.0277961 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006391279 | 0.0071760085 | 0.007205793 | 1.0041506 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.58281E-6 | 9.634865E-6 | 9.634865E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6782953E-5 | 4.1292096E-5 | 4.1292096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4774043E-4 | 5.0269853E-4 | 5.126935E-4 | 1.0198827 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044683935 | 0.0050237756 | 0.005043675 | 1.0039611 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.205685E-6 | 8.089221E-6 | 8.089221E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.088114E-5 | 3.4668094E-5 | 3.4668094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7591302E-4 | 4.2208403E-4 | 4.320798E-4 | 1.023682 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037527776 | 0.00422084 | 0.004240756 | 1.0047184 | 2.0E-5 |
Chino alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.939946E-5 | 4.896264E-5 | 4.896264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6884391E-4 | 2.0982575E-4 | 2.0982575E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020537362 | 0.0025521463 | 0.0025621208 | 1.0039083 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020348595 | 0.02528122 | 0.025329957 | 1.0019277 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.688868E-5 | 2.688868E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.1523274E-4 | 1.1523274E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011215154 | 0.001402166 | 0.001402166 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011158722 | 0.013946032 | 0.013965753 | 1.0014141 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.688868E-5 | 2.688868E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.1523274E-4 | 1.1523274E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011215154 | 0.001402166 | 0.001402166 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011158722 | 0.013946032 | 0.013965753 | 1.0014141 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.8173025E-5 | 1.8173025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.788232E-5 | 7.788232E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.4785006E-4 | 9.4785006E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007429048 | 0.009444471 | 0.009464283 | 1.0020976 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.8173025E-5 | 1.8173025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.788232E-5 | 7.788232E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.4785006E-4 | 9.4785006E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007429048 | 0.009444471 | 0.009464283 | 1.0020976 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3017944E-5 | 1.665972E-5 | 1.665972E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5789995E-5 | 7.139709E-5 | 7.139709E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.790315E-4 | 8.689567E-4 | 8.689567E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067696036 | 0.008661825 | 0.008681652 | 1.0022889 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.470016E-6 | 1.204539E-5 | 1.204539E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.058515E-5 | 5.1622268E-5 | 5.1622268E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.940122E-4 | 6.2835385E-4 | 6.2835385E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004929154 | 0.0062714987 | 0.0062814364 | 1.0015845 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.314155E-6 | 1.0413125E-5 | 1.0413125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5631605E-5 | 4.4627097E-5 | 4.4627097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3372845E-4 | 5.432317E-4 | 5.432317E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004328829 | 0.005425172 | 0.0054351175 | 1.0018332 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4856364E-6 | 3.8151547E-6 | 3.8151547E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4938357E-5 | 1.6350574E-5 | 1.6350574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8185932E-4 | 1.9905213E-4 | 1.9905213E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018171056 | 0.0019903646 | 0.002000345 | 1.0050142 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2645952E-6 | 2.154179E-6 | 2.154179E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.705372E-6 | 9.232164E-6 | 9.232164E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18156495E-4 | 1.1239602E-4 | 1.1239602E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011809369 | 0.0011239543 | 0.0011339431 | 1.0088872 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7864003E-6 | 1.54422E-6 | 1.54422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.655979E-6 | 6.618069E-6 | 6.618069E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3207556E-5 | 8.057207E-5 | 8.057207E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.316847E-4 | 8.058698E-4 | 8.1586174E-4 | 1.012399 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.7315456E-6 | 1.4744774E-6 | 1.4744774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.420889E-6 | 6.3191737E-6 | 6.3191737E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.034557E-5 | 7.693328E-5 | 7.693328E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0308854E-4 | 7.6950184E-4 | 7.794942E-4 | 1.0129855 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6008337E-6 | 1.3585003E-6 | 1.3585003E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.860698E-6 | 5.8221317E-6 | 5.8221317E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.352579E-5 | 7.0882204E-5 | 7.0882204E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.34944E-4 | 7.090193E-4 | 7.190122E-4 | 1.014094 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.3320939E-6 | 1.1227855E-6 | 1.1227855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7089615E-6 | 4.8119296E-6 | 4.8119296E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9504385E-5 | 5.8583715E-5 | 5.8583715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9482654E-4 | 5.858142E-4 | 5.858142E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.114294E-6 | 9.246502E-7 | 9.246502E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.775537E-6 | 3.9627807E-6 | 3.9627807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8140613E-5 | 4.8245824E-5 | 4.8245824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.81254E-4 | 4.8237146E-4 | 4.8237146E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.354081E-7 | 7.632328E-7 | 7.632328E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0088858E-6 | 3.2709936E-6 | 3.2709936E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8807087E-5 | 3.9823655E-5 | 3.9823655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.879637E-4 | 3.9816857E-4 | 3.9816857E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.521771E-7 | 6.889392E-7 | 6.889392E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6521824E-6 | 2.9525934E-6 | 2.9525934E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4464414E-5 | 3.5947265E-5 | 3.5947265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4455516E-4 | 3.5941767E-4 | 3.5941767E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.1803626E-7 | 1.4210353E-7 | 1.4210353E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.344408E-7 | 6.0901505E-7 | 6.0901505E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1376757E-5 | 7.414743E-6 | 7.414743E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13761744E-4 | 7.4145915E-5 | 7.4145915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pinto Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7865036E-5 | 4.7865036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0512067E-4 | 2.0512067E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024946474 | 0.0025145975 | 1.0079972 | 2.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024683967 | 0.024732733 | 1.0019757 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7865036E-5 | 4.7865036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0512067E-4 | 2.0512067E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024946474 | 0.0025145975 | 1.0079972 | 2.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024683967 | 0.024732733 | 1.0019757 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7865036E-5 | 4.7865036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0512067E-4 | 2.0512067E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024946474 | 0.0025145975 | 1.0079972 | 2.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024683967 | 0.024732733 | 1.0019757 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7865036E-5 | 4.7865036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0512067E-4 | 2.0512067E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024946474 | 0.0025145975 | 1.0079972 | 2.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024683967 | 0.024732733 | 1.0019757 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.9613104E-5 | 3.9613104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.6975992E-4 | 1.6975992E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019443673 | 0.002064961 | 0.0020749404 | 1.0048327 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019274427 | 0.020467764 | 0.02049715 | 1.0014358 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.9613104E-5 | 3.9613104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.6975992E-4 | 1.6975992E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019443673 | 0.002064961 | 0.0020749404 | 1.0048327 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019274427 | 0.020467764 | 0.02049715 | 1.0014358 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.0204548E-5 | 3.1213778E-5 | 3.1213778E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2944164E-4 | 1.3376668E-4 | 1.3376668E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015748127 | 0.0016274273 | 0.0016374111 | 1.0061346 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015636992 | 0.016158964 | 0.016178641 | 1.0012177 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.9857754E-5 | 3.0823117E-5 | 3.0823117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2795553E-4 | 1.3209258E-4 | 1.3209258E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015567453 | 0.0016070755 | 0.0016170593 | 1.0062125 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015458848 | 0.015958382 | 0.015978063 | 1.0012332 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.4819734E-5 | 2.5016974E-5 | 2.5016974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0636595E-4 | 1.07211315E-4 | 1.07211315E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012942362 | 0.0013045379 | 0.0013045379 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012867244 | 0.012971168 | 0.012981039 | 1.0007609 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.331124E-5 | 2.3345085E-5 | 2.3345085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.990149E-5 | 1.00046644E-4 | 1.00046644E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001215622 | 0.0012174076 | 0.0012174076 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012089936 | 0.012109579 | 0.012119457 | 1.0008157 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.1818534E-5 | 2.1768072E-5 | 2.1768072E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3504656E-5 | 9.3288516E-5 | 9.3288516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011378246 | 0.0011352157 | 0.0011352157 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011320163 | 0.01129627 | 0.011306157 | 1.0008752 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.066081E-5 | 2.0547584E-5 | 2.0547584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.854332E-5 | 8.8058216E-5 | 8.8058216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010774818 | 0.0010716011 | 0.0010716011 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010722724 | 0.010666389 | 0.010676282 | 1.0009276 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.8990233E-5 | 1.9060732E-5 | 1.9060732E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.138417E-5 | 8.16864E-5 | 8.16864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.904018E-4 | 9.940974E-4 | 9.940974E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009859995 | 0.009898506 | 0.009908407 | 1.0010003 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.3335872E-5 | 1.4912895E-5 | 1.4912895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7152483E-5 | 6.391091E-5 | 6.391091E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.956093E-4 | 7.778503E-4 | 7.778503E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006934359 | 0.007752577 | 0.007752577 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.414066E-6 | 1.186683E-5 | 1.186683E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0345374E-5 | 5.0856906E-5 | 5.0856906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.910942E-4 | 6.1901635E-4 | 6.1901635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049001034 | 0.00617387 | 0.00617387 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.2101157E-6 | 9.16392E-6 | 9.16392E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.090013E-5 | 3.9273396E-5 | 3.9273396E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7614413E-4 | 4.7805652E-4 | 4.7805652E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037550807 | 0.004771057 | 0.004771057 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.296375E-6 | 4.551036E-6 | 4.551036E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4127245E-5 | 1.9504303E-5 | 1.9504303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7198564E-4 | 2.374404E-4 | 2.374404E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017185259 | 0.0023720048 | 0.0023720048 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.5741092E-6 | 3.589624E-6 | 3.589624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.103185E-5 | 1.538402E-5 | 1.538402E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3430449E-4 | 1.8728567E-4 | 1.8728567E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013422335 | 0.0018714085 | 0.0018714085 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Deep Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3116096E-5 | 2.3116096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9068086E-5 | 1.0906709E-4 | 1.1009307 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012059943 | 0.0012359581 | 1.0248457 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.01204429 | 0.012093687 | 1.0041014 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3116096E-5 | 2.3116096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9068086E-5 | 1.0906709E-4 | 1.1009307 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012059943 | 0.0012359581 | 1.0248457 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.01204429 | 0.012093687 | 1.0041014 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3116096E-5 | 2.3116096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9068086E-5 | 1.0906709E-4 | 1.1009307 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012059943 | 0.0012359581 | 1.0248457 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.01204429 | 0.012093687 | 1.0041014 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3116096E-5 | 2.3116096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9068086E-5 | 1.0906709E-4 | 1.1009307 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012059943 | 0.0012359581 | 1.0248457 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.01204429 | 0.012093687 | 1.0041014 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3116096E-5 | 2.3116096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9068086E-5 | 1.0906709E-4 | 1.1009307 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012059943 | 0.0012359581 | 1.0248457 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.01204429 | 0.012093687 | 1.0041014 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7190405E-5 | 2.0053654E-5 | 2.0053654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.594424E-5 | 9.5943375E-5 | 1.1163446 | 1.0E-5 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.0010463708 | 0.0010763394 | 1.0286405 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008929676 | 0.010463676 | 0.010503258 | 1.0037827 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.7190405E-5 | 2.0053654E-5 | 2.0053654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.594424E-5 | 9.5943375E-5 | 1.1163446 | 1.0E-5 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.0010463708 | 0.0010763394 | 1.0286405 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008929676 | 0.010463676 | 0.010503258 | 1.0037827 | 4.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.986481E-4 | 0.0012284681 | 0.0012284681 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025631124 | 0.00524938 | 0.00524938 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.030762846 | 0.061249476 | 0.06127764 | 1.0004598 | 3.0E-5 | 0.26835477 | 0.42616466 | 0.42619336 | 1.0000674 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.015945E-4 | 0.0010225296 | 0.0010225296 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00214792 | 0.004371062 | 0.004371062 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.025839351 | 0.05128589 | 0.051304866 | 1.00037 | 2.0E-5 | 0.23032776 | 0.37307775 | 0.3731028 | 1.0000672 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.073338E-4 | 8.114614E-4 | 8.114614E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017445484 | 0.003470296 | 0.003470296 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021034058 | 0.040970333 | 0.040989514 | 1.0004681 | 2.0E-5 | 0.19150782 | 0.31327197 | 0.31329942 | 1.0000877 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.464099E-4 | 6.7464466E-4 | 6.7464466E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014837692 | 0.0028861205 | 0.0028861205 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017915873 | 0.03422703 | 0.034246344 | 1.0005643 | 2.0E-5 | 0.16538359 | 0.27156988 | 0.271599 | 1.0001073 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.935057E-4 | 5.5515784E-4 | 5.5515784E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012572751 | 0.002375704 | 0.002375704 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015200248 | 0.028302303 | 0.028321737 | 1.0006866 | 2.0E-5 | 0.14201577 | 0.23325256 | 0.23328322 | 1.0001315 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3409708E-4 | 4.2166866E-4 | 4.2166866E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010028875 | 0.0018051498 | 0.0018051498 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012141965 | 0.021625558 | 0.021645125 | 1.0009048 | 2.0E-5 | 0.11499573 | 0.18710719 | 0.1871397 | 1.0001738 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5842178E-4 | 2.5143533E-4 | 2.5143533E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7877385E-4 | 0.0010771271 | 0.0010771271 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0082328 | 0.013033789 | 0.013053528 | 1.0015144 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07934396 | 0.12345123 | 0.123477526 | 1.000213 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.5616413E-4 | 2.4679903E-4 | 2.4679903E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.691031E-4 | 0.0010572762 | 0.0010572762 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0081159435 | 0.012795567 | 0.012815311 | 1.001543 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0782586 | 0.12147836 | 0.12150471 | 1.000217 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5538467E-4 | 2.450361E-4 | 2.450361E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6576427E-4 | 0.0010497274 | 0.0010497274 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008075596 | 0.012704892 | 0.012724638 | 1.0015543 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07788358 | 0.12070898 | 0.120735355 | 1.0002185 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5153569E-4 | 2.3612258E-4 | 2.3612258E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.49277E-4 | 0.0010115633 | 0.0010115633 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007876333 | 0.0122467615 | 0.012266517 | 1.0016131 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07602952 | 0.11677796 | 0.11680445 | 1.0002269 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.4588932E-4 | 2.2468744E-4 | 2.2468744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.250901E-4 | 9.625927E-4 | 9.625927E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0075839474 | 0.011657091 | 0.011676857 | 1.0016958 | 2.0E-5 | 0.073302895 | 0.1116232 | 0.11164985 | 1.0002388 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.1565079E-4 | 1.6342463E-4 | 1.6342463E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.955521E-4 | 7.002041E-4 | 7.002041E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006016669 | 0.008491866 | 0.008511696 | 1.0023352 | 2.0E-5 | 0.058563538 | 0.08393583 | 0.083963305 | 1.0003275 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0393792E-4 | 1.4673159E-4 | 1.4673159E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4537216E-4 | 6.286989E-4 | 6.286989E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005408933 | 0.007627716 | 0.0076475632 | 1.002602 | 2.0E-5 | 0.052791595 | 0.07587302 | 0.07590074 | 1.0003654 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.332884E-5 | 1.2830122E-4 | 1.2830122E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.999194E-4 | 5.4974714E-4 | 5.4974714E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048581534 | 0.006672766 | 0.0066926326 | 1.0029773 | 2.0E-5 | 0.047533102 | 0.066705294 | 0.06673329 | 1.0004197 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.670252E-5 | 1.174764E-4 | 1.174764E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.715293E-4 | 5.0337374E-4 | 5.0337374E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004513991 | 0.0061114747 | 0.006131353 | 1.0032525 | 2.0E-5 | 0.044233937 | 0.0613533 | 0.06138146 | 1.000459 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.3036405E-5 | 9.0429276E-5 | 9.0429276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.129756E-4 | 3.8749655E-4 | 3.8749655E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038038217 | 0.0047075865 | 0.0047274926 | 1.0042285 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03739367 | 0.048053477 | 0.048072517 | 1.0003963 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.3935775E-5 | 8.3128245E-5 | 8.3128245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7398168E-4 | 3.5621534E-4 | 3.5621534E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033306254 | 0.004328316 | 0.0043482296 | 1.0046008 | 2.0E-5 | 0.032811474 | 0.044145897 | 0.04416501 | 1.0004331 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.5050095E-5 | 6.6905355E-5 | 6.6905355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3590765E-4 | 2.8670576E-4 | 2.8670576E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028683927 | 0.0034850596 | 0.00350499 | 1.0057188 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0283165 | 0.035934415 | 0.035953693 | 1.0005366 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.027131E-5 | 6.1891E-5 | 6.1891E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1543067E-4 | 2.6522018E-4 | 2.6522018E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026197135 | 0.0032242779 | 0.0032442133 | 1.0061829 | 2.0E-5 | 0.025890453 | 0.033253383 | 0.033272717 | 1.0005814 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.7271806E-5 | 5.0435523E-5 | 5.0435523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5972654E-4 | 2.1613434E-4 | 2.1613434E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019429359 | 0.0026282622 | 0.002638236 | 1.0037948 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019260362 | 0.027170418 | 0.027180146 | 1.0003581 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.7310243E-5 | 3.1567233E-5 | 3.1567233E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.17038646E-4 | 1.3528114E-4 | 1.3528114E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014240141 | 0.0016458043 | 0.0016458043 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014149235 | 0.017284397 | 0.017284397 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.7940547E-5 | 1.748918E-5 | 1.748918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.688579E-5 | 7.495147E-5 | 7.495147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3568244E-4 | 9.121527E-4 | 9.121527E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009317525 | 0.00984575 | 0.00984575 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.510076E-6 | 5.510076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3614397E-5 | 2.3614397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8746744E-4 | 2.8746744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032680929 | 0.0032680929 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.715289E-7 | 7.715289E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.3065483E-6 | 3.3065483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.02565E-5 | 4.02565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7517708E-4 | 4.7517708E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.675685E-5 | 3.675685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5752314E-4 | 1.5752314E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019167401 | 0.0019167401 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016697178 | 0.019059554 | 0.0191086 | 1.0025734 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.675685E-5 | 3.675685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5752314E-4 | 1.5752314E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019167401 | 0.0019167401 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016697178 | 0.019059554 | 0.0191086 | 1.0025734 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.675685E-5 | 3.675685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5752314E-4 | 1.5752314E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019167401 | 0.0019167401 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016697178 | 0.019059554 | 0.0191086 | 1.0025734 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.675685E-5 | 3.675685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5752314E-4 | 1.5752314E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019167401 | 0.0019167401 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016697178 | 0.019059554 | 0.0191086 | 1.0025734 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.4850767E-5 | 1.4850767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.364462E-5 | 6.364462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.746029E-4 | 7.746029E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074880854 | 0.0077195796 | 0.0077195796 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.4850767E-5 | 1.4850767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.364462E-5 | 6.364462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.746029E-4 | 7.746029E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074880854 | 0.0077195796 | 0.0077195796 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.280208E-5 | 1.3013082E-5 | 1.3013082E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4864904E-5 | 5.5769167E-5 | 5.5769167E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6777546E-4 | 6.7877985E-4 | 6.7877985E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006657724 | 0.0067672767 | 0.0067672767 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.2457027E-5 | 1.2629563E-5 | 1.2629563E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3386164E-5 | 5.4125583E-5 | 5.4125583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.497827E-4 | 6.587814E-4 | 6.587814E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00647886 | 0.0065684826 | 0.0065684826 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.2095134E-5 | 1.22319725E-5 | 1.22319725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1835254E-5 | 5.2421696E-5 | 5.2421696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.309115E-4 | 6.3804886E-4 | 6.3804886E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0062912325 | 0.0063623576 | 0.0063623576 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.1104036E-5 | 1.1158321E-5 | 1.1158321E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.758786E-5 | 4.7820507E-5 | 4.7820507E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7922816E-4 | 5.820604E-4 | 5.820604E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005777207 | 0.0058055045 | 0.0058055045 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0577444E-5 | 1.0582605E-5 | 1.0582605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5331115E-5 | 4.5353238E-5 | 4.5353238E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5176654E-4 | 5.52037E-4 | 5.52037E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055039856 | 0.0055067954 | 0.0055067954 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0021775E-5 | 9.981866E-6 | 9.981866E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.294976E-5 | 4.277873E-5 | 4.277873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2278786E-4 | 5.2070775E-4 | 5.2070775E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052155964 | 0.0051950095 | 0.0051950095 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.874109E-6 | 8.749576E-6 | 8.749576E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8031343E-5 | 3.749765E-5 | 3.749765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.629332E-4 | 4.5643936E-4 | 4.5643936E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046197 | 0.004555137 | 0.004555137 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.5504267E-6 | 7.5057624E-6 | 7.5057624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.235857E-5 | 3.216716E-5 | 3.216716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9389438E-4 | 3.9156585E-4 | 3.9156585E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039319694 | 0.003908866 | 0.003908866 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.309394E-6 | 6.1836913E-6 | 6.1836913E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.703998E-5 | 2.650127E-5 | 2.650127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2916202E-4 | 3.2260615E-4 | 3.2260615E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003286749 | 0.0032214755 | 0.0032214755 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.6103073E-6 | 4.4412755E-6 | 4.4412755E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.975831E-5 | 1.9033903E-5 | 1.9033903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4053088E-4 | 2.3171381E-4 | 2.3171381E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002402707 | 0.0023147915 | 0.0023147915 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.2858658E-6 | 1.3008878E-6 | 1.3008878E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5108417E-6 | 5.575222E-6 | 5.575222E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7092435E-5 | 6.787628E-5 | 6.787628E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.707218E-4 | 6.785624E-4 | 6.785624E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.3302307E-7 | 5.612416E-7 | 5.612416E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2843826E-6 | 2.405319E-6 | 2.405319E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7812002E-5 | 2.9284403E-5 | 2.9284403E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7808524E-4 | 2.92809E-4 | 2.92809E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.613933E-8 | 4.8031925E-8 | 4.8031925E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9773998E-7 | 2.058511E-7 | 2.058511E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074816E-6 | 2.5062343E-6 | 2.5062343E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074554E-5 | 2.506207E-5 | 2.506207E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.451026E-5 | 3.451026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4789274E-4 | 1.5789126E-4 | 1.0676066 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017991089 | 0.001829055 | 1.016645 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.01858221 | 0.018631281 | 1.0026407 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.451026E-5 | 3.451026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4789274E-4 | 1.5789126E-4 | 1.0676066 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017991089 | 0.001829055 | 1.016645 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.01858221 | 0.018631281 | 1.0026407 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.451026E-5 | 3.451026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4789274E-4 | 1.5789126E-4 | 1.0676066 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017991089 | 0.001829055 | 1.016645 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.01858221 | 0.018631281 | 1.0026407 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.451026E-5 | 3.451026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4789274E-4 | 1.5789126E-4 | 1.0676066 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017991089 | 0.001829055 | 1.016645 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.01858221 | 0.018631281 | 1.0026407 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.646941E-5 | 3.443181E-5 | 3.443181E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5628811E-4 | 1.4755658E-4 | 1.575551E-4 | 1.0677606 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019011468 | 0.0017950232 | 0.0018249693 | 1.0166829 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018849645 | 0.018542081 | 0.018591153 | 1.0026466 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.646941E-5 | 3.443181E-5 | 3.443181E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5628811E-4 | 1.4755658E-4 | 1.575551E-4 | 1.0677606 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019011468 | 0.0017950232 | 0.0018249693 | 1.0166829 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018849645 | 0.018542081 | 0.018591153 | 1.0026466 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.6442503E-5 | 3.4395187E-5 | 3.4395187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.561728E-4 | 1.4739964E-4 | 1.5739816E-4 | 1.0678328 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018997455 | 0.0017931157 | 0.001823062 | 1.0167006 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018835869 | 0.018523345 | 0.018572418 | 1.0026493 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6432113E-5 | 3.438076E-5 | 3.438076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5612828E-4 | 1.4733779E-4 | 1.5733633E-4 | 1.0678612 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018992044 | 0.0017923642 | 0.0018223105 | 1.0167077 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018830549 | 0.018515967 | 0.01856504 | 1.0026504 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.6409598E-5 | 3.4349803E-5 | 3.4349803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.560318E-4 | 1.4720515E-4 | 1.5720367E-4 | 1.0679224 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018980318 | 0.0017907519 | 0.0018206981 | 1.0167228 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018819023 | 0.018500116 | 0.01854919 | 1.0026526 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.638078E-5 | 3.431021E-5 | 3.431021E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5590832E-4 | 1.4703549E-4 | 1.5703402E-4 | 1.0680008 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018965311 | 0.0017886898 | 0.0018186362 | 1.0167421 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018804269 | 0.018479845 | 0.01852892 | 1.0026556 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.6294874E-5 | 3.419219E-5 | 3.419219E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5554018E-4 | 1.4652974E-4 | 1.5652827E-4 | 1.0682355 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018920569 | 0.0017825424 | 0.001812489 | 1.0167999 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018760284 | 0.01841941 | 0.018468488 | 1.0026646 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.6260717E-5 | 3.4148463E-5 | 3.4148463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5539382E-4 | 1.4634235E-4 | 1.563409E-4 | 1.0683229 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001890278 | 0.0017802648 | 0.0018102115 | 1.0168214 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018742796 | 0.018397002 | 0.018446082 | 1.0026678 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.6210204E-5 | 3.4082583E-5 | 3.4082583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5517735E-4 | 1.4606005E-4 | 1.5605858E-4 | 1.068455 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001887647 | 0.0017768332 | 0.00180678 | 1.0168539 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01871693 | 0.018363234 | 0.018412316 | 1.0026728 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.6119454E-5 | 3.3970657E-5 | 3.3970657E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5478847E-4 | 1.4558042E-4 | 1.5557896E-4 | 1.0686805 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018829206 | 0.0017710032 | 0.0018009502 | 1.0169096 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018670462 | 0.018305674 | 0.01835476 | 1.0026814 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.607848E-5 | 3.3918095E-5 | 3.3918095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5461289E-4 | 1.4535518E-4 | 1.5535373E-4 | 1.068787 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018807866 | 0.0017682655 | 0.0017982124 | 1.0169358 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018649481 | 0.018278638 | 0.018327724 | 1.0026854 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.5856774E-5 | 3.3726872E-5 | 3.3726872E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5366284E-4 | 1.4453573E-4 | 1.545343E-4 | 1.069177 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018692396 | 0.001758305 | 0.0017882521 | 1.0170319 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018535944 | 0.018179225 | 0.018228317 | 1.0027004 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.286655E-5 | 3.2242373E-5 | 3.2242373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4084904E-4 | 1.3817429E-4 | 1.481729E-4 | 1.0723624 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001713488 | 0.0016809759 | 0.0017109255 | 1.0178168 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017003361 | 0.01739505 | 0.01744418 | 1.0028244 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.8882527E-5 | 2.9332985E-5 | 2.9332985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.237764E-4 | 1.2570673E-4 | 1.3570549E-4 | 1.0795403 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015059357 | 0.0015294062 | 0.0015593603 | 1.0195855 | 3.0E-5 | 0.014957713 | 0.015880335 | 0.01592954 | 1.0030986 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.4950225E-5 | 2.6620262E-5 | 2.6620262E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0692515E-4 | 1.1408186E-4 | 1.2408072E-4 | 1.0876464 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013010362 | 0.0013880625 | 0.0014180209 | 1.0215828 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012934455 | 0.014459773 | 0.01450905 | 1.0034078 | 5.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.9881603E-5 | 2.1591082E-5 | 2.1591082E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.520408E-5 | 9.252993E-5 | 1.02529004E-4 | 1.1080631 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001036866 | 0.0011259705 | 0.0011559367 | 1.0266137 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010320415 | 0.011820102 | 0.011869512 | 1.0041801 | 5.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.563292E-5 | 1.600437E-5 | 1.600437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6996516E-5 | 6.858835E-5 | 7.858767E-5 | 1.1457874 | 1.0E-5 | 8.153773E-4 | 8.3474396E-4 | 8.5472723E-4 | 1.0239395 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00812392 | 0.008845554 | 0.008865377 | 1.002241 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0045313E-5 | 8.340368E-6 | 8.340368E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.305063E-5 | 3.574395E-5 | 4.5743593E-5 | 1.2797576 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2401534E-4 | 4.350962E-4 | 4.4509186E-4 | 1.0229734 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052278144 | 0.004679711 | 0.004689664 | 1.0021269 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.1554413E-6 | 1.5764535E-6 | 1.5764535E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7808914E-5 | 6.756212E-6 | 6.756212E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1680194E-4 | 8.2253806E-5 | 8.2253806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021659054 | 9.545533E-4 | 9.545533E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 3.6442182E-7 | 3.6442182E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.5618069E-6 | 1.5618069E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 1.9014838E-5 | 1.9014838E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.2923788E-4 | 2.2923788E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Camp Rock 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.2502807E-6 | 4.2502807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8215365E-5 | 1.8215365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2175002E-4 | 2.317478E-4 | 1.0450858 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022153403 | 0.0022552516 | 1.0180159 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.2502807E-6 | 4.2502807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8215365E-5 | 1.8215365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2175002E-4 | 2.317478E-4 | 1.0450858 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022153403 | 0.0022552516 | 1.0180159 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.2502807E-6 | 4.2502807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8215365E-5 | 1.8215365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2175002E-4 | 2.317478E-4 | 1.0450858 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022153403 | 0.0022552516 | 1.0180159 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.2502807E-6 | 4.2502807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8215365E-5 | 1.8215365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2175002E-4 | 2.317478E-4 | 1.0450858 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022153403 | 0.0022552516 | 1.0180159 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.982846E-6 | 3.682302E-6 | 3.682302E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.421175E-5 | 1.5781201E-5 | 1.5781201E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1644843E-4 | 1.9211952E-4 | 2.021176E-4 | 1.0520409 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041566887 | 0.0019195692 | 0.0019495116 | 1.0155985 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.982846E-6 | 3.682302E-6 | 3.682302E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.421175E-5 | 1.5781201E-5 | 1.5781201E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1644843E-4 | 1.9211952E-4 | 2.021176E-4 | 1.0520409 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041566887 | 0.0019195692 | 0.0019495116 | 1.0155985 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.048869E-6 | 3.424555E-6 | 3.424555E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0209088E-5 | 1.4676583E-5 | 1.4676583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.677336E-4 | 1.7867306E-4 | 1.8867127E-4 | 1.0559582 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036712566 | 0.0017853257 | 0.0018152721 | 1.0167737 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.987307E-6 | 3.362529E-6 | 3.362529E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9945259E-5 | 1.4410761E-5 | 1.4410761E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6452254E-4 | 1.754372E-4 | 1.8543545E-4 | 1.0569905 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036392517 | 0.0017530181 | 0.0017829656 | 1.0170833 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.3737602E-6 | 3.1181125E-6 | 3.1181125E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.731583E-5 | 1.3363273E-5 | 1.3363273E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3251947E-4 | 1.6268599E-4 | 1.7268436E-4 | 1.0614581 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033202237 | 0.0016256976 | 0.0016556488 | 1.0184237 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.112211E-6 | 2.9333164E-6 | 2.9333164E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6194928E-5 | 1.2571297E-5 | 1.2571297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1887658E-4 | 1.5304507E-4 | 1.6304354E-4 | 1.0653303 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003184194 | 0.0015294246 | 0.0015593786 | 1.0195853 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.5140117E-6 | 2.6421396E-6 | 2.6421396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3631264E-5 | 1.1323408E-5 | 1.1323408E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8767265E-4 | 1.3785403E-4 | 1.4785265E-4 | 1.0725305 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028730053 | 0.0013777104 | 0.001407669 | 1.0217452 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.8151105E-6 | 2.1344536E-6 | 2.1344536E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0636026E-5 | 9.147627E-6 | 9.147627E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5121463E-4 | 1.1136689E-4 | 1.1136689E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025093083 | 0.0011131327 | 0.0011331105 | 1.0179473 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.818335E-6 | 1.2938787E-6 | 1.2938787E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6364189E-5 | 5.5451833E-6 | 5.5451833E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9921579E-4 | 6.75106E-5 | 6.75106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019903728 | 6.749091E-4 | 6.948956E-4 | 1.0296136 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.7166698E-6 | 7.384222E-7 | 7.384222E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1642818E-5 | 3.164663E-6 | 3.164663E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4174209E-4 | 3.852911E-5 | 3.852911E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014165172 | 3.852263E-4 | 3.9522245E-4 | 1.0259488 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0893426E-6 | 5.4623456E-7 | 5.4623456E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.954295E-6 | 2.3410032E-6 | 2.3410032E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0901308E-4 | 2.8501347E-5 | 2.8501347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010895962 | 2.8497746E-4 | 2.949746E-4 | 1.0350806 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6033398E-7 | 3.6033398E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5442877E-6 | 1.5442877E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.8801546E-5 | 1.8801546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.88E-4 | 1.88E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.120132E-8 | 7.120132E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.051485E-7 | 3.051485E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.715178E-6 | 3.715178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.7151316E-5 | 3.7151316E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Tin Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1816297E-6 | 1.4181588E-5 | 3.391402 | 1.0E-5 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.792117E-5 | 2.7920989E-5 | 1.5579894 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.181721E-4 | 2.5816337E-4 | 1.1833014 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.002179945 | 0.0022198576 | 1.0183091 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1816297E-6 | 1.4181588E-5 | 3.391402 | 1.0E-5 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.792117E-5 | 2.7920989E-5 | 1.5579894 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.181721E-4 | 2.5816337E-4 | 1.1833014 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.002179945 | 0.0022198576 | 1.0183091 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1816297E-6 | 1.4181588E-5 | 3.391402 | 1.0E-5 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.792117E-5 | 2.7920989E-5 | 1.5579894 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.181721E-4 | 2.5816337E-4 | 1.1833014 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.002179945 | 0.0022198576 | 1.0183091 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1816297E-6 | 1.4181588E-5 | 3.391402 | 1.0E-5 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.792117E-5 | 2.7920989E-5 | 1.5579894 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.181721E-4 | 2.5816337E-4 | 1.1833014 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.002179945 | 0.0022198576 | 1.0183091 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1816297E-6 | 1.4181588E-5 | 3.391402 | 1.0E-5 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.792117E-5 | 2.7920989E-5 | 1.5579894 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.181721E-4 | 2.5816337E-4 | 1.1833014 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.002179945 | 0.0022198576 | 1.0183091 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3143427E-6 | 2.3732134E-6 | 1.237319E-5 | 5.213686 | 1.0E-5 | 9.9185745E-6 | 1.0170879E-5 | 2.0170777E-5 | 1.9831891 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2075195E-4 | 1.238242E-4 | 1.4382172E-4 | 1.1614994 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012068636 | 0.0012376279 | 0.0012576032 | 1.01614 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3143427E-6 | 2.3732134E-6 | 1.237319E-5 | 5.213686 | 1.0E-5 | 9.9185745E-6 | 1.0170879E-5 | 2.0170777E-5 | 1.9831891 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2075195E-4 | 1.238242E-4 | 1.4382172E-4 | 1.1614994 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012068636 | 0.0012376279 | 0.0012576032 | 1.01614 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7029532E-6 | 1.7498364E-6 | 1.1749819E-5 | 6.71481 | 1.0E-5 | 7.2983503E-6 | 7.4992804E-6 | 1.7499206E-5 | 2.3334513 | 1.0E-5 | 8.885379E-5 | 9.130045E-5 | 1.1129862E-4 | 1.2190369 | 2.0E-5 | 8.881827E-4 | 9.1268204E-4 | 9.326638E-4 | 1.0218934 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2914646E-6 | 1.3299749E-6 | 1.3299749E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.534837E-6 | 5.6998824E-6 | 5.6998824E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.738455E-5 | 6.93943E-5 | 6.93943E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.736412E-4 | 6.9376966E-4 | 6.9376966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.8708974E-7 | 6.1172324E-7 | 6.1172324E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5160964E-6 | 2.6216685E-6 | 2.6216685E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0633044E-5 | 3.191839E-5 | 3.191839E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0628822E-4 | 3.1914216E-4 | 3.1914216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.6248786E-7 | 4.8322164E-7 | 4.8322164E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9820893E-6 | 2.0709485E-6 | 2.0709485E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.413167E-5 | 2.5213543E-5 | 2.5213543E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.412905E-4 | 2.5211053E-4 | 2.5211053E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.804606E-7 | 3.9873248E-7 | 3.9873248E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6305444E-6 | 1.7088526E-6 | 1.7088526E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9851697E-5 | 2.0805115E-5 | 2.0805115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9849923E-4 | 2.0803504E-4 | 2.0803504E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.5864858E-7 | 3.761857E-7 | 3.761857E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5370645E-6 | 1.6122236E-6 | 1.6122236E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.87136E-5 | 1.962868E-5 | 1.962868E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8712023E-4 | 1.9627277E-4 | 1.9627277E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.342063E-7 | 3.5065074E-7 | 3.5065074E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4323119E-6 | 1.5027882E-6 | 1.5027882E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7438259E-5 | 1.8296327E-5 | 1.8296327E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.743689E-4 | 1.829515E-4 | 1.829515E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.971242E-7 | 3.1167232E-7 | 3.1167232E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2733886E-6 | 1.3357381E-6 | 1.3357381E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5503398E-5 | 1.6262524E-5 | 1.6262524E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5502315E-4 | 1.6261662E-4 | 1.6261662E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4326713E-7 | 1.5013191E-7 | 1.5013191E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.140018E-7 | 6.434225E-7 | 6.434225E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4754466E-6 | 7.833669E-6 | 7.833669E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.475195E-5 | 7.8336685E-5 | 7.8336685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Rose Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.9788592E-5 | 4.9788592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.1336359E-4 | 2.2336145E-4 | 1.0468583 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023933933 | 0.0025948114 | 0.0026147596 | 1.0076877 | 2.0E-5 | 0.023677798 | 0.025681652 | 0.025720624 | 1.0015175 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.9788592E-5 | 4.9788592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.1336359E-4 | 2.2336145E-4 | 1.0468583 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023933933 | 0.0025948114 | 0.0026047856 | 1.0038439 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023677798 | 0.025681652 | 0.02571088 | 1.0011381 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8844734E-5 | 2.9737621E-5 | 2.9737621E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2361443E-4 | 1.2744092E-4 | 1.3743965E-4 | 1.0784577 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015039665 | 0.0015505184 | 0.0015605029 | 1.0064394 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0149382865 | 0.01541129 | 0.015430982 | 1.0012778 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3171577E-5 | 2.3228913E-5 | 2.3228913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9302975E-5 | 9.9548764E-5 | 1.0954777E-4 | 1.1004432 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012083431 | 0.0012113458 | 0.0012213337 | 1.0082452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012017938 | 0.012057584 | 0.012067463 | 1.0008193 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0066604E-5 | 1.970836E-5 | 1.970836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.599689E-5 | 8.4461724E-5 | 9.446088E-5 | 1.1183869 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010465092 | 0.0010278465 | 0.0010378362 | 1.0097191 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010415946 | 0.010235151 | 0.010245049 | 1.000967 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.776989E-5 | 1.7138082E-5 | 1.7138082E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.615444E-5 | 7.344689E-5 | 8.344616E-5 | 1.1361428 | 1.0E-5 | 9.267859E-4 | 8.938561E-4 | 9.0384716E-4 | 1.0111775 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009229303 | 0.00890702 | 0.008916931 | 1.0011127 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5227364E-5 | 1.4347418E-5 | 1.4347418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.52585E-5 | 6.148752E-5 | 6.148752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.942326E-4 | 7.4835855E-4 | 7.4835855E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007914 | 0.007451541 | 0.007451541 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.2703898E-5 | 1.1674957E-5 | 1.1674957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4444143E-5 | 5.0034596E-5 | 5.0034596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.626558E-4 | 6.0900516E-4 | 6.0900516E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006606833 | 0.0060659195 | 0.0060659195 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.1554917E-5 | 1.0610979E-5 | 1.0610979E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9520135E-5 | 4.5474855E-5 | 4.5474855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0274085E-4 | 5.5351976E-4 | 5.5351976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060110865 | 0.0055080773 | 0.0055080773 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.732078E-6 | 7.8827325E-6 | 7.8827325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7422655E-5 | 3.378272E-5 | 3.378272E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5552556E-4 | 4.1122994E-4 | 4.1122994E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045459294 | 0.0040897476 | 0.0040897476 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.9337494E-6 | 5.1077604E-6 | 5.1077604E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5430107E-5 | 2.189022E-5 | 2.189022E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0956755E-4 | 2.6648096E-4 | 2.6648096E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030913667 | 0.0026616298 | 0.0026616298 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.013409E-6 | 4.1776E-6 | 4.1776E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1485863E-5 | 1.7903878E-5 | 1.7903878E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6155898E-4 | 2.1795802E-4 | 2.1795802E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026125133 | 0.0021774543 | 0.0021774543 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.120763E-6 | 3.2823023E-6 | 3.2823023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7660293E-5 | 1.4066934E-5 | 1.4066934E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1499286E-4 | 1.7125157E-4 | 1.7125157E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021478499 | 0.0017112055 | 0.0017112055 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.2081239E-6 | 2.4406504E-6 | 2.4406504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.374903E-5 | 1.0459889E-5 | 1.0459889E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6738157E-4 | 1.2734177E-4 | 1.2734177E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016725556 | 0.001272695 | 0.001272695 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.4194755E-6 | 1.7681458E-6 | 1.7681458E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0369139E-5 | 7.577746E-6 | 7.577746E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2623696E-4 | 9.2255206E-5 | 9.2255206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012616527 | 9.221744E-4 | 9.221744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3842889E-6 | 9.378984E-7 | 9.378984E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9326535E-6 | 4.0195587E-6 | 4.0195587E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.222766E-5 | 4.893706E-5 | 4.893706E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.220419E-4 | 4.8926636E-4 | 4.8926636E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.0021575E-6 | 6.411933E-7 | 6.411933E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2949537E-6 | 2.7479687E-6 | 2.7479687E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2289808E-5 | 3.3456028E-5 | 3.3456028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2277505E-4 | 3.3451203E-4 | 3.3451203E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.7620116E-8 | 6.4496184E-8 | 6.4496184E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7551473E-7 | 2.7641218E-7 | 2.7641218E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5718825E-6 | 3.3653134E-6 | 3.3653134E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5717883E-5 | 3.3652654E-5 | 3.3652654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bullion Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4693528E-5 | 1.4693528E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.297096E-5 | 6.297096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.664401E-4 | 7.864248E-4 | 1.0260746 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.007641762 | 0.0076814564 | 1.0051944 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4693528E-5 | 1.4693528E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.297096E-5 | 6.297096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.664401E-4 | 7.864248E-4 | 1.0260746 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.007641762 | 0.0076814564 | 1.0051944 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4693528E-5 | 1.4693528E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.297096E-5 | 6.297096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.664401E-4 | 7.864248E-4 | 1.0260746 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.007641762 | 0.0076814564 | 1.0051944 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2046778E-5 | 9.863306E-6 | 9.863306E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1628023E-5 | 4.227076E-5 | 4.227076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.283899E-4 | 5.1454816E-4 | 5.3453783E-4 | 1.038849 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0062661595 | 0.0051358496 | 0.005155747 | 1.0038742 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2046778E-5 | 9.863306E-6 | 9.863306E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1628023E-5 | 4.227076E-5 | 4.227076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.283899E-4 | 5.1454816E-4 | 5.3453783E-4 | 1.038849 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0062661595 | 0.0051358496 | 0.005155747 | 1.0038742 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0244343E-5 | 7.880245E-6 | 7.880245E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.390359E-5 | 3.3772158E-5 | 3.3772158E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.343951E-4 | 4.1111914E-4 | 4.2111502E-4 | 1.0243138 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005331118 | 0.0041056173 | 0.0041155764 | 1.0024257 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.605408E-6 | 7.1782188E-6 | 7.1782188E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1165385E-5 | 3.076355E-5 | 3.076355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.010733E-4 | 3.7450218E-4 | 3.8449842E-4 | 1.0266922 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00499945 | 0.003740708 | 0.0037506707 | 1.0026633 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.60418E-6 | 6.124628E-6 | 6.124628E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.687454E-5 | 2.624825E-5 | 2.624825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.48855E-4 | 3.1954507E-4 | 3.295419E-4 | 1.0312845 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004479495 | 0.0031927684 | 0.0032027364 | 1.0031221 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.187994E-6 | 2.5634363E-6 | 2.5634363E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.223407E-5 | 1.0986131E-5 | 1.0986131E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7066618E-4 | 1.3375194E-4 | 1.3375194E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027033675 | 0.001337106 | 0.001337106 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.5302368E-6 | 2.3445486E-6 | 2.3445486E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9415156E-5 | 1.0048049E-5 | 1.0048049E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3635388E-4 | 1.223321E-4 | 1.223321E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023610266 | 0.0012230368 | 0.0012230368 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.431668E-6 | 1.688417E-6 | 1.688417E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4707065E-5 | 7.236073E-6 | 7.236073E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7904381E-4 | 8.809919E-5 | 8.809919E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017889962 | 8.8099187E-4 | 8.8099187E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2706755E-5 | 1.4253992E-5 | 1.4253992E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4456385E-5 | 6.108731E-5 | 6.108731E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.628048E-4 | 7.435208E-4 | 7.5351336E-4 | 1.0134395 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006608314 | 0.0074153324 | 0.0074550356 | 1.0053543 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.342579E-6 | 9.513847E-6 | 9.513847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5753423E-5 | 4.0773113E-5 | 4.0773113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3521097E-4 | 4.963213E-4 | 4.963213E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0043435963 | 0.004955655 | 0.0049656057 | 1.0020078 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.923899E-6 | 7.970106E-6 | 7.970106E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9673516E-5 | 3.4157256E-5 | 3.4157256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6121515E-4 | 4.158045E-4 | 4.158045E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003606286 | 0.004153545 | 0.0041635036 | 1.0023975 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.728396E-6 | 3.4269E-6 | 3.4269E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1693074E-5 | 1.4686637E-5 | 1.4686637E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4235388E-4 | 1.7879599E-4 | 1.7879599E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014226272 | 0.0017880002 | 0.0017880002 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.7136944E-6 | 3.4111924E-6 | 3.4111924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1630066E-5 | 1.4619319E-5 | 1.4619319E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4158686E-4 | 1.7797654E-4 | 1.7797654E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014149669 | 0.0017798188 | 0.0017798188 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.6971882E-6 | 3.3935364E-6 | 3.3935364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1559327E-5 | 1.4543651E-5 | 1.4543651E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4072572E-4 | 1.7705544E-4 | 1.7705544E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014063664 | 0.0017706224 | 0.0017706224 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.669092E-6 | 3.363555E-6 | 3.363555E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1438916E-5 | 1.4415161E-5 | 1.4415161E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3925991E-4 | 1.7549131E-4 | 1.7549131E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013917267 | 0.001755006 | 0.001755006 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.6408059E-6 | 3.333579E-6 | 3.333579E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1317691E-5 | 1.4286693E-5 | 1.4286693E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3778417E-4 | 1.7392747E-4 | 1.7392747E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013769877 | 0.0017393922 | 0.0017393922 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.1786943E-6 | 2.8570223E-6 | 2.8570223E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.337228E-6 | 1.2244328E-5 | 1.2244328E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1367482E-4 | 1.4906522E-4 | 1.4906522E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011361669 | 0.0014911176 | 0.0014911176 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.4411696E-6 | 2.0709717E-6 | 2.0709717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1764263E-6 | 8.875564E-6 | 8.875564E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.51954E-5 | 1.0805491E-4 | 1.0805491E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5169955E-4 | 0.0010814443 | 0.0010814443 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0073411E-6 | 1.5564677E-6 | 1.5564677E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.317169E-6 | 6.6705597E-6 | 6.6705597E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2560266E-5 | 8.121119E-5 | 8.121119E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2547833E-4 | 8.132244E-4 | 8.132244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.947104E-7 | 1.4324245E-6 | 1.4324245E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.834468E-6 | 6.1389483E-6 | 6.1389483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6683643E-5 | 7.4739284E-5 | 7.4739284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6673836E-4 | 7.485506E-4 | 7.485506E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.215166E-7 | 1.0131981E-6 | 1.0131981E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2350691E-6 | 4.342271E-6 | 4.342271E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7211627E-5 | 5.2865907E-5 | 5.2865907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7208295E-4 | 5.2993227E-4 | 5.2993227E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.4024807E-7 | 9.239302E-7 | 9.239302E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8867761E-6 | 3.9596953E-6 | 3.9596953E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2971257E-5 | 4.8208265E-5 | 4.8208265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2968883E-4 | 4.833774E-4 | 4.833774E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.6130905E-7 | 8.3776285E-7 | 8.3776285E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5484665E-6 | 3.5904075E-6 | 3.5904075E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8852415E-5 | 4.3712374E-5 | 4.3712374E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8850817E-4 | 4.384278E-4 | 4.384278E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.408184E-7 | 8.1268365E-7 | 8.1268365E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4606494E-6 | 3.4829256E-6 | 3.4829256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7783263E-5 | 4.2403834E-5 | 4.2403834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.778184E-4 | 4.2532923E-4 | 4.2532923E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.1428627E-7 | 7.7496304E-7 | 7.7496304E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3469405E-6 | 3.3212661E-6 | 3.3212661E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6398877E-5 | 4.0435705E-5 | 4.0435705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6397667E-4 | 4.0562678E-4 | 4.0562678E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7972785E-7 | 5.0916327E-7 | 5.0916327E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70262E-7 | 2.1821265E-6 | 2.1821265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377899E-6 | 2.6567079E-5 | 2.6567079E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377503E-5 | 2.6700232E-4 | 2.6700232E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.9230927E-8 | 1.2013399E-7 | 1.2013399E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1098968E-7 | 5.148599E-7 | 5.148599E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687964E-6 | 6.2684026E-6 | 6.2684026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687666E-5 | 6.312281E-5 | 6.312281E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.6805972E-9 | 4.117538E-9 | 4.117538E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5773987E-8 | 1.764659E-8 | 1.764659E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9204828E-7 | 2.1484722E-7 | 2.1484722E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.920481E-6 | 2.1967903E-6 | 2.1967903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Blue Cut
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2721058E-5 | 2.2721058E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.7372664E-5 | 1.07371685E-4 | 1.1026882 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011849254 | 0.0011949136 | 1.0084294 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.011791918 | 0.011831447 | 1.0033522 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2721058E-5 | 2.2721058E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.7372664E-5 | 1.07371685E-4 | 1.1026882 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011849254 | 0.0011949136 | 1.0084294 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.011791918 | 0.011831447 | 1.0033522 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2721058E-5 | 2.2721058E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.7372664E-5 | 1.07371685E-4 | 1.1026882 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011849254 | 0.0011949136 | 1.0084294 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.011791918 | 0.011831447 | 1.0033522 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2354273E-5 | 1.2354273E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2945878E-5 | 6.294535E-5 | 1.1888621 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.4443785E-4 | 6.544314E-4 | 1.0155073 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060417196 | 0.0064269383 | 0.0064567453 | 1.0046378 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2354273E-5 | 1.2354273E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2945878E-5 | 6.294535E-5 | 1.1888621 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.4443785E-4 | 6.544314E-4 | 1.0155073 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060417196 | 0.0064269383 | 0.0064567453 | 1.0046378 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.931326E-6 | 9.482143E-6 | 9.482143E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8276554E-5 | 4.063717E-5 | 5.0636765E-5 | 1.2460701 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6591737E-4 | 4.946544E-4 | 5.046495E-4 | 1.0202061 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046494175 | 0.0049364427 | 0.004966295 | 1.0060472 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.345353E-6 | 7.790717E-6 | 7.790717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1479703E-5 | 3.3388405E-5 | 4.3388074E-5 | 1.2994951 | 1.0E-5 | 3.83198E-4 | 4.0643604E-4 | 4.1643198E-4 | 1.0245941 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038253788 | 0.0040577184 | 0.0040875967 | 1.0073633 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.2775666E-6 | 6.655521E-6 | 6.655521E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.690358E-5 | 2.8523391E-5 | 2.8523391E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2750185E-4 | 3.4722447E-4 | 3.4722447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032701963 | 0.0034675605 | 0.003487491 | 1.0057478 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.5234095E-6 | 5.855438E-6 | 5.855438E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.367154E-5 | 2.5094532E-5 | 2.5094532E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8816288E-4 | 3.054904E-4 | 3.054904E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002877895 | 0.0030514204 | 0.00306139 | 1.0032672 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.7780054E-6 | 5.0657036E-6 | 5.0657036E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0477004E-5 | 2.1710017E-5 | 2.1710017E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4927902E-4 | 2.6429445E-4 | 2.6429445E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024899957 | 0.0026404934 | 0.002650467 | 1.0037771 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.883171E-6 | 4.1187186E-6 | 4.1187186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6642054E-5 | 1.7651571E-5 | 1.7651571E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0259817E-4 | 2.1489357E-4 | 2.1489357E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020241356 | 0.0021475335 | 0.0021575121 | 1.0046465 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.8358215E-6 | 3.0098872E-6 | 3.0098872E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2153464E-5 | 1.289949E-5 | 1.289949E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4795837E-4 | 1.5704655E-4 | 1.5704655E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001478599 | 0.001570001 | 0.0015799853 | 1.0063595 | 1.0E-5 |
San Clemente
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.165473E-5 | 8.165473E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.4990517E-4 | 3.4990517E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003480294 | 0.004252283 | 0.00426224 | 1.0023416 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03426291 | 0.04176442 | 0.041793168 | 1.0006883 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.165473E-5 | 8.165473E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.4990517E-4 | 3.4990517E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003480294 | 0.004252283 | 0.00426224 | 1.0023416 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03426291 | 0.04176442 | 0.041793168 | 1.0006883 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.9400576E-5 | 4.6460194E-5 | 4.6460194E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6884868E-4 | 1.9910025E-4 | 1.9910025E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020537945 | 0.0024214035 | 0.0024313794 | 1.0041199 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020349167 | 0.02395686 | 0.023976382 | 1.0008148 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2590255E-5 | 3.7934922E-5 | 3.7934922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3966505E-4 | 1.6256826E-4 | 1.6256826E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016990956 | 0.0019775024 | 0.0019874827 | 1.0050468 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01686163 | 0.019602852 | 0.019622458 | 1.0010003 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.9454652E-5 | 3.410278E-5 | 3.410278E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2622811E-4 | 1.4614675E-4 | 1.4614675E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015357438 | 0.0017779106 | 0.0017878929 | 1.0056146 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015251739 | 0.017640041 | 0.017659688 | 1.0011138 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.790836E-5 | 3.2252145E-5 | 3.2252145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1960178E-4 | 1.3821629E-4 | 1.3821629E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001455179 | 0.00168151 | 0.0016914932 | 1.005937 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014456868 | 0.016690884 | 0.016710551 | 1.0011783 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2492153E-5 | 2.576619E-5 | 2.576619E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.639138E-5 | 1.10421934E-4 | 1.10421934E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011729331 | 0.0013435727 | 0.0013535593 | 1.0074328 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011667615 | 0.0133562125 | 0.013375945 | 1.0014775 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9862755E-5 | 2.26694E-5 | 2.26694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.512331E-5 | 9.715101E-5 | 9.715101E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010358836 | 0.001182183 | 0.0011921712 | 1.008449 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010310682 | 0.011760236 | 0.01178 | 1.0016806 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6697575E-5 | 1.8980118E-5 | 1.8980118E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.155907E-5 | 8.134088E-5 | 8.134088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7088346E-4 | 9.898846E-4 | 9.998747E-4 | 1.0100921 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008674784 | 0.009855782 | 0.009875584 | 1.0020093 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5218415E-5 | 1.7271563E-5 | 1.7271563E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.522015E-5 | 7.4018935E-5 | 7.4018935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.93766E-4 | 9.008167E-4 | 9.108077E-4 | 1.011091 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007909367 | 0.008972598 | 0.008992419 | 1.0022091 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2392958E-5 | 1.403474E-5 | 1.403474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3111595E-5 | 6.014754E-5 | 6.014754E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4644177E-4 | 7.3205784E-4 | 7.420505E-4 | 1.0136502 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064456454 | 0.00729725 | 0.007307177 | 1.0013604 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0934128E-5 | 1.2376652E-5 | 1.2376652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6859706E-5 | 5.304176E-5 | 5.304176E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7036756E-4 | 6.455994E-4 | 6.5559294E-4 | 1.0154794 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0056890585 | 0.006437985 | 0.0064479206 | 1.0015433 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.5798805E-6 | 1.08462655E-5 | 1.08462655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1055984E-5 | 4.6483205E-5 | 4.6483205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9974193E-4 | 5.6579325E-4 | 5.757876E-4 | 1.0176643 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049861963 | 0.0056442516 | 0.0056541953 | 1.0017617 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.0167365E-6 | 9.08504E-6 | 9.08504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4356988E-5 | 3.8935344E-5 | 3.8935344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1821605E-4 | 4.739418E-4 | 4.8393704E-4 | 1.0210897 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041742986 | 0.004730013 | 0.004739966 | 1.0021042 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.9581017E-6 | 3.362806E-6 | 3.362806E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2677518E-5 | 1.4411974E-5 | 1.4411974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5433785E-4 | 1.754567E-4 | 1.8545495E-4 | 1.0569841 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001542307 | 0.0017536769 | 0.0017636594 | 1.0056924 | 1.0E-5 |
San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5378685E-5 | 3.5378685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5161413E-4 | 1.6161262E-4 | 1.0659469 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018443404 | 0.0018643035 | 1.010824 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.01904178 | 0.01907121 | 1.0015454 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5378685E-5 | 3.5378685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5161413E-4 | 1.6161262E-4 | 1.0659469 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018443404 | 0.0018643035 | 1.010824 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.01904178 | 0.01907121 | 1.0015454 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5378685E-5 | 3.5378685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5161413E-4 | 1.6161262E-4 | 1.0659469 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018443404 | 0.0018643035 | 1.010824 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.01904178 | 0.01907121 | 1.0015454 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5378685E-5 | 3.5378685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5161413E-4 | 1.6161262E-4 | 1.0659469 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018443404 | 0.0018643035 | 1.010824 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.01904178 | 0.01907121 | 1.0015454 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0577226E-5 | 3.525055E-5 | 3.525055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.738908E-4 | 1.5106506E-4 | 1.6106355E-4 | 1.0661867 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0018376679 | 0.0018576311 | 1.0108633 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020950472 | 0.01897633 | 0.01900576 | 1.0015509 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.0577226E-5 | 3.525055E-5 | 3.525055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.738908E-4 | 1.5106506E-4 | 1.6106355E-4 | 1.0661867 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0018376679 | 0.0018576311 | 1.0108633 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020950472 | 0.01897633 | 0.01900576 | 1.0015509 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.053861E-5 | 3.5195873E-5 | 3.5195873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7372532E-4 | 1.5083076E-4 | 1.6082925E-4 | 1.0662894 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021130538 | 0.0018348206 | 0.0018547839 | 1.0108802 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020930743 | 0.0189484 | 0.018977832 | 1.0015533 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.0516545E-5 | 3.5164936E-5 | 3.5164936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7363077E-4 | 1.5069818E-4 | 1.6069667E-4 | 1.0663478 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002111905 | 0.0018332094 | 0.0018531728 | 1.0108898 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020919468 | 0.018932592 | 0.018962024 | 1.0015546 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.049434E-5 | 3.5136487E-5 | 3.5136487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7353562E-4 | 1.5057628E-4 | 1.6057477E-4 | 1.0664015 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021107488 | 0.0018317278 | 0.0018516912 | 1.0108987 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020908125 | 0.018918 | 0.018947434 | 1.0015558 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.046386E-5 | 3.5099034E-5 | 3.5099034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.73405E-4 | 1.5041578E-4 | 1.6041427E-4 | 1.0664724 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021091616 | 0.001829777 | 0.0018497405 | 1.0109103 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020892553 | 0.018898766 | 0.0189282 | 1.0015574 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.036382E-5 | 3.4979555E-5 | 3.4979555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7297632E-4 | 1.4990378E-4 | 1.5990228E-4 | 1.0666995 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021039525 | 0.0018235539 | 0.0018435175 | 1.0109476 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02084144 | 0.01883736 | 0.018866796 | 1.0015626 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.0343282E-5 | 3.4958008E-5 | 3.4958008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7288832E-4 | 1.4981144E-4 | 1.5980995E-4 | 1.0667406 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002102883 | 0.0018224318 | 0.0018423953 | 1.0109544 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020830948 | 0.01882623 | 0.018855665 | 1.0015635 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.0257353E-5 | 3.4862383E-5 | 3.4862383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.725201E-4 | 1.4940168E-4 | 1.5940018E-4 | 1.0669236 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020984085 | 0.0018174511 | 0.0018374147 | 1.0109844 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020787042 | 0.018776909 | 0.018806346 | 1.0015677 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.9940667E-5 | 3.4689652E-5 | 3.4689652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7116306E-4 | 1.4866148E-4 | 1.5866E-4 | 1.0672569 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020819185 | 0.0018084543 | 0.0018284181 | 1.0110391 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020625217 | 0.018685345 | 0.018714784 | 1.0015756 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.9721202E-5 | 3.457485E-5 | 3.457485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7022261E-4 | 1.4816952E-4 | 1.5816804E-4 | 1.0674802 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020704903 | 0.0018024745 | 0.0018224384 | 1.0110759 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020513052 | 0.018624358 | 0.018653799 | 1.0015808 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.7036873E-5 | 3.3639877E-5 | 3.3639877E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5871979E-4 | 1.4416296E-4 | 1.5416152E-4 | 1.069356 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019307006 | 0.001753774 | 0.0017737389 | 1.011384 | 2.0E-5 | 0.019140124 | 0.018124605 | 0.01815406 | 1.0016252 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.2940967E-5 | 3.1412666E-5 | 3.1412666E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4116794E-4 | 1.3461878E-4 | 1.4461743E-4 | 1.0742738 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017173645 | 0.0016377537 | 0.001657721 | 1.0121919 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01704153 | 0.016953425 | 0.016982917 | 1.0017395 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.8236149E-5 | 2.797597E-5 | 2.797597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2100645E-4 | 1.19891505E-4 | 1.2989031E-4 | 1.0833987 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014722579 | 0.0014587028 | 0.0014786737 | 1.0136908 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014625421 | 0.015162788 | 0.015192334 | 1.0019485 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.4329287E-5 | 2.529604E-5 | 2.529604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.042642E-4 | 1.084071E-4 | 1.1840601E-4 | 1.0922348 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012686774 | 0.0013190581 | 0.0013390317 | 1.0151423 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012614589 | 0.013758254 | 0.013787841 | 1.0021505 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.9370926E-5 | 2.0501257E-5 | 2.0501257E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.301561E-5 | 8.7859575E-5 | 9.78587E-5 | 1.113808 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010102465 | 0.0010691662 | 0.0010891448 | 1.0186862 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0100566605 | 0.011240751 | 0.011270413 | 1.0026388 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5583017E-5 | 1.595322E-5 | 1.595322E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6782646E-5 | 6.8369154E-5 | 7.8368466E-5 | 1.1462548 | 1.0E-5 | 8.127754E-4 | 8.3207723E-4 | 8.5206056E-4 | 1.0240163 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008098091 | 0.0088167135 | 0.008836537 | 1.0022484 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0024873E-5 | 8.330899E-6 | 8.330899E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2963035E-5 | 3.5703364E-5 | 4.5703007E-5 | 1.2800757 | 1.0E-5 | 5.229494E-4 | 4.3460226E-4 | 4.445979E-4 | 1.0229995 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052172043 | 0.004673967 | 0.00468392 | 1.0021296 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.142796E-6 | 1.5718603E-6 | 1.5718603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.775472E-5 | 6.7365268E-6 | 6.7365268E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1614227E-4 | 8.201416E-5 | 8.201416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021593217 | 9.51706E-4 | 9.51706E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 3.6413377E-7 | 3.6413377E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.5605724E-6 | 1.5605724E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 1.8999808E-5 | 1.8999808E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.2906638E-4 | 2.2906638E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez River
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7210348E-5 | 1.7210348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.375675E-5 | 8.3756015E-5 | 1.1355708 | 1.0E-5 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.9765404E-4 | 9.176361E-4 | 1.0222603 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008943831 | 0.008973562 | 1.0033243 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7210348E-5 | 1.7210348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.375675E-5 | 8.3756015E-5 | 1.1355708 | 1.0E-5 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.9765404E-4 | 9.176361E-4 | 1.0222603 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008943831 | 0.008973562 | 1.0033243 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7210348E-5 | 1.7210348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.375675E-5 | 8.3756015E-5 | 1.1355708 | 1.0E-5 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.9765404E-4 | 9.176361E-4 | 1.0222603 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008943831 | 0.008973562 | 1.0033243 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.736976E-6 | 1.0122819E-5 | 1.0122819E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.172923E-5 | 4.3382817E-5 | 4.3382817E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0793495E-4 | 5.280628E-4 | 5.3805753E-4 | 1.0189271 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005067755 | 0.005268586 | 0.0052884803 | 1.0037761 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.736976E-6 | 1.0122819E-5 | 1.0122819E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.172923E-5 | 4.3382817E-5 | 4.3382817E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0793495E-4 | 5.280628E-4 | 5.3805753E-4 | 1.0189271 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005067755 | 0.005268586 | 0.0052884803 | 1.0037761 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.081964E-6 | 7.330251E-6 | 7.330251E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.035092E-5 | 3.141499E-5 | 3.141499E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.694598E-4 | 3.8241196E-4 | 3.9240814E-4 | 1.0261399 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036884616 | 0.003817701 | 0.003827663 | 1.0026094 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.873247E-6 | 6.0600373E-6 | 6.0600373E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5170815E-5 | 2.5971334E-5 | 2.5971334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.064116E-4 | 3.16156E-4 | 3.261528E-4 | 1.0316199 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030598943 | 0.0031571495 | 0.003167118 | 1.0031574 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.973277E-6 | 5.116153E-6 | 5.116153E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1313872E-5 | 2.1926187E-5 | 2.1926187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5946548E-4 | 2.669191E-4 | 2.669191E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025916274 | 0.002666034 | 0.002666034 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 4.396492E-6 | 4.511202E-6 | 4.511202E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.884197E-5 | 1.9333582E-5 | 1.9333582E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2937685E-4 | 2.3536127E-4 | 2.3536127E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022914023 | 0.0023511555 | 0.0023511555 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.5255632E-6 | 3.60152E-6 | 3.60152E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5109469E-5 | 1.5434995E-5 | 1.5434995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8394225E-4 | 1.8790501E-4 | 1.8790501E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018379007 | 0.0018774775 | 0.0018774775 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.211603E-6 | 3.2738274E-6 | 3.2738274E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.376394E-5 | 1.4030614E-5 | 1.4030614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6756308E-4 | 1.7080948E-4 | 1.7080948E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016743679 | 0.001706796 | 0.001706796 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.5094619E-6 | 2.541064E-6 | 2.541064E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0754793E-5 | 1.08902295E-5 | 1.08902295E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3093173E-4 | 1.3258054E-4 | 1.3258054E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013085462 | 0.0013250203 | 0.0013250203 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.0515774E-6 | 2.0620607E-6 | 2.0620607E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.792445E-6 | 8.837373E-6 | 8.837373E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0704277E-4 | 1.07589745E-4 | 1.07589745E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010699122 | 0.001075381 | 0.001075381 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.6845745E-6 | 1.6774967E-6 | 1.6774967E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.219585E-6 | 7.189252E-6 | 7.189252E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.78949E-5 | 8.752565E-5 | 8.752565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7860145E-4 | 8.7491464E-4 | 8.7491464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.3600285E-6 | 1.3334225E-6 | 1.3334225E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.82868E-6 | 5.7146553E-6 | 5.7146553E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.096187E-5 | 6.957373E-5 | 6.957373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0939213E-4 | 6.955217E-4 | 6.955217E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.735342E-7 | 9.290754E-7 | 9.290754E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.172283E-6 | 3.9817455E-6 | 3.9817455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.079636E-5 | 4.847669E-5 | 4.847669E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0784746E-4 | 4.8466286E-4 | 4.8466286E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.067187E-7 | 4.778878E-7 | 4.778878E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1716498E-6 | 2.048089E-6 | 2.048089E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6439517E-5 | 2.4935207E-5 | 2.4935207E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.643637E-4 | 2.4932483E-4 | 2.4932483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.769089E-7 | 2.5760707E-7 | 2.5760707E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1867519E-6 | 1.1040298E-6 | 1.1040298E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4448608E-5 | 1.344148E-5 | 1.344148E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.444767E-4 | 1.3440671E-4 | 1.3440671E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.7044663E-7 | 1.5450073E-7 | 1.5450073E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3048534E-7 | 6.621458E-7 | 6.621458E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.893623E-6 | 8.0615955E-6 | 8.0615955E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.893267E-5 | 8.061305E-5 | 8.061305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.8344287E-8 | 4.0913964E-8 | 4.0913964E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0718979E-7 | 1.7534555E-7 | 1.7534555E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5225327E-6 | 2.1348299E-6 | 2.1348299E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5225041E-5 | 2.1348098E-5 | 2.1348098E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hayward (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.5737807E-4 | 3.5737807E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015307313 | 0.0015307313 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00939654 | 0.018479811 | 0.018479811 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.090090066 | 0.16679302 | 0.16681802 | 1.0001498 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.5737807E-4 | 3.5737807E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015307313 | 0.0015307313 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00939654 | 0.018479811 | 0.018479811 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.090090066 | 0.16679302 | 0.16681802 | 1.0001498 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.5737807E-4 | 3.5737807E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015307313 | 0.0015307313 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00939654 | 0.018479811 | 0.018479811 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.090090066 | 0.16679302 | 0.16681802 | 1.0001498 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7322872E-4 | 3.4294018E-4 | 3.4294018E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4219756E-4 | 0.0014689255 | 0.0014689255 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0089988755 | 0.01773979 | 0.01773979 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.08643075 | 0.1607277 | 0.16075288 | 1.0001566 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6334097E-4 | 3.237489E-4 | 3.237489E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.998449E-4 | 0.0013867662 | 0.0013867662 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008487372 | 0.016755184 | 0.016755184 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.081704415 | 0.15263192 | 0.15265734 | 1.0001665 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5600289E-4 | 3.1048892E-4 | 3.1048892E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.684125E-4 | 0.0013299965 | 0.0013299965 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008107598 | 0.016074376 | 0.016074376 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.078181036 | 0.1469067 | 0.14693229 | 1.0001742 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4046066E-4 | 2.806154E-4 | 2.806154E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.018354E-4 | 0.00120209 | 0.00120209 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0073027555 | 0.014538736 | 0.014538736 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.07067384 | 0.13398944 | 0.13401541 | 1.000194 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.14696966E-4 | 2.3297175E-4 | 2.3297175E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.914658E-4 | 9.980734E-4 | 9.980734E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059671924 | 0.012084905 | 0.012084905 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.058094822 | 0.112815894 | 0.112833634 | 1.0001572 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.3874296E-5 | 1.888238E-4 | 1.888238E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0225635E-4 | 8.089976E-4 | 8.089976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048864787 | 0.009805799 | 0.009805799 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.047804173 | 0.09268196 | 0.09269103 | 1.0000979 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.551852E-5 | 1.07419175E-4 | 1.07419175E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3791482E-4 | 4.6028727E-4 | 4.6028727E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028927654 | 0.0055897166 | 0.0055897166 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.028553981 | 0.054303985 | 0.054313444 | 1.0001742 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.2662363E-5 | 8.2562176E-5 | 8.2562176E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8282588E-4 | 3.537903E-4 | 3.537903E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022236328 | 0.004298963 | 0.004298963 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022015138 | 0.04211135 | 0.042120926 | 1.0002275 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.305886E-5 | 6.309924E-5 | 6.309924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4167312E-4 | 2.703974E-4 | 2.703974E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017235056 | 0.0032871375 | 0.0032871375 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017101998 | 0.03249232 | 0.032501996 | 1.0002978 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.9856887E-5 | 5.709008E-5 | 5.709008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2795182E-4 | 2.4464892E-4 | 2.4464892E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015567001 | 0.002974549 | 0.002974549 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015458403 | 0.029491337 | 0.029501043 | 1.0003291 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.4559737E-5 | 4.6054534E-5 | 4.6054534E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0525176E-4 | 1.9736172E-4 | 1.9736172E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012806869 | 0.002400244 | 0.002400244 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012733313 | 0.023889389 | 0.02389915 | 1.0004086 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.9002231E-5 | 3.510261E-5 | 3.510261E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.143559E-5 | 1.5043114E-4 | 1.5043114E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.910273E-4 | 0.0018299705 | 0.0018299705 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009866194 | 0.018285098 | 0.018285098 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2783333E-5 | 2.3370489E-5 | 2.3370489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4784563E-5 | 1.0015543E-4 | 1.0015543E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.667979E-4 | 0.001218716 | 0.001218716 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006648007 | 0.0122309 | 0.0122309 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.8149627E-6 | 8.902898E-6 | 8.902898E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.063539E-5 | 3.8154725E-5 | 3.8154725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5120692E-4 | 4.6443602E-4 | 4.6443602E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025092314 | 0.004689847 | 0.004689847 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.0838227E-7 | 1.2096885E-6 | 1.2096885E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6073499E-6 | 5.184369E-6 | 5.184369E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.174402E-5 | 6.311787E-5 | 6.311787E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1739488E-4 | 6.549041E-4 | 6.549041E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.5542808E-7 | 9.827379E-7 | 9.827379E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9518332E-6 | 4.2117267E-6 | 4.2117267E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.376331E-5 | 5.1276573E-5 | 5.1276573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3760769E-4 | 5.3384E-4 | 5.3384E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.3016747E-7 | 7.4123176E-7 | 7.4123176E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4150027E-6 | 3.1767038E-6 | 3.1767038E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7227521E-5 | 3.8675684E-5 | 3.8675684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7226185E-4 | 4.005496E-4 | 4.005496E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.347038E-7 | 5.489701E-7 | 5.489701E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0058731E-6 | 2.3527266E-6 | 2.3527266E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2246436E-5 | 2.8644074E-5 | 2.8644074E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2245761E-4 | 2.944208E-4 | 2.944208E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.18822804E-7 | 2.614014E-7 | 2.614014E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.092405E-7 | 1.1202911E-6 | 1.1202911E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1999854E-6 | 1.3639461E-5 | 1.3639461E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.199812E-5 | 1.3956928E-4 | 1.3956928E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough north alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.329252E-5 | 8.822942E-5 | 8.822942E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.14073E-4 | 3.7807427E-4 | 3.7807427E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038171355 | 0.004593918 | 0.0046138265 | 1.0043336 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03752231 | 0.045053475 | 0.045082126 | 1.0006359 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.7940346E-5 | 4.4892742E-5 | 4.4892742E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6259136E-4 | 1.923838E-4 | 1.923838E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019777524 | 0.0023398334 | 0.0023597865 | 1.0085276 | 2.0E-5 | 0.019602431 | 0.023160659 | 0.023180196 | 1.0008435 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.330184E-5 | 3.330184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4271447E-4 | 1.4271447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014935739 | 0.0017361855 | 0.0017561507 | 1.0114995 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0148357535 | 0.017228872 | 0.017248528 | 1.0011408 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.330184E-5 | 3.330184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4271447E-4 | 1.4271447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014935739 | 0.0017361855 | 0.0017561507 | 1.0114995 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0148357535 | 0.017228872 | 0.017248528 | 1.0011408 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.2204576E-5 | 2.5451813E-5 | 2.5451813E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5159E-5 | 1.0907468E-4 | 1.0907468E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001157945 | 0.0013271846 | 0.0013471581 | 1.0150495 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011519298 | 0.0131937545 | 0.013213491 | 1.0014958 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.1004838E-5 | 2.4027939E-5 | 2.4027939E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0017624E-5 | 1.0297285E-4 | 1.0297285E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010954136 | 0.0012529823 | 0.0012729573 | 1.0159419 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010900296 | 0.012460262 | 0.012480012 | 1.0015851 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.820557E-5 | 2.0707454E-5 | 2.0707454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.802154E-5 | 8.874325E-5 | 8.874325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4949827E-4 | 0.0010799188 | 0.0010998972 | 1.0184999 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009454516 | 0.010747381 | 0.010767166 | 1.001841 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.5884485E-5 | 1.7985873E-5 | 1.7985873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.807459E-5 | 7.708005E-5 | 7.708005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.284929E-4 | 9.380483E-4 | 9.5802953E-4 | 1.0213009 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008254109 | 0.009341254 | 0.009361067 | 1.0021211 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.4331171E-5 | 1.6203043E-5 | 1.6203043E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.141786E-5 | 6.9439775E-5 | 6.9439775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4750587E-4 | 8.4510335E-4 | 8.5509487E-4 | 1.0118228 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074499645 | 0.008419163 | 0.008429078 | 1.0011778 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2574203E-5 | 1.4207558E-5 | 1.4207558E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3888325E-5 | 6.0888124E-5 | 6.0888124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.558929E-4 | 7.4106216E-4 | 7.5105473E-4 | 1.0134841 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0065396037 | 0.007386096 | 0.007396022 | 1.0013438 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0883844E-5 | 1.2290745E-5 | 1.2290745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.664421E-5 | 5.2673564E-5 | 5.2673564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.677453E-4 | 6.411129E-4 | 6.5110653E-4 | 1.0155879 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00566297 | 0.006392762 | 0.006402698 | 1.0015543 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.393088E-6 | 1.0608303E-5 | 1.0608303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.025547E-5 | 4.5463363E-5 | 4.5463363E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.900001E-4 | 5.533767E-4 | 5.633711E-4 | 1.0180609 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048892107 | 0.0055200835 | 0.005530028 | 1.0018016 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.190791E-6 | 9.259755E-6 | 9.259755E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.510292E-5 | 3.9684066E-5 | 3.9684066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2729423E-4 | 4.8304707E-4 | 4.9304223E-4 | 1.0206919 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042647356 | 0.004820051 | 0.004830003 | 1.0020647 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.268162E-6 | 7.0905844E-6 | 7.0905844E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6863276E-5 | 3.0387868E-5 | 3.0387868E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2701128E-4 | 3.699099E-4 | 3.7990618E-4 | 1.0270236 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003265305 | 0.0036929876 | 0.0037029507 | 1.0026978 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.985186E-6 | 5.6433773E-6 | 5.6433773E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1364907E-5 | 2.418568E-5 | 2.418568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600867E-4 | 2.9442125E-4 | 3.0441832E-4 | 1.033955 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002597825 | 0.0029403532 | 0.002950324 | 1.0033909 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.9699116E-6 | 1.9699116E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.442453E-6 | 8.442453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 1.02782236E-4 | 1.02782236E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1216754E-4 | 0.001027369 | 0.001027369 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7534346E-7 | 1.7534346E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.5147176E-7 | 7.5147176E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.149132E-6 | 9.149132E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.148775E-5 | 9.148775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.4353277E-5 | 7.052115E-5 | 7.052115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3292181E-4 | 3.021991E-4 | 3.1219606E-4 | 1.0330808 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028321352 | 0.003673061 | 0.0036830243 | 1.0027125 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02796312 | 0.036125865 | 0.03615478 | 1.0008004 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5578287E-5 | 5.823685E-5 | 5.823685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.953209E-4 | 2.4956337E-4 | 2.5956088E-4 | 1.0400599 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023754383 | 0.0030341977 | 0.0030441673 | 1.0032858 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023502063 | 0.02992796 | 0.029947361 | 1.0006483 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8536782E-5 | 3.4744993E-5 | 3.4744993E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2229476E-4 | 1.4889833E-4 | 1.5889683E-4 | 1.0671499 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014879217 | 0.0018113098 | 0.0018212916 | 1.0055109 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014779986 | 0.01796267 | 0.01797249 | 1.0005467 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3698774E-5 | 2.8219894E-5 | 2.8219894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.01562226E-4 | 1.20937126E-4 | 1.3093592E-4 | 1.0826776 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012358186 | 0.0014714011 | 0.0014813864 | 1.0067862 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012289686 | 0.014614869 | 0.014624722 | 1.0006742 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9191197E-5 | 2.2127746E-5 | 2.2127746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2245395E-5 | 9.482999E-5 | 9.482999E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010008777 | 0.0011539442 | 0.0011539442 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009963818 | 0.011479508 | 0.011479508 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.5203241E-5 | 1.6804488E-5 | 1.6804488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5155116E-5 | 7.201743E-5 | 7.201743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9297484E-4 | 8.764734E-4 | 8.764734E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007901512 | 0.008731278 | 0.008731278 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.0984925E-5 | 1.1244291E-5 | 1.1244291E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.70774E-5 | 4.818895E-5 | 4.818895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.730166E-4 | 5.8654643E-4 | 5.8654643E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005715413 | 0.0058503742 | 0.0058503742 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.134616E-6 | 9.021186E-6 | 9.021186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9147766E-5 | 3.8661667E-5 | 3.8661667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7651984E-4 | 4.706065E-4 | 4.706065E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004754993 | 0.0046963445 | 0.0046963445 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.785589E-6 | 7.453E-6 | 7.453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3366385E-5 | 3.1941046E-5 | 3.1941046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0616E-4 | 3.888149E-4 | 3.888149E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040541845 | 0.0038815502 | 0.0038815502 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.579095E-6 | 4.8991747E-6 | 4.8991747E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3910188E-5 | 2.0996302E-5 | 2.0996302E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9106764E-4 | 2.5560136E-4 | 2.5560136E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002906867 | 0.0025532113 | 0.0025532113 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.6816688E-6 | 1.5217754E-6 | 1.5217754E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1492816E-5 | 6.5218787E-6 | 6.5218787E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3991605E-4 | 7.940107E-5 | 7.940107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013982799 | 7.9373573E-4 | 7.9373573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.4545125E-7 | 7.4545125E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.1947873E-6 | 3.1947873E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.8895883E-5 | 3.8895883E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.888949E-4 | 3.888949E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.4545125E-7 | 7.4545125E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.1947873E-6 | 3.1947873E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.8895883E-5 | 3.8895883E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.888949E-4 | 3.888949E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7087556E-6 | 6.579468E-7 | 6.579468E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3232177E-6 | 2.8197692E-6 | 2.8197692E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.915652E-5 | 3.433019E-5 | 3.433019E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9120766E-4 | 3.432529E-4 | 3.432529E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.3804846E-6 | 6.074379E-7 | 6.074379E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.6033028E-6 | 2.6033028E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.169479E-5 | 3.169479E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.1690675E-4 | 3.1690675E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3804846E-6 | 6.074379E-7 | 6.074379E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.6033028E-6 | 2.6033028E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.169479E-5 | 3.169479E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.1690675E-4 | 3.1690675E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Robinson Creek
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3705327E-5 | 1.5286649E-5 | 1.5286649E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8735794E-5 | 6.551421E-5 | 6.551421E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1487366E-4 | 7.976355E-4 | 8.076275E-4 | 1.0125271 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0071257832 | 0.007976355 | 0.008006115 | 1.0037311 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3705327E-5 | 1.5286649E-5 | 1.5286649E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8735794E-5 | 6.551421E-5 | 6.551421E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1487366E-4 | 7.976355E-4 | 8.076275E-4 | 1.0125271 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0071257832 | 0.007976355 | 0.008006115 | 1.0037311 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.3705327E-5 | 1.5286649E-5 | 1.5286649E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8735794E-5 | 6.551421E-5 | 6.551421E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1487366E-4 | 7.976355E-4 | 8.076275E-4 | 1.0125271 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0071257832 | 0.007976355 | 0.008006115 | 1.0037311 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3705327E-5 | 1.5286649E-5 | 1.5286649E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8735794E-5 | 6.551421E-5 | 6.551421E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1487366E-4 | 7.976355E-4 | 8.076275E-4 | 1.0125271 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0071257832 | 0.007976355 | 0.008006115 | 1.0037311 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3705327E-5 | 1.5286649E-5 | 1.5286649E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8735794E-5 | 6.551421E-5 | 6.551421E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1487366E-4 | 7.976355E-4 | 8.076275E-4 | 1.0125271 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0071257832 | 0.007976355 | 0.008006115 | 1.0037311 | 3.0E-5 |
Great Valley 03a Dunnigan Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6591328E-5 | 1.8109491E-5 | 1.8109491E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.110376E-5 | 7.761019E-5 | 7.761019E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6534437E-4 | 9.4456354E-4 | 9.5455407E-4 | 1.0105768 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008619824 | 0.00941232 | 0.009442038 | 1.0031573 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.041125E-6 | 8.770465E-6 | 8.770465E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4461507E-5 | 3.7587277E-5 | 3.7587277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.194881E-4 | 4.5754932E-4 | 4.5754932E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004186971 | 0.0045680706 | 0.004578025 | 1.0021791 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.2807004E-6 | 3.5798716E-6 | 3.5798716E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4060069E-5 | 1.534224E-5 | 1.534224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7116789E-4 | 1.8677991E-4 | 1.8677991E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017103611 | 0.0018666374 | 0.0018666374 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.9339366E-6 | 2.1105595E-6 | 2.1105595E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.288273E-6 | 9.0452395E-6 | 9.0452395E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.00905054E-4 | 1.1012308E-4 | 1.1012308E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010085925 | 0.0011009651 | 0.0011009651 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.3142635E-6 | 1.434108E-6 | 1.434108E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6325457E-6 | 6.146177E-6 | 6.146177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.857408E-5 | 7.48297E-5 | 7.48297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8552926E-4 | 7.48297E-4 | 7.48297E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4093437E-5 | 2.4093437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.0325407E-4 | 1.0325407E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015767008 | 0.001256494 | 0.001256494 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015655609 | 0.012503923 | 0.012533547 | 1.0023693 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4093437E-5 | 2.4093437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.0325407E-4 | 1.0325407E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015767008 | 0.001256494 | 0.001256494 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015655609 | 0.012503923 | 0.012533547 | 1.0023693 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4093437E-5 | 2.4093437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.0325407E-4 | 1.0325407E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015767008 | 0.001256494 | 0.001256494 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015655609 | 0.012503923 | 0.012533547 | 1.0023693 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.36391955E-5 | 1.36391955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.8452475E-5 | 5.8452475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010690069 | 7.114428E-4 | 7.114428E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01063879 | 0.007093278 | 0.007103207 | 1.0013998 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.36391955E-5 | 1.36391955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.8452475E-5 | 5.8452475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010690069 | 7.114428E-4 | 7.114428E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01063879 | 0.007093278 | 0.007103207 | 1.0013998 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7316182E-5 | 1.0477795E-5 | 1.0477795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.42101E-5 | 4.4904118E-5 | 4.4904118E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0313336E-4 | 5.465805E-4 | 5.465805E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008994718 | 0.005453357 | 0.0054633026 | 1.0018238 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5251077E-5 | 8.414727E-6 | 8.414727E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.536012E-5 | 3.606266E-5 | 3.606266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9546886E-4 | 4.3898163E-4 | 4.3898163E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007926274 | 0.0043818625 | 0.0043918183 | 1.0022721 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2997425E-5 | 6.411635E-6 | 6.411635E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.570206E-5 | 2.747817E-5 | 2.747817E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7796157E-4 | 3.3450004E-4 | 3.3450004E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067589693 | 0.0033404257 | 0.0033503922 | 1.0029837 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.035386E-5 | 4.3335426E-6 | 4.3335426E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.437293E-5 | 1.8572198E-5 | 1.8572198E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.401065E-4 | 2.2609392E-4 | 2.2609392E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053879567 | 0.0022587257 | 0.0022687032 | 1.0044173 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.816252E-6 | 3.5809467E-6 | 3.5809467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.778339E-5 | 1.5346828E-5 | 1.5346828E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5991567E-4 | 1.868322E-4 | 1.868322E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00458965 | 0.0018668097 | 0.001876791 | 1.0053468 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.8232207E-6 | 2.5677361E-6 | 2.5677361E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9242048E-5 | 1.10045385E-5 | 1.10045385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5596377E-4 | 1.3397234E-4 | 1.3397234E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035539411 | 0.0013389467 | 0.0013489333 | 1.0074586 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.837013E-6 | 2.2275844E-6 | 2.2275844E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.501553E-5 | 9.546758E-6 | 9.546758E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.045215E-4 | 1.1622586E-4 | 1.1622586E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030410455 | 0.0011616799 | 0.0011716682 | 1.0085982 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.278052E-6 | 1.6277178E-6 | 1.6277178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.833438E-5 | 6.975916E-6 | 6.975916E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.231982E-4 | 8.49287E-5 | 8.49287E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022297418 | 8.489857E-4 | 8.589772E-4 | 1.0117688 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.8803692E-6 | 8.3455564E-7 | 8.3455564E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0587E-6 | 3.576663E-6 | 3.576663E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.811026E-5 | 4.3545147E-5 | 4.3545147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.806695E-4 | 4.353806E-4 | 4.353806E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.1041146E-5 | 1.1041146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.7318637E-5 | 4.7318637E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.7600474E-4 | 5.7600474E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054756533 | 0.005750284 | 0.0057801115 | 1.0051872 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.1041146E-5 | 1.1041146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.7318637E-5 | 4.7318637E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.7600474E-4 | 5.7600474E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054756533 | 0.005750284 | 0.0057801115 | 1.0051872 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2083034E-6 | 2.2083034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.464146E-6 | 9.464146E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1522409E-4 | 1.1522409E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011520549 | 0.0011520549 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2083034E-6 | 2.2083034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.464146E-6 | 9.464146E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1522409E-4 | 1.1522409E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011520549 | 0.0011520549 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.7259927E-6 | 1.8109598E-6 | 1.8109598E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3970905E-6 | 7.761256E-6 | 7.761256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.005586E-5 | 9.449329E-5 | 9.449329E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.001937E-4 | 9.449329E-4 | 9.449329E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Dry Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4395895E-6 | 6.4395895E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7598038E-5 | 2.7598038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3597022E-4 | 3.4596687E-4 | 1.0297545 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.003356185 | 0.0033860845 | 1.0089087 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4395895E-6 | 6.4395895E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7598038E-5 | 2.7598038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3597022E-4 | 3.4596687E-4 | 1.0297545 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.003356185 | 0.0033860845 | 1.0089087 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4395895E-6 | 6.4395895E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7598038E-5 | 2.7598038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3597022E-4 | 3.4596687E-4 | 1.0297545 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.003356185 | 0.0033860845 | 1.0089087 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4395895E-6 | 6.4395895E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7598038E-5 | 2.7598038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3597022E-4 | 3.4596687E-4 | 1.0297545 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.003356185 | 0.0033860845 | 1.0089087 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4395895E-6 | 6.4395895E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7598038E-5 | 2.7598038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3597022E-4 | 3.4596687E-4 | 1.0297545 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.003356185 | 0.0033860845 | 1.0089087 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.8528623E-6 | 2.9522637E-6 | 2.9522637E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.22264955E-5 | 1.26525465E-5 | 1.26525465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4884741E-4 | 1.5404257E-4 | 1.5404257E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014874774 | 0.0015402114 | 0.001550196 | 1.0064826 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.8528623E-6 | 2.9522637E-6 | 2.9522637E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.22264955E-5 | 1.26525465E-5 | 1.26525465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4884741E-4 | 1.5404257E-4 | 1.5404257E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014874774 | 0.0015402114 | 0.001550196 | 1.0064826 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.541E-6 | 2.6294429E-6 | 2.6294429E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0889954E-5 | 1.126904E-5 | 1.126904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3257713E-4 | 1.3720056E-4 | 1.3720056E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013249806 | 0.0013720057 | 0.0013819919 | 1.0072786 | 1.0E-5 |
San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.6789976E-6 | 6.6789976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8623961E-5 | 3.8623675E-5 | 1.3493477 | 1.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4844107E-4 | 3.584376E-4 | 1.0286893 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035591815 | 0.0035890748 | 1.0083989 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.6789976E-6 | 6.6789976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8623961E-5 | 3.8623675E-5 | 1.3493477 | 1.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4844107E-4 | 3.584376E-4 | 1.0286893 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035591815 | 0.0035890748 | 1.0083989 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.6789976E-6 | 6.6789976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8623961E-5 | 3.8623675E-5 | 1.3493477 | 1.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4844107E-4 | 3.584376E-4 | 1.0286893 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035591815 | 0.0035890748 | 1.0083989 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.6789976E-6 | 6.6789976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8623961E-5 | 3.8623675E-5 | 1.3493477 | 1.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4844107E-4 | 3.584376E-4 | 1.0286893 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035591815 | 0.0035890748 | 1.0083989 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.6789976E-6 | 6.6789976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8623961E-5 | 3.8623675E-5 | 1.3493477 | 1.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4844107E-4 | 3.584376E-4 | 1.0286893 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035591815 | 0.0035890748 | 1.0083989 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.6561875E-6 | 6.6392136E-6 | 6.6392136E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8526205E-5 | 2.8453464E-5 | 3.8453178E-5 | 1.351441 | 1.0E-5 | 3.472512E-4 | 3.4636594E-4 | 3.5636246E-4 | 1.0288612 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034670907 | 0.0035384963 | 0.0035683902 | 1.0084481 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.6561875E-6 | 6.6392136E-6 | 6.6392136E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8526205E-5 | 2.8453464E-5 | 3.8453178E-5 | 1.351441 | 1.0E-5 | 3.472512E-4 | 3.4636594E-4 | 3.5636246E-4 | 1.0288612 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034670907 | 0.0035384963 | 0.0035683902 | 1.0084481 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.5802237E-6 | 6.558386E-6 | 6.558386E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8200653E-5 | 2.8107066E-5 | 3.8106784E-5 | 1.3557724 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4328885E-4 | 3.4214987E-4 | 3.5214645E-4 | 1.029217 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034275902 | 0.0034964688 | 0.0035263638 | 1.00855 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.575632E-6 | 6.5528743E-6 | 6.5528743E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8180975E-5 | 2.8083445E-5 | 3.8083166E-5 | 1.3560717 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4304935E-4 | 3.4186238E-4 | 3.5185897E-4 | 1.0292416 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034252026 | 0.0034936029 | 0.003523498 | 1.0085571 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.570433E-6 | 6.5442655E-6 | 6.5442655E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8158694E-5 | 2.8046552E-5 | 3.804627E-5 | 1.3565401 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4277816E-4 | 3.4141334E-4 | 3.5140992E-4 | 1.0292801 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034224992 | 0.0034891267 | 0.003519022 | 1.0085682 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.5643826E-6 | 6.5343834E-6 | 6.5343834E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8132765E-5 | 2.80042E-5 | 3.800392E-5 | 1.3570793 | 1.0E-5 | 3.424626E-4 | 3.4089785E-4 | 3.5089446E-4 | 1.0293243 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034193532 | 0.003483988 | 0.0035138836 | 1.0085808 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.557402E-6 | 6.523092E-6 | 6.523092E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8102848E-5 | 2.7955808E-5 | 3.7955528E-5 | 1.3576974 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4209844E-4 | 3.4030888E-4 | 3.503055E-4 | 1.0293751 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034157229 | 0.0034781178 | 0.0035080134 | 1.0085953 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.546394E-6 | 6.5050517E-6 | 6.5050517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8055672E-5 | 2.7878496E-5 | 3.7878217E-5 | 1.3586894 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4152428E-4 | 3.393679E-4 | 3.493645E-4 | 1.0294565 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034099987 | 0.0034687414 | 0.0034986374 | 1.0086187 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.5364216E-6 | 6.4858255E-6 | 6.4858255E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8012933E-5 | 2.7796099E-5 | 3.779582E-5 | 1.3597528 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4100408E-4 | 3.3836503E-4 | 3.4836165E-4 | 1.0295439 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003404813 | 0.0034587544 | 0.0034886505 | 1.0086436 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.5269523E-6 | 6.466898E-6 | 6.466898E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7972354E-5 | 2.7714983E-5 | 3.7714708E-5 | 1.3608056 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4051016E-4 | 3.3737774E-4 | 3.473744E-4 | 1.0296304 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033998888 | 0.0034489264 | 0.003478823 | 1.0086683 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.5111835E-6 | 6.4431574E-6 | 6.4431574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7904773E-5 | 2.761324E-5 | 3.761296E-5 | 1.3621352 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3968766E-4 | 3.361394E-4 | 3.4613602E-4 | 1.0297396 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033916887 | 0.0034365912 | 0.003466488 | 1.0086995 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.4768806E-6 | 6.402243E-6 | 6.402243E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7757764E-5 | 2.7437896E-5 | 3.743762E-5 | 1.3644494 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3789838E-4 | 3.3400525E-4 | 3.4400192E-4 | 1.0299296 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033738504 | 0.0034153147 | 0.0034452123 | 1.008754 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.1655364E-6 | 6.1945857E-6 | 6.1945857E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.642346E-5 | 2.6547954E-5 | 3.6547688E-5 | 1.3766669 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2165812E-4 | 3.2317344E-4 | 3.3317023E-4 | 1.0309331 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032119295 | 0.003306861 | 0.0033367618 | 1.009042 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.5043524E-6 | 5.7551333E-6 | 5.7551333E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3589868E-5 | 2.4664625E-5 | 3.466438E-5 | 1.405429 | 1.0E-5 | 2.871688E-4 | 3.0025048E-4 | 3.1024747E-4 | 1.0332955 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028679797 | 0.003076682 | 0.00310659 | 1.0097208 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.889249E-6 | 4.0914038E-6 | 4.0914038E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6668104E-5 | 1.7534468E-5 | 2.7534294E-5 | 1.5702952 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0291525E-4 | 2.1346129E-4 | 2.2345915E-4 | 1.0468369 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020273007 | 0.0022020026 | 0.0022319364 | 1.0135939 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.668535E-6 | 2.5415873E-6 | 2.5415873E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1436528E-5 | 1.0892471E-5 | 2.0892363E-5 | 1.9180553 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3923083E-4 | 1.326078E-4 | 1.4260647E-4 | 1.0754004 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013914363 | 0.0013811562 | 0.0013911424 | 1.0072303 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.5911459E-6 | 1.2240141E-6 | 1.2240141E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8191785E-6 | 5.245764E-6 | 1.5245711E-5 | 2.90629 | 1.0E-5 | 8.3020335E-5 | 6.386533E-5 | 7.386469E-5 | 1.1565695 | 1.0E-5 | 8.298933E-4 | 6.72215E-4 | 6.822083E-4 | 1.0148662 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 6.1294963E-7 | 2.1964536E-7 | 2.1964536E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6269242E-6 | 9.413369E-7 | 9.413369E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1982334E-5 | 1.1460716E-5 | 1.1460716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1977732E-4 | 1.2870945E-4 | 1.2870945E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.762871E-7 | 4.7929475E-8 | 4.7929475E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5551594E-7 | 2.0541202E-7 | 2.0541202E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1983675E-6 | 2.5008885E-6 | 2.5008885E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.197987E-5 | 2.8908944E-5 | 2.8908944E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Rosa Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1143165E-5 | 4.7097477E-5 | 4.7097477E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7631594E-4 | 2.0183182E-4 | 2.0183182E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002144533 | 0.00245473 | 0.0024647054 | 1.0040637 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021239553 | 0.024296798 | 0.02432607 | 1.0012047 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3867926E-5 | 2.3867926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.0228726E-4 | 1.0228726E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012446649 | 0.0012546525 | 1.0080243 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01092941 | 0.01237998 | 0.012399732 | 1.0015955 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3867926E-5 | 2.3867926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.0228726E-4 | 1.0228726E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012446649 | 0.0012546525 | 1.0080243 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01092941 | 0.01237998 | 0.012399732 | 1.0015955 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5158236E-5 | 1.7076434E-5 | 1.7076434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.496225E-5 | 7.318273E-5 | 7.318273E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.906284E-4 | 8.906476E-4 | 9.0063864E-4 | 1.0112178 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007878214 | 0.008872033 | 0.008881944 | 1.0011171 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2341918E-5 | 1.3854502E-5 | 1.3854502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2892858E-5 | 5.9375132E-5 | 5.9375132E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.437803E-4 | 7.2266057E-4 | 7.3265337E-4 | 1.0138278 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006419184 | 0.007203943 | 0.007213871 | 1.0013782 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.061158E-6 | 1.0118135E-5 | 1.0118135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.883296E-5 | 4.3362743E-5 | 4.3362743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.726887E-4 | 5.2781886E-4 | 5.378136E-4 | 1.0189359 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004716845 | 0.0052661905 | 0.005276138 | 1.0018889 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.5461685E-6 | 8.401626E-6 | 8.401626E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2340322E-5 | 3.6006495E-5 | 3.6006495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.936723E-4 | 4.3829516E-4 | 4.4829078E-4 | 1.0228057 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003929756 | 0.004374737 | 0.004384693 | 1.0022758 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.5023775E-6 | 6.0879893E-6 | 6.0879893E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3581404E-5 | 2.609114E-5 | 2.609114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8706578E-4 | 3.1761656E-4 | 3.1761656E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028669522 | 0.003171948 | 0.003171948 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.7351679E-6 | 4.0834993E-6 | 4.0834993E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6007763E-5 | 1.7500608E-5 | 1.7500608E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.948771E-4 | 2.1305155E-4 | 2.1305155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019470629 | 0.0021287182 | 0.0021287182 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.456366E-6 | 2.6294445E-6 | 2.6294445E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0527241E-5 | 1.12689995E-5 | 1.12689995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2816161E-4 | 1.3719145E-4 | 1.3719145E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012808773 | 0.0013710705 | 0.0013710705 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.3245157E-6 | 2.4829371E-6 | 2.4829371E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.962172E-6 | 1.0641116E-5 | 1.0641116E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2128269E-4 | 1.295479E-4 | 1.295479E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012121652 | 0.0012947262 | 0.0012947262 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.2248344E-6 | 2.3733987E-6 | 2.3733987E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.53497E-6 | 1.017167E-5 | 1.017167E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1608207E-4 | 1.2383306E-4 | 1.2383306E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011602144 | 0.0012376425 | 0.0012376425 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.1350402E-6 | 2.2762954E-6 | 2.2762954E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.150141E-6 | 9.755515E-6 | 9.755515E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1139726E-4 | 1.1876694E-4 | 1.1876694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011134144 | 0.0011870366 | 0.0011870366 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.9793572E-6 | 2.1088488E-6 | 2.1088488E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.482932E-6 | 9.037892E-6 | 9.037892E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.032748E-4 | 1.1003079E-4 | 1.1003079E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010322682 | 0.001099765 | 0.001099765 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6951194E-6 | 1.8046832E-6 | 1.8046832E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.264777E-6 | 7.734334E-6 | 7.734334E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.844508E-5 | 9.4161456E-5 | 9.4161456E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.840988E-4 | 9.412173E-4 | 9.412173E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.987207E-7 | 9.512745E-7 | 9.512745E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8516546E-6 | 4.0768846E-6 | 4.0768846E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6892885E-5 | 4.963495E-5 | 4.963495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.688299E-4 | 4.962398E-4 | 4.962398E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.8783037E-7 | 4.0531143E-7 | 4.0531143E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6621291E-6 | 1.7370478E-6 | 1.7370478E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0236233E-5 | 2.1148358E-5 | 2.1148358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.023439E-4 | 2.1146411E-4 | 2.1146411E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.181804E-8 | 6.3392655E-8 | 6.3392655E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6493444E-7 | 2.7168278E-7 | 2.7168278E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225572E-6 | 3.3077329E-6 | 3.3077329E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225525E-5 | 3.307684E-5 | 3.307684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.3704449E-9 | 1.3964399E-9 | 1.3964399E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.873335E-9 | 5.9847425E-9 | 5.9847425E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507856E-8 | 7.286424E-8 | 7.286424E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507833E-7 | 7.286422E-7 | 7.286422E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Whittier alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7260928E-5 | 4.7260928E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0253293E-4 | 2.0253293E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002218027 | 0.002463372 | 0.002463372 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02196019 | 0.02439561 | 0.024424877 | 1.0011997 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7260928E-5 | 4.7260928E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0253293E-4 | 2.0253293E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002218027 | 0.002463372 | 0.002463372 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02196019 | 0.02439561 | 0.024424877 | 1.0011997 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7260928E-5 | 4.7260928E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0253293E-4 | 2.0253293E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002218027 | 0.002463372 | 0.002463372 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02196019 | 0.02439561 | 0.024424877 | 1.0011997 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9617712E-5 | 1.8273413E-5 | 1.8273413E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.40732E-5 | 7.831238E-5 | 7.831238E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010231105 | 9.530553E-4 | 9.530553E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01018413 | 0.009493882 | 0.009493882 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.5611336E-5 | 1.36084E-5 | 1.36084E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.690401E-5 | 5.8320446E-5 | 5.8320446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.142519E-4 | 7.0982607E-4 | 7.0982607E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008112748 | 0.0070784683 | 0.0070784683 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.5150166E-5 | 1.310501E-5 | 1.310501E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.492767E-5 | 5.6163153E-5 | 5.6163153E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9020765E-4 | 6.8357773E-4 | 6.8357773E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007874036 | 0.006817616 | 0.006817616 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.295588E-5 | 1.0384103E-5 | 1.0384103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.552402E-5 | 4.450255E-5 | 4.450255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7579525E-4 | 5.416858E-4 | 5.416858E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006737438 | 0.005405127 | 0.005405127 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.2542085E-5 | 9.90267E-6 | 9.90267E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3750682E-5 | 4.2439337E-5 | 4.2439337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.542181E-4 | 5.165783E-4 | 5.165783E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006522954 | 0.0051552476 | 0.0051552476 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.2195878E-5 | 9.498609E-6 | 9.498609E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2267E-5 | 4.07077E-5 | 4.07077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.36165E-4 | 4.955054E-4 | 4.955054E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063434686 | 0.004945415 | 0.004945415 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.1580298E-5 | 8.775922E-6 | 8.775922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9628903E-5 | 3.761056E-5 | 3.761056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.040644E-4 | 4.57814E-4 | 4.57814E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00602425 | 0.0045700828 | 0.0045700828 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0964795E-5 | 8.086839E-6 | 8.086839E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6991136E-5 | 3.465743E-5 | 3.465743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7196687E-4 | 4.2187408E-4 | 4.2187408E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057049696 | 0.004212006 | 0.004212006 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0230601E-5 | 7.329202E-6 | 7.329202E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3844695E-5 | 3.1410495E-5 | 3.1410495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.336784E-4 | 3.8235696E-4 | 3.8235696E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005323986 | 0.0038181543 | 0.0038181543 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.40865E-6 | 6.5456156E-6 | 6.5456156E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.032216E-5 | 2.8052344E-5 | 2.8052344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.908117E-4 | 3.4148496E-4 | 3.4148496E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048972913 | 0.0034107065 | 0.0034107065 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.237384E-6 | 5.5997934E-6 | 5.5997934E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5302593E-5 | 2.39989E-5 | 2.39989E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2972428E-4 | 2.921485E-4 | 2.921485E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042889426 | 0.002917957 | 0.002917957 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.5316966E-6 | 5.029698E-6 | 5.029698E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2278298E-5 | 2.1555677E-5 | 2.1555677E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9291743E-4 | 2.6240977E-4 | 2.6240977E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039222343 | 0.0026211122 | 0.0026211122 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.149649E-6 | 3.93538E-6 | 3.93538E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6355372E-5 | 1.686581E-5 | 1.686581E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.208294E-4 | 2.0532278E-4 | 2.0532278E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003203666 | 0.00205142 | 0.00205142 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.457711E-6 | 3.396771E-6 | 3.396771E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.338998E-5 | 1.4557513E-5 | 1.4557513E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8473578E-4 | 1.7722412E-4 | 1.7722412E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028437122 | 0.0017709088 | 0.0017709088 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.1676276E-6 | 2.3343598E-6 | 2.3343598E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7861139E-5 | 1.0004364E-5 | 1.0004364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1743766E-4 | 1.2179708E-4 | 1.2179708E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021722503 | 0.0012173763 | 0.0012173763 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.388284E-8 | 9.388284E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0235497E-7 | 4.0235497E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.8986644E-6 | 4.8986644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.898589E-5 | 4.898589E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4405956E-9 | 3.4405956E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4745409E-8 | 1.4745409E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7952534E-7 | 1.7952534E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7952522E-6 | 1.7952522E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.75748E-6 | 6.75748E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8960352E-5 | 2.8960352E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5254325E-4 | 3.6253972E-4 | 1.0283554 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035206282 | 0.0035505227 | 1.0084912 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.75748E-6 | 6.75748E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8960352E-5 | 2.8960352E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5254325E-4 | 3.6253972E-4 | 1.0283554 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035206282 | 0.0035505227 | 1.0084912 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.75748E-6 | 6.75748E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8960352E-5 | 2.8960352E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5254325E-4 | 3.6253972E-4 | 1.0283554 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035206282 | 0.0035505227 | 1.0084912 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.75748E-6 | 6.75748E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8960352E-5 | 2.8960352E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5254325E-4 | 3.6253972E-4 | 1.0283554 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035206282 | 0.0035505227 | 1.0084912 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.75748E-6 | 6.75748E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8960352E-5 | 2.8960352E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5254325E-4 | 3.6253972E-4 | 1.0283554 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035206282 | 0.0035505227 | 1.0084912 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2571556E-6 | 3.2571556E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3959168E-5 | 1.3959168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.6994042E-4 | 1.7993872E-4 | 1.0588342 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016767744 | 0.0016981844 | 0.0017081674 | 1.0058787 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2571556E-6 | 3.2571556E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3959168E-5 | 1.3959168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.6994042E-4 | 1.7993872E-4 | 1.0588342 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016767744 | 0.0016981844 | 0.0017081674 | 1.0058787 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.1908265E-6 | 2.2071629E-6 | 2.2071629E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.389223E-6 | 9.459237E-6 | 9.459237E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1430779E-4 | 1.15160314E-4 | 1.15160314E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011424901 | 0.0011510258 | 0.0011510258 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.7303895E-6 | 1.7365841E-6 | 1.7365841E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.415934E-6 | 7.4424825E-6 | 7.4424825E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.028525E-5 | 9.0608555E-5 | 9.0608555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.024858E-4 | 9.057258E-4 | 9.057258E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.3700314E-6 | 1.3688864E-6 | 1.3688864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.87155E-6 | 5.8666433E-6 | 5.8666433E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.148377E-5 | 7.142409E-5 | 7.142409E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.146078E-4 | 7.1401586E-4 | 7.1401586E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.1467797E-6 | 1.1414006E-6 | 1.1414006E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9147607E-6 | 4.891708E-6 | 4.891708E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.983557E-5 | 5.955495E-5 | 5.955495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.981946E-4 | 5.9539307E-4 | 5.9539307E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.3952065E-7 | 9.302856E-7 | 9.302856E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.026511E-6 | 3.9869324E-6 | 3.9869324E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9021666E-5 | 4.8539838E-5 | 4.8539838E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.901085E-4 | 4.8529412E-4 | 4.8529412E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.858055E-7 | 6.7194225E-7 | 6.7194225E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.939163E-6 | 2.8797492E-6 | 2.8797492E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5783723E-5 | 3.506039E-5 | 3.506039E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5777962E-4 | 3.505495E-4 | 3.505495E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.1101983E-7 | 4.939391E-7 | 4.939391E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1900833E-6 | 2.1168803E-6 | 2.1168803E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6663936E-5 | 2.5772717E-5 | 2.5772717E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6660739E-4 | 2.5769777E-4 | 2.5769777E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.4999414E-7 | 3.2996542E-7 | 3.2996542E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.499974E-6 | 1.4141368E-6 | 1.4141368E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8262032E-5 | 1.7216982E-5 | 1.7216982E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.826053E-4 | 1.7215672E-4 | 1.7215672E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7021522E-7 | 1.475037E-7 | 1.475037E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2949354E-7 | 6.3215856E-7 | 6.3215856E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.881548E-6 | 7.696504E-6 | 7.696504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8811925E-5 | 7.696246E-5 | 7.696246E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7353086E-8 | 1.7353086E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.437036E-8 | 7.437036E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.054589E-7 | 9.054589E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.054557E-6 | 9.054557E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Anza) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.34248E-5 | 4.34248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8609306E-4 | 1.960912E-4 | 1.0537266 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022633409 | 0.0022832956 | 1.0088165 | 2.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023351457 | 0.023370989 | 1.0008365 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.34248E-5 | 4.34248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8609306E-4 | 1.960912E-4 | 1.0537266 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022633409 | 0.0022832956 | 1.0088165 | 2.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023351457 | 0.023370989 | 1.0008365 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.34248E-5 | 4.34248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8609306E-4 | 1.960912E-4 | 1.0537266 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022633409 | 0.0022832956 | 1.0088165 | 2.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023351457 | 0.023370989 | 1.0008365 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.34248E-5 | 4.34248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8609306E-4 | 1.960912E-4 | 1.0537266 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022633409 | 0.0022832956 | 1.0088165 | 2.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023351457 | 0.023370989 | 1.0008365 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.34248E-5 | 4.34248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8609306E-4 | 1.960912E-4 | 1.0537266 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022633409 | 0.0022832956 | 1.0088165 | 2.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023351457 | 0.023370989 | 1.0008365 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.0199266E-5 | 4.0199266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.7227122E-4 | 1.8226949E-4 | 1.058038 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030276014 | 0.00209539 | 0.0021153484 | 1.0095247 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02986684 | 0.021647729 | 0.021667296 | 1.0009038 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.0199266E-5 | 4.0199266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.7227122E-4 | 1.8226949E-4 | 1.058038 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030276014 | 0.00209539 | 0.0021153484 | 1.0095247 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02986684 | 0.021647729 | 0.021667296 | 1.0009038 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.712442E-5 | 3.962039E-5 | 3.962039E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4479596E-4 | 1.6979064E-4 | 1.7978894E-4 | 1.058886 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029763177 | 0.0020652467 | 0.0020852054 | 1.009664 | 2.0E-5 | 0.029367693 | 0.021338977 | 0.02135855 | 1.0009172 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.6967532E-5 | 3.947667E-5 | 3.947667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4412372E-4 | 1.6917479E-4 | 1.7917309E-4 | 1.0591005 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029681553 | 0.0020577628 | 0.0020777215 | 1.0096993 | 2.0E-5 | 0.029288229 | 0.021263134 | 0.021282708 | 1.0009207 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.6211324E-5 | 3.91807E-5 | 3.91807E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4088343E-4 | 1.6790652E-4 | 1.7790483E-4 | 1.059547 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029288116 | 0.0020423506 | 0.0020623098 | 1.0097727 | 2.0E-5 | 0.028905109 | 0.02110296 | 0.021122538 | 1.0009277 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.4383527E-5 | 3.8038117E-5 | 3.8038117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3305144E-4 | 1.6301034E-4 | 1.7300871E-4 | 1.0613358 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028337094 | 0.0019828493 | 0.0020028097 | 1.0100665 | 2.0E-5 | 0.027978465 | 0.02049339 | 0.02051298 | 1.0009559 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.1393665E-5 | 3.6497346E-5 | 3.6497346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2023996E-4 | 1.5640784E-4 | 1.6640629E-4 | 1.0639254 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026781242 | 0.0019026066 | 0.0019225685 | 1.0104918 | 2.0E-5 | 0.026460782 | 0.019667136 | 0.019686742 | 1.000997 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.785222E-5 | 3.4845343E-5 | 3.4845343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0506482E-4 | 1.4932865E-4 | 1.5932716E-4 | 1.0669564 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024938055 | 0.0018165638 | 0.0018365275 | 1.0109898 | 2.0E-5 | 0.024660049 | 0.018782964 | 0.018802589 | 1.0010448 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.2143256E-5 | 3.3937216E-5 | 3.3937216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8060145E-4 | 1.4543712E-4 | 1.5543567E-4 | 1.0687482 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002196605 | 0.0017692622 | 0.0017892269 | 1.0112841 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02175019 | 0.018289933 | 0.018309567 | 1.0010735 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.0264713E-5 | 3.3574594E-5 | 3.3574594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7255165E-4 | 1.438832E-4 | 1.5388175E-4 | 1.0694908 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002098792 | 0.0017503737 | 0.0017703387 | 1.0114062 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020790804 | 0.018093953 | 0.01811359 | 1.0010854 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.694492E-5 | 3.2285865E-5 | 3.2285865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5832575E-4 | 1.3836067E-4 | 1.483593E-4 | 1.0722649 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019259118 | 0.0016832426 | 0.001703209 | 1.0118618 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01909306 | 0.017408917 | 0.017428568 | 1.0011288 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.200565E-5 | 2.9593022E-5 | 2.9593022E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3715986E-4 | 1.2682109E-4 | 1.3681981E-4 | 1.0788412 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001668642 | 0.0015429553 | 0.0015629245 | 1.0129422 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01656168 | 0.015992649 | 0.01601233 | 1.0012306 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.731642E-5 | 2.6179117E-5 | 2.6179117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1706512E-4 | 1.12191396E-4 | 1.2219028E-4 | 1.0891234 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001424336 | 0.0013650754 | 0.001385048 | 1.0146312 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014152412 | 0.014211975 | 0.014231691 | 1.0013872 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.3466424E-5 | 2.3587734E-5 | 2.3587734E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0056651E-4 | 1.0108638E-4 | 1.1108536E-4 | 1.0989153 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012237094 | 0.0012300325 | 0.001250008 | 1.0162398 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012169928 | 0.012852078 | 0.012871821 | 1.0015361 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.8611925E-5 | 1.8982866E-5 | 1.8982866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9762955E-5 | 8.1352606E-5 | 9.1351794E-5 | 1.1229117 | 1.0E-5 | 9.7068126E-4 | 9.900187E-4 | 0.0010099988 | 1.0201817 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0096645225 | 0.010432663 | 0.010452455 | 1.0018971 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5460775E-5 | 1.5807153E-5 | 1.5807153E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6258784E-5 | 6.774318E-5 | 7.774251E-5 | 1.1476064 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0640207E-4 | 8.2446187E-4 | 8.4444537E-4 | 1.0242382 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008034821 | 0.0087375045 | 0.00875733 | 1.002269 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 9.983884E-6 | 8.308291E-6 | 8.308291E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2787375E-5 | 3.560648E-5 | 4.5606124E-5 | 1.2808378 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2081177E-4 | 4.3342318E-4 | 4.4341886E-4 | 1.0230621 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051959283 | 0.0046604904 | 0.004670444 | 1.0021358 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.1226E-6 | 1.5637727E-6 | 1.5637727E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7668166E-5 | 6.7018655E-6 | 6.7018655E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1508869E-4 | 8.159219E-5 | 8.159219E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021488064 | 9.467056E-4 | 9.467056E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 3.6413377E-7 | 3.6413377E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.5605724E-6 | 1.5605724E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 1.8999808E-5 | 1.8999808E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.2906638E-4 | 2.2906638E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Earthquake Valley (No Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1859703E-5 | 2.5202025E-5 | 2.5202025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3681076E-5 | 1.0800503E-4 | 1.0800503E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011399703 | 0.0013143132 | 0.0013243 | 1.0075985 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011341401 | 0.013079765 | 0.013099504 | 1.0015091 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1859703E-5 | 2.5202025E-5 | 2.5202025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3681076E-5 | 1.0800503E-4 | 1.0800503E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011399703 | 0.0013143132 | 0.0013243 | 1.0075985 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011341401 | 0.013079765 | 0.013099504 | 1.0015091 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1859703E-5 | 2.5202025E-5 | 2.5202025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3681076E-5 | 1.0800503E-4 | 1.0800503E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011399703 | 0.0013143132 | 0.0013243 | 1.0075985 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011341401 | 0.013079765 | 0.013099504 | 1.0015091 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1859703E-5 | 2.5202025E-5 | 2.5202025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3681076E-5 | 1.0800503E-4 | 1.0800503E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011399703 | 0.0013143132 | 0.0013243 | 1.0075985 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011341401 | 0.013079765 | 0.013099504 | 1.0015091 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.1859703E-5 | 2.5202025E-5 | 2.5202025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3681076E-5 | 1.0800503E-4 | 1.0800503E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011399703 | 0.0013143132 | 0.0013243 | 1.0075985 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011341401 | 0.013079765 | 0.013099504 | 1.0015091 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.1859703E-5 | 2.5202025E-5 | 2.5202025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3681076E-5 | 1.0800503E-4 | 1.0800503E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011399703 | 0.0013143132 | 0.0013243 | 1.0075985 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011341401 | 0.013079765 | 0.013099504 | 1.0015091 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.597E-5 | 1.8358915E-5 | 1.8358915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8441055E-5 | 7.8679186E-5 | 7.8679186E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.329513E-4 | 9.575854E-4 | 9.575854E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008298361 | 0.009543203 | 0.009543203 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.597E-5 | 1.8358915E-5 | 1.8358915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8441055E-5 | 7.8679186E-5 | 7.8679186E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.329513E-4 | 9.575854E-4 | 9.575854E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008298361 | 0.009543203 | 0.009543203 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.5315149E-5 | 1.7604625E-5 | 1.7604625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5634704E-5 | 7.5446704E-5 | 7.5446704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.988095E-4 | 9.182632E-4 | 9.182632E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007959441 | 0.009153231 | 0.009153231 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.3634728E-5 | 1.5678093E-5 | 1.5678093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8433237E-5 | 6.719056E-5 | 6.719056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1119244E-4 | 8.1782014E-4 | 8.1782014E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007089207 | 0.0081561785 | 0.0081561785 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.3496271E-5 | 1.5520105E-5 | 1.5520105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.783988E-5 | 6.65135E-5 | 6.65135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.03973E-4 | 8.0958306E-4 | 8.0958306E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007017471 | 0.008074408 | 0.008074408 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.242798E-6 | 9.474004E-6 | 9.474004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.53258E-5 | 4.0602623E-5 | 4.0602623E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.300067E-4 | 4.942919E-4 | 4.942919E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004291756 | 0.0049385033 | 0.0049385033 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.6506527E-7 | 2.2564116E-7 | 2.2564116E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1359936E-6 | 9.670332E-7 | 9.670332E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3830633E-5 | 1.177357E-5 | 1.177357E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829772E-4 | 1.1772987E-4 | 1.1772987E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.5810488E-7 | 2.1959191E-7 | 2.1959191E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1061633E-6 | 9.411078E-7 | 9.411078E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3467455E-5 | 1.14579325E-5 | 1.14579325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3466639E-4 | 1.1457383E-4 | 1.1457383E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.2676066E-7 | 1.9114223E-7 | 1.9114223E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.71831E-7 | 8.191808E-7 | 8.191808E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1831979E-5 | 9.973484E-6 | 9.973484E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1831349E-4 | 9.973076E-5 | 9.973076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.5553917E-7 | 1.3114965E-7 | 1.3114965E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6659624E-7 | 5.6206983E-7 | 5.6206983E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.115779E-6 | 6.843181E-6 | 6.843181E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.115482E-5 | 6.842992E-5 | 6.842992E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3448629E-7 | 1.1290892E-7 | 1.1290892E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7636964E-7 | 4.838953E-7 | 4.838953E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.017278E-6 | 5.8914115E-6 | 5.8914115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0170565E-5 | 5.8912763E-5 | 5.8912763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.9719402E-8 | 1.458606E-8 | 1.458606E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2736886E-7 | 6.251168E-8 | 6.251168E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5507147E-6 | 7.6107955E-7 | 7.6107955E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.550704E-5 | 7.6107744E-6 | 7.6107744E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.4390196E-9 | 3.25089E-9 | 3.25089E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1881513E-8 | 1.3932385E-8 | 1.3932385E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8815733E-7 | 1.6962677E-7 | 1.6962677E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8815665E-6 | 1.6962667E-6 | 1.6962667E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.5373532E-9 | 8.4420004E-10 | 8.4420004E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5886567E-9 | 3.6180001E-9 | 3.6180001E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.021689E-8 | 4.4049152E-8 | 4.4049152E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0216864E-7 | 4.404915E-7 | 4.404915E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Simi-Santa Rosa
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.198912E-5 | 2.2278264E-5 | 2.2278264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4235686E-5 | 9.547503E-5 | 9.547503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011467156 | 0.0011618325 | 0.0011718208 | 1.0085971 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011408163 | 0.011562032 | 0.011571916 | 1.0008548 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.198912E-5 | 2.2278264E-5 | 2.2278264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4235686E-5 | 9.547503E-5 | 9.547503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011467156 | 0.0011618325 | 0.0011718208 | 1.0085971 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011408163 | 0.011562032 | 0.011571916 | 1.0008548 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.69983E-5 | 1.6670738E-5 | 1.6670738E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.284782E-5 | 7.144423E-5 | 7.144423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.865613E-4 | 8.695155E-4 | 8.795068E-4 | 1.0114907 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008830327 | 0.008664055 | 0.008673969 | 1.0011442 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.69983E-5 | 1.6670738E-5 | 1.6670738E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.284782E-5 | 7.144423E-5 | 7.144423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.865613E-4 | 8.695155E-4 | 8.795068E-4 | 1.0114907 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008830327 | 0.008664055 | 0.008673969 | 1.0011442 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4666188E-5 | 1.4054425E-5 | 1.4054425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.285358E-5 | 6.0232003E-5 | 6.0232003E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6497364E-4 | 7.331028E-4 | 7.430955E-4 | 1.0136306 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0076234564 | 0.00730932 | 0.007319247 | 1.0013582 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4666188E-5 | 1.4054425E-5 | 1.4054425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.285358E-5 | 6.0232003E-5 | 6.0232003E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6497364E-4 | 7.331028E-4 | 7.430955E-4 | 1.0136306 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0076234564 | 0.00730932 | 0.007319247 | 1.0013582 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4377586E-5 | 1.3731429E-5 | 1.3731429E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1616774E-5 | 5.8847796E-5 | 5.8847796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4992597E-4 | 7.162613E-4 | 7.262541E-4 | 1.0139514 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007474003 | 0.007141996 | 0.0071519245 | 1.0013902 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3881404E-5 | 1.3209339E-5 | 1.3209339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9490372E-5 | 5.6610363E-5 | 5.6610363E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.240546E-4 | 6.8903796E-4 | 6.9903105E-4 | 1.014503 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007217 | 0.0068714656 | 0.0068813968 | 1.0014453 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0176516E-5 | 9.155465E-6 | 9.155465E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3612912E-5 | 3.923721E-5 | 3.923721E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.308578E-4 | 4.776249E-4 | 4.8762013E-4 | 1.020927 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052959146 | 0.004767617 | 0.00477757 | 1.0020875 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.699797E-6 | 8.775981E-6 | 8.775981E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.15699E-5 | 3.76109E-5 | 3.76109E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.05996E-4 | 4.578329E-4 | 4.6782833E-4 | 1.021832 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005048454 | 0.0045705154 | 0.0045804693 | 1.002178 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.4049476E-6 | 6.5602962E-6 | 6.5602962E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1735104E-5 | 2.8115324E-5 | 2.8115324E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8630638E-4 | 3.4226294E-4 | 3.5225952E-4 | 1.0292073 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038563553 | 0.003418601 | 0.0034285667 | 1.0029151 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.873439E-6 | 2.759977E-6 | 2.759977E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6600346E-5 | 1.1828421E-5 | 1.1828421E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0209046E-4 | 1.4400174E-4 | 1.4400174E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020190678 | 0.0014391078 | 0.0014391078 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.417706E-6 | 2.368077E-6 | 2.368077E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4647229E-5 | 1.0148863E-5 | 1.0148863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7831543E-4 | 1.2355563E-4 | 1.2355563E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017817242 | 0.0012348916 | 0.0012348916 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.90225E-6 | 1.4077309E-6 | 1.4077309E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.152474E-6 | 6.0331186E-6 | 6.0331186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9251854E-5 | 7.345076E-5 | 7.345076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.920754E-4 | 7.342671E-4 | 7.342671E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.5170556E-6 | 1.1028113E-6 | 1.1028113E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5016507E-6 | 4.7263256E-6 | 4.7263256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.915472E-5 | 5.7541507E-5 | 5.7541507E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9126534E-4 | 5.752672E-4 | 5.752672E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.178732E-6 | 8.5383016E-7 | 8.5383016E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0516987E-6 | 3.6592671E-6 | 3.6592671E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1502695E-5 | 4.4550674E-5 | 4.4550674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.148568E-4 | 4.4541838E-4 | 4.4541838E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.8722386E-7 | 4.796181E-7 | 4.796181E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9452417E-6 | 2.0555046E-6 | 2.0555046E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5857727E-5 | 2.5025482E-5 | 2.5025482E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5851944E-4 | 2.5022676E-4 | 2.5022676E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.5126515E-7 | 3.6760278E-7 | 3.6760278E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3625628E-6 | 1.5754396E-6 | 1.5754396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8763823E-5 | 1.9180809E-5 | 1.9180809E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.87601E-4 | 1.9179164E-4 | 1.9179164E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.3860243E-7 | 2.0096262E-7 | 2.0096262E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4511525E-6 | 8.612681E-7 | 8.612681E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7667637E-5 | 1.0485889E-5 | 1.0485889E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7666233E-4 | 1.04854E-4 | 1.04854E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.7955386E-7 | 1.4668373E-7 | 1.4668373E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1980875E-6 | 6.286444E-7 | 6.286444E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4586617E-5 | 7.653719E-6 | 7.653719E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.458566E-4 | 7.65346E-5 | 7.65346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.6259015E-8 | 3.3368323E-8 | 3.3368323E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4111003E-7 | 1.430071E-7 | 1.430071E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9355108E-6 | 1.7411102E-6 | 1.7411102E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.935472E-5 | 1.741098E-5 | 1.741098E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Cruz Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1602212E-5 | 3.1602212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.354318E-4 | 1.354318E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016477712 | 0.0016477712 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015102667 | 0.01636927 | 0.016388942 | 1.0012017 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1602212E-5 | 3.1602212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.354318E-4 | 1.354318E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016477712 | 0.0016477712 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015102667 | 0.01636927 | 0.016388942 | 1.0012017 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1602212E-5 | 3.1602212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.354318E-4 | 1.354318E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016477712 | 0.0016477712 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015102667 | 0.01636927 | 0.016388942 | 1.0012017 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.780553E-5 | 1.780553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.630729E-5 | 7.630729E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.286635E-4 | 9.286635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008642701 | 0.0092497 | 0.009259608 | 1.0010711 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.780553E-5 | 1.780553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.630729E-5 | 7.630729E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.286635E-4 | 9.286635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008642701 | 0.0092497 | 0.009259608 | 1.0010711 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2238748E-5 | 1.3043801E-5 | 1.3043801E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2450723E-5 | 5.5900826E-5 | 5.5900826E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3840044E-4 | 6.8038376E-4 | 6.8038376E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063656955 | 0.0067834053 | 0.0067933374 | 1.0014641 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0489767E-5 | 1.1157304E-5 | 1.1157304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.495537E-5 | 4.7816153E-5 | 4.7816153E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4719415E-4 | 5.820084E-4 | 5.820084E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005458487 | 0.005805082 | 0.005805082 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 8.699222E-6 | 9.237321E-6 | 9.237321E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7281847E-5 | 3.958792E-5 | 3.958792E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5381195E-4 | 4.818769E-4 | 4.818769E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045288634 | 0.0048083877 | 0.0048083877 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 8.307732E-6 | 8.817415E-6 | 8.817415E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.560408E-5 | 3.7788377E-5 | 3.7788377E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3339343E-4 | 4.5997679E-4 | 4.5997679E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004325492 | 0.0045903004 | 0.0045903004 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.073121E-6 | 8.565432E-6 | 8.565432E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.459863E-5 | 3.670848E-5 | 3.670848E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2115687E-4 | 4.468345E-4 | 4.468345E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004203596 | 0.0044594123 | 0.0044594123 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.617019E-6 | 8.075123E-6 | 8.075123E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.264396E-5 | 3.4607212E-5 | 3.4607212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9736772E-4 | 4.2126176E-4 | 4.2126176E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003966579 | 0.0042046797 | 0.0042046797 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 7.1224836E-6 | 7.546212E-6 | 7.546212E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.052457E-5 | 3.234051E-5 | 3.234051E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.715733E-4 | 3.9367494E-4 | 3.9367494E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003709526 | 0.0039298185 | 0.0039298185 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.441115E-6 | 6.8277714E-6 | 6.8277714E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7604487E-5 | 2.926155E-5 | 2.926155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.360328E-4 | 3.5620137E-4 | 3.5620137E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033552512 | 0.0035563328 | 0.0035563328 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.494274E-6 | 5.8203223E-6 | 5.8203223E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3546674E-5 | 2.4944002E-5 | 2.4944002E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8664304E-4 | 3.036511E-4 | 3.036511E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002862736 | 0.003032385 | 0.003032385 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.0802624E-6 | 4.312491E-6 | 4.312491E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7486722E-5 | 1.8481975E-5 | 1.8481975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1288003E-4 | 2.2499487E-4 | 2.2499487E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021267622 | 0.0022476797 | 0.0022476797 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.3584746E-6 | 2.4754302E-6 | 2.4754302E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0107709E-5 | 1.0608944E-5 | 1.0608944E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2305441E-4 | 1.2915628E-4 | 1.2915628E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012298629 | 0.0012908173 | 0.0012908173 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.4981914E-7 | 9.861338E-7 | 9.861338E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0706473E-6 | 4.226281E-6 | 4.226281E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9559E-5 | 5.1453768E-5 | 5.1453768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.954795E-4 | 5.1441987E-4 | 5.1441987E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.6013532E-7 | 2.6417447E-7 | 2.6417447E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1148652E-6 | 1.1321758E-6 | 1.1321758E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3573399E-5 | 1.3784153E-5 | 1.3784153E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.357257E-4 | 1.3783306E-4 | 1.3783306E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.1522263E-8 | 3.9657948E-8 | 3.9657948E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7795254E-7 | 1.6996262E-7 | 1.6996262E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.16657E-6 | 2.069293E-6 | 2.069293E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1665488E-5 | 2.069276E-5 | 2.069276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.7242046E-10 | 5.947669E-10 | 5.947669E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3103735E-9 | 2.5490015E-9 | 2.5490015E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0303796E-8 | 3.103409E-8 | 3.103409E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.030379E-7 | 3.1034088E-7 | 3.1034088E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Cruz Catalina Ridge alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2833184E-5 | 3.656231E-5 | 4.6561945E-5 | 1.2734957 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4070606E-4 | 1.5668714E-4 | 1.6668558E-4 | 1.0638114 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00171175 | 0.0019061631 | 0.0019261249 | 1.0104723 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016986247 | 0.018915039 | 0.018934662 | 1.0010374 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9835548E-5 | 2.166137E-5 | 3.1661155E-5 | 1.4616413 | 1.0E-5 | 8.500672E-5 | 9.283125E-5 | 1.0283032E-4 | 1.1077124 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010344655 | 0.0011296547 | 0.0011396434 | 1.0088422 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010296632 | 0.011241258 | 0.011251146 | 1.0008795 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9835548E-5 | 2.166137E-5 | 3.1661155E-5 | 1.4616413 | 1.0E-5 | 8.500672E-5 | 9.283125E-5 | 1.0283032E-4 | 1.1077124 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010344655 | 0.0011296547 | 0.0011396434 | 1.0088422 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010296632 | 0.011241258 | 0.011251146 | 1.0008795 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5728183E-5 | 1.7035269E-5 | 2.7035097E-5 | 1.5870075 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7404755E-5 | 7.300628E-5 | 8.300555E-5 | 1.1369646 | 1.0E-5 | 8.2034385E-4 | 8.884951E-4 | 8.984863E-4 | 1.011245 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008173222 | 0.008850109 | 0.008860021 | 1.00112 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5728183E-5 | 1.7035269E-5 | 2.7035097E-5 | 1.5870075 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7404755E-5 | 7.300628E-5 | 8.300555E-5 | 1.1369646 | 1.0E-5 | 8.2034385E-4 | 8.884951E-4 | 8.984863E-4 | 1.011245 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008173222 | 0.008850109 | 0.008860021 | 1.00112 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3707734E-5 | 1.4795614E-5 | 1.4795614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8746107E-5 | 6.340825E-5 | 6.340825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1499916E-4 | 7.717256E-4 | 7.717256E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0071270303 | 0.0076908553 | 0.0076908553 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.2539813E-5 | 1.3511192E-5 | 1.3511192E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3740947E-5 | 5.7903842E-5 | 5.7903842E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.540996E-4 | 7.047539E-4 | 7.047539E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065217763 | 0.007025493 | 0.007025493 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.1504083E-5 | 1.2378249E-5 | 1.2378249E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.930228E-5 | 5.3048574E-5 | 5.3048574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0008996E-4 | 6.45677E-4 | 6.45677E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005984721 | 0.0064382395 | 0.0064382395 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.012739E-5 | 1.087782E-5 | 1.087782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.340238E-5 | 4.6618406E-5 | 4.6618406E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.282958E-4 | 5.674328E-4 | 5.674328E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052704164 | 0.005660008 | 0.005660008 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.9607865E-6 | 9.609764E-6 | 9.609764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8402806E-5 | 4.118406E-5 | 4.118406E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6745385E-4 | 5.013016E-4 | 5.013016E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046647177 | 0.0050018276 | 0.0050018276 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 8.046829E-6 | 8.620316E-6 | 8.620316E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4485955E-5 | 3.6943697E-5 | 3.6943697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1978562E-4 | 4.496975E-4 | 4.496975E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004189935 | 0.0044879653 | 0.0044879653 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 7.136131E-6 | 7.638156E-6 | 7.638156E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0583058E-5 | 3.2734544E-5 | 3.2734544E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7228514E-4 | 3.984709E-4 | 3.984709E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037166206 | 0.0039776405 | 0.0039776405 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.362014E-6 | 6.805399E-6 | 6.805399E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.726549E-5 | 2.9165674E-5 | 2.9165674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3190678E-4 | 3.5503486E-4 | 3.5503486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033141149 | 0.0035447453 | 0.0035447453 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.004101E-6 | 5.3520607E-6 | 5.3520607E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1445969E-5 | 2.2937205E-5 | 2.2937205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6107338E-4 | 2.792252E-4 | 2.792252E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002607669 | 0.0027887987 | 0.0027887987 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.4901443E-6 | 3.7322932E-6 | 3.7322932E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4957676E-5 | 1.5995447E-5 | 1.5995447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8209449E-4 | 1.9472755E-4 | 1.9472755E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018194534 | 0.0019456077 | 0.0019456077 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1215045E-6 | 1.1894541E-6 | 1.1894541E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.806439E-6 | 5.097651E-6 | 5.097651E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.851682E-5 | 6.2062165E-5 | 6.2062165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.850142E-4 | 6.2045135E-4 | 6.2045135E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.8599047E-7 | 2.995331E-7 | 2.995331E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2256729E-6 | 1.2837127E-6 | 1.2837127E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4922465E-5 | 1.562909E-5 | 1.562909E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4921463E-4 | 1.5628005E-4 | 1.5628005E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.0781519E-7 | 2.174526E-7 | 2.174526E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.906362E-7 | 9.319393E-7 | 9.319393E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08434415E-5 | 1.1346303E-5 | 1.1346303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0842913E-4 | 1.1345733E-4 | 1.1345733E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.614776E-8 | 3.764246E-8 | 3.764246E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5491896E-7 | 1.6132483E-7 | 1.6132483E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8861368E-6 | 1.9641282E-6 | 1.9641282E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8861208E-5 | 1.964112E-5 | 1.964112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pleito
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4811472E-5 | 2.4811472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.06330954E-4 | 1.06330954E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012938826 | 0.0013038696 | 1.0077187 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012977876 | 0.012987746 | 1.0007606 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4811472E-5 | 2.4811472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.06330954E-4 | 1.06330954E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012938826 | 0.0013038696 | 1.0077187 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012977876 | 0.012987746 | 1.0007606 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4811472E-5 | 2.4811472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.06330954E-4 | 1.06330954E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012938826 | 0.0013038696 | 1.0077187 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012977876 | 0.012987746 | 1.0007606 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4811472E-5 | 2.4811472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.06330954E-4 | 1.06330954E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012938826 | 0.0013038696 | 1.0077187 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012977876 | 0.012987746 | 1.0007606 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4811472E-5 | 2.4811472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.06330954E-4 | 1.06330954E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012938826 | 0.0013038696 | 1.0077187 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012977876 | 0.012987746 | 1.0007606 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4811472E-5 | 2.4811472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.06330954E-4 | 1.06330954E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012938826 | 0.0013038696 | 1.0077187 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012977876 | 0.012987746 | 1.0007606 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.7261544E-5 | 1.7261544E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.397597E-5 | 7.397597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.169696E-4 | 9.0028904E-4 | 9.1028004E-4 | 1.0110976 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051576863 | 0.009074412 | 0.009084322 | 1.001092 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.7261544E-5 | 1.7261544E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.397597E-5 | 7.397597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.169696E-4 | 9.0028904E-4 | 9.1028004E-4 | 1.0110976 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051576863 | 0.009074412 | 0.009084322 | 1.001092 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.300162E-6 | 1.5521022E-5 | 1.5521022E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.557164E-5 | 6.651698E-5 | 6.651698E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3299864E-4 | 8.0954476E-4 | 8.195367E-4 | 1.0123426 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004321559 | 0.008173803 | 0.008183721 | 1.0012134 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.183114E-6 | 1.5392217E-5 | 1.5392217E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5070017E-5 | 6.596498E-5 | 6.596498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2689382E-4 | 8.0282916E-4 | 8.1282115E-4 | 1.0124459 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042607468 | 0.008107139 | 0.008117057 | 1.0012234 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.1748823E-6 | 1.4178591E-5 | 1.4178591E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0749135E-5 | 6.076398E-5 | 6.076398E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.743064E-4 | 7.3955086E-4 | 7.495435E-4 | 1.0135118 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037367654 | 0.0074783424 | 0.0074882675 | 1.0013272 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1671807E-6 | 1.4168956E-5 | 1.4168956E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0716128E-5 | 6.0722687E-5 | 6.0722687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7390468E-4 | 7.3904847E-4 | 7.490411E-4 | 1.013521 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037327618 | 0.0074733524 | 0.0074832775 | 1.0013281 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.0649667E-6 | 1.401609E-5 | 1.401609E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0278077E-5 | 6.0067578E-5 | 6.0067578E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6857324E-4 | 7.3107786E-4 | 7.4107054E-4 | 1.0136684 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036796255 | 0.0073940274 | 0.007403954 | 1.0013424 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.02082E-6 | 1.3959456E-5 | 1.3959456E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.008888E-5 | 5.982487E-5 | 5.982487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6627054E-4 | 7.2812487E-4 | 7.381176E-4 | 1.0137239 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036566744 | 0.0073644808 | 0.0073744073 | 1.0013479 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.987146E-6 | 1.3918967E-5 | 1.3918967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9944567E-5 | 5.9651356E-5 | 5.9651356E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6451413E-4 | 7.260138E-4 | 7.3600654E-4 | 1.0137638 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036391679 | 0.007343392 | 0.0073533184 | 1.0013517 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.9494554E-6 | 1.3875834E-5 | 1.3875834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9783041E-5 | 5.9466507E-5 | 5.9466507E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.625482E-4 | 7.2376477E-4 | 7.337575E-4 | 1.0138067 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036195726 | 0.007321001 | 0.007330928 | 1.0013559 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.92694E-6 | 1.3834876E-5 | 1.3834876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9686547E-5 | 5.9290982E-5 | 5.9290982E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6137376E-4 | 7.216291E-4 | 7.316219E-4 | 1.0138476 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036078666 | 0.0072997184 | 0.0073096454 | 1.0013599 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.395867E-6 | 1.2711977E-5 | 1.2711977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.741057E-5 | 5.447877E-5 | 5.447877E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.336726E-4 | 6.6307746E-4 | 6.7307084E-4 | 1.0150712 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033317201 | 0.0067173964 | 0.0067273295 | 1.0014787 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.8664327E-6 | 1.1575799E-5 | 1.1575799E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5141611E-5 | 4.960963E-5 | 4.960963E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.060561E-4 | 6.0383003E-4 | 6.13824E-4 | 1.0165509 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030563495 | 0.006121021 | 0.00613096 | 1.0016237 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.7167474E-6 | 7.1382424E-6 | 7.1382424E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.592882E-5 | 3.059211E-5 | 3.059211E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9391612E-4 | 3.7239544E-4 | 3.7239544E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019374699 | 0.0037798856 | 0.0037798856 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.0903841E-6 | 1.2931339E-6 | 1.2931339E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6730665E-6 | 5.541991E-6 | 5.541991E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.68931E-5 | 6.7471665E-5 | 6.7471665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6878536E-4 | 6.969323E-4 | 6.969323E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.6894583E-7 | 1.1144083E-7 | 1.1144083E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1526245E-6 | 4.7760346E-7 | 4.7760346E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4033113E-5 | 5.8148066E-6 | 5.8148066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4032227E-4 | 6.504207E-5 | 6.504207E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 5.2967013E-9 | 2.4778206E-9 | 2.4778206E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2700148E-8 | 1.0619231E-8 | 1.0619231E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637427E-7 | 1.2928913E-7 | 1.2928913E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637393E-6 | 1.4705982E-6 | 1.4705982E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Gabriel
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.2000182E-5 | 1.2000182E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.1428404E-5 | 5.1428404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.259722E-4 | 6.35966E-4 | 1.0159651 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0056390543 | 0.0062542786 | 0.0062741535 | 1.0031778 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.2000182E-5 | 1.2000182E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.1428404E-5 | 5.1428404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.259722E-4 | 6.35966E-4 | 1.0159651 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0056390543 | 0.0062542786 | 0.0062741535 | 1.0031778 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.2000182E-5 | 1.2000182E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.1428404E-5 | 5.1428404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.259722E-4 | 6.35966E-4 | 1.0159651 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0056390543 | 0.0062542786 | 0.0062741535 | 1.0031778 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.2000182E-5 | 1.2000182E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.1428404E-5 | 5.1428404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.259722E-4 | 6.35966E-4 | 1.0159651 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0056390543 | 0.0062542786 | 0.0062741535 | 1.0031778 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.2000182E-5 | 1.2000182E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.1428404E-5 | 5.1428404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.259722E-4 | 6.35966E-4 | 1.0159651 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0056390543 | 0.0062542786 | 0.0062741535 | 1.0031778 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.7317824E-6 | 7.731783E-6 | 7.731783E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8850178E-5 | 3.31358E-5 | 3.31358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.511943E-4 | 4.033547E-4 | 4.1335067E-4 | 1.0247821 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003506398 | 0.004037415 | 0.0040473747 | 1.0024668 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.7317824E-6 | 7.731783E-6 | 7.731783E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8850178E-5 | 3.31358E-5 | 3.31358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.511943E-4 | 4.033547E-4 | 4.1335067E-4 | 1.0247821 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003506398 | 0.004037415 | 0.0040473747 | 1.0024668 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.274881E-6 | 7.2606895E-6 | 7.2606895E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6892068E-5 | 3.1116873E-5 | 3.1116873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2736175E-4 | 3.7878306E-4 | 3.8877927E-4 | 1.0263903 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032687993 | 0.0037925567 | 0.0038025188 | 1.0026268 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.996209E-6 | 6.9734015E-6 | 6.9734015E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5697784E-5 | 2.9885668E-5 | 2.9885668E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.128256E-4 | 3.637982E-4 | 3.7379455E-4 | 1.0274777 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003123856 | 0.0036432066 | 0.00365317 | 1.0027348 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.686331E-6 | 6.638387E-6 | 6.638387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4369761E-5 | 2.8449924E-5 | 2.8449924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9666146E-4 | 3.4632368E-4 | 3.5632023E-4 | 1.0288647 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029626573 | 0.0034690183 | 0.0034789834 | 1.0028727 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.2329838E-6 | 6.162228E-6 | 6.162228E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.242688E-5 | 2.6409287E-5 | 2.6409287E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7301308E-4 | 3.214864E-4 | 3.3148317E-4 | 1.0310955 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002726779 | 0.0032213794 | 0.0032313473 | 1.0030943 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.135671E-6 | 6.052315E-6 | 6.052315E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2009834E-5 | 2.5938238E-5 | 2.5938238E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6793676E-4 | 3.1575304E-4 | 3.257499E-4 | 1.0316603 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026761394 | 0.0031642106 | 0.003174179 | 1.0031503 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.989062E-6 | 5.8856276E-6 | 5.8856276E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1381518E-5 | 2.5223879E-5 | 2.5223879E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6028889E-4 | 3.070582E-4 | 3.1705512E-4 | 1.0325571 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025998424 | 0.0030775056 | 0.003087475 | 1.0032394 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.8219395E-6 | 5.717122E-6 | 5.717122E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0665291E-5 | 2.4501725E-5 | 2.4501725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5157086E-4 | 2.9826842E-4 | 3.0826544E-4 | 1.0335169 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025128627 | 0.0029898477 | 0.0029998177 | 1.0033346 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.7118383E-6 | 5.6056256E-6 | 5.6056256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0193436E-5 | 2.4023893E-5 | 2.4023893E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4582737E-4 | 2.924524E-4 | 3.0244948E-4 | 1.0341836 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002455556 | 0.0029318416 | 0.0029418122 | 1.0034008 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.5506545E-6 | 5.450919E-6 | 5.450919E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9502659E-5 | 2.3360877E-5 | 2.3360877E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.37419E-4 | 2.8438232E-4 | 2.9437948E-4 | 1.035154 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002371655 | 0.0028513493 | 0.0028613207 | 1.0034971 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.343636E-6 | 5.243674E-6 | 5.243674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.861545E-5 | 2.24727E-5 | 2.24727E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2661954E-4 | 2.735715E-4 | 2.8356878E-4 | 1.0365435 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022638857 | 0.002743504 | 0.0027534764 | 1.0036349 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.936235E-6 | 2.7535557E-6 | 2.7535557E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2583803E-5 | 1.18009E-5 | 1.18009E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5319703E-4 | 1.4366652E-4 | 1.5366508E-4 | 1.0695957 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015309147 | 0.001443076 | 0.0014530615 | 1.0069196 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.4541639E-6 | 9.1615675E-7 | 9.1615675E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.232116E-6 | 3.92638E-6 | 3.92638E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.587337E-5 | 4.7802634E-5 | 5.7802154E-5 | 1.2091835 | 1.0E-5 | 7.584747E-4 | 4.8284905E-4 | 4.928442E-4 | 1.0207005 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 8.098958E-7 | 2.4317822E-7 | 2.4317822E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4709774E-6 | 1.0421918E-6 | 1.0421918E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.225833E-5 | 1.2688612E-5 | 1.2688612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2250296E-4 | 1.2999066E-4 | 1.2999066E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.2473234E-7 | 7.743166E-8 | 7.743166E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.248851E-6 | 3.3184992E-7 | 3.3184992E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7379416E-5 | 4.040265E-6 | 4.040265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7376044E-4 | 4.2545595E-5 | 4.2545595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.3162388E-7 | 4.184894E-8 | 4.184894E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4212444E-6 | 1.7935258E-7 | 1.7935258E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7303513E-5 | 2.1836154E-6 | 2.1836154E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7302166E-4 | 2.3162745E-5 | 2.3162745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.0235345E-7 | 1.4155903E-8 | 1.4155903E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3865757E-7 | 6.066816E-8 | 6.066816E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.340643E-6 | 7.386345E-7 | 7.386345E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3405143E-5 | 7.990267E-6 | 7.990267E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cucamonga
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.174187E-5 | 2.1741753E-5 | 1.8516431 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.0321345E-5 | 6.0320843E-5 | 1.1987128 | 1.0E-5 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.1249285E-4 | 6.324806E-4 | 1.0326334 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0061632637 | 0.0061093806 | 0.0061292583 | 1.0032537 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.174187E-5 | 2.1741753E-5 | 1.8516431 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.0321345E-5 | 6.0320843E-5 | 1.1987128 | 1.0E-5 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.1249285E-4 | 6.324806E-4 | 1.0326334 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0061632637 | 0.0061093806 | 0.0061292583 | 1.0032537 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.174187E-5 | 2.1741753E-5 | 1.8516431 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.0321345E-5 | 6.0320843E-5 | 1.1987128 | 1.0E-5 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.1249285E-4 | 6.324806E-4 | 1.0326334 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0061632637 | 0.0061093806 | 0.0061292583 | 1.0032537 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.174187E-5 | 2.1741753E-5 | 1.8516431 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.0321345E-5 | 6.0320843E-5 | 1.1987128 | 1.0E-5 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.1249285E-4 | 6.324806E-4 | 1.0326334 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0061632637 | 0.0061093806 | 0.0061292583 | 1.0032537 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.174187E-5 | 2.1741753E-5 | 1.8516431 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.0321345E-5 | 6.0320843E-5 | 1.1987128 | 1.0E-5 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.1249285E-4 | 6.324806E-4 | 1.0326334 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0061632637 | 0.0061093806 | 0.0061292583 | 1.0032537 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.16988695E-5 | 1.1580889E-5 | 2.1580774E-5 | 1.8634815 | 1.0E-5 | 5.013705E-5 | 4.9631453E-5 | 5.963096E-5 | 1.2014751 | 1.0E-5 | 6.102476E-4 | 6.040981E-4 | 6.24086E-4 | 1.0330873 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006085745 | 0.0060258894 | 0.006045769 | 1.003299 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.16988695E-5 | 1.1580889E-5 | 2.1580774E-5 | 1.8634815 | 1.0E-5 | 5.013705E-5 | 4.9631453E-5 | 5.963096E-5 | 1.2014751 | 1.0E-5 | 6.102476E-4 | 6.040981E-4 | 6.24086E-4 | 1.0330873 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006085745 | 0.0060258894 | 0.006045769 | 1.003299 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1397107E-5 | 1.1119667E-5 | 2.1119555E-5 | 1.8992976 | 1.0E-5 | 4.884383E-5 | 4.7654856E-5 | 5.7654383E-5 | 1.2098322 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9451134E-4 | 5.800459E-4 | 6.000343E-4 | 1.0344601 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005929234 | 0.0057866285 | 0.0058065127 | 1.0034362 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.058387E-5 | 9.789116E-6 | 1.9789019E-5 | 2.0215325 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5358654E-5 | 4.1952688E-5 | 5.195227E-5 | 1.2383537 | 1.0E-5 | 5.521017E-4 | 5.106554E-4 | 5.306452E-4 | 1.0391454 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00550732 | 0.0050959866 | 0.005115885 | 1.0039047 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.690046E-6 | 8.583225E-6 | 1.858314E-5 | 2.1650531 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1528107E-5 | 3.6784735E-5 | 4.6784367E-5 | 1.2718419 | 1.0E-5 | 5.054874E-4 | 4.4776252E-4 | 4.6775356E-4 | 1.0446465 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005043391 | 0.004469696 | 0.0044896067 | 1.0044546 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.381461E-6 | 8.190743E-6 | 8.190743E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.020564E-5 | 3.5102712E-5 | 3.5102712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.893937E-4 | 4.2729208E-4 | 4.372878E-4 | 1.0233932 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048831734 | 0.004265798 | 0.004275755 | 1.0023342 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.946492E-6 | 7.785451E-6 | 7.785451E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8341543E-5 | 3.3365795E-5 | 3.3365795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.667083E-4 | 4.0615315E-4 | 4.161491E-4 | 1.0246112 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046572937 | 0.004055204 | 0.004065163 | 1.002456 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.251016E-6 | 6.978592E-6 | 6.978592E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5361016E-5 | 2.990791E-5 | 2.990791E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3043532E-4 | 3.640682E-4 | 3.640682E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042960253 | 0.003635812 | 0.003635812 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.717881E-6 | 6.489557E-6 | 6.489557E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3076216E-5 | 2.7812092E-5 | 2.7812092E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.026285E-4 | 3.3855982E-4 | 3.3855982E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004018998 | 0.003381535 | 0.003381535 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.275623E-6 | 6.0350726E-6 | 6.0350726E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.118087E-5 | 2.5864341E-5 | 2.5864341E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7956095E-4 | 3.1485307E-4 | 3.1485307E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037891332 | 0.0031451648 | 0.0031451648 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.5109502E-6 | 5.1033226E-6 | 5.1033226E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7903774E-5 | 2.18712E-5 | 2.18712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3967546E-4 | 2.6624947E-4 | 2.6624947E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033915674 | 0.0026603853 | 0.0026603853 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.4495326E-6 | 3.910974E-6 | 3.910974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.335493E-5 | 1.676121E-5 | 1.676121E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8430918E-4 | 2.040487E-4 | 2.040487E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028394572 | 0.0020396928 | 0.0020396928 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.7997164E-6 | 3.2024109E-6 | 3.2024109E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.057005E-5 | 1.3724546E-5 | 1.3724546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.504116E-4 | 1.6708356E-4 | 1.6708356E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002501296 | 0.0016706679 | 0.0016706679 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.3941733E-6 | 2.0654636E-6 | 2.0654636E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4546376E-5 | 8.851956E-6 | 8.851956E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7708774E-4 | 1.0776726E-4 | 1.0776726E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017694668 | 0.0010774761 | 0.0010774761 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 9.750552E-7 | 5.160128E-7 | 5.160128E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.178801E-6 | 2.2114816E-6 | 2.2114816E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0875715E-5 | 2.692446E-5 | 2.692446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.086407E-4 | 2.6921238E-4 | 2.6921238E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.133857E-7 | 6.056036E-8 | 6.056036E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8593864E-7 | 2.5954438E-7 | 2.5954438E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9162867E-6 | 3.1599482E-6 | 3.1599482E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916129E-5 | 3.159905E-5 | 3.159905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pine Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2261782E-6 | 7.2261782E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0968986E-5 | 3.0968986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7698515E-4 | 3.7698515E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035911554 | 0.003763754 | 0.0037836786 | 1.0052938 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2261782E-6 | 7.2261782E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0968986E-5 | 3.0968986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7698515E-4 | 3.7698515E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035911554 | 0.003763754 | 0.0037836786 | 1.0052938 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2261782E-6 | 7.2261782E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0968986E-5 | 3.0968986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7698515E-4 | 3.7698515E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035911554 | 0.003763754 | 0.0037836786 | 1.0052938 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2261782E-6 | 7.2261782E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0968986E-5 | 3.0968986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7698515E-4 | 3.7698515E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035911554 | 0.003763754 | 0.0037836786 | 1.0052938 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2261782E-6 | 7.2261782E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0968986E-5 | 3.0968986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7698515E-4 | 3.7698515E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035911554 | 0.003763754 | 0.0037836786 | 1.0052938 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2261782E-6 | 7.2261782E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0968986E-5 | 3.0968986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7698515E-4 | 3.7698515E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035911554 | 0.003763754 | 0.0037836786 | 1.0052938 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2261782E-6 | 7.2261782E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0968986E-5 | 3.0968986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7698515E-4 | 3.7698515E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035911554 | 0.003763754 | 0.0037836786 | 1.0052938 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.0867933E-6 | 6.397811E-6 | 6.397811E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6085996E-5 | 2.7418915E-5 | 2.7418915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1755073E-4 | 3.3377635E-4 | 3.3377635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031709734 | 0.0033329693 | 0.0033529026 | 1.0059806 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.6530425E-6 | 5.9512813E-6 | 5.9512813E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.42271E-5 | 2.5505253E-5 | 2.5505253E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.94925E-4 | 3.1048426E-4 | 3.1048426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002945339 | 0.0031007095 | 0.0031206475 | 1.0064301 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.6015225E-6 | 4.8644856E-6 | 4.8644856E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9720663E-5 | 2.0847638E-5 | 2.0847638E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4007261E-4 | 2.537919E-4 | 2.537919E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023981342 | 0.0025351646 | 0.002555114 | 1.007869 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.4875965E-6 | 4.7481226E-6 | 4.7481226E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9232413E-5 | 2.0348945E-5 | 2.0348945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3412947E-4 | 2.477217E-4 | 2.477217E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023388295 | 0.0024745995 | 0.00249455 | 1.0080621 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.203907E-6 | 3.4300263E-6 | 3.4300263E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3730958E-5 | 1.4700033E-5 | 1.4700033E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6716159E-4 | 1.7895887E-4 | 1.7895887E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016703589 | 0.0017882137 | 0.0017882137 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.2060601E-6 | 2.3789844E-6 | 2.3789844E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4545085E-6 | 1.019561E-5 | 1.019561E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.15102564E-4 | 1.2412494E-4 | 1.2412494E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011504296 | 0.001240601 | 0.001240601 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3765207E-6 | 1.5221003E-6 | 1.5221003E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.899361E-6 | 6.523271E-6 | 6.523271E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.182235E-5 | 7.941802E-5 | 7.941802E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1799144E-4 | 7.939055E-4 | 7.939055E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.1245983E-6 | 1.2591137E-6 | 1.2591137E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.819698E-6 | 5.3961908E-6 | 5.3961908E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8678244E-5 | 6.5696724E-5 | 6.5696724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.866275E-4 | 6.5678137E-4 | 6.5678137E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.031682E-7 | 9.28074E-7 | 9.28074E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4421448E-6 | 3.977454E-6 | 3.977454E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1907308E-5 | 4.84245E-5 | 4.84245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1899405E-4 | 4.841462E-4 | 4.841462E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.8953444E-7 | 6.0063644E-7 | 6.0063644E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.098003E-6 | 2.574154E-6 | 2.574154E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5542888E-5 | 3.133992E-5 | 3.133992E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5539953E-4 | 3.133599E-4 | 3.133599E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.634529E-8 | 6.788974E-8 | 6.788974E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.843369E-7 | 2.90956E-7 | 2.90956E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4617963E-6 | 3.5423839E-6 | 3.5423839E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4617424E-5 | 3.5423323E-5 | 3.5423323E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 9.235578E-9 | 9.4888115E-9 | 9.4888115E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9581046E-8 | 4.0666336E-8 | 4.0666336E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.818991E-7 | 4.9511254E-7 | 4.9511254E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8189804E-6 | 4.951116E-6 | 4.951116E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.2826076E-5 | 1.2826076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.4967863E-5 | 5.4967863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.690504E-4 | 6.7904365E-4 | 1.0149366 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051611643 | 0.006675033 | 0.0066948994 | 1.0029763 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.2826076E-5 | 1.2826076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.4967863E-5 | 5.4967863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.690504E-4 | 6.7904365E-4 | 1.0149366 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051611643 | 0.006675033 | 0.0066948994 | 1.0029763 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.2826076E-5 | 1.2826076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.4967863E-5 | 5.4967863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.690504E-4 | 6.7904365E-4 | 1.0149366 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051611643 | 0.006675033 | 0.0066948994 | 1.0029763 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.479711E-6 | 8.12178E-6 | 8.12178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3484265E-5 | 3.4807184E-5 | 3.4807184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.858834E-4 | 4.2369825E-4 | 4.2369825E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028551589 | 0.00423171 | 0.0042416677 | 1.0023531 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.465009E-6 | 8.1060725E-6 | 8.1060725E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3421257E-5 | 3.4739867E-5 | 3.4739867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.851165E-4 | 4.2287898E-4 | 4.2287898E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028475097 | 0.004223549 | 0.0042335065 | 1.0023577 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.826767E-6 | 7.431093E-6 | 7.431093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.068598E-5 | 3.184717E-5 | 3.184717E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.518227E-4 | 3.8767306E-4 | 3.8767306E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025153751 | 0.0038727317 | 0.003882693 | 1.0025722 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.3146847E-6 | 6.8910017E-6 | 6.8910017E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8491375E-5 | 2.9532543E-5 | 2.9532543E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2510924E-4 | 3.5950184E-4 | 3.5950184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022488134 | 0.0035919342 | 0.0036018982 | 1.002774 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6968106E-6 | 6.003682E-6 | 6.003682E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5843378E-5 | 2.572982E-5 | 2.572982E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9287605E-4 | 3.1321708E-4 | 3.1321708E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019270873 | 0.003130397 | 0.003140366 | 1.0031844 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4671132E-6 | 5.7101665E-6 | 5.7101665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4858972E-5 | 2.4471921E-5 | 2.4471921E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8089297E-4 | 2.9790634E-4 | 2.9790634E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018074579 | 0.0029777023 | 0.0029876726 | 1.0033484 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.7686972E-6 | 4.8326006E-6 | 4.8326006E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1865792E-5 | 2.0710984E-5 | 2.0710984E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4445644E-4 | 2.5212782E-4 | 2.5212782E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014436257 | 0.002520982 | 0.002520982 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.1472624E-6 | 3.9917404E-6 | 3.9917404E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.20252E-6 | 1.710735E-5 | 1.710735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.12034926E-4 | 2.082626E-4 | 2.082626E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011197845 | 0.002083196 | 0.002083196 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.7018335E-6 | 3.3509448E-6 | 3.3509448E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.293552E-6 | 1.4361115E-5 | 1.4361115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.879537E-5 | 1.7483291E-4 | 1.7483291E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.87599E-4 | 0.0017494434 | 0.0017494434 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.25603E-6 | 2.800217E-6 | 2.800217E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3829745E-6 | 1.2000876E-5 | 1.2000876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.553574E-5 | 1.461011E-4 | 1.461011E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.551642E-4 | 0.0014625143 | 0.0014625143 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.112297E-6 | 2.615751E-6 | 2.615751E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7669787E-6 | 1.1210315E-5 | 1.1210315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.803642E-5 | 1.3647726E-4 | 1.3647726E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.802127E-4 | 0.0013662535 | 0.0013662535 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.0137181E-6 | 2.4886804E-6 | 2.4886804E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3444993E-6 | 1.0665731E-5 | 1.0665731E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2892992E-5 | 1.2984774E-4 | 1.2984774E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.288041E-4 | 0.0012998052 | 0.0012998052 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.598608E-7 | 2.4121837E-6 | 2.4121837E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1136827E-6 | 1.0337891E-5 | 1.0337891E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0082934E-5 | 1.2585676E-4 | 1.2585676E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.007165E-4 | 0.0012597546 | 0.0012597546 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 7.929459E-7 | 2.049302E-6 | 2.049302E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3983351E-6 | 8.782695E-6 | 8.782695E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1373947E-5 | 1.06924235E-4 | 1.06924235E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1366243E-4 | 0.0010708059 | 0.0010708059 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.155788E-7 | 1.1637169E-6 | 1.1637169E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7810507E-6 | 4.987349E-6 | 4.987349E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1684076E-5 | 6.071932E-5 | 6.071932E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1681961E-4 | 6.1018177E-4 | 6.1018177E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.14666925E-7 | 2.5990724E-7 | 2.5990724E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.914296E-7 | 1.1138877E-6 | 1.1138877E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9831386E-6 | 1.3561503E-5 | 1.3561503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9829777E-5 | 1.3668729E-4 | 1.3668729E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.9231824E-8 | 4.157934E-8 | 4.157934E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2527924E-7 | 1.7819717E-7 | 1.7819717E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5252737E-6 | 2.1695485E-6 | 2.1695485E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5252632E-5 | 2.2015895E-5 | 2.2015895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Los Osos 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8871775E-6 | 4.981625E-6 | 4.981625E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0944879E-5 | 2.1349662E-5 | 2.1349662E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5497406E-4 | 2.599039E-4 | 2.599039E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002546817 | 0.002596274 | 0.002616222 | 1.0076834 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.8871775E-6 | 4.981625E-6 | 4.981625E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0944879E-5 | 2.1349662E-5 | 2.1349662E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5497406E-4 | 2.599039E-4 | 2.599039E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002546817 | 0.002596274 | 0.002616222 | 1.0076834 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.8871775E-6 | 4.981625E-6 | 4.981625E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0944879E-5 | 2.1349662E-5 | 2.1349662E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5497406E-4 | 2.599039E-4 | 2.599039E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002546817 | 0.002596274 | 0.002616222 | 1.0076834 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.8871775E-6 | 4.981625E-6 | 4.981625E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0944879E-5 | 2.1349662E-5 | 2.1349662E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5497406E-4 | 2.599039E-4 | 2.599039E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002546817 | 0.002596274 | 0.002616222 | 1.0076834 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.8871775E-6 | 4.981625E-6 | 4.981625E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0944879E-5 | 2.1349662E-5 | 2.1349662E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5497406E-4 | 2.599039E-4 | 2.599039E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002546817 | 0.002596274 | 0.002616222 | 1.0076834 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.1724062E-6 | 3.223495E-6 | 3.223495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3595956E-5 | 1.3814906E-5 | 1.3814906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6551818E-4 | 1.6818364E-4 | 1.6818364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016539496 | 0.001680577 | 0.0016905603 | 1.0059403 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1022591E-6 | 3.1512025E-6 | 3.1512025E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3295328E-5 | 1.3505084E-5 | 1.3505084E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.618586E-4 | 1.6441212E-4 | 1.6441212E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016174077 | 0.0016429176 | 0.0016529013 | 1.0060767 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.611518E-6 | 2.6492708E-6 | 2.6492708E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1192172E-5 | 1.1353968E-5 | 1.1353968E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3625617E-4 | 1.3822583E-4 | 1.3822583E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013617266 | 0.0013814031 | 0.0013814031 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.4780884E-6 | 2.5122433E-6 | 2.5122433E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0620336E-5 | 1.0766713E-5 | 1.0766713E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2929492E-4 | 1.3107689E-4 | 1.3107689E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012921972 | 0.0013099998 | 0.0013099998 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.1376322E-6 | 2.163582E-6 | 2.163582E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.161248E-6 | 9.27246E-6 | 9.27246E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1153249E-4 | 1.1288638E-4 | 1.1288638E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011147653 | 0.0011282923 | 0.0011282923 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.9282882E-6 | 1.9495303E-6 | 1.9495303E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.264066E-6 | 8.355103E-6 | 8.355103E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0061036E-4 | 1.01718644E-4 | 1.01718644E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010056482 | 0.0010167223 | 0.0010167223 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.6353226E-6 | 1.6501775E-6 | 1.6501775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0085066E-6 | 7.0721703E-6 | 7.0721703E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.532523E-5 | 8.610028E-5 | 8.610028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.529247E-4 | 8.6066994E-4 | 8.6066994E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.4446276E-6 | 1.4553959E-6 | 1.4553959E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.191247E-6 | 6.237396E-6 | 6.237396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.537582E-5 | 7.5937656E-5 | 7.5937656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.535026E-4 | 7.591177E-4 | 7.591177E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.2014582E-6 | 1.2069642E-6 | 1.2069642E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.149096E-6 | 5.1726934E-6 | 5.1726934E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.268844E-5 | 6.297572E-5 | 6.297572E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.267076E-4 | 6.295792E-4 | 6.295792E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.707733E-7 | 9.710292E-7 | 9.710292E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.16045E-6 | 4.1615467E-6 | 4.1615467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0652303E-5 | 5.0665658E-5 | 5.0665658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.064076E-4 | 5.0654134E-4 | 5.0654134E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.174908E-7 | 7.115373E-7 | 7.115373E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.074957E-6 | 3.049442E-6 | 3.049442E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.743696E-5 | 3.7126327E-5 | 3.7126327E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7430652E-4 | 3.7120143E-4 | 3.7120143E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.5535776E-7 | 4.421182E-7 | 4.421182E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9515319E-6 | 1.8947909E-6 | 1.8947909E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3759641E-5 | 2.3068837E-5 | 2.3068837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.37571E-4 | 2.306645E-4 | 2.306645E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.1173553E-7 | 1.9063941E-7 | 1.9063941E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0743765E-7 | 8.170258E-7 | 8.170258E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1047998E-5 | 9.947244E-6 | 9.947244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1047449E-4 | 9.9468016E-5 | 9.9468016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 9.873608E-8 | 7.3702424E-8 | 7.3702424E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2315455E-7 | 3.1586748E-7 | 3.1586748E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1518946E-6 | 3.84568E-6 | 3.84568E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1517753E-5 | 3.845614E-5 | 3.845614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 5.4399106E-8 | 3.1904104E-8 | 3.1904104E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.33139E-7 | 1.3673187E-7 | 1.3673187E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8384638E-6 | 1.6647093E-6 | 1.6647093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8384275E-5 | 1.6646969E-5 | 1.6646969E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.817203E-8 | 8.430651E-9 | 8.430651E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7880124E-8 | 3.6131357E-8 | 3.6131357E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.481901E-7 | 4.398992E-7 | 4.398992E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.481861E-6 | 4.398984E-6 | 4.398984E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4200363E-5 | 2.4200363E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03711725E-4 | 1.1371069E-4 | 1.0964111 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.0012619615 | 0.0012819363 | 1.0158284 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012957002 | 0.012976743 | 1.0015236 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4200363E-5 | 2.4200363E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03711725E-4 | 1.1371069E-4 | 1.0964111 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.0012619615 | 0.0012819363 | 1.0158284 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012957002 | 0.012976743 | 1.0015236 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4200363E-5 | 2.4200363E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03711725E-4 | 1.1371069E-4 | 1.0964111 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.0012619615 | 0.0012819363 | 1.0158284 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012957002 | 0.012976743 | 1.0015236 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4200363E-5 | 2.4200363E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03711725E-4 | 1.1371069E-4 | 1.0964111 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.0012619615 | 0.0012819363 | 1.0158284 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012957002 | 0.012976743 | 1.0015236 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4200363E-5 | 2.4200363E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03711725E-4 | 1.1371069E-4 | 1.0964111 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.0012619615 | 0.0012819363 | 1.0158284 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012957002 | 0.012976743 | 1.0015236 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7282445E-5 | 2.4086416E-5 | 2.4086416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16919524E-4 | 1.0322342E-4 | 1.1322239E-4 | 1.0968672 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014225657 | 0.0012560233 | 0.0012759982 | 1.0159032 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014134934 | 0.0128983185 | 0.012918061 | 1.0015306 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.7282445E-5 | 2.4086416E-5 | 2.4086416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16919524E-4 | 1.0322342E-4 | 1.1322239E-4 | 1.0968672 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014225657 | 0.0012560233 | 0.0012759982 | 1.0159032 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014134934 | 0.0128983185 | 0.012918061 | 1.0015306 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.7216198E-5 | 2.4011519E-5 | 2.4011519E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1663563E-4 | 1.02902464E-4 | 1.12901434E-4 | 1.0971694 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014191137 | 0.0012521201 | 0.0012720951 | 1.015953 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014100855 | 0.012859723 | 0.012879465 | 1.0015353 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.7078617E-5 | 2.3928704E-5 | 2.3928704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1604605E-4 | 1.0254757E-4 | 1.1254654E-4 | 1.0975057 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001411945 | 0.0012478043 | 0.0012677793 | 1.0160081 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014030075 | 0.012816855 | 0.012836599 | 1.0015404 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.6982952E-5 | 2.3848184E-5 | 2.3848184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.15636096E-4 | 1.0220252E-4 | 1.12201495E-4 | 1.097835 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014069602 | 0.001243608 | 0.0012635831 | 1.0160623 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013980856 | 0.012775111 | 0.012794855 | 1.0015455 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.6449972E-5 | 2.3425084E-5 | 2.3425084E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1335209E-4 | 1.0038937E-4 | 1.1038836E-4 | 1.0996021 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001379188 | 0.0012215578 | 0.0012415334 | 1.0163525 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0137065975 | 0.012556423 | 0.012576172 | 1.0015728 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.6257849E-5 | 2.3251072E-5 | 2.3251072E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1252879E-4 | 9.964366E-5 | 1.09642664E-4 | 1.1003476 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013691769 | 0.001212489 | 0.0012324647 | 1.016475 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013607717 | 0.01246625 | 0.012486001 | 1.0015843 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.5270041E-5 | 2.2445416E-5 | 2.2445416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0829568E-4 | 9.619111E-5 | 1.0619015E-4 | 1.1039497 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013177024 | 0.0011705 | 0.0011904765 | 1.0170667 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013099162 | 0.012047098 | 0.012066857 | 1.0016402 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.339701E-5 | 2.1176516E-5 | 2.1176516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0026905E-4 | 9.0753354E-5 | 1.0075244E-4 | 1.1101788 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001220092 | 0.001104364 | 0.001124342 | 1.01809 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012134149 | 0.011385659 | 0.011405431 | 1.0017366 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.296333E-5 | 2.0906678E-5 | 2.0906678E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.841056E-5 | 8.9596986E-5 | 9.959609E-5 | 1.1116009 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011974899 | 0.0010902995 | 0.0011102777 | 1.0183235 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011910575 | 0.011244715 | 0.01126449 | 1.0017586 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.2188895E-5 | 2.0429181E-5 | 2.0429181E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.50918E-5 | 8.75507E-5 | 9.754983E-5 | 1.1142095 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011571277 | 0.0010654107 | 0.0010853893 | 1.0187521 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011511209 | 0.010994119 | 0.011013899 | 1.0017991 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.0013189E-5 | 1.9014307E-5 | 1.9014307E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5767984E-5 | 8.148735E-5 | 9.148654E-5 | 1.1227084 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001043725 | 9.916587E-4 | 0.0010116389 | 1.0201483 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010388365 | 0.010251607 | 0.010271402 | 1.001931 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7230794E-5 | 1.6794105E-5 | 1.6794105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.384417E-5 | 7.1972754E-5 | 8.197204E-5 | 1.1389315 | 1.0E-5 | 8.986819E-4 | 8.7591686E-4 | 8.958993E-4 | 1.0228132 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008950562 | 0.00908927 | 0.009109088 | 1.0021803 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.4478809E-5 | 1.5039657E-5 | 1.5039657E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.205057E-5 | 6.4454085E-5 | 7.445344E-5 | 1.1551392 | 1.0E-5 | 7.552038E-4 | 7.844466E-4 | 8.044309E-4 | 1.0254756 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0075264242 | 0.008166716 | 0.008186553 | 1.002429 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.1114467E-5 | 1.1688295E-5 | 1.1688295E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7632562E-5 | 5.009173E-5 | 6.009123E-5 | 1.1996237 | 1.0E-5 | 5.797721E-4 | 6.096968E-4 | 6.2968454E-4 | 1.0327832 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0057826187 | 0.0064027603 | 0.0064226324 | 1.0031036 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 9.327402E-6 | 9.938264E-6 | 9.938264E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9973966E-5 | 4.2591866E-5 | 5.259144E-5 | 1.2347766 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8657437E-4 | 5.1843317E-4 | 5.384228E-4 | 1.0385578 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0048551033 | 0.0054704016 | 0.0054902923 | 1.003636 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 7.0235833E-6 | 6.856314E-6 | 6.856314E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0100724E-5 | 2.9383875E-5 | 3.938358E-5 | 1.3403127 | 1.0E-5 | 3.664147E-4 | 3.5769044E-4 | 3.6768688E-4 | 1.0279472 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003658111 | 0.003802708 | 0.00381267 | 1.0026197 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.0358202E-6 | 9.050852E-7 | 9.050852E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.724915E-6 | 3.878931E-6 | 3.878931E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06220665E-4 | 4.722498E-5 | 4.722498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001061699 | 5.357392E-4 | 5.357392E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.0051264E-7 | 6.6645676E-8 | 6.6645676E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5933965E-7 | 2.856243E-7 | 2.856243E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.046241E-5 | 3.4774707E-6 | 3.4774707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0461917E-4 | 4.0409777E-5 | 4.0409777E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Luis Range 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.96562E-6 | 8.96562E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.8423565E-5 | 3.8423565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.6771436E-4 | 4.6771436E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046003438 | 0.0046680826 | 0.004687989 | 1.0042645 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.96562E-6 | 8.96562E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.8423565E-5 | 3.8423565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.6771436E-4 | 4.6771436E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046003438 | 0.0046680826 | 0.004687989 | 1.0042645 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.96562E-6 | 8.96562E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.8423565E-5 | 3.8423565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.6771436E-4 | 4.6771436E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046003438 | 0.0046680826 | 0.004687989 | 1.0042645 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.96562E-6 | 8.96562E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.8423565E-5 | 3.8423565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.6771436E-4 | 4.6771436E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046003438 | 0.0046680826 | 0.004687989 | 1.0042645 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.9094193E-6 | 3.941277E-6 | 3.941277E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6754546E-5 | 1.689108E-5 | 1.689108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.039675E-4 | 2.0562977E-4 | 2.0562977E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020378039 | 0.0020544238 | 0.0020644031 | 1.0048575 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.9094193E-6 | 3.941277E-6 | 3.941277E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6754546E-5 | 1.689108E-5 | 1.689108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.039675E-4 | 2.0562977E-4 | 2.0562977E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020378039 | 0.0020544238 | 0.0020644031 | 1.0048575 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.0587726E-6 | 3.0754484E-6 | 3.0754484E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3108959E-5 | 1.3180426E-5 | 1.3180426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.595899E-4 | 1.6046E-4 | 1.6046E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015947534 | 0.0016034533 | 0.0016134373 | 1.0062265 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6160574E-6 | 2.6251803E-6 | 2.6251803E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1211626E-5 | 1.1250724E-5 | 1.1250724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3649299E-4 | 1.3696901E-4 | 1.3696901E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013640919 | 0.0013688521 | 0.0013788384 | 1.0072954 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.5110312E-6 | 2.5181912E-6 | 2.5181912E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0761518E-5 | 1.0792203E-5 | 1.0792203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.310136E-4 | 1.3138722E-4 | 1.3138722E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013093639 | 0.0013131013 | 0.0013230881 | 1.0076056 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.8564405E-6 | 1.8525276E-6 | 1.8525276E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.95615E-6 | 7.939379E-6 | 7.939379E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.686181E-5 | 9.6657684E-5 | 9.6657684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.68196E-4 | 9.6615846E-4 | 9.6615846E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.546127E-6 | 1.5369894E-6 | 1.5369894E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.626242E-6 | 6.587081E-6 | 6.587081E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.06715E-5 | 8.019476E-5 | 8.019476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0642226E-4 | 8.0165896E-4 | 8.0165896E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.3368208E-6 | 1.3235643E-6 | 1.3235643E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7292195E-6 | 5.672406E-6 | 5.672406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.975101E-5 | 6.905936E-5 | 6.905936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.972912E-4 | 6.903795E-4 | 6.903795E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0623363E-6 | 1.0454634E-6 | 1.0454634E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5528623E-6 | 4.4805497E-6 | 4.4805497E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5429686E-5 | 5.4549328E-5 | 5.4549328E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5415864E-4 | 5.453596E-4 | 5.453596E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.831679E-7 | 7.727608E-7 | 7.727608E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3564295E-6 | 3.3118279E-6 | 3.3118279E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.086376E-5 | 4.032076E-5 | 4.032076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0856248E-4 | 4.0313456E-4 | 4.0313456E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9558846E-7 | 5.910821E-7 | 5.910821E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5525194E-6 | 2.5332063E-6 | 2.5332063E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.107648E-5 | 3.084135E-5 | 3.084135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1072134E-4 | 3.083708E-4 | 3.083708E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.1616502E-7 | 4.1197833E-7 | 4.1197833E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7835631E-6 | 1.7656203E-6 | 1.7656203E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1714664E-5 | 2.1496215E-5 | 2.1496215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1712543E-4 | 2.149414E-4 | 2.149414E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.3816014E-7 | 2.3377711E-7 | 2.3377711E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0206859E-6 | 1.0019015E-6 | 1.0019015E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.242678E-5 | 1.2198083E-5 | 1.2198083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2426086E-4 | 1.2197415E-4 | 1.2197415E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 9.918777E-8 | 9.387643E-8 | 9.387643E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2509038E-7 | 4.023275E-7 | 4.023275E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1754632E-6 | 4.898326E-6 | 4.898326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1753424E-5 | 4.8982187E-5 | 4.8982187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.4982556E-8 | 2.969361E-8 | 2.969361E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4992524E-7 | 1.2725833E-7 | 1.2725833E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8253382E-6 | 1.549369E-6 | 1.549369E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8253233E-5 | 1.5493582E-5 | 1.5493582E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.6624908E-8 | 1.1483284E-8 | 1.1483284E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.12496E-8 | 4.921408E-8 | 4.921408E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6746354E-7 | 5.9918125E-7 | 5.9918125E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.674601E-6 | 5.9917966E-6 | 5.9917966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.3352315E-9 | 3.0922211E-9 | 3.0922211E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.715099E-8 | 1.325238E-8 | 1.325238E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3056327E-7 | 1.6134771E-7 | 1.6134771E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3056278E-6 | 1.613476E-6 | 1.613476E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
North Frontal (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.8528054E-6 | 4.8528054E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0797579E-5 | 2.0797579E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5318257E-4 | 2.5318257E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025290875 | 0.0025490369 | 1.007888 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.8528054E-6 | 4.8528054E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0797579E-5 | 2.0797579E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5318257E-4 | 2.5318257E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025290875 | 0.0025490369 | 1.007888 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.8528054E-6 | 4.8528054E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0797579E-5 | 2.0797579E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5318257E-4 | 2.5318257E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025290875 | 0.0025490369 | 1.007888 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.8528054E-6 | 4.8528054E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0797579E-5 | 2.0797579E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5318257E-4 | 2.5318257E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025290875 | 0.0025490369 | 1.007888 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.8528054E-6 | 4.8528054E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0797579E-5 | 2.0797579E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5318257E-4 | 2.5318257E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025290875 | 0.0025490369 | 1.007888 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.8528054E-6 | 4.8528054E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0797579E-5 | 2.0797579E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5318257E-4 | 2.5318257E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025290875 | 0.0025490369 | 1.007888 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.8528054E-6 | 4.8528054E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.0797579E-5 | 2.0797579E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5318257E-4 | 2.5318257E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024658558 | 0.0025290875 | 0.0025490369 | 1.007888 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.5382777E-6 | 3.6309916E-6 | 3.6309916E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.516396E-5 | 1.5561303E-5 | 1.5561303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8460557E-4 | 1.8944318E-4 | 1.8944318E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018445229 | 0.0018928939 | 0.0019028749 | 1.0052729 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5382777E-6 | 3.6309916E-6 | 3.6309916E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.516396E-5 | 1.5561303E-5 | 1.5561303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8460557E-4 | 1.8944318E-4 | 1.8944318E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018445229 | 0.0018928939 | 0.0019028749 | 1.0052729 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.0428037E-6 | 3.1228542E-6 | 3.1228542E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.30405215E-5 | 1.3383596E-5 | 1.3383596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5875678E-4 | 1.6293378E-4 | 1.6293378E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015864341 | 0.0016282103 | 0.001638194 | 1.0061318 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.538778E-6 | 2.6061718E-6 | 2.6061718E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0880432E-5 | 1.1169263E-5 | 1.1169263E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.324612E-4 | 1.3597777E-4 | 1.3597777E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013238228 | 0.0013589924 | 0.0013589924 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.2418935E-6 | 2.3012813E-6 | 2.3012813E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.60808E-6 | 9.862599E-6 | 9.862599E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1697209E-4 | 1.20070974E-4 | 1.20070974E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011691054 | 0.001200105 | 0.001200105 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.6526745E-6 | 1.6925403E-6 | 1.6925403E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.082872E-6 | 7.2537255E-6 | 7.2537255E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.623055E-5 | 8.8310786E-5 | 8.8310786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.61971E-4 | 8.827819E-4 | 8.827819E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0246019E-6 | 1.0442619E-6 | 1.0442619E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.391144E-6 | 4.475401E-6 | 4.475401E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3460866E-5 | 5.4486765E-5 | 5.4486765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.344801E-4 | 5.4474553E-4 | 5.4474553E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 8.9045164E-7 | 9.056875E-7 | 9.056875E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8162157E-6 | 3.8815124E-6 | 3.8815124E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.646144E-5 | 4.72565E-5 | 4.72565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6451724E-4 | 4.724754E-4 | 4.724754E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.3357E-7 | 6.402935E-7 | 6.402935E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7152971E-6 | 2.7441124E-6 | 2.7441124E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.305824E-5 | 3.3409124E-5 | 3.3409124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3053322E-4 | 3.340476E-4 | 3.340476E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.5087024E-7 | 2.43621E-7 | 2.43621E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0751578E-6 | 1.0440897E-6 | 1.0440897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3089967E-5 | 1.2711739E-5 | 1.2711739E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3089196E-4 | 1.2711217E-4 | 1.2711217E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.282987E-8 | 2.2876245E-8 | 2.2876245E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4069944E-7 | 9.804104E-8 | 9.804104E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7130144E-6 | 1.1936492E-6 | 1.1936492E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7130013E-5 | 1.1936436E-5 | 1.1936436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 8.77499E-9 | 5.682227E-9 | 5.682227E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7607098E-8 | 2.4352403E-8 | 2.4352403E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.578663E-7 | 2.9649047E-7 | 2.9649047E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5786537E-6 | 2.9649023E-6 | 2.9649023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Raymond
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5811946E-5 | 1.5811946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.776386E-5 | 6.776386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.2473777E-4 | 8.347295E-4 | 1.0121151 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007877788 | 0.008219301 | 0.008239136 | 1.0024133 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5811946E-5 | 1.5811946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.776386E-5 | 6.776386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.2473777E-4 | 8.347295E-4 | 1.0121151 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007877788 | 0.008219301 | 0.008239136 | 1.0024133 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5811946E-5 | 1.5811946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.776386E-5 | 6.776386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.2473777E-4 | 8.347295E-4 | 1.0121151 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007877788 | 0.008219301 | 0.008239136 | 1.0024133 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5811946E-5 | 1.5811946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.776386E-5 | 6.776386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.2473777E-4 | 8.347295E-4 | 1.0121151 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007877788 | 0.008219301 | 0.008239136 | 1.0024133 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3941944E-5 | 1.4456363E-5 | 1.4456363E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9749822E-5 | 6.19545E-5 | 6.19545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2721124E-4 | 7.5405836E-4 | 7.640508E-4 | 1.0132515 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007248361 | 0.0075173425 | 0.007537192 | 1.0026405 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3941944E-5 | 1.4456363E-5 | 1.4456363E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9749822E-5 | 6.19545E-5 | 6.19545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2721124E-4 | 7.5405836E-4 | 7.640508E-4 | 1.0132515 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007248361 | 0.0075173425 | 0.007537192 | 1.0026405 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0542609E-5 | 1.0672388E-5 | 1.0672388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5181827E-5 | 4.5738034E-5 | 4.5738034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.499499E-4 | 5.5672374E-4 | 5.6671817E-4 | 1.0179522 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005485909 | 0.0055538635 | 0.0055737523 | 1.003581 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0542609E-5 | 1.0672388E-5 | 1.0672388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5181827E-5 | 4.5738034E-5 | 4.5738034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.499499E-4 | 5.5672374E-4 | 5.6671817E-4 | 1.0179522 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005485909 | 0.0055538635 | 0.0055737523 | 1.003581 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0079132E-5 | 1.017789E-5 | 1.017789E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3195567E-5 | 4.3618827E-5 | 4.3618827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.257791E-4 | 5.309352E-4 | 5.409299E-4 | 1.0188247 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052453685 | 0.005297228 | 0.005317122 | 1.0037556 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.721598E-6 | 7.5498656E-6 | 7.5498656E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3092143E-5 | 3.2356173E-5 | 3.2356173E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0282236E-4 | 3.9386642E-4 | 4.0386248E-4 | 1.0253793 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040209293 | 0.003931829 | 0.0039517498 | 1.0050666 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.137566E-6 | 6.912212E-6 | 6.912212E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.058921E-5 | 2.9623436E-5 | 2.9623436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7236E-4 | 3.606067E-4 | 3.706031E-4 | 1.027721 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037173668 | 0.0036003455 | 0.0036202734 | 1.005535 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.654976E-6 | 5.300316E-6 | 5.300316E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4235387E-5 | 2.2715443E-5 | 2.2715443E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9502588E-4 | 2.7652562E-4 | 2.7652562E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029463451 | 0.0027618578 | 0.0027618578 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.9358455E-6 | 4.527373E-6 | 4.527373E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1153453E-5 | 1.9402883E-5 | 1.9402883E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5751285E-4 | 2.3620464E-4 | 2.3620464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025721465 | 0.0023595693 | 0.0023595693 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.2368597E-6 | 3.8062794E-6 | 3.8062794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8157843E-5 | 1.6312526E-5 | 1.6312526E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2104931E-4 | 1.98587E-4 | 1.98587E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022082955 | 0.0019841255 | 0.0019841255 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.4999923E-6 | 3.0443437E-6 | 3.0443437E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.49998805E-5 | 1.3047122E-5 | 1.3047122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8260824E-4 | 1.5883721E-4 | 1.5883721E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018245826 | 0.001587264 | 0.001587264 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.738017E-6 | 2.3024772E-6 | 2.3024772E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1734306E-5 | 9.867723E-6 | 9.867723E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.428558E-4 | 1.2013297E-4 | 1.2013297E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014276401 | 0.0012007061 | 0.0012007061 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.8186392E-6 | 1.442606E-6 | 1.442606E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.794145E-6 | 6.182583E-6 | 6.182583E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.488958E-5 | 7.527039E-5 | 7.527039E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4849075E-4 | 7.524719E-4 | 7.524719E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.0660348E-6 | 7.6461123E-7 | 7.6461123E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5687125E-6 | 3.2769012E-6 | 3.2769012E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5622655E-5 | 3.989556E-5 | 3.989556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5608735E-4 | 3.9890452E-4 | 3.9890452E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.913602E-7 | 4.3223807E-7 | 4.3223807E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.962969E-6 | 1.8524476E-6 | 1.8524476E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.607355E-5 | 2.2553322E-5 | 2.2553322E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6067693E-4 | 2.255298E-4 | 2.255298E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.425201E-8 | 5.3243642E-8 | 5.3243642E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1822285E-7 | 2.2818702E-7 | 2.2818702E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.874356E-6 | 2.7781748E-6 | 2.7781748E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8742884E-5 | 2.778153E-5 | 2.778153E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Gillem - Big Crack 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.196852E-5 | 2.3606119E-5 | 2.3606119E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4147406E-5 | 1.0116566E-4 | 1.0116566E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011456419 | 0.0012310848 | 0.0012310848 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011397537 | 0.012251512 | 0.012271267 | 1.0016124 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.992795E-6 | 1.0712606E-5 | 1.0712606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2825563E-5 | 4.5910463E-5 | 4.5910463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2127644E-4 | 5.588349E-4 | 5.588349E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052005537 | 0.0055761063 | 0.0055860505 | 1.0017834 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.992795E-6 | 1.0712606E-5 | 1.0712606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2825563E-5 | 4.5910463E-5 | 4.5910463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2127644E-4 | 5.588349E-4 | 5.588349E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052005537 | 0.0055761063 | 0.0055860505 | 1.0017834 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.6127884E-6 | 4.942985E-6 | 4.942985E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9768944E-5 | 2.1184076E-5 | 2.1184076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.406603E-4 | 2.5789006E-4 | 2.5789006E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024039985 | 0.002576346 | 0.0025863203 | 1.0038714 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.6127884E-6 | 4.942985E-6 | 4.942985E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9768944E-5 | 2.1184076E-5 | 2.1184076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.406603E-4 | 2.5789006E-4 | 2.5789006E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024039985 | 0.002576346 | 0.0025863203 | 1.0038714 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.716712E-6 | 2.9113048E-6 | 2.9113048E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1643E-5 | 1.2476975E-5 | 1.2476975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.417443E-4 | 1.51899E-4 | 1.51899E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014165393 | 0.0015181898 | 0.0015181898 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.3818255E-6 | 1.4821687E-6 | 1.4821687E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.922096E-6 | 6.3521434E-6 | 6.3521434E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.209913E-5 | 7.733583E-5 | 7.733583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2075747E-4 | 7.732101E-4 | 7.732101E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ortigalita (South)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.72394E-5 | 4.326212E-5 | 4.326212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5958765E-4 | 1.853968E-4 | 1.853968E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019412481 | 0.0022550256 | 0.0022550256 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019243775 | 0.02233783 | 0.022347607 | 1.0004376 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.7299884E-5 | 3.149654E-5 | 3.149654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16994255E-4 | 1.3497852E-4 | 1.3497852E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014234743 | 0.0016421804 | 0.0016421804 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014143906 | 0.016306385 | 0.016316224 | 1.0006032 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.7299884E-5 | 3.149654E-5 | 3.149654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16994255E-4 | 1.3497852E-4 | 1.3497852E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014234743 | 0.0016421804 | 0.0016421804 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014143906 | 0.016306385 | 0.016316224 | 1.0006032 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0546433E-5 | 2.3634757E-5 | 2.3634757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.805317E-5 | 1.01287995E-4 | 1.01287995E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00107152 | 0.0012325026 | 0.0012325026 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010663681 | 0.0122587355 | 0.0122587355 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.0546433E-5 | 2.3634757E-5 | 2.3634757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.805317E-5 | 1.01287995E-4 | 1.01287995E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00107152 | 0.0012325026 | 0.0012325026 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010663681 | 0.0122587355 | 0.0122587355 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.7779594E-5 | 2.0449834E-5 | 2.0449834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.619603E-5 | 8.763927E-5 | 8.763927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.272918E-4 | 0.0010664994 | 0.0010664994 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009234319 | 0.01061528 | 0.01061528 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.6272212E-5 | 1.8717585E-5 | 1.8717585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.973618E-5 | 8.0215825E-5 | 8.0215825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.487073E-4 | 9.762023E-4 | 9.762023E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008454733 | 0.009720444 | 0.009720444 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.3051484E-5 | 1.5040892E-5 | 1.5040892E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.593373E-5 | 6.4459426E-5 | 6.4459426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.807804E-4 | 7.8452047E-4 | 7.8452047E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006786986 | 0.007818493 | 0.007818493 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.04277415E-5 | 1.1988904E-5 | 1.1988904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4689557E-5 | 5.1380044E-5 | 5.1380044E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.439595E-4 | 6.253799E-4 | 6.253799E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054262993 | 0.006236955 | 0.006236955 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.639968E-6 | 8.792736E-6 | 8.792736E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.274231E-5 | 3.7682643E-5 | 3.7682643E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9856473E-4 | 4.5869546E-4 | 4.5869546E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003978506 | 0.0045780735 | 0.0045780735 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.919831E-6 | 4.534061E-6 | 4.534061E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.679917E-5 | 1.9431558E-5 | 1.9431558E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.045107E-4 | 2.3655564E-4 | 2.3655564E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020432258 | 0.002363247 | 0.002363247 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.6017933E-6 | 1.8573169E-6 | 1.8573169E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8648105E-6 | 7.959911E-6 | 7.959911E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.357586E-5 | 9.6908676E-5 | 9.6908676E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3544437E-4 | 9.687689E-4 | 9.687689E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (South Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1137982E-6 | 4.1137982E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630447E-5 | 1.7630447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.146302E-4 | 2.146302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021396813 | 0.002144293 | 0.0021542716 | 1.0046536 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1137982E-6 | 4.1137982E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630447E-5 | 1.7630447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.146302E-4 | 2.146302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021396813 | 0.002144293 | 0.0021542716 | 1.0046536 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1137982E-6 | 4.1137982E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630447E-5 | 1.7630447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.146302E-4 | 2.146302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021396813 | 0.002144293 | 0.0021542716 | 1.0046536 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1137982E-6 | 4.1137982E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630447E-5 | 1.7630447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.146302E-4 | 2.146302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021396813 | 0.002144293 | 0.0021542716 | 1.0046536 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1137982E-6 | 4.1137982E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630447E-5 | 1.7630447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.146302E-4 | 2.146302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021396813 | 0.002144293 | 0.0021542716 | 1.0046536 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.9849807E-6 | 2.973207E-6 | 2.973207E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2792712E-5 | 1.27422545E-5 | 1.27422545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5574014E-4 | 1.5512605E-4 | 1.5512605E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015563103 | 0.0015501928 | 0.0015601773 | 1.0064408 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9849807E-6 | 2.973207E-6 | 2.973207E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2792712E-5 | 1.27422545E-5 | 1.27422545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5574014E-4 | 1.5512605E-4 | 1.5512605E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015563103 | 0.0015501928 | 0.0015601773 | 1.0064408 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6756725E-6 | 2.6582677E-6 | 2.6582677E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1467117E-5 | 1.1392527E-5 | 1.1392527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.396032E-4 | 1.386953E-4 | 1.386953E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013951553 | 0.0013860982 | 0.0013960844 | 1.0072045 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.3283721E-6 | 2.3048199E-6 | 2.3048199E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9787E-6 | 9.877763E-6 | 9.877763E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.214839E-4 | 1.202552E-4 | 1.202552E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001214175 | 0.0012019087 | 0.0012019087 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.0972677E-6 | 2.0696784E-6 | 2.0696784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.988259E-6 | 8.870021E-6 | 8.870021E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0942656E-4 | 1.0798721E-4 | 1.0798721E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010937268 | 0.0010793532 | 0.0010793532 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.7132242E-6 | 1.6787344E-6 | 1.6787344E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3423685E-6 | 7.1945565E-6 | 7.1945565E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.938967E-5 | 8.759024E-5 | 8.759024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.935372E-4 | 8.7556103E-4 | 8.7556103E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.4215541E-6 | 1.3816009E-6 | 1.3816009E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0923603E-6 | 5.9211334E-6 | 5.9211334E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.417196E-5 | 7.208744E-5 | 7.208744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.414721E-4 | 7.2064326E-4 | 7.2064326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.097853E-7 | 8.603943E-7 | 8.603943E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.899074E-6 | 3.687399E-6 | 3.687399E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7470192E-5 | 4.4893168E-5 | 4.4893168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7460053E-4 | 4.488421E-4 | 4.488421E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.144169E-7 | 5.628321E-7 | 5.628321E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6332125E-6 | 2.4121355E-6 | 2.4121355E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.205889E-5 | 2.9367358E-5 | 2.9367358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2054266E-4 | 2.9363527E-4 | 2.9363527E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.049844E-7 | 3.5729076E-7 | 3.5729076E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7356463E-6 | 1.5312452E-6 | 1.5312452E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1131287E-5 | 1.8642753E-5 | 1.8642753E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1129279E-4 | 1.8641214E-4 | 1.8641214E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.9871162E-7 | 1.5830827E-7 | 1.5830827E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5162094E-7 | 6.7846383E-7 | 6.7846383E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0368436E-5 | 8.260266E-6 | 8.260266E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0367952E-4 | 8.2599676E-5 | 8.2599676E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7353086E-8 | 1.7353086E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.437036E-8 | 7.437036E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.054589E-7 | 9.054589E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.054557E-6 | 9.054557E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Earthquake Valley (So Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0194888E-5 | 3.708012E-5 | 3.708012E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2940024E-4 | 1.5890793E-4 | 1.5890793E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015743093 | 0.0019334989 | 0.0019434795 | 1.005162 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01563203 | 0.019217143 | 0.01922695 | 1.0005103 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0194888E-5 | 3.708012E-5 | 3.708012E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2940024E-4 | 1.5890793E-4 | 1.5890793E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015743093 | 0.0019334989 | 0.0019434795 | 1.005162 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01563203 | 0.019217143 | 0.01922695 | 1.0005103 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0194888E-5 | 3.708012E-5 | 3.708012E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2940024E-4 | 1.5890793E-4 | 1.5890793E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015743093 | 0.0019334989 | 0.0019434795 | 1.005162 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01563203 | 0.019217143 | 0.01922695 | 1.0005103 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5795305E-5 | 1.8449558E-5 | 1.8449558E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.769241E-5 | 7.906777E-5 | 7.906777E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.238434E-4 | 9.6233585E-4 | 9.7232626E-4 | 1.0103813 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008207959 | 0.009592588 | 0.009602493 | 1.0010325 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5795305E-5 | 1.8449558E-5 | 1.8449558E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.769241E-5 | 7.906777E-5 | 7.906777E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.238434E-4 | 9.6233585E-4 | 9.7232626E-4 | 1.0103813 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008207959 | 0.009592588 | 0.009602493 | 1.0010325 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5795305E-5 | 1.8449558E-5 | 1.8449558E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.769241E-5 | 7.906777E-5 | 7.906777E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.238434E-4 | 9.6233585E-4 | 9.7232626E-4 | 1.0103813 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008207959 | 0.009592588 | 0.009602493 | 1.0010325 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5795305E-5 | 1.8449558E-5 | 1.8449558E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.769241E-5 | 7.906777E-5 | 7.906777E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.238434E-4 | 9.6233585E-4 | 9.7232626E-4 | 1.0103813 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008207959 | 0.009592588 | 0.009602493 | 1.0010325 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1363076E-5 | 1.314026E-5 | 1.314026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8697988E-5 | 5.6314613E-5 | 5.6314613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.927367E-4 | 6.854909E-4 | 6.854909E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059115817 | 0.0068412395 | 0.0068412395 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.0049611E-5 | 1.1596048E-5 | 1.1596048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.306905E-5 | 4.9696813E-5 | 4.9696813E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.242395E-4 | 6.049639E-4 | 6.049639E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052300454 | 0.0060403496 | 0.0060403496 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.0049611E-5 | 1.1596048E-5 | 1.1596048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.306905E-5 | 4.9696813E-5 | 4.9696813E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.242395E-4 | 6.049639E-4 | 6.049639E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052300454 | 0.0060403496 | 0.0060403496 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0049611E-5 | 1.1596048E-5 | 1.1596048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.306905E-5 | 4.9696813E-5 | 4.9696813E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.242395E-4 | 6.049639E-4 | 6.049639E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052300454 | 0.0060403496 | 0.0060403496 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.140254E-6 | 9.3848475E-6 | 9.3848475E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4886336E-5 | 4.0220533E-5 | 4.0220533E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2465836E-4 | 4.896421E-4 | 4.896421E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042384774 | 0.0048922105 | 0.0048922105 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.673835E-7 | 1.4156578E-7 | 1.4156578E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.173577E-7 | 6.0671033E-7 | 6.0671033E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.733795E-6 | 7.3866768E-6 | 7.3866768E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.733451E-5 | 7.386467E-5 | 7.386467E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.6632116E-7 | 1.4054797E-7 | 1.4054797E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1280476E-7 | 6.0234834E-7 | 6.0234834E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.678364E-6 | 7.3335696E-6 | 7.3335696E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6780245E-5 | 7.3333635E-5 | 7.3333635E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6569169E-7 | 1.3999419E-7 | 1.3999419E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1010703E-7 | 5.9997495E-7 | 5.9997495E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.645519E-6 | 7.3046745E-6 | 7.3046745E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.645182E-5 | 7.30447E-5 | 7.30447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1764555E-7 | 1.0097791E-7 | 1.0097791E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.041951E-7 | 4.327624E-7 | 4.327624E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.138558E-6 | 5.2688715E-6 | 5.2688715E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1383886E-5 | 5.268768E-5 | 5.268768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.07927605E-7 | 9.262474E-8 | 9.262474E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6254678E-7 | 3.9696312E-7 | 3.9696312E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6314925E-6 | 4.8330176E-6 | 4.8330176E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.63135E-5 | 4.8329333E-5 | 4.8329333E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.1826905E-8 | 1.1183714E-8 | 1.1183714E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3543875E-8 | 4.7930204E-8 | 4.7930204E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1388961E-6 | 5.8355016E-7 | 5.8355016E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1388902E-5 | 5.8354913E-6 | 5.8354913E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.6169649E-9 | 1.1972511E-9 | 1.1972511E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1215564E-8 | 5.131076E-9 | 5.131076E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3654947E-7 | 6.247085E-8 | 6.247085E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.365494E-6 | 6.247085E-7 | 6.247085E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sisar
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.8399235E-6 | 3.8399235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6456712E-5 | 1.6456712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3708193E-4 | 2.0034239E-4 | 2.1034038E-4 | 1.0499046 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0020016516 | 0.0020116314 | 1.0049859 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.8399235E-6 | 3.8399235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6456712E-5 | 1.6456712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3708193E-4 | 2.0034239E-4 | 2.1034038E-4 | 1.0499046 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0020016516 | 0.0020116314 | 1.0049859 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.8399235E-6 | 3.8399235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6456712E-5 | 1.6456712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3708193E-4 | 2.0034239E-4 | 2.1034038E-4 | 1.0499046 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0020016516 | 0.0020116314 | 1.0049859 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.8399235E-6 | 3.8399235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6456712E-5 | 1.6456712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3708193E-4 | 2.0034239E-4 | 2.1034038E-4 | 1.0499046 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0020016516 | 0.0020116314 | 1.0049859 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.8399235E-6 | 3.8399235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6456712E-5 | 1.6456712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3708193E-4 | 2.0034239E-4 | 2.1034038E-4 | 1.0499046 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0020016516 | 0.0020116314 | 1.0049859 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.8399235E-6 | 3.8399235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6456712E-5 | 1.6456712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3708193E-4 | 2.0034239E-4 | 2.1034038E-4 | 1.0499046 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0020016516 | 0.0020116314 | 1.0049859 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.8399235E-6 | 3.8399235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6456712E-5 | 1.6456712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3708193E-4 | 2.0034239E-4 | 2.1034038E-4 | 1.0499046 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0020016516 | 0.0020116314 | 1.0049859 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.8399235E-6 | 3.8399235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6456712E-5 | 1.6456712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3708193E-4 | 2.0034239E-4 | 2.1034038E-4 | 1.0499046 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0020016516 | 0.0020116314 | 1.0049859 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.8399235E-6 | 3.8399235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6456712E-5 | 1.6456712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3708193E-4 | 2.0034239E-4 | 2.1034038E-4 | 1.0499046 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023682916 | 0.0020016516 | 0.0020116314 | 1.0049859 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.542225E-6 | 3.8378853E-6 | 3.8378853E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9466532E-5 | 1.6447977E-5 | 1.6447977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3697925E-4 | 2.0023606E-4 | 2.1023405E-4 | 1.049931 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002367267 | 0.00200059 | 0.0020105701 | 1.0049886 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.5278484E-6 | 3.8229487E-6 | 3.8229487E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.940492E-5 | 1.6383965E-5 | 1.6383965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3622929E-4 | 1.9945684E-4 | 1.9945684E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023597833 | 0.0019928121 | 0.0019928121 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.5132488E-6 | 3.8077355E-6 | 3.8077355E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9342351E-5 | 1.6318767E-5 | 1.6318767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3546767E-4 | 1.986632E-4 | 1.986632E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023521832 | 0.0019848899 | 0.0019848899 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.448859E-6 | 3.7401928E-6 | 3.7401928E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9066398E-5 | 1.6029302E-5 | 1.6029302E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3210866E-4 | 1.951396E-4 | 1.951396E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023186638 | 0.0019497161 | 0.0019497161 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.3424366E-6 | 3.6340216E-6 | 3.6340216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.861031E-5 | 1.5574287E-5 | 1.5574287E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2655698E-4 | 1.8960077E-4 | 1.8960077E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022632615 | 0.0018944236 | 0.0018944236 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.218641E-6 | 3.5333655E-6 | 3.5333655E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8079765E-5 | 1.5142909E-5 | 1.5142909E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2009891E-4 | 1.8434966E-4 | 1.8434966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021988105 | 0.0018420006 | 0.0018420006 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.983779E-6 | 3.3481215E-6 | 3.3481215E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7073227E-5 | 1.4349015E-5 | 1.4349015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0784672E-4 | 1.7468559E-4 | 1.7468559E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020765243 | 0.0017455157 | 0.0017455157 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.777393E-6 | 2.3524772E-6 | 2.3524772E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1903058E-5 | 1.0082006E-5 | 1.0082006E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.449101E-4 | 1.2274159E-4 | 1.2274159E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014481564 | 0.0012267457 | 0.0012267457 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.9028433E-6 | 1.5940102E-6 | 1.5940102E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.155017E-6 | 6.8314544E-6 | 6.8314544E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.928281E-5 | 8.3169834E-5 | 8.3169834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.923846E-4 | 8.313918E-4 | 8.313918E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.9095956E-7 | 4.358646E-7 | 4.358646E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1041105E-6 | 1.8679898E-6 | 1.8679898E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5617246E-5 | 2.2742539E-5 | 2.2742539E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5614293E-4 | 2.274023E-4 | 2.274023E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.16657894E-7 | 1.0336432E-7 | 1.0336432E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.999623E-7 | 4.4298986E-7 | 4.4298986E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.087024E-6 | 5.3933886E-6 | 5.3933886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0868573E-5 | 5.3932607E-5 | 5.3932607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.5100346E-9 | 1.7071404E-9 | 1.7071404E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0757291E-8 | 7.316317E-9 | 7.316317E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3097001E-7 | 8.907615E-8 | 8.907615E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3096993E-6 | 8.907612E-7 | 8.907612E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Pedro Basin
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.3449043E-5 | 6.3381296E-5 | 6.3381296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2904722E-4 | 2.7160888E-4 | 2.7160888E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027850836 | 0.003302426 | 0.003302426 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.027504366 | 0.032595076 | 0.03260475 | 1.0002968 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.3449043E-5 | 6.3381296E-5 | 6.3381296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2904722E-4 | 2.7160888E-4 | 2.7160888E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027850836 | 0.003302426 | 0.003302426 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.027504366 | 0.032595076 | 0.03260475 | 1.0002968 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.3189454E-5 | 2.664659E-5 | 2.664659E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9379584E-5 | 1.1419494E-4 | 1.1419494E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012092749 | 0.0013894837 | 0.0013894837 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012027155 | 0.013812828 | 0.01382269 | 1.000714 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3189454E-5 | 2.664659E-5 | 2.664659E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9379584E-5 | 1.1419494E-4 | 1.1419494E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012092749 | 0.0013894837 | 0.0013894837 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012027155 | 0.013812828 | 0.01382269 | 1.000714 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.966056E-5 | 2.2466467E-5 | 2.2466467E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.425682E-5 | 9.628153E-5 | 9.628153E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001025344 | 0.0011716374 | 0.0011716374 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010206259 | 0.011658691 | 0.011668575 | 1.0008477 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7342953E-5 | 1.9747762E-5 | 1.9747762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4324824E-5 | 8.463073E-5 | 8.463073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.04529E-4 | 0.001029929 | 0.001029929 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009008561 | 0.010255282 | 0.010265179 | 1.0009651 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.439804E-5 | 1.632481E-5 | 1.632481E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.170443E-5 | 6.996178E-5 | 6.996178E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.509924E-4 | 8.514839E-4 | 8.514839E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074845953 | 0.008485417 | 0.008495333 | 1.0011685 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2634884E-5 | 1.4287098E-5 | 1.4287098E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.414838E-5 | 6.1229155E-5 | 6.1229155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.590571E-4 | 7.452404E-4 | 7.452404E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006571059 | 0.0074304347 | 0.0074403603 | 1.0013359 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.146091E-5 | 1.2934802E-5 | 1.2934802E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.911726E-5 | 5.5433855E-5 | 5.5433855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9783855E-4 | 6.7472795E-4 | 6.7472795E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059623276 | 0.006729734 | 0.006739667 | 1.0014759 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.109035E-6 | 1.0236252E-5 | 1.0236252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9038136E-5 | 4.3869073E-5 | 4.3869073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7518566E-4 | 5.340031E-4 | 5.340031E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047417083 | 0.0053299535 | 0.0053399005 | 1.0018662 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.9351028E-6 | 6.5846943E-6 | 6.5846943E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5435906E-5 | 2.8219947E-5 | 2.8219947E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0963816E-4 | 3.435473E-4 | 3.435473E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030920706 | 0.0034324797 | 0.0034324797 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.1557585E-6 | 2.2097386E-6 | 2.2097386E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.238933E-6 | 9.470275E-6 | 9.470275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1247819E-4 | 1.1529464E-4 | 1.1529464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011242128 | 0.0011523636 | 0.0011523636 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.1251979E-6 | 2.1780836E-6 | 2.1780836E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.107958E-6 | 9.334612E-6 | 9.334612E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1088375E-4 | 1.1364313E-4 | 1.1364313E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011082845 | 0.0011358655 | 0.0011358655 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7145798E-6 | 1.7443541E-6 | 1.7443541E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3481783E-6 | 7.4757822E-6 | 7.4757822E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.94604E-5 | 9.101394E-5 | 9.101394E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9424395E-4 | 9.097758E-4 | 9.097758E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.4467993E-6 | 1.4642413E-6 | 1.4642413E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.200554E-6 | 6.2753056E-6 | 6.2753056E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.548913E-5 | 7.6399236E-5 | 7.6399236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.546349E-4 | 7.63737E-4 | 7.63737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2803735E-6 | 1.2931978E-6 | 1.2931978E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.487303E-6 | 5.542265E-6 | 5.542265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.680587E-5 | 6.7475055E-5 | 6.7475055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.678579E-4 | 6.745528E-4 | 6.745528E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.755009E-7 | 6.769723E-7 | 6.769723E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8950008E-6 | 2.901307E-6 | 2.901307E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5246063E-5 | 3.5322897E-5 | 3.5322897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5240475E-4 | 3.5317856E-4 | 3.5317856E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.211885E-8 | 4.5702375E-8 | 4.5702375E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6622362E-7 | 1.958673E-7 | 1.958673E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412677E-6 | 2.384682E-6 | 2.384682E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412205E-5 | 2.3846585E-5 | 2.3846585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.6580573E-9 | 1.5141602E-9 | 1.5141602E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1391674E-8 | 6.4892585E-9 | 6.4892585E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869362E-7 | 7.900672E-8 | 7.900672E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869354E-6 | 7.900672E-7 | 7.900672E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sheephole
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5579695E-6 | 4.74144E-6 | 4.74144E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9534009E-5 | 2.0320329E-5 | 2.0320329E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3780059E-4 | 2.4737747E-4 | 2.57375E-4 | 1.0404141 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023754628 | 0.0024715655 | 0.0024815407 | 1.0040361 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5579695E-6 | 4.74144E-6 | 4.74144E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9534009E-5 | 2.0320329E-5 | 2.0320329E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3780059E-4 | 2.4737747E-4 | 2.57375E-4 | 1.0404141 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023754628 | 0.0024715655 | 0.0024815407 | 1.0040361 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.6677674E-6 | 2.7875105E-6 | 2.7875105E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1433239E-5 | 1.1946425E-5 | 1.1946425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3919079E-4 | 1.4543909E-4 | 1.4543909E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013910364 | 0.001453545 | 0.001453545 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.6677674E-6 | 2.7875105E-6 | 2.7875105E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1433239E-5 | 1.1946425E-5 | 1.1946425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3919079E-4 | 1.4543909E-4 | 1.4543909E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013910364 | 0.001453545 | 0.001453545 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.2159759E-6 | 2.3229827E-6 | 2.3229827E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.497005E-6 | 9.955607E-6 | 9.955607E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.156199E-4 | 1.21203586E-4 | 1.21203586E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011555976 | 0.0012114542 | 0.0012114542 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.1986082E-6 | 2.3048624E-6 | 2.3048624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4225725E-6 | 9.877949E-6 | 9.877949E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1471378E-4 | 1.202582E-4 | 1.202582E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011465458 | 0.0012020105 | 0.0012020105 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.5232331E-6 | 1.6019686E-6 | 1.6019686E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5281256E-6 | 6.8655627E-6 | 6.8655627E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.947703E-5 | 8.358521E-5 | 8.358521E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9448614E-4 | 8.355565E-4 | 8.355565E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.3137362E-6 | 1.3828866E-6 | 1.3828866E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6302856E-6 | 5.926644E-6 | 5.926644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.854657E-5 | 7.2154646E-5 | 7.2154646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8525434E-4 | 7.2132604E-4 | 7.2132604E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.2275751E-6 | 1.2923479E-6 | 1.2923479E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2610258E-6 | 5.5386226E-6 | 5.5386226E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4051106E-5 | 6.743078E-5 | 6.743078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4032647E-4 | 6.7411654E-4 | 6.7411654E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.1837088E-6 | 1.246163E-6 | 1.246163E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0730278E-6 | 5.3406884E-6 | 5.3406884E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.176237E-5 | 6.502107E-5 | 6.502107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.17452E-4 | 6.5003365E-4 | 6.5003365E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 9.849371E-7 | 1.0366794E-6 | 1.0366794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2211523E-6 | 4.4429044E-6 | 4.4429044E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1391315E-5 | 5.409112E-5 | 5.409112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.137943E-4 | 5.407896E-4 | 5.407896E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.1643645E-7 | 8.592086E-7 | 8.592086E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4990085E-6 | 3.682318E-6 | 3.682318E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2599597E-5 | 4.4831388E-5 | 4.4831388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.259143E-4 | 4.4823208E-4 | 4.4823208E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.7295756E-7 | 6.0297947E-7 | 6.0297947E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.45553E-6 | 2.5841957E-6 | 2.5841957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9895667E-5 | 3.1462198E-5 | 3.1462198E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9891645E-4 | 3.1458412E-4 | 3.1458412E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bartlett Springs 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.2326144E-5 | 8.062687E-5 | 8.062687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6708472E-4 | 3.4549876E-4 | 3.4549876E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003246908 | 0.0041984324 | 0.0041984324 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.031998757 | 0.04120817 | 0.04121776 | 1.0002327 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.227657E-5 | 8.056436E-5 | 8.056436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.668723E-4 | 3.4523092E-4 | 3.4523092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032443295 | 0.004195184 | 0.004195184 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.031973712 | 0.041176897 | 0.041186485 | 1.0002328 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.22452E-5 | 8.052495E-5 | 8.052495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6673786E-4 | 3.450621E-4 | 3.450621E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032426978 | 0.0041931365 | 0.0041931365 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03195787 | 0.041157186 | 0.04116677 | 1.0002329 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.219006E-5 | 8.0454774E-5 | 8.0454774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6650162E-4 | 3.4476139E-4 | 3.4476139E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00323983 | 0.00418949 | 0.00418949 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.031930014 | 0.041122075 | 0.041131664 | 1.0002332 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.2175856E-5 | 6.727064E-5 | 6.727064E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2359163E-4 | 2.882712E-4 | 2.882712E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027188298 | 0.003504099 | 0.003504099 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.026858058 | 0.034497827 | 0.03450748 | 1.0002799 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.205166E-5 | 6.7113266E-5 | 6.7113266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2305945E-4 | 2.875969E-4 | 2.875969E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027123666 | 0.003495916 | 0.003495916 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.026794989 | 0.034418553 | 0.03442821 | 1.0002805 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.0085426E-5 | 6.450885E-5 | 6.450885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1463417E-4 | 2.764375E-4 | 2.764375E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026100394 | 0.0033604817 | 0.0033604817 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.025795965 | 0.033105772 | 0.033115443 | 1.0002921 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.8930866E-5 | 6.303315E-5 | 6.303315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0968684E-4 | 2.7011437E-4 | 2.7011437E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025499484 | 0.0032837323 | 0.0032837323 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.025208864 | 0.032360952 | 0.03237063 | 1.000299 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.5679535E-5 | 5.8756323E-5 | 5.8756323E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9575475E-4 | 2.517887E-4 | 2.517887E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002380709 | 0.0030612557 | 0.0030612557 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023553653 | 0.030197816 | 0.030207515 | 1.0003211 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.1439176E-5 | 5.323298E-5 | 5.323298E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7758438E-4 | 2.2812154E-4 | 2.2812154E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002159946 | 0.0027738675 | 0.0027738675 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021390721 | 0.027397402 | 0.027407128 | 1.000355 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.5920104E-5 | 4.6019544E-5 | 4.6019544E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5393422E-4 | 1.9721179E-4 | 1.9721179E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001872538 | 0.0023984255 | 0.0023984255 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018568378 | 0.02372861 | 0.023738373 | 1.0004114 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.338812E-5 | 4.269944E-5 | 4.269944E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.430841E-4 | 1.8298486E-4 | 1.8298486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017406568 | 0.0022255788 | 0.0022255788 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017270854 | 0.022035664 | 0.022045445 | 1.0004438 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.8619615E-5 | 3.640984E-5 | 3.640984E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2264973E-4 | 1.560329E-4 | 1.560329E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014922376 | 0.001898055 | 0.001898055 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014822568 | 0.018820385 | 0.018830197 | 1.0005213 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.6376783E-5 | 3.3430322E-5 | 3.3430322E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13038455E-4 | 1.4326499E-4 | 1.4326499E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013753743 | 0.0017428651 | 0.0017428651 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01366893 | 0.017293682 | 0.01730351 | 1.0005683 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.3738676E-5 | 2.9985704E-5 | 2.9985704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0173322E-4 | 1.2850387E-4 | 1.2850387E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012378981 | 0.0015634198 | 0.0015634198 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012310251 | 0.015525604 | 0.015535449 | 1.0006341 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.1789481E-5 | 2.7445578E-5 | 2.7445578E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.338015E-5 | 1.1761865E-4 | 1.1761865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011363103 | 0.0014310742 | 0.0014310742 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011305175 | 0.014219847 | 0.014229705 | 1.0006932 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.3895281E-5 | 1.7372195E-5 | 1.7372195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9549846E-5 | 7.445015E-5 | 7.445015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2477816E-4 | 9.060565E-4 | 9.060565E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0072241887 | 0.009024097 | 0.009034006 | 1.0010982 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.245981E-6 | 5.163567E-6 | 5.163567E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8196934E-5 | 2.2129387E-5 | 2.2129387E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2152514E-4 | 2.6939216E-4 | 2.6939216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022130446 | 0.0026906945 | 0.0026906945 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.145192E-7 | 7.047903E-7 | 7.047903E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.633651E-6 | 3.0205265E-6 | 3.0205265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.206423E-5 | 3.67743E-5 | 3.67743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2059604E-4 | 3.6767617E-4 | 3.6767617E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.7696466E-4 | 4.7696466E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0020425702 | 0.0020425702 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011683988 | 0.024582354 | 0.024582354 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.11088423 | 0.21371652 | 0.21372439 | 1.0000368 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.7696466E-4 | 4.7696466E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0020425702 | 0.0020425702 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011683988 | 0.024582354 | 0.024582354 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.11088423 | 0.21371652 | 0.21371652 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 2.198148E-4 | 4.6779425E-4 | 4.6779425E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.417233E-4 | 0.0020033289 | 0.0020033289 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011405343 | 0.024115903 | 0.024115903 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.10837428 | 0.21014942 | 0.21014942 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.1704129E-4 | 4.621488E-4 | 4.621488E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.298453E-4 | 0.001979171 | 0.001979171 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011262234 | 0.023828434 | 0.023828434 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.107082725 | 0.20804001 | 0.20804001 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.876142E-4 | 4.010514E-4 | 4.010514E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.038131E-4 | 0.0017176738 | 0.0017176738 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00974259 | 0.020713272 | 0.020713272 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.093263686 | 0.18479046 | 0.18479046 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.7390939E-4 | 3.7535027E-4 | 3.7535027E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.45113E-4 | 0.0016076644 | 0.0016076644 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009034078 | 0.019400418 | 0.019400418 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.086755216 | 0.17460819 | 0.17460819 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.591791E-4 | 3.4946908E-4 | 3.4946908E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8201777E-4 | 0.0014968751 | 0.0014968751 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008271996 | 0.018075231 | 0.018075231 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.07970774 | 0.1640097 | 0.1640097 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.4268003E-4 | 3.2109857E-4 | 3.2109857E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1134255E-4 | 0.0013754192 | 0.0013754192 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007417723 | 0.016619429 | 0.016619429 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.07174956 | 0.15213022 | 0.15213022 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.239713E-4 | 2.909757E-4 | 2.909757E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3119735E-4 | 0.001246449 | 0.001246449 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064481674 | 0.015071357 | 0.015071357 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.06264243 | 0.13854799 | 0.13854799 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.0180238E-4 | 2.6288547E-4 | 2.6288547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3622297E-4 | 0.0011261698 | 0.0011261698 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005298089 | 0.013625923 | 0.013625923 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.05173543 | 0.12509714 | 0.12509714 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.6619996E-5 | 2.2425507E-4 | 2.2425507E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.283301E-4 | 9.607423E-4 | 9.607423E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039900932 | 0.011635015 | 0.011635015 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.039192066 | 0.107371606 | 0.107371606 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 7.5127435E-5 | 2.2108344E-4 | 2.2108344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2193496E-4 | 9.4715954E-4 | 9.4715954E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039125155 | 0.011471397 | 0.011471397 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.038443442 | 0.10593437 | 0.10593437 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.788582E-5 | 2.0235188E-4 | 2.0235188E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9090676E-4 | 8.669371E-4 | 8.669371E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035360386 | 0.010504519 | 0.010504519 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.034803 | 0.09760231 | 0.09760231 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.399602E-5 | 1.8865096E-4 | 1.8865096E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7423984E-4 | 8.0825645E-4 | 8.0825645E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033337586 | 0.009796713 | 0.009796713 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03284188 | 0.09149352 | 0.09149352 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.506759E-5 | 1.2548086E-4 | 1.2548086E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9313251E-4 | 5.3766515E-4 | 5.3766515E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023488526 | 0.0065266 | 0.0065266 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023241805 | 0.062445577 | 0.062445577 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.43289E-5 | 9.351362E-5 | 9.351362E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4711556E-4 | 4.0071143E-4 | 4.0071143E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017896603 | 0.0048678108 | 0.0048678108 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01775316 | 0.047126245 | 0.047126245 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.5980507E-5 | 7.066968E-5 | 7.066968E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1134028E-4 | 3.0283502E-4 | 3.0283502E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001354725 | 0.0036808075 | 0.0036808075 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013464959 | 0.035903912 | 0.035903912 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7292105E-5 | 4.9525526E-5 | 4.9525526E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4106916E-5 | 2.1223501E-4 | 2.1223501E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.018782E-4 | 0.002580905 | 0.002580905 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008982267 | 0.02534431 | 0.02534431 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.2927471E-5 | 3.9796145E-5 | 3.9796145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5402274E-5 | 1.7054378E-4 | 1.7054378E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.743139E-4 | 0.0020743958 | 0.0020743958 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067227143 | 0.020478543 | 0.020478543 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.0200774E-5 | 2.8828475E-5 | 2.8828475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.371687E-5 | 1.2354476E-4 | 1.2354476E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.321229E-4 | 0.0015031208 | 0.0015031208 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005308505 | 0.01502993 | 0.01502993 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 8.650396E-6 | 2.3348195E-5 | 2.3348195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.70726E-5 | 1.00059864E-4 | 1.00059864E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5126543E-4 | 0.0012175489 | 0.0012175489 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045035016 | 0.012244132 | 0.012244132 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.9368224E-6 | 7.3579067E-6 | 7.3579067E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6871985E-5 | 3.1533506E-5 | 3.1533506E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0539707E-4 | 3.8385292E-4 | 3.8385292E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020520731 | 0.0040159067 | 0.0040159067 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.7101195E-6 | 2.229421E-6 | 2.229421E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.329063E-6 | 9.554627E-6 | 9.554627E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.922769E-5 | 1.163214E-4 | 1.163214E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9191867E-4 | 0.0012726184 | 0.0012726184 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 3.0346666E-8 | 1.7332164E-8 | 1.7332164E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3005713E-7 | 7.42807E-8 | 7.42807E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834444E-6 | 9.043674E-7 | 9.043674E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834332E-5 | 9.429869E-6 | 9.429869E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hollywood
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.259432E-5 | 1.259432E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.3974567E-5 | 5.3974567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.5694685E-4 | 6.669403E-4 | 1.0152119 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064745755 | 0.006550536 | 0.0065604704 | 1.0015166 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.259432E-5 | 1.259432E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.3974567E-5 | 5.3974567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.5694685E-4 | 6.669403E-4 | 1.0152119 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064745755 | 0.006550536 | 0.0065604704 | 1.0015166 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.259432E-5 | 1.259432E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.3974567E-5 | 5.3974567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.5694685E-4 | 6.669403E-4 | 1.0152119 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064745755 | 0.006550536 | 0.0065604704 | 1.0015166 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.259432E-5 | 1.259432E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.3974567E-5 | 5.3974567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.5694685E-4 | 6.669403E-4 | 1.0152119 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064745755 | 0.006550536 | 0.0065604704 | 1.0015166 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2431024E-5 | 1.2574931E-5 | 1.2574931E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.327473E-5 | 5.3891476E-5 | 5.3891476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4842677E-4 | 6.5593584E-4 | 6.659293E-4 | 1.0152354 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064653796 | 0.0065404857 | 0.00655042 | 1.001519 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1242222E-5 | 1.1318826E-5 | 1.1318826E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8180063E-5 | 4.850837E-5 | 4.850837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.864344E-4 | 5.90432E-4 | 6.0042617E-4 | 1.0169268 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058488925 | 0.0058889203 | 0.0058988617 | 1.0016881 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1234066E-5 | 1.13099395E-5 | 1.13099395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8145106E-5 | 4.8470283E-5 | 4.8470283E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.86009E-4 | 5.8996864E-4 | 5.999627E-4 | 1.01694 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005844661 | 0.0058843107 | 0.0058942516 | 1.0016894 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.12294E-5 | 1.1304683E-5 | 1.1304683E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.812511E-5 | 4.8447753E-5 | 4.8447753E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.857657E-4 | 5.896945E-4 | 5.9968856E-4 | 1.016948 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058422405 | 0.0058815833 | 0.0058915247 | 1.0016903 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0252819E-5 | 1.0219357E-5 | 1.0219357E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3939912E-5 | 4.379652E-5 | 4.379652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3483713E-4 | 5.330943E-4 | 5.4308894E-4 | 1.0187484 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005335517 | 0.005318381 | 0.005328328 | 1.0018703 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.252289E-6 | 9.111107E-6 | 9.111107E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9652066E-5 | 3.9047027E-5 | 3.9047027E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8265693E-4 | 4.752955E-4 | 4.8529074E-4 | 1.0210296 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048161 | 0.004742963 | 0.0047529154 | 1.0020984 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.474604E-6 | 8.258982E-6 | 8.258982E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6319227E-5 | 3.5395165E-5 | 3.5395165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4209688E-4 | 4.3085238E-4 | 4.4084806E-4 | 1.0231998 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004412184 | 0.004300321 | 0.0043102778 | 1.0023154 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.643643E-6 | 6.2689196E-6 | 6.2689196E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8472443E-5 | 2.6866523E-5 | 2.6866523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4659685E-4 | 3.2705124E-4 | 3.2705124E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034605677 | 0.0032657455 | 0.0032657455 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.549002E-6 | 5.109167E-6 | 5.109167E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.378122E-5 | 2.1896247E-5 | 2.1896247E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8949787E-4 | 2.6655436E-4 | 2.6655436E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028912104 | 0.0026623628 | 0.0026623628 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.3059727E-6 | 3.960266E-6 | 3.960266E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8454039E-5 | 1.6972459E-5 | 1.6972459E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2465475E-4 | 2.0662019E-4 | 2.0662019E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022442779 | 0.002064291 | 0.002064291 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.8550733E-6 | 2.7015972E-6 | 2.7015972E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2235971E-5 | 1.1578222E-5 | 1.1578222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4896276E-4 | 1.4095579E-4 | 1.4095579E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014886294 | 0.0014086689 | 0.0014086689 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.9927045E-6 | 1.8978751E-6 | 1.8978751E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.540134E-6 | 8.133726E-6 | 8.133726E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0397117E-4 | 9.9023644E-5 | 9.9023644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010392254 | 9.897988E-4 | 9.897988E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.345084E-6 | 1.221765E-6 | 1.221765E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.764633E-6 | 5.2361256E-6 | 5.2361256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.018215E-5 | 6.374798E-5 | 6.374798E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0159987E-4 | 6.372989E-4 | 6.372989E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 7.6835164E-7 | 6.2789246E-7 | 6.2789246E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2929315E-6 | 2.6909652E-6 | 2.6909652E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.00907E-5 | 3.2762022E-5 | 3.2762022E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0083472E-4 | 3.275734E-4 | 3.275734E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.6562128E-7 | 2.454474E-7 | 2.454474E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5669474E-6 | 1.051917E-6 | 1.051917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9077417E-5 | 1.2807019E-5 | 1.2807019E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.907578E-4 | 1.2806317E-4 | 1.2806317E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.5024424E-8 | 5.383841E-8 | 5.383841E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.215332E-7 | 2.3073602E-7 | 2.3073602E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.91466E-6 | 2.8092088E-6 | 2.8092088E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9145907E-5 | 2.8091863E-5 | 2.8091863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Trinidad (alt1)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.403724E-5 | 3.403724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4586668E-4 | 1.4586668E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017746487 | 0.0017746487 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0156177925 | 0.01762173 | 0.017631553 | 1.0005574 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.403724E-5 | 3.403724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4586668E-4 | 1.4586668E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017746487 | 0.0017746487 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0156177925 | 0.01762173 | 0.017631553 | 1.0005574 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.403724E-5 | 3.403724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4586668E-4 | 1.4586668E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017746487 | 0.0017746487 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0156177925 | 0.01762173 | 0.017631553 | 1.0005574 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.403724E-5 | 3.403724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4586668E-4 | 1.4586668E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017746487 | 0.0017746487 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0156177925 | 0.01762173 | 0.017631553 | 1.0005574 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.403724E-5 | 3.403724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4586668E-4 | 1.4586668E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017746487 | 0.0017746487 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0156177925 | 0.01762173 | 0.017631553 | 1.0005574 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.403724E-5 | 3.403724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4586668E-4 | 1.4586668E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017746487 | 0.0017746487 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0156177925 | 0.01762173 | 0.017631553 | 1.0005574 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.403724E-5 | 3.403724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4586668E-4 | 1.4586668E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017746487 | 0.0017746487 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0156177925 | 0.01762173 | 0.017631553 | 1.0005574 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.403724E-5 | 3.403724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4586668E-4 | 1.4586668E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017746487 | 0.0017746487 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0156177925 | 0.01762173 | 0.017631553 | 1.0005574 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.717077E-5 | 1.9197787E-5 | 1.9197787E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.358694E-5 | 8.227389E-5 | 8.227389E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9555274E-4 | 0.0010012687 | 0.0010012687 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008919522 | 0.009972027 | 0.0099819265 | 1.0009928 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.717077E-5 | 1.9197787E-5 | 1.9197787E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.358694E-5 | 8.227389E-5 | 8.227389E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9555274E-4 | 0.0010012687 | 0.0010012687 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008919522 | 0.009972027 | 0.0099819265 | 1.0009928 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2858572E-5 | 1.43389025E-5 | 1.43389025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5107E-5 | 6.1451174E-5 | 6.1451174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.707212E-4 | 7.479433E-4 | 7.479433E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006687004 | 0.00745744 | 0.0074673654 | 1.001331 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0588431E-5 | 1.18025255E-5 | 1.18025255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.53782E-5 | 5.0581435E-5 | 5.0581435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5233954E-4 | 6.1568385E-4 | 6.1568385E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005509687 | 0.006142631 | 0.00615257 | 1.0016179 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.138061E-6 | 9.068176E-6 | 9.068176E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.487694E-5 | 3.886317E-5 | 3.886317E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2454398E-4 | 4.7308122E-4 | 4.7308122E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042373384 | 0.004723183 | 0.0047331355 | 1.0021073 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.787542E-6 | 6.461018E-6 | 6.461018E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4803514E-5 | 2.7689905E-5 | 2.7689905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0194095E-4 | 3.3709395E-4 | 3.3709395E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00301531 | 0.0033679376 | 0.003377904 | 1.0029591 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.303563E-6 | 4.8013667E-6 | 4.8013667E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.844371E-5 | 2.0577234E-5 | 2.0577234E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2452902E-4 | 2.505188E-4 | 2.505188E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022430231 | 0.0025043027 | 0.0025043027 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.6063425E-7 | 6.143528E-7 | 6.143528E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.402716E-6 | 2.632938E-6 | 2.632938E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9252675E-5 | 3.2055566E-5 | 3.2055566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9248823E-4 | 3.2051097E-4 | 3.2051097E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.6699128E-7 | 5.126264E-7 | 5.126264E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0013897E-6 | 2.1969686E-6 | 2.1969686E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4366647E-5 | 2.6747779E-5 | 2.6747779E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4363975E-4 | 2.67447E-4 | 2.67447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.2080937E-7 | 2.4349217E-7 | 2.4349217E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4632554E-7 | 1.0435375E-6 | 1.0435375E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.15214525E-5 | 1.2705001E-5 | 1.2705001E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1520855E-4 | 1.2704334E-4 | 1.2704334E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.1438307E-8 | 1.2684245E-8 | 1.2684245E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9021317E-8 | 5.436105E-8 | 5.436105E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9683435E-7 | 6.618458E-7 | 6.618458E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9683275E-6 | 6.6184575E-6 | 6.6184575E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pitas Point (Lower West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.856292E-6 | 7.856292E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3669392E-5 | 3.3669392E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0984846E-4 | 4.1984438E-4 | 1.0243893 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040910067 | 0.004100966 | 1.0024344 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.856292E-6 | 7.856292E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3669392E-5 | 3.3669392E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0984846E-4 | 4.1984438E-4 | 1.0243893 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040910067 | 0.004100966 | 1.0024344 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.856292E-6 | 7.856292E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3669392E-5 | 3.3669392E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0984846E-4 | 4.1984438E-4 | 1.0243893 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040910067 | 0.004100966 | 1.0024344 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.856292E-6 | 7.856292E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3669392E-5 | 3.3669392E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0984846E-4 | 4.1984438E-4 | 1.0243893 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040910067 | 0.004100966 | 1.0024344 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.856292E-6 | 7.856292E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3669392E-5 | 3.3669392E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0984846E-4 | 4.1984438E-4 | 1.0243893 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040910067 | 0.004100966 | 1.0024344 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.856292E-6 | 7.856292E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3669392E-5 | 3.3669392E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0984846E-4 | 4.1984438E-4 | 1.0243893 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040910067 | 0.004100966 | 1.0024344 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.856292E-6 | 7.856292E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3669392E-5 | 3.3669392E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0984846E-4 | 4.1984438E-4 | 1.0243893 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040910067 | 0.004100966 | 1.0024344 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.856292E-6 | 7.856292E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3669392E-5 | 3.3669392E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0984846E-4 | 4.1984438E-4 | 1.0243893 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040910067 | 0.004100966 | 1.0024344 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.856292E-6 | 7.856292E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3669392E-5 | 3.3669392E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0984846E-4 | 4.1984438E-4 | 1.0243893 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040910067 | 0.004100966 | 1.0024344 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.856292E-6 | 7.856292E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3669392E-5 | 3.3669392E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0984846E-4 | 4.1984438E-4 | 1.0243893 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.0040910067 | 0.004100966 | 1.0024344 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.103535E-6 | 7.805719E-6 | 7.805719E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4728975E-5 | 3.3452656E-5 | 3.3452656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2274324E-4 | 4.0721073E-4 | 4.1720664E-4 | 1.0245473 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042193993 | 0.0040647257 | 0.0040746853 | 1.0024502 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.853298E-6 | 7.5413964E-6 | 7.5413964E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3656554E-5 | 3.2319873E-5 | 3.2319873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.096915E-4 | 3.934241E-4 | 4.0342018E-4 | 1.0254079 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00408937 | 0.0039273524 | 0.003937313 | 1.0025363 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.771102E-6 | 7.4536724E-6 | 7.4536724E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.33043E-5 | 3.1943924E-5 | 3.1943924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0540437E-4 | 3.8884857E-4 | 3.9884468E-4 | 1.025707 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040466557 | 0.0038817574 | 0.0038917186 | 1.0025661 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.3945344E-6 | 7.04975E-6 | 7.04975E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1690477E-5 | 3.0212868E-5 | 3.0212868E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8576324E-4 | 3.6778022E-4 | 3.7777654E-4 | 1.0271802 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038509427 | 0.003671783 | 0.0036817463 | 1.0027134 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.964645E-6 | 6.59057E-6 | 6.59057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9848137E-5 | 2.8244996E-5 | 2.8244996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6334046E-4 | 3.4382907E-4 | 3.4382907E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036274698 | 0.0034330243 | 0.0034330243 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.6525035E-6 | 6.25959E-6 | 6.25959E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.851042E-5 | 2.6826541E-5 | 2.6826541E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4705905E-4 | 3.2656465E-4 | 3.2656465E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034651754 | 0.0032608993 | 0.0032608993 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.613338E-6 | 5.1517463E-6 | 5.1517463E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.405694E-5 | 2.2078728E-5 | 2.2078728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.928539E-4 | 2.6877565E-4 | 2.6877565E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029246826 | 0.0026845373 | 0.0026845373 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.494704E-6 | 3.997185E-6 | 3.997185E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9262876E-5 | 1.7130682E-5 | 1.7130682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3450027E-4 | 2.0854632E-4 | 2.0854632E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023425296 | 0.0020835302 | 0.0020835302 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.6075882E-6 | 2.1837898E-6 | 2.1837898E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.117533E-5 | 9.359066E-6 | 9.359066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3605114E-4 | 1.1394072E-4 | 1.1394072E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013596788 | 0.0011388276 | 0.0011388276 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.045984E-7 | 3.242595E-7 | 3.242595E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.733992E-6 | 1.3896828E-6 | 1.3896828E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1111147E-5 | 1.691926E-5 | 1.691926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1109142E-4 | 1.6918003E-4 | 1.6918003E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.6840417E-9 | 5.6840417E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.436018E-8 | 2.436018E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.9658517E-7 | 2.9658517E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.96585E-6 | 2.96585E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
La Panza 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.7177355E-6 | 4.7177355E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.021872E-5 | 2.021872E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.461371E-4 | 2.561346E-4 | 1.0406178 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024366176 | 0.0024588392 | 0.0024688146 | 1.0040569 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.7177355E-6 | 4.7177355E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.021872E-5 | 2.021872E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.461371E-4 | 2.561346E-4 | 1.0406178 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024366176 | 0.0024588392 | 0.0024688146 | 1.0040569 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.7177355E-6 | 4.7177355E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.021872E-5 | 2.021872E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.461371E-4 | 2.561346E-4 | 1.0406178 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024366176 | 0.0024588392 | 0.0024688146 | 1.0040569 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.7177355E-6 | 4.7177355E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.021872E-5 | 2.021872E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.461371E-4 | 2.561346E-4 | 1.0406178 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024366176 | 0.0024588392 | 0.0024688146 | 1.0040569 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.7177355E-6 | 4.7177355E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.021872E-5 | 2.021872E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.461371E-4 | 2.561346E-4 | 1.0406178 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024366176 | 0.0024588392 | 0.0024688146 | 1.0040569 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.485343E-6 | 2.500722E-6 | 2.500722E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0651426E-5 | 1.0717338E-5 | 1.0717338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.296734E-4 | 1.3047617E-4 | 1.4047486E-4 | 1.0766324 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012959775 | 0.001304034 | 0.001314021 | 1.0076585 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.485343E-6 | 2.500722E-6 | 2.500722E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0651426E-5 | 1.0717338E-5 | 1.0717338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.296734E-4 | 1.3047617E-4 | 1.4047486E-4 | 1.0766324 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012959775 | 0.001304034 | 0.001314021 | 1.0076585 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.5108508E-6 | 1.5147498E-6 | 1.5147498E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4750584E-6 | 6.491769E-6 | 6.491769E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8830984E-5 | 7.903453E-5 | 7.903453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.880303E-4 | 7.9007505E-4 | 7.9007505E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.3865837E-6 | 1.3886207E-6 | 1.3886207E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.942488E-6 | 5.9512186E-6 | 5.9512186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.234739E-5 | 7.2453775E-5 | 7.2453775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.232384E-4 | 7.243114E-4 | 7.243114E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 9.826583E-7 | 9.797345E-7 | 9.797345E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2113857E-6 | 4.198856E-6 | 4.198856E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1272415E-5 | 5.1119925E-5 | 5.1119925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.126059E-4 | 5.11087E-4 | 5.11087E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.7797646E-7 | 6.7112364E-7 | 6.7112364E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9056102E-6 | 2.8762413E-6 | 2.8762413E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.537523E-5 | 3.5017707E-5 | 3.5017707E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5369597E-4 | 3.50125E-4 | 3.50125E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.4979826E-7 | 3.3883714E-7 | 3.3883714E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4991346E-6 | 1.4521585E-6 | 1.4521585E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.825181E-5 | 1.7679897E-5 | 1.7679897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.825031E-4 | 1.7678608E-4 | 1.7678608E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.5088332E-7 | 2.3841591E-7 | 2.3841591E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0752137E-6 | 1.0217822E-6 | 1.0217822E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3090649E-5 | 1.2440135E-5 | 1.2440135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3089878E-4 | 1.2439524E-4 | 1.2439524E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0159086E-7 | 8.654068E-8 | 8.654068E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3538932E-7 | 3.7088859E-7 | 3.7088859E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.300852E-6 | 4.5155593E-6 | 4.5155593E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3007258E-5 | 4.5154717E-5 | 4.5154717E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.5006252E-8 | 1.9433951E-8 | 1.9433951E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5002678E-7 | 8.3288356E-8 | 8.3288356E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8265745E-6 | 1.0140353E-6 | 1.0140353E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8265595E-5 | 1.0140308E-5 | 1.0140308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.592274E-8 | 1.0260933E-8 | 1.0260933E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1109746E-7 | 4.3975426E-8 | 4.3975426E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3526106E-6 | 5.3540066E-7 | 5.3540066E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3526024E-5 | 5.3539948E-6 | 5.3539948E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.9016717E-8 | 5.258555E-9 | 5.258555E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.150022E-8 | 2.2536662E-8 | 2.2536662E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.922647E-7 | 2.7438384E-7 | 2.7438384E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.922603E-6 | 2.7438352E-6 | 2.7438352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.17738495E-8 | 1.2454602E-9 | 1.2454602E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0459356E-8 | 5.337684E-9 | 5.337684E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1434247E-7 | 6.49863E-8 | 6.49863E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.143408E-6 | 6.4986284E-7 | 6.4986284E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 5.489079E-9 | 2.0256385E-10 | 2.0256385E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3524624E-8 | 8.681289E-10 | 8.681289E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8641225E-7 | 1.0569469E-8 | 1.0569469E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8641189E-6 | 1.0569468E-7 | 1.0569468E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5081048E-9 | 6.738021E-11 | 6.738021E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0749021E-8 | 2.8877145E-10 | 2.8877145E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3086932E-7 | 3.515792E-9 | 3.515792E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3086925E-6 | 3.5157917E-8 | 3.5157917E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Earthquake Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9416384E-5 | 2.2587625E-5 | 2.2587625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.321042E-5 | 9.6801195E-5 | 9.6801195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001012616 | 0.0011780371 | 0.0011880253 | 1.0084786 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010080142 | 0.01172976 | 0.011739643 | 1.0008426 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9416384E-5 | 2.2587625E-5 | 2.2587625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.321042E-5 | 9.6801195E-5 | 9.6801195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001012616 | 0.0011780371 | 0.0011880253 | 1.0084786 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010080142 | 0.01172976 | 0.011739643 | 1.0008426 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9416384E-5 | 2.2587625E-5 | 2.2587625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.321042E-5 | 9.6801195E-5 | 9.6801195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001012616 | 0.0011780371 | 0.0011880253 | 1.0084786 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010080142 | 0.01172976 | 0.011739643 | 1.0008426 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9416384E-5 | 2.2587625E-5 | 2.2587625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.321042E-5 | 9.6801195E-5 | 9.6801195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001012616 | 0.0011780371 | 0.0011880253 | 1.0084786 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010080142 | 0.01172976 | 0.011739643 | 1.0008426 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9416384E-5 | 2.2587625E-5 | 2.2587625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.321042E-5 | 9.6801195E-5 | 9.6801195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001012616 | 0.0011780371 | 0.0011880253 | 1.0084786 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010080142 | 0.01172976 | 0.011739643 | 1.0008426 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9389157E-5 | 2.255621E-5 | 2.255621E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.309374E-5 | 9.666657E-5 | 9.666657E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010111968 | 0.0011763999 | 0.0011863881 | 1.0084906 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010066078 | 0.01171356 | 0.011723443 | 1.0008438 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9389157E-5 | 2.255621E-5 | 2.255621E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.309374E-5 | 9.666657E-5 | 9.666657E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010111968 | 0.0011763999 | 0.0011863881 | 1.0084906 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010066078 | 0.01171356 | 0.011723443 | 1.0008438 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4925434E-5 | 1.7210752E-5 | 1.7210752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.396457E-5 | 7.375876E-5 | 7.375876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7849044E-4 | 8.9772796E-4 | 8.9772796E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007757689 | 0.008949393 | 0.008949393 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.3570335E-5 | 1.5619109E-5 | 1.5619109E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8157282E-5 | 6.6937784E-5 | 6.6937784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0783484E-4 | 8.1474497E-4 | 8.1474497E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0070558446 | 0.008125653 | 0.008125653 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.3570335E-5 | 1.5619109E-5 | 1.5619109E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8157282E-5 | 6.6937784E-5 | 6.6937784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0783484E-4 | 8.1474497E-4 | 8.1474497E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0070558446 | 0.008125653 | 0.008125653 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.3433392E-5 | 1.5462632E-5 | 1.5462632E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.757041E-5 | 6.62672E-5 | 6.62672E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0069433E-4 | 8.0658664E-4 | 8.0658664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006984891 | 0.008044662 | 0.008044662 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.181609E-6 | 9.418251E-6 | 9.418251E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5063567E-5 | 4.0363684E-5 | 4.0363684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.268153E-4 | 4.913841E-4 | 4.913841E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042599645 | 0.0049095545 | 0.0049095545 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.0663983E-7 | 1.7266336E-7 | 1.7266336E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.855989E-7 | 7.3998564E-7 | 7.3998564E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0782113E-5 | 9.009292E-6 | 9.009292E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.07815904E-4 | 9.008962E-5 | 9.008962E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.0462376E-7 | 1.7081811E-7 | 1.7081811E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7695867E-7 | 7.320774E-7 | 7.320774E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0676919E-5 | 8.91301E-6 | 8.91301E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0676406E-4 | 8.912688E-5 | 8.912688E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0171088E-7 | 1.6864249E-7 | 1.6864249E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.644749E-7 | 7.227533E-7 | 7.227533E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0524931E-5 | 8.79949E-6 | 8.79949E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05244326E-4 | 8.799178E-5 | 8.799178E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4847944E-7 | 1.2561979E-7 | 1.2561979E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.363403E-7 | 5.3837044E-7 | 5.3837044E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.747416E-6 | 6.554643E-6 | 6.554643E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.747146E-5 | 6.5544715E-5 | 6.5544715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3185847E-7 | 1.11256334E-7 | 1.11256334E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6510765E-7 | 4.7681277E-7 | 4.7681277E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8801637E-6 | 5.8051824E-6 | 5.8051824E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8799505E-5 | 5.805052E-5 | 5.805052E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.8609954E-8 | 1.417488E-8 | 1.417488E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2261408E-7 | 6.0749485E-8 | 6.0749485E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4928254E-6 | 7.3962474E-7 | 7.3962474E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4928154E-5 | 7.3962283E-6 | 7.3962283E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.527266E-9 | 2.9240406E-9 | 2.9240406E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7973995E-8 | 1.25316015E-8 | 1.25316015E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4058334E-7 | 1.5257224E-7 | 1.5257224E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4058282E-6 | 1.5257216E-6 | 1.5257216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.2898267E-9 | 7.129243E-10 | 7.129243E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.527829E-9 | 3.0553897E-9 | 3.0553897E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7301315E-8 | 3.719937E-8 | 3.719937E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7301295E-7 | 3.7199368E-7 | 3.7199368E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Emerson-Copper Mtn 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1364202E-5 | 9.969165E-6 | 9.969165E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1557646E-5 | 4.2724343E-5 | 4.2724343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011141442 | 5.2005344E-4 | 5.2005344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011085749 | 0.0051892344 | 0.0051991823 | 1.0019171 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1364202E-5 | 9.969165E-6 | 9.969165E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1557646E-5 | 4.2724343E-5 | 4.2724343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011141442 | 5.2005344E-4 | 5.2005344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011085749 | 0.0051892344 | 0.0051991823 | 1.0019171 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1364202E-5 | 9.969165E-6 | 9.969165E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1557646E-5 | 4.2724343E-5 | 4.2724343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011141442 | 5.2005344E-4 | 5.2005344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011085749 | 0.0051892344 | 0.0051991823 | 1.0019171 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7751237E-5 | 8.090102E-6 | 8.090102E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.607452E-5 | 3.467144E-5 | 3.467144E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.258136E-4 | 4.2204928E-4 | 4.2204928E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00921966 | 0.0042131003 | 0.004223058 | 1.0023636 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7751237E-5 | 8.090102E-6 | 8.090102E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.607452E-5 | 3.467144E-5 | 3.467144E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.258136E-4 | 4.2204928E-4 | 4.2204928E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00921966 | 0.0042131003 | 0.004223058 | 1.0023636 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5886664E-5 | 6.6045286E-6 | 6.6045286E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.808392E-5 | 2.8304843E-5 | 2.8304843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.286065E-4 | 3.4456167E-4 | 3.4456167E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008255237 | 0.0034407387 | 0.0034507043 | 1.0028963 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5886664E-5 | 6.6045286E-6 | 6.6045286E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.808392E-5 | 2.8304843E-5 | 2.8304843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.286065E-4 | 3.4456167E-4 | 3.4456167E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008255237 | 0.0034407387 | 0.0034507043 | 1.0028963 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.428471E-5 | 5.470992E-6 | 5.470992E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.121875E-5 | 2.344692E-5 | 2.344692E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.450834E-4 | 2.854328E-4 | 2.854328E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007425902 | 0.0028510499 | 0.0028610213 | 1.0034975 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.3490684E-5 | 5.074239E-6 | 5.074239E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7815934E-5 | 2.174658E-5 | 2.174658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0368167E-4 | 2.6473633E-4 | 2.6473633E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007014576 | 0.0026445903 | 0.0026545639 | 1.0037713 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2235421E-5 | 4.2901397E-6 | 4.2901397E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2436466E-5 | 1.8386205E-5 | 1.8386205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.38227E-4 | 2.2383264E-4 | 2.2383264E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063639707 | 0.0022364263 | 0.002246404 | 1.0044614 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1009851E-5 | 3.71941E-6 | 3.71941E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7184225E-5 | 1.594025E-5 | 1.594025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.743165E-4 | 1.940587E-4 | 1.940587E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005728345 | 0.0019392304 | 0.0019492109 | 1.0051467 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.726373E-6 | 3.212124E-6 | 3.212124E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.168379E-5 | 1.3766193E-5 | 1.3766193E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.07382E-4 | 1.6759388E-4 | 1.6759388E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050622504 | 0.0016750062 | 0.0016849894 | 1.0059601 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.9335127E-6 | 1.1525873E-6 | 1.1525873E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6857803E-5 | 4.939651E-6 | 4.939651E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0522442E-4 | 6.0138645E-5 | 6.0138645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00205035 | 6.0122967E-4 | 6.112237E-4 | 1.0166225 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.661632E-6 | 6.912138E-7 | 6.912138E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.14069435E-5 | 2.9623416E-6 | 2.9623416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3887069E-4 | 3.606592E-5 | 3.606592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013878393 | 3.6060173E-4 | 3.7059814E-4 | 1.0277214 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0893426E-6 | 5.4623456E-7 | 5.4623456E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.954295E-6 | 2.3410032E-6 | 2.3410032E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0901308E-4 | 2.8501347E-5 | 2.8501347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010895962 | 2.8497746E-4 | 2.949746E-4 | 1.0350806 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6033398E-7 | 3.6033398E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5442877E-6 | 1.5442877E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.8801546E-5 | 1.8801546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.88E-4 | 1.88E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.120132E-8 | 7.120132E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.051485E-7 | 3.051485E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.715178E-6 | 3.715178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.7151316E-5 | 3.7151316E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hayward (No) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.3068506E-5 | 1.7411615E-4 | 1.7411615E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9880406E-4 | 7.4599864E-4 | 7.4599864E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048446343 | 0.00904459 | 0.00904459 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.047403704 | 0.08646081 | 0.08646994 | 1.0001056 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.055486E-5 | 1.6962692E-4 | 1.6962692E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.880345E-4 | 7.267704E-4 | 7.267704E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047140904 | 0.0088126045 | 0.0088126045 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.046153355 | 0.08435321 | 0.084362365 | 1.0001086 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.006742E-5 | 1.6883257E-4 | 1.6883257E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.859461E-4 | 7.2336814E-4 | 7.2336814E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046887742 | 0.008771555 | 0.008771555 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0459107 | 0.083977334 | 0.08398649 | 1.0001091 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.8336754E-5 | 1.6562759E-4 | 1.6562759E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7853114E-4 | 7.096401E-4 | 7.096401E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004598882 | 0.008605801 | 0.008605801 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04504866 | 0.08246924 | 0.08247842 | 1.0001112 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.526157E-5 | 1.5989199E-4 | 1.5989199E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6535555E-4 | 6.8507215E-4 | 6.8507215E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044391346 | 0.008309015 | 0.008309015 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.043514993 | 0.07974939 | 0.07975859 | 1.0001154 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.152396E-5 | 1.5321448E-4 | 1.5321448E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493416E-4 | 6.5646897E-4 | 6.5646897E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042449418 | 0.0079633705 | 0.0079633705 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04164765 | 0.07657812 | 0.07658735 | 1.0001206 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.987405E-5 | 1.5025606E-4 | 1.5025606E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4227243E-4 | 6.4379635E-4 | 6.4379635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041592065 | 0.0078102085 | 0.0078102085 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04082218 | 0.07517049 | 0.07517973 | 1.000123 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.777665E-5 | 1.466432E-4 | 1.466432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.332859E-4 | 6.2832015E-4 | 6.2832015E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004050208 | 0.007623121 | 0.007623121 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.039771806 | 0.07344468 | 0.07345394 | 1.0001261 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.3284005E-5 | 1.3813864E-4 | 1.3813864E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.140365E-4 | 5.91889E-4 | 5.91889E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038166929 | 0.0071825758 | 0.0071825758 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.037518036 | 0.069353744 | 0.06936305 | 1.0001342 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.458263E-5 | 1.2142154E-4 | 1.2142154E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7675333E-4 | 5.202747E-4 | 5.202747E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033642664 | 0.0063160486 | 0.0063160486 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.033137884 | 0.061272383 | 0.06128177 | 1.0001532 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.3853604E-5 | 1.0034079E-4 | 1.0034079E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3078074E-4 | 4.299614E-4 | 4.299614E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028061352 | 0.0052222796 | 0.0052222796 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.027709642 | 0.050999884 | 0.051009376 | 1.0001861 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.4308683E-5 | 8.177966E-5 | 8.177966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8988053E-4 | 3.504374E-4 | 3.504374E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023093442 | 0.00425827 | 0.00425827 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022854926 | 0.041859426 | 0.041869007 | 1.0002289 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.295973E-5 | 6.083832E-5 | 6.083832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4124835E-4 | 2.6070973E-4 | 2.6070973E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017183421 | 0.0031695438 | 0.0031695438 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017051157 | 0.031402014 | 0.0314117 | 1.0003084 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.452256E-5 | 4.5239245E-5 | 4.5239245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05092455E-4 | 1.9386814E-4 | 1.9386814E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012787496 | 0.0023578033 | 0.0023578033 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0127141625 | 0.023470864 | 0.02348063 | 1.000416 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.8829967E-5 | 3.4653895E-5 | 3.4653895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.069736E-5 | 1.4850829E-4 | 1.4850829E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.820475E-4 | 0.0018065989 | 0.0018065989 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009777189 | 0.018045425 | 0.018045425 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.26374125E-5 | 2.2959644E-5 | 2.2959644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4159216E-5 | 9.83948E-5 | 9.83948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5918895E-4 | 0.0011973042 | 0.0011973042 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00657237 | 0.012009292 | 0.012009292 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.666429E-6 | 8.492675E-6 | 8.492675E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9998828E-5 | 3.6396676E-5 | 3.6396676E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4345852E-4 | 4.4304066E-4 | 4.4304066E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024319198 | 0.0044668578 | 0.0044668578 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.8399318E-7 | 7.1563176E-7 | 7.1563176E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6456839E-6 | 3.0669896E-6 | 3.0669896E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.003602E-5 | 3.733996E-5 | 3.733996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0034213E-4 | 3.8727003E-4 | 3.8727003E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.5637698E-7 | 5.3856695E-7 | 5.3856695E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.098758E-6 | 2.308142E-6 | 2.308142E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3377297E-5 | 2.8101267E-5 | 2.8101267E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3376492E-4 | 2.9339525E-4 | 2.9339525E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.7141245E-7 | 3.742538E-7 | 3.742538E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3462456E-7 | 1.6039438E-6 | 1.6039438E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.944017E-6 | 1.9527843E-5 | 1.9527843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.943657E-5 | 2.0310545E-4 | 2.0310545E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.1808895E-7 | 2.760366E-7 | 2.760366E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.060954E-7 | 1.1830134E-6 | 1.1830134E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.161694E-6 | 1.4403094E-5 | 1.4403094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.161523E-5 | 1.4861132E-4 | 1.4861132E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 5.138535E-8 | 1.1265576E-7 | 1.1265576E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2022292E-7 | 4.828103E-7 | 4.828103E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6812106E-6 | 5.8782E-6 | 5.8782E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6811784E-5 | 6.0331764E-5 | 6.0331764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Channel Islands Thrust
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.409399E-5 | 2.409399E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03256476E-4 | 1.03256476E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012565291 | 0.0012565291 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011494373 | 0.0125048375 | 0.012514712 | 1.0007896 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.409399E-5 | 2.409399E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03256476E-4 | 1.03256476E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012565291 | 0.0012565291 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011494373 | 0.0125048375 | 0.012514712 | 1.0007896 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.409399E-5 | 2.409399E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03256476E-4 | 1.03256476E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012565291 | 0.0012565291 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011494373 | 0.0125048375 | 0.012514712 | 1.0007896 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.409399E-5 | 2.409399E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03256476E-4 | 1.03256476E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012565291 | 0.0012565291 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011494373 | 0.0125048375 | 0.012514712 | 1.0007896 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.409399E-5 | 2.409399E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03256476E-4 | 1.03256476E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012565291 | 0.0012565291 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011494373 | 0.0125048375 | 0.012514712 | 1.0007896 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.409399E-5 | 2.409399E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03256476E-4 | 1.03256476E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012565291 | 0.0012565291 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011494373 | 0.0125048375 | 0.012514712 | 1.0007896 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.409399E-5 | 2.409399E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03256476E-4 | 1.03256476E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012565291 | 0.0012565291 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011494373 | 0.0125048375 | 0.012514712 | 1.0007896 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0601296E-5 | 1.138033E-5 | 1.138033E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5433335E-5 | 4.877196E-5 | 4.877196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5301044E-4 | 5.9364166E-4 | 5.9364166E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005516363 | 0.005921061 | 0.005921061 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.0246747E-5 | 1.0997426E-5 | 1.0997426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.391389E-5 | 4.7131E-5 | 4.7131E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.345204E-4 | 5.736737E-4 | 5.736737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053323656 | 0.005722418 | 0.005722418 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 9.049551E-6 | 9.700301E-6 | 9.700301E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.878322E-5 | 4.1572082E-5 | 4.1572082E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7208337E-4 | 5.0602667E-4 | 5.0602667E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047108172 | 0.0050491616 | 0.0050491616 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 8.6542195E-6 | 9.275231E-6 | 9.275231E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7088983E-5 | 3.9750405E-5 | 3.9750405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5146482E-4 | 4.838578E-4 | 4.838578E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004505487 | 0.004828455 | 0.004828455 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.391028E-6 | 8.993534E-6 | 8.993534E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5961057E-5 | 3.854317E-5 | 3.854317E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3773788E-4 | 4.6916615E-4 | 4.6916615E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004368766 | 0.0046821665 | 0.0046821665 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.965188E-6 | 6.372108E-6 | 6.372108E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556484E-5 | 2.7308752E-5 | 2.7308752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1120746E-4 | 3.3243388E-4 | 3.3243388E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00310772 | 0.0033194239 | 0.0033194239 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.877518E-6 | 5.2063415E-6 | 5.2063415E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0903482E-5 | 2.2312704E-5 | 2.2312704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5447016E-4 | 2.7162375E-4 | 2.7162375E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025417898 | 0.0027129638 | 0.0027129638 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.8829853E-6 | 4.1421285E-6 | 4.1421285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.664126E-5 | 1.7751861E-5 | 1.7751861E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0258849E-4 | 2.1610789E-4 | 2.1610789E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002024039 | 0.0021590192 | 0.0021590192 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3489616E-6 | 1.4278769E-6 | 1.4278769E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7812517E-6 | 6.1194582E-6 | 6.1194582E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.038446E-5 | 7.450189E-5 | 7.450189E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.036218E-4 | 7.4477313E-4 | 7.4477313E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.058192E-7 | 6.3541535E-7 | 6.3541535E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5963652E-6 | 2.7232059E-6 | 2.7232059E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.161029E-5 | 3.315454E-5 | 3.315454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1605794E-4 | 3.3149758E-4 | 3.3149758E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.2170494E-7 | 2.260912E-7 | 2.260912E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5016367E-7 | 9.68962E-7 | 9.68962E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1568181E-5 | 1.179706E-5 | 1.179706E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1567579E-4 | 1.1796545E-4 | 1.1796545E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.1613102E-8 | 1.5467213E-8 | 1.5467213E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.262757E-8 | 6.628805E-8 | 6.628805E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277401E-6 | 8.0705684E-7 | 8.0705684E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277344E-5 | 8.070547E-6 | 8.070547E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (Central) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5010907E-4 | 2.482894E-4 | 2.482894E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4316596E-4 | 0.001063646 | 0.001063646 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0078024664 | 0.01286412 | 0.01286412 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.07534136 | 0.12052188 | 0.12053067 | 1.000073 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.4521465E-4 | 2.3989944E-4 | 2.3989944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.222001E-4 | 0.0010277331 | 0.0010277331 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0075490056 | 0.012433315 | 0.012433315 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.07297657 | 0.11679281 | 0.11680164 | 1.0000756 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.429998E-4 | 2.3920943E-4 | 2.3920943E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.127123E-4 | 0.0010247786 | 0.0010247786 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007434286 | 0.012397801 | 0.012397801 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.07190444 | 0.11644559 | 0.11645443 | 1.0000759 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3536277E-4 | 2.3251404E-4 | 2.3251404E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.799972E-4 | 9.961129E-4 | 9.961129E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0070386264 | 0.012053615 | 0.012053615 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0681982 | 0.11335525 | 0.113364115 | 1.0000782 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2993296E-4 | 2.267436E-4 | 2.267436E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5673666E-4 | 9.714016E-4 | 9.714016E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006757223 | 0.011756107 | 0.011756107 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.06555412 | 0.110630676 | 0.11063957 | 1.0000803 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0498927E-4 | 1.8005271E-4 | 1.8005271E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.498764E-4 | 7.714252E-4 | 7.714252E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005463498 | 0.009351567 | 0.009351567 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.053311124 | 0.089306794 | 0.089315906 | 1.0001019 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0157505E-4 | 1.7492467E-4 | 1.7492467E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.35249E-4 | 7.494611E-4 | 7.494611E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052862884 | 0.0090864515 | 0.0090864515 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.05162293 | 0.086882964 | 0.0868921 | 1.0001051 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.660386E-5 | 1.6751421E-4 | 1.6751421E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1395082E-4 | 7.1772E-4 | 7.1772E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050282106 | 0.008703194 | 0.008703194 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.049159497 | 0.08337156 | 0.08338072 | 1.0001099 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.089927E-5 | 1.5664725E-4 | 1.5664725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8951015E-4 | 6.7117193E-4 | 6.7117193E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047319788 | 0.008140871 | 0.008140871 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.046324775 | 0.078261085 | 0.078261085 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.353187E-5 | 1.2313548E-4 | 1.2313548E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.150985E-4 | 5.2761735E-4 | 5.2761735E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038295772 | 0.006404942 | 0.006404942 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.037642512 | 0.062274948 | 0.062274948 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.746064E-5 | 9.4056995E-5 | 9.4056995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4623662E-4 | 4.030395E-4 | 4.030395E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029938098 | 0.004896037 | 0.004896037 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02953797 | 0.04806968 | 0.04806968 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.9557195E-5 | 8.06672E-5 | 8.06672E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.123707E-4 | 3.456711E-4 | 3.456711E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025825473 | 0.0042004874 | 0.0042004874 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0255274 | 0.041444324 | 0.041444324 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.687595E-5 | 5.9661066E-5 | 5.9661066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5803022E-4 | 2.556654E-4 | 2.556654E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019223199 | 0.0031083124 | 0.0031083124 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01905776 | 0.030952236 | 0.030952236 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.5846984E-5 | 4.2592146E-5 | 4.2592146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1076809E-4 | 1.825251E-4 | 1.825251E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013477671 | 0.0022199957 | 0.0022199957 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013396223 | 0.022236587 | 0.022236587 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.7747854E-5 | 2.9988034E-5 | 2.9988034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6060016E-5 | 1.2851383E-4 | 1.2851383E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2563726E-4 | 0.0015635359 | 0.0015635359 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009217911 | 0.015735926 | 0.015735926 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4883479E-5 | 2.6291877E-5 | 2.6291877E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.378478E-5 | 1.1267462E-4 | 1.1267462E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.76303E-4 | 0.001370953 | 0.001370953 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0077359667 | 0.013827591 | 0.013827591 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.166975E-6 | 1.5000698E-5 | 1.5000698E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5000852E-5 | 6.428713E-5 | 6.428713E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2605202E-4 | 7.824161E-4 | 7.824161E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004252361 | 0.007959007 | 0.007959007 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.3858064E-6 | 6.2779063E-6 | 6.2779063E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4510518E-5 | 2.6905036E-5 | 2.6905036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7665124E-4 | 3.2751964E-4 | 3.2751964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017651088 | 0.0033999444 | 0.0033999444 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7721615E-6 | 5.3870026E-6 | 5.3870026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1880637E-5 | 2.308695E-5 | 2.308695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4463716E-4 | 2.810474E-4 | 2.810474E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014454306 | 0.0029175044 | 0.0029175044 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.9736292E-6 | 4.1436015E-6 | 4.1436015E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4583835E-6 | 1.7758171E-5 | 1.7758171E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0297595E-4 | 2.1618433E-4 | 2.1618433E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010292825 | 0.0022309646 | 0.0022309646 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.1767289E-6 | 2.5634627E-6 | 2.5634627E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0431145E-6 | 1.0986222E-5 | 1.0986222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.139818E-5 | 1.3374907E-4 | 1.3374907E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1381224E-4 | 0.0013704522 | 0.0013704522 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 7.5112825E-7 | 1.5464133E-6 | 1.5464133E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2191172E-6 | 6.6274683E-6 | 6.6274683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9192048E-5 | 8.068646E-5 | 8.068646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9185135E-4 | 8.262201E-4 | 8.262201E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
McKinleyville (alt1)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1028524E-5 | 1.172845E-5 | 1.172845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7264242E-5 | 5.026396E-5 | 5.026396E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7529024E-4 | 6.118173E-4 | 6.118173E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005738032 | 0.006103839 | 0.0061137774 | 1.0016283 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1028524E-5 | 1.172845E-5 | 1.172845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7264242E-5 | 5.026396E-5 | 5.026396E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7529024E-4 | 6.118173E-4 | 6.118173E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005738032 | 0.006103839 | 0.0061137774 | 1.0016283 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1028524E-5 | 1.172845E-5 | 1.172845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7264242E-5 | 5.026396E-5 | 5.026396E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7529024E-4 | 6.118173E-4 | 6.118173E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005738032 | 0.006103839 | 0.0061137774 | 1.0016283 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1028524E-5 | 1.172845E-5 | 1.172845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7264242E-5 | 5.026396E-5 | 5.026396E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7529024E-4 | 6.118173E-4 | 6.118173E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005738032 | 0.006103839 | 0.0061137774 | 1.0016283 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1028524E-5 | 1.172845E-5 | 1.172845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7264242E-5 | 5.026396E-5 | 5.026396E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7529024E-4 | 6.118173E-4 | 6.118173E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005738032 | 0.006103839 | 0.0061137774 | 1.0016283 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1028524E-5 | 1.172845E-5 | 1.172845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7264242E-5 | 5.026396E-5 | 5.026396E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7529024E-4 | 6.118173E-4 | 6.118173E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005738032 | 0.006103839 | 0.0061137774 | 1.0016283 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1028524E-5 | 1.172845E-5 | 1.172845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7264242E-5 | 5.026396E-5 | 5.026396E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7529024E-4 | 6.118173E-4 | 6.118173E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005738032 | 0.006103839 | 0.0061137774 | 1.0016283 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.483374E-6 | 6.917515E-6 | 6.917515E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7785592E-5 | 2.964619E-5 | 2.964619E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3823706E-4 | 3.6088878E-4 | 3.6088878E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003377227 | 0.00360364 | 0.003613604 | 1.0027649 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.483374E-6 | 6.917515E-6 | 6.917515E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7785592E-5 | 2.964619E-5 | 2.964619E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3823706E-4 | 3.6088878E-4 | 3.6088878E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003377227 | 0.00360364 | 0.003613604 | 1.0027649 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.0394048E-6 | 4.3456503E-6 | 4.3456503E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.731162E-5 | 1.8624085E-5 | 1.8624085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1074859E-4 | 2.267252E-4 | 2.267252E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021054882 | 0.0022649937 | 0.002274971 | 1.004405 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.7791233E-6 | 4.072494E-6 | 4.072494E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6196142E-5 | 1.7453433E-5 | 1.7453433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9717019E-4 | 2.1247531E-4 | 2.1247531E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019699533 | 0.0021227715 | 0.0021327503 | 1.0047008 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.675443E-6 | 3.9637894E-6 | 3.9637894E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5751802E-5 | 1.698756E-5 | 1.698756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9176133E-4 | 2.0680441E-4 | 2.0680441E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019159593 | 0.0020661692 | 0.0020761485 | 1.0048299 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.0165843E-6 | 3.2723585E-6 | 3.2723585E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2928153E-5 | 1.4024319E-5 | 1.4024319E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.573889E-4 | 1.7073289E-4 | 1.7073289E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015727748 | 0.001706036 | 0.001716019 | 1.0058515 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.307633E-6 | 2.5191296E-6 | 2.5191296E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.889818E-6 | 1.0796225E-5 | 1.0796225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2040188E-4 | 1.314362E-4 | 1.314362E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012033667 | 0.001313593 | 0.0013235799 | 1.0076027 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0568484E-6 | 2.251922E-6 | 2.251922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8150355E-6 | 9.651059E-6 | 9.651059E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0731777E-4 | 1.1749539E-4 | 1.1749539E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010726595 | 0.0011743403 | 0.0011843286 | 1.0085055 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.7674889E-6 | 1.9416036E-6 | 1.9416036E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5749304E-6 | 8.321132E-6 | 8.321132E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.222087E-5 | 1.0130514E-4 | 1.0130514E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.218261E-4 | 0.0010125962 | 0.0010225861 | 1.0098656 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.2944297E-6 | 1.4297776E-6 | 1.4297776E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.547544E-6 | 6.127604E-6 | 6.127604E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.753925E-5 | 7.460108E-5 | 7.460108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7518733E-4 | 7.4576517E-4 | 7.5575773E-4 | 1.013399 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.806243E-7 | 6.461687E-7 | 6.461687E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4883875E-6 | 2.7692915E-6 | 2.7692915E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0295698E-5 | 3.371562E-5 | 3.371562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0291567E-4 | 3.3710673E-4 | 3.3710673E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.6121008E-7 | 1.8185658E-7 | 1.8185658E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.909002E-7 | 7.793851E-7 | 7.793851E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.411677E-6 | 9.488975E-6 | 9.488975E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.411359E-5 | 9.4885945E-5 | 9.4885945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Los Alamos 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7518874E-6 | 4.7518874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0365083E-5 | 2.0365083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4791842E-4 | 2.5791596E-4 | 1.0403259 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024765928 | 0.002486568 | 1.0040278 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7518874E-6 | 4.7518874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0365083E-5 | 2.0365083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4791842E-4 | 2.5791596E-4 | 1.0403259 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024765928 | 0.002486568 | 1.0040278 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7518874E-6 | 4.7518874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0365083E-5 | 2.0365083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4791842E-4 | 2.5791596E-4 | 1.0403259 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024765928 | 0.002486568 | 1.0040278 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7518874E-6 | 4.7518874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0365083E-5 | 2.0365083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4791842E-4 | 2.5791596E-4 | 1.0403259 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024765928 | 0.002486568 | 1.0040278 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7518874E-6 | 4.7518874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0365083E-5 | 2.0365083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4791842E-4 | 2.5791596E-4 | 1.0403259 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024765928 | 0.002486568 | 1.0040278 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7518874E-6 | 4.7518874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0365083E-5 | 2.0365083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4791842E-4 | 2.5791596E-4 | 1.0403259 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024765928 | 0.002486568 | 1.0040278 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7518874E-6 | 4.7518874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0365083E-5 | 2.0365083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4791842E-4 | 2.5791596E-4 | 1.0403259 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024765928 | 0.002486568 | 1.0040278 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.062321E-6 | 4.1664866E-6 | 4.1664866E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7409831E-5 | 1.7856257E-5 | 1.7856257E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1194408E-4 | 2.1737975E-4 | 2.1737975E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021174205 | 0.002171821 | 0.002171821 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 4.062321E-6 | 4.1664866E-6 | 4.1664866E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7409831E-5 | 1.7856257E-5 | 1.7856257E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1194408E-4 | 2.1737975E-4 | 2.1737975E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021174205 | 0.002171821 | 0.002171821 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.2936077E-6 | 3.3730719E-6 | 3.3730719E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4115385E-5 | 1.4455948E-5 | 1.4455948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7184127E-4 | 1.759879E-4 | 1.759879E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017170844 | 0.0017585778 | 0.0017585778 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.1687898E-6 | 3.2449263E-6 | 3.2449263E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3580457E-5 | 1.3906759E-5 | 1.3906759E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6532952E-4 | 1.6930256E-4 | 1.6930256E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016520657 | 0.0016918274 | 0.0016918274 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.9379228E-6 | 3.0074305E-6 | 3.0074305E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.25910365E-5 | 1.2888929E-5 | 1.2888929E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5328509E-4 | 1.5691231E-4 | 1.5691231E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001531794 | 0.0015681044 | 0.0015681044 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.0020686E-6 | 2.0417058E-6 | 2.0417058E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.580266E-6 | 8.7501385E-6 | 8.7501385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0445973E-4 | 1.0652777E-4 | 1.0652777E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010441064 | 0.0010647716 | 0.0010647716 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7364243E-6 | 1.7679484E-6 | 1.7679484E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.441797E-6 | 7.5769E-6 | 7.5769E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0600115E-5 | 9.224488E-5 | 9.224488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0563187E-4 | 9.2206907E-4 | 9.2206907E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.5718434E-6 | 1.5983811E-6 | 1.5983811E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7364545E-6 | 6.8501868E-6 | 6.8501868E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.201325E-5 | 8.339786E-5 | 8.339786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.198299E-4 | 8.3366863E-4 | 8.3366863E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3841119E-6 | 1.4043366E-6 | 1.4043366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9318945E-6 | 6.0185716E-6 | 6.0185716E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.221842E-5 | 7.327367E-5 | 7.327367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2194956E-4 | 7.32498E-4 | 7.32498E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.0843726E-6 | 1.0934888E-6 | 1.0934888E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.647303E-6 | 4.686372E-6 | 4.686372E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6579443E-5 | 5.7055113E-5 | 5.7055113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.656504E-4 | 5.7040725E-4 | 5.7040725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.544814E-7 | 5.5021144E-7 | 5.5021144E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3763469E-6 | 2.358047E-6 | 2.358047E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8931638E-5 | 2.8708846E-5 | 2.8708846E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8927872E-4 | 2.8705152E-4 | 2.8705152E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.0707465E-7 | 1.9779485E-7 | 1.9779485E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.874625E-7 | 8.476919E-7 | 8.476919E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08048025E-5 | 1.0320601E-5 | 1.0320601E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0804277E-4 | 1.0320126E-4 | 1.0320126E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.9821284E-8 | 3.433324E-8 | 3.433324E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7066264E-7 | 1.4714246E-7 | 1.4714246E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0778157E-6 | 1.791458E-6 | 1.791458E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0777963E-5 | 1.791444E-5 | 1.791444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 7.880441E-11 | 8.2356566E-11 | 8.2356566E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3773329E-10 | 3.5295677E-10 | 3.5295677E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1119033E-9 | 4.2972492E-9 | 4.2972492E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1119034E-8 | 4.297249E-8 | 4.297249E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hosgri (Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1369135E-5 | 1.2083964E-5 | 1.2083964E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8723956E-5 | 5.178752E-5 | 5.178752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9305265E-4 | 6.3035334E-4 | 6.403471E-4 | 1.0158541 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005914725 | 0.0062879026 | 0.00629784 | 1.0015804 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.934979E-6 | 7.3251235E-6 | 7.3251235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9721E-5 | 3.1393032E-5 | 3.1393032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.617931E-4 | 3.821473E-4 | 3.821473E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036120464 | 0.0038153143 | 0.0038153143 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 6.934979E-6 | 7.3251235E-6 | 7.3251235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9721E-5 | 3.1393032E-5 | 3.1393032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.617931E-4 | 3.821473E-4 | 3.821473E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036120464 | 0.0038153143 | 0.0038153143 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 4.5484676E-6 | 4.7697313E-6 | 4.7697313E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9493287E-5 | 2.0441548E-5 | 2.0441548E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3730492E-4 | 2.4884782E-4 | 2.4884782E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023705168 | 0.0024857344 | 0.0024857344 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 4.218095E-6 | 4.4172407E-6 | 4.4172407E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8077424E-5 | 1.8930896E-5 | 1.8930896E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2007042E-4 | 2.3045961E-4 | 2.3045961E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002198526 | 0.0023022396 | 0.0023022396 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 3.717374E-6 | 3.884225E-6 | 3.884225E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5931506E-5 | 1.6646572E-5 | 1.6646572E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9394881E-4 | 2.0265336E-4 | 2.0265336E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019377962 | 0.0020247044 | 0.0020247044 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 3.4605036E-6 | 3.6086346E-6 | 3.6086346E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4830645E-5 | 1.5465486E-5 | 1.5465486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8054814E-4 | 1.8827617E-4 | 1.8827617E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018040152 | 0.0018811813 | 0.0018811813 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.123439E-6 | 3.2468727E-6 | 3.2468727E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.33860985E-5 | 1.3915095E-5 | 1.3915095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6296357E-4 | 1.6940321E-4 | 1.6940321E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001628441 | 0.0016927518 | 0.0016927518 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.8290783E-6 | 2.9308228E-6 | 2.9308228E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2124565E-5 | 1.2560609E-5 | 1.2560609E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4760658E-4 | 1.5291477E-4 | 1.5291477E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014750857 | 0.0015281042 | 0.0015281042 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.454112E-6 | 2.528575E-6 | 2.528575E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0517581E-5 | 1.0836705E-5 | 1.0836705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2804402E-4 | 1.3192894E-4 | 1.3192894E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012797028 | 0.0013185124 | 0.0013185124 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.1008145E-6 | 2.1501005E-6 | 2.1501005E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.003459E-6 | 9.214685E-6 | 9.214685E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.096116E-4 | 1.1218304E-4 | 1.1218304E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010955755 | 0.0011212679 | 0.0011212679 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.744384E-6 | 1.7688409E-6 | 1.7688409E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.47591E-6 | 7.5807247E-6 | 7.5807247E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1015405E-5 | 9.229143E-5 | 9.229143E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097813E-4 | 9.2253275E-4 | 9.2253275E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.5456587E-6 | 1.5564804E-6 | 1.5564804E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6242346E-6 | 6.670613E-6 | 6.670613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.064707E-5 | 8.12117E-5 | 8.12117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0617814E-4 | 8.118215E-4 | 8.118215E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3775123E-6 | 1.3767889E-6 | 1.3767889E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9036106E-6 | 5.9005106E-6 | 5.9005106E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.187409E-5 | 7.183636E-5 | 7.183636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.185085E-4 | 7.1813236E-4 | 7.1813236E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.214491E-6 | 1.2025156E-6 | 1.2025156E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2049513E-6 | 5.153628E-6 | 5.153628E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.336844E-5 | 6.2743624E-5 | 6.2743624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.335037E-4 | 6.272599E-4 | 6.272599E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.0101123E-6 | 9.843804E-7 | 9.843804E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3290456E-6 | 4.2187667E-6 | 4.2187667E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2704854E-5 | 5.136228E-5 | 5.136228E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2692357E-4 | 5.1350467E-4 | 5.1350467E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.1558215E-7 | 7.767395E-7 | 7.767395E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4953473E-6 | 3.3288795E-6 | 3.3288795E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.255502E-5 | 4.0528357E-5 | 4.0528357E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2546875E-4 | 4.0521013E-4 | 4.0521013E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.757816E-7 | 4.1320826E-7 | 4.1320826E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0390623E-6 | 1.7708912E-6 | 1.7708912E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4825302E-5 | 2.1560389E-5 | 2.1560389E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.482253E-4 | 2.155831E-4 | 2.155831E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.782787E-7 | 2.0058148E-7 | 2.0058148E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1926223E-6 | 8.596346E-7 | 8.596346E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.452008E-5 | 1.0466001E-5 | 1.0466001E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4519131E-4 | 1.0465512E-4 | 1.0465512E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.6948086E-7 | 9.253246E-8 | 9.253246E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2634634E-7 | 3.965676E-7 | 3.965676E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.843231E-6 | 4.8282E-6 | 4.8282E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.842879E-5 | 4.8280956E-5 | 4.8280956E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.0225492E-7 | 4.4803045E-8 | 4.4803045E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.382353E-7 | 1.9201303E-7 | 1.9201303E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.335502E-6 | 2.3377563E-6 | 2.3377563E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.335374E-5 | 2.3377319E-5 | 2.3377319E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.43711345E-8 | 5.7976624E-9 | 5.7976624E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1590576E-8 | 2.4847123E-8 | 2.4847123E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4986497E-7 | 3.0251368E-7 | 3.0251368E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4986247E-6 | 3.0251333E-6 | 3.0251333E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Cayetano
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.817342E-5 | 1.817342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.788378E-5 | 7.788378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4782613E-4 | 9.4782613E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012175002 | 0.009438762 | 0.009448668 | 1.0010495 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.817342E-5 | 1.817342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.788378E-5 | 7.788378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4782613E-4 | 9.4782613E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012175002 | 0.009438762 | 0.009448668 | 1.0010495 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.817342E-5 | 1.817342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.788378E-5 | 7.788378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4782613E-4 | 9.4782613E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012175002 | 0.009438762 | 0.009448668 | 1.0010495 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.817342E-5 | 1.817342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.788378E-5 | 7.788378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4782613E-4 | 9.4782613E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012175002 | 0.009438762 | 0.009448668 | 1.0010495 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.817342E-5 | 1.817342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.788378E-5 | 7.788378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4782613E-4 | 9.4782613E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012175002 | 0.009438762 | 0.009448668 | 1.0010495 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.817342E-5 | 1.817342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.788378E-5 | 7.788378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4782613E-4 | 9.4782613E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012175002 | 0.009438762 | 0.009448668 | 1.0010495 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.817342E-5 | 1.817342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.788378E-5 | 7.788378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4782613E-4 | 9.4782613E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012175002 | 0.009438762 | 0.009448668 | 1.0010495 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.817342E-5 | 1.817342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.788378E-5 | 7.788378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4782613E-4 | 9.4782613E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012175002 | 0.009438762 | 0.009448668 | 1.0010495 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.3241924E-5 | 1.7941067E-5 | 1.7941067E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.960445E-5 | 7.688804E-5 | 7.688804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012120095 | 9.357135E-4 | 9.357135E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012054204 | 0.00931859 | 0.009328498 | 1.0010631 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2761007E-5 | 1.7436434E-5 | 1.7436434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7543525E-5 | 7.472545E-5 | 7.472545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011869454 | 9.094061E-4 | 9.094061E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011806256 | 0.009057676 | 0.009067586 | 1.001094 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.240283E-5 | 1.7070113E-5 | 1.7070113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.600859E-5 | 7.315559E-5 | 7.315559E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011682777 | 8.903088E-4 | 8.903088E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011621549 | 0.008868232 | 0.008878144 | 1.0011176 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.1871154E-5 | 1.6589947E-5 | 1.6589947E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.373015E-5 | 7.109786E-5 | 7.109786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011405671 | 8.6527603E-4 | 8.6527603E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011347309 | 0.008619869 | 0.008619869 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.0714133E-5 | 1.5568325E-5 | 1.5568325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8771834E-5 | 6.671971E-5 | 6.671971E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010802611 | 8.1201294E-4 | 8.1201294E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010750249 | 0.008091232 | 0.008091232 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.8408395E-5 | 1.3998962E-5 | 1.3998962E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8890735E-5 | 5.9994185E-5 | 5.9994185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.600714E-4 | 7.301874E-4 | 7.301874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009559342 | 0.007278624 | 0.007278624 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6856795E-5 | 1.2851898E-5 | 1.2851898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2241404E-5 | 5.5078413E-5 | 5.5078413E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7918417E-4 | 6.7037623E-4 | 6.7037623E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00875714 | 0.006684264 | 0.006684264 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2822778E-5 | 9.578822E-6 | 9.578822E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.495361E-5 | 4.105146E-5 | 4.105146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.688548E-4 | 4.9968844E-4 | 4.9968844E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006668452 | 0.0049859374 | 0.0049859374 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.6272684E-6 | 3.8554253E-6 | 3.8554253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4116642E-5 | 1.6523147E-5 | 1.6523147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9358055E-4 | 2.0115085E-4 | 2.0115085E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029319301 | 0.0020096987 | 0.0020096987 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.5261346E-6 | 2.341032E-6 | 2.341032E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5111918E-5 | 1.0032956E-5 | 1.0032956E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8397206E-4 | 1.2214447E-4 | 1.2214447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018381984 | 0.0012207807 | 0.0012207807 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.4826929E-6 | 1.0565662E-6 | 1.0565662E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.354383E-6 | 4.5281336E-6 | 4.5281336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.736187E-5 | 5.512865E-5 | 5.512865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.733494E-4 | 5.5115175E-4 | 5.5115175E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.7568166E-7 | 1.6980935E-7 | 1.6980935E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1814923E-6 | 7.277541E-7 | 7.277541E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4384574E-5 | 8.860371E-6 | 8.860371E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4383643E-4 | 8.860021E-5 | 8.860021E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.407832E-8 | 2.6896595E-8 | 2.6896595E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3176422E-7 | 1.1527111E-7 | 1.1527111E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8217257E-6 | 1.4034249E-6 | 1.4034249E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8216898E-5 | 1.4034165E-5 | 1.4034165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Temecula) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9514995E-5 | 2.2527096E-5 | 2.2527096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.264867E-4 | 9.654125E-5 | 9.654125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015388876 | 0.0011747779 | 0.0011747779 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015282745 | 0.011698243 | 0.011708126 | 1.0008448 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9514995E-5 | 2.2527096E-5 | 2.2527096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.264867E-4 | 9.654125E-5 | 9.654125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015388876 | 0.0011747779 | 0.0011747779 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015282745 | 0.011698243 | 0.011708126 | 1.0008448 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9514995E-5 | 2.2527096E-5 | 2.2527096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.264867E-4 | 9.654125E-5 | 9.654125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015388876 | 0.0011747779 | 0.0011747779 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015282745 | 0.011698243 | 0.011708126 | 1.0008448 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3223649E-5 | 1.841391E-5 | 1.841391E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.952613E-5 | 7.891446E-5 | 7.891446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001211057 | 9.603773E-4 | 9.603773E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012044783 | 0.009570117 | 0.009580021 | 1.001035 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.3223649E-5 | 1.841391E-5 | 1.841391E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.952613E-5 | 7.891446E-5 | 7.891446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001211057 | 9.603773E-4 | 9.603773E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012044783 | 0.009570117 | 0.009580021 | 1.001035 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8338875E-5 | 1.47552355E-5 | 1.47552355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8592806E-5 | 6.323524E-5 | 6.323524E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5644733E-4 | 7.696259E-4 | 7.696259E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009523412 | 0.007673516 | 0.007683439 | 1.0012932 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.8223333E-5 | 1.4617768E-5 | 1.4617768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.809766E-5 | 6.264612E-5 | 6.264612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.504242E-4 | 7.6245837E-4 | 7.6245837E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009463696 | 0.007602332 | 0.0076122563 | 1.0013053 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7512752E-5 | 1.4032101E-5 | 1.4032101E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.505249E-5 | 6.0136237E-5 | 6.0136237E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.13381E-4 | 7.3192135E-4 | 7.3192135E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00909636 | 0.007301869 | 0.007311796 | 1.0013595 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7417142E-5 | 1.3956062E-5 | 1.3956062E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4642754E-5 | 5.981037E-5 | 5.981037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.083966E-4 | 7.2795653E-4 | 7.2795653E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009046922 | 0.0072624204 | 0.007272348 | 1.001367 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.6402591E-5 | 1.2993343E-5 | 1.2993343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0294926E-5 | 5.5684613E-5 | 5.5684613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5550465E-4 | 6.7775697E-4 | 6.7775697E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008522186 | 0.006762845 | 0.006772777 | 1.0014687 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3912486E-5 | 1.0882523E-5 | 1.0882523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9623577E-5 | 4.6638565E-5 | 4.6638565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2567526E-4 | 5.6767935E-4 | 5.6767935E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0072331014 | 0.00566649 | 0.0056764334 | 1.0017548 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3405147E-5 | 1.0331513E-5 | 1.0331513E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7449364E-5 | 4.4277174E-5 | 4.4277174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9922156E-4 | 5.3894386E-4 | 5.3894386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0069702556 | 0.0053797895 | 0.0053897356 | 1.0018488 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.21402E-5 | 9.0003705E-6 | 9.0003705E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.202839E-5 | 3.8572456E-5 | 3.8572456E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.332616E-4 | 4.6952025E-4 | 4.6952025E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063146 | 0.0046867114 | 0.004696665 | 1.0021237 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.05047775E-5 | 7.5749217E-6 | 7.5749217E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5019697E-5 | 3.2463555E-5 | 3.2463555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4797693E-4 | 3.9517356E-4 | 3.9517356E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005466277 | 0.003945069 | 0.003945069 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.624483E-6 | 6.789745E-6 | 6.789745E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.124713E-5 | 2.909859E-5 | 2.909859E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0206814E-4 | 3.542191E-4 | 3.542191E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005009353 | 0.0035367005 | 0.0035367005 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.215151E-6 | 5.63797E-6 | 5.63797E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5207315E-5 | 2.4162511E-5 | 2.4162511E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2856473E-4 | 2.9414013E-4 | 2.9414013E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004277392 | 0.002937636 | 0.002937636 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.975058E-6 | 4.6782593E-6 | 4.6782593E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9892764E-5 | 2.0049536E-5 | 2.0049536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6388362E-4 | 2.4407693E-4 | 2.4407693E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036328835 | 0.0024382048 | 0.0024382048 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.159604E-6 | 2.328156E-6 | 2.328156E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7826753E-5 | 9.977777E-6 | 9.977777E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1701909E-4 | 1.21473415E-4 | 1.21473415E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021680726 | 0.0012141432 | 0.0012141432 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.388284E-8 | 9.388284E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0235497E-7 | 4.0235497E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.8986644E-6 | 4.8986644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.898589E-5 | 4.898589E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4405956E-9 | 3.4405956E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4745409E-8 | 1.4745409E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7952534E-7 | 1.7952534E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7952522E-6 | 1.7952522E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Superstition Mtn)
(top)
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