Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions
Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)
Table Of Contents
Garlock (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.02476E-5 | 0.06721 | 956.75867 | 0.06724553 | 0.06718 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.0102677E-4 | 0.08256 | 274.26132 | 0.08271621 | 0.08244 | 0.0028726095 | 0.003658906 | 0.1132 | 30.93821 | 0.11480076 | 0.11155 | 0.028357591 | 0.036136657 | 0.15561 | 4.306154 | 0.16917871 | 0.13803 |
6.1 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.02476E-5 | 0.06721 | 956.75867 | 0.06724553 | 0.06718 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.0102677E-4 | 0.08256 | 274.26132 | 0.08271621 | 0.08244 | 0.0028726095 | 0.003658906 | 0.1132 | 30.93821 | 0.11480076 | 0.11155 | 0.028357591 | 0.036136657 | 0.15561 | 4.306154 | 0.16917871 | 0.13803 |
6.2 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.1661802E-5 | 0.04093 | 792.2682 | 0.04094955 | 0.0409 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.213891E-4 | 0.05076 | 229.27957 | 0.050870173 | 0.05066 | 0.0021976046 | 0.002692112 | 0.07032 | 26.120756 | 0.07155622 | 0.06905 | 0.021759989 | 0.026701318 | 0.10021 | 3.7529984 | 0.11096952 | 0.08658 |
6.3 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.1661802E-5 | 0.04093 | 792.2682 | 0.04094955 | 0.0409 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.213891E-4 | 0.05076 | 229.27957 | 0.050870173 | 0.05066 | 0.0021976046 | 0.002692112 | 0.07032 | 26.120756 | 0.07155622 | 0.06905 | 0.021759989 | 0.026701318 | 0.10021 | 3.7529984 | 0.11096952 | 0.08658 |
6.4 | 3.6858168E-5 | 4.411026E-5 | 0.03128 | 709.1321 | 0.031292733 | 0.03125 | 1.5795401E-4 | 1.8903041E-4 | 0.03894 | 205.9986 | 0.039031688 | 0.03885 | 0.0019213937 | 0.0022990413 | 0.05436 | 23.644638 | 0.055396687 | 0.05322 | 0.019048655 | 0.022866098 | 0.07933 | 3.4693282 | 0.08884218 | 0.06752 |
6.5 | 3.39199E-5 | 4.0018425E-5 | 0.02789 | 696.92896 | 0.027898904 | 0.02786 | 1.453629E-4 | 1.7149639E-4 | 0.03477 | 202.7448 | 0.03485555 | 0.03469 | 0.0017683565 | 0.0020859907 | 0.04848 | 23.240755 | 0.049486905 | 0.0475 | 0.017543508 | 0.020758783 | 0.07117 | 3.4284282 | 0.07990495 | 0.0604 |
6.6 | 3.3571985E-5 | 3.947258E-5 | 0.02786 | 705.8064 | 0.027868373 | 0.02783 | 1.4387199E-4 | 1.6915736E-4 | 0.03474 | 205.37091 | 0.034823295 | 0.03466 | 0.0017502342 | 0.0020575672 | 0.04839 | 23.518066 | 0.049399957 | 0.04744 | 0.017365133 | 0.020480042 | 0.07086 | 3.459954 | 0.0795353 | 0.06029 |
6.7 | 3.2580007E-5 | 3.808902E-5 | 0.02673 | 701.77704 | 0.026747072 | 0.02671 | 1.3962112E-4 | 1.6322857E-4 | 0.03336 | 204.37599 | 0.033447795 | 0.03329 | 0.0016985617 | 0.0019855178 | 0.0465 | 23.419582 | 0.047465038 | 0.04557 | 0.016856372 | 0.019770874 | 0.0681 | 3.4444609 | 0.07657515 | 0.05795 |
6.8 | 3.2185937E-5 | 3.7516216E-5 | 0.02615 | 697.0319 | 0.026166536 | 0.02613 | 1.3793244E-4 | 1.60774E-4 | 0.03272 | 203.5155 | 0.032805525 | 0.03265 | 0.0016780337 | 0.0019556875 | 0.04558 | 23.306383 | 0.046528347 | 0.04466 | 0.016654192 | 0.019477878 | 0.06684 | 3.4315853 | 0.07522056 | 0.05685 |
6.9 | 3.165394E-5 | 3.672075E-5 | 0.02551 | 694.7026 | 0.025525784 | 0.02549 | 1.3565269E-4 | 1.5736527E-4 | 0.03195 | 203.03082 | 0.03203235 | 0.03188 | 0.0016503202 | 0.00191426 | 0.04448 | 23.236134 | 0.045410838 | 0.04358 | 0.01638118 | 0.019071518 | 0.06535 | 3.4265757 | 0.07352286 | 0.05551 |
7.0 | 3.0903822E-5 | 3.562591E-5 | 0.02486 | 697.80676 | 0.024874741 | 0.02484 | 1.3243823E-4 | 1.5267366E-4 | 0.03113 | 203.89896 | 0.031207932 | 0.03106 | 0.0016112428 | 0.0018572382 | 0.04321 | 23.265728 | 0.04409864 | 0.04232 | 0.015996104 | 0.018513493 | 0.06345 | 3.4272301 | 0.07138617 | 0.05387 |
7.1 | 3.0069863E-5 | 3.4392175E-5 | 0.0238 | 692.0179 | 0.023813574 | 0.02378 | 1.2886449E-4 | 1.4738683E-4 | 0.02984 | 202.46043 | 0.029912999 | 0.02977 | 0.0015677959 | 0.0017929787 | 0.04137 | 23.073336 | 0.042230345 | 0.04051 | 0.01556781 | 0.01788099 | 0.06091 | 3.4064112 | 0.068607435 | 0.05165 |
7.2 | 2.7957109E-5 | 3.128141E-5 | 0.01954 | 624.6521 | 0.01955067 | 0.01952 | 1.1981068E-4 | 1.3405642E-4 | 0.02452 | 182.90807 | 0.024580779 | 0.02445 | 0.0014577188 | 0.0016309345 | 0.03432 | 21.04315 | 0.035156168 | 0.03358 | 0.014481937 | 0.016284352 | 0.05149 | 3.161931 | 0.05871201 | 0.04313 |
7.3 | 2.4519275E-5 | 2.6714602E-5 | 0.0137 | 512.8281 | 0.013716348 | 0.01369 | 1.0507837E-4 | 1.1448621E-4 | 0.01716 | 149.88705 | 0.017212529 | 0.0171 | 0.0012785783 | 0.001392993 | 0.02434 | 17.473167 | 0.025049994 | 0.02369 | 0.012712469 | 0.01392861 | 0.03781 | 2.7145567 | 0.044102393 | 0.0306 |
7.4 | 2.3225532E-5 | 2.5199166E-5 | 0.0124 | 492.07977 | 0.012424887 | 0.0124 | 9.95342E-5 | 1.0799204E-4 | 0.01554 | 143.89949 | 0.015596319 | 0.01549 | 0.0012111551 | 0.0013140244 | 0.022 | 16.742458 | 0.022705877 | 0.02142 | 0.012045753 | 0.013146196 | 0.03439 | 2.6159658 | 0.04044257 | 0.02766 |
7.5 | 2.097765E-5 | 2.2483406E-5 | 0.00945 | 420.30997 | 0.0094722705 | 0.00945 | 8.9901114E-5 | 9.6353964E-5 | 0.01204 | 124.95594 | 0.012095198 | 0.012 | 0.0010939965 | 0.00117249 | 0.0172 | 14.669635 | 0.017832933 | 0.01668 | 0.010886264 | 0.0117406575 | 0.02737 | 2.3312154 | 0.032879524 | 0.02139 |
7.6 | 1.511254E-5 | 1.5990969E-5 | 0.00503 | 314.55255 | 0.0050459104 | 0.00503 | 6.476642E-5 | 6.8530964E-5 | 0.00638 | 93.096596 | 0.0064080963 | 0.00634 | 7.882459E-4 | 8.34053E-4 | 0.00927 | 11.114402 | 0.009696655 | 0.00887 | 0.007854558 | 0.008383867 | 0.01578 | 1.8821863 | 0.019837033 | 0.01155 |
7.7 | 9.934069E-6 | 1.0678523E-5 | 0.00144 | 134.85011 | 0.0014506632 | 0.00144 | 4.2573887E-5 | 4.5764296E-5 | 0.00187 | 40.861546 | 0.0018756805 | 0.00183 | 5.182138E-4 | 5.570383E-4 | 0.00277 | 4.9727283 | 0.0030856289 | 0.00253 | 0.00517007 | 0.005627419 | 0.00618 | 1.0981944 | 0.0089386795 | 0.00333 |
7.8 | 6.7562896E-6 | 8.42837E-6 | 8.3E-4 | 98.47693 | 8.384214E-4 | 8.3E-4 | 2.8955206E-5 | 3.6121084E-5 | 0.00107 | 29.622587 | 0.0010860831 | 0.00105 | 3.5247262E-4 | 4.3968562E-4 | 0.00174 | 3.957373 | 0.0019890042 | 0.00155 | 0.0035191406 | 0.004446416 | 0.00429 | 0.96482193 | 0.006537079 | 0.0021 |
7.9 | 3.975453E-6 | 5.3710532E-6 | 4.4E-4 | 81.92062 | 4.453687E-4 | 4.4E-4 | 1.7037546E-5 | 2.3018596E-5 | 5.6E-4 | 24.328156 | 5.7300593E-4 | 5.5E-4 | 2.0741238E-4 | 2.8021546E-4 | 9.6E-4 | 3.425935 | 0.0010999857 | 8.2E-4 | 0.002072189 | 0.0028335669 | 0.00251 | 0.88580936 | 0.003960365 | 0.00113 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.0775192E-6 | 1.8E-4 | 86.6418 | 1.8207714E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 7.169782E-6 | 8.903624E-6 | 2.1E-4 | 23.585903 | 2.0890184E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.0839626E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 3.690164 | 4.2836159E-4 | 3.2E-4 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.001096854 | 9.0E-4 | 0.8205285 | 0.0014764372 | 3.8E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1489736E-7 | 2.0E-5 | 63.512756 | 2.031489E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3495595E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 14.81965 | 2.1349533E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.643078E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 3.651683 | 4.6430287E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.662928E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.54121405 | 2.0628615E-4 | 4.0E-5 |
Tank Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8284557E-5 | 5.796445E-5 | 0.03678 | 634.52686 | 0.036805835 | 0.03675 | 2.0691741E-4 | 2.4839927E-4 | 0.04939 | 198.83313 | 0.049546152 | 0.04931 | 0.0025163088 | 0.0030207336 | 0.07633 | 25.268696 | 0.077475145 | 0.07468 | 0.02488006 | 0.029863616 | 0.11977 | 4.0105658 | 0.12893394 | 0.10212 |
6.1 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.0873378E-5 | 0.01247 | 597.4117 | 0.012470613 | 0.01245 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.945448E-5 | 0.01703 | 190.37616 | 0.017087935 | 0.017 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010886024 | 0.02764 | 25.390356 | 0.0280692 | 0.02701 | 0.009242975 | 0.010836642 | 0.04544 | 4.1931806 | 0.048711706 | 0.03829 |
6.2 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.0873378E-5 | 0.01247 | 597.4117 | 0.012470613 | 0.01245 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.945448E-5 | 0.01703 | 190.37616 | 0.017087935 | 0.017 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010886024 | 0.02764 | 25.390356 | 0.0280692 | 0.02701 | 0.009242975 | 0.010836642 | 0.04544 | 4.1931806 | 0.048711706 | 0.03829 |
6.3 | 1.3515912E-5 | 1.5759651E-5 | 0.00884 | 560.9261 | 0.00883562 | 0.00882 | 5.792405E-5 | 6.7539746E-5 | 0.01202 | 177.96927 | 0.01205673 | 0.01199 | 7.049971E-4 | 8.2200987E-4 | 0.01983 | 24.123798 | 0.020116137 | 0.01931 | 0.007027647 | 0.008192157 | 0.0333 | 4.0648637 | 0.035754498 | 0.02779 |
6.4 | 1.0870146E-5 | 1.2618114E-5 | 0.00635 | 503.24478 | 0.006362538 | 0.00635 | 4.658551E-5 | 5.4076605E-5 | 0.0087 | 160.88287 | 0.0087436065 | 0.00869 | 5.67031E-4 | 6.582015E-4 | 0.0145 | 22.029728 | 0.014788895 | 0.01414 | 0.005655863 | 0.006564382 | 0.02496 | 3.8023381 | 0.027237777 | 0.02081 |
6.5 | 7.964826E-6 | 9.196184E-6 | 0.00411 | 446.92453 | 0.0041191583 | 0.00411 | 3.4134522E-5 | 3.941168E-5 | 0.00564 | 143.10478 | 0.0056691896 | 0.00563 | 4.1550855E-4 | 4.797421E-4 | 0.00934 | 19.468794 | 0.009565381 | 0.00909 | 0.0041473247 | 0.004788209 | 0.01649 | 3.4438763 | 0.018054383 | 0.01333 |
6.6 | 6.6317E-6 | 7.612378E-6 | 0.003 | 394.09497 | 0.0030075896 | 0.003 | 2.8421264E-5 | 3.262412E-5 | 0.00408 | 125.060844 | 0.0041024913 | 0.00407 | 3.4597394E-4 | 3.9713533E-4 | 0.0067 | 16.870823 | 0.006864566 | 0.00647 | 0.0034543579 | 0.0039652516 | 0.01221 | 3.0792499 | 0.013537145 | 0.00961 |
6.7 | 4.793663E-6 | 5.4308593E-6 | 0.00175 | 322.23264 | 0.0017554214 | 0.00175 | 2.0544108E-5 | 2.3274928E-5 | 0.00223 | 95.81126 | 0.002253223 | 0.00223 | 2.500958E-4 | 2.833398E-4 | 0.00377 | 13.30558 | 0.0038523283 | 0.00357 | 0.0024981452 | 0.0028303189 | 0.0072 | 2.5438828 | 0.008145234 | 0.00533 |
6.8 | 4.382823E-6 | 4.969325E-6 | 0.00154 | 309.90125 | 0.0015449617 | 0.00154 | 1.8783392E-5 | 2.1296957E-5 | 0.00196 | 92.03193 | 0.0019812551 | 0.00196 | 2.286638E-4 | 2.5926388E-4 | 0.00336 | 12.959769 | 0.0034584343 | 0.0032 | 0.0022842865 | 0.0025901233 | 0.0064 | 2.4709249 | 0.0073477686 | 0.00477 |
6.9 | 2.729601E-6 | 3.0735862E-6 | 7.9E-4 | 257.02875 | 7.930712E-4 | 7.9E-4 | 1.1698237E-5 | 1.3172453E-5 | 9.9E-4 | 75.156845 | 0.0010031594 | 9.9E-4 | 1.4241673E-4 | 1.6036403E-4 | 0.00162 | 10.1020155 | 0.0017101155 | 0.00155 | 0.001423255 | 0.0016024808 | 0.00324 | 2.0218651 | 0.003898795 | 0.0023 |
7.0 | 1.8987357E-6 | 2.126971E-6 | 4.1E-4 | 192.76239 | 4.121261E-4 | 4.1E-4 | 8.137413E-6 | 9.115562E-6 | 5.1E-4 | 55.94828 | 5.1911094E-4 | 5.1E-4 | 9.90685E-5 | 1.1097702E-4 | 7.7E-4 | 6.9383736 | 8.40896E-4 | 7.3E-4 | 9.902435E-4 | 0.0011092846 | 0.0017 | 1.5325192 | 0.0021181642 | 0.00101 |
7.1 | 1.4928986E-6 | 1.6641525E-6 | 2.6E-4 | 156.23569 | 2.6166372E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 6.398121E-6 | 7.132066E-6 | 3.4E-4 | 47.67202 | 3.4712965E-4 | 3.4E-4 | 7.789434E-5 | 8.6830034E-5 | 4.5E-4 | 5.1825385 | 5.2679185E-4 | 4.4E-4 | 7.786704E-4 | 8.6801895E-4 | 0.0011 | 1.2672534 | 0.0015174547 | 6.5E-4 |
7.2 | 1.069082E-6 | 1.1828765E-6 | 1.8E-4 | 152.17142 | 1.8118267E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 4.581772E-6 | 5.0694644E-6 | 2.5E-4 | 49.314877 | 2.550682E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 5.5781646E-5 | 6.171951E-5 | 3.2E-4 | 5.1847463 | 3.8169976E-4 | 3.2E-4 | 5.576765E-4 | 6.1707594E-4 | 6.9E-4 | 1.1181768 | 0.0010168292 | 4.0E-4 |
7.3 | 8.776551E-7 | 9.770151E-7 | 1.3E-4 | 133.05833 | 1.3097688E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 3.7613736E-6 | 4.187204E-6 | 1.8E-4 | 42.988113 | 1.8418644E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 4.579376E-5 | 5.0978535E-5 | 2.4E-4 | 4.707864 | 2.909663E-4 | 2.4E-4 | 4.5784327E-4 | 5.097194E-4 | 5.2E-4 | 1.0201691 | 7.8957673E-4 | 2.8E-4 |
7.4 | 7.55721E-7 | 8.5103835E-7 | 1.1E-4 | 129.25386 | 1.10850946E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 3.2388E-6 | 3.6473052E-6 | 1.5E-4 | 41.126255 | 1.5364676E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 3.9431678E-5 | 4.4405555E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 4.503941 | 2.4439668E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 3.942468E-4 | 4.4401767E-4 | 4.3E-4 | 0.9684299 | 6.6391996E-4 | 2.2E-4 |
7.5 | 5.587665E-7 | 6.305732E-7 | 8.0E-5 | 126.8687 | 8.0630525E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 2.3947114E-6 | 2.7024564E-6 | 1.2E-4 | 44.404045 | 1.2270213E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 2.915522E-5 | 3.2902408E-5 | 1.5E-4 | 4.558937 | 1.8289748E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 2.9151395E-4 | 3.2902407E-4 | 3.4E-4 | 1.033359 | 4.889714E-4 | 1.6E-4 |
Little Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1205716E-5 | 0.03245 | 1039.8737 | 0.032440193 | 0.03241 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3373268E-4 | 0.04065 | 303.9646 | 0.040728305 | 0.0406 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016271125 | 0.05475 | 33.648567 | 0.05559915 | 0.05406 | 0.014722223 | 0.016165398 | 0.07318 | 4.526953 | 0.08148218 | 0.06639 |
6.1 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1205716E-5 | 0.03245 | 1039.8737 | 0.032440193 | 0.03241 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3373268E-4 | 0.04065 | 303.9646 | 0.040728305 | 0.0406 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016271125 | 0.05475 | 33.648567 | 0.05559915 | 0.05406 | 0.014722223 | 0.016165398 | 0.07318 | 4.526953 | 0.08148218 | 0.06639 |
6.2 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1205716E-5 | 0.03245 | 1039.8737 | 0.032440193 | 0.03241 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3373268E-4 | 0.04065 | 303.9646 | 0.040728305 | 0.0406 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016271125 | 0.05475 | 33.648567 | 0.05559915 | 0.05406 | 0.014722223 | 0.016165398 | 0.07318 | 4.526953 | 0.08148218 | 0.06639 |
6.3 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.6081383E-5 | 0.02244 | 1395.4022 | 0.02245572 | 0.02244 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.8918554E-5 | 0.02786 | 404.24527 | 0.027917 | 0.02785 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.387886E-4 | 0.03666 | 43.705887 | 0.037138317 | 0.03633 | 0.007737305 | 0.008359045 | 0.04776 | 5.713571 | 0.052189574 | 0.0442 |
6.4 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.6081383E-5 | 0.02244 | 1395.4022 | 0.02245572 | 0.02244 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.8918554E-5 | 0.02786 | 404.24527 | 0.027917 | 0.02785 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.387886E-4 | 0.03666 | 43.705887 | 0.037138317 | 0.03633 | 0.007737305 | 0.008359045 | 0.04776 | 5.713571 | 0.052189574 | 0.0442 |
6.5 | 1.2797581E-5 | 1.376556E-5 | 0.02076 | 1508.1116 | 0.02077348 | 0.02076 | 5.4845623E-5 | 5.8994065E-5 | 0.02566 | 434.959 | 0.025707481 | 0.02565 | 6.675408E-4 | 7.1804173E-4 | 0.03385 | 47.142105 | 0.034233958 | 0.03354 | 0.006655392 | 0.007159767 | 0.04384 | 6.123104 | 0.047677577 | 0.04081 |
6.6 | 9.661896E-6 | 1.0289033E-5 | 0.01816 | 1764.9862 | 0.018170102 | 0.01816 | 4.1407468E-5 | 4.40952E-5 | 0.02249 | 510.03284 | 0.022533104 | 0.02249 | 5.040193E-4 | 5.36743E-4 | 0.02953 | 55.017014 | 0.02983101 | 0.02931 | 0.005028777 | 0.0053560715 | 0.03786 | 7.0686135 | 0.040655985 | 0.03549 |
6.7 | 7.767871E-6 | 8.199681E-6 | 0.01593 | 1942.7584 | 0.01593807 | 0.01593 | 3.329045E-5 | 3.5141096E-5 | 0.01983 | 564.2966 | 0.019864444 | 0.01983 | 4.0523586E-4 | 4.2777258E-4 | 0.02597 | 60.70983 | 0.026216736 | 0.0258 | 0.004044977 | 0.004270843 | 0.03291 | 7.7057385 | 0.03516832 | 0.03103 |
6.8 | 6.4235196E-6 | 6.735739E-6 | 0.01261 | 1872.1034 | 0.012616651 | 0.01261 | 2.752908E-5 | 2.8867207E-5 | 0.01568 | 543.1769 | 0.015708415 | 0.01568 | 3.35115E-4 | 3.5141438E-4 | 0.02037 | 57.965755 | 0.020544317 | 0.0202 | 0.003346101 | 0.0035098472 | 0.0259 | 7.3792386 | 0.027794313 | 0.02437 |
6.9 | 3.1283696E-6 | 3.1121751E-6 | 0.00804 | 2583.402 | 0.008043087 | 0.00804 | 1.3407229E-5 | 1.33378335E-5 | 0.0099 | 742.2495 | 0.009913206 | 0.0099 | 1.6322079E-4 | 1.6237753E-4 | 0.01249 | 76.91951 | 0.012550366 | 0.01239 | 0.0016310095 | 0.0016227372 | 0.01583 | 9.755122 | 0.016718201 | 0.01512 |
7.0 | 2.290603E-6 | 2.2286763E-6 | 0.00508 | 2279.3801 | 0.0050822175 | 0.00508 | 9.816834E-6 | 9.551441E-6 | 0.0062 | 649.11676 | 0.006209492 | 0.0062 | 1.19513395E-4 | 1.1628362E-4 | 0.00778 | 66.90538 | 0.007825387 | 0.00771 | 0.0011944914 | 0.0011623299 | 0.00995 | 8.560392 | 0.010611334 | 0.00946 |
7.1 | 1.293693E-6 | 1.1776774E-6 | 0.0023 | 1952.9966 | 0.002301175 | 0.0023 | 5.5443866E-6 | 5.047183E-6 | 0.00286 | 566.6527 | 0.0028650328 | 0.00286 | 6.750081E-5 | 6.1448416E-5 | 0.00354 | 57.609295 | 0.003551234 | 0.00349 | 6.7480316E-4 | 6.1438273E-4 | 0.00456 | 7.4220834 | 0.004901747 | 0.00429 |
7.2 | 4.715842E-7 | 3.091732E-7 | 1.0E-4 | 323.4433 | 1.00309146E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0210737E-6 | 1.3250274E-6 | 1.4E-4 | 105.658195 | 1.4132484E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 2.4606294E-5 | 1.6132095E-5 | 1.8E-4 | 11.157882 | 1.8612936E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 2.460357E-4 | 1.6130977E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.8597757 | 4.1126946E-4 | 2.5E-4 |
7.3 | 3.9430947E-7 | 2.3096938E-7 | 7.0E-5 | 303.07047 | 7.0230955E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 1.6898966E-6 | 9.898685E-7 | 9.0E-5 | 90.92117 | 9.098978E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 2.0574296E-5 | 1.2051582E-5 | 1.3E-4 | 10.786965 | 1.3205013E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 2.0572392E-4 | 1.2050936E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 1.8255844 | 3.1048647E-4 | 1.9E-4 |
7.4 | 3.547123E-7 | 1.9678579E-7 | 7.0E-5 | 355.71674 | 7.019677E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 1.5201948E-6 | 8.433674E-7 | 8.0E-5 | 94.85783 | 8.08433E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 1.8508214E-5 | 1.02679505E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 11.686851 | 1.2026682E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 1.8506673E-4 | 1.0267482E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 2.0452921 | 2.8265634E-4 | 1.8E-4 |
7.5 | 2.6354266E-7 | 1.4422719E-7 | 5.0E-5 | 346.6753 | 5.014422E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.129468E-6 | 6.1811636E-7 | 6.0E-5 | 97.0691 | 6.061808E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.3751187E-5 | 7.525541E-6 | 8.0E-5 | 10.630465 | 8.752494E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 1.3750336E-4 | 7.5252916E-5 | 1.3E-4 | 1.7275078 | 1.9524389E-4 | 1.2E-4 |
7.6 | 1.269913E-7 | 7.572344E-8 | 2.0E-5 | 264.119 | 2.0075722E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4424834E-7 | 3.24529E-7 | 2.0E-5 | 61.627773 | 2.0324522E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 6.6262032E-6 | 3.9511337E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 7.592757 | 3.3951015E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 6.626006E-5 | 3.9510673E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5185771 | 9.95083E-5 | 6.0E-5 |
Airport Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103157E-5 | 0.02861 | 2183.4434 | 0.028622728 | 0.02861 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615534E-5 | 0.03515 | 625.94226 | 0.035204183 | 0.03515 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8350515E-4 | 0.04547 | 66.524734 | 0.045902576 | 0.04525 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168393 | 0.05767 | 8.459932 | 0.061134025 | 0.05469 |
6.1 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103157E-5 | 0.02861 | 2183.4434 | 0.028622728 | 0.02861 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615534E-5 | 0.03515 | 625.94226 | 0.035204183 | 0.03515 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8350515E-4 | 0.04547 | 66.524734 | 0.045902576 | 0.04525 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168393 | 0.05767 | 8.459932 | 0.061134025 | 0.05469 |
6.2 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103157E-5 | 0.02861 | 2183.4434 | 0.028622728 | 0.02861 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615534E-5 | 0.03515 | 625.94226 | 0.035204183 | 0.03515 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8350515E-4 | 0.04547 | 66.524734 | 0.045902576 | 0.04525 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168393 | 0.05767 | 8.459932 | 0.061134025 | 0.05469 |
6.3 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103157E-5 | 0.02861 | 2183.4434 | 0.028622728 | 0.02861 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615534E-5 | 0.03515 | 625.94226 | 0.035204183 | 0.03515 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8350515E-4 | 0.04547 | 66.524734 | 0.045902576 | 0.04525 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168393 | 0.05767 | 8.459932 | 0.061134025 | 0.05469 |
6.4 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103157E-5 | 0.02861 | 2183.4434 | 0.028622728 | 0.02861 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615534E-5 | 0.03515 | 625.94226 | 0.035204183 | 0.03515 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8350515E-4 | 0.04547 | 66.524734 | 0.045902576 | 0.04525 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168393 | 0.05767 | 8.459932 | 0.061134025 | 0.05469 |
6.5 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.384925E-6 | 0.02153 | 2915.3984 | 0.021537226 | 0.02153 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.1649324E-5 | 0.02665 | 842.04004 | 0.026680807 | 0.02665 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8526783E-4 | 0.03439 | 89.26257 | 0.03460208 | 0.03423 | 0.003641826 | 0.0038465366 | 0.04302 | 11.184087 | 0.04508729 | 0.0414 |
6.6 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.384925E-6 | 0.02153 | 2915.3984 | 0.021537226 | 0.02153 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.1649324E-5 | 0.02665 | 842.04004 | 0.026680807 | 0.02665 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8526783E-4 | 0.03439 | 89.26257 | 0.03460208 | 0.03423 | 0.003641826 | 0.0038465366 | 0.04302 | 11.184087 | 0.04508729 | 0.0414 |
6.7 | 5.477277E-6 | 5.7860684E-6 | 0.01857 | 3209.433 | 0.01857568 | 0.01857 | 2.3473833E-5 | 2.4797222E-5 | 0.02309 | 931.15265 | 0.023114225 | 0.02309 | 2.8575645E-4 | 3.0186825E-4 | 0.02966 | 98.25478 | 0.02980296 | 0.02951 | 0.0028538927 | 0.003014966 | 0.03692 | 12.245578 | 0.0385176 | 0.03561 |
6.8 | 3.9950432E-6 | 4.2190873E-6 | 0.01435 | 3401.2097 | 0.014354158 | 0.01435 | 1.7121502E-5 | 1.8081691E-5 | 0.01777 | 982.762 | 0.01778776 | 0.01777 | 2.0843433E-4 | 2.2012512E-4 | 0.02271 | 103.1686 | 0.022795154 | 0.02258 | 0.0020823893 | 0.0021993418 | 0.02834 | 12.8856735 | 0.029509146 | 0.02737 |
6.9 | 2.95695E-6 | 3.1230243E-6 | 0.01043 | 3339.7114 | 0.010433091 | 0.01043 | 1.2672582E-5 | 1.3384334E-5 | 0.01284 | 959.3305 | 0.012853213 | 0.01284 | 1.5427776E-4 | 1.6294434E-4 | 0.01638 | 100.52512 | 0.016440291 | 0.01628 | 0.001541707 | 0.0016284712 | 0.02051 | 12.594635 | 0.021396227 | 0.0198 |
7.0 | 1.456072E-6 | 1.540812E-6 | 0.0048 | 3115.2405 | 0.004801533 | 0.0048 | 6.2402937E-6 | 6.603469E-6 | 0.00585 | 885.898 | 0.0058565647 | 0.00585 | 7.597293E-5 | 8.039528E-5 | 0.00732 | 91.050125 | 0.0073398114 | 0.00726 | 7.594696E-4 | 8.0376083E-4 | 0.00917 | 11.408867 | 0.009626663 | 0.00883 |
7.1 | 6.995192E-7 | 7.4089746E-7 | 0.00215 | 2901.8862 | 0.0021507393 | 0.00215 | 2.997936E-6 | 3.1752747E-6 | 0.00267 | 840.87213 | 0.0026731668 | 0.00267 | 3.649926E-5 | 3.865897E-5 | 0.0033 | 85.36182 | 0.003298533 | 0.00326 | 3.6493264E-4 | 3.865897E-4 | 0.00417 | 10.78663 | 0.004345059 | 0.00396 |
Owl Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.6358676E-5 | 0.01607 | 242.1688 | 0.016095296 | 0.01603 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.843643E-4 | 0.0213 | 74.903915 | 0.02142835 | 0.02115 | 0.0026222812 | 0.003457547 | 0.03325 | 9.616644 | 0.034519777 | 0.03117 | 0.02591553 | 0.034141295 | 0.06631 | 1.9422227 | 0.075006776 | 0.04231 |
6.1 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.6358676E-5 | 0.01607 | 242.1688 | 0.016095296 | 0.01603 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.843643E-4 | 0.0213 | 74.903915 | 0.02142835 | 0.02115 | 0.0026222812 | 0.003457547 | 0.03325 | 9.616644 | 0.034519777 | 0.03117 | 0.02591553 | 0.034141295 | 0.06631 | 1.9422227 | 0.075006776 | 0.04231 |
6.2 | 2.4125871E-5 | 3.0980515E-5 | 0.01277 | 412.19455 | 0.012780585 | 0.01275 | 1.0339249E-4 | 1.3276804E-4 | 0.0167 | 125.78329 | 0.016750561 | 0.01662 | 0.0012580766 | 0.0016154252 | 0.02525 | 15.630559 | 0.025816267 | 0.02424 | 0.012509781 | 0.016070755 | 0.04522 | 2.8138068 | 0.04785167 | 0.0323 |
6.3 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2355545E-5 | 0.01142 | 510.83524 | 0.0114221005 | 0.0114 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.580685E-5 | 0.01479 | 154.37311 | 0.014824396 | 0.01473 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.001165962 | 0.02192 | 18.799927 | 0.022321267 | 0.02118 | 0.009055373 | 0.0116291465 | 0.03693 | 3.1756415 | 0.039165158 | 0.02786 |
6.4 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2355545E-5 | 0.01142 | 510.83524 | 0.0114221005 | 0.0114 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.580685E-5 | 0.01479 | 154.37311 | 0.014824396 | 0.01473 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.001165962 | 0.02192 | 18.799927 | 0.022321267 | 0.02118 | 0.009055373 | 0.0116291465 | 0.03693 | 3.1756415 | 0.039165158 | 0.02786 |
6.5 | 1.5182742E-5 | 1.9429277E-5 | 0.01099 | 565.64124 | 0.010989216 | 0.01097 | 6.506727E-5 | 8.3266525E-5 | 0.01419 | 170.41663 | 0.014222089 | 0.01414 | 7.919061E-4 | 0.0010134344 | 0.02077 | 20.494667 | 0.021143014 | 0.02015 | 0.0078909 | 0.010118678 | 0.03385 | 3.3452988 | 0.036103062 | 0.02625 |
6.6 | 6.7271576E-6 | 8.547518E-6 | 0.00912 | 1066.9764 | 0.009118469 | 0.00911 | 2.8830356E-5 | 3.6631736E-5 | 0.01149 | 313.66245 | 0.011516212 | 0.01148 | 3.5095305E-4 | 4.4590578E-4 | 0.01578 | 35.38864 | 0.015988972 | 0.01555 | 0.0035039932 | 0.0044680187 | 0.0222 | 4.968645 | 0.024129776 | 0.01975 |
6.7 | 6.682835E-6 | 8.479961E-6 | 0.0091 | 1073.1182 | 0.009098403 | 0.00909 | 2.8640408E-5 | 3.6342215E-5 | 0.01147 | 315.61093 | 0.0114959255 | 0.01146 | 3.4864116E-4 | 4.423823E-4 | 0.01576 | 35.625294 | 0.015965512 | 0.01553 | 0.003480947 | 0.0044329325 | 0.02214 | 4.9944367 | 0.024065515 | 0.01972 |
6.8 | 6.5774975E-6 | 8.326427E-6 | 0.0091 | 1092.9058 | 0.00909825 | 0.00909 | 2.8188972E-5 | 3.5684232E-5 | 0.01146 | 321.15027 | 0.011485276 | 0.01145 | 3.4314668E-4 | 4.3437455E-4 | 0.01573 | 36.212986 | 0.015927643 | 0.0155 | 0.0034261728 | 0.0043531056 | 0.02203 | 5.060755 | 0.023927523 | 0.01966 |
6.9 | 6.363419E-6 | 7.999591E-6 | 0.00908 | 1135.0581 | 0.009077927 | 0.00907 | 2.727151E-5 | 3.428354E-5 | 0.01144 | 333.68784 | 0.011463892 | 0.01143 | 3.3198006E-4 | 4.1732774E-4 | 0.01567 | 37.548428 | 0.015870877 | 0.01546 | 0.0033148455 | 0.0041830647 | 0.02186 | 5.2258334 | 0.023701077 | 0.0196 |
7.0 | 6.1342453E-6 | 7.631779E-6 | 0.00902 | 1181.9 | 0.009017563 | 0.00901 | 2.6289357E-5 | 3.2707245E-5 | 0.01133 | 346.4064 | 0.011352337 | 0.01132 | 3.2002592E-4 | 3.9814346E-4 | 0.0155 | 38.93069 | 0.015692052 | 0.0153 | 0.0031956544 | 0.003991739 | 0.0215 | 5.3861237 | 0.0232645 | 0.01935 |
7.1 | 5.842926E-6 | 7.142312E-6 | 0.00863 | 1208.2922 | 0.00862708 | 0.00862 | 2.504087E-5 | 3.060958E-5 | 0.01085 | 354.46417 | 0.010870278 | 0.01084 | 3.0482994E-4 | 3.7261334E-4 | 0.01481 | 39.746296 | 0.014987166 | 0.01462 | 0.0030441214 | 0.0037371595 | 0.0205 | 5.4854493 | 0.022168022 | 0.0185 |
7.2 | 4.77173E-6 | 5.358478E-6 | 0.00545 | 1017.0798 | 0.0054453295 | 0.00544 | 2.045011E-5 | 2.2964727E-5 | 0.00693 | 301.76712 | 0.006942806 | 0.00692 | 2.4895166E-4 | 2.7956374E-4 | 0.00957 | 34.231907 | 0.009726922 | 0.00945 | 0.0024867293 | 0.0028086212 | 0.01365 | 4.860036 | 0.014964384 | 0.01219 |
7.3 | 3.0494948E-6 | 2.710356E-6 | 0.00138 | 509.15817 | 0.0013827066 | 0.00138 | 1.3069198E-5 | 1.1615762E-5 | 0.00182 | 156.68365 | 0.0018315946 | 0.00182 | 1.5910587E-4 | 1.4141288E-4 | 0.00257 | 18.173735 | 0.002651058 | 0.00251 | 0.0015899199 | 0.0014231089 | 0.00416 | 2.9231775 | 0.004868199 | 0.00345 |
7.4 | 2.7263884E-6 | 2.3055634E-6 | 8.4E-4 | 364.33612 | 8.423036E-4 | 8.4E-4 | 1.1684469E-5 | 9.880949E-6 | 0.00119 | 120.43378 | 0.0011998692 | 0.00119 | 1.4224913E-4 | 1.2029401E-4 | 0.00167 | 13.882652 | 0.0017301004 | 0.00161 | 0.0014215811 | 0.0012110578 | 0.00282 | 2.328543 | 0.0034583327 | 0.00225 |
7.5 | 2.6090431E-6 | 2.1655019E-6 | 7.0E-4 | 323.2507 | 7.0216396E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.1181565E-5 | 9.2806895E-6 | 0.00101 | 108.82812 | 0.0010192713 | 0.00101 | 1.3612706E-4 | 1.1298663E-4 | 0.00145 | 12.833377 | 0.0015028296 | 0.00139 | 0.001360437 | 0.0011378126 | 0.00245 | 2.1532543 | 0.0030456395 | 0.00191 |
7.6 | 2.3008756E-6 | 1.8726826E-6 | 5.3E-4 | 283.01648 | 5.318717E-4 | 5.3E-4 | 9.860858E-6 | 8.025758E-6 | 7.9E-4 | 98.43307 | 7.980194E-4 | 7.9E-4 | 1.20049335E-4 | 9.770931E-5 | 0.00112 | 11.462572 | 0.0011776037 | 0.00108 | 0.001199845 | 9.848307E-4 | 0.00189 | 1.9191117 | 0.0024433928 | 0.00146 |
7.7 | 1.7184348E-6 | 1.341808E-6 | 3.3E-4 | 245.93683 | 3.3134138E-4 | 3.3E-4 | 7.3646997E-6 | 5.750593E-6 | 4.7E-4 | 81.7307 | 4.757479E-4 | 4.7E-4 | 8.966153E-5 | 7.0011265E-5 | 6.1E-4 | 8.712884 | 6.5997E-4 | 5.9E-4 | 8.962536E-4 | 7.0769014E-4 | 0.00113 | 1.596744 | 0.0015371027 | 8.3E-4 |
7.8 | 8.4612907E-7 | 8.4054994E-7 | 1.2E-4 | 142.76367 | 1.2084045E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 3.6262625E-6 | 3.602352E-6 | 1.8E-4 | 49.967354 | 1.836017E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 4.4148852E-5 | 4.3857777E-5 | 2.6E-4 | 5.928253 | 2.8384724E-4 | 2.4E-4 | 4.414008E-4 | 4.4386165E-4 | 5.1E-4 | 1.1490067 | 7.537241E-4 | 3.1E-4 |
7.9 | 2.716738E-7 | 3.7681625E-7 | 4.0E-5 | 106.152534 | 4.0376803E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1643157E-6 | 1.6149258E-6 | 7.0E-5 | 43.345646 | 7.161481E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 1.4175452E-5 | 1.9661555E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 4.0688543 | 9.9659985E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 1.4174548E-4 | 1.9829652E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.90773153 | 2.982767E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
8.0 | 2.1995428E-8 | 3.3853325E-8 | 1.0E-5 | 295.39197 | 1.0033853E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 9.426611E-8 | 1.4508568E-7 | 1.0E-5 | 68.92479 | 1.0145084E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1476893E-6 | 1.7664173E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 11.322352 | 2.1766382E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.14768345E-5 | 1.7869768E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1192087 | 3.7869413E-5 | 2.0E-5 |
Panamint Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3984263E-5 | 0.01217 | 358.10693 | 0.01220357 | 0.01217 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4563887E-4 | 0.01592 | 109.31148 | 0.016023327 | 0.01588 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017717406 | 0.02452 | 13.839498 | 0.025349893 | 0.02362 | 0.015640736 | 0.017583003 | 0.04286 | 2.4375813 | 0.04975716 | 0.03275 |
6.1 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3984263E-5 | 0.01217 | 358.10693 | 0.01220357 | 0.01217 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4563887E-4 | 0.01592 | 109.31148 | 0.016023327 | 0.01588 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017717406 | 0.02452 | 13.839498 | 0.025349893 | 0.02362 | 0.015640736 | 0.017583003 | 0.04286 | 2.4375813 | 0.04975716 | 0.03275 |
6.2 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3984263E-5 | 0.01217 | 358.10693 | 0.01220357 | 0.01217 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4563887E-4 | 0.01592 | 109.31148 | 0.016023327 | 0.01588 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017717406 | 0.02452 | 13.839498 | 0.025349893 | 0.02362 | 0.015640736 | 0.017583003 | 0.04286 | 2.4375813 | 0.04975716 | 0.03275 |
6.3 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.2102445E-5 | 0.0118 | 367.57327 | 0.011831724 | 0.0118 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.375748E-4 | 0.01534 | 111.502975 | 0.015445469 | 0.01531 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016737141 | 0.0233 | 13.921134 | 0.024106106 | 0.02247 | 0.01479908 | 0.016618038 | 0.04036 | 2.4286864 | 0.047043875 | 0.03094 |
6.4 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.2102445E-5 | 0.0118 | 367.57327 | 0.011831724 | 0.0118 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.375748E-4 | 0.01534 | 111.502975 | 0.015445469 | 0.01531 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016737141 | 0.0233 | 13.921134 | 0.024106106 | 0.02247 | 0.01479908 | 0.016618038 | 0.04036 | 2.4286864 | 0.047043875 | 0.03094 |
6.5 | 2.7468774E-5 | 3.0828138E-5 | 0.01156 | 374.9821 | 0.0115904715 | 0.01156 | 1.1771801E-4 | 1.3211406E-4 | 0.01498 | 113.38687 | 0.015080139 | 0.01495 | 0.0014322745 | 0.0016073292 | 0.02258 | 14.048148 | 0.023342337 | 0.02177 | 0.014230782 | 0.015963882 | 0.03887 | 2.4348714 | 0.045396402 | 0.02991 |
6.6 | 2.6135967E-5 | 2.9252153E-5 | 0.0111 | 379.45926 | 0.011128928 | 0.0111 | 1.1200648E-4 | 1.2536049E-4 | 0.01445 | 115.26758 | 0.014543553 | 0.01442 | 0.0013628257 | 0.0015252219 | 0.02162 | 14.174987 | 0.022323452 | 0.02083 | 0.013544982 | 0.015154343 | 0.03703 | 2.443524 | 0.043330777 | 0.02861 |
6.7 | 2.4498746E-5 | 2.7341044E-5 | 0.01076 | 393.54752 | 0.0107870465 | 0.01076 | 1.04990395E-4 | 1.17170785E-4 | 0.01398 | 119.31302 | 0.014065537 | 0.01395 | 0.0012775084 | 0.0014256459 | 0.02082 | 14.603908 | 0.021467034 | 0.02007 | 0.012701893 | 0.014171593 | 0.03515 | 2.480314 | 0.041084707 | 0.0273 |
6.8 | 2.2244329E-5 | 2.4935374E-5 | 0.01017 | 407.8543 | 0.010194682 | 0.01017 | 9.532935E-5 | 1.0686163E-4 | 0.01315 | 123.05632 | 0.0132254595 | 0.01312 | 0.0011600169 | 0.0013002857 | 0.0194 | 14.919798 | 0.020015918 | 0.01874 | 0.011539802 | 0.012932955 | 0.03217 | 2.487444 | 0.037787303 | 0.02518 |
6.9 | 1.9902658E-5 | 2.2290182E-5 | 0.0093 | 417.22406 | 0.009322083 | 0.0093 | 8.529431E-5 | 9.552596E-5 | 0.01202 | 125.82967 | 0.012084381 | 0.01199 | 0.0010379635 | 0.0011624265 | 0.01743 | 14.994496 | 0.018002829 | 0.01686 | 0.010331288 | 0.011569021 | 0.02861 | 2.4729836 | 0.033709876 | 0.0224 |
7.0 | 1.8353881E-5 | 2.056605E-5 | 0.00876 | 425.94467 | 0.008780386 | 0.00876 | 7.865712E-5 | 8.813734E-5 | 0.01134 | 128.66283 | 0.01139714 | 0.01131 | 9.5722964E-4 | 0.0010725616 | 0.01623 | 15.131998 | 0.016775701 | 0.01572 | 0.009531168 | 0.01067939 | 0.02626 | 2.458942 | 0.031069288 | 0.02061 |
7.1 | 1.7667631E-5 | 1.9772435E-5 | 0.00843 | 426.35114 | 0.008449606 | 0.00843 | 7.571623E-5 | 8.4736355E-5 | 0.01094 | 129.10634 | 0.010993812 | 0.01091 | 9.2145515E-4 | 0.0010311945 | 0.01559 | 15.118391 | 0.016125614 | 0.01511 | 0.009176437 | 0.0102695925 | 0.02523 | 2.4567673 | 0.029945433 | 0.01988 |
7.2 | 1.6381597E-5 | 1.8158042E-5 | 0.00741 | 408.08365 | 0.0074280235 | 0.00741 | 7.020495E-5 | 7.781795E-5 | 0.00961 | 123.49335 | 0.009657073 | 0.00958 | 8.544101E-4 | 9.470391E-4 | 0.01385 | 14.624528 | 0.014334349 | 0.0134 | 0.008511325 | 0.009435269 | 0.02249 | 2.3836098 | 0.026889019 | 0.01762 |
7.3 | 1.4520491E-5 | 1.596657E-5 | 0.006 | 375.78513 | 0.0060158707 | 0.006 | 6.222919E-5 | 6.842646E-5 | 0.00776 | 113.406425 | 0.007807897 | 0.00774 | 7.57377E-4 | 8.327899E-4 | 0.01135 | 13.628887 | 0.011773671 | 0.01095 | 0.0075480095 | 0.008300399 | 0.01877 | 2.2613368 | 0.022600709 | 0.01442 |
7.4 | 1.2852287E-5 | 1.41454875E-5 | 0.00585 | 413.55945 | 0.005864063 | 0.00585 | 5.5080065E-5 | 6.06222E-5 | 0.00754 | 124.376884 | 0.007590166 | 0.00753 | 6.7039346E-4 | 7.378411E-4 | 0.01098 | 14.881252 | 0.011350005 | 0.01062 | 0.0066837464 | 0.007357429 | 0.01777 | 2.4152458 | 0.02115516 | 0.0139 |
7.5 | 1.1637851E-5 | 1.2836868E-5 | 0.00579 | 451.0446 | 0.0058027627 | 0.00579 | 4.987555E-5 | 5.5014076E-5 | 0.00747 | 135.78343 | 0.007514604 | 0.00746 | 6.070656E-4 | 6.696062E-4 | 0.01086 | 16.218487 | 0.0111825615 | 0.01052 | 0.006054099 | 0.0066793845 | 0.01721 | 2.5765848 | 0.020327609 | 0.01374 |
7.6 | 3.0068115E-6 | 3.3330623E-6 | 0.0025 | 750.061 | 0.0025033248 | 0.0025 | 1.2886271E-5 | 1.4284516E-5 | 0.00308 | 215.61809 | 0.0030942406 | 0.00308 | 1.5687906E-4 | 1.7390738E-4 | 0.00437 | 25.128319 | 0.0044331667 | 0.00426 | 0.0015676835 | 0.0017397973 | 0.00657 | 3.7763019 | 0.0073600025 | 0.00563 |
Garlock (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.2904815E-5 | 0.01015 | 161.35489 | 0.010192268 | 0.01013 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.6956675E-4 | 0.01353 | 50.191654 | 0.013635962 | 0.01337 | 0.0023501497 | 0.003277482 | 0.02262 | 6.90164 | 0.023849834 | 0.02064 | 0.023254504 | 0.03235377 | 0.05126 | 1.5843594 | 0.059728485 | 0.02829 |
6.1 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.2904815E-5 | 0.01015 | 161.35489 | 0.010192268 | 0.01013 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.6956675E-4 | 0.01353 | 50.191654 | 0.013635962 | 0.01337 | 0.0023501497 | 0.003277482 | 0.02262 | 6.90164 | 0.023849834 | 0.02064 | 0.023254504 | 0.03235377 | 0.05126 | 1.5843594 | 0.059728485 | 0.02829 |
6.2 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4511588E-5 | 0.00814 | 235.86281 | 0.008154231 | 0.00812 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4789861E-4 | 0.0103 | 69.6423 | 0.010366387 | 0.01022 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0017992114 | 0.01601 | 8.898343 | 0.016772224 | 0.015 | 0.01382215 | 0.017872788 | 0.03243 | 1.8144903 | 0.037849255 | 0.02034 |
6.3 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4511588E-5 | 0.00814 | 235.86281 | 0.008154231 | 0.00812 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4789861E-4 | 0.0103 | 69.6423 | 0.010366387 | 0.01022 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0017992114 | 0.01601 | 8.898343 | 0.016772224 | 0.015 | 0.01382215 | 0.017872788 | 0.03243 | 1.8144903 | 0.037849255 | 0.02034 |
6.4 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2340467E-5 | 0.00807 | 249.53256 | 0.00808208 | 0.00805 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3859481E-4 | 0.0102 | 73.595825 | 0.010257192 | 0.01012 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016861152 | 0.01571 | 9.317276 | 0.01646116 | 0.0148 | 0.013121112 | 0.016772287 | 0.03149 | 1.877502 | 0.036486004 | 0.02005 |
6.5 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2340467E-5 | 0.00807 | 249.53256 | 0.00808208 | 0.00805 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3859481E-4 | 0.0102 | 73.595825 | 0.010257192 | 0.01012 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016861152 | 0.01571 | 9.317276 | 0.01646116 | 0.0148 | 0.013121112 | 0.016772287 | 0.03149 | 1.877502 | 0.036486004 | 0.02005 |
6.6 | 2.246556E-5 | 2.8134691E-5 | 0.00776 | 275.81607 | 0.007767917 | 0.00774 | 9.627742E-5 | 1.2057181E-4 | 0.00978 | 81.11349 | 0.009819402 | 0.0097 | 0.0011715472 | 0.0014669969 | 0.01487 | 10.136354 | 0.015506371 | 0.01406 | 0.011653901 | 0.014613169 | 0.02891 | 1.9783525 | 0.033227127 | 0.01889 |
6.7 | 2.2241198E-5 | 2.7804432E-5 | 0.00774 | 278.3729 | 0.0077475896 | 0.00772 | 9.531594E-5 | 1.1915654E-4 | 0.00975 | 81.825134 | 0.009788005 | 0.00967 | 0.0011598538 | 0.0014497889 | 0.01482 | 10.2221775 | 0.015449462 | 0.01402 | 0.011538187 | 0.014442829 | 0.02871 | 1.9878377 | 0.033010725 | 0.01884 |
6.8 | 1.9528685E-5 | 2.3898969E-5 | 0.00746 | 312.14737 | 0.007463721 | 0.00744 | 8.369167E-5 | 1.0242024E-4 | 0.00931 | 90.9 | 0.009331475 | 0.00923 | 0.0010184698 | 0.0012462728 | 0.01386 | 11.1211605 | 0.014429822 | 0.0132 | 0.010138147 | 0.012436723 | 0.0259 | 2.0825422 | 0.029738832 | 0.01752 |
6.9 | 1.3318621E-5 | 1.5198818E-5 | 0.007 | 460.56213 | 0.0070050927 | 0.00699 | 5.7078556E-5 | 6.51362E-5 | 0.00863 | 132.49161 | 0.008644577 | 0.00858 | 6.9470983E-4 | 7.927504E-4 | 0.01249 | 15.755275 | 0.012883158 | 0.0121 | 0.0069254204 | 0.007940721 | 0.02085 | 2.6257062 | 0.023595417 | 0.01578 |
7.0 | 1.1760853E-5 | 1.3107653E-5 | 0.00686 | 523.3584 | 0.006863018 | 0.00685 | 5.0402683E-5 | 5.6174475E-5 | 0.00843 | 150.06816 | 0.008435704 | 0.00838 | 6.134799E-4 | 6.8371464E-4 | 0.01209 | 17.682816 | 0.012435674 | 0.01176 | 0.0061178906 | 0.006857401 | 0.01939 | 2.8276017 | 0.021943238 | 0.01519 |
7.1 | 1.0064758E-5 | 1.0902761E-5 | 0.00669 | 613.6061 | 0.00669083 | 0.00668 | 4.3133965E-5 | 4.67253E-5 | 0.00817 | 174.85175 | 0.008166346 | 0.00812 | 5.2502943E-4 | 5.6873553E-4 | 0.01153 | 20.273043 | 0.011822332 | 0.01126 | 0.005237907 | 0.0057133473 | 0.01755 | 3.0717545 | 0.019941589 | 0.01431 |
7.2 | 9.768808E-6 | 1.0498628E-5 | 0.00657 | 625.796 | 0.0065704295 | 0.00656 | 4.186565E-5 | 4.499337E-5 | 0.00802 | 178.24849 | 0.008014635 | 0.00797 | 5.095951E-4 | 5.4766005E-4 | 0.01131 | 20.651497 | 0.011591609 | 0.01105 | 0.0050842804 | 0.005503584 | 0.01707 | 3.1016152 | 0.019456368 | 0.01403 |
7.3 | 9.344516E-6 | 9.9442705E-6 | 0.00613 | 616.43536 | 0.006129883 | 0.00612 | 4.004731E-5 | 4.2617627E-5 | 0.00746 | 175.04495 | 0.0074523017 | 0.00741 | 4.8746695E-4 | 5.187495E-4 | 0.01047 | 20.183151 | 0.010723453 | 0.01021 | 0.0048639905 | 0.005215269 | 0.01576 | 3.021896 | 0.01805794 | 0.01291 |
7.4 | 9.023491E-6 | 9.490441E-6 | 0.00552 | 581.6379 | 0.005529438 | 0.00552 | 3.867153E-5 | 4.0672705E-5 | 0.00666 | 163.74619 | 0.0066604037 | 0.00662 | 4.7072413E-4 | 4.95081E-4 | 0.00935 | 18.885798 | 0.009620561 | 0.00913 | 0.004697283 | 0.0049787266 | 0.01427 | 2.8661947 | 0.016491123 | 0.01157 |
7.5 | 7.081253E-6 | 7.0873994E-6 | 0.00273 | 385.19067 | 0.002737068 | 0.00273 | 3.0347876E-5 | 3.0374218E-5 | 0.00335 | 110.2909 | 0.0033502735 | 0.00332 | 3.6942272E-4 | 3.697441E-4 | 0.00478 | 12.92786 | 0.00497804 | 0.00461 | 0.003688092 | 0.0037244745 | 0.00769 | 2.0647209 | 0.009373357 | 0.00567 |
7.6 | 6.116396E-6 | 5.9589424E-6 | 0.00162 | 271.86032 | 0.0016259493 | 0.00162 | 2.6212863E-5 | 2.5538076E-5 | 0.00203 | 79.48915 | 0.002025487 | 0.002 | 3.1909486E-4 | 3.1088197E-4 | 0.00298 | 9.585631 | 0.0031400023 | 0.00283 | 0.0031863707 | 0.0031359126 | 0.00522 | 1.6645873 | 0.006684749 | 0.00356 |
7.7 | 4.797145E-6 | 4.7571157E-6 | 8.2E-4 | 172.37337 | 8.247532E-4 | 8.2E-4 | 2.055903E-5 | 2.0387479E-5 | 0.00104 | 51.0117 | 0.0010303669 | 0.00101 | 2.5027743E-4 | 2.481894E-4 | 0.00154 | 6.2049384 | 0.001647842 | 0.0014 | 0.0024999576 | 0.0025094065 | 0.00318 | 1.2672318 | 0.0043148645 | 0.00181 |
7.8 | 3.4028885E-6 | 3.978375E-6 | 4.8E-4 | 120.65228 | 4.8397647E-4 | 4.8E-4 | 1.4583726E-5 | 1.7050066E-5 | 6.0E-4 | 35.19048 | 5.9704017E-4 | 5.8E-4 | 1.775424E-4 | 2.0756487E-4 | 9.6E-4 | 4.6250606 | 0.0010373925 | 8.3E-4 | 0.0017740062 | 0.0021012141 | 0.00227 | 1.0803277 | 0.0032687557 | 0.00117 |
7.9 | 2.5928412E-6 | 3.372436E-6 | 3.4E-4 | 100.81734 | 3.433713E-4 | 3.4E-4 | 1.1112129E-5 | 1.4453217E-5 | 4.0E-4 | 27.675499 | 4.0444758E-4 | 3.9E-4 | 1.3528178E-4 | 1.7595377E-4 | 7.1E-4 | 4.035151 | 7.758482E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0013519945 | 0.0017812426 | 0.00177 | 0.99368834 | 0.002599782 | 8.2E-4 |
8.0 | 1.3743648E-6 | 1.6734741E-6 | 1.6E-4 | 95.60949 | 1.616732E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 5.8901214E-6 | 7.1720124E-6 | 1.8E-4 | 25.097559 | 1.7717079E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 7.1709874E-5 | 8.731578E-5 | 3.4E-4 | 3.8939126 | 3.4729307E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 7.1686733E-4 | 8.837377E-4 | 7.9E-4 | 0.8939304 | 0.0012034549 | 3.2E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1489736E-7 | 2.0E-5 | 63.512756 | 2.031489E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3495595E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 14.81965 | 2.1349533E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.643078E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 3.651683 | 4.6430287E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.662928E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.54121405 | 2.0628615E-4 | 4.0E-5 |
Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.456906E-5 | 0.00606 | 111.05194 | 0.00608424 | 0.00603 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3384714E-4 | 0.00791 | 33.825516 | 0.00800203 | 0.00777 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028435462 | 0.01237 | 4.350202 | 0.013812267 | 0.011 | 0.023260195 | 0.028092625 | 0.02934 | 1.0444022 | 0.042263035 | 0.01458 |
6.1 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.456906E-5 | 0.00606 | 111.05194 | 0.00608424 | 0.00603 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3384714E-4 | 0.00791 | 33.825516 | 0.00800203 | 0.00777 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028435462 | 0.01237 | 4.350202 | 0.013812267 | 0.011 | 0.023260195 | 0.028092625 | 0.02934 | 1.0444022 | 0.042263035 | 0.01458 |
6.2 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.706271E-5 | 0.00603 | 128.12692 | 0.0060467804 | 0.006 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.016826E-4 | 0.00784 | 38.87296 | 0.0079201255 | 0.00772 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024528534 | 0.01211 | 4.9371076 | 0.013366019 | 0.01094 | 0.020330196 | 0.024274187 | 0.02693 | 1.109409 | 0.038412455 | 0.01449 |
6.3 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.706271E-5 | 0.00603 | 128.12692 | 0.0060467804 | 0.006 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.016826E-4 | 0.00784 | 38.87296 | 0.0079201255 | 0.00772 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024528534 | 0.01211 | 4.9371076 | 0.013366019 | 0.01094 | 0.020330196 | 0.024274187 | 0.02693 | 1.109409 | 0.038412455 | 0.01449 |
6.4 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.795112E-5 | 0.00597 | 157.30762 | 0.005997725 | 0.00596 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6263791E-4 | 0.00775 | 47.651867 | 0.007841389 | 0.00768 | 0.0016845843 | 0.001978387 | 0.01178 | 5.9543457 | 0.012846842 | 0.01089 | 0.016718714 | 0.019617118 | 0.02436 | 1.2417725 | 0.03372483 | 0.01439 |
6.5 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.795112E-5 | 0.00597 | 157.30762 | 0.005997725 | 0.00596 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6263791E-4 | 0.00775 | 47.651867 | 0.007841389 | 0.00768 | 0.0016845843 | 0.001978387 | 0.01178 | 5.9543457 | 0.012846842 | 0.01089 | 0.016718714 | 0.019617118 | 0.02436 | 1.2417725 | 0.03372483 | 0.01439 |
6.6 | 2.9305844E-5 | 3.418196E-5 | 0.00597 | 174.65352 | 0.005993978 | 0.00596 | 1.2559042E-4 | 1.4648624E-4 | 0.00773 | 52.76946 | 0.007805364 | 0.00766 | 0.0015279909 | 0.0017820727 | 0.01165 | 6.5373316 | 0.012612737 | 0.01085 | 0.015175272 | 0.017686324 | 0.02341 | 1.3236215 | 0.031772703 | 0.01434 |
6.7 | 2.7826512E-5 | 3.2344353E-5 | 0.00596 | 184.26709 | 0.005992152 | 0.00596 | 1.19251024E-4 | 1.3861163E-4 | 0.00771 | 55.623035 | 0.00779755 | 0.00766 | 0.0014509142 | 0.0016863506 | 0.01158 | 6.8669 | 0.01250807 | 0.01084 | 0.014414776 | 0.016743818 | 0.02289 | 1.3670717 | 0.030824047 | 0.01432 |
6.8 | 2.3389874E-5 | 2.6866792E-5 | 0.00594 | 221.09079 | 0.005966707 | 0.00594 | 1.0023846E-4 | 1.1513857E-4 | 0.00767 | 66.61538 | 0.00774426 | 0.00763 | 0.00121972 | 0.001400958 | 0.01143 | 8.158703 | 0.012175841 | 0.01079 | 0.01213047 | 0.013928067 | 0.02135 | 1.532876 | 0.027969731 | 0.01424 |
6.9 | 2.069209E-5 | 2.357011E-5 | 0.00591 | 250.7413 | 0.005933431 | 0.00591 | 8.867737E-5 | 1.0101105E-4 | 0.00763 | 75.53629 | 0.0076902444 | 0.00759 | 0.0010791123 | 0.0012291519 | 0.01132 | 9.209602 | 0.01195595 | 0.01074 | 0.010738871 | 0.012229158 | 0.02032 | 1.6616026 | 0.026206115 | 0.01415 |
7.0 | 1.7462342E-5 | 1.9633622E-5 | 0.00585 | 297.95825 | 0.005869519 | 0.00585 | 7.483646E-5 | 8.414151E-5 | 0.00756 | 89.84863 | 0.007603509 | 0.00752 | 9.1075303E-4 | 0.0010239641 | 0.01113 | 10.869522 | 0.011663059 | 0.01065 | 0.009070295 | 0.010196688 | 0.0193 | 1.8927716 | 0.024063831 | 0.01401 |
7.1 | 1.4807709E-5 | 1.6441827E-5 | 0.00584 | 355.19168 | 0.005856346 | 0.00584 | 6.3460066E-5 | 7.046316E-5 | 0.00754 | 107.00627 | 0.007579934 | 0.00751 | 7.723524E-4 | 8.575678E-4 | 0.01103 | 12.861957 | 0.011468461 | 0.01062 | 0.007696735 | 0.008546168 | 0.01832 | 2.143651 | 0.022376949 | 0.01395 |
7.2 | 1.4180048E-5 | 1.5698413E-5 | 0.00584 | 372.01212 | 0.005855607 | 0.00584 | 6.077022E-5 | 6.727727E-5 | 0.00753 | 111.92487 | 0.007576772 | 0.00751 | 7.396263E-4 | 8.1880915E-4 | 0.011 | 13.434144 | 0.011420121 | 0.01061 | 0.0073716943 | 0.008161469 | 0.01812 | 2.2201884 | 0.02197778 | 0.01393 |
7.3 | 1.3730402E-5 | 1.5172151E-5 | 0.00583 | 384.25665 | 0.005845084 | 0.00583 | 5.8843252E-5 | 6.502197E-5 | 0.00752 | 115.65321 | 0.0075645344 | 0.0075 | 7.161811E-4 | 7.9137104E-4 | 0.01097 | 13.862018 | 0.011372991 | 0.01059 | 0.007138774 | 0.007889058 | 0.01797 | 2.2778385 | 0.02166948 | 0.01389 |
7.4 | 1.2810095E-5 | 1.4109353E-5 | 0.00581 | 411.78357 | 0.0058240276 | 0.00581 | 5.489925E-5 | 6.0467344E-5 | 0.00748 | 123.70313 | 0.0075300154 | 0.00747 | 6.681934E-4 | 7.3595706E-4 | 0.01091 | 14.824234 | 0.0112781925 | 0.01055 | 0.006661878 | 0.0073386896 | 0.01768 | 2.4091494 | 0.021057269 | 0.01382 |
7.5 | 1.1595659E-5 | 1.2800734E-5 | 0.00575 | 449.193 | 0.005762727 | 0.00575 | 4.9694736E-5 | 5.485922E-5 | 0.00741 | 135.07301 | 0.007454453 | 0.0074 | 6.0486543E-4 | 6.67722E-4 | 0.01079 | 16.15942 | 0.011110744 | 0.01045 | 0.006032217 | 0.006660632 | 0.01712 | 2.5703266 | 0.020229647 | 0.01366 |
7.6 | 2.997694E-6 | 3.3251877E-6 | 0.00248 | 745.8226 | 0.002483317 | 0.00248 | 1.28471975E-5 | 1.4250767E-5 | 0.00306 | 214.72528 | 0.003074207 | 0.00306 | 1.564034E-4 | 1.7349655E-4 | 0.00435 | 25.072544 | 0.004412761 | 0.00424 | 0.0015629337 | 0.0017356955 | 0.00655 | 3.7737033 | 0.007335958 | 0.00561 |
Blackwater
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.3095846E-5 | 0.00365 | 110.285736 | 0.003682975 | 0.00365 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4183241E-4 | 0.00528 | 37.227036 | 0.005341095 | 0.0052 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017255784 | 0.00952 | 5.5169907 | 0.0102308765 | 0.00852 | 0.015895851 | 0.017135633 | 0.02164 | 1.2628655 | 0.029372295 | 0.01245 |
6.1 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.3095846E-5 | 0.00365 | 110.285736 | 0.003682975 | 0.00365 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4183241E-4 | 0.00528 | 37.227036 | 0.005341095 | 0.0052 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017255784 | 0.00952 | 5.5169907 | 0.0102308765 | 0.00852 | 0.015895851 | 0.017135633 | 0.02164 | 1.2628655 | 0.029372295 | 0.01245 |
6.2 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2545122E-5 | 0.00132 | 105.22018 | 0.0013325285 | 0.00132 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.3763757E-5 | 0.00197 | 36.641785 | 0.0019736604 | 0.00192 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.5438676E-4 | 0.00363 | 5.5471783 | 0.0038422993 | 0.00319 | 0.006090366 | 0.0065255696 | 0.00816 | 1.2504655 | 0.011115422 | 0.00462 |
6.3 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2545122E-5 | 0.00132 | 105.22018 | 0.0013325285 | 0.00132 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.3763757E-5 | 0.00197 | 36.641785 | 0.0019736604 | 0.00192 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.5438676E-4 | 0.00363 | 5.5471783 | 0.0038422993 | 0.00319 | 0.006090366 | 0.0065255696 | 0.00816 | 1.2504655 | 0.011115422 | 0.00462 |
6.4 | 7.929244E-6 | 8.480098E-6 | 8.7E-4 | 102.593155 | 8.784727E-4 | 8.7E-4 | 3.3982033E-5 | 3.6342793E-5 | 0.00133 | 36.595974 | 0.0013262959 | 0.00129 | 4.136527E-4 | 4.423877E-4 | 0.00247 | 5.583338 | 0.0026314189 | 0.00219 | 0.0041288356 | 0.0044154758 | 0.00545 | 1.234295 | 0.0074719205 | 0.00307 |
6.5 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.285991E-6 | 6.8E-4 | 108.177055 | 6.862817E-4 | 6.8E-4 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6939697E-5 | 0.00104 | 38.60474 | 0.0010369124 | 0.00101 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.27944E-4 | 0.00175 | 5.336277 | 0.0019074258 | 0.00158 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032748538 | 0.00398 | 1.2153214 | 0.005507518 | 0.00224 |
6.6 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.285991E-6 | 6.8E-4 | 108.177055 | 6.862817E-4 | 6.8E-4 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6939697E-5 | 0.00104 | 38.60474 | 0.0010369124 | 0.00101 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.27944E-4 | 0.00175 | 5.336277 | 0.0019074258 | 0.00158 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032748538 | 0.00398 | 1.2153214 | 0.005507518 | 0.00224 |
6.7 | 3.0715053E-6 | 3.2814662E-6 | 3.5E-4 | 106.65964 | 3.532803E-4 | 3.5E-4 | 1.3163528E-5 | 1.4063357E-5 | 5.4E-4 | 38.39766 | 5.440559E-4 | 5.3E-4 | 1.6025416E-4 | 1.7120909E-4 | 8.8E-4 | 5.139914 | 9.710721E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.0016013865 | 0.0017108864 | 0.00206 | 1.2040542 | 0.0027890387 | 0.00108 |
6.8 | 2.2722281E-6 | 2.4287538E-6 | 2.1E-4 | 86.4641 | 2.1242825E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 9.738084E-6 | 1.0408908E-5 | 3.5E-4 | 33.625046 | 3.5040537E-4 | 3.4E-4 | 1.1855473E-4 | 1.26722E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 4.7347736 | 6.6665356E-4 | 5.4E-4 | 0.001184915 | 0.0012665876 | 0.00143 | 1.1290178 | 0.001995663 | 7.3E-4 |
6.9 | 9.952399E-7 | 1.0653489E-6 | 7.0E-5 | 65.70618 | 7.1065275E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 4.265307E-6 | 4.5657757E-6 | 9.0E-5 | 19.711874 | 9.456537E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 5.1928873E-5 | 5.5587418E-5 | 2.2E-4 | 3.95773 | 2.355774E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 5.191674E-4 | 5.557858E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.0795527 | 8.256357E-4 | 2.7E-4 |
7.0 | 4.7385504E-7 | 5.0755597E-7 | 4.0E-5 | 78.809044 | 4.0507537E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0308057E-6 | 2.1752398E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 18.388777 | 4.2175154E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 2.4724779E-5 | 2.6483543E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 3.3983366 | 9.648169E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 2.4722028E-4 | 2.6483546E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 0.9817417 | 3.8480366E-4 | 1.2E-4 |
Ash Hill
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3194447E-5 | 0.00332 | 143.13771 | 0.003323118 | 0.0033 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.940143E-5 | 0.00471 | 47.38362 | 0.0047389404 | 0.00464 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012096206 | 0.00868 | 7.1758037 | 0.009050125 | 0.00785 | 0.011179381 | 0.012038348 | 0.0202 | 1.677971 | 0.0235975 | 0.0117 |
6.1 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3194447E-5 | 0.00332 | 143.13771 | 0.003323118 | 0.0033 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.940143E-5 | 0.00471 | 47.38362 | 0.0047389404 | 0.00464 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012096206 | 0.00868 | 7.1758037 | 0.009050125 | 0.00785 | 0.011179381 | 0.012038348 | 0.0202 | 1.677971 | 0.0235975 | 0.0117 |
6.2 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3194447E-5 | 0.00332 | 143.13771 | 0.003323118 | 0.0033 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.940143E-5 | 0.00471 | 47.38362 | 0.0047389404 | 0.00464 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012096206 | 0.00868 | 7.1758037 | 0.009050125 | 0.00785 | 0.011179381 | 0.012038348 | 0.0202 | 1.677971 | 0.0235975 | 0.0117 |
6.3 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0746934E-5 | 0.00156 | 145.15767 | 0.0015507304 | 0.00154 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.605755E-5 | 0.00224 | 48.634804 | 0.0022459563 | 0.0022 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.6061964E-4 | 0.004 | 7.134962 | 0.0041386127 | 0.00358 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055933665 | 0.00926 | 1.6555326 | 0.010873666 | 0.00531 |
6.4 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0746934E-5 | 0.00156 | 145.15767 | 0.0015507304 | 0.00154 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.605755E-5 | 0.00224 | 48.634804 | 0.0022459563 | 0.0022 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.6061964E-4 | 0.004 | 7.134962 | 0.0041386127 | 0.00358 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055933665 | 0.00926 | 1.6555326 | 0.010873666 | 0.00531 |
6.5 | 6.9617327E-6 | 7.456634E-6 | 0.00106 | 142.15529 | 0.0010474488 | 0.00104 | 2.9835655E-5 | 3.195666E-5 | 0.00152 | 47.56442 | 0.0015119094 | 0.00148 | 3.6318856E-4 | 3.8901155E-4 | 0.00263 | 6.7607245 | 0.0027580897 | 0.00237 | 0.0036259557 | 0.0038841602 | 0.00636 | 1.6374196 | 0.0074402937 | 0.00357 |
6.6 | 4.9919777E-6 | 5.3466883E-6 | 7.3E-4 | 136.53311 | 7.153429E-4 | 7.1E-4 | 2.1394015E-5 | 2.2914215E-5 | 0.00108 | 47.132317 | 0.00108289 | 0.00106 | 2.60441E-4 | 2.7895154E-4 | 0.00183 | 6.560279 | 0.0019384885 | 0.00166 | 0.0026013597 | 0.0027866727 | 0.00455 | 1.6327716 | 0.0053096223 | 0.00253 |
6.7 | 3.6630722E-6 | 3.924624E-6 | 5.9E-4 | 150.33289 | 5.739224E-4 | 5.7E-4 | 1.5698786E-5 | 1.681974E-5 | 8.8E-4 | 52.319477 | 8.768053E-4 | 8.6E-4 | 1.9111596E-4 | 2.0476682E-4 | 0.00141 | 6.885881 | 0.0014545108 | 0.00125 | 0.0019095168 | 0.0020463446 | 0.00333 | 1.6272919 | 0.003932477 | 0.00189 |
6.8 | 2.5599613E-6 | 2.744925E-6 | 4.8E-4 | 174.86816 | 4.7274365E-4 | 4.7E-4 | 1.0971216E-5 | 1.1763939E-5 | 6.6E-4 | 56.103653 | 6.617563E-4 | 6.5E-4 | 1.3356637E-4 | 1.4322149E-4 | 0.00109 | 7.6105895 | 0.0011130825 | 9.7E-4 | 0.0013348613 | 0.0014317769 | 0.00241 | 1.6832231 | 0.0028797009 | 0.00145 |
6.9 | 1.7684905E-6 | 1.8968707E-6 | 3.8E-4 | 200.32994 | 3.7189617E-4 | 3.7E-4 | 7.579223E-6 | 8.129446E-6 | 5.0E-4 | 61.504807 | 4.9812545E-4 | 4.9E-4 | 9.2273134E-5 | 9.8976E-5 | 8.0E-4 | 8.0827675 | 8.189047E-4 | 7.2E-4 | 9.223483E-4 | 9.8976E-4 | 0.00174 | 1.7580018 | 0.0020786813 | 0.00109 |
Garlock (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.5181727E-5 | 2.5197181E-5 | 0.00459 | 182.16324 | 0.0045950823 | 0.00457 | 1.0791722E-4 | 1.0798347E-4 | 0.00584 | 54.08235 | 0.0058373646 | 0.00573 | 0.0013131002 | 0.0013139093 | 0.00888 | 6.758457 | 0.009333358 | 0.00803 | 0.013053683 | 0.013141794 | 0.01797 | 1.3673931 | 0.023286697 | 0.01028 |
6.1 | 2.5077732E-5 | 2.5098223E-5 | 0.00459 | 182.88147 | 0.0045949835 | 0.00457 | 1.0747157E-4 | 1.075594E-4 | 0.00584 | 54.295578 | 0.005836943 | 0.00573 | 0.001307681 | 0.0013087525 | 0.00887 | 6.7774467 | 0.009328243 | 0.00803 | 0.013000126 | 0.013090835 | 0.01795 | 1.3711883 | 0.023236262 | 0.01028 |
6.2 | 2.494612E-5 | 2.4979914E-5 | 0.00459 | 183.74762 | 0.0045948657 | 0.00457 | 1.0690756E-4 | 1.070524E-4 | 0.00584 | 54.552723 | 0.005836439 | 0.00573 | 0.0013008224 | 0.0013025872 | 0.00884 | 6.7864943 | 0.009322127 | 0.00803 | 0.012932341 | 0.013029906 | 0.01789 | 1.3729953 | 0.023175959 | 0.01028 |
6.3 | 2.4733758E-5 | 2.4799276E-5 | 0.00459 | 185.08604 | 0.004594686 | 0.00457 | 1.0599751E-4 | 1.06278305E-4 | 0.00584 | 54.95007 | 0.005835669 | 0.00573 | 0.0012897556 | 0.0012931736 | 0.00884 | 6.8358955 | 0.00931279 | 0.00803 | 0.012822957 | 0.0129368715 | 0.01784 | 1.3790041 | 0.02308388 | 0.01028 |
6.4 | 2.3237335E-5 | 2.3178607E-5 | 0.00456 | 196.73312 | 0.004563073 | 0.00454 | 9.958477E-5 | 9.933313E-5 | 0.00581 | 58.490055 | 0.005798767 | 0.0057 | 0.0012117702 | 0.0012087126 | 0.00875 | 7.239107 | 0.009179067 | 0.00798 | 0.012051838 | 0.012101731 | 0.01717 | 1.4188052 | 0.022168415 | 0.01019 |
6.5 | 2.2732203E-5 | 2.2992977E-5 | 0.00456 | 198.32143 | 0.0045628888 | 0.00454 | 9.742009E-5 | 9.8537625E-5 | 0.00581 | 58.96225 | 0.005797976 | 0.0057 | 0.0011854442 | 0.0011990381 | 0.00874 | 7.2891765 | 0.00916947 | 0.00798 | 0.011791403 | 0.012006035 | 0.01708 | 1.4226178 | 0.022073694 | 0.01019 |
6.6 | 2.1319436E-5 | 2.1773201E-5 | 0.00456 | 209.43176 | 0.0045616743 | 0.00454 | 9.136581E-5 | 9.3310395E-5 | 0.0058 | 62.15813 | 0.0057927785 | 0.0057 | 0.001111811 | 0.0011354643 | 0.00863 | 7.6004148 | 0.009096415 | 0.00797 | 0.011062649 | 0.011376952 | 0.0165 | 1.4503006 | 0.021411475 | 0.01015 |
6.7 | 1.970802E-5 | 2.0393094E-5 | 0.00455 | 223.11473 | 0.0045603006 | 0.00454 | 8.446021E-5 | 8.739606E-5 | 0.00578 | 66.135704 | 0.005786898 | 0.0057 | 0.001027818 | 0.0010635294 | 0.00857 | 8.058076 | 0.009025053 | 0.00797 | 0.010230771 | 0.0106646875 | 0.0159 | 1.4909016 | 0.020706441 | 0.01015 |
6.8 | 1.8744462E-5 | 1.9900775E-5 | 0.00455 | 228.63431 | 0.0045598103 | 0.00454 | 8.033094E-5 | 8.528626E-5 | 0.00578 | 67.77177 | 0.0057848003 | 0.0057 | 9.775903E-4 | 0.0010378672 | 0.00855 | 8.238049 | 0.008989606 | 0.00796 | 0.009733009 | 0.010410495 | 0.01569 | 1.507133 | 0.020435037 | 0.01013 |
6.9 | 1.7559682E-5 | 1.8953151E-5 | 0.00455 | 240.06563 | 0.0045588673 | 0.00454 | 7.5253614E-5 | 8.122527E-5 | 0.00578 | 71.16012 | 0.005780762 | 0.0057 | 9.158276E-4 | 9.884704E-4 | 0.00852 | 8.619377 | 0.008930612 | 0.00795 | 0.0091206245 | 0.009921073 | 0.01539 | 1.5512434 | 0.01993077 | 0.01011 |
7.0 | 1.6794445E-5 | 1.8215967E-5 | 0.00453 | 248.68292 | 0.0045381337 | 0.00452 | 7.197421E-5 | 7.806611E-5 | 0.00576 | 73.78362 | 0.005757623 | 0.00568 | 8.759337E-4 | 9.5004175E-4 | 0.00844 | 8.88382 | 0.008852527 | 0.00791 | 0.008724891 | 0.009539958 | 0.01504 | 1.5765269 | 0.019503986 | 0.01006 |
7.1 | 1.6337795E-5 | 1.771677E-5 | 0.00451 | 254.56108 | 0.004517637 | 0.0045 | 7.0017246E-5 | 7.592681E-5 | 0.00574 | 75.59912 | 0.005735497 | 0.00566 | 8.521265E-4 | 9.2401815E-4 | 0.00836 | 9.0474415 | 0.008776755 | 0.00786 | 0.008488664 | 0.009281721 | 0.01479 | 1.5934545 | 0.01919881 | 0.01001 |
7.2 | 1.5780008E-5 | 1.71654E-5 | 0.00448 | 260.99014 | 0.0044970885 | 0.00448 | 6.762685E-5 | 7.3563926E-5 | 0.00571 | 77.61957 | 0.005713149 | 0.00564 | 8.2304585E-4 | 8.952741E-4 | 0.00826 | 9.226225 | 0.008688291 | 0.0078 | 0.008200042 | 0.008996559 | 0.01458 | 1.6206195 | 0.018847134 | 0.00994 |
7.3 | 1.5058865E-5 | 1.6618484E-5 | 0.00447 | 268.97763 | 0.004486544 | 0.00447 | 6.45364E-5 | 7.122013E-5 | 0.0057 | 80.033554 | 0.005700819 | 0.00563 | 7.854473E-4 | 8.667614E-4 | 0.00822 | 9.48358 | 0.0086500095 | 0.00779 | 0.00782677 | 0.008713263 | 0.01442 | 1.6549482 | 0.018527001 | 0.0099 |
7.4 | 1.4887923E-5 | 1.6454453E-5 | 0.0044 | 267.40482 | 0.004416382 | 0.0044 | 6.380382E-5 | 7.0517184E-5 | 0.00561 | 79.55508 | 0.0056101265 | 0.00554 | 7.7653467E-4 | 8.5820974E-4 | 0.0081 | 9.438252 | 0.00854161 | 0.00769 | 0.0077382675 | 0.008628101 | 0.0142 | 1.645785 | 0.018303892 | 0.00976 |
7.5 | 1.4509299E-5 | 1.6046468E-5 | 0.00402 | 250.52242 | 0.004035982 | 0.00402 | 6.218123E-5 | 6.876877E-5 | 0.00516 | 75.03406 | 0.005168418 | 0.0051 | 7.567935E-4 | 8.369394E-4 | 0.00748 | 8.9373255 | 0.007921006 | 0.00709 | 0.0075422134 | 0.008416411 | 0.01328 | 1.5778699 | 0.017310916 | 0.00897 |
7.6 | 1.2756717E-5 | 1.4050529E-5 | 0.00256 | 182.19955 | 0.0025740145 | 0.00256 | 5.4670498E-5 | 6.0215163E-5 | 0.00335 | 55.633827 | 0.0033500171 | 0.00329 | 6.6541E-4 | 7.328737E-4 | 0.00497 | 6.781523 | 0.0053694732 | 0.00464 | 0.006634211 | 0.007381374 | 0.00968 | 1.311409 | 0.013287455 | 0.00595 |
7.7 | 1.0328985E-5 | 1.146033E-5 | 0.00145 | 126.52341 | 0.0014614437 | 0.00145 | 4.4266326E-5 | 4.9114777E-5 | 0.00188 | 38.277683 | 0.0018890244 | 0.00184 | 5.388092E-4 | 5.9780874E-4 | 0.00279 | 4.6670446 | 0.0031362902 | 0.00254 | 0.0053750467 | 0.006038286 | 0.00643 | 1.0648718 | 0.009358117 | 0.00334 |
7.8 | 7.0306583E-6 | 8.899537E-6 | 8.3E-4 | 93.26328 | 8.388921E-4 | 8.3E-4 | 3.0131043E-5 | 3.8140315E-5 | 0.00107 | 28.054304 | 0.0010881003 | 0.00105 | 3.667837E-4 | 4.6425956E-4 | 0.00175 | 3.7694433 | 0.00201354 | 0.00155 | 0.003661789 | 0.0046950667 | 0.00437 | 0.9307642 | 0.006785207 | 0.0021 |
7.9 | 4.060633E-6 | 5.465412E-6 | 4.4E-4 | 80.50628 | 4.45463E-4 | 4.4E-4 | 1.7402595E-5 | 2.3422985E-5 | 5.6E-4 | 23.90814 | 5.734101E-4 | 5.5E-4 | 2.11856E-4 | 2.8513762E-4 | 9.6E-4 | 3.3667953 | 0.0011049038 | 8.2E-4 | 0.0021165414 | 0.002884143 | 0.00252 | 0.87374306 | 0.004010884 | 0.00113 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.0775192E-6 | 1.8E-4 | 86.6418 | 1.8207714E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 7.169782E-6 | 8.903624E-6 | 2.1E-4 | 23.585903 | 2.0890184E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.0839626E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 3.690164 | 4.2836159E-4 | 3.2E-4 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.001096854 | 9.0E-4 | 0.8205285 | 0.0014764372 | 3.8E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1489736E-7 | 2.0E-5 | 63.512756 | 2.031489E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3495595E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 14.81965 | 2.1349533E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.643078E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 3.651683 | 4.6430287E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.662928E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.54121405 | 2.0628615E-4 | 4.0E-5 |
McLean Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7360222E-5 | 1.8501627E-5 | 0.00157 | 84.8574 | 0.001568473 | 0.00155 | 7.439883E-5 | 7.9290556E-5 | 0.00251 | 31.655725 | 0.0025190972 | 0.00244 | 9.0542925E-4 | 9.6498354E-4 | 0.00562 | 5.8239336 | 0.005860255 | 0.0049 | 0.009017491 | 0.0096127745 | 0.01828 | 1.9016362 | 0.017516065 | 0.00798 |
6.1 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.592193E-6 | 9.2E-4 | 95.91132 | 9.095836E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.1108804E-5 | 0.00134 | 32.596424 | 0.0013410554 | 0.0013 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.003936E-4 | 0.00287 | 5.7354846 | 0.0030391226 | 0.00254 | 0.0047176396 | 0.004993552 | 0.00939 | 1.8804251 | 0.009222329 | 0.00425 |
6.2 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.592193E-6 | 9.2E-4 | 95.91132 | 9.095836E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.1108804E-5 | 0.00134 | 32.596424 | 0.0013410554 | 0.0013 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.003936E-4 | 0.00287 | 5.7354846 | 0.0030391226 | 0.00254 | 0.0047176396 | 0.004993552 | 0.00939 | 1.8804251 | 0.009222329 | 0.00425 |
6.3 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.66771E-6 | 7.4E-4 | 96.50861 | 7.3766214E-4 | 7.3E-4 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.2861237E-5 | 0.00102 | 31.03961 | 0.0010328284 | 0.001 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0001926E-4 | 0.00217 | 5.424739 | 0.0023192512 | 0.00192 | 0.0037797375 | 0.0039936965 | 0.00743 | 1.8604317 | 0.007300438 | 0.00332 |
6.4 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.66771E-6 | 7.4E-4 | 96.50861 | 7.3766214E-4 | 7.3E-4 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.2861237E-5 | 0.00102 | 31.03961 | 0.0010328284 | 0.001 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0001926E-4 | 0.00217 | 5.424739 | 0.0023192512 | 0.00192 | 0.0037797375 | 0.0039936965 | 0.00743 | 1.8604317 | 0.007300438 | 0.00332 |
6.5 | 6.06582E-6 | 6.4038773E-6 | 5.8E-4 | 90.57013 | 5.8640016E-4 | 5.8E-4 | 2.5996113E-5 | 2.7444936E-5 | 7.7E-4 | 28.05618 | 7.874241E-4 | 7.6E-4 | 3.164567E-4 | 3.3409733E-4 | 0.00171 | 5.118269 | 0.0018635861 | 0.00153 | 0.0031600643 | 0.0033365893 | 0.00605 | 1.8132288 | 0.0059976806 | 0.00267 |
6.6 | 5.598744E-6 | 5.910262E-6 | 5.5E-4 | 93.05848 | 5.55907E-4 | 5.5E-4 | 2.3994397E-5 | 2.5329486E-5 | 7.4E-4 | 29.214964 | 7.55311E-4 | 7.3E-4 | 2.9209262E-4 | 3.0834923E-4 | 0.00165 | 5.351075 | 0.0017878929 | 0.00148 | 0.0029170897 | 0.003079843 | 0.00568 | 1.8442498 | 0.0056319586 | 0.00256 |
6.7 | 5.246996E-6 | 5.539162E-6 | 5.2E-4 | 93.877014 | 5.255363E-4 | 5.2E-4 | 2.2486933E-5 | 2.3739085E-5 | 7.0E-4 | 29.487236 | 7.137227E-4 | 6.9E-4 | 2.73744E-4 | 2.8899137E-4 | 0.00154 | 5.3288784 | 0.0016685926 | 0.00138 | 0.0027340704 | 0.0028867796 | 0.00531 | 1.83942 | 0.0052698804 | 0.00239 |
6.8 | 4.02324E-6 | 4.2469046E-6 | 4.2E-4 | 98.89556 | 4.242451E-4 | 4.2E-4 | 1.7242342E-5 | 1.8200926E-5 | 5.5E-4 | 30.218243 | 5.6819094E-4 | 5.5E-4 | 2.099053E-4 | 2.2157968E-4 | 0.00118 | 5.325398 | 0.0012613493 | 0.00104 | 0.0020970714 | 0.002214172 | 0.00415 | 1.8742899 | 0.00404012 | 0.00183 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.1399285E-7 | 5.0E-5 | 70.02872 | 5.0713956E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0599674E-6 | 6.0E-5 | 19.608051 | 6.3059786E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.7254784E-5 | 2.3E-4 | 6.1737037 | 2.2724771E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7251666E-4 | 8.1E-4 | 2.1743994 | 7.1239E-4 | 3.4E-4 |
Gravel Hills-Harper Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.1464628E-5 | 0.00209 | 66.4238 | 0.0021013995 | 0.00207 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3484266E-4 | 0.00299 | 22.173992 | 0.003024453 | 0.00289 | 0.0015995599 | 0.00164069 | 0.00565 | 3.4436731 | 0.006552618 | 0.00492 | 0.015880952 | 0.016307337 | 0.01713 | 1.0504473 | 0.023498131 | 0.00731 |
6.1 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.1464628E-5 | 0.00209 | 66.4238 | 0.0021013995 | 0.00207 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3484266E-4 | 0.00299 | 22.173992 | 0.003024453 | 0.00289 | 0.0015995599 | 0.00164069 | 0.00565 | 3.4436731 | 0.006552618 | 0.00492 | 0.015880952 | 0.016307337 | 0.01713 | 1.0504473 | 0.023498131 | 0.00731 |
6.2 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.36352E-5 | 5.8E-4 | 42.53696 | 5.8362744E-4 | 5.7E-4 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.843533E-5 | 8.9E-4 | 15.230512 | 8.68388E-4 | 8.1E-4 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.112298E-4 | 0.00173 | 2.4324064 | 0.0021502057 | 0.00144 | 0.007871548 | 0.007090737 | 0.0062 | 0.8743802 | 0.0093247825 | 0.00225 |
6.3 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.36352E-5 | 5.8E-4 | 42.53696 | 5.8362744E-4 | 5.7E-4 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.843533E-5 | 8.9E-4 | 15.230512 | 8.68388E-4 | 8.1E-4 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.112298E-4 | 0.00173 | 2.4324064 | 0.0021502057 | 0.00144 | 0.007871548 | 0.007090737 | 0.0062 | 0.8743802 | 0.0093247825 | 0.00225 |
6.4 | 1.2532521E-5 | 1.0689684E-5 | 4.1E-4 | 38.354736 | 4.106854E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 5.37097E-5 | 4.581216E-5 | 6.1E-4 | 13.315242 | 6.057865E-4 | 5.6E-4 | 6.537194E-4 | 5.5762613E-4 | 0.0012 | 2.1519794 | 0.0015670629 | 0.00101 | 0.0065179965 | 0.005562859 | 0.00452 | 0.81253177 | 0.0070445705 | 0.00149 |
6.5 | 1.1094058E-5 | 9.083657E-6 | 2.8E-4 | 30.82459 | 2.890811E-4 | 2.8E-4 | 4.7545094E-5 | 3.89294E-5 | 4.4E-4 | 11.302512 | 4.3891382E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 5.787078E-4 | 4.7386638E-4 | 9.1E-4 | 1.9203726 | 0.0012135158 | 7.4E-4 | 0.0057720304 | 0.004728967 | 0.00366 | 0.7739534 | 0.0058337175 | 0.00111 |
6.6 | 9.688328E-6 | 7.531688E-6 | 2.1E-4 | 27.882195 | 2.175301E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 4.1520743E-5 | 3.227828E-5 | 2.9E-4 | 8.98437 | 2.922699E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 5.053978E-4 | 3.9291973E-4 | 6.4E-4 | 1.6288314 | 9.127154E-4 | 5.2E-4 | 0.0050424994 | 0.0039225067 | 0.0028 | 0.7138292 | 0.0046496433 | 7.3E-4 |
6.7 | 8.974824E-6 | 6.749406E-6 | 1.5E-4 | 22.224178 | 1.567484E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 3.8462964E-5 | 2.8925719E-5 | 2.1E-4 | 7.2599754 | 2.1892022E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 4.6818596E-4 | 3.5211592E-4 | 4.6E-4 | 1.306388 | 7.0199266E-4 | 3.5E-4 | 0.004672008 | 0.003515801 | 0.00234 | 0.6655667 | 0.004024008 | 5.1E-4 |
6.8 | 7.4780046E-6 | 5.1161865E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 7.8183236 | 4.5115983E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 3.20482E-5 | 2.1926337E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 3.6485803 | 8.192502E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 3.9011694E-4 | 2.6692182E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.749283 | 3.9688713E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0038943281 | 0.0026661505 | 0.00153 | 0.57386106 | 0.0029055106 | 2.4E-4 |
6.9 | 6.3409307E-6 | 3.907489E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 5.1183763 | 2.390741E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7175134E-5 | 1.674628E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7914426 | 3.6745943E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3080703E-4 | 2.0386786E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.39241102 | 2.3386175E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0033031502 | 0.0020369065 | 0.00107 | 0.52530634 | 0.0021167437 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.1239335E-6 | 2.6058492E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8375206 | 1.2605823E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.195953E-5 | 1.1167879E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7908503 | 2.1167767E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6732447E-4 | 1.359607E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.36775333 | 1.4595933E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026700313 | 0.0013588005 | 6.9E-4 | 0.5078008 | 0.0013887597 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.438899E-6 | 2.0984692E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7653785 | 1.2098449E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9023713E-5 | 8.99341E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1119252 | 1.899332E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.315891E-4 | 1.0948948E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.3653319 | 1.1948839E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002313479 | 0.0010943774 | 5.5E-4 | 0.5025689 | 0.0011143554 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.50367E-6 | 1.2615715E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 7.9266224 | 1.1261559E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5015643E-5 | 5.406724E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8495488 | 1.540667E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8280011E-4 | 6.5824956E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.4557542 | 7.5824304E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018264982 | 6.580628E-4 | 3.1E-4 | 0.47107965 | 6.6805625E-4 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.561638E-6 | 7.118686E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.118686E-7 | 0.0 | 1.0978401E-5 | 3.050862E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.050862E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3365384E-4 | 3.7143633E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.26922515 | 3.7143633E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0013357349 | 3.7137623E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 0.5654643 | 3.7137623E-4 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0368864E-6 | 5.304471E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.304471E-7 | 0.0 | 8.729483E-6 | 2.2733427E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2733427E-6 | 0.0 | 1.06276275E-4 | 2.76776E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.36130297 | 2.76776E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010622547 | 2.767421E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 0.57815564 | 2.767421E-4 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6028484E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6028484E-7 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.544077E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.544077E-6 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.879898E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.53194374 | 1.879898E-5 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8797436E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.63838494 | 1.8797436E-4 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.1196716E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.1196716E-8 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.0512876E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0512876E-7 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.714938E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.714938E-6 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.7148915E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0767474 | 3.7148915E-5 | 0.0 |
Goldstone Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0376103E-5 | 0.00146 | 48.0641 | 0.0014803321 | 0.00145 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3017791E-4 | 0.00211 | 16.208588 | 0.0021699124 | 0.00204 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015839601 | 0.00532 | 3.3586705 | 0.00556764 | 0.00399 | 0.013842222 | 0.015746202 | 0.02155 | 1.368584 | 0.022399757 | 0.00676 |
6.1 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0376103E-5 | 0.00146 | 48.0641 | 0.0014803321 | 0.00145 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3017791E-4 | 0.00211 | 16.208588 | 0.0021699124 | 0.00204 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015839601 | 0.00532 | 3.3586705 | 0.00556764 | 0.00399 | 0.013842222 | 0.015746202 | 0.02155 | 1.368584 | 0.022399757 | 0.00676 |
6.2 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6096254E-5 | 8.2E-4 | 50.943527 | 8.2608324E-4 | 8.1E-4 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.898268E-5 | 0.00117 | 16.96078 | 0.0011789061 | 0.00111 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.3963916E-4 | 0.0028 | 3.334766 | 0.0029978256 | 0.00216 | 0.007380498 | 0.008374364 | 0.01166 | 1.3923445 | 0.0120334625 | 0.00369 |
6.3 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6096254E-5 | 8.2E-4 | 50.943527 | 8.2608324E-4 | 8.1E-4 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.898268E-5 | 0.00117 | 16.96078 | 0.0011789061 | 0.00111 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.3963916E-4 | 0.0028 | 3.334766 | 0.0029978256 | 0.00216 | 0.007380498 | 0.008374364 | 0.01166 | 1.3923445 | 0.0120334625 | 0.00369 |
6.4 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.500847E-5 | 7.9E-4 | 52.636948 | 7.9499674E-4 | 7.8E-4 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.432098E-5 | 0.00114 | 17.723612 | 0.0011442516 | 0.00108 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.8292453E-4 | 0.00269 | 3.4358356 | 0.002861296 | 0.00208 | 0.006884126 | 0.007811289 | 0.01093 | 1.399257 | 0.011303793 | 0.00352 |
6.5 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.500847E-5 | 7.9E-4 | 52.636948 | 7.9499674E-4 | 7.8E-4 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.432098E-5 | 0.00114 | 17.723612 | 0.0011442516 | 0.00108 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.8292453E-4 | 0.00269 | 3.4358356 | 0.002861296 | 0.00208 | 0.006884126 | 0.007811289 | 0.01093 | 1.399257 | 0.011303793 | 0.00352 |
6.6 | 1.1328278E-5 | 1.2855176E-5 | 7.4E-4 | 57.564365 | 7.5284566E-4 | 7.4E-4 | 4.8548856E-5 | 5.5092984E-5 | 0.00106 | 19.2402 | 0.0010650373 | 0.00101 | 5.90922E-4 | 6.706464E-4 | 0.00235 | 3.5040822 | 0.0025194057 | 0.00185 | 0.0058935313 | 0.0066956137 | 0.0095 | 1.4188393 | 0.009754991 | 0.00308 |
6.7 | 8.651175E-6 | 9.824575E-6 | 5.2E-4 | 52.9285 | 5.2981946E-4 | 5.2E-4 | 3.707594E-5 | 4.2105148E-5 | 7.8E-4 | 18.52505 | 7.82074E-4 | 7.4E-4 | 4.5130608E-4 | 5.126002E-4 | 0.00174 | 3.3944585 | 0.0018619081 | 0.00135 | 0.0045039062 | 0.0051230565 | 0.00716 | 1.3976033 | 0.0073615294 | 0.00225 |
6.8 | 1.0215377E-6 | 1.1754802E-6 | 6.0E-5 | 51.042973 | 6.117541E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 4.378012E-6 | 5.037763E-6 | 7.0E-5 | 13.895056 | 7.503741E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 5.3300988E-5 | 6.133315E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 1.3043517 | 1.4132824E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 5.3288206E-4 | 6.131735E-4 | 4.6E-4 | 0.75019544 | 7.3309994E-4 | 1.2E-4 |
6.9 | 7.9360774E-7 | 9.283496E-7 | 3.0E-5 | 32.315414 | 3.092832E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.4011714E-6 | 3.9786355E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 7.5402737 | 3.3978515E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1408475E-5 | 4.843888E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.8257829 | 8.8436944E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 4.140076E-4 | 4.842902E-4 | 3.3E-4 | 0.6814096 | 5.442612E-4 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.4382757E-7 | 8.747428E-7 | 3.0E-5 | 34.295795 | 3.0874715E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.1878285E-6 | 3.7488926E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 8.002363 | 3.374878E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.8811122E-5 | 4.564188E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.8763881 | 8.564005E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 3.8804344E-4 | 4.563317E-4 | 3.2E-4 | 0.7012443 | 5.1630434E-4 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.4709513E-7 | 7.711399E-7 | 3.0E-5 | 38.903446 | 3.0771116E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.773262E-6 | 3.3048816E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 9.077481 | 3.3304783E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.376394E-5 | 4.023625E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.9941284 | 8.023464E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 3.375881E-4 | 4.022956E-4 | 2.7E-4 | 0.67114824 | 4.4227953E-4 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.356704E-7 | 7.588459E-7 | 3.0E-5 | 39.53372 | 3.0758823E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7242988E-6 | 3.252193E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 9.224545 | 3.3252094E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3167835E-5 | 3.959479E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0102339 | 7.959321E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 3.3162883E-4 | 3.9588328E-4 | 2.7E-4 | 0.6820192 | 4.3586746E-4 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.7695723E-7 | 6.896648E-7 | 2.0E-5 | 28.999596 | 2.0689651E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4726714E-6 | 2.9557032E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 6.766579 | 2.2955644E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0104358E-5 | 3.598515E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.83367723 | 6.598407E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.0100282E-4 | 3.5979896E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 0.69483244 | 3.8978818E-4 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.209647E-7 | 6.193583E-7 | 2.0E-5 | 32.29149 | 2.0619345E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.232704E-6 | 2.6543903E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 7.534687 | 2.2654338E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.718283E-5 | 3.2316777E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.92831033 | 6.231581E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7179506E-4 | 3.2312635E-4 | 2.3E-4 | 0.71179587 | 3.5311666E-4 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.512955E-7 | 5.3489487E-7 | 2.0E-5 | 37.390526 | 2.0534884E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.934122E-6 | 2.2924048E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 8.7244625 | 2.2292359E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3547682E-5 | 2.7909726E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0748941 | 5.790889E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3545188E-4 | 2.7906752E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.64500517 | 3.0905916E-4 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 2.0E-5 | 76.80433 | 2.0260397E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160082E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 17.921017 | 2.1115986E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2079372 | 4.3586937E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7360088 | 1.6586386E-4 | 3.0E-5 |
So Sierra Nevada
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079612E-5 | 0.00168 | 151.62987 | 0.0016710613 | 0.00166 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483256E-5 | 0.00242 | 50.965332 | 0.0023973717 | 0.00235 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779681E-4 | 0.00421 | 7.2841396 | 0.004385766 | 0.00381 | 0.006007948 | 0.005765918 | 0.00948 | 1.644144 | 0.011273975 | 0.00554 |
6.1 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079612E-5 | 0.00168 | 151.62987 | 0.0016710613 | 0.00166 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483256E-5 | 0.00242 | 50.965332 | 0.0023973717 | 0.00235 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779681E-4 | 0.00421 | 7.2841396 | 0.004385766 | 0.00381 | 0.006007948 | 0.005765918 | 0.00948 | 1.644144 | 0.011273975 | 0.00554 |
6.2 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079612E-5 | 0.00168 | 151.62987 | 0.0016710613 | 0.00166 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483256E-5 | 0.00242 | 50.965332 | 0.0023973717 | 0.00235 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779681E-4 | 0.00421 | 7.2841396 | 0.004385766 | 0.00381 | 0.006007948 | 0.005765918 | 0.00948 | 1.644144 | 0.011273975 | 0.00554 |
6.3 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079612E-5 | 0.00168 | 151.62987 | 0.0016710613 | 0.00166 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483256E-5 | 0.00242 | 50.965332 | 0.0023973717 | 0.00235 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779681E-4 | 0.00421 | 7.2841396 | 0.004385766 | 0.00381 | 0.006007948 | 0.005765918 | 0.00948 | 1.644144 | 0.011273975 | 0.00554 |
6.4 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079612E-5 | 0.00168 | 151.62987 | 0.0016710613 | 0.00166 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483256E-5 | 0.00242 | 50.965332 | 0.0023973717 | 0.00235 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779681E-4 | 0.00421 | 7.2841396 | 0.004385766 | 0.00381 | 0.006007948 | 0.005765918 | 0.00948 | 1.644144 | 0.011273975 | 0.00554 |
6.5 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079612E-5 | 0.00168 | 151.62987 | 0.0016710613 | 0.00166 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483256E-5 | 0.00242 | 50.965332 | 0.0023973717 | 0.00235 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779681E-4 | 0.00421 | 7.2841396 | 0.004385766 | 0.00381 | 0.006007948 | 0.005765918 | 0.00948 | 1.644144 | 0.011273975 | 0.00554 |
6.6 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.9356042E-6 | 9.7E-4 | 139.85803 | 9.6692896E-4 | 9.6E-4 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.9723697E-5 | 0.0014 | 47.100468 | 0.0013796836 | 0.00135 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.6182883E-4 | 0.00238 | 6.577696 | 0.0025110508 | 0.00215 | 0.003951 | 0.0036126887 | 0.00511 | 1.414459 | 0.0066018505 | 0.003 |
6.7 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.9356042E-6 | 9.7E-4 | 139.85803 | 9.6692896E-4 | 9.6E-4 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.9723697E-5 | 0.0014 | 47.100468 | 0.0013796836 | 0.00135 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.6182883E-4 | 0.00238 | 6.577696 | 0.0025110508 | 0.00215 | 0.003951 | 0.0036126887 | 0.00511 | 1.414459 | 0.0066018505 | 0.003 |
6.8 | 5.9026956E-6 | 5.179362E-6 | 6.8E-4 | 131.2903 | 6.7517586E-4 | 6.7E-4 | 2.5297022E-5 | 2.2197082E-5 | 9.9E-4 | 44.600456 | 9.6217624E-4 | 9.4E-4 | 3.0794772E-4 | 2.7021713E-4 | 0.00169 | 6.2542295 | 0.0017698118 | 0.0015 | 0.0030752132 | 0.002699002 | 0.00347 | 1.2856605 | 0.004763415 | 0.00207 |
6.9 | 5.0118915E-6 | 4.2523943E-6 | 5.3E-4 | 124.63566 | 5.242502E-4 | 5.2E-4 | 2.1479358E-5 | 1.8224424E-5 | 8.0E-4 | 43.897133 | 7.6821074E-4 | 7.5E-4 | 2.614798E-4 | 2.2186051E-4 | 0.00136 | 6.1299777 | 0.0014215943 | 0.0012 | 0.0026117235 | 0.0022164627 | 0.00274 | 1.236204 | 0.0038727834 | 0.00166 |
7.0 | 4.4924795E-6 | 3.7138868E-6 | 4.6E-4 | 123.85946 | 4.6371217E-4 | 4.6E-4 | 1.925334E-5 | 1.5916565E-5 | 6.6E-4 | 41.466236 | 6.4590655E-4 | 6.3E-4 | 2.3438422E-4 | 1.9376757E-4 | 0.00115 | 5.9349456 | 0.0012035719 | 0.00101 | 0.0023413717 | 0.0019360491 | 0.00234 | 1.208647 | 0.0033433193 | 0.00141 |
7.1 | 3.9118436E-6 | 3.1119469E-6 | 3.1E-4 | 99.6161 | 3.1311097E-4 | 3.1E-4 | 1.6764936E-5 | 1.333685E-5 | 4.7E-4 | 35.240704 | 4.5333098E-4 | 4.4E-4 | 2.0409399E-4 | 1.6236462E-4 | 8.1E-4 | 4.9887714 | 8.422542E-4 | 6.8E-4 | 0.0020390663 | 0.0016225161 | 0.00172 | 1.060082 | 0.002600926 | 9.8E-4 |
7.2 | 3.4200818E-6 | 2.6054236E-6 | 2.1E-4 | 80.6011 | 2.1260488E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 1.4657411E-5 | 1.11660565E-5 | 3.5E-4 | 31.344997 | 3.4116238E-4 | 3.3E-4 | 1.7843937E-4 | 1.3593875E-4 | 6.3E-4 | 4.63444 | 6.658667E-4 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0017829615 | 0.0013586058 | 0.00139 | 1.0231076 | 0.0021575189 | 8.0E-4 |
7.3 | 2.6593618E-6 | 1.8283897E-6 | 1.2E-4 | 65.63152 | 1.2182817E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 1.13972155E-5 | 7.8359335E-6 | 2.0E-4 | 25.523441 | 1.8783452E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 1.3875226E-4 | 9.539862E-5 | 3.6E-4 | 3.7736397 | 3.6537286E-4 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0013866565 | 9.536055E-4 | 8.5E-4 | 0.8913539 | 0.0013931859 | 4.4E-4 |
7.4 | 2.2577992E-6 | 1.4364078E-6 | 1.2E-4 | 83.54173 | 1.21436235E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 9.676246E-6 | 6.1560204E-6 | 1.5E-4 | 24.366392 | 1.561551E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 1.1780193E-4 | 7.4947224E-5 | 2.9E-4 | 3.8693895 | 3.0493E-4 | 2.3E-4 | 0.001177395 | 7.4924453E-4 | 6.6E-4 | 0.8808873 | 0.0011389523 | 3.9E-4 |
7.5 | 1.489319E-6 | 7.353661E-7 | 7.0E-5 | 95.19068 | 7.073532E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 6.3827797E-6 | 3.1515651E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 31.730267 | 1.0315125E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.770758E-5 | 3.8369635E-5 | 1.5E-4 | 3.9093413 | 1.6836464E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 7.7680405E-4 | 3.8363054E-4 | 3.4E-4 | 0.8862694 | 6.135423E-4 | 2.3E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.65941E-7 | 3.0E-5 | 64.38583 | 3.0465928E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.9968884E-6 | 5.0E-5 | 25.038954 | 5.1996787E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.4311848E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 2.8792546 | 8.431039E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.4309216E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.7404599 | 3.8305813E-4 | 1.4E-4 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5578539E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5578539E-7 | 0.0 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.676515E-7 | 2.0E-5 | 29.955748 | 2.0667638E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.128628E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 2.46044 | 2.8128465E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.128342E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 0.7381579 | 1.3127936E-4 | 5.0E-5 |
Coyote Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0364317E-5 | 9.9E-4 | 24.526613 | 0.0010303244 | 9.9E-4 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7297991E-4 | 0.00151 | 8.729338 | 0.0016027326 | 0.00143 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0021042533 | 0.00407 | 1.9341778 | 0.0046389084 | 0.00254 | 0.018143194 | 0.020869205 | 0.02113 | 1.0124967 | 0.025196962 | 0.00442 |
6.1 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0364317E-5 | 9.9E-4 | 24.526613 | 0.0010303244 | 9.9E-4 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7297991E-4 | 0.00151 | 8.729338 | 0.0016027326 | 0.00143 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0021042533 | 0.00407 | 1.9341778 | 0.0046389084 | 0.00254 | 0.018143194 | 0.020869205 | 0.02113 | 1.0124967 | 0.025196962 | 0.00442 |
6.2 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1059794E-5 | 5.2E-4 | 24.6916 | 5.410488E-4 | 5.2E-4 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.025371E-5 | 7.8E-4 | 8.642304 | 8.40186E-4 | 7.5E-4 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010983871 | 0.00229 | 2.0848753 | 0.0024968493 | 0.0014 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010939668 | 0.01174 | 1.0731587 | 0.013362866 | 0.00245 |
6.3 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1059794E-5 | 5.2E-4 | 24.6916 | 5.410488E-4 | 5.2E-4 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.025371E-5 | 7.8E-4 | 8.642304 | 8.40186E-4 | 7.5E-4 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010983871 | 0.00229 | 2.0848753 | 0.0024968493 | 0.0014 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010939668 | 0.01174 | 1.0731587 | 0.013362866 | 0.00245 |
6.4 | 1.712201E-5 | 1.9565212E-5 | 4.8E-4 | 24.53334 | 4.9955584E-4 | 4.8E-4 | 7.337798E-5 | 8.3848776E-5 | 7.4E-4 | 8.825412 | 7.937892E-4 | 7.1E-4 | 8.930107E-4 | 0.0010204813 | 0.00219 | 2.1460462 | 0.0023691037 | 0.00135 | 0.008894307 | 0.010167871 | 0.01121 | 1.1024923 | 0.012493976 | 0.00235 |
6.5 | 1.4744935E-5 | 1.6836972E-5 | 4.3E-4 | 25.539034 | 4.4682974E-4 | 4.3E-4 | 6.3191044E-5 | 7.215698E-5 | 6.7E-4 | 9.285311 | 7.121108E-4 | 6.4E-4 | 7.6907943E-4 | 8.782507E-4 | 0.00194 | 2.2089365 | 0.002087188 | 0.00121 | 0.007664232 | 0.008756994 | 0.00997 | 1.1385185 | 0.010868343 | 0.00213 |
6.6 | 1.2017839E-5 | 1.3724089E-5 | 3.3E-4 | 24.045311 | 3.4371956E-4 | 3.3E-4 | 5.150401E-5 | 5.88167E-5 | 5.4E-4 | 9.1810665 | 5.7878613E-4 | 5.2E-4 | 6.268809E-4 | 7.159466E-4 | 0.00159 | 2.220836 | 0.0017152306 | 0.001 | 0.0062511545 | 0.0071450938 | 0.00825 | 1.1546384 | 0.008912375 | 0.00178 |
6.7 | 1.00956095E-5 | 1.1533517E-5 | 2.3E-4 | 19.94188 | 2.4153087E-4 | 2.3E-4 | 4.326618E-5 | 4.942891E-5 | 4.3E-4 | 8.699363 | 4.5940865E-4 | 4.1E-4 | 5.266384E-4 | 6.017178E-4 | 0.00129 | 2.1438622 | 0.0014412124 | 8.4E-4 | 0.005253921 | 0.0060094125 | 0.00692 | 1.1515269 | 0.0075103384 | 0.00151 |
San Andreas (Mojave S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7462435E-4 | 0.00196 | 2.9053206 | 0.002353491 | 0.00168 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002888172 | 0.00369 | 1.2776247 | 0.0051615867 | 0.00228 | 0.016080605 | 0.034565594 | 0.02184 | 0.63184214 | 0.037693605 | 0.00324 | 0.1496549 | 0.28654557 | 0.1797 | 0.6271254 | 0.28961343 | 0.0043 |
6.1 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7462435E-4 | 0.00196 | 2.9053206 | 0.002353491 | 0.00168 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002888172 | 0.00369 | 1.2776247 | 0.0051615867 | 0.00228 | 0.016080605 | 0.034565594 | 0.02184 | 0.63184214 | 0.037693605 | 0.00324 | 0.1496549 | 0.28654557 | 0.1797 | 0.6271254 | 0.28961343 | 0.0043 |
6.2 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7462435E-4 | 0.00196 | 2.9053206 | 0.002353491 | 0.00168 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002888172 | 0.00369 | 1.2776247 | 0.0051615867 | 0.00228 | 0.016080605 | 0.034565594 | 0.02184 | 0.63184214 | 0.037693605 | 0.00324 | 0.1496549 | 0.28654557 | 0.1797 | 0.6271254 | 0.28961343 | 0.0043 |
6.3 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7462435E-4 | 0.00196 | 2.9053206 | 0.002353491 | 0.00168 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002888172 | 0.00369 | 1.2776247 | 0.0051615867 | 0.00228 | 0.016080605 | 0.034565594 | 0.02184 | 0.63184214 | 0.037693605 | 0.00324 | 0.1496549 | 0.28654557 | 0.1797 | 0.6271254 | 0.28961343 | 0.0043 |
6.4 | 1.9872203E-4 | 4.3181062E-4 | 0.00161 | 3.7284863 | 0.0018811845 | 0.00145 | 8.5138786E-4 | 0.0018493326 | 0.00288 | 1.5573186 | 0.003785745 | 0.00194 | 0.010316478 | 0.02228931 | 0.01491 | 0.66893053 | 0.0250269 | 0.0028 | 0.098504856 | 0.19686839 | 0.12614 | 0.6407326 | 0.19990423 | 0.00378 |
6.5 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.8754136E-4 | 0.00144 | 5.007975 | 0.0016371532 | 0.00135 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012317409 | 0.00237 | 1.9241059 | 0.0030295239 | 0.0018 | 0.006714592 | 0.014894155 | 0.01052 | 0.70631737 | 0.017396323 | 0.00254 | 0.065152965 | 0.13800792 | 0.08644 | 0.6263408 | 0.14094733 | 0.00341 |
6.6 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.8754136E-4 | 0.00144 | 5.007975 | 0.0016371532 | 0.00135 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012317409 | 0.00237 | 1.9241059 | 0.0030295239 | 0.0018 | 0.006714592 | 0.014894155 | 0.01052 | 0.70631737 | 0.017396323 | 0.00254 | 0.065152965 | 0.13800792 | 0.08644 | 0.6263408 | 0.14094733 | 0.00341 |
6.7 | 1.08001186E-4 | 2.4335351E-4 | 0.0014 | 5.7529473 | 0.0015830274 | 0.00134 | 4.6278012E-4 | 0.0010425274 | 0.00225 | 2.1582167 | 0.0028006926 | 0.00176 | 0.0056198016 | 0.0126192 | 0.00907 | 0.71874607 | 0.015038283 | 0.00245 | 0.054797906 | 0.11918431 | 0.07236 | 0.6071269 | 0.12207338 | 0.00328 |
6.8 | 1.0624356E-4 | 2.3853009E-4 | 0.00139 | 5.8273573 | 0.0015682129 | 0.00133 | 4.5525006E-4 | 0.0010218718 | 0.00223 | 2.1822698 | 0.0027600937 | 0.00174 | 0.0055285925 | 0.012370593 | 0.00896 | 0.72429836 | 0.014770532 | 0.00243 | 0.053930566 | 0.11713308 | 0.07065 | 0.6031601 | 0.11999357 | 0.00324 |
6.9 | 1.0393785E-4 | 2.3223337E-4 | 0.00139 | 5.985358 | 0.0015619245 | 0.00133 | 4.4537184E-4 | 9.949068E-4 | 0.00221 | 2.2213137 | 0.0027231856 | 0.00173 | 0.0054089287 | 0.012045963 | 0.00876 | 0.7272146 | 0.014417053 | 0.0024 | 0.05279156 | 0.114433445 | 0.06849 | 0.59851384 | 0.11726726 | 0.0032 |
7.0 | 1.0155622E-4 | 2.2592908E-4 | 0.00138 | 6.108112 | 0.0015456309 | 0.00132 | 4.3516833E-4 | 9.6790853E-4 | 0.00218 | 2.2522788 | 0.0026862437 | 0.00172 | 0.005285311 | 0.011720838 | 0.00863 | 0.73629546 | 0.014063059 | 0.00237 | 0.05161361 | 0.11169745 | 0.06643 | 0.59473157 | 0.11450449 | 0.00316 |
7.1 | 9.885595E-5 | 2.188132E-4 | 0.00137 | 6.261048 | 0.0015285265 | 0.00131 | 4.2359953E-4 | 9.374342E-4 | 0.00217 | 2.314829 | 0.002645831 | 0.00171 | 0.0051451353 | 0.011353733 | 0.00839 | 0.738964 | 0.013686938 | 0.00236 | 0.05027629 | 0.10857607 | 0.06419 | 0.59119844 | 0.11138405 | 0.00315 |
7.2 | 9.6411415E-5 | 2.1244297E-4 | 0.00136 | 6.401718 | 0.0015121668 | 0.0013 | 4.1312634E-4 | 9.101525E-4 | 0.00215 | 2.3622415 | 0.0025986144 | 0.00169 | 0.005018219 | 0.011024987 | 0.00815 | 0.7392299 | 0.013339189 | 0.00234 | 0.049064007 | 0.1057697 | 0.06246 | 0.59052825 | 0.10855076 | 0.00311 |
7.3 | 9.1180635E-5 | 1.9472656E-4 | 0.00132 | 6.778736 | 0.0014644793 | 0.00127 | 3.907156E-4 | 8.342756E-4 | 0.00207 | 2.4811945 | 0.002482899 | 0.00165 | 0.004746591 | 0.010110112 | 0.00759 | 0.7507335 | 0.012367061 | 0.00228 | 0.046464786 | 0.09796176 | 0.05693 | 0.5811451 | 0.10069494 | 0.00303 |
7.4 | 8.887388E-5 | 1.872126E-4 | 0.00131 | 6.997392 | 0.0014469767 | 0.00126 | 3.8083247E-4 | 8.020931E-4 | 0.00204 | 2.5433457 | 0.0024407776 | 0.00164 | 0.0046267817 | 0.009721855 | 0.00729 | 0.7498569 | 0.011959883 | 0.00226 | 0.045316286 | 0.094593845 | 0.05465 | 0.57773316 | 0.097310066 | 0.003 |
7.5 | 8.6750515E-5 | 1.80528E-4 | 0.0013 | 7.201099 | 0.0014303024 | 0.00125 | 3.7173493E-4 | 7.734621E-4 | 0.00202 | 2.611634 | 0.0024022013 | 0.00163 | 0.004516484 | 0.009376327 | 0.00715 | 0.76255876 | 0.011605229 | 0.00225 | 0.04425787 | 0.09155606 | 0.05258 | 0.57429296 | 0.0942723 | 0.00299 |
7.6 | 8.453092E-5 | 1.7440386E-4 | 0.0013 | 7.4539633 | 0.0014241858 | 0.00125 | 3.6222505E-4 | 7.4723107E-4 | 0.00202 | 2.7033136 | 0.0023760132 | 0.00163 | 0.0044011753 | 0.009059664 | 0.00698 | 0.77044797 | 0.011279371 | 0.00224 | 0.04315024 | 0.08871447 | 0.05078 | 0.5723981 | 0.09142099 | 0.00297 |
7.7 | 8.259102E-5 | 1.6962511E-4 | 0.00127 | 7.487099 | 0.0013894181 | 0.00122 | 3.539135E-4 | 7.267622E-4 | 0.00195 | 2.6831334 | 0.0023255995 | 0.0016 | 0.004300386 | 0.0088125 | 0.00681 | 0.77276593 | 0.011003025 | 0.00221 | 0.042181134 | 0.086465426 | 0.0494 | 0.5713266 | 0.08915122 | 0.00294 |
7.8 | 7.444844E-5 | 1.528469E-4 | 9.3E-4 | 6.08452 | 0.0010327124 | 8.8E-4 | 3.1902574E-4 | 6.5489375E-4 | 0.00149 | 2.2751782 | 0.0018241275 | 0.00117 | 0.0038772223 | 0.007944231 | 0.00597 | 0.75148875 | 0.009650567 | 0.00172 | 0.03810269 | 0.078293875 | 0.044 | 0.5619852 | 0.08043223 | 0.00232 |
7.9 | 5.2586525E-5 | 1.0007023E-4 | 4.8E-4 | 4.7966313 | 5.700232E-4 | 4.7E-4 | 2.2535135E-4 | 4.2880196E-4 | 8.1E-4 | 1.888984 | 0.0010385404 | 6.1E-4 | 0.0027402006 | 0.005208178 | 0.00366 | 0.70274097 | 0.0060935426 | 8.9E-4 | 0.027066574 | 0.052201588 | 0.02863 | 0.5484507 | 0.053357903 | 0.00122 |
8.0 | 3.379877E-5 | 5.4075565E-5 | 1.9E-4 | 3.5136018 | 2.4406529E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 1.4484383E-4 | 2.3173184E-4 | 3.5E-4 | 1.5103664 | 4.7167623E-4 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0017620471 | 0.0028176866 | 0.00182 | 0.6459199 | 0.0031866443 | 3.7E-4 | 0.017481409 | 0.028835917 | 0.01504 | 0.52157176 | 0.029253516 | 4.3E-4 |
8.1 | 1.8668277E-5 | 1.9308145E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0358323 | 3.9307757E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 8.000444E-5 | 8.274657E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 0.8459565 | 1.2274327E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 9.736188E-4 | 0.0010069745 | 5.3E-4 | 0.5263291 | 0.0010669141 | 6.0E-5 | 0.009693642 | 0.010798624 | 0.00549 | 0.5083981 | 0.010867868 | 7.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.541571E-6 | 5.4596358E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.4596358E-6 | 0.0 | 3.660622E-5 | 2.339823E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.42738277 | 3.3397995E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 4.455896E-4 | 2.848363E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 0.5266183 | 2.9483344E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044469717 | 0.003240283 | 0.00171 | 0.52773166 | 0.0032502508 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6564595E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.6564595E-7 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.281336E-6 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9949547E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.25031573 | 3.9949547E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.717979E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.42391032 | 4.717979E-4 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (So)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5618314E-5 | 0.001 | 39.034576 | 0.001015593 | 9.9E-4 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0978825E-4 | 0.00159 | 14.482424 | 0.0016596181 | 0.00155 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013358692 | 0.00353 | 2.6424742 | 0.004102169 | 0.00277 | 0.010734817 | 0.013279985 | 0.01276 | 0.9608445 | 0.017670888 | 0.00445 |
6.1 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5618314E-5 | 0.001 | 39.034576 | 0.001015593 | 9.9E-4 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0978825E-4 | 0.00159 | 14.482424 | 0.0016596181 | 0.00155 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013358692 | 0.00353 | 2.6424742 | 0.004102169 | 0.00277 | 0.010734817 | 0.013279985 | 0.01276 | 0.9608445 | 0.017670888 | 0.00445 |
6.2 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5618314E-5 | 0.001 | 39.034576 | 0.001015593 | 9.9E-4 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0978825E-4 | 0.00159 | 14.482424 | 0.0016596181 | 0.00155 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013358692 | 0.00353 | 2.6424742 | 0.004102169 | 0.00277 | 0.010734817 | 0.013279985 | 0.01276 | 0.9608445 | 0.017670888 | 0.00445 |
6.3 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.51184E-5 | 9.6E-4 | 38.218998 | 9.850942E-4 | 9.6E-4 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0764593E-4 | 0.00146 | 13.5629835 | 0.001547491 | 0.00144 | 0.0010555626 | 0.001309818 | 0.00336 | 2.5652418 | 0.003936373 | 0.00263 | 0.010505628 | 0.013022543 | 0.01225 | 0.94067645 | 0.017217198 | 0.00425 |
6.4 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.51184E-5 | 9.6E-4 | 38.218998 | 9.850942E-4 | 9.6E-4 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0764593E-4 | 0.00146 | 13.5629835 | 0.001547491 | 0.00144 | 0.0010555626 | 0.001309818 | 0.00336 | 2.5652418 | 0.003936373 | 0.00263 | 0.010505628 | 0.013022543 | 0.01225 | 0.94067645 | 0.017217198 | 0.00425 |
6.5 | 1.9962767E-5 | 2.4807652E-5 | 9.4E-4 | 37.891537 | 9.6478435E-4 | 9.4E-4 | 8.55519E-5 | 1.0631427E-4 | 0.00142 | 13.3566265 | 0.0015061655 | 0.0014 | 0.0010410968 | 0.0012936244 | 0.00327 | 2.5277817 | 0.0038602997 | 0.00257 | 0.010362327 | 0.01286249 | 0.01197 | 0.930613 | 0.016949238 | 0.00414 |
6.6 | 1.8937297E-5 | 2.3311462E-5 | 7.9E-4 | 33.88891 | 8.1329304E-4 | 7.9E-4 | 8.115732E-5 | 9.990252E-5 | 0.00123 | 12.312001 | 0.0013097817 | 0.00121 | 9.876423E-4 | 0.0012156491 | 0.00297 | 2.4431393 | 0.003522841 | 0.00231 | 0.009832645 | 0.0120915035 | 0.01107 | 0.9155189 | 0.015766524 | 0.00372 |
6.7 | 1.8621096E-5 | 2.2912098E-5 | 7.7E-4 | 33.6067 | 7.9289445E-4 | 7.7E-4 | 7.980225E-5 | 9.8191085E-5 | 0.0012 | 12.221068 | 0.0012780753 | 0.00118 | 9.711593E-4 | 0.0011948354 | 0.00292 | 2.4438512 | 0.0034621232 | 0.00227 | 0.009669261 | 0.011885625 | 0.01086 | 0.91370875 | 0.015502124 | 0.00366 |
6.8 | 1.7830353E-5 | 2.1806083E-5 | 7.6E-4 | 34.852657 | 7.8178954E-4 | 7.6E-4 | 7.641356E-5 | 9.3451374E-5 | 0.00116 | 12.412872 | 0.0012333449 | 0.00114 | 9.29938E-4 | 0.0011371907 | 0.00275 | 2.41824 | 0.0032647685 | 0.00213 | 0.009260561 | 0.01131609 | 0.0103 | 0.9102084 | 0.0147270495 | 0.00345 |
6.9 | 1.3135183E-5 | 1.5304031E-5 | 6.0E-4 | 39.20536 | 6.1529485E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 5.6292425E-5 | 6.558709E-5 | 8.8E-4 | 13.417275 | 9.455294E-4 | 8.8E-4 | 6.8514474E-4 | 7.982367E-4 | 0.00203 | 2.5431054 | 0.0023869674 | 0.00159 | 0.006830362 | 0.007955158 | 0.00714 | 0.89753085 | 0.0104650315 | 0.00253 |
7.0 | 1.1507512E-5 | 1.3154237E-5 | 4.2E-4 | 31.928875 | 4.331487E-4 | 4.2E-4 | 4.9316975E-5 | 5.637412E-5 | 6.2E-4 | 10.997954 | 6.7633914E-4 | 6.2E-4 | 6.002687E-4 | 6.861445E-4 | 0.00152 | 2.2152767 | 0.0018253623 | 0.00114 | 0.0059864987 | 0.0068414924 | 0.00552 | 0.8068415 | 0.008619246 | 0.00179 |
7.1 | 9.715903E-6 | 1.0865287E-5 | 2.4E-4 | 22.088696 | 2.5086268E-4 | 2.4E-4 | 4.1638916E-5 | 4.6564706E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 6.4426475 | 3.4655075E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 5.068359E-4 | 5.667821E-4 | 8.7E-4 | 1.5349815 | 0.0011264647 | 5.6E-4 | 0.0050568148 | 0.005653834 | 0.00358 | 0.6331987 | 0.0064890846 | 8.4E-4 |
7.2 | 9.233269E-6 | 1.0286314E-5 | 2.2E-4 | 21.387642 | 2.3028404E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 3.9570554E-5 | 4.408348E-5 | 2.7E-4 | 6.1247435 | 3.1407157E-4 | 2.7E-4 | 4.81665E-4 | 5.365884E-4 | 7.8E-4 | 1.4536281 | 0.0010263255 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0048062233 | 0.0053533595 | 0.00323 | 0.60335946 | 0.006089398 | 7.4E-4 |
7.3 | 8.8041315E-6 | 9.808164E-6 | 1.6E-4 | 16.31294 | 1.6980659E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 3.7731446E-5 | 4.2034335E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 4.758015 | 2.4202593E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 4.592835E-4 | 5.1165203E-4 | 6.6E-4 | 1.2899392 | 8.914576E-4 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0045833546 | 0.005105167 | 0.00288 | 0.5641343 | 0.0056424104 | 5.4E-4 |
7.4 | 8.708749E-6 | 9.707175E-6 | 1.6E-4 | 16.482653 | 1.6970563E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 3.7322676E-5 | 4.160154E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 4.8075147 | 2.4159322E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 4.5430884E-4 | 5.0638523E-4 | 6.4E-4 | 1.26386 | 8.662029E-4 | 3.6E-4 | 0.004533812 | 0.0050527398 | 0.00281 | 0.5561339 | 0.005560163 | 5.1E-4 |
7.5 | 8.612678E-6 | 9.604817E-6 | 1.4E-4 | 14.576019 | 1.4960347E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 3.6910955E-5 | 4.1162875E-5 | 1.8E-4 | 4.3728724 | 2.2115547E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 4.492982E-4 | 5.01047E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.1974925 | 8.3088165E-4 | 3.3E-4 | 0.004483909 | 0.0049995985 | 0.0027 | 0.54004335 | 0.005477199 | 4.8E-4 |
7.6 | 8.319024E-6 | 9.283916E-6 | 1.3E-4 | 14.002711 | 1.3928271E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 3.5652476E-5 | 3.978763E-5 | 1.7E-4 | 4.2726846 | 2.0978086E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 4.3398244E-4 | 4.8431093E-4 | 5.7E-4 | 1.17693 | 8.0415595E-4 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0043313587 | 0.0048329784 | 0.00255 | 0.52762496 | 0.0053007067 | 4.7E-4 |
7.7 | 7.4718328E-6 | 8.34517E-6 | 1.2E-4 | 14.379576 | 1.2834417E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 3.2021748E-5 | 3.5764548E-5 | 1.6E-4 | 4.4737043 | 1.9575882E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 3.8979502E-4 | 4.353504E-4 | 5.1E-4 | 1.1714702 | 7.2522415E-4 | 2.9E-4 | 0.00389112 | 0.0043453807 | 0.00227 | 0.5223938 | 0.0047436426 | 4.0E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6482615E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6482615E-7 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635396E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3957443 | 1.1563524E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9035933E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5759668 | 4.9035363E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9034347E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.36775625 | 2.3033586E-4 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6696718E-9 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.14414505E-8 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3929966E-7 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3929966E-6 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Mojave N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9402112E-4 | 0.00175 | 9.019637 | 0.0018736952 | 0.00168 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.312543E-4 | 0.00266 | 3.1999836 | 0.0030693922 | 0.00224 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010073684 | 0.00834 | 0.8278997 | 0.013201851 | 0.00316 | 0.05023708 | 0.09832245 | 0.05709 | 0.5806405 | 0.10202835 | 0.00411 |
6.1 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9402112E-4 | 0.00175 | 9.019637 | 0.0018736952 | 0.00168 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.312543E-4 | 0.00266 | 3.1999836 | 0.0030693922 | 0.00224 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010073684 | 0.00834 | 0.8278997 | 0.013201851 | 0.00316 | 0.05023708 | 0.09832245 | 0.05709 | 0.5806405 | 0.10202835 | 0.00411 |
6.2 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9402112E-4 | 0.00175 | 9.019637 | 0.0018736952 | 0.00168 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.312543E-4 | 0.00266 | 3.1999836 | 0.0030693922 | 0.00224 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010073684 | 0.00834 | 0.8278997 | 0.013201851 | 0.00316 | 0.05023708 | 0.09832245 | 0.05709 | 0.5806405 | 0.10202835 | 0.00411 |
6.3 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9402112E-4 | 0.00175 | 9.019637 | 0.0018736952 | 0.00168 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.312543E-4 | 0.00266 | 3.1999836 | 0.0030693922 | 0.00224 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010073684 | 0.00834 | 0.8278997 | 0.013201851 | 0.00316 | 0.05023708 | 0.09832245 | 0.05709 | 0.5806405 | 0.10202835 | 0.00411 |
6.4 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9402112E-4 | 0.00175 | 9.019637 | 0.0018736952 | 0.00168 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.312543E-4 | 0.00266 | 3.1999836 | 0.0030693922 | 0.00224 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010073684 | 0.00834 | 0.8278997 | 0.013201851 | 0.00316 | 0.05023708 | 0.09832245 | 0.05709 | 0.5806405 | 0.10202835 | 0.00411 |
6.5 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.937588E-4 | 0.00175 | 9.031848 | 0.0018734332 | 0.00168 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.3013077E-4 | 0.00266 | 3.2043145 | 0.0030682713 | 0.00224 | 0.0051326132 | 0.0100601325 | 0.00834 | 0.82901496 | 0.013188343 | 0.00316 | 0.050156746 | 0.09820035 | 0.05701 | 0.58054787 | 0.10190675 | 0.00411 |
6.6 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.937588E-4 | 0.00175 | 9.031848 | 0.0018734332 | 0.00168 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.3013077E-4 | 0.00266 | 3.2043145 | 0.0030682713 | 0.00224 | 0.0051326132 | 0.0100601325 | 0.00834 | 0.82901496 | 0.013188343 | 0.00316 | 0.050156746 | 0.09820035 | 0.05701 | 0.58054787 | 0.10190675 | 0.00411 |
6.7 | 9.8552715E-5 | 1.9365833E-4 | 0.00175 | 9.036533 | 0.001873333 | 0.00168 | 4.223004E-4 | 8.2970044E-4 | 0.00265 | 3.1939237 | 0.003067842 | 0.00224 | 0.0051293927 | 0.010054941 | 0.00833 | 0.8284484 | 0.013183168 | 0.00316 | 0.050125998 | 0.09815356 | 0.05697 | 0.58041704 | 0.10186015 | 0.00411 |
6.8 | 9.8464974E-5 | 1.9350994E-4 | 0.00175 | 9.043463 | 0.0018731848 | 0.00168 | 4.219245E-4 | 8.290649E-4 | 0.00265 | 3.196372 | 0.0030672078 | 0.00224 | 0.0051248376 | 0.010047276 | 0.00833 | 0.8290805 | 0.013175526 | 0.00316 | 0.05008251 | 0.09808378 | 0.05694 | 0.58052415 | 0.10179066 | 0.00411 |
6.9 | 9.825824E-5 | 1.9319002E-4 | 0.00175 | 9.058439 | 0.0018728655 | 0.00168 | 4.2103877E-4 | 8.276947E-4 | 0.00265 | 3.2016637 | 0.0030658406 | 0.00224 | 0.0051141046 | 0.010030746 | 0.00832 | 0.8294497 | 0.01315905 | 0.00316 | 0.049980022 | 0.097932965 | 0.05684 | 0.580397 | 0.101640455 | 0.00411 |
7.0 | 9.781462E-5 | 1.9250368E-4 | 0.00174 | 9.038789 | 0.0018721803 | 0.00168 | 4.1913814E-4 | 8.247551E-4 | 0.00264 | 3.2009501 | 0.0030629076 | 0.00224 | 0.005091073 | 0.009995285 | 0.00829 | 0.829391 | 0.0131237 | 0.00316 | 0.04976007 | 0.09760912 | 0.05668 | 0.5806834 | 0.10131795 | 0.00411 |
7.1 | 9.7121134E-5 | 1.9152075E-4 | 0.00174 | 9.085177 | 0.001871199 | 0.00168 | 4.1616702E-4 | 8.205452E-4 | 0.00262 | 3.192999 | 0.0030387235 | 0.00222 | 0.005055068 | 0.0099444995 | 0.00825 | 0.8296044 | 0.013043373 | 0.00313 | 0.04941613 | 0.09714571 | 0.05637 | 0.58026236 | 0.100829355 | 0.00408 |
7.2 | 9.663819E-5 | 1.9082859E-4 | 0.00173 | 9.065727 | 0.001870508 | 0.00168 | 4.1409794E-4 | 8.175807E-4 | 0.00261 | 3.1923456 | 0.0030357656 | 0.00222 | 0.0050299936 | 0.009908735 | 0.00823 | 0.8305803 | 0.013007721 | 0.00313 | 0.049176537 | 0.09681883 | 0.05628 | 0.5812919 | 0.10050381 | 0.00408 |
7.3 | 9.6277574E-5 | 1.9035369E-4 | 0.00173 | 9.088346 | 0.0018700339 | 0.00168 | 4.125529E-4 | 8.1554666E-4 | 0.00261 | 3.2003074 | 0.003033736 | 0.00222 | 0.0050112694 | 0.009884195 | 0.00823 | 0.8326424 | 0.012983258 | 0.00313 | 0.04899759 | 0.09659228 | 0.05615 | 0.58130944 | 0.10027818 | 0.00408 |
7.4 | 9.593308E-5 | 1.8975153E-4 | 0.00173 | 9.117186 | 0.0018694327 | 0.00168 | 4.1107697E-4 | 8.129676E-4 | 0.00261 | 3.21046 | 0.0030311628 | 0.00222 | 0.0049933824 | 0.009853081 | 0.00822 | 0.8342569 | 0.01295224 | 0.00313 | 0.04882661 | 0.09630986 | 0.05604 | 0.58187187 | 0.09999692 | 0.00408 |
7.5 | 9.561707E-5 | 1.8921228E-4 | 0.00173 | 9.14317 | 0.0018688944 | 0.00168 | 4.0972308E-4 | 8.106579E-4 | 0.00261 | 3.219607 | 0.0030288582 | 0.00222 | 0.0049769743 | 0.009825215 | 0.0082 | 0.8345874 | 0.012924462 | 0.00313 | 0.048669744 | 0.096056245 | 0.0559 | 0.5819507 | 0.0997353 | 0.00407 |
7.6 | 9.418194E-5 | 1.8573487E-4 | 0.00173 | 9.314352 | 0.0018654228 | 0.00168 | 4.0357444E-4 | 7.95764E-4 | 0.00261 | 3.2798672 | 0.0030139973 | 0.00222 | 0.004902454 | 0.009645499 | 0.00814 | 0.84391695 | 0.012735405 | 0.00312 | 0.047957025 | 0.094437465 | 0.05489 | 0.5812312 | 0.09810499 | 0.00405 |
7.7 | 8.202141E-5 | 1.6022482E-4 | 0.00155 | 9.673907 | 0.0016799812 | 0.00152 | 3.51473E-4 | 6.8649714E-4 | 0.00229 | 3.3357751 | 0.0026651379 | 0.00198 | 0.00427079 | 0.008326128 | 0.00705 | 0.8467321 | 0.011033398 | 0.00273 | 0.04189639 | 0.082237914 | 0.04782 | 0.5814836 | 0.0855235 | 0.00358 |
7.8 | 7.2859846E-5 | 1.4517571E-4 | 9.1E-4 | 6.268266 | 0.001025048 | 8.8E-4 | 3.1221908E-4 | 6.2203326E-4 | 0.00145 | 2.331065 | 0.0017913055 | 0.00117 | 0.003794643 | 0.0075469986 | 0.00571 | 0.75659215 | 0.009254018 | 0.00172 | 0.037304975 | 0.07472766 | 0.04205 | 0.5627099 | 0.07687429 | 0.00232 |
7.9 | 5.3874453E-5 | 1.00462625E-4 | 4.8E-4 | 4.777896 | 5.704154E-4 | 4.7E-4 | 2.3087008E-4 | 4.3048308E-4 | 8.1E-4 | 1.881607 | 0.0010402205 | 6.1E-4 | 0.0028072202 | 0.0052285474 | 0.00369 | 0.7057409 | 0.0061138943 | 8.9E-4 | 0.02772022 | 0.052425884 | 0.02877 | 0.5487747 | 0.053581923 | 0.00122 |
8.0 | 3.468538E-5 | 5.4261534E-5 | 1.9E-4 | 3.5015595 | 2.4425122E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 1.4864317E-4 | 2.3252872E-4 | 3.5E-4 | 1.5051904 | 4.7247292E-4 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0018082283 | 0.0028273636 | 0.00183 | 0.64724606 | 0.0031963175 | 3.7E-4 | 0.017935853 | 0.028948462 | 0.01507 | 0.52058035 | 0.029366015 | 4.3E-4 |
8.1 | 1.9152367E-5 | 1.9401303E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0308586 | 3.9400915E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 8.207899E-5 | 8.3145795E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 0.8418947 | 1.2314247E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 9.988535E-4 | 0.0010118305 | 5.4E-4 | 0.5336862 | 0.0010717699 | 6.0E-5 | 0.009943757 | 0.01085595 | 0.0055 | 0.5066346 | 0.0109251905 | 7.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.473668E-6 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.42628714 | 3.345813E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 0.52526844 | 2.955654E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032481793 | 0.00171 | 0.5264487 | 0.003258147 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6564595E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.6564595E-7 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.281336E-6 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9949547E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.25031573 | 3.9949547E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.717979E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.42391032 | 4.717979E-4 | 0.0 |
Nelson Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0192255E-5 | 6.5E-4 | 63.77391 | 6.5018574E-4 | 6.4E-4 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.3680422E-5 | 0.00105 | 24.038229 | 0.0010636359 | 0.00102 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.316897E-4 | 0.00256 | 4.8148384 | 0.0026305732 | 0.0021 | 0.0051593683 | 0.005305204 | 0.01026 | 1.9339502 | 0.008856264 | 0.00357 |
6.1 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0192255E-5 | 6.5E-4 | 63.77391 | 6.5018574E-4 | 6.4E-4 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.3680422E-5 | 0.00105 | 24.038229 | 0.0010636359 | 0.00102 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.316897E-4 | 0.00256 | 4.8148384 | 0.0026305732 | 0.0021 | 0.0051593683 | 0.005305204 | 0.01026 | 1.9339502 | 0.008856264 | 0.00357 |
6.2 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.696313E-6 | 2.6E-4 | 55.36258 | 2.5469513E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0126909E-5 | 4.7E-4 | 23.351824 | 4.6011806E-4 | 4.4E-4 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4501883E-4 | 0.00112 | 4.5710773 | 0.0011847885 | 9.4E-4 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024476128 | 0.00465 | 1.8998103 | 0.004113525 | 0.00167 |
6.3 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.696313E-6 | 2.6E-4 | 55.36258 | 2.5469513E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0126909E-5 | 4.7E-4 | 23.351824 | 4.6011806E-4 | 4.4E-4 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4501883E-4 | 0.00112 | 4.5710773 | 0.0011847885 | 9.4E-4 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024476128 | 0.00465 | 1.8998103 | 0.004113525 | 0.00167 |
6.4 | 3.4025713E-6 | 3.5098972E-6 | 2.1E-4 | 59.83081 | 2.0350919E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4582367E-5 | 1.5042335E-5 | 3.6E-4 | 23.932455 | 3.4503738E-4 | 3.3E-4 | 1.7752586E-4 | 1.8312587E-4 | 7.7E-4 | 4.204758 | 8.43005E-4 | 6.6E-4 | 0.001773841 | 0.0018298327 | 0.00328 | 1.7925136 | 0.0029777284 | 0.00115 |
6.5 | 2.8352947E-6 | 2.927856E-6 | 1.9E-4 | 64.8939 | 1.929273E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 1.2151207E-5 | 1.2547898E-5 | 2.7E-4 | 21.517548 | 2.7254462E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 1.479309E-4 | 1.5276071E-4 | 6.1E-4 | 3.9931736 | 6.8267976E-4 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0014783246 | 0.0015266308 | 0.0027 | 1.7686005 | 0.0025051348 | 9.8E-4 |
6.6 | 2.251518E-6 | 2.3290677E-6 | 1.4E-4 | 60.109894 | 1.4232875E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 9.649328E-6 | 9.981683E-6 | 2.2E-4 | 22.04037 | 2.1997959E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 1.1747423E-4 | 1.2152085E-4 | 4.8E-4 | 3.9499395 | 5.3147104E-4 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0011741214 | 0.0012146058 | 0.00219 | 1.8030542 | 0.0019936583 | 7.8E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8911853E-6 | 1.9591396E-6 | 1.4E-4 | 71.45994 | 1.4195887E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 8.105055E-6 | 8.39629E-6 | 2.1E-4 | 25.01105 | 2.0839462E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 9.867457E-5 | 1.0222061E-4 | 4.5E-4 | 4.402243 | 4.8218176E-4 | 3.8E-4 | 9.863076E-4 | 0.0010217935 | 0.00179 | 1.7518218 | 0.0017110883 | 6.9E-4 |
6.8 | 1.4874814E-6 | 1.5438305E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 64.77395 | 1.0154368E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.374905E-6 | 6.6164025E-6 | 1.6E-4 | 24.182325 | 1.5661541E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 7.76117E-5 | 8.055224E-5 | 3.8E-4 | 4.7174354 | 4.0052648E-4 | 3.2E-4 | 7.75846E-4 | 8.0528157E-4 | 0.00149 | 1.8502846 | 0.0014147903 | 6.1E-4 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.1399285E-7 | 5.0E-5 | 70.02872 | 5.0713956E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0599674E-6 | 6.0E-5 | 19.608051 | 6.3059786E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.7254784E-5 | 2.3E-4 | 6.1737037 | 2.2724771E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7251666E-4 | 8.1E-4 | 2.1743994 | 7.1239E-4 | 3.4E-4 |
Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.396349E-5 | 0.00107 | 24.338379 | 0.0011039169 | 0.00106 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8840231E-4 | 0.00157 | 8.333231 | 0.0016881197 | 0.0015 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022915571 | 0.00354 | 1.5448011 | 0.0049055535 | 0.00262 | 0.019349206 | 0.022697281 | 0.01545 | 0.6806983 | 0.026362166 | 0.00375 |
6.1 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.396349E-5 | 0.00107 | 24.338379 | 0.0011039169 | 0.00106 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8840231E-4 | 0.00157 | 8.333231 | 0.0016881197 | 0.0015 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022915571 | 0.00354 | 1.5448011 | 0.0049055535 | 0.00262 | 0.019349206 | 0.022697281 | 0.01545 | 0.6806983 | 0.026362166 | 0.00375 |
6.2 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.396349E-5 | 0.00107 | 24.338379 | 0.0011039169 | 0.00106 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8840231E-4 | 0.00157 | 8.333231 | 0.0016881197 | 0.0015 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022915571 | 0.00354 | 1.5448011 | 0.0049055535 | 0.00262 | 0.019349206 | 0.022697281 | 0.01545 | 0.6806983 | 0.026362166 | 0.00375 |
6.3 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.5354384E-5 | 3.8E-4 | 14.987546 | 4.0534476E-4 | 3.8E-4 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0865723E-4 | 5.3E-4 | 4.877724 | 5.8860506E-4 | 4.8E-4 | 0.0010993304 | 0.0013221189 | 0.00148 | 1.1194152 | 0.0022508893 | 9.3E-4 | 0.010939079 | 0.013144747 | 0.00818 | 0.6223018 | 0.014536213 | 0.00141 |
6.4 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.5354384E-5 | 3.8E-4 | 14.987546 | 4.0534476E-4 | 3.8E-4 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0865723E-4 | 5.3E-4 | 4.877724 | 5.8860506E-4 | 4.8E-4 | 0.0010993304 | 0.0013221189 | 0.00148 | 1.1194152 | 0.0022508893 | 9.3E-4 | 0.010939079 | 0.013144747 | 0.00818 | 0.6223018 | 0.014536213 | 0.00141 |
6.5 | 1.7397282E-5 | 2.0663285E-5 | 2.5E-4 | 12.098754 | 2.706581E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 7.455765E-5 | 8.8554E-5 | 3.7E-4 | 4.1782417 | 4.1852478E-4 | 3.3E-4 | 9.073613E-4 | 0.0010776235 | 0.00105 | 0.97436637 | 0.0017269229 | 6.5E-4 | 0.009036654 | 0.010725273 | 0.00642 | 0.59858614 | 0.011645298 | 9.3E-4 |
6.6 | 1.52050325E-5 | 1.7680086E-5 | 2.2E-4 | 12.443379 | 2.376762E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 6.51628E-5 | 7.576964E-5 | 3.4E-4 | 4.4872856 | 3.757469E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 7.9306826E-4 | 9.221128E-4 | 9.5E-4 | 1.0302427 | 0.001501578 | 5.8E-4 | 0.007902439 | 0.009183729 | 0.0057 | 0.6206629 | 0.009996198 | 8.2E-4 |
6.7 | 1.332523E-5 | 1.5264379E-5 | 1.9E-4 | 12.44728 | 2.0526147E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 5.7106878E-5 | 6.541716E-5 | 3.1E-4 | 4.7388177 | 3.353995E-4 | 2.7E-4 | 6.950544E-4 | 7.9616875E-4 | 8.1E-4 | 1.0173723 | 0.0012957706 | 5.0E-4 | 0.006928845 | 0.0079337945 | 0.00492 | 0.620132 | 0.008618319 | 6.9E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1525329E-5 | 1.3031365E-5 | 1.5E-4 | 11.51069 | 1.6302941E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 4.9393333E-5 | 5.5847537E-5 | 2.5E-4 | 4.4764733 | 2.7583525E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 6.011979E-4 | 6.7973585E-4 | 6.9E-4 | 1.0151002 | 0.0010994504 | 4.2E-4 | 0.00599574 | 0.0067770192 | 0.00428 | 0.6315461 | 0.007333224 | 5.6E-4 |
6.9 | 1.0253909E-5 | 1.1514835E-5 | 1.3E-4 | 11.289784 | 1.4151334E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 4.3944583E-5 | 4.934838E-5 | 2.1E-4 | 4.255459 | 2.39339E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 5.3489394E-4 | 6.006545E-4 | 5.9E-4 | 0.98226184 | 9.604383E-4 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0053360825 | 0.0059906896 | 0.00368 | 0.61428654 | 0.006477754 | 4.9E-4 |
7.0 | 8.104563E-6 | 8.99143E-6 | 7.0E-5 | 7.7851906 | 7.89908E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 3.4733377E-5 | 3.853415E-5 | 1.5E-4 | 3.8926513 | 1.6852914E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 4.2279682E-4 | 4.6905465E-4 | 4.4E-4 | 0.938057 | 7.189374E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0042199334 | 0.0046808943 | 0.00285 | 0.608858 | 0.0049993964 | 3.2E-4 |
7.1 | 6.7986157E-6 | 7.5159796E-6 | 5.0E-5 | 6.6524925 | 5.7515605E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.91366E-5 | 3.2210955E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.1045337 | 1.1220838E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 3.5468035E-4 | 3.9209996E-4 | 3.4E-4 | 0.8671258 | 5.620333E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 0.003541148 | 0.003914298 | 0.00233 | 0.59525365 | 0.0041433973 | 2.3E-4 |
7.2 | 5.6893327E-6 | 6.280132E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 6.3692927 | 4.627988E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 2.4382627E-5 | 2.6914584E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 2.6008203 | 7.691324E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.9681803E-4 | 3.276378E-4 | 2.7E-4 | 0.82408077 | 4.6759192E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.002964219 | 0.003271746 | 0.00184 | 0.5623908 | 0.0034611244 | 1.9E-4 |
7.3 | 4.253348E-6 | 4.707075E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 6.373385 | 3.4706933E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8228506E-5 | 2.017303E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.4785566 | 5.0172428E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2190946E-4 | 2.455808E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.7329563 | 3.4555624E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00221688 | 0.0024532753 | 0.00141 | 0.5747419 | 0.0025929317 | 1.4E-4 |
7.4 | 2.5448119E-6 | 2.8520594E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5062382 | 1.28520305E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0906291E-5 | 1.2223064E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.4543765 | 2.2222941E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3277601E-4 | 1.4880729E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.60480905 | 1.9879985E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001326967 | 0.0014872387 | 8.5E-4 | 0.571529 | 0.0015471495 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.3706837E-8 | 4.562909E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.562909E-8 | 0.0 | 1.8731501E-7 | 1.9555324E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9555324E-7 | 0.0 | 2.2805577E-6 | 2.3808586E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3808586E-6 | 0.0 | 2.2805343E-5 | 2.3808387E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3808387E-5 | 0.0 |
Towne Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894542E-6 | 7.0E-4 | 179.73872 | 7.038918E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690812E-5 | 0.00115 | 68.900185 | 0.0011566718 | 0.00114 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319606E-4 | 0.00243 | 11.958894 | 0.0024527388 | 0.00225 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305319 | 0.00516 | 2.5412061 | 0.00535377 | 0.00333 |
6.1 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894542E-6 | 7.0E-4 | 179.73872 | 7.038918E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690812E-5 | 0.00115 | 68.900185 | 0.0011566718 | 0.00114 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319606E-4 | 0.00243 | 11.958894 | 0.0024527388 | 0.00225 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305319 | 0.00516 | 2.5412061 | 0.00535377 | 0.00333 |
6.2 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894542E-6 | 7.0E-4 | 179.73872 | 7.038918E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690812E-5 | 0.00115 | 68.900185 | 0.0011566718 | 0.00114 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319606E-4 | 0.00243 | 11.958894 | 0.0024527388 | 0.00225 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305319 | 0.00516 | 2.5412061 | 0.00535377 | 0.00333 |
6.3 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894542E-6 | 7.0E-4 | 179.73872 | 7.038918E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690812E-5 | 0.00115 | 68.900185 | 0.0011566718 | 0.00114 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319606E-4 | 0.00243 | 11.958894 | 0.0024527388 | 0.00225 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305319 | 0.00516 | 2.5412061 | 0.00535377 | 0.00333 |
6.4 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894542E-6 | 7.0E-4 | 179.73872 | 7.038918E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690812E-5 | 0.00115 | 68.900185 | 0.0011566718 | 0.00114 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319606E-4 | 0.00243 | 11.958894 | 0.0024527388 | 0.00225 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305319 | 0.00516 | 2.5412061 | 0.00535377 | 0.00333 |
6.5 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2030526E-6 | 1.3E-4 | 108.05845 | 1.3120289E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.15593E-6 | 2.3E-4 | 44.608826 | 2.251548E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.277176E-5 | 4.0E-4 | 6.372292 | 4.3274852E-4 | 3.7E-4 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.2755204E-4 | 9.7E-4 | 1.5456886 | 0.0011971943 | 5.7E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2030526E-6 | 1.3E-4 | 108.05845 | 1.3120289E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.15593E-6 | 2.3E-4 | 44.608826 | 2.251548E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.277176E-5 | 4.0E-4 | 6.372292 | 4.3274852E-4 | 3.7E-4 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.2755204E-4 | 9.7E-4 | 1.5456886 | 0.0011971943 | 5.7E-4 |
6.7 | 8.375951E-7 | 8.410676E-7 | 7.0E-5 | 83.227554 | 7.084101E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 3.5896885E-6 | 3.6045708E-6 | 1.3E-4 | 36.06532 | 1.2360414E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 4.370358E-5 | 4.3884826E-5 | 2.4E-4 | 5.4688606 | 2.6387518E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 4.3694986E-4 | 4.3876728E-4 | 5.9E-4 | 1.3446764 | 7.2864007E-4 | 2.9E-4 |
6.8 | 6.38041E-7 | 6.3921624E-7 | 6.0E-5 | 93.86495 | 6.0639177E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 2.7344586E-6 | 2.7394954E-6 | 9.0E-5 | 32.852764 | 8.273928E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 3.3291526E-5 | 3.3352884E-5 | 1.8E-4 | 5.3968344 | 1.9334754E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 3.3286537E-4 | 3.334826E-4 | 4.3E-4 | 1.2894226 | 5.434126E-4 | 2.1E-4 |
6.9 | 5.3460053E-7 | 5.345339E-7 | 5.0E-5 | 93.53944 | 5.053451E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.2911431E-6 | 2.2908578E-6 | 8.0E-5 | 34.921417 | 7.22907E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 2.789431E-5 | 2.7890868E-5 | 1.4E-4 | 5.0195637 | 1.5788725E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 2.789081E-4 | 2.78877E-4 | 3.4E-4 | 1.2191755 | 4.588268E-4 | 1.8E-4 |
7.0 | 3.557783E-7 | 3.5324283E-7 | 2.0E-5 | 56.618275 | 2.0353236E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5247632E-6 | 1.513897E-6 | 5.0E-5 | 33.027344 | 4.1513835E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.8563835E-5 | 1.8431549E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 4.8829317 | 9.843007E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 1.8562283E-4 | 1.8430105E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 0.8681448 | 2.7428445E-4 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.037942E-7 | 3.0002275E-7 | 1.0E-5 | 33.330803 | 1.0300019E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3019744E-6 | 1.2858112E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 31.108765 | 3.1285774E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5851423E-5 | 1.5654647E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 5.110304 | 8.565355E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 1.5850292E-4 | 1.5653619E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.89436185 | 2.3652367E-4 | 8.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0808248E-7 | 2.0217735E-7 | 1.0E-5 | 49.46153 | 1.0202175E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 8.917818E-7 | 8.6647407E-7 | 4.0E-5 | 46.164104 | 3.086645E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0857389E-5 | 1.0549275E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 5.6875944 | 6.0548748E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.0856859E-4 | 1.0548821E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 1.0427706 | 1.6548188E-4 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.1162073E-7 | 1.0636902E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0636902E-7 | 0.0 | 4.7837443E-7 | 4.5586717E-7 | 2.0E-5 | 43.87243 | 2.0455858E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 5.8241935E-6 | 5.5501705E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 5.405239 | 3.5550005E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 5.8240406E-5 | 5.550052E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 1.441428 | 9.5498304E-5 | 4.0E-5 |
Bicycle Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.2097078E-5 | 4.5E-4 | 20.364683 | 4.6208737E-4 | 4.4E-4 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.4699084E-5 | 6.7E-4 | 7.075042 | 6.9464225E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011524865 | 0.00217 | 1.8828853 | 0.002361092 | 0.00121 | 0.01018633 | 0.011478408 | 0.01298 | 1.1308188 | 0.013593844 | 0.00214 |
6.1 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.2097078E-5 | 4.5E-4 | 20.364683 | 4.6208737E-4 | 4.4E-4 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.4699084E-5 | 6.7E-4 | 7.075042 | 6.9464225E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011524865 | 0.00217 | 1.8828853 | 0.002361092 | 0.00121 | 0.01018633 | 0.011478408 | 0.01298 | 1.1308188 | 0.013593844 | 0.00214 |
6.2 | 9.9971285E-6 | 1.125564E-5 | 2.6E-4 | 23.099531 | 2.712527E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 4.2844134E-5 | 4.8237856E-5 | 4.0E-4 | 8.292242 | 3.9822096E-4 | 3.5E-4 | 5.2150246E-4 | 5.871897E-4 | 0.00132 | 2.247996 | 0.0013467434 | 7.6E-4 | 0.0052028033 | 0.005861487 | 0.00721 | 1.2300633 | 0.0072234566 | 0.00137 |
6.3 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0798346E-5 | 2.4E-4 | 22.225626 | 2.5079577E-4 | 2.4E-4 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.62781E-5 | 3.8E-4 | 8.211227 | 3.7626282E-4 | 3.3E-4 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.6334207E-4 | 0.00127 | 2.2544029 | 0.0012829364 | 7.2E-4 | 0.0049911533 | 0.0056242296 | 0.00691 | 1.2286127 | 0.006926862 | 0.00131 |
6.4 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0798346E-5 | 2.4E-4 | 22.225626 | 2.5079577E-4 | 2.4E-4 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.62781E-5 | 3.8E-4 | 8.211227 | 3.7626282E-4 | 3.3E-4 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.6334207E-4 | 0.00127 | 2.2544029 | 0.0012829364 | 7.2E-4 | 0.0049911533 | 0.0056242296 | 0.00691 | 1.2286127 | 0.006926862 | 0.00131 |
6.5 | 5.557707E-6 | 6.2856016E-6 | 1.4E-4 | 22.273127 | 1.4628473E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 2.3818526E-5 | 2.6938165E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 7.4244103 | 2.1693305E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 2.8995197E-4 | 3.279497E-4 | 6.8E-4 | 2.0734887 | 7.578087E-4 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0028957394 | 0.0032772934 | 0.00399 | 1.217468 | 0.004124508 | 8.5E-4 |
6.6 | 4.8742945E-6 | 5.5132896E-6 | 1.2E-4 | 21.765589 | 1.2551263E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 2.0889667E-5 | 2.3628318E-5 | 1.6E-4 | 6.771536 | 1.7362478E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 2.54302E-4 | 2.87663E-4 | 5.6E-4 | 1.9467224 | 6.375623E-4 | 3.5E-4 | 0.002540112 | 0.0028754752 | 0.00343 | 1.1928463 | 0.00355352 | 6.8E-4 |
6.7 | 3.991108E-6 | 4.5159104E-6 | 9.0E-5 | 19.929537 | 9.4515504E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 1.7104636E-5 | 1.9353902E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 6.2003 | 1.2935177E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 2.0822904E-4 | 2.3563375E-4 | 4.3E-4 | 1.8248659 | 5.0557015E-4 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0020803404 | 0.0023563374 | 0.00277 | 1.1755532 | 0.002915018 | 5.6E-4 |
Paradise
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6694768E-5 | 4.8E-4 | 28.751522 | 4.966867E-4 | 4.8E-4 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.154718E-5 | 6.9E-4 | 9.643986 | 7.4149924E-4 | 6.7E-4 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.707624E-4 | 0.00181 | 2.0786383 | 0.0021096827 | 0.00124 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008675884 | 0.00913 | 1.0523423 | 0.010836971 | 0.00218 |
6.1 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6694768E-5 | 4.8E-4 | 28.751522 | 4.966867E-4 | 4.8E-4 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.154718E-5 | 6.9E-4 | 9.643986 | 7.4149924E-4 | 6.7E-4 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.707624E-4 | 0.00181 | 2.0786383 | 0.0021096827 | 0.00124 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008675884 | 0.00913 | 1.0523423 | 0.010836971 | 0.00218 |
6.2 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6694768E-5 | 4.8E-4 | 28.751522 | 4.966867E-4 | 4.8E-4 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.154718E-5 | 6.9E-4 | 9.643986 | 7.4149924E-4 | 6.7E-4 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.707624E-4 | 0.00181 | 2.0786383 | 0.0021096827 | 0.00124 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008675884 | 0.00913 | 1.0523423 | 0.010836971 | 0.00218 |
6.3 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.1888697E-5 | 2.4E-4 | 20.18724 | 2.5188585E-4 | 2.4E-4 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.09506E-5 | 3.4E-4 | 6.6731305 | 3.709343E-4 | 3.2E-4 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.201529E-4 | 9.7E-4 | 1.5641303 | 0.0012097871 | 5.9E-4 | 0.0054258266 | 0.0061848317 | 0.00549 | 0.8876555 | 0.0071587707 | 9.8E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.1888697E-5 | 2.4E-4 | 20.18724 | 2.5188585E-4 | 2.4E-4 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.09506E-5 | 3.4E-4 | 6.6731305 | 3.709343E-4 | 3.2E-4 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.201529E-4 | 9.7E-4 | 1.5641303 | 0.0012097871 | 5.9E-4 | 0.0054258266 | 0.0061848317 | 0.00549 | 0.8876555 | 0.0071587707 | 9.8E-4 |
6.5 | 9.25027E-6 | 1.0620037E-5 | 2.1E-4 | 19.773941 | 2.206178E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 3.964341E-5 | 4.551368E-5 | 2.7E-4 | 5.9322824 | 2.955023E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 4.8255164E-4 | 5.5399304E-4 | 7.5E-4 | 1.3538076 | 0.0010037437 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0048150513 | 0.0055266195 | 0.00459 | 0.83052576 | 0.0062426403 | 7.2E-4 |
6.6 | 7.904275E-6 | 9.159602E-6 | 1.6E-4 | 17.468006 | 1.6915814E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 3.3875025E-5 | 3.925487E-5 | 2.1E-4 | 5.3496547 | 2.2924741E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 4.1235037E-4 | 4.7782718E-4 | 5.4E-4 | 1.1301157 | 7.776838E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0041158604 | 0.004768395 | 0.00355 | 0.7444854 | 0.0052062967 | 4.4E-4 |
6.7 | 7.2061953E-6 | 8.407326E-6 | 1.4E-4 | 16.652143 | 1.4840615E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 3.088333E-5 | 3.603092E-5 | 1.8E-4 | 4.9957094 | 1.9602515E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 3.7593965E-4 | 4.3859181E-4 | 4.4E-4 | 1.0032107 | 6.7848654E-4 | 2.4E-4 | 0.003753043 | 0.004377631 | 0.00318 | 0.7264203 | 0.004736055 | 3.6E-4 |
6.8 | 6.6948724E-6 | 7.842242E-6 | 1.1E-4 | 14.026602 | 1.1784138E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 2.8691995E-5 | 3.3609194E-5 | 1.5E-4 | 4.463064 | 1.6360483E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 3.4926904E-4 | 4.091187E-4 | 3.7E-4 | 0.904383 | 5.7904917E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 0.003487206 | 0.0040840125 | 0.00291 | 0.7125345 | 0.004372828 | 2.9E-4 |
6.9 | 6.0421025E-6 | 7.1306963E-6 | 8.0E-5 | 11.219101 | 8.713012E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 2.5894467E-5 | 3.0559786E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 3.5995014 | 1.2055704E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 3.1521954E-4 | 3.7200528E-4 | 3.1E-4 | 0.8333215 | 5.019569E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0031477278 | 0.0037141638 | 0.00266 | 0.71617734 | 0.0039433097 | 2.3E-4 |
7.0 | 4.134091E-6 | 5.0803824E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 5.905067 | 3.508023E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7717413E-5 | 2.1772896E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 2.75572 | 6.177202E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 2.1568815E-4 | 2.650543E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 0.64137805 | 3.250384E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0021547892 | 0.0026475347 | 0.00174 | 0.6572152 | 0.0027572436 | 1.1E-4 |
7.1 | 3.7674888E-6 | 4.631936E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 6.4767733 | 3.4631797E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6146281E-5 | 1.9851012E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 3.022516 | 5.985022E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9656324E-4 | 2.4166079E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 0.66208506 | 3.016463E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0019638946 | 0.0024141306 | 0.00158 | 0.6544799 | 0.0025039134 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.4065345E-6 | 4.156782E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 7.217121 | 3.4156656E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4599351E-5 | 1.7814667E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 3.3680112 | 5.7813955E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.777326E-4 | 2.168735E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 0.69164747 | 2.7686046E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0017759053 | 0.0021667667 | 0.00142 | 0.6553544 | 0.0022465934 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.9934936E-6 | 3.6293673E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5106025 | 2.3629294E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2829195E-5 | 1.5554348E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 3.2145355 | 4.555388E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5618425E-4 | 1.8935918E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.6337163 | 2.3934973E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0015607453 | 0.0018921237 | 0.00125 | 0.6606333 | 0.0019619912 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.4049796E-6 | 2.8890186E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 6.922766 | 2.288896E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0307015E-5 | 1.2381457E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 4.0382967 | 4.2381085E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2548068E-4 | 1.5073526E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.7297563 | 2.0072772E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0012540985 | 0.0015064715 | 0.00106 | 0.7036309 | 0.0015663812 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2710091E-6 | 1.5134859E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 13.214526 | 2.1513455E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 5.44717E-6 | 6.4863593E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 6.1667876 | 3.6486166E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 6.631728E-5 | 7.896981E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 0.8864147 | 1.2896587E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 6.6297496E-4 | 7.895401E-4 | 4.4E-4 | 0.55728644 | 8.3950063E-4 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 2.0E-5 | 76.80433 | 2.0260397E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160082E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 17.921017 | 2.1115986E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2079372 | 4.3586937E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7360088 | 1.6586386E-4 | 3.0E-5 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.160784E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 2.8473947 | 0.0010958319 | 7.8E-4 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013539245 | 0.00167 | 1.2334514 | 0.002342584 | 9.9E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016360939 | 0.01011 | 0.6179352 | 0.01780689 | 0.00147 | 0.07177748 | 0.15021163 | 0.0884 | 0.58850306 | 0.1518857 | 0.00197 |
6.1 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.160784E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 2.8473947 | 0.0010958319 | 7.8E-4 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013539245 | 0.00167 | 1.2334514 | 0.002342584 | 9.9E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016360939 | 0.01011 | 0.6179352 | 0.01780689 | 0.00147 | 0.07177748 | 0.15021163 | 0.0884 | 0.58850306 | 0.1518857 | 0.00197 |
6.2 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.160784E-4 | 9.0E-4 | 2.8473947 | 0.0010958319 | 7.8E-4 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013539245 | 0.00167 | 1.2334514 | 0.002342584 | 9.9E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016360939 | 0.01011 | 0.6179352 | 0.01780689 | 0.00147 | 0.07177748 | 0.15021163 | 0.0884 | 0.58850306 | 0.1518857 | 0.00197 |
6.3 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.0512668E-4 | 8.9E-4 | 2.9168212 | 0.0010748918 | 7.7E-4 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.001307036 | 0.00161 | 1.2317946 | 0.0022857552 | 9.8E-4 | 0.0071393442 | 0.015798455 | 0.00978 | 0.6190479 | 0.017235389 | 0.00146 | 0.06914291 | 0.1455135 | 0.08573 | 0.5891549 | 0.1471883 | 0.00196 |
6.4 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.0512668E-4 | 8.9E-4 | 2.9168212 | 0.0010748918 | 7.7E-4 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.001307036 | 0.00161 | 1.2317946 | 0.0022857552 | 9.8E-4 | 0.0071393442 | 0.015798455 | 0.00978 | 0.6190479 | 0.017235389 | 0.00146 | 0.06914291 | 0.1455135 | 0.08573 | 0.5891549 | 0.1471883 | 0.00196 |
6.5 | 1.2942807E-4 | 2.8927144E-4 | 8.6E-4 | 2.9729862 | 0.0010490516 | 7.6E-4 | 5.545738E-4 | 0.0012391509 | 0.00155 | 1.2508565 | 0.0022079488 | 9.7E-4 | 0.0067310524 | 0.014983548 | 0.00935 | 0.6240178 | 0.01641182 | 0.00145 | 0.06530788 | 0.13865088 | 0.08163 | 0.58874494 | 0.14033051 | 0.00195 |
6.6 | 1.1125901E-4 | 2.5365927E-4 | 8.4E-4 | 3.3115292 | 0.001003469 | 7.5E-4 | 4.767372E-4 | 0.0010866605 | 0.00145 | 1.3343635 | 0.0020456172 | 9.6E-4 | 0.005788839 | 0.0131504685 | 0.00821 | 0.62431234 | 0.014571532 | 0.00144 | 0.056403454 | 0.12300496 | 0.07231 | 0.5878625 | 0.12470633 | 0.00194 |
6.7 | 1.02209575E-4 | 2.3500937E-4 | 8.2E-4 | 3.4892225 | 9.748355E-4 | 7.4E-4 | 4.3796748E-4 | 0.0010067957 | 0.00142 | 1.4104153 | 0.0019458493 | 9.4E-4 | 0.0053192247 | 0.012189267 | 0.00766 | 0.6284217 | 0.013572202 | 0.0014 | 0.051936906 | 0.114792764 | 0.06685 | 0.5823538 | 0.116448104 | 0.00187 |
6.8 | 9.610582E-5 | 2.2026796E-4 | 8.1E-4 | 3.6773393 | 9.501072E-4 | 7.3E-4 | 4.1181705E-4 | 9.436647E-4 | 0.00139 | 1.4729809 | 0.0018727871 | 9.3E-4 | 0.0050023515 | 0.011428859 | 0.0073 | 0.6387339 | 0.012802973 | 0.00139 | 0.048912346 | 0.10820469 | 0.06253 | 0.5778862 | 0.10985451 | 0.00185 |
6.9 | 9.3877505E-5 | 2.1482339E-4 | 8.1E-4 | 3.770539 | 9.4466656E-4 | 7.3E-4 | 4.0227012E-4 | 9.203475E-4 | 0.00139 | 1.5102991 | 0.0018494916 | 9.3E-4 | 0.0048866454 | 0.011147907 | 0.00716 | 0.642273 | 0.012502634 | 0.00137 | 0.04780577 | 0.105798274 | 0.06079 | 0.57458407 | 0.10742572 | 0.00182 |
7.0 | 9.1019785E-5 | 2.0809306E-4 | 8.1E-4 | 3.8924892 | 9.3794113E-4 | 7.3E-4 | 3.900265E-4 | 8.915232E-4 | 0.00138 | 1.5479126 | 0.0018206941 | 9.3E-4 | 0.0047382377 | 0.0108004995 | 0.007 | 0.64811814 | 0.012145811 | 0.00136 | 0.046384744 | 0.10276815 | 0.05875 | 0.5716752 | 0.10439214 | 0.00181 |
7.1 | 8.771155E-5 | 1.9983841E-4 | 7.9E-4 | 3.9531941 | 9.1969455E-4 | 7.2E-4 | 3.758525E-4 | 8.5616973E-4 | 0.00135 | 1.5767901 | 0.0017753821 | 9.2E-4 | 0.0045664064 | 0.010374243 | 0.00673 | 0.64872205 | 0.011710238 | 0.00135 | 0.044737056 | 0.09907644 | 0.05639 | 0.5691565 | 0.100698106 | 0.0018 |
7.2 | 8.0830236E-5 | 1.8389444E-4 | 7.6E-4 | 4.132806 | 8.7376754E-4 | 6.9E-4 | 3.4636928E-4 | 7.8788114E-4 | 0.00131 | 1.6626873 | 0.0016671878 | 8.8E-4 | 0.0042088944 | 0.009550368 | 0.00624 | 0.65337795 | 0.010847857 | 0.00131 | 0.041300658 | 0.09180518 | 0.05226 | 0.5692489 | 0.09338544 | 0.00174 |
7.3 | 7.7668235E-5 | 1.7333007E-4 | 7.4E-4 | 4.269311 | 8.532122E-4 | 6.8E-4 | 3.328214E-4 | 7.426318E-4 | 0.00124 | 1.6697373 | 0.0015920006 | 8.5E-4 | 0.0040445733 | 0.009004138 | 0.00593 | 0.6585861 | 0.010252793 | 0.00126 | 0.03971748 | 0.08706761 | 0.04923 | 0.56542265 | 0.08859221 | 0.00167 |
7.4 | 7.520177E-5 | 1.655312E-4 | 7.3E-4 | 4.410045 | 8.354203E-4 | 6.7E-4 | 3.2225347E-4 | 7.092266E-4 | 0.00121 | 1.7060839 | 0.0015486308 | 8.4E-4 | 0.0039163795 | 0.008600714 | 0.00563 | 0.65459687 | 0.009830048 | 0.00124 | 0.038480744 | 0.08352157 | 0.04688 | 0.5612922 | 0.08502459 | 0.00164 |
7.5 | 7.274697E-5 | 1.584075E-4 | 7.2E-4 | 4.5452394 | 8.18303E-4 | 6.6E-4 | 3.1173544E-4 | 6.7871273E-4 | 0.00119 | 1.7533191 | 0.0015081494 | 8.3E-4 | 0.003788775 | 0.008232076 | 0.00548 | 0.6656887 | 0.009451951 | 0.00123 | 0.03724827 | 0.08023654 | 0.0447 | 0.5571028 | 0.08173575 | 0.00163 |
7.6 | 7.1185845E-5 | 1.5410586E-4 | 7.2E-4 | 4.672113 | 8.1400416E-4 | 6.6E-4 | 3.0504653E-4 | 6.602866E-4 | 0.00119 | 1.8022478 | 0.0014897385 | 8.3E-4 | 0.0037076178 | 0.0080094095 | 0.00535 | 0.66796434 | 0.009229558 | 0.00123 | 0.036463667 | 0.07822661 | 0.04354 | 0.55658805 | 0.0797291 | 0.00163 |
7.7 | 6.709961E-5 | 1.4319421E-4 | 7.1E-4 | 4.958301 | 8.030997E-4 | 6.6E-4 | 2.8753807E-4 | 6.135452E-4 | 0.00115 | 1.8743526 | 0.0014430359 | 8.3E-4 | 0.003495157 | 0.0074443663 | 0.00509 | 0.6837385 | 0.00866521 | 0.00123 | 0.034406938 | 0.07305558 | 0.04081 | 0.5586158 | 0.0745665 | 0.00163 |
7.8 | 6.300812E-5 | 1.320343E-4 | 6.8E-4 | 5.1501765 | 7.6195115E-4 | 6.3E-4 | 2.7000686E-4 | 5.657386E-4 | 0.00109 | 1.9266849 | 0.0013652861 | 8.0E-4 | 0.0032823787 | 0.006866143 | 0.00483 | 0.7034517 | 0.0080579035 | 0.0012 | 0.032343175 | 0.06771385 | 0.03768 | 0.5564593 | 0.06919618 | 0.00159 |
7.9 | 4.983037E-5 | 9.7241085E-5 | 4.7E-4 | 4.833348 | 5.571963E-4 | 4.6E-4 | 2.1354125E-4 | 4.1668097E-4 | 7.9E-4 | 1.8959349 | 0.0010064351 | 5.9E-4 | 0.0025967648 | 0.0050613005 | 0.00352 | 0.69547343 | 0.005926897 | 8.7E-4 | 0.025666296 | 0.050650507 | 0.02781 | 0.54905665 | 0.051789727 | 0.0012 |
8.0 | 3.2211527E-5 | 5.3306234E-5 | 1.9E-4 | 3.5643113 | 2.432961E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 1.380421E-4 | 2.2843528E-4 | 3.5E-4 | 1.5321625 | 4.6838046E-4 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0016793669 | 0.0027776542 | 0.00177 | 0.6372283 | 0.0031466265 | 3.7E-4 | 0.016667323 | 0.028362568 | 0.01482 | 0.52251965 | 0.028780373 | 4.3E-4 |
8.1 | 1.743376E-5 | 1.8823403E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0625072 | 3.8823026E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 7.471398E-5 | 8.066923E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 0.867741 | 1.20666E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 9.0926304E-4 | 9.81706E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.50931746 | 0.001041647 | 6.0E-5 | 0.009055517 | 0.010483979 | 0.00536 | 0.5112562 | 0.010553245 | 7.0E-5 |
8.2 | 7.831616E-6 | 5.1540533E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.1540533E-6 | 0.0 | 3.3563636E-5 | 2.2088612E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.45272195 | 3.2088392E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0856065E-4 | 2.6889573E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.48345876 | 2.7889304E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004078103 | 0.0030413668 | 0.00164 | 0.53923124 | 0.0030513364 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6564595E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.6564595E-7 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.281336E-6 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9949547E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.25031573 | 3.9949547E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.717979E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.42391032 | 4.717979E-4 | 0.0 |
Garlic Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6760017E-5 | 1.8776833E-5 | 3.1E-4 | 16.509706 | 3.187712E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 7.182667E-5 | 8.0470316E-5 | 4.6E-4 | 5.7163935 | 4.7043894E-4 | 3.9E-4 | 8.7413884E-4 | 9.794032E-4 | 0.00167 | 1.7051201 | 0.0018285706 | 8.5E-4 | 0.008707083 | 0.009762413 | 0.01074 | 1.1001378 | 0.011287379 | 0.00154 |
6.1 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0973587E-5 | 1.7E-4 | 15.491744 | 1.7097183E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.702921E-5 | 2.5E-4 | 5.315845 | 2.5701933E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.7250116E-4 | 9.4E-4 | 1.6419181 | 0.0010322378 | 4.6E-4 | 0.005127866 | 0.005717221 | 0.00624 | 1.0914392 | 0.0065723048 | 8.6E-4 |
6.2 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0973587E-5 | 1.7E-4 | 15.491744 | 1.7097183E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.702921E-5 | 2.5E-4 | 5.315845 | 2.5701933E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.7250116E-4 | 9.4E-4 | 1.6419181 | 0.0010322378 | 4.6E-4 | 0.005127866 | 0.005717221 | 0.00624 | 1.0914392 | 0.0065723048 | 8.6E-4 |
6.3 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.7780286E-6 | 8.0E-5 | 16.743307 | 8.477765E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0477235E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 5.371819 | 1.2047519E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4930484E-4 | 3.9E-4 | 1.5643499 | 4.2925996E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0022499003 | 0.00249251 | 0.00235 | 0.9428247 | 0.0028117124 | 3.2E-4 |
6.4 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.7780286E-6 | 8.0E-5 | 16.743307 | 8.477765E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0477235E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 5.371819 | 1.2047519E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4930484E-4 | 3.9E-4 | 1.5643499 | 4.2925996E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0022499003 | 0.00249251 | 0.00235 | 0.9428247 | 0.0028117124 | 3.2E-4 |
6.5 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.7780286E-6 | 8.0E-5 | 16.743307 | 8.477765E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0477235E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 5.371819 | 1.2047519E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4930484E-4 | 3.9E-4 | 1.5643499 | 4.2925996E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0022499003 | 0.00249251 | 0.00235 | 0.9428247 | 0.0028117124 | 3.2E-4 |
6.6 | 4.301311E-6 | 4.760897E-6 | 8.0E-5 | 16.803556 | 8.476052E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 1.8434059E-5 | 2.0403815E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 5.3911486 | 1.20401775E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.2441156E-4 | 2.4841115E-4 | 3.9E-4 | 1.5699778 | 4.2836645E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0022418506 | 0.002483593 | 0.00235 | 0.9462097 | 0.0028027983 | 3.2E-4 |
6.7 | 3.8599724E-6 | 4.27106E-6 | 8.0E-5 | 18.730715 | 8.4270716E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 1.6542634E-5 | 1.8304541E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 6.0094376 | 1.1830271E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0138794E-4 | 2.228578E-4 | 3.6E-4 | 1.6153798 | 4.0281768E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0020120554 | 0.002228578 | 0.00213 | 0.9557664 | 0.002537887 | 3.1E-4 |
Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.867027E-5 | 3.6E-4 | 19.281994 | 3.7866354E-4 | 3.6E-4 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.001303E-5 | 5.6E-4 | 6.9988604 | 6.29969E-4 | 5.5E-4 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.737309E-4 | 0.00148 | 1.5199271 | 0.0019228058 | 9.5E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695496 | 0.00577 | 0.5951216 | 0.01097299 | 0.00129 |
6.1 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.867027E-5 | 3.6E-4 | 19.281994 | 3.7866354E-4 | 3.6E-4 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.001303E-5 | 5.6E-4 | 6.9988604 | 6.29969E-4 | 5.5E-4 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.737309E-4 | 0.00148 | 1.5199271 | 0.0019228058 | 9.5E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695496 | 0.00577 | 0.5951216 | 0.01097299 | 0.00129 |
6.2 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.867027E-5 | 3.6E-4 | 19.281994 | 3.7866354E-4 | 3.6E-4 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.001303E-5 | 5.6E-4 | 6.9988604 | 6.29969E-4 | 5.5E-4 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.737309E-4 | 0.00148 | 1.5199271 | 0.0019228058 | 9.5E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695496 | 0.00577 | 0.5951216 | 0.01097299 | 0.00129 |
6.3 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.867027E-5 | 3.6E-4 | 19.281994 | 3.7866354E-4 | 3.6E-4 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.001303E-5 | 5.6E-4 | 6.9988604 | 6.29969E-4 | 5.5E-4 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.737309E-4 | 0.00148 | 1.5199271 | 0.0019228058 | 9.5E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695496 | 0.00577 | 0.5951216 | 0.01097299 | 0.00129 |
6.4 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.7338214E-5 | 2.9E-4 | 16.72606 | 3.073332E-4 | 2.9E-4 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.4304546E-5 | 4.6E-4 | 6.190738 | 5.242711E-4 | 4.5E-4 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.042885E-4 | 0.00128 | 1.4154775 | 0.001703565 | 8.0E-4 | 0.008063202 | 0.009006773 | 0.0052 | 0.5773433 | 0.010067136 | 0.00107 |
6.5 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.7338214E-5 | 2.9E-4 | 16.72606 | 3.073332E-4 | 2.9E-4 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.4304546E-5 | 4.6E-4 | 6.190738 | 5.242711E-4 | 4.5E-4 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.042885E-4 | 0.00128 | 1.4154775 | 0.001703565 | 8.0E-4 | 0.008063202 | 0.009006773 | 0.0052 | 0.5773433 | 0.010067136 | 0.00107 |
6.6 | 1.5041828E-5 | 1.6809145E-5 | 2.8E-4 | 16.6576 | 2.9680444E-4 | 2.8E-4 | 6.4463384E-5 | 7.203723E-5 | 4.3E-4 | 5.9691353 | 4.92007E-4 | 4.2E-4 | 7.8455906E-4 | 8.767063E-4 | 0.00119 | 1.3573531 | 0.0016060664 | 7.3E-4 | 0.00781795 | 0.008733132 | 0.00493 | 0.5645168 | 0.009704574 | 9.8E-4 |
6.7 | 1.4634985E-5 | 1.6356016E-5 | 2.7E-4 | 16.507687 | 2.863516E-4 | 2.7E-4 | 6.271985E-5 | 7.009536E-5 | 4.1E-4 | 5.8491745 | 4.8006664E-4 | 4.1E-4 | 7.6334673E-4 | 8.5308263E-4 | 0.00113 | 1.3246078 | 0.001542494 | 6.9E-4 | 0.007607299 | 0.008498715 | 0.00477 | 0.5612613 | 0.009410897 | 9.2E-4 |
6.8 | 1.4209158E-5 | 1.5882048E-5 | 2.3E-4 | 14.48176 | 2.458784E-4 | 2.3E-4 | 6.089497E-5 | 6.8064175E-5 | 3.5E-4 | 5.1422057 | 4.1804035E-4 | 3.5E-4 | 7.4114406E-4 | 8.2837185E-4 | 0.00104 | 1.2554748 | 0.0014478583 | 6.2E-4 | 0.007386771 | 0.008253456 | 0.00457 | 0.5537074 | 0.009086523 | 8.4E-4 |
6.9 | 1.3780098E-5 | 1.5404594E-5 | 2.3E-4 | 14.930612 | 2.4540105E-4 | 2.3E-4 | 5.9056227E-5 | 6.6018045E-5 | 3.4E-4 | 5.150107 | 4.059956E-4 | 3.4E-4 | 7.1877235E-4 | 8.0347876E-4 | 0.00101 | 1.2570338 | 0.0013930047 | 5.9E-4 | 0.0071645193 | 0.008006332 | 0.00441 | 0.550814 | 0.008799927 | 8.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.3585064E-5 | 1.5188155E-5 | 2.2E-4 | 14.484972 | 2.3518481E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 5.8220405E-5 | 6.50905E-5 | 3.2E-4 | 4.916232 | 3.8506967E-4 | 3.2E-4 | 7.086029E-4 | 7.9219416E-4 | 9.7E-4 | 1.2244473 | 0.0013417584 | 5.5E-4 | 0.007063476 | 0.007894293 | 0.0043 | 0.5446972 | 0.008628452 | 7.4E-4 |
7.1 | 1.3398601E-5 | 1.49813395E-5 | 2.2E-4 | 14.684936 | 2.3497804E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 5.742131E-5 | 6.420419E-5 | 2.8E-4 | 4.361086 | 3.441862E-4 | 2.8E-4 | 6.9888023E-4 | 7.8141113E-4 | 9.3E-4 | 1.1901546 | 0.0012910126 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0069668638 | 0.007787224 | 0.0042 | 0.53934497 | 0.008471851 | 6.9E-4 |
7.2 | 1.3126312E-5 | 1.4679561E-5 | 2.1E-4 | 14.305605 | 2.2467648E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 5.6254412E-5 | 6.291092E-5 | 2.6E-4 | 4.132828 | 3.2289457E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 6.846822E-4 | 7.6567667E-4 | 8.9E-4 | 1.1623706 | 0.0012353169 | 4.7E-4 | 0.006825765 | 0.00763097 | 0.00408 | 0.5346633 | 0.008266087 | 6.4E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2922429E-5 | 1.4453788E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 13.837203 | 2.1445089E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 5.5380664E-5 | 6.194336E-5 | 2.4E-4 | 3.874507 | 3.019285E-4 | 2.4E-4 | 6.74051E-4 | 7.53905E-4 | 8.5E-4 | 1.1274631 | 0.0011935732 | 4.4E-4 | 0.006720101 | 0.007514055 | 0.00398 | 0.52967405 | 0.008119471 | 6.1E-4 |
7.4 | 1.2768878E-5 | 1.4283772E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 14.0019045 | 2.1428091E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 5.4722615E-5 | 6.1214756E-5 | 2.4E-4 | 3.9206233 | 3.0120005E-4 | 2.4E-4 | 6.660441E-4 | 7.4504025E-4 | 8.4E-4 | 1.1274558 | 0.0011747199 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0066405144 | 0.0074260035 | 0.00393 | 0.5292214 | 0.008021547 | 6.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.2521929E-5 | 1.40120155E-5 | 1.8E-4 | 12.846118 | 1.940095E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 5.366431E-5 | 6.005014E-5 | 2.2E-4 | 3.663605 | 2.8003694E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 6.531671E-4 | 7.3087064E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.094585 | 0.0011305783 | 4.0E-4 | 0.006512506 | 0.0072852457 | 0.0038 | 0.52160215 | 0.007851093 | 5.7E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1301089E-5 | 1.2648149E-5 | 1.4E-4 | 11.068813 | 1.5264637E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 4.8432343E-5 | 5.4205255E-5 | 1.8E-4 | 3.3207111 | 2.341955E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 5.895042E-4 | 6.5975444E-4 | 6.9E-4 | 1.0458436 | 0.0010095235 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0058794282 | 0.00657851 | 0.00335 | 0.50923383 | 0.0070950896 | 5.2E-4 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.0283358E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 11.669339 | 1.3028212E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.407082E-5 | 1.6E-4 | 3.63052 | 2.0406376E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.3643517E-4 | 5.7E-4 | 1.0625701 | 8.2627963E-4 | 2.9E-4 | 0.004783291 | 0.005351914 | 0.00276 | 0.5157034 | 0.0057696663 | 4.2E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6482615E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6482615E-7 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635396E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3957443 | 1.1563524E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9035933E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5759668 | 4.9035363E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9034347E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.36775625 | 2.3033586E-4 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6696718E-9 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.14414505E-8 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3929966E-7 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3929966E-6 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0005194E-4 | 5.9E-4 | 1.9663262 | 7.699109E-4 | 4.7E-4 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012853292 | 0.00116 | 0.9024925 | 0.0018745709 | 5.9E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.015541554 | 0.00845 | 0.5437037 | 0.016388189 | 8.6E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.14294699 | 0.07997 | 0.5594381 | 0.14393261 | 0.00115 |
6.1 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0005194E-4 | 5.9E-4 | 1.9663262 | 7.699109E-4 | 4.7E-4 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012853292 | 0.00116 | 0.9024925 | 0.0018745709 | 5.9E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.015541554 | 0.00845 | 0.5437037 | 0.016388189 | 8.6E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.14294699 | 0.07997 | 0.5594381 | 0.14393261 | 0.00115 |
6.2 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0005194E-4 | 5.9E-4 | 1.9663262 | 7.699109E-4 | 4.7E-4 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012853292 | 0.00116 | 0.9024925 | 0.0018745709 | 5.9E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.015541554 | 0.00845 | 0.5437037 | 0.016388189 | 8.6E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.14294699 | 0.07997 | 0.5594381 | 0.14393261 | 0.00115 |
6.3 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.8793467E-4 | 5.8E-4 | 2.014346 | 7.478022E-4 | 4.6E-4 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012334478 | 0.00113 | 0.9161312 | 0.0018027447 | 5.7E-4 | 0.006093008 | 0.014918666 | 0.00807 | 0.5409331 | 0.015746133 | 8.4E-4 | 0.059286322 | 0.13765779 | 0.07698 | 0.55921286 | 0.13864085 | 0.00114 |
6.4 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.8793467E-4 | 5.8E-4 | 2.014346 | 7.478022E-4 | 4.6E-4 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012334478 | 0.00113 | 0.9161312 | 0.0018027447 | 5.7E-4 | 0.006093008 | 0.014918666 | 0.00807 | 0.5409331 | 0.015746133 | 8.4E-4 | 0.059286322 | 0.13765779 | 0.07698 | 0.55921286 | 0.13864085 | 0.00114 |
6.5 | 1.0689076E-4 | 2.6806415E-4 | 5.6E-4 | 2.0890522 | 7.079462E-4 | 4.4E-4 | 4.5802278E-4 | 0.0011483653 | 0.00108 | 0.94046724 | 0.0016977338 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0055621783 | 0.013896335 | 0.00753 | 0.54186946 | 0.014695079 | 8.1E-4 | 0.05425003 | 0.1288989 | 0.07195 | 0.5581894 | 0.12986583 | 0.00111 |
6.6 | 9.7648895E-5 | 2.505129E-4 | 5.4E-4 | 2.1555774 | 6.804052E-4 | 4.3E-4 | 4.1842813E-4 | 0.0010732086 | 0.00103 | 0.95973885 | 0.0016026398 | 5.3E-4 | 0.005082469 | 0.012992399 | 0.0071 | 0.5464734 | 0.013772135 | 7.9E-4 | 0.049677886 | 0.121077746 | 0.06758 | 0.55815375 | 0.12203577 | 0.00109 |
6.7 | 8.757013E-5 | 2.3122175E-4 | 5.2E-4 | 2.2489233 | 6.5112463E-4 | 4.2E-4 | 3.7524657E-4 | 9.905964E-4 | 9.9E-4 | 0.999398 | 0.0015100812 | 5.2E-4 | 0.00455906 | 0.011997902 | 0.00672 | 0.56009793 | 0.012758664 | 7.7E-4 | 0.04466656 | 0.112373024 | 0.06293 | 0.56000984 | 0.11329616 | 0.00104 |
6.8 | 8.562978E-5 | 2.2682057E-4 | 5.1E-4 | 2.2484734 | 6.467253E-4 | 4.2E-4 | 3.6693315E-4 | 9.7174826E-4 | 9.7E-4 | 0.99820095 | 0.0014812526 | 5.1E-4 | 0.004458263 | 0.011770921 | 0.00662 | 0.5624029 | 0.012521976 | 7.6E-4 | 0.043698758 | 0.11037863 | 0.06193 | 0.5610688 | 0.11129494 | 0.00103 |
6.9 | 6.124075E-5 | 1.7066885E-4 | 4.8E-4 | 2.812464 | 5.805989E-4 | 4.1E-4 | 2.6243398E-4 | 7.312337E-4 | 8.7E-4 | 1.1897701 | 0.001230868 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0031904527 | 0.008866636 | 0.00529 | 0.5966186 | 0.009570341 | 7.1E-4 | 0.031450346 | 0.08420262 | 0.04691 | 0.5571086 | 0.085081786 | 9.6E-4 |
7.0 | 5.8598747E-5 | 1.6495936E-4 | 4.8E-4 | 2.9098077 | 5.7489175E-4 | 4.1E-4 | 2.5111332E-4 | 7.067779E-4 | 8.6E-4 | 1.2167896 | 0.0012064246 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0030530186 | 0.008571265 | 0.00506 | 0.59034455 | 0.009275179 | 7.1E-4 | 0.03011414 | 0.08151562 | 0.04526 | 0.55523103 | 0.08239736 | 9.6E-4 |
7.1 | 5.613814E-5 | 1.5914452E-4 | 4.7E-4 | 2.9532905 | 5.6907925E-4 | 4.1E-4 | 2.4056983E-4 | 6.818704E-4 | 8.3E-4 | 1.2172401 | 0.0011815295 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0029250039 | 0.008270353 | 0.0049 | 0.59247774 | 0.008974481 | 7.1E-4 | 0.028868021 | 0.07881268 | 0.04367 | 0.5540986 | 0.07968781 | 9.5E-4 |
7.2 | 4.991222E-5 | 1.4520933E-4 | 4.4E-4 | 3.0301085 | 5.251542E-4 | 3.8E-4 | 2.1389198E-4 | 6.221777E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.2858064 | 0.0010918853 | 4.7E-4 | 0.002601025 | 0.0075488063 | 0.00448 | 0.59347135 | 0.008223673 | 6.8E-4 | 0.025707912 | 0.07226191 | 0.04005 | 0.5542339 | 0.07310615 | 9.1E-4 |
7.3 | 4.7410045E-5 | 1.371513E-4 | 4.4E-4 | 3.2081356 | 5.1709916E-4 | 3.8E-4 | 2.0317009E-4 | 5.8765925E-4 | 7.6E-4 | 1.2932665 | 0.0010473889 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0024707897 | 0.0071313656 | 0.00421 | 0.5903498 | 0.0077668014 | 6.4E-4 | 0.024434982 | 0.068541944 | 0.03763 | 0.5490069 | 0.069352314 | 8.7E-4 |
7.4 | 4.5556746E-5 | 1.3123035E-4 | 4.3E-4 | 3.2766812 | 5.011818E-4 | 3.7E-4 | 1.952286E-4 | 5.6229485E-4 | 7.3E-4 | 1.2982513 | 0.0010120418 | 4.5E-4 | 0.002374317 | 0.0068245293 | 0.00396 | 0.5802598 | 0.0074402983 | 6.2E-4 | 0.023491086 | 0.06579143 | 0.03586 | 0.5450558 | 0.0665855 | 8.5E-4 |
7.5 | 4.3084514E-5 | 1.2358342E-4 | 4.2E-4 | 3.398514 | 4.8353893E-4 | 3.6E-4 | 1.8463485E-4 | 5.2953605E-4 | 7.1E-4 | 1.3407964 | 9.69303E-4 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0022456115 | 0.0064281146 | 0.00373 | 0.58026344 | 0.0070341933 | 6.1E-4 | 0.022230545 | 0.062190283 | 0.03354 | 0.53931254 | 0.062978044 | 8.4E-4 |
7.6 | 3.408608E-5 | 9.836477E-5 | 4.0E-4 | 4.066497 | 4.5832936E-4 | 3.6E-4 | 1.4607502E-4 | 4.214953E-4 | 6.8E-4 | 1.6133039 | 8.613098E-4 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0017770125 | 0.005119656 | 0.00318 | 0.6211355 | 0.005726533 | 6.1E-4 | 0.017628696 | 0.05002244 | 0.02699 | 0.5395579 | 0.050820418 | 8.4E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8315713E-5 | 8.2495724E-5 | 3.7E-4 | 4.4850807 | 4.3246686E-4 | 3.5E-4 | 1.2134742E-4 | 3.5350522E-4 | 6.3E-4 | 1.7821518 | 7.833532E-4 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0014764034 | 0.004295442 | 0.00282 | 0.65650994 | 0.0048928643 | 6.0E-4 | 0.01466633 | 0.042272415 | 0.02313 | 0.54716533 | 0.04305775 | 8.2E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6222975E-5 | 7.463898E-5 | 3.4E-4 | 4.5552607 | 3.9461508E-4 | 3.2E-4 | 1.1237934E-4 | 3.1984213E-4 | 5.8E-4 | 1.8133945 | 7.097174E-4 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0013673597 | 0.003887131 | 0.00265 | 0.6817367 | 0.0044449545 | 5.6E-4 | 0.013589768 | 0.038437475 | 0.02093 | 0.5445207 | 0.039177876 | 7.7E-4 |
7.9 | 2.1469694E-5 | 5.7884805E-5 | 2.5E-4 | 4.3189225 | 3.0787033E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 9.200973E-5 | 2.4805416E-4 | 4.1E-4 | 1.6528648 | 5.379822E-4 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0011196428 | 0.00301588 | 0.00198 | 0.6565248 | 0.0034445832 | 4.3E-4 | 0.011140184 | 0.030153265 | 0.01644 | 0.5452146 | 0.030764269 | 6.3E-4 |
8.0 | 1.2420249E-5 | 3.1321662E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 3.5119462 | 1.4131822E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 5.322855E-5 | 1.342288E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4899932 | 2.6421135E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 6.478649E-4 | 0.0016330116 | 0.00101 | 0.6184892 | 0.001832685 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0064597935 | 0.01652369 | 0.00844 | 0.51078176 | 0.016759725 | 2.4E-4 |
8.1 | 4.9197724E-6 | 7.822525E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.822525E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1084568E-5 | 3.3524673E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.5965755 | 4.352434E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.566744E-4 | 4.080866E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 0.39207363 | 4.1808252E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002563781 | 0.004384557 | 0.00234 | 0.53369135 | 0.004394513 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.5634774E-6 | 2.9065757E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9065757E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0986286E-5 | 1.2456694E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.8027812 | 2.245657E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3374983E-4 | 1.5164974E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.39564854 | 1.6164822E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013366934 | 0.001704941 | 9.2E-4 | 0.5396081 | 0.001714924 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 5.2850464E-7 | 3.2080476E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2080476E-7 | 0.0 | 2.2650179E-6 | 1.3748769E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3748769E-6 | 0.0 | 2.7576245E-5 | 1.673901E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.5974069 | 1.673901E-5 | 0.0 | 2.7572823E-4 | 1.986671E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.45301914 | 1.986671E-4 | 0.0 |
Coyote Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1706745E-5 | 2.4E-4 | 11.056471 | 2.4170197E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.302599E-5 | 3.5E-4 | 3.7623892 | 3.9299807E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011320751 | 0.00125 | 1.1041671 | 0.0017214072 | 5.9E-4 | 0.010280091 | 0.011270258 | 0.00817 | 0.7249169 | 0.012268875 | 0.00101 |
6.1 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1706745E-5 | 2.4E-4 | 11.056471 | 2.4170197E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.302599E-5 | 3.5E-4 | 3.7623892 | 3.9299807E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011320751 | 0.00125 | 1.1041671 | 0.0017214072 | 5.9E-4 | 0.010280091 | 0.011270258 | 0.00817 | 0.7249169 | 0.012268875 | 0.00101 |
6.2 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1706745E-5 | 2.4E-4 | 11.056471 | 2.4170197E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.302599E-5 | 3.5E-4 | 3.7623892 | 3.9299807E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011320751 | 0.00125 | 1.1041671 | 0.0017214072 | 5.9E-4 | 0.010280091 | 0.011270258 | 0.00817 | 0.7249169 | 0.012268875 | 0.00101 |
6.3 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.682067E-5 | 1.9E-4 | 11.295627 | 1.9681764E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.2086936E-5 | 2.6E-4 | 3.6067562 | 2.9207108E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.773662E-4 | 9.5E-4 | 1.0827861 | 0.0012969978 | 4.2E-4 | 0.007974784 | 0.00874507 | 0.00626 | 0.71583194 | 0.009508336 | 7.7E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.682067E-5 | 1.9E-4 | 11.295627 | 1.9681764E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.2086936E-5 | 2.6E-4 | 3.6067562 | 2.9207108E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.773662E-4 | 9.5E-4 | 1.0827861 | 0.0012969978 | 4.2E-4 | 0.007974784 | 0.00874507 | 0.00626 | 0.71583194 | 0.009508336 | 7.7E-4 |
6.5 | 1.4189697E-5 | 1.5557987E-5 | 1.8E-4 | 11.56962 | 1.8555534E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 6.081157E-5 | 6.6675726E-5 | 2.4E-4 | 3.5995111 | 2.666624E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 7.401293E-4 | 8.115349E-4 | 8.9E-4 | 1.0966873 | 0.0011912265 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0073766913 | 0.008091656 | 0.0058 | 0.71678776 | 0.008776072 | 6.9E-4 |
6.6 | 1.3469301E-5 | 1.4771577E-5 | 1.7E-4 | 11.508588 | 1.8476907E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 5.7724297E-5 | 6.330556E-5 | 2.2E-4 | 3.475208 | 2.632929E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 7.025667E-4 | 7.7053264E-4 | 8.3E-4 | 1.0771769 | 0.0011302553 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0070034964 | 0.0076845144 | 0.00552 | 0.71832776 | 0.008329519 | 6.5E-4 |
6.7 | 1.3027966E-5 | 1.4281745E-5 | 1.7E-4 | 11.903307 | 1.8427931E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 5.5832945E-5 | 6.120638E-5 | 2.2E-4 | 3.5943966 | 2.6119413E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 6.7955407E-4 | 7.4499263E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 1.0738361 | 0.0011047245 | 3.6E-4 | 0.006774798 | 0.0074308286 | 0.00533 | 0.71728206 | 0.008066073 | 6.4E-4 |
6.8 | 5.695434E-6 | 6.2244176E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 6.426304 | 4.622417E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 2.4408775E-5 | 2.6675973E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.8743459 | 7.667464E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.971363E-4 | 3.2476155E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.9237547 | 4.3472584E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0029673933 | 0.0032458105 | 0.00212 | 0.65314966 | 0.0034451613 | 2.0E-4 |
6.9 | 4.385688E-6 | 4.7930553E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0863519 | 1.4793008E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.879567E-5 | 2.0541665E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.97363085 | 4.0541254E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2881327E-4 | 2.5009477E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 0.99962103 | 3.2007726E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.002285778 | 0.0025009478 | 0.00176 | 0.7037332 | 0.0026206477 | 1.2E-4 |
Helendale-So Lockhart
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8103729E-5 | 2.1E-4 | 11.59982 | 2.2809993E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.7585224E-5 | 3.5E-4 | 4.5111685 | 3.975604E-4 | 3.2E-4 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.4421144E-4 | 0.00101 | 1.0696757 | 0.0015236638 | 5.8E-4 | 0.008984311 | 0.009404116 | 0.00638 | 0.6784263 | 0.010315465 | 9.2E-4 |
6.1 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8103729E-5 | 2.1E-4 | 11.59982 | 2.2809993E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.7585224E-5 | 3.5E-4 | 4.5111685 | 3.975604E-4 | 3.2E-4 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.4421144E-4 | 0.00101 | 1.0696757 | 0.0015236638 | 5.8E-4 | 0.008984311 | 0.009404116 | 0.00638 | 0.6784263 | 0.010315465 | 9.2E-4 |
6.2 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8103729E-5 | 2.1E-4 | 11.59982 | 2.2809993E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.7585224E-5 | 3.5E-4 | 4.5111685 | 3.975604E-4 | 3.2E-4 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.4421144E-4 | 0.00101 | 1.0696757 | 0.0015236638 | 5.8E-4 | 0.008984311 | 0.009404116 | 0.00638 | 0.6784263 | 0.010315465 | 9.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1135425E-5 | 1.3E-4 | 11.674454 | 1.4113398E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.772239E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 4.190905 | 2.1771427E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.80868E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.0329369 | 9.106763E-4 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0055515557 | 0.0057937936 | 0.00369 | 0.63688844 | 0.006290897 | 5.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1135425E-5 | 1.3E-4 | 11.674454 | 1.4113398E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.772239E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 4.190905 | 2.1771427E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.80868E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 1.0329369 | 9.106763E-4 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0055515557 | 0.0057937936 | 0.00369 | 0.63688844 | 0.006290897 | 5.0E-4 |
6.5 | 8.790038E-6 | 9.170197E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 10.904891 | 1.0916928E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.767105E-5 | 3.930026E-5 | 1.6E-4 | 4.07122 | 1.6929515E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 4.585485E-4 | 4.7837716E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 1.0452003 | 7.3825277E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0045760344 | 0.004773638 | 0.00308 | 0.64521015 | 0.0051916335 | 4.2E-4 |
6.6 | 7.396949E-6 | 7.715537E-6 | 9.0E-5 | 11.664775 | 9.7714845E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 3.1700827E-5 | 3.3066175E-5 | 1.5E-4 | 4.536358 | 1.5306221E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 3.858892E-4 | 4.025073E-4 | 4.5E-4 | 1.1179922 | 6.324147E-4 | 2.3E-4 | 0.003852198 | 0.00401789 | 0.00266 | 0.66203904 | 0.004396363 | 3.8E-4 |
6.7 | 6.4600285E-6 | 6.738031E-6 | 9.0E-5 | 13.3570175 | 9.673742E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 2.7685543E-5 | 2.887696E-5 | 1.5E-4 | 5.1944523 | 1.488735E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 3.3701936E-4 | 3.5152107E-4 | 4.1E-4 | 1.1663597 | 5.714437E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0033650869 | 0.003509732 | 0.00234 | 0.6667176 | 0.0038585037 | 3.5E-4 |
6.8 | 5.600104E-6 | 5.836009E-6 | 6.0E-5 | 10.280998 | 6.583566E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 2.4000226E-5 | 2.5011232E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 4.398024 | 1.1500898E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 2.9216358E-4 | 3.044698E-4 | 3.4E-4 | 1.1166953 | 4.8441498E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0029177975 | 0.003040588 | 0.00203 | 0.667634 | 0.0032997974 | 2.6E-4 |
6.9 | 4.839122E-6 | 5.0395092E-6 | 5.0E-5 | 9.921601 | 5.5039258E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.0738931E-5 | 2.159772E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 3.7040946 | 1.0159599E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 2.5246723E-4 | 2.6292098E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.1410272 | 4.328763E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 0.002521806 | 0.002626147 | 0.00175 | 0.6663755 | 0.0028655166 | 2.4E-4 |
7.0 | 3.6937633E-6 | 3.845208E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6006396 | 1.384517E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5830317E-5 | 1.647936E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 2.4272788 | 5.64787E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9271708E-4 | 2.0061806E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 1.0966111 | 3.0059798E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019255003 | 0.002004401 | 0.00125 | 0.6236277 | 0.0021441204 | 1.4E-4 |
7.1 | 2.7858857E-6 | 2.8978538E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8978538E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1939455E-5 | 1.2419316E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.415592 | 4.2418942E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4535317E-4 | 1.511949E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.9259572 | 2.4118129E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0014525814 | 0.0015109418 | 8.4E-4 | 0.5559447 | 0.0016407453 | 1.3E-4 |
7.2 | 2.1672065E-6 | 2.2540128E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2540128E-6 | 0.0 | 9.2879945E-6 | 9.66002E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.66002E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1307546E-4 | 1.1760458E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.9353377 | 1.7759753E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0011301794 | 0.0011754417 | 5.9E-4 | 0.501939 | 0.0012553476 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4823496E-6 | 1.5422102E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5422102E-6 | 0.0 | 6.3529114E-6 | 6.6094562E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.6094562E-6 | 0.0 | 7.734395E-5 | 8.046731E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 0.9941925 | 1.4046249E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 7.731704E-4 | 8.0439687E-4 | 4.4E-4 | 0.5469937 | 8.843325E-4 | 8.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.2321457E-7 | 4.4108765E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4108765E-7 | 0.0 | 1.8137755E-6 | 1.8903745E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8903745E-6 | 0.0 | 2.2082493E-5 | 2.3015113E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.8689942 | 3.3014883E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2080299E-4 | 2.3013182E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.43453357 | 2.4012952E-4 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.6942316E-8 | 5.9415648E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.9415648E-8 | 0.0 | 2.440385E-7 | 2.5463845E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5463845E-7 | 0.0 | 2.9711643E-6 | 3.1002196E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1002196E-6 | 0.0 | 2.9711247E-5 | 3.1001844E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1001844E-5 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Big Bend)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0073925E-4 | 2.8E-4 | 1.3948443 | 4.106971E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.6002843E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.93020177 | 0.0012297103 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010420859 | 0.00604 | 0.5796067 | 0.011024502 | 6.1E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.101455905 | 0.05607 | 0.55265385 | 0.102192715 | 8.2E-4 |
6.1 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0073925E-4 | 2.8E-4 | 1.3948443 | 4.106971E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.6002843E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.93020177 | 0.0012297103 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010420859 | 0.00604 | 0.5796067 | 0.011024502 | 6.1E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.101455905 | 0.05607 | 0.55265385 | 0.102192715 | 8.2E-4 |
6.2 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0073925E-4 | 2.8E-4 | 1.3948443 | 4.106971E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.6002843E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.93020177 | 0.0012297103 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010420859 | 0.00604 | 0.5796067 | 0.011024502 | 6.1E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.101455905 | 0.05607 | 0.55265385 | 0.102192715 | 8.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0073925E-4 | 2.8E-4 | 1.3948443 | 4.106971E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.6002843E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.93020177 | 0.0012297103 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010420859 | 0.00604 | 0.5796067 | 0.011024502 | 6.1E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.101455905 | 0.05607 | 0.55265385 | 0.102192715 | 8.2E-4 |
6.4 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8430917E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 1.0308765 | 3.0428707E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 3.9268145E-4 | 7.896575E-4 | 6.3E-4 | 0.7978142 | 0.001029468 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009571818 | 0.00528 | 0.55161935 | 0.009938276 | 3.7E-4 | 0.046693064 | 0.09378695 | 0.0511 | 0.54485196 | 0.09422193 | 4.8E-4 |
6.5 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8430917E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 1.0308765 | 3.0428707E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 3.9268145E-4 | 7.896575E-4 | 6.3E-4 | 0.7978142 | 0.001029468 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009571818 | 0.00528 | 0.55161935 | 0.009938276 | 3.7E-4 | 0.046693064 | 0.09378695 | 0.0511 | 0.54485196 | 0.09422193 | 4.8E-4 |
6.6 | 9.042622E-5 | 1.8238011E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.9869497 | 2.9236006E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 3.8748336E-4 | 7.813951E-4 | 6.1E-4 | 0.78065497 | 0.0010112154 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0047074095 | 0.0094721 | 0.00522 | 0.55109215 | 0.00982869 | 3.6E-4 | 0.046089325 | 0.09287721 | 0.05053 | 0.54405165 | 0.09330356 | 4.7E-4 |
6.7 | 8.9836685E-5 | 1.8152347E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.9916073 | 2.915035E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 3.8495753E-4 | 7.7772595E-4 | 6.1E-4 | 0.78433794 | 0.0010075471 | 2.3E-4 | 0.00467679 | 0.009427815 | 0.00521 | 0.5526201 | 0.009784421 | 3.6E-4 | 0.045795817 | 0.09247148 | 0.05034 | 0.54438406 | 0.09289802 | 4.7E-4 |
6.8 | 8.9471854E-5 | 1.8099119E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.9945235 | 2.9097128E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 3.8339442E-4 | 7.754462E-4 | 6.1E-4 | 0.7866439 | 0.0010052678 | 2.3E-4 | 0.004657841 | 0.009400298 | 0.00519 | 0.5521102 | 0.009756913 | 3.6E-4 | 0.04561414 | 0.0922192 | 0.05015 | 0.543813 | 0.09264586 | 4.7E-4 |
6.9 | 8.858234E-5 | 1.7981093E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 1.0010515 | 2.8979115E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 3.7958333E-4 | 7.7039085E-4 | 6.1E-4 | 0.79180586 | 0.0010002137 | 2.3E-4 | 0.004611638 | 0.009339278 | 0.00516 | 0.55250525 | 0.0096959155 | 3.6E-4 | 0.04517103 | 0.09165911 | 0.04977 | 0.54299027 | 0.092086025 | 4.7E-4 |
7.0 | 8.7433385E-5 | 1.7819891E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 0.8978731 | 2.8817932E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 3.746607E-4 | 7.6348626E-4 | 5.9E-4 | 0.77277094 | 9.933107E-4 | 2.3E-4 | 0.004551957 | 0.009255932 | 0.00508 | 0.54883724 | 0.009592785 | 3.4E-4 | 0.044598386 | 0.09089323 | 0.04945 | 0.5440449 | 0.09130233 | 4.5E-4 |
7.1 | 8.684964E-5 | 1.7731842E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 0.90233153 | 2.872989E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 3.7215967E-4 | 7.597149E-4 | 5.7E-4 | 0.7502814 | 9.695554E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0045216335 | 0.009210405 | 0.00505 | 0.54829293 | 0.00951755 | 3.1E-4 | 0.04430731 | 0.09047475 | 0.0492 | 0.54379815 | 0.090847656 | 4.1E-4 |
7.2 | 8.606521E-5 | 1.7622454E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 0.90793264 | 2.8620515E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 3.6879873E-4 | 7.550296E-4 | 5.7E-4 | 0.7549373 | 9.64871E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0044808835 | 0.009153842 | 0.00502 | 0.5484036 | 0.009461004 | 3.1E-4 | 0.043916024 | 0.08995518 | 0.04898 | 0.5444934 | 0.0903283 | 4.1E-4 |
7.3 | 8.568266E-5 | 1.7564454E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 0.91093063 | 2.8562522E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 3.6715972E-4 | 7.5254537E-4 | 5.7E-4 | 0.7574294 | 9.623873E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0044610105 | 0.00912385 | 0.00502 | 0.5502063 | 0.009431021 | 3.1E-4 | 0.043725148 | 0.08967623 | 0.04887 | 0.54496044 | 0.09004947 | 4.1E-4 |
7.4 | 8.5432206E-5 | 1.752704E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 0.91287524 | 2.8525112E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 3.6608664E-4 | 7.509428E-4 | 5.7E-4 | 0.75904584 | 9.607851E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 0.004447999 | 0.009104501 | 0.00501 | 0.55027723 | 0.00941168 | 3.1E-4 | 0.043600157 | 0.08949642 | 0.04881 | 0.54538494 | 0.08986972 | 4.1E-4 |
7.5 | 8.4791965E-5 | 1.7396381E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 0.9197315 | 2.8394468E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 3.633435E-4 | 7.4534636E-4 | 5.7E-4 | 0.7647451 | 9.551898E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0044147377 | 0.009036932 | 0.00498 | 0.55107194 | 0.009344131 | 3.1E-4 | 0.043280575 | 0.08887209 | 0.04847 | 0.5453906 | 0.089245655 | 4.1E-4 |
7.6 | 8.241105E-5 | 1.6841735E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 0.9500209 | 2.783988E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 3.531424E-4 | 7.2158914E-4 | 5.5E-4 | 0.7622066 | 9.314376E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0042910352 | 0.008750047 | 0.00487 | 0.55656844 | 0.009047422 | 3.0E-4 | 0.042091176 | 0.08625032 | 0.04684 | 0.54307044 | 0.08659755 | 3.8E-4 |
7.7 | 7.00432E-5 | 1.4205615E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.703947 | 2.120462E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 3.001506E-4 | 6.0867006E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6571705 | 7.385909E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0036482112 | 0.0073854174 | 0.00406 | 0.54973197 | 0.007564088 | 1.8E-4 | 0.035888977 | 0.07352299 | 0.03977 | 0.54091924 | 0.07375461 | 2.5E-4 |
7.8 | 6.415362E-5 | 1.2969968E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.61680955 | 1.7969319E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 2.749151E-4 | 5.557374E-4 | 3.7E-4 | 0.6657821 | 6.6567626E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0033419547 | 0.0067451415 | 0.00376 | 0.55743825 | 0.0069040623 | 1.6E-4 | 0.03292141 | 0.06725514 | 0.03599 | 0.5351264 | 0.06746034 | 2.2E-4 |
7.9 | 4.939911E-5 | 9.341721E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.4281866 | 1.2341441E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 2.116933E-4 | 4.0029807E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 0.6245346 | 4.6027405E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0025743195 | 0.004862747 | 0.00268 | 0.5511288 | 0.004932407 | 7.0E-5 | 0.025447013 | 0.048915803 | 0.02582 | 0.5278458 | 0.0490014 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.344983E-5 | 5.2228E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.19146818 | 6.2227475E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4334853E-4 | 2.2381509E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.62551636 | 2.6380614E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017438711 | 0.0027215453 | 0.00143 | 0.52543676 | 0.0027714092 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017302496 | 0.027923161 | 0.01421 | 0.5088965 | 0.027971765 | 5.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9104898E-5 | 1.9171663E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9171663E-5 | 0.0 | 8.1875565E-5 | 8.2161685E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.6085562 | 1.0216004E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 9.963791E-4 | 9.9986E-4 | 4.8E-4 | 0.4800672 | 0.0010298301 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009919235 | 0.010749552 | 0.00544 | 0.5060676 | 0.01077923 | 3.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.473668E-6 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.42628714 | 3.345813E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 0.52526844 | 2.955654E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032481793 | 0.00171 | 0.5264487 | 0.003258147 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6564595E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.6564595E-7 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.281336E-6 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9949547E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.25031573 | 3.9949547E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.717979E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.42391032 | 4.717979E-4 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (No)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2500084E-5 | 2.1E-4 | 9.333299 | 2.3249535E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.642541E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 3.1112132 | 3.5640033E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011733545 | 0.00109 | 0.92896056 | 0.001642803 | 4.7E-4 | 0.010420183 | 0.011672506 | 0.00587 | 0.5028911 | 0.012384103 | 7.2E-4 |
6.1 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2500084E-5 | 2.1E-4 | 9.333299 | 2.3249535E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.642541E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 3.1112132 | 3.5640033E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011733545 | 0.00109 | 0.92896056 | 0.001642803 | 4.7E-4 | 0.010420183 | 0.011672506 | 0.00587 | 0.5028911 | 0.012384103 | 7.2E-4 |
6.2 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2500084E-5 | 2.1E-4 | 9.333299 | 2.3249535E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.642541E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 3.1112132 | 3.5640033E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011733545 | 0.00109 | 0.92896056 | 0.001642803 | 4.7E-4 | 0.010420183 | 0.011672506 | 0.00587 | 0.5028911 | 0.012384103 | 7.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.1336948E-5 | 2.1E-4 | 9.842083 | 2.3133247E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.1440896E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 3.2808077 | 3.514171E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.001112731 | 0.00105 | 0.94362426 | 0.0015722192 | 4.6E-4 | 0.009891188 | 0.011072419 | 0.00565 | 0.5102769 | 0.011754779 | 6.9E-4 |
6.4 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.1336948E-5 | 2.1E-4 | 9.842083 | 2.3133247E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.1440896E-5 | 3.0E-4 | 3.2808077 | 3.514171E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.001112731 | 0.00105 | 0.94362426 | 0.0015722192 | 4.6E-4 | 0.009891188 | 0.011072419 | 0.00565 | 0.5102769 | 0.011754779 | 6.9E-4 |
6.5 | 1.8367004E-5 | 2.0561009E-5 | 2.1E-4 | 10.213507 | 2.3055669E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 7.8713354E-5 | 8.811567E-5 | 2.9E-4 | 3.2911286 | 3.4809276E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 9.5791375E-4 | 0.0010722869 | 0.00101 | 0.9419122 | 0.0015218043 | 4.5E-4 | 0.009537951 | 0.0106719155 | 0.00545 | 0.5106862 | 0.011344658 | 6.8E-4 |
6.6 | 1.779439E-5 | 1.9910927E-5 | 2.1E-4 | 10.546972 | 2.2990674E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 7.625944E-5 | 8.53298E-5 | 2.8E-4 | 3.2813861 | 3.3530846E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 9.280632E-4 | 0.0010384015 | 0.001 | 0.96301866 | 0.0014779445 | 4.4E-4 | 0.009241969 | 0.010336253 | 0.00534 | 0.51662827 | 0.01098943 | 6.6E-4 |
6.7 | 1.7025437E-5 | 1.9043426E-5 | 2.1E-4 | 11.027428 | 2.2903943E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 7.296412E-5 | 8.161216E-5 | 2.6E-4 | 3.1857996 | 3.3159176E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 8.87976E-4 | 9.931813E-4 | 9.7E-4 | 0.97665954 | 0.0014327443 | 4.4E-4 | 0.008844362 | 0.009888145 | 0.00512 | 0.51779175 | 0.010511916 | 6.3E-4 |
6.8 | 1.6545107E-5 | 1.8512545E-5 | 2.1E-4 | 11.343658 | 2.2850865E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 7.090568E-5 | 7.93371E-5 | 2.6E-4 | 3.2771552 | 3.2931726E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 8.629347E-4 | 9.655073E-4 | 9.5E-4 | 0.9839387 | 0.0014050824 | 4.4E-4 | 0.008595915 | 0.009613829 | 0.00495 | 0.51488334 | 0.010227868 | 6.2E-4 |
6.9 | 1.615478E-5 | 1.8087594E-5 | 2.1E-4 | 11.6101675 | 2.280838E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 6.9232934E-5 | 7.751599E-5 | 2.5E-4 | 3.225141 | 3.2749661E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 8.4258494E-4 | 9.433546E-4 | 9.2E-4 | 0.975243 | 0.0013829395 | 4.4E-4 | 0.008393973 | 0.009394196 | 0.00484 | 0.51521176 | 0.010008371 | 6.2E-4 |
7.0 | 1.5894311E-5 | 1.780555E-5 | 2.1E-4 | 11.794076 | 2.2780181E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 6.81167E-5 | 7.6307304E-5 | 2.5E-4 | 3.2762265 | 3.2628822E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 8.2900526E-4 | 9.286515E-4 | 9.1E-4 | 0.9799155 | 0.0013682429 | 4.4E-4 | 0.008259195 | 0.009248397 | 0.00473 | 0.51144 | 0.009852756 | 6.1E-4 |
7.1 | 1.5602263E-5 | 1.7483504E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 11.439355 | 2.1748E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 6.6865134E-5 | 7.492718E-5 | 2.4E-4 | 3.20311 | 3.149092E-4 | 2.4E-4 | 8.137789E-4 | 9.118627E-4 | 8.9E-4 | 0.9760241 | 0.0013414706 | 4.3E-4 | 0.008108052 | 0.009081894 | 0.00463 | 0.50980556 | 0.009676444 | 6.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.5323829E-5 | 1.717063E-5 | 1.9E-4 | 11.065407 | 2.0716737E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 6.56719E-5 | 7.358637E-5 | 2.3E-4 | 3.1255786 | 3.0356945E-4 | 2.3E-4 | 7.99262E-4 | 8.9555193E-4 | 8.7E-4 | 0.971468 | 0.0013151758 | 4.2E-4 | 0.007963934 | 0.008920107 | 0.00451 | 0.5055993 | 0.0095048435 | 5.9E-4 |
7.3 | 1.4556212E-5 | 1.6302456E-5 | 1.8E-4 | 11.041282 | 1.9629952E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 6.238227E-5 | 6.9865826E-5 | 2.2E-4 | 3.1488929 | 2.8985046E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 7.592395E-4 | 8.5029035E-4 | 8.5E-4 | 0.9996585 | 0.0012599417 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0075665074 | 0.008471014 | 0.00427 | 0.5040719 | 0.009046101 | 5.8E-4 |
7.4 | 1.411725E-5 | 1.580796E-5 | 1.8E-4 | 11.386668 | 1.9580511E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 6.0501097E-5 | 6.7746674E-5 | 2.2E-4 | 3.247392 | 2.8773176E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 7.363519E-4 | 8.245094E-4 | 8.5E-4 | 1.030916 | 0.0012341714 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0073391674 | 0.008215138 | 0.00422 | 0.5136858 | 0.008790374 | 5.8E-4 |
7.5 | 1.3503312E-5 | 1.5126289E-5 | 1.8E-4 | 11.899813 | 1.9512356E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 5.7870053E-5 | 6.482538E-5 | 2.2E-4 | 3.3937328 | 2.848111E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 7.043401E-4 | 7.8896893E-4 | 8.3E-4 | 1.0520059 | 0.0011886534 | 4.0E-4 | 0.007021119 | 0.007862304 | 0.00406 | 0.51638806 | 0.008427823 | 5.7E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1279839E-5 | 1.2626327E-5 | 1.4E-4 | 11.087944 | 1.5262456E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 4.834127E-5 | 5.4111737E-5 | 1.8E-4 | 3.3264503 | 2.34102E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 5.88396E-4 | 6.5861654E-4 | 6.9E-4 | 1.0476506 | 0.001008386 | 3.5E-4 | 0.005868405 | 0.006567199 | 0.00334 | 0.50858825 | 0.0070837834 | 5.2E-4 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.0283358E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 11.669339 | 1.3028212E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.407082E-5 | 1.6E-4 | 3.63052 | 2.0406376E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.3643517E-4 | 5.7E-4 | 1.0625701 | 8.2627963E-4 | 2.9E-4 | 0.004783291 | 0.005351914 | 0.00276 | 0.5157034 | 0.0057696663 | 4.2E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6482615E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6482615E-7 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635396E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3957443 | 1.1563524E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9035933E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5759668 | 4.9035363E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9034347E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.36775625 | 2.3033586E-4 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6696718E-9 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.14414505E-8 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3929966E-7 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3929966E-6 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Parkfield)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.556969E-4 | 7.778562E-4 | 6.7E-4 | 0.8613417 | 9.876929E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0023793848 | 0.0033299583 | 0.00267 | 0.8018119 | 0.003638926 | 3.1E-4 | 0.028586963 | 0.040235043 | 0.03306 | 0.82167184 | 0.040676534 | 4.6E-4 | 0.25176284 | 0.3371973 | 0.33283 | 0.98704827 | 0.33760822 | 6.2E-4 |
6.1 | 1.925858E-4 | 3.0278185E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 0.69356865 | 3.8275763E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 8.2510663E-4 | 0.001297085 | 7.5E-4 | 0.57821965 | 0.0014269163 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0099994885 | 0.01577393 | 0.00801 | 0.5077999 | 0.015980618 | 2.1E-4 | 0.095613256 | 0.14975825 | 0.08249 | 0.55082107 | 0.14999631 | 2.8E-4 |
6.2 | 9.4306815E-5 | 1.8243887E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 0.8221932 | 2.4242792E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 4.0410945E-4 | 7.8164786E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.63967425 | 8.9156185E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0049089384 | 0.009475246 | 0.00485 | 0.51186 | 0.009663446 | 1.9E-4 | 0.048019063 | 0.0918565 | 0.05013 | 0.5457425 | 0.09208354 | 2.5E-4 |
6.3 | 9.283051E-5 | 1.794041E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.7803612 | 2.3939334E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 3.9778434E-4 | 7.686494E-4 | 4.9E-4 | 0.6374818 | 8.7856484E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0048322747 | 0.009318355 | 0.00482 | 0.5172587 | 0.009506584 | 1.9E-4 | 0.047285385 | 0.090509474 | 0.04943 | 0.5461307 | 0.09073684 | 2.5E-4 |
6.4 | 9.138826E-5 | 1.7702584E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.79084504 | 2.370152E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 3.916052E-4 | 7.5846276E-4 | 4.9E-4 | 0.6460436 | 8.683793E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0047573745 | 0.009195387 | 0.00473 | 0.5143883 | 0.00938364 | 1.9E-4 | 0.046568092 | 0.0894136 | 0.04865 | 0.5441007 | 0.08964124 | 2.5E-4 |
6.5 | 9.000255E-5 | 1.746064E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.8018034 | 2.3459591E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 3.8566816E-4 | 7.4809964E-4 | 4.9E-4 | 0.65499294 | 8.5801736E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0046854047 | 0.009070284 | 0.00468 | 0.5159706 | 0.009258561 | 1.9E-4 | 0.045878403 | 0.08829608 | 0.04804 | 0.5440785 | 0.088524 | 2.5E-4 |
6.6 | 8.8109264E-5 | 1.7141816E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.7583794 | 2.3140787E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 3.7755648E-4 | 7.3444354E-4 | 4.8E-4 | 0.65355605 | 8.443628E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0045870654 | 0.008905404 | 0.00462 | 0.51878613 | 0.009093712 | 1.9E-4 | 0.04493529 | 0.08682707 | 0.04714 | 0.5429182 | 0.08705536 | 2.5E-4 |
6.7 | 8.738073E-5 | 1.7008898E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.7643058 | 2.3007879E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 3.7443507E-4 | 7.287503E-4 | 4.8E-4 | 0.6586618 | 8.386702E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0045492216 | 0.008836695 | 0.0046 | 0.5205566 | 0.009025016 | 1.9E-4 | 0.04457213 | 0.0862268 | 0.04672 | 0.5418269 | 0.08645524 | 2.5E-4 |
6.8 | 8.710195E-5 | 1.6954402E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.76676255 | 2.2953385E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 3.7324068E-4 | 7.26416E-4 | 4.7E-4 | 0.6470122 | 8.363361E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0045347405 | 0.008808513 | 0.00458 | 0.5199516 | 0.00899684 | 1.9E-4 | 0.04443313 | 0.08597436 | 0.04654 | 0.5413242 | 0.08620287 | 2.5E-4 |
6.9 | 8.6801556E-5 | 1.6895356E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.7694422 | 2.2894342E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 3.7195362E-4 | 7.238869E-4 | 4.7E-4 | 0.6492727 | 8.338073E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0045191357 | 0.0087779695 | 0.00451 | 0.51378626 | 0.008966302 | 1.9E-4 | 0.044283327 | 0.08570042 | 0.04633 | 0.5406041 | 0.08592899 | 2.5E-4 |
7.0 | 8.5571606E-5 | 1.664819E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.78086567 | 2.2647191E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 3.6668387E-4 | 7.132999E-4 | 4.7E-4 | 0.6589094 | 8.2322146E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.004455241 | 0.008650103 | 0.00447 | 0.51675683 | 0.00883846 | 1.9E-4 | 0.043669727 | 0.08454836 | 0.04579 | 0.54158354 | 0.08477723 | 2.5E-4 |
7.1 | 7.82589E-5 | 1.5128969E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.85927874 | 2.112806E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 3.3535215E-4 | 6.4822397E-4 | 4.1E-4 | 0.63249743 | 7.5815263E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0040752706 | 0.007863738 | 0.00399 | 0.5073923 | 0.008032401 | 1.7E-4 | 0.040013418 | 0.077460445 | 0.04152 | 0.5360155 | 0.0776634 | 2.2E-4 |
7.2 | 7.690929E-5 | 1.4866212E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.87446624 | 2.0865319E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 3.2956956E-4 | 6.369685E-4 | 4.1E-4 | 0.6436739 | 7.4689847E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.004005129 | 0.0077276826 | 0.00392 | 0.50726724 | 0.007896369 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0393371 | 0.07623341 | 0.04096 | 0.53729725 | 0.07643664 | 2.2E-4 |
7.3 | 7.5543794E-5 | 1.4562748E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.8926887 | 2.0561874E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 3.2371894E-4 | 6.239692E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6410573 | 7.339006E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.003934157 | 0.0075705256 | 0.00385 | 0.5085512 | 0.007739239 | 1.7E-4 | 0.038652334 | 0.07479777 | 0.0402 | 0.5374492 | 0.075001314 | 2.2E-4 |
7.4 | 7.4214564E-5 | 1.4263717E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.91140336 | 2.0262861E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 3.1802364E-4 | 6.1115966E-4 | 3.9E-4 | 0.63813114 | 7.2109245E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.003865065 | 0.0074156416 | 0.00379 | 0.5110819 | 0.007584381 | 1.7E-4 | 0.03798529 | 0.07337152 | 0.03953 | 0.5387649 | 0.073575385 | 2.2E-4 |
7.5 | 6.149578E-5 | 1.1191443E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.7148319 | 1.6190883E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 2.6352672E-4 | 4.795452E-4 | 2.9E-4 | 0.60473967 | 5.7949725E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0032037178 | 0.005822865 | 0.00305 | 0.52379715 | 0.0059719915 | 1.5E-4 | 0.03157923 | 0.058559462 | 0.03132 | 0.53484094 | 0.058738336 | 1.9E-4 |
7.6 | 6.0643448E-5 | 1.102009E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.7259469 | 1.6019538E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 2.598746E-4 | 4.7220418E-4 | 2.8E-4 | 0.5929638 | 5.72157E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0031593828 | 0.005733962 | 0.00302 | 0.52668643 | 0.005883102 | 1.5E-4 | 0.031148417 | 0.05772042 | 0.0308 | 0.53360665 | 0.05789945 | 1.9E-4 |
7.7 | 5.1652263E-5 | 9.175265E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.5449434 | 1.3174898E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 2.2134806E-4 | 3.9316638E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5086905 | 4.6313886E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.002691582 | 0.0047763046 | 0.0025 | 0.52341723 | 0.004885779 | 1.1E-4 | 0.026592141 | 0.04853641 | 0.026 | 0.53568035 | 0.04867913 | 1.5E-4 |
7.8 | 4.8090482E-5 | 8.560165E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.5841009 | 1.2559822E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 2.060858E-4 | 3.6681266E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5452375 | 4.3678697E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0025062072 | 0.004456807 | 0.00235 | 0.5272833 | 0.004566317 | 1.1E-4 | 0.024781305 | 0.045302264 | 0.02417 | 0.5335274 | 0.045445472 | 1.5E-4 |
7.9 | 3.970278E-5 | 6.7507375E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.4443959 | 9.750535E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7014367E-4 | 2.8928524E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 0.51851934 | 3.3927077E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002069531 | 0.0035163634 | 0.00185 | 0.5261117 | 0.0035761525 | 6.0E-5 | 0.020503636 | 0.03588176 | 0.01901 | 0.52979565 | 0.03594925 | 7.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.8982335E-5 | 4.0698153E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.24571139 | 5.069775E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2420409E-4 | 1.7440901E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.45869192 | 2.0440377E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015111357 | 0.0021213628 | 0.00102 | 0.48082298 | 0.002161278 | 4.0E-5 | 0.015009012 | 0.02201118 | 0.01101 | 0.50020033 | 0.0220503 | 4.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.8836186E-5 | 1.867974E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.867974E-5 | 0.0 | 8.0724014E-5 | 8.005358E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.6245817 | 1.0005198E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 9.823717E-4 | 9.742171E-4 | 4.5E-4 | 0.46190938 | 0.0010041879 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009780403 | 0.010487711 | 0.00525 | 0.5005859 | 0.010517396 | 3.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.473668E-6 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.42628714 | 3.345813E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 0.52526844 | 2.955654E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032481793 | 0.00171 | 0.5264487 | 0.003258147 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6564595E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.6564595E-7 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.281336E-6 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9949547E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.25031573 | 3.9949547E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.717979E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.42391032 | 4.717979E-4 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.937271E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.4425877 | 3.9369773E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012583778 | 6.6E-4 | 0.52448475 | 0.0014181765 | 1.6E-4 | 0.008420097 | 0.0152346175 | 0.00774 | 0.5080534 | 0.015530048 | 3.0E-4 | 0.081081145 | 0.13962454 | 0.08008 | 0.5735381 | 0.14001171 | 4.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.937271E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.4425877 | 3.9369773E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012583778 | 6.6E-4 | 0.52448475 | 0.0014181765 | 1.6E-4 | 0.008420097 | 0.0152346175 | 0.00774 | 0.5080534 | 0.015530048 | 3.0E-4 | 0.081081145 | 0.13962454 | 0.08008 | 0.5735381 | 0.14001171 | 4.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.937271E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.4425877 | 3.9369773E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012583778 | 6.6E-4 | 0.52448475 | 0.0014181765 | 1.6E-4 | 0.008420097 | 0.0152346175 | 0.00774 | 0.5080534 | 0.015530048 | 3.0E-4 | 0.081081145 | 0.13962454 | 0.08008 | 0.5735381 | 0.14001171 | 4.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7703463E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.56486124 | 2.5702047E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.5861585E-4 | 4.3E-4 | 0.5668218 | 8.7852485E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.005262531 | 0.0092177205 | 0.00508 | 0.55111235 | 0.009396061 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0513964 | 0.08707393 | 0.05377 | 0.6175212 | 0.087320425 | 2.7E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7703463E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.56486124 | 2.5702047E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.5861585E-4 | 4.3E-4 | 0.5668218 | 8.7852485E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.005262531 | 0.0092177205 | 0.00508 | 0.55111235 | 0.009396061 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0513964 | 0.08707393 | 0.05377 | 0.6175212 | 0.087320425 | 2.7E-4 |
6.5 | 3.6624708E-5 | 4.6391986E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.43110895 | 6.6391054E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.569536E-4 | 1.9880968E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.35209554 | 2.3880172E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001909235 | 0.0024181814 | 0.00127 | 0.5251881 | 0.0024680605 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01892915 | 0.023697061 | 0.01442 | 0.60851425 | 0.023784928 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.5051324E-5 | 2.6147465E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6147465E-5 | 0.0 | 1.073584E-4 | 1.12056E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.2677233 | 1.2205488E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013063047 | 0.0013634725 | 6.9E-4 | 0.50606084 | 0.0013834452 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012986525 | 0.013565759 | 0.00805 | 0.5934058 | 0.013615081 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.2189772E-5 | 2.2072489E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2072489E-5 | 0.0 | 9.509556E-5 | 9.459316E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.31714767 | 1.0459221E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011571734 | 0.0011510996 | 6.0E-4 | 0.5212407 | 0.0011710766 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011511663 | 0.0114663225 | 0.00692 | 0.60350645 | 0.011505865 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6654378E-5 | 1.44376E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.44376E-5 | 0.0 | 7.137396E-5 | 6.187399E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.48485643 | 7.187337E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 8.686314E-4 | 7.5306057E-4 | 3.7E-4 | 0.49132833 | 7.630531E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008652439 | 0.0075100763 | 0.00469 | 0.6244943 | 0.007539851 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5042909E-5 | 1.2331886E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2331886E-5 | 0.0 | 6.446802E-5 | 5.2849886E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.5676455 | 6.284936E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8461546E-4 | 6.4326054E-4 | 3.1E-4 | 0.48191983 | 6.532541E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007818509 | 0.006417925 | 0.00394 | 0.6139056 | 0.0064477324 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.4361385E-5 | 1.1451172E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1451172E-5 | 0.0 | 6.154734E-5 | 4.9075545E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.40753496 | 5.9075053E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 7.490812E-4 | 5.973339E-4 | 2.7E-4 | 0.45200852 | 6.073279E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007465612 | 0.005960982 | 0.00356 | 0.5972171 | 0.005980863 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3265571E-5 | 1.0244736E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0244736E-5 | 0.0 | 5.6851208E-5 | 4.3905282E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.45552605 | 5.3904845E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 6.919436E-4 | 5.344183E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.33681485 | 5.4441293E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006897931 | 0.0053346003 | 0.00307 | 0.57548827 | 0.005354494 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1596403E-5 | 8.504847E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.504847E-6 | 0.0 | 4.9697923E-5 | 3.6448844E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.2743571 | 3.6448844E-5 | 0.0 | 6.049042E-4 | 4.4367602E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 0.33808455 | 4.4367602E-4 | 0.0 | 0.006032603 | 0.004429357 | 0.00256 | 0.577962 | 0.004429357 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0150827E-5 | 7.238537E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.238537E-6 | 0.0 | 4.3502816E-5 | 3.102194E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.3223525 | 3.102194E-5 | 0.0 | 5.2951806E-4 | 3.776281E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.34425402 | 3.776281E-4 | 0.0 | 0.005282581 | 0.003770271 | 0.00221 | 0.5861648 | 0.003770271 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.080705E-6 | 6.352307E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.352307E-6 | 0.0 | 3.8916725E-5 | 2.7223898E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.36732432 | 2.7223898E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7370812E-4 | 3.314019E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.3620981 | 3.314019E-4 | 0.0 | 0.004726996 | 0.0033092257 | 0.00196 | 0.5922836 | 0.0033092257 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.671649E-6 | 5.225419E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.225419E-6 | 0.0 | 3.287808E-5 | 2.2394468E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.44653887 | 2.2394468E-5 | 0.0 | 4.0021708E-4 | 2.7261977E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.36681125 | 2.7261977E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0039949706 | 0.0027229784 | 0.00166 | 0.6096266 | 0.0027229784 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.990086E-6 | 4.687336E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.687336E-6 | 0.0 | 2.9957167E-5 | 2.0088435E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0088435E-5 | 0.0 | 3.6466747E-4 | 2.445504E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.3680223 | 2.445504E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0036406964 | 0.0024429292 | 0.00142 | 0.5812694 | 0.0024429292 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.163505E-6 | 2.329331E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.329331E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7843471E-5 | 9.982813E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.982813E-6 | 0.0 | 2.172226E-4 | 1.2153471E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.41140512 | 1.2153471E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021701038 | 0.0012147555 | 7.7E-4 | 0.63387245 | 0.0012147555 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.384417E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.384417E-8 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0218927E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0218927E-7 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.8966467E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 2.042214 | 4.8966467E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.8965718E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.40844905 | 4.8965718E-5 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4397174E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4397174E-9 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4741646E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4741646E-8 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7947953E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7947953E-7 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.794794E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.794794E-6 | 0.0 |
Sierra Nevada (No Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9762887E-6 | 1.3E-4 | 18.63455 | 1.3697539E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.989824E-5 | 2.3E-4 | 7.692761 | 2.2989226E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398612E-4 | 4.1E-4 | 1.1264166 | 6.3388783E-4 | 2.7E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374154 | 0.00195 | 0.5360949 | 0.0040857787 | 4.5E-4 |
6.1 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9762887E-6 | 1.3E-4 | 18.63455 | 1.3697539E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.989824E-5 | 2.3E-4 | 7.692761 | 2.2989226E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398612E-4 | 4.1E-4 | 1.1264166 | 6.3388783E-4 | 2.7E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374154 | 0.00195 | 0.5360949 | 0.0040857787 | 4.5E-4 |
6.2 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9762887E-6 | 1.3E-4 | 18.63455 | 1.3697539E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.989824E-5 | 2.3E-4 | 7.692761 | 2.2989226E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398612E-4 | 4.1E-4 | 1.1264166 | 6.3388783E-4 | 2.7E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374154 | 0.00195 | 0.5360949 | 0.0040857787 | 4.5E-4 |
6.3 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9762887E-6 | 1.3E-4 | 18.63455 | 1.3697539E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.989824E-5 | 2.3E-4 | 7.692761 | 2.2989226E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398612E-4 | 4.1E-4 | 1.1264166 | 6.3388783E-4 | 2.7E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374154 | 0.00195 | 0.5360949 | 0.0040857787 | 4.5E-4 |
6.4 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9762887E-6 | 1.3E-4 | 18.63455 | 1.3697539E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.989824E-5 | 2.3E-4 | 7.692761 | 2.2989226E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398612E-4 | 4.1E-4 | 1.1264166 | 6.3388783E-4 | 2.7E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374154 | 0.00195 | 0.5360949 | 0.0040857787 | 4.5E-4 |
6.5 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9762887E-6 | 1.3E-4 | 18.63455 | 1.3697539E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.989824E-5 | 2.3E-4 | 7.692761 | 2.2989226E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398612E-4 | 4.1E-4 | 1.1264166 | 6.3388783E-4 | 2.7E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374154 | 0.00195 | 0.5360949 | 0.0040857787 | 4.5E-4 |
6.6 | 2.653E-6 | 1.6148208E-6 | 9.0E-5 | 55.733738 | 9.1614675E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 1.136995E-5 | 6.9206426E-6 | 1.4E-4 | 20.229336 | 1.3691974E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 1.3842035E-4 | 8.42556E-5 | 2.2E-4 | 2.6111023 | 2.5424128E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0013833415 | 8.4224E-4 | 6.4E-4 | 0.7598784 | 0.0011519789 | 3.1E-4 |
6.7 | 2.5902466E-6 | 1.5501544E-6 | 9.0E-5 | 58.058735 | 9.155001E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 1.11010095E-5 | 6.643502E-6 | 1.4E-4 | 21.073223 | 1.3664264E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 1.351464E-4 | 8.088166E-5 | 2.2E-4 | 2.7200232 | 2.5086792E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0013506424 | 8.0852525E-4 | 6.3E-4 | 0.77919644 | 0.0011182746 | 3.1E-4 |
6.8 | 2.5853892E-6 | 1.5469546E-6 | 9.0E-5 | 58.17882 | 9.154682E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 1.1080193E-5 | 6.629789E-6 | 1.4E-4 | 21.116812 | 1.3662892E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 1.34893E-4 | 8.071472E-5 | 2.2E-4 | 2.725649 | 2.50701E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0013481114 | 8.06857E-4 | 6.3E-4 | 0.7808075 | 0.0011166069 | 3.1E-4 |
6.9 | 2.458257E-6 | 1.422029E-6 | 9.0E-5 | 63.289852 | 9.14219E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 1.0535345E-5 | 6.0943958E-6 | 1.4E-4 | 22.971926 | 1.360936E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 1.2826028E-4 | 7.419676E-5 | 2.2E-4 | 2.965089 | 2.4418414E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0012818627 | 7.4172183E-4 | 5.9E-4 | 0.79544646 | 0.0010514919 | 3.1E-4 |
7.0 | 2.4341468E-6 | 1.3989927E-6 | 9.0E-5 | 64.332 | 9.139887E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 1.0432016E-5 | 5.9956697E-6 | 1.4E-4 | 23.350185 | 1.359949E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 1.270024E-4 | 7.299485E-5 | 2.2E-4 | 3.0139112 | 2.4298244E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0012692984 | 7.297107E-4 | 5.9E-4 | 0.8085396 | 0.0010394844 | 3.1E-4 |
7.1 | 2.3652476E-6 | 1.3339427E-6 | 9.0E-5 | 67.46916 | 9.133382E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 1.0136736E-5 | 5.716885E-6 | 1.4E-4 | 24.488861 | 1.3571614E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 1.2340778E-4 | 6.9600865E-5 | 2.2E-4 | 3.16088 | 2.3958903E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0012333926 | 6.957924E-4 | 5.8E-4 | 0.833582 | 0.0010055767 | 3.1E-4 |
7.2 | 2.272158E-6 | 1.2502497E-6 | 9.0E-5 | 71.98562 | 9.1250135E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 9.737784E-6 | 5.358202E-6 | 1.3E-4 | 24.26187 | 1.353575E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 1.1855107E-4 | 6.523417E-5 | 2.1E-4 | 3.2191718 | 2.3522308E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0011848784 | 6.5215176E-4 | 5.3E-4 | 0.8126943 | 9.619496E-4 | 3.1E-4 |
7.3 | 2.1382127E-6 | 1.1419382E-6 | 9.0E-5 | 78.81337 | 9.114183E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 9.163737E-6 | 4.894012E-6 | 1.3E-4 | 26.563074 | 1.3489337E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 1.1156279E-4 | 5.9582977E-5 | 2.1E-4 | 3.5244966 | 2.2957285E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 0.001115068 | 5.956712E-4 | 5.1E-4 | 0.85617703 | 8.954925E-4 | 3.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.9048055E-6 | 9.574928E-7 | 9.0E-5 | 93.99548 | 9.095741E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 8.163426E-6 | 4.103534E-6 | 1.2E-4 | 29.243084 | 1.2410304E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 9.9385186E-5 | 4.995939E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 4.0032516 | 2.099514E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 9.934074E-4 | 4.9948227E-4 | 4.5E-4 | 0.90093285 | 7.8933744E-4 | 2.9E-4 |
7.5 | 1.5373403E-6 | 7.559763E-7 | 7.0E-5 | 92.59549 | 7.075592E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 6.5885843E-6 | 3.2398946E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 30.865202 | 1.03239574E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 8.021306E-5 | 3.9445007E-5 | 1.5E-4 | 3.8027627 | 1.6943988E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 8.0184115E-4 | 3.9438053E-4 | 3.5E-4 | 0.88746774 | 6.242898E-4 | 2.3E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.65941E-7 | 3.0E-5 | 64.38583 | 3.0465928E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.9968884E-6 | 5.0E-5 | 25.038954 | 5.1996787E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.4311848E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 2.8792546 | 8.431039E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.4309216E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.7404599 | 3.8305813E-4 | 1.4E-4 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5578539E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5578539E-7 | 0.0 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.676515E-7 | 2.0E-5 | 29.955748 | 2.0667638E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.128628E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 2.46044 | 2.8128465E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.128342E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 0.7381579 | 1.3127936E-4 | 5.0E-5 |
Red Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.258278E-6 | 8.551265E-6 | 1.9E-4 | 22.218935 | 1.8854972E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 3.539214E-5 | 3.6647863E-5 | 2.6E-4 | 7.0945473 | 2.7663907E-4 | 2.4E-4 | 4.308141E-4 | 4.4611428E-4 | 6.3E-4 | 1.4121943 | 7.859626E-4 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0042997985 | 0.004453945 | 0.00354 | 0.79480106 | 0.004951718 | 5.0E-4 |
6.1 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7753161E-6 | 1.1E-4 | 29.136633 | 1.0377494E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6179853E-5 | 1.4E-4 | 8.652737 | 1.3617791E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9697666E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.5230231 | 3.469471E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0019027026 | 0.001968488 | 0.00173 | 0.8788471 | 0.002217996 | 2.5E-4 |
6.2 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7753161E-6 | 1.1E-4 | 29.136633 | 1.0377494E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6179853E-5 | 1.4E-4 | 8.652737 | 1.3617791E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9697666E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 1.5230231 | 3.469471E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0019027026 | 0.001968488 | 0.00173 | 0.8788471 | 0.002217996 | 2.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4411166E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 20.81719 | 3.144107E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.1762075E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 4.85735 | 3.617602E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.519415E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 0.9309235 | 1.2519039E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.518258E-4 | 6.8E-4 | 0.90446484 | 8.3176565E-4 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4411166E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 20.81719 | 3.144107E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.1762075E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 4.85735 | 3.617602E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.519415E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 0.9309235 | 1.2519039E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.518258E-4 | 6.8E-4 | 0.90446484 | 8.3176565E-4 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.876812E-7 | 1.0221912E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 19.565811 | 2.1022171E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2329125E-6 | 4.3808195E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 4.565356 | 2.4380732E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 5.153449E-5 | 5.3336476E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.1249337 | 9.333435E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 5.1522546E-4 | 5.333648E-4 | 4.7E-4 | 0.88119805 | 6.033274E-4 | 7.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Cholame) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.5205986E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 0.8728085 | 3.6203212E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0010798109 | 7.8E-4 | 0.7223487 | 0.0013195518 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0063991086 | 0.013067958 | 0.00679 | 0.5195915 | 0.013433123 | 3.7E-4 | 0.06217949 | 0.12438412 | 0.06893 | 0.5541704 | 0.124804415 | 4.8E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.5205986E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 0.8728085 | 3.6203212E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0010798109 | 7.8E-4 | 0.7223487 | 0.0013195518 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0063991086 | 0.013067958 | 0.00679 | 0.5195915 | 0.013433123 | 3.7E-4 | 0.06217949 | 0.12438412 | 0.06893 | 0.5541704 | 0.124804415 | 4.8E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2203569E-4 | 2.502277E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 0.87919927 | 3.6020018E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 5.2290526E-4 | 0.0010719653 | 7.8E-4 | 0.7276355 | 0.001311708 | 2.4E-4 | 0.006347804 | 0.012973578 | 0.00672 | 0.5179758 | 0.013338778 | 3.7E-4 | 0.061695136 | 0.123571314 | 0.06842 | 0.5536884 | 0.123991996 | 4.8E-4 |
6.3 | 1.2142645E-4 | 2.4908737E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 0.8832242 | 3.5905998E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 5.202953E-4 | 0.0010670823 | 7.8E-4 | 0.7309652 | 0.0013068261 | 2.4E-4 | 0.006316212 | 0.012914834 | 0.00671 | 0.5195576 | 0.013280055 | 3.7E-4 | 0.06139677 | 0.12306532 | 0.06823 | 0.554421 | 0.12348625 | 4.8E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1865206E-4 | 2.4414246E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 0.9011132 | 3.541156E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 5.0840975E-4 | 0.0010459068 | 7.8E-4 | 0.7457643 | 0.0012856558 | 2.4E-4 | 0.006172335 | 0.012660044 | 0.00658 | 0.5197454 | 0.01302536 | 3.7E-4 | 0.060036868 | 0.12085904 | 0.06683 | 0.5529582 | 0.12128103 | 4.8E-4 |
6.5 | 1.17443946E-4 | 2.4207575E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 0.90880644 | 3.5204913E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 5.032341E-4 | 0.0010370566 | 7.8E-4 | 0.75212866 | 0.0012768077 | 2.4E-4 | 0.006109677 | 0.012553536 | 0.00653 | 0.5201722 | 0.012918891 | 3.7E-4 | 0.059444077 | 0.11993008 | 0.06626 | 0.55248857 | 0.120352514 | 4.8E-4 |
6.6 | 1.13579066E-4 | 2.3516564E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8504644 | 3.4513976E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 4.866766E-4 | 0.001007465 | 7.6E-4 | 0.75436866 | 0.0012472231 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0059092017 | 0.012197345 | 0.00638 | 0.5230647 | 0.012562832 | 3.7E-4 | 0.057545185 | 0.1168492 | 0.06439 | 0.55105215 | 0.117273115 | 4.8E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1271412E-4 | 2.336088E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.85613215 | 3.4358312E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 4.829711E-4 | 0.001000798 | 7.6E-4 | 0.75939405 | 0.0012405578 | 2.4E-4 | 0.005864331 | 0.012117079 | 0.00633 | 0.5224031 | 0.012482596 | 3.7E-4 | 0.057119697 | 0.11615275 | 0.06386 | 0.54979324 | 0.116577 | 4.8E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1217975E-4 | 2.3249313E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.8602405 | 3.4246754E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 4.8068175E-4 | 9.960202E-4 | 7.5E-4 | 0.75299686 | 0.0012357811 | 2.4E-4 | 0.005836608 | 0.012059555 | 0.0063 | 0.52240735 | 0.012425093 | 3.7E-4 | 0.056856725 | 0.11565061 | 0.06349 | 0.54898113 | 0.1160751 | 4.8E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1146753E-4 | 2.3098059E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.86587363 | 3.409552E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 4.7763053E-4 | 9.895428E-4 | 7.4E-4 | 0.74782014 | 0.0012193152 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0057996577 | 0.011981564 | 0.00621 | 0.5182963 | 0.012337251 | 3.6E-4 | 0.056506127 | 0.11497027 | 0.063 | 0.5479678 | 0.11538623 | 4.7E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0965793E-4 | 2.2721413E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 0.8362156 | 3.3718912E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 4.698779E-4 | 9.734129E-4 | 7.3E-4 | 0.74993867 | 0.001203189 | 2.3E-4 | 0.005705768 | 0.011787324 | 0.00612 | 0.5192018 | 0.012143081 | 3.6E-4 | 0.055614736 | 0.11327011 | 0.06219 | 0.54904157 | 0.113686875 | 4.7E-4 |
7.1 | 9.927982E-5 | 2.0540332E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 0.82764 | 2.9538485E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 4.2541555E-4 | 8.8000396E-4 | 6.2E-4 | 0.7045423 | 0.001079828 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0051671406 | 0.010661708 | 0.00548 | 0.5139889 | 0.010968403 | 3.1E-4 | 0.05048634 | 0.10336573 | 0.05635 | 0.54515165 | 0.103733346 | 4.1E-4 |
7.2 | 9.696786E-5 | 2.0044584E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 0.8481094 | 2.904278E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 4.1551032E-4 | 8.587718E-4 | 6.1E-4 | 0.7103168 | 0.0010586 | 2.0E-4 | 0.00504711 | 0.010405703 | 0.00539 | 0.51798517 | 0.010702582 | 3.0E-4 | 0.04934009 | 0.10110233 | 0.05512 | 0.5451902 | 0.1014529 | 3.9E-4 |
7.3 | 9.4727984E-5 | 1.9473763E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 0.87296945 | 2.847201E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 4.0591392E-4 | 8.343239E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.7191452 | 0.001034157 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0049308087 | 0.010110851 | 0.00529 | 0.5232003 | 0.010407818 | 3.0E-4 | 0.048228268 | 0.09847412 | 0.05364 | 0.54471165 | 0.098825715 | 3.9E-4 |
7.4 | 9.220358E-5 | 1.8844259E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 0.90213156 | 2.7842564E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 3.9509835E-4 | 8.07362E-4 | 5.9E-4 | 0.730775 | 0.0010072006 | 2.0E-4 | 0.004799717 | 0.009785578 | 0.00516 | 0.5273066 | 0.01007274 | 2.9E-4 | 0.046973653 | 0.09555831 | 0.05209 | 0.5451122 | 0.095901996 | 3.8E-4 |
7.5 | 7.71631E-5 | 1.5179155E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.79055786 | 2.3177941E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 3.306571E-4 | 6.5037323E-4 | 4.7E-4 | 0.722662 | 8.3025615E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0040183207 | 0.007889617 | 0.00428 | 0.5424852 | 0.008147566 | 2.6E-4 | 0.03946433 | 0.078289196 | 0.04251 | 0.5429868 | 0.07860258 | 3.4E-4 |
7.6 | 7.5634416E-5 | 1.4838556E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.808704 | 2.2837368E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 3.241072E-4 | 6.357833E-4 | 4.5E-4 | 0.70778835 | 8.1566884E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0039388672 | 0.007713256 | 0.00421 | 0.5458136 | 0.00797125 | 2.6E-4 | 0.038697794 | 0.076654874 | 0.04154 | 0.5419094 | 0.07695958 | 3.3E-4 |
7.7 | 6.3783E-5 | 1.2359623E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.64726895 | 1.8358881E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 2.7332708E-4 | 5.2959064E-4 | 3.3E-4 | 0.6231228 | 6.4952706E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0033226798 | 0.0064287307 | 0.0035 | 0.544431 | 0.006587702 | 1.6E-4 | 0.032734364 | 0.06454488 | 0.03495 | 0.5414837 | 0.06475068 | 2.2E-4 |
7.8 | 5.863422E-5 | 1.14169685E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.52553356 | 1.5416511E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 2.512653E-4 | 4.892069E-4 | 3.1E-4 | 0.6336787 | 5.8915804E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003054864 | 0.0059398497 | 0.00322 | 0.54210126 | 0.006079018 | 1.4E-4 | 0.030132094 | 0.05966162 | 0.03198 | 0.53602296 | 0.059840284 | 1.9E-4 |
7.9 | 4.595283E-5 | 8.426815E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.35600638 | 1.14265626E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9692584E-4 | 3.6109926E-4 | 2.3E-4 | 0.636944 | 4.2107757E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0023949358 | 0.0043875277 | 0.00237 | 0.54016757 | 0.0044572204 | 7.0E-5 | 0.023692891 | 0.044363137 | 0.0235 | 0.52971905 | 0.04443959 | 8.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.2950178E-5 | 5.077396E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.19695134 | 6.0773455E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.412074E-4 | 2.1758456E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.643428 | 2.5757586E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017178444 | 0.0026458753 | 0.0014 | 0.52912545 | 0.002695743 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017046256 | 0.027181072 | 0.01385 | 0.50954574 | 0.027229713 | 5.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9177472E-5 | 1.9183733E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9183733E-5 | 0.0 | 8.218658E-5 | 8.221342E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.60817325 | 1.0221177E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010001622 | 0.0010004893 | 4.8E-4 | 0.47976524 | 0.0010304593 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009956728 | 0.010757887 | 0.00544 | 0.50567555 | 0.010787563 | 3.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.473668E-6 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.42628714 | 3.345813E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 0.52526844 | 2.955654E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032481793 | 0.00171 | 0.5264487 | 0.003258147 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6564595E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.6564595E-7 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.281336E-6 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9949547E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.25031573 | 3.9949547E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.717979E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.42391032 | 4.717979E-4 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7265705E-5 | 1.5E-4 | 3.1735485 | 1.7725956E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0255324E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 1.0367644 | 3.725188E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024635606 | 0.00152 | 0.6169931 | 0.0028126985 | 3.5E-4 | 0.02000288 | 0.024388338 | 0.01137 | 0.46620646 | 0.024846874 | 4.7E-4 |
6.1 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7265705E-5 | 1.5E-4 | 3.1735485 | 1.7725956E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0255324E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 1.0367644 | 3.725188E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024635606 | 0.00152 | 0.6169931 | 0.0028126985 | 3.5E-4 | 0.02000288 | 0.024388338 | 0.01137 | 0.46620646 | 0.024846874 | 4.7E-4 |
6.2 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7265705E-5 | 1.5E-4 | 3.1735485 | 1.7725956E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0255324E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 1.0367644 | 3.725188E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024635606 | 0.00152 | 0.6169931 | 0.0028126985 | 3.5E-4 | 0.02000288 | 0.024388338 | 0.01137 | 0.46620646 | 0.024846874 | 4.7E-4 |
6.3 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.360979E-5 | 1.4E-4 | 4.165453 | 1.6360542E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.4403443E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3885568 | 3.1400996E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0017522788 | 0.00123 | 0.7019431 | 0.0021016656 | 3.5E-4 | 0.014687235 | 0.017391816 | 0.00817 | 0.4697612 | 0.017853642 | 4.7E-4 |
6.4 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.360979E-5 | 1.4E-4 | 4.165453 | 1.6360542E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.4403443E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.3885568 | 3.1400996E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0017522788 | 0.00123 | 0.7019431 | 0.0021016656 | 3.5E-4 | 0.014687235 | 0.017391816 | 0.00817 | 0.4697612 | 0.017853642 | 4.7E-4 |
6.5 | 2.4448687E-5 | 2.8607585E-5 | 1.4E-4 | 4.893807 | 1.5860387E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 1.0477588E-4 | 1.2259845E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.631342 | 2.925776E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0012748998 | 0.0014916616 | 0.0011 | 0.73743266 | 0.0018411396 | 3.5E-4 | 0.012676105 | 0.014821392 | 0.00721 | 0.48645905 | 0.015284426 | 4.7E-4 |
6.6 | 2.1298161E-5 | 2.4660083E-5 | 1.4E-4 | 5.677191 | 1.5465688E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 9.127464E-5 | 1.0568197E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 1.7978469 | 2.75664E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0011107022 | 0.0012859512 | 0.00103 | 0.80096346 | 0.0016355012 | 3.5E-4 | 0.011051672 | 0.01278853 | 0.00633 | 0.4949748 | 0.01325252 | 4.7E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8959729E-5 | 2.1781027E-5 | 1.4E-4 | 6.427613 | 1.517782E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 8.125345E-5 | 9.334406E-5 | 1.9E-4 | 2.0354803 | 2.633282E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 9.888117E-4 | 0.001135897 | 9.6E-4 | 0.8451471 | 0.0014854994 | 3.5E-4 | 0.009844234 | 0.01130357 | 0.00565 | 0.49984208 | 0.011768257 | 4.7E-4 |
6.8 | 1.6691629E-5 | 1.9018351E-5 | 1.4E-4 | 7.361311 | 1.4901588E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 7.153359E-5 | 8.150477E-5 | 1.8E-4 | 2.2084596 | 2.514909E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 8.7057345E-4 | 9.918857E-4 | 8.9E-4 | 0.8972808 | 0.0013415385 | 3.5E-4 | 0.008671708 | 0.009876343 | 0.00486 | 0.49208495 | 0.010341702 | 4.7E-4 |
6.9 | 1.450505E-5 | 1.638954E-5 | 1.3E-4 | 7.9318886 | 1.463874E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 6.216302E-5 | 7.0239046E-5 | 1.6E-4 | 2.2779353 | 2.302278E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 7.5657194E-4 | 8.5483363E-4 | 7.5E-4 | 0.8773637 | 0.00117456 | 3.2E-4 | 0.007540013 | 0.008516386 | 0.00417 | 0.48964435 | 0.008952638 | 4.4E-4 |
7.0 | 1.2940855E-5 | 1.4537972E-5 | 1.3E-4 | 8.942101 | 1.4453608E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 5.545963E-5 | 6.230414E-5 | 1.6E-4 | 2.5680478 | 2.2229417E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 6.750118E-4 | 7.5829466E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.92312396 | 0.001078052 | 3.2E-4 | 0.006729651 | 0.0075576897 | 0.00374 | 0.4948602 | 0.007994365 | 4.4E-4 |
7.1 | 1.2544658E-5 | 1.4078208E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 8.523812 | 1.3407652E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 5.3761712E-5 | 6.0333812E-5 | 1.5E-4 | 2.4861681 | 2.1032477E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 6.5435225E-4 | 7.343222E-4 | 6.9E-4 | 0.939642 | 0.0010440946 | 3.1E-4 | 0.006524288 | 0.007319551 | 0.00365 | 0.49866447 | 0.0077464036 | 4.3E-4 |
7.2 | 1.2489416E-5 | 1.4015674E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 8.561843 | 1.3401399E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 5.3524967E-5 | 6.0065824E-5 | 1.5E-4 | 2.4972603 | 2.1005681E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 6.514716E-4 | 7.310616E-4 | 6.8E-4 | 0.93015414 | 0.001040835 | 3.1E-4 | 0.006495651 | 0.0072871596 | 0.00361 | 0.4953919 | 0.007714026 | 4.3E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2368307E-5 | 1.3879812E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 8.64565 | 1.3387814E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 5.3005948E-5 | 5.9483587E-5 | 1.5E-4 | 2.521704 | 2.0947466E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 6.451563E-4 | 7.2397763E-4 | 6.8E-4 | 0.93925554 | 0.0010337532 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0064328653 | 0.007216782 | 0.00358 | 0.49606597 | 0.0076436787 | 4.3E-4 |
7.4 | 1.2161707E-5 | 1.36478675E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 8.7925825 | 1.3364623E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 5.212056E-5 | 5.8489582E-5 | 1.5E-4 | 2.5645592 | 2.0848081E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 6.3438306E-4 | 7.118836E-4 | 6.8E-4 | 0.95521235 | 0.001021663 | 3.1E-4 | 0.006325751 | 0.0070966207 | 0.00357 | 0.50305635 | 0.007523569 | 4.3E-4 |
7.5 | 1.1707948E-5 | 1.3145515E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 9.128589 | 1.3314394E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 5.0175953E-5 | 5.6336736E-5 | 1.5E-4 | 2.662561 | 2.0632829E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 6.10721E-4 | 6.856895E-4 | 6.7E-4 | 0.9771187 | 9.95477E-4 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0060904534 | 0.006836321 | 0.00344 | 0.50319463 | 0.0072633815 | 4.3E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0319538E-5 | 1.1579622E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 10.363032 | 1.3157823E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 4.4225842E-5 | 4.9626036E-5 | 1.5E-4 | 3.0226068 | 1.9961859E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 5.383166E-4 | 6.040347E-4 | 6.2E-4 | 1.0264311 | 9.138474E-4 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0053701443 | 0.0060244603 | 0.00302 | 0.5012897 | 0.00645187 | 4.3E-4 |
7.7 | 8.937764E-6 | 1.0022779E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 10.975 | 1.2002168E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 3.830414E-5 | 4.295409E-5 | 1.4E-4 | 3.2592938 | 1.8294808E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 4.6625308E-4 | 5.228456E-4 | 5.5E-4 | 1.0519358 | 7.927044E-4 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0046527605 | 0.005216664 | 0.00268 | 0.5137383 | 0.00560463 | 3.9E-4 |
7.8 | 3.108007E-7 | 3.284654E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.284654E-7 | 0.0 | 1.3320023E-6 | 1.407708E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.407708E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6217007E-5 | 1.7138715E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1669487 | 3.7138372E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6215823E-4 | 1.7137431E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.291759 | 1.9137088E-4 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6696718E-9 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.14414505E-8 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3929966E-7 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3929966E-6 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3384395E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 1.1118525 | 4.038042E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010018025 | 7.1E-4 | 0.70872253 | 0.0012215822 | 2.2E-4 | 0.004329778 | 0.012128622 | 0.00584 | 0.48150563 | 0.012464498 | 3.4E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.11258187 | 0.06022 | 0.5348996 | 0.11299896 | 4.7E-4 |
6.1 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3384395E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 1.1118525 | 4.038042E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010018025 | 7.1E-4 | 0.70872253 | 0.0012215822 | 2.2E-4 | 0.004329778 | 0.012128622 | 0.00584 | 0.48150563 | 0.012464498 | 3.4E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.11258187 | 0.06022 | 0.5348996 | 0.11299896 | 4.7E-4 |
6.2 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3384395E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 1.1118525 | 4.038042E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010018025 | 7.1E-4 | 0.70872253 | 0.0012215822 | 2.2E-4 | 0.004329778 | 0.012128622 | 0.00584 | 0.48150563 | 0.012464498 | 3.4E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.11258187 | 0.06022 | 0.5348996 | 0.11299896 | 4.7E-4 |
6.3 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3384395E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 1.1118525 | 4.038042E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010018025 | 7.1E-4 | 0.70872253 | 0.0012215822 | 2.2E-4 | 0.004329778 | 0.012128622 | 0.00584 | 0.48150563 | 0.012464498 | 3.4E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.11258187 | 0.06022 | 0.5348996 | 0.11299896 | 4.7E-4 |
6.4 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.2941893E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 1.1332979 | 3.9937993E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.828559E-4 | 7.1E-4 | 0.7223846 | 0.0012026398 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0041964394 | 0.011900819 | 0.00575 | 0.48316002 | 0.012226892 | 3.3E-4 | 0.041180745 | 0.110562965 | 0.05908 | 0.5343562 | 0.11097211 | 4.6E-4 |
6.5 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.2941893E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 1.1332979 | 3.9937993E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.828559E-4 | 7.1E-4 | 0.7223846 | 0.0012026398 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0041964394 | 0.011900819 | 0.00575 | 0.48316002 | 0.012226892 | 3.3E-4 | 0.041180745 | 0.110562965 | 0.05908 | 0.5343562 | 0.11097211 | 4.6E-4 |
6.6 | 7.619237E-5 | 2.2186468E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 1.1718855 | 3.9182696E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 3.2649786E-4 | 9.5050444E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.7364511 | 0.0011702953 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0039678677 | 0.0115115335 | 0.00557 | 0.48386255 | 0.011837735 | 3.3E-4 | 0.03897764 | 0.10709954 | 0.05699 | 0.5321218 | 0.107510276 | 4.6E-4 |
6.7 | 7.440636E-5 | 2.1862281E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 1.1892629 | 3.8858564E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 3.188454E-4 | 9.3662075E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.7473676 | 0.0011564146 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0038750346 | 0.011344268 | 0.00552 | 0.48658934 | 0.011670524 | 3.3E-4 | 0.038081564 | 0.1056081 | 0.05623 | 0.5324402 | 0.10601058 | 4.5E-4 |
6.8 | 7.3735864E-5 | 2.1709445E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 1.1976354 | 3.8705755E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 3.1597257E-4 | 9.300753E-4 | 6.9E-4 | 0.7418754 | 0.0011498707 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0038401815 | 0.011265406 | 0.00551 | 0.48910797 | 0.011591689 | 3.3E-4 | 0.03774495 | 0.104909696 | 0.05582 | 0.53207666 | 0.10531248 | 4.5E-4 |
6.9 | 7.27575E-5 | 2.1478413E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 1.2105176 | 3.8474763E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 3.117806E-4 | 9.20181E-4 | 6.8E-4 | 0.73898506 | 0.0011399785 | 2.2E-4 | 0.003789323 | 0.011146182 | 0.00545 | 0.48895666 | 0.011472504 | 3.3E-4 | 0.037253562 | 0.10385753 | 0.05521 | 0.5315936 | 0.10425183 | 4.4E-4 |
7.0 | 7.102591E-5 | 2.1062451E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 1.2344242 | 3.805887E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 3.0436125E-4 | 9.023664E-4 | 6.6E-4 | 0.7314102 | 0.0011221679 | 2.2E-4 | 0.003699303 | 0.010931484 | 0.00533 | 0.48758247 | 0.011257877 | 3.3E-4 | 0.03638325 | 0.101959534 | 0.05413 | 0.5308969 | 0.102354676 | 4.4E-4 |
7.1 | 7.028513E-5 | 2.0898094E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 1.2441326 | 3.789454E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 3.0118722E-4 | 8.953274E-4 | 6.5E-4 | 0.7259914 | 0.0011151304 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0036607897 | 0.010846641 | 0.00526 | 0.48494276 | 0.011173062 | 3.3E-4 | 0.036010686 | 0.10120243 | 0.05362 | 0.52982914 | 0.101597905 | 4.4E-4 |
7.2 | 6.8498244E-5 | 2.050596E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 1.2679241 | 3.7502474E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 2.9353087E-4 | 8.7853306E-4 | 6.4E-4 | 0.7284871 | 0.0010983398 | 2.2E-4 | 0.003567883 | 0.0106441835 | 0.0052 | 0.48852974 | 0.010970671 | 3.3E-4 | 0.035111405 | 0.09939449 | 0.05268 | 0.53000927 | 0.09979076 | 4.4E-4 |
7.3 | 6.622592E-5 | 1.9733235E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 1.3175741 | 3.672988E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 2.8379448E-4 | 8.4543816E-4 | 6.1E-4 | 0.72151935 | 0.0010652521 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0034497243 | 0.010245111 | 0.00492 | 0.48022908 | 0.010561832 | 3.2E-4 | 0.033966612 | 0.095891245 | 0.05059 | 0.5275768 | 0.096280016 | 4.3E-4 |
7.4 | 5.1050705E-5 | 1.4690042E-4 | 2.3E-4 | 1.5656865 | 3.0687693E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 2.1877038E-4 | 6.294222E-4 | 5.2E-4 | 0.82615453 | 8.3929003E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 0.002660276 | 0.007636482 | 0.00384 | 0.50284934 | 0.0079441145 | 3.1E-4 | 0.02628654 | 0.07286554 | 0.03817 | 0.5238416 | 0.073254935 | 4.2E-4 |
7.5 | 3.9302922E-5 | 1.11307076E-4 | 2.3E-4 | 2.0663557 | 2.7128926E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 1.6843023E-4 | 4.7694342E-4 | 4.7E-4 | 0.9854418 | 6.8684324E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0020487092 | 0.0057913954 | 0.00314 | 0.5421837 | 0.0060996 | 3.1E-4 | 0.020299247 | 0.05601151 | 0.02945 | 0.5257848 | 0.056407984 | 4.2E-4 |
7.6 | 2.9851626E-5 | 8.4956984E-5 | 2.1E-4 | 2.471839 | 2.449434E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 1.2792926E-4 | 3.6405068E-4 | 4.3E-4 | 1.1811543 | 5.739742E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0015564259 | 0.0044233347 | 0.00257 | 0.5810096 | 0.0047319634 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0154556995 | 0.043196145 | 0.02266 | 0.5245838 | 0.043598004 | 4.2E-4 |
7.7 | 2.1135214E-5 | 6.353527E-5 | 1.8E-4 | 2.8330722 | 2.1352574E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 9.0576345E-5 | 2.722656E-4 | 3.8E-4 | 1.3956959 | 4.7221116E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0011022091 | 0.0033098008 | 0.00204 | 0.6163513 | 0.0036088077 | 3.0E-4 | 0.010967582 | 0.03258456 | 0.01738 | 0.53338146 | 0.032971527 | 4.0E-4 |
7.8 | 1.883379E-5 | 5.564576E-5 | 1.4E-4 | 2.515915 | 1.7563908E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 8.0713755E-5 | 2.3846005E-4 | 3.1E-4 | 1.300008 | 3.984219E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 9.822468E-4 | 0.002899389 | 0.00183 | 0.6311675 | 0.0031586352 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0097791655 | 0.028696978 | 0.01517 | 0.5286271 | 0.029036935 | 3.5E-4 |
7.9 | 1.5156185E-5 | 4.1662403E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 2.8802946 | 1.616574E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 6.495346E-5 | 1.7854095E-4 | 2.4E-4 | 1.3442295 | 3.2851417E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 7.9052144E-4 | 0.0021715704 | 0.00133 | 0.61246 | 0.002411049 | 2.4E-4 | 0.007877152 | 0.021760946 | 0.01148 | 0.52755064 | 0.022083765 | 3.3E-4 |
8.0 | 1.1405907E-5 | 2.9976925E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 3.669489 | 1.3997364E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 4.8881542E-5 | 1.2846621E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.5568295 | 2.5844952E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 5.9497025E-4 | 0.0015629551 | 9.7E-4 | 0.62061924 | 0.001752658 | 1.9E-4 | 0.005933798 | 0.015774013 | 0.00817 | 0.51794046 | 0.016000384 | 2.3E-4 |
8.1 | 4.3511436E-6 | 7.369465E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.369465E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8647626E-5 | 3.158304E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.63325125 | 4.1582723E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2701119E-4 | 3.844558E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 0.39016187 | 3.9445196E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022677942 | 0.0041165445 | 0.0022 | 0.53442883 | 0.004126503 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.3042528E-6 | 2.7328301E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7328301E-6 | 0.0 | 9.875332E-6 | 1.1712076E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.85381955 | 2.171196E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2022553E-4 | 1.4258524E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.4208009 | 1.5258382E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012016051 | 0.0015979637 | 8.7E-4 | 0.5444429 | 0.0016079478 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 5.202968E-7 | 3.1590292E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1590292E-7 | 0.0 | 2.2298414E-6 | 1.353869E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.353869E-6 | 0.0 | 2.714798E-5 | 1.6483244E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.60667676 | 1.6483244E-5 | 0.0 | 2.7144665E-4 | 1.955901E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.460146 | 1.955901E-4 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4324407E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 0.8633304 | 3.7321245E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010420597 | 7.7E-4 | 0.73892117 | 0.0012917992 | 2.5E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.012613757 | 0.00653 | 0.51768875 | 0.012969215 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.120640226 | 0.06596 | 0.54674965 | 0.121053524 | 4.7E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4324407E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 0.8633304 | 3.7321245E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010420597 | 7.7E-4 | 0.73892117 | 0.0012917992 | 2.5E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.012613757 | 0.00653 | 0.51768875 | 0.012969215 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.120640226 | 0.06596 | 0.54674965 | 0.121053524 | 4.7E-4 |
6.2 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4324407E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 0.8633304 | 3.7321245E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010420597 | 7.7E-4 | 0.73892117 | 0.0012917992 | 2.5E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.012613757 | 0.00653 | 0.51768875 | 0.012969215 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.120640226 | 0.06596 | 0.54674965 | 0.121053524 | 4.7E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4324407E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 0.8633304 | 3.7321245E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010420597 | 7.7E-4 | 0.73892117 | 0.0012917992 | 2.5E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.012613757 | 0.00653 | 0.51768875 | 0.012969215 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.120640226 | 0.06596 | 0.54674965 | 0.121053524 | 4.7E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4324407E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 0.8633304 | 3.7321245E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010420597 | 7.7E-4 | 0.73892117 | 0.0012917992 | 2.5E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.012613757 | 0.00653 | 0.51768875 | 0.012969215 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.120640226 | 0.06596 | 0.54674965 | 0.121053524 | 4.7E-4 |
6.5 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.3644442E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 0.888158 | 3.6641367E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010129412 | 7.5E-4 | 0.7404181 | 0.001262688 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012263271 | 0.00634 | 0.51699096 | 0.0126188565 | 3.6E-4 | 0.057327334 | 0.11761008 | 0.06433 | 0.5469769 | 0.1180248 | 4.7E-4 |
6.6 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.3644442E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 0.888158 | 3.6641367E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010129412 | 7.5E-4 | 0.7404181 | 0.001262688 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012263271 | 0.00634 | 0.51699096 | 0.0126188565 | 3.6E-4 | 0.057327334 | 0.11761008 | 0.06433 | 0.5469769 | 0.1180248 | 4.7E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1149675E-4 | 2.3335687E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 0.8999092 | 3.6332654E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 4.777557E-4 | 9.997191E-4 | 7.5E-4 | 0.75021076 | 0.0012494691 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0058011734 | 0.012104088 | 0.00629 | 0.51965916 | 0.012459731 | 3.6E-4 | 0.05652051 | 0.1162291 | 0.06355 | 0.54676497 | 0.11664448 | 4.7E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1103589E-4 | 2.3237852E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 0.903698 | 3.623483E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 4.7578133E-4 | 9.955293E-4 | 7.5E-4 | 0.7533681 | 0.0012452804 | 2.5E-4 | 0.005777263 | 0.012053643 | 0.00627 | 0.5201747 | 0.012409304 | 3.6E-4 | 0.056293584 | 0.11578894 | 0.0633 | 0.5466843 | 0.116204515 | 4.7E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1053259E-4 | 2.3130233E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 0.90790266 | 3.6127228E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 4.7362508E-4 | 9.909206E-4 | 7.5E-4 | 0.75687194 | 0.0012406729 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0057511497 | 0.011998152 | 0.00623 | 0.51924664 | 0.012353833 | 3.6E-4 | 0.05604569 | 0.11530445 | 0.06296 | 0.5460327 | 0.11572026 | 4.7E-4 |
7.0 | 1.1005377E-4 | 2.3031076E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 0.9118115 | 3.6028083E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 4.7157376E-4 | 9.866742E-4 | 7.5E-4 | 0.7601293 | 0.0012364276 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0057263062 | 0.011947021 | 0.0062 | 0.51895785 | 0.01230272 | 3.6E-4 | 0.055809796 | 0.11485658 | 0.06274 | 0.54624647 | 0.1152726 | 4.7E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0308142E-4 | 2.1540876E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.92846733 | 3.353829E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 4.417027E-4 | 9.228548E-4 | 6.9E-4 | 0.7476799 | 0.0011526425 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0053644776 | 0.011178188 | 0.00582 | 0.5206568 | 0.011514388 | 3.4E-4 | 0.052368138 | 0.10809042 | 0.05911 | 0.54685694 | 0.108491786 | 4.5E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0027479E-4 | 2.094876E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9547104 | 3.2946246E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 4.296783E-4 | 8.9749607E-4 | 6.8E-4 | 0.7576635 | 0.0011272896 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0052187922 | 0.010872566 | 0.0057 | 0.5242553 | 0.011198979 | 3.3E-4 | 0.050979212 | 0.10539086 | 0.05765 | 0.5470114 | 0.10577554 | 4.3E-4 |
7.3 | 9.816942E-5 | 2.0423878E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.97924596 | 3.2421426E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 4.2065824E-4 | 8.7501644E-4 | 6.7E-4 | 0.7656999 | 0.0011048152 | 2.3E-4 | 0.005109493 | 0.010601572 | 0.00561 | 0.5291668 | 0.010928073 | 3.3E-4 | 0.049935985 | 0.10297546 | 0.05634 | 0.5471207 | 0.103361174 | 4.3E-4 |
7.4 | 9.5634205E-5 | 1.9793298E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.010443 | 3.1790923E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 4.0979648E-4 | 8.4800937E-4 | 6.6E-4 | 0.77829325 | 0.0010778144 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0049778637 | 0.010275901 | 0.00548 | 0.5332866 | 0.010592613 | 3.2E-4 | 0.048678253 | 0.100067884 | 0.05477 | 0.5473285 | 0.10044586 | 4.2E-4 |
7.5 | 8.052417E-5 | 1.6113915E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 0.9929306 | 2.7112142E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 3.4505792E-4 | 6.9041376E-4 | 5.5E-4 | 0.7966237 | 9.002688E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0041929903 | 0.008373471 | 0.00461 | 0.55054826 | 0.008661043 | 2.9E-4 | 0.04114753 | 0.082815245 | 0.04515 | 0.5451895 | 0.083163776 | 3.8E-4 |
7.6 | 7.897024E-5 | 1.5767086E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 1.0147722 | 2.6765352E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 3.384E-4 | 6.755574E-4 | 5.3E-4 | 0.7845373 | 8.854156E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0041122385 | 0.00819397 | 0.00454 | 0.554066 | 0.008481594 | 2.9E-4 | 0.040369697 | 0.08115866 | 0.04419 | 0.544489 | 0.08149863 | 3.7E-4 |
7.7 | 6.707427E-5 | 1.3277122E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.75317526 | 2.0276193E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 2.8742946E-4 | 5.688955E-4 | 3.9E-4 | 0.68553895 | 6.9882156E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.003493839 | 0.0069043385 | 0.00382 | 0.5532753 | 0.007073165 | 1.7E-4 | 0.034394164 | 0.06905339 | 0.03754 | 0.5436373 | 0.06927682 | 2.4E-4 |
7.8 | 6.147705E-5 | 1.2198445E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.65582126 | 1.7197835E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 2.6344648E-4 | 5.226858E-4 | 3.6E-4 | 0.6887503 | 6.326283E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0032027436 | 0.006345156 | 0.00352 | 0.5547539 | 0.0064942045 | 1.5E-4 | 0.031569764 | 0.0635172 | 0.03425 | 0.539224 | 0.063713856 | 2.1E-4 |
7.9 | 4.7636717E-5 | 8.8802946E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.3378266 | 1.18800286E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0414138E-4 | 3.8052857E-4 | 2.4E-4 | 0.63070166 | 4.4050574E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0024825884 | 0.004623101 | 0.00252 | 0.54508865 | 0.0046927775 | 7.0E-5 | 0.024550365 | 0.046629366 | 0.02481 | 0.53206813 | 0.046715166 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.3554235E-5 | 5.2138024E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.1917986 | 6.213751E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4379594E-4 | 2.2342955E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.62659574 | 2.634206E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017493097 | 0.002716863 | 0.00143 | 0.52634233 | 0.0027667272 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017356034 | 0.027881905 | 0.01418 | 0.50857353 | 0.027930511 | 5.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9175432E-5 | 1.9183564E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9183564E-5 | 0.0 | 8.217783E-5 | 8.221269E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.6081786 | 1.02211045E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010000558 | 0.0010004805 | 4.8E-4 | 0.47976947 | 0.0010304505 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009955673 | 0.010757771 | 0.00544 | 0.505681 | 0.010787448 | 3.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.473668E-6 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.42628714 | 3.345813E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 0.52526844 | 2.955654E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032481793 | 0.00171 | 0.5264487 | 0.003258147 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6564595E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.6564595E-7 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.281336E-6 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9949547E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.25031573 | 3.9949547E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.717979E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.42391032 | 4.717979E-4 | 0.0 |
White Wolf (Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066615E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 16.483658 | 1.0606601E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.5999556E-5 | 1.5E-4 | 5.769329 | 1.4599644E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1650523E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.2638022 | 5.6642614E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031611966 | 0.00195 | 0.616855 | 0.0035699005 | 4.1E-4 |
6.1 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066615E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 16.483658 | 1.0606601E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.5999556E-5 | 1.5E-4 | 5.769329 | 1.4599644E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1650523E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.2638022 | 5.6642614E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031611966 | 0.00195 | 0.616855 | 0.0035699005 | 4.1E-4 |
6.2 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066615E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 16.483658 | 1.0606601E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.5999556E-5 | 1.5E-4 | 5.769329 | 1.4599644E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1650523E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.2638022 | 5.6642614E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031611966 | 0.00195 | 0.616855 | 0.0035699005 | 4.1E-4 |
6.3 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066615E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 16.483658 | 1.0606601E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.5999556E-5 | 1.5E-4 | 5.769329 | 1.4599644E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1650523E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 1.2638022 | 5.6642614E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031611966 | 0.00195 | 0.616855 | 0.0035699005 | 4.1E-4 |
6.4 | 5.821773E-6 | 3.5571256E-6 | 5.0E-5 | 14.056293 | 5.355695E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.4950215E-5 | 1.5244741E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 5.247711 | 7.524383E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 3.0372653E-4 | 1.8559002E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0776442 | 2.8557147E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0030331176 | 0.0018544586 | 0.00104 | 0.56081057 | 0.0020241432 | 1.7E-4 |
6.5 | 5.766023E-6 | 3.4990599E-6 | 5.0E-5 | 14.289553 | 5.3498883E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.4711293E-5 | 1.49958905E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 5.334795 | 7.499499E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 3.0081844E-4 | 1.8256076E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 1.0407493 | 2.8254252E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0030041158 | 0.0018242161 | 9.9E-4 | 0.54269886 | 0.0019739424 | 1.5E-4 |
6.6 | 4.643576E-6 | 2.3325733E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 8.574222 | 2.2332526E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9900888E-5 | 9.9967065E-6 | 5.0E-5 | 5.0016475 | 3.999641E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.4226638E-4 | 1.2170354E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.9038357 | 1.7169745E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0024200242 | 0.0012164112 | 6.0E-4 | 0.4932542 | 0.001296314 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.9529173E-6 | 1.6482975E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 12.133732 | 2.1648264E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6940963E-5 | 7.064114E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 5.6624227 | 2.7063972E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0623671E-4 | 8.600239E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1627585 | 1.2599894E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.002060454 | 8.597095E-4 | 4.8E-4 | 0.55832815 | 9.0966653E-4 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4377522E-6 | 1.2244764E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 8.166757 | 1.1224464E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.473314E-5 | 5.247746E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 3.8111603 | 1.5247693E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7936122E-4 | 6.388952E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 0.9391211 | 8.388825E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017921652 | 6.3872064E-4 | 3.3E-4 | 0.51665777 | 6.5870787E-4 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.1367306E-6 | 1.0033316E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0033316E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3443062E-5 | 4.299986E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3255892 | 4.299986E-6 | 0.0 | 1.63657E-4 | 5.2351144E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.76407117 | 6.235062E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016353652 | 5.233958E-4 | 2.7E-4 | 0.51586205 | 5.3339056E-4 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8298145E-6 | 7.4282326E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.4282326E-7 | 0.0 | 1.2127721E-5 | 3.1835248E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1411724 | 3.1835248E-6 | 0.0 | 1.47645E-4 | 3.8758775E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.7740183 | 3.8758775E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0014754693 | 3.8752513E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.5160955 | 3.8752513E-4 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.4091064E-6 | 5.4223835E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.4223835E-7 | 0.0 | 1.03247E-5 | 2.3238767E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 4.303154 | 2.3238767E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2569598E-4 | 2.8292874E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0603377 | 2.8292874E-5 | 0.0 | 0.001256249 | 2.8289677E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 0.5655774 | 2.8289677E-4 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.3875518E-6 | 1.0740268E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0740268E-7 | 0.0 | 5.9466374E-6 | 4.6029712E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6029712E-7 | 0.0 | 7.23979E-5 | 5.604104E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.604104E-6 | 0.0 | 7.2374323E-4 | 5.6039742E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.17844479 | 5.6039742E-5 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.056077E-7 | 5.0002956E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0002956E-8 | 0.0 | 3.0240296E-6 | 2.1429837E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1429837E-7 | 0.0 | 3.681694E-5 | 2.60908E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.60908E-6 | 0.0 | 3.681084E-4 | 2.609054E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.38328066 | 2.609054E-5 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.8638475E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.8638475E-9 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 2.084506E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.084506E-8 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.5378858E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5378858E-7 | 0.0 | 3.095951E-5 | 2.5378843E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5378843E-6 | 0.0 |
Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.169034E-5 | 4.7137048E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1214736 | 1.3713281E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 1.7866064E-4 | 2.0200513E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 1.2375923 | 3.4197685E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0021730233 | 0.0024574657 | 0.00218 | 0.8870927 | 0.0026370233 | 1.8E-4 | 0.021518968 | 0.02438483 | 0.02272 | 0.9317268 | 0.024658002 | 2.8E-4 |
6.1 | 1.73813E-5 | 1.6854203E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 2.3732953 | 5.685353E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 7.4489166E-5 | 7.223036E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 1.6613512 | 1.422253E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 9.065282E-4 | 8.790605E-4 | 8.8E-4 | 1.0010687 | 9.789726E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009028391 | 0.008757128 | 0.00795 | 0.9078318 | 0.008895903 | 1.4E-4 |
6.2 | 1.4622182E-5 | 1.3673262E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 2.9254174 | 5.3672717E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 6.2664985E-5 | 5.85984E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 1.8771843 | 1.285943E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 7.6267915E-4 | 7.132059E-4 | 7.0E-4 | 0.98148376 | 8.131346E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007600669 | 0.007109767 | 0.0062 | 0.8720398 | 0.007218985 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.3552434E-5 | 1.2482174E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 3.20457 | 5.2481675E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 5.8080568E-5 | 5.349395E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 2.0563073 | 1.234902E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 7.069015E-4 | 6.510974E-4 | 6.1E-4 | 0.9368798 | 7.5103226E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00704657 | 0.006492415 | 0.00535 | 0.82403857 | 0.0066017006 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.30977305E-5 | 1.1979128E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 3.339141 | 5.1978648E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 5.613192E-5 | 5.133813E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.9478699 | 1.2133454E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 6.831918E-4 | 6.2486547E-4 | 5.5E-4 | 0.8801894 | 7.148092E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.006810953 | 0.006231584 | 0.00505 | 0.81038785 | 0.006330961 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.225205E-5 | 1.1048776E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7152328 | 4.1048443E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 5.2507727E-5 | 4.735105E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 1.900697 | 1.0734821E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 6.3909404E-4 | 5.7634927E-4 | 4.8E-4 | 0.83282834 | 6.563032E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.006372592 | 0.005749009 | 0.00445 | 0.7740465 | 0.0058384915 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1352241E-5 | 1.0063508E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.9936893 | 2.0063408E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8651553E-5 | 4.3128617E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.3911877 | 7.3127325E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 5.921717E-4 | 5.249665E-4 | 3.9E-4 | 0.7429045 | 5.749403E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0059059616 | 0.0052376646 | 0.00382 | 0.72933275 | 0.00529735 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0864116E-5 | 9.517E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0507513 | 1.9516905E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6559664E-5 | 4.0786515E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4710743 | 7.0785296E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 5.667165E-4 | 4.964647E-4 | 3.4E-4 | 0.6848422 | 5.464399E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.005652734 | 0.0049539437 | 0.00344 | 0.69439626 | 0.0050136466 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0666365E-5 | 9.299752E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0752975 | 1.929966E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 4.571219E-5 | 3.985548E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.505439 | 6.9854286E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 5.564038E-4 | 4.8513446E-4 | 3.1E-4 | 0.6389981 | 5.351102E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.005550127 | 0.00484114 | 0.00326 | 0.6733951 | 0.0049008494 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0038665E-5 | 8.592018E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1638708 | 1.8591933E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 4.302214E-5 | 3.682243E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.6294417 | 6.6821325E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 5.236687E-4 | 4.4822265E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.6693102 | 4.9820024E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.005224364 | 0.0044735507 | 0.00301 | 0.6728436 | 0.0045332825 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.5379955E-6 | 8.025047E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.025047E-6 | 0.0 | 4.0876483E-5 | 3.439261E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4538006 | 5.4391923E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 4.975576E-4 | 4.1865133E-4 | 2.7E-4 | 0.6449281 | 4.5863457E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00496445 | 0.00417898 | 0.00277 | 0.6628412 | 0.0042287707 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.207389E-6 | 7.652347E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.652347E-6 | 0.0 | 3.945964E-5 | 3.2795375E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5246053 | 5.2794716E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 4.803152E-4 | 3.992122E-4 | 2.7E-4 | 0.676332 | 4.3919624E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004792784 | 0.003985301 | 0.0027 | 0.6774896 | 0.0040351017 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.638091E-6 | 5.9310923E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.9310923E-6 | 0.0 | 3.2734264E-5 | 2.5418722E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.7868216 | 3.5418467E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.984668E-4 | 3.094293E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 0.7109863 | 3.3942002E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0039775306 | 0.0030901956 | 0.00214 | 0.6925128 | 0.003130072 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.2500147E-6 | 5.596131E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.596131E-6 | 0.0 | 3.1071122E-5 | 2.3983199E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.83391714 | 3.398296E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7822526E-4 | 2.9195662E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 0.65078163 | 3.2194785E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0037758215 | 0.0029159402 | 0.00204 | 0.6996028 | 0.0029558237 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.3899715E-6 | 4.9184864E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9184864E-6 | 0.0 | 2.7385306E-5 | 2.1079059E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.94880897 | 3.107885E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3336508E-4 | 2.566075E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.70146036 | 2.8659982E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0033286542 | 0.002563311 | 0.00177 | 0.6905132 | 0.002593234 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.379025E-6 | 4.0838477E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0838477E-6 | 0.0 | 2.305276E-5 | 1.7502087E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1427209 | 2.7501912E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.806312E-4 | 2.1306718E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.6101362 | 2.4306079E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0028027708 | 0.0021286402 | 0.00153 | 0.7187687 | 0.0021585764 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.1270696E-6 | 3.0883373E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0883373E-6 | 0.0 | 1.768732E-5 | 1.32356645E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.7555344 | 2.3235532E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1532185E-4 | 1.6113237E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.31030387 | 1.8112914E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021511333 | 0.0016101635 | 0.00104 | 0.64589715 | 0.0016301313 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.5406805E-6 | 1.8282044E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8282044E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0888585E-5 | 7.835139E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2763016 | 1.783506E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3256045E-4 | 9.53887E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.20966844 | 1.0538774E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013248142 | 9.534837E-4 | 5.6E-4 | 0.58731997 | 9.6347416E-4 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 4.8608285E-7 | 3.509864E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.509864E-7 | 0.0 | 2.0832106E-6 | 1.5042266E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5042266E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5362791E-5 | 1.8313805E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8313805E-5 | 0.0 | 2.5359896E-4 | 1.8312308E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.76451313 | 1.8312308E-4 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.0472514E-8 | 1.2688718E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2688718E-8 | 0.0 | 8.7739345E-8 | 5.438022E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.438022E-8 | 0.0 | 1.068226E-6 | 6.6207895E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.6207895E-7 | 0.0 | 1.0682209E-5 | 6.620771E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.620771E-6 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 4.443582E-9 | 2.032067E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.032067E-9 | 0.0 | 1.9043922E-8 | 8.7088585E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.7088585E-9 | 0.0 | 2.3185973E-7 | 1.0603035E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0603035E-7 | 0.0 | 2.3185949E-6 | 1.0603031E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0603031E-6 | 0.0 |
Cady
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1858728E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 5.4897976 | 1.418561E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3677416E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.1349864 | 2.7366055E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011400167 | 9.2E-4 | 0.8070057 | 0.0014296861 | 2.9E-4 | 0.010326075 | 0.011350701 | 0.00714 | 0.62903607 | 0.011706614 | 3.6E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1858728E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 5.4897976 | 1.418561E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3677416E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.1349864 | 2.7366055E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011400167 | 9.2E-4 | 0.8070057 | 0.0014296861 | 2.9E-4 | 0.010326075 | 0.011350701 | 0.00714 | 0.62903607 | 0.011706614 | 3.6E-4 |
6.2 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1858728E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 5.4897976 | 1.418561E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3677416E-5 | 2.0E-4 | 2.1349864 | 2.7366055E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011400167 | 9.2E-4 | 0.8070057 | 0.0014296861 | 2.9E-4 | 0.010326075 | 0.011350701 | 0.00714 | 0.62903607 | 0.011706614 | 3.6E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2176583E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 4.9274907 | 7.2175855E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.2184492E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 2.2995338 | 1.6217875E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.351925E-4 | 5.7E-4 | 0.89736575 | 8.1507815E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0063368753 | 0.00416 | 0.65647495 | 0.006565418 | 2.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2176583E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 4.9274907 | 7.2175855E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.2184492E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 2.2995338 | 1.6217875E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.351925E-4 | 5.7E-4 | 0.89736575 | 8.1507815E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0063368753 | 0.00416 | 0.65647495 | 0.006565418 | 2.3E-4 |
6.5 | 6.103093E-6 | 6.672021E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 5.9951854 | 4.6671754E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 2.615585E-5 | 2.8594131E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 2.797777 | 1.0859184E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 3.1840094E-4 | 3.480905E-4 | 3.7E-4 | 1.0629419 | 4.7804526E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0031794512 | 0.0034766865 | 0.00235 | 0.6759309 | 0.0036460955 | 1.7E-4 |
6.6 | 5.817237E-6 | 6.3656585E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 6.2837176 | 4.6365403E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 2.4930776E-5 | 2.728118E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 2.9324245 | 1.07279E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 3.034899E-4 | 3.3211018E-4 | 3.7E-4 | 1.1140882 | 4.62067E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0030307577 | 0.0033173605 | 0.00219 | 0.6601634 | 0.0034867965 | 1.7E-4 |
6.7 | 4.8846314E-6 | 5.3405684E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 5.6173797 | 3.5340407E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0933967E-5 | 2.2888014E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 3.0583692 | 9.288641E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 2.5484123E-4 | 2.7863772E-4 | 3.4E-4 | 1.2202225 | 3.986043E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0025454918 | 0.0027840391 | 0.00179 | 0.6429507 | 0.0029336214 | 1.5E-4 |
6.8 | 1.7788773E-6 | 1.9399079E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 10.309768 | 2.193987E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 7.6237375E-6 | 8.313874E-6 | 6.0E-5 | 7.2168527 | 6.831338E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 9.281505E-5 | 1.01218284E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 1.580742 | 1.712112E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 9.2776294E-4 | 0.0010118765 | 6.0E-4 | 0.59295774 | 0.0010818057 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.5455404E-7 | 8.297092E-7 | 1.0E-5 | 12.052415 | 1.0829701E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.233799E-6 | 3.5558937E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 5.624465 | 2.3555822E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.937079E-5 | 4.3292483E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.154935 | 6.329161E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.9363815E-4 | 4.3287344E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 0.6006375 | 4.5286477E-4 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.8578805E-7 | 7.541816E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.541816E-7 | 0.0 | 2.9390883E-6 | 3.2322048E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0938635 | 1.3232172E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.578281E-5 | 3.9351715E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.7623556 | 4.9351318E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.577705E-4 | 3.9347992E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.50828516 | 4.0347598E-4 | 1.0E-5 |
Baker
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8348373E-6 | 1.6E-4 | 27.421503 | 1.658339E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5006228E-5 | 1.8E-4 | 7.198207 | 2.0500172E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.044123E-4 | 4.3E-4 | 1.412558 | 5.543362E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030403486 | 0.0019 | 0.6249283 | 0.0033992543 | 3.6E-4 |
6.1 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8348373E-6 | 1.6E-4 | 27.421503 | 1.658339E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5006228E-5 | 1.8E-4 | 7.198207 | 2.0500172E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.044123E-4 | 4.3E-4 | 1.412558 | 5.543362E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030403486 | 0.0019 | 0.6249283 | 0.0033992543 | 3.6E-4 |
6.2 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8348373E-6 | 1.6E-4 | 27.421503 | 1.658339E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5006228E-5 | 1.8E-4 | 7.198207 | 2.0500172E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.044123E-4 | 4.3E-4 | 1.412558 | 5.543362E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030403486 | 0.0019 | 0.6249283 | 0.0033992543 | 3.6E-4 |
6.3 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.383667E-6 | 1.3E-4 | 38.419857 | 1.3338323E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.4501353E-5 | 1.4E-4 | 9.654272 | 1.5449933E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.7654014E-4 | 3.1E-4 | 1.7559747 | 3.665066E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0017201907 | 0.001764046 | 0.00113 | 0.64057285 | 0.0020036227 | 2.4E-4 |
6.4 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.383667E-6 | 1.3E-4 | 38.419857 | 1.3338323E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.4501353E-5 | 1.4E-4 | 9.654272 | 1.5449933E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.7654014E-4 | 3.1E-4 | 1.7559747 | 3.665066E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0017201907 | 0.001764046 | 0.00113 | 0.64057285 | 0.0020036227 | 2.4E-4 |
6.5 | 2.782202E-6 | 2.8558404E-6 | 1.3E-4 | 45.520752 | 1.3285546E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 1.1923668E-5 | 1.223926E-5 | 1.4E-4 | 11.4386 | 1.5223755E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 1.4516099E-4 | 1.4900314E-4 | 2.9E-4 | 1.9462677 | 3.289763E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.001450662 | 0.0014890651 | 0.001 | 0.6715623 | 0.0017187226 | 2.3E-4 |
6.6 | 2.3163404E-6 | 2.38092E-6 | 1.3E-4 | 54.600742 | 1.323806E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 9.927136E-6 | 1.0203904E-5 | 1.4E-4 | 13.720239 | 1.5020248E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 1.20856166E-4 | 1.2422565E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 2.012467 | 3.042033E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0012079047 | 0.0012415823 | 9.2E-4 | 0.7409899 | 0.0014712968 | 2.3E-4 |
6.7 | 2.037056E-6 | 2.0965003E-6 | 1.2E-4 | 57.238243 | 1.2209624E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 8.7302105E-6 | 8.984972E-6 | 1.3E-4 | 14.468604 | 1.389838E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 1.0628513E-4 | 1.093867E-4 | 2.4E-4 | 2.194051 | 2.793681E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0010623431 | 0.0010933448 | 8.4E-4 | 0.7682847 | 0.0013031152 | 2.1E-4 |
6.8 | 1.8356744E-6 | 1.8915287E-6 | 1.2E-4 | 63.44075 | 1.218913E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 7.867153E-6 | 8.106527E-6 | 1.3E-4 | 16.03646 | 1.3810548E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 9.577837E-5 | 9.869264E-5 | 2.3E-4 | 2.3304677 | 2.6867585E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 9.57371E-4 | 9.86502E-4 | 8.0E-4 | 0.8109461 | 0.0011863047 | 2.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.6310546E-6 | 1.6832072E-6 | 1.1E-4 | 65.35143 | 1.11683024E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 6.9902153E-6 | 7.213726E-6 | 1.2E-4 | 16.634954 | 1.2721286E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 8.510255E-5 | 8.782368E-5 | 2.1E-4 | 2.3911545 | 2.4780963E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 8.5069967E-4 | 8.7790104E-4 | 7.2E-4 | 0.820138 | 0.0010677342 | 1.9E-4 |
7.0 | 1.2058036E-6 | 1.2508665E-6 | 8.0E-5 | 63.955666 | 8.1250764E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 5.1677193E-6 | 5.3608455E-6 | 9.0E-5 | 16.788395 | 9.536037E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 6.291517E-5 | 6.5266366E-5 | 1.6E-4 | 2.4514923 | 1.8525853E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 6.289736E-4 | 6.524743E-4 | 5.2E-4 | 0.79696625 | 7.923829E-4 | 1.4E-4 |
7.1 | 1.052382E-6 | 1.0951609E-6 | 6.0E-5 | 54.786472 | 6.1095096E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 4.5102006E-6 | 4.693538E-6 | 7.0E-5 | 14.914122 | 7.469321E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 5.491031E-5 | 5.7142337E-5 | 1.3E-4 | 2.2750206 | 1.5713662E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.4896745E-4 | 5.7127734E-4 | 4.6E-4 | 0.80521315 | 6.9120876E-4 | 1.2E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0067454E-6 | 1.0487711E-6 | 5.0E-5 | 47.674847 | 5.104872E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 4.3146156E-6 | 4.4947255E-6 | 6.0E-5 | 13.34898 | 6.449446E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 5.252918E-5 | 5.4721917E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 2.0101635 | 1.4471699E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 5.251676E-4 | 5.470853E-4 | 4.3E-4 | 0.7859835 | 6.570251E-4 | 1.1E-4 |
7.3 | 9.3596316E-7 | 9.767723E-7 | 3.0E-5 | 30.7134 | 3.0976742E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 4.0112645E-6 | 4.1861604E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 9.555295 | 4.4185992E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 4.8836053E-5 | 5.096532E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 1.7659067 | 1.20961755E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 4.8825322E-4 | 5.095371E-4 | 3.9E-4 | 0.7654006 | 5.9949124E-4 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.8117395E-7 | 9.2076635E-7 | 3.0E-5 | 32.581554 | 3.092074E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.7764542E-6 | 3.9461356E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 10.136499 | 4.3945976E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 4.5977362E-5 | 4.8043148E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 1.6651698 | 1.08040265E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 4.596785E-4 | 4.8032837E-4 | 3.4E-4 | 0.7078491 | 5.5029476E-4 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.292386E-7 | 8.6745956E-7 | 1.0E-5 | 11.527915 | 1.0867451E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5538749E-6 | 3.7176785E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 5.379701 | 2.3717605E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 4.326757E-5 | 4.5261804E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1046842 | 8.525999E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 4.3259145E-4 | 4.5252658E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 0.5745519 | 5.0250394E-4 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.553842E-7 | 7.9144706E-7 | 1.0E-5 | 12.635084 | 1.0791439E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2373566E-6 | 3.3919116E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 5.89638 | 2.3391844E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.9414106E-5 | 4.129575E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.2107784 | 8.129409E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 3.9407116E-4 | 4.1288146E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 0.5328406 | 4.628608E-4 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.5285366E-7 | 6.852797E-7 | 1.0E-5 | 14.592582 | 1.0685273E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.797941E-6 | 2.9369096E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 6.8098793 | 2.293685E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.40644E-5 | 3.5756293E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1186842 | 7.575486E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 3.405918E-4 | 3.5750607E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.50348794 | 4.074882E-4 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6482615E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6482615E-7 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635396E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3957443 | 1.1563524E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9035933E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5759668 | 4.9035363E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9034347E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.36775625 | 2.3033586E-4 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6696718E-9 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.14414505E-8 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3929966E-7 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3929966E-6 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.497084E-5 | 1.6E-4 | 2.910634 | 1.6496479E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3556968E-4 | 2.8E-4 | 1.1886079 | 3.755367E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0024678076 | 0.002864558 | 0.00223 | 0.77847964 | 0.0030739564 | 2.1E-4 | 0.024405818 | 0.028304456 | 0.02264 | 0.79987407 | 0.028566813 | 2.7E-4 |
6.1 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.497084E-5 | 1.5E-4 | 2.7287195 | 1.5496534E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3556968E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 1.1037074 | 3.6553905E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0024678076 | 0.002864558 | 0.00203 | 0.70866084 | 0.0030639851 | 2.0E-4 | 0.024405818 | 0.028304456 | 0.01968 | 0.6952969 | 0.028537663 | 2.4E-4 |
6.2 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.3925004E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 3.2424464 | 1.1392229E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4538495E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 1.3068752 | 2.5536897E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017686592 | 0.00133 | 0.7519821 | 0.0019084116 | 1.4E-4 | 0.015745522 | 0.01754978 | 0.01276 | 0.7270747 | 0.01772662 | 1.8E-4 |
6.3 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.3925004E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 3.2424464 | 1.1392229E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4538495E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 1.3068752 | 2.5536897E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017686592 | 0.00133 | 0.7519821 | 0.0019084116 | 1.4E-4 | 0.015745522 | 0.01754978 | 0.01276 | 0.7270747 | 0.01772662 | 1.8E-4 |
6.4 | 2.5452082E-5 | 2.7912318E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 3.9409122 | 1.07910084E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 1.09075794E-4 | 1.1961885E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 1.3375819 | 2.1960688E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013271887 | 0.0014554056 | 0.00113 | 0.7764159 | 0.001575231 | 1.2E-4 | 0.013192902 | 0.01446091 | 0.01062 | 0.7343936 | 0.014608741 | 1.5E-4 |
6.5 | 2.3143784E-5 | 2.5128133E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.9796033 | 1.0512612E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 9.9183875E-5 | 1.07687636E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 1.3000565 | 2.0767687E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012068948 | 0.001310323 | 0.00103 | 0.78606576 | 0.0014301657 | 1.2E-4 | 0.012003611 | 0.013027638 | 0.00977 | 0.7499441 | 0.013175684 | 1.5E-4 |
6.6 | 1.9118515E-5 | 2.0354244E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 3.439086 | 9.035282E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 8.193392E-5 | 8.722961E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1463997 | 1.6722264E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 9.97089E-4 | 0.001061511 | 8.4E-4 | 0.79132485 | 0.0011614048 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00992627 | 0.010565317 | 0.00785 | 0.7429971 | 0.010693943 | 1.3E-4 |
6.7 | 1.722807E-5 | 1.8146253E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 3.8575456 | 8.814498E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 7.3832496E-5 | 7.776737E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 1.1572977 | 1.5776115E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 8.985399E-4 | 9.4641204E-4 | 7.5E-4 | 0.7924667 | 0.0010463174 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008949154 | 0.009424461 | 0.00687 | 0.72895414 | 0.00954333 | 1.2E-4 |
6.8 | 1.5317364E-5 | 1.5926391E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 4.3952203 | 8.5925276E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 6.56442E-5 | 6.82542E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 1.172089 | 1.4824874E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 7.98925E-4 | 8.3068234E-4 | 6.6E-4 | 0.79452753 | 9.305993E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007960589 | 0.008276261 | 0.00609 | 0.73583955 | 0.008385351 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 1.3071226E-5 | 1.332953E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 5.251498 | 8.3328596E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 5.6018336E-5 | 5.712532E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 1.4004298 | 1.3712075E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 6.8180985E-4 | 6.952811E-4 | 5.8E-4 | 0.834195 | 7.952115E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0067972173 | 0.0069313184 | 0.00506 | 0.73001987 | 0.007040556 | 1.1E-4 |
7.0 | 1.1836986E-5 | 1.1932688E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 5.866239 | 8.193185E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 5.0728955E-5 | 5.1139097E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 1.5643609 | 1.31135E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 6.1745E-4 | 6.2244234E-4 | 5.5E-4 | 0.88361603 | 7.2238006E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006157372 | 0.0062071825 | 0.00462 | 0.74429905 | 0.0063165 | 1.1E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0597169E-5 | 1.0542107E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 6.640039 | 8.0541366E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 4.541565E-5 | 4.5179684E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 1.549369 | 1.1517652E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 5.5279525E-4 | 5.4992497E-4 | 4.8E-4 | 0.87284636 | 6.398755E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0055142213 | 0.005485772 | 0.00401 | 0.7309819 | 0.0055852234 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 9.59113E-6 | 9.45905E-6 | 7.0E-5 | 7.4003205 | 7.945839E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 4.11042E-5 | 4.053816E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 1.726768 | 1.1053532E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 5.0032866E-4 | 4.934414E-4 | 4.3E-4 | 0.8714307 | 5.83397E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.004992037 | 0.0049235765 | 0.00357 | 0.7250827 | 0.005023084 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 8.586084E-6 | 8.379489E-6 | 6.0E-5 | 7.160341 | 6.8378984E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 3.679698E-5 | 3.591161E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.670769 | 9.5909454E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 4.4791115E-4 | 4.3713715E-4 | 3.4E-4 | 0.7777879 | 5.171022E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.004470094 | 0.004362884 | 0.00313 | 0.71741533 | 0.0044524916 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.2622997E-6 | 6.9514485E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 4.315647 | 3.695124E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.112377E-5 | 2.9791589E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0069957 | 5.9790695E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.78866E-4 | 3.6265317E-4 | 2.4E-4 | 0.6617893 | 4.026387E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0037822074 | 0.003620714 | 0.00264 | 0.72913796 | 0.003670533 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.627296E-6 | 5.2514984E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 3.8084369 | 2.5251393E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.411676E-5 | 2.2506232E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.8886428 | 4.250578E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9358198E-4 | 2.7397962E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.65698314 | 2.9397415E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0029319443 | 0.0027364905 | 0.0021 | 0.7674063 | 0.0027664085 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.265244E-6 | 2.0608632E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0608632E-6 | 0.0 | 9.708152E-6 | 8.832241E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.832241E-6 | 0.0 | 1.18190335E-4 | 1.0752732E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.8369966 | 1.0752732E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001181275 | 0.0010747615 | 7.0E-4 | 0.6513073 | 0.0010747615 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.3099874E-6 | 1.1016228E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1016228E-6 | 0.0 | 5.61422E-6 | 4.7212325E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7212325E-6 | 0.0 | 6.8350986E-5 | 5.7479516E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.34795004 | 5.7479516E-5 | 0.0 | 6.832996E-4 | 5.7464885E-4 | 2.9E-4 | 0.504656 | 5.7464885E-4 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.903951E-7 | 6.0710704E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0710704E-7 | 0.0 | 3.3874032E-6 | 2.601885E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.601885E-6 | 0.0 | 4.1240855E-5 | 3.16775E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.6313629 | 3.16775E-5 | 0.0 | 4.12332E-4 | 3.167312E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 0.5051602 | 3.167312E-4 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.0753297E-9 | 5.090092E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.090092E-9 | 0.0 | 3.032284E-8 | 2.181468E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.181468E-8 | 0.0 | 3.6918053E-7 | 2.655937E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.655937E-7 | 0.0 | 3.691799E-6 | 2.6559348E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6559348E-6 | 0.0 |
Calico-Hidalgo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0704355E-5 | 1.3E-4 | 2.5638824 | 1.4069979E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1728857E-4 | 3.1E-4 | 1.4266742 | 3.6725597E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0021322158 | 0.002642678 | 0.00144 | 0.5449018 | 0.0028620968 | 2.2E-4 | 0.02111873 | 0.026152814 | 0.01422 | 0.54372734 | 0.026454708 | 3.1E-4 |
6.1 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0704355E-5 | 1.3E-4 | 2.5638824 | 1.4069979E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1728857E-4 | 3.1E-4 | 1.4266742 | 3.6725597E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0021322158 | 0.002642678 | 0.00144 | 0.5449018 | 0.0028620968 | 2.2E-4 | 0.02111873 | 0.026152814 | 0.01422 | 0.54372734 | 0.026454708 | 3.1E-4 |
6.2 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0704355E-5 | 1.3E-4 | 2.5638824 | 1.4069979E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1728857E-4 | 3.1E-4 | 1.4266742 | 3.6725597E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0021322158 | 0.002642678 | 0.00144 | 0.5449018 | 0.0028620968 | 2.2E-4 | 0.02111873 | 0.026152814 | 0.01422 | 0.54372734 | 0.026454708 | 3.1E-4 |
6.3 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0090967E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.3232565 | 1.0008886E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.289551E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 1.6284738 | 2.189435E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015689312 | 8.8E-4 | 0.5608914 | 0.0016787585 | 1.1E-4 | 0.01257003 | 0.015582229 | 0.0086 | 0.55191076 | 0.015759423 | 1.8E-4 |
6.4 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0090967E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.3232565 | 1.0008886E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.289551E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 1.6284738 | 2.189435E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015689312 | 8.8E-4 | 0.5608914 | 0.0016787585 | 1.1E-4 | 0.01257003 | 0.015582229 | 0.0086 | 0.55191076 | 0.015759423 | 1.8E-4 |
6.5 | 2.0286952E-5 | 2.5316054E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.9500625 | 9.531428E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 8.694118E-5 | 1.0849296E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 1.47475 | 1.9848319E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0010579949 | 0.0013201186 | 7.0E-4 | 0.53025544 | 0.0014299733 | 1.1E-4 | 0.010529719 | 0.013124701 | 0.00725 | 0.55239356 | 0.013292469 | 1.7E-4 |
6.6 | 2.0269223E-5 | 2.5297004E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.9530373 | 9.529523E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 8.6865206E-5 | 1.08411325E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 1.4758606 | 1.9840157E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0010570707 | 0.0013191258 | 7.0E-4 | 0.5306545 | 0.0014289806 | 1.1E-4 | 0.010520565 | 0.01311489 | 0.00724 | 0.5520443 | 0.01328266 | 1.7E-4 |
6.7 | 1.799852E-5 | 2.2540933E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 3.992736 | 8.2539584E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 7.713423E-5 | 9.660051E-5 | 1.4E-4 | 1.4492677 | 1.7659277E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 9.3870464E-4 | 0.0011754911 | 6.4E-4 | 0.54445326 | 0.0012753736 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009347493 | 0.011694346 | 0.00654 | 0.55924463 | 0.011852475 | 1.6E-4 |
6.8 | 1.7458793E-5 | 2.184258E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 3.662571 | 8.184127E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 7.4821255E-5 | 9.360778E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 1.2819448 | 1.7360029E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 9.10568E-4 | 0.0011390933 | 6.1E-4 | 0.53551364 | 0.0012389794 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009068459 | 0.011334131 | 0.00637 | 0.5620193 | 0.011492318 | 1.6E-4 |
6.9 | 1.542884E-5 | 1.9026285E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 4.2047095 | 7.902514E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 6.612192E-5 | 8.153875E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 1.4716929 | 1.6153223E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 8.04737E-4 | 9.922953E-4 | 5.2E-4 | 0.52403754 | 0.0010921961 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008018291 | 0.009880043 | 0.00557 | 0.5637627 | 0.0100384625 | 1.6E-4 |
7.0 | 1.468253E-5 | 1.803109E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 3.882183 | 6.803019E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 6.292361E-5 | 7.727389E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 1.4235079 | 1.4726848E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 7.658257E-4 | 9.4041653E-4 | 4.8E-4 | 0.5104121 | 0.001030332 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0076319184 | 0.009365736 | 0.0053 | 0.5658925 | 0.009504424 | 1.4E-4 |
7.1 | 1.3139281E-5 | 1.620139E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 4.320617 | 6.620058E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 5.6309986E-5 | 6.943275E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4402425 | 1.2942858E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 6.853584E-4 | 8.4502844E-4 | 4.3E-4 | 0.5088586 | 9.249608E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0068324856 | 0.008419449 | 0.00483 | 0.5736717 | 0.008548355 | 1.3E-4 |
7.2 | 1.1127404E-5 | 1.3867038E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 4.326807 | 5.3866483E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 4.7688E-5 | 5.9428872E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5144154 | 1.094259E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 5.8044674E-4 | 7.233172E-4 | 3.7E-4 | 0.5115321 | 7.932666E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0057893298 | 0.007210737 | 0.00406 | 0.5630492 | 0.007310016 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 9.808154E-6 | 1.2176586E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 4.106241 | 4.217622E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2034266E-5 | 5.2184383E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 1.5330256 | 9.2182294E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 5.11647E-4 | 6.351704E-4 | 3.3E-4 | 0.5195456 | 6.9513224E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0051047057 | 0.006334625 | 0.00361 | 0.56988376 | 0.0064240554 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.942452E-6 | 9.792348E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 4.084822 | 3.9792056E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.4038632E-5 | 4.1966585E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 1.6679938 | 8.196491E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 4.1434157E-4 | 5.108328E-4 | 2.9E-4 | 0.5677004 | 5.708022E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0041356985 | 0.005097527 | 0.00303 | 0.59440583 | 0.0051771193 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.7121216E-6 | 5.7729717E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 6.9288406 | 3.57728E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.019465E-5 | 2.4741115E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 2.425113 | 6.4740125E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 2.4584212E-4 | 3.011891E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.66403466 | 3.6117103E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0024557032 | 0.0030085614 | 0.00152 | 0.5052248 | 0.003068381 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 2.0E-5 | 76.80433 | 2.0260397E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160082E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 17.921017 | 2.1115986E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2079372 | 4.3586937E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7360088 | 1.6586386E-4 | 3.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Coachella) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.273077E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 0.76380724 | 4.5726515E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.001401998 | 8.6E-4 | 0.6134103 | 0.0016017176 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0062038354 | 0.016937068 | 0.00801 | 0.4729272 | 0.017182833 | 2.5E-4 | 0.060334753 | 0.15267672 | 0.08173 | 0.53531414 | 0.15294786 | 3.2E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.273077E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 0.76380724 | 4.5726515E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.001401998 | 8.6E-4 | 0.6134103 | 0.0016017176 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0062038354 | 0.016937068 | 0.00801 | 0.4729272 | 0.017182833 | 2.5E-4 | 0.060334753 | 0.15267672 | 0.08173 | 0.53531414 | 0.15294786 | 3.2E-4 |
6.2 | 1.07432395E-4 | 3.0231563E-4 | 2.4E-4 | 0.7938723 | 4.322763E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 4.603433E-4 | 0.001294999 | 8.4E-4 | 0.6486491 | 0.00149474 | 2.0E-4 | 0.005590286 | 0.015653731 | 0.0074 | 0.47273076 | 0.015889974 | 2.4E-4 | 0.05451731 | 0.14182784 | 0.0757 | 0.5337457 | 0.14209387 | 3.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0718766E-4 | 3.0176868E-4 | 2.4E-4 | 0.79531115 | 4.3172945E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 4.592948E-4 | 0.0012926573 | 8.3E-4 | 0.6420882 | 0.0014923988 | 2.0E-4 | 0.005577586 | 0.01562563 | 0.00738 | 0.47230095 | 0.01586188 | 2.4E-4 | 0.054396555 | 0.14159605 | 0.07554 | 0.53348947 | 0.14186215 | 3.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0355944E-4 | 2.9384956E-4 | 2.4E-4 | 0.8167445 | 4.2381135E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 4.4375064E-4 | 0.0012587514 | 8.2E-4 | 0.65143925 | 0.0014584996 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0053892885 | 0.015218662 | 0.00709 | 0.4658754 | 0.015455009 | 2.4E-4 | 0.052604496 | 0.13815795 | 0.07369 | 0.533375 | 0.13842513 | 3.1E-4 |
6.5 | 1.0227914E-4 | 2.9104383E-4 | 2.4E-4 | 0.82461804 | 4.21006E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 4.382655E-4 | 0.0012467385 | 8.1E-4 | 0.6496952 | 0.0014464891 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0053228354 | 0.015074439 | 0.00702 | 0.46568897 | 0.015310821 | 2.4E-4 | 0.051971316 | 0.13694239 | 0.07296 | 0.5327788 | 0.13720994 | 3.1E-4 |
6.6 | 1.0116757E-4 | 2.8870135E-4 | 2.4E-4 | 0.8313089 | 4.186638E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 4.3350324E-4 | 0.0012367087 | 7.9E-4 | 0.6387923 | 0.0014364613 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0052651367 | 0.014954008 | 0.00695 | 0.46475834 | 0.01519042 | 2.4E-4 | 0.051421247 | 0.13591973 | 0.07229 | 0.53185797 | 0.13618761 | 3.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.0050676E-4 | 2.8728697E-4 | 2.4E-4 | 0.8354016 | 4.1724963E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 4.3067214E-4 | 0.0012306528 | 7.9E-4 | 0.6419357 | 0.0014304067 | 2.0E-4 | 0.005230834 | 0.014881288 | 0.00693 | 0.4656855 | 0.015117716 | 2.4E-4 | 0.051094085 | 0.13530464 | 0.0719 | 0.5313934 | 0.1355727 | 3.1E-4 |
6.8 | 9.976819E-5 | 2.8532353E-4 | 2.4E-4 | 0.8411504 | 4.1528643E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 4.2750788E-4 | 0.001222246 | 7.8E-4 | 0.6381694 | 0.0014220015 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0051924936 | 0.014780328 | 0.00691 | 0.4675133 | 0.01501678 | 2.4E-4 | 0.050728295 | 0.13445628 | 0.07139 | 0.5309533 | 0.13472459 | 3.1E-4 |
6.9 | 9.77719E-5 | 2.802926E-4 | 2.4E-4 | 0.85624814 | 4.1025615E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 4.1895514E-4 | 0.0012007048 | 7.7E-4 | 0.64129 | 0.0014004647 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0050888555 | 0.0145215895 | 0.00677 | 0.4662024 | 0.014758104 | 2.4E-4 | 0.049738888 | 0.13228476 | 0.07022 | 0.53082454 | 0.13255376 | 3.1E-4 |
7.0 | 8.500761E-5 | 2.4763815E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 0.88839304 | 3.7760596E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 3.6426744E-4 | 0.0010608779 | 6.8E-4 | 0.6409786 | 0.0012606657 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0044259406 | 0.01284047 | 0.00605 | 0.47116655 | 0.0130773885 | 2.4E-4 | 0.04338823 | 0.11813616 | 0.06241 | 0.5282887 | 0.11840954 | 3.1E-4 |
7.1 | 8.319876E-5 | 2.4366553E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 0.902877 | 3.7363384E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 3.5651738E-4 | 0.0010438662 | 6.7E-4 | 0.64184475 | 0.0012436573 | 2.0E-4 | 0.004331963 | 0.012635773 | 0.00597 | 0.4724681 | 0.012872741 | 2.4E-4 | 0.042484846 | 0.11635632 | 0.06129 | 0.52674407 | 0.11663025 | 3.1E-4 |
7.2 | 7.563917E-5 | 2.2414974E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 0.98148674 | 3.541206E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 3.2412758E-4 | 9.602912E-4 | 6.3E-4 | 0.65605104 | 0.0011401183 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0039391145 | 0.011629559 | 0.00544 | 0.46777353 | 0.011847001 | 2.2E-4 | 0.03870018 | 0.10776202 | 0.05614 | 0.5209628 | 0.10802076 | 2.9E-4 |
7.3 | 7.082985E-5 | 2.07311E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 1.0612075 | 3.3728406E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 3.0352117E-4 | 8.881761E-4 | 5.9E-4 | 0.6642827 | 0.0010680162 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0036891096 | 0.010760553 | 0.00495 | 0.4600135 | 0.0109781865 | 2.2E-4 | 0.03628465 | 0.10028403 | 0.05189 | 0.5174303 | 0.10054495 | 2.9E-4 |
7.4 | 5.146215E-5 | 1.4274761E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.4010743 | 2.7272906E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 2.2053342E-4 | 6.1163295E-4 | 4.8E-4 | 0.78478444 | 7.9152285E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0026816884 | 0.0074213943 | 0.00369 | 0.49721116 | 0.0076397615 | 2.2E-4 | 0.02649557 | 0.07085049 | 0.0362 | 0.51093507 | 0.07111065 | 2.8E-4 |
7.5 | 4.0285166E-5 | 1.0942422E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.827749 | 2.3940999E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 1.7263928E-4 | 4.6887697E-4 | 4.3E-4 | 0.91708493 | 6.4879254E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.002099857 | 0.0056937044 | 0.00304 | 0.53392303 | 0.005912452 | 2.2E-4 | 0.020801254 | 0.055013083 | 0.02828 | 0.51405954 | 0.05527768 | 2.8E-4 |
7.6 | 3.1168736E-5 | 8.439599E-5 | 1.8E-4 | 2.1328027 | 2.1438503E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 1.3357346E-4 | 3.616471E-4 | 3.9E-4 | 1.0783993 | 5.41582E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0016250437 | 0.004394191 | 0.00253 | 0.5757602 | 0.004613224 | 2.2E-4 | 0.016132116 | 0.042812478 | 0.02192 | 0.51200026 | 0.04308049 | 2.8E-4 |
7.7 | 2.2100989E-5 | 6.239345E-5 | 1.5E-4 | 2.4040985 | 1.8238596E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 9.4715084E-5 | 2.6737314E-4 | 3.4E-4 | 1.2716311 | 4.3732766E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 0.001152546 | 0.0032504152 | 0.00198 | 0.609153 | 0.0034597325 | 2.1E-4 | 0.011465867 | 0.031902168 | 0.01649 | 0.51689273 | 0.032153875 | 2.6E-4 |
7.8 | 1.7484861E-5 | 5.180078E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 2.3165674 | 1.517956E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 7.493296E-5 | 2.2198448E-4 | 2.7E-4 | 1.2163013 | 3.619534E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 9.1192697E-4 | 0.0026993142 | 0.00174 | 0.6446082 | 0.0028788284 | 1.8E-4 | 0.009081938 | 0.026641788 | 0.01394 | 0.5232382 | 0.026855927 | 2.2E-4 |
7.9 | 1.3967285E-5 | 3.8226146E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6160104 | 1.3822233E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.985842E-5 | 1.6381606E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 1.2819256 | 2.9379476E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 7.2853256E-4 | 0.0019926373 | 0.00126 | 0.6323278 | 0.0021523186 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0072614877 | 0.019911002 | 0.01035 | 0.51981306 | 0.020107022 | 2.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.1887396E-5 | 3.106798E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 3.218748 | 1.3106488E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.094499E-5 | 1.331417E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.502159 | 2.6312438E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 6.200787E-4 | 0.0016197958 | 0.00101 | 0.6235354 | 0.0017795367 | 1.6E-4 | 0.006183513 | 0.016280567 | 0.00843 | 0.51779526 | 0.016467473 | 1.9E-4 |
8.1 | 5.100864E-6 | 8.973766E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.973766E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1860664E-5 | 3.845843E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.52004206 | 4.8458045E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6612106E-4 | 4.6813092E-4 | 2.3E-4 | 0.49131554 | 4.8812156E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002658026 | 0.004918092 | 0.00266 | 0.5408602 | 0.0049379934 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.3004484E-6 | 2.7863473E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7863473E-6 | 0.0 | 9.859027E-6 | 1.19414335E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.8374204 | 2.1941314E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2002704E-4 | 1.4537729E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.5502923 | 1.5537583E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011996223 | 0.0015973782 | 8.8E-4 | 0.5509027 | 0.0016073622 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.0424446E-7 | 5.814421E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.814421E-8 | 0.0 | 4.4676187E-7 | 2.4918944E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4918944E-7 | 0.0 | 5.439312E-6 | 3.0338776E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0338776E-6 | 0.0 | 5.4391792E-5 | 3.189592E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.31351972 | 3.189592E-5 | 0.0 |
Ludlow
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3657254E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 3.80433 | 1.1365512E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.0138454E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 1.6767843 | 2.2137238E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0011685267 | 0.001233702 | 9.8E-4 | 0.7943572 | 0.0014833935 | 2.5E-4 | 0.011624013 | 0.012273042 | 0.0082 | 0.668131 | 0.012598992 | 3.3E-4 |
6.1 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3657254E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 3.80433 | 1.1365512E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.0138454E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 1.6767843 | 2.2137238E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0011685267 | 0.001233702 | 9.8E-4 | 0.7943572 | 0.0014833935 | 2.5E-4 | 0.011624013 | 0.012273042 | 0.0082 | 0.668131 | 0.012598992 | 3.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1365663E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 4.399215 | 6.136509E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.8709102E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 2.2583048 | 1.08706176E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.9287593E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.8433467 | 7.1280485E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.00560974 | 0.0059133614 | 0.00389 | 0.6578323 | 0.006062474 | 1.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1365663E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 4.399215 | 6.136509E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.8709102E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 2.2583048 | 1.08706176E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.9287593E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.8433467 | 7.1280485E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.00560974 | 0.0059133614 | 0.00389 | 0.6578323 | 0.006062474 | 1.5E-4 |
6.4 | 7.814439E-6 | 8.237729E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 3.6417804 | 3.8237482E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3490025E-5 | 3.530408E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.6995202 | 6.530302E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 4.0766477E-4 | 4.2974384E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.6980903 | 4.8971805E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0040691774 | 0.0042892746 | 0.00263 | 0.61315733 | 0.0043689315 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.4986366E-6 | 6.85092E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 2.919316 | 2.6850783E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7851002E-5 | 2.9360759E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0217719 | 4.9360173E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.390332E-4 | 3.5740953E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 0.69947773 | 4.0739166E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.003385164 | 0.0035684432 | 0.00221 | 0.61931765 | 0.0036381935 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.582177E-6 | 5.8860055E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8860055E-6 | 0.0 | 2.3923398E-5 | 2.5225498E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.3964243 | 2.5225498E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9122844E-4 | 3.0707786E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 0.6838656 | 3.3706866E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0029084706 | 0.003066609 | 0.00184 | 0.6000113 | 0.0031164556 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.6858763E-6 | 4.940427E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.940427E-6 | 0.0 | 2.0082172E-5 | 2.1173091E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.4722976 | 2.1173091E-5 | 0.0 | 2.4447302E-4 | 2.5775246E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.69834447 | 2.6774986E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024420423 | 0.0025745912 | 0.0016 | 0.6214579 | 0.00259454 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5584908E-6 | 3.7520183E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7520183E-6 | 0.0 | 1.5250586E-5 | 1.6079981E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6079981E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8566006E-4 | 1.957566E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.66409 | 2.0575464E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018550502 | 0.0019558826 | 0.00128 | 0.654436 | 0.0019758437 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.532834E-6 | 2.6710034E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6710034E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0854958E-5 | 1.1447109E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1447109E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3215111E-4 | 1.3935992E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.7893231 | 1.4935853E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013207254 | 0.0013927529 | 9.6E-4 | 0.68928236 | 0.001412725 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7083285E-6 | 1.8019439E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8019439E-6 | 0.0 | 7.3213873E-6 | 7.722595E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.722595E-6 | 0.0 | 8.913424E-5 | 9.40187E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 0.8508946 | 9.40187E-5 | 0.0 | 8.9098496E-4 | 9.3980576E-4 | 5.9E-4 | 0.6277893 | 9.3980576E-4 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1497619E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1497619E-6 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.9275427E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9275427E-6 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.999128E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.0001454 | 5.999128E-5 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.997606E-4 | 4.2E-4 | 0.7002794 | 5.997606E-4 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.387277E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.387277E-7 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7374022E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7374022E-6 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3327433E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2002125 | 3.3327433E-5 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.3323118E-4 | 2.3E-4 | 0.69021153 | 3.3323118E-4 | 0.0 |
Manix-Afton Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.47110895E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 7.477352 | 1.2470948E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.30461E-5 | 1.7E-4 | 2.6964395 | 2.2303601E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.6733343E-4 | 6.7E-4 | 0.8731536 | 9.871647E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007648596 | 0.00509 | 0.6654816 | 0.007936378 | 2.9E-4 |
6.1 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.47110895E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 7.477352 | 1.2470948E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.30461E-5 | 1.7E-4 | 2.6964395 | 2.2303601E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.6733343E-4 | 6.7E-4 | 0.8731536 | 9.871647E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007648596 | 0.00509 | 0.6654816 | 0.007936378 | 2.9E-4 |
6.2 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.47110895E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 7.477352 | 1.2470948E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.30461E-5 | 1.7E-4 | 2.6964395 | 2.2303601E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.6733343E-4 | 6.7E-4 | 0.8731536 | 9.871647E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007648596 | 0.00509 | 0.6654816 | 0.007936378 | 2.9E-4 |
6.3 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1793136E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 6.783607 | 9.179219E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.054109E-5 | 1.3E-4 | 2.5721645 | 1.8053452E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.151744E-4 | 5.8E-4 | 0.94282204 | 7.950637E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.005748908 | 0.0061357557 | 0.00399 | 0.6502867 | 0.006344467 | 2.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1793136E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 6.783607 | 9.179219E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.054109E-5 | 1.3E-4 | 2.5721645 | 1.8053452E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.151744E-4 | 5.8E-4 | 0.94282204 | 7.950637E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.005748908 | 0.0061357557 | 0.00399 | 0.6502867 | 0.006344467 | 2.1E-4 |
6.5 | 9.788949E-6 | 1.045432E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 6.695797 | 8.045359E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 4.1951964E-5 | 4.480351E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 2.6783617 | 1.6479813E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 5.1064545E-4 | 5.453555E-4 | 5.3E-4 | 0.9718431 | 7.0526823E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0050947363 | 0.0054410985 | 0.00354 | 0.6506039 | 0.005620119 | 1.8E-4 |
6.6 | 8.810006E-6 | 9.4136285E-6 | 7.0E-5 | 7.4360275 | 7.941297E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 3.775662E-5 | 4.0343548E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 2.7265823 | 1.5033911E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 4.5958988E-4 | 4.9108086E-4 | 4.9E-4 | 0.997799 | 6.410072E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0045864056 | 0.004900839 | 0.00315 | 0.64274704 | 0.005070006 | 1.7E-4 |
6.7 | 8.80128E-6 | 9.404108E-6 | 7.0E-5 | 7.4435554 | 7.940345E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 3.7719226E-5 | 4.0302748E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 2.7293425 | 1.502983E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 4.591348E-4 | 4.9058435E-4 | 4.9E-4 | 0.99880886 | 6.4051076E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 0.004581874 | 0.0048958957 | 0.00315 | 0.643396 | 0.0050650635 | 1.7E-4 |
6.8 | 6.8994877E-6 | 7.380076E-6 | 7.0E-5 | 9.484997 | 7.737956E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 2.9568899E-5 | 3.162856E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 3.4778695 | 1.4162507E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 3.5994186E-4 | 3.8501783E-4 | 3.7E-4 | 0.9609944 | 5.2496395E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.003593594 | 0.0038443129 | 0.00249 | 0.64771 | 0.003993736 | 1.5E-4 |
6.9 | 4.9328037E-6 | 5.2709615E-6 | 7.0E-5 | 13.28031 | 7.527059E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 2.1140417E-5 | 2.2589675E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 3.9841213 | 1.12587644E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 2.5735417E-4 | 2.7500073E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 0.9090885 | 3.8497048E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0025705635 | 0.0027472095 | 0.00172 | 0.6260899 | 0.0028668798 | 1.2E-4 |
7.0 | 3.347973E-6 | 3.59003E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 8.356476 | 3.3589924E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4348378E-5 | 1.5385775E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 3.249755 | 6.538501E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.746775E-4 | 1.8730981E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 0.8008123 | 2.3730045E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0017454025 | 0.0018719219 | 0.00107 | 0.571605 | 0.0019318097 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2073567E-6 | 1.293482E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 7.7310696 | 1.12934695E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1743755E-6 | 5.543492E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8039172 | 1.5543437E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 6.29962E-5 | 6.749156E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.59266675 | 7.7490884E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 6.297835E-4 | 6.7487074E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.7408826 | 6.9485727E-4 | 2.0E-5 |
Lake Isabella (Seismicity)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741651E-6 | 7.0E-5 | 7.18564 | 7.974097E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749343E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 2.634772 | 1.4174517E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.0819275E-4 | 4.2E-4 | 0.82645804 | 7.0809113E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.004909227 | 0.005071599 | 0.00259 | 0.51068705 | 0.005370077 | 3.0E-4 |
6.1 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741651E-6 | 7.0E-5 | 7.18564 | 7.974097E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749343E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 2.634772 | 1.4174517E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.0819275E-4 | 4.2E-4 | 0.82645804 | 7.0809113E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.004909227 | 0.005071599 | 0.00259 | 0.51068705 | 0.005370077 | 3.0E-4 |
6.2 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741651E-6 | 7.0E-5 | 7.18564 | 7.974097E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749343E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 2.634772 | 1.4174517E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.0819275E-4 | 4.2E-4 | 0.82645804 | 7.0809113E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.004909227 | 0.005071599 | 0.00259 | 0.51068705 | 0.005370077 | 3.0E-4 |
6.3 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741651E-6 | 7.0E-5 | 7.18564 | 7.974097E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749343E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 2.634772 | 1.4174517E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.0819275E-4 | 4.2E-4 | 0.82645804 | 7.0809113E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.004909227 | 0.005071599 | 0.00259 | 0.51068705 | 0.005370077 | 3.0E-4 |
6.4 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.3000763E-6 | 5.0E-5 | 9.433826 | 5.529981E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2714434E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 2.6414921 | 8.271307E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.765166E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 0.7956123 | 3.964834E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027620657 | 0.00134 | 0.48514414 | 0.0029714857 | 2.1E-4 |
6.5 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.3000763E-6 | 5.0E-5 | 9.433826 | 5.529981E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2714434E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 2.6414921 | 8.271307E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.765166E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 0.7956123 | 3.964834E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027620657 | 0.00134 | 0.48514414 | 0.0029714857 | 2.1E-4 |
6.6 | 3.4009804E-6 | 3.498786E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 5.716268 | 2.3498716E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4575549E-5 | 1.4994721E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.000704 | 4.499427E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7744285E-4 | 1.8254704E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.6025844 | 2.6253244E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0017730123 | 0.0018241286 | 8.0E-4 | 0.43856558 | 0.0019638732 | 1.4E-4 |
6.7 | 3.3880428E-6 | 3.4856528E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 5.7378063 | 2.3485583E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4520103E-5 | 1.4938435E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0082424 | 4.4937988E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.767679E-4 | 1.8186188E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.60485464 | 2.6184734E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0017662736 | 0.0018172882 | 8.0E-4 | 0.44021636 | 0.0019570338 | 1.4E-4 |
6.8 | 2.6582E-6 | 2.7337003E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 7.316091 | 2.2733646E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1392236E-5 | 1.1715813E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.5606418 | 4.1715462E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3869164E-4 | 1.4263204E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.5608838 | 2.1262205E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0013860512 | 0.0014255369 | 6.3E-4 | 0.44193876 | 0.0015353801 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 2.406011E-6 | 2.4743288E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 8.083 | 2.247428E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0311434E-5 | 1.0604231E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8860396 | 3.060402E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2553448E-4 | 1.2910018E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.5422146 | 1.8909243E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0012546359 | 0.0012903814 | 5.8E-4 | 0.4494795 | 0.0013702782 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.6953097E-6 | 1.7429371E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 11.474883 | 2.1742902E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 7.265593E-6 | 7.469715E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6774783 | 2.7469567E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 8.8455E-5 | 9.094104E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 0.65976816 | 1.4093649E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 8.84198E-4 | 9.09141E-4 | 3.9E-4 | 0.4289764 | 9.790773E-4 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.5013824E-7 | 3.5714822E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5714822E-7 | 0.0 | 1.5005916E-6 | 1.5306344E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5306344E-6 | 0.0 | 1.826955E-5 | 1.8635317E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.073231 | 2.8635131E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8268047E-4 | 1.863378E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.42932782 | 1.9633592E-4 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.2321095E-7 | 2.2750574E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2750574E-7 | 0.0 | 9.56618E-7 | 9.750242E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.750242E-7 | 0.0 | 1.1646762E-5 | 1.1870856E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6847985 | 2.1870737E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1646151E-4 | 1.1870232E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.3369774 | 1.2870114E-4 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.5760406E-7 | 1.6060922E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6060922E-7 | 0.0 | 6.7544585E-7 | 6.8832503E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.8832503E-7 | 0.0 | 8.223522E-6 | 8.380326E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.193271 | 8.380326E-6 | 0.0 | 8.2232174E-5 | 8.3800165E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.23866302 | 8.3800165E-5 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.1216497E-7 | 1.1431706E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1431706E-7 | 0.0 | 4.8070694E-7 | 4.899302E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.899302E-7 | 0.0 | 5.852591E-6 | 5.964884E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.964884E-6 | 0.0 | 5.8524372E-5 | 5.9647282E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.16765223 | 5.9647282E-5 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.885185E-8 | 4.9787737E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9787737E-8 | 0.0 | 2.0936506E-7 | 2.13376E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.13376E-7 | 0.0 | 2.5490165E-6 | 2.59785E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.59785E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5489873E-5 | 2.5978214E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5978214E-5 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.504641E-9 | 1.5317903E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5317903E-9 | 0.0 | 6.4484613E-9 | 6.5648154E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.5648154E-9 | 0.0 | 7.851001E-8 | 7.992663E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.992663E-8 | 0.0 | 7.8509987E-7 | 7.992663E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.992663E-7 | 0.0 |
Scodie Lineament
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2919327E-6 | 3.0133303E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 33.18587 | 1.0301303E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4108206E-5 | 1.2914227E-5 | 1.5E-4 | 11.615097 | 1.5291241E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 1.7175387E-4 | 1.5722254E-4 | 2.7E-4 | 1.7173109 | 3.3719424E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0017162118 | 0.0015714248 | 0.0012 | 0.7636382 | 0.0018509848 | 2.8E-4 |
6.1 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5490382E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 12.911238 | 2.1549007E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6387206E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 6.025257 | 3.663852E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082393E-5 | 1.3E-4 | 1.6084347 | 1.4081907E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.079941E-4 | 4.6E-4 | 0.5693111 | 8.979214E-4 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5490382E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 12.911238 | 2.1549007E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6387206E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 6.025257 | 3.663852E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082393E-5 | 1.3E-4 | 1.6084347 | 1.4081907E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.079941E-4 | 4.6E-4 | 0.5693111 | 8.979214E-4 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5490382E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 12.911238 | 2.1549007E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6387206E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 6.025257 | 3.663852E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082393E-5 | 1.3E-4 | 1.6084347 | 1.4081907E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.079941E-4 | 4.6E-4 | 0.5693111 | 8.979214E-4 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5490382E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 12.911238 | 2.1549007E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6387206E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 6.025257 | 3.663852E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082393E-5 | 1.3E-4 | 1.6084347 | 1.4081907E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.079941E-4 | 4.6E-4 | 0.5693111 | 8.979214E-4 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8106311E-6 | 1.4909722E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 13.414066 | 2.1490941E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 7.759824E-6 | 6.389868E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 6.2599106 | 3.6389676E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 9.447177E-5 | 7.779436E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 1.5425283 | 1.3778968E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 9.4431615E-4 | 7.7771995E-4 | 4.1E-4 | 0.52718204 | 8.476655E-4 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2414679E-6 | 8.9974395E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.9974395E-7 | 0.0 | 5.320566E-6 | 3.85604E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 5.186668 | 1.3856002E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 6.477596E-5 | 4.6946367E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 1.4910631 | 7.694496E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 6.475708E-4 | 4.6937316E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 0.44740522 | 5.093544E-4 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1062215E-6 | 7.594193E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.594193E-7 | 0.0 | 4.7409408E-6 | 3.2546504E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0725265 | 3.2546504E-6 | 0.0 | 5.7719422E-5 | 3.962472E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5142063 | 5.962393E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 5.770443E-4 | 3.9618355E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.45433488 | 4.2617167E-4 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0006736E-6 | 6.5002786E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.5002786E-7 | 0.0 | 4.288594E-6 | 2.7858312E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 3.589593 | 2.7858312E-6 | 0.0 | 5.221238E-5 | 3.391703E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1793486 | 4.3916687E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 5.220012E-4 | 3.3912458E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.38333994 | 3.491212E-4 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.167364E-7 | 5.6315065E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.6315065E-7 | 0.0 | 3.9288643E-6 | 2.413501E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1433587 | 2.413501E-6 | 0.0 | 4.7832873E-5 | 2.9384037E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3612834 | 3.9383744E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 4.782258E-4 | 2.9380718E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.40843114 | 3.0380423E-4 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.6987664E-7 | 4.113265E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.113265E-7 | 0.0 | 3.2994672E-6 | 1.7628269E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6727066 | 1.7628269E-6 | 0.0 | 4.0170275E-5 | 2.1462245E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3978034 | 2.1462245E-5 | 0.0 | 4.0163012E-4 | 2.1460558E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.32617977 | 2.1460558E-4 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 7.1038727E-7 | 3.5210306E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5210306E-7 | 0.0 | 3.0445133E-6 | 1.5090123E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 6.626851 | 1.5090123E-6 | 0.0 | 3.706632E-5 | 1.8372106E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6329103 | 1.8372106E-5 | 0.0 | 3.7060137E-4 | 1.8370937E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.32660282 | 1.8370937E-4 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.0799602E-7 | 3.1178534E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1178534E-8 | 0.0 | 8.914113E-7 | 1.3362228E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3362228E-7 | 0.0 | 1.0852878E-5 | 1.6268501E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6268501E-6 | 0.0 | 1.08523476E-4 | 1.626839E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.626839E-5 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5048182E-7 | 1.5939106E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5939106E-8 | 0.0 | 6.449219E-7 | 6.8310456E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.8310456E-8 | 0.0 | 7.851896E-6 | 8.316795E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.316795E-7 | 0.0 | 7.851618E-5 | 8.316767E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.316767E-6 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.8638475E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.8638475E-9 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 2.084506E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.084506E-8 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.5378858E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5378858E-7 | 0.0 | 3.095951E-5 | 2.5378843E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5378843E-6 | 0.0 |
Red Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7590016E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 2.3114092 | 1.275862E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.039422E-4 | 2.4E-4 | 1.1768041 | 3.039218E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024803334 | 0.00165 | 0.66523314 | 0.002610011 | 1.3E-4 | 0.021580452 | 0.02454411 | 0.01686 | 0.6869265 | 0.024729447 | 1.9E-4 |
6.1 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7590016E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 2.3114092 | 1.275862E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.039422E-4 | 2.4E-4 | 1.1768041 | 3.039218E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024803334 | 0.00165 | 0.66523314 | 0.002610011 | 1.3E-4 | 0.021580452 | 0.02454411 | 0.01686 | 0.6869265 | 0.024729447 | 1.9E-4 |
6.2 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7590016E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 2.3114092 | 1.275862E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.039422E-4 | 2.4E-4 | 1.1768041 | 3.039218E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024803334 | 0.00165 | 0.66523314 | 0.002610011 | 1.3E-4 | 0.021580452 | 0.02454411 | 0.01686 | 0.6869265 | 0.024729447 | 1.9E-4 |
6.3 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7590016E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 2.3114092 | 1.275862E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.039422E-4 | 2.4E-4 | 1.1768041 | 3.039218E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024803334 | 0.00165 | 0.66523314 | 0.002610011 | 1.3E-4 | 0.021580452 | 0.02454411 | 0.01686 | 0.6869265 | 0.024729447 | 1.9E-4 |
6.4 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7590016E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 2.3114092 | 1.275862E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.039422E-4 | 2.4E-4 | 1.1768041 | 3.039218E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024803334 | 0.00165 | 0.66523314 | 0.002610011 | 1.3E-4 | 0.021580452 | 0.02454411 | 0.01686 | 0.6869265 | 0.024729447 | 1.9E-4 |
6.5 | 3.154503E-5 | 3.5359757E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8280737 | 1.1535693E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 1.3518598E-4 | 1.5153353E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 1.0558718 | 2.515184E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0016446467 | 0.0018434518 | 0.00119 | 0.64552814 | 0.0019632305 | 1.2E-4 | 0.01632528 | 0.018291244 | 0.01289 | 0.70470876 | 0.018458135 | 1.7E-4 |
6.6 | 3.1535834E-5 | 3.5349138E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8289232 | 1.1534631E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 1.3514658E-4 | 1.5148803E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 1.0561891 | 2.514729E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0016441676 | 0.0018428987 | 0.00119 | 0.64572185 | 0.0019626776 | 1.2E-4 | 0.01632056 | 0.018285805 | 0.01288 | 0.7043715 | 0.018452697 | 1.7E-4 |
6.7 | 2.8267326E-5 | 3.1469353E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 2.8599253 | 1.0146715E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 1.2114006E-4 | 1.3486217E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 1.1122466 | 2.2485004E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0014738824 | 0.0016407954 | 0.0011 | 0.6704066 | 0.0017506148 | 1.1E-4 | 0.014641452 | 0.01629557 | 0.0117 | 0.71798646 | 0.016452964 | 1.6E-4 |
6.8 | 2.8212884E-5 | 3.1407242E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 2.8655813 | 1.0140504E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 1.20906756E-4 | 1.3459599E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 1.1144463 | 2.2458388E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0014710457 | 0.0016375595 | 0.0011 | 0.6717313 | 0.0017473794 | 1.1E-4 | 0.014613459 | 0.016263688 | 0.01168 | 0.7181643 | 0.016421085 | 1.6E-4 |
6.9 | 2.4227871E-5 | 2.6706994E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 3.3699038 | 9.6705124E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 1.03829596E-4 | 1.1445395E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 1.3105707 | 2.0444366E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0012633923 | 0.0013926621 | 9.4E-4 | 0.67496634 | 0.0015025089 | 1.1E-4 | 0.012562336 | 0.0138470335 | 0.01033 | 0.74600816 | 0.014004818 | 1.6E-4 |
7.0 | 2.348524E-5 | 2.5835778E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 3.096481 | 8.5834225E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.0064714E-4 | 1.10720495E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 1.1741277 | 1.8071274E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0012246901 | 0.001347264 | 9.0E-4 | 0.6680205 | 0.0014371427 | 9.0E-5 | 0.012179627 | 0.013398598 | 0.01007 | 0.7515712 | 0.013526856 | 1.3E-4 |
7.1 | 2.2311642E-5 | 2.4462845E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 3.2702656 | 8.4461375E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 9.561782E-5 | 1.04836974E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 1.2400205 | 1.7482963E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011635252 | 0.0012757176 | 8.7E-4 | 0.6819691 | 0.0013656027 | 9.0E-5 | 0.01157452 | 0.01269146 | 0.00961 | 0.75720215 | 0.01281981 | 1.3E-4 |
7.2 | 1.6533986E-5 | 1.7670362E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 3.9614356 | 7.7669305E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 7.085802E-5 | 7.572828E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3205106 | 1.4572298E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 8.623549E-4 | 9.2166534E-4 | 6.8E-4 | 0.73779494 | 0.0010115823 | 9.0E-5 | 0.008590161 | 0.009184707 | 0.00715 | 0.77846795 | 0.009303604 | 1.2E-4 |
7.3 | 1.4703092E-5 | 1.5559537E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 3.2134633 | 6.555876E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 6.301173E-5 | 6.668237E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 1.1997174 | 1.2667837E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 7.668978E-4 | 8.1161706E-4 | 5.7E-4 | 0.7023016 | 8.9155213E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0076425658 | 0.008092604 | 0.00638 | 0.7883742 | 0.008201714 | 1.1E-4 |
7.4 | 6.1331984E-6 | 5.5288874E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 5.426047 | 3.5528723E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.6284872E-5 | 2.3695018E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.1101482 | 6.369407E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 3.199713E-4 | 2.884492E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 0.9013719 | 3.3843477E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0031951098 | 0.0028808024 | 0.0025 | 0.86781377 | 0.0029605718 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.954766E-6 | 5.338517E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 5.6195383 | 3.533836E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.5520176E-5 | 2.2879161E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.1853948 | 6.287824E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 3.1066386E-4 | 2.785187E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 0.93351 | 3.2850477E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.003102299 | 0.0027817504 | 0.00249 | 0.8951199 | 0.0028615277 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.9726646E-6 | 4.315309E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 4.634662 | 2.4315223E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1311245E-5 | 1.8494053E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 2.1628575 | 4.8493497E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.5943352E-4 | 2.2514217E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.79949486 | 2.6513316E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0025913084 | 0.0022491754 | 0.00188 | 0.8358619 | 0.002299063 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.3613894E-6 | 2.8526886E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 7.0109296 | 2.2852631E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4405875E-5 | 1.22257525E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 3.2717822 | 4.2225387E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7537741E-4 | 1.4883863E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.6046817 | 1.7883418E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017523908 | 0.0014874157 | 0.00116 | 0.77987605 | 0.0015173712 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.1828961E-6 | 1.0122935E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 19.757116 | 2.1012273E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 5.069545E-6 | 4.338394E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 4.610001 | 2.4338307E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 6.171996E-5 | 5.281869E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.37865382 | 7.281764E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 6.170282E-4 | 5.280643E-4 | 4.8E-4 | 0.9089802 | 5.4805377E-4 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.2967266E-7 | 1.861919E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.861919E-7 | 0.0 | 9.843111E-7 | 7.97965E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.97965E-7 | 0.0 | 1.19839215E-5 | 9.715184E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.715184E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1983275E-4 | 9.714788E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 0.6176151 | 9.714788E-5 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.986481E-4 | 0.0012275929 | 6.5E-4 | 0.5294915 | 0.0013174824 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0025631124 | 0.005245547 | 0.00244 | 0.46515647 | 0.0053748647 | 1.3E-4 | 0.030762846 | 0.06120491 | 0.03185 | 0.52038306 | 0.061411444 | 2.2E-4 | 0.26835477 | 0.42593494 | 0.2946 | 0.6916549 | 0.4260842 | 2.6E-4 |
6.1 | 5.015945E-4 | 0.0010217986 | 4.9E-4 | 0.47954658 | 0.0011017168 | 8.0E-5 | 0.00214792 | 0.0043678596 | 0.00188 | 0.4304168 | 0.004487335 | 1.2E-4 | 0.025839351 | 0.05124837 | 0.02454 | 0.4788445 | 0.051428635 | 1.9E-4 | 0.23032776 | 0.37285668 | 0.23773 | 0.6375908 | 0.37299466 | 2.2E-4 |
6.2 | 4.073338E-4 | 8.1073755E-4 | 4.4E-4 | 0.5427157 | 8.8068075E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0017445484 | 0.0034671477 | 0.00148 | 0.42686385 | 0.0035767662 | 1.1E-4 | 0.021034058 | 0.04093317 | 0.01978 | 0.48322672 | 0.04109621 | 1.7E-4 | 0.19150782 | 0.31303346 | 0.19757 | 0.63114655 | 0.31317085 | 2.0E-4 |
6.3 | 3.464099E-4 | 6.7391695E-4 | 3.6E-4 | 0.5341905 | 7.338765E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0014837692 | 0.0028829593 | 0.00131 | 0.4543942 | 0.0029826711 | 1.0E-4 | 0.017915873 | 0.034189582 | 0.01682 | 0.49196273 | 0.034334455 | 1.5E-4 | 0.16538359 | 0.2713166 | 0.1689 | 0.62252 | 0.27144775 | 1.8E-4 |
6.4 | 2.935057E-4 | 5.5442745E-4 | 3.2E-4 | 0.57717204 | 6.043997E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0012572751 | 0.0023725363 | 0.00113 | 0.47628352 | 0.0024623228 | 9.0E-5 | 0.015200248 | 0.02826451 | 0.01412 | 0.49956644 | 0.028400553 | 1.4E-4 | 0.14201577 | 0.23298529 | 0.14211 | 0.6099527 | 0.23312335 | 1.8E-4 |
6.5 | 2.3409708E-4 | 4.2093755E-4 | 2.8E-4 | 0.6651818 | 4.609207E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010028875 | 0.0018019684 | 8.9E-4 | 0.49390432 | 0.0018818243 | 8.0E-5 | 0.012141965 | 0.021587461 | 0.01087 | 0.503533 | 0.021714656 | 1.3E-4 | 0.11499573 | 0.18682368 | 0.11058 | 0.591895 | 0.18695378 | 1.6E-4 |
6.6 | 1.5842178E-4 | 2.506933E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 0.5983407 | 2.8068578E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 6.7877385E-4 | 0.0010739497 | 5.5E-4 | 0.51212823 | 0.0011438746 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0082328 | 0.012995575 | 0.00641 | 0.49324483 | 0.013104145 | 1.1E-4 | 0.07934396 | 0.12314638 | 0.06624 | 0.53789645 | 0.12326914 | 1.4E-4 |
6.7 | 1.5616413E-4 | 2.4605883E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 0.6096103 | 2.7605143E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 6.691031E-4 | 0.0010541069 | 5.5E-4 | 0.52176875 | 0.001124033 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0081159435 | 0.01275744 | 0.00627 | 0.4914779 | 0.012866037 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0782586 | 0.12117351 | 0.06498 | 0.53625584 | 0.12129655 | 1.4E-4 |
6.8 | 1.5538467E-4 | 2.4429744E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 0.61400557 | 2.7429013E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 6.6576427E-4 | 0.0010465645 | 5.5E-4 | 0.52552897 | 0.0011164913 | 7.0E-5 | 0.008075596 | 0.012666838 | 0.00622 | 0.49104595 | 0.012775445 | 1.1E-4 | 0.07788358 | 0.120404355 | 0.06452 | 0.535861 | 0.1205275 | 1.4E-4 |
6.9 | 1.5153569E-4 | 2.3539034E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 0.6372394 | 2.6538328E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 6.49277E-4 | 0.0010084276 | 5.3E-4 | 0.5255707 | 0.001078357 | 7.0E-5 | 0.007876333 | 0.01220901 | 0.00595 | 0.48734498 | 0.012317668 | 1.1E-4 | 0.07602952 | 0.11647445 | 0.06182 | 0.53076017 | 0.116598144 | 1.4E-4 |
7.0 | 1.4588932E-4 | 2.2396253E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.62510455 | 2.539558E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 6.250901E-4 | 9.5948833E-4 | 5.2E-4 | 0.54195553 | 0.0010294212 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0075839474 | 0.011619697 | 0.0057 | 0.49054635 | 0.011728419 | 1.1E-4 | 0.073302895 | 0.11132046 | 0.05883 | 0.5284743 | 0.11144487 | 1.4E-4 |
7.1 | 1.1565079E-4 | 1.6281738E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.67560357 | 1.928125E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 4.955521E-4 | 6.9760304E-4 | 4.1E-4 | 0.58772683 | 7.675542E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006016669 | 0.0084604435 | 0.00425 | 0.50233775 | 0.0085695125 | 1.1E-4 | 0.058563538 | 0.08367046 | 0.04374 | 0.52276516 | 0.083798744 | 1.4E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0393792E-4 | 1.4615769E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.7526118 | 1.761533E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 4.4537216E-4 | 6.2624045E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.63873225 | 6.961966E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.005408933 | 0.0075979927 | 0.00382 | 0.50276434 | 0.0077071567 | 1.1E-4 | 0.052791595 | 0.07561969 | 0.0394 | 0.5210283 | 0.07574911 | 1.4E-4 |
7.3 | 9.332884E-5 | 1.2780898E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.86065936 | 1.5780515E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 3.999194E-4 | 5.4763845E-4 | 3.5E-4 | 0.6391078 | 6.176001E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0048581534 | 0.006647249 | 0.00343 | 0.51600295 | 0.006756518 | 1.1E-4 | 0.047533102 | 0.06648326 | 0.03476 | 0.5228384 | 0.06661395 | 1.4E-4 |
7.4 | 8.670252E-5 | 1.17032345E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.7690182 | 1.4702883E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 3.715293E-4 | 5.0147134E-4 | 3.1E-4 | 0.6181809 | 5.7143625E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.004513991 | 0.006088443 | 0.00315 | 0.5173737 | 0.0061977734 | 1.1E-4 | 0.044233937 | 0.061151642 | 0.03203 | 0.52377987 | 0.06128308 | 1.4E-4 |
7.5 | 7.3036405E-5 | 9.005856E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.5551943 | 1.1005676E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 3.129756E-4 | 3.8590826E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 0.5700837 | 4.4588512E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0038038217 | 0.0046883323 | 0.00248 | 0.52897274 | 0.0047779107 | 9.0E-5 | 0.03739367 | 0.047877792 | 0.02461 | 0.514017 | 0.047982525 | 1.1E-4 |
7.6 | 6.3935775E-5 | 8.280385E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.6038367 | 1.0280219E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7398168E-4 | 3.5482543E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 0.5918403 | 4.1480415E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0033306254 | 0.004311461 | 0.00235 | 0.54505885 | 0.0044010733 | 9.0E-5 | 0.032811474 | 0.04399201 | 0.0227 | 0.51600283 | 0.04409717 | 1.1E-4 |
7.7 | 5.5050095E-5 | 6.6618326E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.45032653 | 8.6616994E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3590765E-4 | 2.854759E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.4904092 | 3.2546447E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0028683927 | 0.003470134 | 0.00188 | 0.5417658 | 0.0035299256 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0283165 | 0.035796214 | 0.0185 | 0.5168145 | 0.03587335 | 8.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.027131E-5 | 6.162871E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.48678616 | 8.162747E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1543067E-4 | 2.640963E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.53010964 | 3.0408573E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0026197135 | 0.003210635 | 0.00174 | 0.54194885 | 0.0032704424 | 6.0E-5 | 0.025890453 | 0.03312666 | 0.01697 | 0.51227623 | 0.033204008 | 8.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.7271806E-5 | 5.022507E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.39820752 | 7.0224065E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5972654E-4 | 2.1523255E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.5575365 | 2.4522608E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019429359 | 0.002617309 | 0.00145 | 0.5540041 | 0.0026472306 | 3.0E-5 | 0.019260362 | 0.027067466 | 0.01413 | 0.5220289 | 0.027106382 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.7310243E-5 | 3.1427757E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1427757E-5 | 0.0 | 1.17038646E-4 | 1.3468343E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.44548908 | 1.446821E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014240141 | 0.0016385383 | 8.0E-4 | 0.48824003 | 0.001648522 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014149235 | 0.01721386 | 0.00859 | 0.4990165 | 0.017223688 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.7940547E-5 | 1.7399378E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7399378E-5 | 0.0 | 7.688579E-5 | 7.456663E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.536433 | 8.456589E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3568244E-4 | 9.074711E-4 | 4.1E-4 | 0.451805 | 9.1746205E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009317525 | 0.009798636 | 0.00487 | 0.49700797 | 0.009808538 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.473668E-6 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.42628714 | 3.345813E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 0.52526844 | 2.955654E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032481793 | 0.00171 | 0.5264487 | 0.003258147 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6564595E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.6564595E-7 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.281336E-6 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9949547E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.25031573 | 3.9949547E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.717979E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.42391032 | 4.717979E-4 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Bernardino)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.598562E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 2.2231102 | 9.598346E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5421498E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 1.1023573 | 2.442011E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018759521 | 0.00128 | 0.6823202 | 0.0020256706 | 1.5E-4 | 0.01763251 | 0.019349992 | 0.01079 | 0.55762297 | 0.019585349 | 2.4E-4 |
6.1 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.598562E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 2.2231102 | 9.598346E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5421498E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 1.1023573 | 2.442011E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018759521 | 0.00128 | 0.6823202 | 0.0020256706 | 1.5E-4 | 0.01763251 | 0.019349992 | 0.01079 | 0.55762297 | 0.019585349 | 2.4E-4 |
6.2 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.598562E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 2.2231102 | 9.598346E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5421498E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 1.1023573 | 2.442011E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018759521 | 0.00128 | 0.6823202 | 0.0020256706 | 1.5E-4 | 0.01763251 | 0.019349992 | 0.01079 | 0.55762297 | 0.019585349 | 2.4E-4 |
6.3 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.598562E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 2.2231102 | 9.598346E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5421498E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 1.1023573 | 2.442011E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018759521 | 0.00128 | 0.6823202 | 0.0020256706 | 1.5E-4 | 0.01763251 | 0.019349992 | 0.01079 | 0.55762297 | 0.019585349 | 2.4E-4 |
6.4 | 3.400795E-5 | 3.5878285E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 2.2297611 | 9.587613E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4574021E-4 | 1.5375503E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 1.105655 | 2.4374119E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0017729428 | 0.0018703619 | 0.00127 | 0.679013 | 0.0020200813 | 1.5E-4 | 0.017588645 | 0.019295074 | 0.01076 | 0.5576553 | 0.019530443 | 2.4E-4 |
6.5 | 3.341482E-5 | 3.5138914E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 2.276678 | 9.5136806E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4319851E-4 | 1.5058667E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 1.128918 | 2.405731E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0017420477 | 0.0018318522 | 0.00121 | 0.6605336 | 0.0019815776 | 1.5E-4 | 0.017284546 | 0.018916616 | 0.01037 | 0.5481953 | 0.019152075 | 2.4E-4 |
6.6 | 3.3364955E-5 | 3.5076133E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 2.2807531 | 9.507403E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4298483E-4 | 1.5031763E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 1.1309385 | 2.403041E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0017394501 | 0.0018285823 | 0.00121 | 0.6617148 | 0.001978308 | 1.5E-4 | 0.017258976 | 0.01888448 | 0.01035 | 0.54806906 | 0.019119948 | 2.4E-4 |
6.7 | 3.335922E-5 | 3.5065907E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 2.2814183 | 9.5063806E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4296026E-4 | 1.5027382E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 1.1312683 | 2.4026028E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0017391514 | 0.0018280497 | 0.0012 | 0.6564373 | 0.0019777755 | 1.5E-4 | 0.017256035 | 0.018879272 | 0.01034 | 0.54769063 | 0.01911474 | 2.4E-4 |
6.8 | 3.327683E-5 | 3.4959972E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 2.2883313 | 9.4957875E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4260718E-4 | 1.4981985E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 1.134696 | 2.3980637E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0017348597 | 0.001822532 | 0.0012 | 0.6584246 | 0.0019722588 | 1.5E-4 | 0.017213784 | 0.018825045 | 0.01027 | 0.54554987 | 0.019060526 | 2.4E-4 |
6.9 | 3.3235785E-5 | 3.4900928E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 2.2922027 | 9.489883E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4243131E-4 | 1.4956683E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 1.1366156 | 2.3955337E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0017327217 | 0.0018194567 | 0.00119 | 0.6540414 | 0.0019691838 | 1.5E-4 | 0.017192734 | 0.018794911 | 0.01025 | 0.5453604 | 0.0190304 | 2.4E-4 |
7.0 | 3.3197095E-5 | 3.4840854E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 2.296155 | 9.483877E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.422655E-4 | 1.4930942E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 1.1385752 | 2.3929597E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0017307063 | 0.0018163278 | 0.00119 | 0.65516806 | 0.0019660555 | 1.5E-4 | 0.017172894 | 0.01876429 | 0.01022 | 0.54465157 | 0.018999785 | 2.4E-4 |
7.1 | 3.3129716E-5 | 3.4721066E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 2.304077 | 9.4718984E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4197677E-4 | 1.4879608E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 1.1425031 | 2.387827E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0017271966 | 0.0018100884 | 0.00119 | 0.6574264 | 0.001959817 | 1.5E-4 | 0.017138338 | 0.018703366 | 0.01018 | 0.5442871 | 0.018938877 | 2.4E-4 |
7.2 | 3.3034008E-5 | 3.4588513E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 2.3129067 | 9.458644E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4156665E-4 | 1.4822806E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 1.1468813 | 2.3821472E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0017222111 | 0.0018031843 | 0.00119 | 0.65994364 | 0.0019529138 | 1.5E-4 | 0.017089253 | 0.01863575 | 0.01014 | 0.5441155 | 0.018871278 | 2.4E-4 |
7.3 | 3.2956614E-5 | 3.4456265E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 2.3217838 | 9.44542E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4123498E-4 | 1.4766137E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 1.1512829 | 2.3764807E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0017181796 | 0.0017962961 | 0.00119 | 0.6624743 | 0.0019460267 | 1.5E-4 | 0.017049557 | 0.018568495 | 0.0101 | 0.543932 | 0.01880404 | 2.4E-4 |
7.4 | 3.2915937E-5 | 3.4377957E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 2.3270724 | 9.437589E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4106068E-4 | 1.473258E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 1.1539052 | 2.3731253E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0017160608 | 0.0017922173 | 0.00119 | 0.663982 | 0.0019419484 | 1.5E-4 | 0.017028693 | 0.018528769 | 0.01009 | 0.5445586 | 0.018764323 | 2.4E-4 |
7.5 | 3.281791E-5 | 3.424287E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 2.3362527 | 9.4240815E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.406406E-4 | 1.4674691E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 1.1584572 | 2.367337E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0017109542 | 0.0017851809 | 0.00117 | 0.65539575 | 0.001924931 | 1.4E-4 | 0.016978411 | 0.018459652 | 0.01005 | 0.5444306 | 0.018685406 | 2.3E-4 |
7.6 | 3.2521442E-5 | 3.396782E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 2.3551702 | 9.3965784E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.3937015E-4 | 1.4556825E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 1.167837 | 2.3555516E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0016955109 | 0.0017708542 | 0.00116 | 0.6550511 | 0.0019106063 | 1.4E-4 | 0.016826328 | 0.018317295 | 0.00997 | 0.54429436 | 0.018543081 | 2.3E-4 |
7.7 | 3.0287873E-5 | 3.245191E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 2.1570377 | 9.244996E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.297987E-4 | 1.3907222E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 1.1504815 | 2.2905969E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0015791537 | 0.0016918903 | 0.00106 | 0.6265182 | 0.0018316534 | 1.4E-4 | 0.01567979 | 0.017528199 | 0.00939 | 0.5357082 | 0.017754167 | 2.3E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6316151E-5 | 2.9662837E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 2.3598552 | 8.966106E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.1277862E-4 | 1.2712025E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 1.179985 | 2.1710881E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0013722149 | 0.0015465913 | 9.8E-4 | 0.63365155 | 0.0016863748 | 1.4E-4 | 0.013637724 | 0.016069878 | 0.00857 | 0.5332959 | 0.016296182 | 2.3E-4 |
7.9 | 2.0761147E-5 | 2.3417291E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.1351743 | 6.341635E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 8.897331E-5 | 1.0035596E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 1.2953889 | 1.7034894E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0010827117 | 0.0012211498 | 7.7E-4 | 0.63055325 | 0.0013310155 | 1.1E-4 | 0.010774517 | 0.012793272 | 0.00668 | 0.5221495 | 0.012990713 | 2.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.5738568E-5 | 1.6032505E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8711985 | 4.6032026E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 6.744926E-5 | 6.8708934E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 1.1643319 | 1.18705495E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 8.2088535E-4 | 8.3621085E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5979353 | 9.2613563E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.008178596 | 0.008865741 | 0.00451 | 0.5086997 | 0.008974765 | 1.1E-4 |
8.1 | 1.0105832E-5 | 8.329479E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4011106 | 2.8329312E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3309992E-5 | 3.569728E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.400667 | 6.569621E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 5.2717153E-4 | 4.3452822E-4 | 2.3E-4 | 0.5293097 | 4.7451083E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005259227 | 0.0046768794 | 0.0022 | 0.47039914 | 0.0047266455 | 5.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.189207E-6 | 1.577699E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.577699E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7953622E-5 | 6.7615497E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.7615497E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1856341E-4 | 8.231879E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.2429579 | 8.231879E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0021834858 | 9.562628E-4 | 4.9E-4 | 0.5124115 | 9.562628E-4 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 3.612677E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.612677E-7 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.5482892E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5482892E-6 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 1.8850264E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8850264E-5 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.2739546E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4397625 | 2.2739546E-4 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6750775E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7210312 | 1.367471E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5749714E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 1.0793847 | 2.674798E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019164253 | 0.00148 | 0.77227116 | 0.0020960805 | 1.8E-4 | 0.016697178 | 0.019056438 | 0.01409 | 0.7393827 | 0.019272245 | 2.2E-4 |
6.1 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6750775E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7210312 | 1.367471E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5749714E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 1.0793847 | 2.674798E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019164253 | 0.00148 | 0.77227116 | 0.0020960805 | 1.8E-4 | 0.016697178 | 0.019056438 | 0.01409 | 0.7393827 | 0.019272245 | 2.2E-4 |
6.2 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6750775E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7210312 | 1.367471E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5749714E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 1.0793847 | 2.674798E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019164253 | 0.00148 | 0.77227116 | 0.0020960805 | 1.8E-4 | 0.016697178 | 0.019056438 | 0.01409 | 0.7393827 | 0.019272245 | 2.2E-4 |
6.3 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6750775E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7210312 | 1.367471E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5749714E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 1.0793847 | 2.674798E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019164253 | 0.00148 | 0.77227116 | 0.0020960805 | 1.8E-4 | 0.016697178 | 0.019056438 | 0.01409 | 0.7393827 | 0.019272245 | 2.2E-4 |
6.4 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.48492945E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 4.040596 | 7.48484E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.363831E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 1.2571044 | 1.2363448E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.7452604E-4 | 5.1E-4 | 0.6584672 | 8.6445635E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0074880854 | 0.007718817 | 0.00561 | 0.7267953 | 0.007818045 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.48492945E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 4.040596 | 7.48484E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.363831E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 1.2571044 | 1.2363448E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.7452604E-4 | 5.1E-4 | 0.6584672 | 8.6445635E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0074880854 | 0.007718817 | 0.00561 | 0.7267953 | 0.007818045 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.280208E-5 | 1.301186E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 4.611178 | 7.301108E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 5.4864904E-5 | 5.5763932E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 1.4346191 | 1.1576059E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 6.6777546E-4 | 6.7871617E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.736685 | 7.6865504E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.006657724 | 0.0067666434 | 0.00498 | 0.73596317 | 0.0068659666 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.2457027E-5 | 1.262838E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 4.751203 | 7.262762E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 5.3386164E-5 | 5.4120515E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 1.4781826 | 1.1411727E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 6.497827E-4 | 6.5871974E-4 | 4.8E-4 | 0.7286862 | 7.486605E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.00647886 | 0.00656787 | 0.00483 | 0.7353983 | 0.006667213 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.2095134E-5 | 1.2230827E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 4.9056373 | 7.223009E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 5.1835254E-5 | 5.2416784E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 1.5262287 | 1.1241364E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 6.309115E-4 | 6.3798914E-4 | 4.6E-4 | 0.72101545 | 7.279317E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0062912325 | 0.006361764 | 0.00469 | 0.73721695 | 0.0064611277 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1104036E-5 | 1.115726E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 5.3776646 | 7.115659E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 4.758786E-5 | 4.781596E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 1.6730816 | 1.0781309E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 5.7922816E-4 | 5.82005E-4 | 4.3E-4 | 0.7388252 | 6.619585E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.005777207 | 0.0058049536 | 0.00434 | 0.74763733 | 0.0058944314 | 9.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0577444E-5 | 1.05815925E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 5.6702237 | 7.058096E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 4.5331115E-5 | 4.53489E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 1.7641001 | 1.0534618E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 5.5176654E-4 | 5.5198424E-4 | 4.3E-4 | 0.7790078 | 6.319401E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0055039856 | 0.00550627 | 0.00407 | 0.7391573 | 0.0055957744 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0021775E-5 | 9.9809E-6 | 5.0E-5 | 5.009568 | 5.99804E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 4.294976E-5 | 4.277459E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 1.6364856 | 9.2772454E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 5.2278786E-4 | 5.206574E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.7682595 | 5.9062097E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0052155964 | 0.005194508 | 0.00383 | 0.73731714 | 0.005274093 | 8.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.874109E-6 | 8.748706E-6 | 5.0E-5 | 5.715131 | 5.874827E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 3.8031343E-5 | 3.7493923E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.6002593 | 8.749205E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 4.629332E-4 | 4.56394E-4 | 3.3E-4 | 0.7230595 | 5.2636204E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0046197 | 0.0045546847 | 0.00333 | 0.73111534 | 0.0046343207 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.5504267E-6 | 7.5050243E-6 | 5.0E-5 | 6.662204 | 5.750465E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 3.235857E-5 | 3.2164E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.8654397 | 8.216239E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 3.9389438E-4 | 3.9152734E-4 | 2.8E-4 | 0.71514803 | 4.6149993E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0039319694 | 0.0039084824 | 0.00287 | 0.7343004 | 0.0039881696 | 8.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.309394E-6 | 6.183062E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 4.851965 | 3.6182875E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.703998E-5 | 2.6498574E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5095152 | 5.6497778E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.2916202E-4 | 3.2257332E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 0.58901334 | 3.6256041E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003286749 | 0.0032211484 | 0.00244 | 0.75749385 | 0.0032709872 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.6103073E-6 | 4.4408016E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 4.503691 | 2.4440713E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.975831E-5 | 1.9031871E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5763031 | 3.9031493E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4053088E-4 | 2.316891E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.60425806 | 2.5168445E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002402707 | 0.002314545 | 0.00186 | 0.80361366 | 0.0023444756 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.2858658E-6 | 1.3008196E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3008196E-6 | 0.0 | 5.5108417E-6 | 5.574929E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7937447 | 5.574929E-6 | 0.0 | 6.7092435E-5 | 6.787272E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.736673 | 6.787272E-5 | 0.0 | 6.707218E-4 | 6.7852676E-4 | 4.5E-4 | 0.6632015 | 6.7852676E-4 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.3302307E-7 | 5.612138E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.612138E-7 | 0.0 | 2.2843826E-6 | 2.4052001E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 4.157658 | 2.4052001E-6 | 0.0 | 2.7812002E-5 | 2.9282955E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.34149557 | 2.9282955E-5 | 0.0 | 2.7808524E-4 | 2.9279455E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 0.75138015 | 2.9279455E-4 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.613933E-8 | 4.80301E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.80301E-8 | 0.0 | 1.9773998E-7 | 2.0584326E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0584326E-7 | 0.0 | 2.4074816E-6 | 2.5061388E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5061388E-6 | 0.0 | 2.4074554E-5 | 2.5061116E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1970736 | 2.5061116E-5 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3500992E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 5.1061673 | 1.3349841E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.00714664E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 1.8865178 | 2.5069955E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012255146 | 7.3E-4 | 0.59566814 | 0.001405294 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012228744 | 0.00652 | 0.53317004 | 0.012436176 | 2.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3500992E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 5.1061673 | 1.3349841E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.00714664E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 1.8865178 | 2.5069955E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012255146 | 7.3E-4 | 0.59566814 | 0.001405294 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012228744 | 0.00652 | 0.53317004 | 0.012436176 | 2.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3500992E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 5.1061673 | 1.3349841E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.00714664E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 1.8865178 | 2.5069955E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012255146 | 7.3E-4 | 0.59566814 | 0.001405294 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012228744 | 0.00652 | 0.53317004 | 0.012436176 | 2.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3500992E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 5.1061673 | 1.3349841E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.00714664E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 1.8865178 | 2.5069955E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012255146 | 7.3E-4 | 0.59566814 | 0.001405294 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012228744 | 0.00652 | 0.53317004 | 0.012436176 | 2.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3500992E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 5.1061673 | 1.3349841E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.00714664E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 1.8865178 | 2.5069955E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012255146 | 7.3E-4 | 0.59566814 | 0.001405294 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012228744 | 0.00652 | 0.53317004 | 0.012436176 | 2.1E-4 |
6.5 | 1.3450706E-5 | 2.348995E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 5.108567 | 1.3348737E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 5.764461E-5 | 1.00667356E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 1.8874043 | 2.5065226E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 7.0159714E-4 | 0.0012249392 | 7.3E-4 | 0.5959479 | 0.0014047187 | 1.8E-4 | 0.006993862 | 0.012223054 | 0.00651 | 0.5326001 | 0.012430487 | 2.1E-4 |
6.6 | 1.3074523E-5 | 2.3104236E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 5.193853 | 1.331017E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 5.6032466E-5 | 9.901441E-5 | 1.9E-4 | 1.9189125 | 2.4899957E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 6.8198174E-4 | 0.001204837 | 7.1E-4 | 0.58929133 | 0.0013846202 | 1.8E-4 | 0.006798926 | 0.012024219 | 0.00628 | 0.52227926 | 0.012231695 | 2.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.3050216E-5 | 2.3079532E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 5.199412 | 1.3307699E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 5.59283E-5 | 9.890855E-5 | 1.9E-4 | 1.9209664 | 2.4889372E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 6.8071426E-4 | 0.0012035496 | 7.1E-4 | 0.58992165 | 0.001383333 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0067863287 | 0.012011484 | 0.00625 | 0.5203354 | 0.0122189615 | 2.1E-4 |
6.8 | 1.29049395E-5 | 2.2927941E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 4.79764 | 1.2292564E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.530571E-5 | 9.825892E-5 | 1.8E-4 | 1.8318948 | 2.3824516E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 6.73139E-4 | 0.001195649 | 7.0E-4 | 0.5854561 | 0.0013654458 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0067110364 | 0.011933329 | 0.00619 | 0.5187153 | 0.012130942 | 2.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.2867369E-5 | 2.2887343E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 4.80615 | 1.2288506E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.51447E-5 | 9.808494E-5 | 1.8E-4 | 1.835144 | 2.3807121E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 6.711799E-4 | 0.0011935332 | 7.0E-4 | 0.58649397 | 0.0013633303 | 1.7E-4 | 0.006691564 | 0.011912397 | 0.00617 | 0.5179478 | 0.012110015 | 2.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.2495996E-5 | 2.2287419E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 4.9355197 | 1.2228519E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.3553173E-5 | 9.551403E-5 | 1.8E-4 | 1.8845398 | 2.3550066E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 6.518148E-4 | 0.0011622658 | 6.8E-4 | 0.5850641 | 0.0013320682 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0064990623 | 0.011603 | 0.00591 | 0.509351 | 0.011800679 | 2.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.2452067E-5 | 2.2232492E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 4.9477134 | 1.2223027E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.3364907E-5 | 9.527864E-5 | 1.8E-4 | 1.8891957 | 2.3526531E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 6.4952404E-4 | 0.001159403 | 6.8E-4 | 0.58650875 | 0.0013292059 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0064762887 | 0.011574671 | 0.00588 | 0.5080058 | 0.011772356 | 2.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.2002777E-5 | 2.1611015E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.62727 | 1.1160907E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 5.143946E-5 | 9.261536E-5 | 1.7E-4 | 1.8355486 | 2.2260332E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 6.2609545E-4 | 0.0011270114 | 6.7E-4 | 0.5944927 | 0.0012868311 | 1.6E-4 | 0.006243344 | 0.011254058 | 0.00568 | 0.50470686 | 0.01144192 | 1.9E-4 |
7.3 | 1.1923425E-5 | 2.1480853E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.6553082 | 1.1147892E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 5.109939E-5 | 9.205757E-5 | 1.7E-4 | 1.8466705 | 2.2204561E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 6.219575E-4 | 0.0011202273 | 6.6E-4 | 0.58916616 | 0.001280048 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0062021962 | 0.011186945 | 0.00565 | 0.505053 | 0.011374819 | 1.9E-4 |
7.4 | 1.16105175E-5 | 2.0854808E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 4.7950573 | 1.1085293E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 4.975841E-5 | 8.93747E-5 | 1.7E-4 | 1.9021043 | 2.1936308E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 6.0564023E-4 | 0.0010875963 | 6.5E-4 | 0.5976482 | 0.0012474223 | 1.6E-4 | 0.006039923 | 0.010864409 | 0.00555 | 0.5108423 | 0.011042453 | 1.8E-4 |
7.5 | 1.1037265E-5 | 1.9554842E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.113823 | 1.0955308E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 4.7301706E-5 | 8.380379E-5 | 1.7E-4 | 2.028548 | 2.137929E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 5.757461E-4 | 0.0010198357 | 6.3E-4 | 0.61774653 | 0.0011796725 | 1.6E-4 | 0.005742567 | 0.010195527 | 0.00531 | 0.5208166 | 0.010373692 | 1.8E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0720915E-5 | 1.8996727E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 5.2640643 | 1.0899502E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 4.5945973E-5 | 8.141202E-5 | 1.7E-4 | 2.0881438 | 2.1140144E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 5.592486E-4 | 9.907428E-4 | 6.3E-4 | 0.63588655 | 0.0011505843 | 1.6E-4 | 0.005578433 | 0.009907238 | 0.00518 | 0.52285004 | 0.010085455 | 1.8E-4 |
7.7 | 9.276279E-6 | 1.6442464E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 6.0818133 | 1.0644098E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 3.9754876E-5 | 7.046581E-5 | 1.7E-4 | 2.4125175 | 2.0045665E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 4.839081E-4 | 8.5758517E-4 | 5.9E-4 | 0.6879783 | 0.001017448 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0048285574 | 0.008586576 | 0.00446 | 0.51941544 | 0.008765031 | 1.8E-4 |
7.8 | 5.8346777E-6 | 1.11555855E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 8.067708 | 1.0115458E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 2.5005522E-5 | 4.7808775E-5 | 1.4E-4 | 2.9283326 | 1.7780256E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 3.043997E-4 | 5.819165E-4 | 4.9E-4 | 0.8420452 | 7.418234E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0030398308 | 0.0058473335 | 0.00327 | 0.5592293 | 0.0060262806 | 1.8E-4 |
7.9 | 4.690204E-6 | 8.509473E-6 | 9.0E-5 | 10.5764475 | 9.850871E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 2.0100719E-5 | 3.6468664E-5 | 1.4E-4 | 3.8389122 | 1.6646393E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 2.4469878E-4 | 4.439156E-4 | 4.2E-4 | 0.94612575 | 6.038446E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 0.002444295 | 0.004471165 | 0.00254 | 0.5680846 | 0.00465036 | 1.8E-4 |
8.0 | 2.9570454E-6 | 4.8470656E-6 | 5.0E-5 | 10.315519 | 5.4846823E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.267299E-5 | 2.0772974E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 3.3697631 | 8.077173E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5428272E-4 | 2.5288164E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 0.98860484 | 3.328614E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0015417566 | 0.002549932 | 0.00157 | 0.6157026 | 0.0026297283 | 8.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.6376824E-6 | 2.1968672E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1968672E-6 | 0.0 | 7.01862E-6 | 9.415111E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.415111E-6 | 0.0 | 8.544835E-5 | 1.1462297E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.78518295 | 1.2462182E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 8.54155E-4 | 0.0011607445 | 6.3E-4 | 0.5427551 | 0.0011707328 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 6.9631557E-7 | 4.535001E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.535001E-7 | 0.0 | 2.984206E-6 | 1.9435704E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9435704E-6 | 0.0 | 3.63321E-5 | 2.3662713E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2678174 | 2.3662713E-5 | 0.0 | 3.6326164E-4 | 2.4510184E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.5711912 | 2.4510184E-4 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.7876137E-7 | 8.357368E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.357368E-8 | 0.0 | 7.661199E-7 | 3.5817288E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5817288E-7 | 0.0 | 9.32747E-6 | 4.3607465E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3607465E-6 | 0.0 | 9.3270784E-5 | 4.5800018E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.21834052 | 4.5800018E-5 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.1040642E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 7.2459555 | 9.103976E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.7316473E-5 | 1.4E-4 | 2.9588003 | 1.4731174E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.759784E-4 | 8.4E-4 | 1.4583879 | 7.158978E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0054756533 | 0.005750022 | 0.00593 | 1.0313004 | 0.0059389295 | 1.9E-4 |
6.1 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.1040642E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 7.2459555 | 9.103976E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.7316473E-5 | 1.4E-4 | 2.9588003 | 1.4731174E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.759784E-4 | 8.4E-4 | 1.4583879 | 7.158978E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0054756533 | 0.005750022 | 0.00593 | 1.0313004 | 0.0059389295 | 1.9E-4 |
6.2 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2082024E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2082024E-6 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.463714E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.463714E-6 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1521882E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 1.4754534 | 1.2521767E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011520023 | 0.00144 | 1.2499975 | 0.0011719792 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2082024E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2082024E-6 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.463714E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.463714E-6 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1521882E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 1.4754534 | 1.2521767E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011520023 | 0.00144 | 1.2499975 | 0.0011719792 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7259927E-6 | 1.810877E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.810877E-6 | 0.0 | 7.3970905E-6 | 7.760902E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.760902E-6 | 0.0 | 9.005586E-5 | 9.4488976E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 1.2699894 | 1.04488034E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 9.001937E-4 | 9.448898E-4 | 0.00115 | 1.2170732 | 9.548803E-4 | 1.0E-5 |
Cleghorn Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6794203E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.9772177 | 5.679353E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.197348E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 0.97258043 | 1.3196917E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.759797E-4 | 7.1E-4 | 0.81052107 | 9.958746E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.008038137 | 0.008730696 | 0.00671 | 0.7685527 | 0.008909124 | 1.8E-4 |
6.1 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6794203E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.9772177 | 5.679353E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.197348E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 0.97258043 | 1.3196917E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.759797E-4 | 7.1E-4 | 0.81052107 | 9.958746E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.008038137 | 0.008730696 | 0.00671 | 0.7685527 | 0.008909124 | 1.8E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3681544E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 2.9236465 | 4.3681135E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.863415E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.0232944 | 1.0863122E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.1368564E-4 | 6.4E-4 | 0.8967534 | 8.236071E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0065657445 | 0.0071187317 | 0.00551 | 0.7740143 | 0.0072676637 | 1.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3681544E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 2.9236465 | 4.3681135E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.863415E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.0232944 | 1.0863122E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.1368564E-4 | 6.4E-4 | 0.8967534 | 8.236071E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0065657445 | 0.0071187317 | 0.00551 | 0.7740143 | 0.0072676637 | 1.5E-4 |
6.4 | 9.417684E-6 | 1.0170118E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9498184 | 3.0169915E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 4.036088E-5 | 4.3585722E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.91773176 | 7.3584415E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 4.912829E-4 | 5.3056807E-4 | 4.6E-4 | 0.8669953 | 6.105256E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.004901982 | 0.005297049 | 0.00399 | 0.7532496 | 0.0054164133 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 9.368219E-6 | 1.0117545E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9651463 | 3.0117342E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 4.014889E-5 | 4.3360415E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.9225004 | 7.3359115E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 4.8870314E-4 | 5.2782625E-4 | 4.5E-4 | 0.85255325 | 6.07784E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.004876298 | 0.0052697617 | 0.00397 | 0.7533548 | 0.0053891293 | 1.2E-4 |
6.6 | 7.803798E-6 | 8.441831E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3691542 | 2.8441662E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3444423E-5 | 3.6179E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.82921034 | 6.617791E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 4.0710976E-4 | 4.4043022E-4 | 3.9E-4 | 0.88549787 | 5.004038E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0040636472 | 0.0043994905 | 0.00332 | 0.75463283 | 0.0044890945 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.3108669E-6 | 2.4438336E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4438336E-6 | 0.0 | 9.903678E-6 | 1.0473532E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0473532E-5 | 0.0 | 1.205706E-4 | 1.2750797E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.86269116 | 1.375067E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001205052 | 0.0012743667 | 9.5E-4 | 0.74546826 | 0.001284354 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.0882828E-6 | 2.2062823E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2062823E-6 | 0.0 | 8.949753E-6 | 9.455462E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.455462E-6 | 0.0 | 1.08957785E-4 | 1.1511434E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.9555717 | 1.2511319E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010890438 | 0.0011505639 | 8.9E-4 | 0.7735337 | 0.0011605524 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.876935E-6 | 1.981051E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.981051E-6 | 0.0 | 8.043982E-6 | 8.490192E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.490192E-6 | 0.0 | 9.7931086E-5 | 1.03363345E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 1.0642071 | 1.1336231E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 9.788794E-4 | 0.0010331686 | 7.9E-4 | 0.764638 | 0.0010431584 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.5357559E-6 | 1.6202807E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6202807E-6 | 0.0 | 6.5817944E-6 | 6.9440425E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.9440425E-6 | 0.0 | 8.01304E-5 | 8.454057E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 0.9462913 | 8.454057E-5 | 0.0 | 8.010151E-4 | 8.450965E-4 | 5.5E-4 | 0.6508133 | 8.450965E-4 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1497619E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1497619E-6 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.9275427E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9275427E-6 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.999128E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.0001454 | 5.999128E-5 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.997606E-4 | 4.2E-4 | 0.7002794 | 5.997606E-4 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.387277E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.387277E-7 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7374022E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7374022E-6 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3327433E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2002125 | 3.3327433E-5 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.3323118E-4 | 2.3E-4 | 0.69021153 | 3.3323118E-4 | 0.0 |
Santa Rosa Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1143165E-5 | 4.709113E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1235423 | 1.1708783E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 1.7631594E-4 | 2.0180462E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 1.238822 | 3.0178443E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002144533 | 0.0024543991 | 0.00172 | 0.70078254 | 0.0025940554 | 1.4E-4 | 0.021239553 | 0.024293557 | 0.01834 | 0.7549327 | 0.024459427 | 1.7E-4 |
6.1 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3864959E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2570732 | 3.3864722E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.0227455E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.8799843 | 1.3227148E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012445103 | 7.9E-4 | 0.6347878 | 0.001274473 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01092941 | 0.01237845 | 0.00784 | 0.6333588 | 0.012417954 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3864959E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2570732 | 3.3864722E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.0227455E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.8799843 | 1.3227148E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012445103 | 7.9E-4 | 0.6347878 | 0.001274473 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01092941 | 0.01237845 | 0.00784 | 0.6333588 | 0.012417954 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5158236E-5 | 1.7074419E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7570144 | 2.7074248E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 6.496225E-5 | 7.3174095E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 1.093283 | 1.031719E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 7.906284E-4 | 8.9054246E-4 | 5.8E-4 | 0.65128845 | 9.2051574E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007878214 | 0.00887099 | 0.00552 | 0.622253 | 0.0089106355 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2341918E-5 | 1.3852917E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4437393 | 2.3852777E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2892858E-5 | 5.9368336E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 1.1790797 | 8.936656E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 6.437803E-4 | 7.225779E-4 | 4.6E-4 | 0.63660955 | 7.5255625E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006419184 | 0.0072031217 | 0.00451 | 0.6261174 | 0.0072428337 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.061158E-6 | 1.0117032E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9768645 | 2.011693E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.883296E-5 | 4.3358017E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1531893 | 7.3356714E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 4.726887E-4 | 5.277613E-4 | 3.5E-4 | 0.66317856 | 5.5774546E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004716845 | 0.0052656177 | 0.00338 | 0.6419 | 0.005305407 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.5461685E-6 | 8.400734E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3807445 | 1.840065E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2340322E-5 | 3.600267E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.3887858 | 6.6001594E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.936723E-4 | 4.3824868E-4 | 2.9E-4 | 0.66172475 | 4.6823552E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003929756 | 0.0043742736 | 0.00283 | 0.64696455 | 0.004414099 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.5023775E-6 | 6.087381E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6427426 | 6.087381E-6 | 0.0 | 2.3581404E-5 | 2.6088532E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5332407 | 4.608801E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8706578E-4 | 3.1758484E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 0.7871912 | 3.3757847E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028669522 | 0.0031716316 | 0.00209 | 0.65896684 | 0.0032015364 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.7351679E-6 | 4.0831405E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4490952 | 4.0831405E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6007763E-5 | 1.7499071E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7143768 | 2.7498896E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.948771E-4 | 2.1303285E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 0.797999 | 2.2303071E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019470629 | 0.0021285315 | 0.00139 | 0.65303236 | 0.002148489 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.456366E-6 | 2.6292707E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8033361 | 2.6292707E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0527241E-5 | 1.1268255E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.6623466 | 2.1268143E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2816161E-4 | 1.3718239E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.6560609 | 1.4718101E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012808773 | 0.0013709799 | 9.5E-4 | 0.692935 | 0.0013909526 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.3245157E-6 | 2.4827784E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0277457 | 2.4827784E-6 | 0.0 | 9.962172E-6 | 1.0640436E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8194335 | 2.064033E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2128269E-4 | 1.2953962E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.61757165 | 1.3953833E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012121652 | 0.0012946434 | 8.7E-4 | 0.6719997 | 0.0013146175 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2248344E-6 | 2.37325E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2136307 | 2.37325E-6 | 0.0 | 9.53497E-6 | 1.0171032E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.949553 | 2.017093E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1608207E-4 | 1.238253E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.64607155 | 1.3382405E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011602144 | 0.0012375651 | 8.6E-4 | 0.69491297 | 0.0012575403 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.1350402E-6 | 2.2761542E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 4.393376 | 2.2761542E-6 | 0.0 | 9.150141E-6 | 9.75491E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 3.0753744 | 1.9754812E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1139726E-4 | 1.1875957E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.67362994 | 1.2875839E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011134144 | 0.0011869629 | 8.0E-4 | 0.673989 | 0.0012069392 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.9793572E-6 | 2.1087192E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 4.742215 | 2.1087192E-6 | 0.0 | 8.482932E-6 | 9.037337E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 3.319562 | 1.9037247E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.032748E-4 | 1.1002403E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.72711384 | 1.2002294E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010322682 | 0.0010996974 | 7.6E-4 | 0.69109917 | 0.0011196755 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.6951194E-6 | 1.8045735E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 5.541476 | 1.8045735E-6 | 0.0 | 7.264777E-6 | 7.733864E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5860295 | 1.7733786E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 8.844508E-5 | 9.415574E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 0.74344915 | 1.04154795E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 8.840988E-4 | 9.411601E-4 | 6.6E-4 | 0.7012622 | 9.6114125E-4 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.987207E-7 | 9.512216E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.512216E-7 | 0.0 | 3.8516546E-6 | 4.0766577E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0766577E-6 | 0.0 | 4.6892885E-5 | 4.9632188E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.4029643 | 4.9632188E-5 | 0.0 | 4.688299E-4 | 4.962122E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.60458004 | 5.0620723E-4 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.8783037E-7 | 4.0529335E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0529335E-7 | 0.0 | 1.6621291E-6 | 1.7369704E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7369704E-6 | 0.0 | 2.0236233E-5 | 2.1147416E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1147416E-5 | 0.0 | 2.023439E-4 | 2.114547E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 0.70937186 | 2.2145257E-4 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.181804E-8 | 6.339047E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.339047E-8 | 0.0 | 2.6493444E-7 | 2.7167343E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7167343E-7 | 0.0 | 3.225572E-6 | 3.307619E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.307619E-6 | 0.0 | 3.225525E-5 | 3.3075703E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.9070102 | 3.3075703E-5 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.3704449E-9 | 1.3964153E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3964153E-9 | 0.0 | 5.873335E-9 | 5.984637E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.984637E-9 | 0.0 | 7.1507856E-8 | 7.286295E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.286295E-8 | 0.0 | 7.1507833E-7 | 7.286294E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.286294E-7 | 0.0 |
Independence rev 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3262253E-6 | 7.0E-5 | 16.180387 | 7.432592E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540852E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 6.4721947 | 1.08539185E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571447E-4 | 2.3E-4 | 1.0189866 | 3.3568963E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551457 | 0.00124 | 0.5498536 | 0.0024247624 | 1.7E-4 |
6.1 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3262253E-6 | 7.0E-5 | 16.180387 | 7.432592E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540852E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 6.4721947 | 1.08539185E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571447E-4 | 2.3E-4 | 1.0189866 | 3.3568963E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551457 | 0.00124 | 0.5498536 | 0.0024247624 | 1.7E-4 |
6.2 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3262253E-6 | 7.0E-5 | 16.180387 | 7.432592E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540852E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 6.4721947 | 1.08539185E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571447E-4 | 2.3E-4 | 1.0189866 | 3.3568963E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551457 | 0.00124 | 0.5498536 | 0.0024247624 | 1.7E-4 |
6.3 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3262253E-6 | 7.0E-5 | 16.180387 | 7.432592E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540852E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 6.4721947 | 1.08539185E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571447E-4 | 2.3E-4 | 1.0189866 | 3.3568963E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551457 | 0.00124 | 0.5498536 | 0.0024247624 | 1.7E-4 |
6.4 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3262253E-6 | 7.0E-5 | 16.180387 | 7.432592E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540852E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 6.4721947 | 1.08539185E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571447E-4 | 2.3E-4 | 1.0189866 | 3.3568963E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551457 | 0.00124 | 0.5498536 | 0.0024247624 | 1.7E-4 |
6.5 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3262253E-6 | 7.0E-5 | 16.180387 | 7.432592E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540852E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 6.4721947 | 1.08539185E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571447E-4 | 2.3E-4 | 1.0189866 | 3.3568963E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551457 | 0.00124 | 0.5498536 | 0.0024247624 | 1.7E-4 |
6.6 | 2.663744E-6 | 2.5319846E-6 | 7.0E-5 | 27.646297 | 7.253181E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 1.1415996E-5 | 1.08513195E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 9.215468 | 1.00850346E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 1.3898089E-4 | 1.321073E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 1.3625288 | 2.4209276E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0013889399 | 0.0013203359 | 7.7E-4 | 0.5831849 | 0.0014901115 | 1.7E-4 |
6.7 | 2.663744E-6 | 2.5319846E-6 | 7.0E-5 | 27.646297 | 7.253181E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 1.1415996E-5 | 1.08513195E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 9.215468 | 1.00850346E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 1.3898089E-4 | 1.321073E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 1.3625288 | 2.4209276E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0013889399 | 0.0013203359 | 7.7E-4 | 0.5831849 | 0.0014901115 | 1.7E-4 |
6.8 | 1.9716529E-6 | 1.8322567E-6 | 7.0E-5 | 38.204254 | 7.183213E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 8.449913E-6 | 7.852505E-6 | 1.0E-4 | 12.734789 | 9.78518E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 1.0287284E-4 | 9.560019E-5 | 1.6E-4 | 1.6736368 | 2.0558968E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0010282523 | 9.5560355E-4 | 5.8E-4 | 0.6069463 | 0.001125441 | 1.7E-4 |
6.9 | 1.8788617E-6 | 1.7429976E-6 | 7.0E-5 | 40.160698 | 7.174288E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 8.0522395E-6 | 7.4699688E-6 | 9.0E-5 | 12.048243 | 9.7469296E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 9.80316E-5 | 9.09432E-5 | 1.5E-4 | 1.6493812 | 2.009332E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 9.798837E-4 | 9.090718E-4 | 5.7E-4 | 0.62701315 | 0.0010789173 | 1.7E-4 |
7.0 | 1.5045488E-6 | 1.3849498E-6 | 7.0E-5 | 50.54335 | 7.138485E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 6.44805E-6 | 5.9354857E-6 | 9.0E-5 | 15.163039 | 9.593495E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 7.8502184E-5 | 7.226219E-5 | 1.4E-4 | 1.9373894 | 1.8225424E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 7.8474457E-4 | 7.223921E-4 | 4.9E-4 | 0.678302 | 8.922693E-4 | 1.7E-4 |
7.1 | 1.272341E-6 | 1.1625089E-6 | 7.0E-5 | 60.214596 | 7.116243E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 5.4528787E-6 | 4.9821715E-6 | 9.0E-5 | 18.064413 | 9.4981726E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 6.6386776E-5 | 6.0656283E-5 | 1.4E-4 | 2.3080873 | 1.7064961E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 6.636695E-4 | 6.064005E-4 | 4.5E-4 | 0.74208385 | 7.7629735E-4 | 1.7E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0416892E-6 | 9.409871E-7 | 6.0E-5 | 63.76283 | 6.094093E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 4.464375E-6 | 4.032796E-6 | 8.0E-5 | 19.837355 | 8.403247E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 5.4352407E-5 | 4.9098202E-5 | 1.3E-4 | 2.647755 | 1.4909329E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 5.4339116E-4 | 4.908754E-4 | 3.9E-4 | 0.794499 | 6.5079686E-4 | 1.6E-4 |
7.3 | 7.9450155E-7 | 7.2350036E-7 | 6.0E-5 | 82.93016 | 6.0723458E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 3.4050022E-6 | 3.1007123E-6 | 8.0E-5 | 25.800524 | 8.3100465E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 4.1455114E-5 | 3.7750528E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 3.1787634 | 1.3774676E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 4.144738E-4 | 3.7744228E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7948235 | 5.273857E-4 | 1.5E-4 |
7.4 | 5.3893444E-7 | 5.0195166E-7 | 6.0E-5 | 119.533424 | 6.0501923E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 2.309717E-6 | 2.1512196E-6 | 8.0E-5 | 37.188206 | 8.215105E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 2.8120441E-5 | 2.6190788E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 4.5817637 | 1.2618817E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8116882E-4 | 2.6187746E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 0.9546449 | 4.1183818E-4 | 1.5E-4 |
7.5 | 3.8852085E-7 | 3.6825622E-7 | 6.0E-5 | 162.93004 | 6.0368235E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.6650882E-6 | 1.57824E-6 | 8.0E-5 | 50.689373 | 8.157812E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 2.027226E-5 | 1.9214905E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 5.7247224 | 1.19212986E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 2.0270412E-4 | 1.9213265E-4 | 2.3E-4 | 1.1970896 | 3.4210383E-4 | 1.5E-4 |
7.6 | 2.414929E-7 | 2.3457605E-7 | 3.0E-5 | 127.8903 | 3.0234569E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0349692E-6 | 1.0053255E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 39.788105 | 4.1005285E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2600677E-5 | 1.2239771E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 4.9020524 | 6.223916E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.2599962E-4 | 1.223911E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 1.0621688 | 2.2237885E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 6.8298014E-8 | 6.8589785E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.8589785E-8 | 0.0 | 2.9270575E-7 | 2.939562E-7 | 1.0E-5 | 34.018673 | 1.0293953E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5636867E-6 | 3.5789112E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7941458 | 1.3578875E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5636294E-5 | 3.5788584E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.8382561 | 5.5787867E-5 | 2.0E-5 |
Owens Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6210524E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 8.284884 | 3.3620945E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.551871E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 3.2219174 | 5.551809E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.002521386 | 1.889249E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 0.84689736 | 2.5891166E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019297141 | 0.00108 | 0.55966836 | 0.0020993862 | 1.7E-4 |
6.1 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6210524E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 8.284884 | 3.3620945E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.551871E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 3.2219174 | 5.551809E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.002521386 | 1.889249E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 0.84689736 | 2.5891166E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019297141 | 0.00108 | 0.55966836 | 0.0020993862 | 1.7E-4 |
6.2 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6210524E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 8.284884 | 3.3620945E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.551871E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 3.2219174 | 5.551809E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.002521386 | 1.889249E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 0.84689736 | 2.5891166E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019297141 | 0.00108 | 0.55966836 | 0.0020993862 | 1.7E-4 |
6.3 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.1530958E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 6.3429723 | 2.3153032E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.3513202E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 2.9600682 | 4.35128E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002060538 | 1.6451156E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.85100406 | 2.2450168E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.020415364 | 0.0016621627 | 8.9E-4 | 0.53544694 | 0.0018119134 | 1.5E-4 |
6.4 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.1530958E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 6.3429723 | 2.3153032E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.3513202E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 2.9600682 | 4.35128E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002060538 | 1.6451156E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.85100406 | 2.2450168E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.020415364 | 0.0016621627 | 8.9E-4 | 0.53544694 | 0.0018119134 | 1.5E-4 |
6.5 | 3.457342E-5 | 2.9707387E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 6.732332 | 2.297068E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4816338E-4 | 1.273168E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 3.1417694 | 4.27313E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0018023965 | 1.5499788E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.8387212 | 2.1498857E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.017878477 | 0.0015563119 | 8.3E-4 | 0.53331214 | 0.0017060783 | 1.5E-4 |
6.6 | 3.1127765E-5 | 2.8737306E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 6.9595942 | 2.2873674E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3339789E-4 | 1.2315934E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 3.2478251 | 4.2315565E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016229092 | 1.4993687E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.8670316 | 2.0992788E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.016111081 | 0.0015013438 | 8.2E-4 | 0.5461774 | 0.0016511186 | 1.5E-4 |
6.7 | 2.806885E-5 | 2.8101606E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 7.117031 | 2.2810103E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2028952E-4 | 1.2043493E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 3.3212955 | 4.204313E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001463541 | 1.4662035E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.88664365 | 2.0661156E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.014539397 | 0.0014656087 | 8.1E-4 | 0.5526714 | 0.0016153889 | 1.5E-4 |
6.8 | 2.524524E-5 | 2.2351392E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 8.9479885 | 2.2235094E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0818939E-4 | 9.579134E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 4.1757426 | 3.957885E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013164099 | 1.16620016E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 1.0289829 | 1.7661302E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.01308639 | 0.001165827 | 6.8E-4 | 0.5832769 | 0.0013156522 | 1.5E-4 |
6.9 | 2.2704568E-5 | 1.6079711E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 12.438035 | 2.1607939E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 9.730166E-5 | 6.8912864E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 5.8044314 | 3.689108E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011840039 | 8.38982E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 1.3111128 | 1.4389316E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.011777153 | 8.38853E-4 | 4.6E-4 | 0.5483678 | 9.887272E-4 | 1.5E-4 |
7.0 | 2.0871712E-5 | 1.5393621E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 12.992394 | 2.1539332E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 8.944713E-5 | 6.5972495E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 6.063133 | 3.659705E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010884746 | 8.031857E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2450421 | 1.4031376E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010831586 | 8.030395E-4 | 4.4E-4 | 0.5479182 | 9.529191E-4 | 1.5E-4 |
7.1 | 1.944928E-5 | 1.3862556E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 14.427355 | 2.1386228E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 8.335139E-5 | 5.941082E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 6.7327805 | 3.5940902E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010143308 | 7.233028E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3825469 | 1.3232593E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010097133 | 7.2319806E-4 | 4.2E-4 | 0.5807538 | 8.730896E-4 | 1.5E-4 |
7.2 | 1.7876306E-5 | 1.2487686E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 16.015778 | 2.1248743E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 7.6610486E-5 | 5.3518543E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 5.6055336 | 3.5351695E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 9.3233347E-4 | 6.515689E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 1.3812815 | 1.2515298E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.009284316 | 6.5148395E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.6139829 | 8.013862E-4 | 1.5E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2618672E-5 | 1.1113839E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 17.995583 | 2.1111362E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 5.40789E-5 | 4.763065E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 6.2984653 | 3.476292E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 6.582117E-4 | 5.7988782E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5520242 | 1.17985306E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0065626553 | 5.7983754E-4 | 3.4E-4 | 0.5863711 | 7.297506E-4 | 1.5E-4 |
7.4 | 7.4874442E-6 | 8.547518E-7 | 2.0E-5 | 23.398605 | 2.0854735E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.208865E-5 | 3.6632168E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 8.189524 | 3.3663106E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.906093E-4 | 4.4598757E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 2.0179935 | 1.0459608E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.003899234 | 4.459579E-4 | 3.2E-4 | 0.71755654 | 5.9589103E-4 | 1.5E-4 |
7.5 | 2.4734156E-6 | 6.0679935E-7 | 1.0E-5 | 16.479912 | 1.0606794E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.060031E-5 | 2.6005662E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 7.690633 | 2.2600514E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2905113E-4 | 3.1661435E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5792083 | 7.166017E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012897621 | 3.1656958E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 0.6949499 | 4.1653792E-4 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1328841E-6 | 3.1961991E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1961991E-7 | 0.0 | 4.8552088E-6 | 1.369799E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 7.300341 | 1.1369785E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9110564E-5 | 1.6677177E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.5996219 | 2.667701E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9094845E-4 | 1.6675945E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.53969955 | 2.167511E-4 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.8613185E-7 | 8.962742E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.962742E-8 | 0.0 | 2.0834207E-6 | 3.8411747E-7 | 1.0E-5 | 26.033703 | 1.0384114E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.536535E-5 | 4.676621E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1382961 | 1.4676574E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5362454E-4 | 4.676529E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.6415014 | 7.6763885E-5 | 3.0E-5 |
Oceanic - West Huasna
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.195567E-5 | 2.7926368E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 2.148507 | 7.7924975E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.3694567E-4 | 1.19679185E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 1.1697941 | 2.0966842E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0016660384 | 0.0014561634 | 9.9E-4 | 0.6798688 | 0.0015660031 | 1.1E-4 | 0.016536033 | 0.01447077 | 0.00957 | 0.66133314 | 0.0146186 | 1.5E-4 |
6.1 | 2.1156782E-5 | 1.7573117E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.569051 | 1.7573117E-5 | 0.0 | 9.066878E-5 | 7.531123E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.6639116 | 1.0530898E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011033333 | 9.1653795E-4 | 4.7E-4 | 0.51279926 | 9.565013E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010978713 | 0.009128587 | 0.00524 | 0.5740209 | 0.009197948 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6195117E-5 | 1.3327227E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.7503436 | 1.3327227E-5 | 0.0 | 6.9405796E-5 | 5.7115452E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.87541986 | 8.711374E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 8.44688E-4 | 6.9516135E-4 | 3.7E-4 | 0.5322505 | 7.251405E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008414844 | 0.0069301617 | 0.00391 | 0.5642004 | 0.006979815 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3559345E-5 | 1.1179013E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1179013E-5 | 0.0 | 5.811018E-5 | 4.7909183E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.4174565 | 6.790822E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 7.072618E-4 | 5.8313913E-4 | 2.8E-4 | 0.48015985 | 6.0312747E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0070501505 | 0.005816208 | 0.00325 | 0.5587833 | 0.005855975 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2120619E-5 | 1.0000874E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0000874E-5 | 0.0 | 5.1944477E-5 | 4.2860185E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.46663353 | 6.2859326E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 6.322405E-4 | 5.216983E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 0.49837232 | 5.416879E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006304447 | 0.005204804 | 0.00288 | 0.553335 | 0.0052445955 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.13511915E-5 | 9.367378E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.367378E-6 | 0.0 | 4.8647056E-5 | 4.0145293E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.49819043 | 6.0144488E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 5.9211696E-4 | 4.886598E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 0.53206754 | 5.0865E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0059054173 | 0.0048759114 | 0.00265 | 0.54348814 | 0.0049157166 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.850605E-6 | 8.1353155E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.1353155E-6 | 0.0 | 4.2216197E-5 | 3.4865174E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.5736383 | 5.4864475E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 5.1386096E-4 | 4.2440102E-4 | 2.3E-4 | 0.5419403 | 4.4439253E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0051267436 | 0.0042359377 | 0.00222 | 0.524087 | 0.004265811 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.8558645E-6 | 7.318341E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.318341E-6 | 0.0 | 3.7953152E-5 | 3.1363943E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.6376749 | 5.1363313E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 4.6198163E-4 | 3.8178926E-4 | 2.3E-4 | 0.6024266 | 4.0178164E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004610224 | 0.0038113592 | 0.00196 | 0.51425225 | 0.0038412448 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.67136E-6 | 6.39169E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.39169E-6 | 0.0 | 3.2876844E-5 | 2.739267E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.7301223 | 4.739212E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0020206E-4 | 3.3345487E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 0.5697922 | 3.534482E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003994821 | 0.0033295664 | 0.00169 | 0.5075736 | 0.0033594666 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.534529E-6 | 5.458261E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.458261E-6 | 0.0 | 2.8004823E-5 | 2.3392338E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.8549808 | 4.339187E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4090536E-4 | 2.8476462E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 0.56186754 | 3.0475893E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034038287 | 0.002844014 | 0.00145 | 0.50984275 | 0.0028739288 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.460525E-6 | 4.5699203E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5699203E-6 | 0.0 | 2.3402039E-5 | 1.9585226E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0211779 | 3.9584833E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8488258E-4 | 2.3842414E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.58718884 | 2.5841937E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028451765 | 0.0023816973 | 0.00117 | 0.49124628 | 0.0024016497 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.4825083E-6 | 3.7524153E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7524153E-6 | 0.0 | 1.9210609E-5 | 1.6081682E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.243651 | 3.608136E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3386406E-4 | 1.9577699E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.6640209 | 2.1577306E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002336181 | 0.001956057 | 9.9E-4 | 0.5061202 | 0.001976018 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.821708E-6 | 2.424941E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.424941E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2092979E-5 | 1.0392562E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9244533 | 3.0392355E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4722206E-4 | 1.265221E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.7113381 | 1.4651958E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014712457 | 0.0012645032 | 5.7E-4 | 0.4507699 | 0.001284478 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.0644757E-6 | 1.7687502E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7687502E-6 | 0.0 | 8.847723E-6 | 7.580336E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.580336E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0771569E-4 | 9.228668E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.325074 | 9.228668E-5 | 0.0 | 0.001076635 | 9.224854E-4 | 3.8E-4 | 0.41193065 | 9.224854E-4 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6980367E-6 | 1.4379966E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4379966E-6 | 0.0 | 7.27728E-6 | 6.1628284E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.1628284E-6 | 0.0 | 8.8597284E-5 | 7.502986E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.39984083 | 7.502986E-5 | 0.0 | 8.8561967E-4 | 7.5004686E-4 | 3.1E-4 | 0.4133075 | 7.5004686E-4 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3637683E-6 | 1.1302697E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1302697E-6 | 0.0 | 5.844708E-6 | 4.844004E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.844004E-6 | 0.0 | 7.1156996E-5 | 5.897415E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.50869745 | 5.897415E-5 | 0.0 | 7.1134215E-4 | 5.8958656E-4 | 2.4E-4 | 0.4070649 | 5.8958656E-4 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.802994E-7 | 7.6772847E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.6772847E-7 | 0.0 | 4.2012766E-6 | 3.2902608E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2902608E-6 | 0.0 | 5.1149345E-5 | 4.005819E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.4992737 | 4.005819E-5 | 0.0 | 5.113757E-4 | 4.0051117E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 0.42445758 | 4.0051117E-4 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.986191E-7 | 4.0050708E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0050708E-7 | 0.0 | 2.5655079E-6 | 1.7164577E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7164577E-6 | 0.0 | 3.1234613E-5 | 2.0897673E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.95704436 | 2.0897673E-5 | 0.0 | 3.123022E-4 | 2.0895849E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.47856393 | 2.0895849E-4 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.9189815E-7 | 1.5285202E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5285202E-7 | 0.0 | 1.2509914E-6 | 6.5507993E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.5507993E-7 | 0.0 | 1.5230714E-5 | 7.975569E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.253829 | 7.975569E-6 | 0.0 | 1.522967E-4 | 7.97542E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.50154096 | 7.97542E-5 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.2057845E-7 | 4.6208047E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6208047E-8 | 0.0 | 5.1676466E-7 | 1.9803447E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9803447E-7 | 0.0 | 6.2915915E-6 | 2.411067E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 4.147541 | 2.411067E-6 | 0.0 | 6.2914136E-5 | 2.4111772E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.41473517 | 2.4111772E-5 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.3806387E-9 | 9.0093144E-10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0093144E-10 | 0.0 | 1.4488451E-8 | 3.8611354E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8611354E-9 | 0.0 | 1.7639688E-7 | 4.7009323E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7009323E-8 | 0.0 | 1.7639674E-6 | 4.712806E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.712806E-7 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez River
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7209444E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 4.067534 | 7.720841E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.3752875E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 1.6270552 | 1.5374698E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.976069E-4 | 6.1E-4 | 0.6795848 | 0.0010075081 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008943363 | 0.00704 | 0.78717595 | 0.009111842 | 1.7E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7209444E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 4.067534 | 7.720841E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.3752875E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 1.6270552 | 1.5374698E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.976069E-4 | 6.1E-4 | 0.6795848 | 0.0010075081 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008943363 | 0.00704 | 0.78717595 | 0.009111842 | 1.7E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7209444E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 4.067534 | 7.720841E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.3752875E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 1.6270552 | 1.5374698E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.976069E-4 | 6.1E-4 | 0.6795848 | 0.0010075081 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008943363 | 0.00704 | 0.78717595 | 0.009111842 | 1.7E-4 |
6.3 | 9.736976E-6 | 1.01223395E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9637418 | 4.0122035E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 4.172923E-5 | 4.338076E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 1.8441355 | 9.337859E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 5.0793495E-4 | 5.280378E-4 | 3.8E-4 | 0.7196455 | 5.8800605E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.005067755 | 0.0052683367 | 0.00462 | 0.87693715 | 0.005337968 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.736976E-6 | 1.01223395E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9637418 | 4.0122035E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 4.172923E-5 | 4.338076E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 1.8441355 | 9.337859E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 5.0793495E-4 | 5.280378E-4 | 3.8E-4 | 0.7196455 | 5.8800605E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.005067755 | 0.0052683367 | 0.00462 | 0.87693715 | 0.005337968 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.081964E-6 | 7.329905E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7285483 | 2.732976E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.035092E-5 | 3.141351E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.9100062 | 6.141257E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.694598E-4 | 3.8239395E-4 | 3.1E-4 | 0.8106823 | 4.2237865E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0036884616 | 0.0038175215 | 0.00327 | 0.85657674 | 0.0038673305 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.873247E-6 | 6.0597517E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 3.300465 | 2.6059632E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5170815E-5 | 2.5970112E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5402321 | 5.5969333E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.064116E-4 | 3.161411E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 0.8224176 | 3.5612844E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0030598943 | 0.003157001 | 0.00271 | 0.85840964 | 0.003206843 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.973277E-6 | 5.11591E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 3.909373 | 2.5115807E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1313872E-5 | 2.1925147E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.8243891 | 5.192449E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.5946548E-4 | 2.6690646E-4 | 2.4E-4 | 0.8991915 | 3.0689576E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0025916274 | 0.0026659078 | 0.00236 | 0.88525194 | 0.002705801 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.396492E-6 | 4.510987E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 4.43362 | 2.4510897E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.884197E-5 | 1.933266E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0690377 | 4.933208E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2937685E-4 | 2.3535005E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 0.9347778 | 2.7534063E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0022914023 | 0.0023510433 | 0.00203 | 0.8634464 | 0.0023909493 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.5255632E-6 | 3.6013423E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 5.553485 | 2.3601271E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5109469E-5 | 1.5434234E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 2.5916414 | 4.543377E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8394225E-4 | 1.8789574E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0644201 | 2.2788823E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0018379007 | 0.001877385 | 0.00159 | 0.84692276 | 0.0019173098 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.211603E-6 | 3.273663E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 6.1093645 | 2.3273598E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.376394E-5 | 1.402991E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.138289 | 4.402949E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6756308E-4 | 1.708009E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 1.1124064 | 2.1079407E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016743679 | 0.0017067104 | 0.00142 | 0.8320099 | 0.0017466422 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.5094619E-6 | 2.5409295E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 7.8711357 | 2.2540878E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0754793E-5 | 1.0889652E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8366059 | 3.0889434E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3093173E-4 | 1.325735E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 1.2068776 | 1.6256953E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013085462 | 0.0013249503 | 0.00106 | 0.80003005 | 0.0013549104 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0515774E-6 | 2.0619466E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 9.699573 | 2.2061906E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 8.792445E-6 | 8.836884E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2632413 | 2.8836706E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0704277E-4 | 1.0758379E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 1.3013113 | 1.3758056E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010699122 | 0.0010753215 | 8.2E-4 | 0.7625627 | 0.0011052891 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.6845745E-6 | 1.6773996E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 11.923217 | 2.1677366E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 7.219585E-6 | 7.1888358E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7820916 | 2.7188693E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 8.78949E-5 | 8.752059E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1425883 | 1.17517964E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 8.7860145E-4 | 8.7486405E-4 | 6.3E-4 | 0.72011185 | 9.0483786E-4 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.3600285E-6 | 1.3333447E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 7.499936 | 1.1333332E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 5.82868E-6 | 5.714322E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7499889 | 1.5714264E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 7.096187E-5 | 6.956967E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 0.86244476 | 8.956828E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 7.0939213E-4 | 6.9548114E-4 | 5.3E-4 | 0.7620624 | 7.1546726E-4 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 9.735342E-7 | 9.2901894E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.2901894E-7 | 0.0 | 4.172283E-6 | 3.9815036E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9815036E-6 | 0.0 | 5.079636E-5 | 4.8473747E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.6188917 | 4.8473747E-5 | 0.0 | 5.0784746E-4 | 4.8463346E-4 | 4.1E-4 | 0.8460002 | 4.8463346E-4 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.067187E-7 | 4.778609E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.778609E-7 | 0.0 | 2.1716498E-6 | 2.0479738E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0479738E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6439517E-5 | 2.4933803E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.8021239 | 2.4933803E-5 | 0.0 | 2.643637E-4 | 2.493108E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 0.60165864 | 2.493108E-4 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.769089E-7 | 2.5759346E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5759346E-7 | 0.0 | 1.1867519E-6 | 1.1039714E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1039714E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4448608E-5 | 1.344077E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.344077E-5 | 0.0 | 1.444767E-4 | 1.343996E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.74404985 | 1.343996E-4 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.7044663E-7 | 1.5449208E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5449208E-7 | 0.0 | 7.3048534E-7 | 6.6210873E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.6210873E-7 | 0.0 | 8.893623E-6 | 8.061144E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.061144E-6 | 0.0 | 8.893267E-5 | 8.060854E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.6202817 | 8.060854E-5 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.8344287E-8 | 4.0911143E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0911143E-8 | 0.0 | 2.0718979E-7 | 1.7533345E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7533345E-7 | 0.0 | 2.5225327E-6 | 2.1346827E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1346827E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5225041E-5 | 2.1346626E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.93691623 | 2.1346626E-5 | 0.0 |
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.763429E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 0.4408589 | 5.063286E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0020399094 | 9.2E-4 | 0.45100042 | 0.0021197463 | 8.0E-5 | 0.011683988 | 0.024544531 | 0.01274 | 0.51905656 | 0.024651831 | 1.1E-4 | 0.11088423 | 0.21349923 | 0.12933 | 0.6057633 | 0.21362507 | 1.6E-4 |
6.1 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.763429E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.4198656 | 5.063286E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0020399094 | 8.2E-4 | 0.40197864 | 0.0021197463 | 8.0E-5 | 0.011683988 | 0.024544531 | 0.01109 | 0.45183182 | 0.024651831 | 1.1E-4 | 0.11088423 | 0.21349923 | 0.11397 | 0.53381926 | 0.2136172 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 2.198148E-4 | 4.6718874E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.4280925 | 4.9717474E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 9.417233E-4 | 0.0020007377 | 8.2E-4 | 0.4098488 | 0.0020805777 | 8.0E-5 | 0.011405343 | 0.024078513 | 0.01086 | 0.45102453 | 0.024185864 | 1.1E-4 | 0.10837428 | 0.20993572 | 0.11189 | 0.53297263 | 0.21005423 | 1.5E-4 |
6.3 | 2.1704129E-4 | 4.615455E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.43332672 | 4.915317E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 9.298453E-4 | 0.0019765892 | 8.1E-4 | 0.40979683 | 0.0020564313 | 8.0E-5 | 0.011262234 | 0.023792034 | 0.01075 | 0.4518319 | 0.023899417 | 1.1E-4 | 0.107082725 | 0.20782684 | 0.11071 | 0.5327031 | 0.20794566 | 1.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.876142E-4 | 4.004663E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 0.42450514 | 4.3045427E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 8.038131E-4 | 0.0017151695 | 7.4E-4 | 0.43144423 | 0.0017950323 | 8.0E-5 | 0.00974259 | 0.020678662 | 0.00933 | 0.45118976 | 0.020786386 | 1.1E-4 | 0.093263686 | 0.18457787 | 0.09673 | 0.52406067 | 0.18470018 | 1.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.7390939E-4 | 3.7478763E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 0.40022665 | 4.047764E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 7.45113E-4 | 0.0016052561 | 6.9E-4 | 0.42983794 | 0.0016851277 | 8.0E-5 | 0.009034078 | 0.019367293 | 0.00878 | 0.4533416 | 0.019475162 | 1.1E-4 | 0.086755216 | 0.17440015 | 0.09071 | 0.5201257 | 0.174524 | 1.5E-4 |
6.6 | 1.591791E-4 | 3.4893592E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.40121982 | 3.6892894E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 6.8201777E-4 | 0.0014945926 | 6.5E-4 | 0.43490112 | 0.001564488 | 7.0E-5 | 0.008271996 | 0.018045008 | 0.00805 | 0.44610676 | 0.018143203 | 1.0E-4 | 0.07970774 | 0.16380787 | 0.08486 | 0.51804596 | 0.16392493 | 1.4E-4 |
6.7 | 1.4268003E-4 | 3.2059717E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.43668506 | 3.4059078E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 6.1134255E-4 | 0.0013732726 | 6.1E-4 | 0.44419438 | 0.0014431765 | 7.0E-5 | 0.007417723 | 0.01659171 | 0.00754 | 0.45444384 | 0.016680216 | 9.0E-5 | 0.07174956 | 0.15193594 | 0.07844 | 0.5162703 | 0.15204617 | 1.3E-4 |
6.8 | 1.239713E-4 | 2.9055026E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.48184434 | 3.1054445E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 5.3119735E-4 | 0.0012446274 | 5.7E-4 | 0.45796838 | 0.0013145403 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0064481674 | 0.015049482 | 0.00686 | 0.45582965 | 0.015128278 | 8.0E-5 | 0.06264243 | 0.13838051 | 0.07204 | 0.5205936 | 0.1384839 | 1.2E-4 |
6.9 | 1.0180238E-4 | 2.6255674E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.49513105 | 2.825515E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3622297E-4 | 0.0011247622 | 5.6E-4 | 0.497883 | 0.0011946835 | 7.0E-5 | 0.005298089 | 0.013608998 | 0.00619 | 0.45484614 | 0.013687909 | 8.0E-5 | 0.05173543 | 0.12496473 | 0.06556 | 0.52462804 | 0.12506972 | 1.2E-4 |
7.0 | 7.6619996E-5 | 2.2400476E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.49106097 | 2.4400029E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 3.283301E-4 | 9.596704E-4 | 4.8E-4 | 0.5001717 | 0.0010296032 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0039900932 | 0.011622103 | 0.0053 | 0.45602763 | 0.011701173 | 8.0E-5 | 0.039192066 | 0.10726982 | 0.05627 | 0.52456504 | 0.107376955 | 1.2E-4 |
7.1 | 7.5127435E-5 | 2.2083633E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.49810645 | 2.4083191E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2193496E-4 | 9.461013E-4 | 4.7E-4 | 0.49677554 | 0.0010160351 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0039125155 | 0.011458648 | 0.00525 | 0.45816925 | 0.011537732 | 8.0E-5 | 0.038443442 | 0.10583378 | 0.05538 | 0.5232734 | 0.10594108 | 1.2E-4 |
7.2 | 6.788582E-5 | 2.0211334E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.54424906 | 2.221093E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9090676E-4 | 8.6591556E-4 | 4.4E-4 | 0.5081327 | 9.158722E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0035360386 | 0.0104922 | 0.00474 | 0.45176417 | 0.01055157 | 6.0E-5 | 0.034803 | 0.097503684 | 0.05042 | 0.5171087 | 0.09759393 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 6.399602E-5 | 1.8842232E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.58379495 | 2.0841854E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7423984E-4 | 8.0727716E-4 | 4.3E-4 | 0.53265476 | 8.572368E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0033337586 | 0.009784897 | 0.00437 | 0.44660667 | 0.00984431 | 6.0E-5 | 0.03284188 | 0.091397986 | 0.04699 | 0.5141251 | 0.091488846 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 4.506759E-5 | 1.2530042E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.71827376 | 1.452979E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9313251E-4 | 5.3689216E-4 | 3.2E-4 | 0.5960229 | 5.868653E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0023488526 | 0.006517245 | 0.00314 | 0.48179868 | 0.0065768543 | 6.0E-5 | 0.023241805 | 0.062364522 | 0.0315 | 0.5050949 | 0.062448908 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.43289E-5 | 9.336103E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 0.9639996 | 1.13359165E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4711556E-4 | 4.0005764E-4 | 2.7E-4 | 0.67490274 | 4.5003765E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0017896603 | 0.004859886 | 0.00254 | 0.52264595 | 0.0049195946 | 6.0E-5 | 0.01775316 | 0.047057066 | 0.02395 | 0.5089565 | 0.04714283 | 9.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.5980507E-5 | 7.053672E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 0.9923909 | 9.0535315E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1134028E-4 | 3.0226534E-4 | 2.3E-4 | 0.7609208 | 3.5225024E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001354725 | 0.0036738948 | 0.0021 | 0.57160044 | 0.0037336745 | 6.0E-5 | 0.013464959 | 0.03584298 | 0.01817 | 0.5069333 | 0.035929754 | 9.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7292105E-5 | 4.9412036E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.80951935 | 5.9411544E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 7.4106916E-5 | 2.1174872E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.85006416 | 2.5174025E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 9.018782E-4 | 0.0025749984 | 0.00155 | 0.6019421 | 0.0026248696 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008982267 | 0.025292097 | 0.01298 | 0.5132038 | 0.025360325 | 7.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.2927471E-5 | 3.9697254E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.50381315 | 3.9697254E-5 | 0.0 | 5.5402274E-5 | 1.7012001E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.7641664 | 1.9011661E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 6.743139E-4 | 0.0020692463 | 0.00134 | 0.64757884 | 0.002099184 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0067227143 | 0.020433145 | 0.0107 | 0.523659 | 0.020472327 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.0200774E-5 | 2.8748475E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8748475E-5 | 0.0 | 4.371687E-5 | 1.2320194E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.64934045 | 1.3320071E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 5.321229E-4 | 0.0014989526 | 9.5E-4 | 0.6337759 | 0.0015189226 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005308505 | 0.014992895 | 0.00778 | 0.5189125 | 0.015022445 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 8.650396E-6 | 2.3279512E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3279512E-5 | 0.0 | 3.70726E-5 | 9.976552E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 0.7016452 | 1.0976452E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5126543E-4 | 0.0012139693 | 7.3E-4 | 0.6013332 | 0.001233945 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045035016 | 0.012212164 | 0.00639 | 0.5232488 | 0.01223192 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.9368224E-6 | 7.3283345E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.3283345E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6871985E-5 | 3.1406773E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.63680536 | 4.1406456E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0539707E-4 | 3.8231048E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 0.5754485 | 4.0230283E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020520731 | 0.0040015313 | 0.00231 | 0.577279 | 0.0040214513 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 1.7101195E-6 | 2.2178374E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2178374E-6 | 0.0 | 7.329063E-6 | 9.504983E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0520798 | 1.9504889E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 8.922769E-5 | 1.15717055E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.69134146 | 1.257159E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 8.9191867E-4 | 0.00126669 | 7.1E-4 | 0.560516 | 0.0012766774 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 3.0346666E-8 | 1.721086E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.721086E-8 | 0.0 | 1.3005713E-7 | 7.376083E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.376083E-8 | 0.0 | 1.5834444E-6 | 8.98038E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.98038E-7 | 0.0 | 1.5834332E-5 | 9.36379E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0679437 | 9.36379E-6 | 0.0 |
Channel Islands Thrust
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092022E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 3.7356765 | 9.4090334E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03248036E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 1.8402287 | 1.7324081E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564266 | 0.00104 | 0.82774436 | 0.0013563009 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011494373 | 0.0125038205 | 0.00873 | 0.6981866 | 0.01266182 | 1.6E-4 |
6.1 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092022E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 3.7356765 | 9.4090334E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03248036E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 1.8402287 | 1.7324081E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564266 | 0.00104 | 0.82774436 | 0.0013563009 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011494373 | 0.0125038205 | 0.00873 | 0.6981866 | 0.01266182 | 1.6E-4 |
6.2 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092022E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 3.7356765 | 9.4090334E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03248036E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 1.8402287 | 1.7324081E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564266 | 0.00104 | 0.82774436 | 0.0013563009 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011494373 | 0.0125038205 | 0.00873 | 0.6981866 | 0.01266182 | 1.6E-4 |
6.3 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092022E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 3.7356765 | 9.4090334E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03248036E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 1.8402287 | 1.7324081E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564266 | 0.00104 | 0.82774436 | 0.0013563009 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011494373 | 0.0125038205 | 0.00873 | 0.6981866 | 0.01266182 | 1.6E-4 |
6.4 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092022E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 3.7356765 | 9.4090334E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03248036E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 1.8402287 | 1.7324081E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564266 | 0.00104 | 0.82774436 | 0.0013563009 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011494373 | 0.0125038205 | 0.00873 | 0.6981866 | 0.01266182 | 1.6E-4 |
6.5 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092022E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 3.7356765 | 9.4090334E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03248036E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 1.8402287 | 1.7324081E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564266 | 0.00104 | 0.82774436 | 0.0013563009 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011494373 | 0.0125038205 | 0.00873 | 0.6981866 | 0.01266182 | 1.6E-4 |
6.6 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092022E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 3.7356765 | 9.4090334E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03248036E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 1.8402287 | 1.7324081E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564266 | 0.00104 | 0.82774436 | 0.0013563009 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011494373 | 0.0125038205 | 0.00873 | 0.6981866 | 0.01266182 | 1.6E-4 |
6.7 | 1.0601296E-5 | 1.1379544E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 4.3938494 | 5.1379087E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 4.5433335E-5 | 4.876859E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 1.6404002 | 8.876664E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 5.5301044E-4 | 5.936007E-4 | 4.5E-4 | 0.75808537 | 6.43571E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.005516363 | 0.005920653 | 0.00381 | 0.64351004 | 0.00600018 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0246747E-5 | 1.0996669E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 4.5468316 | 5.099623E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 4.391389E-5 | 4.7127756E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 1.6975135 | 8.7125874E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 5.345204E-4 | 5.7363417E-4 | 4.5E-4 | 0.7844721 | 6.236055E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0053323656 | 0.005722025 | 0.00371 | 0.6483719 | 0.0058015673 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.049551E-6 | 9.699645E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 4.1238623 | 3.9699353E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.878322E-5 | 4.1569267E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 1.6839364 | 7.156802E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 4.7208337E-4 | 5.059924E-4 | 3.9E-4 | 0.77076256 | 5.4597214E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0047108172 | 0.0050488203 | 0.00325 | 0.6437147 | 0.005118467 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.6542195E-6 | 9.274603E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 4.312853 | 3.9274324E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.7088983E-5 | 3.9747716E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5095206 | 6.974652E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 4.5146482E-4 | 4.8382508E-4 | 3.6E-4 | 0.7440706 | 5.2380573E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004505487 | 0.0048281294 | 0.0031 | 0.64207065 | 0.0048977914 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.391028E-6 | 8.992925E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 4.447941 | 3.8992654E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.5961057E-5 | 3.8540562E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5568014 | 6.8539404E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 4.3773788E-4 | 4.6913436E-4 | 3.6E-4 | 0.76737076 | 5.0911563E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004368766 | 0.0046818503 | 0.003 | 0.6407723 | 0.0047515226 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.965188E-6 | 6.3716957E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 3.138882 | 2.6371568E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.556484E-5 | 2.7306984E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.09862 | 4.730644E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.1120746E-4 | 3.3241237E-4 | 2.4E-4 | 0.7219948 | 3.6240238E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00310772 | 0.0033192094 | 0.00197 | 0.59351486 | 0.0033590766 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.877518E-6 | 5.206007E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 3.841716 | 2.5205904E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0903482E-5 | 2.231127E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.344612 | 4.231082E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5447016E-4 | 2.716063E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 0.773178 | 2.9160085E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0025417898 | 0.0027127897 | 0.00161 | 0.593485 | 0.0027427082 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.8829853E-6 | 4.141863E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 4.828745 | 2.414178E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.664126E-5 | 1.7750723E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.690072 | 3.7750367E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0258849E-4 | 2.1609403E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.64786613 | 2.3608972E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002024039 | 0.002158881 | 0.00129 | 0.5975318 | 0.002188816 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3489616E-6 | 1.4277905E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 7.0038285 | 1.1427776E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7812517E-6 | 6.119088E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6342304 | 1.6119027E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 7.038446E-5 | 7.449739E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.67116445 | 8.449665E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 7.036218E-4 | 7.4472814E-4 | 4.3E-4 | 0.5773919 | 7.647133E-4 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.058192E-7 | 6.35378E-7 | 1.0E-5 | 15.738663 | 1.0635372E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5963652E-6 | 2.7230458E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6723583 | 1.2723019E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.161029E-5 | 3.3152595E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.603271 | 4.3152264E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1605794E-4 | 3.314781E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6033581 | 3.5147148E-4 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.2170494E-7 | 2.2607924E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2607924E-7 | 0.0 | 9.5016367E-7 | 9.689107E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.689107E-7 | 0.0 | 1.1568181E-5 | 1.17964355E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.17964355E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1567579E-4 | 1.179592E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.76297563 | 1.179592E-4 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.1613102E-8 | 1.5466837E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5466837E-8 | 0.0 | 9.262757E-8 | 6.628645E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.628645E-8 | 0.0 | 1.1277401E-6 | 8.070372E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.070372E-7 | 0.0 | 1.1277344E-5 | 8.07035E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2391036 | 8.07035E-6 | 0.0 |
Deep Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.311252E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.1633296 | 6.31116E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9052755E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 0.8076504 | 1.5904682E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058078 | 8.5E-4 | 0.7049216 | 0.0013056872 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010283757 | 0.01204243 | 0.00727 | 0.60369873 | 0.012200504 | 1.6E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.311252E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.1633296 | 6.31116E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9052755E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 0.8076504 | 1.5904682E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058078 | 8.5E-4 | 0.7049216 | 0.0013056872 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010283757 | 0.01204243 | 0.00727 | 0.60369873 | 0.012200504 | 1.6E-4 |
6.2 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.311252E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.1633296 | 6.31116E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9052755E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 0.8076504 | 1.5904682E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058078 | 8.5E-4 | 0.7049216 | 0.0013056872 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010283757 | 0.01204243 | 0.00727 | 0.60369873 | 0.012200504 | 1.6E-4 |
6.3 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.311252E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.1633296 | 6.31116E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9052755E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 0.8076504 | 1.5904682E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058078 | 8.5E-4 | 0.7049216 | 0.0013056872 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010283757 | 0.01204243 | 0.00727 | 0.60369873 | 0.012200504 | 1.6E-4 |
6.4 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.311252E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.1633296 | 6.31116E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9052755E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 0.8076504 | 1.5904682E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058078 | 8.5E-4 | 0.7049216 | 0.0013056872 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010283757 | 0.01204243 | 0.00727 | 0.60369873 | 0.012200504 | 1.6E-4 |
6.5 | 1.7190405E-5 | 2.0050558E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.4936962 | 6.0049755E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.593096E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 0.9309799 | 1.459258E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.0010462092 | 7.4E-4 | 0.7073155 | 0.0011461047 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008929676 | 0.010462061 | 0.00627 | 0.5993083 | 0.010610492 | 1.5E-4 |
6.6 | 1.7190405E-5 | 2.0050558E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.4936962 | 6.0049755E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.593096E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 0.9309799 | 1.459258E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.0010462092 | 7.4E-4 | 0.7073155 | 0.0011461047 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008929676 | 0.010462061 | 0.00627 | 0.5993083 | 0.010610492 | 1.5E-4 |
Lost Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5106583E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 3.1864154 | 1.0510458E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0759615E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 1.394102 | 1.9758647E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.001309364 | 9.4E-4 | 0.71790576 | 0.00141922 | 1.1E-4 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033091 | 0.00932 | 0.7151028 | 0.013191005 | 1.6E-4 |
6.1 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5106583E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 3.1864154 | 1.0510458E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0759615E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 1.394102 | 1.9758647E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.001309364 | 9.4E-4 | 0.71790576 | 0.00141922 | 1.1E-4 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033091 | 0.00932 | 0.7151028 | 0.013191005 | 1.6E-4 |
6.2 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5106583E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 3.1864154 | 1.0510458E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0759615E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 1.394102 | 1.9758647E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.001309364 | 9.4E-4 | 0.71790576 | 0.00141922 | 1.1E-4 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033091 | 0.00932 | 0.7151028 | 0.013191005 | 1.6E-4 |
6.3 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5106583E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 3.1864154 | 1.0510458E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0759615E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 1.394102 | 1.9758647E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.001309364 | 9.4E-4 | 0.71790576 | 0.00141922 | 1.1E-4 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033091 | 0.00932 | 0.7151028 | 0.013191005 | 1.6E-4 |
6.4 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3781108E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1768932 | 4.3780696E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.906108E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 1.1852137 | 9.905872E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.189252E-4 | 4.9E-4 | 0.681573 | 7.5889647E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006391279 | 0.0071752006 | 0.00526 | 0.7330805 | 0.0072347703 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3781108E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1768932 | 4.3780696E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.906108E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 1.1852137 | 9.905872E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.189252E-4 | 4.9E-4 | 0.681573 | 7.5889647E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006391279 | 0.0071752006 | 0.00526 | 0.7330805 | 0.0072347703 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.58281E-6 | 9.63377E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 3.1140456 | 3.963348E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.6782953E-5 | 4.12874E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.2110232 | 8.128575E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 4.4774043E-4 | 5.026414E-4 | 3.1E-4 | 0.6167419 | 5.4262124E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0044683935 | 0.005023205 | 0.00369 | 0.73459077 | 0.005072954 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.205685E-6 | 8.088302E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 3.7090604 | 3.808806E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.088114E-5 | 3.466415E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.15393 | 7.466276E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 3.7591302E-4 | 4.2203604E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 0.5923665 | 4.6201915E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0037527776 | 0.0042203604 | 0.00313 | 0.74164283 | 0.0042701494 | 5.0E-5 |
Ortigalita (North)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.711876E-5 | 1.0505308E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.6663298 | 1.4504888E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 3.3046713E-4 | 4.501601E-4 | 3.7E-4 | 0.8219298 | 5.101331E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.004016016 | 0.0054680547 | 0.00345 | 0.63093734 | 0.005537672 | 7.0E-5 | 0.039442103 | 0.053455614 | 0.03656 | 0.68393195 | 0.0535408 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.607858E-5 | 6.0239887E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.8300148 | 8.0238686E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.5814763E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 0.8522255 | 2.981373E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0024014818 | 0.0031387366 | 0.00197 | 0.6276411 | 0.0031885796 | 5.0E-5 | 0.023756953 | 0.030975312 | 0.02129 | 0.6873216 | 0.031033453 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.607858E-5 | 6.0239887E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.8300148 | 8.0238686E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.5814763E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 0.8522255 | 2.981373E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0024014818 | 0.0031387366 | 0.00197 | 0.6276411 | 0.0031885796 | 5.0E-5 | 0.023756953 | 0.030975312 | 0.02129 | 0.6873216 | 0.031033453 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.327423E-5 | 4.2476124E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.70627916 | 6.247527E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4259605E-4 | 1.8202956E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.7691059 | 2.120241E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017347244 | 0.002214206 | 0.00133 | 0.60066676 | 0.0022441396 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017212452 | 0.02194574 | 0.01506 | 0.686238 | 0.021984862 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7732503E-5 | 3.4999008E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.8571672 | 5.4998305E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1884817E-4 | 1.499886E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.86673254 | 1.799841E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001446016 | 0.0018248158 | 0.00115 | 0.6302006 | 0.001854761 | 3.0E-5 | 0.014366428 | 0.018121297 | 0.01288 | 0.7107659 | 0.018160572 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7689714E-5 | 3.4948822E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.8583981 | 5.4948123E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.186648E-4 | 1.4977354E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.8679771 | 1.7976905E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014437864 | 0.0018222018 | 0.00115 | 0.63110465 | 0.0018521472 | 3.0E-5 | 0.014344421 | 0.018095585 | 0.01286 | 0.71067065 | 0.01813486 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2976905E-5 | 2.871829E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0446304 | 4.8717717E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 9.846873E-5 | 1.23074E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.73126733 | 1.5307032E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011981975 | 0.0014976348 | 9.7E-4 | 0.6476879 | 0.0015275899 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011917574 | 0.014898733 | 0.01075 | 0.7215378 | 0.0149381375 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9871539E-5 | 2.4904637E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.204595 | 4.490414E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 8.516096E-5 | 1.067312E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.8432399 | 1.3672799E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010363415 | 0.0012989199 | 8.6E-4 | 0.6620885 | 0.001328881 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010315218 | 0.012936938 | 0.00939 | 0.72582865 | 0.01297642 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.5640475E-6 | 7.6054926E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6296785 | 1.7605416E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.813133E-5 | 3.2594577E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.92039853 | 4.259425E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.424451E-4 | 3.9676955E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.50407094 | 4.0676558E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034191788 | 0.003960899 | 0.00326 | 0.8230455 | 0.0039808196 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.6219683E-6 | 6.5018376E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5380267 | 1.6501772E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4093928E-5 | 2.7864735E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.7177531 | 3.7864458E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.933041E-4 | 3.3920293E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 0.47169405 | 3.4919954E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029291727 | 0.003387109 | 0.00273 | 0.80599713 | 0.003407041 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.875591E-6 | 4.4847548E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4847548E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6609569E-5 | 1.9220248E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.52028465 | 1.9220248E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0220275E-4 | 2.339835E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.42738053 | 2.339835E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0020201886 | 0.0023375798 | 0.00188 | 0.8042506 | 0.0023375798 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.6017933E-6 | 1.8570418E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8570418E-6 | 0.0 | 6.8648105E-6 | 7.958732E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.958732E-6 | 0.0 | 8.357586E-5 | 9.689432E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.41282088 | 9.689432E-5 | 0.0 | 8.3544437E-4 | 9.686254E-4 | 9.7E-4 | 1.0014191 | 9.686254E-4 | 0.0 |
San Clemente
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.163834E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 0.8574403 | 9.163752E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.4983488E-4 | 3.1E-4 | 0.8861323 | 3.598314E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003480294 | 0.00425141 | 0.00266 | 0.6256748 | 0.0043011974 | 5.0E-5 | 0.03426291 | 0.04175603 | 0.02748 | 0.65810853 | 0.04189018 | 1.4E-4 |
6.1 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.163834E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.61245733 | 9.163752E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.4983488E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 0.7146228 | 3.598314E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003480294 | 0.00425141 | 0.00197 | 0.4633757 | 0.00429124 | 4.0E-5 | 0.03426291 | 0.04175603 | 0.02133 | 0.51082444 | 0.041861437 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 3.9400576E-5 | 4.6452373E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.21527426 | 4.6452373E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6884868E-4 | 1.9906677E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.6028128 | 1.9906677E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0020537945 | 0.0024209984 | 0.00109 | 0.45022747 | 0.0024209984 | 0.0 | 0.020349167 | 0.023952903 | 0.01148 | 0.47927383 | 0.023982184 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2590255E-5 | 3.792912E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.26364967 | 3.792912E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3966505E-4 | 1.6254342E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.4921762 | 1.6254342E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016990956 | 0.0019772002 | 8.2E-4 | 0.41472787 | 0.0019772002 | 0.0 | 0.01686163 | 0.019599883 | 0.00936 | 0.4775539 | 0.019629294 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.9454652E-5 | 3.4097764E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.29327437 | 3.4097764E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2622811E-4 | 1.4612524E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.5474756 | 1.4612524E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015357438 | 0.0017776493 | 7.3E-4 | 0.4106547 | 0.0017776493 | 0.0 | 0.015251739 | 0.01763747 | 0.0085 | 0.48192853 | 0.017666942 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.790836E-5 | 3.2247463E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.31010193 | 3.2247463E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1960178E-4 | 1.3819624E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.5065261 | 1.3819624E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001455179 | 0.0016812662 | 6.9E-4 | 0.41040495 | 0.0016812662 | 0.0 | 0.014456868 | 0.016688485 | 0.00802 | 0.4805709 | 0.016717983 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2492153E-5 | 2.5762702E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.38815805 | 2.5762702E-5 | 0.0 | 9.639138E-5 | 1.1040699E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.6340178 | 1.1040699E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011729331 | 0.0013433909 | 5.3E-4 | 0.394524 | 0.0013433909 | 0.0 | 0.011667615 | 0.013354417 | 0.00624 | 0.46726114 | 0.013354417 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.9862755E-5 | 2.2666423E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2666423E-5 | 0.0 | 8.512331E-5 | 9.713826E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.5147303 | 9.713826E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010358836 | 0.0011820279 | 4.4E-4 | 0.37224165 | 0.0011820279 | 0.0 | 0.010310682 | 0.011758701 | 0.00546 | 0.46433702 | 0.011758701 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.6697575E-5 | 1.897771E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.897771E-5 | 0.0 | 7.155907E-5 | 8.133056E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.61477506 | 8.133056E-5 | 0.0 | 8.7088346E-4 | 9.897591E-4 | 3.9E-4 | 0.39403528 | 9.897591E-4 | 0.0 | 0.008674784 | 0.0098545365 | 0.00437 | 0.44345057 | 0.0098545365 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.5218415E-5 | 1.72694E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.72694E-5 | 0.0 | 6.522015E-5 | 7.4009666E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.6755874 | 7.4009666E-5 | 0.0 | 7.93766E-4 | 9.00704E-4 | 3.7E-4 | 0.4107898 | 9.00704E-4 | 0.0 | 0.007909367 | 0.008971481 | 0.00404 | 0.45031586 | 0.008971481 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.2392958E-5 | 1.4033016E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4033016E-5 | 0.0 | 5.3111595E-5 | 6.014015E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.33255652 | 6.014015E-5 | 0.0 | 6.4644177E-4 | 7.319679E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.40985402 | 7.319679E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0064456454 | 0.0072963564 | 0.00329 | 0.45090997 | 0.0072963564 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0934128E-5 | 1.2375138E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2375138E-5 | 0.0 | 4.6859706E-5 | 5.303527E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.37710756 | 5.303527E-5 | 0.0 | 5.7036756E-4 | 6.455204E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 0.38728443 | 6.455204E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0056890585 | 0.0064371997 | 0.00287 | 0.44584602 | 0.0064371997 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.5798805E-6 | 1.0844935E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0844935E-5 | 0.0 | 4.1055984E-5 | 4.6477508E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.43031567 | 4.6477508E-5 | 0.0 | 4.9974193E-4 | 5.657239E-4 | 2.4E-4 | 0.4242352 | 5.657239E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0049861963 | 0.0056435615 | 0.00261 | 0.46247393 | 0.0056435615 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.0167365E-6 | 9.083918E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.083918E-6 | 0.0 | 3.4356988E-5 | 3.8930535E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.2568678 | 3.8930535E-5 | 0.0 | 4.1821605E-4 | 4.7388324E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 0.44314715 | 4.7388324E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0041742986 | 0.0047294297 | 0.00228 | 0.4820877 | 0.0047294297 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.9581017E-6 | 3.3623792E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3623792E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2677518E-5 | 1.4410146E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4410146E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5433785E-4 | 1.7543444E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.34200808 | 1.7543444E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001542307 | 0.0017534546 | 8.3E-4 | 0.4733513 | 0.0017534546 | 0.0 |
Santa Cruz Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1599742E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.8987496 | 7.159848E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3542121E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 1.1076552 | 1.9541309E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016476426 | 0.0011 | 0.66762054 | 0.0017474778 | 1.0E-4 | 0.015102667 | 0.016368 | 0.01194 | 0.72947216 | 0.016515544 | 1.5E-4 |
6.1 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1599742E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.8987496 | 7.159848E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3542121E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 1.1076552 | 1.9541309E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016476426 | 0.0011 | 0.66762054 | 0.0017474778 | 1.0E-4 | 0.015102667 | 0.016368 | 0.01194 | 0.72947216 | 0.016515544 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1599742E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.8987496 | 7.159848E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3542121E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 1.1076552 | 1.9541309E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016476426 | 0.0011 | 0.66762054 | 0.0017474778 | 1.0E-4 | 0.015102667 | 0.016368 | 0.01194 | 0.72947216 | 0.016515544 | 1.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.780436E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.808301 | 5.7803645E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.630227E-5 | 1.3E-4 | 1.7037501 | 1.3629769E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.286024E-4 | 6.2E-4 | 0.66767 | 9.985374E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.008642701 | 0.009249094 | 0.00637 | 0.6887161 | 0.009328354 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.780436E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.808301 | 5.7803645E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.630227E-5 | 1.3E-4 | 1.7037501 | 1.3629769E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.286024E-4 | 6.2E-4 | 0.66767 | 9.985374E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.008642701 | 0.009249094 | 0.00637 | 0.6887161 | 0.009328354 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2238748E-5 | 1.3042996E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 3.06678 | 4.3042604E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 5.2450723E-5 | 5.5897377E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 1.6100935 | 1.05894585E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 6.3840044E-4 | 6.8034173E-4 | 4.5E-4 | 0.66143227 | 7.303077E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0063656955 | 0.006782988 | 0.0047 | 0.69290996 | 0.006842581 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0489767E-5 | 1.1156636E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.6889825 | 3.1156414E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 4.495537E-5 | 4.781329E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 1.4640281 | 7.7811856E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 5.4719415E-4 | 5.819736E-4 | 3.6E-4 | 0.6185848 | 6.119561E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005458487 | 0.005804736 | 0.00406 | 0.6994289 | 0.0058445036 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.699222E-6 | 9.236783E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1652563 | 1.923669E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7281847E-5 | 3.958561E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5157022 | 5.958482E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5381195E-4 | 4.818488E-4 | 3.2E-4 | 0.66410875 | 5.0183915E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045288634 | 0.004808108 | 0.00324 | 0.67386174 | 0.0048379637 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.307732E-6 | 8.8169045E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 2.26837 | 1.8816816E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.560408E-5 | 3.7786187E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5878818 | 5.7785433E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3339343E-4 | 4.5995016E-4 | 3.1E-4 | 0.6739861 | 4.7994097E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004325492 | 0.0045900354 | 0.00303 | 0.6601256 | 0.004619898 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.073121E-6 | 8.564939E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3351011 | 1.8564853E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.459863E-5 | 3.670637E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.6345937 | 5.6705634E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2115687E-4 | 4.4680882E-4 | 3.1E-4 | 0.69380903 | 4.667999E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004203596 | 0.004459156 | 0.00293 | 0.657075 | 0.0044890223 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.617019E-6 | 8.074665E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4768832 | 1.8074585E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.264396E-5 | 3.4605247E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.7338411 | 5.4604556E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.9736772E-4 | 4.2123784E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.71218675 | 4.412294E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003966579 | 0.0042044413 | 0.00277 | 0.6588271 | 0.0042343154 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1224836E-6 | 7.5457883E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6504853 | 1.7545713E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.052457E-5 | 3.2338692E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.8553625 | 5.2338048E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.715733E-4 | 3.9365282E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.7620928 | 4.1364494E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003709526 | 0.0039295983 | 0.00259 | 0.6591005 | 0.00395948 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.441115E-6 | 6.8273835E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 2.92938 | 1.6827315E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7604487E-5 | 2.9259889E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 2.0505888 | 4.9259303E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.360328E-4 | 3.5618115E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 0.7299656 | 3.7617402E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033552512 | 0.0035561312 | 0.00219 | 0.6158378 | 0.0035860245 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.494274E-6 | 5.8199944E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4364293 | 1.5819936E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3546674E-5 | 2.4942596E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 2.4055233 | 4.49421E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8664304E-4 | 3.03634E-4 | 2.4E-4 | 0.7904253 | 3.2362793E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002862736 | 0.0030322145 | 0.00193 | 0.6364985 | 0.0030621234 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.0802624E-6 | 4.3122564E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 4.6379433 | 1.4312213E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7486722E-5 | 1.8480969E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.7054858 | 3.8480597E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1288003E-4 | 2.2498264E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.80006176 | 2.4497815E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021267622 | 0.0022475577 | 0.0015 | 0.6673911 | 0.0022774902 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.3584746E-6 | 2.4753099E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4753099E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0107709E-5 | 1.0608428E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.94264674 | 1.0608428E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2305441E-4 | 1.2915001E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.69686407 | 1.2915001E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012298629 | 0.0012907545 | 8.0E-4 | 0.6197925 | 0.0013007416 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 9.4981914E-7 | 9.860934E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.860934E-7 | 0.0 | 4.0706473E-6 | 4.2261076E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2261076E-6 | 0.0 | 4.9559E-5 | 5.1451658E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.5830716 | 5.1451658E-5 | 0.0 | 4.954795E-4 | 5.1439874E-4 | 3.7E-4 | 0.7192864 | 5.243936E-4 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.6013532E-7 | 2.6416632E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6416632E-7 | 0.0 | 1.1148652E-6 | 1.1321408E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1321408E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3573399E-5 | 1.3783729E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.72549313 | 1.3783729E-5 | 0.0 | 1.357257E-4 | 1.378288E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7255378 | 1.378288E-4 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.1522263E-8 | 3.965698E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.965698E-8 | 0.0 | 1.7795254E-7 | 1.6995848E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6995848E-7 | 0.0 | 2.16657E-6 | 2.0692428E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0692428E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1665488E-5 | 2.0692256E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0692256E-5 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.7242046E-10 | 5.9475225E-10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.9475225E-10 | 0.0 | 3.3103735E-9 | 2.5489382E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5489382E-9 | 0.0 | 4.0303796E-8 | 3.1033323E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1033323E-8 | 0.0 | 4.030379E-7 | 3.103332E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.103332E-7 | 0.0 |
Pleito
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4764735E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 2.4228 | 6.476374E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0613067E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 1.2249051 | 1.661243E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.001291447 | 0.00131 | 1.014366 | 0.0013813308 | 9.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012954412 | 0.01302 | 1.0050629 | 0.013102469 | 1.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4764735E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 2.4228 | 6.476374E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0613067E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 1.2249051 | 1.661243E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.001291447 | 0.00131 | 1.014366 | 0.0013813308 | 9.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012954412 | 0.01302 | 1.0050629 | 0.013102469 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4764735E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 2.4228 | 6.476374E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0613067E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 1.2249051 | 1.661243E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.001291447 | 0.00131 | 1.014366 | 0.0013813308 | 9.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012954412 | 0.01302 | 1.0050629 | 0.013102469 | 1.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4764735E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 2.4228 | 6.476374E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0613067E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 1.2249051 | 1.661243E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.001291447 | 0.00131 | 1.014366 | 0.0013813308 | 9.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012954412 | 0.01302 | 1.0050629 | 0.013102469 | 1.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4764735E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 2.4228 | 6.476374E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0613067E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 1.2249051 | 1.661243E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.001291447 | 0.00131 | 1.014366 | 0.0013813308 | 9.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012954412 | 0.01302 | 1.0050629 | 0.013102469 | 1.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4764735E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 2.4228 | 6.476374E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0613067E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 1.2249051 | 1.661243E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.001291447 | 0.00131 | 1.014366 | 0.0013813308 | 9.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012954412 | 0.01302 | 1.0050629 | 0.013102469 | 1.5E-4 |
6.6 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.721552E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 2.323485 | 3.7215177E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.3778734E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 0.81324244 | 9.377726E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 5.169696E-4 | 8.9788967E-4 | 7.3E-4 | 0.8130175 | 9.378537E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0051576863 | 0.009051226 | 0.006 | 0.66289365 | 0.009140411 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.721552E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 2.323485 | 3.7215177E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.3778734E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 0.81324244 | 9.377726E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 5.169696E-4 | 8.9788967E-4 | 7.3E-4 | 0.8130175 | 9.378537E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0051576863 | 0.009051226 | 0.006 | 0.66289365 | 0.009140411 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.300162E-6 | 1.5475129E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 2.5847926 | 3.547482E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.557164E-5 | 6.63203E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.7539169 | 8.631898E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3299864E-4 | 8.07152E-4 | 6.3E-4 | 0.7805221 | 8.471197E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004321559 | 0.008150663 | 0.00477 | 0.58522844 | 0.008210174 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.183114E-6 | 1.5346344E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 2.606484 | 3.534604E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5070017E-5 | 6.57684E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.76024354 | 8.576708E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2689382E-4 | 8.0043747E-4 | 5.9E-4 | 0.7370969 | 8.4040547E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0042607468 | 0.008084008 | 0.00466 | 0.5764468 | 0.008143523 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.1748823E-6 | 1.4133306E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1226456 | 3.4133023E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0749135E-5 | 6.0569906E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.66039395 | 8.0568694E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.743064E-4 | 7.3718966E-4 | 4.8E-4 | 0.65112144 | 7.6716754E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0037367654 | 0.0074553755 | 0.00398 | 0.533843 | 0.0074950773 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1671807E-6 | 1.4123676E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.124093 | 3.4123394E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0716128E-5 | 6.0528637E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.6608442 | 8.0527425E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7390468E-4 | 7.366875E-4 | 4.8E-4 | 0.65156525 | 7.6666544E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0037327618 | 0.0074503883 | 0.00398 | 0.5342004 | 0.00749009 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.0649667E-6 | 1.3970962E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.147311 | 3.3970682E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0278077E-5 | 5.987418E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.66806763 | 7.987298E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6857324E-4 | 7.287248E-4 | 4.8E-4 | 0.65868485 | 7.58703E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0036796255 | 0.0073711374 | 0.00394 | 0.5345172 | 0.007410843 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.02082E-6 | 1.3914415E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1560373 | 3.3914137E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.008888E-5 | 5.9631846E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.6707825 | 7.9630656E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6627054E-4 | 7.257764E-4 | 4.8E-4 | 0.6613607 | 7.5575465E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0036566744 | 0.0073416373 | 0.00393 | 0.53530294 | 0.0073813437 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.987146E-6 | 1.3873975E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1623218 | 3.3873697E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9944567E-5 | 5.9458544E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.67273766 | 7.945735E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6451413E-4 | 7.2366785E-4 | 4.7E-4 | 0.64946926 | 7.5364613E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0036391679 | 0.007320571 | 0.00392 | 0.53547734 | 0.0073602786 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.9494554E-6 | 1.383088E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1690593 | 3.38306E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9783041E-5 | 5.9273858E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.6748338 | 7.927267E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.625482E-4 | 7.2142074E-4 | 4.7E-4 | 0.6514922 | 7.5139914E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0036195726 | 0.007298199 | 0.0039 | 0.5343784 | 0.007337907 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.92694E-6 | 1.3789992E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1754906 | 3.3789715E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9686547E-5 | 5.909863E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.67683464 | 7.9097445E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6137376E-4 | 7.192888E-4 | 4.7E-4 | 0.65342325 | 7.4926723E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0036078666 | 0.007276951 | 0.00389 | 0.53456455 | 0.0073166597 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.395867E-6 | 1.26690065E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3679836 | 3.2668755E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.741057E-5 | 5.4294615E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.552541 | 7.429353E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.336726E-4 | 6.6083675E-4 | 3.9E-4 | 0.59016085 | 6.9081696E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0033317201 | 0.0066955453 | 0.00349 | 0.5212421 | 0.0067352774 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.8664327E-6 | 1.1536581E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.6004238 | 3.153635E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5141611E-5 | 4.9441554E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.6067771 | 6.944056E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.060561E-4 | 6.0178485E-4 | 3.6E-4 | 0.5982204 | 6.317668E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0030563495 | 0.0061010164 | 0.00318 | 0.5212246 | 0.0061407723 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.7167474E-6 | 7.1145205E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 4.216728 | 2.7114378E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.592882E-5 | 3.0490448E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.98391473 | 5.0489838E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9391612E-4 | 3.7115812E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 0.5927393 | 3.911507E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019374699 | 0.0037676243 | 0.00199 | 0.5281843 | 0.003787549 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.0903841E-6 | 1.2879104E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 7.764515 | 1.1287898E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6730665E-6 | 5.5196047E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.811724 | 1.551955E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 5.68931E-5 | 6.719913E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 1.0416802 | 7.7198456E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6878536E-4 | 6.942094E-4 | 3.7E-4 | 0.5329804 | 7.0420245E-4 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 2.6894583E-7 | 1.1056095E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1056095E-7 | 0.0 | 1.1526245E-6 | 4.7383253E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7383253E-7 | 0.0 | 1.4033113E-5 | 5.768896E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 3.466868 | 5.768896E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4032227E-4 | 6.454915E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.7746035 | 6.454915E-5 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 5.2967013E-9 | 2.4567874E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4567874E-9 | 0.0 | 2.2700148E-8 | 1.0529089E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0529089E-8 | 0.0 | 2.7637427E-7 | 1.2819166E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2819166E-7 | 0.0 | 2.7637393E-6 | 1.4588004E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4588004E-6 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4401106E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4534416 | 6.4400076E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4742499E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 1.0174665 | 2.0741615E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017934233 | 0.00113 | 0.63007987 | 0.001893244 | 1.0E-4 | 0.018879099 | 0.018526303 | 0.00986 | 0.5322163 | 0.018663708 | 1.4E-4 |
6.1 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4401106E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4534416 | 6.4400076E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4742499E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 1.0174665 | 2.0741615E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017934233 | 0.00113 | 0.63007987 | 0.001893244 | 1.0E-4 | 0.018879099 | 0.018526303 | 0.00986 | 0.5322163 | 0.018663708 | 1.4E-4 |
6.2 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4401106E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4534416 | 6.4400076E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4742499E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 1.0174665 | 2.0741615E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017934233 | 0.00113 | 0.63007987 | 0.001893244 | 1.0E-4 | 0.018879099 | 0.018526303 | 0.00986 | 0.5322163 | 0.018663708 | 1.4E-4 |
6.3 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4401106E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4534416 | 6.4400076E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4742499E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 1.0174665 | 2.0741615E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017934233 | 0.00113 | 0.63007987 | 0.001893244 | 1.0E-4 | 0.018879099 | 0.018526303 | 0.00986 | 0.5322163 | 0.018663708 | 1.4E-4 |
6.4 | 3.646941E-5 | 3.432268E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4567628 | 6.432165E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5628811E-4 | 1.4708891E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 1.0197914 | 2.0708008E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0019011468 | 0.0017893389 | 0.00113 | 0.6315182 | 0.0018891599 | 1.0E-4 | 0.018849645 | 0.018486181 | 0.00983 | 0.53174853 | 0.018623594 | 1.4E-4 |
6.5 | 3.646941E-5 | 3.432268E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4567628 | 6.432165E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5628811E-4 | 1.4708891E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 1.0197914 | 2.0708008E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0019011468 | 0.0017893389 | 0.00113 | 0.6315182 | 0.0018891599 | 1.0E-4 | 0.018849645 | 0.018486181 | 0.00983 | 0.53174853 | 0.018623594 | 1.4E-4 |
6.6 | 3.6442503E-5 | 3.4286066E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4583184 | 6.4285035E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.561728E-4 | 1.4693203E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 1.0208802 | 2.0692321E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0018997455 | 0.001787432 | 0.00113 | 0.6321919 | 0.0018872533 | 1.0E-4 | 0.018835869 | 0.01846745 | 0.00981 | 0.5312049 | 0.018604865 | 1.4E-4 |
6.7 | 3.6432113E-5 | 3.427164E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4589322 | 6.4270615E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5612828E-4 | 1.4687021E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 1.0213099 | 2.068614E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0018992044 | 0.0017866807 | 0.00113 | 0.63245773 | 0.001886502 | 1.0E-4 | 0.018830549 | 0.018460074 | 0.00981 | 0.53141713 | 0.01859749 | 1.4E-4 |
6.8 | 3.6409598E-5 | 3.4240697E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4602506 | 6.423967E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.560318E-4 | 1.4673761E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 1.0222328 | 2.067288E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0018980318 | 0.0017850689 | 0.00113 | 0.6330288 | 0.0018848904 | 1.0E-4 | 0.018819023 | 0.018444229 | 0.0098 | 0.53133154 | 0.018581647 | 1.4E-4 |
6.9 | 3.638078E-5 | 3.4201123E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4619404 | 6.4200096E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5590832E-4 | 1.4656801E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 1.0234157 | 2.0655921E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0018965311 | 0.0017830075 | 0.00113 | 0.63376063 | 0.0018828292 | 1.0E-4 | 0.018804269 | 0.018423963 | 0.0098 | 0.53191596 | 0.018561384 | 1.4E-4 |
7.0 | 3.6294874E-5 | 3.408314E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.467001 | 6.4082116E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5554018E-4 | 1.4606243E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 1.0269581 | 2.0605366E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0018920569 | 0.0017768623 | 0.00113 | 0.6359525 | 0.0018766846 | 1.0E-4 | 0.018760284 | 0.018363545 | 0.00975 | 0.5309433 | 0.018500974 | 1.4E-4 |
7.1 | 3.6260717E-5 | 3.403942E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4688851 | 6.40384E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5539382E-4 | 1.4587509E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 1.0282769 | 2.0586634E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.001890278 | 0.0017745851 | 0.00113 | 0.6367685 | 0.0018744076 | 1.0E-4 | 0.018742796 | 0.018341139 | 0.00974 | 0.5310466 | 0.01847857 | 1.4E-4 |
7.2 | 3.6210204E-5 | 3.397364E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4717292 | 6.397262E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5517735E-4 | 1.455932E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 1.0302678 | 2.0558447E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.001887647 | 0.0017711588 | 0.00113 | 0.63800037 | 0.0018709817 | 1.0E-4 | 0.01871693 | 0.018307408 | 0.00973 | 0.5314788 | 0.018444845 | 1.4E-4 |
7.3 | 3.6119454E-5 | 3.386193E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4765846 | 6.386091E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5478847E-4 | 1.4511449E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 1.0336666 | 2.0510578E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0018829206 | 0.0017653398 | 0.00113 | 0.6401034 | 0.0018651632 | 1.0E-4 | 0.018670462 | 0.01824996 | 0.00969 | 0.5309601 | 0.018387405 | 1.4E-4 |
7.4 | 3.607848E-5 | 3.380943E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4788774 | 6.380842E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5461289E-4 | 1.4488952E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 1.0352716 | 2.0488082E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0018807866 | 0.0017626052 | 0.00113 | 0.6410965 | 0.001862429 | 1.0E-4 | 0.018649481 | 0.018222956 | 0.00968 | 0.53119814 | 0.018360404 | 1.4E-4 |
7.5 | 3.5856774E-5 | 3.3619202E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4872452 | 6.3618194E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5366284E-4 | 1.4407437E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 1.041129 | 2.0406571E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0018692396 | 0.0017526967 | 0.00112 | 0.6390153 | 0.0018525214 | 1.0E-4 | 0.018535944 | 0.018124057 | 0.00964 | 0.53188974 | 0.01826152 | 1.4E-4 |
7.6 | 3.286655E-5 | 3.2142278E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5555836 | 6.214131E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4084904E-4 | 1.3774536E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 1.0889659 | 1.9773708E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.001713488 | 0.0016757617 | 0.00107 | 0.6385156 | 0.0017755941 | 1.0E-4 | 0.017003361 | 0.017343804 | 0.00923 | 0.5321785 | 0.017481375 | 1.4E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8882527E-5 | 2.9235205E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3682134 | 5.9234328E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.237764E-4 | 1.2528773E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 1.0376116 | 1.8528021E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0015059357 | 0.0015243118 | 9.1E-4 | 0.5969907 | 0.0016241594 | 1.0E-4 | 0.014957713 | 0.015830338 | 0.00824 | 0.52051955 | 0.015968122 | 1.4E-4 |
7.8 | 2.4950225E-5 | 2.6526219E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.507942 | 5.6525423E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0692515E-4 | 1.1367885E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 1.0556053 | 1.7367203E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0013010362 | 0.0013831621 | 8.3E-4 | 0.60007423 | 0.0014830239 | 1.0E-4 | 0.012934455 | 0.01441176 | 0.00743 | 0.5155512 | 0.014549742 | 1.4E-4 |
7.9 | 1.9881603E-5 | 2.150649E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.8599037 | 5.1505845E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 8.520408E-5 | 9.216742E-5 | 1.2E-4 | 1.3019785 | 1.521619E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.001036866 | 0.0011215615 | 6.8E-4 | 0.60629755 | 0.0012214493 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010320415 | 0.011776998 | 0.00598 | 0.50776947 | 0.011915349 | 1.4E-4 |
8.0 | 1.563292E-5 | 1.5936288E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8824961 | 4.593581E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 6.6996516E-5 | 6.829659E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 1.1713616 | 1.18293174E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 8.153773E-4 | 8.3119445E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.60154396 | 9.2111964E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.00812392 | 0.008810331 | 0.00447 | 0.5073589 | 0.008919362 | 1.1E-4 |
8.1 | 1.0045313E-5 | 8.300794E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 2.409408 | 2.8300628E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 4.305063E-5 | 3.557435E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4055071 | 6.557328E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 5.2401534E-4 | 4.3303217E-4 | 2.3E-4 | 0.53113836 | 4.7301484E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0052278144 | 0.0046587666 | 0.00218 | 0.467935 | 0.0047085336 | 5.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.1554413E-6 | 1.5648296E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5648296E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7808914E-5 | 6.7063957E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.7063957E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1680194E-4 | 8.164734E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.24495594 | 8.164734E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0021659054 | 9.479703E-4 | 4.9E-4 | 0.5168938 | 9.479703E-4 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 3.612677E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.612677E-7 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.5482892E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5482892E-6 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 1.8850264E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8850264E-5 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.2739546E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4397625 | 2.2739546E-4 | 0.0 |
Imperial
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7496446E-4 | 5.055345E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 0.3758398 | 5.2552443E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011778869 | 0.002164817 | 8.5E-4 | 0.3926429 | 0.0022346654 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0142467655 | 0.026048409 | 0.0117 | 0.4491637 | 0.026145805 | 1.0E-4 | 0.13367249 | 0.22807029 | 0.12146 | 0.5325551 | 0.22817837 | 1.4E-4 |
6.1 | 2.5356023E-4 | 4.8657708E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 0.39048284 | 5.0656736E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001086234 | 0.002083702 | 8.1E-4 | 0.3887312 | 0.002153556 | 7.0E-5 | 0.013144928 | 0.02507094 | 0.01121 | 0.44713125 | 0.025168432 | 1.0E-4 | 0.123940155 | 0.21949561 | 0.11679 | 0.5320835 | 0.21960488 | 1.4E-4 |
6.2 | 2.4820742E-4 | 4.775311E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 0.39787984 | 4.9752154E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010633124 | 0.0020449946 | 8.1E-4 | 0.39608905 | 0.0021148515 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01286919 | 0.024610676 | 0.01098 | 0.44614786 | 0.024708215 | 1.0E-4 | 0.12148927 | 0.21600136 | 0.11477 | 0.5313392 | 0.21611112 | 1.4E-4 |
6.3 | 2.3205351E-4 | 4.5892023E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 0.4140153 | 4.7891107E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 9.94136E-4 | 0.0019653554 | 8.0E-4 | 0.40705106 | 0.0020352178 | 7.0E-5 | 0.012036599 | 0.023661187 | 0.01059 | 0.44756842 | 0.02375882 | 1.0E-4 | 0.11405133 | 0.20793827 | 0.11033 | 0.5305902 | 0.20804916 | 1.4E-4 |
6.4 | 2.0304754E-4 | 3.9878016E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 0.40122357 | 4.1877216E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 8.6991355E-4 | 0.0017079529 | 7.3E-4 | 0.42741224 | 0.0017778334 | 7.0E-5 | 0.010539869 | 0.020595418 | 0.00917 | 0.44524467 | 0.020693358 | 1.0E-4 | 0.100537635 | 0.18507113 | 0.09655 | 0.5216913 | 0.18518521 | 1.4E-4 |
6.5 | 1.854992E-4 | 3.6990462E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.37847593 | 3.8989724E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 7.9475436E-4 | 0.0015843548 | 6.8E-4 | 0.4291968 | 0.0016542438 | 7.0E-5 | 0.009633281 | 0.01911443 | 0.00854 | 0.44678292 | 0.019212518 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0922623 | 0.1733039 | 0.0897 | 0.5175879 | 0.17341964 | 1.4E-4 |
6.6 | 1.6586106E-4 | 3.4036173E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.38194656 | 3.5035834E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 7.106394E-4 | 0.0014578878 | 6.4E-4 | 0.43899125 | 0.0015178004 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008617763 | 0.017607626 | 0.00775 | 0.44015023 | 0.01769604 | 9.0E-5 | 0.08291132 | 0.16078055 | 0.08299 | 0.5161694 | 0.16088964 | 1.3E-4 |
6.7 | 1.4224656E-4 | 3.076812E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.42251524 | 3.1767812E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 6.094856E-4 | 0.0013179756 | 5.8E-4 | 0.44006887 | 0.0013778964 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0073952693 | 0.015928522 | 0.00711 | 0.4463691 | 0.016007246 | 8.0E-5 | 0.07153955 | 0.14648798 | 0.0753 | 0.51403534 | 0.1465904 | 1.2E-4 |
6.8 | 1.2317259E-4 | 2.779231E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.4677553 | 2.8792032E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2777573E-4 | 0.0011905615 | 5.4E-4 | 0.45356753 | 0.00125049 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0064067547 | 0.014400131 | 0.00644 | 0.44721815 | 0.0144691225 | 7.0E-5 | 0.06225166 | 0.13294089 | 0.06893 | 0.51850116 | 0.13303626 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 9.859898E-5 | 2.5015484E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.47970292 | 2.6015233E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2249862E-4 | 0.0010716559 | 5.3E-4 | 0.49456173 | 0.0011315916 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0051317946 | 0.012970319 | 0.00577 | 0.44486186 | 0.013039411 | 7.0E-5 | 0.05014893 | 0.119408876 | 0.06244 | 0.5229092 | 0.11950574 | 1.1E-4 |
7.0 | 7.3191884E-5 | 2.1267848E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4701933 | 2.2267636E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 3.136418E-4 | 9.11164E-4 | 4.5E-4 | 0.49387378 | 9.711093E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.003811904 | 0.011037681 | 0.00489 | 0.44302782 | 0.011106908 | 7.0E-5 | 0.037471764 | 0.10206756 | 0.05334 | 0.52259505 | 0.10216633 | 1.1E-4 |
7.1 | 7.1760296E-5 | 2.0969207E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.47688976 | 2.1968997E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0750787E-4 | 8.9837395E-4 | 4.4E-4 | 0.48977378 | 9.5832004E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.003737482 | 0.010883528 | 0.00484 | 0.44470873 | 0.010952766 | 7.0E-5 | 0.03675245 | 0.10070406 | 0.05246 | 0.5209323 | 0.10080299 | 1.1E-4 |
7.2 | 6.46614E-5 | 1.9137723E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.52252823 | 2.0137531E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7709085E-4 | 8.199333E-4 | 4.1E-4 | 0.50004065 | 8.5990055E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0033683628 | 0.009937617 | 0.00434 | 0.4367244 | 0.0099871205 | 5.0E-5 | 0.033177625 | 0.092511006 | 0.04761 | 0.51464146 | 0.09259268 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.088115E-5 | 1.780939E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.56150156 | 1.8809212E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6089314E-4 | 7.6303916E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.52421945 | 8.030087E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0031717476 | 0.009251006 | 0.00399 | 0.43130445 | 0.009300543 | 5.0E-5 | 0.031268585 | 0.08656135 | 0.04433 | 0.51212233 | 0.08664356 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.199346E-5 | 1.1511097E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.6949816 | 1.2510981E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7995955E-4 | 4.932403E-4 | 2.9E-4 | 0.5879487 | 5.332206E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0021888057 | 0.005988835 | 0.00276 | 0.46085757 | 0.006038536 | 5.0E-5 | 0.02167372 | 0.05744024 | 0.02884 | 0.50208706 | 0.057515644 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.130448E-5 | 8.333871E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 0.95993805 | 9.3337876E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3415517E-4 | 3.5711733E-4 | 2.4E-4 | 0.67204803 | 3.9710305E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016321153 | 0.0043392954 | 0.00219 | 0.50469023 | 0.0043890784 | 5.0E-5 | 0.016201803 | 0.042133506 | 0.02134 | 0.5064853 | 0.042210136 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.3074248E-5 | 6.0849357E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 0.98604167 | 7.084875E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 9.888588E-5 | 2.6075702E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.7669976 | 3.007466E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012032706 | 0.0031701182 | 0.00176 | 0.5551843 | 0.0032199598 | 5.0E-5 | 0.011967761 | 0.03102816 | 0.01562 | 0.5034137 | 0.031105679 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.45864815E-5 | 4.0128452E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.74759924 | 4.0128452E-5 | 0.0 | 6.2511994E-5 | 1.7196777E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 0.87225646 | 2.0196261E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 7.608177E-4 | 0.0020917025 | 0.00121 | 0.57847613 | 0.0021316188 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007582182 | 0.02062909 | 0.01049 | 0.5085052 | 0.020687852 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.0352979E-5 | 3.096395E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.6459124 | 3.096395E-5 | 0.0 | 4.4369157E-5 | 1.326959E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.82896304 | 1.5269325E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 5.400606E-4 | 0.0016143778 | 0.00102 | 0.63182235 | 0.0016443294 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0053875 | 0.016017893 | 0.00836 | 0.52191633 | 0.016057253 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 8.137906E-6 | 2.2151205E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2151205E-5 | 0.0 | 3.4876273E-5 | 9.493029E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 0.6320427 | 1.0492934E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2453592E-4 | 0.0011551644 | 7.1E-4 | 0.6146311 | 0.0011751413 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004237258 | 0.011618842 | 0.00605 | 0.52070594 | 0.011648494 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 6.93792E-6 | 1.8010365E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8010365E-5 | 0.0 | 2.9733603E-5 | 7.7185E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 0.7773531 | 8.718423E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6194647E-4 | 9.3932304E-4 | 5.6E-4 | 0.59617406 | 9.593042E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036135751 | 0.009502415 | 0.00503 | 0.52933913 | 0.009522225 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.4286315E-6 | 6.380179E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.380179E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4694053E-5 | 2.734334E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.7314396 | 3.7343067E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7888541E-4 | 3.3285443E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 0.6609496 | 3.5284777E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017874148 | 0.0034863674 | 0.00207 | 0.59374124 | 0.0035062977 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 1.4906886E-6 | 1.936633E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.936633E-6 | 0.0 | 6.3886496E-6 | 8.2998295E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.204844 | 1.8299746E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 7.7779034E-5 | 1.0104576E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.79172045 | 1.11044756E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 7.775182E-4 | 0.0011075423 | 6.5E-4 | 0.58688504 | 0.0011175312 | 1.0E-5 |
8.3 | 2.5758007E-8 | 1.4495866E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4495866E-8 | 0.0 | 1.10391454E-7 | 6.212514E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.212514E-8 | 0.0 | 1.3440151E-6 | 7.563736E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.563736E-7 | 0.0 | 1.344007E-5 | 7.884359E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2683339 | 7.884359E-6 | 0.0 |
White Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3784127E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.59199405 | 5.378345E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4478175E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.41441685 | 1.8477596E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017614134 | 8.4E-4 | 0.47688976 | 0.0018712196 | 1.1E-4 | 0.018115403 | 0.017486857 | 0.00887 | 0.5072381 | 0.017614583 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3784127E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.59199405 | 5.378345E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4478175E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.41441685 | 1.8477596E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017614134 | 8.4E-4 | 0.47688976 | 0.0018712196 | 1.1E-4 | 0.018115403 | 0.017486857 | 0.00887 | 0.5072381 | 0.017614583 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3784127E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.59199405 | 5.378345E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4478175E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.41441685 | 1.8477596E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017614134 | 8.4E-4 | 0.47688976 | 0.0018712196 | 1.1E-4 | 0.018115403 | 0.017486857 | 0.00887 | 0.5072381 | 0.017614583 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.591616E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2565845 | 3.591584E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.821041E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.43981558 | 8.8209046E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.301596E-4 | 2.7E-4 | 0.32523867 | 8.6013466E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009254395 | 0.0082720425 | 0.00385 | 0.46542314 | 0.0083017945 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.591616E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2565845 | 3.591584E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.821041E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.43981558 | 8.8209046E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.301596E-4 | 2.7E-4 | 0.32523867 | 8.6013466E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009254395 | 0.0082720425 | 0.00385 | 0.46542314 | 0.0083017945 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3397557E-5 | 1.1336374E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.88211626 | 2.133626E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 5.741684E-5 | 4.8583595E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.4116616 | 5.8583108E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 6.988258E-4 | 5.913517E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 0.37202904 | 6.1133987E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006966323 | 0.005898487 | 0.00301 | 0.5103004 | 0.0059183687 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0818695E-5 | 8.625434E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.159362 | 1.8625347E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6365014E-5 | 3.6965648E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.54104286 | 4.6965277E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6434784E-4 | 4.4996818E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.26668552 | 4.5996366E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005629168 | 0.0044910074 | 0.00216 | 0.48096114 | 0.0045009623 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.067908E-6 | 6.802476E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.470053 | 1.6802407E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8861883E-5 | 2.915316E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.686032 | 3.915287E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7304068E-4 | 3.548851E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.25360322 | 3.6488156E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00472035 | 0.003543501 | 0.00167 | 0.4712853 | 0.0035534655 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.295947E-6 | 4.9364285E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9364285E-6 | 0.0 | 3.126797E-5 | 2.1155956E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.47268012 | 2.1155956E-5 | 0.0 | 3.8062103E-4 | 2.5754445E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.2329695 | 2.5754445E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0037996976 | 0.0025725728 | 0.00128 | 0.4975564 | 0.0025725728 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.2243444E-6 | 3.8322546E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8322546E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6675489E-5 | 1.6423846E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.60887074 | 1.6423846E-5 | 0.0 | 3.2472567E-4 | 1.9994251E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.20005749 | 1.9994251E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0032425157 | 0.001997679 | 9.7E-4 | 0.4855635 | 0.001997679 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.9878413E-6 | 2.679564E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.679564E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1376287E-5 | 1.1483797E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.87079215 | 1.1483797E-5 | 0.0 | 2.602252E-4 | 1.3980652E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.21458226 | 1.3980652E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002599207 | 0.0013972119 | 6.6E-4 | 0.4723693 | 0.0013972119 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.0252844E-6 | 1.885702E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.885702E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7251105E-5 | 8.081555E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.081555E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1001195E-4 | 9.838863E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.838863E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0020981359 | 9.834635E-4 | 4.3E-4 | 0.4372303 | 9.834635E-4 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.3284066E-6 | 1.2818929E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2818929E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4264522E-5 | 5.4938155E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.4938155E-6 | 0.0 | 1.736567E-4 | 6.688525E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.688525E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0017352107 | 6.6866126E-4 | 2.3E-4 | 0.34397087 | 6.6866126E-4 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.458226E-6 | 6.056684E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.056684E-7 | 0.0 | 1.0535211E-5 | 2.5957193E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5957193E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2825865E-4 | 3.160246E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.160246E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0012818464 | 3.1598343E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.3164723 | 3.1598343E-4 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.965953E-6 | 3.1084684E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1084684E-7 | 0.0 | 8.425486E-6 | 1.3322001E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3322001E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0257547E-4 | 1.6219417E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6219417E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010252813 | 1.6218246E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.4932716 | 1.6218246E-4 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2014192E-6 | 1.8241002E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8241002E-7 | 0.0 | 5.148929E-6 | 7.8175697E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.8175697E-7 | 0.0 | 6.2686406E-5 | 9.51785E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.51785E-6 | 0.0 | 6.266873E-4 | 9.517451E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 0.63042086 | 9.517451E-5 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.5612175E-7 | 4.893784E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.893784E-8 | 0.0 | 1.0976642E-6 | 2.0973359E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0973359E-7 | 0.0 | 1.3363979E-5 | 2.5535037E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5535037E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3363175E-4 | 2.553478E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.78324544 | 2.553478E-5 | 0.0 |
Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.40909E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.0754726 | 6.408994E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.032432E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.96858686 | 1.63237E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012563618 | 6.6E-4 | 0.5253264 | 0.0013362613 | 8.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012502613 | 0.00698 | 0.5582833 | 0.012630988 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.40909E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.0754726 | 6.408994E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.032432E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.96858686 | 1.63237E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012563618 | 6.6E-4 | 0.5253264 | 0.0013362613 | 8.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012502613 | 0.00698 | 0.5582833 | 0.012630988 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.40909E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.0754726 | 6.408994E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.032432E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.96858686 | 1.63237E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012563618 | 6.6E-4 | 0.5253264 | 0.0013362613 | 8.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012502613 | 0.00698 | 0.5582833 | 0.012630988 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.3638054E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4664849 | 2.3637918E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.8447586E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.68437386 | 6.8447E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010690069 | 7.1138324E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.42171362 | 7.2137616E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01063879 | 0.0070926864 | 0.00376 | 0.53012353 | 0.007122474 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.3638054E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4664849 | 2.3637918E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.8447586E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.68437386 | 6.8447E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010690069 | 7.1138324E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.42171362 | 7.2137616E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01063879 | 0.0070926864 | 0.00376 | 0.53012353 | 0.007122474 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7316182E-5 | 1.04769715E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.9544743 | 1.04769715E-5 | 0.0 | 7.42101E-5 | 4.490059E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.6681427 | 4.490059E-5 | 0.0 | 9.0313336E-4 | 5.465376E-4 | 2.4E-4 | 0.4391281 | 5.465376E-4 | 0.0 | 0.008994718 | 0.00545293 | 0.00287 | 0.52632254 | 0.005472821 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5251077E-5 | 8.414133E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1884766 | 8.414133E-6 | 0.0 | 6.536012E-5 | 3.606011E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.55462945 | 3.606011E-5 | 0.0 | 7.9546886E-4 | 4.3895066E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.4556321 | 4.3895066E-4 | 0.0 | 0.007926274 | 0.0043815537 | 0.00229 | 0.52264565 | 0.004401466 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2997425E-5 | 6.4112146E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5597669 | 6.4112146E-6 | 0.0 | 5.570206E-5 | 2.7476372E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.7278982 | 2.7476372E-5 | 0.0 | 6.7796157E-4 | 3.3447813E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 0.56804913 | 3.3447813E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0067589693 | 0.003340207 | 0.00188 | 0.5628393 | 0.003340207 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.035386E-5 | 4.333145E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3077924 | 4.333145E-6 | 0.0 | 4.437293E-5 | 1.8570496E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0769771 | 1.8570496E-5 | 0.0 | 5.401065E-4 | 2.260732E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 0.6635019 | 2.260732E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0053879567 | 0.002258519 | 0.00132 | 0.5844538 | 0.002258519 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.816252E-6 | 3.5805879E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7928374 | 3.5805879E-6 | 0.0 | 3.778339E-5 | 1.534529E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3033315 | 1.534529E-5 | 0.0 | 4.5991567E-4 | 1.8681347E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.7494106 | 1.8681347E-4 | 0.0 | 0.00458965 | 0.0018666228 | 0.00103 | 0.5517987 | 0.0018666228 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.8232207E-6 | 2.5674399E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8949304 | 2.5674399E-6 | 0.0 | 2.9242048E-5 | 1.100327E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.90882075 | 1.100327E-5 | 0.0 | 3.5596377E-4 | 1.3395688E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.8958106 | 1.3395688E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0035539411 | 0.0013387925 | 7.8E-4 | 0.5826146 | 0.0013387925 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.837013E-6 | 2.2273143E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 4.489712 | 2.2273143E-6 | 0.0 | 2.501553E-5 | 9.5456E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0476031 | 9.5456E-6 | 0.0 | 3.045215E-4 | 1.1621177E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.94654787 | 1.1621177E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0030410455 | 0.001161539 | 6.4E-4 | 0.5509931 | 0.001161539 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.278052E-6 | 1.6275065E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1443686 | 1.6275065E-6 | 0.0 | 1.833438E-5 | 6.975011E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4336896 | 6.975011E-6 | 0.0 | 2.231982E-4 | 8.491768E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 0.94208884 | 8.491768E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0022297418 | 8.4887556E-4 | 3.8E-4 | 0.44765103 | 8.4887556E-4 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.8803692E-6 | 8.344788E-7 | 1.0E-5 | 11.983528 | 8.344788E-7 | 0.0 | 8.0587E-6 | 3.5763337E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7961597 | 3.5763337E-6 | 0.0 | 9.811026E-5 | 4.354114E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.9186714 | 4.354114E-5 | 0.0 | 9.806695E-4 | 4.3534054E-4 | 2.3E-4 | 0.52832204 | 4.3534054E-4 | 0.0 |
Blue Cut
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2719574E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.2007453 | 5.2718893E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.73663E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 1.1297543 | 1.5736045E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011848481 | 7.4E-4 | 0.6245526 | 0.0012747415 | 9.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.011791152 | 0.00801 | 0.67932296 | 0.011919619 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2719574E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.2007453 | 5.2718893E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.73663E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 1.1297543 | 1.5736045E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011848481 | 7.4E-4 | 0.6245526 | 0.0012747415 | 9.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.011791152 | 0.00801 | 0.67932296 | 0.011919619 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2719574E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.2007453 | 5.2718893E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.73663E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 1.1297543 | 1.5736045E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011848481 | 7.4E-4 | 0.6245526 | 0.0012747415 | 9.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.011791152 | 0.00801 | 0.67932296 | 0.011919619 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2353542E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6189688 | 2.2353419E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2942745E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.9444164 | 8.294116E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.443998E-4 | 4.2E-4 | 0.65176934 | 6.84374E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0060417196 | 0.0064265593 | 0.00452 | 0.70333123 | 0.0064961095 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2353542E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6189688 | 2.2353419E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2942745E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.9444164 | 8.294116E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.443998E-4 | 4.2E-4 | 0.65176934 | 6.84374E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0060417196 | 0.0064265593 | 0.00452 | 0.70333123 | 0.0064961095 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.931326E-6 | 9.4816E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1093488 | 1.9481506E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8276554E-5 | 4.0634844E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.230471 | 7.063363E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 4.6591737E-4 | 4.946261E-4 | 3.2E-4 | 0.64695334 | 5.2461127E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0046494175 | 0.004936161 | 0.00352 | 0.7131048 | 0.004995865 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.345353E-6 | 7.79028E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 2.567302 | 1.7790202E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1479703E-5 | 3.338653E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.49761 | 6.338553E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.83198E-4 | 4.064132E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 0.63974303 | 4.36401E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0038253788 | 0.0040574907 | 0.00301 | 0.7418378 | 0.004117247 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.2775666E-6 | 6.655149E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0051918 | 1.6655082E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.690358E-5 | 2.8521798E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7530452 | 5.8520942E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.2750185E-4 | 3.472051E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 0.6336313 | 3.7719466E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032701963 | 0.003467367 | 0.00254 | 0.7325443 | 0.003527159 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.5234095E-6 | 5.8551113E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 3.415819 | 1.5855052E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.367154E-5 | 2.5093133E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5940616 | 5.509238E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8816288E-4 | 3.0547334E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 0.6219855 | 3.354642E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002877895 | 0.0030512505 | 0.0022 | 0.7210159 | 0.0031110675 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.7780054E-6 | 5.0654203E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 3.9483395 | 1.506537E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0477004E-5 | 2.1708804E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.8425704 | 5.1708153E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.4927902E-4 | 2.642797E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 0.6432579 | 2.9427174E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0024899957 | 0.002640346 | 0.00195 | 0.7385395 | 0.0027001877 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.883171E-6 | 4.118487E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 2.428076 | 4.118487E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6642054E-5 | 1.7650578E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1331073 | 2.7650402E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0259817E-4 | 2.1488148E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4653728 | 2.2487935E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020241356 | 0.0021474129 | 0.00156 | 0.72645557 | 0.002187327 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.8358215E-6 | 3.0097158E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3225727 | 3.0097158E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2153464E-5 | 1.2898756E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5505371 | 2.2898626E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4795837E-4 | 1.5703762E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.5731111 | 1.6703604E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001478599 | 0.0015699116 | 0.00115 | 0.7325253 | 0.0016098488 | 4.0E-5 |
San Pedro Basin
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.3449043E-5 | 6.337018E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 0.9468175 | 1.03367645E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 2.2904722E-4 | 2.7156167E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.51553667 | 3.115508E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0027850836 | 0.0033018515 | 0.00162 | 0.49063385 | 0.0033716203 | 7.0E-5 | 0.027504366 | 0.03258948 | 0.01626 | 0.498934 | 0.03270557 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 5.3449043E-5 | 6.337018E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 0.9468175 | 1.03367645E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 2.2904722E-4 | 2.7156167E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.51553667 | 3.115508E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0027850836 | 0.0033018515 | 0.00162 | 0.49063385 | 0.0033716203 | 7.0E-5 | 0.027504366 | 0.03258948 | 0.01626 | 0.498934 | 0.03270557 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 2.3189454E-5 | 2.6642829E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.501342 | 4.6642297E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 9.9379584E-5 | 1.1417881E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.61307347 | 1.3417653E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012092749 | 0.0013892875 | 7.2E-4 | 0.51825124 | 0.001429232 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012027155 | 0.01381089 | 0.00707 | 0.51191485 | 0.013870061 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3189454E-5 | 2.6642829E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.501342 | 4.6642297E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 9.9379584E-5 | 1.1417881E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.61307347 | 1.3417653E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012092749 | 0.0013892875 | 7.2E-4 | 0.51825124 | 0.001429232 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012027155 | 0.01381089 | 0.00707 | 0.51191485 | 0.013870061 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.966056E-5 | 2.246342E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3355045 | 3.2463195E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 8.425682E-5 | 9.626848E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 0.623257 | 1.06267515E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001025344 | 0.0011714787 | 5.8E-4 | 0.4951008 | 0.0011914552 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010206259 | 0.011657119 | 0.00599 | 0.5138491 | 0.0116966525 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7342953E-5 | 1.9745152E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5193603 | 2.9744955E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 7.4324824E-5 | 8.461954E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.59088004 | 9.46187E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 9.04529E-4 | 0.0010297929 | 5.3E-4 | 0.51466656 | 0.0010497724 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009008561 | 0.010253932 | 0.00536 | 0.5227263 | 0.010283625 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.439804E-5 | 1.6322716E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2252862 | 2.6322554E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 6.170443E-5 | 6.99528E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.5718141 | 7.995211E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 7.509924E-4 | 8.513747E-4 | 4.4E-4 | 0.5168112 | 8.713577E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0074845953 | 0.008484333 | 0.00437 | 0.515067 | 0.008514078 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2634884E-5 | 1.4285298E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4000407 | 2.4285155E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 5.414838E-5 | 6.122144E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.65336585 | 7.122083E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 6.590571E-4 | 7.451466E-4 | 4.1E-4 | 0.5502273 | 7.651317E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006571059 | 0.007429502 | 0.00385 | 0.51820433 | 0.007459279 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.146091E-5 | 1.2933193E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.77320427 | 1.2933193E-5 | 0.0 | 4.911726E-5 | 5.542696E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.54125285 | 5.542696E-5 | 0.0 | 5.9783855E-4 | 6.74644E-4 | 3.7E-4 | 0.54843736 | 6.846373E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0059623276 | 0.0067288997 | 0.00351 | 0.5216306 | 0.0067487652 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.109035E-6 | 1.0235013E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.9770383 | 1.0235013E-5 | 0.0 | 3.9038136E-5 | 4.386376E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.6839359 | 4.386376E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7518566E-4 | 5.339384E-4 | 2.8E-4 | 0.52440506 | 5.4393307E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047417083 | 0.0053293095 | 0.00288 | 0.5404077 | 0.005349203 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.9351028E-6 | 6.583965E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5188416 | 6.583965E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5435906E-5 | 2.821682E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.70879704 | 2.821682E-5 | 0.0 | 3.0963816E-4 | 3.4350925E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 0.55311465 | 3.4350925E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0030920706 | 0.0034320997 | 0.0018 | 0.52446026 | 0.0034420653 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.1557585E-6 | 2.2096492E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2096492E-6 | 0.0 | 9.238933E-6 | 9.469892E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0559783 | 9.469892E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1247819E-4 | 1.15289986E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.433689 | 1.15289986E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011242128 | 0.0011523172 | 6.4E-4 | 0.55540264 | 0.0011623056 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.1251979E-6 | 2.1779954E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1779954E-6 | 0.0 | 9.107958E-6 | 9.334234E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0713252 | 9.334234E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1088375E-4 | 1.13638525E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.43999162 | 1.13638525E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011082845 | 0.0011358195 | 6.4E-4 | 0.5634698 | 0.0011458081 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.7145798E-6 | 1.7442885E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7442885E-6 | 0.0 | 7.3481783E-6 | 7.475501E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.337703 | 7.475501E-6 | 0.0 | 8.94604E-5 | 9.1010515E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.54938704 | 9.1010515E-5 | 0.0 | 8.9424395E-4 | 9.0974156E-4 | 4.6E-4 | 0.50563806 | 9.197325E-4 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.4467993E-6 | 1.4641878E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4641878E-6 | 0.0 | 6.200554E-6 | 6.275076E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5936062 | 6.275076E-6 | 0.0 | 7.548913E-5 | 7.639644E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.5235846 | 7.639644E-5 | 0.0 | 7.546349E-4 | 7.6370913E-4 | 3.7E-4 | 0.48447767 | 7.7370147E-4 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2803735E-6 | 1.2931506E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2931506E-6 | 0.0 | 5.487303E-6 | 5.5420624E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8043824 | 5.5420624E-6 | 0.0 | 6.680587E-5 | 6.747259E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.5928333 | 6.747259E-5 | 0.0 | 6.678579E-4 | 6.745281E-4 | 3.6E-4 | 0.5337064 | 6.845214E-4 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.755009E-7 | 6.76947E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.76947E-7 | 0.0 | 2.8950008E-6 | 2.9011985E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9011985E-6 | 0.0 | 3.5246063E-5 | 3.532158E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.28311306 | 3.532158E-5 | 0.0 | 3.5240475E-4 | 3.5316538E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 0.5946223 | 3.6316185E-4 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.211885E-8 | 4.5699714E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5699714E-8 | 0.0 | 2.6622362E-7 | 1.9585592E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9585592E-7 | 0.0 | 3.2412677E-6 | 2.3845432E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3845432E-6 | 0.0 | 3.2412205E-5 | 2.3845198E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.41937163 | 2.3845198E-5 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.6580573E-9 | 1.5138054E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5138054E-9 | 0.0 | 1.1391674E-8 | 6.4877375E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.4877375E-9 | 0.0 | 1.3869362E-7 | 7.89882E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.89882E-8 | 0.0 | 1.3869354E-6 | 7.89882E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.89882E-7 | 0.0 |
Ventura-Pitas Point
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.373519E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 2.371411 | 9.3733164E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4457281E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 1.0375395 | 2.0456414E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017590097 | 0.00114 | 0.648092 | 0.001838869 | 8.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.017476497 | 0.01239 | 0.7089521 | 0.017564924 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.373519E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 2.371411 | 9.3733164E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4457281E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 1.0375395 | 2.0456414E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017590097 | 0.00114 | 0.648092 | 0.001838869 | 8.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.017476497 | 0.01239 | 0.7089521 | 0.017564924 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.373519E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 2.371411 | 9.3733164E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4457281E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 1.0375395 | 2.0456414E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017590097 | 0.00114 | 0.648092 | 0.001838869 | 8.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.017476497 | 0.01239 | 0.7089521 | 0.017564924 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.373519E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 2.371411 | 9.3733164E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4457281E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 1.0375395 | 2.0456414E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017590097 | 0.00114 | 0.648092 | 0.001838869 | 8.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.017476497 | 0.01239 | 0.7089521 | 0.017564924 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.7019594E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7626742 | 3.7019254E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.2939205E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 0.9597033 | 9.293775E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.8769617E-4 | 5.3E-4 | 0.59705114 | 9.276607E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009738282 | 0.008843943 | 0.00596 | 0.6739076 | 0.008883589 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.7019594E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7626742 | 3.7019254E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.2939205E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 0.9597033 | 9.293775E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.8769617E-4 | 5.3E-4 | 0.59705114 | 9.276607E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009738282 | 0.008843943 | 0.00596 | 0.6739076 | 0.008883589 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.2122258E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6498576 | 3.2122014E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.1951512E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.9624359 | 7.1950475E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.323284E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.63258266 | 6.623094E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0074657016 | 0.006305652 | 0.00427 | 0.6771702 | 0.006335463 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.2122258E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6498576 | 3.2122014E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.1951512E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.9624359 | 7.1950475E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.323284E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.63258266 | 6.623094E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0074657016 | 0.006305652 | 0.00427 | 0.6771702 | 0.006335463 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.3663846E-5 | 1.1344401E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7629842 | 3.1344174E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 5.8558027E-5 | 4.8617967E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.0284264 | 6.8616995E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 7.127108E-4 | 5.917649E-4 | 3.6E-4 | 0.6083497 | 6.2174717E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007104293 | 0.0059022107 | 0.00399 | 0.6760179 | 0.005932034 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3644157E-5 | 1.1322501E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.766394 | 3.1322274E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 5.8473648E-5 | 4.8524114E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.0304155 | 6.852314E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 7.116841E-4 | 5.906229E-4 | 3.6E-4 | 0.609526 | 6.206052E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007094092 | 0.0058908514 | 0.00399 | 0.67732143 | 0.0059206747 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3568845E-5 | 1.12420685E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.779032 | 3.1241845E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 5.8150898E-5 | 4.8179416E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.0377876 | 6.817845E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 7.077572E-4 | 5.8642845E-4 | 3.6E-4 | 0.61388564 | 6.1641086E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007055073 | 0.005849128 | 0.00397 | 0.67873365 | 0.005878953 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.306572E-5 | 1.0720521E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.865581 | 3.0720308E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 5.599474E-5 | 4.594429E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.0882745 | 6.594337E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 6.815227E-4 | 5.5923004E-4 | 3.5E-4 | 0.6258605 | 5.892133E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0067943637 | 0.005578536 | 0.00379 | 0.6793897 | 0.0056083687 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.232604E-5 | 9.995121E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 2.000976 | 2.999492E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2824813E-5 | 4.283554E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.167255 | 6.283468E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 6.429523E-4 | 5.2139966E-4 | 3.4E-4 | 0.6520909 | 5.5138406E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0064109527 | 0.005202059 | 0.00354 | 0.68049973 | 0.005231903 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0917261E-5 | 8.843812E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2614682 | 2.8843635E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 4.678742E-5 | 3.7901507E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.055367 | 5.790075E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 5.69488E-4 | 4.6135474E-4 | 2.7E-4 | 0.585233 | 4.913409E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0056803077 | 0.004604239 | 0.00306 | 0.66460496 | 0.0046341005 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.039959E-5 | 8.42354E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3742986 | 2.8423372E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 4.456891E-5 | 3.6100395E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1080211 | 5.6099674E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 5.424914E-4 | 4.394352E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 0.5689121 | 4.6942203E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0054116896 | 0.0043859277 | 0.0029 | 0.6612056 | 0.004415796 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 9.015877E-6 | 7.29752E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 2.740657 | 2.7297374E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.86389E-5 | 3.1274718E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2789884 | 5.127409E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7032707E-4 | 3.8070456E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 0.5516088 | 4.1069314E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004693329 | 0.003800772 | 0.00256 | 0.6735474 | 0.0038306578 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.900162E-6 | 3.874119E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 5.162464 | 2.3874041E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1000526E-5 | 1.6603262E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8068739 | 3.660293E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.556514E-4 | 2.0212609E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.4452666 | 2.3212003E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0025535747 | 0.002019436 | 0.00149 | 0.7378297 | 0.0020493756 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.8850626E-6 | 3.12676E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 6.3963976 | 2.3126697E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6650163E-5 | 1.3400332E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2387505 | 3.3400065E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0269687E-4 | 1.6313691E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.55168384 | 1.9313201E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002025121 | 0.0016301809 | 0.00119 | 0.72998035 | 0.001660132 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.4654719E-6 | 2.029902E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 9.852693 | 2.202986E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0566265E-5 | 8.699551E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2989693 | 2.8699376E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2863669E-4 | 1.0591193E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.37767228 | 1.259098E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012856225 | 0.0010586192 | 7.8E-4 | 0.73680884 | 0.0010785981 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.095894E-7 | 3.2765078E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2765078E-7 | 0.0 | 1.7553821E-6 | 1.4042168E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4042168E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1371567E-5 | 1.709621E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.709621E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1369511E-4 | 1.7094925E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5849689 | 1.7094925E-4 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.6836056E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.6836056E-9 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.4358311E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4358311E-8 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.965624E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.965624E-7 | 0.0 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.9656223E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3719735 | 2.9656223E-6 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.28172705E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5603946 | 2.2817143E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.493013E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 1.4563956 | 1.04927385E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.685912E-4 | 5.2E-4 | 0.7777548 | 7.5853104E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0051611643 | 0.006670449 | 0.00526 | 0.78855264 | 0.0067896484 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.28172705E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5603946 | 2.2817143E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.493013E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 1.4563956 | 1.04927385E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.685912E-4 | 5.2E-4 | 0.7777548 | 7.5853104E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0051611643 | 0.006670449 | 0.00526 | 0.78855264 | 0.0067896484 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.28172705E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5603946 | 2.2817143E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.493013E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 1.4563956 | 1.04927385E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.685912E-4 | 5.2E-4 | 0.7777548 | 7.5853104E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0051611643 | 0.006670449 | 0.00526 | 0.78855264 | 0.0067896484 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 5.479711E-6 | 8.1132375E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2325536 | 8.1132375E-6 | 0.0 | 2.3484265E-5 | 3.4770575E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.8627985 | 5.476988E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.858834E-4 | 4.232527E-4 | 2.8E-4 | 0.6615433 | 4.7323154E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0028551589 | 0.0042272513 | 0.00319 | 0.75462747 | 0.004296955 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.465009E-6 | 8.0975315E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2349443 | 8.0975315E-6 | 0.0 | 2.3421257E-5 | 3.4703262E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.86447203 | 5.4702567E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.851165E-4 | 4.2243348E-4 | 2.8E-4 | 0.66282624 | 4.7241236E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0028475097 | 0.00421909 | 0.00318 | 0.75371695 | 0.004288795 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.826767E-6 | 7.4225877E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3472391 | 7.4225877E-6 | 0.0 | 2.068598E-5 | 3.1810716E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.9430784 | 5.1810082E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.518227E-4 | 3.8722943E-4 | 2.8E-4 | 0.7230855 | 4.3721008E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0025153751 | 0.0038682907 | 0.00286 | 0.73934466 | 0.0039380197 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.3146847E-6 | 6.8825234E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4529555 | 6.8825234E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8491375E-5 | 2.949621E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0170798 | 4.949562E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2510924E-4 | 3.5905963E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 0.6962632 | 4.0904168E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0022488134 | 0.0035875062 | 0.00249 | 0.69407547 | 0.0036472909 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6968106E-6 | 5.9957474E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6678487 | 5.9957474E-6 | 0.0 | 1.5843378E-5 | 2.5695816E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1675053 | 4.5695302E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9287605E-4 | 3.128032E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 0.70331764 | 3.6278754E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0019270873 | 0.0031262499 | 0.00212 | 0.6781288 | 0.0031860624 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4671132E-6 | 5.7024477E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7536329 | 5.7024477E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4858972E-5 | 2.4438841E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2275541 | 4.443835E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8089297E-4 | 2.9750372E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.6050345 | 3.4748882E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0018074579 | 0.0029736666 | 0.00192 | 0.64566755 | 0.0030334883 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.7686972E-6 | 4.8254797E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0723329 | 4.8254797E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1865792E-5 | 2.0680467E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.96709615 | 3.068026E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4445644E-4 | 2.5175634E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 0.6355351 | 2.9174628E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0014436257 | 0.002517256 | 0.00136 | 0.54027086 | 0.00256713 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.1472624E-6 | 3.985277E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.985277E-6 | 0.0 | 9.20252E-6 | 1.707965E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.5854921 | 2.7079479E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.12034926E-4 | 2.0792543E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.4328475 | 2.3791919E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011197845 | 0.0020798238 | 0.00116 | 0.55773956 | 0.0021197407 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.7018335E-6 | 3.3450835E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3450835E-6 | 0.0 | 7.293552E-6 | 1.4335996E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4335996E-5 | 0.0 | 8.879537E-5 | 1.7452713E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.40108377 | 1.8452539E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 8.87599E-4 | 0.0017463792 | 9.0E-4 | 0.515352 | 0.0017563617 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.25603E-6 | 2.794679E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.794679E-6 | 0.0 | 5.3829745E-6 | 1.1977142E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1977142E-5 | 0.0 | 6.553574E-5 | 1.4581217E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.27432552 | 1.5581072E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 6.551642E-4 | 0.0014596173 | 6.8E-4 | 0.46587554 | 0.0014696027 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.112297E-6 | 2.610519E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.610519E-6 | 0.0 | 4.7669787E-6 | 1.1187892E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1187892E-5 | 0.0 | 5.803642E-5 | 1.3620428E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.29367653 | 1.4620292E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 5.802127E-4 | 0.001363502 | 6.1E-4 | 0.4473774 | 0.0013734883 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.0137181E-6 | 2.4836752E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4836752E-6 | 0.0 | 4.3444993E-6 | 1.064428E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.064428E-5 | 0.0 | 5.2892992E-5 | 1.2958662E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.30867386 | 1.3958532E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 5.288041E-4 | 0.0012971918 | 6.0E-4 | 0.46253762 | 0.0013071789 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 9.598608E-7 | 2.407328E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.407328E-6 | 0.0 | 4.1136827E-6 | 1.03170805E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.03170805E-5 | 0.0 | 5.0082934E-5 | 1.2560343E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.23884697 | 1.3560218E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 5.007165E-4 | 0.0012572132 | 5.8E-4 | 0.46133783 | 0.0012672007 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.929459E-7 | 2.0450152E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0450152E-6 | 0.0 | 3.3983351E-6 | 8.764322E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.764322E-6 | 0.0 | 4.1373947E-5 | 1.0670057E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.18744043 | 1.0670057E-4 | 0.0 | 4.1366243E-4 | 0.0010685825 | 5.1E-4 | 0.47726777 | 0.0010685825 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.155788E-7 | 1.1606729E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1606729E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7810507E-6 | 4.974303E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.974303E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1684076E-5 | 6.05605E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.16512413 | 6.05605E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1681961E-4 | 6.085995E-4 | 3.3E-4 | 0.54222846 | 6.085995E-4 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.14666925E-7 | 2.592197E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.592197E-7 | 0.0 | 4.914296E-7 | 1.1109411E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1109411E-6 | 0.0 | 5.9831386E-6 | 1.3525627E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3525627E-5 | 0.0 | 5.9829777E-5 | 1.3636416E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.4399983 | 1.3636416E-4 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.9231824E-8 | 4.1462318E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1462318E-8 | 0.0 | 1.2527924E-7 | 1.7769564E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7769564E-7 | 0.0 | 1.5252737E-6 | 2.1634426E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1634426E-6 | 0.0 | 1.5252632E-5 | 2.197062E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.4551533 | 2.197062E-5 | 0.0 |
Rinconada 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5752368E-5 | 1.6274716E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2289001 | 3.627439E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 6.75084E-5 | 6.974694E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 1.1470038 | 1.0974414E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 8.2160486E-4 | 8.488413E-4 | 6.1E-4 | 0.71862674 | 9.0879033E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008185739 | 0.00845637 | 0.00559 | 0.6610401 | 0.008575356 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 1.0966133E-5 | 1.1323029E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7663118 | 3.13228E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 4.6996865E-5 | 4.852637E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.8242941 | 7.8524914E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 5.720366E-4 | 5.9064914E-4 | 3.3E-4 | 0.55870736 | 6.406196E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0057056635 | 0.005890889 | 0.00329 | 0.55848956 | 0.005980359 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.0966133E-5 | 1.1323029E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7663118 | 3.13228E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 4.6996865E-5 | 4.852637E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.8242941 | 7.8524914E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 5.720366E-4 | 5.9064914E-4 | 3.3E-4 | 0.55870736 | 6.406196E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0057056635 | 0.005890889 | 0.00329 | 0.55848956 | 0.005980359 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.926149E-6 | 9.212772E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0854497 | 1.9212679E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8254362E-5 | 3.948271E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.75982624 | 5.948192E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 4.6564735E-4 | 4.8059633E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 0.5409946 | 5.105819E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0046467283 | 0.0047956146 | 0.0027 | 0.5630144 | 0.004865279 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.676955E-6 | 7.920191E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2625958 | 1.7920112E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.290082E-5 | 3.3943234E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.8838285 | 5.3942556E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0049385E-4 | 4.131807E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 0.53245467 | 4.431683E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0039977287 | 0.004124151 | 0.00235 | 0.5698142 | 0.0041938624 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.1671026E-6 | 6.358955E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5725855 | 1.6358892E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6430173E-5 | 2.725238E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1008213 | 4.7251837E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2173982E-4 | 3.317473E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 0.63301194 | 3.6173733E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003212744 | 0.0033125326 | 0.00194 | 0.5856546 | 0.0033823007 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.553456E-6 | 5.7248126E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7467821 | 1.5724756E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3800309E-5 | 2.4534682E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.8151726 | 4.453419E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.897302E-4 | 2.9866886E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.6696379 | 3.286599E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0028935277 | 0.0029826832 | 0.00171 | 0.5733093 | 0.0030325342 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.787857E-6 | 4.93331E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.93331E-6 | 0.0 | 2.0519226E-5 | 2.1142585E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.47297907 | 3.1142372E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4979294E-4 | 2.573806E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 0.6605004 | 2.7737545E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0024951235 | 0.002570831 | 0.00154 | 0.5990281 | 0.0026107281 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.9955166E-6 | 4.1134763E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1134763E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7123532E-5 | 1.7629065E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.56724507 | 2.7628888E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0845905E-4 | 2.1461275E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 0.7455288 | 2.3460847E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002082636 | 0.0021440587 | 0.00134 | 0.6249829 | 0.0021739942 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.4250072E-6 | 3.5224466E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5224466E-6 | 0.0 | 1.46785205E-5 | 1.5096112E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.6624222 | 2.5095962E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7869633E-4 | 1.8377969E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.6529557 | 2.0377601E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001785527 | 0.0018362795 | 0.00113 | 0.61537474 | 0.0018662245 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.7712713E-6 | 2.8467002E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8467002E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1876823E-5 | 1.22000865E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.8196663 | 2.2199965E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4459073E-4 | 1.4852594E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.67328304 | 1.6852298E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014449668 | 0.0014842683 | 8.6E-4 | 0.5794101 | 0.0015142239 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.227358E-6 | 2.2856987E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2856987E-6 | 0.0 | 9.545785E-6 | 9.795815E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0208441 | 1.9795716E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.16213734E-4 | 1.1925753E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.75466937 | 1.3925515E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011615298 | 0.0011919363 | 7.7E-4 | 0.64600766 | 0.0012219006 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.581796E-6 | 1.6209015E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6209015E-6 | 0.0 | 6.779108E-6 | 6.946702E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.439532 | 1.6946633E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 8.253252E-5 | 8.4572814E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 0.8276891 | 1.04571125E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 8.250187E-4 | 8.4540684E-4 | 5.7E-4 | 0.6742316 | 8.753815E-4 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0306567E-6 | 1.054648E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.054648E-6 | 0.0 | 4.4170924E-6 | 4.519912E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.519912E-6 | 0.0 | 5.3776774E-5 | 5.502854E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.5451716 | 6.502799E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 5.376376E-4 | 5.501494E-4 | 4.2E-4 | 0.763429 | 5.701384E-4 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.535541E-7 | 6.682744E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.682744E-7 | 0.0 | 2.800943E-6 | 2.8640302E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8640302E-6 | 0.0 | 3.4100947E-5 | 3.4869012E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.5735752 | 4.4868662E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4095717E-4 | 3.486355E-4 | 2.8E-4 | 0.80313104 | 3.5863204E-4 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.2656962E-7 | 3.3316712E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3316712E-7 | 0.0 | 1.3995833E-6 | 1.4278584E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4278584E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7039794E-5 | 1.7384036E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7384036E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7038487E-4 | 1.738268E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.6903423 | 1.738268E-4 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.754343E-8 | 9.821017E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.821017E-8 | 0.0 | 4.180432E-7 | 4.2090065E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2090065E-7 | 0.0 | 5.089664E-6 | 5.1244533E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.1244533E-6 | 0.0 | 5.0895473E-5 | 5.124336E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.39029446 | 5.124336E-5 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.0001453E-9 | 5.8491207E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8491207E-9 | 0.0 | 2.5714908E-8 | 2.506766E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.506766E-8 | 0.0 | 3.1307894E-7 | 3.051987E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.051987E-7 | 0.0 | 3.1307852E-6 | 3.0519832E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 3.276558 | 3.0519832E-6 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.400003E-11 | 7.4654505E-11 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.4654505E-11 | 0.0 | 3.171432E-10 | 3.1994773E-10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1994773E-10 | 0.0 | 3.861218E-9 | 3.895363E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.895363E-9 | 0.0 | 3.861218E-8 | 3.895363E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.895363E-8 | 0.0 |
Dry Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.439381E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 3.1058884 | 2.6439253E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597147E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.7247126 | 4.7596594E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3595937E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 0.5655446 | 4.0593586E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033560768 | 0.00177 | 0.5274015 | 0.0034756742 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.439381E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 3.1058884 | 2.6439253E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597147E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.7247126 | 4.7596594E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3595937E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 0.5655446 | 4.0593586E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033560768 | 0.00177 | 0.5274015 | 0.0034756742 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.439381E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 3.1058884 | 2.6439253E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597147E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.7247126 | 4.7596594E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3595937E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 0.5655446 | 4.0593586E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033560768 | 0.00177 | 0.5274015 | 0.0034756742 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.439381E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 3.1058884 | 2.6439253E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597147E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.7247126 | 4.7596594E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3595937E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 0.5655446 | 4.0593586E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033560768 | 0.00177 | 0.5274015 | 0.0034756742 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.439381E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 3.1058884 | 2.6439253E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597147E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.7247126 | 4.7596594E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3595937E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 0.5655446 | 4.0593586E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033560768 | 0.00177 | 0.5274015 | 0.0034756742 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 2.8528623E-6 | 2.9521684E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3873405 | 1.2952139E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.22264955E-5 | 1.2652138E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.79038024 | 2.2652011E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4884741E-4 | 1.540376E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.51935375 | 1.7403452E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014874774 | 0.0015401616 | 8.0E-4 | 0.519426 | 0.0015801 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.8528623E-6 | 2.9521684E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3873405 | 1.2952139E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.22264955E-5 | 1.2652138E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.79038024 | 2.2652011E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4884741E-4 | 1.540376E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.51935375 | 1.7403452E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014874774 | 0.0015401616 | 8.0E-4 | 0.519426 | 0.0015801 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.541E-6 | 2.6293578E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 3.80321 | 1.2629332E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0889954E-5 | 1.1268677E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.88741565 | 2.1268565E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3257713E-4 | 1.3719614E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.4373301 | 1.4719476E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013249806 | 0.0013719613 | 7.4E-4 | 0.53937376 | 0.0014019202 | 3.0E-5 |
Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.75733E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 4.4396234 | 3.6757127E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.895971E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 2.0718439 | 7.895826E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253543E-4 | 3.6E-4 | 1.021174 | 4.3250722E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035205502 | 0.00176 | 0.49992186 | 0.003630163 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.75733E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 4.4396234 | 3.6757127E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.895971E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 2.0718439 | 7.895826E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253543E-4 | 3.6E-4 | 1.021174 | 4.3250722E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035205502 | 0.00176 | 0.49992186 | 0.003630163 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.75733E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 4.4396234 | 3.6757127E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.895971E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 2.0718439 | 7.895826E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253543E-4 | 3.6E-4 | 1.021174 | 4.3250722E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035205502 | 0.00176 | 0.49992186 | 0.003630163 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.75733E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 4.4396234 | 3.6757127E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.895971E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 2.0718439 | 7.895826E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253543E-4 | 3.6E-4 | 1.021174 | 4.3250722E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035205502 | 0.00176 | 0.49992186 | 0.003630163 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.75733E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 4.4396234 | 3.6757127E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.895971E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 2.0718439 | 7.895826E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253543E-4 | 3.6E-4 | 1.021174 | 4.3250722E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035205502 | 0.00176 | 0.49992186 | 0.003630163 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2570915E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0702238 | 1.32570585E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3958894E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4327784 | 3.3958615E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.6993708E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 1.0003703 | 1.8993368E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016767744 | 0.001698151 | 9.8E-4 | 0.57709825 | 0.0017380831 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2570915E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0702238 | 1.32570585E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3958894E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4327784 | 3.3958615E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.6993708E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 1.0003703 | 1.8993368E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016767744 | 0.001698151 | 9.8E-4 | 0.57709825 | 0.0017380831 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.1908265E-6 | 2.2071222E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5307865 | 1.2207101E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 9.389223E-6 | 9.459062E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0571872 | 1.9458968E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1430779E-4 | 1.1515819E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 1.0420449 | 1.2515704E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011424901 | 0.0011510046 | 6.3E-4 | 0.54734796 | 0.0011709816 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7303895E-6 | 1.736553E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7585344 | 1.1736535E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 7.415934E-6 | 7.442349E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3436618 | 1.7442275E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 9.028525E-5 | 9.060693E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 0.88293463 | 1.0060603E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 9.024858E-4 | 9.0570963E-4 | 4.9E-4 | 0.5410122 | 9.256915E-4 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3700314E-6 | 1.3688623E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3053365 | 1.1368848E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 5.87155E-6 | 5.86654E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7045823 | 1.586648E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 7.148377E-5 | 7.142283E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 0.9800788 | 8.142211E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 7.146078E-4 | 7.140033E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.5602215 | 7.33989E-4 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1467797E-6 | 1.1413805E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 8.76132 | 1.1141369E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9147607E-6 | 4.8916218E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0443118 | 1.4891573E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 5.983557E-5 | 5.95539E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.0074906 | 6.95533E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 5.981946E-4 | 5.9538253E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.5038777 | 6.1537063E-4 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.3952065E-7 | 9.3026915E-7 | 1.0E-5 | 10.7495775 | 1.093026E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 4.026511E-6 | 3.986862E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5082386 | 1.3986822E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9021666E-5 | 4.853898E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.0301 | 5.853849E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 4.901085E-4 | 4.8528553E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 0.5151606 | 5.0527585E-4 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.858055E-7 | 6.7193014E-7 | 1.0E-5 | 14.8825 | 1.06719235E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.939163E-6 | 2.8796974E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 3.472587 | 1.2879668E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5783723E-5 | 3.5059762E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4261364 | 4.5059413E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5777962E-4 | 3.5054318E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 0.54201597 | 3.7053617E-4 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.1101983E-7 | 4.939301E-7 | 1.0E-5 | 20.24578 | 1.0493925E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1900833E-6 | 2.1168414E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7240195 | 1.21168205E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6663936E-5 | 2.5772246E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5520573 | 3.5771987E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6660739E-4 | 2.5769303E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.5044762 | 2.7768788E-4 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.4999414E-7 | 3.2995916E-7 | 1.0E-5 | 30.306782 | 1.0329956E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.499974E-6 | 1.4141099E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 7.071586 | 1.1414096E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8262032E-5 | 1.7216655E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7424988 | 2.7216482E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.826053E-4 | 1.7215345E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5808771 | 1.9215001E-4 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.7021522E-7 | 1.4750053E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4750053E-7 | 0.0 | 7.2949354E-7 | 6.32145E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.32145E-7 | 0.0 | 8.881548E-6 | 7.696339E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.696339E-6 | 0.0 | 8.8811925E-5 | 7.696081E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.3898088 | 8.696003E-5 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.735264E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.735264E-8 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.436845E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.436845E-8 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.0543557E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0543557E-7 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.054324E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.054324E-6 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5271103E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4175911 | 6.527005E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5115313E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.86005497 | 2.0114557E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018387372 | 0.00111 | 0.6036752 | 0.0019285717 | 9.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.018986495 | 0.00972 | 0.5119428 | 0.019094406 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5271103E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4175911 | 6.527005E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5115313E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.86005497 | 2.0114557E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018387372 | 0.00111 | 0.6036752 | 0.0019285717 | 9.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.018986495 | 0.00972 | 0.5119428 | 0.019094406 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5271103E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4175911 | 6.527005E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5115313E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.86005497 | 2.0114557E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018387372 | 0.00111 | 0.6036752 | 0.0019285717 | 9.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.018986495 | 0.00972 | 0.5119428 | 0.019094406 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5271103E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4175911 | 6.527005E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5115313E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.86005497 | 2.0114557E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018387372 | 0.00111 | 0.6036752 | 0.0019285717 | 9.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.018986495 | 0.00972 | 0.5119428 | 0.019094406 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 4.0577226E-5 | 3.5143014E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4227579 | 6.514196E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.738908E-4 | 1.5060425E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.8631895 | 2.0059671E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0018320669 | 0.0011 | 0.60041475 | 0.0019219021 | 9.0E-5 | 0.020950472 | 0.018921062 | 0.00971 | 0.5131847 | 0.019028982 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 4.0577226E-5 | 3.5143014E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4227579 | 6.514196E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.738908E-4 | 1.5060425E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.8631895 | 2.0059671E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0018320669 | 0.0011 | 0.60041475 | 0.0019219021 | 9.0E-5 | 0.020950472 | 0.018921062 | 0.00971 | 0.5131847 | 0.019028982 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 4.053861E-5 | 3.5088357E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4249741 | 6.5087304E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7372532E-4 | 1.5037002E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.864534 | 2.003625E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0021130538 | 0.0018292206 | 0.0011 | 0.601349 | 0.0019190559 | 9.0E-5 | 0.020930743 | 0.01889314 | 0.00971 | 0.51394314 | 0.019001061 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 4.0516545E-5 | 3.505743E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4262311 | 6.505638E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7363077E-4 | 1.502375E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.8652966 | 2.0022999E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002111905 | 0.0018276101 | 0.0011 | 0.60187894 | 0.0019174456 | 9.0E-5 | 0.020919468 | 0.018877337 | 0.00971 | 0.5143734 | 0.01898526 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 4.049434E-5 | 3.5028992E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.427389 | 6.502794E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7353562E-4 | 1.5011564E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.86599904 | 2.0010813E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0021107488 | 0.0018261289 | 0.0011 | 0.6023671 | 0.0019159645 | 9.0E-5 | 0.020908125 | 0.018862749 | 0.00971 | 0.5147712 | 0.018970674 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 4.046386E-5 | 3.4991554E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4289162 | 6.4990505E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.73405E-4 | 1.499552E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.8669256 | 1.999477E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0021091616 | 0.0018241788 | 0.0011 | 0.6030111 | 0.0019140147 | 9.0E-5 | 0.020892553 | 0.018843522 | 0.00971 | 0.51529646 | 0.01895145 | 1.1E-4 |
7.0 | 4.036382E-5 | 3.4872126E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.43381 | 6.487108E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7297632E-4 | 1.4944343E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.86989444 | 1.9943595E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0021039525 | 0.0018179584 | 0.0011 | 0.60507435 | 0.0019077949 | 9.0E-5 | 0.02084144 | 0.018782137 | 0.00967 | 0.5148509 | 0.01889007 | 1.1E-4 |
7.1 | 4.0343282E-5 | 3.485059E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4346961 | 6.484954E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7288832E-4 | 1.4935112E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.87043196 | 1.9934366E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002102883 | 0.0018168368 | 0.0011 | 0.6054479 | 0.0019066732 | 9.0E-5 | 0.020830948 | 0.018771008 | 0.00967 | 0.51515615 | 0.018878942 | 1.1E-4 |
7.2 | 4.0257353E-5 | 3.475509E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4386383 | 6.4754044E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.725201E-4 | 1.489419E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.8728236 | 1.9893445E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0020984085 | 0.0018118626 | 0.0011 | 0.6071101 | 0.0019016995 | 9.0E-5 | 0.020787042 | 0.018721746 | 0.00964 | 0.5149092 | 0.018829687 | 1.1E-4 |
7.3 | 3.9940667E-5 | 3.458276E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4458071 | 6.458172E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7116306E-4 | 1.4820343E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.8771727 | 1.9819602E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0020819185 | 0.0018028866 | 0.0011 | 0.61013263 | 0.0018927244 | 9.0E-5 | 0.020625217 | 0.018630387 | 0.0096 | 0.5152872 | 0.018738337 | 1.1E-4 |
7.4 | 3.9721202E-5 | 3.4468165E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4506139 | 6.446713E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7022261E-4 | 1.4771236E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.8800888 | 1.9770498E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0020704903 | 0.0017969179 | 0.0011 | 0.6121593 | 0.0018867562 | 9.0E-5 | 0.020513052 | 0.018569522 | 0.00955 | 0.5142836 | 0.018677479 | 1.1E-4 |
7.5 | 3.7036873E-5 | 3.3535776E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4909451 | 6.353477E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5871979E-4 | 1.4371685E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.90455645 | 1.9370967E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0019307006 | 0.0017483513 | 0.0011 | 0.62916416 | 0.001838194 | 9.0E-5 | 0.019140124 | 0.018071128 | 0.00939 | 0.5196134 | 0.018179141 | 1.1E-4 |
7.6 | 3.2940967E-5 | 3.13167E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5965922 | 6.131576E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4116794E-4 | 1.3420754E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.96864897 | 1.8420084E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0017173645 | 0.0016327545 | 0.00104 | 0.63696045 | 0.0017226075 | 9.0E-5 | 0.01704153 | 0.016904091 | 0.00882 | 0.5217672 | 0.017012231 | 1.1E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8236149E-5 | 2.7882697E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4345815 | 5.788186E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2100645E-4 | 1.1949181E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.92056525 | 1.6948584E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0014722579 | 0.0014538429 | 8.4E-4 | 0.57777905 | 0.0015437121 | 9.0E-5 | 0.014625421 | 0.015114912 | 0.00771 | 0.5100923 | 0.015223249 | 1.1E-4 |
7.8 | 2.4329287E-5 | 2.5206451E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5868953 | 5.5205695E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.042642E-4 | 1.08023174E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.92572725 | 1.5801778E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0012686774 | 0.0013143895 | 7.6E-4 | 0.5782152 | 0.0014042712 | 9.0E-5 | 0.012614589 | 0.013712341 | 0.00691 | 0.5039256 | 0.013820833 | 1.1E-4 |
7.9 | 1.9370926E-5 | 2.0420413E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9588243 | 5.04198E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 8.301561E-5 | 8.751312E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1426858 | 1.3750874E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0010102465 | 0.0010649522 | 6.3E-4 | 0.5915758 | 0.0011548564 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0100566605 | 0.011199402 | 0.00557 | 0.497348 | 0.01130817 | 1.1E-4 |
8.0 | 1.5583017E-5 | 1.5885415E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8885248 | 4.588494E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 6.6782646E-5 | 6.807858E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 1.1751127 | 1.1807517E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 8.127754E-4 | 8.2854216E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.60346955 | 9.184676E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.008098091 | 0.008781636 | 0.00446 | 0.507878 | 0.008890671 | 1.1E-4 |
8.1 | 1.0024873E-5 | 8.291399E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 2.412138 | 2.8291233E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2963035E-5 | 3.553409E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4070996 | 6.553302E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 5.229494E-4 | 4.3254215E-4 | 2.3E-4 | 0.53174007 | 4.7252484E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0052172043 | 0.0046530655 | 0.00218 | 0.46850833 | 0.004702833 | 5.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.142796E-6 | 1.5602761E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5602761E-6 | 0.0 | 1.775472E-5 | 6.6868806E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.6868806E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1614227E-4 | 8.140976E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.2456708 | 8.140976E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0021593217 | 9.4514614E-4 | 4.9E-4 | 0.51843834 | 9.4514614E-4 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 3.609817E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.609817E-7 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.5470634E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5470634E-6 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 1.8835339E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8835339E-5 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.272251E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4400922 | 2.272251E-4 | 0.0 |
Pinto Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7853926E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 2.298662 | 8.785201E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0507304E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 0.78020984 | 2.4506485E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024940688 | 0.00135 | 0.5412842 | 0.002543944 | 5.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024678305 | 0.01377 | 0.55798 | 0.024775837 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7853926E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 2.298662 | 8.785201E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0507304E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 0.78020984 | 2.4506485E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024940688 | 0.00135 | 0.5412842 | 0.002543944 | 5.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024678305 | 0.01377 | 0.55798 | 0.024775837 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7853926E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 2.298662 | 8.785201E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0507304E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 0.78020984 | 2.4506485E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024940688 | 0.00135 | 0.5412842 | 0.002543944 | 5.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024678305 | 0.01377 | 0.55798 | 0.024775837 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7853926E-5 | 1.1E-4 | 2.298662 | 8.785201E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0507304E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 0.78020984 | 2.4506485E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024940688 | 0.00135 | 0.5412842 | 0.002543944 | 5.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024678305 | 0.01377 | 0.55798 | 0.024775837 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.960349E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 2.272527 | 6.96023E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.6971873E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.82489425 | 1.9971364E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0020644604 | 0.00107 | 0.5182952 | 0.0021043778 | 4.0E-5 | 0.019274427 | 0.020462848 | 0.01107 | 0.5409804 | 0.02052162 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.960349E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 2.272527 | 6.96023E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.6971873E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.82489425 | 1.9971364E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0020644604 | 0.00107 | 0.5182952 | 0.0021043778 | 4.0E-5 | 0.019274427 | 0.020462848 | 0.01107 | 0.5409804 | 0.02052162 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.0204548E-5 | 3.12056E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 2.8840976 | 6.1204664E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2944164E-4 | 1.3373162E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 1.0468727 | 1.6372761E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015748127 | 0.0016270012 | 9.0E-4 | 0.5531649 | 0.0016669361 | 4.0E-5 | 0.015636992 | 0.016154764 | 0.00827 | 0.51192325 | 0.016203957 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.9857754E-5 | 3.0814987E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 2.920657 | 6.081406E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2795553E-4 | 1.3205773E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 1.0601424 | 1.6205377E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015567453 | 0.0016066517 | 9.0E-4 | 0.5601712 | 0.0016465874 | 4.0E-5 | 0.015458848 | 0.015954204 | 0.00814 | 0.51021034 | 0.016003406 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.4819734E-5 | 2.5009665E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 2.7989178 | 5.5008917E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0636595E-4 | 1.0718E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.93300986 | 1.3717679E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012942362 | 0.001304157 | 6.5E-4 | 0.49840623 | 0.0013441049 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012867244 | 0.012967403 | 0.00638 | 0.4920029 | 0.013016755 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.331124E-5 | 2.3337945E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 2.999407 | 5.3337244E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 9.990149E-5 | 1.0001605E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.99983954 | 1.3001304E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001215622 | 0.0012170355 | 6.0E-4 | 0.49300122 | 0.0012569868 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012089936 | 0.012105897 | 0.0059 | 0.48736578 | 0.012155292 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.1818534E-5 | 2.1761074E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 3.216753 | 5.176042E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 9.3504656E-5 | 9.3258524E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 0.9650593 | 1.2325573E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011378246 | 0.0011348509 | 5.6E-4 | 0.49345687 | 0.0011748056 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011320163 | 0.01129266 | 0.00553 | 0.48969865 | 0.011342094 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.066081E-5 | 2.0540718E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 3.4078653 | 5.05401E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 8.854332E-5 | 8.8028784E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 0.9087936 | 1.18026146E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010774818 | 0.0010712431 | 5.3E-4 | 0.49475232 | 0.0011112003 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010722724 | 0.0106628435 | 0.00528 | 0.49517748 | 0.010712311 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.8990233E-5 | 1.9054001E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 3.1489449 | 4.905343E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 8.138417E-5 | 8.165756E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 0.8572384 | 1.11655114E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 9.904018E-4 | 9.937467E-4 | 4.9E-4 | 0.4930834 | 0.0010337069 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009859995 | 0.009895029 | 0.00492 | 0.49721935 | 0.009944534 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.3335872E-5 | 1.4906713E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 3.3541937 | 4.4906265E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 5.7152483E-5 | 6.388442E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 0.93919617 | 9.38825E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 6.956093E-4 | 7.77528E-4 | 3.8E-4 | 0.48872837 | 8.174969E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006934359 | 0.007749376 | 0.00374 | 0.48261952 | 0.0077989884 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.414066E-6 | 1.186096E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 3.3724084 | 4.1860603E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 4.0345374E-5 | 5.083175E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.9836372 | 8.083022E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 4.910942E-4 | 6.1871024E-4 | 2.7E-4 | 0.43639168 | 6.5868546E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0049001034 | 0.0061708256 | 0.00295 | 0.47805598 | 0.0062205167 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.2101157E-6 | 9.158192E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 4.3676744 | 3.9157916E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.090013E-5 | 3.9248847E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.2739227 | 6.924767E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.7614413E-4 | 4.7775774E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 0.46048442 | 5.1773863E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0037550807 | 0.004768082 | 0.00204 | 0.427845 | 0.0048078913 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.296375E-6 | 4.5455017E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3999543 | 2.454541E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4127245E-5 | 1.9480583E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.539995 | 3.9480194E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7198564E-4 | 2.3715167E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.37950397 | 2.6714455E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017185259 | 0.0023691233 | 9.1E-4 | 0.3841083 | 0.0023990523 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.5741092E-6 | 3.5844084E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5844084E-6 | 0.0 | 1.103185E-5 | 1.5361667E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.650971 | 1.5361667E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3430449E-4 | 1.8701357E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.32083234 | 1.8701357E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0013422335 | 0.0018686918 | 7.0E-4 | 0.37459362 | 0.0018686918 | 0.0 |
Whittier alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7252182E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.6348913 | 7.725076E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0249544E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 0.7901412 | 2.6248329E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024629163 | 0.00126 | 0.51158863 | 0.002532744 | 7.0E-5 | 0.02196019 | 0.024390263 | 0.01507 | 0.6178695 | 0.024497582 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7252182E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.6348913 | 7.725076E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0249544E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 0.7901412 | 2.6248329E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024629163 | 0.00126 | 0.51158863 | 0.002532744 | 7.0E-5 | 0.02196019 | 0.024390263 | 0.01507 | 0.6178695 | 0.024497582 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7252182E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.6348913 | 7.725076E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0249544E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 0.7901412 | 2.6248329E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024629163 | 0.00126 | 0.51158863 | 0.002532744 | 7.0E-5 | 0.02196019 | 0.024390263 | 0.01507 | 0.6178695 | 0.024497582 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.9617712E-5 | 1.826841E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.547393 | 2.8268229E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 8.40732E-5 | 7.829095E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 0.89410084 | 8.8290166E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010231105 | 9.527944E-4 | 5.4E-4 | 0.5667539 | 9.7277533E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01018413 | 0.0094904 | 0.00635 | 0.66909724 | 0.009539925 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5611336E-5 | 1.3604089E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3604089E-5 | 0.0 | 6.690401E-5 | 5.8301972E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.85760397 | 5.8301972E-5 | 0.0 | 8.142519E-4 | 7.096013E-4 | 4.1E-4 | 0.57778925 | 7.096013E-4 | 0.0 | 0.008112748 | 0.0070753377 | 0.00492 | 0.6953732 | 0.0071051256 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5150166E-5 | 1.3100744E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3100744E-5 | 0.0 | 6.492767E-5 | 5.614487E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.8905533 | 5.614487E-5 | 0.0 | 7.9020765E-4 | 6.8335526E-4 | 3.9E-4 | 0.5707134 | 6.8335526E-4 | 0.0 | 0.007874036 | 0.006814508 | 0.00463 | 0.6794328 | 0.006844303 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.295588E-5 | 1.0380544E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0380544E-5 | 0.0 | 5.552402E-5 | 4.44873E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.4495665 | 4.44873E-5 | 0.0 | 6.7579525E-4 | 5.415002E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 0.46168035 | 5.415002E-4 | 0.0 | 0.006737438 | 0.005403343 | 0.00344 | 0.6366429 | 0.0054232352 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2542085E-5 | 9.899189E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.899189E-6 | 0.0 | 5.3750682E-5 | 4.2424414E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.47142664 | 4.2424414E-5 | 0.0 | 6.542181E-4 | 5.163967E-4 | 2.3E-4 | 0.445394 | 5.163967E-4 | 0.0 | 0.006522954 | 0.005153464 | 0.00324 | 0.6287033 | 0.0051634125 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2195878E-5 | 9.49523E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.49523E-6 | 0.0 | 5.2267E-5 | 4.069322E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.49148238 | 4.069322E-5 | 0.0 | 6.36165E-4 | 4.9532915E-4 | 2.3E-4 | 0.46433768 | 4.9532915E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0063434686 | 0.0049436963 | 0.00314 | 0.6351523 | 0.004953647 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1580298E-5 | 8.772739E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.772739E-6 | 0.0 | 4.9628903E-5 | 3.759692E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.5319584 | 3.759692E-5 | 0.0 | 6.040644E-4 | 4.5764804E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.43701705 | 4.5764804E-4 | 0.0 | 0.00602425 | 0.0045684646 | 0.00291 | 0.6369755 | 0.0045784186 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0964795E-5 | 8.083794E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.083794E-6 | 0.0 | 4.6991136E-5 | 3.4644378E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.28864712 | 3.4644378E-5 | 0.0 | 5.7196687E-4 | 4.217152E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 0.40311566 | 4.217152E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0057049696 | 0.004210459 | 0.00264 | 0.62701005 | 0.004210459 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0230601E-5 | 7.32646E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.32646E-6 | 0.0 | 4.3844695E-5 | 3.1398744E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.31848407 | 3.1398744E-5 | 0.0 | 5.336784E-4 | 3.8221394E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.28779694 | 3.8221394E-4 | 0.0 | 0.005323986 | 0.0038167592 | 0.00229 | 0.5999855 | 0.0038167592 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.40865E-6 | 6.5430822E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.5430822E-6 | 0.0 | 4.032216E-5 | 2.8041486E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.35661447 | 2.8041486E-5 | 0.0 | 4.908117E-4 | 3.4135283E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.292952 | 3.4135283E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0048972913 | 0.0034094024 | 0.00207 | 0.60714453 | 0.0034094024 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.237384E-6 | 5.5975433E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5975433E-6 | 0.0 | 3.5302593E-5 | 2.3989258E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.41685325 | 2.3989258E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2972428E-4 | 2.920311E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.27394342 | 2.920311E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0042889426 | 0.0029167992 | 0.00178 | 0.610258 | 0.0029167992 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.5316966E-6 | 5.0276153E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0276153E-6 | 0.0 | 3.2278298E-5 | 2.154675E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.46410713 | 2.154675E-5 | 0.0 | 3.9291743E-4 | 2.623011E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.304993 | 2.623011E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0039222343 | 0.0026200267 | 0.00159 | 0.60686404 | 0.0026200267 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.149649E-6 | 3.9336355E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9336355E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6355372E-5 | 1.6858336E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.5931784 | 1.6858336E-5 | 0.0 | 3.208294E-4 | 2.052318E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.34107774 | 2.052318E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003203666 | 0.0020505118 | 0.00132 | 0.6437417 | 0.0020505118 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.457711E-6 | 3.3951796E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3951796E-6 | 0.0 | 2.338998E-5 | 1.4550694E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4550694E-5 | 0.0 | 2.8473578E-4 | 1.771411E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.33871302 | 1.771411E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0028437122 | 0.0017700798 | 0.00106 | 0.59884304 | 0.0017700798 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.1676276E-6 | 2.3329922E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3329922E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7861139E-5 | 9.998504E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.998504E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1743766E-4 | 1.2172572E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.4107595 | 1.2172572E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021722503 | 0.0012166635 | 7.7E-4 | 0.63287836 | 0.0012166635 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.384417E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.384417E-8 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0218927E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0218927E-7 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.8966467E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 2.042214 | 4.8966467E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.8965718E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.40844905 | 4.8965718E-5 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4397174E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4397174E-9 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4741646E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4741646E-8 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7947953E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7947953E-7 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.794794E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.794794E-6 | 0.0 |
Rose Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.9714607E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.2068888 | 7.9713114E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.1304654E-4 | 2.4E-4 | 1.1265143 | 2.7303377E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0023933933 | 0.0025909478 | 0.00229 | 0.88384646 | 0.0026707405 | 8.0E-5 | 0.023677798 | 0.025618518 | 0.02356 | 0.9196473 | 0.0257257 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.9714607E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.0057406 | 6.971361E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.1304654E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.84488577 | 2.5303802E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0023933933 | 0.0025909478 | 0.00161 | 0.6213942 | 0.0026507925 | 6.0E-5 | 0.023677798 | 0.025618518 | 0.01506 | 0.587856 | 0.025706213 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8844734E-5 | 2.9669678E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.6740889 | 3.9669383E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2361443E-4 | 1.2714976E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7864741 | 1.4714722E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015039665 | 0.001546976 | 9.4E-4 | 0.60763705 | 0.0015769297 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0149382865 | 0.015364873 | 0.00903 | 0.5877042 | 0.015404259 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3171577E-5 | 2.3162425E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.86346745 | 3.3162192E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 9.9302975E-5 | 9.926383E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0074162 | 1.19261844E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012083431 | 0.0012078804 | 7.3E-4 | 0.60436445 | 0.0012278563 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012017938 | 0.012012152 | 0.00717 | 0.5968955 | 0.012041792 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0066604E-5 | 1.9668067E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.50843835 | 1.9668067E-5 | 0.0 | 8.599689E-5 | 8.428905E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 0.949115 | 9.42882E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010465092 | 0.001025746 | 6.6E-4 | 0.6434341 | 0.0010357358 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010415946 | 0.010211479 | 0.00595 | 0.5826776 | 0.010231274 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.776989E-5 | 1.7115402E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7115402E-5 | 0.0 | 7.615444E-5 | 7.33497E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 0.8179993 | 8.334896E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 9.267859E-4 | 8.926737E-4 | 5.9E-4 | 0.6609358 | 9.0266473E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009229303 | 0.008874663 | 0.00518 | 0.5836841 | 0.008894485 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5227364E-5 | 1.4340872E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4340872E-5 | 0.0 | 6.52585E-5 | 6.145947E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.81354433 | 7.145885E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 7.942326E-4 | 7.480173E-4 | 5.3E-4 | 0.7085398 | 7.580098E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007914 | 0.0074410336 | 0.00428 | 0.57518893 | 0.0074608847 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2703898E-5 | 1.1674277E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1674277E-5 | 0.0 | 5.4444143E-5 | 5.0031682E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.79949343 | 6.003118E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 6.626558E-4 | 6.089697E-4 | 4.1E-4 | 0.6732683 | 6.189636E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006606833 | 0.0060623093 | 0.00338 | 0.55754334 | 0.006082188 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1554917E-5 | 1.0610384E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0610384E-5 | 0.0 | 4.9520135E-5 | 4.547231E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.6597422 | 5.5471854E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0274085E-4 | 5.5348873E-4 | 3.9E-4 | 0.7046214 | 5.634832E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060110865 | 0.005504414 | 0.0031 | 0.5631844 | 0.0055243038 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.732078E-6 | 7.882285E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.882285E-6 | 0.0 | 3.7422655E-5 | 3.37808E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.8880784 | 4.3780463E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5552556E-4 | 4.112066E-4 | 2.7E-4 | 0.65660423 | 4.2120248E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045459294 | 0.004089515 | 0.00225 | 0.55018747 | 0.0040994743 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.9337494E-6 | 5.107436E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.107436E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5430107E-5 | 2.1888829E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1888829E-5 | 0.0 | 3.0956755E-4 | 2.6646405E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 0.7130418 | 2.6646405E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0030913667 | 0.002661461 | 0.00152 | 0.5711149 | 0.002661461 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.013409E-6 | 4.17734E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.17734E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1485863E-5 | 1.7902763E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7902763E-5 | 0.0 | 2.6155898E-4 | 2.1794444E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.6423655 | 2.1794444E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0026125133 | 0.0021773188 | 0.00123 | 0.564915 | 0.0021773188 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.120763E-6 | 3.2820917E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2820917E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7660293E-5 | 1.4066032E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4066032E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1499286E-4 | 1.7124058E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.6423711 | 1.7124058E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0021478499 | 0.0017110958 | 9.2E-4 | 0.53766716 | 0.0017110958 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.2081239E-6 | 2.4404965E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4404965E-6 | 0.0 | 1.374903E-5 | 1.0459229E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0459229E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6738157E-4 | 1.2733374E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7853378 | 1.2733374E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0016725556 | 0.0012726148 | 7.4E-4 | 0.58147997 | 0.0012726148 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.4194755E-6 | 1.7680321E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7680321E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0369139E-5 | 7.5772587E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.5772587E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2623696E-4 | 9.224927E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 0.6504116 | 9.224927E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0012616527 | 9.221151E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.5422316 | 9.221151E-4 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3842889E-6 | 9.3782967E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.3782967E-7 | 0.0 | 5.9326535E-6 | 4.019264E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.019264E-6 | 0.0 | 7.222766E-5 | 4.8933474E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.40871817 | 4.8933474E-5 | 0.0 | 7.220419E-4 | 4.8923056E-4 | 2.9E-4 | 0.5927676 | 4.8923056E-4 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.0021575E-6 | 6.4113493E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.4113493E-7 | 0.0 | 4.2949537E-6 | 2.7477186E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7477186E-6 | 0.0 | 5.2289808E-5 | 3.345298E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.5978541 | 3.345298E-5 | 0.0 | 5.2277505E-4 | 3.344816E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 0.5082492 | 3.344816E-4 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.7620116E-8 | 6.449304E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.449304E-8 | 0.0 | 3.7551473E-7 | 2.763987E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.763987E-7 | 0.0 | 4.5718825E-6 | 3.3651493E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3651493E-6 | 0.0 | 4.5717883E-5 | 3.3651013E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.2971679 | 3.3651013E-5 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (South Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.113726E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 9.723545 | 2.4113644E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630138E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8360527 | 4.7629608E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462643E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9318517 | 2.846114E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442554 | 0.0011 | 0.5129986 | 0.0022440408 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.113726E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 9.723545 | 2.4113644E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630138E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8360527 | 4.7629608E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462643E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9318517 | 2.846114E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442554 | 0.0011 | 0.5129986 | 0.0022440408 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.113726E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 9.723545 | 2.4113644E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630138E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8360527 | 4.7629608E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462643E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9318517 | 2.846114E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442554 | 0.0011 | 0.5129986 | 0.0022440408 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.113726E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 9.723545 | 2.4113644E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630138E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8360527 | 4.7629608E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462643E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9318517 | 2.846114E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442554 | 0.0011 | 0.5129986 | 0.0022440408 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.113726E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 9.723545 | 2.4113644E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630138E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8360527 | 4.7629608E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462643E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.9318517 | 2.846114E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442554 | 0.0011 | 0.5129986 | 0.0022440408 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 2.9849807E-6 | 2.973154E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3634315 | 1.2973124E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2792712E-5 | 1.2742028E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.78480446 | 2.27419E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5574014E-4 | 1.551233E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.7735782 | 1.8511864E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015563103 | 0.0015501654 | 7.6E-4 | 0.4902703 | 0.0016000879 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9849807E-6 | 2.973154E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3634315 | 1.2973124E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2792712E-5 | 1.2742028E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.78480446 | 2.27419E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5574014E-4 | 1.551233E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.7735782 | 1.8511864E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015563103 | 0.0015501654 | 7.6E-4 | 0.4902703 | 0.0016000879 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6756725E-6 | 2.6582202E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7619157 | 1.2658194E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1467117E-5 | 1.1392323E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.87778413 | 2.1392209E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.396032E-4 | 1.386928E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7210179 | 1.5869003E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013951553 | 0.0013860734 | 6.9E-4 | 0.4978091 | 0.0014260181 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.3283721E-6 | 2.3047783E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3388124 | 1.2304755E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 9.9787E-6 | 9.877584E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0123934 | 1.9877485E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.214839E-4 | 1.2025302E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.8315799 | 1.4025062E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001214175 | 0.001201887 | 5.9E-4 | 0.49089473 | 0.0012418389 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.0972677E-6 | 2.0696405E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 4.831757 | 1.20696195E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 8.988259E-6 | 8.869858E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1274137 | 1.8869769E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0942656E-4 | 1.0798523E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9260526 | 1.2798308E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010937268 | 0.0010793334 | 5.5E-4 | 0.50957376 | 0.0011192902 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7132242E-6 | 1.6787029E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 5.95698 | 1.1678686E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3423685E-6 | 7.1944214E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3899658 | 1.719435E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 8.938967E-5 | 8.75886E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 0.91336083 | 1.0758685E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 8.935372E-4 | 8.755446E-4 | 4.3E-4 | 0.49112287 | 9.155096E-4 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.4215541E-6 | 1.3815746E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 7.238118 | 1.138156E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0923603E-6 | 5.9210206E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.688898 | 1.5920961E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 7.417196E-5 | 7.208607E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 0.9710614 | 9.208463E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 7.414721E-4 | 7.206296E-4 | 3.7E-4 | 0.51343995 | 7.606007E-4 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.097853E-7 | 8.60377E-7 | 1.0E-5 | 11.622812 | 1.0860368E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.899074E-6 | 3.6873246E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7119935 | 1.3687288E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7470192E-5 | 4.4892266E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 1.5592887 | 6.489136E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7460053E-4 | 4.4883305E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 0.557 | 4.7881957E-4 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.144169E-7 | 5.628199E-7 | 1.0E-5 | 17.767673 | 1.0562814E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6332125E-6 | 2.4120832E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1457944 | 1.2412059E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.205889E-5 | 2.9366722E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7026075 | 3.9366427E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2054266E-4 | 2.9362892E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 0.5108489 | 3.1362305E-4 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.049844E-7 | 3.5728252E-7 | 1.0E-5 | 27.989056 | 1.0357279E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7356463E-6 | 1.5312098E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 6.5307837 | 1.1531194E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1131287E-5 | 1.8642324E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6092415 | 2.8642136E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1129279E-4 | 1.8640784E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.53645813 | 2.0640412E-4 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.9871162E-7 | 1.5830383E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5830383E-7 | 0.0 | 8.5162094E-7 | 6.784448E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.784448E-7 | 0.0 | 1.0368436E-5 | 8.260035E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.260035E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0367952E-4 | 8.259736E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.3632077 | 9.2596536E-5 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.735264E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.735264E-8 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.436845E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.436845E-8 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.0543557E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0543557E-7 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.054324E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.054324E-6 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Anza) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3298347E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1547785 | 7.329705E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8555121E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.7545087 | 2.3554194E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022567573 | 0.00124 | 0.54946095 | 0.0023365768 | 8.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.02329361 | 0.01166 | 0.5005664 | 0.023391282 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3298347E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1547785 | 7.329705E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8555121E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.7545087 | 2.3554194E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022567573 | 0.00124 | 0.54946095 | 0.0023365768 | 8.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.02329361 | 0.01166 | 0.5005664 | 0.023391282 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3298347E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1547785 | 7.329705E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8555121E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.7545087 | 2.3554194E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022567573 | 0.00124 | 0.54946095 | 0.0023365768 | 8.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.02329361 | 0.01166 | 0.5005664 | 0.023391282 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3298347E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1547785 | 7.329705E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8555121E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.7545087 | 2.3554194E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022567573 | 0.00124 | 0.54946095 | 0.0023365768 | 8.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.02329361 | 0.01166 | 0.5005664 | 0.023391282 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3298347E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1547785 | 7.329705E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8555121E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.7545087 | 2.3554194E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022567573 | 0.00124 | 0.54946095 | 0.0023365768 | 8.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.02329361 | 0.01166 | 0.5005664 | 0.023391282 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.0080286E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.2474961 | 7.0079084E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.7176138E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.81508434 | 2.2175278E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0030276014 | 0.0020891947 | 0.00117 | 0.5600244 | 0.0021690275 | 8.0E-5 | 0.02986684 | 0.021590833 | 0.01091 | 0.505307 | 0.021688674 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.0080286E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.2474961 | 7.0079084E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.7176138E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.81508434 | 2.2175278E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0030276014 | 0.0020891947 | 0.00117 | 0.5600244 | 0.0021690275 | 8.0E-5 | 0.02986684 | 0.021590833 | 0.01091 | 0.505307 | 0.021688674 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 5.712442E-5 | 3.950301E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.2657262 | 6.9501824E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.4479596E-4 | 1.6928767E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.82699466 | 2.192792E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0029763177 | 0.0020591344 | 0.00116 | 0.56334347 | 0.0021389697 | 8.0E-5 | 0.029367693 | 0.021282919 | 0.01082 | 0.50838894 | 0.02138079 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 5.6967532E-5 | 3.93593E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.2703478 | 6.935812E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.4412372E-4 | 1.6867183E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.8300141 | 2.1866341E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0029681553 | 0.0020516508 | 0.00116 | 0.56539834 | 0.0021314868 | 8.0E-5 | 0.029288229 | 0.02120852 | 0.01078 | 0.5082863 | 0.0213064 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 5.6211324E-5 | 3.9064216E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.2799438 | 6.906305E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.4088343E-4 | 1.6740736E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.83628345 | 2.1739899E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0029288116 | 0.0020362847 | 0.00116 | 0.56966496 | 0.0021161218 | 8.0E-5 | 0.028905109 | 0.021047527 | 0.01074 | 0.5102737 | 0.021145422 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 5.4383527E-5 | 3.7925012E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.3183912 | 6.792387E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3305144E-4 | 1.6252567E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.8614024 | 2.1251754E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0028337094 | 0.001976959 | 0.00112 | 0.56652665 | 0.0020568008 | 8.0E-5 | 0.027978465 | 0.02044095 | 0.01033 | 0.5053581 | 0.020538906 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 5.1393665E-5 | 3.638787E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.3740842 | 6.6386776E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2023996E-4 | 1.5593872E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.83366084 | 2.0593092E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0026781242 | 0.0018969048 | 0.00108 | 0.5693485 | 0.0019767531 | 8.0E-5 | 0.026460782 | 0.019616077 | 0.00997 | 0.50825655 | 0.019714115 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 4.785222E-5 | 3.4738845E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.439311 | 6.4737804E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0506482E-4 | 1.4887229E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.8732317 | 1.9886484E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0024938055 | 0.0018110167 | 0.00108 | 0.5963501 | 0.0018908719 | 8.0E-5 | 0.024660049 | 0.018728783 | 0.00956 | 0.5104443 | 0.01882691 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 4.2143256E-5 | 3.3834414E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4777853 | 6.3833395E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8060145E-4 | 1.449966E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.8965728 | 1.9498933E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002196605 | 0.0017639075 | 0.00106 | 0.60093856 | 0.0018437663 | 8.0E-5 | 0.02175019 | 0.018236695 | 0.00931 | 0.51050913 | 0.018334871 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 4.0264713E-5 | 3.3472694E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4937549 | 6.347169E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7255165E-4 | 1.4344654E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.906261 | 1.9343937E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002098792 | 0.0017450659 | 0.00105 | 0.6016965 | 0.0018249264 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020790804 | 0.018041389 | 0.0092 | 0.50993854 | 0.018139586 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 3.694492E-5 | 3.2186905E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5534267 | 6.218594E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5832575E-4 | 1.379366E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.94246197 | 1.879297E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0019259118 | 0.0016780876 | 0.00104 | 0.6197531 | 0.0017579533 | 8.0E-5 | 0.01909306 | 0.017357888 | 0.00897 | 0.5167679 | 0.017456152 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 3.200565E-5 | 2.9502702E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.69476 | 5.9501817E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3715986E-4 | 1.2643404E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 1.0282041 | 1.7642771E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001668642 | 0.0015382497 | 9.7E-4 | 0.6305868 | 0.0016181266 | 8.0E-5 | 0.01656168 | 0.015946016 | 0.00831 | 0.5211333 | 0.016044421 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 2.731642E-5 | 2.6091477E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5330677 | 5.6090692E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1706512E-4 | 1.11815825E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.9837606 | 1.6181024E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001424336 | 0.0013605085 | 7.7E-4 | 0.5659649 | 0.0014403997 | 8.0E-5 | 0.014152412 | 0.0141668 | 0.00721 | 0.5089364 | 0.014265384 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 2.3466424E-5 | 2.3503619E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.7018656 | 5.3502914E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0056651E-4 | 1.0072591E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9927932 | 1.5072088E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0012237094 | 0.0012256489 | 7.1E-4 | 0.57928497 | 0.0013055508 | 8.0E-5 | 0.012169928 | 0.012808796 | 0.00647 | 0.50512165 | 0.012907515 | 1.0E-4 |
7.9 | 1.8611925E-5 | 1.890698E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 2.1156209 | 4.890641E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 7.9762955E-5 | 8.10274E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2341504 | 1.3102335E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 9.7068126E-4 | 9.860628E-4 | 5.9E-4 | 0.59833914 | 0.001065984 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0096645225 | 0.010393705 | 0.00519 | 0.49934068 | 0.010492666 | 1.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.5460775E-5 | 1.5739915E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9059823 | 4.573944E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 6.6258784E-5 | 6.745504E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 1.1859751 | 1.17451666E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 8.0640207E-4 | 8.2095637E-4 | 4.9E-4 | 0.5968649 | 9.008907E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.008034821 | 0.008702706 | 0.0044 | 0.5055899 | 0.008801836 | 1.0E-4 |
8.1 | 9.983884E-6 | 8.268954E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4186854 | 2.8268789E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2787375E-5 | 3.5437897E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.410919 | 6.5436834E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 5.2081177E-4 | 4.313715E-4 | 2.3E-4 | 0.5331831 | 4.7135423E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0051959283 | 0.00463968 | 0.00216 | 0.46554932 | 0.004689448 | 5.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.1226E-6 | 1.5522551E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5522551E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7668166E-5 | 6.6525045E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.6525045E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1508869E-4 | 8.099126E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.24694023 | 8.099126E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0021488064 | 9.401847E-4 | 4.8E-4 | 0.510538 | 9.401847E-4 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 3.609817E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.609817E-7 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.5470634E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5470634E-6 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 1.8835339E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8835339E-5 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.272251E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4400922 | 2.272251E-4 | 0.0 |
Tin Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1815365E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 7.174396 | 3.4181412E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.792077E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 5.0221057 | 6.791987E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1816725E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 1.1917462 | 2.7815416E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021798965 | 0.00127 | 0.5825965 | 0.0022796784 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1815365E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 7.174396 | 3.4181412E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.792077E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 5.0221057 | 6.791987E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1816725E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 1.1917462 | 2.7815416E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021798965 | 0.00127 | 0.5825965 | 0.0022796784 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1815365E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 7.174396 | 3.4181412E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.792077E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 5.0221057 | 6.791987E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1816725E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 1.1917462 | 2.7815416E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021798965 | 0.00127 | 0.5825965 | 0.0022796784 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1815365E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 7.174396 | 3.4181412E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.792077E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 5.0221057 | 6.791987E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1816725E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 1.1917462 | 2.7815416E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021798965 | 0.00127 | 0.5825965 | 0.0022796784 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1815365E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 7.174396 | 3.4181412E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.792077E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 5.0221057 | 6.791987E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1816725E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 1.1917462 | 2.7815416E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021798965 | 0.00127 | 0.5825965 | 0.0022796784 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 2.3143427E-6 | 2.3731573E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 4.213796 | 1.2373133E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 9.9185745E-6 | 1.0170638E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9496675 | 2.0170537E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2075195E-4 | 1.2382126E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.9691389 | 1.3382002E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012068636 | 0.0012375986 | 6.7E-4 | 0.541371 | 0.0012675615 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3143427E-6 | 2.3731573E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 4.213796 | 1.2373133E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 9.9185745E-6 | 1.0170638E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9496675 | 2.0170537E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2075195E-4 | 1.2382126E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.9691389 | 1.3382002E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012068636 | 0.0012375986 | 6.7E-4 | 0.541371 | 0.0012675615 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7029532E-6 | 1.7497915E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7497915E-6 | 0.0 | 7.2983503E-6 | 7.499088E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3334955 | 7.499088E-6 | 0.0 | 8.885379E-5 | 9.1298105E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 0.7667191 | 9.1298105E-5 | 0.0 | 8.881827E-4 | 9.1265864E-4 | 4.5E-4 | 0.49306497 | 9.3264034E-4 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2914646E-6 | 1.3299378E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3299378E-6 | 0.0 | 5.534837E-6 | 5.6997237E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.754471 | 5.6997237E-6 | 0.0 | 6.738455E-5 | 6.939237E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.5764323 | 6.939237E-5 | 0.0 | 6.736412E-4 | 6.9375033E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.4324322 | 7.037434E-4 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.8708974E-7 | 6.1169936E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.1169936E-7 | 0.0 | 2.5160964E-6 | 2.6215664E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6215664E-6 | 0.0 | 3.0633044E-5 | 3.1917145E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.6266225 | 3.1917145E-5 | 0.0 | 3.0628822E-4 | 3.191297E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.4386931 | 3.191297E-4 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.6248786E-7 | 4.832015E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.832015E-7 | 0.0 | 1.9820893E-6 | 2.0708624E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0708624E-6 | 0.0 | 2.413167E-5 | 2.5212494E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.7932575 | 2.5212494E-5 | 0.0 | 2.412905E-4 | 2.5210003E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.43633473 | 2.5210003E-4 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.804606E-7 | 3.987147E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.987147E-7 | 0.0 | 1.6305444E-6 | 1.7087764E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7087764E-6 | 0.0 | 1.9851697E-5 | 2.0804187E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.48067245 | 2.0804187E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9849923E-4 | 2.0802575E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.43263873 | 2.0802575E-4 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.5864858E-7 | 3.7616863E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7616863E-7 | 0.0 | 1.5370645E-6 | 1.6121504E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6121504E-6 | 0.0 | 1.87136E-5 | 1.9627789E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.5094817 | 1.9627789E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8712023E-4 | 1.9626386E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.4076145 | 1.9626386E-4 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.342063E-7 | 3.506347E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.506347E-7 | 0.0 | 1.4323119E-6 | 1.5027196E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5027196E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7438259E-5 | 1.829549E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.54658276 | 1.829549E-5 | 0.0 | 1.743689E-4 | 1.8294314E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.43729433 | 1.8294314E-4 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.971242E-7 | 3.1165817E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1165817E-7 | 0.0 | 1.2733886E-6 | 1.3356774E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3356774E-6 | 0.0 | 1.5503398E-5 | 1.6261785E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.6149387 | 1.6261785E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5502315E-4 | 1.6260923E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.43047988 | 1.6260923E-4 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4326713E-7 | 1.5012525E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5012525E-7 | 0.0 | 6.140018E-7 | 6.433939E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.433939E-7 | 0.0 | 7.4754466E-6 | 7.8333205E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2765979 | 7.8333205E-6 | 0.0 | 7.475195E-5 | 7.833321E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.6382989 | 7.833321E-5 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough north alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.329252E-5 | 8.821269E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 0.68017423 | 9.8211814E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.14073E-4 | 3.7800326E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.52909595 | 3.979957E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0038171355 | 0.0045930487 | 0.00247 | 0.5377692 | 0.0046229106 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03752231 | 0.045045137 | 0.02893 | 0.6422447 | 0.04514063 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 3.7940346E-5 | 4.4884906E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.22279204 | 5.488446E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6259136E-4 | 1.9235026E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.41590795 | 2.1234641E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019777524 | 0.002339431 | 0.00102 | 0.43600345 | 0.0023593842 | 2.0E-5 | 0.019602431 | 0.023156732 | 0.0128 | 0.552755 | 0.023215344 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.329672E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.30032986 | 4.329639E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4269259E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.4905651 | 1.6268973E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014935739 | 0.0017359206 | 8.0E-4 | 0.46085057 | 0.0017558859 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0148357535 | 0.017226268 | 0.0093 | 0.5398732 | 0.017265579 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.329672E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.30032986 | 4.329639E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4269259E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.4905651 | 1.6268973E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014935739 | 0.0017359206 | 8.0E-4 | 0.46085057 | 0.0017558859 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0148357535 | 0.017226268 | 0.0093 | 0.5398732 | 0.017265579 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.2204576E-5 | 2.544832E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.39295325 | 3.5448065E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 9.5159E-5 | 1.0905972E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.45846438 | 1.1905863E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001157945 | 0.0013270028 | 5.2E-4 | 0.3918605 | 0.0013369895 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011519298 | 0.013191959 | 0.00705 | 0.5344165 | 0.013211695 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.1004838E-5 | 2.4024695E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.41623837 | 3.4024455E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0017624E-5 | 1.0295897E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.48563033 | 1.1295794E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010954136 | 0.0012528135 | 5.0E-4 | 0.3991017 | 0.001262801 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010900296 | 0.012458592 | 0.0066 | 0.5297549 | 0.012478342 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.820557E-5 | 2.070479E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.070479E-5 | 0.0 | 7.802154E-5 | 8.8731824E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.3380974 | 8.8731824E-5 | 0.0 | 9.4949827E-4 | 0.0010797799 | 4.3E-4 | 0.39822927 | 0.0010797799 | 0.0 | 0.009454516 | 0.010746005 | 0.00564 | 0.5248462 | 0.0107558975 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.5884485E-5 | 1.7983646E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7983646E-5 | 0.0 | 6.807459E-5 | 7.707051E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.38925394 | 7.707051E-5 | 0.0 | 8.284929E-4 | 9.3793223E-4 | 3.4E-4 | 0.36249954 | 9.3793223E-4 | 0.0 | 0.008254109 | 0.009340104 | 0.0047 | 0.50320643 | 0.009340104 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.4331171E-5 | 1.6201066E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6201066E-5 | 0.0 | 6.141786E-5 | 6.94313E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.28805453 | 6.94313E-5 | 0.0 | 7.4750587E-4 | 8.450002E-4 | 2.9E-4 | 0.3431952 | 8.450002E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0074499645 | 0.008418139 | 0.00419 | 0.49773473 | 0.008418139 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.2574203E-5 | 1.4205835E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4205835E-5 | 0.0 | 5.3888325E-5 | 6.0880735E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.32851115 | 6.0880735E-5 | 0.0 | 6.558929E-4 | 7.409723E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 0.3508903 | 7.409723E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0065396037 | 0.007385203 | 0.0037 | 0.5010018 | 0.007385203 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0883844E-5 | 1.2289262E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2289262E-5 | 0.0 | 4.664421E-5 | 5.2667205E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.18987148 | 5.2667205E-5 | 0.0 | 5.677453E-4 | 6.4103556E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 0.32759494 | 6.4103556E-4 | 0.0 | 0.00566297 | 0.006391993 | 0.00329 | 0.5147065 | 0.006391993 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.393088E-6 | 1.060702E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.060702E-5 | 0.0 | 4.025547E-5 | 4.545787E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.21998392 | 4.545787E-5 | 0.0 | 4.900001E-4 | 5.533098E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.32531506 | 5.533098E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0048892107 | 0.005519418 | 0.00285 | 0.5163588 | 0.005519418 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.190791E-6 | 9.258625E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.258625E-6 | 0.0 | 3.510292E-5 | 3.9679224E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.25202104 | 3.9679224E-5 | 0.0 | 4.2729423E-4 | 4.8298817E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 0.33127105 | 4.8298817E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0042647356 | 0.004819465 | 0.0025 | 0.5187298 | 0.004819465 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.268162E-6 | 7.089716E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.089716E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6863276E-5 | 3.0384144E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0384144E-5 | 0.0 | 3.2701128E-4 | 3.6986457E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.37851694 | 3.6986457E-4 | 0.0 | 0.003265305 | 0.003692536 | 0.00187 | 0.50642705 | 0.003692536 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.985186E-6 | 5.6426816E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.6426816E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1364907E-5 | 2.4182698E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4182698E-5 | 0.0 | 2.600867E-4 | 2.9438498E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.4076295 | 2.9438498E-4 | 0.0 | 0.002597825 | 0.0029399914 | 0.00154 | 0.52381104 | 0.0029399914 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.969678E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.969678E-6 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.4414505E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.4414505E-6 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 1.02770035E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.3892185 | 1.02770035E-4 | 0.0 | 9.1216754E-4 | 0.0010272472 | 5.7E-4 | 0.5548811 | 0.0010272472 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7533823E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7533823E-7 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.5144936E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.5144936E-7 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.14886E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.14886E-6 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.1485024E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 0.7651525 | 9.1485024E-5 | 0.0 |
Mission Creek
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6322783E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 2.4505627 | 5.632213E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.995299E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 1.2865783 | 1.2994879E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5135986E-4 | 5.7E-4 | 0.6695171 | 9.2130026E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008510157 | 0.00453 | 0.5323051 | 0.00859939 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6322783E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 2.4505627 | 5.632213E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.995299E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 1.2865783 | 1.2994879E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5135986E-4 | 5.7E-4 | 0.6695171 | 9.2130026E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008510157 | 0.00453 | 0.5323051 | 0.00859939 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6322783E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 2.4505627 | 5.632213E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.995299E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 1.2865783 | 1.2994879E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5135986E-4 | 5.7E-4 | 0.6695171 | 9.2130026E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008510157 | 0.00453 | 0.5323051 | 0.00859939 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6322783E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 2.4505627 | 5.632213E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.995299E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 1.2865783 | 1.2994879E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5135986E-4 | 5.7E-4 | 0.6695171 | 9.2130026E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008510157 | 0.00453 | 0.5323051 | 0.00859939 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6322783E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 2.4505627 | 5.632213E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.995299E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 1.2865783 | 1.2994879E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5135986E-4 | 5.7E-4 | 0.6695171 | 9.2130026E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008510157 | 0.00453 | 0.5323051 | 0.00859939 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6322783E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 2.4505627 | 5.632213E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.995299E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 1.2865783 | 1.2994879E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5135986E-4 | 5.7E-4 | 0.6695171 | 9.2130026E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008510157 | 0.00453 | 0.5323051 | 0.00859939 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.202681E-6 | 1.3846059E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 2.8889086 | 5.3845506E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 3.9439463E-5 | 5.9338956E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 1.3481869 | 1.193354E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 4.800697E-4 | 7.2222133E-4 | 4.9E-4 | 0.6784624 | 7.9217076E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.004790339 | 0.0072273402 | 0.0038 | 0.5257813 | 0.00731669 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.019164E-6 | 1.3651728E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 2.930032 | 5.3651183E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 3.8652986E-5 | 5.8506146E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 1.3673778 | 1.18502634E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 4.7049852E-4 | 7.1208854E-4 | 4.9E-4 | 0.68811667 | 7.8203867E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.004695036 | 0.0071266647 | 0.00377 | 0.5289992 | 0.0072160233 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.673558E-6 | 1.3273839E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 3.0134463 | 5.3273307E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 3.717186E-5 | 5.688669E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 1.4063044 | 1.16883275E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 4.524734E-4 | 6.923842E-4 | 4.9E-4 | 0.70769954 | 7.623357E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0045155324 | 0.0069308523 | 0.00369 | 0.53240204 | 0.0070202285 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.002255E-6 | 1.1478069E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 3.484907 | 5.1477607E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 3.000932E-5 | 4.9190832E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 1.6263193 | 1.0918788E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 3.653022E-4 | 5.9874065E-4 | 4.4E-4 | 0.7348758 | 6.6869875E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0036470229 | 0.005999676 | 0.0032 | 0.53336215 | 0.0060891355 | 9.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.84644E-6 | 9.675359E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 4.1342134 | 4.967497E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 2.5055931E-5 | 4.146519E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 1.929329 | 1.01462705E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 3.0501327E-4 | 5.047263E-4 | 3.5E-4 | 0.6934451 | 5.74691E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0030459496 | 0.005063994 | 0.00274 | 0.5410749 | 0.005153538 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.54703E-6 | 9.329834E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 4.2873216 | 4.932946E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 2.377277E-5 | 3.9984414E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 2.0007796 | 9.998202E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 2.8939504E-4 | 4.8670598E-4 | 3.5E-4 | 0.71912 | 5.566719E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0028901845 | 0.0048845876 | 0.00267 | 0.5466173 | 0.004974148 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.384709E-6 | 7.681918E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 5.207033 | 4.768161E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.8791474E-5 | 3.292211E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 2.429978 | 9.2920134E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 2.2876218E-4 | 4.0075663E-4 | 3.1E-4 | 0.7735368 | 4.7072858E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0022852682 | 0.004028542 | 0.00225 | 0.5585147 | 0.0041181794 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.7888456E-6 | 6.915788E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 5.783867 | 4.6915513E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.623781E-5 | 2.9638775E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 2.361771 | 7.963729E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.9767738E-4 | 3.6079568E-4 | 2.7E-4 | 0.748346 | 4.2077404E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0019750162 | 0.00363027 | 0.00193 | 0.5316409 | 0.0037099796 | 8.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.1982462E-6 | 5.0241033E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 7.96162 | 4.5023902E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 9.421021E-6 | 2.1531694E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 3.2510214 | 7.1530616E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1469489E-4 | 2.6211704E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 0.72486705 | 3.221013E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0011463572 | 0.0026460327 | 0.00136 | 0.513977 | 0.002725821 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.051923E-6 | 4.6153277E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 8.666774 | 4.4615143E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 8.793926E-6 | 1.9779825E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 3.0333936 | 6.9778835E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.0706078E-4 | 2.4079291E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.74753034 | 3.0077845E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0010700922 | 0.0024335932 | 0.00123 | 0.5054255 | 0.0025133984 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.8733427E-6 | 4.1236603E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 9.700119 | 4.4123495E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 8.028587E-6 | 1.7672712E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 3.3950648 | 6.767183E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 9.774366E-5 | 2.151441E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 0.79016805 | 2.751312E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 9.770069E-4 | 0.0021782513 | 0.00109 | 0.50040144 | 0.002258077 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.8411953E-6 | 4.0433315E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 9.892832 | 4.404317E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 7.890813E-6 | 1.732845E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 3.4625142 | 6.7327586E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 9.606641E-5 | 2.1095353E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 0.8058647 | 2.7094086E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 9.6024893E-4 | 0.0021365292 | 0.00108 | 0.50549275 | 0.0022163582 | 8.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.7194251E-6 | 3.71068E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 10.7796955 | 4.371053E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 7.368944E-6 | 1.5902819E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 3.7729163 | 6.590202E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 8.97132E-5 | 1.9359968E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 0.87810063 | 2.5358808E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 8.967699E-4 | 0.0019624757 | 0.001 | 0.50956047 | 0.0020423187 | 8.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.4035052E-6 | 2.9502596E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 10.168596 | 3.295017E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 6.0150082E-6 | 1.2643909E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 3.9544733 | 5.2643405E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 7.3230265E-5 | 1.5392878E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.9095115 | 2.0392108E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 7.3206134E-4 | 0.0015631174 | 8.2E-4 | 0.52459276 | 0.0016330079 | 7.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.9318823E-7 | 5.528477E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.528477E-7 | 0.0 | 1.6850913E-6 | 2.3693453E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3693453E-6 | 0.0 | 2.0515794E-5 | 2.8846403E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.039991 | 3.8846116E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0513899E-4 | 2.990952E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 0.5683809 | 3.0909223E-4 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.596793E-7 | 1.13775044E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.13775044E-7 | 0.0 | 6.8433974E-7 | 4.876072E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.876072E-7 | 0.0 | 8.331805E-6 | 5.936602E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.936602E-6 | 0.0 | 8.331492E-5 | 6.5494125E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.6107418 | 6.5494125E-5 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.9003038E-8 | 2.5435753E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5435753E-8 | 0.0 | 2.10013E-7 | 1.09010365E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.09010365E-7 | 0.0 | 2.5569052E-6 | 1.3272004E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3272004E-6 | 0.0 | 2.556876E-5 | 1.4952613E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4952613E-5 | 0.0 |
Pitas Point (Lower West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.855796E-6 | 5.0E-5 | 6.3647275 | 5.7855403E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3667267E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 2.0791707 | 8.366558E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0982262E-4 | 3.5E-4 | 0.854028 | 4.6979805E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.004090749 | 0.00371 | 0.9069243 | 0.004180381 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.855796E-6 | 5.0E-5 | 6.3647275 | 5.7855403E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3667267E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 2.0791707 | 8.366558E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0982262E-4 | 3.5E-4 | 0.854028 | 4.6979805E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.004090749 | 0.00371 | 0.9069243 | 0.004180381 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.855796E-6 | 5.0E-5 | 6.3647275 | 5.7855403E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3667267E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 2.0791707 | 8.366558E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0982262E-4 | 3.5E-4 | 0.854028 | 4.6979805E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.004090749 | 0.00371 | 0.9069243 | 0.004180381 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.855796E-6 | 5.0E-5 | 6.3647275 | 5.7855403E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3667267E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 2.0791707 | 8.366558E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0982262E-4 | 3.5E-4 | 0.854028 | 4.6979805E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.004090749 | 0.00371 | 0.9069243 | 0.004180381 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.855796E-6 | 5.0E-5 | 6.3647275 | 5.7855403E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3667267E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 2.0791707 | 8.366558E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0982262E-4 | 3.5E-4 | 0.854028 | 4.6979805E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.004090749 | 0.00371 | 0.9069243 | 0.004180381 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.855796E-6 | 5.0E-5 | 6.3647275 | 5.7855403E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3667267E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 2.0791707 | 8.366558E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0982262E-4 | 3.5E-4 | 0.854028 | 4.6979805E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.004090749 | 0.00371 | 0.9069243 | 0.004180381 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.855796E-6 | 5.0E-5 | 6.3647275 | 5.7855403E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3667267E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 2.0791707 | 8.366558E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0982262E-4 | 3.5E-4 | 0.854028 | 4.6979805E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.004090749 | 0.00371 | 0.9069243 | 0.004180381 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.855796E-6 | 5.0E-5 | 6.3647275 | 5.7855403E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3667267E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 2.0791707 | 8.366558E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0982262E-4 | 3.5E-4 | 0.854028 | 4.6979805E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.004090749 | 0.00371 | 0.9069243 | 0.004180381 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.855796E-6 | 5.0E-5 | 6.3647275 | 5.7855403E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3667267E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 2.0791707 | 8.366558E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0982262E-4 | 3.5E-4 | 0.854028 | 4.6979805E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.004090749 | 0.00371 | 0.9069243 | 0.004180381 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.855796E-6 | 5.0E-5 | 6.3647275 | 5.7855403E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3667267E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 2.0791707 | 8.366558E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.0982262E-4 | 3.5E-4 | 0.854028 | 4.6979805E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0042443196 | 0.004090749 | 0.00371 | 0.9069243 | 0.004180381 | 9.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.103535E-6 | 7.805226E-6 | 5.0E-5 | 6.4059644 | 5.7804835E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4728975E-5 | 3.3450542E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 2.0926416 | 8.344887E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 4.2274324E-4 | 4.07185E-4 | 3.5E-4 | 0.85956013 | 4.6716057E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0042193993 | 0.0040644696 | 0.00369 | 0.90786755 | 0.004154104 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.853298E-6 | 7.540917E-6 | 5.0E-5 | 6.630493 | 5.754054E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 3.3656554E-5 | 3.2317817E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 2.1659877 | 8.2316204E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 4.096915E-4 | 3.9339912E-4 | 3.4E-4 | 0.8642622 | 4.533755E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.00408937 | 0.0039271032 | 0.0035 | 0.8912422 | 0.0040167496 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.771102E-6 | 7.453199E-6 | 5.0E-5 | 6.708529 | 5.7452828E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 3.33043E-5 | 3.1941894E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 2.1914794 | 8.19403E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 4.0540437E-4 | 3.8882386E-4 | 3.4E-4 | 0.87443197 | 4.4880054E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0040466557 | 0.003881511 | 0.00348 | 0.89655805 | 0.003971162 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.3945344E-6 | 7.0493033E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 5.6743197 | 4.7049023E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 3.1690477E-5 | 3.0210955E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.9860346 | 7.0209746E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 3.8576324E-4 | 3.677569E-4 | 3.1E-4 | 0.84294814 | 4.177385E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0038509427 | 0.003671551 | 0.00331 | 0.9015264 | 0.0037512572 | 8.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.964645E-6 | 6.5901527E-6 | 4.0E-5 | 6.069662 | 4.658989E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 2.9848137E-5 | 2.8243208E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 2.1244047 | 6.824208E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 3.6334046E-4 | 3.438073E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.87258184 | 3.937901E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0036274698 | 0.0034328073 | 0.00303 | 0.88265955 | 0.0035125327 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.6525035E-6 | 6.259191E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 4.7929516 | 3.6259004E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.851042E-5 | 2.6824831E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.8639446 | 5.6824025E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.4705905E-4 | 3.2654387E-4 | 2.9E-4 | 0.888089 | 3.665308E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0034651754 | 0.0032606919 | 0.00286 | 0.8771145 | 0.0033304635 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.613338E-6 | 5.15142E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 3.8824248 | 2.5151317E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.405694E-5 | 2.2077327E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.8118135 | 4.2076885E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.928539E-4 | 2.6875862E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 0.7813703 | 2.9875056E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0029246826 | 0.0026843674 | 0.00225 | 0.83818626 | 0.00272426 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.494704E-6 | 3.996945E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 5.003822 | 2.3996865E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9262876E-5 | 1.7129652E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 2.3351321 | 3.712931E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3450027E-4 | 2.0853379E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.62340015 | 2.2852962E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023425296 | 0.0020834052 | 0.00166 | 0.79677254 | 0.0021033634 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.6075882E-6 | 2.1836663E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 9.158908 | 2.2183624E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.117533E-5 | 9.358537E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1370862 | 2.9358349E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3605114E-4 | 1.1393427E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.3510796 | 1.33932E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013596788 | 0.0011387634 | 8.5E-4 | 0.7464238 | 0.0011587406 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.045984E-7 | 3.2424057E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2424057E-7 | 0.0 | 1.733992E-6 | 1.3896017E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3896017E-6 | 0.0 | 2.1111147E-5 | 1.6918271E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6918271E-5 | 0.0 | 2.1109142E-4 | 1.6917015E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.59112084 | 1.6917015E-4 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.6836056E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.6836056E-9 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.4358311E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4358311E-8 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.965624E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.965624E-7 | 0.0 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.9656223E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3719735 | 2.9656223E-6 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2706755E-5 | 1.4250602E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4250602E-5 | 0.0 | 5.4456385E-5 | 6.107279E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 0.98243433 | 8.1071565E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 6.628048E-4 | 7.433441E-4 | 5.1E-4 | 0.68608874 | 7.933069E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006608314 | 0.007413639 | 0.00553 | 0.74592245 | 0.007493046 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.342579E-6 | 9.510835E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.510835E-6 | 0.0 | 3.5753423E-5 | 4.076021E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.076021E-5 | 0.0 | 4.3521097E-4 | 4.9616426E-4 | 2.9E-4 | 0.58448386 | 5.1615434E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0043435963 | 0.004954155 | 0.00311 | 0.6277559 | 0.0049840063 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.923899E-6 | 7.967221E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.967221E-6 | 0.0 | 2.9673516E-5 | 3.4144894E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4144894E-5 | 0.0 | 3.6121515E-4 | 4.1565404E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 0.5292863 | 4.3564572E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003606286 | 0.0041521094 | 0.0025 | 0.6021036 | 0.004172026 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.728396E-6 | 3.4243646E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4243646E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1693074E-5 | 1.4675771E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4675771E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4235388E-4 | 1.7866373E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.6716528 | 1.9866016E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014226272 | 0.0017867433 | 0.00103 | 0.5764678 | 0.0018067076 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7136944E-6 | 3.4086581E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4086581E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1630066E-5 | 1.4608458E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4608458E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4158686E-4 | 1.7784433E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.6747474 | 1.9784077E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014149669 | 0.0017785623 | 0.00102 | 0.5734969 | 0.0017985267 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.6971882E-6 | 3.3910032E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3910032E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1559327E-5 | 1.4532795E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4532795E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4072572E-4 | 1.7692328E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.6782601 | 1.9691975E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014063664 | 0.0017693666 | 0.00101 | 0.57082576 | 0.0017893312 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.669092E-6 | 3.3610236E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3610236E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1438916E-5 | 1.4404312E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4404312E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3925991E-4 | 1.7535927E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.6843095 | 1.9535575E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013917267 | 0.0017537511 | 0.00101 | 0.5759084 | 0.0017737161 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6408059E-6 | 3.3310494E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3310494E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1317691E-5 | 1.4275853E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4275853E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3778417E-4 | 1.737955E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.69046664 | 1.9379203E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013769877 | 0.0017381381 | 0.001 | 0.5753283 | 0.0017581034 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.1786943E-6 | 2.8545066E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8545066E-6 | 0.0 | 9.337228E-6 | 1.2233547E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2233547E-5 | 0.0 | 1.1367482E-4 | 1.4893398E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.7385823 | 1.68931E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011361669 | 0.0014898704 | 8.5E-4 | 0.57051945 | 0.0015098406 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.4411696E-6 | 2.0685677E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0685677E-6 | 0.0 | 6.1764263E-6 | 8.865261E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.865261E-6 | 0.0 | 7.51954E-5 | 1.0792949E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.8338778 | 1.2792733E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 7.5169955E-4 | 0.0010802548 | 5.7E-4 | 0.5276533 | 0.0011002332 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0073411E-6 | 1.5543274E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5543274E-6 | 0.0 | 4.317169E-6 | 6.661387E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.661387E-6 | 0.0 | 5.2560266E-5 | 8.109952E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.6165264 | 9.109871E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2547833E-4 | 8.1217213E-4 | 4.5E-4 | 0.5540697 | 8.2216406E-4 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.947104E-7 | 1.430316E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.430316E-6 | 0.0 | 3.834468E-6 | 6.1299124E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.1299124E-6 | 0.0 | 4.6683643E-5 | 7.462928E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.6699784 | 8.462853E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6673836E-4 | 7.4751483E-4 | 4.4E-4 | 0.5886171 | 7.5750734E-4 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.215166E-7 | 1.0112277E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0112277E-6 | 0.0 | 2.2350691E-6 | 4.333826E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.333826E-6 | 0.0 | 2.7211627E-5 | 5.27631E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.3790528 | 6.276257E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7208295E-4 | 5.289683E-4 | 2.4E-4 | 0.45371342 | 5.3896295E-4 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.4024807E-7 | 9.220183E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.220183E-7 | 0.0 | 1.8867761E-6 | 3.951501E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.951501E-6 | 0.0 | 2.2971257E-5 | 4.8108504E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.4157269 | 5.8108024E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2968883E-4 | 4.824433E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 0.45601213 | 4.924385E-4 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.6130905E-7 | 8.359109E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.359109E-7 | 0.0 | 1.5484665E-6 | 3.5824705E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5824705E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8852415E-5 | 4.3615746E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.229275 | 5.361531E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8850817E-4 | 4.3752496E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 0.47997263 | 4.4752058E-4 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.408184E-7 | 8.1087245E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.1087245E-7 | 0.0 | 1.4606494E-6 | 3.475163E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.475163E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7783263E-5 | 4.230933E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.23635449 | 5.2308907E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.778184E-4 | 4.2444657E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.47120184 | 4.344423E-4 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.1428627E-7 | 7.732167E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.732167E-7 | 0.0 | 1.3469405E-6 | 3.313782E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.313782E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6398877E-5 | 4.0344585E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0344585E-5 | 0.0 | 1.6397667E-4 | 4.0477706E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 0.4693942 | 4.0477706E-4 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7972785E-7 | 5.0782415E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0782415E-7 | 0.0 | 7.70262E-7 | 2.1763874E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1763874E-6 | 0.0 | 9.377899E-6 | 2.6497206E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6497206E-5 | 0.0 | 9.377503E-5 | 2.6633305E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.52565765 | 2.6633305E-4 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.9230927E-8 | 1.1981747E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1981747E-7 | 0.0 | 2.1098968E-7 | 5.135033E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.135033E-7 | 0.0 | 2.5687964E-6 | 6.2518866E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.2518866E-6 | 0.0 | 2.5687666E-5 | 6.2971965E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.4764025 | 6.2971965E-5 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.6805972E-9 | 4.1051638E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1051638E-9 | 0.0 | 1.5773987E-8 | 1.7593557E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593557E-8 | 0.0 | 1.9204828E-7 | 2.1420155E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1420155E-7 | 0.0 | 1.920481E-6 | 2.1898923E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1898923E-6 | 0.0 |
Monterey Bay-Tularcitos
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.279877E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.30488947 | 3.279877E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.4055918E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.35572204 | 1.4055918E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001571 | 0.0017100703 | 9.5E-4 | 0.55553275 | 0.001730036 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015599402 | 0.016979916 | 0.01127 | 0.66372526 | 0.017048728 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.279877E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.30488947 | 3.279877E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.4055918E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.35572204 | 1.4055918E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001571 | 0.0017100703 | 9.5E-4 | 0.55553275 | 0.001730036 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015599402 | 0.016979916 | 0.01127 | 0.66372526 | 0.017048728 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.279877E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.30488947 | 3.279877E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.4055918E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.35572204 | 1.4055918E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001571 | 0.0017100703 | 9.5E-4 | 0.55553275 | 0.001730036 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015599402 | 0.016979916 | 0.01127 | 0.66372526 | 0.017048728 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6998249E-5 | 1.8330798E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.54552996 | 1.8330798E-5 | 0.0 | 7.28476E-5 | 7.85583E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.50917596 | 7.85583E-5 | 0.0 | 8.865586E-4 | 9.5604634E-4 | 6.5E-4 | 0.67988336 | 9.6603675E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0088303005 | 0.009521258 | 0.00643 | 0.67533094 | 0.009570782 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6998249E-5 | 1.8330798E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.54552996 | 1.8330798E-5 | 0.0 | 7.28476E-5 | 7.85583E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.50917596 | 7.85583E-5 | 0.0 | 8.865586E-4 | 9.5604634E-4 | 6.5E-4 | 0.67988336 | 9.6603675E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0088303005 | 0.009521258 | 0.00643 | 0.67533094 | 0.009570782 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.27470785E-5 | 1.3693312E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.7302835 | 1.3693312E-5 | 0.0 | 5.4629192E-5 | 5.8684363E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.34080628 | 5.8684363E-5 | 0.0 | 6.649074E-4 | 7.1425823E-4 | 4.6E-4 | 0.6440247 | 7.242511E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066292146 | 0.007120678 | 0.00488 | 0.68532795 | 0.0071703224 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2739422E-5 | 1.36854E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.73070574 | 1.36854E-5 | 0.0 | 5.4596385E-5 | 5.8650454E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.34100333 | 5.8650454E-5 | 0.0 | 6.645082E-4 | 7.1384566E-4 | 4.6E-4 | 0.644397 | 7.238385E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066252467 | 0.007116579 | 0.00488 | 0.68572277 | 0.007166223 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0160109E-5 | 1.0885755E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0885755E-5 | 0.0 | 4.35426E-5 | 4.665244E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.21435106 | 4.665244E-5 | 0.0 | 5.300022E-4 | 5.6785246E-4 | 3.6E-4 | 0.63396746 | 5.778468E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005287399 | 0.0056647263 | 0.00398 | 0.70259356 | 0.005714443 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.349859E-6 | 8.932587E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.932587E-6 | 0.0 | 3.578462E-5 | 3.8281985E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.26121947 | 3.8281985E-5 | 0.0 | 4.3559066E-4 | 4.6598914E-4 | 3.4E-4 | 0.7296307 | 4.759845E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004347378 | 0.004650685 | 0.00333 | 0.7160235 | 0.004690499 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.193639E-6 | 5.53643E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.53643E-6 | 0.0 | 2.2258262E-5 | 2.372736E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.4214544 | 2.372736E-5 | 0.0 | 2.7096065E-4 | 2.8884556E-4 | 2.3E-4 | 0.7962733 | 2.9884267E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027063051 | 0.0028850224 | 0.00211 | 0.7313635 | 0.002924907 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.359381E-6 | 4.643366E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.643366E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8682927E-5 | 1.9900004E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9900004E-5 | 0.0 | 2.274409E-4 | 2.422586E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 0.7842859 | 2.5225617E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022720827 | 0.002420238 | 0.00182 | 0.75199217 | 0.0024601412 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.0398533E-6 | 3.2310427E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2310427E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3027877E-5 | 1.3847267E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3847267E-5 | 0.0 | 1.5860285E-4 | 1.6858005E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.711828 | 1.7857837E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001584897 | 0.0016847793 | 0.00133 | 0.7894209 | 0.0017047457 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.642335E-6 | 1.7333153E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7333153E-6 | 0.0 | 7.0385595E-6 | 7.428485E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.428485E-6 | 0.0 | 8.569109E-5 | 9.044012E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 0.8845632 | 1.0043921E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5658056E-4 | 9.042358E-4 | 7.8E-4 | 0.8626068 | 9.2421775E-4 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.356842E-7 | 3.2952389E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2952389E-7 | 0.0 | 1.4386458E-6 | 1.4122445E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4122445E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7515373E-5 | 1.7193941E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1632004 | 2.719377E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7513991E-4 | 1.719262E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 0.9887963 | 1.9192277E-4 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.1973483E-7 | 2.1006414E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1006414E-7 | 0.0 | 9.417204E-7 | 9.002746E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.002746E-7 | 0.0 | 1.1465385E-5 | 1.0960788E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8246863 | 2.0960679E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1464794E-4 | 1.0960251E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 1.0036266 | 1.1960141E-4 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1944135E-7 | 1.0696035E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0696035E-7 | 0.0 | 5.118914E-7 | 4.5840142E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5840142E-7 | 0.0 | 6.23226E-6 | 5.581023E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7917862 | 5.581023E-6 | 0.0 | 6.2320854E-5 | 5.5808843E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.7167323 | 5.5808843E-5 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.636058E-8 | 3.3364433E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3364433E-8 | 0.0 | 1.9868818E-7 | 1.4299042E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4299042E-7 | 0.0 | 2.419026E-6 | 1.740907E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.740907E-6 | 0.0 | 2.4189996E-5 | 1.7408936E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7408936E-5 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.8588572E-8 | 8.003168E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.003168E-9 | 0.0 | 7.9665305E-8 | 3.429929E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.429929E-8 | 0.0 | 9.699246E-7 | 4.1759378E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1759378E-7 | 0.0 | 9.699204E-6 | 4.1759304E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.1759304E-6 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7960154E-9 | 7.608624E-10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.608624E-10 | 0.0 | 1.1982923E-8 | 3.2608392E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2608392E-9 | 0.0 | 1.4589209E-7 | 3.9700716E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9700716E-8 | 0.0 | 1.4589199E-6 | 3.970071E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.970071E-7 | 0.0 |
Ortigalita (South)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.72394E-5 | 4.32556E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.9247358 | 7.3254305E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5958765E-4 | 1.8536886E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 0.8631439 | 2.153633E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019412481 | 0.0022546863 | 0.00158 | 0.7007627 | 0.0023245285 | 7.0E-5 | 0.019243775 | 0.022334501 | 0.01738 | 0.77816826 | 0.02242249 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.7299884E-5 | 3.1492036E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.9526218 | 5.1491406E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.16994255E-4 | 1.349592E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 1.0373505 | 1.549565E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014234743 | 0.0016419457 | 0.00119 | 0.7247499 | 0.0017018472 | 6.0E-5 | 0.014143906 | 0.016304072 | 0.01315 | 0.806547 | 0.01637293 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.7299884E-5 | 3.1492036E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.9526218 | 5.1491406E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.16994255E-4 | 1.349592E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 1.0373505 | 1.549565E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014234743 | 0.0016419457 | 0.00119 | 0.7247499 | 0.0017018472 | 6.0E-5 | 0.014143906 | 0.016304072 | 0.01315 | 0.806547 | 0.01637293 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0546433E-5 | 2.3631454E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.8463297 | 3.3631215E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 8.805317E-5 | 1.0127383E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.69119537 | 1.1127282E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00107152 | 0.0012323305 | 7.8E-4 | 0.63294715 | 0.0012622934 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010663681 | 0.012257031 | 0.00978 | 0.7979094 | 0.012296541 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0546433E-5 | 2.3631454E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.8463297 | 3.3631215E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 8.805317E-5 | 1.0127383E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.69119537 | 1.1127282E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00107152 | 0.0012323305 | 7.8E-4 | 0.63294715 | 0.0012622934 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010663681 | 0.012257031 | 0.00978 | 0.7979094 | 0.012296541 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7779594E-5 | 2.0446974E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.9781398 | 3.044677E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 7.619603E-5 | 8.762703E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 0.7988403 | 9.762615E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 9.272918E-4 | 0.0010663505 | 6.7E-4 | 0.6283113 | 0.0010963185 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009234319 | 0.010613804 | 0.00849 | 0.7999017 | 0.010653379 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.6272212E-5 | 1.8714967E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0686634 | 2.871478E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 6.973618E-5 | 8.0204605E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 0.7480867 | 9.020381E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 8.487073E-4 | 9.760659E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.6147126 | 9.960464E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008454733 | 0.009719091 | 0.00786 | 0.80871767 | 0.009748799 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3051484E-5 | 1.5038758E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.329897 | 2.5038607E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 5.593373E-5 | 6.445028E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 0.93095016 | 7.4449636E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 6.807804E-4 | 7.844092E-4 | 5.3E-4 | 0.67566776 | 7.9440133E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006786986 | 0.007817388 | 0.00654 | 0.8365966 | 0.007837231 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.04277415E-5 | 1.1987235E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6684414 | 2.1987114E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4689557E-5 | 5.1372896E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.9732759 | 6.137238E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 5.439595E-4 | 6.2529295E-4 | 3.9E-4 | 0.62370765 | 6.352867E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0054262993 | 0.00623609 | 0.00532 | 0.8530987 | 0.006255965 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.639968E-6 | 8.791503E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1374619 | 1.8791416E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.274231E-5 | 3.767736E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0616455 | 4.7676982E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9856473E-4 | 4.586312E-4 | 2.7E-4 | 0.58870834 | 4.686266E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003978506 | 0.004577433 | 0.00377 | 0.8236057 | 0.0045973416 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.919831E-6 | 4.5334014E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5334014E-6 | 0.0 | 1.679917E-5 | 1.942873E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.51470166 | 1.942873E-5 | 0.0 | 2.045107E-4 | 2.3652123E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.42279503 | 2.3652123E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0020432258 | 0.0023629034 | 0.0019 | 0.80409545 | 0.0023629034 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.6017933E-6 | 1.8570418E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8570418E-6 | 0.0 | 6.8648105E-6 | 7.958732E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.958732E-6 | 0.0 | 8.357586E-5 | 9.689432E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.41282088 | 9.689432E-5 | 0.0 | 8.3544437E-4 | 9.686254E-4 | 9.7E-4 | 1.0014191 | 9.686254E-4 | 0.0 |
Chino alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.939946E-5 | 4.894798E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.40859705 | 6.8947E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6884391E-4 | 2.0976314E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.4767282 | 2.2975894E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020537362 | 0.002551385 | 0.00162 | 0.6349492 | 0.002611232 | 6.0E-5 | 0.020348595 | 0.025280168 | 0.01685 | 0.6665304 | 0.025367893 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.6878823E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.3720401 | 3.6878555E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.15190494E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.43406358 | 1.2518934E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0014016517 | 8.8E-4 | 0.62783074 | 0.0014316096 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011158722 | 0.013947425 | 0.00937 | 0.6718086 | 0.013986867 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.6878823E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.3720401 | 3.6878555E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.15190494E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.43406358 | 1.2518934E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0014016517 | 8.8E-4 | 0.62783074 | 0.0014316096 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011158722 | 0.013947425 | 0.00937 | 0.6718086 | 0.013986867 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.8164832E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.5505143 | 2.816465E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.784722E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.25691348 | 8.7846434E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.4742293E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.6332969 | 9.67404E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007429048 | 0.00944674 | 0.00608 | 0.6436083 | 0.009476457 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.8164832E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.5505143 | 2.816465E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.784722E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.25691348 | 8.7846434E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.4742293E-4 | 6.0E-4 | 0.6332969 | 9.67404E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007429048 | 0.00944674 | 0.00608 | 0.6436083 | 0.009476457 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3017944E-5 | 1.6651793E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.6005359 | 2.6651625E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5789995E-5 | 7.1363116E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.1401284 | 8.136241E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 6.790315E-4 | 8.6854334E-4 | 5.2E-4 | 0.59870356 | 8.88526E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0067696036 | 0.008664233 | 0.00542 | 0.6255603 | 0.008693973 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.470016E-6 | 1.2039209E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2039209E-5 | 0.0 | 4.058515E-5 | 5.159578E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.159578E-5 | 0.0 | 4.940122E-4 | 6.280315E-4 | 3.6E-4 | 0.57321966 | 6.3802523E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004929154 | 0.006273248 | 0.00381 | 0.60734093 | 0.006293122 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.314155E-6 | 1.040749E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.040749E-5 | 0.0 | 3.5631605E-5 | 4.4602948E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4602948E-5 | 0.0 | 4.3372845E-4 | 5.4293784E-4 | 3.3E-4 | 0.6078044 | 5.529324E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004328829 | 0.0054270807 | 0.00334 | 0.61543214 | 0.0054469723 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4856364E-6 | 3.8134033E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.8134033E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4938357E-5 | 1.6343065E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6343065E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8185932E-4 | 1.9896074E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.65339524 | 1.9896074E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0018171056 | 0.0019894529 | 0.00142 | 0.7137641 | 0.001999433 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2645952E-6 | 2.152909E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.152909E-6 | 0.0 | 9.705372E-6 | 9.226722E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.226722E-6 | 0.0 | 1.18156495E-4 | 1.12329755E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.71218884 | 1.12329755E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0011809369 | 0.0011233138 | 7.8E-4 | 0.6943741 | 0.0011333026 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7864003E-6 | 1.5430741E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5430741E-6 | 0.0 | 7.655979E-6 | 6.613158E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.613158E-6 | 0.0 | 9.3207556E-5 | 8.051228E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.4968186 | 8.051228E-5 | 0.0 | 9.316847E-4 | 8.052856E-4 | 5.3E-4 | 0.65815157 | 8.052856E-4 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.7315456E-6 | 1.4733466E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4733466E-6 | 0.0 | 7.420889E-6 | 6.314328E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.314328E-6 | 0.0 | 9.034557E-5 | 7.687428E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.39024752 | 7.687428E-5 | 0.0 | 9.0308854E-4 | 7.68921E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.6502619 | 7.68921E-4 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.6008337E-6 | 1.3574178E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3574178E-6 | 0.0 | 6.860698E-6 | 5.817492E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.817492E-6 | 0.0 | 8.352579E-5 | 7.082572E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.42357495 | 7.082572E-5 | 0.0 | 8.34944E-4 | 7.0846075E-4 | 4.6E-4 | 0.649295 | 7.0846075E-4 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3320939E-6 | 1.1217794E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1217794E-6 | 0.0 | 5.7089615E-6 | 4.8076176E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.8076176E-6 | 0.0 | 6.9504385E-5 | 5.853122E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.341698 | 5.853122E-5 | 0.0 | 6.9482654E-4 | 5.8530655E-4 | 3.6E-4 | 0.6150623 | 5.8530655E-4 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.114294E-6 | 9.237087E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.237087E-7 | 0.0 | 4.775537E-6 | 3.9587458E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9587458E-6 | 0.0 | 5.8140613E-5 | 4.81967E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.4149662 | 4.81967E-5 | 0.0 | 5.81254E-4 | 4.8187698E-4 | 3.1E-4 | 0.6433177 | 4.8187698E-4 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.354081E-7 | 7.6233886E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.6233886E-7 | 0.0 | 4.0088858E-6 | 3.2671626E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2671626E-6 | 0.0 | 4.8807087E-5 | 3.9777013E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.25140148 | 3.9777013E-5 | 0.0 | 4.879637E-4 | 3.9770233E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 0.62861085 | 3.9770233E-4 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.521771E-7 | 6.880688E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.880688E-7 | 0.0 | 3.6521824E-6 | 2.948863E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.948863E-6 | 0.0 | 4.4464414E-5 | 3.590185E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.27853718 | 3.590185E-5 | 0.0 | 4.4455516E-4 | 3.5896365E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 0.58501744 | 3.5896365E-4 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.1803626E-7 | 1.4186368E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4186368E-7 | 0.0 | 9.344408E-7 | 6.0798715E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0798715E-7 | 0.0 | 1.1376757E-5 | 7.4022278E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.4022278E-6 | 0.0 | 1.13761744E-4 | 7.402077E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.6754861 | 7.402077E-5 | 0.0 |
Palos Verdes
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.622572E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.65594655 | 9.62242E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.266441E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.5510585 | 3.7662778E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0039701737 | 0.00199 | 0.5012375 | 0.004049856 | 8.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.03904909 | 0.02071 | 0.5303581 | 0.039135575 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.622572E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.65594655 | 9.62242E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.266441E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.5510585 | 3.7662778E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0039701737 | 0.00199 | 0.5012375 | 0.004049856 | 8.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.03904909 | 0.02071 | 0.5303581 | 0.039135575 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.622572E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.65594655 | 9.62242E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.266441E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.5510585 | 3.7662778E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0039701737 | 0.00199 | 0.5012375 | 0.004049856 | 8.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.03904909 | 0.02071 | 0.5303581 | 0.039135575 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.9749007E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9749007E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1319388E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.42215097 | 2.3318961E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021286458 | 0.002592754 | 0.00139 | 0.53610945 | 0.0026226763 | 3.0E-5 | 0.021083709 | 0.025646746 | 0.01363 | 0.5314514 | 0.025675977 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.9749007E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9749007E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1319388E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.42215097 | 2.3318961E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021286458 | 0.002592754 | 0.00139 | 0.53610945 | 0.0026226763 | 3.0E-5 | 0.021083709 | 0.025646746 | 0.01363 | 0.5314514 | 0.025675977 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.0512005E-5 | 3.6561592E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6561592E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3075917E-4 | 1.566838E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.31911403 | 1.6668225E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015908304 | 0.001906072 | 0.00102 | 0.53513193 | 0.001916053 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015794903 | 0.018909173 | 0.01035 | 0.5473534 | 0.018918984 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9255087E-5 | 3.5154393E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5154393E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2537291E-4 | 1.5065364E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.3318871 | 1.6065213E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015253464 | 0.0018327782 | 9.6E-4 | 0.52379495 | 0.0018427599 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015149189 | 0.018188244 | 0.01 | 0.5498057 | 0.018198062 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.287198E-5 | 2.724828E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.724828E-5 | 0.0 | 9.801909E-5 | 1.16773626E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.3425431 | 1.2677246E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001192729 | 0.0014208833 | 7.7E-4 | 0.5419164 | 0.0014308692 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011863477 | 0.014127217 | 0.00793 | 0.5613278 | 0.014137076 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.1325764E-5 | 2.5431878E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5431878E-5 | 0.0 | 9.139293E-5 | 1.0898972E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.3670071 | 1.18988624E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001112141 | 0.0013262323 | 7.3E-4 | 0.5504315 | 0.001336219 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011065915 | 0.013192211 | 0.00737 | 0.55866295 | 0.01320208 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.9009392E-5 | 2.2613547E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2613547E-5 | 0.0 | 8.1466285E-5 | 9.6912096E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.41274518 | 1.0691113E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 9.914007E-4 | 0.0011793535 | 6.6E-4 | 0.55962867 | 0.0011893417 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009869894 | 0.011739633 | 0.00651 | 0.5545318 | 0.011749515 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7098473E-5 | 2.0319356E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0319356E-5 | 0.0 | 7.3277115E-5 | 8.708052E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.45934495 | 9.7079654E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 8.917837E-4 | 0.001059775 | 6.0E-4 | 0.56615794 | 0.0010697644 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008882134 | 0.010555646 | 0.0059 | 0.55894256 | 0.010565541 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.5982785E-5 | 1.899476E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.899476E-5 | 0.0 | 6.849585E-5 | 8.1404054E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.49137604 | 9.1403235E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 8.336179E-4 | 9.907284E-4 | 5.4E-4 | 0.54505354 | 0.0010007184 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008304977 | 0.009871479 | 0.00553 | 0.56019974 | 0.009881381 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.4468002E-5 | 1.7197237E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7197237E-5 | 0.0 | 6.200425E-5 | 7.370083E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.54273474 | 8.370009E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 7.546402E-4 | 8.970222E-4 | 5.1E-4 | 0.5685478 | 9.0701325E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007520827 | 0.008942284 | 0.00494 | 0.5524316 | 0.008952194 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.288233E-6 | 6.2036747E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.2036747E-6 | 0.0 | 2.2663658E-5 | 2.6587102E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6587102E-5 | 0.0 | 2.7589512E-4 | 3.236848E-4 | 2.0E-4 | 0.61788505 | 3.236848E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0027555283 | 0.0032355562 | 0.00173 | 0.53468394 | 0.0032355562 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 8.279556E-7 | 8.408347E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.408347E-7 | 0.0 | 3.5483763E-6 | 3.6035726E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6035726E-6 | 0.0 | 4.3200624E-5 | 4.3872686E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.4558645 | 4.3872686E-5 | 0.0 | 4.3192226E-4 | 4.3864746E-4 | 2.3E-4 | 0.5243391 | 4.3864746E-4 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.559831E-7 | 6.667229E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.667229E-7 | 0.0 | 2.8113532E-6 | 2.857381E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.857381E-6 | 0.0 | 3.4227687E-5 | 3.4788125E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4788125E-5 | 0.0 | 3.4222414E-4 | 3.4783344E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 0.4599903 | 3.4783344E-4 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.5018968E-7 | 3.5620027E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5620027E-7 | 0.0 | 1.500812E-6 | 1.526572E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.526572E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8272232E-5 | 1.8585903E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8585903E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8270731E-4 | 1.8584808E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.37665173 | 1.8584808E-4 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.1986104E-7 | 1.2198376E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2198376E-7 | 0.0 | 5.1369005E-7 | 5.2278745E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.2278745E-7 | 0.0 | 6.2541585E-6 | 6.364919E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.364919E-6 | 0.0 | 6.2539824E-5 | 6.364741E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.31423116 | 6.364741E-5 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.0445005E-8 | 3.1027582E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1027582E-8 | 0.0 | 1.3047858E-7 | 1.3297536E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3297536E-7 | 0.0 | 1.5885756E-6 | 1.6189739E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6189739E-6 | 0.0 | 1.5885644E-5 | 1.6189642E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6189642E-5 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.660123E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 4.504421 | 3.6659923E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8543072E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7517385 | 5.8542217E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4745657E-4 | 2.8E-4 | 0.8058561 | 4.1743225E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035491167 | 0.00201 | 0.5663381 | 0.0036387972 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.660123E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 4.504421 | 3.6659923E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8543072E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7517385 | 5.8542217E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4745657E-4 | 2.8E-4 | 0.8058561 | 4.1743225E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035491167 | 0.00201 | 0.5663381 | 0.0036387972 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.660123E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 4.504421 | 3.6659923E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8543072E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7517385 | 5.8542217E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4745657E-4 | 2.8E-4 | 0.8058561 | 4.1743225E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035491167 | 0.00201 | 0.5663381 | 0.0036387972 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.660123E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 4.504421 | 3.6659923E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8543072E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7517385 | 5.8542217E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4745657E-4 | 2.8E-4 | 0.8058561 | 4.1743225E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035491167 | 0.00201 | 0.5663381 | 0.0036387972 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.660123E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 4.504421 | 3.6659923E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8543072E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7517385 | 5.8542217E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4745657E-4 | 2.8E-4 | 0.8058561 | 4.1743225E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035491167 | 0.00201 | 0.5663381 | 0.0036387972 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.6561875E-6 | 6.620341E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 4.5314884 | 3.6620142E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8526205E-5 | 2.8372582E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7622647 | 5.837173E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.472512E-4 | 3.453815E-4 | 2.8E-4 | 0.81069773 | 4.1535732E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0034670907 | 0.0035284322 | 0.00197 | 0.5583216 | 0.0036181146 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.6561875E-6 | 6.620341E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 4.5314884 | 3.6620142E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8526205E-5 | 2.8372582E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7622647 | 5.837173E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.472512E-4 | 3.453815E-4 | 2.8E-4 | 0.81069773 | 4.1535732E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0034670907 | 0.0035284322 | 0.00197 | 0.5583216 | 0.0036181146 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.5802237E-6 | 6.539518E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 4.5874944 | 3.653932E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8200653E-5 | 2.8026205E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7840447 | 5.802536E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.4328885E-4 | 3.4116567E-4 | 2.8E-4 | 0.8207156 | 4.111418E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0034275902 | 0.0034864065 | 0.00195 | 0.55931515 | 0.003576093 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.575632E-6 | 6.5340073E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 4.591363 | 3.6533813E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8180975E-5 | 2.8002589E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7855492 | 5.8001748E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.4304935E-4 | 3.4087826E-4 | 2.8E-4 | 0.8214076 | 4.1085438E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0034252026 | 0.0034835413 | 0.00195 | 0.5597752 | 0.003573228 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.570433E-6 | 6.525401E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 4.5974183 | 3.6525205E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8158694E-5 | 2.7965707E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.787904 | 5.7964866E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.4277816E-4 | 3.4042934E-4 | 2.8E-4 | 0.82249075 | 4.104055E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0034224992 | 0.0034790665 | 0.00195 | 0.5604952 | 0.0035687534 | 9.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.5643826E-6 | 6.5155223E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 4.604389 | 3.651533E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8132765E-5 | 2.7923368E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.790615 | 5.792253E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.424626E-4 | 3.3991406E-4 | 2.8E-4 | 0.8237376 | 4.0989026E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0034193532 | 0.0034739296 | 0.00193 | 0.5555668 | 0.003563617 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.557402E-6 | 6.504234E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 4.61238 | 3.650404E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8102848E-5 | 2.7874992E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7937225 | 5.7874156E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.4209844E-4 | 3.3932526E-4 | 2.8E-4 | 0.825167 | 4.093015E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0034157229 | 0.0034680606 | 0.00191 | 0.55074006 | 0.0035577486 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.546394E-6 | 6.4862006E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 4.625204 | 3.6486006E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8055672E-5 | 2.7797707E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7987095 | 5.779687E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.4152428E-4 | 3.383846E-4 | 2.8E-4 | 0.8274608 | 4.083609E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0034099987 | 0.0034586883 | 0.00191 | 0.5522325 | 0.003548377 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.5364216E-6 | 6.4669857E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 4.6389465 | 3.646679E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8012933E-5 | 2.771536E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.8040539 | 5.771453E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.4100408E-4 | 3.373823E-4 | 2.8E-4 | 0.829919 | 4.073587E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.003404813 | 0.0034487103 | 0.0019 | 0.55093056 | 0.0035384 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.5269523E-6 | 6.4480723E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 4.652553 | 3.644788E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7972354E-5 | 2.7634303E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.8093455 | 5.7633475E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.4051016E-4 | 3.3639578E-4 | 2.8E-4 | 0.83235294 | 4.0637222E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0033998888 | 0.0034388923 | 0.00189 | 0.5495956 | 0.0035285826 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.5111835E-6 | 6.424346E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 4.669736 | 3.6424153E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7904773E-5 | 2.753262E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.8160276 | 5.7531794E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3968766E-4 | 3.3515817E-4 | 2.8E-4 | 0.83542645 | 4.0513472E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0033916887 | 0.0034265644 | 0.00189 | 0.5515729 | 0.0035162559 | 9.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.4768806E-6 | 6.383454E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 4.69965 | 3.6383262E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7757764E-5 | 2.7357375E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.8276608 | 5.7356552E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3789838E-4 | 3.330252E-4 | 2.8E-4 | 0.8407772 | 4.030019E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0033738504 | 0.0034052972 | 0.00189 | 0.55501765 | 0.0034949908 | 9.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.1655364E-6 | 6.1759456E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 4.857556 | 3.617576E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.642346E-5 | 2.646807E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.8890686 | 5.6467277E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.2165812E-4 | 3.2220117E-4 | 2.7E-4 | 0.8379858 | 3.921786E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0032119295 | 0.0032969362 | 0.00181 | 0.54899454 | 0.0033866395 | 9.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.5043524E-6 | 5.7370175E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 5.229198 | 3.5736844E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3589868E-5 | 2.4586987E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.033596 | 5.458625E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.871688E-4 | 2.993055E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 0.83526695 | 3.6928456E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0028679797 | 0.0030670585 | 0.00166 | 0.5412352 | 0.0031567826 | 9.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.889249E-6 | 4.0766436E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 7.358995 | 3.4076522E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6668104E-5 | 1.7471213E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8618505 | 4.747069E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0291525E-4 | 2.126913E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 0.79928046 | 2.8267642E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0020273007 | 0.0021941073 | 0.00112 | 0.5104582 | 0.0022839098 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.668535E-6 | 2.5313454E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 11.851405 | 3.253127E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1436528E-5 | 1.0848577E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 4.608899 | 4.0848252E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3923083E-4 | 1.3207346E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 1.0600162 | 1.9206553E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0013914363 | 0.0013755665 | 6.7E-4 | 0.48707205 | 0.0014454703 | 7.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.5911459E-6 | 1.2185134E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 16.413445 | 2.121849E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 6.8191785E-6 | 5.2221894E-6 | 3.0E-5 | 5.7447166 | 2.5222085E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 8.3020335E-5 | 6.357832E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 0.94371784 | 8.3577055E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 8.298933E-4 | 6.6911156E-4 | 2.8E-4 | 0.41846535 | 6.9909147E-4 | 3.0E-5 |
8.2 | 6.1294963E-7 | 2.1802066E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1802066E-7 | 0.0 | 2.6269242E-6 | 9.3437393E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.3437393E-7 | 0.0 | 3.1982334E-5 | 1.1375943E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1375943E-5 | 0.0 | 3.1977732E-4 | 1.2778955E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.39126828 | 1.2778955E-4 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.762871E-7 | 4.7516316E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7516316E-8 | 0.0 | 7.5551594E-7 | 2.0364133E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0364133E-7 | 0.0 | 9.1983675E-6 | 2.4793305E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4793305E-6 | 0.0 | 9.197987E-5 | 2.8671833E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8671833E-5 | 0.0 |
Coronado Bank alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.533492E-5 | 9.3951705E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 0.638626 | 9.3951705E-5 | 0.0 | 3.22824E-4 | 4.025903E-4 | 3.3E-4 | 0.8196919 | 4.2258223E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0039233007 | 0.004891121 | 0.00295 | 0.60313374 | 0.0049209744 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03854755 | 0.047904 | 0.03161 | 0.6598614 | 0.047980167 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.0493105E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.3960937 | 5.0493105E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.1638138E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.46214697 | 2.2637921E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0026313365 | 0.00115 | 0.43704027 | 0.0026413102 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021578677 | 0.026011124 | 0.01435 | 0.55168706 | 0.026040344 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.0493105E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.3960937 | 5.0493105E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.1638138E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.46214697 | 2.2637921E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0026313365 | 0.00115 | 0.43704027 | 0.0026413102 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021578677 | 0.026011124 | 0.01435 | 0.55168706 | 0.026040344 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.1793104E-5 | 3.7711125E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.53034747 | 3.7711125E-5 | 0.0 | 1.3624904E-4 | 1.6160926E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.49502113 | 1.7160765E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016575698 | 0.001965849 | 9.0E-4 | 0.45781747 | 0.0019758292 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016452603 | 0.019488495 | 0.01111 | 0.5700799 | 0.019508105 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.9878007E-5 | 3.5335797E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.56599826 | 3.5335797E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2804232E-4 | 1.5143053E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.46225816 | 1.6142902E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015578003 | 0.0018421395 | 8.4E-4 | 0.45599154 | 0.0018521211 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015469253 | 0.018272463 | 0.01038 | 0.5680679 | 0.0182921 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.4512565E-5 | 2.8764101E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.6953111 | 2.8764101E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0504962E-4 | 1.2326906E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.40561682 | 1.3326782E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012782287 | 0.0014997943 | 7.2E-4 | 0.48006582 | 0.0015097794 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012709012 | 0.0148996925 | 0.00849 | 0.5698104 | 0.014919395 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.1317413E-5 | 2.490667E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.80299777 | 2.490667E-5 | 0.0 | 9.135714E-5 | 1.0673863E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.46843398 | 1.1673757E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011117056 | 0.0012987903 | 6.5E-4 | 0.5004657 | 0.0013087774 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011061605 | 0.012914407 | 0.00711 | 0.5505479 | 0.012934149 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8585655E-5 | 2.1634882E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.9244331 | 2.1634882E-5 | 0.0 | 7.9650374E-5 | 9.271774E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.5392711 | 1.0271681E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 9.6931186E-4 | 0.0011282744 | 5.9E-4 | 0.52292246 | 0.001138263 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0096509475 | 0.011227623 | 0.00614 | 0.5468655 | 0.011247398 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5862879E-5 | 1.8419476E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0858072 | 1.8419476E-5 | 0.0 | 6.798199E-5 | 7.8938334E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.63340586 | 8.8937544E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 8.273665E-4 | 9.606697E-4 | 5.1E-4 | 0.5308797 | 9.7066007E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008242928 | 0.009567151 | 0.00521 | 0.54457176 | 0.009586959 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3021509E-5 | 1.5095266E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5095266E-5 | 0.0 | 5.5805274E-5 | 6.46925E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.46373233 | 7.4691845E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 6.792174E-4 | 7.873646E-4 | 4.6E-4 | 0.58422744 | 7.973567E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006771452 | 0.007847573 | 0.00431 | 0.5492144 | 0.007867416 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0974371E-5 | 1.2720105E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2720105E-5 | 0.0 | 4.7032172E-5 | 5.4513697E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.55032045 | 6.451315E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7246623E-4 | 6.635197E-4 | 3.8E-4 | 0.5727034 | 6.7351304E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057099373 | 0.0066171354 | 0.00363 | 0.54857576 | 0.006637003 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.766221E-6 | 1.0163833E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0163833E-5 | 0.0 | 3.7568978E-5 | 4.3558655E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.6887265 | 5.355822E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 4.573063E-4 | 5.302148E-4 | 3.1E-4 | 0.5846687 | 5.4020947E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045636636 | 0.005291197 | 0.00287 | 0.5424103 | 0.0053110914 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.026024E-7 | 8.331776E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.331776E-7 | 0.0 | 3.43972E-6 | 3.5707562E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5707562E-6 | 0.0 | 4.1877785E-5 | 4.34731E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.6900819 | 4.34731E-5 | 0.0 | 4.1869894E-4 | 4.3464705E-4 | 2.7E-4 | 0.62119365 | 4.3464705E-4 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.7293114E-7 | 3.700106E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.700106E-7 | 0.0 | 1.5982754E-6 | 1.5857588E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5857588E-6 | 0.0 | 1.9458828E-5 | 1.9306442E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.5179618 | 1.9306442E-5 | 0.0 | 1.9457124E-4 | 1.9304773E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.62160796 | 1.9304773E-4 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0557036E-7 | 1.9674441E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9674441E-7 | 0.0 | 8.810155E-7 | 8.4319004E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.4319004E-7 | 0.0 | 1.0726311E-5 | 1.02657905E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.02657905E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0725793E-4 | 1.026532E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.38966152 | 1.026532E-4 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.845446E-8 | 6.2794086E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.2794086E-8 | 0.0 | 2.9337625E-7 | 2.6911746E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6911746E-7 | 0.0 | 3.5718497E-6 | 3.2765004E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2765004E-6 | 0.0 | 3.5717923E-5 | 3.276453E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.61041623 | 3.276453E-5 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.0975145E-9 | 5.531901E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.531901E-9 | 0.0 | 2.6132206E-8 | 2.3708148E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3708148E-8 | 0.0 | 3.1815955E-7 | 2.8864667E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8864667E-7 | 0.0 | 3.181591E-6 | 2.886464E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.886464E-6 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.831764E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0342228 | 2.9831568E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2135514E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.949318 | 7.213425E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.1288976E-4 | 3.8E-4 | 0.7409 | 5.628641E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.005132214 | 0.0042 | 0.8183602 | 0.0052118036 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.831764E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0342228 | 2.9831568E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2135514E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.949318 | 7.213425E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.1288976E-4 | 3.8E-4 | 0.7409 | 5.628641E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.005132214 | 0.0042 | 0.8183602 | 0.0052118036 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.831764E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0342228 | 2.9831568E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2135514E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.949318 | 7.213425E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.1288976E-4 | 3.8E-4 | 0.7409 | 5.628641E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.005132214 | 0.0042 | 0.8183602 | 0.0052118036 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.831764E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0342228 | 2.9831568E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2135514E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.949318 | 7.213425E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.1288976E-4 | 3.8E-4 | 0.7409 | 5.628641E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.005132214 | 0.0042 | 0.8183602 | 0.0052118036 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.3445207E-6 | 6.0916254E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 3.283196 | 2.6091504E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8619241E-5 | 2.6106709E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5321732 | 5.6105928E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2666567E-4 | 3.1780385E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.5663871 | 3.4779432E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0022643462 | 0.0031877246 | 0.0023 | 0.7215178 | 0.0032375653 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.3445207E-6 | 6.0916254E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 3.283196 | 2.6091504E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8619241E-5 | 2.6106709E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5321732 | 5.6105928E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2666567E-4 | 3.1780385E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.5663871 | 3.4779432E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0022643462 | 0.0031877246 | 0.0023 | 0.7215178 | 0.0032375653 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.040109E-6 | 5.774033E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4637835 | 2.5773918E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7314638E-5 | 2.4745626E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2123355 | 5.4744884E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1078532E-4 | 3.0123728E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 0.49794632 | 3.3122825E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002105855 | 0.0030225143 | 0.00216 | 0.7146368 | 0.0030723633 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.3632055E-6 | 5.06753E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.973348 | 1.5067479E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4413658E-5 | 2.1717806E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.46045166 | 3.1717587E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7547216E-4 | 2.643825E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.4538878 | 2.7437988E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017533366 | 0.0026548486 | 0.00182 | 0.6855382 | 0.002684769 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.2902772E-6 | 4.9894375E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 2.004234 | 1.4989388E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4101111E-5 | 2.138313E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.4676584 | 3.1382915E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.716675E-4 | 2.6030882E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.4609909 | 2.7030622E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017153495 | 0.0026142076 | 0.0018 | 0.68854517 | 0.002644129 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.031547E-6 | 4.6911987E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1316514 | 1.4691152E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.299228E-5 | 2.0104984E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.4973891 | 3.0104784E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5816953E-4 | 2.4475096E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.36772072 | 2.547485E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00158057 | 0.0024589805 | 0.00167 | 0.67914325 | 0.0024889067 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8259715E-6 | 4.3707637E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2879295 | 1.437072E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.211125E-5 | 1.8731711E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.53385407 | 2.8731525E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4744449E-4 | 2.2803496E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.39467633 | 2.3803268E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001473467 | 0.0022921748 | 0.00151 | 0.65876305 | 0.002312129 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.5962665E-6 | 4.065983E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 2.45943 | 1.4065942E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1126809E-5 | 1.7425526E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.5738708 | 2.7425353E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3546048E-4 | 2.1213535E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.37711772 | 2.2213323E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013537793 | 0.0021334959 | 0.00132 | 0.6187029 | 0.0021534532 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.3247253E-6 | 3.6765352E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 2.719952 | 1.3676498E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 9.96307E-6 | 1.5756486E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.6346593 | 2.5756328E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.21293626E-4 | 1.9181852E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.41706088 | 2.018166E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012122744 | 0.0019307166 | 0.00124 | 0.6422486 | 0.001950678 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.056928E-6 | 3.235253E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.235253E-6 | 0.0 | 8.815376E-6 | 1.3865297E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3865297E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0732192E-4 | 1.6879707E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.41469914 | 1.6879707E-4 | 0.0 | 0.001072701 | 0.0017009423 | 0.00101 | 0.5937885 | 0.0017009423 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.8055999E-6 | 2.8256538E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8256538E-6 | 0.0 | 7.738263E-6 | 1.210989E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.210989E-5 | 0.0 | 9.4209274E-5 | 1.4742807E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.40697813 | 1.4742807E-4 | 0.0 | 9.4169343E-4 | 0.0014876705 | 8.2E-4 | 0.55119735 | 0.0014876705 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4683443E-6 | 2.4248943E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4248943E-6 | 0.0 | 6.292889E-6 | 1.0392363E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0392363E-5 | 0.0 | 7.661323E-5 | 1.2651978E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.39519516 | 1.2651978E-4 | 0.0 | 7.658682E-4 | 0.0012788812 | 7.3E-4 | 0.5708114 | 0.0012788812 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.804088E-7 | 1.9004091E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9004091E-6 | 0.0 | 4.201745E-6 | 8.144585E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.144585E-6 | 0.0 | 5.1155046E-5 | 9.915586E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.4034053 | 9.915586E-5 | 0.0 | 5.114327E-4 | 0.0010055583 | 5.7E-4 | 0.5668493 | 0.0010055583 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 7.3434086E-7 | 1.6285549E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6285549E-6 | 0.0 | 3.1471714E-6 | 6.9795024E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.9795024E-6 | 0.0 | 3.831614E-5 | 8.4972155E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.23537122 | 8.4972155E-5 | 0.0 | 3.8309532E-4 | 8.6387293E-4 | 4.4E-4 | 0.50933415 | 8.6387293E-4 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.434184E-7 | 1.5221389E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5221389E-6 | 0.0 | 2.7575045E-6 | 6.523436E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.523436E-6 | 0.0 | 3.35721E-5 | 7.9419966E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.25182584 | 7.9419966E-5 | 0.0 | 3.3567028E-4 | 8.080443E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.49502236 | 8.080443E-4 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.4943926E-7 | 7.5750586E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.5750586E-7 | 0.0 | 1.497596E-6 | 3.2464498E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2464498E-6 | 0.0 | 1.8233079E-5 | 3.9524817E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.2530056 | 3.9524817E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8231584E-4 | 4.0401975E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.3465177 | 4.0401975E-4 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.717524E-8 | 5.837515E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.837515E-8 | 0.0 | 2.8789387E-7 | 2.501792E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.501792E-7 | 0.0 | 3.505102E-6 | 3.0459275E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0459275E-6 | 0.0 | 3.5050467E-5 | 3.2751934E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.3053255 | 3.2751934E-5 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.1984914E-8 | 1.2949885E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2949885E-8 | 0.0 | 1.370782E-7 | 5.549951E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.549951E-8 | 0.0 | 1.6689258E-6 | 6.757063E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.757063E-7 | 0.0 | 1.6689133E-5 | 7.741151E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2917974 | 7.741151E-6 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.21887656E-8 | 3.6471115E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6471115E-9 | 0.0 | 5.2237567E-8 | 1.563048E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.563048E-8 | 0.0 | 6.359922E-7 | 1.9030107E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9030107E-7 | 0.0 | 6.3599036E-6 | 2.245849E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.245849E-6 | 0.0 |
San Cayetano
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169216E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6511445 | 4.816867E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786576E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 1.1558353 | 1.2786187E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760704E-4 | 5.6E-4 | 0.5909623 | 0.0010075502 | 6.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.00943675 | 0.00661 | 0.70045304 | 0.00950609 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169216E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6511445 | 4.816867E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786576E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 1.1558353 | 1.2786187E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760704E-4 | 5.6E-4 | 0.5909623 | 0.0010075502 | 6.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.00943675 | 0.00661 | 0.70045304 | 0.00950609 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169216E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6511445 | 4.816867E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786576E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 1.1558353 | 1.2786187E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760704E-4 | 5.6E-4 | 0.5909623 | 0.0010075502 | 6.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.00943675 | 0.00661 | 0.70045304 | 0.00950609 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169216E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6511445 | 4.816867E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786576E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 1.1558353 | 1.2786187E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760704E-4 | 5.6E-4 | 0.5909623 | 0.0010075502 | 6.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.00943675 | 0.00661 | 0.70045304 | 0.00950609 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169216E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6511445 | 4.816867E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786576E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 1.1558353 | 1.2786187E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760704E-4 | 5.6E-4 | 0.5909623 | 0.0010075502 | 6.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.00943675 | 0.00661 | 0.70045304 | 0.00950609 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169216E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6511445 | 4.816867E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786576E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 1.1558353 | 1.2786187E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760704E-4 | 5.6E-4 | 0.5909623 | 0.0010075502 | 6.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.00943675 | 0.00661 | 0.70045304 | 0.00950609 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169216E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6511445 | 4.816867E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786576E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 1.1558353 | 1.2786187E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760704E-4 | 5.6E-4 | 0.5909623 | 0.0010075502 | 6.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.00943675 | 0.00661 | 0.70045304 | 0.00950609 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169216E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6511445 | 4.816867E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786576E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 1.1558353 | 1.2786187E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760704E-4 | 5.6E-4 | 0.5909623 | 0.0010075502 | 6.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.00943675 | 0.00661 | 0.70045304 | 0.00950609 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.3241924E-5 | 1.7936945E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6725255 | 4.7936406E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 9.960445E-5 | 7.687038E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 1.170802 | 1.2686654E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0012120095 | 9.354987E-4 | 5.4E-4 | 0.57723224 | 9.954425E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.012054204 | 0.0093166195 | 0.00649 | 0.6966046 | 0.009385967 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2761007E-5 | 1.7432383E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.720935 | 4.7431862E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 9.7543525E-5 | 7.47081E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 1.2046887 | 1.2470435E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011869454 | 9.09195E-4 | 5.3E-4 | 0.58293325 | 9.6914044E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.011806256 | 0.009055741 | 0.0064 | 0.706734 | 0.009125107 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.240283E-5 | 1.7066137E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.757867 | 4.7065627E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 9.600859E-5 | 7.313856E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 1.2305411 | 1.231349E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011682777 | 8.9010154E-4 | 5.3E-4 | 0.59543765 | 9.5004815E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.011621549 | 0.008866336 | 0.00617 | 0.6958906 | 0.008935716 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.1871154E-5 | 1.658602E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8087522 | 4.6585523E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 9.373015E-5 | 7.108103E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 1.2661607 | 1.2107747E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011405671 | 8.6507126E-4 | 5.2E-4 | 0.6011066 | 9.250193E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.011347309 | 0.008617996 | 0.006 | 0.6962175 | 0.008687393 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0714133E-5 | 1.5564563E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9274554 | 4.5564095E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 8.8771834E-5 | 6.670358E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 1.0494189 | 1.06700914E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010802611 | 8.118168E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.61590254 | 8.617762E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010750249 | 0.008089443 | 0.00571 | 0.70585823 | 0.008148957 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.8408395E-5 | 1.3996829E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1433427 | 4.399641E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 7.8890735E-5 | 5.9985046E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.0002493 | 9.9982644E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 9.600714E-4 | 7.300762E-4 | 4.3E-4 | 0.5889796 | 7.800397E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.009559342 | 0.0072776447 | 0.0051 | 0.70077616 | 0.007337208 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.6856795E-5 | 1.285006E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3346195 | 4.2849675E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 7.2241404E-5 | 5.5070537E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.0895119 | 9.506833E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 8.7918417E-4 | 6.7028037E-4 | 4.1E-4 | 0.6116843 | 7.2024687E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.00875714 | 0.0066834087 | 0.00468 | 0.7002415 | 0.0067330743 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2822778E-5 | 9.577415E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0882463 | 2.9577222E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 5.495361E-5 | 4.1045427E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.2181625 | 7.10442E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 6.688548E-4 | 4.9961504E-4 | 2.7E-4 | 0.54041606 | 5.296001E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006668452 | 0.0049851923 | 0.00359 | 0.7201327 | 0.0050150426 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.6272684E-6 | 3.854899E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.854899E-6 | 0.0 | 2.4116642E-5 | 1.6520893E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.60529417 | 2.6520727E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9358055E-4 | 2.0112342E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.19888286 | 2.111214E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029319301 | 0.0020094248 | 0.0014 | 0.6967168 | 0.0020194047 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.5261346E-6 | 2.3407094E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3407094E-6 | 0.0 | 1.5111918E-5 | 1.0031574E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.9968525 | 2.0031473E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8397206E-4 | 1.2212765E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.16376309 | 1.3212643E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018381984 | 0.0012206127 | 9.2E-4 | 0.75371987 | 0.0012306004 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.4826929E-6 | 1.0564395E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0564395E-6 | 0.0 | 6.354383E-6 | 4.52759E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.52759E-6 | 0.0 | 7.736187E-5 | 5.5122033E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5122033E-5 | 0.0 | 7.733494E-4 | 5.510856E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.9073 | 5.510856E-4 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.7568166E-7 | 1.6977887E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6977887E-7 | 0.0 | 1.1814923E-6 | 7.276235E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.276235E-7 | 0.0 | 1.4384574E-5 | 8.85878E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.85878E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4383643E-4 | 8.858431E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.45154724 | 8.858431E-5 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.407832E-8 | 2.688677E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.688677E-8 | 0.0 | 2.3176422E-7 | 1.15229014E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.15229014E-7 | 0.0 | 2.8217257E-6 | 1.4029123E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4029123E-6 | 0.0 | 2.8216898E-5 | 1.40290385E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.40290385E-5 | 0.0 |
Hayward (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.570673E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 0.47610074 | 3.7706015E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015294008 | 8.0E-4 | 0.52308065 | 0.0015693397 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00939654 | 0.018463885 | 0.00965 | 0.5226419 | 0.018512962 | 5.0E-5 | 0.090090066 | 0.1667085 | 0.1005 | 0.6028487 | 0.1667585 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.570673E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 0.47610074 | 3.7706015E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015294008 | 8.0E-4 | 0.52308065 | 0.0015693397 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00939654 | 0.018463885 | 0.00965 | 0.5226419 | 0.018512962 | 5.0E-5 | 0.090090066 | 0.1667085 | 0.1005 | 0.6028487 | 0.1667585 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.570673E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 0.47610074 | 3.7706015E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015294008 | 8.0E-4 | 0.52308065 | 0.0015693397 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00939654 | 0.018463885 | 0.00965 | 0.5226419 | 0.018512962 | 5.0E-5 | 0.090090066 | 0.1667085 | 0.1005 | 0.6028487 | 0.1667585 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7322872E-4 | 3.4263515E-4 | 1.6E-4 | 0.466969 | 3.626283E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4219756E-4 | 0.0014676197 | 7.9E-4 | 0.5382866 | 0.001507561 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0089988755 | 0.017724147 | 0.00934 | 0.52696466 | 0.017773261 | 5.0E-5 | 0.08643075 | 0.16065954 | 0.09682 | 0.60264087 | 0.1607099 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6334097E-4 | 3.2345165E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 0.46374783 | 3.434452E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 6.998449E-4 | 0.0013854936 | 7.3E-4 | 0.526888 | 0.0014254382 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008487372 | 0.016739927 | 0.0089 | 0.531663 | 0.01678909 | 5.0E-5 | 0.081704415 | 0.15256606 | 0.09181 | 0.6017721 | 0.1526169 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5600289E-4 | 3.101982E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.45132437 | 3.3019198E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 6.684125E-4 | 0.0013287518 | 7.0E-4 | 0.52681017 | 0.0013686987 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008107598 | 0.016059443 | 0.00848 | 0.5280382 | 0.016108641 | 5.0E-5 | 0.078181036 | 0.14684291 | 0.08817 | 0.6004376 | 0.1468941 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4046066E-4 | 2.8034003E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.35670966 | 2.9033722E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 6.018354E-4 | 0.0012009109 | 6.1E-4 | 0.50794774 | 0.0012308749 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0073027555 | 0.014524571 | 0.00762 | 0.5246282 | 0.01456399 | 4.0E-5 | 0.07067384 | 0.13393044 | 0.07997 | 0.597101 | 0.13397375 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.14696966E-4 | 2.3272466E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.42969233 | 2.4272234E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 4.914658E-4 | 9.970153E-4 | 5.3E-4 | 0.53158665 | 0.0010269854 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0059671924 | 0.012072163 | 0.00643 | 0.5326303 | 0.012111681 | 4.0E-5 | 0.058094822 | 0.11274141 | 0.066 | 0.5854104 | 0.11278578 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.3874296E-5 | 1.8862431E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.4241235 | 1.8862431E-4 | 0.0 | 4.0225635E-4 | 8.081431E-4 | 4.2E-4 | 0.51970994 | 8.2812697E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0048864787 | 0.009795489 | 0.0051 | 0.5206478 | 0.009825195 | 3.0E-5 | 0.047804173 | 0.092592984 | 0.05339 | 0.57660955 | 0.09262928 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.551852E-5 | 1.0729875E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.46598864 | 1.0729875E-4 | 0.0 | 2.3791482E-4 | 4.5977137E-4 | 2.3E-4 | 0.5002487 | 4.6976676E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028927654 | 0.005583468 | 0.00291 | 0.52118146 | 0.0055934116 | 1.0E-5 | 0.028553981 | 0.054246075 | 0.02995 | 0.5521137 | 0.05425553 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.2662363E-5 | 8.246792E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.36377782 | 8.246792E-5 | 0.0 | 1.8282588E-4 | 3.5338648E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 0.537655 | 3.6338295E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022236328 | 0.0042940658 | 0.00227 | 0.5286365 | 0.004304023 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022015138 | 0.04206509 | 0.02277 | 0.54130393 | 0.04207467 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.305886E-5 | 6.302183E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.47602555 | 6.302183E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4167312E-4 | 2.7006568E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.51839244 | 2.7006568E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0017235056 | 0.003283111 | 0.00181 | 0.55130637 | 0.003283111 | 0.0 | 0.017101998 | 0.032453902 | 0.01754 | 0.54045886 | 0.032453902 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.9856887E-5 | 5.701622E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.5261661 | 5.701622E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2795182E-4 | 2.4433242E-4 | 1.3E-4 | 0.532062 | 2.4433242E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0015567001 | 0.0029707062 | 0.00166 | 0.5587897 | 0.0029707062 | 0.0 | 0.015458403 | 0.029454801 | 0.01591 | 0.5401496 | 0.029454801 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.4559737E-5 | 4.599286E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.65227515 | 4.599286E-5 | 0.0 | 1.0525176E-4 | 1.9709744E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.5580996 | 1.9709744E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012806869 | 0.0023970334 | 0.00134 | 0.55902433 | 0.0023970334 | 0.0 | 0.012733313 | 0.023858516 | 0.0126 | 0.5281133 | 0.023858516 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.9002231E-5 | 3.505084E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.57059973 | 3.505084E-5 | 0.0 | 8.143559E-5 | 1.502093E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.66573775 | 1.502093E-4 | 0.0 | 9.910273E-4 | 0.001827274 | 0.00107 | 0.5855717 | 0.001827274 | 0.0 | 0.009866194 | 0.018258808 | 0.00958 | 0.5246783 | 0.018258808 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2783333E-5 | 2.3331182E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.42861092 | 2.3331182E-5 | 0.0 | 5.4784563E-5 | 9.998698E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 0.6000781 | 9.998698E-5 | 0.0 | 6.667979E-4 | 0.0012166675 | 7.4E-4 | 0.6082188 | 0.0012166675 | 0.0 | 0.006648007 | 0.012209443 | 0.0065 | 0.5323748 | 0.012209443 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.8149627E-6 | 8.888056E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.888056E-6 | 0.0 | 2.063539E-5 | 3.8091122E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.5250567 | 3.8091122E-5 | 0.0 | 2.5120692E-4 | 4.6366194E-4 | 3.2E-4 | 0.690158 | 4.6366194E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0025092314 | 0.0046805087 | 0.00248 | 0.5298569 | 0.0046805087 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.0838227E-7 | 1.205754E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.205754E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6073499E-6 | 5.1675065E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.1675065E-6 | 0.0 | 3.174402E-5 | 6.291258E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.47685215 | 6.291258E-5 | 0.0 | 3.1739488E-4 | 6.5296254E-4 | 3.3E-4 | 0.50538886 | 6.5296254E-4 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.5542808E-7 | 9.792941E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.792941E-7 | 0.0 | 1.9518332E-6 | 4.196968E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.196968E-6 | 0.0 | 2.376331E-5 | 5.109689E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.39141324 | 5.109689E-5 | 0.0 | 2.3760769E-4 | 5.321693E-4 | 2.8E-4 | 0.5261484 | 5.321693E-4 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.3016747E-7 | 7.3869535E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.3869535E-7 | 0.0 | 1.4150027E-6 | 3.1658333E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1658333E-6 | 0.0 | 1.7227521E-5 | 3.854334E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.5188964 | 3.854334E-5 | 0.0 | 1.7226185E-4 | 3.9932923E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 0.5509239 | 3.9932923E-4 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.347038E-7 | 5.471963E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.471963E-7 | 0.0 | 1.0058731E-6 | 2.3451248E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3451248E-6 | 0.0 | 1.2246436E-5 | 2.8551523E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.70048803 | 2.8551523E-5 | 0.0 | 1.2245761E-4 | 2.9357258E-4 | 1.7E-4 | 0.5790732 | 2.9357258E-4 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.18822804E-7 | 2.6060948E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6060948E-7 | 0.0 | 5.092405E-7 | 1.1168972E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1168972E-6 | 0.0 | 6.1999854E-6 | 1.359814E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.7353947 | 1.359814E-5 | 0.0 | 6.199812E-5 | 1.3918082E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.3592449 | 1.3918082E-4 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (Lake Isabella) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0016344E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 2.498979 | 1.40015945E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149758E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.5830986 | 2.7149586E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878017E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.6705618 | 2.5876972E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.002086024 | 9.5E-4 | 0.4554118 | 0.002155878 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0016344E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 2.498979 | 1.40015945E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149758E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.5830986 | 2.7149586E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878017E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.6705618 | 2.5876972E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.002086024 | 9.5E-4 | 0.4554118 | 0.002155878 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0016344E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 2.498979 | 1.40015945E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149758E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.5830986 | 2.7149586E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878017E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.6705618 | 2.5876972E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.002086024 | 9.5E-4 | 0.4554118 | 0.002155878 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0016344E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 2.498979 | 1.40015945E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149758E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.5830986 | 2.7149586E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878017E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.6705618 | 2.5876972E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.002086024 | 9.5E-4 | 0.4554118 | 0.002155878 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0016344E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 2.498979 | 1.40015945E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149758E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.5830986 | 2.7149586E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878017E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.6705618 | 2.5876972E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.002086024 | 9.5E-4 | 0.4554118 | 0.002155878 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7857532E-6 | 2.5178624E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 3.971623 | 1.2517838E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1938888E-5 | 1.0790796E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.92671573 | 2.0790689E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4534626E-4 | 1.3137035E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.9134481 | 1.8136378E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0014525123 | 0.0013129596 | 6.3E-4 | 0.47983196 | 0.0013828677 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2233348E-6 | 1.944119E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 5.143718 | 1.1944099E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 9.528543E-6 | 8.331913E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2002046 | 1.833183E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1600384E-4 | 1.014364E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.9858394 | 1.4143235E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001159433 | 0.0010139096 | 5.1E-4 | 0.5030034 | 0.0010738488 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.1635126E-6 | 1.8834991E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3092675 | 1.18834805E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 9.272164E-6 | 8.072114E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2388328 | 1.8072033E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1288274E-4 | 9.827364E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 0.91581017 | 1.282707E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011282542 | 9.8231E-4 | 4.7E-4 | 0.47846404 | 0.0010322608 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.8685711E-6 | 1.583138E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 6.316569 | 1.1583122E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 8.008137E-6 | 6.7848596E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4738698 | 1.6784792E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 9.74947E-5 | 8.2602586E-5 | 8.0E-5 | 0.9684927 | 1.1260011E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 9.745194E-4 | 8.2572375E-4 | 3.8E-4 | 0.46020234 | 8.7568245E-4 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5815071E-6 | 1.3064887E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6541038 | 1.1306475E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 6.77787E-6 | 5.5992255E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7859613 | 1.559917E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 8.251744E-5 | 6.816846E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 0.8801724 | 8.81671E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 8.248681E-4 | 6.8147824E-4 | 2.9E-4 | 0.4255455 | 7.2145095E-4 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3772564E-6 | 1.1210681E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 8.920065 | 1.1121057E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9025137E-6 | 4.8045686E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0813522 | 1.4804521E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 7.186073E-5 | 5.8494075E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.0257449 | 7.849291E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 7.18375E-4 | 5.8478885E-4 | 2.5E-4 | 0.42750475 | 6.247654E-4 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0916998E-6 | 8.7637505E-7 | 1.0E-5 | 11.41064 | 1.0876366E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 4.678705E-6 | 3.7558877E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6624863 | 1.375585E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6961744E-5 | 4.5726985E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.87475693 | 5.572653E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6947145E-4 | 4.571771E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 0.45934057 | 4.871634E-4 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.6277024E-7 | 5.901439E-7 | 1.0E-5 | 16.94502 | 1.0590138E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2690114E-6 | 2.5291856E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 3.953842 | 1.252916E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9799485E-5 | 3.0792406E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2990216 | 4.07921E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9792358E-4 | 3.07882E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 0.48719963 | 3.2787584E-4 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.3265916E-7 | 4.3824264E-7 | 1.0E-5 | 22.818409 | 1.0438238E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.282823E-6 | 1.8781814E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3242993 | 1.1878163E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7793016E-5 | 2.2866623E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.7492745 | 3.2866392E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.778954E-4 | 2.2864307E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.52483547 | 2.486385E-4 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.4946007E-7 | 3.0065647E-7 | 1.0E-5 | 33.26055 | 1.0300653E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.497685E-6 | 1.2885271E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 7.7607994 | 1.12885145E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8234163E-5 | 1.5687707E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9123254 | 2.568755E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8232666E-4 | 1.5686621E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.5737373 | 1.7686308E-4 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.8317026E-7 | 1.4244755E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4244755E-7 | 0.0 | 7.850152E-7 | 6.1048934E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.1048934E-7 | 0.0 | 9.557518E-6 | 7.432683E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.432683E-6 | 0.0 | 9.5571064E-5 | 7.432442E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.40363583 | 8.4323685E-5 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.735264E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.735264E-8 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.436845E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.436845E-8 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.0543557E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0543557E-7 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.054324E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.054324E-6 | 0.0 |
San Juan
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.74917E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 2.285931 | 1.8749082E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.749593E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.6001737 | 6.74948E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.5642213E-4 | 3.8E-4 | 0.83256257 | 4.8640845E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004520337 | 0.004555389 | 0.00442 | 0.97027946 | 0.00462507 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.74917E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 2.285931 | 1.8749082E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.749593E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.6001737 | 6.74948E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.5642213E-4 | 3.8E-4 | 0.83256257 | 4.8640845E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004520337 | 0.004555389 | 0.00442 | 0.97027946 | 0.00462507 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.74917E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 2.285931 | 1.8749082E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.749593E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.6001737 | 6.74948E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.5642213E-4 | 3.8E-4 | 0.83256257 | 4.8640845E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004520337 | 0.004555389 | 0.00442 | 0.97027946 | 0.00462507 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.3054235E-6 | 6.282591E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5917 | 6.282591E-6 | 0.0 | 2.7022963E-5 | 2.692512E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4856015 | 4.6924582E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2895492E-4 | 3.2776545E-4 | 2.9E-4 | 0.8847791 | 3.4775888E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003284684 | 0.0032730205 | 0.00333 | 1.0174088 | 0.0033128897 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.1490473E-6 | 6.1144706E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6354645 | 6.1144706E-6 | 0.0 | 2.6352795E-5 | 2.6204618E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5264485 | 4.6204095E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2079802E-4 | 3.189959E-4 | 2.8E-4 | 0.8777542 | 3.389895E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032033534 | 0.0031855768 | 0.00324 | 1.0170842 | 0.0032254492 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.204848E-6 | 5.137238E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9465712 | 5.137238E-6 | 0.0 | 2.23063E-5 | 2.2016555E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.362611 | 4.2016112E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7154534E-4 | 2.6801953E-4 | 2.3E-4 | 0.8581464 | 2.8801415E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0027121378 | 0.0026771172 | 0.00281 | 1.0496365 | 0.002707037 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.5179986E-6 | 4.415036E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2649872 | 4.415036E-6 | 0.0 | 1.9362706E-5 | 1.892145E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5855021 | 3.8921073E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3571544E-4 | 2.303451E-4 | 1.9E-4 | 0.8248493 | 2.503405E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023546559 | 0.0023012008 | 0.00226 | 0.98209596 | 0.0023311318 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.9442616E-6 | 3.8198336E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6179152 | 3.8198336E-6 | 0.0 | 1.6903869E-5 | 1.6370615E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2217011 | 2.6370451E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0578515E-4 | 1.9929469E-4 | 1.5E-4 | 0.75265425 | 2.092927E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002055947 | 0.001991285 | 0.00195 | 0.9792672 | 0.002001265 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4536245E-6 | 3.3163408E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0153718 | 3.3163408E-6 | 0.0 | 1.4801163E-5 | 1.4212815E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4071808 | 2.4212673E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8018926E-4 | 1.7302789E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.8091181 | 1.8302616E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018004322 | 0.001729051 | 0.00177 | 1.023683 | 0.0017390337 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.059865E-6 | 2.9120363E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4340231 | 2.9120363E-6 | 0.0 | 1.3113641E-5 | 1.2480099E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6025513 | 2.2479975E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.596469E-4 | 1.5193518E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 0.92144555 | 1.6193367E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015953224 | 0.0015184281 | 0.00155 | 1.0207925 | 0.0015284129 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.6504351E-6 | 2.492005E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 4.012833 | 2.492005E-6 | 0.0 | 1.1358958E-5 | 1.0679981E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8726625 | 2.0679874E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3828653E-4 | 1.3002155E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.9229239 | 1.4002025E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013820052 | 0.001299567 | 0.00141 | 1.0849767 | 0.0013095541 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2039317E-6 | 2.0338366E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9168158 | 2.0338366E-6 | 0.0 | 9.445387E-6 | 8.716416E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2945209 | 1.871633E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1499152E-4 | 1.0611773E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 1.0365845 | 1.1611667E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011493203 | 0.0010607811 | 0.00108 | 1.0181178 | 0.0010707704 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0786707E-6 | 8.770239E-7 | 1.0E-5 | 11.402198 | 8.770239E-7 | 0.0 | 4.622866E-6 | 3.7586685E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6605167 | 3.7586685E-6 | 0.0 | 5.628194E-5 | 4.576084E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.65558237 | 4.576084E-5 | 0.0 | 5.6267687E-4 | 4.5757365E-4 | 3.9E-4 | 0.8523218 | 4.5757365E-4 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.846433E-7 | 4.868812E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.868812E-7 | 0.0 | 2.9341822E-6 | 2.086632E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.086632E-6 | 0.0 | 3.5723086E-5 | 2.5404452E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.3936318 | 2.5404452E-5 | 0.0 | 3.571734E-4 | 2.5405022E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.39362296 | 2.5405022E-4 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.23043E-7 | 3.2627884E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.2627884E-7 | 0.0 | 2.2416111E-6 | 1.3983371E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3983371E-6 | 0.0 | 2.7291273E-5 | 1.7024622E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.5873846 | 1.7024622E-5 | 0.0 | 2.7287923E-4 | 1.7026608E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.41112125 | 1.7026608E-4 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.648444E-7 | 2.723464E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.723464E-7 | 0.0 | 1.9921886E-6 | 1.1671983E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1671983E-6 | 0.0 | 2.4254627E-5 | 1.4210547E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.7037027 | 1.4210547E-5 | 0.0 | 2.425198E-4 | 1.4212691E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.4925176 | 1.4212691E-4 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.9906567E-7 | 2.2083036E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2083036E-7 | 0.0 | 1.7102802E-6 | 9.4641547E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.4641547E-7 | 0.0 | 2.0822463E-5 | 1.1522548E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.8678636 | 1.1522548E-5 | 0.0 | 2.0820512E-4 | 1.15244526E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.5206321 | 1.15244526E-4 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.8784601E-7 | 5.366277E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.366277E-8 | 0.0 | 8.0505407E-7 | 2.2998329E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2998329E-7 | 0.0 | 9.80149E-6 | 2.800043E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5713737 | 2.800043E-6 | 0.0 | 9.801057E-5 | 2.8008939E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.71405774 | 2.8008939E-5 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.00154914E-7 | 1.2412917E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2412917E-8 | 0.0 | 4.2923529E-7 | 5.3198217E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.3198217E-8 | 0.0 | 5.225927E-6 | 6.476881E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.476881E-7 | 0.0 | 5.225804E-5 | 6.4827886E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.542546 | 6.4827886E-6 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.171429E-8 | 4.2946513E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2946513E-9 | 0.0 | 2.6448978E-7 | 1.8405647E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8405647E-8 | 0.0 | 3.2201583E-6 | 2.2408874E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2408874E-7 | 0.0 | 3.2201115E-5 | 2.2462114E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2462114E-6 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.3974572E-8 | 3.3737857E-10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3737857E-10 | 0.0 | 5.989102E-8 | 1.4459075E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4459075E-9 | 0.0 | 7.2917294E-7 | 1.760392E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.760392E-8 | 0.0 | 7.2917055E-6 | 1.8038004E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8038004E-7 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.8403477E-9 | 1.1291601E-10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1291601E-10 | 0.0 | 7.887204E-9 | 4.839261E-10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.839261E-10 | 0.0 | 9.602671E-8 | 5.8917977E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8917977E-9 | 0.0 | 9.602667E-7 | 6.0206084E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0206084E-8 | 0.0 |
Simi-Santa Rosa
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.198912E-5 | 2.2275388E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.8978519 | 4.2274944E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 9.4235686E-5 | 9.54627E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 0.6285177 | 1.2545985E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011467156 | 0.0011616825 | 6.8E-4 | 0.58535784 | 0.0012116245 | 5.0E-5 | 0.011408163 | 0.011560547 | 0.0071 | 0.61415774 | 0.011619854 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.198912E-5 | 2.2275388E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.8978519 | 4.2274944E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 9.4235686E-5 | 9.54627E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 0.6285177 | 1.2545985E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011467156 | 0.0011616825 | 6.8E-4 | 0.58535784 | 0.0012116245 | 5.0E-5 | 0.011408163 | 0.011560547 | 0.0071 | 0.61415774 | 0.011619854 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.69983E-5 | 1.6668506E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1998676 | 3.666817E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 7.284782E-5 | 7.143466E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.6999403 | 1.0143252E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 8.865613E-4 | 8.6939917E-4 | 5.4E-4 | 0.6211186 | 9.1935566E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008830327 | 0.0086629 | 0.00518 | 0.5979522 | 0.00872238 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.69983E-5 | 1.6668506E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1998676 | 3.666817E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 7.284782E-5 | 7.143466E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.6999403 | 1.0143252E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 8.865613E-4 | 8.6939917E-4 | 5.4E-4 | 0.6211186 | 9.1935566E-4 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008830327 | 0.0086629 | 0.00518 | 0.5979522 | 0.00872238 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4666188E-5 | 1.4052489E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.7116177 | 2.4052348E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 6.285358E-5 | 6.0223705E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.6641903 | 8.02225E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 7.6497364E-4 | 7.330018E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.6821265 | 7.729725E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0076234564 | 0.0073083164 | 0.00438 | 0.59931725 | 0.007357951 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4666188E-5 | 1.4052489E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.7116177 | 2.4052348E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 6.285358E-5 | 6.0223705E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.6641903 | 8.02225E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 7.6497364E-4 | 7.330018E-4 | 5.0E-4 | 0.6821265 | 7.729725E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0076234564 | 0.0073083164 | 0.00438 | 0.59931725 | 0.007357951 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4377586E-5 | 1.3729529E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.72835714 | 2.3729392E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1616774E-5 | 5.883965E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.6798137 | 7.883847E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4992597E-4 | 7.1616215E-4 | 4.6E-4 | 0.64231265 | 7.561335E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007474003 | 0.0071410104 | 0.0043 | 0.6021557 | 0.0071906536 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3881404E-5 | 1.3207497E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.7571457 | 2.3207365E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9490372E-5 | 5.6602472E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 0.7066829 | 7.660134E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 7.240546E-4 | 6.889419E-4 | 4.5E-4 | 0.65317553 | 7.2891434E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007217 | 0.0068705105 | 0.0041 | 0.5967533 | 0.0069201672 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0176516E-5 | 9.1541E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0924067 | 1.9154008E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3612912E-5 | 3.923136E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.50979626 | 4.9230966E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 5.308578E-4 | 4.775537E-4 | 3.1E-4 | 0.64914167 | 4.875489E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052959146 | 0.004766908 | 0.00274 | 0.5747961 | 0.00477686 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.699797E-6 | 8.774672E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1396438 | 1.8774585E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 4.15699E-5 | 3.760529E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.5318401 | 4.760491E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 5.05996E-4 | 4.5776463E-4 | 3.1E-4 | 0.67720395 | 4.6776005E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005048454 | 0.0045698346 | 0.00268 | 0.58645445 | 0.004579789 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.4049476E-6 | 6.559291E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5245551 | 1.6559225E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1735104E-5 | 2.8111013E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.71146494 | 3.811073E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8630638E-4 | 3.422105E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 0.6136574 | 3.5220708E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038563553 | 0.0034180775 | 0.00196 | 0.5734218 | 0.0034280433 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.873439E-6 | 2.759473E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6238804 | 1.2759446E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6600346E-5 | 1.1826261E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.8455758 | 2.1826143E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0209046E-4 | 1.4397544E-4 | 1.2E-4 | 0.8334755 | 1.53974E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020190678 | 0.0014388453 | 9.5E-4 | 0.6602517 | 0.0014488308 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.417706E-6 | 2.367616E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 4.223658 | 1.2367592E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4647229E-5 | 1.0146887E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 0.98552394 | 2.0146785E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7831543E-4 | 1.2353157E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.8904606 | 1.3353034E-4 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017817242 | 0.0012346513 | 8.5E-4 | 0.6884535 | 0.0012446389 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.90225E-6 | 1.4073756E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 7.105424 | 1.1407362E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 8.152474E-6 | 6.031596E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.657936 | 1.6031536E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 9.9251854E-5 | 7.343223E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 0.81707996 | 8.343149E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 9.920754E-4 | 7.340819E-4 | 5.6E-4 | 0.7628577 | 7.440745E-4 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.5170556E-6 | 1.1024792E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 9.070466 | 1.1102468E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 6.5016507E-6 | 4.7249023E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1164458 | 1.4724855E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 7.915472E-5 | 5.752418E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.8691997 | 6.75236E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 7.9126534E-4 | 5.75094E-4 | 4.8E-4 | 0.83464617 | 5.850883E-4 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.178732E-6 | 8.5351127E-7 | 1.0E-5 | 11.716307 | 1.0853502E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0516987E-6 | 3.6579004E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7338088 | 1.3657864E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1502695E-5 | 4.4534037E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1227367 | 5.4533593E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 6.148568E-4 | 4.4525208E-4 | 4.0E-4 | 0.8983675 | 4.5524762E-4 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.8722386E-7 | 4.793211E-7 | 1.0E-5 | 20.86284 | 1.0479316E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9452417E-6 | 2.0542318E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 4.868 | 1.2054211E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5857727E-5 | 2.5009986E-5 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5993612 | 3.5009736E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5851944E-4 | 2.5007184E-4 | 2.8E-4 | 1.1196783 | 2.6006933E-4 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.5126515E-7 | 3.6731117E-7 | 1.0E-5 | 27.224873 | 1.0367307E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3625628E-6 | 1.5741898E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 6.352474 | 1.1574174E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8763823E-5 | 1.9165593E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.565305 | 2.9165401E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.87601E-4 | 1.9163951E-4 | 2.2E-4 | 1.1479887 | 2.016376E-4 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.3860243E-7 | 2.0075514E-7 | 1.0E-5 | 49.811928 | 1.0200753E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4511525E-6 | 8.6037886E-7 | 1.0E-5 | 11.6227865 | 1.086037E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7667637E-5 | 1.0475063E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9092964 | 2.0474958E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7666233E-4 | 1.0474575E-4 | 1.4E-4 | 1.3365698 | 1.147447E-4 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.7955386E-7 | 1.4648724E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4648724E-7 | 0.0 | 1.1980875E-6 | 6.278023E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.278023E-7 | 0.0 | 1.4586617E-5 | 7.643467E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3083068 | 7.643467E-6 | 0.0 | 1.458566E-4 | 7.643208E-5 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3083512 | 7.643208E-5 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.6259015E-8 | 3.335318E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.335318E-8 | 0.0 | 2.4111003E-7 | 1.429422E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.429422E-7 | 0.0 | 2.9355108E-6 | 1.7403199E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 5.74607 | 1.7403199E-6 | 0.0 | 2.935472E-5 | 1.7403077E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7238331 | 1.7403077E-5 | 0.0 |
Oak Ridge (Onshore)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9526076E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.016051 | 4.9525486E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.265344E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7902989 | 1.5653062E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395058 | 9.7E-4 | 0.6300723 | 0.0015894289 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293054 | 0.00862 | 0.56365454 | 0.015352137 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9526076E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.016051 | 4.9525486E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.265344E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7902989 | 1.5653062E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395058 | 9.7E-4 | 0.6300723 | 0.0015894289 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293054 | 0.00862 | 0.56365454 | 0.015352137 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9526076E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.016051 | 4.9525486E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.265344E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7902989 | 1.5653062E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395058 | 9.7E-4 | 0.6300723 | 0.0015894289 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293054 | 0.00862 | 0.56365454 | 0.015352137 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9526076E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.016051 | 4.9525486E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.265344E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7902989 | 1.5653062E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395058 | 9.7E-4 | 0.6300723 | 0.0015894289 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293054 | 0.00862 | 0.56365454 | 0.015352137 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9526076E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.016051 | 4.9525486E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.265344E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7902989 | 1.5653062E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395058 | 9.7E-4 | 0.6300723 | 0.0015894289 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293054 | 0.00862 | 0.56365454 | 0.015352137 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9526076E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.016051 | 4.9525486E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.265344E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7902989 | 1.5653062E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395058 | 9.7E-4 | 0.6300723 | 0.0015894289 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293054 | 0.00862 | 0.56365454 | 0.015352137 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9526076E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.016051 | 4.9525486E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.265344E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.7902989 | 1.5653062E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395058 | 9.7E-4 | 0.6300723 | 0.0015894289 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293054 | 0.00862 | 0.56365454 | 0.015352137 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.098897E-5 | 2.8864279E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0393469 | 4.88637E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.328031E-4 | 1.236984E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.8084179 | 1.5369468E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016156785 | 0.0015050253 | 9.4E-4 | 0.62457424 | 0.00155495 | 5.0E-5 | 0.016039822 | 0.014952909 | 0.00841 | 0.56243235 | 0.015012012 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.0449872E-5 | 2.8239476E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0623426 | 4.823891E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3049292E-4 | 1.2102092E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.8263034 | 1.5101729E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015875935 | 0.001472471 | 9.3E-4 | 0.6315914 | 0.0015223974 | 5.0E-5 | 0.015762992 | 0.014631658 | 0.00824 | 0.56316245 | 0.014680926 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.697928E-5 | 2.4219877E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.825768 | 3.4219636E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.15620365E-4 | 1.03795464E-4 | 9.0E-5 | 0.8670899 | 1.2379339E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014067689 | 0.0012629988 | 8.2E-4 | 0.6492485 | 0.0013029482 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0139789665 | 0.012561066 | 0.00719 | 0.57240367 | 0.0126005635 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.4893961E-5 | 2.1862146E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.91482323 | 3.1861928E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0668404E-4 | 9.369165E-5 | 9.0E-5 | 0.9605979 | 1.1368978E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012981043 | 0.0011401166 | 7.3E-4 | 0.6402854 | 0.001180071 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012905477 | 0.011345102 | 0.00648 | 0.5711716 | 0.011384648 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.0945363E-5 | 1.7354592E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1524327 | 2.735442E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 8.976275E-5 | 7.437473E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 0.9411799 | 9.4373245E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010923136 | 9.0514094E-4 | 6.3E-4 | 0.69602424 | 9.451047E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0108696 | 0.009015621 | 0.00536 | 0.59452367 | 0.00905526 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0439404E-5 | 1.680953E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1898013 | 2.680936E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7594504E-5 | 7.203888E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 0.9716975 | 9.203744E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010659413 | 8.767251E-4 | 6.1E-4 | 0.6957711 | 9.1669004E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010608427 | 0.008733723 | 0.00517 | 0.5919583 | 0.008773374 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.8463334E-5 | 1.5381947E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3002256 | 2.5381793E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 7.912617E-5 | 6.592098E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 1.0618773 | 8.5919666E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 9.6293533E-4 | 8.0229685E-4 | 5.1E-4 | 0.63567495 | 8.4226474E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009587734 | 0.0079950085 | 0.00463 | 0.57911134 | 0.008034689 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.763139E-5 | 1.4516977E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3776973 | 2.4516832E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 7.556091E-5 | 6.221415E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 0.9644108 | 8.221291E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 9.1956573E-4 | 7.57198E-4 | 4.9E-4 | 0.6471226 | 7.9716777E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009157699 | 0.007547126 | 0.00443 | 0.58697844 | 0.0075868242 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3594944E-5 | 1.1163363E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.791575 | 2.116325E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8262744E-5 | 4.7842117E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 1.2541251 | 6.784116E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 7.0911803E-4 | 5.8232463E-4 | 3.9E-4 | 0.66972953 | 6.2230136E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007068595 | 0.005808362 | 0.0035 | 0.60257953 | 0.0058481293 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.9889534E-6 | 5.6367194E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7740816 | 1.5636662E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9952313E-5 | 2.4157147E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2418685 | 4.4156666E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.646084E-4 | 2.94074E-4 | 1.1E-4 | 0.3740555 | 3.240652E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0036401073 | 0.0029368924 | 0.00171 | 0.5822481 | 0.0029668044 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.0824193E-6 | 3.2832731E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 3.045741 | 1.328324E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7495966E-5 | 1.4071096E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 2.13203 | 3.4070814E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1299256E-4 | 1.7130225E-4 | 1.0E-4 | 0.5837635 | 2.0129712E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021278851 | 0.0017117155 | 9.9E-4 | 0.5783671 | 0.0017416641 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.7023609E-6 | 1.43706E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 6.958652 | 1.1437046E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 7.295812E-6 | 6.158814E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6236893 | 1.6158752E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 8.882289E-5 | 7.4981006E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 0.40010133 | 8.498025E-5 | 1.0E-5 | 8.8787393E-4 | 7.4955984E-4 | 4.6E-4 | 0.6136935 | 7.5955235E-4 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.721225E-7 | 2.261692E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.261692E-7 | 0.0 | 1.1662388E-6 | 9.692963E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.692963E-7 | 0.0 | 1.4198865E-5 | 1.1801121E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1801121E-5 | 0.0 | 1.4197957E-4 | 1.1800523E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.6779361 | 1.1800523E-4 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 9.364255E-9 | 5.1204916E-9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.1204916E-9 | 0.0 | 4.0132523E-8 | 2.1944963E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1944963E-8 | 0.0 | 4.8861335E-7 | 2.671799E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.671799E-7 | 0.0 | 4.8861225E-6 | 2.6717962E-6 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7428005 | 2.6717962E-6 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.41444E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.8283495 | 4.4143915E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.034719E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.6765121 | 1.334688E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001259045 | 7.4E-4 | 0.58774704 | 0.0012989946 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012928195 | 0.00632 | 0.48885402 | 0.012987419 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.41444E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.8283495 | 4.4143915E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.034719E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.6765121 | 1.334688E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001259045 | 7.4E-4 | 0.58774704 | 0.0012989946 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012928195 | 0.00632 | 0.48885402 | 0.012987419 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.41444E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.8283495 | 4.4143915E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.034719E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.6765121 | 1.334688E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001259045 | 7.4E-4 | 0.58774704 | 0.0012989946 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012928195 | 0.00632 | 0.48885402 | 0.012987419 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.41444E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.8283495 | 4.4143915E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.034719E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.6765121 | 1.334688E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001259045 | 7.4E-4 | 0.58774704 | 0.0012989946 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012928195 | 0.00632 | 0.48885402 | 0.012987419 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.41444E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.8283495 | 4.4143915E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.034719E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.6765121 | 1.334688E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001259045 | 7.4E-4 | 0.58774704 | 0.0012989946 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012928195 | 0.00632 | 0.48885402 | 0.012987419 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7282445E-5 | 2.4030476E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.83227646 | 4.4029995E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.16919524E-4 | 1.0298371E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.67971915 | 1.3298061E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014225657 | 0.001253108 | 7.3E-4 | 0.5825515 | 0.0012930579 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014134934 | 0.012869522 | 0.00631 | 0.4903057 | 0.01292875 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.7282445E-5 | 2.4030476E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.83227646 | 4.4029995E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.16919524E-4 | 1.0298371E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.67971915 | 1.3298061E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014225657 | 0.001253108 | 7.3E-4 | 0.5825515 | 0.0012930579 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014134934 | 0.012869522 | 0.00631 | 0.4903057 | 0.01292875 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.7216198E-5 | 2.3955597E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.83487797 | 4.395512E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1663563E-4 | 1.02662816E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.68184376 | 1.3265974E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014191137 | 0.0012492058 | 7.3E-4 | 0.58437127 | 0.0012891558 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014100855 | 0.012830934 | 0.00627 | 0.48866278 | 0.012890164 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.7078617E-5 | 2.3872815E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.83777297 | 4.387234E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1604605E-4 | 1.0230807E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.684208 | 1.32305E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001411945 | 0.0012448917 | 7.3E-4 | 0.5863964 | 0.0012848419 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014030075 | 0.0127880825 | 0.00626 | 0.48951828 | 0.012847315 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.6982952E-5 | 2.3792329E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.84060705 | 4.3791853E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.15636096E-4 | 1.0196315E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.6865225 | 1.319601E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014069602 | 0.0012406971 | 7.3E-4 | 0.5883789 | 0.0012806475 | 4.0E-5 | 0.013980856 | 0.012746378 | 0.00624 | 0.48955083 | 0.012805614 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.6449972E-5 | 2.3369357E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.8558216 | 4.3368887E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1335209E-4 | 1.0015055E-4 | 7.0E-5 | 0.6989477 | 1.3014756E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001379188 | 0.0012186535 | 7.2E-4 | 0.59081596 | 0.0012586048 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0137065975 | 0.012527733 | 0.00617 | 0.4925073 | 0.012586981 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.6257849E-5 | 2.3195396E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.8622401 | 4.3194934E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1252879E-4 | 9.940507E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 0.7041894 | 1.2940209E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013691769 | 0.0012095873 | 7.2E-4 | 0.5952443 | 0.001249539 | 4.0E-5 | 0.013607717 | 0.012437661 | 0.00615 | 0.49446598 | 0.012496915 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.5270041E-5 | 2.2390155E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.89324975 | 4.2389707E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0829568E-4 | 9.5954296E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 0.729514 | 1.2595141E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013177024 | 0.0011676198 | 6.8E-4 | 0.58238137 | 0.0012075731 | 4.0E-5 | 0.013099162 | 0.0120187905 | 0.00594 | 0.4942261 | 0.012078069 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.339701E-5 | 2.1122027E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.94687885 | 4.1121606E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0026905E-4 | 9.051985E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 0.7733111 | 1.2051713E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001220092 | 0.001101524 | 6.4E-4 | 0.5810132 | 0.0011414799 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012134149 | 0.011357642 | 0.00564 | 0.49658194 | 0.0114169605 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.296333E-5 | 2.0852396E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.9591224 | 4.0851977E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 9.841056E-5 | 8.936436E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 0.78331006 | 1.1936168E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011974899 | 0.0010874701 | 6.3E-4 | 0.5793263 | 0.0011274266 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011910575 | 0.011216754 | 0.00559 | 0.49836165 | 0.011276081 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.2188895E-5 | 2.037534E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.98157865 | 4.0374933E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 9.50918E-5 | 8.731998E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 0.8016493 | 1.1731736E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011571277 | 0.0010626042 | 6.2E-4 | 0.58347213 | 0.0011025618 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011511209 | 0.010966369 | 0.00551 | 0.5024452 | 0.011025711 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.0013189E-5 | 1.8961666E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0547596 | 3.8961287E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 8.5767984E-5 | 8.126176E-5 | 7.0E-5 | 0.8614138 | 1.1125932E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001043725 | 9.889146E-4 | 5.9E-4 | 0.5966137 | 0.001028875 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010388365 | 0.010224371 | 0.00522 | 0.51054484 | 0.010283758 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7230794E-5 | 1.6743043E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.194526 | 3.674271E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 7.384417E-5 | 7.175393E-5 | 6.0E-5 | 0.8361912 | 1.0175178E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 8.986819E-4 | 8.732547E-4 | 4.8E-4 | 0.5496678 | 9.132198E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008950562 | 0.00906292 | 0.00456 | 0.5031491 | 0.009122376 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.4478809E-5 | 1.499039E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3341881 | 3.499009E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 6.205057E-5 | 6.424295E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.7782955 | 9.424102E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 7.552038E-4 | 7.8187784E-4 | 4.3E-4 | 0.54995805 | 8.218466E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0075264242 | 0.008141388 | 0.00402 | 0.49377328 | 0.0082009 | 6.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.1114467E-5 | 1.1644517E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7175466 | 3.1644286E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7632562E-5 | 4.990412E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.0019213 | 7.9902624E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 5.797721E-4 | 6.074139E-4 | 3.5E-4 | 0.57621336 | 6.4738956E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0057826187 | 0.0063803545 | 0.00305 | 0.47802985 | 0.0064399717 | 6.0E-5 |
8.0 | 9.327402E-6 | 9.8986575E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0204759 | 2.989846E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.9973966E-5 | 4.2422133E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1786301 | 7.242086E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 4.8657437E-4 | 5.163676E-4 | 3.0E-4 | 0.58098143 | 5.5634696E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0048551033 | 0.00544994 | 0.00263 | 0.4825741 | 0.005509613 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 7.0235833E-6 | 6.826985E-6 | 2.0E-5 | 2.929551 | 2.6826849E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0100724E-5 | 2.9258183E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7089237 | 5.9257305E-5 | 3.0E-5 | 3.664147E-4 | 3.5616063E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 0.5896216 | 3.961464E-4 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003658111 | 0.0037874572 | 0.00171 | 0.45149025 | 0.0038372679 | 5.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.0358202E-6 | 8.9912584E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.9912584E-7 | 0.0 | 8.724915E-6 | 3.853391E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.853391E-6 | 0.0 | 1.06220665E-4 | 4.6914047E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.42631155 | 4.6914047E-5 | 0.0 | 0.001061699 | 5.3239096E-4 | 2.6E-4 | 0.48836294 | 5.3239096E-4 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.0051264E-7 | 6.61379E-8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.61379E-8 | 0.0 | 8.5933965E-7 | 2.8344812E-7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8344812E-7 | 0.0 | 1.046241E-5 | 3.450976E-6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.450976E-6 | 0.0 | 1.0461917E-4 | 4.0120205E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.49850193 | 4.0120205E-5 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.4353277E-5 | 7.050019E-5 | 5.0E-5 | 0.709218 | 1.0049807E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3292181E-4 | 3.0211007E-4 | 1.8E-4 | 0.59580934 | 3.3210102E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0028321352 | 0.0036720056 | 0.00244 | 0.664487 | 0.0037118588 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02796312 | 0.036115844 | 0.02569 | 0.7113221 | 0.036164038 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5578287E-5 | 5.822054E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.34352136 | 7.8219375E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.953209E-4 | 2.4949352E-4 | 8.0E-5 | 0.3206496 | 2.6948852E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023754383 | 0.0030333549 | 0.00178 | 0.586809 | 0.003063264 | 3.0E-5 | 0.023502063 | 0.029919893 | 0.01848 | 0.6176493 | 0.029958695 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8536782E-5 | 3.4736422E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.57576454 | 5.4735727E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2229476E-4 | 1.4886161E-4 | 6.0E-5 | 0.40305892 | 1.6885863E-4 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014879217 | 0.0018108576 | 0.00106 | 0.585358 | 0.0018308214 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014779986 | 0.017958276 | 0.01085 | 0.60417825 | 0.017977918 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3698774E-5 | 2.8213344E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8213344E-5 | 0.0 | 1.01562226E-4 | 1.2090833E-4 | 3.0E-5 | 0.24812187 | 1.2090833E-4 | 0.0 | 0.0012358186 | 0.001471051 | 8.9E-4 | 0.6050096 | 0.001471051 | 0.0 | 0.012289686 | 0.014611455 | 0.00888 | 0.60774237 | 0.014611455 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.9191197E-5 | 2.212289E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.212289E-5 | 0.0 | 8.2245395E-5 | 9.4808805E-5 | 2.0E-5 | 0.21095087 | 9.4808805E-5 | 0.0 | 0.0010008777 | 0.0011536906 | 6.8E-4 | 0.5894128 | 0.00115 |