Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions

Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)

Table Of Contents

Garlock (Central)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.5131142E-57.02476E-50.06721956.758670.067245530.067182.3625491E-43.0102677E-40.08256274.261320.082716210.082440.00287260950.0036589060.113230.938210.114800760.111550.0283575910.0361366570.155614.3061540.169178710.13803
6.15.5131142E-57.02476E-50.06721956.758670.067245530.067182.3625491E-43.0102677E-40.08256274.261320.082716210.082440.00287260950.0036589060.113230.938210.114800760.111550.0283575910.0361366570.155614.3061540.169178710.13803
6.24.216245E-55.1661802E-50.04093792.26820.040949550.04091.806837E-42.213891E-40.05076229.279570.0508701730.050660.00219760460.0026921120.0703226.1207560.071556220.069050.0217599890.0267013180.100213.75299840.110969520.08658
6.34.216245E-55.1661802E-50.04093792.26820.040949550.04091.806837E-42.213891E-40.05076229.279570.0508701730.050660.00219760460.0026921120.0703226.1207560.071556220.069050.0217599890.0267013180.100213.75299840.110969520.08658
6.43.6858168E-54.411026E-50.03128709.13210.0312927330.031251.5795401E-41.8903041E-40.03894205.99860.0390316880.038850.00192139370.00229904130.0543623.6446380.0553966870.053220.0190486550.0228660980.079333.46932820.088842180.06752
6.53.39199E-54.0018425E-50.02789696.928960.0278989040.027861.453629E-41.7149639E-40.03477202.74480.034855550.034690.00176835650.00208599070.0484823.2407550.0494869050.04750.0175435080.0207587830.071173.42842820.079904950.0604
6.63.3571985E-53.947258E-50.02786705.80640.0278683730.027831.4387199E-41.6915736E-40.03474205.370910.0348232950.034660.00175023420.00205756720.0483923.5180660.0493999570.047440.0173651330.0204800420.070863.4599540.07953530.06029
6.73.2580007E-53.808902E-50.02673701.777040.0267470720.026711.3962112E-41.6322857E-40.03336204.375990.0334477950.033290.00169856170.00198551780.046523.4195820.0474650380.045570.0168563720.0197708740.06813.44446090.076575150.05795
6.83.2185937E-53.7516216E-50.02615697.03190.0261665360.026131.3793244E-41.60774E-40.03272203.51550.0328055250.032650.00167803370.00195568750.0455823.3063830.0465283470.044660.0166541920.0194778780.066843.43158530.075220560.05685
6.93.165394E-53.672075E-50.02551694.70260.0255257840.025491.3565269E-41.5736527E-40.03195203.030820.032032350.031880.00165032020.001914260.0444823.2361340.0454108380.043580.016381180.0190715180.065353.42657570.073522860.05551
7.03.0903822E-53.562591E-50.02486697.806760.0248747410.024841.3243823E-41.5267366E-40.03113203.898960.0312079320.031060.00161124280.00185723820.0432123.2657280.044098640.042320.0159961040.0185134930.063453.42723010.071386170.05387
7.13.0069863E-53.4392175E-50.0238692.01790.0238135740.023781.2886449E-41.4738683E-40.02984202.460430.0299129990.029770.00156779590.00179297870.0413723.0733360.0422303450.040510.015567810.017880990.060913.40641120.0686074350.05165
7.22.7957109E-53.128141E-50.01954624.65210.019550670.019521.1981068E-41.3405642E-40.02452182.908070.0245807790.024450.00145771880.00163093450.0343221.043150.0351561680.033580.0144819370.0162843520.051493.1619310.058712010.04313
7.32.4519275E-52.6714602E-50.0137512.82810.0137163480.013691.0507837E-41.1448621E-40.01716149.887050.0172125290.01710.00127857830.0013929930.0243417.4731670.0250499940.023690.0127124690.013928610.037812.71455670.0441023930.0306
7.42.3225532E-52.5199166E-50.0124492.079770.0124248870.01249.95342E-51.0799204E-40.01554143.899490.0155963190.015490.00121115510.00131402440.02216.7424580.0227058770.021420.0120457530.0131461960.034392.61596580.040442570.02766
7.52.097765E-52.2483406E-50.00945420.309970.00947227050.009458.9901114E-59.6353964E-50.01204124.955940.0120951980.0120.00109399650.001172490.017214.6696350.0178329330.016680.0108862640.01174065750.027372.33121540.0328795240.02139
7.61.511254E-51.5990969E-50.00503314.552550.00504591040.005036.476642E-56.8530964E-50.0063893.0965960.00640809630.006347.882459E-48.34053E-40.0092711.1144020.0096966550.008870.0078545580.0083838670.015781.88218630.0198370330.01155
7.79.934069E-61.0678523E-50.00144134.850110.00145066320.001444.2573887E-54.5764296E-50.0018740.8615460.00187568050.001835.182138E-45.570383E-40.002774.97272830.00308562890.002530.005170070.0056274190.006181.09819440.00893867950.00333
7.86.7562896E-68.42837E-68.3E-498.476938.384214E-48.3E-42.8955206E-53.6121084E-50.0010729.6225870.00108608310.001053.5247262E-44.3968562E-40.001743.9573730.00198900420.001550.00351914060.0044464160.004290.964821930.0065370790.0021
7.93.975453E-65.3710532E-64.4E-481.920624.453687E-44.4E-41.7037546E-52.3018596E-55.6E-424.3281565.7300593E-45.5E-42.0741238E-42.8021546E-49.6E-43.4259350.00109998578.2E-40.0020721890.00283356690.002510.885809360.0039603650.00113
8.01.6729537E-62.0775192E-61.8E-486.64181.8207714E-41.8E-47.169782E-68.903624E-62.1E-423.5859032.0890184E-42.0E-48.7288594E-51.0839626E-44.0E-43.6901644.2836159E-43.2E-48.7254314E-40.0010968549.0E-40.82052850.00147643723.8E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1489736E-72.0E-563.5127562.031489E-52.0E-51.5742813E-61.3495595E-62.0E-514.819652.1349533E-52.0E-51.9166706E-51.643078E-56.0E-53.6516834.6430287E-53.0E-51.9165053E-41.662928E-49.0E-50.541214052.0628615E-44.0E-5

Tank Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.8284557E-55.796445E-50.03678634.526860.0368058350.036752.0691741E-42.4839927E-40.04939198.833130.0495461520.049310.00251630880.00302073360.0763325.2686960.0774751450.074680.024880060.0298636160.119774.01056580.128933940.10212
6.11.7796336E-52.0873378E-50.01247597.41170.0124706130.012457.626778E-58.945448E-50.01703190.376160.0170879350.0179.281647E-40.00108860240.0276425.3903560.02806920.027010.0092429750.0108366420.045444.19318060.0487117060.03829
6.21.7796336E-52.0873378E-50.01247597.41170.0124706130.012457.626778E-58.945448E-50.01703190.376160.0170879350.0179.281647E-40.00108860240.0276425.3903560.02806920.027010.0092429750.0108366420.045444.19318060.0487117060.03829
6.31.3515912E-51.5759651E-50.00884560.92610.008835620.008825.792405E-56.7539746E-50.01202177.969270.012056730.011997.049971E-48.2200987E-40.0198324.1237980.0201161370.019310.0070276470.0081921570.03334.06486370.0357544980.02779
6.41.0870146E-51.2618114E-50.00635503.244780.0063625380.006354.658551E-55.4076605E-50.0087160.882870.00874360650.008695.67031E-46.582015E-40.014522.0297280.0147888950.014140.0056558630.0065643820.024963.80233810.0272377770.02081
6.57.964826E-69.196184E-60.00411446.924530.00411915830.004113.4134522E-53.941168E-50.00564143.104780.00566918960.005634.1550855E-44.797421E-40.0093419.4687940.0095653810.009090.00414732470.0047882090.016493.44387630.0180543830.01333
6.66.6317E-67.612378E-60.003394.094970.00300758960.0032.8421264E-53.262412E-50.00408125.0608440.00410249130.004073.4597394E-43.9713533E-40.006716.8708230.0068645660.006470.00345435790.00396525160.012213.07924990.0135371450.00961
6.74.793663E-65.4308593E-60.00175322.232640.00175542140.001752.0544108E-52.3274928E-50.0022395.811260.0022532230.002232.500958E-42.833398E-40.0037713.305580.00385232830.003570.00249814520.00283031890.00722.54388280.0081452340.00533
6.84.382823E-64.969325E-60.00154309.901250.00154496170.001541.8783392E-52.1296957E-50.0019692.031930.00198125510.001962.286638E-42.5926388E-40.0033612.9597690.00345843430.00320.00228428650.00259012330.00642.47092490.00734776860.00477
6.92.729601E-63.0735862E-67.9E-4257.028757.930712E-47.9E-41.1698237E-51.3172453E-59.9E-475.1568450.00100315949.9E-41.4241673E-41.6036403E-40.0016210.10201550.00171011550.001550.0014232550.00160248080.003242.02186510.0038987950.0023
7.01.8987357E-62.126971E-64.1E-4192.762394.121261E-44.1E-48.137413E-69.115562E-65.1E-455.948285.1911094E-45.1E-49.90685E-51.1097702E-47.7E-46.93837368.40896E-47.3E-49.902435E-40.00110928460.00171.53251920.00211816420.00101
7.11.4928986E-61.6641525E-62.6E-4156.235692.6166372E-42.6E-46.398121E-67.132066E-63.4E-447.672023.4712965E-43.4E-47.789434E-58.6830034E-54.5E-45.18253855.2679185E-44.4E-47.786704E-48.6801895E-40.00111.26725340.00151745476.5E-4
7.21.069082E-61.1828765E-61.8E-4152.171421.8118267E-41.8E-44.581772E-65.0694644E-62.5E-449.3148772.550682E-42.5E-45.5781646E-56.171951E-53.2E-45.18474633.8169976E-43.2E-45.576765E-46.1707594E-46.9E-41.11817680.00101682924.0E-4
7.38.776551E-79.770151E-71.3E-4133.058331.3097688E-41.3E-43.7613736E-64.187204E-61.8E-442.9881131.8418644E-41.8E-44.579376E-55.0978535E-52.4E-44.7078642.909663E-42.4E-44.5784327E-45.097194E-45.2E-41.02016917.8957673E-42.8E-4
7.47.55721E-78.5103835E-71.1E-4129.253861.10850946E-41.1E-43.2388E-63.6473052E-61.5E-441.1262551.5364676E-41.5E-43.9431678E-54.4405555E-52.0E-44.5039412.4439668E-42.0E-43.942468E-44.4401767E-44.3E-40.96842996.6391996E-42.2E-4
7.55.587665E-76.305732E-78.0E-5126.86878.0630525E-58.0E-52.3947114E-62.7024564E-61.2E-444.4040451.2270213E-41.2E-42.915522E-53.2902408E-51.5E-44.5589371.8289748E-41.5E-42.9151395E-43.2902407E-43.4E-41.0333594.889714E-41.6E-4

Little Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.8424427E-53.1205716E-50.032451039.87370.0324401930.032411.2181328E-41.3373268E-40.04065303.96460.0407283050.04060.00148206770.00162711250.0547533.6485670.055599150.054060.0147222230.0161653980.073184.5269530.081482180.06639
6.12.8424427E-53.1205716E-50.032451039.87370.0324401930.032411.2181328E-41.3373268E-40.04065303.96460.0407283050.04060.00148206770.00162711250.0547533.6485670.055599150.054060.0147222230.0161653980.073184.5269530.081482180.06639
6.22.8424427E-53.1205716E-50.032451039.87370.0324401930.032411.2181328E-41.3373268E-40.04065303.96460.0407283050.04060.00148206770.00162711250.0547533.6485670.055599150.054060.0147222230.0161653980.073184.5269530.081482180.06639
6.31.48860645E-51.6081383E-50.022441395.40220.022455720.022446.379586E-56.8918554E-50.02786404.245270.0279170.027857.7643775E-48.387886E-40.0366643.7058870.0371383170.036330.0077373050.0083590450.047765.7135710.0521895740.0442
6.41.48860645E-51.6081383E-50.022441395.40220.022455720.022446.379586E-56.8918554E-50.02786404.245270.0279170.027857.7643775E-48.387886E-40.0366643.7058870.0371383170.036330.0077373050.0083590450.047765.7135710.0521895740.0442
6.51.2797581E-51.376556E-50.020761508.11160.020773480.020765.4845623E-55.8994065E-50.02566434.9590.0257074810.025656.675408E-47.1804173E-40.0338547.1421050.0342339580.033540.0066553920.0071597670.043846.1231040.0476775770.04081
6.69.661896E-61.0289033E-50.018161764.98620.0181701020.018164.1407468E-54.40952E-50.02249510.032840.0225331040.022495.040193E-45.36743E-40.0295355.0170140.029831010.029310.0050287770.00535607150.037867.06861350.0406559850.03549
6.77.767871E-68.199681E-60.015931942.75840.015938070.015933.329045E-53.5141096E-50.01983564.29660.0198644440.019834.0523586E-44.2777258E-40.0259760.709830.0262167360.02580.0040449770.0042708430.032917.70573850.035168320.03103
6.86.4235196E-66.735739E-60.012611872.10340.0126166510.012612.752908E-52.8867207E-50.01568543.17690.0157084150.015683.35115E-43.5141438E-40.0203757.9657550.0205443170.02020.0033461010.00350984720.02597.37923860.0277943130.02437
6.93.1283696E-63.1121751E-60.008042583.4020.0080430870.008041.3407229E-51.33378335E-50.0099742.24950.0099132060.00991.6322079E-41.6237753E-40.0124976.919510.0125503660.012390.00163100950.00162273720.015839.7551220.0167182010.01512
7.02.290603E-62.2286763E-60.005082279.38010.00508221750.005089.816834E-69.551441E-60.0062649.116760.0062094920.00621.19513395E-41.1628362E-40.0077866.905380.0078253870.007710.00119449140.00116232990.009958.5603920.0106113340.00946
7.11.293693E-61.1776774E-60.00231952.99660.0023011750.00235.5443866E-65.047183E-60.00286566.65270.00286503280.002866.750081E-56.1448416E-50.0035457.6092950.0035512340.003496.7480316E-46.1438273E-40.004567.42208340.0049017470.00429
7.24.715842E-73.091732E-71.0E-4323.44331.00309146E-41.0E-42.0210737E-61.3250274E-61.4E-4105.6581951.4132484E-41.4E-42.4606294E-51.6132095E-51.8E-411.1578821.8612936E-41.7E-42.460357E-41.6130977E-43.0E-41.85977574.1126946E-42.5E-4
7.33.9430947E-72.3096938E-77.0E-5303.070477.0230955E-57.0E-51.6898966E-69.898685E-79.0E-590.921179.098978E-59.0E-52.0574296E-51.2051582E-51.3E-410.7869651.3205013E-41.2E-42.0572392E-41.2050936E-42.2E-41.82558443.1048647E-41.9E-4
7.43.547123E-71.9678579E-77.0E-5355.716747.019677E-57.0E-51.5201948E-68.433674E-78.0E-594.857838.08433E-58.0E-51.8508214E-51.02679505E-51.2E-411.6868511.2026682E-41.1E-41.8506673E-41.0267482E-42.1E-42.04529212.8265634E-41.8E-4
7.52.6354266E-71.4422719E-75.0E-5346.67535.014422E-55.0E-51.129468E-66.1811636E-76.0E-597.06916.061808E-56.0E-51.3751187E-57.525541E-68.0E-510.6304658.752494E-58.0E-51.3750336E-47.5252916E-51.3E-41.72750781.9524389E-41.2E-4
7.61.269913E-77.572344E-82.0E-5264.1192.0075722E-52.0E-55.4424834E-73.24529E-72.0E-561.6277732.0324522E-52.0E-56.6262032E-63.9511337E-63.0E-57.5927573.3951015E-53.0E-56.626006E-53.9510673E-56.0E-51.51857719.95083E-56.0E-5

Airport Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.028612183.44340.0286227280.028615.3086325E-55.615534E-50.03515625.942260.0352041830.035156.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0454766.5247340.0459025760.045250.00644258880.00681683930.057678.4599320.0611340250.05469
6.11.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.028612183.44340.0286227280.028615.3086325E-55.615534E-50.03515625.942260.0352041830.035156.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0454766.5247340.0459025760.045250.00644258880.00681683930.057678.4599320.0611340250.05469
6.21.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.028612183.44340.0286227280.028615.3086325E-55.615534E-50.03515625.942260.0352041830.035156.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0454766.5247340.0459025760.045250.00644258880.00681683930.057678.4599320.0611340250.05469
6.31.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.028612183.44340.0286227280.028615.3086325E-55.615534E-50.03515625.942260.0352041830.035156.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0454766.5247340.0459025760.045250.00644258880.00681683930.057678.4599320.0611340250.05469
6.41.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.028612183.44340.0286227280.028615.3086325E-55.615534E-50.03515625.942260.0352041830.035156.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0454766.5247340.0459025760.045250.00644258880.00681683930.057678.4599320.0611340250.05469
6.56.9922594E-67.384925E-60.021532915.39840.0215372260.021532.996648E-53.1649324E-50.02665842.040040.0266808070.026653.6478083E-43.8526783E-40.0343989.262570.034602080.034230.0036418260.00384653660.0430211.1840870.045087290.0414
6.66.9922594E-67.384925E-60.021532915.39840.0215372260.021532.996648E-53.1649324E-50.02665842.040040.0266808070.026653.6478083E-43.8526783E-40.0343989.262570.034602080.034230.0036418260.00384653660.0430211.1840870.045087290.0414
6.75.477277E-65.7860684E-60.018573209.4330.018575680.018572.3473833E-52.4797222E-50.02309931.152650.0231142250.023092.8575645E-43.0186825E-40.0296698.254780.029802960.029510.00285389270.0030149660.0369212.2455780.03851760.03561
6.83.9950432E-64.2190873E-60.014353401.20970.0143541580.014351.7121502E-51.8081691E-50.01777982.7620.017787760.017772.0843433E-42.2012512E-40.02271103.16860.0227951540.022580.00208238930.00219934180.0283412.88567350.0295091460.02737
6.92.95695E-63.1230243E-60.010433339.71140.0104330910.010431.2672582E-51.3384334E-50.01284959.33050.0128532130.012841.5427776E-41.6294434E-40.01638100.525120.0164402910.016280.0015417070.00162847120.0205112.5946350.0213962270.0198
7.01.456072E-61.540812E-60.00483115.24050.0048015330.00486.2402937E-66.603469E-60.00585885.8980.00585656470.005857.597293E-58.039528E-50.0073291.0501250.00733981140.007267.594696E-48.0376083E-40.0091711.4088670.0096266630.00883
7.16.995192E-77.4089746E-70.002152901.88620.00215073930.002152.997936E-63.1752747E-60.00267840.872130.00267316680.002673.649926E-53.865897E-50.003385.361820.0032985330.003263.6493264E-43.865897E-40.0041710.786630.0043450590.00396

Owl Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.0320643E-56.6358676E-50.01607242.16880.0160952960.016032.1564208E-42.843643E-40.021374.9039150.021428350.021150.00262228120.0034575470.033259.6166440.0345197770.031170.025915530.0341412950.066311.94222270.0750067760.04231
6.15.0320643E-56.6358676E-50.01607242.16880.0160952960.016032.1564208E-42.843643E-40.021374.9039150.021428350.021150.00262228120.0034575470.033259.6166440.0345197770.031170.025915530.0341412950.066311.94222270.0750067760.04231
6.22.4125871E-53.0980515E-50.01277412.194550.0127805850.012751.0339249E-41.3276804E-40.0167125.783290.0167505610.016620.00125807660.00161542520.0252515.6305590.0258162670.024240.0125097810.0160707550.045222.81380680.047851670.0323
6.31.7433485E-52.2355545E-50.01142510.835240.01142210050.01147.471279E-59.580685E-50.01479154.373110.0148243960.014739.0924866E-40.0011659620.0219218.7999270.0223212670.021180.0090553730.01162914650.036933.17564150.0391651580.02786
6.41.7433485E-52.2355545E-50.01142510.835240.01142210050.01147.471279E-59.580685E-50.01479154.373110.0148243960.014739.0924866E-40.0011659620.0219218.7999270.0223212670.021180.0090553730.01162914650.036933.17564150.0391651580.02786
6.51.5182742E-51.9429277E-50.01099565.641240.0109892160.010976.506727E-58.3266525E-50.01419170.416630.0142220890.014147.919061E-40.00101343440.0207720.4946670.0211430140.020150.00789090.0101186780.033853.34529880.0361030620.02625
6.66.7271576E-68.547518E-60.009121066.97640.0091184690.009112.8830356E-53.6631736E-50.01149313.662450.0115162120.011483.5095305E-44.4590578E-40.0157835.388640.0159889720.015550.00350399320.00446801870.02224.9686450.0241297760.01975
6.76.682835E-68.479961E-60.00911073.11820.0090984030.009092.8640408E-53.6342215E-50.01147315.610930.01149592550.011463.4864116E-44.423823E-40.0157635.6252940.0159655120.015530.0034809470.00443293250.022144.99443670.0240655150.01972
6.86.5774975E-68.326427E-60.00911092.90580.009098250.009092.8188972E-53.5684232E-50.01146321.150270.0114852760.011453.4314668E-44.3437455E-40.0157336.2129860.0159276430.01550.00342617280.00435310560.022035.0607550.0239275230.01966
6.96.363419E-67.999591E-60.009081135.05810.0090779270.009072.727151E-53.428354E-50.01144333.687840.0114638920.011433.3198006E-44.1732774E-40.0156737.5484280.0158708770.015460.00331484550.00418306470.021865.22583340.0237010770.0196
7.06.1342453E-67.631779E-60.009021181.90.0090175630.009012.6289357E-53.2707245E-50.01133346.40640.0113523370.011323.2002592E-43.9814346E-40.015538.930690.0156920520.01530.00319565440.0039917390.02155.38612370.02326450.01935
7.15.842926E-67.142312E-60.008631208.29220.008627080.008622.504087E-53.060958E-50.01085354.464170.0108702780.010843.0482994E-43.7261334E-40.0148139.7462960.0149871660.014620.00304412140.00373715950.02055.48544930.0221680220.0185
7.24.77173E-65.358478E-60.005451017.07980.00544532950.005442.045011E-52.2964727E-50.00693301.767120.0069428060.006922.4895166E-42.7956374E-40.0095734.2319070.0097269220.009450.00248672930.00280862120.013654.8600360.0149643840.01219
7.33.0494948E-62.710356E-60.00138509.158170.00138270660.001381.3069198E-51.1615762E-50.00182156.683650.00183159460.001821.5910587E-41.4141288E-40.0025718.1737350.0026510580.002510.00158991990.00142310890.004162.92317750.0048681990.00345
7.42.7263884E-62.3055634E-68.4E-4364.336128.423036E-48.4E-41.1684469E-59.880949E-60.00119120.433780.00119986920.001191.4224913E-41.2029401E-40.0016713.8826520.00173010040.001610.00142158110.00121105780.002822.3285430.00345833270.00225
7.52.6090431E-62.1655019E-67.0E-4323.25077.0216396E-47.0E-41.1181565E-59.2806895E-60.00101108.828120.00101927130.001011.3612706E-41.1298663E-40.0014512.8333770.00150282960.001390.0013604370.00113781260.002452.15325430.00304563950.00191
7.62.3008756E-61.8726826E-65.3E-4283.016485.318717E-45.3E-49.860858E-68.025758E-67.9E-498.433077.980194E-47.9E-41.20049335E-49.770931E-50.0011211.4625720.00117760370.001080.0011998459.848307E-40.001891.91911170.00244339280.00146
7.71.7184348E-61.341808E-63.3E-4245.936833.3134138E-43.3E-47.3646997E-65.750593E-64.7E-481.73074.757479E-44.7E-48.966153E-57.0011265E-56.1E-48.7128846.5997E-45.9E-48.962536E-47.0769014E-40.001131.5967440.00153710278.3E-4
7.88.4612907E-78.4054994E-71.2E-4142.763671.2084045E-41.2E-43.6262625E-63.602352E-61.8E-449.9673541.836017E-41.8E-44.4148852E-54.3857777E-52.6E-45.9282532.8384724E-42.4E-44.414008E-44.4386165E-45.1E-41.14900677.537241E-43.1E-4
7.92.716738E-73.7681625E-74.0E-5106.1525344.0376803E-54.0E-51.1643157E-61.6149258E-67.0E-543.3456467.161481E-57.0E-51.4175452E-51.9661555E-58.0E-54.06885439.9659985E-58.0E-51.4174548E-41.9829652E-41.8E-40.907731532.982767E-41.0E-4
8.02.1995428E-83.3853325E-81.0E-5295.391971.0033853E-51.0E-59.426611E-81.4508568E-71.0E-568.924791.0145084E-51.0E-51.1476893E-61.7664173E-62.0E-511.3223522.1766382E-52.0E-51.14768345E-51.7869768E-52.0E-51.11920873.7869413E-52.0E-5

Panamint Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0211835E-53.3984263E-50.01217358.106930.012203570.012171.2947287E-41.4563887E-40.01592109.311480.0160233270.015880.00157519230.00177174060.0245213.8394980.0253498930.023620.0156407360.0175830030.042862.43758130.049757160.03275
6.13.0211835E-53.3984263E-50.01217358.106930.012203570.012171.2947287E-41.4563887E-40.01592109.311480.0160233270.015880.00157519230.00177174060.0245213.8394980.0253498930.023620.0156407360.0175830030.042862.43758130.049757160.03275
6.23.0211835E-53.3984263E-50.01217358.106930.012203570.012171.2947287E-41.4563887E-40.01592109.311480.0160233270.015880.00157519230.00177174060.0245213.8394980.0253498930.023620.0156407360.0175830030.042862.43758130.049757160.03275
6.32.8573924E-53.2102445E-50.0118367.573270.0118317240.01181.2245393E-41.375748E-40.01534111.5029750.0154454690.015310.0014898570.00167371410.023313.9211340.0241061060.022470.014799080.0166180380.040362.42868640.0470438750.03094
6.42.8573924E-53.2102445E-50.0118367.573270.0118317240.01181.2245393E-41.375748E-40.01534111.5029750.0154454690.015310.0014898570.00167371410.023313.9211340.0241061060.022470.014799080.0166180380.040362.42868640.0470438750.03094
6.52.7468774E-53.0828138E-50.01156374.98210.01159047150.011561.1771801E-41.3211406E-40.01498113.386870.0150801390.014950.00143227450.00160732920.0225814.0481480.0233423370.021770.0142307820.0159638820.038872.43487140.0453964020.02991
6.62.6135967E-52.9252153E-50.0111379.459260.0111289280.01111.1200648E-41.2536049E-40.01445115.267580.0145435530.014420.00136282570.00152522190.0216214.1749870.0223234520.020830.0135449820.0151543430.037032.4435240.0433307770.02861
6.72.4498746E-52.7341044E-50.01076393.547520.01078704650.010761.04990395E-41.17170785E-40.01398119.313020.0140655370.013950.00127750840.00142564590.0208214.6039080.0214670340.020070.0127018930.0141715930.035152.4803140.0410847070.0273
6.82.2244329E-52.4935374E-50.01017407.85430.0101946820.010179.532935E-51.0686163E-40.01315123.056320.01322545950.013120.00116001690.00130028570.019414.9197980.0200159180.018740.0115398020.0129329550.032172.4874440.0377873030.02518
6.91.9902658E-52.2290182E-50.0093417.224060.0093220830.00938.529431E-59.552596E-50.01202125.829670.0120843810.011990.00103796350.00116242650.0174314.9944960.0180028290.016860.0103312880.0115690210.028612.47298360.0337098760.0224
7.01.8353881E-52.056605E-50.00876425.944670.0087803860.008767.865712E-58.813734E-50.01134128.662830.011397140.011319.5722964E-40.00107256160.0162315.1319980.0167757010.015720.0095311680.010679390.026262.4589420.0310692880.02061
7.11.7667631E-51.9772435E-50.00843426.351140.0084496060.008437.571623E-58.4736355E-50.01094129.106340.0109938120.010919.2145515E-40.00103119450.0155915.1183910.0161256140.015110.0091764370.01026959250.025232.45676730.0299454330.01988
7.21.6381597E-51.8158042E-50.00741408.083650.00742802350.007417.020495E-57.781795E-50.00961123.493350.0096570730.009588.544101E-49.470391E-40.0138514.6245280.0143343490.01340.0085113250.0094352690.022492.38360980.0268890190.01762
7.31.4520491E-51.596657E-50.006375.785130.00601587070.0066.222919E-56.842646E-50.00776113.4064250.0078078970.007747.57377E-48.327899E-40.0113513.6288870.0117736710.010950.00754800950.0083003990.018772.26133680.0226007090.01442
7.41.2852287E-51.41454875E-50.00585413.559450.0058640630.005855.5080065E-56.06222E-50.00754124.3768840.0075901660.007536.7039346E-47.378411E-40.0109814.8812520.0113500050.010620.00668374640.0073574290.017772.41524580.021155160.0139
7.51.1637851E-51.2836868E-50.00579451.04460.00580276270.005794.987555E-55.5014076E-50.00747135.783430.0075146040.007466.070656E-46.696062E-40.0108616.2184870.01118256150.010520.0060540990.00667938450.017212.57658480.0203276090.01374
7.63.0068115E-63.3330623E-60.0025750.0610.00250332480.00251.2886271E-51.4284516E-50.00308215.618090.00309424060.003081.5687906E-41.7390738E-40.0043725.1283190.00443316670.004260.00156768350.00173979730.006573.77630190.00736000250.00563

Garlock (East)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5092507E-56.2904815E-50.01015161.354890.0101922680.010131.9323928E-42.6956675E-40.0135350.1916540.0136359620.013370.00235014970.0032774820.022626.901640.0238498340.020640.0232545040.032353770.051261.58435940.0597284850.02829
6.14.5092507E-56.2904815E-50.01015161.354890.0101922680.010131.9323928E-42.6956675E-40.0135350.1916540.0136359620.013370.00235014970.0032774820.022626.901640.0238498340.020640.0232545040.032353770.051261.58435940.0597284850.02829
6.22.6674514E-53.4511588E-50.00814235.862810.0081542310.008121.1431433E-41.4789861E-40.010369.64230.0103663870.010220.00139088840.00179921140.016018.8983430.0167722240.0150.013822150.0178727880.032431.81449030.0378492550.02034
6.32.6674514E-53.4511588E-50.00814235.862810.0081542310.008121.1431433E-41.4789861E-40.010369.64230.0103663870.010220.00139088840.00179921140.016018.8983430.0167722240.0150.013822150.0178727880.032431.81449030.0378492550.02034
6.42.5312667E-53.2340467E-50.00807249.532560.008082080.008051.0847834E-41.3859481E-40.010273.5958250.0102571920.010120.00131992370.00168611520.015719.3172760.016461160.01480.0131211120.0167722870.031491.8775020.0364860040.02005
6.52.5312667E-53.2340467E-50.00807249.532560.008082080.008051.0847834E-41.3859481E-40.010273.5958250.0102571920.010120.00131992370.00168611520.015719.3172760.016461160.01480.0131211120.0167722870.031491.8775020.0364860040.02005
6.62.246556E-52.8134691E-50.00776275.816070.0077679170.007749.627742E-51.2057181E-40.0097881.113490.0098194020.00970.00117154720.00146699690.0148710.1363540.0155063710.014060.0116539010.0146131690.028911.97835250.0332271270.01889
6.72.2241198E-52.7804432E-50.00774278.37290.00774758960.007729.531594E-51.1915654E-40.0097581.8251340.0097880050.009670.00115985380.00144978890.0148210.22217750.0154494620.014020.0115381870.0144428290.028711.98783770.0330107250.01884
6.81.9528685E-52.3898969E-50.00746312.147370.0074637210.007448.369167E-51.0242024E-40.0093190.90.0093314750.009230.00101846980.00124627280.0138611.12116050.0144298220.01320.0101381470.0124367230.02592.08254220.0297388320.01752
6.91.3318621E-51.5198818E-50.007460.562130.00700509270.006995.7078556E-56.51362E-50.00863132.491610.0086445770.008586.9470983E-47.927504E-40.0124915.7552750.0128831580.01210.00692542040.0079407210.020852.62570620.0235954170.01578
7.01.1760853E-51.3107653E-50.00686523.35840.0068630180.006855.0402683E-55.6174475E-50.00843150.068160.0084357040.008386.134799E-46.8371464E-40.0120917.6828160.0124356740.011760.00611789060.0068574010.019392.82760170.0219432380.01519
7.11.0064758E-51.0902761E-50.00669613.60610.006690830.006684.3133965E-54.67253E-50.00817174.851750.0081663460.008125.2502943E-45.6873553E-40.0115320.2730430.0118223320.011260.0052379070.00571334730.017553.07175450.0199415890.01431
7.29.768808E-61.0498628E-50.00657625.7960.00657042950.006564.186565E-54.499337E-50.00802178.248490.0080146350.007975.095951E-45.4766005E-40.0113120.6514970.0115916090.011050.00508428040.0055035840.017073.10161520.0194563680.01403
7.39.344516E-69.9442705E-60.00613616.435360.0061298830.006124.004731E-54.2617627E-50.00746175.044950.00745230170.007414.8746695E-45.187495E-40.0104720.1831510.0107234530.010210.00486399050.0052152690.015763.0218960.018057940.01291
7.49.023491E-69.490441E-60.00552581.63790.0055294380.005523.867153E-54.0672705E-50.00666163.746190.00666040370.006624.7072413E-44.95081E-40.0093518.8857980.0096205610.009130.0046972830.00497872660.014272.86619470.0164911230.01157
7.57.081253E-67.0873994E-60.00273385.190670.0027370680.002733.0347876E-53.0374218E-50.00335110.29090.00335027350.003323.6942272E-43.697441E-40.0047812.927860.004978040.004610.0036880920.00372447450.007692.06472090.0093733570.00567
7.66.116396E-65.9589424E-60.00162271.860320.00162594930.001622.6212863E-52.5538076E-50.0020379.489150.0020254870.0023.1909486E-43.1088197E-40.002989.5856310.00314000230.002830.00318637070.00313591260.005221.66458730.0066847490.00356
7.74.797145E-64.7571157E-68.2E-4172.373378.247532E-48.2E-42.055903E-52.0387479E-50.0010451.01170.00103036690.001012.5027743E-42.481894E-40.001546.20493840.0016478420.00140.00249995760.00250940650.003181.26723180.00431486450.00181
7.83.4028885E-63.978375E-64.8E-4120.652284.8397647E-44.8E-41.4583726E-51.7050066E-56.0E-435.190485.9704017E-45.8E-41.775424E-42.0756487E-49.6E-44.62506060.00103739258.3E-40.00177400620.00210121410.002271.08032770.00326875570.00117
7.92.5928412E-63.372436E-63.4E-4100.817343.433713E-43.4E-41.1112129E-51.4453217E-54.0E-427.6754994.0444758E-43.9E-41.3528178E-41.7595377E-47.1E-44.0351517.758482E-46.0E-40.00135199450.00178124260.001770.993688340.0025997828.2E-4
8.01.3743648E-61.6734741E-61.6E-495.609491.616732E-41.6E-45.8901214E-67.1720124E-61.8E-425.0975591.7717079E-41.7E-47.1709874E-58.731578E-53.4E-43.89391263.4729307E-42.6E-47.1686733E-48.837377E-47.9E-40.89393040.00120345493.2E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1489736E-72.0E-563.5127562.031489E-52.0E-51.5742813E-61.3495595E-62.0E-514.819652.1349533E-52.0E-51.9166706E-51.643078E-56.0E-53.6516834.6430287E-53.0E-51.9165053E-41.662928E-49.0E-50.541214052.0628615E-44.0E-5

Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5103672E-55.456906E-50.00606111.051940.006084240.006031.9328714E-42.3384714E-40.0079133.8255160.008002030.007770.0023507310.00284354620.012374.3502020.0138122670.0110.0232601950.0280926250.029341.04440220.0422630350.01458
6.14.5103672E-55.456906E-50.00606111.051940.006084240.006031.9328714E-42.3384714E-40.0079133.8255160.008002030.007770.0023507310.00284354620.012374.3502020.0138122670.0110.0232601950.0280926250.029341.04440220.0422630350.01458
6.23.9363465E-54.706271E-50.00603128.126920.00604678040.0061.6868966E-42.016826E-40.0078438.872960.00792012550.007720.0020518620.00245285340.012114.93710760.0133660190.010940.0203301960.0242741870.026931.1094090.0384124550.01449
6.33.9363465E-54.706271E-50.00603128.126920.00604678040.0061.6868966E-42.016826E-40.0078438.872960.00792012550.007720.0020518620.00245285340.012114.93710760.0133660190.010940.0203301960.0242741870.026931.1094090.0384124550.01449
6.43.2311684E-53.795112E-50.00597157.307620.0059977250.005961.384713E-41.6263791E-40.0077547.6518670.0078413890.007680.00168458430.0019783870.011785.95434570.0128468420.010890.0167187140.0196171180.024361.24177250.033724830.01439
6.53.2311684E-53.795112E-50.00597157.307620.0059977250.005961.384713E-41.6263791E-40.0077547.6518670.0078413890.007680.00168458430.0019783870.011785.95434570.0128468420.010890.0167187140.0196171180.024361.24177250.033724830.01439
6.62.9305844E-53.418196E-50.00597174.653520.0059939780.005961.2559042E-41.4648624E-40.0077352.769460.0078053640.007660.00152799090.00178207270.011656.53733160.0126127370.010850.0151752720.0176863240.023411.32362150.0317727030.01434
6.72.7826512E-53.2344353E-50.00596184.267090.0059921520.005961.19251024E-41.3861163E-40.0077155.6230350.007797550.007660.00145091420.00168635060.011586.86690.012508070.010840.0144147760.0167438180.022891.36707170.0308240470.01432
6.82.3389874E-52.6866792E-50.00594221.090790.0059667070.005941.0023846E-41.1513857E-40.0076766.615380.007744260.007630.001219720.0014009580.011438.1587030.0121758410.010790.012130470.0139280670.021351.5328760.0279697310.01424
6.92.069209E-52.357011E-50.00591250.74130.0059334310.005918.867737E-51.0101105E-40.0076375.536290.00769024440.007590.00107911230.00122915190.011329.2096020.011955950.010740.0107388710.0122291580.020321.66160260.0262061150.01415
7.01.7462342E-51.9633622E-50.00585297.958250.0058695190.005857.483646E-58.414151E-50.0075689.848630.0076035090.007529.1075303E-40.00102396410.0111310.8695220.0116630590.010650.0090702950.0101966880.01931.89277160.0240638310.01401
7.11.4807709E-51.6441827E-50.00584355.191680.0058563460.005846.3460066E-57.046316E-50.00754107.006270.0075799340.007517.723524E-48.575678E-40.0110312.8619570.0114684610.010620.0076967350.0085461680.018322.1436510.0223769490.01395
7.21.4180048E-51.5698413E-50.00584372.012120.0058556070.005846.077022E-56.727727E-50.00753111.924870.0075767720.007517.396263E-48.1880915E-40.01113.4341440.0114201210.010610.00737169430.0081614690.018122.22018840.021977780.01393
7.31.3730402E-51.5172151E-50.00583384.256650.0058450840.005835.8843252E-56.502197E-50.00752115.653210.00756453440.00757.161811E-47.9137104E-40.0109713.8620180.0113729910.010590.0071387740.0078890580.017972.27783850.021669480.01389
7.41.2810095E-51.4109353E-50.00581411.783570.00582402760.005815.489925E-56.0467344E-50.00748123.703130.00753001540.007476.681934E-47.3595706E-40.0109114.8242340.01127819250.010550.0066618780.00733868960.017682.40914940.0210572690.01382
7.51.1595659E-51.2800734E-50.00575449.1930.0057627270.005754.9694736E-55.485922E-50.00741135.073010.0074544530.00746.0486543E-46.67722E-40.0107916.159420.0111107440.010450.0060322170.0066606320.017122.57032660.0202296470.01366
7.62.997694E-63.3251877E-60.00248745.82260.0024833170.002481.28471975E-51.4250767E-50.00306214.725280.0030742070.003061.564034E-41.7349655E-40.0043525.0725440.0044127610.004240.00156293370.00173569550.006553.77370330.0073359580.00561

Blackwater

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0708583E-53.3095846E-50.00365110.2857360.0036829750.003651.3160157E-41.4183241E-40.0052837.2270360.0053410950.00520.00160107140.00172557840.009525.51699070.01023087650.008520.0158958510.0171356330.021641.26286550.0293722950.01245
6.13.0708583E-53.3095846E-50.00365110.2857360.0036829750.003651.3160157E-41.4183241E-40.0052837.2270360.0053410950.00520.00160107140.00172557840.009525.51699070.01023087650.008520.0158958510.0171356330.021641.26286550.0293722950.01245
6.21.1707779E-51.2545122E-50.00132105.220180.00133252850.001325.017523E-55.3763757E-50.0019736.6417850.00197366040.001926.107122E-46.5438676E-40.003635.54717830.00384229930.003190.0060903660.00652556960.008161.25046550.0111154220.00462
6.31.1707779E-51.2545122E-50.00132105.220180.00133252850.001325.017523E-55.3763757E-50.0019736.6417850.00197366040.001926.107122E-46.5438676E-40.003635.54717830.00384229930.003190.0060903660.00652556960.008161.25046550.0111154220.00462
6.47.929244E-68.480098E-68.7E-4102.5931558.784727E-48.7E-43.3982033E-53.6342793E-50.0013336.5959740.00132629590.001294.136527E-44.423877E-40.002475.5833380.00263141890.002190.00412883560.00441547580.005451.2342950.00747192050.00307
6.55.8832115E-66.285991E-66.8E-4108.1770556.862817E-46.8E-42.521352E-52.6939697E-50.0010438.604740.00103691240.001013.0693135E-43.27944E-40.001755.3362770.00190742580.001580.00306507780.00327485380.003981.21532140.0055075180.00224
6.65.8832115E-66.285991E-66.8E-4108.1770556.862817E-46.8E-42.521352E-52.6939697E-50.0010438.604740.00103691240.001013.0693135E-43.27944E-40.001755.3362770.00190742580.001580.00306507780.00327485380.003981.21532140.0055075180.00224
6.73.0715053E-63.2814662E-63.5E-4106.659643.532803E-43.5E-41.3163528E-51.4063357E-55.4E-438.397665.440559E-45.3E-41.6025416E-41.7120909E-48.8E-45.1399149.710721E-48.0E-40.00160138650.00171088640.002061.20405420.00278903870.00108
6.82.2722281E-62.4287538E-62.1E-486.46412.1242825E-42.1E-49.738084E-61.0408908E-53.5E-433.6250463.5040537E-43.4E-41.1855473E-41.26722E-46.0E-44.73477366.6665356E-45.4E-40.0011849150.00126658760.001431.12901780.0019956637.3E-4
6.99.952399E-71.0653489E-67.0E-565.706187.1065275E-57.0E-54.265307E-64.5657757E-69.0E-519.7118749.456537E-59.0E-55.1928873E-55.5587418E-52.2E-43.957732.355774E-41.8E-45.191674E-45.557858E-46.0E-41.07955278.256357E-42.7E-4
7.04.7385504E-75.0755597E-74.0E-578.8090444.0507537E-54.0E-52.0308057E-62.1752398E-64.0E-518.3887774.2175154E-54.0E-52.4724779E-52.6483543E-59.0E-53.39833669.648169E-57.0E-52.4722028E-42.6483546E-42.6E-40.98174173.8480366E-41.2E-4

Ash Hill

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1545662E-52.3194447E-50.00332143.137710.0033231180.00339.2335285E-59.940143E-50.0047147.383620.00473894040.004640.00112360230.00120962060.008687.17580370.0090501250.007850.0111793810.0120383480.02021.6779710.02359750.0117
6.12.1545662E-52.3194447E-50.00332143.137710.0033231180.00339.2335285E-59.940143E-50.0047147.383620.00473894040.004640.00112360230.00120962060.008687.17580370.0090501250.007850.0111793810.0120383480.02021.6779710.02359750.0117
6.22.1545662E-52.3194447E-50.00332143.137710.0033231180.00339.2335285E-59.940143E-50.0047147.383620.00473894040.004640.00112360230.00120962060.008687.17580370.0090501250.007850.0111793810.0120383480.02021.6779710.02359750.0117
6.31.0025529E-51.0746934E-50.00156145.157670.00155073040.001544.2965847E-54.605755E-50.0022448.6348040.00224595630.00225.229836E-45.6061964E-40.0047.1349620.00413861270.003580.0052175450.00559336650.009261.65553260.0108736660.00531
6.41.0025529E-51.0746934E-50.00156145.157670.00155073040.001544.2965847E-54.605755E-50.0022448.6348040.00224595630.00225.229836E-45.6061964E-40.0047.1349620.00413861270.003580.0052175450.00559336650.009261.65553260.0108736660.00531
6.56.9617327E-67.456634E-60.00106142.155290.00104744880.001042.9835655E-53.195666E-50.0015247.564420.00151190940.001483.6318856E-43.8901155E-40.002636.76072450.00275808970.002370.00362595570.00388416020.006361.63741960.00744029370.00357
6.64.9919777E-65.3466883E-67.3E-4136.533117.153429E-47.1E-42.1394015E-52.2914215E-50.0010847.1323170.001082890.001062.60441E-42.7895154E-40.001836.5602790.00193848850.001660.00260135970.00278667270.004551.63277160.00530962230.00253
6.73.6630722E-63.924624E-65.9E-4150.332895.739224E-45.7E-41.5698786E-51.681974E-58.8E-452.3194778.768053E-48.6E-41.9111596E-42.0476682E-40.001416.8858810.00145451080.001250.00190951680.00204634460.003331.62729190.0039324770.00189
6.82.5599613E-62.744925E-64.8E-4174.868164.7274365E-44.7E-41.0971216E-51.1763939E-56.6E-456.1036536.617563E-46.5E-41.3356637E-41.4322149E-40.001097.61058950.00111308259.7E-40.00133486130.00143177690.002411.68322310.00287970090.00145
6.91.7684905E-61.8968707E-63.8E-4200.329943.7189617E-43.7E-47.579223E-68.129446E-65.0E-461.5048074.9812545E-44.9E-49.2273134E-59.8976E-58.0E-48.08276758.189047E-47.2E-49.223483E-49.8976E-40.001741.75800180.00207868130.00109

Garlock (West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.5181727E-52.5197181E-50.00459182.163240.00459508230.004571.0791722E-41.0798347E-40.0058454.082350.00583736460.005730.00131310020.00131390930.008886.7584570.0093333580.008030.0130536830.0131417940.017971.36739310.0232866970.01028
6.12.5077732E-52.5098223E-50.00459182.881470.00459498350.004571.0747157E-41.075594E-40.0058454.2955780.0058369430.005730.0013076810.00130875250.008876.77744670.0093282430.008030.0130001260.0130908350.017951.37118830.0232362620.01028
6.22.494612E-52.4979914E-50.00459183.747620.00459486570.004571.0690756E-41.070524E-40.0058454.5527230.0058364390.005730.00130082240.00130258720.008846.78649430.0093221270.008030.0129323410.0130299060.017891.37299530.0231759590.01028
6.32.4733758E-52.4799276E-50.00459185.086040.0045946860.004571.0599751E-41.06278305E-40.0058454.950070.0058356690.005730.00128975560.00129317360.008846.83589550.009312790.008030.0128229570.01293687150.017841.37900410.023083880.01028
6.42.3237335E-52.3178607E-50.00456196.733120.0045630730.004549.958477E-59.933313E-50.0058158.4900550.0057987670.00570.00121177020.00120871260.008757.2391070.0091790670.007980.0120518380.0121017310.017171.41880520.0221684150.01019
6.52.2732203E-52.2992977E-50.00456198.321430.00456288880.004549.742009E-59.8537625E-50.0058158.962250.0057979760.00570.00118544420.00119903810.008747.28917650.009169470.007980.0117914030.0120060350.017081.42261780.0220736940.01019
6.62.1319436E-52.1773201E-50.00456209.431760.00456167430.004549.136581E-59.3310395E-50.005862.158130.00579277850.00570.0011118110.00113546430.008637.60041480.0090964150.007970.0110626490.0113769520.01651.45030060.0214114750.01015
6.71.970802E-52.0393094E-50.00455223.114730.00456030060.004548.446021E-58.739606E-50.0057866.1357040.0057868980.00570.0010278180.00106352940.008578.0580760.0090250530.007970.0102307710.01066468750.01591.49090160.0207064410.01015
6.81.8744462E-51.9900775E-50.00455228.634310.00455981030.004548.033094E-58.528626E-50.0057867.771770.00578480030.00579.775903E-40.00103786720.008558.2380490.0089896060.007960.0097330090.0104104950.015691.5071330.0204350370.01013
6.91.7559682E-51.8953151E-50.00455240.065630.00455886730.004547.5253614E-58.122527E-50.0057871.160120.0057807620.00579.158276E-49.884704E-40.008528.6193770.0089306120.007950.00912062450.0099210730.015391.55124340.019930770.01011
7.01.6794445E-51.8215967E-50.00453248.682920.00453813370.004527.197421E-57.806611E-50.0057673.783620.0057576230.005688.759337E-49.5004175E-40.008448.883820.0088525270.007910.0087248910.0095399580.015041.57652690.0195039860.01006
7.11.6337795E-51.771677E-50.00451254.561080.0045176370.00457.0017246E-57.592681E-50.0057475.599120.0057354970.005668.521265E-49.2401815E-40.008369.04744150.0087767550.007860.0084886640.0092817210.014791.59345450.019198810.01001
7.21.5780008E-51.71654E-50.00448260.990140.00449708850.004486.762685E-57.3563926E-50.0057177.619570.0057131490.005648.2304585E-48.952741E-40.008269.2262250.0086882910.00780.0082000420.0089965590.014581.62061950.0188471340.00994
7.31.5058865E-51.6618484E-50.00447268.977630.0044865440.004476.45364E-57.122013E-50.005780.0335540.0057008190.005637.854473E-48.667614E-40.008229.483580.00865000950.007790.007826770.0087132630.014421.65494820.0185270010.0099
7.41.4887923E-51.6454453E-50.0044267.404820.0044163820.00446.380382E-57.0517184E-50.0056179.555080.00561012650.005547.7653467E-48.5820974E-40.00819.4382520.008541610.007690.00773826750.0086281010.01421.6457850.0183038920.00976
7.51.4509299E-51.6046468E-50.00402250.522420.0040359820.004026.218123E-56.876877E-50.0051675.034060.0051684180.00517.567935E-48.369394E-40.007488.93732550.0079210060.007090.00754221340.0084164110.013281.57786990.0173109160.00897
7.61.2756717E-51.4050529E-50.00256182.199550.00257401450.002565.4670498E-56.0215163E-50.0033555.6338270.00335001710.003296.6541E-47.328737E-40.004976.7815230.00536947320.004640.0066342110.0073813740.009681.3114090.0132874550.00595
7.71.0328985E-51.146033E-50.00145126.523410.00146144370.001454.4266326E-54.9114777E-50.0018838.2776830.00188902440.001845.388092E-45.9780874E-40.002794.66704460.00313629020.002540.00537504670.0060382860.006431.06487180.0093581170.00334
7.87.0306583E-68.899537E-68.3E-493.263288.388921E-48.3E-43.0131043E-53.8140315E-50.0010728.0543040.00108810030.001053.667837E-44.6425956E-40.001753.76944330.002013540.001550.0036617890.00469506670.004370.93076420.0067852070.0021
7.94.060633E-65.465412E-64.4E-480.506284.45463E-44.4E-41.7402595E-52.3422985E-55.6E-423.908145.734101E-45.5E-42.11856E-42.8513762E-49.6E-43.36679530.00110490388.2E-40.00211654140.0028841430.002520.873743060.0040108840.00113
8.01.6729537E-62.0775192E-61.8E-486.64181.8207714E-41.8E-47.169782E-68.903624E-62.1E-423.5859032.0890184E-42.0E-48.7288594E-51.0839626E-44.0E-43.6901644.2836159E-43.2E-48.7254314E-40.0010968549.0E-40.82052850.00147643723.8E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1489736E-72.0E-563.5127562.031489E-52.0E-51.5742813E-61.3495595E-62.0E-514.819652.1349533E-52.0E-51.9166706E-51.643078E-56.0E-53.6516834.6430287E-53.0E-51.9165053E-41.662928E-49.0E-50.541214052.0628615E-44.0E-5

McLean Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7360222E-51.8501627E-50.0015784.85740.0015684730.001557.439883E-57.9290556E-50.0025131.6557250.00251909720.002449.0542925E-49.6498354E-40.005625.82393360.0058602550.00490.0090174910.00961277450.018281.90163620.0175160650.00798
6.19.062689E-69.592193E-69.2E-495.911329.095836E-49.0E-43.8839516E-54.1108804E-50.0013432.5964240.00134105540.00134.727685E-45.003936E-40.002875.73548460.00303912260.002540.00471763960.0049935520.009391.88042510.0092223290.00425
6.29.062689E-69.592193E-69.2E-495.911329.095836E-49.0E-43.8839516E-54.1108804E-50.0013432.5964240.00134105540.00134.727685E-45.003936E-40.002875.73548460.00303912260.002540.00471763960.0049935520.009391.88042510.0092223290.00425
6.37.2575485E-67.66771E-67.4E-496.508617.3766214E-47.3E-43.110341E-53.2861237E-50.0010231.039610.00103282840.0013.786182E-44.0001926E-40.002175.4247390.00231925120.001920.00377973750.00399369650.007431.86043170.0073004380.00332
6.47.2575485E-67.66771E-67.4E-496.508617.3766214E-47.3E-43.110341E-53.2861237E-50.0010231.039610.00103282840.0013.786182E-44.0001926E-40.002175.4247390.00231925120.001920.00377973750.00399369650.007431.86043170.0073004380.00332
6.56.06582E-66.4038773E-65.8E-490.570135.8640016E-45.8E-42.5996113E-52.7444936E-57.7E-428.056187.874241E-47.6E-43.164567E-43.3409733E-40.001715.1182690.00186358610.001530.00316006430.00333658930.006051.81322880.00599768060.00267
6.65.598744E-65.910262E-65.5E-493.058485.55907E-45.5E-42.3994397E-52.5329486E-57.4E-429.2149647.55311E-47.3E-42.9209262E-43.0834923E-40.001655.3510750.00178789290.001480.00291708970.0030798430.005681.84424980.00563195860.00256
6.75.246996E-65.539162E-65.2E-493.8770145.255363E-45.2E-42.2486933E-52.3739085E-57.0E-429.4872367.137227E-46.9E-42.73744E-42.8899137E-40.001545.32887840.00166859260.001380.00273407040.00288677960.005311.839420.00526988040.00239
6.84.02324E-64.2469046E-64.2E-498.895564.242451E-44.2E-41.7242342E-51.8200926E-55.5E-430.2182435.6819094E-45.5E-42.099053E-42.2157968E-40.001185.3253980.00126134930.001040.00209707140.0022141720.004151.87428990.004040120.00183
6.96.835972E-77.1399285E-75.0E-570.028725.0713956E-55.0E-52.9296991E-63.0599674E-66.0E-519.6080516.3059786E-56.0E-53.56685E-53.7254784E-52.3E-46.17370372.2724771E-41.9E-43.5662777E-43.7251666E-48.1E-42.17439947.1239E-43.4E-4

Gravel Hills-Harper Lk

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0679566E-53.1464628E-50.0020966.42380.00210139950.002071.3147724E-41.3484266E-40.0029922.1739920.0030244530.002890.00159955990.001640690.005653.44367310.0065526180.004920.0158809520.0163073370.017131.05044730.0234981310.00731
6.13.0679566E-53.1464628E-50.0020966.42380.00210139950.002071.3147724E-41.3484266E-40.0029922.1739920.0030244530.002890.00159955990.001640690.005653.44367310.0065526180.004920.0158809520.0163073370.017131.05044730.0234981310.00731
6.21.514536E-51.36352E-55.8E-442.536965.8362744E-45.7E-46.490707E-55.843533E-58.9E-415.2305128.68388E-48.1E-47.8995706E-47.112298E-40.001732.43240640.00215020570.001440.0078715480.0070907370.00620.87438020.00932478250.00225
6.31.514536E-51.36352E-55.8E-442.536965.8362744E-45.7E-46.490707E-55.843533E-58.9E-415.2305128.68388E-48.1E-47.8995706E-47.112298E-40.001732.43240640.00215020570.001440.0078715480.0070907370.00620.87438020.00932478250.00225
6.41.2532521E-51.0689684E-54.1E-438.3547364.106854E-44.0E-45.37097E-54.581216E-56.1E-413.3152426.057865E-45.6E-46.537194E-45.5762613E-40.00122.15197940.00156706290.001010.00651799650.0055628590.004520.812531770.00704457050.00149
6.51.1094058E-59.083657E-62.8E-430.824592.890811E-42.8E-44.7545094E-53.89294E-54.4E-411.3025124.3891382E-44.0E-45.787078E-44.7386638E-49.1E-41.92037260.00121351587.4E-40.00577203040.0047289670.003660.77395340.00583371750.00111
6.69.688328E-67.531688E-62.1E-427.8821952.175301E-42.1E-44.1520743E-53.227828E-52.9E-48.984372.922699E-42.6E-45.053978E-43.9291973E-46.4E-41.62883149.127154E-45.2E-40.00504249940.00392250670.00280.71382920.00464964337.3E-4
6.78.974824E-66.749406E-61.5E-422.2241781.567484E-41.5E-43.8462964E-52.8925719E-52.1E-47.25997542.1892022E-41.9E-44.6818596E-43.5211592E-44.6E-41.3063887.0199266E-43.5E-40.0046720080.0035158010.002340.66556670.0040240085.1E-4
6.87.4780046E-65.1161865E-64.0E-57.81832364.5115983E-54.0E-53.20482E-52.1926337E-58.0E-53.64858038.192502E-56.0E-53.9011694E-42.6692182E-42.0E-40.7492833.9688713E-41.3E-40.00389432810.00266615050.001530.573861060.00290551062.4E-4
6.96.3409307E-63.907489E-62.0E-55.11837632.390741E-52.0E-52.7175134E-51.674628E-53.0E-51.79144263.6745943E-52.0E-53.3080703E-42.0386786E-48.0E-50.392411022.3386175E-43.0E-50.00330315020.00203690650.001070.525306340.00211674378.0E-5
7.05.1239335E-62.6058492E-61.0E-53.83752061.2605823E-51.0E-52.195953E-51.1167879E-52.0E-51.79085032.1167767E-51.0E-52.6732447E-41.359607E-45.0E-50.367753331.4595933E-41.0E-50.00267003130.00135880056.9E-40.50780080.00138875973.0E-5
7.14.438899E-62.0984692E-61.0E-54.76537851.2098449E-51.0E-51.9023713E-58.99341E-61.0E-51.11192521.899332E-51.0E-52.315891E-41.0948948E-44.0E-50.36533191.1948839E-41.0E-50.0023134790.00109437745.5E-40.50256890.00111435542.0E-5
7.23.50367E-61.2615715E-61.0E-57.92662241.1261559E-51.0E-51.5015643E-55.406724E-61.0E-51.84954881.540667E-51.0E-51.8280011E-46.5824956E-53.0E-50.45575427.5824304E-51.0E-50.00182649826.580628E-43.1E-40.471079656.6805625E-41.0E-5
7.32.561638E-67.118686E-70.00.07.118686E-70.01.0978401E-53.050862E-60.00.03.050862E-60.01.3365384E-43.7143633E-51.0E-50.269225153.7143633E-50.00.00133573493.7137623E-42.1E-40.56546433.7137623E-40.0
7.42.0368864E-65.304471E-70.00.05.304471E-70.08.729483E-62.2733427E-60.00.02.2733427E-60.01.06276275E-42.76776E-51.0E-50.361302972.76776E-50.00.00106225472.767421E-41.6E-40.578155642.767421E-40.0
7.51.1681728E-63.6028484E-70.00.03.6028484E-70.05.0064455E-61.544077E-60.00.01.544077E-60.06.0951766E-51.879898E-51.0E-50.531943741.879898E-50.06.093505E-41.8797436E-41.2E-40.638384941.8797436E-40.0
7.61.3154387E-77.1196716E-80.00.07.1196716E-80.05.6375933E-73.0512876E-70.00.03.0512876E-70.06.863748E-63.714938E-60.00.03.714938E-60.06.863536E-53.7148915E-54.0E-51.07674743.7148915E-50.0

Goldstone Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.671352E-53.0376103E-50.0014648.06410.00148033210.001451.1448149E-41.3017791E-40.0021116.2085880.00216991240.002040.0013929210.00158396010.005323.35867050.005567640.003990.0138422220.0157462020.021551.3685840.0223997570.00676
6.12.671352E-53.0376103E-50.0014648.06410.00148033210.001451.1448149E-41.3017791E-40.0021116.2085880.00216991240.002040.0013929210.00158396010.005323.35867050.005567640.003990.0138422220.0157462020.021551.3685840.0223997570.00676
6.21.4197047E-51.6096254E-58.2E-450.9435278.2608324E-48.1E-46.0843064E-56.898268E-50.0011716.960780.00117890610.001117.4051257E-48.3963916E-40.00283.3347660.00299782560.002160.0073804980.0083743640.011661.39234450.01203346250.00369
6.31.4197047E-51.6096254E-58.2E-450.9435278.2608324E-48.1E-46.0843064E-56.898268E-50.0011716.960780.00117890610.001117.4051257E-48.3963916E-40.00283.3347660.00299782560.002160.0073804980.0083743640.011661.39234450.01203346250.00369
6.41.3238931E-51.500847E-57.9E-452.6369487.9499674E-47.8E-45.6737044E-56.432098E-50.0011417.7236120.00114425160.001086.9055456E-47.8292453E-40.002693.43583560.0028612960.002080.0068841260.0078112890.010931.3992570.0113037930.00352
6.51.3238931E-51.500847E-57.9E-452.6369487.9499674E-47.8E-45.6737044E-56.432098E-50.0011417.7236120.00114425160.001086.9055456E-47.8292453E-40.002693.43583560.0028612960.002080.0068841260.0078112890.010931.3992570.0113037930.00352
6.61.1328278E-51.2855176E-57.4E-457.5643657.5284566E-47.4E-44.8548856E-55.5092984E-50.0010619.24020.00106503730.001015.90922E-46.706464E-40.002353.50408220.00251940570.001850.00589353130.00669561370.00951.41883930.0097549910.00308
6.78.651175E-69.824575E-65.2E-452.92855.2981946E-45.2E-43.707594E-54.2105148E-57.8E-418.525057.82074E-47.4E-44.5130608E-45.126002E-40.001743.39445850.00186190810.001350.00450390620.00512305650.007161.39760330.00736152940.00225
6.81.0215377E-61.1754802E-66.0E-551.0429736.117541E-56.0E-54.378012E-65.037763E-67.0E-513.8950567.503741E-57.0E-55.3300988E-56.133315E-58.0E-51.30435171.4132824E-48.0E-55.3288206E-46.131735E-44.6E-40.750195447.3309994E-41.2E-4
6.97.9360774E-79.283496E-73.0E-532.3154143.092832E-53.0E-53.4011714E-63.9786355E-63.0E-57.54027373.3978515E-53.0E-54.1408475E-54.843888E-54.0E-50.82578298.8436944E-54.0E-54.140076E-44.842902E-43.3E-40.68140965.442612E-46.0E-5
7.07.4382757E-78.747428E-73.0E-534.2957953.0874715E-53.0E-53.1878285E-63.7488926E-63.0E-58.0023633.374878E-53.0E-53.8811122E-54.564188E-54.0E-50.87638818.564005E-54.0E-53.8804344E-44.563317E-43.2E-40.70124435.1630434E-46.0E-5
7.16.4709513E-77.711399E-73.0E-538.9034463.0771116E-53.0E-52.773262E-63.3048816E-63.0E-59.0774813.3304783E-53.0E-53.376394E-54.023625E-54.0E-50.99412848.023464E-54.0E-53.375881E-44.022956E-42.7E-40.671148244.4227953E-44.0E-5
7.26.356704E-77.588459E-73.0E-539.533723.0758823E-53.0E-52.7242988E-63.252193E-63.0E-59.2245453.3252094E-53.0E-53.3167835E-53.959479E-54.0E-51.01023397.959321E-54.0E-53.3162883E-43.9588328E-42.7E-40.68201924.3586746E-44.0E-5
7.35.7695723E-76.896648E-72.0E-528.9995962.0689651E-52.0E-52.4726714E-62.9557032E-62.0E-56.7665792.2955644E-52.0E-53.0104358E-53.598515E-53.0E-50.833677236.598407E-53.0E-53.0100282E-43.5979896E-42.5E-40.694832443.8978818E-43.0E-5
7.45.209647E-76.193583E-72.0E-532.291492.0619345E-52.0E-52.232704E-62.6543903E-62.0E-57.5346872.2654338E-52.0E-52.718283E-53.2316777E-53.0E-50.928310336.231581E-53.0E-52.7179506E-43.2312635E-42.3E-40.711795873.5311666E-43.0E-5
7.54.512955E-75.3489487E-72.0E-537.3905262.0534884E-52.0E-51.934122E-62.2924048E-62.0E-58.72446252.2292359E-52.0E-52.3547682E-52.7909726E-53.0E-51.07489415.790889E-53.0E-52.3545188E-42.7906752E-41.8E-40.645005173.0905916E-43.0E-5
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.0E-576.804332.0260397E-52.0E-59.478797E-71.1160082E-62.0E-517.9210172.1115986E-52.0E-51.1540374E-51.3587343E-53.0E-52.20793724.3586937E-53.0E-51.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.0E-40.73600881.6586386E-43.0E-5

So Sierra Nevada

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.00168151.629870.00167106130.001664.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.0024250.9653320.00239737170.002356.024253E-45.779681E-40.004217.28413960.0043857660.003810.0060079480.0057659180.009481.6441440.0112739750.00554
6.11.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.00168151.629870.00167106130.001664.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.0024250.9653320.00239737170.002356.024253E-45.779681E-40.004217.28413960.0043857660.003810.0060079480.0057659180.009481.6441440.0112739750.00554
6.21.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.00168151.629870.00167106130.001664.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.0024250.9653320.00239737170.002356.024253E-45.779681E-40.004217.28413960.0043857660.003810.0060079480.0057659180.009481.6441440.0112739750.00554
6.31.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.00168151.629870.00167106130.001664.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.0024250.9653320.00239737170.002356.024253E-45.779681E-40.004217.28413960.0043857660.003810.0060079480.0057659180.009481.6441440.0112739750.00554
6.41.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.00168151.629870.00167106130.001664.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.0024250.9653320.00239737170.002356.024253E-45.779681E-40.004217.28413960.0043857660.003810.0060079480.0057659180.009481.6441440.0112739750.00554
6.51.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.00168151.629870.00167106130.001664.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.0024250.9653320.00239737170.002356.024253E-45.779681E-40.004217.28413960.0043857660.003810.0060079480.0057659180.009481.6441440.0112739750.00554
6.67.587044E-66.9356042E-69.7E-4139.858039.6692896E-49.6E-43.2515498E-52.9723697E-50.001447.1004680.00137968360.001353.9580427E-43.6182883E-40.002386.5776960.00251105080.002150.0039510.00361268870.005111.4144590.00660185050.003
6.77.587044E-66.9356042E-69.7E-4139.858039.6692896E-49.6E-43.2515498E-52.9723697E-50.001447.1004680.00137968360.001353.9580427E-43.6182883E-40.002386.5776960.00251105080.002150.0039510.00361268870.005111.4144590.00660185050.003
6.85.9026956E-65.179362E-66.8E-4131.29036.7517586E-46.7E-42.5297022E-52.2197082E-59.9E-444.6004569.6217624E-49.4E-43.0794772E-42.7021713E-40.001696.25422950.00176981180.00150.00307521320.0026990020.003471.28566050.0047634150.00207
6.95.0118915E-64.2523943E-65.3E-4124.635665.242502E-45.2E-42.1479358E-51.8224424E-58.0E-443.8971337.6821074E-47.5E-42.614798E-42.2186051E-40.001366.12997770.00142159430.00120.00261172350.00221646270.002741.2362040.00387278340.00166
7.04.4924795E-63.7138868E-64.6E-4123.859464.6371217E-44.6E-41.925334E-51.5916565E-56.6E-441.4662366.4590655E-46.3E-42.3438422E-41.9376757E-40.001155.93494560.00120357190.001010.00234137170.00193604910.002341.2086470.00334331930.00141
7.13.9118436E-63.1119469E-63.1E-499.61613.1311097E-43.1E-41.6764936E-51.333685E-54.7E-435.2407044.5333098E-44.4E-42.0409399E-41.6236462E-48.1E-44.98877148.422542E-46.8E-40.00203906630.00162251610.001721.0600820.0026009269.8E-4
7.23.4200818E-62.6054236E-62.1E-480.60112.1260488E-42.1E-41.4657411E-51.11660565E-53.5E-431.3449973.4116238E-43.3E-41.7843937E-41.3593875E-46.3E-44.634446.658667E-45.3E-40.00178296150.00135860580.001391.02310760.00215751898.0E-4
7.32.6593618E-61.8283897E-61.2E-465.631521.2182817E-41.2E-41.13972155E-57.8359335E-62.0E-425.5234411.8783452E-41.8E-41.3875226E-49.539862E-53.6E-43.77363973.6537286E-42.7E-40.00138665659.536055E-48.5E-40.89135390.00139318594.4E-4
7.42.2577992E-61.4364078E-61.2E-483.541731.21436235E-41.2E-49.676246E-66.1560204E-61.5E-424.3663921.561551E-41.5E-41.1780193E-47.4947224E-52.9E-43.86938953.0493E-42.3E-40.0011773957.4924453E-46.6E-40.88088730.00113895233.9E-4
7.51.489319E-67.353661E-77.0E-595.190687.073532E-57.0E-56.3827797E-63.1515651E-61.0E-431.7302671.0315125E-41.0E-47.770758E-53.8369635E-51.5E-43.90934131.6836464E-41.3E-47.7680405E-43.8363054E-43.4E-40.88626946.135423E-42.3E-4
7.61.0680322E-64.65941E-73.0E-564.385833.0465928E-53.0E-54.577273E-61.9968884E-65.0E-525.0389545.1996787E-55.0E-55.5726876E-52.4311848E-57.0E-52.87925468.431039E-56.0E-55.5712904E-42.4309216E-41.8E-40.74045993.8305813E-41.4E-4
7.75.509146E-71.5578539E-70.00.01.5578539E-70.02.3610605E-66.676515E-72.0E-529.9557482.0667638E-52.0E-52.8745531E-58.128628E-62.0E-52.460442.8128465E-52.0E-52.8741814E-48.128342E-56.0E-50.73815791.3127936E-45.0E-5

Coyote Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.5090034E-54.0364317E-59.9E-424.5266130.00103032449.9E-41.503772E-41.7297991E-40.001518.7293380.00160273260.001430.00182930470.00210425330.004071.93417780.00463890840.002540.0181431940.0208692050.021131.01249670.0251969620.00442
6.13.5090034E-54.0364317E-59.9E-424.5266130.00103032449.9E-41.503772E-41.7297991E-40.001518.7293380.00160273260.001430.00182930470.00210425330.004071.93417780.00463890840.002540.0181431940.0208692050.021131.01249670.0251969620.00442
6.21.841879E-52.1059794E-55.2E-424.69165.410488E-45.2E-47.8935285E-59.025371E-57.8E-48.6423048.40186E-47.5E-49.606133E-40.00109838710.002292.08487530.00249684930.00140.00956471450.0109396680.011741.07315870.0133628660.00245
6.31.841879E-52.1059794E-55.2E-424.69165.410488E-45.2E-47.8935285E-59.025371E-57.8E-48.6423048.40186E-47.5E-49.606133E-40.00109838710.002292.08487530.00249684930.00140.00956471450.0109396680.011741.07315870.0133628660.00245
6.41.712201E-51.9565212E-54.8E-424.533344.9955584E-44.8E-47.337798E-58.3848776E-57.4E-48.8254127.937892E-47.1E-48.930107E-40.00102048130.002192.14604620.00236910370.001350.0088943070.0101678710.011211.10249230.0124939760.00235
6.51.4744935E-51.6836972E-54.3E-425.5390344.4682974E-44.3E-46.3191044E-57.215698E-56.7E-49.2853117.121108E-46.4E-47.6907943E-48.782507E-40.001942.20893650.0020871880.001210.0076642320.0087569940.009971.13851850.0108683430.00213
6.61.2017839E-51.3724089E-53.3E-424.0453113.4371956E-43.3E-45.150401E-55.88167E-55.4E-49.18106655.7878613E-45.2E-46.268809E-47.159466E-40.001592.2208360.00171523060.0010.00625115450.00714509380.008251.15463840.0089123750.00178
6.71.00956095E-51.1533517E-52.3E-419.941882.4153087E-42.3E-44.326618E-54.942891E-54.3E-48.6993634.5940865E-44.1E-45.266384E-46.017178E-40.001292.14386220.00144121248.4E-40.0052539210.00600941250.006921.15152690.00751033840.00151

San Andreas (Mojave S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.001962.90532060.0023534910.001680.00133063760.0028881720.003691.27762470.00516158670.002280.0160806050.0345655940.021840.631842140.0376936050.003240.14965490.286545570.17970.62712540.289613430.0043
6.13.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.001962.90532060.0023534910.001680.00133063760.0028881720.003691.27762470.00516158670.002280.0160806050.0345655940.021840.631842140.0376936050.003240.14965490.286545570.17970.62712540.289613430.0043
6.23.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.001962.90532060.0023534910.001680.00133063760.0028881720.003691.27762470.00516158670.002280.0160806050.0345655940.021840.631842140.0376936050.003240.14965490.286545570.17970.62712540.289613430.0043
6.33.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.001962.90532060.0023534910.001680.00133063760.0028881720.003691.27762470.00516158670.002280.0160806050.0345655940.021840.631842140.0376936050.003240.14965490.286545570.17970.62712540.289613430.0043
6.41.9872203E-44.3181062E-40.001613.72848630.00188118450.001458.5138786E-40.00184933260.002881.55731860.0037857450.001940.0103164780.022289310.014910.668930530.02502690.00280.0985048560.196868390.126140.64073260.199904230.00378
6.51.291105E-42.8754136E-40.001445.0079750.00163715320.001355.5321335E-40.00123174090.002371.92410590.00302952390.00180.0067145920.0148941550.010520.706317370.0173963230.002540.0651529650.138007920.086440.62634080.140947330.00341
6.61.291105E-42.8754136E-40.001445.0079750.00163715320.001355.5321335E-40.00123174090.002371.92410590.00302952390.00180.0067145920.0148941550.010520.706317370.0173963230.002540.0651529650.138007920.086440.62634080.140947330.00341
6.71.08001186E-42.4335351E-40.00145.75294730.00158302740.001344.6278012E-40.00104252740.002252.15821670.00280069260.001760.00561980160.01261920.009070.718746070.0150382830.002450.0547979060.119184310.072360.60712690.122073380.00328
6.81.0624356E-42.3853009E-40.001395.82735730.00156821290.001334.5525006E-40.00102187180.002232.18226980.00276009370.001740.00552859250.0123705930.008960.724298360.0147705320.002430.0539305660.117133080.070650.60316010.119993570.00324
6.91.0393785E-42.3223337E-40.001395.9853580.00156192450.001334.4537184E-49.949068E-40.002212.22131370.00272318560.001730.00540892870.0120459630.008760.72721460.0144170530.00240.052791560.1144334450.068490.598513840.117267260.0032
7.01.0155622E-42.2592908E-40.001386.1081120.00154563090.001324.3516833E-49.6790853E-40.002182.25227880.00268624370.001720.0052853110.0117208380.008630.736295460.0140630590.002370.051613610.111697450.066430.594731570.114504490.00316
7.19.885595E-52.188132E-40.001376.2610480.00152852650.001314.2359953E-49.374342E-40.002172.3148290.0026458310.001710.00514513530.0113537330.008390.7389640.0136869380.002360.050276290.108576070.064190.591198440.111384050.00315
7.29.6411415E-52.1244297E-40.001366.4017180.00151216680.00134.1312634E-49.101525E-40.002152.36224150.00259861440.001690.0050182190.0110249870.008150.73922990.0133391890.002340.0490640070.10576970.062460.590528250.108550760.00311
7.39.1180635E-51.9472656E-40.001326.7787360.00146447930.001273.907156E-48.342756E-40.002072.48119450.0024828990.001650.0047465910.0101101120.007590.75073350.0123670610.002280.0464647860.097961760.056930.58114510.100694940.00303
7.48.887388E-51.872126E-40.001316.9973920.00144697670.001263.8083247E-48.020931E-40.002042.54334570.00244077760.001640.00462678170.0097218550.007290.74985690.0119598830.002260.0453162860.0945938450.054650.577733160.0973100660.003
7.58.6750515E-51.80528E-40.00137.2010990.00143030240.001253.7173493E-47.734621E-40.002022.6116340.00240220130.001630.0045164840.0093763270.007150.762558760.0116052290.002250.044257870.091556060.052580.574292960.09427230.00299
7.68.453092E-51.7440386E-40.00137.45396330.00142418580.001253.6222505E-47.4723107E-40.002022.70331360.00237601320.001630.00440117530.0090596640.006980.770447970.0112793710.002240.043150240.088714470.050780.57239810.091420990.00297
7.78.259102E-51.6962511E-40.001277.4870990.00138941810.001223.539135E-47.267622E-40.001952.68313340.00232559950.00160.0043003860.00881250.006810.772765930.0110030250.002210.0421811340.0864654260.04940.57132660.089151220.00294
7.87.444844E-51.528469E-49.3E-46.084520.00103271248.8E-43.1902574E-46.5489375E-40.001492.27517820.00182412750.001170.00387722230.0079442310.005970.751488750.0096505670.001720.038102690.0782938750.0440.56198520.080432230.00232
7.95.2586525E-51.0007023E-44.8E-44.79663135.700232E-44.7E-42.2535135E-44.2880196E-48.1E-41.8889840.00103854046.1E-40.00274020060.0052081780.003660.702740970.00609354268.9E-40.0270665740.0522015880.028630.54845070.0533579030.00122
8.03.379877E-55.4075565E-51.9E-43.51360182.4406529E-41.9E-41.4484383E-42.3173184E-43.5E-41.51036644.7167623E-42.4E-40.00176204710.00281768660.001820.64591990.00318664433.7E-40.0174814090.0288359170.015040.521571760.0292535164.3E-4
8.11.8668277E-51.9308145E-52.0E-51.03583233.9307757E-52.0E-58.000444E-58.274657E-57.0E-50.84595651.2274327E-44.0E-59.736188E-40.00100697455.3E-40.52632910.00106691416.0E-50.0096936420.0107986240.005490.50839810.0108678687.0E-5
8.28.541571E-65.4596358E-60.00.05.4596358E-60.03.660622E-52.339823E-51.0E-50.427382773.3397995E-51.0E-54.455896E-42.848363E-41.5E-40.52661832.9483344E-41.0E-50.00444697170.0032402830.001710.527731660.00325025081.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-70.00.07.6564595E-70.08.498917E-63.281336E-60.00.03.281336E-60.01.034694E-43.9949547E-51.0E-50.250315733.9949547E-50.00.00103421244.717979E-42.0E-40.423910324.717979E-40.0

Death Valley (So)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0684236E-52.5618314E-50.00139.0345760.0010155939.9E-48.864371E-51.0978825E-40.0015914.4824240.00165961810.001550.00107870290.00133586920.003532.64247420.0041021690.002770.0107348170.0132799850.012760.96084450.0176708880.00445
6.12.0684236E-52.5618314E-50.00139.0345760.0010155939.9E-48.864371E-51.0978825E-40.0015914.4824240.00165961810.001550.00107870290.00133586920.003532.64247420.0041021690.002770.0107348170.0132799850.012760.96084450.0176708880.00445
6.22.0684236E-52.5618314E-50.00139.0345760.0010155939.9E-48.864371E-51.0978825E-40.0015914.4824240.00165961810.001550.00107870290.00133586920.003532.64247420.0041021690.002770.0107348170.0132799850.012760.96084450.0176708880.00445
6.32.0240292E-52.51184E-59.6E-438.2189989.850942E-49.6E-48.6741224E-51.0764593E-40.0014613.56298350.0015474910.001440.00105556260.0013098180.003362.56524180.0039363730.002630.0105056280.0130225430.012250.940676450.0172171980.00425
6.42.0240292E-52.51184E-59.6E-438.2189989.850942E-49.6E-48.6741224E-51.0764593E-40.0014613.56298350.0015474910.001440.00105556260.0013098180.003362.56524180.0039363730.002630.0105056280.0130225430.012250.940676450.0172171980.00425
6.51.9962767E-52.4807652E-59.4E-437.8915379.6478435E-49.4E-48.55519E-51.0631427E-40.0014213.35662650.00150616550.00140.00104109680.00129362440.003272.52778170.00386029970.002570.0103623270.012862490.011970.9306130.0169492380.00414
6.61.8937297E-52.3311462E-57.9E-433.888918.1329304E-47.9E-48.115732E-59.990252E-50.0012312.3120010.00130978170.001219.876423E-40.00121564910.002972.44313930.0035228410.002310.0098326450.01209150350.011070.91551890.0157665240.00372
6.71.8621096E-52.2912098E-57.7E-433.60677.9289445E-47.7E-47.980225E-59.8191085E-50.001212.2210680.00127807530.001189.711593E-40.00119483540.002922.44385120.00346212320.002270.0096692610.0118856250.010860.913708750.0155021240.00366
6.81.7830353E-52.1806083E-57.6E-434.8526577.8178954E-47.6E-47.641356E-59.3451374E-50.0011612.4128720.00123334490.001149.29938E-40.00113719070.002752.418240.00326476850.002130.0092605610.011316090.01030.91020840.01472704950.00345
6.91.3135183E-51.5304031E-56.0E-439.205366.1529485E-46.0E-45.6292425E-56.558709E-58.8E-413.4172759.455294E-48.8E-46.8514474E-47.982367E-40.002032.54310540.00238696740.001590.0068303620.0079551580.007140.897530850.01046503150.00253
7.01.1507512E-51.3154237E-54.2E-431.9288754.331487E-44.2E-44.9316975E-55.637412E-56.2E-410.9979546.7633914E-46.2E-46.002687E-46.861445E-40.001522.21527670.00182536230.001140.00598649870.00684149240.005520.80684150.0086192460.00179
7.19.715903E-61.0865287E-52.4E-422.0886962.5086268E-42.4E-44.1638916E-54.6564706E-53.0E-46.44264753.4655075E-43.0E-45.068359E-45.667821E-48.7E-41.53498150.00112646475.6E-40.00505681480.0056538340.003580.63319870.00648908468.4E-4
7.29.233269E-61.0286314E-52.2E-421.3876422.3028404E-42.2E-43.9570554E-54.408348E-52.7E-46.12474353.1407157E-42.7E-44.81665E-45.365884E-47.8E-41.45362810.00102632554.9E-40.00480622330.00535335950.003230.603359460.0060893987.4E-4
7.38.8041315E-69.808164E-61.6E-416.312941.6980659E-41.6E-43.7731446E-54.2034335E-52.0E-44.7580152.4202593E-42.0E-44.592835E-45.1165203E-46.6E-41.28993928.914576E-43.8E-40.00458335460.0051051670.002880.56413430.00564241045.4E-4
7.48.708749E-69.707175E-61.6E-416.4826531.6970563E-41.6E-43.7322676E-54.160154E-52.0E-44.80751472.4159322E-42.0E-44.5430884E-45.0638523E-46.4E-41.263868.662029E-43.6E-40.0045338120.00505273980.002810.55613390.0055601635.1E-4
7.58.612678E-69.604817E-61.4E-414.5760191.4960347E-41.4E-43.6910955E-54.1162875E-51.8E-44.37287242.2115547E-41.8E-44.492982E-45.01047E-46.0E-41.19749258.3088165E-43.3E-40.0044839090.00499959850.00270.540043350.0054771994.8E-4
7.68.319024E-69.283916E-61.3E-414.0027111.3928271E-41.3E-43.5652476E-53.978763E-51.7E-44.27268462.0978086E-41.7E-44.3398244E-44.8431093E-45.7E-41.176938.0415595E-43.2E-40.00433135870.00483297840.002550.527624960.00530070674.7E-4
7.77.4718328E-68.34517E-61.2E-414.3795761.2834417E-41.2E-43.2021748E-53.5764548E-51.6E-44.47370431.9575882E-41.6E-43.8979502E-44.353504E-45.1E-41.17147027.2522415E-42.9E-40.003891120.00434538070.002270.52239380.00474364264.0E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-70.00.03.6482615E-70.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.0E-56.39574431.1563524E-51.0E-51.80467E-51.9035933E-53.0E-51.57596684.9035363E-53.0E-51.8045233E-41.9034347E-47.0E-50.367756252.3033586E-44.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-90.00.02.6696718E-90.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-80.00.01.14414505E-80.01.335311E-71.3929966E-70.00.01.3929966E-70.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-60.00.01.3929966E-60.0

San Andreas (Mojave N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.877682E-51.9402112E-40.001759.0196370.00187369520.001684.2326056E-48.312543E-40.002663.19998360.00306939220.002240.00514102770.0100736840.008340.82789970.0132018510.003160.050237080.098322450.057090.58064050.102028350.00411
6.19.877682E-51.9402112E-40.001759.0196370.00187369520.001684.2326056E-48.312543E-40.002663.19998360.00306939220.002240.00514102770.0100736840.008340.82789970.0132018510.003160.050237080.098322450.057090.58064050.102028350.00411
6.29.877682E-51.9402112E-40.001759.0196370.00187369520.001684.2326056E-48.312543E-40.002663.19998360.00306939220.002240.00514102770.0100736840.008340.82789970.0132018510.003160.050237080.098322450.057090.58064050.102028350.00411
6.39.877682E-51.9402112E-40.001759.0196370.00187369520.001684.2326056E-48.312543E-40.002663.19998360.00306939220.002240.00514102770.0100736840.008340.82789970.0132018510.003160.050237080.098322450.057090.58064050.102028350.00411
6.49.877682E-51.9402112E-40.001759.0196370.00187369520.001684.2326056E-48.312543E-40.002663.19998360.00306939220.002240.00514102770.0100736840.008340.82789970.0132018510.003160.050237080.098322450.057090.58064050.102028350.00411
6.59.861474E-51.937588E-40.001759.0318480.00187343320.001684.2256617E-48.3013077E-40.002663.20431450.00306827130.002240.00513261320.01006013250.008340.829014960.0131883430.003160.0501567460.098200350.057010.580547870.101906750.00411
6.69.861474E-51.937588E-40.001759.0318480.00187343320.001684.2256617E-48.3013077E-40.002663.20431450.00306827130.002240.00513261320.01006013250.008340.829014960.0131883430.003160.0501567460.098200350.057010.580547870.101906750.00411
6.79.8552715E-51.9365833E-40.001759.0365330.0018733330.001684.223004E-48.2970044E-40.002653.19392370.0030678420.002240.00512939270.0100549410.008330.82844840.0131831680.003160.0501259980.098153560.056970.580417040.101860150.00411
6.89.8464974E-51.9350994E-40.001759.0434630.00187318480.001684.219245E-48.290649E-40.002653.1963720.00306720780.002240.00512483760.0100472760.008330.82908050.0131755260.003160.050082510.098083780.056940.580524150.101790660.00411
6.99.825824E-51.9319002E-40.001759.0584390.00187286550.001684.2103877E-48.276947E-40.002653.20166370.00306584060.002240.00511410460.0100307460.008320.82944970.013159050.003160.0499800220.0979329650.056840.5803970.1016404550.00411
7.09.781462E-51.9250368E-40.001749.0387890.00187218030.001684.1913814E-48.247551E-40.002643.20095010.00306290760.002240.0050910730.0099952850.008290.8293910.01312370.003160.049760070.097609120.056680.58068340.101317950.00411
7.19.7121134E-51.9152075E-40.001749.0851770.0018711990.001684.1616702E-48.205452E-40.002623.1929990.00303872350.002220.0050550680.00994449950.008250.82960440.0130433730.003130.049416130.097145710.056370.580262360.1008293550.00408
7.29.663819E-51.9082859E-40.001739.0657270.0018705080.001684.1409794E-48.175807E-40.002613.19234560.00303576560.002220.00502999360.0099087350.008230.83058030.0130077210.003130.0491765370.096818830.056280.58129190.100503810.00408
7.39.6277574E-51.9035369E-40.001739.0883460.00187003390.001684.125529E-48.1554666E-40.002613.20030740.0030337360.002220.00501126940.0098841950.008230.83264240.0129832580.003130.048997590.096592280.056150.581309440.100278180.00408
7.49.593308E-51.8975153E-40.001739.1171860.00186943270.001684.1107697E-48.129676E-40.002613.210460.00303116280.002220.00499338240.0098530810.008220.83425690.012952240.003130.048826610.096309860.056040.581871870.099996920.00408
7.59.561707E-51.8921228E-40.001739.143170.00186889440.001684.0972308E-48.106579E-40.002613.2196070.00302885820.002220.00497697430.0098252150.00820.83458740.0129244620.003130.0486697440.0960562450.05590.58195070.09973530.00407
7.69.418194E-51.8573487E-40.001739.3143520.00186542280.001684.0357444E-47.95764E-40.002613.27986720.00301399730.002220.0049024540.0096454990.008140.843916950.0127354050.003120.0479570250.0944374650.054890.58123120.098104990.00405
7.78.202141E-51.6022482E-40.001559.6739070.00167998120.001523.51473E-46.8649714E-40.002293.33577510.00266513790.001980.004270790.0083261280.007050.84673210.0110333980.002730.041896390.0822379140.047820.58148360.08552350.00358
7.87.2859846E-51.4517571E-49.1E-46.2682660.0010250488.8E-43.1221908E-46.2203326E-40.001452.3310650.00179130550.001170.0037946430.00754699860.005710.756592150.0092540180.001720.0373049750.074727660.042050.56270990.076874290.00232
7.95.3874453E-51.00462625E-44.8E-44.7778965.704154E-44.7E-42.3087008E-44.3048308E-48.1E-41.8816070.00104022056.1E-40.00280722020.00522854740.003690.70574090.00611389438.9E-40.027720220.0524258840.028770.54877470.0535819230.00122
8.03.468538E-55.4261534E-51.9E-43.50155952.4425122E-41.9E-41.4864317E-42.3252872E-43.5E-41.50519044.7247292E-42.4E-40.00180822830.00282736360.001830.647246060.00319631753.7E-40.0179358530.0289484620.015070.520580350.0293660154.3E-4
8.11.9152367E-51.9401303E-52.0E-51.03085863.9400915E-52.0E-58.207899E-58.3145795E-57.0E-50.84189471.2314247E-44.0E-59.988535E-40.00101183055.4E-40.53368620.00107176996.0E-50.0099437570.010855950.00550.50663460.01092519057.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-60.00.05.473668E-60.03.704486E-52.3458366E-51.0E-50.426287143.345813E-51.0E-54.5092785E-42.8556827E-41.5E-40.525268442.955654E-41.0E-50.00450013950.00324817930.001710.52644870.0032581471.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-70.00.07.6564595E-70.08.498917E-63.281336E-60.00.03.281336E-60.01.034694E-43.9949547E-51.0E-50.250315733.9949547E-50.00.00103421244.717979E-42.0E-40.423910324.717979E-40.0

Nelson Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.913453E-61.0192255E-56.5E-463.773916.5018574E-46.4E-44.2485535E-54.3680422E-50.0010524.0382290.00106363590.001025.1713863E-45.316897E-40.002564.81483840.00263057320.00210.00515936830.0053052040.010261.93395020.0088562640.00357
6.19.913453E-61.0192255E-56.5E-463.773916.5018574E-46.4E-44.2485535E-54.3680422E-50.0010524.0382290.00106363590.001025.1713863E-45.316897E-40.002564.81483840.00263057320.00210.00515936830.0053052040.010261.93395020.0088562640.00357
6.24.5596407E-64.696313E-62.6E-455.362582.5469513E-42.5E-41.954117E-52.0126909E-54.7E-423.3518244.6011806E-44.4E-42.3788778E-42.4501883E-40.001124.57107730.00118478859.4E-40.00237633290.00244761280.004651.89981030.0041135250.00167
6.34.5596407E-64.696313E-62.6E-455.362582.5469513E-42.5E-41.954117E-52.0126909E-54.7E-423.3518244.6011806E-44.4E-42.3788778E-42.4501883E-40.001124.57107730.00118478859.4E-40.00237633290.00244761280.004651.89981030.0041135250.00167
6.43.4025713E-63.5098972E-62.1E-459.830812.0350919E-42.0E-41.4582367E-51.5042335E-53.6E-423.9324553.4503738E-43.3E-41.7752586E-41.8312587E-47.7E-44.2047588.43005E-46.6E-40.0017738410.00182983270.003281.79251360.00297772840.00115
6.52.8352947E-62.927856E-61.9E-464.89391.929273E-41.9E-41.2151207E-51.2547898E-52.7E-421.5175482.7254462E-42.6E-41.479309E-41.5276071E-46.1E-43.99317366.8267976E-45.3E-40.00147832460.00152663080.00271.76860050.00250513489.8E-4
6.62.251518E-62.3290677E-61.4E-460.1098941.4232875E-41.4E-49.649328E-69.981683E-62.2E-422.040372.1997959E-42.1E-41.1747423E-41.2152085E-44.8E-43.94993955.3147104E-44.1E-40.00117412140.00121460580.002191.80305420.00199365837.8E-4
6.71.8911853E-61.9591396E-61.4E-471.459941.4195887E-41.4E-48.105055E-68.39629E-62.1E-425.011052.0839462E-42.0E-49.867457E-51.0222061E-44.5E-44.4022434.8218176E-43.8E-49.863076E-40.00102179350.001791.75182180.00171108836.9E-4
6.81.4874814E-61.5438305E-61.0E-464.773951.0154368E-41.0E-46.374905E-66.6164025E-61.6E-424.1823251.5661541E-41.5E-47.76117E-58.055224E-53.8E-44.71743544.0052648E-43.2E-47.75846E-48.0528157E-40.001491.85028460.00141479036.1E-4
6.96.835972E-77.1399285E-75.0E-570.028725.0713956E-55.0E-52.9296991E-63.0599674E-66.0E-519.6080516.3059786E-56.0E-53.56685E-53.7254784E-52.3E-46.17370372.2724771E-41.9E-43.5662777E-43.7251666E-48.1E-42.17439947.1239E-43.4E-4

Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.744542E-54.396349E-50.0010724.3383790.00110391690.001061.604705E-41.8840231E-40.001578.3332310.00168811970.00150.00195197760.00229155710.003541.54480110.00490555350.002620.0193492060.0226972810.015450.68069830.0263621660.00375
6.13.744542E-54.396349E-50.0010724.3383790.00110391690.001061.604705E-41.8840231E-40.001578.3332310.00168811970.00150.00195197760.00229155710.003541.54480110.00490555350.002620.0193492060.0226972810.015450.68069830.0263621660.00375
6.23.744542E-54.396349E-50.0010724.3383790.00110391690.001061.604705E-41.8840231E-40.001578.3332310.00168811970.00150.00195197760.00229155710.003541.54480110.00490555350.002620.0193492060.0226972810.015450.68069830.0263621660.00375
6.32.1079984E-52.5354384E-53.8E-414.9875464.0534476E-43.8E-49.0339665E-51.0865723E-45.3E-44.8777245.8860506E-44.8E-40.00109933040.00132211890.001481.11941520.00225088939.3E-40.0109390790.0131447470.008180.62230180.0145362130.00141
6.42.1079984E-52.5354384E-53.8E-414.9875464.0534476E-43.8E-49.0339665E-51.0865723E-45.3E-44.8777245.8860506E-44.8E-40.00109933040.00132211890.001481.11941520.00225088939.3E-40.0109390790.0131447470.008180.62230180.0145362130.00141
6.51.7397282E-52.0663285E-52.5E-412.0987542.706581E-42.5E-47.455765E-58.8554E-53.7E-44.17824174.1852478E-43.3E-49.073613E-40.00107762350.001050.974366370.00172692296.5E-40.0090366540.0107252730.006420.598586140.0116452989.3E-4
6.61.52050325E-51.7680086E-52.2E-412.4433792.376762E-42.2E-46.51628E-57.576964E-53.4E-44.48728563.757469E-43.0E-47.9306826E-49.221128E-49.5E-41.03024270.0015015785.8E-40.0079024390.0091837290.00570.62066290.0099961988.2E-4
6.71.332523E-51.5264379E-51.9E-412.447282.0526147E-41.9E-45.7106878E-56.541716E-53.1E-44.73881773.353995E-42.7E-46.950544E-47.9616875E-48.1E-41.01737230.00129577065.0E-40.0069288450.00793379450.004920.6201320.0086183196.9E-4
6.81.1525329E-51.3031365E-51.5E-411.510691.6302941E-41.5E-44.9393333E-55.5847537E-52.5E-44.47647332.7583525E-42.2E-46.011979E-46.7973585E-46.9E-41.01510020.00109945044.2E-40.005995740.00677701920.004280.63154610.0073332245.6E-4
6.91.0253909E-51.1514835E-51.3E-411.2897841.4151334E-41.3E-44.3944583E-54.934838E-52.1E-44.2554592.39339E-41.9E-45.3489394E-46.006545E-45.9E-40.982261849.604383E-43.6E-40.00533608250.00599068960.003680.614286540.0064777544.9E-4
7.08.104563E-68.99143E-67.0E-57.78519067.89908E-57.0E-53.4733377E-53.853415E-51.5E-43.89265131.6852914E-41.3E-44.2279682E-44.6905465E-44.4E-40.9380577.189374E-42.5E-40.00421993340.00468089430.002850.6088580.00499939643.2E-4
7.16.7986157E-67.5159796E-65.0E-56.65249255.7515605E-55.0E-52.91366E-53.2210955E-51.0E-43.10453371.1220838E-48.0E-53.5468035E-43.9209996E-43.4E-40.86712585.620333E-41.7E-40.0035411480.0039142980.002330.595253650.00414339732.3E-4
7.25.6893327E-66.280132E-64.0E-56.36929274.627988E-54.0E-52.4382627E-52.6914584E-57.0E-52.60082037.691324E-55.0E-52.9681803E-43.276378E-42.7E-40.824080774.6759192E-41.4E-40.0029642190.0032717460.001840.56239080.00346112441.9E-4
7.34.253348E-64.707075E-63.0E-56.3733853.4706933E-53.0E-51.8228506E-52.017303E-55.0E-52.47855665.0172428E-53.0E-52.2190946E-42.455808E-41.8E-40.73295633.4555624E-41.0E-40.002216880.00245327530.001410.57474190.00259293171.4E-4
7.42.5448119E-62.8520594E-61.0E-53.50623821.28520305E-51.0E-51.0906291E-51.2223064E-53.0E-52.45437652.2222941E-51.0E-51.3277601E-41.4880729E-49.0E-50.604809051.9879985E-45.0E-50.0013269670.00148723878.5E-40.5715290.00154714956.0E-5
7.54.3706837E-84.562909E-80.00.04.562909E-80.01.8731501E-71.9555324E-70.00.01.9555324E-70.02.2805577E-62.3808586E-60.00.02.3808586E-60.02.2805343E-52.3808387E-50.00.02.3808387E-50.0

Towne Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.849728E-63.894542E-67.0E-4179.738727.038918E-47.0E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-50.0011568.9001850.00115667180.001142.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.0024311.9588940.00245273880.002250.00200672080.00203053190.005162.54120610.005353770.00333
6.13.849728E-63.894542E-67.0E-4179.738727.038918E-47.0E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-50.0011568.9001850.00115667180.001142.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.0024311.9588940.00245273880.002250.00200672080.00203053190.005162.54120610.005353770.00333
6.23.849728E-63.894542E-67.0E-4179.738727.038918E-47.0E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-50.0011568.9001850.00115667180.001142.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.0024311.9588940.00245273880.002250.00200672080.00203053190.005162.54120610.005353770.00333
6.33.849728E-63.894542E-67.0E-4179.738727.038918E-47.0E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-50.0011568.9001850.00115667180.001142.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.0024311.9588940.00245273880.002250.00200672080.00203053190.005162.54120610.005353770.00333
6.43.849728E-63.894542E-67.0E-4179.738727.038918E-47.0E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-50.0011568.9001850.00115667180.001142.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.0024311.9588940.00245273880.002250.00200672080.00203053190.005162.54120610.005353770.00333
6.51.1953545E-61.2030526E-61.3E-4108.058451.3120289E-41.3E-45.1229376E-65.15593E-62.3E-444.6088262.251548E-42.2E-46.236998E-56.277176E-54.0E-46.3722924.3274852E-43.7E-46.235248E-46.2755204E-49.7E-41.54568860.00119719435.7E-4
6.61.1953545E-61.2030526E-61.3E-4108.058451.3120289E-41.3E-45.1229376E-65.15593E-62.3E-444.6088262.251548E-42.2E-46.236998E-56.277176E-54.0E-46.3722924.3274852E-43.7E-46.235248E-46.2755204E-49.7E-41.54568860.00119719435.7E-4
6.78.375951E-78.410676E-77.0E-583.2275547.084101E-57.0E-53.5896885E-63.6045708E-61.3E-436.065321.2360414E-41.2E-44.370358E-54.3884826E-52.4E-45.46886062.6387518E-42.2E-44.3694986E-44.3876728E-45.9E-41.34467647.2864007E-42.9E-4
6.86.38041E-76.3921624E-76.0E-593.864956.0639177E-56.0E-52.7344586E-62.7394954E-69.0E-532.8527648.273928E-58.0E-53.3291526E-53.3352884E-51.8E-45.39683441.9334754E-41.6E-43.3286537E-43.334826E-44.3E-41.28942265.434126E-42.1E-4
6.95.3460053E-75.345339E-75.0E-593.539445.053451E-55.0E-52.2911431E-62.2908578E-68.0E-534.9214177.22907E-57.0E-52.789431E-52.7890868E-51.4E-45.01956371.5788725E-41.3E-42.789081E-42.78877E-43.4E-41.21917554.588268E-41.8E-4
7.03.557783E-73.5324283E-72.0E-556.6182752.0353236E-52.0E-51.5247632E-61.513897E-65.0E-533.0273444.1513835E-54.0E-51.8563835E-51.8431549E-59.0E-54.88293179.843007E-58.0E-51.8562283E-41.8430105E-41.6E-40.86814482.7428445E-49.0E-5
7.13.037942E-73.0002275E-71.0E-533.3308031.0300019E-51.0E-51.3019744E-61.2858112E-64.0E-531.1087653.1285774E-53.0E-51.5851423E-51.5654647E-58.0E-55.1103048.565355E-57.0E-51.5850292E-41.5653619E-41.4E-40.894361852.3652367E-48.0E-5
7.22.0808248E-72.0217735E-71.0E-549.461531.0202175E-51.0E-58.917818E-78.6647407E-74.0E-546.1641043.086645E-53.0E-51.0857389E-51.0549275E-56.0E-55.68759446.0548748E-55.0E-51.0856859E-41.0548821E-41.1E-41.04277061.6548188E-46.0E-5
7.31.1162073E-71.0636902E-70.00.01.0636902E-70.04.7837443E-74.5586717E-72.0E-543.872432.0455858E-52.0E-55.8241935E-65.5501705E-63.0E-55.4052393.5550005E-53.0E-55.8240406E-55.550052E-58.0E-51.4414289.5498304E-54.0E-5

Bicycle Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9621975E-52.2097078E-54.5E-420.3646834.6208737E-44.4E-48.4091465E-59.4699084E-56.7E-47.0750426.9464225E-46.0E-40.00102333270.00115248650.002171.88288530.0023610920.001210.010186330.0114784080.012981.13081880.0135938440.00214
6.11.9621975E-52.2097078E-54.5E-420.3646834.6208737E-44.4E-48.4091465E-59.4699084E-56.7E-47.0750426.9464225E-46.0E-40.00102333270.00115248650.002171.88288530.0023610920.001210.010186330.0114784080.012981.13081880.0135938440.00214
6.29.9971285E-61.125564E-52.6E-423.0995312.712527E-42.6E-44.2844134E-54.8237856E-54.0E-48.2922423.9822096E-43.5E-45.2150246E-45.871897E-40.001322.2479960.00134674347.6E-40.00520280330.0058614870.007211.23006330.00722345660.00137
6.39.589428E-61.0798346E-52.4E-422.2256262.5079577E-42.4E-44.10969E-54.62781E-53.8E-48.2112273.7626282E-43.3E-45.002399E-45.6334207E-40.001272.25440290.00128293647.2E-40.00499115330.00562422960.006911.22861270.0069268620.00131
6.49.589428E-61.0798346E-52.4E-422.2256262.5079577E-42.4E-44.10969E-54.62781E-53.8E-48.2112273.7626282E-43.3E-45.002399E-45.6334207E-40.001272.25440290.00128293647.2E-40.00499115330.00562422960.006911.22861270.0069268620.00131
6.55.557707E-66.2856016E-61.4E-422.2731271.4628473E-41.4E-42.3818526E-52.6938165E-52.0E-47.42441032.1693305E-41.9E-42.8995197E-43.279497E-46.8E-42.07348877.578087E-44.3E-40.00289573940.00327729340.003991.2174680.0041245088.5E-4
6.64.8742945E-65.5132896E-61.2E-421.7655891.2551263E-41.2E-42.0889667E-52.3628318E-51.6E-46.7715361.7362478E-41.5E-42.54302E-42.87663E-45.6E-41.94672246.375623E-43.5E-40.0025401120.00287547520.003431.19284630.003553526.8E-4
6.73.991108E-64.5159104E-69.0E-519.9295379.4515504E-59.0E-51.7104636E-51.9353902E-51.2E-46.20031.2935177E-41.1E-42.0822904E-42.3563375E-44.3E-41.82486595.0557015E-42.7E-40.00208034040.00235633740.002771.17555320.0029150185.6E-4

Paradise

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4851273E-51.6694768E-54.8E-428.7515224.966867E-44.8E-46.364676E-57.154718E-56.9E-49.6439867.4149924E-46.7E-47.7462377E-48.707624E-40.001812.07863830.00210968270.001240.00771929140.0086758840.009131.05234230.0108369710.00218
6.11.4851273E-51.6694768E-54.8E-428.7515224.966867E-44.8E-46.364676E-57.154718E-56.9E-49.6439867.4149924E-46.7E-47.7462377E-48.707624E-40.001812.07863830.00210968270.001240.00771929140.0086758840.009131.05234230.0108369710.00218
6.21.4851273E-51.6694768E-54.8E-428.7515224.966867E-44.8E-46.364676E-57.154718E-56.9E-49.6439867.4149924E-46.7E-47.7462377E-48.707624E-40.001812.07863830.00210968270.001240.00771929140.0086758840.009131.05234230.0108369710.00218
6.31.0426831E-51.1888697E-52.4E-420.187242.5188585E-42.4E-44.4685654E-55.09506E-53.4E-46.67313053.709343E-43.2E-45.43912E-46.201529E-49.7E-41.56413030.00120978715.9E-40.00542582660.00618483170.005490.88765550.00715877079.8E-4
6.41.0426831E-51.1888697E-52.4E-420.187242.5188585E-42.4E-44.4685654E-55.09506E-53.4E-46.67313053.709343E-43.2E-45.43912E-46.201529E-49.7E-41.56413030.00120978715.9E-40.00542582660.00618483170.005490.88765550.00715877079.8E-4
6.59.25027E-61.0620037E-52.1E-419.7739412.206178E-42.1E-43.964341E-54.551368E-52.7E-45.93228242.955023E-42.5E-44.8255164E-45.5399304E-47.5E-41.35380760.00100374374.5E-40.00481505130.00552661950.004590.830525760.00624264037.2E-4
6.67.904275E-69.159602E-61.6E-417.4680061.6915814E-41.6E-43.3875025E-53.925487E-52.1E-45.34965472.2924741E-41.9E-44.1235037E-44.7782718E-45.4E-41.13011577.776838E-43.0E-40.00411586040.0047683950.003550.74448540.00520629674.4E-4
6.77.2061953E-68.407326E-61.4E-416.6521431.4840615E-41.4E-43.088333E-53.603092E-51.8E-44.99570941.9602515E-41.6E-43.7593965E-44.3859181E-44.4E-41.00321076.7848654E-42.4E-40.0037530430.0043776310.003180.72642030.0047360553.6E-4
6.86.6948724E-67.842242E-61.1E-414.0266021.1784138E-41.1E-42.8691995E-53.3609194E-51.5E-44.4630641.6360483E-41.3E-43.4926904E-44.091187E-43.7E-40.9043835.7904917E-41.7E-40.0034872060.00408401250.002910.71253450.0043728282.9E-4
6.96.0421025E-67.1306963E-68.0E-511.2191018.713012E-58.0E-52.5894467E-53.0559786E-51.1E-43.59950141.2055704E-49.0E-53.1521954E-43.7200528E-43.1E-40.83332155.019569E-41.3E-40.00314772780.00371416380.002660.716177340.00394330972.3E-4
7.04.134091E-65.0803824E-63.0E-55.9050673.508023E-53.0E-51.7717413E-52.1772896E-56.0E-52.755726.177202E-54.0E-52.1568815E-42.650543E-41.7E-40.641378053.250384E-46.0E-50.00215478920.00264753470.001740.65721520.00275724361.1E-4
7.13.7674888E-64.631936E-63.0E-56.47677333.4631797E-53.0E-51.6146281E-51.9851012E-56.0E-53.0225165.985022E-54.0E-51.9656324E-42.4166079E-41.6E-40.662085063.016463E-46.0E-50.00196389460.00241413060.001580.65447990.00250391349.0E-5
7.23.4065345E-64.156782E-63.0E-57.2171213.4156656E-53.0E-51.4599351E-51.7814667E-56.0E-53.36801125.7813955E-54.0E-51.777326E-42.168735E-41.5E-40.691647472.7686046E-46.0E-50.00177590530.00216676670.001420.65535440.00224659348.0E-5
7.32.9934936E-63.6293673E-62.0E-55.51060252.3629294E-52.0E-51.2829195E-51.5554348E-55.0E-53.21453554.555388E-53.0E-51.5618425E-41.8935918E-41.2E-40.63371632.3934973E-45.0E-50.00156074530.00189212370.001250.66063330.00196199127.0E-5
7.42.4049796E-62.8890186E-62.0E-56.9227662.288896E-52.0E-51.0307015E-51.2381457E-55.0E-54.03829674.2381085E-53.0E-51.2548068E-41.5073526E-41.1E-40.72975632.0072772E-45.0E-50.00125409850.00150647150.001060.70363090.00156638126.0E-5
7.51.2710091E-61.5134859E-62.0E-513.2145262.1513455E-52.0E-55.44717E-66.4863593E-64.0E-56.16678763.6486166E-53.0E-56.631728E-57.896981E-57.0E-50.88641471.2896587E-45.0E-56.6297496E-47.895401E-44.4E-40.557286448.3950063E-45.0E-5
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.0E-576.804332.0260397E-52.0E-59.478797E-71.1160082E-62.0E-517.9210172.1115986E-52.0E-51.1540374E-51.3587343E-53.0E-52.20793724.3586937E-53.0E-51.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.0E-40.73600881.6586386E-43.0E-5

San Andreas (San Bernardino N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4273766E-43.160784E-49.0E-42.84739470.00109583197.8E-46.115894E-40.00135392450.001671.23345140.0023425849.9E-40.00742070840.0163609390.010110.61793520.017806890.001470.071777480.150211630.08840.588503060.15188570.00197
6.11.4273766E-43.160784E-49.0E-42.84739470.00109583197.8E-46.115894E-40.00135392450.001671.23345140.0023425849.9E-40.00742070840.0163609390.010110.61793520.017806890.001470.071777480.150211630.08840.588503060.15188570.00197
6.21.4273766E-43.160784E-49.0E-42.84739470.00109583197.8E-46.115894E-40.00135392450.001671.23345140.0023425849.9E-40.00742070840.0163609390.010110.61793520.017806890.001470.071777480.150211630.08840.588503060.15188570.00197
6.31.3730655E-43.0512668E-48.9E-42.91682120.00107489187.7E-45.883239E-40.0013070360.001611.23179460.00228575529.8E-40.00713934420.0157984550.009780.61904790.0172353890.001460.069142910.14551350.085730.58915490.14718830.00196
6.41.3730655E-43.0512668E-48.9E-42.91682120.00107489187.7E-45.883239E-40.0013070360.001611.23179460.00228575529.8E-40.00713934420.0157984550.009780.61904790.0172353890.001460.069142910.14551350.085730.58915490.14718830.00196
6.51.2942807E-42.8927144E-48.6E-42.97298620.00104905167.6E-45.545738E-40.00123915090.001551.25085650.00220794889.7E-40.00673105240.0149835480.009350.62401780.016411820.001450.065307880.138650880.081630.588744940.140330510.00195
6.61.1125901E-42.5365927E-48.4E-43.31152920.0010034697.5E-44.767372E-40.00108666050.001451.33436350.00204561729.6E-40.0057888390.01315046850.008210.624312340.0145715320.001440.0564034540.123004960.072310.58786250.124706330.00194
6.71.02209575E-42.3500937E-48.2E-43.48922259.748355E-47.4E-44.3796748E-40.00100679570.001421.41041530.00194584939.4E-40.00531922470.0121892670.007660.62842170.0135722020.00140.0519369060.1147927640.066850.58235380.1164481040.00187
6.89.610582E-52.2026796E-48.1E-43.67733939.501072E-47.3E-44.1181705E-49.436647E-40.001391.47298090.00187278719.3E-40.00500235150.0114288590.00730.63873390.0128029730.001390.0489123460.108204690.062530.57788620.109854510.00185
6.99.3877505E-52.1482339E-48.1E-43.7705399.4466656E-47.3E-44.0227012E-49.203475E-40.001391.51029910.00184949169.3E-40.00488664540.0111479070.007160.6422730.0125026340.001370.047805770.1057982740.060790.574584070.107425720.00182
7.09.1019785E-52.0809306E-48.1E-43.89248929.3794113E-47.3E-43.900265E-48.915232E-40.001381.54791260.00182069419.3E-40.00473823770.01080049950.0070.648118140.0121458110.001360.0463847440.102768150.058750.57167520.104392140.00181
7.18.771155E-51.9983841E-47.9E-43.95319419.1969455E-47.2E-43.758525E-48.5616973E-40.001351.57679010.00177538219.2E-40.00456640640.0103742430.006730.648722050.0117102380.001350.0447370560.099076440.056390.56915650.1006981060.0018
7.28.0830236E-51.8389444E-47.6E-44.1328068.7376754E-46.9E-43.4636928E-47.8788114E-40.001311.66268730.00166718788.8E-40.00420889440.0095503680.006240.653377950.0108478570.001310.0413006580.091805180.052260.56924890.093385440.00174
7.37.7668235E-51.7333007E-47.4E-44.2693118.532122E-46.8E-43.328214E-47.426318E-40.001241.66973730.00159200068.5E-40.00404457330.0090041380.005930.65858610.0102527930.001260.039717480.087067610.049230.565422650.088592210.00167
7.47.520177E-51.655312E-47.3E-44.4100458.354203E-46.7E-43.2225347E-47.092266E-40.001211.70608390.00154863088.4E-40.00391637950.0086007140.005630.654596870.0098300480.001240.0384807440.083521570.046880.56129220.085024590.00164
7.57.274697E-51.584075E-47.2E-44.54523948.18303E-46.6E-43.1173544E-46.7871273E-40.001191.75331910.00150814948.3E-40.0037887750.0082320760.005480.66568870.0094519510.001230.037248270.080236540.04470.55710280.081735750.00163
7.67.1185845E-51.5410586E-47.2E-44.6721138.1400416E-46.6E-43.0504653E-46.602866E-40.001191.80224780.00148973858.3E-40.00370761780.00800940950.005350.667964340.0092295580.001230.0364636670.078226610.043540.556588050.07972910.00163
7.76.709961E-51.4319421E-47.1E-44.9583018.030997E-46.6E-42.8753807E-46.135452E-40.001151.87435260.00144303598.3E-40.0034951570.00744436630.005090.68373850.008665210.001230.0344069380.073055580.040810.55861580.07456650.00163
7.86.300812E-51.320343E-46.8E-45.15017657.6195115E-46.3E-42.7000686E-45.657386E-40.001091.92668490.00136528618.0E-40.00328237870.0068661430.004830.70345170.00805790350.00120.0323431750.067713850.037680.55645930.069196180.00159
7.94.983037E-59.7241085E-54.7E-44.8333485.571963E-44.6E-42.1354125E-44.1668097E-47.9E-41.89593490.00100643515.9E-40.00259676480.00506130050.003520.695473430.0059268978.7E-40.0256662960.0506505070.027810.549056650.0517897270.0012
8.03.2211527E-55.3306234E-51.9E-43.56431132.432961E-41.9E-41.380421E-42.2843528E-43.5E-41.53216254.6838046E-42.4E-40.00167936690.00277765420.001770.63722830.00314662653.7E-40.0166673230.0283625680.014820.522519650.0287803734.3E-4
8.11.743376E-51.8823403E-52.0E-51.06250723.8823026E-52.0E-57.471398E-58.066923E-57.0E-50.8677411.20666E-44.0E-59.0926304E-49.81706E-45.0E-40.509317460.0010416476.0E-50.0090555170.0104839790.005360.51125620.0105532457.0E-5
8.27.831616E-65.1540533E-60.00.05.1540533E-60.03.3563636E-52.2088612E-51.0E-50.452721953.2088392E-51.0E-54.0856065E-42.6889573E-41.3E-40.483458762.7889304E-41.0E-50.0040781030.00304136680.001640.539231240.00305133641.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-70.00.07.6564595E-70.08.498917E-63.281336E-60.00.03.281336E-60.01.034694E-43.9949547E-51.0E-50.250315733.9949547E-50.00.00103421244.717979E-42.0E-40.423910324.717979E-40.0

Garlic Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6760017E-51.8776833E-53.1E-416.5097063.187712E-43.0E-47.182667E-58.0470316E-54.6E-45.71639354.7043894E-43.9E-48.7413884E-49.794032E-40.001671.70512010.00182857068.5E-40.0087070830.0097624130.010741.10013780.0112873790.00154
6.19.852767E-61.0973587E-51.7E-415.4917441.7097183E-41.6E-44.222546E-54.702921E-52.5E-45.3158452.5701933E-42.1E-45.139737E-45.7250116E-49.4E-41.64191810.00103223784.6E-40.0051278660.0057172210.006241.09143920.00657230488.6E-4
6.29.852767E-61.0973587E-51.7E-415.4917441.7097183E-41.6E-44.222546E-54.702921E-52.5E-45.3158452.5701933E-42.1E-45.139737E-45.7250116E-49.4E-41.64191810.00103223784.6E-40.0051278660.0057172210.006241.09143920.00657230488.6E-4
6.34.3167724E-64.7780286E-68.0E-516.7433078.477765E-58.0E-51.8500323E-52.0477235E-51.1E-45.3718191.2047519E-41.0E-42.2521814E-42.4930484E-43.9E-41.56434994.2925996E-41.8E-40.00224990030.002492510.002350.94282470.00281171243.2E-4
6.44.3167724E-64.7780286E-68.0E-516.7433078.477765E-58.0E-51.8500323E-52.0477235E-51.1E-45.3718191.2047519E-41.0E-42.2521814E-42.4930484E-43.9E-41.56434994.2925996E-41.8E-40.00224990030.002492510.002350.94282470.00281171243.2E-4
6.54.3167724E-64.7780286E-68.0E-516.7433078.477765E-58.0E-51.8500323E-52.0477235E-51.1E-45.3718191.2047519E-41.0E-42.2521814E-42.4930484E-43.9E-41.56434994.2925996E-41.8E-40.00224990030.002492510.002350.94282470.00281171243.2E-4
6.64.301311E-64.760897E-68.0E-516.8035568.476052E-58.0E-51.8434059E-52.0403815E-51.1E-45.39114861.20401775E-41.0E-42.2441156E-42.4841115E-43.9E-41.56997784.2836645E-41.8E-40.00224185060.0024835930.002350.94620970.00280279833.2E-4
6.73.8599724E-64.27106E-68.0E-518.7307158.4270716E-58.0E-51.6542634E-51.8304541E-51.1E-46.00943761.1830271E-41.0E-42.0138794E-42.228578E-43.6E-41.61537984.0281768E-41.8E-40.00201205540.0022285780.002130.95576640.0025378873.1E-4

Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6707214E-51.867027E-53.6E-419.2819943.7866354E-43.6E-47.160038E-58.001303E-55.6E-46.99886046.29969E-45.5E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.001481.51992710.00192280589.5E-40.008679770.0096954960.005770.59512160.010972990.00129
6.11.6707214E-51.867027E-53.6E-419.2819943.7866354E-43.6E-47.160038E-58.001303E-55.6E-46.99886046.29969E-45.5E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.001481.51992710.00192280589.5E-40.008679770.0096954960.005770.59512160.010972990.00129
6.21.6707214E-51.867027E-53.6E-419.2819943.7866354E-43.6E-47.160038E-58.001303E-55.6E-46.99886046.29969E-45.5E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.001481.51992710.00192280589.5E-40.008679770.0096954960.005770.59512160.010972990.00129
6.31.6707214E-51.867027E-53.6E-419.2819943.7866354E-43.6E-47.160038E-58.001303E-55.6E-46.99886046.29969E-45.5E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.001481.51992710.00192280589.5E-40.008679770.0096954960.005770.59512160.010972990.00129
6.41.5515609E-51.7338214E-52.9E-416.726063.073332E-42.9E-46.649377E-57.4304546E-54.6E-46.1907385.242711E-44.5E-48.0926094E-49.042885E-40.001281.41547750.0017035658.0E-40.0080632020.0090067730.00520.57734330.0100671360.00107
6.51.5515609E-51.7338214E-52.9E-416.726063.073332E-42.9E-46.649377E-57.4304546E-54.6E-46.1907385.242711E-44.5E-48.0926094E-49.042885E-40.001281.41547750.0017035658.0E-40.0080632020.0090067730.00520.57734330.0100671360.00107
6.61.5041828E-51.6809145E-52.8E-416.65762.9680444E-42.8E-46.4463384E-57.203723E-54.3E-45.96913534.92007E-44.2E-47.8455906E-48.767063E-40.001191.35735310.00160606647.3E-40.007817950.0087331320.004930.56451680.0097045749.8E-4
6.71.4634985E-51.6356016E-52.7E-416.5076872.863516E-42.7E-46.271985E-57.009536E-54.1E-45.84917454.8006664E-44.1E-47.6334673E-48.5308263E-40.001131.32460780.0015424946.9E-40.0076072990.0084987150.004770.56126130.0094108979.2E-4
6.81.4209158E-51.5882048E-52.3E-414.481762.458784E-42.3E-46.089497E-56.8064175E-53.5E-45.14220574.1804035E-43.5E-47.4114406E-48.2837185E-40.001041.25547480.00144785836.2E-40.0073867710.0082534560.004570.55370740.0090865238.4E-4
6.91.3780098E-51.5404594E-52.3E-414.9306122.4540105E-42.3E-45.9056227E-56.6018045E-53.4E-45.1501074.059956E-43.4E-47.1877235E-48.0347876E-40.001011.25703380.00139300475.9E-40.00716451930.0080063320.004410.5508140.0087999278.0E-4
7.01.3585064E-51.5188155E-52.2E-414.4849722.3518481E-42.2E-45.8220405E-56.50905E-53.2E-44.9162323.8506967E-43.2E-47.086029E-47.9219416E-49.7E-41.22444730.00134175845.5E-40.0070634760.0078942930.00430.54469720.0086284527.4E-4
7.11.3398601E-51.49813395E-52.2E-414.6849362.3497804E-42.2E-45.742131E-56.420419E-52.8E-44.3610863.441862E-42.8E-46.9888023E-47.8141113E-49.3E-41.19015460.00129101265.1E-40.00696686380.0077872240.00420.539344970.0084718516.9E-4
7.21.3126312E-51.4679561E-52.1E-414.3056052.2467648E-42.1E-45.6254412E-56.291092E-52.6E-44.1328283.2289457E-42.6E-46.846822E-47.6567667E-48.9E-41.16237060.00123531694.7E-40.0068257650.007630970.004080.53466330.0082660876.4E-4
7.31.2922429E-51.4453788E-52.0E-413.8372032.1445089E-42.0E-45.5380664E-56.194336E-52.4E-43.8745073.019285E-42.4E-46.74051E-47.53905E-48.5E-41.12746310.00119357324.4E-40.0067201010.0075140550.003980.529674050.0081194716.1E-4
7.41.2768878E-51.4283772E-52.0E-414.00190452.1428091E-42.0E-45.4722615E-56.1214756E-52.4E-43.92062333.0120005E-42.4E-46.660441E-47.4504025E-48.4E-41.12745580.00117471994.3E-40.00664051440.00742600350.003930.52922140.0080215476.0E-4
7.51.2521929E-51.40120155E-51.8E-412.8461181.940095E-41.8E-45.366431E-56.005014E-52.2E-43.6636052.8003694E-42.2E-46.531671E-47.3087064E-48.0E-41.0945850.00113057834.0E-40.0065125060.00728524570.00380.521602150.0078510935.7E-4
7.61.1301089E-51.2648149E-51.4E-411.0688131.5264637E-41.4E-44.8432343E-55.4205255E-51.8E-43.32071112.341955E-41.8E-45.895042E-46.5975444E-46.9E-41.04584360.00100952353.5E-40.00587942820.006578510.003350.509233830.00709508965.2E-4
7.79.189108E-61.0283358E-51.2E-411.6693391.3028212E-41.2E-43.93813E-54.407082E-51.6E-43.630522.0406376E-41.6E-44.7936183E-45.3643517E-45.7E-41.06257018.2627963E-42.9E-40.0047832910.0053519140.002760.51570340.00576966634.2E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-70.00.03.6482615E-70.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.0E-56.39574431.1563524E-51.0E-51.80467E-51.9035933E-53.0E-51.57596684.9035363E-53.0E-51.8045233E-41.9034347E-47.0E-50.367756252.3033586E-44.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-90.00.02.6696718E-90.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-80.00.01.14414505E-80.01.335311E-71.3929966E-70.00.01.3929966E-70.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-60.00.01.3929966E-60.0

San Andreas (San Bernardino S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2336002E-43.0005194E-45.9E-41.96632627.699109E-44.7E-45.2857865E-40.00128532920.001160.90249250.00187457095.9E-40.0064164720.0155415540.008450.54370370.0163881898.6E-40.062343370.142946990.079970.55943810.143932610.00115
6.11.2336002E-43.0005194E-45.9E-41.96632627.699109E-44.7E-45.2857865E-40.00128532920.001160.90249250.00187457095.9E-40.0064164720.0155415540.008450.54370370.0163881898.6E-40.062343370.142946990.079970.55943810.143932610.00115
6.21.2336002E-43.0005194E-45.9E-41.96632627.699109E-44.7E-45.2857865E-40.00128532920.001160.90249250.00187457095.9E-40.0064164720.0155415540.008450.54370370.0163881898.6E-40.062343370.142946990.079970.55943810.143932610.00115
6.31.1712257E-42.8793467E-45.8E-42.0143467.478022E-44.6E-45.018573E-40.00123344780.001130.91613120.00180274475.7E-40.0060930080.0149186660.008070.54093310.0157461338.4E-40.0592863220.137657790.076980.559212860.138640850.00114
6.41.1712257E-42.8793467E-45.8E-42.0143467.478022E-44.6E-45.018573E-40.00123344780.001130.91613120.00180274475.7E-40.0060930080.0149186660.008070.54093310.0157461338.4E-40.0592863220.137657790.076980.559212860.138640850.00114
6.51.0689076E-42.6806415E-45.6E-42.08905227.079462E-44.4E-44.5802278E-40.00114836530.001080.940467240.00169773385.5E-40.00556217830.0138963350.007530.541869460.0146950798.1E-40.054250030.12889890.071950.55818940.129865830.00111
6.69.7648895E-52.505129E-45.4E-42.15557746.804052E-44.3E-44.1842813E-40.00107320860.001030.959738850.00160263985.3E-40.0050824690.0129923990.00710.54647340.0137721357.9E-40.0496778860.1210777460.067580.558153750.122035770.00109
6.78.757013E-52.3122175E-45.2E-42.24892336.5112463E-44.2E-43.7524657E-49.905964E-49.9E-40.9993980.00151008125.2E-40.004559060.0119979020.006720.560097930.0127586647.7E-40.044666560.1123730240.062930.560009840.113296160.00104
6.88.562978E-52.2682057E-45.1E-42.24847346.467253E-44.2E-43.6693315E-49.7174826E-49.7E-40.998200950.00148125265.1E-40.0044582630.0117709210.006620.56240290.0125219767.6E-40.0436987580.110378630.061930.56106880.111294940.00103
6.96.124075E-51.7066885E-44.8E-42.8124645.805989E-44.1E-42.6243398E-47.312337E-48.7E-41.18977010.0012308685.0E-40.00319045270.0088666360.005290.59661860.0095703417.1E-40.0314503460.084202620.046910.55710860.0850817869.6E-4
7.05.8598747E-51.6495936E-44.8E-42.90980775.7489175E-44.1E-42.5111332E-47.067779E-48.6E-41.21678960.00120642465.0E-40.00305301860.0085712650.005060.590344550.0092751797.1E-40.030114140.081515620.045260.555231030.082397369.6E-4
7.15.613814E-51.5914452E-44.7E-42.95329055.6907925E-44.1E-42.4056983E-46.818704E-48.3E-41.21724010.00118152955.0E-40.00292500390.0082703530.00490.592477740.0089744817.1E-40.0288680210.078812680.043670.55409860.079687819.5E-4
7.24.991222E-51.4520933E-44.4E-43.03010855.251542E-43.8E-42.1389198E-46.221777E-48.0E-41.28580640.00109188534.7E-40.0026010250.00754880630.004480.593471350.0082236736.8E-40.0257079120.072261910.040050.55423390.073106159.1E-4
7.34.7410045E-51.371513E-44.4E-43.20813565.1709916E-43.8E-42.0317009E-45.8765925E-47.6E-41.29326650.00104738894.6E-40.00247078970.00713136560.004210.59034980.00776680146.4E-40.0244349820.0685419440.037630.54900690.0693523148.7E-4
7.44.5556746E-51.3123035E-44.3E-43.27668125.011818E-43.7E-41.952286E-45.6229485E-47.3E-41.29825130.00101204184.5E-40.0023743170.00682452930.003960.58025980.00744029836.2E-40.0234910860.065791430.035860.54505580.06658558.5E-4
7.54.3084514E-51.2358342E-44.2E-43.3985144.8353893E-43.6E-41.8463485E-45.2953605E-47.1E-41.34079649.69303E-44.4E-40.00224561150.00642811460.003730.580263440.00703419336.1E-40.0222305450.0621902830.033540.539312540.0629780448.4E-4
7.63.408608E-59.836477E-54.0E-44.0664974.5832936E-43.6E-41.4607502E-44.214953E-46.8E-41.61330398.613098E-44.4E-40.00177701250.0051196560.003180.62113550.0057265336.1E-40.0176286960.050022440.026990.53955790.0508204188.4E-4
7.72.8315713E-58.2495724E-53.7E-44.48508074.3246686E-43.5E-41.2134742E-43.5350522E-46.3E-41.78215187.833532E-44.3E-40.00147640340.0042954420.002820.656509940.00489286436.0E-40.014666330.0422724150.023130.547165330.043057758.2E-4
7.82.6222975E-57.463898E-53.4E-44.55526073.9461508E-43.2E-41.1237934E-43.1984213E-45.8E-41.81339457.097174E-43.9E-40.00136735970.0038871310.002650.68173670.00444495455.6E-40.0135897680.0384374750.020930.54452070.0391778767.7E-4
7.92.1469694E-55.7884805E-52.5E-44.31892253.0787033E-42.5E-49.200973E-52.4805416E-44.1E-41.65286485.379822E-42.9E-40.00111964280.003015880.001980.65652480.00344458324.3E-40.0111401840.0301532650.016440.54521460.0307642696.3E-4
8.01.2420249E-53.1321662E-51.1E-43.51194621.4131822E-41.1E-45.322855E-51.342288E-42.0E-41.48999322.6421135E-41.3E-46.478649E-40.00163301160.001010.61848920.0018326852.0E-40.00645979350.016523690.008440.510781760.0167597252.4E-4
8.14.9197724E-67.822525E-60.00.07.822525E-60.02.1084568E-53.3524673E-52.0E-50.59657554.352434E-51.0E-52.566744E-44.080866E-41.6E-40.392073634.1808252E-41.0E-50.0025637810.0043845570.002340.533691350.0043945131.0E-5
8.22.5634774E-62.9065757E-60.00.02.9065757E-60.01.0986286E-51.2456694E-51.0E-50.80278122.245657E-51.0E-51.3374983E-41.5164974E-46.0E-50.395648541.6164822E-41.0E-50.00133669340.0017049419.2E-40.53960810.0017149241.0E-5
8.35.2850464E-73.2080476E-70.00.03.2080476E-70.02.2650179E-61.3748769E-60.00.01.3748769E-60.02.7576245E-51.673901E-51.0E-50.59740691.673901E-50.02.7572823E-41.986671E-49.0E-50.453019141.986671E-40.0

Coyote Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.980352E-52.1706745E-52.4E-411.0564712.4170197E-42.2E-48.486947E-59.302599E-53.5E-43.76238923.9299807E-43.0E-40.00103279590.00113207510.001251.10416710.00172140725.9E-40.0102800910.0112702580.008170.72491690.0122688750.00101
6.11.980352E-52.1706745E-52.4E-411.0564712.4170197E-42.2E-48.486947E-59.302599E-53.5E-43.76238923.9299807E-43.0E-40.00103279590.00113207510.001251.10416710.00172140725.9E-40.0102800910.0112702580.008170.72491690.0122688750.00101
6.21.980352E-52.1706745E-52.4E-411.0564712.4170197E-42.2E-48.486947E-59.302599E-53.5E-43.76238923.9299807E-43.0E-40.00103279590.00113207510.001251.10416710.00172140725.9E-40.0102800910.0112702580.008170.72491690.0122688750.00101
6.31.5344787E-51.682067E-51.9E-411.2956271.9681764E-41.8E-46.576172E-57.2086936E-52.6E-43.60675622.9207108E-42.2E-48.003548E-48.773662E-49.5E-41.08278610.00129699784.2E-40.0079747840.008745070.006260.715831940.0095083367.7E-4
6.41.5344787E-51.682067E-51.9E-411.2956271.9681764E-41.8E-46.576172E-57.2086936E-52.6E-43.60675622.9207108E-42.2E-48.003548E-48.773662E-49.5E-41.08278610.00129699784.2E-40.0079747840.008745070.006260.715831940.0095083367.7E-4
6.51.4189697E-51.5557987E-51.8E-411.569621.8555534E-41.7E-46.081157E-56.6675726E-52.4E-43.59951112.666624E-42.0E-47.401293E-48.115349E-48.9E-41.09668730.00119122653.8E-40.00737669130.0080916560.00580.716787760.0087760726.9E-4
6.61.3469301E-51.4771577E-51.7E-411.5085881.8476907E-41.7E-45.7724297E-56.330556E-52.2E-43.4752082.632929E-42.0E-47.025667E-47.7053264E-48.3E-41.07717690.00113025533.6E-40.00700349640.00768451440.005520.718327760.0083295196.5E-4
6.71.3027966E-51.4281745E-51.7E-411.9033071.8427931E-41.7E-45.5832945E-56.120638E-52.2E-43.59439662.6119413E-42.0E-46.7955407E-47.4499263E-48.0E-41.07383610.00110472453.6E-40.0067747980.00743082860.005330.717282060.0080660736.4E-4
6.85.695434E-66.2244176E-64.0E-56.4263044.622417E-54.0E-52.4408775E-52.6675973E-55.0E-51.87434597.667464E-55.0E-52.971363E-43.2476155E-43.0E-40.92375474.3472584E-41.1E-40.00296739330.00324581050.002120.653149660.00344516132.0E-4
6.94.385688E-64.7930553E-61.0E-52.08635191.4793008E-51.0E-51.879567E-52.0541665E-52.0E-50.973630854.0541254E-52.0E-52.2881327E-42.5009477E-42.5E-40.999621033.2007726E-47.0E-50.0022857780.00250094780.001760.70373320.00262064771.2E-4

Helendale-So Lockhart

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7296055E-51.8103729E-52.1E-411.599822.2809993E-42.1E-47.412385E-57.7585224E-53.5E-44.51116853.975604E-43.2E-49.0208417E-49.4421144E-40.001011.06967570.00152366385.8E-40.0089843110.0094041160.006380.67842630.0103154659.2E-4
6.11.7296055E-51.8103729E-52.1E-411.599822.2809993E-42.1E-47.412385E-57.7585224E-53.5E-44.51116853.975604E-43.2E-49.0208417E-49.4421144E-40.001011.06967570.00152366385.8E-40.0089843110.0094041160.006380.67842630.0103154659.2E-4
6.21.7296055E-51.8103729E-52.1E-411.599822.2809993E-42.1E-47.412385E-57.7585224E-53.5E-44.51116853.975604E-43.2E-49.0208417E-49.4421144E-40.001011.06967570.00152366385.8E-40.0089843110.0094041160.006380.67842630.0103154659.2E-4
6.31.0669118E-51.1135425E-51.3E-411.6744541.4113398E-41.3E-44.5723988E-54.772239E-52.0E-44.1909052.1771427E-41.7E-45.5654737E-45.80868E-46.0E-41.03293699.106763E-43.3E-40.00555155570.00579379360.003690.636888440.0062908975.0E-4
6.41.0669118E-51.1135425E-51.3E-411.6744541.4113398E-41.3E-44.5723988E-54.772239E-52.0E-44.1909052.1771427E-41.7E-45.5654737E-45.80868E-46.0E-41.03293699.106763E-43.3E-40.00555155570.00579379360.003690.636888440.0062908975.0E-4
6.58.790038E-69.170197E-61.0E-410.9048911.0916928E-41.0E-43.767105E-53.930026E-51.6E-44.071221.6929515E-41.3E-44.585485E-44.7837716E-45.0E-41.04520037.3825277E-42.6E-40.00457603440.0047736380.003080.645210150.00519163354.2E-4
6.67.396949E-67.715537E-69.0E-511.6647759.7714845E-59.0E-53.1700827E-53.3066175E-51.5E-44.5363581.5306221E-41.2E-43.858892E-44.025073E-44.5E-41.11799226.324147E-42.3E-40.0038521980.004017890.002660.662039040.0043963633.8E-4
6.76.4600285E-66.738031E-69.0E-513.35701759.673742E-59.0E-52.7685543E-52.887696E-51.5E-45.19445231.488735E-41.2E-43.3701936E-43.5152107E-44.1E-41.16635975.714437E-42.2E-40.00336508690.0035097320.002340.66671760.00385850373.5E-4
6.85.600104E-65.836009E-66.0E-510.2809986.583566E-56.0E-52.4000226E-52.5011232E-51.1E-44.3980241.1500898E-49.0E-52.9216358E-43.044698E-43.4E-41.11669534.8441498E-41.8E-40.00291779750.0030405880.002030.6676340.00329979742.6E-4
6.94.839122E-65.0395092E-65.0E-59.9216015.5039258E-55.0E-52.0738931E-52.159772E-58.0E-53.70409461.0159599E-48.0E-52.5246723E-42.6292098E-43.0E-41.14102724.328763E-41.7E-40.0025218060.0026261470.001750.66637550.00286551662.4E-4
7.03.6937633E-63.845208E-61.0E-52.60063961.384517E-51.0E-51.5830317E-51.647936E-54.0E-52.42727885.64787E-54.0E-51.9271708E-42.0061806E-42.2E-41.09661113.0059798E-41.0E-40.00192550030.0020044010.001250.62362770.00214412041.4E-4
7.12.7858857E-62.8978538E-60.00.02.8978538E-60.01.1939455E-51.2419316E-53.0E-52.4155924.2418942E-53.0E-51.4535317E-41.511949E-41.4E-40.92595722.4118129E-49.0E-50.00145258140.00151094188.4E-40.55594470.00164074531.3E-4
7.22.1672065E-62.2540128E-60.00.02.2540128E-60.09.2879945E-69.66002E-60.00.09.66002E-60.01.1307546E-41.1760458E-41.1E-40.93533771.7759753E-46.0E-50.00113017940.00117544175.9E-40.5019390.00125534768.0E-5
7.31.4823496E-61.5422102E-60.00.01.5422102E-60.06.3529114E-66.6094562E-60.00.06.6094562E-60.07.734395E-58.046731E-58.0E-50.99419251.4046249E-46.0E-57.731704E-48.0439687E-44.4E-40.54699378.843325E-48.0E-5
7.44.2321457E-74.4108765E-70.00.04.4108765E-70.01.8137755E-61.8903745E-60.00.01.8903745E-60.02.2082493E-52.3015113E-52.0E-50.86899423.3014883E-51.0E-52.2080299E-42.3013182E-41.0E-40.434533572.4012952E-41.0E-5
7.55.6942316E-85.9415648E-80.00.05.9415648E-80.02.440385E-72.5463845E-70.00.02.5463845E-70.02.9711643E-63.1002196E-60.00.03.1002196E-60.02.9711247E-53.1001844E-50.00.03.1001844E-50.0

San Andreas (Big Bend)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0179969E-42.0073925E-42.8E-41.39484434.106971E-42.1E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-48.0E-40.930201770.00122971033.7E-40.00529794860.0104208590.006040.57960670.0110245026.1E-40.0517340970.1014559050.056070.552653850.1021927158.2E-4
6.11.0179969E-42.0073925E-42.8E-41.39484434.106971E-42.1E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-48.0E-40.930201770.00122971033.7E-40.00529794860.0104208590.006040.57960670.0110245026.1E-40.0517340970.1014559050.056070.552653850.1021927158.2E-4
6.21.0179969E-42.0073925E-42.8E-41.39484434.106971E-42.1E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-48.0E-40.930201770.00122971033.7E-40.00529794860.0104208590.006040.57960670.0110245026.1E-40.0517340970.1014559050.056070.552653850.1021927158.2E-4
6.31.0179969E-42.0073925E-42.8E-41.39484434.106971E-42.1E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-48.0E-40.930201770.00122971033.7E-40.00529794860.0104208590.006040.57960670.0110245026.1E-40.0517340970.1014559050.056070.552653850.1021927158.2E-4
6.49.1639464E-51.8430917E-41.9E-41.03087653.0428707E-41.2E-43.9268145E-47.896575E-46.3E-40.79781420.0010294682.4E-40.00477042050.0095718180.005280.551619350.0099382763.7E-40.0466930640.093786950.05110.544851960.094221934.8E-4
6.59.1639464E-51.8430917E-41.9E-41.03087653.0428707E-41.2E-43.9268145E-47.896575E-46.3E-40.79781420.0010294682.4E-40.00477042050.0095718180.005280.551619350.0099382763.7E-40.0466930640.093786950.05110.544851960.094221934.8E-4
6.69.042622E-51.8238011E-41.8E-40.98694972.9236006E-41.1E-43.8748336E-47.813951E-46.1E-40.780654970.00101121542.3E-40.00470740950.00947210.005220.551092150.009828693.6E-40.0460893250.092877210.050530.544051650.093303564.7E-4
6.78.9836685E-51.8152347E-41.8E-40.99160732.915035E-41.1E-43.8495753E-47.7772595E-46.1E-40.784337940.00100754712.3E-40.004676790.0094278150.005210.55262010.0097844213.6E-40.0457958170.092471480.050340.544384060.092898024.7E-4
6.88.9471854E-51.8099119E-41.8E-40.99452352.9097128E-41.1E-43.8339442E-47.754462E-46.1E-40.78664390.00100526782.3E-40.0046578410.0094002980.005190.55211020.0097569133.6E-40.045614140.09221920.050150.5438130.092645864.7E-4
6.98.858234E-51.7981093E-41.8E-41.00105152.8979115E-41.1E-43.7958333E-47.7039085E-46.1E-40.791805860.00100021372.3E-40.0046116380.0093392780.005160.552505250.00969591553.6E-40.045171030.091659110.049770.542990270.0920860254.7E-4
7.08.7433385E-51.7819891E-41.6E-40.89787312.8817932E-41.1E-43.746607E-47.6348626E-45.9E-40.772770949.933107E-42.3E-40.0045519570.0092559320.005080.548837240.0095927853.4E-40.0445983860.090893230.049450.54404490.091302334.5E-4
7.18.684964E-51.7731842E-41.6E-40.902331532.872989E-41.1E-43.7215967E-47.597149E-45.7E-40.75028149.695554E-42.1E-40.00452163350.0092104050.005050.548292930.009517553.1E-40.044307310.090474750.04920.543798150.0908476564.1E-4
7.28.606521E-51.7622454E-41.6E-40.907932642.8620515E-41.1E-43.6879873E-47.550296E-45.7E-40.75493739.64871E-42.1E-40.00448088350.0091538420.005020.54840360.0094610043.1E-40.0439160240.089955180.048980.54449340.09032834.1E-4
7.38.568266E-51.7564454E-41.6E-40.910930632.8562522E-41.1E-43.6715972E-47.5254537E-45.7E-40.75742949.623873E-42.1E-40.00446101050.009123850.005020.55020630.0094310213.1E-40.0437251480.089676230.048870.544960440.090049474.1E-4
7.48.5432206E-51.752704E-41.6E-40.912875242.8525112E-41.1E-43.6608664E-47.509428E-45.7E-40.759045849.607851E-42.1E-40.0044479990.0091045010.005010.550277230.009411683.1E-40.0436001570.089496420.048810.545384940.089869724.1E-4
7.58.4791965E-51.7396381E-41.6E-40.91973152.8394468E-41.1E-43.633435E-47.4534636E-45.7E-40.76474519.551898E-42.1E-40.00441473770.0090369320.004980.551071940.0093441313.1E-40.0432805750.088872090.048470.54539060.0892456554.1E-4
7.68.241105E-51.6841735E-41.6E-40.95002092.783988E-41.1E-43.531424E-47.2158914E-45.5E-40.76220669.314376E-42.1E-40.00429103520.0087500470.004870.556568440.0090474223.0E-40.0420911760.086250320.046840.543070440.086597553.8E-4
7.77.00432E-51.4205615E-41.0E-40.7039472.120462E-47.0E-53.001506E-46.0867006E-44.0E-40.65717057.385909E-41.3E-40.00364821120.00738541740.004060.549731970.0075640881.8E-40.0358889770.073522990.039770.540919240.073754612.5E-4
7.86.415362E-51.2969968E-48.0E-50.616809551.7969319E-45.0E-52.749151E-45.557374E-43.7E-40.66578216.6567626E-41.1E-40.00334195470.00674514150.003760.557438250.00690406231.6E-40.032921410.067255140.035990.53512640.067460342.2E-4
7.94.939911E-59.341721E-54.0E-50.42818661.2341441E-43.0E-52.116933E-44.0029807E-42.5E-40.62453464.6027405E-46.0E-50.00257431950.0048627470.002680.55112880.0049324077.0E-50.0254470130.0489158030.025820.52784580.04900149.0E-5
8.03.344983E-55.2228E-51.0E-50.191468186.2227475E-51.0E-51.4334853E-42.2381509E-41.4E-40.625516362.6380614E-44.0E-50.00174387110.00272154530.001430.525436760.00277140925.0E-50.0173024960.0279231610.014210.50889650.0279717655.0E-5
8.11.9104898E-51.9171663E-50.00.01.9171663E-50.08.1875565E-58.2161685E-55.0E-50.60855621.0216004E-42.0E-59.963791E-49.9986E-44.8E-40.48006720.00102983013.0E-50.0099192350.0107495520.005440.50606760.010779233.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-60.00.05.473668E-60.03.704486E-52.3458366E-51.0E-50.426287143.345813E-51.0E-54.5092785E-42.8556827E-41.5E-40.525268442.955654E-41.0E-50.00450013950.00324817930.001710.52644870.0032581471.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-70.00.07.6564595E-70.08.498917E-63.281336E-60.00.03.281336E-60.01.034694E-43.9949547E-51.0E-50.250315733.9949547E-50.00.00103421244.717979E-42.0E-40.423910324.717979E-40.0

Death Valley (No)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0074807E-52.2500084E-52.1E-49.3332992.3249535E-42.1E-48.603206E-59.642541E-53.0E-43.11121323.5640033E-42.6E-40.0010469370.00117335450.001090.928960560.0016428034.7E-40.0104201830.0116725060.005870.50289110.0123841037.2E-4
6.12.0074807E-52.2500084E-52.1E-49.3332992.3249535E-42.1E-48.603206E-59.642541E-53.0E-43.11121323.5640033E-42.6E-40.0010469370.00117335450.001090.928960560.0016428034.7E-40.0104201830.0116725060.005870.50289110.0123841037.2E-4
6.22.0074807E-52.2500084E-52.1E-49.3332992.3249535E-42.1E-48.603206E-59.642541E-53.0E-43.11121323.5640033E-42.6E-40.0010469370.00117335450.001090.928960560.0016428034.7E-40.0104201830.0116725060.005870.50289110.0123841037.2E-4
6.31.9050609E-52.1336948E-52.1E-49.8420832.3133247E-42.1E-48.164292E-59.1440896E-53.0E-43.28080773.514171E-42.6E-49.935491E-40.0011127310.001050.943624260.00157221924.6E-40.0098911880.0110724190.005650.51027690.0117547796.9E-4
6.41.9050609E-52.1336948E-52.1E-49.8420832.3133247E-42.1E-48.164292E-59.1440896E-53.0E-43.28080773.514171E-42.6E-49.935491E-40.0011127310.001050.943624260.00157221924.6E-40.0098911880.0110724190.005650.51027690.0117547796.9E-4
6.51.8367004E-52.0561009E-52.1E-410.2135072.3055669E-42.1E-47.8713354E-58.811567E-52.9E-43.29112863.4809276E-42.6E-49.5791375E-40.00107228690.001010.94191220.00152180434.5E-40.0095379510.01067191550.005450.51068620.0113446586.8E-4
6.61.779439E-51.9910927E-52.1E-410.5469722.2990674E-42.1E-47.625944E-58.53298E-52.8E-43.28138613.3530846E-42.5E-49.280632E-40.00103840150.0010.963018660.00147794454.4E-40.0092419690.0103362530.005340.516628270.010989436.6E-4
6.71.7025437E-51.9043426E-52.1E-411.0274282.2903943E-42.1E-47.296412E-58.161216E-52.6E-43.18579963.3159176E-42.5E-48.87976E-49.931813E-49.7E-40.976659540.00143274434.4E-40.0088443620.0098881450.005120.517791750.0105119166.3E-4
6.81.6545107E-51.8512545E-52.1E-411.3436582.2850865E-42.1E-47.090568E-57.93371E-52.6E-43.27715523.2931726E-42.5E-48.629347E-49.655073E-49.5E-40.98393870.00140508244.4E-40.0085959150.0096138290.004950.514883340.0102278686.2E-4
6.91.615478E-51.8087594E-52.1E-411.61016752.280838E-42.1E-46.9232934E-57.751599E-52.5E-43.2251413.2749661E-42.5E-48.4258494E-49.433546E-49.2E-40.9752430.00138293954.4E-40.0083939730.0093941960.004840.515211760.0100083716.2E-4
7.01.5894311E-51.780555E-52.1E-411.7940762.2780181E-42.1E-46.81167E-57.6307304E-52.5E-43.27622653.2628822E-42.5E-48.2900526E-49.286515E-49.1E-40.97991550.00136824294.4E-40.0082591950.0092483970.004730.511440.0098527566.1E-4
7.11.5602263E-51.7483504E-52.0E-411.4393552.1748E-42.0E-46.6865134E-57.492718E-52.4E-43.203113.149092E-42.4E-48.137789E-49.118627E-48.9E-40.97602410.00134147064.3E-40.0081080520.0090818940.004630.509805560.0096764446.0E-4
7.21.5323829E-51.717063E-51.9E-411.0654072.0716737E-41.9E-46.56719E-57.358637E-52.3E-43.12557863.0356945E-42.3E-47.99262E-48.9555193E-48.7E-40.9714680.00131517584.2E-40.0079639340.0089201070.004510.50559930.00950484355.9E-4
7.31.4556212E-51.6302456E-51.8E-411.0412821.9629952E-41.8E-46.238227E-56.9865826E-52.2E-43.14889292.8985046E-42.2E-47.592395E-48.5029035E-48.5E-40.99965850.00125994174.1E-40.00756650740.0084710140.004270.50407190.0090461015.8E-4
7.41.411725E-51.580796E-51.8E-411.3866681.9580511E-41.8E-46.0501097E-56.7746674E-52.2E-43.2473922.8773176E-42.2E-47.363519E-48.245094E-48.5E-41.0309160.00123417144.1E-40.00733916740.0082151380.004220.51368580.0087903745.8E-4
7.51.3503312E-51.5126289E-51.8E-411.8998131.9512356E-41.8E-45.7870053E-56.482538E-52.2E-43.39373282.848111E-42.2E-47.043401E-47.8896893E-48.3E-41.05200590.00118865344.0E-40.0070211190.0078623040.004060.516388060.0084278235.7E-4
7.61.1279839E-51.2626327E-51.4E-411.0879441.5262456E-41.4E-44.834127E-55.4111737E-51.8E-43.32645032.34102E-41.8E-45.88396E-46.5861654E-46.9E-41.04765060.0010083863.5E-40.0058684050.0065671990.003340.508588250.00708378345.2E-4
7.79.189108E-61.0283358E-51.2E-411.6693391.3028212E-41.2E-43.93813E-54.407082E-51.6E-43.630522.0406376E-41.6E-44.7936183E-45.3643517E-45.7E-41.06257018.2627963E-42.9E-40.0047832910.0053519140.002760.51570340.00576966634.2E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-70.00.03.6482615E-70.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.0E-56.39574431.1563524E-51.0E-51.80467E-51.9035933E-53.0E-51.57596684.9035363E-53.0E-51.8045233E-41.9034347E-47.0E-50.367756252.3033586E-44.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-90.00.02.6696718E-90.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-80.00.01.14414505E-80.01.335311E-71.3929966E-70.00.01.3929966E-70.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-60.00.01.3929966E-60.0

San Andreas (Parkfield)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.556969E-47.778562E-46.7E-40.86134179.876929E-42.1E-40.00237938480.00332995830.002670.80181190.0036389263.1E-40.0285869630.0402350430.033060.821671840.0406765344.6E-40.251762840.33719730.332830.987048270.337608226.2E-4
6.11.925858E-43.0278185E-42.1E-40.693568653.8275763E-48.0E-58.2510663E-40.0012970857.5E-40.578219650.00142691631.3E-40.00999948850.015773930.008010.50779990.0159806182.1E-40.0956132560.149758250.082490.550821070.149996312.8E-4
6.29.4306815E-51.8243887E-41.5E-40.82219322.4242792E-46.0E-54.0410945E-47.8164786E-45.0E-40.639674258.9156185E-41.1E-40.00490893840.0094752460.004850.511860.0096634461.9E-40.0480190630.09185650.050130.54574250.092083542.5E-4
6.39.283051E-51.794041E-41.4E-40.78036122.3939334E-46.0E-53.9778434E-47.686494E-44.9E-40.63748188.7856484E-41.1E-40.00483227470.0093183550.004820.51725870.0095065841.9E-40.0472853850.0905094740.049430.54613070.090736842.5E-4
6.49.138826E-51.7702584E-41.4E-40.790845042.370152E-46.0E-53.916052E-47.5846276E-44.9E-40.64604368.683793E-41.1E-40.00475737450.0091953870.004730.51438830.009383641.9E-40.0465680920.08941360.048650.54410070.089641242.5E-4
6.59.000255E-51.746064E-41.4E-40.80180342.3459591E-46.0E-53.8566816E-47.4809964E-44.9E-40.654992948.5801736E-41.1E-40.00468540470.0090702840.004680.51597060.0092585611.9E-40.0458784030.088296080.048040.54407850.0885242.5E-4
6.68.8109264E-51.7141816E-41.3E-40.75837942.3140787E-46.0E-53.7755648E-47.3444354E-44.8E-40.653556058.443628E-41.1E-40.00458706540.0089054040.004620.518786130.0090937121.9E-40.044935290.086827070.047140.54291820.087055362.5E-4
6.78.738073E-51.7008898E-41.3E-40.76430582.3007879E-46.0E-53.7443507E-47.287503E-44.8E-40.65866188.386702E-41.1E-40.00454922160.0088366950.00460.52055660.0090250161.9E-40.044572130.08622680.046720.54182690.086455242.5E-4
6.88.710195E-51.6954402E-41.3E-40.766762552.2953385E-46.0E-53.7324068E-47.26416E-44.7E-40.64701228.363361E-41.1E-40.00453474050.0088085130.004580.51995160.008996841.9E-40.044433130.085974360.046540.54132420.086202872.5E-4
6.98.6801556E-51.6895356E-41.3E-40.76944222.2894342E-46.0E-53.7195362E-47.238869E-44.7E-40.64927278.338073E-41.1E-40.00451913570.00877796950.004510.513786260.0089663021.9E-40.0442833270.085700420.046330.54060410.085928992.5E-4
7.08.5571606E-51.664819E-41.3E-40.780865672.2647191E-46.0E-53.6668387E-47.132999E-44.7E-40.65890948.2322146E-41.1E-40.0044552410.0086501030.004470.516756830.008838461.9E-40.0436697270.084548360.045790.541583540.084777232.5E-4
7.17.82589E-51.5128969E-41.3E-40.859278742.112806E-46.0E-53.3535215E-46.4822397E-44.1E-40.632497437.5815263E-41.1E-40.00407527060.0078637380.003990.50739230.0080324011.7E-40.0400134180.0774604450.041520.53601550.07766342.2E-4
7.27.690929E-51.4866212E-41.3E-40.874466242.0865319E-46.0E-53.2956956E-46.369685E-44.1E-40.64367397.4689847E-41.1E-40.0040051290.00772768260.003920.507267240.0078963691.7E-40.03933710.076233410.040960.537297250.076436642.2E-4
7.37.5543794E-51.4562748E-41.3E-40.89268872.0561874E-46.0E-53.2371894E-46.239692E-44.0E-40.64105737.339006E-41.1E-40.0039341570.00757052560.003850.50855120.0077392391.7E-40.0386523340.074797770.04020.53744920.0750013142.2E-4
7.47.4214564E-51.4263717E-41.3E-40.911403362.0262861E-46.0E-53.1802364E-46.1115966E-43.9E-40.638131147.2109245E-41.1E-40.0038650650.00741564160.003790.51108190.0075843811.7E-40.037985290.073371520.039530.53876490.0735753852.2E-4
7.56.149578E-51.1191443E-48.0E-50.71483191.6190883E-45.0E-52.6352672E-44.795452E-42.9E-40.604739675.7949725E-41.0E-40.00320371780.0058228650.003050.523797150.00597199151.5E-40.031579230.0585594620.031320.534840940.0587383361.9E-4
7.66.0643448E-51.102009E-48.0E-50.72594691.6019538E-45.0E-52.598746E-44.7220418E-42.8E-40.59296385.72157E-41.0E-40.00315938280.0057339620.003020.526686430.0058831021.5E-40.0311484170.057720420.03080.533606650.057899451.9E-4
7.75.1652263E-59.175265E-55.0E-50.54494341.3174898E-44.0E-52.2134806E-43.9316638E-42.0E-40.50869054.6313886E-47.0E-50.0026915820.00477630460.00250.523417230.0048857791.1E-40.0265921410.048536410.0260.535680350.048679131.5E-4
7.84.8090482E-58.560165E-55.0E-50.58410091.2559822E-44.0E-52.060858E-43.6681266E-42.0E-40.54523754.3678697E-47.0E-50.00250620720.0044568070.002350.52728330.0045663171.1E-40.0247813050.0453022640.024170.53352740.0454454721.5E-4
7.93.970278E-56.7507375E-53.0E-50.44439599.750535E-53.0E-51.7014367E-42.8928524E-41.5E-40.518519343.3927077E-45.0E-50.0020695310.00351636340.001850.52611170.00357615256.0E-50.0205036360.035881760.019010.529795650.035949257.0E-5
8.02.8982335E-54.0698153E-51.0E-50.245711395.069775E-51.0E-51.2420409E-41.7440901E-48.0E-50.458691922.0440377E-43.0E-50.00151113570.00212136280.001020.480822980.0021612784.0E-50.0150090120.022011180.011010.500200330.02205034.0E-5
8.11.8836186E-51.867974E-50.00.01.867974E-50.08.0724014E-58.005358E-55.0E-50.62458171.0005198E-42.0E-59.823717E-49.742171E-44.5E-40.461909380.00100418793.0E-50.0097804030.0104877110.005250.50058590.0105173963.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-60.00.05.473668E-60.03.704486E-52.3458366E-51.0E-50.426287143.345813E-51.0E-54.5092785E-42.8556827E-41.5E-40.525268442.955654E-41.0E-50.00450013950.00324817930.001710.52644870.0032581471.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-70.00.07.6564595E-70.08.498917E-63.281336E-60.00.03.281336E-60.01.034694E-43.9949547E-51.0E-50.250315733.9949547E-50.00.00103421244.717979E-42.0E-40.423910324.717979E-40.0

Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6204086E-42.937271E-41.3E-40.44258773.9369773E-41.0E-46.94276E-40.00125837786.6E-40.524484750.00141817651.6E-40.0084200970.01523461750.007740.50805340.0155300483.0E-40.0810811450.139624540.080080.57353810.140011714.5E-4
6.11.6204086E-42.937271E-41.3E-40.44258773.9369773E-41.0E-46.94276E-40.00125837786.6E-40.524484750.00141817651.6E-40.0084200970.01523461750.007740.50805340.0155300483.0E-40.0810811450.139624540.080080.57353810.140011714.5E-4
6.21.6204086E-42.937271E-41.3E-40.44258773.9369773E-41.0E-46.94276E-40.00125837786.6E-40.524484750.00141817651.6E-40.0084200970.01523461750.007740.50805340.0155300483.0E-40.0810811450.139624540.080080.57353810.140011714.5E-4
6.31.0111737E-41.7703463E-41.0E-40.564861242.5702047E-48.0E-54.332882E-47.5861585E-44.3E-40.56682188.7852485E-41.2E-40.0052625310.00921772050.005080.551112350.0093960611.8E-40.05139640.087073930.053770.61752120.0873204252.7E-4
6.41.0111737E-41.7703463E-41.0E-40.564861242.5702047E-48.0E-54.332882E-47.5861585E-44.3E-40.56682188.7852485E-41.2E-40.0052625310.00921772050.005080.551112350.0093960611.8E-40.05139640.087073930.053770.61752120.0873204252.7E-4
6.53.6624708E-54.6391986E-52.0E-50.431108956.6391054E-52.0E-51.569536E-41.9880968E-47.0E-50.352095542.3880172E-44.0E-50.0019092350.00241818140.001270.52518810.00246806055.0E-50.018929150.0236970610.014420.608514250.0237849289.0E-5
6.62.5051324E-52.6147465E-50.00.02.6147465E-50.01.073584E-41.12056E-43.0E-50.26772331.2205488E-41.0E-50.00130630470.00136347256.9E-40.506060840.00138344522.0E-50.0129865250.0135657590.008050.59340580.0136150815.0E-5
6.72.2189772E-52.2072489E-50.00.02.2072489E-50.09.509556E-59.459316E-53.0E-50.317147671.0459221E-41.0E-50.00115717340.00115109966.0E-40.52124070.00117107662.0E-50.0115116630.01146632250.006920.603506450.0115058654.0E-5
6.81.6654378E-51.44376E-50.00.01.44376E-50.07.137396E-56.187399E-53.0E-50.484856437.187337E-51.0E-58.686314E-47.5306057E-43.7E-40.491328337.630531E-41.0E-50.0086524390.00751007630.004690.62449430.0075398513.0E-5
6.91.5042909E-51.2331886E-50.00.01.2331886E-50.06.446802E-55.2849886E-53.0E-50.56764556.284936E-51.0E-57.8461546E-46.4326054E-43.1E-40.481919836.532541E-41.0E-50.0078185090.0064179250.003940.61390560.00644773243.0E-5
7.01.4361385E-51.1451172E-50.00.01.1451172E-50.06.154734E-54.9075545E-52.0E-50.407534965.9075053E-51.0E-57.490812E-45.973339E-42.7E-40.452008526.073279E-41.0E-50.0074656120.0059609820.003560.59721710.0059808632.0E-5
7.11.3265571E-51.0244736E-50.00.01.0244736E-50.05.6851208E-54.3905282E-52.0E-50.455526055.3904845E-51.0E-56.919436E-45.344183E-41.8E-40.336814855.4441293E-41.0E-50.0068979310.00533460030.003070.575488270.0053544942.0E-5
7.21.1596403E-58.504847E-60.00.08.504847E-60.04.9697923E-53.6448844E-51.0E-50.27435713.6448844E-50.06.049042E-44.4367602E-41.5E-40.338084554.4367602E-40.00.0060326030.0044293570.002560.5779620.0044293570.0
7.31.0150827E-57.238537E-60.00.07.238537E-60.04.3502816E-53.102194E-51.0E-50.32235253.102194E-50.05.2951806E-43.776281E-41.3E-40.344254023.776281E-40.00.0052825810.0037702710.002210.58616480.0037702710.0
7.49.080705E-66.352307E-60.00.06.352307E-60.03.8916725E-52.7223898E-51.0E-50.367324322.7223898E-50.04.7370812E-43.314019E-41.2E-40.36209813.314019E-40.00.0047269960.00330922570.001960.59228360.00330922570.0
7.57.671649E-65.225419E-60.00.05.225419E-60.03.287808E-52.2394468E-51.0E-50.446538872.2394468E-50.04.0021708E-42.7261977E-41.0E-40.366811252.7261977E-40.00.00399497060.00272297840.001660.60962660.00272297840.0
7.66.990086E-64.687336E-60.00.04.687336E-60.02.9957167E-52.0088435E-50.00.02.0088435E-50.03.6466747E-42.445504E-49.0E-50.36802232.445504E-40.00.00364069640.00244292920.001420.58126940.00244292920.0
7.74.163505E-62.329331E-60.00.02.329331E-60.01.7843471E-59.982813E-60.00.09.982813E-60.02.172226E-41.2153471E-45.0E-50.411405121.2153471E-40.00.00217010380.00121475557.7E-40.633872450.00121475550.0
7.82.2692414E-79.384417E-80.00.09.384417E-80.09.725317E-74.0218927E-70.00.04.0218927E-70.01.1840509E-54.8966467E-61.0E-52.0422144.8966467E-60.01.1839878E-44.8965718E-52.0E-50.408449054.8965718E-50.0
7.96.676829E-93.4397174E-90.00.03.4397174E-90.02.861498E-81.4741646E-80.00.01.4741646E-80.03.4838732E-71.7947953E-70.00.01.7947953E-70.03.4838679E-61.794794E-60.00.01.794794E-60.0

Sierra Nevada (No Extension)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.7690465E-66.9762887E-61.3E-418.634551.3697539E-41.3E-43.329549E-52.989824E-52.3E-47.6927612.2989226E-42.0E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-44.1E-41.12641666.3388783E-42.7E-40.0040455880.00363741540.001950.53609490.00408577874.5E-4
6.17.7690465E-66.9762887E-61.3E-418.634551.3697539E-41.3E-43.329549E-52.989824E-52.3E-47.6927612.2989226E-42.0E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-44.1E-41.12641666.3388783E-42.7E-40.0040455880.00363741540.001950.53609490.00408577874.5E-4
6.27.7690465E-66.9762887E-61.3E-418.634551.3697539E-41.3E-43.329549E-52.989824E-52.3E-47.6927612.2989226E-42.0E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-44.1E-41.12641666.3388783E-42.7E-40.0040455880.00363741540.001950.53609490.00408577874.5E-4
6.37.7690465E-66.9762887E-61.3E-418.634551.3697539E-41.3E-43.329549E-52.989824E-52.3E-47.6927612.2989226E-42.0E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-44.1E-41.12641666.3388783E-42.7E-40.0040455880.00363741540.001950.53609490.00408577874.5E-4
6.47.7690465E-66.9762887E-61.3E-418.634551.3697539E-41.3E-43.329549E-52.989824E-52.3E-47.6927612.2989226E-42.0E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-44.1E-41.12641666.3388783E-42.7E-40.0040455880.00363741540.001950.53609490.00408577874.5E-4
6.57.7690465E-66.9762887E-61.3E-418.634551.3697539E-41.3E-43.329549E-52.989824E-52.3E-47.6927612.2989226E-42.0E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-44.1E-41.12641666.3388783E-42.7E-40.0040455880.00363741540.001950.53609490.00408577874.5E-4
6.62.653E-61.6148208E-69.0E-555.7337389.1614675E-59.0E-51.136995E-56.9206426E-61.4E-420.2293361.3691974E-41.3E-41.3842035E-48.42556E-52.2E-42.61110232.5424128E-41.7E-40.00138334158.4224E-46.4E-40.75987840.00115197893.1E-4
6.72.5902466E-61.5501544E-69.0E-558.0587359.155001E-59.0E-51.11010095E-56.643502E-61.4E-421.0732231.3664264E-41.3E-41.351464E-48.088166E-52.2E-42.72002322.5086792E-41.7E-40.00135064248.0852525E-46.3E-40.779196440.00111827463.1E-4
6.82.5853892E-61.5469546E-69.0E-558.178829.154682E-59.0E-51.1080193E-56.629789E-61.4E-421.1168121.3662892E-41.3E-41.34893E-48.071472E-52.2E-42.7256492.50701E-41.7E-40.00134811148.06857E-46.3E-40.78080750.00111660693.1E-4
6.92.458257E-61.422029E-69.0E-563.2898529.14219E-59.0E-51.0535345E-56.0943958E-61.4E-422.9719261.360936E-41.3E-41.2826028E-47.419676E-52.2E-42.9650892.4418414E-41.7E-40.00128186277.4172183E-45.9E-40.795446460.00105149193.1E-4
7.02.4341468E-61.3989927E-69.0E-564.3329.139887E-59.0E-51.0432016E-55.9956697E-61.4E-423.3501851.359949E-41.3E-41.270024E-47.299485E-52.2E-43.01391122.4298244E-41.7E-40.00126929847.297107E-45.9E-40.80853960.00103948443.1E-4
7.12.3652476E-61.3339427E-69.0E-567.469169.133382E-59.0E-51.0136736E-55.716885E-61.4E-424.4888611.3571614E-41.3E-41.2340778E-46.9600865E-52.2E-43.160882.3958903E-41.7E-40.00123339266.957924E-45.8E-40.8335820.00100557673.1E-4
7.22.272158E-61.2502497E-69.0E-571.985629.1250135E-59.0E-59.737784E-65.358202E-61.3E-424.261871.353575E-41.3E-41.1855107E-46.523417E-52.1E-43.21917182.3522308E-41.7E-40.00118487846.5215176E-45.3E-40.81269439.619496E-43.1E-4
7.32.1382127E-61.1419382E-69.0E-578.813379.114183E-59.0E-59.163737E-64.894012E-61.3E-426.5630741.3489337E-41.3E-41.1156279E-45.9582977E-52.1E-43.52449662.2957285E-41.7E-40.0011150685.956712E-45.1E-40.856177038.954925E-43.0E-4
7.41.9048055E-69.574928E-79.0E-593.995489.095741E-59.0E-58.163426E-64.103534E-61.2E-429.2430841.2410304E-41.2E-49.9385186E-54.995939E-52.0E-44.00325162.099514E-41.6E-49.934074E-44.9948227E-44.5E-40.900932857.8933744E-42.9E-4
7.51.5373403E-67.559763E-77.0E-592.595497.075592E-57.0E-56.5885843E-63.2398946E-61.0E-430.8652021.03239574E-41.0E-48.021306E-53.9445007E-51.5E-43.80276271.6943988E-41.3E-48.0184115E-43.9438053E-43.5E-40.887467746.242898E-42.3E-4
7.61.0680322E-64.65941E-73.0E-564.385833.0465928E-53.0E-54.577273E-61.9968884E-65.0E-525.0389545.1996787E-55.0E-55.5726876E-52.4311848E-57.0E-52.87925468.431039E-56.0E-55.5712904E-42.4309216E-41.8E-40.74045993.8305813E-41.4E-4
7.75.509146E-71.5578539E-70.00.01.5578539E-70.02.3610605E-66.676515E-72.0E-529.9557482.0667638E-52.0E-52.8745531E-58.128628E-62.0E-52.460442.8128465E-52.0E-52.8741814E-48.128342E-56.0E-50.73815791.3127936E-45.0E-5

Red Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.258278E-68.551265E-61.9E-422.2189351.8854972E-41.8E-43.539214E-53.6647863E-52.6E-47.09454732.7663907E-42.4E-44.308141E-44.4611428E-46.3E-41.41219437.859626E-43.4E-40.00429979850.0044539450.003540.794801060.0049517185.0E-4
6.13.649988E-63.7753161E-61.1E-429.1366331.0377494E-41.0E-41.5642712E-51.6179853E-51.4E-48.6527371.3617791E-41.2E-41.9043336E-41.9697666E-43.0E-41.52302313.469471E-41.5E-40.00190270260.0019684880.001730.87884710.0022179962.5E-4
6.23.649988E-63.7753161E-61.1E-429.1366331.0377494E-41.0E-41.5642712E-51.6179853E-51.4E-48.6527371.3617791E-41.2E-41.9043336E-41.9697666E-43.0E-41.52302313.469471E-41.5E-40.00190270260.0019684880.001730.87884710.0022179962.5E-4
6.31.3924937E-61.4411166E-63.0E-520.817193.144107E-53.0E-55.9678164E-66.1762075E-63.0E-54.857353.617602E-53.0E-57.265574E-57.519415E-57.0E-50.93092351.2519039E-45.0E-57.263199E-47.518258E-46.8E-40.904464848.3176565E-48.0E-5
6.41.3924937E-61.4411166E-63.0E-520.817193.144107E-53.0E-55.9678164E-66.1762075E-63.0E-54.857353.617602E-53.0E-57.265574E-57.519415E-57.0E-50.93092351.2519039E-45.0E-57.263199E-47.518258E-46.8E-40.904464848.3176565E-48.0E-5
6.59.876812E-71.0221912E-62.0E-519.5658112.1022171E-52.0E-54.2329125E-64.3808195E-62.0E-54.5653562.4380732E-52.0E-55.153449E-55.3336476E-56.0E-51.12493379.333435E-54.0E-55.1522546E-45.333648E-44.7E-40.881198056.033274E-47.0E-5

San Andreas (Cholame) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2302514E-42.5205986E-42.2E-40.87280853.6203212E-41.1E-45.27144E-40.00107981097.8E-40.72234870.00131955182.4E-40.00639910860.0130679580.006790.51959150.0134331233.7E-40.062179490.124384120.068930.55417040.1248044154.8E-4
6.11.2302514E-42.5205986E-42.2E-40.87280853.6203212E-41.1E-45.27144E-40.00107981097.8E-40.72234870.00131955182.4E-40.00639910860.0130679580.006790.51959150.0134331233.7E-40.062179490.124384120.068930.55417040.1248044154.8E-4
6.21.2203569E-42.502277E-42.2E-40.879199273.6020018E-41.1E-45.2290526E-40.00107196537.8E-40.72763550.0013117082.4E-40.0063478040.0129735780.006720.51797580.0133387783.7E-40.0616951360.1235713140.068420.55368840.1239919964.8E-4
6.31.2142645E-42.4908737E-42.2E-40.88322423.5905998E-41.1E-45.202953E-40.00106708237.8E-40.73096520.00130682612.4E-40.0063162120.0129148340.006710.51955760.0132800553.7E-40.061396770.123065320.068230.5544210.123486254.8E-4
6.41.1865206E-42.4414246E-42.2E-40.90111323.541156E-41.1E-45.0840975E-40.00104590687.8E-40.74576430.00128565582.4E-40.0061723350.0126600440.006580.51974540.013025363.7E-40.0600368680.120859040.066830.55295820.121281034.8E-4
6.51.17443946E-42.4207575E-42.2E-40.908806443.5204913E-41.1E-45.032341E-40.00103705667.8E-40.752128660.00127680772.4E-40.0061096770.0125535360.006530.52017220.0129188913.7E-40.0594440770.119930080.066260.552488570.1203525144.8E-4
6.61.13579066E-42.3516564E-42.0E-40.85046443.4513976E-41.1E-44.866766E-40.0010074657.6E-40.754368660.00124722312.4E-40.00590920170.0121973450.006380.52306470.0125628323.7E-40.0575451850.11684920.064390.551052150.1172731154.8E-4
6.71.1271412E-42.336088E-42.0E-40.856132153.4358312E-41.1E-44.829711E-40.0010007987.6E-40.759394050.00124055782.4E-40.0058643310.0121170790.006330.52240310.0124825963.7E-40.0571196970.116152750.063860.549793240.1165774.8E-4
6.81.1217975E-42.3249313E-42.0E-40.86024053.4246754E-41.1E-44.8068175E-49.960202E-47.5E-40.752996860.00123578112.4E-40.0058366080.0120595550.00630.522407350.0124250933.7E-40.0568567250.115650610.063490.548981130.11607514.8E-4
6.91.1146753E-42.3098059E-42.0E-40.865873633.409552E-41.1E-44.7763053E-49.895428E-47.4E-40.747820140.00121931522.3E-40.00579965770.0119815640.006210.51829630.0123372513.6E-40.0565061270.114970270.0630.54796780.115386234.7E-4
7.01.0965793E-42.2721413E-41.9E-40.83621563.3718912E-41.1E-44.698779E-49.734129E-47.3E-40.749938670.0012031892.3E-40.0057057680.0117873240.006120.51920180.0121430813.6E-40.0556147360.113270110.062190.549041570.1136868754.7E-4
7.19.927982E-52.0540332E-41.7E-40.827642.9538485E-49.0E-54.2541555E-48.8000396E-46.2E-40.70454230.0010798282.0E-40.00516714060.0106617080.005480.51398890.0109684033.1E-40.050486340.103365730.056350.545151650.1037333464.1E-4
7.29.696786E-52.0044584E-41.7E-40.84810942.904278E-49.0E-54.1551032E-48.587718E-46.1E-40.71031680.00105862.0E-40.005047110.0104057030.005390.517985170.0107025823.0E-40.049340090.101102330.055120.54519020.10145293.9E-4
7.39.4727984E-51.9473763E-41.7E-40.872969452.847201E-49.0E-54.0591392E-48.343239E-46.0E-40.71914520.0010341572.0E-40.00493080870.0101108510.005290.52320030.0104078183.0E-40.0482282680.098474120.053640.544711650.0988257153.9E-4
7.49.220358E-51.8844259E-41.7E-40.902131562.7842564E-49.0E-53.9509835E-48.07362E-45.9E-40.7307750.00100720062.0E-40.0047997170.0097855780.005160.52730660.010072742.9E-40.0469736530.095558310.052090.54511220.0959019963.8E-4
7.57.71631E-51.5179155E-41.2E-40.790557862.3177941E-48.0E-53.306571E-46.5037323E-44.7E-40.7226628.3025615E-41.8E-40.00401832070.0078896170.004280.54248520.0081475662.6E-40.039464330.0782891960.042510.54298680.078602583.4E-4
7.67.5634416E-51.4838556E-41.2E-40.8087042.2837368E-48.0E-53.241072E-46.357833E-44.5E-40.707788358.1566884E-41.8E-40.00393886720.0077132560.004210.54581360.007971252.6E-40.0386977940.0766548740.041540.54190940.076959583.3E-4
7.76.3783E-51.2359623E-48.0E-50.647268951.8358881E-46.0E-52.7332708E-45.2959064E-43.3E-40.62312286.4952706E-41.2E-40.00332267980.00642873070.00350.5444310.0065877021.6E-40.0327343640.064544880.034950.54148370.064750682.2E-4
7.85.863422E-51.14169685E-46.0E-50.525533561.5416511E-44.0E-52.512653E-44.892069E-43.1E-40.63367875.8915804E-41.0E-40.0030548640.00593984970.003220.542101260.0060790181.4E-40.0301320940.059661620.031980.536022960.0598402841.9E-4
7.94.595283E-58.426815E-53.0E-50.356006381.14265626E-43.0E-51.9692584E-43.6109926E-42.3E-40.6369444.2107757E-46.0E-50.00239493580.00438752770.002370.540167570.00445722047.0E-50.0236928910.0443631370.02350.529719050.044439598.0E-5
8.03.2950178E-55.077396E-51.0E-50.196951346.0773455E-51.0E-51.412074E-42.1758456E-41.4E-40.6434282.5757586E-44.0E-50.00171784440.00264587530.00140.529125450.0026957435.0E-50.0170462560.0271810720.013850.509545740.0272297135.0E-5
8.11.9177472E-51.9183733E-50.00.01.9183733E-50.08.218658E-58.221342E-55.0E-50.608173251.0221177E-42.0E-50.00100016220.00100048934.8E-40.479765240.00103045933.0E-50.0099567280.0107578870.005440.505675550.0107875633.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-60.00.05.473668E-60.03.704486E-52.3458366E-51.0E-50.426287143.345813E-51.0E-54.5092785E-42.8556827E-41.5E-40.525268442.955654E-41.0E-50.00450013950.00324817930.001710.52644870.0032581471.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-70.00.07.6564595E-70.08.498917E-63.281336E-60.00.03.281336E-60.01.034694E-43.9949547E-51.0E-50.250315733.9949547E-50.00.00103421244.717979E-42.0E-40.423910324.717979E-40.0

Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.872328E-54.7265705E-51.5E-43.17354851.7725956E-41.3E-41.6594635E-42.0255324E-42.1E-41.03676443.725188E-41.7E-40.00201852460.00246356060.001520.61699310.00281269853.5E-40.020002880.0243883380.011370.466206460.0248468744.7E-4
6.13.872328E-54.7265705E-51.5E-43.17354851.7725956E-41.3E-41.6594635E-42.0255324E-42.1E-41.03676443.725188E-41.7E-40.00201852460.00246356060.001520.61699310.00281269853.5E-40.020002880.0243883380.011370.466206460.0248468744.7E-4
6.23.872328E-54.7265705E-51.5E-43.17354851.7725956E-41.3E-41.6594635E-42.0255324E-42.1E-41.03676443.725188E-41.7E-40.00201852460.00246356060.001520.61699310.00281269853.5E-40.020002880.0243883380.011370.466206460.0248468744.7E-4
6.32.8356371E-53.360979E-51.4E-44.1654531.6360542E-41.3E-41.2152165E-41.4403443E-42.0E-41.38855683.1400996E-41.7E-40.00147852190.00175227880.001230.70194310.00210166563.5E-40.0146872350.0173918160.008170.46976120.0178536424.7E-4
6.42.8356371E-53.360979E-51.4E-44.1654531.6360542E-41.3E-41.2152165E-41.4403443E-42.0E-41.38855683.1400996E-41.7E-40.00147852190.00175227880.001230.70194310.00210166563.5E-40.0146872350.0173918160.008170.46976120.0178536424.7E-4
6.52.4448687E-52.8607585E-51.4E-44.8938071.5860387E-41.3E-41.0477588E-41.2259845E-42.0E-41.6313422.925776E-41.7E-40.00127489980.00149166160.00110.737432660.00184113963.5E-40.0126761050.0148213920.007210.486459050.0152844264.7E-4
6.62.1298161E-52.4660083E-51.4E-45.6771911.5465688E-41.3E-49.127464E-51.0568197E-41.9E-41.79784692.75664E-41.7E-40.00111070220.00128595120.001030.800963460.00163550123.5E-40.0110516720.012788530.006330.49497480.013252524.7E-4
6.71.8959729E-52.1781027E-51.4E-46.4276131.517782E-41.3E-48.125345E-59.334406E-51.9E-42.03548032.633282E-41.7E-49.888117E-40.0011358979.6E-40.84514710.00148549943.5E-40.0098442340.011303570.005650.499842080.0117682574.7E-4
6.81.6691629E-51.9018351E-51.4E-47.3613111.4901588E-41.3E-47.153359E-58.150477E-51.8E-42.20845962.514909E-41.7E-48.7057345E-49.918857E-48.9E-40.89728080.00134153853.5E-40.0086717080.0098763430.004860.492084950.0103417024.7E-4
6.91.450505E-51.638954E-51.3E-47.93188861.463874E-41.3E-46.216302E-57.0239046E-51.6E-42.27793532.302278E-41.6E-47.5657194E-48.5483363E-47.5E-40.87736370.001174563.2E-40.0075400130.0085163860.004170.489644350.0089526384.4E-4
7.01.2940855E-51.4537972E-51.3E-48.9421011.4453608E-41.3E-45.545963E-56.230414E-51.6E-42.56804782.2229417E-41.6E-46.750118E-47.5829466E-47.0E-40.923123960.0010780523.2E-40.0067296510.00755768970.003740.49486020.0079943654.4E-4
7.11.2544658E-51.4078208E-51.2E-48.5238121.3407652E-41.2E-45.3761712E-56.0333812E-51.5E-42.48616812.1032477E-41.5E-46.5435225E-47.343222E-46.9E-40.9396420.00104409463.1E-40.0065242880.0073195510.003650.498664470.00774640364.3E-4
7.21.2489416E-51.4015674E-51.2E-48.5618431.3401399E-41.2E-45.3524967E-56.0065824E-51.5E-42.49726032.1005681E-41.5E-46.514716E-47.310616E-46.8E-40.930154140.0010408353.1E-40.0064956510.00728715960.003610.49539190.0077140264.3E-4
7.31.2368307E-51.3879812E-51.2E-48.645651.3387814E-41.2E-45.3005948E-55.9483587E-51.5E-42.5217042.0947466E-41.5E-46.451563E-47.2397763E-46.8E-40.939255540.00103375323.1E-40.00643286530.0072167820.003580.496065970.00764367874.3E-4
7.41.2161707E-51.36478675E-51.2E-48.79258251.3364623E-41.2E-45.212056E-55.8489582E-51.5E-42.56455922.0848081E-41.5E-46.3438306E-47.118836E-46.8E-40.955212350.0010216633.1E-40.0063257510.00709662070.003570.503056350.0075235694.3E-4
7.51.1707948E-51.3145515E-51.2E-49.1285891.3314394E-41.2E-45.0175953E-55.6336736E-51.5E-42.6625612.0632829E-41.5E-46.10721E-46.856895E-46.7E-40.97711879.95477E-43.1E-40.00609045340.0068363210.003440.503194630.00726338154.3E-4
7.61.0319538E-51.1579622E-51.2E-410.3630321.3157823E-41.2E-44.4225842E-54.9626036E-51.5E-43.02260681.9961859E-41.5E-45.383166E-46.040347E-46.2E-41.02643119.138474E-43.1E-40.00537014430.00602446030.003020.50128970.006451874.3E-4
7.78.937764E-61.0022779E-51.1E-410.9751.2002168E-41.1E-43.830414E-54.295409E-51.4E-43.25929381.8294808E-41.4E-44.6625308E-45.228456E-45.5E-41.05193587.927044E-42.7E-40.00465276050.0052166640.002680.51373830.005604633.9E-4
7.83.108007E-73.284654E-70.00.03.284654E-70.01.3320023E-61.407708E-60.00.01.407708E-60.01.6217007E-51.7138715E-52.0E-51.16694873.7138372E-52.0E-51.6215823E-41.7137431E-45.0E-50.2917591.9137088E-42.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-90.00.02.6696718E-90.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-80.00.01.14414505E-80.01.335311E-71.3929966E-70.00.01.3929966E-70.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-60.00.01.3929966E-60.0

San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.31567E-52.3384395E-42.6E-41.11185254.038042E-41.7E-43.5633717E-40.00100180257.1E-40.708722530.00122158222.2E-40.0043297780.0121286220.005840.481505630.0124644983.4E-40.0424638280.112581870.060220.53489960.112998964.7E-4
6.18.31567E-52.3384395E-42.6E-41.11185254.038042E-41.7E-43.5633717E-40.00100180257.1E-40.708722530.00122158222.2E-40.0043297780.0121286220.005840.481505630.0124644983.4E-40.0424638280.112581870.060220.53489960.112998964.7E-4
6.28.31567E-52.3384395E-42.6E-41.11185254.038042E-41.7E-43.5633717E-40.00100180257.1E-40.708722530.00122158222.2E-40.0043297780.0121286220.005840.481505630.0124644983.4E-40.0424638280.112581870.060220.53489960.112998964.7E-4
6.38.31567E-52.3384395E-42.6E-41.11185254.038042E-41.7E-43.5633717E-40.00100180257.1E-40.708722530.00122158222.2E-40.0043297780.0121286220.005840.481505630.0124644983.4E-40.0424638280.112581870.060220.53489960.112998964.7E-4
6.48.059055E-52.2941893E-42.6E-41.13329793.9937993E-41.7E-43.4534236E-49.828559E-47.1E-40.72238460.00120263982.2E-40.00419643940.0119008190.005750.483160020.0122268923.3E-40.0411807450.1105629650.059080.53435620.110972114.6E-4
6.58.059055E-52.2941893E-42.6E-41.13329793.9937993E-41.7E-43.4534236E-49.828559E-47.1E-40.72238460.00120263982.2E-40.00419643940.0119008190.005750.483160020.0122268923.3E-40.0411807450.1105629650.059080.53435620.110972114.6E-4
6.67.619237E-52.2186468E-42.6E-41.17188553.9182696E-41.7E-43.2649786E-49.5050444E-47.0E-40.73645110.00117029532.2E-40.00396786770.01151153350.005570.483862550.0118377353.3E-40.038977640.107099540.056990.53212180.1075102764.6E-4
6.77.440636E-52.1862281E-42.6E-41.18926293.8858564E-41.7E-43.188454E-49.3662075E-47.0E-40.74736760.00115641462.2E-40.00387503460.0113442680.005520.486589340.0116705243.3E-40.0380815640.10560810.056230.53244020.106010584.5E-4
6.87.3735864E-52.1709445E-42.6E-41.19763543.8705755E-41.7E-43.1597257E-49.300753E-46.9E-40.74187540.00114987072.2E-40.00384018150.0112654060.005510.489107970.0115916893.3E-40.037744950.1049096960.055820.532076660.105312484.5E-4
6.97.27575E-52.1478413E-42.6E-41.21051763.8474763E-41.7E-43.117806E-49.20181E-46.8E-40.738985060.00113997852.2E-40.0037893230.0111461820.005450.488956660.0114725043.3E-40.0372535620.103857530.055210.53159360.104251834.4E-4
7.07.102591E-52.1062451E-42.6E-41.23442423.805887E-41.7E-43.0436125E-49.023664E-46.6E-40.73141020.00112216792.2E-40.0036993030.0109314840.005330.487582470.0112578773.3E-40.036383250.1019595340.054130.53089690.1023546764.4E-4
7.17.028513E-52.0898094E-42.6E-41.24413263.789454E-41.7E-43.0118722E-48.953274E-46.5E-40.72599140.00111513042.2E-40.00366078970.0108466410.005260.484942760.0111730623.3E-40.0360106860.101202430.053620.529829140.1015979054.4E-4
7.26.8498244E-52.050596E-42.6E-41.26792413.7502474E-41.7E-42.9353087E-48.7853306E-46.4E-40.72848710.00109833982.2E-40.0035678830.01064418350.00520.488529740.0109706713.3E-40.0351114050.099394490.052680.530009270.099790764.4E-4
7.36.622592E-51.9733235E-42.6E-41.31757413.672988E-41.7E-42.8379448E-48.4543816E-46.1E-40.721519350.00106525212.2E-40.00344972430.0102451110.004920.480229080.0105618323.2E-40.0339666120.0958912450.050590.52757680.0962800164.3E-4
7.45.1050705E-51.4690042E-42.3E-41.56568653.0687693E-41.6E-42.1877038E-46.294222E-45.2E-40.826154538.3929003E-42.1E-40.0026602760.0076364820.003840.502849340.00794411453.1E-40.026286540.072865540.038170.52384160.0732549354.2E-4
7.53.9302922E-51.11307076E-42.3E-42.06635572.7128926E-41.6E-41.6843023E-44.7694342E-44.7E-40.98544186.8684324E-42.1E-40.00204870920.00579139540.003140.54218370.00609963.1E-40.0202992470.056011510.029450.52578480.0564079844.2E-4
7.62.9851626E-58.4956984E-52.1E-42.4718392.449434E-41.6E-41.2792926E-43.6405068E-44.3E-41.18115435.739742E-42.1E-40.00155642590.00442333470.002570.58100960.00473196343.1E-40.01545569950.0431961450.022660.52458380.0435980044.2E-4
7.72.1135214E-56.353527E-51.8E-42.83307222.1352574E-41.5E-49.0576345E-52.722656E-43.8E-41.39569594.7221116E-42.0E-40.00110220910.00330980080.002040.61635130.00360880773.0E-40.0109675820.032584560.017380.533381460.0329715274.0E-4
7.81.883379E-55.564576E-51.4E-42.5159151.7563908E-41.2E-48.0713755E-52.3846005E-43.1E-41.3000083.984219E-41.6E-49.822468E-40.0028993890.001830.63116750.00315863522.6E-40.00977916550.0286969780.015170.52862710.0290369353.5E-4
7.91.5156185E-54.1662403E-51.2E-42.88029461.616574E-41.2E-46.495346E-51.7854095E-42.4E-41.34422953.2851417E-41.5E-47.9052144E-40.00217157040.001330.612460.0024110492.4E-40.0078771520.0217609460.011480.527550640.0220837653.3E-4
8.01.1405907E-52.9976925E-51.1E-43.6694891.3997364E-41.1E-44.8881542E-51.2846621E-42.0E-41.55682952.5844952E-41.3E-45.9497025E-40.00156295519.7E-40.620619240.0017526581.9E-40.0059337980.0157740130.008170.517940460.0160003842.3E-4
8.14.3511436E-67.369465E-60.00.07.369465E-60.01.8647626E-53.158304E-52.0E-50.633251254.1582723E-51.0E-52.2701119E-43.844558E-41.5E-40.390161873.9445196E-41.0E-50.00226779420.00411654450.00220.534428830.0041265031.0E-5
8.22.3042528E-62.7328301E-60.00.02.7328301E-60.09.875332E-61.1712076E-51.0E-50.853819552.171196E-51.0E-51.2022553E-41.4258524E-46.0E-50.42080091.5258382E-41.0E-50.00120160510.00159796378.7E-40.54444290.00160794781.0E-5
8.35.202968E-73.1590292E-70.00.03.1590292E-70.02.2298414E-61.353869E-60.00.01.353869E-60.02.714798E-51.6483244E-51.0E-50.606676761.6483244E-50.02.7144665E-41.955901E-49.0E-50.4601461.955901E-40.0

San Andreas (Carrizo) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1674632E-42.4324407E-42.1E-40.86333043.7321245E-41.3E-45.002454E-40.00104205977.7E-40.738921170.00129179922.5E-40.0060734930.0126137570.006530.517688750.0129692153.6E-40.05910160.1206402260.065960.546749650.1210535244.7E-4
6.11.1674632E-42.4324407E-42.1E-40.86333043.7321245E-41.3E-45.002454E-40.00104205977.7E-40.738921170.00129179922.5E-40.0060734930.0126137570.006530.517688750.0129692153.6E-40.05910160.1206402260.065960.546749650.1210535244.7E-4
6.21.1674632E-42.4324407E-42.1E-40.86333043.7321245E-41.3E-45.002454E-40.00104205977.7E-40.738921170.00129179922.5E-40.0060734930.0126137570.006530.517688750.0129692153.6E-40.05910160.1206402260.065960.546749650.1210535244.7E-4
6.31.1674632E-42.4324407E-42.1E-40.86333043.7321245E-41.3E-45.002454E-40.00104205977.7E-40.738921170.00129179922.5E-40.0060734930.0126137570.006530.517688750.0129692153.6E-40.05910160.1206402260.065960.546749650.1210535244.7E-4
6.41.1674632E-42.4324407E-42.1E-40.86333043.7321245E-41.3E-45.002454E-40.00104205977.7E-40.738921170.00129179922.5E-40.0060734930.0126137570.006530.517688750.0129692153.6E-40.05910160.1206402260.065960.546749650.1210535244.7E-4
6.51.13136164E-42.3644442E-42.1E-40.8881583.6641367E-41.3E-44.847792E-40.00101294127.5E-40.74041810.0012626882.5E-40.00588622550.0122632710.006340.516990960.01261885653.6E-40.0573273340.117610080.064330.54697690.11802484.7E-4
6.61.13136164E-42.3644442E-42.1E-40.8881583.6641367E-41.3E-44.847792E-40.00101294127.5E-40.74041810.0012626882.5E-40.00588622550.0122632710.006340.516990960.01261885653.6E-40.0573273340.117610080.064330.54697690.11802484.7E-4
6.71.1149675E-42.3335687E-42.1E-40.89990923.6332654E-41.3E-44.777557E-49.997191E-47.5E-40.750210760.00124946912.5E-40.00580117340.0121040880.006290.519659160.0124597313.6E-40.056520510.11622910.063550.546764970.116644484.7E-4
6.81.1103589E-42.3237852E-42.1E-40.9036983.623483E-41.3E-44.7578133E-49.955293E-47.5E-40.75336810.00124528042.5E-40.0057772630.0120536430.006270.52017470.0124093043.6E-40.0562935840.115788940.06330.54668430.1162045154.7E-4
6.91.1053259E-42.3130233E-42.1E-40.907902663.6127228E-41.3E-44.7362508E-49.909206E-47.5E-40.756871940.00124067292.5E-40.00575114970.0119981520.006230.519246640.0123538333.6E-40.056045690.115304450.062960.54603270.115720264.7E-4
7.01.1005377E-42.3031076E-42.1E-40.91181153.6028083E-41.3E-44.7157376E-49.866742E-47.5E-40.76012930.00123642762.5E-40.00572630620.0119470210.00620.518957850.012302723.6E-40.0558097960.114856580.062740.546246470.11527264.7E-4
7.11.0308142E-42.1540876E-42.0E-40.928467333.353829E-41.2E-44.417027E-49.228548E-46.9E-40.74767990.00115264252.3E-40.00536447760.0111781880.005820.52065680.0115143883.4E-40.0523681380.108090420.059110.546856940.1084917864.5E-4
7.21.0027479E-42.094876E-42.0E-40.95471043.2946246E-41.2E-44.296783E-48.9749607E-46.8E-40.75766350.00112728962.3E-40.00521879220.0108725660.00570.52425530.0111989793.3E-40.0509792120.105390860.057650.54701140.105775544.3E-4
7.39.816942E-52.0423878E-42.0E-40.979245963.2421426E-41.2E-44.2065824E-48.7501644E-46.7E-40.76569990.00110481522.3E-40.0051094930.0106015720.005610.52916680.0109280733.3E-40.0499359850.102975460.056340.54712070.1033611744.3E-4
7.49.5634205E-51.9793298E-42.0E-41.0104433.1790923E-41.2E-44.0979648E-48.4800937E-46.6E-40.778293250.00107781442.3E-40.00497786370.0102759010.005480.53328660.0105926133.2E-40.0486782530.1000678840.054770.54732850.100445864.2E-4
7.58.052417E-51.6113915E-41.6E-40.99293062.7112142E-41.1E-43.4505792E-46.9041376E-45.5E-40.79662379.002688E-42.1E-40.00419299030.0083734710.004610.550548260.0086610432.9E-40.041147530.0828152450.045150.54518950.0831637763.8E-4
7.67.897024E-51.5767086E-41.6E-41.01477222.6765352E-41.1E-43.384E-46.755574E-45.3E-40.78453738.854156E-42.1E-40.00411223850.008193970.004540.5540660.0084815942.9E-40.0403696970.081158660.044190.5444890.081498633.7E-4
7.76.707427E-51.3277122E-41.0E-40.753175262.0276193E-47.0E-52.8742946E-45.688955E-43.9E-40.685538956.9882156E-41.3E-40.0034938390.00690433850.003820.55327530.0070731651.7E-40.0343941640.069053390.037540.54363730.069276822.4E-4
7.86.147705E-51.2198445E-48.0E-50.655821261.7197835E-45.0E-52.6344648E-45.226858E-43.6E-40.68875036.326283E-41.1E-40.00320274360.0063451560.003520.55475390.00649420451.5E-40.0315697640.06351720.034250.5392240.0637138562.1E-4
7.94.7636717E-58.8802946E-53.0E-50.33782661.18800286E-43.0E-52.0414138E-43.8052857E-42.4E-40.630701664.4050574E-46.0E-50.00248258840.0046231010.002520.545088650.00469277757.0E-50.0245503650.0466293660.024810.532068130.0467151669.0E-5
8.03.3554235E-55.2138024E-51.0E-50.19179866.213751E-51.0E-51.4379594E-42.2342955E-41.4E-40.626595742.634206E-44.0E-50.00174930970.0027168630.001430.526342330.00276672725.0E-50.0173560340.0278819050.014180.508573530.0279305115.0E-5
8.11.9175432E-51.9183564E-50.00.01.9183564E-50.08.217783E-58.221269E-55.0E-50.60817861.02211045E-42.0E-50.00100005580.00100048054.8E-40.479769470.00103045053.0E-50.0099556730.0107577710.005440.5056810.0107874483.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-60.00.05.473668E-60.03.704486E-52.3458366E-51.0E-50.426287143.345813E-51.0E-54.5092785E-42.8556827E-41.5E-40.525268442.955654E-41.0E-50.00450013950.00324817930.001710.52644870.0032581471.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-70.00.07.6564595E-70.08.498917E-63.281336E-60.00.03.281336E-60.01.034694E-43.9949547E-51.0E-50.250315733.9949547E-50.00.00103421244.717979E-42.0E-40.423910324.717979E-40.0

White Wolf (Extension)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.222555E-66.066615E-61.0E-416.4836581.0606601E-41.0E-43.5239045E-52.5999556E-51.5E-45.7693291.4599644E-41.2E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-44.0E-41.26380225.6642614E-42.5E-40.00428123870.00316119660.001950.6168550.00356990054.1E-4
6.18.222555E-66.066615E-61.0E-416.4836581.0606601E-41.0E-43.5239045E-52.5999556E-51.5E-45.7693291.4599644E-41.2E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-44.0E-41.26380225.6642614E-42.5E-40.00428123870.00316119660.001950.6168550.00356990054.1E-4
6.28.222555E-66.066615E-61.0E-416.4836581.0606601E-41.0E-43.5239045E-52.5999556E-51.5E-45.7693291.4599644E-41.2E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-44.0E-41.26380225.6642614E-42.5E-40.00428123870.00316119660.001950.6168550.00356990054.1E-4
6.38.222555E-66.066615E-61.0E-416.4836581.0606601E-41.0E-43.5239045E-52.5999556E-51.5E-45.7693291.4599644E-41.2E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-44.0E-41.26380225.6642614E-42.5E-40.00428123870.00316119660.001950.6168550.00356990054.1E-4
6.45.821773E-63.5571256E-65.0E-514.0562935.355695E-55.0E-52.4950215E-51.5244741E-58.0E-55.2477117.524383E-56.0E-53.0372653E-41.8559002E-42.0E-41.07764422.8557147E-41.0E-40.00303311760.00185445860.001040.560810570.00202414321.7E-4
6.55.766023E-63.4990599E-65.0E-514.2895535.3498883E-55.0E-52.4711293E-51.49958905E-58.0E-55.3347957.499499E-56.0E-53.0081844E-41.8256076E-41.9E-41.04074932.8254252E-41.0E-40.00300411580.00182421619.9E-40.542698860.00197394241.5E-4
6.64.643576E-62.3325733E-62.0E-58.5742222.2332526E-52.0E-51.9900888E-59.9967065E-65.0E-55.00164753.999641E-53.0E-52.4226638E-41.2170354E-41.1E-40.90383571.7169745E-45.0E-50.00242002420.00121641126.0E-40.49325420.0012963148.0E-5
6.73.9529173E-61.6482975E-62.0E-512.1337322.1648264E-52.0E-51.6940963E-57.064114E-64.0E-55.66242272.7063972E-52.0E-52.0623671E-48.600239E-51.0E-41.16275851.2599894E-44.0E-50.0020604548.597095E-44.8E-40.558328159.0966653E-45.0E-5
6.83.4377522E-61.2244764E-61.0E-58.1667571.1224464E-51.0E-51.473314E-55.247746E-62.0E-53.81116031.5247693E-51.0E-51.7936122E-46.388952E-56.0E-50.93912118.388825E-52.0E-50.00179216526.3872064E-43.3E-40.516657776.5870787E-42.0E-5
6.93.1367306E-61.0033316E-60.00.01.0033316E-60.01.3443062E-54.299986E-61.0E-52.32558924.299986E-60.01.63657E-45.2351144E-54.0E-50.764071176.235062E-51.0E-50.00163536525.233958E-42.7E-40.515862055.3339056E-41.0E-5
7.02.8298145E-67.4282326E-70.00.07.4282326E-70.01.2127721E-53.1835248E-61.0E-53.14117243.1835248E-60.01.47645E-43.8758775E-53.0E-50.77401833.8758775E-50.00.00147546933.8752513E-42.0E-40.51609553.8752513E-40.0
7.12.4091064E-65.4223835E-70.00.05.4223835E-70.01.03247E-52.3238767E-61.0E-54.3031542.3238767E-60.01.2569598E-42.8292874E-53.0E-51.06033772.8292874E-50.00.0012562492.8289677E-41.6E-40.56557742.8289677E-40.0
7.21.3875518E-61.0740268E-70.00.01.0740268E-70.05.9466374E-64.6029712E-70.00.04.6029712E-70.07.23979E-55.604104E-60.00.05.604104E-60.07.2374323E-45.6039742E-51.0E-50.178444795.6039742E-50.0
7.37.056077E-75.0002956E-80.00.05.0002956E-80.03.0240296E-62.1429837E-70.00.02.1429837E-70.03.681694E-52.60908E-60.00.02.60908E-60.03.681084E-42.609054E-51.0E-50.383280662.609054E-50.0
7.45.9334678E-84.8638475E-90.00.04.8638475E-90.02.5429145E-72.084506E-80.00.02.084506E-80.03.095994E-62.5378858E-70.00.02.5378858E-70.03.095951E-52.5378843E-60.00.02.5378843E-60.0

Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.169034E-54.7137048E-51.0E-42.12147361.3713281E-49.0E-51.7866064E-42.0200513E-42.5E-41.23759233.4197685E-41.4E-40.00217302330.00245746570.002180.88709270.00263702331.8E-40.0215189680.024384830.022720.93172680.0246580022.8E-4
6.11.73813E-51.6854203E-54.0E-52.37329535.685353E-54.0E-57.4489166E-57.223036E-51.2E-41.66135121.422253E-47.0E-59.065282E-48.790605E-48.8E-41.00106879.789726E-41.0E-40.0090283910.0087571280.007950.90783180.0088959031.4E-4
6.21.4622182E-51.3673262E-54.0E-52.92541745.3672717E-54.0E-56.2664985E-55.85984E-51.1E-41.87718431.285943E-47.0E-57.6267915E-47.132059E-47.0E-40.981483768.131346E-41.0E-40.0076006690.0071097670.00620.87203980.0072189851.1E-4
6.31.3552434E-51.2482174E-54.0E-53.204575.2481675E-54.0E-55.8080568E-55.349395E-51.1E-42.05630731.234902E-47.0E-57.069015E-46.510974E-46.1E-40.93687987.5103226E-41.0E-40.007046570.0064924150.005350.824038570.00660170061.1E-4
6.41.30977305E-51.1979128E-54.0E-53.3391415.1978648E-54.0E-55.613192E-55.133813E-51.0E-41.94786991.2133454E-47.0E-56.831918E-46.2486547E-45.5E-40.88018947.148092E-49.0E-50.0068109530.0062315840.005050.810387850.0063309611.0E-4
6.51.225205E-51.1048776E-53.0E-52.71523284.1048443E-53.0E-55.2507727E-54.735105E-59.0E-51.9006971.0734821E-46.0E-56.3909404E-45.7634927E-44.8E-40.832828346.563032E-48.0E-50.0063725920.0057490090.004450.77404650.00583849159.0E-5
6.61.1352241E-51.0063508E-51.0E-50.99368932.0063408E-51.0E-54.8651553E-54.3128617E-56.0E-51.39118777.3127325E-53.0E-55.921717E-45.249665E-43.9E-40.74290455.749403E-45.0E-50.00590596160.00523766460.003820.729332750.005297356.0E-5
6.71.0864116E-59.517E-61.0E-51.05075131.9516905E-51.0E-54.6559664E-54.0786515E-56.0E-51.47107437.0785296E-53.0E-55.667165E-44.964647E-43.4E-40.68484225.464399E-45.0E-50.0056527340.00495394370.003440.694396260.00501364666.0E-5
6.81.0666365E-59.299752E-61.0E-51.07529751.929966E-51.0E-54.571219E-53.985548E-56.0E-51.5054396.9854286E-53.0E-55.564038E-44.8513446E-43.1E-40.63899815.351102E-45.0E-50.0055501270.004841140.003260.67339510.00490084946.0E-5
6.91.0038665E-58.592018E-61.0E-51.16387081.8591933E-51.0E-54.302214E-53.682243E-56.0E-51.62944176.6821325E-53.0E-55.236687E-44.4822265E-43.0E-40.66931024.9820024E-45.0E-50.0052243640.00447355070.003010.67284360.00453328256.0E-5
7.09.5379955E-68.025047E-60.00.08.025047E-60.04.0876483E-53.439261E-55.0E-51.45380065.4391923E-52.0E-54.975576E-44.1865133E-42.7E-40.64492814.5863457E-44.0E-50.004964450.004178980.002770.66284120.00422877075.0E-5
7.19.207389E-67.652347E-60.00.07.652347E-60.03.945964E-53.2795375E-55.0E-51.52460535.2794716E-52.0E-54.803152E-43.992122E-42.7E-40.6763324.3919624E-44.0E-50.0047927840.0039853010.00270.67748960.00403510175.0E-5
7.27.638091E-65.9310923E-60.00.05.9310923E-60.03.2734264E-52.5418722E-52.0E-50.78682163.5418467E-51.0E-53.984668E-43.094293E-42.2E-40.71098633.3942002E-43.0E-50.00397753060.00309019560.002140.69251280.0031300724.0E-5
7.37.2500147E-65.596131E-60.00.05.596131E-60.03.1071122E-52.3983199E-52.0E-50.833917143.398296E-51.0E-53.7822526E-42.9195662E-41.9E-40.650781633.2194785E-43.0E-50.00377582150.00291594020.002040.69960280.00295582374.0E-5
7.46.3899715E-64.9184864E-60.00.04.9184864E-60.02.7385306E-52.1079059E-52.0E-50.948808973.107885E-51.0E-53.3336508E-42.566075E-41.8E-40.701460362.8659982E-43.0E-50.00332865420.0025633110.001770.69051320.0025932343.0E-5
7.55.379025E-64.0838477E-60.00.04.0838477E-60.02.305276E-51.7502087E-52.0E-51.14272092.7501912E-51.0E-52.806312E-42.1306718E-41.3E-40.61013622.4306079E-43.0E-50.00280277080.00212864020.001530.71876870.00215857643.0E-5
7.64.1270696E-63.0883373E-60.00.03.0883373E-60.01.768732E-51.32356645E-51.0E-50.75553442.3235532E-51.0E-52.1532185E-41.6113237E-45.0E-50.310303871.8112914E-42.0E-50.00215113330.00161016350.001040.645897150.00163013132.0E-5
7.72.5406805E-61.8282044E-60.00.01.8282044E-60.01.0888585E-57.835139E-61.0E-51.27630161.783506E-51.0E-51.3256045E-49.53887E-52.0E-50.209668441.0538774E-41.0E-50.00132481429.534837E-45.6E-40.587319979.6347416E-41.0E-5
7.84.8608285E-73.509864E-70.00.03.509864E-70.02.0832106E-61.5042266E-60.00.01.5042266E-60.02.5362791E-51.8313805E-50.00.01.8313805E-50.02.5359896E-41.8312308E-41.4E-40.764513131.8312308E-40.0
7.92.0472514E-81.2688718E-80.00.01.2688718E-80.08.7739345E-85.438022E-80.00.05.438022E-80.01.068226E-66.6207895E-70.00.06.6207895E-70.01.0682209E-56.620771E-60.00.06.620771E-60.0
8.04.443582E-92.032067E-90.00.02.032067E-90.01.9043922E-88.7088585E-90.00.08.7088585E-90.02.3185973E-71.0603035E-70.00.01.0603035E-70.02.3185949E-61.0603031E-60.00.01.0603031E-60.0

Cady

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9892565E-52.1858728E-51.2E-45.48979761.418561E-41.2E-48.525106E-59.3677416E-52.0E-42.13498642.7366055E-41.8E-40.00103743740.00114001679.2E-40.80700570.00142968612.9E-40.0103260750.0113507010.007140.629036070.0117066143.6E-4
6.11.9892565E-52.1858728E-51.2E-45.48979761.418561E-41.2E-48.525106E-59.3677416E-52.0E-42.13498642.7366055E-41.8E-40.00103743740.00114001679.2E-40.80700570.00142968612.9E-40.0103260750.0113507010.007140.629036070.0117066143.6E-4
6.21.9892565E-52.1858728E-51.2E-45.48979761.418561E-41.2E-48.525106E-59.3677416E-52.0E-42.13498642.7366055E-41.8E-40.00103743740.00114001679.2E-40.80700570.00142968612.9E-40.0103260750.0113507010.007140.629036070.0117066143.6E-4
6.31.1117327E-51.2176583E-56.0E-54.92749077.2175855E-56.0E-54.764482E-55.2184492E-51.2E-42.29953381.6217875E-41.1E-45.7992124E-46.351925E-45.7E-40.897365758.1507815E-41.8E-40.00578410220.00633687530.004160.656474950.0065654182.3E-4
6.41.1117327E-51.2176583E-56.0E-54.92749077.2175855E-56.0E-54.764482E-55.2184492E-51.2E-42.29953381.6217875E-41.1E-45.7992124E-46.351925E-45.7E-40.897365758.1507815E-41.8E-40.00578410220.00633687530.004160.656474950.0065654182.3E-4
6.56.103093E-66.672021E-64.0E-55.99518544.6671754E-54.0E-52.615585E-52.8594131E-58.0E-52.7977771.0859184E-48.0E-53.1840094E-43.480905E-43.7E-41.06294194.7804526E-41.3E-40.00317945120.00347668650.002350.67593090.00364609551.7E-4
6.65.817237E-66.3656585E-64.0E-56.28371764.6365403E-54.0E-52.4930776E-52.728118E-58.0E-52.93242451.07279E-48.0E-53.034899E-43.3211018E-43.7E-41.11408824.62067E-41.3E-40.00303075770.00331736050.002190.66016340.00348679651.7E-4
6.74.8846314E-65.3405684E-63.0E-55.61737973.5340407E-53.0E-52.0933967E-52.2888014E-57.0E-53.05836929.288641E-57.0E-52.5484123E-42.7863772E-43.4E-41.22022253.986043E-41.2E-40.00254549180.00278403910.001790.64295070.00293362141.5E-4
6.81.7788773E-61.9399079E-62.0E-510.3097682.193987E-52.0E-57.6237375E-68.313874E-66.0E-57.21685276.831338E-56.0E-59.281505E-51.01218284E-41.6E-41.5807421.712112E-47.0E-59.2776294E-40.00101187656.0E-40.592957740.00108180577.0E-5
6.97.5455404E-78.297092E-71.0E-512.0524151.0829701E-51.0E-53.233799E-63.5558937E-62.0E-55.6244652.3555822E-52.0E-53.937079E-54.3292483E-55.0E-51.1549356.329161E-52.0E-53.9363815E-44.3287344E-42.6E-40.60063754.5286477E-42.0E-5
7.06.8578805E-77.541816E-70.00.07.541816E-70.02.9390883E-63.2322048E-61.0E-53.09386351.3232172E-51.0E-53.578281E-53.9351715E-53.0E-50.76235564.9351318E-51.0E-53.577705E-43.9347992E-42.0E-40.508285164.0347598E-41.0E-5

Baker

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.695525E-65.8348373E-61.6E-427.4215031.658339E-41.6E-42.4409164E-52.5006228E-51.8E-47.1982072.0500172E-41.8E-42.9714106E-43.044123E-44.3E-41.4125585.543362E-42.5E-40.00296744050.00304034860.00190.62492830.00339925433.6E-4
6.15.695525E-65.8348373E-61.6E-427.4215031.658339E-41.6E-42.4409164E-52.5006228E-51.8E-47.1982072.0500172E-41.8E-42.9714106E-43.044123E-44.3E-41.4125585.543362E-42.5E-40.00296744050.00304034860.00190.62492830.00339925433.6E-4
6.25.695525E-65.8348373E-61.6E-427.4215031.658339E-41.6E-42.4409164E-52.5006228E-51.8E-47.1982072.0500172E-41.8E-42.9714106E-43.044123E-44.3E-41.4125585.543362E-42.5E-40.00296744050.00304034860.00190.62492830.00339925433.6E-4
6.33.2995713E-63.383667E-61.3E-438.4198571.3338323E-41.3E-41.4140943E-51.4501353E-51.4E-49.6542721.5449933E-41.4E-41.7215237E-41.7654014E-43.1E-41.75597473.665066E-41.9E-40.00172019070.0017640460.001130.640572850.00200362272.4E-4
6.43.2995713E-63.383667E-61.3E-438.4198571.3338323E-41.3E-41.4140943E-51.4501353E-51.4E-49.6542721.5449933E-41.4E-41.7215237E-41.7654014E-43.1E-41.75597473.665066E-41.9E-40.00172019070.0017640460.001130.640572850.00200362272.4E-4
6.52.782202E-62.8558404E-61.3E-445.5207521.3285546E-41.3E-41.1923668E-51.223926E-51.4E-411.43861.5223755E-41.4E-41.4516099E-41.4900314E-42.9E-41.94626773.289763E-41.8E-40.0014506620.00148906510.0010.67156230.00171872262.3E-4
6.62.3163404E-62.38092E-61.3E-454.6007421.323806E-41.3E-49.927136E-61.0203904E-51.4E-413.7202391.5020248E-41.4E-41.20856166E-41.2422565E-42.5E-42.0124673.042033E-41.8E-40.00120790470.00124158239.2E-40.74098990.00147129682.3E-4
6.72.037056E-62.0965003E-61.2E-457.2382431.2209624E-41.2E-48.7302105E-68.984972E-61.3E-414.4686041.389838E-41.3E-41.0628513E-41.093867E-42.4E-42.1940512.793681E-41.7E-40.00106234310.00109334488.4E-40.76828470.00130311522.1E-4
6.81.8356744E-61.8915287E-61.2E-463.440751.218913E-41.2E-47.867153E-68.106527E-61.3E-416.036461.3810548E-41.3E-49.577837E-59.869264E-52.3E-42.33046772.6867585E-41.7E-49.57371E-49.86502E-48.0E-40.81094610.00118630472.0E-4
6.91.6310546E-61.6832072E-61.1E-465.351431.11683024E-41.1E-46.9902153E-67.213726E-61.2E-416.6349541.2721286E-41.2E-48.510255E-58.782368E-52.1E-42.39115452.4780963E-41.6E-48.5069967E-48.7790104E-47.2E-40.8201380.00106773421.9E-4
7.01.2058036E-61.2508665E-68.0E-563.9556668.1250764E-58.0E-55.1677193E-65.3608455E-69.0E-516.7883959.536037E-59.0E-56.291517E-56.5266366E-51.6E-42.45149231.8525853E-41.2E-46.289736E-46.524743E-45.2E-40.796966257.923829E-41.4E-4
7.11.052382E-61.0951609E-66.0E-554.7864726.1095096E-56.0E-54.5102006E-64.693538E-67.0E-514.9141227.469321E-57.0E-55.491031E-55.7142337E-51.3E-42.27502061.5713662E-41.0E-45.4896745E-45.7127734E-44.6E-40.805213156.9120876E-41.2E-4
7.21.0067454E-61.0487711E-65.0E-547.6748475.104872E-55.0E-54.3146156E-64.4947255E-66.0E-513.348986.449446E-56.0E-55.252918E-55.4721917E-51.1E-42.01016351.4471699E-49.0E-55.251676E-45.470853E-44.3E-40.78598356.570251E-41.1E-4
7.39.3596316E-79.767723E-73.0E-530.71343.0976742E-53.0E-54.0112645E-64.1861604E-64.0E-59.5552954.4185992E-54.0E-54.8836053E-55.096532E-59.0E-51.76590671.20961755E-47.0E-54.8825322E-45.095371E-43.9E-40.76540065.9949124E-49.0E-5
7.48.8117395E-79.2076635E-73.0E-532.5815543.092074E-53.0E-53.7764542E-63.9461356E-64.0E-510.1364994.3945976E-54.0E-54.5977362E-54.8043148E-58.0E-51.66516981.08040265E-46.0E-54.596785E-44.8032837E-43.4E-40.70784915.5029476E-47.0E-5
7.58.292386E-78.6745956E-71.0E-511.5279151.0867451E-51.0E-53.5538749E-63.7176785E-62.0E-55.3797012.3717605E-52.0E-54.326757E-54.5261804E-55.0E-51.10468428.525999E-54.0E-54.3259145E-44.5252658E-42.6E-40.57455195.0250394E-45.0E-5
7.67.553842E-77.9144706E-71.0E-512.6350841.0791439E-51.0E-53.2373566E-63.3919116E-62.0E-55.896382.3391844E-52.0E-53.9414106E-54.129575E-55.0E-51.21077848.129409E-54.0E-53.9407116E-44.1288146E-42.2E-40.53284064.628608E-45.0E-5
7.76.5285366E-76.852797E-71.0E-514.5925821.0685273E-51.0E-52.797941E-62.9369096E-62.0E-56.80987932.293685E-52.0E-53.40644E-53.5756293E-54.0E-51.11868427.575486E-54.0E-53.405918E-43.5750607E-41.8E-40.503487944.074882E-45.0E-5
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-70.00.03.6482615E-70.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.0E-56.39574431.1563524E-51.0E-51.80467E-51.9035933E-53.0E-51.57596684.9035363E-53.0E-51.8045233E-41.9034347E-47.0E-50.367756252.3033586E-44.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-90.00.02.6696718E-90.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-80.00.01.14414505E-80.01.335311E-71.3929966E-70.00.01.3929966E-70.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-60.00.01.3929966E-60.0

Santa Ynez (West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.7352758E-55.497084E-51.6E-42.9106341.6496479E-41.1E-42.0292461E-42.3556968E-42.8E-41.18860793.755367E-41.4E-40.00246780760.0028645580.002230.778479640.00307395642.1E-40.0244058180.0283044560.022640.799874070.0285668132.7E-4
6.14.7352758E-55.497084E-51.5E-42.72871951.5496534E-41.0E-42.0292461E-42.3556968E-42.6E-41.10370743.6553905E-41.3E-40.00246780760.0028645580.002030.708660840.00306398512.0E-40.0244058180.0283044560.019680.69529690.0285376632.4E-4
6.23.0415853E-53.3925004E-51.1E-43.24244641.1392229E-48.0E-51.3034715E-41.4538495E-41.9E-41.30687522.5536897E-41.1E-40.00158582120.00176865920.001330.75198210.00190841161.4E-40.0157455220.017549780.012760.72707470.017726621.8E-4
6.33.0415853E-53.3925004E-51.1E-43.24244641.1392229E-48.0E-51.3034715E-41.4538495E-41.9E-41.30687522.5536897E-41.1E-40.00158582120.00176865920.001330.75198210.00190841161.4E-40.0157455220.017549780.012760.72707470.017726621.8E-4
6.42.5452082E-52.7912318E-51.1E-43.94091221.07910084E-48.0E-51.09075794E-41.1961885E-41.6E-41.33758192.1960688E-41.0E-40.00132718870.00145540560.001130.77641590.0015752311.2E-40.0131929020.014460910.010620.73439360.0146087411.5E-4
6.52.3143784E-52.5128133E-51.0E-43.97960331.0512612E-48.0E-59.9183875E-51.07687636E-41.4E-41.30005652.0767687E-41.0E-40.00120689480.0013103230.001030.786065760.00143016571.2E-40.0120036110.0130276380.009770.74994410.0131756841.5E-4
6.61.9118515E-52.0354244E-57.0E-53.4390869.035282E-57.0E-58.193392E-58.722961E-51.0E-41.14639971.6722264E-48.0E-59.97089E-40.0010615118.4E-40.791324850.00116140481.0E-40.009926270.0105653170.007850.74299710.0106939431.3E-4
6.71.722807E-51.8146253E-57.0E-53.85754568.814498E-57.0E-57.3832496E-57.776737E-59.0E-51.15729771.5776115E-48.0E-58.985399E-49.4641204E-47.5E-40.79246670.00104631741.0E-40.0089491540.0094244610.006870.728954140.009543331.2E-4
6.81.5317364E-51.5926391E-57.0E-54.39522038.5925276E-57.0E-56.56442E-56.82542E-58.0E-51.1720891.4824874E-48.0E-57.98925E-48.3068234E-46.6E-40.794527539.305993E-41.0E-40.0079605890.0082762610.006090.735839550.0083853511.1E-4
6.91.3071226E-51.332953E-57.0E-55.2514988.3328596E-57.0E-55.6018336E-55.712532E-58.0E-51.40042981.3712075E-48.0E-56.8180985E-46.952811E-45.8E-40.8341957.952115E-41.0E-40.00679721730.00693131840.005060.730019870.0070405561.1E-4
7.01.1836986E-51.1932688E-57.0E-55.8662398.193185E-57.0E-55.0728955E-55.1139097E-58.0E-51.56436091.31135E-48.0E-56.1745E-46.2244234E-45.5E-40.883616037.2238006E-41.0E-40.0061573720.00620718250.004620.744299050.00631651.1E-4
7.11.0597169E-51.0542107E-57.0E-56.6400398.0541366E-57.0E-54.541565E-54.5179684E-57.0E-51.5493691.1517652E-47.0E-55.5279525E-45.4992497E-44.8E-40.872846366.398755E-49.0E-50.00551422130.0054857720.004010.73098190.00558522341.0E-4
7.29.59113E-69.45905E-67.0E-57.40032057.945839E-57.0E-54.11042E-54.053816E-57.0E-51.7267681.1053532E-47.0E-55.0032866E-44.934414E-44.3E-40.87143075.83397E-49.0E-50.0049920370.00492357650.003570.72508270.0050230841.0E-4
7.38.586084E-68.379489E-66.0E-57.1603416.8378984E-56.0E-53.679698E-53.591161E-56.0E-51.6707699.5909454E-56.0E-54.4791115E-44.3713715E-43.4E-40.77778795.171022E-48.0E-50.0044700940.0043628840.003130.717415330.00445249169.0E-5
7.47.2622997E-66.9514485E-63.0E-54.3156473.695124E-53.0E-53.112377E-52.9791589E-53.0E-51.00699575.9790695E-53.0E-53.78866E-43.6265317E-42.4E-40.66178934.026387E-44.0E-50.00378220740.0036207140.002640.729137960.0036705335.0E-5
7.55.627296E-65.2514984E-62.0E-53.80843692.5251393E-52.0E-52.411676E-52.2506232E-52.0E-50.88864284.250578E-52.0E-52.9358198E-42.7397962E-41.8E-40.656983142.9397415E-42.0E-50.00293194430.00273649050.00210.76740630.00276640853.0E-5
7.62.265244E-62.0608632E-60.00.02.0608632E-60.09.708152E-68.832241E-60.00.08.832241E-60.01.18190335E-41.0752732E-49.0E-50.83699661.0752732E-40.00.0011812750.00107476157.0E-40.65130730.00107476150.0
7.71.3099874E-61.1016228E-60.00.01.1016228E-60.05.61422E-64.7212325E-60.00.04.7212325E-60.06.8350986E-55.7479516E-52.0E-50.347950045.7479516E-50.06.832996E-45.7464885E-42.9E-40.5046565.7464885E-40.0
7.87.903951E-76.0710704E-70.00.06.0710704E-70.03.3874032E-62.601885E-60.00.02.601885E-60.04.1240855E-53.16775E-52.0E-50.63136293.16775E-50.04.12332E-43.167312E-41.6E-40.50516023.167312E-40.0
7.97.0753297E-95.090092E-90.00.05.090092E-90.03.032284E-82.181468E-80.00.02.181468E-80.03.6918053E-72.655937E-70.00.02.655937E-70.03.691799E-62.6559348E-60.00.02.6559348E-60.0

Calico-Hidalgo

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0906612E-55.0704355E-51.3E-42.56388241.4069979E-49.0E-51.7530227E-42.1728857E-43.1E-41.42667423.6725597E-41.5E-40.00213221580.0026426780.001440.54490180.00286209682.2E-40.021118730.0261528140.014220.543727340.0264547083.1E-4
6.14.0906612E-55.0704355E-51.3E-42.56388241.4069979E-49.0E-51.7530227E-42.1728857E-43.1E-41.42667423.6725597E-41.5E-40.00213221580.0026426780.001440.54490180.00286209682.2E-40.021118730.0261528140.014220.543727340.0264547083.1E-4
6.24.0906612E-55.0704355E-51.3E-42.56388241.4069979E-49.0E-51.7530227E-42.1728857E-43.1E-41.42667423.6725597E-41.5E-40.00213221580.0026426780.001440.54490180.00286209682.2E-40.021118730.0261528140.014220.543727340.0264547083.1E-4
6.32.4242801E-53.0090967E-51.0E-43.32325651.0008886E-47.0E-51.0389358E-41.289551E-42.1E-41.62847382.189435E-49.0E-50.00126417040.00156893128.8E-40.56089140.00167875851.1E-40.012570030.0155822290.00860.551910760.0157594231.8E-4
6.42.4242801E-53.0090967E-51.0E-43.32325651.0008886E-47.0E-51.0389358E-41.289551E-42.1E-41.62847382.189435E-49.0E-50.00126417040.00156893128.8E-40.56089140.00167875851.1E-40.012570030.0155822290.00860.551910760.0157594231.8E-4
6.52.0286952E-52.5316054E-51.0E-43.95006259.531428E-57.0E-58.694118E-51.0849296E-41.6E-41.474751.9848319E-49.0E-50.00105799490.00132011867.0E-40.530255440.00142997331.1E-40.0105297190.0131247010.007250.552393560.0132924691.7E-4
6.62.0269223E-52.5297004E-51.0E-43.95303739.529523E-57.0E-58.6865206E-51.08411325E-41.6E-41.47586061.9840157E-49.0E-50.00105707070.00131912587.0E-40.53065450.00142898061.1E-40.0105205650.013114890.007240.55204430.013282661.7E-4
6.71.799852E-52.2540933E-59.0E-53.9927368.2539584E-56.0E-57.713423E-59.660051E-51.4E-41.44926771.7659277E-48.0E-59.3870464E-40.00117549116.4E-40.544453260.00127537361.0E-40.0093474930.0116943460.006540.559244630.0118524751.6E-4
6.81.7458793E-52.184258E-58.0E-53.6625718.184127E-56.0E-57.4821255E-59.360778E-51.2E-41.28194481.7360029E-48.0E-59.10568E-40.00113909336.1E-40.535513640.00123897941.0E-40.0090684590.0113341310.006370.56201930.0114923181.6E-4
6.91.542884E-51.9026285E-58.0E-54.20470957.902514E-56.0E-56.612192E-58.153875E-51.2E-41.47169291.6153223E-48.0E-58.04737E-49.922953E-45.2E-40.524037540.00109219611.0E-40.0080182910.0098800430.005570.56376270.01003846251.6E-4
7.01.468253E-51.803109E-57.0E-53.8821836.803019E-55.0E-56.292361E-57.727389E-51.1E-41.42350791.4726848E-47.0E-57.658257E-49.4041653E-44.8E-40.51041210.0010303329.0E-50.00763191840.0093657360.00530.56589250.0095044241.4E-4
7.11.3139281E-51.620139E-57.0E-54.3206176.620058E-55.0E-55.6309986E-56.943275E-51.0E-41.44024251.2942858E-46.0E-56.853584E-48.4502844E-44.3E-40.50885869.249608E-48.0E-50.00683248560.0084194490.004830.57367170.0085483551.3E-4
7.21.1127404E-51.3867038E-56.0E-54.3268075.3866483E-54.0E-54.7688E-55.9428872E-59.0E-51.51441541.094259E-45.0E-55.8044674E-47.233172E-43.7E-40.51153217.932666E-47.0E-50.00578932980.0072107370.004060.56304920.0073100161.0E-4
7.39.808154E-61.2176586E-55.0E-54.1062414.217622E-53.0E-54.2034266E-55.2184383E-58.0E-51.53302569.2182294E-54.0E-55.11647E-46.351704E-43.3E-40.51954566.9513224E-46.0E-50.00510470570.0063346250.003610.569883760.00642405549.0E-5
7.47.942452E-69.792348E-64.0E-54.0848223.9792056E-53.0E-53.4038632E-54.1966585E-57.0E-51.66799388.196491E-54.0E-54.1434157E-45.108328E-42.9E-40.56770045.708022E-46.0E-50.00413569850.0050975270.003030.594405830.00517711938.0E-5
7.54.7121216E-65.7729717E-64.0E-56.92884063.57728E-53.0E-52.019465E-52.4741115E-56.0E-52.4251136.4740125E-54.0E-52.4584212E-43.011891E-42.0E-40.664034663.6117103E-46.0E-50.00245570320.00300856140.001520.50522480.0030683816.0E-5
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.0E-576.804332.0260397E-52.0E-59.478797E-71.1160082E-62.0E-517.9210172.1115986E-52.0E-51.1540374E-51.3587343E-53.0E-52.20793724.3586937E-53.0E-51.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.0E-40.73600881.6586386E-43.0E-5

San Andreas (Coachella) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1925945E-43.273077E-42.5E-40.763807244.5726515E-41.3E-45.110118E-40.0014019988.6E-40.61341030.00160171762.0E-40.00620383540.0169370680.008010.47292720.0171828332.5E-40.0603347530.152676720.081730.535314140.152947863.2E-4
6.11.1925945E-43.273077E-42.5E-40.763807244.5726515E-41.3E-45.110118E-40.0014019988.6E-40.61341030.00160171762.0E-40.00620383540.0169370680.008010.47292720.0171828332.5E-40.0603347530.152676720.081730.535314140.152947863.2E-4
6.21.07432395E-43.0231563E-42.4E-40.79387234.322763E-41.3E-44.603433E-40.0012949998.4E-40.64864910.001494742.0E-40.0055902860.0156537310.00740.472730760.0158899742.4E-40.054517310.141827840.07570.53374570.142093873.1E-4
6.31.0718766E-43.0176868E-42.4E-40.795311154.3172945E-41.3E-44.592948E-40.00129265738.3E-40.64208820.00149239882.0E-40.0055775860.015625630.007380.472300950.015861882.4E-40.0543965550.141596050.075540.533489470.141862153.1E-4
6.41.0355944E-42.9384956E-42.4E-40.81674454.2381135E-41.3E-44.4375064E-40.00125875148.2E-40.651439250.00145849962.0E-40.00538928850.0152186620.007090.46587540.0154550092.4E-40.0526044960.138157950.073690.5333750.138425133.1E-4
6.51.0227914E-42.9104383E-42.4E-40.824618044.21006E-41.3E-44.382655E-40.00124673858.1E-40.64969520.00144648912.0E-40.00532283540.0150744390.007020.465688970.0153108212.4E-40.0519713160.136942390.072960.53277880.137209943.1E-4
6.61.0116757E-42.8870135E-42.4E-40.83130894.186638E-41.3E-44.3350324E-40.00123670877.9E-40.63879230.00143646132.0E-40.00526513670.0149540080.006950.464758340.015190422.4E-40.0514212470.135919730.072290.531857970.136187613.1E-4
6.71.0050676E-42.8728697E-42.4E-40.83540164.1724963E-41.3E-44.3067214E-40.00123065287.9E-40.64193570.00143040672.0E-40.0052308340.0148812880.006930.46568550.0151177162.4E-40.0510940850.135304640.07190.53139340.13557273.1E-4
6.89.976819E-52.8532353E-42.4E-40.84115044.1528643E-41.3E-44.2750788E-40.0012222467.8E-40.63816940.00142200152.0E-40.00519249360.0147803280.006910.46751330.015016782.4E-40.0507282950.134456280.071390.53095330.134724593.1E-4
6.99.77719E-52.802926E-42.4E-40.856248144.1025615E-41.3E-44.1895514E-40.00120070487.7E-40.641290.00140046472.0E-40.00508885550.01452158950.006770.46620240.0147581042.4E-40.0497388880.132284760.070220.530824540.132553763.1E-4
7.08.500761E-52.4763815E-42.2E-40.888393043.7760596E-41.3E-43.6426744E-40.00106087796.8E-40.64097860.00126066572.0E-40.00442594060.012840470.006050.471166550.01307738852.4E-40.043388230.118136160.062410.52828870.118409543.1E-4
7.18.319876E-52.4366553E-42.2E-40.9028773.7363384E-41.3E-43.5651738E-40.00104386626.7E-40.641844750.00124365732.0E-40.0043319630.0126357730.005970.47246810.0128727412.4E-40.0424848460.116356320.061290.526744070.116630253.1E-4
7.27.563917E-52.2414974E-42.2E-40.981486743.541206E-41.3E-43.2412758E-49.602912E-46.3E-40.656051040.00114011831.8E-40.00393911450.0116295590.005440.467773530.0118470012.2E-40.038700180.107762020.056140.52096280.108020762.9E-4
7.37.082985E-52.07311E-42.2E-41.06120753.3728406E-41.3E-43.0352117E-48.881761E-45.9E-40.66428270.00106801621.8E-40.00368910960.0107605530.004950.46001350.01097818652.2E-40.036284650.100284030.051890.51743030.100544952.9E-4
7.45.146215E-51.4274761E-42.0E-41.40107432.7272906E-41.3E-42.2053342E-46.1163295E-44.8E-40.784784447.9152285E-41.8E-40.00268168840.00742139430.003690.497211160.00763976152.2E-40.026495570.070850490.03620.510935070.071110652.8E-4
7.54.0285166E-51.0942422E-42.0E-41.8277492.3940999E-41.3E-41.7263928E-44.6887697E-44.3E-40.917084936.4879254E-41.8E-40.0020998570.00569370440.003040.533923030.0059124522.2E-40.0208012540.0550130830.028280.514059540.055277682.8E-4
7.63.1168736E-58.439599E-51.8E-42.13280272.1438503E-41.3E-41.3357346E-43.616471E-43.9E-41.07839935.41582E-41.8E-40.00162504370.0043941910.002530.57576020.0046132242.2E-40.0161321160.0428124780.021920.512000260.043080492.8E-4
7.72.2100989E-56.239345E-51.5E-42.40409851.8238596E-41.2E-49.4715084E-52.6737314E-43.4E-41.27163114.3732766E-41.7E-40.0011525460.00325041520.001980.6091530.00345973252.1E-40.0114658670.0319021680.016490.516892730.0321538752.6E-4
7.81.7484861E-55.180078E-51.2E-42.31656741.517956E-41.0E-47.493296E-52.2198448E-42.7E-41.21630133.619534E-41.4E-49.1192697E-40.00269931420.001740.64460820.00287882841.8E-40.0090819380.0266417880.013940.52323820.0268559272.2E-4
7.91.3967285E-53.8226146E-51.0E-42.61601041.3822233E-41.0E-45.985842E-51.6381606E-42.1E-41.28192562.9379476E-41.3E-47.2853256E-40.00199263730.001260.63232780.00215231861.6E-40.00726148770.0199110020.010350.519813060.0201070222.0E-4
8.01.1887396E-53.106798E-51.0E-43.2187481.3106488E-41.0E-45.094499E-51.331417E-42.0E-41.5021592.6312438E-41.3E-46.200787E-40.00161979580.001010.62353540.00177953671.6E-40.0061835130.0162805670.008430.517795260.0164674731.9E-4
8.15.100864E-68.973766E-60.00.08.973766E-60.02.1860664E-53.845843E-52.0E-50.520042064.8458045E-51.0E-52.6612106E-44.6813092E-42.3E-40.491315544.8812156E-42.0E-50.0026580260.0049180920.002660.54086020.00493799342.0E-5
8.22.3004484E-62.7863473E-60.00.02.7863473E-60.09.859027E-61.19414335E-51.0E-50.83742042.1941314E-51.0E-51.2002704E-41.4537729E-48.0E-50.55029231.5537583E-41.0E-50.00119962230.00159737828.8E-40.55090270.00160736221.0E-5
8.31.0424446E-75.814421E-80.00.05.814421E-80.04.4676187E-72.4918944E-70.00.02.4918944E-70.05.439312E-63.0338776E-60.00.03.0338776E-60.05.4391792E-53.189592E-51.0E-50.313519723.189592E-50.0

Ludlow

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2407607E-52.3657254E-59.0E-53.804331.1365512E-49.0E-59.602906E-51.0138454E-41.7E-41.67678432.2137238E-41.2E-40.00116852670.0012337029.8E-40.79435720.00148339352.5E-40.0116240130.0122730420.00820.6681310.0125989923.3E-4
6.12.2407607E-52.3657254E-59.0E-53.804331.1365512E-49.0E-59.602906E-51.0138454E-41.7E-41.67678432.2137238E-41.2E-40.00116852670.0012337029.8E-40.79435720.00148339352.5E-40.0116240130.0122730420.00820.6681310.0125989923.3E-4
6.21.0781252E-51.1365663E-55.0E-54.3992156.136509E-55.0E-54.620455E-54.8709102E-51.1E-42.25830481.08706176E-46.0E-55.623952E-45.9287593E-45.0E-40.84334677.1280485E-41.2E-40.005609740.00591336140.003890.65783230.0060624741.5E-4
6.31.0781252E-51.1365663E-55.0E-54.3992156.136509E-55.0E-54.620455E-54.8709102E-51.1E-42.25830481.08706176E-46.0E-55.623952E-45.9287593E-45.0E-40.84334677.1280485E-41.2E-40.005609740.00591336140.003890.65783230.0060624741.5E-4
6.47.814439E-68.237729E-63.0E-53.64178043.8237482E-53.0E-53.3490025E-53.530408E-56.0E-51.69952026.530302E-53.0E-54.0766477E-44.2974384E-43.0E-40.69809034.8971805E-46.0E-50.00406917740.00428927460.002630.613157330.00436893158.0E-5
6.56.4986366E-66.85092E-62.0E-52.9193162.6850783E-52.0E-52.7851002E-52.9360759E-53.0E-51.02177194.9360173E-52.0E-53.390332E-43.5740953E-42.5E-40.699477734.0739166E-45.0E-50.0033851640.00356844320.002210.619317650.00363819357.0E-5
6.65.582177E-65.8860055E-60.00.05.8860055E-60.02.3923398E-52.5225498E-51.0E-50.39642432.5225498E-50.02.9122844E-43.0707786E-42.1E-40.68386563.3706866E-43.0E-50.00290847060.0030666090.001840.60001130.00311645565.0E-5
6.74.6858763E-64.940427E-60.00.04.940427E-60.02.0082172E-52.1173091E-51.0E-50.47229762.1173091E-50.02.4447302E-42.5775246E-41.8E-40.698344472.6774986E-41.0E-50.00244204230.00257459120.00160.62145790.002594542.0E-5
6.83.5584908E-63.7520183E-60.00.03.7520183E-60.01.5250586E-51.6079981E-50.00.01.6079981E-50.01.8566006E-41.957566E-41.3E-40.664092.0575464E-41.0E-50.00185505020.00195588260.001280.6544360.00197584372.0E-5
6.92.532834E-62.6710034E-60.00.02.6710034E-60.01.0854958E-51.1447109E-50.00.01.1447109E-50.01.3215111E-41.3935992E-41.1E-40.78932311.4935853E-41.0E-50.00132072540.00139275299.6E-40.689282360.0014127252.0E-5
7.01.7083285E-61.8019439E-60.00.01.8019439E-60.07.3213873E-67.722595E-60.00.07.722595E-60.08.913424E-59.40187E-58.0E-50.85089469.40187E-50.08.9098496E-49.3980576E-45.9E-40.62778939.3980576E-40.0
7.11.0905424E-61.1497619E-60.00.01.1497619E-60.04.6737446E-64.9275427E-60.00.04.9275427E-60.05.6901354E-55.999128E-56.0E-51.00014545.999128E-50.05.6886784E-45.997606E-44.2E-40.70027945.997606E-40.0
7.26.06668E-76.387277E-70.00.06.387277E-70.02.600003E-62.7374022E-60.00.02.7374022E-60.03.1654577E-53.3327433E-54.0E-51.20021253.3327433E-50.03.1650066E-43.3323118E-42.3E-40.690211533.3323118E-40.0

Manix-Afton Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3783202E-51.47110895E-51.1E-47.4773521.2470948E-41.1E-45.906953E-56.30461E-51.7E-42.69643952.2303601E-41.6E-47.189342E-47.6733343E-46.7E-40.87315369.871647E-42.2E-40.00716612770.0076485960.005090.66548160.0079363782.9E-4
6.11.3783202E-51.47110895E-51.1E-47.4773521.2470948E-41.1E-45.906953E-56.30461E-51.7E-42.69643952.2303601E-41.6E-47.189342E-47.6733343E-46.7E-40.87315369.871647E-42.2E-40.00716612770.0076485960.005090.66548160.0079363782.9E-4
6.21.3783202E-51.47110895E-51.1E-47.4773521.2470948E-41.1E-45.906953E-56.30461E-51.7E-42.69643952.2303601E-41.6E-47.189342E-47.6733343E-46.7E-40.87315369.871647E-42.2E-40.00716612770.0076485960.005090.66548160.0079363782.9E-4
6.31.10494875E-51.1793136E-58.0E-56.7836079.179219E-58.0E-54.7354086E-55.054109E-51.3E-42.57216451.8053452E-41.3E-45.763835E-46.151744E-45.8E-40.942822047.950637E-41.8E-40.0057489080.00613575570.003990.65028670.0063444672.1E-4
6.41.10494875E-51.1793136E-58.0E-56.7836079.179219E-58.0E-54.7354086E-55.054109E-51.3E-42.57216451.8053452E-41.3E-45.763835E-46.151744E-45.8E-40.942822047.950637E-41.8E-40.0057489080.00613575570.003990.65028670.0063444672.1E-4
6.59.788949E-61.045432E-57.0E-56.6957978.045359E-57.0E-54.1951964E-54.480351E-51.2E-42.67836171.6479813E-41.2E-45.1064545E-45.453555E-45.3E-40.97184317.0526823E-41.6E-40.00509473630.00544109850.003540.65060390.0056201191.8E-4
6.68.810006E-69.4136285E-67.0E-57.43602757.941297E-57.0E-53.775662E-54.0343548E-51.1E-42.72658231.5033911E-41.1E-44.5958988E-44.9108086E-44.9E-40.9977996.410072E-41.5E-40.00458640560.0049008390.003150.642747040.0050700061.7E-4
6.78.80128E-69.404108E-67.0E-57.44355547.940345E-57.0E-53.7719226E-54.0302748E-51.1E-42.72934251.502983E-41.1E-44.591348E-44.9058435E-44.9E-40.998808866.4051076E-41.5E-40.0045818740.00489589570.003150.6433960.00506506351.7E-4
6.86.8994877E-67.380076E-67.0E-59.4849977.737956E-57.0E-52.9568899E-53.162856E-51.1E-43.47786951.4162507E-41.1E-43.5994186E-43.8501783E-43.7E-40.96099445.2496395E-41.4E-40.0035935940.00384431290.002490.647710.0039937361.5E-4
6.94.9328037E-65.2709615E-67.0E-513.280317.527059E-57.0E-52.1140417E-52.2589675E-59.0E-53.98412131.12587644E-49.0E-52.5735417E-42.7500073E-42.5E-40.90908853.8497048E-41.1E-40.00257056350.00274720950.001720.62608990.00286687981.2E-4
7.03.347973E-63.59003E-63.0E-58.3564763.3589924E-53.0E-51.4348378E-51.5385775E-55.0E-53.2497556.538501E-55.0E-51.746775E-41.8730981E-41.5E-40.80081232.3730045E-45.0E-50.00174540250.00187192190.001070.5716050.00193180976.0E-5
7.11.2073567E-61.293482E-61.0E-57.73106961.12934695E-51.0E-55.1743755E-65.543492E-61.0E-51.80391721.5543437E-51.0E-56.29962E-56.749156E-54.0E-50.592666757.7490884E-51.0E-56.297835E-46.7487074E-45.0E-40.74088266.9485727E-42.0E-5

Lake Isabella (Seismicity)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.431637E-69.741651E-67.0E-57.185647.974097E-57.0E-54.0420677E-54.1749343E-51.1E-42.6347721.4174517E-41.0E-44.920106E-45.0819275E-44.2E-40.826458047.0809113E-42.0E-40.0049092270.0050715990.002590.510687050.0053700773.0E-4
6.19.431637E-69.741651E-67.0E-57.185647.974097E-57.0E-54.0420677E-54.1749343E-51.1E-42.6347721.4174517E-41.0E-44.920106E-45.0819275E-44.2E-40.826458047.0809113E-42.0E-40.0049092270.0050715990.002590.510687050.0053700773.0E-4
6.29.431637E-69.741651E-67.0E-57.185647.974097E-57.0E-54.0420677E-54.1749343E-51.1E-42.6347721.4174517E-41.0E-44.920106E-45.0819275E-44.2E-40.826458047.0809113E-42.0E-40.0049092270.0050715990.002590.510687050.0053700773.0E-4
6.39.431637E-69.741651E-67.0E-57.185647.974097E-57.0E-54.0420677E-54.1749343E-51.1E-42.6347721.4174517E-41.0E-44.920106E-45.0819275E-44.2E-40.826458047.0809113E-42.0E-40.0049092270.0050715990.002590.510687050.0053700773.0E-4
6.45.144063E-65.3000763E-65.0E-59.4338265.529981E-55.0E-52.2045799E-52.2714434E-56.0E-52.64149218.271307E-56.0E-52.6837454E-42.765166E-42.2E-40.79561233.964834E-41.2E-40.00268050660.00276206570.001340.485144140.00297148572.1E-4
6.55.144063E-65.3000763E-65.0E-59.4338265.529981E-55.0E-52.2045799E-52.2714434E-56.0E-52.64149218.271307E-56.0E-52.6837454E-42.765166E-42.2E-40.79561233.964834E-41.2E-40.00268050660.00276206570.001340.485144140.00297148572.1E-4
6.63.4009804E-63.498786E-62.0E-55.7162682.3498716E-52.0E-51.4575549E-51.4994721E-53.0E-52.0007044.499427E-53.0E-51.7744285E-41.8254704E-41.1E-40.60258442.6253244E-48.0E-50.00177301230.00182412868.0E-40.438565580.00196387321.4E-4
6.73.3880428E-63.4856528E-62.0E-55.73780632.3485583E-52.0E-51.4520103E-51.4938435E-53.0E-52.00824244.4937988E-53.0E-51.767679E-41.8186188E-41.1E-40.604854642.6184734E-48.0E-50.00176627360.00181728828.0E-40.440216360.00195703381.4E-4
6.82.6582E-62.7337003E-62.0E-57.3160912.2733646E-52.0E-51.1392236E-51.1715813E-53.0E-52.56064184.1715462E-53.0E-51.3869164E-41.4263204E-48.0E-50.56088382.1262205E-47.0E-50.00138605120.00142553696.3E-40.441938760.00153538011.1E-4
6.92.406011E-62.4743288E-62.0E-58.0832.247428E-52.0E-51.0311434E-51.0604231E-52.0E-51.88603963.060402E-52.0E-51.2553448E-41.2910018E-47.0E-50.54221461.8909243E-46.0E-50.00125463590.00129038145.8E-40.44947950.00137027828.0E-5
7.01.6953097E-61.7429371E-62.0E-511.4748832.1742902E-52.0E-57.265593E-67.469715E-62.0E-52.67747832.7469567E-52.0E-58.8455E-59.094104E-56.0E-50.659768161.4093649E-45.0E-58.84198E-49.09141E-43.9E-40.42897649.790773E-47.0E-5
7.13.5013824E-73.5714822E-70.00.03.5714822E-70.01.5005916E-61.5306344E-60.00.01.5306344E-60.01.826955E-51.8635317E-52.0E-51.0732312.8635131E-51.0E-51.8268047E-41.863378E-48.0E-50.429327821.9633592E-41.0E-5
7.22.2321095E-72.2750574E-70.00.02.2750574E-70.09.56618E-79.750242E-70.00.09.750242E-70.01.1646762E-51.1870856E-52.0E-51.68479852.1870737E-51.0E-51.1646151E-41.1870232E-44.0E-50.33697741.2870114E-41.0E-5
7.31.5760406E-71.6060922E-70.00.01.6060922E-70.06.7544585E-76.8832503E-70.00.06.8832503E-70.08.223522E-68.380326E-61.0E-51.1932718.380326E-60.08.2232174E-58.3800165E-52.0E-50.238663028.3800165E-50.0
7.41.1216497E-71.1431706E-70.00.01.1431706E-70.04.8070694E-74.899302E-70.00.04.899302E-70.05.852591E-65.964884E-60.00.05.964884E-60.05.8524372E-55.9647282E-51.0E-50.167652235.9647282E-50.0
7.54.885185E-84.9787737E-80.00.04.9787737E-80.02.0936506E-72.13376E-70.00.02.13376E-70.02.5490165E-62.59785E-60.00.02.59785E-60.02.5489873E-52.5978214E-50.00.02.5978214E-50.0
7.61.504641E-91.5317903E-90.00.01.5317903E-90.06.4484613E-96.5648154E-90.00.06.5648154E-90.07.851001E-87.992663E-80.00.07.992663E-80.07.8509987E-77.992663E-70.00.07.992663E-70.0

Scodie Lineament

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2919327E-63.0133303E-61.0E-433.185871.0301303E-41.0E-41.4108206E-51.2914227E-51.5E-411.6150971.5291241E-41.4E-41.7175387E-41.5722254E-42.7E-41.71731093.3719424E-41.8E-40.00171621180.00157142480.00120.76363820.00185098482.8E-4
6.11.8663811E-61.5490382E-62.0E-512.9112382.1549007E-52.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-64.0E-56.0252573.663852E-53.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.3E-41.60843471.4081907E-46.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-44.6E-40.56931118.979214E-49.0E-5
6.21.8663811E-61.5490382E-62.0E-512.9112382.1549007E-52.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-64.0E-56.0252573.663852E-53.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.3E-41.60843471.4081907E-46.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-44.6E-40.56931118.979214E-49.0E-5
6.31.8663811E-61.5490382E-62.0E-512.9112382.1549007E-52.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-64.0E-56.0252573.663852E-53.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.3E-41.60843471.4081907E-46.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-44.6E-40.56931118.979214E-49.0E-5
6.41.8663811E-61.5490382E-62.0E-512.9112382.1549007E-52.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-64.0E-56.0252573.663852E-53.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.3E-41.60843471.4081907E-46.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-44.6E-40.56931118.979214E-49.0E-5
6.51.8106311E-61.4909722E-62.0E-513.4140662.1490941E-52.0E-57.759824E-66.389868E-64.0E-56.25991063.6389676E-53.0E-59.447177E-57.779436E-51.2E-41.54252831.3778968E-46.0E-59.4431615E-47.7771995E-44.1E-40.527182048.476655E-47.0E-5
6.61.2414679E-68.9974395E-70.00.08.9974395E-70.05.320566E-63.85604E-62.0E-55.1866681.3856002E-51.0E-56.477596E-54.6946367E-57.0E-51.49106317.694496E-53.0E-56.475708E-44.6937316E-42.1E-40.447405225.093544E-44.0E-5
6.71.1062215E-67.594193E-70.00.07.594193E-70.04.7409408E-63.2546504E-61.0E-53.07252653.2546504E-60.05.7719422E-53.962472E-56.0E-51.51420635.962393E-52.0E-55.770443E-43.9618355E-41.8E-40.454334884.2617167E-43.0E-5
6.81.0006736E-66.5002786E-70.00.06.5002786E-70.04.288594E-62.7858312E-61.0E-53.5895932.7858312E-60.05.221238E-53.391703E-54.0E-51.17934864.3916687E-51.0E-55.220012E-43.3912458E-41.3E-40.383339943.491212E-41.0E-5
6.99.167364E-75.6315065E-70.00.05.6315065E-70.03.9288643E-62.413501E-61.0E-54.14335872.413501E-60.04.7832873E-52.9384037E-54.0E-51.36128343.9383744E-51.0E-54.782258E-42.9380718E-41.2E-40.408431143.0380423E-41.0E-5
7.07.6987664E-74.113265E-70.00.04.113265E-70.03.2994672E-61.7628269E-61.0E-55.67270661.7628269E-60.04.0170275E-52.1462245E-53.0E-51.39780342.1462245E-50.04.0163012E-42.1460558E-47.0E-50.326179772.1460558E-40.0
7.17.1038727E-73.5210306E-70.00.03.5210306E-70.03.0445133E-61.5090123E-61.0E-56.6268511.5090123E-60.03.706632E-51.8372106E-53.0E-51.63291031.8372106E-50.03.7060137E-41.8370937E-46.0E-50.326602821.8370937E-40.0
7.22.0799602E-73.1178534E-80.00.03.1178534E-80.08.914113E-71.3362228E-70.00.01.3362228E-70.01.0852878E-51.6268501E-60.00.01.6268501E-60.01.08523476E-41.626839E-50.00.01.626839E-50.0
7.31.5048182E-71.5939106E-80.00.01.5939106E-80.06.449219E-76.8310456E-80.00.06.8310456E-80.07.851896E-68.316795E-70.00.08.316795E-70.07.851618E-58.316767E-60.00.08.316767E-60.0
7.45.9334678E-84.8638475E-90.00.04.8638475E-90.02.5429145E-72.084506E-80.00.02.084506E-80.03.095994E-62.5378858E-70.00.02.5378858E-70.03.095951E-52.5378843E-60.00.02.5378843E-60.0

Red Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1810763E-54.7590016E-51.1E-42.31140921.275862E-48.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.4E-41.17680413.039218E-41.0E-40.00217929340.00248033340.001650.665233140.0026100111.3E-40.0215804520.024544110.016860.68692650.0247294471.9E-4
6.14.1810763E-54.7590016E-51.1E-42.31140921.275862E-48.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.4E-41.17680413.039218E-41.0E-40.00217929340.00248033340.001650.665233140.0026100111.3E-40.0215804520.024544110.016860.68692650.0247294471.9E-4
6.24.1810763E-54.7590016E-51.1E-42.31140921.275862E-48.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.4E-41.17680413.039218E-41.0E-40.00217929340.00248033340.001650.665233140.0026100111.3E-40.0215804520.024544110.016860.68692650.0247294471.9E-4
6.34.1810763E-54.7590016E-51.1E-42.31140921.275862E-48.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.4E-41.17680413.039218E-41.0E-40.00217929340.00248033340.001650.665233140.0026100111.3E-40.0215804520.024544110.016860.68692650.0247294471.9E-4
6.44.1810763E-54.7590016E-51.1E-42.31140921.275862E-48.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.4E-41.17680413.039218E-41.0E-40.00217929340.00248033340.001650.665233140.0026100111.3E-40.0215804520.024544110.016860.68692650.0247294471.9E-4
6.53.154503E-53.5359757E-51.0E-42.82807371.1535693E-48.0E-51.3518598E-41.5153353E-41.6E-41.05587182.515184E-41.0E-40.00164464670.00184345180.001190.645528140.00196323051.2E-40.016325280.0182912440.012890.704708760.0184581351.7E-4
6.63.1535834E-53.5349138E-51.0E-42.82892321.1534631E-48.0E-51.3514658E-41.5148803E-41.6E-41.05618912.514729E-41.0E-40.00164416760.00184289870.001190.645721850.00196267761.2E-40.016320560.0182858050.012880.70437150.0184526971.7E-4
6.72.8267326E-53.1469353E-59.0E-52.85992531.0146715E-47.0E-51.2114006E-41.3486217E-41.5E-41.11224662.2485004E-49.0E-50.00147388240.00164079540.00110.67040660.00175061481.1E-40.0146414520.016295570.01170.717986460.0164529641.6E-4
6.82.8212884E-53.1407242E-59.0E-52.86558131.0140504E-47.0E-51.20906756E-41.3459599E-41.5E-41.11444632.2458388E-49.0E-50.00147104570.00163755950.00110.67173130.00174737941.1E-40.0146134590.0162636880.011680.71816430.0164210851.6E-4
6.92.4227871E-52.6706994E-59.0E-53.36990389.6705124E-57.0E-51.03829596E-41.1445395E-41.5E-41.31057072.0444366E-49.0E-50.00126339230.00139266219.4E-40.674966340.00150250891.1E-40.0125623360.01384703350.010330.746008160.0140048181.6E-4
7.02.348524E-52.5835778E-58.0E-53.0964818.5834225E-56.0E-51.0064714E-41.10720495E-41.3E-41.17412771.8071274E-47.0E-50.00122469010.0013472649.0E-40.66802050.00143714279.0E-50.0121796270.0133985980.010070.75157120.0135268561.3E-4
7.12.2311642E-52.4462845E-58.0E-53.27026568.4461375E-56.0E-59.561782E-51.04836974E-41.3E-41.24002051.7482963E-47.0E-50.00116352520.00127571768.7E-40.68196910.00136560279.0E-50.011574520.012691460.009610.757202150.012819811.3E-4
7.21.6533986E-51.7670362E-57.0E-53.96143567.7669305E-56.0E-57.085802E-57.572828E-51.0E-41.32051061.4572298E-47.0E-58.623549E-49.2166534E-46.8E-40.737794940.00101158239.0E-50.0085901610.0091847070.007150.778467950.0093036041.2E-4
7.31.4703092E-51.5559537E-55.0E-53.21346336.555876E-55.0E-56.301173E-56.668237E-58.0E-51.19971741.2667837E-46.0E-57.668978E-48.1161706E-45.7E-40.70230168.9155213E-48.0E-50.00764256580.0080926040.006380.78837420.0082017141.1E-4
7.46.1331984E-65.5288874E-63.0E-55.4260473.5528723E-53.0E-52.6284872E-52.3695018E-55.0E-52.11014826.369407E-54.0E-53.199713E-42.884492E-42.6E-40.90137193.3843477E-45.0E-50.00319510980.00288080240.00250.867813770.00296057188.0E-5
7.55.954766E-65.338517E-63.0E-55.61953833.533836E-53.0E-52.5520176E-52.2879161E-55.0E-52.18539486.287824E-54.0E-53.1066386E-42.785187E-42.6E-40.933513.2850477E-45.0E-50.0031022990.00278175040.002490.89511990.00286152778.0E-5
7.64.9726646E-64.315309E-62.0E-54.6346622.4315223E-52.0E-52.1311245E-51.8494053E-54.0E-52.16285754.8493497E-53.0E-52.5943352E-42.2514217E-41.8E-40.799494862.6513316E-44.0E-50.00259130840.00224917540.001880.83586190.0022990635.0E-5
7.73.3613894E-62.8526886E-62.0E-57.01092962.2852631E-52.0E-51.4405875E-51.22257525E-54.0E-53.27178224.2225387E-53.0E-51.7537741E-41.4883863E-49.0E-50.60468171.7883418E-43.0E-50.00175239080.00148741570.001160.779876050.00151737123.0E-5
7.81.1828961E-61.0122935E-62.0E-519.7571162.1012273E-52.0E-55.069545E-64.338394E-62.0E-54.6100012.4338307E-52.0E-56.171996E-55.281869E-52.0E-50.378653827.281764E-52.0E-56.170282E-45.280643E-44.8E-40.90898025.4805377E-42.0E-5
7.92.2967266E-71.861919E-70.00.01.861919E-70.09.843111E-77.97965E-70.00.07.97965E-70.01.19839215E-59.715184E-60.00.09.715184E-60.01.1983275E-49.714788E-56.0E-50.61761519.714788E-50.0

San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.986481E-40.00122759296.5E-40.52949150.00131748249.0E-50.00256311240.0052455470.002440.465156470.00537486471.3E-40.0307628460.061204910.031850.520383060.0614114442.2E-40.268354770.425934940.29460.69165490.42608422.6E-4
6.15.015945E-40.00102179864.9E-40.479546580.00110171688.0E-50.002147920.00436785960.001880.43041680.0044873351.2E-40.0258393510.051248370.024540.47884450.0514286351.9E-40.230327760.372856680.237730.63759080.372994662.2E-4
6.24.073338E-48.1073755E-44.4E-40.54271578.8068075E-47.0E-50.00174454840.00346714770.001480.426863850.00357676621.1E-40.0210340580.040933170.019780.483226720.041096211.7E-40.191507820.313033460.197570.631146550.313170852.0E-4
6.33.464099E-46.7391695E-43.6E-40.53419057.338765E-46.0E-50.00148376920.00288295930.001310.45439420.00298267111.0E-40.0179158730.0341895820.016820.491962730.0343344551.5E-40.165383590.27131660.16890.622520.271447751.8E-4
6.42.935057E-45.5442745E-43.2E-40.577172046.043997E-45.0E-50.00125727510.00237253630.001130.476283520.00246232289.0E-50.0152002480.028264510.014120.499566440.0284005531.4E-40.142015770.232985290.142110.60995270.233123351.8E-4
6.52.3409708E-44.2093755E-42.8E-40.66518184.609207E-44.0E-50.00100288750.00180196848.9E-40.493904320.00188182438.0E-50.0121419650.0215874610.010870.5035330.0217146561.3E-40.114995730.186823680.110580.5918950.186953781.6E-4
6.61.5842178E-42.506933E-41.5E-40.59834072.8068578E-43.0E-56.7877385E-40.00107394975.5E-40.512128230.00114387467.0E-50.00823280.0129955750.006410.493244830.0131041451.1E-40.079343960.123146380.066240.537896450.123269141.4E-4
6.71.5616413E-42.4605883E-41.5E-40.60961032.7605143E-43.0E-56.691031E-40.00105410695.5E-40.521768750.0011240337.0E-50.00811594350.012757440.006270.49147790.0128660371.1E-40.07825860.121173510.064980.536255840.121296551.4E-4
6.81.5538467E-42.4429744E-41.5E-40.614005572.7429013E-43.0E-56.6576427E-40.00104656455.5E-40.525528970.00111649137.0E-50.0080755960.0126668380.006220.491045950.0127754451.1E-40.077883580.1204043550.064520.5358610.12052751.4E-4
6.91.5153569E-42.3539034E-41.5E-40.63723942.6538328E-43.0E-56.49277E-40.00100842765.3E-40.52557070.0010783577.0E-50.0078763330.012209010.005950.487344980.0123176681.1E-40.076029520.116474450.061820.530760170.1165981441.4E-4
7.01.4588932E-42.2396253E-41.4E-40.625104552.539558E-43.0E-56.250901E-49.5948833E-45.2E-40.541955530.00102942127.0E-50.00758394740.0116196970.00570.490546350.0117284191.1E-40.0733028950.111320460.058830.52847430.111444871.4E-4
7.11.1565079E-41.6281738E-41.1E-40.675603571.928125E-43.0E-54.955521E-46.9760304E-44.1E-40.587726837.675542E-47.0E-50.0060166690.00846044350.004250.502337750.00856951251.1E-40.0585635380.083670460.043740.522765160.0837987441.4E-4
7.21.0393792E-41.4615769E-41.1E-40.75261181.761533E-43.0E-54.4537216E-46.2624045E-44.0E-40.638732256.961966E-47.0E-50.0054089330.00759799270.003820.502764340.00770715671.1E-40.0527915950.075619690.03940.52102830.075749111.4E-4
7.39.332884E-51.2780898E-41.1E-40.860659361.5780515E-43.0E-53.999194E-45.4763845E-43.5E-40.63910786.176001E-47.0E-50.00485815340.0066472490.003430.516002950.0067565181.1E-40.0475331020.066483260.034760.52283840.066613951.4E-4
7.48.670252E-51.17032345E-49.0E-50.76901821.4702883E-43.0E-53.715293E-45.0147134E-43.1E-40.61818095.7143625E-47.0E-50.0045139910.0060884430.003150.51737370.00619777341.1E-40.0442339370.0611516420.032030.523779870.061283081.4E-4
7.57.3036405E-59.005856E-55.0E-50.55519431.1005676E-42.0E-53.129756E-43.8590826E-42.2E-40.57008374.4588512E-46.0E-50.00380382170.00468833230.002480.528972740.00477791079.0E-50.037393670.0478777920.024610.5140170.0479825251.1E-4
7.66.3935775E-58.280385E-55.0E-50.60383671.0280219E-42.0E-52.7398168E-43.5482543E-42.1E-40.59184034.1480415E-46.0E-50.00333062540.0043114610.002350.545058850.00440107339.0E-50.0328114740.043992010.02270.516002830.044097171.1E-4
7.75.5050095E-56.6618326E-53.0E-50.450326538.6616994E-52.0E-52.3590765E-42.854759E-41.4E-40.49040923.2546447E-44.0E-50.00286839270.0034701340.001880.54176580.00352992566.0E-50.02831650.0357962140.01850.51681450.035873358.0E-5
7.85.027131E-56.162871E-53.0E-50.486786168.162747E-52.0E-52.1543067E-42.640963E-41.4E-40.530109643.0408573E-44.0E-50.00261971350.0032106350.001740.541948850.00327044246.0E-50.0258904530.033126660.016970.512276230.0332040088.0E-5
7.93.7271806E-55.022507E-52.0E-50.398207527.0224065E-52.0E-51.5972654E-42.1523255E-41.2E-40.55753652.4522608E-43.0E-50.00194293590.0026173090.001450.55400410.00264723063.0E-50.0192603620.0270674660.014130.52202890.0271063824.0E-5
8.02.7310243E-53.1427757E-50.00.03.1427757E-50.01.17038646E-41.3468343E-46.0E-50.445489081.446821E-41.0E-50.00142401410.00163853838.0E-40.488240030.0016485221.0E-50.0141492350.017213860.008590.49901650.0172236881.0E-5
8.11.7940547E-51.7399378E-50.00.01.7399378E-50.07.688579E-57.456663E-54.0E-50.5364338.456589E-51.0E-59.3568244E-49.074711E-44.1E-40.4518059.1746205E-41.0E-50.0093175250.0097986360.004870.497007970.0098085381.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-60.00.05.473668E-60.03.704486E-52.3458366E-51.0E-50.426287143.345813E-51.0E-54.5092785E-42.8556827E-41.5E-40.525268442.955654E-41.0E-50.00450013950.00324817930.001710.52644870.0032581471.0E-5
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-70.00.07.6564595E-70.08.498917E-63.281336E-60.00.03.281336E-60.01.034694E-43.9949547E-51.0E-50.250315733.9949547E-50.00.00103421244.717979E-42.0E-40.423910324.717979E-40.0

San Jacinto (San Bernardino)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.409352E-53.598562E-58.0E-52.22311029.598346E-56.0E-51.461069E-41.5421498E-41.7E-41.10235732.442011E-49.0E-50.00177740.00187595210.001280.68232020.00202567061.5E-40.017632510.0193499920.010790.557622970.0195853492.4E-4
6.13.409352E-53.598562E-58.0E-52.22311029.598346E-56.0E-51.461069E-41.5421498E-41.7E-41.10235732.442011E-49.0E-50.00177740.00187595210.001280.68232020.00202567061.5E-40.017632510.0193499920.010790.557622970.0195853492.4E-4
6.23.409352E-53.598562E-58.0E-52.22311029.598346E-56.0E-51.461069E-41.5421498E-41.7E-41.10235732.442011E-49.0E-50.00177740.00187595210.001280.68232020.00202567061.5E-40.017632510.0193499920.010790.557622970.0195853492.4E-4
6.33.409352E-53.598562E-58.0E-52.22311029.598346E-56.0E-51.461069E-41.5421498E-41.7E-41.10235732.442011E-49.0E-50.00177740.00187595210.001280.68232020.00202567061.5E-40.017632510.0193499920.010790.557622970.0195853492.4E-4
6.43.400795E-53.5878285E-58.0E-52.22976119.587613E-56.0E-51.4574021E-41.5375503E-41.7E-41.1056552.4374119E-49.0E-50.00177294280.00187036190.001270.6790130.00202008131.5E-40.0175886450.0192950740.010760.55765530.0195304432.4E-4
6.53.341482E-53.5138914E-58.0E-52.2766789.5136806E-56.0E-51.4319851E-41.5058667E-41.7E-41.1289182.405731E-49.0E-50.00174204770.00183185220.001210.66053360.00198157761.5E-40.0172845460.0189166160.010370.54819530.0191520752.4E-4
6.63.3364955E-53.5076133E-58.0E-52.28075319.507403E-56.0E-51.4298483E-41.5031763E-41.7E-41.13093852.403041E-49.0E-50.00173945010.00182858230.001210.66171480.0019783081.5E-40.0172589760.018884480.010350.548069060.0191199482.4E-4
6.73.335922E-53.5065907E-58.0E-52.28141839.5063806E-56.0E-51.4296026E-41.5027382E-41.7E-41.13126832.4026028E-49.0E-50.00173915140.00182804970.00120.65643730.00197777551.5E-40.0172560350.0188792720.010340.547690630.019114742.4E-4
6.83.327683E-53.4959972E-58.0E-52.28833139.4957875E-56.0E-51.4260718E-41.4981985E-41.7E-41.1346962.3980637E-49.0E-50.00173485970.0018225320.00120.65842460.00197225881.5E-40.0172137840.0188250450.010270.545549870.0190605262.4E-4
6.93.3235785E-53.4900928E-58.0E-52.29220279.489883E-56.0E-51.4243131E-41.4956683E-41.7E-41.13661562.3955337E-49.0E-50.00173272170.00181945670.001190.65404140.00196918381.5E-40.0171927340.0187949110.010250.54536040.01903042.4E-4
7.03.3197095E-53.4840854E-58.0E-52.2961559.483877E-56.0E-51.422655E-41.4930942E-41.7E-41.13857522.3929597E-49.0E-50.00173070630.00181632780.001190.655168060.00196605551.5E-40.0171728940.018764290.010220.544651570.0189997852.4E-4
7.13.3129716E-53.4721066E-58.0E-52.3040779.4718984E-56.0E-51.4197677E-41.4879608E-41.7E-41.14250312.387827E-49.0E-50.00172719660.00181008840.001190.65742640.0019598171.5E-40.0171383380.0187033660.010180.54428710.0189388772.4E-4
7.23.3034008E-53.4588513E-58.0E-52.31290679.458644E-56.0E-51.4156665E-41.4822806E-41.7E-41.14688132.3821472E-49.0E-50.00172221110.00180318430.001190.659943640.00195291381.5E-40.0170892530.018635750.010140.54411550.0188712782.4E-4
7.33.2956614E-53.4456265E-58.0E-52.32178389.44542E-56.0E-51.4123498E-41.4766137E-41.7E-41.15128292.3764807E-49.0E-50.00171817960.00179629610.001190.66247430.00194602671.5E-40.0170495570.0185684950.01010.5439320.018804042.4E-4
7.43.2915937E-53.4377957E-58.0E-52.32707249.437589E-56.0E-51.4106068E-41.473258E-41.7E-41.15390522.3731253E-49.0E-50.00171606080.00179221730.001190.6639820.00194194841.5E-40.0170286930.0185287690.010090.54455860.0187643232.4E-4
7.53.281791E-53.424287E-58.0E-52.33625279.4240815E-56.0E-51.406406E-41.4674691E-41.7E-41.15845722.367337E-49.0E-50.00171095420.00178518090.001170.655395750.0019249311.4E-40.0169784110.0184596520.010050.54443060.0186854062.3E-4
7.63.2521442E-53.396782E-58.0E-52.35517029.3965784E-56.0E-51.3937015E-41.4556825E-41.7E-41.1678372.3555516E-49.0E-50.00169551090.00177085420.001160.65505110.00191060631.4E-40.0168263280.0183172950.009970.544294360.0185430812.3E-4
7.73.0287873E-53.245191E-57.0E-52.15703779.244996E-56.0E-51.297987E-41.3907222E-41.6E-41.15048152.2905969E-49.0E-50.00157915370.00169189030.001060.62651820.00183165341.4E-40.015679790.0175281990.009390.53570820.0177541672.3E-4
7.82.6316151E-52.9662837E-57.0E-52.35985528.966106E-56.0E-51.1277862E-41.2712025E-41.5E-41.1799852.1710881E-49.0E-50.00137221490.00154659139.8E-40.633651550.00168637481.4E-40.0136377240.0160698780.008570.53329590.0162961822.3E-4
7.92.0761147E-52.3417291E-55.0E-52.13517436.341635E-54.0E-58.897331E-51.0035596E-41.3E-41.29538891.7034894E-47.0E-50.00108271170.00122114987.7E-40.630553250.00133101551.1E-40.0107745170.0127932720.006680.52214950.0129907132.0E-4
8.01.5738568E-51.6032505E-53.0E-51.87119854.6032026E-53.0E-56.744926E-56.8708934E-58.0E-51.16433191.18705495E-45.0E-58.2088535E-48.3621085E-45.0E-40.59793539.2613563E-49.0E-50.0081785960.0088657410.004510.50869970.0089747651.1E-4
8.11.0105832E-58.329479E-62.0E-52.40111062.8329312E-52.0E-54.3309992E-53.569728E-55.0E-51.4006676.569621E-53.0E-55.2717153E-44.3452822E-42.3E-40.52930974.7451083E-44.0E-50.0052592270.00467687940.00220.470399140.00472664555.0E-5
8.24.189207E-61.577699E-60.00.01.577699E-60.01.7953622E-56.7615497E-60.00.06.7615497E-60.02.1856341E-48.231879E-52.0E-50.24295798.231879E-50.00.00218348589.562628E-44.9E-40.51241159.562628E-40.0
8.31.2758221E-63.612677E-70.00.03.612677E-70.05.4677976E-61.5482892E-60.00.01.5482892E-60.06.65684E-51.8850264E-50.00.01.8850264E-50.06.6548464E-42.2739546E-41.0E-40.43976252.2739546E-40.0

Santa Ynez (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2269712E-53.6750775E-51.0E-42.72103121.367471E-41.0E-41.3829143E-41.5749714E-41.7E-41.07938472.674798E-41.1E-40.00168239790.00191642530.001480.772271160.00209608051.8E-40.0166971780.0190564380.014090.73938270.0192722452.2E-4
6.13.2269712E-53.6750775E-51.0E-42.72103121.367471E-41.0E-41.3829143E-41.5749714E-41.7E-41.07938472.674798E-41.1E-40.00168239790.00191642530.001480.772271160.00209608051.8E-40.0166971780.0190564380.014090.73938270.0192722452.2E-4
6.23.2269712E-53.6750775E-51.0E-42.72103121.367471E-41.0E-41.3829143E-41.5749714E-41.7E-41.07938472.674798E-41.1E-40.00168239790.00191642530.001480.772271160.00209608051.8E-40.0166971780.0190564380.014090.73938270.0192722452.2E-4
6.33.2269712E-53.6750775E-51.0E-42.72103121.367471E-41.0E-41.3829143E-41.5749714E-41.7E-41.07938472.674798E-41.1E-40.00168239790.00191642530.001480.772271160.00209608051.8E-40.0166971780.0190564380.014090.73938270.0192722452.2E-4
6.41.4404779E-51.48492945E-56.0E-54.0405967.48484E-56.0E-56.1733306E-56.363831E-58.0E-51.25710441.2363448E-46.0E-57.513438E-47.7452604E-45.1E-40.65846728.6445635E-49.0E-50.00748808540.0077188170.005610.72679530.0078180451.0E-4
6.51.4404779E-51.48492945E-56.0E-54.0405967.48484E-56.0E-56.1733306E-56.363831E-58.0E-51.25710441.2363448E-46.0E-57.513438E-47.7452604E-45.1E-40.65846728.6445635E-49.0E-50.00748808540.0077188170.005610.72679530.0078180451.0E-4
6.61.280208E-51.301186E-56.0E-54.6111787.301108E-56.0E-55.4864904E-55.5763932E-58.0E-51.43461911.1576059E-46.0E-56.6777546E-46.7871617E-45.0E-40.7366857.6865504E-49.0E-50.0066577240.00676664340.004980.735963170.00686596661.0E-4
6.71.2457027E-51.262838E-56.0E-54.7512037.262762E-56.0E-55.3386164E-55.4120515E-58.0E-51.47818261.1411727E-46.0E-56.497827E-46.5871974E-44.8E-40.72868627.486605E-49.0E-50.006478860.006567870.004830.73539830.0066672131.0E-4
6.81.2095134E-51.2230827E-56.0E-54.90563737.223009E-56.0E-55.1835254E-55.2416784E-58.0E-51.52622871.1241364E-46.0E-56.309115E-46.3798914E-44.6E-40.721015457.279317E-49.0E-50.00629123250.0063617640.004690.737216950.00646112771.0E-4
6.91.1104036E-51.115726E-56.0E-55.37766467.115659E-56.0E-54.758786E-54.781596E-58.0E-51.67308161.0781309E-46.0E-55.7922816E-45.82005E-44.3E-40.73882526.619585E-48.0E-50.0057772070.00580495360.004340.747637330.00589443149.0E-5
7.01.0577444E-51.05815925E-56.0E-55.67022377.058096E-56.0E-54.5331115E-54.53489E-58.0E-51.76410011.0534618E-46.0E-55.5176654E-45.5198424E-44.3E-40.77900786.319401E-48.0E-50.00550398560.005506270.004070.73915730.00559577449.0E-5
7.11.0021775E-59.9809E-65.0E-55.0095685.99804E-55.0E-54.294976E-54.277459E-57.0E-51.63648569.2772454E-55.0E-55.2278786E-45.206574E-44.0E-40.76825955.9062097E-47.0E-50.00521559640.0051945080.003830.737317140.0052740938.0E-5
7.28.874109E-68.748706E-65.0E-55.7151315.874827E-55.0E-53.8031343E-53.7493923E-56.0E-51.60025938.749205E-55.0E-54.629332E-44.56394E-43.3E-40.72305955.2636204E-47.0E-50.00461970.00455468470.003330.731115340.00463432078.0E-5
7.37.5504267E-67.5050243E-65.0E-56.6622045.750465E-55.0E-53.235857E-53.2164E-56.0E-51.86543978.216239E-55.0E-53.9389438E-43.9152734E-42.8E-40.715148034.6149993E-47.0E-50.00393196940.00390848240.002870.73430040.00398816968.0E-5
7.46.309394E-66.183062E-63.0E-54.8519653.6182875E-53.0E-52.703998E-52.6498574E-54.0E-51.50951525.6497778E-53.0E-53.2916202E-43.2257332E-41.9E-40.589013343.6256041E-44.0E-50.0032867490.00322114840.002440.757493850.00327098725.0E-5
7.54.6103073E-64.4408016E-62.0E-54.5036912.4440713E-52.0E-51.975831E-51.9031871E-53.0E-51.57630313.9031493E-52.0E-52.4053088E-42.316891E-41.4E-40.604258062.5168445E-42.0E-50.0024027070.0023145450.001860.803613660.00234447563.0E-5
7.61.2858658E-61.3008196E-60.00.01.3008196E-60.05.5108417E-65.574929E-61.0E-51.79374475.574929E-60.06.7092435E-56.787272E-55.0E-50.7366736.787272E-50.06.707218E-46.7852676E-44.5E-40.66320156.7852676E-40.0
7.75.3302307E-75.612138E-70.00.05.612138E-70.02.2843826E-62.4052001E-61.0E-54.1576582.4052001E-60.02.7812002E-52.9282955E-51.0E-50.341495572.9282955E-50.02.7808524E-42.9279455E-42.2E-40.751380152.9279455E-40.0
7.84.613933E-84.80301E-80.00.04.80301E-80.01.9773998E-72.0584326E-70.00.02.0584326E-70.02.4074816E-62.5061388E-60.00.02.5061388E-60.02.4074554E-52.5061116E-53.0E-51.19707362.5061116E-50.0

San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.2E-45.10616731.3349841E-41.1E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-41.9E-41.88651782.5069955E-41.5E-47.02142E-40.00122551467.3E-40.595668140.0014052941.8E-40.00699927660.0122287440.006520.533170040.0124361762.1E-4
6.11.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.2E-45.10616731.3349841E-41.1E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-41.9E-41.88651782.5069955E-41.5E-47.02142E-40.00122551467.3E-40.595668140.0014052941.8E-40.00699927660.0122287440.006520.533170040.0124361762.1E-4
6.21.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.2E-45.10616731.3349841E-41.1E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-41.9E-41.88651782.5069955E-41.5E-47.02142E-40.00122551467.3E-40.595668140.0014052941.8E-40.00699927660.0122287440.006520.533170040.0124361762.1E-4
6.31.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.2E-45.10616731.3349841E-41.1E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-41.9E-41.88651782.5069955E-41.5E-47.02142E-40.00122551467.3E-40.595668140.0014052941.8E-40.00699927660.0122287440.006520.533170040.0124361762.1E-4
6.41.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.2E-45.10616731.3349841E-41.1E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-41.9E-41.88651782.5069955E-41.5E-47.02142E-40.00122551467.3E-40.595668140.0014052941.8E-40.00699927660.0122287440.006520.533170040.0124361762.1E-4
6.51.3450706E-52.348995E-51.2E-45.1085671.3348737E-41.1E-45.764461E-51.00667356E-41.9E-41.88740432.5065226E-41.5E-47.0159714E-40.00122493927.3E-40.59594790.00140471871.8E-40.0069938620.0122230540.006510.53260010.0124304872.1E-4
6.61.3074523E-52.3104236E-51.2E-45.1938531.331017E-41.1E-45.6032466E-59.901441E-51.9E-41.91891252.4899957E-41.5E-46.8198174E-40.0012048377.1E-40.589291330.00138462021.8E-40.0067989260.0120242190.006280.522279260.0122316952.1E-4
6.71.3050216E-52.3079532E-51.2E-45.1994121.3307699E-41.1E-45.59283E-59.890855E-51.9E-41.92096642.4889372E-41.5E-46.8071426E-40.00120354967.1E-40.589921650.0013833331.8E-40.00678632870.0120114840.006250.52033540.01221896152.1E-4
6.81.29049395E-52.2927941E-51.1E-44.797641.2292564E-41.0E-45.530571E-59.825892E-51.8E-41.83189482.3824516E-41.4E-46.73139E-40.0011956497.0E-40.58545610.00136544581.7E-40.00671103640.0119333290.006190.51871530.0121309422.0E-4
6.91.2867369E-52.2887343E-51.1E-44.806151.2288506E-41.0E-45.51447E-59.808494E-51.8E-41.8351442.3807121E-41.4E-46.711799E-40.00119353327.0E-40.586493970.00136333031.7E-40.0066915640.0119123970.006170.51794780.0121100152.0E-4
7.01.2495996E-52.2287419E-51.1E-44.93551971.2228519E-41.0E-45.3553173E-59.551403E-51.8E-41.88453982.3550066E-41.4E-46.518148E-40.00116226586.8E-40.58506410.00133206821.7E-40.00649906230.0116030.005910.5093510.0118006792.0E-4
7.11.2452067E-52.2232492E-51.1E-44.94771341.2223027E-41.0E-45.3364907E-59.527864E-51.8E-41.88919572.3526531E-41.4E-46.4952404E-40.0011594036.8E-40.586508750.00132920591.7E-40.00647628870.0115746710.005880.50800580.0117723562.0E-4
7.21.2002777E-52.1611015E-51.0E-44.627271.1160907E-49.0E-55.143946E-59.261536E-51.7E-41.83554862.2260332E-41.3E-46.2609545E-40.00112701146.7E-40.59449270.00128683111.6E-40.0062433440.0112540580.005680.504706860.011441921.9E-4
7.31.1923425E-52.1480853E-51.0E-44.65530821.1147892E-49.0E-55.109939E-59.205757E-51.7E-41.84667052.2204561E-41.3E-46.219575E-40.00112022736.6E-40.589166160.0012800481.6E-40.00620219620.0111869450.005650.5050530.0113748191.9E-4
7.41.16105175E-52.0854808E-51.0E-44.79505731.1085293E-49.0E-54.975841E-58.93747E-51.7E-41.90210432.1936308E-41.3E-46.0564023E-40.00108759636.5E-40.59764820.00124742231.6E-40.0060399230.0108644090.005550.51084230.0110424531.8E-4
7.51.1037265E-51.9554842E-51.0E-45.1138231.0955308E-49.0E-54.7301706E-58.380379E-51.7E-42.0285482.137929E-41.3E-45.757461E-40.00101983576.3E-40.617746530.00117967251.6E-40.0057425670.0101955270.005310.52081660.0103736921.8E-4
7.61.0720915E-51.8996727E-51.0E-45.26406431.0899502E-49.0E-54.5945973E-58.141202E-51.7E-42.08814382.1140144E-41.3E-45.592486E-49.907428E-46.3E-40.635886550.00115058431.6E-40.0055784330.0099072380.005180.522850040.0100854551.8E-4
7.79.276279E-61.6442464E-51.0E-46.08181331.0644098E-49.0E-53.9754876E-57.046581E-51.7E-42.41251752.0045665E-41.3E-44.839081E-48.5758517E-45.9E-40.68797830.0010174481.6E-40.00482855740.0085865760.004460.519415440.0087650311.8E-4
7.85.8346777E-61.11555855E-59.0E-58.0677081.0115458E-49.0E-52.5005522E-54.7808775E-51.4E-42.92833261.7780256E-41.3E-43.043997E-45.819165E-44.9E-40.84204527.418234E-41.6E-40.00303983080.00584733350.003270.55922930.00602628061.8E-4
7.94.690204E-68.509473E-69.0E-510.57644759.850871E-59.0E-52.0100719E-53.6468664E-51.4E-43.83891221.6646393E-41.3E-42.4469878E-44.439156E-44.2E-40.946125756.038446E-41.6E-40.0024442950.0044711650.002540.56808460.004650361.8E-4
8.02.9570454E-64.8470656E-65.0E-510.3155195.4846823E-55.0E-51.267299E-52.0772974E-57.0E-53.36976318.077173E-56.0E-51.5428272E-42.5288164E-42.5E-40.988604843.328614E-48.0E-50.00154175660.0025499320.001570.61570260.00262972838.0E-5
8.11.6376824E-62.1968672E-60.00.02.1968672E-60.07.01862E-69.415111E-60.00.09.415111E-60.08.544835E-51.1462297E-49.0E-50.785182951.2462182E-41.0E-58.54155E-40.00116074456.3E-40.54275510.00117073281.0E-5
8.26.9631557E-74.535001E-70.00.04.535001E-70.02.984206E-61.9435704E-60.00.01.9435704E-60.03.63321E-52.3662713E-53.0E-51.26781742.3662713E-50.03.6326164E-42.4510184E-41.4E-40.57119122.4510184E-40.0
8.31.7876137E-78.357368E-80.00.08.357368E-80.07.661199E-73.5817288E-70.00.03.5817288E-70.09.32747E-64.3607465E-60.00.04.3607465E-60.09.3270784E-54.5800018E-51.0E-50.218340524.5800018E-50.0

Cleghorn Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0522846E-51.1040642E-58.0E-57.24595559.103976E-58.0E-54.509713E-54.7316473E-51.4E-42.95880031.4731174E-41.0E-45.4891926E-45.759784E-48.4E-41.45838797.158978E-41.4E-40.00547565330.0057500220.005931.03130040.00593892951.9E-4
6.11.0522846E-51.1040642E-58.0E-57.24595559.103976E-58.0E-54.509713E-54.7316473E-51.4E-42.95880031.4731174E-41.0E-45.4891926E-45.759784E-48.4E-41.45838797.158978E-41.4E-40.00547565330.0057500220.005931.03130040.00593892951.9E-4
6.22.1045846E-62.2082024E-60.00.02.2082024E-60.09.019617E-69.463714E-60.00.09.463714E-60.01.098083E-41.1521882E-41.7E-41.47545341.2521767E-41.0E-50.00109754060.00115200230.001441.24999750.00117197922.0E-5
6.32.1045846E-62.2082024E-60.00.02.2082024E-60.09.019617E-69.463714E-60.00.09.463714E-60.01.098083E-41.1521882E-41.7E-41.47545341.2521767E-41.0E-50.00109754060.00115200230.001441.24999750.00117197922.0E-5
6.41.7259927E-61.810877E-60.00.01.810877E-60.07.3970905E-67.760902E-60.00.07.760902E-60.09.005586E-59.4488976E-51.2E-41.26998941.04488034E-41.0E-59.001937E-49.448898E-40.001151.21707329.548803E-41.0E-5

Cleghorn Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5467183E-51.6794203E-55.0E-52.97721775.679353E-54.0E-56.6286244E-57.197348E-57.0E-50.972580431.3196917E-46.0E-58.067362E-48.759797E-47.1E-40.810521079.958746E-41.2E-40.0080381370.0087306960.006710.76855270.0089091241.8E-4
6.11.5467183E-51.6794203E-55.0E-52.97721775.679353E-54.0E-56.6286244E-57.197348E-57.0E-50.972580431.3196917E-46.0E-58.067362E-48.759797E-47.1E-40.810521079.958746E-41.2E-40.0080381370.0087306960.006710.76855270.0089091241.8E-4
6.21.2624631E-51.3681544E-54.0E-52.92364654.3681135E-53.0E-55.410444E-55.863415E-56.0E-51.02329441.0863122E-45.0E-56.585225E-47.1368564E-46.4E-40.89675348.236071E-41.1E-40.00656574450.00711873170.005510.77401430.00726766371.5E-4
6.31.2624631E-51.3681544E-54.0E-52.92364654.3681135E-53.0E-55.410444E-55.863415E-56.0E-51.02329441.0863122E-45.0E-56.585225E-47.1368564E-46.4E-40.89675348.236071E-41.1E-40.00656574450.00711873170.005510.77401430.00726766371.5E-4
6.49.417684E-61.0170118E-53.0E-52.94981843.0169915E-52.0E-54.036088E-54.3585722E-54.0E-50.917731767.3584415E-53.0E-54.912829E-45.3056807E-44.6E-40.86699536.105256E-48.0E-50.0049019820.0052970490.003990.75324960.00541641331.2E-4
6.59.368219E-61.0117545E-53.0E-52.96514633.0117342E-52.0E-54.014889E-54.3360415E-54.0E-50.92250047.3359115E-53.0E-54.8870314E-45.2782625E-44.5E-40.852553256.07784E-48.0E-50.0048762980.00526976170.003970.75335480.00538912931.2E-4
6.67.803798E-68.441831E-62.0E-52.36915422.8441662E-52.0E-53.3444423E-53.6179E-53.0E-50.829210346.617791E-53.0E-54.0710976E-44.4043022E-43.9E-40.885497875.004038E-46.0E-50.00406364720.00439949050.003320.754632830.00448909459.0E-5
6.72.3108669E-62.4438336E-60.00.02.4438336E-60.09.903678E-61.0473532E-50.00.01.0473532E-50.01.205706E-41.2750797E-41.1E-40.862691161.375067E-41.0E-50.0012050520.00127436679.5E-40.745468260.0012843541.0E-5
6.82.0882828E-62.2062823E-60.00.02.2062823E-60.08.949753E-69.455462E-60.00.09.455462E-60.01.08957785E-41.1511434E-41.1E-40.95557171.2511319E-41.0E-50.00108904380.00115056398.9E-40.77353370.00116055241.0E-5
6.91.876935E-61.981051E-60.00.01.981051E-60.08.043982E-68.490192E-60.00.08.490192E-60.09.7931086E-51.03363345E-41.1E-41.06420711.1336231E-41.0E-59.788794E-40.00103316867.9E-40.7646380.00104315841.0E-5
7.01.5357559E-61.6202807E-60.00.01.6202807E-60.06.5817944E-66.9440425E-60.00.06.9440425E-60.08.01304E-58.454057E-58.0E-50.94629138.454057E-50.08.010151E-48.450965E-45.5E-40.65081338.450965E-40.0
7.11.0905424E-61.1497619E-60.00.01.1497619E-60.04.6737446E-64.9275427E-60.00.04.9275427E-60.05.6901354E-55.999128E-56.0E-51.00014545.999128E-50.05.6886784E-45.997606E-44.2E-40.70027945.997606E-40.0
7.26.06668E-76.387277E-70.00.06.387277E-70.02.600003E-62.7374022E-60.00.02.7374022E-60.03.1654577E-53.3327433E-54.0E-51.20021253.3327433E-50.03.1650066E-43.3323118E-42.3E-40.690211533.3323118E-40.0

Santa Rosa Island

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1143165E-54.709113E-51.0E-42.12354231.1708783E-47.0E-51.7631594E-42.0180462E-42.5E-41.2388223.0178443E-41.0E-40.0021445330.00245439910.001720.700782540.00259405541.4E-40.0212395530.0242935570.018340.75493270.0244594271.7E-4
6.12.1061249E-52.3864959E-53.0E-51.25707323.3864722E-51.0E-59.0259375E-51.0227455E-49.0E-50.87998431.3227148E-43.0E-50.00109835390.00124451037.9E-40.63478780.0012744733.0E-50.010929410.012378450.007840.63335880.0124179544.0E-5
6.22.1061249E-52.3864959E-53.0E-51.25707323.3864722E-51.0E-59.0259375E-51.0227455E-49.0E-50.87998431.3227148E-43.0E-50.00109835390.00124451037.9E-40.63478780.0012744733.0E-50.010929410.012378450.007840.63335880.0124179544.0E-5
6.31.5158236E-51.7074419E-53.0E-51.75701442.7074248E-51.0E-56.496225E-57.3174095E-58.0E-51.0932831.031719E-43.0E-57.906284E-48.9054246E-45.8E-40.651288459.2051574E-43.0E-50.0078782140.008870990.005520.6222530.00891063554.0E-5
6.41.2341918E-51.3852917E-52.0E-51.44373932.3852777E-51.0E-55.2892858E-55.9368336E-57.0E-51.17907978.936656E-53.0E-56.437803E-47.225779E-44.6E-40.636609557.5255625E-43.0E-50.0064191840.00720312170.004510.62611740.00724283374.0E-5
6.59.061158E-61.0117032E-52.0E-51.97686452.011693E-51.0E-53.883296E-54.3358017E-55.0E-51.15318937.3356714E-53.0E-54.726887E-45.277613E-43.5E-40.663178565.5774546E-43.0E-50.0047168450.00526561770.003380.64190.0053054074.0E-5
6.67.5461685E-68.400734E-62.0E-52.38074451.840065E-51.0E-53.2340322E-53.600267E-55.0E-51.38878586.6001594E-53.0E-53.936723E-44.3824868E-42.9E-40.661724754.6823552E-43.0E-50.0039297560.00437427360.002830.646964550.0044140994.0E-5
6.75.5023775E-66.087381E-61.0E-51.64274266.087381E-60.02.3581404E-52.6088532E-54.0E-51.53324074.608801E-52.0E-52.8706578E-43.1758484E-42.5E-40.78719123.3757847E-42.0E-50.00286695220.00317163160.002090.658966840.00320153643.0E-5
6.83.7351679E-64.0831405E-61.0E-52.44909524.0831405E-60.01.6007763E-51.7499071E-53.0E-51.71437682.7498896E-51.0E-51.948771E-42.1303285E-41.7E-40.7979992.2303071E-41.0E-50.00194706290.00212853150.001390.653032360.0021484892.0E-5
6.92.456366E-62.6292707E-61.0E-53.80333612.6292707E-60.01.0527241E-51.1268255E-53.0E-52.66234662.1268143E-51.0E-51.2816161E-41.3718239E-49.0E-50.65606091.4718101E-41.0E-50.00128087730.00137097999.5E-40.6929350.00139095262.0E-5
7.02.3245157E-62.4827784E-61.0E-54.02774572.4827784E-60.09.962172E-61.0640436E-53.0E-52.81943352.064033E-51.0E-51.2128269E-41.2953962E-48.0E-50.617571651.3953833E-41.0E-50.00121216520.00129464348.7E-40.67199970.00131461752.0E-5
7.12.2248344E-62.37325E-61.0E-54.21363072.37325E-60.09.53497E-61.0171032E-53.0E-52.9495532.017093E-51.0E-51.1608207E-41.238253E-48.0E-50.646071551.3382405E-41.0E-50.00116021440.00123756518.6E-40.694912970.00125754032.0E-5
7.22.1350402E-62.2761542E-61.0E-54.3933762.2761542E-60.09.150141E-69.75491E-63.0E-53.07537441.9754812E-51.0E-51.1139726E-41.1875957E-48.0E-50.673629941.2875839E-41.0E-50.00111341440.00118696298.0E-40.6739890.00120693922.0E-5
7.31.9793572E-62.1087192E-61.0E-54.7422152.1087192E-60.08.482932E-69.037337E-63.0E-53.3195621.9037247E-51.0E-51.032748E-41.1002403E-48.0E-50.727113841.2002294E-41.0E-50.00103226820.00109969747.6E-40.691099170.00111967552.0E-5
7.41.6951194E-61.8045735E-61.0E-55.5414761.8045735E-60.07.264777E-67.733864E-62.0E-52.58602951.7733786E-51.0E-58.844508E-59.415574E-57.0E-50.743449151.04154795E-41.0E-58.840988E-49.411601E-46.6E-40.70126229.6114125E-42.0E-5
7.58.987207E-79.512216E-70.00.09.512216E-70.03.8516546E-64.0766577E-60.00.04.0766577E-60.04.6892885E-54.9632188E-52.0E-50.40296434.9632188E-50.04.688299E-44.962122E-43.0E-40.604580045.0620723E-41.0E-5
7.63.8783037E-74.0529335E-70.00.04.0529335E-70.01.6621291E-61.7369704E-60.00.01.7369704E-60.02.0236233E-52.1147416E-50.00.02.1147416E-50.02.023439E-42.114547E-41.5E-40.709371862.2145257E-41.0E-5
7.76.181804E-86.339047E-80.00.06.339047E-80.02.6493444E-72.7167343E-70.00.02.7167343E-70.03.225572E-63.307619E-60.00.03.307619E-60.03.225525E-53.3075703E-53.0E-50.90701023.3075703E-50.0
7.81.3704449E-91.3964153E-90.00.01.3964153E-90.05.873335E-95.984637E-90.00.05.984637E-90.07.1507856E-87.286295E-80.00.07.286295E-80.07.1507833E-77.286294E-70.00.07.286294E-70.0

Independence rev 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.422171E-64.3262253E-67.0E-516.1803877.432592E-57.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-51.2E-46.47219471.08539185E-49.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-42.3E-41.01898663.3568963E-41.1E-40.00230477080.00225514570.001240.54985360.00242476241.7E-4
6.14.422171E-64.3262253E-67.0E-516.1803877.432592E-57.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-51.2E-46.47219471.08539185E-49.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-42.3E-41.01898663.3568963E-41.1E-40.00230477080.00225514570.001240.54985360.00242476241.7E-4
6.24.422171E-64.3262253E-67.0E-516.1803877.432592E-57.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-51.2E-46.47219471.08539185E-49.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-42.3E-41.01898663.3568963E-41.1E-40.00230477080.00225514570.001240.54985360.00242476241.7E-4
6.34.422171E-64.3262253E-67.0E-516.1803877.432592E-57.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-51.2E-46.47219471.08539185E-49.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-42.3E-41.01898663.3568963E-41.1E-40.00230477080.00225514570.001240.54985360.00242476241.7E-4
6.44.422171E-64.3262253E-67.0E-516.1803877.432592E-57.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-51.2E-46.47219471.08539185E-49.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-42.3E-41.01898663.3568963E-41.1E-40.00230477080.00225514570.001240.54985360.00242476241.7E-4
6.54.422171E-64.3262253E-67.0E-516.1803877.432592E-57.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-51.2E-46.47219471.08539185E-49.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-42.3E-41.01898663.3568963E-41.1E-40.00230477080.00225514570.001240.54985360.00242476241.7E-4
6.62.663744E-62.5319846E-67.0E-527.6462977.253181E-57.0E-51.1415996E-51.08513195E-51.0E-49.2154681.00850346E-49.0E-51.3898089E-41.321073E-41.8E-41.36252882.4209276E-41.1E-40.00138893990.00132033597.7E-40.58318490.00149011151.7E-4
6.72.663744E-62.5319846E-67.0E-527.6462977.253181E-57.0E-51.1415996E-51.08513195E-51.0E-49.2154681.00850346E-49.0E-51.3898089E-41.321073E-41.8E-41.36252882.4209276E-41.1E-40.00138893990.00132033597.7E-40.58318490.00149011151.7E-4
6.81.9716529E-61.8322567E-67.0E-538.2042547.183213E-57.0E-58.449913E-67.852505E-61.0E-412.7347899.78518E-59.0E-51.0287284E-49.560019E-51.6E-41.67363682.0558968E-41.1E-40.00102825239.5560355E-45.8E-40.60694630.0011254411.7E-4
6.91.8788617E-61.7429976E-67.0E-540.1606987.174288E-57.0E-58.0522395E-67.4699688E-69.0E-512.0482439.7469296E-59.0E-59.80316E-59.09432E-51.5E-41.64938122.009332E-41.1E-49.798837E-49.090718E-45.7E-40.627013150.00107891731.7E-4
7.01.5045488E-61.3849498E-67.0E-550.543357.138485E-57.0E-56.44805E-65.9354857E-69.0E-515.1630399.593495E-59.0E-57.8502184E-57.226219E-51.4E-41.93738941.8225424E-41.1E-47.8474457E-47.223921E-44.9E-40.6783028.922693E-41.7E-4
7.11.272341E-61.1625089E-67.0E-560.2145967.116243E-57.0E-55.4528787E-64.9821715E-69.0E-518.0644139.4981726E-59.0E-56.6386776E-56.0656283E-51.4E-42.30808731.7064961E-41.1E-46.636695E-46.064005E-44.5E-40.742083857.7629735E-41.7E-4
7.21.0416892E-69.409871E-76.0E-563.762836.094093E-56.0E-54.464375E-64.032796E-68.0E-519.8373558.403247E-58.0E-55.4352407E-54.9098202E-51.3E-42.6477551.4909329E-41.0E-45.4339116E-44.908754E-43.9E-40.7944996.5079686E-41.6E-4
7.37.9450155E-77.2350036E-76.0E-582.930166.0723458E-56.0E-53.4050022E-63.1007123E-68.0E-525.8005248.3100465E-58.0E-54.1455114E-53.7750528E-51.2E-43.17876341.3774676E-41.0E-44.144738E-43.7744228E-43.0E-40.79482355.273857E-41.5E-4
7.45.3893444E-75.0195166E-76.0E-5119.5334246.0501923E-56.0E-52.309717E-62.1512196E-68.0E-537.1882068.215105E-58.0E-52.8120441E-52.6190788E-51.2E-44.58176371.2618817E-41.0E-42.8116882E-42.6187746E-42.5E-40.95464494.1183818E-41.5E-4
7.53.8852085E-73.6825622E-76.0E-5162.930046.0368235E-56.0E-51.6650882E-61.57824E-68.0E-550.6893738.157812E-58.0E-52.027226E-51.9214905E-51.1E-45.72472241.19212986E-41.0E-42.0270412E-41.9213265E-42.3E-41.19708963.4210383E-41.5E-4
7.62.414929E-72.3457605E-73.0E-5127.89033.0234569E-53.0E-51.0349692E-61.0053255E-64.0E-539.7881054.1005285E-54.0E-51.2600677E-51.2239771E-56.0E-54.90205246.223916E-55.0E-51.2599962E-41.223911E-41.3E-41.06216882.2237885E-41.0E-4
7.76.8298014E-86.8589785E-80.00.06.8589785E-80.02.9270575E-72.939562E-71.0E-534.0186731.0293953E-51.0E-53.5636867E-63.5789112E-61.0E-52.79414581.3578875E-51.0E-53.5636294E-53.5788584E-53.0E-50.83825615.5787867E-52.0E-5

Owens Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.83821E-53.6210524E-63.0E-58.2848843.3620945E-53.0E-52.0733538E-41.551871E-55.0E-53.22191745.551809E-54.0E-50.0025213861.889249E-41.6E-40.846897362.5891166E-47.0E-50.0249296910.00192971410.001080.559668360.00209938621.7E-4
6.14.83821E-53.6210524E-63.0E-58.2848843.3620945E-53.0E-52.0733538E-41.551871E-55.0E-53.22191745.551809E-54.0E-50.0025213861.889249E-41.6E-40.846897362.5891166E-47.0E-50.0249296910.00192971410.001080.559668360.00209938621.7E-4
6.24.83821E-53.6210524E-63.0E-58.2848843.3620945E-53.0E-52.0733538E-41.551871E-55.0E-53.22191745.551809E-54.0E-50.0025213861.889249E-41.6E-40.846897362.5891166E-47.0E-50.0249296910.00192971410.001080.559668360.00209938621.7E-4
6.33.953008E-53.1530958E-62.0E-56.34297232.3153032E-52.0E-51.6940363E-41.3513202E-54.0E-52.96006824.35128E-53.0E-50.0020605381.6451156E-41.4E-40.851004062.2450168E-46.0E-50.0204153640.00166216278.9E-40.535446940.00181191341.5E-4
6.43.953008E-53.1530958E-62.0E-56.34297232.3153032E-52.0E-51.6940363E-41.3513202E-54.0E-52.96006824.35128E-53.0E-50.0020605381.6451156E-41.4E-40.851004062.2450168E-46.0E-50.0204153640.00166216278.9E-40.535446940.00181191341.5E-4
6.53.457342E-52.9707387E-62.0E-56.7323322.297068E-52.0E-51.4816338E-41.273168E-54.0E-53.14176944.27313E-53.0E-50.00180239651.5499788E-41.3E-40.83872122.1498857E-46.0E-50.0178784770.00155631198.3E-40.533312140.00170607831.5E-4
6.63.1127765E-52.8737306E-62.0E-56.95959422.2873674E-52.0E-51.3339789E-41.2315934E-54.0E-53.24782514.2315565E-53.0E-50.00162290921.4993687E-41.3E-40.86703162.0992788E-46.0E-50.0161110810.00150134388.2E-40.54617740.00165111861.5E-4
6.72.806885E-52.8101606E-62.0E-57.1170312.2810103E-52.0E-51.2028952E-41.2043493E-54.0E-53.32129554.204313E-53.0E-50.0014635411.4662035E-41.3E-40.886643652.0661156E-46.0E-50.0145393970.00146560878.1E-40.55267140.00161538891.5E-4
6.82.524524E-52.2351392E-62.0E-58.94798852.2235094E-52.0E-51.0818939E-49.579134E-64.0E-54.17574263.957885E-53.0E-50.00131640991.16620016E-41.2E-41.02898291.7661302E-46.0E-50.013086390.0011658276.8E-40.58327690.00131565221.5E-4
6.92.2704568E-51.6079711E-62.0E-512.4380352.1607939E-52.0E-59.730166E-56.8912864E-64.0E-55.80443143.689108E-53.0E-50.00118400398.38982E-51.1E-41.31111281.4389316E-46.0E-50.0117771538.38853E-44.6E-40.54836789.887272E-41.5E-4
7.02.0871712E-51.5393621E-62.0E-512.9923942.1539332E-52.0E-58.944713E-56.5972495E-64.0E-56.0631333.659705E-53.0E-50.00108847468.031857E-51.0E-41.24504211.4031376E-46.0E-50.0108315868.030395E-44.4E-40.54791829.529191E-41.5E-4
7.11.944928E-51.3862556E-62.0E-514.4273552.1386228E-52.0E-58.335139E-55.941082E-64.0E-56.73278053.5940902E-53.0E-50.00101433087.233028E-51.0E-41.38254691.3232593E-46.0E-50.0100971337.2319806E-44.2E-40.58075388.730896E-41.5E-4
7.21.7876306E-51.2487686E-62.0E-516.0157782.1248743E-52.0E-57.6610486E-55.3518543E-63.0E-55.60553363.5351695E-53.0E-59.3233347E-46.515689E-59.0E-51.38128151.2515298E-46.0E-50.0092843166.5148395E-44.0E-40.61398298.013862E-41.5E-4
7.31.2618672E-51.1113839E-62.0E-517.9955832.1111362E-52.0E-55.40789E-54.763065E-63.0E-56.29846533.476292E-53.0E-56.582117E-45.7988782E-59.0E-51.55202421.17985306E-46.0E-50.00656265535.7983754E-43.4E-40.58637117.297506E-41.5E-4
7.47.4874442E-68.547518E-72.0E-523.3986052.0854735E-52.0E-53.208865E-53.6632168E-63.0E-58.1895243.3663106E-53.0E-53.906093E-44.4598757E-59.0E-52.01799351.0459608E-46.0E-50.0038992344.459579E-43.2E-40.717556545.9589103E-41.5E-4
7.52.4734156E-66.0679935E-71.0E-516.4799121.0606794E-51.0E-51.060031E-52.6005662E-62.0E-57.6906332.2600514E-52.0E-51.2905113E-43.1661435E-55.0E-51.57920837.166017E-54.0E-50.00128976213.1656958E-42.2E-40.69494994.1653792E-41.0E-4
7.61.1328841E-63.1961991E-70.00.03.1961991E-70.04.8552088E-61.369799E-61.0E-57.3003411.1369785E-51.0E-55.9110564E-51.6677177E-51.0E-50.59962192.667701E-51.0E-55.9094845E-41.6675945E-49.0E-50.539699552.167511E-45.0E-5
7.74.8613185E-78.962742E-80.00.08.962742E-80.02.0834207E-63.8411747E-71.0E-526.0337031.0384114E-51.0E-52.536535E-54.676621E-61.0E-52.13829611.4676574E-51.0E-52.5362454E-44.676529E-53.0E-50.64150147.6763885E-53.0E-5

Oceanic - West Huasna

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.195567E-52.7926368E-56.0E-52.1485077.7924975E-55.0E-51.3694567E-41.19679185E-41.4E-41.16979412.0966842E-49.0E-50.00166603840.00145616349.9E-40.67986880.00156600311.1E-40.0165360330.014470770.009570.661333140.01461861.5E-4
6.12.1156782E-51.7573117E-51.0E-50.5690511.7573117E-50.09.066878E-57.531123E-55.0E-50.66391161.0530898E-43.0E-50.00110333339.1653795E-44.7E-40.512799269.565013E-44.0E-50.0109787130.0091285870.005240.57402090.0091979487.0E-5
6.21.6195117E-51.3327227E-51.0E-50.75034361.3327227E-50.06.9405796E-55.7115452E-55.0E-50.875419868.711374E-53.0E-58.44688E-46.9516135E-43.7E-40.53225057.251405E-43.0E-50.0084148440.00693016170.003910.56420040.0069798155.0E-5
6.31.3559345E-51.1179013E-50.00.01.1179013E-50.05.811018E-54.7909183E-52.0E-50.41745656.790822E-52.0E-57.072618E-45.8313913E-42.8E-40.480159856.0312747E-42.0E-50.00705015050.0058162080.003250.55878330.0058559754.0E-5
6.41.2120619E-51.0000874E-50.00.01.0000874E-50.05.1944477E-54.2860185E-52.0E-50.466633536.2859326E-52.0E-56.322405E-45.216983E-42.6E-40.498372325.416879E-42.0E-50.0063044470.0052048040.002880.5533350.00524459554.0E-5
6.51.13511915E-59.367378E-60.00.09.367378E-60.04.8647056E-54.0145293E-52.0E-50.498190436.0144488E-52.0E-55.9211696E-44.886598E-42.6E-40.532067545.0865E-42.0E-50.00590541730.00487591140.002650.543488140.00491571664.0E-5
6.69.850605E-68.1353155E-60.00.08.1353155E-60.04.2216197E-53.4865174E-52.0E-50.57363835.4864475E-52.0E-55.1386096E-44.2440102E-42.3E-40.54194034.4439253E-42.0E-50.00512674360.00423593770.002220.5240870.0042658113.0E-5
6.78.8558645E-67.318341E-60.00.07.318341E-60.03.7953152E-53.1363943E-52.0E-50.63767495.1363313E-52.0E-54.6198163E-43.8178926E-42.3E-40.60242664.0178164E-42.0E-50.0046102240.00381135920.001960.514252250.00384124483.0E-5
6.87.67136E-66.39169E-60.00.06.39169E-60.03.2876844E-52.739267E-52.0E-50.73012234.739212E-52.0E-54.0020206E-43.3345487E-41.9E-40.56979223.534482E-42.0E-50.0039948210.00332956640.001690.50757360.00335946663.0E-5
6.96.534529E-65.458261E-60.00.05.458261E-60.02.8004823E-52.3392338E-52.0E-50.85498084.339187E-52.0E-53.4090536E-42.8476462E-41.6E-40.561867543.0475893E-42.0E-50.00340382870.0028440140.001450.509842750.00287392883.0E-5
7.05.460525E-64.5699203E-60.00.04.5699203E-60.02.3402039E-51.9585226E-52.0E-51.02117793.9584833E-52.0E-52.8488258E-42.3842414E-41.4E-40.587188842.5841937E-42.0E-50.00284517650.00238169730.001170.491246280.00240164972.0E-5
7.14.4825083E-63.7524153E-60.00.03.7524153E-60.01.9210609E-51.6081682E-52.0E-51.2436513.608136E-52.0E-52.3386406E-41.9577699E-41.3E-40.66402092.1577306E-42.0E-50.0023361810.0019560579.9E-40.50612020.0019760182.0E-5
7.22.821708E-62.424941E-60.00.02.424941E-60.01.2092979E-51.0392562E-52.0E-51.92445333.0392355E-52.0E-51.4722206E-41.265221E-49.0E-50.71133811.4651958E-42.0E-50.00147124570.00126450325.7E-40.45076990.0012844782.0E-5
7.32.0644757E-61.7687502E-60.00.01.7687502E-60.08.847723E-67.580336E-60.00.07.580336E-60.01.0771569E-49.228668E-53.0E-50.3250749.228668E-50.00.0010766359.224854E-43.8E-40.411930659.224854E-40.0
7.41.6980367E-61.4379966E-60.00.01.4379966E-60.07.27728E-66.1628284E-60.00.06.1628284E-60.08.8597284E-57.502986E-53.0E-50.399840837.502986E-50.08.8561967E-47.5004686E-43.1E-40.41330757.5004686E-40.0
7.51.3637683E-61.1302697E-60.00.01.1302697E-60.05.844708E-64.844004E-60.00.04.844004E-60.07.1156996E-55.897415E-53.0E-50.508697455.897415E-50.07.1134215E-45.8958656E-42.4E-40.40706495.8958656E-40.0
7.69.802994E-77.6772847E-70.00.07.6772847E-70.04.2012766E-63.2902608E-60.00.03.2902608E-60.05.1149345E-54.005819E-52.0E-50.49927374.005819E-50.05.113757E-44.0051117E-41.7E-40.424457584.0051117E-40.0
7.75.986191E-74.0050708E-70.00.04.0050708E-70.02.5655079E-61.7164577E-60.00.01.7164577E-60.03.1234613E-52.0897673E-52.0E-50.957044362.0897673E-50.03.123022E-42.0895849E-41.0E-40.478563932.0895849E-40.0
7.82.9189815E-71.5285202E-70.00.01.5285202E-70.01.2509914E-66.5507993E-70.00.06.5507993E-70.01.5230714E-57.975569E-61.0E-51.2538297.975569E-60.01.522967E-47.97542E-54.0E-50.501540967.97542E-50.0
7.91.2057845E-74.6208047E-80.00.04.6208047E-80.05.1676466E-71.9803447E-70.00.01.9803447E-70.06.2915915E-62.411067E-61.0E-54.1475412.411067E-60.06.2914136E-52.4111772E-51.0E-50.414735172.4111772E-50.0
8.03.3806387E-99.0093144E-100.00.09.0093144E-100.01.4488451E-83.8611354E-90.00.03.8611354E-90.01.7639688E-74.7009323E-80.00.04.7009323E-80.01.7639674E-64.712806E-70.00.04.712806E-70.0

Santa Ynez River

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6396456E-51.7209444E-57.0E-54.0675347.720841E-56.0E-57.026863E-57.3752875E-51.2E-41.62705521.5374698E-48.0E-58.551848E-48.976069E-46.1E-40.67958480.00100750811.1E-40.00851901250.0089433630.007040.787175950.0091118421.7E-4
6.11.6396456E-51.7209444E-57.0E-54.0675347.720841E-56.0E-57.026863E-57.3752875E-51.2E-41.62705521.5374698E-48.0E-58.551848E-48.976069E-46.1E-40.67958480.00100750811.1E-40.00851901250.0089433630.007040.787175950.0091118421.7E-4
6.21.6396456E-51.7209444E-57.0E-54.0675347.720841E-56.0E-57.026863E-57.3752875E-51.2E-41.62705521.5374698E-48.0E-58.551848E-48.976069E-46.1E-40.67958480.00100750811.1E-40.00851901250.0089433630.007040.787175950.0091118421.7E-4
6.39.736976E-61.01223395E-53.0E-52.96374184.0122035E-53.0E-54.172923E-54.338076E-58.0E-51.84413559.337859E-55.0E-55.0793495E-45.280378E-43.8E-40.71964555.8800605E-46.0E-50.0050677550.00526833670.004620.876937150.0053379687.0E-5
6.49.736976E-61.01223395E-53.0E-52.96374184.0122035E-53.0E-54.172923E-54.338076E-58.0E-51.84413559.337859E-55.0E-55.0793495E-45.280378E-43.8E-40.71964555.8800605E-46.0E-50.0050677550.00526833670.004620.876937150.0053379687.0E-5
6.57.081964E-67.329905E-62.0E-52.72854832.732976E-52.0E-53.035092E-53.141351E-56.0E-51.91000626.141257E-53.0E-53.694598E-43.8239395E-43.1E-40.81068234.2237865E-44.0E-50.00368846160.00381752150.003270.856576740.00386733055.0E-5
6.65.873247E-66.0597517E-62.0E-53.3004652.6059632E-52.0E-52.5170815E-52.5970112E-54.0E-51.54023215.5969333E-53.0E-53.064116E-43.161411E-42.6E-40.82241763.5612844E-44.0E-50.00305989430.0031570010.002710.858409640.0032068435.0E-5
6.74.973277E-65.11591E-62.0E-53.9093732.5115807E-52.0E-52.1313872E-52.1925147E-54.0E-51.82438915.192449E-53.0E-52.5946548E-42.6690646E-42.4E-40.89919153.0689576E-44.0E-50.00259162740.00266590780.002360.885251940.0027058014.0E-5
6.84.396492E-64.510987E-62.0E-54.433622.4510897E-52.0E-51.884197E-51.933266E-54.0E-52.06903774.933208E-53.0E-52.2937685E-42.3535005E-42.2E-40.93477782.7534063E-44.0E-50.00229140230.00235104330.002030.86344640.00239094934.0E-5
6.93.5255632E-63.6013423E-62.0E-55.5534852.3601271E-52.0E-51.5109469E-51.5434234E-54.0E-52.59164144.543377E-53.0E-51.8394225E-41.8789574E-42.0E-41.06442012.2788823E-44.0E-50.00183790070.0018773850.001590.846922760.00191730984.0E-5
7.03.211603E-63.273663E-62.0E-56.10936452.3273598E-52.0E-51.376394E-51.402991E-53.0E-52.1382894.402949E-53.0E-51.6756308E-41.708009E-41.9E-41.11240642.1079407E-44.0E-50.00167436790.00170671040.001420.83200990.00174664224.0E-5
7.12.5094619E-62.5409295E-62.0E-57.87113572.2540878E-52.0E-51.0754793E-51.0889652E-52.0E-51.83660593.0889434E-52.0E-51.3093173E-41.325735E-41.6E-41.20687761.6256953E-43.0E-50.00130854620.00132495030.001060.800030050.00135491043.0E-5
7.22.0515774E-62.0619466E-62.0E-59.6995732.2061906E-52.0E-58.792445E-68.836884E-62.0E-52.26324132.8836706E-52.0E-51.0704277E-41.0758379E-41.4E-41.30131131.3758056E-43.0E-50.00106991220.00107532158.2E-40.76256270.00110528913.0E-5
7.31.6845745E-61.6773996E-62.0E-511.9232172.1677366E-52.0E-57.219585E-67.1888358E-62.0E-52.78209162.7188693E-52.0E-58.78949E-58.752059E-51.0E-41.14258831.17517964E-43.0E-58.7860145E-48.7486405E-46.3E-40.720111859.0483786E-43.0E-5
7.41.3600285E-61.3333447E-61.0E-57.4999361.1333332E-51.0E-55.82868E-65.714322E-61.0E-51.74998891.5714264E-51.0E-57.096187E-56.956967E-56.0E-50.862444768.956828E-52.0E-57.0939213E-46.9548114E-45.3E-40.76206247.1546726E-42.0E-5
7.59.735342E-79.2901894E-70.00.09.2901894E-70.04.172283E-63.9815036E-60.00.03.9815036E-60.05.079636E-54.8473747E-53.0E-50.61889174.8473747E-50.05.0784746E-44.8463346E-44.1E-40.84600024.8463346E-40.0
7.65.067187E-74.778609E-70.00.04.778609E-70.02.1716498E-62.0479738E-60.00.02.0479738E-60.02.6439517E-52.4933803E-52.0E-50.80212392.4933803E-50.02.643637E-42.493108E-41.5E-40.601658642.493108E-40.0
7.72.769089E-72.5759346E-70.00.02.5759346E-70.01.1867519E-61.1039714E-60.00.01.1039714E-60.01.4448608E-51.344077E-50.00.01.344077E-50.01.444767E-41.343996E-41.0E-40.744049851.343996E-40.0
7.81.7044663E-71.5449208E-70.00.01.5449208E-70.07.3048534E-76.6210873E-70.00.06.6210873E-70.08.893623E-68.061144E-60.00.08.061144E-60.08.893267E-58.060854E-55.0E-50.62028178.060854E-50.0
7.94.8344287E-84.0911143E-80.00.04.0911143E-80.02.0718979E-71.7533345E-70.00.01.7533345E-70.02.5225327E-62.1346827E-60.00.02.1346827E-60.02.5225041E-52.1346626E-52.0E-50.936916232.1346626E-50.0

Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2521618E-44.763429E-42.1E-40.44085895.063286E-43.0E-59.6485513E-40.00203990949.2E-40.451000420.00211974638.0E-50.0116839880.0245445310.012740.519056560.0246518311.1E-40.110884230.213499230.129330.60576330.213625071.6E-4
6.12.2521618E-44.763429E-42.0E-40.41986565.063286E-43.0E-59.6485513E-40.00203990948.2E-40.401978640.00211974638.0E-50.0116839880.0245445310.011090.451831820.0246518311.1E-40.110884230.213499230.113970.533819260.21361721.5E-4
6.22.198148E-44.6718874E-42.0E-40.42809254.9717474E-43.0E-59.417233E-40.00200073778.2E-40.40984880.00208057778.0E-50.0114053430.0240785130.010860.451024530.0241858641.1E-40.108374280.209935720.111890.532972630.210054231.5E-4
6.32.1704129E-44.615455E-42.0E-40.433326724.915317E-43.0E-59.298453E-40.00197658928.1E-40.409796830.00205643138.0E-50.0112622340.0237920340.010750.45183190.0238994171.1E-40.1070827250.207826840.110710.53270310.207945661.5E-4
6.41.876142E-44.004663E-41.7E-40.424505144.3045427E-43.0E-58.038131E-40.00171516957.4E-40.431444230.00179503238.0E-50.009742590.0206786620.009330.451189760.0207863861.1E-40.0932636860.184577870.096730.524060670.184700181.5E-4
6.51.7390939E-43.7478763E-41.5E-40.400226654.047764E-43.0E-57.45113E-40.00160525616.9E-40.429837940.00168512778.0E-50.0090340780.0193672930.008780.45334160.0194751621.1E-40.0867552160.174400150.090710.52012570.1745241.5E-4
6.61.591791E-43.4893592E-41.4E-40.401219823.6892894E-42.0E-56.8201777E-40.00149459266.5E-40.434901120.0015644887.0E-50.0082719960.0180450080.008050.446106760.0181432031.0E-40.079707740.163807870.084860.518045960.163924931.4E-4
6.71.4268003E-43.2059717E-41.4E-40.436685063.4059078E-42.0E-56.1134255E-40.00137327266.1E-40.444194380.00144317657.0E-50.0074177230.016591710.007540.454443840.0166802169.0E-50.071749560.151935940.078440.51627030.152046171.3E-4
6.81.239713E-42.9055026E-41.4E-40.481844343.1054445E-42.0E-55.3119735E-40.00124462745.7E-40.457968380.00131454037.0E-50.00644816740.0150494820.006860.455829650.0151282788.0E-50.062642430.138380510.072040.52059360.13848391.2E-4
6.91.0180238E-42.6255674E-41.3E-40.495131052.825515E-42.0E-54.3622297E-40.00112476225.6E-40.4978830.00119468357.0E-50.0052980890.0136089980.006190.454846140.0136879098.0E-50.051735430.124964730.065560.524628040.125069721.2E-4
7.07.6619996E-52.2400476E-41.1E-40.491060972.4400029E-42.0E-53.283301E-49.596704E-44.8E-40.50017170.00102960327.0E-50.00399009320.0116221030.00530.456027630.0117011738.0E-50.0391920660.107269820.056270.524565040.1073769551.2E-4
7.17.5127435E-52.2083633E-41.1E-40.498106452.4083191E-42.0E-53.2193496E-49.461013E-44.7E-40.496775540.00101603517.0E-50.00391251550.0114586480.005250.458169250.0115377328.0E-50.0384434420.105833780.055380.52327340.105941081.2E-4
7.26.788582E-52.0211334E-41.1E-40.544249062.221093E-42.0E-52.9090676E-48.6591556E-44.4E-40.50813279.158722E-45.0E-50.00353603860.01049220.004740.451764170.010551576.0E-50.0348030.0975036840.050420.51710870.097593931.0E-4
7.36.399602E-51.8842232E-41.1E-40.583794952.0841854E-42.0E-52.7423984E-48.0727716E-44.3E-40.532654768.572368E-45.0E-50.00333375860.0097848970.004370.446606670.009844316.0E-50.032841880.0913979860.046990.51412510.0914888461.0E-4
7.44.506759E-51.2530042E-49.0E-50.718273761.452979E-42.0E-51.9313251E-45.3689216E-43.2E-40.59602295.868653E-45.0E-50.00234885260.0065172450.003140.481798680.00657685436.0E-50.0232418050.0623645220.03150.50509490.0624489089.0E-5
7.53.43289E-59.336103E-59.0E-50.96399961.13359165E-42.0E-51.4711556E-44.0005764E-42.7E-40.674902744.5003765E-45.0E-50.00178966030.0048598860.002540.522645950.00491959466.0E-50.017753160.0470570660.023950.50895650.047142839.0E-5
7.62.5980507E-57.053672E-57.0E-50.99239099.0535315E-52.0E-51.1134028E-43.0226534E-42.3E-40.76092083.5225024E-45.0E-50.0013547250.00367389480.00210.571600440.00373367456.0E-50.0134649590.035842980.018170.50693330.0359297549.0E-5
7.71.7292105E-54.9412036E-54.0E-50.809519355.9411544E-51.0E-57.4106916E-52.1174872E-41.8E-40.850064162.5174025E-44.0E-59.018782E-40.00257499840.001550.60194210.00262486965.0E-50.0089822670.0252920970.012980.51320380.0253603257.0E-5
7.81.2927471E-53.9697254E-52.0E-50.503813153.9697254E-50.05.5402274E-51.7012001E-41.3E-40.76416641.9011661E-42.0E-56.743139E-40.00206924630.001340.647578840.0020991843.0E-50.00672271430.0204331450.01070.5236590.0204723274.0E-5
7.91.0200774E-52.8748475E-50.00.02.8748475E-50.04.371687E-51.2320194E-48.0E-50.649340451.3320071E-41.0E-55.321229E-40.00149895269.5E-40.63377590.00151892262.0E-50.0053085050.0149928950.007780.51891250.0150224453.0E-5
8.08.650396E-62.3279512E-50.00.02.3279512E-50.03.70726E-59.976552E-57.0E-50.70164521.0976452E-41.0E-54.5126543E-40.00121396937.3E-40.60133320.0012339452.0E-50.00450350160.0122121640.006390.52324880.012231922.0E-5
8.13.9368224E-67.3283345E-60.00.07.3283345E-60.01.6871985E-53.1406773E-52.0E-50.636805364.1406456E-51.0E-52.0539707E-43.8231048E-42.2E-40.57544854.0230283E-42.0E-50.00205207310.00400153130.002310.5772790.00402145132.0E-5
8.21.7101195E-62.2178374E-60.00.02.2178374E-60.07.329063E-69.504983E-61.0E-51.05207981.9504889E-51.0E-58.922769E-51.15717055E-48.0E-50.691341461.257159E-41.0E-58.9191867E-40.001266697.1E-40.5605160.00127667741.0E-5
8.33.0346666E-81.721086E-80.00.01.721086E-80.01.3005713E-77.376083E-80.00.07.376083E-80.01.5834444E-68.98038E-70.00.08.98038E-70.01.5834332E-59.36379E-61.0E-51.06794379.36379E-60.0

Channel Islands Thrust

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2156251E-52.4092022E-59.0E-53.73567659.4090334E-57.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.9E-41.84022871.7324081E-47.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.001040.827744360.00135630091.0E-40.0114943730.01250382050.008730.69818660.012661821.6E-4
6.12.2156251E-52.4092022E-59.0E-53.73567659.4090334E-57.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.9E-41.84022871.7324081E-47.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.001040.827744360.00135630091.0E-40.0114943730.01250382050.008730.69818660.012661821.6E-4
6.22.2156251E-52.4092022E-59.0E-53.73567659.4090334E-57.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.9E-41.84022871.7324081E-47.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.001040.827744360.00135630091.0E-40.0114943730.01250382050.008730.69818660.012661821.6E-4
6.32.2156251E-52.4092022E-59.0E-53.73567659.4090334E-57.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.9E-41.84022871.7324081E-47.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.001040.827744360.00135630091.0E-40.0114943730.01250382050.008730.69818660.012661821.6E-4
6.42.2156251E-52.4092022E-59.0E-53.73567659.4090334E-57.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.9E-41.84022871.7324081E-47.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.001040.827744360.00135630091.0E-40.0114943730.01250382050.008730.69818660.012661821.6E-4
6.52.2156251E-52.4092022E-59.0E-53.73567659.4090334E-57.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.9E-41.84022871.7324081E-47.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.001040.827744360.00135630091.0E-40.0114943730.01250382050.008730.69818660.012661821.6E-4
6.62.2156251E-52.4092022E-59.0E-53.73567659.4090334E-57.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.9E-41.84022871.7324081E-47.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.001040.827744360.00135630091.0E-40.0114943730.01250382050.008730.69818660.012661821.6E-4
6.71.0601296E-51.1379544E-55.0E-54.39384945.1379087E-54.0E-54.5433335E-54.876859E-58.0E-51.64040028.876664E-54.0E-55.5301044E-45.936007E-44.5E-40.758085376.43571E-45.0E-50.0055163630.0059206530.003810.643510040.006000188.0E-5
6.81.0246747E-51.0996669E-55.0E-54.54683165.099623E-54.0E-54.391389E-54.7127756E-58.0E-51.69751358.7125874E-54.0E-55.345204E-45.7363417E-44.5E-40.78447216.236055E-45.0E-50.00533236560.0057220250.003710.64837190.00580156738.0E-5
6.99.049551E-69.699645E-64.0E-54.12386233.9699353E-53.0E-53.878322E-54.1569267E-57.0E-51.68393647.156802E-53.0E-54.7208337E-45.059924E-43.9E-40.770762565.4597214E-44.0E-50.00471081720.00504882030.003250.64371470.0051184677.0E-5
7.08.6542195E-69.274603E-64.0E-54.3128533.9274324E-53.0E-53.7088983E-53.9747716E-56.0E-51.50952066.974652E-53.0E-54.5146482E-44.8382508E-43.6E-40.74407065.2380573E-44.0E-50.0045054870.00482812940.00310.642070650.00489779147.0E-5
7.18.391028E-68.992925E-64.0E-54.4479413.8992654E-53.0E-53.5961057E-53.8540562E-56.0E-51.55680146.8539404E-53.0E-54.3773788E-44.6913436E-43.6E-40.767370765.0911563E-44.0E-50.0043687660.00468185030.0030.64077230.00475152267.0E-5
7.25.965188E-66.3716957E-62.0E-53.1388822.6371568E-52.0E-52.556484E-52.7306984E-53.0E-51.098624.730644E-52.0E-53.1120746E-43.3241237E-42.4E-40.72199483.6240238E-43.0E-50.003107720.00331920940.001970.593514860.00335907664.0E-5
7.34.877518E-65.206007E-62.0E-53.8417162.5205904E-52.0E-52.0903482E-52.231127E-53.0E-51.3446124.231082E-52.0E-52.5447016E-42.716063E-42.1E-40.7731782.9160085E-42.0E-50.00254178980.00271278970.001610.5934850.00274270823.0E-5
7.43.8829853E-64.141863E-62.0E-54.8287452.414178E-52.0E-51.664126E-51.7750723E-53.0E-51.6900723.7750367E-52.0E-52.0258849E-42.1609403E-41.4E-40.647866132.3608972E-42.0E-50.0020240390.0021588810.001290.59753180.0021888163.0E-5
7.51.3489616E-61.4277905E-61.0E-57.00382851.1427776E-51.0E-55.7812517E-66.119088E-61.0E-51.63423041.6119027E-51.0E-57.038446E-57.449739E-55.0E-50.671164458.449665E-51.0E-57.036218E-47.4472814E-44.3E-40.57739197.647133E-42.0E-5
7.66.058192E-76.35378E-71.0E-515.7386631.0635372E-51.0E-52.5963652E-62.7230458E-61.0E-53.67235831.2723019E-51.0E-53.161029E-53.3152595E-52.0E-50.6032714.3152264E-51.0E-53.1605794E-43.314781E-42.0E-40.60335813.5147148E-42.0E-5
7.72.2170494E-72.2607924E-70.00.02.2607924E-70.09.5016367E-79.689107E-70.00.09.689107E-70.01.1568181E-51.17964355E-50.00.01.17964355E-50.01.1567579E-41.179592E-49.0E-50.762975631.179592E-40.0
7.82.1613102E-81.5466837E-80.00.01.5466837E-80.09.262757E-86.628645E-80.00.06.628645E-80.01.1277401E-68.070372E-70.00.08.070372E-70.01.1277344E-58.07035E-61.0E-51.23910368.07035E-60.0

Deep Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9810619E-52.311252E-55.0E-52.16332966.31116E-54.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-58.0E-50.80765041.5904682E-46.0E-50.0010331660.00120580788.5E-40.70492160.00130568721.0E-40.0102837570.012042430.007270.603698730.0122005041.6E-4
6.11.9810619E-52.311252E-55.0E-52.16332966.31116E-54.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-58.0E-50.80765041.5904682E-46.0E-50.0010331660.00120580788.5E-40.70492160.00130568721.0E-40.0102837570.012042430.007270.603698730.0122005041.6E-4
6.21.9810619E-52.311252E-55.0E-52.16332966.31116E-54.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-58.0E-50.80765041.5904682E-46.0E-50.0010331660.00120580788.5E-40.70492160.00130568721.0E-40.0102837570.012042430.007270.603698730.0122005041.6E-4
6.31.9810619E-52.311252E-55.0E-52.16332966.31116E-54.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-58.0E-50.80765041.5904682E-46.0E-50.0010331660.00120580788.5E-40.70492160.00130568721.0E-40.0102837570.012042430.007270.603698730.0122005041.6E-4
6.41.9810619E-52.311252E-55.0E-52.16332966.31116E-54.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-58.0E-50.80765041.5904682E-46.0E-50.0010331660.00120580788.5E-40.70492160.00130568721.0E-40.0102837570.012042430.007270.603698730.0122005041.6E-4
6.51.7190405E-52.0050558E-55.0E-52.49369626.0049755E-54.0E-57.367108E-58.593096E-58.0E-50.93097991.459258E-46.0E-58.9657627E-40.00104620927.4E-40.70731550.00114610471.0E-40.0089296760.0104620610.006270.59930830.0106104921.5E-4
6.61.7190405E-52.0050558E-55.0E-52.49369626.0049755E-54.0E-57.367108E-58.593096E-58.0E-50.93097991.459258E-46.0E-58.9657627E-40.00104620927.4E-40.70731550.00114610471.0E-40.0089296760.0104620610.006270.59930830.0106104921.5E-4

Lost Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.233523E-52.5106583E-58.0E-53.18641541.0510458E-48.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.5E-41.3941021.9758647E-49.0E-50.00116475460.0013093649.4E-40.717905760.001419221.1E-40.0115866860.0130330910.009320.71510280.0131910051.6E-4
6.12.233523E-52.5106583E-58.0E-53.18641541.0510458E-48.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.5E-41.3941021.9758647E-49.0E-50.00116475460.0013093649.4E-40.717905760.001419221.1E-40.0115866860.0130330910.009320.71510280.0131910051.6E-4
6.22.233523E-52.5106583E-58.0E-53.18641541.0510458E-48.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.5E-41.3941021.9758647E-49.0E-50.00116475460.0013093649.4E-40.717905760.001419221.1E-40.0115866860.0130330910.009320.71510280.0131910051.6E-4
6.32.233523E-52.5106583E-58.0E-53.18641541.0510458E-48.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.5E-41.3941021.9758647E-49.0E-50.00116475460.0013093649.4E-40.717905760.001419221.1E-40.0115866860.0130330910.009320.71510280.0131910051.6E-4
6.41.2288092E-51.3781108E-53.0E-52.17689324.3780696E-53.0E-55.2662188E-55.906108E-57.0E-51.18521379.905872E-54.0E-56.409735E-47.189252E-44.9E-40.6815737.5889647E-44.0E-50.0063912790.00717520060.005260.73308050.00723477036.0E-5
6.51.2288092E-51.3781108E-53.0E-52.17689324.3780696E-53.0E-55.2662188E-55.906108E-57.0E-51.18521379.905872E-54.0E-56.409735E-47.189252E-44.9E-40.6815737.5889647E-44.0E-50.0063912790.00717520060.005260.73308050.00723477036.0E-5
6.68.58281E-69.63377E-63.0E-53.11404563.963348E-53.0E-53.6782953E-54.12874E-55.0E-51.21102328.128575E-54.0E-54.4774043E-45.026414E-43.1E-40.61674195.4262124E-44.0E-50.00446839350.0050232050.003690.734590770.0050729545.0E-5
6.77.205685E-68.088302E-63.0E-53.70906043.808806E-53.0E-53.088114E-53.466415E-54.0E-51.153937.466276E-54.0E-53.7591302E-44.2203604E-42.5E-40.59236654.6201915E-44.0E-50.00375277760.00422036040.003130.741642830.00427014945.0E-5

Ortigalita (North)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.711876E-51.0505308E-47.0E-50.66632981.4504888E-44.0E-53.3046713E-44.501601E-43.7E-40.82192985.101331E-46.0E-50.0040160160.00546805470.003450.630937340.0055376727.0E-50.0394421030.0534556140.036560.683931950.05354089.0E-5
6.14.607858E-56.0239887E-55.0E-50.83001488.0238686E-52.0E-51.9746469E-42.5814763E-42.2E-40.85222552.981373E-44.0E-50.00240148180.00313873660.001970.62764110.00318857965.0E-50.0237569530.0309753120.021290.68732160.0310334536.0E-5
6.24.607858E-56.0239887E-55.0E-50.83001488.0238686E-52.0E-51.9746469E-42.5814763E-42.2E-40.85222552.981373E-44.0E-50.00240148180.00313873660.001970.62764110.00318857965.0E-50.0237569530.0309753120.021290.68732160.0310334536.0E-5
6.33.327423E-54.2476124E-53.0E-50.706279166.247527E-52.0E-51.4259605E-41.8202956E-41.4E-40.76910592.120241E-43.0E-50.00173472440.0022142060.001330.600666760.00224413963.0E-50.0172124520.021945740.015060.6862380.0219848624.0E-5
6.42.7732503E-53.4999008E-53.0E-50.85716725.4998305E-52.0E-51.1884817E-41.499886E-41.3E-40.866732541.799841E-43.0E-50.0014460160.00182481580.001150.63020060.0018547613.0E-50.0143664280.0181212970.012880.71076590.0181605724.0E-5
6.52.7689714E-53.4948822E-53.0E-50.85839815.4948123E-52.0E-51.186648E-41.4977354E-41.3E-40.86797711.7976905E-43.0E-50.00144378640.00182220180.001150.631104650.00185214723.0E-50.0143444210.0180955850.012860.710670650.018134864.0E-5
6.62.2976905E-52.871829E-53.0E-51.04463044.8717717E-52.0E-59.846873E-51.23074E-49.0E-50.731267331.5307032E-43.0E-50.00119819750.00149763489.7E-40.64768790.00152758993.0E-50.0119175740.0148987330.010750.72153780.01493813754.0E-5
6.71.9871539E-52.4904637E-53.0E-51.2045954.490414E-52.0E-58.516096E-51.067312E-49.0E-50.84323991.3672799E-43.0E-50.00103634150.00129891998.6E-40.66208850.0013288813.0E-50.0103152180.0129369380.009390.725828650.012976424.0E-5
6.86.5640475E-67.6054926E-62.0E-52.62967851.7605416E-51.0E-52.813133E-53.2594577E-53.0E-50.920398534.259425E-51.0E-53.424451E-43.9676955E-42.0E-40.504070944.0676558E-41.0E-50.00341917880.0039608990.003260.82304550.00398081962.0E-5
6.95.6219683E-66.5018376E-61.0E-51.53802671.6501772E-51.0E-52.4093928E-52.7864735E-52.0E-50.71775313.7864458E-51.0E-52.933041E-43.3920293E-41.6E-40.471694053.4919954E-41.0E-50.00292917270.0033871090.002730.805997130.0034070412.0E-5
7.03.875591E-64.4847548E-60.00.04.4847548E-60.01.6609569E-51.9220248E-51.0E-50.520284651.9220248E-50.02.0220275E-42.339835E-41.0E-40.427380532.339835E-40.00.00202018860.00233757980.001880.80425060.00233757980.0
7.11.6017933E-61.8570418E-60.00.01.8570418E-60.06.8648105E-67.958732E-60.00.07.958732E-60.08.357586E-59.689432E-54.0E-50.412820889.689432E-50.08.3544437E-49.686254E-49.7E-41.00141919.686254E-40.0

San Clemente

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.681379E-58.163834E-57.0E-50.85744039.163752E-51.0E-52.8631336E-43.4983488E-43.1E-40.88613233.598314E-41.0E-50.0034802940.004251410.002660.62567480.00430119745.0E-50.034262910.041756030.027480.658108530.041890181.4E-4
6.16.681379E-58.163834E-55.0E-50.612457339.163752E-51.0E-52.8631336E-43.4983488E-42.5E-40.71462283.598314E-41.0E-50.0034802940.004251410.001970.46337570.004291244.0E-50.034262910.041756030.021330.510824440.0418614371.1E-4
6.23.9400576E-54.6452373E-51.0E-50.215274264.6452373E-50.01.6884868E-41.9906677E-41.2E-40.60281281.9906677E-40.00.00205379450.00242099840.001090.450227470.00242099840.00.0203491670.0239529030.011480.479273830.0239821843.0E-5
6.33.2590255E-53.792912E-51.0E-50.263649673.792912E-50.01.3966505E-41.6254342E-48.0E-50.49217621.6254342E-40.00.00169909560.00197720028.2E-40.414727870.00197720020.00.016861630.0195998830.009360.47755390.0196292943.0E-5
6.42.9454652E-53.4097764E-51.0E-50.293274373.4097764E-50.01.2622811E-41.4612524E-48.0E-50.54747561.4612524E-40.00.00153574380.00177764937.3E-40.41065470.00177764930.00.0152517390.017637470.00850.481928530.0176669423.0E-5
6.52.790836E-53.2247463E-51.0E-50.310101933.2247463E-50.01.1960178E-41.3819624E-47.0E-50.50652611.3819624E-40.00.0014551790.00168126626.9E-40.410404950.00168126620.00.0144568680.0166884850.008020.48057090.0167179833.0E-5
6.62.2492153E-52.5762702E-51.0E-50.388158052.5762702E-50.09.639138E-51.1040699E-47.0E-50.63401781.1040699E-40.00.00117293310.00134339095.3E-40.3945240.00134339090.00.0116676150.0133544170.006240.467261140.0133544170.0
6.71.9862755E-52.2666423E-50.00.02.2666423E-50.08.512331E-59.713826E-55.0E-50.51473039.713826E-50.00.00103588360.00118202794.4E-40.372241650.00118202790.00.0103106820.0117587010.005460.464337020.0117587010.0
6.81.6697575E-51.897771E-50.00.01.897771E-50.07.155907E-58.133056E-55.0E-50.614775068.133056E-50.08.7088346E-49.897591E-43.9E-40.394035289.897591E-40.00.0086747840.00985453650.004370.443450570.00985453650.0
6.91.5218415E-51.72694E-50.00.01.72694E-50.06.522015E-57.4009666E-55.0E-50.67558747.4009666E-50.07.93766E-49.00704E-43.7E-40.41078989.00704E-40.00.0079093670.0089714810.004040.450315860.0089714810.0
7.01.2392958E-51.4033016E-50.00.01.4033016E-50.05.3111595E-56.014015E-52.0E-50.332556526.014015E-50.06.4644177E-47.319679E-43.0E-40.409854027.319679E-40.00.00644564540.00729635640.003290.450909970.00729635640.0
7.11.0934128E-51.2375138E-50.00.01.2375138E-50.04.6859706E-55.303527E-52.0E-50.377107565.303527E-50.05.7036756E-46.455204E-42.5E-40.387284436.455204E-40.00.00568905850.00643719970.002870.445846020.00643719970.0
7.29.5798805E-61.0844935E-50.00.01.0844935E-50.04.1055984E-54.6477508E-52.0E-50.430315674.6477508E-50.04.9974193E-45.657239E-42.4E-40.42423525.657239E-40.00.00498619630.00564356150.002610.462473930.00564356150.0
7.38.0167365E-69.083918E-60.00.09.083918E-60.03.4356988E-53.8930535E-51.0E-50.25686783.8930535E-50.04.1821605E-44.7388324E-42.1E-40.443147154.7388324E-40.00.00417429860.00472942970.002280.48208770.00472942970.0
7.42.9581017E-63.3623792E-60.00.03.3623792E-60.01.2677518E-51.4410146E-50.00.01.4410146E-50.01.5433785E-41.7543444E-46.0E-50.342008081.7543444E-40.00.0015423070.00175345468.3E-40.47335130.00175345460.0

Santa Cruz Island

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9164563E-53.1599742E-56.0E-51.89874967.159848E-54.0E-51.2498499E-41.3542121E-41.5E-41.10765521.9541309E-46.0E-50.00152063010.00164764260.00110.667620540.00174747781.0E-40.0151026670.0163680.011940.729472160.0165155441.5E-4
6.12.9164563E-53.1599742E-56.0E-51.89874967.159848E-54.0E-51.2498499E-41.3542121E-41.5E-41.10765521.9541309E-46.0E-50.00152063010.00164764260.00110.667620540.00174747781.0E-40.0151026670.0163680.011940.729472160.0165155441.5E-4
6.22.9164563E-53.1599742E-56.0E-51.89874967.159848E-54.0E-51.2498499E-41.3542121E-41.5E-41.10765521.9541309E-46.0E-50.00152063010.00164764260.00110.667620540.00174747781.0E-40.0151026670.0163680.011940.729472160.0165155441.5E-4
6.31.6635553E-51.780436E-55.0E-52.8083015.7803645E-54.0E-57.1293274E-57.630227E-51.3E-41.70375011.3629769E-46.0E-58.6765E-49.286024E-46.2E-40.667679.985374E-47.0E-50.0086427010.0092490940.006370.68871610.0093283548.0E-5
6.41.6635553E-51.780436E-55.0E-52.8083015.7803645E-54.0E-57.1293274E-57.630227E-51.3E-41.70375011.3629769E-46.0E-58.6765E-49.286024E-46.2E-40.667679.985374E-47.0E-50.0086427010.0092490940.006370.68871610.0093283548.0E-5
6.51.2238748E-51.3042996E-54.0E-53.066784.3042604E-53.0E-55.2450723E-55.5897377E-59.0E-51.61009351.05894585E-45.0E-56.3840044E-46.8034173E-44.5E-40.661432277.303077E-45.0E-50.00636569550.0067829880.00470.692909960.0068425816.0E-5
6.61.0489767E-51.1156636E-53.0E-52.68898253.1156414E-52.0E-54.495537E-54.781329E-57.0E-51.46402817.7811856E-53.0E-55.4719415E-45.819736E-43.6E-40.61858486.119561E-43.0E-50.0054584870.0058047360.004060.69942890.00584450364.0E-5
6.78.699222E-69.236783E-62.0E-52.16525631.923669E-51.0E-53.7281847E-53.958561E-56.0E-51.51570225.958482E-52.0E-54.5381195E-44.818488E-43.2E-40.664108755.0183915E-42.0E-50.00452886340.0048081080.003240.673861740.00483796373.0E-5
6.88.307732E-68.8169045E-62.0E-52.268371.8816816E-51.0E-53.560408E-53.7786187E-56.0E-51.58788185.7785433E-52.0E-54.3339343E-44.5995016E-43.1E-40.67398614.7994097E-42.0E-50.0043254920.00459003540.003030.66012560.0046198983.0E-5
6.98.073121E-68.564939E-62.0E-52.33510111.8564853E-51.0E-53.459863E-53.670637E-56.0E-51.63459375.6705634E-52.0E-54.2115687E-44.4680882E-43.1E-40.693809034.667999E-42.0E-50.0042035960.0044591560.002930.6570750.00448902233.0E-5
7.07.617019E-68.074665E-62.0E-52.47688321.8074585E-51.0E-53.264396E-53.4605247E-56.0E-51.73384115.4604556E-52.0E-53.9736772E-44.2123784E-43.0E-40.712186754.412294E-42.0E-50.0039665790.00420444130.002770.65882710.00423431543.0E-5
7.17.1224836E-67.5457883E-62.0E-52.65048531.7545713E-51.0E-53.052457E-53.2338692E-56.0E-51.85536255.2338048E-52.0E-53.715733E-43.9365282E-43.0E-40.76209284.1364494E-42.0E-50.0037095260.00392959830.002590.65910050.003959483.0E-5
7.26.441115E-66.8273835E-62.0E-52.929381.6827315E-51.0E-52.7604487E-52.9259889E-56.0E-52.05058884.9259303E-52.0E-53.360328E-43.5618115E-42.6E-40.72996563.7617402E-42.0E-50.00335525120.00355613120.002190.61583780.00358602453.0E-5
7.35.494274E-65.8199944E-62.0E-53.43642931.5819936E-51.0E-52.3546674E-52.4942596E-56.0E-52.40552334.49421E-52.0E-52.8664304E-43.03634E-42.4E-40.79042533.2362793E-42.0E-50.0028627360.00303221450.001930.63649850.00306212343.0E-5
7.44.0802624E-64.3122564E-62.0E-54.63794331.4312213E-51.0E-51.7486722E-51.8480969E-55.0E-52.70548583.8480597E-52.0E-52.1288003E-42.2498264E-41.8E-40.800061762.4497815E-42.0E-50.00212676220.00224755770.00150.66739110.00227749023.0E-5
7.52.3584746E-62.4753099E-60.00.02.4753099E-60.01.0107709E-51.0608428E-51.0E-50.942646741.0608428E-50.01.2305441E-41.2915001E-49.0E-50.696864071.2915001E-40.00.00122986290.00129075458.0E-40.61979250.00130074161.0E-5
7.69.4981914E-79.860934E-70.00.09.860934E-70.04.0706473E-64.2261076E-60.00.04.2261076E-60.04.9559E-55.1451658E-53.0E-50.58307165.1451658E-50.04.954795E-45.1439874E-43.7E-40.71928645.243936E-41.0E-5
7.72.6013532E-72.6416632E-70.00.02.6416632E-70.01.1148652E-61.1321408E-60.00.01.1321408E-60.01.3573399E-51.3783729E-51.0E-50.725493131.3783729E-50.01.357257E-41.378288E-41.0E-40.72553781.378288E-40.0
7.84.1522263E-83.965698E-80.00.03.965698E-80.01.7795254E-71.6995848E-70.00.01.6995848E-70.02.16657E-62.0692428E-60.00.02.0692428E-60.02.1665488E-52.0692256E-50.00.02.0692256E-50.0
7.97.7242046E-105.9475225E-100.00.05.9475225E-100.03.3103735E-92.5489382E-90.00.02.5489382E-90.04.0303796E-83.1033323E-80.00.03.1033323E-80.04.030379E-73.103332E-70.00.03.103332E-70.0

Pleito

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6763008E-52.4764735E-56.0E-52.42286.476374E-54.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.3E-41.22490511.661243E-46.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.001311.0143660.00138133089.0E-50.008708630.0129544120.013021.00506290.0131024691.5E-4
6.11.6763008E-52.4764735E-56.0E-52.42286.476374E-54.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.3E-41.22490511.661243E-46.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.001311.0143660.00138133089.0E-50.008708630.0129544120.013021.00506290.0131024691.5E-4
6.21.6763008E-52.4764735E-56.0E-52.42286.476374E-54.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.3E-41.22490511.661243E-46.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.001311.0143660.00138133089.0E-50.008708630.0129544120.013021.00506290.0131024691.5E-4
6.31.6763008E-52.4764735E-56.0E-52.42286.476374E-54.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.3E-41.22490511.661243E-46.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.001311.0143660.00138133089.0E-50.008708630.0129544120.013021.00506290.0131024691.5E-4
6.41.6763008E-52.4764735E-56.0E-52.42286.476374E-54.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.3E-41.22490511.661243E-46.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.001311.0143660.00138133089.0E-50.008708630.0129544120.013021.00506290.0131024691.5E-4
6.51.6763008E-52.4764735E-56.0E-52.42286.476374E-54.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.3E-41.22490511.661243E-46.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.001311.0143660.00138133089.0E-50.008708630.0129544120.013021.00506290.0131024691.5E-4
6.69.910213E-61.721552E-54.0E-52.3234853.7215177E-52.0E-54.247165E-57.3778734E-56.0E-50.813242449.377726E-52.0E-55.169696E-48.9788967E-47.3E-40.81301759.378537E-44.0E-50.00515768630.0090512260.0060.662893650.0091404119.0E-5
6.79.910213E-61.721552E-54.0E-52.3234853.7215177E-52.0E-54.247165E-57.3778734E-56.0E-50.813242449.377726E-52.0E-55.169696E-48.9788967E-47.3E-40.81301759.378537E-44.0E-50.00515768630.0090512260.0060.662893650.0091404119.0E-5
6.88.300162E-61.5475129E-54.0E-52.58479263.547482E-52.0E-53.557164E-56.63203E-55.0E-50.75391698.631898E-52.0E-54.3299864E-48.07152E-46.3E-40.78052218.471197E-44.0E-50.0043215590.0081506630.004770.585228440.0082101746.0E-5
6.98.183114E-61.5346344E-54.0E-52.6064843.534604E-52.0E-53.5070017E-56.57684E-55.0E-50.760243548.576708E-52.0E-54.2689382E-48.0043747E-45.9E-40.73709698.4040547E-44.0E-50.00426074680.0080840080.004660.57644680.0081435236.0E-5
7.07.1748823E-61.4133306E-53.0E-52.12264563.4133023E-52.0E-53.0749135E-56.0569906E-54.0E-50.660393958.0568694E-52.0E-53.743064E-47.3718966E-44.8E-40.651121447.6716754E-43.0E-50.00373676540.00745537550.003980.5338430.00749507734.0E-5
7.17.1671807E-61.4123676E-53.0E-52.1240933.4123394E-52.0E-53.0716128E-56.0528637E-54.0E-50.66084428.0527425E-52.0E-53.7390468E-47.366875E-44.8E-40.651565257.6666544E-43.0E-50.00373276180.00745038830.003980.53420040.007490094.0E-5
7.27.0649667E-61.3970962E-53.0E-52.1473113.3970682E-52.0E-53.0278077E-55.987418E-54.0E-50.668067637.987298E-52.0E-53.6857324E-47.287248E-44.8E-40.658684857.58703E-43.0E-50.00367962550.00737113740.003940.53451720.0074108434.0E-5
7.37.02082E-61.3914415E-53.0E-52.15603733.3914137E-52.0E-53.008888E-55.9631846E-54.0E-50.67078257.9630656E-52.0E-53.6627054E-47.257764E-44.8E-40.66136077.5575465E-43.0E-50.00365667440.00734163730.003930.535302940.00738134374.0E-5
7.46.987146E-61.3873975E-53.0E-52.16232183.3873697E-52.0E-52.9944567E-55.9458544E-54.0E-50.672737667.945735E-52.0E-53.6451413E-47.2366785E-44.7E-40.649469267.5364613E-43.0E-50.00363916790.0073205710.003920.535477340.00736027864.0E-5
7.56.9494554E-61.383088E-53.0E-52.16905933.38306E-52.0E-52.9783041E-55.9273858E-54.0E-50.67483387.927267E-52.0E-53.625482E-47.2142074E-44.7E-40.65149227.5139914E-43.0E-50.00361957260.0072981990.00390.53437840.0073379074.0E-5
7.66.92694E-61.3789992E-53.0E-52.17549063.3789715E-52.0E-52.9686547E-55.909863E-54.0E-50.676834647.9097445E-52.0E-53.6137376E-47.192888E-44.7E-40.653423257.4926723E-43.0E-50.00360786660.0072769510.003890.534564550.00731665974.0E-5
7.76.395867E-61.26690065E-53.0E-52.36798363.2668755E-52.0E-52.741057E-55.4294615E-53.0E-50.5525417.429353E-52.0E-53.336726E-46.6083675E-43.9E-40.590160856.9081696E-43.0E-50.00333172010.00669554530.003490.52124210.00673527744.0E-5
7.85.8664327E-61.1536581E-53.0E-52.60042383.153635E-52.0E-52.5141611E-54.9441554E-53.0E-50.60677716.944056E-52.0E-53.060561E-46.0178485E-43.6E-40.59822046.317668E-43.0E-50.00305634950.00610101640.003180.52122460.00614077234.0E-5
7.93.7167474E-67.1145205E-63.0E-54.2167282.7114378E-52.0E-51.592882E-53.0490448E-53.0E-50.983914735.0489838E-52.0E-51.9391612E-43.7115812E-42.2E-40.59273933.911507E-42.0E-50.00193746990.00376762430.001990.52818430.0037875492.0E-5
8.01.0903841E-61.2879104E-61.0E-57.7645151.1287898E-51.0E-54.6730665E-65.5196047E-61.0E-51.8117241.551955E-51.0E-55.68931E-56.719913E-57.0E-51.04168027.7198456E-51.0E-55.6878536E-46.942094E-43.7E-40.53298047.0420245E-41.0E-5
8.12.6894583E-71.1056095E-70.00.01.1056095E-70.01.1526245E-64.7383253E-70.00.04.7383253E-70.01.4033113E-55.768896E-62.0E-53.4668685.768896E-60.01.4032227E-46.454915E-55.0E-50.77460356.454915E-50.0
8.25.2967013E-92.4567874E-90.00.02.4567874E-90.02.2700148E-81.0529089E-80.00.01.0529089E-80.02.7637427E-71.2819166E-70.00.01.2819166E-70.02.7637393E-61.4588004E-60.00.01.4588004E-60.0

San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.652694E-53.4401106E-55.0E-51.45344166.4400076E-53.0E-51.5653463E-41.4742499E-41.5E-41.01746652.0741615E-46.0E-50.00190414310.00179342330.001130.630079870.0018932441.0E-40.0188790990.0185263030.009860.53221630.0186637081.4E-4
6.13.652694E-53.4401106E-55.0E-51.45344166.4400076E-53.0E-51.5653463E-41.4742499E-41.5E-41.01746652.0741615E-46.0E-50.00190414310.00179342330.001130.630079870.0018932441.0E-40.0188790990.0185263030.009860.53221630.0186637081.4E-4
6.23.652694E-53.4401106E-55.0E-51.45344166.4400076E-53.0E-51.5653463E-41.4742499E-41.5E-41.01746652.0741615E-46.0E-50.00190414310.00179342330.001130.630079870.0018932441.0E-40.0188790990.0185263030.009860.53221630.0186637081.4E-4
6.33.652694E-53.4401106E-55.0E-51.45344166.4400076E-53.0E-51.5653463E-41.4742499E-41.5E-41.01746652.0741615E-46.0E-50.00190414310.00179342330.001130.630079870.0018932441.0E-40.0188790990.0185263030.009860.53221630.0186637081.4E-4
6.43.646941E-53.432268E-55.0E-51.45676286.432165E-53.0E-51.5628811E-41.4708891E-41.5E-41.01979142.0708008E-46.0E-50.00190114680.00178933890.001130.63151820.00188915991.0E-40.0188496450.0184861810.009830.531748530.0186235941.4E-4
6.53.646941E-53.432268E-55.0E-51.45676286.432165E-53.0E-51.5628811E-41.4708891E-41.5E-41.01979142.0708008E-46.0E-50.00190114680.00178933890.001130.63151820.00188915991.0E-40.0188496450.0184861810.009830.531748530.0186235941.4E-4
6.63.6442503E-53.4286066E-55.0E-51.45831846.4285035E-53.0E-51.561728E-41.4693203E-41.5E-41.02088022.0692321E-46.0E-50.00189974550.0017874320.001130.63219190.00188725331.0E-40.0188358690.018467450.009810.53120490.0186048651.4E-4
6.73.6432113E-53.427164E-55.0E-51.45893226.4270615E-53.0E-51.5612828E-41.4687021E-41.5E-41.02130992.068614E-46.0E-50.00189920440.00178668070.001130.632457730.0018865021.0E-40.0188305490.0184600740.009810.531417130.018597491.4E-4
6.83.6409598E-53.4240697E-55.0E-51.46025066.423967E-53.0E-51.560318E-41.4673761E-41.5E-41.02223282.067288E-46.0E-50.00189803180.00178506890.001130.63302880.00188489041.0E-40.0188190230.0184442290.00980.531331540.0185816471.4E-4
6.93.638078E-53.4201123E-55.0E-51.46194046.4200096E-53.0E-51.5590832E-41.4656801E-41.5E-41.02341572.0655921E-46.0E-50.00189653110.00178300750.001130.633760630.00188282921.0E-40.0188042690.0184239630.00980.531915960.0185613841.4E-4
7.03.6294874E-53.408314E-55.0E-51.4670016.4082116E-53.0E-51.5554018E-41.4606243E-41.5E-41.02695812.0605366E-46.0E-50.00189205690.00177686230.001130.63595250.00187668461.0E-40.0187602840.0183635450.009750.53094330.0185009741.4E-4
7.13.6260717E-53.403942E-55.0E-51.46888516.40384E-53.0E-51.5539382E-41.4587509E-41.5E-41.02827692.0586634E-46.0E-50.0018902780.00177458510.001130.63676850.00187440761.0E-40.0187427960.0183411390.009740.53104660.018478571.4E-4
7.23.6210204E-53.397364E-55.0E-51.47172926.397262E-53.0E-51.5517735E-41.455932E-41.5E-41.03026782.0558447E-46.0E-50.0018876470.00177115880.001130.638000370.00187098171.0E-40.018716930.0183074080.009730.53147880.0184448451.4E-4
7.33.6119454E-53.386193E-55.0E-51.47658466.386091E-53.0E-51.5478847E-41.4511449E-41.5E-41.03366662.0510578E-46.0E-50.00188292060.00176533980.001130.64010340.00186516321.0E-40.0186704620.018249960.009690.53096010.0183874051.4E-4
7.43.607848E-53.380943E-55.0E-51.47887746.380842E-53.0E-51.5461289E-41.4488952E-41.5E-41.03527162.0488082E-46.0E-50.00188078660.00176260520.001130.64109650.0018624291.0E-40.0186494810.0182229560.009680.531198140.0183604041.4E-4
7.53.5856774E-53.3619202E-55.0E-51.48724526.3618194E-53.0E-51.5366284E-41.4407437E-41.5E-41.0411292.0406571E-46.0E-50.00186923960.00175269670.001120.63901530.00185252141.0E-40.0185359440.0181240570.009640.531889740.018261521.4E-4
7.63.286655E-53.2142278E-55.0E-51.55558366.214131E-53.0E-51.4084904E-41.3774536E-41.5E-41.08896591.9773708E-46.0E-50.0017134880.00167576170.001070.63851560.00177559411.0E-40.0170033610.0173438040.009230.53217850.0174813751.4E-4
7.72.8882527E-52.9235205E-54.0E-51.36821345.9234328E-53.0E-51.237764E-41.2528773E-41.3E-41.03761161.8528021E-46.0E-50.00150593570.00152431189.1E-40.59699070.00162415941.0E-40.0149577130.0158303380.008240.520519550.0159681221.4E-4
7.82.4950225E-52.6526219E-54.0E-51.5079425.6525423E-53.0E-51.0692515E-41.1367885E-41.2E-41.05560531.7367203E-46.0E-50.00130103620.00138316218.3E-40.600074230.00148302391.0E-40.0129344550.014411760.007430.51555120.0145497421.4E-4
7.91.9881603E-52.150649E-54.0E-51.85990375.1505845E-53.0E-58.520408E-59.216742E-51.2E-41.30197851.521619E-46.0E-50.0010368660.00112156156.8E-40.606297550.00122144931.0E-40.0103204150.0117769980.005980.507769470.0119153491.4E-4
8.01.563292E-51.5936288E-53.0E-51.88249614.593581E-53.0E-56.6996516E-56.829659E-58.0E-51.17136161.18293174E-45.0E-58.153773E-48.3119445E-45.0E-40.601543969.2111964E-49.0E-50.008123920.0088103310.004470.50735890.0089193621.1E-4
8.11.0045313E-58.300794E-62.0E-52.4094082.8300628E-52.0E-54.305063E-53.557435E-55.0E-51.40550716.557328E-53.0E-55.2401534E-44.3303217E-42.3E-40.531138364.7301484E-44.0E-50.00522781440.00465876660.002180.4679350.00470853365.0E-5
8.24.1554413E-61.5648296E-60.00.01.5648296E-60.01.7808914E-56.7063957E-60.00.06.7063957E-60.02.1680194E-48.164734E-52.0E-50.244955948.164734E-50.00.00216590549.479703E-44.9E-40.51689389.479703E-40.0
8.31.2758221E-63.612677E-70.00.03.612677E-70.05.4677976E-61.5482892E-60.00.01.5482892E-60.06.65684E-51.8850264E-50.00.01.8850264E-50.06.6548464E-42.2739546E-41.0E-40.43976252.2739546E-40.0

Imperial

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7496446E-45.055345E-41.9E-40.37583985.2552443E-42.0E-50.00117788690.0021648178.5E-40.39264290.00223466547.0E-50.01424676550.0260484090.01170.44916370.0261458051.0E-40.133672490.228070290.121460.53255510.228178371.4E-4
6.12.5356023E-44.8657708E-41.9E-40.390482845.0656736E-42.0E-50.0010862340.0020837028.1E-40.38873120.0021535567.0E-50.0131449280.025070940.011210.447131250.0251684321.0E-40.1239401550.219495610.116790.53208350.219604881.4E-4
6.22.4820742E-44.775311E-41.9E-40.397879844.9752154E-42.0E-50.00106331240.00204499468.1E-40.396089050.00211485157.0E-50.012869190.0246106760.010980.446147860.0247082151.0E-40.121489270.216001360.114770.53133920.216111121.4E-4
6.32.3205351E-44.5892023E-41.9E-40.41401534.7891107E-42.0E-59.94136E-40.00196535548.0E-40.407051060.00203521787.0E-50.0120365990.0236611870.010590.447568420.023758821.0E-40.114051330.207938270.110330.53059020.208049161.4E-4
6.42.0304754E-43.9878016E-41.6E-40.401223574.1877216E-42.0E-58.6991355E-40.00170795297.3E-40.427412240.00177783347.0E-50.0105398690.0205954180.009170.445244670.0206933581.0E-40.1005376350.185071130.096550.52169130.185185211.4E-4
6.51.854992E-43.6990462E-41.4E-40.378475933.8989724E-42.0E-57.9475436E-40.00158435486.8E-40.42919680.00165424387.0E-50.0096332810.019114430.008540.446782920.0192125181.0E-40.09226230.17330390.08970.51758790.173419641.4E-4
6.61.6586106E-43.4036173E-41.3E-40.381946563.5035834E-41.0E-57.106394E-40.00145788786.4E-40.438991250.00151780046.0E-50.0086177630.0176076260.007750.440150230.017696049.0E-50.082911320.160780550.082990.51616940.160889641.3E-4
6.71.4224656E-43.076812E-41.3E-40.422515243.1767812E-41.0E-56.094856E-40.00131797565.8E-40.440068870.00137789646.0E-50.00739526930.0159285220.007110.44636910.0160072468.0E-50.071539550.146487980.07530.514035340.14659041.2E-4
6.81.2317259E-42.779231E-41.3E-40.46775532.8792032E-41.0E-55.2777573E-40.00119056155.4E-40.453567530.001250496.0E-50.00640675470.0144001310.006440.447218150.01446912257.0E-50.062251660.132940890.068930.518501160.133036261.1E-4
6.99.859898E-52.5015484E-41.2E-40.479702922.6015233E-41.0E-54.2249862E-40.00107165595.3E-40.494561730.00113159166.0E-50.00513179460.0129703190.005770.444861860.0130394117.0E-50.050148930.1194088760.062440.52290920.119505741.1E-4
7.07.3191884E-52.1267848E-41.0E-40.47019332.2267636E-41.0E-53.136418E-49.11164E-44.5E-40.493873789.711093E-46.0E-50.0038119040.0110376810.004890.443027820.0111069087.0E-50.0374717640.102067560.053340.522595050.102166331.1E-4
7.17.1760296E-52.0969207E-41.0E-40.476889762.1968997E-41.0E-53.0750787E-48.9837395E-44.4E-40.489773789.5832004E-46.0E-50.0037374820.0108835280.004840.444708730.0109527667.0E-50.036752450.100704060.052460.52093230.100802991.1E-4
7.26.46614E-51.9137723E-41.0E-40.522528232.0137531E-41.0E-52.7709085E-48.199333E-44.1E-40.500040658.5990055E-44.0E-50.00336836280.0099376170.004340.43672440.00998712055.0E-50.0331776250.0925110060.047610.514641460.092592689.0E-5
7.36.088115E-51.780939E-41.0E-40.561501561.8809212E-41.0E-52.6089314E-47.6303916E-44.0E-40.524219458.030087E-44.0E-50.00317174760.0092510060.003990.431304450.0093005435.0E-50.0312685850.086561350.044330.512122330.086643569.0E-5
7.44.199346E-51.1511097E-48.0E-50.69498161.2510981E-41.0E-51.7995955E-44.932403E-42.9E-40.58794875.332206E-44.0E-50.00218880570.0059888350.002760.460857570.0060385365.0E-50.021673720.057440240.028840.502087060.0575156448.0E-5
7.53.130448E-58.333871E-58.0E-50.959938059.3337876E-51.0E-51.3415517E-43.5711733E-42.4E-40.672048033.9710305E-44.0E-50.00163211530.00433929540.002190.504690230.00438907845.0E-50.0162018030.0421335060.021340.50648530.0422101368.0E-5
7.62.3074248E-56.0849357E-56.0E-50.986041677.084875E-51.0E-59.888588E-52.6075702E-42.0E-40.76699763.007466E-44.0E-50.00120327060.00317011820.001760.55518430.00321995985.0E-50.0119677610.031028160.015620.50341370.0311056798.0E-5
7.71.45864815E-54.0128452E-53.0E-50.747599244.0128452E-50.06.2511994E-51.7196777E-41.5E-40.872256462.0196261E-43.0E-57.608177E-40.00209170250.001210.578476130.00213161884.0E-50.0075821820.020629090.010490.50850520.0206878526.0E-5
7.81.0352979E-53.096395E-52.0E-50.64591243.096395E-50.04.4369157E-51.326959E-41.1E-40.828963041.5269325E-42.0E-55.400606E-40.00161437780.001020.631822350.00164432943.0E-50.00538750.0160178930.008360.521916330.0160572534.0E-5
7.98.137906E-62.2151205E-50.00.02.2151205E-50.03.4876273E-59.493029E-56.0E-50.63204271.0492934E-41.0E-54.2453592E-40.00115516447.1E-40.61463110.00117514132.0E-50.0042372580.0116188420.006050.520705940.0116484943.0E-5
8.06.93792E-61.8010365E-50.00.01.8010365E-50.02.9733603E-57.7185E-56.0E-50.77735318.718423E-51.0E-53.6194647E-49.3932304E-45.6E-40.596174069.593042E-42.0E-50.00361357510.0095024150.005030.529339130.0095222252.0E-5
8.13.4286315E-66.380179E-60.00.06.380179E-60.01.4694053E-52.734334E-52.0E-50.73143963.7343067E-51.0E-51.7888541E-43.3285443E-42.2E-40.66094963.5284777E-42.0E-50.00178741480.00348636740.002070.593741240.00350629772.0E-5
8.21.4906886E-61.936633E-60.00.01.936633E-60.06.3886496E-68.2998295E-61.0E-51.2048441.8299746E-51.0E-57.7779034E-51.0104576E-48.0E-50.791720451.11044756E-41.0E-57.775182E-40.00110754236.5E-40.586885040.00111753121.0E-5
8.32.5758007E-81.4495866E-80.00.01.4495866E-80.01.10391454E-76.212514E-80.00.06.212514E-80.01.3440151E-67.563736E-70.00.07.563736E-70.01.344007E-57.884359E-61.0E-51.26833397.884359E-60.0

White Mountains

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.503579E-53.3784127E-52.0E-50.591994055.378345E-52.0E-51.5014476E-41.4478175E-46.0E-50.414416851.8477596E-44.0E-50.00182647960.00176141348.4E-40.476889760.00187121961.1E-40.0181154030.0174868570.008870.50723810.0176145831.3E-4
6.13.503579E-53.3784127E-52.0E-50.591994055.378345E-52.0E-51.5014476E-41.4478175E-46.0E-50.414416851.8477596E-44.0E-50.00182647960.00176141348.4E-40.476889760.00187121961.1E-40.0181154030.0174868570.008870.50723810.0176145831.3E-4
6.23.503579E-53.3784127E-52.0E-50.591994055.378345E-52.0E-51.5014476E-41.4478175E-46.0E-50.414416851.8477596E-44.0E-50.00182647960.00176141348.4E-40.476889760.00187121961.1E-40.0181154030.0174868570.008870.50723810.0176145831.3E-4
6.31.7818425E-51.591616E-52.0E-51.25658453.591584E-52.0E-57.636245E-56.821041E-53.0E-50.439815588.8209046E-52.0E-59.293162E-48.301596E-42.7E-40.325238678.6013466E-43.0E-50.0092543950.00827204250.003850.465423140.00830179453.0E-5
6.41.7818425E-51.591616E-52.0E-51.25658453.591584E-52.0E-57.636245E-56.821041E-53.0E-50.439815588.8209046E-52.0E-59.293162E-48.301596E-42.7E-40.325238678.6013466E-43.0E-50.0092543950.00827204250.003850.465423140.00830179453.0E-5
6.51.3397557E-51.1336374E-51.0E-50.882116262.133626E-51.0E-55.741684E-54.8583595E-52.0E-50.41166165.8583108E-51.0E-56.988258E-45.913517E-42.2E-40.372029046.1133987E-42.0E-50.0069663230.0058984870.003010.51030040.00591836872.0E-5
6.61.0818695E-58.625434E-61.0E-51.1593621.8625347E-51.0E-54.6365014E-53.6965648E-52.0E-50.541042864.6965277E-51.0E-55.6434784E-44.4996818E-41.2E-40.266685524.5996366E-41.0E-50.0056291680.00449100740.002160.480961140.00450096231.0E-5
6.79.067908E-66.802476E-61.0E-51.4700531.6802407E-51.0E-53.8861883E-52.915316E-52.0E-50.6860323.915287E-51.0E-54.7304068E-43.548851E-49.0E-50.253603223.6488156E-41.0E-50.004720350.0035435010.001670.47128530.00355346551.0E-5
6.87.295947E-64.9364285E-60.00.04.9364285E-60.03.126797E-52.1155956E-51.0E-50.472680122.1155956E-50.03.8062103E-42.5754445E-46.0E-50.23296952.5754445E-40.00.00379969760.00257257280.001280.49755640.00257257280.0
6.96.2243444E-63.8322546E-60.00.03.8322546E-60.02.6675489E-51.6423846E-51.0E-50.608870741.6423846E-50.03.2472567E-41.9994251E-44.0E-50.200057491.9994251E-40.00.00324251570.0019976799.7E-40.48556350.0019976790.0
7.04.9878413E-62.679564E-60.00.02.679564E-60.02.1376287E-51.1483797E-51.0E-50.870792151.1483797E-50.02.602252E-41.3980652E-43.0E-50.214582261.3980652E-40.00.0025992070.00139721196.6E-40.47236930.00139721190.0
7.14.0252844E-61.885702E-60.00.01.885702E-60.01.7251105E-58.081555E-60.00.08.081555E-60.02.1001195E-49.838863E-50.00.09.838863E-50.00.00209813599.834635E-44.3E-40.43723039.834635E-40.0
7.23.3284066E-61.2818929E-60.00.01.2818929E-60.01.4264522E-55.4938155E-60.00.05.4938155E-60.01.736567E-46.688525E-50.00.06.688525E-50.00.00173521076.6866126E-42.3E-40.343970876.6866126E-40.0
7.32.458226E-66.056684E-70.00.06.056684E-70.01.0535211E-52.5957193E-60.00.02.5957193E-60.01.2825865E-43.160246E-50.00.03.160246E-50.00.00128184643.1598343E-41.0E-40.31647233.1598343E-40.0
7.41.965953E-63.1084684E-70.00.03.1084684E-70.08.425486E-61.3322001E-60.00.01.3322001E-60.01.0257547E-41.6219417E-50.00.01.6219417E-50.00.00102528131.6218246E-48.0E-50.49327161.6218246E-40.0
7.51.2014192E-61.8241002E-70.00.01.8241002E-70.05.148929E-67.8175697E-70.00.07.8175697E-70.06.2686406E-59.51785E-60.00.09.51785E-60.06.266873E-49.517451E-56.0E-50.630420869.517451E-50.0
7.62.5612175E-74.893784E-80.00.04.893784E-80.01.0976642E-62.0973359E-70.00.02.0973359E-70.01.3363979E-52.5535037E-60.00.02.5535037E-60.01.3363175E-42.553478E-52.0E-50.783245442.553478E-50.0

Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0240792E-52.40909E-55.0E-52.07547266.408994E-54.0E-51.2959696E-41.032432E-41.0E-40.968586861.63237E-46.0E-50.00157670080.00125636186.6E-40.52532640.00133626138.0E-50.0156556090.0125026130.006980.55828330.0126309881.3E-4
6.13.0240792E-52.40909E-55.0E-52.07547266.408994E-54.0E-51.2959696E-41.032432E-41.0E-40.968586861.63237E-46.0E-50.00157670080.00125636186.6E-40.52532640.00133626138.0E-50.0156556090.0125026130.006980.55828330.0126309881.3E-4
6.23.0240792E-52.40909E-55.0E-52.07547266.408994E-54.0E-51.2959696E-41.032432E-41.0E-40.968586861.63237E-46.0E-50.00157670080.00125636186.6E-40.52532640.00133626138.0E-50.0156556090.0125026130.006980.55828330.0126309881.3E-4
6.32.0498217E-51.3638054E-52.0E-51.46648492.3637918E-51.0E-58.784654E-55.8447586E-54.0E-50.684373866.8447E-51.0E-50.00106900697.1138324E-43.0E-40.421713627.2137616E-41.0E-50.010638790.00709268640.003760.530123530.0071224743.0E-5
6.42.0498217E-51.3638054E-52.0E-51.46648492.3637918E-51.0E-58.784654E-55.8447586E-54.0E-50.684373866.8447E-51.0E-50.00106900697.1138324E-43.0E-40.421713627.2137616E-41.0E-50.010638790.00709268640.003760.530123530.0071224743.0E-5
6.51.7316182E-51.04769715E-51.0E-50.95447431.04769715E-50.07.42101E-54.490059E-53.0E-50.66814274.490059E-50.09.0313336E-45.465376E-42.4E-40.43912815.465376E-40.00.0089947180.005452930.002870.526322540.0054728212.0E-5
6.61.5251077E-58.414133E-61.0E-51.18847668.414133E-60.06.536012E-53.606011E-52.0E-50.554629453.606011E-50.07.9546886E-44.3895066E-42.0E-40.45563214.3895066E-40.00.0079262740.00438155370.002290.522645650.0044014662.0E-5
6.71.2997425E-56.4112146E-61.0E-51.55976696.4112146E-60.05.570206E-52.7476372E-52.0E-50.72789822.7476372E-50.06.7796157E-43.3447813E-41.9E-40.568049133.3447813E-40.00.00675896930.0033402070.001880.56283930.0033402070.0
6.81.035386E-54.333145E-61.0E-52.30779244.333145E-60.04.437293E-51.8570496E-52.0E-51.07697711.8570496E-50.05.401065E-42.260732E-41.5E-40.66350192.260732E-40.00.00538795670.0022585190.001320.58445380.0022585190.0
6.98.816252E-63.5805879E-61.0E-52.79283743.5805879E-60.03.778339E-51.534529E-52.0E-51.30333151.534529E-50.04.5991567E-41.8681347E-41.4E-40.74941061.8681347E-40.00.004589650.00186662280.001030.55179870.00186662280.0
7.06.8232207E-62.5674399E-61.0E-53.89493042.5674399E-60.02.9242048E-51.100327E-51.0E-50.908820751.100327E-50.03.5596377E-41.3395688E-41.2E-40.89581061.3395688E-40.00.00355394110.00133879257.8E-40.58261460.00133879250.0
7.15.837013E-62.2273143E-61.0E-54.4897122.2273143E-60.02.501553E-59.5456E-61.0E-51.04760319.5456E-60.03.045215E-41.1621177E-41.1E-40.946547871.1621177E-40.00.00304104550.0011615396.4E-40.55099310.0011615390.0
7.24.278052E-61.6275065E-61.0E-56.14436861.6275065E-60.01.833438E-56.975011E-61.0E-51.43368966.975011E-60.02.231982E-48.491768E-58.0E-50.942088848.491768E-50.00.00222974188.4887556E-43.8E-40.447651038.4887556E-40.0
7.31.8803692E-68.344788E-71.0E-511.9835288.344788E-70.08.0587E-63.5763337E-61.0E-52.79615973.5763337E-60.09.811026E-54.354114E-54.0E-50.91867144.354114E-50.09.806695E-44.3534054E-42.3E-40.528322044.3534054E-40.0

Blue Cut

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1227985E-52.2719574E-55.0E-52.20074535.2718893E-53.0E-59.097391E-59.73663E-51.1E-41.12975431.5736045E-46.0E-50.00110704450.00118484817.4E-40.62455260.00127474159.0E-50.0110154580.0117911520.008010.679322960.0119196191.3E-4
6.12.1227985E-52.2719574E-55.0E-52.20074535.2718893E-53.0E-59.097391E-59.73663E-51.1E-41.12975431.5736045E-46.0E-50.00110704450.00118484817.4E-40.62455260.00127474159.0E-50.0110154580.0117911520.008010.679322960.0119196191.3E-4
6.22.1227985E-52.2719574E-55.0E-52.20074535.2718893E-53.0E-59.097391E-59.73663E-51.1E-41.12975431.5736045E-46.0E-50.00110704450.00118484817.4E-40.62455260.00127474159.0E-50.0110154580.0117911520.008010.679322960.0119196191.3E-4
6.31.1613981E-51.2353542E-52.0E-51.61896882.2353419E-51.0E-54.9773254E-55.2942745E-55.0E-50.94441648.294116E-53.0E-56.0582085E-46.443998E-44.2E-40.651769346.84374E-44.0E-50.00604171960.00642655930.004520.703331230.00649610957.0E-5
6.41.1613981E-51.2353542E-52.0E-51.61896882.2353419E-51.0E-54.9773254E-55.2942745E-55.0E-50.94441648.294116E-53.0E-56.0582085E-46.443998E-44.2E-40.651769346.84374E-44.0E-50.00604171960.00642655930.004520.703331230.00649610957.0E-5
6.58.931326E-69.4816E-62.0E-52.10934881.9481506E-51.0E-53.8276554E-54.0634844E-55.0E-51.2304717.063363E-53.0E-54.6591737E-44.946261E-43.2E-40.646953345.2461127E-43.0E-50.00464941750.0049361610.003520.71310480.0049958656.0E-5
6.67.345353E-67.79028E-62.0E-52.5673021.7790202E-51.0E-53.1479703E-53.338653E-55.0E-51.497616.338553E-53.0E-53.83198E-44.064132E-42.6E-40.639743034.36401E-43.0E-50.00382537880.00405749070.003010.74183780.0041172476.0E-5
6.76.2775666E-66.655149E-62.0E-53.00519181.6655082E-51.0E-52.690358E-52.8521798E-55.0E-51.75304525.8520942E-53.0E-53.2750185E-43.472051E-42.2E-40.63363133.7719466E-43.0E-50.00327019630.0034673670.002540.73254430.0035271596.0E-5
6.85.5234095E-65.8551113E-62.0E-53.4158191.5855052E-51.0E-52.367154E-52.5093133E-54.0E-51.59406165.509238E-53.0E-52.8816288E-43.0547334E-41.9E-40.62198553.354642E-43.0E-50.0028778950.00305125050.00220.72101590.00311106756.0E-5
6.94.7780054E-65.0654203E-62.0E-53.94833951.506537E-51.0E-52.0477004E-52.1708804E-54.0E-51.84257045.1708153E-53.0E-52.4927902E-42.642797E-41.7E-40.64325792.9427174E-43.0E-50.00248999570.0026403460.001950.73853950.00270018776.0E-5
7.03.883171E-64.118487E-61.0E-52.4280764.118487E-60.01.6642054E-51.7650578E-52.0E-51.13310732.7650402E-51.0E-52.0259817E-42.1488148E-41.0E-40.46537282.2487935E-41.0E-50.00202413560.00214741290.001560.726455570.0021873274.0E-5
7.12.8358215E-63.0097158E-61.0E-53.32257273.0097158E-60.01.2153464E-51.2898756E-52.0E-51.55053712.2898626E-51.0E-51.4795837E-41.5703762E-49.0E-50.57311111.6703604E-41.0E-50.0014785990.00156991160.001150.73252530.00160984884.0E-5

San Pedro Basin

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.3449043E-56.337018E-56.0E-50.94681751.03367645E-44.0E-52.2904722E-42.7156167E-41.4E-40.515536673.115508E-44.0E-50.00278508360.00330185150.001620.490633850.00337162037.0E-50.0275043660.032589480.016260.4989340.032705571.2E-4
6.15.3449043E-56.337018E-56.0E-50.94681751.03367645E-44.0E-52.2904722E-42.7156167E-41.4E-40.515536673.115508E-44.0E-50.00278508360.00330185150.001620.490633850.00337162037.0E-50.0275043660.032589480.016260.4989340.032705571.2E-4
6.22.3189454E-52.6642829E-54.0E-51.5013424.6642297E-52.0E-59.9379584E-51.1417881E-47.0E-50.613073471.3417653E-42.0E-50.00120927490.00138928757.2E-40.518251240.0014292324.0E-50.0120271550.013810890.007070.511914850.0138700616.0E-5
6.32.3189454E-52.6642829E-54.0E-51.5013424.6642297E-52.0E-59.9379584E-51.1417881E-47.0E-50.613073471.3417653E-42.0E-50.00120927490.00138928757.2E-40.518251240.0014292324.0E-50.0120271550.013810890.007070.511914850.0138700616.0E-5
6.41.966056E-52.246342E-53.0E-51.33550453.2463195E-51.0E-58.425682E-59.626848E-56.0E-50.6232571.06267515E-41.0E-50.0010253440.00117147875.8E-40.49510080.00119145522.0E-50.0102062590.0116571190.005990.51384910.01169665254.0E-5
6.51.7342953E-51.9745152E-53.0E-51.51936032.9744955E-51.0E-57.4324824E-58.461954E-55.0E-50.590880049.46187E-51.0E-59.04529E-40.00102979295.3E-40.514666560.00104977242.0E-50.0090085610.0102539320.005360.52272630.0102836253.0E-5
6.61.439804E-51.6322716E-52.0E-51.22528622.6322554E-51.0E-56.170443E-56.99528E-54.0E-50.57181417.995211E-51.0E-57.509924E-48.513747E-44.4E-40.51681128.713577E-42.0E-50.00748459530.0084843330.004370.5150670.0085140783.0E-5
6.71.2634884E-51.4285298E-52.0E-51.40004072.4285155E-51.0E-55.414838E-56.122144E-54.0E-50.653365857.122083E-51.0E-56.590571E-47.451466E-44.1E-40.55022737.651317E-42.0E-50.0065710590.0074295020.003850.518204330.0074592793.0E-5
6.81.146091E-51.2933193E-51.0E-50.773204271.2933193E-50.04.911726E-55.542696E-53.0E-50.541252855.542696E-50.05.9783855E-46.74644E-43.7E-40.548437366.846373E-41.0E-50.00596232760.00672889970.003510.52163060.00674876522.0E-5
6.99.109035E-61.0235013E-51.0E-50.97703831.0235013E-50.03.9038136E-54.386376E-53.0E-50.68393594.386376E-50.04.7518566E-45.339384E-42.8E-40.524405065.4393307E-41.0E-50.00474170830.00532930950.002880.54040770.0053492032.0E-5
7.05.9351028E-66.583965E-61.0E-51.51884166.583965E-60.02.5435906E-52.821682E-52.0E-50.708797042.821682E-50.03.0963816E-43.4350925E-41.9E-40.553114653.4350925E-40.00.00309207060.00343209970.00180.524460260.00344206531.0E-5
7.12.1557585E-62.2096492E-60.00.02.2096492E-60.09.238933E-69.469892E-61.0E-51.05597839.469892E-60.01.1247819E-41.15289986E-45.0E-50.4336891.15289986E-40.00.00112421280.00115231726.4E-40.555402640.00116230561.0E-5
7.22.1251979E-62.1779954E-60.00.02.1779954E-60.09.107958E-69.334234E-61.0E-51.07132529.334234E-60.01.1088375E-41.13638525E-45.0E-50.439991621.13638525E-40.00.00110828450.00113581956.4E-40.56346980.00114580811.0E-5
7.31.7145798E-61.7442885E-60.00.01.7442885E-60.07.3481783E-67.475501E-61.0E-51.3377037.475501E-60.08.94604E-59.1010515E-55.0E-50.549387049.1010515E-50.08.9424395E-49.0974156E-44.6E-40.505638069.197325E-41.0E-5
7.41.4467993E-61.4641878E-60.00.01.4641878E-60.06.200554E-66.275076E-61.0E-51.59360626.275076E-60.07.548913E-57.639644E-54.0E-50.52358467.639644E-50.07.546349E-47.6370913E-43.7E-40.484477677.7370147E-41.0E-5
7.51.2803735E-61.2931506E-60.00.01.2931506E-60.05.487303E-65.5420624E-61.0E-51.80438245.5420624E-60.06.680587E-56.747259E-54.0E-50.59283336.747259E-50.06.678579E-46.745281E-43.6E-40.53370646.845214E-41.0E-5
7.66.755009E-76.76947E-70.00.06.76947E-70.02.8950008E-62.9011985E-60.00.02.9011985E-60.03.5246063E-53.532158E-51.0E-50.283113063.532158E-50.03.5240475E-43.5316538E-42.1E-40.59462233.6316185E-41.0E-5
7.76.211885E-84.5699714E-80.00.04.5699714E-80.02.6622362E-71.9585592E-70.00.01.9585592E-70.03.2412677E-62.3845432E-60.00.02.3845432E-60.03.2412205E-52.3845198E-51.0E-50.419371632.3845198E-50.0
7.82.6580573E-91.5138054E-90.00.01.5138054E-90.01.1391674E-86.4877375E-90.00.06.4877375E-90.01.3869362E-77.89882E-80.00.07.89882E-80.01.3869354E-67.89882E-70.00.07.89882E-70.0

Ventura-Pitas Point

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.3179622E-53.373519E-58.0E-52.3714119.3733164E-56.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.5E-41.03753952.0456414E-46.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.001140.6480920.0018388698.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.012390.70895210.0175649249.0E-5
6.13.3179622E-53.373519E-58.0E-52.3714119.3733164E-56.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.5E-41.03753952.0456414E-46.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.001140.6480920.0018388698.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.012390.70895210.0175649249.0E-5
6.23.3179622E-53.373519E-58.0E-52.3714119.3733164E-56.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.5E-41.03753952.0456414E-46.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.001140.6480920.0018388698.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.012390.70895210.0175649249.0E-5
6.33.3179622E-53.373519E-58.0E-52.3714119.3733164E-56.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.5E-41.03753952.0456414E-46.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.001140.6480920.0018388698.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.012390.70895210.0175649249.0E-5
6.41.8754668E-51.7019594E-53.0E-51.76267423.7019254E-52.0E-58.037467E-57.2939205E-57.0E-50.95970339.293775E-52.0E-59.781223E-48.8769617E-45.3E-40.597051149.276607E-44.0E-50.0097382820.0088439430.005960.67390760.0088835894.0E-5
6.51.8754668E-51.7019594E-53.0E-51.76267423.7019254E-52.0E-58.037467E-57.2939205E-57.0E-50.95970339.293775E-52.0E-59.781223E-48.8769617E-45.3E-40.597051149.276607E-44.0E-50.0097382820.0088439430.005960.67390760.0088835894.0E-5
6.61.4361558E-51.2122258E-52.0E-51.64985763.2122014E-52.0E-56.154808E-55.1951512E-55.0E-50.96243597.1950475E-52.0E-57.490902E-46.323284E-44.0E-40.632582666.623094E-43.0E-50.00746570160.0063056520.004270.67717020.0063354633.0E-5
6.71.4361558E-51.2122258E-52.0E-51.64985763.2122014E-52.0E-56.154808E-55.1951512E-55.0E-50.96243597.1950475E-52.0E-57.490902E-46.323284E-44.0E-40.632582666.623094E-43.0E-50.00746570160.0063056520.004270.67717020.0063354633.0E-5
6.81.3663846E-51.1344401E-52.0E-51.76298423.1344174E-52.0E-55.8558027E-54.8617967E-55.0E-51.02842646.8616995E-52.0E-57.127108E-45.917649E-43.6E-40.60834976.2174717E-43.0E-50.0071042930.00590221070.003990.67601790.0059320343.0E-5
6.91.3644157E-51.1322501E-52.0E-51.7663943.1322274E-52.0E-55.8473648E-54.8524114E-55.0E-51.03041556.852314E-52.0E-57.116841E-45.906229E-43.6E-40.6095266.206052E-43.0E-50.0070940920.00589085140.003990.677321430.00592067473.0E-5
7.01.3568845E-51.12420685E-52.0E-51.7790323.1241845E-52.0E-55.8150898E-54.8179416E-55.0E-51.03778766.817845E-52.0E-57.077572E-45.8642845E-43.6E-40.613885646.1641086E-43.0E-50.0070550730.0058491280.003970.678733650.0058789533.0E-5
7.11.306572E-51.0720521E-52.0E-51.8655813.0720308E-52.0E-55.599474E-54.594429E-55.0E-51.08827456.594337E-52.0E-56.815227E-45.5923004E-43.5E-40.62586055.892133E-43.0E-50.00679436370.0055785360.003790.67938970.00560836873.0E-5
7.21.232604E-59.995121E-62.0E-52.0009762.999492E-52.0E-55.2824813E-54.283554E-55.0E-51.1672556.283468E-52.0E-56.429523E-45.2139966E-43.4E-40.65209095.5138406E-43.0E-50.00641095270.0052020590.003540.680499730.0052319033.0E-5
7.31.0917261E-58.843812E-62.0E-52.26146822.8843635E-52.0E-54.678742E-53.7901507E-54.0E-51.0553675.790075E-52.0E-55.69488E-44.6135474E-42.7E-40.5852334.913409E-43.0E-50.00568030770.0046042390.003060.664604960.00463410053.0E-5
7.41.039959E-58.42354E-62.0E-52.37429862.8423372E-52.0E-54.456891E-53.6100395E-54.0E-51.10802115.6099674E-52.0E-55.424914E-44.394352E-42.5E-40.56891214.6942203E-43.0E-50.00541168960.00438592770.00290.66120560.0044157963.0E-5
7.59.015877E-67.29752E-62.0E-52.7406572.7297374E-52.0E-53.86389E-53.1274718E-54.0E-51.27898845.127409E-52.0E-54.7032707E-43.8070456E-42.1E-40.55160884.1069314E-43.0E-50.0046933290.0038007720.002560.67354740.00383065783.0E-5
7.64.900162E-63.874119E-62.0E-55.1624642.3874041E-52.0E-52.1000526E-51.6603262E-53.0E-51.80687393.660293E-52.0E-52.556514E-42.0212609E-49.0E-50.44526662.3212003E-43.0E-50.00255357470.0020194360.001490.73782970.00204937563.0E-5
7.73.8850626E-63.12676E-62.0E-56.39639762.3126697E-52.0E-51.6650163E-51.3400332E-53.0E-52.23875053.3400065E-52.0E-52.0269687E-41.6313691E-49.0E-50.551683841.9313201E-43.0E-50.0020251210.00163018090.001190.729980350.0016601323.0E-5
7.82.4654719E-62.029902E-62.0E-59.8526932.202986E-52.0E-51.0566265E-58.699551E-62.0E-52.29896932.8699376E-52.0E-51.2863669E-41.0591193E-44.0E-50.377672281.259098E-42.0E-50.00128562250.00105861927.8E-40.736808840.00107859812.0E-5
7.94.095894E-73.2765078E-70.00.03.2765078E-70.01.7553821E-61.4042168E-60.00.01.4042168E-60.02.1371567E-51.709621E-50.00.01.709621E-50.02.1369511E-41.7094925E-41.0E-40.58496891.7094925E-40.0
8.07.791402E-95.6836056E-90.00.05.6836056E-90.03.3391725E-82.4358311E-80.00.02.4358311E-80.04.0654416E-72.965624E-70.00.02.965624E-70.04.065434E-62.9656223E-61.0E-53.37197352.9656223E-60.0

Big Pine (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.916913E-61.28172705E-52.0E-51.56039462.2817143E-51.0E-54.250036E-55.493013E-58.0E-51.45639561.04927385E-45.0E-55.173191E-46.685912E-45.2E-40.77775487.5853104E-49.0E-50.00516116430.0066704490.005260.788552640.00678964841.2E-4
6.19.916913E-61.28172705E-52.0E-51.56039462.2817143E-51.0E-54.250036E-55.493013E-58.0E-51.45639561.04927385E-45.0E-55.173191E-46.685912E-45.2E-40.77775487.5853104E-49.0E-50.00516116430.0066704490.005260.788552640.00678964841.2E-4
6.29.916913E-61.28172705E-52.0E-51.56039462.2817143E-51.0E-54.250036E-55.493013E-58.0E-51.45639561.04927385E-45.0E-55.173191E-46.685912E-45.2E-40.77775487.5853104E-49.0E-50.00516116430.0066704490.005260.788552640.00678964841.2E-4
6.35.479711E-68.1132375E-61.0E-51.23255368.1132375E-60.02.3484265E-53.4770575E-53.0E-50.86279855.476988E-52.0E-52.858834E-44.232527E-42.8E-40.66154334.7323154E-45.0E-50.00285515890.00422725130.003190.754627470.0042969557.0E-5
6.45.465009E-68.0975315E-61.0E-51.23494438.0975315E-60.02.3421257E-53.4703262E-53.0E-50.864472035.4702567E-52.0E-52.851165E-44.2243348E-42.8E-40.662826244.7241236E-45.0E-50.00284750970.004219090.003180.753716950.0042887957.0E-5
6.54.826767E-67.4225877E-61.0E-51.34723917.4225877E-60.02.068598E-53.1810716E-53.0E-50.94307845.1810082E-52.0E-52.518227E-43.8722943E-42.8E-40.72308554.3721008E-45.0E-50.00251537510.00386829070.002860.739344660.00393801977.0E-5
6.64.3146847E-66.8825234E-61.0E-51.45295556.8825234E-60.01.8491375E-52.949621E-53.0E-51.01707984.949562E-52.0E-52.2510924E-43.5905963E-42.5E-40.69626324.0904168E-45.0E-50.00224881340.00358750620.002490.694075470.00364729096.0E-5
6.73.6968106E-65.9957474E-61.0E-51.66784875.9957474E-60.01.5843378E-52.5695816E-53.0E-51.16750534.5695302E-52.0E-51.9287605E-43.128032E-42.2E-40.703317643.6278754E-45.0E-50.00192708730.00312624990.002120.67812880.00318606246.0E-5
6.83.4671132E-65.7024477E-61.0E-51.75363295.7024477E-60.01.4858972E-52.4438841E-53.0E-51.22755414.443835E-52.0E-51.8089297E-42.9750372E-41.8E-40.60503453.4748882E-45.0E-50.00180745790.00297366660.001920.645667550.00303348836.0E-5
6.92.7686972E-64.8254797E-61.0E-52.07233294.8254797E-60.01.1865792E-52.0680467E-52.0E-50.967096153.068026E-51.0E-51.4445644E-42.5175634E-41.6E-40.63553512.9174628E-44.0E-50.00144362570.0025172560.001360.540270860.002567135.0E-5
7.02.1472624E-63.985277E-60.00.03.985277E-60.09.20252E-61.707965E-51.0E-50.58549212.7079479E-51.0E-51.12034926E-42.0792543E-49.0E-50.43284752.3791919E-43.0E-50.00111978450.00207982380.001160.557739560.00211974074.0E-5
7.11.7018335E-63.3450835E-60.00.03.3450835E-60.07.293552E-61.4335996E-50.00.01.4335996E-50.08.879537E-51.7452713E-47.0E-50.401083771.8452539E-41.0E-58.87599E-40.00174637929.0E-40.5153520.00175636171.0E-5
7.21.25603E-62.794679E-60.00.02.794679E-60.05.3829745E-61.1977142E-50.00.01.1977142E-50.06.553574E-51.4581217E-44.0E-50.274325521.5581072E-41.0E-56.551642E-40.00145961736.8E-40.465875540.00146960271.0E-5
7.31.112297E-62.610519E-60.00.02.610519E-60.04.7669787E-61.1187892E-50.00.01.1187892E-50.05.803642E-51.3620428E-44.0E-50.293676531.4620292E-41.0E-55.802127E-40.0013635026.1E-40.44737740.00137348831.0E-5
7.41.0137181E-62.4836752E-60.00.02.4836752E-60.04.3444993E-61.064428E-50.00.01.064428E-50.05.2892992E-51.2958662E-44.0E-50.308673861.3958532E-41.0E-55.288041E-40.00129719186.0E-40.462537620.00130717891.0E-5
7.59.598608E-72.407328E-60.00.02.407328E-60.04.1136827E-61.03170805E-50.00.01.03170805E-50.05.0082934E-51.2560343E-43.0E-50.238846971.3560218E-41.0E-55.007165E-40.00125721325.8E-40.461337830.00126720071.0E-5
7.67.929459E-72.0450152E-60.00.02.0450152E-60.03.3983351E-68.764322E-60.00.08.764322E-60.04.1373947E-51.0670057E-42.0E-50.187440431.0670057E-40.04.1366243E-40.00106858255.1E-40.477267770.00106858250.0
7.74.155788E-71.1606729E-60.00.01.1606729E-60.01.7810507E-64.974303E-60.00.04.974303E-60.02.1684076E-56.05605E-51.0E-50.165124136.05605E-50.02.1681961E-46.085995E-43.3E-40.542228466.085995E-40.0
7.81.14666925E-72.592197E-70.00.02.592197E-70.04.914296E-71.1109411E-60.00.01.1109411E-60.05.9831386E-61.3525627E-50.00.01.3525627E-50.05.9829777E-51.3636416E-46.0E-50.43999831.3636416E-40.0
7.92.9231824E-84.1462318E-80.00.04.1462318E-80.01.2527924E-71.7769564E-70.00.01.7769564E-70.01.5252737E-62.1634426E-60.00.02.1634426E-60.01.5252632E-52.197062E-51.0E-50.45515332.197062E-50.0

Rinconada 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5752368E-51.6274716E-52.0E-51.22890013.627439E-52.0E-56.75084E-56.974694E-58.0E-51.14700381.0974414E-44.0E-58.2160486E-48.488413E-46.1E-40.718626749.0879033E-46.0E-50.0081857390.008456370.005590.66104010.0085753561.2E-4
6.11.0966133E-51.1323029E-52.0E-51.76631183.13228E-52.0E-54.6996865E-54.852637E-54.0E-50.82429417.8524914E-53.0E-55.720366E-45.9064914E-43.3E-40.558707366.406196E-45.0E-50.00570566350.0058908890.003290.558489560.0059803599.0E-5
6.21.0966133E-51.1323029E-52.0E-51.76631183.13228E-52.0E-54.6996865E-54.852637E-54.0E-50.82429417.8524914E-53.0E-55.720366E-45.9064914E-43.3E-40.558707366.406196E-45.0E-50.00570566350.0058908890.003290.558489560.0059803599.0E-5
6.38.926149E-69.212772E-61.0E-51.08544971.9212679E-51.0E-53.8254362E-53.948271E-53.0E-50.759826245.948192E-52.0E-54.6564735E-44.8059633E-42.6E-40.54099465.105819E-43.0E-50.00464672830.00479561460.00270.56301440.0048652797.0E-5
6.47.676955E-67.920191E-61.0E-51.26259581.7920112E-51.0E-53.290082E-53.3943234E-53.0E-50.88382855.3942556E-52.0E-54.0049385E-44.131807E-42.2E-40.532454674.431683E-43.0E-50.00399772870.0041241510.002350.56981420.00419386247.0E-5
6.56.1671026E-66.358955E-61.0E-51.57258551.6358892E-51.0E-52.6430173E-52.725238E-53.0E-51.10082134.7251837E-52.0E-53.2173982E-43.317473E-42.1E-40.633011943.6173733E-43.0E-50.0032127440.00331253260.001940.58565460.00338230077.0E-5
6.65.553456E-65.7248126E-61.0E-51.74678211.5724756E-51.0E-52.3800309E-52.4534682E-52.0E-50.81517264.453419E-52.0E-52.897302E-42.9866886E-42.0E-40.66963793.286599E-43.0E-50.00289352770.00298268320.001710.57330930.00303253425.0E-5
6.74.787857E-64.93331E-60.00.04.93331E-60.02.0519226E-52.1142585E-51.0E-50.472979073.1142372E-51.0E-52.4979294E-42.573806E-41.7E-40.66050042.7737545E-42.0E-50.00249512350.0025708310.001540.59902810.00261072814.0E-5
6.83.9955166E-64.1134763E-60.00.04.1134763E-60.01.7123532E-51.7629065E-51.0E-50.567245072.7628888E-51.0E-52.0845905E-42.1461275E-41.6E-40.74552882.3460847E-42.0E-50.0020826360.00214405870.001340.62498290.00217399423.0E-5
6.93.4250072E-63.5224466E-60.00.03.5224466E-60.01.46785205E-51.5096112E-51.0E-50.66242222.5095962E-51.0E-51.7869633E-41.8377969E-41.2E-40.65295572.0377601E-42.0E-50.0017855270.00183627950.001130.615374740.00186622453.0E-5
7.02.7712713E-62.8467002E-60.00.02.8467002E-60.01.1876823E-51.22000865E-51.0E-50.81966632.2199965E-51.0E-51.4459073E-41.4852594E-41.0E-40.673283041.6852298E-42.0E-50.00144496680.00148426838.6E-40.57941010.00151422393.0E-5
7.12.227358E-62.2856987E-60.00.02.2856987E-60.09.545785E-69.795815E-61.0E-51.02084411.9795716E-51.0E-51.16213734E-41.1925753E-49.0E-50.754669371.3925515E-42.0E-50.00116152980.00119193637.7E-40.646007660.00122190063.0E-5
7.21.581796E-61.6209015E-60.00.01.6209015E-60.06.779108E-66.946702E-61.0E-51.4395321.6946633E-51.0E-58.253252E-58.4572814E-57.0E-50.82768911.04571125E-42.0E-58.250187E-48.4540684E-45.7E-40.67423168.753815E-43.0E-5
7.31.0306567E-61.054648E-60.00.01.054648E-60.04.4170924E-64.519912E-60.00.04.519912E-60.05.3776774E-55.502854E-53.0E-50.54517166.502799E-51.0E-55.376376E-45.501494E-44.2E-40.7634295.701384E-42.0E-5
7.46.535541E-76.682744E-70.00.06.682744E-70.02.800943E-62.8640302E-60.00.02.8640302E-60.03.4100947E-53.4869012E-52.0E-50.57357524.4868662E-51.0E-53.4095717E-43.486355E-42.8E-40.803131043.5863204E-41.0E-5
7.53.2656962E-73.3316712E-70.00.03.3316712E-70.01.3995833E-61.4278584E-60.00.01.4278584E-60.01.7039794E-51.7384036E-50.00.01.7384036E-50.01.7038487E-41.738268E-41.2E-40.69034231.738268E-40.0
7.69.754343E-89.821017E-80.00.09.821017E-80.04.180432E-74.2090065E-70.00.04.2090065E-70.05.089664E-65.1244533E-60.00.05.1244533E-60.05.0895473E-55.124336E-52.0E-50.390294465.124336E-50.0
7.76.0001453E-95.8491207E-90.00.05.8491207E-90.02.5714908E-82.506766E-80.00.02.506766E-80.03.1307894E-73.051987E-70.00.03.051987E-70.03.1307852E-63.0519832E-61.0E-53.2765583.0519832E-60.0
7.87.400003E-117.4654505E-110.00.07.4654505E-110.03.171432E-103.1994773E-100.00.03.1994773E-100.03.861218E-93.895363E-90.00.03.895363E-90.03.861218E-83.895363E-80.00.03.895363E-80.0

Dry Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.222801E-66.439381E-62.0E-53.10588842.6439253E-52.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-52.0E-50.72471264.7596594E-52.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-41.9E-40.56554464.0593586E-47.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.001770.52740150.00347567421.2E-4
6.16.222801E-66.439381E-62.0E-53.10588842.6439253E-52.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-52.0E-50.72471264.7596594E-52.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-41.9E-40.56554464.0593586E-47.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.001770.52740150.00347567421.2E-4
6.26.222801E-66.439381E-62.0E-53.10588842.6439253E-52.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-52.0E-50.72471264.7596594E-52.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-41.9E-40.56554464.0593586E-47.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.001770.52740150.00347567421.2E-4
6.36.222801E-66.439381E-62.0E-53.10588842.6439253E-52.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-52.0E-50.72471264.7596594E-52.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-41.9E-40.56554464.0593586E-47.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.001770.52740150.00347567421.2E-4
6.46.222801E-66.439381E-62.0E-53.10588842.6439253E-52.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-52.0E-50.72471264.7596594E-52.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-41.9E-40.56554464.0593586E-47.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.001770.52740150.00347567421.2E-4
6.52.8528623E-62.9521684E-61.0E-53.38734051.2952139E-51.0E-51.22264955E-51.2652138E-51.0E-50.790380242.2652011E-51.0E-51.4884741E-41.540376E-48.0E-50.519353751.7403452E-42.0E-50.00148747740.00154016168.0E-40.5194260.00158014.0E-5
6.62.8528623E-62.9521684E-61.0E-53.38734051.2952139E-51.0E-51.22264955E-51.2652138E-51.0E-50.790380242.2652011E-51.0E-51.4884741E-41.540376E-48.0E-50.519353751.7403452E-42.0E-50.00148747740.00154016168.0E-40.5194260.00158014.0E-5
6.72.541E-62.6293578E-61.0E-53.803211.2629332E-51.0E-51.0889954E-51.1268677E-51.0E-50.887415652.1268565E-51.0E-51.3257713E-41.3719614E-46.0E-50.43733011.4719476E-41.0E-50.00132498060.00137196137.4E-40.539373760.00140192023.0E-5

Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.6264497E-66.75733E-63.0E-54.43962343.6757127E-53.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-56.0E-52.07184397.895826E-55.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-43.6E-41.0211744.3250722E-48.0E-50.00345162770.00352055020.001760.499921860.0036301631.1E-4
6.16.6264497E-66.75733E-63.0E-54.43962343.6757127E-53.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-56.0E-52.07184397.895826E-55.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-43.6E-41.0211744.3250722E-48.0E-50.00345162770.00352055020.001760.499921860.0036301631.1E-4
6.26.6264497E-66.75733E-63.0E-54.43962343.6757127E-53.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-56.0E-52.07184397.895826E-55.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-43.6E-41.0211744.3250722E-48.0E-50.00345162770.00352055020.001760.499921860.0036301631.1E-4
6.36.6264497E-66.75733E-63.0E-54.43962343.6757127E-53.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-56.0E-52.07184397.895826E-55.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-43.6E-41.0211744.3250722E-48.0E-50.00345162770.00352055020.001760.499921860.0036301631.1E-4
6.46.6264497E-66.75733E-63.0E-54.43962343.6757127E-53.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-56.0E-52.07184397.895826E-55.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-43.6E-41.0211744.3250722E-48.0E-50.00345162770.00352055020.001760.499921860.0036301631.1E-4
6.53.2162225E-63.2570915E-61.0E-53.07022381.32570585E-51.0E-51.3783738E-51.3958894E-52.0E-51.43277843.3958615E-52.0E-51.6780409E-41.6993708E-41.7E-41.00037031.8993368E-42.0E-50.00167677440.0016981519.8E-40.577098250.00173808314.0E-5
6.63.2162225E-63.2570915E-61.0E-53.07022381.32570585E-51.0E-51.3783738E-51.3958894E-52.0E-51.43277843.3958615E-52.0E-51.6780409E-41.6993708E-41.7E-41.00037031.8993368E-42.0E-50.00167677440.0016981519.8E-40.577098250.00173808314.0E-5
6.72.1908265E-62.2071222E-61.0E-54.53078651.2207101E-51.0E-59.389223E-69.459062E-61.0E-51.05718721.9458968E-51.0E-51.1430779E-41.1515819E-41.2E-41.04204491.2515704E-41.0E-50.00114249010.00115100466.3E-40.547347960.00117098162.0E-5
6.81.7303895E-61.736553E-61.0E-55.75853441.1736535E-51.0E-57.415934E-67.442349E-61.0E-51.34366181.7442275E-51.0E-59.028525E-59.060693E-58.0E-50.882934631.0060603E-41.0E-59.024858E-49.0570963E-44.9E-40.54101229.256915E-42.0E-5
6.91.3700314E-61.3688623E-61.0E-57.30533651.1368848E-51.0E-55.87155E-65.86654E-61.0E-51.70458231.586648E-51.0E-57.148377E-57.142283E-57.0E-50.98007888.142211E-51.0E-57.146078E-47.140033E-44.0E-40.56022157.33989E-42.0E-5
7.01.1467797E-61.1413805E-61.0E-58.761321.1141369E-51.0E-54.9147607E-64.8916218E-61.0E-52.04431181.4891573E-51.0E-55.983557E-55.95539E-56.0E-51.00749066.95533E-51.0E-55.981946E-45.9538253E-43.0E-40.50387776.1537063E-42.0E-5
7.19.3952065E-79.3026915E-71.0E-510.74957751.093026E-51.0E-54.026511E-63.986862E-61.0E-52.50823861.3986822E-51.0E-54.9021666E-54.853898E-55.0E-51.03015.853849E-51.0E-54.901085E-44.8528553E-42.5E-40.51516065.0527585E-42.0E-5
7.26.858055E-76.7193014E-71.0E-514.88251.06719235E-51.0E-52.939163E-62.8796974E-61.0E-53.4725871.2879668E-51.0E-53.5783723E-53.5059762E-55.0E-51.42613644.5059413E-51.0E-53.5777962E-43.5054318E-41.9E-40.542015973.7053617E-42.0E-5
7.35.1101983E-74.939301E-71.0E-520.245781.0493925E-51.0E-52.1900833E-62.1168414E-61.0E-54.72401951.21168205E-51.0E-52.6663936E-52.5772246E-54.0E-51.55205733.5771987E-51.0E-52.6660739E-42.5769303E-41.3E-40.50447622.7768788E-42.0E-5
7.43.4999414E-73.2995916E-71.0E-530.3067821.0329956E-51.0E-51.499974E-61.4141099E-61.0E-57.0715861.1414096E-51.0E-51.8262032E-51.7216655E-53.0E-51.74249882.7216482E-51.0E-51.826053E-41.7215345E-41.0E-40.58087711.9215001E-42.0E-5
7.51.7021522E-71.4750053E-70.00.01.4750053E-70.07.2949354E-76.32145E-70.00.06.32145E-70.08.881548E-67.696339E-60.00.07.696339E-60.08.8811925E-57.696081E-53.0E-50.38980888.696003E-51.0E-5
7.62.572245E-81.735264E-80.00.01.735264E-80.01.10239064E-77.436845E-80.00.07.436845E-80.01.3421597E-69.0543557E-70.00.09.0543557E-70.01.3421517E-59.054324E-60.00.09.054324E-60.0

San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0667746E-53.5271103E-55.0E-51.41759116.527005E-53.0E-51.742787E-41.5115313E-41.3E-40.860054972.0114557E-45.0E-50.00211977820.00183873720.001110.60367520.00192857179.0E-50.0209967140.0189864950.009720.51194280.0190944061.1E-4
6.14.0667746E-53.5271103E-55.0E-51.41759116.527005E-53.0E-51.742787E-41.5115313E-41.3E-40.860054972.0114557E-45.0E-50.00211977820.00183873720.001110.60367520.00192857179.0E-50.0209967140.0189864950.009720.51194280.0190944061.1E-4
6.24.0667746E-53.5271103E-55.0E-51.41759116.527005E-53.0E-51.742787E-41.5115313E-41.3E-40.860054972.0114557E-45.0E-50.00211977820.00183873720.001110.60367520.00192857179.0E-50.0209967140.0189864950.009720.51194280.0190944061.1E-4
6.34.0667746E-53.5271103E-55.0E-51.41759116.527005E-53.0E-51.742787E-41.5115313E-41.3E-40.860054972.0114557E-45.0E-50.00211977820.00183873720.001110.60367520.00192857179.0E-50.0209967140.0189864950.009720.51194280.0190944061.1E-4
6.44.0577226E-53.5143014E-55.0E-51.42275796.514196E-53.0E-51.738908E-41.5060425E-41.3E-40.86318952.0059671E-45.0E-50.00211506480.00183206690.00110.600414750.00192190219.0E-50.0209504720.0189210620.009710.51318470.0190289821.1E-4
6.54.0577226E-53.5143014E-55.0E-51.42275796.514196E-53.0E-51.738908E-41.5060425E-41.3E-40.86318952.0059671E-45.0E-50.00211506480.00183206690.00110.600414750.00192190219.0E-50.0209504720.0189210620.009710.51318470.0190289821.1E-4
6.64.053861E-53.5088357E-55.0E-51.42497416.5087304E-53.0E-51.7372532E-41.5037002E-41.3E-40.8645342.003625E-45.0E-50.00211305380.00182922060.00110.6013490.00191905599.0E-50.0209307430.018893140.009710.513943140.0190010611.1E-4
6.74.0516545E-53.505743E-55.0E-51.42623116.505638E-53.0E-51.7363077E-41.502375E-41.3E-40.86529662.0022999E-45.0E-50.0021119050.00182761010.00110.601878940.00191744569.0E-50.0209194680.0188773370.009710.51437340.018985261.1E-4
6.84.049434E-53.5028992E-55.0E-51.4273896.502794E-53.0E-51.7353562E-41.5011564E-41.3E-40.865999042.0010813E-45.0E-50.00211074880.00182612890.00110.60236710.00191596459.0E-50.0209081250.0188627490.009710.51477120.0189706741.1E-4
6.94.046386E-53.4991554E-55.0E-51.42891626.4990505E-53.0E-51.73405E-41.499552E-41.3E-40.86692561.999477E-45.0E-50.00210916160.00182417880.00110.60301110.00191401479.0E-50.0208925530.0188435220.009710.515296460.018951451.1E-4
7.04.036382E-53.4872126E-55.0E-51.433816.487108E-53.0E-51.7297632E-41.4944343E-41.3E-40.869894441.9943595E-45.0E-50.00210395250.00181795840.00110.605074350.00190779499.0E-50.020841440.0187821370.009670.51485090.018890071.1E-4
7.14.0343282E-53.485059E-55.0E-51.43469616.484954E-53.0E-51.7288832E-41.4935112E-41.3E-40.870431961.9934366E-45.0E-50.0021028830.00181683680.00110.60544790.00190667329.0E-50.0208309480.0187710080.009670.515156150.0188789421.1E-4
7.24.0257353E-53.475509E-55.0E-51.43863836.4754044E-53.0E-51.725201E-41.489419E-41.3E-40.87282361.9893445E-45.0E-50.00209840850.00181186260.00110.60711010.00190169959.0E-50.0207870420.0187217460.009640.51490920.0188296871.1E-4
7.33.9940667E-53.458276E-55.0E-51.44580716.458172E-53.0E-51.7116306E-41.4820343E-41.3E-40.87717271.9819602E-45.0E-50.00208191850.00180288660.00110.610132630.00189272449.0E-50.0206252170.0186303870.00960.51528720.0187383371.1E-4
7.43.9721202E-53.4468165E-55.0E-51.45061396.446713E-53.0E-51.7022261E-41.4771236E-41.3E-40.88008881.9770498E-45.0E-50.00207049030.00179691790.00110.61215930.00188675629.0E-50.0205130520.0185695220.009550.51428360.0186774791.1E-4
7.53.7036873E-53.3535776E-55.0E-51.49094516.353477E-53.0E-51.5871979E-41.4371685E-41.3E-40.904556451.9370967E-45.0E-50.00193070060.00174835130.00110.629164160.0018381949.0E-50.0191401240.0180711280.009390.51961340.0181791411.1E-4
7.63.2940967E-53.13167E-55.0E-51.59659226.131576E-53.0E-51.4116794E-41.3420754E-41.3E-40.968648971.8420084E-45.0E-50.00171736450.00163275450.001040.636960450.00172260759.0E-50.017041530.0169040910.008820.52176720.0170122311.1E-4
7.72.8236149E-52.7882697E-54.0E-51.43458155.788186E-53.0E-51.2100645E-41.1949181E-41.1E-40.920565251.6948584E-45.0E-50.00147225790.00145384298.4E-40.577779050.00154371219.0E-50.0146254210.0151149120.007710.51009230.0152232491.1E-4
7.82.4329287E-52.5206451E-54.0E-51.58689535.5205695E-53.0E-51.042642E-41.08023174E-41.0E-40.925727251.5801778E-45.0E-50.00126867740.00131438957.6E-40.57821520.00140427129.0E-50.0126145890.0137123410.006910.50392560.0138208331.1E-4
7.91.9370926E-52.0420413E-54.0E-51.95882435.04198E-53.0E-58.301561E-58.751312E-51.0E-41.14268581.3750874E-45.0E-50.00101024650.00106495226.3E-40.59157580.00115485649.0E-50.01005666050.0111994020.005570.4973480.011308171.1E-4
8.01.5583017E-51.5885415E-53.0E-51.88852484.588494E-53.0E-56.6782646E-56.807858E-58.0E-51.17511271.1807517E-45.0E-58.127754E-48.2854216E-45.0E-40.603469559.184676E-49.0E-50.0080980910.0087816360.004460.5078780.0088906711.1E-4
8.11.0024873E-58.291399E-62.0E-52.4121382.8291233E-52.0E-54.2963035E-53.553409E-55.0E-51.40709966.553302E-53.0E-55.229494E-44.3254215E-42.3E-40.531740074.7252484E-44.0E-50.00521720430.00465306550.002180.468508330.0047028335.0E-5
8.24.142796E-61.5602761E-60.00.01.5602761E-60.01.775472E-56.6868806E-60.00.06.6868806E-60.02.1614227E-48.140976E-52.0E-50.24567088.140976E-50.00.00215932179.4514614E-44.9E-40.518438349.4514614E-40.0
8.31.2750878E-63.609817E-70.00.03.609817E-70.05.4646503E-61.5470634E-60.00.01.5470634E-60.06.653009E-51.8835339E-50.00.01.8835339E-50.06.6510175E-42.272251E-41.0E-40.44009222.272251E-40.0

Pinto Mtn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.4194956E-54.7853926E-51.1E-42.2986628.785201E-54.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-41.6E-40.780209842.4506485E-44.0E-50.00230342360.00249406880.001350.54128420.0025439445.0E-50.0227969380.0246783050.013770.557980.0247758371.0E-4
6.14.4194956E-54.7853926E-51.1E-42.2986628.785201E-54.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-41.6E-40.780209842.4506485E-44.0E-50.00230342360.00249406880.001350.54128420.0025439445.0E-50.0227969380.0246783050.013770.557980.0247758371.0E-4
6.24.4194956E-54.7853926E-51.1E-42.2986628.785201E-54.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-41.6E-40.780209842.4506485E-44.0E-50.00230342360.00249406880.001350.54128420.0025439445.0E-50.0227969380.0246783050.013770.557980.0247758371.0E-4
6.34.4194956E-54.7853926E-51.1E-42.2986628.785201E-54.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-41.6E-40.780209842.4506485E-44.0E-50.00230342360.00249406880.001350.54128420.0025439445.0E-50.0227969380.0246783050.013770.557980.0247758371.0E-4
6.43.729929E-53.960349E-59.0E-52.2725276.96023E-53.0E-51.5984432E-41.6971873E-41.4E-40.824894251.9971364E-43.0E-50.00194436730.00206446040.001070.51829520.00210437784.0E-50.0192744270.0204628480.011070.54098040.020521626.0E-5
6.53.729929E-53.960349E-59.0E-52.2725276.96023E-53.0E-51.5984432E-41.6971873E-41.4E-40.824894251.9971364E-43.0E-50.00194436730.00206446040.001070.51829520.00210437784.0E-50.0192744270.0204628480.011070.54098040.020521626.0E-5
6.63.0204548E-53.12056E-59.0E-52.88409766.1204664E-53.0E-51.2944164E-41.3373162E-41.4E-41.04687271.6372761E-43.0E-50.00157481270.00162700129.0E-40.55316490.00166693614.0E-50.0156369920.0161547640.008270.511923250.0162039575.0E-5
6.72.9857754E-53.0814987E-59.0E-52.9206576.081406E-53.0E-51.2795553E-41.3205773E-41.4E-41.06014241.6205377E-43.0E-50.00155674530.00160665179.0E-40.56017120.00164658744.0E-50.0154588480.0159542040.008140.510210340.0160034065.0E-5
6.82.4819734E-52.5009665E-57.0E-52.79891785.5008917E-53.0E-51.0636595E-41.0718E-41.0E-40.933009861.3717679E-43.0E-50.00129423620.0013041576.5E-40.498406230.00134410494.0E-50.0128672440.0129674030.006380.49200290.0130167555.0E-5
6.92.331124E-52.3337945E-57.0E-52.9994075.3337244E-53.0E-59.990149E-51.0001605E-41.0E-40.999839541.3001304E-43.0E-50.0012156220.00121703556.0E-40.493001220.00125698684.0E-50.0120899360.0121058970.00590.487365780.0121552925.0E-5
7.02.1818534E-52.1761074E-57.0E-53.2167535.176042E-53.0E-59.3504656E-59.3258524E-59.0E-50.96505931.2325573E-43.0E-50.00113782460.00113485095.6E-40.493456870.00117480564.0E-50.0113201630.011292660.005530.489698650.0113420945.0E-5
7.12.066081E-52.0540718E-57.0E-53.40786535.05401E-53.0E-58.854332E-58.8028784E-58.0E-50.90879361.18026146E-43.0E-50.00107748180.00107124315.3E-40.494752320.00111120034.0E-50.0107227240.01066284350.005280.495177480.0107123115.0E-5
7.21.8990233E-51.9054001E-56.0E-53.14894494.905343E-53.0E-58.138417E-58.165756E-57.0E-50.85723841.11655114E-43.0E-59.904018E-49.937467E-44.9E-40.49308340.00103370694.0E-50.0098599950.0098950290.004920.497219350.0099445345.0E-5
7.31.3335872E-51.4906713E-55.0E-53.35419374.4906265E-53.0E-55.7152483E-56.388442E-56.0E-50.939196179.38825E-53.0E-56.956093E-47.77528E-43.8E-40.488728378.174969E-44.0E-50.0069343590.0077493760.003740.482619520.00779898845.0E-5
7.49.414066E-61.186096E-54.0E-53.37240844.1860603E-53.0E-54.0345374E-55.083175E-55.0E-50.98363728.083022E-53.0E-54.910942E-46.1871024E-42.7E-40.436391686.5868546E-44.0E-50.00490010340.00617082560.002950.478055980.00622051675.0E-5
7.57.2101157E-69.158192E-64.0E-54.36767443.9157916E-53.0E-53.090013E-53.9248847E-55.0E-51.27392276.924767E-53.0E-53.7614413E-44.7775774E-42.2E-40.460484425.1773863E-44.0E-50.00375508070.0047680820.002040.4278450.00480789134.0E-5
7.63.296375E-64.5455017E-62.0E-54.39995432.454541E-52.0E-51.4127245E-51.9480583E-53.0E-51.5399953.9480194E-52.0E-51.7198564E-42.3715167E-49.0E-50.379503972.6714455E-43.0E-50.00171852590.00236912339.1E-40.38410830.00239905233.0E-5
7.72.5741092E-63.5844084E-60.00.03.5844084E-60.01.103185E-51.5361667E-51.0E-50.6509711.5361667E-50.01.3430449E-41.8701357E-46.0E-50.320832341.8701357E-40.00.00134223350.00186869187.0E-40.374593620.00186869180.0

Whittier alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.2554693E-54.7252182E-53.0E-50.63489137.725076E-53.0E-51.8236451E-42.0249544E-41.6E-40.79014122.6248329E-46.0E-50.0022180270.00246291630.001260.511588630.0025327447.0E-50.021960190.0243902630.015070.61786950.0244975821.1E-4
6.14.2554693E-54.7252182E-53.0E-50.63489137.725076E-53.0E-51.8236451E-42.0249544E-41.6E-40.79014122.6248329E-46.0E-50.0022180270.00246291630.001260.511588630.0025327447.0E-50.021960190.0243902630.015070.61786950.0244975821.1E-4
6.24.2554693E-54.7252182E-53.0E-50.63489137.725076E-53.0E-51.8236451E-42.0249544E-41.6E-40.79014122.6248329E-46.0E-50.0022180270.00246291630.001260.511588630.0025327447.0E-50.021960190.0243902630.015070.61786950.0244975821.1E-4
6.31.9617712E-51.826841E-51.0E-50.5473932.8268229E-51.0E-58.40732E-57.829095E-57.0E-50.894100848.8290166E-51.0E-50.00102311059.527944E-45.4E-40.56675399.7277533E-42.0E-50.010184130.00949040.006350.669097240.0095399255.0E-5
6.41.5611336E-51.3604089E-50.00.01.3604089E-50.06.690401E-55.8301972E-55.0E-50.857603975.8301972E-50.08.142519E-47.096013E-44.1E-40.577789257.096013E-40.00.0081127480.00707533770.004920.69537320.00710512563.0E-5
6.51.5150166E-51.3100744E-50.00.01.3100744E-50.06.492767E-55.614487E-55.0E-50.89055335.614487E-50.07.9020765E-46.8335526E-43.9E-40.57071346.8335526E-40.00.0078740360.0068145080.004630.67943280.0068443033.0E-5
6.61.295588E-51.0380544E-50.00.01.0380544E-50.05.552402E-54.44873E-52.0E-50.44956654.44873E-50.06.7579525E-45.415002E-42.5E-40.461680355.415002E-40.00.0067374380.0054033430.003440.63664290.00542323522.0E-5
6.71.2542085E-59.899189E-60.00.09.899189E-60.05.3750682E-54.2424414E-52.0E-50.471426644.2424414E-50.06.542181E-45.163967E-42.3E-40.4453945.163967E-40.00.0065229540.0051534640.003240.62870330.00516341251.0E-5
6.81.2195878E-59.49523E-60.00.09.49523E-60.05.2267E-54.069322E-52.0E-50.491482384.069322E-50.06.36165E-44.9532915E-42.3E-40.464337684.9532915E-40.00.00634346860.00494369630.003140.63515230.0049536471.0E-5
6.91.1580298E-58.772739E-60.00.08.772739E-60.04.9628903E-53.759692E-52.0E-50.53195843.759692E-50.06.040644E-44.5764804E-42.0E-40.437017054.5764804E-40.00.006024250.00456846460.002910.63697550.00457841861.0E-5
7.01.0964795E-58.083794E-60.00.08.083794E-60.04.6991136E-53.4644378E-51.0E-50.288647123.4644378E-50.05.7196687E-44.217152E-41.7E-40.403115664.217152E-40.00.00570496960.0042104590.002640.627010050.0042104590.0
7.11.0230601E-57.32646E-60.00.07.32646E-60.04.3844695E-53.1398744E-51.0E-50.318484073.1398744E-50.05.336784E-43.8221394E-41.1E-40.287796943.8221394E-40.00.0053239860.00381675920.002290.59998550.00381675920.0
7.29.40865E-66.5430822E-60.00.06.5430822E-60.04.032216E-52.8041486E-51.0E-50.356614472.8041486E-50.04.908117E-43.4135283E-41.0E-40.2929523.4135283E-40.00.00489729130.00340940240.002070.607144530.00340940240.0
7.38.237384E-65.5975433E-60.00.05.5975433E-60.03.5302593E-52.3989258E-51.0E-50.416853252.3989258E-50.04.2972428E-42.920311E-48.0E-50.273943422.920311E-40.00.00428894260.00291679920.001780.6102580.00291679920.0
7.47.5316966E-65.0276153E-60.00.05.0276153E-60.03.2278298E-52.154675E-51.0E-50.464107132.154675E-50.03.9291743E-42.623011E-48.0E-50.3049932.623011E-40.00.00392223430.00262002670.001590.606864040.00262002670.0
7.56.149649E-63.9336355E-60.00.03.9336355E-60.02.6355372E-51.6858336E-51.0E-50.59317841.6858336E-50.03.208294E-42.052318E-47.0E-50.341077742.052318E-40.00.0032036660.00205051180.001320.64374170.00205051180.0
7.65.457711E-63.3951796E-60.00.03.3951796E-60.02.338998E-51.4550694E-50.00.01.4550694E-50.02.8473578E-41.771411E-46.0E-50.338713021.771411E-40.00.00284371220.00177007980.001060.598843040.00177007980.0
7.74.1676276E-62.3329922E-60.00.02.3329922E-60.01.7861139E-59.998504E-60.00.09.998504E-60.02.1743766E-41.2172572E-45.0E-50.41075951.2172572E-40.00.00217225030.00121666357.7E-40.632878360.00121666350.0
7.82.2692414E-79.384417E-80.00.09.384417E-80.09.725317E-74.0218927E-70.00.04.0218927E-70.01.1840509E-54.8966467E-61.0E-52.0422144.8966467E-60.01.1839878E-44.8965718E-52.0E-50.408449054.8965718E-50.0
7.96.676829E-93.4397174E-90.00.03.4397174E-90.02.861498E-81.4741646E-80.00.01.4741646E-80.03.4838732E-71.7947953E-70.00.01.7947953E-70.03.4838679E-61.794794E-60.00.01.794794E-60.0

Rose Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5923203E-54.9714607E-56.0E-51.20688887.9713114E-53.0E-51.9679888E-42.1304654E-42.4E-41.12651432.7303377E-46.0E-50.00239339330.00259094780.002290.883846460.00267074058.0E-50.0236777980.0256185180.023560.91964730.02572571.1E-4
6.14.5923203E-54.9714607E-55.0E-51.00574066.971361E-52.0E-51.9679888E-42.1304654E-41.8E-40.844885772.5303802E-44.0E-50.00239339330.00259094780.001610.62139420.00265079256.0E-50.0236777980.0256185180.015060.5878560.0257062139.0E-5
6.22.8844734E-52.9669678E-52.0E-50.67408893.9669383E-51.0E-51.2361443E-41.2714976E-41.0E-40.78647411.4714722E-42.0E-50.00150396650.0015469769.4E-40.607637050.00157692973.0E-50.01493828650.0153648730.009030.58770420.0154042594.0E-5
6.32.3171577E-52.3162425E-52.0E-50.863467453.3162192E-51.0E-59.9302975E-59.926383E-51.0E-41.00741621.19261844E-42.0E-50.00120834310.00120788047.3E-40.604364450.00122785632.0E-50.0120179380.0120121520.007170.59689550.0120417923.0E-5
6.42.0066604E-51.9668067E-51.0E-50.508438351.9668067E-50.08.599689E-58.428905E-58.0E-50.9491159.42882E-51.0E-50.00104650920.0010257466.6E-40.64343410.00103573581.0E-50.0104159460.0102114790.005950.58267760.0102312742.0E-5
6.51.776989E-51.7115402E-50.00.01.7115402E-50.07.615444E-57.33497E-56.0E-50.81799938.334896E-51.0E-59.267859E-48.926737E-45.9E-40.66093589.0266473E-41.0E-50.0092293030.0088746630.005180.58368410.0088944852.0E-5
6.61.5227364E-51.4340872E-50.00.01.4340872E-50.06.52585E-56.145947E-55.0E-50.813544337.145885E-51.0E-57.942326E-47.480173E-45.3E-40.70853987.580098E-41.0E-50.0079140.00744103360.004280.575188930.00746088472.0E-5
6.71.2703898E-51.1674277E-50.00.01.1674277E-50.05.4444143E-55.0031682E-54.0E-50.799493436.003118E-51.0E-56.626558E-46.089697E-44.1E-40.67326836.189636E-41.0E-50.0066068330.00606230930.003380.557543340.0060821882.0E-5
6.81.1554917E-51.0610384E-50.00.01.0610384E-50.04.9520135E-54.547231E-53.0E-50.65974225.5471854E-51.0E-56.0274085E-45.5348873E-43.9E-40.70462145.634832E-41.0E-50.00601108650.0055044140.00310.56318440.00552430382.0E-5
6.98.732078E-67.882285E-60.00.07.882285E-60.03.7422655E-53.37808E-53.0E-50.88807844.3780463E-51.0E-54.5552556E-44.112066E-42.7E-40.656604234.2120248E-41.0E-50.00454592940.0040895150.002250.550187470.00409947431.0E-5
7.05.9337494E-65.107436E-60.00.05.107436E-60.02.5430107E-52.1888829E-50.00.02.1888829E-50.03.0956755E-42.6646405E-41.9E-40.71304182.6646405E-40.00.00309136670.0026614610.001520.57111490.0026614610.0
7.15.013409E-64.17734E-60.00.04.17734E-60.02.1485863E-51.7902763E-50.00.01.7902763E-50.02.6155898E-42.1794444E-41.4E-40.64236552.1794444E-40.00.00261251330.00217731880.001230.5649150.00217731880.0
7.24.120763E-63.2820917E-60.00.03.2820917E-60.01.7660293E-51.4066032E-50.00.01.4066032E-50.02.1499286E-41.7124058E-41.1E-40.64237111.7124058E-40.00.00214784990.00171109589.2E-40.537667160.00171109580.0
7.33.2081239E-62.4404965E-60.00.02.4404965E-60.01.374903E-51.0459229E-50.00.01.0459229E-50.01.6738157E-41.2733374E-41.0E-40.78533781.2733374E-40.00.00167255560.00127261487.4E-40.581479970.00127261480.0
7.42.4194755E-61.7680321E-60.00.01.7680321E-60.01.0369139E-57.5772587E-60.00.07.5772587E-60.01.2623696E-49.224927E-56.0E-50.65041169.224927E-50.00.00126165279.221151E-45.0E-40.54223169.221151E-40.0
7.51.3842889E-69.3782967E-70.00.09.3782967E-70.05.9326535E-64.019264E-60.00.04.019264E-60.07.222766E-54.8933474E-52.0E-50.408718174.8933474E-50.07.220419E-44.8923056E-42.9E-40.59276764.8923056E-40.0
7.61.0021575E-66.4113493E-70.00.06.4113493E-70.04.2949537E-62.7477186E-60.00.02.7477186E-60.05.2289808E-53.345298E-52.0E-50.59785413.345298E-50.05.2277505E-43.344816E-41.7E-40.50824923.344816E-40.0
7.78.7620116E-86.449304E-80.00.06.449304E-80.03.7551473E-72.763987E-70.00.02.763987E-70.04.5718825E-63.3651493E-60.00.03.3651493E-60.04.5717883E-53.3651013E-51.0E-50.29716793.3651013E-50.0

Kern Canyon (South Kern) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.105075E-64.113726E-64.0E-59.7235452.4113644E-52.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-55.0E-52.83605274.7629608E-53.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-42.0E-40.93185172.846114E-47.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00110.51299860.00224404081.0E-4
6.14.105075E-64.113726E-64.0E-59.7235452.4113644E-52.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-55.0E-52.83605274.7629608E-53.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-42.0E-40.93185172.846114E-47.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00110.51299860.00224404081.0E-4
6.24.105075E-64.113726E-64.0E-59.7235452.4113644E-52.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-55.0E-52.83605274.7629608E-53.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-42.0E-40.93185172.846114E-47.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00110.51299860.00224404081.0E-4
6.34.105075E-64.113726E-64.0E-59.7235452.4113644E-52.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-55.0E-52.83605274.7629608E-53.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-42.0E-40.93185172.846114E-47.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00110.51299860.00224404081.0E-4
6.44.105075E-64.113726E-64.0E-59.7235452.4113644E-52.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-55.0E-52.83605274.7629608E-53.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-42.0E-40.93185172.846114E-47.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00110.51299860.00224404081.0E-4
6.52.9849807E-62.973154E-61.0E-53.36343151.2973124E-51.0E-51.2792712E-51.2742028E-51.0E-50.784804462.27419E-51.0E-51.5574014E-41.551233E-41.2E-40.77357821.8511864E-43.0E-50.00155631030.00155016547.6E-40.49027030.00160008795.0E-5
6.62.9849807E-62.973154E-61.0E-53.36343151.2973124E-51.0E-51.2792712E-51.2742028E-51.0E-50.784804462.27419E-51.0E-51.5574014E-41.551233E-41.2E-40.77357821.8511864E-43.0E-50.00155631030.00155016547.6E-40.49027030.00160008795.0E-5
6.72.6756725E-62.6582202E-61.0E-53.76191571.2658194E-51.0E-51.1467117E-51.1392323E-51.0E-50.877784132.1392209E-51.0E-51.396032E-41.386928E-41.0E-40.72101791.5869003E-42.0E-50.00139515530.00138607346.9E-40.49780910.00142601814.0E-5
6.82.3283721E-62.3047783E-61.0E-54.33881241.2304755E-51.0E-59.9787E-69.877584E-61.0E-51.01239341.9877485E-51.0E-51.214839E-41.2025302E-41.0E-40.83157991.4025062E-42.0E-50.0012141750.0012018875.9E-40.490894730.00124183894.0E-5
6.92.0972677E-62.0696405E-61.0E-54.8317571.20696195E-51.0E-58.988259E-68.869858E-61.0E-51.12741371.8869769E-51.0E-51.0942656E-41.0798523E-41.0E-40.92605261.2798308E-42.0E-50.00109372680.00107933345.5E-40.509573760.00111929024.0E-5
7.01.7132242E-61.6787029E-61.0E-55.956981.1678686E-51.0E-57.3423685E-67.1944214E-61.0E-51.38996581.719435E-51.0E-58.938967E-58.75886E-58.0E-50.913360831.0758685E-42.0E-58.935372E-48.755446E-44.3E-40.491122879.155096E-44.0E-5
7.11.4215541E-61.3815746E-61.0E-57.2381181.138156E-51.0E-56.0923603E-65.9210206E-61.0E-51.6888981.5920961E-51.0E-57.417196E-57.208607E-57.0E-50.97106149.208463E-52.0E-57.414721E-47.206296E-43.7E-40.513439957.606007E-44.0E-5
7.29.097853E-78.60377E-71.0E-511.6228121.0860368E-51.0E-53.899074E-63.6873246E-61.0E-52.71199351.3687288E-51.0E-54.7470192E-54.4892266E-57.0E-51.55928876.489136E-52.0E-54.7460053E-44.4883305E-42.5E-40.5574.7881957E-43.0E-5
7.36.144169E-75.628199E-71.0E-517.7676731.0562814E-51.0E-52.6332125E-62.4120832E-61.0E-54.14579441.2412059E-51.0E-53.205889E-52.9366722E-55.0E-51.70260753.9366427E-51.0E-53.2054266E-42.9362892E-41.5E-40.51084893.1362305E-42.0E-5
7.44.049844E-73.5728252E-71.0E-527.9890561.0357279E-51.0E-51.7356463E-61.5312098E-61.0E-56.53078371.1531194E-51.0E-52.1131287E-51.8642324E-53.0E-51.60924152.8642136E-51.0E-52.1129279E-41.8640784E-41.0E-40.536458132.0640412E-42.0E-5
7.51.9871162E-71.5830383E-70.00.01.5830383E-70.08.5162094E-76.784448E-70.00.06.784448E-70.01.0368436E-58.260035E-60.00.08.260035E-60.01.0367952E-48.259736E-53.0E-50.36320779.2596536E-51.0E-5
7.62.572245E-81.735264E-80.00.01.735264E-80.01.10239064E-77.436845E-80.00.07.436845E-80.01.3421597E-69.0543557E-70.00.09.0543557E-70.01.3421517E-59.054324E-60.00.09.054324E-60.0

San Jacinto (Anza) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.3015636E-54.3298347E-55.0E-51.15477857.329705E-53.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-41.4E-40.75450872.3554194E-45.0E-50.00328276910.00225675730.001240.549460950.00233657688.0E-50.0323469680.023293610.011660.50056640.0233912821.0E-4
6.16.3015636E-54.3298347E-55.0E-51.15477857.329705E-53.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-41.4E-40.75450872.3554194E-45.0E-50.00328276910.00225675730.001240.549460950.00233657688.0E-50.0323469680.023293610.011660.50056640.0233912821.0E-4
6.26.3015636E-54.3298347E-55.0E-51.15477857.329705E-53.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-41.4E-40.75450872.3554194E-45.0E-50.00328276910.00225675730.001240.549460950.00233657688.0E-50.0323469680.023293610.011660.50056640.0233912821.0E-4
6.36.3015636E-54.3298347E-55.0E-51.15477857.329705E-53.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-41.4E-40.75450872.3554194E-45.0E-50.00328276910.00225675730.001240.549460950.00233657688.0E-50.0323469680.023293610.011660.50056640.0233912821.0E-4
6.46.3015636E-54.3298347E-55.0E-51.15477857.329705E-53.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-41.4E-40.75450872.3554194E-45.0E-50.00328276910.00225675730.001240.549460950.00233657688.0E-50.0323469680.023293610.011660.50056640.0233912821.0E-4
6.55.811017E-54.0080286E-55.0E-51.24749617.0079084E-53.0E-52.4901982E-41.7176138E-41.4E-40.815084342.2175278E-45.0E-50.00302760140.00208919470.001170.56002440.00216902758.0E-50.029866840.0215908330.010910.5053070.0216886741.0E-4
6.65.811017E-54.0080286E-55.0E-51.24749617.0079084E-53.0E-52.4901982E-41.7176138E-41.4E-40.815084342.2175278E-45.0E-50.00302760140.00208919470.001170.56002440.00216902758.0E-50.029866840.0215908330.010910.5053070.0216886741.0E-4
6.75.712442E-53.950301E-55.0E-51.26572626.9501824E-53.0E-52.4479596E-41.6928767E-41.4E-40.826994662.192792E-45.0E-50.00297631770.00205913440.001160.563343470.00213896978.0E-50.0293676930.0212829190.010820.508388940.021380791.0E-4
6.85.6967532E-53.93593E-55.0E-51.27034786.935812E-53.0E-52.4412372E-41.6867183E-41.4E-40.83001412.1866341E-45.0E-50.00296815530.00205165080.001160.565398340.00213148688.0E-50.0292882290.021208520.010780.50828630.02130641.0E-4
6.95.6211324E-53.9064216E-55.0E-51.27994386.906305E-53.0E-52.4088343E-41.6740736E-41.4E-40.836283452.1739899E-45.0E-50.00292881160.00203628470.001160.569664960.00211612188.0E-50.0289051090.0210475270.010740.51027370.0211454221.0E-4
7.05.4383527E-53.7925012E-55.0E-51.31839126.792387E-53.0E-52.3305144E-41.6252567E-41.4E-40.86140242.1251754E-45.0E-50.00283370940.0019769590.001120.566526650.00205680088.0E-50.0279784650.020440950.010330.50535810.0205389061.0E-4
7.15.1393665E-53.638787E-55.0E-51.37408426.6386776E-53.0E-52.2023996E-41.5593872E-41.3E-40.833660842.0593092E-45.0E-50.00267812420.00189690480.001080.56934850.00197675318.0E-50.0264607820.0196160770.009970.508256550.0197141151.0E-4
7.24.785222E-53.4738845E-55.0E-51.4393116.4737804E-53.0E-52.0506482E-41.4887229E-41.3E-40.87323171.9886484E-45.0E-50.00249380550.00181101670.001080.59635010.00189087198.0E-50.0246600490.0187287830.009560.51044430.018826911.0E-4
7.34.2143256E-53.3834414E-55.0E-51.47778536.3833395E-53.0E-51.8060145E-41.449966E-41.3E-40.89657281.9498933E-45.0E-50.0021966050.00176390750.001060.600938560.00184376638.0E-50.021750190.0182366950.009310.510509130.0183348711.0E-4
7.44.0264713E-53.3472694E-55.0E-51.49375496.347169E-53.0E-51.7255165E-41.4344654E-41.3E-40.9062611.9343937E-45.0E-50.0020987920.00174506590.001050.60169650.00182492648.0E-50.0207908040.0180413890.00920.509938540.0181395861.0E-4
7.53.694492E-53.2186905E-55.0E-51.55342676.218594E-53.0E-51.5832575E-41.379366E-41.3E-40.942461971.879297E-45.0E-50.00192591180.00167808760.001040.61975310.00175795338.0E-50.019093060.0173578880.008970.51676790.0174561521.0E-4
7.63.200565E-52.9502702E-55.0E-51.694765.9501817E-53.0E-51.3715986E-41.2643404E-41.3E-41.02820411.7642771E-45.0E-50.0016686420.00153824979.7E-40.63058680.00161812668.0E-50.016561680.0159460160.008310.52113330.0160444211.0E-4
7.72.731642E-52.6091477E-54.0E-51.53306775.6090692E-53.0E-51.1706512E-41.11815825E-41.1E-40.98376061.6181024E-45.0E-50.0014243360.00136050857.7E-40.56596490.00144039978.0E-50.0141524120.01416680.007210.50893640.0142653841.0E-4
7.82.3466424E-52.3503619E-54.0E-51.70186565.3502914E-53.0E-51.0056651E-41.0072591E-41.0E-40.99279321.5072088E-45.0E-50.00122370940.00122564897.1E-40.579284970.00130555088.0E-50.0121699280.0128087960.006470.505121650.0129075151.0E-4
7.91.8611925E-51.890698E-54.0E-52.11562094.890641E-53.0E-57.9762955E-58.10274E-51.0E-41.23415041.3102335E-45.0E-59.7068126E-49.860628E-45.9E-40.598339140.0010659848.0E-50.00966452250.0103937050.005190.499340680.0104926661.0E-4
8.01.5460775E-51.5739915E-53.0E-51.90598234.573944E-53.0E-56.6258784E-56.745504E-58.0E-51.18597511.17451666E-45.0E-58.0640207E-48.2095637E-44.9E-40.59686499.008907E-48.0E-50.0080348210.0087027060.00440.50558990.0088018361.0E-4
8.19.983884E-68.268954E-62.0E-52.41868542.8268789E-52.0E-54.2787375E-53.5437897E-55.0E-51.4109196.5436834E-53.0E-55.2081177E-44.313715E-42.3E-40.53318314.7135423E-44.0E-50.00519592830.004639680.002160.465549320.0046894485.0E-5
8.24.1226E-61.5522551E-60.00.01.5522551E-60.01.7668166E-56.6525045E-60.00.06.6525045E-60.02.1508869E-48.099126E-52.0E-50.246940238.099126E-50.00.00214880649.401847E-44.8E-40.5105389.401847E-40.0
8.31.2750878E-63.609817E-70.00.03.609817E-70.05.4646503E-61.5470634E-60.00.01.5470634E-60.06.653009E-51.8835339E-50.00.01.8835339E-50.06.6510175E-42.272251E-41.0E-40.44009222.272251E-40.0

Tin Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.083776E-64.1815365E-63.0E-57.1743963.4181412E-53.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-59.0E-55.02210576.791987E-55.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.6E-41.19174622.7815416E-46.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.001270.58259650.00227967841.0E-4
6.14.083776E-64.1815365E-63.0E-57.1743963.4181412E-53.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-59.0E-55.02210576.791987E-55.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.6E-41.19174622.7815416E-46.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.001270.58259650.00227967841.0E-4
6.24.083776E-64.1815365E-63.0E-57.1743963.4181412E-53.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-59.0E-55.02210576.791987E-55.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.6E-41.19174622.7815416E-46.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.001270.58259650.00227967841.0E-4
6.34.083776E-64.1815365E-63.0E-57.1743963.4181412E-53.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-59.0E-55.02210576.791987E-55.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.6E-41.19174622.7815416E-46.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.001270.58259650.00227967841.0E-4
6.44.083776E-64.1815365E-63.0E-57.1743963.4181412E-53.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-59.0E-55.02210576.791987E-55.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.6E-41.19174622.7815416E-46.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.001270.58259650.00227967841.0E-4
6.52.3143427E-62.3731573E-61.0E-54.2137961.2373133E-51.0E-59.9185745E-61.0170638E-53.0E-52.94966752.0170537E-51.0E-51.2075195E-41.2382126E-41.2E-40.96913891.3382002E-41.0E-50.00120686360.00123759866.7E-40.5413710.00126756153.0E-5
6.62.3143427E-62.3731573E-61.0E-54.2137961.2373133E-51.0E-59.9185745E-61.0170638E-53.0E-52.94966752.0170537E-51.0E-51.2075195E-41.2382126E-41.2E-40.96913891.3382002E-41.0E-50.00120686360.00123759866.7E-40.5413710.00126756153.0E-5
6.71.7029532E-61.7497915E-60.00.01.7497915E-60.07.2983503E-67.499088E-61.0E-51.33349557.499088E-60.08.885379E-59.1298105E-57.0E-50.76671919.1298105E-50.08.881827E-49.1265864E-44.5E-40.493064979.3264034E-42.0E-5
6.81.2914646E-61.3299378E-60.00.01.3299378E-60.05.534837E-65.6997237E-61.0E-51.7544715.6997237E-60.06.738455E-56.939237E-54.0E-50.57643236.939237E-50.06.736412E-46.9375033E-43.0E-40.43243227.037434E-41.0E-5
6.95.8708974E-76.1169936E-70.00.06.1169936E-70.02.5160964E-62.6215664E-60.00.02.6215664E-60.03.0633044E-53.1917145E-52.0E-50.62662253.1917145E-50.03.0628822E-43.191297E-41.4E-40.43869313.191297E-40.0
7.04.6248786E-74.832015E-70.00.04.832015E-70.01.9820893E-62.0708624E-60.00.02.0708624E-60.02.413167E-52.5212494E-52.0E-50.79325752.5212494E-50.02.412905E-42.5210003E-41.1E-40.436334732.5210003E-40.0
7.13.804606E-73.987147E-70.00.03.987147E-70.01.6305444E-61.7087764E-60.00.01.7087764E-60.01.9851697E-52.0804187E-51.0E-50.480672452.0804187E-50.01.9849923E-42.0802575E-49.0E-50.432638732.0802575E-40.0
7.23.5864858E-73.7616863E-70.00.03.7616863E-70.01.5370645E-61.6121504E-60.00.01.6121504E-60.01.87136E-51.9627789E-51.0E-50.50948171.9627789E-50.01.8712023E-41.9626386E-48.0E-50.40761451.9626386E-40.0
7.33.342063E-73.506347E-70.00.03.506347E-70.01.4323119E-61.5027196E-60.00.01.5027196E-60.01.7438259E-51.829549E-51.0E-50.546582761.829549E-50.01.743689E-41.8294314E-48.0E-50.437294331.8294314E-40.0
7.42.971242E-73.1165817E-70.00.03.1165817E-70.01.2733886E-61.3356774E-60.00.01.3356774E-60.01.5503398E-51.6261785E-51.0E-50.61493871.6261785E-50.01.5502315E-41.6260923E-47.0E-50.430479881.6260923E-40.0
7.51.4326713E-71.5012525E-70.00.01.5012525E-70.06.140018E-76.433939E-70.00.06.433939E-70.07.4754466E-67.8333205E-61.0E-51.27659797.8333205E-60.07.475195E-57.833321E-55.0E-50.63829897.833321E-50.0

San Diego Trough north alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.329252E-58.821269E-56.0E-50.680174239.8211814E-51.0E-53.14073E-43.7800326E-42.0E-40.529095953.979957E-42.0E-50.00381713550.00459304870.002470.53776920.00462291063.0E-50.037522310.0450451370.028930.64224470.045140631.0E-4
6.13.7940346E-54.4884906E-51.0E-50.222792045.488446E-51.0E-51.6259136E-41.9235026E-48.0E-50.415907952.1234641E-42.0E-50.00197775240.0023394310.001020.436003450.00235938422.0E-50.0196024310.0231567320.01280.5527550.0232153446.0E-5
6.22.8645263E-53.329672E-51.0E-50.300329864.329639E-51.0E-51.2275964E-41.4269259E-47.0E-50.49056511.6268973E-42.0E-50.00149357390.00173592068.0E-40.460850570.00175588592.0E-50.01483575350.0172262680.00930.53987320.0172655794.0E-5
6.32.8645263E-53.329672E-51.0E-50.300329864.329639E-51.0E-51.2275964E-41.4269259E-47.0E-50.49056511.6268973E-42.0E-50.00149357390.00173592068.0E-40.460850570.00175588592.0E-50.01483575350.0172262680.00930.53987320.0172655794.0E-5
6.42.2204576E-52.544832E-51.0E-50.392953253.5448065E-51.0E-59.5159E-51.0905972E-45.0E-50.458464381.1905863E-41.0E-50.0011579450.00132700285.2E-40.39186050.00133698951.0E-50.0115192980.0131919590.007050.53441650.0132116952.0E-5
6.52.1004838E-52.4024695E-51.0E-50.416238373.4024455E-51.0E-59.0017624E-51.0295897E-45.0E-50.485630331.1295794E-41.0E-50.00109541360.00125281355.0E-40.39910170.0012628011.0E-50.0109002960.0124585920.00660.52975490.0124783422.0E-5
6.61.820557E-52.070479E-50.00.02.070479E-50.07.802154E-58.8731824E-53.0E-50.33809748.8731824E-50.09.4949827E-40.00107977994.3E-40.398229270.00107977990.00.0094545160.0107460050.005640.52484620.01075589751.0E-5
6.71.5884485E-51.7983646E-50.00.01.7983646E-50.06.807459E-57.707051E-53.0E-50.389253947.707051E-50.08.284929E-49.3793223E-43.4E-40.362499549.3793223E-40.00.0082541090.0093401040.00470.503206430.0093401040.0
6.81.4331171E-51.6201066E-50.00.01.6201066E-50.06.141786E-56.94313E-52.0E-50.288054536.94313E-50.07.4750587E-48.450002E-42.9E-40.34319528.450002E-40.00.00744996450.0084181390.004190.497734730.0084181390.0
6.91.2574203E-51.4205835E-50.00.01.4205835E-50.05.3888325E-56.0880735E-52.0E-50.328511156.0880735E-50.06.558929E-47.409723E-42.6E-40.35089037.409723E-40.00.00653960370.0073852030.00370.50100180.0073852030.0
7.01.0883844E-51.2289262E-50.00.01.2289262E-50.04.664421E-55.2667205E-51.0E-50.189871485.2667205E-50.05.677453E-46.4103556E-42.1E-40.327594946.4103556E-40.00.005662970.0063919930.003290.51470650.0063919930.0
7.19.393088E-61.060702E-50.00.01.060702E-50.04.025547E-54.545787E-51.0E-50.219983924.545787E-50.04.900001E-45.533098E-41.8E-40.325315065.533098E-40.00.00488921070.0055194180.002850.51635880.0055194180.0
7.28.190791E-69.258625E-60.00.09.258625E-60.03.510292E-53.9679224E-51.0E-50.252021043.9679224E-50.04.2729423E-44.8298817E-41.6E-40.331271054.8298817E-40.00.00426473560.0048194650.00250.51872980.0048194650.0
7.36.268162E-67.089716E-60.00.07.089716E-60.02.6863276E-53.0384144E-50.00.03.0384144E-50.03.2701128E-43.6986457E-41.4E-40.378516943.6986457E-40.00.0032653050.0036925360.001870.506427050.0036925360.0
7.44.985186E-65.6426816E-60.00.05.6426816E-60.02.1364907E-52.4182698E-50.00.02.4182698E-50.02.600867E-42.9438498E-41.2E-40.40762952.9438498E-40.00.0025978250.00293999140.001540.523811040.00293999140.0
7.51.7489613E-61.969678E-60.00.01.969678E-60.07.495527E-68.4414505E-60.00.08.4414505E-60.09.125422E-51.02770035E-44.0E-50.38921851.02770035E-40.09.1216754E-40.00102724725.7E-40.55488110.00102724720.0
7.61.6988751E-71.7533823E-70.00.01.7533823E-70.07.2808916E-77.5144936E-70.00.07.5144936E-70.08.864449E-69.14886E-60.00.09.14886E-60.08.8640954E-59.1485024E-57.0E-50.76515259.1485024E-50.0

Mission Creek

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1549387E-51.6322783E-54.0E-52.45056275.632213E-54.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-59.0E-51.28657831.2994879E-46.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-45.7E-40.66951719.2130026E-47.0E-50.0060082180.0085101570.004530.53230510.008599399.0E-5
6.11.1549387E-51.6322783E-54.0E-52.45056275.632213E-54.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-59.0E-51.28657831.2994879E-46.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-45.7E-40.66951719.2130026E-47.0E-50.0060082180.0085101570.004530.53230510.008599399.0E-5
6.21.1549387E-51.6322783E-54.0E-52.45056275.632213E-54.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-59.0E-51.28657831.2994879E-46.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-45.7E-40.66951719.2130026E-47.0E-50.0060082180.0085101570.004530.53230510.008599399.0E-5
6.31.1549387E-51.6322783E-54.0E-52.45056275.632213E-54.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-59.0E-51.28657831.2994879E-46.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-45.7E-40.66951719.2130026E-47.0E-50.0060082180.0085101570.004530.53230510.008599399.0E-5
6.41.1549387E-51.6322783E-54.0E-52.45056275.632213E-54.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-59.0E-51.28657831.2994879E-46.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-45.7E-40.66951719.2130026E-47.0E-50.0060082180.0085101570.004530.53230510.008599399.0E-5
6.51.1549387E-51.6322783E-54.0E-52.45056275.632213E-54.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-59.0E-51.28657831.2994879E-46.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-45.7E-40.66951719.2130026E-47.0E-50.0060082180.0085101570.004530.53230510.008599399.0E-5
6.69.202681E-61.3846059E-54.0E-52.88890865.3845506E-54.0E-53.9439463E-55.9338956E-58.0E-51.34818691.193354E-46.0E-54.800697E-47.2222133E-44.9E-40.67846247.9217076E-47.0E-50.0047903390.00722734020.00380.52578130.007316699.0E-5
6.79.019164E-61.3651728E-54.0E-52.9300325.3651183E-54.0E-53.8652986E-55.8506146E-58.0E-51.36737781.18502634E-46.0E-54.7049852E-47.1208854E-44.9E-40.688116677.8203867E-47.0E-50.0046950360.00712666470.003770.52899920.00721602339.0E-5
6.88.673558E-61.3273839E-54.0E-53.01344635.3273307E-54.0E-53.717186E-55.688669E-58.0E-51.40630441.16883275E-46.0E-54.524734E-46.923842E-44.9E-40.707699547.623357E-47.0E-50.00451553240.00693085230.003690.532402040.00702022859.0E-5
6.97.002255E-61.1478069E-54.0E-53.4849075.1477607E-54.0E-53.000932E-54.9190832E-58.0E-51.62631931.0918788E-46.0E-53.653022E-45.9874065E-44.4E-40.73487586.6869875E-47.0E-50.00364702290.0059996760.00320.533362150.00608913559.0E-5
7.05.84644E-69.675359E-64.0E-54.13421344.967497E-54.0E-52.5055931E-54.146519E-58.0E-51.9293291.01462705E-46.0E-53.0501327E-45.047263E-43.5E-40.69344515.74691E-47.0E-50.00304594960.0050639940.002740.54107490.0051535389.0E-5
7.15.54703E-69.329834E-64.0E-54.28732164.932946E-54.0E-52.377277E-53.9984414E-58.0E-52.00077969.998202E-56.0E-52.8939504E-44.8670598E-43.5E-40.719125.566719E-47.0E-50.00289018450.00488458760.002670.54661730.0049741489.0E-5
7.24.384709E-67.681918E-64.0E-55.2070334.768161E-54.0E-51.8791474E-53.292211E-58.0E-52.4299789.2920134E-56.0E-52.2876218E-44.0075663E-43.1E-40.77353684.7072858E-47.0E-50.00228526820.0040285420.002250.55851470.00411817949.0E-5
7.33.7888456E-66.915788E-64.0E-55.7838674.6915513E-54.0E-51.623781E-52.9638775E-57.0E-52.3617717.963729E-55.0E-51.9767738E-43.6079568E-42.7E-40.7483464.2077404E-46.0E-50.00197501620.003630270.001930.53164090.00370997968.0E-5
7.42.1982462E-65.0241033E-64.0E-57.961624.5023902E-54.0E-59.421021E-62.1531694E-57.0E-53.25102147.1530616E-55.0E-51.1469489E-42.6211704E-41.9E-40.724867053.221013E-46.0E-50.00114635720.00264603270.001360.5139770.0027258218.0E-5
7.52.051923E-64.6153277E-64.0E-58.6667744.4615143E-54.0E-58.793926E-61.9779825E-56.0E-53.03339366.9778835E-55.0E-51.0706078E-42.4079291E-41.8E-40.747530343.0077845E-46.0E-50.00107009220.00243359320.001230.50542550.00251339848.0E-5
7.61.8733427E-64.1236603E-64.0E-59.7001194.4123495E-54.0E-58.028587E-61.7672712E-56.0E-53.39506486.767183E-55.0E-59.774366E-52.151441E-41.7E-40.790168052.751312E-46.0E-59.770069E-40.00217825130.001090.500401440.0022580778.0E-5
7.71.8411953E-64.0433315E-64.0E-59.8928324.404317E-54.0E-57.890813E-61.732845E-56.0E-53.46251426.7327586E-55.0E-59.606641E-52.1095353E-41.7E-40.80586472.7094086E-46.0E-59.6024893E-40.00213652920.001080.505492750.00221635828.0E-5
7.81.7194251E-63.71068E-64.0E-510.77969554.371053E-54.0E-57.368944E-61.5902819E-56.0E-53.77291636.590202E-55.0E-58.97132E-51.9359968E-41.7E-40.878100632.5358808E-46.0E-58.967699E-40.00196247570.0010.509560470.00204231878.0E-5
7.91.4035052E-62.9502596E-63.0E-510.1685963.295017E-53.0E-56.0150082E-61.2643909E-55.0E-53.95447335.2643405E-54.0E-57.3230265E-51.5392878E-41.4E-40.90951152.0392108E-45.0E-57.3206134E-40.00156311748.2E-40.524592760.00163300797.0E-5
8.03.9318823E-75.528477E-70.00.05.528477E-70.01.6850913E-62.3693453E-60.00.02.3693453E-60.02.0515794E-52.8846403E-53.0E-51.0399913.8846116E-51.0E-52.0513899E-42.990952E-41.7E-40.56838093.0909223E-41.0E-5
8.11.596793E-71.13775044E-70.00.01.13775044E-70.06.8433974E-74.876072E-70.00.04.876072E-70.08.331805E-65.936602E-60.00.05.936602E-60.08.331492E-56.5494125E-54.0E-50.61074186.5494125E-50.0
8.24.9003038E-82.5435753E-80.00.02.5435753E-80.02.10013E-71.09010365E-70.00.01.09010365E-70.02.5569052E-61.3272004E-60.00.01.3272004E-60.02.556876E-51.4952613E-50.00.01.4952613E-50.0

Pitas Point (Lower West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.151497E-67.855796E-65.0E-56.36472755.7855403E-55.0E-53.493452E-53.3667267E-57.0E-52.07917078.366558E-55.0E-54.252448E-44.0982262E-43.5E-40.8540284.6979805E-46.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.003710.90692430.0041803819.0E-5
6.18.151497E-67.855796E-65.0E-56.36472755.7855403E-55.0E-53.493452E-53.3667267E-57.0E-52.07917078.366558E-55.0E-54.252448E-44.0982262E-43.5E-40.8540284.6979805E-46.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.003710.90692430.0041803819.0E-5
6.28.151497E-67.855796E-65.0E-56.36472755.7855403E-55.0E-53.493452E-53.3667267E-57.0E-52.07917078.366558E-55.0E-54.252448E-44.0982262E-43.5E-40.8540284.6979805E-46.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.003710.90692430.0041803819.0E-5
6.38.151497E-67.855796E-65.0E-56.36472755.7855403E-55.0E-53.493452E-53.3667267E-57.0E-52.07917078.366558E-55.0E-54.252448E-44.0982262E-43.5E-40.8540284.6979805E-46.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.003710.90692430.0041803819.0E-5
6.48.151497E-67.855796E-65.0E-56.36472755.7855403E-55.0E-53.493452E-53.3667267E-57.0E-52.07917078.366558E-55.0E-54.252448E-44.0982262E-43.5E-40.8540284.6979805E-46.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.003710.90692430.0041803819.0E-5
6.58.151497E-67.855796E-65.0E-56.36472755.7855403E-55.0E-53.493452E-53.3667267E-57.0E-52.07917078.366558E-55.0E-54.252448E-44.0982262E-43.5E-40.8540284.6979805E-46.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.003710.90692430.0041803819.0E-5
6.68.151497E-67.855796E-65.0E-56.36472755.7855403E-55.0E-53.493452E-53.3667267E-57.0E-52.07917078.366558E-55.0E-54.252448E-44.0982262E-43.5E-40.8540284.6979805E-46.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.003710.90692430.0041803819.0E-5
6.78.151497E-67.855796E-65.0E-56.36472755.7855403E-55.0E-53.493452E-53.3667267E-57.0E-52.07917078.366558E-55.0E-54.252448E-44.0982262E-43.5E-40.8540284.6979805E-46.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.003710.90692430.0041803819.0E-5
6.88.151497E-67.855796E-65.0E-56.36472755.7855403E-55.0E-53.493452E-53.3667267E-57.0E-52.07917078.366558E-55.0E-54.252448E-44.0982262E-43.5E-40.8540284.6979805E-46.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.003710.90692430.0041803819.0E-5
6.98.151497E-67.855796E-65.0E-56.36472755.7855403E-55.0E-53.493452E-53.3667267E-57.0E-52.07917078.366558E-55.0E-54.252448E-44.0982262E-43.5E-40.8540284.6979805E-46.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.003710.90692430.0041803819.0E-5
7.08.103535E-67.805226E-65.0E-56.40596445.7804835E-55.0E-53.4728975E-53.3450542E-57.0E-52.09264168.344887E-55.0E-54.2274324E-44.07185E-43.5E-40.859560134.6716057E-46.0E-50.00421939930.00406446960.003690.907867550.0041541049.0E-5
7.17.853298E-67.540917E-65.0E-56.6304935.754054E-55.0E-53.3656554E-53.2317817E-57.0E-52.16598778.2316204E-55.0E-54.096915E-43.9339912E-43.4E-40.86426224.533755E-46.0E-50.004089370.00392710320.00350.89124220.00401674969.0E-5
7.27.771102E-67.453199E-65.0E-56.7085295.7452828E-55.0E-53.33043E-53.1941894E-57.0E-52.19147948.19403E-55.0E-54.0540437E-43.8882386E-43.4E-40.874431974.4880054E-46.0E-50.00404665570.0038815110.003480.896558050.0039711629.0E-5
7.37.3945344E-67.0493033E-64.0E-55.67431974.7049023E-54.0E-53.1690477E-53.0210955E-56.0E-51.98603467.0209746E-54.0E-53.8576324E-43.677569E-43.1E-40.842948144.177385E-45.0E-50.00385094270.0036715510.003310.90152640.00375125728.0E-5
7.46.964645E-66.5901527E-64.0E-56.0696624.658989E-54.0E-52.9848137E-52.8243208E-56.0E-52.12440476.824208E-54.0E-53.6334046E-43.438073E-43.0E-40.872581843.937901E-45.0E-50.00362746980.00343280730.003030.882659550.00351253278.0E-5
7.56.6525035E-66.259191E-63.0E-54.79295163.6259004E-53.0E-52.851042E-52.6824831E-55.0E-51.86394465.6824025E-53.0E-53.4705905E-43.2654387E-42.9E-40.8880893.665308E-44.0E-50.00346517540.00326069190.002860.87711450.00333046357.0E-5
7.65.613338E-65.15142E-62.0E-53.88242482.5151317E-52.0E-52.405694E-52.2077327E-54.0E-51.81181354.2076885E-52.0E-52.928539E-42.6875862E-42.1E-40.78137032.9875056E-43.0E-50.00292468260.00268436740.002250.838186260.002724264.0E-5
7.74.494704E-63.996945E-62.0E-55.0038222.3996865E-52.0E-51.9262876E-51.7129652E-54.0E-52.33513213.712931E-52.0E-52.3450027E-42.0853379E-41.3E-40.623400152.2852962E-42.0E-50.00234252960.00208340520.001660.796772540.00210336342.0E-5
7.82.6075882E-62.1836663E-62.0E-59.1589082.2183624E-52.0E-51.117533E-59.358537E-62.0E-52.13708622.9358349E-52.0E-51.3605114E-41.1393427E-44.0E-50.35107961.33932E-42.0E-50.00135967880.00113876348.5E-40.74642380.00115874062.0E-5
7.94.045984E-73.2424057E-70.00.03.2424057E-70.01.733992E-61.3896017E-60.00.01.3896017E-60.02.1111147E-51.6918271E-50.00.01.6918271E-50.02.1109142E-41.6917015E-41.0E-40.591120841.6917015E-40.0
8.07.791402E-95.6836056E-90.00.05.6836056E-90.03.3391725E-82.4358311E-80.00.02.4358311E-80.04.0654416E-72.965624E-70.00.02.965624E-70.04.065434E-62.9656223E-61.0E-53.37197352.9656223E-60.0

Big Pine (Central)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2706755E-51.4250602E-50.00.01.4250602E-50.05.4456385E-56.107279E-56.0E-50.982434338.1071565E-52.0E-56.628048E-47.433441E-45.1E-40.686088747.933069E-45.0E-50.0066083140.0074136390.005530.745922450.0074930468.0E-5
6.18.342579E-69.510835E-60.00.09.510835E-60.03.5753423E-54.076021E-50.00.04.076021E-50.04.3521097E-44.9616426E-42.9E-40.584483865.1615434E-42.0E-50.00434359630.0049541550.003110.62775590.00498400633.0E-5
6.26.923899E-67.967221E-60.00.07.967221E-60.02.9673516E-53.4144894E-50.00.03.4144894E-50.03.6121515E-44.1565404E-42.2E-40.52928634.3564572E-42.0E-50.0036062860.00415210940.00250.60210360.0041720262.0E-5
6.32.728396E-63.4243646E-60.00.03.4243646E-60.01.1693074E-51.4675771E-50.00.01.4675771E-50.01.4235388E-41.7866373E-41.2E-40.67165281.9866016E-42.0E-50.00142262720.00178674330.001030.57646780.00180670762.0E-5
6.42.7136944E-63.4086581E-60.00.03.4086581E-60.01.1630066E-51.4608458E-50.00.01.4608458E-50.01.4158686E-41.7784433E-41.2E-40.67474741.9784077E-42.0E-50.00141496690.00177856230.001020.57349690.00179852672.0E-5
6.52.6971882E-63.3910032E-60.00.03.3910032E-60.01.1559327E-51.4532795E-50.00.01.4532795E-50.01.4072572E-41.7692328E-41.2E-40.67826011.9691975E-42.0E-50.00140636640.00176936660.001010.570825760.00178933122.0E-5
6.62.669092E-63.3610236E-60.00.03.3610236E-60.01.1438916E-51.4404312E-50.00.01.4404312E-50.01.3925991E-41.7535927E-41.2E-40.68430951.9535575E-42.0E-50.00139172670.00175375110.001010.57590840.00177371612.0E-5
6.72.6408059E-63.3310494E-60.00.03.3310494E-60.01.1317691E-51.4275853E-50.00.01.4275853E-50.01.3778417E-41.737955E-41.2E-40.690466641.9379203E-42.0E-50.00137698770.00173813810.0010.57532830.00175810342.0E-5
6.82.1786943E-62.8545066E-60.00.02.8545066E-60.09.337228E-61.2233547E-50.00.01.2233547E-50.01.1367482E-41.4893398E-41.1E-40.73858231.68931E-42.0E-50.00113616690.00148987048.5E-40.570519450.00150984062.0E-5
6.91.4411696E-62.0685677E-60.00.02.0685677E-60.06.1764263E-68.865261E-60.00.08.865261E-60.07.51954E-51.0792949E-49.0E-50.83387781.2792733E-42.0E-57.5169955E-40.00108025485.7E-40.52765330.00110023322.0E-5
7.01.0073411E-61.5543274E-60.00.01.5543274E-60.04.317169E-66.661387E-60.00.06.661387E-60.05.2560266E-58.109952E-55.0E-50.61652649.109871E-51.0E-55.2547833E-48.1217213E-44.5E-40.55406978.2216406E-41.0E-5
7.18.947104E-71.430316E-60.00.01.430316E-60.03.834468E-66.1299124E-60.00.06.1299124E-60.04.6683643E-57.462928E-55.0E-50.66997848.462853E-51.0E-54.6673836E-47.4751483E-44.4E-40.58861717.5750734E-41.0E-5
7.25.215166E-71.0112277E-60.00.01.0112277E-60.02.2350691E-64.333826E-60.00.04.333826E-60.02.7211627E-55.27631E-52.0E-50.37905286.276257E-51.0E-52.7208295E-45.289683E-42.4E-40.453713425.3896295E-41.0E-5
7.34.4024807E-79.220183E-70.00.09.220183E-70.01.8867761E-63.951501E-60.00.03.951501E-60.02.2971257E-54.8108504E-52.0E-50.41572695.8108024E-51.0E-52.2968883E-44.824433E-42.2E-40.456012134.924385E-41.0E-5
7.43.6130905E-78.359109E-70.00.08.359109E-70.01.5484665E-63.5824705E-60.00.03.5824705E-60.01.8852415E-54.3615746E-51.0E-50.2292755.361531E-51.0E-51.8850817E-44.3752496E-42.1E-40.479972634.4752058E-41.0E-5
7.53.408184E-78.1087245E-70.00.08.1087245E-70.01.4606494E-63.475163E-60.00.03.475163E-60.01.7783263E-54.230933E-51.0E-50.236354495.2308907E-51.0E-51.778184E-44.2444657E-42.0E-40.471201844.344423E-41.0E-5
7.63.1428627E-77.732167E-70.00.07.732167E-70.01.3469405E-63.313782E-60.00.03.313782E-60.01.6398877E-54.0344585E-50.00.04.0344585E-50.01.6397667E-44.0477706E-41.9E-40.46939424.0477706E-40.0
7.71.7972785E-75.0782415E-70.00.05.0782415E-70.07.70262E-72.1763874E-60.00.02.1763874E-60.09.377899E-62.6497206E-50.00.02.6497206E-50.09.377503E-52.6633305E-41.4E-40.525657652.6633305E-40.0
7.84.9230927E-81.1981747E-70.00.01.1981747E-70.02.1098968E-75.135033E-70.00.05.135033E-70.02.5687964E-66.2518866E-60.00.06.2518866E-60.02.5687666E-56.2971965E-53.0E-50.47640256.2971965E-50.0
7.93.6805972E-94.1051638E-90.00.04.1051638E-90.01.5773987E-81.7593557E-80.00.01.7593557E-80.01.9204828E-72.1420155E-70.00.02.1420155E-70.01.920481E-62.1898923E-60.00.02.1898923E-60.0

Monterey Bay-Tularcitos

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0131365E-53.279877E-51.0E-50.304889473.279877E-50.01.2912804E-41.4055918E-45.0E-50.355722041.4055918E-40.00.0015710.00171007039.5E-40.555532750.0017300362.0E-50.0155994020.0169799160.011270.663725260.0170487287.0E-5
6.13.0131365E-53.279877E-51.0E-50.304889473.279877E-50.01.2912804E-41.4055918E-45.0E-50.355722041.4055918E-40.00.0015710.00171007039.5E-40.555532750.0017300362.0E-50.0155994020.0169799160.011270.663725260.0170487287.0E-5
6.23.0131365E-53.279877E-51.0E-50.304889473.279877E-50.01.2912804E-41.4055918E-45.0E-50.355722041.4055918E-40.00.0015710.00171007039.5E-40.555532750.0017300362.0E-50.0155994020.0169799160.011270.663725260.0170487287.0E-5
6.31.6998249E-51.8330798E-51.0E-50.545529961.8330798E-50.07.28476E-57.85583E-54.0E-50.509175967.85583E-50.08.865586E-49.5604634E-46.5E-40.679883369.6603675E-41.0E-50.00883030050.0095212580.006430.675330940.0095707825.0E-5
6.41.6998249E-51.8330798E-51.0E-50.545529961.8330798E-50.07.28476E-57.85583E-54.0E-50.509175967.85583E-50.08.865586E-49.5604634E-46.5E-40.679883369.6603675E-41.0E-50.00883030050.0095212580.006430.675330940.0095707825.0E-5
6.51.27470785E-51.3693312E-51.0E-50.73028351.3693312E-50.05.4629192E-55.8684363E-52.0E-50.340806285.8684363E-50.06.649074E-47.1425823E-44.6E-40.64402477.242511E-41.0E-50.00662921460.0071206780.004880.685327950.00717032245.0E-5
6.61.2739422E-51.36854E-51.0E-50.730705741.36854E-50.05.4596385E-55.8650454E-52.0E-50.341003335.8650454E-50.06.645082E-47.1384566E-44.6E-40.6443977.238385E-41.0E-50.00662524670.0071165790.004880.685722770.0071662235.0E-5
6.71.0160109E-51.0885755E-50.00.01.0885755E-50.04.35426E-54.665244E-51.0E-50.214351064.665244E-50.05.300022E-45.6785246E-43.6E-40.633967465.778468E-41.0E-50.0052873990.00566472630.003980.702593560.0057144435.0E-5
6.88.349859E-68.932587E-60.00.08.932587E-60.03.578462E-53.8281985E-51.0E-50.261219473.8281985E-50.04.3559066E-44.6598914E-43.4E-40.72963074.759845E-41.0E-50.0043473780.0046506850.003330.71602350.0046904994.0E-5
6.95.193639E-65.53643E-60.00.05.53643E-60.02.2258262E-52.372736E-51.0E-50.42145442.372736E-50.02.7096065E-42.8884556E-42.3E-40.79627332.9884267E-41.0E-50.00270630510.00288502240.002110.73136350.0029249074.0E-5
7.04.359381E-64.643366E-60.00.04.643366E-60.01.8682927E-51.9900004E-50.00.01.9900004E-50.02.274409E-42.422586E-41.9E-40.78428592.5225617E-41.0E-50.00227208270.0024202380.001820.751992170.00246014124.0E-5
7.13.0398533E-63.2310427E-60.00.03.2310427E-60.01.3027877E-51.3847267E-50.00.01.3847267E-50.01.5860285E-41.6858005E-41.2E-40.7118281.7857837E-41.0E-50.0015848970.00168477930.001330.78942090.00170474572.0E-5
7.21.642335E-61.7333153E-60.00.01.7333153E-60.07.0385595E-67.428485E-60.00.07.428485E-60.08.569109E-59.044012E-58.0E-50.88456321.0043921E-41.0E-58.5658056E-49.042358E-47.8E-40.86260689.2421775E-42.0E-5
7.33.356842E-73.2952389E-70.00.03.2952389E-70.01.4386458E-61.4122445E-60.00.01.4122445E-60.01.7515373E-51.7193941E-52.0E-51.16320042.719377E-51.0E-51.7513991E-41.719262E-41.7E-40.98879631.9192277E-42.0E-5
7.42.1973483E-72.1006414E-70.00.02.1006414E-70.09.417204E-79.002746E-70.00.09.002746E-70.01.1465385E-51.0960788E-52.0E-51.82468632.0960679E-51.0E-51.1464794E-41.0960251E-41.1E-41.00362661.1960141E-41.0E-5
7.51.1944135E-71.0696035E-70.00.01.0696035E-70.05.118914E-74.5840142E-70.00.04.5840142E-70.06.23226E-65.581023E-61.0E-51.79178625.581023E-60.06.2320854E-55.5808843E-54.0E-50.71673235.5808843E-50.0
7.64.636058E-83.3364433E-80.00.03.3364433E-80.01.9868818E-71.4299042E-70.00.01.4299042E-70.02.419026E-61.740907E-60.00.01.740907E-60.02.4189996E-51.7408936E-50.00.01.7408936E-50.0
7.71.8588572E-88.003168E-90.00.08.003168E-90.07.9665305E-83.429929E-80.00.03.429929E-80.09.699246E-74.1759378E-70.00.04.1759378E-70.09.699204E-64.1759304E-60.00.04.1759304E-60.0
7.82.7960154E-97.608624E-100.00.07.608624E-100.01.1982923E-83.2608392E-90.00.03.2608392E-90.01.4589209E-73.9700716E-80.00.03.9700716E-80.01.4589199E-63.970071E-70.00.03.970071E-70.0

Ortigalita (South)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.72394E-54.32556E-54.0E-50.92473587.3254305E-53.0E-51.5958765E-41.8536886E-41.6E-40.86314392.153633E-43.0E-50.00194124810.00225468630.001580.70076270.00232452857.0E-50.0192437750.0223345010.017380.778168260.022422499.0E-5
6.12.7299884E-53.1492036E-53.0E-50.95262185.1491406E-52.0E-51.16994255E-41.349592E-41.4E-41.03735051.549565E-42.0E-50.00142347430.00164194570.001190.72474990.00170184726.0E-50.0141439060.0163040720.013150.8065470.016372937.0E-5
6.22.7299884E-53.1492036E-53.0E-50.95262185.1491406E-52.0E-51.16994255E-41.349592E-41.4E-41.03735051.549565E-42.0E-50.00142347430.00164194570.001190.72474990.00170184726.0E-50.0141439060.0163040720.013150.8065470.016372937.0E-5
6.32.0546433E-52.3631454E-52.0E-50.84632973.3631215E-51.0E-58.805317E-51.0127383E-47.0E-50.691195371.1127282E-41.0E-50.001071520.00123233057.8E-40.632947150.00126229343.0E-50.0106636810.0122570310.009780.79790940.0122965414.0E-5
6.42.0546433E-52.3631454E-52.0E-50.84632973.3631215E-51.0E-58.805317E-51.0127383E-47.0E-50.691195371.1127282E-41.0E-50.001071520.00123233057.8E-40.632947150.00126229343.0E-50.0106636810.0122570310.009780.79790940.0122965414.0E-5
6.51.7779594E-52.0446974E-52.0E-50.97813983.044677E-51.0E-57.619603E-58.762703E-57.0E-50.79884039.762615E-51.0E-59.272918E-40.00106635056.7E-40.62831130.00109631853.0E-50.0092343190.0106138040.008490.79990170.0106533794.0E-5
6.61.6272212E-51.8714967E-52.0E-51.06866342.871478E-51.0E-56.973618E-58.0204605E-56.0E-50.74808679.020381E-51.0E-58.487073E-49.760659E-46.0E-40.61471269.960464E-42.0E-50.0084547330.0097190910.007860.808717670.0097487993.0E-5
6.71.3051484E-51.5038758E-52.0E-51.3298972.5038607E-51.0E-55.593373E-56.445028E-56.0E-50.930950167.4449636E-51.0E-56.807804E-47.844092E-45.3E-40.675667767.9440133E-41.0E-50.0067869860.0078173880.006540.83659660.0078372312.0E-5
6.81.04277415E-51.1987235E-52.0E-51.66844142.1987114E-51.0E-54.4689557E-55.1372896E-55.0E-50.97327596.137238E-51.0E-55.439595E-46.2529295E-43.9E-40.623707656.352867E-41.0E-50.00542629930.006236090.005320.85309870.0062559652.0E-5
6.97.639968E-68.791503E-61.0E-51.13746191.8791416E-51.0E-53.274231E-53.767736E-54.0E-51.06164554.7676982E-51.0E-53.9856473E-44.586312E-42.7E-40.588708344.686266E-41.0E-50.0039785060.0045774330.003770.82360570.00459734162.0E-5
7.03.919831E-64.5334014E-60.00.04.5334014E-60.01.679917E-51.942873E-51.0E-50.514701661.942873E-50.02.045107E-42.3652123E-41.0E-40.422795032.3652123E-40.00.00204322580.00236290340.00190.804095450.00236290340.0
7.11.6017933E-61.8570418E-60.00.01.8570418E-60.06.8648105E-67.958732E-60.00.07.958732E-60.08.357586E-59.689432E-54.0E-50.412820889.689432E-50.08.3544437E-49.686254E-49.7E-41.00141919.686254E-40.0

Chino alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.939946E-54.894798E-52.0E-50.408597056.8947E-52.0E-51.6884391E-42.0976314E-41.0E-40.47672822.2975894E-42.0E-50.00205373620.0025513850.001620.63494920.0026112326.0E-50.0203485950.0252801680.016850.66653040.0253678939.0E-5
6.12.1505624E-52.6878823E-51.0E-50.37204013.6878555E-51.0E-59.2163704E-51.15190494E-45.0E-50.434063581.2518934E-41.0E-50.00112151540.00140165178.8E-40.627830740.00143160963.0E-50.0111587220.0139474250.009370.67180860.0139868674.0E-5
6.22.1505624E-52.6878823E-51.0E-50.37204013.6878555E-51.0E-59.2163704E-51.15190494E-45.0E-50.434063581.2518934E-41.0E-50.00112151540.00140165178.8E-40.627830740.00143160963.0E-50.0111587220.0139474250.009370.67180860.0139868674.0E-5
6.31.4290785E-51.8164832E-51.0E-50.55051432.816465E-51.0E-56.1244784E-57.784722E-52.0E-50.256913488.7846434E-51.0E-57.454001E-49.4742293E-46.0E-40.63329699.67404E-42.0E-50.0074290480.009446740.006080.64360830.0094764573.0E-5
6.41.4290785E-51.8164832E-51.0E-50.55051432.816465E-51.0E-56.1244784E-57.784722E-52.0E-50.256913488.7846434E-51.0E-57.454001E-49.4742293E-46.0E-40.63329699.67404E-42.0E-50.0074290480.009446740.006080.64360830.0094764573.0E-5
6.51.3017944E-51.6651793E-51.0E-50.60053592.6651625E-51.0E-55.5789995E-57.1363116E-51.0E-50.14012848.136241E-51.0E-56.790315E-48.6854334E-45.2E-40.598703568.88526E-42.0E-50.00676960360.0086642330.005420.62556030.0086939733.0E-5
6.69.470016E-61.2039209E-50.00.01.2039209E-50.04.058515E-55.159578E-50.00.05.159578E-50.04.940122E-46.280315E-43.6E-40.573219666.3802523E-41.0E-50.0049291540.0062732480.003810.607340930.0062931222.0E-5
6.78.314155E-61.040749E-50.00.01.040749E-50.03.5631605E-54.4602948E-50.00.04.4602948E-50.04.3372845E-45.4293784E-43.3E-40.60780445.529324E-41.0E-50.0043288290.00542708070.003340.615432140.00544697232.0E-5
6.83.4856364E-63.8134033E-60.00.03.8134033E-60.01.4938357E-51.6343065E-50.00.01.6343065E-50.01.8185932E-41.9896074E-41.3E-40.653395241.9896074E-40.00.00181710560.00198945290.001420.71376410.0019994331.0E-5
6.92.2645952E-62.152909E-60.00.02.152909E-60.09.705372E-69.226722E-60.00.09.226722E-60.01.18156495E-41.12329755E-48.0E-50.712188841.12329755E-40.00.00118093690.00112331387.8E-40.69437410.00113330261.0E-5
7.01.7864003E-61.5430741E-60.00.01.5430741E-60.07.655979E-66.613158E-60.00.06.613158E-60.09.3207556E-58.051228E-54.0E-50.49681868.051228E-50.09.316847E-48.052856E-45.3E-40.658151578.052856E-40.0
7.11.7315456E-61.4733466E-60.00.01.4733466E-60.07.420889E-66.314328E-60.00.06.314328E-60.09.034557E-57.687428E-53.0E-50.390247527.687428E-50.09.0308854E-47.68921E-45.0E-40.65026197.68921E-40.0
7.21.6008337E-61.3574178E-60.00.01.3574178E-60.06.860698E-65.817492E-60.00.05.817492E-60.08.352579E-57.082572E-53.0E-50.423574957.082572E-50.08.34944E-47.0846075E-44.6E-40.6492957.0846075E-40.0
7.31.3320939E-61.1217794E-60.00.01.1217794E-60.05.7089615E-64.8076176E-60.00.04.8076176E-60.06.9504385E-55.853122E-52.0E-50.3416985.853122E-50.06.9482654E-45.8530655E-43.6E-40.61506235.8530655E-40.0
7.41.114294E-69.237087E-70.00.09.237087E-70.04.775537E-63.9587458E-60.00.03.9587458E-60.05.8140613E-54.81967E-52.0E-50.41496624.81967E-50.05.81254E-44.8187698E-43.1E-40.64331774.8187698E-40.0
7.59.354081E-77.6233886E-70.00.07.6233886E-70.04.0088858E-63.2671626E-60.00.03.2671626E-60.04.8807087E-53.9777013E-51.0E-50.251401483.9777013E-50.04.879637E-43.9770233E-42.5E-40.628610853.9770233E-40.0
7.68.521771E-76.880688E-70.00.06.880688E-70.03.6521824E-62.948863E-60.00.02.948863E-60.04.4464414E-53.590185E-51.0E-50.278537183.590185E-50.04.4455516E-43.5896365E-42.1E-40.585017443.5896365E-40.0
7.72.1803626E-71.4186368E-70.00.01.4186368E-70.09.344408E-76.0798715E-70.00.06.0798715E-70.01.1376757E-57.4022278E-60.00.07.4022278E-60.01.13761744E-47.402077E-55.0E-50.67548617.402077E-50.0

Palos Verdes

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.126063E-57.622572E-55.0E-50.655946559.62242E-52.0E-52.6251914E-43.266441E-41.8E-40.55105853.7662778E-45.0E-50.00319148650.00397017370.001990.50123750.0040498568.0E-50.0314603930.039049090.020710.53035810.0391355759.0E-5
6.16.126063E-57.622572E-55.0E-50.655946559.62242E-52.0E-52.6251914E-43.266441E-41.8E-40.55105853.7662778E-45.0E-50.00319148650.00397017370.001990.50123750.0040498568.0E-50.0314603930.039049090.020710.53035810.0391355759.0E-5
6.26.126063E-57.622572E-55.0E-50.655946559.62242E-52.0E-52.6251914E-43.266441E-41.8E-40.55105853.7662778E-45.0E-50.00319148650.00397017370.001990.50123750.0040498568.0E-50.0314603930.039049090.020710.53035810.0391355759.0E-5
6.34.0838047E-54.9749007E-50.00.04.9749007E-50.01.7500846E-42.1319388E-49.0E-50.422150972.3318961E-42.0E-50.00212864580.0025927540.001390.536109450.00262267633.0E-50.0210837090.0256467460.013630.53145140.0256759773.0E-5
6.44.0838047E-54.9749007E-50.00.04.9749007E-50.01.7500846E-42.1319388E-49.0E-50.422150972.3318961E-42.0E-50.00212864580.0025927540.001390.536109450.00262267633.0E-50.0210837090.0256467460.013630.53145140.0256759773.0E-5
6.53.0512005E-53.6561592E-50.00.03.6561592E-50.01.3075917E-41.566838E-45.0E-50.319114031.6668225E-41.0E-50.00159083040.0019060720.001020.535131930.0019160531.0E-50.0157949030.0189091730.010350.54735340.0189189841.0E-5
6.62.9255087E-53.5154393E-50.00.03.5154393E-50.01.2537291E-41.5065364E-45.0E-50.33188711.6065213E-41.0E-50.00152534640.00183277829.6E-40.523794950.00184275991.0E-50.0151491890.0181882440.010.54980570.0181980621.0E-5
6.72.287198E-52.724828E-50.00.02.724828E-50.09.801909E-51.16773626E-44.0E-50.34254311.2677246E-41.0E-50.0011927290.00142088337.7E-40.54191640.00143086921.0E-50.0118634770.0141272170.007930.56132780.0141370761.0E-5
6.82.1325764E-52.5431878E-50.00.02.5431878E-50.09.139293E-51.0898972E-44.0E-50.36700711.18988624E-41.0E-50.0011121410.00132623237.3E-40.55043150.0013362191.0E-50.0110659150.0131922110.007370.558662950.013202081.0E-5
6.91.9009392E-52.2613547E-50.00.02.2613547E-50.08.1466285E-59.6912096E-54.0E-50.412745181.0691113E-41.0E-59.914007E-40.00117935356.6E-40.559628670.00118934171.0E-50.0098698940.0117396330.006510.55453180.0117495151.0E-5
7.01.7098473E-52.0319356E-50.00.02.0319356E-50.07.3277115E-58.708052E-54.0E-50.459344959.7079654E-51.0E-58.917837E-40.0010597756.0E-40.566157940.00106976441.0E-50.0088821340.0105556460.00590.558942560.0105655411.0E-5
7.11.5982785E-51.899476E-50.00.01.899476E-50.06.849585E-58.1404054E-54.0E-50.491376049.1403235E-51.0E-58.336179E-49.907284E-45.4E-40.545053540.00100071841.0E-50.0083049770.0098714790.005530.560199740.0098813811.0E-5
7.21.4468002E-51.7197237E-50.00.01.7197237E-50.06.200425E-57.370083E-54.0E-50.542734748.370009E-51.0E-57.546402E-48.970222E-45.1E-40.56854789.0701325E-41.0E-50.0075208270.0089422840.004940.55243160.0089521941.0E-5
7.35.288233E-66.2036747E-60.00.06.2036747E-60.02.2663658E-52.6587102E-50.00.02.6587102E-50.02.7589512E-43.236848E-42.0E-40.617885053.236848E-40.00.00275552830.00323555620.001730.534683940.00323555620.0
7.48.279556E-78.408347E-70.00.08.408347E-70.03.5483763E-63.6035726E-60.00.03.6035726E-60.04.3200624E-54.3872686E-52.0E-50.45586454.3872686E-50.04.3192226E-44.3864746E-42.3E-40.52433914.3864746E-40.0
7.56.559831E-76.667229E-70.00.06.667229E-70.02.8113532E-62.857381E-60.00.02.857381E-60.03.4227687E-53.4788125E-50.00.03.4788125E-50.03.4222414E-43.4783344E-41.6E-40.45999033.4783344E-40.0
7.63.5018968E-73.5620027E-70.00.03.5620027E-70.01.500812E-61.526572E-60.00.01.526572E-60.01.8272232E-51.8585903E-50.00.01.8585903E-50.01.8270731E-41.8584808E-47.0E-50.376651731.8584808E-40.0
7.71.1986104E-71.2198376E-70.00.01.2198376E-70.05.1369005E-75.2278745E-70.00.05.2278745E-70.06.2541585E-66.364919E-60.00.06.364919E-60.06.2539824E-56.364741E-52.0E-50.314231166.364741E-50.0
7.83.0445005E-83.1027582E-80.00.03.1027582E-80.01.3047858E-71.3297536E-70.00.01.3297536E-70.01.5885756E-61.6189739E-60.00.01.6189739E-60.01.5885644E-51.6189642E-50.00.01.6189642E-50.0

San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.693995E-66.660123E-63.0E-54.5044213.6659923E-53.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-55.0E-51.75173855.8542217E-53.0E-53.492233E-43.4745657E-42.8E-40.80585614.1743225E-47.0E-50.003486750.00354911670.002010.56633810.00363879729.0E-5
6.16.693995E-66.660123E-63.0E-54.5044213.6659923E-53.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-55.0E-51.75173855.8542217E-53.0E-53.492233E-43.4745657E-42.8E-40.80585614.1743225E-47.0E-50.003486750.00354911670.002010.56633810.00363879729.0E-5
6.26.693995E-66.660123E-63.0E-54.5044213.6659923E-53.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-55.0E-51.75173855.8542217E-53.0E-53.492233E-43.4745657E-42.8E-40.80585614.1743225E-47.0E-50.003486750.00354911670.002010.56633810.00363879729.0E-5
6.36.693995E-66.660123E-63.0E-54.5044213.6659923E-53.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-55.0E-51.75173855.8542217E-53.0E-53.492233E-43.4745657E-42.8E-40.80585614.1743225E-47.0E-50.003486750.00354911670.002010.56633810.00363879729.0E-5
6.46.693995E-66.660123E-63.0E-54.5044213.6659923E-53.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-55.0E-51.75173855.8542217E-53.0E-53.492233E-43.4745657E-42.8E-40.80585614.1743225E-47.0E-50.003486750.00354911670.002010.56633810.00363879729.0E-5
6.56.6561875E-66.620341E-63.0E-54.53148843.6620142E-53.0E-52.8526205E-52.8372582E-55.0E-51.76226475.837173E-53.0E-53.472512E-43.453815E-42.8E-40.810697734.1535732E-47.0E-50.00346709070.00352843220.001970.55832160.00361811469.0E-5
6.66.6561875E-66.620341E-63.0E-54.53148843.6620142E-53.0E-52.8526205E-52.8372582E-55.0E-51.76226475.837173E-53.0E-53.472512E-43.453815E-42.8E-40.810697734.1535732E-47.0E-50.00346709070.00352843220.001970.55832160.00361811469.0E-5
6.76.5802237E-66.539518E-63.0E-54.58749443.653932E-53.0E-52.8200653E-52.8026205E-55.0E-51.78404475.802536E-53.0E-53.4328885E-43.4116567E-42.8E-40.82071564.111418E-47.0E-50.00342759020.00348640650.001950.559315150.0035760939.0E-5
6.86.575632E-66.5340073E-63.0E-54.5913633.6533813E-53.0E-52.8180975E-52.8002589E-55.0E-51.78554925.8001748E-53.0E-53.4304935E-43.4087826E-42.8E-40.82140764.1085438E-47.0E-50.00342520260.00348354130.001950.55977520.0035732289.0E-5
6.96.570433E-66.525401E-63.0E-54.59741833.6525205E-53.0E-52.8158694E-52.7965707E-55.0E-51.7879045.7964866E-53.0E-53.4277816E-43.4042934E-42.8E-40.822490754.104055E-47.0E-50.00342249920.00347906650.001950.56049520.00356875349.0E-5
7.06.5643826E-66.5155223E-63.0E-54.6043893.651533E-53.0E-52.8132765E-52.7923368E-55.0E-51.7906155.792253E-53.0E-53.424626E-43.3991406E-42.8E-40.82373764.0989026E-47.0E-50.00341935320.00347392960.001930.55556680.0035636179.0E-5
7.16.557402E-66.504234E-63.0E-54.612383.650404E-53.0E-52.8102848E-52.7874992E-55.0E-51.79372255.7874156E-53.0E-53.4209844E-43.3932526E-42.8E-40.8251674.093015E-47.0E-50.00341572290.00346806060.001910.550740060.00355774869.0E-5
7.26.546394E-66.4862006E-63.0E-54.6252043.6486006E-53.0E-52.8055672E-52.7797707E-55.0E-51.79870955.779687E-53.0E-53.4152428E-43.383846E-42.8E-40.82746084.083609E-47.0E-50.00340999870.00345868830.001910.55223250.0035483779.0E-5
7.36.5364216E-66.4669857E-63.0E-54.63894653.646679E-53.0E-52.8012933E-52.771536E-55.0E-51.80405395.771453E-53.0E-53.4100408E-43.373823E-42.8E-40.8299194.073587E-47.0E-50.0034048130.00344871030.00190.550930560.00353849.0E-5
7.46.5269523E-66.4480723E-63.0E-54.6525533.644788E-53.0E-52.7972354E-52.7634303E-55.0E-51.80934555.7633475E-53.0E-53.4051016E-43.3639578E-42.8E-40.832352944.0637222E-47.0E-50.00339988880.00343889230.001890.54959560.00352858269.0E-5
7.56.5111835E-66.424346E-63.0E-54.6697363.6424153E-53.0E-52.7904773E-52.753262E-55.0E-51.81602765.7531794E-53.0E-53.3968766E-43.3515817E-42.8E-40.835426454.0513472E-47.0E-50.00339168870.00342656440.001890.55157290.00351625599.0E-5
7.66.4768806E-66.383454E-63.0E-54.699653.6383262E-53.0E-52.7757764E-52.7357375E-55.0E-51.82766085.7356552E-53.0E-53.3789838E-43.330252E-42.8E-40.84077724.030019E-47.0E-50.00337385040.00340529720.001890.555017650.00349499089.0E-5
7.76.1655364E-66.1759456E-63.0E-54.8575563.617576E-53.0E-52.642346E-52.646807E-55.0E-51.88906865.6467277E-53.0E-53.2165812E-43.2220117E-42.7E-40.83798583.921786E-47.0E-50.00321192950.00329693620.001810.548994540.00338663959.0E-5
7.85.5043524E-65.7370175E-63.0E-55.2291983.5736844E-53.0E-52.3589868E-52.4586987E-55.0E-52.0335965.458625E-53.0E-52.871688E-42.993055E-42.5E-40.835266953.6928456E-47.0E-50.00286797970.00306705850.001660.54123520.00315678269.0E-5
7.93.889249E-64.0766436E-63.0E-57.3589953.4076522E-53.0E-51.6668104E-51.7471213E-55.0E-52.86185054.747069E-53.0E-52.0291525E-42.126913E-41.7E-40.799280462.8267642E-47.0E-50.00202730070.00219410730.001120.51045820.00228390989.0E-5
8.02.668535E-62.5313454E-63.0E-511.8514053.253127E-53.0E-51.1436528E-51.0848577E-55.0E-54.6088994.0848252E-53.0E-51.3923083E-41.3207346E-41.4E-41.06001621.9206553E-46.0E-50.00139143630.00137556656.7E-40.487072050.00144547037.0E-5
8.11.5911459E-61.2185134E-62.0E-516.4134452.121849E-52.0E-56.8191785E-65.2221894E-63.0E-55.74471662.5222085E-52.0E-58.3020335E-56.357832E-56.0E-50.943717848.3577055E-52.0E-58.298933E-46.6911156E-42.8E-40.418465356.9909147E-43.0E-5
8.26.1294963E-72.1802066E-70.00.02.1802066E-70.02.6269242E-69.3437393E-70.00.09.3437393E-70.03.1982334E-51.1375943E-50.00.01.1375943E-50.03.1977732E-41.2778955E-45.0E-50.391268281.2778955E-40.0
8.31.762871E-74.7516316E-80.00.04.7516316E-80.07.5551594E-72.0364133E-70.00.02.0364133E-70.09.1983675E-62.4793305E-60.00.02.4793305E-60.09.197987E-52.8671833E-50.00.02.8671833E-50.0

Coronado Bank alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.533492E-59.3951705E-56.0E-50.6386269.3951705E-50.03.22824E-44.025903E-43.3E-40.81969194.2258223E-42.0E-50.00392330070.0048911210.002950.603133740.00492097443.0E-50.038547550.0479040.031610.65986140.0479801678.0E-5
6.14.1807285E-55.0493105E-52.0E-50.39609375.0493105E-50.01.7916178E-42.1638138E-41.0E-40.462146972.2637921E-41.0E-50.00217911230.00263133650.001150.437040270.00264131021.0E-50.0215786770.0260111240.014350.551687060.0260403443.0E-5
6.24.1807285E-55.0493105E-52.0E-50.39609375.0493105E-50.01.7916178E-42.1638138E-41.0E-40.462146972.2637921E-41.0E-50.00217911230.00263133650.001150.437040270.00264131021.0E-50.0215786770.0260111240.014350.551687060.0260403443.0E-5
6.33.1793104E-53.7711125E-52.0E-50.530347473.7711125E-50.01.3624904E-41.6160926E-48.0E-50.495021131.7160765E-41.0E-50.00165756980.0019658499.0E-40.457817470.00197582921.0E-50.0164526030.0194884950.011110.57007990.0195081052.0E-5
6.42.9878007E-53.5335797E-52.0E-50.565998263.5335797E-50.01.2804232E-41.5143053E-47.0E-50.462258161.6142902E-41.0E-50.00155780030.00184213958.4E-40.455991540.00185212111.0E-50.0154692530.0182724630.010380.56806790.01829212.0E-5
6.52.4512565E-52.8764101E-52.0E-50.69531112.8764101E-50.01.0504962E-41.2326906E-45.0E-50.405616821.3326782E-41.0E-50.00127822870.00149979437.2E-40.480065820.00150977941.0E-50.0127090120.01489969250.008490.56981040.0149193952.0E-5
6.62.1317413E-52.490667E-52.0E-50.802997772.490667E-50.09.135714E-51.0673863E-45.0E-50.468433981.1673757E-41.0E-50.00111170560.00129879036.5E-40.50046570.00130877741.0E-50.0110616050.0129144070.007110.55054790.0129341492.0E-5
6.71.8585655E-52.1634882E-52.0E-50.92443312.1634882E-50.07.9650374E-59.271774E-55.0E-50.53927111.0271681E-41.0E-59.6931186E-40.00112827445.9E-40.522922460.0011382631.0E-50.00965094750.0112276230.006140.54686550.0112473982.0E-5
6.81.5862879E-51.8419476E-52.0E-51.08580721.8419476E-50.06.798199E-57.8938334E-55.0E-50.633405868.8937544E-51.0E-58.273665E-49.606697E-45.1E-40.53087979.7066007E-41.0E-50.0082429280.0095671510.005210.544571760.0095869592.0E-5
6.91.3021509E-51.5095266E-50.00.01.5095266E-50.05.5805274E-56.46925E-53.0E-50.463732337.4691845E-51.0E-56.792174E-47.873646E-44.6E-40.584227447.973567E-41.0E-50.0067714520.0078475730.004310.54921440.0078674162.0E-5
7.01.0974371E-51.2720105E-50.00.01.2720105E-50.04.7032172E-55.4513697E-53.0E-50.550320456.451315E-51.0E-55.7246623E-46.635197E-43.8E-40.57270346.7351304E-41.0E-50.00570993730.00661713540.003630.548575760.0066370032.0E-5
7.18.766221E-61.0163833E-50.00.01.0163833E-50.03.7568978E-54.3558655E-53.0E-50.68872655.355822E-51.0E-54.573063E-45.302148E-43.1E-40.58466875.4020947E-41.0E-50.00456366360.0052911970.002870.54241030.00531109142.0E-5
7.28.026024E-78.331776E-70.00.08.331776E-70.03.43972E-63.5707562E-60.00.03.5707562E-60.04.1877785E-54.34731E-53.0E-50.69008194.34731E-50.04.1869894E-44.3464705E-42.7E-40.621193654.3464705E-40.0
7.33.7293114E-73.700106E-70.00.03.700106E-70.01.5982754E-61.5857588E-60.00.01.5857588E-60.01.9458828E-51.9306442E-51.0E-50.51796181.9306442E-50.01.9457124E-41.9304773E-41.2E-40.621607961.9304773E-40.0
7.42.0557036E-71.9674441E-70.00.01.9674441E-70.08.810155E-78.4319004E-70.00.08.4319004E-70.01.0726311E-51.02657905E-50.00.01.02657905E-50.01.0725793E-41.026532E-44.0E-50.389661521.026532E-40.0
7.56.845446E-86.2794086E-80.00.06.2794086E-80.02.9337625E-72.6911746E-70.00.02.6911746E-70.03.5718497E-63.2765004E-60.00.03.2765004E-60.03.5717923E-53.276453E-52.0E-50.610416233.276453E-50.0
7.66.0975145E-95.531901E-90.00.05.531901E-90.02.6132206E-82.3708148E-80.00.02.3708148E-80.03.1815955E-72.8864667E-70.00.02.8864667E-70.03.181591E-62.886464E-60.00.02.886464E-60.0

Cleghorn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.9267165E-69.831764E-62.0E-52.03422282.9831568E-52.0E-53.39712E-54.2135514E-54.0E-50.9493187.213425E-53.0E-54.1352084E-45.1288976E-43.8E-40.74095.628641E-45.0E-50.0041275220.0051322140.00420.81836020.00521180368.0E-5
6.17.9267165E-69.831764E-62.0E-52.03422282.9831568E-52.0E-53.39712E-54.2135514E-54.0E-50.9493187.213425E-53.0E-54.1352084E-45.1288976E-43.8E-40.74095.628641E-45.0E-50.0041275220.0051322140.00420.81836020.00521180368.0E-5
6.27.9267165E-69.831764E-62.0E-52.03422282.9831568E-52.0E-53.39712E-54.2135514E-54.0E-50.9493187.213425E-53.0E-54.1352084E-45.1288976E-43.8E-40.74095.628641E-45.0E-50.0041275220.0051322140.00420.81836020.00521180368.0E-5
6.37.9267165E-69.831764E-62.0E-52.03422282.9831568E-52.0E-53.39712E-54.2135514E-54.0E-50.9493187.213425E-53.0E-54.1352084E-45.1288976E-43.8E-40.74095.628641E-45.0E-50.0041275220.0051322140.00420.81836020.00521180368.0E-5
6.44.3445207E-66.0916254E-62.0E-53.2831962.6091504E-52.0E-51.8619241E-52.6106709E-54.0E-51.53217325.6105928E-53.0E-52.2666567E-43.1780385E-41.8E-40.56638713.4779432E-43.0E-50.00226434620.00318772460.00230.72151780.00323756535.0E-5
6.54.3445207E-66.0916254E-62.0E-53.2831962.6091504E-52.0E-51.8619241E-52.6106709E-54.0E-51.53217325.6105928E-53.0E-52.2666567E-43.1780385E-41.8E-40.56638713.4779432E-43.0E-50.00226434620.00318772460.00230.72151780.00323756535.0E-5
6.64.040109E-65.774033E-62.0E-53.46378352.5773918E-52.0E-51.7314638E-52.4745626E-53.0E-51.21233555.4744884E-53.0E-52.1078532E-43.0123728E-41.5E-40.497946323.3122825E-43.0E-50.0021058550.00302251430.002160.71463680.00307236335.0E-5
6.73.3632055E-65.06753E-61.0E-51.9733481.5067479E-51.0E-51.4413658E-52.1717806E-51.0E-50.460451663.1717587E-51.0E-51.7547216E-42.643825E-41.2E-40.45388782.7437988E-41.0E-50.00175333660.00265484860.001820.68553820.0026847693.0E-5
6.83.2902772E-64.9894375E-61.0E-52.0042341.4989388E-51.0E-51.4101111E-52.138313E-51.0E-50.46765843.1382915E-51.0E-51.716675E-42.6030882E-41.2E-40.46099092.7030622E-41.0E-50.00171534950.00261420760.00180.688545170.0026441293.0E-5
6.93.031547E-64.6911987E-61.0E-52.13165141.4691152E-51.0E-51.299228E-52.0104984E-51.0E-50.49738913.0104784E-51.0E-51.5816953E-42.4475096E-49.0E-50.367720722.547485E-41.0E-50.001580570.00245898050.001670.679143250.00248890673.0E-5
7.02.8259715E-64.3707637E-61.0E-52.28792951.437072E-51.0E-51.211125E-51.8731711E-51.0E-50.533854072.8731525E-51.0E-51.4744449E-42.2803496E-49.0E-50.394676332.3803268E-41.0E-50.0014734670.00229217480.001510.658763050.0023121292.0E-5
7.12.5962665E-64.065983E-61.0E-52.459431.4065942E-51.0E-51.1126809E-51.7425526E-51.0E-50.57387082.7425353E-51.0E-51.3546048E-42.1213535E-48.0E-50.377117722.2213323E-41.0E-50.00135377930.00213349590.001320.61870290.00215345322.0E-5
7.22.3247253E-63.6765352E-61.0E-52.7199521.3676498E-51.0E-59.96307E-61.5756486E-51.0E-50.63465932.5756328E-51.0E-51.21293626E-41.9181852E-48.0E-50.417060882.018166E-41.0E-50.00121227440.00193071660.001240.64224860.0019506782.0E-5
7.32.056928E-63.235253E-60.00.03.235253E-60.08.815376E-61.3865297E-50.00.01.3865297E-50.01.0732192E-41.6879707E-47.0E-50.414699141.6879707E-40.00.0010727010.00170094230.001010.59378850.00170094230.0
7.41.8055999E-62.8256538E-60.00.02.8256538E-60.07.738263E-61.210989E-50.00.01.210989E-50.09.4209274E-51.4742807E-46.0E-50.406978131.4742807E-40.09.4169343E-40.00148767058.2E-40.551197350.00148767050.0
7.51.4683443E-62.4248943E-60.00.02.4248943E-60.06.292889E-61.0392363E-50.00.01.0392363E-50.07.661323E-51.2651978E-45.0E-50.395195161.2651978E-40.07.658682E-40.00127888127.3E-40.57081140.00127888120.0
7.69.804088E-71.9004091E-60.00.01.9004091E-60.04.201745E-68.144585E-60.00.08.144585E-60.05.1155046E-59.915586E-54.0E-50.40340539.915586E-50.05.114327E-40.00100555835.7E-40.56684930.00100555830.0
7.77.3434086E-71.6285549E-60.00.01.6285549E-60.03.1471714E-66.9795024E-60.00.06.9795024E-60.03.831614E-58.4972155E-52.0E-50.235371228.4972155E-50.03.8309532E-48.6387293E-44.4E-40.509334158.6387293E-40.0
7.86.434184E-71.5221389E-60.00.01.5221389E-60.02.7575045E-66.523436E-60.00.06.523436E-60.03.35721E-57.9419966E-52.0E-50.251825847.9419966E-50.03.3567028E-48.080443E-44.0E-40.495022368.080443E-40.0
7.93.4943926E-77.5750586E-70.00.07.5750586E-70.01.497596E-63.2464498E-60.00.03.2464498E-60.01.8233079E-53.9524817E-51.0E-50.25300563.9524817E-50.01.8231584E-44.0401975E-41.4E-40.34651774.0401975E-40.0
8.06.717524E-85.837515E-80.00.05.837515E-80.02.8789387E-72.501792E-70.00.02.501792E-70.03.505102E-63.0459275E-60.00.03.0459275E-60.03.5050467E-53.2751934E-51.0E-50.30532553.2751934E-50.0
8.13.1984914E-81.2949885E-80.00.01.2949885E-80.01.370782E-75.549951E-80.00.05.549951E-80.01.6689258E-66.757063E-70.00.06.757063E-70.01.6689133E-57.741151E-61.0E-51.29179747.741151E-60.0
8.21.21887656E-83.6471115E-90.00.03.6471115E-90.05.2237567E-81.563048E-80.00.01.563048E-80.06.359922E-71.9030107E-70.00.01.9030107E-70.06.3599036E-62.245849E-60.00.02.245849E-60.0

San Cayetano

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.3476267E-51.8169216E-53.0E-51.65114454.816867E-53.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-59.0E-51.15583531.2786187E-45.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-45.6E-40.59096230.00100755026.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.006610.700453040.009506097.0E-5
6.12.3476267E-51.8169216E-53.0E-51.65114454.816867E-53.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-59.0E-51.15583531.2786187E-45.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-45.6E-40.59096230.00100755026.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.006610.700453040.009506097.0E-5
6.22.3476267E-51.8169216E-53.0E-51.65114454.816867E-53.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-59.0E-51.15583531.2786187E-45.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-45.6E-40.59096230.00100755026.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.006610.700453040.009506097.0E-5
6.32.3476267E-51.8169216E-53.0E-51.65114454.816867E-53.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-59.0E-51.15583531.2786187E-45.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-45.6E-40.59096230.00100755026.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.006610.700453040.009506097.0E-5
6.42.3476267E-51.8169216E-53.0E-51.65114454.816867E-53.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-59.0E-51.15583531.2786187E-45.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-45.6E-40.59096230.00100755026.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.006610.700453040.009506097.0E-5
6.52.3476267E-51.8169216E-53.0E-51.65114454.816867E-53.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-59.0E-51.15583531.2786187E-45.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-45.6E-40.59096230.00100755026.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.006610.700453040.009506097.0E-5
6.62.3476267E-51.8169216E-53.0E-51.65114454.816867E-53.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-59.0E-51.15583531.2786187E-45.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-45.6E-40.59096230.00100755026.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.006610.700453040.009506097.0E-5
6.72.3476267E-51.8169216E-53.0E-51.65114454.816867E-53.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-59.0E-51.15583531.2786187E-45.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-45.6E-40.59096230.00100755026.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.006610.700453040.009506097.0E-5
6.82.3241924E-51.7936945E-53.0E-51.67252554.7936406E-53.0E-59.960445E-57.687038E-59.0E-51.1708021.2686654E-45.0E-50.00121200959.354987E-45.4E-40.577232249.954425E-46.0E-50.0120542040.00931661950.006490.69660460.0093859677.0E-5
6.92.2761007E-51.7432383E-53.0E-51.7209354.7431862E-53.0E-59.7543525E-57.47081E-59.0E-51.20468871.2470435E-45.0E-50.00118694549.09195E-45.3E-40.582933259.6914044E-46.0E-50.0118062560.0090557410.00640.7067340.0091251077.0E-5
7.02.240283E-51.7066137E-53.0E-51.7578674.7065627E-53.0E-59.600859E-57.313856E-59.0E-51.23054111.231349E-45.0E-50.00116827778.9010154E-45.3E-40.595437659.5004815E-46.0E-50.0116215490.0088663360.006170.69589060.0089357167.0E-5
7.12.1871154E-51.658602E-53.0E-51.80875224.6585523E-53.0E-59.373015E-57.108103E-59.0E-51.26616071.2107747E-45.0E-50.00114056718.6507126E-45.2E-40.60110669.250193E-46.0E-50.0113473090.0086179960.0060.69621750.0086873937.0E-5
7.22.0714133E-51.5564563E-53.0E-51.92745544.5564095E-53.0E-58.8771834E-56.670358E-57.0E-51.04941891.06700914E-44.0E-50.00108026118.118168E-45.0E-40.615902548.617762E-45.0E-50.0107502490.0080894430.005710.705858230.0081489576.0E-5
7.31.8408395E-51.3996829E-53.0E-52.14334274.399641E-53.0E-57.8890735E-55.9985046E-56.0E-51.00024939.9982644E-54.0E-59.600714E-47.300762E-44.3E-40.58897967.800397E-45.0E-50.0095593420.00727764470.00510.700776160.0073372086.0E-5
7.41.6856795E-51.285006E-53.0E-52.33461954.2849675E-53.0E-57.2241404E-55.5070537E-56.0E-51.08951199.506833E-54.0E-58.7918417E-46.7028037E-44.1E-40.61168437.2024687E-45.0E-50.008757140.00668340870.004680.70024150.00673307435.0E-5
7.51.2822778E-59.577415E-62.0E-52.08824632.9577222E-52.0E-55.495361E-54.1045427E-55.0E-51.21816257.10442E-53.0E-56.688548E-44.9961504E-42.7E-40.540416065.296001E-43.0E-50.0066684520.00498519230.003590.72013270.00501504263.0E-5
7.65.6272684E-63.854899E-60.00.03.854899E-60.02.4116642E-51.6520893E-51.0E-50.605294172.6520727E-51.0E-52.9358055E-42.0112342E-44.0E-50.198882862.111214E-41.0E-50.00293193010.00200942480.00140.69671680.00201940471.0E-5
7.73.5261346E-62.3407094E-60.00.02.3407094E-60.01.5111918E-51.0031574E-51.0E-50.99685252.0031473E-51.0E-51.8397206E-41.2212765E-42.0E-50.163763091.3212643E-41.0E-50.00183819840.00122061279.2E-40.753719870.00123060041.0E-5
7.81.4826929E-61.0564395E-60.00.01.0564395E-60.06.354383E-64.52759E-60.00.04.52759E-60.07.736187E-55.5122033E-50.00.05.5122033E-50.07.733494E-45.510856E-45.0E-40.90735.510856E-40.0
7.92.7568166E-71.6977887E-70.00.01.6977887E-70.01.1814923E-67.276235E-70.00.07.276235E-70.01.4384574E-58.85878E-60.00.08.85878E-60.01.4383643E-48.858431E-54.0E-50.451547248.858431E-50.0
8.05.407832E-82.688677E-80.00.02.688677E-80.02.3176422E-71.15229014E-70.00.01.15229014E-70.02.8217257E-61.4029123E-60.00.01.4029123E-60.02.8216898E-51.40290385E-50.00.01.40290385E-50.0

Hayward (So) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.8091932E-43.570673E-41.7E-40.476100743.7706015E-42.0E-57.751381E-40.00152940088.0E-40.523080650.00156933974.0E-50.009396540.0184638850.009650.52264190.0185129625.0E-50.0900900660.16670850.10050.60284870.16675856.0E-5
6.11.8091932E-43.570673E-41.7E-40.476100743.7706015E-42.0E-57.751381E-40.00152940088.0E-40.523080650.00156933974.0E-50.009396540.0184638850.009650.52264190.0185129625.0E-50.0900900660.16670850.10050.60284870.16675856.0E-5
6.21.8091932E-43.570673E-41.7E-40.476100743.7706015E-42.0E-57.751381E-40.00152940088.0E-40.523080650.00156933974.0E-50.009396540.0184638850.009650.52264190.0185129625.0E-50.0900900660.16670850.10050.60284870.16675856.0E-5
6.31.7322872E-43.4263515E-41.6E-40.4669693.626283E-42.0E-57.4219756E-40.00146761977.9E-40.53828660.0015075614.0E-50.00899887550.0177241470.009340.526964660.0177732615.0E-50.086430750.160659540.096820.602640870.16070996.0E-5
6.41.6334097E-43.2345165E-41.5E-40.463747833.434452E-42.0E-56.998449E-40.00138549367.3E-40.5268880.00142543824.0E-50.0084873720.0167399270.00890.5316630.016789095.0E-50.0817044150.152566060.091810.60177210.15261696.0E-5
6.51.5600289E-43.101982E-41.4E-40.451324373.3019198E-42.0E-56.684125E-40.00132875187.0E-40.526810170.00136869874.0E-50.0081075980.0160594430.008480.52803820.0161086415.0E-50.0781810360.146842910.088170.60043760.14689416.0E-5
6.61.4046066E-42.8034003E-41.0E-40.356709662.9033722E-41.0E-56.018354E-40.00120091096.1E-40.507947740.00123087493.0E-50.00730275550.0145245710.007620.52462820.014563994.0E-50.070673840.133930440.079970.5971010.133973755.0E-5
6.71.14696966E-42.3272466E-41.0E-40.429692332.4272234E-41.0E-54.914658E-49.970153E-45.3E-40.531586650.00102698543.0E-50.00596719240.0120721630.006430.53263030.0121116814.0E-50.0580948220.112741410.0660.58541040.112785785.0E-5
6.89.3874296E-51.8862431E-48.0E-50.42412351.8862431E-40.04.0225635E-48.081431E-44.2E-40.519709948.2812697E-42.0E-50.00488647870.0097954890.00510.52064780.0098251953.0E-50.0478041730.0925929840.053390.576609550.092629284.0E-5
6.95.551852E-51.0729875E-45.0E-50.465988641.0729875E-40.02.3791482E-44.5977137E-42.3E-40.50024874.6976676E-41.0E-50.00289276540.0055834680.002910.521181460.00559341161.0E-50.0285539810.0542460750.029950.55211370.054255531.0E-5
7.04.2662363E-58.246792E-53.0E-50.363777828.246792E-50.01.8282588E-43.5338648E-41.9E-40.5376553.6338295E-41.0E-50.00222363280.00429406580.002270.52863650.0043040231.0E-50.0220151380.042065090.022770.541303930.042074671.0E-5
7.13.305886E-56.302183E-53.0E-50.476025556.302183E-50.01.4167312E-42.7006568E-41.4E-40.518392442.7006568E-40.00.00172350560.0032831110.001810.551306370.0032831110.00.0171019980.0324539020.017540.540458860.0324539020.0
7.22.9856887E-55.701622E-53.0E-50.52616615.701622E-50.01.2795182E-42.4433242E-41.3E-40.5320622.4433242E-40.00.00155670010.00297070620.001660.55878970.00297070620.00.0154584030.0294548010.015910.54014960.0294548010.0
7.32.4559737E-54.599286E-53.0E-50.652275154.599286E-50.01.0525176E-41.9709744E-41.1E-40.55809961.9709744E-40.00.00128068690.00239703340.001340.559024330.00239703340.00.0127333130.0238585160.01260.52811330.0238585160.0
7.41.9002231E-53.505084E-52.0E-50.570599733.505084E-50.08.143559E-51.502093E-41.0E-40.665737751.502093E-40.09.910273E-40.0018272740.001070.58557170.0018272740.00.0098661940.0182588080.009580.52467830.0182588080.0
7.51.2783333E-52.3331182E-51.0E-50.428610922.3331182E-50.05.4784563E-59.998698E-56.0E-50.60007819.998698E-50.06.667979E-40.00121666757.4E-40.60821880.00121666750.00.0066480070.0122094430.00650.53237480.0122094430.0
7.64.8149627E-68.888056E-60.00.08.888056E-60.02.063539E-53.8091122E-52.0E-50.52505673.8091122E-50.02.5120692E-44.6366194E-43.2E-40.6901584.6366194E-40.00.00250923140.00468050870.002480.52985690.00468050870.0
7.76.0838227E-71.205754E-60.00.01.205754E-60.02.6073499E-65.1675065E-60.00.05.1675065E-60.03.174402E-56.291258E-53.0E-50.476852156.291258E-50.03.1739488E-46.5296254E-43.3E-40.505388866.5296254E-40.0
7.84.5542808E-79.792941E-70.00.09.792941E-70.01.9518332E-64.196968E-60.00.04.196968E-60.02.376331E-55.109689E-52.0E-50.391413245.109689E-50.02.3760769E-45.321693E-42.8E-40.52614845.321693E-40.0
7.93.3016747E-77.3869535E-70.00.07.3869535E-70.01.4150027E-63.1658333E-60.00.03.1658333E-60.01.7227521E-53.854334E-52.0E-50.51889643.854334E-50.01.7226185E-43.9932923E-42.2E-40.55092393.9932923E-40.0
8.02.347038E-75.471963E-70.00.05.471963E-70.01.0058731E-62.3451248E-60.00.02.3451248E-60.01.2246436E-52.8551523E-52.0E-50.700488032.8551523E-50.01.2245761E-42.9357258E-41.7E-40.57907322.9357258E-40.0
8.11.18822804E-72.6060948E-70.00.02.6060948E-70.05.092405E-71.1168972E-60.00.01.1168972E-60.06.1999854E-61.359814E-51.0E-50.73539471.359814E-50.06.199812E-51.3918082E-45.0E-50.35924491.3918082E-40.0

Kern Canyon (Lake Isabella) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.2387383E-64.0016344E-61.0E-52.4989791.40015945E-51.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-51.0E-50.58309862.7149586E-51.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-41.4E-40.67056182.5876972E-45.0E-50.00220927360.0020860249.5E-40.45541180.0021558787.0E-5
6.14.2387383E-64.0016344E-61.0E-52.4989791.40015945E-51.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-51.0E-50.58309862.7149586E-51.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-41.4E-40.67056182.5876972E-45.0E-50.00220927360.0020860249.5E-40.45541180.0021558787.0E-5
6.24.2387383E-64.0016344E-61.0E-52.4989791.40015945E-51.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-51.0E-50.58309862.7149586E-51.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-41.4E-40.67056182.5876972E-45.0E-50.00220927360.0020860249.5E-40.45541180.0021558787.0E-5
6.34.2387383E-64.0016344E-61.0E-52.4989791.40015945E-51.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-51.0E-50.58309862.7149586E-51.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-41.4E-40.67056182.5876972E-45.0E-50.00220927360.0020860249.5E-40.45541180.0021558787.0E-5
6.44.2387383E-64.0016344E-61.0E-52.4989791.40015945E-51.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-51.0E-50.58309862.7149586E-51.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-41.4E-40.67056182.5876972E-45.0E-50.00220927360.0020860249.5E-40.45541180.0021558787.0E-5
6.52.7857532E-62.5178624E-61.0E-53.9716231.2517838E-51.0E-51.1938888E-51.0790796E-51.0E-50.926715732.0790689E-51.0E-51.4534626E-41.3137035E-41.2E-40.91344811.8136378E-45.0E-50.00145251230.00131295966.3E-40.479831960.00138286777.0E-5
6.62.2233348E-61.944119E-61.0E-55.1437181.1944099E-51.0E-59.528543E-68.331913E-61.0E-51.20020461.833183E-51.0E-51.1600384E-41.014364E-41.0E-40.98583941.4143235E-44.0E-50.0011594330.00101390965.1E-40.50300340.00107384886.0E-5
6.72.1635126E-61.8834991E-61.0E-55.30926751.18834805E-51.0E-59.272164E-68.072114E-61.0E-51.23883281.8072033E-51.0E-51.1288274E-49.827364E-59.0E-50.915810171.282707E-43.0E-50.00112825429.8231E-44.7E-40.478464040.00103226085.0E-5
6.81.8685711E-61.583138E-61.0E-56.3165691.1583122E-51.0E-58.008137E-66.7848596E-61.0E-51.47386981.6784792E-51.0E-59.74947E-58.2602586E-58.0E-50.96849271.1260011E-43.0E-59.745194E-48.2572375E-43.8E-40.460202348.7568245E-45.0E-5
6.91.5815071E-61.3064887E-61.0E-57.65410381.1306475E-51.0E-56.77787E-65.5992255E-61.0E-51.78596131.559917E-51.0E-58.251744E-56.816846E-56.0E-50.88017248.81671E-52.0E-58.248681E-46.8147824E-42.9E-40.42554557.2145095E-44.0E-5
7.01.3772564E-61.1210681E-61.0E-58.9200651.1121057E-51.0E-55.9025137E-64.8045686E-61.0E-52.08135221.4804521E-51.0E-57.186073E-55.8494075E-56.0E-51.02574497.849291E-52.0E-57.18375E-45.8478885E-42.5E-40.427504756.247654E-44.0E-5
7.11.0916998E-68.7637505E-71.0E-511.410641.0876366E-51.0E-54.678705E-63.7558877E-61.0E-52.66248631.375585E-51.0E-55.6961744E-54.5726985E-54.0E-50.874756935.572653E-51.0E-55.6947145E-44.571771E-42.1E-40.459340574.871634E-43.0E-5
7.27.6277024E-75.901439E-71.0E-516.945021.0590138E-51.0E-53.2690114E-62.5291856E-61.0E-53.9538421.252916E-51.0E-53.9799485E-53.0792406E-54.0E-51.29902164.07921E-51.0E-53.9792358E-43.07882E-41.5E-40.487199633.2787584E-42.0E-5
7.35.3265916E-74.3824264E-71.0E-522.8184091.0438238E-51.0E-52.282823E-61.8781814E-61.0E-55.32429931.1878163E-51.0E-52.7793016E-52.2866623E-54.0E-51.74927453.2866392E-51.0E-52.778954E-42.2864307E-41.2E-40.524835472.486385E-42.0E-5
7.43.4946007E-73.0065647E-71.0E-533.260551.0300653E-51.0E-51.497685E-61.2885271E-61.0E-57.76079941.12885145E-51.0E-51.8234163E-51.5687707E-53.0E-51.91232542.568755E-51.0E-51.8232666E-41.5686621E-49.0E-50.57373731.7686308E-42.0E-5
7.51.8317026E-71.4244755E-70.00.01.4244755E-70.07.850152E-76.1048934E-70.00.06.1048934E-70.09.557518E-67.432683E-60.00.07.432683E-60.09.5571064E-57.432442E-53.0E-50.403635838.4323685E-51.0E-5
7.62.572245E-81.735264E-80.00.01.735264E-80.01.10239064E-77.436845E-80.00.07.436845E-80.01.3421597E-69.0543557E-70.00.09.0543557E-70.01.3421517E-59.054324E-60.00.09.054324E-60.0

San Juan

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.682808E-68.74917E-62.0E-52.2859311.8749082E-51.0E-53.72115E-53.749593E-56.0E-51.60017376.74948E-53.0E-54.5295584E-44.5642213E-43.8E-40.832562574.8640845E-43.0E-50.0045203370.0045553890.004420.970279460.004625077.0E-5
6.18.682808E-68.74917E-62.0E-52.2859311.8749082E-51.0E-53.72115E-53.749593E-56.0E-51.60017376.74948E-53.0E-54.5295584E-44.5642213E-43.8E-40.832562574.8640845E-43.0E-50.0045203370.0045553890.004420.970279460.004625077.0E-5
6.28.682808E-68.74917E-62.0E-52.2859311.8749082E-51.0E-53.72115E-53.749593E-56.0E-51.60017376.74948E-53.0E-54.5295584E-44.5642213E-43.8E-40.832562574.8640845E-43.0E-50.0045203370.0045553890.004420.970279460.004625077.0E-5
6.36.3054235E-66.282591E-61.0E-51.59176.282591E-60.02.7022963E-52.692512E-54.0E-51.48560154.6924582E-52.0E-53.2895492E-43.2776545E-42.9E-40.88477913.4775888E-42.0E-50.0032846840.00327302050.003331.01740880.00331288974.0E-5
6.46.1490473E-66.1144706E-61.0E-51.63546456.1144706E-60.02.6352795E-52.6204618E-54.0E-51.52644854.6204095E-52.0E-53.2079802E-43.189959E-42.8E-40.87775423.389895E-42.0E-50.00320335340.00318557680.003241.01708420.00322544924.0E-5
6.55.204848E-65.137238E-61.0E-51.94657125.137238E-60.02.23063E-52.2016555E-53.0E-51.3626114.2016112E-52.0E-52.7154534E-42.6801953E-42.3E-40.85814642.8801415E-42.0E-50.00271213780.00267711720.002811.04963650.0027070373.0E-5
6.64.5179986E-64.415036E-61.0E-52.26498724.415036E-60.01.9362706E-51.892145E-53.0E-51.58550213.8921073E-52.0E-52.3571544E-42.303451E-41.9E-40.82484932.503405E-42.0E-50.00235465590.00230120080.002260.982095960.00233113183.0E-5
6.73.9442616E-63.8198336E-61.0E-52.61791523.8198336E-60.01.6903869E-51.6370615E-52.0E-51.22170112.6370451E-51.0E-52.0578515E-41.9929469E-41.5E-40.752654252.092927E-41.0E-50.0020559470.0019912850.001950.97926720.0020012651.0E-5
6.83.4536245E-63.3163408E-61.0E-53.01537183.3163408E-60.01.4801163E-51.4212815E-52.0E-51.40718082.4212673E-51.0E-51.8018926E-41.7302789E-41.4E-40.80911811.8302616E-41.0E-50.00180043220.0017290510.001771.0236830.00173903371.0E-5
6.93.059865E-62.9120363E-61.0E-53.43402312.9120363E-60.01.3113641E-51.2480099E-52.0E-51.60255132.2479975E-51.0E-51.596469E-41.5193518E-41.4E-40.921445551.6193367E-41.0E-50.00159532240.00151842810.001551.02079250.00152841291.0E-5
7.02.6504351E-62.492005E-61.0E-54.0128332.492005E-60.01.1358958E-51.0679981E-52.0E-51.87266252.0679874E-51.0E-51.3828653E-41.3002155E-41.2E-40.92292391.4002025E-41.0E-50.00138200520.0012995670.001411.08497670.00130955411.0E-5
7.12.2039317E-62.0338366E-61.0E-54.91681582.0338366E-60.09.445387E-68.716416E-62.0E-52.29452091.871633E-51.0E-51.1499152E-41.0611773E-41.1E-41.03658451.1611667E-41.0E-50.00114932030.00106078110.001081.01811780.00107077041.0E-5
7.21.0786707E-68.770239E-71.0E-511.4021988.770239E-70.04.622866E-63.7586685E-61.0E-52.66051673.7586685E-60.05.628194E-54.576084E-53.0E-50.655582374.576084E-50.05.6267687E-44.5757365E-43.9E-40.85232184.5757365E-40.0
7.36.846433E-74.868812E-70.00.04.868812E-70.02.9341822E-62.086632E-60.00.02.086632E-60.03.5723086E-52.5404452E-51.0E-50.39363182.5404452E-50.03.571734E-42.5405022E-41.0E-40.393622962.5405022E-40.0
7.45.23043E-73.2627884E-70.00.03.2627884E-70.02.2416111E-61.3983371E-60.00.01.3983371E-60.02.7291273E-51.7024622E-51.0E-50.58738461.7024622E-50.02.7287923E-41.7026608E-47.0E-50.411121251.7026608E-40.0
7.54.648444E-72.723464E-70.00.02.723464E-70.01.9921886E-61.1671983E-60.00.01.1671983E-60.02.4254627E-51.4210547E-51.0E-50.70370271.4210547E-50.02.425198E-41.4212691E-47.0E-50.49251761.4212691E-40.0
7.63.9906567E-72.2083036E-70.00.02.2083036E-70.01.7102802E-69.4641547E-70.00.09.4641547E-70.02.0822463E-51.1522548E-51.0E-50.86786361.1522548E-50.02.0820512E-41.15244526E-46.0E-50.52063211.15244526E-40.0
7.71.8784601E-75.366277E-80.00.05.366277E-80.08.0505407E-72.2998329E-70.00.02.2998329E-70.09.80149E-62.800043E-61.0E-53.57137372.800043E-60.09.801057E-52.8008939E-52.0E-50.714057742.8008939E-50.0
7.81.00154914E-71.2412917E-80.00.01.2412917E-80.04.2923529E-75.3198217E-80.00.05.3198217E-80.05.225927E-66.476881E-70.00.06.476881E-70.05.225804E-56.4827886E-61.0E-51.5425466.4827886E-60.0
7.96.171429E-84.2946513E-90.00.04.2946513E-90.02.6448978E-71.8405647E-80.00.01.8405647E-80.03.2201583E-62.2408874E-70.00.02.2408874E-70.03.2201115E-52.2462114E-60.00.02.2462114E-60.0
8.01.3974572E-83.3737857E-100.00.03.3737857E-100.05.989102E-81.4459075E-90.00.01.4459075E-90.07.2917294E-71.760392E-80.00.01.760392E-80.07.2917055E-61.8038004E-70.00.01.8038004E-70.0
8.11.8403477E-91.1291601E-100.00.01.1291601E-100.07.887204E-94.839261E-100.00.04.839261E-100.09.602671E-85.8917977E-90.00.05.8917977E-90.09.602667E-76.0206084E-80.00.06.0206084E-80.0

Simi-Santa Rosa

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.198912E-52.2275388E-52.0E-50.89785194.2274944E-52.0E-59.4235686E-59.54627E-56.0E-50.62851771.2545985E-43.0E-50.00114671560.00116168256.8E-40.585357840.00121162455.0E-50.0114081630.0115605470.00710.614157740.0116198546.0E-5
6.12.198912E-52.2275388E-52.0E-50.89785194.2274944E-52.0E-59.4235686E-59.54627E-56.0E-50.62851771.2545985E-43.0E-50.00114671560.00116168256.8E-40.585357840.00121162455.0E-50.0114081630.0115605470.00710.614157740.0116198546.0E-5
6.21.69983E-51.6668506E-52.0E-51.19986763.666817E-52.0E-57.284782E-57.143466E-55.0E-50.69994031.0143252E-43.0E-58.865613E-48.6939917E-45.4E-40.62111869.1935566E-45.0E-50.0088303270.00866290.005180.59795220.008722386.0E-5
6.31.69983E-51.6668506E-52.0E-51.19986763.666817E-52.0E-57.284782E-57.143466E-55.0E-50.69994031.0143252E-43.0E-58.865613E-48.6939917E-45.4E-40.62111869.1935566E-45.0E-50.0088303270.00866290.005180.59795220.008722386.0E-5
6.41.4666188E-51.4052489E-51.0E-50.71161772.4052348E-51.0E-56.285358E-56.0223705E-54.0E-50.66419038.02225E-52.0E-57.6497364E-47.330018E-45.0E-40.68212657.729725E-44.0E-50.00762345640.00730831640.004380.599317250.0073579515.0E-5
6.51.4666188E-51.4052489E-51.0E-50.71161772.4052348E-51.0E-56.285358E-56.0223705E-54.0E-50.66419038.02225E-52.0E-57.6497364E-47.330018E-45.0E-40.68212657.729725E-44.0E-50.00762345640.00730831640.004380.599317250.0073579515.0E-5
6.61.4377586E-51.3729529E-51.0E-50.728357142.3729392E-51.0E-56.1616774E-55.883965E-54.0E-50.67981377.883847E-52.0E-57.4992597E-47.1616215E-44.6E-40.642312657.561335E-44.0E-50.0074740030.00714101040.00430.60215570.00719065365.0E-5
6.71.3881404E-51.3207497E-51.0E-50.75714572.3207365E-51.0E-55.9490372E-55.6602472E-54.0E-50.70668297.660134E-52.0E-57.240546E-46.889419E-44.5E-40.653175537.2891434E-44.0E-50.0072170.00687051050.00410.59675330.00692016725.0E-5
6.81.0176516E-59.1541E-61.0E-51.09240671.9154008E-51.0E-54.3612912E-53.923136E-52.0E-50.509796264.9230966E-51.0E-55.308578E-44.775537E-43.1E-40.649141674.875489E-41.0E-50.00529591460.0047669080.002740.57479610.004776861.0E-5
6.99.699797E-68.774672E-61.0E-51.13964381.8774585E-51.0E-54.15699E-53.760529E-52.0E-50.53184014.760491E-51.0E-55.05996E-44.5776463E-43.1E-40.677203954.6776005E-41.0E-50.0050484540.00456983460.002680.586454450.0045797891.0E-5
7.07.4049476E-66.559291E-61.0E-51.52455511.6559225E-51.0E-53.1735104E-52.8111013E-52.0E-50.711464943.811073E-51.0E-53.8630638E-43.422105E-42.1E-40.61365743.5220708E-41.0E-50.00385635530.00341807750.001960.57342180.00342804331.0E-5
7.13.873439E-62.759473E-61.0E-53.62388041.2759446E-51.0E-51.6600346E-51.1826261E-51.0E-50.84557582.1826143E-51.0E-52.0209046E-41.4397544E-41.2E-40.83347551.53974E-41.0E-50.00201906780.00143884539.5E-40.66025170.00144883081.0E-5
7.23.417706E-62.367616E-61.0E-54.2236581.2367592E-51.0E-51.4647229E-51.0146887E-51.0E-50.985523942.0146785E-51.0E-51.7831543E-41.2353157E-41.1E-40.89046061.3353034E-41.0E-50.00178172420.00123465138.5E-40.68845350.00124463891.0E-5
7.31.90225E-61.4073756E-61.0E-57.1054241.1407362E-51.0E-58.152474E-66.031596E-61.0E-51.6579361.6031536E-51.0E-59.9251854E-57.343223E-56.0E-50.817079968.343149E-51.0E-59.920754E-47.340819E-45.6E-40.76285777.440745E-41.0E-5
7.41.5170556E-61.1024792E-61.0E-59.0704661.1102468E-51.0E-56.5016507E-64.7249023E-61.0E-52.11644581.4724855E-51.0E-57.915472E-55.752418E-55.0E-50.86919976.75236E-51.0E-57.9126534E-45.75094E-44.8E-40.834646175.850883E-41.0E-5
7.51.178732E-68.5351127E-71.0E-511.7163071.0853502E-51.0E-55.0516987E-63.6579004E-61.0E-52.73380881.3657864E-51.0E-56.1502695E-54.4534037E-55.0E-51.12273675.4533593E-51.0E-56.148568E-44.4525208E-44.0E-40.89836754.5524762E-41.0E-5
7.66.8722386E-74.793211E-71.0E-520.862841.0479316E-51.0E-52.9452417E-62.0542318E-61.0E-54.8681.2054211E-51.0E-53.5857727E-52.5009986E-54.0E-51.59936123.5009736E-51.0E-53.5851944E-42.5007184E-42.8E-41.11967832.6006933E-41.0E-5
7.75.5126515E-73.6731117E-71.0E-527.2248731.0367307E-51.0E-52.3625628E-61.5741898E-61.0E-56.3524741.1574174E-51.0E-52.8763823E-51.9165593E-53.0E-51.5653052.9165401E-51.0E-52.87601E-41.9163951E-42.2E-41.14798872.016376E-41.0E-5
7.83.3860243E-72.0075514E-71.0E-549.8119281.0200753E-51.0E-51.4511525E-68.6037886E-71.0E-511.62278651.086037E-51.0E-51.7667637E-51.0475063E-52.0E-51.90929642.0474958E-51.0E-51.7666233E-41.0474575E-41.4E-41.33656981.147447E-41.0E-5
7.92.7955386E-71.4648724E-70.00.01.4648724E-70.01.1980875E-66.278023E-70.00.06.278023E-70.01.4586617E-57.643467E-61.0E-51.30830687.643467E-60.01.458566E-47.643208E-51.0E-41.30835127.643208E-50.0
8.05.6259015E-83.335318E-80.00.03.335318E-80.02.4111003E-71.429422E-70.00.01.429422E-70.02.9355108E-61.7403199E-61.0E-55.746071.7403199E-60.02.935472E-51.7403077E-53.0E-51.72383311.7403077E-50.0

Oak Ridge (Onshore)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.155064E-52.9526076E-53.0E-51.0160514.9525486E-52.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.0E-40.79029891.5653062E-43.0E-50.0016449390.00153950589.7E-40.63007230.00158942895.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.008620.563654540.0153521376.0E-5
6.13.155064E-52.9526076E-53.0E-51.0160514.9525486E-52.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.0E-40.79029891.5653062E-43.0E-50.0016449390.00153950589.7E-40.63007230.00158942895.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.008620.563654540.0153521376.0E-5
6.23.155064E-52.9526076E-53.0E-51.0160514.9525486E-52.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.0E-40.79029891.5653062E-43.0E-50.0016449390.00153950589.7E-40.63007230.00158942895.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.008620.563654540.0153521376.0E-5
6.33.155064E-52.9526076E-53.0E-51.0160514.9525486E-52.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.0E-40.79029891.5653062E-43.0E-50.0016449390.00153950589.7E-40.63007230.00158942895.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.008620.563654540.0153521376.0E-5
6.43.155064E-52.9526076E-53.0E-51.0160514.9525486E-52.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.0E-40.79029891.5653062E-43.0E-50.0016449390.00153950589.7E-40.63007230.00158942895.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.008620.563654540.0153521376.0E-5
6.53.155064E-52.9526076E-53.0E-51.0160514.9525486E-52.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.0E-40.79029891.5653062E-43.0E-50.0016449390.00153950589.7E-40.63007230.00158942895.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.008620.563654540.0153521376.0E-5
6.63.155064E-52.9526076E-53.0E-51.0160514.9525486E-52.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.0E-40.79029891.5653062E-43.0E-50.0016449390.00153950589.7E-40.63007230.00158942895.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.008620.563654540.0153521376.0E-5
6.73.098897E-52.8864279E-53.0E-51.03934694.88637E-52.0E-51.328031E-41.236984E-41.0E-40.80841791.5369468E-43.0E-50.00161567850.00150502539.4E-40.624574240.001554955.0E-50.0160398220.0149529090.008410.562432350.0150120126.0E-5
6.83.0449872E-52.8239476E-53.0E-51.06234264.823891E-52.0E-51.3049292E-41.2102092E-41.0E-40.82630341.5101729E-43.0E-50.00158759350.0014724719.3E-40.63159140.00152239745.0E-50.0157629920.0146316580.008240.563162450.0146809265.0E-5
6.92.697928E-52.4219877E-52.0E-50.8257683.4219636E-51.0E-51.15620365E-41.03795464E-49.0E-50.86708991.2379339E-42.0E-50.00140676890.00126299888.2E-40.64924850.00130294824.0E-50.01397896650.0125610660.007190.572403670.01260056354.0E-5
7.02.4893961E-52.1862146E-52.0E-50.914823233.1861928E-51.0E-51.0668404E-49.369165E-59.0E-50.96059791.1368978E-42.0E-50.00129810430.00114011667.3E-40.64028540.0011800714.0E-50.0129054770.0113451020.006480.57117160.0113846484.0E-5
7.12.0945363E-51.7354592E-52.0E-51.15243272.735442E-51.0E-58.976275E-57.437473E-57.0E-50.94117999.4373245E-52.0E-50.00109231369.0514094E-46.3E-40.696024249.451047E-44.0E-50.01086960.0090156210.005360.594523670.009055264.0E-5
7.22.0439404E-51.680953E-52.0E-51.18980132.680936E-51.0E-58.7594504E-57.203888E-57.0E-50.97169759.203744E-52.0E-50.00106594138.767251E-46.1E-40.69577119.1669004E-44.0E-50.0106084270.0087337230.005170.59195830.0087733744.0E-5
7.31.8463334E-51.5381947E-52.0E-51.30022562.5381793E-51.0E-57.912617E-56.592098E-57.0E-51.06187738.5919666E-52.0E-59.6293533E-48.0229685E-45.1E-40.635674958.4226474E-44.0E-50.0095877340.00799500850.004630.579111340.0080346894.0E-5
7.41.763139E-51.4516977E-52.0E-51.37769732.4516832E-51.0E-57.556091E-56.221415E-56.0E-50.96441088.221291E-52.0E-59.1956573E-47.57198E-44.9E-40.64712267.9716777E-44.0E-50.0091576990.0075471260.004430.586978440.00758682424.0E-5
7.51.3594944E-51.1163363E-52.0E-51.7915752.116325E-51.0E-55.8262744E-54.7842117E-56.0E-51.25412516.784116E-52.0E-57.0911803E-45.8232463E-43.9E-40.669729536.2230136E-44.0E-50.0070685950.0058083620.00350.602579530.00584812934.0E-5
7.66.9889534E-65.6367194E-61.0E-51.77408161.5636662E-51.0E-52.9952313E-52.4157147E-53.0E-51.24186854.4156666E-52.0E-53.646084E-42.94074E-41.1E-40.37405553.240652E-43.0E-50.00364010730.00293689240.001710.58224810.00296680443.0E-5
7.74.0824193E-63.2832731E-61.0E-53.0457411.328324E-51.0E-51.7495966E-51.4071096E-53.0E-52.132033.4070814E-52.0E-52.1299256E-41.7130225E-41.0E-40.58376352.0129712E-43.0E-50.00212788510.00171171559.9E-40.57836710.00174166413.0E-5
7.81.7023609E-61.43706E-61.0E-56.9586521.1437046E-51.0E-57.295812E-66.158814E-61.0E-51.62368931.6158752E-51.0E-58.882289E-57.4981006E-53.0E-50.400101338.498025E-51.0E-58.8787393E-47.4955984E-44.6E-40.61369357.5955235E-41.0E-5
7.92.721225E-72.261692E-70.00.02.261692E-70.01.1662388E-69.692963E-70.00.09.692963E-70.01.4198865E-51.1801121E-50.00.01.1801121E-50.01.4197957E-41.1800523E-48.0E-50.67793611.1800523E-40.0
8.09.364255E-95.1204916E-90.00.05.1204916E-90.04.0132523E-82.1944963E-80.00.02.1944963E-80.04.8861335E-72.671799E-70.00.02.671799E-70.04.8861225E-62.6717962E-61.0E-53.74280052.6717962E-60.0

San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7374346E-52.41444E-52.0E-50.82834954.4143915E-52.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-47.0E-50.67651211.334688E-43.0E-50.00142735420.0012590457.4E-40.587747040.00129899464.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.006320.488854020.0129874196.0E-5
6.12.7374346E-52.41444E-52.0E-50.82834954.4143915E-52.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-47.0E-50.67651211.334688E-43.0E-50.00142735420.0012590457.4E-40.587747040.00129899464.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.006320.488854020.0129874196.0E-5
6.22.7374346E-52.41444E-52.0E-50.82834954.4143915E-52.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-47.0E-50.67651211.334688E-43.0E-50.00142735420.0012590457.4E-40.587747040.00129899464.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.006320.488854020.0129874196.0E-5
6.32.7374346E-52.41444E-52.0E-50.82834954.4143915E-52.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-47.0E-50.67651211.334688E-43.0E-50.00142735420.0012590457.4E-40.587747040.00129899464.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.006320.488854020.0129874196.0E-5
6.42.7374346E-52.41444E-52.0E-50.82834954.4143915E-52.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-47.0E-50.67651211.334688E-43.0E-50.00142735420.0012590457.4E-40.587747040.00129899464.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.006320.488854020.0129874196.0E-5
6.52.7282445E-52.4030476E-52.0E-50.832276464.4029995E-52.0E-51.16919524E-41.0298371E-47.0E-50.679719151.3298061E-43.0E-50.00142256570.0012531087.3E-40.58255150.00129305794.0E-50.0141349340.0128695220.006310.49030570.012928756.0E-5
6.62.7282445E-52.4030476E-52.0E-50.832276464.4029995E-52.0E-51.16919524E-41.0298371E-47.0E-50.679719151.3298061E-43.0E-50.00142256570.0012531087.3E-40.58255150.00129305794.0E-50.0141349340.0128695220.006310.49030570.012928756.0E-5
6.72.7216198E-52.3955597E-52.0E-50.834877974.395512E-52.0E-51.1663563E-41.02662816E-47.0E-50.681843761.3265974E-43.0E-50.00141911370.00124920587.3E-40.584371270.00128915584.0E-50.0141008550.0128309340.006270.488662780.0128901646.0E-5
6.82.7078617E-52.3872815E-52.0E-50.837772974.387234E-52.0E-51.1604605E-41.0230807E-47.0E-50.6842081.32305E-43.0E-50.0014119450.00124489177.3E-40.58639640.00128484194.0E-50.0140300750.01278808250.006260.489518280.0128473156.0E-5
6.92.6982952E-52.3792329E-52.0E-50.840607054.3791853E-52.0E-51.15636096E-41.0196315E-47.0E-50.68652251.319601E-43.0E-50.00140696020.00124069717.3E-40.58837890.00128064754.0E-50.0139808560.0127463780.006240.489550830.0128056146.0E-5
7.02.6449972E-52.3369357E-52.0E-50.85582164.3368887E-52.0E-51.1335209E-41.0015055E-47.0E-50.69894771.3014756E-43.0E-50.0013791880.00121865357.2E-40.590815960.00125860484.0E-50.01370659750.0125277330.006170.49250730.0125869816.0E-5
7.12.6257849E-52.3195396E-52.0E-50.86224014.3194934E-52.0E-51.1252879E-49.940507E-57.0E-50.70418941.2940209E-43.0E-50.00136917690.00120958737.2E-40.59524430.0012495394.0E-50.0136077170.0124376610.006150.494465980.0124969156.0E-5
7.22.5270041E-52.2390155E-52.0E-50.893249754.2389707E-52.0E-51.0829568E-49.5954296E-57.0E-50.7295141.2595141E-43.0E-50.00131770240.00116761986.8E-40.582381370.00120757314.0E-50.0130991620.01201879050.005940.49422610.0120780696.0E-5
7.32.339701E-52.1122027E-52.0E-50.946878854.1121606E-52.0E-51.0026905E-49.051985E-57.0E-50.77331111.2051713E-43.0E-50.0012200920.0011015246.4E-40.58101320.00114147994.0E-50.0121341490.0113576420.005640.496581940.01141696056.0E-5
7.42.296333E-52.0852396E-52.0E-50.95912244.0851977E-52.0E-59.841056E-58.936436E-57.0E-50.783310061.1936168E-43.0E-50.00119748990.00108747016.3E-40.57932630.00112742664.0E-50.0119105750.0112167540.005590.498361650.0112760816.0E-5
7.52.2188895E-52.037534E-52.0E-50.981578654.0374933E-52.0E-59.50918E-58.731998E-57.0E-50.80164931.1731736E-43.0E-50.00115712770.00106260426.2E-40.583472130.00110256184.0E-50.0115112090.0109663690.005510.50244520.0110257116.0E-5
7.62.0013189E-51.8961666E-52.0E-51.05475963.8961287E-52.0E-58.5767984E-58.126176E-57.0E-50.86141381.1125932E-43.0E-50.0010437259.889146E-45.9E-40.59661370.0010288754.0E-50.0103883650.0102243710.005220.510544840.0102837586.0E-5
7.71.7230794E-51.6743043E-52.0E-51.1945263.674271E-52.0E-57.384417E-57.175393E-56.0E-50.83619121.0175178E-43.0E-58.986819E-48.732547E-44.8E-40.54966789.132198E-44.0E-50.0089505620.009062920.004560.50314910.0091223766.0E-5
7.81.4478809E-51.499039E-52.0E-51.33418813.499009E-52.0E-56.205057E-56.424295E-55.0E-50.77829559.424102E-53.0E-57.552038E-47.8187784E-44.3E-40.549958058.218466E-44.0E-50.00752642420.0081413880.004020.493773280.00820096.0E-5
7.91.1114467E-51.1644517E-52.0E-51.71754663.1644286E-52.0E-54.7632562E-54.990412E-55.0E-51.00192137.9902624E-53.0E-55.797721E-46.074139E-43.5E-40.576213366.4738956E-44.0E-50.00578261870.00638035450.003050.478029850.00643997176.0E-5
8.09.327402E-69.8986575E-62.0E-52.02047592.989846E-52.0E-53.9973966E-54.2422133E-55.0E-51.17863017.242086E-53.0E-54.8657437E-45.163676E-43.0E-40.580981435.5634696E-44.0E-50.00485510330.005449940.002630.48257410.0055096136.0E-5
8.17.0235833E-66.826985E-62.0E-52.9295512.6826849E-52.0E-53.0100724E-52.9258183E-55.0E-51.70892375.9257305E-53.0E-53.664147E-43.5616063E-42.1E-40.58962163.961464E-44.0E-50.0036581110.00378745720.001710.451490250.00383726795.0E-5
8.22.0358202E-68.9912584E-70.00.08.9912584E-70.08.724915E-63.853391E-60.00.03.853391E-60.01.06220665E-44.6914047E-52.0E-50.426311554.6914047E-50.00.0010616995.3239096E-42.6E-40.488362945.3239096E-40.0
8.32.0051264E-76.61379E-80.00.06.61379E-80.08.5933965E-72.8344812E-70.00.02.8344812E-70.01.046241E-53.450976E-60.00.03.450976E-60.01.0461917E-44.0120205E-52.0E-50.498501934.0120205E-50.0

Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered+TD1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered+TD1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered+TD1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered+TD10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.4353277E-57.050019E-55.0E-50.7092181.0049807E-43.0E-52.3292181E-43.0211007E-41.8E-40.595809343.3210102E-43.0E-50.00283213520.00367200560.002440.6644870.00371185884.0E-50.027963120.0361158440.025690.71132210.0361640385.0E-5
6.14.5578287E-55.822054E-52.0E-50.343521367.8219375E-52.0E-51.953209E-42.4949352E-48.0E-50.32064962.6948852E-42.0E-50.00237543830.00303335490.001780.5868090.0030632643.0E-50.0235020630.0299198930.018480.61764930.0299586954.0E-5
6.22.8536782E-53.4736422E-52.0E-50.575764545.4735727E-52.0E-51.2229476E-41.4886161E-46.0E-50.403058921.6885863E-42.0E-50.00148792170.00181085760.001060.5853580.00183082142.0E-50.0147799860.0179582760.010850.604178250.0179779182.0E-5
6.32.3698774E-52.8213344E-50.00.02.8213344E-50.01.01562226E-41.2090833E-43.0E-50.248121871.2090833E-40.00.00123581860.0014710518.9E-40.60500960.0014710510.00.0122896860.0146114550.008880.607742370.0146114550.0
6.41.9191197E-52.212289E-50.00.02.212289E-50.08.2245395E-59.4808805E-52.0E-50.210950879.4808805E-50.00.00100087770.00115369066.8E-40.58941280.00115