Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions
Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)
Table Of Contents
Little Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1205716E-5 | 0.047169734 | 1511.5736 | 0.04714 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3373268E-4 | 0.05704612 | 426.5683 | 0.05692 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016271125 | 0.075466774 | 46.380795 | 0.07396 | 0.014722223 | 0.016165398 | 0.10412021 | 6.440931 | 0.0894 |
6.1 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1205716E-5 | 0.047169734 | 1511.5736 | 0.04714 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3373268E-4 | 0.05704612 | 426.5683 | 0.05692 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016271125 | 0.075466774 | 46.380795 | 0.07396 | 0.014722223 | 0.016165398 | 0.10412021 | 6.440931 | 0.0894 |
6.2 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1205716E-5 | 0.047169734 | 1511.5736 | 0.04714 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3373268E-4 | 0.05704612 | 426.5683 | 0.05692 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016271125 | 0.075466774 | 46.380795 | 0.07396 | 0.014722223 | 0.016165398 | 0.10412021 | 6.440931 | 0.0894 |
6.3 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.6081383E-5 | 0.027805634 | 1729.0573 | 0.02779 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.8918554E-5 | 0.033496615 | 486.03186 | 0.03343 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.387886E-4 | 0.044512127 | 53.067154 | 0.04371 | 0.007737305 | 0.008359045 | 0.06062844 | 7.253034 | 0.05271 |
6.4 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.6081383E-5 | 0.027805634 | 1729.0573 | 0.02779 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.8918554E-5 | 0.033496615 | 486.03186 | 0.03343 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.387886E-4 | 0.044512127 | 53.067154 | 0.04371 | 0.007737305 | 0.008359045 | 0.06062844 | 7.253034 | 0.05271 |
6.5 | 1.2797581E-5 | 1.376556E-5 | 0.02371344 | 1722.6644 | 0.0237 | 5.4845623E-5 | 5.8994065E-5 | 0.0287573 | 487.4609 | 0.0287 | 6.675408E-4 | 7.1804173E-4 | 0.038360994 | 53.42446 | 0.03767 | 0.006655392 | 0.007159767 | 0.052125502 | 7.2803345 | 0.04529 |
6.6 | 9.661896E-6 | 1.0289033E-5 | 0.017480109 | 1698.907 | 0.01747 | 4.1407468E-5 | 4.40952E-5 | 0.021363156 | 484.47803 | 0.02132 | 5.040193E-4 | 5.36743E-4 | 0.028591678 | 53.268833 | 0.02807 | 0.005028777 | 0.0053560715 | 0.039084446 | 7.2972226 | 0.03391 |
6.7 | 7.767871E-6 | 8.199681E-6 | 0.014188084 | 1730.3213 | 0.01418 | 3.329045E-5 | 3.5141096E-5 | 0.017194537 | 489.30002 | 0.01716 | 4.0523586E-4 | 4.2777258E-4 | 0.023198027 | 54.229816 | 0.02278 | 0.004044977 | 0.004270843 | 0.031912286 | 7.4721274 | 0.02776 |
6.8 | 6.4235196E-6 | 6.735739E-6 | 0.011376659 | 1688.9994 | 0.01137 | 2.752908E-5 | 2.8867207E-5 | 0.013698473 | 474.53406 | 0.01367 | 3.35115E-4 | 3.5141438E-4 | 0.018465046 | 52.544937 | 0.01812 | 0.003346101 | 0.0035098472 | 0.025592068 | 7.2915053 | 0.02216 |
6.9 | 3.1283696E-6 | 3.1121751E-6 | 0.005883094 | 1890.348 | 0.00588 | 1.3407229E-5 | 1.33378335E-5 | 0.0070332442 | 527.31537 | 0.00702 | 1.6322079E-4 | 1.6237753E-4 | 0.009530856 | 58.69566 | 0.00937 | 0.0016310095 | 0.0016227372 | 0.012944335 | 7.9768524 | 0.01134 |
7.0 | 2.290603E-6 | 2.2286763E-6 | 0.0035622208 | 1598.3573 | 0.00356 | 9.816834E-6 | 9.551441E-6 | 0.0042795106 | 448.04874 | 0.00427 | 1.19513395E-4 | 1.1628362E-4 | 0.0059456057 | 51.130207 | 0.00583 | 0.0011944914 | 0.0011623299 | 0.008214124 | 7.066947 | 0.00706 |
7.1 | 1.293693E-6 | 1.1776774E-6 | 0.0016911757 | 1436.0262 | 0.00169 | 5.5443866E-6 | 5.047183E-6 | 0.0019350374 | 383.3896 | 0.00193 | 6.750081E-5 | 6.1448416E-5 | 0.0028112794 | 45.750233 | 0.00275 | 6.7480316E-4 | 6.1438273E-4 | 0.0039223493 | 6.384211 | 0.00331 |
7.2 | 4.715842E-7 | 3.091732E-7 | 3.4030908E-4 | 1100.7069 | 3.4E-4 | 2.0210737E-6 | 1.3250274E-6 | 3.7132454E-4 | 280.23914 | 3.7E-4 | 2.4606294E-5 | 1.6132095E-5 | 4.6612482E-4 | 28.894255 | 4.5E-4 | 2.460357E-4 | 1.6130977E-4 | 7.112211E-4 | 4.409039 | 5.5E-4 |
7.3 | 3.9430947E-7 | 2.3096938E-7 | 2.602309E-4 | 1126.6901 | 2.6E-4 | 1.6898966E-6 | 9.898685E-7 | 2.9098958E-4 | 293.96796 | 2.9E-4 | 2.0574296E-5 | 1.2051582E-5 | 3.6204737E-4 | 30.041481 | 3.5E-4 | 2.0572392E-4 | 1.2050936E-4 | 5.6045636E-4 | 4.6507287 | 4.4E-4 |
7.4 | 3.547123E-7 | 1.9678579E-7 | 2.1019674E-4 | 1068.15 | 2.1E-4 | 1.5201948E-6 | 8.433674E-7 | 2.3084317E-4 | 273.71603 | 2.3E-4 | 1.8508214E-5 | 1.02679505E-5 | 3.0026498E-4 | 29.242931 | 2.9E-4 | 1.8506673E-4 | 1.0267482E-4 | 4.526389E-4 | 4.40847 | 3.5E-4 |
7.5 | 2.6354266E-7 | 1.4422719E-7 | 1.501442E-4 | 1041.0256 | 1.5E-4 | 1.129468E-6 | 6.1811636E-7 | 1.70618E-4 | 276.02896 | 1.7E-4 | 1.3751187E-5 | 7.525541E-6 | 1.9752412E-4 | 26.247164 | 1.9E-4 | 1.3750336E-4 | 7.5252916E-5 | 3.0523562E-4 | 4.05613 | 2.3E-4 |
7.6 | 1.269913E-7 | 7.572344E-8 | 8.007572E-5 | 1057.476 | 8.0E-5 | 5.4424834E-7 | 3.24529E-7 | 9.03245E-5 | 278.3249 | 9.0E-5 | 6.6262032E-6 | 3.9511337E-6 | 1.0395074E-4 | 26.309092 | 1.0E-4 | 6.626006E-5 | 3.9510673E-5 | 1.6950554E-4 | 4.2901206 | 1.3E-4 |
Tank Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8284557E-5 | 5.796445E-5 | 0.023686595 | 408.64 | 0.02363 | 2.0691741E-4 | 2.4839927E-4 | 0.03256037 | 131.0808 | 0.03232 | 0.0025163088 | 0.0030207336 | 0.052351266 | 17.330647 | 0.04948 | 0.02488006 | 0.029863616 | 0.09697765 | 3.2473514 | 0.06918 |
6.1 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.0873378E-5 | 0.0078707095 | 377.06927 | 0.00785 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.945448E-5 | 0.011048474 | 123.50945 | 0.01096 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010886024 | 0.018519606 | 17.01228 | 0.01745 | 0.009242975 | 0.010836642 | 0.03570421 | 3.294767 | 0.02514 |
6.2 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.0873378E-5 | 0.0078707095 | 377.06927 | 0.00785 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.945448E-5 | 0.011048474 | 123.50945 | 0.01096 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010886024 | 0.018519606 | 17.01228 | 0.01745 | 0.009242975 | 0.010836642 | 0.03570421 | 3.294767 | 0.02514 |
6.3 | 1.3515912E-5 | 1.5759651E-5 | 0.0056056716 | 355.69766 | 0.00559 | 5.792405E-5 | 6.7539746E-5 | 0.008007004 | 118.55246 | 0.00794 | 7.049971E-4 | 8.2200987E-4 | 0.013431636 | 16.339994 | 0.01262 | 0.007027647 | 0.008192157 | 0.026461257 | 3.230072 | 0.01842 |
6.4 | 1.0870146E-5 | 1.2618114E-5 | 0.0040825666 | 323.5481 | 0.00407 | 4.658551E-5 | 5.4076605E-5 | 0.005853763 | 108.24945 | 0.0058 | 5.67031E-4 | 6.582015E-4 | 0.009982061 | 15.16566 | 0.00933 | 0.005655863 | 0.006564382 | 0.020303596 | 3.0929945 | 0.01383 |
6.5 | 7.964826E-6 | 9.196184E-6 | 0.0025991723 | 282.636 | 0.00259 | 3.4134522E-5 | 3.941168E-5 | 0.0037192667 | 94.36965 | 0.00368 | 4.1550855E-4 | 4.797421E-4 | 0.0064168926 | 13.375712 | 0.00594 | 0.0041473247 | 0.004788209 | 0.013496312 | 2.8186555 | 0.00875 |
6.6 | 6.6317E-6 | 7.612378E-6 | 0.0019975973 | 262.41434 | 0.00199 | 2.8421264E-5 | 3.262412E-5 | 0.0028925308 | 88.66234 | 0.00286 | 3.4597394E-4 | 3.9713533E-4 | 0.005075277 | 12.779716 | 0.00468 | 0.0034543579 | 0.0039652516 | 0.0106088035 | 2.6754427 | 0.00667 |
6.7 | 4.793663E-6 | 5.4308593E-6 | 0.0011154248 | 205.38644 | 0.00111 | 2.0544108E-5 | 2.3274928E-5 | 0.0015932384 | 68.45299 | 0.00157 | 2.500958E-4 | 2.833398E-4 | 0.002872606 | 10.138379 | 0.00259 | 0.0024981452 | 0.0028303189 | 0.006509875 | 2.30005 | 0.00369 |
6.8 | 4.382823E-6 | 4.969325E-6 | 0.0010049643 | 202.23358 | 0.001 | 1.8783392E-5 | 2.1296957E-5 | 0.0014612663 | 68.61385 | 0.00144 | 2.286638E-4 | 2.5926388E-4 | 0.0026586417 | 10.254578 | 0.0024 | 0.0022842865 | 0.0025901233 | 0.005981317 | 2.3092787 | 0.0034 |
6.9 | 2.729601E-6 | 3.0735862E-6 | 4.2307228E-4 | 137.64778 | 4.2E-4 | 1.1698237E-5 | 1.3172453E-5 | 6.0316466E-4 | 45.789852 | 5.9E-4 | 1.4241673E-4 | 1.6036403E-4 | 0.0011602037 | 7.2348123 | 0.001 | 0.001423255 | 0.0016024808 | 0.0030801091 | 1.922088 | 0.00148 |
7.0 | 1.8987357E-6 | 2.126971E-6 | 2.1212653E-4 | 99.73174 | 2.1E-4 | 8.137413E-6 | 9.115562E-6 | 3.2911263E-4 | 36.10448 | 3.2E-4 | 9.90685E-5 | 1.1097702E-4 | 6.1092153E-4 | 5.5049376 | 5.0E-4 | 9.902435E-4 | 0.0011092846 | 0.0018284859 | 1.648347 | 7.2E-4 |
7.1 | 1.4928986E-6 | 1.6641525E-6 | 1.3166394E-4 | 79.11771 | 1.3E-4 | 6.398121E-6 | 7.132066E-6 | 1.6713093E-4 | 23.433733 | 1.6E-4 | 7.789434E-5 | 8.6830034E-5 | 3.1681007E-4 | 3.648623 | 2.3E-4 | 7.786704E-4 | 8.6801895E-4 | 0.0012177151 | 1.402867 | 3.5E-4 |
7.2 | 1.069082E-6 | 1.1828765E-6 | 5.118282E-5 | 43.269787 | 5.0E-5 | 4.581772E-6 | 5.0694644E-6 | 5.506921E-5 | 10.862926 | 5.0E-5 | 5.5781646E-5 | 6.171951E-5 | 1.4171457E-4 | 2.2961066 | 8.0E-5 | 5.576765E-4 | 6.1707594E-4 | 7.4699573E-4 | 1.210541 | 1.3E-4 |
7.3 | 8.776551E-7 | 9.770151E-7 | 3.0976986E-5 | 31.705738 | 3.0E-5 | 3.7613736E-6 | 4.187204E-6 | 3.418708E-5 | 8.164656 | 3.0E-5 | 4.579376E-5 | 5.0978535E-5 | 9.097649E-5 | 1.784604 | 4.0E-5 | 4.5784327E-4 | 5.097194E-4 | 5.7968375E-4 | 1.1372604 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.55721E-7 | 8.5103835E-7 | 3.0851013E-5 | 36.251022 | 3.0E-5 | 3.2388E-6 | 3.6473052E-6 | 3.3647197E-5 | 9.225221 | 3.0E-5 | 3.9431678E-5 | 4.4405555E-5 | 7.440422E-5 | 1.6755612 | 3.0E-5 | 3.942468E-4 | 4.4401767E-4 | 4.9399544E-4 | 1.1125581 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.587665E-7 | 6.305732E-7 | 3.0630556E-5 | 48.575733 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3947114E-6 | 2.7024564E-6 | 3.2702377E-5 | 12.100982 | 3.0E-5 | 2.915522E-5 | 3.2902408E-5 | 6.290142E-5 | 1.9117573 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9151395E-4 | 3.2902407E-4 | 3.6901093E-4 | 1.1215316 | 4.0E-5 |
Garlock (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.02476E-5 | 0.031788018 | 452.51395 | 0.03172 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.0102677E-4 | 0.040498924 | 134.53595 | 0.04021 | 0.0028726095 | 0.003658906 | 0.05943408 | 16.243675 | 0.05598 | 0.028357591 | 0.036136657 | 0.10564084 | 2.9233706 | 0.07211 |
6.1 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.02476E-5 | 0.031788018 | 452.51395 | 0.03172 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.0102677E-4 | 0.040498924 | 134.53595 | 0.04021 | 0.0028726095 | 0.003658906 | 0.05943408 | 16.243675 | 0.05598 | 0.028357591 | 0.036136657 | 0.10564084 | 2.9233706 | 0.07211 |
6.2 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.1661802E-5 | 0.019170674 | 371.08026 | 0.01912 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.213891E-4 | 0.024845935 | 112.227455 | 0.02463 | 0.0021976046 | 0.002692112 | 0.03730867 | 13.858513 | 0.03471 | 0.021759989 | 0.026701318 | 0.07114214 | 2.664368 | 0.04566 |
6.3 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.1661802E-5 | 0.019170674 | 371.08026 | 0.01912 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.213891E-4 | 0.024845935 | 112.227455 | 0.02463 | 0.0021976046 | 0.002692112 | 0.03730867 | 13.858513 | 0.03471 | 0.021759989 | 0.026701318 | 0.07114214 | 2.664368 | 0.04566 |
6.4 | 3.6858168E-5 | 4.411026E-5 | 0.014893455 | 337.6415 | 0.01485 | 1.5795401E-4 | 1.8903041E-4 | 0.019355407 | 102.39308 | 0.01917 | 0.0019213937 | 0.0022990413 | 0.029476415 | 12.821177 | 0.02724 | 0.019048655 | 0.022866098 | 0.05818949 | 2.5447931 | 0.03615 |
6.5 | 3.39199E-5 | 4.0018425E-5 | 0.013449482 | 336.08224 | 0.01341 | 1.453629E-4 | 1.7149639E-4 | 0.017438535 | 101.68456 | 0.01727 | 0.0017683565 | 0.0020859907 | 0.0265748 | 12.739654 | 0.02454 | 0.017543508 | 0.020758783 | 0.05256454 | 2.5321589 | 0.03248 |
6.6 | 3.3571985E-5 | 3.947258E-5 | 0.013418945 | 339.95612 | 0.01338 | 1.4387199E-4 | 1.6915736E-4 | 0.017396243 | 102.84059 | 0.01723 | 0.0017502342 | 0.0020575672 | 0.026477218 | 12.868216 | 0.02447 | 0.017365133 | 0.020480042 | 0.052177306 | 2.547715 | 0.03236 |
6.7 | 3.2580007E-5 | 3.808902E-5 | 0.012767605 | 335.2043 | 0.01273 | 1.3962112E-4 | 1.6322857E-4 | 0.01663054 | 101.88499 | 0.01647 | 0.0016985617 | 0.0019855178 | 0.025359018 | 12.771992 | 0.02342 | 0.016856372 | 0.019770874 | 0.050236393 | 2.5409296 | 0.03108 |
6.8 | 3.2185937E-5 | 3.7516216E-5 | 0.012517048 | 333.64368 | 0.01248 | 1.3793244E-4 | 1.60774E-4 | 0.016278183 | 101.248856 | 0.01612 | 0.0016780337 | 0.0019556875 | 0.024880765 | 12.72226 | 0.02297 | 0.016654192 | 0.019477878 | 0.049442634 | 2.5383995 | 0.03056 |
6.9 | 3.165394E-5 | 3.672075E-5 | 0.012276271 | 334.31427 | 0.01224 | 1.3565269E-4 | 1.5736527E-4 | 0.015934883 | 101.260475 | 0.01578 | 0.0016503202 | 0.00191426 | 0.02437119 | 12.73139 | 0.0225 | 0.01638118 | 0.019071518 | 0.048362043 | 2.5358255 | 0.02986 |
7.0 | 3.0903822E-5 | 3.562591E-5 | 0.011855205 | 332.76917 | 0.01182 | 1.3243823E-4 | 1.5267366E-4 | 0.015450338 | 101.198456 | 0.0153 | 0.0016112428 | 0.0018572382 | 0.02361675 | 12.716059 | 0.0218 | 0.015996104 | 0.018513493 | 0.046898082 | 2.533184 | 0.02892 |
7.1 | 3.0069863E-5 | 3.4392175E-5 | 0.011404001 | 331.5871 | 0.01137 | 1.2886449E-4 | 1.4738683E-4 | 0.0148752155 | 100.92636 | 0.01473 | 0.0015677959 | 0.0017929787 | 0.022715397 | 12.669084 | 0.02096 | 0.01556781 | 0.01788099 | 0.045164254 | 2.5258253 | 0.02778 |
7.2 | 2.7957109E-5 | 3.128141E-5 | 0.009400988 | 300.5295 | 0.00937 | 1.1981068E-4 | 1.3405642E-4 | 0.01226243 | 91.47216 | 0.01213 | 0.0014577188 | 0.0016309345 | 0.019112376 | 11.718666 | 0.01751 | 0.014481937 | 0.016284352 | 0.039106555 | 2.4014807 | 0.0232 |
7.3 | 2.4519275E-5 | 2.6714602E-5 | 0.0068365326 | 255.90996 | 0.00681 | 1.0507837E-4 | 1.1448621E-4 | 0.0088334875 | 77.15766 | 0.00872 | 0.0012785783 | 0.001392993 | 0.01405533 | 10.090021 | 0.01268 | 0.012712469 | 0.01392861 | 0.030612938 | 2.197846 | 0.01692 |
7.4 | 2.3225532E-5 | 2.5199166E-5 | 0.0062150434 | 246.63686 | 0.00619 | 9.95342E-5 | 1.0799204E-4 | 0.008027136 | 74.33082 | 0.00792 | 0.0012111551 | 0.0013140244 | 0.012888795 | 9.808641 | 0.01159 | 0.012045753 | 0.013146196 | 0.028294401 | 2.1522882 | 0.01535 |
7.5 | 2.097765E-5 | 2.2483406E-5 | 0.004752377 | 211.37263 | 0.00473 | 8.9901114E-5 | 9.6353964E-5 | 0.006165769 | 63.990818 | 0.00607 | 0.0010939965 | 0.00117249 | 0.010181914 | 8.68401 | 0.00902 | 0.010886264 | 0.0117406575 | 0.023570122 | 2.007564 | 0.01197 |
7.6 | 1.511254E-5 | 1.5990969E-5 | 0.0027959466 | 174.84535 | 0.00278 | 6.476642E-5 | 6.8530964E-5 | 0.0035682912 | 52.068302 | 0.0035 | 7.882459E-4 | 8.34053E-4 | 0.005969766 | 7.1575384 | 0.00514 | 0.007854558 | 0.008383867 | 0.01501778 | 1.7912711 | 0.00669 |
7.7 | 9.934069E-6 | 1.0678523E-5 | 7.706704E-4 | 72.17013 | 7.6E-4 | 4.2573887E-5 | 4.5764296E-5 | 0.0010457186 | 22.850094 | 0.001 | 5.182138E-4 | 5.570383E-4 | 0.0021261638 | 3.816908 | 0.00157 | 0.00517007 | 0.005627419 | 0.0076459954 | 1.3587037 | 0.00203 |
7.8 | 6.7562896E-6 | 8.42837E-6 | 5.184241E-4 | 61.50941 | 5.1E-4 | 2.8955206E-5 | 3.6121084E-5 | 7.1609655E-4 | 19.824888 | 6.8E-4 | 3.5247262E-4 | 4.3968562E-4 | 0.0015092152 | 3.4324868 | 0.00107 | 0.0035191406 | 0.004446416 | 0.005840191 | 1.3134604 | 0.0014 |
7.9 | 3.975453E-6 | 5.3710532E-6 | 2.8536955E-4 | 53.131023 | 2.8E-4 | 1.7037546E-5 | 2.3018596E-5 | 4.130096E-4 | 17.942432 | 3.9E-4 | 2.0741238E-4 | 2.8021546E-4 | 9.200361E-4 | 3.2833166 | 6.4E-4 | 0.002072189 | 0.0028335669 | 0.0037011015 | 1.3061635 | 8.7E-4 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.0775192E-6 | 1.12077294E-4 | 53.947655 | 1.1E-4 | 7.169782E-6 | 8.903624E-6 | 1.789021E-4 | 20.09318 | 1.7E-4 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.0839626E-4 | 3.883659E-4 | 3.582835 | 2.8E-4 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.001096854 | 0.0014564592 | 1.3278514 | 3.6E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1489736E-7 | 2.031489E-5 | 64.51273 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3495595E-6 | 2.1349533E-5 | 15.81963 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.643078E-5 | 4.6430287E-5 | 2.8258114 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.662928E-4 | 2.0628615E-4 | 1.2404996 | 4.0E-5 |
Airport Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103157E-5 | 0.020432835 | 1559.3827 | 0.02042 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615534E-5 | 0.024924759 | 443.8538 | 0.02487 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8350515E-4 | 0.033471078 | 48.969753 | 0.03281 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168393 | 0.046554096 | 6.829279 | 0.04001 |
6.1 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103157E-5 | 0.020432835 | 1559.3827 | 0.02042 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615534E-5 | 0.024924759 | 443.8538 | 0.02487 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8350515E-4 | 0.033471078 | 48.969753 | 0.03281 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168393 | 0.046554096 | 6.829279 | 0.04001 |
6.2 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103157E-5 | 0.020432835 | 1559.3827 | 0.02042 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615534E-5 | 0.024924759 | 443.8538 | 0.02487 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8350515E-4 | 0.033471078 | 48.969753 | 0.03281 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168393 | 0.046554096 | 6.829279 | 0.04001 |
6.3 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103157E-5 | 0.020432835 | 1559.3827 | 0.02042 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615534E-5 | 0.024924759 | 443.8538 | 0.02487 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8350515E-4 | 0.033471078 | 48.969753 | 0.03281 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168393 | 0.046554096 | 6.829279 | 0.04001 |
6.4 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103157E-5 | 0.020432835 | 1559.3827 | 0.02042 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615534E-5 | 0.024924759 | 443.8538 | 0.02487 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8350515E-4 | 0.033471078 | 48.969753 | 0.03281 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168393 | 0.046554096 | 6.829279 | 0.04001 |
6.5 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.384925E-6 | 0.015087274 | 2042.9825 | 0.01508 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.1649324E-5 | 0.01834107 | 579.50903 | 0.01831 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8526783E-4 | 0.02453596 | 63.68546 | 0.02416 | 0.003641826 | 0.0038465366 | 0.033213142 | 8.634558 | 0.02948 |
6.6 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.384925E-6 | 0.015087274 | 2042.9825 | 0.01508 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.1649324E-5 | 0.01834107 | 579.50903 | 0.01831 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8526783E-4 | 0.02453596 | 63.68546 | 0.02416 | 0.003641826 | 0.0038465366 | 0.033213142 | 8.634558 | 0.02948 |
6.7 | 5.477277E-6 | 5.7860684E-6 | 0.012835712 | 2218.3823 | 0.01283 | 2.3473833E-5 | 2.4797222E-5 | 0.01565441 | 631.2969 | 0.01563 | 2.8575645E-4 | 3.0186825E-4 | 0.021065598 | 69.78408 | 0.02077 | 0.0028538927 | 0.003014966 | 0.028208777 | 9.356251 | 0.02527 |
6.8 | 3.9950432E-6 | 4.2190873E-6 | 0.009514179 | 2255.0327 | 0.00951 | 1.7121502E-5 | 1.8081691E-5 | 0.011527874 | 637.54395 | 0.01151 | 2.0843433E-4 | 2.2012512E-4 | 0.015616735 | 70.94482 | 0.0154 | 0.0020823893 | 0.0021993418 | 0.02092806 | 9.515602 | 0.01877 |
6.9 | 2.95695E-6 | 3.1230243E-6 | 0.0068731015 | 2200.784 | 0.00687 | 1.2672582E-5 | 1.3384334E-5 | 0.008293274 | 619.6254 | 0.00828 | 1.5427776E-4 | 1.6294434E-4 | 0.011371118 | 69.785286 | 0.01121 | 0.001541707 | 0.0016284712 | 0.015166389 | 9.313269 | 0.01356 |
7.0 | 1.456072E-6 | 1.540812E-6 | 0.0028615363 | 1857.1613 | 0.00286 | 6.2402937E-6 | 6.603469E-6 | 0.0034865804 | 527.99225 | 0.00348 | 7.597293E-5 | 8.039528E-5 | 0.0049500037 | 61.570827 | 0.00487 | 7.594696E-4 | 8.0376083E-4 | 0.0066890265 | 8.322161 | 0.00589 |
7.1 | 6.995192E-7 | 7.4089746E-7 | 0.0013007399 | 1755.6276 | 0.0013 | 2.997936E-6 | 3.1752747E-6 | 0.0015031705 | 473.39856 | 0.0015 | 3.649926E-5 | 3.865897E-5 | 0.0022185748 | 57.388355 | 0.00218 | 3.6493264E-4 | 3.865897E-4 | 0.0029955807 | 7.748734 | 0.00261 |
Owl Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.6358676E-5 | 0.008225817 | 123.95994 | 0.00816 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.843643E-4 | 0.0114012025 | 40.093647 | 0.01112 | 0.0026222812 | 0.003457547 | 0.020598078 | 5.957425 | 0.0172 | 0.02591553 | 0.034141295 | 0.057225317 | 1.676132 | 0.0239 |
6.1 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.6358676E-5 | 0.008225817 | 123.95994 | 0.00816 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.843643E-4 | 0.0114012025 | 40.093647 | 0.01112 | 0.0026222812 | 0.003457547 | 0.020598078 | 5.957425 | 0.0172 | 0.02591553 | 0.034141295 | 0.057225317 | 1.676132 | 0.0239 |
6.2 | 2.4125871E-5 | 3.0980515E-5 | 0.006250788 | 201.76514 | 0.00622 | 1.0339249E-4 | 1.3276804E-4 | 0.008491658 | 63.958603 | 0.00836 | 0.0012580766 | 0.0016154252 | 0.014284926 | 8.842827 | 0.01269 | 0.012509781 | 0.016070755 | 0.03325016 | 2.0689855 | 0.01746 |
6.3 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2355545E-5 | 0.005592231 | 250.14961 | 0.00557 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.580685E-5 | 0.007505097 | 78.33571 | 0.00741 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.001165962 | 0.012233043 | 10.491803 | 0.01108 | 0.009055373 | 0.0116291465 | 0.026533779 | 2.2816617 | 0.01508 |
6.4 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2355545E-5 | 0.005592231 | 250.14961 | 0.00557 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.580685E-5 | 0.007505097 | 78.33571 | 0.00741 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.001165962 | 0.012233043 | 10.491803 | 0.01108 | 0.009055373 | 0.0116291465 | 0.026533779 | 2.2816617 | 0.01508 |
6.5 | 1.5182742E-5 | 1.9429277E-5 | 0.005419324 | 278.9257 | 0.0054 | 6.506727E-5 | 8.3266525E-5 | 0.007232671 | 86.861694 | 0.00715 | 7.919061E-4 | 0.0010134344 | 0.011592702 | 11.439026 | 0.01059 | 0.0078909 | 0.010118678 | 0.024264082 | 2.39795 | 0.01429 |
6.6 | 6.7271576E-6 | 8.547518E-6 | 0.00436851 | 511.08524 | 0.00436 | 2.8830356E-5 | 3.6631736E-5 | 0.005796421 | 158.23494 | 0.00576 | 3.5095305E-4 | 4.4590578E-4 | 0.008512307 | 19.089924 | 0.00807 | 0.0035039932 | 0.0044680187 | 0.014881283 | 3.3306224 | 0.01046 |
6.7 | 6.682835E-6 | 8.479961E-6 | 0.0043484434 | 512.79047 | 0.00434 | 2.8640408E-5 | 3.6342215E-5 | 0.0057761334 | 158.9373 | 0.00574 | 3.4864116E-4 | 4.423823E-4 | 0.008478826 | 19.166286 | 0.00804 | 0.003480947 | 0.0044329325 | 0.014816697 | 3.3424144 | 0.01043 |
6.8 | 6.5774975E-6 | 8.326427E-6 | 0.00434829 | 522.22766 | 0.00434 | 2.8188972E-5 | 3.5684232E-5 | 0.00576548 | 161.5694 | 0.00573 | 3.4314668E-4 | 4.3437455E-4 | 0.008460887 | 19.478321 | 0.00803 | 0.0034261728 | 0.0043531056 | 0.0147078335 | 3.378699 | 0.0104 |
6.9 | 6.363419E-6 | 7.999591E-6 | 0.004337965 | 542.2734 | 0.00433 | 2.727151E-5 | 3.428354E-5 | 0.0057540876 | 167.8382 | 0.00572 | 3.3198006E-4 | 4.1732774E-4 | 0.008423985 | 20.185537 | 0.00801 | 0.0033148455 | 0.0041830647 | 0.014499729 | 3.466293 | 0.01036 |
7.0 | 6.1342453E-6 | 7.631779E-6 | 0.004307599 | 564.4292 | 0.0043 | 2.6289357E-5 | 3.2707245E-5 | 0.0057125213 | 174.65614 | 0.00568 | 3.2002592E-4 | 3.9814346E-4 | 0.008304995 | 20.8593 | 0.00791 | 0.0031956544 | 0.003991739 | 0.014160983 | 3.5475724 | 0.01021 |
7.1 | 5.842926E-6 | 7.142312E-6 | 0.0041271127 | 577.8399 | 0.00412 | 2.504087E-5 | 3.060958E-5 | 0.005450444 | 178.06332 | 0.00542 | 3.0482994E-4 | 3.7261334E-4 | 0.007889811 | 21.17426 | 0.00752 | 0.0030441214 | 0.0037371595 | 0.0134009095 | 3.585854 | 0.0097 |
7.2 | 4.77173E-6 | 5.358478E-6 | 0.0025653448 | 478.74503 | 0.00256 | 2.045011E-5 | 2.2964727E-5 | 0.003452886 | 150.35606 | 0.00343 | 2.4895166E-4 | 2.7956374E-4 | 0.005198188 | 18.59393 | 0.00492 | 0.0024867293 | 0.0028086212 | 0.009021124 | 3.2119403 | 0.00623 |
7.3 | 3.0494948E-6 | 2.710356E-6 | 7.8270823E-4 | 288.78427 | 7.8E-4 | 1.3069198E-5 | 1.1615762E-5 | 0.001021604 | 87.949814 | 0.00101 | 1.5910587E-4 | 1.4141288E-4 | 0.0016711965 | 11.817852 | 0.00153 | 0.0015899199 | 0.0014231089 | 0.003280462 | 2.3051376 | 0.00186 |
7.4 | 2.7263884E-6 | 2.3055634E-6 | 5.7230424E-4 | 248.22751 | 5.7E-4 | 1.1684469E-5 | 9.880949E-6 | 7.2987383E-4 | 73.866776 | 7.2E-4 | 1.4224913E-4 | 1.2029401E-4 | 0.0012901532 | 10.724999 | 0.00117 | 0.0014215811 | 0.0012110578 | 0.0025993744 | 2.146367 | 0.00139 |
7.5 | 2.6090431E-6 | 2.1655019E-6 | 4.7216448E-4 | 218.03929 | 4.7E-4 | 1.1181565E-5 | 9.2806895E-6 | 5.5927556E-4 | 60.262287 | 5.5E-4 | 1.3612706E-4 | 1.1298663E-4 | 0.0010528804 | 9.318628 | 9.4E-4 | 0.001360437 | 0.0011378126 | 0.0022365612 | 1.9656672 | 0.0011 |
7.6 | 2.3008756E-6 | 1.8726826E-6 | 3.9187196E-4 | 209.25702 | 3.9E-4 | 9.860858E-6 | 8.025758E-6 | 4.6802207E-4 | 58.315 | 4.6E-4 | 1.20049335E-4 | 9.770931E-5 | 8.2763797E-4 | 8.470411 | 7.3E-4 | 0.001199845 | 9.848307E-4 | 0.0018439837 | 1.8723866 | 8.6E-4 |
7.7 | 1.7184348E-6 | 1.341808E-6 | 1.7134158E-4 | 127.69456 | 1.7E-4 | 7.3646997E-6 | 5.750593E-6 | 2.0574944E-4 | 35.77882 | 2.0E-4 | 8.966153E-5 | 7.0011265E-5 | 4.5998397E-4 | 6.5701423 | 3.9E-4 | 8.962536E-4 | 7.0769014E-4 | 0.0011773575 | 1.6636624 | 4.7E-4 |
7.8 | 8.4612907E-7 | 8.4054994E-7 | 7.084049E-5 | 84.27874 | 7.0E-5 | 3.6262625E-6 | 3.602352E-6 | 1.0360199E-4 | 28.75954 | 1.0E-4 | 4.4148852E-5 | 4.3857777E-5 | 2.3384944E-4 | 5.331995 | 1.9E-4 | 4.414008E-4 | 4.4386165E-4 | 6.937507E-4 | 1.5629885 | 2.5E-4 |
7.9 | 2.716738E-7 | 3.7681625E-7 | 2.0376809E-5 | 54.07625 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1643157E-6 | 1.6149258E-6 | 2.1614893E-5 | 13.38445 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4175452E-5 | 1.9661555E-5 | 6.966057E-5 | 3.5429838 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4174548E-4 | 1.9829652E-4 | 2.7828064E-4 | 1.4033562 | 8.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.1995428E-8 | 3.3853325E-8 | 3.3853325E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.426611E-8 | 1.4508568E-7 | 1.4508568E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1476893E-6 | 1.7664173E-6 | 1.1766399E-5 | 6.661166 | 1.0E-5 | 1.14768345E-5 | 1.7869768E-5 | 2.786959E-5 | 1.5595943 | 1.0E-5 |
Panamint Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3984263E-5 | 0.00663376 | 195.20094 | 0.0066 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4563887E-4 | 0.0091143325 | 62.58173 | 0.00897 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017717406 | 0.015637131 | 8.825858 | 0.01389 | 0.015640736 | 0.017583003 | 0.037025034 | 2.1057289 | 0.01979 |
6.1 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3984263E-5 | 0.00663376 | 195.20094 | 0.0066 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4563887E-4 | 0.0091143325 | 62.58173 | 0.00897 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017717406 | 0.015637131 | 8.825858 | 0.01389 | 0.015640736 | 0.017583003 | 0.037025034 | 2.1057289 | 0.01979 |
6.2 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3984263E-5 | 0.00663376 | 195.20094 | 0.0066 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4563887E-4 | 0.0091143325 | 62.58173 | 0.00897 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017717406 | 0.015637131 | 8.825858 | 0.01389 | 0.015640736 | 0.017583003 | 0.037025034 | 2.1057289 | 0.01979 |
6.3 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.2102445E-5 | 0.0063918983 | 199.1094 | 0.00636 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.375748E-4 | 0.008796384 | 63.93891 | 0.00866 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016737141 | 0.014891555 | 8.89731 | 0.01324 | 0.01479908 | 0.016618038 | 0.03500728 | 2.1065834 | 0.0187 |
6.4 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.2102445E-5 | 0.0063918983 | 199.1094 | 0.00636 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.375748E-4 | 0.008796384 | 63.93891 | 0.00866 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016737141 | 0.014891555 | 8.89731 | 0.01324 | 0.01479908 | 0.016618038 | 0.03500728 | 2.1065834 | 0.0187 |
6.5 | 2.7468774E-5 | 3.0828138E-5 | 0.0061806384 | 200.48691 | 0.00615 | 1.1771801E-4 | 1.3211406E-4 | 0.008511007 | 64.42166 | 0.00838 | 0.0014322745 | 0.0016073292 | 0.014356804 | 8.932086 | 0.01277 | 0.014230782 | 0.015963882 | 0.03363717 | 2.1070795 | 0.01796 |
6.6 | 2.6135967E-5 | 2.9252153E-5 | 0.0059690783 | 204.05605 | 0.00594 | 1.1200648E-4 | 1.2536049E-4 | 0.008194349 | 65.36628 | 0.00807 | 0.0013628257 | 0.0015252219 | 0.013866371 | 9.091379 | 0.01236 | 0.013544982 | 0.015154343 | 0.032251265 | 2.1281862 | 0.01736 |
6.7 | 2.4498746E-5 | 2.7341044E-5 | 0.0057071857 | 208.74059 | 0.00568 | 1.04990395E-4 | 1.17170785E-4 | 0.00780627 | 66.62301 | 0.00769 | 0.0012775084 | 0.0014256459 | 0.0131489085 | 9.2231245 | 0.01174 | 0.012701893 | 0.014171593 | 0.030358896 | 2.142236 | 0.01642 |
6.8 | 2.2244329E-5 | 2.4935374E-5 | 0.0053148037 | 213.14311 | 0.00529 | 9.532935E-5 | 1.0686163E-4 | 0.0073060924 | 68.369644 | 0.0072 | 0.0011600169 | 0.0013002857 | 0.012146165 | 9.34115 | 0.01086 | 0.011539802 | 0.012932955 | 0.027827797 | 2.1516967 | 0.01509 |
6.9 | 1.9902658E-5 | 2.2290182E-5 | 0.004662187 | 209.15875 | 0.00464 | 8.529431E-5 | 9.552596E-5 | 0.006374926 | 66.735016 | 0.00628 | 0.0010379635 | 0.0011624265 | 0.010561488 | 9.085726 | 0.00941 | 0.010331288 | 0.011569021 | 0.024527352 | 2.1200888 | 0.01311 |
7.0 | 1.8353881E-5 | 2.056605E-5 | 0.004360477 | 212.02304 | 0.00434 | 7.865712E-5 | 8.813734E-5 | 0.005977618 | 67.82163 | 0.00589 | 9.5722964E-4 | 0.0010725616 | 0.009783208 | 9.121349 | 0.00872 | 0.009531168 | 0.01067939 | 0.022630382 | 2.1190708 | 0.01208 |
7.1 | 1.7667631E-5 | 1.9772435E-5 | 0.004229689 | 213.91847 | 0.00421 | 7.571623E-5 | 8.4736355E-5 | 0.0057542557 | 67.90776 | 0.00567 | 9.2145515E-4 | 0.0010311945 | 0.009372584 | 9.089056 | 0.00835 | 0.009176437 | 0.0102695925 | 0.021710876 | 2.1140933 | 0.01156 |
7.2 | 1.6381597E-5 | 1.8158042E-5 | 0.0037880896 | 208.61774 | 0.00377 | 7.020495E-5 | 7.781795E-5 | 0.0051074266 | 65.63301 | 0.00503 | 8.544101E-4 | 9.470391E-4 | 0.008370003 | 8.838075 | 0.00743 | 0.008511325 | 0.009435269 | 0.019687613 | 2.0865982 | 0.01035 |
7.3 | 1.4520491E-5 | 1.596657E-5 | 0.0032159155 | 201.41554 | 0.0032 | 6.222919E-5 | 6.842646E-5 | 0.004338134 | 63.398495 | 0.00427 | 7.57377E-4 | 8.327899E-4 | 0.0070875767 | 8.510642 | 0.00626 | 0.0075480095 | 0.008300399 | 0.016898435 | 2.035858 | 0.00867 |
7.4 | 1.2852287E-5 | 1.41454875E-5 | 0.003074102 | 217.32034 | 0.00306 | 5.5080065E-5 | 6.06222E-5 | 0.0041403747 | 68.298 | 0.00408 | 6.7039346E-4 | 7.378411E-4 | 0.006683451 | 9.058117 | 0.00595 | 0.0066837464 | 0.007357429 | 0.015477246 | 2.1036215 | 0.00818 |
7.5 | 1.1637851E-5 | 1.2836868E-5 | 0.0030127983 | 234.69887 | 0.003 | 4.987555E-5 | 5.5014076E-5 | 0.0040647937 | 73.88642 | 0.00401 | 6.070656E-4 | 6.696062E-4 | 0.0064957025 | 9.70078 | 0.00583 | 0.006054099 | 0.0066793845 | 0.014596149 | 2.1852539 | 0.00797 |
7.6 | 3.0068115E-6 | 3.3330623E-6 | 0.0013933284 | 418.03253 | 0.00139 | 1.2886271E-5 | 1.4284516E-5 | 0.0017642595 | 123.50853 | 0.00175 | 1.5687906E-4 | 1.7390738E-4 | 0.0026734725 | 15.372969 | 0.0025 | 0.0015676835 | 0.0017397973 | 0.005113917 | 2.939375 | 0.00338 |
Garlock (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.2904815E-5 | 0.005262578 | 83.65938 | 0.0052 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.6956675E-4 | 0.0073976447 | 27.44272 | 0.00713 | 0.0023501497 | 0.003277482 | 0.014620184 | 4.460798 | 0.01138 | 0.023254504 | 0.03235377 | 0.04811673 | 1.4872062 | 0.01629 |
6.1 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.2904815E-5 | 0.005262578 | 83.65938 | 0.0052 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.6956675E-4 | 0.0073976447 | 27.44272 | 0.00713 | 0.0023501497 | 0.003277482 | 0.014620184 | 4.460798 | 0.01138 | 0.023254504 | 0.03235377 | 0.04811673 | 1.4872062 | 0.01629 |
6.2 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4511588E-5 | 0.004014374 | 116.3196 | 0.00398 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4789861E-4 | 0.005377125 | 36.356834 | 0.00523 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0017992114 | 0.0098047815 | 5.4494886 | 0.00802 | 0.01382215 | 0.017872788 | 0.028961005 | 1.6203966 | 0.01129 |
6.3 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4511588E-5 | 0.004014374 | 116.3196 | 0.00398 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4789861E-4 | 0.005377125 | 36.356834 | 0.00523 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0017992114 | 0.0098047815 | 5.4494886 | 0.00802 | 0.01382215 | 0.017872788 | 0.028961005 | 1.6203966 | 0.01129 |
6.4 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2340467E-5 | 0.003982213 | 123.13404 | 0.00395 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3859481E-4 | 0.0052978797 | 38.22567 | 0.00516 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016861152 | 0.009532862 | 5.6537433 | 0.00786 | 0.013121112 | 0.016772287 | 0.027686113 | 1.650706 | 0.0111 |
6.5 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2340467E-5 | 0.003982213 | 123.13404 | 0.00395 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3859481E-4 | 0.0052978797 | 38.22567 | 0.00516 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016861152 | 0.009532862 | 5.6537433 | 0.00786 | 0.013121112 | 0.016772287 | 0.027686113 | 1.650706 | 0.0111 |
6.6 | 2.246556E-5 | 2.8134691E-5 | 0.0037780292 | 134.28366 | 0.00375 | 9.627742E-5 | 1.2057181E-4 | 0.0049799858 | 41.30307 | 0.00486 | 0.0011715472 | 0.0014669969 | 0.008846155 | 6.0301123 | 0.00739 | 0.011653901 | 0.014613169 | 0.024841484 | 1.6999382 | 0.01038 |
6.7 | 2.2241198E-5 | 2.7804432E-5 | 0.0037777002 | 135.86684 | 0.00375 | 9.531594E-5 | 1.1915654E-4 | 0.0049785776 | 41.781822 | 0.00486 | 0.0011598538 | 0.0014497889 | 0.008819089 | 6.0830164 | 0.00738 | 0.011538187 | 0.014442829 | 0.024653202 | 1.706951 | 0.01036 |
6.8 | 1.9528685E-5 | 2.3898969E-5 | 0.0036438124 | 152.46736 | 0.00362 | 8.369167E-5 | 1.0242024E-4 | 0.004751944 | 46.396534 | 0.00465 | 0.0010184698 | 0.0012462728 | 0.008217574 | 6.59372 | 0.00698 | 0.010138147 | 0.012436723 | 0.022025963 | 1.7710422 | 0.00971 |
6.9 | 1.3318621E-5 | 1.5198818E-5 | 0.0034651463 | 227.98788 | 0.00345 | 5.7078556E-5 | 6.51362E-5 | 0.004444851 | 68.239334 | 0.00438 | 6.9470983E-4 | 7.927504E-4 | 0.0072276453 | 9.117176 | 0.00644 | 0.0069254204 | 0.007940721 | 0.016571637 | 2.0869184 | 0.0087 |
7.0 | 1.1760853E-5 | 1.3107653E-5 | 0.0033730636 | 257.33545 | 0.00336 | 5.0402683E-5 | 5.6174475E-5 | 0.0043259347 | 77.0089 | 0.00427 | 6.134799E-4 | 6.8371464E-4 | 0.006959421 | 10.178839 | 0.00628 | 0.0061178906 | 0.006857401 | 0.015219662 | 2.2194505 | 0.00842 |
7.1 | 1.0064758E-5 | 1.0902761E-5 | 0.0032308677 | 296.33484 | 0.00322 | 4.3133965E-5 | 4.67253E-5 | 0.004076537 | 87.24475 | 0.00403 | 5.2502943E-4 | 5.6873553E-4 | 0.0064453916 | 11.332845 | 0.00588 | 0.005237907 | 0.0057133473 | 0.013538383 | 2.3696063 | 0.00787 |
7.2 | 9.768808E-6 | 1.0498628E-5 | 0.0031704654 | 301.98853 | 0.00316 | 4.186565E-5 | 4.499337E-5 | 0.003984816 | 88.56452 | 0.00394 | 5.095951E-4 | 5.4766005E-4 | 0.006254533 | 11.420465 | 0.00571 | 0.0050842804 | 0.005503584 | 0.013061757 | 2.3733184 | 0.0076 |
7.3 | 9.344516E-6 | 9.9442705E-6 | 0.0029299152 | 294.63348 | 0.00292 | 4.004731E-5 | 4.2617627E-5 | 0.003672463 | 86.17239 | 0.00363 | 4.8746695E-4 | 5.187495E-4 | 0.0057960106 | 11.173042 | 0.00528 | 0.0048639905 | 0.005215269 | 0.012238449 | 2.3466573 | 0.00706 |
7.4 | 9.023491E-6 | 9.490441E-6 | 0.0026294657 | 277.06464 | 0.00262 | 3.867153E-5 | 4.0672705E-5 | 0.0033105398 | 81.39463 | 0.00327 | 4.7072413E-4 | 4.95081E-4 | 0.0052827094 | 10.670394 | 0.00479 | 0.004697283 | 0.0049787266 | 0.011297111 | 2.2690766 | 0.00635 |
7.5 | 7.081253E-6 | 7.0873994E-6 | 0.0013070782 | 184.42282 | 0.0013 | 3.0347876E-5 | 3.0374218E-5 | 0.0016703244 | 54.99152 | 0.00164 | 3.6942272E-4 | 3.697441E-4 | 0.002838831 | 7.677826 | 0.00247 | 0.003688092 | 0.0037244745 | 0.006992258 | 1.8773811 | 0.00328 |
7.6 | 6.116396E-6 | 5.9589424E-6 | 7.9595426E-4 | 133.57307 | 7.9E-4 | 2.6212863E-5 | 2.5538076E-5 | 0.0010555118 | 41.330902 | 0.00103 | 3.1909486E-4 | 3.1088197E-4 | 0.0018604001 | 5.984265 | 0.00155 | 0.0031863707 | 0.0031359126 | 0.005149578 | 1.6421306 | 0.00202 |
7.7 | 4.797145E-6 | 4.7571157E-6 | 4.1475517E-4 | 87.18627 | 4.1E-4 | 2.055903E-5 | 2.0387479E-5 | 5.9037586E-4 | 28.957766 | 5.7E-4 | 2.5027743E-4 | 2.481894E-4 | 0.001107976 | 4.4642353 | 8.6E-4 | 0.0024999576 | 0.0025094065 | 0.0036664957 | 1.4611007 | 0.00116 |
7.8 | 3.4028885E-6 | 3.978375E-6 | 2.8397725E-4 | 71.38022 | 2.8E-4 | 1.4583726E-5 | 1.7050066E-5 | 4.070434E-4 | 23.87342 | 3.9E-4 | 1.775424E-4 | 2.0756487E-4 | 8.074403E-4 | 3.8900628 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0017740062 | 0.0021012141 | 0.002909512 | 1.3846815 | 8.1E-4 |
7.9 | 2.5928412E-6 | 3.372436E-6 | 1.933718E-4 | 57.33891 | 1.9E-4 | 1.1112129E-5 | 1.4453217E-5 | 3.0444903E-4 | 21.064447 | 2.9E-4 | 1.3528178E-4 | 1.7595377E-4 | 6.658675E-4 | 3.7843323 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0013519945 | 0.0017812426 | 0.0024201027 | 1.3586597 | 6.4E-4 |
8.0 | 1.3743648E-6 | 1.6734741E-6 | 1.1167329E-4 | 66.731415 | 1.1E-4 | 5.8901214E-6 | 7.1720124E-6 | 1.7717079E-4 | 24.703081 | 1.7E-4 | 7.1709874E-5 | 8.731578E-5 | 3.4729307E-4 | 3.9774377 | 2.6E-4 | 7.1686733E-4 | 8.837377E-4 | 0.0012234373 | 1.3843895 | 3.4E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1489736E-7 | 2.031489E-5 | 64.51273 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3495595E-6 | 2.1349533E-5 | 15.81963 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.643078E-5 | 4.6430287E-5 | 2.8258114 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.662928E-4 | 2.0628615E-4 | 1.2404996 | 4.0E-5 |
Ash Hill
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3194447E-5 | 0.0025231366 | 108.78192 | 0.0025 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.940143E-5 | 0.0035190615 | 35.402523 | 0.00342 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012096206 | 0.0072323265 | 5.9790044 | 0.00603 | 0.011179381 | 0.012038348 | 0.0210288 | 1.7468176 | 0.0091 |
6.1 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3194447E-5 | 0.0025231366 | 108.78192 | 0.0025 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.940143E-5 | 0.0035190615 | 35.402523 | 0.00342 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012096206 | 0.0072323265 | 5.9790044 | 0.00603 | 0.011179381 | 0.012038348 | 0.0210288 | 1.7468176 | 0.0091 |
6.2 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3194447E-5 | 0.0025231366 | 108.78192 | 0.0025 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.940143E-5 | 0.0035190615 | 35.402523 | 0.00342 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012096206 | 0.0072323265 | 5.9790044 | 0.00603 | 0.011179381 | 0.012038348 | 0.0210288 | 1.7468176 | 0.0091 |
6.3 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0746934E-5 | 0.001210734 | 112.65855 | 0.0012 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.605755E-5 | 0.0015459885 | 33.56645 | 0.0015 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.6061964E-4 | 0.0031991396 | 5.706435 | 0.00264 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055933665 | 0.009431776 | 1.6862432 | 0.00386 |
6.4 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0746934E-5 | 0.001210734 | 112.65855 | 0.0012 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.605755E-5 | 0.0015459885 | 33.56645 | 0.0015 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.6061964E-4 | 0.0031991396 | 5.706435 | 0.00264 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055933665 | 0.009431776 | 1.6862432 | 0.00386 |
6.5 | 6.9617327E-6 | 7.456634E-6 | 7.774509E-4 | 104.26298 | 7.7E-4 | 2.9835655E-5 | 3.195666E-5 | 0.0010119254 | 31.665554 | 9.8E-4 | 3.6318856E-4 | 3.8901155E-4 | 0.0021683192 | 5.57392 | 0.00178 | 0.0036259557 | 0.0038841602 | 0.006563712 | 1.6898664 | 0.00269 |
6.6 | 4.9919777E-6 | 5.3466883E-6 | 5.9534353E-4 | 111.34809 | 5.9E-4 | 2.1394015E-5 | 2.2914215E-5 | 7.7289704E-4 | 33.730026 | 7.5E-4 | 2.60441E-4 | 2.7895154E-4 | 0.0016585666 | 5.9457154 | 0.00138 | 0.0026013597 | 0.0027866727 | 0.004781099 | 1.7157018 | 0.002 |
6.7 | 3.6630722E-6 | 3.924624E-6 | 4.23923E-4 | 108.01621 | 4.2E-4 | 1.5698786E-5 | 1.681974E-5 | 5.668105E-4 | 33.699123 | 5.5E-4 | 1.9111596E-4 | 2.0476682E-4 | 0.001204562 | 5.8826036 | 0.001 | 0.0019095168 | 0.0020463446 | 0.0034534591 | 1.6876235 | 0.00141 |
6.8 | 2.5599613E-6 | 2.744925E-6 | 2.8274415E-4 | 103.00615 | 2.8E-4 | 1.0971216E-5 | 1.1763939E-5 | 3.9175947E-4 | 33.301723 | 3.8E-4 | 1.3356637E-4 | 1.4322149E-4 | 8.331227E-4 | 5.8170223 | 6.9E-4 | 0.0013348613 | 0.0014317769 | 0.002340474 | 1.6346638 | 9.1E-4 |
6.9 | 1.7684905E-6 | 1.8968707E-6 | 2.3189644E-4 | 122.252106 | 2.3E-4 | 7.579223E-6 | 8.129446E-6 | 3.08127E-4 | 37.902584 | 3.0E-4 | 9.2273134E-5 | 9.8976E-5 | 6.3892256E-4 | 6.455328 | 5.4E-4 | 9.223483E-4 | 9.8976E-4 | 0.0016990573 | 1.7166356 | 7.1E-4 |
Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.456906E-5 | 0.0035343792 | 64.76892 | 0.00348 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3384714E-4 | 0.0048327716 | 20.66637 | 0.0046 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028435462 | 0.009514523 | 3.3460062 | 0.00669 | 0.023260195 | 0.028092625 | 0.037005015 | 1.3172503 | 0.00917 |
6.1 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.456906E-5 | 0.0035343792 | 64.76892 | 0.00348 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3384714E-4 | 0.0048327716 | 20.66637 | 0.0046 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028435462 | 0.009514523 | 3.3460062 | 0.00669 | 0.023260195 | 0.028092625 | 0.037005015 | 1.3172503 | 0.00917 |
6.2 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.706271E-5 | 0.0034669018 | 73.66558 | 0.00342 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.016826E-4 | 0.004730769 | 23.456505 | 0.00453 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024528534 | 0.009026689 | 3.680077 | 0.00659 | 0.020330196 | 0.024274187 | 0.033065476 | 1.3621662 | 0.00901 |
6.3 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.706271E-5 | 0.0034669018 | 73.66558 | 0.00342 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.016826E-4 | 0.004730769 | 23.456505 | 0.00453 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024528534 | 0.009026689 | 3.680077 | 0.00659 | 0.020330196 | 0.024274187 | 0.033065476 | 1.3621662 | 0.00901 |
6.4 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.795112E-5 | 0.003357825 | 88.47763 | 0.00332 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6263791E-4 | 0.0045619225 | 28.049562 | 0.0044 | 0.0016845843 | 0.001978387 | 0.008365725 | 4.2285585 | 0.0064 | 0.016718714 | 0.019617118 | 0.028244488 | 1.4397877 | 0.0088 |
6.5 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.795112E-5 | 0.003357825 | 88.47763 | 0.00332 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6263791E-4 | 0.0045619225 | 28.049562 | 0.0044 | 0.0016845843 | 0.001978387 | 0.008365725 | 4.2285585 | 0.0064 | 0.016718714 | 0.019617118 | 0.028244488 | 1.4397877 | 0.0088 |
6.6 | 2.9305844E-5 | 3.418196E-5 | 0.0033440688 | 97.83139 | 0.00331 | 1.2559042E-4 | 1.4648624E-4 | 0.004535843 | 30.964293 | 0.00439 | 0.0015279909 | 0.0017820727 | 0.00814072 | 4.5681195 | 0.00637 | 0.015175272 | 0.017686324 | 0.026291393 | 1.4865379 | 0.00876 |
6.7 | 2.7826512E-5 | 3.2344353E-5 | 0.0033322377 | 103.02378 | 0.0033 | 1.19251024E-4 | 1.3861163E-4 | 0.0045180046 | 32.5947 | 0.00438 | 0.0014509142 | 0.0016863506 | 0.008035625 | 4.765098 | 0.00636 | 0.014414776 | 0.016743818 | 0.025337476 | 1.5132437 | 0.00874 |
6.8 | 2.3389874E-5 | 2.6866792E-5 | 0.00325678 | 121.219536 | 0.00323 | 1.0023846E-4 | 1.1513857E-4 | 0.0044246423 | 38.428844 | 0.00431 | 0.00121972 | 0.001400958 | 0.007662174 | 5.4692388 | 0.00627 | 0.01213047 | 0.013928067 | 0.022418147 | 1.6095662 | 0.00861 |
6.9 | 2.069209E-5 | 2.357011E-5 | 0.0032234946 | 136.76198 | 0.0032 | 8.867737E-5 | 1.0101105E-4 | 0.00437058 | 43.268333 | 0.00427 | 0.0010791123 | 0.0012291519 | 0.0074415067 | 6.05418 | 0.00622 | 0.010738871 | 0.012229158 | 0.020674597 | 1.6905987 | 0.00855 |
7.0 | 1.7462342E-5 | 1.9633622E-5 | 0.0031995713 | 162.96387 | 0.00318 | 7.483646E-5 | 8.414151E-5 | 0.0043037864 | 51.149384 | 0.00422 | 9.1075303E-4 | 0.0010239641 | 0.007157677 | 6.990164 | 0.00614 | 0.009070295 | 0.010196688 | 0.018560525 | 1.8202505 | 0.00845 |
7.1 | 1.4807709E-5 | 1.6441827E-5 | 0.0031463904 | 191.36502 | 0.00313 | 6.3460066E-5 | 7.046316E-5 | 0.00423017 | 60.033783 | 0.00416 | 7.723524E-4 | 8.575678E-4 | 0.0069223624 | 8.072087 | 0.00607 | 0.007696735 | 0.008546168 | 0.016804978 | 1.966376 | 0.00833 |
7.2 | 1.4180048E-5 | 1.5698413E-5 | 0.0031156498 | 198.46909 | 0.0031 | 6.077022E-5 | 6.727727E-5 | 0.0041969996 | 62.383617 | 0.00413 | 7.396263E-4 | 8.1880915E-4 | 0.0068538636 | 8.370526 | 0.00604 | 0.0073716943 | 0.008161469 | 0.016393729 | 2.0086737 | 0.0083 |
7.3 | 1.3730402E-5 | 1.5172151E-5 | 0.0031051252 | 204.65953 | 0.00309 | 5.8843252E-5 | 6.502197E-5 | 0.004184754 | 64.35908 | 0.00412 | 7.161811E-4 | 7.9137104E-4 | 0.006806607 | 8.601031 | 0.00602 | 0.007138774 | 0.007889058 | 0.016093815 | 2.0400174 | 0.00827 |
7.4 | 1.2810095E-5 | 1.4109353E-5 | 0.0030740662 | 217.87434 | 0.00306 | 5.489925E-5 | 6.0467344E-5 | 0.0041402206 | 68.47036 | 0.00408 | 6.681934E-4 | 7.3595706E-4 | 0.0066815782 | 9.078761 | 0.00595 | 0.006661878 | 0.0073386896 | 0.015458659 | 2.1064603 | 0.00818 |
7.5 | 1.1595659E-5 | 1.2800734E-5 | 0.0030127624 | 235.35857 | 0.003 | 4.9694736E-5 | 5.485922E-5 | 0.004064639 | 74.09218 | 0.00401 | 6.0486543E-4 | 6.67722E-4 | 0.006493829 | 9.725348 | 0.00583 | 0.006032217 | 0.006660632 | 0.014577547 | 2.1886132 | 0.00797 |
7.6 | 2.997694E-6 | 3.3251877E-6 | 0.0013933206 | 419.02014 | 0.00139 | 1.28471975E-5 | 1.4250767E-5 | 0.0017642258 | 123.79866 | 0.00175 | 1.564034E-4 | 1.7349655E-4 | 0.0026730627 | 15.407008 | 0.0025 | 0.0015629337 | 0.0017356955 | 0.005109829 | 2.9439662 | 0.00338 |
Blackwater
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.3095846E-5 | 0.0028430028 | 85.9021 | 0.00281 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4183241E-4 | 0.003911298 | 27.576897 | 0.00377 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017255784 | 0.0074157426 | 4.29754 | 0.0057 | 0.015895851 | 0.017135633 | 0.025313064 | 1.4772179 | 0.00832 |
6.1 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.3095846E-5 | 0.0028430028 | 85.9021 | 0.00281 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4183241E-4 | 0.003911298 | 27.576897 | 0.00377 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017255784 | 0.0074157426 | 4.29754 | 0.0057 | 0.015895851 | 0.017135633 | 0.025313064 | 1.4772179 | 0.00832 |
6.2 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2545122E-5 | 9.225337E-4 | 73.53725 | 9.1E-4 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.3763757E-5 | 0.001313696 | 24.434603 | 0.00126 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.5438676E-4 | 0.0027130388 | 4.1459255 | 0.00206 | 0.006090366 | 0.0065255696 | 0.009555667 | 1.4643421 | 0.00305 |
6.3 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2545122E-5 | 9.225337E-4 | 73.53725 | 9.1E-4 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.3763757E-5 | 0.001313696 | 24.434603 | 0.00126 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.5438676E-4 | 0.0027130388 | 4.1459255 | 0.00206 | 0.006090366 | 0.0065255696 | 0.009555667 | 1.4643421 | 0.00305 |
6.4 | 7.929244E-6 | 8.480098E-6 | 5.384756E-4 | 63.49875 | 5.3E-4 | 3.3982033E-5 | 3.6342793E-5 | 8.4631337E-4 | 23.286964 | 8.1E-4 | 4.136527E-4 | 4.423877E-4 | 0.0017917905 | 4.050272 | 0.00135 | 0.0041288356 | 0.0044154758 | 0.0064365123 | 1.4577166 | 0.00203 |
6.5 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.285991E-6 | 3.6628373E-4 | 58.269848 | 3.6E-4 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6939697E-5 | 6.4692297E-4 | 24.013744 | 6.2E-4 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.27944E-4 | 0.0013376127 | 4.078784 | 0.00101 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032748538 | 0.0047699413 | 1.4565357 | 0.0015 |
6.6 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.285991E-6 | 3.6628373E-4 | 58.269848 | 3.6E-4 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6939697E-5 | 6.4692297E-4 | 24.013744 | 6.2E-4 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.27944E-4 | 0.0013376127 | 4.078784 | 0.00101 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032748538 | 0.0047699413 | 1.4565357 | 0.0015 |
6.7 | 3.0715053E-6 | 3.2814662E-6 | 1.2328108E-4 | 37.5689 | 1.2E-4 | 1.3163528E-5 | 1.4063357E-5 | 2.4406012E-4 | 17.354328 | 2.3E-4 | 1.6025416E-4 | 1.7120909E-4 | 5.9113716E-4 | 3.4527209 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0016013865 | 0.0017108864 | 0.0023597744 | 1.3792701 | 6.5E-4 |
6.8 | 2.2722281E-6 | 2.4287538E-6 | 9.2428534E-5 | 38.055954 | 9.0E-5 | 9.738084E-6 | 1.0408908E-5 | 1.9040704E-4 | 18.2927 | 1.8E-4 | 1.1855473E-4 | 1.26722E-4 | 4.2668398E-4 | 3.367087 | 3.0E-4 | 0.001184915 | 0.0012665876 | 0.001726005 | 1.3627206 | 4.6E-4 |
6.9 | 9.952399E-7 | 1.0653489E-6 | 3.1065316E-5 | 29.15976 | 3.0E-5 | 4.265307E-6 | 4.5657757E-6 | 4.4565593E-5 | 9.760794 | 4.0E-5 | 5.1928873E-5 | 5.5587418E-5 | 1.4558241E-4 | 2.6189814 | 9.0E-5 | 5.191674E-4 | 5.557858E-4 | 7.057024E-4 | 1.2697382 | 1.5E-4 |
7.0 | 4.7385504E-7 | 5.0755597E-7 | 5.0755597E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0308057E-6 | 2.1752398E-6 | 2.1752398E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4724779E-5 | 2.6483543E-5 | 5.648275E-5 | 2.1327488 | 3.0E-5 | 2.4722028E-4 | 2.6483546E-4 | 3.2481956E-4 | 1.2264957 | 6.0E-5 |
So Sierra Nevada
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079612E-5 | 0.0029110475 | 262.73914 | 0.0029 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483256E-5 | 0.0037273085 | 78.49732 | 0.00368 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779681E-4 | 0.005874905 | 10.164757 | 0.0053 | 0.006007948 | 0.005765918 | 0.012715614 | 2.205306 | 0.00699 |
6.1 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079612E-5 | 0.0029110475 | 262.73914 | 0.0029 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483256E-5 | 0.0037273085 | 78.49732 | 0.00368 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779681E-4 | 0.005874905 | 10.164757 | 0.0053 | 0.006007948 | 0.005765918 | 0.012715614 | 2.205306 | 0.00699 |
6.2 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079612E-5 | 0.0029110475 | 262.73914 | 0.0029 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483256E-5 | 0.0037273085 | 78.49732 | 0.00368 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779681E-4 | 0.005874905 | 10.164757 | 0.0053 | 0.006007948 | 0.005765918 | 0.012715614 | 2.205306 | 0.00699 |
6.3 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079612E-5 | 0.0029110475 | 262.73914 | 0.0029 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483256E-5 | 0.0037273085 | 78.49732 | 0.00368 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779681E-4 | 0.005874905 | 10.164757 | 0.0053 | 0.006007948 | 0.005765918 | 0.012715614 | 2.205306 | 0.00699 |
6.4 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079612E-5 | 0.0029110475 | 262.73914 | 0.0029 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483256E-5 | 0.0037273085 | 78.49732 | 0.00368 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779681E-4 | 0.005874905 | 10.164757 | 0.0053 | 0.006007948 | 0.005765918 | 0.012715614 | 2.205306 | 0.00699 |
6.5 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079612E-5 | 0.0029110475 | 262.73914 | 0.0029 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483256E-5 | 0.0037273085 | 78.49732 | 0.00368 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779681E-4 | 0.005874905 | 10.164757 | 0.0053 | 0.006007948 | 0.005765918 | 0.012715614 | 2.205306 | 0.00699 |
6.6 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.9356042E-6 | 0.0023569192 | 339.82898 | 0.00235 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.9723697E-5 | 0.0029196378 | 98.22594 | 0.00289 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.6182883E-4 | 0.0043103998 | 11.912814 | 0.00395 | 0.003951 | 0.0036126887 | 0.008514915 | 2.3569465 | 0.00492 |
6.7 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.9356042E-6 | 0.0023569192 | 339.82898 | 0.00235 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.9723697E-5 | 0.0029196378 | 98.22594 | 0.00289 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.6182883E-4 | 0.0043103998 | 11.912814 | 0.00395 | 0.003951 | 0.0036126887 | 0.008514915 | 2.3569465 | 0.00492 |
6.8 | 5.9026956E-6 | 5.179362E-6 | 0.002005169 | 387.14597 | 0.002 | 2.5297022E-5 | 2.2197082E-5 | 0.002412144 | 108.66942 | 0.00239 | 3.0794772E-4 | 2.7021713E-4 | 0.0034993442 | 12.95012 | 0.00323 | 0.0030752132 | 0.002699002 | 0.006708152 | 2.4854195 | 0.00402 |
6.9 | 5.0118915E-6 | 4.2523943E-6 | 0.0018342446 | 431.34393 | 0.00183 | 2.1479358E-5 | 1.8224424E-5 | 0.0021381858 | 117.32529 | 0.00212 | 2.614798E-4 | 2.2186051E-4 | 0.0030612305 | 13.7979965 | 0.00284 | 0.0026117235 | 0.0022164627 | 0.0057486165 | 2.5935996 | 0.00354 |
7.0 | 4.4924795E-6 | 3.7138868E-6 | 0.001593708 | 429.1213 | 0.00159 | 1.925334E-5 | 1.5916565E-5 | 0.0018658871 | 117.22926 | 0.00185 | 2.3438422E-4 | 1.9376757E-4 | 0.002663289 | 13.744761 | 0.00247 | 0.0023413717 | 0.0019360491 | 0.0049701636 | 2.567168 | 0.00304 |
7.1 | 3.9118436E-6 | 3.1119469E-6 | 0.0012131082 | 389.8229 | 0.00121 | 1.6764936E-5 | 1.333685E-5 | 0.001423318 | 106.7207 | 0.00141 | 2.0409399E-4 | 1.6236462E-4 | 0.0021220464 | 13.069635 | 0.00196 | 0.0020390663 | 0.0016225161 | 0.0040485733 | 2.495244 | 0.00243 |
7.2 | 3.4200818E-6 | 2.6054236E-6 | 0.0011026026 | 423.1951 | 0.0011 | 1.4657411E-5 | 1.11660565E-5 | 0.0012811519 | 114.73629 | 0.00127 | 1.7843937E-4 | 1.3593875E-4 | 0.001825709 | 13.430379 | 0.00169 | 0.0017829615 | 0.0013586058 | 0.0034557527 | 2.5436022 | 0.0021 |
7.3 | 2.6593618E-6 | 1.8283897E-6 | 7.918269E-4 | 433.0734 | 7.9E-4 | 1.13972155E-5 | 7.8359335E-6 | 9.278287E-4 | 118.406906 | 9.2E-4 | 1.3875226E-4 | 9.539862E-5 | 0.0012952841 | 13.5776 | 0.0012 | 0.0013866565 | 9.536055E-4 | 0.0024222038 | 2.540048 | 0.00147 |
7.4 | 2.2577992E-6 | 1.4364078E-6 | 5.914356E-4 | 411.74628 | 5.9E-4 | 9.676246E-6 | 6.1560204E-6 | 6.761519E-4 | 109.83588 | 6.7E-4 | 1.1780193E-4 | 7.4947224E-5 | 9.748798E-4 | 13.00755 | 9.0E-4 | 0.001177395 | 7.4924453E-4 | 0.0017984578 | 2.4003615 | 0.00105 |
7.5 | 1.489319E-6 | 7.353661E-7 | 3.2073513E-4 | 436.1571 | 3.2E-4 | 6.3827797E-6 | 3.1515651E-6 | 3.5315045E-4 | 112.05558 | 3.5E-4 | 7.770758E-5 | 3.8369635E-5 | 5.183512E-4 | 13.509413 | 4.8E-4 | 7.7680405E-4 | 3.8363054E-4 | 9.5341186E-4 | 2.4852345 | 5.7E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.65941E-7 | 1.7046586E-4 | 365.85287 | 1.7E-4 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.9968884E-6 | 1.9199651E-4 | 96.147835 | 1.9E-4 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.4311848E-5 | 2.8430554E-4 | 11.694114 | 2.6E-4 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.4309216E-4 | 5.7301193E-4 | 2.3571799 | 3.3E-4 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5578539E-7 | 5.0155777E-5 | 321.9543 | 5.0E-5 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.676515E-7 | 5.066762E-5 | 75.88932 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.128628E-6 | 8.812798E-5 | 10.84168 | 8.0E-5 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.128342E-5 | 1.9127448E-4 | 2.3531795 | 1.1E-4 |
Garlock (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.5181727E-5 | 2.5197181E-5 | 0.0024251367 | 96.246346 | 0.0024 | 1.0791722E-4 | 1.0798347E-4 | 0.003177652 | 29.427208 | 0.00307 | 0.0013131002 | 0.0013139093 | 0.005927839 | 4.5116043 | 0.00462 | 0.013053683 | 0.013141794 | 0.019053075 | 1.4498078 | 0.00599 |
6.1 | 2.5077732E-5 | 2.5098223E-5 | 0.002425038 | 96.621895 | 0.0024 | 1.0747157E-4 | 1.075594E-4 | 0.003177229 | 29.539299 | 0.00307 | 0.001307681 | 0.0013087525 | 0.005922706 | 4.5254593 | 0.00462 | 0.013000126 | 0.013090835 | 0.01900242 | 1.4515821 | 0.00599 |
6.2 | 2.494612E-5 | 2.4979914E-5 | 0.00242492 | 97.07479 | 0.0024 | 1.0690756E-4 | 1.070524E-4 | 0.0031767238 | 29.674473 | 0.00307 | 0.0013008224 | 0.0013025872 | 0.0059165694 | 4.5421677 | 0.00462 | 0.012932341 | 0.013029906 | 0.018941857 | 1.4537216 | 0.00599 |
6.3 | 2.4733758E-5 | 2.4799276E-5 | 0.0024247398 | 97.77462 | 0.0024 | 1.0599751E-4 | 1.06278305E-4 | 0.003175952 | 29.883352 | 0.00307 | 0.0012897556 | 0.0012931736 | 0.0059071993 | 4.567986 | 0.00462 | 0.012822957 | 0.0129368715 | 0.01884938 | 1.4570277 | 0.00599 |
6.4 | 2.3237335E-5 | 2.3178607E-5 | 0.002423123 | 104.54135 | 0.0024 | 9.958477E-5 | 9.933313E-5 | 0.003169028 | 31.903036 | 0.00307 | 0.0012117702 | 0.0012087126 | 0.0058031525 | 4.801102 | 0.0046 | 0.012051838 | 0.012101731 | 0.017989606 | 1.4865315 | 0.00596 |
6.5 | 2.2732203E-5 | 2.2992977E-5 | 0.002422938 | 105.377304 | 0.0024 | 9.742009E-5 | 9.8537625E-5 | 0.003168235 | 32.152542 | 0.00307 | 0.0011854442 | 0.0011990381 | 0.0057935226 | 4.8318086 | 0.0046 | 0.011791403 | 0.012006035 | 0.01789448 | 1.4904569 | 0.00596 |
6.6 | 2.1319436E-5 | 2.1773201E-5 | 0.002421721 | 111.224846 | 0.0024 | 9.136581E-5 | 9.3310395E-5 | 0.003153025 | 33.790714 | 0.00306 | 0.001111811 | 0.0011354643 | 0.0057202526 | 5.037809 | 0.00459 | 0.011062649 | 0.011376952 | 0.017249372 | 1.5161682 | 0.00594 |
6.7 | 1.970802E-5 | 2.0393094E-5 | 0.0024203442 | 118.684494 | 0.0024 | 8.446021E-5 | 8.739606E-5 | 0.0031371296 | 35.89555 | 0.00305 | 0.001027818 | 0.0010635294 | 0.0056386585 | 5.301836 | 0.00458 | 0.010230771 | 0.0106646875 | 0.016521553 | 1.549183 | 0.00592 |
6.8 | 1.8744462E-5 | 1.9900775E-5 | 0.0023998534 | 120.59095 | 0.00238 | 8.033094E-5 | 8.528626E-5 | 0.003115028 | 36.524384 | 0.00303 | 9.775903E-4 | 0.0010378672 | 0.0055831447 | 5.3794403 | 0.00455 | 0.009733009 | 0.010410495 | 0.016239177 | 1.5598853 | 0.00589 |
6.9 | 1.7559682E-5 | 1.8953151E-5 | 0.0023889083 | 126.0428 | 0.00237 | 7.5253614E-5 | 8.122527E-5 | 0.00310098 | 38.17753 | 0.00302 | 9.158276E-4 | 9.884704E-4 | 0.005484022 | 5.547988 | 0.0045 | 0.0091206245 | 0.009921073 | 0.015693232 | 1.5818081 | 0.00583 |
7.0 | 1.6794445E-5 | 1.8215967E-5 | 0.0023581733 | 129.45639 | 0.00234 | 7.197421E-5 | 7.806611E-5 | 0.0030578335 | 39.169796 | 0.00298 | 8.759337E-4 | 9.5004175E-4 | 0.0053958143 | 5.6795545 | 0.00445 | 0.008724891 | 0.009539958 | 0.015245008 | 1.5980163 | 0.00576 |
7.1 | 1.6337795E-5 | 1.771677E-5 | 0.0023376758 | 131.94707 | 0.00232 | 7.0017246E-5 | 7.592681E-5 | 0.003035702 | 39.981953 | 0.00296 | 8.521265E-4 | 9.2401815E-4 | 0.005339934 | 5.7790356 | 0.00442 | 0.008488664 | 0.009281721 | 0.014938722 | 1.6094776 | 0.00571 |
7.2 | 1.5780008E-5 | 1.71654E-5 | 0.0022971262 | 133.82306 | 0.00228 | 6.762685E-5 | 7.3563926E-5 | 0.0029833498 | 40.55452 | 0.00291 | 8.2304585E-4 | 8.952741E-4 | 0.0052613616 | 5.8768167 | 0.00437 | 0.008200042 | 0.008996559 | 0.014595728 | 1.6223679 | 0.00565 |
7.3 | 1.5058865E-5 | 1.6618484E-5 | 0.0022865809 | 137.59264 | 0.00227 | 6.45364E-5 | 7.122013E-5 | 0.0029710135 | 41.715923 | 0.0029 | 7.854473E-4 | 8.667614E-4 | 0.005203 | 6.002805 | 0.00434 | 0.00782677 | 0.008713263 | 0.014284295 | 1.6393737 | 0.00562 |
7.4 | 1.4887923E-5 | 1.6454453E-5 | 0.0022464178 | 136.52339 | 0.00223 | 6.380382E-5 | 7.0517184E-5 | 0.002910317 | 41.27103 | 0.00284 | 7.7653467E-4 | 8.5820974E-4 | 0.005114554 | 5.959562 | 0.00426 | 0.0077382675 | 0.008628101 | 0.01409056 | 1.633101 | 0.00551 |
7.5 | 1.4509299E-5 | 1.6046468E-5 | 0.0020660136 | 128.75192 | 0.00205 | 6.218123E-5 | 6.876877E-5 | 0.0026185934 | 38.07823 | 0.00255 | 7.567935E-4 | 8.369394E-4 | 0.004733675 | 5.655936 | 0.0039 | 0.0075422134 | 0.008416411 | 0.01339416 | 1.5914338 | 0.00502 |
7.6 | 1.2756717E-5 | 1.4050529E-5 | 0.001404031 | 99.92727 | 0.00139 | 5.4670498E-5 | 6.0215163E-5 | 0.0018101098 | 30.060696 | 0.00175 | 6.6541E-4 | 7.328737E-4 | 0.0033709388 | 4.599618 | 0.00264 | 0.006634211 | 0.007381374 | 0.010686794 | 1.4478055 | 0.00333 |
7.7 | 1.0328985E-5 | 1.146033E-5 | 7.714516E-4 | 67.31496 | 7.6E-4 | 4.4266326E-5 | 4.9114777E-5 | 0.0010490656 | 21.35947 | 0.001 | 5.388092E-4 | 5.9780874E-4 | 0.0021668703 | 3.624688 | 0.00157 | 0.0053750467 | 0.006038286 | 0.008056028 | 1.3341582 | 0.00203 |
7.8 | 7.0306583E-6 | 8.899537E-6 | 5.18895E-4 | 58.305843 | 5.1E-4 | 3.0131043E-5 | 3.8140315E-5 | 7.181144E-4 | 18.828224 | 6.8E-4 | 3.667837E-4 | 4.6425956E-4 | 0.0015337628 | 3.3036752 | 0.00107 | 0.003661789 | 0.0046950667 | 0.0060884934 | 1.2967854 | 0.0014 |
7.9 | 4.060633E-6 | 5.465412E-6 | 2.8546387E-4 | 52.23099 | 2.8E-4 | 1.7402595E-5 | 2.3422985E-5 | 4.1341386E-4 | 17.649921 | 3.9E-4 | 2.11856E-4 | 2.8513762E-4 | 9.249551E-4 | 3.2438903 | 6.4E-4 | 0.0021165414 | 0.002884143 | 0.003751634 | 1.3007793 | 8.7E-4 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.0775192E-6 | 1.12077294E-4 | 53.947655 | 1.1E-4 | 7.169782E-6 | 8.903624E-6 | 1.789021E-4 | 20.09318 | 1.7E-4 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.0839626E-4 | 3.883659E-4 | 3.582835 | 2.8E-4 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.001096854 | 0.0014564592 | 1.3278514 | 3.6E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1489736E-7 | 2.031489E-5 | 64.51273 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3495595E-6 | 2.1349533E-5 | 15.81963 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.643078E-5 | 4.6430287E-5 | 2.8258114 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.662928E-4 | 2.0628615E-4 | 1.2404996 | 4.0E-5 |
McLean Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7360222E-5 | 1.8501627E-5 | 0.0010484826 | 56.669746 | 0.00103 | 7.439883E-5 | 7.9290556E-5 | 0.0016691645 | 21.05124 | 0.00159 | 9.0542925E-4 | 9.6498354E-4 | 0.004091963 | 4.2404485 | 0.00313 | 0.009017491 | 0.0096127745 | 0.014455768 | 1.5038081 | 0.00489 |
6.1 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.592193E-6 | 5.095874E-4 | 53.12522 | 5.0E-4 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.1108804E-5 | 8.2107674E-4 | 19.973259 | 7.8E-4 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.003936E-4 | 0.002049618 | 4.0960116 | 0.00155 | 0.0047176396 | 0.004993552 | 0.007510918 | 1.5041234 | 0.00253 |
6.2 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.592193E-6 | 5.095874E-4 | 53.12522 | 5.0E-4 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.1108804E-5 | 8.2107674E-4 | 19.973259 | 7.8E-4 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.003936E-4 | 0.002049618 | 4.0960116 | 0.00155 | 0.0047176396 | 0.004993552 | 0.007510918 | 1.5041234 | 0.00253 |
6.3 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.66771E-6 | 4.1766456E-4 | 54.470577 | 4.1E-4 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.2861237E-5 | 6.028425E-4 | 18.345095 | 5.7E-4 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0001926E-4 | 0.0015195712 | 3.7987452 | 0.00112 | 0.0037797375 | 0.0039936965 | 0.0059060287 | 1.4788376 | 0.00192 |
6.4 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.66771E-6 | 4.1766456E-4 | 54.470577 | 4.1E-4 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.2861237E-5 | 6.028425E-4 | 18.345095 | 5.7E-4 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0001926E-4 | 0.0015195712 | 3.7987452 | 0.00112 | 0.0037797375 | 0.0039936965 | 0.0059060287 | 1.4788376 | 0.00192 |
6.5 | 6.06582E-6 | 6.4038773E-6 | 3.3640178E-4 | 52.530952 | 3.3E-4 | 2.5996113E-5 | 2.7444936E-5 | 4.97432E-4 | 18.12473 | 4.7E-4 | 3.164567E-4 | 3.3409733E-4 | 0.0013037733 | 3.9023755 | 9.7E-4 | 0.0031600643 | 0.0033365893 | 0.005001017 | 1.4988412 | 0.00167 |
6.6 | 5.598744E-6 | 5.910262E-6 | 3.059085E-4 | 51.75887 | 3.0E-4 | 2.3994397E-5 | 2.5329486E-5 | 4.4531884E-4 | 17.581045 | 4.2E-4 | 2.9209262E-4 | 3.0834923E-4 | 0.0011680841 | 3.7881854 | 8.6E-4 | 0.0029170897 | 0.003079843 | 0.004555285 | 1.479064 | 0.00148 |
6.7 | 5.246996E-6 | 5.539162E-6 | 2.6553773E-4 | 47.938248 | 2.6E-4 | 2.2486933E-5 | 2.3739085E-5 | 4.1372984E-4 | 17.428213 | 3.9E-4 | 2.73744E-4 | 2.8899137E-4 | 0.0010987573 | 3.8020418 | 8.1E-4 | 0.0027340704 | 0.0028867796 | 0.004272767 | 1.4801154 | 0.00139 |
6.8 | 4.02324E-6 | 4.2469046E-6 | 1.942461E-4 | 45.738277 | 1.9E-4 | 1.7242342E-5 | 1.8200926E-5 | 2.9819584E-4 | 16.383553 | 2.8E-4 | 2.099053E-4 | 2.2157968E-4 | 8.1144896E-4 | 3.662109 | 5.9E-4 | 0.0020970714 | 0.002214172 | 0.0032518692 | 1.4686615 | 0.00104 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.1399285E-7 | 5.0713956E-5 | 71.02866 | 5.0E-5 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0599674E-6 | 8.305972E-5 | 27.14399 | 8.0E-5 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.7254784E-5 | 1.5725031E-4 | 4.2209425 | 1.2E-4 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7251666E-4 | 5.224608E-4 | 1.4025166 | 1.5E-4 |
Gravel Hills-Harper Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.1464628E-5 | 0.0015314175 | 48.67108 | 0.0015 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3484266E-4 | 0.0021745677 | 16.126705 | 0.00204 | 0.0015995599 | 0.00164069 | 0.004855407 | 2.959369 | 0.00322 | 0.015880952 | 0.016307337 | 0.020851998 | 1.2786881 | 0.00462 |
6.1 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.1464628E-5 | 0.0015314175 | 48.67108 | 0.0015 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3484266E-4 | 0.0021745677 | 16.126705 | 0.00204 | 0.0015995599 | 0.00164069 | 0.004855407 | 2.959369 | 0.00322 | 0.015880952 | 0.016307337 | 0.020851998 | 1.2786881 | 0.00462 |
6.2 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.36352E-5 | 4.536292E-4 | 33.26898 | 4.4E-4 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.843533E-5 | 6.584003E-4 | 11.26716 | 6.0E-4 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.112298E-4 | 0.0016605541 | 2.3347645 | 9.5E-4 | 0.007871548 | 0.007090737 | 0.008570172 | 1.2086433 | 0.00149 |
6.3 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.36352E-5 | 4.536292E-4 | 33.26898 | 4.4E-4 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.843533E-5 | 6.584003E-4 | 11.26716 | 6.0E-4 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.112298E-4 | 0.0016605541 | 2.3347645 | 9.5E-4 | 0.007871548 | 0.007090737 | 0.008570172 | 1.2086433 | 0.00149 |
6.4 | 1.2532521E-5 | 1.0689684E-5 | 3.2068638E-4 | 29.999613 | 3.1E-4 | 5.37097E-5 | 4.581216E-5 | 4.5579337E-4 | 9.949179 | 4.1E-4 | 6.537194E-4 | 5.5762613E-4 | 0.0011772804 | 2.111236 | 6.2E-4 | 0.0065179965 | 0.005562859 | 0.0064876857 | 1.1662502 | 9.3E-4 |
6.5 | 1.1094058E-5 | 9.083657E-6 | 1.9908193E-4 | 21.916496 | 1.9E-4 | 4.7545094E-5 | 3.89294E-5 | 2.5892083E-4 | 6.6510363 | 2.2E-4 | 5.787078E-4 | 4.7386638E-4 | 8.237005E-4 | 1.7382548 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0057720304 | 0.004728967 | 0.005306224 | 1.1220684 | 5.8E-4 |
6.6 | 9.688328E-6 | 7.531688E-6 | 1.375307E-4 | 18.260277 | 1.3E-4 | 4.1520743E-5 | 3.227828E-5 | 1.8227343E-4 | 5.646938 | 1.5E-4 | 5.053978E-4 | 3.9291973E-4 | 6.428215E-4 | 1.6360123 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0050424994 | 0.0039225067 | 0.0043408596 | 1.1066544 | 4.2E-4 |
6.7 | 8.974824E-6 | 6.749406E-6 | 1.267486E-4 | 18.779222 | 1.2E-4 | 3.8462964E-5 | 2.8925719E-5 | 1.5892196E-4 | 5.4941406 | 1.3E-4 | 4.6818596E-4 | 3.5211592E-4 | 5.6204194E-4 | 1.5961845 | 2.1E-4 | 0.004672008 | 0.003515801 | 0.0038446407 | 1.093532 | 3.3E-4 |
6.8 | 7.4780046E-6 | 5.1161865E-6 | 4.5115983E-5 | 8.818283 | 4.0E-5 | 3.20482E-5 | 2.1926337E-5 | 6.192546E-5 | 2.8242502 | 4.0E-5 | 3.9011694E-4 | 2.6692182E-4 | 3.568978E-4 | 1.3370874 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0038943281 | 0.0026661505 | 0.0027858305 | 1.0448887 | 1.2E-4 |
6.9 | 6.3409307E-6 | 3.907489E-6 | 2.390741E-5 | 6.1183567 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7175134E-5 | 1.674628E-5 | 3.6745943E-5 | 2.1942751 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3080703E-4 | 2.0386786E-4 | 2.6385565E-4 | 1.2942482 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0033031502 | 0.0020369065 | 0.0021167437 | 1.0391953 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.1239335E-6 | 2.6058492E-6 | 2.6058492E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.195953E-5 | 1.1167879E-5 | 1.1167879E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6732447E-4 | 1.359607E-4 | 1.4595933E-4 | 1.0735407 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026700313 | 0.0013588005 | 0.0013887597 | 1.0220484 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.438899E-6 | 2.0984692E-6 | 2.0984692E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9023713E-5 | 8.99341E-6 | 8.99341E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.315891E-4 | 1.0948948E-4 | 1.1948839E-4 | 1.091323 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002313479 | 0.0010943774 | 0.0011243445 | 1.0273829 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.50367E-6 | 1.2615715E-6 | 1.2615715E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5015643E-5 | 5.406724E-6 | 5.406724E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8280011E-4 | 6.5824956E-5 | 6.5824956E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264982 | 6.580628E-4 | 6.780497E-4 | 1.0303723 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.561638E-6 | 7.118686E-7 | 7.118686E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0978401E-5 | 3.050862E-6 | 3.050862E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3365384E-4 | 3.7143633E-5 | 3.7143633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013357349 | 3.7137623E-4 | 3.8137252E-4 | 1.0269169 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0368864E-6 | 5.304471E-7 | 5.304471E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.729483E-6 | 2.2733427E-6 | 2.2733427E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06276275E-4 | 2.76776E-5 | 2.76776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010622547 | 2.767421E-4 | 2.8673932E-4 | 1.0361247 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6028484E-7 | 3.6028484E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.544077E-6 | 1.544077E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.879898E-5 | 1.879898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8797436E-4 | 1.9797249E-4 | 1.0531888 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.1196716E-8 | 7.1196716E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.0512876E-7 | 3.0512876E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.714938E-6 | 3.714938E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.7148915E-5 | 3.7148915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Goldstone Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0376103E-5 | 7.1035547E-4 | 23.385338 | 6.8E-4 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3017791E-4 | 0.0012400334 | 9.525682 | 0.00111 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015839601 | 0.0038703328 | 2.4434536 | 0.00229 | 0.013842222 | 0.015746202 | 0.019289516 | 1.2250266 | 0.0036 |
6.1 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0376103E-5 | 7.1035547E-4 | 23.385338 | 6.8E-4 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3017791E-4 | 0.0012400334 | 9.525682 | 0.00111 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015839601 | 0.0038703328 | 2.4434536 | 0.00229 | 0.013842222 | 0.015746202 | 0.019289516 | 1.2250266 | 0.0036 |
6.2 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6096254E-5 | 2.860919E-4 | 17.773819 | 2.7E-4 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.898268E-5 | 5.6894816E-4 | 8.247696 | 5.0E-4 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.3963916E-4 | 0.00202864 | 2.4160855 | 0.00119 | 0.007380498 | 0.008374364 | 0.010357616 | 1.2368242 | 0.002 |
6.3 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6096254E-5 | 2.860919E-4 | 17.773819 | 2.7E-4 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.898268E-5 | 5.6894816E-4 | 8.247696 | 5.0E-4 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.3963916E-4 | 0.00202864 | 2.4160855 | 0.00119 | 0.007380498 | 0.008374364 | 0.010357616 | 1.2368242 | 0.002 |
6.4 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.500847E-5 | 2.7500457E-4 | 18.323292 | 2.6E-4 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.432098E-5 | 5.3429074E-4 | 8.306633 | 4.7E-4 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.8292453E-4 | 0.001862079 | 2.3783634 | 0.00108 | 0.006884126 | 0.007811289 | 0.009646838 | 1.2349867 | 0.00185 |
6.5 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.500847E-5 | 2.7500457E-4 | 18.323292 | 2.6E-4 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.432098E-5 | 5.3429074E-4 | 8.306633 | 4.7E-4 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.8292453E-4 | 0.001862079 | 2.3783634 | 0.00108 | 0.006884126 | 0.007811289 | 0.009646838 | 1.2349867 | 0.00185 |
6.6 | 1.1328278E-5 | 1.2855176E-5 | 2.528521E-4 | 19.669283 | 2.4E-4 | 4.8548856E-5 | 5.5092984E-5 | 4.650704E-4 | 8.441554 | 4.1E-4 | 5.90922E-4 | 6.706464E-4 | 0.0016499892 | 2.4602969 | 9.8E-4 | 0.0058935313 | 0.0066956137 | 0.008304766 | 1.2403294 | 0.00162 |
6.7 | 8.651175E-6 | 9.824575E-6 | 1.9982271E-4 | 20.33907 | 1.9E-4 | 3.707594E-5 | 4.2105148E-5 | 3.7209125E-4 | 8.837192 | 3.3E-4 | 4.5130608E-4 | 5.126002E-4 | 0.0012222362 | 2.384385 | 7.1E-4 | 0.0045039062 | 0.0051230565 | 0.006287062 | 1.2272093 | 0.00117 |
6.8 | 1.0215377E-6 | 1.1754802E-6 | 1.1175468E-5 | 9.507152 | 1.0E-5 | 4.378012E-6 | 5.037763E-6 | 1.5037713E-5 | 2.984998 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3300988E-5 | 6.133315E-5 | 8.133193E-5 | 1.3260679 | 2.0E-5 | 5.3288206E-4 | 6.131735E-4 | 6.7313673E-4 | 1.0977916 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.9360774E-7 | 9.283496E-7 | 9.283496E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4011714E-6 | 3.9786355E-6 | 3.9786355E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1408475E-5 | 4.843888E-5 | 4.843888E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.140076E-4 | 4.842902E-4 | 5.142757E-4 | 1.0619164 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.4382757E-7 | 8.747428E-7 | 8.747428E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1878285E-6 | 3.7488926E-6 | 3.7488926E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8811122E-5 | 4.564188E-5 | 4.564188E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8804344E-4 | 4.563317E-4 | 4.8631802E-4 | 1.0657116 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.4709513E-7 | 7.711399E-7 | 7.711399E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.773262E-6 | 3.3048816E-6 | 3.3048816E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.376394E-5 | 4.023625E-5 | 4.023625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.375881E-4 | 4.022956E-4 | 4.3228353E-4 | 1.074542 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.356704E-7 | 7.588459E-7 | 7.588459E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7242988E-6 | 3.252193E-6 | 3.252193E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3167835E-5 | 3.959479E-5 | 3.959479E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3162883E-4 | 3.9588328E-4 | 4.258714E-4 | 1.0757499 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.7695723E-7 | 6.896648E-7 | 6.896648E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4726714E-6 | 2.9557032E-6 | 2.9557032E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0104358E-5 | 3.598515E-5 | 3.598515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0100282E-4 | 3.5979896E-4 | 3.8978818E-4 | 1.08335 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.209647E-7 | 6.193583E-7 | 6.193583E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.232704E-6 | 2.6543903E-6 | 2.6543903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.718283E-5 | 3.2316777E-5 | 3.2316777E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7179506E-4 | 3.2312635E-4 | 3.5311666E-4 | 1.0928129 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.512955E-7 | 5.3489487E-7 | 5.3489487E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.934122E-6 | 2.2924048E-6 | 2.2924048E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3547682E-5 | 2.7909726E-5 | 2.7909726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3545188E-4 | 2.7906752E-4 | 2.9906194E-4 | 1.0716473 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.5586523E-4 | 1.1471817 | 2.0E-5 |
Coyote Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0364317E-5 | 5.503437E-4 | 13.634413 | 5.1E-4 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7297991E-4 | 9.6284325E-4 | 5.5662146 | 7.9E-4 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0021042533 | 0.0038605498 | 1.8346412 | 0.00176 | 0.018143194 | 0.020869205 | 0.023640145 | 1.1327765 | 0.00283 |
6.1 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0364317E-5 | 5.503437E-4 | 13.634413 | 5.1E-4 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7297991E-4 | 9.6284325E-4 | 5.5662146 | 7.9E-4 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0021042533 | 0.0038605498 | 1.8346412 | 0.00176 | 0.018143194 | 0.020869205 | 0.023640145 | 1.1327765 | 0.00283 |
6.2 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1059794E-5 | 2.4105515E-4 | 11.446226 | 2.2E-4 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.025371E-5 | 4.4022212E-4 | 4.877607 | 3.5E-4 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010983871 | 0.0019874095 | 1.8093891 | 8.9E-4 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010939668 | 0.0125023825 | 1.1428485 | 0.00158 |
6.3 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1059794E-5 | 2.4105515E-4 | 11.446226 | 2.2E-4 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.025371E-5 | 4.4022212E-4 | 4.877607 | 3.5E-4 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010983871 | 0.0019874095 | 1.8093891 | 8.9E-4 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010939668 | 0.0125023825 | 1.1428485 | 0.00158 |
6.4 | 1.712201E-5 | 1.9565212E-5 | 2.0956149E-4 | 10.710924 | 1.9E-4 | 7.337798E-5 | 8.3848776E-5 | 3.8382362E-4 | 4.5775695 | 3.0E-4 | 8.930107E-4 | 0.0010204813 | 0.001819665 | 1.7831438 | 8.0E-4 | 0.008894307 | 0.010167871 | 0.011632822 | 1.1440766 | 0.00148 |
6.5 | 1.4744935E-5 | 1.6836972E-5 | 1.9683393E-4 | 11.690578 | 1.8E-4 | 6.3191044E-5 | 7.215698E-5 | 3.6213605E-4 | 5.018725 | 2.9E-4 | 7.6907943E-4 | 8.782507E-4 | 0.0016375832 | 1.8645966 | 7.6E-4 | 0.007664232 | 0.008756994 | 0.010134823 | 1.1573403 | 0.00139 |
6.6 | 1.2017839E-5 | 1.3724089E-5 | 1.3372244E-4 | 9.743629 | 1.2E-4 | 5.150401E-5 | 5.88167E-5 | 2.8880316E-4 | 4.910224 | 2.3E-4 | 6.268809E-4 | 7.159466E-4 | 0.0013355027 | 1.8653663 | 6.2E-4 | 0.0062511545 | 0.0071450938 | 0.008326591 | 1.1653578 | 0.00119 |
6.7 | 1.00956095E-5 | 1.1533517E-5 | 1.2153225E-4 | 10.537311 | 1.1E-4 | 4.326618E-5 | 4.942891E-5 | 2.5941854E-4 | 5.248316 | 2.1E-4 | 5.266384E-4 | 6.017178E-4 | 0.0011513869 | 1.9134997 | 5.5E-4 | 0.005253921 | 0.0060094125 | 0.0070729824 | 1.176984 | 0.00107 |
San Andreas (Mojave S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7462435E-4 | 0.0016639564 | 2.4664934 | 9.9E-4 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002888172 | 0.0041943886 | 1.4522641 | 0.00131 | 0.016080605 | 0.034565594 | 0.036612317 | 1.0592127 | 0.00212 | 0.1496549 | 0.28654557 | 0.2885932 | 1.0071459 | 0.00287 |
6.1 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7462435E-4 | 0.0016639564 | 2.4664934 | 9.9E-4 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002888172 | 0.0041943886 | 1.4522641 | 0.00131 | 0.016080605 | 0.034565594 | 0.036612317 | 1.0592127 | 0.00212 | 0.1496549 | 0.28654557 | 0.2885932 | 1.0071459 | 0.00287 |
6.2 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7462435E-4 | 0.0016639564 | 2.4664934 | 9.9E-4 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002888172 | 0.0041943886 | 1.4522641 | 0.00131 | 0.016080605 | 0.034565594 | 0.036612317 | 1.0592127 | 0.00212 | 0.1496549 | 0.28654557 | 0.2885932 | 1.0071459 | 0.00287 |
6.3 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7462435E-4 | 0.0016639564 | 2.4664934 | 9.9E-4 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002888172 | 0.0041943886 | 1.4522641 | 0.00131 | 0.016080605 | 0.034565594 | 0.036612317 | 1.0592127 | 0.00212 | 0.1496549 | 0.28654557 | 0.2885932 | 1.0071459 | 0.00287 |
6.4 | 1.9872203E-4 | 4.3181062E-4 | 0.0013214264 | 3.0601988 | 8.9E-4 | 8.5138786E-4 | 0.0018493326 | 0.003017169 | 1.6314907 | 0.00117 | 0.010316478 | 0.02228931 | 0.024088299 | 1.0807108 | 0.00184 | 0.098504856 | 0.19686839 | 0.19887622 | 1.0101988 | 0.0025 |
6.5 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.8754136E-4 | 0.0010773143 | 3.7466407 | 7.9E-4 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012317409 | 0.0022804476 | 1.8514019 | 0.00105 | 0.006714592 | 0.014894155 | 0.016509729 | 1.1084703 | 0.00164 | 0.065152965 | 0.13800792 | 0.13988708 | 1.0136162 | 0.00218 |
6.6 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.8754136E-4 | 0.0010773143 | 3.7466407 | 7.9E-4 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012317409 | 0.0022804476 | 1.8514019 | 0.00105 | 0.006714592 | 0.014894155 | 0.016509729 | 1.1084703 | 0.00164 | 0.065152965 | 0.13800792 | 0.13988708 | 1.0136162 | 0.00218 |
6.7 | 1.08001186E-4 | 2.4335351E-4 | 0.0010031685 | 4.1222687 | 7.6E-4 | 4.6278012E-4 | 0.0010425274 | 0.0020514743 | 1.9677895 | 0.00101 | 0.0056198016 | 0.0126192 | 0.014139766 | 1.1204963 | 0.00154 | 0.054797906 | 0.11918431 | 0.120954745 | 1.0148547 | 0.00201 |
6.8 | 1.0624356E-4 | 2.3853009E-4 | 9.983488E-4 | 4.185421 | 7.6E-4 | 4.5525006E-4 | 0.0010218718 | 0.0020308397 | 1.9873723 | 0.00101 | 0.0055285925 | 0.012370593 | 0.013891542 | 1.1229488 | 0.00154 | 0.053930566 | 0.11713308 | 0.118907645 | 1.01515 | 0.00201 |
6.9 | 1.0393785E-4 | 2.3223337E-4 | 9.820592E-4 | 4.22876 | 7.5E-4 | 4.4537184E-4 | 9.949068E-4 | 0.0019939118 | 2.0041194 | 0.001 | 0.0054089287 | 0.012045963 | 0.013547653 | 1.1246634 | 0.00152 | 0.05279156 | 0.114433445 | 0.11619572 | 1.0154 | 0.00199 |
7.0 | 1.0155622E-4 | 2.2592908E-4 | 9.7575964E-4 | 4.318876 | 7.5E-4 | 4.3516833E-4 | 9.6790853E-4 | 0.0019669407 | 2.0321555 | 0.001 | 0.005285311 | 0.011720838 | 0.013223022 | 1.1281636 | 0.00152 | 0.05161361 | 0.11169745 | 0.113456294 | 1.0157465 | 0.00198 |
7.1 | 9.885595E-5 | 2.188132E-4 | 9.3865563E-4 | 4.2897577 | 7.2E-4 | 4.2359953E-4 | 9.374342E-4 | 0.0019065249 | 2.0337694 | 9.7E-4 | 0.0051451353 | 0.011353733 | 0.012826816 | 1.1297444 | 0.00149 | 0.05027629 | 0.10857607 | 0.11029652 | 1.0158455 | 0.00193 |
7.2 | 9.6411415E-5 | 2.1244297E-4 | 9.3229E-4 | 4.388425 | 7.2E-4 | 4.1312634E-4 | 9.101525E-4 | 0.0018792696 | 2.0647855 | 9.7E-4 | 0.005018219 | 0.011024987 | 0.012498559 | 1.1336576 | 0.00149 | 0.049064007 | 0.1057697 | 0.10748663 | 1.0162326 | 0.00192 |
7.3 | 9.1180635E-5 | 1.9472656E-4 | 9.045883E-4 | 4.6454287 | 7.1E-4 | 3.907156E-4 | 8.342756E-4 | 0.0017934747 | 2.1497388 | 9.6E-4 | 0.004746591 | 0.010110112 | 0.011575149 | 1.1449081 | 0.00148 | 0.046464786 | 0.09796176 | 0.099684656 | 1.0175874 | 0.00191 |
7.4 | 8.887388E-5 | 1.872126E-4 | 8.970797E-4 | 4.7917695 | 7.1E-4 | 3.8083247E-4 | 8.020931E-4 | 0.0017613231 | 2.1959085 | 9.6E-4 | 0.0046267817 | 0.009721855 | 0.011177564 | 1.1497357 | 0.00147 | 0.045316286 | 0.094593845 | 0.09631412 | 1.0181859 | 0.0019 |
7.5 | 8.6750515E-5 | 1.80528E-4 | 8.8040164E-4 | 4.876815 | 7.0E-4 | 3.7173493E-4 | 7.734621E-4 | 0.0017227273 | 2.2272937 | 9.5E-4 | 0.004516484 | 0.009376327 | 0.010822637 | 1.1542513 | 0.00146 | 0.04425787 | 0.09155606 | 0.09326393 | 1.0186539 | 0.00188 |
7.6 | 8.453092E-5 | 1.7440386E-4 | 8.742818E-4 | 5.0129724 | 7.0E-4 | 3.6222505E-4 | 7.4723107E-4 | 0.0016865287 | 2.2570376 | 9.4E-4 | 0.0044011753 | 0.009059664 | 0.010496528 | 1.1586001 | 0.00145 | 0.04315024 | 0.08871447 | 0.090409465 | 1.0191061 | 0.00186 |
7.7 | 8.259102E-5 | 1.6962511E-4 | 8.695064E-4 | 5.1260476 | 7.0E-4 | 3.539135E-4 | 7.267622E-4 | 0.0016560864 | 2.2787182 | 9.3E-4 | 0.004300386 | 0.0088125 | 0.010239811 | 1.1619643 | 0.00144 | 0.042181134 | 0.086465426 | 0.08814634 | 1.0194402 | 0.00184 |
7.8 | 7.444844E-5 | 1.528469E-4 | 7.3275826E-4 | 4.794067 | 5.8E-4 | 3.1902574E-4 | 6.5489375E-4 | 0.001434383 | 2.1902528 | 7.8E-4 | 0.0038772223 | 0.007944231 | 0.00916446 | 1.1535994 | 0.00123 | 0.03810269 | 0.078293875 | 0.07974096 | 1.0184827 | 0.00157 |
7.9 | 5.2586525E-5 | 1.0007023E-4 | 4.300372E-4 | 4.2973537 | 3.3E-4 | 2.2535135E-4 | 4.2880196E-4 | 8.886047E-4 | 2.0722964 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0027402006 | 0.005208178 | 0.005934376 | 1.1394342 | 7.3E-4 | 0.027066574 | 0.052201588 | 0.053111475 | 1.0174302 | 9.6E-4 |
8.0 | 3.379877E-5 | 5.4075565E-5 | 1.8406853E-4 | 3.4039135 | 1.3E-4 | 1.4484383E-4 | 2.3173184E-4 | 4.4168317E-4 | 1.9060099 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0017620471 | 0.0028176866 | 0.003136785 | 1.1132483 | 3.2E-4 | 0.017481409 | 0.028835917 | 0.029224383 | 1.0134716 | 4.0E-4 |
8.1 | 1.8668277E-5 | 1.9308145E-5 | 3.9307757E-5 | 2.0358124 | 2.0E-5 | 8.000444E-5 | 8.274657E-5 | 1.12744085E-4 | 1.3625228 | 3.0E-5 | 9.736188E-4 | 0.0010069745 | 0.0010469343 | 1.039683 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009693642 | 0.010798624 | 0.0108480835 | 1.0045803 | 5.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.541571E-6 | 5.4596358E-6 | 5.4596358E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.660622E-5 | 2.339823E-5 | 2.339823E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.455896E-4 | 2.848363E-4 | 2.848363E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044469717 | 0.003240283 | 0.003240283 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6564595E-7 | 7.6564595E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9949547E-5 | 3.9949547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.717979E-4 | 4.717979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (So)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5618314E-5 | 6.156032E-4 | 24.02981 | 5.9E-4 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0978825E-4 | 9.796928E-4 | 8.923475 | 8.7E-4 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013358692 | 0.002983665 | 2.233501 | 0.00165 | 0.010734817 | 0.013279985 | 0.015944129 | 1.2006135 | 0.0027 |
6.1 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5618314E-5 | 6.156032E-4 | 24.02981 | 5.9E-4 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0978825E-4 | 9.796928E-4 | 8.923475 | 8.7E-4 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013358692 | 0.002983665 | 2.233501 | 0.00165 | 0.010734817 | 0.013279985 | 0.015944129 | 1.2006135 | 0.0027 |
6.2 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5618314E-5 | 6.156032E-4 | 24.02981 | 5.9E-4 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0978825E-4 | 9.796928E-4 | 8.923475 | 8.7E-4 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013358692 | 0.002983665 | 2.233501 | 0.00165 | 0.010734817 | 0.013279985 | 0.015944129 | 1.2006135 | 0.0027 |
6.3 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.51184E-5 | 5.8510434E-4 | 23.293856 | 5.6E-4 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0764593E-4 | 9.475555E-4 | 8.802521 | 8.4E-4 | 0.0010555626 | 0.001309818 | 0.0028977355 | 2.2123191 | 0.00159 | 0.010505628 | 0.013022543 | 0.015568946 | 1.1955379 | 0.00258 |
6.4 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.51184E-5 | 5.8510434E-4 | 23.293856 | 5.6E-4 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0764593E-4 | 9.475555E-4 | 8.802521 | 8.4E-4 | 0.0010555626 | 0.001309818 | 0.0028977355 | 2.2123191 | 0.00159 | 0.010505628 | 0.013022543 | 0.015568946 | 1.1955379 | 0.00258 |
6.5 | 1.9962767E-5 | 2.4807652E-5 | 5.8479374E-4 | 23.57312 | 5.6E-4 | 8.55519E-5 | 1.0631427E-4 | 9.4622496E-4 | 8.900263 | 8.4E-4 | 0.0010410968 | 0.0012936244 | 0.0028516063 | 2.2043543 | 0.00156 | 0.010362327 | 0.01286249 | 0.015350076 | 1.1933985 | 0.00252 |
6.6 | 1.8937297E-5 | 2.3311462E-5 | 5.4329936E-4 | 23.306103 | 5.2E-4 | 8.115732E-5 | 9.990252E-5 | 8.798246E-4 | 8.80683 | 7.8E-4 | 9.876423E-4 | 0.0012156491 | 0.002633923 | 2.1666803 | 0.00142 | 0.009832645 | 0.0120915035 | 0.014393331 | 1.1903673 | 0.00233 |
6.7 | 1.8621096E-5 | 2.2912098E-5 | 5.329004E-4 | 23.258474 | 5.1E-4 | 7.980225E-5 | 9.8191085E-5 | 8.581165E-4 | 8.73925 | 7.6E-4 | 9.711593E-4 | 0.0011948354 | 0.0025631986 | 2.1452315 | 0.00137 | 0.009669261 | 0.011885625 | 0.014108882 | 1.1870543 | 0.00225 |
6.8 | 1.7830353E-5 | 2.1806083E-5 | 4.8179604E-4 | 22.09457 | 4.6E-4 | 7.641356E-5 | 9.3451374E-5 | 7.833869E-4 | 8.382829 | 6.9E-4 | 9.29938E-4 | 0.0011371907 | 0.0024057464 | 2.1155171 | 0.00127 | 0.009260561 | 0.01131609 | 0.0133923255 | 1.1834764 | 0.0021 |
6.9 | 1.3135183E-5 | 1.5304031E-5 | 3.8529836E-4 | 25.176268 | 3.7E-4 | 5.6292425E-5 | 6.558709E-5 | 6.0555164E-4 | 9.232788 | 5.4E-4 | 6.8514474E-4 | 7.982367E-4 | 0.0017274943 | 2.1641378 | 9.3E-4 | 0.006830362 | 0.007955158 | 0.0093341 | 1.1733394 | 0.00139 |
7.0 | 1.1507512E-5 | 1.3154237E-5 | 2.7315083E-4 | 20.765234 | 2.6E-4 | 4.9316975E-5 | 5.637412E-5 | 4.5635158E-4 | 8.095055 | 4.0E-4 | 6.002687E-4 | 6.861445E-4 | 0.0014156436 | 2.0631857 | 7.3E-4 | 0.0059864987 | 0.0068414924 | 0.007884309 | 1.1524253 | 0.00105 |
7.1 | 9.715903E-6 | 1.0865287E-5 | 1.108642E-4 | 10.203523 | 1.0E-4 | 4.1638916E-5 | 4.6564706E-5 | 1.8655819E-4 | 4.0064287 | 1.4E-4 | 5.068359E-4 | 5.667821E-4 | 8.6661207E-4 | 1.529004 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0050568148 | 0.005653834 | 0.006111233 | 1.0809007 | 4.6E-4 |
7.2 | 9.233269E-6 | 1.0286314E-5 | 9.028549E-5 | 8.777245 | 8.0E-5 | 3.9570554E-5 | 4.408348E-5 | 1.3407951E-4 | 3.041491 | 9.0E-5 | 4.81665E-4 | 5.365884E-4 | 7.0649723E-4 | 1.3166463 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0048062233 | 0.0053533595 | 0.005621914 | 1.0501657 | 2.7E-4 |
7.3 | 8.8041315E-6 | 9.808164E-6 | 7.9807476E-5 | 8.136842 | 7.0E-5 | 3.7731446E-5 | 4.2034335E-5 | 1.2203097E-4 | 2.903126 | 8.0E-5 | 4.592835E-4 | 5.1165203E-4 | 6.4158556E-4 | 1.2539489 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0045833546 | 0.005105167 | 0.0053240443 | 1.0428736 | 2.2E-4 |
7.4 | 8.708749E-6 | 9.707175E-6 | 7.970649E-5 | 8.211091 | 7.0E-5 | 3.7322676E-5 | 4.160154E-5 | 1.2159821E-4 | 2.9229257 | 8.0E-5 | 4.5430884E-4 | 5.0638523E-4 | 6.2632444E-4 | 1.2368537 | 1.2E-4 | 0.004533812 | 0.0050527398 | 0.0052616787 | 1.0413516 | 2.1E-4 |
7.5 | 8.612678E-6 | 9.604817E-6 | 7.960414E-5 | 8.28794 | 7.0E-5 | 3.6910955E-5 | 4.1162875E-5 | 1.2115958E-4 | 2.9434187 | 8.0E-5 | 4.492982E-4 | 5.01047E-4 | 6.2098686E-4 | 1.2393785 | 1.2E-4 | 0.004483909 | 0.0049995985 | 0.0052085486 | 1.0417933 | 2.1E-4 |
7.6 | 8.319024E-6 | 9.283916E-6 | 5.928345E-5 | 6.385608 | 5.0E-5 | 3.5652476E-5 | 3.978763E-5 | 9.978524E-5 | 2.5079465 | 6.0E-5 | 4.3398244E-4 | 4.8431093E-4 | 5.842625E-4 | 1.2063789 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0043313587 | 0.0048329784 | 0.00502206 | 1.0391232 | 1.9E-4 |
7.7 | 7.4718328E-6 | 8.34517E-6 | 3.834492E-5 | 4.594864 | 3.0E-5 | 3.2021748E-5 | 3.5764548E-5 | 7.576311E-5 | 2.118386 | 4.0E-5 | 3.8979502E-4 | 4.353504E-4 | 5.053199E-4 | 1.16072 | 7.0E-5 | 0.00389112 | 0.0043453807 | 0.0045046853 | 1.0366607 | 1.6E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6482615E-7 | 3.6482615E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635396E-6 | 1.5635396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9035933E-5 | 1.9035933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9034347E-4 | 1.9034347E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.396349E-5 | 6.8393536E-4 | 15.556894 | 6.4E-4 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8840231E-4 | 0.0011482214 | 6.0945187 | 9.6E-4 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022915571 | 0.003937776 | 1.7183844 | 0.00165 | 0.019349206 | 0.022697281 | 0.025169857 | 1.1089371 | 0.00253 |
6.1 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.396349E-5 | 6.8393536E-4 | 15.556894 | 6.4E-4 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8840231E-4 | 0.0011482214 | 6.0945187 | 9.6E-4 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022915571 | 0.003937776 | 1.7183844 | 0.00165 | 0.019349206 | 0.022697281 | 0.025169857 | 1.1089371 | 0.00253 |
6.2 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.396349E-5 | 6.8393536E-4 | 15.556894 | 6.4E-4 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8840231E-4 | 0.0011482214 | 6.0945187 | 9.6E-4 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022915571 | 0.003937776 | 1.7183844 | 0.00165 | 0.019349206 | 0.022697281 | 0.025169857 | 1.1089371 | 0.00253 |
6.3 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.5354384E-5 | 2.653483E-4 | 10.465578 | 2.4E-4 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0865723E-4 | 4.9861486E-4 | 4.5888786 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0010993304 | 0.0013221189 | 0.0019412993 | 1.4683242 | 6.2E-4 | 0.010939079 | 0.013144747 | 0.0140822595 | 1.0713222 | 9.5E-4 |
6.4 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.5354384E-5 | 2.653483E-4 | 10.465578 | 2.4E-4 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0865723E-4 | 4.9861486E-4 | 4.5888786 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0010993304 | 0.0013221189 | 0.0019412993 | 1.4683242 | 6.2E-4 | 0.010939079 | 0.013144747 | 0.0140822595 | 1.0713222 | 9.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.7397282E-5 | 2.0663285E-5 | 1.8065998E-4 | 8.743042 | 1.6E-4 | 7.455765E-5 | 8.8554E-5 | 3.585301E-4 | 4.048717 | 2.7E-4 | 9.073613E-4 | 0.0010776235 | 0.0015271385 | 1.4171356 | 4.5E-4 | 0.009036654 | 0.010725273 | 0.011427658 | 1.0654888 | 7.1E-4 |
6.6 | 1.52050325E-5 | 1.7680086E-5 | 1.4767778E-4 | 8.352776 | 1.3E-4 | 6.51628E-5 | 7.576964E-5 | 2.9575298E-4 | 3.9033177 | 2.2E-4 | 7.9306826E-4 | 9.221128E-4 | 0.0012817809 | 1.3900478 | 3.6E-4 | 0.007902439 | 0.009183729 | 0.009758403 | 1.0625752 | 5.8E-4 |
6.7 | 1.332523E-5 | 1.5264379E-5 | 1.252627E-4 | 8.20621 | 1.1E-4 | 5.7106878E-5 | 6.541716E-5 | 2.5540474E-4 | 3.9042466 | 1.9E-4 | 6.950544E-4 | 7.9616875E-4 | 0.0011059219 | 1.3890547 | 3.1E-4 | 0.006928845 | 0.0079337945 | 0.008409986 | 1.0600207 | 4.8E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1525329E-5 | 1.3031365E-5 | 8.3030456E-5 | 6.3715854 | 7.0E-5 | 4.9393333E-5 | 5.5847537E-5 | 1.9583972E-4 | 3.506685 | 1.4E-4 | 6.011979E-4 | 6.7973585E-4 | 9.3955913E-4 | 1.3822415 | 2.6E-4 | 0.00599574 | 0.0067770192 | 0.0071345796 | 1.0527607 | 3.6E-4 |
6.9 | 1.0253909E-5 | 1.1514835E-5 | 5.1514373E-5 | 4.4737396 | 4.0E-5 | 4.3944583E-5 | 4.934838E-5 | 1.4934344E-4 | 3.026309 | 1.0E-4 | 5.3489394E-4 | 6.006545E-4 | 8.1052835E-4 | 1.3494086 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0053360825 | 0.0059906896 | 0.0062888926 | 1.0497777 | 3.0E-4 |
7.0 | 8.104563E-6 | 8.99143E-6 | 4.899107E-5 | 5.4486403 | 4.0E-5 | 3.4733377E-5 | 3.853415E-5 | 1.1853106E-4 | 3.0760007 | 8.0E-5 | 4.2279682E-4 | 4.6905465E-4 | 6.189843E-4 | 1.3196422 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0042199334 | 0.0046808943 | 0.0048899115 | 1.0446532 | 2.1E-4 |
7.1 | 6.7986157E-6 | 7.5159796E-6 | 2.7515829E-5 | 3.6609771 | 2.0E-5 | 2.91366E-5 | 3.2210955E-5 | 8.220934E-5 | 2.5522168 | 5.0E-5 | 3.5468035E-4 | 3.9209996E-4 | 4.7206858E-4 | 1.2039496 | 8.0E-5 | 0.003541148 | 0.003914298 | 0.004033828 | 1.0305369 | 1.2E-4 |
7.2 | 5.6893327E-6 | 6.280132E-6 | 1.628007E-5 | 2.5923133 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4382627E-5 | 2.6914584E-5 | 5.6913777E-5 | 2.1146073 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9681803E-4 | 3.276378E-4 | 3.776214E-4 | 1.1525575 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002964219 | 0.003271746 | 0.0033514844 | 1.0243717 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.253348E-6 | 4.707075E-6 | 1.4707028E-5 | 3.1244516 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8228506E-5 | 2.017303E-5 | 5.0172428E-5 | 2.487104 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2190946E-4 | 2.455808E-4 | 2.9556852E-4 | 1.203549 | 5.0E-5 | 0.00221688 | 0.0024532753 | 0.0025231035 | 1.0284632 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.5448119E-6 | 2.8520594E-6 | 1.28520305E-5 | 4.5062284 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0906291E-5 | 1.2223064E-5 | 3.222282E-5 | 2.636231 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3277601E-4 | 1.4880729E-4 | 1.7880283E-4 | 1.201573 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001326967 | 0.0014872387 | 0.0015171941 | 1.0201416 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.3706837E-8 | 4.562909E-8 | 4.562909E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8731501E-7 | 1.9555324E-7 | 1.9555324E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805577E-6 | 2.3808586E-6 | 2.3808586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805343E-5 | 2.3808387E-5 | 2.3808387E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Nelson Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0192255E-5 | 5.30187E-4 | 52.01861 | 5.2E-4 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.3680422E-5 | 8.636446E-4 | 19.771893 | 8.2E-4 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.316897E-4 | 0.0020508815 | 3.8572903 | 0.00152 | 0.0051593683 | 0.005305204 | 0.0076228427 | 1.4368614 | 0.00233 |
6.1 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0192255E-5 | 5.30187E-4 | 52.01861 | 5.2E-4 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.3680422E-5 | 8.636446E-4 | 19.771893 | 8.2E-4 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.316897E-4 | 0.0020508815 | 3.8572903 | 0.00152 | 0.0051593683 | 0.005305204 | 0.0076228427 | 1.4368614 | 0.00233 |
6.2 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.696313E-6 | 2.5469513E-4 | 54.232998 | 2.5E-4 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0126909E-5 | 3.6012006E-4 | 17.89247 | 3.4E-4 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4501883E-4 | 8.8486203E-4 | 3.6114042 | 6.4E-4 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024476128 | 0.0034651163 | 1.4157126 | 0.00102 |
6.3 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.696313E-6 | 2.5469513E-4 | 54.232998 | 2.5E-4 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0126909E-5 | 3.6012006E-4 | 17.89247 | 3.4E-4 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4501883E-4 | 8.8486203E-4 | 3.6114042 | 6.4E-4 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024476128 | 0.0034651163 | 1.4157126 | 0.00102 |
6.4 | 3.4025713E-6 | 3.5098972E-6 | 1.9350923E-4 | 55.13245 | 1.9E-4 | 1.4582367E-5 | 1.5042335E-5 | 2.8503826E-4 | 18.949072 | 2.7E-4 | 1.7752586E-4 | 1.8312587E-4 | 6.3304347E-4 | 3.456876 | 4.5E-4 | 0.001773841 | 0.0018298327 | 0.002588442 | 1.4145786 | 7.6E-4 |
6.5 | 2.8352947E-6 | 2.927856E-6 | 1.7292736E-4 | 59.062794 | 1.7E-4 | 1.2151207E-5 | 1.2547898E-5 | 2.5254488E-4 | 20.126469 | 2.4E-4 | 1.479309E-4 | 1.5276071E-4 | 5.427011E-4 | 3.5526226 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0014783246 | 0.0015266308 | 0.0021856232 | 1.4316646 | 6.6E-4 |
6.6 | 2.251518E-6 | 2.3290677E-6 | 1.4232875E-4 | 61.109753 | 1.4E-4 | 9.649328E-6 | 9.981683E-6 | 1.9997978E-4 | 20.034676 | 1.9E-4 | 1.1747423E-4 | 1.2152085E-4 | 4.4148197E-4 | 3.632973 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0011741214 | 0.0012146058 | 0.0017239862 | 1.4193794 | 5.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8911853E-6 | 1.9591396E-6 | 8.1958984E-5 | 41.83417 | 8.0E-5 | 8.105055E-6 | 8.39629E-6 | 1.4839512E-4 | 17.673893 | 1.4E-4 | 9.867457E-5 | 1.0222061E-4 | 3.5219506E-4 | 3.4454408 | 2.5E-4 | 9.863076E-4 | 0.0010217935 | 0.0014014052 | 1.3715152 | 3.8E-4 |
6.8 | 1.4874814E-6 | 1.5438305E-6 | 8.154371E-5 | 52.81908 | 8.0E-5 | 6.374905E-6 | 6.6164025E-6 | 1.4661548E-4 | 22.159395 | 1.4E-4 | 7.76117E-5 | 8.055224E-5 | 3.105337E-4 | 3.8550599 | 2.3E-4 | 7.75846E-4 | 8.0528157E-4 | 0.0011549997 | 1.4342806 | 3.5E-4 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.1399285E-7 | 5.0713956E-5 | 71.02866 | 5.0E-5 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0599674E-6 | 8.305972E-5 | 27.14399 | 8.0E-5 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.7254784E-5 | 1.5725031E-4 | 4.2209425 | 1.2E-4 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7251666E-4 | 5.224608E-4 | 1.4025166 | 1.5E-4 |
San Andreas (Mojave N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9402112E-4 | 0.0011438368 | 5.8954244 | 9.5E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.312543E-4 | 0.0021001985 | 2.5265417 | 0.00127 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010073684 | 0.01200404 | 1.1916237 | 0.00195 | 0.05023708 | 0.09832245 | 0.10056763 | 1.0228348 | 0.00249 |
6.1 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9402112E-4 | 0.0011438368 | 5.8954244 | 9.5E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.312543E-4 | 0.0021001985 | 2.5265417 | 0.00127 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010073684 | 0.01200404 | 1.1916237 | 0.00195 | 0.05023708 | 0.09832245 | 0.10056763 | 1.0228348 | 0.00249 |
6.2 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9402112E-4 | 0.0011438368 | 5.8954244 | 9.5E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.312543E-4 | 0.0021001985 | 2.5265417 | 0.00127 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010073684 | 0.01200404 | 1.1916237 | 0.00195 | 0.05023708 | 0.09832245 | 0.10056763 | 1.0228348 | 0.00249 |
6.3 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9402112E-4 | 0.0011438368 | 5.8954244 | 9.5E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.312543E-4 | 0.0021001985 | 2.5265417 | 0.00127 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010073684 | 0.01200404 | 1.1916237 | 0.00195 | 0.05023708 | 0.09832245 | 0.10056763 | 1.0228348 | 0.00249 |
6.4 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9402112E-4 | 0.0011438368 | 5.8954244 | 9.5E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.312543E-4 | 0.0021001985 | 2.5265417 | 0.00127 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010073684 | 0.01200404 | 1.1916237 | 0.00195 | 0.05023708 | 0.09832245 | 0.10056763 | 1.0228348 | 0.00249 |
6.5 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.937588E-4 | 0.0011435747 | 5.902053 | 9.5E-4 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.3013077E-4 | 0.0020990765 | 2.5286095 | 0.00127 | 0.0051326132 | 0.0100601325 | 0.011990515 | 1.1918844 | 0.00195 | 0.050156746 | 0.09820035 | 0.10044583 | 1.0228664 | 0.00249 |
6.6 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.937588E-4 | 0.0011435747 | 5.902053 | 9.5E-4 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.3013077E-4 | 0.0020990765 | 2.5286095 | 0.00127 | 0.0051326132 | 0.0100601325 | 0.011990515 | 1.1918844 | 0.00195 | 0.050156746 | 0.09820035 | 0.10044583 | 1.0228664 | 0.00249 |
6.7 | 9.8552715E-5 | 1.9365833E-4 | 0.0011434744 | 5.904597 | 9.5E-4 | 4.223004E-4 | 8.2970044E-4 | 0.0020986467 | 2.529403 | 0.00127 | 0.0051293927 | 0.010054941 | 0.011975435 | 1.191 | 0.00194 | 0.050125998 | 0.09815356 | 0.100390136 | 1.0227865 | 0.00248 |
6.8 | 9.8464974E-5 | 1.9350994E-4 | 0.001143326 | 5.9083586 | 9.5E-4 | 4.219245E-4 | 8.290649E-4 | 0.002098012 | 2.5305762 | 0.00127 | 0.0051248376 | 0.010047276 | 0.011967784 | 1.1911472 | 0.00194 | 0.05008251 | 0.09808378 | 0.10032053 | 1.0228045 | 0.00248 |
6.9 | 9.825824E-5 | 1.9319002E-4 | 0.0011430065 | 5.916488 | 9.5E-4 | 4.2103877E-4 | 8.276947E-4 | 0.0020966434 | 2.5331123 | 0.00127 | 0.0051141046 | 0.010030746 | 0.011951286 | 1.1914654 | 0.00194 | 0.049980022 | 0.097932965 | 0.10017009 | 1.0228435 | 0.00248 |
7.0 | 9.781462E-5 | 1.9250368E-4 | 0.0011423208 | 5.9340205 | 9.5E-4 | 4.1913814E-4 | 8.247551E-4 | 0.0020937077 | 2.5385811 | 0.00127 | 0.005091073 | 0.009995285 | 0.011915895 | 1.1921515 | 0.00194 | 0.04976007 | 0.09760912 | 0.09984705 | 1.0229274 | 0.00248 |
7.1 | 9.7121134E-5 | 1.9152075E-4 | 0.0011313407 | 5.9071445 | 9.4E-4 | 4.1616702E-4 | 8.205452E-4 | 0.0020795113 | 2.5343044 | 0.00126 | 0.005055068 | 0.0099444995 | 0.011855306 | 1.1921471 | 0.00193 | 0.04941613 | 0.09714571 | 0.09936673 | 1.0228628 | 0.00246 |
7.2 | 9.663819E-5 | 1.9082859E-4 | 0.0011206511 | 5.8725533 | 9.3E-4 | 4.1409794E-4 | 8.175807E-4 | 0.0020665587 | 2.527651 | 0.00125 | 0.0050299936 | 0.009908735 | 0.01180971 | 1.1918484 | 0.00192 | 0.049176537 | 0.09681883 | 0.09904065 | 1.0229483 | 0.00246 |
7.3 | 9.6277574E-5 | 1.9035369E-4 | 0.0011201766 | 5.884712 | 9.3E-4 | 4.125529E-4 | 8.1554666E-4 | 0.0020645272 | 2.5314643 | 0.00125 | 0.0050112694 | 0.009884195 | 0.0117852185 | 1.1923295 | 0.00192 | 0.04899759 | 0.09659228 | 0.09881466 | 1.0230079 | 0.00246 |
7.4 | 9.593308E-5 | 1.8975153E-4 | 0.0011195751 | 5.900216 | 9.3E-4 | 4.1107697E-4 | 8.129676E-4 | 0.0020619514 | 2.5363266 | 0.00125 | 0.0049933824 | 0.009853081 | 0.011754163 | 1.192943 | 0.00192 | 0.04882661 | 0.09630986 | 0.09853294 | 1.0230826 | 0.00246 |
7.5 | 9.561707E-5 | 1.8921228E-4 | 0.0011190363 | 5.9141846 | 9.3E-4 | 4.0972308E-4 | 8.106579E-4 | 0.0020596446 | 2.5407073 | 0.00125 | 0.0049769743 | 0.009825215 | 0.01172635 | 1.1934956 | 0.00192 | 0.048669744 | 0.096056245 | 0.098279946 | 1.02315 | 0.00246 |
7.6 | 9.418194E-5 | 1.8573487E-4 | 0.0011155622 | 6.006207 | 9.3E-4 | 4.0357444E-4 | 7.95764E-4 | 0.0020347773 | 2.5570111 | 0.00124 | 0.004902454 | 0.009645499 | 0.011537076 | 1.1961098 | 0.00191 | 0.047957025 | 0.094437465 | 0.09664704 | 1.0233972 | 0.00244 |
7.7 | 8.202141E-5 | 1.6022482E-4 | 0.0010400838 | 6.4914026 | 8.8E-4 | 3.51473E-4 | 6.8649714E-4 | 0.0018357077 | 2.6740208 | 0.00115 | 0.00427079 | 0.008326128 | 0.010091308 | 1.2120048 | 0.00178 | 0.04189639 | 0.082237914 | 0.08430288 | 1.0251096 | 0.00225 |
7.8 | 7.2859846E-5 | 1.4517571E-4 | 7.250915E-4 | 4.994579 | 5.8E-4 | 3.1221908E-4 | 6.2203326E-4 | 0.001401548 | 2.2531722 | 7.8E-4 | 0.003794643 | 0.0075469986 | 0.0087577915 | 1.1604337 | 0.00122 | 0.037304975 | 0.07472766 | 0.076171085 | 1.0193158 | 0.00156 |
7.9 | 5.3874453E-5 | 1.00462625E-4 | 4.3042947E-4 | 4.2844734 | 3.3E-4 | 2.3087008E-4 | 4.3048308E-4 | 8.9028507E-4 | 2.068107 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0028072202 | 0.0052285474 | 0.005954731 | 1.1388881 | 7.3E-4 | 0.02772022 | 0.052425884 | 0.053335555 | 1.0173515 | 9.6E-4 |
8.0 | 3.468538E-5 | 5.4261534E-5 | 1.8425449E-4 | 3.395674 | 1.3E-4 | 1.4864317E-4 | 2.3252872E-4 | 4.4247988E-4 | 1.9029043 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0018082283 | 0.0028273636 | 0.0031464589 | 1.1128596 | 3.2E-4 | 0.017935853 | 0.028948462 | 0.029336883 | 1.0134176 | 4.0E-4 |
8.1 | 1.9152367E-5 | 1.9401303E-5 | 3.9400915E-5 | 2.0308387 | 2.0E-5 | 8.207899E-5 | 8.3145795E-5 | 1.13143295E-4 | 1.360782 | 3.0E-5 | 9.988535E-4 | 0.0010118305 | 0.0010517901 | 1.0394924 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009943757 | 0.01085595 | 0.010905408 | 1.0045558 | 5.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032481793 | 0.0032481793 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6564595E-7 | 7.6564595E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9949547E-5 | 3.9949547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.717979E-4 | 4.717979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Towne Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894542E-6 | 4.3389286E-4 | 111.4105 | 4.3E-4 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690812E-5 | 6.166808E-4 | 36.947323 | 6.0E-4 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319606E-4 | 0.0014129502 | 6.95363 | 0.00121 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305319 | 0.0042160847 | 2.0763452 | 0.00219 |
6.1 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894542E-6 | 4.3389286E-4 | 111.4105 | 4.3E-4 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690812E-5 | 6.166808E-4 | 36.947323 | 6.0E-4 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319606E-4 | 0.0014129502 | 6.95363 | 0.00121 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305319 | 0.0042160847 | 2.0763452 | 0.00219 |
6.2 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894542E-6 | 4.3389286E-4 | 111.4105 | 4.3E-4 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690812E-5 | 6.166808E-4 | 36.947323 | 6.0E-4 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319606E-4 | 0.0014129502 | 6.95363 | 0.00121 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305319 | 0.0042160847 | 2.0763452 | 0.00219 |
6.3 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894542E-6 | 4.3389286E-4 | 111.4105 | 4.3E-4 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690812E-5 | 6.166808E-4 | 36.947323 | 6.0E-4 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319606E-4 | 0.0014129502 | 6.95363 | 0.00121 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305319 | 0.0042160847 | 2.0763452 | 0.00219 |
6.4 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894542E-6 | 4.3389286E-4 | 111.4105 | 4.3E-4 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690812E-5 | 6.166808E-4 | 36.947323 | 6.0E-4 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319606E-4 | 0.0014129502 | 6.95363 | 0.00121 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305319 | 0.0042160847 | 2.0763452 | 0.00219 |
6.5 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2030526E-6 | 1.4120288E-4 | 117.3705 | 1.4E-4 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.15593E-6 | 1.85155E-4 | 35.911076 | 1.8E-4 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.277176E-5 | 3.027567E-4 | 4.8231354 | 2.4E-4 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.2755204E-4 | 0.0010672759 | 1.7006971 | 4.4E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2030526E-6 | 1.4120288E-4 | 117.3705 | 1.4E-4 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.15593E-6 | 1.85155E-4 | 35.911076 | 1.8E-4 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.277176E-5 | 3.027567E-4 | 4.8231354 | 2.4E-4 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.2755204E-4 | 0.0010672759 | 1.7006971 | 4.4E-4 |
6.7 | 8.375951E-7 | 8.410676E-7 | 7.084101E-5 | 84.227486 | 7.0E-5 | 3.5896885E-6 | 3.6045708E-6 | 1.0360421E-4 | 28.742453 | 1.0E-4 | 4.370358E-5 | 4.3884826E-5 | 1.7387912E-4 | 3.9621696 | 1.3E-4 | 4.3694986E-4 | 4.3876728E-4 | 7.086488E-4 | 1.6150904 | 2.7E-4 |
6.8 | 6.38041E-7 | 6.3921624E-7 | 4.0639192E-5 | 63.576595 | 4.0E-5 | 2.7344586E-6 | 2.7394954E-6 | 7.2739305E-5 | 26.55208 | 7.0E-5 | 3.3291526E-5 | 3.3352884E-5 | 1.2334988E-4 | 3.6983273 | 9.0E-5 | 3.3286537E-4 | 3.334826E-4 | 5.034259E-4 | 1.5096017 | 1.7E-4 |
6.9 | 5.3460053E-7 | 5.345339E-7 | 4.0534513E-5 | 75.83151 | 4.0E-5 | 2.2911431E-6 | 2.2908578E-6 | 7.22907E-5 | 31.556171 | 7.0E-5 | 2.789431E-5 | 2.7890868E-5 | 1.1788836E-4 | 4.2267723 | 9.0E-5 | 2.789081E-4 | 2.78877E-4 | 4.388324E-4 | 1.5735697 | 1.6E-4 |
7.0 | 3.557783E-7 | 3.5324283E-7 | 1.0353239E-5 | 29.309128 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5247632E-6 | 1.513897E-6 | 2.1513866E-5 | 14.210917 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8563835E-5 | 1.8431549E-5 | 4.8430997E-5 | 2.627614 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8562283E-4 | 1.8430105E-4 | 2.5428814E-4 | 1.3797433 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.037942E-7 | 3.0002275E-7 | 1.0300019E-5 | 34.330795 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3019744E-6 | 1.2858112E-6 | 2.1285785E-5 | 16.554363 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5851423E-5 | 1.5654647E-5 | 4.565418E-5 | 2.916334 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5850292E-4 | 1.5653619E-4 | 2.2652523E-4 | 1.4471109 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0808248E-7 | 2.0217735E-7 | 1.0202175E-5 | 50.461517 | 1.0E-5 | 8.917818E-7 | 8.6647407E-7 | 1.0866465E-5 | 12.541017 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0857389E-5 | 1.0549275E-5 | 2.054917E-5 | 1.9479225 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0856859E-4 | 1.0548821E-4 | 1.45484E-4 | 1.3791493 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.1162073E-7 | 1.0636902E-7 | 1.0106368E-5 | 95.01232 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7837443E-7 | 4.5586717E-7 | 1.0455863E-5 | 22.936205 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8241935E-6 | 5.5501705E-6 | 1.5550115E-5 | 2.8017364 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8240406E-5 | 5.550052E-5 | 8.5498854E-5 | 1.5405054 | 3.0E-5 |
Sierra Nevada (No Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9762887E-6 | 7.469711E-4 | 107.07285 | 7.4E-4 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.989824E-5 | 8.698731E-4 | 29.09446 | 8.4E-4 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398612E-4 | 0.0016135311 | 4.432947 | 0.00125 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374154 | 0.0052614864 | 1.4464904 | 0.00163 |
6.1 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9762887E-6 | 7.469711E-4 | 107.07285 | 7.4E-4 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.989824E-5 | 8.698731E-4 | 29.09446 | 8.4E-4 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398612E-4 | 0.0016135311 | 4.432947 | 0.00125 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374154 | 0.0052614864 | 1.4464904 | 0.00163 |
6.2 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9762887E-6 | 7.469711E-4 | 107.07285 | 7.4E-4 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.989824E-5 | 8.698731E-4 | 29.09446 | 8.4E-4 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398612E-4 | 0.0016135311 | 4.432947 | 0.00125 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374154 | 0.0052614864 | 1.4464904 | 0.00163 |
6.3 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9762887E-6 | 7.469711E-4 | 107.07285 | 7.4E-4 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.989824E-5 | 8.698731E-4 | 29.09446 | 8.4E-4 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398612E-4 | 0.0016135311 | 4.432947 | 0.00125 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374154 | 0.0052614864 | 1.4464904 | 0.00163 |
6.4 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9762887E-6 | 7.469711E-4 | 107.07285 | 7.4E-4 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.989824E-5 | 8.698731E-4 | 29.09446 | 8.4E-4 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398612E-4 | 0.0016135311 | 4.432947 | 0.00125 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374154 | 0.0052614864 | 1.4464904 | 0.00163 |
6.5 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9762887E-6 | 7.469711E-4 | 107.07285 | 7.4E-4 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.989824E-5 | 8.698731E-4 | 29.09446 | 8.4E-4 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398612E-4 | 0.0016135311 | 4.432947 | 0.00125 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374154 | 0.0052614864 | 1.4464904 | 0.00163 |
6.6 | 2.653E-6 | 1.6148208E-6 | 5.21614E-4 | 323.01663 | 5.2E-4 | 1.136995E-5 | 6.9206426E-6 | 5.769167E-4 | 83.361725 | 5.7E-4 | 1.3842035E-4 | 8.42556E-5 | 8.9418737E-4 | 10.612794 | 8.1E-4 | 0.0013833415 | 8.4224E-4 | 0.0018713725 | 2.2218993 | 0.00103 |
6.7 | 2.5902466E-6 | 1.5501544E-6 | 5.215494E-4 | 336.44995 | 5.2E-4 | 1.11010095E-5 | 6.643502E-6 | 5.766397E-4 | 86.797554 | 5.7E-4 | 1.351464E-4 | 8.088166E-5 | 8.9081615E-4 | 11.013821 | 8.1E-4 | 0.0013506424 | 8.0852525E-4 | 0.0018376925 | 2.2728944 | 0.00103 |
6.8 | 2.5853892E-6 | 1.5469546E-6 | 5.215462E-4 | 337.1438 | 5.2E-4 | 1.1080193E-5 | 6.629789E-6 | 5.76626E-4 | 86.97502 | 5.7E-4 | 1.34893E-4 | 8.071472E-5 | 8.9064933E-4 | 11.034534 | 8.1E-4 | 0.0013481114 | 8.06857E-4 | 0.001836026 | 2.2755282 | 0.00103 |
6.9 | 2.458257E-6 | 1.422029E-6 | 5.0142134E-4 | 352.6098 | 5.0E-4 | 1.0535345E-5 | 6.0943958E-6 | 5.56091E-4 | 91.2463 | 5.5E-4 | 1.2826028E-4 | 7.419676E-5 | 8.5413887E-4 | 11.511808 | 7.8E-4 | 0.0012818627 | 7.4172183E-4 | 0.001720995 | 2.32027 | 9.8E-4 |
7.0 | 2.4341468E-6 | 1.3989927E-6 | 5.013983E-4 | 358.3995 | 5.0E-4 | 1.0432016E-5 | 5.9956697E-6 | 5.5599236E-4 | 92.73232 | 5.5E-4 | 1.270024E-4 | 7.299485E-5 | 8.529379E-4 | 11.684905 | 7.8E-4 | 0.0012692984 | 7.297107E-4 | 0.0017089956 | 2.3420181 | 9.8E-4 |
7.1 | 2.3652476E-6 | 1.3339427E-6 | 5.0133327E-4 | 375.8282 | 5.0E-4 | 1.0136736E-5 | 5.716885E-6 | 5.557137E-4 | 97.20569 | 5.5E-4 | 1.2340778E-4 | 6.9600865E-5 | 8.495466E-4 | 12.205977 | 7.8E-4 | 0.0012333926 | 6.957924E-4 | 0.0016751105 | 2.4074862 | 9.8E-4 |
7.2 | 2.272158E-6 | 1.2502497E-6 | 4.9124967E-4 | 392.92123 | 4.9E-4 | 9.737784E-6 | 5.358202E-6 | 5.3535536E-4 | 99.913246 | 5.3E-4 | 1.1855107E-4 | 6.523417E-5 | 8.251846E-4 | 12.649575 | 7.6E-4 | 0.0011848784 | 6.5215176E-4 | 0.0016015322 | 2.4557662 | 9.5E-4 |
7.3 | 2.1382127E-6 | 1.1419382E-6 | 4.4114143E-4 | 386.30936 | 4.4E-4 | 9.163737E-6 | 4.894012E-6 | 4.8489167E-4 | 99.07856 | 4.8E-4 | 1.1156279E-4 | 5.9582977E-5 | 7.595413E-4 | 12.747622 | 7.0E-4 | 0.001115068 | 5.956712E-4 | 0.0014551589 | 2.4428895 | 8.6E-4 |
7.4 | 1.9048055E-6 | 9.574928E-7 | 3.8095712E-4 | 397.86945 | 3.8E-4 | 8.163426E-6 | 4.103534E-6 | 4.1410184E-4 | 100.91346 | 4.1E-4 | 9.9385186E-5 | 4.995939E-5 | 6.499294E-4 | 13.009154 | 6.0E-4 | 9.934074E-4 | 4.9948227E-4 | 0.0012191227 | 2.4407725 | 7.2E-4 |
7.5 | 1.5373403E-6 | 7.559763E-7 | 3.2075573E-4 | 424.29337 | 3.2E-4 | 6.5885843E-6 | 3.2398946E-6 | 3.5323875E-4 | 109.02786 | 3.5E-4 | 8.021306E-5 | 3.9445007E-5 | 5.194261E-4 | 13.168361 | 4.8E-4 | 8.0184115E-4 | 3.9438053E-4 | 9.641557E-4 | 2.4447346 | 5.7E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.65941E-7 | 1.7046586E-4 | 365.85287 | 1.7E-4 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.9968884E-6 | 1.9199651E-4 | 96.147835 | 1.9E-4 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.4311848E-5 | 2.8430554E-4 | 11.694114 | 2.6E-4 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.4309216E-4 | 5.7301193E-4 | 2.3571799 | 3.3E-4 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5578539E-7 | 5.0155777E-5 | 321.9543 | 5.0E-5 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.676515E-7 | 5.066762E-5 | 75.88932 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.128628E-6 | 8.812798E-5 | 10.84168 | 8.0E-5 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.128342E-5 | 1.9127448E-4 | 2.3531795 | 1.1E-4 |
Bicycle Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.2097078E-5 | 2.52092E-4 | 11.408386 | 2.3E-4 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.4699084E-5 | 4.346669E-4 | 4.5899796 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011524865 | 0.0020614378 | 1.7886871 | 9.1E-4 | 0.01018633 | 0.011478408 | 0.012980961 | 1.1309025 | 0.00152 |
6.1 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.2097078E-5 | 2.52092E-4 | 11.408386 | 2.3E-4 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.4699084E-5 | 4.346669E-4 | 4.5899796 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011524865 | 0.0020614378 | 1.7886871 | 9.1E-4 | 0.01018633 | 0.011478408 | 0.012980961 | 1.1309025 | 0.00152 |
6.2 | 9.9971285E-6 | 1.125564E-5 | 1.212544E-4 | 10.772769 | 1.1E-4 | 4.2844134E-5 | 4.8237856E-5 | 2.2822917E-4 | 4.731329 | 1.8E-4 | 5.2150246E-4 | 5.871897E-4 | 0.0010669078 | 1.8169731 | 4.8E-4 | 0.0052028033 | 0.005861487 | 0.0067363284 | 1.1492525 | 8.8E-4 |
6.3 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0798346E-5 | 9.079748E-5 | 8.408462 | 8.0E-5 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.62781E-5 | 1.9627115E-4 | 4.241124 | 1.5E-4 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.6334207E-4 | 0.0010130885 | 1.7983543 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0049911533 | 0.0056242296 | 0.006439618 | 1.1449777 | 8.2E-4 |
6.4 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0798346E-5 | 9.079748E-5 | 8.408462 | 8.0E-5 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.62781E-5 | 1.9627115E-4 | 4.241124 | 1.5E-4 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.6334207E-4 | 0.0010130885 | 1.7983543 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0049911533 | 0.0056242296 | 0.006439618 | 1.1449777 | 8.2E-4 |
6.5 | 5.557707E-6 | 6.2856016E-6 | 6.6285225E-5 | 10.545566 | 6.0E-5 | 2.3818526E-5 | 2.6938165E-5 | 1.2693547E-4 | 4.7121053 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8995197E-4 | 3.279497E-4 | 5.578743E-4 | 1.7010971 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0028957394 | 0.0032772934 | 0.0037656876 | 1.1490237 | 4.9E-4 |
6.6 | 4.8742945E-6 | 5.5132896E-6 | 5.5513014E-5 | 10.068946 | 5.0E-5 | 2.0889667E-5 | 2.3628318E-5 | 1.1362619E-4 | 4.808899 | 9.0E-5 | 2.54302E-4 | 2.87663E-4 | 4.9760257E-4 | 1.729811 | 2.1E-4 | 0.002540112 | 0.0028754752 | 0.0033241813 | 1.1560459 | 4.5E-4 |
6.7 | 3.991108E-6 | 4.5159104E-6 | 5.4515684E-5 | 12.071915 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7104636E-5 | 1.9353902E-5 | 9.935235E-5 | 5.1334534 | 8.0E-5 | 2.0822904E-4 | 2.3563375E-4 | 4.055937E-4 | 1.7212887 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0020803404 | 0.0023563374 | 0.0027254657 | 1.1566534 | 3.7E-4 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.160784E-4 | 7.8592985E-4 | 2.486503 | 4.7E-4 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013539245 | 0.001973085 | 1.457308 | 6.2E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016360939 | 0.01736425 | 1.0613236 | 0.00102 | 0.07177748 | 0.15021163 | 0.15136734 | 1.0076939 | 0.00136 |
6.1 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.160784E-4 | 7.8592985E-4 | 2.486503 | 4.7E-4 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013539245 | 0.001973085 | 1.457308 | 6.2E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016360939 | 0.01736425 | 1.0613236 | 0.00102 | 0.07177748 | 0.15021163 | 0.15136734 | 1.0076939 | 0.00136 |
6.2 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.160784E-4 | 7.8592985E-4 | 2.486503 | 4.7E-4 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013539245 | 0.001973085 | 1.457308 | 6.2E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016360939 | 0.01736425 | 1.0613236 | 0.00102 | 0.07177748 | 0.15021163 | 0.15136734 | 1.0076939 | 0.00136 |
6.3 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.0512668E-4 | 7.7498326E-4 | 2.5398738 | 4.7E-4 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.001307036 | 0.0019262257 | 1.4737357 | 6.2E-4 | 0.0071393442 | 0.015798455 | 0.01680234 | 1.0635433 | 0.00102 | 0.06914291 | 0.1455135 | 0.14667562 | 1.0079862 | 0.00136 |
6.4 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.0512668E-4 | 7.7498326E-4 | 2.5398738 | 4.7E-4 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.001307036 | 0.0019262257 | 1.4737357 | 6.2E-4 | 0.0071393442 | 0.015798455 | 0.01680234 | 1.0635433 | 0.00102 | 0.06914291 | 0.1455135 | 0.14667562 | 1.0079862 | 0.00136 |
6.5 | 1.2942807E-4 | 2.8927144E-4 | 7.5913547E-4 | 2.6243014 | 4.7E-4 | 5.545738E-4 | 0.0012391509 | 0.0018583826 | 1.4997226 | 6.2E-4 | 0.0067310524 | 0.014983548 | 0.015988264 | 1.0670546 | 0.00102 | 0.06530788 | 0.13865088 | 0.13982232 | 1.0084488 | 0.00136 |
6.6 | 1.1125901E-4 | 2.5365927E-4 | 7.1354257E-4 | 2.8129964 | 4.6E-4 | 4.767372E-4 | 0.0010866605 | 0.0016959977 | 1.5607429 | 6.1E-4 | 0.005788839 | 0.0131504685 | 0.014137317 | 1.075043 | 0.001 | 0.056403454 | 0.12300496 | 0.12416259 | 1.0094112 | 0.00132 |
6.7 | 1.02209575E-4 | 2.3500937E-4 | 6.8490364E-4 | 2.9143672 | 4.5E-4 | 4.3796748E-4 | 0.0010067957 | 0.0016061916 | 1.5953501 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0053192247 | 0.012189267 | 0.013137565 | 1.0777978 | 9.6E-4 | 0.051936906 | 0.114792764 | 0.11589927 | 1.0096391 | 0.00125 |
6.8 | 9.610582E-5 | 2.2026796E-4 | 6.7016884E-4 | 3.0425162 | 4.5E-4 | 4.1181705E-4 | 9.436647E-4 | 0.0015430985 | 1.6352191 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0050023515 | 0.011428859 | 0.012377888 | 1.0830379 | 9.6E-4 | 0.048912346 | 0.10820469 | 0.10931943 | 1.0103022 | 0.00125 |
6.9 | 9.3877505E-5 | 2.1482339E-4 | 6.5472885E-4 | 3.047754 | 4.4E-4 | 4.0227012E-4 | 9.203475E-4 | 0.0015098045 | 1.6404722 | 5.9E-4 | 0.0048866454 | 0.011147907 | 0.012087316 | 1.0842677 | 9.5E-4 | 0.04780577 | 0.105798274 | 0.106907085 | 1.0104804 | 0.00124 |
7.0 | 9.1019785E-5 | 2.0809306E-4 | 6.480015E-4 | 3.1139987 | 4.4E-4 | 3.900265E-4 | 8.915232E-4 | 0.0014809972 | 1.6611987 | 5.9E-4 | 0.0047382377 | 0.0108004995 | 0.011740239 | 1.087009 | 9.5E-4 | 0.046384744 | 0.10276815 | 0.10388072 | 1.010826 | 0.00124 |
7.1 | 8.771155E-5 | 1.9983841E-4 | 6.197545E-4 | 3.101278 | 4.2E-4 | 3.758525E-4 | 8.5616973E-4 | 0.0014256818 | 1.6651858 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0045664064 | 0.010374243 | 0.011294595 | 1.0887151 | 9.3E-4 | 0.044737056 | 0.09907644 | 0.10015755 | 1.0109118 | 0.0012 |
7.2 | 8.0830236E-5 | 1.8389444E-4 | 6.038172E-4 | 3.283499 | 4.2E-4 | 3.4636928E-4 | 7.8788114E-4 | 0.001357432 | 1.7228894 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0042088944 | 0.009550368 | 0.0104714865 | 1.0964484 | 9.3E-4 | 0.041300658 | 0.09180518 | 0.092885934 | 1.0117723 | 0.00119 |
7.3 | 7.7668235E-5 | 1.7333007E-4 | 5.9325725E-4 | 3.4227026 | 4.2E-4 | 3.328214E-4 | 7.426318E-4 | 0.0013122085 | 1.7669705 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0040445733 | 0.009004138 | 0.009925764 | 1.1023558 | 9.3E-4 | 0.03971748 | 0.08706761 | 0.088154 | 1.0124775 | 0.00119 |
7.4 | 7.520177E-5 | 1.655312E-4 | 5.854617E-4 | 3.5368662 | 4.2E-4 | 3.2225347E-4 | 7.092266E-4 | 0.0012788223 | 1.8031224 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0039163795 | 0.008600714 | 0.009512801 | 1.1060479 | 9.2E-4 | 0.038480744 | 0.08352157 | 0.08460301 | 1.012948 | 0.00118 |
7.5 | 7.274697E-5 | 1.584075E-4 | 5.6834257E-4 | 3.5878513 | 4.1E-4 | 3.1173544E-4 | 6.7871273E-4 | 0.0012383326 | 1.8245313 | 5.6E-4 | 0.003788775 | 0.008232076 | 0.009134585 | 1.1096332 | 9.1E-4 | 0.03724827 | 0.08023654 | 0.08130346 | 1.0132972 | 0.00116 |
7.6 | 7.1185845E-5 | 1.5410586E-4 | 5.6404265E-4 | 3.6600988 | 4.1E-4 | 3.0504653E-4 | 6.602866E-4 | 0.0012199167 | 1.8475566 | 5.6E-4 | 0.0037076178 | 0.0080094095 | 0.008912121 | 1.1127064 | 9.1E-4 | 0.036463667 | 0.07822661 | 0.07929587 | 1.0136687 | 0.00116 |
7.7 | 6.709961E-5 | 1.4319421E-4 | 5.531355E-4 | 3.8628342 | 4.1E-4 | 2.8753807E-4 | 6.135452E-4 | 0.0011732016 | 1.9121683 | 5.6E-4 | 0.003495157 | 0.0074443663 | 0.008347592 | 1.1213301 | 9.1E-4 | 0.034406938 | 0.07305558 | 0.074121565 | 1.0145915 | 0.00115 |
7.8 | 6.300812E-5 | 1.320343E-4 | 5.4198015E-4 | 4.1048436 | 4.1E-4 | 2.7000686E-4 | 5.657386E-4 | 0.0011254218 | 1.9892964 | 5.6E-4 | 0.0032823787 | 0.006866143 | 0.0077698953 | 1.1316243 | 9.1E-4 | 0.032343175 | 0.06771385 | 0.06878597 | 1.0158333 | 0.00115 |
7.9 | 4.983037E-5 | 9.7241085E-5 | 4.27209E-4 | 4.393297 | 3.3E-4 | 2.1354125E-4 | 4.1668097E-4 | 8.7648927E-4 | 2.103502 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0025967648 | 0.0050613005 | 0.0057876054 | 1.1435018 | 7.3E-4 | 0.025666296 | 0.050650507 | 0.051561885 | 1.0179935 | 9.6E-4 |
8.0 | 3.2211527E-5 | 5.3306234E-5 | 1.832993E-4 | 3.4386091 | 1.3E-4 | 1.380421E-4 | 2.2843528E-4 | 4.383873E-4 | 1.9190875 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0016793669 | 0.0027776542 | 0.0030967654 | 1.1148851 | 3.2E-4 | 0.016667323 | 0.028362568 | 0.028751224 | 1.0137031 | 4.0E-4 |
8.1 | 1.743376E-5 | 1.8823403E-5 | 3.8823026E-5 | 2.0624871 | 2.0E-5 | 7.471398E-5 | 8.066923E-5 | 1.1066681E-4 | 1.371859 | 3.0E-5 | 9.0926304E-4 | 9.81706E-4 | 0.0010216667 | 1.0407054 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009055517 | 0.010483979 | 0.010533456 | 1.0047191 | 5.0E-5 |
8.2 | 7.831616E-6 | 5.1540533E-6 | 5.1540533E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3563636E-5 | 2.2088612E-5 | 2.2088612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0856065E-4 | 2.6889573E-4 | 2.6889573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004078103 | 0.0030413668 | 0.0030413668 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6564595E-7 | 7.6564595E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9949547E-5 | 3.9949547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.717979E-4 | 4.717979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Paradise
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6694768E-5 | 2.2669126E-4 | 13.578581 | 2.1E-4 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.154718E-5 | 4.1152287E-4 | 5.751769 | 3.4E-4 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.707624E-4 | 0.0016400919 | 1.8835125 | 7.7E-4 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008675884 | 0.009984433 | 1.1508259 | 0.00132 |
6.1 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6694768E-5 | 2.2669126E-4 | 13.578581 | 2.1E-4 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.154718E-5 | 4.1152287E-4 | 5.751769 | 3.4E-4 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.707624E-4 | 0.0016400919 | 1.8835125 | 7.7E-4 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008675884 | 0.009984433 | 1.1508259 | 0.00132 |
6.2 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6694768E-5 | 2.2669126E-4 | 13.578581 | 2.1E-4 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.154718E-5 | 4.1152287E-4 | 5.751769 | 3.4E-4 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.707624E-4 | 0.0016400919 | 1.8835125 | 7.7E-4 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008675884 | 0.009984433 | 1.1508259 | 0.00132 |
6.3 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.1888697E-5 | 1.5188703E-4 | 12.77575 | 1.4E-4 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.09506E-5 | 2.609399E-4 | 5.1214294 | 2.1E-4 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.201529E-4 | 0.0010798677 | 1.7412925 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0054258266 | 0.0061848317 | 0.006920255 | 1.1189076 | 7.4E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.1888697E-5 | 1.5188703E-4 | 12.77575 | 1.4E-4 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.09506E-5 | 2.609399E-4 | 5.1214294 | 2.1E-4 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.201529E-4 | 0.0010798677 | 1.7412925 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0054258266 | 0.0061848317 | 0.006920255 | 1.1189076 | 7.4E-4 |
6.5 | 9.25027E-6 | 1.0620037E-5 | 9.0619185E-5 | 8.53285 | 8.0E-5 | 3.964341E-5 | 4.551368E-5 | 1.7550777E-4 | 3.8561542 | 1.3E-4 | 4.8255164E-4 | 5.5399304E-4 | 8.538269E-4 | 1.541223 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0048150513 | 0.0055266195 | 0.0060039666 | 1.0863724 | 4.8E-4 |
6.6 | 7.904275E-6 | 9.159602E-6 | 7.915896E-5 | 8.642183 | 7.0E-5 | 3.3875025E-5 | 3.925487E-5 | 1.1925173E-4 | 3.0378838 | 8.0E-5 | 4.1235037E-4 | 4.7782718E-4 | 6.777316E-4 | 1.4183614 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0041158604 | 0.004768395 | 0.0050470596 | 1.05844 | 2.8E-4 |
6.7 | 7.2061953E-6 | 8.407326E-6 | 7.840674E-5 | 9.326002 | 7.0E-5 | 3.088333E-5 | 3.603092E-5 | 1.1602804E-4 | 3.2202353 | 8.0E-5 | 3.7593965E-4 | 4.3859181E-4 | 6.0851726E-4 | 1.3874341 | 1.7E-4 | 0.003753043 | 0.004377631 | 0.0046165804 | 1.0545841 | 2.4E-4 |
6.8 | 6.6948724E-6 | 7.842242E-6 | 6.784177E-5 | 8.650813 | 6.0E-5 | 2.8691995E-5 | 3.3609194E-5 | 1.0360684E-4 | 3.0826933 | 7.0E-5 | 3.4926904E-4 | 4.091187E-4 | 5.490614E-4 | 1.342059 | 1.4E-4 | 0.003487206 | 0.0040840125 | 0.004293155 | 1.05121 | 2.1E-4 |
6.9 | 6.0421025E-6 | 7.1306963E-6 | 5.713034E-5 | 8.0118885 | 5.0E-5 | 2.5894467E-5 | 3.0559786E-5 | 8.055826E-5 | 2.636087 | 5.0E-5 | 3.1521954E-4 | 3.7200528E-4 | 4.719681E-4 | 1.2687134 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0031477278 | 0.0037141638 | 0.0038735697 | 1.0429183 | 1.6E-4 |
7.0 | 4.134091E-6 | 5.0803824E-6 | 4.5080178E-5 | 8.873383 | 4.0E-5 | 1.7717413E-5 | 2.1772896E-5 | 6.177202E-5 | 2.8371067 | 4.0E-5 | 2.1568815E-4 | 2.650543E-4 | 3.3503573E-4 | 1.2640269 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0021547892 | 0.0026475347 | 0.00274727 | 1.037671 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 3.7674888E-6 | 4.631936E-6 | 4.463175E-5 | 9.635658 | 4.0E-5 | 1.6146281E-5 | 1.9851012E-5 | 5.985022E-5 | 3.0149705 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9656324E-4 | 2.4166079E-4 | 3.1164387E-4 | 1.2895923 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0019638946 | 0.0024141306 | 0.0025138892 | 1.0413228 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 3.4065345E-6 | 4.156782E-6 | 2.41567E-5 | 5.811394 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4599351E-5 | 1.7814667E-5 | 3.7814312E-5 | 2.1226504 | 2.0E-5 | 1.777326E-4 | 2.168735E-4 | 2.3686915E-4 | 1.0921997 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017759053 | 0.0021667667 | 0.0022166583 | 1.0230259 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.9934936E-6 | 3.6293673E-6 | 1.3629331E-5 | 3.7552912 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2829195E-5 | 1.5554348E-5 | 2.555419E-5 | 1.6428971 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5618425E-4 | 1.8935918E-4 | 1.993573E-4 | 1.0527997 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015607453 | 0.0018921237 | 0.001932048 | 1.0211003 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.4049796E-6 | 2.8890186E-6 | 2.8890186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0307015E-5 | 1.2381457E-5 | 1.2381457E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2548068E-4 | 1.5073526E-4 | 1.5073526E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012540985 | 0.0015064715 | 0.0015364264 | 1.0198841 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2710091E-6 | 1.5134859E-6 | 1.5134859E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.44717E-6 | 6.4863593E-6 | 6.4863593E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.631728E-5 | 7.896981E-5 | 7.896981E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6297496E-4 | 7.895401E-4 | 8.095243E-4 | 1.0253112 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.5586523E-4 | 1.1471817 | 2.0E-5 |
Garlic Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6760017E-5 | 1.8776833E-5 | 1.9877346E-4 | 10.586102 | 1.8E-4 | 7.182667E-5 | 8.0470316E-5 | 3.7044697E-4 | 4.6035233 | 2.9E-4 | 8.7413884E-4 | 9.794032E-4 | 0.0015987959 | 1.6324186 | 6.2E-4 | 0.008707083 | 0.009762413 | 0.010851675 | 1.111577 | 0.0011 |
6.1 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0973587E-5 | 7.097293E-5 | 6.467614 | 6.0E-5 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.702921E-5 | 1.5702404E-4 | 3.338862 | 1.1E-4 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.7250116E-4 | 8.723294E-4 | 1.5237164 | 3.0E-4 | 0.005127866 | 0.005717221 | 0.0062939054 | 1.1008679 | 5.8E-4 |
6.2 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0973587E-5 | 7.097293E-5 | 6.467614 | 6.0E-5 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.702921E-5 | 1.5702404E-4 | 3.338862 | 1.1E-4 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.7250116E-4 | 8.723294E-4 | 1.5237164 | 3.0E-4 | 0.005127866 | 0.005717221 | 0.0062939054 | 1.1008679 | 5.8E-4 |
6.3 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.7780286E-6 | 3.4777884E-5 | 7.2787104 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0477235E-5 | 7.047621E-5 | 3.441686 | 5.0E-5 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4930484E-4 | 4.5925248E-4 | 1.8421322 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0022499003 | 0.00249251 | 0.0028117124 | 1.1280646 | 3.2E-4 |
6.4 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.7780286E-6 | 3.4777884E-5 | 7.2787104 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0477235E-5 | 7.047621E-5 | 3.441686 | 5.0E-5 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4930484E-4 | 4.5925248E-4 | 1.8421322 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0022499003 | 0.00249251 | 0.0028117124 | 1.1280646 | 3.2E-4 |
6.5 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.7780286E-6 | 3.4777884E-5 | 7.2787104 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0477235E-5 | 7.047621E-5 | 3.441686 | 5.0E-5 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4930484E-4 | 4.5925248E-4 | 1.8421322 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0022499003 | 0.00249251 | 0.0028117124 | 1.1280646 | 3.2E-4 |
6.6 | 4.301311E-6 | 4.760897E-6 | 3.4760753E-5 | 7.3013034 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8434059E-5 | 2.0403815E-5 | 7.040279E-5 | 3.450472 | 5.0E-5 | 2.2441156E-4 | 2.4841115E-4 | 4.58359E-4 | 1.8451626 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0022418506 | 0.002483593 | 0.0028027983 | 1.1285256 | 3.2E-4 |
6.7 | 3.8599724E-6 | 4.27106E-6 | 3.427093E-5 | 8.023988 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6542634E-5 | 1.8304541E-5 | 6.830363E-5 | 3.7315125 | 5.0E-5 | 2.0138794E-4 | 2.228578E-4 | 3.8282215E-4 | 1.7177866 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0020120554 | 0.002228578 | 0.0024979762 | 1.1208835 | 2.7E-4 |
Coyote Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1706745E-5 | 1.4170413E-4 | 6.5281157 | 1.2E-4 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.302599E-5 | 2.9300738E-4 | 3.1497366 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011320751 | 0.001631509 | 1.4411669 | 5.0E-4 | 0.010280091 | 0.011270258 | 0.012061242 | 1.0701833 | 8.0E-4 |
6.1 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1706745E-5 | 1.4170413E-4 | 6.5281157 | 1.2E-4 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.302599E-5 | 2.9300738E-4 | 3.1497366 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011320751 | 0.001631509 | 1.4411669 | 5.0E-4 | 0.010280091 | 0.011270258 | 0.012061242 | 1.0701833 | 8.0E-4 |
6.2 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1706745E-5 | 1.4170413E-4 | 6.5281157 | 1.2E-4 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.302599E-5 | 2.9300738E-4 | 3.1497366 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011320751 | 0.001631509 | 1.4411669 | 5.0E-4 | 0.010280091 | 0.011270258 | 0.012061242 | 1.0701833 | 8.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.682067E-5 | 1.06819156E-4 | 6.35047 | 9.0E-5 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.2086936E-5 | 2.1207685E-4 | 2.9419594 | 1.4E-4 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.773662E-4 | 0.0012670241 | 1.4441222 | 3.9E-4 | 0.007974784 | 0.00874507 | 0.00936956 | 1.0714105 | 6.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.682067E-5 | 1.06819156E-4 | 6.35047 | 9.0E-5 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.2086936E-5 | 2.1207685E-4 | 2.9419594 | 1.4E-4 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.773662E-4 | 0.0012670241 | 1.4441222 | 3.9E-4 | 0.007974784 | 0.00874507 | 0.00936956 | 1.0714105 | 6.3E-4 |
6.5 | 1.4189697E-5 | 1.5557987E-5 | 1.0555659E-4 | 6.78472 | 9.0E-5 | 6.081157E-5 | 6.6675726E-5 | 1.9666705E-4 | 2.9496052 | 1.3E-4 | 7.401293E-4 | 8.115349E-4 | 0.0011812346 | 1.4555562 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0073766913 | 0.008091656 | 0.008686801 | 1.0735505 | 6.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.3469301E-5 | 1.4771577E-5 | 1.04770246E-4 | 7.092692 | 9.0E-5 | 5.7724297E-5 | 6.330556E-5 | 1.9329734E-4 | 3.053402 | 1.3E-4 | 7.025667E-4 | 7.7053264E-4 | 0.0011402476 | 1.4798173 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0070034964 | 0.0076845144 | 0.008269981 | 1.0761877 | 5.9E-4 |
6.7 | 1.3027966E-5 | 1.4281745E-5 | 1.0428046E-4 | 7.301661 | 9.0E-5 | 5.5832945E-5 | 6.120638E-5 | 1.9119843E-4 | 3.1238315 | 1.3E-4 | 6.7955407E-4 | 7.4499263E-4 | 0.0010647542 | 1.4292145 | 3.2E-4 | 0.006774798 | 0.0074308286 | 0.007966816 | 1.0721302 | 5.4E-4 |
6.8 | 5.695434E-6 | 6.2244176E-6 | 4.622417E-5 | 7.426264 | 4.0E-5 | 2.4408775E-5 | 2.6675973E-5 | 7.667464E-5 | 2.874296 | 5.0E-5 | 2.971363E-4 | 3.2476155E-4 | 4.2472908E-4 | 1.3078182 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0029673933 | 0.0032458105 | 0.0034152586 | 1.0522052 | 1.7E-4 |
6.9 | 4.385688E-6 | 4.7930553E-6 | 3.4792913E-5 | 7.2590256 | 3.0E-5 | 1.879567E-5 | 2.0541665E-5 | 6.0540846E-5 | 2.9472218 | 4.0E-5 | 2.2881327E-4 | 2.5009477E-4 | 3.3007478E-4 | 1.3197987 | 8.0E-5 | 0.002285778 | 0.0025009478 | 0.0026306226 | 1.0518503 | 1.3E-4 |
Helendale-So Lockhart
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8103729E-5 | 1.9810048E-4 | 10.942523 | 1.8E-4 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.7585224E-5 | 3.575635E-4 | 4.608655 | 2.8E-4 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.4421144E-4 | 0.0014037772 | 1.486719 | 4.6E-4 | 0.008984311 | 0.009404116 | 0.01015697 | 1.0800557 | 7.6E-4 |
6.1 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8103729E-5 | 1.9810048E-4 | 10.942523 | 1.8E-4 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.7585224E-5 | 3.575635E-4 | 4.608655 | 2.8E-4 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.4421144E-4 | 0.0014037772 | 1.486719 | 4.6E-4 | 0.008984311 | 0.009404116 | 0.01015697 | 1.0800557 | 7.6E-4 |
6.2 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8103729E-5 | 1.9810048E-4 | 10.942523 | 1.8E-4 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.7585224E-5 | 3.575635E-4 | 4.608655 | 2.8E-4 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.4421144E-4 | 0.0014037772 | 1.486719 | 4.6E-4 | 0.008984311 | 0.009404116 | 0.01015697 | 1.0800557 | 7.6E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1135425E-5 | 1.4113398E-4 | 12.674324 | 1.3E-4 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.772239E-5 | 2.3771332E-4 | 4.9811697 | 1.9E-4 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.80868E-4 | 8.906879E-4 | 1.5333741 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0055515557 | 0.0057937936 | 0.006290897 | 1.0857992 | 5.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1135425E-5 | 1.4113398E-4 | 12.674324 | 1.3E-4 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.772239E-5 | 2.3771332E-4 | 4.9811697 | 1.9E-4 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.80868E-4 | 8.906879E-4 | 1.5333741 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0055515557 | 0.0057937936 | 0.006290897 | 1.0857992 | 5.0E-4 |
6.5 | 8.790038E-6 | 9.170197E-6 | 9.9169374E-5 | 10.814312 | 9.0E-5 | 3.767105E-5 | 3.930026E-5 | 1.7929476E-4 | 4.562177 | 1.4E-4 | 4.585485E-4 | 4.7837716E-4 | 7.282576E-4 | 1.5223502 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0045760344 | 0.004773638 | 0.0051617767 | 1.0813087 | 3.9E-4 |
6.6 | 7.396949E-6 | 7.715537E-6 | 6.7715075E-5 | 8.776457 | 6.0E-5 | 3.1700827E-5 | 3.3066175E-5 | 1.230632E-4 | 3.7217247 | 9.0E-5 | 3.858892E-4 | 4.025073E-4 | 5.724389E-4 | 1.4221826 | 1.7E-4 | 0.003852198 | 0.00401789 | 0.004286805 | 1.0669295 | 2.7E-4 |
6.7 | 6.4600285E-6 | 6.738031E-6 | 5.6737696E-5 | 8.420515 | 5.0E-5 | 2.7685543E-5 | 2.887696E-5 | 1.0887465E-4 | 3.7702947 | 8.0E-5 | 3.3701936E-4 | 3.5152107E-4 | 5.014683E-4 | 1.426567 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0033650869 | 0.003509732 | 0.0037588545 | 1.0709805 | 2.5E-4 |
6.8 | 5.600104E-6 | 5.836009E-6 | 3.5835834E-5 | 6.140469 | 3.0E-5 | 2.4000226E-5 | 2.5011232E-5 | 8.5009735E-5 | 3.3988621 | 6.0E-5 | 2.9216358E-4 | 3.044698E-4 | 4.3443023E-4 | 1.4268417 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0029177975 | 0.003040588 | 0.0032200408 | 1.0590191 | 1.8E-4 |
6.9 | 4.839122E-6 | 5.0395092E-6 | 1.5039459E-5 | 2.9843102 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0738931E-5 | 2.159772E-5 | 5.159707E-5 | 2.3890054 | 3.0E-5 | 2.5246723E-4 | 2.6292098E-4 | 3.628947E-4 | 1.3802425 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002521806 | 0.002626147 | 0.002775753 | 1.0569679 | 1.5E-4 |
7.0 | 3.6937633E-6 | 3.845208E-6 | 1.384517E-5 | 3.6006296 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5830317E-5 | 1.647936E-5 | 4.6478865E-5 | 2.820429 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9271708E-4 | 2.0061806E-4 | 2.906E-4 | 1.4485236 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0019255003 | 0.002004401 | 0.0021441204 | 1.0697063 | 1.4E-4 |
7.1 | 2.7858857E-6 | 2.8978538E-6 | 1.28978245E-5 | 4.4508195 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1939455E-5 | 1.2419316E-5 | 3.2419066E-5 | 2.6103747 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4535317E-4 | 1.511949E-4 | 2.0118733E-4 | 1.330649 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0014525814 | 0.0015109418 | 0.001580836 | 1.0462587 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.1672065E-6 | 2.2540128E-6 | 1.22539905E-5 | 5.436522 | 1.0E-5 | 9.2879945E-6 | 9.66002E-6 | 2.9659826E-5 | 3.070369 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1307546E-4 | 1.1760458E-4 | 1.5759988E-4 | 1.3400828 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011301794 | 0.0011754417 | 0.0012353711 | 1.0509846 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4823496E-6 | 1.5422102E-6 | 1.5422102E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3529114E-6 | 6.6094562E-6 | 1.660939E-5 | 2.5129738 | 1.0E-5 | 7.734395E-5 | 8.046731E-5 | 1.104649E-4 | 1.3727922 | 3.0E-5 | 7.731704E-4 | 8.0439687E-4 | 8.443647E-4 | 1.0496867 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.2321457E-7 | 4.4108765E-7 | 4.4108765E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8137755E-6 | 1.8903745E-6 | 1.1890355E-5 | 6.289947 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2082493E-5 | 2.3015113E-5 | 3.3014883E-5 | 1.4344871 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2080299E-4 | 2.3013182E-4 | 2.4012952E-4 | 1.0434433 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.6942316E-8 | 5.9415648E-8 | 5.9415648E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.440385E-7 | 2.5463845E-7 | 2.5463845E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711643E-6 | 3.1002196E-6 | 3.1002196E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711247E-5 | 3.1001844E-5 | 3.1001844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.867027E-5 | 2.586658E-4 | 13.854423 | 2.4E-4 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.001303E-5 | 3.79989E-4 | 4.7490897 | 3.0E-4 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.737309E-4 | 0.0014532635 | 1.4924693 | 4.8E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695496 | 0.010438225 | 1.0766056 | 7.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.867027E-5 | 2.586658E-4 | 13.854423 | 2.4E-4 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.001303E-5 | 3.79989E-4 | 4.7490897 | 3.0E-4 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.737309E-4 | 0.0014532635 | 1.4924693 | 4.8E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695496 | 0.010438225 | 1.0766056 | 7.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.867027E-5 | 2.586658E-4 | 13.854423 | 2.4E-4 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.001303E-5 | 3.79989E-4 | 4.7490897 | 3.0E-4 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.737309E-4 | 0.0014532635 | 1.4924693 | 4.8E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695496 | 0.010438225 | 1.0766056 | 7.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.867027E-5 | 2.586658E-4 | 13.854423 | 2.4E-4 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.001303E-5 | 3.79989E-4 | 4.7490897 | 3.0E-4 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.737309E-4 | 0.0014532635 | 1.4924693 | 4.8E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695496 | 0.010438225 | 1.0766056 | 7.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.7338214E-5 | 2.0733492E-4 | 11.958263 | 1.9E-4 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.4304546E-5 | 3.0428745E-4 | 4.095139 | 2.3E-4 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.042885E-4 | 0.0012939358 | 1.4308883 | 3.9E-4 | 0.008063202 | 0.009006773 | 0.009621189 | 1.068217 | 6.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.7338214E-5 | 2.0733492E-4 | 11.958263 | 1.9E-4 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.4304546E-5 | 3.0428745E-4 | 4.095139 | 2.3E-4 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.042885E-4 | 0.0012939358 | 1.4308883 | 3.9E-4 | 0.008063202 | 0.009006773 | 0.009621189 | 1.068217 | 6.2E-4 |
6.6 | 1.5041828E-5 | 1.6809145E-5 | 1.8680628E-4 | 11.113373 | 1.7E-4 | 6.4463384E-5 | 7.203723E-5 | 2.820221E-4 | 3.9149492 | 2.1E-4 | 7.8455906E-4 | 8.767063E-4 | 0.0012363907 | 1.4102678 | 3.6E-4 | 0.00781795 | 0.008733132 | 0.009298154 | 1.0646987 | 5.7E-4 |
6.7 | 1.4634985E-5 | 1.6356016E-5 | 1.763534E-4 | 10.782173 | 1.6E-4 | 6.271985E-5 | 7.009536E-5 | 2.7008133E-4 | 3.853056 | 2.0E-4 | 7.6334673E-4 | 8.5308263E-4 | 0.0011927926 | 1.3982146 | 3.4E-4 | 0.007607299 | 0.008498715 | 0.009034126 | 1.062999 | 5.4E-4 |
6.8 | 1.4209158E-5 | 1.5882048E-5 | 1.6587967E-4 | 10.444476 | 1.5E-4 | 6.089497E-5 | 6.8064175E-5 | 2.5805124E-4 | 3.7912931 | 1.9E-4 | 7.4114406E-4 | 8.2837185E-4 | 0.0011580985 | 1.3980418 | 3.3E-4 | 0.007386771 | 0.008253456 | 0.008759247 | 1.0612823 | 5.1E-4 |
6.9 | 1.3780098E-5 | 1.5404594E-5 | 1.5540243E-4 | 10.088058 | 1.4E-4 | 5.9056227E-5 | 6.6018045E-5 | 2.3600682E-4 | 3.5748835 | 1.7E-4 | 7.1877235E-4 | 8.0347876E-4 | 0.0010932457 | 1.3606405 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0071645193 | 0.008006332 | 0.00843289 | 1.0532775 | 4.3E-4 |
7.0 | 1.3585064E-5 | 1.5188155E-5 | 1.3518633E-4 | 8.900774 | 1.2E-4 | 5.8220405E-5 | 6.50905E-5 | 2.1508074E-4 | 3.3043337 | 1.5E-4 | 7.086029E-4 | 7.9219416E-4 | 0.0010519882 | 1.3279424 | 2.6E-4 | 0.007063476 | 0.007894293 | 0.0082911365 | 1.0502695 | 4.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.3398601E-5 | 1.49813395E-5 | 1.2497969E-4 | 8.342358 | 1.1E-4 | 5.742131E-5 | 6.420419E-5 | 2.041952E-4 | 3.180403 | 1.4E-4 | 6.9888023E-4 | 7.8141113E-4 | 0.0010012392 | 1.2813219 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0069668638 | 0.007787224 | 0.008144421 | 1.0458696 | 3.6E-4 |
7.2 | 1.3126312E-5 | 1.4679561E-5 | 1.2467794E-4 | 8.493302 | 1.1E-4 | 5.6254412E-5 | 6.291092E-5 | 1.8290337E-4 | 2.907339 | 1.2E-4 | 6.846822E-4 | 7.6567667E-4 | 9.4553886E-4 | 1.2349062 | 1.8E-4 | 0.006825765 | 0.00763097 | 0.007928681 | 1.0390135 | 3.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2922429E-5 | 1.4453788E-5 | 1.244522E-4 | 8.610352 | 1.1E-4 | 5.5380664E-5 | 6.194336E-5 | 1.8193593E-4 | 2.9371336 | 1.2E-4 | 6.74051E-4 | 7.53905E-4 | 9.337693E-4 | 1.2385769 | 1.8E-4 | 0.006720101 | 0.007514055 | 0.0078118006 | 1.0396252 | 3.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.2768878E-5 | 1.4283772E-5 | 1.242822E-4 | 8.700937 | 1.1E-4 | 5.4722615E-5 | 6.1214756E-5 | 1.812074E-4 | 2.9601917 | 1.2E-4 | 6.660441E-4 | 7.4504025E-4 | 9.149136E-4 | 1.2280056 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0066405144 | 0.0074260035 | 0.00771385 | 1.038762 | 2.9E-4 |
7.5 | 1.2521929E-5 | 1.40120155E-5 | 1.2401048E-4 | 8.850295 | 1.1E-4 | 5.366431E-5 | 6.005014E-5 | 1.8004293E-4 | 2.99821 | 1.2E-4 | 6.531671E-4 | 7.3087064E-4 | 9.007464E-4 | 1.2324293 | 1.7E-4 | 0.006512506 | 0.0072852457 | 0.007573133 | 1.0395164 | 2.9E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1301089E-5 | 1.2648149E-5 | 8.264726E-5 | 6.5343366 | 7.0E-5 | 4.8432343E-5 | 5.4205255E-5 | 1.3420092E-4 | 2.4757917 | 8.0E-5 | 5.895042E-4 | 6.5975444E-4 | 7.796753E-4 | 1.1817658 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0058794282 | 0.00657851 | 0.0068169315 | 1.0362424 | 2.4E-4 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.0283358E-5 | 5.0282946E-5 | 4.88974 | 4.0E-5 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.407082E-5 | 9.4068615E-5 | 2.1344876 | 5.0E-5 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.3643517E-4 | 6.1639224E-4 | 1.1490526 | 8.0E-5 | 0.004783291 | 0.005351914 | 0.005540897 | 1.0353113 | 1.9E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6482615E-7 | 3.6482615E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635396E-6 | 1.5635396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9035933E-5 | 1.9035933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9034347E-4 | 1.9034347E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Owens Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6210524E-6 | 3.1361994E-4 | 86.61016 | 3.1E-4 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.551871E-5 | 3.3551373E-4 | 21.619951 | 3.2E-4 | 0.002521386 | 1.889249E-4 | 7.0882664E-4 | 3.7518966 | 5.2E-4 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019297141 | 0.0026283634 | 1.362048 | 7.0E-4 |
6.1 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6210524E-6 | 3.1361994E-4 | 86.61016 | 3.1E-4 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.551871E-5 | 3.3551373E-4 | 21.619951 | 3.2E-4 | 0.002521386 | 1.889249E-4 | 7.0882664E-4 | 3.7518966 | 5.2E-4 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019297141 | 0.0026283634 | 1.362048 | 7.0E-4 |
6.2 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6210524E-6 | 3.1361994E-4 | 86.61016 | 3.1E-4 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.551871E-5 | 3.3551373E-4 | 21.619951 | 3.2E-4 | 0.002521386 | 1.889249E-4 | 7.0882664E-4 | 3.7518966 | 5.2E-4 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019297141 | 0.0026283634 | 1.362048 | 7.0E-4 |
6.3 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.1530958E-6 | 2.4315235E-4 | 77.115425 | 2.4E-4 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.3513202E-5 | 2.6350984E-4 | 19.500175 | 2.5E-4 | 0.002060538 | 1.6451156E-4 | 5.544474E-4 | 3.3702643 | 3.9E-4 | 0.020415364 | 0.0016621627 | 0.0022012652 | 1.324338 | 5.4E-4 |
6.4 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.1530958E-6 | 2.4315235E-4 | 77.115425 | 2.4E-4 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.3513202E-5 | 2.6350984E-4 | 19.500175 | 2.5E-4 | 0.002060538 | 1.6451156E-4 | 5.544474E-4 | 3.3702643 | 3.9E-4 | 0.020415364 | 0.0016621627 | 0.0022012652 | 1.324338 | 5.4E-4 |
6.5 | 3.457342E-5 | 2.9707387E-6 | 2.4297003E-4 | 81.78774 | 2.4E-4 | 1.4816338E-4 | 1.273168E-5 | 2.6272848E-4 | 20.635809 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0018023965 | 1.5499788E-4 | 5.34939E-4 | 3.4512665 | 3.8E-4 | 0.017878477 | 0.0015563119 | 0.0020755024 | 1.3336033 | 5.2E-4 |
6.6 | 3.1127765E-5 | 2.8737306E-6 | 2.4287304E-4 | 84.51489 | 2.4E-4 | 1.3339789E-4 | 1.2315934E-5 | 2.6231285E-4 | 21.298656 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0016229092 | 1.4993687E-4 | 5.298799E-4 | 3.53402 | 3.8E-4 | 0.016111081 | 0.0015013438 | 0.002010578 | 1.3391857 | 5.1E-4 |
6.7 | 2.806885E-5 | 2.8101606E-6 | 2.3280951E-4 | 82.84563 | 2.3E-4 | 1.2028952E-4 | 1.2043493E-5 | 2.520406E-4 | 20.927532 | 2.4E-4 | 0.001463541 | 1.4662035E-4 | 5.065676E-4 | 3.4549608 | 3.6E-4 | 0.014539397 | 0.0014656087 | 0.0019449053 | 1.327029 | 4.8E-4 |
6.8 | 2.524524E-5 | 2.2351392E-6 | 2.3223463E-4 | 103.90164 | 2.3E-4 | 1.0818939E-4 | 9.579134E-6 | 2.4957684E-4 | 26.054216 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0013164099 | 1.16620016E-4 | 4.7657805E-4 | 4.0865884 | 3.6E-4 | 0.01308639 | 0.001165827 | 0.0016452675 | 1.4112449 | 4.8E-4 |
6.9 | 2.2704568E-5 | 1.6079711E-6 | 2.316076E-4 | 144.03717 | 2.3E-4 | 9.730166E-5 | 6.8912864E-6 | 2.4688963E-4 | 35.82635 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0011840039 | 8.38982E-5 | 4.43868E-4 | 5.2905545 | 3.6E-4 | 0.011777153 | 8.38853E-4 | 0.0013084587 | 1.5598189 | 4.7E-4 |
7.0 | 2.0871712E-5 | 1.5393621E-6 | 2.31539E-4 | 150.41231 | 2.3E-4 | 8.944713E-5 | 6.5972495E-6 | 2.4659568E-4 | 37.378555 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0010884746 | 8.031857E-5 | 4.4028964E-4 | 5.4817915 | 3.6E-4 | 0.010831586 | 8.030395E-4 | 0.0012726621 | 1.5848063 | 4.7E-4 |
7.1 | 1.944928E-5 | 1.3862556E-6 | 2.3138593E-4 | 166.91435 | 2.3E-4 | 8.335139E-5 | 5.941082E-6 | 2.4593965E-4 | 41.396442 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0010143308 | 7.233028E-5 | 4.3230425E-4 | 5.9768085 | 3.6E-4 | 0.010097133 | 7.2319806E-4 | 0.0011928582 | 1.6494211 | 4.7E-4 |
7.2 | 1.7876306E-5 | 1.2487686E-6 | 2.3124849E-4 | 185.18121 | 2.3E-4 | 7.6610486E-5 | 5.3518543E-6 | 2.4535056E-4 | 45.84403 | 2.4E-4 | 9.3233347E-4 | 6.515689E-5 | 4.2513342E-4 | 6.524766 | 3.6E-4 | 0.009284316 | 6.5148395E-4 | 0.0011211778 | 1.7209599 | 4.7E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2618672E-5 | 1.1113839E-6 | 2.2111114E-4 | 198.95117 | 2.2E-4 | 5.40789E-5 | 4.763065E-6 | 2.3476197E-4 | 49.288002 | 2.3E-4 | 6.582117E-4 | 5.7988782E-5 | 3.9796907E-4 | 6.862863 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0065626553 | 5.7983754E-4 | 0.0010195824 | 1.7583932 | 4.4E-4 |
7.4 | 7.4874442E-6 | 8.547518E-7 | 2.1085457E-4 | 246.68515 | 2.1E-4 | 3.208865E-5 | 3.6632168E-6 | 2.2366241E-4 | 61.056286 | 2.2E-4 | 3.906093E-4 | 4.4598757E-5 | 3.5458492E-4 | 7.9505563 | 3.1E-4 | 0.003899234 | 4.459579E-4 | 8.257884E-4 | 1.8517183 | 3.8E-4 |
7.5 | 2.4734156E-6 | 6.0679935E-7 | 1.6060671E-4 | 264.67844 | 1.6E-4 | 1.060031E-5 | 2.6005662E-6 | 1.7260012E-4 | 66.37021 | 1.7E-4 | 1.2905113E-4 | 3.1661435E-5 | 2.6165415E-4 | 8.264128 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0012897621 | 3.1656958E-4 | 5.864841E-4 | 1.8526231 | 2.7E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1328841E-6 | 3.1961991E-7 | 9.031959E-5 | 282.58435 | 9.0E-5 | 4.8552088E-6 | 1.369799E-6 | 1.0136966E-4 | 74.00331 | 1.0E-4 | 5.9110564E-5 | 1.6677177E-5 | 1.3667518E-4 | 8.195342 | 1.2E-4 | 5.9094845E-4 | 1.6675945E-4 | 3.067361E-4 | 1.8393927 | 1.4E-4 |
7.7 | 4.8613185E-7 | 8.962742E-8 | 3.0089624E-5 | 335.71896 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0834207E-6 | 3.8411747E-7 | 3.0384106E-5 | 79.10108 | 3.0E-5 | 2.536535E-5 | 4.676621E-6 | 4.4676435E-5 | 9.553144 | 4.0E-5 | 2.5362454E-4 | 4.676529E-5 | 9.676295E-5 | 2.069119 | 5.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Parkfield)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.556969E-4 | 7.778562E-4 | 0.0010476462 | 1.3468379 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0023793848 | 0.0033299583 | 0.0036787926 | 1.1047565 | 3.5E-4 | 0.028586963 | 0.040235043 | 0.04073412 | 1.0124041 | 5.2E-4 | 0.25176284 | 0.3371973 | 0.33763474 | 1.0012974 | 6.6E-4 |
6.1 | 1.925858E-4 | 3.0278185E-4 | 4.327425E-4 | 1.429222 | 1.3E-4 | 8.2510663E-4 | 0.001297085 | 0.0014668644 | 1.1308931 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0099994885 | 0.01577393 | 0.016010145 | 1.014975 | 2.4E-4 | 0.095613256 | 0.14975825 | 0.15000482 | 1.0016464 | 2.9E-4 |
6.2 | 9.4306815E-5 | 1.8243887E-4 | 3.0241697E-4 | 1.6576345 | 1.2E-4 | 4.0410945E-4 | 7.8164786E-4 | 9.215384E-4 | 1.1789688 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0049089384 | 0.009475246 | 0.009683257 | 1.021953 | 2.1E-4 | 0.048019063 | 0.0918565 | 0.09209262 | 1.0025705 | 2.6E-4 |
6.3 | 9.283051E-5 | 1.794041E-4 | 2.9938258E-4 | 1.668761 | 1.2E-4 | 3.9778434E-4 | 7.686494E-4 | 9.085418E-4 | 1.1819977 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0048322747 | 0.009318355 | 0.009526397 | 1.0223261 | 2.1E-4 | 0.047285385 | 0.090509474 | 0.09074594 | 1.0026126 | 2.6E-4 |
6.4 | 9.138826E-5 | 1.7702584E-4 | 2.970046E-4 | 1.6777471 | 1.2E-4 | 3.916052E-4 | 7.5846276E-4 | 8.9835655E-4 | 1.1844438 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0047573745 | 0.009195387 | 0.009403456 | 1.0226276 | 2.1E-4 | 0.046568092 | 0.0894136 | 0.08965035 | 1.0026479 | 2.6E-4 |
6.5 | 9.000255E-5 | 1.746064E-4 | 2.9458545E-4 | 1.6871401 | 1.2E-4 | 3.8566816E-4 | 7.4809964E-4 | 8.8799495E-4 | 1.1870009 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0046854047 | 0.009070284 | 0.009278379 | 1.0229425 | 2.1E-4 | 0.045878403 | 0.08829608 | 0.08853312 | 1.0026846 | 2.6E-4 |
6.6 | 8.8109264E-5 | 1.7141816E-4 | 2.913976E-4 | 1.6999226 | 1.2E-4 | 3.7755648E-4 | 7.3444354E-4 | 8.743407E-4 | 1.1904805 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0045870654 | 0.008905404 | 0.009113534 | 1.0233712 | 2.1E-4 | 0.04493529 | 0.08682707 | 0.0870645 | 1.0027344 | 2.6E-4 |
6.7 | 8.738073E-5 | 1.7008898E-4 | 2.9006856E-4 | 1.7053931 | 1.2E-4 | 3.7443507E-4 | 7.287503E-4 | 8.686483E-4 | 1.1919696 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0045492216 | 0.008836695 | 0.009044839 | 1.0235546 | 2.1E-4 | 0.04457213 | 0.0862268 | 0.08646438 | 1.0027553 | 2.6E-4 |
6.8 | 8.710195E-5 | 1.6954402E-4 | 2.8952368E-4 | 1.7076608 | 1.2E-4 | 3.7324068E-4 | 7.26416E-4 | 8.6631434E-4 | 1.192587 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0045347405 | 0.008808513 | 0.009016663 | 1.0236306 | 2.1E-4 | 0.04443313 | 0.08597436 | 0.08621201 | 1.0027641 | 2.6E-4 |
6.9 | 8.6801556E-5 | 1.6895356E-4 | 2.8893328E-4 | 1.7101344 | 1.2E-4 | 3.7195362E-4 | 7.238869E-4 | 8.6378556E-4 | 1.1932604 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0045191357 | 0.0087779695 | 0.008986126 | 1.0237135 | 2.1E-4 | 0.044283327 | 0.08570042 | 0.08593814 | 1.0027739 | 2.6E-4 |
7.0 | 8.5571606E-5 | 1.664819E-4 | 2.8646193E-4 | 1.720679 | 1.2E-4 | 3.6668387E-4 | 7.132999E-4 | 8.5320004E-4 | 1.1961309 | 1.4E-4 | 0.004455241 | 0.008650103 | 0.008858287 | 1.0240672 | 2.1E-4 | 0.043669727 | 0.08454836 | 0.084786385 | 1.0028151 | 2.6E-4 |
7.1 | 7.82589E-5 | 1.5128969E-4 | 2.7127154E-4 | 1.7930603 | 1.2E-4 | 3.3535215E-4 | 6.4822397E-4 | 7.881332E-4 | 1.2158347 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0040752706 | 0.007863738 | 0.008072087 | 1.0264949 | 2.1E-4 | 0.040013418 | 0.077460445 | 0.0777003 | 1.0030966 | 2.6E-4 |
7.2 | 7.690929E-5 | 1.4866212E-4 | 2.6864427E-4 | 1.8070796 | 1.2E-4 | 3.2956956E-4 | 6.369685E-4 | 7.768793E-4 | 1.2196511 | 1.4E-4 | 0.004005129 | 0.0077276826 | 0.0079360595 | 1.026965 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0393371 | 0.07623341 | 0.076473586 | 1.0031506 | 2.6E-4 |
7.3 | 7.5543794E-5 | 1.4562748E-4 | 2.6561E-4 | 1.8239003 | 1.2E-4 | 3.2371894E-4 | 6.239692E-4 | 7.6388184E-4 | 1.22423 | 1.4E-4 | 0.003934157 | 0.0075705256 | 0.007778936 | 1.0275291 | 2.1E-4 | 0.038652334 | 0.07479777 | 0.07503832 | 1.003216 | 2.6E-4 |
7.4 | 7.4214564E-5 | 1.4263717E-4 | 2.6262004E-4 | 1.8411754 | 1.2E-4 | 3.1802364E-4 | 6.1115966E-4 | 7.510741E-4 | 1.2289327 | 1.4E-4 | 0.003865065 | 0.0074156416 | 0.007624084 | 1.0281085 | 2.1E-4 | 0.03798529 | 0.07337152 | 0.07361245 | 1.0032836 | 2.6E-4 |
7.5 | 6.149578E-5 | 1.1191443E-4 | 2.2190211E-4 | 1.9827838 | 1.1E-4 | 2.6352672E-4 | 4.795452E-4 | 6.094829E-4 | 1.2709602 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0032037178 | 0.005822865 | 0.0060117585 | 1.03244 | 1.9E-4 | 0.03157923 | 0.058559462 | 0.058775995 | 1.0036976 | 2.3E-4 |
7.6 | 6.0643448E-5 | 1.102009E-4 | 2.2018877E-4 | 1.998067 | 1.1E-4 | 2.598746E-4 | 4.7220418E-4 | 6.0214277E-4 | 1.2751746 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0031593828 | 0.005733962 | 0.0059228726 | 1.0329459 | 1.9E-4 | 0.031148417 | 0.05772042 | 0.05793714 | 1.0037547 | 2.3E-4 |
7.7 | 5.1652263E-5 | 9.175265E-5 | 2.0174256E-4 | 2.1987655 | 1.1E-4 | 2.2134806E-4 | 3.9316638E-4 | 5.231153E-4 | 1.3305188 | 1.3E-4 | 0.002691582 | 0.0047763046 | 0.0049454924 | 1.0354223 | 1.7E-4 | 0.026592141 | 0.04853641 | 0.04870767 | 1.0035286 | 1.8E-4 |
7.8 | 4.8090482E-5 | 8.560165E-5 | 1.5559566E-4 | 1.8176712 | 7.0E-5 | 2.060858E-4 | 3.6681266E-4 | 4.5677964E-4 | 1.2452668 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0025062072 | 0.004456807 | 0.0045762723 | 1.0268052 | 1.2E-4 | 0.024781305 | 0.045302264 | 0.045426376 | 1.0027397 | 1.3E-4 |
7.9 | 3.970278E-5 | 6.7507375E-5 | 1.17504E-4 | 1.7406099 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7014367E-4 | 2.8928524E-4 | 3.59265E-4 | 1.2419057 | 7.0E-5 | 0.002069531 | 0.0035163634 | 0.003606047 | 1.0255046 | 9.0E-5 | 0.020503636 | 0.03588176 | 0.03596853 | 1.0024183 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.8982335E-5 | 4.0698153E-5 | 6.069734E-5 | 1.4914027 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2420409E-4 | 1.7440901E-4 | 2.1440203E-4 | 1.229306 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0015111357 | 0.0021213628 | 0.002161278 | 1.0188158 | 4.0E-5 | 0.015009012 | 0.02201118 | 0.0220503 | 1.0017773 | 4.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.8836186E-5 | 1.867974E-5 | 1.867974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0724014E-5 | 8.005358E-5 | 9.0052774E-5 | 1.1249063 | 1.0E-5 | 9.823717E-4 | 9.742171E-4 | 9.842074E-4 | 1.0102546 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009780403 | 0.010487711 | 0.010497605 | 1.0009435 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032481793 | 0.0032481793 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6564595E-7 | 7.6564595E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9949547E-5 | 3.9949547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.717979E-4 | 4.717979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0005194E-4 | 5.399799E-4 | 1.7996216 | 2.4E-4 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012853292 | 0.0016348793 | 1.2719538 | 3.5E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.015541554 | 0.015984561 | 1.0285046 | 4.5E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.14294699 | 0.14347836 | 1.0037173 | 6.2E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0005194E-4 | 5.399799E-4 | 1.7996216 | 2.4E-4 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012853292 | 0.0016348793 | 1.2719538 | 3.5E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.015541554 | 0.015984561 | 1.0285046 | 4.5E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.14294699 | 0.14347836 | 1.0037173 | 6.2E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0005194E-4 | 5.399799E-4 | 1.7996216 | 2.4E-4 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012853292 | 0.0016348793 | 1.2719538 | 3.5E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.015541554 | 0.015984561 | 1.0285046 | 4.5E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.14294699 | 0.14347836 | 1.0037173 | 6.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.8793467E-4 | 5.1786844E-4 | 1.7985623 | 2.3E-4 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012334478 | 0.0015730284 | 1.27531 | 3.4E-4 | 0.006093008 | 0.014918666 | 0.015352102 | 1.0290532 | 4.4E-4 | 0.059286322 | 0.13765779 | 0.13819243 | 1.003884 | 6.2E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.8793467E-4 | 5.1786844E-4 | 1.7985623 | 2.3E-4 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012334478 | 0.0015730284 | 1.27531 | 3.4E-4 | 0.006093008 | 0.014918666 | 0.015352102 | 1.0290532 | 4.4E-4 | 0.059286322 | 0.13765779 | 0.13819243 | 1.003884 | 6.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.0689076E-4 | 2.6806415E-4 | 4.8800517E-4 | 1.820479 | 2.2E-4 | 4.5802278E-4 | 0.0011483653 | 0.0014779863 | 1.287035 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0055621783 | 0.013896335 | 0.01432036 | 1.0305134 | 4.3E-4 | 0.05425003 | 0.1288989 | 0.12942156 | 1.0040548 | 6.0E-4 |
6.6 | 9.7648895E-5 | 2.505129E-4 | 4.704578E-4 | 1.8779782 | 2.2E-4 | 4.1842813E-4 | 0.0010732086 | 0.0014028545 | 1.3071592 | 3.3E-4 | 0.005082469 | 0.012992399 | 0.013416812 | 1.0326663 | 4.3E-4 | 0.049677886 | 0.121077746 | 0.121596314 | 1.004283 | 5.9E-4 |
6.7 | 8.757013E-5 | 2.3122175E-4 | 4.511709E-4 | 1.9512476 | 2.2E-4 | 3.7524657E-4 | 9.905964E-4 | 0.0013002893 | 1.3126328 | 3.1E-4 | 0.00455906 | 0.011997902 | 0.012402982 | 1.0337627 | 4.1E-4 | 0.04466656 | 0.112373024 | 0.1128701 | 1.0044234 | 5.6E-4 |
6.8 | 8.562978E-5 | 2.2682057E-4 | 4.4677066E-4 | 1.9697096 | 2.2E-4 | 3.6693315E-4 | 9.7174826E-4 | 0.001281447 | 1.3187027 | 3.1E-4 | 0.004458263 | 0.011770921 | 0.0121760955 | 1.0344216 | 4.1E-4 | 0.043698758 | 0.11037863 | 0.11087682 | 1.0045135 | 5.6E-4 |
6.9 | 6.124075E-5 | 1.7066885E-4 | 3.906313E-4 | 2.288826 | 2.2E-4 | 2.6243398E-4 | 7.312337E-4 | 0.001041007 | 1.4236311 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0031904527 | 0.008866636 | 0.009273001 | 1.0458307 | 4.1E-4 | 0.031450346 | 0.08420262 | 0.08468799 | 1.0057644 | 5.3E-4 |
7.0 | 5.8598747E-5 | 1.6495936E-4 | 3.8492307E-4 | 2.333442 | 2.2E-4 | 2.5111332E-4 | 7.067779E-4 | 0.0010165588 | 1.4383003 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0030530186 | 0.008571265 | 0.008977751 | 1.0474242 | 4.1E-4 | 0.03011414 | 0.08151562 | 0.08200241 | 1.0059718 | 5.3E-4 |
7.1 | 5.613814E-5 | 1.5914452E-4 | 3.791095E-4 | 2.3821714 | 2.2E-4 | 2.4056983E-4 | 6.818704E-4 | 9.91659E-4 | 1.4543219 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0029250039 | 0.008270353 | 0.008676962 | 1.0491647 | 4.1E-4 | 0.028868021 | 0.07881268 | 0.07930091 | 1.0061948 | 5.3E-4 |
7.2 | 4.991222E-5 | 1.4520933E-4 | 3.6517737E-4 | 2.5148342 | 2.2E-4 | 2.1389198E-4 | 6.221777E-4 | 9.3198474E-4 | 1.49794 | 3.1E-4 | 0.002601025 | 0.0075488063 | 0.007955711 | 1.0539032 | 4.1E-4 | 0.025707912 | 0.07226191 | 0.07274433 | 1.0066761 | 5.2E-4 |
7.3 | 4.7410045E-5 | 1.371513E-4 | 3.5712114E-4 | 2.6038477 | 2.2E-4 | 2.0317009E-4 | 5.8765925E-4 | 8.974771E-4 | 1.5272065 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0024707897 | 0.0071313656 | 0.0075384416 | 1.0570825 | 4.1E-4 | 0.024434982 | 0.068541944 | 0.0690263 | 1.0070666 | 5.2E-4 |
7.4 | 4.5556746E-5 | 1.3123035E-4 | 3.5120148E-4 | 2.6762216 | 2.2E-4 | 1.952286E-4 | 5.6229485E-4 | 8.7212055E-4 | 1.5510021 | 3.1E-4 | 0.002374317 | 0.0068245293 | 0.0072317314 | 1.0596673 | 4.1E-4 | 0.023491086 | 0.06579143 | 0.06627721 | 1.0073838 | 5.2E-4 |
7.5 | 4.3084514E-5 | 1.2358342E-4 | 3.3355746E-4 | 2.699047 | 2.1E-4 | 1.8463485E-4 | 5.2953605E-4 | 8.2937715E-4 | 1.5662336 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0022456115 | 0.0064281146 | 0.0068156077 | 1.0602809 | 3.9E-4 | 0.022230545 | 0.062190283 | 0.06264981 | 1.0073891 | 4.9E-4 |
7.6 | 3.408608E-5 | 9.836477E-5 | 3.083441E-4 | 3.1347008 | 2.1E-4 | 1.4607502E-4 | 4.214953E-4 | 7.213688E-4 | 1.7114518 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0017770125 | 0.005119656 | 0.005507659 | 1.075787 | 3.9E-4 | 0.017628696 | 0.05002244 | 0.050487924 | 1.0093056 | 4.9E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8315713E-5 | 8.2495724E-5 | 2.924784E-4 | 3.5453765 | 2.1E-4 | 1.2134742E-4 | 3.5350522E-4 | 6.5339915E-4 | 1.8483437 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0014764034 | 0.004295442 | 0.0046837665 | 1.0904039 | 3.9E-4 | 0.01466633 | 0.042272415 | 0.0427417 | 1.0111015 | 4.9E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6222975E-5 | 7.463898E-5 | 2.846233E-4 | 3.8133333 | 2.1E-4 | 1.1237934E-4 | 3.1984213E-4 | 6.1974616E-4 | 1.9376627 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0013673597 | 0.003887131 | 0.0042756153 | 1.099941 | 3.9E-4 | 0.013589768 | 0.038437475 | 0.03890864 | 1.0122579 | 4.9E-4 |
7.9 | 2.1469694E-5 | 5.7884805E-5 | 2.2787496E-4 | 3.9366975 | 1.7E-4 | 9.200973E-5 | 2.4805416E-4 | 4.9799215E-4 | 2.0075943 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0011196428 | 0.00301588 | 0.003334915 | 1.105785 | 3.2E-4 | 0.011140184 | 0.030153265 | 0.030560602 | 1.0135088 | 4.2E-4 |
8.0 | 1.2420249E-5 | 3.1321662E-5 | 9.131979E-5 | 2.9155471 | 6.0E-5 | 5.322855E-5 | 1.342288E-4 | 2.4421402E-4 | 1.8193862 | 1.1E-4 | 6.478649E-4 | 0.0016330116 | 0.0017927503 | 1.0978185 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0064597935 | 0.01652369 | 0.016720386 | 1.0119039 | 2.0E-4 |
8.1 | 4.9197724E-6 | 7.822525E-6 | 7.822525E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1084568E-5 | 3.3524673E-5 | 3.3524673E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.566744E-4 | 4.080866E-4 | 4.080866E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002563781 | 0.004384557 | 0.004384557 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.5634774E-6 | 2.9065757E-6 | 2.9065757E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0986286E-5 | 1.2456694E-5 | 1.2456694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3374983E-4 | 1.5164974E-4 | 1.5164974E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013366934 | 0.001704941 | 0.001704941 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.2850464E-7 | 3.2080476E-7 | 3.2080476E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2650179E-6 | 1.3748769E-6 | 1.3748769E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7576245E-5 | 1.673901E-5 | 1.673901E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7572823E-4 | 1.986671E-4 | 1.986671E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Big Bend)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0073925E-4 | 4.006991E-4 | 1.9961174 | 2.0E-4 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.6002843E-4 | 0.0011397876 | 1.3252907 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010420859 | 0.010796899 | 1.0360854 | 3.8E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.101455905 | 0.10194112 | 1.0047826 | 5.4E-4 |
6.1 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0073925E-4 | 4.006991E-4 | 1.9961174 | 2.0E-4 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.6002843E-4 | 0.0011397876 | 1.3252907 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010420859 | 0.010796899 | 1.0360854 | 3.8E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.101455905 | 0.10194112 | 1.0047826 | 5.4E-4 |
6.2 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0073925E-4 | 4.006991E-4 | 1.9961174 | 2.0E-4 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.6002843E-4 | 0.0011397876 | 1.3252907 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010420859 | 0.010796899 | 1.0360854 | 3.8E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.101455905 | 0.10194112 | 1.0047826 | 5.4E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0073925E-4 | 4.006991E-4 | 1.9961174 | 2.0E-4 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.6002843E-4 | 0.0011397876 | 1.3252907 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010420859 | 0.010796899 | 1.0360854 | 3.8E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.101455905 | 0.10194112 | 1.0047826 | 5.4E-4 |
6.4 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8430917E-4 | 3.3428153E-4 | 1.8136998 | 1.5E-4 | 3.9268145E-4 | 7.896575E-4 | 9.994918E-4 | 1.2657281 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009571818 | 0.009868947 | 1.031042 | 3.0E-4 | 0.046693064 | 0.09378695 | 0.09414943 | 1.003865 | 4.0E-4 |
6.5 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8430917E-4 | 3.3428153E-4 | 1.8136998 | 1.5E-4 | 3.9268145E-4 | 7.896575E-4 | 9.994918E-4 | 1.2657281 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009571818 | 0.009868947 | 1.031042 | 3.0E-4 | 0.046693064 | 0.09378695 | 0.09414943 | 1.003865 | 4.0E-4 |
6.6 | 9.042622E-5 | 1.8238011E-4 | 3.2235458E-4 | 1.7674875 | 1.4E-4 | 3.8748336E-4 | 7.813951E-4 | 9.712467E-4 | 1.2429649 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0047074095 | 0.0094721 | 0.009749448 | 1.0292805 | 2.8E-4 | 0.046089325 | 0.09287721 | 0.09321284 | 1.0036137 | 3.7E-4 |
6.7 | 8.9836685E-5 | 1.8152347E-4 | 3.2149805E-4 | 1.7711102 | 1.4E-4 | 3.8495753E-4 | 7.7772595E-4 | 9.675782E-4 | 1.244112 | 1.9E-4 | 0.00467679 | 0.009427815 | 0.009685364 | 1.027318 | 2.6E-4 | 0.045795817 | 0.09247148 | 0.09278912 | 1.0034349 | 3.5E-4 |
6.8 | 8.9471854E-5 | 1.8099119E-4 | 3.2096586E-4 | 1.7733783 | 1.4E-4 | 3.8339442E-4 | 7.754462E-4 | 9.6529885E-4 | 1.2448303 | 1.9E-4 | 0.004657841 | 0.009400298 | 0.009657853 | 1.0273987 | 2.6E-4 | 0.04561414 | 0.0922192 | 0.09253693 | 1.0034453 | 3.5E-4 |
6.9 | 8.858234E-5 | 1.7981093E-4 | 3.1978576E-4 | 1.7784556 | 1.4E-4 | 3.7958333E-4 | 7.7039085E-4 | 9.6024445E-4 | 1.246438 | 1.9E-4 | 0.004611638 | 0.009339278 | 0.00959685 | 1.0275794 | 2.6E-4 | 0.04517103 | 0.09165911 | 0.09197702 | 1.0034685 | 3.5E-4 |
7.0 | 8.7433385E-5 | 1.7819891E-4 | 3.1817396E-4 | 1.785499 | 1.4E-4 | 3.746607E-4 | 7.6348626E-4 | 9.533412E-4 | 1.2486684 | 1.9E-4 | 0.004551957 | 0.009255932 | 0.009513525 | 1.0278301 | 2.6E-4 | 0.044598386 | 0.09089323 | 0.091211416 | 1.0035007 | 3.5E-4 |
7.1 | 8.684964E-5 | 1.7731842E-4 | 3.0729536E-4 | 1.7330143 | 1.3E-4 | 3.7215967E-4 | 7.597149E-4 | 9.3957817E-4 | 1.236751 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0045216335 | 0.009210405 | 0.009458102 | 1.0268933 | 2.5E-4 | 0.04430731 | 0.09047475 | 0.090774894 | 1.0033175 | 3.3E-4 |
7.2 | 8.606521E-5 | 1.7622454E-4 | 3.0620163E-4 | 1.7375653 | 1.3E-4 | 3.6879873E-4 | 7.550296E-4 | 9.249012E-4 | 1.2249868 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0044808835 | 0.009153842 | 0.009391645 | 1.0259784 | 2.4E-4 | 0.043916024 | 0.08995518 | 0.090246394 | 1.0032374 | 3.2E-4 |
7.3 | 8.568266E-5 | 1.7564454E-4 | 3.056217E-4 | 1.7400012 | 1.3E-4 | 3.6715972E-4 | 7.5254537E-4 | 9.2241744E-4 | 1.2257301 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0044610105 | 0.00912385 | 0.00936166 | 1.0260646 | 2.4E-4 | 0.043725148 | 0.08967623 | 0.089967534 | 1.0032483 | 3.2E-4 |
7.4 | 8.5432206E-5 | 1.752704E-4 | 3.052476E-4 | 1.7415811 | 1.3E-4 | 3.6608664E-4 | 7.509428E-4 | 9.208151E-4 | 1.2262121 | 1.7E-4 | 0.004447999 | 0.009104501 | 0.009342317 | 1.0261205 | 2.4E-4 | 0.043600157 | 0.08949642 | 0.08978778 | 1.0032556 | 3.2E-4 |
7.5 | 8.4791965E-5 | 1.7396381E-4 | 3.039412E-4 | 1.7471519 | 1.3E-4 | 3.633435E-4 | 7.4534636E-4 | 9.1521966E-4 | 1.2279118 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0044147377 | 0.009036932 | 0.009274764 | 1.0263177 | 2.4E-4 | 0.043280575 | 0.08887209 | 0.08916365 | 1.0032806 | 3.2E-4 |
7.6 | 8.241105E-5 | 1.6841735E-4 | 2.9839543E-4 | 1.771762 | 1.3E-4 | 3.531424E-4 | 7.2158914E-4 | 8.9146645E-4 | 1.2354212 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0042910352 | 0.008750047 | 0.008987947 | 1.0271884 | 2.4E-4 | 0.042091176 | 0.08625032 | 0.08653358 | 1.0032842 | 3.1E-4 |
7.7 | 7.00432E-5 | 1.4205615E-4 | 2.620391E-4 | 1.8446164 | 1.2E-4 | 3.001506E-4 | 6.0867006E-4 | 7.5857877E-4 | 1.2462889 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0036482112 | 0.0073854174 | 0.0075839404 | 1.0268804 | 2.0E-4 | 0.035888977 | 0.07352299 | 0.07371755 | 1.0026462 | 2.1E-4 |
7.8 | 6.415362E-5 | 1.2969968E-4 | 1.9969059E-4 | 1.5396384 | 7.0E-5 | 2.749151E-4 | 5.557374E-4 | 6.556818E-4 | 1.1798412 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0033419547 | 0.0067451415 | 0.0068841972 | 1.0206157 | 1.4E-4 | 0.03292141 | 0.06725514 | 0.067395054 | 1.0020803 | 1.5E-4 |
7.9 | 4.939911E-5 | 9.341721E-5 | 1.4341254E-4 | 1.5351832 | 5.0E-5 | 2.116933E-4 | 4.0029807E-4 | 4.7027005E-4 | 1.1747997 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0025743195 | 0.004862747 | 0.0049523097 | 1.0184181 | 9.0E-5 | 0.025447013 | 0.048915803 | 0.0490014 | 1.0017499 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.344983E-5 | 5.2228E-5 | 7.2226954E-5 | 1.3829163 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4334853E-4 | 2.2381509E-4 | 2.6380614E-4 | 1.178679 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017438711 | 0.0027215453 | 0.0027614364 | 1.0146575 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017302496 | 0.027923161 | 0.027962044 | 1.0013925 | 4.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9104898E-5 | 1.9171663E-5 | 1.9171663E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1875565E-5 | 8.2161685E-5 | 9.216086E-5 | 1.1217012 | 1.0E-5 | 9.963791E-4 | 9.9986E-4 | 0.0010098501 | 1.0099914 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009919235 | 0.010749552 | 0.010759445 | 1.0009203 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032481793 | 0.0032481793 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6564595E-7 | 7.6564595E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9949547E-5 | 3.9949547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.717979E-4 | 4.717979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.75733E-6 | 2.1675591E-4 | 32.077152 | 2.1E-4 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.895971E-5 | 2.5895305E-4 | 8.941838 | 2.3E-4 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253543E-4 | 7.124085E-4 | 2.020814 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035205502 | 0.0040486846 | 1.1500146 | 5.3E-4 |
6.1 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.75733E-6 | 2.1675591E-4 | 32.077152 | 2.1E-4 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.895971E-5 | 2.5895305E-4 | 8.941838 | 2.3E-4 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253543E-4 | 7.124085E-4 | 2.020814 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035205502 | 0.0040486846 | 1.1500146 | 5.3E-4 |
6.2 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.75733E-6 | 2.1675591E-4 | 32.077152 | 2.1E-4 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.895971E-5 | 2.5895305E-4 | 8.941838 | 2.3E-4 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253543E-4 | 7.124085E-4 | 2.020814 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035205502 | 0.0040486846 | 1.1500146 | 5.3E-4 |
6.3 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.75733E-6 | 2.1675591E-4 | 32.077152 | 2.1E-4 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.895971E-5 | 2.5895305E-4 | 8.941838 | 2.3E-4 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253543E-4 | 7.124085E-4 | 2.020814 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035205502 | 0.0040486846 | 1.1500146 | 5.3E-4 |
6.4 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.75733E-6 | 2.1675591E-4 | 32.077152 | 2.1E-4 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.895971E-5 | 2.5895305E-4 | 8.941838 | 2.3E-4 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253543E-4 | 7.124085E-4 | 2.020814 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035205502 | 0.0040486846 | 1.1500146 | 5.3E-4 |
6.5 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2570915E-6 | 9.32568E-5 | 28.631924 | 9.0E-5 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3958894E-5 | 1.13957496E-4 | 8.163792 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.6993708E-4 | 3.699031E-4 | 2.176706 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0016767744 | 0.001698151 | 0.0019976415 | 1.1763628 | 3.0E-4 |
6.6 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2570915E-6 | 9.32568E-5 | 28.631924 | 9.0E-5 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3958894E-5 | 1.13957496E-4 | 8.163792 | 1.0E-4 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.6993708E-4 | 3.699031E-4 | 2.176706 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0016767744 | 0.001698151 | 0.0019976415 | 1.1763628 | 3.0E-4 |
6.7 | 2.1908265E-6 | 2.2071222E-6 | 7.220697E-5 | 32.715435 | 7.0E-5 | 9.389223E-6 | 9.459062E-6 | 8.9458306E-5 | 9.457418 | 8.0E-5 | 1.1430779E-4 | 1.1515819E-4 | 2.5514208E-4 | 2.215579 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0011424901 | 0.0011510046 | 0.0013507744 | 1.1735612 | 2.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.7303895E-6 | 1.736553E-6 | 6.173645E-5 | 35.551147 | 6.0E-5 | 7.415934E-6 | 7.442349E-6 | 7.744183E-5 | 10.405562 | 7.0E-5 | 9.028525E-5 | 9.060693E-5 | 2.0059697E-4 | 2.2139251 | 1.1E-4 | 9.024858E-4 | 9.0570963E-4 | 0.0010755557 | 1.1875281 | 1.7E-4 |
6.9 | 1.3700314E-6 | 1.3688623E-6 | 4.1368807E-5 | 30.221306 | 4.0E-5 | 5.87155E-6 | 5.86654E-6 | 5.5866247E-5 | 9.5228615 | 5.0E-5 | 7.148377E-5 | 7.142283E-5 | 1.4141783E-4 | 1.9800088 | 7.0E-5 | 7.146078E-4 | 7.140033E-4 | 8.239248E-4 | 1.1539509 | 1.1E-4 |
7.0 | 1.1467797E-6 | 1.1413805E-6 | 1.1141369E-5 | 9.76131 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9147607E-6 | 4.8916218E-6 | 1.4891573E-5 | 3.0443017 | 1.0E-5 | 5.983557E-5 | 5.95539E-5 | 7.955271E-5 | 1.3358102 | 2.0E-5 | 5.981946E-4 | 5.9538253E-4 | 6.4535276E-4 | 1.0839297 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.3952065E-7 | 9.3026915E-7 | 1.093026E-5 | 11.749567 | 1.0E-5 | 4.026511E-6 | 3.986862E-6 | 1.3986822E-5 | 3.5082285 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9021666E-5 | 4.853898E-5 | 6.853801E-5 | 1.41202 | 2.0E-5 | 4.901085E-4 | 4.8528553E-4 | 5.252661E-4 | 1.0823857 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.858055E-7 | 6.7193014E-7 | 1.06719235E-5 | 15.882489 | 1.0E-5 | 2.939163E-6 | 2.8796974E-6 | 1.2879668E-5 | 4.472577 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5783723E-5 | 3.5059762E-5 | 5.505906E-5 | 1.5704346 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5777962E-4 | 3.5054318E-4 | 3.7053617E-4 | 1.0570343 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.1101983E-7 | 4.939301E-7 | 1.0493925E-5 | 21.245771 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1900833E-6 | 2.1168414E-6 | 1.21168205E-5 | 5.7240095 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6663936E-5 | 2.5772246E-5 | 4.577173E-5 | 1.7760086 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6660739E-4 | 2.5769303E-4 | 2.7768788E-4 | 1.0775918 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.4999414E-7 | 3.2995916E-7 | 3.2995916E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.499974E-6 | 1.4141099E-6 | 1.4141099E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8262032E-5 | 1.7216655E-5 | 2.7216482E-5 | 1.580823 | 1.0E-5 | 1.826053E-4 | 1.7215345E-4 | 1.8215172E-4 | 1.0580777 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.7021522E-7 | 1.4750053E-7 | 1.4750053E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2949354E-7 | 6.32145E-7 | 6.32145E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.881548E-6 | 7.696339E-6 | 7.696339E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8811925E-5 | 7.696081E-5 | 7.696081E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.735264E-8 | 1.735264E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.436845E-8 | 7.436845E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.0543557E-7 | 9.0543557E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.054324E-6 | 9.054324E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Independence rev 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3262253E-6 | 1.943254E-4 | 44.918003 | 1.9E-4 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540852E-5 | 2.3853677E-4 | 12.865471 | 2.2E-4 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571447E-4 | 5.5563997E-4 | 2.4616942 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551457 | 0.0027141082 | 1.2035179 | 4.6E-4 |
6.1 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3262253E-6 | 1.943254E-4 | 44.918003 | 1.9E-4 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540852E-5 | 2.3853677E-4 | 12.865471 | 2.2E-4 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571447E-4 | 5.5563997E-4 | 2.4616942 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551457 | 0.0027141082 | 1.2035179 | 4.6E-4 |
6.2 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3262253E-6 | 1.943254E-4 | 44.918003 | 1.9E-4 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540852E-5 | 2.3853677E-4 | 12.865471 | 2.2E-4 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571447E-4 | 5.5563997E-4 | 2.4616942 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551457 | 0.0027141082 | 1.2035179 | 4.6E-4 |
6.3 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3262253E-6 | 1.943254E-4 | 44.918003 | 1.9E-4 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540852E-5 | 2.3853677E-4 | 12.865471 | 2.2E-4 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571447E-4 | 5.5563997E-4 | 2.4616942 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551457 | 0.0027141082 | 1.2035179 | 4.6E-4 |
6.4 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3262253E-6 | 1.943254E-4 | 44.918003 | 1.9E-4 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540852E-5 | 2.3853677E-4 | 12.865471 | 2.2E-4 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571447E-4 | 5.5563997E-4 | 2.4616942 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551457 | 0.0027141082 | 1.2035179 | 4.6E-4 |
6.5 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3262253E-6 | 1.943254E-4 | 44.918003 | 1.9E-4 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540852E-5 | 2.3853677E-4 | 12.865471 | 2.2E-4 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571447E-4 | 5.5563997E-4 | 2.4616942 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551457 | 0.0027141082 | 1.2035179 | 4.6E-4 |
6.6 | 2.663744E-6 | 2.5319846E-6 | 1.925315E-4 | 76.039764 | 1.9E-4 | 1.1415996E-5 | 1.08513195E-5 | 2.3084893E-4 | 21.273811 | 2.2E-4 | 1.3898089E-4 | 1.321073E-4 | 4.620637E-4 | 3.4976394 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0013889399 | 0.0013203359 | 0.001759755 | 1.3328085 | 4.4E-4 |
6.7 | 2.663744E-6 | 2.5319846E-6 | 1.925315E-4 | 76.039764 | 1.9E-4 | 1.1415996E-5 | 1.08513195E-5 | 2.3084893E-4 | 21.273811 | 2.2E-4 | 1.3898089E-4 | 1.321073E-4 | 4.620637E-4 | 3.4976394 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0013889399 | 0.0013203359 | 0.001759755 | 1.3328085 | 4.4E-4 |
6.8 | 1.9716529E-6 | 1.8322567E-6 | 1.918319E-4 | 104.697075 | 1.9E-4 | 8.449913E-6 | 7.852505E-6 | 2.2785077E-4 | 29.016315 | 2.2E-4 | 1.0287284E-4 | 9.560019E-5 | 4.2556864E-4 | 4.451546 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0010282523 | 9.5560355E-4 | 0.001395183 | 1.460002 | 4.4E-4 |
6.9 | 1.8788617E-6 | 1.7429976E-6 | 1.8174268E-4 | 104.27019 | 1.8E-4 | 8.0522395E-6 | 7.4699688E-6 | 2.174684E-4 | 29.112356 | 2.1E-4 | 9.80316E-5 | 9.09432E-5 | 4.109141E-4 | 4.51836 | 3.2E-4 | 9.798837E-4 | 9.090718E-4 | 0.00132869 | 1.4615897 | 4.2E-4 |
7.0 | 1.5045488E-6 | 1.3849498E-6 | 1.813847E-4 | 130.96843 | 1.8E-4 | 6.44805E-6 | 5.9354857E-6 | 2.1593424E-4 | 36.380215 | 2.1E-4 | 7.8502184E-5 | 7.226219E-5 | 3.9223908E-4 | 5.4279985 | 3.2E-4 | 7.8474457E-4 | 7.223921E-4 | 0.0011420887 | 1.5809817 | 4.2E-4 |
7.1 | 1.272341E-6 | 1.1625089E-6 | 1.811623E-4 | 155.83734 | 1.8E-4 | 5.4528787E-6 | 4.9821715E-6 | 2.1498112E-4 | 43.150085 | 2.1E-4 | 6.6386776E-5 | 6.0656283E-5 | 3.8063686E-4 | 6.275308 | 3.2E-4 | 6.636695E-4 | 6.064005E-4 | 0.0010261458 | 1.6921916 | 4.2E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0416892E-6 | 9.409871E-7 | 1.7094082E-4 | 181.66118 | 1.7E-4 | 4.464375E-6 | 4.032796E-6 | 1.9403204E-4 | 48.11353 | 1.9E-4 | 5.4352407E-5 | 4.9098202E-5 | 3.4908348E-4 | 7.1099033 | 3.0E-4 | 5.4339116E-4 | 4.908754E-4 | 8.8068395E-4 | 1.794109 | 3.9E-4 |
7.3 | 7.9450155E-7 | 7.2350036E-7 | 1.6072339E-4 | 222.14693 | 1.6E-4 | 3.4050022E-6 | 3.1007123E-6 | 1.8310016E-4 | 59.051 | 1.8E-4 | 4.1455114E-5 | 3.7750528E-5 | 3.2773957E-4 | 8.681722 | 2.9E-4 | 4.144738E-4 | 3.7744228E-4 | 7.3730637E-4 | 1.9534283 | 3.6E-4 |
7.4 | 5.3893444E-7 | 5.0195166E-7 | 1.4050188E-4 | 279.9112 | 1.4E-4 | 2.309717E-6 | 2.1512196E-6 | 1.6215087E-4 | 75.37625 | 1.6E-4 | 2.8120441E-5 | 2.6190788E-5 | 2.7618423E-4 | 10.545091 | 2.5E-4 | 2.8116882E-4 | 2.6187746E-4 | 5.617989E-4 | 2.145274 | 3.0E-4 |
7.5 | 3.8852085E-7 | 3.6825622E-7 | 1.3036821E-4 | 354.01495 | 1.3E-4 | 1.6650882E-6 | 1.57824E-6 | 1.51578E-4 | 96.04243 | 1.5E-4 | 2.027226E-5 | 1.9214905E-5 | 2.3921068E-4 | 12.449224 | 2.2E-4 | 2.0270412E-4 | 1.9213265E-4 | 4.620808E-4 | 2.405009 | 2.7E-4 |
7.6 | 2.414929E-7 | 2.3457605E-7 | 8.023456E-5 | 342.0407 | 8.0E-5 | 1.0349692E-6 | 1.0053255E-6 | 9.100523E-5 | 90.52315 | 9.0E-5 | 1.2600677E-5 | 1.2239771E-5 | 1.5223806E-4 | 12.437983 | 1.4E-4 | 1.2599962E-4 | 1.223911E-4 | 3.1236783E-4 | 2.5522106 | 1.9E-4 |
7.7 | 6.8298014E-8 | 6.8589785E-8 | 2.0068588E-5 | 292.5886 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9270575E-7 | 2.939562E-7 | 2.029395E-5 | 69.03733 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5636867E-6 | 3.5789112E-6 | 4.357877E-5 | 12.176543 | 4.0E-5 | 3.5636294E-5 | 3.5788584E-5 | 9.578644E-5 | 2.6764522 | 6.0E-5 |
Lake Isabella (Seismicity)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741651E-6 | 1.4974028E-4 | 15.37114 | 1.4E-4 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749343E-5 | 2.2174182E-4 | 5.3112655 | 1.8E-4 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.0819275E-4 | 7.9804537E-4 | 1.5703596 | 2.9E-4 | 0.004909227 | 0.005071599 | 0.005509367 | 1.0863177 | 4.4E-4 |
6.1 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741651E-6 | 1.4974028E-4 | 15.37114 | 1.4E-4 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749343E-5 | 2.2174182E-4 | 5.3112655 | 1.8E-4 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.0819275E-4 | 7.9804537E-4 | 1.5703596 | 2.9E-4 | 0.004909227 | 0.005071599 | 0.005509367 | 1.0863177 | 4.4E-4 |
6.2 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741651E-6 | 1.4974028E-4 | 15.37114 | 1.4E-4 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749343E-5 | 2.2174182E-4 | 5.3112655 | 1.8E-4 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.0819275E-4 | 7.9804537E-4 | 1.5703596 | 2.9E-4 | 0.004909227 | 0.005071599 | 0.005509367 | 1.0863177 | 4.4E-4 |
6.3 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741651E-6 | 1.4974028E-4 | 15.37114 | 1.4E-4 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749343E-5 | 2.2174182E-4 | 5.3112655 | 1.8E-4 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.0819275E-4 | 7.9804537E-4 | 1.5703596 | 2.9E-4 | 0.004909227 | 0.005071599 | 0.005509367 | 1.0863177 | 4.4E-4 |
6.4 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.3000763E-6 | 8.529965E-5 | 16.094044 | 8.0E-5 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2714434E-5 | 1.4271171E-4 | 6.2828646 | 1.2E-4 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.765166E-4 | 4.3647236E-4 | 1.5784671 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027620657 | 0.002951541 | 1.0685991 | 1.9E-4 |
6.5 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.3000763E-6 | 8.529965E-5 | 16.094044 | 8.0E-5 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2714434E-5 | 1.4271171E-4 | 6.2828646 | 1.2E-4 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.765166E-4 | 4.3647236E-4 | 1.5784671 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027620657 | 0.002951541 | 1.0685991 | 1.9E-4 |
6.6 | 3.4009804E-6 | 3.498786E-6 | 7.3498544E-5 | 21.006868 | 7.0E-5 | 1.4575549E-5 | 1.4994721E-5 | 9.499352E-5 | 6.335131 | 8.0E-5 | 1.7744285E-4 | 1.8254704E-4 | 2.725306E-4 | 1.4929336 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0017730123 | 0.0018241286 | 0.0019339279 | 1.0601928 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 3.3880428E-6 | 3.4856528E-6 | 7.348541E-5 | 21.082253 | 7.0E-5 | 1.4520103E-5 | 1.4938435E-5 | 9.493724E-5 | 6.355233 | 8.0E-5 | 1.767679E-4 | 1.8186188E-4 | 2.7184552E-4 | 1.494791 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0017662736 | 0.0018172882 | 0.0019270882 | 1.0604198 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 2.6582E-6 | 2.7337003E-6 | 7.273351E-5 | 26.606249 | 7.0E-5 | 1.1392236E-5 | 1.1715813E-5 | 9.171488E-5 | 7.828298 | 8.0E-5 | 1.3869164E-4 | 1.4263204E-4 | 2.2262063E-4 | 1.5608039 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0013860512 | 0.0014255369 | 0.0015253944 | 1.070049 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 2.406011E-6 | 2.4743288E-6 | 7.2474155E-5 | 29.29043 | 7.0E-5 | 1.0311434E-5 | 1.0604231E-5 | 9.060338E-5 | 8.544079 | 8.0E-5 | 1.2553448E-4 | 1.2910018E-4 | 2.0908985E-4 | 1.6195939 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0012546359 | 0.0012903814 | 0.0013902524 | 1.0773965 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.6953097E-6 | 1.7429371E-6 | 5.174285E-5 | 29.687157 | 5.0E-5 | 7.265593E-6 | 7.469715E-6 | 5.746934E-5 | 7.6936455 | 5.0E-5 | 8.8455E-5 | 9.094104E-5 | 1.4093649E-4 | 1.5497568 | 5.0E-5 | 8.84198E-4 | 9.09141E-4 | 9.790773E-4 | 1.0769258 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.5013824E-7 | 3.5714822E-7 | 2.0357142E-5 | 56.999138 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5005916E-6 | 1.5306344E-6 | 2.1530604E-5 | 14.066458 | 2.0E-5 | 1.826955E-5 | 1.8635317E-5 | 3.8634946E-5 | 2.073211 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8268047E-4 | 1.863378E-4 | 2.0633407E-4 | 1.107312 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.2321095E-7 | 2.2750574E-7 | 1.02275035E-5 | 44.954926 | 1.0E-5 | 9.56618E-7 | 9.750242E-7 | 1.0975014E-5 | 11.2561455 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1646762E-5 | 1.1870856E-5 | 2.1870737E-5 | 1.8423892 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1646151E-4 | 1.1870232E-4 | 1.2870114E-4 | 1.0842344 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.5760406E-7 | 1.6060922E-7 | 1.0160607E-5 | 63.262917 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7544585E-7 | 6.8832503E-7 | 1.0688318E-5 | 15.528009 | 1.0E-5 | 8.223522E-6 | 8.380326E-6 | 1.8380242E-5 | 2.193261 | 1.0E-5 | 8.2232174E-5 | 8.3800165E-5 | 9.3799325E-5 | 1.1193215 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.1216497E-7 | 1.1431706E-7 | 1.1431706E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8070694E-7 | 4.899302E-7 | 4.899302E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.852591E-6 | 5.964884E-6 | 5.964884E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8524372E-5 | 5.9647282E-5 | 5.9647282E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.885185E-8 | 4.9787737E-8 | 4.9787737E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0936506E-7 | 2.13376E-7 | 2.13376E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5490165E-6 | 2.59785E-6 | 2.59785E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5489873E-5 | 2.5978214E-5 | 2.5978214E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.504641E-9 | 1.5317903E-9 | 1.5317903E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4484613E-9 | 6.5648154E-9 | 6.5648154E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851001E-8 | 7.992663E-8 | 7.992663E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8509987E-7 | 7.992663E-7 | 7.992663E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4324407E-4 | 4.132027E-4 | 1.6987165 | 1.7E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010420597 | 0.0012618304 | 1.2109003 | 2.2E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.012613757 | 0.012919846 | 1.0242664 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.120640226 | 0.12099197 | 1.0029156 | 4.0E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4324407E-4 | 4.132027E-4 | 1.6987165 | 1.7E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010420597 | 0.0012618304 | 1.2109003 | 2.2E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.012613757 | 0.012919846 | 1.0242664 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.120640226 | 0.12099197 | 1.0029156 | 4.0E-4 |
6.2 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4324407E-4 | 4.132027E-4 | 1.6987165 | 1.7E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010420597 | 0.0012618304 | 1.2109003 | 2.2E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.012613757 | 0.012919846 | 1.0242664 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.120640226 | 0.12099197 | 1.0029156 | 4.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4324407E-4 | 4.132027E-4 | 1.6987165 | 1.7E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010420597 | 0.0012618304 | 1.2109003 | 2.2E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.012613757 | 0.012919846 | 1.0242664 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.120640226 | 0.12099197 | 1.0029156 | 4.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4324407E-4 | 4.132027E-4 | 1.6987165 | 1.7E-4 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010420597 | 0.0012618304 | 1.2109003 | 2.2E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.012613757 | 0.012919846 | 1.0242664 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.120640226 | 0.12099197 | 1.0029156 | 4.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.3644442E-4 | 4.0640423E-4 | 1.7188151 | 1.7E-4 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010129412 | 0.0012327184 | 1.2169693 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012263271 | 0.012559592 | 1.0241632 | 3.0E-4 | 0.057327334 | 0.11761008 | 0.11795422 | 1.002926 | 3.9E-4 |
6.6 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.3644442E-4 | 4.0640423E-4 | 1.7188151 | 1.7E-4 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010129412 | 0.0012327184 | 1.2169693 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012263271 | 0.012559592 | 1.0241632 | 3.0E-4 | 0.057327334 | 0.11761008 | 0.11795422 | 1.002926 | 3.9E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1149675E-4 | 2.3335687E-4 | 3.8332187E-4 | 1.6426423 | 1.5E-4 | 4.777557E-4 | 9.997191E-4 | 0.0011995191 | 1.1998562 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0058011734 | 0.012104088 | 0.012380699 | 1.0228527 | 2.8E-4 | 0.05652051 | 0.1162291 | 0.1165561 | 1.0028133 | 3.7E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1103589E-4 | 2.3237852E-4 | 3.8234366E-4 | 1.6453485 | 1.5E-4 | 4.7578133E-4 | 9.955293E-4 | 0.0011953302 | 1.2006981 | 2.0E-4 | 0.005777263 | 0.012053643 | 0.0123302685 | 1.0229495 | 2.8E-4 | 0.056293584 | 0.11578894 | 0.1161161 | 1.0028255 | 3.7E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1053259E-4 | 2.3130233E-4 | 3.8126763E-4 | 1.6483519 | 1.5E-4 | 4.7362508E-4 | 9.909206E-4 | 0.0011907225 | 1.2016325 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0057511497 | 0.011998152 | 0.012274792 | 1.023057 | 2.8E-4 | 0.05604569 | 0.11530445 | 0.11563178 | 1.0028389 | 3.7E-4 |
7.0 | 1.1005377E-4 | 2.3031076E-4 | 3.802762E-4 | 1.6511439 | 1.5E-4 | 4.7157376E-4 | 9.866742E-4 | 0.0011864769 | 1.2025012 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0057263062 | 0.011947021 | 0.012223676 | 1.0231568 | 2.8E-4 | 0.055809796 | 0.11485658 | 0.11518408 | 1.0028514 | 3.7E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0308142E-4 | 2.1540876E-4 | 3.553786E-4 | 1.6497872 | 1.4E-4 | 4.417027E-4 | 9.228548E-4 | 0.0011026887 | 1.1948669 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0053644776 | 0.011178188 | 0.011435282 | 1.0229995 | 2.6E-4 | 0.052368138 | 0.10809042 | 0.10839368 | 1.0028055 | 3.4E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0027479E-4 | 2.094876E-4 | 3.4945828E-4 | 1.6681573 | 1.4E-4 | 4.296783E-4 | 8.9749607E-4 | 0.0010773345 | 1.200378 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0052187922 | 0.010872566 | 0.01112974 | 1.0236534 | 2.6E-4 | 0.050979212 | 0.10539086 | 0.10569503 | 1.002886 | 3.4E-4 |
7.3 | 9.816942E-5 | 2.0423878E-4 | 3.442102E-4 | 1.6853322 | 1.4E-4 | 4.2065824E-4 | 8.7501644E-4 | 0.0010548589 | 1.2055304 | 1.8E-4 | 0.005109493 | 0.010601572 | 0.010858815 | 1.0242647 | 2.6E-4 | 0.049935985 | 0.10297546 | 0.10328045 | 1.0029618 | 3.4E-4 |
7.4 | 9.5634205E-5 | 1.9793298E-4 | 3.3790528E-4 | 1.7071701 | 1.4E-4 | 4.0979648E-4 | 8.4800937E-4 | 0.0010278567 | 1.2120818 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0049778637 | 0.010275901 | 0.010533229 | 1.0250419 | 2.6E-4 | 0.048678253 | 0.100067884 | 0.100364864 | 1.0029677 | 3.3E-4 |
7.5 | 8.052417E-5 | 1.6113915E-4 | 2.911182E-4 | 1.8066261 | 1.3E-4 | 3.4505792E-4 | 6.9041376E-4 | 8.602964E-4 | 1.2460592 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0041929903 | 0.008373471 | 0.008611462 | 1.028422 | 2.4E-4 | 0.04114753 | 0.082815245 | 0.0830904 | 1.0033225 | 3.0E-4 |
7.6 | 7.897024E-5 | 1.5767086E-4 | 2.8765036E-4 | 1.8243724 | 1.3E-4 | 3.384E-4 | 6.755574E-4 | 8.454426E-4 | 1.251474 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0041122385 | 0.00819397 | 0.008432004 | 1.0290499 | 2.4E-4 | 0.040369697 | 0.08115866 | 0.08143432 | 1.0033965 | 3.0E-4 |
7.7 | 6.707427E-5 | 1.3277122E-4 | 2.527553E-4 | 1.9036903 | 1.2E-4 | 2.8742946E-4 | 5.688955E-4 | 7.1881013E-4 | 1.2635188 | 1.5E-4 | 0.003493839 | 0.0069043385 | 0.0071029575 | 1.0287673 | 2.0E-4 | 0.034394164 | 0.06905339 | 0.06924889 | 1.0028311 | 2.1E-4 |
7.8 | 6.147705E-5 | 1.2198445E-4 | 1.9197591E-4 | 1.5737736 | 7.0E-5 | 2.6344648E-4 | 5.226858E-4 | 6.2263355E-4 | 1.1912196 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0032027436 | 0.006345156 | 0.006484268 | 1.021924 | 1.4E-4 | 0.031569764 | 0.0635172 | 0.06365767 | 1.0022116 | 1.5E-4 |
7.9 | 4.7636717E-5 | 8.8802946E-5 | 1.3879851E-4 | 1.5629944 | 5.0E-5 | 2.0414138E-4 | 3.8052857E-4 | 4.5050192E-4 | 1.1838846 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0024825884 | 0.004623101 | 0.004712685 | 1.0193775 | 9.0E-5 | 0.024550365 | 0.046629366 | 0.046715166 | 1.0018401 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.3554235E-5 | 5.2138024E-5 | 7.213698E-5 | 1.3835772 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4379594E-4 | 2.2342955E-4 | 2.634206E-4 | 1.1789874 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017493097 | 0.002716863 | 0.0027567544 | 1.0146829 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017356034 | 0.027881905 | 0.02792079 | 1.0013946 | 4.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9175432E-5 | 1.9183564E-5 | 1.9183564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.217783E-5 | 8.221269E-5 | 9.221186E-5 | 1.1216258 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010000558 | 0.0010004805 | 0.0010104704 | 1.0099852 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009955673 | 0.010757771 | 0.010767664 | 1.0009196 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032481793 | 0.0032481793 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6564595E-7 | 7.6564595E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9949547E-5 | 3.9949547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.717979E-4 | 4.717979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.258278E-6 | 8.551265E-6 | 1.4855007E-4 | 17.371706 | 1.4E-4 | 3.539214E-5 | 3.6647863E-5 | 2.3664054E-4 | 6.457144 | 2.0E-4 | 4.308141E-4 | 4.4611428E-4 | 7.159938E-4 | 1.6049562 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0042997985 | 0.004453945 | 0.004822297 | 1.0827024 | 3.7E-4 |
6.1 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7753161E-6 | 8.377501E-5 | 22.190199 | 8.0E-5 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6179853E-5 | 1.061784E-4 | 6.5623837 | 9.0E-5 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9697666E-4 | 3.1695302E-4 | 1.6090893 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0019027026 | 0.001968488 | 0.0021181928 | 1.0760506 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7753161E-6 | 8.377501E-5 | 22.190199 | 8.0E-5 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6179853E-5 | 1.061784E-4 | 6.5623837 | 9.0E-5 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9697666E-4 | 3.1695302E-4 | 1.6090893 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0019027026 | 0.001968488 | 0.0021181928 | 1.0760506 | 1.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4411166E-6 | 3.144107E-5 | 21.817162 | 3.0E-5 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.1762075E-6 | 3.617602E-5 | 5.85732 | 3.0E-5 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.519415E-5 | 1.1519114E-4 | 1.5319163 | 4.0E-5 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.518258E-4 | 8.0178824E-4 | 1.0664548 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4411166E-6 | 3.144107E-5 | 21.817162 | 3.0E-5 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.1762075E-6 | 3.617602E-5 | 5.85732 | 3.0E-5 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.519415E-5 | 1.1519114E-4 | 1.5319163 | 4.0E-5 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.518258E-4 | 8.0178824E-4 | 1.0664548 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.876812E-7 | 1.0221912E-6 | 2.1022171E-5 | 20.56579 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2329125E-6 | 4.3808195E-6 | 2.4380732E-5 | 5.5653358 | 2.0E-5 | 5.153449E-5 | 5.3336476E-5 | 8.3334875E-5 | 1.5624368 | 3.0E-5 | 5.1522546E-4 | 5.333648E-4 | 5.733434E-4 | 1.0749556 | 4.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Cholame) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.5205986E-4 | 4.1201952E-4 | 1.6346098 | 1.6E-4 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0010798109 | 0.001279595 | 1.1850176 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0063991086 | 0.013067958 | 0.013344299 | 1.0211464 | 2.8E-4 | 0.06217949 | 0.12438412 | 0.12470809 | 1.0026046 | 3.7E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.5205986E-4 | 4.1201952E-4 | 1.6346098 | 1.6E-4 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0010798109 | 0.001279595 | 1.1850176 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0063991086 | 0.013067958 | 0.013344299 | 1.0211464 | 2.8E-4 | 0.06217949 | 0.12438412 | 0.12470809 | 1.0026046 | 3.7E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2203569E-4 | 2.502277E-4 | 4.1018767E-4 | 1.6392577 | 1.6E-4 | 5.2290526E-4 | 0.0010719653 | 0.0012717509 | 1.1863732 | 2.0E-4 | 0.006347804 | 0.012973578 | 0.013249946 | 1.0213023 | 2.8E-4 | 0.061695136 | 0.123571314 | 0.12389559 | 1.0026243 | 3.7E-4 |
6.3 | 1.2142645E-4 | 2.4908737E-4 | 4.0904753E-4 | 1.6421849 | 1.6E-4 | 5.202953E-4 | 0.0010670823 | 0.0012668688 | 1.187227 | 2.0E-4 | 0.006316212 | 0.012914834 | 0.013191218 | 1.0214005 | 2.8E-4 | 0.06139677 | 0.12306532 | 0.12338979 | 1.0026366 | 3.7E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1865206E-4 | 2.4414246E-4 | 3.9410582E-4 | 1.6142454 | 1.5E-4 | 5.0840975E-4 | 0.0010459068 | 0.0012357081 | 1.1814705 | 1.9E-4 | 0.006172335 | 0.012660044 | 0.012926626 | 1.0210569 | 2.7E-4 | 0.060036868 | 0.12085904 | 0.121175535 | 1.0026187 | 3.6E-4 |
6.5 | 1.17443946E-4 | 2.4207575E-4 | 3.9203945E-4 | 1.6194907 | 1.5E-4 | 5.032341E-4 | 0.0010370566 | 0.0012268595 | 1.1830208 | 1.9E-4 | 0.006109677 | 0.012553536 | 0.012820146 | 1.0212379 | 2.7E-4 | 0.059444077 | 0.11993008 | 0.12024691 | 1.0026418 | 3.6E-4 |
6.6 | 1.13579066E-4 | 2.3516564E-4 | 3.8513038E-4 | 1.6376983 | 1.5E-4 | 4.866766E-4 | 0.001007465 | 0.0011972735 | 1.1884022 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0059092017 | 0.012197345 | 0.0124541735 | 1.021056 | 2.6E-4 | 0.057545185 | 0.1168492 | 0.1171583 | 1.0026453 | 3.5E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1271412E-4 | 2.336088E-4 | 3.8357376E-4 | 1.641949 | 1.5E-4 | 4.829711E-4 | 0.001000798 | 0.0011806178 | 1.1796765 | 1.8E-4 | 0.005864331 | 0.012117079 | 0.01236405 | 1.020382 | 2.5E-4 | 0.057119697 | 0.11615275 | 0.11645326 | 1.0025872 | 3.4E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1217975E-4 | 2.3249313E-4 | 3.8245824E-4 | 1.6450304 | 1.5E-4 | 4.8068175E-4 | 9.960202E-4 | 0.0011758409 | 1.1805393 | 1.8E-4 | 0.005836608 | 0.012059555 | 0.01230654 | 1.0204804 | 2.5E-4 | 0.056856725 | 0.11565061 | 0.11595129 | 1.0025998 | 3.4E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1146753E-4 | 2.3098059E-4 | 3.8094594E-4 | 1.6492553 | 1.5E-4 | 4.7763053E-4 | 9.895428E-4 | 0.0011693647 | 1.1817222 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0057996577 | 0.011981564 | 0.012228568 | 1.0206153 | 2.5E-4 | 0.056506127 | 0.11497027 | 0.11527117 | 1.0026172 | 3.4E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0965793E-4 | 2.2721413E-4 | 3.7718003E-4 | 1.6600202 | 1.5E-4 | 4.698779E-4 | 9.734129E-4 | 0.0011532377 | 1.1847364 | 1.8E-4 | 0.005705768 | 0.011787324 | 0.012034377 | 1.0209593 | 2.5E-4 | 0.055614736 | 0.11327011 | 0.1135716 | 1.0026617 | 3.4E-4 |
7.1 | 9.927982E-5 | 2.0540332E-4 | 3.4537457E-4 | 1.6814458 | 1.4E-4 | 4.2541555E-4 | 8.8000396E-4 | 0.0010498544 | 1.1930109 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0051671406 | 0.010661708 | 0.01089915 | 1.0222704 | 2.4E-4 | 0.05048634 | 0.10336573 | 0.10365265 | 1.0027758 | 3.2E-4 |
7.2 | 9.696786E-5 | 2.0044584E-4 | 3.4041778E-4 | 1.698303 | 1.4E-4 | 4.1551032E-4 | 8.587718E-4 | 0.0010286258 | 1.1977872 | 1.7E-4 | 0.00504711 | 0.010405703 | 0.010643207 | 1.0228243 | 2.4E-4 | 0.04934009 | 0.10110233 | 0.10138998 | 1.0028452 | 3.2E-4 |
7.3 | 9.4727984E-5 | 1.9473763E-4 | 3.3471035E-4 | 1.718776 | 1.4E-4 | 4.0591392E-4 | 8.343239E-4 | 0.001004182 | 1.2035878 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0049308087 | 0.010110851 | 0.010348424 | 1.0234969 | 2.4E-4 | 0.048228268 | 0.09847412 | 0.09876261 | 1.0029296 | 3.2E-4 |
7.4 | 9.220358E-5 | 1.8844259E-4 | 3.284162E-4 | 1.7427919 | 1.4E-4 | 3.9509835E-4 | 8.07362E-4 | 9.772248E-4 | 1.2103922 | 1.7E-4 | 0.004799717 | 0.009785578 | 0.010023229 | 1.0242859 | 2.4E-4 | 0.046973653 | 0.09555831 | 0.09583869 | 1.0029341 | 3.1E-4 |
7.5 | 7.71631E-5 | 1.5179155E-4 | 2.8177182E-4 | 1.8563076 | 1.3E-4 | 3.306571E-4 | 6.5037323E-4 | 8.1026915E-4 | 1.2458526 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0040183207 | 0.007889617 | 0.008107881 | 1.0276648 | 2.2E-4 | 0.03946433 | 0.078289196 | 0.07854728 | 1.0032965 | 2.8E-4 |
7.6 | 7.5634416E-5 | 1.4838556E-4 | 2.7836626E-4 | 1.8759661 | 1.3E-4 | 3.241072E-4 | 6.357833E-4 | 7.9568155E-4 | 1.2514981 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0039388672 | 0.007713256 | 0.007931558 | 1.0283023 | 2.2E-4 | 0.038697794 | 0.076654874 | 0.07691342 | 1.0033728 | 2.8E-4 |
7.7 | 6.3783E-5 | 1.2359623E-4 | 2.435814E-4 | 1.9707834 | 1.2E-4 | 2.7332708E-4 | 5.2959064E-4 | 6.795112E-4 | 1.2830876 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0033226798 | 0.0064287307 | 0.0066175093 | 1.0293648 | 1.9E-4 | 0.032734364 | 0.06454488 | 0.06473197 | 1.0028986 | 2.0E-4 |
7.8 | 5.863422E-5 | 1.14169685E-4 | 1.8416169E-4 | 1.6130525 | 7.0E-5 | 2.512653E-4 | 4.892069E-4 | 5.8915804E-4 | 1.2043124 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003054864 | 0.0059398497 | 0.006069077 | 1.021756 | 1.3E-4 | 0.030132094 | 0.05966162 | 0.059793267 | 1.0022066 | 1.4E-4 |
7.9 | 4.595283E-5 | 8.426815E-5 | 1.3426394E-4 | 1.593294 | 5.0E-5 | 1.9692584E-4 | 3.6109926E-4 | 4.3107398E-4 | 1.1937826 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0023949358 | 0.0043875277 | 0.0044771326 | 1.0204227 | 9.0E-5 | 0.023692891 | 0.044363137 | 0.044449147 | 1.0019387 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.2950178E-5 | 5.077396E-5 | 7.077295E-5 | 1.3938826 | 2.0E-5 | 1.412074E-4 | 2.1758456E-4 | 2.5757586E-4 | 1.1837965 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017178444 | 0.0026458753 | 0.0026857695 | 1.0150778 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017046256 | 0.027181072 | 0.027219985 | 1.0014316 | 4.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9177472E-5 | 1.9183733E-5 | 1.9183733E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.218658E-5 | 8.221342E-5 | 9.221259E-5 | 1.1216247 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010001622 | 0.0010004893 | 0.0010104793 | 1.0099851 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009956728 | 0.010757887 | 0.010767779 | 1.0009196 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032481793 | 0.0032481793 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6564595E-7 | 7.6564595E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9949547E-5 | 3.9949547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.717979E-4 | 4.717979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (No)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2500084E-5 | 1.5249716E-4 | 6.7776265 | 1.3E-4 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.642541E-5 | 2.4641096E-4 | 2.5554566 | 1.5E-4 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011733545 | 0.0013831081 | 1.1787641 | 2.1E-4 | 0.010420183 | 0.011672506 | 0.012028305 | 1.0304817 | 3.6E-4 |
6.1 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2500084E-5 | 1.5249716E-4 | 6.7776265 | 1.3E-4 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.642541E-5 | 2.4641096E-4 | 2.5554566 | 1.5E-4 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011733545 | 0.0013831081 | 1.1787641 | 2.1E-4 | 0.010420183 | 0.011672506 | 0.012028305 | 1.0304817 | 3.6E-4 |
6.2 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2500084E-5 | 1.5249716E-4 | 6.7776265 | 1.3E-4 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.642541E-5 | 2.4641096E-4 | 2.5554566 | 1.5E-4 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011733545 | 0.0013831081 | 1.1787641 | 2.1E-4 | 0.010420183 | 0.011672506 | 0.012028305 | 1.0304817 | 3.6E-4 |
6.3 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.1336948E-5 | 1.4133439E-4 | 6.623927 | 1.2E-4 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.1440896E-5 | 2.3142809E-4 | 2.5309036 | 1.4E-4 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.001112731 | 0.0013125085 | 1.179538 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009891188 | 0.011072419 | 0.011418544 | 1.0312601 | 3.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.1336948E-5 | 1.4133439E-4 | 6.623927 | 1.2E-4 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.1440896E-5 | 2.3142809E-4 | 2.5309036 | 1.4E-4 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.001112731 | 0.0013125085 | 1.179538 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009891188 | 0.011072419 | 0.011418544 | 1.0312601 | 3.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.8367004E-5 | 2.0561009E-5 | 1.4055854E-4 | 6.8361697 | 1.2E-4 | 7.8713354E-5 | 8.811567E-5 | 2.2810334E-4 | 2.5886807 | 1.4E-4 | 9.5791375E-4 | 0.0010722869 | 0.0012720723 | 1.1863172 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009537951 | 0.0106719155 | 0.01101818 | 1.0324464 | 3.5E-4 |
6.6 | 1.779439E-5 | 1.9910927E-5 | 1.3990854E-4 | 7.026721 | 1.2E-4 | 7.625944E-5 | 8.53298E-5 | 2.2531785E-4 | 2.640553 | 1.4E-4 | 9.280632E-4 | 0.0010384015 | 0.0012381938 | 1.1924037 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009241969 | 0.010336253 | 0.010672739 | 1.0325539 | 3.4E-4 |
6.7 | 1.7025437E-5 | 1.9043426E-5 | 1.3904113E-4 | 7.301267 | 1.2E-4 | 7.296412E-5 | 8.161216E-5 | 2.2160074E-4 | 2.7152905 | 1.4E-4 | 8.87976E-4 | 9.931813E-4 | 0.0011929827 | 1.2011731 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008844362 | 0.009888145 | 0.010224783 | 1.0340446 | 3.4E-4 |
6.8 | 1.6545107E-5 | 1.8512545E-5 | 1.3851032E-4 | 7.481971 | 1.2E-4 | 7.090568E-5 | 7.93371E-5 | 2.19326E-4 | 2.764482 | 1.4E-4 | 8.629347E-4 | 9.655073E-4 | 0.0011653142 | 1.206945 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008595915 | 0.009613829 | 0.0099505605 | 1.0350257 | 3.4E-4 |
6.9 | 1.615478E-5 | 1.8087594E-5 | 1.3808542E-4 | 7.6342616 | 1.2E-4 | 6.9232934E-5 | 7.751599E-5 | 2.1750513E-4 | 2.805939 | 1.4E-4 | 8.4258494E-4 | 9.433546E-4 | 0.001143166 | 1.2118094 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008393973 | 0.009394196 | 0.009721096 | 1.034798 | 3.3E-4 |
7.0 | 1.5894311E-5 | 1.780555E-5 | 1.378034E-4 | 7.7393517 | 1.2E-4 | 6.81167E-5 | 7.6307304E-5 | 2.1629661E-4 | 2.8345468 | 1.4E-4 | 8.2900526E-4 | 9.286515E-4 | 0.0011284658 | 1.2151661 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008259195 | 0.009248397 | 0.009575346 | 1.0353519 | 3.3E-4 |
7.1 | 1.5602263E-5 | 1.7483504E-5 | 1.374814E-4 | 7.863493 | 1.2E-4 | 6.6865134E-5 | 7.492718E-5 | 2.149167E-4 | 2.8683407 | 1.4E-4 | 8.137789E-4 | 9.118627E-4 | 0.0011116803 | 1.2191312 | 2.0E-4 | 0.008108052 | 0.009081894 | 0.009408897 | 1.0360061 | 3.3E-4 |
7.2 | 1.5323829E-5 | 1.717063E-5 | 1.3716856E-4 | 7.988558 | 1.2E-4 | 6.56719E-5 | 7.358637E-5 | 2.0357681E-4 | 2.7665014 | 1.3E-4 | 7.99262E-4 | 8.9555193E-4 | 0.0010753907 | 1.2008134 | 1.8E-4 | 0.007963934 | 0.008920107 | 0.009227341 | 1.0344429 | 3.1E-4 |
7.3 | 1.4556212E-5 | 1.6302456E-5 | 1.363005E-4 | 8.360734 | 1.2E-4 | 6.238227E-5 | 6.9865826E-5 | 1.9985675E-4 | 2.8605795 | 1.3E-4 | 7.592395E-4 | 8.5029035E-4 | 0.0010301373 | 1.2115124 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0075665074 | 0.008471014 | 0.008778389 | 1.0362854 | 3.1E-4 |
7.4 | 1.411725E-5 | 1.580796E-5 | 1.3580607E-4 | 8.590992 | 1.2E-4 | 6.0501097E-5 | 6.7746674E-5 | 1.9773787E-4 | 2.9187834 | 1.3E-4 | 7.363519E-4 | 8.245094E-4 | 0.0010043611 | 1.2181317 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0073391674 | 0.008215138 | 0.008522592 | 1.0374252 | 3.1E-4 |
7.5 | 1.3503312E-5 | 1.5126289E-5 | 1.2512463E-4 | 8.271997 | 1.1E-4 | 5.7870053E-5 | 6.482538E-5 | 1.8481759E-4 | 2.851007 | 1.2E-4 | 7.043401E-4 | 7.8896893E-4 | 9.5883483E-4 | 1.215301 | 1.7E-4 | 0.007021119 | 0.007862304 | 0.008150024 | 1.0365949 | 2.9E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1279839E-5 | 1.2626327E-5 | 8.262544E-5 | 6.543902 | 7.0E-5 | 4.834127E-5 | 5.4111737E-5 | 1.3410741E-4 | 2.4783423 | 8.0E-5 | 5.88396E-4 | 6.5861654E-4 | 7.7853753E-4 | 1.1820801 | 1.2E-4 | 0.005868405 | 0.006567199 | 0.0068056225 | 1.0363053 | 2.4E-4 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.0283358E-5 | 5.0282946E-5 | 4.88974 | 4.0E-5 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.407082E-5 | 9.4068615E-5 | 2.1344876 | 5.0E-5 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.3643517E-4 | 6.1639224E-4 | 1.1490526 | 8.0E-5 | 0.004783291 | 0.005351914 | 0.005540897 | 1.0353113 | 1.9E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6482615E-7 | 3.6482615E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635396E-6 | 1.5635396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9035933E-5 | 1.9035933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9034347E-4 | 1.9034347E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3384395E-4 | 3.238229E-4 | 1.3847821 | 9.0E-5 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010018025 | 0.0011516523 | 1.1495801 | 1.5E-4 | 0.004329778 | 0.012128622 | 0.012365711 | 1.0195479 | 2.4E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.11258187 | 0.112874724 | 1.0026011 | 3.3E-4 |
6.1 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3384395E-4 | 3.238229E-4 | 1.3847821 | 9.0E-5 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010018025 | 0.0011516523 | 1.1495801 | 1.5E-4 | 0.004329778 | 0.012128622 | 0.012365711 | 1.0195479 | 2.4E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.11258187 | 0.112874724 | 1.0026011 | 3.3E-4 |
6.2 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3384395E-4 | 3.238229E-4 | 1.3847821 | 9.0E-5 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010018025 | 0.0011516523 | 1.1495801 | 1.5E-4 | 0.004329778 | 0.012128622 | 0.012365711 | 1.0195479 | 2.4E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.11258187 | 0.112874724 | 1.0026011 | 3.3E-4 |
6.3 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3384395E-4 | 3.238229E-4 | 1.3847821 | 9.0E-5 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010018025 | 0.0011516523 | 1.1495801 | 1.5E-4 | 0.004329778 | 0.012128622 | 0.012365711 | 1.0195479 | 2.4E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.11258187 | 0.112874724 | 1.0026011 | 3.3E-4 |
6.4 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.2941893E-4 | 3.1939827E-4 | 1.3922055 | 9.0E-5 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.828559E-4 | 0.0011327085 | 1.1524664 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0041964394 | 0.011900819 | 0.0121379625 | 1.0199267 | 2.4E-4 | 0.041180745 | 0.110562965 | 0.11085648 | 1.0026547 | 3.3E-4 |
6.5 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.2941893E-4 | 3.1939827E-4 | 1.3922055 | 9.0E-5 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.828559E-4 | 0.0011327085 | 1.1524664 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0041964394 | 0.011900819 | 0.0121379625 | 1.0199267 | 2.4E-4 | 0.041180745 | 0.110562965 | 0.11085648 | 1.0026547 | 3.3E-4 |
6.6 | 7.619237E-5 | 2.2186468E-4 | 3.1184472E-4 | 1.4055626 | 9.0E-5 | 3.2649786E-4 | 9.5050444E-4 | 0.0011003618 | 1.157661 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0039678677 | 0.0115115335 | 0.011748771 | 1.0206087 | 2.4E-4 | 0.03897764 | 0.10709954 | 0.10737634 | 1.0025845 | 3.1E-4 |
6.7 | 7.440636E-5 | 2.1862281E-4 | 3.0860314E-4 | 1.4115779 | 9.0E-5 | 3.188454E-4 | 9.3662075E-4 | 0.0010864802 | 1.1600002 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0038750346 | 0.011344268 | 0.011581546 | 1.0209161 | 2.4E-4 | 0.038081564 | 0.1056081 | 0.105885364 | 1.0026253 | 3.1E-4 |
6.8 | 7.3735864E-5 | 2.1709445E-4 | 3.0707492E-4 | 1.4144762 | 9.0E-5 | 3.1597257E-4 | 9.300753E-4 | 0.0010799358 | 1.1611272 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0038401815 | 0.011265406 | 0.011502703 | 1.0210642 | 2.4E-4 | 0.03774495 | 0.104909696 | 0.10518717 | 1.0026449 | 3.1E-4 |
6.9 | 7.27575E-5 | 2.1478413E-4 | 3.047648E-4 | 1.4189354 | 9.0E-5 | 3.117806E-4 | 9.20181E-4 | 0.001070043 | 1.1628615 | 1.5E-4 | 0.003789323 | 0.011146182 | 0.011383507 | 1.0212921 | 2.4E-4 | 0.037253562 | 0.10385753 | 0.104135334 | 1.0026748 | 3.1E-4 |
7.0 | 7.102591E-5 | 2.1062451E-4 | 3.0060555E-4 | 1.4272107 | 9.0E-5 | 3.0436125E-4 | 9.023664E-4 | 0.0010522311 | 1.1660796 | 1.5E-4 | 0.003699303 | 0.010931484 | 0.011168861 | 1.0217149 | 2.4E-4 | 0.03638325 | 0.101959534 | 0.102237925 | 1.0027304 | 3.1E-4 |
7.1 | 7.028513E-5 | 2.0898094E-4 | 2.9896214E-4 | 1.4305713 | 9.0E-5 | 3.0118722E-4 | 8.953274E-4 | 0.001045193 | 1.1673865 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0036607897 | 0.010846641 | 0.011084038 | 1.0218867 | 2.4E-4 | 0.036010686 | 0.10120243 | 0.10148106 | 1.0027531 | 3.1E-4 |
7.2 | 6.8498244E-5 | 2.050596E-4 | 2.9504116E-4 | 1.4388068 | 9.0E-5 | 2.9353087E-4 | 8.7853306E-4 | 0.0010184101 | 1.1592165 | 1.4E-4 | 0.003567883 | 0.0106441835 | 0.010871735 | 1.021378 | 2.3E-4 | 0.035111405 | 0.09939449 | 0.099655665 | 1.0026276 | 2.9E-4 |
7.3 | 6.622592E-5 | 1.9733235E-4 | 2.873146E-4 | 1.4559933 | 9.0E-5 | 2.8379448E-4 | 8.4543816E-4 | 9.853198E-4 | 1.1654546 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0034497243 | 0.010245111 | 0.010472754 | 1.0222198 | 2.3E-4 | 0.033966612 | 0.095891245 | 0.09615344 | 1.0027343 | 2.9E-4 |
7.4 | 5.1050705E-5 | 1.4690042E-4 | 2.2688867E-4 | 1.5445065 | 8.0E-5 | 2.1877038E-4 | 6.294222E-4 | 7.593404E-4 | 1.2064086 | 1.3E-4 | 0.002660276 | 0.007636482 | 0.007844878 | 1.0272896 | 2.1E-4 | 0.02628654 | 0.07286554 | 0.073106594 | 1.0033082 | 2.6E-4 |
7.5 | 3.9302922E-5 | 1.11307076E-4 | 1.9129817E-4 | 1.7186524 | 8.0E-5 | 1.6843023E-4 | 4.7694342E-4 | 6.068814E-4 | 1.272439 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0020487092 | 0.0057913954 | 0.0059802947 | 1.0326173 | 1.9E-4 | 0.020299247 | 0.05601151 | 0.056228627 | 1.0038763 | 2.3E-4 |
7.6 | 2.9851626E-5 | 8.4956984E-5 | 1.649502E-4 | 1.941573 | 8.0E-5 | 1.2792926E-4 | 3.6405068E-4 | 4.9400335E-4 | 1.3569632 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0015564259 | 0.0044233347 | 0.0046124943 | 1.0427641 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0154556995 | 0.043196145 | 0.043416213 | 1.0050945 | 2.3E-4 |
7.7 | 2.1135214E-5 | 6.353527E-5 | 1.4353018E-4 | 2.2590632 | 8.0E-5 | 9.0576345E-5 | 2.722656E-4 | 3.9223293E-4 | 1.440626 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0011022091 | 0.0033098008 | 0.003489205 | 1.054204 | 1.8E-4 | 0.010967582 | 0.03258456 | 0.032797392 | 1.0065317 | 2.2E-4 |
7.8 | 1.883379E-5 | 5.564576E-5 | 1.3564131E-4 | 2.4375856 | 8.0E-5 | 8.0713755E-5 | 2.3846005E-4 | 3.5843143E-4 | 1.503109 | 1.2E-4 | 9.822468E-4 | 0.002899389 | 0.0030788672 | 1.061902 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0097791655 | 0.028696978 | 0.028910665 | 1.0074463 | 2.2E-4 |
7.9 | 1.5156185E-5 | 4.1662403E-5 | 1.2165907E-4 | 2.9201164 | 8.0E-5 | 6.495346E-5 | 1.7854095E-4 | 2.9851953E-4 | 1.6719947 | 1.2E-4 | 7.9052144E-4 | 0.0021715704 | 0.0023312229 | 1.0735193 | 1.6E-4 | 0.007877152 | 0.021760946 | 0.021956593 | 1.0089908 | 2.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.1405907E-5 | 2.9976925E-5 | 8.9975125E-5 | 3.0014794 | 6.0E-5 | 4.8881542E-5 | 1.2846621E-4 | 2.1845466E-4 | 1.7004833 | 9.0E-5 | 5.9497025E-4 | 0.0015629551 | 0.0016827675 | 1.0766577 | 1.2E-4 | 0.005933798 | 0.015774013 | 0.015921647 | 1.0093594 | 1.5E-4 |
8.1 | 4.3511436E-6 | 7.369465E-6 | 7.369465E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8647626E-5 | 3.158304E-5 | 3.158304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2701119E-4 | 3.844558E-4 | 3.844558E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022677942 | 0.0041165445 | 0.0041165445 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.3042528E-6 | 2.7328301E-6 | 2.7328301E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.875332E-6 | 1.1712076E-5 | 1.1712076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2022553E-4 | 1.4258524E-4 | 1.4258524E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012016051 | 0.0015979637 | 0.0015979637 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.202968E-7 | 3.1590292E-7 | 3.1590292E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2298414E-6 | 1.353869E-6 | 1.353869E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.714798E-5 | 1.6483244E-5 | 1.6483244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7144665E-4 | 1.955901E-4 | 1.955901E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Scodie Lineament
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2919327E-6 | 3.0133303E-6 | 6.301315E-5 | 20.911463 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4108206E-5 | 1.2914227E-5 | 1.3291268E-4 | 10.291958 | 1.2E-4 | 1.7175387E-4 | 1.5722254E-4 | 3.871864E-4 | 2.4626646 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0017162118 | 0.0015714248 | 0.0019009062 | 1.2096705 | 3.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5490382E-6 | 1.1549023E-5 | 7.455609 | 1.0E-5 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6387206E-6 | 3.663852E-5 | 5.518913 | 3.0E-5 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082393E-5 | 1.3081988E-4 | 1.6185787 | 5.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.079941E-4 | 8.7793753E-4 | 1.0865643 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5490382E-6 | 1.1549023E-5 | 7.455609 | 1.0E-5 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6387206E-6 | 3.663852E-5 | 5.518913 | 3.0E-5 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082393E-5 | 1.3081988E-4 | 1.6185787 | 5.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.079941E-4 | 8.7793753E-4 | 1.0865643 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5490382E-6 | 1.1549023E-5 | 7.455609 | 1.0E-5 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6387206E-6 | 3.663852E-5 | 5.518913 | 3.0E-5 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082393E-5 | 1.3081988E-4 | 1.6185787 | 5.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.079941E-4 | 8.7793753E-4 | 1.0865643 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5490382E-6 | 1.1549023E-5 | 7.455609 | 1.0E-5 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6387206E-6 | 3.663852E-5 | 5.518913 | 3.0E-5 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082393E-5 | 1.3081988E-4 | 1.6185787 | 5.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.079941E-4 | 8.7793753E-4 | 1.0865643 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8106311E-6 | 1.4909722E-6 | 1.1490957E-5 | 7.7070236 | 1.0E-5 | 7.759824E-6 | 6.389868E-6 | 3.6389676E-5 | 5.694903 | 3.0E-5 | 9.447177E-5 | 7.779436E-5 | 1.1779125E-4 | 1.5141361 | 4.0E-5 | 9.4431615E-4 | 7.7771995E-4 | 8.3767326E-4 | 1.0770886 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2414679E-6 | 8.9974395E-7 | 1.0899735E-5 | 12.114263 | 1.0E-5 | 5.320566E-6 | 3.85604E-6 | 2.3855962E-5 | 6.186648 | 2.0E-5 | 6.477596E-5 | 4.6946367E-5 | 6.694543E-5 | 1.4259981 | 2.0E-5 | 6.475708E-4 | 4.6937316E-4 | 4.993591E-4 | 1.063885 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1062215E-6 | 7.594193E-7 | 1.0759411E-5 | 14.167946 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7409408E-6 | 3.2546504E-6 | 1.3254618E-5 | 4.0725164 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7719422E-5 | 3.962472E-5 | 4.9624323E-5 | 1.2523577 | 1.0E-5 | 5.770443E-4 | 3.9618355E-4 | 4.161756E-4 | 1.0504616 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0006736E-6 | 6.5002786E-7 | 1.0650021E-5 | 16.383945 | 1.0E-5 | 4.288594E-6 | 2.7858312E-6 | 1.2785803E-5 | 4.589583 | 1.0E-5 | 5.221238E-5 | 3.391703E-5 | 4.3916687E-5 | 1.2948271 | 1.0E-5 | 5.220012E-4 | 3.3912458E-4 | 3.491212E-4 | 1.0294777 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.167364E-7 | 5.6315065E-7 | 1.0563145E-5 | 18.757227 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9288643E-6 | 2.413501E-6 | 1.2413477E-5 | 5.1433487 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7832873E-5 | 2.9384037E-5 | 3.9383744E-5 | 1.3403108 | 1.0E-5 | 4.782258E-4 | 2.9380718E-4 | 3.0380423E-4 | 1.0340259 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.6987664E-7 | 4.113265E-7 | 4.113265E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2994672E-6 | 1.7628269E-6 | 1.7628269E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0170275E-5 | 2.1462245E-5 | 2.1462245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0163012E-4 | 2.1460558E-4 | 2.1460558E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 7.1038727E-7 | 3.5210306E-7 | 3.5210306E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0445133E-6 | 1.5090123E-6 | 1.5090123E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.706632E-5 | 1.8372106E-5 | 1.8372106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7060137E-4 | 1.8370937E-4 | 1.8370937E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.0799602E-7 | 3.1178534E-8 | 3.1178534E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.914113E-7 | 1.3362228E-7 | 1.3362228E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0852878E-5 | 1.6268501E-6 | 1.6268501E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08523476E-4 | 1.626839E-5 | 1.626839E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5048182E-7 | 1.5939106E-8 | 1.5939106E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.449219E-7 | 6.8310456E-8 | 6.8310456E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851896E-6 | 8.316795E-7 | 8.316795E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851618E-5 | 8.316767E-6 | 8.316767E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.8638475E-9 | 4.8638475E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 2.084506E-8 | 2.084506E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.5378858E-7 | 2.5378858E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095951E-5 | 2.5378843E-6 | 2.5378843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Wolf (Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066615E-6 | 7.606619E-5 | 12.53849 | 7.0E-5 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.5999556E-5 | 1.9599513E-4 | 7.538403 | 1.7E-4 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1650523E-4 | 5.6642614E-4 | 1.7896264 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031611966 | 0.003480185 | 1.1009074 | 3.2E-4 |
6.1 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066615E-6 | 7.606619E-5 | 12.53849 | 7.0E-5 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.5999556E-5 | 1.9599513E-4 | 7.538403 | 1.7E-4 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1650523E-4 | 5.6642614E-4 | 1.7896264 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031611966 | 0.003480185 | 1.1009074 | 3.2E-4 |
6.2 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066615E-6 | 7.606619E-5 | 12.53849 | 7.0E-5 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.5999556E-5 | 1.9599513E-4 | 7.538403 | 1.7E-4 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1650523E-4 | 5.6642614E-4 | 1.7896264 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031611966 | 0.003480185 | 1.1009074 | 3.2E-4 |
6.3 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066615E-6 | 7.606619E-5 | 12.53849 | 7.0E-5 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.5999556E-5 | 1.9599513E-4 | 7.538403 | 1.7E-4 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1650523E-4 | 5.6642614E-4 | 1.7896264 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031611966 | 0.003480185 | 1.1009074 | 3.2E-4 |
6.4 | 5.821773E-6 | 3.5571256E-6 | 5.355695E-5 | 15.056243 | 5.0E-5 | 2.4950215E-5 | 1.5244741E-5 | 1.0524337E-4 | 6.903585 | 9.0E-5 | 3.0372653E-4 | 1.8559002E-4 | 3.0556775E-4 | 1.6464665 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0030331176 | 0.0018544586 | 0.0020141618 | 1.0861186 | 1.6E-4 |
6.5 | 5.766023E-6 | 3.4990599E-6 | 5.3498883E-5 | 15.289503 | 5.0E-5 | 2.4711293E-5 | 1.49958905E-5 | 1.0499454E-4 | 7.0015545 | 9.0E-5 | 3.0081844E-4 | 1.8256076E-4 | 2.9254067E-4 | 1.6024292 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0030041158 | 0.0018242161 | 0.0019739424 | 1.0820771 | 1.5E-4 |
6.6 | 4.643576E-6 | 2.3325733E-6 | 3.2332504E-5 | 13.861302 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9900888E-5 | 9.9967065E-6 | 6.999611E-5 | 7.001917 | 6.0E-5 | 2.4226638E-4 | 1.2170354E-4 | 1.8169623E-4 | 1.4929413 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0024200242 | 0.0012164112 | 0.001296314 | 1.0656872 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.9529173E-6 | 1.6482975E-6 | 2.1648264E-5 | 13.133712 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6940963E-5 | 7.064114E-6 | 4.7063833E-5 | 6.6623826 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0623671E-4 | 8.600239E-5 | 1.2599894E-4 | 1.4650633 | 4.0E-5 | 0.002060454 | 8.597095E-4 | 9.1965793E-4 | 1.069731 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4377522E-6 | 1.2244764E-6 | 1.1224464E-5 | 9.166746 | 1.0E-5 | 1.473314E-5 | 5.247746E-6 | 2.524764E-5 | 4.81114 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7936122E-4 | 6.388952E-5 | 8.388825E-5 | 1.3130203 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017921652 | 6.3872064E-4 | 6.687015E-4 | 1.0469389 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.1367306E-6 | 1.0033316E-6 | 1.1003322E-5 | 10.966785 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3443062E-5 | 4.299986E-6 | 2.42999E-5 | 5.6511583 | 2.0E-5 | 1.63657E-4 | 5.2351144E-5 | 7.23501E-5 | 1.3820156 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016353652 | 5.233958E-4 | 5.5338006E-4 | 1.057288 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8298145E-6 | 7.4282326E-7 | 7.4282326E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2127721E-5 | 3.1835248E-6 | 3.1835248E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.47645E-4 | 3.8758775E-5 | 3.8758775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014754693 | 3.8752513E-4 | 3.9752127E-4 | 1.0257947 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.4091064E-6 | 5.4223835E-7 | 5.4223835E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.03247E-5 | 2.3238767E-6 | 2.3238767E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2569598E-4 | 2.8292874E-5 | 2.8292874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001256249 | 2.8289677E-4 | 2.9289394E-4 | 1.0353386 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.3875518E-6 | 1.0740268E-7 | 1.0740268E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9466374E-6 | 4.6029712E-7 | 4.6029712E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.23979E-5 | 5.604104E-6 | 5.604104E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2374323E-4 | 5.6039742E-5 | 5.6039742E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.056077E-7 | 5.0002956E-8 | 5.0002956E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0240296E-6 | 2.1429837E-7 | 2.1429837E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.681694E-5 | 2.60908E-6 | 2.60908E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.681084E-4 | 2.609054E-5 | 2.609054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.8638475E-9 | 4.8638475E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 2.084506E-8 | 2.084506E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.5378858E-7 | 2.5378858E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095951E-5 | 2.5378843E-6 | 2.5378843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calico-Hidalgo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0704355E-5 | 1.5069928E-4 | 2.9721172 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1728857E-4 | 3.4726033E-4 | 1.5981528 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0021322158 | 0.002642678 | 0.0028222024 | 1.0679327 | 1.8E-4 | 0.02111873 | 0.026152814 | 0.026396276 | 1.0093092 | 2.5E-4 |
6.1 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0704355E-5 | 1.5069928E-4 | 2.9721172 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1728857E-4 | 3.4726033E-4 | 1.5981528 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0021322158 | 0.002642678 | 0.0028222024 | 1.0679327 | 1.8E-4 | 0.02111873 | 0.026152814 | 0.026396276 | 1.0093092 | 2.5E-4 |
6.2 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0704355E-5 | 1.5069928E-4 | 2.9721172 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1728857E-4 | 3.4726033E-4 | 1.5981528 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0021322158 | 0.002642678 | 0.0028222024 | 1.0679327 | 1.8E-4 | 0.02111873 | 0.026152814 | 0.026396276 | 1.0093092 | 2.5E-4 |
6.3 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0090967E-5 | 1.1008856E-4 | 3.6585252 | 8.0E-5 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.289551E-4 | 2.189435E-4 | 1.6978273 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015689312 | 0.0016787585 | 1.0700015 | 1.1E-4 | 0.01257003 | 0.015582229 | 0.015759423 | 1.0113716 | 1.8E-4 |
6.4 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0090967E-5 | 1.1008856E-4 | 3.6585252 | 8.0E-5 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.289551E-4 | 2.189435E-4 | 1.6978273 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015689312 | 0.0016787585 | 1.0700015 | 1.1E-4 | 0.01257003 | 0.015582229 | 0.015759423 | 1.0113716 | 1.8E-4 |
6.5 | 2.0286952E-5 | 2.5316054E-5 | 8.531454E-5 | 3.3699775 | 6.0E-5 | 8.694118E-5 | 1.0849296E-4 | 1.7848537E-4 | 1.6451331 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0010579949 | 0.0013201186 | 0.0014199865 | 1.0756508 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010529719 | 0.013124701 | 0.013282601 | 1.0120307 | 1.6E-4 |
6.6 | 2.0269223E-5 | 2.5297004E-5 | 8.529548E-5 | 3.3717623 | 6.0E-5 | 8.6865206E-5 | 1.08411325E-4 | 1.7840373E-4 | 1.645619 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0010570707 | 0.0013191258 | 0.0014189938 | 1.0757078 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010520565 | 0.01311489 | 0.013272792 | 1.0120399 | 1.6E-4 |
6.7 | 1.799852E-5 | 2.2540933E-5 | 8.2539584E-5 | 3.6617641 | 6.0E-5 | 7.713423E-5 | 9.660051E-5 | 1.6659375E-4 | 1.7245638 | 7.0E-5 | 9.3870464E-4 | 0.0011754911 | 0.0012753736 | 1.0849708 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009347493 | 0.011694346 | 0.011852475 | 1.0135218 | 1.6E-4 |
6.8 | 1.7458793E-5 | 2.184258E-5 | 8.184127E-5 | 3.7468684 | 6.0E-5 | 7.4821255E-5 | 9.360778E-5 | 1.6360123E-4 | 1.7477311 | 7.0E-5 | 9.10568E-4 | 0.0011390933 | 0.0012389794 | 1.0876892 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009068459 | 0.011334131 | 0.011492318 | 1.0139567 | 1.6E-4 |
6.9 | 1.542884E-5 | 1.9026285E-5 | 7.902514E-5 | 4.153472 | 6.0E-5 | 6.612192E-5 | 8.153875E-5 | 1.4153385E-4 | 1.7357864 | 6.0E-5 | 8.04737E-4 | 9.922953E-4 | 0.001082206 | 1.0906088 | 9.0E-5 | 0.008018291 | 0.009880043 | 0.010028561 | 1.0150322 | 1.5E-4 |
7.0 | 1.468253E-5 | 1.803109E-5 | 7.803001E-5 | 4.3275256 | 6.0E-5 | 6.292361E-5 | 7.727389E-5 | 1.3726925E-4 | 1.7763989 | 6.0E-5 | 7.658257E-4 | 9.4041653E-4 | 0.001030332 | 1.0956123 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0076319184 | 0.009365736 | 0.009504424 | 1.014808 | 1.4E-4 |
7.1 | 1.3139281E-5 | 1.620139E-5 | 6.620058E-5 | 4.086105 | 5.0E-5 | 5.6309986E-5 | 6.943275E-5 | 1.1942928E-4 | 1.7200713 | 5.0E-5 | 6.853584E-4 | 8.4502844E-4 | 9.249608E-4 | 1.0945914 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0068324856 | 0.008419449 | 0.008548355 | 1.0153104 | 1.3E-4 |
7.2 | 1.1127404E-5 | 1.3867038E-5 | 3.386676E-5 | 2.442249 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7688E-5 | 5.9428872E-5 | 7.9427686E-5 | 1.3365167 | 2.0E-5 | 5.8044674E-4 | 7.233172E-4 | 7.4330275E-4 | 1.0276303 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0057893298 | 0.007210737 | 0.0072802324 | 1.0096377 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.808154E-6 | 1.2176586E-5 | 2.2176464E-5 | 1.8212383 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2034266E-5 | 5.2184383E-5 | 6.218386E-5 | 1.1916182 | 1.0E-5 | 5.11647E-4 | 6.351704E-4 | 6.4516405E-4 | 1.0157338 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051047057 | 0.006334625 | 0.006394245 | 1.0094117 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.942452E-6 | 9.792348E-6 | 9.792348E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4038632E-5 | 4.1966585E-5 | 4.1966585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1434157E-4 | 5.108328E-4 | 5.108328E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041356985 | 0.005097527 | 0.0051472723 | 1.0097587 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.7121216E-6 | 5.7729717E-6 | 5.7729717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.019465E-5 | 2.4741115E-5 | 2.4741115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4584212E-4 | 3.011891E-4 | 3.011891E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024557032 | 0.0030085614 | 0.0030484411 | 1.0132554 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.5586523E-4 | 1.1471817 | 2.0E-5 |
Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7265705E-5 | 1.2726193E-4 | 2.6924791 | 8.0E-5 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0255324E-4 | 3.0253298E-4 | 1.4935974 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024635606 | 0.0026231664 | 1.0647867 | 1.6E-4 | 0.02000288 | 0.024388338 | 0.024671264 | 1.011601 | 2.9E-4 |
6.1 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7265705E-5 | 1.2726193E-4 | 2.6924791 | 8.0E-5 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0255324E-4 | 3.0253298E-4 | 1.4935974 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024635606 | 0.0026231664 | 1.0647867 | 1.6E-4 | 0.02000288 | 0.024388338 | 0.024671264 | 1.011601 | 2.9E-4 |
6.2 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7265705E-5 | 1.2726193E-4 | 2.6924791 | 8.0E-5 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0255324E-4 | 3.0253298E-4 | 1.4935974 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024635606 | 0.0026231664 | 1.0647867 | 1.6E-4 | 0.02000288 | 0.024388338 | 0.024671264 | 1.011601 | 2.9E-4 |
6.3 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.360979E-5 | 1.136071E-4 | 3.380179 | 8.0E-5 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.4403443E-4 | 2.4402003E-4 | 1.6941785 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0017522788 | 0.0019119984 | 1.0911497 | 1.6E-4 | 0.014687235 | 0.017391816 | 0.017676773 | 1.0163845 | 2.9E-4 |
6.4 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.360979E-5 | 1.136071E-4 | 3.380179 | 8.0E-5 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.4403443E-4 | 2.4402003E-4 | 1.6941785 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0017522788 | 0.0019119984 | 1.0911497 | 1.6E-4 | 0.014687235 | 0.017391816 | 0.017676773 | 1.0163845 | 2.9E-4 |
6.5 | 2.4448687E-5 | 2.8607585E-5 | 8.860587E-5 | 3.0972857 | 6.0E-5 | 1.0477588E-4 | 1.2259845E-4 | 2.0258864E-4 | 1.6524569 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0012748998 | 0.0014916616 | 0.0016214678 | 1.0870211 | 1.3E-4 | 0.012676105 | 0.014821392 | 0.015077538 | 1.0172822 | 2.6E-4 |
6.6 | 2.1298161E-5 | 2.4660083E-5 | 8.4658604E-5 | 3.4330218 | 6.0E-5 | 9.127464E-5 | 1.0568197E-4 | 1.8567352E-4 | 1.7569082 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0011107022 | 0.0012859512 | 0.0014157841 | 1.1009625 | 1.3E-4 | 0.011051672 | 0.01278853 | 0.013045206 | 1.0200707 | 2.6E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8959729E-5 | 2.1781027E-5 | 8.177972E-5 | 3.7546313 | 6.0E-5 | 8.125345E-5 | 9.334406E-5 | 1.6333752E-4 | 1.7498438 | 7.0E-5 | 9.888117E-4 | 0.001135897 | 0.0012557607 | 1.1055233 | 1.2E-4 | 0.009844234 | 0.01130357 | 0.011550744 | 1.0218669 | 2.5E-4 |
6.8 | 1.6691629E-5 | 1.9018351E-5 | 7.901721E-5 | 4.1547875 | 6.0E-5 | 7.153359E-5 | 8.150477E-5 | 1.5149907E-4 | 1.8587754 | 7.0E-5 | 8.7057345E-4 | 9.918857E-4 | 0.0011117667 | 1.1208616 | 1.2E-4 | 0.008671708 | 0.009876343 | 0.010123875 | 1.025063 | 2.5E-4 |
6.9 | 1.450505E-5 | 1.638954E-5 | 7.6388555E-5 | 4.6608114 | 6.0E-5 | 6.216302E-5 | 7.0239046E-5 | 1.4023413E-4 | 1.9965267 | 7.0E-5 | 7.5657194E-4 | 8.5483363E-4 | 9.647396E-4 | 1.12857 | 1.1E-4 | 0.007540013 | 0.008516386 | 0.008754342 | 1.027941 | 2.4E-4 |
7.0 | 1.2940855E-5 | 1.4537972E-5 | 7.45371E-5 | 5.1270633 | 6.0E-5 | 5.545963E-5 | 6.230414E-5 | 1.3229977E-4 | 2.123451 | 7.0E-5 | 6.750118E-4 | 7.5829466E-4 | 8.6821127E-4 | 1.1449523 | 1.1E-4 | 0.006729651 | 0.0075576897 | 0.007795876 | 1.0315157 | 2.4E-4 |
7.1 | 1.2544658E-5 | 1.4078208E-5 | 7.407736E-5 | 5.261846 | 6.0E-5 | 5.3761712E-5 | 6.0333812E-5 | 1.3032959E-4 | 2.1601417 | 7.0E-5 | 6.5435225E-4 | 7.343222E-4 | 8.442414E-4 | 1.149688 | 1.1E-4 | 0.006524288 | 0.007319551 | 0.007557794 | 1.0325489 | 2.4E-4 |
7.2 | 1.2489416E-5 | 1.4015674E-5 | 7.401483E-5 | 5.2808614 | 6.0E-5 | 5.3524967E-5 | 6.0065824E-5 | 1.3006161E-4 | 2.1653183 | 7.0E-5 | 6.514716E-4 | 7.310616E-4 | 8.409812E-4 | 1.150356 | 1.1E-4 | 0.006495651 | 0.0072871596 | 0.007525411 | 1.0326947 | 2.4E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2368307E-5 | 1.3879812E-5 | 7.387898E-5 | 5.322765 | 6.0E-5 | 5.3005948E-5 | 5.9483587E-5 | 1.2947942E-4 | 2.1767251 | 7.0E-5 | 6.451563E-4 | 7.2397763E-4 | 8.3389797E-4 | 1.1518284 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0064328653 | 0.007216782 | 0.00745505 | 1.0330158 | 2.4E-4 |
7.4 | 1.2161707E-5 | 1.36478675E-5 | 7.364705E-5 | 5.396231 | 6.0E-5 | 5.212056E-5 | 5.8489582E-5 | 1.284855E-4 | 2.1967244 | 7.0E-5 | 6.3438306E-4 | 7.118836E-4 | 8.2180527E-4 | 1.1544096 | 1.1E-4 | 0.006325751 | 0.0070966207 | 0.0073349173 | 1.0335789 | 2.4E-4 |
7.5 | 1.1707948E-5 | 1.3145515E-5 | 6.314486E-5 | 4.803529 | 5.0E-5 | 5.0175953E-5 | 5.6336736E-5 | 1.1633336E-4 | 2.0649645 | 6.0E-5 | 6.10721E-4 | 6.856895E-4 | 7.8562094E-4 | 1.1457386 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0060904534 | 0.006836321 | 0.0070548174 | 1.0319611 | 2.2E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0319538E-5 | 1.1579622E-5 | 6.157904E-5 | 5.31788 | 5.0E-5 | 4.4225842E-5 | 4.9626036E-5 | 1.0962306E-4 | 2.2089827 | 6.0E-5 | 5.383166E-4 | 6.040347E-4 | 7.039743E-4 | 1.1654534 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0053701443 | 0.0060244603 | 0.006243135 | 1.0362978 | 2.2E-4 |
7.7 | 8.937764E-6 | 1.0022779E-5 | 5.002238E-5 | 4.990869 | 4.0E-5 | 3.830414E-5 | 4.295409E-5 | 9.2951945E-5 | 2.1639836 | 5.0E-5 | 4.6625308E-4 | 5.228456E-4 | 6.028038E-4 | 1.1529288 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0046527605 | 0.005216664 | 0.0054056733 | 1.0362318 | 1.9E-4 |
7.8 | 3.108007E-7 | 3.284654E-7 | 3.284654E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3320023E-6 | 1.407708E-6 | 1.407708E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6217007E-5 | 1.7138715E-5 | 1.7138715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6215823E-4 | 1.7137431E-4 | 1.7137431E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cady
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1858728E-5 | 1.1185676E-4 | 5.117258 | 9.0E-5 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3677416E-5 | 1.9366805E-4 | 2.067393 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011400167 | 0.0013098229 | 1.1489506 | 1.7E-4 | 0.010326075 | 0.011350701 | 0.011607749 | 1.0226461 | 2.6E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1858728E-5 | 1.1185676E-4 | 5.117258 | 9.0E-5 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3677416E-5 | 1.9366805E-4 | 2.067393 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011400167 | 0.0013098229 | 1.1489506 | 1.7E-4 | 0.010326075 | 0.011350701 | 0.011607749 | 1.0226461 | 2.6E-4 |
6.2 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1858728E-5 | 1.1185676E-4 | 5.117258 | 9.0E-5 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3677416E-5 | 1.9366805E-4 | 2.067393 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011400167 | 0.0013098229 | 1.1489506 | 1.7E-4 | 0.010326075 | 0.011350701 | 0.011607749 | 1.0226461 | 2.6E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2176583E-5 | 5.2176096E-5 | 4.2849536 | 4.0E-5 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.2184492E-5 | 9.21824E-5 | 1.7664713 | 4.0E-5 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.351925E-4 | 7.35129E-4 | 1.1573325 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0063368753 | 0.0065256716 | 1.0297933 | 1.9E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2176583E-5 | 5.2176096E-5 | 4.2849536 | 4.0E-5 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.2184492E-5 | 9.21824E-5 | 1.7664713 | 4.0E-5 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.351925E-4 | 7.35129E-4 | 1.1573325 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0063368753 | 0.0065256716 | 1.0297933 | 1.9E-4 |
6.5 | 6.103093E-6 | 6.672021E-6 | 1.6671955E-5 | 2.4987862 | 1.0E-5 | 2.615585E-5 | 2.8594131E-5 | 3.8593847E-5 | 1.3497121 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1840094E-4 | 3.480905E-4 | 3.7808006E-4 | 1.0861545 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0031794512 | 0.0034766865 | 0.0035464433 | 1.0200641 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.817237E-6 | 6.3656585E-6 | 1.6365595E-5 | 2.5709193 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4930776E-5 | 2.728118E-5 | 3.7280905E-5 | 1.366543 | 1.0E-5 | 3.034899E-4 | 3.3211018E-4 | 3.621002E-4 | 1.0903015 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0030307577 | 0.0033173605 | 0.0033871282 | 1.0210311 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.8846314E-6 | 5.3405684E-6 | 1.5340514E-5 | 2.8724499 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0933967E-5 | 2.2888014E-5 | 3.2887787E-5 | 1.4368999 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5484123E-4 | 2.7863772E-4 | 3.0862936E-4 | 1.1076367 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0025454918 | 0.0027840391 | 0.0028538443 | 1.0250733 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7788773E-6 | 1.9399079E-6 | 1.1939888E-5 | 6.154874 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6237375E-6 | 8.313874E-6 | 1.831379E-5 | 2.2027988 | 1.0E-5 | 9.281505E-5 | 1.01218284E-4 | 1.11217276E-4 | 1.0987864 | 1.0E-5 | 9.2776294E-4 | 0.0010118765 | 0.0010318563 | 1.0197452 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.5455404E-7 | 8.297092E-7 | 1.0829701E-5 | 13.052405 | 1.0E-5 | 3.233799E-6 | 3.5558937E-6 | 1.35558585E-5 | 3.8122225 | 1.0E-5 | 3.937079E-5 | 4.3292483E-5 | 5.329205E-5 | 1.2309769 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9363815E-4 | 4.3287344E-4 | 4.5286477E-4 | 1.0461829 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.8578805E-7 | 7.541816E-7 | 1.0754174E-5 | 14.259396 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9390883E-6 | 3.2322048E-6 | 1.3232172E-5 | 4.0938535 | 1.0E-5 | 3.578281E-5 | 3.9351715E-5 | 4.9351318E-5 | 1.2541085 | 1.0E-5 | 3.577705E-4 | 3.9347992E-4 | 4.0347598E-4 | 1.0254042 | 1.0E-5 |
Ludlow
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3657254E-5 | 1.1365512E-4 | 4.80424 | 9.0E-5 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.0138454E-4 | 2.2137238E-4 | 2.1834924 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0011685267 | 0.001233702 | 0.0014134799 | 1.1457224 | 1.8E-4 | 0.011624013 | 0.012273042 | 0.012519973 | 1.0201199 | 2.5E-4 |
6.1 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3657254E-5 | 1.1365512E-4 | 4.80424 | 9.0E-5 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.0138454E-4 | 2.2137238E-4 | 2.1834924 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0011685267 | 0.001233702 | 0.0014134799 | 1.1457224 | 1.8E-4 | 0.011624013 | 0.012273042 | 0.012519973 | 1.0201199 | 2.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1365663E-5 | 8.1364866E-5 | 7.158831 | 7.0E-5 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.8709102E-5 | 1.1870569E-4 | 2.4370332 | 7.0E-5 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.9287593E-4 | 7.0281076E-4 | 1.1854262 | 1.1E-4 | 0.00560974 | 0.0059133614 | 0.006052533 | 1.0235353 | 1.4E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1365663E-5 | 8.1364866E-5 | 7.158831 | 7.0E-5 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.8709102E-5 | 1.1870569E-4 | 2.4370332 | 7.0E-5 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.9287593E-4 | 7.0281076E-4 | 1.1854262 | 1.1E-4 | 0.00560974 | 0.0059133614 | 0.006052533 | 1.0235353 | 1.4E-4 |
6.4 | 7.814439E-6 | 8.237729E-6 | 6.8237234E-5 | 8.283501 | 6.0E-5 | 3.3490025E-5 | 3.530408E-5 | 9.530196E-5 | 2.6994603 | 6.0E-5 | 4.0766477E-4 | 4.2974384E-4 | 5.2970083E-4 | 1.2325968 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0040691774 | 0.0042892746 | 0.0043988028 | 1.0255353 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 6.4986366E-6 | 6.85092E-6 | 5.685058E-5 | 8.298241 | 5.0E-5 | 2.7851002E-5 | 2.9360759E-5 | 7.935929E-5 | 2.7029033 | 5.0E-5 | 3.390332E-4 | 3.5740953E-4 | 4.4737736E-4 | 1.251722 | 9.0E-5 | 0.003385164 | 0.0035684432 | 0.0036581222 | 1.0251311 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.582177E-6 | 5.8860055E-6 | 4.588577E-5 | 7.79574 | 4.0E-5 | 2.3923398E-5 | 2.5225498E-5 | 6.522449E-5 | 2.5856571 | 4.0E-5 | 2.9122844E-4 | 3.0707786E-4 | 3.7705636E-4 | 1.2278852 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0029084706 | 0.003066609 | 0.003136394 | 1.0227566 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.6858763E-6 | 4.940427E-6 | 3.494028E-5 | 7.0723195 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0082172E-5 | 2.1173091E-5 | 5.1172457E-5 | 2.4168627 | 3.0E-5 | 2.4447302E-4 | 2.5775246E-4 | 3.1773697E-4 | 1.2327214 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0024420423 | 0.0025745912 | 0.0026344368 | 1.0232446 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5584908E-6 | 3.7520183E-6 | 1.3751981E-5 | 3.6652222 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5250586E-5 | 1.6079981E-5 | 2.607982E-5 | 1.6218812 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8566006E-4 | 1.957566E-4 | 2.2575073E-4 | 1.1532215 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0018550502 | 0.0019558826 | 0.001985824 | 1.0153084 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.532834E-6 | 2.6710034E-6 | 2.6710034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0854958E-5 | 1.1447109E-5 | 1.1447109E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3215111E-4 | 1.3935992E-4 | 1.4935853E-4 | 1.0717466 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013207254 | 0.0013927529 | 0.001402739 | 1.0071701 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7083285E-6 | 1.8019439E-6 | 1.8019439E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3213873E-6 | 7.722595E-6 | 7.722595E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.913424E-5 | 9.40187E-5 | 1.0401776E-4 | 1.1063519 | 1.0E-5 | 8.9098496E-4 | 9.3980576E-4 | 9.4979635E-4 | 1.0106305 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1497619E-6 | 1.1497619E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.9275427E-6 | 4.9275427E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.999128E-5 | 6.999068E-5 | 1.1666809 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.997606E-4 | 6.0975464E-4 | 1.0166633 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.387277E-7 | 6.387277E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7374022E-6 | 2.7374022E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3327433E-5 | 3.3327433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.3323118E-4 | 3.3323118E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.937271E-4 | 3.6370652E-4 | 1.2382464 | 7.0E-5 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012583778 | 0.0013682394 | 1.0873041 | 1.1E-4 | 0.008420097 | 0.0152346175 | 0.015402028 | 1.0109888 | 1.7E-4 | 0.081081145 | 0.13962454 | 0.13983963 | 1.0015405 | 2.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.937271E-4 | 3.6370652E-4 | 1.2382464 | 7.0E-5 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012583778 | 0.0013682394 | 1.0873041 | 1.1E-4 | 0.008420097 | 0.0152346175 | 0.015402028 | 1.0109888 | 1.7E-4 | 0.081081145 | 0.13962454 | 0.13983963 | 1.0015405 | 2.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.937271E-4 | 3.6370652E-4 | 1.2382464 | 7.0E-5 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012583778 | 0.0013682394 | 1.0873041 | 1.1E-4 | 0.008420097 | 0.0152346175 | 0.015402028 | 1.0109888 | 1.7E-4 | 0.081081145 | 0.13962454 | 0.13983963 | 1.0015405 | 2.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7703463E-4 | 2.0702931E-4 | 1.1694283 | 3.0E-5 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.5861585E-4 | 8.2856277E-4 | 1.0922033 | 7.0E-5 | 0.005262531 | 0.0092177205 | 0.009326707 | 1.0118235 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0513964 | 0.08707393 | 0.08722 | 1.0016775 | 1.6E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7703463E-4 | 2.0702931E-4 | 1.1694283 | 3.0E-5 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.5861585E-4 | 8.2856277E-4 | 1.0922033 | 7.0E-5 | 0.005262531 | 0.0092177205 | 0.009326707 | 1.0118235 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0513964 | 0.08707393 | 0.08722 | 1.0016775 | 1.6E-4 |
6.5 | 3.6624708E-5 | 4.6391986E-5 | 5.639152E-5 | 1.2155445 | 1.0E-5 | 1.569536E-4 | 1.9880968E-4 | 2.188057E-4 | 1.1005788 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001909235 | 0.0024181814 | 0.0024481087 | 1.0123761 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01892915 | 0.023697061 | 0.023736114 | 1.001648 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.5051324E-5 | 2.6147465E-5 | 3.61472E-5 | 1.3824363 | 1.0E-5 | 1.073584E-4 | 1.12056E-4 | 1.2205488E-4 | 1.0892311 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013063047 | 0.0013634725 | 0.0013834452 | 1.0146484 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012986525 | 0.013565759 | 0.013585488 | 1.0014544 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.2189772E-5 | 2.2072489E-5 | 3.207227E-5 | 1.4530426 | 1.0E-5 | 9.509556E-5 | 9.459316E-5 | 1.0459221E-4 | 1.1057059 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011571734 | 0.0011510996 | 0.0011710766 | 1.0173547 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011511663 | 0.0114663225 | 0.0114860935 | 1.0017242 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6654378E-5 | 1.44376E-5 | 2.4437455E-5 | 1.6926259 | 1.0E-5 | 7.137396E-5 | 6.187399E-5 | 7.187337E-5 | 1.1616088 | 1.0E-5 | 8.686314E-4 | 7.5306057E-4 | 7.730455E-4 | 1.0265383 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008652439 | 0.0075100763 | 0.007529926 | 1.0026431 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5042909E-5 | 1.2331886E-5 | 2.2331762E-5 | 1.810896 | 1.0E-5 | 6.446802E-5 | 5.2849886E-5 | 6.284936E-5 | 1.1892052 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8461546E-4 | 6.4326054E-4 | 6.532541E-4 | 1.0155358 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007818509 | 0.006417925 | 0.006427861 | 1.0015482 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.4361385E-5 | 1.1451172E-5 | 2.1451058E-5 | 1.8732631 | 1.0E-5 | 6.154734E-5 | 4.9075545E-5 | 5.9075053E-5 | 1.2037575 | 1.0E-5 | 7.490812E-4 | 5.973339E-4 | 6.073279E-4 | 1.016731 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007465612 | 0.005960982 | 0.0059709223 | 1.0016676 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3265571E-5 | 1.0244736E-5 | 2.0244634E-5 | 1.9761012 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6851208E-5 | 4.3905282E-5 | 5.3904845E-5 | 1.227753 | 1.0E-5 | 6.919436E-4 | 5.344183E-4 | 5.4441293E-4 | 1.0187019 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006897931 | 0.0053346003 | 0.005344547 | 1.0018646 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1596403E-5 | 8.504847E-6 | 8.504847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9697923E-5 | 3.6448844E-5 | 3.6448844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.049042E-4 | 4.4367602E-4 | 4.4367602E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006032603 | 0.004429357 | 0.004429357 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0150827E-5 | 7.238537E-6 | 7.238537E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3502816E-5 | 3.102194E-5 | 3.102194E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2951806E-4 | 3.776281E-4 | 3.776281E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005282581 | 0.003770271 | 0.003770271 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.080705E-6 | 6.352307E-6 | 6.352307E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8916725E-5 | 2.7223898E-5 | 2.7223898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7370812E-4 | 3.314019E-4 | 3.314019E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004726996 | 0.0033092257 | 0.0033092257 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.671649E-6 | 5.225419E-6 | 5.225419E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.287808E-5 | 2.2394468E-5 | 2.2394468E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0021708E-4 | 2.7261977E-4 | 2.7261977E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039949706 | 0.0027229784 | 0.0027229784 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.990086E-6 | 4.687336E-6 | 4.687336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9957167E-5 | 2.0088435E-5 | 2.0088435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6466747E-4 | 2.445504E-4 | 2.445504E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036406964 | 0.0024429292 | 0.0024429292 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.163505E-6 | 2.329331E-6 | 2.329331E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7843471E-5 | 9.982813E-6 | 9.982813E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.172226E-4 | 1.2153471E-4 | 1.2153471E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021701038 | 0.0012147555 | 0.0012147555 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.384417E-8 | 9.384417E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0218927E-7 | 4.0218927E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.8966467E-6 | 4.8966467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.8965718E-5 | 4.8965718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4397174E-9 | 3.4397174E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4741646E-8 | 1.4741646E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7947953E-7 | 1.7947953E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.794794E-6 | 1.794794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Bernardino)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.598562E-5 | 1.3598202E-4 | 3.7787879 | 1.0E-4 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5421498E-4 | 2.8419492E-4 | 1.8428491 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018759521 | 0.002075577 | 1.1064125 | 2.0E-4 | 0.01763251 | 0.019349992 | 0.019604962 | 1.0131767 | 2.6E-4 |
6.1 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.598562E-5 | 1.3598202E-4 | 3.7787879 | 1.0E-4 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5421498E-4 | 2.8419492E-4 | 1.8428491 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018759521 | 0.002075577 | 1.1064125 | 2.0E-4 | 0.01763251 | 0.019349992 | 0.019604962 | 1.0131767 | 2.6E-4 |
6.2 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.598562E-5 | 1.3598202E-4 | 3.7787879 | 1.0E-4 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5421498E-4 | 2.8419492E-4 | 1.8428491 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018759521 | 0.002075577 | 1.1064125 | 2.0E-4 | 0.01763251 | 0.019349992 | 0.019604962 | 1.0131767 | 2.6E-4 |
6.3 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.598562E-5 | 1.3598202E-4 | 3.7787879 | 1.0E-4 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5421498E-4 | 2.8419492E-4 | 1.8428491 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018759521 | 0.002075577 | 1.1064125 | 2.0E-4 | 0.01763251 | 0.019349992 | 0.019604962 | 1.0131767 | 2.6E-4 |
6.4 | 3.400795E-5 | 3.5878285E-5 | 1.358747E-4 | 3.7871013 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4574021E-4 | 1.5375503E-4 | 2.8373505E-4 | 1.8453708 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0017729428 | 0.0018703619 | 0.0020699878 | 1.1067312 | 2.0E-4 | 0.017588645 | 0.019295074 | 0.019550057 | 1.013215 | 2.6E-4 |
6.5 | 3.341482E-5 | 3.5138914E-5 | 1.351354E-4 | 3.8457477 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4319851E-4 | 1.5058667E-4 | 2.805671E-4 | 1.8631603 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0017420477 | 0.0018318522 | 0.0020314858 | 1.1089791 | 2.0E-4 | 0.017284546 | 0.018916616 | 0.019161887 | 1.0129659 | 2.5E-4 |
6.6 | 3.3364955E-5 | 3.5076133E-5 | 1.3507262E-4 | 3.8508415 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4298483E-4 | 1.5031763E-4 | 2.802981E-4 | 1.8647053 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0017394501 | 0.0018285823 | 0.0020282166 | 1.1091744 | 2.0E-4 | 0.017258976 | 0.01888448 | 0.019129759 | 1.0129883 | 2.5E-4 |
6.7 | 3.335922E-5 | 3.5065907E-5 | 1.350624E-4 | 3.851673 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4296026E-4 | 1.5027382E-4 | 2.802543E-4 | 1.8649576 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0017391514 | 0.0018280497 | 0.0020276841 | 1.1092062 | 2.0E-4 | 0.017256035 | 0.018879272 | 0.019124553 | 1.012992 | 2.5E-4 |
6.8 | 3.327683E-5 | 3.4959972E-5 | 1.3495647E-4 | 3.8603141 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4260718E-4 | 1.4981985E-4 | 2.7980038E-4 | 1.8675787 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0017348597 | 0.001822532 | 0.0020221677 | 1.1095375 | 2.0E-4 | 0.017213784 | 0.018825045 | 0.019070338 | 1.0130302 | 2.5E-4 |
6.9 | 3.3235785E-5 | 3.4900928E-5 | 1.3489743E-4 | 3.8651536 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4243131E-4 | 1.4956683E-4 | 2.7954738E-4 | 1.8690467 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0017327217 | 0.0018194567 | 0.0020190927 | 1.109723 | 2.0E-4 | 0.017192734 | 0.018794911 | 0.019040212 | 1.0130515 | 2.5E-4 |
7.0 | 3.3197095E-5 | 3.4840854E-5 | 1.3483738E-4 | 3.8700936 | 1.0E-4 | 1.422655E-4 | 1.4930942E-4 | 2.7929E-4 | 1.8705451 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0017307063 | 0.0018163278 | 0.0020159646 | 1.1099123 | 2.0E-4 | 0.017172894 | 0.01876429 | 0.019009598 | 1.0130732 | 2.5E-4 |
7.1 | 3.3129716E-5 | 3.4721066E-5 | 1.3471759E-4 | 3.879996 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4197677E-4 | 1.4879608E-4 | 2.7877674E-4 | 1.8735489 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0017271966 | 0.0018100884 | 0.0020097264 | 1.1102918 | 2.0E-4 | 0.017138338 | 0.018703366 | 0.01894869 | 1.0131166 | 2.5E-4 |
7.2 | 3.3034008E-5 | 3.4588513E-5 | 1.3458505E-4 | 3.8910334 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4156665E-4 | 1.4822806E-4 | 2.7820878E-4 | 1.8768969 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0017222111 | 0.0018031843 | 0.0020028236 | 1.1107149 | 2.0E-4 | 0.017089253 | 0.01863575 | 0.01888109 | 1.0131651 | 2.5E-4 |
7.3 | 3.2956614E-5 | 3.4456265E-5 | 1.3445281E-4 | 3.9021297 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4123498E-4 | 1.4766137E-4 | 2.7764216E-4 | 1.8802629 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0017181796 | 0.0017962961 | 0.0019959367 | 1.1111403 | 2.0E-4 | 0.017049557 | 0.018568495 | 0.018813854 | 1.0132136 | 2.5E-4 |
7.4 | 3.2915937E-5 | 3.4377957E-5 | 1.3437452E-4 | 3.9087405 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4106068E-4 | 1.473258E-4 | 2.7730665E-4 | 1.8822681 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0017160608 | 0.0017922173 | 0.001991859 | 1.1113936 | 2.0E-4 | 0.017028693 | 0.018528769 | 0.018774137 | 1.0132425 | 2.5E-4 |
7.5 | 3.281791E-5 | 3.424287E-5 | 1.3423944E-4 | 3.920216 | 1.0E-4 | 1.406406E-4 | 1.4674691E-4 | 2.7672783E-4 | 1.885749 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0017109542 | 0.0017851809 | 0.001984824 | 1.1118335 | 2.0E-4 | 0.016978411 | 0.018459652 | 0.018705036 | 1.013293 | 2.5E-4 |
7.6 | 3.2521442E-5 | 3.396782E-5 | 1.3396442E-4 | 3.943863 | 1.0E-4 | 1.3937015E-4 | 1.4556825E-4 | 2.7554933E-4 | 1.8929219 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0016955109 | 0.0017708542 | 0.0019705 | 1.1127398 | 2.0E-4 | 0.016826328 | 0.018317295 | 0.018562716 | 1.0133983 | 2.5E-4 |
7.7 | 3.0287873E-5 | 3.245191E-5 | 1.3244867E-4 | 4.0813828 | 1.0E-4 | 1.297987E-4 | 1.3907222E-4 | 2.6905414E-4 | 1.9346362 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0015791537 | 0.0016918903 | 0.0018815688 | 1.1121104 | 1.9E-4 | 0.01567979 | 0.017528199 | 0.017763993 | 1.0134522 | 2.4E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6316151E-5 | 2.9662837E-5 | 1.2965986E-4 | 4.371122 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1277862E-4 | 1.2712025E-4 | 2.5710373E-4 | 2.0225236 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0013722149 | 0.0015465913 | 0.0017362974 | 1.1226609 | 1.9E-4 | 0.013637724 | 0.016069878 | 0.01630602 | 1.0146948 | 2.4E-4 |
7.9 | 2.0761147E-5 | 2.3417291E-5 | 1.0341542E-4 | 4.416199 | 8.0E-5 | 8.897331E-5 | 1.0035596E-4 | 2.1034492E-4 | 2.0959883 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0010827117 | 0.0012211498 | 0.0013909423 | 1.1390431 | 1.7E-4 | 0.010774517 | 0.012793272 | 0.013010457 | 1.0169766 | 2.2E-4 |
8.0 | 1.5738568E-5 | 1.6032505E-5 | 7.6031545E-5 | 4.7423368 | 6.0E-5 | 6.744926E-5 | 6.8708934E-5 | 1.5870275E-4 | 2.3097835 | 9.0E-5 | 8.2088535E-4 | 8.3621085E-4 | 9.661022E-4 | 1.1553332 | 1.3E-4 | 0.008178596 | 0.008865741 | 0.009024322 | 1.017887 | 1.6E-4 |
8.1 | 1.0105832E-5 | 8.329479E-6 | 2.8329312E-5 | 3.4010906 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3309992E-5 | 3.569728E-5 | 6.569621E-5 | 1.8403702 | 3.0E-5 | 5.2717153E-4 | 4.3452822E-4 | 4.7451083E-4 | 1.0920138 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005259227 | 0.0046768794 | 0.0047266455 | 1.0106409 | 5.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.189207E-6 | 1.577699E-6 | 1.577699E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7953622E-5 | 6.7615497E-6 | 6.7615497E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1856341E-4 | 8.231879E-5 | 8.231879E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021834858 | 9.562628E-4 | 9.562628E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 3.612677E-7 | 3.612677E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.5482892E-6 | 1.5482892E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 1.8850264E-5 | 1.8850264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.2739546E-4 | 2.2739546E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Manix-Afton Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.47110895E-5 | 5.47105E-5 | 3.7189972 | 4.0E-5 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.30461E-5 | 1.3304169E-4 | 2.1102285 | 7.0E-5 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.6733343E-4 | 9.2721067E-4 | 1.2083544 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007648596 | 0.007906607 | 1.0337331 | 2.6E-4 |
6.1 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.47110895E-5 | 5.47105E-5 | 3.7189972 | 4.0E-5 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.30461E-5 | 1.3304169E-4 | 2.1102285 | 7.0E-5 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.6733343E-4 | 9.2721067E-4 | 1.2083544 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007648596 | 0.007906607 | 1.0337331 | 2.6E-4 |
6.2 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.47110895E-5 | 5.47105E-5 | 3.7189972 | 4.0E-5 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.30461E-5 | 1.3304169E-4 | 2.1102285 | 7.0E-5 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.6733343E-4 | 9.2721067E-4 | 1.2083544 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007648596 | 0.007906607 | 1.0337331 | 2.6E-4 |
6.3 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1793136E-5 | 5.1792664E-5 | 4.3917637 | 4.0E-5 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.054109E-5 | 1.2053755E-4 | 2.3849418 | 7.0E-5 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.151744E-4 | 7.4509444E-4 | 1.2111921 | 1.3E-4 | 0.005748908 | 0.0061357557 | 0.006344467 | 1.0340157 | 2.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1793136E-5 | 5.1792664E-5 | 4.3917637 | 4.0E-5 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.054109E-5 | 1.2053755E-4 | 2.3849418 | 7.0E-5 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.151744E-4 | 7.4509444E-4 | 1.2111921 | 1.3E-4 | 0.005748908 | 0.0061357557 | 0.006344467 | 1.0340157 | 2.1E-4 |
6.5 | 9.788949E-6 | 1.045432E-5 | 5.0453902E-5 | 4.8261294 | 4.0E-5 | 4.1951964E-5 | 4.480351E-5 | 1.0480082E-4 | 2.3391209 | 6.0E-5 | 5.1064545E-4 | 5.453555E-4 | 6.552955E-4 | 1.2015933 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0050947363 | 0.0054410985 | 0.005620119 | 1.0329015 | 1.8E-4 |
6.6 | 8.810006E-6 | 9.4136285E-6 | 4.941325E-5 | 5.249119 | 4.0E-5 | 3.775662E-5 | 4.0343548E-5 | 1.0034112E-4 | 2.4871666 | 6.0E-5 | 4.5958988E-4 | 4.9108086E-4 | 5.9103174E-4 | 1.2035325 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045864056 | 0.004900839 | 0.005060055 | 1.0324875 | 1.6E-4 |
6.7 | 8.80128E-6 | 9.404108E-6 | 4.940373E-5 | 5.2534204 | 4.0E-5 | 3.7719226E-5 | 4.0302748E-5 | 1.0030033E-4 | 2.4886723 | 6.0E-5 | 4.591348E-4 | 4.9058435E-4 | 5.905353E-4 | 1.2037386 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004581874 | 0.0048958957 | 0.0050551128 | 1.0325204 | 1.6E-4 |
6.8 | 6.8994877E-6 | 7.380076E-6 | 3.7379854E-5 | 5.0649686 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9568899E-5 | 3.162856E-5 | 7.162729E-5 | 2.2646399 | 4.0E-5 | 3.5994186E-4 | 3.8501783E-4 | 4.4499474E-4 | 1.155777 | 6.0E-5 | 0.003593594 | 0.0038443129 | 0.0039638514 | 1.0310949 | 1.2E-4 |
6.9 | 4.9328037E-6 | 5.2709615E-6 | 3.5270805E-5 | 6.691531 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1140417E-5 | 2.2589675E-5 | 6.258877E-5 | 2.7706807 | 4.0E-5 | 2.5735417E-4 | 2.7500073E-4 | 3.3498422E-4 | 1.2181213 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0025705635 | 0.0027472095 | 0.0028569072 | 1.0399306 | 1.1E-4 |
7.0 | 3.347973E-6 | 3.59003E-6 | 3.3589924E-5 | 9.356446 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4348378E-5 | 1.5385775E-5 | 4.5385314E-5 | 2.949823 | 3.0E-5 | 1.746775E-4 | 1.8730981E-4 | 2.2730233E-4 | 1.2135099 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017454025 | 0.0018719219 | 0.0019417909 | 1.0373247 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2073567E-6 | 1.293482E-6 | 1.12934695E-5 | 8.73106 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1743755E-6 | 5.543492E-6 | 1.5543437E-5 | 2.8039072 | 1.0E-5 | 6.29962E-5 | 6.749156E-5 | 7.7490884E-5 | 1.1481566 | 1.0E-5 | 6.297835E-4 | 6.7487074E-4 | 6.84864E-4 | 1.0148077 | 1.0E-5 |
Baker
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8348373E-6 | 9.5834315E-5 | 16.424505 | 9.0E-5 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5006228E-5 | 1.4500323E-4 | 5.7986846 | 1.2E-4 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.044123E-4 | 4.9435446E-4 | 1.6239635 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030403486 | 0.0032895887 | 1.0819774 | 2.5E-4 |
6.1 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8348373E-6 | 9.5834315E-5 | 16.424505 | 9.0E-5 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5006228E-5 | 1.4500323E-4 | 5.7986846 | 1.2E-4 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.044123E-4 | 4.9435446E-4 | 1.6239635 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030403486 | 0.0032895887 | 1.0819774 | 2.5E-4 |
6.2 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8348373E-6 | 9.5834315E-5 | 16.424505 | 9.0E-5 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5006228E-5 | 1.4500323E-4 | 5.7986846 | 1.2E-4 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.044123E-4 | 4.9435446E-4 | 1.6239635 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030403486 | 0.0032895887 | 1.0819774 | 2.5E-4 |
6.3 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.383667E-6 | 4.338353E-5 | 12.821454 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.4501353E-5 | 7.450048E-5 | 5.137485 | 6.0E-5 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.7654014E-4 | 2.7652248E-4 | 1.5663434 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017201907 | 0.001764046 | 0.001903799 | 1.079223 | 1.4E-4 |
6.4 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.383667E-6 | 4.338353E-5 | 12.821454 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.4501353E-5 | 7.450048E-5 | 5.137485 | 6.0E-5 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.7654014E-4 | 2.7652248E-4 | 1.5663434 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017201907 | 0.001764046 | 0.001903799 | 1.079223 | 1.4E-4 |
6.5 | 2.782202E-6 | 2.8558404E-6 | 4.2855725E-5 | 15.006345 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1923668E-5 | 1.223926E-5 | 6.223865E-5 | 5.085164 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4516099E-4 | 1.4900314E-4 | 2.3898973E-4 | 1.6039242 | 9.0E-5 | 0.001450662 | 0.0014890651 | 0.0016188715 | 1.0871731 | 1.3E-4 |
6.6 | 2.3163404E-6 | 2.38092E-6 | 3.238085E-5 | 13.600142 | 3.0E-5 | 9.927136E-6 | 1.0203904E-5 | 5.0203496E-5 | 4.920028 | 4.0E-5 | 1.20856166E-4 | 1.2422565E-4 | 1.9421696E-4 | 1.5634207 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0012079047 | 0.0012415823 | 0.0013414582 | 1.0804424 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 2.037056E-6 | 2.0965003E-6 | 3.209644E-5 | 15.30953 | 3.0E-5 | 8.7302105E-6 | 8.984972E-6 | 4.8984613E-5 | 5.451838 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0628513E-4 | 1.093867E-4 | 1.7937904E-4 | 1.6398615 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0010623431 | 0.0010933448 | 0.0011832464 | 1.0822262 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.8356744E-6 | 1.8915287E-6 | 3.189147E-5 | 16.860157 | 3.0E-5 | 7.867153E-6 | 8.106527E-6 | 4.81062E-5 | 5.9342556 | 4.0E-5 | 9.577837E-5 | 9.869264E-5 | 1.486877E-4 | 1.5065734 | 5.0E-5 | 9.57371E-4 | 9.86502E-4 | 0.001056433 | 1.0708878 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.6310546E-6 | 1.6832072E-6 | 3.1683157E-5 | 18.823088 | 3.0E-5 | 6.9902153E-6 | 7.213726E-6 | 4.7213438E-5 | 6.544945 | 4.0E-5 | 8.510255E-5 | 8.782368E-5 | 1.378193E-4 | 1.5692725 | 5.0E-5 | 8.5069967E-4 | 8.7790104E-4 | 9.478396E-4 | 1.0796657 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2058036E-6 | 1.2508665E-6 | 2.1250842E-5 | 16.988895 | 2.0E-5 | 5.1677193E-6 | 5.3608455E-6 | 3.5360685E-5 | 6.5961018 | 3.0E-5 | 6.291517E-5 | 6.5266366E-5 | 1.0526375E-4 | 1.6128331 | 4.0E-5 | 6.289736E-4 | 6.524743E-4 | 6.924482E-4 | 1.0612651 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.052382E-6 | 1.0951609E-6 | 1.109515E-5 | 10.131069 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5102006E-6 | 4.693538E-6 | 1.4693491E-5 | 3.1305788 | 1.0E-5 | 5.491031E-5 | 5.7142337E-5 | 7.7141194E-5 | 1.3499832 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4896745E-4 | 5.7127734E-4 | 5.912659E-4 | 1.0349892 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0067454E-6 | 1.0487711E-6 | 1.1048761E-5 | 10.53496 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3146156E-6 | 4.4947255E-6 | 1.4494681E-5 | 3.22482 | 1.0E-5 | 5.252918E-5 | 5.4721917E-5 | 7.4720825E-5 | 1.3654643 | 2.0E-5 | 5.251676E-4 | 5.470853E-4 | 5.6707434E-4 | 1.0365374 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.3596316E-7 | 9.767723E-7 | 1.09767625E-5 | 11.23779 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0112645E-6 | 4.1861604E-6 | 1.4186118E-5 | 3.3888137 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8836053E-5 | 5.096532E-5 | 7.09643E-5 | 1.3924037 | 2.0E-5 | 4.8825322E-4 | 5.095371E-4 | 5.295269E-4 | 1.0392313 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.8117395E-7 | 9.2076635E-7 | 1.0920757E-5 | 11.860509 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7764542E-6 | 3.9461356E-6 | 1.3946096E-5 | 3.5341148 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5977362E-5 | 4.8043148E-5 | 5.8042668E-5 | 1.2081362 | 1.0E-5 | 4.596785E-4 | 4.8032837E-4 | 4.903236E-4 | 1.020809 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.292386E-7 | 8.6745956E-7 | 1.0867451E-5 | 12.5279045 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5538749E-6 | 3.7176785E-6 | 1.3717641E-5 | 3.6898406 | 1.0E-5 | 4.326757E-5 | 4.5261804E-5 | 5.5261353E-5 | 1.2209269 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3259145E-4 | 4.5252658E-4 | 4.6252206E-4 | 1.0220882 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.553842E-7 | 7.9144706E-7 | 1.0791439E-5 | 13.635074 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2373566E-6 | 3.3919116E-6 | 1.33918775E-5 | 3.94818 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9414106E-5 | 4.129575E-5 | 5.1295334E-5 | 1.2421457 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9407116E-4 | 4.1288146E-4 | 4.2287732E-4 | 1.02421 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.5285366E-7 | 6.852797E-7 | 6.852797E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.797941E-6 | 2.9369096E-6 | 2.9369096E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.40644E-5 | 3.5756293E-5 | 3.5756293E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.405918E-4 | 3.5750607E-4 | 3.5750607E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6482615E-7 | 3.6482615E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635396E-6 | 1.5635396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9035933E-5 | 1.9035933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9034347E-4 | 1.9034347E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.169034E-5 | 4.7137048E-5 | 5.7136574E-5 | 1.2121373 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7866064E-4 | 2.0200513E-4 | 2.3199907E-4 | 1.1484811 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021730233 | 0.0024574657 | 0.002507343 | 1.0202962 | 5.0E-5 | 0.021518968 | 0.02438483 | 0.02456044 | 1.0072017 | 1.8E-4 |
6.1 | 1.73813E-5 | 1.6854203E-5 | 1.6854203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4489166E-5 | 7.223036E-5 | 9.222892E-5 | 1.2768719 | 2.0E-5 | 9.065282E-4 | 8.790605E-4 | 8.9904293E-4 | 1.0227315 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009028391 | 0.008757128 | 0.008856253 | 1.0113193 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 1.4622182E-5 | 1.3673262E-5 | 1.3673262E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2664985E-5 | 5.85984E-5 | 7.859723E-5 | 1.3412862 | 2.0E-5 | 7.6267915E-4 | 7.132059E-4 | 7.331916E-4 | 1.0280224 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007600669 | 0.007109767 | 0.0071891984 | 1.0111722 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3552434E-5 | 1.2482174E-5 | 1.2482174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8080568E-5 | 5.349395E-5 | 7.349288E-5 | 1.373854 | 2.0E-5 | 7.069015E-4 | 6.510974E-4 | 6.7108433E-4 | 1.0306973 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00704657 | 0.006492415 | 0.006552025 | 1.0091815 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.30977305E-5 | 1.1979128E-5 | 1.1979128E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.613192E-5 | 5.133813E-5 | 7.1337105E-5 | 1.389554 | 2.0E-5 | 6.831918E-4 | 6.2486547E-4 | 6.44853E-4 | 1.0319868 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006810953 | 0.006231584 | 0.00629121 | 1.0095683 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.225205E-5 | 1.1048776E-5 | 1.1048776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2507727E-5 | 4.735105E-5 | 6.7350105E-5 | 1.4223571 | 2.0E-5 | 6.3909404E-4 | 5.7634927E-4 | 5.963377E-4 | 1.0346812 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006372592 | 0.005749009 | 0.005808664 | 1.0103766 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1352241E-5 | 1.0063508E-5 | 1.0063508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8651553E-5 | 4.3128617E-5 | 6.312776E-5 | 1.4637092 | 2.0E-5 | 5.921717E-4 | 5.249665E-4 | 5.44956E-4 | 1.0380777 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0059059616 | 0.0052376646 | 0.00529735 | 1.0113955 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0864116E-5 | 9.517E-6 | 9.517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6559664E-5 | 4.0786515E-5 | 6.07857E-5 | 1.4903381 | 2.0E-5 | 5.667165E-4 | 4.964647E-4 | 5.164548E-4 | 1.0402648 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005652734 | 0.0049539437 | 0.0050136466 | 1.0120516 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0666365E-5 | 9.299752E-6 | 9.299752E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.571219E-5 | 3.985548E-5 | 5.9854683E-5 | 1.501793 | 2.0E-5 | 5.564038E-4 | 4.8513446E-4 | 5.0512474E-4 | 1.0412056 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005550127 | 0.00484114 | 0.0049008494 | 1.0123338 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0038665E-5 | 8.592018E-6 | 8.592018E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.302214E-5 | 3.682243E-5 | 5.682169E-5 | 1.5431273 | 2.0E-5 | 5.236687E-4 | 4.4822265E-4 | 4.6821366E-4 | 1.0446007 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005224364 | 0.0044735507 | 0.0045332825 | 1.0133522 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.5379955E-6 | 8.025047E-6 | 8.025047E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0876483E-5 | 3.439261E-5 | 5.4391923E-5 | 1.5815003 | 2.0E-5 | 4.975576E-4 | 4.1865133E-4 | 4.3864295E-4 | 1.0477525 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00496445 | 0.00417898 | 0.004238729 | 1.0142976 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.207389E-6 | 7.652347E-6 | 7.652347E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.945964E-5 | 3.2795375E-5 | 5.2794716E-5 | 1.6098222 | 2.0E-5 | 4.803152E-4 | 3.992122E-4 | 4.1920424E-4 | 1.0500786 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004792784 | 0.003985301 | 0.0040450618 | 1.0149953 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.638091E-6 | 5.9310923E-6 | 5.9310923E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2734264E-5 | 2.5418722E-5 | 2.5418722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.984668E-4 | 3.094293E-4 | 3.094293E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039775306 | 0.0030901956 | 0.0031101338 | 1.0064521 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.2500147E-6 | 5.596131E-6 | 5.596131E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1071122E-5 | 2.3983199E-5 | 2.3983199E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7822526E-4 | 2.9195662E-4 | 2.9195662E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037758215 | 0.0029159402 | 0.002935882 | 1.0068388 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.3899715E-6 | 4.9184864E-6 | 4.9184864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7385306E-5 | 2.1079059E-5 | 2.1079059E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3336508E-4 | 2.566075E-4 | 2.566075E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033286542 | 0.002563311 | 0.0025832597 | 1.0077825 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.379025E-6 | 4.0838477E-6 | 4.0838477E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.305276E-5 | 1.7502087E-5 | 1.7502087E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.806312E-4 | 2.1306718E-4 | 2.1306718E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028027708 | 0.0021286402 | 0.0021485977 | 1.0093757 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.1270696E-6 | 3.0883373E-6 | 3.0883373E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.768732E-5 | 1.32356645E-5 | 1.32356645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1532185E-4 | 1.6113237E-4 | 1.6113237E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021511333 | 0.0016101635 | 0.0016101635 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.5406805E-6 | 1.8282044E-6 | 1.8282044E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0888585E-5 | 7.835139E-6 | 7.835139E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3256045E-4 | 9.53887E-5 | 9.53887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013248142 | 9.534837E-4 | 9.534837E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.8608285E-7 | 3.509864E-7 | 3.509864E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0832106E-6 | 1.5042266E-6 | 1.5042266E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5362791E-5 | 1.8313805E-5 | 1.8313805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5359896E-4 | 1.8312308E-4 | 1.8312308E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.0472514E-8 | 1.2688718E-8 | 1.2688718E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7739345E-8 | 5.438022E-8 | 5.438022E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.068226E-6 | 6.6207895E-7 | 6.6207895E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0682209E-5 | 6.620771E-6 | 6.620771E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 4.443582E-9 | 2.032067E-9 | 2.032067E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043922E-8 | 8.7088585E-9 | 8.7088585E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185973E-7 | 1.0603035E-7 | 1.0603035E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185949E-6 | 1.0603031E-6 | 1.0603031E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Coachella) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.273077E-4 | 3.7729135E-4 | 1.1527114 | 5.0E-5 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.001401998 | 0.0014918718 | 1.0641041 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0062038354 | 0.016937068 | 0.017104188 | 1.0098672 | 1.7E-4 | 0.060334753 | 0.15267672 | 0.1528716 | 1.0012765 | 2.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.273077E-4 | 3.7729135E-4 | 1.1527114 | 5.0E-5 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.001401998 | 0.0014918718 | 1.0641041 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0062038354 | 0.016937068 | 0.017104188 | 1.0098672 | 1.7E-4 | 0.060334753 | 0.15267672 | 0.1528716 | 1.0012765 | 2.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.07432395E-4 | 3.0231563E-4 | 3.523005E-4 | 1.1653401 | 5.0E-5 | 4.603433E-4 | 0.001294999 | 0.0013848825 | 1.0694082 | 9.0E-5 | 0.005590286 | 0.015653731 | 0.01582107 | 1.01069 | 1.7E-4 | 0.05451731 | 0.14182784 | 0.14202522 | 1.0013916 | 2.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0718766E-4 | 3.0176868E-4 | 3.5175358E-4 | 1.1656399 | 5.0E-5 | 4.592948E-4 | 0.0012926573 | 0.001382541 | 1.0695341 | 9.0E-5 | 0.005577586 | 0.01562563 | 0.015792973 | 1.0107095 | 1.7E-4 | 0.054396555 | 0.14159605 | 0.14179349 | 1.0013944 | 2.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0355944E-4 | 2.9384956E-4 | 3.4383486E-4 | 1.1701051 | 5.0E-5 | 4.4375064E-4 | 0.0012587514 | 0.0013486381 | 1.0714095 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0053892885 | 0.015218662 | 0.015376227 | 1.0103534 | 1.6E-4 | 0.052604496 | 0.13815795 | 0.13834755 | 1.0013723 | 2.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.0227914E-4 | 2.9104383E-4 | 3.4102928E-4 | 1.1717454 | 5.0E-5 | 4.382655E-4 | 0.0012467385 | 0.0013366262 | 1.0720984 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0053228354 | 0.015074439 | 0.015232027 | 1.0104539 | 1.6E-4 | 0.051971316 | 0.13694239 | 0.13713226 | 1.0013865 | 2.2E-4 |
6.6 | 1.0116757E-4 | 2.8870135E-4 | 3.3868692E-4 | 1.1731393 | 5.0E-5 | 4.3350324E-4 | 0.0012367087 | 0.0013265974 | 1.0726838 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0052651367 | 0.014954008 | 0.015111616 | 1.0105395 | 1.6E-4 | 0.051421247 | 0.13591973 | 0.1361012 | 1.001335 | 2.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.0050676E-4 | 2.8728697E-4 | 3.3727262E-4 | 1.173992 | 5.0E-5 | 4.3067214E-4 | 0.0012306528 | 0.0013205421 | 1.0730419 | 9.0E-5 | 0.005230834 | 0.014881288 | 0.015038907 | 1.0105917 | 1.6E-4 | 0.051094085 | 0.13530464 | 0.13548623 | 1.001342 | 2.1E-4 |
6.8 | 9.976819E-5 | 2.8532353E-4 | 3.3530925E-4 | 1.1751896 | 5.0E-5 | 4.2750788E-4 | 0.001222246 | 0.001312136 | 1.073545 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0051924936 | 0.014780328 | 0.014937963 | 1.0106652 | 1.6E-4 | 0.050728295 | 0.13445628 | 0.13463804 | 1.0013518 | 2.1E-4 |
6.9 | 9.77719E-5 | 2.802926E-4 | 3.3027856E-4 | 1.1783351 | 5.0E-5 | 4.1895514E-4 | 0.0012007048 | 0.0012905968 | 1.0748659 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0050888555 | 0.0145215895 | 0.014679266 | 1.010858 | 1.6E-4 | 0.049738888 | 0.13228476 | 0.13246699 | 1.0013775 | 2.1E-4 |
7.0 | 8.500761E-5 | 2.4763815E-4 | 2.9762575E-4 | 1.2018574 | 5.0E-5 | 3.6426744E-4 | 0.0010608779 | 0.0011507825 | 1.0847454 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0044259406 | 0.01284047 | 0.012998416 | 1.0123006 | 1.6E-4 | 0.04338823 | 0.11813616 | 0.11832135 | 1.0015676 | 2.1E-4 |
7.1 | 8.319876E-5 | 2.4366553E-4 | 2.9365334E-4 | 1.2051493 | 5.0E-5 | 3.5651738E-4 | 0.0010438662 | 0.0011337722 | 1.086128 | 9.0E-5 | 0.004331963 | 0.012635773 | 0.012793751 | 1.0125024 | 1.6E-4 | 0.042484846 | 0.11635632 | 0.116541885 | 1.0015948 | 2.1E-4 |
7.2 | 7.563917E-5 | 2.2414974E-4 | 2.7413853E-4 | 1.2230152 | 5.0E-5 | 3.2412758E-4 | 9.602912E-4 | 0.0010502047 | 1.0936316 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0039391145 | 0.011629559 | 0.011787699 | 1.0135981 | 1.6E-4 | 0.03870018 | 0.10776202 | 0.10794938 | 1.0017388 | 2.1E-4 |
7.3 | 7.082985E-5 | 2.07311E-4 | 2.5730062E-4 | 1.2411336 | 5.0E-5 | 3.0352117E-4 | 8.881761E-4 | 9.780962E-4 | 1.1012412 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0036891096 | 0.010760553 | 0.010918832 | 1.0147091 | 1.6E-4 | 0.03628465 | 0.10028403 | 0.10047297 | 1.0018841 | 2.1E-4 |
7.4 | 5.146215E-5 | 1.4274761E-4 | 1.827419E-4 | 1.2801749 | 4.0E-5 | 2.2053342E-4 | 6.1163295E-4 | 6.91584E-4 | 1.1307174 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0026816884 | 0.0074213943 | 0.007560355 | 1.0187243 | 1.4E-4 | 0.02649557 | 0.07085049 | 0.071017735 | 1.0023606 | 1.8E-4 |
7.5 | 4.0285166E-5 | 1.0942422E-4 | 1.4941984E-4 | 1.3655097 | 4.0E-5 | 1.7263928E-4 | 4.6887697E-4 | 5.4883945E-4 | 1.1705405 | 8.0E-5 | 0.002099857 | 0.0056937044 | 0.005813021 | 1.0209559 | 1.2E-4 | 0.020801254 | 0.055013083 | 0.05516428 | 1.0027484 | 1.6E-4 |
7.6 | 3.1168736E-5 | 8.439599E-5 | 1.2439262E-4 | 1.4739162 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3357346E-4 | 3.616471E-4 | 4.4161818E-4 | 1.2211301 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0016250437 | 0.004394191 | 0.0045136637 | 1.0271888 | 1.2E-4 | 0.016132116 | 0.042812478 | 0.04296563 | 1.0035772 | 1.6E-4 |
7.7 | 2.2100989E-5 | 6.239345E-5 | 1.0239096E-4 | 1.641053 | 4.0E-5 | 9.4715084E-5 | 2.6737314E-4 | 3.373544E-4 | 1.2617364 | 7.0E-5 | 0.001152546 | 0.0032504152 | 0.0033600575 | 1.0337318 | 1.1E-4 | 0.011465867 | 0.031902168 | 0.032047383 | 1.0045519 | 1.5E-4 |
7.8 | 1.7484861E-5 | 5.180078E-5 | 9.179871E-5 | 1.7721491 | 4.0E-5 | 7.493296E-5 | 2.2198448E-4 | 2.9196893E-4 | 1.3152673 | 7.0E-5 | 9.1192697E-4 | 0.0026993142 | 0.0028090172 | 1.0406411 | 1.1E-4 | 0.009081938 | 0.026641788 | 0.026787791 | 1.0054803 | 1.5E-4 |
7.9 | 1.3967285E-5 | 3.8226146E-5 | 7.822462E-5 | 2.046364 | 4.0E-5 | 5.985842E-5 | 1.6381606E-4 | 2.338046E-4 | 1.4272385 | 7.0E-5 | 7.2853256E-4 | 0.0019926373 | 0.002082458 | 1.0450763 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0072614877 | 0.019911002 | 0.020038415 | 1.006399 | 1.3E-4 |
8.0 | 1.1887396E-5 | 3.106798E-5 | 7.106674E-5 | 2.2874591 | 4.0E-5 | 5.094499E-5 | 1.331417E-4 | 2.0313238E-4 | 1.5256857 | 7.0E-5 | 6.200787E-4 | 0.0016197958 | 0.00170965 | 1.0554726 | 9.0E-5 | 0.006183513 | 0.016280567 | 0.01640845 | 1.0078549 | 1.3E-4 |
8.1 | 5.100864E-6 | 8.973766E-6 | 8.973766E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1860664E-5 | 3.845843E-5 | 3.845843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6612106E-4 | 4.6813092E-4 | 4.6813092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002658026 | 0.004918092 | 0.004918092 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.3004484E-6 | 2.7863473E-6 | 2.7863473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.859027E-6 | 1.19414335E-5 | 1.19414335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2002704E-4 | 1.4537729E-4 | 1.4537729E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011996223 | 0.0015973782 | 0.0015973782 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.0424446E-7 | 5.814421E-8 | 5.814421E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4676187E-7 | 2.4918944E-7 | 2.4918944E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.439312E-6 | 3.0338776E-6 | 3.0338776E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4391792E-5 | 3.189592E-5 | 3.189592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (South Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.113726E-6 | 8.4113395E-5 | 20.44701 | 8.0E-5 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630138E-5 | 1.1762838E-4 | 6.672005 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462643E-4 | 3.5459638E-4 | 1.6521562 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442554 | 0.0023538051 | 1.0977261 | 2.1E-4 |
6.1 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.113726E-6 | 8.4113395E-5 | 20.44701 | 8.0E-5 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630138E-5 | 1.1762838E-4 | 6.672005 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462643E-4 | 3.5459638E-4 | 1.6521562 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442554 | 0.0023538051 | 1.0977261 | 2.1E-4 |
6.2 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.113726E-6 | 8.4113395E-5 | 20.44701 | 8.0E-5 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630138E-5 | 1.1762838E-4 | 6.672005 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462643E-4 | 3.5459638E-4 | 1.6521562 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442554 | 0.0023538051 | 1.0977261 | 2.1E-4 |
6.3 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.113726E-6 | 8.4113395E-5 | 20.44701 | 8.0E-5 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630138E-5 | 1.1762838E-4 | 6.672005 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462643E-4 | 3.5459638E-4 | 1.6521562 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442554 | 0.0023538051 | 1.0977261 | 2.1E-4 |
6.4 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.113726E-6 | 8.4113395E-5 | 20.44701 | 8.0E-5 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630138E-5 | 1.1762838E-4 | 6.672005 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462643E-4 | 3.5459638E-4 | 1.6521562 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442554 | 0.0023538051 | 1.0977261 | 2.1E-4 |
6.5 | 2.9849807E-6 | 2.973154E-6 | 7.297294E-5 | 24.54395 | 7.0E-5 | 1.2792712E-5 | 1.2742028E-5 | 1.0274088E-4 | 8.06315 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5574014E-4 | 1.551233E-4 | 2.6510624E-4 | 1.7090033 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0015563103 | 0.0015501654 | 0.0016999327 | 1.0966139 | 1.5E-4 |
6.6 | 2.9849807E-6 | 2.973154E-6 | 7.297294E-5 | 24.54395 | 7.0E-5 | 1.2792712E-5 | 1.2742028E-5 | 1.0274088E-4 | 8.06315 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5574014E-4 | 1.551233E-4 | 2.6510624E-4 | 1.7090033 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0015563103 | 0.0015501654 | 0.0016999327 | 1.0966139 | 1.5E-4 |
6.7 | 2.6756725E-6 | 2.6582202E-6 | 6.265806E-5 | 23.571434 | 6.0E-5 | 1.1467117E-5 | 1.1392323E-5 | 9.139141E-5 | 8.022193 | 8.0E-5 | 1.396032E-4 | 1.386928E-4 | 2.3867894E-4 | 1.7209179 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013951553 | 0.0013860734 | 0.0015258794 | 1.1008648 | 1.4E-4 |
6.8 | 2.3283721E-6 | 2.3047783E-6 | 5.2304662E-5 | 22.694012 | 5.0E-5 | 9.9787E-6 | 9.877584E-6 | 6.9876995E-5 | 7.0743 | 6.0E-5 | 1.214839E-4 | 1.2025302E-4 | 2.002434E-4 | 1.6651839 | 8.0E-5 | 0.001214175 | 0.001201887 | 0.0013217428 | 1.099723 | 1.2E-4 |
6.9 | 2.0972677E-6 | 2.0696405E-6 | 5.2069536E-5 | 25.158735 | 5.0E-5 | 8.988259E-6 | 8.869858E-6 | 6.8869325E-5 | 7.7644224 | 6.0E-5 | 1.0942656E-4 | 1.0798523E-4 | 1.7797766E-4 | 1.6481668 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0010937268 | 0.0010793334 | 0.0011792255 | 1.0925498 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.7132242E-6 | 1.6787029E-6 | 2.167867E-5 | 12.91394 | 2.0E-5 | 7.3423685E-6 | 7.1944214E-6 | 2.7194277E-5 | 3.7799115 | 2.0E-5 | 8.938967E-5 | 8.75886E-5 | 1.1758597E-4 | 1.3424803 | 3.0E-5 | 8.935372E-4 | 8.755446E-4 | 9.255009E-4 | 1.0570573 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.4215541E-6 | 1.3815746E-6 | 1.138156E-5 | 8.238108 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0923603E-6 | 5.9210206E-6 | 1.5920961E-5 | 2.688888 | 1.0E-5 | 7.417196E-5 | 7.208607E-5 | 9.208463E-5 | 1.2774261 | 2.0E-5 | 7.414721E-4 | 7.206296E-4 | 7.606007E-4 | 1.055467 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.097853E-7 | 8.60377E-7 | 1.0860368E-5 | 12.622803 | 1.0E-5 | 3.899074E-6 | 3.6873246E-6 | 1.3687288E-5 | 3.7119834 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7470192E-5 | 4.4892266E-5 | 6.489136E-5 | 1.4454911 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7460053E-4 | 4.4883305E-4 | 4.6882406E-4 | 1.04454 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.144169E-7 | 5.628199E-7 | 1.0562814E-5 | 18.767664 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6332125E-6 | 2.4120832E-6 | 1.2412059E-5 | 5.1457844 | 1.0E-5 | 3.205889E-5 | 2.9366722E-5 | 4.9366132E-5 | 1.681023 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2054266E-4 | 2.9362892E-4 | 3.1362305E-4 | 1.0680932 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.049844E-7 | 3.5728252E-7 | 3.5728252E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7356463E-6 | 1.5312098E-6 | 1.5312098E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1131287E-5 | 1.8642324E-5 | 2.8642136E-5 | 1.5364038 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1129279E-4 | 1.8640784E-4 | 1.9640598E-4 | 1.0536358 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.9871162E-7 | 1.5830383E-7 | 1.5830383E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5162094E-7 | 6.784448E-7 | 6.784448E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0368436E-5 | 8.260035E-6 | 8.260035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0367952E-4 | 8.259736E-5 | 8.259736E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.735264E-8 | 1.735264E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.436845E-8 | 7.436845E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.0543557E-7 | 9.0543557E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.054324E-6 | 9.054324E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.986481E-4 | 0.0012275929 | 0.001297507 | 1.0569521 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0025631124 | 0.005245547 | 0.005335075 | 1.0170674 | 9.0E-5 | 0.030762846 | 0.06120491 | 0.061364505 | 1.0026076 | 1.7E-4 | 0.26835477 | 0.42593494 | 0.42604974 | 1.0002695 | 2.0E-4 |
6.1 | 5.015945E-4 | 0.0010217986 | 0.0010817372 | 1.05866 | 6.0E-5 | 0.00214792 | 0.0043678596 | 0.00444751 | 1.0182356 | 8.0E-5 | 0.025839351 | 0.05124837 | 0.051381197 | 1.0025918 | 1.4E-4 | 0.23032776 | 0.37285668 | 0.37296957 | 1.0003028 | 1.8E-4 |
6.2 | 4.073338E-4 | 8.1073755E-4 | 8.706889E-4 | 1.0739467 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0017445484 | 0.0034671477 | 0.0035468703 | 1.0229937 | 8.0E-5 | 0.021034058 | 0.04093317 | 0.041067436 | 1.0032802 | 1.4E-4 | 0.19150782 | 0.31303346 | 0.3131571 | 1.000395 | 1.8E-4 |
6.3 | 3.464099E-4 | 6.7391695E-4 | 7.338765E-4 | 1.0889717 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0014837692 | 0.0028829593 | 0.0029527575 | 1.0242106 | 7.0E-5 | 0.017915873 | 0.034189582 | 0.03430548 | 1.0033898 | 1.2E-4 | 0.16538359 | 0.2713166 | 0.2714186 | 1.000376 | 1.4E-4 |
6.4 | 2.935057E-4 | 5.5442745E-4 | 6.1439414E-4 | 1.1081598 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0012572751 | 0.0023725363 | 0.0024423702 | 1.0294343 | 7.0E-5 | 0.015200248 | 0.02826451 | 0.028381119 | 1.0041256 | 1.2E-4 | 0.14201577 | 0.23298529 | 0.23309267 | 1.0004609 | 1.4E-4 |
6.5 | 2.3409708E-4 | 4.2093755E-4 | 4.809123E-4 | 1.142479 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0010028875 | 0.0018019684 | 0.0018718423 | 1.0387764 | 7.0E-5 | 0.012141965 | 0.021587461 | 0.021704871 | 1.0054388 | 1.2E-4 | 0.11499573 | 0.18682368 | 0.18693753 | 1.0006094 | 1.4E-4 |
6.6 | 1.5842178E-4 | 2.506933E-4 | 3.1067827E-4 | 1.2392763 | 6.0E-5 | 6.7877385E-4 | 0.0010739497 | 0.0011438746 | 1.06511 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0082328 | 0.012995575 | 0.013114016 | 1.0091139 | 1.2E-4 | 0.07934396 | 0.12314638 | 0.12326914 | 1.0009968 | 1.4E-4 |
6.7 | 1.5616413E-4 | 2.4605883E-4 | 3.0604406E-4 | 1.2437842 | 6.0E-5 | 6.691031E-4 | 0.0010541069 | 0.001124033 | 1.066337 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0081159435 | 0.01275744 | 0.012875909 | 1.0092863 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0782586 | 0.12117351 | 0.12129655 | 1.0010154 | 1.4E-4 |
6.8 | 1.5538467E-4 | 2.4429744E-4 | 3.042828E-4 | 1.2455423 | 6.0E-5 | 6.6576427E-4 | 0.0010465645 | 0.0011164913 | 1.0668155 | 7.0E-5 | 0.008075596 | 0.012666838 | 0.012785318 | 1.0093535 | 1.2E-4 | 0.07788358 | 0.120404355 | 0.1205275 | 1.0010227 | 1.4E-4 |
6.9 | 1.5153569E-4 | 2.3539034E-4 | 2.953762E-4 | 1.2548357 | 6.0E-5 | 6.49277E-4 | 0.0010084276 | 0.001078357 | 1.069345 | 7.0E-5 | 0.007876333 | 0.01220901 | 0.012327545 | 1.0097088 | 1.2E-4 | 0.07602952 | 0.11647445 | 0.116598144 | 1.001062 | 1.4E-4 |
7.0 | 1.4588932E-4 | 2.2396253E-4 | 2.839491E-4 | 1.2678419 | 6.0E-5 | 6.250901E-4 | 9.5948833E-4 | 0.0010294212 | 1.0728855 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0075839474 | 0.011619697 | 0.011738302 | 1.0102073 | 1.2E-4 | 0.073302895 | 0.11132046 | 0.11144487 | 1.0011176 | 1.4E-4 |
7.1 | 1.1565079E-4 | 1.6281738E-4 | 2.2280762E-4 | 1.368451 | 6.0E-5 | 4.955521E-4 | 6.9760304E-4 | 7.675542E-4 | 1.1002736 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006016669 | 0.0084604435 | 0.008579428 | 1.0140636 | 1.2E-4 | 0.058563538 | 0.08367046 | 0.083798744 | 1.0015333 | 1.4E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0393792E-4 | 1.4615769E-4 | 2.0614892E-4 | 1.4104556 | 6.0E-5 | 4.4537216E-4 | 6.2624045E-4 | 6.961966E-4 | 1.1117082 | 7.0E-5 | 0.005408933 | 0.0075979927 | 0.007717081 | 1.0156736 | 1.2E-4 | 0.052791595 | 0.07561969 | 0.07574911 | 1.0017114 | 1.4E-4 |
7.3 | 9.332884E-5 | 1.2780898E-4 | 1.8780131E-4 | 1.4693906 | 6.0E-5 | 3.999194E-4 | 5.4763845E-4 | 6.176001E-4 | 1.1277516 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0048581534 | 0.006647249 | 0.0067664515 | 1.0179325 | 1.2E-4 | 0.047533102 | 0.06648326 | 0.06661395 | 1.0019658 | 1.4E-4 |
7.4 | 8.670252E-5 | 1.17032345E-4 | 1.7702531E-4 | 1.5126188 | 6.0E-5 | 3.715293E-4 | 5.0147134E-4 | 5.7143625E-4 | 1.1395192 | 7.0E-5 | 0.004513991 | 0.006088443 | 0.0062077125 | 1.0195894 | 1.2E-4 | 0.044233937 | 0.061151642 | 0.06128308 | 1.0021493 | 1.4E-4 |
7.5 | 7.3036405E-5 | 9.005856E-5 | 1.4005406E-4 | 1.5551443 | 5.0E-5 | 3.129756E-4 | 3.8590826E-4 | 4.4588512E-4 | 1.1554173 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0038038217 | 0.0046883323 | 0.0047978167 | 1.0233525 | 1.1E-4 | 0.03739367 | 0.047877792 | 0.047992047 | 1.0023863 | 1.2E-4 |
7.6 | 6.3935775E-5 | 8.280385E-5 | 1.327997E-4 | 1.6037867 | 5.0E-5 | 2.7398168E-4 | 3.5482543E-4 | 4.1480415E-4 | 1.1690372 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0033306254 | 0.004311461 | 0.004420987 | 1.0254034 | 1.1E-4 | 0.032811474 | 0.04399201 | 0.04410673 | 1.0026078 | 1.2E-4 |
7.7 | 5.5050095E-5 | 6.6618326E-5 | 1.16614996E-4 | 1.7504942 | 5.0E-5 | 2.3590765E-4 | 2.854759E-4 | 3.4545877E-4 | 1.2101153 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0028683927 | 0.003470134 | 0.0035598215 | 1.0258456 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0283165 | 0.035796214 | 0.03589263 | 1.0026935 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 5.027131E-5 | 6.162871E-5 | 8.162747E-5 | 1.3245041 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1543067E-4 | 2.640963E-4 | 2.940884E-4 | 1.113565 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0026197135 | 0.003210635 | 0.0032604744 | 1.0155232 | 5.0E-5 | 0.025890453 | 0.03312666 | 0.033184674 | 1.0017512 | 6.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.7271806E-5 | 5.022507E-5 | 6.0224567E-5 | 1.1990938 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5972654E-4 | 2.1523255E-4 | 2.3522823E-4 | 1.0929028 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019429359 | 0.002617309 | 0.0026572044 | 1.0152428 | 4.0E-5 | 0.019260362 | 0.027067466 | 0.027106382 | 1.0014378 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.7310243E-5 | 3.1427757E-5 | 3.1427757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.17038646E-4 | 1.3468343E-4 | 1.446821E-4 | 1.0742382 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014240141 | 0.0016385383 | 0.001648522 | 1.006093 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014149235 | 0.01721386 | 0.017223688 | 1.0005709 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.7940547E-5 | 1.7399378E-5 | 1.7399378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.688579E-5 | 7.456663E-5 | 7.456663E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3568244E-4 | 9.074711E-4 | 9.074711E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009317525 | 0.009798636 | 0.009798636 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032481793 | 0.0032481793 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6564595E-7 | 7.6564595E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9949547E-5 | 3.9949547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.717979E-4 | 4.717979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3784127E-5 | 8.3782434E-5 | 2.4799352 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4478175E-4 | 2.1477161E-4 | 1.4834163 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017614134 | 0.0018712196 | 1.0623399 | 1.1E-4 | 0.018115403 | 0.017486857 | 0.017693184 | 1.011799 | 2.1E-4 |
6.1 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3784127E-5 | 8.3782434E-5 | 2.4799352 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4478175E-4 | 2.1477161E-4 | 1.4834163 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017614134 | 0.0018712196 | 1.0623399 | 1.1E-4 | 0.018115403 | 0.017486857 | 0.017693184 | 1.011799 | 2.1E-4 |
6.2 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3784127E-5 | 8.3782434E-5 | 2.4799352 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4478175E-4 | 2.1477161E-4 | 1.4834163 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017614134 | 0.0018712196 | 1.0623399 | 1.1E-4 | 0.018115403 | 0.017486857 | 0.017693184 | 1.011799 | 2.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.591616E-5 | 4.591568E-5 | 2.884847 | 3.0E-5 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.821041E-5 | 1.0820768E-4 | 1.5863807 | 4.0E-5 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.301596E-4 | 8.8011805E-4 | 1.0601794 | 5.0E-5 | 0.009254395 | 0.0082720425 | 0.008351381 | 1.0095911 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.591616E-5 | 4.591568E-5 | 2.884847 | 3.0E-5 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.821041E-5 | 1.0820768E-4 | 1.5863807 | 4.0E-5 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.301596E-4 | 8.8011805E-4 | 1.0601794 | 5.0E-5 | 0.009254395 | 0.0082720425 | 0.008351381 | 1.0095911 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3397557E-5 | 1.1336374E-5 | 3.133615E-5 | 2.7642126 | 2.0E-5 | 5.741684E-5 | 4.8583595E-5 | 7.858214E-5 | 1.6174624 | 3.0E-5 | 6.988258E-4 | 5.913517E-4 | 6.2133395E-4 | 1.0507013 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006966323 | 0.005898487 | 0.005948192 | 1.0084268 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0818695E-5 | 8.625434E-6 | 2.8625262E-5 | 3.318704 | 2.0E-5 | 4.6365014E-5 | 3.6965648E-5 | 5.696491E-5 | 1.5410229 | 2.0E-5 | 5.6434784E-4 | 4.4996818E-4 | 4.6995917E-4 | 1.0444276 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005629168 | 0.0044910074 | 0.0045208726 | 1.00665 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.067908E-6 | 6.802476E-6 | 1.6802407E-5 | 2.470043 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8861883E-5 | 2.915316E-5 | 3.915287E-5 | 1.343006 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7304068E-4 | 3.548851E-4 | 3.6488156E-4 | 1.0281681 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00472035 | 0.003543501 | 0.0035534655 | 1.002812 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.295947E-6 | 4.9364285E-6 | 1.4936379E-5 | 3.025746 | 1.0E-5 | 3.126797E-5 | 2.1155956E-5 | 3.1155745E-5 | 1.4726701 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8062103E-4 | 2.5754445E-4 | 2.6754188E-4 | 1.0388182 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037996976 | 0.0025725728 | 0.002582547 | 1.0038772 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.2243444E-6 | 3.8322546E-6 | 1.3832216E-5 | 3.60942 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6675489E-5 | 1.6423846E-5 | 2.6423682E-5 | 1.6088607 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2472567E-4 | 1.9994251E-4 | 2.0994052E-4 | 1.0500044 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032425157 | 0.001997679 | 0.002007659 | 1.0049958 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.9878413E-6 | 2.679564E-6 | 2.679564E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1376287E-5 | 1.1483797E-5 | 1.1483797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.602252E-4 | 1.3980652E-4 | 1.3980652E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002599207 | 0.0013972119 | 0.0013972119 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.0252844E-6 | 1.885702E-6 | 1.885702E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7251105E-5 | 8.081555E-6 | 8.081555E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1001195E-4 | 9.838863E-5 | 9.838863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020981359 | 9.834635E-4 | 9.834635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.3284066E-6 | 1.2818929E-6 | 1.2818929E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4264522E-5 | 5.4938155E-6 | 5.4938155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.736567E-4 | 6.688525E-5 | 6.688525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017352107 | 6.6866126E-4 | 6.6866126E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.458226E-6 | 6.056684E-7 | 6.056684E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0535211E-5 | 2.5957193E-6 | 2.5957193E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2825865E-4 | 3.160246E-5 | 3.160246E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012818464 | 3.1598343E-4 | 3.1598343E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.965953E-6 | 3.1084684E-7 | 3.1084684E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.425486E-6 | 1.3322001E-6 | 1.3322001E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0257547E-4 | 1.6219417E-5 | 1.6219417E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010252813 | 1.6218246E-4 | 1.6218246E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2014192E-6 | 1.8241002E-7 | 1.8241002E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.148929E-6 | 7.8175697E-7 | 7.8175697E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2686406E-5 | 9.51785E-6 | 9.51785E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.266873E-4 | 9.517451E-5 | 9.517451E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.5612175E-7 | 4.893784E-8 | 4.893784E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0976642E-6 | 2.0973359E-7 | 2.0973359E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363979E-5 | 2.5535037E-6 | 2.5535037E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363175E-4 | 2.553478E-5 | 2.553478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Tin Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1815365E-6 | 9.418116E-5 | 22.523098 | 9.0E-5 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.792077E-5 | 1.279188E-4 | 7.1380196 | 1.1E-4 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1816725E-4 | 3.581367E-4 | 1.6415695 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021798965 | 0.002369482 | 1.0869701 | 1.9E-4 |
6.1 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1815365E-6 | 9.418116E-5 | 22.523098 | 9.0E-5 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.792077E-5 | 1.279188E-4 | 7.1380196 | 1.1E-4 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1816725E-4 | 3.581367E-4 | 1.6415695 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021798965 | 0.002369482 | 1.0869701 | 1.9E-4 |
6.2 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1815365E-6 | 9.418116E-5 | 22.523098 | 9.0E-5 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.792077E-5 | 1.279188E-4 | 7.1380196 | 1.1E-4 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1816725E-4 | 3.581367E-4 | 1.6415695 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021798965 | 0.002369482 | 1.0869701 | 1.9E-4 |
6.3 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1815365E-6 | 9.418116E-5 | 22.523098 | 9.0E-5 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.792077E-5 | 1.279188E-4 | 7.1380196 | 1.1E-4 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1816725E-4 | 3.581367E-4 | 1.6415695 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021798965 | 0.002369482 | 1.0869701 | 1.9E-4 |
6.4 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1815365E-6 | 9.418116E-5 | 22.523098 | 9.0E-5 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.792077E-5 | 1.279188E-4 | 7.1380196 | 1.1E-4 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1816725E-4 | 3.581367E-4 | 1.6415695 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021798965 | 0.002369482 | 1.0869701 | 1.9E-4 |
6.5 | 2.3143427E-6 | 2.3731573E-6 | 2.237311E-5 | 9.427572 | 2.0E-5 | 9.9185745E-6 | 1.0170638E-5 | 3.0170435E-5 | 2.966425 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2075195E-4 | 1.2382126E-4 | 1.6381631E-4 | 1.3230063 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012068636 | 0.0012375986 | 0.0013075119 | 1.0564911 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3143427E-6 | 2.3731573E-6 | 2.237311E-5 | 9.427572 | 2.0E-5 | 9.9185745E-6 | 1.0170638E-5 | 3.0170435E-5 | 2.966425 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2075195E-4 | 1.2382126E-4 | 1.6381631E-4 | 1.3230063 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012068636 | 0.0012375986 | 0.0013075119 | 1.0564911 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7029532E-6 | 1.7497915E-6 | 1.1749774E-5 | 6.7149568 | 1.0E-5 | 7.2983503E-6 | 7.499088E-6 | 1.7499013E-5 | 2.3334856 | 1.0E-5 | 8.885379E-5 | 9.1298105E-5 | 1.0129719E-4 | 1.1095213 | 1.0E-5 | 8.881827E-4 | 9.1265864E-4 | 9.426312E-4 | 1.032841 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2914646E-6 | 1.3299378E-6 | 1.3299378E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.534837E-6 | 5.6997237E-6 | 5.6997237E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.738455E-5 | 6.939237E-5 | 6.939237E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.736412E-4 | 6.9375033E-4 | 7.037434E-4 | 1.0144044 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.8708974E-7 | 6.1169936E-7 | 6.1169936E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5160964E-6 | 2.6215664E-6 | 2.6215664E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0633044E-5 | 3.1917145E-5 | 3.1917145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0628822E-4 | 3.191297E-4 | 3.191297E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.6248786E-7 | 4.832015E-7 | 4.832015E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9820893E-6 | 2.0708624E-6 | 2.0708624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.413167E-5 | 2.5212494E-5 | 2.5212494E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.412905E-4 | 2.5210003E-4 | 2.5210003E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.804606E-7 | 3.987147E-7 | 3.987147E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6305444E-6 | 1.7087764E-6 | 1.7087764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9851697E-5 | 2.0804187E-5 | 2.0804187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9849923E-4 | 2.0802575E-4 | 2.0802575E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.5864858E-7 | 3.7616863E-7 | 3.7616863E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5370645E-6 | 1.6121504E-6 | 1.6121504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.87136E-5 | 1.9627789E-5 | 1.9627789E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8712023E-4 | 1.9626386E-4 | 1.9626386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.342063E-7 | 3.506347E-7 | 3.506347E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4323119E-6 | 1.5027196E-6 | 1.5027196E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7438259E-5 | 1.829549E-5 | 1.829549E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.743689E-4 | 1.8294314E-4 | 1.8294314E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.971242E-7 | 3.1165817E-7 | 3.1165817E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2733886E-6 | 1.3356774E-6 | 1.3356774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5503398E-5 | 1.6261785E-5 | 1.6261785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5502315E-4 | 1.6260923E-4 | 1.6260923E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4326713E-7 | 1.5012525E-7 | 1.5012525E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.140018E-7 | 6.433939E-7 | 6.433939E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4754466E-6 | 7.8333205E-6 | 7.8333205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.475195E-5 | 7.833321E-5 | 7.833321E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4401106E-5 | 1.043987E-4 | 3.0347483 | 7.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4742499E-4 | 2.4741024E-4 | 1.6782111 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017934233 | 0.0019431544 | 1.083489 | 1.5E-4 | 0.018879099 | 0.018526303 | 0.018712781 | 1.0100657 | 1.9E-4 |
6.1 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4401106E-5 | 1.043987E-4 | 3.0347483 | 7.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4742499E-4 | 2.4741024E-4 | 1.6782111 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017934233 | 0.0019431544 | 1.083489 | 1.5E-4 | 0.018879099 | 0.018526303 | 0.018712781 | 1.0100657 | 1.9E-4 |
6.2 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4401106E-5 | 1.043987E-4 | 3.0347483 | 7.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4742499E-4 | 2.4741024E-4 | 1.6782111 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017934233 | 0.0019431544 | 1.083489 | 1.5E-4 | 0.018879099 | 0.018526303 | 0.018712781 | 1.0100657 | 1.9E-4 |
6.3 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4401106E-5 | 1.043987E-4 | 3.0347483 | 7.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4742499E-4 | 2.4741024E-4 | 1.6782111 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017934233 | 0.0019431544 | 1.083489 | 1.5E-4 | 0.018879099 | 0.018526303 | 0.018712781 | 1.0100657 | 1.9E-4 |
6.4 | 3.646941E-5 | 3.432268E-5 | 1.0432028E-4 | 3.039398 | 7.0E-5 | 1.5628811E-4 | 1.4708891E-4 | 2.470742E-4 | 1.6797609 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019011468 | 0.0017893389 | 0.0019390704 | 1.0836798 | 1.5E-4 | 0.018849645 | 0.018486181 | 0.01867267 | 1.010088 | 1.9E-4 |
6.5 | 3.646941E-5 | 3.432268E-5 | 1.0432028E-4 | 3.039398 | 7.0E-5 | 1.5628811E-4 | 1.4708891E-4 | 2.470742E-4 | 1.6797609 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019011468 | 0.0017893389 | 0.0019390704 | 1.0836798 | 1.5E-4 | 0.018849645 | 0.018486181 | 0.01867267 | 1.010088 | 1.9E-4 |
6.6 | 3.6442503E-5 | 3.4286066E-5 | 1.0428367E-4 | 3.0415757 | 7.0E-5 | 1.561728E-4 | 1.4693203E-4 | 2.4691733E-4 | 1.6804868 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018997455 | 0.001787432 | 0.0019371639 | 1.0837693 | 1.5E-4 | 0.018835869 | 0.01846745 | 0.018653942 | 1.0100983 | 1.9E-4 |
6.7 | 3.6432113E-5 | 3.427164E-5 | 1.04269246E-4 | 3.042435 | 7.0E-5 | 1.5612828E-4 | 1.4687021E-4 | 2.4685552E-4 | 1.6807733 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018992044 | 0.0017866807 | 0.0019364126 | 1.0838046 | 1.5E-4 | 0.018830549 | 0.018460074 | 0.018646566 | 1.0101025 | 1.9E-4 |
6.8 | 3.6409598E-5 | 3.4240697E-5 | 1.042383E-4 | 3.0442808 | 7.0E-5 | 1.560318E-4 | 1.4673761E-4 | 2.4672292E-4 | 1.6813885 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018980318 | 0.0017850689 | 0.0019348011 | 1.0838804 | 1.5E-4 | 0.018819023 | 0.018444229 | 0.018630724 | 1.0101113 | 1.9E-4 |
6.9 | 3.638078E-5 | 3.4201123E-5 | 1.0419873E-4 | 3.0466466 | 7.0E-5 | 1.5590832E-4 | 1.4656801E-4 | 2.4655336E-4 | 1.6821771 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018965311 | 0.0017830075 | 0.0019327401 | 1.0839775 | 1.5E-4 | 0.018804269 | 0.018423963 | 0.018610463 | 1.0101227 | 1.9E-4 |
7.0 | 3.6294874E-5 | 3.408314E-5 | 1.04080755E-4 | 3.0537314 | 7.0E-5 | 1.5554018E-4 | 1.4606243E-4 | 2.4604783E-4 | 1.6845387 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018920569 | 0.0017768623 | 0.0019265957 | 1.0842685 | 1.5E-4 | 0.018760284 | 0.018363545 | 0.018550055 | 1.0101566 | 1.9E-4 |
7.1 | 3.6260717E-5 | 3.403942E-5 | 1.0403704E-4 | 3.056369 | 7.0E-5 | 1.5539382E-4 | 1.4587509E-4 | 2.4586052E-4 | 1.685418 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001890278 | 0.0017745851 | 0.001924319 | 1.0843768 | 1.5E-4 | 0.018742796 | 0.018341139 | 0.018527655 | 1.0101693 | 1.9E-4 |
7.2 | 3.6210204E-5 | 3.397364E-5 | 1.03971266E-4 | 3.060351 | 7.0E-5 | 1.5517735E-4 | 1.455932E-4 | 2.4557865E-4 | 1.6867452 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001887647 | 0.0017711588 | 0.0019208931 | 1.0845404 | 1.5E-4 | 0.01871693 | 0.018307408 | 0.01849393 | 1.0101883 | 1.9E-4 |
7.3 | 3.6119454E-5 | 3.386193E-5 | 1.0385956E-4 | 3.0671484 | 7.0E-5 | 1.5478847E-4 | 1.4511449E-4 | 2.4509997E-4 | 1.6890111 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018829206 | 0.0017653398 | 0.001915075 | 1.0848194 | 1.5E-4 | 0.018670462 | 0.01824996 | 0.018436493 | 1.010221 | 1.9E-4 |
7.4 | 3.607848E-5 | 3.380943E-5 | 1.0380706E-4 | 3.0703585 | 7.0E-5 | 1.5461289E-4 | 1.4488952E-4 | 2.4487503E-4 | 1.6900811 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018807866 | 0.0017626052 | 0.0019123408 | 1.0849513 | 1.5E-4 | 0.018649481 | 0.018222956 | 0.018409492 | 1.0102364 | 1.9E-4 |
7.5 | 3.5856774E-5 | 3.3619202E-5 | 1.0361685E-4 | 3.0820732 | 7.0E-5 | 1.5366284E-4 | 1.4407437E-4 | 2.4405995E-4 | 1.693986 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018692396 | 0.0017526967 | 0.0019024338 | 1.0854324 | 1.5E-4 | 0.018535944 | 0.018124057 | 0.018310614 | 1.0102932 | 1.9E-4 |
7.6 | 3.286655E-5 | 3.2142278E-5 | 1.02140024E-4 | 3.177747 | 7.0E-5 | 1.4084904E-4 | 1.3774536E-4 | 2.3773158E-4 | 1.7258773 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001713488 | 0.0016757617 | 0.0018255103 | 1.0893615 | 1.5E-4 | 0.017003361 | 0.017343804 | 0.017530508 | 1.010765 | 1.9E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8882527E-5 | 2.9235205E-5 | 9.9233155E-5 | 3.3943036 | 7.0E-5 | 1.237764E-4 | 1.2528773E-4 | 2.252752E-4 | 1.7980628 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0015059357 | 0.0015243118 | 0.0016640984 | 1.0917047 | 1.4E-4 | 0.014957713 | 0.015830338 | 0.016007489 | 1.0111905 | 1.8E-4 |
7.8 | 2.4950225E-5 | 2.6526219E-5 | 9.652436E-5 | 3.6388285 | 7.0E-5 | 1.0692515E-4 | 1.1367885E-4 | 2.1366749E-4 | 1.8795711 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013010362 | 0.0013831621 | 0.0015229685 | 1.1010773 | 1.4E-4 | 0.012934455 | 0.01441176 | 0.014589165 | 1.0123098 | 1.8E-4 |
7.9 | 1.9881603E-5 | 2.150649E-5 | 9.150498E-5 | 4.254761 | 7.0E-5 | 8.520408E-5 | 9.216742E-5 | 1.921582E-4 | 2.084882 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001036866 | 0.0011215615 | 0.0012614045 | 1.124686 | 1.4E-4 | 0.010320415 | 0.011776998 | 0.011954878 | 1.015104 | 1.8E-4 |
8.0 | 1.563292E-5 | 1.5936288E-5 | 7.593533E-5 | 4.764932 | 6.0E-5 | 6.6996516E-5 | 6.829659E-5 | 1.5829045E-4 | 2.3176918 | 9.0E-5 | 8.153773E-4 | 8.3119445E-4 | 9.610864E-4 | 1.1562715 | 1.3E-4 | 0.00812392 | 0.008810331 | 0.008968921 | 1.0180005 | 1.6E-4 |
8.1 | 1.0045313E-5 | 8.300794E-6 | 2.8300628E-5 | 3.409388 | 2.0E-5 | 4.305063E-5 | 3.557435E-5 | 6.557328E-5 | 1.8432742 | 3.0E-5 | 5.2401534E-4 | 4.3303217E-4 | 4.7301484E-4 | 1.0923319 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0052278144 | 0.0046587666 | 0.0047085336 | 1.0106825 | 5.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.1554413E-6 | 1.5648296E-6 | 1.5648296E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7808914E-5 | 6.7063957E-6 | 6.7063957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1680194E-4 | 8.164734E-5 | 8.164734E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021659054 | 9.479703E-4 | 9.479703E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 3.612677E-7 | 3.612677E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.5482892E-6 | 1.5482892E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 1.8850264E-5 | 1.8850264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.2739546E-4 | 2.2739546E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6750775E-5 | 6.674967E-5 | 1.8162793 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5749714E-4 | 2.0748925E-4 | 1.3174161 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019164253 | 0.0020162337 | 1.0520805 | 1.0E-4 | 0.016697178 | 0.019056438 | 0.01921339 | 1.0082362 | 1.6E-4 |
6.1 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6750775E-5 | 6.674967E-5 | 1.8162793 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5749714E-4 | 2.0748925E-4 | 1.3174161 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019164253 | 0.0020162337 | 1.0520805 | 1.0E-4 | 0.016697178 | 0.019056438 | 0.01921339 | 1.0082362 | 1.6E-4 |
6.2 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6750775E-5 | 6.674967E-5 | 1.8162793 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5749714E-4 | 2.0748925E-4 | 1.3174161 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019164253 | 0.0020162337 | 1.0520805 | 1.0E-4 | 0.016697178 | 0.019056438 | 0.01921339 | 1.0082362 | 1.6E-4 |
6.3 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6750775E-5 | 6.674967E-5 | 1.8162793 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5749714E-4 | 2.0748925E-4 | 1.3174161 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019164253 | 0.0020162337 | 1.0520805 | 1.0E-4 | 0.016697178 | 0.019056438 | 0.01921339 | 1.0082362 | 1.6E-4 |
6.4 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.48492945E-5 | 2.4849145E-5 | 1.6734227 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.363831E-5 | 8.363704E-5 | 1.3142561 | 2.0E-5 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.7452604E-4 | 8.144951E-4 | 1.0516045 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0074880854 | 0.007718817 | 0.0077981995 | 1.0102843 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.48492945E-5 | 2.4849145E-5 | 1.6734227 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.363831E-5 | 8.363704E-5 | 1.3142561 | 2.0E-5 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.7452604E-4 | 8.144951E-4 | 1.0516045 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0074880854 | 0.007718817 | 0.0077981995 | 1.0102843 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.280208E-5 | 1.301186E-5 | 2.301173E-5 | 1.7685196 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4864904E-5 | 5.5763932E-5 | 7.5762815E-5 | 1.3586348 | 2.0E-5 | 6.6777546E-4 | 6.7871617E-4 | 7.086958E-4 | 1.0441711 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006657724 | 0.0067666434 | 0.0068262373 | 1.0088071 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2457027E-5 | 1.262838E-5 | 2.2628254E-5 | 1.7918572 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3386164E-5 | 5.4120515E-5 | 7.411943E-5 | 1.3695257 | 2.0E-5 | 6.497827E-4 | 6.5871974E-4 | 6.887E-4 | 1.0455129 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00647886 | 0.00656787 | 0.0066274754 | 1.0090754 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2095134E-5 | 1.2230827E-5 | 2.2230704E-5 | 1.8175962 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1835254E-5 | 5.2416784E-5 | 7.2415736E-5 | 1.3815372 | 2.0E-5 | 6.309115E-4 | 6.3798914E-4 | 6.6797E-4 | 1.0469928 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0062912325 | 0.006361764 | 0.006421382 | 1.0093714 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1104036E-5 | 1.115726E-5 | 2.1157148E-5 | 1.8962674 | 1.0E-5 | 4.758786E-5 | 4.781596E-5 | 6.7815E-5 | 1.4182504 | 2.0E-5 | 5.7922816E-4 | 5.82005E-4 | 6.119876E-4 | 1.0515159 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005777207 | 0.0058049536 | 0.0058646053 | 1.010276 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0577444E-5 | 1.05815925E-5 | 2.0581487E-5 | 1.9450274 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5331115E-5 | 4.53489E-5 | 6.5347995E-5 | 1.441005 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5176654E-4 | 5.5198424E-4 | 5.8196764E-4 | 1.0543194 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0055039856 | 0.00550627 | 0.00556594 | 1.0108367 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0021775E-5 | 9.9809E-6 | 1.99808E-5 | 2.0019035 | 1.0E-5 | 4.294976E-5 | 4.277459E-5 | 6.277374E-5 | 1.4675473 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2278786E-4 | 5.206574E-4 | 5.506418E-4 | 1.0575894 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0052155964 | 0.005194508 | 0.0052541965 | 1.0114907 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.874109E-6 | 8.748706E-6 | 1.8748618E-5 | 2.143016 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8031343E-5 | 3.7493923E-5 | 4.7493548E-5 | 1.2666999 | 1.0E-5 | 4.629332E-4 | 4.56394E-4 | 4.7638486E-4 | 1.0438018 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0046197 | 0.0045546847 | 0.004594503 | 1.0087422 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.5504267E-6 | 7.5050243E-6 | 1.750495E-5 | 2.3324308 | 1.0E-5 | 3.235857E-5 | 3.2164E-5 | 4.2163676E-5 | 1.3108966 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9389438E-4 | 3.9152734E-4 | 4.1151952E-4 | 1.051062 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0039319694 | 0.0039084824 | 0.003948326 | 1.0101942 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.309394E-6 | 6.183062E-6 | 1.6183E-5 | 2.6173117 | 1.0E-5 | 2.703998E-5 | 2.6498574E-5 | 3.649831E-5 | 1.3773688 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2916202E-4 | 3.2257332E-4 | 3.325701E-4 | 1.0309907 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003286749 | 0.0032211484 | 0.0032510518 | 1.0092834 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.6103073E-6 | 4.4408016E-6 | 1.4440757E-5 | 3.2518356 | 1.0E-5 | 1.975831E-5 | 1.9031871E-5 | 2.9031682E-5 | 1.5254244 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4053088E-4 | 2.316891E-4 | 2.4168678E-4 | 1.0431513 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002402707 | 0.002314545 | 0.0023444756 | 1.0129315 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.2858658E-6 | 1.3008196E-6 | 1.3008196E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5108417E-6 | 5.574929E-6 | 5.574929E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7092435E-5 | 6.787272E-5 | 6.787272E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.707218E-4 | 6.7852676E-4 | 6.7852676E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.3302307E-7 | 5.612138E-7 | 5.612138E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2843826E-6 | 2.4052001E-6 | 2.4052001E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7812002E-5 | 2.9282955E-5 | 2.9282955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7808524E-4 | 2.9279455E-4 | 2.9279455E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.613933E-8 | 4.80301E-8 | 4.80301E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9773998E-7 | 2.0584326E-7 | 2.0584326E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074816E-6 | 2.5061388E-6 | 2.5061388E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074554E-5 | 2.5061116E-5 | 2.5061116E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5271103E-5 | 1.05268635E-4 | 2.9845574 | 7.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5115313E-4 | 2.51138E-4 | 1.6614808 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018387372 | 0.0019884615 | 1.0814277 | 1.5E-4 | 0.020996714 | 0.018986495 | 0.019163078 | 1.0093005 | 1.8E-4 |
6.1 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5271103E-5 | 1.05268635E-4 | 2.9845574 | 7.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5115313E-4 | 2.51138E-4 | 1.6614808 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018387372 | 0.0019884615 | 1.0814277 | 1.5E-4 | 0.020996714 | 0.018986495 | 0.019163078 | 1.0093005 | 1.8E-4 |
6.2 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5271103E-5 | 1.05268635E-4 | 2.9845574 | 7.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5115313E-4 | 2.51138E-4 | 1.6614808 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018387372 | 0.0019884615 | 1.0814277 | 1.5E-4 | 0.020996714 | 0.018986495 | 0.019163078 | 1.0093005 | 1.8E-4 |
6.3 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5271103E-5 | 1.05268635E-4 | 2.9845574 | 7.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5115313E-4 | 2.51138E-4 | 1.6614808 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018387372 | 0.0019884615 | 1.0814277 | 1.5E-4 | 0.020996714 | 0.018986495 | 0.019163078 | 1.0093005 | 1.8E-4 |
6.4 | 4.0577226E-5 | 3.5143014E-5 | 1.05140556E-4 | 2.991791 | 7.0E-5 | 1.738908E-4 | 1.5060425E-4 | 2.505892E-4 | 1.6638919 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0018320669 | 0.001981792 | 1.0817248 | 1.5E-4 | 0.020950472 | 0.018921062 | 0.019097656 | 1.0093333 | 1.8E-4 |
6.5 | 4.0577226E-5 | 3.5143014E-5 | 1.05140556E-4 | 2.991791 | 7.0E-5 | 1.738908E-4 | 1.5060425E-4 | 2.505892E-4 | 1.6638919 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0018320669 | 0.001981792 | 1.0817248 | 1.5E-4 | 0.020950472 | 0.018921062 | 0.019097656 | 1.0093333 | 1.8E-4 |
6.6 | 4.053861E-5 | 3.5088357E-5 | 1.050859E-4 | 2.9948938 | 7.0E-5 | 1.7372532E-4 | 1.5037002E-4 | 2.50355E-4 | 1.6649262 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0021130538 | 0.0018292206 | 0.0019789462 | 1.0818521 | 1.5E-4 | 0.020930743 | 0.01889314 | 0.019069739 | 1.0093473 | 1.8E-4 |
6.7 | 4.0516545E-5 | 3.505743E-5 | 1.05054976E-4 | 2.9966536 | 7.0E-5 | 1.7363077E-4 | 1.502375E-4 | 2.5022248E-4 | 1.6655128 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002111905 | 0.0018276101 | 0.001977336 | 1.0819244 | 1.5E-4 | 0.020919468 | 0.018877337 | 0.019053938 | 1.0093552 | 1.8E-4 |
6.8 | 4.049434E-5 | 3.5028992E-5 | 1.0502654E-4 | 2.9982746 | 7.0E-5 | 1.7353562E-4 | 1.5011564E-4 | 2.5010062E-4 | 1.6660532 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0021107488 | 0.0018261289 | 0.001975855 | 1.081991 | 1.5E-4 | 0.020908125 | 0.018862749 | 0.019039353 | 1.0093626 | 1.8E-4 |
6.9 | 4.046386E-5 | 3.4991554E-5 | 1.0498911E-4 | 3.0004127 | 7.0E-5 | 1.73405E-4 | 1.499552E-4 | 2.499402E-4 | 1.6667658 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0021091616 | 0.0018241788 | 0.0019739051 | 1.0820788 | 1.5E-4 | 0.020892553 | 0.018843522 | 0.01902013 | 1.0093724 | 1.8E-4 |
7.0 | 4.036382E-5 | 3.4872126E-5 | 1.0486969E-4 | 3.007264 | 7.0E-5 | 1.7297632E-4 | 1.4944343E-4 | 2.4942847E-4 | 1.6690496 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0021039525 | 0.0018179584 | 0.0019676858 | 1.0823601 | 1.5E-4 | 0.02084144 | 0.018782137 | 0.018958755 | 1.0094036 | 1.8E-4 |
7.1 | 4.0343282E-5 | 3.485059E-5 | 1.0484815E-4 | 3.0085044 | 7.0E-5 | 1.7288832E-4 | 1.4935112E-4 | 2.4933618E-4 | 1.669463 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002102883 | 0.0018168368 | 0.0019665642 | 1.082411 | 1.5E-4 | 0.020830948 | 0.018771008 | 0.01894763 | 1.0094093 | 1.8E-4 |
7.2 | 4.0257353E-5 | 3.475509E-5 | 1.0475265E-4 | 3.0140235 | 7.0E-5 | 1.725201E-4 | 1.489419E-4 | 2.4892698E-4 | 1.6713028 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0020984085 | 0.0018118626 | 0.0019615907 | 1.0826378 | 1.5E-4 | 0.020787042 | 0.018721746 | 0.018898377 | 1.0094345 | 1.8E-4 |
7.3 | 3.9940667E-5 | 3.458276E-5 | 1.0458034E-4 | 3.02406 | 7.0E-5 | 1.7116306E-4 | 1.4820343E-4 | 2.4818862E-4 | 1.6746483 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0020819185 | 0.0018028866 | 0.0019526163 | 1.0830499 | 1.5E-4 | 0.020625217 | 0.018630387 | 0.018807033 | 1.0094817 | 1.8E-4 |
7.4 | 3.9721202E-5 | 3.4468165E-5 | 1.04465755E-4 | 3.0307894 | 7.0E-5 | 1.7022261E-4 | 1.4771236E-4 | 2.476976E-4 | 1.6768914 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0020704903 | 0.0017969179 | 0.0019466483 | 1.0833262 | 1.5E-4 | 0.020513052 | 0.018569522 | 0.018746179 | 1.0095133 | 1.8E-4 |
7.5 | 3.7036873E-5 | 3.3535776E-5 | 1.0353343E-4 | 3.087253 | 7.0E-5 | 1.5871979E-4 | 1.4371685E-4 | 2.4370248E-4 | 1.6957127 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019307006 | 0.0017483513 | 0.0018980891 | 1.0856451 | 1.5E-4 | 0.019140124 | 0.018071128 | 0.018247876 | 1.0097806 | 1.8E-4 |
7.6 | 3.2940967E-5 | 3.13167E-5 | 1.0131451E-4 | 3.235159 | 7.0E-5 | 1.4116794E-4 | 1.3420754E-4 | 2.3419413E-4 | 1.7450145 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0017173645 | 0.0016327545 | 0.0017825095 | 1.0917193 | 1.5E-4 | 0.01704153 | 0.016904091 | 0.017081048 | 1.0104684 | 1.8E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8236149E-5 | 2.7882697E-5 | 9.7880744E-5 | 3.5104475 | 7.0E-5 | 1.2100645E-4 | 1.1949181E-4 | 2.1947986E-4 | 1.8367774 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0014722579 | 0.0014538429 | 0.0015936394 | 1.0961565 | 1.4E-4 | 0.014625421 | 0.015114912 | 0.015282342 | 1.0110772 | 1.7E-4 |
7.8 | 2.4329287E-5 | 2.5206451E-5 | 9.520468E-5 | 3.7769969 | 7.0E-5 | 1.042642E-4 | 1.08023174E-4 | 2.0801238E-4 | 1.9256272 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012686774 | 0.0013143895 | 0.0014542056 | 1.1063733 | 1.4E-4 | 0.012614589 | 0.013712341 | 0.01388001 | 1.0122275 | 1.7E-4 |
7.9 | 1.9370926E-5 | 2.0420413E-5 | 9.041898E-5 | 4.4278727 | 7.0E-5 | 8.301561E-5 | 8.751312E-5 | 1.8750437E-4 | 2.1425858 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010102465 | 0.0010649522 | 0.0012048031 | 1.1313213 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0100566605 | 0.011199402 | 0.011367498 | 1.0150094 | 1.7E-4 |
8.0 | 1.5583017E-5 | 1.5885415E-5 | 7.588446E-5 | 4.7769895 | 6.0E-5 | 6.6782646E-5 | 6.807858E-5 | 1.5807245E-4 | 2.3219118 | 9.0E-5 | 8.127754E-4 | 8.2854216E-4 | 9.584345E-4 | 1.1567721 | 1.3E-4 | 0.008098091 | 0.008781636 | 0.008940231 | 1.0180598 | 1.6E-4 |
8.1 | 1.0024873E-5 | 8.291399E-6 | 2.8291233E-5 | 3.412118 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2963035E-5 | 3.553409E-5 | 6.553302E-5 | 1.8442297 | 3.0E-5 | 5.229494E-4 | 4.3254215E-4 | 4.7252484E-4 | 1.0924366 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0052172043 | 0.0046530655 | 0.004702833 | 1.0106956 | 5.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.142796E-6 | 1.5602761E-6 | 1.5602761E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.775472E-5 | 6.6868806E-6 | 6.6868806E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1614227E-4 | 8.140976E-5 | 8.140976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021593217 | 9.4514614E-4 | 9.4514614E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 3.609817E-7 | 3.609817E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.5470634E-6 | 1.5470634E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 1.8835339E-5 | 1.8835339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.272251E-4 | 2.272251E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Rosa Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1143165E-5 | 4.709113E-5 | 8.708925E-5 | 1.8493769 | 4.0E-5 | 1.7631594E-4 | 2.0180462E-4 | 2.8178847E-4 | 1.396343 | 8.0E-5 | 0.002144533 | 0.0024543991 | 0.00258408 | 1.0528362 | 1.3E-4 | 0.021239553 | 0.024293557 | 0.024459427 | 1.0068277 | 1.7E-4 |
6.1 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3864959E-5 | 4.3864482E-5 | 1.8380288 | 2.0E-5 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.0227455E-4 | 1.4227047E-4 | 1.3910642 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012445103 | 0.0013144232 | 1.056177 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01092941 | 0.01237845 | 0.012467336 | 1.0071807 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3864959E-5 | 4.3864482E-5 | 1.8380288 | 2.0E-5 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.0227455E-4 | 1.4227047E-4 | 1.3910642 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012445103 | 0.0013144232 | 1.056177 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01092941 | 0.01237845 | 0.012467336 | 1.0071807 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5158236E-5 | 1.7074419E-5 | 3.7074078E-5 | 2.171323 | 2.0E-5 | 6.496225E-5 | 7.3174095E-5 | 1.1317117E-4 | 1.5466015 | 4.0E-5 | 7.906284E-4 | 8.9054246E-4 | 9.6048013E-4 | 1.0785338 | 7.0E-5 | 0.007878214 | 0.00887099 | 0.00895028 | 1.0089382 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2341918E-5 | 1.3852917E-5 | 2.3852777E-5 | 1.7218597 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2892858E-5 | 5.9368336E-5 | 8.936656E-5 | 1.5052899 | 3.0E-5 | 6.437803E-4 | 7.225779E-4 | 7.825346E-4 | 1.082976 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006419184 | 0.0072031217 | 0.0072626895 | 1.0082697 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.061158E-6 | 1.0117032E-5 | 2.011693E-5 | 1.9884223 | 1.0E-5 | 3.883296E-5 | 4.3358017E-5 | 6.335715E-5 | 1.4612557 | 2.0E-5 | 4.726887E-4 | 5.277613E-4 | 5.777349E-4 | 1.0946898 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004716845 | 0.0052656177 | 0.005315354 | 1.0094455 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.5461685E-6 | 8.400734E-6 | 1.840065E-5 | 2.1903622 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2340322E-5 | 3.600267E-5 | 5.600195E-5 | 1.5554943 | 2.0E-5 | 3.936723E-4 | 4.3824868E-4 | 4.8822677E-4 | 1.1140405 | 5.0E-5 | 0.003929756 | 0.0043742736 | 0.004424055 | 1.0113804 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.5023775E-6 | 6.087381E-6 | 1.608732E-5 | 2.6427326 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3581404E-5 | 2.6088532E-5 | 4.608801E-5 | 1.7666004 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8706578E-4 | 3.1758484E-4 | 3.3757847E-4 | 1.0629553 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028669522 | 0.0031716316 | 0.0031915682 | 1.0062859 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.7351679E-6 | 4.0831405E-6 | 1.40831E-5 | 3.4490852 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6007763E-5 | 1.7499071E-5 | 3.749872E-5 | 2.1428978 | 2.0E-5 | 1.948771E-4 | 2.1303285E-4 | 2.3302858E-4 | 1.0938623 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019470629 | 0.0021285315 | 0.002148489 | 1.0093762 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.456366E-6 | 2.6292707E-6 | 1.2629244E-5 | 4.803326 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0527241E-5 | 1.1268255E-5 | 3.1268028E-5 | 2.7748778 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2816161E-4 | 1.3718239E-4 | 1.5717965E-4 | 1.1457713 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012808773 | 0.0013709799 | 0.0013909526 | 1.0145681 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.3245157E-6 | 2.4827784E-6 | 1.2482754E-5 | 5.0277357 | 1.0E-5 | 9.962172E-6 | 1.0640436E-5 | 3.064022E-5 | 2.8796022 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2128269E-4 | 1.2953962E-4 | 1.4953704E-4 | 1.1543729 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012121652 | 0.0012946434 | 0.0013146175 | 1.0154283 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2248344E-6 | 2.37325E-6 | 1.2373226E-5 | 5.213621 | 1.0E-5 | 9.53497E-6 | 1.0171032E-5 | 3.017083E-5 | 2.9663486 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1608207E-4 | 1.238253E-4 | 1.4382282E-4 | 1.1614978 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011602144 | 0.0012375651 | 0.0012575403 | 1.0161408 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.1350402E-6 | 2.2761542E-6 | 1.2276131E-5 | 5.393366 | 1.0E-5 | 9.150141E-6 | 9.75491E-6 | 2.9754714E-5 | 3.0502295 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1139726E-4 | 1.1875957E-4 | 1.387572E-4 | 1.1683875 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011134144 | 0.0011869629 | 0.0012069392 | 1.0168297 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.9793572E-6 | 2.1087192E-6 | 1.2108698E-5 | 5.742205 | 1.0E-5 | 8.482932E-6 | 9.037337E-6 | 2.9037155E-5 | 3.2130213 | 2.0E-5 | 1.032748E-4 | 1.1002403E-4 | 1.3002183E-4 | 1.1817584 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010322682 | 0.0010996974 | 0.0011196755 | 1.0181668 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.6951194E-6 | 1.8045735E-6 | 1.8045735E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.264777E-6 | 7.733864E-6 | 1.7733786E-5 | 2.2930048 | 1.0E-5 | 8.844508E-5 | 9.415574E-5 | 1.04154795E-4 | 1.106197 | 1.0E-5 | 8.840988E-4 | 9.411601E-4 | 9.5115067E-4 | 1.0106152 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.987207E-7 | 9.512216E-7 | 9.512216E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8516546E-6 | 4.0766577E-6 | 1.4076617E-5 | 3.4529798 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6892885E-5 | 4.9632188E-5 | 5.9631693E-5 | 1.2014722 | 1.0E-5 | 4.688299E-4 | 4.962122E-4 | 5.0620723E-4 | 1.0201427 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.8783037E-7 | 4.0529335E-7 | 4.0529335E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6621291E-6 | 1.7369704E-6 | 1.7369704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0236233E-5 | 2.1147416E-5 | 2.1147416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.023439E-4 | 2.114547E-4 | 2.114547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.181804E-8 | 6.339047E-8 | 6.339047E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6493444E-7 | 2.7167343E-7 | 2.7167343E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225572E-6 | 3.307619E-6 | 3.307619E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225525E-5 | 3.3075703E-5 | 3.3075703E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.3704449E-9 | 1.3964153E-9 | 1.3964153E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.873335E-9 | 5.984637E-9 | 5.984637E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507856E-8 | 7.286295E-8 | 7.286295E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507833E-7 | 7.286294E-7 | 7.286294E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.1040642E-5 | 3.104042E-5 | 2.8114688 | 2.0E-5 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.7316473E-5 | 1.1731316E-4 | 2.47933 | 7.0E-5 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.759784E-4 | 6.4593815E-4 | 1.1214623 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0054756533 | 0.005750022 | 0.005869332 | 1.0207494 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.1040642E-5 | 3.104042E-5 | 2.8114688 | 2.0E-5 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.7316473E-5 | 1.1731316E-4 | 2.47933 | 7.0E-5 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.759784E-4 | 6.4593815E-4 | 1.1214623 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0054756533 | 0.005750022 | 0.005869332 | 1.0207494 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2082024E-6 | 1.220818E-5 | 5.52856 | 1.0E-5 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.463714E-6 | 3.946343E-5 | 4.169973 | 3.0E-5 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1521882E-4 | 1.4521537E-4 | 1.2603441 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011520023 | 0.0012019447 | 1.0433527 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2082024E-6 | 1.220818E-5 | 5.52856 | 1.0E-5 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.463714E-6 | 3.946343E-5 | 4.169973 | 3.0E-5 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1521882E-4 | 1.4521537E-4 | 1.2603441 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011520023 | 0.0012019447 | 1.0433527 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7259927E-6 | 1.810877E-6 | 1.1810859E-5 | 6.522176 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3970905E-6 | 7.760902E-6 | 3.776067E-5 | 4.8655 | 3.0E-5 | 9.005586E-5 | 9.4488976E-5 | 1.2448615E-4 | 1.3174673 | 3.0E-5 | 9.001937E-4 | 9.448898E-4 | 9.948425E-4 | 1.0528662 | 5.0E-5 |
San Jacinto (Anza) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3298347E-5 | 1.0329575E-4 | 2.3856742 | 6.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8555121E-4 | 2.7553452E-4 | 1.4849513 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022567573 | 0.002386464 | 1.0574747 | 1.3E-4 | 0.032346968 | 0.02329361 | 0.023449885 | 1.0067089 | 1.6E-4 |
6.1 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3298347E-5 | 1.0329575E-4 | 2.3856742 | 6.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8555121E-4 | 2.7553452E-4 | 1.4849513 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022567573 | 0.002386464 | 1.0574747 | 1.3E-4 | 0.032346968 | 0.02329361 | 0.023449885 | 1.0067089 | 1.6E-4 |
6.2 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3298347E-5 | 1.0329575E-4 | 2.3856742 | 6.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8555121E-4 | 2.7553452E-4 | 1.4849513 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022567573 | 0.002386464 | 1.0574747 | 1.3E-4 | 0.032346968 | 0.02329361 | 0.023449885 | 1.0067089 | 1.6E-4 |
6.3 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3298347E-5 | 1.0329575E-4 | 2.3856742 | 6.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8555121E-4 | 2.7553452E-4 | 1.4849513 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022567573 | 0.002386464 | 1.0574747 | 1.3E-4 | 0.032346968 | 0.02329361 | 0.023449885 | 1.0067089 | 1.6E-4 |
6.4 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3298347E-5 | 1.0329575E-4 | 2.3856742 | 6.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8555121E-4 | 2.7553452E-4 | 1.4849513 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022567573 | 0.002386464 | 1.0574747 | 1.3E-4 | 0.032346968 | 0.02329361 | 0.023449885 | 1.0067089 | 1.6E-4 |
6.5 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.0080286E-5 | 1.0007788E-4 | 2.4969354 | 6.0E-5 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.7176138E-4 | 2.617459E-4 | 1.5238928 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0030276014 | 0.0020891947 | 0.002218923 | 1.0620949 | 1.3E-4 | 0.02986684 | 0.021590833 | 0.021747379 | 1.0072505 | 1.6E-4 |
6.6 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.0080286E-5 | 1.0007788E-4 | 2.4969354 | 6.0E-5 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.7176138E-4 | 2.617459E-4 | 1.5238928 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0030276014 | 0.0020891947 | 0.002218923 | 1.0620949 | 1.3E-4 | 0.02986684 | 0.021590833 | 0.021747379 | 1.0072505 | 1.6E-4 |
6.7 | 5.712442E-5 | 3.950301E-5 | 9.950064E-5 | 2.5188115 | 6.0E-5 | 2.4479596E-4 | 1.6928767E-4 | 2.5927243E-4 | 1.5315495 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0029763177 | 0.0020591344 | 0.002188867 | 1.0630033 | 1.3E-4 | 0.029367693 | 0.021282919 | 0.021439513 | 1.0073577 | 1.6E-4 |
6.8 | 5.6967532E-5 | 3.93593E-5 | 9.935694E-5 | 2.5243573 | 6.0E-5 | 2.4412372E-4 | 1.6867183E-4 | 2.5865666E-4 | 1.5334905 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0029681553 | 0.0020516508 | 0.0021813842 | 1.0632336 | 1.3E-4 | 0.029288229 | 0.02120852 | 0.021365127 | 1.0073842 | 1.6E-4 |
6.9 | 5.6211324E-5 | 3.9064216E-5 | 9.906187E-5 | 2.5358725 | 6.0E-5 | 2.4088343E-4 | 1.6740736E-4 | 2.573923E-4 | 1.5375208 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0029288116 | 0.0020362847 | 0.00216602 | 1.0637118 | 1.3E-4 | 0.028905109 | 0.021047527 | 0.02120416 | 1.0074419 | 1.6E-4 |
7.0 | 5.4383527E-5 | 3.7925012E-5 | 9.792273E-5 | 2.5820093 | 6.0E-5 | 2.3305144E-4 | 1.6252567E-4 | 2.5251103E-4 | 1.5536687 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0028337094 | 0.001976959 | 0.002106702 | 1.0656276 | 1.3E-4 | 0.027978465 | 0.02044095 | 0.02059768 | 1.0076674 | 1.6E-4 |
7.1 | 5.1393665E-5 | 3.638787E-5 | 9.638569E-5 | 2.6488411 | 6.0E-5 | 2.2023996E-4 | 1.5593872E-4 | 2.459247E-4 | 1.5770597 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0026781242 | 0.0018969048 | 0.0020266583 | 1.0684026 | 1.3E-4 | 0.026460782 | 0.019616077 | 0.019772938 | 1.0079966 | 1.6E-4 |
7.2 | 4.785222E-5 | 3.4738845E-5 | 9.473676E-5 | 2.7271132 | 6.0E-5 | 2.0506482E-4 | 1.4887229E-4 | 2.3885889E-4 | 1.604455 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0024938055 | 0.0018110167 | 0.0019407814 | 1.0716529 | 1.3E-4 | 0.024660049 | 0.018728783 | 0.018885786 | 1.008383 | 1.6E-4 |
7.3 | 4.2143256E-5 | 3.3834414E-5 | 9.383239E-5 | 2.7732825 | 6.0E-5 | 1.8060145E-4 | 1.449966E-4 | 2.3498354E-4 | 1.6206143 | 9.0E-5 | 0.002196605 | 0.0017639075 | 0.0018936781 | 1.07357 | 1.3E-4 | 0.02175019 | 0.018236695 | 0.018393777 | 1.0086135 | 1.6E-4 |
7.4 | 4.0264713E-5 | 3.3472694E-5 | 9.3470684E-5 | 2.792446 | 6.0E-5 | 1.7255165E-4 | 1.4344654E-4 | 2.3343362E-4 | 1.6273215 | 9.0E-5 | 0.002098792 | 0.0017450659 | 0.0018748391 | 1.0743657 | 1.3E-4 | 0.020790804 | 0.018041389 | 0.018198503 | 1.0087085 | 1.6E-4 |
7.5 | 3.694492E-5 | 3.2186905E-5 | 9.218497E-5 | 2.864052 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5832575E-4 | 1.379366E-4 | 2.2792419E-4 | 1.6523837 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0019259118 | 0.0016780876 | 0.0018078694 | 1.0773392 | 1.3E-4 | 0.01909306 | 0.017357888 | 0.017515112 | 1.0090578 | 1.6E-4 |
7.6 | 3.200565E-5 | 2.9502702E-5 | 8.9500936E-5 | 3.033652 | 6.0E-5 | 1.3715986E-4 | 1.2643404E-4 | 2.1642266E-4 | 1.7117436 | 9.0E-5 | 0.001668642 | 0.0015382497 | 0.0016680497 | 1.0843816 | 1.3E-4 | 0.01656168 | 0.015946016 | 0.016103465 | 1.0098739 | 1.6E-4 |
7.7 | 2.731642E-5 | 2.6091477E-5 | 8.608991E-5 | 3.2995417 | 6.0E-5 | 1.1706512E-4 | 1.11815825E-4 | 2.0180576E-4 | 1.804805 | 9.0E-5 | 0.001424336 | 0.0013605085 | 0.0014803453 | 1.0880823 | 1.2E-4 | 0.014152412 | 0.0141668 | 0.014314675 | 1.0104381 | 1.5E-4 |
7.8 | 2.3466424E-5 | 2.3503619E-5 | 8.350221E-5 | 3.5527384 | 6.0E-5 | 1.0056651E-4 | 1.0072591E-4 | 1.9071685E-4 | 1.8934239 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0012237094 | 0.0012256489 | 0.0013455019 | 1.0977874 | 1.2E-4 | 0.012169928 | 0.012808796 | 0.012956875 | 1.0115607 | 1.5E-4 |
7.9 | 1.8611925E-5 | 1.890698E-5 | 7.890585E-5 | 4.1733713 | 6.0E-5 | 7.9762955E-5 | 8.10274E-5 | 1.710201E-4 | 2.1106453 | 9.0E-5 | 9.7068126E-4 | 9.860628E-4 | 0.0011059445 | 1.1215761 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0096645225 | 0.010393705 | 0.010542146 | 1.0142819 | 1.5E-4 |
8.0 | 1.5460775E-5 | 1.5739915E-5 | 7.573897E-5 | 4.8119044 | 6.0E-5 | 6.6258784E-5 | 6.745504E-5 | 1.5744897E-4 | 2.334132 | 9.0E-5 | 8.0640207E-4 | 8.2095637E-4 | 9.408578E-4 | 1.1460509 | 1.2E-4 | 0.008034821 | 0.008702706 | 0.008851401 | 1.017086 | 1.5E-4 |
8.1 | 9.983884E-6 | 8.268954E-6 | 2.8268789E-5 | 3.4186654 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2787375E-5 | 3.5437897E-5 | 6.5436834E-5 | 1.8465214 | 3.0E-5 | 5.2081177E-4 | 4.313715E-4 | 4.7135423E-4 | 1.0926875 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0051959283 | 0.00463968 | 0.004689448 | 1.0107266 | 5.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.1226E-6 | 1.5522551E-6 | 1.5522551E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7668166E-5 | 6.6525045E-6 | 6.6525045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1508869E-4 | 8.099126E-5 | 8.099126E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021488064 | 9.401847E-4 | 9.401847E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 3.609817E-7 | 3.609817E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.5470634E-6 | 1.5470634E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 1.8835339E-5 | 1.8835339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.272251E-4 | 2.272251E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.497084E-5 | 8.496919E-5 | 1.5457139 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3556968E-4 | 2.9555554E-4 | 1.2546418 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0024678076 | 0.002864558 | 0.0029642715 | 1.0348094 | 1.0E-4 | 0.024405818 | 0.028304456 | 0.02845021 | 1.0051495 | 1.5E-4 |
6.1 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.497084E-5 | 8.496919E-5 | 1.5457139 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3556968E-4 | 2.9555554E-4 | 1.2546418 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0024678076 | 0.002864558 | 0.0029543 | 1.0313284 | 9.0E-5 | 0.024405818 | 0.028304456 | 0.028440492 | 1.0048062 | 1.4E-4 |
6.2 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.3925004E-5 | 4.3924665E-5 | 1.2947578 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4538495E-4 | 1.6538205E-4 | 1.1375458 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017686592 | 0.0018085884 | 1.022576 | 4.0E-5 | 0.015745522 | 0.01754978 | 0.017638199 | 1.0050383 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.3925004E-5 | 4.3924665E-5 | 1.2947578 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4538495E-4 | 1.6538205E-4 | 1.1375458 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017686592 | 0.0018085884 | 1.022576 | 4.0E-5 | 0.015745522 | 0.01754978 | 0.017638199 | 1.0050383 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.5452082E-5 | 2.7912318E-5 | 3.791204E-5 | 1.3582548 | 1.0E-5 | 1.09075794E-4 | 1.1961885E-4 | 1.3961646E-4 | 1.1671777 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013271887 | 0.0014554056 | 0.0014953474 | 1.0274438 | 4.0E-5 | 0.013192902 | 0.01446091 | 0.014549608 | 1.0061337 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3143784E-5 | 2.5128133E-5 | 3.512788E-5 | 1.3979503 | 1.0E-5 | 9.9183875E-5 | 1.07687636E-4 | 1.17686555E-4 | 1.0928512 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012068948 | 0.001310323 | 0.0013402837 | 1.0228652 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012003611 | 0.013027638 | 0.013106596 | 1.0060608 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9118515E-5 | 2.0354244E-5 | 3.0354042E-5 | 1.4912881 | 1.0E-5 | 8.193392E-5 | 8.722961E-5 | 9.722873E-5 | 1.11463 | 1.0E-5 | 9.97089E-4 | 0.001061511 | 0.0010914791 | 1.0282316 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00992627 | 0.010565317 | 0.010634577 | 1.0065554 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.722807E-5 | 1.8146253E-5 | 2.8146073E-5 | 1.551068 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3832496E-5 | 7.776737E-5 | 8.7766595E-5 | 1.1285787 | 1.0E-5 | 8.985399E-4 | 9.4641204E-4 | 9.763836E-4 | 1.0316687 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008949154 | 0.009424461 | 0.009493802 | 1.0073575 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5317364E-5 | 1.5926391E-5 | 2.5926232E-5 | 1.6278787 | 1.0E-5 | 6.56442E-5 | 6.82542E-5 | 7.825352E-5 | 1.1465012 | 1.0E-5 | 7.98925E-4 | 8.3068234E-4 | 8.606574E-4 | 1.0360849 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007960589 | 0.008276261 | 0.0083357645 | 1.0071896 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3071226E-5 | 1.332953E-5 | 2.3329396E-5 | 1.750204 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6018336E-5 | 5.712532E-5 | 6.712475E-5 | 1.1750437 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8180985E-4 | 6.952811E-4 | 7.1526715E-4 | 1.0287453 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0067972173 | 0.0069313184 | 0.006980972 | 1.0071636 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1836986E-5 | 1.1932688E-5 | 2.1932568E-5 | 1.8380241 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0728955E-5 | 5.1139097E-5 | 6.1138584E-5 | 1.1955351 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1745E-4 | 6.2244234E-4 | 6.4242986E-4 | 1.0321115 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006157372 | 0.0062071825 | 0.006256872 | 1.0080051 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0597169E-5 | 1.0542107E-5 | 2.0542002E-5 | 1.9485669 | 1.0E-5 | 4.541565E-5 | 4.5179684E-5 | 5.5179233E-5 | 1.2213284 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5279525E-4 | 5.4992497E-4 | 5.6991394E-4 | 1.0363486 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0055142213 | 0.005485772 | 0.005535498 | 1.0090644 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.59113E-6 | 9.45905E-6 | 1.9458956E-5 | 2.0571787 | 1.0E-5 | 4.11042E-5 | 4.053816E-5 | 5.0537757E-5 | 1.2466712 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0032866E-4 | 4.934414E-4 | 5.1343156E-4 | 1.0405116 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004992037 | 0.0049235765 | 0.00497333 | 1.0101053 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.586084E-6 | 8.379489E-6 | 1.8379405E-5 | 2.19338 | 1.0E-5 | 3.679698E-5 | 3.591161E-5 | 4.591125E-5 | 1.2784514 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4791115E-4 | 4.3713715E-4 | 4.5712842E-4 | 1.0457323 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004470094 | 0.004362884 | 0.004412666 | 1.0114104 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.2622997E-6 | 6.9514485E-6 | 1.6951379E-5 | 2.438539 | 1.0E-5 | 3.112377E-5 | 2.9791589E-5 | 3.9791288E-5 | 1.3356552 | 1.0E-5 | 3.78866E-4 | 3.6265317E-4 | 3.7264955E-4 | 1.0275645 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037822074 | 0.003620714 | 0.0036605692 | 1.0110075 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.627296E-6 | 5.2514984E-6 | 1.5251446E-5 | 2.9042084 | 1.0E-5 | 2.411676E-5 | 2.2506232E-5 | 3.2506006E-5 | 1.4443114 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9358198E-4 | 2.7397962E-4 | 2.839769E-4 | 1.036489 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029319443 | 0.0027364905 | 0.002776381 | 1.0145773 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.265244E-6 | 2.0608632E-6 | 2.0608632E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.708152E-6 | 8.832241E-6 | 8.832241E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18190335E-4 | 1.0752732E-4 | 1.0752732E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001181275 | 0.0010747615 | 0.0010847508 | 1.0092944 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.3099874E-6 | 1.1016228E-6 | 1.1016228E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.61422E-6 | 4.7212325E-6 | 4.7212325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8350986E-5 | 5.7479516E-5 | 5.7479516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.832996E-4 | 5.7464885E-4 | 5.846431E-4 | 1.0173919 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 7.903951E-7 | 6.0710704E-7 | 6.0710704E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3874032E-6 | 2.601885E-6 | 2.601885E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1240855E-5 | 3.16775E-5 | 3.16775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.12332E-4 | 3.167312E-4 | 3.167312E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.0753297E-9 | 5.090092E-9 | 5.090092E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.032284E-8 | 2.181468E-8 | 2.181468E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6918053E-7 | 2.655937E-7 | 2.655937E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.691799E-6 | 2.6559348E-6 | 2.6559348E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3500992E-5 | 5.3500287E-5 | 2.276512 | 3.0E-5 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.00714664E-4 | 1.3071165E-4 | 1.2978412 | 3.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012255146 | 0.001325392 | 1.0814984 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012228744 | 0.01237691 | 1.0121162 | 1.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3500992E-5 | 5.3500287E-5 | 2.276512 | 3.0E-5 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.00714664E-4 | 1.3071165E-4 | 1.2978412 | 3.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012255146 | 0.001325392 | 1.0814984 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012228744 | 0.01237691 | 1.0121162 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3500992E-5 | 5.3500287E-5 | 2.276512 | 3.0E-5 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.00714664E-4 | 1.3071165E-4 | 1.2978412 | 3.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012255146 | 0.001325392 | 1.0814984 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012228744 | 0.01237691 | 1.0121162 | 1.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3500992E-5 | 5.3500287E-5 | 2.276512 | 3.0E-5 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.00714664E-4 | 1.3071165E-4 | 1.2978412 | 3.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012255146 | 0.001325392 | 1.0814984 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012228744 | 0.01237691 | 1.0121162 | 1.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3500992E-5 | 5.3500287E-5 | 2.276512 | 3.0E-5 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.00714664E-4 | 1.3071165E-4 | 1.2978412 | 3.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012255146 | 0.001325392 | 1.0814984 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012228744 | 0.01237691 | 1.0121162 | 1.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.3450706E-5 | 2.348995E-5 | 5.3489246E-5 | 2.2771118 | 3.0E-5 | 5.764461E-5 | 1.00667356E-4 | 1.3066434E-4 | 1.2979813 | 3.0E-5 | 7.0159714E-4 | 0.0012249392 | 0.0013248167 | 1.0815367 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006993862 | 0.012223054 | 0.012371221 | 1.0121219 | 1.5E-4 |
6.6 | 1.3074523E-5 | 2.3104236E-5 | 5.3103544E-5 | 2.2984333 | 3.0E-5 | 5.6032466E-5 | 9.901441E-5 | 1.2901145E-4 | 1.3029562 | 3.0E-5 | 6.8198174E-4 | 0.001204837 | 0.0013047166 | 1.0828987 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006798926 | 0.012024219 | 0.012172416 | 1.0123248 | 1.5E-4 |
6.7 | 1.3050216E-5 | 2.3079532E-5 | 5.307884E-5 | 2.299823 | 3.0E-5 | 5.59283E-5 | 9.890855E-5 | 1.2890558E-4 | 1.3032805 | 3.0E-5 | 6.8071426E-4 | 0.0012035496 | 0.0013034292 | 1.0829875 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0067863287 | 0.012011484 | 0.012159683 | 1.012338 | 1.5E-4 |
6.8 | 1.29049395E-5 | 2.2927941E-5 | 5.292725E-5 | 2.3084173 | 3.0E-5 | 5.530571E-5 | 9.825892E-5 | 1.2825597E-4 | 1.3052858 | 3.0E-5 | 6.73139E-4 | 0.001195649 | 0.0012955294 | 1.0835366 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0067110364 | 0.011933329 | 0.012081538 | 1.0124198 | 1.5E-4 |
6.9 | 1.2867369E-5 | 2.2887343E-5 | 5.2886655E-5 | 2.310738 | 3.0E-5 | 5.51447E-5 | 9.808494E-5 | 1.28082E-4 | 1.3058274 | 3.0E-5 | 6.711799E-4 | 0.0011935332 | 0.0012934138 | 1.0836848 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006691564 | 0.011912397 | 0.012060611 | 1.0124419 | 1.5E-4 |
7.0 | 1.2495996E-5 | 2.2287419E-5 | 5.2286752E-5 | 2.346021 | 3.0E-5 | 5.3553173E-5 | 9.551403E-5 | 1.2551117E-4 | 1.31406 | 3.0E-5 | 6.518148E-4 | 0.0011622658 | 0.0012621495 | 1.0859388 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0064990623 | 0.011603 | 0.01175126 | 1.0127777 | 1.5E-4 |
7.1 | 1.2452067E-5 | 2.2232492E-5 | 5.2231826E-5 | 2.3493464 | 3.0E-5 | 5.3364907E-5 | 9.527864E-5 | 1.2527578E-4 | 1.3148359 | 3.0E-5 | 6.4952404E-4 | 0.001159403 | 0.0012592871 | 1.0861512 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0064762887 | 0.011574671 | 0.011722934 | 1.0128093 | 1.5E-4 |
7.2 | 1.2002777E-5 | 2.1611015E-5 | 5.1610365E-5 | 2.388151 | 3.0E-5 | 5.143946E-5 | 9.261536E-5 | 1.2261258E-4 | 1.3238903 | 3.0E-5 | 6.2609545E-4 | 0.0011270114 | 0.0012268986 | 1.0886302 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006243344 | 0.011254058 | 0.0114023695 | 1.0131785 | 1.5E-4 |
7.3 | 1.1923425E-5 | 2.1480853E-5 | 5.148021E-5 | 2.3965626 | 3.0E-5 | 5.109939E-5 | 9.205757E-5 | 1.2205481E-4 | 1.325853 | 3.0E-5 | 6.219575E-4 | 0.0011202273 | 0.0012201152 | 1.0891676 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0062021962 | 0.011186945 | 0.011335267 | 1.0132585 | 1.5E-4 |
7.4 | 1.16105175E-5 | 2.0854808E-5 | 5.085418E-5 | 2.4384873 | 3.0E-5 | 4.975841E-5 | 8.93747E-5 | 1.19372016E-4 | 1.3356354 | 3.0E-5 | 6.0564023E-4 | 0.0010875963 | 0.0011874876 | 1.0918459 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006039923 | 0.010864409 | 0.01101278 | 1.0136565 | 1.5E-4 |
7.5 | 1.1037265E-5 | 1.9554842E-5 | 4.9554255E-5 | 2.534117 | 3.0E-5 | 4.7301706E-5 | 8.380379E-5 | 1.13801274E-4 | 1.357949 | 3.0E-5 | 5.757461E-4 | 0.0010198357 | 0.0011197337 | 1.097955 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005742567 | 0.010195527 | 0.010343999 | 1.0145624 | 1.5E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0720915E-5 | 1.8996727E-5 | 4.8996157E-5 | 2.5791893 | 3.0E-5 | 4.5945973E-5 | 8.141202E-5 | 1.1140958E-4 | 1.368466 | 3.0E-5 | 5.592486E-4 | 9.907428E-4 | 0.0010906437 | 1.1008344 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005578433 | 0.009907238 | 0.0100557525 | 1.0149904 | 1.5E-4 |
7.7 | 9.276279E-6 | 1.6442464E-5 | 4.644197E-5 | 2.8245142 | 3.0E-5 | 3.9754876E-5 | 7.046581E-5 | 1.00463694E-4 | 1.4257084 | 3.0E-5 | 4.839081E-4 | 8.5758517E-4 | 9.5749943E-4 | 1.1165065 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0048285574 | 0.008586576 | 0.008735288 | 1.0173191 | 1.5E-4 |
7.8 | 5.8346777E-6 | 1.11555855E-5 | 4.115525E-5 | 3.689206 | 3.0E-5 | 2.5005522E-5 | 4.7808775E-5 | 7.7807344E-5 | 1.6274699 | 3.0E-5 | 3.043997E-4 | 5.819165E-4 | 6.8185834E-4 | 1.171746 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0030398308 | 0.0058473335 | 0.0059964564 | 1.0255027 | 1.5E-4 |
7.9 | 4.690204E-6 | 8.509473E-6 | 3.8509217E-5 | 4.5254526 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0100719E-5 | 3.6468664E-5 | 6.646757E-5 | 1.822594 | 3.0E-5 | 2.4469878E-4 | 4.439156E-4 | 5.3387566E-4 | 1.2026513 | 9.0E-5 | 0.002444295 | 0.004471165 | 0.004610539 | 1.0311718 | 1.4E-4 |
8.0 | 2.9570454E-6 | 4.8470656E-6 | 1.4847017E-5 | 3.063094 | 1.0E-5 | 1.267299E-5 | 2.0772974E-5 | 3.0772764E-5 | 1.4813848 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5428272E-4 | 2.5288164E-4 | 2.8287404E-4 | 1.1186026 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015417566 | 0.002549932 | 0.0025898302 | 1.0156467 | 4.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.6376824E-6 | 2.1968672E-6 | 2.1968672E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.01862E-6 | 9.415111E-6 | 9.415111E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.544835E-5 | 1.1462297E-4 | 1.1462297E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.54155E-4 | 0.0011607445 | 0.0011607445 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 6.9631557E-7 | 4.535001E-7 | 4.535001E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.984206E-6 | 1.9435704E-6 | 1.9435704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.63321E-5 | 2.3662713E-5 | 2.3662713E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6326164E-4 | 2.4510184E-4 | 2.4510184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.7876137E-7 | 8.357368E-8 | 8.357368E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.661199E-7 | 3.5817288E-7 | 3.5817288E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.32747E-6 | 4.3607465E-6 | 4.3607465E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3270784E-5 | 4.5800018E-5 | 4.5800018E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6794203E-5 | 7.67932E-5 | 4.5726013 | 6.0E-5 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.197348E-5 | 1.5196773E-4 | 2.1114404 | 8.0E-5 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.759797E-4 | 9.758921E-4 | 1.1140579 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008038137 | 0.008730696 | 0.008879386 | 1.0170307 | 1.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6794203E-5 | 7.67932E-5 | 4.5726013 | 6.0E-5 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.197348E-5 | 1.5196773E-4 | 2.1114404 | 8.0E-5 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.759797E-4 | 9.758921E-4 | 1.1140579 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008038137 | 0.008730696 | 0.008879386 | 1.0170307 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3681544E-5 | 6.368086E-5 | 4.654508 | 5.0E-5 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.863415E-5 | 1.2863004E-4 | 2.1937735 | 7.0E-5 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.1368564E-4 | 8.0362137E-4 | 1.1260159 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0065657445 | 0.0071187317 | 0.0072478065 | 1.0181317 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3681544E-5 | 6.368086E-5 | 4.654508 | 5.0E-5 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.863415E-5 | 1.2863004E-4 | 2.1937735 | 7.0E-5 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.1368564E-4 | 8.0362137E-4 | 1.1260159 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0065657445 | 0.0071187317 | 0.0072478065 | 1.0181317 | 1.3E-4 |
6.4 | 9.417684E-6 | 1.0170118E-5 | 4.0169813E-5 | 3.9497883 | 3.0E-5 | 4.036088E-5 | 4.3585722E-5 | 8.3583975E-5 | 1.9176917 | 4.0E-5 | 4.912829E-4 | 5.3056807E-4 | 5.805415E-4 | 1.0941886 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004901982 | 0.005297049 | 0.0053766253 | 1.0150228 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.368219E-6 | 1.0117545E-5 | 4.011724E-5 | 3.9651165 | 3.0E-5 | 4.014889E-5 | 4.3360415E-5 | 8.335868E-5 | 1.9224604 | 4.0E-5 | 4.8870314E-4 | 5.2782625E-4 | 5.7779986E-4 | 1.0946782 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004876298 | 0.0052697617 | 0.00534934 | 1.015101 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.803798E-6 | 8.441831E-6 | 3.8441576E-5 | 4.5537014 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3444423E-5 | 3.6179E-5 | 7.617755E-5 | 2.105574 | 4.0E-5 | 4.0710976E-4 | 4.4043022E-4 | 4.904082E-4 | 1.1134753 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0040636472 | 0.0043994905 | 0.0044691823 | 1.0158409 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.3108669E-6 | 2.4438336E-6 | 2.2443784E-5 | 9.183843 | 2.0E-5 | 9.903678E-6 | 1.0473532E-5 | 3.0473322E-5 | 2.9095554 | 2.0E-5 | 1.205706E-4 | 1.2750797E-4 | 1.5750415E-4 | 1.2352494 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001205052 | 0.0012743667 | 0.0013043286 | 1.023511 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.0882828E-6 | 2.2062823E-6 | 1.220626E-5 | 5.5325017 | 1.0E-5 | 8.949753E-6 | 9.455462E-6 | 1.9455367E-5 | 2.0575798 | 1.0E-5 | 1.08957785E-4 | 1.1511434E-4 | 1.3511203E-4 | 1.1737204 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010890438 | 0.0011505639 | 0.0011705409 | 1.0173628 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.876935E-6 | 1.981051E-6 | 1.981051E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.043982E-6 | 8.490192E-6 | 8.490192E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7931086E-5 | 1.03363345E-4 | 1.1336231E-4 | 1.0967361 | 1.0E-5 | 9.788794E-4 | 0.0010331686 | 0.0010431584 | 1.009669 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.5357559E-6 | 1.6202807E-6 | 1.6202807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5817944E-6 | 6.9440425E-6 | 6.9440425E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.01304E-5 | 8.454057E-5 | 9.453972E-5 | 1.1182764 | 1.0E-5 | 8.010151E-4 | 8.450965E-4 | 8.55088E-4 | 1.0118229 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1497619E-6 | 1.1497619E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.9275427E-6 | 4.9275427E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.999128E-5 | 6.999068E-5 | 1.1666809 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.997606E-4 | 6.0975464E-4 | 1.0166633 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.387277E-7 | 6.387277E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7374022E-6 | 2.7374022E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3327433E-5 | 3.3327433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.3323118E-4 | 3.3323118E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pleito
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4764735E-5 | 7.47635E-5 | 3.01895 | 5.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0613067E-4 | 1.661243E-4 | 1.5652808 | 6.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.001291447 | 0.001411292 | 1.0927991 | 1.2E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.012954412 | 0.013092598 | 1.0106671 | 1.4E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4764735E-5 | 7.47635E-5 | 3.01895 | 5.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0613067E-4 | 1.661243E-4 | 1.5652808 | 6.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.001291447 | 0.001411292 | 1.0927991 | 1.2E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.012954412 | 0.013092598 | 1.0106671 | 1.4E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4764735E-5 | 7.47635E-5 | 3.01895 | 5.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0613067E-4 | 1.661243E-4 | 1.5652808 | 6.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.001291447 | 0.001411292 | 1.0927991 | 1.2E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.012954412 | 0.013092598 | 1.0106671 | 1.4E-4 |
6.3 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4764735E-5 | 7.47635E-5 | 3.01895 | 5.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0613067E-4 | 1.661243E-4 | 1.5652808 | 6.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.001291447 | 0.001411292 | 1.0927991 | 1.2E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.012954412 | 0.013092598 | 1.0106671 | 1.4E-4 |
6.4 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4764735E-5 | 7.47635E-5 | 3.01895 | 5.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0613067E-4 | 1.661243E-4 | 1.5652808 | 6.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.001291447 | 0.001411292 | 1.0927991 | 1.2E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.012954412 | 0.013092598 | 1.0106671 | 1.4E-4 |
6.5 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4764735E-5 | 7.47635E-5 | 3.01895 | 5.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0613067E-4 | 1.661243E-4 | 1.5652808 | 6.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.001291447 | 0.001411292 | 1.0927991 | 1.2E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.012954412 | 0.013092598 | 1.0106671 | 1.4E-4 |
6.6 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.721552E-5 | 3.7215177E-5 | 2.1617224 | 2.0E-5 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.3778734E-5 | 1.03776525E-4 | 1.4065912 | 3.0E-5 | 5.169696E-4 | 8.9788967E-4 | 9.678268E-4 | 1.0778906 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0051576863 | 0.009051226 | 0.009120592 | 1.0076637 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.721552E-5 | 3.7215177E-5 | 2.1617224 | 2.0E-5 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.3778734E-5 | 1.03776525E-4 | 1.4065912 | 3.0E-5 | 5.169696E-4 | 8.9788967E-4 | 9.678268E-4 | 1.0778906 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0051576863 | 0.009051226 | 0.009120592 | 1.0076637 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.300162E-6 | 1.5475129E-5 | 2.5474974E-5 | 1.6461881 | 1.0E-5 | 3.557164E-5 | 6.63203E-5 | 8.631898E-5 | 1.3015468 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3299864E-4 | 8.07152E-4 | 8.5711165E-4 | 1.0618962 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004321559 | 0.008150663 | 0.008200255 | 1.0060844 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.183114E-6 | 1.5346344E-5 | 2.5346191E-5 | 1.651611 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5070017E-5 | 6.57684E-5 | 8.576708E-5 | 1.3040774 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2689382E-4 | 8.0043747E-4 | 8.5039745E-4 | 1.0624158 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0042607468 | 0.008084008 | 0.008133603 | 1.0061351 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.1748823E-6 | 1.4133306E-5 | 2.4133164E-5 | 1.7075386 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0749135E-5 | 6.0569906E-5 | 8.0568694E-5 | 1.330177 | 2.0E-5 | 3.743064E-4 | 7.3718966E-4 | 7.7716017E-4 | 1.0542201 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0037367654 | 0.0074553755 | 0.0074950773 | 1.0053252 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1671807E-6 | 1.4123676E-5 | 2.4123534E-5 | 1.708021 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0716128E-5 | 6.0528637E-5 | 8.0527425E-5 | 1.3304021 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7390468E-4 | 7.366875E-4 | 7.7665807E-4 | 1.0542572 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0037327618 | 0.0074503883 | 0.00749009 | 1.0053289 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.0649667E-6 | 1.3970962E-5 | 2.3970822E-5 | 1.7157604 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0278077E-5 | 5.987418E-5 | 6.987358E-5 | 1.1670069 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6857324E-4 | 7.287248E-4 | 7.58703E-4 | 1.0411378 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0036796255 | 0.0073711374 | 0.0074009164 | 1.0040399 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.02082E-6 | 1.3914415E-5 | 2.3914276E-5 | 1.7186692 | 1.0E-5 | 3.008888E-5 | 5.9631846E-5 | 6.963125E-5 | 1.1676856 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6627054E-4 | 7.257764E-4 | 7.5575465E-4 | 1.0413051 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0036566744 | 0.0073416373 | 0.0073714172 | 1.0040563 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.987146E-6 | 1.3873975E-5 | 2.3873838E-5 | 1.7207639 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9944567E-5 | 5.9458544E-5 | 6.945795E-5 | 1.1681744 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6451413E-4 | 7.2366785E-4 | 7.5364613E-4 | 1.0414255 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0036391679 | 0.007320571 | 0.0073503517 | 1.004068 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.9494554E-6 | 1.383088E-5 | 2.3830742E-5 | 1.7230098 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9783041E-5 | 5.9273858E-5 | 6.9273265E-5 | 1.1686984 | 1.0E-5 | 3.625482E-4 | 7.2142074E-4 | 7.5139914E-4 | 1.0415546 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0036195726 | 0.007298199 | 0.00732798 | 1.0040807 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.92694E-6 | 1.3789992E-5 | 2.3789855E-5 | 1.7251536 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9686547E-5 | 5.909863E-5 | 6.909804E-5 | 1.1691986 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6137376E-4 | 7.192888E-4 | 7.4926723E-4 | 1.0416778 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0036078666 | 0.007276951 | 0.0073067327 | 1.0040926 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.395867E-6 | 1.26690065E-5 | 2.266888E-5 | 1.7893178 | 1.0E-5 | 2.741057E-5 | 5.4294615E-5 | 6.429407E-5 | 1.1841704 | 1.0E-5 | 3.336726E-4 | 6.6083675E-4 | 6.9081696E-4 | 1.045367 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0033317201 | 0.0066955453 | 0.0067253443 | 1.0044506 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.8664327E-6 | 1.1536581E-5 | 2.1536465E-5 | 1.8667979 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5141611E-5 | 4.9441554E-5 | 5.944106E-5 | 1.202249 | 1.0E-5 | 3.060561E-4 | 6.0178485E-4 | 6.317668E-4 | 1.0498217 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0030563495 | 0.0061010164 | 0.0061308336 | 1.0048872 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.7167474E-6 | 7.1145205E-6 | 1.711445E-5 | 2.405566 | 1.0E-5 | 1.592882E-5 | 3.0490448E-5 | 4.0490144E-5 | 1.3279616 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9391612E-4 | 3.7115812E-4 | 3.911507E-4 | 1.0538654 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019374699 | 0.0037676243 | 0.003787549 | 1.0052884 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.0903841E-6 | 1.2879104E-6 | 1.2879104E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6730665E-6 | 5.5196047E-6 | 5.5196047E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.68931E-5 | 6.719913E-5 | 6.719913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6878536E-4 | 6.942094E-4 | 6.942094E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.6894583E-7 | 1.1056095E-7 | 1.1056095E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1526245E-6 | 4.7383253E-7 | 4.7383253E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4033113E-5 | 5.768896E-6 | 5.768896E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4032227E-4 | 6.454915E-5 | 6.454915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 5.2967013E-9 | 2.4567874E-9 | 2.4567874E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2700148E-8 | 1.0529089E-8 | 1.0529089E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637427E-7 | 1.2819166E-7 | 1.2819166E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637393E-6 | 1.4588004E-6 | 1.4588004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Creek
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6322783E-5 | 7.6321805E-5 | 4.675784 | 6.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.995299E-5 | 1.4994739E-4 | 2.1435452 | 8.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5135986E-4 | 9.612662E-4 | 1.1290951 | 1.1E-4 | 0.006008218 | 0.008510157 | 0.00863905 | 1.0151459 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6322783E-5 | 7.6321805E-5 | 4.675784 | 6.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.995299E-5 | 1.4994739E-4 | 2.1435452 | 8.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5135986E-4 | 9.612662E-4 | 1.1290951 | 1.1E-4 | 0.006008218 | 0.008510157 | 0.00863905 | 1.0151459 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6322783E-5 | 7.6321805E-5 | 4.675784 | 6.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.995299E-5 | 1.4994739E-4 | 2.1435452 | 8.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5135986E-4 | 9.612662E-4 | 1.1290951 | 1.1E-4 | 0.006008218 | 0.008510157 | 0.00863905 | 1.0151459 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6322783E-5 | 7.6321805E-5 | 4.675784 | 6.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.995299E-5 | 1.4994739E-4 | 2.1435452 | 8.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5135986E-4 | 9.612662E-4 | 1.1290951 | 1.1E-4 | 0.006008218 | 0.008510157 | 0.00863905 | 1.0151459 | 1.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6322783E-5 | 7.6321805E-5 | 4.675784 | 6.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.995299E-5 | 1.4994739E-4 | 2.1435452 | 8.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5135986E-4 | 9.612662E-4 | 1.1290951 | 1.1E-4 | 0.006008218 | 0.008510157 | 0.00863905 | 1.0151459 | 1.3E-4 |
6.5 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6322783E-5 | 7.6321805E-5 | 4.675784 | 6.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.995299E-5 | 1.4994739E-4 | 2.1435452 | 8.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5135986E-4 | 9.612662E-4 | 1.1290951 | 1.1E-4 | 0.006008218 | 0.008510157 | 0.00863905 | 1.0151459 | 1.3E-4 |
6.6 | 9.202681E-6 | 1.3846059E-5 | 7.384523E-5 | 5.333303 | 6.0E-5 | 3.9439463E-5 | 5.9338956E-5 | 1.3933421E-4 | 2.3481069 | 8.0E-5 | 4.800697E-4 | 7.2222133E-4 | 8.321419E-4 | 1.1521978 | 1.1E-4 | 0.004790339 | 0.0072273402 | 0.0073564006 | 1.0178572 | 1.3E-4 |
6.7 | 9.019164E-6 | 1.3651728E-5 | 7.365091E-5 | 5.394988 | 6.0E-5 | 3.8652986E-5 | 5.8506146E-5 | 1.3850146E-4 | 2.3672976 | 8.0E-5 | 4.7049852E-4 | 7.1208854E-4 | 8.220102E-4 | 1.1543652 | 1.1E-4 | 0.004695036 | 0.0071266647 | 0.007255738 | 1.0181113 | 1.3E-4 |
6.8 | 8.673558E-6 | 1.3273839E-5 | 7.327304E-5 | 5.520109 | 6.0E-5 | 3.717186E-5 | 5.688669E-5 | 1.3688214E-4 | 2.4062243 | 8.0E-5 | 4.524734E-4 | 6.923842E-4 | 8.0230803E-4 | 1.1587614 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0045155324 | 0.0069308523 | 0.0070599513 | 1.0186267 | 1.3E-4 |
6.9 | 7.002255E-6 | 1.1478069E-5 | 6.147749E-5 | 5.356084 | 5.0E-5 | 3.000932E-5 | 4.9190832E-5 | 1.1918739E-4 | 2.4229593 | 7.0E-5 | 3.653022E-4 | 5.9874065E-4 | 6.9868076E-4 | 1.1669172 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0036470229 | 0.005999676 | 0.0061189556 | 1.0198811 | 1.2E-4 |
7.0 | 5.84644E-6 | 9.675359E-6 | 5.9674876E-5 | 6.167717 | 5.0E-5 | 2.5055931E-5 | 4.146519E-5 | 1.1146229E-4 | 2.688093 | 7.0E-5 | 3.0501327E-4 | 5.047263E-4 | 6.0467585E-4 | 1.1980271 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0030459496 | 0.005063994 | 0.005183386 | 1.0235767 | 1.2E-4 |
7.1 | 5.54703E-6 | 9.329834E-6 | 5.9329366E-5 | 6.3591022 | 5.0E-5 | 2.377277E-5 | 3.9984414E-5 | 1.09981615E-4 | 2.750612 | 7.0E-5 | 2.8939504E-4 | 4.8670598E-4 | 5.866573E-4 | 1.2053629 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0028901845 | 0.0048845876 | 0.0050040013 | 1.0244471 | 1.2E-4 |
7.2 | 4.384709E-6 | 7.681918E-6 | 5.7681533E-5 | 7.5087414 | 5.0E-5 | 1.8791474E-5 | 3.292211E-5 | 1.029198E-4 | 3.1261606 | 7.0E-5 | 2.2876218E-4 | 4.0075663E-4 | 5.0071656E-4 | 1.249428 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0022852682 | 0.004028542 | 0.0041480586 | 1.0296675 | 1.2E-4 |
7.3 | 3.7888456E-6 | 6.915788E-6 | 5.6915444E-5 | 8.229784 | 5.0E-5 | 1.623781E-5 | 2.9638775E-5 | 9.96367E-5 | 3.361701 | 7.0E-5 | 1.9767738E-4 | 3.6079568E-4 | 4.607596E-4 | 1.2770652 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0019750162 | 0.00363027 | 0.0037498344 | 1.0329354 | 1.2E-4 |
7.4 | 2.1982462E-6 | 5.0241033E-6 | 5.502385E-5 | 10.951975 | 5.0E-5 | 9.421021E-6 | 2.1531694E-5 | 9.1530186E-5 | 4.2509513 | 7.0E-5 | 1.1469489E-4 | 2.6211704E-4 | 3.6209082E-4 | 1.3814089 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011463572 | 0.0026460327 | 0.0027657151 | 1.0452309 | 1.2E-4 |
7.5 | 2.051923E-6 | 4.6153277E-6 | 5.4615095E-5 | 11.833417 | 5.0E-5 | 8.793926E-6 | 1.9779825E-5 | 8.977844E-5 | 4.5388894 | 7.0E-5 | 1.0706078E-4 | 2.4079291E-4 | 3.4076883E-4 | 1.4151946 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010700922 | 0.0024335932 | 0.002553301 | 1.0491898 | 1.2E-4 |
7.6 | 1.8733427E-6 | 4.1236603E-6 | 5.4123455E-5 | 13.125099 | 5.0E-5 | 8.028587E-6 | 1.7672712E-5 | 8.767148E-5 | 4.960839 | 7.0E-5 | 9.774366E-5 | 2.151441E-4 | 3.151226E-4 | 1.4647048 | 1.0E-4 | 9.770069E-4 | 0.0021782513 | 0.0022979898 | 1.05497 | 1.2E-4 |
7.7 | 1.8411953E-6 | 4.0433315E-6 | 5.404313E-5 | 13.36599 | 5.0E-5 | 7.890813E-6 | 1.732845E-5 | 8.732724E-5 | 5.03953 | 7.0E-5 | 9.606641E-5 | 2.1095353E-4 | 3.1093243E-4 | 1.4739381 | 1.0E-4 | 9.6024893E-4 | 0.0021365292 | 0.0022562726 | 1.0560459 | 1.2E-4 |
7.8 | 1.7194251E-6 | 3.71068E-6 | 5.3710493E-5 | 14.474569 | 5.0E-5 | 7.368944E-6 | 1.5902819E-5 | 8.59017E-5 | 5.4016657 | 7.0E-5 | 8.97132E-5 | 1.9359968E-4 | 2.9358032E-4 | 1.5164298 | 1.0E-4 | 8.967699E-4 | 0.0019624757 | 0.00208224 | 1.0610273 | 1.2E-4 |
7.9 | 1.4035052E-6 | 2.9502596E-6 | 4.295014E-5 | 14.558088 | 4.0E-5 | 6.0150082E-6 | 1.2643909E-5 | 7.264315E-5 | 5.745308 | 6.0E-5 | 7.3230265E-5 | 1.5392878E-4 | 2.3391646E-4 | 1.5196409 | 8.0E-5 | 7.3206134E-4 | 0.0015631174 | 0.0016629611 | 1.0638747 | 1.0E-4 |
8.0 | 3.9318823E-7 | 5.528477E-7 | 5.528477E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6850913E-6 | 2.3693453E-6 | 2.2369299E-5 | 9.44113 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0515794E-5 | 2.8846403E-5 | 6.884525E-5 | 2.3866146 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0513899E-4 | 2.990952E-4 | 3.4908025E-4 | 1.1671208 | 5.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.596793E-7 | 1.13775044E-7 | 1.13775044E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8433974E-7 | 4.876072E-7 | 4.876072E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331805E-6 | 5.936602E-6 | 5.936602E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331492E-5 | 6.5494125E-5 | 6.5494125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.9003038E-8 | 2.5435753E-8 | 2.5435753E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.10013E-7 | 1.09010365E-7 | 1.09010365E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5569052E-6 | 1.3272004E-6 | 1.3272004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556876E-5 | 1.4952613E-5 | 1.4952613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.4353277E-5 | 7.050019E-5 | 1.0049807E-4 | 1.4255008 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3292181E-4 | 3.0211007E-4 | 3.3210102E-4 | 1.0992715 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0028321352 | 0.0036720056 | 0.0037417486 | 1.0189931 | 7.0E-5 | 0.02796312 | 0.036115844 | 0.03623151 | 1.0032027 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 4.5578287E-5 | 5.822054E-5 | 8.8218796E-5 | 1.5152521 | 3.0E-5 | 1.953209E-4 | 2.4949352E-4 | 2.7948603E-4 | 1.1202136 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0023754383 | 0.0030333549 | 0.003093173 | 1.0197201 | 6.0E-5 | 0.023502063 | 0.029919893 | 0.0300169 | 1.0032423 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 2.8536782E-5 | 3.4736422E-5 | 6.473538E-5 | 1.8636168 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2229476E-4 | 1.4886161E-4 | 1.7885714E-4 | 1.2014995 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014879217 | 0.0018108576 | 0.0018507851 | 1.022049 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014779986 | 0.017958276 | 0.018017199 | 1.0032811 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3698774E-5 | 2.8213344E-5 | 3.8213064E-5 | 1.3544322 | 1.0E-5 | 1.01562226E-4 | 1.2090833E-4 | 1.3090711E-4 | 1.0826973 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012358186 | 0.001471051 | 0.0014910216 | 1.0135757 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012289686 | 0.014611455 | 0.014641016 | 1.0020232 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9191197E-5 | 2.212289E-5 | 3.212267E-5 | 1.4520105 | 1.0E-5 | 8.2245395E-5 | 9.4808805E-5 | 1.04807856E-4 | 1.1054654 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010008777 | 0.0011536906 | 0.0011736675 | 1.0173156 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009963818 | 0.011477022 | 0.011496793 | 1.0017226 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5203241E-5 | 1.6801298E-5 | 2.680113E-5 | 1.5951821 | 1.0E-5 | 6.5155116E-5 | 7.200338E-5 | 8.200266E-5 | 1.1388724 | 1.0E-5 | 7.9297484E-4 | 8.76301E-4 | 8.962835E-4 | 1.0228032 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007901512 | 0.008729581 | 0.008749406 | 1.002271 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0984925E-5 | 1.12425605E-5 | 1.12425605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.70774E-5 | 4.8181533E-5 | 4.8181533E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.730166E-4 | 5.8645604E-4 | 5.964502E-4 | 1.0170416 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005715413 | 0.0058494755 | 0.005859417 | 1.0016996 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.134616E-6 | 9.019868E-6 | 9.019868E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9147766E-5 | 3.865602E-5 | 3.865602E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7651984E-4 | 4.7053778E-4 | 4.8053308E-4 | 1.0212423 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004754993 | 0.00469566 | 0.004705613 | 1.0021197 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.785589E-6 | 7.4519185E-6 | 7.4519185E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3366385E-5 | 3.1936415E-5 | 3.1936415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0616E-4 | 3.887585E-4 | 3.887585E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040541845 | 0.003880988 | 0.003880988 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.579095E-6 | 4.8984666E-6 | 4.8984666E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3910188E-5 | 2.0993268E-5 | 2.0993268E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9106764E-4 | 2.5556443E-4 | 2.5556443E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002906867 | 0.0025528427 | 0.0025528427 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.6816688E-6 | 1.521587E-6 | 1.521587E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1492816E-5 | 6.521071E-6 | 6.521071E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3991605E-4 | 7.939124E-5 | 7.939124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013982799 | 7.936375E-4 | 7.936375E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.45357E-7 | 7.45357E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.1943835E-6 | 3.1943835E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.889097E-5 | 3.889097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.8884574E-4 | 3.8884574E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.45357E-7 | 7.45357E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.1943835E-6 | 3.1943835E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.889097E-5 | 3.889097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.8884574E-4 | 3.8884574E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7087556E-6 | 6.578663E-7 | 6.578663E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3232177E-6 | 2.819424E-6 | 2.819424E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.915652E-5 | 3.432599E-5 | 3.432599E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9120766E-4 | 3.432109E-4 | 3.432109E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.3804846E-6 | 6.0737113E-7 | 6.0737113E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.6030168E-6 | 2.6030168E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.169131E-5 | 3.169131E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.168719E-4 | 3.168719E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3804846E-6 | 6.0737113E-7 | 6.0737113E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.6030168E-6 | 2.6030168E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.169131E-5 | 3.169131E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.168719E-4 | 3.168719E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pinto Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7853926E-5 | 8.785201E-5 | 1.8358371 | 4.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0507304E-4 | 2.4506485E-4 | 1.1950125 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024940688 | 0.002553919 | 1.0239971 | 6.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024678305 | 0.024805097 | 1.0051378 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7853926E-5 | 8.785201E-5 | 1.8358371 | 4.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0507304E-4 | 2.4506485E-4 | 1.1950125 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024940688 | 0.002553919 | 1.0239971 | 6.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024678305 | 0.024805097 | 1.0051378 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7853926E-5 | 8.785201E-5 | 1.8358371 | 4.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0507304E-4 | 2.4506485E-4 | 1.1950125 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024940688 | 0.002553919 | 1.0239971 | 6.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024678305 | 0.024805097 | 1.0051378 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7853926E-5 | 8.785201E-5 | 1.8358371 | 4.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0507304E-4 | 2.4506485E-4 | 1.1950125 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024940688 | 0.002553919 | 1.0239971 | 6.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024678305 | 0.024805097 | 1.0051378 | 1.3E-4 |
6.4 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.960349E-5 | 6.96023E-5 | 1.757479 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.6971873E-4 | 1.9971364E-4 | 1.176733 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0020644604 | 0.0020943985 | 1.0145017 | 3.0E-5 | 0.019274427 | 0.020462848 | 0.020560803 | 1.0047868 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.960349E-5 | 6.96023E-5 | 1.757479 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.6971873E-4 | 1.9971364E-4 | 1.176733 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0020644604 | 0.0020943985 | 1.0145017 | 3.0E-5 | 0.019274427 | 0.020462848 | 0.020560803 | 1.0047868 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 3.0204548E-5 | 3.12056E-5 | 4.1205287E-5 | 1.3204453 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2944164E-4 | 1.3373162E-4 | 1.4373029E-4 | 1.0747666 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015748127 | 0.0016270012 | 0.001636985 | 1.0061363 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015636992 | 0.016154764 | 0.016233472 | 1.0048721 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.9857754E-5 | 3.0814987E-5 | 4.0814677E-5 | 1.3245075 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2795553E-4 | 1.3205773E-4 | 1.4205641E-4 | 1.0757145 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015567453 | 0.0016066517 | 0.0016166356 | 1.0062141 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015458848 | 0.015954204 | 0.016032929 | 1.0049343 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.4819734E-5 | 2.5009665E-5 | 2.5009665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0636595E-4 | 1.0718E-4 | 1.0718E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012942362 | 0.001304157 | 0.001304157 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012867244 | 0.012967403 | 0.013036495 | 1.0053282 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.331124E-5 | 2.3337945E-5 | 2.3337945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.990149E-5 | 1.0001605E-4 | 1.0001605E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001215622 | 0.0012170355 | 0.0012170355 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012089936 | 0.012105897 | 0.01217505 | 1.0057123 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.1818534E-5 | 2.1761074E-5 | 2.1761074E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3504656E-5 | 9.3258524E-5 | 9.3258524E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011378246 | 0.0011348509 | 0.0011348509 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011320163 | 0.01129266 | 0.011361869 | 1.0061287 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.066081E-5 | 2.0540718E-5 | 2.0540718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.854332E-5 | 8.8028784E-5 | 8.8028784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010774818 | 0.0010712431 | 0.0010712431 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010722724 | 0.0106628435 | 0.010732097 | 1.0064949 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.8990233E-5 | 1.9054001E-5 | 1.9054001E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.138417E-5 | 8.165756E-5 | 8.165756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.904018E-4 | 9.937467E-4 | 9.937467E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009859995 | 0.009895029 | 0.009964337 | 1.0070043 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.3335872E-5 | 1.4906713E-5 | 1.4906713E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7152483E-5 | 6.388442E-5 | 6.388442E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.956093E-4 | 7.77528E-4 | 7.77528E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006934359 | 0.007749376 | 0.0078089107 | 1.0076826 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.414066E-6 | 1.186096E-5 | 1.186096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0345374E-5 | 5.083175E-5 | 5.083175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.910942E-4 | 6.1871024E-4 | 6.1871024E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049001034 | 0.0061708256 | 0.0062205167 | 1.0080526 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.2101157E-6 | 9.158192E-6 | 9.158192E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.090013E-5 | 3.9248847E-5 | 3.9248847E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7614413E-4 | 4.7775774E-4 | 4.7775774E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037550807 | 0.004768082 | 0.0048178434 | 1.0104364 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.296375E-6 | 4.5455017E-6 | 4.5455017E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4127245E-5 | 1.9480583E-5 | 1.9480583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7198564E-4 | 2.3715167E-4 | 2.3715167E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017185259 | 0.0023691233 | 0.002389076 | 1.0084219 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.5741092E-6 | 3.5844084E-6 | 3.5844084E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.103185E-5 | 1.5361667E-5 | 1.5361667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3430449E-4 | 1.8701357E-4 | 1.8701357E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013422335 | 0.0018686918 | 0.0018686918 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lost Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5106583E-5 | 4.510608E-5 | 1.7965839 | 2.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0759615E-4 | 1.7758862E-4 | 1.6505109 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.001309364 | 0.0014092331 | 1.076273 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033091 | 0.013161397 | 1.0098447 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5106583E-5 | 4.510608E-5 | 1.7965839 | 2.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0759615E-4 | 1.7758862E-4 | 1.6505109 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.001309364 | 0.0014092331 | 1.076273 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033091 | 0.013161397 | 1.0098447 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5106583E-5 | 4.510608E-5 | 1.7965839 | 2.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0759615E-4 | 1.7758862E-4 | 1.6505109 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.001309364 | 0.0014092331 | 1.076273 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033091 | 0.013161397 | 1.0098447 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5106583E-5 | 4.510608E-5 | 1.7965839 | 2.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0759615E-4 | 1.7758862E-4 | 1.6505109 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.001309364 | 0.0014092331 | 1.076273 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033091 | 0.013161397 | 1.0098447 | 1.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3781108E-5 | 2.3780969E-5 | 1.7256211 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.906108E-5 | 9.905872E-5 | 1.677225 | 4.0E-5 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.189252E-4 | 7.7888207E-4 | 1.0833979 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006391279 | 0.0071752006 | 0.0072546266 | 1.0110695 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3781108E-5 | 2.3780969E-5 | 1.7256211 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.906108E-5 | 9.905872E-5 | 1.677225 | 4.0E-5 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.189252E-4 | 7.7888207E-4 | 1.0833979 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006391279 | 0.0071752006 | 0.0072546266 | 1.0110695 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.58281E-6 | 9.63377E-6 | 1.9633673E-5 | 2.0380054 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6782953E-5 | 4.12874E-5 | 8.128575E-5 | 1.9687785 | 4.0E-5 | 4.4774043E-4 | 5.026414E-4 | 5.626112E-4 | 1.1193094 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0044683935 | 0.005023205 | 0.0050928537 | 1.0138654 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.205685E-6 | 8.088302E-6 | 1.8088222E-5 | 2.2363434 | 1.0E-5 | 3.088114E-5 | 3.466415E-5 | 5.466346E-5 | 1.576945 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7591302E-4 | 4.2203604E-4 | 4.6201915E-4 | 1.0947386 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0037527776 | 0.0042203604 | 0.0042701494 | 1.0117973 | 5.0E-5 |
Big Pine (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2706755E-5 | 1.4250602E-5 | 4.4250173E-5 | 3.1051443 | 3.0E-5 | 5.4456385E-5 | 6.107279E-5 | 1.11069734E-4 | 1.8186452 | 5.0E-5 | 6.628048E-4 | 7.433441E-4 | 8.332772E-4 | 1.1209844 | 9.0E-5 | 0.006608314 | 0.007413639 | 0.0075128977 | 1.0133886 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 8.342579E-6 | 9.510835E-6 | 1.951074E-5 | 2.0514224 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5753423E-5 | 4.076021E-5 | 7.0758986E-5 | 1.735982 | 3.0E-5 | 4.3521097E-4 | 4.9616426E-4 | 5.461395E-4 | 1.100723 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0043435963 | 0.004954155 | 0.0050039073 | 1.0100425 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.923899E-6 | 7.967221E-6 | 1.7967142E-5 | 2.2551327 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9673516E-5 | 3.4144894E-5 | 6.4143875E-5 | 1.8785787 | 3.0E-5 | 3.6121515E-4 | 4.1565404E-4 | 4.6563326E-4 | 1.1202424 | 5.0E-5 | 0.003606286 | 0.0041521094 | 0.0042019016 | 1.0119921 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.728396E-6 | 3.4243646E-6 | 3.4243646E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1693074E-5 | 1.4675771E-5 | 1.4675771E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4235388E-4 | 1.7866373E-4 | 1.7866373E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014226272 | 0.0017867433 | 0.0017867433 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.7136944E-6 | 3.4086581E-6 | 3.4086581E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1630066E-5 | 1.4608458E-5 | 1.4608458E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4158686E-4 | 1.7784433E-4 | 1.7784433E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014149669 | 0.0017785623 | 0.0017785623 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.6971882E-6 | 3.3910032E-6 | 3.3910032E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1559327E-5 | 1.4532795E-5 | 1.4532795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4072572E-4 | 1.7692328E-4 | 1.7692328E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014063664 | 0.0017693666 | 0.0017693666 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.669092E-6 | 3.3610236E-6 | 3.3610236E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1438916E-5 | 1.4404312E-5 | 1.4404312E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3925991E-4 | 1.7535927E-4 | 1.7535927E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013917267 | 0.0017537511 | 0.0017537511 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.6408059E-6 | 3.3310494E-6 | 3.3310494E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1317691E-5 | 1.4275853E-5 | 1.4275853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3778417E-4 | 1.737955E-4 | 1.737955E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013769877 | 0.0017381381 | 0.0017381381 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.1786943E-6 | 2.8545066E-6 | 2.8545066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.337228E-6 | 1.2233547E-5 | 1.2233547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1367482E-4 | 1.4893398E-4 | 1.4893398E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011361669 | 0.0014898704 | 0.0014898704 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.4411696E-6 | 2.0685677E-6 | 2.0685677E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1764263E-6 | 8.865261E-6 | 8.865261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.51954E-5 | 1.0792949E-4 | 1.0792949E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5169955E-4 | 0.0010802548 | 0.0010802548 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0073411E-6 | 1.5543274E-6 | 1.5543274E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.317169E-6 | 6.661387E-6 | 6.661387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2560266E-5 | 8.109952E-5 | 8.109952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2547833E-4 | 8.1217213E-4 | 8.1217213E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.947104E-7 | 1.430316E-6 | 1.430316E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.834468E-6 | 6.1299124E-6 | 6.1299124E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6683643E-5 | 7.462928E-5 | 7.462928E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6673836E-4 | 7.4751483E-4 | 7.4751483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.215166E-7 | 1.0112277E-6 | 1.0112277E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2350691E-6 | 4.333826E-6 | 4.333826E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7211627E-5 | 5.27631E-5 | 5.27631E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7208295E-4 | 5.289683E-4 | 5.289683E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.4024807E-7 | 9.220183E-7 | 9.220183E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8867761E-6 | 3.951501E-6 | 3.951501E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2971257E-5 | 4.8108504E-5 | 4.8108504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2968883E-4 | 4.824433E-4 | 4.824433E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.6130905E-7 | 8.359109E-7 | 8.359109E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5484665E-6 | 3.5824705E-6 | 3.5824705E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8852415E-5 | 4.3615746E-5 | 4.3615746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8850817E-4 | 4.3752496E-4 | 4.3752496E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.408184E-7 | 8.1087245E-7 | 8.1087245E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4606494E-6 | 3.475163E-6 | 3.475163E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7783263E-5 | 4.230933E-5 | 4.230933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.778184E-4 | 4.2444657E-4 | 4.2444657E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.1428627E-7 | 7.732167E-7 | 7.732167E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3469405E-6 | 3.313782E-6 | 3.313782E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6398877E-5 | 4.0344585E-5 | 4.0344585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6397667E-4 | 4.0477706E-4 | 4.0477706E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7972785E-7 | 5.0782415E-7 | 5.0782415E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70262E-7 | 2.1763874E-6 | 2.1763874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377899E-6 | 2.6497206E-5 | 2.6497206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377503E-5 | 2.6633305E-4 | 2.6633305E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.9230927E-8 | 1.1981747E-7 | 1.1981747E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1098968E-7 | 5.135033E-7 | 5.135033E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687964E-6 | 6.2518866E-6 | 6.2518866E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687666E-5 | 6.2971965E-5 | 6.2971965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.6805972E-9 | 4.1051638E-9 | 4.1051638E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5773987E-8 | 1.7593557E-8 | 1.7593557E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9204828E-7 | 2.1420155E-7 | 2.1420155E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.920481E-6 | 2.1898923E-6 | 2.1898923E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Dry Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.439381E-6 | 5.6439058E-5 | 8.764671 | 5.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597147E-5 | 7.759577E-5 | 2.8117316 | 5.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3595937E-4 | 4.2592915E-4 | 1.2677995 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033560768 | 0.0034756742 | 1.0356361 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.439381E-6 | 5.6439058E-5 | 8.764671 | 5.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597147E-5 | 7.759577E-5 | 2.8117316 | 5.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3595937E-4 | 4.2592915E-4 | 1.2677995 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033560768 | 0.0034756742 | 1.0356361 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.439381E-6 | 5.6439058E-5 | 8.764671 | 5.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597147E-5 | 7.759577E-5 | 2.8117316 | 5.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3595937E-4 | 4.2592915E-4 | 1.2677995 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033560768 | 0.0034756742 | 1.0356361 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.439381E-6 | 5.6439058E-5 | 8.764671 | 5.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597147E-5 | 7.759577E-5 | 2.8117316 | 5.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3595937E-4 | 4.2592915E-4 | 1.2677995 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033560768 | 0.0034756742 | 1.0356361 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.439381E-6 | 5.6439058E-5 | 8.764671 | 5.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597147E-5 | 7.759577E-5 | 2.8117316 | 5.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3595937E-4 | 4.2592915E-4 | 1.2677995 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033560768 | 0.0034756742 | 1.0356361 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 2.8528623E-6 | 2.9521684E-6 | 3.295208E-5 | 11.161992 | 3.0E-5 | 1.22264955E-5 | 1.2652138E-5 | 4.2651758E-5 | 3.3711107 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4884741E-4 | 1.540376E-4 | 2.1402835E-4 | 1.3894553 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0014874774 | 0.0015401616 | 0.0016200384 | 1.0518626 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.8528623E-6 | 2.9521684E-6 | 3.295208E-5 | 11.161992 | 3.0E-5 | 1.22264955E-5 | 1.2652138E-5 | 4.2651758E-5 | 3.3711107 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4884741E-4 | 1.540376E-4 | 2.1402835E-4 | 1.3894553 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0014874774 | 0.0015401616 | 0.0016200384 | 1.0518626 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.541E-6 | 2.6293578E-6 | 3.262928E-5 | 12.4096 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0889954E-5 | 1.1268677E-5 | 4.126834E-5 | 3.662217 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3257713E-4 | 1.3719614E-4 | 1.9718791E-4 | 1.43727 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0013249806 | 0.0013719613 | 0.0014418653 | 1.0509518 | 7.0E-5 |
Deep Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.311252E-5 | 6.31116E-5 | 2.7306237 | 4.0E-5 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9052755E-5 | 1.490478E-4 | 1.5047315 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058078 | 0.0012757235 | 1.0579823 | 7.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.01204243 | 0.012151105 | 1.0090244 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.311252E-5 | 6.31116E-5 | 2.7306237 | 4.0E-5 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9052755E-5 | 1.490478E-4 | 1.5047315 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058078 | 0.0012757235 | 1.0579823 | 7.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.01204243 | 0.012151105 | 1.0090244 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.311252E-5 | 6.31116E-5 | 2.7306237 | 4.0E-5 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9052755E-5 | 1.490478E-4 | 1.5047315 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058078 | 0.0012757235 | 1.0579823 | 7.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.01204243 | 0.012151105 | 1.0090244 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.311252E-5 | 6.31116E-5 | 2.7306237 | 4.0E-5 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9052755E-5 | 1.490478E-4 | 1.5047315 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058078 | 0.0012757235 | 1.0579823 | 7.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.01204243 | 0.012151105 | 1.0090244 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.311252E-5 | 6.31116E-5 | 2.7306237 | 4.0E-5 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9052755E-5 | 1.490478E-4 | 1.5047315 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058078 | 0.0012757235 | 1.0579823 | 7.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.01204243 | 0.012151105 | 1.0090244 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 1.7190405E-5 | 2.0050558E-5 | 5.0049955E-5 | 2.4961877 | 3.0E-5 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.593096E-5 | 1.15928386E-4 | 1.3490875 | 3.0E-5 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.0010462092 | 0.0010961569 | 1.0477415 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008929676 | 0.010462061 | 0.010541224 | 1.0075667 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.7190405E-5 | 2.0050558E-5 | 5.0049955E-5 | 2.4961877 | 3.0E-5 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.593096E-5 | 1.15928386E-4 | 1.3490875 | 3.0E-5 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.0010462092 | 0.0010961569 | 1.0477415 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008929676 | 0.010462061 | 0.010541224 | 1.0075667 | 8.0E-5 |
Hunting Creek - Berryessa 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1270982E-4 | 2.0028367E-4 | 2.4027565E-4 | 1.1996768 | 4.0E-5 | 4.8295266E-4 | 8.579912E-4 | 9.2793116E-4 | 1.0815159 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0058641075 | 0.010386173 | 0.010465342 | 1.0076226 | 8.0E-5 | 0.057117578 | 0.09804048 | 0.09812166 | 1.000828 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1239393E-4 | 1.9976508E-4 | 2.397571E-4 | 1.2001952 | 4.0E-5 | 4.8159933E-4 | 8.557703E-4 | 9.257104E-4 | 1.0817276 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0058477195 | 0.010359417 | 0.010428691 | 1.0066872 | 7.0E-5 | 0.056962132 | 0.09779895 | 0.097871125 | 1.000738 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.596265E-5 | 1.2933646E-4 | 1.5933259E-4 | 1.2319231 | 3.0E-5 | 3.2551357E-4 | 5.5415573E-4 | 5.841391E-4 | 1.0541064 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0039559277 | 0.0067213587 | 0.0067511573 | 1.0044334 | 3.0E-5 | 0.038862433 | 0.06459229 | 0.064629704 | 1.0005792 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.78794E-5 | 1.1448377E-4 | 1.4448033E-4 | 1.2620158 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9087928E-4 | 4.9052597E-4 | 5.2051124E-4 | 1.0611289 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003535705 | 0.005952661 | 0.0059824823 | 1.0050098 | 3.0E-5 | 0.034799766 | 0.057466213 | 0.057503913 | 1.000656 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.2165134E-5 | 1.0434825E-4 | 1.3434511E-4 | 1.2874688 | 3.0E-5 | 2.6639478E-4 | 4.4711027E-4 | 4.7709685E-4 | 1.0670675 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032385332 | 0.0054274183 | 0.0054572555 | 1.0054975 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03191742 | 0.05255138 | 0.05258928 | 1.0007212 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.4368087E-5 | 9.070258E-5 | 1.2069986E-4 | 1.3307214 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3298527E-4 | 3.886537E-4 | 4.1864204E-4 | 1.0771595 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0028329059 | 0.0047197016 | 0.00474956 | 1.0063263 | 3.0E-5 | 0.027970633 | 0.045881182 | 0.045919348 | 1.0008318 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.729947E-5 | 7.847101E-5 | 1.0846865E-4 | 1.3822768 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0269625E-4 | 3.3624718E-4 | 3.6623707E-4 | 1.0891901 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002465034 | 0.004084746 | 0.004114623 | 1.0073144 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02437869 | 0.03985269 | 0.039891094 | 1.0009637 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6875328E-5 | 6.0443555E-5 | 9.044174E-5 | 1.4963008 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5802756E-4 | 2.5900968E-4 | 2.890019E-4 | 1.1157957 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019222875 | 0.0031482724 | 0.0031781779 | 1.0094991 | 3.0E-5 | 0.019057442 | 0.03089371 | 0.030922784 | 1.000941 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.0292036E-5 | 2.8976721E-5 | 3.8976432E-5 | 1.3450946 | 1.0E-5 | 8.6962966E-5 | 1.2417998E-4 | 1.3417873E-4 | 1.0805182 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010582599 | 0.0015108302 | 0.0015208151 | 1.0066088 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010532344 | 0.0149790775 | 0.014988927 | 1.0006576 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.7871042E-5 | 2.4472653E-5 | 3.447241E-5 | 1.4086094 | 1.0E-5 | 7.658793E-5 | 1.04878585E-4 | 1.1487754E-4 | 1.0953383 | 1.0E-5 | 9.320591E-4 | 0.0012761486 | 0.0012861358 | 1.0078261 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009281595 | 0.012680395 | 0.0126902675 | 1.0007787 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.6415532E-5 | 2.1906566E-5 | 3.1906347E-5 | 1.4564742 | 1.0E-5 | 7.035038E-5 | 9.388191E-5 | 1.0388097E-4 | 1.1065068 | 1.0E-5 | 8.561793E-4 | 0.0011424144 | 0.001152403 | 1.0087434 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008528882 | 0.011365017 | 0.011374903 | 1.0008699 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.5409885E-5 | 2.0346588E-5 | 3.0346384E-5 | 1.4914728 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6040695E-5 | 8.719676E-5 | 9.719589E-5 | 1.1146731 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0374884E-4 | 0.0010611062 | 0.0010710956 | 1.0094141 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00800848 | 0.010560924 | 0.010570819 | 1.0009369 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.4497423E-5 | 1.905519E-5 | 2.9055E-5 | 1.5247815 | 1.0E-5 | 6.213033E-5 | 8.166256E-5 | 9.166174E-5 | 1.1224451 | 1.0E-5 | 7.5617427E-4 | 9.937913E-4 | 0.0010037813 | 1.0100524 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0075360634 | 0.00989425 | 0.009904152 | 1.0010006 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.3615175E-5 | 1.7826347E-5 | 2.7826169E-5 | 1.5609574 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8349444E-5 | 7.6396405E-5 | 8.6395645E-5 | 1.1308862 | 1.0E-5 | 7.101729E-4 | 9.297323E-4 | 9.39723E-4 | 1.0107458 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0070790765 | 0.009259124 | 0.009269032 | 1.00107 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.2252825E-5 | 1.6026455E-5 | 2.6026295E-5 | 1.6239582 | 1.0E-5 | 5.251105E-5 | 6.868302E-5 | 7.868233E-5 | 1.1455864 | 1.0E-5 | 6.391345E-4 | 8.3589775E-4 | 8.458894E-4 | 1.0119532 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0063729943 | 0.008328172 | 0.008338089 | 1.0011908 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.0913301E-5 | 1.4241286E-5 | 2.4241144E-5 | 1.7021737 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6770452E-5 | 6.103267E-5 | 7.103206E-5 | 1.1638367 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6928146E-4 | 7.428222E-4 | 7.5281475E-4 | 1.0134522 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0056782532 | 0.0074039865 | 0.0074139126 | 1.0013406 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.623192E-6 | 1.12347825E-5 | 1.12347825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6956015E-5 | 4.8148195E-5 | 4.8148195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4984656E-4 | 5.8604917E-4 | 5.8604917E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00448937 | 0.005845504 | 0.005845504 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.0993634E-6 | 2.66264E-6 | 2.66264E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.997241E-6 | 1.1411265E-5 | 1.1411265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.09535904E-4 | 1.3892337E-4 | 1.3892337E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010948193 | 0.0013883994 | 0.0013883994 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.8428308E-7 | 2.1674624E-7 | 2.1674624E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.897844E-7 | 9.289122E-7 | 9.289122E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.615583E-6 | 1.130945E-5 | 1.130945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.615166E-5 | 1.1308173E-4 | 1.1308173E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7590016E-5 | 4.7590016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.039422E-4 | 2.2393811E-4 | 1.098047 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024803334 | 0.002520234 | 1.0160868 | 4.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.02454411 | 0.02465141 | 1.0043718 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7590016E-5 | 4.7590016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.039422E-4 | 2.2393811E-4 | 1.098047 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024803334 | 0.002520234 | 1.0160868 | 4.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.02454411 | 0.02465141 | 1.0043718 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7590016E-5 | 4.7590016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.039422E-4 | 2.2393811E-4 | 1.098047 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024803334 | 0.002520234 | 1.0160868 | 4.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.02454411 | 0.02465141 | 1.0043718 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7590016E-5 | 4.7590016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.039422E-4 | 2.2393811E-4 | 1.098047 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024803334 | 0.002520234 | 1.0160868 | 4.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.02454411 | 0.02465141 | 1.0043718 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7590016E-5 | 4.7590016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.039422E-4 | 2.2393811E-4 | 1.098047 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024803334 | 0.002520234 | 1.0160868 | 4.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.02454411 | 0.02465141 | 1.0043718 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 3.154503E-5 | 3.5359757E-5 | 3.5359757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3518598E-4 | 1.5153353E-4 | 1.6153202E-4 | 1.065982 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016446467 | 0.0018434518 | 0.0018634149 | 1.0108292 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01632528 | 0.018291244 | 0.01836978 | 1.0042937 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1535834E-5 | 3.5349138E-5 | 3.5349138E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3514658E-4 | 1.5148803E-4 | 1.6148652E-4 | 1.0660018 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016441676 | 0.0018428987 | 0.0018628618 | 1.0108324 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01632056 | 0.018285805 | 0.018364342 | 1.004295 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.8267326E-5 | 3.1469353E-5 | 3.1469353E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2114006E-4 | 1.3486217E-4 | 1.4486082E-4 | 1.0741398 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014738824 | 0.0016407954 | 0.0016607626 | 1.0121692 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014641452 | 0.01629557 | 0.016374268 | 1.0048293 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.8212884E-5 | 3.1407242E-5 | 3.1407242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.20906756E-4 | 1.3459599E-4 | 1.4459465E-4 | 1.0742865 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014710457 | 0.0016375595 | 0.0016575268 | 1.0121933 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014613459 | 0.016263688 | 0.016342387 | 1.004839 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.4227871E-5 | 2.6706994E-5 | 2.6706994E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.03829596E-4 | 1.1445395E-4 | 1.2445281E-4 | 1.0873613 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012633923 | 0.0013926621 | 0.0014126342 | 1.014341 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012562336 | 0.0138470335 | 0.013925926 | 1.0056974 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.348524E-5 | 2.5835778E-5 | 2.5835778E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0064714E-4 | 1.10720495E-4 | 1.20719385E-4 | 1.0903075 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012246901 | 0.001347264 | 0.0013672371 | 1.0148249 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012179627 | 0.013398598 | 0.013477526 | 1.0058907 | 8.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2311642E-5 | 2.4462845E-5 | 2.4462845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.561782E-5 | 1.04836974E-4 | 1.1483592E-4 | 1.0953763 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011635252 | 0.0012757176 | 0.001295692 | 1.0156574 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01157452 | 0.01269146 | 0.012770444 | 1.0062234 | 8.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6533986E-5 | 1.7670362E-5 | 1.7670362E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.085802E-5 | 7.572828E-5 | 7.572828E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.623549E-4 | 9.2166534E-4 | 9.316561E-4 | 1.0108399 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008590161 | 0.009184707 | 0.009234248 | 1.0053939 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4703092E-5 | 1.5559537E-5 | 1.5559537E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.301173E-5 | 6.668237E-5 | 6.668237E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.668978E-4 | 8.1161706E-4 | 8.2160893E-4 | 1.0123111 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0076425658 | 0.008092604 | 0.008142199 | 1.0061284 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.1331984E-6 | 5.5288874E-6 | 5.5288874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6284872E-5 | 2.3695018E-5 | 2.3695018E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.199713E-4 | 2.884492E-4 | 2.884492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031951098 | 0.0028808024 | 0.0029007448 | 1.0069225 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.954766E-6 | 5.338517E-6 | 5.338517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5520176E-5 | 2.2879161E-5 | 2.2879161E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1066386E-4 | 2.785187E-4 | 2.785187E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003102299 | 0.0027817504 | 0.0028016947 | 1.0071697 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.9726646E-6 | 4.315309E-6 | 4.315309E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1311245E-5 | 1.8494053E-5 | 1.8494053E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5943352E-4 | 2.2514217E-4 | 2.2514217E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025913084 | 0.0022491754 | 0.0022491754 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.3613894E-6 | 2.8526886E-6 | 2.8526886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4405875E-5 | 1.22257525E-5 | 1.22257525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7537741E-4 | 1.4883863E-4 | 1.4883863E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017523908 | 0.0014874157 | 0.0014874157 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.1828961E-6 | 1.0122935E-6 | 1.0122935E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.069545E-6 | 4.338394E-6 | 4.338394E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.171996E-5 | 5.281869E-5 | 5.281869E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.170282E-4 | 5.280643E-4 | 5.280643E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.2967266E-7 | 1.861919E-7 | 1.861919E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.843111E-7 | 7.97965E-7 | 7.97965E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19839215E-5 | 9.715184E-6 | 9.715184E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1983275E-4 | 9.714788E-5 | 9.714788E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.41444E-5 | 6.414343E-5 | 2.656659 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.034719E-4 | 1.5346672E-4 | 1.483173 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001259045 | 0.0013289569 | 1.0555277 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012928195 | 0.013026902 | 1.007635 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.41444E-5 | 6.414343E-5 | 2.656659 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.034719E-4 | 1.5346672E-4 | 1.483173 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001259045 | 0.0013289569 | 1.0555277 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012928195 | 0.013026902 | 1.007635 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.41444E-5 | 6.414343E-5 | 2.656659 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.034719E-4 | 1.5346672E-4 | 1.483173 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001259045 | 0.0013289569 | 1.0555277 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012928195 | 0.013026902 | 1.007635 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.41444E-5 | 6.414343E-5 | 2.656659 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.034719E-4 | 1.5346672E-4 | 1.483173 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001259045 | 0.0013289569 | 1.0555277 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012928195 | 0.013026902 | 1.007635 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.41444E-5 | 6.414343E-5 | 2.656659 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.034719E-4 | 1.5346672E-4 | 1.483173 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001259045 | 0.0013289569 | 1.0555277 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012928195 | 0.013026902 | 1.007635 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 2.7282445E-5 | 2.4030476E-5 | 6.402952E-5 | 2.6645129 | 4.0E-5 | 1.16919524E-4 | 1.0298371E-4 | 1.5297855E-4 | 1.4854637 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0014225657 | 0.001253108 | 0.0013230203 | 1.0557911 | 7.0E-5 | 0.014134934 | 0.012869522 | 0.012968236 | 1.0076703 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 2.7282445E-5 | 2.4030476E-5 | 6.402952E-5 | 2.6645129 | 4.0E-5 | 1.16919524E-4 | 1.0298371E-4 | 1.5297855E-4 | 1.4854637 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0014225657 | 0.001253108 | 0.0013230203 | 1.0557911 | 7.0E-5 | 0.014134934 | 0.012869522 | 0.012968236 | 1.0076703 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 2.7216198E-5 | 2.3955597E-5 | 6.395464E-5 | 2.669716 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1663563E-4 | 1.02662816E-4 | 1.5265768E-4 | 1.4869813 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0014191137 | 0.0012492058 | 0.0013191183 | 1.0559657 | 7.0E-5 | 0.014100855 | 0.012830934 | 0.012929651 | 1.0076936 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 2.7078617E-5 | 2.3872815E-5 | 6.387186E-5 | 2.6755059 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1604605E-4 | 1.0230807E-4 | 1.5230295E-4 | 1.48867 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001411945 | 0.0012448917 | 0.0013148045 | 1.0561597 | 7.0E-5 | 0.014030075 | 0.0127880825 | 0.012886804 | 1.0077198 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 2.6982952E-5 | 2.3792329E-5 | 6.3791376E-5 | 2.681174 | 4.0E-5 | 1.15636096E-4 | 1.0196315E-4 | 1.5195805E-4 | 1.4903232 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0014069602 | 0.0012406971 | 0.0013106102 | 1.0563499 | 7.0E-5 | 0.013980856 | 0.012746378 | 0.012845104 | 1.0077454 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 2.6449972E-5 | 2.3369357E-5 | 6.3368425E-5 | 2.7116032 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1335209E-4 | 1.0015055E-4 | 1.5014554E-4 | 1.4991983 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001379188 | 0.0012186535 | 0.0012885683 | 1.0573704 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0137065975 | 0.012527733 | 0.01262648 | 1.0078822 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 2.6257849E-5 | 2.3195396E-5 | 6.319447E-5 | 2.72444 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1252879E-4 | 9.940507E-5 | 1.494001E-4 | 1.5029424 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0013691769 | 0.0012095873 | 0.0012795026 | 1.057801 | 7.0E-5 | 0.013607717 | 0.012437661 | 0.012536417 | 1.00794 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 2.5270041E-5 | 2.2390155E-5 | 6.238926E-5 | 2.7864594 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0829568E-4 | 9.5954296E-5 | 1.459495E-4 | 1.5210314 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0013177024 | 0.0011676198 | 0.0012375381 | 1.059881 | 7.0E-5 | 0.013099162 | 0.0120187905 | 0.0121077085 | 1.0073982 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.339701E-5 | 2.1122027E-5 | 6.112118E-5 | 2.8937175 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0026905E-4 | 9.051985E-5 | 1.4051532E-4 | 1.5523151 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001220092 | 0.001101524 | 0.0011714469 | 1.0634784 | 7.0E-5 | 0.012134149 | 0.011357642 | 0.011446619 | 1.0078342 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.296333E-5 | 2.0852396E-5 | 6.0851562E-5 | 2.9182048 | 4.0E-5 | 9.841056E-5 | 8.936436E-5 | 1.393599E-4 | 1.5594572 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011974899 | 0.0010874701 | 0.0011573939 | 1.0642996 | 7.0E-5 | 0.011910575 | 0.011216754 | 0.011305744 | 1.0079337 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.2188895E-5 | 2.037534E-5 | 6.0374525E-5 | 2.9631174 | 4.0E-5 | 9.50918E-5 | 8.731998E-5 | 1.3731561E-4 | 1.5725566 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011571277 | 0.0010626042 | 0.0011325299 | 1.0658059 | 7.0E-5 | 0.011511209 | 0.010966369 | 0.011055382 | 1.008117 | 9.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.0013189E-5 | 1.8961666E-5 | 5.8960908E-5 | 3.1094794 | 4.0E-5 | 8.5767984E-5 | 8.126176E-5 | 1.312577E-4 | 1.6152456 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001043725 | 9.889146E-4 | 0.0010588454 | 1.0707147 | 7.0E-5 | 0.010388365 | 0.010224371 | 0.010313451 | 1.0087125 | 9.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7230794E-5 | 1.6743043E-5 | 5.6742374E-5 | 3.389012 | 4.0E-5 | 7.384417E-5 | 7.175393E-5 | 1.2175034E-4 | 1.6967759 | 5.0E-5 | 8.986819E-4 | 8.732547E-4 | 9.431936E-4 | 1.0800899 | 7.0E-5 | 0.008950562 | 0.00906292 | 0.009152104 | 1.0098406 | 9.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.4478809E-5 | 1.499039E-5 | 5.498979E-5 | 3.6683362 | 4.0E-5 | 6.205057E-5 | 6.424295E-5 | 1.1423974E-4 | 1.7782456 | 5.0E-5 | 7.552038E-4 | 7.8187784E-4 | 8.5182313E-4 | 1.0894581 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0075264242 | 0.008141388 | 0.008230655 | 1.0109646 | 9.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.1114467E-5 | 1.1644517E-5 | 5.1644052E-5 | 4.4350533 | 4.0E-5 | 4.7632562E-5 | 4.990412E-5 | 9.990163E-5 | 2.0018713 | 5.0E-5 | 5.797721E-4 | 6.074139E-4 | 6.7737134E-4 | 1.1151726 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0057826187 | 0.0063803545 | 0.0064697806 | 1.0140158 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 9.327402E-6 | 9.8986575E-6 | 4.9898263E-5 | 5.040912 | 4.0E-5 | 3.9973966E-5 | 4.2422133E-5 | 9.2420014E-5 | 2.17858 | 5.0E-5 | 4.8657437E-4 | 5.163676E-4 | 5.863315E-4 | 1.1354923 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0048551033 | 0.00544994 | 0.00553945 | 1.016424 | 9.0E-5 |
8.1 | 7.0235833E-6 | 6.826985E-6 | 2.6826849E-5 | 3.9295309 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0100724E-5 | 2.9258183E-5 | 5.9257305E-5 | 2.025324 | 3.0E-5 | 3.664147E-4 | 3.5616063E-4 | 3.961464E-4 | 1.1122689 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003658111 | 0.0037874572 | 0.0038372679 | 1.0131515 | 5.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.0358202E-6 | 8.9912584E-7 | 8.9912584E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.724915E-6 | 3.853391E-6 | 3.853391E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06220665E-4 | 4.6914047E-5 | 4.6914047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001061699 | 5.3239096E-4 | 5.3239096E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.0051264E-7 | 6.61379E-8 | 6.61379E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5933965E-7 | 2.8344812E-7 | 2.8344812E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.046241E-5 | 3.450976E-6 | 3.450976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0461917E-4 | 4.0120205E-5 | 4.0120205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pine Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2254716E-6 | 1.72254E-5 | 2.3839827 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0965955E-5 | 5.0965336E-5 | 1.6458505 | 2.0E-5 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7694827E-4 | 4.3692565E-4 | 1.159113 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037633865 | 0.0038530477 | 1.0238246 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2254716E-6 | 1.72254E-5 | 2.3839827 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0965955E-5 | 5.0965336E-5 | 1.6458505 | 2.0E-5 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7694827E-4 | 4.3692565E-4 | 1.159113 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037633865 | 0.0038530477 | 1.0238246 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2254716E-6 | 1.72254E-5 | 2.3839827 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0965955E-5 | 5.0965336E-5 | 1.6458505 | 2.0E-5 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7694827E-4 | 4.3692565E-4 | 1.159113 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037633865 | 0.0038530477 | 1.0238246 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2254716E-6 | 1.72254E-5 | 2.3839827 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0965955E-5 | 5.0965336E-5 | 1.6458505 | 2.0E-5 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7694827E-4 | 4.3692565E-4 | 1.159113 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037633865 | 0.0038530477 | 1.0238246 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2254716E-6 | 1.72254E-5 | 2.3839827 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0965955E-5 | 5.0965336E-5 | 1.6458505 | 2.0E-5 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7694827E-4 | 4.3692565E-4 | 1.159113 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037633865 | 0.0038530477 | 1.0238246 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2254716E-6 | 1.72254E-5 | 2.3839827 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0965955E-5 | 5.0965336E-5 | 1.6458505 | 2.0E-5 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7694827E-4 | 4.3692565E-4 | 1.159113 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037633865 | 0.0038530477 | 1.0238246 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2254716E-6 | 1.72254E-5 | 2.3839827 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0965955E-5 | 5.0965336E-5 | 1.6458505 | 2.0E-5 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7694827E-4 | 4.3692565E-4 | 1.159113 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037633865 | 0.0038530477 | 1.0238246 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.0867933E-6 | 6.397124E-6 | 1.639706E-5 | 2.5631926 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6085996E-5 | 2.7415968E-5 | 4.741542E-5 | 1.7294818 | 2.0E-5 | 3.1755073E-4 | 3.337405E-4 | 3.837238E-4 | 1.149767 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0031709734 | 0.0033326119 | 0.0034123452 | 1.0239252 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.6530425E-6 | 5.950606E-6 | 1.5950547E-5 | 2.6804912 | 1.0E-5 | 2.42271E-5 | 2.5502359E-5 | 4.550185E-5 | 1.7842212 | 2.0E-5 | 2.94925E-4 | 3.1044905E-4 | 3.6043354E-4 | 1.161007 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002945339 | 0.0031003582 | 0.0031801101 | 1.0257235 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.6015225E-6 | 4.8638444E-6 | 1.48637955E-5 | 3.0559769 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9720663E-5 | 2.084489E-5 | 4.0844472E-5 | 1.9594477 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4007261E-4 | 2.5375842E-4 | 3.0374574E-4 | 1.1969877 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0023981342 | 0.002534831 | 0.002614628 | 1.0314803 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.4875965E-6 | 4.7474837E-6 | 1.4747436E-5 | 3.106369 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9232413E-5 | 2.0346208E-5 | 4.03458E-5 | 1.9829642 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3412947E-4 | 2.4768838E-4 | 2.97676E-4 | 1.2018166 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0023388295 | 0.0024742668 | 0.0025540688 | 1.0322528 | 8.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.203907E-6 | 3.42942E-6 | 1.3429386E-5 | 3.915935 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3730958E-5 | 1.4697435E-5 | 3.4697143E-5 | 2.3607616 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6716159E-4 | 1.7892725E-4 | 2.1892009E-4 | 1.2235146 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016703589 | 0.001787898 | 0.0018477907 | 1.033499 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.2060601E-6 | 2.3784874E-6 | 1.2378464E-5 | 5.204343 | 1.0E-5 | 9.4545085E-6 | 1.019348E-5 | 2.0193378E-5 | 1.9810092 | 1.0E-5 | 1.15102564E-4 | 1.2409901E-4 | 1.5409528E-4 | 1.2417125 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011504296 | 0.0012403419 | 0.0012802923 | 1.0322092 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.3765207E-6 | 1.5216535E-6 | 1.1521638E-5 | 7.5717883 | 1.0E-5 | 5.899361E-6 | 6.5213567E-6 | 1.6521291E-5 | 2.5334132 | 1.0E-5 | 7.182235E-5 | 7.939472E-5 | 9.939313E-5 | 1.2518859 | 2.0E-5 | 7.1799144E-4 | 7.9367263E-4 | 8.236488E-4 | 1.037769 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.1245983E-6 | 1.2587126E-6 | 1.2587126E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.819698E-6 | 5.394472E-6 | 5.394472E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8678244E-5 | 6.56758E-5 | 6.56758E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.866275E-4 | 6.565722E-4 | 6.6656567E-4 | 1.0152206 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.031682E-7 | 9.276999E-7 | 9.276999E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4421448E-6 | 3.975851E-6 | 3.975851E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1907308E-5 | 4.840498E-5 | 4.840498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1899405E-4 | 4.8395112E-4 | 4.8395112E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.8953444E-7 | 6.0030544E-7 | 6.0030544E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.098003E-6 | 2.5727354E-6 | 2.5727354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5542888E-5 | 3.1322652E-5 | 3.1322652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5539953E-4 | 3.1318725E-4 | 3.1318725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.634529E-8 | 6.788826E-8 | 6.788826E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.843369E-7 | 2.9094966E-7 | 2.9094966E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4617963E-6 | 3.5423066E-6 | 3.5423066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4617424E-5 | 3.542255E-5 | 3.542255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 9.235578E-9 | 9.488566E-9 | 9.488566E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9581046E-8 | 4.0665284E-8 | 4.0665284E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.818991E-7 | 4.950997E-7 | 4.950997E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8189804E-6 | 4.950988E-6 | 4.950988E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ortigalita (North)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.711876E-5 | 1.0505308E-4 | 1.15052026E-4 | 1.09518 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3046713E-4 | 4.501601E-4 | 4.8014658E-4 | 1.066613 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004016016 | 0.0054680547 | 0.005507836 | 1.0072752 | 4.0E-5 | 0.039442103 | 0.053455614 | 0.053531338 | 1.0014166 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.607858E-5 | 6.0239887E-5 | 7.0239286E-5 | 1.165993 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.5814763E-4 | 2.8813988E-4 | 1.1161826 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0024014818 | 0.0031387366 | 0.0031786112 | 1.012704 | 4.0E-5 | 0.023756953 | 0.030975312 | 0.031023763 | 1.0015641 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.607858E-5 | 6.0239887E-5 | 7.0239286E-5 | 1.165993 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.5814763E-4 | 2.8813988E-4 | 1.1161826 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0024014818 | 0.0031387366 | 0.0031786112 | 1.012704 | 4.0E-5 | 0.023756953 | 0.030975312 | 0.031023763 | 1.0015641 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.327423E-5 | 4.2476124E-5 | 5.2475698E-5 | 1.2354164 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4259605E-4 | 1.8202956E-4 | 2.0202591E-4 | 1.1098523 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017347244 | 0.002214206 | 0.0022441396 | 1.0135189 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017212452 | 0.02194574 | 0.021984862 | 1.0017827 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7732503E-5 | 3.4999008E-5 | 4.4998655E-5 | 1.2857124 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1884817E-4 | 1.499886E-4 | 1.699856E-4 | 1.1333234 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001446016 | 0.0018248158 | 0.001854761 | 1.01641 | 3.0E-5 | 0.014366428 | 0.018121297 | 0.018160572 | 1.0021673 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7689714E-5 | 3.4948822E-5 | 4.4948472E-5 | 1.2861227 | 1.0E-5 | 1.186648E-4 | 1.4977354E-4 | 1.6977054E-4 | 1.1335149 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014437864 | 0.0018222018 | 0.0018521472 | 1.0164336 | 3.0E-5 | 0.014344421 | 0.018095585 | 0.01813486 | 1.0021704 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2976905E-5 | 2.871829E-5 | 2.871829E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.846873E-5 | 1.23074E-4 | 1.3307277E-4 | 1.081242 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011981975 | 0.0014976348 | 0.0015076199 | 1.0066671 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011917574 | 0.014898733 | 0.014918435 | 1.0013224 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9871539E-5 | 2.4904637E-5 | 2.4904637E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.516096E-5 | 1.067312E-4 | 1.1673012E-4 | 1.0936834 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010363415 | 0.0012989199 | 0.0013089069 | 1.0076888 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010315218 | 0.012936938 | 0.012956679 | 1.001526 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.5640475E-6 | 7.6054926E-6 | 7.6054926E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.813133E-5 | 3.2594577E-5 | 4.259425E-5 | 1.3067895 | 1.0E-5 | 3.424451E-4 | 3.9676955E-4 | 4.0676558E-4 | 1.0251936 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034191788 | 0.003960899 | 0.003970859 | 1.0025147 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.6219683E-6 | 6.5018376E-6 | 6.5018376E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4093928E-5 | 2.7864735E-5 | 2.7864735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.933041E-4 | 3.3920293E-4 | 3.3920293E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029291727 | 0.003387109 | 0.003387109 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.875591E-6 | 4.4847548E-6 | 4.4847548E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6609569E-5 | 1.9220248E-5 | 1.9220248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0220275E-4 | 2.339835E-4 | 2.339835E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020201886 | 0.0023375798 | 0.0023375798 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.6017933E-6 | 1.8570418E-6 | 1.8570418E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8648105E-6 | 7.958732E-6 | 7.958732E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.357586E-5 | 9.689432E-5 | 9.689432E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3544437E-4 | 9.686254E-4 | 9.686254E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.763429E-4 | 4.8633813E-4 | 1.0209833 | 1.0E-5 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0020399094 | 0.0020798277 | 1.0195687 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011683988 | 0.024544531 | 0.02460306 | 1.0023845 | 6.0E-5 | 0.11088423 | 0.21349923 | 0.21356215 | 1.0002947 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.763429E-4 | 4.8633813E-4 | 1.0209833 | 1.0E-5 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0020399094 | 0.0020798277 | 1.0195687 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011683988 | 0.024544531 | 0.02460306 | 1.0023845 | 6.0E-5 | 0.11088423 | 0.21349923 | 0.21356215 | 1.0002947 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.198148E-4 | 4.6718874E-4 | 4.7718408E-4 | 1.0213946 | 1.0E-5 | 9.417233E-4 | 0.0020007377 | 0.0020406577 | 1.0199527 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011405343 | 0.024078513 | 0.024137069 | 1.0024319 | 6.0E-5 | 0.10837428 | 0.20993572 | 0.20999894 | 1.0003011 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1704129E-4 | 4.615455E-4 | 4.715409E-4 | 1.0216564 | 1.0E-5 | 9.298453E-4 | 0.0019765892 | 0.00201651 | 1.0201969 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011262234 | 0.023792034 | 0.023850607 | 1.0024619 | 6.0E-5 | 0.107082725 | 0.20782684 | 0.20789021 | 1.0003049 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.876142E-4 | 4.004663E-4 | 4.104623E-4 | 1.0249609 | 1.0E-5 | 8.038131E-4 | 0.0017151695 | 0.0017551009 | 1.0232813 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00974259 | 0.020678662 | 0.02073742 | 1.0028416 | 6.0E-5 | 0.093263686 | 0.18457787 | 0.1846431 | 1.0003535 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7390939E-4 | 3.7478763E-4 | 3.847839E-4 | 1.0266718 | 1.0E-5 | 7.45113E-4 | 0.0016052561 | 0.0016451919 | 1.0248781 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009034078 | 0.019367293 | 0.019426132 | 1.003038 | 6.0E-5 | 0.086755216 | 0.17440015 | 0.1744662 | 1.0003787 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.591791E-4 | 3.4893592E-4 | 3.5893242E-4 | 1.0286486 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8201777E-4 | 0.0014945926 | 0.0015345329 | 1.0267231 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008271996 | 0.018045008 | 0.018103926 | 1.003265 | 6.0E-5 | 0.07970774 | 0.16380787 | 0.16387476 | 1.0004084 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4268003E-4 | 3.2059717E-4 | 3.30594E-4 | 1.0311818 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1134255E-4 | 0.0013732726 | 0.0014132177 | 1.0290875 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007417723 | 0.01659171 | 0.016650714 | 1.0035563 | 6.0E-5 | 0.07174956 | 0.15193594 | 0.15200378 | 1.0004466 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.239713E-4 | 2.9055026E-4 | 3.0054737E-4 | 1.0344075 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3119735E-4 | 0.0012446274 | 0.0012845775 | 1.0320982 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0064481674 | 0.015049482 | 0.015108579 | 1.0039269 | 6.0E-5 | 0.06264243 | 0.13838051 | 0.13844943 | 1.0004982 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0180238E-4 | 2.6255674E-4 | 2.7255414E-4 | 1.038077 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3622297E-4 | 0.0011247622 | 0.0011547285 | 1.0266423 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005298089 | 0.013608998 | 0.013658317 | 1.0036241 | 5.0E-5 | 0.05173543 | 0.12496473 | 0.12502597 | 1.0004902 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.6619996E-5 | 2.2400476E-4 | 2.3400252E-4 | 1.044632 | 1.0E-5 | 3.283301E-4 | 9.596704E-4 | 9.896416E-4 | 1.0312307 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0039900932 | 0.011622103 | 0.011671522 | 1.0042522 | 5.0E-5 | 0.039192066 | 0.10726982 | 0.107323386 | 1.0004994 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.5127435E-5 | 2.2083633E-4 | 2.3083412E-4 | 1.0452724 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2193496E-4 | 9.461013E-4 | 9.760729E-4 | 1.031679 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0039125155 | 0.011458648 | 0.011508075 | 1.0043135 | 5.0E-5 | 0.038443442 | 0.10583378 | 0.10588743 | 1.0005069 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.788582E-5 | 2.0211334E-4 | 2.1211132E-4 | 1.0494672 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9090676E-4 | 8.6591556E-4 | 8.9588953E-4 | 1.0346154 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0035360386 | 0.0104922 | 0.010541675 | 1.0047154 | 5.0E-5 | 0.034803 | 0.097503684 | 0.097557835 | 1.0005554 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.399602E-5 | 1.8842232E-4 | 1.9842043E-4 | 1.0530623 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7423984E-4 | 8.0727716E-4 | 8.3725294E-4 | 1.0371319 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0033337586 | 0.009784897 | 0.009834407 | 1.00506 | 5.0E-5 | 0.03284188 | 0.091397986 | 0.0914525 | 1.0005965 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.506759E-5 | 1.2530042E-4 | 1.2530042E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9313251E-4 | 5.3689216E-4 | 5.568814E-4 | 1.0372314 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023488526 | 0.006517245 | 0.0065470496 | 1.0045732 | 3.0E-5 | 0.023241805 | 0.062364522 | 0.062392652 | 1.0004511 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.43289E-5 | 9.336103E-5 | 9.336103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4711556E-4 | 4.0005764E-4 | 4.2004965E-4 | 1.0499728 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017896603 | 0.004859886 | 0.004879789 | 1.0040953 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01775316 | 0.047057066 | 0.047076125 | 1.0004051 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.5980507E-5 | 7.053672E-5 | 7.053672E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1134028E-4 | 3.0226534E-4 | 3.222593E-4 | 1.0661471 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001354725 | 0.0036738948 | 0.0036938214 | 1.0054238 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013464959 | 0.03584298 | 0.035862263 | 1.000538 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7292105E-5 | 4.9412036E-5 | 4.9412036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4106916E-5 | 2.1174872E-4 | 2.217466E-4 | 1.0472158 | 1.0E-5 | 9.018782E-4 | 0.0025749984 | 0.0025849727 | 1.0038735 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008982267 | 0.025292097 | 0.025301844 | 1.0003854 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.2927471E-5 | 3.9697254E-5 | 3.9697254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5402274E-5 | 1.7012001E-4 | 1.8011831E-4 | 1.0587721 | 1.0E-5 | 6.743139E-4 | 0.0020692463 | 0.0020792256 | 1.0048227 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0067227143 | 0.020433145 | 0.02044294 | 1.0004795 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.0200774E-5 | 2.8748475E-5 | 2.8748475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.371687E-5 | 1.2320194E-4 | 1.3320071E-4 | 1.0811576 | 1.0E-5 | 5.321229E-4 | 0.0014989526 | 0.0015089376 | 1.0066613 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005308505 | 0.014992895 | 0.015002744 | 1.000657 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 8.650396E-6 | 2.3279512E-5 | 2.3279512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.70726E-5 | 9.976552E-5 | 1.0976452E-4 | 1.100225 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5126543E-4 | 0.0012139693 | 0.0012239572 | 1.0082275 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045035016 | 0.012212164 | 0.012222041 | 1.0008088 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.9368224E-6 | 7.3283345E-6 | 7.3283345E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6871985E-5 | 3.1406773E-5 | 3.1406773E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0539707E-4 | 3.8231048E-4 | 3.8231048E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020520731 | 0.0040015313 | 0.0040015313 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.7101195E-6 | 2.2178374E-6 | 2.2178374E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.329063E-6 | 9.504983E-6 | 9.504983E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.922769E-5 | 1.15717055E-4 | 1.15717055E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9191867E-4 | 0.00126669 | 0.00126669 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 3.0346666E-8 | 1.721086E-8 | 1.721086E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3005713E-7 | 7.376083E-8 | 7.376083E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834444E-6 | 8.98038E-7 | 8.98038E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834332E-5 | 9.36379E-6 | 9.36379E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.40909E-5 | 5.409018E-5 | 2.2452536 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.032432E-4 | 1.332401E-4 | 1.2905461 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012563618 | 0.0013162864 | 1.047697 | 6.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012502613 | 0.012581613 | 1.0063187 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.40909E-5 | 5.409018E-5 | 2.2452536 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.032432E-4 | 1.332401E-4 | 1.2905461 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012563618 | 0.0013162864 | 1.047697 | 6.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012502613 | 0.012581613 | 1.0063187 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.40909E-5 | 5.409018E-5 | 2.2452536 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.032432E-4 | 1.332401E-4 | 1.2905461 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012563618 | 0.0013162864 | 1.047697 | 6.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012502613 | 0.012581613 | 1.0063187 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.3638054E-5 | 3.363778E-5 | 2.4664648 | 2.0E-5 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.8447586E-5 | 7.8446414E-5 | 1.3421669 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010690069 | 7.1138324E-4 | 7.4136193E-4 | 1.0421413 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01063879 | 0.0070926864 | 0.007132403 | 1.0055996 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.3638054E-5 | 3.363778E-5 | 2.4664648 | 2.0E-5 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.8447586E-5 | 7.8446414E-5 | 1.3421669 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010690069 | 7.1138324E-4 | 7.4136193E-4 | 1.0421413 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01063879 | 0.0070926864 | 0.007132403 | 1.0055996 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7316182E-5 | 1.04769715E-5 | 3.0476762E-5 | 2.9089286 | 2.0E-5 | 7.42101E-5 | 4.490059E-5 | 6.4899694E-5 | 1.4454085 | 2.0E-5 | 9.0313336E-4 | 5.465376E-4 | 5.7652115E-4 | 1.0548611 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008994718 | 0.00545293 | 0.005492712 | 1.0072955 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5251077E-5 | 8.414133E-6 | 2.8413964E-5 | 3.376933 | 2.0E-5 | 6.536012E-5 | 3.606011E-5 | 5.605939E-5 | 1.5546094 | 2.0E-5 | 7.9546886E-4 | 4.3895066E-4 | 4.6893748E-4 | 1.0683148 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007926274 | 0.0043815537 | 0.0044213785 | 1.0090892 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2997425E-5 | 6.4112146E-6 | 1.641115E-5 | 2.5597568 | 1.0E-5 | 5.570206E-5 | 2.7476372E-5 | 3.7476097E-5 | 1.363939 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7796157E-4 | 3.3447813E-4 | 3.4447477E-4 | 1.0298873 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0067589693 | 0.003340207 | 0.0033601404 | 1.0059676 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.035386E-5 | 4.333145E-6 | 1.4333102E-5 | 3.3077824 | 1.0E-5 | 4.437293E-5 | 1.8570496E-5 | 2.857031E-5 | 1.5384786 | 1.0E-5 | 5.401065E-4 | 2.260732E-4 | 2.3607093E-4 | 1.0442234 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053879567 | 0.002258519 | 0.0022784737 | 1.0088353 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.816252E-6 | 3.5805879E-6 | 1.3580552E-5 | 3.7928274 | 1.0E-5 | 3.778339E-5 | 1.534529E-5 | 2.5345136E-5 | 1.6516558 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5991567E-4 | 1.8681347E-4 | 1.9681161E-4 | 1.0535194 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00458965 | 0.0018666228 | 0.0018865855 | 1.0106945 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.8232207E-6 | 2.5674399E-6 | 2.5674399E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9242048E-5 | 1.100327E-5 | 1.100327E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5596377E-4 | 1.3395688E-4 | 1.3395688E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035539411 | 0.0013387925 | 0.0013487791 | 1.0074594 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.837013E-6 | 2.2273143E-6 | 2.2273143E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.501553E-5 | 9.5456E-6 | 9.5456E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.045215E-4 | 1.1621177E-4 | 1.1621177E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030410455 | 0.001161539 | 0.0011715274 | 1.0085993 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.278052E-6 | 1.6275065E-6 | 1.6275065E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.833438E-5 | 6.975011E-6 | 6.975011E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.231982E-4 | 8.491768E-5 | 8.491768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022297418 | 8.4887556E-4 | 8.588671E-4 | 1.0117702 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.8803692E-6 | 8.344788E-7 | 8.344788E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0587E-6 | 3.5763337E-6 | 3.5763337E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.811026E-5 | 4.354114E-5 | 4.354114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.806695E-4 | 4.3534054E-4 | 4.453362E-4 | 1.0229605 | 1.0E-5 |
Green Valley 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.9629346E-5 | 1.7302863E-4 | 2.130217E-4 | 1.2311356 | 4.0E-5 | 4.2691303E-4 | 7.41326E-4 | 7.8129634E-4 | 1.0539174 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0051852856 | 0.00898692 | 0.00904638 | 1.0066164 | 6.0E-5 | 0.050659515 | 0.08553951 | 0.08561267 | 1.0008552 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.88615E-5 | 1.7150163E-4 | 2.1149477E-4 | 1.233194 | 4.0E-5 | 4.2362334E-4 | 7.347854E-4 | 7.74756E-4 | 1.0543977 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0051454236 | 0.008907947 | 0.008967413 | 1.0066756 | 6.0E-5 | 0.050279044 | 0.08482712 | 0.08490033 | 1.0008631 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.696895E-5 | 1.6789208E-4 | 2.0788537E-4 | 1.2382083 | 4.0E-5 | 4.15515E-4 | 7.1932544E-4 | 7.592967E-4 | 1.0555676 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0050471667 | 0.00872133 | 0.008780806 | 1.0068197 | 6.0E-5 | 0.04934063 | 0.08313578 | 0.083209135 | 1.0008823 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.275224E-5 | 1.5968543E-4 | 1.9967904E-4 | 1.2504525 | 4.0E-5 | 3.9744904E-4 | 6.841728E-4 | 7.2414544E-4 | 1.0584247 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0048282105 | 0.008296652 | 0.008356154 | 1.0071719 | 6.0E-5 | 0.047246475 | 0.07927481 | 0.07934847 | 1.0009291 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.391499E-5 | 1.4365884E-4 | 1.8365309E-4 | 1.2783974 | 4.0E-5 | 3.595861E-4 | 6.155238E-4 | 6.5549917E-4 | 1.0649453 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004369175 | 0.007467181 | 0.0075168074 | 1.0066459 | 5.0E-5 | 0.04284265 | 0.07164672 | 0.071711704 | 1.0009071 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.9519385E-5 | 9.932622E-5 | 1.2932325E-4 | 1.302005 | 3.0E-5 | 2.5505814E-4 | 4.2560388E-4 | 4.555911E-4 | 1.070458 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0031009112 | 0.005168341 | 0.005208134 | 1.0076994 | 4.0E-5 | 0.030579966 | 0.05014692 | 0.050194412 | 1.0009471 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.5361558E-5 | 7.4019794E-5 | 1.0401758E-4 | 1.405267 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9439218E-4 | 3.1717744E-4 | 3.4716792E-4 | 1.0945543 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0023641558 | 0.0038538678 | 0.0038937137 | 1.0103391 | 4.0E-5 | 0.023391623 | 0.03766727 | 0.037715387 | 1.0012774 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.8808106E-5 | 6.264382E-5 | 9.264194E-5 | 1.478868 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6630985E-4 | 2.6843755E-4 | 2.984295E-4 | 1.1117278 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020229418 | 0.0032627317 | 0.0033026012 | 1.0122197 | 4.0E-5 | 0.020046256 | 0.032007415 | 0.032046136 | 1.0012097 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.2284667E-5 | 3.128574E-5 | 4.1285428E-5 | 1.3196244 | 1.0E-5 | 9.550222E-5 | 1.3407487E-4 | 1.4407352E-4 | 1.0745752 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011621192 | 0.0016311383 | 0.0016511056 | 1.0122414 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011560607 | 0.01616672 | 0.016186398 | 1.0012171 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.8050168E-5 | 2.4448536E-5 | 3.444829E-5 | 1.4090124 | 1.0E-5 | 7.735557E-5 | 1.0477527E-4 | 1.14774215E-4 | 1.0954324 | 1.0E-5 | 9.4139716E-4 | 0.0012748954 | 0.0012948699 | 1.0156676 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009374191 | 0.012669067 | 0.012688814 | 1.0015587 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.4763166E-5 | 1.9583236E-5 | 2.9583041E-5 | 1.5106308 | 1.0E-5 | 6.326917E-5 | 8.3925464E-5 | 9.3924624E-5 | 1.1191434 | 1.0E-5 | 7.7002996E-4 | 0.001021315 | 0.0010412947 | 1.0195626 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007673672 | 0.01016625 | 0.010186047 | 1.0019473 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2399713E-5 | 1.6304042E-5 | 2.6303878E-5 | 1.6133349 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3140546E-5 | 6.987261E-5 | 7.9871905E-5 | 1.1431077 | 1.0E-5 | 6.467941E-4 | 8.5036893E-4 | 8.703519E-4 | 1.0234993 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006449148 | 0.008471781 | 0.008491611 | 1.0023408 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0584195E-5 | 1.39220465E-5 | 2.3921908E-5 | 1.7182752 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5360044E-5 | 5.966456E-5 | 6.966396E-5 | 1.1675937 | 1.0E-5 | 5.521186E-4 | 7.2617555E-4 | 7.3616824E-4 | 1.0137608 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0055074887 | 0.0072386027 | 0.00724853 | 1.0013715 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.998173E-6 | 1.0544255E-5 | 2.054415E-5 | 1.9483738 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4277433E-5 | 4.5188888E-5 | 5.5188437E-5 | 1.2212833 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1724785E-4 | 5.500369E-4 | 5.600314E-4 | 1.0181706 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004164653 | 0.005487135 | 0.0054970803 | 1.0018125 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.7571127E-6 | 8.932903E-6 | 1.8932813E-5 | 2.119447 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8958733E-5 | 3.8283313E-5 | 4.828293E-5 | 1.2612004 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5251552E-4 | 4.660006E-4 | 4.7599594E-4 | 1.0214492 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0035195686 | 0.004650633 | 0.0046605864 | 1.0021403 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.69878E-6 | 7.516483E-6 | 1.7516408E-5 | 2.3303995 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4423114E-5 | 3.2213105E-5 | 4.2212785E-5 | 1.3104227 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9731085E-4 | 3.9212484E-4 | 4.0212093E-4 | 1.0254921 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002969134 | 0.0039147018 | 0.0039246622 | 1.0025445 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.503664E-6 | 5.9358217E-6 | 5.9358217E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9301275E-5 | 2.5438992E-5 | 2.5438992E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3496768E-4 | 3.0967654E-4 | 3.0967654E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002347194 | 0.0030927279 | 0.0030927279 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.0873546E-6 | 1.410754E-6 | 1.410754E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6600826E-6 | 6.0460743E-6 | 6.0460743E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6735033E-5 | 7.36085E-5 | 7.36085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.672055E-4 | 7.3587085E-4 | 7.3587085E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.9373917E-8 | 6.177967E-8 | 6.177967E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1160248E-7 | 2.6477002E-7 | 2.6477002E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5762572E-6 | 3.2235714E-6 | 3.2235714E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5762274E-5 | 3.2228E-5 | 3.2228E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Cayetano
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169216E-5 | 2.8169034E-5 | 1.5503715 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786576E-5 | 9.7864206E-5 | 1.2568322 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760704E-4 | 9.775786E-4 | 1.0316287 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.00943675 | 0.00950609 | 1.0073478 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169216E-5 | 2.8169034E-5 | 1.5503715 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786576E-5 | 9.7864206E-5 | 1.2568322 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760704E-4 | 9.775786E-4 | 1.0316287 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.00943675 | 0.00950609 | 1.0073478 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169216E-5 | 2.8169034E-5 | 1.5503715 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786576E-5 | 9.7864206E-5 | 1.2568322 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760704E-4 | 9.775786E-4 | 1.0316287 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.00943675 | 0.00950609 | 1.0073478 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169216E-5 | 2.8169034E-5 | 1.5503715 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786576E-5 | 9.7864206E-5 | 1.2568322 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760704E-4 | 9.775786E-4 | 1.0316287 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.00943675 | 0.00950609 | 1.0073478 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169216E-5 | 2.8169034E-5 | 1.5503715 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786576E-5 | 9.7864206E-5 | 1.2568322 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760704E-4 | 9.775786E-4 | 1.0316287 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.00943675 | 0.00950609 | 1.0073478 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169216E-5 | 2.8169034E-5 | 1.5503715 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786576E-5 | 9.7864206E-5 | 1.2568322 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760704E-4 | 9.775786E-4 | 1.0316287 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.00943675 | 0.00950609 | 1.0073478 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169216E-5 | 2.8169034E-5 | 1.5503715 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786576E-5 | 9.7864206E-5 | 1.2568322 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760704E-4 | 9.775786E-4 | 1.0316287 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.00943675 | 0.00950609 | 1.0073478 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169216E-5 | 2.8169034E-5 | 1.5503715 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786576E-5 | 9.7864206E-5 | 1.2568322 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760704E-4 | 9.775786E-4 | 1.0316287 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.00943675 | 0.00950609 | 1.0073478 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.3241924E-5 | 1.7936945E-5 | 2.7936767E-5 | 1.5574985 | 1.0E-5 | 9.960445E-5 | 7.687038E-5 | 9.686885E-5 | 1.2601582 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012120095 | 9.354987E-4 | 9.654706E-4 | 1.0320385 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012054204 | 0.0093166195 | 0.009385967 | 1.0074434 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2761007E-5 | 1.7432383E-5 | 2.743221E-5 | 1.573635 | 1.0E-5 | 9.7543525E-5 | 7.47081E-5 | 9.47066E-5 | 1.2676886 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011869454 | 9.09195E-4 | 9.391677E-4 | 1.0329663 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011806256 | 0.009055741 | 0.009125107 | 1.0076599 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.240283E-5 | 1.7066137E-5 | 2.7065966E-5 | 1.5859457 | 1.0E-5 | 9.600859E-5 | 7.313856E-5 | 9.3137096E-5 | 1.2734336 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011682777 | 8.9010154E-4 | 9.200749E-4 | 1.033674 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011621549 | 0.008866336 | 0.008935716 | 1.007825 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.1871154E-5 | 1.658602E-5 | 2.6585854E-5 | 1.6029074 | 1.0E-5 | 9.373015E-5 | 7.108103E-5 | 9.10796E-5 | 1.2813491 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011405671 | 8.6507126E-4 | 8.950453E-4 | 1.0346493 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011347309 | 0.008617996 | 0.008687393 | 1.0080526 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0714133E-5 | 1.5564563E-5 | 2.5564406E-5 | 1.6424751 | 1.0E-5 | 8.8771834E-5 | 6.670358E-5 | 7.670291E-5 | 1.149907 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010802611 | 8.118168E-4 | 8.318005E-4 | 1.0246161 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010750249 | 0.008089443 | 0.008148957 | 1.0073571 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.8408395E-5 | 1.3996829E-5 | 2.3996688E-5 | 1.7144376 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8890735E-5 | 5.9985046E-5 | 6.9984446E-5 | 1.1666982 | 1.0E-5 | 9.600714E-4 | 7.300762E-4 | 7.500616E-4 | 1.0273744 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009559342 | 0.0072776447 | 0.007337208 | 1.0081844 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.6856795E-5 | 1.285006E-5 | 2.284993E-5 | 1.7781966 | 1.0E-5 | 7.2241404E-5 | 5.5070537E-5 | 6.506999E-5 | 1.1815753 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7918417E-4 | 6.7028037E-4 | 6.9026696E-4 | 1.0298183 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00875714 | 0.0066834087 | 0.006743008 | 1.0089175 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2822778E-5 | 9.577415E-6 | 1.957732E-5 | 2.0441132 | 1.0E-5 | 5.495361E-5 | 4.1045427E-5 | 5.1045015E-5 | 1.2436225 | 1.0E-5 | 6.688548E-4 | 4.9961504E-4 | 5.1960506E-4 | 1.0400108 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006668452 | 0.0049851923 | 0.005034943 | 1.0099797 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.6272684E-6 | 3.854899E-6 | 3.854899E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4116642E-5 | 1.6520893E-5 | 1.6520893E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9358055E-4 | 2.0112342E-4 | 2.111214E-4 | 1.0497108 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029319301 | 0.0020094248 | 0.0020194047 | 1.0049665 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.5261346E-6 | 2.3407094E-6 | 2.3407094E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5111918E-5 | 1.0031574E-5 | 1.0031574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8397206E-4 | 1.2212765E-4 | 1.3212643E-4 | 1.0818715 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018381984 | 0.0012206127 | 0.0012306004 | 1.0081826 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.4826929E-6 | 1.0564395E-6 | 1.0564395E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.354383E-6 | 4.52759E-6 | 4.52759E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.736187E-5 | 5.5122033E-5 | 5.5122033E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.733494E-4 | 5.510856E-4 | 5.510856E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.7568166E-7 | 1.6977887E-7 | 1.6977887E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1814923E-6 | 7.276235E-7 | 7.276235E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4384574E-5 | 8.85878E-6 | 8.85878E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4383643E-4 | 8.858431E-5 | 8.858431E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.407832E-8 | 2.688677E-8 | 2.688677E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3176422E-7 | 1.15229014E-7 | 1.15229014E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8217257E-6 | 1.4029123E-6 | 1.4029123E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8216898E-5 | 1.40290385E-5 | 1.40290385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Imperial
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7496446E-4 | 5.055345E-4 | 5.155295E-4 | 1.0197711 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011778869 | 0.002164817 | 0.0022047304 | 1.0184373 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0142467655 | 0.026048409 | 0.026106847 | 1.0022434 | 6.0E-5 | 0.13367249 | 0.22807029 | 0.22813204 | 1.0002707 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.5356023E-4 | 4.8657708E-4 | 4.9657223E-4 | 1.0205418 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001086234 | 0.002083702 | 0.0021236187 | 1.0191566 | 4.0E-5 | 0.013144928 | 0.02507094 | 0.025129434 | 1.0023332 | 6.0E-5 | 0.123940155 | 0.21949561 | 0.21955806 | 1.0002844 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.4820742E-4 | 4.775311E-4 | 4.8752633E-4 | 1.020931 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010633124 | 0.0020449946 | 0.0020849127 | 1.0195199 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01286919 | 0.024610676 | 0.024669198 | 1.002378 | 6.0E-5 | 0.12148927 | 0.21600136 | 0.2160641 | 1.0002904 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3205351E-4 | 4.5892023E-4 | 4.6891565E-4 | 1.0217803 | 1.0E-5 | 9.94136E-4 | 0.0019653554 | 0.0020052767 | 1.0203125 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012036599 | 0.023661187 | 0.023719767 | 1.0024759 | 6.0E-5 | 0.11405133 | 0.20793827 | 0.20800163 | 1.0003047 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0304754E-4 | 3.9878016E-4 | 4.0877616E-4 | 1.0250665 | 1.0E-5 | 8.6991355E-4 | 0.0017079529 | 0.0017478847 | 1.0233798 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010539869 | 0.020595418 | 0.020654183 | 1.0028533 | 6.0E-5 | 0.100537635 | 0.18507113 | 0.18513632 | 1.0003523 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.854992E-4 | 3.6990462E-4 | 3.7990094E-4 | 1.027024 | 1.0E-5 | 7.9475436E-4 | 0.0015843548 | 0.0016242914 | 1.0252069 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009633281 | 0.01911443 | 0.019173281 | 1.0030789 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0922623 | 0.1733039 | 0.17337003 | 1.0003816 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.6586106E-4 | 3.4036173E-4 | 3.5035834E-4 | 1.0293705 | 1.0E-5 | 7.106394E-4 | 0.0014578878 | 0.0014978296 | 1.0273969 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008617763 | 0.017607626 | 0.017666569 | 1.0033476 | 6.0E-5 | 0.08291132 | 0.16078055 | 0.16084768 | 1.0004176 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4224656E-4 | 3.076812E-4 | 3.1767812E-4 | 1.0324912 | 1.0E-5 | 6.094856E-4 | 0.0013179756 | 0.0013579228 | 1.0303096 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0073952693 | 0.015928522 | 0.015987566 | 1.0037068 | 6.0E-5 | 0.07153955 | 0.14648798 | 0.14655626 | 1.0004661 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2317259E-4 | 2.779231E-4 | 2.8792032E-4 | 1.0359712 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2777573E-4 | 0.0011905615 | 0.0012305138 | 1.0335577 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0064067547 | 0.014400131 | 0.014459267 | 1.0041066 | 6.0E-5 | 0.06225166 | 0.13294089 | 0.13301025 | 1.0005218 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.859898E-5 | 2.5015484E-4 | 2.6015233E-4 | 1.0399653 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2249862E-4 | 0.0010716559 | 0.0011016238 | 1.0279641 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0051317946 | 0.012970319 | 0.01301967 | 1.0038049 | 5.0E-5 | 0.05014893 | 0.119408876 | 0.119470514 | 1.0005162 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.3191884E-5 | 2.1267848E-4 | 2.2267636E-4 | 1.0470093 | 1.0E-5 | 3.136418E-4 | 9.11164E-4 | 9.411367E-4 | 1.032895 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003811904 | 0.011037681 | 0.011087129 | 1.0044799 | 5.0E-5 | 0.037471764 | 0.10206756 | 0.102121435 | 1.0005279 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1760296E-5 | 2.0969207E-4 | 2.1968997E-4 | 1.047679 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0750787E-4 | 8.9837395E-4 | 9.28347E-4 | 1.0333637 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003737482 | 0.010883528 | 0.010932984 | 1.0045441 | 5.0E-5 | 0.03675245 | 0.10070406 | 0.100758016 | 1.0005358 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.46614E-5 | 1.9137723E-4 | 2.0137531E-4 | 1.0522429 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7709085E-4 | 8.199333E-4 | 8.4990874E-4 | 1.0365584 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0033683628 | 0.009937617 | 0.0099871205 | 1.0049814 | 5.0E-5 | 0.033177625 | 0.092511006 | 0.092565455 | 1.0005885 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.088115E-5 | 1.780939E-4 | 1.8809212E-4 | 1.0561402 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6089314E-4 | 7.6303916E-4 | 7.930163E-4 | 1.0392865 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0031717476 | 0.009251006 | 0.009300543 | 1.0053548 | 5.0E-5 | 0.031268585 | 0.08656135 | 0.08661616 | 1.0006331 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.199346E-5 | 1.1511097E-4 | 1.1511097E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7995955E-4 | 4.932403E-4 | 5.1323045E-4 | 1.0405282 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021888057 | 0.005988835 | 0.0060186554 | 1.0049794 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02167372 | 0.05744024 | 0.057468515 | 1.0004923 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.130448E-5 | 8.333871E-5 | 8.333871E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3415517E-4 | 3.5711733E-4 | 3.7711018E-4 | 1.055984 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016321153 | 0.0043392954 | 0.0043592085 | 1.0045891 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016201803 | 0.042133506 | 0.04215266 | 1.0004547 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.3074248E-5 | 6.0849357E-5 | 6.0849357E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.888588E-5 | 2.6075702E-4 | 2.8075182E-4 | 1.0766797 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012032706 | 0.0031701182 | 0.003190055 | 1.0062889 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011967761 | 0.03102816 | 0.03104754 | 1.0006245 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.45864815E-5 | 4.0128452E-5 | 4.0128452E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2511994E-5 | 1.7196777E-4 | 1.8196605E-4 | 1.0581404 | 1.0E-5 | 7.608177E-4 | 0.0020917025 | 0.0021016817 | 1.0047708 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007582182 | 0.02062909 | 0.020638883 | 1.0004748 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.0352979E-5 | 3.096395E-5 | 3.096395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4369157E-5 | 1.326959E-4 | 1.4269458E-4 | 1.0753503 | 1.0E-5 | 5.400606E-4 | 0.0016143778 | 0.0016243616 | 1.0061843 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053875 | 0.016017893 | 0.016027732 | 1.0006143 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 8.137906E-6 | 2.2151205E-5 | 2.2151205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4876273E-5 | 9.493029E-5 | 1.0492934E-4 | 1.1053305 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2453592E-4 | 0.0011551644 | 0.0011651529 | 1.0086467 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004237258 | 0.011618842 | 0.0116287265 | 1.0008507 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 6.93792E-6 | 1.8010365E-5 | 1.8010365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9733603E-5 | 7.7185E-5 | 8.718423E-5 | 1.1295488 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6194647E-4 | 9.3932304E-4 | 9.4931363E-4 | 1.010636 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036135751 | 0.009502415 | 0.00951232 | 1.0010424 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.4286315E-6 | 6.380179E-6 | 6.380179E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4694053E-5 | 2.734334E-5 | 2.734334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7888541E-4 | 3.3285443E-4 | 3.3285443E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017874148 | 0.0034863674 | 0.0034863674 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.4906886E-6 | 1.936633E-6 | 1.936633E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3886496E-6 | 8.2998295E-6 | 8.2998295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7779034E-5 | 1.0104576E-4 | 1.0104576E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.775182E-4 | 0.0011075423 | 0.0011075423 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.5758007E-8 | 1.4495866E-8 | 1.4495866E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10391454E-7 | 6.212514E-8 | 6.212514E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3440151E-6 | 7.563736E-7 | 7.563736E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.344007E-5 | 7.884359E-6 | 7.884359E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.660123E-6 | 5.665979E-5 | 8.5073185 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8543072E-5 | 7.854164E-5 | 2.7516885 | 5.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4745657E-4 | 4.1743225E-4 | 1.2013941 | 7.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035491167 | 0.0036288328 | 1.0224608 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.660123E-6 | 5.665979E-5 | 8.5073185 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8543072E-5 | 7.854164E-5 | 2.7516885 | 5.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4745657E-4 | 4.1743225E-4 | 1.2013941 | 7.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035491167 | 0.0036288328 | 1.0224608 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.660123E-6 | 5.665979E-5 | 8.5073185 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8543072E-5 | 7.854164E-5 | 2.7516885 | 5.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4745657E-4 | 4.1743225E-4 | 1.2013941 | 7.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035491167 | 0.0036288328 | 1.0224608 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.660123E-6 | 5.665979E-5 | 8.5073185 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8543072E-5 | 7.854164E-5 | 2.7516885 | 5.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4745657E-4 | 4.1743225E-4 | 1.2013941 | 7.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035491167 | 0.0036288328 | 1.0224608 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.660123E-6 | 5.665979E-5 | 8.5073185 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8543072E-5 | 7.854164E-5 | 2.7516885 | 5.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4745657E-4 | 4.1743225E-4 | 1.2013941 | 7.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035491167 | 0.0036288328 | 1.0224608 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.6561875E-6 | 6.620341E-6 | 5.662001E-5 | 8.552431 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8526205E-5 | 2.8372582E-5 | 7.8371166E-5 | 2.7622147 | 5.0E-5 | 3.472512E-4 | 3.453815E-4 | 4.1535732E-4 | 1.2026044 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0034670907 | 0.0035284322 | 0.00360815 | 1.0225929 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.6561875E-6 | 6.620341E-6 | 5.662001E-5 | 8.552431 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8526205E-5 | 2.8372582E-5 | 7.8371166E-5 | 2.7622147 | 5.0E-5 | 3.472512E-4 | 3.453815E-4 | 4.1535732E-4 | 1.2026044 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0034670907 | 0.0035284322 | 0.00360815 | 1.0225929 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.5802237E-6 | 6.539518E-6 | 5.653919E-5 | 8.645774 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8200653E-5 | 2.8026205E-5 | 7.80248E-5 | 2.7839947 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4328885E-4 | 3.4116567E-4 | 4.111418E-4 | 1.2051089 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0034275902 | 0.0034864065 | 0.0035661277 | 1.0228662 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.575632E-6 | 6.5340073E-6 | 5.653368E-5 | 8.652222 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8180975E-5 | 2.8002589E-5 | 7.800119E-5 | 2.7854993 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4304935E-4 | 3.4087826E-4 | 4.1085438E-4 | 1.2052819 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0034252026 | 0.0034835413 | 0.0035632628 | 1.0228851 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.570433E-6 | 6.525401E-6 | 5.6525074E-5 | 8.662313 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8158694E-5 | 2.7965707E-5 | 7.796431E-5 | 2.787854 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4277816E-4 | 3.4042934E-4 | 4.104055E-4 | 1.2055527 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0034224992 | 0.0034790665 | 0.0035587882 | 1.0229146 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.5643826E-6 | 6.5155223E-6 | 5.6515197E-5 | 8.673932 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8132765E-5 | 2.7923368E-5 | 7.792197E-5 | 2.790565 | 5.0E-5 | 3.424626E-4 | 3.3991406E-4 | 4.0989026E-4 | 1.2058644 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0034193532 | 0.0034739296 | 0.0035536517 | 1.0229486 | 8.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.557402E-6 | 6.504234E-6 | 5.6503908E-5 | 8.68725 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8102848E-5 | 2.7874992E-5 | 7.78736E-5 | 2.7936726 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4209844E-4 | 3.3932526E-4 | 4.093015E-4 | 1.2062217 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0034157229 | 0.0034680606 | 0.0035477832 | 1.0229876 | 8.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.546394E-6 | 6.4862006E-6 | 5.6485875E-5 | 8.708623 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8055672E-5 | 2.7797707E-5 | 7.7796314E-5 | 2.7986596 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4152428E-4 | 3.383846E-4 | 4.083609E-4 | 1.2067952 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0034099987 | 0.0034586883 | 0.0035384116 | 1.0230502 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.5364216E-6 | 6.4669857E-6 | 5.6466662E-5 | 8.731527 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8012933E-5 | 2.771536E-5 | 7.771397E-5 | 2.804004 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4100408E-4 | 3.373823E-4 | 4.073587E-4 | 1.2074097 | 7.0E-5 | 0.003404813 | 0.0034487103 | 0.0035284343 | 1.0231171 | 8.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.5269523E-6 | 6.4480723E-6 | 5.644775E-5 | 8.754206 | 5.0E-5 | 2.7972354E-5 | 2.7634303E-5 | 7.763292E-5 | 2.8092954 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4051016E-4 | 3.3639578E-4 | 4.0637222E-4 | 1.2080182 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0033998888 | 0.0034388923 | 0.003518617 | 1.0231833 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.5111835E-6 | 6.424346E-6 | 5.6424025E-5 | 8.782844 | 5.0E-5 | 2.7904773E-5 | 2.753262E-5 | 7.7531244E-5 | 2.8159776 | 5.0E-5 | 3.3968766E-4 | 3.3515817E-4 | 4.0513472E-4 | 1.2087866 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0033916887 | 0.0034265644 | 0.0035062903 | 1.023267 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.4768806E-6 | 6.383454E-6 | 5.6383135E-5 | 8.8327 | 5.0E-5 | 2.7757764E-5 | 2.7357375E-5 | 7.735601E-5 | 2.8276107 | 5.0E-5 | 3.3789838E-4 | 3.330252E-4 | 4.030019E-4 | 1.2101243 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0033738504 | 0.0034052972 | 0.0034850247 | 1.0234128 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.1655364E-6 | 6.1759456E-6 | 5.6175635E-5 | 9.095877 | 5.0E-5 | 2.642346E-5 | 2.646807E-5 | 7.646675E-5 | 2.8890185 | 5.0E-5 | 3.2165812E-4 | 3.2220117E-4 | 3.921786E-4 | 1.2171856 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0032119295 | 0.0032969362 | 0.0033766725 | 1.024185 | 8.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.5043524E-6 | 5.7370175E-6 | 5.573673E-5 | 9.71528 | 5.0E-5 | 2.3589868E-5 | 2.4586987E-5 | 7.4585754E-5 | 3.033546 | 5.0E-5 | 2.871688E-4 | 2.993055E-4 | 3.6928456E-4 | 1.2338047 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0028679797 | 0.0030670585 | 0.0031468133 | 1.0260036 | 8.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.889249E-6 | 4.0766436E-6 | 4.407648E-5 | 10.811954 | 4.0E-5 | 1.6668104E-5 | 1.7471213E-5 | 5.7470515E-5 | 3.2894404 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0291525E-4 | 2.126913E-4 | 2.7267853E-4 | 1.2820389 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0020273007 | 0.0021941073 | 0.0022639537 | 1.0318336 | 7.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.668535E-6 | 2.5313454E-6 | 3.253127E-5 | 12.851376 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1436528E-5 | 1.0848577E-5 | 4.0848252E-5 | 3.7653093 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3923083E-4 | 1.3207346E-4 | 1.8206685E-4 | 1.3785272 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0013914363 | 0.0013755665 | 0.0014354839 | 1.0435584 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.5911459E-6 | 1.2185134E-6 | 1.2185134E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8191785E-6 | 5.2221894E-6 | 5.2221894E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3020335E-5 | 6.357832E-5 | 7.357769E-5 | 1.1572763 | 1.0E-5 | 8.298933E-4 | 6.6911156E-4 | 6.8909815E-4 | 1.0298704 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 6.1294963E-7 | 2.1802066E-7 | 2.1802066E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6269242E-6 | 9.3437393E-7 | 9.3437393E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1982334E-5 | 1.1375943E-5 | 1.1375943E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1977732E-4 | 1.2778955E-4 | 1.2778955E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.762871E-7 | 4.7516316E-8 | 4.7516316E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5551594E-7 | 2.0364133E-7 | 2.0364133E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1983675E-6 | 2.4793305E-6 | 2.4793305E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.197987E-5 | 2.8671833E-5 | 2.8671833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Cruz Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1599742E-5 | 6.1598796E-5 | 1.9493448 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3542121E-4 | 1.754158E-4 | 1.2953347 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016476426 | 0.0016975602 | 1.0302964 | 5.0E-5 | 0.015102667 | 0.016368 | 0.016436854 | 1.0042067 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1599742E-5 | 6.1598796E-5 | 1.9493448 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3542121E-4 | 1.754158E-4 | 1.2953347 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016476426 | 0.0016975602 | 1.0302964 | 5.0E-5 | 0.015102667 | 0.016368 | 0.016436854 | 1.0042067 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1599742E-5 | 6.1598796E-5 | 1.9493448 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3542121E-4 | 1.754158E-4 | 1.2953347 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016476426 | 0.0016975602 | 1.0302964 | 5.0E-5 | 0.015102667 | 0.016368 | 0.016436854 | 1.0042067 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.780436E-5 | 2.780418E-5 | 1.5616502 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.630227E-5 | 9.630074E-5 | 1.2620955 | 2.0E-5 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.286024E-4 | 9.6856523E-4 | 1.0430355 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008642701 | 0.009249094 | 0.009298631 | 1.005356 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.780436E-5 | 2.780418E-5 | 1.5616502 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.630227E-5 | 9.630074E-5 | 1.2620955 | 2.0E-5 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.286024E-4 | 9.6856523E-4 | 1.0430355 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008642701 | 0.009249094 | 0.009298631 | 1.005356 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2238748E-5 | 1.3042996E-5 | 2.3042865E-5 | 1.766685 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2450723E-5 | 5.5897377E-5 | 7.5896256E-5 | 1.3577785 | 2.0E-5 | 6.3840044E-4 | 6.8034173E-4 | 7.2031457E-4 | 1.058754 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0063656955 | 0.006782988 | 0.0068227164 | 1.0058571 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0489767E-5 | 1.1156636E-5 | 2.1156524E-5 | 1.8963175 | 1.0E-5 | 4.495537E-5 | 4.781329E-5 | 6.781233E-5 | 1.4182737 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4719415E-4 | 5.819736E-4 | 6.2195025E-4 | 1.0686916 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005458487 | 0.005804736 | 0.0058445036 | 1.006851 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.699222E-6 | 9.236783E-6 | 1.923669E-5 | 2.082618 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7281847E-5 | 3.958561E-5 | 5.958482E-5 | 1.5052141 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5381195E-4 | 4.818488E-4 | 5.1183434E-4 | 1.0622302 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0045288634 | 0.004808108 | 0.0048379637 | 1.0062095 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.307732E-6 | 8.8169045E-6 | 1.8816816E-5 | 2.1341748 | 1.0E-5 | 3.560408E-5 | 3.7786187E-5 | 5.7785433E-5 | 1.5292739 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3339343E-4 | 4.5995016E-4 | 4.899364E-4 | 1.0651945 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004325492 | 0.0045900354 | 0.004619898 | 1.0065058 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.073121E-6 | 8.564939E-6 | 1.8564853E-5 | 2.1675406 | 1.0E-5 | 3.459863E-5 | 3.670637E-5 | 5.6705634E-5 | 1.5448446 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2115687E-4 | 4.4680882E-4 | 4.767954E-4 | 1.0671128 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004203596 | 0.004459156 | 0.0044890223 | 1.0066978 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.617019E-6 | 8.074665E-6 | 1.8074585E-5 | 2.2384315 | 1.0E-5 | 3.264396E-5 | 3.4605247E-5 | 5.4604556E-5 | 1.577927 | 2.0E-5 | 3.9736772E-4 | 4.2123784E-4 | 4.512252E-4 | 1.0711887 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003966579 | 0.0042044413 | 0.0042343154 | 1.0071054 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1224836E-6 | 7.5457883E-6 | 1.7545713E-5 | 2.3252325 | 1.0E-5 | 3.052457E-5 | 3.2338692E-5 | 5.2338048E-5 | 1.6184342 | 2.0E-5 | 3.715733E-4 | 3.9365282E-4 | 4.1364494E-4 | 1.0507861 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003709526 | 0.0039295983 | 0.0039495192 | 1.0050696 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.441115E-6 | 6.8273835E-6 | 1.6827315E-5 | 2.46468 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7604487E-5 | 2.9259889E-5 | 4.9259303E-5 | 1.6835096 | 2.0E-5 | 3.360328E-4 | 3.5618115E-4 | 3.7617402E-4 | 1.0561312 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033552512 | 0.0035561312 | 0.00357606 | 1.0056041 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.494274E-6 | 5.8199944E-6 | 1.5819936E-5 | 2.7182047 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3546674E-5 | 2.4942596E-5 | 4.49421E-5 | 1.8018211 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8664304E-4 | 3.03634E-4 | 3.2362793E-4 | 1.0658488 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002862736 | 0.0030322145 | 0.0030521539 | 1.0065758 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.0802624E-6 | 4.3122564E-6 | 4.3122564E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7486722E-5 | 1.8480969E-5 | 2.8480783E-5 | 1.5410872 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1288003E-4 | 2.2498264E-4 | 2.3498038E-4 | 1.0444379 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021267622 | 0.0022475577 | 0.0022575352 | 1.0044392 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.3584746E-6 | 2.4753099E-6 | 2.4753099E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0107709E-5 | 1.0608428E-5 | 2.0608322E-5 | 1.9426367 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2305441E-4 | 1.2915001E-4 | 1.3914872E-4 | 1.0774194 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012298629 | 0.0012907545 | 0.0013007416 | 1.0077374 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 9.4981914E-7 | 9.860934E-7 | 9.860934E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0706473E-6 | 4.2261076E-6 | 4.2261076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9559E-5 | 5.1451658E-5 | 5.1451658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.954795E-4 | 5.1439874E-4 | 5.1439874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.6013532E-7 | 2.6416632E-7 | 2.6416632E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1148652E-6 | 1.1321408E-6 | 1.1321408E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3573399E-5 | 1.3783729E-5 | 1.3783729E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.357257E-4 | 1.378288E-4 | 1.378288E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.1522263E-8 | 3.965698E-8 | 3.965698E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7795254E-7 | 1.6995848E-7 | 1.6995848E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.16657E-6 | 2.0692428E-6 | 2.0692428E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1665488E-5 | 2.0692256E-5 | 2.0692256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.7242046E-10 | 5.9475225E-10 | 5.9475225E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3103735E-9 | 2.5489382E-9 | 2.5489382E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0303796E-8 | 3.1033323E-8 | 3.1033323E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.030379E-7 | 3.103332E-7 | 3.103332E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elysian Park (Upper)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7035275E-5 | 5.7034536E-5 | 1.5400057 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5871569E-4 | 2.0870776E-4 | 1.3149787 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0016618895 | 0.001931122 | 0.001991006 | 1.03101 | 6.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.019189863 | 0.019258518 | 1.0035777 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7035275E-5 | 5.7034536E-5 | 1.5400057 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5871569E-4 | 2.0870776E-4 | 1.3149787 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0016618895 | 0.001931122 | 0.001991006 | 1.03101 | 6.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.019189863 | 0.019258518 | 1.0035777 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7035275E-5 | 5.7034536E-5 | 1.5400057 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5871569E-4 | 2.0870776E-4 | 1.3149787 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0016618895 | 0.001931122 | 0.001991006 | 1.03101 | 6.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.019189863 | 0.019258518 | 1.0035777 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7035275E-5 | 5.7034536E-5 | 1.5400057 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5871569E-4 | 2.0870776E-4 | 1.3149787 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0016618895 | 0.001931122 | 0.001991006 | 1.03101 | 6.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.019189863 | 0.019258518 | 1.0035777 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.120244E-5 | 3.1202228E-5 | 1.4716338 | 1.0E-5 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.086542E-5 | 1.3086178E-4 | 1.4401715 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011058967 | 0.0011558414 | 1.0451622 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010006315 | 0.011020744 | 0.011070193 | 1.0044869 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.120244E-5 | 3.1202228E-5 | 1.4716338 | 1.0E-5 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.086542E-5 | 1.3086178E-4 | 1.4401715 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011058967 | 0.0011558414 | 1.0451622 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010006315 | 0.011020744 | 0.011070193 | 1.0044869 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.813258E-6 | 9.665589E-6 | 1.9665491E-5 | 2.034588 | 1.0E-5 | 4.205614E-5 | 4.1423333E-5 | 6.142251E-5 | 1.4827996 | 2.0E-5 | 5.119132E-4 | 5.042196E-4 | 5.342045E-4 | 1.0594679 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005107356 | 0.0050314795 | 0.0050613284 | 1.0059325 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.801478E-6 | 9.653158E-6 | 1.9653062E-5 | 2.0359204 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2005657E-5 | 4.137006E-5 | 6.136923E-5 | 1.4834214 | 2.0E-5 | 5.112989E-4 | 5.0357135E-4 | 5.335562E-4 | 1.0595444 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0051012407 | 0.005025026 | 0.0050548753 | 1.0059401 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.102489E-6 | 7.772994E-6 | 1.7772916E-5 | 2.2864957 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4724493E-5 | 3.3312434E-5 | 5.3311767E-5 | 1.6003565 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2268867E-4 | 4.0550836E-4 | 4.3549621E-4 | 1.0739512 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004218856 | 0.0040481784 | 0.0040780567 | 1.0073807 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.08275E-6 | 5.481441E-6 | 1.5481386E-5 | 2.8243277 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6068668E-5 | 2.3491682E-5 | 4.3491214E-5 | 1.8513452 | 2.0E-5 | 3.173398E-4 | 2.8597447E-4 | 3.1596588E-4 | 1.1048745 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0031688702 | 0.0028561424 | 0.0028860567 | 1.0104737 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.5995934E-6 | 4.9827686E-6 | 1.4982719E-5 | 3.0069063 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3998036E-5 | 2.1354552E-5 | 4.1354124E-5 | 1.9365485 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9213692E-4 | 2.5996132E-4 | 2.8995352E-4 | 1.1153718 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0029175316 | 0.0025966396 | 0.0026265616 | 1.0115234 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.709881E-6 | 4.0873906E-6 | 1.408735E-5 | 3.4465387 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0185047E-5 | 1.7517272E-5 | 3.7516922E-5 | 2.1417103 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4572524E-4 | 2.1325232E-4 | 2.3324807E-4 | 1.0937656 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002454537 | 0.0021305184 | 0.0021504757 | 1.0093673 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.6063436E-6 | 2.9779412E-6 | 1.2977912E-5 | 4.3580146 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5455667E-5 | 1.27625435E-5 | 2.2762415E-5 | 1.7835329 | 1.0E-5 | 1.881565E-4 | 1.55373E-4 | 1.6537144E-4 | 1.0643512 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018799726 | 0.0015526549 | 0.0015626394 | 1.0064306 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.471135E-6 | 2.0954562E-6 | 1.20954355E-5 | 5.77222 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0590536E-5 | 8.980496E-6 | 1.8980407E-5 | 2.1135142 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2893214E-4 | 1.0933213E-4 | 1.1933104E-4 | 1.0914544 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012885736 | 0.0010927906 | 0.0011027798 | 1.0091408 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.163943E-6 | 1.0275061E-6 | 1.0275061E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.988318E-6 | 4.40359E-6 | 4.40359E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0731076E-5 | 5.361242E-5 | 5.361242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.071448E-4 | 5.3599785E-4 | 5.3599785E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.99459E-7 | 4.917601E-7 | 4.917601E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.140537E-6 | 2.1075416E-6 | 2.1075416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6060725E-5 | 2.5659032E-5 | 2.5659032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.605767E-4 | 2.5656226E-4 | 2.5656226E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.4667852E-7 | 2.4778313E-7 | 2.4778313E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0571932E-6 | 1.0619274E-6 | 1.0619274E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2871251E-5 | 1.2928893E-5 | 1.2928893E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2870505E-4 | 1.2928178E-4 | 1.2928178E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.2312795E-8 | 7.3864214E-8 | 7.3864214E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.527691E-7 | 3.165609E-7 | 3.165609E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.294955E-6 | 3.854123E-6 | 3.854123E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2948723E-5 | 3.854068E-5 | 3.854068E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7819295E-8 | 1.7565618E-8 | 1.7565618E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1922555E-7 | 7.528122E-8 | 7.528122E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45157E-6 | 9.1654863E-7 | 9.1654863E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45156055E-5 | 9.165463E-6 | 9.165463E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough north alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.329252E-5 | 8.821269E-5 | 1.18210046E-4 | 1.3400571 | 3.0E-5 | 3.14073E-4 | 3.7800326E-4 | 4.0799193E-4 | 1.0793344 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0038171355 | 0.0045930487 | 0.004642819 | 1.010836 | 5.0E-5 | 0.03752231 | 0.045045137 | 0.045111984 | 1.001484 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.7940346E-5 | 4.4884906E-5 | 6.488401E-5 | 1.445564 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6259136E-4 | 1.9235026E-4 | 2.1234641E-4 | 1.1039569 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019777524 | 0.002339431 | 0.0023693608 | 1.0127937 | 3.0E-5 | 0.019602431 | 0.023156732 | 0.023195807 | 1.0016874 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.329672E-5 | 4.329639E-5 | 1.3003199 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4269259E-4 | 1.5269115E-4 | 1.0700707 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014935739 | 0.0017359206 | 0.0017558859 | 1.0115013 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0148357535 | 0.017226268 | 0.01725575 | 1.0017115 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.329672E-5 | 4.329639E-5 | 1.3003199 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4269259E-4 | 1.5269115E-4 | 1.0700707 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014935739 | 0.0017359206 | 0.0017558859 | 1.0115013 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0148357535 | 0.017226268 | 0.01725575 | 1.0017115 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.2204576E-5 | 2.544832E-5 | 3.5448065E-5 | 1.3929433 | 1.0E-5 | 9.5159E-5 | 1.0905972E-4 | 1.1905863E-4 | 1.0916829 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001157945 | 0.0013270028 | 0.0013469763 | 1.0150516 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011519298 | 0.013191959 | 0.013221563 | 1.0022441 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.1004838E-5 | 2.4024695E-5 | 3.4024455E-5 | 1.4162284 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0017624E-5 | 1.0295897E-4 | 1.1295794E-4 | 1.0971161 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010954136 | 0.0012528135 | 0.0012727884 | 1.0159441 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010900296 | 0.012458592 | 0.012478342 | 1.0015854 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.820557E-5 | 2.070479E-5 | 3.070458E-5 | 1.48297 | 1.0E-5 | 7.802154E-5 | 8.8731824E-5 | 9.873094E-5 | 1.1126891 | 1.0E-5 | 9.4949827E-4 | 0.0010797799 | 0.0010997584 | 1.0185022 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009454516 | 0.010746005 | 0.010765791 | 1.0018412 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.5884485E-5 | 1.7983646E-5 | 1.7983646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.807459E-5 | 7.707051E-5 | 7.707051E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.284929E-4 | 9.3793223E-4 | 9.479229E-4 | 1.0106517 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008254109 | 0.009340104 | 0.00935001 | 1.0010606 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.4331171E-5 | 1.6201066E-5 | 1.6201066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.141786E-5 | 6.94313E-5 | 6.94313E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4750587E-4 | 8.450002E-4 | 8.450002E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074499645 | 0.008418139 | 0.008418139 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.2574203E-5 | 1.4205835E-5 | 1.4205835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3888325E-5 | 6.0880735E-5 | 6.0880735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.558929E-4 | 7.409723E-4 | 7.409723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065396037 | 0.007385203 | 0.007385203 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0883844E-5 | 1.2289262E-5 | 1.2289262E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.664421E-5 | 5.2667205E-5 | 5.2667205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.677453E-4 | 6.4103556E-4 | 6.4103556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00566297 | 0.006391993 | 0.006391993 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.393088E-6 | 1.060702E-5 | 1.060702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.025547E-5 | 4.545787E-5 | 4.545787E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.900001E-4 | 5.533098E-4 | 5.533098E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048892107 | 0.005519418 | 0.005519418 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.190791E-6 | 9.258625E-6 | 9.258625E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.510292E-5 | 3.9679224E-5 | 3.9679224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2729423E-4 | 4.8298817E-4 | 4.8298817E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042647356 | 0.004819465 | 0.004819465 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.268162E-6 | 7.089716E-6 | 7.089716E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6863276E-5 | 3.0384144E-5 | 3.0384144E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2701128E-4 | 3.6986457E-4 | 3.6986457E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003265305 | 0.003692536 | 0.003692536 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.985186E-6 | 5.6426816E-6 | 5.6426816E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1364907E-5 | 2.4182698E-5 | 2.4182698E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600867E-4 | 2.9438498E-4 | 2.9438498E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002597825 | 0.0029399914 | 0.0029399914 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.969678E-6 | 1.969678E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.4414505E-6 | 8.4414505E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 1.02770035E-4 | 1.02770035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1216754E-4 | 0.0010272472 | 0.0010272472 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7533823E-7 | 1.7533823E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.5144936E-7 | 7.5144936E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.14886E-6 | 9.14886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.1485024E-5 | 9.1485024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Borrego)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.543992E-5 | 2.7925962E-5 | 3.792568E-5 | 1.3580797 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5187653E-4 | 1.1967727E-4 | 1.3967488E-4 | 1.1670961 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018475284 | 0.0014561092 | 0.001496051 | 1.0274304 | 4.0E-5 | 0.018322436 | 0.01486815 | 0.01493711 | 1.0046381 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.542281E-5 | 2.7925962E-5 | 3.792568E-5 | 1.3580797 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5180321E-4 | 1.1967727E-4 | 1.3967488E-4 | 1.1670961 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018466372 | 0.0014561092 | 0.001496051 | 1.0274304 | 4.0E-5 | 0.018313672 | 0.01486815 | 0.01493711 | 1.0046381 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.4688688E-5 | 2.7925962E-5 | 3.792568E-5 | 1.3580797 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4865733E-4 | 1.1967727E-4 | 1.3967488E-4 | 1.1670961 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018084005 | 0.0014561091 | 0.0014960509 | 1.0274304 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017937548 | 0.01486815 | 0.014937109 | 1.0046381 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2087122E-5 | 2.7771312E-5 | 3.7771035E-5 | 1.3600738 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3750899E-4 | 1.1901455E-4 | 1.3901216E-4 | 1.1680267 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016728862 | 0.0014480512 | 0.0014879933 | 1.0275834 | 4.0E-5 | 0.016603488 | 0.014789308 | 0.014858273 | 1.0046631 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.1828724E-5 | 2.773829E-5 | 3.7738013E-5 | 1.3605025 | 1.0E-5 | 1.364017E-4 | 1.1887303E-4 | 1.3887066E-4 | 1.1682267 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016594254 | 0.0014463306 | 0.0014862727 | 1.0276161 | 4.0E-5 | 0.016470885 | 0.014772502 | 0.014841467 | 1.0046686 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.1563577E-5 | 2.7477974E-5 | 3.7477697E-5 | 1.3639178 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3526545E-4 | 1.17757496E-4 | 1.3775514E-4 | 1.1698205 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016456128 | 0.0014327668 | 0.0014727095 | 1.027878 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0163348 | 0.01463991 | 0.014708885 | 1.0047115 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1467625E-5 | 2.7322194E-5 | 3.7321923E-5 | 1.3659928 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3485427E-4 | 1.17089934E-4 | 1.3708758E-4 | 1.1707889 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016406142 | 0.0014246498 | 0.0014645929 | 1.0280371 | 4.0E-5 | 0.016285548 | 0.014560228 | 0.0146292085 | 1.0047376 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.1223695E-5 | 2.6940217E-5 | 3.693995E-5 | 1.3711822 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3380898E-4 | 1.1545303E-4 | 1.3545073E-4 | 1.1732106 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016279068 | 0.0014047464 | 0.0014446903 | 1.0284349 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01616033 | 0.01436451 | 0.014433504 | 1.0048032 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.1015585E-5 | 2.6761221E-5 | 3.6760954E-5 | 1.373665 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3291716E-4 | 1.1468597E-4 | 1.3468368E-4 | 1.1743692 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001617065 | 0.0013954195 | 0.0014353637 | 1.0286252 | 4.0E-5 | 0.016053487 | 0.014271772 | 0.014340772 | 1.0048348 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.6641965E-5 | 2.2183434E-5 | 3.2183212E-5 | 1.4507768 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1417485E-4 | 9.506842E-5 | 1.1506652E-4 | 1.2103548 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013891924 | 0.0011568473 | 0.0011968011 | 1.0345367 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0138054015 | 0.011882191 | 0.011951359 | 1.0058212 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.3854353E-5 | 2.047825E-5 | 3.0478046E-5 | 1.488313 | 1.0E-5 | 1.02228936E-4 | 8.776099E-5 | 1.0775924E-4 | 1.2278717 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012439266 | 0.0010679689 | 0.0011079261 | 1.0374143 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012369866 | 0.0109826205 | 0.011051851 | 1.0063037 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.3672901E-5 | 2.0314741E-5 | 3.0314537E-5 | 1.4922434 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0145135E-4 | 8.706028E-5 | 1.0705854E-4 | 1.2297059 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012344702 | 0.0010594461 | 0.0010994037 | 1.0377156 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0122763505 | 0.010897858 | 0.010967095 | 1.0063533 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.2717244E-5 | 1.9542116E-5 | 2.9541921E-5 | 1.5117053 | 1.0E-5 | 9.735599E-5 | 8.3749255E-5 | 1.03747574E-4 | 1.2387881 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011846646 | 0.0010191725 | 0.0010591317 | 1.0392076 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01178369 | 0.010495322 | 0.010554692 | 1.0056568 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.1016205E-5 | 1.8383771E-5 | 2.8383587E-5 | 1.543948 | 1.0E-5 | 9.006634E-5 | 7.878522E-5 | 9.878365E-5 | 1.2538347 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001096006 | 9.5879E-4 | 9.987517E-4 | 1.0416793 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010906163 | 0.009890901 | 0.009950307 | 1.0060062 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0683625E-5 | 1.8186302E-5 | 2.818612E-5 | 1.5498544 | 1.0E-5 | 8.86411E-5 | 7.7938974E-5 | 9.7937416E-5 | 1.256591 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001078671 | 9.48496E-4 | 9.88458E-4 | 1.042132 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010734501 | 0.0097876275 | 0.00984704 | 1.0060701 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.9993966E-5 | 1.7781347E-5 | 2.7781169E-5 | 1.5623771 | 1.0E-5 | 8.568561E-5 | 7.6203556E-5 | 9.6202035E-5 | 1.262435 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001042723 | 9.2738547E-4 | 9.6734834E-4 | 1.043092 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010378438 | 0.009574548 | 0.009633974 | 1.0062066 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.788966E-5 | 1.6434618E-5 | 2.6434454E-5 | 1.6084617 | 1.0E-5 | 7.666772E-5 | 7.043219E-5 | 9.0430774E-5 | 1.283941 | 2.0E-5 | 9.3302975E-4 | 8.5717626E-4 | 8.97142E-4 | 1.0466249 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00929122 | 0.008866415 | 0.008925883 | 1.0067071 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.5125781E-5 | 1.4236738E-5 | 2.4236595E-5 | 1.7023981 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4823165E-5 | 6.101317E-5 | 8.1011945E-5 | 1.3277781 | 2.0E-5 | 7.889362E-4 | 7.4258295E-4 | 7.825533E-4 | 1.0538261 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007861412 | 0.007714161 | 0.0077736983 | 1.0077178 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.250089E-5 | 1.262994E-5 | 2.2629814E-5 | 1.7917594 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3574146E-5 | 5.4127195E-5 | 7.412611E-5 | 1.36948 | 2.0E-5 | 6.5207E-4 | 6.588E-4 | 6.9877366E-4 | 1.0606765 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006501599 | 0.006867759 | 0.006927347 | 1.0086765 | 6.0E-5 |
7.9 | 9.561E-6 | 9.754065E-6 | 1.9753967E-5 | 2.0252037 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0975072E-5 | 4.180247E-5 | 6.1801635E-5 | 1.4784206 | 2.0E-5 | 4.987573E-4 | 5.0882675E-4 | 5.488064E-4 | 1.0785723 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0049763937 | 0.0053523607 | 0.0054120393 | 1.01115 | 6.0E-5 |
8.0 | 8.01699E-6 | 8.292994E-6 | 1.829291E-5 | 2.2058272 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4358076E-5 | 3.554092E-5 | 5.554021E-5 | 1.5627116 | 2.0E-5 | 4.1822926E-4 | 4.3262533E-4 | 4.7260802E-4 | 1.0924188 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0041744304 | 0.0045733186 | 0.0046330444 | 1.0130596 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 6.541947E-6 | 6.461784E-6 | 1.646172E-5 | 2.5475502 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8036617E-5 | 2.7693068E-5 | 4.7692516E-5 | 1.7221824 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4129233E-4 | 3.3711144E-4 | 3.6710134E-4 | 1.0889614 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034076865 | 0.0035805756 | 0.0036204322 | 1.0111314 | 4.0E-5 |
8.2 | 1.7968189E-6 | 7.9684827E-7 | 7.9684827E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70063E-6 | 3.4150596E-6 | 3.4150596E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3751136E-5 | 4.157758E-5 | 4.157758E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.371159E-4 | 4.7107413E-4 | 4.7107413E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.5167889E-7 | 4.8951257E-8 | 4.8951257E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.500522E-7 | 2.0979108E-7 | 2.0979108E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9143565E-6 | 2.5542038E-6 | 2.5542038E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.914075E-5 | 2.9679897E-5 | 2.9679897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (Lake Isabella) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0016344E-6 | 3.4001514E-5 | 8.496907 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149758E-5 | 4.7149242E-5 | 2.7492657 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878017E-4 | 2.6876765E-4 | 1.2873236 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.002086024 | 0.002155878 | 1.0334866 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0016344E-6 | 3.4001514E-5 | 8.496907 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149758E-5 | 4.7149242E-5 | 2.7492657 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878017E-4 | 2.6876765E-4 | 1.2873236 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.002086024 | 0.002155878 | 1.0334866 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0016344E-6 | 3.4001514E-5 | 8.496907 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149758E-5 | 4.7149242E-5 | 2.7492657 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878017E-4 | 2.6876765E-4 | 1.2873236 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.002086024 | 0.002155878 | 1.0334866 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0016344E-6 | 3.4001514E-5 | 8.496907 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149758E-5 | 4.7149242E-5 | 2.7492657 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878017E-4 | 2.6876765E-4 | 1.2873236 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.002086024 | 0.002155878 | 1.0334866 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0016344E-6 | 3.4001514E-5 | 8.496907 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149758E-5 | 4.7149242E-5 | 2.7492657 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878017E-4 | 2.6876765E-4 | 1.2873236 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.002086024 | 0.002155878 | 1.0334866 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7857532E-6 | 2.5178624E-6 | 3.2517786E-5 | 12.914839 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1938888E-5 | 1.0790796E-5 | 4.0790474E-5 | 3.780117 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4534626E-4 | 1.3137035E-4 | 1.8136378E-4 | 1.3805534 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0014525123 | 0.0013129596 | 0.001362894 | 1.0380319 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2233348E-6 | 1.944119E-6 | 2.194408E-5 | 11.2874155 | 2.0E-5 | 9.528543E-6 | 8.331913E-6 | 2.8331746E-5 | 3.4003892 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1600384E-4 | 1.014364E-4 | 1.3143336E-4 | 1.2957218 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001159433 | 0.0010139096 | 0.0010438792 | 1.0295584 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.1635126E-6 | 1.8834991E-6 | 2.1883461E-5 | 11.618515 | 2.0E-5 | 9.272164E-6 | 8.072114E-6 | 2.8071952E-5 | 3.4776456 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1288274E-4 | 9.827364E-5 | 1.282707E-4 | 1.30524 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011282542 | 9.8231E-4 | 0.0010122805 | 1.0305103 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.8685711E-6 | 1.583138E-6 | 2.1583106E-5 | 13.633118 | 2.0E-5 | 8.008137E-6 | 6.7848596E-6 | 2.6784724E-5 | 3.9477196 | 2.0E-5 | 9.74947E-5 | 8.2602586E-5 | 1.1260011E-4 | 1.3631548 | 3.0E-5 | 9.745194E-4 | 8.2572375E-4 | 8.5569895E-4 | 1.0363017 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5815071E-6 | 1.3064887E-6 | 2.1306463E-5 | 16.308187 | 2.0E-5 | 6.77787E-6 | 5.5992255E-6 | 2.5599113E-5 | 4.5719028 | 2.0E-5 | 8.251744E-5 | 6.816846E-5 | 9.816642E-5 | 1.4400562 | 3.0E-5 | 8.248681E-4 | 6.8147824E-4 | 7.114578E-4 | 1.0439919 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3772564E-6 | 1.1210681E-6 | 2.1121046E-5 | 18.840109 | 2.0E-5 | 5.9025137E-6 | 4.8045686E-6 | 2.4804473E-5 | 5.1626844 | 2.0E-5 | 7.186073E-5 | 5.8494075E-5 | 8.849232E-5 | 1.5128424 | 3.0E-5 | 7.18375E-4 | 5.8478885E-4 | 6.1477127E-4 | 1.0512706 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0916998E-6 | 8.7637505E-7 | 1.0876366E-5 | 12.41063 | 1.0E-5 | 4.678705E-6 | 3.7558877E-6 | 1.375585E-5 | 3.6624763 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6961744E-5 | 4.5726985E-5 | 6.5726075E-5 | 1.4373585 | 2.0E-5 | 5.6947145E-4 | 4.571771E-4 | 4.7716798E-4 | 1.0437267 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.6277024E-7 | 5.901439E-7 | 5.901439E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2690114E-6 | 2.5291856E-6 | 2.5291856E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9799485E-5 | 3.0792406E-5 | 4.07921E-5 | 1.3247454 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9792358E-4 | 3.07882E-4 | 3.1787893E-4 | 1.03247 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.3265916E-7 | 4.3824264E-7 | 4.3824264E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.282823E-6 | 1.8781814E-6 | 1.8781814E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7793016E-5 | 2.2866623E-5 | 3.2866392E-5 | 1.4373087 | 1.0E-5 | 2.778954E-4 | 2.2864307E-4 | 2.3864079E-4 | 1.0437263 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.4946007E-7 | 3.0065647E-7 | 3.0065647E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.497685E-6 | 1.2885271E-6 | 1.2885271E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8234163E-5 | 1.5687707E-5 | 2.568755E-5 | 1.6374319 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8232666E-4 | 1.5686621E-4 | 1.6686464E-4 | 1.0637386 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.8317026E-7 | 1.4244755E-7 | 1.4244755E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.850152E-7 | 6.1048934E-7 | 6.1048934E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.557518E-6 | 7.432683E-6 | 7.432683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5571064E-5 | 7.432442E-5 | 7.432442E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.735264E-8 | 1.735264E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.436845E-8 | 7.436845E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.0543557E-7 | 9.0543557E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.054324E-6 | 9.054324E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Oceanic - West Huasna
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.195567E-5 | 2.7926368E-5 | 5.792553E-5 | 2.0742235 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3694567E-4 | 1.19679185E-4 | 1.596744E-4 | 1.3341869 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016660384 | 0.0014561634 | 0.0015160759 | 1.0411441 | 6.0E-5 | 0.016536033 | 0.01447077 | 0.014539758 | 1.0047673 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1156782E-5 | 1.7573117E-5 | 3.7572765E-5 | 2.138082 | 2.0E-5 | 9.066878E-5 | 7.531123E-5 | 1.0530898E-4 | 1.398317 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011033333 | 9.1653795E-4 | 9.565013E-4 | 1.0436025 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010978713 | 0.009128587 | 0.009178131 | 1.0054272 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6195117E-5 | 1.3327227E-5 | 2.3327093E-5 | 1.7503337 | 1.0E-5 | 6.9405796E-5 | 5.7115452E-5 | 7.711431E-5 | 1.350148 | 2.0E-5 | 8.44688E-4 | 6.9516135E-4 | 7.151475E-4 | 1.0287503 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008414844 | 0.0069301617 | 0.006959954 | 1.0042989 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3559345E-5 | 1.1179013E-5 | 2.1178901E-5 | 1.8945234 | 1.0E-5 | 5.811018E-5 | 4.7909183E-5 | 6.790822E-5 | 1.4174365 | 2.0E-5 | 7.072618E-4 | 5.8313913E-4 | 6.0312747E-4 | 1.0342771 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0070501505 | 0.005816208 | 0.0058460333 | 1.005128 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2120619E-5 | 1.0000874E-5 | 2.0000774E-5 | 1.9999026 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1944477E-5 | 4.2860185E-5 | 6.2859326E-5 | 1.4666135 | 2.0E-5 | 6.322405E-4 | 5.216983E-4 | 5.416879E-4 | 1.0383164 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006304447 | 0.005204804 | 0.0052346475 | 1.0057338 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.13511915E-5 | 9.367378E-6 | 1.9367284E-5 | 2.0675244 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8647056E-5 | 4.0145293E-5 | 6.0144488E-5 | 1.4981704 | 2.0E-5 | 5.9211696E-4 | 4.886598E-4 | 5.0865E-4 | 1.0409082 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0059054173 | 0.0048759114 | 0.004905765 | 1.0061227 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.850605E-6 | 8.1353155E-6 | 1.8135233E-5 | 2.2291987 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2216197E-5 | 3.4865174E-5 | 4.4864824E-5 | 1.2868092 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1386096E-4 | 4.2440102E-4 | 4.343968E-4 | 1.0235527 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051267436 | 0.0042359377 | 0.004255853 | 1.0047015 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.8558645E-6 | 7.318341E-6 | 1.7318267E-5 | 2.36642 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7953152E-5 | 3.1363943E-5 | 4.136363E-5 | 1.3188275 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6198163E-4 | 3.8178926E-4 | 3.9178543E-4 | 1.0261824 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004610224 | 0.0038113592 | 0.003831283 | 1.0052274 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.67136E-6 | 6.39169E-6 | 1.6391627E-5 | 2.5645216 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2876844E-5 | 2.739267E-5 | 3.7392398E-5 | 1.3650512 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0020206E-4 | 3.3345487E-4 | 3.4345154E-4 | 1.0299791 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003994821 | 0.0033295664 | 0.0033494998 | 1.0059868 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.534529E-6 | 5.458261E-6 | 5.458261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8004823E-5 | 2.3392338E-5 | 2.3392338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4090536E-4 | 2.8476462E-4 | 2.8476462E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034038287 | 0.002844014 | 0.0028539856 | 1.0035062 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.460525E-6 | 4.5699203E-6 | 4.5699203E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3402039E-5 | 1.9585226E-5 | 1.9585226E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8488258E-4 | 2.3842414E-4 | 2.3842414E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028451765 | 0.0023816973 | 0.0023816973 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.4825083E-6 | 3.7524153E-6 | 3.7524153E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9210609E-5 | 1.6081682E-5 | 1.6081682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3386406E-4 | 1.9577699E-4 | 1.9577699E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002336181 | 0.001956057 | 0.001956057 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.821708E-6 | 2.424941E-6 | 2.424941E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2092979E-5 | 1.0392562E-5 | 1.0392562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4722206E-4 | 1.265221E-4 | 1.265221E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014712457 | 0.0012645032 | 0.0012645032 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.0644757E-6 | 1.7687502E-6 | 1.7687502E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.847723E-6 | 7.580336E-6 | 7.580336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0771569E-4 | 9.228668E-5 | 9.228668E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001076635 | 9.224854E-4 | 9.224854E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6980367E-6 | 1.4379966E-6 | 1.4379966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.27728E-6 | 6.1628284E-6 | 6.1628284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8597284E-5 | 7.502986E-5 | 7.502986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8561967E-4 | 7.5004686E-4 | 7.5004686E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3637683E-6 | 1.1302697E-6 | 1.1302697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.844708E-6 | 4.844004E-6 | 4.844004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1156996E-5 | 5.897415E-5 | 5.897415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1134215E-4 | 5.8958656E-4 | 5.8958656E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.802994E-7 | 7.6772847E-7 | 7.6772847E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2012766E-6 | 3.2902608E-6 | 3.2902608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1149345E-5 | 4.005819E-5 | 4.005819E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.113757E-4 | 4.0051117E-4 | 4.0051117E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.986191E-7 | 4.0050708E-7 | 4.0050708E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5655079E-6 | 1.7164577E-6 | 1.7164577E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1234613E-5 | 2.0897673E-5 | 2.0897673E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.123022E-4 | 2.0895849E-4 | 2.0895849E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.9189815E-7 | 1.5285202E-7 | 1.5285202E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2509914E-6 | 6.5507993E-7 | 6.5507993E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5230714E-5 | 7.975569E-6 | 7.975569E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.522967E-4 | 7.97542E-5 | 7.97542E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.2057845E-7 | 4.6208047E-8 | 4.6208047E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1676466E-7 | 1.9803447E-7 | 1.9803447E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2915915E-6 | 2.411067E-6 | 2.411067E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2914136E-5 | 2.4111772E-5 | 2.4111772E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.3806387E-9 | 9.0093144E-10 | 9.0093144E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4488451E-8 | 3.8611354E-9 | 3.8611354E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639688E-7 | 4.7009323E-8 | 4.7009323E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639674E-6 | 4.712806E-7 | 4.712806E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Whittier alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7252182E-5 | 6.725124E-5 | 1.4232409 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0249544E-4 | 2.2249139E-4 | 1.0987476 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024629163 | 0.002502818 | 1.0162009 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02196019 | 0.024390263 | 0.0244488 | 1.0024 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7252182E-5 | 6.725124E-5 | 1.4232409 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0249544E-4 | 2.2249139E-4 | 1.0987476 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024629163 | 0.002502818 | 1.0162009 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02196019 | 0.024390263 | 0.0244488 | 1.0024 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7252182E-5 | 6.725124E-5 | 1.4232409 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0249544E-4 | 2.2249139E-4 | 1.0987476 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024629163 | 0.002502818 | 1.0162009 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02196019 | 0.024390263 | 0.0244488 | 1.0024 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9617712E-5 | 1.826841E-5 | 1.826841E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.40732E-5 | 7.829095E-5 | 7.829095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010231105 | 9.527944E-4 | 9.6278486E-4 | 1.0104854 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01018413 | 0.0094904 | 0.009500304 | 1.0010437 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5611336E-5 | 1.3604089E-5 | 1.3604089E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.690401E-5 | 5.8301972E-5 | 5.8301972E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.142519E-4 | 7.096013E-4 | 7.096013E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008112748 | 0.0070753377 | 0.0070753377 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.5150166E-5 | 1.3100744E-5 | 1.3100744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.492767E-5 | 5.614487E-5 | 5.614487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9020765E-4 | 6.8335526E-4 | 6.8335526E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007874036 | 0.006814508 | 0.006814508 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.295588E-5 | 1.0380544E-5 | 1.0380544E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.552402E-5 | 4.44873E-5 | 4.44873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7579525E-4 | 5.415002E-4 | 5.415002E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006737438 | 0.005403343 | 0.005403343 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.2542085E-5 | 9.899189E-6 | 9.899189E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3750682E-5 | 4.2424414E-5 | 4.2424414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.542181E-4 | 5.163967E-4 | 5.163967E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006522954 | 0.005153464 | 0.005153464 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.2195878E-5 | 9.49523E-6 | 9.49523E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2267E-5 | 4.069322E-5 | 4.069322E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.36165E-4 | 4.9532915E-4 | 4.9532915E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063434686 | 0.0049436963 | 0.0049436963 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.1580298E-5 | 8.772739E-6 | 8.772739E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9628903E-5 | 3.759692E-5 | 3.759692E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.040644E-4 | 4.5764804E-4 | 4.5764804E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00602425 | 0.0045684646 | 0.0045684646 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0964795E-5 | 8.083794E-6 | 8.083794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6991136E-5 | 3.4644378E-5 | 3.4644378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7196687E-4 | 4.217152E-4 | 4.217152E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057049696 | 0.004210459 | 0.004210459 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0230601E-5 | 7.32646E-6 | 7.32646E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3844695E-5 | 3.1398744E-5 | 3.1398744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.336784E-4 | 3.8221394E-4 | 3.8221394E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005323986 | 0.0038167592 | 0.0038167592 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.40865E-6 | 6.5430822E-6 | 6.5430822E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.032216E-5 | 2.8041486E-5 | 2.8041486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.908117E-4 | 3.4135283E-4 | 3.4135283E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048972913 | 0.0034094024 | 0.0034094024 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.237384E-6 | 5.5975433E-6 | 5.5975433E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5302593E-5 | 2.3989258E-5 | 2.3989258E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2972428E-4 | 2.920311E-4 | 2.920311E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042889426 | 0.0029167992 | 0.0029167992 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.5316966E-6 | 5.0276153E-6 | 5.0276153E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2278298E-5 | 2.154675E-5 | 2.154675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9291743E-4 | 2.623011E-4 | 2.623011E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039222343 | 0.0026200267 | 0.0026200267 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.149649E-6 | 3.9336355E-6 | 3.9336355E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6355372E-5 | 1.6858336E-5 | 1.6858336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.208294E-4 | 2.052318E-4 | 2.052318E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003203666 | 0.0020505118 | 0.0020505118 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.457711E-6 | 3.3951796E-6 | 3.3951796E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.338998E-5 | 1.4550694E-5 | 1.4550694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8473578E-4 | 1.771411E-4 | 1.771411E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028437122 | 0.0017700798 | 0.0017700798 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.1676276E-6 | 2.3329922E-6 | 2.3329922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7861139E-5 | 9.998504E-6 | 9.998504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1743766E-4 | 1.2172572E-4 | 1.2172572E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021722503 | 0.0012166635 | 0.0012166635 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.384417E-8 | 9.384417E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0218927E-7 | 4.0218927E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.8966467E-6 | 4.8966467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.8965718E-5 | 4.8965718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4397174E-9 | 3.4397174E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4741646E-8 | 1.4741646E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7947953E-7 | 1.7947953E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.794794E-6 | 1.794794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Clark) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1153059E-5 | 4.1152634E-5 | 1.9454697 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.065287E-5 | 1.3064925E-4 | 1.4412036 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011031491 | 0.001153094 | 1.0452747 | 5.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011485709 | 0.011545019 | 1.0051639 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1153059E-5 | 4.1152634E-5 | 1.9454697 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.065287E-5 | 1.3064925E-4 | 1.4412036 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011031491 | 0.001153094 | 1.0452747 | 5.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011485709 | 0.011545019 | 1.0051639 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1153059E-5 | 4.1152634E-5 | 1.9454697 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.065287E-5 | 1.3064925E-4 | 1.4412036 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011031491 | 0.001153094 | 1.0452747 | 5.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011485709 | 0.011545019 | 1.0051639 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1153059E-5 | 4.1152634E-5 | 1.9454697 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.065287E-5 | 1.3064925E-4 | 1.4412036 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011031491 | 0.001153094 | 1.0452747 | 5.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011485709 | 0.011545019 | 1.0051639 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1153059E-5 | 4.1152634E-5 | 1.9454697 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.065287E-5 | 1.3064925E-4 | 1.4412036 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011031491 | 0.001153094 | 1.0452747 | 5.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011485709 | 0.011545019 | 1.0051639 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.7294863E-5 | 1.7354667E-5 | 3.735432E-5 | 2.152408 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5982533E-4 | 7.437504E-5 | 1.1437207E-4 | 1.5377748 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0019441366 | 9.051445E-4 | 9.5509924E-4 | 1.0551898 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01927216 | 0.009485902 | 0.009545334 | 1.0062652 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.7294863E-5 | 1.7354667E-5 | 3.735432E-5 | 2.152408 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5982533E-4 | 7.437504E-5 | 1.1437207E-4 | 1.5377748 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0019441366 | 9.051445E-4 | 9.5509924E-4 | 1.0551898 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01927216 | 0.009485902 | 0.009545334 | 1.0062652 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6039248E-5 | 1.6602684E-5 | 3.6602352E-5 | 2.2046046 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5444479E-4 | 7.115244E-5 | 1.11149595E-4 | 1.5621333 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0018787434 | 8.659408E-4 | 9.158975E-4 | 1.0576906 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01862939 | 0.009088189 | 0.009147644 | 1.006542 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5031844E-5 | 1.6231123E-5 | 3.62308E-5 | 2.2321806 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5012783E-4 | 6.956012E-5 | 1.0955734E-4 | 1.5750021 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0018262739 | 8.4656954E-4 | 8.965272E-4 | 1.0590119 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01811338 | 0.008888788 | 0.008948254 | 1.00669 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.435112E-5 | 1.6061658E-5 | 3.6061338E-5 | 2.2451813 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4721078E-4 | 6.8833884E-5 | 1.0883113E-4 | 1.5810691 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017908178 | 8.377344E-4 | 8.876925E-4 | 1.0596348 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017764548 | 0.008796512 | 0.008855984 | 1.0067608 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8959772E-5 | 1.43355255E-5 | 3.4335237E-5 | 2.3951156 | 2.0E-5 | 1.241074E-4 | 6.1436534E-5 | 1.01434074E-4 | 1.6510384 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0015099603 | 7.477359E-4 | 7.976985E-4 | 1.0668185 | 5.0E-5 | 0.014997416 | 0.007868331 | 0.007927859 | 1.0075655 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.6002877E-5 | 1.2827699E-5 | 3.2827444E-5 | 2.559106 | 2.0E-5 | 1.11436144E-4 | 5.4974706E-5 | 9.497251E-5 | 1.7275673 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013558907 | 6.6911365E-4 | 7.1908016E-4 | 1.0746757 | 5.0E-5 | 0.013476475 | 0.0070483433 | 0.0071079205 | 1.0084527 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.2544838E-5 | 1.1260331E-5 | 3.1260108E-5 | 2.7761266 | 2.0E-5 | 9.661716E-5 | 4.825768E-5 | 8.825575E-5 | 1.8288436 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001175679 | 5.873803E-4 | 6.373509E-4 | 1.0850737 | 5.0E-5 | 0.011694785 | 0.00619256 | 0.0062521882 | 1.009629 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.75334E-5 | 1.0810585E-5 | 3.081037E-5 | 2.8500187 | 2.0E-5 | 7.514098E-5 | 4.6330264E-5 | 8.632841E-5 | 1.8633265 | 4.0E-5 | 9.144575E-4 | 5.6392635E-4 | 6.1389816E-4 | 1.0886141 | 5.0E-5 | 0.009107036 | 0.0059332196 | 0.0059928633 | 1.0100526 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.5924552E-5 | 1.0610475E-5 | 3.0610263E-5 | 2.8849096 | 2.0E-5 | 6.82463E-5 | 4.547268E-5 | 8.547086E-5 | 1.8796091 | 4.0E-5 | 8.305819E-4 | 5.534906E-4 | 6.034629E-4 | 1.0902858 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008274844 | 0.0058205863 | 0.005880237 | 1.0102482 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3428931E-5 | 9.851045E-6 | 2.9850848E-5 | 3.0302215 | 2.0E-5 | 5.7551293E-5 | 4.221809E-5 | 8.22164E-5 | 1.9474212 | 4.0E-5 | 7.004617E-4 | 5.1388505E-4 | 5.638594E-4 | 1.0972481 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006982579 | 0.005406209 | 0.005465884 | 1.0110383 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0688787E-5 | 8.614091E-6 | 2.8613918E-5 | 3.3217573 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5808283E-5 | 3.6917012E-5 | 7.691553E-5 | 2.0834713 | 4.0E-5 | 5.5757316E-4 | 4.4937237E-4 | 4.993499E-4 | 1.1112163 | 5.0E-5 | 0.005561762 | 0.0047413614 | 0.004801077 | 1.0125946 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 8.81236E-6 | 7.4673385E-6 | 2.746719E-5 | 3.6783104 | 2.0E-5 | 3.776671E-5 | 3.200249E-5 | 7.200121E-5 | 2.249863 | 4.0E-5 | 4.597127E-4 | 3.8956082E-4 | 4.2954527E-4 | 1.1026397 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0045876284 | 0.0041344194 | 0.0041842125 | 1.0120436 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 7.780431E-6 | 6.695928E-6 | 2.6695794E-5 | 3.98687 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3344273E-5 | 2.8696519E-5 | 6.869537E-5 | 2.3938572 | 4.0E-5 | 4.0589093E-4 | 3.4932428E-4 | 3.893103E-4 | 1.1144668 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0040515037 | 0.0037226272 | 0.003772441 | 1.0133814 | 5.0E-5 |
7.9 | 6.5437994E-6 | 5.7797783E-6 | 2.5779662E-5 | 4.4603205 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8044553E-5 | 2.4770245E-5 | 6.476925E-5 | 2.6148007 | 4.0E-5 | 3.4138895E-4 | 3.0153614E-4 | 3.415241E-4 | 1.132614 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0034086495 | 0.0032343294 | 0.0032841677 | 1.0154091 | 5.0E-5 |
8.0 | 5.4488164E-6 | 4.812793E-6 | 2.4812696E-5 | 5.155571 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3351862E-5 | 2.0626094E-5 | 6.062527E-5 | 2.9392512 | 4.0E-5 | 2.8427184E-4 | 2.510939E-4 | 2.9108385E-4 | 1.159263 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0028390845 | 0.0027107038 | 0.0027605682 | 1.0183954 | 5.0E-5 |
8.1 | 2.8397242E-6 | 1.3665673E-6 | 1.3665673E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.217019E-5 | 5.856704E-6 | 5.856704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4816198E-4 | 7.1303046E-5 | 7.1303046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014806325 | 8.113543E-4 | 8.113543E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.030244E-6 | 6.3151083E-7 | 6.3151083E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.701017E-6 | 2.7064723E-6 | 2.7064723E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05929736E-4 | 3.2950808E-5 | 3.2950808E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010587925 | 3.9470522E-4 | 3.9470522E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.0659804E-6 | 2.9230563E-7 | 2.9230563E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.568479E-6 | 1.2527379E-6 | 1.2527379E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5619817E-5 | 1.5251981E-5 | 1.5251981E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5605895E-4 | 1.8556409E-4 | 1.8556409E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Raymond
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5810125E-5 | 3.5809808E-5 | 2.264992 | 2.0E-5 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.775606E-5 | 9.775403E-5 | 1.4427348 | 3.0E-5 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.246429E-4 | 8.646099E-4 | 1.0484658 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007877788 | 0.008218355 | 0.008277861 | 1.0072408 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5810125E-5 | 3.5809808E-5 | 2.264992 | 2.0E-5 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.775606E-5 | 9.775403E-5 | 1.4427348 | 3.0E-5 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.246429E-4 | 8.646099E-4 | 1.0484658 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007877788 | 0.008218355 | 0.008277861 | 1.0072408 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5810125E-5 | 3.5809808E-5 | 2.264992 | 2.0E-5 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.775606E-5 | 9.775403E-5 | 1.4427348 | 3.0E-5 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.246429E-4 | 8.646099E-4 | 1.0484658 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007877788 | 0.008218355 | 0.008277861 | 1.0072408 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5810125E-5 | 3.5809808E-5 | 2.264992 | 2.0E-5 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.775606E-5 | 9.775403E-5 | 1.4427348 | 3.0E-5 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.246429E-4 | 8.646099E-4 | 1.0484658 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007877788 | 0.008218355 | 0.008277861 | 1.0072408 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3941944E-5 | 1.4454688E-5 | 3.44544E-5 | 2.383614 | 2.0E-5 | 5.9749822E-5 | 6.194732E-5 | 9.194547E-5 | 1.4842525 | 3.0E-5 | 7.2721124E-4 | 7.53971E-4 | 7.9394085E-4 | 1.0530125 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007248361 | 0.007516471 | 0.0075660953 | 1.006602 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3941944E-5 | 1.4454688E-5 | 3.44544E-5 | 2.383614 | 2.0E-5 | 5.9749822E-5 | 6.194732E-5 | 9.194547E-5 | 1.4842525 | 3.0E-5 | 7.2721124E-4 | 7.53971E-4 | 7.9394085E-4 | 1.0530125 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007248361 | 0.007516471 | 0.0075660953 | 1.006602 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0542609E-5 | 1.067111E-5 | 2.0671003E-5 | 1.9370996 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5181827E-5 | 4.573256E-5 | 6.573164E-5 | 1.4373052 | 2.0E-5 | 5.499499E-4 | 5.566571E-4 | 5.8664044E-4 | 1.0538632 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005485909 | 0.0055531966 | 0.0055929744 | 1.007163 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0542609E-5 | 1.067111E-5 | 2.0671003E-5 | 1.9370996 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5181827E-5 | 4.573256E-5 | 6.573164E-5 | 1.4373052 | 2.0E-5 | 5.499499E-4 | 5.566571E-4 | 5.8664044E-4 | 1.0538632 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005485909 | 0.0055531966 | 0.0055929744 | 1.007163 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0079132E-5 | 1.0176644E-5 | 2.0176542E-5 | 1.9826323 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3195567E-5 | 4.3613487E-5 | 6.361261E-5 | 1.4585538 | 2.0E-5 | 5.257791E-4 | 5.308702E-4 | 5.6085427E-4 | 1.056481 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0052453685 | 0.0052965777 | 0.0053264187 | 1.0056341 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.721598E-6 | 7.548902E-6 | 1.7548826E-5 | 2.324686 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3092143E-5 | 3.2352043E-5 | 5.2351395E-5 | 1.618179 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0282236E-4 | 3.9381615E-4 | 4.2380433E-4 | 1.0761477 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0040209293 | 0.003931324 | 0.003961206 | 1.007601 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.137566E-6 | 6.911303E-6 | 1.6911234E-5 | 2.4468951 | 1.0E-5 | 3.058921E-5 | 2.961954E-5 | 4.9618946E-5 | 1.6752099 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7236E-4 | 3.605593E-4 | 3.905485E-4 | 1.0831741 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0037173668 | 0.003599869 | 0.003629761 | 1.0083036 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.654976E-6 | 5.299538E-6 | 5.299538E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4235387E-5 | 2.2712107E-5 | 3.271188E-5 | 1.4402838 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9502588E-4 | 2.7648505E-4 | 2.8648227E-4 | 1.0361583 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029463451 | 0.0027614492 | 0.0027714216 | 1.0036113 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.9358455E-6 | 4.526655E-6 | 4.526655E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1153453E-5 | 1.9399806E-5 | 1.9399806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5751285E-4 | 2.3616718E-4 | 2.3616718E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025721465 | 0.002359192 | 0.002359192 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.2368597E-6 | 3.8056128E-6 | 3.8056128E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8157843E-5 | 1.6309668E-5 | 1.6309668E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2104931E-4 | 1.9855222E-4 | 1.9855222E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022082955 | 0.0019837746 | 0.0019837746 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.4999923E-6 | 3.0437407E-6 | 3.0437407E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.49998805E-5 | 1.3044538E-5 | 1.3044538E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8260824E-4 | 1.5880575E-4 | 1.5880575E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018245826 | 0.0015869461 | 0.0015869461 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.738017E-6 | 2.3020405E-6 | 2.3020405E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1734306E-5 | 9.865851E-6 | 9.865851E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.428558E-4 | 1.20110184E-4 | 1.20110184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014276401 | 0.0012004747 | 0.0012004747 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.8186392E-6 | 1.442302E-6 | 1.442302E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.794145E-6 | 6.1812802E-6 | 6.1812802E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.488958E-5 | 7.5254524E-5 | 7.5254524E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4849075E-4 | 7.5230957E-4 | 7.5230957E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.0660348E-6 | 7.6437E-7 | 7.6437E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5687125E-6 | 3.2758674E-6 | 3.2758674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5622655E-5 | 3.988297E-5 | 3.988297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5608735E-4 | 3.9877492E-4 | 3.9877492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.913602E-7 | 4.3202903E-7 | 4.3202903E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.962969E-6 | 1.8515517E-6 | 1.8515517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.607355E-5 | 2.2542416E-5 | 2.2542416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6067693E-4 | 2.2541684E-4 | 2.2541684E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.425201E-8 | 5.322267E-8 | 5.322267E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1822285E-7 | 2.2809714E-7 | 2.2809714E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.874356E-6 | 2.7770805E-6 | 2.7770805E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8742884E-5 | 2.7770588E-5 | 2.7770588E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Concord 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.7865112E-5 | 9.7585355E-5 | 1.17583404E-4 | 1.2049288 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4796976E-4 | 4.181607E-4 | 4.3815232E-4 | 1.0478085 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0030148525 | 0.005079743 | 0.00511954 | 1.0078344 | 4.0E-5 | 0.029742775 | 0.049266078 | 0.04932312 | 1.0011579 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.7865112E-5 | 9.7585355E-5 | 1.17583404E-4 | 1.2049288 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4796976E-4 | 4.181607E-4 | 4.3815232E-4 | 1.0478085 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0030148525 | 0.005079743 | 0.00511954 | 1.0078344 | 4.0E-5 | 0.029742775 | 0.049266078 | 0.04932312 | 1.0011579 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.6789337E-5 | 9.578793E-5 | 1.1578601E-4 | 1.2087746 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4336016E-4 | 4.1045985E-4 | 4.3045165E-4 | 1.0487058 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0029588845 | 0.0049864696 | 0.00502627 | 1.0079817 | 4.0E-5 | 0.029197963 | 0.04838257 | 0.048439663 | 1.0011802 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.203322E-5 | 8.803241E-5 | 1.0803065E-4 | 1.227169 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2298045E-4 | 3.772316E-4 | 3.9722404E-4 | 1.0529978 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0027114071 | 0.0045839064 | 0.0046237228 | 1.0086862 | 4.0E-5 | 0.026785625 | 0.04455397 | 0.044611294 | 1.0012866 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.7120942E-5 | 7.897583E-5 | 9.897425E-5 | 1.253222 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0193127E-4 | 3.3842813E-4 | 3.5842136E-4 | 1.0590768 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0024557412 | 0.004113323 | 0.0041431994 | 1.0072634 | 3.0E-5 | 0.024287801 | 0.040080756 | 0.040128753 | 1.0011975 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.9598437E-5 | 4.6675777E-5 | 5.6675308E-5 | 1.2142339 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2684427E-4 | 2.000249E-4 | 2.1002289E-4 | 1.0499837 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001543235 | 0.0024327936 | 0.0024527449 | 1.008201 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015325619 | 0.023909668 | 0.02393895 | 1.0012248 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.0443718E-5 | 2.9984873E-5 | 3.9984574E-5 | 1.3334914 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7613E-5 | 1.2850047E-4 | 1.3849919E-4 | 1.0778108 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010661662 | 0.0015634067 | 0.0015833754 | 1.0127726 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010610655 | 0.0154669015 | 0.015496437 | 1.0019096 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.798539E-5 | 2.5557883E-5 | 3.5557627E-5 | 1.3912587 | 1.0E-5 | 7.7077966E-5 | 1.0952931E-4 | 1.1952822E-4 | 1.0912898 | 1.0E-5 | 9.380202E-4 | 0.0013327252 | 0.0013526984 | 1.0149869 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009340706 | 0.013217516 | 0.013237252 | 1.0014931 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.613555E-5 | 2.1959608E-5 | 3.195939E-5 | 1.4553715 | 1.0E-5 | 6.915052E-5 | 9.4109295E-5 | 1.0410835E-4 | 1.1062495 | 1.0E-5 | 8.4158237E-4 | 0.0011451923 | 0.0011651694 | 1.0174444 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008384023 | 0.011378321 | 0.011398094 | 1.0017377 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2916435E-5 | 1.708134E-5 | 2.7081169E-5 | 1.5854242 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5354973E-5 | 7.320372E-5 | 8.320299E-5 | 1.1365951 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7373837E-4 | 8.908967E-4 | 9.108789E-4 | 1.0224293 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006716994 | 0.008867833 | 0.008887656 | 1.0022353 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.81129E-6 | 1.2631038E-5 | 2.2630911E-5 | 1.7916906 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2047708E-5 | 5.4131906E-5 | 6.413137E-5 | 1.184724 | 1.0E-5 | 5.118106E-4 | 6.588583E-4 | 6.788451E-4 | 1.0303355 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005106334 | 0.0065697595 | 0.0065896283 | 1.0030242 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.0889195E-6 | 1.04184555E-5 | 2.041835E-5 | 1.9598252 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4666336E-5 | 4.4649765E-5 | 5.4649317E-5 | 1.2239554 | 1.0E-5 | 4.219809E-4 | 5.434764E-4 | 5.6346547E-4 | 1.0367801 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004211805 | 0.0054219896 | 0.0054418813 | 1.0036687 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.267438E-6 | 8.115879E-6 | 1.8115798E-5 | 2.2321424 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6860173E-5 | 3.478188E-5 | 4.4781533E-5 | 1.287496 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2697353E-4 | 4.2338783E-4 | 4.333836E-4 | 1.023609 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032649285 | 0.004226169 | 0.004236127 | 1.0023562 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.6761196E-6 | 4.840281E-6 | 1.4840232E-5 | 3.065986 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5754704E-5 | 2.0743897E-5 | 3.074369E-5 | 1.4820595 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9179663E-4 | 2.5252788E-4 | 2.6252537E-4 | 1.0395896 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019163118 | 0.0025226264 | 0.0025326011 | 1.0039542 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.8044356E-6 | 3.7096993E-6 | 1.3709662E-5 | 3.6956263 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2018954E-5 | 1.5898615E-5 | 2.5898456E-5 | 1.6289756 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4632095E-4 | 1.9354856E-4 | 2.0354662E-4 | 1.0516566 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014622464 | 0.0019340349 | 0.0019440155 | 1.0051606 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.4578699E-6 | 3.2448306E-6 | 1.3244798E-5 | 4.0818152 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0533685E-5 | 1.3906343E-5 | 2.3906205E-5 | 1.7190863 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2824008E-4 | 1.6929668E-4 | 1.7929499E-4 | 1.059058 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012816609 | 0.0016918926 | 0.0017018757 | 1.0059005 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.7713267E-6 | 2.335189E-6 | 2.335189E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.591378E-6 | 1.0007916E-5 | 1.0007916E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2421105E-5 | 1.2183965E-4 | 1.2183965E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2382677E-4 | 0.0012178655 | 0.0012178655 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.1912366E-7 | 6.829346E-7 | 6.829346E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2248137E-6 | 2.9268595E-6 | 2.9268595E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.708677E-5 | 3.5633944E-5 | 3.5633944E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.708347E-4 | 3.5630353E-4 | 3.5630353E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.28172705E-5 | 2.2817143E-5 | 1.7801872 | 1.0E-5 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.493013E-5 | 7.492903E-5 | 1.3640789 | 2.0E-5 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.685912E-4 | 7.185578E-4 | 1.0747341 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0051611643 | 0.006670449 | 0.0067300485 | 1.0089349 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.28172705E-5 | 2.2817143E-5 | 1.7801872 | 1.0E-5 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.493013E-5 | 7.492903E-5 | 1.3640789 | 2.0E-5 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.685912E-4 | 7.185578E-4 | 1.0747341 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0051611643 | 0.006670449 | 0.0067300485 | 1.0089349 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.28172705E-5 | 2.2817143E-5 | 1.7801872 | 1.0E-5 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.493013E-5 | 7.492903E-5 | 1.3640789 | 2.0E-5 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.685912E-4 | 7.185578E-4 | 1.0747341 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0051611643 | 0.006670449 | 0.0067300485 | 1.0089349 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.479711E-6 | 8.1132375E-6 | 1.8113156E-5 | 2.2325435 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3484265E-5 | 3.4770575E-5 | 4.4770226E-5 | 1.2875896 | 1.0E-5 | 2.858834E-4 | 4.232527E-4 | 4.6323577E-4 | 1.0944662 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0028551589 | 0.0042272513 | 0.00427704 | 1.011778 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.465009E-6 | 8.0975315E-6 | 1.8097451E-5 | 2.2349343 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3421257E-5 | 3.4703262E-5 | 4.4702916E-5 | 1.2881473 | 1.0E-5 | 2.851165E-4 | 4.2243348E-4 | 4.624166E-4 | 1.0946494 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0028475097 | 0.00421909 | 0.0042688795 | 1.0118009 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.826767E-6 | 7.4225877E-6 | 1.7422513E-5 | 2.347229 | 1.0E-5 | 2.068598E-5 | 3.1810716E-5 | 4.18104E-5 | 1.3143494 | 1.0E-5 | 2.518227E-4 | 3.8722943E-4 | 4.2721393E-4 | 1.1032579 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0025153751 | 0.0038682907 | 0.0039180974 | 1.0128756 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.3146847E-6 | 6.8825234E-6 | 1.6882455E-5 | 2.4529455 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8491375E-5 | 2.949621E-5 | 3.9495913E-5 | 1.3390166 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2510924E-4 | 3.5905963E-4 | 3.8904886E-4 | 1.0835216 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0022488134 | 0.0035875062 | 0.0036273627 | 1.0111098 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6968106E-6 | 5.9957474E-6 | 1.5995687E-5 | 2.6678388 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5843378E-5 | 2.5695816E-5 | 3.569556E-5 | 1.3891584 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9287605E-4 | 3.128032E-4 | 3.2280007E-4 | 1.0319589 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019270873 | 0.0031262499 | 0.0031461874 | 1.0063775 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4671132E-6 | 5.7024477E-6 | 1.5702391E-5 | 2.753623 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4858972E-5 | 2.4438841E-5 | 3.4438595E-5 | 1.4091747 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8089297E-4 | 2.9750372E-4 | 3.0750074E-4 | 1.0336031 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018074579 | 0.0029736666 | 0.0029936072 | 1.0067058 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.7686972E-6 | 4.8254797E-6 | 1.4825431E-5 | 3.0723228 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1865792E-5 | 2.0680467E-5 | 3.068026E-5 | 1.483538 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4445644E-4 | 2.5175634E-4 | 2.6175383E-4 | 1.039711 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014436257 | 0.002517256 | 0.0025372056 | 1.0079252 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.1472624E-6 | 3.985277E-6 | 1.3985237E-5 | 3.5092258 | 1.0E-5 | 9.20252E-6 | 1.707965E-5 | 2.7079479E-5 | 1.5854821 | 1.0E-5 | 1.12034926E-4 | 2.0792543E-4 | 2.1792336E-4 | 1.0480841 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011197845 | 0.0020798238 | 0.0020997822 | 1.0095962 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.7018335E-6 | 3.3450835E-6 | 3.3450835E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.293552E-6 | 1.4335996E-5 | 1.4335996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.879537E-5 | 1.7452713E-4 | 1.7452713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.87599E-4 | 0.0017463792 | 0.0017463792 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.25603E-6 | 2.794679E-6 | 2.794679E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3829745E-6 | 1.1977142E-5 | 1.1977142E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.553574E-5 | 1.4581217E-4 | 1.4581217E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.551642E-4 | 0.0014596173 | 0.0014596173 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.112297E-6 | 2.610519E-6 | 2.610519E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7669787E-6 | 1.1187892E-5 | 1.1187892E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.803642E-5 | 1.3620428E-4 | 1.3620428E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.802127E-4 | 0.001363502 | 0.001363502 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.0137181E-6 | 2.4836752E-6 | 2.4836752E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3444993E-6 | 1.064428E-5 | 1.064428E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2892992E-5 | 1.2958662E-4 | 1.2958662E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.288041E-4 | 0.0012971918 | 0.0012971918 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.598608E-7 | 2.407328E-6 | 2.407328E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1136827E-6 | 1.03170805E-5 | 1.03170805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0082934E-5 | 1.2560343E-4 | 1.2560343E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.007165E-4 | 0.0012572132 | 0.0012572132 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 7.929459E-7 | 2.0450152E-6 | 2.0450152E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3983351E-6 | 8.764322E-6 | 8.764322E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1373947E-5 | 1.0670057E-4 | 1.0670057E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1366243E-4 | 0.0010685825 | 0.0010685825 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.155788E-7 | 1.1606729E-6 | 1.1606729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7810507E-6 | 4.974303E-6 | 4.974303E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1684076E-5 | 6.05605E-5 | 6.05605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1681961E-4 | 6.085995E-4 | 6.085995E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.14666925E-7 | 2.592197E-7 | 2.592197E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.914296E-7 | 1.1109411E-6 | 1.1109411E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9831386E-6 | 1.3525627E-5 | 1.3525627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9829777E-5 | 1.3636416E-4 | 1.3636416E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.9231824E-8 | 4.1462318E-8 | 4.1462318E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2527924E-7 | 1.7769564E-7 | 1.7769564E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5252737E-6 | 2.1634426E-6 | 2.1634426E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5252632E-5 | 2.197062E-5 | 2.197062E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Chino alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.939946E-5 | 4.894798E-5 | 5.894749E-5 | 1.2042885 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6884391E-4 | 2.0976314E-4 | 2.2975894E-4 | 1.0953256 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020537362 | 0.002551385 | 0.002611232 | 1.0234567 | 6.0E-5 | 0.020348595 | 0.025280168 | 0.025338652 | 1.0023134 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.6878823E-5 | 3.6878555E-5 | 1.3720301 | 1.0E-5 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.15190494E-4 | 1.2518934E-4 | 1.0868027 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0014016517 | 0.0014216236 | 1.0142488 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011158722 | 0.013947425 | 0.013967146 | 1.001414 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.6878823E-5 | 3.6878555E-5 | 1.3720301 | 1.0E-5 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.15190494E-4 | 1.2518934E-4 | 1.0868027 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0014016517 | 0.0014216236 | 1.0142488 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011158722 | 0.013947425 | 0.013967146 | 1.001414 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.8164832E-5 | 1.8164832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.784722E-5 | 7.784722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.4742293E-4 | 9.5741346E-4 | 1.0105449 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007429048 | 0.00944674 | 0.009456646 | 1.0010486 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.8164832E-5 | 1.8164832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.784722E-5 | 7.784722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.4742293E-4 | 9.5741346E-4 | 1.0105449 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007429048 | 0.00944674 | 0.009456646 | 1.0010486 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3017944E-5 | 1.6651793E-5 | 1.6651793E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5789995E-5 | 7.1363116E-5 | 7.1363116E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.790315E-4 | 8.6854334E-4 | 8.785347E-4 | 1.0115036 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0067696036 | 0.008664233 | 0.008674146 | 1.0011442 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.470016E-6 | 1.2039209E-5 | 1.2039209E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.058515E-5 | 5.159578E-5 | 5.159578E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.940122E-4 | 6.280315E-4 | 6.3802523E-4 | 1.0159128 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004929154 | 0.006273248 | 0.006283185 | 1.001584 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.314155E-6 | 1.040749E-5 | 1.040749E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5631605E-5 | 4.4602948E-5 | 4.4602948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3372845E-4 | 5.4293784E-4 | 5.529324E-4 | 1.0184083 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004328829 | 0.0054270807 | 0.0054370263 | 1.0018326 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4856364E-6 | 3.8134033E-6 | 3.8134033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4938357E-5 | 1.6343065E-5 | 1.6343065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8185932E-4 | 1.9896074E-4 | 2.0895875E-4 | 1.0502511 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018171056 | 0.0019894529 | 0.001999433 | 1.0050166 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2645952E-6 | 2.152909E-6 | 2.152909E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.705372E-6 | 9.226722E-6 | 9.226722E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18156495E-4 | 1.12329755E-4 | 1.12329755E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011809369 | 0.0011233138 | 0.0011233138 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.7864003E-6 | 1.5430741E-6 | 1.5430741E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.655979E-6 | 6.613158E-6 | 6.613158E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3207556E-5 | 8.051228E-5 | 8.051228E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.316847E-4 | 8.052856E-4 | 8.052856E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.7315456E-6 | 1.4733466E-6 | 1.4733466E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.420889E-6 | 6.314328E-6 | 6.314328E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.034557E-5 | 7.687428E-5 | 7.687428E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0308854E-4 | 7.68921E-4 | 7.68921E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.6008337E-6 | 1.3574178E-6 | 1.3574178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.860698E-6 | 5.817492E-6 | 5.817492E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.352579E-5 | 7.082572E-5 | 7.082572E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.34944E-4 | 7.0846075E-4 | 7.0846075E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3320939E-6 | 1.1217794E-6 | 1.1217794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7089615E-6 | 4.8076176E-6 | 4.8076176E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9504385E-5 | 5.853122E-5 | 5.853122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9482654E-4 | 5.8530655E-4 | 5.8530655E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.114294E-6 | 9.237087E-7 | 9.237087E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.775537E-6 | 3.9587458E-6 | 3.9587458E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8140613E-5 | 4.81967E-5 | 4.81967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.81254E-4 | 4.8187698E-4 | 4.8187698E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.354081E-7 | 7.6233886E-7 | 7.6233886E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0088858E-6 | 3.2671626E-6 | 3.2671626E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8807087E-5 | 3.9777013E-5 | 3.9777013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.879637E-4 | 3.9770233E-4 | 3.9770233E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.521771E-7 | 6.880688E-7 | 6.880688E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6521824E-6 | 2.948863E-6 | 2.948863E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4464414E-5 | 3.590185E-5 | 3.590185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4455516E-4 | 3.5896365E-4 | 3.5896365E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.1803626E-7 | 1.4186368E-7 | 1.4186368E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.344408E-7 | 6.0798715E-7 | 6.0798715E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1376757E-5 | 7.4022278E-6 | 7.4022278E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13761744E-4 | 7.402077E-5 | 7.402077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Pedro Basin
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.3449043E-5 | 6.337018E-5 | 1.03367645E-4 | 1.6311717 | 4.0E-5 | 2.2904722E-4 | 2.7156167E-4 | 3.115508E-4 | 1.1472561 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0027850836 | 0.0033018515 | 0.0033516863 | 1.015093 | 5.0E-5 | 0.027504366 | 0.03258948 | 0.032647528 | 1.0017811 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.3449043E-5 | 6.337018E-5 | 1.03367645E-4 | 1.6311717 | 4.0E-5 | 2.2904722E-4 | 2.7156167E-4 | 3.115508E-4 | 1.1472561 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0027850836 | 0.0033018515 | 0.0033516863 | 1.015093 | 5.0E-5 | 0.027504366 | 0.03258948 | 0.032647528 | 1.0017811 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.3189454E-5 | 2.6642829E-5 | 2.6642829E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9379584E-5 | 1.1417881E-4 | 1.1417881E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012092749 | 0.0013892875 | 0.0013892875 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012027155 | 0.01381089 | 0.013820752 | 1.0007141 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3189454E-5 | 2.6642829E-5 | 2.6642829E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9379584E-5 | 1.1417881E-4 | 1.1417881E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012092749 | 0.0013892875 | 0.0013892875 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012027155 | 0.01381089 | 0.013820752 | 1.0007141 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.966056E-5 | 2.246342E-5 | 2.246342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.425682E-5 | 9.626848E-5 | 9.626848E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001025344 | 0.0011714787 | 0.0011714787 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010206259 | 0.011657119 | 0.011667003 | 1.0008478 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7342953E-5 | 1.9745152E-5 | 1.9745152E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4324824E-5 | 8.461954E-5 | 8.461954E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.04529E-4 | 0.0010297929 | 0.0010297929 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009008561 | 0.010253932 | 0.010253932 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.439804E-5 | 1.6322716E-5 | 1.6322716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.170443E-5 | 6.99528E-5 | 6.99528E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.509924E-4 | 8.513747E-4 | 8.513747E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074845953 | 0.008484333 | 0.008484333 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.2634884E-5 | 1.4285298E-5 | 1.4285298E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.414838E-5 | 6.122144E-5 | 6.122144E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.590571E-4 | 7.451466E-4 | 7.451466E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006571059 | 0.007429502 | 0.007429502 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.146091E-5 | 1.2933193E-5 | 1.2933193E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.911726E-5 | 5.542696E-5 | 5.542696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9783855E-4 | 6.74644E-4 | 6.74644E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059623276 | 0.0067288997 | 0.0067288997 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 9.109035E-6 | 1.0235013E-5 | 1.0235013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9038136E-5 | 4.386376E-5 | 4.386376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7518566E-4 | 5.339384E-4 | 5.339384E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047417083 | 0.0053293095 | 0.0053293095 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.9351028E-6 | 6.583965E-6 | 6.583965E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5435906E-5 | 2.821682E-5 | 2.821682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0963816E-4 | 3.4350925E-4 | 3.4350925E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030920706 | 0.0034320997 | 0.0034320997 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.1557585E-6 | 2.2096492E-6 | 2.2096492E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.238933E-6 | 9.469892E-6 | 9.469892E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1247819E-4 | 1.15289986E-4 | 1.15289986E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011242128 | 0.0011523172 | 0.0011523172 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.1251979E-6 | 2.1779954E-6 | 2.1779954E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.107958E-6 | 9.334234E-6 | 9.334234E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1088375E-4 | 1.13638525E-4 | 1.13638525E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011082845 | 0.0011358195 | 0.0011358195 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7145798E-6 | 1.7442885E-6 | 1.7442885E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3481783E-6 | 7.475501E-6 | 7.475501E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.94604E-5 | 9.1010515E-5 | 9.1010515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9424395E-4 | 9.0974156E-4 | 9.0974156E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.4467993E-6 | 1.4641878E-6 | 1.4641878E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.200554E-6 | 6.275076E-6 | 6.275076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.548913E-5 | 7.639644E-5 | 7.639644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.546349E-4 | 7.6370913E-4 | 7.6370913E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2803735E-6 | 1.2931506E-6 | 1.2931506E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.487303E-6 | 5.5420624E-6 | 5.5420624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.680587E-5 | 6.747259E-5 | 6.747259E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.678579E-4 | 6.745281E-4 | 6.745281E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.755009E-7 | 6.76947E-7 | 6.76947E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8950008E-6 | 2.9011985E-6 | 2.9011985E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5246063E-5 | 3.532158E-5 | 3.532158E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5240475E-4 | 3.5316538E-4 | 3.5316538E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.211885E-8 | 4.5699714E-8 | 4.5699714E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6622362E-7 | 1.9585592E-7 | 1.9585592E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412677E-6 | 2.3845432E-6 | 2.3845432E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412205E-5 | 2.3845198E-5 | 2.3845198E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.6580573E-9 | 1.5138054E-9 | 1.5138054E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1391674E-8 | 6.4877375E-9 | 6.4877375E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869362E-7 | 7.89882E-8 | 7.89882E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869354E-6 | 7.89882E-7 | 7.89882E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cucamonga
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.1737109E-5 | 2.1736992E-5 | 1.8519886 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.0300943E-5 | 6.030044E-5 | 1.1987934 | 1.0E-5 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.122446E-4 | 6.4222625E-4 | 1.04897 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0061632637 | 0.006106745 | 0.0061663785 | 1.0097651 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.1737109E-5 | 2.1736992E-5 | 1.8519886 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.0300943E-5 | 6.030044E-5 | 1.1987934 | 1.0E-5 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.122446E-4 | 6.4222625E-4 | 1.04897 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0061632637 | 0.006106745 | 0.0061663785 | 1.0097651 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.1737109E-5 | 2.1736992E-5 | 1.8519886 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.0300943E-5 | 6.030044E-5 | 1.1987934 | 1.0E-5 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.122446E-4 | 6.4222625E-4 | 1.04897 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0061632637 | 0.006106745 | 0.0061663785 | 1.0097651 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.1737109E-5 | 2.1736992E-5 | 1.8519886 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.0300943E-5 | 6.030044E-5 | 1.1987934 | 1.0E-5 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.122446E-4 | 6.4222625E-4 | 1.04897 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0061632637 | 0.006106745 | 0.0061663785 | 1.0097651 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.1737109E-5 | 2.1736992E-5 | 1.8519886 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.0300943E-5 | 6.030044E-5 | 1.1987934 | 1.0E-5 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.122446E-4 | 6.4222625E-4 | 1.04897 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0061632637 | 0.006106745 | 0.0061663785 | 1.0097651 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.16988695E-5 | 1.157614E-5 | 2.1576025E-5 | 1.8638358 | 1.0E-5 | 5.013705E-5 | 4.9611102E-5 | 5.9610604E-5 | 1.2015578 | 1.0E-5 | 6.102476E-4 | 6.0385047E-4 | 6.338323E-4 | 1.0496511 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006085745 | 0.0060232594 | 0.006082898 | 1.0099014 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.16988695E-5 | 1.157614E-5 | 2.1576025E-5 | 1.8638358 | 1.0E-5 | 5.013705E-5 | 4.9611102E-5 | 5.9610604E-5 | 1.2015578 | 1.0E-5 | 6.102476E-4 | 6.0385047E-4 | 6.338323E-4 | 1.0496511 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006085745 | 0.0060232594 | 0.006082898 | 1.0099014 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1397107E-5 | 1.1115039E-5 | 2.1114927E-5 | 1.8996719 | 1.0E-5 | 4.884383E-5 | 4.7635025E-5 | 5.763455E-5 | 1.2099196 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9451134E-4 | 5.798046E-4 | 5.99793E-4 | 1.0344744 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005929234 | 0.005784061 | 0.0058238297 | 1.0068755 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.058387E-5 | 9.785037E-6 | 9.785037E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5358654E-5 | 4.1935207E-5 | 4.1935207E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.521017E-4 | 5.1044265E-4 | 5.2043755E-4 | 1.0195808 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00550732 | 0.005093702 | 0.005123549 | 1.0058596 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.690046E-6 | 8.579504E-6 | 8.579504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1528107E-5 | 3.6768783E-5 | 3.6768783E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.054874E-4 | 4.475684E-4 | 4.5756393E-4 | 1.0223329 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005043391 | 0.0044675954 | 0.004487506 | 1.0044566 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.381461E-6 | 8.18712E-6 | 8.18712E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.020564E-5 | 3.508719E-5 | 3.508719E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.893937E-4 | 4.2710314E-4 | 4.3709888E-4 | 1.0234035 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048831734 | 0.004263747 | 0.004283662 | 1.0046707 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.946492E-6 | 7.781904E-6 | 7.781904E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8341543E-5 | 3.3350592E-5 | 3.3350592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.667083E-4 | 4.0596814E-4 | 4.0596814E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046572937 | 0.0040531927 | 0.0040631522 | 1.0024571 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.251016E-6 | 6.9752878E-6 | 6.9752878E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5361016E-5 | 2.9893748E-5 | 2.9893748E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3043532E-4 | 3.6389584E-4 | 3.6389584E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042960253 | 0.0036339252 | 0.0036438887 | 1.0027418 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.717881E-6 | 6.4863584E-6 | 6.4863584E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3076216E-5 | 2.7798384E-5 | 2.7798384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.026285E-4 | 3.38393E-4 | 3.38393E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004018998 | 0.0033797103 | 0.0033896766 | 1.0029489 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.275623E-6 | 6.032004E-6 | 6.032004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.118087E-5 | 2.5851192E-5 | 2.5851192E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7956095E-4 | 3.1469302E-4 | 3.1469302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037891332 | 0.0031434046 | 0.0031434046 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.5109502E-6 | 5.100593E-6 | 5.100593E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7903774E-5 | 2.1859503E-5 | 2.1859503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3967546E-4 | 2.661071E-4 | 2.661071E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033915674 | 0.0026588016 | 0.0026588016 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.4495326E-6 | 3.908547E-6 | 3.908547E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.335493E-5 | 1.6750808E-5 | 1.6750808E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8430918E-4 | 2.0392207E-4 | 2.0392207E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028394572 | 0.0020382616 | 0.0020382616 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.7997164E-6 | 3.2002263E-6 | 3.2002263E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.057005E-5 | 1.3715184E-5 | 1.3715184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.504116E-4 | 1.6696959E-4 | 1.6696959E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002501296 | 0.0016693701 | 0.0016693701 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.3941733E-6 | 2.0641678E-6 | 2.0641678E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4546376E-5 | 8.846404E-6 | 8.846404E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7708774E-4 | 1.07699656E-4 | 1.07699656E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017694668 | 0.0010766032 | 0.0010766032 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 9.750552E-7 | 5.155798E-7 | 5.155798E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.178801E-6 | 2.2096258E-6 | 2.2096258E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0875715E-5 | 2.6901867E-5 | 2.6901867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.086407E-4 | 2.689865E-4 | 2.689865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.133857E-7 | 6.053372E-8 | 6.053372E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8593864E-7 | 2.594302E-7 | 2.594302E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9162867E-6 | 3.1585582E-6 | 3.1585582E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916129E-5 | 3.158515E-5 | 3.158515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Owens Valley Keough Hot Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5708529E-5 | 4.950463E-6 | 2.4950365E-5 | 5.040006 | 2.0E-5 | 6.7320536E-5 | 2.1216127E-5 | 5.121549E-5 | 2.4139886 | 3.0E-5 | 8.193192E-4 | 2.5828084E-4 | 3.0826795E-4 | 1.1935377 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008163051 | 0.0025804387 | 0.002640284 | 1.0231918 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5708529E-5 | 4.950463E-6 | 2.4950365E-5 | 5.040006 | 2.0E-5 | 6.7320536E-5 | 2.1216127E-5 | 5.121549E-5 | 2.4139886 | 3.0E-5 | 8.193192E-4 | 2.5828084E-4 | 3.0826795E-4 | 1.1935377 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008163051 | 0.0025804387 | 0.002640284 | 1.0231918 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.5708529E-5 | 4.950463E-6 | 2.4950365E-5 | 5.040006 | 2.0E-5 | 6.7320536E-5 | 2.1216127E-5 | 5.121549E-5 | 2.4139886 | 3.0E-5 | 8.193192E-4 | 2.5828084E-4 | 3.0826795E-4 | 1.1935377 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008163051 | 0.0025804387 | 0.002640284 | 1.0231918 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5708529E-5 | 4.950463E-6 | 2.4950365E-5 | 5.040006 | 2.0E-5 | 6.7320536E-5 | 2.1216127E-5 | 5.121549E-5 | 2.4139886 | 3.0E-5 | 8.193192E-4 | 2.5828084E-4 | 3.0826795E-4 | 1.1935377 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008163051 | 0.0025804387 | 0.002640284 | 1.0231918 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4622509E-5 | 3.7263276E-6 | 2.3726254E-5 | 6.3671947 | 2.0E-5 | 6.266639E-5 | 1.5969896E-5 | 4.5969417E-5 | 2.8785045 | 3.0E-5 | 7.626962E-4 | 1.9441944E-4 | 2.4440972E-4 | 1.257126 | 5.0E-5 | 0.007600839 | 0.0019429466 | 0.00200283 | 1.030821 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3335527E-5 | 2.2775241E-6 | 2.2277478E-5 | 9.7814455 | 2.0E-5 | 5.7151006E-5 | 9.760785E-6 | 2.976059E-5 | 3.0489955 | 2.0E-5 | 6.955913E-4 | 1.1883176E-4 | 1.5882701E-4 | 1.3365704 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0069341804 | 0.001187878 | 0.0012378186 | 1.0420419 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3332855E-5 | 2.2746733E-6 | 2.2274628E-5 | 9.792451 | 2.0E-5 | 5.7139558E-5 | 9.748568E-6 | 2.9748373E-5 | 3.0515635 | 2.0E-5 | 6.9545204E-4 | 1.1868303E-4 | 1.5867829E-4 | 1.3369921 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0069327964 | 0.0011863923 | 0.0012363329 | 1.0420946 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3318214E-5 | 2.2639038E-6 | 2.226386E-5 | 9.834277 | 2.0E-5 | 5.707681E-5 | 9.702413E-6 | 2.9702218E-5 | 3.061323 | 2.0E-5 | 6.946886E-4 | 1.18121156E-4 | 1.5811643E-4 | 1.3385954 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0069252094 | 0.0011807795 | 0.0012307204 | 1.0422949 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2441338E-5 | 1.677594E-6 | 2.167756E-5 | 12.921816 | 2.0E-5 | 5.331893E-5 | 7.1896707E-6 | 2.7189526E-5 | 3.7817485 | 2.0E-5 | 6.489646E-4 | 8.753102E-5 | 1.2752751E-4 | 1.4569409 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0064707273 | 8.751236E-4 | 9.2507986E-4 | 1.0570848 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1130476E-5 | 1.0302234E-6 | 2.1030202E-5 | 20.413244 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7701167E-5 | 4.4152357E-6 | 2.4415147E-5 | 5.5297494 | 2.0E-5 | 5.806069E-4 | 5.3754186E-5 | 9.375204E-5 | 1.744088 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0057909233 | 5.375404E-4 | 5.8751355E-4 | 1.0929663 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0986073E-5 | 9.577824E-7 | 2.0957763E-5 | 21.88155 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7082318E-5 | 4.1047756E-6 | 2.4104693E-5 | 5.8723536 | 2.0E-5 | 5.730765E-4 | 4.9974507E-5 | 8.9972506E-5 | 1.8003681 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0057160086 | 4.997603E-4 | 5.497353E-4 | 1.099998 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0451338E-5 | 7.9988575E-7 | 2.079987E-5 | 26.003551 | 2.0E-5 | 4.4790682E-5 | 3.4280772E-6 | 2.3428009E-5 | 6.834154 | 2.0E-5 | 5.451901E-4 | 4.1736046E-5 | 8.1734375E-5 | 1.9583641 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005438545 | 4.1740583E-4 | 4.6738496E-4 | 1.1197375 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.989061E-6 | 6.543693E-7 | 2.0654355E-5 | 31.563763 | 2.0E-5 | 4.280956E-5 | 2.8044367E-6 | 2.2804381E-5 | 8.131537 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2108173E-4 | 3.4143486E-5 | 7.414212E-5 | 2.1714866 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0051986156 | 3.41488E-4 | 3.914709E-4 | 1.146368 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.465365E-6 | 5.458855E-7 | 2.0545875E-5 | 37.6377 | 2.0E-5 | 4.056522E-5 | 2.3395073E-6 | 2.233946E-5 | 9.548789 | 2.0E-5 | 4.937696E-4 | 2.8483131E-5 | 6.848199E-5 | 2.4043 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0049267393 | 2.8489542E-4 | 3.3488116E-4 | 1.175453 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.3824805E-6 | 4.0153776E-7 | 2.040153E-5 | 50.808495 | 2.0E-5 | 2.73532E-5 | 1.7208749E-6 | 2.172084E-5 | 12.621975 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3297433E-4 | 2.0951453E-5 | 6.0950617E-5 | 2.9091353 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0033247585 | 2.0955436E-4 | 2.595439E-4 | 1.2385516 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.6192645E-6 | 2.5156373E-7 | 2.0251558E-5 | 80.50269 | 2.0E-5 | 6.9396865E-6 | 1.0781299E-6 | 2.1078109E-5 | 19.550621 | 2.0E-5 | 8.448741E-5 | 1.3126153E-5 | 5.3125626E-5 | 4.0473113 | 4.0E-5 | 8.4455294E-4 | 1.3125391E-4 | 1.8124735E-4 | 1.3808911 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.7062545E-7 | 1.0790214E-7 | 2.01079E-5 | 186.35312 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4455355E-6 | 4.6243767E-7 | 2.0462428E-5 | 44.24905 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9773988E-5 | 5.630165E-6 | 4.562994E-5 | 8.1045475 | 4.0E-5 | 2.977E-4 | 5.6300305E-5 | 1.0629749E-4 | 1.8880447 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.5988817E-7 | 4.5445965E-8 | 2.0045445E-5 | 441.08304 | 2.0E-5 | 1.113806E-6 | 1.9476842E-7 | 2.0194764E-5 | 103.686035 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3560503E-5 | 2.3713033E-6 | 3.2371234E-5 | 13.65124 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3559677E-4 | 2.3712824E-5 | 6.371187E-5 | 2.686811 | 4.0E-5 |
Newport-Inglewood alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9668912E-5 | 3.0404828E-5 | 3.0404828E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.3030265E-4 | 1.4030134E-4 | 1.0767344 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015857654 | 0.0016157179 | 1.0188884 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015361829 | 0.01579211 | 0.01584132 | 1.0031161 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9668912E-5 | 3.0404828E-5 | 3.0404828E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.3030265E-4 | 1.4030134E-4 | 1.0767344 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015857654 | 0.0016157179 | 1.0188884 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015361829 | 0.01579211 | 0.01584132 | 1.0031161 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9668912E-5 | 3.0404828E-5 | 3.0404828E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.3030265E-4 | 1.4030134E-4 | 1.0767344 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015857654 | 0.0016157179 | 1.0188884 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015361829 | 0.01579211 | 0.01584132 | 1.0031161 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.9668912E-5 | 3.0404828E-5 | 3.0404828E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.3030265E-4 | 1.4030134E-4 | 1.0767344 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015857654 | 0.0016157179 | 1.0188884 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015361829 | 0.01579211 | 0.01584132 | 1.0031161 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.275942E-5 | 1.02725335E-5 | 1.02725335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4682085E-5 | 4.4024422E-5 | 5.402398E-5 | 1.2271366 | 1.0E-5 | 6.65551E-4 | 5.358697E-4 | 5.55859E-4 | 1.0373025 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0066356123 | 0.0053462 | 0.0053760395 | 1.0055815 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.275942E-5 | 1.02725335E-5 | 1.02725335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4682085E-5 | 4.4024422E-5 | 5.402398E-5 | 1.2271366 | 1.0E-5 | 6.65551E-4 | 5.358697E-4 | 5.55859E-4 | 1.0373025 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0066356123 | 0.0053462 | 0.0053760395 | 1.0055815 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1255358E-5 | 8.661911E-6 | 8.661911E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8236358E-5 | 3.7121958E-5 | 4.7121586E-5 | 1.2693723 | 1.0E-5 | 5.871194E-4 | 4.5186782E-4 | 4.7185877E-4 | 1.0442407 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005855706 | 0.0045096674 | 0.004539532 | 1.0066224 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0504745E-5 | 7.8998455E-6 | 7.8998455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5019555E-5 | 3.385605E-5 | 4.385571E-5 | 1.2953582 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4797524E-4 | 4.121207E-4 | 4.3211243E-4 | 1.0485095 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0054662596 | 0.004113694 | 0.0041435705 | 1.0072627 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0476007E-5 | 7.881227E-6 | 7.881227E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4896402E-5 | 3.3776258E-5 | 4.377592E-5 | 1.2960559 | 1.0E-5 | 5.464766E-4 | 4.1114958E-4 | 4.3114135E-4 | 1.048624 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005451347 | 0.004104019 | 0.004133896 | 1.0072799 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.076797E-6 | 6.4896567E-6 | 6.4896567E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.889998E-5 | 2.7812519E-5 | 2.7812519E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7350433E-4 | 3.3856515E-4 | 3.3856515E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004724967 | 0.003380531 | 0.003380531 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 8.73795E-6 | 6.2120503E-6 | 6.2120503E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7447822E-5 | 2.6622802E-5 | 2.6622802E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5583185E-4 | 3.2408469E-4 | 3.2408469E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045489795 | 0.0032361522 | 0.0032361522 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.391299E-6 | 5.9557533E-6 | 5.9557533E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5962214E-5 | 2.5524409E-5 | 2.5524409E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.37752E-4 | 3.1071564E-4 | 3.1071564E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004368907 | 0.0031028416 | 0.0031028416 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 7.796882E-6 | 5.4964826E-6 | 5.4964826E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.341478E-5 | 2.3556144E-5 | 2.3556144E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.06749E-4 | 2.867585E-4 | 2.867585E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040600533 | 0.002863909 | 0.002863909 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.4738833E-6 | 4.6477753E-6 | 4.6477753E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.774492E-5 | 1.9918885E-5 | 1.9918885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3774204E-4 | 2.424856E-4 | 2.424856E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033722918 | 0.0024222268 | 0.0024222268 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.382145E-6 | 3.8857215E-6 | 3.8857215E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3066134E-5 | 1.6652988E-5 | 1.6652988E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8079396E-4 | 2.0273139E-4 | 2.0273139E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028043943 | 0.002025479 | 0.002025479 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.648244E-6 | 2.5737634E-6 | 2.5737634E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5635238E-5 | 1.1030369E-5 | 1.1030369E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9034238E-4 | 1.3428657E-4 | 1.3428657E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019017943 | 0.0013420646 | 0.0013420646 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.2906888E-6 | 1.547986E-6 | 1.547986E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.817201E-6 | 6.634209E-6 | 6.634209E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1951787E-4 | 8.076857E-5 | 8.076857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011945361 | 8.073989E-4 | 8.073989E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.0479874E-7 | 3.397468E-7 | 3.397468E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5919921E-6 | 1.456057E-6 | 1.456057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1557047E-5 | 1.7727363E-5 | 1.7727363E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1552566E-4 | 1.7726087E-4 | 1.7726087E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.16056995E-8 | 9.782997E-9 | 9.782997E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9738713E-8 | 4.1927127E-8 | 4.1927127E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0556863E-7 | 5.1046277E-7 | 5.1046277E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.05567E-6 | 5.1046277E-6 | 5.1046277E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Oak Ridge (Onshore)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9526076E-5 | 2.9526076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.265344E-4 | 1.265344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395058 | 0.001559475 | 1.0129712 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293054 | 0.015332443 | 1.0025755 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9526076E-5 | 2.9526076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.265344E-4 | 1.265344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395058 | 0.001559475 | 1.0129712 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293054 | 0.015332443 | 1.0025755 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9526076E-5 | 2.9526076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.265344E-4 | 1.265344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395058 | 0.001559475 | 1.0129712 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293054 | 0.015332443 | 1.0025755 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9526076E-5 | 2.9526076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.265344E-4 | 1.265344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395058 | 0.001559475 | 1.0129712 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293054 | 0.015332443 | 1.0025755 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9526076E-5 | 2.9526076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.265344E-4 | 1.265344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395058 | 0.001559475 | 1.0129712 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293054 | 0.015332443 | 1.0025755 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9526076E-5 | 2.9526076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.265344E-4 | 1.265344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395058 | 0.001559475 | 1.0129712 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293054 | 0.015332443 | 1.0025755 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9526076E-5 | 2.9526076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.265344E-4 | 1.265344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395058 | 0.001559475 | 1.0129712 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293054 | 0.015332443 | 1.0025755 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.098897E-5 | 2.8864279E-5 | 2.8864279E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.328031E-4 | 1.236984E-4 | 1.236984E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016156785 | 0.0015050253 | 0.0015249952 | 1.0132688 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016039822 | 0.014952909 | 0.014992312 | 1.0026351 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.0449872E-5 | 2.8239476E-5 | 2.8239476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3049292E-4 | 1.2102092E-4 | 1.2102092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015875935 | 0.001472471 | 0.0014824563 | 1.0067813 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015762992 | 0.014631658 | 0.014661219 | 1.0020204 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.697928E-5 | 2.4219877E-5 | 2.4219877E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.15620365E-4 | 1.03795464E-4 | 1.03795464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014067689 | 0.0012629988 | 0.0012629988 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0139789665 | 0.012561066 | 0.012580815 | 1.0015723 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.4893961E-5 | 2.1862146E-5 | 2.1862146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0668404E-4 | 9.369165E-5 | 9.369165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012981043 | 0.0011401166 | 0.0011401166 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012905477 | 0.011345102 | 0.011364875 | 1.0017428 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.0945363E-5 | 1.7354592E-5 | 1.7354592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.976275E-5 | 7.437473E-5 | 7.437473E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010923136 | 9.0514094E-4 | 9.0514094E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0108696 | 0.009015621 | 0.00903544 | 1.0021983 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0439404E-5 | 1.680953E-5 | 1.680953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7594504E-5 | 7.203888E-5 | 7.203888E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010659413 | 8.767251E-4 | 8.767251E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010608427 | 0.008733723 | 0.008753548 | 1.00227 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.8463334E-5 | 1.5381947E-5 | 1.5381947E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.912617E-5 | 6.592098E-5 | 6.592098E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6293533E-4 | 8.0229685E-4 | 8.0229685E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009587734 | 0.0079950085 | 0.008014848 | 1.0024816 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.763139E-5 | 1.4516977E-5 | 1.4516977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.556091E-5 | 6.221415E-5 | 6.221415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1956573E-4 | 7.57198E-4 | 7.57198E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009157699 | 0.007547126 | 0.007566975 | 1.00263 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3594944E-5 | 1.1163363E-5 | 1.1163363E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8262744E-5 | 4.7842117E-5 | 4.7842117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0911803E-4 | 5.8232463E-4 | 5.8232463E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007068595 | 0.005808362 | 0.0058282455 | 1.0034233 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.9889534E-6 | 5.6367194E-6 | 5.6367194E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9952313E-5 | 2.4157147E-5 | 2.4157147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.646084E-4 | 2.94074E-4 | 2.94074E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036401073 | 0.0029368924 | 0.0029368924 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.0824193E-6 | 3.2832731E-6 | 3.2832731E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7495966E-5 | 1.4071096E-5 | 1.4071096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1299256E-4 | 1.7130225E-4 | 1.7130225E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021278851 | 0.0017117155 | 0.0017117155 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.7023609E-6 | 1.43706E-6 | 1.43706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.295812E-6 | 6.158814E-6 | 6.158814E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.882289E-5 | 7.4981006E-5 | 7.4981006E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8787393E-4 | 7.4955984E-4 | 7.4955984E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.721225E-7 | 2.261692E-7 | 2.261692E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1662388E-6 | 9.692963E-7 | 9.692963E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4198865E-5 | 1.1801121E-5 | 1.1801121E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4197957E-4 | 1.1800523E-4 | 1.1800523E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 9.364255E-9 | 5.1204916E-9 | 5.1204916E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0132523E-8 | 2.1944963E-8 | 2.1944963E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8861335E-7 | 2.671799E-7 | 2.671799E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8861225E-6 | 2.6717962E-6 | 2.6717962E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sheephole
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5579695E-6 | 4.7412627E-6 | 2.4741168E-5 | 5.2182655 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9534009E-5 | 2.031957E-5 | 4.0319163E-5 | 1.9842528 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3780059E-4 | 2.473682E-4 | 2.7736078E-4 | 1.1212467 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0023754628 | 0.002471473 | 0.0025213496 | 1.0201808 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5579695E-6 | 4.7412627E-6 | 2.4741168E-5 | 5.2182655 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9534009E-5 | 2.031957E-5 | 4.0319163E-5 | 1.9842528 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3780059E-4 | 2.473682E-4 | 2.7736078E-4 | 1.1212467 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0023754628 | 0.002471473 | 0.0025213496 | 1.0201808 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.6677674E-6 | 2.7873941E-6 | 1.2787366E-5 | 4.58757 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1433239E-5 | 1.1945926E-5 | 2.1945807E-5 | 1.8370954 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3919079E-4 | 1.4543302E-4 | 1.6543012E-4 | 1.1375003 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013910364 | 0.0014534844 | 0.0014834407 | 1.0206101 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.6677674E-6 | 2.7873941E-6 | 1.2787366E-5 | 4.58757 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1433239E-5 | 1.1945926E-5 | 2.1945807E-5 | 1.8370954 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3919079E-4 | 1.4543302E-4 | 1.6543012E-4 | 1.1375003 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013910364 | 0.0014534844 | 0.0014834407 | 1.0206101 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.2159759E-6 | 2.3228788E-6 | 1.2322856E-5 | 5.304993 | 1.0E-5 | 9.497005E-6 | 9.955161E-6 | 1.9955061E-5 | 2.0044942 | 1.0E-5 | 1.156199E-4 | 1.2119815E-4 | 1.4119573E-4 | 1.164999 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011555976 | 0.0012113999 | 0.0012313756 | 1.0164899 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.1986082E-6 | 2.304759E-6 | 1.2304736E-5 | 5.3388386 | 1.0E-5 | 9.4225725E-6 | 9.877506E-6 | 1.9877407E-5 | 2.0123913 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1471378E-4 | 1.2025281E-4 | 1.402504E-4 | 1.1662962 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011465458 | 0.0012019566 | 0.0012219326 | 1.0166196 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5232331E-6 | 1.6018919E-6 | 1.16018755E-5 | 7.2426085 | 1.0E-5 | 6.5281256E-6 | 6.865234E-6 | 1.6865166E-5 | 2.4566047 | 1.0E-5 | 7.947703E-5 | 8.35812E-5 | 1.03579536E-4 | 1.2392683 | 2.0E-5 | 7.9448614E-4 | 8.3551643E-4 | 8.554997E-4 | 1.0239173 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3137362E-6 | 1.382819E-6 | 1.13828055E-5 | 8.231594 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6302856E-6 | 5.926355E-6 | 1.5926295E-5 | 2.687368 | 1.0E-5 | 6.854657E-5 | 7.215112E-5 | 9.2149676E-5 | 1.277176 | 2.0E-5 | 6.8525434E-4 | 7.212908E-4 | 7.412764E-4 | 1.027708 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2275751E-6 | 1.2922847E-6 | 1.1292272E-5 | 8.738223 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2610258E-6 | 5.5383516E-6 | 1.5538297E-5 | 2.8055813 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4051106E-5 | 6.7427485E-5 | 8.742613E-5 | 1.296595 | 2.0E-5 | 6.4032647E-4 | 6.740836E-4 | 6.940701E-4 | 1.0296499 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1837088E-6 | 1.246102E-6 | 1.246102E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0730278E-6 | 5.340427E-6 | 5.340427E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.176237E-5 | 6.501789E-5 | 7.501724E-5 | 1.1537938 | 1.0E-5 | 6.17452E-4 | 6.5000186E-4 | 6.5999536E-4 | 1.0153745 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.849371E-7 | 1.0366288E-6 | 1.0366288E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2211523E-6 | 4.442688E-6 | 4.442688E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1391315E-5 | 5.4088487E-5 | 6.4087944E-5 | 1.1848723 | 1.0E-5 | 5.137943E-4 | 5.407633E-4 | 5.5075786E-4 | 1.0184823 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.1643645E-7 | 8.591669E-7 | 8.591669E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4990085E-6 | 3.682139E-6 | 3.682139E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2599597E-5 | 4.482921E-5 | 5.482876E-5 | 1.2230588 | 1.0E-5 | 4.259143E-4 | 4.4821028E-4 | 4.5820582E-4 | 1.022301 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.7295756E-7 | 6.029502E-7 | 6.029502E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.45553E-6 | 2.58407E-6 | 2.58407E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9895667E-5 | 3.1460666E-5 | 3.1460666E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9891645E-4 | 3.145688E-4 | 3.145688E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.831764E-6 | 9.831764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2135514E-5 | 4.2135514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.1288976E-4 | 5.328795E-4 | 1.0389748 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.005132214 | 0.0051819575 | 1.0096924 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.831764E-6 | 9.831764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2135514E-5 | 4.2135514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.1288976E-4 | 5.328795E-4 | 1.0389748 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.005132214 | 0.0051819575 | 1.0096924 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.831764E-6 | 9.831764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2135514E-5 | 4.2135514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.1288976E-4 | 5.328795E-4 | 1.0389748 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.005132214 | 0.0051819575 | 1.0096924 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.831764E-6 | 9.831764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2135514E-5 | 4.2135514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.1288976E-4 | 5.328795E-4 | 1.0389748 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.005132214 | 0.0051819575 | 1.0096924 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.3445207E-6 | 6.0916254E-6 | 6.0916254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8619241E-5 | 2.6106709E-5 | 2.6106709E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2666567E-4 | 3.1780385E-4 | 3.2780066E-4 | 1.031456 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022643462 | 0.0031877246 | 0.003217629 | 1.009381 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.3445207E-6 | 6.0916254E-6 | 6.0916254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8619241E-5 | 2.6106709E-5 | 2.6106709E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2666567E-4 | 3.1780385E-4 | 3.2780066E-4 | 1.031456 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022643462 | 0.0031877246 | 0.003217629 | 1.009381 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.040109E-6 | 5.774033E-6 | 5.774033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7314638E-5 | 2.4745626E-5 | 2.4745626E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1078532E-4 | 3.0123728E-4 | 3.1123427E-4 | 1.0331864 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002105855 | 0.0030225143 | 0.0030524237 | 1.0098956 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.3632055E-6 | 5.06753E-6 | 5.06753E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4413658E-5 | 2.1717806E-5 | 2.1717806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7547216E-4 | 2.643825E-4 | 2.7437988E-4 | 1.037814 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017533366 | 0.0026548486 | 0.002684769 | 1.01127 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.2902772E-6 | 4.9894375E-6 | 4.9894375E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4101111E-5 | 2.138313E-5 | 2.138313E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.716675E-4 | 2.6030882E-4 | 2.7030622E-4 | 1.0384059 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017153495 | 0.0026142076 | 0.002644129 | 1.0114458 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.031547E-6 | 4.6911987E-6 | 4.6911987E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.299228E-5 | 2.0104984E-5 | 2.0104984E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5816953E-4 | 2.4475096E-4 | 2.547485E-4 | 1.0408479 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00158057 | 0.0024589805 | 0.0024789313 | 1.0081135 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8259715E-6 | 4.3707637E-6 | 4.3707637E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.211125E-5 | 1.8731711E-5 | 1.8731711E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4744449E-4 | 2.2803496E-4 | 2.3803268E-4 | 1.0438429 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001473467 | 0.0022921748 | 0.002312129 | 1.0087054 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.5962665E-6 | 4.065983E-6 | 4.065983E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1126809E-5 | 1.7425526E-5 | 1.7425526E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3546048E-4 | 2.1213535E-4 | 2.2213323E-4 | 1.0471298 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013537793 | 0.0021334959 | 0.0021534532 | 1.0093542 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.3247253E-6 | 3.6765352E-6 | 3.6765352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.96307E-6 | 1.5756486E-5 | 1.5756486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.21293626E-4 | 1.9181852E-4 | 2.018166E-4 | 1.0521226 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012122744 | 0.0019307166 | 0.001950678 | 1.0103389 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.056928E-6 | 3.235253E-6 | 3.235253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.815376E-6 | 1.3865297E-5 | 1.3865297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0732192E-4 | 1.6879707E-4 | 1.7879538E-4 | 1.0592327 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001072701 | 0.0017009423 | 0.0017209083 | 1.0117382 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.8055999E-6 | 2.8256538E-6 | 2.8256538E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.738263E-6 | 1.210989E-5 | 1.210989E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4209274E-5 | 1.4742807E-4 | 1.4742807E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4169343E-4 | 0.0014876705 | 0.0014876705 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4683443E-6 | 2.4248943E-6 | 2.4248943E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.292889E-6 | 1.0392363E-5 | 1.0392363E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.661323E-5 | 1.2651978E-4 | 1.2651978E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.658682E-4 | 0.0012788812 | 0.0012788812 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.804088E-7 | 1.9004091E-6 | 1.9004091E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.201745E-6 | 8.144585E-6 | 8.144585E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1155046E-5 | 9.915586E-5 | 9.915586E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.114327E-4 | 0.0010055583 | 0.0010055583 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 7.3434086E-7 | 1.6285549E-6 | 1.6285549E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1471714E-6 | 6.9795024E-6 | 6.9795024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.831614E-5 | 8.4972155E-5 | 8.4972155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8309532E-4 | 8.6387293E-4 | 8.6387293E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.434184E-7 | 1.5221389E-6 | 1.5221389E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7575045E-6 | 6.523436E-6 | 6.523436E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.35721E-5 | 7.9419966E-5 | 7.9419966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3567028E-4 | 8.080443E-4 | 8.080443E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.4943926E-7 | 7.5750586E-7 | 7.5750586E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.497596E-6 | 3.2464498E-6 | 3.2464498E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8233079E-5 | 3.9524817E-5 | 3.9524817E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8231584E-4 | 4.0401975E-4 | 4.0401975E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.717524E-8 | 5.837515E-8 | 5.837515E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8789387E-7 | 2.501792E-7 | 2.501792E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.505102E-6 | 3.0459275E-6 | 3.0459275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5050467E-5 | 3.2751934E-5 | 3.2751934E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.1984914E-8 | 1.2949885E-8 | 1.2949885E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.370782E-7 | 5.549951E-8 | 5.549951E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6689258E-6 | 6.757063E-7 | 6.757063E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6689133E-5 | 7.741151E-6 | 7.741151E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.21887656E-8 | 3.6471115E-9 | 3.6471115E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2237567E-8 | 1.563048E-8 | 1.563048E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.359922E-7 | 1.9030107E-7 | 1.9030107E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3599036E-6 | 2.245849E-6 | 2.245849E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Channel Islands Thrust
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092022E-5 | 5.40913E-5 | 2.2451954 | 3.0E-5 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03248036E-4 | 1.3324495E-4 | 1.2905325 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564266 | 0.0012863888 | 1.0238472 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.0125038205 | 0.0125531955 | 1.0039488 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092022E-5 | 5.40913E-5 | 2.2451954 | 3.0E-5 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03248036E-4 | 1.3324495E-4 | 1.2905325 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564266 | 0.0012863888 | 1.0238472 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.0125038205 | 0.0125531955 | 1.0039488 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092022E-5 | 5.40913E-5 | 2.2451954 | 3.0E-5 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03248036E-4 | 1.3324495E-4 | 1.2905325 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564266 | 0.0012863888 | 1.0238472 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.0125038205 | 0.0125531955 | 1.0039488 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092022E-5 | 5.40913E-5 | 2.2451954 | 3.0E-5 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03248036E-4 | 1.3324495E-4 | 1.2905325 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564266 | 0.0012863888 | 1.0238472 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.0125038205 | 0.0125531955 | 1.0039488 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092022E-5 | 5.40913E-5 | 2.2451954 | 3.0E-5 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03248036E-4 | 1.3324495E-4 | 1.2905325 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564266 | 0.0012863888 | 1.0238472 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.0125038205 | 0.0125531955 | 1.0039488 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092022E-5 | 5.40913E-5 | 2.2451954 | 3.0E-5 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03248036E-4 | 1.3324495E-4 | 1.2905325 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564266 | 0.0012863888 | 1.0238472 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.0125038205 | 0.0125531955 | 1.0039488 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092022E-5 | 5.40913E-5 | 2.2451954 | 3.0E-5 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03248036E-4 | 1.3324495E-4 | 1.2905325 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564266 | 0.0012863888 | 1.0238472 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.0125038205 | 0.0125531955 | 1.0039488 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0601296E-5 | 1.1379544E-5 | 3.1379317E-5 | 2.7575197 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5433335E-5 | 4.876859E-5 | 6.8767615E-5 | 1.4100801 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5301044E-4 | 5.936007E-4 | 6.1358884E-4 | 1.0336727 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005516363 | 0.005920653 | 0.005950476 | 1.005037 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0246747E-5 | 1.0996669E-5 | 3.099645E-5 | 2.8187125 | 2.0E-5 | 4.391389E-5 | 4.7127756E-5 | 6.712681E-5 | 1.4243584 | 2.0E-5 | 5.345204E-4 | 5.7363417E-4 | 5.936227E-4 | 1.0348455 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0053323656 | 0.005722025 | 0.0057518533 | 1.0052129 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.049551E-6 | 9.699645E-6 | 2.9699451E-5 | 3.0619113 | 2.0E-5 | 3.878322E-5 | 4.1569267E-5 | 6.156843E-5 | 1.4811047 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7208337E-4 | 5.059924E-4 | 5.259823E-4 | 1.0395063 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0047108172 | 0.0050488203 | 0.0050786687 | 1.005912 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.6542195E-6 | 9.274603E-6 | 2.9274417E-5 | 3.1564064 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7088983E-5 | 3.9747716E-5 | 5.9746922E-5 | 1.5031536 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5146482E-4 | 4.8382508E-4 | 5.038154E-4 | 1.0413172 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004505487 | 0.0048281294 | 0.0048579844 | 1.0061836 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.391028E-6 | 8.992925E-6 | 2.8992745E-5 | 3.2239504 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5961057E-5 | 3.8540562E-5 | 5.853979E-5 | 1.5189139 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3773788E-4 | 4.6913436E-4 | 4.8912497E-4 | 1.0426117 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004368766 | 0.0046818503 | 0.004701757 | 1.0042518 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.965188E-6 | 6.3716957E-6 | 2.6371568E-5 | 4.138862 | 2.0E-5 | 2.556484E-5 | 2.7306984E-5 | 4.730644E-5 | 1.7323934 | 2.0E-5 | 3.1120746E-4 | 3.3241237E-4 | 3.524057E-4 | 1.0601462 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00310772 | 0.0033192094 | 0.003339143 | 1.0060055 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.877518E-6 | 5.206007E-6 | 1.5205955E-5 | 2.9208481 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0903482E-5 | 2.231127E-5 | 3.2311047E-5 | 1.448194 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5447016E-4 | 2.716063E-4 | 2.8160357E-4 | 1.036808 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025417898 | 0.0027127897 | 0.0027227625 | 1.0036763 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.8829853E-6 | 4.141863E-6 | 4.141863E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.664126E-5 | 1.7750723E-5 | 1.7750723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0258849E-4 | 2.1609403E-4 | 2.1609403E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002024039 | 0.002158881 | 0.002158881 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3489616E-6 | 1.4277905E-6 | 1.4277905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7812517E-6 | 6.119088E-6 | 6.119088E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.038446E-5 | 7.449739E-5 | 7.449739E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.036218E-4 | 7.4472814E-4 | 7.4472814E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.058192E-7 | 6.35378E-7 | 6.35378E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5963652E-6 | 2.7230458E-6 | 2.7230458E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.161029E-5 | 3.3152595E-5 | 3.3152595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1605794E-4 | 3.314781E-4 | 3.314781E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.2170494E-7 | 2.2607924E-7 | 2.2607924E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5016367E-7 | 9.689107E-7 | 9.689107E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1568181E-5 | 1.17964355E-5 | 1.17964355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1567579E-4 | 1.179592E-4 | 1.179592E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.1613102E-8 | 1.5466837E-8 | 1.5466837E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.262757E-8 | 6.628645E-8 | 6.628645E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277401E-6 | 8.070372E-7 | 8.070372E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277344E-5 | 8.07035E-6 | 8.07035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mono Lake 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.3828192E-5 | 4.3827713E-5 | 1.839322 | 2.0E-5 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.0211982E-4 | 1.3211675E-4 | 1.2937425 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012431308 | 0.001283081 | 1.0321368 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010557966 | 0.012413842 | 0.01246322 | 1.0039778 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.3828192E-5 | 4.3827713E-5 | 1.839322 | 2.0E-5 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.0211982E-4 | 1.3211675E-4 | 1.2937425 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012431308 | 0.001283081 | 1.0321368 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010557966 | 0.012413842 | 0.01246322 | 1.0039778 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.3828192E-5 | 4.3827713E-5 | 1.839322 | 2.0E-5 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.0211982E-4 | 1.3211675E-4 | 1.2937425 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012431308 | 0.001283081 | 1.0321368 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010557966 | 0.012413842 | 0.01246322 | 1.0039778 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.3828192E-5 | 4.3827713E-5 | 1.839322 | 2.0E-5 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.0211982E-4 | 1.3211675E-4 | 1.2937425 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012431308 | 0.001283081 | 1.0321368 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010557966 | 0.012413842 | 0.01246322 | 1.0039778 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.749821E-5 | 2.049101E-5 | 4.04906E-5 | 1.9760178 | 2.0E-5 | 7.499018E-5 | 8.781861E-5 | 1.1781598E-4 | 1.3415833 | 3.0E-5 | 9.1262296E-4 | 0.0010691914 | 0.0011091486 | 1.0373714 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009088841 | 0.01069187 | 0.010741335 | 1.0046264 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.749821E-5 | 2.049101E-5 | 4.04906E-5 | 1.9760178 | 2.0E-5 | 7.499018E-5 | 8.781861E-5 | 1.1781598E-4 | 1.3415833 | 3.0E-5 | 9.1262296E-4 | 0.0010691914 | 0.0011091486 | 1.0373714 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009088841 | 0.01069187 | 0.010741335 | 1.0046264 | 5.0E-5 |
Santa Ynez River
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7209444E-5 | 2.7209273E-5 | 1.5810663 | 1.0E-5 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.3752875E-5 | 8.375214E-5 | 1.1355779 | 1.0E-5 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.976069E-4 | 9.2758E-4 | 1.0333922 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008943363 | 0.008983005 | 1.0044326 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7209444E-5 | 2.7209273E-5 | 1.5810663 | 1.0E-5 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.3752875E-5 | 8.375214E-5 | 1.1355779 | 1.0E-5 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.976069E-4 | 9.2758E-4 | 1.0333922 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008943363 | 0.008983005 | 1.0044326 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7209444E-5 | 2.7209273E-5 | 1.5810663 | 1.0E-5 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.3752875E-5 | 8.375214E-5 | 1.1355779 | 1.0E-5 | 8.551848E-4 | 8.976069E-4 | 9.2758E-4 | 1.0333922 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0085190125 | 0.008943363 | 0.008983005 | 1.0044326 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.736976E-6 | 1.01223395E-5 | 1.01223395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.172923E-5 | 4.338076E-5 | 4.338076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0793495E-4 | 5.280378E-4 | 5.480272E-4 | 1.0378561 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005067755 | 0.0052683367 | 0.0052981786 | 1.0056643 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.736976E-6 | 1.01223395E-5 | 1.01223395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.172923E-5 | 4.338076E-5 | 4.338076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0793495E-4 | 5.280378E-4 | 5.480272E-4 | 1.0378561 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005067755 | 0.0052683367 | 0.0052981786 | 1.0056643 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.081964E-6 | 7.329905E-6 | 7.329905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.035092E-5 | 3.141351E-5 | 3.141351E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.694598E-4 | 3.8239395E-4 | 4.023863E-4 | 1.0522821 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036884616 | 0.0038175215 | 0.003847407 | 1.0078285 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.873247E-6 | 6.0597517E-6 | 6.0597517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5170815E-5 | 2.5970112E-5 | 2.5970112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.064116E-4 | 3.161411E-4 | 3.161411E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030598943 | 0.003157001 | 0.003157001 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 4.973277E-6 | 5.11591E-6 | 5.11591E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1313872E-5 | 2.1925147E-5 | 2.1925147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5946548E-4 | 2.6690646E-4 | 2.6690646E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025916274 | 0.0026659078 | 0.0026659078 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 4.396492E-6 | 4.510987E-6 | 4.510987E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.884197E-5 | 1.933266E-5 | 1.933266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2937685E-4 | 2.3535005E-4 | 2.3535005E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022914023 | 0.0023510433 | 0.0023510433 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.5255632E-6 | 3.6013423E-6 | 3.6013423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5109469E-5 | 1.5434234E-5 | 1.5434234E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8394225E-4 | 1.8789574E-4 | 1.8789574E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018379007 | 0.001877385 | 0.001877385 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.211603E-6 | 3.273663E-6 | 3.273663E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.376394E-5 | 1.402991E-5 | 1.402991E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6756308E-4 | 1.708009E-4 | 1.708009E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016743679 | 0.0017067104 | 0.0017067104 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.5094619E-6 | 2.5409295E-6 | 2.5409295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0754793E-5 | 1.0889652E-5 | 1.0889652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3093173E-4 | 1.325735E-4 | 1.325735E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013085462 | 0.0013249503 | 0.0013249503 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.0515774E-6 | 2.0619466E-6 | 2.0619466E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.792445E-6 | 8.836884E-6 | 8.836884E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0704277E-4 | 1.0758379E-4 | 1.0758379E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010699122 | 0.0010753215 | 0.0010753215 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.6845745E-6 | 1.6773996E-6 | 1.6773996E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.219585E-6 | 7.1888358E-6 | 7.1888358E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.78949E-5 | 8.752059E-5 | 8.752059E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7860145E-4 | 8.7486405E-4 | 8.7486405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.3600285E-6 | 1.3333447E-6 | 1.3333447E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.82868E-6 | 5.714322E-6 | 5.714322E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.096187E-5 | 6.956967E-5 | 6.956967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0939213E-4 | 6.9548114E-4 | 6.9548114E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.735342E-7 | 9.2901894E-7 | 9.2901894E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.172283E-6 | 3.9815036E-6 | 3.9815036E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.079636E-5 | 4.8473747E-5 | 4.8473747E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0784746E-4 | 4.8463346E-4 | 4.8463346E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.067187E-7 | 4.778609E-7 | 4.778609E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1716498E-6 | 2.0479738E-6 | 2.0479738E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6439517E-5 | 2.4933803E-5 | 2.4933803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.643637E-4 | 2.493108E-4 | 2.493108E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.769089E-7 | 2.5759346E-7 | 2.5759346E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1867519E-6 | 1.1039714E-6 | 1.1039714E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4448608E-5 | 1.344077E-5 | 1.344077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.444767E-4 | 1.343996E-4 | 1.343996E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.7044663E-7 | 1.5449208E-7 | 1.5449208E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3048534E-7 | 6.6210873E-7 | 6.6210873E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.893623E-6 | 8.061144E-6 | 8.061144E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.893267E-5 | 8.060854E-5 | 8.060854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.8344287E-8 | 4.0911143E-8 | 4.0911143E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0718979E-7 | 1.7533345E-7 | 1.7533345E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5225327E-6 | 2.1346827E-6 | 2.1346827E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5225041E-5 | 2.1346626E-5 | 2.1346626E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bullion Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4692009E-5 | 2.4691863E-5 | 1.6806321 | 1.0E-5 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.296445E-5 | 7.296382E-5 | 1.1588098 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.6636096E-4 | 7.863456E-4 | 1.0260774 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.0076409746 | 0.0076905927 | 1.0064937 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4692009E-5 | 2.4691863E-5 | 1.6806321 | 1.0E-5 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.296445E-5 | 7.296382E-5 | 1.1588098 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.6636096E-4 | 7.863456E-4 | 1.0260774 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.0076409746 | 0.0076905927 | 1.0064937 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4692009E-5 | 2.4691863E-5 | 1.6806321 | 1.0E-5 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.296445E-5 | 7.296382E-5 | 1.1588098 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.6636096E-4 | 7.863456E-4 | 1.0260774 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.0076409746 | 0.0076905927 | 1.0064937 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2046778E-5 | 9.862255E-6 | 1.9862156E-5 | 2.0139568 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1628023E-5 | 4.2266256E-5 | 5.226583E-5 | 1.2365854 | 1.0E-5 | 6.283899E-4 | 5.144933E-4 | 5.2448816E-4 | 1.0194266 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062661595 | 0.0051353034 | 0.0051651495 | 1.0058119 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2046778E-5 | 9.862255E-6 | 1.9862156E-5 | 2.0139568 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1628023E-5 | 4.2266256E-5 | 5.226583E-5 | 1.2365854 | 1.0E-5 | 6.283899E-4 | 5.144933E-4 | 5.2448816E-4 | 1.0194266 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062661595 | 0.0051353034 | 0.0051651495 | 1.0058119 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0244343E-5 | 7.879378E-6 | 1.78793E-5 | 2.2691257 | 1.0E-5 | 4.390359E-5 | 3.3768443E-5 | 4.376811E-5 | 1.2961245 | 1.0E-5 | 5.343951E-4 | 4.1107394E-4 | 4.2106982E-4 | 1.0243165 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005331118 | 0.0041051665 | 0.0041350434 | 1.0072778 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.605408E-6 | 7.1774166E-6 | 7.1774166E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1165385E-5 | 3.0760108E-5 | 3.0760108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.010733E-4 | 3.7446033E-4 | 3.7446033E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00499945 | 0.0037402906 | 0.0037602158 | 1.0053272 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.60418E-6 | 6.123926E-6 | 6.123926E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.687454E-5 | 2.6245243E-5 | 2.6245243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.48855E-4 | 3.195085E-4 | 3.195085E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004479495 | 0.0031924031 | 0.0032123392 | 1.0062449 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.187994E-6 | 2.563117E-6 | 2.563117E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.223407E-5 | 1.0984763E-5 | 1.0984763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7066618E-4 | 1.3373529E-4 | 1.3373529E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027033675 | 0.0013369396 | 0.0013569129 | 1.0149395 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.5302368E-6 | 2.3442778E-6 | 2.3442778E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9415156E-5 | 1.0046889E-5 | 1.0046889E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3635388E-4 | 1.2231797E-4 | 1.2231797E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023610266 | 0.0012228956 | 0.0012428712 | 1.0163347 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.431668E-6 | 1.6882177E-6 | 1.6882177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4707065E-5 | 7.2352186E-6 | 7.2352186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7904381E-4 | 8.808879E-5 | 8.808879E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017889962 | 8.8088785E-4 | 8.908791E-4 | 1.0113422 | 1.0E-5 |
Ventura-Pitas Point
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.373519E-5 | 4.373485E-5 | 1.2964164 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4457281E-4 | 1.6456992E-4 | 1.1383185 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017590097 | 0.0017889569 | 1.017025 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.017476497 | 0.017525623 | 1.002811 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.373519E-5 | 4.373485E-5 | 1.2964164 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4457281E-4 | 1.6456992E-4 | 1.1383185 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017590097 | 0.0017889569 | 1.017025 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.017476497 | 0.017525623 | 1.002811 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.373519E-5 | 4.373485E-5 | 1.2964164 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4457281E-4 | 1.6456992E-4 | 1.1383185 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017590097 | 0.0017889569 | 1.017025 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.017476497 | 0.017525623 | 1.002811 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.373519E-5 | 4.373485E-5 | 1.2964164 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4457281E-4 | 1.6456992E-4 | 1.1383185 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017590097 | 0.0017889569 | 1.017025 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.017476497 | 0.017525623 | 1.002811 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.7019594E-5 | 1.7019594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.2939205E-5 | 7.2939205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.8769617E-4 | 8.976873E-4 | 1.0112551 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009738282 | 0.008843943 | 0.008873677 | 1.0033622 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.7019594E-5 | 1.7019594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.2939205E-5 | 7.2939205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.8769617E-4 | 8.976873E-4 | 1.0112551 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009738282 | 0.008843943 | 0.008873677 | 1.0033622 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.2122258E-5 | 1.2122258E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.1951512E-5 | 5.1951512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.323284E-4 | 6.4232206E-4 | 1.0158045 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074657016 | 0.006305652 | 0.006325526 | 1.0031518 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.2122258E-5 | 1.2122258E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.1951512E-5 | 5.1951512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.323284E-4 | 6.4232206E-4 | 1.0158045 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074657016 | 0.006305652 | 0.006325526 | 1.0031518 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.3663846E-5 | 1.1344401E-5 | 1.1344401E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8558027E-5 | 4.8617967E-5 | 4.8617967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.127108E-4 | 5.917649E-4 | 6.01759E-4 | 1.0168886 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007104293 | 0.0059022107 | 0.005922093 | 1.0033686 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3644157E-5 | 1.1322501E-5 | 1.1322501E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8473648E-5 | 4.8524114E-5 | 4.8524114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.116841E-4 | 5.906229E-4 | 6.00617E-4 | 1.0169213 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007094092 | 0.0058908514 | 0.0059107337 | 1.003375 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3568845E-5 | 1.12420685E-5 | 1.12420685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8150898E-5 | 4.8179416E-5 | 4.8179416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.077572E-4 | 5.8642845E-4 | 5.964226E-4 | 1.0170424 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007055073 | 0.005849128 | 0.0058690114 | 1.0033994 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.306572E-5 | 1.0720521E-5 | 1.0720521E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.599474E-5 | 4.594429E-5 | 4.594429E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.815227E-4 | 5.5923004E-4 | 5.692244E-4 | 1.0178717 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0067943637 | 0.005578536 | 0.0055984245 | 1.0035652 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.232604E-5 | 9.995121E-6 | 9.995121E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2824813E-5 | 4.283554E-5 | 4.283554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.429523E-4 | 5.2139966E-4 | 5.3139444E-4 | 1.0191691 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064109527 | 0.005202059 | 0.005221955 | 1.0038246 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0917261E-5 | 8.843812E-6 | 8.843812E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.678742E-5 | 3.7901507E-5 | 3.7901507E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.69488E-4 | 4.6135474E-4 | 4.713501E-4 | 1.0216653 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0056803077 | 0.004604239 | 0.004624147 | 1.0043238 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.039959E-5 | 8.42354E-6 | 8.42354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.456891E-5 | 3.6100395E-5 | 3.6100395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.424914E-4 | 4.394352E-4 | 4.494308E-4 | 1.0227464 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0054116896 | 0.0043859277 | 0.0044058403 | 1.0045401 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 9.015877E-6 | 7.29752E-6 | 7.29752E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.86389E-5 | 3.1274718E-5 | 3.1274718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7032707E-4 | 3.8070456E-4 | 3.9070076E-4 | 1.026257 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004693329 | 0.003800772 | 0.003810734 | 1.002621 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.900162E-6 | 3.874119E-6 | 3.874119E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1000526E-5 | 1.6603262E-5 | 1.6603262E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556514E-4 | 2.0212609E-4 | 2.1212407E-4 | 1.0494641 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025535747 | 0.002019436 | 0.002029416 | 1.0049418 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.8850626E-6 | 3.12676E-6 | 3.12676E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6650163E-5 | 1.3400332E-5 | 1.3400332E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0269687E-4 | 1.6313691E-4 | 1.7313528E-4 | 1.0612882 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002025121 | 0.0016301809 | 0.0016401645 | 1.0061243 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.4654719E-6 | 2.029902E-6 | 2.029902E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0566265E-5 | 8.699551E-6 | 8.699551E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2863669E-4 | 1.0591193E-4 | 1.0591193E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012856225 | 0.0010586192 | 0.0010586192 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.095894E-7 | 3.2765078E-7 | 3.2765078E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7553821E-6 | 1.4042168E-6 | 1.4042168E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1371567E-5 | 1.709621E-5 | 1.709621E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1369511E-4 | 1.7094925E-4 | 1.7094925E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.6836056E-9 | 5.6836056E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.4358311E-8 | 2.4358311E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.965624E-7 | 2.965624E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.9656223E-6 | 2.9656223E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Camp Rock 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.249999E-6 | 1.4249957E-5 | 3.3529315 | 1.0E-5 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8214158E-5 | 2.8213975E-5 | 1.5490135 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2173533E-4 | 2.417309E-4 | 1.0901777 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022151938 | 0.0022551052 | 1.018017 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.249999E-6 | 1.4249957E-5 | 3.3529315 | 1.0E-5 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8214158E-5 | 2.8213975E-5 | 1.5490135 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2173533E-4 | 2.417309E-4 | 1.0901777 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022151938 | 0.0022551052 | 1.018017 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.249999E-6 | 1.4249957E-5 | 3.3529315 | 1.0E-5 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8214158E-5 | 2.8213975E-5 | 1.5490135 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2173533E-4 | 2.417309E-4 | 1.0901777 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022151938 | 0.0022551052 | 1.018017 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.249999E-6 | 1.4249957E-5 | 3.3529315 | 1.0E-5 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8214158E-5 | 2.8213975E-5 | 1.5490135 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2173533E-4 | 2.417309E-4 | 1.0901777 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022151938 | 0.0022551052 | 1.018017 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.982846E-6 | 3.6820359E-6 | 3.6820359E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.421175E-5 | 1.578006E-5 | 1.578006E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1644843E-4 | 1.9210564E-4 | 2.0210372E-4 | 1.0520447 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041566887 | 0.0019194306 | 0.001949373 | 1.0155996 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.982846E-6 | 3.6820359E-6 | 3.6820359E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.421175E-5 | 1.578006E-5 | 1.578006E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1644843E-4 | 1.9210564E-4 | 2.0210372E-4 | 1.0520447 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041566887 | 0.0019194306 | 0.001949373 | 1.0155996 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.048869E-6 | 3.4242998E-6 | 3.4242998E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0209088E-5 | 1.467549E-5 | 1.467549E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.677336E-4 | 1.7865976E-4 | 1.8865797E-4 | 1.0559623 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036712566 | 0.0017851929 | 0.0018151393 | 1.0167749 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.987307E-6 | 3.3622775E-6 | 3.3622775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9945259E-5 | 1.4409683E-5 | 1.4409683E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6452254E-4 | 1.7542407E-4 | 1.8542232E-4 | 1.0569947 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036392517 | 0.0017528872 | 0.0017828345 | 1.0170846 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.3737602E-6 | 3.1178672E-6 | 3.1178672E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.731583E-5 | 1.3362222E-5 | 1.3362222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3251947E-4 | 1.6267318E-4 | 1.7267156E-4 | 1.061463 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033202237 | 0.0016255698 | 0.001655521 | 1.0184251 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.112211E-6 | 2.933078E-6 | 2.933078E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6194928E-5 | 1.2570275E-5 | 1.2570275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1887658E-4 | 1.5303263E-4 | 1.630311E-4 | 1.0653355 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003184194 | 0.0015293002 | 0.0015592544 | 1.0195868 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.5140117E-6 | 2.64191E-6 | 2.64191E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3631264E-5 | 1.1322423E-5 | 1.1322423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8767265E-4 | 1.3784204E-4 | 1.4784066E-4 | 1.0725368 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028730053 | 0.0013775907 | 0.0014075494 | 1.0217471 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.8151105E-6 | 2.1342612E-6 | 2.1342612E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0636026E-5 | 9.146803E-6 | 9.146803E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5121463E-4 | 1.1135685E-4 | 1.2135574E-4 | 1.0897914 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025093083 | 0.0011130325 | 0.001142999 | 1.0269234 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.818335E-6 | 1.2937372E-6 | 1.2937372E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6364189E-5 | 5.5445767E-6 | 5.5445767E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9921579E-4 | 6.750321E-5 | 6.750321E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019903728 | 6.7483535E-4 | 6.948218E-4 | 1.0296168 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.7166698E-6 | 7.383078E-7 | 7.383078E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1642818E-5 | 3.1641725E-6 | 3.1641725E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4174209E-4 | 3.852314E-5 | 3.852314E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014165172 | 3.8516664E-4 | 3.951628E-4 | 1.0259528 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0893426E-6 | 5.4614605E-7 | 5.4614605E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.954295E-6 | 2.340624E-6 | 2.340624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0901308E-4 | 2.8496728E-5 | 2.8496728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010895962 | 2.849313E-4 | 2.9492844E-4 | 1.0350862 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6028484E-7 | 3.6028484E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.544077E-6 | 1.544077E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.879898E-5 | 1.879898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8797436E-4 | 1.9797249E-4 | 1.0531888 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.1196716E-8 | 7.1196716E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.0512876E-7 | 3.0512876E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.714938E-6 | 3.714938E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.7148915E-5 | 3.7148915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Clemente
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.163834E-5 | 9.163752E-5 | 1.1224815 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.4983488E-4 | 3.598314E-4 | 1.028575 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003480294 | 0.00425141 | 0.0042613675 | 1.0023421 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03426291 | 0.04175603 | 0.04179436 | 1.0009179 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.163834E-5 | 9.163752E-5 | 1.1224815 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.4983488E-4 | 3.598314E-4 | 1.028575 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003480294 | 0.00425141 | 0.0042613675 | 1.0023421 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03426291 | 0.04175603 | 0.041775193 | 1.000459 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.9400576E-5 | 4.6452373E-5 | 5.6451907E-5 | 1.2152642 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6884868E-4 | 1.9906677E-4 | 2.0906478E-4 | 1.0502244 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020537945 | 0.0024209984 | 0.0024309743 | 1.0041205 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020349167 | 0.023952903 | 0.023962663 | 1.0004075 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2590255E-5 | 3.792912E-5 | 4.7928737E-5 | 1.2636397 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3966505E-4 | 1.6254342E-4 | 1.725418E-4 | 1.061512 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016990956 | 0.0019772002 | 0.0019871802 | 1.0050477 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01686163 | 0.019599883 | 0.019609686 | 1.0005002 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.9454652E-5 | 3.4097764E-5 | 4.409742E-5 | 1.2932644 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2622811E-4 | 1.4612524E-4 | 1.5612377E-4 | 1.0684245 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015357438 | 0.0017776493 | 0.0017876315 | 1.0056154 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015251739 | 0.01763747 | 0.017647294 | 1.000557 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.790836E-5 | 3.2247463E-5 | 4.224714E-5 | 1.310092 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1960178E-4 | 1.3819624E-4 | 1.4819486E-4 | 1.0723509 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001455179 | 0.0016812662 | 0.0016912494 | 1.0059379 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014456868 | 0.016688485 | 0.016698318 | 1.0005893 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2492153E-5 | 2.5762702E-5 | 3.5762445E-5 | 1.3881481 | 1.0E-5 | 9.639138E-5 | 1.1040699E-4 | 1.20405886E-4 | 1.090564 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011729331 | 0.0013433909 | 0.0013533775 | 1.0074339 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011667615 | 0.013354417 | 0.013364283 | 1.0007389 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9862755E-5 | 2.2666423E-5 | 3.2666198E-5 | 1.4411712 | 1.0E-5 | 8.512331E-5 | 9.713826E-5 | 1.0713729E-4 | 1.102936 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010358836 | 0.0011820279 | 0.0011920161 | 1.00845 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010310682 | 0.011758701 | 0.011768583 | 1.0008404 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6697575E-5 | 1.897771E-5 | 2.897752E-5 | 1.526924 | 1.0E-5 | 7.155907E-5 | 8.133056E-5 | 9.132974E-5 | 1.1229451 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7088346E-4 | 9.897591E-4 | 9.997492E-4 | 1.0100935 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008674784 | 0.0098545365 | 0.009864438 | 1.0010048 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5218415E-5 | 1.72694E-5 | 2.7269229E-5 | 1.5790489 | 1.0E-5 | 6.522015E-5 | 7.4009666E-5 | 8.400893E-5 | 1.1351075 | 1.0E-5 | 7.93766E-4 | 9.00704E-4 | 9.10695E-4 | 1.0110924 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007909367 | 0.008971481 | 0.008981391 | 1.0011046 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2392958E-5 | 1.4033016E-5 | 2.4032875E-5 | 1.7125952 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3111595E-5 | 6.014015E-5 | 7.013955E-5 | 1.1662682 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4644177E-4 | 7.319679E-4 | 7.419606E-4 | 1.0136518 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064456454 | 0.0072963564 | 0.007306284 | 1.0013605 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0934128E-5 | 1.2375138E-5 | 2.2375014E-5 | 1.8080618 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6859706E-5 | 5.303527E-5 | 6.3034735E-5 | 1.1885438 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7036756E-4 | 6.455204E-4 | 6.5551396E-4 | 1.0154814 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0056890585 | 0.0064371997 | 0.0064471355 | 1.0015435 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.5798805E-6 | 1.0844935E-5 | 2.0844827E-5 | 1.9220794 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1055984E-5 | 4.6477508E-5 | 5.647704E-5 | 1.2151479 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9974193E-4 | 5.657239E-4 | 5.7571824E-4 | 1.0176665 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049861963 | 0.0056435615 | 0.005653505 | 1.0017619 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.0167365E-6 | 9.083918E-6 | 1.9083827E-5 | 2.1008368 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4356988E-5 | 3.8930535E-5 | 4.8930146E-5 | 1.2568578 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1821605E-4 | 4.7388324E-4 | 4.8387848E-4 | 1.0210923 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041742986 | 0.0047294297 | 0.004739383 | 1.0021044 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.9581017E-6 | 3.3623792E-6 | 1.3362345E-5 | 3.9740746 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2677518E-5 | 1.4410146E-5 | 2.4410001E-5 | 1.6939455 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5433785E-4 | 1.7543444E-4 | 1.8543268E-4 | 1.0569913 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001542307 | 0.0017534546 | 0.0017634371 | 1.0056931 | 1.0E-5 |
Earthquake Valley (So Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0194888E-5 | 3.707208E-5 | 3.707208E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2940024E-4 | 1.5887374E-4 | 1.6887215E-4 | 1.0629331 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015743093 | 0.0019330877 | 0.0019530491 | 1.0103261 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01563203 | 0.0192131 | 0.019242525 | 1.0015315 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0194888E-5 | 3.707208E-5 | 3.707208E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2940024E-4 | 1.5887374E-4 | 1.6887215E-4 | 1.0629331 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015743093 | 0.0019330877 | 0.0019530491 | 1.0103261 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01563203 | 0.0192131 | 0.019242525 | 1.0015315 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0194888E-5 | 3.707208E-5 | 3.707208E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2940024E-4 | 1.5887374E-4 | 1.6887215E-4 | 1.0629331 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015743093 | 0.0019330877 | 0.0019530491 | 1.0103261 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01563203 | 0.0192131 | 0.019242525 | 1.0015315 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5795305E-5 | 1.8446612E-5 | 1.8446612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.769241E-5 | 7.905514E-5 | 8.905435E-5 | 1.126484 | 1.0E-5 | 8.238434E-4 | 9.621823E-4 | 9.821631E-4 | 1.0207661 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008207959 | 0.0095910635 | 0.0096207755 | 1.0030979 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5795305E-5 | 1.8446612E-5 | 1.8446612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.769241E-5 | 7.905514E-5 | 8.905435E-5 | 1.126484 | 1.0E-5 | 8.238434E-4 | 9.621823E-4 | 9.821631E-4 | 1.0207661 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008207959 | 0.0095910635 | 0.0096207755 | 1.0030979 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5795305E-5 | 1.8446612E-5 | 1.8446612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.769241E-5 | 7.905514E-5 | 8.905435E-5 | 1.126484 | 1.0E-5 | 8.238434E-4 | 9.621823E-4 | 9.821631E-4 | 1.0207661 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008207959 | 0.0095910635 | 0.0096207755 | 1.0030979 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5795305E-5 | 1.8446612E-5 | 1.8446612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.769241E-5 | 7.905514E-5 | 8.905435E-5 | 1.126484 | 1.0E-5 | 8.238434E-4 | 9.621823E-4 | 9.821631E-4 | 1.0207661 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008207959 | 0.0095910635 | 0.0096207755 | 1.0030979 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1363076E-5 | 1.3138288E-5 | 1.3138288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8697988E-5 | 5.6306162E-5 | 6.63056E-5 | 1.1775905 | 1.0E-5 | 5.927367E-4 | 6.8538805E-4 | 7.0537435E-4 | 1.0291605 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0059115817 | 0.006840215 | 0.00687001 | 1.0043558 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0049611E-5 | 1.1594328E-5 | 1.1594328E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.306905E-5 | 4.968944E-5 | 5.9688944E-5 | 1.20124 | 1.0E-5 | 5.242395E-4 | 6.0487416E-4 | 6.248621E-4 | 1.0330447 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0052300454 | 0.0060394546 | 0.0060692737 | 1.0049373 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0049611E-5 | 1.1594328E-5 | 1.1594328E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.306905E-5 | 4.968944E-5 | 5.9688944E-5 | 1.20124 | 1.0E-5 | 5.242395E-4 | 6.0487416E-4 | 6.248621E-4 | 1.0330447 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0052300454 | 0.0060394546 | 0.0060692737 | 1.0049373 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0049611E-5 | 1.1594328E-5 | 1.1594328E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.306905E-5 | 4.968944E-5 | 5.9688944E-5 | 1.20124 | 1.0E-5 | 5.242395E-4 | 6.0487416E-4 | 6.248621E-4 | 1.0330447 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0052300454 | 0.0060394546 | 0.0060692737 | 1.0049373 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.140254E-6 | 9.3834515E-6 | 9.3834515E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4886336E-5 | 4.021455E-5 | 5.021415E-5 | 1.2486563 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2465836E-4 | 4.895692E-4 | 5.095594E-4 | 1.0408323 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042384774 | 0.004891483 | 0.0049213367 | 1.0061032 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.673835E-7 | 1.4153493E-7 | 1.4153493E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.173577E-7 | 6.065781E-7 | 6.065781E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.733795E-6 | 7.3850674E-6 | 7.3850674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.733451E-5 | 7.3848576E-5 | 7.3848576E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.6632116E-7 | 1.4051723E-7 | 1.4051723E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1280476E-7 | 6.022166E-7 | 6.022166E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.678364E-6 | 7.331966E-6 | 7.331966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6780245E-5 | 7.33176E-5 | 7.33176E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6569169E-7 | 1.3996352E-7 | 1.3996352E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1010703E-7 | 5.9984353E-7 | 5.9984353E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.645519E-6 | 7.303074E-6 | 7.303074E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.645182E-5 | 7.30287E-5 | 7.30287E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1764555E-7 | 1.0095245E-7 | 1.0095245E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.041951E-7 | 4.3265328E-7 | 4.3265328E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.138558E-6 | 5.267543E-6 | 5.267543E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1383886E-5 | 5.2674397E-5 | 5.2674397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.07927605E-7 | 9.2600665E-8 | 9.2600665E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6254678E-7 | 3.9685995E-7 | 3.9685995E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6314925E-6 | 4.8317615E-6 | 4.8317615E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.63135E-5 | 4.831677E-5 | 4.831677E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.1826905E-8 | 1.1179958E-8 | 1.1179958E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3543875E-8 | 4.791411E-8 | 4.791411E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1388961E-6 | 5.8335416E-7 | 5.8335416E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1388902E-5 | 5.8335318E-6 | 5.8335318E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.6169649E-9 | 1.1968753E-9 | 1.1968753E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1215564E-8 | 5.1294657E-9 | 5.1294657E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3654947E-7 | 6.245124E-8 | 6.245124E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.365494E-6 | 6.2451244E-7 | 6.2451244E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Simi-Santa Rosa
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.198912E-5 | 2.2275388E-5 | 3.2275166E-5 | 1.448916 | 1.0E-5 | 9.4235686E-5 | 9.54627E-5 | 1.0546175E-4 | 1.104743 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011467156 | 0.0011616825 | 0.0011916477 | 1.0257946 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011408163 | 0.011560547 | 0.0116000855 | 1.00342 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.198912E-5 | 2.2275388E-5 | 3.2275166E-5 | 1.448916 | 1.0E-5 | 9.4235686E-5 | 9.54627E-5 | 1.0546175E-4 | 1.104743 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011467156 | 0.0011616825 | 0.0011916477 | 1.0257946 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011408163 | 0.011560547 | 0.0116000855 | 1.00342 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.69983E-5 | 1.6668506E-5 | 1.6668506E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.284782E-5 | 7.143466E-5 | 7.143466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.865613E-4 | 8.6939917E-4 | 8.8938174E-4 | 1.0229844 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008830327 | 0.0086629 | 0.00869264 | 1.003433 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.69983E-5 | 1.6668506E-5 | 1.6668506E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.284782E-5 | 7.143466E-5 | 7.143466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.865613E-4 | 8.6939917E-4 | 8.8938174E-4 | 1.0229844 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008830327 | 0.0086629 | 0.00869264 | 1.003433 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4666188E-5 | 1.4052489E-5 | 1.4052489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.285358E-5 | 6.0223705E-5 | 6.0223705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6497364E-4 | 7.330018E-4 | 7.5298717E-4 | 1.0272651 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0076234564 | 0.0073083164 | 0.007338097 | 1.0040749 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4666188E-5 | 1.4052489E-5 | 1.4052489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.285358E-5 | 6.0223705E-5 | 6.0223705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6497364E-4 | 7.330018E-4 | 7.5298717E-4 | 1.0272651 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0076234564 | 0.0073083164 | 0.007338097 | 1.0040749 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4377586E-5 | 1.3729529E-5 | 1.3729529E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1616774E-5 | 5.883965E-5 | 5.883965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4992597E-4 | 7.1616215E-4 | 7.361478E-4 | 1.0279067 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007474003 | 0.0071410104 | 0.0071707964 | 1.0041711 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3881404E-5 | 1.3207497E-5 | 1.3207497E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9490372E-5 | 5.6602472E-5 | 5.6602472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.240546E-4 | 6.889419E-4 | 7.0892816E-4 | 1.02901 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007217 | 0.0068705105 | 0.0069003045 | 1.0043365 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0176516E-5 | 9.1541E-6 | 9.1541E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3612912E-5 | 3.923136E-5 | 3.923136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.308578E-4 | 4.775537E-4 | 4.875489E-4 | 1.02093 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052959146 | 0.004766908 | 0.0047868127 | 1.0041755 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.699797E-6 | 8.774672E-6 | 8.774672E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.15699E-5 | 3.760529E-5 | 3.760529E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.05996E-4 | 4.5776463E-4 | 4.5776463E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005048454 | 0.0045698346 | 0.004579789 | 1.0021783 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.4049476E-6 | 6.559291E-6 | 6.559291E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1735104E-5 | 2.8111013E-5 | 2.8111013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8630638E-4 | 3.422105E-4 | 3.422105E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038563553 | 0.0034180775 | 0.0034280433 | 1.0029156 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.873439E-6 | 2.759473E-6 | 2.759473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6600346E-5 | 1.1826261E-5 | 1.1826261E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0209046E-4 | 1.4397544E-4 | 1.4397544E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020190678 | 0.0014388453 | 0.0014388453 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.417706E-6 | 2.367616E-6 | 2.367616E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4647229E-5 | 1.0146887E-5 | 1.0146887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7831543E-4 | 1.2353157E-4 | 1.2353157E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017817242 | 0.0012346513 | 0.0012346513 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.90225E-6 | 1.4073756E-6 | 1.4073756E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.152474E-6 | 6.031596E-6 | 6.031596E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9251854E-5 | 7.343223E-5 | 7.343223E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.920754E-4 | 7.340819E-4 | 7.340819E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.5170556E-6 | 1.1024792E-6 | 1.1024792E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5016507E-6 | 4.7249023E-6 | 4.7249023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.915472E-5 | 5.752418E-5 | 5.752418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9126534E-4 | 5.75094E-4 | 5.75094E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.178732E-6 | 8.5351127E-7 | 8.5351127E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0516987E-6 | 3.6579004E-6 | 3.6579004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1502695E-5 | 4.4534037E-5 | 4.4534037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.148568E-4 | 4.4525208E-4 | 4.4525208E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.8722386E-7 | 4.793211E-7 | 4.793211E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9452417E-6 | 2.0542318E-6 | 2.0542318E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5857727E-5 | 2.5009986E-5 | 2.5009986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5851944E-4 | 2.5007184E-4 | 2.5007184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.5126515E-7 | 3.6731117E-7 | 3.6731117E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3625628E-6 | 1.5741898E-6 | 1.5741898E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8763823E-5 | 1.9165593E-5 | 1.9165593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.87601E-4 | 1.9163951E-4 | 1.9163951E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.3860243E-7 | 2.0075514E-7 | 2.0075514E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4511525E-6 | 8.6037886E-7 | 8.6037886E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7667637E-5 | 1.0475063E-5 | 1.0475063E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7666233E-4 | 1.0474575E-4 | 1.0474575E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.7955386E-7 | 1.4648724E-7 | 1.4648724E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1980875E-6 | 6.278023E-7 | 6.278023E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4586617E-5 | 7.643467E-6 | 7.643467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.458566E-4 | 7.643208E-5 | 7.643208E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.6259015E-8 | 3.335318E-8 | 3.335318E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4111003E-7 | 1.429422E-7 | 1.429422E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9355108E-6 | 1.7403199E-6 | 1.7403199E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.935472E-5 | 1.7403077E-5 | 1.7403077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Gregorio (North) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0283932E-5 | 4.3057098E-5 | 6.3056235E-5 | 1.4644794 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1548476E-4 | 1.8451746E-4 | 2.0451377E-4 | 1.1083708 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0026203706 | 0.002244199 | 0.0022641541 | 1.0088918 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02589687 | 0.022295918 | 0.02232525 | 1.0013156 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.0283932E-5 | 4.3057098E-5 | 6.3056235E-5 | 1.4644794 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1548476E-4 | 1.8451746E-4 | 2.0451377E-4 | 1.1083708 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0026203706 | 0.002244199 | 0.0022641541 | 1.0088918 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02589687 | 0.022295918 | 0.02232525 | 1.0013156 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.2998647E-5 | 3.4440873E-5 | 5.444018E-5 | 1.5806854 | 2.0E-5 | 1.842669E-4 | 1.4759546E-4 | 1.675925E-4 | 1.1354855 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022411412 | 0.001795506 | 0.00181547 | 1.0111189 | 2.0E-5 | 0.022186736 | 0.017884884 | 0.017904526 | 1.0010983 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.2998647E-5 | 3.4440873E-5 | 5.444018E-5 | 1.5806854 | 2.0E-5 | 1.842669E-4 | 1.4759546E-4 | 1.675925E-4 | 1.1354855 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022411412 | 0.001795506 | 0.00181547 | 1.0111189 | 2.0E-5 | 0.022186736 | 0.017884884 | 0.017904526 | 1.0010983 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.1101295E-5 | 3.2326076E-5 | 5.2325428E-5 | 1.6186756 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7613651E-4 | 1.3853304E-4 | 1.5853027E-4 | 1.1443499 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021423528 | 0.0016853481 | 0.0017053144 | 1.011847 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02121817 | 0.016800618 | 0.016820282 | 1.0011704 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.1032585E-5 | 3.224411E-5 | 5.2243464E-5 | 1.6202483 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7584208E-4 | 1.381818E-4 | 1.5817903E-4 | 1.1447169 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021387753 | 0.0016810785 | 0.0017010449 | 1.0118772 | 2.0E-5 | 0.021183075 | 0.01675857 | 0.016778236 | 1.0011734 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.011629E-5 | 3.1265718E-5 | 5.126509E-5 | 1.6396583 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7191563E-4 | 1.3398913E-4 | 1.5398645E-4 | 1.1492459 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020910634 | 0.0016301107 | 0.001650078 | 1.0122491 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020714961 | 0.016257357 | 0.016277032 | 1.0012102 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.8583938E-5 | 2.9452754E-5 | 4.9452166E-5 | 1.6790336 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6534925E-4 | 1.2622007E-4 | 1.4621754E-4 | 1.1584334 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020112682 | 0.0015356604 | 0.0015556295 | 1.0130037 | 2.0E-5 | 0.019931622 | 0.015326062 | 0.015345756 | 1.001285 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.44341E-5 | 2.4450024E-5 | 4.4449534E-5 | 1.817975 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4756636E-4 | 1.0478167E-4 | 1.2477957E-4 | 1.1908531 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017951399 | 0.0012749807 | 0.0012949553 | 1.0156665 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017807078 | 0.012751525 | 0.01277127 | 1.0015484 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.221199E-5 | 2.1777196E-5 | 4.177676E-5 | 1.9183719 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3804408E-4 | 9.3327544E-5 | 1.13325674E-4 | 1.214279 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016793909 | 0.0011356788 | 0.0011556561 | 1.0175906 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01666756 | 0.011372544 | 0.011392316 | 1.0017387 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.9186718E-5 | 1.814604E-5 | 3.8145678E-5 | 2.1021488 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2507994E-4 | 7.776645E-5 | 9.7764896E-5 | 1.2571603 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015217843 | 9.463997E-4 | 9.6638076E-4 | 1.0211127 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015114053 | 0.0094966395 | 0.00951645 | 1.002086 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.6840138E-5 | 1.5283675E-5 | 2.5283522E-5 | 1.6542829 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1502409E-4 | 6.549983E-5 | 7.549918E-5 | 1.1526622 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013995186 | 7.971706E-4 | 8.0716267E-4 | 1.0125344 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013907375 | 0.0080155255 | 0.008025446 | 1.0012376 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.453002E-5 | 1.2605825E-5 | 2.2605698E-5 | 1.793274 | 1.0E-5 | 1.05124425E-4 | 5.4023847E-5 | 6.4023305E-5 | 1.1850934 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012791384 | 6.5754243E-4 | 6.675359E-4 | 1.0151981 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012718005 | 0.006627395 | 0.0066373283 | 1.0014989 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.3330727E-5 | 1.1487833E-5 | 1.1487833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9985E-5 | 4.923264E-5 | 4.923264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012166376 | 5.99243E-4 | 5.99243E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012099981 | 0.0060462817 | 0.0060462817 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.2136466E-5 | 1.0368137E-5 | 1.0368137E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.486712E-5 | 4.4434113E-5 | 4.4434113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011543952 | 5.408513E-4 | 5.408513E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011484168 | 0.0054640025 | 0.0054640025 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.0994974E-5 | 9.426374E-6 | 9.426374E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.997535E-5 | 4.0398125E-5 | 4.0398125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010948994 | 4.917364E-4 | 4.917364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010895205 | 0.004973108 | 0.004973108 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.7091823E-5 | 6.892992E-6 | 6.892992E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3248615E-5 | 2.9541061E-5 | 2.9541061E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9143694E-4 | 3.5960317E-4 | 3.5960317E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008878695 | 0.0036480771 | 0.0036480771 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.2772179E-5 | 4.0202267E-6 | 4.0202267E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.473676E-5 | 1.722943E-5 | 1.722943E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6621625E-4 | 2.0974813E-4 | 2.0974813E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006642225 | 0.0021365841 | 0.0021365841 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.041923E-6 | 1.9402341E-6 | 1.9402341E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.017932E-5 | 8.315263E-6 | 8.315263E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6737128E-4 | 1.01233614E-4 | 1.01233614E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036676454 | 0.0010376878 | 0.0010376878 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.946768E-6 | 1.0031822E-6 | 1.0031822E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2628945E-5 | 4.299345E-6 | 4.299345E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5374656E-4 | 5.2343268E-5 | 5.2343268E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015364023 | 5.339059E-4 | 5.339059E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.1433375E-6 | 5.180804E-7 | 5.180804E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9000087E-6 | 2.2203426E-6 | 2.2203426E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.965597E-5 | 2.7032334E-5 | 2.7032334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.963996E-4 | 2.7394458E-4 | 2.7394458E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.6675295E-7 | 1.6288074E-7 | 1.6288074E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1432264E-6 | 6.9806015E-7 | 6.9806015E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3918692E-5 | 8.498849E-6 | 8.498849E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.391782E-4 | 8.6366665E-5 | 8.6366665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.2704569E-8 | 9.429871E-9 | 9.429871E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.444815E-8 | 4.041373E-8 | 4.041373E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.629061E-7 | 4.920371E-7 | 4.920371E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.629041E-6 | 5.1106863E-6 | 5.1106863E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Rose Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.9714607E-5 | 5.9714108E-5 | 1.2011381 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.1304654E-4 | 2.2304442E-4 | 1.046928 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023933933 | 0.0025909478 | 0.002610896 | 1.0076991 | 2.0E-5 | 0.023677798 | 0.025618518 | 0.025657494 | 1.0015213 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.9714607E-5 | 4.9714607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.1304654E-4 | 2.1304654E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023933933 | 0.0025909478 | 0.002600922 | 1.0038496 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023677798 | 0.025618518 | 0.02564775 | 1.0011411 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8844734E-5 | 2.9669678E-5 | 2.9669678E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2361443E-4 | 1.2714976E-4 | 1.2714976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015039665 | 0.001546976 | 0.001546976 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0149382865 | 0.015364873 | 0.01537472 | 1.0006409 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3171577E-5 | 2.3162425E-5 | 2.3162425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9302975E-5 | 9.926383E-5 | 9.926383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012083431 | 0.0012078804 | 0.0012078804 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012017938 | 0.012012152 | 0.012022032 | 1.0008225 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0066604E-5 | 1.9668067E-5 | 1.9668067E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.599689E-5 | 8.428905E-5 | 8.428905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010465092 | 0.001025746 | 0.001025746 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010415946 | 0.010211479 | 0.010221377 | 1.0009693 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.776989E-5 | 1.7115402E-5 | 1.7115402E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.615444E-5 | 7.33497E-5 | 7.33497E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.267859E-4 | 8.926737E-4 | 8.926737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009229303 | 0.008874663 | 0.008874663 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.5227364E-5 | 1.4340872E-5 | 1.4340872E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.52585E-5 | 6.145947E-5 | 6.145947E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.942326E-4 | 7.480173E-4 | 7.480173E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007914 | 0.0074410336 | 0.0074410336 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.2703898E-5 | 1.1674277E-5 | 1.1674277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4444143E-5 | 5.0031682E-5 | 5.0031682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.626558E-4 | 6.089697E-4 | 6.089697E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006606833 | 0.0060623093 | 0.0060623093 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.1554917E-5 | 1.0610384E-5 | 1.0610384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9520135E-5 | 4.547231E-5 | 4.547231E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0274085E-4 | 5.5348873E-4 | 5.5348873E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060110865 | 0.005504414 | 0.005504414 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.732078E-6 | 7.882285E-6 | 7.882285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7422655E-5 | 3.37808E-5 | 3.37808E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5552556E-4 | 4.112066E-4 | 4.112066E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045459294 | 0.004089515 | 0.004089515 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.9337494E-6 | 5.107436E-6 | 5.107436E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5430107E-5 | 2.1888829E-5 | 2.1888829E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0956755E-4 | 2.6646405E-4 | 2.6646405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030913667 | 0.002661461 | 0.002661461 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.013409E-6 | 4.17734E-6 | 4.17734E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1485863E-5 | 1.7902763E-5 | 1.7902763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6155898E-4 | 2.1794444E-4 | 2.1794444E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026125133 | 0.0021773188 | 0.0021773188 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.120763E-6 | 3.2820917E-6 | 3.2820917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7660293E-5 | 1.4066032E-5 | 1.4066032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1499286E-4 | 1.7124058E-4 | 1.7124058E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021478499 | 0.0017110958 | 0.0017110958 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.2081239E-6 | 2.4404965E-6 | 2.4404965E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.374903E-5 | 1.0459229E-5 | 1.0459229E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6738157E-4 | 1.2733374E-4 | 1.2733374E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016725556 | 0.0012726148 | 0.0012726148 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.4194755E-6 | 1.7680321E-6 | 1.7680321E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0369139E-5 | 7.5772587E-6 | 7.5772587E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2623696E-4 | 9.224927E-5 | 9.224927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012616527 | 9.221151E-4 | 9.221151E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3842889E-6 | 9.3782967E-7 | 9.3782967E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9326535E-6 | 4.019264E-6 | 4.019264E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.222766E-5 | 4.8933474E-5 | 4.8933474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.220419E-4 | 4.8923056E-4 | 4.8923056E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.0021575E-6 | 6.4113493E-7 | 6.4113493E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2949537E-6 | 2.7477186E-6 | 2.7477186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2289808E-5 | 3.345298E-5 | 3.345298E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2277505E-4 | 3.344816E-4 | 3.344816E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.7620116E-8 | 6.449304E-8 | 6.449304E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7551473E-7 | 2.763987E-7 | 2.763987E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5718825E-6 | 3.3651493E-6 | 3.3651493E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5717883E-5 | 3.3651013E-5 | 3.3651013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Cruz Catalina Ridge alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2833184E-5 | 3.6558402E-5 | 4.6558034E-5 | 1.273525 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4070606E-4 | 1.5667039E-4 | 1.6666882E-4 | 1.0638182 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00171175 | 0.0019059594 | 0.0019159403 | 1.0052367 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016986247 | 0.018913032 | 0.018952277 | 1.002075 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9835548E-5 | 2.1659505E-5 | 3.165929E-5 | 1.461681 | 1.0E-5 | 8.500672E-5 | 9.282326E-5 | 1.02822334E-4 | 1.1077216 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010344655 | 0.0011295575 | 0.0011395462 | 1.0088431 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010296632 | 0.011240296 | 0.011269959 | 1.0026389 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9835548E-5 | 2.1659505E-5 | 3.165929E-5 | 1.461681 | 1.0E-5 | 8.500672E-5 | 9.282326E-5 | 1.02822334E-4 | 1.1077216 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010344655 | 0.0011295575 | 0.0011395462 | 1.0088431 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010296632 | 0.011240296 | 0.011269959 | 1.0026389 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5728183E-5 | 1.703395E-5 | 2.7033779E-5 | 1.587053 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7404755E-5 | 7.300063E-5 | 8.29999E-5 | 1.1369752 | 1.0E-5 | 8.2034385E-4 | 8.884264E-4 | 8.984175E-4 | 1.0112458 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008173222 | 0.008849427 | 0.008879161 | 1.00336 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5728183E-5 | 1.703395E-5 | 2.7033779E-5 | 1.587053 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7404755E-5 | 7.300063E-5 | 8.29999E-5 | 1.1369752 | 1.0E-5 | 8.2034385E-4 | 8.884264E-4 | 8.984175E-4 | 1.0112458 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008173222 | 0.008849427 | 0.008879161 | 1.00336 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3707734E-5 | 1.4794522E-5 | 2.4794374E-5 | 1.6759158 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8746107E-5 | 6.3403575E-5 | 7.340294E-5 | 1.1577098 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1499916E-4 | 7.716686E-4 | 7.816609E-4 | 1.012949 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0071270303 | 0.0076902895 | 0.007720059 | 1.003871 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2539813E-5 | 1.3510219E-5 | 2.3510085E-5 | 1.7401705 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3740947E-5 | 5.789967E-5 | 6.789909E-5 | 1.1727026 | 1.0E-5 | 6.540996E-4 | 7.0470315E-4 | 7.146961E-4 | 1.0141804 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0065217763 | 0.0070249885 | 0.007044848 | 1.0028269 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1504083E-5 | 1.2377375E-5 | 2.2377251E-5 | 1.8079158 | 1.0E-5 | 4.930228E-5 | 5.3044827E-5 | 6.3044296E-5 | 1.1885098 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0008996E-4 | 6.456314E-4 | 6.5562496E-4 | 1.0154787 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005984721 | 0.006437786 | 0.006457657 | 1.0030867 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.012739E-5 | 1.0877071E-5 | 2.0876963E-5 | 1.9193552 | 1.0E-5 | 4.340238E-5 | 4.6615194E-5 | 5.661473E-5 | 1.2145123 | 1.0E-5 | 5.282958E-4 | 5.673937E-4 | 5.7738804E-4 | 1.0176145 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052704164 | 0.0056596193 | 0.005669563 | 1.0017569 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.9607865E-6 | 9.609117E-6 | 1.960902E-5 | 2.0406682 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8402806E-5 | 4.1181287E-5 | 5.1180876E-5 | 1.2428187 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6745385E-4 | 5.012679E-4 | 5.1126286E-4 | 1.0199394 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046647177 | 0.005001492 | 0.0050114417 | 1.0019894 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.046829E-6 | 8.619746E-6 | 1.861966E-5 | 2.160117 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4485955E-5 | 3.694125E-5 | 4.694088E-5 | 1.2706901 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1978562E-4 | 4.496677E-4 | 4.5966322E-4 | 1.0222286 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004189935 | 0.0044876686 | 0.004497624 | 1.0022184 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.136131E-6 | 7.637656E-6 | 7.637656E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0583058E-5 | 3.2732405E-5 | 3.2732405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7228514E-4 | 3.9844486E-4 | 3.9844486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037166206 | 0.003977381 | 0.003977381 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.362014E-6 | 6.8049585E-6 | 6.8049585E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.726549E-5 | 2.9163786E-5 | 2.9163786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3190678E-4 | 3.550119E-4 | 3.550119E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033141149 | 0.003544516 | 0.003544516 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.004101E-6 | 5.351715E-6 | 5.351715E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1445969E-5 | 2.2935723E-5 | 2.2935723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6107338E-4 | 2.792072E-4 | 2.792072E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002607669 | 0.0027886187 | 0.0027886187 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.4901443E-6 | 3.7320526E-6 | 3.7320526E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4957676E-5 | 1.5994416E-5 | 1.5994416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8209449E-4 | 1.9471499E-4 | 1.9471499E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018194534 | 0.0019454823 | 0.0019454823 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1215045E-6 | 1.189387E-6 | 1.189387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.806439E-6 | 5.097363E-6 | 5.097363E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.851682E-5 | 6.205866E-5 | 6.205866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.850142E-4 | 6.2041637E-4 | 6.2041637E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.8599047E-7 | 2.9951994E-7 | 2.9951994E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2256729E-6 | 1.2836562E-6 | 1.2836562E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4922465E-5 | 1.5628404E-5 | 1.5628404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4921463E-4 | 1.5627318E-4 | 1.5627318E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.0781519E-7 | 2.1744323E-7 | 2.1744323E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.906362E-7 | 9.3189925E-7 | 9.3189925E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08434415E-5 | 1.13458145E-5 | 1.13458145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0842913E-4 | 1.1345245E-4 | 1.1345245E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.614776E-8 | 3.764102E-8 | 3.764102E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5491896E-7 | 1.6131864E-7 | 1.6131864E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8861368E-6 | 1.9640527E-6 | 1.9640527E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8861208E-5 | 1.9640367E-5 | 1.9640367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Superstition Mtn)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.4193904E-5 | 9.599558E-5 | 9.599558E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7508775E-4 | 4.1135435E-4 | 4.2135024E-4 | 1.0243 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033440501 | 0.0049981694 | 0.005028019 | 1.0059721 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03294174 | 0.048820045 | 0.04885809 | 1.0007794 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.4193904E-5 | 9.599558E-5 | 9.599558E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7508775E-4 | 4.1135435E-4 | 4.2135024E-4 | 1.0243 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033440501 | 0.0049981694 | 0.005028019 | 1.0059721 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03294174 | 0.048820045 | 0.04885809 | 1.0007794 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.7023593E-5 | 8.3144616E-5 | 8.3144616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4436394E-4 | 3.5629462E-4 | 3.6629106E-4 | 1.0280566 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002971072 | 0.0043309047 | 0.004350818 | 1.004598 | 2.0E-5 | 0.029316625 | 0.042502448 | 0.042531174 | 1.0006758 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.6940098E-5 | 8.298998E-5 | 8.298998E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4400617E-4 | 3.5563204E-4 | 3.656285E-4 | 1.028109 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002966728 | 0.00432287 | 0.0043427837 | 1.0046066 | 2.0E-5 | 0.029274331 | 0.04242582 | 0.04245455 | 1.0006771 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.4171585E-5 | 7.748391E-5 | 7.748391E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3214328E-4 | 3.3204095E-4 | 3.4203762E-4 | 1.0301068 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028226813 | 0.0040367534 | 0.0040566726 | 1.0049344 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02787096 | 0.039715026 | 0.039743833 | 1.0007254 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.375144E-5 | 5.6421442E-5 | 5.6421442E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.874927E-4 | 2.417904E-4 | 2.5178798E-4 | 1.0413481 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022803338 | 0.002941 | 0.002960941 | 1.0067804 | 2.0E-5 | 0.022570757 | 0.029235592 | 0.029264715 | 1.0009961 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.772192E-5 | 2.5488029E-5 | 2.5488029E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1880282E-4 | 1.0922994E-4 | 1.1922885E-4 | 1.09154 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014454646 | 0.0013290826 | 0.0013390693 | 1.007514 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014360986 | 0.013540891 | 0.01356062 | 1.001457 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.7124124E-5 | 2.4699055E-5 | 2.4699055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1624106E-4 | 1.0584891E-4 | 1.1584785E-4 | 1.0944643 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014143161 | 0.0012879678 | 0.0012979549 | 1.0077542 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014053487 | 0.013134248 | 0.013153985 | 1.0015028 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.5475807E-5 | 2.2164071E-5 | 2.2164071E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0917746E-4 | 9.498548E-5 | 1.0498453E-4 | 1.1052692 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001328425 | 0.0011558468 | 0.0011658352 | 1.0086417 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0132051185 | 0.011821818 | 0.011841581 | 1.0016718 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.1162023E-5 | 1.762564E-5 | 1.762564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.069123E-5 | 7.553629E-5 | 8.553554E-5 | 1.1323767 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011036064 | 9.1927015E-4 | 9.29261E-4 | 1.0108682 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010981417 | 0.009446762 | 0.009466573 | 1.0020971 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.8754288E-5 | 1.616099E-5 | 1.616099E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037304E-5 | 6.9259564E-5 | 7.925887E-5 | 1.1443744 | 1.0E-5 | 9.781026E-4 | 8.429114E-4 | 8.5290294E-4 | 1.0118537 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009738087 | 0.008669995 | 0.008689821 | 1.0022868 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.8678527E-5 | 1.6086136E-5 | 1.6086136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0048376E-5 | 6.8938774E-5 | 7.893809E-5 | 1.1450462 | 1.0E-5 | 9.7415317E-4 | 8.3900883E-4 | 8.490004E-4 | 1.0119088 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009698939 | 0.008631011 | 0.0086508375 | 1.0022973 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.7804578E-5 | 1.5380709E-5 | 1.5380709E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6303106E-5 | 6.591567E-5 | 7.591501E-5 | 1.151699 | 1.0E-5 | 9.285943E-4 | 8.022301E-4 | 8.122221E-4 | 1.0124552 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009247236 | 0.008262424 | 0.0082723405 | 1.0012003 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.6583685E-5 | 1.4529837E-5 | 1.4529837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1070994E-5 | 6.226926E-5 | 7.226864E-5 | 1.1605829 | 1.0E-5 | 8.649459E-4 | 7.5786654E-4 | 7.6785893E-4 | 1.0131849 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00861587 | 0.007817646 | 0.007827568 | 1.0012691 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.6387552E-5 | 1.4394727E-5 | 1.4394727E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.023047E-5 | 6.169024E-5 | 7.1689625E-5 | 1.1620902 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5472054E-4 | 7.508219E-4 | 7.6081435E-4 | 1.0133088 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008514405 | 0.0077470187 | 0.007756941 | 1.0012808 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.5790754E-5 | 1.40354305E-5 | 1.40354305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.767291E-5 | 6.015047E-5 | 7.0149865E-5 | 1.1662397 | 1.0E-5 | 8.236062E-4 | 7.320879E-4 | 7.4208056E-4 | 1.0136496 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008205604 | 0.007557581 | 0.007567506 | 1.0013132 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.4248672E-5 | 1.3054444E-5 | 1.3054444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.106431E-5 | 5.5946428E-5 | 6.594587E-5 | 1.1787324 | 1.0E-5 | 7.432043E-4 | 6.809366E-4 | 6.909298E-4 | 1.0146756 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007407237 | 0.007040175 | 0.007050105 | 1.0014104 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.15449975E-5 | 1.0903222E-5 | 1.0903222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.947762E-5 | 4.672726E-5 | 5.6726793E-5 | 1.2139978 | 1.0E-5 | 6.022235E-4 | 5.6875666E-4 | 5.78751E-4 | 1.0175722 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006005941 | 0.0059102564 | 0.0059201973 | 1.0016819 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 9.1391985E-6 | 9.5139185E-6 | 9.5139185E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9167408E-5 | 4.0773306E-5 | 5.07729E-5 | 1.2452486 | 1.0E-5 | 4.767588E-4 | 4.963025E-4 | 5.062975E-4 | 1.020139 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047573727 | 0.005176809 | 0.0051867575 | 1.0019217 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 6.973017E-6 | 7.3817937E-6 | 7.3817937E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9884017E-5 | 3.163588E-5 | 4.163556E-5 | 1.3160868 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6377716E-4 | 3.8509927E-4 | 3.950954E-4 | 1.0259573 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036318225 | 0.004051976 | 0.0040619355 | 1.002458 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 5.7638235E-6 | 6.259641E-6 | 6.259641E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4701867E-5 | 2.682676E-5 | 3.6826492E-5 | 1.3727521 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0070372E-4 | 3.2656736E-4 | 3.365641E-4 | 1.0306115 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030029714 | 0.0034535413 | 0.0034635067 | 1.0028856 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 5.1124434E-6 | 5.4953657E-6 | 5.4953657E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1910288E-5 | 2.3551356E-5 | 3.355112E-5 | 1.424594 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6672508E-4 | 2.8670052E-4 | 2.9669766E-4 | 1.0348696 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026640517 | 0.0030403896 | 0.0030503592 | 1.0032791 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 1.1075938E-6 | 5.3348367E-7 | 5.3348367E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7468216E-6 | 2.2863567E-6 | 2.2863567E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.779102E-5 | 2.7836059E-5 | 2.7836059E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.777599E-4 | 3.133962E-4 | 3.133962E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.3584393E-8 | 4.4718784E-9 | 4.4718784E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8218827E-8 | 1.9165192E-8 | 1.9165192E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0881396E-7 | 2.3333622E-7 | 2.3333622E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0881174E-6 | 2.6140672E-6 | 2.6140672E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 03a Dunnigan Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6591328E-5 | 1.8107954E-5 | 3.810759E-5 | 2.104467 | 2.0E-5 | 7.110376E-5 | 7.7603596E-5 | 1.0760127E-4 | 1.3865501 | 3.0E-5 | 8.6534437E-4 | 9.444834E-4 | 9.7445503E-4 | 1.0317334 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008619824 | 0.009411525 | 0.009441243 | 1.0031576 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.041125E-6 | 8.769726E-6 | 1.8769639E-5 | 2.1402764 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4461507E-5 | 3.7584115E-5 | 4.758374E-5 | 1.2660599 | 1.0E-5 | 4.194881E-4 | 4.5751085E-4 | 4.6750627E-4 | 1.0218474 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004186971 | 0.004567687 | 0.0045776414 | 1.0021793 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.2807004E-6 | 3.5795688E-6 | 3.5795688E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4060069E-5 | 1.5340942E-5 | 1.5340942E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7116789E-4 | 1.8676413E-4 | 1.8676413E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017103611 | 0.0018664796 | 0.0018664796 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.9339366E-6 | 2.1103806E-6 | 2.1103806E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.288273E-6 | 9.044474E-6 | 9.044474E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.00905054E-4 | 1.1011375E-4 | 1.1011375E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010085925 | 0.0011008718 | 0.0011008718 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.3142635E-6 | 1.4339867E-6 | 1.4339867E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6325457E-6 | 6.145657E-6 | 6.145657E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.857408E-5 | 7.482337E-5 | 7.482337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8552926E-4 | 7.4823375E-4 | 7.4823375E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Juan
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.74917E-6 | 1.8749082E-5 | 2.1429555 | 1.0E-5 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.749593E-5 | 5.749518E-5 | 1.5333712 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.5642213E-4 | 4.76413E-4 | 1.043799 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004520337 | 0.004555389 | 0.0045952066 | 1.0087408 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.74917E-6 | 1.8749082E-5 | 2.1429555 | 1.0E-5 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.749593E-5 | 5.749518E-5 | 1.5333712 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.5642213E-4 | 4.76413E-4 | 1.043799 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004520337 | 0.004555389 | 0.0045952066 | 1.0087408 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.74917E-6 | 1.8749082E-5 | 2.1429555 | 1.0E-5 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.749593E-5 | 5.749518E-5 | 1.5333712 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.5642213E-4 | 4.76413E-4 | 1.043799 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004520337 | 0.004555389 | 0.0045952066 | 1.0087408 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.3054235E-6 | 6.282591E-6 | 6.282591E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7022963E-5 | 2.692512E-5 | 3.6924852E-5 | 1.3713903 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2895492E-4 | 3.2776545E-4 | 3.3776215E-4 | 1.0304996 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003284684 | 0.0032730205 | 0.003292955 | 1.0060905 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.1490473E-6 | 6.1144706E-6 | 6.1144706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6352795E-5 | 2.6204618E-5 | 3.6204357E-5 | 1.3816022 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2079802E-4 | 3.189959E-4 | 3.289927E-4 | 1.0313383 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032033534 | 0.0031855768 | 0.003205513 | 1.0062582 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.204848E-6 | 5.137238E-6 | 5.137238E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.23063E-5 | 2.2016555E-5 | 3.2016334E-5 | 1.4541937 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7154534E-4 | 2.6801953E-4 | 2.7801684E-4 | 1.0373007 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027121378 | 0.0026771172 | 0.0026970638 | 1.0074507 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.5179986E-6 | 4.415036E-6 | 4.415036E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9362706E-5 | 1.892145E-5 | 2.8921262E-5 | 1.5284907 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3571544E-4 | 2.303451E-4 | 2.403428E-4 | 1.0434031 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023546559 | 0.0023012008 | 0.0023211548 | 1.0086712 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.9442616E-6 | 3.8198336E-6 | 3.8198336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6903869E-5 | 1.6370615E-5 | 2.6370451E-5 | 1.6108406 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0578515E-4 | 1.9929469E-4 | 2.092927E-4 | 1.050167 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002055947 | 0.001991285 | 0.0020112451 | 1.0100237 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4536245E-6 | 3.3163408E-6 | 3.3163408E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4801163E-5 | 1.4212815E-5 | 2.4212673E-5 | 1.7035804 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8018926E-4 | 1.7302789E-4 | 1.8302616E-4 | 1.0577842 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018004322 | 0.001729051 | 0.0017490163 | 1.0115471 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.059865E-6 | 2.9120363E-6 | 2.9120363E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3113641E-5 | 1.2480099E-5 | 1.2480099E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.596469E-4 | 1.5193518E-4 | 1.5193518E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015953224 | 0.0015184281 | 0.0015284129 | 1.0065757 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.6504351E-6 | 2.492005E-6 | 2.492005E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1358958E-5 | 1.0679981E-5 | 1.0679981E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3828653E-4 | 1.3002155E-4 | 1.3002155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013820052 | 0.001299567 | 0.0013095541 | 1.0076848 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2039317E-6 | 2.0338366E-6 | 2.0338366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.445387E-6 | 8.716416E-6 | 8.716416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1499152E-4 | 1.0611773E-4 | 1.0611773E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011493203 | 0.0010607811 | 0.0010707704 | 1.009417 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0786707E-6 | 8.770239E-7 | 8.770239E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.622866E-6 | 3.7586685E-6 | 3.7586685E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.628194E-5 | 4.576084E-5 | 4.576084E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6267687E-4 | 4.5757365E-4 | 4.5757365E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.846433E-7 | 4.868812E-7 | 4.868812E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9341822E-6 | 2.086632E-6 | 2.086632E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5723086E-5 | 2.5404452E-5 | 2.5404452E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.571734E-4 | 2.5405022E-4 | 2.5405022E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.23043E-7 | 3.2627884E-7 | 3.2627884E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2416111E-6 | 1.3983371E-6 | 1.3983371E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7291273E-5 | 1.7024622E-5 | 1.7024622E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7287923E-4 | 1.7026608E-4 | 1.7026608E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.648444E-7 | 2.723464E-7 | 2.723464E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9921886E-6 | 1.1671983E-6 | 1.1671983E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4254627E-5 | 1.4210547E-5 | 1.4210547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.425198E-4 | 1.4212691E-4 | 1.4212691E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.9906567E-7 | 2.2083036E-7 | 2.2083036E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7102802E-6 | 9.4641547E-7 | 9.4641547E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0822463E-5 | 1.1522548E-5 | 1.1522548E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0820512E-4 | 1.15244526E-4 | 1.15244526E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.8784601E-7 | 5.366277E-8 | 5.366277E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0505407E-7 | 2.2998329E-7 | 2.2998329E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.80149E-6 | 2.800043E-6 | 2.800043E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.801057E-5 | 2.8008939E-5 | 2.8008939E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.00154914E-7 | 1.2412917E-8 | 1.2412917E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2923529E-7 | 5.3198217E-8 | 5.3198217E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.225927E-6 | 6.476881E-7 | 6.476881E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.225804E-5 | 6.4827886E-6 | 6.4827886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.171429E-8 | 4.2946513E-9 | 4.2946513E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6448978E-7 | 1.8405647E-8 | 1.8405647E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2201583E-6 | 2.2408874E-7 | 2.2408874E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2201115E-5 | 2.2462114E-6 | 2.2462114E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.3974572E-8 | 3.3737857E-10 | 3.3737857E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.989102E-8 | 1.4459075E-9 | 1.4459075E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2917294E-7 | 1.760392E-8 | 1.760392E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2917055E-6 | 1.8038004E-7 | 1.8038004E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.8403477E-9 | 1.1291601E-10 | 1.1291601E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.887204E-9 | 4.839261E-10 | 4.839261E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602671E-8 | 5.8917977E-9 | 5.8917977E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602667E-7 | 6.0206084E-8 | 6.0206084E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Malibu Coast (Extension) alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.930738E-6 | 9.3292765E-6 | 3.9328996E-5 | 4.2156534 | 3.0E-5 | 3.827403E-5 | 3.998201E-5 | 6.9980815E-5 | 1.7503074 | 3.0E-5 | 4.6588664E-4 | 4.86674E-4 | 5.166594E-4 | 1.061613 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0046491115 | 0.004856264 | 0.0048960703 | 1.0081968 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.199952E-6 | 7.5302974E-6 | 3.753007E-5 | 4.983876 | 3.0E-5 | 3.0856572E-5 | 3.2272306E-5 | 6.227134E-5 | 1.9295596 | 3.0E-5 | 3.75614E-4 | 3.928451E-4 | 4.228333E-4 | 1.076336 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0037497976 | 0.0039215726 | 0.003961416 | 1.01016 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.3721413E-6 | 6.666792E-6 | 3.666659E-5 | 5.499885 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7308892E-5 | 2.8571656E-5 | 5.85708E-5 | 2.0499616 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3243504E-4 | 3.4780474E-4 | 3.7779432E-4 | 1.0862253 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0033193815 | 0.0034726441 | 0.0035125052 | 1.0114785 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.016345E-6 | 6.295159E-6 | 3.629497E-5 | 5.765537 | 3.0E-5 | 2.578408E-5 | 2.6978976E-5 | 5.6978166E-5 | 2.111947 | 3.0E-5 | 3.1387596E-4 | 3.2841985E-4 | 3.5841E-4 | 1.0913165 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00313433 | 0.0032793812 | 0.00331925 | 1.0121574 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.8104883E-6 | 6.0795455E-6 | 3.6079364E-5 | 5.9345493 | 3.0E-5 | 2.4901856E-5 | 2.6054937E-5 | 5.6054156E-5 | 2.1513834 | 3.0E-5 | 3.031379E-4 | 3.17173E-4 | 3.4716347E-4 | 1.0945556 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0030272473 | 0.0031672379 | 0.003207111 | 1.0125893 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.476925E-6 | 5.727514E-6 | 3.5727342E-5 | 6.2378445 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3472323E-5 | 2.454626E-5 | 5.4545522E-5 | 2.2221522 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8573806E-4 | 2.9881002E-4 | 3.2880105E-4 | 1.1003683 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0028537093 | 0.0029841145 | 0.003023995 | 1.0133643 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.222387E-6 | 5.4585807E-6 | 3.5458415E-5 | 6.4959044 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2381464E-5 | 2.3393708E-5 | 5.3393007E-5 | 2.282366 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7246025E-4 | 2.8478145E-4 | 3.1477291E-4 | 1.1053139 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0027212645 | 0.002844196 | 0.0028840823 | 1.0140238 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.0337076E-6 | 5.259104E-6 | 3.5258945E-5 | 6.704364 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1572854E-5 | 2.2538823E-5 | 5.2538147E-5 | 2.3310065 | 3.0E-5 | 2.6261783E-4 | 2.743759E-4 | 3.0436768E-4 | 1.1093091 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002623077 | 0.0027404015 | 0.002780292 | 1.0145564 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.5675624E-6 | 4.7587173E-6 | 3.4758574E-5 | 7.3041897 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9575122E-5 | 2.0394344E-5 | 5.0393734E-5 | 2.470966 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3830103E-4 | 2.4827302E-4 | 2.782656E-4 | 1.1208047 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0023804565 | 0.0024799763 | 0.0025198772 | 1.0160892 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.2802412E-6 | 4.4520216E-6 | 3.445189E-5 | 7.738482 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8343762E-5 | 1.9079953E-5 | 4.907938E-5 | 2.572301 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2331243E-4 | 2.3227383E-4 | 2.6226684E-4 | 1.1291279 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0022308815 | 0.0023203273 | 0.0023602345 | 1.0171989 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.9794063E-6 | 4.1301E-6 | 3.4129975E-5 | 8.263717 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7054486E-5 | 1.770031E-5 | 4.7699777E-5 | 2.6948557 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0761859E-4 | 2.1548007E-4 | 2.454736E-4 | 1.139194 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020742472 | 0.002152725 | 0.0021926388 | 1.0185411 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.7730424E-6 | 3.911218E-6 | 3.39111E-5 | 8.670215 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6170083E-5 | 1.6762255E-5 | 4.6761754E-5 | 2.7897053 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9685295E-4 | 2.0406146E-4 | 2.3405535E-4 | 1.1469846 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019667868 | 0.0020387538 | 0.0020686926 | 1.0146849 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.424985E-6 | 3.541338E-6 | 3.3541233E-5 | 9.471345 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4678424E-5 | 1.5177075E-5 | 4.517662E-5 | 2.9766355 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7869516E-4 | 1.8476533E-4 | 2.1475978E-4 | 1.1623381 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017855153 | 0.0018461292 | 0.0018760738 | 1.0162202 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.6966375E-6 | 2.759654E-6 | 2.27596E-5 | 8.247265 | 2.0E-5 | 1.15569665E-5 | 1.1827035E-5 | 3.18268E-5 | 2.6910207 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4069698E-4 | 1.4398468E-4 | 1.6398181E-4 | 1.1388837 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014060794 | 0.001438918 | 0.0014588893 | 1.0138793 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.215957E-6 | 2.249379E-6 | 2.249379E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.496924E-6 | 9.64016E-6 | 9.64016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1561892E-4 | 1.1736266E-4 | 1.1736266E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011555878 | 0.0011730106 | 0.0011730106 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2040218E-6 | 1.2219067E-6 | 1.2219067E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.160083E-6 | 5.2367327E-6 | 5.2367327E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2822204E-5 | 6.3755375E-5 | 6.3755375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.280445E-4 | 6.3737266E-4 | 6.3737266E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.6157446E-7 | 6.6789755E-7 | 6.6789755E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.835316E-6 | 2.8624152E-6 | 2.8624152E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4519428E-5 | 3.4849363E-5 | 3.4849363E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4514067E-4 | 3.484405E-4 | 3.484405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.6012302E-7 | 2.4357584E-7 | 2.4357584E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1148124E-6 | 1.0438962E-6 | 1.0438962E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3572758E-5 | 1.2709373E-5 | 1.2709373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3571928E-4 | 1.2708752E-4 | 1.2708752E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.8323132E-8 | 2.0266642E-8 | 2.0266642E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2138484E-7 | 8.685703E-8 | 8.685703E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4778595E-6 | 1.0574839E-6 | 1.0574839E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4778497E-5 | 1.0574797E-5 | 1.0574797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ortigalita (South)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.72394E-5 | 4.32556E-5 | 5.3255168E-5 | 1.231174 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5958765E-4 | 1.8536886E-4 | 2.0536516E-4 | 1.107873 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019412481 | 0.0022546863 | 0.0022746413 | 1.0088505 | 2.0E-5 | 0.019243775 | 0.022334501 | 0.022373607 | 1.001751 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.7299884E-5 | 3.1492036E-5 | 3.1492036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16994255E-4 | 1.349592E-4 | 1.4495786E-4 | 1.0740864 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014234743 | 0.0016419457 | 0.0016519293 | 1.0060804 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014143906 | 0.016304072 | 0.016333584 | 1.0018101 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.7299884E-5 | 3.1492036E-5 | 3.1492036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16994255E-4 | 1.349592E-4 | 1.4495786E-4 | 1.0740864 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014234743 | 0.0016419457 | 0.0016519293 | 1.0060804 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014143906 | 0.016304072 | 0.016333584 | 1.0018101 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0546433E-5 | 2.3631454E-5 | 2.3631454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.805317E-5 | 1.0127383E-4 | 1.1127282E-4 | 1.0987322 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00107152 | 0.0012323305 | 0.0012423181 | 1.0081047 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010663681 | 0.012257031 | 0.012286663 | 1.0024176 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0546433E-5 | 2.3631454E-5 | 2.3631454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.805317E-5 | 1.0127383E-4 | 1.1127282E-4 | 1.0987322 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00107152 | 0.0012323305 | 0.0012423181 | 1.0081047 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010663681 | 0.012257031 | 0.012286663 | 1.0024176 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7779594E-5 | 2.0446974E-5 | 2.0446974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.619603E-5 | 8.762703E-5 | 9.762615E-5 | 1.11411 | 1.0E-5 | 9.272918E-4 | 0.0010663505 | 0.0010763399 | 1.0093678 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009234319 | 0.010613804 | 0.010643485 | 1.0027965 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.6272212E-5 | 1.8714967E-5 | 1.8714967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.973618E-5 | 8.0204605E-5 | 9.020381E-5 | 1.1246711 | 1.0E-5 | 8.487073E-4 | 9.760659E-4 | 9.86056E-4 | 1.0102352 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008454733 | 0.009719091 | 0.009748799 | 1.0030568 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3051484E-5 | 1.5038758E-5 | 1.5038758E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.593373E-5 | 6.445028E-5 | 7.4449636E-5 | 1.1551484 | 1.0E-5 | 6.807804E-4 | 7.844092E-4 | 7.9440133E-4 | 1.0127385 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006786986 | 0.007817388 | 0.007837231 | 1.0025384 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.04277415E-5 | 1.1987235E-5 | 1.1987235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4689557E-5 | 5.1372896E-5 | 6.137238E-5 | 1.1946452 | 1.0E-5 | 5.439595E-4 | 6.2529295E-4 | 6.352867E-4 | 1.0159825 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0054262993 | 0.00623609 | 0.006255965 | 1.0031872 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.639968E-6 | 8.791503E-6 | 8.791503E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.274231E-5 | 3.767736E-5 | 3.767736E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9856473E-4 | 4.586312E-4 | 4.586312E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003978506 | 0.004577433 | 0.004587387 | 1.0021746 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.919831E-6 | 4.5334014E-6 | 4.5334014E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.679917E-5 | 1.942873E-5 | 1.942873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.045107E-4 | 2.3652123E-4 | 2.3652123E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020432258 | 0.0023629034 | 0.0023629034 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.6017933E-6 | 1.8570418E-6 | 1.8570418E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8648105E-6 | 7.958732E-6 | 7.958732E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.357586E-5 | 9.689432E-5 | 9.689432E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3544437E-4 | 9.686254E-4 | 9.686254E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Palos Verdes
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.622572E-5 | 7.622572E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.266441E-4 | 3.266441E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0039701737 | 0.003980134 | 1.0025088 | 1.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.03904909 | 0.039087527 | 1.0009843 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.622572E-5 | 7.622572E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.266441E-4 | 3.266441E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0039701737 | 0.003980134 | 1.0025088 | 1.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.03904909 | 0.039087527 | 1.0009843 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.622572E-5 | 7.622572E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.266441E-4 | 3.266441E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0039701737 | 0.003980134 | 1.0025088 | 1.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.03904909 | 0.039087527 | 1.0009843 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.9749007E-5 | 4.9749007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1319388E-4 | 2.1319388E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021286458 | 0.002592754 | 0.002592754 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021083709 | 0.025646746 | 0.02565649 | 1.0003799 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.9749007E-5 | 4.9749007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1319388E-4 | 2.1319388E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021286458 | 0.002592754 | 0.002592754 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021083709 | 0.025646746 | 0.02565649 | 1.0003799 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.0512005E-5 | 3.6561592E-5 | 3.6561592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3075917E-4 | 1.566838E-4 | 1.566838E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015908304 | 0.001906072 | 0.001906072 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015794903 | 0.018909173 | 0.018918984 | 1.0005188 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9255087E-5 | 3.5154393E-5 | 3.5154393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2537291E-4 | 1.5065364E-4 | 1.5065364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015253464 | 0.0018327782 | 0.0018327782 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015149189 | 0.018188244 | 0.018198062 | 1.0005398 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.287198E-5 | 2.724828E-5 | 2.724828E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.801909E-5 | 1.16773626E-4 | 1.16773626E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001192729 | 0.0014208833 | 0.0014208833 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011863477 | 0.014127217 | 0.014127217 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.1325764E-5 | 2.5431878E-5 | 2.5431878E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.139293E-5 | 1.0898972E-4 | 1.0898972E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001112141 | 0.0013262323 | 0.0013262323 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011065915 | 0.013192211 | 0.013192211 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.9009392E-5 | 2.2613547E-5 | 2.2613547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1466285E-5 | 9.6912096E-5 | 9.6912096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.914007E-4 | 0.0011793535 | 0.0011793535 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009869894 | 0.011739633 | 0.011739633 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.7098473E-5 | 2.0319356E-5 | 2.0319356E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3277115E-5 | 8.708052E-5 | 8.708052E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.917837E-4 | 0.001059775 | 0.001059775 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008882134 | 0.010555646 | 0.010555646 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.5982785E-5 | 1.899476E-5 | 1.899476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.849585E-5 | 8.1404054E-5 | 8.1404054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.336179E-4 | 9.907284E-4 | 9.907284E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008304977 | 0.009871479 | 0.009871479 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.4468002E-5 | 1.7197237E-5 | 1.7197237E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.200425E-5 | 7.370083E-5 | 7.370083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.546402E-4 | 8.970222E-4 | 8.970222E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007520827 | 0.008942284 | 0.008942284 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.288233E-6 | 6.2036747E-6 | 6.2036747E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2663658E-5 | 2.6587102E-5 | 2.6587102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7589512E-4 | 3.236848E-4 | 3.236848E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027555283 | 0.0032355562 | 0.0032355562 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 8.279556E-7 | 8.408347E-7 | 8.408347E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5483763E-6 | 3.6035726E-6 | 3.6035726E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3200624E-5 | 4.3872686E-5 | 4.3872686E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3192226E-4 | 4.3864746E-4 | 4.3864746E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.559831E-7 | 6.667229E-7 | 6.667229E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8113532E-6 | 2.857381E-6 | 2.857381E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4227687E-5 | 3.4788125E-5 | 3.4788125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4222414E-4 | 3.4783344E-4 | 3.4783344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.5018968E-7 | 3.5620027E-7 | 3.5620027E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.500812E-6 | 1.526572E-6 | 1.526572E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8272232E-5 | 1.8585903E-5 | 1.8585903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8270731E-4 | 1.8584808E-4 | 1.8584808E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.1986104E-7 | 1.2198376E-7 | 1.2198376E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1369005E-7 | 5.2278745E-7 | 5.2278745E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2541585E-6 | 6.364919E-6 | 6.364919E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2539824E-5 | 6.364741E-5 | 6.364741E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.0445005E-8 | 3.1027582E-8 | 3.1027582E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3047858E-7 | 1.3297536E-7 | 1.3297536E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885756E-6 | 1.6189739E-6 | 1.6189739E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885644E-5 | 1.6189642E-5 | 1.6189642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 04b Gordon Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1181217E-5 | 2.3981951E-5 | 5.398123E-5 | 2.2509108 | 3.0E-5 | 9.077348E-5 | 1.02776685E-4 | 1.327736E-4 | 1.291865 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011046068 | 0.0012507545 | 0.001280717 | 1.0239555 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010991322 | 0.0124536 | 0.012483226 | 1.002379 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1181217E-5 | 2.3981951E-5 | 5.398123E-5 | 2.2509108 | 3.0E-5 | 9.077348E-5 | 1.02776685E-4 | 1.327736E-4 | 1.291865 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011046068 | 0.0012507545 | 0.001280717 | 1.0239555 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010991322 | 0.0124536 | 0.012483226 | 1.002379 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1181217E-5 | 2.3981951E-5 | 5.398123E-5 | 2.2509108 | 3.0E-5 | 9.077348E-5 | 1.02776685E-4 | 1.327736E-4 | 1.291865 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011046068 | 0.0012507545 | 0.001280717 | 1.0239555 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010991322 | 0.0124536 | 0.012483226 | 1.002379 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1181217E-5 | 2.3981951E-5 | 5.398123E-5 | 2.2509108 | 3.0E-5 | 9.077348E-5 | 1.02776685E-4 | 1.327736E-4 | 1.291865 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011046068 | 0.0012507545 | 0.001280717 | 1.0239555 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010991322 | 0.0124536 | 0.012483226 | 1.002379 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0988268E-5 | 1.2254499E-5 | 3.2254255E-5 | 2.6320338 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7091726E-5 | 5.2518313E-5 | 7.251726E-5 | 1.3807995 | 2.0E-5 | 5.731909E-4 | 6.392388E-4 | 6.5922603E-4 | 1.0312672 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005717147 | 0.0063755875 | 0.00639546 | 1.003117 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0988268E-5 | 1.2254499E-5 | 3.2254255E-5 | 2.6320338 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7091726E-5 | 5.2518313E-5 | 7.251726E-5 | 1.3807995 | 2.0E-5 | 5.731909E-4 | 6.392388E-4 | 6.5922603E-4 | 1.0312672 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005717147 | 0.0063755875 | 0.00639546 | 1.003117 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0517822E-5 | 1.1724062E-5 | 3.1723826E-5 | 2.7058735 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5075605E-5 | 5.02451E-5 | 7.0244096E-5 | 1.3980287 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4865726E-4 | 6.11578E-4 | 6.315658E-4 | 1.0326823 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0054730466 | 0.0061005033 | 0.006120381 | 1.0032585 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.789219E-6 | 8.6776445E-6 | 1.8677558E-5 | 2.1523764 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3381937E-5 | 3.7189402E-5 | 4.718903E-5 | 1.2688838 | 1.0E-5 | 4.063493E-4 | 4.526921E-4 | 4.6268757E-4 | 1.0220801 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004056071 | 0.0045182165 | 0.0045281714 | 1.0022032 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.5850853E-6 | 8.452389E-6 | 1.8452305E-5 | 2.1830876 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2507105E-5 | 3.622405E-5 | 4.6223686E-5 | 1.2760497 | 1.0E-5 | 3.957021E-4 | 4.409437E-4 | 4.509393E-4 | 1.0226686 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039499826 | 0.0044012 | 0.0044111563 | 1.0022621 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.604105E-6 | 7.3585493E-6 | 1.7358476E-5 | 2.3589535 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8303E-5 | 3.153628E-5 | 4.1535965E-5 | 1.3170851 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4453452E-4 | 3.8389044E-4 | 3.938866E-4 | 1.0260391 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034400085 | 0.0038326595 | 0.003842621 | 1.0025991 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.3701115E-6 | 5.9884183E-6 | 1.5988358E-5 | 2.66988 | 1.0E-5 | 2.301456E-5 | 2.5664414E-5 | 3.5664158E-5 | 1.3896346 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8016625E-4 | 3.1242234E-4 | 3.2241922E-4 | 1.0319979 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027981328 | 0.00312012 | 0.0031300886 | 1.003195 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.4685607E-6 | 4.986478E-6 | 1.4986428E-5 | 3.0054135 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9150835E-5 | 2.1370459E-5 | 3.1370244E-5 | 1.4679257 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3313647E-4 | 2.6015675E-4 | 2.7015415E-4 | 1.0384283 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023289204 | 0.0025987667 | 0.002608741 | 1.003838 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.833378E-6 | 3.164419E-6 | 1.3164387E-5 | 4.1601276 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2142991E-5 | 1.3561736E-5 | 2.3561599E-5 | 1.7373588 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4783088E-4 | 1.6510337E-4 | 1.7510171E-4 | 1.0605581 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014773258 | 0.0016499789 | 0.0016599623 | 1.0060507 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.0087293E-7 | 7.7728157E-7 | 7.7728157E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0037377E-6 | 3.3312049E-6 | 3.3312049E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.656989E-5 | 4.0557123E-5 | 4.0557123E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6563876E-4 | 4.055422E-4 | 4.055422E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.112171E-8 | 3.2068368E-8 | 3.2068368E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3337875E-7 | 1.3743585E-7 | 1.3743585E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6238852E-6 | 1.6732803E-6 | 1.6732803E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6238733E-5 | 1.6732685E-5 | 1.6732685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hat Creek-McArthur-Mayfield
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.967457E-5 | 4.315831E-5 | 4.315831E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7002279E-4 | 1.8495171E-4 | 1.9494987E-4 | 1.0540582 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002068062 | 0.002249576 | 0.0022595534 | 1.0044353 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02048922 | 0.022280399 | 0.022319507 | 1.0017554 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.5044013E-5 | 2.7071164E-5 | 2.7071164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0732707E-4 | 1.1601429E-4 | 1.1601429E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013059238 | 0.0014115906 | 0.0014115906 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01298276 | 0.01402966 | 0.01405924 | 1.0021083 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.5044013E-5 | 2.7071164E-5 | 2.7071164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0732707E-4 | 1.1601429E-4 | 1.1601429E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013059238 | 0.0014115906 | 0.0014115906 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01298276 | 0.01402966 | 0.01405924 | 1.0021083 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6624012E-5 | 1.7891072E-5 | 1.7891072E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.124382E-5 | 7.6673816E-5 | 7.6673816E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.670483E-4 | 9.331125E-4 | 9.331125E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008636732 | 0.009292879 | 0.0093226 | 1.0031983 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6624012E-5 | 1.7891072E-5 | 1.7891072E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.124382E-5 | 7.6673816E-5 | 7.6673816E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.670483E-4 | 9.331125E-4 | 9.331125E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008636732 | 0.009292879 | 0.0093226 | 1.0031983 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3394842E-5 | 1.4392137E-5 | 1.4392137E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5 |