Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions

Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)

Table Of Contents

Tank Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.8284557E-55.797054E-50.001717874329.6335740.001662.0691741E-42.4842535E-40.005717066623.0132160.005470.00251630880.0030210480.0248349488.220640.021880.024880060.029867080.0729603842.44283630.04442
6.11.7796336E-52.0875163E-55.508641E-426.3884945.3E-47.626778E-58.946213E-50.00215927724.1362110.002079.281647E-40.00108869530.0092997468.5421020.008220.0092429750.0108379660.0278614442.57072640.01721
6.21.7796336E-52.0875163E-55.508641E-426.3884945.3E-47.626778E-58.946213E-50.00215927724.1362110.002079.281647E-40.00108869530.0092997468.5421020.008220.0092429750.0108379660.0278614442.57072640.01721
6.31.3515912E-51.5760907E-53.7575522E-423.8409653.6E-45.792405E-56.754513E-50.001557444523.0578350.001497.049971E-48.220753E-40.0068671028.3533740.006050.0070276470.008193210.0209875182.56157450.0129
6.41.0870146E-51.2619056E-53.1261527E-424.773273.0E-44.658551E-55.4080647E-50.001234016822.8180850.001185.67031E-46.582507E-40.0053551578.1354370.00470.0056558630.00656527470.0164896882.51165250.00999
6.57.964826E-69.196807E-62.0919497E-422.7464792.0E-43.4134522E-53.941435E-58.193836E-420.7889677.8E-44.1550855E-44.7977458E-40.003468347.22910360.002990.00414732470.0047889390.0111980992.33832550.00644
6.66.6317E-67.6128526E-61.7761155E-423.3304861.7E-42.8421264E-53.2626154E-56.226069E-419.0830615.9E-43.4597394E-43.971601E-40.00254630626.41128440.002150.00345435790.0039659050.0085775422.1628210.00463
6.74.793663E-65.431129E-61.2543048E-423.0947341.2E-42.0544108E-52.3276085E-53.0326957E-413.0292352.8E-42.500958E-42.8335385E-40.0014930115.2690690.001210.00249814520.00283086670.0053636761.89471170.00254
6.84.382823E-64.96956E-61.14969014E-423.1346451.1E-41.8783392E-52.1297965E-52.7129264E-412.7379612.5E-42.286638E-42.5927613E-40.00137898575.31859870.001120.00228428650.00259065770.00491462141.89705550.00233
6.92.729601E-63.073687E-67.307347E-523.7738847.0E-51.1698237E-51.3172884E-51.4317117E-410.8686281.3E-41.4241673E-41.6036928E-46.7028747E-44.17965035.1E-40.0014232550.00160276650.00259117971.61669219.9E-4
7.01.8987357E-62.1270264E-62.2126984E-510.4027792.0E-58.137413E-69.1158E-66.911525E-57.58191876.0E-59.90685E-51.10979905E-43.7095105E-43.34250642.6E-49.902435E-40.00110931350.00155881431.40520634.5E-4
7.11.4928986E-61.66419E-62.1664157E-513.01783852.0E-56.398121E-67.1322265E-64.713194E-56.6083074.0E-57.789434E-58.683199E-52.3681896E-42.7273241.5E-47.786704E-48.680385E-40.00114779551.32228642.8E-4
7.21.069082E-61.1829021E-61.118289E-59.4537741.0E-54.581772E-65.069574E-63.506942E-56.91762733.0E-55.5781646E-56.172085E-51.5171529E-42.45808849.0E-55.576765E-46.1708933E-47.6699676E-41.24292661.5E-4
7.38.776551E-79.770343E-71.0977024E-511.23504451.0E-53.7613736E-64.1872863E-62.4187202E-55.7763432.0E-54.579376E-55.097954E-51.2097597E-42.373037.0E-54.5784327E-45.0972943E-46.196734E-41.21569071.1E-4
7.47.55721E-78.5105546E-71.0851047E-512.7501061.0E-53.2388E-63.6473784E-62.3647306E-56.48337032.0E-53.9431678E-54.4406446E-51.1440334E-42.57627777.0E-53.942468E-44.4402658E-45.439822E-41.22511171.0E-4
7.55.587665E-76.3058303E-71.0630577E-516.858331.0E-52.3947114E-62.7024987E-62.2702445E-58.4005382.0E-52.915522E-53.290292E-57.29016E-52.21565754.0E-52.9151395E-43.2902922E-43.7901275E-41.15191225.0E-5

Garlock (Central)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.5131142E-57.0271424E-50.001080200415.3718310.001012.3625491E-43.0112884E-40.003480171311.5570840.003180.00287260950.00366014450.0163535144.46799660.012740.0283575910.036108830.0598976651.65880930.02468
6.15.5131142E-57.0271424E-50.001080200415.3718310.001012.3625491E-43.0112884E-40.003480171311.5570840.003180.00287260950.00366014450.0163535144.46799660.012740.0283575910.036108830.0598976651.65880930.02468
6.24.216245E-55.1684234E-57.4164855E-414.3496096.9E-41.806837E-42.2148523E-40.002341015710.5696240.002120.00219760460.00269327960.0110207914.09195950.008350.0217599890.0266993460.0425544121.59383730.01629
6.34.216245E-55.1684234E-57.4164855E-414.3496096.9E-41.806837E-42.2148523E-40.002341015710.5696240.002120.00219760460.00269327960.0110207914.09195950.008350.0217599890.0266993460.0425544121.59383730.01629
6.43.6858168E-54.4131644E-55.741083E-413.0089935.3E-41.5795401E-41.8912205E-40.00184880819.7757410.001660.00192139370.00230015470.0088051583.8280720.006520.0190486550.0228664930.035383571.54739830.01281
6.53.39199E-54.0038954E-55.100201E-412.7380984.7E-41.453629E-41.7158437E-40.00159134089.2743920.001420.00176835650.002087060.0079148713.79235480.005840.0175435080.0207758490.0320467171.54249870.01151
6.63.3571985E-53.9493098E-54.894753E-412.3939464.5E-41.4387199E-41.6924528E-40.00156900839.27061750.00140.00175023420.00205863570.0078367163.80675240.005790.0173651330.020496950.031692671.5462140.01143
6.73.2580007E-53.8109458E-54.780927E-412.5452514.4E-41.3962112E-41.6331614E-40.00154309089.4484890.001380.00169856170.0019865820.00760539763.82838320.005630.0168563720.0197865760.0305689241.54493250.011
6.83.2185937E-53.7536578E-54.7752005E-412.721464.4E-41.3793244E-41.6086125E-40.00153064099.5152860.001370.00167803370.00195674780.00748590753.82568840.005540.0166541920.0194933410.030092621.54373840.01081
6.93.165394E-53.6741036E-54.6672524E-412.7031054.3E-41.3565269E-41.5745219E-40.00150723969.5726810.001350.00165032020.00191531630.0073448973.8348220.005440.016381180.0190862420.029483931.54477380.0106
7.03.0903822E-53.5646088E-54.5563112E-412.7820794.2E-41.3243823E-41.5276013E-40.00148255699.7051310.001330.00161124280.00185828920.0071384593.84141450.005290.0159961040.018523850.0286330541.54573990.0103
7.13.0069863E-53.4412176E-54.2439875E-412.33280853.9E-41.2886449E-41.4747253E-40.00140728679.5427040.001260.00156779590.00179402050.00682497863.80429240.005040.015567810.0178914370.0275652071.54069270.00985
7.22.7957109E-53.1300966E-54.1128907E-413.139823.8E-41.1981068E-41.3414022E-40.00123399269.1992740.00110.00145771880.00163195320.0059149523.6244620.004290.0144819370.0162944530.0246166031.5107350.00846
7.32.4519275E-52.6732969E-52.767263E-410.3514992.5E-41.0507837E-41.14564915E-48.5448014E-47.45848047.4E-40.00127857830.00139395010.0045195873.24228760.003130.0127124690.0139378830.020081051.44075320.00623
7.42.3225532E-52.5217167E-52.7521086E-410.9136312.5E-49.95342E-51.0806918E-47.879957E-47.2915866.8E-40.00121115510.00131496250.00414124133.14932250.002830.0120457530.0131553040.0185928181.41333250.00551
7.52.097765E-52.2500466E-52.2249596E-49.8885052.0E-48.9901114E-59.642707E-56.36375E-46.5995475.4E-40.00109399650.00117337910.00339077412.88975170.002220.0108862640.0117498070.0160981081.37007430.0044
7.61.511254E-51.6006861E-51.1600526E-47.2472211.0E-46.476642E-56.8599074E-53.0858262E-44.4983492.4E-47.882459E-48.3488156E-40.00203387972.43612960.00120.0078545580.0083923870.0107325821.27884720.00236
7.79.934069E-61.0693293E-55.0692866E-54.74062254.0E-54.2573887E-54.5827597E-51.2582394E-42.7455938.0E-55.182138E-45.5780855E-48.8762445E-41.59127083.3E-40.005170070.0056354920.0062321111.10586816.0E-4
7.86.7562896E-68.440426E-62.8440258E-53.36952852.0E-52.8955206E-53.6172754E-58.617095E-52.38220575.0E-53.5247262E-44.4031447E-46.602176E-41.49942292.2E-40.00351914060.0044531190.0048413821.08718913.9E-4
7.93.975453E-65.378374E-61.537832E-52.8592881.0E-51.7037546E-52.3049972E-56.304905E-52.735324.0E-52.0741238E-42.8059736E-44.005637E-41.4275391.2E-40.0020721890.00283772240.0030371551.0702792.0E-4
8.01.6729537E-62.080019E-61.2079999E-55.8076381.0E-57.169782E-68.914337E-63.891407E-54.36533553.0E-58.7288594E-51.08526685E-41.6852017E-41.55279956.0E-58.7254314E-40.00109854590.0011784581.07274358.0E-5
8.13.6733252E-73.1523513E-73.1523513E-71.00.01.5742813E-61.3510071E-61.3510071E-61.00.01.9166706E-51.6448403E-51.6448403E-51.00.01.9165053E-41.6662726E-41.6662726E-41.00.0

Little Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.8424427E-53.1207474E-54.911931E-415.7395994.6E-41.2181328E-41.337402E-40.001893504914.1580820.001760.00148206770.0016272040.0080267744.93286230.006410.0147222230.0161663010.0279329531.72785060.01196
6.12.8424427E-53.1207474E-54.911931E-415.7395994.6E-41.2181328E-41.337402E-40.001893504914.1580820.001760.00148206770.0016272040.0080267744.93286230.006410.0147222230.0161663010.0279329531.72785060.01196
6.22.8424427E-53.1207474E-54.911931E-415.7395994.6E-41.2181328E-41.337402E-40.001893504914.1580820.001760.00148206770.0016272040.0080267744.93286230.006410.0147222230.0161663010.0279329531.72785060.01196
6.31.48860645E-51.60822E-52.460785E-415.3012952.3E-46.379586E-56.8922054E-50.001038855215.0728999.7E-47.7643775E-48.388312E-40.00446578635.323820.003630.0077373050.0083594680.0150332091.79834520.00673
6.41.48860645E-51.60822E-52.460785E-415.3012952.3E-46.379586E-56.8922054E-50.001038855215.0728999.7E-47.7643775E-48.388312E-40.00446578635.323820.003630.0077373050.0083594680.0150332091.79834520.00673
6.51.2797581E-51.3766243E-52.3376322E-416.9809022.2E-45.4845623E-55.8996993E-59.589439E-416.2541149.0E-46.675408E-47.1807735E-40.00392577245.46706060.003210.0066553920.0071601210.0129880911.81394850.00587
6.69.661896E-61.0289515E-51.8028777E-417.5215031.7E-44.1407468E-54.4097265E-57.140677E-416.1930166.7E-45.040193E-45.367682E-40.0030154375.6177640.002480.0050287770.0053563220.0099615221.85976910.00463
6.77.767871E-68.200049E-61.5819882E-419.2924231.5E-43.329045E-53.514267E-56.1512226E-417.5035725.8E-44.0523586E-44.2779176E-40.00254688485.95356230.002120.0040449770.00427103460.0081643351.91155910.00391
6.86.4235196E-66.7360374E-61.3673517E-420.299051.3E-42.752908E-52.8868486E-55.28854E-418.3194265.0E-43.35115E-43.5142995E-40.0020808225.9210150.001730.0033461010.00351000250.00659912171.88009020.0031
6.93.1283696E-63.1122813E-61.2311191E-439.556811.2E-41.3407229E-51.3338288E-53.9333323E-429.4890333.8E-41.6322079E-41.6238306E-40.0012522067.71143250.001090.00163100950.00162279240.00351970922.16892120.0019
7.02.290603E-62.2287568E-69.2228554E-541.381179.0E-59.816834E-69.551785E-62.595494E-427.1728672.5E-41.19513395E-41.16287825E-47.562134E-46.5029466.4E-40.00119449140.00116237180.00227108161.95383390.00111
7.11.293693E-61.1777277E-66.1177656E-551.9455036.0E-55.5443866E-65.0473986E-61.3504674E-426.7557131.3E-46.750081E-56.145104E-53.9143077E-46.36979873.3E-46.7480316E-46.14409E-40.00119405261.94341665.8E-4
7.24.715842E-73.0919745E-71.0309194E-533.3417851.0E-52.0210737E-61.3251313E-61.1325118E-58.5464121.0E-52.4606294E-51.613336E-53.6133035E-52.23964742.0E-52.460357E-41.6132242E-42.0131597E-41.24791064.0E-5
7.33.9430947E-72.3099179E-72.3099179E-71.00.01.6898966E-69.899644E-79.899644E-71.00.02.0574296E-51.2052751E-52.205263E-51.8296761.0E-52.0572392E-41.2052105E-41.5051743E-41.24888923.0E-5
7.43.547123E-71.9680678E-71.9680678E-71.00.01.5201948E-68.434573E-78.434573E-71.00.01.8508214E-51.0269046E-52.0268943E-51.97379041.0E-51.8506673E-41.0268577E-41.2268372E-41.1947492.0E-5
7.52.6354266E-71.4424151E-71.4424151E-71.00.01.129468E-66.1817775E-76.1817775E-71.00.01.3751187E-57.5262888E-67.5262888E-61.00.01.3750336E-47.526039E-58.5259635E-51.1328621.0E-5
7.61.269913E-77.572964E-87.572964E-81.00.05.4424834E-73.2455554E-73.2455554E-71.00.06.6262032E-63.951457E-63.951457E-61.00.06.626006E-53.9513903E-53.9513903E-51.00.0

Owl Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.0320643E-56.637038E-52.863558E-44.3145122.2E-42.1564208E-42.8441957E-40.00125414374.40948449.7E-40.00262228120.00345820330.0076735752.21894860.004230.025915530.0341481980.0425994021.24748610.00875
6.15.0320643E-56.637038E-52.863558E-44.3145122.2E-42.1564208E-42.8441957E-40.00125414374.40948449.7E-40.00262228120.00345820330.0076735752.21894860.004230.025915530.0341481980.0425994021.24748610.00875
6.22.4125871E-53.09871E-51.7098276E-45.51786951.4E-41.0339249E-41.3279608E-48.3270314E-46.270547.0E-40.00125807660.00161576340.00464086752.87224460.003030.0125097810.0160746650.0222143591.38194850.00624
6.31.7433485E-52.2360797E-51.4235811E-46.3664151.2E-47.471279E-59.582917E-56.9577165E-47.26054146.0E-49.0924866E-40.00116623310.00373323593.2011060.002570.0090553730.0116324150.0168509951.4486240.00528
6.41.7433485E-52.2360797E-51.4235811E-46.3664151.2E-47.471279E-59.582917E-56.9577165E-47.26054146.0E-49.0924866E-40.00116623310.00373323593.2011060.002570.0090553730.0116324150.0168509951.4486240.00528
6.51.5182742E-51.9434077E-51.2943194E-46.6600511.1E-46.506727E-58.328693E-56.5323943E-47.8432415.7E-47.919061E-40.00101368230.00344121923.39477060.002430.00789090.0101217270.0151008151.49192070.00503
6.66.7271576E-68.550671E-69.85499E-511.5253999.0E-52.8830356E-53.664525E-55.06628E-413.8252034.7E-43.5095305E-44.4607025E-40.00226525855.07825470.001820.00350399320.00447025060.0079944261.78836190.00354
6.76.682835E-68.48311E-69.848235E-511.6092279.0E-52.8640408E-53.635571E-55.063386E-413.9273484.7E-43.4864116E-44.4254653E-40.0022617415.1107420.001820.0034809470.00443522260.0079595221.79461610.00354
6.86.5774975E-68.32956E-69.832881E-511.8048029.0E-52.8188972E-53.569766E-55.0568086E-414.1656594.7E-43.4314668E-44.3453797E-40.0022537475.1865370.001820.00342617280.00435537660.0078700021.80696250.00353
6.96.363419E-68.002683E-68.8002045E-510.9965688.0E-52.727151E-53.429679E-54.94281E-414.4118734.6E-43.3198006E-44.1748903E-40.00220674185.2857480.001790.00331484550.00418534740.0076308661.82323360.00346
7.06.1342453E-67.634817E-68.763421E-511.4782338.0E-52.6289357E-53.272026E-54.927052E-415.0581064.6E-43.2002592E-43.983019E-40.0021476055.39190240.001750.00319565440.0039940150.00738043521.84787370.0034
7.15.842926E-67.1452696E-68.71447E-512.1961388.0E-52.504087E-53.0622254E-54.8060846E-415.6947454.5E-43.0482994E-43.727676E-40.00202215255.42470070.001650.00304412140.00373955190.0069275851.85251750.0032
7.24.77173E-65.3611675E-67.536079E-514.0567887.0E-52.045011E-52.2976252E-53.5296867E-415.3623263.3E-42.4895166E-42.7970402E-40.00142938245.1103390.001150.00248672930.00281070750.00498458041.77342550.00218
7.33.0494948E-62.712334E-61.2712307E-54.68685151.0E-51.3069198E-51.1624238E-51.0162319E-48.7423539.0E-51.5910587E-41.4151607E-44.9146655E-43.47286753.5E-40.00158991990.00142462840.00211364541.48364696.9E-4
7.42.7263884E-62.307415E-61.2307391E-55.3338441.0E-51.1684469E-59.888884E-65.988839E-56.05613235.0E-51.4224913E-41.20390614E-43.4036415E-42.8271652.2E-40.00142158110.00121251350.00160204061.32125593.9E-4
7.52.6090431E-62.1673172E-62.1673172E-61.00.01.1181565E-59.288469E-63.9288192E-54.22978073.0E-51.3612706E-41.1308135E-42.6306437E-42.32632881.5E-40.0013604370.00113927680.00143893491.26302493.0E-4
7.62.3008756E-61.8744257E-61.8744257E-61.00.09.860858E-68.033228E-61.8033148E-52.24481941.0E-51.20049335E-49.780025E-52.0778949E-42.12463141.1E-40.0011998459.862278E-40.0012160011.23298182.3E-4
7.71.7184348E-61.3434202E-61.3434202E-61.00.07.3646997E-65.7575025E-65.7575025E-61.00.08.966153E-57.0095375E-51.3009117E-41.85591656.0E-58.962536E-47.0897903E-48.388869E-41.18323231.3E-4
7.88.4612907E-78.416933E-78.416933E-71.00.03.6262625E-63.6072522E-63.6072522E-61.00.04.4148852E-54.391743E-57.391611E-51.68307013.0E-54.414008E-44.4484966E-45.2481407E-41.1797568.0E-5
7.92.716738E-73.773008E-73.773008E-71.00.01.1643157E-61.6170025E-61.6170025E-61.00.01.4175452E-51.9686839E-52.9686642E-51.50794361.0E-51.4174548E-41.9892666E-42.1892268E-41.10051952.0E-5
8.02.1995428E-83.3868776E-83.3868776E-81.00.09.426611E-81.4515189E-71.4515189E-71.00.01.1476893E-61.7672235E-61.7672235E-61.00.01.14768345E-51.8218208E-51.8218208E-51.00.0

Panamint Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0211835E-53.3987795E-54.4397387E-413.0627444.1E-41.2947287E-41.4565402E-40.00115550697.9332310.001010.00157519230.00177192470.00607428753.42807340.004310.0156407360.0175847490.0266819151.51733270.00926
6.13.0211835E-53.3987795E-54.4397387E-413.0627444.1E-41.2947287E-41.4565402E-40.00115550697.9332310.001010.00157519230.00177192470.00607428753.42807340.004310.0156407360.0175847490.0266819151.51733270.00926
6.23.0211835E-53.3987795E-54.4397387E-413.0627444.1E-41.2947287E-41.4565402E-40.00115550697.9332310.001010.00157519230.00177192470.00607428753.42807340.004310.0156407360.0175847490.0266819151.51733270.00926
6.32.8573924E-53.2105843E-54.32093E-413.4583914.0E-41.2245393E-41.3758938E-40.00112745328.1943339.9E-40.0014898570.00167389130.00582692773.48106720.004160.014799080.0166197160.02534231.52483340.00887
6.42.8573924E-53.2105843E-54.32093E-413.4583914.0E-41.2245393E-41.3758938E-40.00112745328.1943339.9E-40.0014898570.00167389130.00582692773.48106720.004160.014799080.0166197160.02534231.52483340.00887
6.52.7468774E-53.0831467E-54.2081944E-413.6490253.9E-41.1771801E-41.321283E-40.00108200288.1890319.5E-40.00143227450.00160750260.00563102453.50296450.004030.0142307820.0159655270.0244380631.5306770.00861
6.62.6135967E-52.9255378E-53.9924454E-413.6468773.7E-41.1200648E-41.2537432E-40.00105525778.4168579.3E-40.00136282570.00152539010.0054194413.5528230.00390.0135449820.0151557840.023280751.53609670.00825
6.72.4498746E-52.7344215E-53.973341E-414.5308293.7E-41.04990395E-41.1718437E-49.970813E-48.5086558.8E-40.00127750840.0014258110.0052104073.65434650.003790.0127018930.0141730060.0218723141.54323760.00781
6.82.2244329E-52.4938487E-53.849295E-415.4351593.6E-49.532935E-51.0687498E-49.067895E-48.4845828.0E-40.00116001690.0013004480.00478590933.68020060.003490.0115398020.0129343480.0199819971.54487860.00714
6.91.9902658E-52.229314E-53.4228602E-415.3538713.2E-48.529431E-59.5538635E-57.554756E-47.907546.6E-40.00103796350.00116258070.0039992793.44000120.002840.0103312880.011570160.0172239781.48865520.00572
7.01.8353881E-52.0568947E-52.905634E-414.1263132.7E-47.865712E-58.814975E-56.680986E-47.57913265.8E-49.5722964E-40.00107271250.003580023.33735280.002510.0095311680.0106802870.0156961381.46963630.00507
7.11.7667631E-51.9775267E-52.8976993E-414.6531492.7E-47.571623E-58.474849E-56.44701E-47.60722735.6E-49.2145515E-40.00103134210.00337891843.27623440.002350.0091764370.0102704550.0150409511.46448730.00482
7.21.6381597E-51.8160737E-52.7815602E-415.3163392.6E-47.020495E-57.782951E-56.077883E-47.80922655.3E-48.544101E-49.471797E-40.00300522853.17281770.002060.0085113250.0094361360.01371537151.45349450.00432
7.31.4520491E-51.5968153E-51.9596527E-412.2722581.8E-46.222919E-56.843323E-54.7840519E-46.9908314.1E-47.57377E-48.3287235E-40.00254144823.05142570.001710.00754800950.00830065550.011880691.43129540.00361
7.41.2852287E-51.41469245E-51.9414438E-413.72343351.8E-45.5080065E-56.0628357E-54.706035E-47.7621024.1E-46.7039346E-47.379161E-40.00240668383.261460.001670.00668374640.0073576090.0107921511.46680150.00346
7.51.1637851E-51.2838173E-51.9283585E-415.0205081.8E-44.987555E-55.5019667E-54.5499764E-48.2697284.0E-46.070656E-46.6967425E-40.00229858263.43238930.001630.0060540990.0066794890.0100071121.49818540.00335
7.63.0068115E-63.333561E-65.3333395E-515.9989265.0E-51.2886271E-51.4286652E-51.3428494E-49.3993281.2E-41.5687906E-41.739334E-48.7381166E-45.0238297.0E-40.00156768350.00173947350.00315700351.81491890.00142

Ash Hill

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1545662E-52.3195389E-52.631898E-411.3466442.4E-49.2335285E-59.940547E-58.9932594E-49.0470478.0E-40.00112360230.00120966970.0045855813.79077120.003380.0111793810.0120388350.0189051651.57034840.00695
6.12.1545662E-52.3195389E-52.631898E-411.3466442.4E-49.2335285E-59.940547E-58.9932594E-49.0470478.0E-40.00112360230.00120966970.0045855813.79077120.003380.0111793810.0120388350.0189051651.57034840.00695
6.22.1545662E-52.3195389E-52.631898E-411.3466442.4E-49.2335285E-59.940547E-58.9932594E-49.0470478.0E-40.00112360230.00120966970.0045855813.79077120.003380.0111793810.0120388350.0189051651.57034840.00695
6.31.0025529E-51.0747344E-51.0074638E-49.3740719.0E-54.2965847E-54.605931E-53.6604458E-47.9472443.2E-45.229836E-45.6064106E-40.00183992343.28182080.001280.0052175450.00559357930.0083083091.48532960.00273
6.41.0025529E-51.0747344E-51.0074638E-49.3740719.0E-54.2965847E-54.605931E-53.6604458E-47.9472443.2E-45.229836E-45.6064106E-40.00183992343.28182080.001280.0052175450.00559357930.0083083091.48532960.00273
6.56.9617327E-67.4569152E-64.745662E-56.36410864.0E-52.9835655E-53.1957865E-52.1195211E-46.6322361.8E-43.6318856E-43.8902622E-40.00112873842.90144547.4E-40.00362595570.00388430660.00553785871.42570070.00166
6.64.9919777E-65.34689E-62.5346782E-54.74047232.0E-52.1394015E-52.291508E-51.4291232E-46.23660661.2E-42.60441E-42.7896208E-47.588282E-42.7201844.8E-40.00260135970.00278677740.0039734611.42582650.00119
6.73.6630722E-63.9247725E-62.3924695E-56.0958172.0E-51.5698786E-51.6820377E-51.16818694E-46.94507031.0E-41.9111596E-42.0477458E-46.046927E-42.95296744.0E-40.00190951680.0020464220.00295455961.44376869.1E-4
6.82.5599613E-62.7450303E-61.2745003E-54.6429371.0E-51.0971216E-51.176439E-57.176369E-56.10007676.0E-51.3356637E-41.4322698E-44.0318974E-42.81504032.6E-40.00133486130.00143183170.00210087231.4672626.7E-4
6.91.7684905E-61.8969438E-61.1896925E-56.27162741.0E-57.579223E-68.129759E-63.8129514E-54.69011643.0E-59.2273134E-59.897981E-52.9896002E-43.02041392.0E-49.223483E-49.897981E-40.00149929341.51474655.1E-4

Airport Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2387061E-51.3103559E-53.6309898E-427.7099513.5E-45.3086325E-55.615706E-50.001156095320.586820.00116.461343E-46.8352616E-40.00433103136.33630660.003650.00644258880.0068170480.0135806241.99215610.00681
6.11.2387061E-51.3103559E-53.6309898E-427.7099513.5E-45.3086325E-55.615706E-50.001156095320.586820.00116.461343E-46.8352616E-40.00433103136.33630660.003650.00644258880.0068170480.0135806241.99215610.00681
6.21.2387061E-51.3103559E-53.6309898E-427.7099513.5E-45.3086325E-55.615706E-50.001156095320.586820.00116.461343E-46.8352616E-40.00433103136.33630660.003650.00644258880.0068170480.0135806241.99215610.00681
6.31.2387061E-51.3103559E-53.6309898E-427.7099513.5E-45.3086325E-55.615706E-50.001156095320.586820.00116.461343E-46.8352616E-40.00433103136.33630660.003650.00644258880.0068170480.0135806241.99215610.00681
6.41.2387061E-51.3103559E-53.6309898E-427.7099513.5E-45.3086325E-55.615706E-50.001156095320.586820.00116.461343E-46.8352616E-40.00433103136.33630660.003650.00644258880.0068170480.0135806241.99215610.00681
6.56.9922594E-67.385145E-62.2738353E-430.7893092.2E-42.996648E-53.165027E-58.1162556E-425.643567.8E-43.6478083E-43.8527933E-40.00305425077.9273670.002670.0036418260.0038466510.00883737952.29742170.00501
6.66.9922594E-67.385145E-62.2738353E-430.7893092.2E-42.996648E-53.165027E-58.1162556E-425.643567.8E-43.6478083E-43.8527933E-40.00305425077.9273670.002670.0036418260.0038466510.00883737952.29742170.00501
6.75.477277E-65.7862417E-62.0578508E-435.5645522.0E-42.3473833E-52.4797964E-57.3478033E-429.6306727.1E-42.8575645E-43.0187727E-40.0026311748.7160390.002330.00285389270.0030150560.007381852.44832940.00438
6.83.9950432E-64.2192128E-61.742185E-441.2917061.7E-41.7121502E-51.808223E-55.480726E-430.3100155.3E-42.0843433E-42.2013167E-40.00197974438.9934550.001760.00208238930.00219940720.0053424792.42905430.00315
6.92.95695E-63.1231173E-61.1312278E-436.2211071.1E-41.2672582E-51.33847325E-54.43379E-433.1257254.3E-41.5427776E-41.629492E-40.00146273738.9766460.00130.0015417070.00162851960.0039647092.4345480.00234
7.01.456072E-61.5408596E-66.154077E-539.9392436.0E-56.2402937E-66.603673E-62.1660229E-432.8002742.1E-47.597293E-58.039776E-56.303535E-47.8404375.5E-47.594696E-48.0378563E-40.00177300592.20581949.7E-4
7.16.995192E-77.409207E-74.074089E-554.9868434.0E-52.997936E-63.1753743E-61.13175025E-435.6414761.1E-43.649926E-53.8660182E-53.2864898E-48.5009682.9E-43.6493264E-43.8660184E-48.8640855E-42.29282025.0E-4

Garlock (East)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5092507E-56.291901E-52.1290957E-43.38386731.5E-41.9323928E-42.6962755E-48.4947114E-43.15053565.8E-40.00235014970.00327821980.00572018841.74490680.002450.0232545040.0322876830.0379004141.1738350.0058
6.14.5092507E-56.291901E-52.1290957E-43.38386731.5E-41.9323928E-42.6962755E-48.4947114E-43.15053565.8E-40.00235014970.00327821980.00572018841.74490680.002450.0232545040.0322876830.0379004141.1738350.0058
6.22.6674514E-53.4522156E-51.5451801E-44.47590881.2E-41.1431433E-41.4794388E-45.7788024E-43.90607744.3E-40.00139088840.00179976180.00352664831.95950830.001730.013822150.017878140.0216985941.21369420.00389
6.32.6674514E-53.4522156E-51.5451801E-44.47590881.2E-41.1431433E-41.4794388E-45.7788024E-43.90607744.3E-40.00139088840.00179976180.00352664831.95950830.001730.013822150.017878140.0216985941.21369420.00389
6.42.5312667E-53.2350978E-51.523471E-44.7091961.2E-41.0847834E-41.3863985E-45.6858023E-44.10113144.3E-40.00131992370.00168666270.00340376172.01804520.001720.0131211120.0167781920.0205537621.22502850.00384
6.52.5312667E-53.2350978E-51.523471E-44.7091961.2E-41.0847834E-41.3863985E-45.6858023E-44.10113144.3E-40.00131992370.00168666270.00340376172.01804520.001720.0131211120.0167781920.0205537621.22502850.00384
6.62.246556E-52.8145088E-51.3814199E-44.90820931.1E-49.627742E-51.20616365E-45.405657E-44.48169474.2E-40.00117154720.00146753850.00309514652.10907340.001630.0116539010.0146187270.0181365391.24063730.00357
6.72.2241198E-52.7814802E-51.3781174E-44.9546191.1E-49.531594E-51.1920098E-45.391509E-44.5230414.2E-40.00115985380.00145032930.00307796522.12225270.001630.0115381870.0144486180.0179374681.24146620.00354
6.81.9528685E-52.3908464E-51.3390584E-45.6007711.1E-48.369167E-51.0246093E-45.0241995E-44.90352734.0E-40.00101846980.00124676760.00278484752.2336540.001540.0101381470.0124415090.0156214481.2555910.00322
6.91.3318621E-51.5207378E-59.520616E-56.26052438.0E-55.7078556E-56.5172884E-53.8515203E-45.90969753.2E-46.9470983E-47.9319667E-40.00209216562.63763790.00130.00692542040.0079450630.010613691.3358850.00269
7.01.1760853E-51.3115919E-59.311487E-57.09937868.0E-55.0402683E-55.6209898E-53.7619192E-46.69262743.2E-46.134799E-46.8414566E-40.001963272.86966660.001280.00611789060.0068616060.009473561.38066220.00263
7.11.0064758E-51.09107295E-59.090986E-58.3321528.0E-54.3133965E-54.675945E-53.4674542E-47.41551543.0E-45.2502943E-45.6915113E-40.00175847383.0896430.001190.0052379070.0057174250.0081136461.41910840.00241
7.29.768808E-61.0506538E-59.0505695E-58.6142268.0E-54.186565E-54.5027264E-53.4501374E-47.662333.0E-45.095951E-45.480725E-40.00172742583.15181970.001180.00508428040.00550758470.0078844211.4315570.00239
7.39.344516E-69.952032E-68.995124E-59.038488.0E-54.004731E-54.2650885E-53.2263895E-47.5646482.8E-44.8746695E-45.191543E-40.00162857813.13698270.001110.00486399050.00521918340.0074275971.42313390.00222
7.49.023491E-69.498046E-68.949728E-59.4227058.0E-53.867153E-54.0705298E-53.0069472E-47.38711552.6E-44.7072413E-44.9547764E-40.00146499712.95673689.7E-40.0046972830.00498255760.0068929911.38342430.00192
7.57.081253E-67.0941337E-64.709385E-56.63842154.0E-53.0347876E-53.040308E-51.8039852E-45.9335611.5E-43.6942272E-43.7009537E-48.0993254E-42.18844274.4E-40.0036880920.00372834040.0046548731.24851079.3E-4
7.66.116396E-65.9653516E-63.596517E-56.02901123.0E-52.6212863E-52.5565543E-51.1556324E-44.5202739.0E-53.1909486E-43.112163E-45.911292E-41.89941592.8E-40.00318637070.00313957830.0037077891.18098315.7E-4
7.74.797145E-64.7631393E-62.4763043E-55.19889162.0E-52.055903E-52.0413294E-58.041207E-53.9392016.0E-52.5027743E-42.4850364E-44.184614E-41.68392461.7E-40.00249995760.00251242590.00286154661.13895763.5E-4
7.83.4028885E-63.9837723E-61.3983733E-53.51017361.0E-51.4583726E-51.70732E-55.7072517E-53.34281334.0E-51.775424E-42.0784645E-43.1782358E-41.52912691.1E-40.00177400620.00210402650.00231358461.09959862.1E-4
7.92.5928412E-63.3769782E-61.33769445E-53.96121721.0E-51.1112129E-51.4472684E-55.4472104E-53.76378754.0E-51.3528178E-41.7619075E-42.7617312E-41.56746671.0E-40.00135199450.00178370330.00194341791.0895411.6E-4
8.01.3743648E-61.6755052E-61.1675488E-56.9683391.0E-55.8901214E-67.180717E-63.71805E-55.1778263.0E-57.1709874E-58.742175E-51.474165E-41.68626816.0E-57.1686733E-48.849517E-49.6488086E-41.09032058.0E-5
8.13.6733252E-73.1523513E-73.1523513E-71.00.01.5742813E-61.3510071E-61.3510071E-61.00.01.9166706E-51.6448403E-51.6448403E-51.00.01.9165053E-41.6662726E-41.6662726E-41.00.0

Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5103672E-55.4575703E-52.3456587E-44.29799131.8E-41.9328714E-42.3387565E-46.637751E-42.83815384.3E-40.0023507310.00284389940.00463878041.63113380.00180.0232601950.0280955020.0317207051.12903140.00373
6.14.5103672E-55.4575703E-52.3456587E-44.29799131.8E-41.9328714E-42.3387565E-46.637751E-42.83815384.3E-40.0023507310.00284389940.00463878041.63113380.00180.0232601950.0280955020.0317207051.12903140.00373
6.23.9363465E-54.7068323E-52.2705985E-44.8240481.8E-41.6868966E-42.017062E-46.316195E-43.13138344.3E-40.0020518620.00245314530.004248731.73195180.00180.0203301960.024276480.0278964141.14911280.00371
6.33.9363465E-54.7068323E-52.2705985E-44.8240481.8E-41.6868966E-42.017062E-46.316195E-43.13138344.3E-40.0020518620.00245314530.004248731.73195180.00180.0203301960.024276480.0278964141.14911280.00371
6.43.2311684E-53.7955364E-52.1794853E-45.7422331.8E-41.384713E-41.6265611E-45.825878E-43.58171464.2E-40.00168458430.0019786080.0037451061.89279820.001770.0167187140.0196187240.0231873111.1818970.00364
6.53.2311684E-53.7955364E-52.1794853E-45.7422331.8E-41.384713E-41.6265611E-45.825878E-43.58171464.2E-40.00168458430.0019786080.0037451061.89279820.001770.0167187140.0196187240.0231873111.1818970.00364
6.62.9305844E-53.4185698E-52.1417954E-46.26517961.8E-41.2559042E-41.4650227E-45.564422E-43.79818184.1E-40.00152799090.00178226770.00352914861.98014510.001750.0151752720.0176876760.0212338231.20048690.00361
6.72.7826512E-53.2347863E-52.1234204E-46.56432961.8E-41.19251024E-41.3862668E-45.385712E-43.88504744.0E-40.00145091420.00168653340.00341361572.02404280.001730.0144147760.0167450510.0202749371.21080170.00359
6.82.3389874E-52.686962E-52.0686479E-47.69883541.8E-41.0023846E-41.15150695E-45.151046E-44.4733094.0E-40.001219720.00140110540.00309872352.21162770.00170.012130470.0139289530.0173999221.2491910.00352
6.92.069209E-52.357255E-52.035683E-48.635821.8E-48.867737E-51.01021506E-45.009811E-44.9591534.0E-40.00107911230.0012292790.0028972262.356850.001670.0107388710.0122298440.0156574061.28026210.00347
7.01.7462342E-51.9635605E-51.9963206E-410.1668411.8E-47.483646E-58.415001E-54.8411635E-45.7530164.0E-49.1075303E-40.00102406740.00269235722.6290820.001670.0090702950.0101971380.0136317551.33682160.00347
7.11.4807709E-51.6443466E-51.9644051E-411.9464171.8E-46.3460066E-57.047019E-54.70442E-46.67575934.0E-47.723524E-48.5765333E-40.0025262212.94550370.001670.0076967350.0085464430.0119669571.40022670.00345
7.21.4180048E-51.5699981E-51.9569715E-412.4648031.8E-46.077022E-56.728399E-54.6725708E-46.9445514.0E-47.396263E-48.1889087E-40.00248752323.03767370.001670.00737169430.0081617070.0115835491.41925570.00345
7.31.3730402E-51.517367E-51.9517094E-412.86247351.8E-45.8843252E-56.5028486E-54.6500246E-47.15075064.0E-47.161811E-47.914503E-40.00246012863.10838030.001670.0071387740.0078892710.0113120531.43385280.00345
7.41.2810095E-51.4110783E-51.9410824E-413.7560221.8E-45.489925E-56.047347E-54.604493E-47.61407044.0E-46.681934E-47.360316E-40.00239480993.25367780.001660.0066618780.00733885540.0107436831.46394530.00343
7.51.1595659E-51.280203E-51.9279972E-415.060091.8E-44.9694736E-55.486478E-54.4484338E-48.1079963.9E-46.0486543E-46.6778966E-40.00228670773.42429380.001620.0060322170.00666072270.0099586091.49512450.00332
7.62.997694E-63.325686E-65.332552E-516.0344415.0E-51.28471975E-51.4252903E-51.342512E-49.4192171.2E-41.564034E-41.7352257E-48.734011E-45.03335767.0E-40.00156293370.00173536150.00315289731.81685330.00142

Blackwater

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0708583E-53.3097214E-51.5309325E-44.62556271.2E-41.3160157E-41.4183826E-45.4178154E-43.81971344.0E-40.00160107140.00172564970.0033528371.94294180.001630.0158958510.0171363350.02035031.18755260.00327
6.13.0708583E-53.3097214E-51.5309325E-44.62556271.2E-41.3160157E-41.4183826E-45.4178154E-43.81971344.0E-40.00160107140.00172564970.0033528371.94294180.001630.0158958510.0171363350.02035031.18755260.00327
6.21.1707779E-51.2545598E-56.254497E-54.98541165.0E-55.017523E-55.3765798E-52.0375774E-43.78972771.5E-46.107122E-46.5441156E-40.00128399931.96206696.3E-40.0060903660.00652581640.0077775941.19181930.00126
6.31.1707779E-51.2545598E-56.254497E-54.98541165.0E-55.017523E-55.3765798E-52.0375774E-43.78972771.5E-46.107122E-46.5441156E-40.00128399931.96206696.3E-40.0060903660.00652581640.0077775941.19181930.00126
6.47.929244E-68.4804105E-63.8480157E-54.53753473.0E-53.3982033E-53.6344132E-51.4634014E-44.0265131.1E-44.136527E-44.4240404E-48.1224035E-41.83596963.7E-40.00412883560.00441563830.0051921941.17586497.8E-4
6.55.8832115E-66.286219E-62.6286094E-54.18154242.0E-52.521352E-52.6940676E-51.0693852E-43.96940768.0E-53.0693135E-43.279559E-45.8787066E-41.79252952.6E-40.00306507780.00327497260.00382317141.16739035.5E-4
6.65.8832115E-66.286219E-62.6286094E-54.18154242.0E-52.521352E-52.6940676E-51.0693852E-43.96940768.0E-53.0693135E-43.279559E-45.8787066E-41.79252952.6E-40.00306507780.00327497260.00382317141.16739035.5E-4
6.73.0715053E-63.2815851E-61.3281552E-54.0472981.0E-51.3163528E-51.4063868E-55.4063305E-53.8441284.0E-51.6025416E-41.7121529E-42.9119474E-41.7007521.2E-40.00160138650.00171094840.00200045231.16920662.9E-4
6.82.2722281E-62.4288424E-61.2428818E-55.11717751.0E-59.738084E-61.0409289E-55.040887E-54.8426824.0E-51.1855473E-41.2672663E-42.1671523E-41.71019.0E-50.0011849150.00126663390.00147636781.16558372.1E-4
6.99.952399E-71.0653887E-61.0653887E-61.00.04.265307E-64.5659463E-62.4565856E-55.3802332.0E-55.1928873E-55.5589495E-51.1558616E-42.07928066.0E-55.191674E-45.558065E-47.057231E-41.26972811.5E-4
7.04.7385504E-75.075751E-75.075751E-71.00.02.0308057E-62.175322E-61.21753E-55.5970111.0E-52.4724779E-52.6484544E-54.6484012E-51.75513742.0E-52.4722028E-42.6484544E-43.2482954E-41.22648736.0E-5

McLean Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7360222E-51.8502275E-56.850135E-53.70232065.0E-57.439883E-57.929332E-52.4927984E-43.14376831.7E-49.0542925E-49.6501724E-40.00169431281.75573317.3E-40.0090174910.0096131090.0116235941.209140.00203
6.19.062689E-69.592492E-64.959211E-55.16988854.0E-53.8839516E-54.1110077E-51.3110638E-43.18915419.0E-54.727685E-45.0040917E-48.70224E-41.7390253.7E-40.00471763960.00499370650.0060683131.21519220.00108
6.29.062689E-69.592492E-64.959211E-55.16988854.0E-53.8839516E-54.1110077E-51.3110638E-43.18915419.0E-54.727685E-45.0040917E-48.70224E-41.7390253.7E-40.00471763960.00499370650.0060683131.21519220.00108
6.37.2575485E-67.66794E-63.766771E-54.9123643.0E-53.110341E-53.2862223E-59.286025E-52.82574466.0E-53.786182E-44.0003125E-46.3993526E-41.59971312.4E-40.00377973750.0039938160.0047507811.18953427.6E-4
6.47.2575485E-67.66794E-63.766771E-54.9123643.0E-53.110341E-53.2862223E-59.286025E-52.82574466.0E-53.786182E-44.0003125E-46.3993526E-41.59971312.4E-40.00377973750.0039938160.0047507811.18953427.6E-4
6.56.06582E-66.4040664E-63.6403875E-55.68449353.0E-52.5996113E-52.7445747E-57.7444376E-52.82172585.0E-53.164567E-43.3410723E-45.2404375E-41.56848971.9E-40.00316006430.00333668780.00394465261.1822066.1E-4
6.65.598744E-65.910437E-63.591026E-56.0757373.0E-52.3994397E-52.5330233E-56.532922E-52.57910064.0E-52.9209262E-43.0835834E-44.68309E-41.51871681.6E-40.00291708970.0030799340.003628241.17802525.5E-4
6.75.246996E-65.5393257E-63.553916E-56.41579153.0E-52.2486933E-52.3739787E-56.373884E-52.6848954.0E-52.73744E-42.8899993E-44.2895947E-41.48428921.4E-40.00273407040.00288686480.00338542141.17269835.0E-4
6.84.02324E-64.2470297E-62.4246945E-55.70915372.0E-51.7242342E-51.8201463E-54.8200916E-52.6481893.0E-52.099053E-42.2158623E-43.3156187E-41.49631071.1E-40.00209707140.00221423730.0025834181.16673043.7E-4
6.96.835972E-77.140097E-71.0714002E-515.0054031.0E-52.9296991E-63.0600397E-61.3060009E-54.26792141.0E-53.56685E-53.7255664E-55.7254918E-51.53681112.0E-53.5662777E-43.7252545E-44.5249565E-41.21467048.0E-5

Gravel Hills-Harper Lk

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0679566E-53.146678E-57.146552E-52.27114184.0E-51.3147724E-41.3485189E-43.548222E-42.63119962.2E-40.00159955990.00164080210.00245945671.49893568.2E-40.0158809520.0163084470.018118441.11098490.00184
6.13.0679566E-53.146678E-57.146552E-52.27114184.0E-51.3147724E-41.3485189E-43.548222E-42.63119962.2E-40.00159955990.00164080210.00245945671.49893568.2E-40.0158809520.0163084470.018118441.11098490.00184
6.21.514536E-51.3635941E-52.3635805E-51.7333461.0E-56.490707E-55.843851E-51.18435004E-42.02666026.0E-57.8995706E-47.1126845E-49.810764E-41.37933352.7E-40.0078715480.00709112130.0077166541.08821346.3E-4
6.31.514536E-51.3635941E-52.3635805E-51.7333461.0E-56.490707E-55.843851E-51.18435004E-42.02666026.0E-57.8995706E-47.1126845E-49.810764E-41.37933352.7E-40.0078715480.00709112130.0077166541.08821346.3E-4
6.41.2532521E-51.0690225E-51.0690225E-51.00.05.37097E-54.581448E-56.581356E-51.43652322.0E-56.537194E-45.5765436E-46.9757627E-41.25091161.4E-40.00651799650.005563140.0059410261.06792683.8E-4
6.51.1094058E-59.084098E-69.084098E-61.00.04.7545094E-53.8931288E-55.8930513E-51.51370562.0E-55.787078E-44.738894E-45.7384203E-41.21091971.0E-40.00577203040.0047291960.00498796671.05471772.6E-4
6.69.688328E-67.5320436E-67.5320436E-61.00.04.1520743E-53.22798E-54.227948E-51.30978121.0E-55.053978E-43.9293827E-44.829029E-41.22895369.0E-50.00504249940.00392269160.00410198561.04570691.8E-4
6.78.974824E-66.7497213E-66.7497213E-61.00.03.8462964E-52.8927068E-53.892678E-51.34568691.0E-54.6818596E-43.5213237E-44.321042E-41.22710738.0E-50.0046720080.00351596480.00366543751.04251251.5E-4
6.87.4780046E-65.1164225E-65.1164225E-61.00.03.20482E-52.1927348E-53.1927128E-51.45604151.0E-53.9011694E-42.6693416E-43.2691815E-41.22471456.0E-50.00389432810.00266627340.00274606031.02992448.0E-5
6.96.3409307E-63.9076735E-63.9076735E-61.00.02.7175134E-51.674707E-52.6746904E-51.59710931.0E-53.3080703E-42.038775E-42.538673E-41.24519535.0E-50.00330315020.00203700270.00210686031.03429427.0E-5
7.05.1239335E-62.605978E-62.605978E-61.00.02.195953E-51.116843E-51.116843E-51.00.02.6732447E-41.359674E-41.6596333E-41.22061113.0E-50.00267003130.00135886740.00140879941.03674535.0E-5
7.14.438899E-62.0985767E-62.0985767E-61.00.01.9023713E-58.99387E-68.99387E-61.00.02.315891E-41.0949509E-41.19494E-41.09131821.0E-50.0023134790.00109443320.00112440041.02738143.0E-5
7.23.50367E-61.2616476E-61.2616476E-61.00.01.5015643E-55.4070506E-65.4070506E-61.00.01.8280011E-46.5828935E-57.582828E-51.15189891.0E-50.00182649826.5810257E-46.8808283E-41.04555563.0E-5
7.32.561638E-67.1193233E-77.1193233E-71.00.01.0978401E-53.051135E-63.051135E-61.00.01.3365384E-43.7146954E-53.7146954E-51.00.00.00133573493.7140946E-43.7140946E-41.00.0
7.42.0368864E-65.304974E-75.304974E-71.00.08.729483E-62.2735583E-62.2735583E-61.00.01.06276275E-42.7680228E-52.7680228E-51.00.00.00106225472.7676832E-42.7676832E-41.00.0
7.51.1681728E-63.6031344E-73.6031344E-71.00.05.0064455E-61.5441996E-61.5441996E-61.00.06.0951766E-51.8800472E-51.8800472E-51.00.06.093505E-41.8798928E-41.8798928E-41.00.0
7.61.3154387E-77.119929E-87.119929E-81.00.05.6375933E-73.0513976E-73.0513976E-71.00.06.863748E-63.715072E-63.715072E-61.00.06.863536E-53.7150257E-53.7150257E-51.00.0

Garlock (West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.5181727E-52.5216248E-51.0521423E-44.17247778.0E-51.0791722E-41.0806518E-44.1803168E-43.8683293.1E-40.00131310020.00131490290.00232357491.76710750.001010.0130536830.0131527350.0149685351.13805480.00184
6.12.5077732E-52.5117288E-51.0511528E-44.18497758.0E-51.0747157E-41.0764109E-44.1760772E-43.8796313.1E-40.0013076810.0013097460.0023184231.7701320.001010.0130001260.0131017750.0149176681.1385990.00184
6.22.494612E-52.4998972E-51.0499697E-44.2000528.0E-51.0690756E-41.0713407E-44.1710085E-43.89326073.1E-40.00130082240.00130358020.00231226351.77377930.001010.0129323410.01304084250.0148568481.13925520.00184
6.32.4733758E-52.4818324E-51.0481634E-44.2233458.0E-51.0599751E-41.0635993E-44.1632695E-43.91432143.1E-40.00128975560.00129416630.00230285921.77941520.001010.0128229570.0129478050.0147639811.1402690.00184
6.42.3237335E-52.3197525E-59.31959E-54.01749327.0E-59.958477E-59.9414196E-53.8938536E-43.91679862.9E-40.00121177020.00120969850.0021985011.81739579.9E-40.0120518380.0121126070.0139006831.1476210.00181
6.52.2732203E-52.3011888E-59.3010276E-54.0418367.0E-59.742009E-59.8618664E-53.8859007E-43.94032982.9E-40.00118544420.00120002370.00218883581.82399379.9E-40.0117914030.0120169090.0138051581.14881110.00181
6.62.1319436E-52.179202E-59.17905E-54.2121157.0E-59.136581E-59.339105E-53.8336395E-44.1049332.9E-40.0011118110.00113644520.00211533161.8613589.8E-40.0110626490.0113877850.0131672861.15626410.0018
6.71.970802E-52.0411735E-59.041031E-54.429337.0E-58.446021E-58.747594E-53.7745057E-44.31490762.9E-40.0010278180.00106450090.00204345771.91963929.8E-40.0102307710.0106754360.012456221.16681130.0018
6.81.8744462E-51.9919305E-58.9917914E-54.51410877.0E-58.033094E-58.536567E-53.7534093E-44.396862.9E-49.775903E-40.00103883320.00201781511.94238629.8E-40.0097330090.01042118950.0122024311.1709250.0018
6.91.7559682E-51.8971561E-58.8970235E-54.68966347.0E-57.5253614E-58.130416E-53.712806E-44.5665632.9E-49.158276E-49.894301E-40.00196846041.98948929.8E-40.00912062450.0099314590.0117135821.17944230.0018
7.01.6794445E-51.823424E-58.823296E-54.8388627.0E-57.197421E-57.81444E-53.6812175E-44.71078822.9E-48.759337E-49.509942E-40.00192007182.0190159.7E-40.0087248910.0095503220.0113232271.18563820.00179
7.11.6337795E-51.7734945E-58.77337E-54.946947.0E-57.0017246E-57.60047E-53.6598265E-44.81526372.9E-48.521265E-49.249657E-40.00189406842.04771769.7E-40.0084886640.009291980.0110455341.18871690.00177
7.21.5780008E-51.7183505E-58.71823E-55.0736047.0E-56.762685E-57.3641524E-53.4362165E-44.66613962.7E-48.2304585E-48.9621806E-40.00184536672.05905999.5E-40.0082000420.0090067960.01074103451.19254770.00175
7.31.5058865E-51.6636446E-58.663528E-55.20755967.0E-56.45364E-57.129711E-53.3127857E-44.64645152.6E-47.854473E-48.676978E-40.00179689092.07087169.3E-40.007826770.008723430.0104284271.19545020.00172
7.41.4887923E-51.6472359E-58.6471206E-55.2494737.0E-56.380382E-57.0593924E-53.3057557E-44.68277652.6E-47.7653467E-48.591433E-40.00178834442.08154379.3E-40.00773826750.0086382290.0103136311.1939520.00169
7.51.4509299E-51.6064254E-57.606329E-54.7349416.0E-56.218123E-56.8844995E-52.8882985E-44.19536452.2E-47.567935E-48.378666E-40.00161721311.93015587.8E-40.00754221340.0084264820.0099138421.17651020.0015
7.61.2756717E-51.4067613E-56.406691E-54.5542135.0E-55.4670498E-56.028838E-51.8028115E-42.99031331.2E-46.6541E-47.337645E-40.00123339761.68091755.0E-40.0066342110.00739105840.0083241111.12624079.4E-4
7.71.0328985E-51.1476324E-55.1475865E-54.48539644.0E-54.4266326E-54.9183323E-51.2917939E-42.62648778.0E-55.388092E-45.986428E-49.2844525E-41.55091693.3E-40.00537504670.0060469640.0066433361.09862346.0E-4
7.87.0306583E-68.912348E-62.8912169E-53.24405772.0E-53.0131043E-53.819522E-58.819331E-52.30901435.0E-53.667837E-44.6492773E-46.848254E-41.47297182.2E-40.0036617890.0047021430.00509030931.08255093.9E-4
7.94.060633E-65.472873E-61.5472819E-52.8271841.0E-51.7402595E-52.3454959E-56.345402E-52.70535614.0E-52.11856E-42.8552682E-44.0549255E-41.42015581.2E-40.00211654140.00288836450.00308778671.06904342.0E-4
8.01.6729537E-62.080019E-61.2079999E-55.8076381.0E-57.169782E-68.914337E-63.891407E-54.36533553.0E-58.7288594E-51.08526685E-41.6852017E-41.55279956.0E-58.7254314E-40.00109854590.0011784581.07274358.0E-5
8.13.6733252E-73.1523513E-73.1523513E-71.00.01.5742813E-61.3510071E-61.3510071E-61.00.01.9166706E-51.6448403E-51.6448403E-51.00.01.9165053E-41.6662726E-41.6662726E-41.00.0

Goldstone Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.671352E-53.0378256E-57.037704E-52.31669144.0E-51.1448149E-41.3018714E-42.701689E-42.07523511.4E-40.0013929210.00158407220.00224302691.41598766.6E-40.0138422220.015747310.0174402261.1075050.00172
6.12.671352E-53.0378256E-57.037704E-52.31669144.0E-51.1448149E-41.3018714E-42.701689E-42.07523511.4E-40.0013929210.00158407220.00224302691.41598766.6E-40.0138422220.015747310.0174402261.1075050.00172
6.21.4197047E-51.609734E-53.609702E-52.24242142.0E-56.0843064E-56.898733E-51.2898319E-41.86966496.0E-57.4051257E-48.396957E-40.00121937661.45216493.8E-40.0073804980.0083749270.0091781431.09590728.1E-4
6.31.4197047E-51.609734E-53.609702E-52.24242142.0E-56.0843064E-56.898733E-51.2898319E-41.86966496.0E-57.4051257E-48.396957E-40.00121937661.45216493.8E-40.0073804980.0083749270.0091781431.09590728.1E-4
6.41.3238931E-51.5009476E-53.5009176E-52.33247162.0E-55.6737044E-56.432529E-51.2432144E-41.93269916.0E-56.9055456E-47.8297703E-40.00114269521.45942353.6E-40.0068841260.00781181130.0085757961.09779877.7E-4
6.51.3238931E-51.5009476E-53.5009176E-52.33247162.0E-55.6737044E-56.432529E-51.2432144E-41.93269916.0E-56.9055456E-47.8297703E-40.00114269521.45942353.6E-40.0068841260.00781181130.0085757961.09779877.7E-4
6.61.1328278E-51.2856037E-53.285578E-52.55566932.0E-54.8548856E-55.5096676E-51.1509337E-42.0889356.0E-55.90922E-46.7069125E-40.00100046991.49169973.3E-40.00589353130.00669606170.0073615751.09938886.7E-4
6.78.651175E-69.825223E-62.9825027E-53.0355572.0E-53.707594E-54.210793E-51.02105405E-42.42484976.0E-54.5130608E-45.12634E-47.425161E-41.44843322.3E-40.00450390620.00512339450.00558103761.08932424.6E-4
6.81.0215377E-61.1755159E-61.1175504E-59.5068931.0E-54.378012E-65.0379163E-61.50378655E-52.98493771.0E-55.3300988E-56.133502E-59.1333175E-51.4890873.0E-55.3288206E-46.1319215E-46.4317376E-41.04889433.0E-5
6.97.9360774E-79.283743E-79.283743E-71.00.03.4011714E-63.978741E-63.978741E-61.00.04.1408475E-54.8440168E-55.8439684E-51.20643021.0E-54.140076E-44.8430308E-44.9429823E-41.02063821.0E-5
7.07.4382757E-78.7476525E-78.7476525E-71.00.03.1878285E-63.748989E-63.748989E-61.00.03.8811122E-54.5643053E-55.5642595E-51.21908141.0E-53.8804344E-44.5634343E-44.6633885E-41.02190331.0E-5
7.16.4709513E-77.711585E-77.711585E-71.00.02.773262E-63.3049612E-63.3049612E-61.00.03.376394E-54.023722E-55.0236817E-51.24851611.0E-53.375881E-44.023053E-44.1230128E-41.02484681.0E-5
7.26.356704E-77.5886396E-77.5886396E-71.00.02.7242988E-63.2522705E-63.2522705E-61.00.03.3167835E-53.9595736E-54.959534E-51.25254251.0E-53.3162883E-43.9589274E-44.0588877E-41.02524941.0E-5
7.35.7695723E-76.8968285E-76.8968285E-71.00.02.4726714E-62.9557807E-62.9557807E-61.00.03.0104358E-53.5986093E-54.5985733E-51.27787511.0E-53.0100282E-43.598084E-43.698048E-41.02778261.0E-5
7.45.209647E-76.1937425E-76.1937425E-71.00.02.232704E-62.6544587E-62.6544587E-61.00.02.718283E-53.231761E-53.231761E-51.00.02.7179506E-43.2313468E-43.2313468E-41.00.0
7.54.512955E-75.3490703E-75.3490703E-71.00.01.934122E-62.292457E-62.292457E-61.00.02.3547682E-52.791036E-52.791036E-51.00.02.3545188E-42.7907387E-42.7907387E-41.00.0
7.62.21172E-72.6040448E-72.6040448E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160189E-61.1160189E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587473E-51.3587473E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3586924E-41.3586924E-41.00.0

So Sierra Nevada

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.15488665E-51.1079929E-57.107927E-56.41513736.0E-54.9494203E-54.7484617E-52.6747418E-45.6328592.2E-46.024253E-45.779846E-40.00135753372.3487377.8E-40.0060079480.00576608260.0074761651.29657610.00172
6.11.15488665E-51.1079929E-57.107927E-56.41513736.0E-54.9494203E-54.7484617E-52.6747418E-45.6328592.2E-46.024253E-45.779846E-40.00135753372.3487377.8E-40.0060079480.00576608260.0074761651.29657610.00172
6.21.15488665E-51.1079929E-57.107927E-56.41513736.0E-54.9494203E-54.7484617E-52.6747418E-45.6328592.2E-46.024253E-45.779846E-40.00135753372.3487377.8E-40.0060079480.00576608260.0074761651.29657610.00172
6.31.15488665E-51.1079929E-57.107927E-56.41513736.0E-54.9494203E-54.7484617E-52.6747418E-45.6328592.2E-46.024253E-45.779846E-40.00135753372.3487377.8E-40.0060079480.00576608260.0074761651.29657610.00172
6.41.15488665E-51.1079929E-57.107927E-56.41513736.0E-54.9494203E-54.7484617E-52.6747418E-45.6328592.2E-46.024253E-45.779846E-40.00135753372.3487377.8E-40.0060079480.00576608260.0074761651.29657610.00172
6.51.15488665E-51.1079929E-57.107927E-56.41513736.0E-54.9494203E-54.7484617E-52.6747418E-45.6328592.2E-46.024253E-45.779846E-40.00135753372.3487377.8E-40.0060079480.00576608260.0074761651.29657610.00172
6.67.587044E-66.9358202E-66.6935405E-59.6506836.0E-53.2515498E-52.9724622E-51.8971987E-46.3825831.6E-43.9580427E-43.618401E-48.416664E-42.3260734.8E-40.0039510.0036128010.0046590081.28958320.00105
6.77.587044E-66.9358202E-66.6935405E-59.6506836.0E-53.2515498E-52.9724622E-51.8971987E-46.3825831.6E-43.9580427E-43.618401E-48.416664E-42.3260734.8E-40.0039510.0036128010.0046590081.28958320.00105
6.85.9026956E-65.179538E-66.517923E-512.5839846.0E-52.5297022E-52.2197837E-51.721945E-47.7572651.5E-43.0794772E-42.7022633E-47.1010744E-42.62782484.4E-40.00307521320.00269909370.00355677241.31776558.6E-4
6.95.0118915E-64.2525508E-65.4252338E-512.75765.0E-52.1479358E-51.8225093E-51.4822272E-48.1328931.3E-42.614798E-42.2186866E-46.1178213E-42.75740673.9E-40.00261172350.0022165440.00295490381.33311317.4E-4
7.04.4924795E-63.7140323E-64.3713884E-511.7699254.0E-51.925334E-51.5917189E-51.2591544E-47.91065841.1E-42.3438422E-41.9377517E-45.537054E-42.85746343.6E-40.00234137170.00193612490.0026247891.35569196.9E-4
7.13.9118436E-63.1120794E-63.3111985E-510.6398273.0E-51.6764936E-51.3337418E-51.0333622E-47.7478439.0E-52.0409399E-41.6237154E-44.6232282E-42.84731463.0E-40.00203906630.0016225850.00221162781.36302735.9E-4
7.23.4200818E-62.605546E-62.2605494E-58.6759152.0E-51.4657411E-51.116658E-58.1165796E-57.26863537.0E-51.7843937E-41.3594514E-43.6591387E-42.6916292.3E-40.00178296150.00135866950.00181804451.33810654.6E-4
7.32.6593618E-61.8284966E-61.8284966E-61.00.01.13972155E-57.836392E-64.7836078E-56.104354.0E-51.3875226E-49.540419E-52.5538894E-42.67691521.6E-40.00138665659.536612E-40.00126336561.3247533.1E-4
7.42.2577992E-61.4365053E-61.4365053E-61.00.09.676246E-66.156438E-62.6156315E-54.2486122.0E-51.1780193E-47.495231E-51.8494406E-42.467491.1E-40.0011773957.4929534E-49.791229E-41.3067252.3E-4
7.51.489319E-67.354422E-77.354422E-71.00.06.3827797E-63.1518912E-61.315186E-54.17268851.0E-57.770758E-53.8373604E-57.837207E-52.04234314.0E-57.7680405E-43.836702E-44.8363185E-41.26054051.0E-4
7.61.0680322E-64.659972E-74.659972E-71.00.04.577273E-61.9971294E-61.1997109E-56.0071771.0E-55.5726876E-52.431478E-56.4313805E-52.64504984.0E-55.5712904E-42.4312147E-43.330996E-41.37009549.0E-5
7.75.509146E-71.5581371E-71.5581371E-71.00.02.3610605E-66.677729E-76.677729E-71.00.02.8745531E-58.130106E-61.8130024E-52.22998621.0E-52.8741814E-48.1298196E-51.1129576E-41.36898183.0E-5

Coyote Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.5090034E-54.0367537E-56.0366732E-51.49542762.0E-51.503772E-41.729937E-42.5297987E-41.46236468.0E-50.00182930470.00210442110.0026133481.24183695.1E-40.0181431940.0208708550.0220947661.05864210.00125
6.13.5090034E-54.0367537E-56.0366732E-51.49542762.0E-51.503772E-41.729937E-42.5297987E-41.46236468.0E-50.00182930470.00210442110.0026133481.24183695.1E-40.0181431940.0208708550.0220947661.05864210.00125
6.21.841879E-52.1061396E-54.1060975E-51.94958472.0E-57.8935285E-59.0260575E-51.4025606E-41.55390175.0E-59.606133E-40.00109847050.00142810811.30008773.3E-40.00956471450.0109404970.0116328381.06328257.0E-4
6.31.841879E-52.1061396E-54.1060975E-51.94958472.0E-57.8935285E-59.0260575E-51.4025606E-41.55390175.0E-59.606133E-40.00109847050.00142810811.30008773.3E-40.00956471450.0109404970.0116328381.06328257.0E-4
6.41.712201E-51.9566693E-53.95663E-52.0221252.0E-57.337798E-58.385513E-51.3385093E-41.59621645.0E-58.930107E-40.00102055860.00132025241.29365673.0E-40.0088943070.0101686380.0108120281.0632726.5E-4
6.51.4744935E-51.683824E-53.6837904E-52.18775272.0E-56.3191044E-57.216242E-51.221588E-41.69283155.0E-57.6907943E-48.7831676E-40.00115807091.31851162.8E-40.0076642320.0087576520.0093424851.06677965.9E-4
6.61.2017839E-51.3725124E-52.3724986E-51.7285811.0E-55.150401E-55.882113E-58.881937E-51.50999083.0E-56.268809E-47.1600056E-49.258502E-41.29308582.1E-40.00625115450.0071456310.00759241541.06252554.5E-4
6.71.00956095E-51.1534388E-51.1534388E-51.00.04.326618E-54.943265E-55.9432154E-51.20228541.0E-55.266384E-46.0176325E-47.71661E-41.28233311.7E-40.0052539210.0060098660.00636770251.05954153.6E-4

Death Valley (So)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0684236E-52.5620835E-55.5620065E-52.1708923.0E-58.864371E-51.09799046E-42.1978698E-42.00172021.1E-40.00107870290.00133600050.0017654261.32142624.3E-40.0107348170.0132829780.0144078351.08468410.00114
6.12.0684236E-52.5620835E-55.5620065E-52.1708923.0E-58.864371E-51.09799046E-42.1978698E-42.00172021.1E-40.00107870290.00133600050.0017654261.32142624.3E-40.0107348170.0132829780.0144078351.08468410.00114
6.22.0684236E-52.5620835E-55.5620065E-52.1708923.0E-58.864371E-51.09799046E-42.1978698E-42.00172021.1E-40.00107870290.00133600050.0017654261.32142624.3E-40.0107348170.0132829780.0144078351.08468410.00114
6.32.0240292E-52.5120886E-55.512013E-52.19419553.0E-58.6741224E-51.0765659E-42.1764475E-42.02165751.1E-40.00105556260.00130994760.00169943671.29733183.9E-40.0105056280.013025520.0140618441.0795610.00105
6.42.0240292E-52.5120886E-55.512013E-52.19419553.0E-58.6741224E-51.0765659E-42.1764475E-42.02165751.1E-40.00105556260.00130994760.00169943671.29733183.9E-40.0105056280.013025520.0140618441.0795610.00105
6.51.9962767E-52.4810119E-55.4809374E-52.20915413.0E-58.55519E-51.0632484E-42.1631314E-42.03445531.1E-40.00104109680.00129375290.00167326131.29333913.8E-40.0103623270.0128654570.0138723341.07826210.00102
6.61.8937297E-52.3313813E-53.331358E-51.42892031.0E-58.115732E-59.99126E-51.899036E-41.90069749.0E-59.876423E-40.00121577150.00153538261.26288743.2E-40.0098326450.012094110.0129931051.07433329.1E-4
6.71.8621096E-52.291442E-53.291419E-51.43639641.0E-57.980225E-59.8201046E-51.881922E-41.91639729.0E-59.711593E-40.00119495650.0014945981.25075523.0E-40.0096692610.0118882040.0127182181.06981838.4E-4
6.81.7830353E-52.1808304E-53.1808086E-51.45853091.0E-57.641356E-59.34609E-51.8345249E-41.96287959.0E-59.29938E-40.00113730640.00143696531.26348113.0E-40.0092605610.0113172620.0121082091.06988858.0E-4
6.91.3135183E-51.5305317E-51.5305317E-51.00.05.6292425E-56.5592605E-51.05589985E-41.60978484.0E-56.8514474E-47.9830387E-49.6816814E-41.21278151.7E-40.0068303620.0079558690.00848165251.06608755.3E-4
7.01.1507512E-51.3155236E-51.3155236E-51.00.04.9316975E-55.6378398E-59.637614E-51.70945164.0E-56.002687E-46.861966E-48.360937E-41.21844631.5E-40.00598649870.00684207260.0072989251.06677114.6E-4
7.19.715903E-61.0865992E-51.0865992E-51.00.04.1638916E-54.6567733E-56.65668E-51.4294622.0E-55.068359E-45.668189E-46.3677924E-41.12342627.0E-50.00505681480.00565427540.00587303141.03868872.2E-4
7.29.233269E-61.02869635E-51.02869635E-51.00.03.9570554E-54.4086264E-55.4085824E-51.2268181.0E-54.81665E-45.366223E-45.8659544E-41.09312555.0E-50.00480622330.00535369660.00548300051.02415231.3E-4
7.38.8041315E-69.80876E-69.80876E-61.00.03.7731446E-54.203689E-55.203647E-51.23787631.0E-54.592835E-45.116832E-45.416678E-41.05860013.0E-50.00458335460.0051054770.00519501741.01753819.0E-5
7.48.708749E-69.707768E-69.707768E-61.00.03.7322676E-54.1604082E-55.1603663E-51.24035111.0E-54.5430884E-45.0641614E-45.3640094E-41.05920983.0E-50.0045338120.00505304760.0051425931.0177219.0E-5
7.58.612678E-69.605406E-69.605406E-61.00.03.6910955E-54.1165404E-55.1164992E-51.24291241.0E-54.492982E-45.0107774E-45.310627E-41.05984093.0E-50.0044839090.0049999050.0050795051.01592038.0E-5
7.68.319024E-69.28449E-69.28449E-61.00.03.5652476E-53.9790088E-54.978969E-51.25130891.0E-54.3398244E-44.8434082E-45.143263E-41.06190983.0E-50.00433135870.00483327640.00491288961.01647198.0E-5
7.77.4718328E-68.345689E-68.345689E-61.00.03.2021748E-53.576677E-54.5766414E-51.27957921.0E-53.8979502E-44.3537747E-44.5536878E-41.04591722.0E-50.003891120.00434565030.00440538951.01374696.0E-5
7.83.4586725E-73.648368E-73.648368E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635853E-61.5635853E-61.00.01.80467E-51.903649E-51.903649E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.9034903E-41.9034903E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6697329E-92.6697329E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14417125E-81.14417125E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3930286E-71.3930286E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3930285E-61.3930285E-61.00.0

Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.744542E-54.3965032E-51.4396063E-43.2744351.0E-41.604705E-41.8840893E-43.483788E-41.84905671.6E-40.00195197760.00229163750.00286033121.24816055.7E-40.0193492060.022698070.0237242371.04520940.00105
6.13.744542E-54.3965032E-51.4396063E-43.2744351.0E-41.604705E-41.8840893E-43.483788E-41.84905671.6E-40.00195197760.00229163750.00286033121.24816055.7E-40.0193492060.022698070.0237242371.04520940.00105
6.23.744542E-54.3965032E-51.4396063E-43.2744351.0E-41.604705E-41.8840893E-43.483788E-41.84905671.6E-40.00195197760.00229163750.00286033121.24816055.7E-40.0193492060.022698070.0237242371.04520940.00105
6.32.1079984E-52.5354779E-59.5353E-53.76075087.0E-59.0339665E-51.0865892E-41.9864914E-41.82818989.0E-50.00109933040.00132213950.00157180891.18883742.5E-40.0109390790.013144950.01357916651.03303294.4E-4
6.42.1079984E-52.5354779E-59.5353E-53.76075087.0E-59.0339665E-51.0865892E-41.9864914E-41.82818989.0E-50.00109933040.00132213950.00157180891.18883742.5E-40.0109390790.013144950.01357916651.03303294.4E-4
6.51.7397282E-52.0663578E-59.066213E-54.3875337.0E-57.455765E-58.855525E-51.7854729E-42.01622469.0E-59.073613E-40.00107763860.00130739071.21319962.3E-40.0090366540.0107254240.011071671.03228273.5E-4
6.61.52050325E-51.7680335E-58.7679095E-54.95913127.0E-56.51628E-57.577071E-51.657639E-42.1877049.0E-57.9306826E-49.221258E-40.00114192291.23835922.2E-40.0079024390.0091838580.0094910111.03344493.1E-4
6.71.332523E-51.526459E-57.526368E-54.93060546.0E-55.7106878E-56.541806E-51.4541284E-42.22282398.0E-56.950544E-47.9617975E-49.960205E-41.25099962.0E-40.0069288450.00793390350.0082017611.03376112.7E-4
6.81.1525329E-51.30315375E-56.3030886E-54.8367965.0E-54.9393333E-55.584827E-51.1584492E-42.07427936.0E-56.011979E-46.797448E-48.0965646E-41.19111821.3E-40.005995740.00677710860.0069757531.02931112.0E-4
6.91.0253909E-51.151498E-54.1514635E-53.6052723.0E-54.3944583E-54.9349E-57.934752E-51.6078853.0E-55.3489394E-46.006621E-46.7062E-41.11646817.0E-50.00533608250.0059907650.0061001061.01825151.1E-4
7.08.104563E-68.991533E-63.8991264E-54.33644253.0E-53.4733377E-53.8534585E-56.853343E-51.77849143.0E-54.2279682E-44.6906E-45.0904125E-41.08523694.0E-50.00421993340.00468094740.00474066661.01275796.0E-5
7.16.7986157E-67.516056E-63.751583E-54.9914253.0E-52.91366E-53.2211283E-56.221032E-51.93132073.0E-53.5468035E-43.9210395E-44.3208824E-41.10197384.0E-50.0035411480.00391433760.00397410241.01526826.0E-5
7.25.6893327E-66.280187E-62.628006E-54.18459842.0E-52.4382627E-52.691482E-54.6914283E-51.7430652.0E-52.9681803E-43.2764065E-43.476341E-41.06102252.0E-50.0029642190.00327177460.00331164381.01218584.0E-5
7.34.253348E-64.707105E-64.707105E-61.00.01.8228506E-52.017316E-52.017316E-51.00.02.2190946E-42.4558237E-42.4558237E-41.00.00.002216880.00245329090.00246326631.00406611.0E-5
7.42.5448119E-62.8520674E-62.8520674E-61.00.01.0906291E-51.2223099E-51.2223099E-51.00.01.3277601E-41.4880771E-41.4880771E-41.00.00.0013269670.00148724290.00149722791.00671391.0E-5
7.54.3706837E-84.5630156E-84.5630156E-81.00.01.8731501E-71.955578E-71.955578E-71.00.02.2805577E-62.380914E-62.380914E-61.00.02.2805343E-52.3808941E-52.3808941E-51.00.0

San Andreas (Mojave S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1064058E-46.7501515E-47.1498816E-41.05921794.0E-50.00133063760.0028898430.00295964071.02415287.0E-50.0160806050.0347434540.035177821.01250214.5E-40.14965490.286845030.28742271.00201388.1E-4
6.13.1064058E-46.7501515E-47.1498816E-41.05921794.0E-50.00133063760.0028898430.00295964071.02415287.0E-50.0160806050.0347434540.035177821.01250214.5E-40.14965490.286845030.28742271.00201388.1E-4
6.23.1064058E-46.7501515E-47.1498816E-41.05921794.0E-50.00133063760.0028898430.00295964071.02415287.0E-50.0160806050.0347434540.035177821.01250214.5E-40.14965490.286845030.28742271.00201388.1E-4
6.33.1064058E-46.7501515E-47.1498816E-41.05921794.0E-50.00133063760.0028898430.00295964071.02415287.0E-50.0160806050.0347434540.035177821.01250214.5E-40.14965490.286845030.28742271.00201388.1E-4
6.41.9872203E-44.3217847E-44.7216116E-41.09251444.0E-58.5138786E-40.00185090690.00192077731.03774937.0E-50.0103164780.0223080850.0226698311.01621593.7E-40.0985048560.197188630.197710471.00264636.5E-4
6.51.291105E-42.878896E-43.2787808E-41.13890224.0E-55.5321335E-40.0012332320.00130314571.05669147.0E-50.0067145920.01491205950.015256841.02312093.5E-40.0651529650.138211970.13871181.00361655.8E-4
6.61.291105E-42.878896E-43.2787808E-41.13890224.0E-55.5321335E-40.0012332320.00130314571.05669147.0E-50.0067145920.01491205950.015256841.02312093.5E-40.0651529650.138211970.13871181.00361655.8E-4
6.71.08001186E-42.4369665E-42.8368688E-41.16409854.0E-54.6278012E-40.00104399670.00111392361.066987.0E-50.00561980160.0126368820.0129725861.02656533.4E-40.0547979060.119333870.119818231.0040595.5E-4
6.81.0624356E-42.3887234E-42.7886278E-41.16741354.0E-54.5525006E-40.00102333750.00109326581.06833367.0E-50.00552859250.0123882340.0127240221.02710553.4E-40.0539305660.1172779050.117763411.00413975.5E-4
6.91.0393785E-42.3257434E-42.7256503E-41.17194814.0E-54.4537184E-49.963668E-40.00106629711.07018537.0E-50.00540892870.0120635430.0123895631.02702513.3E-40.052791560.114577360.115055491.00417295.4E-4
7.01.0155622E-42.2626782E-42.6625875E-41.17674174.0E-54.3516833E-49.693592E-40.00103929141.07214267.0E-50.0052853110.011738310.0120644361.0277833.3E-40.051613610.1118404340.112320041.00428835.4E-4
7.19.885595E-52.1914982E-42.5914106E-41.18248364.0E-54.2359953E-49.388758E-40.001008811.07448727.0E-50.00514513530.0113711010.0116874621.02782153.2E-40.050276290.108720630.1091930051.00434485.3E-4
7.29.6411415E-52.1277768E-42.5276918E-41.18794974.0E-54.1312634E-49.11586E-49.815221E-41.07671937.0E-50.0050182190.0110422620.011358731.02865963.2E-40.0490640070.1059148760.106388741.0044745.3E-4
7.39.1180635E-51.9505205E-42.3504424E-41.20503344.0E-53.907156E-48.3566963E-49.0561114E-41.08369527.0E-50.0047465910.0101269270.01043378751.03030153.1E-40.0464647860.098103420.09857241.00478055.2E-4
7.48.887388E-51.875339E-42.275264E-41.21325484.0E-53.8083247E-48.034692E-48.73413E-41.08705227.0E-50.00462678170.0097384590.010045441.03152253.1E-40.0453162860.0947350.095205731.0049695.2E-4
7.58.6750515E-51.8084598E-42.2083875E-41.22114264.0E-53.7173493E-47.7482406E-48.447698E-41.09027317.0E-50.0045164840.0093927650.0096998541.03269413.1E-40.044257870.0916967840.0921691061.00515095.2E-4
7.68.453092E-51.7471766E-42.1471066E-41.22890084.0E-53.6222505E-47.485751E-48.185227E-41.0934417.0E-50.00440117530.0090758910.0093830781.03384643.1E-40.043150240.088852630.089326431.00533245.2E-4
7.78.259102E-51.6993514E-42.0992834E-41.23534394.0E-53.539135E-47.280903E-47.980393E-41.0960727.0E-50.0043003860.00882853850.0091358011.03480343.1E-40.0421811340.0866032840.087078251.00548435.2E-4
7.87.444844E-51.531286E-41.8312401E-41.19588383.0E-53.1902574E-46.561004E-47.1606104E-41.09138946.0E-50.00387722230.00795881450.0082068251.03116172.5E-40.038102690.078422310.078837021.00528814.5E-4
7.95.2586525E-51.0026347E-41.20261466E-41.19945442.0E-52.2535135E-44.2962984E-44.7960837E-41.11632935.0E-50.00274020060.00521820920.0053674261.02859541.5E-40.0270665740.0522950440.052541451.00471172.6E-4
8.03.379877E-55.418741E-57.4186326E-51.36906952.0E-51.4484383E-42.322111E-42.722018E-41.1722174.0E-50.00176204710.00282350650.00289330891.02472197.0E-50.0174814090.02889120.0289883111.00336121.0E-4
8.11.8668277E-51.9360978E-52.9360783E-51.51649281.0E-58.000444E-58.2972976E-59.297215E-51.12051121.0E-59.736188E-40.00100972850.00101971841.00989371.0E-50.0096936420.0108261150.0108360061.00091371.0E-5
8.28.541571E-65.4799148E-65.4799148E-61.00.03.660622E-52.3485138E-52.3485138E-51.00.04.455896E-42.8589412E-42.8589412E-41.00.00.00444697170.00325128860.00325128861.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.690063E-77.690063E-71.00.08.498917E-63.295737E-63.295737E-61.00.01.034694E-44.012488E-54.012488E-51.00.00.00103421244.737206E-44.737206E-41.00.0

Towne Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.849728E-63.894574E-61.3894535E-53.56766491.0E-51.649873E-51.669095E-58.668978E-55.19381957.0E-52.0085352E-42.0319773E-45.531266E-42.722113.5E-40.00200672080.00203054860.00287882261.41775618.5E-4
6.13.849728E-63.894574E-61.3894535E-53.56766491.0E-51.649873E-51.669095E-58.668978E-55.19381957.0E-52.0085352E-42.0319773E-45.531266E-42.722113.5E-40.00200672080.00203054860.00287882261.41775618.5E-4
6.23.849728E-63.894574E-61.3894535E-53.56766491.0E-51.649873E-51.669095E-58.668978E-55.19381957.0E-52.0085352E-42.0319773E-45.531266E-42.722113.5E-40.00200672080.00203054860.00287882261.41775618.5E-4
6.33.849728E-63.894574E-61.3894535E-53.56766491.0E-51.649873E-51.669095E-58.668978E-55.19381957.0E-52.0085352E-42.0319773E-45.531266E-42.722113.5E-40.00200672080.00203054860.00287882261.41775618.5E-4
6.43.849728E-63.894574E-61.3894535E-53.56766491.0E-51.649873E-51.669095E-58.668978E-55.19381957.0E-52.0085352E-42.0319773E-45.531266E-42.722113.5E-40.00200672080.00203054860.00287882261.41775618.5E-4
6.51.1953545E-61.2030648E-61.1203053E-59.3120941.0E-55.1229376E-65.1559828E-62.515588E-54.87896872.0E-56.236998E-56.27724E-51.4276739E-42.27436548.0E-56.235248E-46.275584E-47.8745803E-41.25479641.6E-4
6.61.1953545E-61.2030648E-61.1203053E-59.3120941.0E-55.1229376E-65.1559828E-62.515588E-54.87896872.0E-56.236998E-56.27724E-51.4276739E-42.27436548.0E-56.235248E-46.275584E-47.8745803E-41.25479641.6E-4
6.78.375951E-78.410776E-78.410776E-71.00.03.5896885E-63.6046138E-61.3604577E-53.77421241.0E-54.370358E-54.3885346E-58.388359E-51.9114264.0E-54.3694986E-44.3877252E-45.28733E-41.20502779.0E-5
6.86.38041E-76.39225E-76.39225E-71.00.02.7344586E-62.7395329E-62.7395329E-61.00.03.3291526E-53.3353343E-56.3352345E-51.899433.0E-53.3286537E-43.3348717E-43.9346717E-41.1798576.0E-5
6.95.3460053E-75.34542E-75.34542E-71.00.02.2911431E-62.2908923E-62.2908923E-61.00.02.789431E-52.7891292E-53.789101E-51.35852481.0E-52.789081E-42.7888123E-43.1887006E-41.14339024.0E-5
7.03.557783E-73.532496E-73.532496E-71.00.01.5247632E-61.513926E-61.513926E-61.00.01.8563835E-51.8431901E-51.8431901E-51.00.01.8562283E-41.8430458E-41.9430273E-41.0542481.0E-5
7.13.037942E-73.0002886E-73.0002886E-71.00.01.3019744E-61.2858374E-61.2858374E-61.00.01.5851423E-51.5654965E-51.5654965E-51.00.01.5850292E-41.5653936E-41.6653781E-41.06387171.0E-5
7.22.0808248E-72.0218206E-72.0218206E-71.00.08.917818E-78.664943E-78.664943E-71.00.01.0857389E-51.0549522E-51.0549522E-51.00.01.0856859E-41.05490675E-41.1548962E-41.09478511.0E-5
7.31.1162073E-71.06371445E-71.06371445E-71.00.04.7837443E-74.5587754E-74.5587754E-71.00.05.8241935E-65.550297E-65.550297E-61.00.05.8240406E-55.5501783E-56.5501226E-51.18016431.0E-5

Nelson Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.913453E-61.0192408E-53.0192205E-52.9622252.0E-54.2485535E-54.3681073E-51.0367845E-42.37353256.0E-55.1713863E-45.3169765E-48.4153283E-41.58272813.1E-40.00515936830.00530528320.0060811451.14624327.8E-4
6.19.913453E-61.0192408E-53.0192205E-52.9622252.0E-54.2485535E-54.3681073E-51.0367845E-42.37353256.0E-55.1713863E-45.3169765E-48.4153283E-41.58272813.1E-40.00515936830.00530528320.0060811451.14624327.8E-4
6.24.5596407E-64.696388E-61.4696341E-53.1292861.0E-51.954117E-52.0127229E-55.0126626E-52.49048833.0E-52.3788778E-42.4502273E-43.5499578E-41.4488281.1E-40.00237633290.00244765170.00278681961.13856863.4E-4
6.34.5596407E-64.696388E-61.4696341E-53.1292861.0E-51.954117E-52.0127229E-55.0126626E-52.49048833.0E-52.3788778E-42.4502273E-43.5499578E-41.4488281.1E-40.00237633290.00244765170.00278681961.13856863.4E-4
6.43.4025713E-63.509956E-61.3509921E-53.84902861.0E-51.4582367E-51.5042587E-53.5042285E-52.32953862.0E-51.7752586E-41.8312894E-42.6311429E-41.43677078.0E-50.0017738410.00182986330.00208938751.14182712.6E-4
6.52.8352947E-62.927907E-61.2927878E-54.4153991.0E-51.2151207E-51.25481165E-52.254799E-51.79692231.0E-51.479309E-41.5276336E-42.127542E-41.39270446.0E-50.00147832460.00152665740.00174632141.14388572.2E-4
6.62.251518E-62.3291102E-61.23290865E-55.2934751.0E-59.649328E-69.981866E-61.9981766E-52.00180671.0E-51.1747423E-41.2152307E-41.8151579E-41.49367346.0E-50.00117412140.0012146280.0014143851.16445952.0E-4
6.71.8911853E-61.959177E-61.1959158E-56.10417371.0E-58.105055E-68.39645E-61.8396366E-52.19096951.0E-59.867457E-51.0222256E-41.322195E-41.29344733.0E-59.863076E-40.00102181290.00114169031.11731831.2E-4
6.81.4874814E-61.5438616E-61.1543846E-57.4772551.0E-56.374905E-66.6165358E-61.661647E-52.5113551.0E-57.76117E-58.0553866E-51.10551446E-41.37239163.0E-57.75846E-48.0529775E-49.0521725E-41.12407771.0E-4
6.96.835972E-77.140097E-71.0714002E-515.0054031.0E-52.9296991E-63.0600397E-61.3060009E-54.26792141.0E-53.56685E-53.7255664E-55.7254918E-51.53681112.0E-53.5662777E-43.7252545E-44.5249565E-41.21467048.0E-5

San Andreas (Mojave N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.877682E-51.9436594E-42.5435427E-41.30863616.0E-54.2326056E-48.3273114E-49.4263954E-41.13198541.1E-40.00514102770.01009149850.010507261.04119924.2E-40.050237080.098476360.099143481.00677457.4E-4
6.19.877682E-51.9436594E-42.5435427E-41.30863616.0E-54.2326056E-48.3273114E-49.4263954E-41.13198541.1E-40.00514102770.01009149850.010507261.04119924.2E-40.050237080.098476360.099143481.00677457.4E-4
6.29.877682E-51.9436594E-42.5435427E-41.30863616.0E-54.2326056E-48.3273114E-49.4263954E-41.13198541.1E-40.00514102770.01009149850.010507261.04119924.2E-40.050237080.098476360.099143481.00677457.4E-4
6.39.877682E-51.9436594E-42.5435427E-41.30863616.0E-54.2326056E-48.3273114E-49.4263954E-41.13198541.1E-40.00514102770.01009149850.010507261.04119924.2E-40.050237080.098476360.099143481.00677457.4E-4
6.49.877682E-51.9436594E-42.5435427E-41.30863616.0E-54.2326056E-48.3273114E-49.4263954E-41.13198541.1E-40.00514102770.01009149850.010507261.04119924.2E-40.050237080.098476360.099143481.00677457.4E-4
6.59.861474E-51.9410347E-42.5409184E-41.30905346.0E-54.2256617E-48.3160703E-49.4151555E-41.1321641.1E-40.00513261320.0100779390.0104937071.04125524.2E-40.0501567460.0983542050.099021421.00678387.4E-4
6.69.861474E-51.9410347E-42.5409184E-41.30905346.0E-54.2256617E-48.3160703E-49.4151555E-41.1321641.1E-40.00513261320.0100779390.0104937071.04125524.2E-40.0501567460.0983542050.099021421.00678387.4E-4
6.79.8552715E-51.9400296E-42.539913E-41.30921366.0E-54.223004E-48.311765E-49.410851E-41.13223251.1E-40.00512939270.0100727460.0104885161.04127674.2E-40.0501259980.098307240.098974491.00678747.4E-4
6.89.8464974E-51.9385452E-42.5384288E-41.30945056.0E-54.219245E-48.305407E-49.4044936E-41.13233391.1E-40.00512483760.0100650780.010480851.04130844.2E-40.050082510.0982370.0989043041.00679287.4E-4
6.99.825824E-51.935344E-42.535228E-41.30996246.0E-54.2103877E-48.291697E-49.3907845E-41.13255291.1E-40.00511410460.0100485380.0104643181.04137714.2E-40.0499800220.098086060.0987534751.00680437.4E-4
7.09.781462E-51.9284763E-42.5283606E-41.31106656.0E-54.1913814E-48.2622824E-49.3613734E-41.13302521.1E-40.0050910730.0100130570.01042885151.04152524.2E-40.049760070.097762370.098430031.00682947.4E-4
7.19.7121134E-51.9186416E-42.5185265E-41.31266136.0E-54.1616702E-48.2201604E-49.319256E-41.13370731.1E-40.0050550680.0099622430.0103780591.04173924.2E-40.049416130.097298780.0979667751.00686547.4E-4
7.29.663819E-51.9117158E-42.511601E-41.31379416.0E-54.1409794E-48.1904966E-49.289596E-41.1341921.1E-40.00502999360.0099264580.0103422891.04189124.2E-40.0491765370.096972040.097640281.0068917.4E-4
7.39.6277574E-51.906962E-42.5068474E-41.31457666.0E-54.125529E-48.170136E-49.2692376E-41.13452671.1E-40.00501126940.0099018940.01030783451.04099624.1E-40.048997590.096745290.097404661.00681567.3E-4
7.49.593308E-51.9009347E-42.5008208E-41.31557426.0E-54.1107697E-48.1443216E-49.2434254E-41.13495341.1E-40.00499338240.009870750.0102767031.04112684.1E-40.048826610.096462870.097122451.00683777.3E-4
7.59.561707E-51.8955376E-42.4954238E-41.31647296.0E-54.0972308E-48.121205E-49.220312E-41.13533781.1E-40.00497697430.00984286050.0102488251.04124454.1E-40.0486697440.096208830.0968686041.00685767.3E-4
7.69.418194E-51.8607336E-42.460622E-41.32239346.0E-54.0357444E-47.972137E-49.07126E-41.13787061.1E-40.0049024540.0096629930.01005912851.0409954.0E-40.0479570250.094588420.095240321.0068927.2E-4
7.78.202141E-51.6053455E-42.1052652E-41.31140955.0E-53.51473E-46.878238E-47.777619E-41.13075759.0E-50.004270790.0083421570.00869915451.04279433.6E-40.041896390.082375850.0829814751.00735216.6E-4
7.87.2859846E-51.4545326E-41.7544889E-41.20622183.0E-53.1221908E-46.232222E-46.8318483E-41.09621386.0E-50.0037946430.00756137350.00780948341.03281282.5E-40.0373049750.0748547240.075271031.00556164.5E-4
7.95.3874453E-51.0065783E-41.2065582E-41.19867292.0E-52.3087008E-44.313194E-44.8129784E-41.11587335.0E-50.00280722020.00523868060.0053878951.02848321.5E-40.027720220.0525203940.052766741.00469042.6E-4
8.03.468538E-55.4374406E-57.437332E-51.36780012.0E-51.4864317E-42.3301235E-42.7300304E-41.17162474.0E-50.00180822830.00283323670.00290303841.02463677.0E-50.0179358530.029004340.0291014391.00334781.0E-4
8.11.9152367E-51.9454663E-52.9454468E-51.51400551.0E-58.207899E-58.337447E-59.337363E-51.11993071.0E-59.988535E-40.0010146120.0010246021.0098461.0E-50.0099437570.0108837380.010893631.00090891.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.494016E-65.494016E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3545572E-52.3545572E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.866297E-42.866297E-41.00.00.00450013950.00325922180.00325922181.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.690063E-77.690063E-71.00.08.498917E-63.295737E-63.295737E-61.00.01.034694E-44.012488E-54.012488E-51.00.00.00103421244.737206E-44.737206E-41.00.0

Bicycle Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9621975E-52.2098557E-53.2098338E-51.45250821.0E-58.4091465E-59.470543E-51.2470258E-41.31674173.0E-50.00102333270.00115256370.00145221791.25998933.0E-40.010186330.0114791740.0121019421.0542526.3E-4
6.11.9621975E-52.2098557E-53.2098338E-51.45250821.0E-58.4091465E-59.470543E-51.2470258E-41.31674173.0E-50.00102333270.00115256370.00145221791.25998933.0E-40.010186330.0114791740.0121019421.0542526.3E-4
6.29.9971285E-61.1256391E-52.1256279E-51.88837421.0E-54.2844134E-54.824108E-56.8240115E-51.41456442.0E-55.2150246E-45.8722886E-47.3714077E-41.2552871.5E-40.00520280330.00586187750.0061601191.05087823.0E-4
6.39.589428E-61.0799068E-52.079896E-51.92599581.0E-54.10969E-54.6281195E-56.628027E-51.43212092.0E-55.002399E-45.633797E-47.033009E-41.24836031.4E-40.00499115330.00562460530.0059129741.05126922.9E-4
6.49.589428E-61.0799068E-52.079896E-51.92599581.0E-54.10969E-54.6281195E-56.628027E-51.43212092.0E-55.002399E-45.633797E-47.033009E-41.24836031.4E-40.00499115330.00562460530.0059129741.05126922.9E-4
6.55.557707E-66.286038E-61.6285976E-52.5908171.0E-52.3818526E-52.6940037E-54.6939498E-51.74236942.0E-52.8995197E-43.2797246E-44.5792983E-41.39624481.3E-40.00289573940.0032775210.00351673431.07298612.4E-4
6.64.8742945E-65.5136734E-65.5136734E-61.00.02.0889667E-52.3629962E-53.3629727E-51.42318151.0E-52.54302E-42.87683E-43.7765712E-41.31275449.0E-50.0025401120.00287567520.00305515761.0624141.8E-4
6.73.991108E-64.5162255E-64.5162255E-61.00.01.7104636E-51.9355251E-52.9355058E-51.51664571.0E-52.0822904E-42.3565018E-43.056337E-41.29698057.0E-50.00208034040.00235650180.00248619541.05503651.3E-4

Paradise

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4851273E-51.6695423E-52.6695256E-51.59895661.0E-56.364676E-57.1549985E-51.3154569E-41.83851466.0E-57.7462377E-48.707965E-40.00111058751.27536982.4E-40.00771929140.0086762230.0092611041.06741195.9E-4
6.11.4851273E-51.6695423E-52.6695256E-51.59895661.0E-56.364676E-57.1549985E-51.3154569E-41.83851466.0E-57.7462377E-48.707965E-40.00111058751.27536982.4E-40.00771929140.0086762230.0092611041.06741195.9E-4
6.21.4851273E-51.6695423E-52.6695256E-51.59895661.0E-56.364676E-57.1549985E-51.3154569E-41.83851466.0E-57.7462377E-48.707965E-40.00111058751.27536982.4E-40.00771929140.0086762230.0092611041.06741195.9E-4
6.31.0426831E-51.1889131E-52.1889013E-51.84109441.0E-54.4685654E-55.0952458E-58.095093E-51.58875423.0E-55.43912E-46.2017556E-47.4010115E-41.19337361.2E-40.00542582660.00618505660.00641363441.03695642.3E-4
6.41.0426831E-51.1889131E-52.1889013E-51.84109441.0E-54.4685654E-55.0952458E-58.095093E-51.58875423.0E-55.43912E-46.2017556E-47.4010115E-41.19337361.2E-40.00542582660.00618505660.00641363441.03695642.3E-4
6.59.25027E-61.0620418E-52.0620311E-51.94157251.0E-53.964341E-54.5515313E-56.55144E-51.43939262.0E-54.8255164E-45.5401295E-46.5395754E-41.18040121.0E-40.00481505130.00552681740.00571576741.03418781.9E-4
6.67.904275E-69.159918E-61.9159826E-52.0917031.0E-53.3875025E-53.925622E-54.925583E-51.25472661.0E-54.1235037E-44.778436E-45.5780535E-41.16733888.0E-50.00411586040.00476855830.00490789071.0292191.4E-4
6.77.2061953E-68.40761E-61.8407525E-52.18938881.0E-53.088333E-53.6032136E-54.6031775E-51.27752011.0E-53.7593965E-44.3860663E-44.9858034E-41.13673696.0E-50.0037530430.00437777860.0044872971.02501691.1E-4
6.86.6948724E-67.842504E-61.7842425E-52.2750931.0E-52.8691995E-53.361032E-54.360998E-51.29751771.0E-53.4926904E-44.0913236E-44.691078E-41.14659186.0E-50.0034872060.0040841490.00418374041.02438491.0E-4
6.96.0421025E-67.13093E-67.13093E-61.00.02.5894467E-53.056079E-53.056079E-51.00.03.1521954E-43.720175E-44.120026E-41.10748184.0E-50.00314772780.00371428560.00379398841.02145858.0E-5
7.04.134091E-65.080546E-65.080546E-61.00.01.7717413E-52.1773596E-52.1773596E-51.00.02.1568815E-42.6506282E-42.8505753E-41.07543392.0E-50.00215478920.002647620.0026875141.01506794.0E-5
7.13.7674888E-64.6320843E-64.6320843E-61.00.01.6146281E-51.9851648E-51.9851648E-51.00.01.9656324E-42.4166853E-42.616637E-41.0827382.0E-50.00196389460.0024142080.00245411111.01652864.0E-5
7.23.4065345E-64.1569137E-64.1569137E-61.00.01.4599351E-51.7815231E-51.7815231E-51.00.01.777326E-42.1688035E-42.3687602E-41.09219672.0E-50.00177590530.00216683510.00220674861.01842014.0E-5
7.32.9934936E-63.629477E-63.629477E-61.00.01.2829195E-51.5554817E-51.5554817E-51.00.01.5618425E-41.8936492E-42.0936114E-41.10559622.0E-50.00156074530.0018921810.00192212421.01582473.0E-5
7.42.4049796E-62.889102E-62.889102E-61.00.01.0307015E-51.2381815E-51.2381815E-51.00.01.2548068E-41.5073961E-41.6073811E-41.06632961.0E-50.00125409850.00150651510.00151651.00662781.0E-5
7.51.2710091E-61.5135334E-61.5135334E-61.00.05.44717E-66.4865626E-66.4865626E-61.00.06.631728E-57.897229E-57.897229E-51.00.06.6297496E-47.895649E-47.895649E-41.00.0
7.62.21172E-72.6040448E-72.6040448E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160189E-61.1160189E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587473E-51.3587473E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3586924E-41.3586924E-41.00.0

Garlic Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6760017E-51.8778032E-52.8777844E-51.53252721.0E-57.182667E-58.047546E-51.2047224E-41.49700594.0E-58.7413884E-49.794657E-40.00115928941.18359361.8E-40.0087070830.0097630350.01023834851.04868514.8E-4
6.19.852767E-61.097425E-51.097425E-51.00.04.222546E-54.703205E-55.703158E-51.2126111.0E-55.139737E-45.7253573E-46.824728E-41.19201781.1E-40.0051278660.00571756620.0060059081.05043092.9E-4
6.29.852767E-61.097425E-51.097425E-51.00.04.222546E-54.703205E-55.703158E-51.2126111.0E-55.139737E-45.7253573E-46.824728E-41.19201781.1E-40.0051278660.00571756620.0060059081.05043092.9E-4
6.34.3167724E-64.7782996E-64.7782996E-61.00.01.8500323E-52.0478396E-53.047819E-51.48830951.0E-52.2521814E-42.4931898E-42.8930898E-41.1603974.0E-50.00224990030.0024926510.00263230221.05602511.4E-4
6.44.3167724E-64.7782996E-64.7782996E-61.00.01.8500323E-52.0478396E-53.047819E-51.48830951.0E-52.2521814E-42.4931898E-42.8930898E-41.1603974.0E-50.00224990030.0024926510.00263230221.05602511.4E-4
6.54.3167724E-64.7782996E-64.7782996E-61.00.01.8500323E-52.0478396E-53.047819E-51.48830951.0E-52.2521814E-42.4931898E-42.8930898E-41.1603974.0E-50.00224990030.0024926510.00263230221.05602511.4E-4
6.64.301311E-64.761167E-64.761167E-61.00.01.8434059E-52.0404972E-53.0404768E-51.49006661.0E-52.2441156E-42.4842523E-42.884153E-41.16097434.0E-50.00224185060.0024837340.00262338621.05622671.4E-4
6.73.8599724E-64.2713013E-64.2713013E-61.00.01.6542634E-51.8305576E-52.8305394E-51.54627171.0E-52.0138794E-42.228704E-42.628615E-41.17943664.0E-50.00201205540.00222870380.00235841421.05819991.3E-4

San Andreas (San Bernardino N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4273766E-43.1637165E-43.4636215E-41.09479523.0E-56.115894E-40.00135517980.00141509861.04421466.0E-50.00742070840.0163759940.01662191.01501622.5E-40.071777480.150465820.150788641.00214553.8E-4
6.11.4273766E-43.1637165E-43.4636215E-41.09479523.0E-56.115894E-40.00135517980.00141509861.04421466.0E-50.00742070840.0163759940.01662191.01501622.5E-40.071777480.150465820.150788641.00214553.8E-4
6.21.4273766E-43.1637165E-43.4636215E-41.09479523.0E-56.115894E-40.00135517980.00141509861.04421466.0E-50.00742070840.0163759940.01662191.01501622.5E-40.071777480.150465820.150788641.00214553.8E-4
6.31.3730655E-43.0541886E-43.3540968E-41.09819583.0E-55.883239E-40.00130828690.00136820841.04580156.0E-50.00713934420.0158134640.016059511.01555932.5E-40.069142910.145751010.146075621.00222723.8E-4
6.41.3730655E-43.0541886E-43.3540968E-41.09819583.0E-55.883239E-40.00130828690.00136820841.04580156.0E-50.00713934420.0158134640.016059511.01555932.5E-40.069142910.145751010.146075621.00222723.8E-4
6.51.2942807E-42.895608E-43.195521E-41.10357523.0E-55.545738E-40.00124038990.00130031541.0483126.0E-50.00673105240.0149984240.0152446751.01641852.5E-40.065307880.13888920.13920781.0022943.7E-4
6.61.1125901E-42.5394472E-42.8393712E-41.11810593.0E-54.767372E-40.00108788290.00114781761.0550936.0E-50.0057888390.0131651710.01341188051.01873952.5E-40.0564034540.1231567860.123481221.00263433.7E-4
6.71.02209575E-42.3529287E-42.652858E-41.12747073.0E-54.3796748E-40.00100800980.00106794921.05946336.0E-50.00531922470.0122038820.0124310761.01861642.3E-40.0519369060.11491520.115224981.00269573.5E-4
6.89.610582E-52.2054653E-42.5053992E-41.13599573.0E-54.1181705E-49.448577E-40.0010048011.06344166.0E-50.00500235150.0114432320.01167061.01986922.3E-40.0489123460.108325910.1086379961.0028813.5E-4
6.99.3877505E-52.1510055E-42.450941E-41.13943973.0E-54.0227012E-49.2153443E-49.814792E-41.06504886.0E-50.00488664540.011162210.0113797541.01948942.2E-40.047805770.105919240.106223231.002873.4E-4
7.09.1019785E-52.0836767E-42.3836142E-41.14394633.0E-53.900265E-48.926993E-49.526457E-41.06715196.0E-50.00473823770.0108146760.0110322971.02012282.2E-40.0463847440.102888310.103193331.00296453.4E-4
7.18.771155E-52.0011076E-42.3010476E-41.1498873.0E-53.758525E-48.573362E-49.1728475E-41.06992426.0E-50.00456640640.0103883090.0105961281.0200052.1E-40.0447370560.0991993840.099496651.00299673.3E-4
7.28.0830236E-51.8416144E-42.1415591E-41.16287053.0E-53.4636928E-47.890247E-48.4897736E-41.07598336.0E-50.00420889440.009564170.0097721611.0217472.1E-40.0413006580.091927520.092227181.00325983.3E-4
7.37.7668235E-51.7359214E-42.0358693E-41.17278893.0E-53.328214E-47.4375427E-48.037096E-41.08061186.0E-50.00404457330.0090176910.0092257981.02307762.1E-40.039717480.0871873940.087488621.00345493.3E-4
7.47.520177E-51.6578918E-41.957842E-41.18092273.0E-53.2225347E-47.1033166E-47.7028904E-41.08440766.0E-50.00391637950.0086140610.0088222521.02416872.1E-40.0384807440.083640620.083943021.00361553.3E-4
7.57.274697E-51.5866217E-41.886574E-41.1890513.0E-53.1173544E-46.7980355E-47.3976273E-41.08820086.0E-50.0037887750.0082452560.0084535251.02525912.1E-40.037248270.0803554360.080658911.00377683.3E-4
7.67.1185845E-51.5435848E-41.8435385E-41.19432283.0E-53.0504653E-46.6136866E-47.2132895E-41.09066096.0E-50.00370761780.0080224870.0082308031.02596642.1E-40.0364636670.078343930.078648071.00388223.3E-4
7.76.709961E-51.4344044E-41.7343614E-41.2091163.0E-52.8753807E-46.1459997E-46.7456305E-41.09756456.0E-50.0034951570.00745712030.00766555451.0279512.1E-40.0344069380.073171660.0734775141.004183.3E-4
7.86.300812E-51.3226763E-41.6226366E-41.22678293.0E-52.7000686E-45.6673813E-46.2670413E-41.1058096.0E-50.00328237870.00687823540.0070867911.03032112.1E-40.0323431750.067825260.068132881.00453543.3E-4
7.94.983037E-59.7425276E-51.17423326E-41.20526552.0E-52.1354125E-44.174701E-44.6744922E-41.1197195.0E-50.00259676480.00507086330.00522010261.02943071.5E-40.0256662960.0507395040.0509863121.00486422.6E-4
8.03.2211527E-55.3414442E-57.341337E-51.37441062.0E-51.380421E-42.2889896E-42.688898E-41.17470964.0E-50.00167936690.00278328520.00285309021.02508017.0E-50.0166673230.0284157490.0285129061.00341921.0E-4
8.11.743376E-51.8873632E-52.8873443E-51.52982971.0E-57.471398E-58.0884485E-59.088368E-51.12362311.0E-59.0926304E-49.843244E-49.943146E-41.01014921.0E-50.0090555170.0105099530.0105198481.00094151.0E-5
8.27.831616E-65.1727284E-65.1727284E-61.00.03.3563636E-52.2168648E-52.2168648E-51.00.04.0856065E-42.6986995E-42.6986995E-41.00.00.0040781030.0030514440.0030514441.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.690063E-77.690063E-71.00.08.498917E-63.295737E-63.295737E-61.00.01.034694E-44.012488E-54.012488E-51.00.00.00103421244.737206E-44.737206E-41.00.0

Coyote Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.980352E-52.1707852E-52.1707852E-51.00.08.486947E-59.303074E-51.1302888E-41.21496272.0E-50.00103279590.00113213270.00127197431.12352041.4E-40.0102800910.011270830.0115872231.02807193.2E-4
6.11.980352E-52.1707852E-52.1707852E-51.00.08.486947E-59.303074E-51.1302888E-41.21496272.0E-50.00103279590.00113213270.00127197431.12352041.4E-40.0102800910.011270830.0115872231.02807193.2E-4
6.21.980352E-52.1707852E-52.1707852E-51.00.08.486947E-59.303074E-51.1302888E-41.21496272.0E-50.00103279590.00113213270.00127197431.12352041.4E-40.0102800910.011270830.0115872231.02807193.2E-4
6.31.5344787E-51.6821528E-51.6821528E-51.00.06.576172E-57.209062E-59.2089176E-51.27740862.0E-58.003548E-48.7741105E-49.773233E-41.11387171.0E-40.0079747840.0087455140.0089933281.0283362.5E-4
6.41.5344787E-51.6821528E-51.6821528E-51.00.06.576172E-57.209062E-59.2089176E-51.27740862.0E-58.003548E-48.7741105E-49.773233E-41.11387171.0E-40.0079747840.0087455140.0089933281.0283362.5E-4
6.51.4189697E-51.5558782E-51.5558782E-51.00.06.081157E-56.667913E-58.66778E-51.29992392.0E-57.401293E-48.115764E-49.1149524E-41.1231171.0E-40.00737669130.0080920690.0083202081.02819292.3E-4
6.61.3469301E-51.4772335E-51.4772335E-51.00.05.7724297E-56.330881E-58.330755E-51.31589172.0E-57.025667E-47.7057217E-48.704951E-41.12967371.0E-40.00700349640.00768490740.007913141.02969882.3E-4
6.71.3027966E-51.4282475E-51.4282475E-51.00.05.5832945E-56.12095E-58.120828E-51.32672672.0E-56.7955407E-47.450307E-48.4495614E-41.13412261.0E-40.0067747980.0074312070.00764957261.02938492.2E-4
6.85.695434E-66.2247245E-66.2247245E-61.00.02.4408775E-52.6677288E-53.6677022E-51.37484071.0E-52.971363E-43.2477756E-43.6476456E-41.12312134.0E-50.00296739330.00324597020.0033157431.02149527.0E-5
6.94.385688E-64.7932917E-64.7932917E-61.00.01.879567E-52.0542679E-53.0542473E-51.48678151.0E-52.2881327E-42.501071E-42.9009712E-41.15989154.0E-50.0022857780.0025010710.0025708961.0279187.0E-5

Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6707214E-51.8671435E-51.8671435E-51.00.07.160038E-58.001803E-51.20014825E-41.49984744.0E-58.71386E-49.737917E-40.00108368461.11285051.1E-40.008679770.00969610.01002291.03370433.3E-4
6.11.6707214E-51.8671435E-51.8671435E-51.00.07.160038E-58.001803E-51.20014825E-41.49984744.0E-58.71386E-49.737917E-40.00108368461.11285051.1E-40.008679770.00969610.01002291.03370433.3E-4
6.21.6707214E-51.8671435E-51.8671435E-51.00.07.160038E-58.001803E-51.20014825E-41.49984744.0E-58.71386E-49.737917E-40.00108368461.11285051.1E-40.008679770.00969610.01002291.03370433.3E-4
6.31.6707214E-51.8671435E-51.8671435E-51.00.07.160038E-58.001803E-51.20014825E-41.49984744.0E-58.71386E-49.737917E-40.00108368461.11285051.1E-40.008679770.00969610.01002291.03370433.3E-4
6.41.5515609E-51.7339296E-51.7339296E-51.00.06.649377E-57.430919E-51.1430622E-41.53825144.0E-58.0926094E-49.04345E-40.00100425461.11047731.0E-40.0080632020.0090073330.0092947211.0319062.9E-4
6.51.5515609E-51.7339296E-51.7339296E-51.00.06.649377E-57.430919E-51.1430622E-41.53825144.0E-58.0926094E-49.04345E-40.00100425461.11047731.0E-40.0080632020.0090073330.0092947211.0319062.9E-4
6.61.5041828E-51.6810196E-51.6810196E-51.00.06.4463384E-57.204174E-51.0203958E-41.41639533.0E-57.8455906E-48.767611E-49.56691E-41.0911658.0E-50.007817950.0087336760.0089914051.02950982.6E-4
6.71.4634985E-51.635704E-51.635704E-51.00.06.271985E-57.009975E-51.0009765E-41.42793153.0E-57.6334673E-48.53136E-49.230763E-41.08198027.0E-50.0076072990.0084992450.00873720551.02799792.4E-4
6.81.4209158E-51.5883043E-51.5883043E-51.00.06.089497E-56.806844E-59.80664E-51.44070293.0E-57.4114406E-48.2842377E-48.8837405E-41.07236676.0E-50.0073867710.0082539710.0084721561.02643382.2E-4
6.91.3780098E-51.540556E-51.540556E-51.00.05.9056227E-56.6022185E-59.602021E-51.45436283.0E-57.1877235E-48.0352917E-48.634809E-41.07461066.0E-50.00716451930.00800683350.0082250711.02725652.2E-4
7.01.3585064E-51.5189109E-51.5189109E-51.00.05.8220405E-56.509459E-59.509263E-51.46083783.0E-57.086029E-47.922439E-48.5219636E-41.07567436.0E-50.0070634760.0078947880.0081130511.02764652.2E-4
7.11.3398601E-51.4982282E-51.4982282E-51.00.05.742131E-56.420823E-59.4206305E-51.46719983.0E-56.9888023E-47.8146026E-48.314212E-41.06393285.0E-50.00696686380.0077877120.0079861541.02548152.0E-4
7.21.3126312E-51.4680485E-51.4680485E-51.00.05.6254412E-56.291488E-58.291362E-51.31786982.0E-56.846822E-47.6572486E-48.0569426E-41.0521984.0E-50.0068257650.0076314490.00776045681.01690481.3E-4
7.31.2922429E-51.4454699E-51.4454699E-51.00.05.5380664E-56.194727E-58.194603E-51.32283522.0E-56.74051E-47.539525E-47.9392234E-41.05301374.0E-50.0067201010.0075145270.0076336251.01584911.2E-4
7.41.2768878E-51.4284673E-51.4284673E-51.00.05.4722615E-56.121862E-58.12174E-51.32667792.0E-56.660441E-47.450873E-47.850575E-41.0536454.0E-50.00664051440.0074264710.00754557971.01603841.2E-4
7.51.2521929E-51.4012902E-51.4012902E-51.00.05.366431E-56.0053942E-58.005274E-51.33301392.0E-56.531671E-47.309169E-47.708877E-41.05468584.0E-50.0065125060.00728570530.0073949041.01498811.1E-4
7.61.1301089E-51.2648951E-51.2648951E-51.00.04.8432343E-55.4208693E-56.420815E-51.18446231.0E-55.895042E-46.597963E-46.897765E-41.04543853.0E-50.00587942820.0065789260.00667826831.01511.0E-4
7.79.189108E-61.02840095E-51.02840095E-51.00.03.93813E-54.407361E-55.407317E-51.22688321.0E-54.7936183E-45.3646916E-45.564584E-41.03726082.0E-50.0047832910.0053522520.00542187741.01300867.0E-5
7.83.4586725E-73.648368E-73.648368E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635853E-61.5635853E-61.00.01.80467E-51.903649E-51.903649E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.9034903E-41.9034903E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6697329E-92.6697329E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14417125E-81.14417125E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3930286E-71.3930286E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3930285E-61.3930285E-61.00.0

Helendale-So Lockhart

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7296055E-51.810418E-54.8103637E-52.6570463.0E-57.412385E-57.7587145E-51.17584044E-41.51550944.0E-59.0208417E-49.442349E-40.00110408381.16928941.6E-40.0089843110.0094043490.0096321861.02422682.3E-4
6.11.7296055E-51.810418E-54.8103637E-52.6570463.0E-57.412385E-57.7587145E-51.17584044E-41.51550944.0E-59.0208417E-49.442349E-40.00110408381.16928941.6E-40.0089843110.0094043490.0096321861.02422682.3E-4
6.21.7296055E-51.810418E-54.8103637E-52.6570463.0E-57.412385E-57.7587145E-51.17584044E-41.51550944.0E-59.0208417E-49.442349E-40.00110408381.16928941.6E-40.0089843110.0094043490.0096321861.02422682.3E-4
6.31.0669118E-51.1135683E-54.113535E-53.69401223.0E-54.5723988E-54.7723497E-58.7721586E-51.83812154.0E-55.5654737E-45.808815E-47.208002E-41.2408731.4E-40.00555155570.00579392770.0059828271.03260291.9E-4
6.41.0669118E-51.1135683E-54.113535E-53.69401223.0E-54.5723988E-54.7723497E-58.7721586E-51.83812154.0E-55.5654737E-45.808815E-47.208002E-41.2408731.4E-40.00555155570.00579392770.0059828271.03260291.9E-4
6.58.790038E-69.170408E-63.9170132E-54.27136233.0E-53.767105E-53.930116E-57.929959E-52.01774174.0E-54.585485E-44.7838816E-46.183212E-41.29250941.4E-40.00457603440.00477374760.00495288851.03752621.8E-4
6.67.396949E-67.715714E-63.7715483E-54.88813923.0E-53.1700827E-53.306693E-57.306561E-52.20962794.0E-53.858892E-44.025165E-45.2246824E-41.29800441.2E-40.0038521980.00401798170.0041673791.03718221.5E-4
6.76.4600285E-66.738185E-63.6737983E-55.45220763.0E-52.7685543E-52.8877621E-56.887646E-52.38511564.0E-53.3701936E-43.515291E-44.714869E-41.34124581.2E-40.00336508690.0035098120.00365928561.04258731.5E-4
6.85.600104E-65.8361397E-63.5835965E-56.1403543.0E-52.4000226E-52.5011792E-56.501079E-52.59920574.0E-52.9216358E-43.0447662E-43.9444922E-41.29549929.0E-50.00291779750.0030406560.00316029111.03934511.2E-4
6.94.839122E-65.03962E-62.5039519E-54.9685332.0E-52.0738931E-52.1598196E-54.1597763E-51.92598332.0E-52.5246723E-42.6292677E-43.1291362E-41.1901175.0E-50.0025218060.00262620440.00269602051.02658447.0E-5
7.03.6937633E-63.8452918E-62.3845214E-56.2011462.0E-51.5830317E-51.6479718E-53.647939E-52.2135932.0E-51.9271708E-42.0062242E-42.306164E-41.14950473.0E-50.00192550030.00200444460.00204436431.01991574.0E-5
7.12.7858857E-62.8979157E-62.2897857E-57.9014922.0E-51.1939455E-51.241958E-53.241933E-52.61034042.0E-51.4535317E-41.5119811E-41.8119358E-41.19838513.0E-50.00145258140.00151097390.00155091361.0264334.0E-5
7.22.1672065E-62.2540607E-61.2254038E-55.43642761.0E-59.2879945E-69.660225E-61.9660129E-52.03516241.0E-51.1307546E-41.1760708E-41.3760473E-41.17003772.0E-50.00113017940.00117546660.00120543131.02549183.0E-5
7.31.4823496E-61.5422432E-61.5422432E-61.00.06.3529114E-66.609598E-66.609598E-61.00.07.734395E-58.0469035E-58.0469035E-51.00.07.731704E-48.044141E-48.044141E-41.00.0
7.44.2321457E-74.4109754E-74.4109754E-71.00.01.8137755E-61.8904169E-61.8904169E-61.00.02.2082493E-52.301563E-52.301563E-51.00.02.2080299E-42.3013698E-42.3013698E-41.00.0
7.55.6942316E-85.9417015E-85.9417015E-81.00.02.440385E-72.5464433E-72.5464433E-71.00.02.9711643E-63.100291E-63.100291E-61.00.02.9711247E-53.1002557E-53.1002557E-51.00.0

San Andreas (Parkfield)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.556969E-47.8200514E-48.119817E-41.03833293.0E-50.00237938480.0033477010.00338756711.01190854.0E-50.0285869630.0403458850.040451451.00261641.1E-40.251762840.33771010.337842551.00039222.0E-4
6.11.925858E-43.0395915E-43.1395612E-41.03288911.0E-58.2510663E-40.00130212690.00131211381.00766971.0E-50.00999948850.0158319680.0158811771.00310815.0E-50.0956132560.149969850.150046351.00051019.0E-5
6.29.4306815E-51.8274323E-41.9274141E-41.05471161.0E-54.0410945E-47.829515E-47.9294364E-41.01276221.0E-50.00490893840.0094909680.0095305881.00417464.0E-50.0480190630.091990970.0920636061.00078968.0E-5
6.39.283051E-51.7970752E-41.8970574E-41.05563591.0E-53.9778434E-47.69949E-47.799413E-41.01297781.0E-50.00483227470.0093340310.00937365651.00424544.0E-50.0472853850.0906436440.090716391.00080268.0E-5
6.49.138826E-51.7732776E-41.8732599E-41.05638281.0E-53.916052E-47.5975596E-47.6974835E-41.01315211.0E-50.00475737450.0092109810.0092506131.00430264.0E-50.0465680920.089541580.089614411.00081358.0E-5
6.59.000255E-51.749061E-41.8490435E-41.05716351.0E-53.8566816E-47.493834E-47.593759E-41.01333431.0E-50.00468540470.0090857710.00911549851.00327183.0E-50.0458784030.088429760.088493561.00072167.0E-5
6.68.8109264E-51.7171387E-41.8171214E-41.05822651.0E-53.7755648E-47.3571014E-47.4570277E-41.01358231.0E-50.00458706540.0089206880.008950421.0033333.0E-50.044935290.086959530.0870234441.00073497.0E-5
6.78.738073E-51.7038376E-41.8038206E-41.0586811.0E-53.7443507E-47.3001295E-47.4000563E-41.01368841.0E-50.00454922160.00885194450.0088816791.00335913.0E-50.044572130.0863596050.086423561.00074057.0E-5
6.88.710195E-51.698381E-41.798364E-41.05886961.0E-53.7324068E-47.276757E-47.3766836E-41.01373241.0E-50.00453474050.0088237250.0088534611.00336993.0E-50.044433130.086107010.086170981.00074297.0E-5
6.98.6801556E-51.6924697E-41.7924528E-41.05907521.0E-53.7195362E-47.251437E-47.3513645E-41.01378041.0E-50.00451913570.0087931480.0088228841.00338173.0E-50.0442833270.0858327450.085896731.00074557.0E-5
7.08.5571606E-51.6677282E-41.7677115E-41.05995181.0E-53.6668387E-47.14546E-47.2453887E-41.01398491.0E-50.0044552410.0086651550.0086948951.00343223.0E-50.0436697270.0846800660.084744131.00075667.0E-5
7.17.82589E-51.5156982E-41.6156831E-41.06596621.0E-53.3535215E-46.4942404E-46.5941754E-41.01538831.0E-50.00407527060.0078782440.0079080071.0037783.0E-50.0400134180.077591890.077647231.00071326.0E-5
7.27.690929E-51.4894054E-41.5893906E-41.06713091.0E-53.2956956E-46.381612E-46.481548E-41.015661.0E-50.0040051290.0077421010.00777186871.0038453.0E-50.03933710.076364370.0764197861.00072576.0E-5
7.37.5543794E-51.4590233E-41.5590088E-41.0685291.0E-53.2371894E-46.251466E-46.3514034E-41.01598621.0E-50.0039341570.00758476140.0076145341.00392533.0E-50.0386523340.074928450.074983951.00074086.0E-5
7.47.4214564E-51.4290822E-41.5290678E-41.0699651.0E-53.1802364E-46.123207E-46.2231463E-41.01632131.0E-50.0038650650.00742968130.00745945841.00400783.0E-50.037985290.073501020.073556611.00075636.0E-5
7.56.149578E-51.1214689E-41.2214576E-41.08915881.0E-52.6352672E-44.805411E-44.905363E-41.02079991.0E-50.00320371780.0058349250.00585480831.00340762.0E-50.031579230.0586741830.058721251.00080225.0E-5
7.66.0643448E-51.1043109E-41.20429984E-41.09054421.0E-52.598746E-44.7319033E-44.831856E-41.02112321.0E-50.00315938280.00574590550.00576579061.00346082.0E-50.0311484170.0578342560.0578813631.00081465.0E-5
7.75.1652263E-59.1959046E-51.01958125E-41.1087341.0E-52.2134806E-43.940507E-44.0404673E-41.02536751.0E-50.0026915820.00478702360.0048069281.0041582.0E-50.0265921410.048637620.048685191.0009785.0E-5
7.84.8090482E-58.5791486E-59.579063E-51.11655161.0E-52.060858E-43.67626E-43.7762232E-41.02719151.0E-50.00250620720.0044666690.004486581.00445762.0E-50.0247813050.0453958550.0454435871.00105145.0E-5
7.93.970278E-56.765535E-57.765467E-51.1477981.0E-51.7014367E-42.899193E-42.999164E-41.03448241.0E-50.0020695310.0035240580.00354398761.00565532.0E-50.0205036360.0359548550.0360030571.00134065.0E-5
8.02.8982335E-54.0792085E-55.0791677E-51.24513551.0E-51.2420409E-41.748115E-41.8480976E-41.05719451.0E-50.00151113570.0021262540.00213623261.00469321.0E-50.0150090120.0220581460.0220777041.00088672.0E-5
8.11.8836186E-51.8732435E-52.8732247E-51.53382341.0E-58.0724014E-58.02794E-59.02786E-51.1245551.0E-59.823717E-49.76964E-49.869542E-41.01022581.0E-50.0097804030.0105151280.0105250241.0009411.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.494016E-65.494016E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3545572E-52.3545572E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.866297E-42.866297E-41.00.00.00450013950.00325922180.00325922181.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.690063E-77.690063E-71.00.08.498917E-63.295737E-63.295737E-61.00.01.034694E-44.012488E-54.012488E-51.00.00.00103421244.737206E-44.737206E-41.00.0

San Andreas (San Bernardino S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2336002E-43.0025674E-43.0025674E-41.00.05.2857865E-40.00128620610.00130618041.01552962.0E-50.0064164720.0155520820.0156702161.0075961.2E-40.062343370.142785310.142956751.00120072.0E-4
6.11.2336002E-43.0025674E-43.0025674E-41.00.05.2857865E-40.00128620610.00130618041.01552962.0E-50.0064164720.0155520820.0156702161.0075961.2E-40.062343370.142785310.142956751.00120072.0E-4
6.21.2336002E-43.0025674E-43.0025674E-41.00.05.2857865E-40.00128620610.00130618041.01552962.0E-50.0064164720.0155520820.0156702161.0075961.2E-40.062343370.142785310.142956751.00120072.0E-4
6.31.1712257E-42.8813703E-42.8813703E-41.00.05.018573E-40.00123431430.00125428961.01618342.0E-50.0060930080.0149290760.0150472841.0079181.2E-40.0592863220.137488510.137661011.00125472.0E-4
6.41.1712257E-42.8813703E-42.8813703E-41.00.05.018573E-40.00123431430.00125428961.01618342.0E-50.0060930080.0149290760.0150472841.0079181.2E-40.0592863220.137488510.137661011.00125472.0E-4
6.51.0689076E-42.6826185E-42.6826185E-41.00.04.5802278E-40.00114921190.00116918891.01738322.0E-50.00556217830.0139065140.0140248451.0085091.2E-40.054250030.128726040.128900291.00135372.0E-4
6.69.7648895E-52.5070578E-42.5070578E-41.00.04.1842813E-40.00107403460.00109401311.01860142.0E-50.0050824690.0130023380.0131109081.008351.1E-40.0496778860.1209013460.121068381.00138151.9E-4
6.78.757013E-52.3141113E-42.3141113E-41.00.03.7524657E-49.914073E-40.00101138741.02015332.0E-50.004559060.01200767050.012106471.00822811.0E-40.044666560.112181690.112332621.00134541.7E-4
6.88.562978E-52.270081E-42.270081E-41.00.03.6693315E-49.7255135E-49.925319E-41.02054442.0E-50.0044582630.0117805960.0118794191.00838851.0E-40.0436987580.11019550.1103467641.00137271.7E-4
6.96.124075E-51.7083176E-41.7083176E-41.00.02.6243398E-47.319315E-47.5191684E-41.0273052.0E-50.00319045270.0088750630.0089642641.01005089.0E-50.0314503460.0842719150.084418441.00173871.6E-4
7.05.8598747E-51.6512029E-41.6512029E-41.00.02.5111332E-47.0746726E-47.274531E-41.02824992.0E-50.00305301860.0085795920.00865890551.00924448.0E-50.030114140.081584450.0817222151.00168861.5E-4
7.15.613814E-51.5930375E-41.5930375E-41.00.02.4056983E-46.8255246E-47.0253876E-41.02928172.0E-50.00292500390.0082785930.0083480141.00838557.0E-50.0288680210.078886060.079015021.00163471.4E-4
7.24.991222E-51.4536385E-41.4536385E-41.00.02.1389198E-46.2283955E-46.4282713E-41.0320912.0E-50.0026010250.0075568090.007626281.00919327.0E-50.0257079120.072333810.0724636841.00179551.4E-4
7.34.7410045E-51.373025E-41.373025E-41.00.02.0317009E-45.883069E-46.082952E-41.03397582.0E-50.00247078970.00713920.00720871.0097357.0E-50.0244349820.068611410.0687418061.00190041.4E-4
7.44.5556746E-51.3137884E-41.3137884E-41.00.01.952286E-45.62931E-45.8291975E-41.03550832.0E-50.0023743170.0068322260.00690174751.01017567.0E-50.0234910860.065860290.065991071.00198571.4E-4
7.54.3084514E-51.2372872E-41.2372872E-41.00.01.8463485E-45.3015846E-45.5014784E-41.03770462.0E-50.00224561150.0064356480.0065051981.01080697.0E-50.0222305450.062259570.0623908561.00210871.4E-4
7.63.408608E-59.849839E-59.849839E-51.00.01.4607502E-44.2206777E-44.3206356E-41.02368281.0E-50.00177701250.0051265930.0051862861.01164366.0E-50.0176286960.0500861220.050209611.00246551.3E-4
7.72.8315713E-58.262102E-58.262102E-51.00.01.2134742E-43.5404207E-43.640385E-41.02823521.0E-50.00147640340.00430195170.00436169371.01388726.0E-50.014666330.0423335130.042458011.00294091.3E-4
7.82.6222975E-57.4756E-57.4756E-51.00.01.1237934E-43.203435E-43.3034032E-41.03120651.0E-50.00136735970.00389321360.003952981.01535146.0E-50.0135897680.0384951460.038620141.0032471.3E-4
7.92.1469694E-55.7982703E-55.7982703E-51.00.09.200973E-52.4847363E-42.5847115E-41.04023581.0E-50.00111964280.0030209730.00308079181.01980116.0E-50.0111401840.0302013010.0303273741.00417451.3E-4
8.01.2420249E-53.1376432E-53.1376432E-51.00.05.322855E-51.344635E-41.4446214E-41.07435971.0E-56.478649E-40.00163586470.00166581561.01830893.0E-50.00645979350.0165499150.0166089221.00356546.0E-5
8.14.9197724E-67.842547E-67.842547E-61.00.02.1084568E-53.3610482E-53.3610482E-51.00.02.566744E-44.0913094E-44.0913094E-41.00.00.0025637810.00439461040.00439461041.00.0
8.22.5634774E-62.915849E-62.915849E-61.00.01.0986286E-51.2496436E-51.2496436E-51.00.01.3374983E-41.5213354E-41.5213354E-41.00.00.00133669340.00170977510.00170977511.00.0
8.35.2850464E-73.2203224E-73.2203224E-71.00.02.2650179E-61.3801375E-61.3801375E-61.00.02.7576245E-51.6803056E-51.6803056E-51.00.02.7572823E-41.9934843E-41.9934843E-41.00.0

Sierra Nevada (No Extension)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.7690465E-66.9765347E-66.9765347E-61.00.03.329549E-52.9899295E-53.9898994E-51.33444611.0E-54.0529718E-43.6399896E-44.4396982E-41.21970088.0E-50.0040455880.00363754360.00382685271.05204311.9E-4
6.17.7690465E-66.9765347E-66.9765347E-61.00.03.329549E-52.9899295E-53.9898994E-51.33444611.0E-54.0529718E-43.6399896E-44.4396982E-41.21970088.0E-50.0040455880.00363754360.00382685271.05204311.9E-4
6.27.7690465E-66.9765347E-66.9765347E-61.00.03.329549E-52.9899295E-53.9898994E-51.33444611.0E-54.0529718E-43.6399896E-44.4396982E-41.21970088.0E-50.0040455880.00363754360.00382685271.05204311.9E-4
6.37.7690465E-66.9765347E-66.9765347E-61.00.03.329549E-52.9899295E-53.9898994E-51.33444611.0E-54.0529718E-43.6399896E-44.4396982E-41.21970088.0E-50.0040455880.00363754360.00382685271.05204311.9E-4
6.47.7690465E-66.9765347E-66.9765347E-61.00.03.329549E-52.9899295E-53.9898994E-51.33444611.0E-54.0529718E-43.6399896E-44.4396982E-41.21970088.0E-50.0040455880.00363754360.00382685271.05204311.9E-4
6.57.7690465E-66.9765347E-66.9765347E-61.00.03.329549E-52.9899295E-53.9898994E-51.33444611.0E-54.0529718E-43.6399896E-44.4396982E-41.21970088.0E-50.0040455880.00363754360.00382685271.05204311.9E-4
6.62.653E-61.6149307E-61.6149307E-61.00.01.136995E-56.9211133E-61.6921043E-52.44484421.0E-51.3842035E-48.426133E-51.4425628E-41.71201046.0E-50.00138334158.422973E-49.821793E-41.16607211.4E-4
6.72.5902466E-61.5502632E-61.5502632E-61.00.01.11010095E-56.6439684E-61.6643902E-52.50511461.0E-51.351464E-48.0887345E-51.4088249E-41.74171256.0E-50.00135064248.08582E-49.484688E-41.17300261.4E-4
6.82.5853892E-61.547063E-61.547063E-61.00.01.1080193E-56.630253E-61.6630187E-52.5082281.0E-51.34893E-48.072037E-51.4071552E-41.74324686.0E-50.00134811148.069135E-49.468005E-41.17336061.4E-4
6.92.458257E-61.4221347E-61.4221347E-61.00.01.0535345E-56.094849E-61.6094787E-52.64071971.0E-51.2826028E-47.4202275E-51.3419782E-41.80854056.0E-50.00128186277.41777E-48.816731E-41.1885961.4E-4
7.02.4341468E-61.3990981E-61.3990981E-61.00.01.0432016E-55.9961208E-61.599606E-52.66773491.0E-51.270024E-47.3000345E-51.3299596E-41.82185396.0E-50.00126929847.2976557E-48.696634E-41.19170251.4E-4
7.12.3652476E-61.3340461E-61.3340461E-61.00.01.0136736E-55.717328E-61.571727E-52.74905871.0E-51.2340778E-46.960626E-51.2960208E-41.86193146.0E-50.00123339266.958463E-48.3574886E-41.20105391.4E-4
7.22.272158E-61.2503509E-61.2503509E-61.00.09.737784E-65.3586355E-61.5358582E-52.86613661.0E-51.1855107E-46.523945E-51.2523554E-41.91962896.0E-50.00118487846.522045E-47.921132E-41.21451661.4E-4
7.32.1382127E-61.1420364E-61.1420364E-61.00.09.163737E-64.894432E-61.4894384E-53.0431281.0E-51.1156279E-45.9588092E-51.1958452E-42.00685266.0E-50.0011150685.9572235E-47.3563895E-41.23486881.4E-4
7.41.9048055E-69.575857E-79.575857E-71.00.08.163426E-64.103932E-61.4103891E-53.43667751.0E-59.9385186E-54.9964237E-59.996174E-52.0006665.0E-59.934074E-44.995307E-46.194708E-41.24010551.2E-4
7.51.5373403E-67.5605493E-77.5605493E-71.00.06.5885843E-63.2402313E-61.3240199E-54.08618931.0E-58.021306E-53.9449107E-57.944753E-52.01392464.0E-58.0184115E-43.944215E-44.9438205E-41.25343591.0E-4
7.61.0680322E-64.659972E-74.659972E-71.00.04.577273E-61.9971294E-61.1997109E-56.0071771.0E-55.5726876E-52.431478E-56.4313805E-52.64504984.0E-55.5712904E-42.4312147E-43.330996E-41.37009549.0E-5
7.75.509146E-71.5581371E-71.5581371E-71.00.02.3610605E-66.677729E-76.677729E-71.00.02.8745531E-58.130106E-61.8130024E-52.22998621.0E-52.8741814E-48.1298196E-51.1129576E-41.36898183.0E-5

Death Valley (No)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0074807E-52.2501532E-53.2501306E-51.44440411.0E-58.603206E-59.643161E-51.3642776E-41.41476174.0E-50.0010469370.001173430.00124334791.05958417.0E-50.0104201830.0116732540.0118610361.01608661.9E-4
6.12.0074807E-52.2501532E-53.2501306E-51.44440411.0E-58.603206E-59.643161E-51.3642776E-41.41476174.0E-50.0010469370.001173430.00124334791.05958417.0E-50.0104201830.0116732540.0118610361.01608661.9E-4
6.22.0074807E-52.2501532E-53.2501306E-51.44440411.0E-58.603206E-59.643161E-51.3642776E-41.41476174.0E-50.0010469370.001173430.00124334791.05958417.0E-50.0104201830.0116732540.0118610361.01608661.9E-4
6.31.9050609E-52.1338312E-53.13381E-51.46863071.0E-58.164292E-59.1446746E-51.3144308E-41.4373734.0E-59.935491E-40.00111280220.00117273551.05385796.0E-50.0098911880.0110731240.011251131.01607561.8E-4
6.41.9050609E-52.1338312E-53.13381E-51.46863071.0E-58.164292E-59.1446746E-51.3144308E-41.4373734.0E-59.935491E-40.00111280220.00117273551.05385796.0E-50.0098911880.0110731240.011251131.01607561.8E-4
6.51.8367004E-52.0562318E-53.056211E-51.48631641.0E-57.8713354E-58.812128E-51.2811775E-41.45387984.0E-59.5791375E-40.00107235510.00113229071.05589166.0E-50.0095379510.0106725920.0108407771.01575861.7E-4
6.61.779439E-51.9912191E-52.9911991E-51.50219491.0E-57.625944E-58.53352E-51.2533179E-41.46869974.0E-59.280632E-40.00103846730.0010984051.05771746.0E-50.0092419690.0103369050.0104952511.01531851.6E-4
6.71.7025437E-51.904463E-52.9044439E-51.52507251.0E-57.296412E-58.161732E-51.2161405E-41.49005214.0E-58.87976E-49.93244E-40.00105318451.06034826.0E-50.0088443620.0098887670.0100471851.01601991.6E-4
6.81.6545107E-51.851372E-51.851372E-51.00.07.090568E-57.934213E-51.0933975E-41.37807933.0E-58.629347E-49.6556847E-40.00101552021.0517335.0E-50.0085959150.0096144350.0097629931.01545161.5E-4
6.91.615478E-51.8088747E-51.8088747E-51.00.06.9232934E-57.7520934E-51.0751861E-41.38696233.0E-58.4258494E-49.4341475E-49.933676E-41.0529495.0E-50.0083939730.0093947920.0095334761.01476191.4E-4
7.01.5894311E-51.780669E-51.780669E-51.00.06.81167E-57.6312186E-51.063099E-41.3930923.0E-58.2900526E-49.287109E-49.786645E-41.05378815.0E-50.0082591950.0092489870.0093876921.01499681.4E-4
7.11.5602263E-51.7484625E-51.7484625E-51.00.06.6865134E-57.493199E-51.0492974E-41.4003333.0E-58.137789E-49.119212E-49.618756E-41.05477935.0E-50.0081080520.0090824740.0092212031.01527431.4E-4
7.21.5323829E-51.7171731E-51.7171731E-51.00.06.56719E-57.3591094E-51.03588885E-41.4076283.0E-57.99262E-48.956093E-49.4556453E-41.05577795.0E-50.0079639340.0089206760.0090594271.01555381.4E-4
7.31.4556212E-51.6303497E-51.6303497E-51.00.06.238227E-56.9870286E-58.986889E-51.28622472.0E-57.592395E-48.503446E-48.903106E-41.04699974.0E-50.00756650740.0084715530.0085905361.0140451.2E-4
7.41.411725E-51.5808968E-51.5808968E-51.00.06.0501097E-56.775099E-58.7749635E-51.29517872.0E-57.363519E-48.24562E-48.64529E-41.04847064.0E-50.00733916740.008215660.0083346741.01448621.2E-4
7.51.3503312E-51.5127256E-51.5127256E-51.00.05.7870053E-56.4829524E-58.482822E-51.30848152.0E-57.043401E-47.890194E-48.2898786E-41.05065584.0E-50.0070211190.0078628050.0079818621.01514171.2E-4
7.61.1279839E-51.2627129E-51.2627129E-51.00.04.834127E-55.4115175E-56.411463E-51.18478111.0E-55.88396E-46.586584E-46.886386E-41.04551713.0E-50.0058684050.0065676140.00666695741.01512621.0E-4
7.79.189108E-61.02840095E-51.02840095E-51.00.03.93813E-54.407361E-55.407317E-51.22688321.0E-54.7936183E-45.3646916E-45.564584E-41.03726082.0E-50.0047832910.0053522520.00542187741.01300867.0E-5
7.83.4586725E-73.648368E-73.648368E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635853E-61.5635853E-61.00.01.80467E-51.903649E-51.903649E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.9034903E-41.9034903E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6697329E-92.6697329E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14417125E-81.14417125E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3930286E-71.3930286E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3930285E-61.3930285E-61.00.0

Red Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.258278E-68.551426E-68.551426E-61.00.03.539214E-53.6648555E-53.6648555E-51.00.04.308141E-44.4612266E-45.460781E-41.22405361.0E-40.00429979850.00445402830.00462327151.03799771.7E-4
6.13.649988E-63.7753848E-63.7753848E-61.00.01.5642712E-51.6180147E-51.6180147E-51.00.01.9043336E-41.9698025E-42.3697237E-41.2030264.0E-50.00190270260.00196852370.00205834681.04562959.0E-5
6.23.649988E-63.7753848E-63.7753848E-61.00.01.5642712E-51.6180147E-51.6180147E-51.00.01.9043336E-41.9698025E-42.3697237E-41.2030264.0E-50.00190270260.00196852370.00205834681.04562959.0E-5
6.31.3924937E-61.4411434E-61.4411434E-61.00.05.9678164E-66.1763217E-66.1763217E-61.00.07.265574E-57.519554E-59.519404E-51.26595322.0E-57.263199E-47.518397E-47.818172E-41.03987223.0E-5
6.41.3924937E-61.4411434E-61.4411434E-61.00.05.9678164E-66.1763217E-66.1763217E-61.00.07.265574E-57.519554E-59.519404E-51.26595322.0E-57.263199E-47.518397E-47.818172E-41.03987223.0E-5
6.59.876812E-71.0222102E-61.0222102E-61.00.04.2329125E-64.3809005E-64.3809005E-61.00.05.153449E-55.3337466E-56.3336935E-51.18747541.0E-55.1522546E-45.3337467E-45.53364E-41.03747712.0E-5

San Andreas (Big Bend)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0179969E-42.0107176E-42.1106975E-41.04972351.0E-54.362114E-48.6145254E-48.814353E-41.02319662.0E-50.00529794860.01043803150.0105270921.00853239.0E-50.0517340970.101637720.101790441.00150261.7E-4
6.11.0179969E-42.0107176E-42.1106975E-41.04972351.0E-54.362114E-48.6145254E-48.814353E-41.02319662.0E-50.00529794860.01043803150.0105270921.00853239.0E-50.0517340970.101637720.101790441.00150261.7E-4
6.21.0179969E-42.0107176E-42.1106975E-41.04972351.0E-54.362114E-48.6145254E-48.814353E-41.02319662.0E-50.00529794860.01043803150.0105270921.00853239.0E-50.0517340970.101637720.101790441.00150261.7E-4
6.31.0179969E-42.0107176E-42.1106975E-41.04972351.0E-54.362114E-48.6145254E-48.814353E-41.02319662.0E-50.00529794860.01043803150.0105270921.00853239.0E-50.0517340970.101637720.101790441.00150261.7E-4
6.49.1639464E-51.8463937E-41.9463753E-41.05414961.0E-53.9268145E-47.9107186E-48.010639E-41.0126311.0E-50.00477042050.0095888860.009648311.00619726.0E-50.0466930640.0939378740.09404661.00115741.2E-4
6.59.1639464E-51.8463937E-41.9463753E-41.05414961.0E-53.9268145E-47.9107186E-48.010639E-41.0126311.0E-50.00477042050.0095888860.009648311.00619726.0E-50.0466930640.0939378740.09404661.00115741.2E-4
6.69.042622E-51.827092E-41.9270739E-41.05472181.0E-53.8748336E-47.828047E-47.927969E-41.01276461.0E-50.00470740950.0094891120.0095485431.0062636.0E-50.0460893250.093027150.0931269151.00107241.1E-4
6.78.9836685E-51.8185233E-41.9185051E-41.05497971.0E-53.8495753E-47.791345E-47.8912673E-41.01282481.0E-50.004676790.0094448150.0095042481.00629276.0E-50.0457958170.092621380.0927030441.00088179.0E-5
6.88.9471854E-51.8131983E-41.9131802E-41.05514121.0E-53.8339442E-47.7685376E-47.86846E-41.01286241.0E-50.0046578410.0094172870.0094767221.00631136.0E-50.045614140.0923682150.09244991.00088449.0E-5
6.98.858234E-51.8013896E-41.9013716E-41.05550271.0E-53.7958333E-47.717959E-47.817882E-41.01294681.0E-50.0046116380.0093562380.0094156771.00635286.0E-50.045171030.091808440.091890171.00089039.0E-5
7.08.7433385E-51.7852607E-41.8852428E-41.05600431.0E-53.746607E-47.6488755E-47.7487994E-41.01306381.0E-50.0045519570.0092728470.0093322911.00641056.0E-50.0445983860.09104250.09112431.00089869.0E-5
7.18.684964E-51.7764501E-41.8764322E-41.0562821.0E-53.7215967E-47.6111377E-47.7110616E-41.01312861.0E-50.00452163350.0092272920.0092867381.00644246.0E-50.044307310.090623940.090705781.00090319.0E-5
7.28.606521E-51.7655063E-41.8654887E-41.0566311.0E-53.6879873E-47.5642637E-47.664188E-41.013211.0E-50.00448088350.00917070450.0092301551.00648266.0E-50.0439160240.090103840.090185731.00090899.0E-5
7.38.568266E-51.7596998E-41.8596822E-41.05681791.0E-53.6715972E-47.5393927E-47.639317E-41.01325371.0E-50.00446101050.0091406790.0091902211.00542015.0E-50.0437251480.089825210.089898031.00081068.0E-5
7.48.5432206E-51.7559543E-41.8559367E-41.05693911.0E-53.6608664E-47.5233495E-47.6232746E-41.0132821.0E-50.0044479990.009121310.00917085351.00543175.0E-50.0436001570.089645240.0897180661.00081248.0E-5
7.58.4791965E-51.7428731E-41.8428557E-41.05736651.0E-53.633435E-47.46732E-47.5672456E-41.01338171.0E-50.00441473770.0090536620.00909331.00437814.0E-50.0432805750.089023570.089087331.00071637.0E-5
7.68.241105E-51.6873641E-41.7873473E-41.0592541.0E-53.531424E-47.229558E-47.3294854E-41.01382211.0E-50.00429103520.0087665520.0088062021.00452284.0E-50.0420911760.086393860.086457811.00074037.0E-5
7.77.00432E-51.4234452E-41.523431E-41.0702421.0E-53.001506E-46.099054E-46.198993E-41.0163861.0E-50.00364821120.0074003560.00743013341.00402393.0E-50.0358889770.073652270.073707841.00075466.0E-5
7.86.415362E-51.2995867E-41.3995738E-41.07693761.0E-52.749151E-45.568469E-45.6684134E-41.01794831.0E-50.00334195470.0067585660.0067883631.00440883.0E-50.032921410.067374570.0674305261.00083056.0E-5
7.94.939911E-59.36036E-51.03602666E-41.10682341.0E-52.116933E-44.0109662E-44.1109262E-41.02492171.0E-50.00257431950.00487242640.004902281.00612713.0E-50.0254470130.0490061340.0490631951.00116436.0E-5
8.03.344983E-55.233905E-56.233853E-51.1910521.0E-51.4334853E-42.2429094E-42.342887E-41.0445751.0E-50.00174387110.00272732440.00273729721.00365661.0E-50.0173024960.0279778580.0279972981.00069492.0E-5
8.11.9104898E-51.9225243E-52.922505E-51.52013951.0E-58.1875565E-58.23913E-59.239047E-51.12136211.0E-59.963791E-40.0010026530.0010126431.00996351.0E-50.0099192350.0107773420.0107872351.00091791.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.494016E-65.494016E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3545572E-52.3545572E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.866297E-42.866297E-41.00.00.00450013950.00325922180.00325922181.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.690063E-77.690063E-71.00.08.498917E-63.295737E-63.295737E-61.00.01.034694E-44.012488E-54.012488E-51.00.00.00103421244.737206E-44.737206E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Cholame) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2302514E-42.5244427E-42.6244175E-41.03960281.0E-55.27144E-40.00108145710.00109144631.00923681.0E-50.00639910860.013087760.0131568431.00527857.0E-50.062179490.1245563850.124678951.0009841.4E-4
6.11.2302514E-42.5244427E-42.6244175E-41.03960281.0E-55.27144E-40.00108145710.00109144631.00923681.0E-50.00639910860.013087760.0131568431.00527857.0E-50.062179490.1245563850.124678951.0009841.4E-4
6.21.2203569E-42.5061177E-42.606093E-41.03989231.0E-55.2290526E-40.001073610.00108359931.00930441.0E-50.0063478040.01299336550.0130624561.00531737.0E-50.0616951360.1237404640.123854381.00092051.3E-4
6.31.2142645E-42.494712E-42.594687E-41.04007481.0E-55.202953E-40.00106872580.00107871511.0093471.0E-50.0063162120.0129346070.0130037021.00534197.0E-50.061396770.123234690.123348671.0009251.3E-4
6.41.1865206E-42.4452424E-42.5452182E-41.04088571.0E-55.0840975E-40.00104754170.00105753131.00953611.0E-50.0061723350.0126797190.0127488311.00545067.0E-50.0600368680.121023210.121137481.00094411.3E-4
6.51.17443946E-42.4245547E-42.5245306E-41.04123471.0E-55.032341E-40.00103868260.00104867221.00961761.0E-50.0061096770.0125731050.0126323511.00471216.0E-50.0594440770.120099830.120205421.00087921.2E-4
6.61.13579066E-42.3554098E-42.4553863E-41.04244541.0E-54.866766E-40.00100907230.00101906221.00990011.0E-50.00590920170.0122166960.0122759631.00485136.0E-50.0575451850.117011650.1171176061.00090551.2E-4
6.71.1271412E-42.3398313E-42.4398079E-41.04272811.0E-54.829711E-40.0010024010.0010123911.0099661.0E-50.0058643310.012136380.0121956511.00488386.0E-50.0571196970.116315380.116421421.00091171.2E-4
6.81.1217975E-42.3286647E-42.4286415E-41.04293311.0E-54.8068175E-49.97619E-40.0010076091.01001381.0E-50.0058366080.0120788060.0121380821.00490746.0E-50.0568567250.115813280.115919381.00091611.2E-4
6.91.1146753E-42.3135285E-42.4135054E-41.0432141.0E-54.7763053E-49.91137E-40.00100112711.01007941.0E-50.00579965770.012000760.0120600411.00493976.0E-50.0565061270.115133660.1152398441.00092231.2E-4
7.01.0965793E-42.2758332E-42.3758104E-41.04392991.0E-54.698779E-49.7499404E-49.849842E-41.01024651.0E-50.0057057680.0118063660.0118656581.0050226.0E-50.0556147360.113433880.113540271.00093791.2E-4
7.19.927982E-52.0575813E-42.1575607E-41.04859081.0E-54.2541555E-48.8152353E-48.9151476E-41.0113341.0E-50.00516714060.0106800280.0107393881.0055586.0E-50.050486340.103526130.103624741.00095251.1E-4
7.29.696786E-52.0079788E-42.1079587E-41.04979131.0E-54.1551032E-48.6027954E-48.7027095E-41.01161411.0E-50.005047110.0104238860.010483261.0056966.0E-50.049340090.101264560.101363421.00097621.1E-4
7.39.4727984E-51.9508426E-42.050823E-41.05124991.0E-54.0591392E-48.3580846E-48.458001E-41.01195441.0E-50.00493080870.0101287590.010188151.00586386.0E-50.0482282680.098632980.098732131.00100531.1E-4
7.49.220358E-51.8878204E-41.9878015E-41.05296111.0E-53.9509835E-48.0881594E-48.1880786E-41.01235381.0E-50.0047997170.0098031210.0098625321.00606056.0E-50.0469736530.095715290.095805731.00094471.0E-4
7.57.71631E-51.520862E-41.6208467E-41.06574211.0E-53.306571E-46.5163535E-46.6162884E-41.0153361.0E-50.00401832070.0079048720.00793463551.00376513.0E-50.039464330.0784318150.078487111.0007056.0E-5
7.67.5634416E-51.4867744E-41.5867595E-41.06724971.0E-53.241072E-46.370336E-46.470272E-41.01568771.0E-50.00393886720.007728370.00775813821.00385183.0E-50.0386977940.076790680.076846071.00072136.0E-5
7.76.3783E-51.2385847E-41.3385722E-41.08072731.0E-52.7332708E-45.30714E-45.407087E-41.01883261.0E-50.00332267980.0064423270.0064621981.00308442.0E-50.0327343640.064665510.064712281.00072325.0E-5
7.85.863422E-51.1440734E-41.244062E-41.0873971.0E-52.512653E-44.9022504E-45.0022017E-41.02038881.0E-50.0030548640.00595217760.00597205851.00334012.0E-50.0301320940.0597725140.0598195231.00078655.0E-5
7.94.595283E-58.44424E-59.444155E-51.11841391.0E-51.9692584E-43.618458E-43.7184218E-41.0276261.0E-50.00239493580.004396580.00441649231.0045292.0E-50.0236928910.0444483420.0444961231.00107495.0E-5
8.03.2950178E-55.0882958E-56.088245E-51.19651951.0E-51.412074E-42.180516E-42.2804942E-41.04585081.0E-50.00171784440.0026515480.00266152151.00376141.0E-50.0170462560.0272348620.0272543171.00071432.0E-5
8.11.9177472E-51.9237392E-52.92372E-51.5198111.0E-58.218658E-58.244337E-59.244254E-51.12128541.0E-50.00100016220.00100328630.00101327641.00995721.0E-50.0099567280.0107857220.0107956151.00091721.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.494016E-65.494016E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3545572E-52.3545572E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.866297E-42.866297E-41.00.00.00450013950.00325922180.00325922181.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.690063E-77.690063E-71.00.08.498917E-63.295737E-63.295737E-61.00.01.034694E-44.012488E-54.012488E-51.00.00.00103421244.737206E-44.737206E-41.00.0

Manix-Afton Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3783202E-51.4711616E-51.4711616E-51.00.05.906953E-56.3048356E-57.3047726E-51.15859841.0E-57.189342E-47.673609E-48.173225E-41.06510845.0E-50.00716612770.00764886850.00776795071.01556861.2E-4
6.11.3783202E-51.4711616E-51.4711616E-51.00.05.906953E-56.3048356E-57.3047726E-51.15859841.0E-57.189342E-47.673609E-48.173225E-41.06510845.0E-50.00716612770.00764886850.00776795071.01556861.2E-4
6.21.3783202E-51.4711616E-51.4711616E-51.00.05.906953E-56.3048356E-57.3047726E-51.15859841.0E-57.189342E-47.673609E-48.173225E-41.06510845.0E-50.00716612770.00764886850.00776795071.01556861.2E-4
6.31.10494875E-51.1793558E-51.1793558E-51.00.04.7354086E-55.0542898E-56.0542392E-51.19784181.0E-55.763835E-46.151964E-46.6516566E-41.08122485.0E-50.0057489080.00613597450.00623536061.01619731.0E-4
6.41.10494875E-51.1793558E-51.1793558E-51.00.04.7354086E-55.0542898E-56.0542392E-51.19784181.0E-55.763835E-46.151964E-46.6516566E-41.08122485.0E-50.0057489080.00613597450.00623536061.01619731.0E-4
6.59.788949E-61.0454697E-51.0454697E-51.00.04.1951964E-54.480513E-54.480513E-51.00.05.1064545E-45.453752E-45.7535886E-41.0549783.0E-50.00509473630.0054412950.00552085931.01462238.0E-5
6.68.810006E-69.413971E-69.413971E-61.00.03.775662E-54.0345018E-54.0345018E-51.00.04.5958988E-44.9109873E-45.1108893E-41.0407052.0E-50.00458640560.00490101750.0049806251.01624318.0E-5
6.78.80128E-69.404451E-69.404451E-61.00.03.7719226E-54.0304214E-54.0304214E-51.00.04.591348E-44.906022E-45.105924E-41.04074622.0E-50.0045818740.0048960740.0049756821.01625978.0E-5
6.86.8994877E-67.3803494E-67.3803494E-61.00.02.9568899E-53.162973E-53.162973E-51.00.03.5994186E-43.850321E-44.050244E-41.05192382.0E-50.0035935940.00384445510.0038942631.01295585.0E-5
6.94.9328037E-65.271154E-65.271154E-61.00.02.1140417E-52.2590497E-52.2590497E-51.00.02.5735417E-42.7501077E-42.9500524E-41.07270442.0E-50.00257056350.00274730960.00277722721.01088983.0E-5
7.03.347973E-63.590168E-63.590168E-61.00.01.4348378E-51.5386368E-51.5386368E-51.00.01.746775E-41.8731703E-42.0731328E-41.10675082.0E-50.00174540250.00187199390.00190193781.01599573.0E-5
7.11.2073567E-61.293531E-61.293531E-61.00.05.1743755E-65.5437017E-65.5437017E-61.00.06.29962E-56.749411E-56.749411E-51.00.06.297835E-46.748963E-46.8488956E-41.01480711.0E-5

San Andreas (Carrizo) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1674632E-42.4362565E-42.536232E-41.04103661.0E-55.002454E-40.00104369370.00105368331.00957131.0E-50.0060734930.0126334210.0127025371.00547097.0E-50.05910160.120777930.120892231.00094641.3E-4
6.11.1674632E-42.4362565E-42.536232E-41.04103661.0E-55.002454E-40.00104369370.00105368331.00957131.0E-50.0060734930.0126334210.0127025371.00547097.0E-50.05910160.120777930.120892231.00094641.3E-4
6.21.1674632E-42.4362565E-42.536232E-41.04103661.0E-55.002454E-40.00104369370.00105368331.00957131.0E-50.0060734930.0126334210.0127025371.00547097.0E-50.05910160.120777930.120892231.00094641.3E-4
6.31.1674632E-42.4362565E-42.536232E-41.04103661.0E-55.002454E-40.00104369370.00105368331.00957131.0E-50.0060734930.0126334210.0127025371.00547097.0E-50.05910160.120777930.120892231.00094641.3E-4
6.41.1674632E-42.4362565E-42.536232E-41.04103661.0E-55.002454E-40.00104369370.00105368331.00957131.0E-50.0060734930.0126334210.0127025371.00547097.0E-50.05910160.120777930.120892231.00094641.3E-4
6.51.13136164E-42.368245E-42.4682214E-41.04221531.0E-54.847792E-40.0010145690.00102455881.00984641.0E-50.00588622550.0122828650.0123421281.00482496.0E-50.0573273340.117742520.11784841.00089921.2E-4
6.61.13136164E-42.368245E-42.4682214E-41.04221531.0E-54.847792E-40.0010145690.00102455881.00984641.0E-50.00588622550.0122828650.0123421281.00482496.0E-50.0573273340.117742520.11784841.00089921.2E-4
6.71.1149675E-42.3373615E-42.4373381E-41.04277321.0E-54.777557E-40.00100134340.00101133331.00997661.0E-50.00580117340.0121236440.01218291651.0048896.0E-50.056520510.116360540.1164665741.00091121.2E-4
6.81.1103589E-42.3275726E-42.4275493E-41.04295331.0E-54.7578133E-49.971512E-40.00100714131.01001861.0E-50.0057772630.0120731720.0121324481.00490986.0E-50.0562935840.115921070.116027161.00091521.2E-4
6.91.1053259E-42.3168049E-42.4167818E-41.04315291.0E-54.7362508E-49.9254E-40.00100253011.01006521.0E-50.00575114970.0120176510.0120769311.00493266.0E-50.056045690.115437460.115543611.00091961.2E-4
7.01.1005377E-42.306884E-42.4068609E-41.04333851.0E-54.7157376E-49.882915E-49.982815E-41.01010851.0E-50.00572630620.0119664940.0120257761.0049546.0E-50.0558097960.1149895340.115095741.00092351.2E-4
7.11.0308142E-42.157785E-42.2577636E-41.04633381.0E-54.417027E-49.2443835E-49.3442906E-41.01080741.0E-50.00536447760.011197270.0112565981.00529856.0E-50.0523681380.1082493140.108347411.00090621.1E-4
7.21.0027479E-42.0985417E-42.1985207E-41.04764211.0E-54.296783E-48.9906604E-49.0905704E-41.01111271.0E-50.00521879220.010891490.0109508361.00544896.0E-50.0509792120.1055562350.105654631.00093211.1E-4
7.39.816942E-52.0460035E-42.1459832E-41.04886581.0E-54.2065824E-48.76565E-48.865562E-41.01139821.0E-50.0051094930.0106202430.0106796051.00558966.0E-50.0499359850.1031380150.103236671.00095651.1E-4
7.49.5634205E-51.9828742E-42.0828543E-41.05042181.0E-54.0979648E-48.4952737E-48.595189E-41.01176131.0E-50.00497786370.0102942090.0103535911.00576856.0E-50.0486782530.100228640.100318621.00089781.0E-4
7.58.052417E-51.6144858E-41.7144697E-41.06192921.0E-53.4505792E-46.917392E-47.017323E-41.01444631.0E-50.00419299030.0083894840.0084192321.00354593.0E-50.041147530.0829617160.083016741.00066336.0E-5
7.67.897024E-51.5797748E-41.6797592E-41.06329011.0E-53.384E-46.7687087E-46.8686414E-41.01476381.0E-50.00411223850.008209840.0082395941.00362423.0E-50.0403696970.081298460.081353581.00067816.0E-5
7.76.707427E-51.3304809E-41.4304675E-41.07515081.0E-52.8742946E-45.700815E-45.8007584E-41.01753141.0E-50.0034938390.0069186870.00693854831.00287072.0E-50.0343941640.069178080.069224621.00067285.0E-5
7.86.147705E-51.2223405E-41.3223282E-41.08180021.0E-52.6344648E-45.2375504E-45.337498E-41.01908291.0E-50.00320274360.00635809870.00637797131.00312552.0E-50.0315697640.063632710.063679531.00073585.0E-5
7.94.7636717E-58.898354E-59.898265E-51.11237041.0E-52.0414138E-43.8130232E-43.912985E-41.02621591.0E-50.00248258840.0046324820.0046523891.00429742.0E-50.0245503650.0467172530.0467649141.00102035.0E-5
8.03.3554235E-55.224913E-56.2248604E-51.19138071.0E-51.4379594E-42.2390562E-42.3390338E-41.04465161.0E-50.00174930970.0027226450.00273261751.0036631.0E-50.0173560340.027936660.0279561021.0006962.0E-5
8.11.9175432E-51.923722E-52.923703E-51.51981561.0E-58.217783E-58.244263E-59.2441805E-51.12128651.0E-50.00100005580.00100327750.00101326741.00995731.0E-50.0099556730.0107856070.0107954981.00091721.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.494016E-65.494016E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3545572E-52.3545572E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.866297E-42.866297E-41.00.00.00450013950.00325922180.00325922181.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.690063E-77.690063E-71.00.08.498917E-63.295737E-63.295737E-61.00.01.034694E-44.012488E-54.012488E-51.00.00.00103421244.737206E-44.737206E-41.00.0

Scodie Lineament

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2919327E-63.0133872E-63.0133872E-61.00.01.4108206E-51.2914471E-53.2914213E-52.54863052.0E-51.7175387E-41.5722551E-42.0721766E-41.31796465.0E-50.00171621180.00157145430.00169126571.07624231.2E-4
6.11.8663811E-61.5490738E-61.5490738E-61.00.07.998751E-66.638874E-61.6638807E-52.50626971.0E-59.738045E-58.082579E-51.0082417E-41.24742582.0E-59.7337784E-48.0801273E-48.579723E-41.06183025.0E-5
6.21.8663811E-61.5490738E-61.5490738E-61.00.07.998751E-66.638874E-61.6638807E-52.50626971.0E-59.738045E-58.082579E-51.0082417E-41.24742582.0E-59.7337784E-48.0801273E-48.579723E-41.06183025.0E-5
6.31.8663811E-61.5490738E-61.5490738E-61.00.07.998751E-66.638874E-61.6638807E-52.50626971.0E-59.738045E-58.082579E-51.0082417E-41.24742582.0E-59.7337784E-48.0801273E-48.579723E-41.06183025.0E-5
6.41.8663811E-61.5490738E-61.5490738E-61.00.07.998751E-66.638874E-61.6638807E-52.50626971.0E-59.738045E-58.082579E-51.0082417E-41.24742582.0E-59.7337784E-48.0801273E-48.579723E-41.06183025.0E-5
6.51.8106311E-61.4910065E-61.4910065E-61.00.07.759824E-66.390015E-61.6389951E-52.56493141.0E-59.447177E-57.7796154E-59.77946E-51.25706212.0E-59.4431615E-47.777379E-48.2769897E-41.0642395.0E-5
6.61.2414679E-68.9976623E-78.9976623E-71.00.05.320566E-63.8561357E-63.8561357E-61.00.06.477596E-54.694753E-54.694753E-51.00.06.475708E-44.6938477E-44.993707E-41.06388343.0E-5
6.71.1062215E-67.5943876E-77.5943876E-71.00.04.7409408E-63.2547339E-63.2547339E-61.00.05.7719422E-53.9625735E-53.9625735E-51.00.05.770443E-43.9619367E-44.261818E-41.07569053.0E-5
6.81.0006736E-66.500452E-76.500452E-71.00.04.288594E-62.7859055E-62.7859055E-61.00.05.221238E-53.391793E-53.391793E-51.00.05.220012E-43.3913364E-43.6912345E-41.08843083.0E-5
6.99.167364E-75.631664E-75.631664E-71.00.03.9288643E-62.4135684E-62.4135684E-61.00.04.7832873E-52.9384857E-52.9384857E-51.00.04.782258E-42.938154E-43.1380952E-41.06804992.0E-5
7.07.6987664E-74.113395E-74.113395E-71.00.03.2994672E-61.7628826E-61.7628826E-61.00.04.0170275E-52.1462924E-52.1462924E-51.00.04.0163012E-42.1461236E-42.3460807E-41.09317122.0E-5
7.17.1038727E-73.521151E-73.521151E-71.00.03.0445133E-61.5090641E-61.5090641E-61.00.03.706632E-51.8372735E-51.8372735E-51.00.03.7060137E-41.8371566E-42.0371198E-41.10884392.0E-5
7.22.0799602E-73.118087E-83.118087E-81.00.08.914113E-71.336323E-71.336323E-71.00.01.0852878E-51.6269721E-61.6269721E-61.00.01.08523476E-41.6269609E-51.6269609E-51.00.0
7.31.5048182E-71.5940762E-81.5940762E-81.00.06.449219E-76.831755E-86.831755E-81.00.07.851896E-68.317658E-78.317658E-71.00.07.851618E-58.31763E-68.31763E-61.00.0
7.45.9334678E-84.864214E-94.864214E-91.00.02.5429145E-72.0846631E-82.0846631E-81.00.03.095994E-62.5380774E-72.5380774E-71.00.03.095951E-52.5380755E-62.5380755E-61.00.0

Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.872328E-54.7271373E-54.7271373E-51.00.01.6594635E-42.0257758E-42.1257554E-41.04935381.0E-50.00201852460.00246385020.00249377611.01214613.0E-50.020002880.0243911540.024498471.00439981.1E-4
6.13.872328E-54.7271373E-54.7271373E-51.00.01.6594635E-42.0257758E-42.1257554E-41.04935381.0E-50.00201852460.00246385020.00249377611.01214613.0E-50.020002880.0243911540.024498471.00439981.1E-4
6.23.872328E-54.7271373E-54.7271373E-51.00.01.6594635E-42.0257758E-42.1257554E-41.04935381.0E-50.00201852460.00246385020.00249377611.01214613.0E-50.020002880.0243911540.024498471.00439981.1E-4
6.32.8356371E-53.3613145E-53.3613145E-51.00.01.2152165E-41.4404883E-41.5404739E-41.06941091.0E-50.00147852190.00175245280.00178240031.01708893.0E-50.0146872350.0173935260.0175016131.00621411.1E-4
6.42.8356371E-53.3613145E-53.3613145E-51.00.01.2152165E-41.4404883E-41.5404739E-41.06941091.0E-50.00147852190.00175245280.00178240031.01708893.0E-50.0146872350.0173935260.0175016131.00621411.1E-4
6.52.4448687E-52.8610195E-52.8610195E-51.00.01.0477588E-41.2260964E-41.3260842E-41.08154961.0E-50.00127489980.00149179790.0015217531.020083.0E-50.0126761050.0148227340.0149311031.0073111.1E-4
6.62.1298161E-52.466216E-52.466216E-51.00.09.127464E-51.0569088E-41.1568983E-41.09460561.0E-50.00111070220.00128606010.00131602151.02329713.0E-50.0110516720.0127896060.0128981991.00849071.1E-4
6.71.8959729E-52.1782764E-52.1782764E-51.00.08.125345E-59.3351504E-51.0335057E-41.1071121.0E-59.888117E-40.00113598760.00116595351.02637883.0E-50.0098442340.0113044670.0114132231.00962071.1E-4
6.81.6691629E-51.901977E-51.901977E-51.00.07.153359E-58.151084E-59.151003E-51.1226731.0E-58.7057345E-49.919596E-40.00102192981.03021313.0E-50.0086717080.0098770760.0099760881.01002441.0E-4
6.91.450505E-51.6390675E-51.6390675E-51.00.06.216302E-57.024391E-58.0243204E-51.14235121.0E-57.5657194E-48.5489283E-48.748757E-41.02337482.0E-50.0075400130.0085169730.0086062071.01047729.0E-5
7.01.2940855E-51.4538927E-51.4538927E-51.00.05.545963E-56.230823E-57.230761E-51.16048241.0E-56.750118E-47.583444E-47.7832927E-41.02635322.0E-50.0067296510.0075581840.0076475041.01181769.0E-5
7.11.2544658E-51.4079123E-51.4079123E-51.00.05.3761712E-56.0337734E-57.033713E-51.16572381.0E-56.5435225E-47.343699E-47.543552E-41.02721432.0E-50.0065242880.0073200250.00740936631.0122059.0E-5
7.21.2489416E-51.4016585E-51.4016585E-51.00.05.3524967E-56.0069728E-57.006913E-51.16646331.0E-56.514716E-47.311091E-47.510945E-41.02733562.0E-50.0064956510.00728763170.0073769761.01225979.0E-5
7.31.2368307E-51.38807145E-51.38807145E-51.00.05.3005948E-55.948745E-56.948686E-51.16809271.0E-56.451563E-47.2402466E-47.4401015E-41.02760342.0E-50.00643286530.00721724940.00730659951.01238019.0E-5
7.41.2161707E-51.3648755E-51.3648755E-51.00.05.212056E-55.8493384E-56.84928E-51.17094951.0E-56.3438306E-47.1192987E-47.319156E-41.02807272.0E-50.0063257510.00709708030.0071864411.01259129.0E-5
7.51.1707948E-51.3146373E-51.3146373E-51.00.05.0175953E-55.6340414E-56.633985E-51.17748251.0E-56.10721E-46.857342E-47.057205E-41.02914582.0E-50.00609045340.0068367660.00692615051.01307429.0E-5
7.61.0319538E-51.1580373E-51.1580373E-51.00.04.4225842E-54.9629256E-55.962876E-51.20148411.0E-55.383166E-46.0407387E-46.240618E-41.03308862.0E-50.00537014430.006024850.00610436831.01319848.0E-5
7.78.937764E-61.0023426E-51.0023426E-51.00.03.830414E-54.295686E-55.295643E-51.23278161.0E-54.6625308E-45.228793E-45.4286886E-41.03822972.0E-50.00465276050.0052170.0052866351.01334767.0E-5
7.83.108007E-73.2847535E-73.2847535E-71.00.01.3320023E-61.4077508E-61.4077508E-61.00.01.6217007E-51.7139235E-51.7139235E-51.00.01.6215823E-41.713795E-41.713795E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6697329E-92.6697329E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14417125E-81.14417125E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3930286E-71.3930286E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3930285E-61.3930285E-61.00.0

Cady

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9892565E-52.1859876E-52.1859876E-51.00.08.525106E-59.3682334E-51.0368139E-41.10673371.0E-50.00103743740.00114007660.00120999661.06132947.0E-50.0103260750.0113512930.0114600441.00958051.1E-4
6.11.9892565E-52.1859876E-52.1859876E-51.00.08.525106E-59.3682334E-51.0368139E-41.10673371.0E-50.00103743740.00114007660.00120999661.06132947.0E-50.0103260750.0113512930.0114600441.00958051.1E-4
6.21.9892565E-52.1859876E-52.1859876E-51.00.08.525106E-59.3682334E-51.0368139E-41.10673371.0E-50.00103743740.00114007660.00120999661.06132947.0E-50.0103260750.0113512930.0114600441.00958051.1E-4
6.31.1117327E-51.2177199E-51.2177199E-51.00.04.764482E-55.218713E-56.218661E-51.19160811.0E-55.7992124E-46.352246E-46.751992E-41.06292994.0E-50.00578410220.0063371950.00640675151.01097587.0E-5
6.41.1117327E-51.2177199E-51.2177199E-51.00.04.764482E-55.218713E-56.218661E-51.19160811.0E-55.7992124E-46.352246E-46.751992E-41.06292994.0E-50.00578410220.0063371950.00640675151.01097587.0E-5
6.56.103093E-66.672351E-66.672351E-61.00.02.615585E-52.8595547E-52.8595547E-51.00.03.1840094E-43.4810771E-43.6810077E-41.05743352.0E-50.00317945120.00347685860.00351671941.01146464.0E-5
6.65.817237E-66.3659772E-66.3659772E-61.00.02.4930776E-52.7282544E-52.7282544E-51.00.03.034899E-43.321268E-43.5212014E-41.0601982.0E-50.00303075770.00331752630.00335739371.01201714.0E-5
6.74.8846314E-65.340833E-65.340833E-61.00.02.0933967E-52.288915E-52.288915E-51.00.02.5484123E-42.7865154E-42.8864873E-41.03587711.0E-50.00254549180.0027841770.00281409341.01074523.0E-5
6.81.7788773E-61.940001E-61.940001E-61.00.07.6237375E-68.314273E-68.314273E-61.00.09.281505E-51.0122315E-41.11222136E-41.09878161.0E-59.2776294E-40.0010119250.00103190481.01974432.0E-5
6.97.5455404E-78.2975305E-78.2975305E-71.00.03.233799E-63.5560815E-63.5560815E-61.00.03.937079E-54.329477E-55.3294338E-51.23096481.0E-53.9363815E-44.3289628E-44.4289196E-41.02309021.0E-5
7.06.8578805E-77.542215E-77.542215E-71.00.02.9390883E-63.2323758E-63.2323758E-61.00.03.578281E-53.9353796E-54.9353403E-51.25409511.0E-53.577705E-43.9350073E-44.0349682E-41.02540291.0E-5

Lake Isabella (Seismicity)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.431637E-69.7418215E-69.7418215E-61.00.04.0420677E-54.175007E-56.174923E-51.47902112.0E-54.920106E-45.082016E-45.7816604E-41.13767067.0E-50.0049092270.0050716870.0051811291.0215791.1E-4
6.19.431637E-69.7418215E-69.7418215E-61.00.04.0420677E-54.175007E-56.174923E-51.47902112.0E-54.920106E-45.082016E-45.7816604E-41.13767067.0E-50.0049092270.0050716870.0051811291.0215791.1E-4
6.29.431637E-69.7418215E-69.7418215E-61.00.04.0420677E-54.175007E-56.174923E-51.47902112.0E-54.920106E-45.082016E-45.7816604E-41.13767067.0E-50.0049092270.0050716870.0051811291.0215791.1E-4
6.39.431637E-69.7418215E-69.7418215E-61.00.04.0420677E-54.175007E-56.174923E-51.47902112.0E-54.920106E-45.082016E-45.7816604E-41.13767067.0E-50.0049092270.0050716870.0051811291.0215791.1E-4
6.45.144063E-65.3001613E-65.3001613E-61.00.02.2045799E-52.27148E-52.27148E-51.00.02.6837454E-42.7652105E-43.1650998E-41.14461454.0E-50.00268050660.00276211020.00282194441.02166256.0E-5
6.55.144063E-65.3001613E-65.3001613E-61.00.02.2045799E-52.27148E-52.27148E-51.00.02.6837454E-42.7652105E-43.1650998E-41.14461454.0E-50.00268050660.00276211020.00282194441.02166256.0E-5
6.63.4009804E-63.4988395E-63.4988395E-61.00.01.4575549E-51.4994949E-51.4994949E-51.00.01.7744285E-41.8254982E-42.1254434E-41.16430873.0E-50.00177301230.00182415640.00185410171.0164163.0E-5
6.73.3880428E-63.485706E-63.485706E-61.00.01.4520103E-51.4938664E-51.4938664E-51.00.01.767679E-41.8186466E-42.118592E-41.16492783.0E-50.00176627360.00181731590.00184726141.01647783.0E-5
6.82.6582E-62.7337414E-62.7337414E-61.00.01.1392236E-51.171599E-51.171599E-51.00.01.3869164E-41.4263418E-41.6263133E-41.14019882.0E-50.00138605120.00142555840.00144552991.01400962.0E-5
6.92.406011E-62.474366E-62.474366E-61.00.01.0311434E-51.0604391E-51.0604391E-51.00.01.2553448E-41.2910213E-41.3910084E-41.0774481.0E-50.00125463590.00129040090.0013003881.00773951.0E-5
7.01.6953097E-61.7429631E-61.7429631E-61.00.07.265593E-67.469827E-67.469827E-61.00.08.8455E-59.094239E-51.00941485E-41.10994971.0E-58.84198E-49.0915454E-49.191454E-41.01098921.0E-5
7.13.5013824E-73.5715203E-73.5715203E-71.00.01.5005916E-61.5306507E-61.5306507E-61.00.01.826955E-51.8635516E-51.8635516E-51.00.01.8268047E-41.8633978E-41.8633978E-41.00.0
7.22.2321095E-72.2750805E-72.2750805E-71.00.09.56618E-79.750341E-79.750341E-71.00.01.1646762E-51.1870978E-51.1870978E-51.00.01.1646151E-41.1870354E-41.1870354E-41.00.0
7.31.5760406E-71.6061085E-71.6061085E-71.00.06.7544585E-76.88332E-76.88332E-71.00.08.223522E-68.380411E-68.380411E-61.00.08.2232174E-58.380101E-58.380101E-51.00.0
7.41.1216497E-71.14318226E-71.14318226E-71.00.04.8070694E-74.899352E-74.899352E-71.00.05.852591E-65.9649446E-65.9649446E-61.00.05.8524372E-55.964789E-55.964789E-51.00.0
7.54.885185E-84.9788245E-84.9788245E-81.00.02.0936506E-72.1337817E-72.1337817E-71.00.02.5490165E-62.5978763E-62.5978763E-61.00.02.5489873E-52.5978477E-52.5978477E-51.00.0
7.61.504641E-91.5318049E-91.5318049E-91.00.06.4484613E-96.5648784E-96.5648784E-91.00.07.851001E-87.9927396E-87.9927396E-81.00.07.8509987E-77.9927395E-77.9927395E-71.00.0

White Wolf (Extension)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.222555E-66.066774E-61.6066713E-52.64831231.0E-53.5239045E-52.600024E-54.5999717E-51.76920372.0E-54.289509E-43.1651356E-43.7649457E-41.18950536.0E-50.00428123870.00316127950.00327093181.03468611.1E-4
6.18.222555E-66.066774E-61.6066713E-52.64831231.0E-53.5239045E-52.600024E-54.5999717E-51.76920372.0E-54.289509E-43.1651356E-43.7649457E-41.18950536.0E-50.00428123870.00316127950.00327093181.03468611.1E-4
6.28.222555E-66.066774E-61.6066713E-52.64831231.0E-53.5239045E-52.600024E-54.5999717E-51.76920372.0E-54.289509E-43.1651356E-43.7649457E-41.18950536.0E-50.00428123870.00316127950.00327093181.03468611.1E-4
6.38.222555E-66.066774E-61.6066713E-52.64831231.0E-53.5239045E-52.600024E-54.5999717E-51.76920372.0E-54.289509E-43.1651356E-43.7649457E-41.18950536.0E-50.00428123870.00316127950.00327093181.03468611.1E-4
6.45.821773E-63.5572245E-61.3557189E-53.81117031.0E-52.4950215E-51.5245166E-53.5244862E-52.31187132.0E-53.0372653E-41.8559519E-42.2558776E-41.21548284.0E-50.00303311760.00185451020.00192438031.03767597.0E-5
6.55.766023E-63.4991574E-61.3499122E-53.85782071.0E-52.4711293E-51.4996309E-53.499601E-52.33364152.0E-53.0081844E-41.8256587E-42.2255856E-41.2190594.0E-50.00300411580.0018242670.00189413931.03830167.0E-5
6.64.643576E-62.3326468E-62.3326468E-61.00.01.9900888E-59.997021E-69.997021E-61.00.02.4226638E-41.21707366E-41.3170615E-41.08215431.0E-50.00242002420.00121644950.0012564011.03284264.0E-5
6.73.9529173E-61.6483561E-61.6483561E-61.00.01.6940963E-57.064365E-67.064365E-61.00.02.0623671E-48.600544E-59.600458E-51.11626171.0E-50.0020604548.597401E-48.997057E-41.04648574.0E-5
6.83.4377522E-61.2245247E-61.2245247E-61.00.01.473314E-55.247953E-65.247953E-61.00.01.7936122E-46.389205E-56.389205E-51.00.00.00179216526.387459E-46.6872675E-41.0469373.0E-5
6.93.1367306E-61.0033741E-61.0033741E-61.00.01.3443062E-54.300168E-64.300168E-61.00.01.63657E-45.2353364E-55.2353364E-51.00.00.00163536525.2341796E-45.434075E-41.03819042.0E-5
7.02.8298145E-67.428598E-77.428598E-71.00.01.2127721E-53.1836814E-63.1836814E-61.00.01.47645E-43.876068E-53.876068E-51.00.00.00147546933.8754422E-44.0753646E-41.0515872.0E-5
7.12.4091064E-65.422674E-75.422674E-71.00.01.03247E-52.3240013E-62.3240013E-61.00.01.2569598E-42.829439E-52.829439E-51.00.00.0012562492.829119E-43.0290626E-41.07067332.0E-5
7.21.3875518E-61.0741592E-71.0741592E-71.00.05.9466374E-64.6035387E-74.6035387E-71.00.07.23979E-55.604795E-65.604795E-61.00.07.2374323E-45.6046654E-55.6046654E-51.00.0
7.37.056077E-75.001199E-85.001199E-81.00.03.0240296E-62.1433708E-72.1433708E-71.00.03.681694E-52.6095513E-62.6095513E-61.00.03.681084E-42.6095253E-52.6095253E-51.00.0
7.45.9334678E-84.864214E-94.864214E-91.00.02.5429145E-72.0846631E-82.0846631E-81.00.03.095994E-62.5380774E-72.5380774E-71.00.03.095951E-52.5380755E-62.5380755E-61.00.0

Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6204086E-42.93772E-42.93772E-41.00.06.94276E-40.00125848750.00126847491.0079361.0E-50.0084200970.0152359190.015275311.00258544.0E-50.0810811450.13989730.139966121.00049198.0E-5
6.11.6204086E-42.93772E-42.93772E-41.00.06.94276E-40.00125848750.00126847491.0079361.0E-50.0084200970.0152359190.015275311.00258544.0E-50.0810811450.13989730.139966121.00049198.0E-5
6.21.6204086E-42.93772E-42.93772E-41.00.06.94276E-40.00125848750.00126847491.0079361.0E-50.0084200970.0152359190.015275311.00258544.0E-50.0810811450.13989730.139966121.00049198.0E-5
6.31.0111737E-41.7704953E-41.7704953E-41.00.04.332882E-47.5867976E-47.6867215E-41.01317081.0E-50.0052625310.0092184950.0092581261.0042994.0E-50.05139640.087146680.087201451.00062856.0E-5
6.41.0111737E-41.7704953E-41.7704953E-41.00.04.332882E-47.5867976E-47.6867215E-41.01317081.0E-50.0052625310.0092184950.0092581261.0042994.0E-50.05139640.087146680.087201451.00062856.0E-5
6.53.6624708E-54.63993E-54.63993E-51.00.01.569536E-41.9884102E-41.9884102E-41.00.00.0019092350.0024185630.00242853891.00412461.0E-50.018929150.0237716060.0237813691.00041071.0E-5
6.62.5051324E-52.6153504E-52.6153504E-51.00.01.073584E-41.12081885E-41.12081885E-41.00.00.00130630470.00136378720.00137377371.00732251.0E-50.0129865250.0135655310.0135753951.00072721.0E-5
6.72.2189772E-52.2077826E-52.2077826E-51.00.09.509556E-59.461602E-59.461602E-51.00.00.00115717340.00115137770.00116136621.00867521.0E-50.0115116630.0114658220.0114757081.00086211.0E-5
6.81.6654378E-51.44404075E-51.44404075E-51.00.07.137396E-56.188602E-56.188602E-51.00.08.686314E-47.5320696E-47.6319947E-41.01326661.0E-50.0086524390.0075118610.00752178631.00132121.0E-5
6.91.5042909E-51.2334343E-51.2334343E-51.00.06.446802E-55.2860418E-55.2860418E-51.00.07.8461546E-46.4338866E-46.533822E-41.01553271.0E-50.0078185090.00641951150.00642944731.00154771.0E-5
7.01.4361385E-51.1453502E-51.1453502E-51.00.06.154734E-54.908553E-54.908553E-51.00.07.490812E-45.974554E-46.0744944E-41.01672771.0E-50.0074656120.00596250870.0059724491.00166711.0E-5
7.11.3265571E-51.0246804E-51.0246804E-51.00.05.6851208E-54.391415E-54.391415E-51.00.06.919436E-45.3452613E-45.445208E-41.01869821.0E-50.0068979310.00533572440.0053456711.00186421.0E-5
7.21.1596403E-58.506578E-68.506578E-61.00.04.9697923E-53.6456262E-53.6456262E-51.00.06.049042E-44.4376627E-44.5376184E-41.02252441.0E-50.0060326030.0044302350.00444019071.00224721.0E-5
7.31.0150827E-57.2400208E-67.2400208E-61.00.04.3502816E-53.10283E-53.10283E-51.00.05.2951806E-43.777055E-43.777055E-41.00.00.0052825810.0037710350.0037710351.00.0
7.49.080705E-66.3536127E-66.3536127E-61.00.03.8916725E-52.7229491E-52.7229491E-51.00.04.7370812E-43.3147E-43.3147E-41.00.00.0047269960.00330990460.00330990461.00.0
7.57.671649E-65.2265436E-65.2265436E-61.00.03.287808E-52.2399287E-52.2399287E-51.00.04.0021708E-42.7267844E-42.7267844E-41.00.00.00399497060.00272356370.00272356371.00.0
7.66.990086E-64.688364E-64.688364E-61.00.02.9957167E-52.0092839E-52.0092839E-51.00.03.6466747E-42.4460402E-42.4460402E-41.00.00.00364069640.00244346420.00244346421.00.0
7.74.163505E-62.3300386E-62.3300386E-61.00.01.7843471E-59.985846E-69.985846E-61.00.02.172226E-41.2157163E-41.2157163E-41.00.00.00217010380.00121512440.00121512441.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.38645E-89.38645E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0227638E-74.0227638E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8977076E-64.8977076E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8976322E-54.8976322E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4402008E-93.4402008E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4743718E-81.4743718E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.7950475E-71.7950475E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.7950463E-61.7950463E-61.00.0

Pinto Mtn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.4194956E-54.786026E-54.786026E-51.00.01.893932E-42.051002E-42.051002E-41.00.00.00230342360.00249439870.00255424931.02399386.0E-50.0227969380.0246815350.0247888211.00434671.1E-4
6.14.4194956E-54.786026E-54.786026E-51.00.01.893932E-42.051002E-42.051002E-41.00.00.00230342360.00249439870.00255424931.02399386.0E-50.0227969380.0246815350.0247888211.00434671.1E-4
6.24.4194956E-54.786026E-54.786026E-51.00.01.893932E-42.051002E-42.051002E-41.00.00.00230342360.00249439870.00255424931.02399386.0E-50.0227969380.0246815350.0247888211.00434671.1E-4
6.34.4194956E-54.786026E-54.786026E-51.00.01.893932E-42.051002E-42.051002E-41.00.00.00230342360.00249439870.00255424931.02399386.0E-50.0227969380.0246815350.0247888211.00434671.1E-4
6.43.729929E-53.9608974E-53.9608974E-51.00.01.5984432E-41.6974223E-41.6974223E-41.00.00.00194436730.00206474590.00210466331.01933294.0E-50.0192744270.0204656520.0205440151.0038298.0E-5
6.53.729929E-53.9608974E-53.9608974E-51.00.01.5984432E-41.6974223E-41.6974223E-41.00.00.00194436730.00206474590.00210466331.01933294.0E-50.0192744270.0204656520.0205440151.0038298.0E-5
6.63.0204548E-53.1210264E-53.1210264E-51.00.01.2944164E-41.3375162E-41.3375162E-41.00.00.00157481270.00162724420.00164721161.01227072.0E-50.0156369920.016157160.0161965141.00243574.0E-5
6.72.9857754E-53.081962E-53.081962E-51.00.01.2795553E-41.320776E-41.320776E-41.00.00.00155674530.00160689340.00162686121.01242642.0E-50.0154588480.0159565860.0159959481.00246684.0E-5
6.82.4819734E-52.5013833E-52.5013833E-51.00.01.0636595E-41.07197855E-41.07197855E-41.00.00.00129423620.00130437420.0013243481.0153132.0E-50.0128672440.012969550.013009031.00304414.0E-5
6.92.331124E-52.3342016E-52.3342016E-51.00.09.990149E-51.0003349E-41.0003349E-41.00.00.0012156220.00121724760.00123722331.01641052.0E-50.0120899360.0121079950.0121475111.00326364.0E-5
7.02.1818534E-52.1765065E-52.1765065E-51.00.09.3504656E-59.327562E-59.327562E-51.00.00.00113782460.00113505890.00115503631.01760022.0E-50.0113201630.0112947190.01133426651.00350154.0E-5
7.12.066081E-52.0544632E-52.0544632E-51.00.08.854332E-58.804556E-58.804556E-51.00.00.00107748180.00107144720.00108143641.00932311.0E-50.0107227240.0106648650.0106945451.0027833.0E-5
7.21.8990233E-51.9057838E-51.9057838E-51.00.08.138417E-58.1674E-58.1674E-51.00.09.904018E-49.939467E-40.00100393671.01005091.0E-50.0098599950.009897010.0099267141.00300123.0E-5
7.31.3335872E-51.4910233E-51.4910233E-51.00.05.7152483E-56.3899504E-56.3899504E-51.00.06.956093E-47.7771157E-47.877038E-41.01284831.0E-50.0069343590.0077511990.00778096631.00384033.0E-5
7.49.414066E-61.1864307E-51.1864307E-51.00.04.0345374E-55.0846094E-55.0846094E-51.00.04.910942E-46.188848E-46.288786E-41.01614811.0E-50.00490010340.00617256160.00620237641.00483023.0E-5
7.57.2101157E-69.16147E-69.16147E-61.00.03.090013E-53.9262897E-53.9262897E-51.00.03.7614413E-44.7792873E-44.8792394E-41.02091361.0E-50.00375508070.00476978440.0047896891.0041732.0E-5
7.63.296375E-64.548674E-64.548674E-61.00.01.4127245E-51.9494179E-51.9494179E-51.00.01.7198564E-42.3731717E-42.3731717E-41.00.00.00171852590.0023707750.0023707751.00.0
7.72.5741092E-63.5873995E-63.5873995E-61.00.01.103185E-51.5374486E-51.5374486E-51.00.01.3430449E-41.8716961E-41.8716961E-41.00.00.00134223350.00187024970.00187024971.00.0

Owens Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.83821E-53.6305946E-63.6305946E-61.00.02.0733538E-41.5559604E-52.5559448E-51.64267981.0E-50.0025213861.8942272E-42.3941325E-41.26390995.0E-50.0249296910.00192043530.00202024331.05197161.0E-4
6.14.83821E-53.6305946E-63.6305946E-61.00.02.0733538E-41.5559604E-52.5559448E-51.64267981.0E-50.0025213861.8942272E-42.3941325E-41.26390995.0E-50.0249296910.00192043530.00202024331.05197161.0E-4
6.24.83821E-53.6305946E-63.6305946E-61.00.02.0733538E-41.5559604E-52.5559448E-51.64267981.0E-50.0025213861.8942272E-42.3941325E-41.26390995.0E-50.0249296910.00192043530.00202024331.05197161.0E-4
6.33.953008E-53.1569743E-63.1569743E-61.00.01.6940363E-41.3529823E-52.3529688E-51.7390981.0E-50.0020605381.6471389E-41.9470895E-41.1821043.0E-50.0204153640.00165924290.00173911021.04813488.0E-5
6.43.953008E-53.1569743E-63.1569743E-61.00.01.6940363E-41.3529823E-52.3529688E-51.7390981.0E-50.0020605381.6471389E-41.9470895E-41.1821043.0E-50.0204153640.00165924290.00173911021.04813488.0E-5
6.53.457342E-52.9722537E-62.9722537E-61.00.01.4816338E-41.2738172E-52.2738044E-51.7850321.0E-50.00180239651.5507691E-41.8507225E-41.19342243.0E-50.0178784770.00155587940.00163575481.05133788.0E-5
6.63.1127765E-52.8751224E-62.8751224E-61.00.01.3339789E-41.2321899E-52.2321776E-51.81155321.0E-50.00162290921.5000948E-41.8000498E-41.19995743.0E-50.0161110810.00150098560.00158086561.05321848.0E-5
6.72.806885E-52.8107588E-62.8107588E-61.00.01.2028952E-41.2046057E-52.2045937E-51.83013711.0E-50.0014635411.4665157E-41.7664717E-41.20453663.0E-50.0145393970.00146597540.00154585811.05449128.0E-5
6.82.524524E-52.2356737E-62.2356737E-61.00.01.0818939E-49.581425E-61.958133E-52.04367611.0E-50.00131640991.1664791E-41.4664441E-41.25715423.0E-50.013086390.00116616060.00124606721.06852118.0E-5
6.92.2704568E-51.6083629E-61.6083629E-61.00.09.730166E-56.8929658E-61.6892896E-52.45074441.0E-50.00118400398.391865E-51.1391613E-41.35745913.0E-50.0117771538.3909626E-49.190291E-41.09526068.0E-5
7.02.0871712E-51.539734E-61.539734E-61.00.08.944713E-56.5988434E-61.6598777E-52.5154071.0E-50.00108847468.033797E-51.1033556E-41.37339253.0E-50.0108315868.0327404E-48.8320975E-41.09951258.0E-5
7.11.944928E-51.386575E-61.386575E-61.00.08.335139E-55.942451E-61.594239E-52.68279721.0E-50.00101433087.234695E-51.0234478E-41.41463853.0E-50.0100971337.2340504E-48.0334715E-41.11050818.0E-5
7.21.7876306E-51.24905E-61.24905E-61.00.07.6610486E-55.3530603E-61.5353007E-52.86808041.0E-59.3233347E-46.517157E-59.516961E-51.46029343.0E-50.0092843166.5168424E-47.316321E-41.12267898.0E-5
7.31.2618672E-51.1116437E-61.1116437E-61.00.05.40789E-54.7641784E-61.476413E-53.09898781.0E-56.582117E-45.8002333E-58.80006E-51.51719063.0E-50.00656265535.8002654E-46.5998017E-41.13784478.0E-5
7.47.4874442E-68.5496856E-78.5496856E-71.00.03.208865E-53.6641459E-61.3664109E-53.7291391.0E-53.906093E-44.4610068E-57.4608724E-51.6724643.0E-50.0038992344.4612345E-45.2608777E-41.17924268.0E-5
7.52.4734156E-66.0694214E-76.0694214E-71.00.01.060031E-52.601178E-61.2601152E-54.8444021.0E-51.2905113E-43.1668886E-55.1668252E-51.63151472.0E-50.00128976213.1664406E-43.866219E-41.22099847.0E-5
7.61.1328841E-63.196907E-73.196907E-71.00.04.8552088E-61.3701024E-61.1370089E-58.2987151.0E-55.9110564E-51.668087E-53.6680536E-52.19895822.0E-55.9094845E-41.6679637E-42.2678636E-41.359666.0E-5
7.74.8613185E-78.9654996E-88.9654996E-81.00.02.0834207E-63.8423565E-73.8423565E-71.00.02.536535E-54.6780597E-64.6780597E-61.00.02.5362454E-44.677968E-55.6779212E-51.2137581.0E-5

Ludlow

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2407607E-52.3657954E-52.3657954E-51.00.09.602906E-51.0138754E-41.0138754E-41.00.00.00116852670.00123373840.00128367671.04047735.0E-50.0116240130.0122734030.0123721761.00804771.0E-4
6.12.2407607E-52.3657954E-52.3657954E-51.00.09.602906E-51.0138754E-41.0138754E-41.00.00.00116852670.00123373840.00128367671.04047735.0E-50.0116240130.0122734030.0123721761.00804771.0E-4
6.21.0781252E-51.1365991E-51.1365991E-51.00.04.620455E-54.8710503E-54.8710503E-51.00.05.623952E-45.92893E-46.328693E-41.06742584.0E-50.005609740.0059135310.0059731761.01008626.0E-5
6.31.0781252E-51.1365991E-51.1365991E-51.00.04.620455E-54.8710503E-54.8710503E-51.00.05.623952E-45.92893E-46.328693E-41.06742584.0E-50.005609740.0059135310.0059731761.01008626.0E-5
6.47.814439E-68.237966E-68.237966E-61.00.03.3490025E-53.5305096E-53.5305096E-51.00.04.0766477E-44.2975618E-44.5974329E-41.0697773.0E-50.00406917740.00428939750.0043391831.01160675.0E-5
6.56.4986366E-66.8511167E-66.8511167E-61.00.02.7851002E-52.9361603E-52.9361603E-51.00.03.390332E-43.574198E-43.874091E-41.08390493.0E-50.0033851640.0035685460.0036084031.01116914.0E-5
6.65.582177E-65.8861756E-65.8861756E-61.00.02.3923398E-52.5226227E-52.5226227E-51.00.02.9122844E-43.0708674E-43.270806E-41.06510822.0E-50.00290847060.00306669740.00309660541.00975253.0E-5
6.74.6858763E-64.94057E-64.94057E-61.00.02.0082172E-52.1173702E-52.1173702E-51.00.02.4447302E-42.5775988E-42.7775473E-41.07757162.0E-50.00244204230.00257466550.00260458821.0116223.0E-5
6.83.5584908E-63.7521265E-63.7521265E-61.00.01.5250586E-51.6080447E-51.6080447E-51.00.01.8566006E-41.9576224E-42.1575834E-41.10214472.0E-50.00185505020.00195593920.00198588051.01530793.0E-5
6.92.532834E-62.6710807E-62.6710807E-61.00.01.0854958E-51.1447441E-51.1447441E-51.00.01.3215111E-41.3936395E-41.5936117E-41.14348912.0E-50.00132072540.00139279310.00141276521.01433972.0E-5
7.01.7083285E-61.8019963E-61.8019963E-61.00.07.3213873E-67.722819E-67.722819E-61.00.08.913424E-59.402143E-51.04020495E-41.10634881.0E-58.9098496E-49.3983306E-49.4982365E-41.01063011.0E-5
7.11.0905424E-61.1497951E-61.1497951E-61.00.04.6737446E-64.9276846E-64.9276846E-61.00.05.6901354E-55.9993006E-56.9992406E-51.1666761.0E-55.6886784E-45.997779E-46.097719E-41.01666281.0E-5
7.26.06668E-76.387457E-76.387457E-71.00.02.600003E-62.737479E-62.737479E-61.00.03.1654577E-53.3328364E-54.3328033E-51.30003481.0E-53.1650066E-43.3324052E-43.432372E-41.02999831.0E-5

San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.31567E-52.3400006E-42.3400006E-41.00.03.5633717E-40.00100246770.00102244771.01993072.0E-50.0043297780.0121366590.0121860521.00406985.0E-50.0424638280.1126519740.112740711.00078771.0E-4
6.18.31567E-52.3400006E-42.3400006E-41.00.03.5633717E-40.00100246770.00102244771.01993072.0E-50.0043297780.0121366590.0121860521.00406985.0E-50.0424638280.1126519740.112740711.00078771.0E-4
6.28.31567E-52.3400006E-42.3400006E-41.00.03.5633717E-40.00100246770.00102244771.01993072.0E-50.0043297780.0121366590.0121860521.00406985.0E-50.0424638280.1126519740.112740711.00078771.0E-4
6.38.31567E-52.3400006E-42.3400006E-41.00.03.5633717E-40.00100246770.00102244771.01993072.0E-50.0043297780.0121366590.0121860521.00406985.0E-50.0424638280.1126519740.112740711.00078771.0E-4
6.48.059055E-52.2957478E-42.2957478E-41.00.03.4534236E-49.835173E-40.00100349751.02031522.0E-50.00419643940.01190881150.0119582161.00414865.0E-50.0411807450.110632830.110721771.0008041.0E-4
6.58.059055E-52.2957478E-42.2957478E-41.00.03.4534236E-49.835173E-40.00100349751.02031522.0E-50.00419643940.01190881150.0119582161.00414865.0E-50.0411807450.110632830.110721771.0008041.0E-4
6.67.619237E-52.2201831E-42.2201831E-41.00.03.2649786E-49.5116236E-49.711433E-41.0210072.0E-50.00396786770.0115194590.0115589981.00343244.0E-50.038977640.107169160.107249511.00074989.0E-5
6.77.440636E-52.187761E-42.187761E-41.00.03.188454E-49.3727716E-49.572584E-41.02131842.0E-50.00387503460.0113521780.01139172351.00348354.0E-50.0380815640.105677620.105758111.00076169.0E-5
6.87.3735864E-52.1724754E-42.1724754E-41.00.03.1597257E-49.307309E-49.507123E-41.02146852.0E-50.00384018150.0112733060.0113128551.00350824.0E-50.037744950.104979110.105059661.00076749.0E-5
6.97.27575E-52.1493697E-42.1493697E-41.00.03.117806E-49.208355E-49.4081706E-41.02169942.0E-50.0037893230.011154070.0111936241.00354614.0E-50.0372535620.103927050.10400771.00077599.0E-5
7.07.102591E-52.1077669E-42.1077669E-41.00.03.0436125E-49.0301817E-49.230001E-41.0221282.0E-50.0036993030.010939340.0109789021.00361664.0E-50.036383250.102028580.1021093951.00079219.0E-5
7.17.028513E-52.0913279E-42.0913279E-41.00.03.0118722E-48.959777E-49.159598E-41.0223022.0E-50.00366078970.010854480.0108940461.00364514.0E-50.0360106860.101271710.10135261.00079879.0E-5
7.26.8498244E-52.0521069E-42.0521069E-41.00.02.9353087E-48.7918015E-48.9916255E-41.02272842.0E-50.0035678830.0106519840.0106915591.00371524.0E-50.0351114050.099463590.0995446441.00081489.0E-5
7.36.622592E-51.9748145E-41.9748145E-41.00.02.8379448E-48.4607676E-48.6605985E-41.02361852.0E-50.00344972430.0102528130.01029240251.00386144.0E-50.0339666120.0959597750.096041141.00084799.0E-5
7.45.1050705E-51.4702928E-41.4702928E-41.00.02.1877038E-46.299742E-46.499616E-41.03172732.0E-50.0026602760.00764315580.00768284971.00519354.0E-50.026286540.072924540.073007971.00114429.0E-5
7.53.9302922E-51.1141936E-41.1141936E-41.00.01.6843023E-44.7742447E-44.974149E-41.04187142.0E-50.00204870920.0057972210.0058369891.00685994.0E-50.0202992470.0560635960.056148551.00151539.0E-5
7.62.9851626E-58.50571E-58.50571E-51.00.01.2792926E-43.644796E-43.74476E-41.02742641.0E-50.00155642590.00442853570.0044584031.00674433.0E-50.01545569950.04324260.0433191431.001778.0E-5
7.72.1135214E-56.362411E-56.362411E-51.00.09.0576345E-52.7264628E-42.8264357E-41.03666761.0E-50.00110220910.00331442150.0033443221.00902143.0E-50.0109675820.0326261970.0327035861.0023728.0E-5
7.81.883379E-55.5727225E-55.5727225E-51.00.08.0713755E-52.3880912E-42.4880673E-41.04186441.0E-59.822468E-40.00290362770.00293354061.0103023.0E-50.00977916550.0287353270.0288130291.0027048.0E-5
7.91.5156185E-54.172945E-54.172945E-51.00.06.495346E-51.7882824E-41.8882645E-41.05590961.0E-57.9052144E-40.00217506130.00220499581.01376273.0E-50.0078771520.0217924970.0218707531.0035918.0E-5
8.01.1405907E-53.0027531E-53.0027531E-51.00.04.8881542E-51.2868308E-41.3868179E-41.07770031.0E-55.9497025E-40.00156559150.00159554451.01913213.0E-50.0059337980.015797990.015857041.00373796.0E-5
8.14.3511436E-67.3876467E-67.3876467E-61.00.01.8647626E-53.166096E-53.166096E-51.00.02.2701119E-43.8540413E-43.8540413E-41.00.00.00226779420.0041255910.0041255911.00.0
8.22.3042528E-62.741309E-62.741309E-61.00.09.875332E-61.1748414E-51.1748414E-51.00.01.2022553E-41.430276E-41.430276E-41.00.00.00120160510.00160234410.00160234411.00.0
8.35.202968E-73.1710775E-73.1710775E-71.00.02.2298414E-61.3590326E-61.3590326E-61.00.02.714798E-51.6546108E-51.6546108E-51.00.02.7144665E-41.9627038E-41.9627038E-41.00.0

Calico-Hidalgo

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0906612E-55.0708393E-55.0708393E-51.00.01.7530227E-42.1730587E-42.1730587E-41.00.00.00213221580.00264288740.00268278181.0150954.0E-50.021118730.026154860.0262425081.00335119.0E-5
6.14.0906612E-55.0708393E-55.0708393E-51.00.01.7530227E-42.1730587E-42.1730587E-41.00.00.00213221580.00264288740.00268278181.0150954.0E-50.021118730.026154860.0262425081.00335119.0E-5
6.24.0906612E-55.0708393E-55.0708393E-51.00.01.7530227E-42.1730587E-42.1730587E-41.00.00.00213221580.00264288740.00268278181.0150954.0E-50.021118730.026154860.0262425081.00335119.0E-5
6.32.4242801E-53.0092604E-53.0092604E-51.00.01.0389358E-41.2896211E-41.2896211E-41.00.00.00126417040.00156901650.00160895371.02545374.0E-50.012570030.0155830690.0156716671.00568549.0E-5
6.42.4242801E-53.0092604E-53.0092604E-51.00.01.0389358E-41.2896211E-41.2896211E-41.00.00.00126417040.00156901650.00160895371.02545374.0E-50.012570030.0155830690.0156716671.00568549.0E-5
6.52.0286952E-52.5317231E-52.5317231E-51.00.08.694118E-51.08498E-41.08498E-41.00.00.00105799490.00132017980.0013601271.03025894.0E-50.0105297190.0131253060.0132141251.0067679.0E-5
6.62.0269223E-52.5298179E-52.5298179E-51.00.08.6865206E-51.0841636E-41.0841636E-41.00.00.00105707070.0013191870.00135913421.03028174.0E-50.0105205650.0131154950.0132043161.00677229.0E-5
6.71.799852E-52.2541886E-52.2541886E-51.00.07.713423E-59.660459E-59.660459E-51.00.09.3870464E-40.00117554080.00121549381.03398694.0E-50.0093474930.0116948370.0117837841.00760579.0E-5
6.81.7458793E-52.1843232E-52.1843232E-51.00.07.4821255E-59.361057E-59.361057E-51.00.09.10568E-40.00113912730.00117908171.03507464.0E-50.0090684590.0113344670.0114234471.00785049.0E-5
6.91.542884E-51.9026784E-51.9026784E-51.00.06.612192E-58.1540886E-58.1540886E-51.00.08.04737E-49.923213E-40.00103228161.04026954.0E-50.0080182910.0098803010.0099694111.0090199.0E-5
7.01.468253E-51.8031564E-51.8031564E-51.00.06.292361E-57.7275916E-57.7275916E-51.00.07.658257E-49.404412E-49.804036E-41.04249324.0E-50.00763191840.00936598050.0094551371.00951929.0E-5
7.11.3139281E-51.620179E-51.620179E-51.00.05.6309986E-56.943446E-56.943446E-51.00.06.853584E-48.4504933E-48.75024E-41.03547083.0E-50.00683248560.0084196570.0084989831.00942168.0E-5
7.21.1127404E-51.3867326E-51.3867326E-51.00.04.7688E-55.9430102E-55.9430102E-51.00.05.8044674E-47.2333217E-47.533105E-41.04144483.0E-50.00578932980.0072108860.0072803811.00963767.0E-5
7.39.808154E-61.2176835E-51.2176835E-51.00.04.2034266E-55.2185453E-55.2185453E-51.00.05.11647E-46.351834E-46.651643E-41.04720043.0E-50.00510470570.00633475460.00639437461.00941166.0E-5
7.47.942452E-69.792561E-69.792561E-61.00.03.4038632E-54.1967498E-54.1967498E-51.00.04.1434157E-45.10844E-45.308337E-41.03913092.0E-50.00413569850.0050976380.0051374341.00780684.0E-5
7.54.7121216E-65.773085E-65.773085E-61.00.02.019465E-52.4741601E-52.4741601E-51.00.02.4584212E-43.0119502E-43.11192E-41.03319111.0E-50.00245570320.00300862060.00302856041.00662762.0E-5
7.62.21172E-72.6040448E-72.6040448E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160189E-61.1160189E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587473E-51.3587473E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3586924E-41.3586924E-41.00.0

Santa Ynez (West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.7352758E-55.4976248E-55.4976248E-51.00.02.0292461E-42.3559289E-42.4559052E-41.04243611.0E-50.00246780760.00286483740.00292466531.02088366.0E-50.0244058180.0283071720.0283849071.00274618.0E-5
6.14.7352758E-55.4976248E-55.4976248E-51.00.02.0292461E-42.3559289E-42.4559052E-41.04243611.0E-50.00246780760.00286483740.00291469411.0174035.0E-50.0244058180.0283071720.0283654741.00205966.0E-5
6.23.0415853E-53.3927645E-53.3927645E-51.00.01.3034715E-41.4539632E-41.5539485E-41.06876751.0E-50.00158582120.00176879820.00180872751.02257424.0E-50.0157455220.0175511460.0176002681.00279885.0E-5
6.33.0415853E-53.3927645E-53.3927645E-51.00.01.3034715E-41.4539632E-41.5539485E-41.06876751.0E-50.00158582120.00176879820.00180872751.02257424.0E-50.0157455220.0175511460.0176002681.00279885.0E-5
6.42.5452082E-52.7914315E-52.7914315E-51.00.01.09075794E-41.196274E-41.296262E-41.08358291.0E-50.00132718870.00145550930.00148546571.02058143.0E-50.0131929020.0144619350.0145013561.00272584.0E-5
6.52.3143784E-52.512982E-52.512982E-51.00.09.9183875E-51.0769487E-41.0769487E-41.00.00.00120689480.00131041090.00133038461.01524232.0E-50.0120036110.0130285060.0130581161.00227263.0E-5
6.61.9118515E-52.035546E-52.035546E-51.00.08.193392E-58.723481E-58.723481E-51.00.09.97089E-40.00106157420.00107156361.009411.0E-50.009926270.0105659430.0105758371.00093641.0E-5
6.71.722807E-51.8147268E-51.8147268E-51.00.07.3832496E-57.777172E-57.777172E-51.00.08.985399E-49.4646495E-49.564555E-41.01055561.0E-50.0089491540.0094249860.0094348921.00105111.0E-5
6.81.5317364E-51.5927215E-51.5927215E-51.00.06.56442E-56.825773E-56.825773E-51.00.07.98925E-48.3072524E-48.4071694E-41.01202761.0E-50.0079605890.0082766870.0082866041.00119821.0E-5
6.91.3071226E-51.3330136E-51.3330136E-51.00.05.6018336E-55.7127916E-55.7127916E-51.00.06.8180985E-46.953127E-47.053057E-41.0143721.0E-50.00679721730.00693163280.00694156341.00143271.0E-5
7.01.1836986E-51.1933195E-51.1933195E-51.00.05.0728955E-55.1141273E-55.1141273E-51.00.06.1745E-46.224688E-46.3246256E-41.01605511.0E-50.0061573720.00620744560.0062173841.0016011.0E-5
7.11.0597169E-51.0542524E-51.0542524E-51.00.04.541565E-54.518147E-54.518147E-51.00.05.5279525E-45.499467E-45.599412E-41.01817361.0E-50.00551422130.00548598870.0054959341.00181281.0E-5
7.29.59113E-69.4594225E-69.4594225E-61.00.04.11042E-54.053976E-54.053976E-51.00.05.0032866E-44.9346086E-45.034559E-41.02025511.0E-50.0049920370.004923770.0049337211.0020211.0E-5
7.38.586084E-68.3798195E-68.3798195E-61.00.03.679698E-53.591302E-53.591302E-51.00.04.4791115E-44.3715438E-44.4715E-41.02286521.0E-50.0044700940.00436305530.0043730121.0022821.0E-5
7.47.2622997E-66.951717E-66.951717E-61.00.03.112377E-52.9792738E-52.9792738E-51.00.03.78866E-43.6266717E-43.7266355E-41.02756351.0E-50.00378220740.00362085340.00363081741.00275181.0E-5
7.55.627296E-65.251687E-65.251687E-61.00.02.411676E-52.250704E-52.250704E-51.00.02.9358198E-42.7398948E-42.7398948E-41.00.00.00293194430.00273658870.00273658871.00.0
7.62.265244E-62.0609377E-62.0609377E-61.00.09.708152E-68.832561E-68.832561E-61.00.01.18190335E-41.0753121E-41.0753121E-41.00.00.0011812750.00107480040.00107480041.00.0
7.71.3099874E-61.1016689E-61.1016689E-61.00.05.61422E-64.7214294E-64.7214294E-61.00.06.8350986E-55.7481913E-55.7481913E-51.00.06.832996E-45.746728E-45.746728E-41.00.0
7.87.903951E-76.071319E-76.071319E-71.00.03.3874032E-62.6019911E-62.6019911E-61.00.04.1240855E-53.1678795E-53.1678795E-51.00.04.12332E-43.1674412E-43.1674412E-41.00.0
7.97.0753297E-95.0901185E-95.0901185E-91.00.03.032284E-82.1814794E-82.1814794E-81.00.03.6918053E-72.6559508E-72.6559508E-71.00.03.691799E-62.6559487E-62.6559487E-61.00.0

Baker

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.695525E-65.8349133E-65.8349133E-61.00.02.4409164E-52.5006555E-52.5006555E-51.00.02.9714106E-43.0441626E-43.3440714E-41.09851923.0E-50.00296744050.00304038850.00311017551.02295347.0E-5
6.15.695525E-65.8349133E-65.8349133E-61.00.02.4409164E-52.5006555E-52.5006555E-51.00.02.9714106E-43.0441626E-43.3440714E-41.09851923.0E-50.00296744050.00304038850.00311017551.02295347.0E-5
6.25.695525E-65.8349133E-65.8349133E-61.00.02.4409164E-52.5006555E-52.5006555E-51.00.02.9714106E-43.0441626E-43.3440714E-41.09851923.0E-50.00296744050.00304038850.00311017551.02295347.0E-5
6.33.2995713E-63.3837132E-63.3837132E-61.00.01.4140943E-51.450155E-51.450155E-51.00.01.7215237E-41.7654254E-42.0653725E-41.16990073.0E-50.00172019070.001764070.00183394661.0396117.0E-5
6.43.2995713E-63.3837132E-63.3837132E-61.00.01.4140943E-51.450155E-51.450155E-51.00.01.7215237E-41.7654254E-42.0653725E-41.16990073.0E-50.00172019070.001764070.00183394661.0396117.0E-5
6.52.782202E-62.855881E-62.855881E-61.00.01.1923668E-51.2239434E-51.2239434E-51.00.01.4516099E-41.4900525E-41.7900078E-41.20130523.0E-50.0014506620.00148908620.0015589821.04693877.0E-5
6.62.3163404E-62.3809555E-62.3809555E-61.00.09.927136E-61.0204057E-51.0204057E-51.00.01.20856166E-41.242275E-41.4422502E-41.1609752.0E-50.00120790470.00124160080.00130152631.04826476.0E-5
6.72.037056E-62.0965333E-62.0965333E-61.00.08.7302105E-68.985113E-68.985113E-61.00.01.0628513E-41.0938842E-41.2938623E-41.18281472.0E-50.00106234310.00109336190.00113331811.03654444.0E-5
6.81.8356744E-61.8915596E-61.8915596E-61.00.07.867153E-68.106659E-68.106659E-61.00.09.577837E-59.869425E-51.0869326E-41.1013131.0E-59.57371E-49.865181E-40.00101648851.030383.0E-5
6.91.6310546E-61.6832361E-61.6832361E-61.00.06.9902153E-67.2138496E-67.2138496E-61.00.08.510255E-58.7825196E-59.782431E-51.11385251.0E-58.5069967E-48.779161E-49.0788974E-41.03414183.0E-5
7.01.2058036E-61.2508916E-61.2508916E-61.00.05.1677193E-65.3609533E-65.3609533E-61.00.06.291517E-56.5267675E-57.526702E-51.15320521.0E-56.289736E-46.5248733E-46.8246777E-41.04594793.0E-5
7.11.052382E-61.0951846E-61.0951846E-61.00.04.5102006E-64.69364E-64.69364E-61.00.05.491031E-55.714358E-56.714301E-51.17498781.0E-55.4896745E-45.7128974E-46.012726E-41.05248273.0E-5
7.21.0067454E-61.0487945E-61.0487945E-61.00.04.3146156E-64.4948256E-64.4948256E-61.00.05.252918E-55.472314E-56.472259E-51.1827281.0E-55.251676E-45.470975E-45.7708105E-41.05480483.0E-5
7.39.3596316E-79.76795E-79.76795E-71.00.04.0112645E-64.186258E-64.186258E-61.00.04.8836053E-55.0966508E-56.0966E-51.19619731.0E-54.8825322E-45.09549E-45.295388E-41.03923032.0E-5
7.48.8117395E-79.207884E-79.207884E-71.00.03.7764542E-63.94623E-63.94623E-61.00.04.5977362E-54.80443E-55.804382E-51.20813121.0E-54.596785E-44.803399E-45.003303E-41.04161722.0E-5
7.58.292386E-78.6748094E-78.6748094E-71.00.03.5538749E-63.7177701E-63.7177701E-61.00.04.326757E-54.5262917E-55.5262466E-51.22092141.0E-54.3259145E-44.5253773E-44.625332E-41.02208761.0E-5
7.67.553842E-77.9146724E-77.9146724E-71.00.03.2373566E-63.391998E-63.391998E-61.00.03.9414106E-54.12968E-55.1296385E-51.24213951.0E-53.9407116E-44.1289197E-44.2288782E-41.02420941.0E-5
7.76.5285366E-76.8529783E-76.8529783E-71.00.02.797941E-62.9369874E-62.9369874E-61.00.03.40644E-53.5757243E-53.5757243E-51.00.03.405918E-43.5751556E-43.5751556E-41.00.0
7.83.4586725E-73.648368E-73.648368E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635853E-61.5635853E-61.00.01.80467E-51.903649E-51.903649E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.9034903E-41.9034903E-41.00.0
7.92.5591178E-92.6697329E-92.6697329E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14417125E-81.14417125E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3930286E-71.3930286E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3930285E-61.3930285E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.986481E-40.00122811810.00123810571.00813261.0E-50.00256311240.00524788160.0052578291.00189551.0E-50.0307628460.0612321760.061260341.00045993.0E-50.268354770.426077280.426117451.00009437.0E-5
6.15.015945E-40.00102224620.00103223591.00977241.0E-50.002147920.0043698480.00437980421.00227841.0E-50.0258393510.0512715880.051290561.000372.0E-50.230327760.37299490.37303251.00010096.0E-5
6.24.073338E-48.1118365E-48.211755E-41.01231771.0E-50.00174454840.00346911350.00347907891.00287261.0E-50.0210340580.0409563670.040975551.00046842.0E-50.191507820.31318460.313218951.00010975.0E-5
6.33.464099E-46.743695E-46.843628E-41.01481871.0E-50.00148376920.00288493280.0028949041.00345621.0E-50.0179158730.034212960.0342322771.00056462.0E-50.165383590.271476840.271513251.00013425.0E-5
6.42.935057E-45.5487157E-45.64866E-41.01801221.0E-50.00125727510.00237450960.0023844861.00420141.0E-50.0152002480.0282880920.0283075251.0006872.0E-50.142015770.233154360.23319271.00016455.0E-5
6.52.3409708E-44.2138255E-44.313783E-41.02372151.0E-50.00100288750.00180395180.00181393371.00553331.0E-50.0121419650.021611230.0216210151.00045281.0E-50.114995730.187003140.187035661.00017394.0E-5
6.61.5842178E-42.511574E-42.611549E-41.03980571.0E-56.7877385E-40.00107593440.00108592361.00928431.0E-50.00823280.0130194290.0130292981.0007581.0E-50.079343960.123339280.123365581.00021333.0E-5
6.71.5616413E-42.46522E-42.5651953E-41.04055431.0E-56.691031E-40.00105608730.00106607671.00945891.0E-50.00811594350.01278126150.01279113351.00077241.0E-50.07825860.121366430.121392791.00021723.0E-5
6.81.5538467E-42.4475955E-42.5475712E-41.04084651.0E-56.6576427E-40.00104854140.00105853091.00952711.0E-50.0080755960.012690620.01270049251.0007781.0E-50.077883580.1205971760.120623561.00021873.0E-5
6.91.5153569E-42.3584829E-42.4584593E-41.04239011.0E-56.49277E-40.00101038880.00102037881.00988721.0E-50.0078763330.0122326220.01224251.00080751.0E-50.076029520.1166667040.1166932061.00022713.0E-5
7.01.4588932E-42.2441633E-42.344141E-41.04455011.0E-56.250901E-49.6143177E-49.714222E-41.01039111.0E-50.00758394740.0116431070.011652991.00084891.0E-50.0733028950.11151230.1115389541.0002393.0E-5
7.11.1565079E-41.631913E-41.7318968E-41.06126771.0E-54.955521E-46.992047E-47.091977E-41.0142921.0E-50.0060166690.0084797930.00848970751.00116931.0E-50.0585635380.083840110.0838675951.00032783.0E-5
7.21.0393792E-41.4650873E-41.5650726E-41.06824531.0E-54.4537216E-46.277442E-46.377379E-41.015921.0E-50.0054089330.0076161730.0076260971.0013031.0E-50.0527915950.075780920.0758086441.00036593.0E-5
7.39.332884E-51.2811464E-41.3811335E-41.07804511.0E-53.999194E-45.4894784E-45.589423E-41.01820671.0E-50.00485815340.0066630940.00667302731.00149081.0E-50.0475331020.066627870.066655871.00042023.0E-5
7.48.670252E-51.1729612E-41.2729494E-41.08524431.0E-53.715293E-45.026014E-45.1259634E-41.01988651.0E-50.0045139910.0061021240.00611206331.00162881.0E-50.0442339370.0612778550.0613060151.00045963.0E-5
7.57.3036405E-59.0276684E-51.0027578E-41.11076061.0E-53.129756E-43.868428E-43.9683894E-41.02584031.0E-50.00380382170.00469966140.00470961441.00211791.0E-50.037393670.0479830470.0480116051.00059523.0E-5
7.66.3935775E-58.298909E-59.298826E-51.12048781.0E-52.7398168E-43.5561912E-43.656156E-41.028111.0E-50.00333062540.0043210860.0043310431.00230421.0E-50.0328114740.0440818330.044110511.00065053.0E-5
7.75.5050095E-56.678156E-57.6780896E-51.14973191.0E-52.3590765E-42.8617532E-42.9617245E-41.03493361.0E-50.00286839270.00347862230.00348858741.00286471.0E-50.02831650.0358760840.0359050071.00080623.0E-5
7.85.027131E-56.177745E-57.1776834E-51.16186131.0E-52.1543067E-42.6473365E-42.7473102E-41.03776381.0E-50.00261971350.0032183720.00322833981.00309721.0E-50.0258904530.0331995260.033228531.00087373.0E-5
7.93.7271806E-55.0343926E-56.0343424E-51.19862371.0E-51.5972654E-42.1574185E-42.257397E-41.04634171.0E-50.00194293590.00262349520.0026334691.00380171.0E-50.0192603620.0271259230.0271551091.0010763.0E-5
8.02.7310243E-53.1506035E-54.1505722E-51.31738951.0E-51.17038646E-41.3501888E-41.4501753E-41.07405381.0E-50.00142401410.00164261620.00165259981.00607791.0E-50.0141492350.017253780.0172734351.00113922.0E-5
8.11.7940547E-51.7449367E-52.7449192E-51.57307671.0E-57.688579E-57.478086E-58.478011E-51.13371411.0E-59.3568244E-49.1007724E-49.200681E-41.01097811.0E-50.0093175250.0098246350.0098345371.00100781.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.494016E-65.494016E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3545572E-52.3545572E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.866297E-42.866297E-41.00.00.00450013950.00325922180.00325922181.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.690063E-77.690063E-71.00.08.498917E-63.295737E-63.295737E-61.00.01.034694E-44.012488E-54.012488E-51.00.00.00103421244.737206E-44.737206E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Coachella) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1925945E-43.2748378E-43.2748378E-41.00.05.110118E-40.00140275180.00142272381.01423762.0E-50.00620383540.0169461030.0170050861.00348076.0E-50.0603347530.152722540.152781841.00038847.0E-5
6.11.1925945E-43.2748378E-43.2748378E-41.00.05.110118E-40.00140275180.00142272381.01423762.0E-50.00620383540.0169461030.0170050861.00348076.0E-50.0603347530.152722540.152781841.00038847.0E-5
6.21.07432395E-43.0248926E-43.0248926E-41.00.04.603433E-40.00129574260.00131571671.01541522.0E-50.0055902860.0156626530.0157217141.00377076.0E-50.054517310.141903180.141963241.00042337.0E-5
6.31.0718766E-43.0194232E-43.0194232E-41.00.04.592948E-40.00129340080.0013133751.01544312.0E-50.0055775860.0156345520.0156936141.00377766.0E-50.0543965550.141671430.141731521.00042417.0E-5
6.41.0355944E-42.94023E-42.94023E-41.00.04.4375064E-40.0012594940.00127946881.01585942.0E-50.00538928850.0152275780.01528666451.00388036.0E-50.0526044960.138226510.138286831.00043647.0E-5
6.51.0227914E-42.9121726E-42.9121726E-41.00.04.382655E-40.0012474810.0012674561.01601232.0E-50.00532283540.0150833540.0151424491.00391796.0E-50.0519713160.137000290.13706071.0004417.0E-5
6.61.0116757E-42.8887467E-42.8887467E-41.00.04.3350324E-40.00123745090.00125742611.01614222.0E-50.00526513670.0149629210.0150220231.00394996.0E-50.0514212470.135979160.136039641.00044487.0E-5
6.71.0050676E-42.8746025E-42.8746025E-41.00.04.3067214E-40.00123139480.00125137021.01622182.0E-50.0052308340.0148901980.0149493051.00396966.0E-50.0510940850.135364530.135425061.00044727.0E-5
6.89.976819E-52.854966E-42.854966E-41.00.04.2750788E-40.0012229870.00124296251.01633352.0E-50.00519249360.0147892280.014848341.0039976.0E-50.0507282950.134516250.134576841.00045047.0E-5
6.99.77719E-52.8046442E-42.8046442E-41.00.04.1895514E-40.00120144060.00122141651.01662672.0E-50.00508885550.0145304290.01458955651.00406926.0E-50.0497388880.132344380.132405121.0004597.0E-5
7.08.500761E-52.4780032E-42.4780032E-41.00.03.6426744E-40.00106157230.00108155121.01881992.0E-50.00442594060.0128488270.0128981841.00384145.0E-50.043388230.118210550.118263451.00044756.0E-5
7.18.319876E-52.4382581E-42.4382581E-41.00.03.5651738E-40.00104455240.00106453161.0191272.0E-50.0043319630.0126440330.01269340051.00390455.0E-50.0424848460.1164303940.1164834051.00045546.0E-5
7.27.563917E-52.2430507E-42.2430507E-41.00.03.2412758E-49.609563E-49.809372E-41.02079262.0E-50.00393911450.0116375720.011686991.00424655.0E-50.038700180.107834920.107888451.00049646.0E-5
7.37.082985E-52.074602E-42.074602E-41.00.03.0352117E-48.888151E-49.087973E-41.02248192.0E-50.00368910960.0107682570.0108177191.00459335.0E-50.036284650.1003550.100408971.00053796.0E-5
7.45.146215E-51.4286964E-41.4286964E-41.00.02.2053342E-46.1215565E-46.3214346E-41.03265142.0E-50.00268168840.00742771570.0074773441.00668165.0E-50.026495570.070908320.070964071.00078626.0E-5
7.54.0285166E-51.0953038E-41.0953038E-41.00.01.7263928E-44.6933178E-44.893224E-41.04259382.0E-50.0020998570.0056992130.0057489281.00872315.0E-50.0208012540.0550625660.055119261.00102966.0E-5
7.63.1168736E-58.4490566E-58.4490566E-51.00.01.3357346E-43.620523E-43.7204867E-41.02761031.0E-50.00162504370.0043991040.0044389281.00905284.0E-50.0161321160.042856440.0429042951.00111665.0E-5
7.72.2100989E-56.247655E-56.247655E-51.00.09.4715084E-52.677292E-42.7772653E-41.03734111.0E-50.0011525460.00325473720.00329460721.01224984.0E-50.0114658670.0319411940.0319895971.00151545.0E-5
7.81.7484861E-55.1874897E-55.1874897E-51.00.07.493296E-52.2230206E-42.3229983E-41.04497391.0E-59.1192697E-40.00270317120.0027430631.01475744.0E-50.0090819380.0266767010.0267253671.00182435.0E-5
7.91.3967285E-53.8286966E-53.8286966E-51.00.05.985842E-51.6407667E-41.7407503E-41.06093721.0E-57.2853256E-40.00199580450.00203572471.0200024.0E-50.00726148770.0199394710.0199884751.00245765.0E-5
8.01.1887396E-53.1120293E-53.1120293E-51.00.05.094499E-51.3336587E-41.4336454E-41.07497171.0E-56.200787E-40.00162252120.00165247251.01845983.0E-50.0061835130.0163051060.0163444541.00241334.0E-5
8.15.100864E-68.995033E-68.995033E-61.00.02.1860664E-53.8549573E-53.8549573E-51.00.02.6612106E-44.692401E-44.692401E-41.00.00.0026580260.00492865830.00492865831.00.0
8.22.3004484E-62.7949095E-62.7949095E-61.00.09.859027E-61.1978128E-51.1978128E-51.00.01.2002704E-41.4582399E-41.4582399E-41.00.00.00119962230.0016017650.0016017651.00.0
8.31.0424446E-75.837541E-85.837541E-81.00.04.4676187E-72.501803E-72.501803E-71.00.05.439312E-63.0459412E-63.0459412E-61.00.05.4391792E-53.2025855E-53.2025855E-51.00.0

Dry Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.222801E-66.4395003E-61.6439435E-52.55290561.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597656E-53.759738E-51.36233961.0E-53.2464517E-43.3596557E-43.5595885E-41.05950992.0E-50.00324171320.00335613870.00342590391.02078747.0E-5
6.16.222801E-66.4395003E-61.6439435E-52.55290561.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597656E-53.759738E-51.36233961.0E-53.2464517E-43.3596557E-43.5595885E-41.05950992.0E-50.00324171320.00335613870.00342590391.02078747.0E-5
6.26.222801E-66.4395003E-61.6439435E-52.55290561.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597656E-53.759738E-51.36233961.0E-53.2464517E-43.3596557E-43.5595885E-41.05950992.0E-50.00324171320.00335613870.00342590391.02078747.0E-5
6.36.222801E-66.4395003E-61.6439435E-52.55290561.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597656E-53.759738E-51.36233961.0E-53.2464517E-43.3596557E-43.5595885E-41.05950992.0E-50.00324171320.00335613870.00342590391.02078747.0E-5
6.46.222801E-66.4395003E-61.6439435E-52.55290561.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597656E-53.759738E-51.36233961.0E-53.2464517E-43.3596557E-43.5595885E-41.05950992.0E-50.00324171320.00335613870.00342590391.02078747.0E-5
6.52.8528623E-62.952223E-62.952223E-61.00.01.22264955E-51.2652372E-51.2652372E-51.00.01.4884741E-41.5404043E-41.640389E-41.0649081.0E-50.00148747740.00154019010.00158012841.02593084.0E-5
6.62.8528623E-62.952223E-62.952223E-61.00.01.22264955E-51.2652372E-51.2652372E-51.00.01.4884741E-41.5404043E-41.640389E-41.0649081.0E-50.00148747740.00154019010.00158012841.02593084.0E-5
6.72.541E-62.6294065E-62.6294065E-61.00.01.0889954E-51.1268885E-51.1268885E-51.00.01.3257713E-41.3719867E-41.471973E-41.0728771.0E-50.00132498060.00137198670.00141193181.02911484.0E-5

San Jacinto (San Bernardino)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.409352E-53.604894E-55.604822E-51.55478132.0E-51.461069E-41.5448632E-41.9448013E-41.25888264.0E-50.00177740.00187924980.00192915591.02655645.0E-50.017632510.0193815140.0194501561.00354177.0E-5
6.13.409352E-53.604894E-55.604822E-51.55478132.0E-51.461069E-41.5448632E-41.9448013E-41.25888264.0E-50.00177740.00187924980.00192915591.02655645.0E-50.017632510.0193815140.0194501561.00354177.0E-5
6.23.409352E-53.604894E-55.604822E-51.55478132.0E-51.461069E-41.5448632E-41.9448013E-41.25888264.0E-50.00177740.00187924980.00192915591.02655645.0E-50.017632510.0193815140.0194501561.00354177.0E-5
6.33.409352E-53.604894E-55.604822E-51.55478132.0E-51.461069E-41.5448632E-41.9448013E-41.25888264.0E-50.00177740.00187924980.00192915591.02655645.0E-50.017632510.0193815140.0194501561.00354177.0E-5
6.43.400795E-53.594159E-55.594087E-51.55643842.0E-51.4574021E-41.540263E-41.9402013E-41.2596564.0E-50.00177294280.00187365890.00192356521.02663585.0E-50.0175886450.019326590.0193952361.0035527.0E-5
6.53.341482E-53.5202123E-55.520142E-51.56812752.0E-51.4319851E-41.5085752E-41.908515E-41.26511094.0E-50.00174204770.00183514450.00188505271.02719585.0E-50.0172845460.0189480950.0190167671.00362437.0E-5
6.63.3364955E-53.5139332E-55.513863E-51.56914282.0E-51.4298483E-41.5058846E-41.9058243E-41.26558464.0E-50.00173945010.0018318740.00188178241.02724445.0E-50.0172589760.0189159550.018984631.00363067.0E-5
6.73.335922E-53.5129106E-55.5128403E-51.56930852.0E-51.4296026E-41.5054463E-41.905386E-41.2656624.0E-50.00173915140.00183134140.00188124981.02725245.0E-50.0172560350.0189107470.0189794231.00363167.0E-5
6.83.327683E-53.5023157E-55.5022454E-51.57103072.0E-51.4260718E-41.5009061E-41.9008461E-41.26646574.0E-50.00173485970.0018258230.00187573171.02733495.0E-50.0172137840.0188565140.0189251941.00364227.0E-5
6.93.3235785E-53.49641E-55.49634E-51.57199532.0E-51.4243131E-41.4983755E-41.8983155E-41.26691584.0E-50.00173272170.0018227470.00187265591.02738125.0E-50.0171927340.018826380.0188950621.00364827.0E-5
7.03.3197095E-53.4904017E-55.490332E-51.57297992.0E-51.422655E-41.4958008E-41.895741E-41.26737524.0E-50.00173070630.00181961770.00186952671.02742835.0E-50.0171728940.0187957530.0188644361.00365427.0E-5
7.13.3129716E-53.4784203E-55.4783508E-51.57495372.0E-51.4197677E-41.4906665E-41.8906068E-41.26829644.0E-50.00172719660.0018133770.00186328641.02752295.0E-50.0171383380.018734820.0188035091.00366647.0E-5
7.23.3034008E-53.4651628E-55.4650936E-51.57715342.0E-51.4156665E-41.4849853E-41.8849259E-41.26932294.0E-50.00172221110.00180647180.00185638141.02762835.0E-50.0170892530.0186671990.0187358931.00367997.0E-5
7.33.2956614E-53.4519344E-55.4518656E-51.57936532.0E-51.4123498E-41.4793167E-41.8792575E-41.27035514.0E-50.00171817960.00179958170.00184949161.02773435.0E-50.0170495570.0185999350.0186686331.00369357.0E-5
7.43.2915937E-53.4441007E-55.444032E-51.58068312.0E-51.4106068E-41.4759599E-41.8759008E-41.27097014.0E-50.00171606080.00179550140.00184541161.02779735.0E-50.0170286930.018560180.0186288821.00370167.0E-5
7.53.281791E-53.4305875E-55.430519E-51.58297052.0E-51.406406E-41.4701691E-41.8701103E-41.27203754.0E-50.00171095420.00178846270.00183837341.0279075.0E-50.0169784110.0184910470.0185597521.00371567.0E-5
7.63.2521442E-53.403071E-55.4030028E-51.58768452.0E-51.3937015E-41.4583775E-41.8583192E-41.27423744.0E-50.00169551090.001774130.00182404141.02813285.0E-50.0168263280.0183486080.0184173251.0037457.0E-5
7.73.0287873E-53.2514057E-55.2513406E-51.61509862.0E-51.297987E-41.3933852E-41.7933294E-41.28703074.0E-50.00157915370.00169512760.00174504291.02944645.0E-50.015679790.0175592860.0176280571.00391657.0E-5
7.82.6316151E-52.9722758E-54.9722163E-51.6728652.0E-51.1277862E-41.2737703E-41.6737194E-41.31398834.0E-50.00137221490.00154971320.00159963571.0322145.0E-50.0136377240.0160996730.0161685461.0042787.0E-5
7.92.0761147E-52.346946E-54.346899E-51.85215132.0E-58.897331E-51.0057953E-41.405755E-41.39765524.0E-50.00108271170.00122386870.00127380751.0408045.0E-50.0107745170.0128197430.0128888451.00539037.0E-5
8.01.5738568E-51.6071699E-53.607138E-52.24440362.0E-56.744926E-56.887689E-59.887483E-51.43552973.0E-58.2088535E-48.3825423E-48.782207E-41.04767824.0E-50.0081785960.0088860660.0089257111.00446144.0E-5
8.11.0105832E-58.352162E-61.8352079E-52.19728471.0E-54.3309992E-53.5794492E-54.5794135E-51.27936261.0E-55.2717153E-44.357113E-44.4570694E-41.0229411.0E-50.0052592270.0046889830.0046989361.00212261.0E-5
8.24.189207E-61.5843941E-61.5843941E-61.00.01.7953622E-56.790243E-66.790243E-61.00.02.1856341E-48.26681E-58.26681E-51.00.00.00218348589.600267E-49.600267E-41.00.0
8.31.2758221E-63.6306494E-73.6306494E-71.00.05.4677976E-61.5559917E-61.5559917E-61.00.06.65684E-51.8944038E-51.8944038E-51.00.06.6548464E-42.2845245E-42.2845245E-41.00.0

San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0667746E-53.5335263E-55.5334556E-51.56598682.0E-51.742787E-41.5142806E-41.8142351E-41.19808393.0E-50.00211977820.00184207880.00188200511.02167464.0E-50.0209967140.0190191770.0190780351.00309476.0E-5
6.14.0667746E-53.5335263E-55.5334556E-51.56598682.0E-51.742787E-41.5142806E-41.8142351E-41.19808393.0E-50.00211977820.00184207880.00188200511.02167464.0E-50.0209967140.0190191770.0190780351.00309476.0E-5
6.24.0667746E-53.5335263E-55.5334556E-51.56598682.0E-51.742787E-41.5142806E-41.8142351E-41.19808393.0E-50.00211977820.00184207880.00188200511.02167464.0E-50.0209967140.0190191770.0190780351.00309476.0E-5
6.34.0667746E-53.5335263E-55.5334556E-51.56598682.0E-51.742787E-41.5142806E-41.8142351E-41.19808393.0E-50.00211977820.00184207880.00188200511.02167464.0E-50.0209967140.0190191770.0190780351.00309476.0E-5
6.44.0577226E-53.5207147E-55.5206445E-51.56804652.0E-51.738908E-41.5087906E-41.8087454E-41.19880473.0E-50.00211506480.00183540720.00187533381.02175354.0E-50.0209504720.0189537350.0190125961.00310566.0E-5
6.54.0577226E-53.5207147E-55.5206445E-51.56804652.0E-51.738908E-41.5087906E-41.8087454E-41.19880473.0E-50.00211506480.00183540720.00187533381.02175354.0E-50.0209504720.0189537350.0190125961.00310566.0E-5
6.64.053861E-53.515248E-55.5151777E-51.56892992.0E-51.7372532E-41.506448E-41.8064027E-41.1991143.0E-50.00211305380.00183256040.0018724871.02178744.0E-50.0209307430.0189258070.0189846721.00311036.0E-5
6.74.0516545E-53.5121546E-55.5120843E-51.56943112.0E-51.7363077E-41.5051225E-41.8050773E-41.19928933.0E-50.0021119050.00183094960.00187087631.02180664.0E-50.0209194680.0189100020.0189688671.00311296.0E-5
6.84.049434E-53.5093104E-55.50924E-51.56989252.0E-51.7353562E-41.5039036E-41.8038585E-41.19945093.0E-50.00211074880.00182946810.00186939491.02182424.0E-50.0209081250.0188954120.0189542791.00311546.0E-5
6.94.046386E-53.5055655E-55.5054952E-51.57050132.0E-51.73405E-41.5022988E-41.8022538E-41.1996643.0E-50.00210916160.00182751760.00186744451.02184764.0E-50.0208925530.0188761820.0189350491.00311866.0E-5
7.04.036382E-53.4936198E-55.49355E-51.57245222.0E-51.7297632E-41.4971798E-41.7971349E-41.20034673.0E-50.00210395250.00182129570.00186122291.02192234.0E-50.020841440.0188147820.0188736521.0031296.0E-5
7.14.0343282E-53.4914654E-55.4913955E-51.57280542.0E-51.7288832E-41.4962567E-41.7962119E-41.20047033.0E-50.0021028830.00182017370.00186010091.02193594.0E-50.0208309480.0188036520.0188625231.00313096.0E-5
7.24.0257353E-53.4819048E-55.4818353E-51.57437832.0E-51.725201E-41.4921598E-41.792115E-41.20102083.0E-50.00209840850.0018151940.00185512151.02199634.0E-50.0207870420.0187543390.0188132131.00313936.0E-5
7.33.9940667E-53.4646426E-55.464573E-51.57724012.0E-51.7116306E-41.4847625E-41.7847179E-41.20202263.0E-50.00208191850.00180620270.00184613051.02210594.0E-50.0206252170.0186628270.0187217071.0031556.0E-5
7.43.9721202E-53.4531695E-55.4531003E-51.57915812.0E-51.7022261E-41.479846E-41.7798015E-41.20269383.0E-50.00207049030.00180022690.00184015491.02217944.0E-50.0205130520.0186018850.0186607691.00316556.0E-5
7.53.7036873E-53.3597462E-55.3596792E-51.5952632.0E-51.5871979E-41.4398119E-41.7397688E-41.20833053.0E-50.00193070060.00175156460.00179149451.02279684.0E-50.0191401240.0181025360.018161451.00325446.0E-5
7.63.2940967E-53.1371335E-55.1370705E-51.63750472.0E-51.4116794E-41.3444165E-41.6443763E-41.22311513.0E-50.00171736450.00163560060.00167553511.02441594.0E-50.017041530.0169317160.01699071.00348376.0E-5
7.72.8236149E-52.7935872E-54.7935315E-51.71590542.0E-51.2100645E-41.19719676E-41.4971608E-41.25055543.0E-50.00147225790.00145661350.00149655531.0274214.0E-50.0146254210.0151418610.0152009521.00390266.0E-5
7.82.4329287E-52.5257565E-54.525706E-51.7918222.0E-51.042642E-41.08242224E-41.3823897E-41.27712623.0E-50.00126867740.00131705320.00135700061.03033084.0E-50.0126145890.0137380720.0137972471.00430746.0E-5
7.91.9370926E-52.0466443E-54.046603E-51.97718942.0E-58.301561E-58.771038E-51.1770775E-41.34200483.0E-50.00101024650.00106735140.00110730881.03743594.0E-50.01005666050.0112230380.0112823651.00528616.0E-5
8.01.5583017E-51.5924119E-53.59238E-52.25593642.0E-56.6782646E-56.8244444E-59.8242395E-51.43956633.0E-58.127754E-48.3056005E-48.705268E-41.04812034.0E-50.0080980910.0088017060.0088413541.00450464.0E-5
8.11.0024873E-58.313899E-61.8313816E-52.2027951.0E-54.2963035E-53.5630514E-54.5630157E-51.28064841.0E-55.229494E-44.3371567E-44.4371132E-41.02304661.0E-50.00521720430.0046650640.00467501771.00213361.0E-5
8.24.142796E-61.5668816E-61.5668816E-61.00.01.775472E-56.7151896E-66.7151896E-61.00.02.1614227E-48.175439E-58.175439E-51.00.00.00215932179.488576E-49.488576E-41.00.0
8.31.2750878E-63.6277774E-73.6277774E-71.00.05.4646503E-61.5547608E-61.5547608E-61.00.06.653009E-51.8929053E-51.8929053E-51.00.06.6510175E-42.2828147E-42.2828147E-41.00.0

San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.652694E-53.4466113E-55.4465425E-51.58026022.0E-51.5653463E-41.4770357E-41.7769914E-41.20307953.0E-50.00190414310.00179680960.00183673771.02222174.0E-50.0188790990.0185593780.0186182631.00317296.0E-5
6.13.652694E-53.4466113E-55.4465425E-51.58026022.0E-51.5653463E-41.4770357E-41.7769914E-41.20307953.0E-50.00190414310.00179680960.00183673771.02222174.0E-50.0188790990.0185593780.0186182631.00317296.0E-5
6.23.652694E-53.4466113E-55.4465425E-51.58026022.0E-51.5653463E-41.4770357E-41.7769914E-41.20307953.0E-50.00190414310.00179680960.00183673771.02222174.0E-50.0188790990.0185593780.0186182631.00317296.0E-5
6.33.652694E-53.4466113E-55.4465425E-51.58026022.0E-51.5653463E-41.4770357E-41.7769914E-41.20307953.0E-50.00190414310.00179680960.00183673771.02222174.0E-50.0188790990.0185593780.0186182631.00317296.0E-5
6.43.646941E-53.4387675E-55.4386986E-51.58158372.0E-51.5628811E-41.4736745E-41.7736302E-41.20354283.0E-50.00190114680.00179272440.00183265261.02227254.0E-50.0188496450.0185192530.018578141.00317996.0E-5
6.53.646941E-53.4387675E-55.4386986E-51.58158372.0E-51.5628811E-41.4736745E-41.7736302E-41.20354283.0E-50.00190114680.00179272440.00183265261.02227254.0E-50.0188496450.0185192530.018578141.00317996.0E-5
6.63.6442503E-53.435106E-55.435037E-51.58220372.0E-51.561728E-41.4721052E-41.7720611E-41.20375983.0E-50.00189974550.00179081710.00183074551.02229624.0E-50.0188358690.0185005180.0185594071.00318316.0E-5
6.73.6432113E-53.433663E-55.4335942E-51.58244842.0E-51.5612828E-41.4714869E-41.7714428E-41.20384543.0E-50.00189920440.00179006570.00182999411.02230564.0E-50.0188305490.018493140.0185520311.00318446.0E-5
6.83.6409598E-53.4305678E-55.4304994E-51.58297382.0E-51.560318E-41.4701606E-41.7701165E-41.20402933.0E-50.00189803180.00178845370.00182838211.02232564.0E-50.0188190230.0184772930.0185361841.00318726.0E-5
6.93.638078E-53.4266093E-55.426541E-51.58364742.0E-51.5590832E-41.4684643E-41.7684203E-41.2042653.0E-50.00189653110.00178639180.00182632031.02235154.0E-50.0188042690.0184570230.0185159151.00319086.0E-5
7.03.6294874E-53.4148088E-55.4147407E-51.58566432.0E-51.5554018E-41.4634077E-41.7633637E-41.2049713.0E-50.00189205690.00178024530.00182017421.02242894.0E-50.0187602840.0183965950.018455491.00320156.0E-5
7.13.6260717E-53.4104367E-55.4103686E-51.58641522.0E-51.5539382E-41.461534E-41.7614901E-41.20523383.0E-50.0018902780.00177796790.00181789681.02245764.0E-50.0187427960.0183741880.0184330871.00320546.0E-5
7.23.6210204E-53.4038494E-55.4037813E-51.587552.0E-51.5517735E-41.4587112E-41.7586673E-41.2056313.0E-50.0018876470.00177453680.00181446591.02250114.0E-50.018716930.0183404160.0183993151.00321156.0E-5
7.33.6119454E-53.392659E-55.392591E-51.58948812.0E-51.5478847E-41.4539158E-41.7538722E-41.20630933.0E-50.00188292060.00176870790.00180863721.02257544.0E-50.0186704620.0182828740.0183417761.00322186.0E-5
7.43.607848E-53.3874043E-55.3873366E-51.59040262.0E-51.5461289E-41.4516641E-41.7516206E-41.20662943.0E-50.00188078660.0017659710.00180590021.02261044.0E-50.0186494810.0182558470.018314751.00322666.0E-5
7.53.5856774E-53.368289E-55.3682215E-51.59375332.0E-51.5366284E-41.4434727E-41.7434293E-41.20780223.0E-50.00186923960.00175601410.00179594381.02273884.0E-50.0185359440.0181564610.0182153731.00324466.0E-5
7.63.286655E-53.219922E-55.2198575E-51.62111312.0E-51.4084904E-41.3798937E-41.6798523E-41.2173783.0E-50.0017134880.00167872790.00171866071.02378764.0E-50.0170033610.0173726730.0174316321.00339376.0E-5
7.72.8882527E-52.9290912E-54.9290327E-51.68278562.0E-51.237764E-41.2552645E-41.5552268E-41.23896353.0E-50.00150593570.00152721420.0015671531.02615154.0E-50.0149577130.015858570.0159176181.00372356.0E-5
7.82.4950225E-52.6579837E-54.6579305E-51.75243012.0E-51.0692515E-41.13908616E-41.439052E-41.2633393.0E-50.00130103620.0013859560.00142590061.0288214.0E-50.0129344550.0144387620.0144978961.00409546.0E-5
7.91.9881603E-52.1554622E-54.155419E-51.92785532.0E-58.520408E-59.237368E-51.2237091E-41.32473783.0E-50.0010368660.00112407010.00116402521.0355454.0E-50.0103204150.0118017130.0118610061.0050246.0E-5
8.01.563292E-51.597515E-53.597483E-52.25192432.0E-56.6996516E-56.846314E-59.846109E-51.4381623.0E-58.153773E-48.3322066E-48.731873E-41.04796654.0E-50.008123920.0088304840.008870131.00448984.0E-5
8.11.0045313E-58.323337E-61.8323255E-52.2014311.0E-54.305063E-53.567096E-54.5670604E-51.28033011.0E-55.2401534E-44.3420793E-44.442036E-41.02302041.0E-50.00522781440.004670790.00468074341.0021311.0E-5
8.24.1554413E-61.571458E-61.571458E-61.00.01.7808914E-56.734803E-66.734803E-61.00.02.1680194E-48.199317E-58.199317E-51.00.00.00216590549.5169496E-49.5169496E-41.00.0
8.31.2758221E-63.6306494E-73.6306494E-71.00.05.4677976E-61.5559917E-61.5559917E-61.00.06.65684E-51.8944038E-51.8944038E-51.00.06.6548464E-42.2845245E-42.2845245E-41.00.0

Tin Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.083776E-64.18159E-61.4181548E-53.3914251.0E-51.750178E-51.7920998E-52.7920818E-51.55799461.0E-52.1306332E-42.1817003E-42.4816347E-41.13747743.0E-50.00212859150.00217992420.00223979331.02746396.0E-5
6.14.083776E-64.18159E-61.4181548E-53.3914251.0E-51.750178E-51.7920998E-52.7920818E-51.55799461.0E-52.1306332E-42.1817003E-42.4816347E-41.13747743.0E-50.00212859150.00217992420.00223979331.02746396.0E-5
6.24.083776E-64.18159E-61.4181548E-53.3914251.0E-51.750178E-51.7920998E-52.7920818E-51.55799461.0E-52.1306332E-42.1817003E-42.4816347E-41.13747743.0E-50.00212859150.00217992420.00223979331.02746396.0E-5
6.34.083776E-64.18159E-61.4181548E-53.3914251.0E-51.750178E-51.7920998E-52.7920818E-51.55799461.0E-52.1306332E-42.1817003E-42.4816347E-41.13747743.0E-50.00212859150.00217992420.00223979331.02746396.0E-5
6.44.083776E-64.18159E-61.4181548E-53.3914251.0E-51.750178E-51.7920998E-52.7920818E-51.55799461.0E-52.1306332E-42.1817003E-42.4816347E-41.13747743.0E-50.00212859150.00217992420.00223979331.02746396.0E-5
6.52.3143427E-62.3731893E-61.2373165E-55.2137291.0E-59.9185745E-61.01707765E-52.0170673E-51.98319911.0E-51.2075195E-41.2382293E-41.4382046E-41.16150092.0E-50.00120686360.00123761540.00127756581.03228024.0E-5
6.62.3143427E-62.3731893E-61.2373165E-55.2137291.0E-59.9185745E-61.01707765E-52.0170673E-51.98319911.0E-51.2075195E-41.2382293E-41.4382046E-41.16150092.0E-50.00120686360.00123761540.00127756581.03228024.0E-5
6.71.7029532E-61.7498172E-61.1749799E-56.7148731.0E-57.2983503E-67.499198E-61.7499124E-52.3334661.0E-58.885379E-59.1299444E-51.1129762E-41.21903942.0E-58.881827E-49.12672E-49.526355E-41.04378744.0E-5
6.81.2914646E-61.329959E-61.329959E-61.00.05.534837E-65.699814E-65.699814E-61.00.06.738455E-56.939347E-56.939347E-51.00.06.736412E-46.937614E-46.937614E-41.00.0
6.95.8708974E-76.11713E-76.11713E-71.00.02.5160964E-62.6216248E-62.6216248E-61.00.03.0633044E-53.1917854E-53.1917854E-51.00.03.0628822E-43.1913683E-43.1913683E-41.00.0
7.04.6248786E-74.8321306E-74.8321306E-71.00.01.9820893E-62.0709115E-62.0709115E-61.00.02.413167E-52.5213094E-52.5213094E-51.00.02.412905E-42.5210602E-42.5210602E-41.00.0
7.13.804606E-73.9872486E-73.9872486E-71.00.01.6305444E-61.7088199E-61.7088199E-61.00.01.9851697E-52.0804719E-52.0804719E-51.00.01.9849923E-42.0803107E-42.0803107E-41.00.0
7.23.5864858E-73.7617838E-73.7617838E-71.00.01.5370645E-61.6121922E-61.6121922E-61.00.01.87136E-51.9628298E-51.9628298E-51.00.01.8712023E-41.9626896E-41.9626896E-41.00.0
7.33.342063E-73.5064386E-73.5064386E-71.00.01.4323119E-61.5027588E-61.5027588E-61.00.01.7438259E-51.8295968E-51.8295968E-51.00.01.743689E-41.8294792E-41.8294792E-41.00.0
7.42.971242E-73.1166627E-73.1166627E-71.00.01.2733886E-61.3357121E-61.3357121E-61.00.01.5503398E-51.6262207E-51.6262207E-51.00.01.5502315E-41.6261345E-41.6261345E-41.00.0
7.51.4326713E-71.5012905E-71.5012905E-71.00.06.140018E-76.434102E-76.434102E-71.00.07.4754466E-67.83352E-67.83352E-61.00.07.475195E-57.833519E-57.833519E-51.00.0

Independence rev 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.422171E-64.3263026E-64.3263026E-61.00.01.8952025E-51.854118E-51.854118E-51.00.02.3071647E-42.2571848E-42.4571398E-41.0885862.0E-50.00230477080.0022551860.00230507321.02212115.0E-5
6.14.422171E-64.3263026E-64.3263026E-61.00.01.8952025E-51.854118E-51.854118E-51.00.02.3071647E-42.2571848E-42.4571398E-41.0885862.0E-50.00230477080.0022551860.00230507321.02212115.0E-5
6.24.422171E-64.3263026E-64.3263026E-61.00.01.8952025E-51.854118E-51.854118E-51.00.02.3071647E-42.2571848E-42.4571398E-41.0885862.0E-50.00230477080.0022551860.00230507321.02212115.0E-5
6.34.422171E-64.3263026E-64.3263026E-61.00.01.8952025E-51.854118E-51.854118E-51.00.02.3071647E-42.2571848E-42.4571398E-41.0885862.0E-50.00230477080.0022551860.00230507321.02212115.0E-5
6.44.422171E-64.3263026E-64.3263026E-61.00.01.8952025E-51.854118E-51.854118E-51.00.02.3071647E-42.2571848E-42.4571398E-41.0885862.0E-50.00230477080.0022551860.00230507321.02212115.0E-5
6.54.422171E-64.3263026E-64.3263026E-61.00.01.8952025E-51.854118E-51.854118E-51.00.02.3071647E-42.2571848E-42.4571398E-41.0885862.0E-50.00230477080.0022551860.00230507321.02212115.0E-5
6.62.663744E-62.5320423E-62.5320423E-61.00.01.1415996E-51.0851568E-51.0851568E-51.00.01.3898089E-41.3211032E-41.5210768E-41.15136862.0E-50.00138893990.0013203660.00136031331.03025464.0E-5
6.72.663744E-62.5320423E-62.5320423E-61.00.01.1415996E-51.0851568E-51.0851568E-51.00.01.3898089E-41.3211032E-41.5210768E-41.15136862.0E-50.00138893990.0013203660.00136031331.03025464.0E-5
6.81.9716529E-61.8323069E-61.8323069E-61.00.08.449913E-67.852721E-67.852721E-61.00.01.0287284E-49.560281E-51.156009E-41.20917892.0E-50.00102825239.5562974E-49.955915E-41.04181724.0E-5
6.91.8788617E-61.7430461E-61.7430461E-61.00.08.0522395E-67.470177E-67.470177E-61.00.09.80316E-59.094573E-51.1094391E-41.21989132.0E-59.798837E-49.0909714E-49.490608E-41.04395974.0E-5
7.01.5045488E-61.3849901E-61.3849901E-61.00.06.44805E-65.935659E-65.935659E-61.00.07.8502184E-57.22643E-59.226285E-51.27674192.0E-57.8474457E-47.224132E-47.6238427E-41.05532994.0E-5
7.11.272341E-61.1625449E-61.1625449E-61.00.05.4528787E-64.982326E-64.982326E-61.00.06.6386776E-56.0658163E-58.065695E-51.32969652.0E-56.636695E-46.064193E-46.46395E-41.0659214.0E-5
7.21.0416892E-69.4101864E-79.4101864E-71.00.04.464375E-64.032931E-64.032931E-61.00.05.4352407E-54.9099846E-56.909887E-51.40731322.0E-55.4339116E-44.9089186E-45.308722E-41.08144444.0E-5
7.37.9450155E-77.2352304E-77.2352304E-71.00.03.4050022E-63.1008094E-63.1008094E-61.00.04.1455114E-53.775171E-55.7750956E-51.52975732.0E-54.144738E-43.774541E-44.17439E-41.10593324.0E-5
7.45.3893444E-75.019647E-75.019647E-71.00.02.309717E-62.1512753E-62.1512753E-61.00.02.8120441E-52.6191468E-54.6190944E-51.76358752.0E-52.8116882E-42.6188427E-43.018738E-41.15269924.0E-5
7.53.8852085E-73.682647E-73.682647E-71.00.01.6650882E-61.5782763E-61.5782763E-61.00.02.027226E-51.9215347E-53.9214963E-52.04081462.0E-52.0270412E-41.9213707E-42.221313E-41.15610853.0E-5
7.62.414929E-72.345808E-72.345808E-71.00.01.0349692E-61.0053459E-61.0053459E-61.00.01.2600677E-51.2240019E-53.2239775E-52.63396432.0E-51.2599962E-41.2239357E-41.523899E-41.2450813.0E-5
7.76.8298014E-86.859071E-86.859071E-81.00.02.9270575E-72.9396014E-72.9396014E-71.00.03.5636867E-63.5789594E-61.3578923E-53.79409811.0E-53.5636294E-53.5789068E-55.578835E-51.55880992.0E-5

Elysian Park (Upper)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1876025E-53.703929E-53.703929E-51.00.01.3660437E-41.5873248E-41.5873248E-41.00.00.00166188950.00193132930.001941311.00516771.0E-50.0164951590.0191919040.0192311371.00204424.0E-5
6.13.1876025E-53.703929E-53.703929E-51.00.01.3660437E-41.5873248E-41.5873248E-41.00.00.00166188950.00193132930.001941311.00516771.0E-50.0164951590.0191919040.0192311371.00204424.0E-5
6.23.1876025E-53.703929E-53.703929E-51.00.01.3660437E-41.5873248E-41.5873248E-41.00.00.00166188950.00193132930.001941311.00516771.0E-50.0164951590.0191919040.0192311371.00204424.0E-5
6.33.1876025E-53.703929E-53.703929E-51.00.01.3660437E-41.5873248E-41.5873248E-41.00.00.00166188950.00193132930.001941311.00516771.0E-50.0164951590.0191919040.0192311371.00204424.0E-5
6.41.9273462E-52.1204301E-52.1204301E-51.00.08.259794E-59.0873385E-59.0873385E-51.00.00.0010051660.00110599340.00111598231.00903171.0E-50.0100063150.0110217030.0110612621.00358924.0E-5
6.51.9273462E-52.1204301E-52.1204301E-51.00.08.259794E-59.0873385E-59.0873385E-51.00.00.0010051660.00110599340.00111598231.00903171.0E-50.0100063150.0110217030.0110612621.00358924.0E-5
6.69.813258E-69.666103E-69.666103E-61.00.04.205614E-54.142554E-54.142554E-51.00.05.119132E-45.042465E-45.042465E-41.00.00.0051073560.00503174730.0050416971.00197731.0E-5
6.79.801478E-69.653672E-69.653672E-61.00.04.2005657E-54.1372266E-54.1372266E-51.00.05.112989E-45.035982E-45.035982E-41.00.00.00510124070.0050252930.0050352431.001981.0E-5
6.88.102489E-67.773402E-67.773402E-61.00.03.4724493E-53.3314183E-53.3314183E-51.00.04.2268867E-44.0552966E-44.0552966E-41.00.00.0042188560.00404839030.004058351.00246011.0E-5
6.96.08275E-65.4816855E-65.4816855E-61.00.02.6068668E-52.349273E-52.349273E-51.00.03.173398E-42.8598722E-42.8598722E-41.00.00.00316887020.00285626950.00285626951.00.0
7.05.5995934E-64.982991E-64.982991E-61.00.02.3998036E-52.1355505E-52.1355505E-51.00.02.9213692E-42.599729E-42.599729E-41.00.00.00291753160.0025967550.0025967551.00.0
7.14.709881E-64.087571E-64.087571E-61.00.02.0185047E-51.7518047E-51.7518047E-51.00.02.4572524E-42.1326175E-42.1326175E-41.00.00.0024545370.00213061250.00213061251.00.0
7.23.6063436E-62.97807E-62.97807E-61.00.01.5455667E-51.2763095E-51.2763095E-51.00.01.881565E-41.553797E-41.553797E-41.00.00.00187997260.0015527220.0015527221.00.0
7.32.471135E-62.0955465E-62.0955465E-61.00.01.0590536E-58.980883E-68.980883E-61.00.01.2893214E-41.09336834E-41.09336834E-41.00.00.00128857360.00109283770.00109283771.00.0
7.41.163943E-61.0275547E-61.0275547E-61.00.04.988318E-64.403799E-64.403799E-61.00.06.0731076E-55.3614964E-55.3614964E-51.00.06.071448E-45.3602323E-45.3602323E-41.00.0
7.54.99459E-74.9178317E-74.9178317E-71.00.02.140537E-62.1076405E-62.1076405E-61.00.02.6060725E-52.5660238E-52.5660238E-51.00.02.605767E-42.565743E-42.565743E-41.00.0
7.62.4667852E-72.4779692E-72.4779692E-71.00.01.0571932E-61.0619863E-61.0619863E-61.00.01.2871251E-51.292961E-51.292961E-51.00.01.2870505E-41.2928895E-41.2928895E-41.00.0
7.78.2312795E-87.387176E-87.387176E-81.00.03.527691E-73.1659323E-73.1659323E-71.00.04.294955E-63.8545168E-63.8545168E-61.00.04.2948723E-53.8544615E-53.8544615E-51.00.0
7.82.7819295E-81.7571175E-81.7571175E-81.00.01.1922555E-77.530504E-87.530504E-81.00.01.45157E-69.168386E-79.168386E-71.00.01.45156055E-59.168363E-69.168363E-61.00.0

Pleito

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6763008E-52.479146E-52.479146E-51.00.07.183948E-51.0624519E-41.0624519E-41.00.08.742947E-40.00129283960.00131281381.01544992.0E-50.008708630.0129677670.0130171191.00380585.0E-5
6.11.6763008E-52.479146E-52.479146E-51.00.07.183948E-51.0624519E-41.0624519E-41.00.08.742947E-40.00129283960.00131281381.01544992.0E-50.008708630.0129677670.0130171191.00380585.0E-5
6.21.6763008E-52.479146E-52.479146E-51.00.07.183948E-51.0624519E-41.0624519E-41.00.08.742947E-40.00129283960.00131281381.01544992.0E-50.008708630.0129677670.0130171191.00380585.0E-5
6.31.6763008E-52.479146E-52.479146E-51.00.07.183948E-51.0624519E-41.0624519E-41.00.08.742947E-40.00129283960.00131281381.01544992.0E-50.008708630.0129677670.0130171191.00380585.0E-5
6.41.6763008E-52.479146E-52.479146E-51.00.07.183948E-51.0624519E-41.0624519E-41.00.08.742947E-40.00129283960.00131281381.01544992.0E-50.008708630.0129677670.0130171191.00380585.0E-5
6.51.6763008E-52.479146E-52.479146E-51.00.07.183948E-51.0624519E-41.0624519E-41.00.08.742947E-40.00129283960.00131281381.01544992.0E-50.008708630.0129677670.0130171191.00380585.0E-5
6.69.910213E-61.7241837E-51.7241837E-51.00.04.247165E-57.389152E-57.389152E-51.00.05.169696E-48.992616E-48.992616E-41.00.00.00515768630.0090644230.0090743321.00109331.0E-5
6.79.910213E-61.7241837E-51.7241837E-51.00.04.247165E-57.389152E-57.389152E-51.00.05.169696E-48.992616E-48.992616E-41.00.00.00515768630.0090644230.0090743321.00109331.0E-5
6.88.300162E-61.5501371E-51.5501371E-51.00.03.557164E-56.643277E-56.643277E-51.00.04.3299864E-48.0852024E-48.0852024E-41.00.00.0043215590.0081638340.0081737521.00121491.0E-5
6.98.183114E-61.5372574E-51.5372574E-51.00.03.5070017E-56.5880806E-56.5880806E-51.00.04.2689382E-48.0180506E-48.0180506E-41.00.00.00426074680.0080971730.0081070921.0012251.0E-5
7.07.1748823E-61.4159216E-51.4159216E-51.00.03.0749135E-56.0680948E-56.0680948E-51.00.03.743064E-47.385406E-47.385406E-41.00.00.00373676540.0074685990.0074685991.00.0
7.17.1671807E-61.4149584E-51.4149584E-51.00.03.0716128E-56.0639664E-56.0639664E-51.00.03.7390468E-47.380384E-47.380384E-41.00.00.00373276180.00746361030.00746361031.00.0
7.27.0649667E-61.3996784E-51.3996784E-51.00.03.0278077E-55.998484E-55.998484E-51.00.03.6857324E-47.300712E-47.300712E-41.00.00.00367962550.0073843180.0073843181.00.0
7.37.02082E-61.3940186E-51.3940186E-51.00.03.008888E-55.974229E-55.974229E-51.00.03.6627054E-47.2712015E-47.2712015E-41.00.00.00365667440.0073547940.0073547941.00.0
7.46.987146E-61.3899719E-51.3899719E-51.00.02.9944567E-55.956887E-55.956887E-51.00.03.6451413E-47.250101E-47.250101E-41.00.00.00363916790.0073337140.0073337141.00.0
7.56.9494554E-61.3856602E-51.3856602E-51.00.02.9783041E-55.938409E-55.938409E-51.00.03.625482E-47.2276196E-47.2276196E-41.00.00.00361957260.00731133060.00731133061.00.0
7.66.92694E-61.3815674E-51.3815674E-51.00.02.9686547E-55.920869E-55.920869E-51.00.03.6137376E-47.206279E-47.206279E-41.00.00.00360786660.00729006160.00729006161.00.0
7.76.395867E-61.2693605E-51.2693605E-51.00.02.741057E-55.440003E-55.440003E-51.00.03.336726E-46.621194E-46.621194E-41.00.00.00333172010.00670810.00670811.00.0
7.85.8664327E-61.1559044E-51.1559044E-51.00.02.5141611E-54.953782E-54.953782E-51.00.03.060561E-46.029563E-46.029563E-41.00.00.00305634950.0061124560.0061124561.00.0
7.93.7167474E-67.128102E-67.128102E-61.00.01.592882E-53.054865E-53.054865E-51.00.01.9391612E-43.718665E-43.718665E-41.00.00.00193746990.00377457680.00377457681.00.0
8.01.0903841E-61.2908959E-61.2908959E-61.00.04.6730665E-65.532399E-65.532399E-61.00.05.68931E-56.7354886E-56.7354886E-51.00.05.6878536E-46.957491E-46.957491E-41.00.0
8.12.6894583E-71.1106567E-71.1106567E-71.00.01.1526245E-64.7599562E-74.7599562E-71.00.01.4033113E-55.7952316E-65.7952316E-61.00.01.4032227E-46.482664E-56.482664E-51.00.0
8.25.2967013E-92.468831E-92.468831E-91.00.02.2700148E-81.0580704E-81.0580704E-81.00.02.7637427E-71.2882006E-71.2882006E-71.00.02.7637393E-61.4656648E-61.4656648E-61.00.0

Camp Rock 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6710783E-54.2501633E-64.2501633E-61.00.07.161568E-51.8214861E-51.8214861E-51.00.08.7157206E-42.2174389E-42.5173725E-41.13526123.0E-50.0086816160.00221527930.00226516841.02252055.0E-5
6.11.6710783E-54.2501633E-64.2501633E-61.00.07.161568E-51.8214861E-51.8214861E-51.00.08.7157206E-42.2174389E-42.5173725E-41.13526123.0E-50.0086816160.00221527930.00226516841.02252055.0E-5
6.21.6710783E-54.2501633E-64.2501633E-61.00.07.161568E-51.8214861E-51.8214861E-51.00.08.7157206E-42.2174389E-42.5173725E-41.13526123.0E-50.0086816160.00221527930.00226516841.02252055.0E-5
6.31.6710783E-54.2501633E-64.2501633E-61.00.07.161568E-51.8214861E-51.8214861E-51.00.08.7157206E-42.2174389E-42.5173725E-41.13526123.0E-50.0086816160.00221527930.00226516841.02252055.0E-5
6.47.982846E-63.6821912E-63.6821912E-61.00.03.421175E-51.5780724E-51.5780724E-51.00.04.1644843E-41.9211374E-42.2210798E-41.15612753.0E-50.00415668870.00191951150.00196941551.02599845.0E-5
6.57.982846E-63.6821912E-63.6821912E-61.00.03.421175E-51.5780724E-51.5780724E-51.00.04.1644843E-41.9211374E-42.2210798E-41.15612753.0E-50.00415668870.00191951150.00196941551.02599845.0E-5
6.67.048869E-63.4244488E-63.4244488E-61.00.03.0209088E-51.4676129E-51.4676129E-51.00.03.677336E-41.7866753E-42.0866217E-41.16787963.0E-50.00367125660.00178527040.00183518111.0279575.0E-5
6.76.987307E-63.3624244E-63.3624244E-61.00.02.9945259E-51.4410312E-51.4410312E-51.00.03.6452254E-41.7543173E-42.0542648E-41.17097663.0E-50.00363925170.00175296360.0018028761.02847315.0E-5
6.86.3737602E-63.1180107E-63.1180107E-61.00.02.731583E-51.3362836E-51.3362836E-51.00.03.3251947E-41.6268066E-41.9267578E-41.18438043.0E-50.00332022370.00162564440.00167556321.0307075.0E-5
6.96.112211E-62.9332175E-62.9332175E-61.00.02.6194928E-51.2570873E-51.2570873E-51.00.03.1887658E-41.530399E-41.8303531E-41.19599743.0E-50.0031841940.00152937290.00157929641.03264315.0E-5
7.05.5140117E-62.642044E-62.642044E-61.00.02.3631264E-51.1322997E-51.1322997E-51.00.02.8767265E-41.3784903E-41.6784489E-41.21759943.0E-50.00287300530.00137766040.00142759151.03624345.0E-5
7.14.8151105E-62.134374E-62.134374E-61.00.02.0636026E-59.147286E-69.147286E-61.00.02.5121463E-41.1136274E-41.2136162E-41.08978661.0E-50.00250930830.00111309120.00114305781.0269223.0E-5
7.23.818335E-61.293818E-61.293818E-61.00.01.6364189E-55.5449227E-65.5449227E-61.00.01.9921579E-46.7507426E-57.7506746E-51.14812181.0E-50.00199037286.748774E-47.048572E-41.04442253.0E-5
7.32.7166698E-67.38375E-77.38375E-71.00.01.1642818E-53.1644604E-63.1644604E-61.00.01.4174209E-43.8526647E-53.8526647E-51.00.00.00141651723.8520168E-43.8520168E-41.00.0
7.42.0893426E-65.461979E-75.461979E-71.00.08.954295E-62.340846E-62.340846E-61.00.01.0901308E-42.8499433E-52.8499433E-51.00.00.00108959622.8495834E-42.8495834E-41.00.0
7.51.1681728E-63.6031344E-73.6031344E-71.00.05.0064455E-61.5441996E-61.5441996E-61.00.06.0951766E-51.8800472E-51.8800472E-51.00.06.093505E-41.8798928E-41.8798928E-41.00.0
7.61.3154387E-77.119929E-87.119929E-81.00.05.6375933E-73.0513976E-73.0513976E-71.00.06.863748E-63.715072E-63.715072E-61.00.06.863536E-53.7150257E-53.7150257E-51.00.0

Oceanic - West Huasna

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.195567E-52.7928398E-52.7928398E-51.00.01.3694567E-41.1968789E-41.2968668E-41.08354071.0E-50.00166603840.00145626910.00149621081.02742744.0E-50.0165360330.0144718140.0145210911.0034055.0E-5
6.12.1156782E-51.7574706E-51.7574706E-51.00.09.066878E-57.531805E-57.531805E-51.00.00.00110333339.166209E-49.3660253E-41.02179932.0E-50.0109787130.0091294090.0091591351.00325613.0E-5
6.21.6195117E-51.3327666E-51.3327666E-51.00.06.9405796E-55.7117333E-55.7117333E-51.00.08.44688E-46.951842E-47.1517035E-41.02874932.0E-50.0084148440.0069303890.00695025041.00286582.0E-5
6.31.3559345E-51.1179372E-51.1179372E-51.00.05.811018E-54.7910722E-54.7910722E-51.00.07.072618E-45.831579E-46.031462E-41.0342762.0E-50.00705015050.0058163940.00583627771.00341862.0E-5
6.41.2120619E-51.0001191E-51.0001191E-51.00.05.1944477E-54.2861546E-54.2861546E-51.00.06.322405E-45.2171486E-45.417044E-41.0383152.0E-50.0063044470.00520496770.0052248641.00382242.0E-5
6.51.13511915E-59.367664E-69.367664E-61.00.04.8647056E-54.0146515E-54.0146515E-51.00.05.9211696E-44.886746E-45.086649E-41.0409072.0E-50.00590541730.0048760590.0048959621.00408172.0E-5
6.69.850605E-68.135557E-68.135557E-61.00.04.2216197E-53.486621E-53.486621E-51.00.05.1386096E-44.2441362E-44.4440513E-41.04710392.0E-50.00512674360.0042360630.00425597841.00470142.0E-5
6.78.8558645E-67.318557E-67.318557E-61.00.03.7953152E-53.1364867E-53.1364867E-51.00.04.6198163E-43.8180055E-44.017929E-41.05236342.0E-50.0046102240.00381147120.0038313951.00522732.0E-5
6.87.67136E-66.3918774E-66.3918774E-61.00.03.2876844E-52.7393473E-52.7393473E-51.00.04.0020206E-43.3346465E-43.53458E-41.05995632.0E-50.0039948210.00332966350.00334959691.00598662.0E-5
6.96.534529E-65.458424E-65.458424E-61.00.02.8004823E-52.3393037E-52.3393037E-51.00.03.4090536E-42.8477312E-43.0476743E-41.07021132.0E-50.00340382870.00284409850.00286404161.00701212.0E-5
7.05.460525E-64.570061E-64.570061E-61.00.02.3402039E-51.9585828E-51.9585828E-51.00.02.8488258E-42.3843147E-42.584267E-41.08386162.0E-50.00284517650.00238177020.00240172261.00837712.0E-5
7.14.4825083E-63.7525451E-63.7525451E-61.00.01.9210609E-51.6082236E-51.6082236E-51.00.02.3386406E-41.9578375E-42.1577983E-41.10213352.0E-50.0023361810.00195612430.00197608541.01020432.0E-5
7.22.821708E-62.425045E-62.425045E-61.00.01.2092979E-51.0393009E-51.0393009E-51.00.01.4722206E-41.2652755E-41.3652629E-41.07902421.0E-50.00147124570.00126455720.00127454461.00789791.0E-5
7.32.0644757E-61.7688409E-61.7688409E-61.00.08.847723E-67.5807243E-67.5807243E-61.00.01.0771569E-49.229141E-51.0229049E-41.10834241.0E-50.0010766359.2253234E-49.3252317E-41.01082971.0E-5
7.41.6980367E-61.4380826E-61.4380826E-61.00.07.27728E-66.1631963E-66.1631963E-61.00.08.8597284E-57.503434E-57.503434E-51.00.08.8561967E-47.500914E-47.500914E-41.00.0
7.51.3637683E-61.1303514E-61.1303514E-61.00.05.844708E-64.844354E-64.844354E-61.00.07.1156996E-55.8978418E-55.8978418E-51.00.07.1134215E-45.8962894E-45.8962894E-41.00.0
7.69.802994E-77.6780407E-77.6780407E-71.00.04.2012766E-63.2905848E-63.2905848E-61.00.05.1149345E-54.0062132E-54.0062132E-51.00.05.113757E-44.005503E-44.005503E-41.00.0
7.75.986191E-74.0057682E-74.0057682E-71.00.02.5655079E-61.7167566E-61.7167566E-61.00.03.1234613E-52.0901312E-52.0901312E-51.00.03.123022E-42.0899458E-42.0899458E-41.00.0
7.82.9189815E-71.5291376E-71.5291376E-71.00.01.2509914E-66.553445E-76.553445E-71.00.01.5230714E-57.978791E-67.978791E-61.00.01.522967E-47.9786114E-57.9786114E-51.00.0
7.91.2057845E-74.624249E-84.624249E-81.00.05.1676466E-71.981821E-71.981821E-71.00.06.2915915E-62.4128642E-62.4128642E-61.00.06.2914136E-52.4129453E-52.4129453E-51.00.0
8.03.3806387E-99.0229946E-109.0229946E-101.00.01.4488451E-83.8669987E-93.8669987E-91.00.01.7639688E-74.7080707E-84.7080707E-81.00.01.7639674E-64.7169183E-74.7169183E-71.00.0

Coronado Bank alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.533492E-59.396308E-59.396308E-51.00.03.22824E-44.026398E-44.026398E-41.00.00.00392330070.0048917530.00491165561.00406852.0E-50.038547550.0479100350.047948121.00079494.0E-5
6.14.1807285E-55.0498526E-55.0498526E-51.00.01.7916178E-42.164048E-42.164048E-41.00.00.00217911230.00263162730.00265157481.00757982.0E-50.0215786770.0260139610.026043181.00112323.0E-5
6.24.1807285E-55.0498526E-55.0498526E-51.00.01.7916178E-42.164048E-42.164048E-41.00.00.00217911230.00263162730.00265157481.00757982.0E-50.0215786770.0260139610.026043181.00112323.0E-5
6.33.1793104E-53.7714883E-53.7714883E-51.00.01.3624904E-41.6162539E-41.6162539E-41.00.00.00165756980.00196604480.00198600561.01015272.0E-50.0164526030.0194904170.0195198321.00150923.0E-5
6.42.9878007E-53.5339264E-53.5339264E-51.00.01.2804232E-41.5144538E-41.5144538E-41.00.00.00155780030.00184231960.00186228291.01083592.0E-50.0154692530.0182742350.0183036871.00161173.0E-5
6.52.4512565E-52.8766783E-52.8766783E-51.00.01.0504962E-41.2328054E-41.2328054E-41.00.00.00127822870.00149993390.00151990391.01331392.0E-50.0127090120.014901070.0149207711.00132222.0E-5
6.62.1317413E-52.4908924E-52.4908924E-51.00.09.135714E-51.0674829E-41.0674829E-41.00.00.00111170560.00129890780.00131888181.01537752.0E-50.0110616050.0129155680.012935311.00152852.0E-5
6.71.8585655E-52.1636792E-52.1636792E-51.00.07.9650374E-59.2725924E-59.2725924E-51.00.09.6931186E-40.00112837390.00113836261.00885241.0E-50.00965094750.0112286090.0112384961.00088061.0E-5
6.81.5862879E-51.8421075E-51.8421075E-51.00.06.798199E-57.894519E-57.894519E-51.00.08.273665E-49.6075307E-49.707435E-41.01039851.0E-50.0082429280.0095679780.0095778821.00103511.0E-5
6.91.3021509E-51.5096564E-51.5096564E-51.00.05.5805274E-56.4698055E-56.4698055E-51.00.06.792174E-47.874323E-47.974244E-41.01268951.0E-50.0067714520.0078482450.0078581671.00126421.0E-5
7.01.0974371E-51.2721201E-51.2721201E-51.00.04.7032172E-55.451839E-55.451839E-51.00.05.7246623E-46.635768E-46.735702E-41.01505981.0E-50.00570993730.00661770350.00662763741.00150111.0E-5
7.18.766221E-61.0164714E-51.0164714E-51.00.03.7568978E-54.356243E-54.356243E-51.00.04.573063E-45.3026073E-45.4025545E-41.01884871.0E-50.00456366360.00529165470.00530160171.00187981.0E-5
7.28.026024E-78.332067E-78.332067E-71.00.03.43972E-63.570881E-63.570881E-61.00.04.1877785E-54.3474618E-54.3474618E-51.00.04.1869894E-44.3466224E-44.3466224E-41.00.0
7.33.7293114E-73.7002025E-73.7002025E-71.00.01.5982754E-61.5858001E-61.5858001E-61.00.01.9458828E-51.9306945E-51.9306945E-51.00.01.9457124E-41.9305275E-41.9305275E-41.00.0
7.42.0557036E-71.9674852E-71.9674852E-71.00.08.810155E-78.4320766E-78.4320766E-71.00.01.0726311E-51.0266005E-51.0266005E-51.00.01.0725793E-41.0265534E-41.0265534E-41.00.0
7.56.845446E-86.2794854E-86.2794854E-81.00.02.9337625E-72.6912076E-72.6912076E-71.00.03.5718497E-63.2765404E-63.2765404E-61.00.03.5717923E-53.276493E-53.276493E-51.00.0
7.66.0975145E-95.5319385E-95.5319385E-91.00.02.6132206E-82.3708308E-82.3708308E-81.00.03.1815955E-72.8864864E-72.8864864E-71.00.03.181591E-62.8864836E-62.8864836E-61.00.0

Red Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1810763E-54.759426E-55.759379E-51.21009931.0E-51.7917668E-42.0396039E-42.1395835E-41.04901911.0E-50.00217929340.00248055440.0025005051.00804272.0E-50.0215804520.0245462750.0245852941.00158954.0E-5
6.14.1810763E-54.759426E-55.759379E-51.21009931.0E-51.7917668E-42.0396039E-42.1395835E-41.04901911.0E-50.00217929340.00248055440.0025005051.00804272.0E-50.0215804520.0245462750.0245852941.00158954.0E-5
6.24.1810763E-54.759426E-55.759379E-51.21009931.0E-51.7917668E-42.0396039E-42.1395835E-41.04901911.0E-50.00217929340.00248055440.0025005051.00804272.0E-50.0215804520.0245462750.0245852941.00158954.0E-5
6.34.1810763E-54.759426E-55.759379E-51.21009931.0E-51.7917668E-42.0396039E-42.1395835E-41.04901911.0E-50.00217929340.00248055440.0025005051.00804272.0E-50.0215804520.0245462750.0245852941.00158954.0E-5
6.44.1810763E-54.759426E-55.759379E-51.21009931.0E-51.7917668E-42.0396039E-42.1395835E-41.04901911.0E-50.00217929340.00248055440.0025005051.00804272.0E-50.0215804520.0245462750.0245852941.00158954.0E-5
6.53.154503E-53.5362766E-53.5362766E-51.00.01.3518598E-41.5154642E-41.5154642E-41.00.00.00164464670.00184360830.00185358991.00541411.0E-50.016325280.0182927870.018312421.00107342.0E-5
6.63.1535834E-53.5352146E-53.5352146E-51.00.01.3514658E-41.5150092E-41.5150092E-41.00.00.00164416760.00184305520.00185303681.00541581.0E-50.016320560.0182873480.0183069821.00107362.0E-5
6.72.8267326E-53.1471976E-53.1471976E-51.00.01.2114006E-41.3487341E-41.3487341E-41.00.00.00147388240.00164093190.00165091551.00608411.0E-50.0146414520.016296920.0163165931.00120722.0E-5
6.82.8212884E-53.1409858E-53.1409858E-51.00.01.20906756E-41.3460721E-41.3460721E-41.00.00.00147104570.00163769580.00164767951.00609611.0E-50.0146134590.0162650330.0162847081.00120962.0E-5
6.92.4227871E-52.6709162E-52.6709162E-51.00.01.03829596E-41.1446325E-41.1446325E-41.00.00.00126339230.00139277510.00139277511.00.00.0125623360.0138481510.0138580131.00071221.0E-5
7.02.348524E-52.5837868E-52.5837868E-51.00.01.0064714E-41.10729445E-41.10729445E-41.00.00.00122469010.00134737290.00134737291.00.00.0121796270.0133996750.013409541.00073621.0E-5
7.12.2311642E-52.4464809E-52.4464809E-51.00.09.561782E-51.0484539E-41.0484539E-41.00.00.00116352520.001275820.001275821.00.00.011574520.0126924730.0127023461.00077781.0E-5
7.21.6533986E-51.7671693E-51.7671693E-51.00.07.085802E-57.573399E-57.573399E-51.00.08.623549E-49.217347E-49.217347E-41.00.00.0085901610.0091853960.00919530451.00107871.0E-5
7.31.4703092E-51.5560694E-51.5560694E-51.00.06.301173E-56.668733E-56.668733E-51.00.07.668978E-48.116775E-48.116775E-41.00.00.00764256580.0080932040.0081031241.00122561.0E-5
7.46.1331984E-65.5291357E-65.5291357E-61.00.02.6284872E-52.3696084E-52.3696084E-51.00.03.199713E-42.8846215E-42.8846215E-41.00.00.00319510980.00288093160.00288093161.00.0
7.55.954766E-65.3387566E-65.3387566E-61.00.02.5520176E-52.288019E-52.288019E-51.00.03.1066386E-42.7853122E-42.7853122E-41.00.00.0031022990.00278187520.00278187521.00.0
7.64.9726646E-64.315507E-64.315507E-61.00.02.1311245E-51.84949E-51.84949E-51.00.02.5943352E-42.2515249E-42.2515249E-41.00.00.00259130840.00224927840.00224927841.00.0
7.73.3613894E-62.8528066E-62.8528066E-61.00.01.4405875E-51.2226258E-51.2226258E-51.00.01.7537741E-41.4884479E-41.4884479E-41.00.00.00175239080.00148747720.00148747721.00.0
7.81.1828961E-61.0123285E-61.0123285E-61.00.05.069545E-64.338544E-64.338544E-61.00.06.171996E-55.2820524E-55.2820524E-51.00.06.170282E-45.280826E-45.280826E-41.00.0
7.92.2967266E-71.8619782E-71.8619782E-71.00.09.843111E-77.979905E-77.979905E-71.00.01.19839215E-59.715493E-69.715493E-61.00.01.1983275E-49.715097E-59.715097E-51.00.0

San Jacinto (Anza) rev

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.3015636E-54.33769E-56.3376036E-51.46105492.0E-52.7003905E-41.8588782E-42.1588225E-41.16135763.0E-50.00328276910.0022608470.00230075681.01765254.0E-50.0323469680.0233365690.0233756341.0016744.0E-5
6.16.3015636E-54.33769E-56.3376036E-51.46105492.0E-52.7003905E-41.8588782E-42.1588225E-41.16135763.0E-50.00328276910.0022608470.00230075681.01765254.0E-50.0323469680.0233365690.0233756341.0016744.0E-5
6.26.3015636E-54.33769E-56.3376036E-51.46105492.0E-52.7003905E-41.8588782E-42.1588225E-41.16135763.0E-50.00328276910.0022608470.00230075681.01765254.0E-50.0323469680.0233365690.0233756341.0016744.0E-5
6.36.3015636E-54.33769E-56.3376036E-51.46105492.0E-52.7003905E-41.8588782E-42.1588225E-41.16135763.0E-50.00328276910.0022608470.00230075681.01765254.0E-50.0323469680.0233365690.0233756341.0016744.0E-5
6.46.3015636E-54.33769E-56.3376036E-51.46105492.0E-52.7003905E-41.8588782E-42.1588225E-41.16135763.0E-50.00328276910.0022608470.00230075681.01765254.0E-50.0323469680.0233365690.0233756341.0016744.0E-5
6.55.811017E-54.0152172E-56.0151368E-51.4980852.0E-52.4901982E-41.7206941E-42.0206426E-41.17431823.0E-50.00302760140.0020929380.00213285421.01907194.0E-50.029866840.021632110.0216712451.00180914.0E-5
6.65.811017E-54.0152172E-56.0151368E-51.4980852.0E-52.4901982E-41.7206941E-42.0206426E-41.17431823.0E-50.00302760140.0020929380.00213285421.01907194.0E-50.029866840.021632110.0216712451.00180914.0E-5
6.75.712442E-53.9574043E-55.9573253E-51.50536182.0E-52.4479596E-41.6959205E-41.9958695E-41.17686513.0E-50.00297631770.00206283340.00210275081.01935084.0E-50.0293676930.0213243720.021363521.00183584.0E-5
6.85.6967532E-53.9430324E-55.9429538E-51.50720382.0E-52.4412372E-41.689762E-41.9897113E-41.17750983.0E-50.00296815530.00205534950.00209526721.01942154.0E-50.0292882290.0212485320.0212876821.00184254.0E-5
6.95.6211324E-53.9134367E-55.9133585E-51.51103972.0E-52.4088343E-41.6770797E-41.9770293E-41.17885233.0E-50.00292881160.00203993780.00207985631.01956844.0E-50.0289051090.0210888460.0211280031.00185674.0E-5
7.05.4383527E-53.7993592E-55.7992835E-51.52638462.0E-52.3305144E-41.6281955E-41.9281467E-41.1842233.0E-50.00283370940.00198053060.00202045151.02015664.0E-50.0279784650.0204754770.0205146581.00191354.0E-5
7.15.1393665E-53.6453963E-55.6453235E-51.54861722.0E-52.2023996E-41.5622194E-41.8621725E-41.19200443.0E-50.00267812420.00190034710.00194027111.02100874.0E-50.0264607820.0196466110.0196858251.00199594.0E-5
7.24.785222E-53.480354E-55.4802844E-51.57463422.0E-52.0506482E-41.4914952E-41.7914505E-41.20111053.0E-50.00249380550.00181438650.00185431391.0220064.0E-50.0246600490.0187586230.0187978731.00209244.0E-5
7.34.2143256E-53.3895747E-55.389507E-51.59002452.0E-51.8060145E-41.4525942E-41.7525506E-41.20649713.0E-50.0021966050.00176710230.00180703161.02259594.0E-50.021750190.0182679850.0183072561.00214964.0E-5
7.44.0264713E-53.35335E-55.3532825E-51.59639862.0E-51.7255165E-41.4370709E-41.7370278E-41.2087283.0E-50.0020987920.00174823310.00178816321.02284034.0E-50.0207908040.0180723720.018111651.00217334.0E-5
7.53.694492E-53.2245665E-55.224502E-51.62021842.0E-51.5832575E-41.381884E-41.6818427E-41.21706493.0E-50.00192591180.00168114870.00172108131.02375334.0E-50.019093060.0173878260.017427131.00226044.0E-5
7.63.200565E-52.9554123E-54.955353E-51.67670452.0E-51.3715986E-41.2665438E-41.5665058E-41.23683513.0E-50.0016686420.00154092870.0015808671.02591844.0E-50.016561680.0159720130.0160113741.00246444.0E-5
7.72.731642E-52.6141446E-54.614092E-51.76504862.0E-51.1706512E-41.12029964E-41.420266E-41.26775553.0E-50.0014243360.00136311240.00140305781.02930464.0E-50.0141524120.0141921180.01423155051.00277844.0E-5
7.82.3466424E-52.3551616E-54.3551143E-51.84917872.0E-51.0056651E-41.009316E-41.3092857E-41.2972013.0E-50.00122370940.00122815020.00126810121.03252944.0E-50.0121699280.0128329630.0128724491.0030774.0E-5
7.91.8611925E-51.8950184E-53.8949805E-52.05537872.0E-57.9762955E-58.121255E-51.11210116E-41.3693713.0E-59.7068126E-49.883151E-40.00102827561.04043294.0E-50.00966452250.0104159170.01045551.00380034.0E-5
8.01.5460775E-51.5778292E-53.5777975E-52.26754432.0E-56.6258784E-56.7619505E-59.761747E-51.4436293.0E-58.0640207E-48.229572E-48.6292427E-41.04856514.0E-50.0080348210.0087226120.0087622631.00454584.0E-5
8.19.983884E-68.29136E-61.8291277E-52.20606471.0E-54.2787375E-53.553392E-54.5533565E-51.28141131.0E-55.2081177E-44.3254014E-44.425358E-41.02310921.0E-50.00519592830.0046516280.00466158151.00213981.0E-5
8.24.1226E-61.5588215E-61.5588215E-61.00.01.7668166E-56.6806465E-66.6806465E-61.00.02.1508869E-48.133386E-58.133386E-51.00.00.00214880649.43875E-49.43875E-41.00.0
8.31.2750878E-63.6277774E-73.6277774E-71.00.05.4646503E-61.5547608E-61.5547608E-61.00.06.653009E-51.8929053E-51.8929053E-51.00.06.6510175E-42.2828147E-42.2828147E-41.00.0

Whittier alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.2554693E-54.725724E-54.725724E-51.00.01.8236451E-42.0251713E-42.0251713E-41.00.00.0022180270.00246317990.0024931061.01214933.0E-50.021960190.0243928250.0244318491.00159984.0E-5
6.14.2554693E-54.725724E-54.725724E-51.00.01.8236451E-42.0251713E-42.0251713E-41.00.00.0022180270.00246317990.0024931061.01214933.0E-50.021960190.0243928250.0244318491.00159984.0E-5
6.24.2554693E-54.725724E-54.725724E-51.00.01.8236451E-42.0251713E-42.0251713E-41.00.00.0022180270.00246317990.0024931061.01214933.0E-50.021960190.0243928250.0244318491.00159984.0E-5
6.31.9617712E-51.827133E-51.827133E-51.00.08.40732E-57.8303456E-57.8303456E-51.00.00.00102311059.5294666E-49.6293713E-41.01048371.0E-50.010184130.0094918870.00950179251.00104361.0E-5
6.41.5611336E-51.3606614E-51.3606614E-51.00.06.690401E-55.8312788E-55.8312788E-51.00.08.142519E-47.0973294E-47.1972585E-41.01407981.0E-50.0081127480.00707662340.00708655271.00140311.0E-5
6.51.5150166E-51.3103243E-51.3103243E-51.00.06.492767E-55.615558E-55.615558E-51.00.07.9020765E-46.834856E-46.9347874E-41.01462091.0E-50.0078740360.00681578040.00682571251.00145721.0E-5
6.61.295588E-51.03825705E-51.03825705E-51.00.05.552402E-54.4495984E-54.4495984E-51.00.06.7579525E-45.4160587E-45.516005E-41.01845361.0E-50.0067374380.0054043720.0054143181.00184041.0E-5
6.71.2542085E-59.901169E-69.901169E-61.00.05.3750682E-54.24329E-54.24329E-51.00.06.542181E-45.165E-45.264948E-41.01935111.0E-50.0065229540.00515449650.0051644451.001931.0E-5
6.81.2195878E-59.497154E-69.497154E-61.00.05.2267E-54.0701463E-54.0701463E-51.00.06.36165E-44.954295E-45.054245E-41.02017451.0E-50.00634346860.00494464350.0049545941.00201241.0E-5
6.91.1580298E-58.774531E-68.774531E-61.00.04.9628903E-53.76046E-53.76046E-51.00.06.040644E-44.577415E-44.677369E-41.02183641.0E-50.006024250.00456934560.00457931.00217851.0E-5
7.01.0964795E-58.085506E-68.085506E-61.00.04.6991136E-53.465172E-53.465172E-51.00.05.7196687E-44.2180452E-44.318003E-41.02369761.0E-50.00570496960.00421131360.00422127131.00236451.0E-5
7.11.0230601E-57.3279657E-67.3279657E-61.00.04.3844695E-53.1405198E-53.1405198E-51.00.05.336784E-43.822925E-43.9228867E-41.0261481.0E-50.0053239860.00381749980.00382746171.00260951.0E-5
7.29.40865E-66.544458E-66.544458E-61.00.04.032216E-52.8047383E-52.8047383E-51.00.04.908117E-43.414246E-43.514212E-41.0292791.0E-50.00489729130.00341008930.00342005511.00292241.0E-5
7.38.237384E-65.5987566E-65.5987566E-61.00.03.5302593E-52.3994457E-52.3994457E-51.00.04.2972428E-42.920944E-42.920944E-41.00.00.00428894260.0029174290.0029174291.00.0
7.47.5316966E-65.028736E-65.028736E-61.00.03.2278298E-52.1551552E-52.1551552E-51.00.03.9291743E-42.6235956E-42.6235956E-41.00.00.00392223430.00262060830.00262060831.00.0
7.56.149649E-63.9345864E-63.9345864E-61.00.02.6355372E-51.6862408E-51.6862408E-51.00.03.208294E-42.0528138E-42.0528138E-41.00.00.0032036660.00205100680.00205100681.00.0
7.65.457711E-63.3960353E-63.3960353E-61.00.02.338998E-51.455436E-51.455436E-51.00.02.8473578E-41.7718575E-41.7718575E-41.00.00.00284371220.00177052550.00177052551.00.0
7.74.1676276E-62.3337E-62.3337E-61.00.01.7861139E-51.0001537E-51.0001537E-51.00.02.1743766E-41.21762656E-41.21762656E-41.00.00.00217225030.00121703250.00121703251.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.38645E-89.38645E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0227638E-74.0227638E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8977076E-64.8977076E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8976322E-54.8976322E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4402008E-93.4402008E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4743718E-81.4743718E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.7950475E-71.7950475E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.7950463E-61.7950463E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7374346E-52.4176177E-54.4175693E-51.82724062.0E-51.1731335E-41.03608094E-41.3360498E-41.28952263.0E-50.00142735420.00126070110.00130065081.03168834.0E-50.014182210.0129444930.0129839751.00305014.0E-5
6.12.7374346E-52.4176177E-54.4175693E-51.82724062.0E-51.1731335E-41.03608094E-41.3360498E-41.28952263.0E-50.00142735420.00126070110.00130065081.03168834.0E-50.014182210.0129444930.0129839751.00305014.0E-5
6.22.7374346E-52.4176177E-54.4175693E-51.82724062.0E-51.1731335E-41.03608094E-41.3360498E-41.28952263.0E-50.00142735420.00126070110.00130065081.03168834.0E-50.014182210.0129444930.0129839751.00305014.0E-5
6.32.7374346E-52.4176177E-54.4175693E-51.82724062.0E-51.1731335E-41.03608094E-41.3360498E-41.28952263.0E-50.00142735420.00126070110.00130065081.03168834.0E-50.014182210.0129444930.0129839751.00305014.0E-5
6.42.7374346E-52.4176177E-54.4175693E-51.82724062.0E-51.1731335E-41.03608094E-41.3360498E-41.28952263.0E-50.00142735420.00126070110.00130065081.03168834.0E-50.014182210.0129444930.0129839751.00305014.0E-5
6.52.7282445E-52.4062241E-54.406176E-51.83115782.0E-51.16919524E-41.0311983E-41.3311673E-41.29089373.0E-50.00142256570.00125476350.00129471341.03183854.0E-50.0141349340.01288581450.0129252991.00306424.0E-5
6.62.7282445E-52.4062241E-54.406176E-51.83115782.0E-51.16919524E-41.0311983E-41.3311673E-41.29089373.0E-50.00142256570.00125476350.00129471341.03183854.0E-50.0141349340.01288581450.0129252991.00306424.0E-5
6.72.7216198E-52.3987352E-54.398687E-51.83375282.0E-51.1663563E-41.02798906E-41.3279582E-41.29180193.0E-50.00141911370.00125086070.00129081061.0319384.0E-50.0141008550.0128472210.0128867071.00307364.0E-5
6.82.7078617E-52.3904551E-54.3904074E-51.83664072.0E-51.1604605E-41.0244407E-41.32441E-41.29281273.0E-50.0014119450.00124654560.00128649571.03204874.0E-50.0140300750.0128043490.0128438371.0030844.0E-5
6.92.6982952E-52.3824046E-54.382357E-51.83946792.0E-51.15636096E-41.02099075E-41.3209601E-41.29380233.0E-50.00140696020.00124235010.00128230051.03215714.0E-50.0139808560.0127626180.0128021081.00309424.0E-5
7.02.6449972E-52.3401004E-54.3400534E-51.85464422.0E-51.1335209E-41.00286175E-41.3028317E-41.29911393.0E-50.0013791880.00122030290.00126025411.03273884.0E-50.01370659750.0125439210.0125834191.00314884.0E-5
7.12.6257849E-52.322702E-54.3226555E-51.86104622.0E-51.1252879E-49.9540586E-51.295376E-41.30135463.0E-50.00136917690.00121123540.0012511871.03298414.0E-50.0136077170.0124537870.0124932891.00317194.0E-5
7.22.5270041E-52.242154E-54.2421092E-51.89197932.0E-51.0829568E-49.6088785E-51.260859E-41.31218123.0E-50.00131770240.00116925550.00120920871.03416984.0E-50.0130991620.0120347380.0120742571.00328374.0E-5
7.32.339701E-52.1152975E-54.115255E-51.94547342.0E-51.0026905E-49.0652466E-51.2064975E-41.33090413.0E-50.0012200920.0011031370.0011430931.03622024.0E-50.0121341490.01137341650.0114129611.0034774.0E-5
7.42.296333E-52.0883224E-54.088281E-51.95768642.0E-59.841056E-58.9496476E-51.19493794E-41.33517873.0E-50.00119748990.0010890770.00112903351.03668834.0E-50.0119105750.0112324980.0112720491.00352114.0E-5
7.52.2188895E-52.0405923E-54.0405514E-51.98008762.0E-59.50918E-58.745104E-51.1744841E-41.34301913.0E-50.00115712770.00106419830.00110415581.0375474.0E-50.0115112090.0109820130.0110215741.00360234.0E-5
7.62.0013189E-51.899158E-53.8991202E-52.05307822.0E-58.5767984E-58.138996E-51.1138752E-41.36856583.0E-50.0010437259.90474E-40.00103043441.04034474.0E-50.0103883650.0102395620.0102791521.00386644.0E-5
7.71.7230794E-51.6772141E-53.6771806E-52.19243362.0E-57.384417E-57.1878625E-51.01876474E-41.41734033.0E-58.986819E-48.7477174E-49.1473677E-41.04568624.0E-50.0089505620.0090776290.0091172661.00436644.0E-5
7.81.4478809E-51.5018486E-53.5018187E-52.33167222.0E-56.205057E-56.4363354E-59.436142E-51.46607383.0E-57.552038E-47.8334275E-48.2331145E-41.05102324.0E-50.00752642420.0081554930.0081951671.00486474.0E-5
7.91.1114467E-51.1669441E-53.166921E-52.71385812.0E-54.7632562E-55.0010935E-58.0009435E-51.59983893.0E-55.797721E-46.087136E-46.486893E-41.06567244.0E-50.00578261870.0063930220.0064327661.00621684.0E-5
8.09.327402E-69.92126E-62.9921062E-53.0158532.0E-53.9973966E-54.2518997E-57.251772E-51.7055373.0E-54.8657437E-45.175464E-45.5752567E-41.07724774.0E-50.00485510330.0054615150.00550129641.00728394.0E-5
8.17.0235833E-66.8437025E-61.6843635E-52.46118741.0E-53.0100724E-52.9329827E-53.9329534E-51.34093991.0E-53.664147E-43.5703264E-43.6702908E-41.02799871.0E-50.0036581110.0037962820.0038062441.00262421.0E-5
8.22.0358202E-69.025306E-79.025306E-71.00.08.724915E-63.8679827E-63.8679827E-61.00.01.06220665E-44.7091693E-54.7091693E-51.00.00.0010616995.3427246E-45.3427246E-41.00.0
8.32.0051264E-76.6426736E-86.6426736E-81.00.08.5933965E-72.8468597E-72.8468597E-71.00.01.046241E-53.4660466E-63.4660466E-61.00.01.0461917E-44.028949E-54.028949E-51.00.0

Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.6264497E-66.757416E-66.757416E-61.00.02.8398761E-52.8960078E-52.8960078E-51.00.03.4570007E-43.525399E-43.7253284E-41.05671122.0E-50.00345162770.0035205950.00356045411.01132174.0E-5
6.16.6264497E-66.757416E-66.757416E-61.00.02.8398761E-52.8960078E-52.8960078E-51.00.03.4570007E-43.525399E-43.7253284E-41.05671122.0E-50.00345162770.0035205950.00356045411.01132174.0E-5
6.26.6264497E-66.757416E-66.757416E-61.00.02.8398761E-52.8960078E-52.8960078E-51.00.03.4570007E-43.525399E-43.7253284E-41.05671122.0E-50.00345162770.0035205950.00356045411.01132174.0E-5
6.36.6264497E-66.757416E-66.757416E-61.00.02.8398761E-52.8960078E-52.8960078E-51.00.03.4570007E-43.525399E-43.7253284E-41.05671122.0E-50.00345162770.0035205950.00356045411.01132174.0E-5
6.46.6264497E-66.757416E-66.757416E-61.00.02.8398761E-52.8960078E-52.8960078E-51.00.03.4570007E-43.525399E-43.7253284E-41.05671122.0E-50.00345162770.0035205950.00356045411.01132174.0E-5
6.53.2162225E-63.2571281E-63.2571281E-61.00.01.3783738E-51.395905E-51.395905E-51.00.01.6780409E-41.69939E-41.69939E-41.00.00.00167677440.00169817010.00171813611.01175742.0E-5
6.63.2162225E-63.2571281E-63.2571281E-61.00.01.3783738E-51.395905E-51.395905E-51.00.01.6780409E-41.69939E-41.69939E-41.00.00.00167677440.00169817010.00171813611.01175742.0E-5
6.72.1908265E-62.2071456E-62.2071456E-61.00.09.389223E-69.459161E-69.459161E-61.00.01.1430779E-41.15159404E-41.15159404E-41.00.00.00114249010.00115101670.00116100521.0086781.0E-5
6.81.7303895E-61.7365708E-61.7365708E-61.00.07.415934E-67.4424256E-67.4424256E-61.00.09.028525E-59.060786E-59.060786E-51.00.09.024858E-49.057189E-49.157098E-41.01103091.0E-5
6.91.3700314E-61.3688762E-61.3688762E-61.00.05.87155E-65.866599E-65.866599E-61.00.07.148377E-57.142355E-57.142355E-51.00.07.146078E-47.140105E-47.2400336E-41.01399541.0E-5
7.01.1467797E-61.1413921E-61.1413921E-61.00.04.9147607E-64.8916713E-64.8916713E-61.00.05.983557E-55.9554503E-55.9554503E-51.00.05.981946E-45.953886E-46.053826E-41.01678571.0E-5
7.19.3952065E-79.302786E-79.302786E-71.00.04.026511E-63.9869024E-63.9869024E-61.00.04.9021666E-54.853947E-54.853947E-51.00.04.901085E-44.8529045E-44.952856E-41.02059631.0E-5
7.26.858055E-76.719371E-76.719371E-71.00.02.939163E-62.8797272E-62.8797272E-61.00.03.5783723E-53.5060122E-53.5060122E-51.00.03.5777962E-43.505468E-43.605433E-41.02851691.0E-5
7.35.1101983E-74.9393526E-74.9393526E-71.00.02.1900833E-62.1168637E-62.1168637E-61.00.02.6663936E-52.5772517E-52.5772517E-51.00.02.6660739E-42.5769576E-42.6769316E-41.03879551.0E-5
7.43.4999414E-73.2996275E-73.2996275E-71.00.01.499974E-61.4141253E-61.4141253E-61.00.01.8262032E-51.7216842E-51.7216842E-51.00.01.826053E-41.7215533E-41.7215533E-41.00.0
7.51.7021522E-71.4750238E-71.4750238E-71.00.07.2949354E-76.321529E-76.321529E-71.00.08.881548E-67.696435E-67.696435E-61.00.08.8811925E-57.696177E-57.696177E-51.00.0
7.62.572245E-81.7353019E-81.7353019E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.437008E-87.437008E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.054554E-79.054554E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054523E-69.054523E-61.00.0

Cleghorn Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5467183E-51.6794971E-51.6794971E-51.00.06.6286244E-57.197677E-57.197677E-51.00.08.067362E-48.760197E-48.960022E-41.02281062.0E-50.0080381370.0087310930.0087707431.00454134.0E-5
6.11.5467183E-51.6794971E-51.6794971E-51.00.06.6286244E-57.197677E-57.197677E-51.00.08.067362E-48.760197E-48.960022E-41.02281062.0E-50.0080381370.0087310930.0087707431.00454134.0E-5
6.21.2624631E-51.36821545E-51.36821545E-51.00.05.410444E-55.863676E-55.863676E-51.00.06.585225E-47.137174E-47.3370314E-41.02800232.0E-50.00656574450.00711904840.0071488351.0041843.0E-5
6.31.2624631E-51.36821545E-51.36821545E-51.00.05.410444E-55.863676E-55.863676E-51.00.06.585225E-47.137174E-47.3370314E-41.02800232.0E-50.00656574450.00711904840.0071488351.0041843.0E-5
6.49.417684E-61.0170551E-51.0170551E-51.00.04.036088E-54.3587577E-54.3587577E-51.00.04.912829E-45.3059065E-45.405853E-41.0188371.0E-50.0049019820.00529727430.00531716831.00375562.0E-5
6.59.368219E-61.0117976E-51.0117976E-51.00.04.014889E-54.3362263E-54.3362263E-51.00.04.8870314E-45.278488E-45.378435E-41.01893481.0E-50.0048762980.00526998560.00528988061.00377512.0E-5
6.67.803798E-68.442198E-68.442198E-61.00.03.3444423E-53.6180576E-53.6180576E-51.00.04.0710976E-44.404494E-44.50445E-41.02269411.0E-50.00406364720.0043996820.00441959361.00452582.0E-5
6.72.3108669E-62.4439082E-62.4439082E-61.00.09.903678E-61.0473852E-51.0473852E-51.00.01.205706E-41.2751187E-41.375106E-41.07841411.0E-50.0012050520.00127440570.0012843931.00783681.0E-5
6.82.0882828E-62.2063484E-62.2063484E-61.00.08.949753E-69.455745E-69.455745E-61.00.01.08957785E-41.15117786E-41.2511664E-41.08685761.0E-50.00108904380.00115059840.0011605871.00868121.0E-5
6.91.876935E-61.9811093E-61.9811093E-61.00.08.043982E-68.490441E-68.490441E-61.00.09.7931086E-51.0336639E-41.1336535E-41.09673321.0E-59.788794E-40.0010331990.00104318871.00966871.0E-5
7.01.5357559E-61.620328E-61.620328E-61.00.06.5817944E-66.9442453E-66.9442453E-61.00.08.01304E-58.454303E-59.4542185E-51.11827291.0E-58.010151E-48.4512116E-48.551127E-41.01182261.0E-5
7.11.0905424E-61.1497951E-61.1497951E-61.00.04.6737446E-64.9276846E-64.9276846E-61.00.05.6901354E-55.9993006E-56.9992406E-51.1666761.0E-55.6886784E-45.997779E-46.097719E-41.01666281.0E-5
7.26.06668E-76.387457E-76.387457E-71.00.02.600003E-62.737479E-62.737479E-61.00.03.1654577E-53.3328364E-54.3328033E-51.30003481.0E-53.1650066E-43.3324052E-43.432372E-41.02999831.0E-5

Blue Cut

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1227985E-52.2720424E-52.2720424E-51.00.09.097391E-59.7369935E-59.7369935E-51.00.00.00110704450.00118489240.00119488051.00842951.0E-50.0110154580.011791590.0118311181.00335234.0E-5
6.12.1227985E-52.2720424E-52.2720424E-51.00.09.097391E-59.7369935E-59.7369935E-51.00.00.00110704450.00118489240.00119488051.00842951.0E-50.0110154580.011791590.0118311181.00335234.0E-5
6.22.1227985E-52.2720424E-52.2720424E-51.00.09.097391E-59.7369935E-59.7369935E-51.00.00.00110704450.00118489240.00119488051.00842951.0E-50.0110154580.011791590.0118311181.00335234.0E-5
6.31.1613981E-51.2353959E-51.2353959E-51.00.04.9773254E-55.2944535E-55.2944535E-51.00.06.0582085E-46.4442155E-46.544151E-41.01550781.0E-50.00604171960.0064267760.00643671161.0015461.0E-5
6.41.1613981E-51.2353959E-51.2353959E-51.00.04.9773254E-55.2944535E-55.2944535E-51.00.06.0582085E-46.4442155E-46.544151E-41.01550781.0E-50.00604171960.0064267760.00643671161.0015461.0E-5
6.58.931326E-69.48191E-69.48191E-61.00.03.8276554E-54.0636176E-54.0636176E-51.00.04.6591737E-44.9464224E-45.046373E-41.02020671.0E-50.00464941750.0049363220.0049462731.00201581.0E-5
6.67.345353E-67.79053E-67.79053E-61.00.03.1479703E-53.33876E-53.33876E-51.00.03.83198E-44.0642623E-44.1642218E-41.02459471.0E-50.00382537880.0040576210.004067581.00245451.0E-5
6.76.2775666E-66.655361E-66.655361E-61.00.02.690358E-52.8522707E-52.8522707E-51.00.03.2750185E-43.4721615E-43.5721267E-41.02879051.0E-50.00327019630.00346747760.0034774431.00287391.0E-5
6.85.5234095E-65.855298E-65.855298E-61.00.02.367154E-52.5093934E-52.5093934E-51.00.02.8816288E-43.054831E-43.1548002E-41.03272511.0E-50.0028778950.00305134760.00306131711.00326731.0E-5
6.94.7780054E-65.065582E-65.065582E-61.00.02.0477004E-52.1709497E-52.1709497E-51.00.02.4927902E-42.642881E-42.642881E-41.00.00.00248999570.00264043030.00264043031.00.0
7.03.883171E-64.1186195E-64.1186195E-61.00.01.6642054E-51.7651146E-51.7651146E-51.00.02.0259817E-42.148884E-42.148884E-41.00.00.00202413560.00214748180.00214748181.00.0
7.12.8358215E-63.0098138E-63.0098138E-61.00.01.2153464E-51.2899175E-51.2899175E-51.00.01.4795837E-41.5704273E-41.5704273E-41.00.00.0014785990.00156996270.00156996271.00.0

White Mountains

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.503579E-53.378576E-53.378576E-51.00.01.5014476E-41.4478876E-41.4478876E-41.00.00.00182647960.00176149860.0017714811.0056671.0E-50.0181154030.0174876970.0175269971.00224734.0E-5
6.13.503579E-53.378576E-53.378576E-51.00.01.5014476E-41.4478876E-41.4478876E-41.00.00.00182647960.00176149860.0017714811.0056671.0E-50.0181154030.0174876970.0175269971.00224734.0E-5
6.23.503579E-53.378576E-53.378576E-51.00.01.5014476E-41.4478876E-41.4478876E-41.00.00.00182647960.00176149860.0017714811.0056671.0E-50.0181154030.0174876970.0175269971.00224734.0E-5
6.31.7818425E-51.5916949E-51.5916949E-51.00.07.636245E-56.821379E-56.821379E-51.00.09.293162E-48.3020073E-48.3020073E-41.00.00.0092543950.0082724510.0082922861.00239772.0E-5
6.41.7818425E-51.5916949E-51.5916949E-51.00.07.636245E-56.821379E-56.821379E-51.00.09.293162E-48.3020073E-48.3020073E-41.00.00.0092543950.0082724510.0082922861.00239772.0E-5
6.51.3397557E-51.1336967E-51.1336967E-51.00.05.741684E-54.858614E-54.858614E-51.00.06.988258E-45.913826E-45.913826E-41.00.00.0069663230.00589879460.00590873561.00168531.0E-5
6.61.0818695E-58.625845E-68.625845E-61.00.04.6365014E-53.696741E-53.696741E-51.00.05.6434784E-44.499896E-44.499896E-41.00.00.0056291680.00449122070.00449122071.00.0
6.79.067908E-66.802775E-66.802775E-61.00.03.8861883E-52.915444E-52.915444E-51.00.04.7304068E-43.549007E-43.549007E-41.00.00.004720350.00354365630.00354365631.00.0
6.87.295947E-64.936636E-64.936636E-61.00.03.126797E-52.1156846E-52.1156846E-51.00.03.8062103E-42.5755528E-42.5755528E-41.00.00.00379969760.00257268080.00257268081.00.0
6.96.2243444E-63.8324238E-63.8324238E-61.00.02.6675489E-51.6424572E-51.6424572E-51.00.03.2472567E-41.9995135E-41.9995135E-41.00.00.00324251570.00199776720.00199776721.00.0
7.04.9878413E-62.6796909E-62.6796909E-61.00.02.1376287E-51.1484341E-51.1484341E-51.00.02.602252E-41.3981314E-41.3981314E-41.00.00.0025992070.0013972780.0013972781.00.0
7.14.0252844E-61.8858237E-61.8858237E-61.00.01.7251105E-58.082077E-68.082077E-61.00.02.1001195E-49.839498E-59.839498E-51.00.00.00209813599.835269E-49.835269E-41.00.0
7.23.3284066E-61.2820087E-61.2820087E-61.00.01.4264522E-55.494312E-65.494312E-61.00.01.736567E-46.68913E-56.68913E-51.00.00.00173521076.6872174E-46.6872174E-41.00.0
7.32.458226E-66.057767E-76.057767E-71.00.01.0535211E-52.5961833E-62.5961833E-61.00.01.2825865E-43.1608113E-53.1608113E-51.00.00.00128184643.1603992E-43.1603992E-41.00.0
7.41.965953E-63.1094075E-73.1094075E-71.00.08.425486E-61.3326026E-61.3326026E-61.00.01.0257547E-41.6224316E-51.6224316E-51.00.00.00102528131.6223144E-41.6223144E-41.00.0
7.51.2014192E-61.8247486E-71.8247486E-71.00.05.148929E-67.820349E-77.820349E-71.00.06.2686406E-59.521234E-69.521234E-61.00.06.266873E-49.520834E-59.520834E-51.00.0
7.62.5612175E-74.8954593E-84.8954593E-81.00.01.0976642E-62.0980538E-72.0980538E-71.00.01.3363979E-52.554378E-62.554378E-61.00.01.3363175E-42.5543522E-52.5543522E-51.00.0

Palos Verdes

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.126063E-57.623574E-57.623574E-51.00.02.6251914E-43.2668703E-43.2668703E-41.00.00.00319148650.00397068450.0039906051.00501692.0E-50.0314603930.0390540030.039092441.00098424.0E-5
6.16.126063E-57.623574E-57.623574E-51.00.02.6251914E-43.2668703E-43.2668703E-41.00.00.00319148650.00397068450.0039906051.00501692.0E-50.0314603930.0390540030.039092441.00098424.0E-5
6.26.126063E-57.623574E-57.623574E-51.00.02.6251914E-43.2668703E-43.2668703E-41.00.00.00319148650.00397068450.0039906051.00501692.0E-50.0314603930.0390540030.039092441.00098424.0E-5
6.34.0838047E-54.9754835E-54.9754835E-51.00.01.7500846E-42.1321885E-42.1321885E-41.00.00.00212864580.00259305470.00259305471.00.00.0210837090.025649680.0256691671.00075972.0E-5
6.44.0838047E-54.9754835E-54.9754835E-51.00.01.7500846E-42.1321885E-42.1321885E-41.00.00.00212864580.00259305470.00259305471.00.00.0210837090.025649680.0256691671.00075972.0E-5
6.53.0512005E-53.6565478E-53.6565478E-51.00.01.3075917E-41.5670045E-41.5670045E-41.00.00.00159083040.00190627370.00190627371.00.00.0157949030.0189111550.0189209671.00051881.0E-5
6.62.9255087E-53.5158188E-53.5158188E-51.00.01.2537291E-41.5066989E-41.5066989E-41.00.00.00152534640.00183297520.00183297521.00.00.0151491890.0181901830.01821.00053981.0E-5
6.72.287198E-52.7251068E-52.7251068E-51.00.09.801909E-51.1678558E-41.1678558E-41.00.00.0011927290.00142102870.00142102871.00.00.0118634770.0141286540.0141385131.00069771.0E-5
6.82.1325764E-52.5434496E-52.5434496E-51.00.09.139293E-51.0900094E-41.0900094E-41.00.00.0011121410.00132636880.00132636881.00.00.0110659150.0131935620.013203431.00074791.0E-5
6.91.9009392E-52.2615843E-52.2615843E-51.00.08.1466285E-59.692193E-59.692193E-51.00.09.914007E-40.00117947310.00117947311.00.00.0098698940.0117408180.01175071.00084171.0E-5
7.01.7098473E-52.0321406E-52.0321406E-51.00.07.3277115E-58.708931E-58.708931E-51.00.08.917837E-40.00105988190.00105988191.00.00.0088821340.0105567070.01056660151.00093721.0E-5
7.11.5982785E-51.8996678E-51.8996678E-51.00.06.849585E-58.141227E-58.141227E-51.00.08.336179E-49.908284E-49.908284E-41.00.00.0083049770.0098724720.0098724721.00.0
7.21.4468002E-51.7198974E-51.7198974E-51.00.06.200425E-57.370828E-57.370828E-51.00.07.546402E-48.971129E-48.971129E-41.00.00.0075208270.0089431850.0089431851.00.0
7.35.288233E-66.204259E-66.204259E-61.00.02.2663658E-52.6589607E-52.6589607E-51.00.02.7589512E-43.237153E-43.237153E-41.00.00.00275552830.0032358610.0032358611.00.0
7.48.279556E-78.408416E-78.408416E-71.00.03.5483763E-63.6036022E-63.6036022E-61.00.04.3200624E-54.387305E-54.387305E-51.00.04.3192226E-44.386511E-44.386511E-41.00.0
7.56.559831E-76.667287E-76.667287E-71.00.02.8113532E-62.857406E-62.857406E-61.00.03.4227687E-53.4788427E-53.4788427E-51.00.03.4222414E-43.4783647E-43.4783647E-41.00.0
7.63.5018968E-73.5620351E-73.5620351E-71.00.01.500812E-61.526586E-61.526586E-61.00.01.8272232E-51.8586072E-51.8586072E-51.00.01.8270731E-41.8584977E-41.8584977E-41.00.0
7.71.1986104E-71.2198491E-71.2198491E-71.00.05.1369005E-75.227924E-75.227924E-71.00.06.2541585E-66.364979E-66.364979E-61.00.06.2539824E-56.364801E-56.364801E-51.00.0
7.83.0445005E-83.10279E-83.10279E-81.00.01.3047858E-71.3297671E-71.3297671E-71.00.01.5885756E-61.6189904E-61.6189904E-61.00.01.5885644E-51.6189806E-51.6189806E-51.00.0

San Diego Trough north alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.329252E-58.822253E-58.822253E-51.00.03.14073E-43.7804473E-43.7804473E-41.00.00.00381713550.00459354560.00460349951.0021671.0E-50.037522310.0450499020.04508811.00084794.0E-5
6.13.7940346E-54.4889384E-54.4889384E-51.00.01.6259136E-41.9236945E-41.9236945E-41.00.00.00197775240.0023396610.00234963741.00426411.0E-50.0196024310.0231589770.0231687451.00042181.0E-5
6.22.8645263E-53.3299646E-53.3299646E-51.00.01.2275964E-41.4270512E-41.4270512E-41.00.00.00149357390.0017360720.0017360721.00.00.01483575350.0172277560.0172277561.00.0
6.32.8645263E-53.3299646E-53.3299646E-51.00.01.2275964E-41.4270512E-41.4270512E-41.00.00.00149357390.0017360720.0017360721.00.00.01483575350.0172277560.0172277561.00.0
6.42.2204576E-52.5450316E-52.5450316E-51.00.09.5159E-51.0906828E-41.0906828E-41.00.00.0011579450.00132710670.00132710671.00.00.0115192980.0131929850.0131929851.00.0
6.52.1004838E-52.4026549E-52.4026549E-51.00.09.0017624E-51.02966915E-41.02966915E-41.00.00.00109541360.001252910.001252911.00.00.0109002960.0124595450.0124595451.00.0
6.61.820557E-52.0706313E-52.0706313E-51.00.07.802154E-58.873835E-58.873835E-51.00.09.4949827E-40.00107985930.00107985931.00.00.0094545160.0107467910.0107467911.00.0
6.71.5884485E-51.7984918E-51.7984918E-51.00.06.807459E-57.707596E-57.707596E-51.00.08.284929E-49.379985E-49.379985E-41.00.00.0082541090.0093407610.0093407611.00.0
6.81.4331171E-51.6202195E-51.6202195E-51.00.06.141786E-56.9436144E-56.9436144E-51.00.07.4750587E-48.450591E-48.450591E-41.00.00.00744996450.0084187240.0084187241.00.0
6.91.2574203E-51.4206819E-51.4206819E-51.00.05.3888325E-56.0884955E-56.0884955E-51.00.06.558929E-47.410236E-47.410236E-41.00.00.00653960370.00738571350.00738571351.00.0
7.01.0883844E-51.2290109E-51.2290109E-51.00.04.664421E-55.267084E-55.267084E-51.00.05.677453E-46.4107974E-46.4107974E-41.00.00.005662970.00639243240.00639243241.00.0
7.19.393088E-61.0607752E-51.0607752E-51.00.04.025547E-54.546101E-54.546101E-51.00.04.900001E-45.53348E-45.53348E-41.00.00.00488921070.0055197980.0055197981.00.0
7.28.190791E-69.259271E-69.259271E-61.00.03.510292E-53.968199E-53.968199E-51.00.04.2729423E-44.830218E-44.830218E-41.00.00.00426473560.00481979970.00481979971.00.0
7.36.268162E-67.090212E-67.090212E-61.00.02.6863276E-53.0386273E-53.0386273E-51.00.03.2701128E-43.6989048E-43.6989048E-41.00.00.0032653050.00369279410.00369279411.00.0
7.44.985186E-65.643079E-65.643079E-61.00.02.1364907E-52.4184403E-52.4184403E-51.00.02.600867E-42.944057E-42.944057E-41.00.00.0025978250.00294019820.00294019821.00.0
7.51.7489613E-61.9698116E-61.9698116E-61.00.07.495527E-68.4420235E-68.4420235E-61.00.09.125422E-51.0277701E-41.0277701E-41.00.09.1216754E-40.00102731680.00102731681.00.0
7.61.6988751E-71.7534121E-71.7534121E-71.00.07.2808916E-77.5146215E-77.5146215E-71.00.08.864449E-69.149016E-69.149016E-61.00.08.8640954E-59.148658E-59.148658E-51.00.0

San Jacinto (Superstition Mtn)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.4193904E-59.602433E-51.0602337E-41.10413031.0E-52.7508775E-44.1147732E-44.314691E-41.04858532.0E-50.00334405010.0049996110.00502946131.00597053.0E-50.032941740.0488359560.0488740021.0007794.0E-5
6.16.4193904E-59.602433E-51.0602337E-41.10413031.0E-52.7508775E-44.1147732E-44.314691E-41.04858532.0E-50.00334405010.0049996110.00502946131.00597053.0E-50.032941740.0488359560.0488740021.0007794.0E-5
6.25.7023593E-58.317071E-59.3169874E-51.12022461.0E-52.4436394E-43.564066E-43.763995E-41.05609572.0E-50.0029710720.00433225980.004362131.00689483.0E-50.0293166250.0425176880.0425559841.00090074.0E-5
6.35.6940098E-58.3016064E-59.301524E-51.12044861.0E-52.4400617E-43.5574404E-43.7573694E-41.05620012.0E-50.0029667280.00432422520.00435409561.00690773.0E-50.0292743310.042441060.0424793621.00090254.0E-5
6.45.4171585E-57.750967E-58.7508895E-51.12900611.0E-52.3214328E-43.321513E-43.5214465E-41.06019352.0E-50.00282268130.0040380920.0040679711.00739923.0E-50.027870960.0397304040.0397688151.00096684.0E-5
6.54.375144E-55.6446475E-56.644591E-51.17714891.0E-51.874927E-42.4189767E-42.5189525E-41.04132971.0E-50.00228033380.00294230250.00296224351.00677742.0E-50.0225707570.0292515250.0292806481.00099563.0E-5
6.62.772192E-52.5512014E-53.551176E-51.39196221.0E-51.1880282E-41.0933273E-41.19331635E-41.09145391.0E-50.00144546460.00133033250.00135030591.01501382.0E-50.0143609860.0135522040.01358179751.00218373.0E-5
6.72.7124124E-52.4722887E-53.472264E-51.40447351.0E-51.1624106E-41.0595103E-41.1594997E-41.09437321.0E-50.00141431610.00128920970.00130918391.01549342.0E-50.0140534870.013145780.0131753861.00225213.0E-5
6.82.5475807E-52.2187278E-53.2187054E-51.45069871.0E-51.0917746E-49.5084935E-51.05083986E-41.10515921.0E-50.0013284250.00115705620.00117703311.01726522.0E-50.01320511850.0118337340.01185349751.00167012.0E-5
6.92.1162023E-51.7647073E-52.7646896E-51.56665621.0E-59.069123E-57.562814E-58.5627384E-51.13221591.0E-50.00110360649.2038745E-49.303782E-41.0108551.0E-50.0109814170.00945780.0094677051.00104741.0E-5
7.01.8754288E-51.618151E-52.6181347E-51.61797931.0E-58.037304E-56.93475E-57.9346806E-51.14419131.0E-59.781026E-48.439812E-48.539728E-41.01183861.0E-50.0097380870.0086804610.0086903741.0011421.0E-5
7.11.8678527E-51.6106644E-52.6106483E-51.62085181.0E-58.0048376E-56.902666E-57.902597E-51.14486161.0E-59.7415317E-48.4007805E-48.500696E-41.01189361.0E-50.0096989390.0086414330.0086513461.00114731.0E-5
7.21.7804578E-51.5400998E-52.5400845E-51.64929851.0E-57.6303106E-56.600262E-57.600196E-51.15149921.0E-59.285943E-48.032879E-48.132799E-41.01243891.0E-50.0092472360.0082726690.0082825861.00119881.0E-5
7.31.6583685E-51.4549885E-52.454974E-51.68728071.0E-57.1070994E-56.2355175E-57.2354545E-51.16036161.0E-58.649459E-47.5891183E-47.689042E-41.01316681.0E-50.008615870.007827840.0078377621.00126741.0E-5
7.41.6387552E-51.4414733E-52.4414589E-51.69372461.0E-57.023047E-56.177598E-57.177536E-51.16186521.0E-58.5472054E-47.51865E-47.618575E-41.01329031.0E-50.0085144050.00775722740.00776714971.00127911.0E-5
7.51.5790754E-51.4055237E-52.4055098E-51.71146861.0E-56.767291E-56.0235354E-57.023475E-51.16600551.0E-58.236062E-47.3312066E-47.4311334E-41.01363031.0E-50.0082056040.0075676970.00757762141.00131141.0E-5
7.61.4248672E-51.3073736E-52.3073606E-51.76488231.0E-56.106431E-55.6029105E-56.6028544E-51.17846871.0E-57.432043E-46.8194256E-46.9193577E-41.0146541.0E-50.0074072370.00705001220.00705994151.00140851.0E-5
7.71.15449975E-51.0921719E-52.092161E-51.91559671.0E-54.947762E-54.6806534E-55.6806064E-51.21363541.0E-56.022235E-45.6972133E-45.797156E-41.01754251.0E-50.0060059410.0059195720.0059295131.00167931.0E-5
7.89.1391985E-69.531725E-61.953163E-52.0491181.0E-53.9167408E-54.0849613E-55.0849205E-51.24479031.0E-54.767588E-44.9723114E-45.0722616E-41.02010141.0E-50.00475737270.005185640.0051955881.00191841.0E-5
7.96.973017E-67.3976203E-61.7397546E-52.35177611.0E-52.9884017E-53.1703705E-54.1703388E-51.31541051.0E-53.6377716E-43.8592477E-43.959209E-41.02590181.0E-50.00363182250.0040598250.00406978471.00245321.0E-5
8.05.7638235E-66.274068E-61.6274005E-52.59385231.0E-52.4701867E-52.6888587E-53.688832E-51.3718951.0E-53.0070372E-43.2731987E-43.373166E-41.03054121.0E-50.00300297140.00346084430.003470811.00287951.0E-5
8.15.1124434E-65.508488E-61.5508433E-52.81537031.0E-52.1910288E-52.3607594E-53.3607357E-51.42358261.0E-52.6672508E-42.8738505E-42.9738218E-41.03478651.0E-50.00266405170.00304710140.0030570711.00327181.0E-5
8.21.1075938E-65.354127E-75.354127E-71.00.04.7468216E-62.294624E-62.294624E-61.00.05.779102E-52.793671E-52.793671E-51.00.05.777599E-43.1443583E-43.1443583E-41.00.0
8.31.3584393E-84.4900936E-94.4900936E-91.00.05.8218827E-81.9243258E-81.9243258E-81.00.07.0881396E-72.3428666E-72.3428666E-71.00.07.0881174E-62.6262912E-62.6262912E-61.00.0

Oak Ridge (Onshore)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.155064E-52.9529527E-52.9529527E-51.00.01.3521002E-41.2654919E-41.4654666E-41.15802132.0E-50.0016449390.00153968550.00156963931.01945453.0E-50.016328160.0152943370.0153238771.00193153.0E-5
6.13.155064E-52.9529527E-52.9529527E-51.00.01.3521002E-41.2654919E-41.4654666E-41.15802132.0E-50.0016449390.00153968550.00156963931.01945453.0E-50.016328160.0152943370.0153238771.00193153.0E-5
6.23.155064E-52.9529527E-52.9529527E-51.00.01.3521002E-41.2654919E-41.4654666E-41.15802132.0E-50.0016449390.00153968550.00156963931.01945453.0E-50.016328160.0152943370.0153238771.00193153.0E-5
6.33.155064E-52.9529527E-52.9529527E-51.00.01.3521002E-41.2654919E-41.4654666E-41.15802132.0E-50.0016449390.00153968550.00156963931.01945453.0E-50.016328160.0152943370.0153238771.00193153.0E-5
6.43.155064E-52.9529527E-52.9529527E-51.00.01.3521002E-41.2654919E-41.4654666E-41.15802132.0E-50.0016449390.00153968550.00156963931.01945453.0E-50.016328160.0152943370.0153238771.00193153.0E-5
6.53.155064E-52.9529527E-52.9529527E-51.00.01.3521002E-41.2654919E-41.4654666E-41.15802132.0E-50.0016449390.00153968550.00156963931.01945453.0E-50.016328160.0152943370.0153238771.00193153.0E-5
6.63.155064E-52.9529527E-52.9529527E-51.00.01.3521002E-41.2654919E-41.4654666E-41.15802132.0E-50.0016449390.00153968550.00156963931.01945453.0E-50.016328160.0152943370.0153238771.00193153.0E-5
6.73.098897E-52.8867666E-52.8867666E-51.00.01.328031E-41.2371292E-41.4371044E-41.16164462.0E-50.00161567850.00150520180.00153515661.01990093.0E-50.0160398220.014954160.0149837111.00197613.0E-5
6.83.0449872E-52.824281E-52.824281E-51.00.01.3049292E-41.2103521E-41.410328E-41.16522122.0E-50.00158759350.00147264470.00150260061.02034153.0E-50.0157629920.0146328810.0146624421.00202013.0E-5
6.92.697928E-52.4222873E-52.4222873E-51.00.01.15620365E-41.0380831E-41.2380623E-41.19264282.0E-50.00140676890.00126315490.0012931171.023723.0E-50.01397896650.0125621180.012591741.00235813.0E-5
7.02.4893961E-52.1864958E-52.1864958E-51.00.01.0668404E-49.37037E-51.0370276E-41.10670941.0E-50.00129810430.00114026320.00116024041.01751982.0E-50.0129054770.0113460590.0113658331.00174272.0E-5
7.12.0945363E-51.7357057E-51.7357057E-51.00.08.976275E-57.4385294E-58.438455E-51.13442521.0E-50.00109231369.052694E-49.252513E-41.02207292.0E-50.01086960.00901640.009036221.00219822.0E-5
7.22.0439404E-51.6811955E-51.6811955E-51.00.08.7594504E-57.2049275E-57.2049275E-51.00.00.00106594138.7685155E-48.868428E-41.01139441.0E-50.0106084270.0087344830.0087443961.00113491.0E-5
7.31.8463334E-51.5382886E-51.5382886E-51.00.07.912617E-56.5925014E-56.5925014E-51.00.09.6293533E-48.023458E-48.123378E-41.01245341.0E-50.0095877340.0079950010.00800492151.00124071.0E-5
7.41.763139E-51.4517755E-51.4517755E-51.00.07.556091E-56.2217485E-56.2217485E-51.00.09.1956573E-47.572386E-47.6723105E-41.01319591.0E-50.0091576990.0075470350.00755695951.0013151.0E-5
7.51.3594944E-51.1163885E-51.1163885E-51.00.05.8262744E-54.7844354E-54.7844354E-51.00.07.0911803E-45.823519E-45.9234607E-41.01716171.0E-50.0070685950.00580842230.0058183641.00171161.0E-5
7.66.9889534E-65.636935E-65.636935E-61.00.02.9952313E-52.4158073E-52.4158073E-51.00.03.646084E-42.9408524E-42.9408524E-41.00.00.00364010730.00293700470.00293700471.00.0
7.74.0824193E-63.2833914E-63.2833914E-61.00.01.7495966E-51.4071602E-51.4071602E-51.00.02.1299256E-41.7130842E-41.7130842E-41.00.00.00212788510.00171177710.00171177711.00.0
7.81.7023609E-61.4371045E-61.4371045E-61.00.07.295812E-66.159005E-66.159005E-61.00.08.882289E-57.4983334E-57.4983334E-51.00.08.8787393E-47.495831E-47.495831E-41.00.0
7.92.721225E-72.2617681E-72.2617681E-71.00.01.1662388E-69.693289E-79.693289E-71.00.01.4198865E-51.1801518E-51.1801518E-51.00.01.4197957E-41.18009186E-41.18009186E-41.00.0
8.09.364255E-95.1215614E-95.1215614E-91.00.04.0132523E-82.1949548E-82.1949548E-81.00.04.8861335E-72.6723572E-72.6723572E-71.00.04.8861225E-62.6723544E-62.6723544E-61.00.0

San Clemente

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.681379E-58.164766E-58.164766E-51.00.02.8631336E-43.4987382E-43.5987032E-41.02857171.0E-50.0034802940.00425190760.0042618651.00234191.0E-50.034262910.0417608250.041789571.00068843.0E-5
6.16.681379E-58.164766E-58.164766E-51.00.02.8631336E-43.4987382E-43.5987032E-41.02857171.0E-50.0034802940.00425190760.0042618651.00234191.0E-50.034262910.0417608250.0417704061.00022951.0E-5
6.23.9400576E-54.6456847E-54.6456847E-51.00.01.6884868E-41.9908592E-42.0908393E-41.05021951.0E-50.00205379450.00242122980.00243120571.00412011.0E-50.0203491670.0239551640.0239649251.00040751.0E-5
6.33.2590255E-53.793244E-53.793244E-51.00.01.3966505E-41.6255764E-41.7255601E-41.06150661.0E-50.00169909560.0019773730.00198735321.00504721.0E-50.016861630.0196015780.0196113831.00050021.0E-5
6.42.9454652E-53.410063E-53.410063E-51.00.01.2622811E-41.4613752E-41.5613606E-41.06841871.0E-50.00153574380.00177779860.00178778081.00561491.0E-50.0152517390.0176389390.0176487621.0005571.0E-5
6.52.790836E-53.2250136E-53.2250136E-51.00.01.1960178E-41.3820769E-41.4820631E-41.07234491.0E-50.0014551790.00168140560.00169138881.00593751.0E-50.0144568680.0166898560.0166996891.00058911.0E-5
6.62.2492153E-52.5764695E-52.5764695E-51.00.09.639138E-51.1041553E-41.2041443E-41.0905571.0E-50.00117293310.00134349490.00135348131.00743331.0E-50.0116676150.0133554430.013365311.00073871.0E-5
6.71.9862755E-52.2668124E-52.2668124E-51.00.08.512331E-59.7145545E-51.0714457E-41.10292831.0E-50.00103588360.00118211660.00119210481.00844941.0E-50.0103106820.0117595780.01176946051.00084041.0E-5
6.81.6697575E-51.8979084E-51.8979084E-51.00.07.155907E-58.133645E-59.133564E-51.12293611.0E-58.7088346E-49.898308E-49.998209E-41.01009271.0E-50.0086747840.0098552480.0098651491.00100471.0E-5
6.91.5218415E-51.7270635E-51.7270635E-51.00.06.522015E-57.401496E-58.4014224E-51.13509791.0E-57.93766E-49.007684E-49.107594E-41.01109161.0E-50.0079093670.008972120.008982031.00110461.0E-5
7.01.2392958E-51.4034001E-51.4034001E-51.00.05.3111595E-56.0144375E-57.0143775E-51.16625651.0E-56.4644177E-47.320193E-47.42012E-41.01365091.0E-50.00644564540.0072968670.0073067941.00136041.0E-5
7.11.0934128E-51.2376004E-51.2376004E-51.00.04.6859706E-55.3038977E-56.3038446E-51.18853061.0E-55.7036756E-46.4556557E-46.5555907E-41.01548031.0E-50.00568905850.00643764860.00644758441.00154341.0E-5
7.29.5798805E-61.0845695E-51.0845695E-51.00.04.1055984E-54.6480764E-55.6480298E-51.21513271.0E-54.9974193E-45.6576356E-45.757579E-41.01766531.0E-50.00498619630.0056439560.00565389961.00176181.0E-5
7.38.0167365E-69.084559E-69.084559E-61.00.03.4356988E-53.893328E-53.893328E-51.00.04.1821605E-44.7391668E-44.7391668E-41.00.00.00417429860.0047297630.0047297631.00.0
7.42.9581017E-63.362623E-63.362623E-61.00.01.2677518E-51.441119E-51.441119E-51.00.01.5433785E-41.7544716E-41.7544716E-41.00.00.0015423070.00175358170.00175358171.00.0

Imperial

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7496446E-45.060534E-45.060534E-41.00.00.00117788690.0021670370.00217701521.00460461.0E-50.01424676550.0260630080.0260727481.00037371.0E-50.133672490.228234410.228257571.00010143.0E-5
6.12.5356023E-44.8701253E-44.8701253E-41.00.00.0010862340.00208556540.00209554451.00478481.0E-50.0131449280.0251007230.0251104721.00038841.0E-50.1239401550.219653670.219677081.00010663.0E-5
6.22.4820742E-44.7795853E-44.7795853E-41.00.00.00106331240.00204682350.0020568031.00487571.0E-50.012869190.024640240.0246499941.00039591.0E-50.121489270.216157780.21618131.00010883.0E-5
6.32.3205351E-44.5930318E-44.5930318E-41.00.09.94136E-40.0019669940.00197697431.00507391.0E-50.0120365990.0236851310.0236948931.00041221.0E-50.114051330.208078240.208101991.00011423.0E-5
6.42.0304754E-43.9915304E-43.9915304E-41.00.08.6991355E-40.0017095490.00171953181.00583951.0E-50.0105398690.020620650.0206304431.00047491.0E-50.1005376350.18521140.185235841.0001323.0E-5
6.51.854992E-43.7025133E-43.7025133E-41.00.07.9475436E-40.00158583890.0015958231.00629581.0E-50.0096332810.0191457770.0191555861.00051241.0E-50.09226230.173437640.173462441.00014293.0E-5
6.61.6586106E-43.406821E-43.406821E-41.00.07.106394E-40.00145925930.00146924471.00684271.0E-50.0086177630.017626550.0176363761.00055731.0E-50.082911320.160907860.160933051.00015643.0E-5
6.71.4224656E-43.0796128E-43.0796128E-41.00.06.094856E-40.00131917470.00132916151.00757051.0E-50.00739526930.0159447510.0159545911.00061711.0E-50.071539550.146606480.146623551.00011652.0E-5
6.81.2317259E-42.7815934E-42.7815934E-41.00.05.2777573E-40.00119157290.0012015611.00838231.0E-50.00640675470.0144122850.0144221411.00068391.0E-50.062251660.133042410.133059751.00013032.0E-5
6.99.859898E-52.503297E-42.503297E-41.00.04.2249862E-40.00107240480.0010823941.00931491.0E-50.00513179460.0129793280.0129891991.00076041.0E-50.050148930.119488390.1195061.00014732.0E-5
7.07.3191884E-52.1280872E-42.1280872E-41.00.03.136418E-49.117218E-49.2171266E-41.01095831.0E-50.0038119040.0110444040.0110542931.00089541.0E-50.0374717640.102129670.1021476241.00017582.0E-5
7.17.1760296E-52.0982049E-42.0982049E-41.00.03.0750787E-48.9892396E-49.0891495E-41.01111441.0E-50.0037374820.0108901580.0109000491.00090831.0E-50.036752450.100765560.100783551.00017852.0E-5
7.26.46614E-51.9150079E-41.9150079E-41.00.02.7709085E-48.204626E-48.3045434E-41.01217831.0E-50.00336836280.0099440020.0099539031.00099561.0E-50.0331776250.092571210.0925893561.00019612.0E-5
7.36.088115E-51.7821198E-41.7821198E-41.00.02.6089314E-47.6354493E-47.7353726E-41.01308681.0E-50.00317174760.0092571120.0092670191.00107031.0E-50.0312685850.0866192060.0866374751.00021092.0E-5
7.44.199346E-51.1520217E-41.1520217E-41.00.01.7995955E-44.9363106E-45.036261E-41.0202481.0E-50.00218880570.00599356650.00600350651.00165841.0E-50.021673720.057484360.0575032121.0003282.0E-5
7.53.130448E-58.341438E-58.341438E-51.00.01.3415517E-43.5744155E-43.6743798E-41.02796661.0E-50.00163211530.0043432270.00435318331.00229241.0E-50.0162018030.0421690050.042188161.00045432.0E-5
7.62.3074248E-56.0914088E-56.0914088E-51.00.09.888588E-52.6103438E-42.6103438E-41.00.00.00120327060.00317348540.00317348541.00.00.0119677610.0310585390.0310682281.0003121.0E-5
7.71.45864815E-54.018208E-54.018208E-51.00.06.2511994E-51.7219759E-41.7219759E-41.00.07.608177E-40.0020944950.0020944951.00.00.0075821820.0206544380.0206642321.00047421.0E-5
7.81.0352979E-53.100957E-53.100957E-51.00.04.4369157E-51.3289141E-41.3289141E-41.00.05.400606E-40.00161675450.00161675451.00.00.00538750.0160395130.0160493531.00061351.0E-5
7.98.137906E-62.2187884E-52.2187884E-51.00.03.4876273E-59.5087475E-59.5087475E-51.00.04.2453592E-40.00115707610.00115707611.00.00.0042372580.0116362490.0116461321.00084941.0E-5
8.06.93792E-61.8041985E-51.8041985E-51.00.02.9733603E-57.73205E-57.73205E-51.00.03.6194647E-49.409713E-49.409713E-41.00.00.00361357510.0095172790.0095271841.00104071.0E-5
8.13.4286315E-66.394906E-66.394906E-61.00.01.4694053E-52.7406453E-52.7406453E-51.00.01.7888541E-43.336226E-43.336226E-41.00.00.00178741480.0034935920.0034935921.00.0
8.21.4906886E-61.9423765E-61.9423765E-61.00.06.3886496E-68.324444E-68.324444E-61.00.07.7779034E-51.01345424E-41.01345424E-41.00.07.775182E-40.00111047180.00111047181.00.0
8.32.5758007E-81.4553524E-81.4553524E-81.00.01.10391454E-76.2372244E-86.2372244E-81.00.01.3440151E-67.593821E-77.593821E-71.00.01.344007E-57.9182655E-67.9182655E-61.00.0

Hayward (So) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.8091932E-43.572658E-43.672622E-41.02798031.0E-57.751381E-40.00153025050.00154023521.00652491.0E-50.009396540.0184740550.0184838721.00053131.0E-50.0900900660.166835070.166860061.00014983.0E-5
6.11.8091932E-43.572658E-43.672622E-41.02798031.0E-57.751381E-40.00153025050.00154023521.00652491.0E-50.009396540.0184740550.0184838721.00053131.0E-50.0900900660.166835070.166860061.00014983.0E-5
6.21.8091932E-43.572658E-43.672622E-41.02798031.0E-57.751381E-40.00153025050.00154023521.00652491.0E-50.009396540.0184740550.0184838721.00053131.0E-50.0900900660.166835070.166860061.00014983.0E-5
6.31.7322872E-43.4283107E-43.5282766E-41.02915881.0E-57.4219756E-40.00146845830.00147844361.00679981.0E-50.00899887550.0177341940.0177440161.00055381.0E-50.086430750.160775080.160800261.00015663.0E-5
6.41.6334097E-43.2364417E-43.3364093E-41.03088811.0E-56.998449E-40.00138631780.00139630391.00720331.0E-50.0084873720.0167498090.0167596411.0005871.0E-50.0817044150.15268140.152706821.00016653.0E-5
6.51.5600289E-43.1038653E-43.2038343E-41.03220781.0E-56.684125E-40.00132955820.00133954491.00751131.0E-50.0081075980.0160691180.0160789561.00061231.0E-50.0781810360.146957470.146983061.00017423.0E-5
6.61.4046066E-42.8051974E-42.9051694E-41.03563811.0E-56.018354E-40.00120168040.00121166841.00831161.0E-50.00730275550.0145338160.014543671.00067811.0E-50.070673840.134043440.134069431.00019383.0E-5
6.71.14696966E-42.3288836E-42.4288603E-41.0429291.0E-54.914658E-49.977162E-40.00100770631.01001291.0E-50.00596719240.0120806040.0120904841.00081781.0E-50.0580948220.112850770.112868521.00015722.0E-5
6.89.3874296E-51.8875783E-41.9875594E-41.05296791.0E-54.0225635E-48.08715E-48.1870693E-41.01235531.0E-50.00488647870.009802390.0098122921.00101021.0E-50.0478041730.0926993640.0927175061.00019572.0E-5
6.95.551852E-51.07379914E-41.1737884E-41.09311721.0E-52.3791482E-44.6011907E-44.7011446E-41.02172351.0E-50.00289276540.005587680.00559762351.00177971.0E-50.0285539810.0542872550.0543061681.00034842.0E-5
7.04.2662363E-58.2531384E-59.253056E-51.1211561.0E-51.8282588E-43.5365837E-43.6365484E-41.02826581.0E-50.00222363280.0042973630.00430732031.0023171.0E-50.0220151380.042096280.042115441.00045512.0E-5
7.13.305886E-56.307517E-57.307454E-51.1585311.0E-51.4167312E-42.7029423E-42.8029154E-41.03698671.0E-50.00172350560.00328588530.00329585231.00303331.0E-50.0171019980.0324793870.0324987361.00059582.0E-5
7.22.9856887E-55.7067366E-56.7066794E-51.17522141.0E-51.2795182E-42.445516E-42.5454914E-41.04088121.0E-50.00155670010.00297336720.00298333751.00335321.0E-50.0154584030.0294792730.0294986831.00065842.0E-5
7.32.4559737E-54.603594E-55.603548E-51.21721161.0E-51.0525176E-41.9728203E-42.0728006E-41.05067881.0E-50.00128068690.0023992760.00240925191.00415791.0E-50.0127333130.023879390.0238989131.00081752.0E-5
7.41.9002231E-53.5087567E-53.5087567E-51.00.08.143559E-51.5036669E-41.5036669E-41.00.09.910273E-40.00182918690.00182918691.00.00.0098661940.0182769930.0182868111.00053721.0E-5
7.51.2783333E-52.335991E-52.335991E-51.00.05.4784563E-51.0011009E-41.0011009E-41.00.06.667979E-40.00121816470.00121816471.00.00.0066480070.0122245490.0122344271.0008081.0E-5
7.64.8149627E-68.898817E-68.898817E-61.00.02.063539E-53.8137237E-53.8137237E-51.00.02.5120692E-44.6422318E-44.6422318E-41.00.00.00250923140.0046878760.0046878761.00.0
7.76.0838227E-71.2080477E-61.2080477E-61.00.02.6073499E-65.177337E-65.177337E-61.00.03.174402E-56.3032254E-56.3032254E-51.00.03.1739488E-46.5410853E-46.5410853E-41.00.0
7.84.5542808E-79.812968E-79.812968E-71.00.01.9518332E-64.2055512E-64.2055512E-61.00.02.376331E-55.1201387E-55.1201387E-51.00.02.3760769E-45.331643E-45.331643E-41.00.0
7.93.3016747E-77.401679E-77.401679E-71.00.01.4150027E-63.172144E-63.172144E-61.00.01.7227521E-53.8620172E-53.8620172E-51.00.01.7226185E-44.0006454E-44.0006454E-41.00.0
8.02.347038E-75.482229E-75.482229E-71.00.01.0058731E-62.3495245E-62.3495245E-61.00.01.2246436E-52.8605087E-52.8605087E-51.00.01.2245761E-42.9407733E-42.9407733E-41.00.0
8.11.18822804E-72.610645E-72.610645E-71.00.05.092405E-71.1188474E-61.1188474E-61.00.06.1999854E-61.3621884E-51.3621884E-51.00.06.199812E-51.3941649E-41.3941649E-41.00.0

Santa Rosa Island

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1143165E-54.709476E-54.709476E-51.00.01.7631594E-42.0182018E-42.0182018E-41.00.00.0021445330.00245458820.00245458821.00.00.0212395530.0242954080.024324681.00120483.0E-5
6.12.1061249E-52.3866654E-52.3866654E-51.00.09.0259375E-51.0228182E-41.0228182E-41.00.00.00109835390.00124459870.00124459871.00.00.010929410.0123793240.01239907651.00159562.0E-5
6.22.1061249E-52.3866654E-52.3866654E-51.00.09.0259375E-51.0228182E-41.0228182E-41.00.00.00109835390.00124459870.00124459871.00.00.010929410.0123793240.01239907651.00159562.0E-5
6.31.5158236E-51.707557E-51.707557E-51.00.06.496225E-57.317903E-57.317903E-51.00.07.906284E-48.9060253E-48.9060253E-41.00.00.0078782140.0088715860.0088814971.00111721.0E-5
6.41.2341918E-51.3853823E-51.3853823E-51.00.05.2892858E-55.9372218E-55.9372218E-51.00.06.437803E-47.226252E-47.226252E-41.00.00.0064191840.0072035910.0072135191.00137821.0E-5
6.59.061158E-61.0117662E-51.0117662E-51.00.03.883296E-54.3360717E-54.3360717E-51.00.04.726887E-45.277942E-45.277942E-41.00.00.0047168450.0052659450.0052758921.0018891.0E-5
6.67.5461685E-68.401244E-68.401244E-61.00.03.2340322E-53.6004854E-53.6004854E-51.00.03.936723E-44.3827525E-44.3827525E-41.00.00.0039297560.00437453850.0043844951.0022761.0E-5
6.75.5023775E-66.0877283E-66.0877283E-61.00.02.3581404E-52.6090021E-52.6090021E-51.00.02.8706578E-43.1760297E-43.1760297E-41.00.00.00286695220.00317181230.00317181231.00.0
6.83.7351679E-64.0833456E-64.0833456E-61.00.01.6007763E-51.7499948E-51.7499948E-51.00.01.948771E-42.1304353E-42.1304353E-41.00.00.00194706290.00212863830.00212863831.00.0
6.92.456366E-62.6293699E-62.6293699E-61.00.01.0527241E-51.126868E-51.126868E-51.00.01.2816161E-41.3718757E-41.3718757E-41.00.00.00128087730.00137103170.00137103171.00.0
7.02.3245157E-62.4828691E-62.4828691E-61.00.09.962172E-61.0640824E-51.0640824E-51.00.01.2128269E-41.2954435E-41.2954435E-41.00.00.00121216520.00129469060.00129469061.00.0
7.12.2248344E-62.373335E-62.373335E-61.00.09.53497E-61.0171396E-51.0171396E-51.00.01.1608207E-41.2382973E-41.2382973E-41.00.00.00116021440.00123760930.00123760931.00.0
7.22.1350402E-62.2762347E-62.2762347E-61.00.09.150141E-69.755256E-69.755256E-61.00.01.1139726E-41.1876378E-41.1876378E-41.00.00.00111341440.0011870050.0011870051.00.0
7.31.9793572E-62.108793E-62.108793E-61.00.08.482932E-69.037653E-69.037653E-61.00.01.032748E-41.100279E-41.100279E-41.00.00.00103226820.0010997360.0010997361.00.0
7.41.6951194E-61.8046361E-61.8046361E-61.00.07.264777E-67.734132E-67.734132E-61.00.08.844508E-59.4159004E-59.4159004E-51.00.08.840988E-49.411928E-49.411928E-41.00.0
7.58.987207E-79.512518E-79.512518E-71.00.03.8516546E-64.0767873E-64.0767873E-61.00.04.6892885E-54.9633767E-54.9633767E-51.00.04.688299E-44.96228E-44.96228E-41.00.0
7.63.8783037E-74.0530364E-74.0530364E-71.00.01.6621291E-61.7370145E-61.7370145E-61.00.02.0236233E-52.1147953E-52.1147953E-51.00.02.023439E-42.1146005E-42.1146005E-41.00.0
7.76.181804E-86.3391695E-86.3391695E-81.00.02.6493444E-72.7167866E-72.7167866E-71.00.03.225572E-63.3076826E-63.3076826E-61.00.03.225525E-53.3076343E-53.3076343E-51.00.0
7.81.3704449E-91.3964294E-91.3964294E-91.00.05.873335E-95.984697E-95.984697E-91.00.07.1507856E-87.2863685E-87.2863685E-81.00.07.1507833E-77.2863673E-77.2863673E-71.00.0

San Cayetano

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.3476267E-51.8172113E-51.8172113E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.787818E-57.787818E-51.00.00.00122422259.477581E-49.677391E-41.02108242.0E-50.0121750020.0094377380.0094674551.00314873.0E-5
6.12.3476267E-51.8172113E-51.8172113E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.787818E-57.787818E-51.00.00.00122422259.477581E-49.677391E-41.02108242.0E-50.0121750020.0094377380.0094674551.00314873.0E-5
6.22.3476267E-51.8172113E-51.8172113E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.787818E-57.787818E-51.00.00.00122422259.477581E-49.677391E-41.02108242.0E-50.0121750020.0094377380.0094674551.00314873.0E-5
6.32.3476267E-51.8172113E-51.8172113E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.787818E-57.787818E-51.00.00.00122422259.477581E-49.677391E-41.02108242.0E-50.0121750020.0094377380.0094674551.00314873.0E-5
6.42.3476267E-51.8172113E-51.8172113E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.787818E-57.787818E-51.00.00.00122422259.477581E-49.677391E-41.02108242.0E-50.0121750020.0094377380.0094674551.00314873.0E-5
6.52.3476267E-51.8172113E-51.8172113E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.787818E-57.787818E-51.00.00.00122422259.477581E-49.677391E-41.02108242.0E-50.0121750020.0094377380.0094674551.00314873.0E-5
6.62.3476267E-51.8172113E-51.8172113E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.787818E-57.787818E-51.00.00.00122422259.477581E-49.677391E-41.02108242.0E-50.0121750020.0094377380.0094674551.00314873.0E-5
6.72.3476267E-51.8172113E-51.8172113E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.787818E-57.787818E-51.00.00.00122422259.477581E-49.677391E-41.02108242.0E-50.0121750020.0094377380.0094674551.00314873.0E-5
6.82.3241924E-51.7939776E-51.7939776E-51.00.09.960445E-57.6882505E-57.6882505E-51.00.00.00121200959.356462E-49.556275E-41.02135562.0E-50.0120542040.0093175720.0093472931.00318973.0E-5
6.92.2761007E-51.7435174E-51.7435174E-51.00.09.7543525E-57.472005E-57.472005E-51.00.00.00118694549.0934034E-49.2932215E-41.0219742.0E-50.0118062560.0090566730.0090864021.00328243.0E-5
7.02.240283E-51.7068909E-51.7068909E-51.00.09.600859E-57.315043E-57.315043E-51.00.00.00116827778.9024607E-49.102283E-41.02244572.0E-50.0116215490.008867260.0088969941.00335323.0E-5
7.12.1871154E-51.6588769E-51.6588769E-51.00.09.373015E-57.10928E-57.10928E-51.00.00.00114056718.652145E-48.851972E-41.02309562.0E-50.0113473090.0086189080.0086387361.00230052.0E-5
7.22.0714133E-51.556723E-51.556723E-51.00.08.8771834E-56.671501E-56.671501E-51.00.00.00108026118.119558E-48.319396E-41.02461182.0E-50.0107502490.0080903130.0081101521.00245212.0E-5
7.31.8408395E-51.3997954E-51.3997954E-51.00.07.8890735E-55.998987E-55.998987E-51.00.09.600714E-47.301349E-47.5012026E-41.02737222.0E-50.0095593420.00727773920.00729759361.00272812.0E-5
7.41.6856795E-51.2850997E-51.2850997E-51.00.07.2241404E-55.5074554E-55.5074554E-51.00.08.7918417E-46.7032926E-46.9031585E-41.0298162.0E-50.008757140.00668340040.00670326641.00297252.0E-5
7.51.2822778E-59.578085E-69.578085E-61.00.05.495361E-54.1048297E-54.1048297E-51.00.06.688548E-44.9965E-45.0964503E-41.0200041.0E-50.0066684520.004985330.004995281.00199591.0E-5
7.65.6272684E-63.855225E-63.855225E-61.00.02.4116642E-51.6522288E-51.6522288E-51.00.02.9358055E-42.0114038E-42.0114038E-41.00.00.00293193010.00200959430.00200959431.00.0
7.73.5261346E-62.3409038E-62.3409038E-61.00.01.5111918E-51.0032407E-51.0032407E-51.00.01.8397206E-41.2213778E-41.2213778E-41.00.00.00183819840.0012207140.0012207141.00.0
7.81.4826929E-61.0565171E-61.0565171E-61.00.06.354383E-64.527923E-64.527923E-61.00.07.736187E-55.5126085E-55.5126085E-51.00.07.733494E-45.5112614E-45.5112614E-41.00.0
7.92.7568166E-71.6979682E-71.6979682E-71.00.01.1814923E-67.2770047E-77.2770047E-71.00.01.4384574E-58.859717E-68.859717E-61.00.01.4383643E-48.8593675E-58.8593675E-51.00.0
8.05.407832E-82.6892753E-82.6892753E-81.00.02.3176422E-71.1525465E-71.1525465E-71.00.02.8217257E-61.4032245E-61.4032245E-61.00.02.8216898E-51.4032161E-51.4032161E-51.00.0

San Pedro Basin

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.3449043E-56.337653E-56.337653E-51.00.02.2904722E-42.7158888E-42.7158888E-41.00.00.00278508360.00330217970.00332211381.00603662.0E-50.0275043660.0325926770.03262171.00089053.0E-5
6.15.3449043E-56.337653E-56.337653E-51.00.02.2904722E-42.7158888E-42.7158888E-41.00.00.00278508360.00330217970.00332211381.00603662.0E-50.0275043660.0325926770.03262171.00089053.0E-5
6.22.3189454E-52.6644975E-52.6644975E-51.00.09.9379584E-51.1418802E-41.1418802E-41.00.00.00120927490.00138939960.00139938571.00718741.0E-50.0120271550.0138119970.0138218591.00071411.0E-5
6.32.3189454E-52.6644975E-52.6644975E-51.00.09.9379584E-51.1418802E-41.1418802E-41.00.00.00120927490.00138939960.00139938571.00718741.0E-50.0120271550.0138119970.0138218591.00071411.0E-5
6.41.966056E-52.2465161E-52.2465161E-51.00.08.425682E-59.627594E-59.627594E-51.00.00.0010253440.00117156930.00118155771.00852561.0E-50.0102062590.01165801750.0116679011.00084781.0E-5
6.51.7342953E-51.9746642E-51.9746642E-51.00.07.4324824E-58.462593E-58.462593E-51.00.09.04529E-40.00102987060.00103986031.00971.0E-50.0090085610.0102547030.0102646011.00096511.0E-5
6.61.439804E-51.6323913E-51.6323913E-51.00.06.170443E-56.995793E-56.995793E-51.00.07.509924E-48.514371E-48.6142856E-41.01173481.0E-50.00748459530.0084849520.0084948671.00116861.0E-5
6.71.2634884E-51.42863255E-51.42863255E-51.00.05.414838E-56.1225845E-56.1225845E-51.00.06.590571E-47.452002E-47.551927E-41.01340931.0E-50.0065710590.00743003470.00743996031.00133591.0E-5
6.81.146091E-51.29341115E-51.29341115E-51.00.04.911726E-55.5430897E-55.5430897E-51.00.05.9783855E-46.746919E-46.846852E-41.01481161.0E-50.00596232760.00672937650.0067393091.0014761.0E-5
6.99.109035E-61.023572E-51.023572E-51.00.03.9038136E-54.3866792E-54.3866792E-51.00.04.7518566E-45.339753E-45.4397E-41.01871741.0E-50.00474170830.00532967740.0053396241.00186631.0E-5
7.05.9351028E-66.584381E-66.584381E-61.00.02.5435906E-52.8218605E-52.8218605E-51.00.03.0963816E-43.4353096E-43.5352752E-41.02909951.0E-50.00309207060.00343231650.00344228231.00290351.0E-5
7.12.1557585E-62.2096997E-62.2096997E-61.00.09.238933E-69.470108E-69.470108E-61.00.01.1247819E-41.1529262E-41.1529262E-41.00.00.00112421280.00115234350.00115234351.00.0
7.22.1251979E-62.1780454E-62.1780454E-61.00.09.107958E-69.334447E-69.334447E-61.00.01.1088375E-41.1364112E-41.1364112E-41.00.00.00110828450.00113584540.00113584541.00.0
7.31.7145798E-61.7443253E-61.7443253E-61.00.07.3481783E-67.4756595E-67.4756595E-61.00.08.94604E-59.101244E-59.101244E-51.00.08.9424395E-49.097608E-49.097608E-41.00.0
7.41.4467993E-61.4642178E-61.4642178E-61.00.06.200554E-66.2752047E-66.2752047E-61.00.07.548913E-57.639801E-57.639801E-51.00.07.546349E-47.6372473E-47.6372473E-41.00.0
7.51.2803735E-61.293177E-61.293177E-61.00.05.487303E-65.5421756E-65.5421756E-61.00.06.680587E-56.747397E-56.747397E-51.00.06.678579E-46.745419E-46.745419E-41.00.0
7.66.755009E-76.769609E-76.769609E-71.00.02.8950008E-62.901258E-62.901258E-61.00.03.5246063E-53.5322304E-53.5322304E-51.00.03.5240475E-43.5317263E-43.5317263E-41.00.0
7.76.211885E-84.5700904E-84.5700904E-81.00.02.6622362E-71.95861E-71.95861E-71.00.03.2412677E-62.3846053E-62.3846053E-61.00.03.2412205E-52.3845818E-52.3845818E-51.00.0
7.82.6580573E-91.5139658E-91.5139658E-91.00.01.1391674E-86.488425E-96.488425E-91.00.01.3869362E-77.899657E-87.899657E-81.00.01.3869354E-67.899657E-77.899657E-71.00.0

Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0240792E-52.4092273E-52.4092273E-51.00.01.2959696E-41.0324908E-41.0324908E-41.00.00.00157670080.00125643330.00127640821.01589812.0E-50.0156556090.0125033220.0125329471.00236943.0E-5
6.13.0240792E-52.4092273E-52.4092273E-51.00.01.2959696E-41.0324908E-41.0324908E-41.00.00.00157670080.00125643330.00127640821.01589812.0E-50.0156556090.0125033220.0125329471.00236943.0E-5
6.23.0240792E-52.4092273E-52.4092273E-51.00.01.2959696E-41.0324908E-41.0324908E-41.00.00.00157670080.00125643330.00127640821.01589812.0E-50.0156556090.0125033220.0125329471.00236943.0E-5
6.32.0498217E-51.3638665E-51.3638665E-51.00.08.784654E-55.84502E-55.84502E-51.00.00.00106900697.114151E-47.21408E-41.01404651.0E-50.010638790.0070930030.0071128611.00279962.0E-5
6.42.0498217E-51.3638665E-51.3638665E-51.00.08.784654E-55.84502E-55.84502E-51.00.00.00106900697.114151E-47.21408E-41.01404651.0E-50.010638790.0070930030.0071128611.00279962.0E-5
6.51.7316182E-51.0477401E-51.0477401E-51.00.07.42101E-54.4902426E-54.4902426E-51.00.09.0313336E-45.465599E-45.465599E-41.00.00.0089947180.00545315260.00545315261.00.0
6.61.5251077E-58.414451E-68.414451E-61.00.06.536012E-53.6061476E-53.6061476E-51.00.07.9546886E-44.3896728E-44.3896728E-41.00.00.0079262740.0043817190.0043817191.00.0
6.71.2997425E-56.411434E-66.411434E-61.00.05.570206E-52.747731E-52.747731E-51.00.06.7796157E-43.3448957E-43.3448957E-41.00.00.00675896930.00334032110.00334032111.00.0
6.81.035386E-54.3333516E-64.3333516E-61.00.04.437293E-51.857138E-51.857138E-51.00.05.401065E-42.2608395E-42.2608395E-41.00.00.00538795670.00225862630.00225862631.00.0
6.98.816252E-63.5807668E-63.5807668E-61.00.03.778339E-51.5346057E-51.5346057E-51.00.04.5991567E-41.8682281E-41.8682281E-41.00.00.004589650.0018667160.0018667161.00.0
7.06.8232207E-62.5675947E-62.5675947E-61.00.02.9242048E-51.1003933E-51.1003933E-51.00.03.5596377E-41.3396496E-41.3396496E-41.00.00.00355394110.00133887310.00133887311.00.0
7.15.837013E-62.2274467E-62.2274467E-61.00.02.501553E-59.546166E-69.546166E-61.00.03.045215E-41.16218675E-41.16218675E-41.00.00.00304104550.0011616080.0011616081.00.0
7.24.278052E-61.6275889E-61.6275889E-61.00.01.833438E-56.9753632E-66.9753632E-61.00.02.231982E-48.492197E-58.492197E-51.00.00.00222974188.4891845E-48.4891845E-41.00.0
7.31.8803692E-68.345203E-78.345203E-71.00.08.0587E-63.5765115E-63.5765115E-61.00.09.811026E-54.3543307E-54.3543307E-51.00.09.806695E-44.353622E-44.353622E-41.00.0

Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2521618E-44.76691E-44.76691E-41.00.09.6485513E-40.0020413990.00205137861.00488871.0E-50.0116839880.0245652220.0245749761.00039711.0E-50.110884230.213631270.213654861.00011043.0E-5
6.12.2521618E-44.76691E-44.76691E-41.00.09.6485513E-40.0020413990.00205137861.00488871.0E-50.0116839880.0245652220.0245749761.00039711.0E-50.110884230.213631270.213654861.00011043.0E-5
6.22.198148E-44.6752882E-44.6752882E-41.00.09.417233E-40.00200219310.0020121731.00498451.0E-50.0114053430.024098980.0241087381.0004051.0E-50.108374280.210066020.210089711.00011283.0E-5
6.32.1704129E-44.618843E-44.618843E-41.00.09.298453E-40.0019780390.00198801931.00504551.0E-50.0112622340.023812240.0238220021.000411.0E-50.1070827250.207957010.207980781.00011423.0E-5
6.41.876142E-44.0079502E-44.0079502E-41.00.08.038131E-40.00171657650.00172655941.00581551.0E-50.009742590.0207001440.0207099361.00047311.0E-50.0932636860.184708160.184732621.00013243.0E-5
6.51.7390939E-43.7510466E-43.7510466E-41.00.07.45113E-40.00160661320.00161659711.00621431.0E-50.0090340780.0193880330.0193978381.00050581.0E-50.0867552160.174528150.174552921.00014193.0E-5
6.61.591791E-43.4923697E-43.4923697E-41.00.06.8201777E-40.00149588140.00150586641.0066751.0E-50.0082719960.0180629270.0180727471.00054361.0E-50.079707740.163932670.163957741.0001533.0E-5
6.71.4268003E-43.208802E-43.208802E-41.00.06.1134255E-40.00137448440.00138447061.00726541.0E-50.0074177230.016608080.0166179151.00059211.0E-50.071749560.152056710.152073671.00011162.0E-5
6.81.239713E-42.9079075E-42.9079075E-41.00.05.3119735E-40.0012456570.00125564451.00801791.0E-50.00644816740.0150618460.0150716961.0006541.0E-50.062642430.138485210.138502431.00012452.0E-5
6.91.0180238E-42.6274272E-42.6274272E-41.00.04.3622297E-40.00112555860.00113554731.00887451.0E-50.0052980890.0136185730.0136284361.00072431.0E-50.051735430.125048120.125065611.000142.0E-5
7.07.6619996E-52.241466E-42.241466E-41.00.03.283301E-49.602778E-49.7026816E-41.01040361.0E-50.00399009320.0116294190.0116393031.00084981.0E-50.0391920660.107336410.107354271.00016632.0E-5
7.17.5127435E-52.2097632E-42.2097632E-41.00.03.2193496E-49.4670086E-49.566914E-41.0105531.0E-50.00391251550.0114658710.0114757561.00086211.0E-50.0384434420.105899790.105917671.00016882.0E-5
7.26.788582E-52.0224846E-42.0224846E-41.00.02.9090676E-48.664942E-48.7648554E-41.01153081.0E-50.00353603860.01049917750.0105090731.00094251.0E-50.0348030.0975684150.097586461.0001852.0E-5
7.36.399602E-51.8855186E-41.8855186E-41.00.02.7423984E-48.0783205E-48.178239E-41.01236881.0E-50.00333375860.0097915920.0098014941.00101131.0E-50.032841880.0914603840.091478561.00019872.0E-5
7.44.506759E-51.2540306E-41.2540306E-41.00.01.9313251E-45.373319E-45.473265E-41.01860051.0E-50.00234885260.00652256750.00653250241.00152311.0E-50.0232418050.062413420.0624321741.00030042.0E-5
7.53.43289E-59.3448114E-59.3448114E-51.00.01.4711556E-44.0043076E-44.1042676E-41.02496311.0E-50.00178966030.00486440860.00487436031.00204581.0E-50.017753160.047097460.0471165181.00040462.0E-5
7.62.5980507E-57.061279E-57.061279E-51.00.01.1134028E-43.0259127E-43.0259127E-41.00.00.0013547250.00367784970.00367784971.00.00.0134649590.035878320.035887961.00026871.0E-5
7.71.7292105E-54.9476897E-54.9476897E-51.00.07.4106916E-52.1202664E-42.1202664E-41.00.09.018782E-40.00257837420.00257837421.00.00.0089822670.0253224450.0253321921.00038491.0E-5
7.81.2927471E-53.9753748E-53.9753748E-51.00.05.5402274E-51.703621E-41.703621E-41.00.06.743139E-40.00207218780.00207218781.00.00.00672271430.020459640.0204694361.00047871.0E-5
7.91.0200774E-52.879426E-52.879426E-51.00.04.371687E-51.2339813E-41.2339813E-41.00.05.321229E-40.00150133810.00150133811.00.00.0053085050.0150143510.0150242011.0006561.0E-5
8.08.650396E-62.331885E-52.331885E-51.00.03.70726E-59.99341E-59.99341E-51.00.04.5126543E-40.00121601940.00121601941.00.00.00450350160.0122306080.0122404851.00080761.0E-5
8.13.9368224E-67.3453502E-67.3453502E-61.00.01.6871985E-53.1479693E-53.1479693E-51.00.02.0539707E-43.83198E-43.83198E-41.00.00.00205207310.0040099150.0040099151.00.0
8.21.7101195E-62.2244978E-62.2244978E-61.00.07.329063E-69.533527E-69.533527E-61.00.08.922769E-51.1606455E-41.1606455E-41.00.08.9191867E-40.00127008940.00127008941.00.0
8.33.0346666E-81.7278948E-81.7278948E-81.00.01.3005713E-77.405263E-87.405263E-81.00.01.5834444E-69.015907E-79.015907E-71.00.01.5834332E-59.403383E-69.403383E-61.00.0

Deep Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9810619E-52.3114562E-52.3114562E-51.00.08.489989E-59.9061515E-59.9061515E-51.00.00.0010331660.00120591440.00122589021.0165652.0E-50.0102837570.0120434930.0120731311.0024613.0E-5
6.11.9810619E-52.3114562E-52.3114562E-51.00.08.489989E-59.9061515E-59.9061515E-51.00.00.0010331660.00120591440.00122589021.0165652.0E-50.0102837570.0120434930.0120731311.0024613.0E-5
6.21.9810619E-52.3114562E-52.3114562E-51.00.08.489989E-59.9061515E-59.9061515E-51.00.00.0010331660.00120591440.00122589021.0165652.0E-50.0102837570.0120434930.0120731311.0024613.0E-5
6.31.9810619E-52.3114562E-52.3114562E-51.00.08.489989E-59.9061515E-59.9061515E-51.00.00.0010331660.00120591440.00122589021.0165652.0E-50.0102837570.0120434930.0120731311.0024613.0E-5
6.41.9810619E-52.3114562E-52.3114562E-51.00.08.489989E-59.9061515E-59.9061515E-51.00.00.0010331660.00120591440.00122589021.0165652.0E-50.0102837570.0120434930.0120731311.0024613.0E-5
6.51.7190405E-52.0052328E-52.0052328E-51.00.07.367108E-58.593855E-58.593855E-51.00.08.9657627E-40.00104630160.00106628061.0190952.0E-50.0089296760.01046298350.0104926691.00283733.0E-5
6.61.7190405E-52.0052328E-52.0052328E-51.00.07.367108E-58.593855E-58.593855E-51.00.08.9657627E-40.00104630160.00106628061.0190952.0E-50.0089296760.01046298350.0104926691.00283733.0E-5

Big Pine (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.916913E-61.2822198E-51.2822198E-51.00.04.250036E-55.4951244E-55.4951244E-51.00.05.173191E-46.688481E-46.7884143E-41.01494111.0E-50.00516116430.0066731030.0067029031.00446573.0E-5
6.19.916913E-61.2822198E-51.2822198E-51.00.04.250036E-55.4951244E-55.4951244E-51.00.05.173191E-46.688481E-46.7884143E-41.01494111.0E-50.00516116430.0066731030.0067029031.00446573.0E-5
6.29.916913E-61.2822198E-51.2822198E-51.00.04.250036E-55.4951244E-55.4951244E-51.00.05.173191E-46.688481E-46.7884143E-41.01494111.0E-50.00516116430.0066731030.0067029031.00446573.0E-5
6.35.479711E-68.118015E-68.118015E-61.00.02.3484265E-53.4791046E-53.4791046E-51.00.02.858834E-44.2350183E-44.334976E-41.02360261.0E-50.00285515890.00422983430.00425970741.00706243.0E-5
6.45.465009E-68.102307E-68.102307E-61.00.02.3421257E-53.472373E-53.472373E-51.00.02.851165E-44.226826E-44.3267838E-41.02364841.0E-50.00284750970.0042216730.0042515461.00707613.0E-5
6.54.826767E-67.427343E-67.427343E-61.00.02.068598E-53.18311E-53.18311E-51.00.02.518227E-43.8747748E-43.974736E-41.0257981.0E-50.00251537510.00387086350.00390074751.00772023.0E-5
6.64.3146847E-66.8872637E-66.8872637E-61.00.01.8491375E-52.9516525E-52.9516525E-51.00.02.2510924E-43.5930687E-43.6930328E-41.02782141.0E-50.00224881340.00359007160.0036199641.00832643.0E-5
6.73.6968106E-66.000254E-66.000254E-61.00.01.5843378E-52.571513E-52.571513E-51.00.01.9287605E-43.1303827E-43.2303514E-41.0319351.0E-50.00192708730.0031286950.0031386641.00318621.0E-5
6.83.4671132E-65.706825E-65.706825E-61.00.01.4858972E-52.44576E-52.44576E-51.00.01.8089297E-42.9773204E-43.0772906E-41.03357721.0E-50.00180745790.0029760450.00298601531.00335011.0E-5
6.92.7686972E-64.829523E-64.829523E-61.00.01.1865792E-52.0697795E-52.0697795E-51.00.01.4445644E-42.5196726E-42.6196474E-41.03967771.0E-50.00144362570.00251946130.0025294361.00395911.0E-5
7.02.1472624E-63.9889437E-63.9889437E-61.00.09.20252E-61.7095364E-51.7095364E-51.00.01.12034926E-42.0811672E-42.1811464E-41.04803991.0E-50.00111978450.00208184030.00209181941.00479341.0E-5
7.11.7018335E-63.3484318E-63.3484318E-61.00.07.293552E-61.4350345E-51.4350345E-51.00.08.879537E-51.747018E-41.8470005E-41.05723041.0E-58.87599E-40.00174823590.00175821851.005711.0E-5
7.21.25603E-62.797844E-62.797844E-61.00.05.3829745E-61.1990706E-51.1990706E-51.00.06.553574E-51.459773E-41.5597584E-41.06849381.0E-56.551642E-40.00146138210.00147136751.00683281.0E-5
7.31.112297E-62.6135112E-62.6135112E-61.00.04.7669787E-61.1200716E-51.1200716E-51.00.05.803642E-51.363604E-41.363604E-41.00.05.802127E-40.00136517940.00136517941.00.0
7.41.0137181E-62.4865376E-62.4865376E-61.00.04.3444993E-61.0656548E-51.0656548E-51.00.05.2892992E-51.2973596E-41.2973596E-41.00.05.288041E-40.00129879810.00129879811.00.0
7.59.598608E-72.410106E-62.410106E-61.00.04.1136827E-61.0328986E-51.0328986E-51.00.05.0082934E-51.2574837E-41.2574837E-41.00.05.007165E-40.0012587750.0012587751.00.0
7.67.929459E-72.0474768E-62.0474768E-61.00.03.3983351E-68.774872E-68.774872E-61.00.04.1373947E-51.06829E-41.06829E-41.00.04.1366243E-40.00106980740.00106980741.00.0
7.74.155788E-71.1624114E-61.1624114E-61.00.01.7810507E-64.981754E-64.981754E-61.00.02.1684076E-56.0651208E-56.0651208E-51.00.02.1681961E-46.09492E-46.09492E-41.00.0
7.81.14666925E-72.5960628E-72.5960628E-71.00.04.914296E-71.1125978E-61.1125978E-61.00.05.9831386E-61.3545799E-51.3545799E-51.00.05.9829777E-51.3656996E-41.3656996E-41.00.0
7.92.9231824E-84.1527553E-84.1527553E-81.00.01.2527924E-71.7797521E-71.7797521E-71.00.01.5252737E-62.1668463E-62.1668463E-61.00.01.5252632E-52.2004704E-52.2004704E-51.00.0

San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.693995E-66.6708703E-66.6708703E-61.00.02.8688235E-52.8589133E-53.8588845E-51.34977331.0E-53.492233E-43.4801717E-43.580137E-41.02872421.0E-50.003486750.00355497980.00358487321.00840893.0E-5
6.16.693995E-66.6708703E-66.6708703E-61.00.02.8688235E-52.8589133E-53.8588845E-51.34977331.0E-53.492233E-43.4801717E-43.580137E-41.02872421.0E-50.003486750.00355497980.00358487321.00840893.0E-5
6.26.693995E-66.6708703E-66.6708703E-61.00.02.8688235E-52.8589133E-53.8588845E-51.34977331.0E-53.492233E-43.4801717E-43.580137E-41.02872421.0E-50.003486750.00355497980.00358487321.00840893.0E-5
6.36.693995E-66.6708703E-66.6708703E-61.00.02.8688235E-52.8589133E-53.8588845E-51.34977331.0E-53.492233E-43.4801717E-43.580137E-41.02872421.0E-50.003486750.00355497980.00358487321.00840893.0E-5
6.46.693995E-66.6708703E-66.6708703E-61.00.02.8688235E-52.8589133E-53.8588845E-51.34977331.0E-53.492233E-43.4801717E-43.580137E-41.02872421.0E-50.003486750.00355497980.00358487321.00840893.0E-5
6.56.6561875E-66.6310877E-66.6310877E-61.00.02.8526205E-52.8418637E-53.841835E-51.35187171.0E-53.472512E-43.4594207E-43.559386E-41.02889661.0E-50.00346709070.0035342950.0035641891.00845833.0E-5
6.66.6561875E-66.6310877E-66.6310877E-61.00.02.8526205E-52.8418637E-53.841835E-51.35187171.0E-53.472512E-43.4594207E-43.559386E-41.02889661.0E-50.00346709070.0035342950.0035641891.00845833.0E-5
6.76.5802237E-66.550262E-66.550262E-61.00.02.8200653E-52.8072249E-53.807197E-51.35621371.0E-53.4328885E-43.417261E-43.5172267E-41.02925321.0E-50.00342759020.00349226830.00352216351.00856043.0E-5
6.86.575632E-66.5447507E-66.5447507E-61.00.02.8180975E-52.804863E-53.804835E-51.35651361.0E-53.4304935E-43.4143863E-43.514352E-41.02927781.0E-50.00342520260.00348940260.0035192981.00856753.0E-5
6.96.570433E-66.5361432E-66.5361432E-61.00.02.8158694E-52.8011742E-53.801146E-51.35698321.0E-53.4277816E-43.4098965E-43.5098626E-41.02931641.0E-50.00342249920.00348492710.00351482261.00857853.0E-5
7.06.5643826E-66.526262E-66.526262E-61.00.02.8132765E-52.7969396E-53.7969116E-51.35752371.0E-53.424626E-43.4047425E-43.5047086E-41.02936081.0E-50.00341935320.00347978920.0035096851.00859123.0E-5
7.16.557402E-66.514972E-66.514972E-61.00.02.8102848E-52.792101E-53.792073E-51.35814321.0E-53.4209844E-43.3988536E-43.4988194E-41.02941171.0E-50.00341572290.003473920.0035038161.00860573.0E-5
7.26.546394E-66.496935E-66.496935E-61.00.02.8055672E-52.784371E-53.784343E-51.35913751.0E-53.4152428E-43.3894452E-43.4894113E-41.02949331.0E-50.00340999870.00346454540.00349444151.00862923.0E-5
7.36.5364216E-66.477713E-66.477713E-61.00.02.8012933E-52.7761333E-53.7761056E-51.36020331.0E-53.4100408E-43.379419E-43.479385E-41.02958081.0E-50.0034048130.00345456090.00348445731.00865413.0E-5
7.46.5269523E-66.4587916E-66.4587916E-61.00.02.7972354E-52.7680242E-53.7679965E-51.36125851.0E-53.4051016E-43.3695492E-43.4695154E-41.02966761.0E-50.00339988880.003444740.0034746371.00867893.0E-5
7.56.5111835E-66.435057E-66.435057E-61.00.02.7904773E-52.7578524E-53.7578247E-51.3625911.0E-53.3968766E-43.3571688E-43.4571352E-41.0297771.0E-50.00339168870.003432410.00346230721.00871033.0E-5
7.66.4768806E-66.394153E-66.394153E-61.00.02.7757764E-52.7403225E-53.740295E-51.36491061.0E-53.3789838E-43.3358324E-43.4357992E-41.02996751.0E-50.00337385040.0034111340.00344103161.00876473.0E-5
7.76.1655364E-66.18656E-66.18656E-61.00.02.642346E-52.6513559E-53.6513295E-51.37715551.0E-53.2165812E-43.2275481E-43.327516E-41.03097331.0E-50.00321192950.0033026970.00333259811.00905353.0E-5
7.85.5043524E-65.747343E-65.747343E-61.00.02.3589868E-52.463124E-53.4630993E-51.40597861.0E-52.871688E-42.9984413E-43.0984113E-41.03334071.0E-50.00286797970.00307265860.00310256631.00973363.0E-5
7.93.889249E-64.085056E-64.085056E-61.00.01.6668104E-51.7507266E-52.750709E-51.57118141.0E-52.0291525E-42.1313014E-42.2312802E-41.04690971.0E-50.00202730070.00219877250.00222870641.01361393.0E-5
8.02.668535E-62.5371553E-62.5371553E-61.00.01.1436528E-51.0873477E-52.0873369E-51.9196591.0E-51.3923083E-41.3237656E-41.4237524E-41.07553211.0E-50.00139143630.00137889080.0013888771.00724221.0E-5
8.11.5911459E-61.2216242E-61.2216242E-61.00.06.8191785E-65.2355217E-65.2355217E-61.00.08.3020335E-56.3740634E-56.3740634E-51.00.08.298933E-46.709651E-46.709651E-41.00.0
8.26.1294963E-72.1894976E-72.1894976E-71.00.02.6269242E-69.383558E-79.383558E-71.00.03.1982334E-51.1424422E-51.1424422E-51.00.03.1977732E-41.2831615E-41.2831615E-41.00.0
8.31.762871E-74.7755343E-84.7755343E-81.00.07.5551594E-72.0466574E-72.0466574E-71.00.09.1983675E-62.4918027E-62.4918027E-61.00.09.197987E-52.881044E-52.881044E-51.00.0

Santa Ynez (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2269712E-53.675413E-53.675413E-51.00.01.3829143E-41.5751152E-41.5751152E-41.00.00.00168239790.00191659920.00193656081.01041522.0E-50.0166971780.019058160.0190875881.00154413.0E-5
6.13.2269712E-53.675413E-53.675413E-51.00.01.3829143E-41.5751152E-41.5751152E-41.00.00.00168239790.00191659920.00193656081.01041522.0E-50.0166971780.019058160.0190875881.00154413.0E-5
6.23.2269712E-53.675413E-53.675413E-51.00.01.3829143E-41.5751152E-41.5751152E-41.00.00.00168239790.00191659920.00193656081.01041522.0E-50.0166971780.019058160.0190875881.00154413.0E-5
6.33.2269712E-53.675413E-53.675413E-51.00.01.3829143E-41.5751152E-41.5751152E-41.00.00.00168239790.00191659920.00193656081.01041522.0E-50.0166971780.019058160.0190875881.00154413.0E-5
6.41.4404779E-51.4850021E-51.4850021E-51.00.06.1733306E-56.3641426E-56.3641426E-51.00.07.513438E-47.74564E-47.945485E-41.0258012.0E-50.00748808540.00771919360.0077390391.0025712.0E-5
6.51.4404779E-51.4850021E-51.4850021E-51.00.06.1733306E-56.3641426E-56.3641426E-51.00.07.513438E-47.74564E-47.945485E-41.0258012.0E-50.00748808540.00771919360.0077390391.0025712.0E-5
6.61.280208E-51.3012444E-51.3012444E-51.00.05.4864904E-55.5766435E-55.5766435E-51.00.06.6777546E-46.787466E-46.887398E-41.01472311.0E-50.0066577240.0067669460.0067768781.00146781.0E-5
6.71.2457027E-51.26289415E-51.26289415E-51.00.05.3386164E-55.412292E-55.412292E-51.00.06.497827E-46.58749E-46.687424E-41.01517031.0E-50.006478860.00656816040.0065780951.00151251.0E-5
6.81.2095134E-51.2231368E-51.2231368E-51.00.05.1835254E-55.2419102E-55.2419102E-51.00.06.309115E-46.380173E-46.4801093E-41.01566351.0E-50.00629123250.0063620440.00637198051.00156191.0E-5
6.91.1104036E-51.1157752E-51.1157752E-51.00.04.758786E-54.781807E-54.781807E-51.00.05.7922816E-45.8203074E-45.920249E-41.01717131.0E-50.0057772070.00580520930.0058151511.00171261.0E-5
7.01.0577444E-51.0582056E-51.0582056E-51.00.04.5331115E-54.535089E-54.535089E-51.00.05.5176654E-45.520084E-45.620029E-41.01810561.0E-50.00550398560.0055065110.0055164561.0018061.0E-5
7.11.0021775E-59.981338E-69.981338E-61.00.04.294976E-54.2776468E-54.2776468E-51.00.05.2278786E-45.206802E-45.30675E-41.01919571.0E-50.00521559640.00519473520.0052046831.0019151.0E-5
7.28.874109E-68.749089E-68.749089E-61.00.03.8031343E-53.7495563E-53.7495563E-51.00.04.629332E-44.5641392E-44.6640937E-41.02189991.0E-50.00461970.00455488360.0045648381.00218551.0E-5
7.37.5504267E-67.5053244E-67.5053244E-61.00.03.235857E-53.2165288E-53.2165288E-51.00.03.9389438E-43.91543E-44.015391E-41.025531.0E-50.00393196940.00390863840.00391859931.00254851.0E-5
7.46.309394E-66.183301E-66.183301E-61.00.02.703998E-52.6499598E-52.6499598E-51.00.03.2916202E-43.225858E-43.3258257E-41.03098951.0E-50.0032867490.00322127270.00323124041.00309431.0E-5
7.54.6103073E-64.440954E-64.440954E-61.00.01.975831E-51.9032526E-51.9032526E-51.00.02.4053088E-42.3169705E-42.3169705E-41.00.00.0024027070.00231462440.00231462441.00.0
7.61.2858658E-61.3008582E-61.3008582E-61.00.05.5108417E-65.575095E-65.575095E-61.00.06.7092435E-56.787474E-56.787474E-51.00.06.707218E-46.7854696E-46.7854696E-41.00.0
7.75.3302307E-75.612297E-75.612297E-71.00.02.2843826E-62.4052679E-62.4052679E-61.00.02.7812002E-52.9283781E-52.9283781E-51.00.02.7808524E-42.9280278E-42.9280278E-41.00.0
7.84.613933E-84.8031144E-84.8031144E-81.00.01.9773998E-72.0584774E-72.0584774E-71.00.02.4074816E-62.5061934E-62.5061934E-61.00.02.4074554E-52.5061661E-52.5061661E-51.00.0

Hayward (No) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.3068506E-51.7407778E-41.8407604E-41.05743561.0E-53.9880406E-47.458329E-47.558255E-41.01339781.0E-50.00484463430.0090425980.00905250851.00109591.0E-50.0474037040.086426590.0864540041.00031713.0E-5
6.19.055486E-51.6958894E-41.7958725E-41.05895611.0E-53.880345E-47.266072E-47.3659996E-41.01375261.0E-50.00471409040.0088106380.00882055051.0011251.0E-50.0461533550.084324260.084351731.00032583.0E-5
6.29.006742E-51.6879481E-41.7879313E-41.05923351.0E-53.859461E-47.232057E-47.331985E-41.01381731.0E-50.00468877420.0087695950.0087795071.00113031.0E-50.04591070.083948430.083975921.00032733.0E-5
6.38.8336754E-51.6558994E-41.7558828E-41.06038011.0E-53.7853114E-47.094785E-47.194714E-41.01408481.0E-50.0045988820.0086038480.00861376151.00115231.0E-50.045048660.08244530.082472821.00033393.0E-5
6.48.526157E-51.5985436E-41.6985275E-41.0625471.0E-53.6535555E-46.849107E-46.9490384E-41.01459051.0E-50.00443913460.0083070640.0083169811.00119381.0E-50.0435149930.079725770.079753381.00034633.0E-5
6.58.152396E-51.531771E-41.6317557E-41.06527391.0E-53.493416E-46.5630855E-46.66302E-41.01522671.0E-50.00424494180.0079614320.0079713521.00124611.0E-50.041647650.0765637160.076591421.00036183.0E-5
6.67.987405E-51.5021875E-41.6021724E-41.06655961.0E-53.4227243E-46.436364E-46.5363E-41.01552681.0E-50.00415920650.0078082750.0078181971.00127071.0E-50.040822180.0751560550.07518381.00036923.0E-5
6.77.777665E-51.4660617E-41.566047E-41.06821.0E-53.332859E-46.2816154E-46.3815527E-41.01590941.0E-50.0040502080.00762120350.00763112731.00130211.0E-50.0397718060.073430670.073458471.00037853.0E-5
6.87.3284005E-51.3810355E-41.4810218E-41.07239941.0E-53.140365E-45.9173873E-46.017328E-41.01688931.0E-50.00381669290.0071807580.0071906861.00138261.0E-50.0375180360.069340190.069368111.00040273.0E-5
6.96.458263E-51.213902E-41.3138898E-41.0823691.0E-52.7675333E-45.2014046E-45.3013524E-41.01921561.0E-50.00336426640.00631442340.006324361.00157371.0E-50.0331378840.0612603170.061288481.00045973.0E-5
7.05.3853604E-51.0031354E-41.1031254E-41.09967741.0E-52.3078074E-44.2984466E-44.3984037E-41.02325431.0E-50.00280613520.00522086540.00523081331.00190541.0E-50.0277096420.0509880520.0510165241.00055843.0E-5
7.14.4308683E-58.175687E-59.1756054E-51.12230381.0E-51.8988053E-43.5033975E-43.6033624E-41.02853371.0E-50.00230934420.00425708570.0042670431.0023391.0E-50.0228549260.041848460.0418772031.00068693.0E-5
7.23.295973E-56.0817918E-57.081731E-51.16441521.0E-51.4124835E-42.606223E-42.706197E-41.03835961.0E-50.00171834210.00316848260.0031784511.0031461.0E-50.0170511570.0313917170.0314110931.00061712.0E-5
7.32.452256E-54.5222114E-55.522166E-51.22112071.0E-51.05092455E-41.9379474E-42.0379279E-41.0515911.0E-50.00127874960.00235691150.00236688791.00423291.0E-50.01271416250.0234615170.0234810471.00083242.0E-5
7.41.8829967E-53.4639685E-53.4639685E-51.00.08.069736E-51.484474E-41.484474E-41.00.09.820475E-40.00180585870.00180585871.00.00.0097771890.0180376860.0180475061.00054441.0E-5
7.51.26374125E-52.2949873E-52.2949873E-51.00.05.4159216E-59.8352924E-59.8352924E-51.00.06.5918895E-40.00119679490.00119679491.00.00.006572370.0120032990.0120131781.00082311.0E-5
7.64.666429E-68.489379E-68.489379E-61.00.01.9998828E-53.638255E-53.638255E-51.00.02.4345852E-44.4286877E-44.4286877E-41.00.00.00243191980.0044652380.0044652381.00.0
7.73.8399318E-77.147363E-77.147363E-71.00.01.6456839E-63.063152E-63.063152E-61.00.02.003602E-53.7293237E-53.7293237E-51.00.02.0034213E-43.8681817E-43.8681817E-41.00.0
7.82.5637698E-75.377888E-75.377888E-71.00.01.098758E-62.3048071E-62.3048071E-61.00.01.3377297E-52.8060667E-52.8060667E-51.00.01.3376492E-42.9301937E-42.9301937E-41.00.0
7.91.7141245E-73.7371512E-73.7371512E-71.00.07.3462456E-71.6016353E-61.6016353E-61.00.08.944017E-61.9499736E-51.9499736E-51.00.08.943657E-52.0285243E-42.0285243E-41.00.0
8.01.1808895E-72.7565898E-72.7565898E-71.00.05.060954E-71.181395E-61.181395E-61.00.06.161694E-61.438339E-51.438339E-51.00.06.161523E-51.4843856E-41.4843856E-41.00.0
8.15.138535E-81.1250981E-71.1250981E-71.00.02.2022292E-74.821848E-74.821848E-71.00.02.6812106E-65.8705846E-65.8705846E-61.00.02.6811784E-56.026497E-56.026497E-51.00.0

West Napa 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.773104E-54.453336E-55.4532917E-51.22454071.0E-51.6169442E-41.9084511E-42.0084319E-41.05238851.0E-50.0019668520.00232138070.00233135741.00429771.0E-50.0194953480.0230045080.0230338161.00127413.0E-5
6.13.773104E-54.453336E-55.4532917E-51.22454071.0E-51.6169442E-41.9084511E-42.0084319E-41.05238851.0E-50.0019668520.00232138070.00233135741.00429771.0E-50.0194953480.0230045080.0230338161.00127413.0E-5
6.23.773104E-54.453336E-55.4532917E-51.22454071.0E-51.6169442E-41.9084511E-42.0084319E-41.05238851.0E-50.0019668520.00232138070.00233135741.00429771.0E-50.0194953480.0230045080.0230338161.00127413.0E-5
6.32.147964E-52.4989826E-52.4989826E-51.00.09.2052345E-51.0709537E-41.0709537E-41.00.00.0011201610.00130319790.00130319791.00.00.0111453150.0129659210.0129659211.00.0
6.42.147964E-52.4989826E-52.4989826E-51.00.09.2052345E-51.0709537E-41.0709537E-41.00.00.0011201610.00130319790.00130319791.00.00.0111453150.0129659210.0129659211.00.0
6.51.688201E-51.9549603E-51.9549603E-51.00.07.234947E-58.378173E-58.378173E-51.00.08.804988E-40.0010196380.0010196381.00.00.0087701820.010158010.010158011.00.0
6.61.6846381E-51.9509293E-51.9509293E-51.00.07.219678E-58.360898E-58.360898E-51.00.08.7864127E-40.00101753670.00101753671.00.00.0087517540.0101371890.0101371891.00.0
6.71.3396501E-51.5469546E-51.5469546E-51.00.05.7412315E-56.629673E-56.629673E-51.00.06.9877075E-48.069273E-48.069273E-41.00.00.00696577550.0080474410.0080474411.00.0
6.81.0139058E-51.1673708E-51.1673708E-51.00.04.3452383E-55.0029532E-55.0029532E-51.00.05.289043E-46.0899486E-46.0899486E-41.00.00.0052764730.00607992340.00607992341.00.0
6.97.761281E-68.8920015E-68.8920015E-61.00.03.326221E-53.810831E-53.810831E-51.00.04.0489217E-44.639213E-44.639213E-41.00.00.00404155250.0046357840.0046357841.00.0
7.02.2109202E-62.3673033E-62.3673033E-61.00.09.475338E-61.0145546E-51.0145546E-51.00.01.1535613E-41.235151E-41.235151E-41.00.00.00115296270.00123568990.00123568991.00.0
7.11.9008926E-62.0139657E-62.0139657E-61.00.08.146657E-68.631254E-68.631254E-61.00.09.918104E-51.0508047E-41.0508047E-41.00.09.913679E-40.0010515280.0010515281.00.0
7.21.8495944E-61.956769E-61.956769E-61.00.07.926808E-68.386126E-68.386126E-61.00.09.650462E-51.02096325E-41.02096325E-41.00.09.6462725E-40.00102171440.00102171441.00.0
7.31.7883189E-61.8887272E-61.8887272E-61.00.07.664201E-68.09452E-68.09452E-61.00.09.330765E-59.8546356E-59.8546356E-51.00.09.3268487E-49.862463E-49.862463E-41.00.0
7.41.6520572E-61.7421288E-61.7421288E-61.00.07.0802257E-67.466245E-67.466245E-61.00.08.6198335E-59.089777E-59.089777E-51.00.08.616491E-49.0982515E-49.0982515E-41.00.0
7.51.4040345E-61.4805424E-61.4805424E-61.00.06.0172765E-66.345166E-66.345166E-61.00.07.325788E-57.7249686E-57.7249686E-51.00.07.3233736E-47.734145E-47.734145E-41.00.0
7.61.3013842E-71.4432868E-71.4432868E-71.00.05.57736E-76.185513E-76.185513E-71.00.06.790414E-67.5308362E-67.5308362E-61.00.06.790207E-57.623862E-57.623862E-51.00.0
7.78.541512E-89.731742E-89.731742E-81.00.03.6606474E-74.170746E-74.170746E-71.00.04.456829E-65.0778713E-65.0778713E-61.00.04.4567398E-55.168527E-55.168527E-51.00.0
7.85.6074793E-86.908085E-86.908085E-81.00.02.403205E-72.9606076E-72.9606076E-71.00.02.9258983E-63.6045337E-63.6045337E-61.00.02.9258597E-53.688268E-53.688268E-51.00.0
7.92.9475839E-83.8641733E-83.8641733E-81.00.01.2632502E-71.6560742E-71.6560742E-71.00.01.538006E-62.0162686E-62.0162686E-61.00.01.5379954E-52.070501E-52.070501E-51.00.0
8.01.3337122E-82.16757E-82.16757E-81.00.05.7159088E-89.289585E-89.289585E-81.00.06.959117E-71.1310065E-61.1310065E-61.00.06.959095E-61.1667862E-51.1667862E-51.00.0
8.12.6589986E-104.8711546E-104.8711546E-101.00.01.1395708E-92.0876372E-92.0876372E-91.00.01.3874274E-82.5416986E-82.5416986E-81.00.01.3874273E-72.6085002E-72.6085002E-71.00.0

Ventura-Pitas Point

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.3179622E-53.3739056E-53.3739056E-51.00.01.4219063E-41.445894E-41.445894E-41.00.00.00172979620.00175921130.00177917611.01134872.0E-50.0171639320.0174782760.0175077521.00168653.0E-5
6.13.3179622E-53.3739056E-53.3739056E-51.00.01.4219063E-41.445894E-41.445894E-41.00.00.00172979620.00175921130.00177917611.01134872.0E-50.0171639320.0174782760.0175077521.00168653.0E-5
6.23.3179622E-53.3739056E-53.3739056E-51.00.01.4219063E-41.445894E-41.445894E-41.00.00.00172979620.00175921130.00177917611.01134872.0E-50.0171639320.0174782760.0175077521.00168653.0E-5
6.33.3179622E-53.3739056E-53.3739056E-51.00.01.4219063E-41.445894E-41.445894E-41.00.00.00172979620.00175921130.00177917611.01134872.0E-50.0171639320.0174782760.0175077521.00168653.0E-5
6.41.8754668E-51.7022052E-51.7022052E-51.00.08.037467E-57.294974E-57.294974E-51.00.09.781223E-48.878243E-48.978154E-41.01125351.0E-50.0097382820.0088450020.0088648261.00224112.0E-5
6.51.8754668E-51.7022052E-51.7022052E-51.00.08.037467E-57.294974E-57.294974E-51.00.09.781223E-48.878243E-48.978154E-41.01125351.0E-50.0097382820.0088450020.0088648261.00224112.0E-5
6.61.4361558E-51.21244175E-51.21244175E-51.00.06.154808E-55.1960767E-55.1960767E-51.00.07.490902E-46.32441E-46.424347E-41.01580181.0E-50.00746570160.00630656020.0063264341.00315132.0E-5
6.71.4361558E-51.21244175E-51.21244175E-51.00.06.154808E-55.1960767E-55.1960767E-51.00.07.490902E-46.32441E-46.424347E-41.01580181.0E-50.00746570160.00630656020.0063264341.00315132.0E-5
6.81.3663846E-51.1346513E-51.1346513E-51.00.05.8558027E-54.862702E-54.862702E-51.00.07.127108E-45.9187505E-46.0186913E-41.01688541.0E-50.0071042930.00590309450.00592297641.0033682.0E-5
6.91.3644157E-51.1324612E-51.1324612E-51.00.05.8473648E-54.8533162E-54.8533162E-51.00.07.116841E-45.9073296E-46.0072704E-41.01691811.0E-50.0070940920.00589173430.00591161661.00337462.0E-5
7.01.3568845E-51.1244173E-51.1244173E-51.00.05.8150898E-54.8188434E-54.8188434E-51.00.07.077572E-45.8653817E-45.965323E-41.01703921.0E-50.0070550730.00585000780.0058698911.00339882.0E-5
7.11.306572E-51.07225915E-51.07225915E-51.00.05.599474E-54.5953166E-54.5953166E-51.00.06.815227E-45.59338E-45.6933245E-41.01786831.0E-50.00679436370.00557939850.00558934271.00178231.0E-5
7.21.232604E-59.997138E-69.997138E-61.00.05.2824813E-54.284418E-54.284418E-51.00.06.429523E-45.2150484E-45.314996E-41.01916531.0E-50.00641095270.00520289360.00521284161.0019121.0E-5
7.31.0917261E-58.844401E-68.844401E-61.00.04.678742E-53.7904032E-53.7904032E-51.00.05.69488E-44.6138544E-44.7138083E-41.02166391.0E-50.00568030770.00460433260.00461428661.00216191.0E-5
7.41.039959E-58.424092E-68.424092E-61.00.04.456891E-53.610276E-53.610276E-51.00.05.424914E-44.3946397E-44.4945956E-41.0227451.0E-50.00541168960.0043860020.00439595851.002271.0E-5
7.59.015877E-67.297917E-67.297917E-61.00.03.86389E-53.127642E-53.127642E-51.00.04.7032707E-43.8072528E-43.9072149E-41.02625561.0E-50.0046933290.0038007680.00381072981.0026211.0E-5
7.64.900162E-63.8742764E-63.8742764E-61.00.02.1000526E-51.6603937E-51.6603937E-51.00.02.556514E-42.0213432E-42.0213432E-41.00.00.00255357470.00201951830.00201951831.00.0
7.73.8850626E-63.12688E-63.12688E-61.00.01.6650163E-51.3400846E-51.3400846E-51.00.02.0269687E-41.6314318E-41.6314318E-41.00.00.0020251210.00163024340.00163024341.00.0
7.82.4654719E-62.0299744E-62.0299744E-61.00.01.0566265E-58.699862E-68.699862E-61.00.01.2863669E-41.05915715E-41.05915715E-41.00.00.00128562250.00105865710.00105865711.00.0
7.94.095894E-73.2766198E-73.2766198E-71.00.01.7553821E-61.4042649E-61.4042649E-61.00.02.1371567E-51.7096794E-51.7096794E-51.00.02.1369511E-41.709551E-41.709551E-41.00.0
8.07.791402E-95.6839005E-95.6839005E-91.00.03.3391725E-82.4359574E-82.4359574E-81.00.04.0654416E-72.9657778E-72.9657778E-71.00.04.065434E-62.965776E-62.965776E-61.00.0

Superstition Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.6865185E-51.4149656E-52.4149515E-51.7067211.0E-52.8653358E-46.064006E-57.063946E-51.16489741.0E-50.00348296677.380589E-47.5804413E-41.02707822.0E-50.034288810.00752637440.00755614831.0039563.0E-5
6.16.544851E-51.4149656E-52.4149515E-51.7067211.0E-52.8046346E-46.064006E-57.063946E-51.16489741.0E-50.00340929657.380589E-47.5804413E-41.02707822.0E-50.0335746440.00752637350.0075561481.0039563.0E-5
6.26.544851E-51.4149656E-52.4149515E-51.7067211.0E-52.8046346E-46.064006E-57.063946E-51.16489741.0E-50.00340929657.380589E-47.5804413E-41.02707822.0E-50.0335746440.00752637350.0075561481.0039563.0E-5
6.35.2402065E-51.4149655E-52.4149513E-51.70672111.0E-52.2456095E-46.0640057E-57.063945E-51.16489741.0E-50.00273060177.380588E-47.580441E-41.02707822.0E-50.026972920.0075263690.0075561431.0039563.0E-5
6.44.542238E-51.4149654E-52.4149513E-51.70672111.0E-51.9465282E-46.0640057E-57.063945E-51.16489741.0E-50.00236732237.380588E-47.58044E-41.02707822.0E-50.0234226170.0075263660.00755614041.0039563.0E-5
6.52.9672969E-51.4149653E-52.414951E-51.70672111.0E-51.2716366E-46.064005E-57.063944E-51.16489761.0E-50.00154711817.3805876E-47.5804396E-41.02707822.0E-50.0153639120.0075263610.0075561351.0039563.0E-5
6.62.6056105E-51.3815334E-52.3815195E-51.72382341.0E-51.1166424E-45.920732E-56.9206726E-51.16888811.0E-50.00135866427.206268E-47.406124E-41.02773362.0E-50.0135038740.0073507710.00738055071.00405123.0E-5
6.71.4611248E-51.3395143E-52.3395009E-51.74652921.0E-56.261813E-55.740658E-56.740601E-51.17418611.0E-57.6210906E-46.9871696E-47.1870297E-41.02860392.0E-50.00759500730.00713196020.00716174631.00417643.0E-5
6.81.30607E-51.0989935E-52.0989824E-51.90991351.0E-55.597323E-54.709892E-55.709845E-51.21230911.0E-56.8126095E-45.732872E-45.9327576E-41.03486662.0E-50.0067917620.0058800680.00589995041.00338142.0E-5
6.91.0443096E-58.205268E-61.8205186E-52.21871921.0E-54.4755358E-53.5164976E-54.5164623E-51.28436391.0E-55.447602E-44.280518E-44.3804754E-41.02335171.0E-50.0054342670.0044146330.0044245891.00225521.0E-5
7.08.045912E-66.7487367E-61.6748669E-52.48174881.0E-53.4482026E-52.8922843E-53.8922553E-51.34573751.0E-54.197378E-43.5207975E-43.620762E-41.02839271.0E-50.00418945870.00363808470.00364804831.00273871.0E-5
7.18.045912E-66.7487367E-61.6748669E-52.48174881.0E-53.4482026E-52.8922843E-53.8922553E-51.34573751.0E-54.197378E-43.5207975E-43.620762E-41.02839271.0E-50.00418945870.00363808470.00364804831.00273871.0E-5
7.27.375506E-66.2554927E-61.625543E-52.59858511.0E-53.1608928E-52.6808984E-53.6808717E-51.37299931.0E-53.8477074E-43.2635135E-43.3634808E-41.03063181.0E-50.0038410520.0033785180.00338848421.00294981.0E-5
7.36.6063913E-65.807784E-61.5807726E-52.7218171.0E-52.8312797E-52.489027E-53.489002E-51.40175341.0E-53.446538E-43.0299762E-43.1299458E-41.03299361.0E-50.00344119730.00314270220.00315267061.00317191.0E-5
7.46.4313126E-65.689177E-61.568912E-52.75771361.0E-52.7562477E-52.4381963E-53.438172E-51.41012921.0E-53.355215E-42.9681067E-43.068077E-41.03368151.0E-50.00335015360.00308047560.0030904451.00323631.0E-5
7.56.0742927E-65.4849033E-61.5484848E-52.82317611.0E-52.6032423E-52.350652E-53.3506287E-51.42540381.0E-53.1689866E-42.8615497E-42.961521E-41.03493611.0E-50.00316447110.00297227060.00298224091.00335441.0E-5
7.65.6987187E-65.3030067E-61.5302954E-52.88571291.0E-52.4422852E-52.2726976E-53.2726748E-51.43999581.0E-52.9730765E-42.7666645E-42.866637E-41.03613461.0E-50.0029691020.00287545540.00288542661.00346771.0E-5
7.75.1658035E-64.9338805E-61.4933831E-53.0267921.0E-52.2138971E-52.1145035E-53.1144824E-51.47291421.0E-52.6950863E-42.5741098E-42.674084E-41.03883841.0E-50.002691820.0026803950.00269036831.00372081.0E-5
7.83.6864697E-64.204545E-61.4204503E-53.37836891.0E-51.579906E-51.8019355E-52.8019174E-51.55494881.0E-51.9233658E-42.1936404E-42.2936185E-41.04557631.0E-50.00192170180.00229343840.00230341541.00435031.0E-5
7.93.0265903E-63.571154E-61.3571118E-53.80020521.0E-51.2971037E-51.5304859E-52.5304706E-51.65337731.0E-51.5791094E-41.8632115E-41.9631929E-41.05366081.0E-50.00157798770.00195730690.00196728721.0050991.0E-5
8.02.5271493E-63.0935253E-61.3093494E-54.2325481.0E-51.0830595E-51.32579E-52.3257768E-51.75425721.0E-51.3185451E-41.614034E-41.7140179E-41.06194651.0E-50.00131776310.00170091340.00171089641.00586921.0E-5
8.12.3749135E-62.9238684E-61.2923839E-54.42011641.0E-51.0178161E-51.2530806E-52.2530681E-51.79802321.0E-51.2391206E-41.525523E-41.6255077E-41.06554131.0E-50.00123842990.00160835310.0016183371.00620761.0E-5
8.21.7186406E-91.1473926E-91.1473926E-91.00.07.3656024E-94.917397E-94.917397E-91.00.08.9676206E-85.986931E-85.986931E-81.00.08.9676166E-76.405794E-76.405794E-71.00.0

Green Valley 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.9629346E-51.7304572E-41.7304572E-41.00.04.2691303E-47.414138E-47.414138E-41.00.00.00518528560.0089878140.0089878141.00.00.0506595150.0855274350.085554871.00032083.0E-5
6.19.88615E-51.7151864E-41.7151864E-41.00.04.2362334E-47.3487294E-47.3487294E-41.00.00.00514542360.0089088390.0089088391.00.00.0502790440.084815020.084842471.00032373.0E-5
6.29.696895E-51.6790899E-41.6790899E-41.00.04.15515E-47.1941176E-47.1941176E-41.00.00.00504716670.0087222080.0087222081.00.00.049340630.083123730.0831512361.00033093.0E-5
6.39.275224E-51.5970213E-41.5970213E-41.00.03.9744904E-46.842581E-46.842581E-41.00.00.00482821050.0082975180.0082975181.00.00.0472464750.079261530.0792891461.00034843.0E-5
6.48.391499E-51.4367483E-41.4367483E-41.00.03.595861E-46.1560416E-46.1560416E-41.00.00.0043691750.0074679770.0074679771.00.00.042842650.0716360660.071654631.00025922.0E-5
6.55.9519385E-59.933853E-59.933853E-51.00.02.5505814E-44.2566867E-44.2566867E-41.00.00.00310091120.00516896740.00516896741.00.00.0305799660.0501515940.050161091.00018941.0E-5
6.64.5361558E-57.4029E-57.4029E-51.00.01.9439218E-43.172295E-43.172295E-41.00.00.00236415580.00385439470.00385439471.00.00.0233916230.0376714650.0376714651.00.0
6.73.8808106E-56.265283E-56.265283E-51.00.01.6630985E-42.6848516E-42.6848516E-41.00.00.00202294180.0032631880.0032631881.00.00.0200462560.0320104170.0320104171.00.0
6.82.2284667E-53.1287414E-53.1287414E-51.00.09.550222E-51.3408205E-41.3408205E-41.00.00.00116211920.00163122450.00163122451.00.00.0115606070.0161661470.0161661471.00.0
6.91.8050168E-52.4449786E-52.4449786E-51.00.07.735557E-51.0478061E-41.0478061E-41.00.09.4139716E-40.001274960.001274961.00.00.0093741910.0126689680.0126689681.00.0
7.01.4763166E-51.9584304E-51.9584304E-51.00.06.326917E-58.393005E-58.393005E-51.00.07.7002996E-40.00102137050.00102137051.00.00.0076736720.0101660950.0101660951.00.0
7.11.2399713E-51.6304952E-51.6304952E-51.00.05.3140546E-56.987651E-56.987651E-51.00.06.467941E-48.5041637E-48.5041637E-41.00.00.0064491480.00847232250.00847232251.00.0
7.21.0584195E-51.3922896E-51.3922896E-51.00.04.5360044E-55.9668197E-55.9668197E-51.00.05.521186E-47.262198E-47.262198E-41.00.00.00550748870.0072391670.0072391671.00.0
7.37.998173E-61.0545019E-51.0545019E-51.00.03.4277433E-54.5192162E-54.5192162E-51.00.04.1724785E-45.500767E-45.500767E-41.00.00.0041646530.0054874620.0054874621.00.0
7.46.7571127E-68.933612E-68.933612E-61.00.02.8958733E-53.828635E-53.828635E-51.00.03.5251552E-44.660376E-44.660376E-41.00.00.00351956860.0046509310.0046509311.00.0
7.55.69878E-67.5170196E-67.5170196E-61.00.02.4423114E-53.2215405E-53.2215405E-51.00.02.9731085E-43.9215287E-43.9215287E-41.00.00.0029691340.00391488940.00391488941.00.0
7.64.503664E-65.9361423E-65.9361423E-61.00.01.9301275E-52.5440368E-52.5440368E-51.00.02.3496768E-43.0969328E-43.0969328E-41.00.00.0023471940.00309280450.00309280451.00.0
7.71.0873546E-61.4108049E-61.4108049E-61.00.04.6600826E-66.0462926E-66.0462926E-61.00.05.6735033E-57.3611154E-57.3611154E-51.00.05.672055E-47.358776E-47.358776E-41.00.0
7.84.9373917E-86.178244E-86.178244E-81.00.02.1160248E-72.6478185E-72.6478185E-71.00.02.5762572E-63.2237156E-63.2237156E-61.00.02.5762274E-53.2229666E-53.2229666E-51.00.0

Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.169034E-54.7142308E-54.7142308E-51.00.01.7866064E-42.0202712E-42.0202712E-41.00.00.00217302330.00245773510.00245773511.00.00.0215189680.0243872090.0244164781.00120023.0E-5
6.11.73813E-51.6855429E-51.6855429E-51.00.07.4489166E-57.223561E-57.223561E-51.00.09.065282E-48.791244E-48.791244E-41.00.00.0090283910.0087574930.00876740551.00113191.0E-5
6.21.4622182E-51.36742265E-51.36742265E-51.00.06.2664985E-55.8602534E-55.8602534E-51.00.07.6267915E-47.132562E-47.132562E-41.00.00.0076006690.00710999640.00710999641.00.0
6.31.3552434E-51.2483065E-51.2483065E-51.00.05.8080568E-55.3497773E-55.3497773E-51.00.07.069015E-46.511439E-46.511439E-41.00.00.007046570.0064926070.0064926071.00.0
6.41.30977305E-51.19799915E-51.19799915E-51.00.05.613192E-55.1341827E-55.1341827E-51.00.06.831918E-46.249105E-46.249105E-41.00.00.0068109530.00623176150.00623176151.00.0
6.51.225205E-51.1049589E-51.1049589E-51.00.05.2507727E-54.7354537E-54.7354537E-51.00.06.3909404E-45.763917E-45.763917E-41.00.00.0063725920.0057491610.0057491611.00.0
6.61.1352241E-51.0064272E-51.0064272E-51.00.04.8651553E-54.313189E-54.313189E-51.00.05.921717E-45.250063E-45.250063E-41.00.00.00590596160.00523779030.00523779031.00.0
6.71.0864116E-59.517728E-69.517728E-61.00.04.6559664E-54.078964E-54.078964E-51.00.05.667165E-44.965027E-44.965027E-41.00.00.0056527340.00495405170.00495405171.00.0
6.81.0666365E-59.300469E-69.300469E-61.00.04.571219E-53.9858554E-53.9858554E-51.00.05.564038E-44.8517185E-44.8517185E-41.00.00.0055501270.0048412420.0048412421.00.0
6.91.0038665E-58.592688E-68.592688E-61.00.04.302214E-53.6825295E-53.6825295E-51.00.05.236687E-44.4825752E-44.4825752E-41.00.00.0052243640.00447362750.00447362751.00.0
7.09.5379955E-68.025673E-68.025673E-61.00.04.0876483E-53.43953E-53.43953E-51.00.04.975576E-44.18684E-44.18684E-41.00.00.004964450.0041790350.0041790351.00.0
7.19.207389E-67.652947E-67.652947E-61.00.03.945964E-53.279794E-53.279794E-51.00.04.803152E-43.9924344E-43.9924344E-41.00.00.0047927840.00398534160.00398534161.00.0
7.27.638091E-65.9315425E-65.9315425E-61.00.03.2734264E-52.542065E-52.542065E-51.00.03.984668E-43.0945276E-43.0945276E-41.00.00.00397753060.00309015860.00309015861.00.0
7.37.2500147E-65.596552E-65.596552E-61.00.03.1071122E-52.3985005E-52.3985005E-51.00.03.7822526E-42.919786E-42.919786E-41.00.00.00377582150.00291588860.00291588861.00.0
7.46.3899715E-64.9188443E-64.9188443E-61.00.02.7385306E-52.1080592E-52.1080592E-51.00.03.3336508E-42.5662617E-42.5662617E-41.00.00.00332865420.0025632260.0025632261.00.0
7.55.379025E-64.0841383E-64.0841383E-61.00.02.305276E-51.7503333E-51.7503333E-51.00.02.806312E-42.1308236E-42.1308236E-41.00.00.00280277080.00212879180.00212879181.00.0
7.64.1270696E-63.0885694E-63.0885694E-61.00.01.768732E-51.32366595E-51.32366595E-51.00.02.1532185E-41.6114449E-41.6114449E-41.00.00.00215113330.00161028460.00161028461.00.0
7.72.5406805E-61.8283392E-61.8283392E-61.00.01.0888585E-57.835716E-67.835716E-61.00.01.3256045E-49.5395735E-59.5395735E-51.00.00.00132481429.53554E-49.53554E-41.00.0
7.84.8608285E-73.5100481E-73.5100481E-71.00.02.0832106E-61.5043055E-61.5043055E-61.00.02.5362791E-51.8314766E-51.8314766E-51.00.02.5359896E-41.831327E-41.831327E-41.00.0
7.92.0472514E-81.2689942E-81.2689942E-81.00.08.7739345E-85.4385467E-85.4385467E-81.00.01.068226E-66.6214284E-76.6214284E-71.00.01.0682209E-56.6214097E-66.6214097E-61.00.0
8.04.443582E-92.0326758E-92.0326758E-91.00.01.9043922E-88.711468E-98.711468E-91.00.02.3185973E-71.0606212E-71.0606212E-71.00.02.3185949E-61.0606208E-61.0606208E-61.00.0

San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3461156E-52.3528417E-52.3528417E-51.00.05.7689394E-51.0083219E-41.0083219E-41.00.07.02142E-40.00122694390.00125690711.0244213.0E-50.00699927660.0122441280.01227376051.00242023.0E-5
6.11.3461156E-52.3528417E-52.3528417E-51.00.05.7689394E-51.0083219E-41.0083219E-41.00.07.02142E-40.00122694390.00125690711.0244213.0E-50.00699927660.0122441280.01227376051.00242023.0E-5
6.21.3461156E-52.3528417E-52.3528417E-51.00.05.7689394E-51.0083219E-41.0083219E-41.00.07.02142E-40.00122694390.00125690711.0244213.0E-50.00699927660.0122441280.01227376051.00242023.0E-5
6.31.3461156E-52.3528417E-52.3528417E-51.00.05.7689394E-51.0083219E-41.0083219E-41.00.07.02142E-40.00122694390.00125690711.0244213.0E-50.00699927660.0122441280.01227376051.00242023.0E-5
6.41.3461156E-52.3528417E-52.3528417E-51.00.05.7689394E-51.0083219E-41.0083219E-41.00.07.02142E-40.00122694390.00125690711.0244213.0E-50.00699927660.0122441280.01227376051.00242023.0E-5
6.51.3450706E-52.3517377E-52.3517377E-51.00.05.764461E-51.00784884E-41.00784884E-41.00.07.0159714E-40.00122636860.00125633181.02443243.0E-50.0069938620.0122384370.012268071.00242133.0E-5
6.61.3074523E-52.313165E-52.313165E-51.00.05.6032466E-59.9131896E-59.9131896E-51.00.06.8198174E-40.00120626590.00123622971.02484013.0E-50.0067989260.0120396010.0120692391.00246183.0E-5
6.71.3050216E-52.3106948E-52.3106948E-51.00.05.59283E-59.902603E-59.902603E-51.00.06.8071426E-40.00120497830.00123494221.02486673.0E-50.00678632870.0120268660.0120565051.00246443.0E-5
6.81.29049395E-52.295535E-52.295535E-51.00.05.530571E-59.837638E-59.837638E-51.00.06.73139E-40.00119707760.00122704171.02503113.0E-50.00671103640.0119487080.0119783511.00248073.0E-5
6.91.2867369E-52.2914748E-52.2914748E-51.00.05.51447E-59.8202385E-59.8202385E-51.00.06.711799E-40.00119496150.00122492561.02507543.0E-50.0066915640.0119277760.0119574181.00248523.0E-5
7.01.2495996E-52.2314638E-52.2314638E-51.00.05.3553173E-59.5630676E-59.5630676E-51.00.06.518148E-40.00116368440.00119364951.02575023.0E-50.00649906230.0116182860.0116479381.00255223.0E-5
7.11.2452067E-52.2259701E-52.2259701E-51.00.05.3364907E-59.539525E-59.539525E-51.00.06.4952404E-40.00116082120.00119078641.02581383.0E-50.00647628870.0115899540.0116196061.00255853.0E-5
7.21.2002777E-52.1638136E-52.1638136E-51.00.05.143946E-59.2731585E-59.2731585E-51.00.06.2609545E-40.0011284250.00115839111.02655583.0E-50.0062433440.0112693320.01129899451.00263213.0E-5
7.31.1923425E-52.150792E-52.150792E-51.00.05.109939E-59.2173555E-59.2173555E-51.00.06.219575E-40.0011216380.00115160431.02671663.0E-50.00620219620.0112021840.0112318471.0026483.0E-5
7.41.16105175E-52.0881596E-52.0881596E-51.00.04.975841E-58.94895E-58.94895E-51.00.06.0564023E-40.00108899260.001118961.02751843.0E-50.0060399230.0108798890.0109095631.00272743.0E-5
7.51.1037265E-51.9580697E-51.9580697E-51.00.04.7301706E-58.391459E-58.391459E-51.00.05.757461E-40.00102118340.00105115271.02934773.0E-50.0057425670.0102089250.0102386191.00290863.0E-5
7.61.0720915E-51.9022264E-51.9022264E-51.00.04.5945973E-58.152145E-58.152145E-51.00.05.592486E-49.920739E-40.00102204421.03020973.0E-50.0055784330.0099204760.0099501791.00299413.0E-5
7.79.276279E-61.6466776E-51.6466776E-51.00.03.9754876E-57.057E-57.057E-51.00.04.839081E-48.588527E-48.8882697E-41.03490033.0E-50.00482855740.0085992660.0086290091.00345863.0E-5
7.85.8346777E-61.1175348E-51.1175348E-51.00.02.5005522E-54.7893467E-54.7893467E-51.00.03.043997E-45.829471E-46.129296E-41.05143263.0E-50.00303983080.00585765250.00588747671.00509153.0E-5
7.94.690204E-68.525966E-68.525966E-61.00.02.0100719E-53.6539343E-53.6539343E-51.00.02.4469878E-44.4477577E-44.7476243E-41.06741983.0E-50.0024442950.00447960760.0045094731.0066673.0E-5
8.02.9570454E-64.857161E-64.857161E-61.00.01.267299E-52.0816238E-52.0816238E-51.00.01.5428272E-42.5340827E-42.5340827E-41.00.00.00154175660.0025551380.0025551381.00.0
8.11.6376824E-62.2021675E-62.2021675E-61.00.07.01862E-69.4378265E-69.4378265E-61.00.08.544835E-51.1489949E-41.1489949E-41.00.08.54155E-40.00116350370.00116350371.00.0
8.26.9631557E-74.5515284E-74.5515284E-71.00.02.984206E-61.9506535E-61.9506535E-61.00.03.63321E-52.374895E-52.374895E-51.00.03.6326164E-42.4599142E-42.4599142E-41.00.0
8.31.7876137E-78.39093E-88.39093E-81.00.07.661199E-73.5961122E-73.5961122E-71.00.09.32747E-64.3782584E-64.3782584E-61.00.09.3270784E-54.598492E-54.598492E-51.00.0

Ortigalita (North)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.711876E-51.0507352E-41.0507352E-41.00.03.3046713E-44.502348E-44.502348E-41.00.00.0040160160.0054690110.00547895671.00181851.0E-50.0394421030.053464660.0534930561.00053113.0E-5
6.14.607858E-56.0249444E-56.0249444E-51.00.01.9746469E-42.581888E-42.581888E-41.00.00.00240148180.0031392340.00314920261.00317551.0E-50.0237569530.0309801050.0309897941.00031281.0E-5
6.24.607858E-56.0249444E-56.0249444E-51.00.01.9746469E-42.581888E-42.581888E-41.00.00.00240148180.0031392340.00314920261.00317551.0E-50.0237569530.0309801050.0309897941.00031281.0E-5
6.33.327423E-54.2482494E-54.2482494E-51.00.01.4259605E-41.8205654E-41.8205654E-41.00.00.00173472440.0022145310.00222450871.00450561.0E-50.0172124520.0219489110.0219586921.00044561.0E-5
6.42.7732503E-53.5003977E-53.5003977E-51.00.01.1884817E-41.5000958E-41.5000958E-41.00.00.0014460160.00182507280.00183505461.00546921.0E-50.0143664280.0181238240.0181336421.00054181.0E-5
6.52.7689714E-53.4953788E-53.4953788E-51.00.01.186648E-41.497945E-41.497945E-41.00.00.00144378640.00182245870.00183244041.00547711.0E-50.0143444210.0180981080.0181079261.00054251.0E-5
6.62.2976905E-52.872225E-52.872225E-51.00.09.846873E-51.2309082E-41.2309082E-41.00.00.00119819750.00149783880.00149783881.00.00.0119175740.0149007490.0149007491.00.0
6.71.9871539E-52.4908106E-52.4908106E-51.00.08.516096E-51.0674606E-41.0674606E-41.00.00.00103634150.00129909980.00129909981.00.00.0103152180.0129387190.0129387191.00.0
6.86.5640475E-67.6061337E-67.6061337E-61.00.02.813133E-53.2597323E-53.2597323E-51.00.03.424451E-43.9680302E-43.9680302E-41.00.00.00341917880.00396123250.00396123251.00.0
6.95.6219683E-66.5023783E-66.5023783E-61.00.02.4093928E-52.7867052E-52.7867052E-51.00.02.933041E-43.3923113E-43.3923113E-41.00.00.00292917270.003387390.003387391.00.0
7.03.875591E-64.4851295E-64.4851295E-61.00.01.6609569E-51.9221854E-51.9221854E-51.00.02.0220275E-42.3400305E-42.3400305E-41.00.00.00202018860.00233777470.00233777471.00.0
7.11.6017933E-61.857199E-61.857199E-61.00.06.8648105E-67.959406E-67.959406E-61.00.08.357586E-59.690253E-59.690253E-51.00.08.3544437E-49.6870743E-49.6870743E-41.00.0

San Jacinto (Borrego)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.543992E-52.7955874E-54.7955313E-51.71539322.0E-51.5187653E-41.1980545E-41.3980306E-41.16691732.0E-50.00184752840.00145766770.00148762391.02055083.0E-50.0183224360.014884930.0149144841.00198543.0E-5
6.13.542281E-52.7955874E-54.7955313E-51.71539322.0E-51.5180321E-41.1980545E-41.3980306E-41.16691732.0E-50.00184663720.00145766770.00148762391.02055083.0E-50.0183136720.014884930.0149144841.00198543.0E-5
6.23.4688688E-52.7955874E-54.7955313E-51.71539322.0E-51.4865733E-41.1980545E-41.3980306E-41.16691732.0E-50.00180840050.00145766770.00148762391.02055083.0E-50.0179375480.014884930.0149144841.00198543.0E-5
6.33.2087122E-52.7801223E-54.7800666E-51.71937292.0E-51.3750899E-41.1914273E-41.3914035E-41.16784582.0E-50.00167288620.00144960980.00147956621.02066523.0E-50.0166034880.0148060890.01483564451.00199623.0E-5
6.43.1828724E-52.77682E-54.7767644E-51.72022832.0E-51.364017E-41.1900121E-41.3899883E-41.16804552.0E-50.00165942540.0014478890.00147784561.02068983.0E-50.0164708850.0147892820.0148188391.00199853.0E-5
6.53.1563577E-52.750787E-54.7507318E-51.72704472.0E-51.3526545E-41.17885604E-41.3788325E-41.1696362.0E-50.00164561280.00143432450.00146428151.02088583.0E-50.01633480.0146553260.0146848861.0020173.0E-5
6.63.1467625E-52.7352073E-54.7351525E-51.7311862.0E-51.3485427E-41.1721797E-41.3721563E-41.17060232.0E-50.00164061420.00142620670.00145616381.02100483.0E-50.0162855480.0145754820.0146050451.00202823.0E-5
6.73.1223695E-52.6970027E-54.6969486E-51.7415442.0E-51.3380898E-41.1558078E-41.3557846E-41.17301922.0E-50.00162790680.00140629960.00143625751.02130263.0E-50.016160330.0143799770.0144095461.00205623.0E-5
6.83.1015585E-52.679098E-54.6790447E-51.74649992.0E-51.3291716E-41.14813505E-41.3481121E-41.17417552.0E-50.0016170650.00139697020.00142692831.0214453.0E-50.0160534870.0142872050.0143167771.00206983.0E-5
6.92.6641965E-52.2211414E-54.221097E-51.90041792.0E-51.1417485E-49.518833E-51.1518642E-41.21008982.0E-50.00138919240.00115830570.00117828251.01724662.0E-50.01380540150.0118967370.01191651.00166122.0E-5
7.02.3854353E-52.050528E-54.050487E-51.97533862.0E-51.02228936E-48.7876826E-51.07875065E-41.22757122.0E-50.00124392660.00106937780.00108935641.01868252.0E-50.0123698660.0109965560.0110163351.00179872.0E-5
7.12.3672901E-52.0341751E-54.0341343E-51.98317962.0E-51.0145135E-48.7176035E-51.0717429E-41.22940092.0E-50.00123447020.0010608540.00108083271.01883272.0E-50.01227635050.0109117360.0109315181.00181292.0E-5
7.22.2717244E-51.9568899E-53.956851E-52.02200982.0E-59.735599E-58.3864026E-51.0386235E-41.23846132.0E-50.00118466460.00102056870.00104054821.01957692.0E-50.011783690.0105090280.0105288181.00188312.0E-5
7.32.1016205E-51.8410172E-53.8409806E-52.0863362.0E-59.006634E-57.889837E-59.889679E-51.25347072.0E-50.0010960069.6016633E-49.801472E-41.02080982.0E-50.0109061630.00990444050.0099242421.00199932.0E-5
7.42.0683625E-51.8212622E-53.8212256E-52.09811952.0E-58.86411E-57.805177E-59.805021E-51.25622022.0E-50.0010786719.4986806E-49.6984906E-41.02103562.0E-50.0107345010.009801150.0098209541.00202062.0E-5
7.51.9993966E-51.7807442E-53.7807087E-52.12310582.0E-58.568561E-57.6315395E-59.631387E-51.26205042.0E-50.0010427239.2874584E-49.487273E-41.02151442.0E-50.0103784380.0095879680.0096077761.00206592.0E-5
7.61.788966E-51.6460064E-53.6459736E-52.2150422.0E-57.666772E-57.054124E-59.053983E-51.28350212.0E-59.3302975E-48.585029E-48.784858E-41.02327632.0E-50.009291220.0088793890.0088992111.00223242.0E-5
7.71.5125781E-51.4261374E-53.426109E-52.40236932.0E-56.4823165E-56.111875E-58.111753E-51.32721192.0E-57.889362E-47.4386754E-47.638527E-41.02686662.0E-50.0078614120.0077266490.00774649441.00256852.0E-5
7.81.250089E-51.26536925E-53.265344E-52.58054642.0E-55.3574146E-55.4228985E-57.42279E-51.36878652.0E-56.5207E-46.600385E-46.800253E-41.03028132.0E-50.0065015990.00687970270.0068995651.00288712.0E-5
7.99.561E-69.775099E-62.9774903E-53.04599522.0E-54.0975072E-54.189261E-56.189177E-51.47739112.0E-54.987573E-45.0992373E-45.299135E-41.03920152.0E-50.00497639370.0053631070.0053831.00370922.0E-5
8.08.01699E-68.3121295E-62.8311963E-53.40610222.0E-53.4358076E-53.562293E-55.5622215E-51.56141612.0E-54.1822926E-44.3362338E-44.536147E-41.0461032.0E-50.00417443040.00458320460.0046031131.00434372.0E-5
8.16.541947E-66.477423E-61.647736E-52.54381371.0E-52.8036617E-52.7760092E-53.7759815E-51.36021941.0E-53.4129233E-43.3792722E-43.4792384E-41.02958211.0E-50.00340768650.0035888210.00359878531.00277641.0E-5
8.21.7968189E-67.9984034E-77.9984034E-71.00.07.70063E-63.4278826E-63.4278826E-61.00.09.3751136E-54.1733696E-54.1733696E-51.00.09.371159E-44.727189E-44.727189E-41.00.0
8.31.5167889E-74.916523E-84.916523E-81.00.06.500522E-72.1070811E-72.1070811E-71.00.07.9143565E-62.5653687E-62.5653687E-61.00.07.914075E-52.9806817E-52.9806817E-51.00.0

Calaveras (So) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5950744E-43.072718E-43.072718E-41.00.06.834242E-40.00131603990.00131603991.00.00.008288990.0158656480.015875491.00062021.0E-50.0798654260.144469590.144495261.00017763.0E-5
6.11.3584697E-42.604938E-42.604938E-41.00.05.8207137E-40.00111576750.00111576751.00.00.0070637160.013468370.0134782351.00073241.0E-50.068433610.124096480.124122761.00021173.0E-5
6.21.14676266E-42.1727956E-42.1727956E-41.00.04.9137714E-49.307831E-49.307831E-41.00.00.00596611850.0112517590.0112517591.00.00.0580846480.105086240.105104131.00017042.0E-5
6.38.691518E-51.6000312E-41.6000312E-41.00.03.7244044E-46.8550813E-46.8550813E-41.00.00.0045250380.0083074940.0083074941.00.00.0443399920.079401370.079419781.00023192.0E-5
6.48.50982E-51.5706658E-41.5706658E-41.00.03.646556E-46.7292945E-46.7292945E-41.00.00.00443064750.0081555020.0081555021.00.00.043433450.0780071540.0780255941.00023642.0E-5
6.58.4062965E-51.5531052E-41.5531052E-41.00.03.602201E-46.6540745E-46.6540745E-41.00.00.0043768630.0080646970.0080646971.00.00.0429165550.077178340.077196791.00023912.0E-5
6.68.194716E-51.5166824E-41.5166824E-41.00.03.5115483E-46.498056E-46.498056E-41.00.00.00426693170.0078765040.0078765041.00.00.041859270.075463130.0754816161.0002452.0E-5
6.78.012326E-51.4834652E-41.4834652E-41.00.03.433402E-46.355799E-46.355799E-41.00.00.0041721570.00770496760.00770496761.00.00.0409469120.0739051250.073923651.00025062.0E-5
6.87.119773E-51.2893327E-41.2893327E-41.00.03.0509746E-45.5243546E-45.5243546E-41.00.00.00370823570.00670194440.00670194441.00.00.0364696420.064746840.06475621.00014451.0E-5
6.95.7343088E-59.929162E-59.929162E-51.00.02.4573295E-44.2546654E-44.2546654E-41.00.00.00298769420.0051678260.0051678261.00.00.029478440.0505577660.0505672621.00018781.0E-5
7.04.8746577E-58.294708E-58.294708E-51.00.02.0889717E-43.5543944E-43.5543944E-41.00.00.00254035650.00431895440.00431895441.00.00.0251151210.0425324070.042541981.00022511.0E-5
7.14.2998014E-57.272609E-57.272609E-51.00.01.8426418E-43.1164635E-43.1164635E-41.00.00.0022411080.00378775340.00378775341.00.00.0221864120.037461130.0374707581.00025691.0E-5
7.23.221292E-55.397899E-55.397899E-51.00.01.3804805E-42.3131818E-42.3131818E-41.00.00.00167943930.00281268960.00281268961.00.00.0166680370.0280720930.0280818121.00034621.0E-5
7.32.3756531E-53.9535546E-53.9535546E-51.00.01.0180973E-41.6942713E-41.6942713E-41.00.00.00123882860.00206084080.00206084081.00.00.0123194520.0206754380.0206852311.00047361.0E-5
7.41.5997684E-52.7374297E-52.7374297E-51.00.06.8559704E-51.1731315E-41.1731315E-41.00.08.343947E-40.00142735430.00142735431.00.00.0083126870.01439357550.0144034311.00068471.0E-5
7.51.3814293E-52.4815101E-52.4815101E-51.00.05.9202768E-51.0634611E-41.0634611E-41.00.07.205553E-40.00129399730.00129399731.00.00.0071822340.0130724350.0130823041.0007551.0E-5
7.68.817309E-61.6457496E-51.6457496E-51.00.03.7787922E-57.053022E-57.053022E-51.00.04.5997082E-48.583685E-48.583685E-41.00.00.0045901990.0087346330.0087346331.00.0
7.74.0352206E-67.724459E-67.724459E-61.00.01.7293689E-53.3104403E-53.3104403E-51.00.02.1053031E-44.0297164E-44.0297164E-41.00.00.00210330960.00417376030.00417376031.00.0
7.83.413169E-66.802247E-66.802247E-61.00.01.4627784E-52.9152161E-52.9152161E-51.00.01.7807873E-43.5486982E-43.5486982E-41.00.00.00177936090.0036739090.0036739091.00.0
7.92.4740732E-65.290168E-65.290168E-61.00.01.06031275E-52.2671951E-52.2671951E-51.00.01.2908543E-42.7599608E-42.7599608E-41.00.00.00129010470.00284016020.00284016021.00.0
8.01.5231818E-63.295294E-63.295294E-61.00.06.527906E-61.4122612E-51.4122612E-51.00.07.9474354E-51.7192928E-41.7192928E-41.00.07.944594E-40.00175961880.00175961881.00.0
8.11.0104524E-62.0496998E-62.0496998E-61.00.04.330503E-68.784398E-68.784398E-61.00.05.2722597E-51.0694483E-41.0694483E-41.00.05.271009E-40.00109493620.00109493621.00.0

Cerro Prieto

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9101528E-45.968876E-45.968876E-41.00.00.00124661220.00255582440.00255582441.00.00.0150722310.0307578070.03076751.00031511.0E-50.140899790.254226860.25424181.00005872.0E-5
6.12.9101528E-45.968876E-45.968876E-41.00.00.00124661220.00255582440.00255582441.00.00.0150722310.0307578070.03076751.00031511.0E-50.140899790.254226860.25424181.00005872.0E-5
6.22.9101528E-45.968876E-45.968876E-41.00.00.00124661220.00255582440.00255582441.00.00.0150722310.0307578070.03076751.00031511.0E-50.140899790.254226860.25424181.00005872.0E-5
6.32.9101528E-45.968876E-45.968876E-41.00.00.00124661220.00255582440.00255582441.00.00.0150722310.0307578070.03076751.00031511.0E-50.140899790.254226860.25424181.00005872.0E-5
6.42.508648E-45.143639E-45.143639E-41.00.00.00107469180.00220275320.00220275321.00.00.0130060880.0265830760.026592811.00036621.0E-50.122706850.224594950.224610461.0000692.0E-5
6.52.508648E-45.143639E-45.143639E-41.00.00.00107469180.00220275320.00220275321.00.00.0130060880.0265830760.026592811.00036621.0E-50.122706850.224594950.224610461.0000692.0E-5
6.62.294914E-44.715417E-44.715417E-41.00.09.831638E-40.00201951550.00201951551.00.00.0119044820.024420280.0244300371.00039951.0E-50.112865860.208798510.208814341.00007582.0E-5
6.71.9621674E-44.0454607E-44.0454607E-41.00.08.4065786E-40.00173277550.00173277551.00.00.0101870710.0209140070.0209237971.00046811.0E-50.097325390.183079110.183095441.00008932.0E-5
6.81.5476145E-43.0594165E-43.0594165E-41.00.06.6309475E-40.00131062210.00131062211.00.00.0080433350.015837920.0158477611.00062141.0E-50.077583630.14352970.143546821.00011932.0E-5
6.91.20509176E-42.2606507E-42.2606507E-41.00.05.1636563E-49.6855394E-49.6855394E-41.00.00.0062686450.0117433470.0117532291.00084151.0E-50.0609473740.109612270.109630081.00016252.0E-5
7.09.3269155E-51.6736344E-41.6736344E-41.00.03.9966372E-47.171179E-47.171179E-41.00.00.00485505440.0087036290.0087036291.00.00.047503440.083269770.083278931.00011011.0E-5
7.15.029709E-58.182901E-58.182901E-51.00.02.1554115E-43.5066792E-43.5066792E-41.00.00.00262105530.0042644480.0042644481.00.00.0259035560.0423634830.042373061.0002261.0E-5
7.26.5445185E-86.844958E-86.844958E-81.00.02.8047933E-72.9335536E-72.9335536E-71.00.03.4148304E-63.5716014E-63.5716014E-61.00.03.414778E-53.5716013E-53.5716013E-51.00.0

Chino alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.939946E-54.8956157E-54.8956157E-51.00.01.6884391E-42.0979813E-42.0979813E-41.00.00.00205373620.0025518090.00257175791.00781762.0E-50.0203485950.0252795850.025299081.00077122.0E-5
6.12.1505624E-52.6884254E-52.6884254E-51.00.09.2163704E-51.1521374E-41.1521374E-41.00.00.00112151540.00140193440.00141192031.0071231.0E-50.0111587220.013945430.013955291.0007071.0E-5
6.22.1505624E-52.6884254E-52.6884254E-51.00.09.2163704E-51.1521374E-41.1521374E-41.00.00.00112151540.00140193440.00141192031.0071231.0E-50.0111587220.013945430.013955291.0007071.0E-5
6.31.4290785E-51.81693E-51.81693E-51.00.06.1244784E-57.786636E-57.786636E-51.00.07.454001E-49.476558E-49.5764635E-41.01054241.0E-50.0074290480.0094442390.0094541441.00104881.0E-5
6.41.4290785E-51.81693E-51.81693E-51.00.06.1244784E-57.786636E-57.786636E-51.00.07.454001E-49.476558E-49.5764635E-41.01054241.0E-50.0074290480.0094442390.0094541441.00104881.0E-5
6.51.3017944E-51.6656108E-51.6656108E-51.00.05.5789995E-57.138161E-57.138161E-51.00.06.790315E-48.687684E-48.787597E-41.01150061.0E-50.00676960360.0086616520.0086715651.00114451.0E-5
6.69.470016E-61.204242E-51.204242E-51.00.04.058515E-55.1609542E-55.1609542E-51.00.04.940122E-46.2819896E-46.381927E-41.01590851.0E-50.0049291540.006271570.0062815071.00158451.0E-5
6.78.314155E-61.04104065E-51.04104065E-51.00.03.5631605E-54.4615444E-54.4615444E-51.00.04.3372845E-45.4308993E-45.530845E-41.01840321.0E-50.0043288290.0054251050.00543505051.00183331.0E-5
6.83.4856364E-63.8139972E-63.8139972E-61.00.01.4938357E-51.6345612E-51.6345612E-51.00.01.8185932E-41.9899172E-41.9899172E-41.00.00.00181710560.0019898160.0019898161.00.0
6.92.2645952E-62.1532255E-62.1532255E-61.00.09.705372E-69.228078E-69.228078E-61.00.01.18156495E-41.1234627E-41.1234627E-41.00.00.00118093690.00112351730.00112351731.00.0
7.01.7864003E-61.5433253E-61.5433253E-61.00.07.655979E-66.614235E-66.614235E-61.00.09.3207556E-58.0525395E-58.0525395E-51.00.09.316847E-48.0545404E-48.0545404E-41.00.0
7.11.7315456E-61.4735895E-61.4735895E-61.00.07.420889E-66.3153684E-66.3153684E-61.00.09.034557E-57.688695E-57.688695E-51.00.09.0308854E-47.6908193E-47.6908193E-41.00.0
7.21.6008337E-61.3576248E-61.3576248E-61.00.06.860698E-65.818379E-65.818379E-61.00.08.352579E-57.083652E-57.083652E-51.00.08.34944E-47.086046E-47.086046E-41.00.0
7.31.3320939E-61.1219453E-61.1219453E-61.00.05.7089615E-64.8083284E-64.8083284E-61.00.06.9504385E-55.8539874E-55.8539874E-51.00.06.9482654E-45.854161E-45.854161E-41.00.0
7.41.114294E-69.2384E-79.2384E-71.00.04.775537E-63.9593083E-63.9593083E-61.00.05.8140613E-54.820355E-54.820355E-51.00.05.81254E-44.8194567E-44.8194567E-41.00.0
7.59.354081E-77.6244334E-77.6244334E-71.00.04.0088858E-63.2676103E-63.2676103E-61.00.04.8807087E-53.9782462E-53.9782462E-51.00.04.879637E-43.977568E-43.977568E-41.00.0
7.68.521771E-76.881599E-76.881599E-71.00.03.6521824E-62.9492537E-62.9492537E-61.00.04.4464414E-53.5906603E-53.5906603E-51.00.04.4455516E-43.590112E-43.590112E-41.00.0
7.72.1803626E-71.4188254E-71.4188254E-71.00.09.344408E-76.08068E-76.08068E-71.00.01.1376757E-57.403212E-67.403212E-61.00.01.13761744E-47.403061E-57.403061E-51.00.0

San Juan

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.682808E-68.750764E-68.750764E-61.00.03.72115E-53.7502763E-53.7502763E-51.00.04.5295584E-44.565053E-44.6650076E-41.02189551.0E-50.0045203370.0045562150.0045761241.00436962.0E-5
6.18.682808E-68.750764E-68.750764E-61.00.03.72115E-53.7502763E-53.7502763E-51.00.04.5295584E-44.565053E-44.6650076E-41.02189551.0E-50.0045203370.0045562150.0045761241.00436962.0E-5
6.28.682808E-68.750764E-68.750764E-61.00.03.72115E-53.7502763E-53.7502763E-51.00.04.5295584E-44.565053E-44.6650076E-41.02189551.0E-50.0045203370.0045562150.0045761241.00436962.0E-5
6.36.3054235E-66.284137E-66.284137E-61.00.02.7022963E-52.6931744E-52.6931744E-51.00.03.2895492E-43.2784606E-43.378428E-41.03049211.0E-50.0032846840.00327382240.00328378961.00304451.0E-5
6.46.1490473E-66.1158057E-66.1158057E-61.00.02.6352795E-52.621034E-52.621034E-51.00.03.2079802E-43.1906553E-43.2906234E-41.03133151.0E-50.00320335340.00318626920.00319623741.00312841.0E-5
6.55.204848E-65.1385305E-65.1385305E-61.00.02.23063E-52.2022092E-52.2022092E-51.00.02.7154534E-42.6808694E-42.7808428E-41.03729131.0E-50.00271213780.0026777880.0026877611.00372451.0E-5
6.64.5179986E-64.416E-64.416E-61.00.01.9362706E-51.892558E-51.892558E-51.00.02.3571544E-42.3039538E-42.4039308E-41.04339361.0E-50.00235465590.00230170060.00231167771.00433461.0E-5
6.73.9442616E-63.820695E-63.820695E-61.00.01.6903869E-51.6374308E-51.6374308E-51.00.02.0578515E-41.9933963E-42.0933764E-41.05015561.0E-50.0020559470.00199173160.00200171161.00501071.0E-5
6.83.4536245E-63.3171661E-63.3171661E-61.00.01.4801163E-51.4216353E-51.4216353E-51.00.01.8018926E-41.7307096E-41.8306923E-41.05776981.0E-50.00180043220.00172947910.00173946171.00577211.0E-5
6.93.059865E-62.9128253E-62.9128253E-61.00.01.3113641E-51.248348E-51.248348E-51.00.01.596469E-41.5197633E-41.6197482E-41.06578971.0E-50.00159532240.00151883720.0015288221.0065741.0E-5
7.02.6504351E-62.4927492E-62.4927492E-61.00.01.1358958E-51.068317E-51.068317E-51.00.01.3828653E-41.3006038E-41.4005907E-41.07687741.0E-50.00138200520.00129995290.00130993991.00768261.0E-5
7.12.2039317E-62.034435E-62.034435E-61.00.09.445387E-68.718981E-68.718981E-61.00.01.1499152E-41.06148946E-41.1614789E-41.09419731.0E-50.00114932030.00106109090.00107108021.00941431.0E-5
7.21.0786707E-68.775373E-78.775373E-71.00.04.622866E-63.7608684E-63.7608684E-61.00.05.628194E-54.5787623E-54.5787623E-51.00.05.6267687E-44.5783943E-44.5783943E-41.00.0
7.36.846433E-74.872059E-74.872059E-71.00.02.9341822E-62.0880236E-62.0880236E-61.00.03.5723086E-52.542139E-52.542139E-51.00.03.571734E-42.542176E-42.542176E-41.00.0
7.45.23043E-73.2652028E-73.2652028E-71.00.02.2416111E-61.3993719E-61.3993719E-61.00.02.7291273E-51.703722E-51.703722E-51.00.02.7287923E-41.7039063E-41.7039063E-41.00.0
7.54.648444E-72.7255334E-72.7255334E-71.00.01.9921886E-61.1680851E-61.1680851E-61.00.02.4254627E-51.4221344E-51.4221344E-51.00.02.425198E-41.4223348E-41.4223348E-41.00.0
7.63.9906567E-72.2099482E-72.2099482E-71.00.01.7102802E-69.471203E-79.471203E-71.00.02.0822463E-51.15311295E-51.15311295E-51.00.02.0820512E-41.1532919E-41.1532919E-41.00.0
7.71.8784601E-75.372496E-85.372496E-81.00.08.0505407E-72.3024981E-72.3024981E-71.00.09.80149E-62.8032878E-62.8032878E-61.00.09.801057E-52.80415E-52.80415E-51.00.0
7.81.00154914E-71.2432812E-81.2432812E-81.00.04.2923529E-75.3283486E-85.3283486E-81.00.05.225927E-66.487262E-76.487262E-71.00.05.225804E-56.4931564E-66.4931564E-61.00.0
7.96.171429E-84.3050106E-94.3050106E-91.00.02.6448978E-71.8450045E-81.8450045E-81.00.03.2201583E-62.2462923E-72.2462923E-71.00.03.2201115E-52.2516008E-62.2516008E-61.00.0
8.01.3974572E-83.3928182E-103.3928182E-101.00.05.989102E-81.4540653E-91.4540653E-91.00.07.2917294E-71.7703238E-81.7703238E-81.00.07.2917055E-61.8134347E-71.8134347E-71.00.0
8.11.8403477E-91.1340173E-101.1340173E-101.00.07.887204E-94.8600757E-104.8600757E-101.00.09.602671E-85.917144E-95.917144E-91.00.09.602667E-76.0406514E-86.0406514E-81.00.0

Mono Lake 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0341662E-52.3830356E-52.3830356E-51.00.08.717564E-51.021291E-41.021291E-41.00.00.00106084660.00124324370.00125323131.00803351.0E-50.0105579660.0124149680.0124347191.0015912.0E-5
6.12.0341662E-52.3830356E-52.3830356E-51.00.08.717564E-51.021291E-41.021291E-41.00.00.00106084660.00124324370.00125323131.00803351.0E-50.0105579660.0124149680.0124347191.0015912.0E-5
6.22.0341662E-52.3830356E-52.3830356E-51.00.08.717564E-51.021291E-41.021291E-41.00.00.00106084660.00124324370.00125323131.00803351.0E-50.0105579660.0124149680.0124347191.0015912.0E-5
6.32.0341662E-52.3830356E-52.3830356E-51.00.08.717564E-51.021291E-41.021291E-41.00.00.00106084660.00124324370.00125323131.00803351.0E-50.0105579660.0124149680.0124347191.0015912.0E-5
6.41.749821E-52.049287E-52.049287E-51.00.07.499018E-58.782658E-58.782658E-51.00.09.1262296E-40.00106928840.00107927761.0093421.0E-50.0090888410.01069283950.0107126251.00185042.0E-5
6.51.749821E-52.049287E-52.049287E-51.00.07.499018E-58.782658E-58.782658E-51.00.09.1262296E-40.00106928840.00107927761.0093421.0E-50.0090888410.01069283950.0107126251.00185042.0E-5

Concord 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.7865112E-59.759204E-59.759204E-51.00.02.4796976E-44.1818546E-44.1818546E-41.00.00.00301485250.0050800330.0050800331.00.00.0297427750.0492476750.049266691.00038612.0E-5
6.15.7865112E-59.759204E-59.759204E-51.00.02.4796976E-44.1818546E-44.1818546E-41.00.00.00301485250.0050800330.0050800331.00.00.0297427750.0492476750.049266691.00038612.0E-5
6.25.6789337E-59.579413E-59.579413E-51.00.02.4336016E-44.1048354E-44.1048354E-41.00.00.00295888450.00498674340.00498674341.00.00.0291979630.0483641180.048383151.00039352.0E-5
6.35.203322E-58.8036155E-58.8036155E-51.00.02.2298045E-43.7724766E-43.7724766E-41.00.00.00271140710.0045841010.0045841011.00.00.0267856250.0445337220.0445528331.00042922.0E-5
6.44.7120942E-57.897909E-57.897909E-51.00.02.0193127E-43.384421E-43.384421E-41.00.00.00245574120.00411349260.00411349261.00.00.0242878010.040063760.040073361.00023961.0E-5
6.52.9598437E-54.6677585E-54.6677585E-51.00.01.2684427E-42.0003263E-42.0003263E-41.00.00.0015432350.00243288770.00243288771.00.00.0153256190.0239092450.0239190051.00040831.0E-5
6.62.0443718E-52.998628E-52.998628E-51.00.08.7613E-51.2850651E-41.2850651E-41.00.00.00106616620.00156348010.00156348011.00.00.0106106550.0154670110.0154670111.00.0
6.71.798539E-52.5559208E-52.5559208E-51.00.07.7077966E-51.0953499E-41.0953499E-41.00.09.380202E-40.00133279420.00133279421.00.00.0093407060.0132170390.0132170391.00.0
6.81.613555E-52.1960821E-52.1960821E-51.00.06.915052E-59.411448E-59.411448E-51.00.08.4158237E-40.00114525550.00114525551.00.00.0083840230.0113776310.0113776311.00.0
6.91.2916435E-51.7082351E-51.7082351E-51.00.05.5354973E-57.320806E-57.320806E-51.00.06.7373837E-48.9094945E-48.9094945E-41.00.00.0067169940.0088677620.0088677621.00.0
7.09.81129E-61.2631897E-51.2631897E-51.00.04.2047708E-55.4135588E-55.4135588E-51.00.05.118106E-46.589031E-46.589031E-41.00.00.0051063340.0065696280.0065696281.00.0
7.18.0889195E-61.0419219E-51.0419219E-51.00.03.4666336E-54.4653036E-54.4653036E-51.00.04.219809E-45.435162E-45.435162E-41.00.00.0042118050.00542248270.00542248271.00.0
7.26.267438E-68.116534E-68.116534E-61.00.02.6860173E-53.478469E-53.478469E-51.00.03.2697353E-44.2342203E-44.2342203E-41.00.00.00326492850.00422664640.00422664641.00.0
7.33.6761196E-64.8407924E-64.8407924E-61.00.01.5754704E-52.074609E-52.074609E-51.00.01.9179663E-42.5255457E-42.5255457E-41.00.00.00191631180.00252284670.00252284671.00.0
7.42.8044356E-63.7101668E-63.7101668E-61.00.01.2018954E-51.590062E-51.590062E-51.00.01.4632095E-41.9357295E-41.9357295E-41.00.00.00146224640.00193423880.00193423881.00.0
7.52.4578699E-63.2451574E-63.2451574E-61.00.01.0533685E-51.3907744E-51.3907744E-51.00.01.2824008E-41.6931373E-41.6931373E-41.00.00.00128166090.00169202050.00169202051.00.0
7.61.7713267E-62.335325E-62.335325E-61.00.07.591378E-61.0008497E-51.0008497E-51.00.09.2421105E-51.2184674E-41.2184674E-41.00.09.2382677E-40.00121790350.00121790351.00.0
7.75.1912366E-76.8294605E-76.8294605E-71.00.02.2248137E-62.9269083E-62.9269083E-61.00.02.708677E-53.563454E-53.563454E-51.00.02.708347E-43.562774E-43.562774E-41.00.0

Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5183659E-43.0534517E-43.0534517E-41.00.06.5056595E-40.00130739350.00130739351.00.00.0078919120.0157030760.0157030761.00.00.0761745940.138553520.138570761.00012432.0E-5
6.11.5024997E-43.022871E-43.022871E-41.00.06.437695E-40.00129430140.00129430141.00.00.00780976140.0155464430.0155464431.00.00.0754093450.137222990.137240251.00012582.0E-5
6.21.2743923E-42.5326732E-42.5326732E-41.00.05.460538E-40.00108455940.00108455941.00.00.00662795830.0130536130.0130536131.00.00.0643372760.11732090.117338551.00015042.0E-5
6.31.1525114E-42.2612499E-42.2612499E-41.00.04.9383997E-49.684327E-49.684327E-41.00.00.00599593860.01167479250.01167479251.00.00.0583671740.1064375640.106455441.00016782.0E-5
6.41.07200925E-42.0853426E-42.0853426E-41.00.04.5935164E-48.9316786E-48.9316786E-41.00.00.00557827440.0107796450.0107796451.00.00.05440310.0992604940.09927851.00018142.0E-5
6.59.69631E-51.8746986E-41.8746986E-41.00.04.1548995E-48.0301095E-48.0301095E-41.00.00.00504686260.009701430.009701431.00.00.049337730.0901520850.090170291.00020182.0E-5
6.68.0552316E-51.5083487E-41.5083487E-41.00.03.4517853E-46.4623426E-46.4623426E-41.00.00.00419445240.0078330770.0078330771.00.00.041161610.0749226960.0749411961.00024692.0E-5
6.77.815757E-51.462396E-41.462396E-41.00.03.34918E-46.265544E-46.265544E-41.00.00.0040700050.00759584040.00759584041.00.00.0399626570.0727720260.072790571.00025492.0E-5
6.86.965264E-51.2734742E-41.2734742E-41.00.02.9847719E-45.456419E-45.456419E-41.00.00.00362790520.0066197510.0066197511.00.00.035692470.063864740.0638740961.00014661.0E-5
6.95.8000453E-51.0154427E-41.0154427E-41.00.02.4854968E-44.3511766E-44.3511766E-41.00.00.00302189330.0052847870.0052847871.00.00.0298112950.0515538040.051563291.00018391.0E-5
7.04.9865852E-58.578355E-58.578355E-51.00.02.1369329E-43.6759244E-43.6759244E-41.00.00.00259861140.0044663430.0044663431.00.00.0256843360.0438328650.0438424271.00021821.0E-5
7.14.283875E-57.120516E-57.120516E-51.00.01.8358172E-43.051296E-43.051296E-41.00.00.00223281630.0037086810.0037086811.00.00.0221051460.036777370.0367871.00026191.0E-5
7.23.450115E-55.5856777E-55.5856777E-51.00.01.478537E-42.3936438E-42.3936438E-41.00.00.00179863230.00291039590.00291039591.00.00.0178414420.0291193330.0291290411.00033341.0E-5
7.32.5709045E-54.065854E-54.065854E-51.00.01.1017697E-41.7423934E-41.7423934E-41.00.00.00134057910.0021193170.0021193171.00.00.0133252080.0213328860.0213426721.00045871.0E-5
7.41.8003093E-52.8549623E-52.8549623E-51.00.07.715383E-51.223498E-41.223498E-41.00.09.3894306E-40.00148859330.00148859331.00.00.0093498570.0150727770.0150826271.00065351.0E-5
7.51.5595824E-52.5860876E-52.5860876E-51.00.06.683753E-51.10827634E-41.10827634E-41.00.08.134431E-40.00134849340.00134849341.00.00.0081047190.0136717740.0136816381.00072151.0E-5
7.61.1110309E-51.9255813E-51.9255813E-51.00.04.761474E-58.252231E-58.252231E-51.00.05.795553E-40.00100424730.00100424731.00.00.00578046120.010221580.010221581.00.0
7.76.2140443E-61.0460544E-51.0460544E-51.00.02.6631347E-54.4830133E-54.4830133E-51.00.03.241884E-45.456703E-45.456703E-41.00.00.00323715880.0056314120.0056314121.00.0
7.85.305533E-69.454043E-69.454043E-61.00.02.27378E-54.0516697E-54.0516697E-51.00.02.7679754E-44.9317925E-44.9317925E-41.00.00.00276453020.0050845930.0050845931.00.0
7.93.363505E-67.400539E-67.400539E-61.00.01.4414942E-53.171621E-53.171621E-51.00.01.7548777E-43.860765E-43.860765E-41.00.00.00175349260.00395602830.00395602831.00.0
8.02.0271132E-64.421917E-64.421917E-61.00.08.687599E-61.8950936E-51.8950936E-51.00.01.05766376E-42.3070326E-42.3070326E-41.00.00.00105716060.00235539260.00235539261.00.0
8.11.2206116E-62.3798764E-62.3798764E-61.00.05.2311816E-61.019943E-51.019943E-51.00.06.3687774E-51.2417103E-41.2417103E-41.00.06.366953E-40.0012729090.0012729091.00.0

Rinconada 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5752368E-51.6275004E-52.627484E-51.61442921.0E-56.75084E-56.974817E-57.974747E-51.1433631.0E-58.2160486E-48.4885623E-48.6883927E-41.02354112.0E-50.0081857390.0084565190.00847634951.00234512.0E-5
6.11.0966133E-51.1323226E-51.1323226E-51.00.04.6996865E-54.8527214E-54.8527214E-51.00.05.720366E-45.906594E-45.906594E-41.00.00.00570566350.0058909910.0058909911.00.0
6.21.0966133E-51.1323226E-51.1323226E-51.00.04.6996865E-54.8527214E-54.8527214E-51.00.05.720366E-45.906594E-45.906594E-41.00.00.00570566350.0058909910.0058909911.00.0
6.38.926149E-69.21293E-69.21293E-61.00.03.8254362E-53.948339E-53.948339E-51.00.04.6564735E-44.8060456E-44.8060456E-41.00.00.00464672830.00479569660.00479569661.00.0
6.47.676955E-67.9203255E-67.9203255E-61.00.03.290082E-53.3943812E-53.3943812E-51.00.04.0049385E-44.1318772E-44.1318772E-41.00.00.00399772870.0041242210.0041242211.00.0
6.56.1671026E-66.3590614E-66.3590614E-61.00.02.6430173E-52.7252836E-52.7252836E-51.00.03.2173982E-43.3175282E-43.3175282E-41.00.00.0032127440.00331258770.00331258771.00.0
6.65.553456E-65.7249076E-65.7249076E-61.00.02.3800309E-52.4535088E-52.4535088E-51.00.02.897302E-42.986738E-42.986738E-41.00.00.00289352770.00298273260.00298273261.00.0
6.74.787857E-64.9333903E-64.9333903E-61.00.02.0519226E-52.114293E-52.114293E-51.00.02.4979294E-42.5738482E-42.5738482E-41.00.00.00249512350.0025708730.0025708731.00.0
6.83.9955166E-64.1135418E-64.1135418E-61.00.01.7123532E-51.7629347E-51.7629347E-51.00.02.0845905E-42.1461617E-42.1461617E-41.00.00.0020826360.00214409270.00214409271.00.0
6.93.4250072E-63.522501E-63.522501E-61.00.01.46785205E-51.5096345E-51.5096345E-51.00.01.7869633E-41.8378251E-41.8378251E-41.00.00.0017855270.00183630780.00183630781.00.0
7.02.7712713E-62.8467423E-62.8467423E-61.00.01.1876823E-51.22002675E-51.22002675E-51.00.01.4459073E-41.4852814E-41.4852814E-41.00.00.00144496680.00148429030.00148429031.00.0
7.12.227358E-62.2857314E-62.2857314E-61.00.09.545785E-69.7959555E-69.7959555E-61.00.01.16213734E-41.1925924E-41.1925924E-41.00.00.00116152980.00119195340.00119195341.00.0
7.21.581796E-61.6209236E-61.6209236E-61.00.06.779108E-66.9467974E-66.9467974E-61.00.08.253252E-58.457398E-58.457398E-51.00.08.250187E-48.454185E-48.454185E-41.00.0
7.31.0306567E-61.0546619E-61.0546619E-61.00.04.4170924E-64.5199718E-64.5199718E-61.00.05.3776774E-55.502927E-55.502927E-51.00.05.376376E-45.501567E-45.501567E-41.00.0
7.46.535541E-76.6828335E-76.6828335E-71.00.02.800943E-62.8640684E-62.8640684E-61.00.03.4100947E-53.4869478E-53.4869478E-51.00.03.4095717E-43.4864017E-43.4864017E-41.00.0
7.53.2656962E-73.3317164E-73.3317164E-71.00.01.3995833E-61.4278776E-61.4278776E-61.00.01.7039794E-51.738427E-51.738427E-51.00.01.7038487E-41.7382916E-41.7382916E-41.00.0
7.69.754343E-89.821144E-89.821144E-81.00.04.180432E-74.209061E-74.209061E-71.00.05.089664E-65.1245197E-65.1245197E-61.00.05.0895473E-55.1244024E-55.1244024E-51.00.0
7.76.0001453E-95.849203E-95.849203E-91.00.02.5714908E-82.5068012E-82.5068012E-81.00.03.1307894E-73.05203E-73.05203E-71.00.03.1307852E-63.0520262E-63.0520262E-61.00.0
7.87.400003E-117.465484E-117.465484E-111.00.03.171432E-103.1994918E-103.1994918E-101.00.03.861218E-93.8953814E-93.8953814E-91.00.03.861218E-83.8953814E-83.8953814E-81.00.0

Calaveras (Central) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5010907E-42.4819706E-42.5819457E-41.04028061.0E-56.4316596E-40.0010632050.00107319431.00939551.0E-50.00780246640.0128589070.0128687791.00076771.0E-50.075341360.120481970.120499561.0001462.0E-5
6.11.4521465E-42.3981159E-42.4980918E-41.04168941.0E-56.222001E-40.00102729580.00103728551.00972431.0E-50.00754900560.0124281590.0124380351.00079461.0E-50.072976570.116753210.116770881.00015132.0E-5
6.21.429998E-42.391228E-42.491204E-41.04180961.0E-56.127123E-40.00102434630.00103433621.00975231.0E-50.0074342860.0123927040.012402581.00079691.0E-50.071904440.11640660.116424271.00015182.0E-5
6.31.3536277E-42.3243108E-42.4242877E-41.04301351.0E-55.799972E-49.956934E-40.00100568341.01003321.0E-50.00703862640.0120486750.0120585541.00081991.0E-50.06819820.1133176460.113335381.00015652.0E-5
6.41.2993296E-42.2666331E-42.3666104E-41.04410831.0E-55.5673666E-49.7099325E-49.809835E-41.01028871.0E-50.0067572230.01175130.0117611821.0008411.0E-50.065554120.1105939750.110611771.00016082.0E-5
6.51.0498927E-41.7996559E-41.8996379E-41.05555621.0E-54.498764E-47.71052E-47.8104425E-41.01295921.0E-50.0054634980.0093470590.0093569661.00105991.0E-50.0533111240.089271780.089289991.00020412.0E-5
6.61.0157505E-41.7483841E-41.8483665E-41.05718561.0E-54.35249E-47.490911E-47.590836E-41.01333951.0E-50.00528628840.0090819820.0090918911.00109111.0E-50.051622930.086848120.086866381.00021032.0E-5
6.79.660386E-51.6742892E-41.7742725E-41.05971681.0E-54.1395082E-47.173546E-47.273474E-41.01393011.0E-50.00502821060.0086987760.0087086891.00113961.0E-50.0491594970.0833369940.083355331.000222.0E-5
6.89.089927E-51.5656423E-41.6656268E-41.06386151.0E-53.8951015E-46.708168E-46.808101E-41.01489721.0E-50.00473197880.0081365750.0081464941.0012191.0E-50.0463247750.078229980.078248411.00023572.0E-5
6.97.353187E-51.2306191E-41.3306069E-41.081251.0E-53.150985E-45.273022E-45.3729693E-41.01895451.0E-50.00382957720.0064011270.00641106351.00155221.0E-50.0376425120.0622384180.0622571741.00030142.0E-5
7.05.746064E-59.398813E-51.03987186E-41.10638641.0E-52.4623662E-44.0274445E-44.1274042E-41.02481961.0E-50.00299380980.00489246050.00490241131.0020341.0E-50.029537970.0480344150.0480534551.00039642.0E-5
7.14.9557195E-58.060119E-59.0600384E-51.12405771.0E-52.123707E-43.4538825E-43.553848E-41.0289431.0E-50.00258254730.0041970570.0042070151.00237261.0E-50.02552740.0414105430.0414297131.0004632.0E-5
7.23.687595E-55.9597183E-56.959659E-51.16778311.0E-51.5803022E-42.5539167E-42.653891E-41.03914561.0E-50.00192231990.00310498920.0031149581.00321071.0E-50.019057760.0309192150.0309385971.00062682.0E-5
7.32.5846984E-54.2534713E-55.253429E-51.2350921.0E-51.1076809E-41.82279E-41.9227718E-41.05485091.0E-50.00134776710.00221700550.00222698341.00450061.0E-50.0133962230.0222067440.02222631.00088062.0E-5
7.41.7747854E-52.9968245E-52.9968245E-51.00.07.6060016E-51.2842902E-41.2842902E-41.00.09.2563726E-40.00156250480.00156250481.00.00.0092179110.0157254280.015735271.0006261.0E-5
7.51.4883479E-52.6273883E-52.6273883E-51.00.06.378478E-51.1259751E-41.1259751E-41.00.07.76303E-40.00137001530.00137001531.00.00.00773596670.013817970.01382783151.00071371.0E-5
7.68.166975E-61.4987666E-51.4987666E-51.00.03.5000852E-56.423128E-56.423128E-51.00.04.2605202E-47.8173657E-47.8173657E-41.00.00.0042523610.0079529560.0079529561.00.0
7.73.3858064E-66.2680556E-66.2680556E-61.00.01.4510518E-52.686282E-52.686282E-51.00.01.7665124E-43.2700578E-43.2700578E-41.00.00.00176510880.00339535580.00339535581.00.0
7.82.7721615E-65.3785216E-65.3785216E-61.00.01.1880637E-52.3050603E-52.3050603E-51.00.01.4463716E-42.8060502E-42.8060502E-41.00.00.00144543060.0029134980.0029134981.00.0
7.91.9736292E-64.1373296E-64.1373296E-61.00.08.4583835E-61.7731292E-51.7731292E-51.00.01.0297595E-42.1585713E-42.1585713E-41.00.00.00102928250.00222795340.00222795341.00.0
8.01.1767289E-62.5597071E-62.5597071E-61.00.05.0431145E-61.0970128E-51.0970128E-51.00.06.139818E-51.3355314E-41.3355314E-41.00.06.1381224E-40.00136863790.00136863791.00.0
8.17.5112825E-71.5440835E-61.5440835E-61.00.03.2191172E-66.617484E-66.617484E-61.00.03.9192048E-58.056491E-58.056491E-51.00.03.9185135E-48.25079E-48.25079E-41.00.0

Mission Creek

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1549387E-51.6332237E-51.6332237E-51.00.04.9496433E-56.9993504E-56.9993504E-51.00.06.0245243E-48.5185276E-48.718357E-41.02345822.0E-50.0060082180.00851452350.0085343531.00232892.0E-5
6.11.1549387E-51.6332237E-51.6332237E-51.00.04.9496433E-56.9993504E-56.9993504E-51.00.06.0245243E-48.5185276E-48.718357E-41.02345822.0E-50.0060082180.00851452350.0085343531.00232892.0E-5
6.21.1549387E-51.6332237E-51.6332237E-51.00.04.9496433E-56.9993504E-56.9993504E-51.00.06.0245243E-48.5185276E-48.718357E-41.02345822.0E-50.0060082180.00851452350.0085343531.00232892.0E-5
6.31.1549387E-51.6332237E-51.6332237E-51.00.04.9496433E-56.9993504E-56.9993504E-51.00.06.0245243E-48.5185276E-48.718357E-41.02345822.0E-50.0060082180.00851452350.0085343531.00232892.0E-5
6.41.1549387E-51.6332237E-51.6332237E-51.00.04.9496433E-56.9993504E-56.9993504E-51.00.06.0245243E-48.5185276E-48.718357E-41.02345822.0E-50.0060082180.00851452350.0085343531.00232892.0E-5
6.51.1549387E-51.6332237E-51.6332237E-51.00.04.9496433E-56.9993504E-56.9993504E-51.00.06.0245243E-48.5185276E-48.718357E-41.02345822.0E-50.0060082180.00851452350.0085343531.00232892.0E-5
6.69.202681E-61.385544E-51.385544E-51.00.03.9439463E-55.9379156E-55.9379156E-51.00.04.800697E-47.2271045E-47.42696E-41.02765362.0E-50.0047903390.00723167560.0072515311.00274562.0E-5
6.79.019164E-61.3661103E-51.3661103E-51.00.03.8652986E-55.854632E-55.854632E-51.00.04.7049852E-47.1257737E-47.325631E-41.02804712.0E-50.0046950360.00713099730.00715085441.00278462.0E-5
6.88.673558E-61.3283194E-51.3283194E-51.00.03.717186E-55.692678E-55.692678E-51.00.04.524734E-46.92872E-47.1285816E-41.02884532.0E-50.00451553240.0069351760.00695503741.00286392.0E-5
6.97.002255E-61.1487351E-51.1487351E-51.00.03.000932E-54.9230614E-54.9230614E-51.00.03.653022E-45.9922476E-46.1921275E-41.03335642.0E-50.00364702290.00600396560.00602384561.00331122.0E-5
7.05.84644E-69.68415E-69.68415E-61.00.02.5055931E-54.150287E-54.150287E-51.00.03.0501327E-45.051848E-45.1517977E-41.01978471.0E-50.00304594960.0050680330.00507798231.00196311.0E-5
7.15.54703E-69.338593E-69.338593E-61.00.02.377277E-54.0021954E-54.0021954E-51.00.02.8939504E-44.8716282E-44.971579E-41.0205171.0E-50.00289018450.00488861040.00489856161.00203561.0E-5
7.24.384709E-67.690283E-67.690283E-61.00.01.8791474E-53.295796E-53.295796E-51.00.02.2876218E-44.0119293E-44.1118893E-41.02491571.0E-50.00228526820.00403235760.0040423171.00246991.0E-5
7.33.7888456E-66.9239895E-66.9239895E-61.00.01.623781E-52.9673924E-52.9673924E-51.00.01.9767738E-43.6122347E-43.7121985E-41.02767371.0E-50.00197501620.00363403140.0036439951.00274181.0E-5
7.42.1982462E-65.032061E-65.032061E-61.00.09.421021E-62.1565798E-52.1565798E-51.00.01.1469489E-42.6253215E-42.7252952E-41.03808061.0E-50.00114635720.002649670.00265964351.0037641.0E-5
7.52.051923E-64.623061E-64.623061E-61.00.08.793926E-61.9812971E-51.9812971E-51.00.01.0706078E-42.4119635E-42.5119394E-41.041451.0E-50.00107009220.00243737320.00244734881.00409281.0E-5
7.61.8733427E-64.131132E-64.131132E-61.00.08.028587E-61.7704731E-51.7704731E-51.00.09.774366E-52.1553386E-42.2553171E-41.04638651.0E-59.770069E-40.00218188970.0021918681.00457321.0E-5
7.71.8411953E-64.0507525E-64.0507525E-61.00.07.890813E-61.7360253E-51.7360253E-51.00.09.606641E-52.1134067E-42.2133855E-41.0473071.0E-59.6024893E-40.00214015620.00215013491.00466251.0E-5
7.81.7194251E-63.7175898E-63.7175898E-61.00.07.368944E-61.5932432E-51.5932432E-51.00.08.97132E-51.9396016E-42.0395822E-41.05154691.0E-58.967699E-40.00196586970.001975851.00507681.0E-5
7.91.4035052E-62.9559305E-62.9559305E-61.00.06.0150082E-61.2668213E-51.2668213E-51.00.07.3230265E-51.5422463E-41.642231E-41.06483051.0E-57.3206134E-40.0015658740.00157585831.00637631.0E-5
8.03.9318823E-75.5421293E-75.5421293E-71.00.01.6850913E-62.3751961E-62.3751961E-61.00.02.0515794E-52.8917633E-52.8917633E-51.00.02.0513899E-42.9980825E-42.9980825E-41.00.0
8.11.596793E-71.1425073E-71.1425073E-71.00.06.8433974E-74.896459E-74.896459E-71.00.08.331805E-65.961423E-65.961423E-61.00.08.331492E-56.574893E-56.574893E-51.00.0
8.24.9003038E-82.5556407E-82.5556407E-81.00.02.10013E-71.09527456E-71.09527456E-71.00.02.5569052E-61.333496E-61.333496E-61.00.02.556876E-51.5019927E-51.5019927E-51.00.0

Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.4353277E-57.051243E-57.051243E-51.00.02.3292181E-43.0216138E-43.0216138E-41.00.00.00283213520.0036726090.0036726091.00.00.027963120.036121570.0361408481.00053372.0E-5
6.14.5578287E-55.823013E-55.823013E-51.00.01.953209E-42.4953342E-42.4953342E-41.00.00.00237543830.00303383680.00303383681.00.00.0235020630.0299245030.0299342031.00032411.0E-5
6.22.8536782E-53.4741206E-53.4741206E-51.00.01.2229476E-41.4888248E-41.4888248E-41.00.00.00148792170.00181111590.00181111591.00.00.0147799860.0179607870.0179706071.00054681.0E-5
6.32.3698774E-52.82169E-52.82169E-51.00.01.01562226E-41.2092415E-41.2092415E-41.00.00.00123581860.00147125090.00147125091.00.00.0122896860.0146134050.0146134051.00.0
6.41.9191197E-52.2125585E-52.2125585E-51.00.08.2245395E-59.482068E-59.482068E-51.00.00.00100087770.00115383530.00115383531.00.00.0099638180.0114784430.0114784431.00.0
6.51.5203241E-51.6803031E-51.6803031E-51.00.06.5155116E-57.201118E-57.201118E-51.00.07.9297484E-48.763992E-48.763992E-41.00.00.0079015120.008730550.008730551.00.0
6.61.0984925E-51.124355E-51.124355E-51.00.04.70774E-54.8185768E-54.8185768E-51.00.05.730166E-45.865076E-45.865076E-41.00.00.0057154130.00584998870.00584998871.00.0
6.79.134616E-69.02062E-69.02062E-61.00.03.9147766E-53.865924E-53.865924E-51.00.04.7651984E-44.70577E-44.70577E-41.00.00.0047549930.00469605070.00469605071.00.0
6.87.785589E-67.4525356E-67.4525356E-61.00.03.3366385E-53.1939056E-53.1939056E-51.00.04.0616E-43.8879065E-43.8879065E-41.00.00.00405418450.00388130870.00388130871.00.0
6.95.579095E-64.8988704E-64.8988704E-61.00.02.3910188E-52.0994998E-52.0994998E-51.00.02.9106764E-42.555855E-42.555855E-41.00.00.0029068670.00255305270.00255305271.00.0
7.02.6816688E-61.5216937E-61.5216937E-61.00.01.1492816E-56.5215286E-66.5215286E-61.00.01.3991605E-47.939681E-57.939681E-51.00.00.00139827997.936931E-47.936931E-41.00.0
7.11.9951021E-67.4540986E-77.4540986E-71.00.08.55041E-63.1946101E-63.1946101E-61.00.01.0409627E-43.8893726E-53.8893726E-51.00.00.00104047523.8887333E-43.8887333E-41.00.0
7.21.9951021E-67.4540986E-77.4540986E-71.00.08.55041E-63.1946101E-63.1946101E-61.00.01.0409627E-43.8893726E-53.8893726E-51.00.00.00104047523.8887333E-43.8887333E-41.00.0
7.31.7087556E-66.579121E-76.579121E-71.00.07.3232177E-62.8196202E-62.8196202E-61.00.08.915652E-53.432838E-53.432838E-51.00.08.9120766E-43.432348E-43.432348E-41.00.0
7.41.3804846E-66.0740956E-76.0740956E-71.00.05.916349E-62.6031814E-62.6031814E-61.00.07.2029165E-53.1693315E-53.1693315E-51.00.07.200583E-43.1689196E-43.1689196E-41.00.0
7.51.3804846E-66.0740956E-76.0740956E-71.00.05.916349E-62.6031814E-62.6031814E-61.00.07.2029165E-53.1693315E-53.1693315E-51.00.07.200583E-43.1689196E-43.1689196E-41.00.0

Santa Cruz Island

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9164563E-53.1601154E-53.1601154E-51.00.01.2498499E-41.3542725E-41.3542725E-41.00.00.00152063010.0016477160.00165769961.0060591.0E-50.0151026670.0163687240.0163883981.00120192.0E-5
6.12.9164563E-53.1601154E-53.1601154E-51.00.01.2498499E-41.3542725E-41.3542725E-41.00.00.00152063010.0016477160.00165769961.0060591.0E-50.0151026670.0163687240.0163883981.00120192.0E-5
6.22.9164563E-53.1601154E-53.1601154E-51.00.01.2498499E-41.3542725E-41.3542725E-41.00.00.00152063010.0016477160.00165769961.0060591.0E-50.0151026670.0163687240.0163883981.00120192.0E-5
6.31.6635553E-51.7805029E-51.7805029E-51.00.07.1293274E-57.6305136E-57.6305136E-51.00.08.6765E-49.286373E-49.38628E-41.01075851.0E-50.0086427010.009249440.0092593481.00107111.0E-5
6.41.6635553E-51.7805029E-51.7805029E-51.00.07.1293274E-57.6305136E-57.6305136E-51.00.08.6765E-49.286373E-49.38628E-41.01075851.0E-50.0086427010.009249440.0092593481.00107111.0E-5
6.51.2238748E-51.30434555E-51.30434555E-51.00.05.2450723E-55.589935E-55.589935E-51.00.06.3840044E-46.803657E-46.803657E-41.00.00.00636569550.00678322650.00678322651.00.0
6.61.0489767E-51.1157017E-51.1157017E-51.00.04.495537E-54.7814923E-54.7814923E-51.00.05.4719415E-45.8199343E-45.8199343E-41.00.00.0054584870.00580493360.00580493361.00.0
6.78.699222E-69.23709E-69.23709E-61.00.03.7281847E-53.9586932E-53.9586932E-51.00.04.5381195E-44.8186484E-44.8186484E-41.00.00.00452886340.00480826760.00480826761.00.0
6.88.307732E-68.8171955E-68.8171955E-61.00.03.560408E-53.778744E-53.778744E-51.00.04.3339343E-44.5996535E-44.5996535E-41.00.00.0043254920.00459018680.00459018681.00.0
6.98.073121E-68.565221E-68.565221E-61.00.03.459863E-53.6707574E-53.6707574E-51.00.04.2115687E-44.4682348E-44.4682348E-41.00.00.0042035960.00445930240.00445930241.00.0
7.07.617019E-68.074926E-68.074926E-61.00.03.264396E-53.460637E-53.460637E-51.00.03.9736772E-44.212515E-44.212515E-41.00.00.0039665790.00420457730.00420457731.00.0
7.17.1224836E-67.5460302E-67.5460302E-61.00.03.052457E-53.2339733E-53.2339733E-51.00.03.715733E-43.9366545E-43.9366545E-41.00.00.0037095260.0039297240.0039297241.00.0
7.26.441115E-66.827605E-66.827605E-61.00.02.7604487E-52.9260838E-52.9260838E-51.00.03.360328E-43.561927E-43.561927E-41.00.00.00335525120.00355624620.00355624621.00.0
7.35.494274E-65.8201817E-65.8201817E-61.00.02.3546674E-52.4943398E-52.4943398E-51.00.02.8664304E-43.0364376E-43.0364376E-41.00.00.0028627360.00303231180.00303231181.00.0
7.44.0802624E-64.3123905E-64.3123905E-61.00.01.7486722E-51.8481544E-51.8481544E-51.00.02.1288003E-42.2498962E-42.2498962E-41.00.00.00212676220.00224762740.00224762741.00.0
7.52.3584746E-62.4753786E-62.4753786E-61.00.01.0107709E-51.0608722E-51.0608722E-51.00.01.2305441E-41.2915359E-41.2915359E-41.00.00.00122986290.00129079030.00129079031.00.0
7.69.4981914E-79.861163E-79.861163E-71.00.04.0706473E-64.226206E-64.226206E-61.00.04.9559E-55.1452855E-55.1452855E-51.00.04.954795E-45.144107E-45.144107E-41.00.0
7.72.6013532E-72.6417084E-72.6417084E-71.00.01.1148652E-61.1321602E-61.1321602E-61.00.01.3573399E-51.3783963E-51.3783963E-51.00.01.357257E-41.3783116E-41.3783116E-41.00.0
7.84.1522263E-83.965741E-83.965741E-81.00.01.7795254E-71.6996033E-71.6996033E-71.00.02.16657E-62.0692653E-62.0692653E-61.00.02.1665488E-52.0692481E-52.0692481E-51.00.0
7.97.7242046E-105.947626E-105.947626E-101.00.03.3103735E-92.548983E-92.548983E-91.00.04.0303796E-83.1033867E-83.1033867E-81.00.04.030379E-73.1033863E-73.1033863E-71.00.0

Big Pine (Central)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2706755E-51.4252547E-51.4252547E-51.00.05.4456385E-56.108112E-56.108112E-51.00.06.628048E-47.434455E-47.5343804E-41.01344081.0E-50.0066083140.00741464230.0074344941.00267732.0E-5
6.18.342579E-69.512563E-69.512563E-61.00.03.5753423E-54.0767616E-54.0767616E-51.00.04.3521097E-44.962544E-45.0624943E-41.0201411.0E-50.00434359630.00495504770.00496499851.00200821.0E-5
6.26.923899E-67.968877E-67.968877E-61.00.02.9673516E-53.415199E-53.415199E-51.00.03.6121515E-44.1574042E-44.2573625E-41.02404341.0E-50.0036062860.00415296530.0041629241.00239791.0E-5
6.32.728396E-63.425821E-63.425821E-61.00.01.1693074E-51.4682013E-51.4682013E-51.00.01.4235388E-41.787397E-41.8873792E-41.05593731.0E-50.00142262720.00178749720.00179747931.00558441.0E-5
6.42.7136944E-63.4101138E-63.4101138E-61.00.01.1630066E-51.4614697E-51.4614697E-51.00.01.4158686E-41.7792027E-41.879185E-41.05619491.0E-50.00141496690.0017793160.00178929811.00561011.0E-5
6.52.6971882E-63.3924584E-63.3924584E-61.00.01.1559327E-51.4539031E-51.4539031E-51.00.01.4072572E-41.769992E-41.8699742E-41.05648741.0E-50.00140636640.00177011990.00178010211.00563931.0E-5
6.62.669092E-63.3624776E-63.3624776E-61.00.01.1438916E-51.4410544E-51.4410544E-51.00.01.3925991E-41.7543513E-41.8543337E-41.05699111.0E-50.00139172670.00175450380.00176448631.00568961.0E-5
6.72.6408059E-63.3325025E-63.3325025E-61.00.01.1317691E-51.428208E-51.428208E-51.00.01.3778417E-41.7387132E-41.8386958E-41.05750381.0E-50.00137698770.00173889040.0017488731.00574081.0E-5
6.82.1786943E-62.8559518E-62.8559518E-61.00.09.337228E-61.22397405E-51.22397405E-51.00.01.1367482E-41.4900937E-41.5900789E-41.06709991.0E-50.00113616690.00149061870.00150060391.00669861.0E-5
6.91.4411696E-62.069955E-62.069955E-61.00.06.1764263E-68.871207E-68.871207E-61.00.07.51954E-51.0800186E-41.1800078E-41.0925811.0E-57.5169955E-40.00108097330.00109096241.00924091.0E-5
7.01.0073411E-61.5555618E-61.5555618E-61.00.04.317169E-66.6666776E-66.6666776E-61.00.05.2560266E-58.1163926E-59.1163114E-51.12319741.0E-55.2547833E-48.128111E-48.2280295E-41.0122931.0E-5
7.18.947104E-71.4315309E-61.4315309E-61.00.03.834468E-66.135119E-66.135119E-61.00.04.6683643E-57.469266E-58.4691914E-51.13387191.0E-54.6673836E-47.481436E-47.581361E-41.01335641.0E-5
7.25.215166E-71.0123637E-61.0123637E-61.00.02.2350691E-64.3386945E-64.3386945E-61.00.02.7211627E-55.2822368E-56.282184E-51.18930381.0E-52.7208295E-45.29556E-45.3955073E-41.01887371.0E-5
7.34.4024807E-79.231207E-79.231207E-71.00.01.8867761E-63.956226E-63.956226E-61.00.02.2971257E-54.8166028E-54.8166028E-51.00.02.2968883E-44.8301363E-44.8301363E-41.00.0
7.43.6130905E-78.3697915E-78.3697915E-71.00.01.5484665E-63.5870487E-63.5870487E-61.00.01.8852415E-54.3671484E-54.3671484E-51.00.01.8850817E-44.3807772E-44.3807772E-41.00.0
7.53.408184E-78.1191774E-78.1191774E-71.00.01.4606494E-63.479643E-63.479643E-61.00.01.7783263E-54.236387E-54.236387E-51.00.01.778184E-44.2498423E-44.2498423E-41.00.0
7.63.1428627E-77.742247E-77.742247E-71.00.01.3469405E-63.318102E-63.318102E-61.00.01.6398877E-54.0397183E-54.0397183E-51.00.01.6397667E-44.0529485E-44.0529485E-41.00.0
7.71.7972785E-75.085898E-75.085898E-71.00.07.70262E-72.1796686E-62.1796686E-61.00.09.377899E-62.6537155E-52.6537155E-51.00.09.377503E-52.6671647E-42.6671647E-41.00.0
7.84.9230927E-81.1999686E-71.1999686E-71.00.02.1098968E-75.1427213E-75.1427213E-71.00.02.5687964E-66.261247E-66.261247E-61.00.02.5687666E-56.306763E-56.306763E-51.00.0
7.93.6805972E-94.112225E-94.112225E-91.00.01.5773987E-81.762382E-81.762382E-81.00.01.9204828E-72.1457E-72.1457E-71.00.01.920481E-62.1932892E-62.1932892E-61.00.0

White Wolf

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0037822E-51.0469125E-61.0469125E-61.00.08.587355E-54.4867606E-64.4867606E-61.00.00.0010450095.4624994E-55.4624994E-51.00.00.0104010855.4612075E-45.6610984E-41.03660192.0E-5
6.12.0037822E-51.0469125E-61.0469125E-61.00.08.587355E-54.4867606E-64.4867606E-61.00.00.0010450095.4624994E-55.4624994E-51.00.00.0104010855.4612075E-45.6610984E-41.03660192.0E-5
6.22.0037822E-51.0469125E-61.0469125E-61.00.08.587355E-54.4867606E-64.4867606E-61.00.00.0010450095.4624994E-55.4624994E-51.00.00.0104010855.4612075E-45.6610984E-41.03660192.0E-5
6.32.0037822E-51.0469125E-61.0469125E-61.00.08.587355E-54.4867606E-64.4867606E-61.00.00.0010450095.4624994E-55.4624994E-51.00.00.0104010855.4612075E-45.6610984E-41.03660192.0E-5
6.41.132487E-51.0469125E-61.0469125E-61.00.04.8534253E-54.4867606E-64.4867606E-61.00.05.907443E-45.4624994E-55.4624994E-51.00.00.0058917645.4612075E-45.6610984E-41.03660192.0E-5
6.51.132487E-51.0469125E-61.0469125E-61.00.04.8534253E-54.4867606E-64.4867606E-61.00.05.907443E-45.4624994E-55.4624994E-51.00.00.0058917645.4612075E-45.6610984E-41.03660192.0E-5
6.69.347473E-61.0469125E-61.0469125E-61.00.04.0059982E-54.4867606E-64.4867606E-61.00.04.8762115E-45.4624994E-55.4624994E-51.00.00.00486552535.4612075E-45.6610984E-41.03660192.0E-5
6.77.842647E-61.0048299E-61.0048299E-61.00.03.361091E-54.306407E-64.306407E-61.00.04.0913603E-45.2429295E-55.2429295E-51.00.00.0040838365.2417425E-45.4416375E-41.03813532.0E-5
6.86.26597E-69.734783E-79.734783E-71.00.02.685388E-54.1720436E-64.1720436E-61.00.03.2689696E-45.07935E-55.07935E-51.00.00.0032641655.078238E-45.278136E-41.03936372.0E-5
6.95.258436E-69.183194E-79.183194E-71.00.02.2535958E-53.935649E-63.935649E-61.00.02.7434074E-44.7915524E-54.7915524E-51.00.00.00274002324.790567E-44.990471E-41.04172872.0E-5
7.04.675028E-68.661136E-78.661136E-71.00.02.003568E-53.7119105E-63.7119105E-61.00.02.4390711E-44.5191624E-54.5191624E-51.00.00.00243639574.5182905E-44.7182E-41.04424452.0E-5
7.12.8270078E-66.874117E-76.874117E-71.00.01.2115692E-52.9460473E-62.9460473E-61.00.01.4749856E-43.5867575E-53.5867575E-51.00.00.0014740073.5862197E-43.786148E-41.0557492.0E-5
7.21.6881406E-62.2705167E-72.2705167E-71.00.07.2348685E-69.730783E-79.730783E-71.00.08.808096E-51.1847164E-51.1847164E-51.00.08.8046055E-41.1846548E-41.1846548E-41.00.0
7.39.086107E-71.5265711E-71.5265711E-71.00.03.8940398E-66.542446E-76.542446E-71.00.04.7408903E-57.9654E-67.9654E-61.00.04.739879E-47.9651225E-57.9651225E-51.00.0
7.41.9717383E-79.003655E-89.003655E-81.00.08.450304E-73.8587086E-73.8587086E-71.00.01.0288197E-54.697968E-64.697968E-61.00.01.028772E-44.697872E-54.697872E-51.00.0
7.51.086975E-76.659832E-86.659832E-81.00.04.6584634E-72.8542135E-72.8542135E-71.00.05.6716644E-63.4749996E-63.4749996E-61.00.05.6715195E-53.4749475E-53.4749475E-51.00.0
7.62.4217808E-81.5821215E-81.5821215E-81.00.01.03790605E-76.78052E-86.78052E-81.00.01.2636499E-68.2552805E-78.2552805E-71.00.01.2636427E-58.255255E-68.255255E-61.00.0

Santa Susana alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.674877E-52.7200702E-52.7200702E-51.00.01.1463255E-41.1656987E-41.265687E-41.08577551.0E-50.00139475780.00141842780.00143839941.01408022.0E-50.0138603620.01410517750.0141248951.0013982.0E-5
6.12.674877E-52.7200702E-52.7200702E-51.00.01.1463255E-41.1656987E-41.265687E-41.08577551.0E-50.00139475780.00141842780.00143839941.01408022.0E-50.0138603620.01410517750.0141248951.0013982.0E-5
6.22.674877E-52.7200702E-52.7200702E-51.00.01.1463255E-41.1656987E-41.265687E-41.08577551.0E-50.00139475780.00141842780.00143839941.01408022.0E-50.0138603620.01410517750.0141248951.0013982.0E-5
6.32.674877E-52.7200702E-52.7200702E-51.00.01.1463255E-41.1656987E-41.265687E-41.08577551.0E-50.00139475780.00141842780.00143839941.01408022.0E-50.0138603620.01410517750.0141248951.0013982.0E-5
6.42.674877E-52.7200702E-52.7200702E-51.00.01.1463255E-41.1656987E-41.265687E-41.08577551.0E-50.00139475780.00141842780.00143839941.01408022.0E-50.0138603620.01410517750.0141248951.0013982.0E-5
6.52.674877E-52.7200702E-52.7200702E-51.00.01.1463255E-41.1656987E-41.265687E-41.08577551.0E-50.00139475780.00141842780.00143839941.01408022.0E-50.0138603620.01410517750.0141248951.0013982.0E-5
6.62.6647976E-52.7077027E-52.7077027E-51.00.01.14200615E-41.1603988E-41.2603872E-41.08616721.0E-50.00138950560.00141198360.00143195541.01414442.0E-50.0138084940.0140415550.0140612741.00140432.0E-5
6.72.6647976E-52.7077027E-52.7077027E-51.00.01.14200615E-41.1603988E-41.2603872E-41.08616721.0E-50.00138950560.00141198360.00143195541.01414442.0E-50.0138084940.0140415550.0140612741.00140432.0E-5
6.81.9073179E-51.7638708E-51.7638708E-51.00.08.1739636E-57.5592376E-58.559162E-51.13227841.0E-59.947256E-49.199667E-49.399483E-41.02171992.0E-50.0099028480.0091635070.0091833241.00216262.0E-5
6.91.9041876E-51.7620838E-51.7620838E-51.00.08.160549E-57.5515796E-58.5515036E-51.13241271.0E-59.930939E-49.190351E-49.3901675E-41.0217422.0E-50.00988667550.0091542690.0091740851.00216472.0E-5
7.01.5917482E-51.386486E-51.386486E-51.00.06.8215995E-55.9419504E-56.941891E-51.16828491.0E-58.302132E-47.23197E-47.431825E-41.0276352.0E-50.0082711850.0072089770.00722883271.00275432.0E-5
7.11.577788E-51.3744859E-51.3744859E-51.00.06.761774E-55.8905236E-56.890464E-51.16975411.0E-58.2293496E-47.169399E-47.369256E-41.02787642.0E-50.0081989410.007146810.00716666741.00277842.0E-5
7.21.5416446E-51.3470913E-51.3470913E-51.00.06.606882E-55.773123E-55.773123E-51.00.08.0409093E-47.026557E-47.126487E-41.01422171.0E-50.0080118770.0070048710.00701480131.00141761.0E-5
7.31.4534083E-51.271876E-51.271876E-51.00.06.228744E-55.450786E-55.450786E-51.00.07.580857E-46.6343555E-46.7342893E-41.0150631.0E-50.0075550480.00661506040.00662499431.00150171.0E-5
7.41.2858995E-51.1230413E-51.1230413E-51.00.05.5108816E-54.8129477E-54.8129477E-51.00.06.7074323E-45.8582274E-45.958169E-41.017061.0E-50.00668722340.00584320630.00585314771.00170141.0E-5
7.58.827668E-67.805836E-67.805836E-61.00.03.7832317E-53.3453165E-53.3453165E-51.00.04.605111E-44.072186E-44.1721456E-41.02454691.0E-50.00459557960.00406486540.0040748251.00245011.0E-5
7.63.2533426E-62.8720965E-62.8720965E-61.00.01.3942822E-51.23089285E-51.23089285E-51.00.01.6974064E-41.4985127E-41.4985127E-41.00.00.00169611040.00149753910.00149753911.00.0
7.71.2751709E-61.1491738E-61.1491738E-61.00.05.4650063E-64.9250216E-64.9250216E-61.00.06.653442E-55.996058E-55.996058E-51.00.06.6514505E-45.9945293E-45.9945293E-41.00.0
7.83.067544E-73.240163E-73.240163E-71.00.01.3146611E-61.3886406E-61.3886406E-61.00.01.600588E-51.6906579E-51.6906579E-51.00.01.6004729E-41.6905395E-41.6905395E-41.00.0
7.97.622999E-88.088244E-88.088244E-81.00.03.2669993E-73.4663898E-73.4663898E-71.00.03.977564E-64.2203237E-64.2203237E-61.00.03.977493E-54.2202642E-54.2202642E-51.00.0

Raymond

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5157413E-51.5811209E-51.5811209E-51.00.06.4958724E-56.776071E-56.776071E-51.00.07.905855E-48.2469947E-48.2469947E-41.00.00.0078777880.0082189070.0082387421.00241342.0E-5
6.11.5157413E-51.5811209E-51.5811209E-51.00.06.4958724E-56.776071E-56.776071E-51.00.07.905855E-48.2469947E-48.2469947E-41.00.00.0078777880.0082189070.0082387421.00241342.0E-5
6.21.5157413E-51.5811209E-51.5811209E-51.00.06.4958724E-56.776071E-56.776071E-51.00.07.905855E-48.2469947E-48.2469947E-41.00.00.0078777880.0082189070.0082387421.00241342.0E-5
6.31.5157413E-51.5811209E-51.5811209E-51.00.06.4958724E-56.776071E-56.776071E-51.00.07.905855E-48.2469947E-48.2469947E-41.00.00.0078777880.0082189070.0082387421.00241342.0E-5
6.41.3941944E-51.445569E-51.445569E-51.00.05.9749822E-56.1951614E-56.1951614E-51.00.07.2721124E-47.540232E-47.540232E-41.00.00.0072483610.00751698060.007536831.00264062.0E-5
6.51.3941944E-51.445569E-51.445569E-51.00.05.9749822E-56.1951614E-56.1951614E-51.00.07.2721124E-47.540232E-47.540232E-41.00.00.0072483610.00751698060.007536831.00264062.0E-5
6.61.0542609E-51.0671884E-51.0671884E-51.00.04.5181827E-54.5735876E-54.5735876E-51.00.05.499499E-45.566975E-45.566975E-41.00.00.0054859090.0055535890.0055734781.00358132.0E-5
6.71.0542609E-51.0671884E-51.0671884E-51.00.04.5181827E-54.5735876E-54.5735876E-51.00.05.499499E-45.566975E-45.566975E-41.00.00.0054859090.0055535890.0055734781.00358132.0E-5
6.81.0079132E-51.01774E-51.01774E-51.00.04.3195567E-54.361673E-54.361673E-51.00.05.257791E-45.3090963E-45.3090963E-41.00.00.00524536850.0052969610.0053168551.00375582.0E-5
6.97.721598E-67.5494972E-67.5494972E-61.00.03.3092143E-53.2354594E-53.2354594E-51.00.04.0282236E-43.9384718E-43.9384718E-41.00.00.00402092930.0039316240.00394158441.00253341.0E-5
7.07.137566E-66.911867E-66.911867E-61.00.03.058921E-52.9621957E-52.9621957E-51.00.03.7236E-43.6058872E-43.6058872E-41.00.00.00371736680.00360015270.00361011671.00276771.0E-5
7.15.654976E-65.3000267E-65.3000267E-61.00.02.4235387E-52.2714205E-52.2714205E-51.00.02.9502588E-42.7651055E-42.7651055E-41.00.00.00294634510.00276169410.00277166651.0036111.0E-5
7.24.9358455E-64.5271095E-64.5271095E-61.00.02.1153453E-51.9401756E-51.9401756E-51.00.02.5751285E-42.361909E-42.361909E-41.00.00.00257214650.0023594190.00236939551.00422841.0E-5
7.34.2368597E-63.806038E-63.806038E-61.00.01.8157843E-51.631149E-51.631149E-51.00.02.2104931E-41.985744E-41.985744E-41.00.00.00220829550.00198398650.00198398651.00.0
7.43.4999923E-63.0441297E-63.0441297E-61.00.01.49998805E-51.3046205E-51.3046205E-51.00.01.8260824E-41.5882605E-41.5882605E-41.00.00.00182458260.00158713920.00158713921.00.0
7.52.738017E-62.3022947E-62.3022947E-61.00.01.1734306E-59.866941E-69.866941E-61.00.01.428558E-41.2012344E-41.2012344E-41.00.00.00142764010.00120059760.00120059761.00.0
7.61.8186392E-61.4424808E-61.4424808E-61.00.07.794145E-66.182046E-66.182046E-61.00.09.488958E-57.526385E-57.526385E-51.00.09.4849075E-47.523932E-47.523932E-41.00.0
7.71.0660348E-67.64514E-77.64514E-71.00.04.5687125E-63.2764847E-63.2764847E-61.00.05.5622655E-53.989049E-53.989049E-51.00.05.5608735E-43.9884052E-43.9884052E-41.00.0
7.86.913602E-74.3215485E-74.3215485E-71.00.02.962969E-61.8520909E-61.8520909E-61.00.03.607355E-52.254898E-52.254898E-51.00.03.6067693E-42.2547293E-42.2547293E-41.00.0
7.97.425201E-85.3234693E-85.3234693E-81.00.03.1822285E-72.2814866E-72.2814866E-71.00.03.874356E-62.7777078E-62.7777078E-61.00.03.8742884E-52.7776861E-52.7776861E-51.00.0

San Andreas (Offshore) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7072787E-41.9244522E-41.9244522E-41.00.07.3148566E-48.245069E-48.245069E-41.00.00.0088695280.0099926820.0100025831.00099071.0E-50.0852376450.0969186650.0969367251.00018632.0E-5
6.11.7072787E-41.9244522E-41.9244522E-41.00.07.3148566E-48.245069E-48.245069E-41.00.00.0088695280.0099926820.0100025831.00099071.0E-50.0852376450.0969186650.0969367251.00018632.0E-5
6.21.6312556E-41.8425238E-41.8425238E-41.00.06.989222E-47.894165E-47.894165E-41.00.00.0084762260.0095692890.0095791941.0010351.0E-50.081601170.092940290.0929584351.00019512.0E-5
6.31.5103363E-41.6896697E-41.6896697E-41.00.06.471264E-47.2394544E-47.2394544E-41.00.00.0078503390.0087788590.0087788591.00.00.0757873950.085565590.085574731.00010681.0E-5
6.41.5047993E-41.678262E-41.678262E-41.00.06.4475456E-47.190591E-47.190591E-41.00.00.0078216690.0087198450.0087198451.00.00.07552030.085045620.085054771.00010751.0E-5
6.51.2760791E-41.3748434E-41.3748434E-41.00.05.467764E-45.8908697E-45.8908697E-41.00.00.00663670250.00714882230.00714882231.00.00.0644196350.070295710.0703050051.00013221.0E-5
6.61.1063525E-41.15677954E-41.15677954E-41.00.04.740649E-44.9566955E-44.9566955E-41.00.00.00575647640.006018280.006018281.00.00.056096260.0595413860.059550791.0001581.0E-5
6.71.0391049E-41.0656347E-41.0656347E-41.00.04.4525467E-44.5662167E-44.5662167E-41.00.00.00540750940.00554538560.00554538561.00.00.0527780350.0550407130.0550501641.00017171.0E-5
6.81.0096706E-41.0168417E-41.0168417E-41.00.04.3264418E-44.357175E-44.357175E-41.00.00.00525472830.00529213440.00529213441.00.00.0513219870.0527371840.0527466571.00017961.0E-5
6.99.800265E-59.59869E-59.59869E-51.00.04.1994374E-44.113085E-44.113085E-41.00.00.00510083560.0049963510.0049963511.00.00.0498533060.0500640120.0500640121.00.0
7.09.4642375E-59.0117996E-59.0117996E-51.00.04.0554712E-43.8616368E-43.8616368E-41.00.00.0049263630.004691570.004691571.00.00.0481857470.0472437480.0472437481.00.0
7.19.0996844E-58.363476E-58.363476E-51.00.03.8992817E-43.583863E-43.583863E-41.00.00.0047370460.004354780.004354781.00.00.046373330.0440944950.0440944951.00.0
7.28.848287E-57.990859E-57.990859E-51.00.03.791572E-43.424213E-43.424213E-41.00.00.0046064720.00416116370.00416116371.00.00.0451214720.042237780.042237781.00.0
7.37.9280784E-56.135293E-56.135293E-51.00.03.3973053E-42.629152E-42.629152E-41.00.00.0041283770.00319639660.00319639661.00.00.0405251940.03294540.03294541.00.0
7.46.468038E-53.7985967E-53.7985967E-51.00.02.771722E-41.6278717E-41.6278717E-41.00.00.00336935020.001980190.001980191.00.00.03318720.0208565310.0208565311.00.0
7.54.930574E-51.2732583E-51.2732583E-51.00.02.1129321E-45.4567077E-55.4567077E-51.00.00.00256945986.6415325E-46.6415325E-41.00.00.025399530.0075001710.0075001711.00.0
7.64.612566E-51.0362292E-51.0362292E-51.00.01.9766642E-44.4409077E-54.4409077E-51.00.00.00240393245.405477E-45.405477E-41.00.00.0237809350.006189250.006189251.00.0
7.73.9435414E-55.594974E-65.594974E-61.00.01.6899795E-42.397824E-52.397824E-51.00.00.00205560842.9189617E-42.9189617E-41.00.00.0203669740.00355430930.00355430931.00.0
7.82.7787428E-53.7703621E-63.7703621E-61.00.01.1908354E-41.6158594E-51.6158594E-51.00.00.00144887771.9671317E-41.9671317E-41.00.00.0143946750.00239681550.00239681551.00.0
7.91.590671E-53.0531762E-63.0531762E-61.00.06.816983E-51.3084975E-51.3084975E-51.00.08.2965166E-41.5929795E-41.5929795E-41.00.00.0082656110.00191161440.00191161441.00.0
8.09.193638E-62.602415E-62.602415E-61.00.03.940071E-51.1153159E-51.1153159E-51.00.04.7959806E-41.3578127E-41.3578127E-41.00.00.00478564340.00161754890.00161754891.00.0
8.15.601576E-62.2438371E-62.2438371E-61.00.02.4006533E-59.616409E-69.616409E-61.00.02.9224035E-41.1707353E-41.1707353E-41.00.00.00291856330.00140758730.00140758731.00.0
8.24.3508785E-61.8653523E-61.8653523E-61.00.01.864649E-57.994342E-67.994342E-61.00.02.2699735E-49.7326796E-59.7326796E-51.00.00.00226765610.00116392230.00116392231.00.0
8.31.9573292E-67.544528E-77.544528E-71.00.08.388526E-63.233365E-63.233365E-61.00.01.0212552E-43.9365525E-53.9365525E-51.00.00.0010207864.6580602E-44.6580602E-41.00.0

Sheephole

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5579695E-64.741364E-64.741364E-61.00.01.9534009E-52.0320003E-52.0320003E-51.00.02.3780059E-42.473735E-42.473735E-41.00.00.00237546280.0024715260.00249147651.00807212.0E-5
6.14.5579695E-64.741364E-64.741364E-61.00.01.9534009E-52.0320003E-52.0320003E-51.00.02.3780059E-42.473735E-42.473735E-41.00.00.00237546280.0024715260.00249147651.00807212.0E-5
6.22.6677674E-62.7874607E-62.7874607E-61.00.01.1433239E-51.1946211E-51.1946211E-51.00.01.3919079E-41.454365E-41.454365E-41.00.00.00139103640.0014535190.0014535191.00.0
6.32.6677674E-62.7874607E-62.7874607E-61.00.01.1433239E-51.1946211E-51.1946211E-51.00.01.3919079E-41.454365E-41.454365E-41.00.00.00139103640.0014535190.0014535191.00.0
6.42.2159759E-62.3229381E-62.3229381E-61.00.09.497005E-69.955416E-69.955416E-61.00.01.156199E-41.2120126E-41.2120126E-41.00.00.00115559760.00121143090.00121143091.00.0
6.52.1986082E-62.304818E-62.304818E-61.00.09.4225725E-69.877759E-69.877759E-61.00.01.1471378E-41.20255885E-41.20255885E-41.00.00.00114654580.00120198750.00120198751.00.0
6.61.5232331E-61.6019358E-61.6019358E-61.00.06.5281256E-66.8654217E-66.8654217E-61.00.07.947703E-58.3583494E-58.3583494E-51.00.07.9448614E-48.355393E-48.355393E-41.00.0
6.71.3137362E-61.3828576E-61.3828576E-61.00.05.6302856E-65.92652E-65.92652E-61.00.06.854657E-57.215313E-57.215313E-51.00.06.8525434E-47.2131096E-47.2131096E-41.00.0
6.81.2275751E-61.2923208E-61.2923208E-61.00.05.2610258E-65.5385067E-65.5385067E-61.00.06.4051106E-56.742937E-56.742937E-51.00.06.4032647E-46.7410246E-46.7410246E-41.00.0
6.91.1837088E-61.2461369E-61.2461369E-61.00.05.0730278E-65.3405765E-65.3405765E-61.00.06.176237E-56.501971E-56.501971E-51.00.06.17452E-46.5002E-46.5002E-41.00.0
7.09.849371E-71.0366576E-61.0366576E-61.00.04.2211523E-64.4428116E-64.4428116E-61.00.05.1391315E-55.4089993E-55.4089993E-51.00.05.137943E-45.4077833E-45.4077833E-41.00.0
7.18.1643645E-78.591908E-78.591908E-71.00.03.4990085E-63.6822414E-63.6822414E-61.00.04.2599597E-54.4830453E-54.4830453E-51.00.04.259143E-44.4822274E-44.4822274E-41.00.0
7.25.7295756E-76.029669E-76.029669E-71.00.02.45553E-62.5841418E-62.5841418E-61.00.02.9895667E-53.146154E-53.146154E-51.00.02.9891645E-43.1457754E-43.1457754E-41.00.0

Elsinore (Temecula) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9514995E-52.2524138E-52.2524138E-51.00.01.264867E-49.652858E-59.652858E-51.00.00.00153888760.00117462380.00119460041.01700682.0E-50.0152827450.01169780550.0117175721.00168972.0E-5
6.12.9514995E-52.2524138E-52.2524138E-51.00.01.264867E-49.652858E-59.652858E-51.00.00.00153888760.00117462380.00119460041.01700682.0E-50.0152827450.01169780550.0117175721.00168972.0E-5
6.22.9514995E-52.2524138E-52.2524138E-51.00.01.264867E-49.652858E-59.652858E-51.00.00.00153888760.00117462380.00119460041.01700682.0E-50.0152827450.01169780550.0117175721.00168972.0E-5
6.32.3223649E-51.8411085E-51.8411085E-51.00.09.952613E-57.890236E-57.890236E-51.00.00.0012110579.6023E-49.802108E-41.02080832.0E-50.0120447830.00956974550.0095895551.002072.0E-5
6.42.3223649E-51.8411085E-51.8411085E-51.00.09.952613E-57.890236E-57.890236E-51.00.00.0012110579.6023E-49.802108E-41.02080832.0E-50.0120447830.00956974550.0095895551.002072.0E-5
6.51.8338875E-51.47526835E-51.47526835E-51.00.07.8592806E-56.32243E-56.32243E-51.00.09.5644733E-47.694928E-47.8947743E-41.02597122.0E-50.0095234120.00767182470.0076916711.0025872.0E-5
6.61.8223333E-51.4615226E-51.4615226E-51.00.07.809766E-56.263523E-56.263523E-51.00.09.504242E-47.623258E-47.823106E-41.02621562.0E-50.0094636960.00760064650.00762049431.00261142.0E-5
6.71.7512752E-51.4029559E-51.4029559E-51.00.07.505249E-56.012534E-56.012534E-51.00.09.13381E-47.3178875E-47.4178143E-41.01365521.0E-50.009096360.00730018220.0073101091.00135981.0E-5
6.81.7417142E-51.3953522E-51.3953522E-51.00.07.4642754E-55.9799488E-55.9799488E-51.00.09.083966E-47.278241E-47.3781685E-41.01372961.0E-50.0090469220.00726073560.0072706631.00136731.0E-5
6.91.6402591E-51.2990858E-51.2990858E-51.00.07.0294926E-55.5673958E-55.5673958E-51.00.08.5550465E-46.7762734E-46.8762054E-41.01474741.0E-50.0085221860.00676119050.00677112261.0014691.0E-5
7.01.3912486E-51.0880293E-51.0880293E-51.00.05.9623577E-54.662901E-54.662901E-51.00.07.2567526E-45.6756305E-45.7755737E-41.01760921.0E-50.00723310140.00566500660.005674951.00175521.0E-5
7.11.3405147E-51.0329356E-51.0329356E-51.00.05.7449364E-54.426793E-54.426793E-51.00.06.9922156E-45.3883134E-45.4882595E-41.01854871.0E-50.00697025560.0053785470.00538849361.00184931.0E-5
7.21.21402E-58.998374E-68.998374E-61.00.05.202839E-53.8563903E-53.8563903E-51.00.06.332616E-44.6941615E-44.7941145E-41.0212931.0E-50.00631460.004685690.0046956431.00212421.0E-5
7.31.05047775E-57.57314E-67.57314E-61.00.04.5019697E-53.245592E-53.245592E-51.00.05.4797693E-43.9508063E-43.9508063E-41.00.00.0054662770.00394418460.00394418461.00.0
7.49.624483E-66.788087E-66.788087E-61.00.04.124713E-52.9091485E-52.9091485E-51.00.05.0206814E-43.5413264E-43.5413264E-41.00.00.0050093530.0035358350.0035358351.00.0
7.58.215151E-65.6364843E-65.6364843E-61.00.03.5207315E-52.4156145E-52.4156145E-51.00.04.2856473E-42.9406266E-42.9406266E-41.00.00.0042773920.00293686330.00293686331.00.0
7.66.975058E-64.676863E-64.676863E-61.00.02.9892764E-52.0043552E-52.0043552E-51.00.03.6388362E-42.4400408E-42.4400408E-41.00.00.00363288350.0024374780.0024374781.00.0
7.74.159604E-62.3274965E-62.3274965E-61.00.01.7826753E-59.974951E-69.974951E-61.00.02.1701909E-41.2143901E-41.2143901E-41.00.00.00216807260.00121379960.00121379961.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.38645E-89.38645E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0227638E-74.0227638E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8977076E-64.8977076E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8976322E-54.8976322E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4402008E-93.4402008E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4743718E-81.4743718E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.7950475E-71.7950475E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.7950463E-61.7950463E-61.00.0

Channel Islands Thrust

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2156251E-52.4093148E-52.4093148E-51.00.09.495191E-51.0325286E-41.0325286E-41.00.00.00115542640.00125648510.00125648511.00.00.0114943730.0125044020.0125241511.00157942.0E-5
6.12.2156251E-52.4093148E-52.4093148E-51.00.09.495191E-51.0325286E-41.0325286E-41.00.00.00115542640.00125648510.00125648511.00.00.0114943730.0125044020.0125241511.00157942.0E-5
6.22.2156251E-52.4093148E-52.4093148E-51.00.09.495191E-51.0325286E-41.0325286E-41.00.00.00115542640.00125648510.00125648511.00.00.0114943730.0125044020.0125241511.00157942.0E-5
6.32.2156251E-52.4093148E-52.4093148E-51.00.09.495191E-51.0325286E-41.0325286E-41.00.00.00115542640.00125648510.00125648511.00.00.0114943730.0125044020.0125241511.00157942.0E-5
6.42.2156251E-52.4093148E-52.4093148E-51.00.09.495191E-51.0325286E-41.0325286E-41.00.00.00115542640.00125648510.00125648511.00.00.0114943730.0125044020.0125241511.00157942.0E-5
6.52.2156251E-52.4093148E-52.4093148E-51.00.09.495191E-51.0325286E-41.0325286E-41.00.00.00115542640.00125648510.00125648511.00.00.0114943730.0125044020.0125241511.00157942.0E-5
6.62.2156251E-52.4093148E-52.4093148E-51.00.09.495191E-51.0325286E-41.0325286E-41.00.00.00115542640.00125648510.00125648511.00.00.0114943730.0125044020.0125241511.00157942.0E-5
6.71.0601296E-51.1379992E-51.1379992E-51.00.04.5433335E-54.8770515E-54.8770515E-51.00.05.5301044E-45.9362414E-45.9362414E-41.00.00.0055163630.00592088650.00592088651.00.0
6.81.0246747E-51.09971015E-51.09971015E-51.00.04.391389E-54.712961E-54.712961E-51.00.05.345204E-45.7365675E-45.7365675E-41.00.00.00533236560.00572224940.00572224941.00.0
6.99.049551E-69.70002E-69.70002E-61.00.03.878322E-54.1570875E-54.1570875E-51.00.04.7208337E-45.0601194E-45.0601194E-41.00.00.00471081720.00504901540.00504901541.00.0
7.08.6542195E-69.2749615E-69.2749615E-61.00.03.7088983E-53.974925E-53.974925E-51.00.04.5146482E-44.8384376E-44.8384376E-41.00.00.0045054870.0048283150.0048283151.00.0
7.18.391028E-68.993273E-68.993273E-61.00.03.5961057E-53.8542054E-53.8542054E-51.00.04.3773788E-44.6915252E-44.6915252E-41.00.00.0043687660.0046820310.0046820311.00.0
7.25.965188E-66.3719312E-66.3719312E-61.00.02.556484E-52.7307993E-52.7307993E-51.00.03.1120746E-43.3242465E-43.3242465E-41.00.00.003107720.0033193320.0033193321.00.0
7.34.877518E-65.206198E-65.206198E-61.00.02.0903482E-52.2312088E-52.2312088E-51.00.02.5447016E-42.7161627E-42.7161627E-41.00.00.00254178980.0027128890.0027128891.00.0
7.43.8829853E-64.142015E-64.142015E-61.00.01.664126E-51.7751374E-51.7751374E-51.00.02.0258849E-42.1610195E-42.1610195E-41.00.00.0020240390.00215895990.00215895991.00.0
7.51.3489616E-61.4278398E-61.4278398E-61.00.05.7812517E-66.119299E-66.119299E-61.00.07.038446E-57.449996E-57.449996E-51.00.07.036218E-47.447538E-47.447538E-41.00.0
7.66.058192E-76.3539926E-76.3539926E-71.00.02.5963652E-62.723137E-62.723137E-61.00.03.161029E-53.3153705E-53.3153705E-51.00.03.1605794E-43.314892E-43.314892E-41.00.0
7.72.2170494E-72.26086E-72.26086E-71.00.09.5016367E-79.689397E-79.689397E-71.00.01.1568181E-51.1796788E-51.1796788E-51.00.01.1567579E-41.1796273E-41.1796273E-41.00.0
7.82.1613102E-81.546703E-81.546703E-81.00.09.262757E-86.628727E-86.628727E-81.00.01.1277401E-68.070473E-78.070473E-71.00.01.1277344E-58.070451E-68.070451E-61.00.0

Rodgers Creek - Healdsburg 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.390182E-51.3143619E-41.3143619E-41.00.03.1668364E-45.631766E-45.631766E-41.00.00.00384880810.0068350710.0068350711.00.00.0378282780.0662278460.0662465241.00028192.0E-5
6.17.318768E-51.3041621E-41.3041621E-41.00.03.1362378E-45.588071E-45.588071E-41.00.00.00381168540.00678221930.00678221931.00.00.0374696550.0657323750.065751061.00028432.0E-5
6.27.1379836E-51.2734454E-41.2734454E-41.00.03.058777E-45.456484E-45.456484E-41.00.00.0037177030.0066229950.0066229951.00.00.03656120.064238620.064257341.00029132.0E-5
6.36.9255926E-51.2388716E-41.2388716E-41.00.02.9677735E-45.3083716E-45.3083716E-41.00.00.00360727850.00644383630.00644383631.00.00.0354928230.062569660.062588411.00029972.0E-5
6.46.6757144E-51.19653305E-41.19653305E-41.00.02.8607066E-45.126995E-45.126995E-41.00.00.00347734870.00622432260.00622432261.00.00.0342343640.060519250.0605380351.00031042.0E-5
6.56.5735134E-51.1814355E-41.1814355E-41.00.02.8169158E-45.062316E-45.062316E-41.00.00.0034242020.00614603660.00614603661.00.00.033719180.059783410.0598022161.00031462.0E-5
6.66.289601E-51.13496535E-41.13496535E-41.00.02.6952647E-44.863234E-44.863234E-41.00.00.00327654740.0059049930.0059049931.00.00.0322865620.057521010.057539861.00032772.0E-5
6.76.115274E-51.1066581E-41.1066581E-41.00.02.6205686E-44.741962E-44.741962E-41.00.00.00318587480.00575813460.00575813461.00.00.0314058660.0561388170.0561576931.00033632.0E-5
6.85.9232367E-51.0733873E-41.0733873E-41.00.02.538283E-44.599424E-44.599424E-41.00.00.00308598040.00558549770.00558549771.00.00.0304347650.0545055460.0545244551.00034692.0E-5
6.95.4030377E-59.827935E-59.827935E-51.00.02.315382E-44.2112955E-44.2112955E-41.00.00.00281533370.00511526460.00511526461.00.00.0277993250.050040120.0500591171.00037972.0E-5
7.04.8260714E-58.7458444E-58.7458444E-51.00.02.0681522E-43.7476834E-43.7476834E-41.00.00.00251506780.0045533130.0045533131.00.00.0248679280.0446928930.0447119961.00042752.0E-5
7.14.0294493E-57.3936055E-57.3936055E-51.00.01.7267925E-43.1683053E-43.1683053E-41.00.00.00210034270.0038506270.0038506271.00.00.020806020.0379450950.0379643371.00050712.0E-5
7.23.096388E-55.7020978E-55.7020978E-51.00.01.326956E-42.4435285E-42.4435285E-41.00.00.00161437170.00297095950.00297095951.00.00.016026940.0294573510.0294670571.00032951.0E-5
7.32.3615226E-54.366796E-54.366796E-51.00.01.0120418E-41.8713505E-41.8713505E-41.00.00.00123146440.00227600220.00227600221.00.00.01224662550.0226565490.0226663221.00043141.0E-5
7.41.8251132E-53.3576755E-53.3576755E-51.00.07.821679E-51.438925E-41.438925E-41.00.09.518733E-40.00175049320.00175049321.00.00.0094780630.0174830570.0174928831.0005621.0E-5
7.51.2411432E-52.2487793E-52.2487793E-51.00.05.3190768E-59.637273E-59.637273E-51.00.06.4740516E-40.00117271220.00117271221.00.00.0064552230.0117572680.011767151.00084051.0E-5
7.64.4771446E-68.093299E-68.093299E-61.00.01.918762E-53.4685112E-53.4685112E-51.00.02.3358424E-44.2221064E-44.2221064E-41.00.00.00233338870.0042517630.0042517631.00.0
7.72.157941E-73.5399012E-73.5399012E-71.00.09.248315E-71.5170996E-61.5170996E-61.00.01.1259765E-51.8470531E-51.8470531E-51.00.01.1259195E-41.9094352E-41.9094352E-41.00.0
7.89.9623286E-81.9937539E-71.9937539E-71.00.04.269569E-78.5446567E-78.5446567E-71.00.05.1981874E-61.04030705E-51.04030705E-51.00.05.198066E-51.0920896E-41.0920896E-41.00.0
7.95.6745257E-81.17976434E-71.17976434E-71.00.02.4319394E-75.056132E-75.056132E-71.00.02.960882E-66.155823E-66.155823E-61.00.02.9608427E-56.482715E-56.482715E-51.00.0
8.02.8614323E-86.591314E-86.591314E-81.00.01.2263281E-72.8248488E-72.8248488E-71.00.01.4930534E-63.439248E-63.439248E-61.00.01.4930434E-53.5888945E-53.5888945E-51.00.0
8.13.5045191E-98.982203E-98.982203E-91.00.01.5019367E-83.849516E-83.849516E-81.00.01.8286079E-74.6867845E-74.6867845E-71.00.01.8286064E-64.8408065E-64.8408065E-61.00.0

Likely 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.5315949E-52.7105765E-52.7105765E-51.00.01.0849241E-41.1616265E-41.1616265E-41.00.00.00132009470.00141340730.00141340731.00.00.0131228030.0140488340.0140685531.00140362.0E-5
6.12.5315949E-52.7105765E-52.7105765E-51.00.01.0849241E-41.1616265E-41.1616265E-41.00.00.00132009470.00141340730.00141340731.00.00.0131228030.0140488340.0140685531.00140362.0E-5
6.21.6375941E-51.746646E-51.746646E-51.00.07.0180715E-57.485418E-57.485418E-51.00.08.5411523E-49.109808E-49.109808E-41.00.00.0085083990.0090737520.00909357051.00218422.0E-5
6.31.1945543E-51.271302E-51.271302E-51.00.05.119418E-55.4483266E-55.4483266E-51.00.06.2311086E-46.631372E-46.631372E-41.00.00.00621366550.00661213930.00663200671.00300482.0E-5
6.49.192729E-69.768813E-69.768813E-61.00.03.939681E-54.1865682E-54.1865682E-51.00.04.7955062E-45.095982E-45.095982E-41.00.00.0047851710.0050845780.0051044761.00391352.0E-5
6.57.67906E-68.152889E-68.152889E-61.00.03.2909844E-53.4940495E-53.4940495E-51.00.04.006037E-44.253194E-44.253194E-41.00.00.00399882250.00424524680.00426516171.00469112.0E-5
6.66.4884057E-66.8849736E-66.8849736E-61.00.02.7807157E-52.9506704E-52.9506704E-51.00.03.3849955E-43.5918635E-43.5918635E-41.00.00.0033798440.00358620290.0036061311.0055572.0E-5
6.74.6060636E-64.8841976E-64.8841976E-61.00.01.9740122E-52.0932112E-52.0932112E-51.00.02.403095E-42.548195E-42.548195E-41.00.00.0024004980.0025453560.00256530521.00783742.0E-5
6.83.2795615E-63.4774844E-63.4774844E-61.00.01.4055187E-51.4903422E-51.4903422E-51.00.01.7110848E-41.8143462E-41.8143462E-41.00.00.00170976790.00181292020.0018229021.00550591.0E-5
6.92.3289967E-62.4706364E-62.4706364E-61.00.09.981376E-61.0588402E-51.0588402E-51.00.01.2151648E-41.289066E-41.289066E-41.00.00.00121450050.00128836130.00129834831.00775181.0E-5
7.01.211292E-61.2864381E-61.2864381E-61.00.05.1912407E-65.513296E-65.513296E-61.00.06.320152E-56.7122615E-56.7122615E-51.00.06.3183554E-46.7105325E-46.7105325E-41.00.0

Bullion Mountains

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6420427E-51.4692933E-51.4692933E-51.00.07.037136E-56.296841E-56.296841E-51.00.08.5643446E-47.664091E-47.664091E-41.00.00.0085314130.00764145330.00766130071.00259732.0E-5
6.11.6420427E-51.4692933E-51.4692933E-51.00.07.037136E-56.296841E-56.296841E-51.00.08.5643446E-47.664091E-47.664091E-41.00.00.0085314130.00764145330.00766130071.00259732.0E-5
6.21.6420427E-51.4692933E-51.4692933E-51.00.07.037136E-56.296841E-56.296841E-51.00.08.5643446E-47.664091E-47.664091E-41.00.00.0085314130.00764145330.00766130071.00259732.0E-5
6.31.2046778E-59.862912E-69.862912E-61.00.05.1628023E-54.2269065E-54.2269065E-51.00.06.283899E-45.1452755E-45.1452755E-41.00.00.00626615950.0051356440.0051455931.00193721.0E-5
6.41.2046778E-59.862912E-69.862912E-61.00.05.1628023E-54.2269065E-54.2269065E-51.00.06.283899E-45.1452755E-45.1452755E-41.00.00.00626615950.0051356440.0051455931.00193721.0E-5
6.51.0244343E-57.879929E-67.879929E-61.00.04.390359E-53.3770804E-53.3770804E-51.00.05.343951E-44.1110266E-44.1110266E-41.00.00.0053311180.0041054530.0041154121.00242581.0E-5
6.69.605408E-67.177931E-67.177931E-61.00.04.1165385E-53.0762312E-53.0762312E-51.00.05.010733E-43.7448714E-43.7448714E-41.00.00.004999450.00374055820.00375052081.00266341.0E-5
6.78.60418E-66.1243827E-66.1243827E-61.00.03.687454E-52.62472E-52.62472E-51.00.04.48855E-43.195323E-43.195323E-41.00.00.0044794950.00319264080.0032026091.00312221.0E-5
6.85.187994E-62.5633894E-62.5633894E-61.00.02.223407E-51.098593E-51.098593E-51.00.02.7066618E-41.3374949E-41.3374949E-41.00.00.00270336750.00133708150.00134706821.00746891.0E-5
6.94.5302368E-62.344526E-62.344526E-61.00.01.9415156E-51.0047952E-51.0047952E-51.00.02.3635388E-41.2233092E-41.2233092E-41.00.00.00236102660.00122302490.00123301281.00816641.0E-5
7.03.431668E-61.6884097E-61.6884097E-61.00.01.4707065E-57.2360417E-67.2360417E-61.00.01.7904381E-48.809881E-58.809881E-51.00.00.00178899628.809881E-48.9097925E-41.01134091.0E-5

San Andreas (Peninsula) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.6200685E-52.5328161E-53.5327907E-51.39480751.0E-53.6937918E-41.0854476E-41.1854367E-41.09211791.0E-50.00448792150.00132073290.00133071971.00756161.0E-50.0439836120.01483549550.0148551991.00132812.0E-5
6.18.6200685E-52.5328161E-53.5327907E-51.39480751.0E-53.6937918E-41.0854476E-41.1854367E-41.09211791.0E-50.00448792150.00132073290.00133071971.00756161.0E-50.0439836120.01483549550.0148551991.00132812.0E-5
6.28.6200685E-52.5328161E-53.5327907E-51.39480751.0E-53.6937918E-41.0854476E-41.1854367E-41.09211791.0E-50.00448792150.00132073290.00133071971.00756161.0E-50.0439836120.01483549550.0148551991.00132812.0E-5
6.38.551163E-52.50194E-53.501915E-51.39967981.0E-53.6642692E-41.07221604E-41.1722053E-41.09325481.0E-50.0044521250.0013046430.00131462991.00765491.0E-50.0436397940.0146622120.0146819191.00134412.0E-5
6.48.551163E-52.50194E-53.501915E-51.39967981.0E-53.6642692E-41.07221604E-41.1722053E-41.09325481.0E-50.0044521250.0013046430.00131462991.00765491.0E-50.0436397940.0146622120.0146819191.00134412.0E-5
6.58.511146E-52.4840549E-53.48403E-51.40255761.0E-53.647124E-41.0645516E-41.16454095E-41.09392631.0E-50.0044313360.00129532270.00130530971.00771011.0E-50.043440070.0145617080.0145814181.00135352.0E-5
6.68.4985084E-52.477102E-53.4770772E-51.40368761.0E-53.6417096E-41.061572E-41.1615614E-41.09418991.0E-50.00442477040.00129169920.00130168631.00773181.0E-50.0433769860.0145240490.0145437591.00135712.0E-5
6.78.462618E-52.4599261E-53.4599016E-51.40650631.0E-53.6263323E-41.0542115E-41.15420095E-41.09484771.0E-50.0044061250.00128274840.00129273561.00778581.0E-50.0431978070.0144286310.0144483431.00136612.0E-5
6.88.42337E-52.4494844E-53.44946E-51.40823911.0E-53.6095164E-41.0497369E-41.1497264E-41.09525191.0E-50.0043857340.0012773070.00128729421.00781891.0E-50.0430018230.0143692690.0143889811.00137192.0E-5
6.98.365989E-52.4299145E-53.42989E-51.41152721.0E-53.5849313E-41.0413504E-41.14134E-41.09601911.0E-50.0043559220.00126710840.00127709581.0078821.0E-50.042715230.0142615260.0142812411.00138242.0E-5
7.08.30936E-52.4060333E-53.4060093E-51.41561191.0E-53.560668E-41.0311165E-41.1311062E-41.09697221.0E-50.0043264990.0012546630.00126465041.00796031.0E-50.0424322970.0141323850.0141521021.00139522.0E-5
7.18.041264E-52.3746046E-53.3745808E-51.42111281.0E-53.4458007E-41.0176481E-41.1176379E-41.09825581.0E-50.00418719460.00123828390.00124827161.00806571.0E-50.0410917250.0139548010.0139745211.00141322.0E-5
7.27.8427016E-52.3168865E-53.316863E-51.43160381.0E-53.3607247E-49.9291356E-51.0929037E-41.10070371.0E-50.0040840080.00120820350.00121819151.00826681.0E-50.0400976350.0136383080.0136580361.00144652.0E-5
7.37.721087E-52.2953374E-53.2953143E-51.43565581.0E-53.3086175E-49.83679E-51.0836692E-41.10164921.0E-50.0040208030.00119697280.00120696091.00834441.0E-50.039488270.0135218750.0135416051.00145912.0E-5
7.47.3536525E-52.1059372E-53.105916E-51.4748381.0E-53.1511846E-49.0251335E-51.0025043E-41.11079171.0E-50.00382981940.00109825740.00110824641.00909531.0E-50.0376448520.0124730980.0124928491.00158352.0E-5
7.56.806207E-51.885083E-52.8850642E-51.53047061.0E-52.9166197E-48.078678E-59.0785965E-51.12377261.0E-50.00354520359.831362E-49.931264E-41.01016151.0E-50.0348917660.0112184350.0112382111.00176272.0E-5
7.65.6731416E-51.4231111E-52.4230969E-51.70267581.0E-52.43112E-46.098905E-57.098844E-51.16395391.0E-50.00295587127.4228883E-47.522814E-41.01346181.0E-50.029168620.0085156610.00852557551.00116431.0E-5
7.74.946994E-51.329465E-52.3294517E-51.75217221.0E-52.1199681E-45.6975827E-56.6975255E-51.1755031.0E-50.0025780066.9346005E-47.034531E-41.01441051.0E-50.025483030.0079354290.007945351.00125011.0E-5
7.83.9718198E-51.3029107E-52.3028977E-51.76750231.0E-51.7020974E-45.5837834E-56.5837274E-51.179081.0E-50.00207033386.7961373E-46.8960694E-41.01470421.0E-50.0205115150.00774468760.00775461041.00128131.0E-5
7.92.4115114E-51.222725E-52.2227128E-51.81783531.0E-51.0334639E-45.2401447E-56.2400926E-51.19082441.0E-50.0012575166.37801E-46.4779463E-41.01566891.0E-50.0125042380.00718200160.007191931.00138241.0E-5
8.01.7756569E-51.14478835E-52.144777E-51.87351391.0E-57.6097356E-54.9061437E-55.9060945E-51.2038161.0E-59.260915E-45.9715944E-46.0715346E-41.01673591.0E-50.0092224160.0066801860.00669011941.0014871.0E-5
8.11.3159258E-59.778385E-61.9778288E-52.02265381.0E-55.6395602E-54.1906693E-55.1906274E-51.23861541.0E-56.864001E-45.100947E-45.200896E-41.01959421.0E-50.00684283860.00570699150.00571693431.00174221.0E-5
8.28.635426E-65.486047E-65.486047E-61.00.03.700844E-52.3511418E-52.3511418E-51.00.04.5048463E-42.86214E-42.86214E-41.00.00.0044957250.0032550060.0032550061.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.690063E-77.690063E-71.00.08.498917E-63.295737E-63.295737E-61.00.01.034694E-44.012488E-54.012488E-51.00.00.00103421244.737206E-44.737206E-41.00.0

San Diego Trough south

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.279495E-51.0426959E-41.0426959E-41.00.03.5478722E-44.4679717E-44.4679717E-41.00.00.0043109820.00542663460.00542663461.00.00.0422830540.0529998130.0530092831.00017871.0E-5
6.14.6961468E-55.7736557E-55.7736557E-51.00.02.0124791E-42.4741987E-42.4741987E-41.00.00.002447440.00300824780.00300824781.00.00.0242066030.0296831280.0296831281.00.0
6.23.5079658E-54.214702E-54.214702E-51.00.01.5033272E-41.8061785E-41.8061785E-41.00.00.00182876420.00219682280.00219682281.00.00.0181378760.0217534830.0217534831.00.0
6.33.5079658E-54.214702E-54.214702E-51.00.01.5033272E-41.8061785E-41.8061785E-41.00.00.00182876420.00219682280.00219682281.00.00.0181378760.0217534830.0217534831.00.0
6.42.7196904E-53.2090207E-53.2090207E-51.00.01.16552954E-41.375223E-41.375223E-41.00.00.00141810850.001673060.001673061.00.00.0140909290.0166062450.0166062451.00.0
6.52.5584688E-53.0104437E-53.0104437E-51.00.01.0964406E-41.2901273E-41.2901273E-41.00.00.00133409890.00156961060.00156961061.00.00.0132611810.015586790.015586791.00.0
6.62.2034688E-52.5745014E-52.5745014E-51.00.09.443096E-51.1033115E-41.1033115E-41.00.00.00114909050.00134246180.00134246181.00.00.0114316680.0133445160.0133445161.00.0
6.71.9394853E-52.2543714E-52.2543714E-51.00.08.311815E-59.661237E-59.661237E-51.00.00.00101149360.00117562610.00117562611.00.00.010069020.0116947730.0116947731.00.0
6.81.7615313E-52.0404905E-52.0404905E-51.00.07.549201E-58.7446686E-58.7446686E-51.00.09.1872766E-40.00106414780.00106414781.00.00.0091493870.0105910880.0105910881.00.0
6.91.5621423E-51.8027595E-51.8027595E-51.00.06.6947236E-57.725885E-57.725885E-51.00.08.147778E-49.402241E-49.402241E-41.00.00.0081179690.0093629060.0093629061.00.0
7.01.3444376E-51.5449315E-51.5449315E-51.00.05.7617483E-56.6209686E-56.6209686E-51.00.07.0126704E-48.0580753E-48.0580753E-41.00.00.0069905820.008029190.008029191.00.0
7.11.2268361E-51.4074132E-51.4074132E-51.00.05.2577634E-56.031633E-56.031633E-51.00.06.399447E-47.341065E-47.341065E-41.00.00.00638104930.007317120.007317121.00.0
7.21.0922655E-51.2514534E-51.2514534E-51.00.04.681054E-55.363263E-55.363263E-51.00.05.697693E-46.5278413E-46.5278413E-41.00.00.00568310640.0065089470.0065089471.00.0
7.36.1106753E-66.9294197E-66.9294197E-61.00.02.6188345E-52.9697178E-52.9697178E-51.00.03.1879646E-43.6150354E-43.6150354E-41.00.00.00318339510.00360920020.00360920021.00.0
7.44.933187E-65.5899495E-65.5899495E-61.00.02.114206E-52.3956709E-52.3956709E-51.00.02.5737417E-42.9163426E-42.9163426E-41.00.00.0025707630.00291255680.00291255681.00.0
7.51.7489613E-61.9698116E-61.9698116E-61.00.07.495527E-68.4420235E-68.4420235E-61.00.09.125422E-51.0277701E-41.0277701E-41.00.09.1216754E-40.00102731680.00102731681.00.0
7.61.6988751E-71.7534121E-71.7534121E-71.00.07.2808916E-77.5146215E-77.5146215E-71.00.08.864449E-69.149016E-69.149016E-61.00.08.8640954E-59.148658E-59.148658E-51.00.0

Cucamonga

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1848348E-51.1739775E-51.1739775E-51.00.05.0777642E-55.0312367E-56.0311864E-51.19874821.0E-56.180424E-46.123836E-46.223775E-41.01631961.0E-50.00616326370.00610814760.00611808661.00162721.0E-5
6.11.1848348E-51.1739775E-51.1739775E-51.00.05.0777642E-55.0312367E-56.0311864E-51.19874821.0E-56.180424E-46.123836E-46.223775E-41.01631961.0E-50.00616326370.00610814760.00611808661.00162721.0E-5
6.21.1848348E-51.1739775E-51.1739775E-51.00.05.0777642E-55.0312367E-56.0311864E-51.19874821.0E-56.180424E-46.123836E-46.223775E-41.01631961.0E-50.00616326370.00610814760.00611808661.00162721.0E-5
6.31.1848348E-51.1739775E-51.1739775E-51.00.05.0777642E-55.0312367E-56.0311864E-51.19874821.0E-56.180424E-46.123836E-46.223775E-41.01631961.0E-50.00616326370.00610814760.00611808661.00162721.0E-5
6.41.1848348E-51.1739775E-51.1739775E-51.00.05.0777642E-55.0312367E-56.0311864E-51.19874821.0E-56.180424E-46.123836E-46.223775E-41.01631961.0E-50.00616326370.00610814760.00611808661.00162721.0E-5
6.51.16988695E-51.15788E-51.15788E-51.00.05.013705E-54.9622497E-55.9622E-51.20151151.0E-56.102476E-46.039891E-46.139831E-41.01654661.0E-50.0060857450.00602465870.0060345981.00164991.0E-5
6.61.16988695E-51.15788E-51.15788E-51.00.05.013705E-54.9622497E-55.9622E-51.20151151.0E-56.102476E-46.039891E-46.139831E-41.01654661.0E-50.0060857450.00602465870.0060345981.00164991.0E-5
6.71.1397107E-51.11176305E-51.11176305E-51.00.04.884383E-54.7646132E-55.7645655E-51.20987061.0E-55.9451134E-45.7993975E-45.8993394E-41.01723311.0E-50.0059292340.0057854250.00579536751.00171851.0E-5
6.81.058387E-59.787316E-69.787316E-61.00.04.5358654E-54.1944975E-55.1944557E-51.23839761.0E-55.521017E-45.105615E-45.205564E-41.01957631.0E-50.005507320.00509490540.00510485471.00195281.0E-5
6.99.690046E-68.581577E-68.581577E-61.00.04.1528107E-53.6777674E-53.6777674E-51.00.05.054874E-44.4767658E-44.4767658E-41.00.00.0050433910.0044686940.0044686941.00.0
7.09.381461E-68.189138E-68.189138E-61.00.04.020564E-53.5095833E-53.5095833E-51.00.04.893937E-44.2720835E-44.2720835E-41.00.00.00488317340.0042648140.0042648141.00.0
7.18.946492E-67.783881E-67.783881E-61.00.03.8341543E-53.335907E-53.335907E-51.00.04.667083E-44.0607128E-44.0607128E-41.00.00.00465729370.0040542380.0040542381.00.0
7.28.251016E-66.977128E-66.977128E-61.00.03.5361016E-52.9901637E-52.9901637E-51.00.04.3043532E-43.6399186E-43.6399186E-41.00.00.00429602530.00363489940.00363489941.00.0
7.37.717881E-66.4881388E-66.4881388E-61.00.03.3076216E-52.7806014E-52.7806014E-51.00.04.026285E-43.3848584E-43.3848584E-41.00.00.0040189980.00338065410.00338065411.00.0
7.47.275623E-66.033712E-66.033712E-61.00.03.118087E-52.585851E-52.585851E-51.00.03.7956095E-43.1478208E-43.1478208E-41.00.00.00378913320.00314431130.00314431131.00.0
7.56.5109502E-65.1021066E-65.1021066E-61.00.02.7903774E-52.1865988E-52.1865988E-51.00.03.3967546E-42.6618605E-42.6618605E-41.00.00.00339156740.00265960720.00265960721.00.0
7.65.4495326E-63.9098873E-63.9098873E-61.00.02.335493E-51.6756552E-51.6756552E-51.00.02.8430918E-42.03992E-42.03992E-41.00.00.00283945720.00203898010.00203898011.00.0
7.74.7997164E-63.2014277E-63.2014277E-61.00.02.057005E-51.3720333E-51.3720333E-51.00.02.504116E-41.6703228E-41.6703228E-41.00.00.0025012960.0016700110.0016700111.00.0
7.83.3941733E-62.0648565E-62.0648565E-61.00.01.4546376E-58.849355E-68.849355E-61.00.01.7708774E-41.0773559E-41.0773559E-41.00.00.00176946680.00107700980.00107700981.00.0
7.99.750552E-75.157492E-75.157492E-71.00.04.178801E-62.2103518E-62.2103518E-61.00.05.0875715E-52.6910706E-52.6910706E-51.00.05.086407E-42.6907487E-42.6907487E-41.00.0
8.01.133857E-76.055065E-86.055065E-81.00.04.8593864E-72.5950274E-72.5950274E-71.00.05.9162867E-63.1594416E-63.1594416E-61.00.05.916129E-53.1593983E-53.1593983E-51.00.0

Malibu Coast (Extension) alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.930738E-69.329555E-69.329555E-61.00.03.827403E-53.9983202E-53.9983202E-51.00.04.6588664E-44.8668848E-44.8668848E-41.00.00.00464911150.00485640860.004866361.00204911.0E-5
6.17.199952E-67.5305375E-67.5305375E-61.00.03.0856572E-53.2273336E-53.2273336E-51.00.03.75614E-43.9285762E-43.9285762E-41.00.00.00374979760.00392169740.00392169741.00.0
6.26.3721413E-66.6670127E-66.6670127E-61.00.02.7308892E-52.8572602E-52.8572602E-51.00.03.3243504E-43.4781624E-43.4781624E-41.00.00.00331938150.00347275870.00347275871.00.0
6.36.016345E-66.295371E-66.295371E-61.00.02.578408E-52.6979882E-52.6979882E-51.00.03.1387596E-43.2843088E-43.2843088E-41.00.00.003134330.00327949130.00327949131.00.0
6.45.8104883E-66.0797515E-66.0797515E-61.00.02.4901856E-52.605582E-52.605582E-51.00.03.031379E-43.1718376E-43.1718376E-41.00.00.00302724730.0031673450.0031673451.00.0
6.55.476925E-65.72771E-65.72771E-61.00.02.3472323E-52.4547098E-52.4547098E-51.00.02.8573806E-42.9882023E-42.9882023E-41.00.00.00285370930.00298421620.00298421621.00.0
6.65.222387E-65.458768E-65.458768E-61.00.02.2381464E-52.3394514E-52.3394514E-51.00.02.7246025E-42.8479125E-42.8479125E-41.00.00.00272126450.00284429360.00284429361.00.0
6.75.0337076E-65.2592854E-65.2592854E-61.00.02.1572854E-52.2539603E-52.2539603E-51.00.02.6261783E-42.7438538E-42.7438538E-41.00.00.0026230770.0027404960.0027404961.00.0
6.84.5675624E-64.7588796E-64.7588796E-61.00.01.9575122E-52.0395039E-52.0395039E-51.00.02.3830103E-42.482815E-42.482815E-41.00.00.00238045650.00248006080.00248006081.00.0
6.94.2802412E-64.4521726E-64.4521726E-61.00.01.8343762E-51.90806E-51.90806E-51.00.02.2331243E-42.322817E-42.322817E-41.00.00.00223088150.0023204060.0023204061.00.0
7.03.9794063E-64.130239E-64.130239E-61.00.01.7054486E-51.7700906E-51.7700906E-51.00.02.0761859E-42.1548734E-42.1548734E-41.00.00.00207424720.00215279730.00215279731.00.0
7.13.7730424E-63.91135E-63.91135E-61.00.01.6170083E-51.6762822E-51.6762822E-51.00.01.9685295E-42.0406836E-42.0406836E-41.00.00.00196678680.00203882250.00203882251.00.0
7.23.424985E-63.5414578E-63.5414578E-61.00.01.4678424E-51.5177588E-51.5177588E-51.00.01.7869516E-41.8477158E-41.8477158E-41.00.00.00178551530.00184619160.00184619161.00.0
7.32.6966375E-62.7597434E-62.7597434E-61.00.01.15569665E-51.1827418E-51.1827418E-51.00.01.4069698E-41.4398934E-41.4398934E-41.00.00.00140607940.00143896460.00143896461.00.0
7.42.215957E-62.2494505E-62.2494505E-61.00.09.496924E-69.6404665E-69.6404665E-61.00.01.1561892E-41.1736639E-41.1736639E-41.00.00.00115558780.00117304780.00117304781.00.0
7.51.2040218E-61.2219476E-61.2219476E-61.00.05.160083E-65.236908E-65.236908E-61.00.06.2822204E-56.375751E-56.375751E-51.00.06.280445E-46.37394E-46.37394E-41.00.0
7.66.6157446E-76.679206E-76.679206E-71.00.02.835316E-62.8625136E-62.8625136E-61.00.03.4519428E-53.485056E-53.485056E-51.00.03.4514067E-43.4845248E-43.4845248E-41.00.0
7.72.6012302E-72.4358354E-72.4358354E-71.00.01.1148124E-61.0439292E-61.0439292E-61.00.01.3572758E-51.2709774E-51.2709774E-51.00.01.3571928E-41.2709154E-41.2709154E-41.00.0
7.82.8323132E-82.0267E-82.0267E-81.00.01.2138484E-78.685857E-88.685857E-81.00.01.4778595E-61.0575027E-61.0575027E-61.00.01.4778497E-51.0574984E-51.0574984E-51.00.0

Hollywood

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.24487615E-51.25938495E-51.25938495E-51.00.05.3350745E-55.3972548E-55.3972548E-51.00.06.4935174E-46.569223E-46.569223E-41.00.00.00647457550.0065502920.00656022641.00151671.0E-5
6.11.24487615E-51.25938495E-51.25938495E-51.00.05.3350745E-55.3972548E-55.3972548E-51.00.06.4935174E-46.569223E-46.569223E-41.00.00.00647457550.0065502920.00656022641.00151671.0E-5
6.21.24487615E-51.25938495E-51.25938495E-51.00.05.3350745E-55.3972548E-55.3972548E-51.00.06.4935174E-46.569223E-46.569223E-41.00.00.00647457550.0065502920.00656022641.00151671.0E-5
6.31.24487615E-51.25938495E-51.25938495E-51.00.05.3350745E-55.3972548E-55.3972548E-51.00.06.4935174E-46.569223E-46.569223E-41.00.00.00647457550.0065502920.00656022641.00151671.0E-5
6.41.2431024E-51.2574462E-51.2574462E-51.00.05.327473E-55.3889464E-55.3889464E-51.00.06.4842677E-46.5591134E-46.5591134E-41.00.00.00646537960.0065402420.00655017651.0015191.0E-5
6.51.1242222E-51.1318385E-51.1318385E-51.00.04.8180063E-54.8506477E-54.8506477E-51.00.05.864344E-45.9040904E-45.9040904E-41.00.00.00584889250.0058886910.00589863261.00168811.0E-5
6.61.1234066E-51.1309498E-51.1309498E-51.00.04.8145106E-54.8468395E-54.8468395E-51.00.05.86009E-45.899456E-45.899456E-41.00.00.0058446610.00588408160.0058940231.00168961.0E-5
6.71.12294E-51.13042415E-51.13042415E-51.00.04.812511E-54.8445865E-54.8445865E-51.00.05.857657E-45.896715E-45.896715E-4