Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions
Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)
Table Of Contents
Garlock (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.026482E-5 | 0.0031900455 | 45.400326 | 0.00312 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.0110052E-4 | 0.009788243 | 32.508224 | 0.00949 | 0.0028726095 | 0.003659801 | 0.034117922 | 9.322343 | 0.03057 | 0.028357591 | 0.036093246 | 0.08988888 | 2.4904628 | 0.05581 |
6.1 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.026482E-5 | 0.0031900455 | 45.400326 | 0.00312 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.0110052E-4 | 0.009788243 | 32.508224 | 0.00949 | 0.0028726095 | 0.003659801 | 0.034117922 | 9.322343 | 0.03057 | 0.028357591 | 0.036093246 | 0.08988888 | 2.4904628 | 0.05581 |
6.2 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.167782E-5 | 0.0018515848 | 35.82939 | 0.0018 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.2145774E-4 | 0.0061201514 | 27.635752 | 0.0059 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0026929458 | 0.021881133 | 8.125353 | 0.01924 | 0.021759989 | 0.026681926 | 0.06117632 | 2.2928 | 0.03544 |
6.3 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.167782E-5 | 0.0018515848 | 35.82939 | 0.0018 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.2145774E-4 | 0.0061201514 | 27.635752 | 0.0059 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0026929458 | 0.021881133 | 8.125353 | 0.01924 | 0.021759989 | 0.026681926 | 0.06117632 | 2.2928 | 0.03544 |
6.4 | 3.6858168E-5 | 4.4125496E-5 | 0.001324069 | 30.006891 | 0.00128 | 1.5795401E-4 | 1.890957E-4 | 0.0046482524 | 24.58148 | 0.00446 | 0.0019213937 | 0.0022998345 | 0.017175544 | 7.468165 | 0.01491 | 0.019048655 | 0.022861015 | 0.04954668 | 2.1673 | 0.02731 |
6.5 | 3.39199E-5 | 4.0032875E-5 | 0.0011799872 | 29.475456 | 0.00114 | 1.453629E-4 | 1.715583E-4 | 0.0041708723 | 24.31169 | 0.004 | 0.0017683565 | 0.0020867432 | 0.015498698 | 7.4272184 | 0.01344 | 0.017543508 | 0.020768056 | 0.04511176 | 2.1721706 | 0.02486 |
6.6 | 3.3571985E-5 | 3.9487022E-5 | 0.001179442 | 29.869106 | 0.00114 | 1.4387199E-4 | 1.6921923E-4 | 0.0041685426 | 24.633974 | 0.004 | 0.0017502342 | 0.002058319 | 0.015450696 | 7.506463 | 0.01342 | 0.017365133 | 0.020489292 | 0.04476157 | 2.1846323 | 0.02478 |
6.7 | 3.2580007E-5 | 3.810339E-5 | 0.0011180623 | 29.342854 | 0.00108 | 1.3962112E-4 | 1.6329014E-4 | 0.0039826664 | 24.390121 | 0.00382 | 0.0016985617 | 0.0019862663 | 0.014840683 | 7.471648 | 0.01288 | 0.016856372 | 0.019779421 | 0.043069463 | 2.1774883 | 0.02376 |
6.8 | 3.2185937E-5 | 3.7530528E-5 | 0.00111749 | 29.775494 | 0.00108 | 1.3793244E-4 | 1.6083532E-4 | 0.0039502257 | 24.560686 | 0.00379 | 0.0016780337 | 0.0019564328 | 0.014621606 | 7.473605 | 0.01269 | 0.016654192 | 0.019486146 | 0.04243017 | 2.1774533 | 0.0234 |
6.9 | 3.165394E-5 | 3.6735015E-5 | 0.0011066957 | 30.126453 | 0.00107 | 1.3565269E-4 | 1.574264E-4 | 0.0038768407 | 24.626371 | 0.00372 | 0.0016503202 | 0.0019150028 | 0.014291257 | 7.462786 | 0.0124 | 0.01638118 | 0.019079683 | 0.04152314 | 2.1763012 | 0.02288 |
7.0 | 3.0903822E-5 | 3.5640107E-5 | 0.0010756031 | 30.17957 | 0.00104 | 1.3243823E-4 | 1.5273449E-4 | 0.003762183 | 24.632177 | 0.00361 | 0.0016112428 | 0.0018579776 | 0.013805738 | 7.430519 | 0.01197 | 0.015996104 | 0.01852042 | 0.04015223 | 2.1679978 | 0.02204 |
7.1 | 3.0069863E-5 | 3.440624E-5 | 0.0010243722 | 29.772861 | 9.9E-4 | 1.2886449E-4 | 1.4744709E-4 | 0.0035369473 | 23.987907 | 0.00339 | 0.0015677959 | 0.0017937113 | 0.013093406 | 7.299618 | 0.01132 | 0.01556781 | 0.017888026 | 0.038473092 | 2.1507735 | 0.02096 |
7.2 | 2.7957109E-5 | 3.1295163E-5 | 7.912714E-4 | 25.284143 | 7.6E-4 | 1.1981068E-4 | 1.3411534E-4 | 0.0028737478 | 21.427437 | 0.00274 | 0.0014577188 | 0.0016316507 | 0.010986363 | 6.73328 | 0.00937 | 0.014481937 | 0.016291378 | 0.033516116 | 2.0572917 | 0.01751 |
7.3 | 2.4519275E-5 | 2.6727497E-5 | 6.467109E-4 | 24.196465 | 6.2E-4 | 1.0507837E-4 | 1.1454147E-4 | 0.0021043136 | 18.37163 | 0.00199 | 0.0012785783 | 0.001393665 | 0.008114286 | 5.822264 | 0.00673 | 0.012712469 | 0.013935463 | 0.02641904 | 1.8958136 | 0.01266 |
7.4 | 2.3225532E-5 | 2.5211823E-5 | 5.75198E-4 | 22.814611 | 5.5E-4 | 9.95342E-5 | 1.08046275E-4 | 0.0018578572 | 17.195013 | 0.00175 | 0.0012111551 | 0.001314684 | 0.0073167826 | 5.5654306 | 0.00601 | 0.012045753 | 0.013152968 | 0.024343813 | 1.8508228 | 0.01134 |
7.5 | 2.097765E-5 | 2.2495431E-5 | 4.2248642E-4 | 18.780989 | 4.0E-4 | 8.9901114E-5 | 9.64055E-5 | 0.0013162879 | 13.65366 | 0.00122 | 0.0010939965 | 0.0011731167 | 0.005797685 | 4.9421215 | 0.00463 | 0.010886264 | 0.011746776 | 0.020522464 | 1.7470721 | 0.00888 |
7.6 | 1.511254E-5 | 1.6002185E-5 | 2.2599883E-4 | 14.122998 | 2.1E-4 | 6.476642E-5 | 6.857903E-5 | 6.185413E-4 | 9.019394 | 5.5E-4 | 7.882459E-4 | 8.3463767E-4 | 0.003392501 | 4.064639 | 0.00256 | 0.007854558 | 0.008389449 | 0.013268173 | 1.5815309 | 0.00492 |
7.7 | 9.934069E-6 | 1.06889E-5 | 8.068815E-5 | 7.54878 | 7.0E-5 | 4.2573887E-5 | 4.5808767E-5 | 2.0580144E-4 | 4.492621 | 1.6E-4 | 5.182138E-4 | 5.575794E-4 | 0.0012871724 | 2.3085005 | 7.3E-4 | 0.00517007 | 0.0056330482 | 0.0071345423 | 1.2665509 | 0.00151 |
7.8 | 6.7562896E-6 | 8.43683E-6 | 5.843641E-5 | 6.9263463 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8955206E-5 | 3.6157344E-5 | 1.5615301E-4 | 4.318708 | 1.2E-4 | 3.5247262E-4 | 4.401269E-4 | 8.8992884E-4 | 2.0219824 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0035191406 | 0.004451146 | 0.0054765614 | 1.2303711 | 0.00103 |
7.9 | 3.975453E-6 | 5.376188E-6 | 3.5376026E-5 | 6.5801325 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7037546E-5 | 2.3040602E-5 | 1.0303876E-4 | 4.4720516 | 8.0E-5 | 2.0741238E-4 | 2.804833E-4 | 5.5040757E-4 | 1.9623541 | 2.7E-4 | 0.002072189 | 0.002836522 | 0.0035046216 | 1.2355348 | 6.7E-4 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.0792806E-6 | 2.2079239E-5 | 10.618691 | 2.0E-5 | 7.169782E-6 | 8.911173E-6 | 3.8910905E-5 | 4.3665304 | 3.0E-5 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.0848816E-4 | 2.0847732E-4 | 1.9216596 | 1.0E-4 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.001098096 | 0.0013478214 | 1.2274168 | 2.5E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.151542E-7 | 3.151542E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3506603E-6 | 1.3506603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6444183E-5 | 2.6444017E-5 | 1.6081078 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6648557E-4 | 2.064789E-4 | 1.240221 | 4.0E-5 |
Tank Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8284557E-5 | 5.7968686E-5 | 0.0016478765 | 28.427011 | 0.00159 | 2.0691741E-4 | 2.484174E-4 | 0.006036979 | 24.301756 | 0.00579 | 0.0025163088 | 0.0030209522 | 0.025353283 | 8.392481 | 0.0224 | 0.02488006 | 0.029866228 | 0.071164824 | 2.3827858 | 0.04257 |
6.1 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.0874597E-5 | 5.508635E-4 | 26.389183 | 5.3E-4 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.945971E-5 | 0.0021392764 | 23.913294 | 0.00205 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010886658 | 0.009010033 | 8.276216 | 0.00793 | 0.009242975 | 0.010837759 | 0.025981834 | 2.3973436 | 0.01531 |
6.2 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.0874597E-5 | 5.508635E-4 | 26.389183 | 5.3E-4 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.945971E-5 | 0.0021392764 | 23.913294 | 0.00205 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010886658 | 0.009010033 | 8.276216 | 0.00793 | 0.009242975 | 0.010837759 | 0.025981834 | 2.3973436 | 0.01531 |
6.3 | 1.3515912E-5 | 1.57605E-5 | 4.657534E-4 | 29.551943 | 4.5E-4 | 5.792405E-5 | 6.7543384E-5 | 0.001627438 | 24.094706 | 0.00156 | 7.049971E-4 | 8.220541E-4 | 0.006547344 | 7.964614 | 0.00573 | 0.007027647 | 0.008193086 | 0.019331077 | 2.359438 | 0.01123 |
6.4 | 1.0870146E-5 | 1.2618743E-5 | 3.2261483E-4 | 25.56632 | 3.1E-4 | 4.658551E-5 | 5.4079308E-5 | 0.0012140166 | 22.44882 | 0.00116 | 5.67031E-4 | 6.5823435E-4 | 0.004985384 | 7.573874 | 0.00433 | 0.005655863 | 0.006565199 | 0.014810707 | 2.255942 | 0.0083 |
6.5 | 7.964826E-6 | 9.196589E-6 | 2.0919475E-4 | 22.746992 | 2.0E-4 | 3.4134522E-5 | 3.941342E-5 | 7.293862E-4 | 18.506039 | 6.9E-4 | 4.1550855E-4 | 4.7976326E-4 | 0.003088511 | 6.4375734 | 0.00261 | 0.0041473247 | 0.0047889124 | 0.009884393 | 2.0640163 | 0.00512 |
6.6 | 6.6317E-6 | 7.6126803E-6 | 1.5761153E-4 | 20.703817 | 1.5E-4 | 2.8421264E-5 | 3.2625416E-5 | 5.9260713E-4 | 18.163973 | 5.6E-4 | 3.4597394E-4 | 3.971511E-4 | 0.0024163488 | 6.0842056 | 0.00202 | 0.0034543579 | 0.003965901 | 0.007750831 | 1.9543681 | 0.0038 |
6.7 | 4.793663E-6 | 5.4310176E-6 | 9.543053E-5 | 17.57139 | 9.0E-5 | 2.0544108E-5 | 2.3275607E-5 | 3.632677E-4 | 15.607228 | 3.4E-4 | 2.500958E-4 | 2.8334802E-4 | 0.0015329939 | 5.410286 | 0.00125 | 0.0024981452 | 0.002830895 | 0.005184214 | 1.8312987 | 0.00236 |
6.8 | 4.382823E-6 | 4.9694518E-6 | 9.496901E-5 | 19.11056 | 9.0E-5 | 1.8783392E-5 | 2.1297501E-5 | 3.412907E-4 | 16.024918 | 3.2E-4 | 2.286638E-4 | 2.5927048E-4 | 0.0013689827 | 5.2801332 | 0.00111 | 0.0022842865 | 0.0025906826 | 0.004715164 | 1.8200471 | 0.00213 |
6.9 | 2.729601E-6 | 3.0736373E-6 | 3.3073546E-5 | 10.760393 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1698237E-5 | 1.3172672E-5 | 1.4317095E-4 | 10.868787 | 1.3E-4 | 1.4241673E-4 | 1.603667E-4 | 6.802833E-4 | 4.2420483 | 5.2E-4 | 0.001423255 | 0.0016027562 | 0.0025312656 | 1.5793204 | 9.3E-4 |
7.0 | 1.8987357E-6 | 2.1269989E-6 | 1.2126978E-5 | 5.7014503 | 1.0E-5 | 8.137413E-6 | 9.115681E-6 | 4.9115315E-5 | 5.388003 | 4.0E-5 | 9.90685E-5 | 1.10978464E-4 | 3.7094962E-4 | 3.342537 | 2.6E-4 | 9.902435E-4 | 0.0011092991 | 0.0015188443 | 1.3691927 | 4.1E-4 |
7.1 | 1.4928986E-6 | 1.6641682E-6 | 1.6641682E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.398121E-6 | 7.132133E-6 | 2.713199E-5 | 3.8041902 | 2.0E-5 | 7.789434E-5 | 8.683085E-5 | 2.3681782E-4 | 2.7273467 | 1.5E-4 | 7.786704E-4 | 8.680271E-4 | 0.0010878361 | 1.2532283 | 2.2E-4 |
7.2 | 1.069082E-6 | 1.182888E-6 | 1.182888E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.581772E-6 | 5.069513E-6 | 2.5069412E-5 | 4.9451323 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5781646E-5 | 6.172011E-5 | 1.4171517E-4 | 2.296094 | 8.0E-5 | 5.576765E-4 | 6.170819E-4 | 7.2701403E-4 | 1.1781484 | 1.1E-4 |
7.3 | 8.776551E-7 | 9.770218E-7 | 9.770218E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7613736E-6 | 4.1872327E-6 | 1.4187191E-5 | 3.3882022 | 1.0E-5 | 4.579376E-5 | 5.0978884E-5 | 1.0097634E-4 | 1.9807483 | 5.0E-5 | 4.5784327E-4 | 5.097229E-4 | 5.7968724E-4 | 1.1372595 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.55721E-7 | 8.5104347E-7 | 8.5104347E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2388E-6 | 3.647327E-6 | 1.3647291E-5 | 3.7417238 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9431678E-5 | 4.440582E-5 | 9.44036E-5 | 2.1259284 | 5.0E-5 | 3.942468E-4 | 4.4402032E-4 | 5.039937E-4 | 1.1350689 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.587665E-7 | 6.305743E-7 | 6.305743E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3947114E-6 | 2.702461E-6 | 2.702461E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.915522E-5 | 3.2902462E-5 | 6.2901476E-5 | 1.9117558 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9151395E-4 | 3.2902462E-4 | 3.5901475E-4 | 1.0911486 | 3.0E-5 |
Little Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1206946E-5 | 0.0013211666 | 42.335663 | 0.00129 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3373795E-4 | 0.004313179 | 32.250973 | 0.00418 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016271765 | 0.016103582 | 9.896641 | 0.0145 | 0.014722223 | 0.016166031 | 0.041735876 | 2.581702 | 0.02599 |
6.1 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1206946E-5 | 0.0013211666 | 42.335663 | 0.00129 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3373795E-4 | 0.004313179 | 32.250973 | 0.00418 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016271765 | 0.016103582 | 9.896641 | 0.0145 | 0.014722223 | 0.016166031 | 0.041735876 | 2.581702 | 0.02599 |
6.2 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1206946E-5 | 0.0013211666 | 42.335663 | 0.00129 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3373795E-4 | 0.004313179 | 32.250973 | 0.00418 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016271765 | 0.016103582 | 9.896641 | 0.0145 | 0.014722223 | 0.016166031 | 0.041735876 | 2.581702 | 0.02599 |
6.3 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.6081956E-5 | 8.460686E-4 | 52.609806 | 8.3E-4 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.892101E-5 | 0.0028187314 | 40.898003 | 0.00275 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.3881844E-4 | 0.010250917 | 12.220662 | 0.00942 | 0.007737305 | 0.008359341 | 0.025078403 | 3.0000453 | 0.01686 |
6.4 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.6081956E-5 | 8.460686E-4 | 52.609806 | 8.3E-4 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.892101E-5 | 0.0028187314 | 40.898003 | 0.00275 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.3881844E-4 | 0.010250917 | 12.220662 | 0.00942 | 0.007737305 | 0.008359341 | 0.025078403 | 3.0000453 | 0.01686 |
6.5 | 1.2797581E-5 | 1.3766038E-5 | 7.8375544E-4 | 56.933987 | 7.7E-4 | 5.4845623E-5 | 5.8996116E-5 | 0.002518851 | 42.6952 | 0.00246 | 6.675408E-4 | 7.180667E-4 | 0.009311891 | 12.968003 | 0.0086 | 0.006655392 | 0.0071600154 | 0.022628462 | 3.160393 | 0.01558 |
6.6 | 9.661896E-6 | 1.028937E-5 | 6.602827E-4 | 64.17134 | 6.5E-4 | 4.1407468E-5 | 4.4096647E-5 | 0.002124005 | 48.167038 | 0.00208 | 5.040193E-4 | 5.3676066E-4 | 0.007702912 | 14.350739 | 0.00717 | 0.005028777 | 0.005356247 | 0.018396027 | 3.4344993 | 0.01311 |
6.7 | 7.767871E-6 | 8.199939E-6 | 5.981951E-4 | 72.951164 | 5.9E-4 | 3.329045E-5 | 3.51422E-5 | 0.0018350789 | 52.21867 | 0.0018 | 4.0523586E-4 | 4.2778603E-4 | 0.0065251766 | 15.2533655 | 0.0061 | 0.004044977 | 0.0042709773 | 0.015512758 | 3.632133 | 0.01129 |
6.8 | 6.4235196E-6 | 6.7359483E-6 | 5.0673255E-4 | 75.228096 | 5.0E-4 | 2.752908E-5 | 2.8868104E-5 | 0.001588823 | 55.037323 | 0.00156 | 3.35115E-4 | 3.514253E-4 | 0.005199721 | 14.796091 | 0.00485 | 0.003346101 | 0.0035099562 | 0.012558086 | 3.577847 | 0.00908 |
6.9 | 3.1283696E-6 | 3.1122495E-6 | 3.2311125E-4 | 103.8192 | 3.2E-4 | 1.3407229E-5 | 1.3338153E-5 | 9.4332575E-4 | 70.72387 | 9.3E-4 | 1.6322079E-4 | 1.6238142E-4 | 0.0030019202 | 18.486845 | 0.00284 | 0.0016310095 | 0.001622776 | 0.0070239967 | 4.3283834 | 0.00541 |
7.0 | 2.290603E-6 | 2.2287327E-6 | 2.422282E-4 | 108.68427 | 2.4E-4 | 9.816834E-6 | 9.5516825E-6 | 6.595455E-4 | 69.050186 | 6.5E-4 | 1.19513395E-4 | 1.16286574E-4 | 0.0019660715 | 16.907124 | 0.00185 | 0.0011944914 | 0.0011623594 | 0.0045883725 | 3.9474645 | 0.00343 |
7.1 | 1.293693E-6 | 1.1777128E-6 | 9.117761E-5 | 77.41922 | 9.0E-5 | 5.5443866E-6 | 5.047335E-6 | 3.2504572E-4 | 64.399475 | 3.2E-4 | 6.750081E-5 | 6.1450264E-5 | 9.213974E-4 | 14.994198 | 8.6E-4 | 6.7480316E-4 | 6.1440124E-4 | 0.0022733812 | 3.7001576 | 0.00166 |
7.2 | 4.715842E-7 | 3.0919037E-7 | 3.0919037E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0210737E-6 | 1.3251009E-6 | 1.1325088E-5 | 8.546585 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4606294E-5 | 1.613299E-5 | 3.6132667E-5 | 2.2396758 | 2.0E-5 | 2.460357E-4 | 1.6131873E-4 | 2.71301E-4 | 1.6817698 | 1.1E-4 |
7.3 | 3.9430947E-7 | 2.3098522E-7 | 2.3098522E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6898966E-6 | 9.899363E-7 | 1.09899265E-5 | 11.10165 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0574296E-5 | 1.2052408E-5 | 3.205217E-5 | 2.6593993 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0572392E-4 | 1.2051762E-4 | 1.9050919E-4 | 1.580758 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.547123E-7 | 1.9680067E-7 | 1.9680067E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5201948E-6 | 8.4343117E-7 | 1.0843422E-5 | 12.856322 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8508214E-5 | 1.0268726E-5 | 3.026852E-5 | 2.9476411 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8506673E-4 | 1.02682585E-4 | 1.726754E-4 | 1.6816425 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.6354266E-7 | 1.4423749E-7 | 1.4423749E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.129468E-6 | 6.181605E-7 | 1.0618154E-5 | 17.177017 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3751187E-5 | 7.526079E-6 | 2.7525928E-5 | 3.6574063 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3750336E-4 | 7.525829E-5 | 1.2525453E-4 | 1.6643286 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.269913E-7 | 7.572809E-8 | 7.572809E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4424834E-7 | 3.245489E-7 | 3.245489E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6262032E-6 | 3.951376E-6 | 3.951376E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.626006E-5 | 3.9513096E-5 | 5.9512306E-5 | 1.5061413 | 2.0E-5 |
Airport Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.31034385E-5 | 0.0012230875 | 93.340965 | 0.00121 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6156543E-5 | 0.0037459494 | 66.70548 | 0.00369 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835199E-4 | 0.0125554 | 18.368742 | 0.01188 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068169856 | 0.02779301 | 4.0770235 | 0.02112 |
6.1 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.31034385E-5 | 0.0012230875 | 93.340965 | 0.00121 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6156543E-5 | 0.0037459494 | 66.70548 | 0.00369 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835199E-4 | 0.0125554 | 18.368742 | 0.01188 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068169856 | 0.02779301 | 4.0770235 | 0.02112 |
6.2 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.31034385E-5 | 0.0012230875 | 93.340965 | 0.00121 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6156543E-5 | 0.0037459494 | 66.70548 | 0.00369 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835199E-4 | 0.0125554 | 18.368742 | 0.01188 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068169856 | 0.02779301 | 4.0770235 | 0.02112 |
6.3 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.31034385E-5 | 0.0012230875 | 93.340965 | 0.00121 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6156543E-5 | 0.0037459494 | 66.70548 | 0.00369 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835199E-4 | 0.0125554 | 18.368742 | 0.01188 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068169856 | 0.02779301 | 4.0770235 | 0.02112 |
6.4 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.31034385E-5 | 0.0012230875 | 93.340965 | 0.00121 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6156543E-5 | 0.0037459494 | 66.70548 | 0.00369 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835199E-4 | 0.0125554 | 18.368742 | 0.01188 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068169856 | 0.02779301 | 4.0770235 | 0.02112 |
6.5 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.3850792E-6 | 8.573788E-4 | 116.096085 | 8.5E-4 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.1649986E-5 | 0.0027915626 | 88.20107 | 0.00276 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8527587E-4 | 0.009241862 | 23.987648 | 0.00886 | 0.003641826 | 0.0038466167 | 0.019645609 | 5.107244 | 0.01586 |
6.6 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.3850792E-6 | 8.573788E-4 | 116.096085 | 8.5E-4 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.1649986E-5 | 0.0027915626 | 88.20107 | 0.00276 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8527587E-4 | 0.009241862 | 23.987648 | 0.00886 | 0.003641826 | 0.0038466167 | 0.019645609 | 5.107244 | 0.01586 |
6.7 | 5.477277E-6 | 5.78619E-6 | 7.657818E-4 | 132.34647 | 7.6E-4 | 2.3473833E-5 | 2.4797742E-5 | 0.0022947413 | 92.53832 | 0.00227 | 2.8575645E-4 | 3.0187456E-4 | 0.007579677 | 25.108696 | 0.00728 | 0.0028538927 | 0.003015029 | 0.016264958 | 5.394628 | 0.01329 |
6.8 | 3.9950432E-6 | 4.219175E-6 | 6.0421665E-4 | 143.20729 | 6.0E-4 | 1.7121502E-5 | 1.8082068E-5 | 0.0017580506 | 97.22619 | 0.00174 | 2.0843433E-4 | 2.201297E-4 | 0.005748912 | 26.116024 | 0.00553 | 0.0020823893 | 0.0021993876 | 0.012237262 | 5.5639405 | 0.01006 |
6.9 | 2.95695E-6 | 3.1230895E-6 | 4.131218E-4 | 132.27985 | 4.1E-4 | 1.2672582E-5 | 1.3384613E-5 | 0.0012033687 | 89.90687 | 0.00119 | 1.5427776E-4 | 1.6294775E-4 | 0.0039023382 | 23.948402 | 0.00374 | 0.001541707 | 0.0016285051 | 0.008567187 | 5.2607675 | 0.00695 |
7.0 | 1.456072E-6 | 1.5408453E-6 | 2.3154049E-4 | 150.26848 | 2.3E-4 | 6.2402937E-6 | 6.603612E-6 | 6.3659943E-4 | 96.40171 | 6.3E-4 | 7.597293E-5 | 8.039702E-5 | 0.0018602539 | 23.138346 | 0.00178 | 7.594696E-4 | 8.037782E-4 | 0.00402119 | 5.0028605 | 0.00322 |
7.1 | 6.995192E-7 | 7.409137E-7 | 9.074085E-5 | 122.47154 | 9.0E-5 | 2.997936E-6 | 3.1753445E-6 | 3.1317436E-4 | 98.62689 | 3.1E-4 | 3.649926E-5 | 3.865982E-5 | 8.386289E-4 | 21.69252 | 8.0E-4 | 3.6493264E-4 | 3.865982E-4 | 0.0018860183 | 4.8784976 | 0.0015 |
Owl Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.636642E-5 | 6.263293E-4 | 9.437443 | 5.6E-4 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.8440278E-4 | 0.00268372 | 9.4363365 | 0.0024 | 0.0026222812 | 0.0034580082 | 0.012387024 | 3.582127 | 0.00896 | 0.02591553 | 0.034145758 | 0.050661862 | 1.4836943 | 0.0171 |
6.1 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.636642E-5 | 6.263293E-4 | 9.437443 | 5.6E-4 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.8440278E-4 | 0.00268372 | 9.4363365 | 0.0024 | 0.0026222812 | 0.0034580082 | 0.012387024 | 3.582127 | 0.00896 | 0.02591553 | 0.034145758 | 0.050661862 | 1.4836943 | 0.0171 |
6.2 | 2.4125871E-5 | 3.0985153E-5 | 4.4097245E-4 | 14.231733 | 4.1E-4 | 1.0339249E-4 | 1.3278791E-4 | 0.0020125383 | 15.156035 | 0.00188 | 0.0012580766 | 0.0016156635 | 0.008324807 | 5.152562 | 0.00672 | 0.012509781 | 0.016073113 | 0.028647698 | 1.7823366 | 0.01278 |
6.3 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.235925E-5 | 4.223503E-4 | 18.889286 | 4.0E-4 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.5822725E-5 | 0.001845655 | 19.261143 | 0.00175 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011661532 | 0.0071591563 | 6.1391215 | 0.006 | 0.009055373 | 0.011631054 | 0.022592066 | 1.942392 | 0.01109 |
6.4 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.235925E-5 | 4.223503E-4 | 18.889286 | 4.0E-4 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.5822725E-5 | 0.001845655 | 19.261143 | 0.00175 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011661532 | 0.0071591563 | 6.1391215 | 0.006 | 0.009055373 | 0.011631054 | 0.022592066 | 1.942392 | 0.01109 |
6.5 | 1.5182742E-5 | 1.9432666E-5 | 4.094251E-4 | 21.06891 | 3.9E-4 | 6.506727E-5 | 8.328105E-5 | 0.0017831394 | 21.411108 | 0.0017 | 7.919061E-4 | 0.0010136095 | 0.00682771 | 6.7360363 | 0.00582 | 0.0078909 | 0.010120427 | 0.020583455 | 2.0338523 | 0.01057 |
6.6 | 6.7271576E-6 | 8.549753E-6 | 2.8854737E-4 | 33.749203 | 2.8E-4 | 2.8830356E-5 | 3.6641315E-5 | 0.0012665963 | 34.567432 | 0.00123 | 3.5095305E-4 | 4.4602237E-4 | 0.0046741357 | 10.479599 | 0.00423 | 0.0035039932 | 0.004469197 | 0.012244293 | 2.7397075 | 0.00781 |
6.7 | 6.682835E-6 | 8.482192E-6 | 2.8847982E-4 | 34.010056 | 2.8E-4 | 2.8640408E-5 | 3.6351776E-5 | 0.0012663071 | 34.834805 | 0.00123 | 3.4864116E-4 | 4.4249865E-4 | 0.004670627 | 10.55512 | 0.00423 | 0.003480947 | 0.004434173 | 0.012199586 | 2.7512653 | 0.0078 |
6.8 | 6.5774975E-6 | 8.328653E-6 | 2.8832632E-4 | 34.618603 | 2.8E-4 | 2.8188972E-5 | 3.569377E-5 | 0.0012456506 | 34.898262 | 0.00121 | 3.4314668E-4 | 4.3449065E-4 | 0.0046426617 | 10.685297 | 0.00421 | 0.0034261728 | 0.0043542283 | 0.012090396 | 2.7767024 | 0.00777 |
6.9 | 6.363419E-6 | 8.00179E-6 | 2.8799954E-4 | 35.99189 | 2.8E-4 | 2.727151E-5 | 3.4292967E-5 | 0.0012242522 | 35.699802 | 0.00119 | 3.3198006E-4 | 4.1744247E-4 | 0.0045857015 | 10.98523 | 0.00417 | 0.0033148455 | 0.004184186 | 0.011861926 | 2.8349423 | 0.00771 |
7.0 | 6.1342453E-6 | 7.63394E-6 | 2.876318E-4 | 37.678024 | 2.8E-4 | 2.6289357E-5 | 3.2716507E-5 | 0.0012226775 | 37.371883 | 0.00119 | 3.2002592E-4 | 3.9825618E-4 | 0.0045366073 | 11.391179 | 0.00414 | 0.0031956544 | 0.003992853 | 0.011562508 | 2.8958006 | 0.0076 |
7.1 | 5.842926E-6 | 7.144412E-6 | 2.871424E-4 | 40.19119 | 2.8E-4 | 2.504087E-5 | 3.061858E-5 | 0.0011405846 | 37.25139 | 0.00111 | 3.0482994E-4 | 3.7272286E-4 | 0.0042312844 | 11.352361 | 0.00386 | 0.0030441214 | 0.00373841 | 0.010881606 | 2.9107578 | 0.00717 |
7.2 | 4.77173E-6 | 5.3603867E-6 | 1.4535963E-4 | 27.117378 | 1.4E-4 | 2.045011E-5 | 2.2972907E-5 | 7.1295706E-4 | 31.03469 | 6.9E-4 | 2.4895166E-4 | 2.796633E-4 | 0.0027689668 | 9.901073 | 0.00249 | 0.0024867293 | 0.0028098156 | 0.0075065815 | 2.6715565 | 0.00471 |
7.3 | 3.0494948E-6 | 2.7117405E-6 | 6.271158E-5 | 23.125952 | 6.0E-5 | 1.3069198E-5 | 1.1621694E-5 | 1.916196E-4 | 16.488096 | 1.8E-4 | 1.5910587E-4 | 1.414851E-4 | 8.7138184E-4 | 6.158824 | 7.3E-4 | 0.0015899199 | 0.0014243075 | 0.0027024844 | 1.8974023 | 0.00128 |
7.4 | 2.7263884E-6 | 2.3068553E-6 | 2.230681E-5 | 9.669791 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1684469E-5 | 9.886486E-6 | 8.9885696E-5 | 9.091774 | 8.0E-5 | 1.4224913E-4 | 1.2036142E-4 | 5.203133E-4 | 4.322924 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0014215811 | 0.0012122667 | 0.0019413817 | 1.6014477 | 7.3E-4 |
7.5 | 2.6090431E-6 | 2.1667663E-6 | 2.1667663E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1181565E-5 | 9.286109E-6 | 6.9285554E-5 | 7.4612036 | 6.0E-5 | 1.3612706E-4 | 1.1305261E-4 | 4.5301416E-4 | 4.0071096 | 3.4E-4 | 0.001360437 | 0.0011389777 | 0.0017382943 | 1.5261883 | 6.0E-4 |
7.6 | 2.3008756E-6 | 1.8739026E-6 | 1.8739026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.860858E-6 | 8.030987E-6 | 5.8030586E-5 | 7.225835 | 5.0E-5 | 1.20049335E-4 | 9.7772965E-5 | 3.777456E-4 | 3.8634975 | 2.8E-4 | 0.001199845 | 9.858498E-4 | 0.0014154259 | 1.4357419 | 4.3E-4 |
7.7 | 1.7184348E-6 | 1.3429379E-6 | 1.3429379E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3646997E-6 | 5.7554357E-6 | 2.575532E-5 | 4.474956 | 2.0E-5 | 8.966153E-5 | 7.0070215E-5 | 2.400583E-4 | 3.4259677 | 1.7E-4 | 8.962536E-4 | 7.0862006E-4 | 9.284642E-4 | 1.3102425 | 2.2E-4 |
7.8 | 8.4612907E-7 | 8.4134496E-7 | 8.4134496E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6262625E-6 | 3.6057593E-6 | 1.3605723E-5 | 3.773331 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4148852E-5 | 4.3899257E-5 | 8.38975E-5 | 1.9111371 | 4.0E-5 | 4.414008E-4 | 4.445929E-4 | 5.145618E-4 | 1.1573774 | 7.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.716738E-7 | 3.7715876E-7 | 3.7715876E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1643157E-6 | 1.6163937E-6 | 1.1616377E-5 | 7.1866016 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4175452E-5 | 1.9679426E-5 | 4.9678834E-5 | 2.5244048 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4174548E-4 | 1.9876628E-4 | 2.2876033E-4 | 1.1509011 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.1995428E-8 | 3.3864286E-8 | 3.3864286E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.426611E-8 | 1.4513265E-7 | 1.4513265E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1476893E-6 | 1.7669893E-6 | 1.17669715E-5 | 6.659334 | 1.0E-5 | 1.14768345E-5 | 1.8215056E-5 | 2.8214874E-5 | 1.5489864 | 1.0E-5 |
Panamint Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3987046E-5 | 6.439663E-4 | 18.947405 | 6.1E-4 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.456508E-4 | 0.0021653567 | 14.866767 | 0.00202 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017718857 | 0.008849323 | 4.994297 | 0.00709 | 0.015640736 | 0.01758422 | 0.030925427 | 1.7587034 | 0.01358 |
6.1 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3987046E-5 | 6.439663E-4 | 18.947405 | 6.1E-4 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.456508E-4 | 0.0021653567 | 14.866767 | 0.00202 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017718857 | 0.008849323 | 4.994297 | 0.00709 | 0.015640736 | 0.01758422 | 0.030925427 | 1.7587034 | 0.01358 |
6.2 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3987046E-5 | 6.439663E-4 | 18.947405 | 6.1E-4 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.456508E-4 | 0.0021653567 | 14.866767 | 0.00202 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017718857 | 0.008849323 | 4.994297 | 0.00709 | 0.015640736 | 0.01758422 | 0.030925427 | 1.7587034 | 0.01358 |
6.3 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.2105134E-5 | 6.320859E-4 | 19.688 | 6.0E-4 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.3758634E-4 | 0.0021273126 | 15.461656 | 0.00199 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016738543 | 0.008472456 | 5.0616446 | 0.00681 | 0.01479908 | 0.016619207 | 0.029285152 | 1.7621269 | 0.01288 |
6.4 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.2105134E-5 | 6.320859E-4 | 19.688 | 6.0E-4 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.3758634E-4 | 0.0021273126 | 15.461656 | 0.00199 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016738543 | 0.008472456 | 5.0616446 | 0.00681 | 0.01479908 | 0.016619207 | 0.029285152 | 1.7621269 | 0.01288 |
6.5 | 2.7468774E-5 | 3.083078E-5 | 6.3081225E-4 | 20.460472 | 6.0E-4 | 1.1771801E-4 | 1.3212537E-4 | 0.0020918665 | 15.832436 | 0.00196 | 0.0014322745 | 0.0016074667 | 0.008216825 | 5.111661 | 0.00662 | 0.014230782 | 0.015965028 | 0.028275305 | 1.7710778 | 0.01251 |
6.6 | 2.6135967E-5 | 2.9254721E-5 | 6.2923715E-4 | 21.50891 | 6.0E-4 | 1.1200648E-4 | 1.253715E-4 | 0.0020251332 | 16.153059 | 0.0019 | 0.0013628257 | 0.0015253559 | 0.007905609 | 5.1827965 | 0.00639 | 0.013544982 | 0.015155439 | 0.026845545 | 1.7713472 | 0.01187 |
6.7 | 2.4498746E-5 | 2.734358E-5 | 5.873283E-4 | 21.479567 | 5.6E-4 | 1.04990395E-4 | 1.17181655E-4 | 0.0019169707 | 16.358967 | 0.0018 | 0.0012775084 | 0.001425778 | 0.0076069525 | 5.3352995 | 0.00619 | 0.012701893 | 0.014172672 | 0.025401246 | 1.7922693 | 0.01139 |
6.8 | 2.2244329E-5 | 2.4937865E-5 | 5.5492466E-4 | 22.252293 | 5.3E-4 | 9.532935E-5 | 1.068723E-4 | 0.0017866928 | 16.718016 | 0.00168 | 0.0011600169 | 0.0013004155 | 0.007022964 | 5.400554 | 0.00573 | 0.011539802 | 0.012934022 | 0.02325873 | 1.7982599 | 0.01046 |
6.9 | 1.9902658E-5 | 2.2292583E-5 | 4.922821E-4 | 22.082775 | 4.7E-4 | 8.529431E-5 | 9.553625E-5 | 0.0015453977 | 16.176035 | 0.00145 | 0.0010379635 | 0.0011625516 | 0.006216669 | 5.347435 | 0.00506 | 0.010331288 | 0.011569798 | 0.020613935 | 1.7817022 | 0.00915 |
7.0 | 1.8353881E-5 | 2.0568415E-5 | 4.6055936E-4 | 22.391582 | 4.4E-4 | 7.865712E-5 | 8.814748E-5 | 0.0014180302 | 16.08702 | 0.00133 | 9.5722964E-4 | 0.0010726849 | 0.005757654 | 5.367517 | 0.00469 | 0.009531168 | 0.0106799295 | 0.019019898 | 1.7809011 | 0.00843 |
7.1 | 1.7667631E-5 | 1.9774749E-5 | 4.2976663E-4 | 21.733103 | 4.1E-4 | 7.571623E-5 | 8.4746265E-5 | 0.0013546386 | 15.984641 | 0.00127 | 9.2145515E-4 | 0.001031315 | 0.005526674 | 5.3588614 | 0.0045 | 0.009176437 | 0.0102701085 | 0.018316612 | 1.7834878 | 0.00813 |
7.2 | 1.6381597E-5 | 1.8160266E-5 | 3.3815447E-4 | 18.620567 | 3.2E-4 | 7.020495E-5 | 7.782749E-5 | 0.0011077473 | 14.233368 | 0.00103 | 8.544101E-4 | 9.4715506E-4 | 0.0047935084 | 5.060954 | 0.00385 | 0.008511325 | 0.00943576 | 0.016448954 | 1.743257 | 0.00708 |
7.3 | 1.4520491E-5 | 1.5967775E-5 | 2.8596347E-4 | 17.908787 | 2.7E-4 | 6.222919E-5 | 6.843162E-5 | 8.4837823E-4 | 12.39746 | 7.8E-4 | 7.57377E-4 | 8.328527E-4 | 0.0039302707 | 4.719047 | 0.0031 | 0.0075480095 | 0.008300342 | 0.0141414525 | 1.7037194 | 0.00589 |
7.4 | 1.2852287E-5 | 1.4146599E-5 | 2.7414292E-4 | 19.378716 | 2.6E-4 | 5.5080065E-5 | 6.062696E-5 | 8.2058087E-4 | 13.534917 | 7.6E-4 | 6.7039346E-4 | 7.378991E-4 | 0.003745678 | 5.0761385 | 0.00301 | 0.0066837464 | 0.0073573347 | 0.012995545 | 1.7663387 | 0.00568 |
7.5 | 1.1637851E-5 | 1.2837859E-5 | 2.7283453E-4 | 21.252338 | 2.6E-4 | 4.987555E-5 | 5.501832E-5 | 7.8497815E-4 | 14.267577 | 7.3E-4 | 6.070656E-4 | 6.696579E-4 | 0.0036076892 | 5.3873615 | 0.00294 | 0.006054099 | 0.006679221 | 0.012172285 | 1.8224108 | 0.00553 |
7.6 | 3.0068115E-6 | 3.3334763E-6 | 1.3333304E-4 | 39.998196 | 1.3E-4 | 1.2886271E-5 | 1.428629E-5 | 2.8428243E-4 | 19.898968 | 2.7E-4 | 1.5687906E-4 | 1.7392899E-4 | 0.0015136959 | 8.702954 | 0.00134 | 0.0015676835 | 0.0017392943 | 0.004185033 | 2.4061673 | 0.00245 |
Garlock (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.2913554E-5 | 4.8288712E-4 | 7.6754074 | 4.2E-4 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.6960415E-4 | 0.0018791701 | 6.970108 | 0.00161 | 0.0023501497 | 0.003277936 | 0.00899912 | 2.7453618 | 0.00574 | 0.023254504 | 0.032341007 | 0.043527145 | 1.345881 | 0.01156 |
6.1 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.2913554E-5 | 4.8288712E-4 | 7.6754074 | 4.2E-4 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.6960415E-4 | 0.0018791701 | 6.970108 | 0.00161 | 0.0023501497 | 0.003277936 | 0.00899912 | 2.7453618 | 0.00574 | 0.023254504 | 0.032341007 | 0.043527145 | 1.345881 | 0.01156 |
6.2 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4519046E-5 | 3.6450766E-4 | 10.55961 | 3.3E-4 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4793056E-4 | 0.0014177427 | 9.583838 | 0.00127 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0017995998 | 0.0060020234 | 3.3351989 | 0.00421 | 0.01382215 | 0.01787998 | 0.025962826 | 1.4520614 | 0.00823 |
6.3 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4519046E-5 | 3.6450766E-4 | 10.55961 | 3.3E-4 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4793056E-4 | 0.0014177427 | 9.583838 | 0.00127 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0017995998 | 0.0060020234 | 3.3351989 | 0.00421 | 0.01382215 | 0.01787998 | 0.025962826 | 1.4520614 | 0.00823 |
6.4 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2347874E-5 | 3.623372E-4 | 11.201268 | 3.3E-4 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3862654E-4 | 0.0014084505 | 10.160035 | 0.00127 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016865009 | 0.005849468 | 3.468405 | 0.00417 | 0.013121112 | 0.016780034 | 0.024753949 | 1.4752024 | 0.00811 |
6.5 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2347874E-5 | 3.623372E-4 | 11.201268 | 3.3E-4 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3862654E-4 | 0.0014084505 | 10.160035 | 0.00127 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016865009 | 0.005849468 | 3.468405 | 0.00417 | 0.013121112 | 0.016780034 | 0.024753949 | 1.4752024 | 0.00811 |
6.6 | 2.246556E-5 | 2.8142023E-5 | 3.5813273E-4 | 12.725906 | 3.3E-4 | 9.627742E-5 | 1.20603225E-4 | 0.0013604537 | 11.280409 | 0.00124 | 0.0011715472 | 0.0014673788 | 0.0054315533 | 3.7015345 | 0.00397 | 0.011653901 | 0.0146207595 | 0.02223774 | 1.5209703 | 0.00773 |
6.7 | 2.2241198E-5 | 2.781174E-5 | 3.5780255E-4 | 12.865163 | 3.3E-4 | 9.531594E-5 | 1.1918786E-4 | 0.00135904 | 11.402504 | 0.00124 | 0.0011598538 | 0.0014501698 | 0.005414413 | 3.7336404 | 0.00397 | 0.011538187 | 0.014450654 | 0.022059096 | 1.5265119 | 0.00772 |
6.8 | 1.9528685E-5 | 2.39056E-5 | 3.4389796E-4 | 14.385665 | 3.2E-4 | 8.369167E-5 | 1.0244866E-4 | 0.0012923267 | 12.614384 | 0.00119 | 0.0010184698 | 0.0012466185 | 0.0049320185 | 3.9563177 | 0.00369 | 0.010138147 | 0.012441472 | 0.01951239 | 1.5683346 | 0.00716 |
6.9 | 1.3318621E-5 | 1.5204818E-5 | 3.1520025E-4 | 20.730288 | 3.0E-4 | 5.7078556E-5 | 6.516191E-5 | 0.0011750896 | 18.033382 | 0.00111 | 6.9470983E-4 | 7.930632E-4 | 0.0041903667 | 5.283774 | 0.0034 | 0.0069254204 | 0.007944113 | 0.01428335 | 1.7979792 | 0.00639 |
7.0 | 1.1760853E-5 | 1.3113447E-5 | 3.131095E-4 | 23.876982 | 3.0E-4 | 5.0402683E-5 | 5.61993E-5 | 0.0011661369 | 20.750025 | 0.00111 | 6.134799E-4 | 6.8401673E-4 | 0.003961773 | 5.7919245 | 0.00328 | 0.0061178906 | 0.006860677 | 0.012958553 | 1.8888154 | 0.00614 |
7.1 | 1.0064758E-5 | 1.0908304E-5 | 3.1090504E-4 | 28.501684 | 3.0E-4 | 4.3133965E-5 | 4.6749054E-5 | 0.0011366981 | 24.31489 | 0.00109 | 5.2502943E-4 | 5.6902465E-4 | 0.003677255 | 6.462383 | 0.00311 | 0.005237907 | 0.005716588 | 0.011533146 | 2.0174878 | 0.00585 |
7.2 | 9.768808E-6 | 1.0504126E-5 | 3.1050097E-4 | 29.559904 | 3.0E-4 | 4.186565E-5 | 4.501693E-5 | 0.0011149688 | 24.767765 | 0.00107 | 5.095951E-4 | 5.479468E-4 | 0.0035662919 | 6.5084643 | 0.00302 | 0.0050842804 | 0.0055068643 | 0.011195365 | 2.0329835 | 0.00572 |
7.3 | 9.344516E-6 | 9.949663E-6 | 2.9994678E-4 | 30.146425 | 2.9E-4 | 4.004731E-5 | 4.2640735E-5 | 0.0010725968 | 25.154276 | 0.00103 | 4.8746695E-4 | 5.190307E-4 | 0.0032676035 | 6.2955875 | 0.00275 | 0.0048639905 | 0.0052184924 | 0.010490834 | 2.010319 | 0.0053 |
7.4 | 9.023491E-6 | 9.495737E-6 | 2.8949307E-4 | 30.486635 | 2.8E-4 | 3.867153E-5 | 4.06954E-5 | 9.6065796E-4 | 23.606058 | 9.2E-4 | 4.7072413E-4 | 4.953572E-4 | 0.0029741288 | 6.0040083 | 0.00248 | 0.004697283 | 0.004981849 | 0.009708185 | 1.9487113 | 0.00475 |
7.5 | 7.081253E-6 | 7.092118E-6 | 1.5709105E-4 | 22.150091 | 1.5E-4 | 3.0347876E-5 | 3.039444E-5 | 4.503817E-4 | 14.817897 | 4.2E-4 | 3.6942272E-4 | 3.6999022E-4 | 0.00155955 | 4.2151113 | 0.00119 | 0.003688092 | 0.0037269893 | 0.0061479327 | 1.6495708 | 0.00243 |
7.6 | 6.116396E-6 | 5.963429E-6 | 8.596295E-5 | 14.415021 | 8.0E-5 | 2.6212863E-5 | 2.5557305E-5 | 2.255522E-4 | 8.825352 | 2.0E-4 | 3.1909486E-4 | 3.1111602E-4 | 0.0010208951 | 3.2813969 | 7.1E-4 | 0.0031863707 | 0.0031383191 | 0.004623643 | 1.4732865 | 0.00149 |
7.7 | 4.797145E-6 | 4.761347E-6 | 7.476101E-5 | 15.701652 | 7.0E-5 | 2.055903E-5 | 2.0405614E-5 | 1.4040316E-4 | 6.8806143 | 1.2E-4 | 2.5027743E-4 | 2.4841016E-4 | 6.283158E-4 | 2.5293481 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0024999576 | 0.002511444 | 0.0033493345 | 1.3336289 | 8.4E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4028885E-6 | 3.9821743E-6 | 5.3981974E-5 | 13.555904 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4583726E-5 | 1.706635E-5 | 1.07064814E-4 | 6.273445 | 9.0E-5 | 1.775424E-4 | 2.0776308E-4 | 4.4771322E-4 | 2.154922 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0017740062 | 0.0021031138 | 0.002661936 | 1.2657119 | 5.6E-4 |
7.9 | 2.5928412E-6 | 3.3756291E-6 | 3.3375527E-5 | 9.887202 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1112129E-5 | 1.4466903E-5 | 7.4466036E-5 | 5.147338 | 6.0E-5 | 1.3528178E-4 | 1.7612036E-4 | 3.4609044E-4 | 1.965079 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0013519945 | 0.0017828477 | 0.002202099 | 1.2351582 | 4.2E-4 |
8.0 | 1.3743648E-6 | 1.6749206E-6 | 2.1674887E-5 | 12.940845 | 2.0E-5 | 5.8901214E-6 | 7.1782115E-6 | 3.7177997E-5 | 5.179284 | 3.0E-5 | 7.1709874E-5 | 8.739125E-5 | 1.5738513E-4 | 1.8009255 | 7.0E-5 | 7.1686733E-4 | 8.844336E-4 | 0.0010442921 | 1.1807467 | 1.6E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.151542E-7 | 3.151542E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3506603E-6 | 1.3506603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6444183E-5 | 2.6444017E-5 | 1.6081078 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6648557E-4 | 2.064789E-4 | 1.240221 | 4.0E-5 |
Ash Hill
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3195107E-5 | 2.4319E-4 | 10.484539 | 2.2E-4 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.9404264E-5 | 9.593188E-4 | 9.650681 | 8.6E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.001209655 | 0.00461553 | 3.8155756 | 0.00341 | 0.011179381 | 0.012038689 | 0.018598752 | 1.5449151 | 0.00664 |
6.1 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3195107E-5 | 2.4319E-4 | 10.484539 | 2.2E-4 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.9404264E-5 | 9.593188E-4 | 9.650681 | 8.6E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.001209655 | 0.00461553 | 3.8155756 | 0.00341 | 0.011179381 | 0.012038689 | 0.018598752 | 1.5449151 | 0.00664 |
6.2 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3195107E-5 | 2.4319E-4 | 10.484539 | 2.2E-4 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.9404264E-5 | 9.593188E-4 | 9.650681 | 8.6E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.001209655 | 0.00461553 | 3.8155756 | 0.00341 | 0.011179381 | 0.012038689 | 0.018598752 | 1.5449151 | 0.00664 |
6.3 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.07472215E-5 | 8.074647E-5 | 7.5132413 | 7.0E-5 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.6058783E-5 | 3.560445E-4 | 7.73022 | 3.1E-4 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.6063465E-4 | 0.0019098778 | 3.4066355 | 0.00135 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055935155 | 0.008258525 | 1.4764463 | 0.00268 |
6.4 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.07472215E-5 | 8.074647E-5 | 7.5132413 | 7.0E-5 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.6058783E-5 | 3.560445E-4 | 7.73022 | 3.1E-4 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.6063465E-4 | 0.0019098778 | 3.4066355 | 0.00135 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055935155 | 0.008258525 | 1.4764463 | 0.00268 |
6.5 | 6.9617327E-6 | 7.456831E-6 | 6.7456385E-5 | 9.046253 | 6.0E-5 | 2.9835655E-5 | 3.1957505E-5 | 2.5195046E-4 | 7.883922 | 2.2E-4 | 3.6318856E-4 | 3.8902182E-4 | 0.0013386522 | 3.4410725 | 9.5E-4 | 0.0036259557 | 0.0038842626 | 0.0057071545 | 1.4693019 | 0.00183 |
6.6 | 4.9919777E-6 | 5.3468293E-6 | 3.5346668E-5 | 6.6107717 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1394015E-5 | 2.2914819E-5 | 1.9291093E-4 | 8.41861 | 1.7E-4 | 2.60441E-4 | 2.789589E-4 | 0.0010287497 | 3.687818 | 7.5E-4 | 0.0026013597 | 0.002786746 | 0.00411304 | 1.4759291 | 0.00133 |
6.7 | 3.6630722E-6 | 3.924728E-6 | 1.3924689E-5 | 3.5479374 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5698786E-5 | 1.6820186E-5 | 1.2681834E-4 | 7.5396514 | 1.1E-4 | 1.9111596E-4 | 2.0477225E-4 | 7.1466784E-4 | 3.4900618 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0019095168 | 0.0020463988 | 0.0029345774 | 1.4340204 | 8.9E-4 |
6.8 | 2.5599613E-6 | 2.7449987E-6 | 2.7449987E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0971216E-5 | 1.1764255E-5 | 9.1763315E-5 | 7.8001804 | 8.0E-5 | 1.3356637E-4 | 1.4322533E-4 | 4.8317664E-4 | 3.3735416 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0013348613 | 0.0014318153 | 0.002070899 | 1.446345 | 6.4E-4 |
6.9 | 1.7684905E-6 | 1.8969218E-6 | 1.8969218E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.579223E-6 | 8.129665E-6 | 6.812918E-5 | 8.380318 | 6.0E-5 | 9.2273134E-5 | 9.897867E-5 | 3.4895394E-4 | 3.5255466 | 2.5E-4 | 9.223483E-4 | 9.897867E-4 | 0.0014593216 | 1.4743798 | 4.7E-4 |
Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.45738E-5 | 3.145596E-4 | 5.763931 | 2.6E-4 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3386745E-4 | 9.936898E-4 | 4.2489443 | 7.6E-4 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028437988 | 0.00591504 | 2.0799782 | 0.00308 | 0.023260195 | 0.028094428 | 0.033818953 | 1.2037601 | 0.00589 |
6.1 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.45738E-5 | 3.145596E-4 | 5.763931 | 2.6E-4 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3386745E-4 | 9.936898E-4 | 4.2489443 | 7.6E-4 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028437988 | 0.00591504 | 2.0799782 | 0.00308 | 0.023260195 | 0.028094428 | 0.033818953 | 1.2037601 | 0.00589 |
6.2 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.706679E-5 | 3.0705455E-4 | 6.5238047 | 2.6E-4 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.016996E-4 | 9.615463E-4 | 4.7672195 | 7.6E-4 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024530634 | 0.0055155326 | 2.2484264 | 0.00307 | 0.020330196 | 0.024275579 | 0.029993324 | 1.2355349 | 0.00586 |
6.3 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.706679E-5 | 3.0705455E-4 | 6.5238047 | 2.6E-4 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.016996E-4 | 9.615463E-4 | 4.7672195 | 7.6E-4 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024530634 | 0.0055155326 | 2.2484264 | 0.00307 | 0.020330196 | 0.024275579 | 0.029993324 | 1.2355349 | 0.00586 |
6.4 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.7954203E-5 | 2.9794432E-4 | 7.850101 | 2.6E-4 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6265111E-4 | 9.225275E-4 | 5.6718183 | 7.6E-4 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0019785473 | 0.005032493 | 2.5435293 | 0.00306 | 0.016718714 | 0.019618029 | 0.025333654 | 1.2913456 | 0.00583 |
6.5 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.7954203E-5 | 2.9794432E-4 | 7.850101 | 2.6E-4 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6265111E-4 | 9.225275E-4 | 5.6718183 | 7.6E-4 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0019785473 | 0.005032493 | 2.5435293 | 0.00306 | 0.016718714 | 0.019618029 | 0.025333654 | 1.2913456 | 0.00583 |
6.6 | 2.9305844E-5 | 3.418469E-5 | 2.941758E-4 | 8.605484 | 2.6E-4 | 1.2559042E-4 | 1.464979E-4 | 9.063866E-4 | 6.1870275 | 7.6E-4 | 0.0015279909 | 0.0017822147 | 0.004836761 | 2.7139049 | 0.00306 | 0.015175272 | 0.017687056 | 0.023404118 | 1.3232342 | 0.00582 |
6.7 | 2.7826512E-5 | 3.2346918E-5 | 2.9233852E-4 | 9.0376005 | 2.6E-4 | 1.19251024E-4 | 1.3862262E-4 | 8.9851726E-4 | 6.481751 | 7.6E-4 | 0.0014509142 | 0.001686484 | 0.004741323 | 2.8113658 | 0.00306 | 0.014414776 | 0.016744466 | 0.02244735 | 1.3405831 | 0.0058 |
6.8 | 2.3389874E-5 | 2.6868876E-5 | 2.8686188E-4 | 10.676364 | 2.6E-4 | 1.0023846E-4 | 1.1514751E-4 | 8.7506E-4 | 7.5994697 | 7.6E-4 | 0.00121972 | 0.0014010667 | 0.0044467933 | 3.1738627 | 0.00305 | 0.01213047 | 0.013928471 | 0.019618103 | 1.4084893 | 0.00577 |
6.9 | 2.069209E-5 | 2.3571922E-5 | 2.8356578E-4 | 12.029812 | 2.6E-4 | 8.867737E-5 | 1.0101881E-4 | 8.6094206E-4 | 8.522591 | 7.6E-4 | 0.0010791123 | 0.0012292463 | 0.0042655095 | 3.47002 | 0.00304 | 0.010738871 | 0.012229422 | 0.01791898 | 1.4652352 | 0.00576 |
7.0 | 1.7462342E-5 | 1.9635116E-5 | 2.7963E-4 | 14.2413225 | 2.6E-4 | 7.483646E-5 | 8.414791E-5 | 8.4408396E-4 | 10.030956 | 7.6E-4 | 9.1075303E-4 | 0.0010240419 | 0.0040609287 | 3.9655886 | 0.00304 | 0.009070295 | 0.010196787 | 0.01586836 | 1.5562117 | 0.00573 |
7.1 | 1.4807709E-5 | 1.6443078E-5 | 2.764388E-4 | 16.811863 | 2.6E-4 | 6.3460066E-5 | 7.046853E-5 | 8.30415E-4 | 11.784196 | 7.6E-4 | 7.723524E-4 | 8.5763313E-4 | 0.003875043 | 4.518299 | 0.00302 | 0.007696735 | 0.008546143 | 0.014197431 | 1.6612675 | 0.0057 |
7.2 | 1.4180048E-5 | 1.5699616E-5 | 2.7569552E-4 | 17.560656 | 2.6E-4 | 6.077022E-5 | 6.728242E-5 | 8.2723127E-4 | 12.2949095 | 7.6E-4 | 7.396263E-4 | 8.1887183E-4 | 0.003836399 | 4.684981 | 0.00302 | 0.0073716943 | 0.008161419 | 0.013814898 | 1.692708 | 0.0057 |
7.3 | 1.3730402E-5 | 1.5173319E-5 | 2.7516938E-4 | 18.13508 | 2.6E-4 | 5.8843252E-5 | 6.502698E-5 | 8.249776E-4 | 12.686696 | 7.6E-4 | 7.161811E-4 | 7.91432E-4 | 0.0038090418 | 4.812848 | 0.00302 | 0.007138774 | 0.00788899 | 0.013544023 | 1.716826 | 0.0057 |
7.4 | 1.2810095E-5 | 1.4110458E-5 | 2.741068E-4 | 19.425789 | 2.6E-4 | 5.489925E-5 | 6.047208E-5 | 8.204261E-4 | 13.567023 | 7.6E-4 | 6.681934E-4 | 7.360147E-4 | 0.0037437992 | 5.086582 | 0.00301 | 0.006661878 | 0.0073385886 | 0.012966978 | 1.7669581 | 0.00567 |
7.5 | 1.1595659E-5 | 1.2801718E-5 | 2.7279838E-4 | 21.309513 | 2.6E-4 | 4.9694736E-5 | 5.486344E-5 | 7.848234E-4 | 14.305034 | 7.3E-4 | 6.0486543E-4 | 6.6777336E-4 | 0.0036058102 | 5.399751 | 0.00294 | 0.006032217 | 0.006660462 | 0.012143696 | 1.8232514 | 0.00552 |
7.6 | 2.997694E-6 | 3.3256017E-6 | 1.3332517E-4 | 40.09054 | 1.3E-4 | 1.28471975E-5 | 1.4252541E-5 | 2.842487E-4 | 19.94372 | 2.7E-4 | 1.564034E-4 | 1.7351816E-4 | 0.0015132857 | 8.721194 | 0.00134 | 0.0015629337 | 0.0017351815 | 0.00418093 | 2.409506 | 0.00245 |
Blackwater
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.3096807E-5 | 1.8309183E-4 | 5.5320096 | 1.5E-4 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4183651E-4 | 8.1174145E-4 | 5.7230783 | 6.7E-4 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017256284 | 0.004311159 | 2.4983125 | 0.00259 | 0.015895851 | 0.017136125 | 0.022345304 | 1.3039881 | 0.0053 |
6.1 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.3096807E-5 | 1.8309183E-4 | 5.5320096 | 1.5E-4 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4183651E-4 | 8.1174145E-4 | 5.7230783 | 6.7E-4 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017256284 | 0.004311159 | 2.4983125 | 0.00259 | 0.015895851 | 0.017136125 | 0.022345304 | 1.3039881 | 0.0053 |
6.2 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2545455E-5 | 5.2544954E-5 | 4.1883655 | 4.0E-5 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.3765183E-5 | 2.8375283E-4 | 5.2776313 | 2.3E-4 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.5440417E-4 | 0.0016237694 | 2.4812944 | 9.7E-4 | 0.006090366 | 0.0065257424 | 0.008502756 | 1.3029561 | 0.00199 |
6.3 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2545455E-5 | 5.2544954E-5 | 4.1883655 | 4.0E-5 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.3765183E-5 | 2.8375283E-4 | 5.2776313 | 2.3E-4 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.5440417E-4 | 0.0016237694 | 2.4812944 | 9.7E-4 | 0.006090366 | 0.0065257424 | 0.008502756 | 1.3029561 | 0.00199 |
6.4 | 7.929244E-6 | 8.480317E-6 | 1.8480232E-5 | 2.179191 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3982033E-5 | 3.6343732E-5 | 1.7633864E-4 | 4.851969 | 1.4E-4 | 4.136527E-4 | 4.4239915E-4 | 0.0010121469 | 2.2878592 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0041288356 | 0.00441559 | 0.005600335 | 1.2683097 | 0.00119 |
6.5 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.286151E-6 | 1.6286089E-5 | 2.5907886 | 1.0E-5 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6940383E-5 | 1.1693796E-4 | 4.34062 | 9.0E-5 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.2795232E-4 | 6.878343E-4 | 2.0973606 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0030650778 | 0.003274937 | 0.004072317 | 1.2434795 | 8.0E-4 |
6.6 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.286151E-6 | 1.6286089E-5 | 2.5907886 | 1.0E-5 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6940383E-5 | 1.1693796E-4 | 4.34062 | 9.0E-5 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.2795232E-4 | 6.878343E-4 | 2.0973606 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0030650778 | 0.003274937 | 0.004072317 | 1.2434795 | 8.0E-4 |
6.7 | 3.0715053E-6 | 3.2815494E-6 | 3.2815494E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3163528E-5 | 1.4063714E-5 | 6.406301E-5 | 4.5551987 | 5.0E-5 | 1.6025416E-4 | 1.7121343E-4 | 3.8117747E-4 | 2.2263293 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0016013865 | 0.0017109298 | 0.002150177 | 1.2567301 | 4.4E-4 |
6.8 | 2.2722281E-6 | 2.4288158E-6 | 2.4288158E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738084E-6 | 1.0409174E-5 | 6.0408653E-5 | 5.803405 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1855473E-4 | 1.2672524E-4 | 3.0670242E-4 | 2.4202158 | 1.8E-4 | 0.001184915 | 0.00126662 | 0.0015762274 | 1.2444359 | 3.1E-4 |
6.9 | 9.952399E-7 | 1.0653768E-6 | 1.0653768E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.265307E-6 | 4.5658953E-6 | 3.4565757E-5 | 7.570423 | 3.0E-5 | 5.1928873E-5 | 5.5588873E-5 | 1.4558386E-4 | 2.6189392 | 9.0E-5 | 5.191674E-4 | 5.558003E-4 | 6.757336E-4 | 1.2157849 | 1.2E-4 |
7.0 | 4.7385504E-7 | 5.075694E-7 | 5.075694E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0308057E-6 | 2.1752971E-6 | 1.21752755E-5 | 5.597063 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4724779E-5 | 2.6484244E-5 | 8.648266E-5 | 3.2654378 | 6.0E-5 | 2.4722028E-4 | 2.6484244E-4 | 3.4482125E-4 | 1.3019863 | 8.0E-5 |
Garlock (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.5181727E-5 | 2.5210535E-5 | 2.252055E-4 | 8.932992 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0791722E-4 | 1.08040695E-4 | 7.079759E-4 | 6.552863 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0013131002 | 0.0013146051 | 0.0034318182 | 2.6105316 | 0.00212 | 0.013053683 | 0.013149275 | 0.017422339 | 1.3249657 | 0.00433 |
6.1 | 2.5077732E-5 | 2.5111574E-5 | 2.2510655E-4 | 8.964255 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0747157E-4 | 1.0761661E-4 | 7.07552E-4 | 6.5747476 | 6.0E-4 | 0.001307681 | 0.0013094482 | 0.0034266722 | 2.6168826 | 0.00212 | 0.013000126 | 0.013098315 | 0.0173716 | 1.3262469 | 0.00433 |
6.2 | 2.494612E-5 | 2.499326E-5 | 2.2498827E-4 | 9.001958 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0690756E-4 | 1.0710959E-4 | 7.070453E-4 | 6.601139 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0013008224 | 0.0013032826 | 0.0034205196 | 2.6245418 | 0.00212 | 0.012932341 | 0.0130373845 | 0.017310932 | 1.3277918 | 0.00433 |
6.3 | 2.4733758E-5 | 2.4812616E-5 | 2.2480765E-4 | 9.060216 | 2.0E-4 | 1.0599751E-4 | 1.06335465E-4 | 7.062717E-4 | 6.64192 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0012897556 | 0.0012938689 | 0.0034111259 | 2.6363769 | 0.00212 | 0.012822957 | 0.012944347 | 0.0172183 | 1.330179 | 0.00433 |
6.4 | 2.3237335E-5 | 2.3191857E-5 | 2.2318722E-4 | 9.623517 | 2.0E-4 | 9.958477E-5 | 9.93899E-5 | 6.993303E-4 | 7.0362306 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0012117702 | 0.0012094032 | 0.003326839 | 2.7508109 | 0.00212 | 0.012051838 | 0.012109167 | 0.016366977 | 1.3516186 | 0.00431 |
6.5 | 2.2732203E-5 | 2.3006221E-5 | 2.2300163E-4 | 9.693101 | 2.0E-4 | 9.742009E-5 | 9.859438E-5 | 6.9853524E-4 | 7.0849395 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0011854442 | 0.0011997283 | 0.003317185 | 2.7649467 | 0.00212 | 0.011791403 | 0.01201347 | 0.016271692 | 1.3544539 | 0.00431 |
6.6 | 2.1319436E-5 | 2.1786385E-5 | 2.2178203E-4 | 10.179845 | 2.0E-4 | 9.136581E-5 | 9.336689E-5 | 6.9331087E-4 | 7.4256606 | 6.0E-4 | 0.001111811 | 0.0011361515 | 0.0032537428 | 2.8638284 | 0.00212 | 0.011062649 | 0.01138436 | 0.015635407 | 1.3734112 | 0.0043 |
6.7 | 1.970802E-5 | 2.0406165E-5 | 2.2040209E-4 | 10.800759 | 2.0E-4 | 8.446021E-5 | 8.745208E-5 | 6.873996E-4 | 7.8603005 | 6.0E-4 | 0.001027818 | 0.0010642107 | 0.0031819546 | 2.9899669 | 0.00212 | 0.010230771 | 0.010672042 | 0.014926152 | 1.3986219 | 0.0043 |
6.8 | 1.8744462E-5 | 1.9913774E-5 | 2.199098E-4 | 11.043099 | 2.0E-4 | 8.033094E-5 | 8.534196E-5 | 6.852908E-4 | 8.029939 | 6.0E-4 | 9.775903E-4 | 0.0010385448 | 0.0031463534 | 3.029579 | 0.00211 | 0.009733009 | 0.010417813 | 0.014653225 | 1.4065548 | 0.00428 |
6.9 | 1.7559682E-5 | 1.8966059E-5 | 2.1896226E-4 | 11.544953 | 2.0E-4 | 7.5253614E-5 | 8.128059E-5 | 6.8123185E-4 | 8.381236 | 6.0E-4 | 9.158276E-4 | 9.891433E-4 | 0.003087066 | 3.1209493 | 0.0021 | 0.0091206245 | 0.009928336 | 0.014155943 | 1.4258121 | 0.00427 |
7.0 | 1.6794445E-5 | 1.822878E-5 | 2.0822532E-4 | 11.422888 | 1.9E-4 | 7.197421E-5 | 7.812102E-5 | 6.6807494E-4 | 8.551795 | 5.9E-4 | 8.759337E-4 | 9.5070974E-4 | 0.0030287323 | 3.1857593 | 0.00208 | 0.008724891 | 0.00954723 | 0.013756654 | 1.4409053 | 0.00425 |
7.1 | 1.6337795E-5 | 1.7729513E-5 | 2.0772615E-4 | 11.716405 | 1.9E-4 | 7.0017246E-5 | 7.598142E-5 | 6.659366E-4 | 8.764466 | 5.9E-4 | 8.521265E-4 | 9.2468254E-4 | 0.0029927683 | 3.2365363 | 0.00207 | 0.008488664 | 0.0092889285 | 0.013489543 | 1.4522173 | 0.00424 |
7.2 | 1.5780008E-5 | 1.7178098E-5 | 2.0717483E-4 | 12.060406 | 1.9E-4 | 6.762685E-5 | 7.361835E-5 | 6.635749E-4 | 9.013716 | 5.9E-4 | 8.2304585E-4 | 8.9593616E-4 | 0.0029341085 | 3.274908 | 0.00204 | 0.008200042 | 0.009003745 | 0.01315602 | 1.4611719 | 0.00419 |
7.3 | 1.5058865E-5 | 1.6631084E-5 | 2.0662793E-4 | 12.424201 | 1.9E-4 | 6.45364E-5 | 7.127413E-5 | 6.612321E-4 | 9.277308 | 5.9E-4 | 7.854473E-4 | 8.674183E-4 | 0.0028956574 | 3.338248 | 0.00203 | 0.00782677 | 0.008720401 | 0.012824299 | 1.4706088 | 0.00414 |
7.4 | 1.4887923E-5 | 1.6467015E-5 | 1.9646405E-4 | 11.930763 | 1.8E-4 | 6.380382E-5 | 7.057102E-5 | 6.405308E-4 | 9.076401 | 5.7E-4 | 7.7653467E-4 | 8.5886463E-4 | 0.0028271726 | 3.291756 | 0.00197 | 0.0077382675 | 0.0086352015 | 0.012650229 | 1.4649605 | 0.00405 |
7.5 | 1.4509299E-5 | 1.6058939E-5 | 1.6605653E-4 | 10.340442 | 1.5E-4 | 6.218123E-5 | 6.882221E-5 | 5.8878644E-4 | 8.55518 | 5.2E-4 | 7.567935E-4 | 8.3758956E-4 | 0.0026760483 | 3.19494 | 0.00184 | 0.0075422134 | 0.008423428 | 0.012161672 | 1.4437913 | 0.00377 |
7.6 | 1.2756717E-5 | 1.4062509E-5 | 9.406138E-5 | 6.688805 | 8.0E-5 | 5.4670498E-5 | 6.0266506E-5 | 3.4024962E-4 | 5.64575 | 2.8E-4 | 6.6541E-4 | 7.3349837E-4 | 0.0019526035 | 2.6620421 | 0.00122 | 0.006634211 | 0.0073880637 | 0.009849741 | 1.3331965 | 0.00248 |
7.7 | 1.0328985E-5 | 1.1471553E-5 | 8.147075E-5 | 7.1019807 | 7.0E-5 | 4.4266326E-5 | 4.9162878E-5 | 2.0915501E-4 | 4.2543283 | 1.6E-4 | 5.388092E-4 | 5.98394E-4 | 0.0013279573 | 2.219202 | 7.3E-4 | 0.0053750467 | 0.006044335 | 0.0075452086 | 1.2483107 | 0.00151 |
7.8 | 7.0306583E-6 | 8.908521E-6 | 5.8908074E-5 | 6.6125546 | 5.0E-5 | 3.0131043E-5 | 3.8178816E-5 | 1.5817424E-4 | 4.1429844 | 1.2E-4 | 3.667837E-4 | 4.647281E-4 | 9.1451895E-4 | 1.9678582 | 4.5E-4 | 0.003661789 | 0.0047000255 | 0.0057251845 | 1.2181177 | 0.00103 |
7.9 | 4.060633E-6 | 5.4706466E-6 | 3.5470483E-5 | 6.4837823 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7402595E-5 | 2.3445418E-5 | 1.0344354E-4 | 4.412101 | 8.0E-5 | 2.11856E-4 | 2.8541067E-4 | 5.553336E-4 | 1.9457352 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0021165414 | 0.0028871417 | 0.0035552073 | 1.2313935 | 6.7E-4 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.0792806E-6 | 2.2079239E-5 | 10.618691 | 2.0E-5 | 7.169782E-6 | 8.911173E-6 | 3.8910905E-5 | 4.3665304 | 3.0E-5 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.0848816E-4 | 2.0847732E-4 | 1.9216596 | 1.0E-4 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.001098096 | 0.0013478214 | 1.2274168 | 2.5E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.151542E-7 | 3.151542E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3506603E-6 | 1.3506603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6444183E-5 | 2.6444017E-5 | 1.6081078 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6648557E-4 | 2.064789E-4 | 1.240221 | 4.0E-5 |
McLean Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7360222E-5 | 1.850208E-5 | 9.85006E-5 | 5.323758 | 8.0E-5 | 7.439883E-5 | 7.929249E-5 | 4.4926314E-4 | 5.665898 | 3.7E-4 | 9.0542925E-4 | 9.650072E-4 | 0.0024835404 | 2.573598 | 0.00152 | 0.009017491 | 0.009613009 | 0.012950613 | 1.3471966 | 0.00337 |
6.1 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.5924015E-6 | 6.959183E-5 | 7.2548904 | 6.0E-5 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.1109695E-5 | 2.5110107E-4 | 6.1080737 | 2.1E-4 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.004045E-4 | 0.0013899591 | 2.777671 | 8.9E-4 | 0.0047176396 | 0.00499366 | 0.0069538224 | 1.3925302 | 0.00197 |
6.2 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.5924015E-6 | 6.959183E-5 | 7.2548904 | 6.0E-5 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.1109695E-5 | 2.5110107E-4 | 6.1080737 | 2.1E-4 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.004045E-4 | 0.0013899591 | 2.777671 | 8.9E-4 | 0.0047176396 | 0.00499366 | 0.0069538224 | 1.3925302 | 0.00197 |
6.3 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.667871E-6 | 5.7667487E-5 | 7.520665 | 5.0E-5 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.2861928E-5 | 2.0285635E-4 | 6.17299 | 1.7E-4 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0002767E-4 | 0.0010997476 | 2.7491791 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0037797375 | 0.0039937804 | 0.00553759 | 1.3865534 | 0.00155 |
6.4 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.667871E-6 | 5.7667487E-5 | 7.520665 | 5.0E-5 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.2861928E-5 | 2.0285635E-4 | 6.17299 | 1.7E-4 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0002767E-4 | 0.0010997476 | 2.7491791 | 7.0E-4 | 0.0037797375 | 0.0039937804 | 0.00553759 | 1.3865534 | 0.00155 |
6.5 | 6.06582E-6 | 6.4040096E-6 | 5.640369E-5 | 8.807558 | 5.0E-5 | 2.5996113E-5 | 2.7445503E-5 | 1.5744193E-4 | 5.7365294 | 1.3E-4 | 3.164567E-4 | 3.3410426E-4 | 9.039138E-4 | 2.7054844 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0031600643 | 0.0033366582 | 0.0046024206 | 1.3793503 | 0.00127 |
6.6 | 5.598744E-6 | 5.9103845E-6 | 3.591021E-5 | 6.075782 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3994397E-5 | 2.533001E-5 | 1.2532748E-4 | 4.9477863 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9209262E-4 | 3.083556E-4 | 8.181984E-4 | 2.6534245 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0029170897 | 0.0030799068 | 0.0042263647 | 1.3722379 | 0.00115 |
6.7 | 5.246996E-6 | 5.5392766E-6 | 2.5539166E-5 | 4.6105595 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2486933E-5 | 2.3739578E-5 | 1.1373744E-4 | 4.7910476 | 9.0E-5 | 2.73744E-4 | 2.8899737E-4 | 7.4886443E-4 | 2.59125 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0027340704 | 0.0028868392 | 0.0039637215 | 1.3730316 | 0.00108 |
6.8 | 4.02324E-6 | 4.2469924E-6 | 2.4246907E-5 | 5.709195 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7242342E-5 | 1.8201301E-5 | 1.0819967E-4 | 5.944611 | 9.0E-5 | 2.099053E-4 | 2.2158427E-4 | 5.815045E-4 | 2.624304 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0020970714 | 0.0022142178 | 0.0030922692 | 1.3965516 | 8.8E-4 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.140046E-7 | 7.140046E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.060018E-6 | 3.060018E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.7255402E-5 | 7.725391E-5 | 2.0736299 | 4.0E-5 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.725228E-4 | 4.8248185E-4 | 1.2951739 | 1.1E-4 |
Gravel Hills-Harper Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.1466134E-5 | 1.8146141E-4 | 5.7668796 | 1.5E-4 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3484912E-4 | 5.3479517E-4 | 3.9658782 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0015995599 | 0.0016407686 | 0.0029985372 | 1.8275199 | 0.00136 | 0.015880952 | 0.016308114 | 0.019141147 | 1.1737192 | 0.00288 |
6.1 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.1466134E-5 | 1.8146141E-4 | 5.7668796 | 1.5E-4 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3484912E-4 | 5.3479517E-4 | 3.9658782 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0015995599 | 0.0016407686 | 0.0029985372 | 1.8275199 | 0.00136 | 0.015880952 | 0.016308114 | 0.019141147 | 1.1737192 | 0.00288 |
6.2 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.363572E-5 | 5.3635173E-5 | 3.9334319 | 4.0E-5 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.8437556E-5 | 1.9842938E-4 | 3.3955796 | 1.4E-4 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.112569E-4 | 0.0010510151 | 1.477687 | 3.4E-4 | 0.007871548 | 0.0070910063 | 0.0078654755 | 1.1092185 | 7.8E-4 |
6.3 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.363572E-5 | 5.3635173E-5 | 3.9334319 | 4.0E-5 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.8437556E-5 | 1.9842938E-4 | 3.3955796 | 1.4E-4 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.112569E-4 | 0.0010510151 | 1.477687 | 3.4E-4 | 0.007871548 | 0.0070910063 | 0.0078654755 | 1.1092185 | 7.8E-4 |
6.4 | 1.2532521E-5 | 1.0690063E-5 | 2.0689957E-5 | 1.9354382 | 1.0E-5 | 5.37097E-5 | 4.5813784E-5 | 1.2581013E-4 | 2.7461193 | 8.0E-5 | 6.537194E-4 | 5.576459E-4 | 7.4754E-4 | 1.340528 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0065179965 | 0.005563056 | 0.006020497 | 1.0822283 | 4.6E-4 |
6.5 | 1.1094058E-5 | 9.083966E-6 | 1.9083875E-5 | 2.1008308 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7545094E-5 | 3.8930724E-5 | 1.08928E-4 | 2.7979956 | 7.0E-5 | 5.787078E-4 | 4.7388254E-4 | 5.9382565E-4 | 1.2531073 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0057720304 | 0.0047291275 | 0.0050575673 | 1.0694503 | 3.3E-4 |
6.6 | 9.688328E-6 | 7.5319376E-6 | 7.5319376E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1520743E-5 | 3.2279346E-5 | 8.227774E-5 | 2.548928 | 5.0E-5 | 5.053978E-4 | 3.9293274E-4 | 4.729013E-4 | 1.2035172 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0050424994 | 0.0039226366 | 0.0041318126 | 1.0533254 | 2.1E-4 |
6.7 | 8.974824E-6 | 6.7496276E-6 | 6.7496276E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8462964E-5 | 2.8926666E-5 | 4.892609E-5 | 1.6913836 | 2.0E-5 | 4.6818596E-4 | 3.5212745E-4 | 4.0210984E-4 | 1.141944 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004672008 | 0.003515916 | 0.003645459 | 1.0368447 | 1.3E-4 |
6.8 | 7.4780046E-6 | 5.1163524E-6 | 5.1163524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.20482E-5 | 2.1927048E-5 | 2.1927048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9011694E-4 | 2.669305E-4 | 2.669305E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038943281 | 0.0026662368 | 0.0027061303 | 1.0149624 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.3409307E-6 | 3.907619E-6 | 3.907619E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7175134E-5 | 1.6746837E-5 | 1.6746837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3080703E-4 | 2.0387465E-4 | 2.0387465E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033031502 | 0.0020369743 | 0.0020569335 | 1.0097985 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.1239335E-6 | 2.6059402E-6 | 2.6059402E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.195953E-5 | 1.1168268E-5 | 1.1168268E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6732447E-4 | 1.3596544E-4 | 1.3596544E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026700313 | 0.0013588477 | 0.0013688342 | 1.0073491 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.438899E-6 | 2.0985462E-6 | 2.0985462E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9023713E-5 | 8.993739E-6 | 8.993739E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.315891E-4 | 1.094935E-4 | 1.094935E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002313479 | 0.0010944174 | 0.0011044064 | 1.0091273 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.50367E-6 | 1.2616241E-6 | 1.2616241E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5015643E-5 | 5.4069496E-6 | 5.4069496E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8280011E-4 | 6.5827706E-5 | 6.5827706E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264982 | 6.5809034E-4 | 6.5809034E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.561638E-6 | 7.119121E-7 | 7.119121E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0978401E-5 | 3.0510485E-6 | 3.0510485E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3365384E-4 | 3.7145903E-5 | 3.7145903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013357349 | 3.7139893E-4 | 3.7139893E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0368864E-6 | 5.304824E-7 | 5.304824E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.729483E-6 | 2.2734941E-6 | 2.2734941E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06276275E-4 | 2.7679444E-5 | 2.7679444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010622547 | 2.767605E-4 | 2.767605E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6030409E-7 | 3.6030409E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5441594E-6 | 1.5441594E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.8799983E-5 | 1.8799983E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.879844E-4 | 1.879844E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.119912E-8 | 7.119912E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.0513903E-7 | 3.0513903E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.715063E-6 | 3.715063E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.7150166E-5 | 3.7150166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Goldstone Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0377612E-5 | 9.037579E-5 | 2.9750788 | 6.0E-5 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3018437E-4 | 4.3014533E-4 | 3.3041239 | 3.0E-4 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015840388 | 0.0028320588 | 1.7878721 | 0.00125 | 0.013842222 | 0.015746979 | 0.018306037 | 1.162511 | 0.0026 |
6.1 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0377612E-5 | 9.037579E-5 | 2.9750788 | 6.0E-5 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3018437E-4 | 4.3014533E-4 | 3.3041239 | 3.0E-4 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015840388 | 0.0028320588 | 1.7878721 | 0.00125 | 0.013842222 | 0.015746979 | 0.018306037 | 1.162511 | 0.0026 |
6.2 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6097016E-5 | 4.6096535E-5 | 2.8636694 | 3.0E-5 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.8985944E-5 | 2.4897352E-4 | 3.6090472 | 1.8E-4 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.3967886E-4 | 0.0014891331 | 1.7734555 | 6.5E-4 | 0.007380498 | 0.008374759 | 0.009703537 | 1.1586646 | 0.00134 |
6.3 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6097016E-5 | 4.6096535E-5 | 2.8636694 | 3.0E-5 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.8985944E-5 | 2.4897352E-4 | 3.6090472 | 1.8E-4 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.3967886E-4 | 0.0014891331 | 1.7734555 | 6.5E-4 | 0.007380498 | 0.008374759 | 0.009703537 | 1.1586646 | 0.00134 |
6.4 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.5009176E-5 | 4.5008725E-5 | 2.9987473 | 3.0E-5 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.4324006E-5 | 2.4431242E-4 | 3.7981532 | 1.8E-4 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.8296143E-4 | 0.0014124681 | 1.8040074 | 6.3E-4 | 0.006884126 | 0.0078116558 | 0.009081657 | 1.1625777 | 0.00128 |
6.5 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.5009176E-5 | 4.5008725E-5 | 2.9987473 | 3.0E-5 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.4324006E-5 | 2.4431242E-4 | 3.7981532 | 1.8E-4 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.8296143E-4 | 0.0014124681 | 1.8040074 | 6.3E-4 | 0.006884126 | 0.0078116558 | 0.009081657 | 1.1625777 | 0.00128 |
6.6 | 1.1328278E-5 | 1.285578E-5 | 4.2855394E-5 | 3.3335505 | 3.0E-5 | 4.8548856E-5 | 5.5095577E-5 | 2.2508622E-4 | 4.085377 | 1.7E-4 | 5.90922E-4 | 6.706779E-4 | 0.0012303024 | 1.834416 | 5.6E-4 | 0.0058935313 | 0.0066959285 | 0.0077488306 | 1.1572452 | 0.00106 |
6.7 | 8.651175E-6 | 9.825031E-6 | 2.9824834E-5 | 3.035597 | 2.0E-5 | 3.707594E-5 | 4.2107105E-5 | 1.7210163E-4 | 4.087235 | 1.3E-4 | 4.5130608E-4 | 5.12624E-4 | 9.923779E-4 | 1.9358789 | 4.8E-4 | 0.0045039062 | 0.0051232944 | 0.0059291446 | 1.1572914 | 8.1E-4 |
6.8 | 1.0215377E-6 | 1.1755074E-6 | 1.1755074E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.378012E-6 | 5.03788E-6 | 5.03788E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3300988E-5 | 6.133458E-5 | 6.133458E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3288206E-4 | 6.1318773E-4 | 6.231816E-4 | 1.0162982 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.9360774E-7 | 9.2836905E-7 | 9.2836905E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4011714E-6 | 3.9787187E-6 | 3.9787187E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1408475E-5 | 4.84399E-5 | 4.84399E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.140076E-4 | 4.8430037E-4 | 4.8430037E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.4382757E-7 | 8.7476076E-7 | 8.7476076E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1878285E-6 | 3.7489697E-6 | 3.7489697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8811122E-5 | 4.5642817E-5 | 4.5642817E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8804344E-4 | 4.5634108E-4 | 4.5634108E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 6.4709513E-7 | 7.7115516E-7 | 7.7115516E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.773262E-6 | 3.3049469E-6 | 3.3049469E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.376394E-5 | 4.0237046E-5 | 4.0237046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.375881E-4 | 4.0230356E-4 | 4.0230356E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.356704E-7 | 7.588608E-7 | 7.588608E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7242988E-6 | 3.2522566E-6 | 3.2522566E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3167835E-5 | 3.9595565E-5 | 3.9595565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3162883E-4 | 3.9589105E-4 | 3.9589105E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.7695723E-7 | 6.8967967E-7 | 6.8967967E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4726714E-6 | 2.9557668E-6 | 2.9557668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0104358E-5 | 3.5985926E-5 | 3.5985926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0100282E-4 | 3.5980673E-4 | 3.5980673E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.209647E-7 | 6.193711E-7 | 6.193711E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.232704E-6 | 2.6544453E-6 | 2.6544453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.718283E-5 | 3.2317446E-5 | 3.2317446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7179506E-4 | 3.2313305E-4 | 3.2313305E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.512955E-7 | 5.3490527E-7 | 5.3490527E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.934122E-6 | 2.2924494E-6 | 2.2924494E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3547682E-5 | 2.791027E-5 | 2.791027E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3545188E-4 | 2.7907293E-4 | 2.7907293E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6040448E-7 | 2.6040448E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160188E-6 | 1.1160188E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587473E-5 | 1.3587473E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3586924E-4 | 1.3586924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
So Sierra Nevada
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079833E-5 | 9.1078946E-5 | 8.220246 | 8.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.74842E-5 | 3.4746996E-4 | 7.3175907 | 3.0E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779796E-4 | 0.0018072687 | 3.1268728 | 0.00123 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057660327 | 0.008360984 | 1.4500409 | 0.00261 |
6.1 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079833E-5 | 9.1078946E-5 | 8.220246 | 8.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.74842E-5 | 3.4746996E-4 | 7.3175907 | 3.0E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779796E-4 | 0.0018072687 | 3.1268728 | 0.00123 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057660327 | 0.008360984 | 1.4500409 | 0.00261 |
6.2 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079833E-5 | 9.1078946E-5 | 8.220246 | 8.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.74842E-5 | 3.4746996E-4 | 7.3175907 | 3.0E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779796E-4 | 0.0018072687 | 3.1268728 | 0.00123 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057660327 | 0.008360984 | 1.4500409 | 0.00261 |
6.3 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079833E-5 | 9.1078946E-5 | 8.220246 | 8.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.74842E-5 | 3.4746996E-4 | 7.3175907 | 3.0E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779796E-4 | 0.0018072687 | 3.1268728 | 0.00123 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057660327 | 0.008360984 | 1.4500409 | 0.00261 |
6.4 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079833E-5 | 9.1078946E-5 | 8.220246 | 8.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.74842E-5 | 3.4746996E-4 | 7.3175907 | 3.0E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779796E-4 | 0.0018072687 | 3.1268728 | 0.00123 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057660327 | 0.008360984 | 1.4500409 | 0.00261 |
6.5 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079833E-5 | 9.1078946E-5 | 8.220246 | 8.0E-5 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.74842E-5 | 3.4746996E-4 | 7.3175907 | 3.0E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779796E-4 | 0.0018072687 | 3.1268728 | 0.00123 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057660327 | 0.008360984 | 1.4500409 | 0.00261 |
6.6 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.9357543E-6 | 3.6935548E-5 | 5.3253827 | 3.0E-5 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.9724339E-5 | 2.1971868E-4 | 7.391878 | 1.9E-4 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.6183666E-4 | 0.0011215616 | 3.0996354 | 7.6E-4 | 0.003951 | 0.0036127667 | 0.0051770946 | 1.433 | 0.00157 |
6.7 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.9357543E-6 | 3.6935548E-5 | 5.3253827 | 3.0E-5 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.9724339E-5 | 2.1971868E-4 | 7.391878 | 1.9E-4 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.6183666E-4 | 0.0011215616 | 3.0996354 | 7.6E-4 | 0.003951 | 0.0036127667 | 0.0051770946 | 1.433 | 0.00157 |
6.8 | 5.9026956E-6 | 5.179484E-6 | 2.517938E-5 | 4.8613687 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5297022E-5 | 2.2197606E-5 | 1.621945E-4 | 7.3068466 | 1.4E-4 | 3.0794772E-4 | 2.702235E-4 | 8.000803E-4 | 2.9608095 | 5.3E-4 | 0.0030752132 | 0.0026990655 | 0.0037661775 | 1.3953636 | 0.00107 |
6.9 | 5.0118915E-6 | 4.2525025E-6 | 2.4252418E-5 | 5.703093 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1479358E-5 | 1.8224888E-5 | 1.4822252E-4 | 8.132973 | 1.3E-4 | 2.614798E-4 | 2.2186614E-4 | 6.317752E-4 | 2.847551 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0026117235 | 0.0022165189 | 0.0030347013 | 1.3691294 | 8.2E-4 |
7.0 | 4.4924795E-6 | 3.7139873E-6 | 2.3713914E-5 | 6.385028 | 2.0E-5 | 1.925334E-5 | 1.5916996E-5 | 1.2591525E-4 | 7.9107423 | 1.1E-4 | 2.3438422E-4 | 1.9377282E-4 | 5.237089E-4 | 2.7026954 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0023413717 | 0.0019361015 | 0.0026048042 | 1.3453863 | 6.7E-4 |
7.1 | 3.9118436E-6 | 3.1120383E-6 | 1.3112007E-5 | 4.213318 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6764936E-5 | 1.3337242E-5 | 1.0333604E-4 | 7.747932 | 9.0E-5 | 2.0409399E-4 | 1.623694E-4 | 4.3232556E-4 | 2.662605 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0020390663 | 0.0016225637 | 0.0022016226 | 1.356879 | 5.8E-4 |
7.2 | 3.4200818E-6 | 2.605508E-6 | 1.2605482E-5 | 4.838013 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4657411E-5 | 1.1166418E-5 | 9.116552E-5 | 8.164259 | 8.0E-5 | 1.7843937E-4 | 1.3594316E-4 | 3.459146E-4 | 2.5445533 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0017829615 | 0.0013586497 | 0.0018280111 | 1.3454617 | 4.7E-4 |
7.3 | 2.6593618E-6 | 1.8284632E-6 | 1.1828445E-5 | 6.4690638 | 1.0E-5 | 1.13972155E-5 | 7.836249E-6 | 8.783562E-5 | 11.208886 | 8.0E-5 | 1.3875226E-4 | 9.540244E-5 | 2.553872E-4 | 2.676946 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0013866565 | 9.536438E-4 | 0.0012833291 | 1.3457111 | 3.3E-4 |
7.4 | 2.2577992E-6 | 1.4364747E-6 | 1.143646E-5 | 7.9614773 | 1.0E-5 | 9.676246E-6 | 6.156307E-6 | 7.615588E-5 | 12.370383 | 7.0E-5 | 1.1780193E-4 | 7.4950716E-5 | 2.0494097E-4 | 2.734343 | 1.3E-4 | 0.001177395 | 7.492794E-4 | 0.001039062 | 1.3867486 | 2.9E-4 |
7.5 | 1.489319E-6 | 7.354184E-7 | 7.354184E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3827797E-6 | 3.1517893E-6 | 5.315163E-5 | 16.863955 | 5.0E-5 | 7.770758E-5 | 3.8372364E-5 | 1.283689E-4 | 3.345348 | 9.0E-5 | 7.7680405E-4 | 3.836578E-4 | 5.4359646E-4 | 1.4168783 | 1.6E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.6597958E-7 | 4.6597958E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.997054E-6 | 1.997054E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.4313862E-5 | 4.4313376E-5 | 1.822556 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.4311228E-4 | 2.9310014E-4 | 1.2056162 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.558045E-7 | 1.558045E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.677334E-7 | 6.677334E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.129625E-6 | 1.8129544E-5 | 2.230059 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.1293394E-5 | 9.129258E-5 | 1.1230012 | 1.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Mojave S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.748957E-4 | 7.24862E-4 | 1.0740355 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0028893324 | 0.0030787834 | 1.0655692 | 1.9E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.034579277 | 0.035419192 | 1.0242896 | 8.7E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28662172 | 0.28798428 | 1.0047538 | 0.00191 |
6.1 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.748957E-4 | 7.24862E-4 | 1.0740355 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0028893324 | 0.0030787834 | 1.0655692 | 1.9E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.034579277 | 0.035419192 | 1.0242896 | 8.7E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28662172 | 0.28798428 | 1.0047538 | 0.00191 |
6.2 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.748957E-4 | 7.24862E-4 | 1.0740355 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0028893324 | 0.0030787834 | 1.0655692 | 1.9E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.034579277 | 0.035419192 | 1.0242896 | 8.7E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28662172 | 0.28798428 | 1.0047538 | 0.00191 |
6.3 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.748957E-4 | 7.24862E-4 | 1.0740355 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0028893324 | 0.0030787834 | 1.0655692 | 1.9E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.034579277 | 0.035419192 | 1.0242896 | 8.7E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28662172 | 0.28798428 | 1.0047538 | 0.00191 |
6.4 | 1.9872203E-4 | 4.3206802E-4 | 4.8204642E-4 | 1.1156725 | 5.0E-5 | 8.5138786E-4 | 0.0018504342 | 0.0020101382 | 1.0863062 | 1.6E-4 | 0.010316478 | 0.022302449 | 0.023035722 | 1.0328786 | 7.5E-4 | 0.098504856 | 0.19704907 | 0.19838196 | 1.0067643 | 0.00166 |
6.5 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.8778714E-4 | 3.3777277E-4 | 1.1736895 | 5.0E-5 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012327933 | 0.0013826084 | 1.1215249 | 1.5E-4 | 0.006714592 | 0.014906792 | 0.015566804 | 1.044276 | 6.7E-4 | 0.065152965 | 0.13809098 | 0.139358 | 1.0091752 | 0.00147 |
6.6 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.8778714E-4 | 3.3777277E-4 | 1.1736895 | 5.0E-5 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012327933 | 0.0013826084 | 1.1215249 | 1.5E-4 | 0.006714592 | 0.014906792 | 0.015566804 | 1.044276 | 6.7E-4 | 0.065152965 | 0.13809098 | 0.139358 | 1.0091752 | 0.00147 |
6.7 | 1.08001186E-4 | 2.4359445E-4 | 2.9358227E-4 | 1.2052093 | 5.0E-5 | 4.6278012E-4 | 0.001043559 | 0.0011934026 | 1.1435889 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0056198016 | 0.012631616 | 0.013273405 | 1.0508082 | 6.5E-4 | 0.054797906 | 0.119271934 | 0.12051376 | 1.0104117 | 0.00141 |
6.8 | 1.0624356E-4 | 2.3877018E-4 | 2.8875825E-4 | 1.2093564 | 5.0E-5 | 4.5525006E-4 | 0.0010229 | 0.0011727465 | 1.1464919 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0055285925 | 0.012382968 | 0.01302492 | 1.0518415 | 6.5E-4 | 0.053930566 | 0.1172277 | 0.11846358 | 1.0105425 | 0.0014 |
6.9 | 1.0393785E-4 | 2.3247235E-4 | 2.824607E-4 | 1.2150294 | 5.0E-5 | 4.4537184E-4 | 9.9593E-4 | 0.0011357906 | 1.1404321 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0054089287 | 0.012058285 | 0.012690567 | 1.0524355 | 6.4E-4 | 0.05279156 | 0.114527784 | 0.11574974 | 1.0106695 | 0.00138 |
7.0 | 1.0155622E-4 | 2.2616629E-4 | 2.7615498E-4 | 1.2210263 | 5.0E-5 | 4.3516833E-4 | 9.6892443E-4 | 0.0011087888 | 1.1443502 | 1.4E-4 | 0.005285311 | 0.011733073 | 0.012365564 | 1.0539067 | 6.4E-4 | 0.05161361 | 0.11179186 | 0.1130087 | 1.0108849 | 0.00137 |
7.1 | 9.885595E-5 | 2.1904902E-4 | 2.6903808E-4 | 1.2282094 | 5.0E-5 | 4.2359953E-4 | 9.384441E-4 | 0.0010783128 | 1.1490431 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0051451353 | 0.011365901 | 0.011998626 | 1.0556688 | 6.4E-4 | 0.05027629 | 0.10867669 | 0.1098978 | 1.0112362 | 0.00137 |
7.2 | 9.6411415E-5 | 2.1267743E-4 | 2.626668E-4 | 1.2350478 | 5.0E-5 | 4.1312634E-4 | 9.1115665E-4 | 0.0010510291 | 1.1535108 | 1.4E-4 | 0.005018219 | 0.011037089 | 0.011670025 | 1.0573463 | 6.4E-4 | 0.049064007 | 0.105866574 | 0.10709154 | 1.0115708 | 0.00137 |
7.3 | 9.1180635E-5 | 1.949537E-4 | 2.4494395E-4 | 1.2564212 | 5.0E-5 | 3.907156E-4 | 8.352484E-4 | 9.7513146E-4 | 1.1674749 | 1.4E-4 | 0.004746591 | 0.010121847 | 0.01073557 | 1.0606337 | 6.2E-4 | 0.046464786 | 0.09805575 | 0.099273376 | 1.0124177 | 0.00135 |
7.4 | 8.887388E-5 | 1.8743664E-4 | 2.3742727E-4 | 1.2667068 | 5.0E-5 | 3.8083247E-4 | 8.030527E-4 | 9.4294024E-4 | 1.1741948 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0046267817 | 0.009733433 | 0.010337495 | 1.0620606 | 6.1E-4 | 0.045316286 | 0.09469079 | 0.09589485 | 1.0127157 | 0.00133 |
7.5 | 8.6750515E-5 | 1.807497E-4 | 2.3074067E-4 | 1.2765757 | 5.0E-5 | 3.7173493E-4 | 7.7441166E-4 | 9.1430324E-4 | 1.1806424 | 1.4E-4 | 0.004516484 | 0.009387788 | 0.009992061 | 1.064368 | 6.1E-4 | 0.04425787 | 0.09165356 | 0.09286166 | 1.0131812 | 0.00133 |
7.6 | 8.453092E-5 | 1.7462202E-4 | 2.2461328E-4 | 1.2862828 | 5.0E-5 | 3.6222505E-4 | 7.481655E-4 | 8.880607E-4 | 1.1869844 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0044011753 | 0.009070946 | 0.009675412 | 1.0666376 | 6.1E-4 | 0.04315024 | 0.08881341 | 0.09001617 | 1.0135427 | 0.00132 |
7.7 | 8.259102E-5 | 1.6984076E-4 | 2.1983228E-4 | 1.2943434 | 5.0E-5 | 3.539135E-4 | 7.27686E-4 | 8.6758414E-4 | 1.1922507 | 1.4E-4 | 0.004300386 | 0.008823656 | 0.009418362 | 1.067399 | 6.0E-4 | 0.042181134 | 0.086563095 | 0.0877597 | 1.0138235 | 0.00131 |
7.8 | 7.444844E-5 | 1.530434E-4 | 2.0303574E-4 | 1.3266547 | 5.0E-5 | 3.1902574E-4 | 6.5573544E-4 | 7.8565016E-4 | 1.1981207 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0038772223 | 0.007954404 | 0.008440506 | 1.0611111 | 4.9E-4 | 0.03810269 | 0.07838638 | 0.07940016 | 1.012933 | 0.0011 |
7.9 | 5.2586525E-5 | 1.0020534E-4 | 1.3020233E-4 | 1.2993553 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2535135E-4 | 4.293808E-4 | 5.093464E-4 | 1.1862348 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0027402006 | 0.0052151917 | 0.005503679 | 1.0553168 | 2.9E-4 | 0.027066574 | 0.052266184 | 0.052939076 | 1.0128744 | 7.1E-4 |
8.0 | 3.379877E-5 | 5.4153952E-5 | 7.415287E-5 | 1.3692975 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4484383E-4 | 2.3206773E-4 | 2.6206078E-4 | 1.1292427 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017620471 | 0.0028217656 | 0.002941427 | 1.0424066 | 1.2E-4 | 0.017481409 | 0.028873874 | 0.029136078 | 1.009081 | 2.7E-4 |
8.1 | 1.8668277E-5 | 1.9345109E-5 | 1.9345109E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.000444E-5 | 8.2904975E-5 | 8.2904975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.736188E-4 | 0.0010089014 | 0.0010288812 | 1.0198035 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009693642 | 0.01081726 | 0.010866718 | 1.0045723 | 5.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.541571E-6 | 5.4736743E-6 | 5.4736743E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.660622E-5 | 2.3458393E-5 | 2.3458393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.455896E-4 | 2.855686E-4 | 2.855686E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044469717 | 0.0032479733 | 0.0032479733 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6799233E-7 | 7.6799233E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2913915E-6 | 3.2913915E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0071973E-5 | 4.0071973E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7313387E-4 | 4.7313387E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0366573E-5 | 6.0365765E-5 | 1.4954394 | 2.0E-5 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7298957E-4 | 2.7297228E-4 | 1.5779696 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0021043709 | 0.0028627715 | 1.360393 | 7.6E-4 | 0.018143194 | 0.02087036 | 0.022564255 | 1.0811627 | 0.00173 |
6.1 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0366573E-5 | 6.0365765E-5 | 1.4954394 | 2.0E-5 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7298957E-4 | 2.7297228E-4 | 1.5779696 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0021043709 | 0.0028627715 | 1.360393 | 7.6E-4 | 0.018143194 | 0.02087036 | 0.022564255 | 1.0811627 | 0.00173 |
6.2 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1060916E-5 | 2.1060916E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.0258516E-5 | 1.2025581E-4 | 1.3323486 | 3.0E-5 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010984455 | 0.0014680391 | 1.3364697 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010940248 | 0.011909527 | 1.0885975 | 9.8E-4 |
6.3 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1060916E-5 | 2.1060916E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.0258516E-5 | 1.2025581E-4 | 1.3323486 | 3.0E-5 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010984455 | 0.0014680391 | 1.3364697 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010940248 | 0.011909527 | 1.0885975 | 9.8E-4 |
6.4 | 1.712201E-5 | 1.9566249E-5 | 1.9566249E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.337798E-5 | 8.385323E-5 | 1.1385071E-4 | 1.357738 | 3.0E-5 | 8.930107E-4 | 0.0010205355 | 0.0013701782 | 1.3426073 | 3.5E-4 | 0.008894307 | 0.010168408 | 0.0110889515 | 1.0905298 | 9.3E-4 |
6.5 | 1.4744935E-5 | 1.683786E-5 | 1.683786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3191044E-5 | 7.216079E-5 | 9.2159346E-5 | 1.2771388 | 2.0E-5 | 7.6907943E-4 | 8.7829697E-4 | 0.0012179983 | 1.3867728 | 3.4E-4 | 0.007664232 | 0.008757455 | 0.009629749 | 1.0996058 | 8.8E-4 |
6.6 | 1.2017839E-5 | 1.37248135E-5 | 1.37248135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.150401E-5 | 5.88198E-5 | 6.8819216E-5 | 1.1700008 | 1.0E-5 | 6.268809E-4 | 7.159844E-4 | 9.95784E-4 | 1.39079 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0062511545 | 0.00714547 | 0.007890111 | 1.1042116 | 7.5E-4 |
6.7 | 1.00956095E-5 | 1.1534127E-5 | 1.1534127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.326618E-5 | 4.9431528E-5 | 5.9431033E-5 | 1.20229 | 1.0E-5 | 5.266384E-4 | 6.0174963E-4 | 8.316112E-4 | 1.3819888 | 2.3E-4 | 0.005253921 | 0.00600973 | 0.0066160643 | 1.1008921 | 6.1E-4 |
Death Valley (So)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5620082E-5 | 8.561854E-5 | 3.341853 | 6.0E-5 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0979582E-4 | 3.5976837E-4 | 3.2767036 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013359614 | 0.002234759 | 1.6727722 | 9.0E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.013283012 | 0.01513804 | 1.1396542 | 0.00188 |
6.1 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5620082E-5 | 8.561854E-5 | 3.341853 | 6.0E-5 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0979582E-4 | 3.5976837E-4 | 3.2767036 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013359614 | 0.002234759 | 1.6727722 | 9.0E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.013283012 | 0.01513804 | 1.1396542 | 0.00188 |
6.2 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5620082E-5 | 8.561854E-5 | 3.341853 | 6.0E-5 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0979582E-4 | 3.5976837E-4 | 3.2767036 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013359614 | 0.002234759 | 1.6727722 | 9.0E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.013283012 | 0.01513804 | 1.1396542 | 0.00188 |
6.3 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.5120144E-5 | 7.5118885E-5 | 2.9903846 | 5.0E-5 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0765341E-4 | 3.3762865E-4 | 3.136256 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0013099089 | 0.0021787693 | 1.6632982 | 8.7E-4 | 0.010505628 | 0.0130255595 | 0.014811983 | 1.1371475 | 0.00181 |
6.4 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.5120144E-5 | 7.5118885E-5 | 2.9903846 | 5.0E-5 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0765341E-4 | 3.3762865E-4 | 3.136256 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0013099089 | 0.0021787693 | 1.6632982 | 8.7E-4 | 0.010505628 | 0.0130255595 | 0.014811983 | 1.1371475 | 0.00181 |
6.5 | 1.9962767E-5 | 2.4809382E-5 | 7.4808144E-5 | 3.0153165 | 5.0E-5 | 8.55519E-5 | 1.06321684E-4 | 3.3629723E-4 | 3.1630163 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0010410968 | 0.0012937145 | 0.002152602 | 1.6638925 | 8.6E-4 | 0.010362327 | 0.0128655 | 0.014602856 | 1.1350399 | 0.00176 |
6.6 | 1.8937297E-5 | 2.3313118E-5 | 6.331218E-5 | 2.7157323 | 4.0E-5 | 8.115732E-5 | 9.9909616E-5 | 2.8989062E-4 | 2.9015288 | 1.9E-4 | 9.876423E-4 | 0.0012157353 | 0.0019748113 | 1.624376 | 7.6E-4 | 0.009832645 | 0.012094344 | 0.013655235 | 1.1290596 | 0.00158 |
6.7 | 1.8621096E-5 | 2.2913733E-5 | 6.291282E-5 | 2.745638 | 4.0E-5 | 7.980225E-5 | 9.81981E-5 | 2.8817944E-4 | 2.9346743 | 1.9E-4 | 9.711593E-4 | 0.0011949206 | 0.0019340365 | 1.6185479 | 7.4E-4 | 0.009669261 | 0.0118884435 | 0.0134200165 | 1.1288288 | 0.00155 |
6.8 | 1.7830353E-5 | 2.1807664E-5 | 6.180679E-5 | 2.8341775 | 4.0E-5 | 7.641356E-5 | 9.345815E-5 | 2.7344134E-4 | 2.9258158 | 1.8E-4 | 9.29938E-4 | 0.001137273 | 0.0018464656 | 1.6235904 | 7.1E-4 | 0.009260561 | 0.011317815 | 0.012721743 | 1.124046 | 0.00142 |
6.9 | 1.3135183E-5 | 1.5304979E-5 | 2.5304826E-5 | 1.6533722 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6292425E-5 | 6.559116E-5 | 1.7558393E-4 | 2.6769454 | 1.1E-4 | 6.8514474E-4 | 7.982862E-4 | 0.001317871 | 1.6508754 | 5.2E-4 | 0.006830362 | 0.007955519 | 0.008858279 | 1.113476 | 9.1E-4 |
7.0 | 1.1507512E-5 | 1.3154984E-5 | 2.3154853E-5 | 1.7601582 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9316975E-5 | 5.6377317E-5 | 1.6637112E-4 | 2.9510293 | 1.1E-4 | 6.002687E-4 | 6.8618346E-4 | 0.0010959021 | 1.5970979 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0059864987 | 0.006841742 | 0.007507158 | 1.0972583 | 6.7E-4 |
7.1 | 9.715903E-6 | 1.0865786E-5 | 2.0865677E-5 | 1.92031 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1638916E-5 | 4.6566845E-5 | 1.2656311E-4 | 2.7178805 | 8.0E-5 | 5.068359E-4 | 5.668081E-4 | 7.966778E-4 | 1.4055511 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0050568148 | 0.0056540356 | 0.0060219434 | 1.06507 | 3.7E-4 |
7.2 | 9.233269E-6 | 1.0286771E-5 | 1.0286771E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9570554E-5 | 4.408544E-5 | 9.408323E-5 | 2.1341114 | 5.0E-5 | 4.81665E-4 | 5.3661224E-4 | 6.965264E-4 | 1.2980069 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0048062233 | 0.0053535965 | 0.005622151 | 1.0501634 | 2.7E-4 |
7.3 | 8.8041315E-6 | 9.808581E-6 | 9.808581E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7731446E-5 | 4.2036125E-5 | 8.203444E-5 | 1.9515225 | 4.0E-5 | 4.592835E-4 | 5.1167386E-4 | 6.1162264E-4 | 1.195337 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045833546 | 0.005105384 | 0.005274516 | 1.0331281 | 1.7E-4 |
7.4 | 8.708749E-6 | 9.70759E-6 | 9.70759E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7322676E-5 | 4.1603318E-5 | 8.1601655E-5 | 1.9614217 | 4.0E-5 | 4.5430884E-4 | 5.064069E-4 | 6.0635625E-4 | 1.1973697 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004533812 | 0.0050529554 | 0.005222096 | 1.0334737 | 1.7E-4 |
7.5 | 8.612678E-6 | 9.60523E-6 | 9.60523E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6910955E-5 | 4.1164647E-5 | 8.1163E-5 | 1.9716676 | 4.0E-5 | 4.492982E-4 | 5.010685E-4 | 6.0101843E-4 | 1.1994735 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004483909 | 0.004999813 | 0.005168963 | 1.0338312 | 1.7E-4 |
7.6 | 8.319024E-6 | 9.284318E-6 | 9.284318E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5652476E-5 | 3.978935E-5 | 7.978776E-5 | 2.005254 | 4.0E-5 | 4.3398244E-4 | 4.8433186E-4 | 5.8428344E-4 | 1.20637 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0043313587 | 0.004833187 | 0.0049924133 | 1.0329444 | 1.6E-4 |
7.7 | 7.4718328E-6 | 8.345533E-6 | 8.345533E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2021748E-5 | 3.5766105E-5 | 5.5765388E-5 | 1.5591687 | 2.0E-5 | 3.8979502E-4 | 4.3536935E-4 | 5.1533454E-4 | 1.1836721 | 8.0E-5 | 0.00389112 | 0.0043455698 | 0.004465048 | 1.0274943 | 1.2E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.648336E-7 | 3.648336E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635717E-6 | 1.5635717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9036323E-5 | 1.9036323E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9034736E-4 | 1.9034736E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6697147E-9 | 2.6697147E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1441634E-8 | 1.1441634E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3930189E-7 | 1.3930189E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3930189E-6 | 1.3930189E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Nelson Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0192362E-5 | 4.0192055E-5 | 3.9433506 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.3680877E-5 | 1.5367607E-4 | 3.5181544 | 1.1E-4 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.3169526E-4 | 0.0012613072 | 2.372237 | 7.3E-4 | 0.0051593683 | 0.0053052595 | 0.0069663995 | 1.313112 | 0.00167 |
6.1 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0192362E-5 | 4.0192055E-5 | 3.9433506 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.3680877E-5 | 1.5367607E-4 | 3.5181544 | 1.1E-4 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.3169526E-4 | 0.0012613072 | 2.372237 | 7.3E-4 | 0.0051593683 | 0.0053052595 | 0.0069663995 | 1.313112 | 0.00167 |
6.2 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.6963655E-6 | 4.6963655E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0127132E-5 | 4.012673E-5 | 1.9936635 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4502154E-4 | 5.949358E-4 | 2.4280958 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0023763329 | 0.00244764 | 0.003185829 | 1.301592 | 7.4E-4 |
6.3 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.6963655E-6 | 4.6963655E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0127132E-5 | 4.012673E-5 | 1.9936635 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4502154E-4 | 5.949358E-4 | 2.4280958 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0023763329 | 0.00244764 | 0.003185829 | 1.301592 | 7.4E-4 |
6.4 | 3.4025713E-6 | 3.5099386E-6 | 3.5099386E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4582367E-5 | 1.5042511E-5 | 3.504221E-5 | 2.3295453 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7752586E-4 | 1.8312802E-4 | 4.3308226E-4 | 2.3649151 | 2.5E-4 | 0.001773841 | 0.0018298541 | 0.0023588843 | 1.2891105 | 5.3E-4 |
6.5 | 2.8352947E-6 | 2.9278917E-6 | 2.9278917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2151207E-5 | 1.2548051E-5 | 2.2547925E-5 | 1.7969265 | 1.0E-5 | 1.479309E-4 | 1.5276256E-4 | 3.6273047E-4 | 2.3744724 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0014783246 | 0.0015266493 | 0.0019959318 | 1.3073938 | 4.7E-4 |
6.6 | 2.251518E-6 | 2.3290975E-6 | 2.3290975E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.649328E-6 | 9.981812E-6 | 1.9981711E-5 | 2.0018122 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1747423E-4 | 1.21522404E-4 | 2.8150296E-4 | 2.3164697 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0011741214 | 0.0012146212 | 0.0015841719 | 1.3042517 | 3.7E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8911853E-6 | 1.959166E-6 | 1.959166E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.105055E-6 | 8.396401E-6 | 8.396401E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.867457E-5 | 1.0222198E-4 | 2.1221074E-4 | 2.0759795 | 1.1E-4 | 9.863076E-4 | 0.0010218071 | 0.0013215005 | 1.2932975 | 3.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.4874814E-6 | 1.5438522E-6 | 1.5438522E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.374905E-6 | 6.6164957E-6 | 6.6164957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.76117E-5 | 8.055338E-5 | 1.7054613E-4 | 2.1171815 | 9.0E-5 | 7.75846E-4 | 8.052929E-4 | 0.0010251157 | 1.2729726 | 2.2E-4 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.140046E-7 | 7.140046E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.060018E-6 | 3.060018E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.7255402E-5 | 7.725391E-5 | 2.0736299 | 4.0E-5 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.725228E-4 | 4.8248185E-4 | 1.2951739 | 1.1E-4 |
San Andreas (Mojave N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.942623E-4 | 2.642487E-4 | 1.3602675 | 7.0E-5 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.322873E-4 | 0.0010221292 | 1.2280966 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010086145 | 0.010927572 | 1.083424 | 8.5E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.09842 | 0.10000678 | 1.0161226 | 0.00176 |
6.1 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.942623E-4 | 2.642487E-4 | 1.3602675 | 7.0E-5 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.322873E-4 | 0.0010221292 | 1.2280966 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010086145 | 0.010927572 | 1.083424 | 8.5E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.09842 | 0.10000678 | 1.0161226 | 0.00176 |
6.2 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.942623E-4 | 2.642487E-4 | 1.3602675 | 7.0E-5 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.322873E-4 | 0.0010221292 | 1.2280966 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010086145 | 0.010927572 | 1.083424 | 8.5E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.09842 | 0.10000678 | 1.0161226 | 0.00176 |
6.3 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.942623E-4 | 2.642487E-4 | 1.3602675 | 7.0E-5 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.322873E-4 | 0.0010221292 | 1.2280966 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010086145 | 0.010927572 | 1.083424 | 8.5E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.09842 | 0.10000678 | 1.0161226 | 0.00176 |
6.4 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.942623E-4 | 2.642487E-4 | 1.3602675 | 7.0E-5 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.322873E-4 | 0.0010221292 | 1.2280966 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010086145 | 0.010927572 | 1.083424 | 8.5E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.09842 | 0.10000678 | 1.0161226 | 0.00176 |
6.5 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.9399988E-4 | 2.639863E-4 | 1.360755 | 7.0E-5 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.311633E-4 | 0.0010210053 | 1.2284052 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0051326132 | 0.010072587 | 0.010914025 | 1.0835375 | 8.5E-4 | 0.050156746 | 0.09829786 | 0.09988485 | 1.0161448 | 0.00176 |
6.6 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.9399988E-4 | 2.639863E-4 | 1.360755 | 7.0E-5 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.311633E-4 | 0.0010210053 | 1.2284052 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0051326132 | 0.010072587 | 0.010914025 | 1.0835375 | 8.5E-4 | 0.050156746 | 0.09829786 | 0.09988485 | 1.0161448 | 0.00176 |
6.7 | 9.8552715E-5 | 1.9389938E-4 | 2.638858E-4 | 1.360942 | 7.0E-5 | 4.223004E-4 | 8.3073287E-4 | 0.0010205751 | 1.2285237 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0051293927 | 0.010067395 | 0.010908837 | 1.083581 | 8.5E-4 | 0.050125998 | 0.09825107 | 0.099838145 | 1.0161533 | 0.00176 |
6.8 | 9.8464974E-5 | 1.9375094E-4 | 2.6373737E-4 | 1.3612186 | 7.0E-5 | 4.219245E-4 | 8.300971E-4 | 0.0010199394 | 1.2286988 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0051248376 | 0.010059726 | 0.010901175 | 1.0836453 | 8.5E-4 | 0.05008251 | 0.098180816 | 0.09976802 | 1.0161661 | 0.00176 |
6.9 | 9.825824E-5 | 1.934309E-4 | 2.6341737E-4 | 1.3618163 | 7.0E-5 | 4.2103877E-4 | 8.287264E-4 | 0.0010185689 | 1.2290775 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0051141046 | 0.010043192 | 0.010884655 | 1.0837845 | 8.5E-4 | 0.049980022 | 0.09802976 | 0.09961723 | 1.0161937 | 0.00176 |
7.0 | 9.781462E-5 | 1.9274422E-4 | 2.6273073E-4 | 1.3631057 | 7.0E-5 | 4.1913814E-4 | 8.2578533E-4 | 0.0010156285 | 1.229894 | 1.9E-4 | 0.005091073 | 0.010007714 | 0.010849208 | 1.0840845 | 8.5E-4 | 0.04976007 | 0.09770628 | 0.09929431 | 1.0162531 | 0.00176 |
7.1 | 9.7121134E-5 | 1.9176096E-4 | 2.6174754E-4 | 1.3649678 | 7.0E-5 | 4.1616702E-4 | 8.2157407E-4 | 0.001011418 | 1.2310734 | 1.9E-4 | 0.005055068 | 0.009956911 | 0.010798448 | 1.0845178 | 8.5E-4 | 0.04941613 | 0.09724261 | 0.09883146 | 1.0163391 | 0.00176 |
7.2 | 9.663819E-5 | 1.9106852E-4 | 2.6105513E-4 | 1.3662907 | 7.0E-5 | 4.1409794E-4 | 8.1860827E-4 | 0.0010084527 | 1.2319112 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0050299936 | 0.009921133 | 0.0107627 | 1.0848258 | 8.5E-4 | 0.049176537 | 0.09691576 | 0.098505184 | 1.0164001 | 0.00176 |
7.3 | 9.6277574E-5 | 1.9059332E-4 | 2.6057998E-4 | 1.3672042 | 7.0E-5 | 4.125529E-4 | 8.16573E-4 | 0.0010064178 | 1.2324897 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0050112694 | 0.009896578 | 0.010738166 | 1.0850383 | 8.5E-4 | 0.04899759 | 0.09668904 | 0.098278865 | 1.0164427 | 0.00176 |
7.4 | 9.593308E-5 | 1.8999071E-4 | 2.5997742E-4 | 1.3683691 | 7.0E-5 | 4.1107697E-4 | 8.13992E-4 | 0.0010038373 | 1.2332275 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0049933824 | 0.0098654395 | 0.010707054 | 1.0853094 | 8.5E-4 | 0.04882661 | 0.096407376 | 0.097997695 | 1.0164958 | 0.00176 |
7.5 | 9.561707E-5 | 1.8945122E-4 | 2.5943795E-4 | 1.3694183 | 7.0E-5 | 4.0972308E-4 | 8.116813E-4 | 0.0010015271 | 1.233892 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0049769743 | 0.009837561 | 0.010679199 | 1.0855535 | 8.5E-4 | 0.048669744 | 0.09615314 | 0.09774391 | 1.0165441 | 0.00176 |
7.6 | 9.418194E-5 | 1.8597116E-4 | 2.5595815E-4 | 1.3763324 | 7.0E-5 | 4.0357444E-4 | 7.96776E-4 | 9.866246E-4 | 1.238271 | 1.9E-4 | 0.004902454 | 0.009657712 | 0.0104995025 | 1.0871626 | 8.5E-4 | 0.047957025 | 0.09453652 | 0.09612108 | 1.0167614 | 0.00175 |
7.7 | 8.202141E-5 | 1.6044022E-4 | 2.3042898E-4 | 1.4362296 | 7.0E-5 | 3.51473E-4 | 6.874198E-4 | 8.473098E-4 | 1.2325944 | 1.6E-4 | 0.00427079 | 0.008337276 | 0.00909094 | 1.0903969 | 7.6E-4 | 0.04189639 | 0.08233541 | 0.083776146 | 1.0174984 | 0.00157 |
7.8 | 7.2859846E-5 | 1.4536937E-4 | 1.9536211E-4 | 1.3439014 | 5.0E-5 | 3.1221908E-4 | 6.228629E-4 | 7.4278814E-4 | 1.1925387 | 1.2E-4 | 0.003794643 | 0.0075570294 | 0.008033402 | 1.063037 | 4.8E-4 | 0.037304975 | 0.07481871 | 0.07582716 | 1.0134785 | 0.00109 |
7.9 | 5.3874453E-5 | 1.00599114E-4 | 1.3059609E-4 | 1.2981833 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3087008E-4 | 4.3106783E-4 | 5.1103334E-4 | 1.1855056 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0028072202 | 0.0052356324 | 0.0055241142 | 1.0550997 | 2.9E-4 | 0.02772022 | 0.052491244 | 0.05316397 | 1.0128161 | 7.1E-4 |
8.0 | 3.468538E-5 | 5.434065E-5 | 7.4339565E-5 | 1.3680286 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4864317E-4 | 2.3286772E-4 | 2.6286073E-4 | 1.1287985 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0018082283 | 0.0028314802 | 0.0029511405 | 1.0422606 | 1.2E-4 | 0.017935853 | 0.02898682 | 0.029248992 | 1.0090445 | 2.7E-4 |
8.1 | 1.9152367E-5 | 1.9438638E-5 | 1.9438638E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.207899E-5 | 8.330579E-5 | 8.330579E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.988535E-4 | 0.0010137768 | 0.0010337564 | 1.0197082 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009943757 | 0.010874787 | 0.010924243 | 1.0045478 | 5.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.4877546E-6 | 5.4877546E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3518736E-5 | 2.3518736E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8630308E-4 | 2.8630308E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032558958 | 0.0032558958 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6799233E-7 | 7.6799233E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2913915E-6 | 3.2913915E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0071973E-5 | 4.0071973E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7313387E-4 | 4.7313387E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Towne Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894564E-6 | 5.3894368E-5 | 13.838357 | 5.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690907E-5 | 1.5668858E-4 | 9.387661 | 1.4E-4 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319721E-4 | 8.530651E-4 | 4.1982126 | 6.5E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305433 | 0.0033877818 | 1.6684115 | 0.00136 |
6.1 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894564E-6 | 5.3894368E-5 | 13.838357 | 5.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690907E-5 | 1.5668858E-4 | 9.387661 | 1.4E-4 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319721E-4 | 8.530651E-4 | 4.1982126 | 6.5E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305433 | 0.0033877818 | 1.6684115 | 0.00136 |
6.2 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894564E-6 | 5.3894368E-5 | 13.838357 | 5.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690907E-5 | 1.5668858E-4 | 9.387661 | 1.4E-4 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319721E-4 | 8.530651E-4 | 4.1982126 | 6.5E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305433 | 0.0033877818 | 1.6684115 | 0.00136 |
6.3 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894564E-6 | 5.3894368E-5 | 13.838357 | 5.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690907E-5 | 1.5668858E-4 | 9.387661 | 1.4E-4 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319721E-4 | 8.530651E-4 | 4.1982126 | 6.5E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305433 | 0.0033877818 | 1.6684115 | 0.00136 |
6.4 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894564E-6 | 5.3894368E-5 | 13.838357 | 5.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690907E-5 | 1.5668858E-4 | 9.387661 | 1.4E-4 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319721E-4 | 8.530651E-4 | 4.1982126 | 6.5E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305433 | 0.0033877818 | 1.6684115 | 0.00136 |
6.5 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2030608E-6 | 1.1203048E-5 | 9.312121 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.1559655E-6 | 3.5155812E-5 | 6.818473 | 3.0E-5 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.277219E-5 | 2.1276277E-4 | 3.3894432 | 1.5E-4 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.275563E-4 | 8.674057E-4 | 1.3821958 | 2.4E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2030608E-6 | 1.1203048E-5 | 9.312121 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.1559655E-6 | 3.5155812E-5 | 6.818473 | 3.0E-5 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.277219E-5 | 2.1276277E-4 | 3.3894432 | 1.5E-4 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.275563E-4 | 8.674057E-4 | 1.3821958 | 2.4E-4 |
6.7 | 8.375951E-7 | 8.4107427E-7 | 1.0841066E-5 | 12.889546 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5896885E-6 | 3.6045992E-6 | 2.3604527E-5 | 6.548447 | 2.0E-5 | 4.370358E-5 | 4.388517E-5 | 1.3388121E-4 | 3.0507166 | 9.0E-5 | 4.3694986E-4 | 4.3877074E-4 | 5.787093E-4 | 1.3189332 | 1.4E-4 |
6.8 | 6.38041E-7 | 6.39222E-7 | 1.0639215E-5 | 16.644007 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7344586E-6 | 2.7395201E-6 | 1.2739492E-5 | 4.6502643 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3291526E-5 | 3.3353186E-5 | 1.0335085E-4 | 3.09868 | 7.0E-5 | 3.3286537E-4 | 3.334856E-4 | 4.3345225E-4 | 1.299763 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 5.3460053E-7 | 5.345392E-7 | 1.0534533E-5 | 19.707693 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2911431E-6 | 2.2908805E-6 | 1.2290858E-5 | 5.365124 | 1.0E-5 | 2.789431E-5 | 2.7891145E-5 | 9.788919E-5 | 3.5096872 | 7.0E-5 | 2.789081E-4 | 2.7887977E-4 | 3.788519E-4 | 1.3584775 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 3.557783E-7 | 3.532472E-7 | 3.532472E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5247632E-6 | 1.5139158E-6 | 1.5139158E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8563835E-5 | 1.8431778E-5 | 5.843104E-5 | 3.1701252 | 4.0E-5 | 1.8562283E-4 | 1.8430332E-4 | 2.3429412E-4 | 1.2712419 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.037942E-7 | 3.0002664E-7 | 3.0002664E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3019744E-6 | 1.2858279E-6 | 1.2858279E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5851423E-5 | 1.565485E-5 | 5.5654225E-5 | 3.5550787 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5850292E-4 | 1.5653823E-4 | 2.065304E-4 | 1.3193609 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0808248E-7 | 2.021805E-7 | 2.021805E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.917818E-7 | 8.664876E-7 | 8.664876E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0857389E-5 | 1.054944E-5 | 3.054923E-5 | 2.8958151 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0856859E-4 | 1.0548985E-4 | 1.2548774E-4 | 1.1895717 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.1162073E-7 | 1.0637026E-7 | 1.0637026E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7837443E-7 | 4.5587248E-7 | 4.5587248E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8241935E-6 | 5.550235E-6 | 1.555018E-5 | 2.8017154 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8240406E-5 | 5.5501165E-5 | 6.550061E-5 | 1.1801664 | 1.0E-5 |
Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3964577E-5 | 7.396326E-5 | 1.6823375 | 3.0E-5 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8840698E-4 | 2.9838627E-4 | 1.5837325 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0019519776 | 0.002291614 | 0.0028603077 | 1.248163 | 5.7E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022697838 | 0.02392924 | 1.0542519 | 0.00126 |
6.1 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3964577E-5 | 7.396326E-5 | 1.6823375 | 3.0E-5 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8840698E-4 | 2.9838627E-4 | 1.5837325 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0019519776 | 0.002291614 | 0.0028603077 | 1.248163 | 5.7E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022697838 | 0.02392924 | 1.0542519 | 0.00126 |
6.2 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3964577E-5 | 7.396326E-5 | 1.6823375 | 3.0E-5 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8840698E-4 | 2.9838627E-4 | 1.5837325 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0019519776 | 0.002291614 | 0.0028603077 | 1.248163 | 5.7E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022697838 | 0.02392924 | 1.0542519 | 0.00126 |
6.3 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.535466E-5 | 4.5354154E-5 | 1.7887896 | 2.0E-5 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.08658416E-4 | 1.3865516E-4 | 1.2760646 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010993304 | 0.0013221334 | 0.0015718028 | 1.1888384 | 2.5E-4 | 0.010939079 | 0.013144889 | 0.013766608 | 1.0472974 | 6.3E-4 |
6.4 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.535466E-5 | 4.5354154E-5 | 1.7887896 | 2.0E-5 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.08658416E-4 | 1.3865516E-4 | 1.2760646 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010993304 | 0.0013221334 | 0.0015718028 | 1.1888384 | 2.5E-4 | 0.010939079 | 0.013144889 | 0.013766608 | 1.0472974 | 6.3E-4 |
6.5 | 1.7397282E-5 | 2.066349E-5 | 4.0663075E-5 | 1.9678707 | 2.0E-5 | 7.455765E-5 | 8.855487E-5 | 1.08553104E-4 | 1.2258286 | 2.0E-5 | 9.073613E-4 | 0.001077634 | 0.0012774186 | 1.1853918 | 2.0E-4 | 0.009036654 | 0.010725379 | 0.011200231 | 1.0442736 | 4.8E-4 |
6.6 | 1.52050325E-5 | 1.768026E-5 | 3.7679907E-5 | 2.131185 | 2.0E-5 | 6.51628E-5 | 7.577039E-5 | 9.576887E-5 | 1.2639353 | 2.0E-5 | 7.9306826E-4 | 9.221219E-4 | 0.0011219375 | 1.216691 | 2.0E-4 | 0.007902439 | 0.009183819 | 0.009639595 | 1.0496281 | 4.6E-4 |
6.7 | 1.332523E-5 | 1.5264528E-5 | 2.5264375E-5 | 1.6551037 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7106878E-5 | 6.541779E-5 | 7.541714E-5 | 1.1528536 | 1.0E-5 | 6.950544E-4 | 7.9617643E-4 | 9.36065E-4 | 1.1757004 | 1.4E-4 | 0.006928845 | 0.007933871 | 0.0082910145 | 1.0450151 | 3.6E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1525329E-5 | 1.3031486E-5 | 2.3031354E-5 | 1.7673622 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9393333E-5 | 5.5848053E-5 | 6.58475E-5 | 1.1790472 | 1.0E-5 | 6.011979E-4 | 6.7974214E-4 | 8.096538E-4 | 1.191119 | 1.3E-4 | 0.00599574 | 0.0067770816 | 0.0070750485 | 1.0439669 | 3.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.0253909E-5 | 1.1514936E-5 | 2.1514821E-5 | 1.8684273 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3944583E-5 | 4.934881E-5 | 5.934832E-5 | 1.2026291 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3489394E-4 | 6.006598E-4 | 6.906057E-4 | 1.1497452 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0053360825 | 0.0059907422 | 0.0062193642 | 1.0381626 | 2.3E-4 |
7.0 | 8.104563E-6 | 8.991502E-6 | 1.8991412E-5 | 2.1121511 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4733377E-5 | 3.8534454E-5 | 4.8534068E-5 | 1.259498 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2279682E-4 | 4.690584E-4 | 5.090396E-4 | 1.0852373 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0042199334 | 0.0046809316 | 0.004820276 | 1.0297686 | 1.4E-4 |
7.1 | 6.7986157E-6 | 7.5160333E-6 | 1.7515958E-5 | 2.3304791 | 1.0E-5 | 2.91366E-5 | 3.2211185E-5 | 4.2210864E-5 | 1.3104411 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5468035E-4 | 3.9210275E-4 | 4.22091E-4 | 1.0764805 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003541148 | 0.0039143255 | 0.004013934 | 1.0254471 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 5.6893327E-6 | 6.2801705E-6 | 1.6280108E-5 | 2.5923035 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4382627E-5 | 2.691475E-5 | 3.691448E-5 | 1.3715335 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9681803E-4 | 3.276398E-4 | 3.4763323E-4 | 1.0610226 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002964219 | 0.003271766 | 0.0033315697 | 1.0182787 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.253348E-6 | 4.7070957E-6 | 4.7070957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8228506E-5 | 2.0173122E-5 | 2.0173122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2190946E-4 | 2.455819E-4 | 2.5557945E-4 | 1.0407096 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00221688 | 0.0024532862 | 0.0025031634 | 1.0203308 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.5448119E-6 | 2.852065E-6 | 2.852065E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0906291E-5 | 1.2223088E-5 | 1.2223088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3277601E-4 | 1.4880758E-4 | 1.588061E-4 | 1.0671909 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001326967 | 0.0014872416 | 0.001517197 | 1.0201416 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.3706837E-8 | 4.5629836E-8 | 4.5629836E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8731501E-7 | 1.9555644E-7 | 1.9555644E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805577E-6 | 2.3808975E-6 | 2.3808975E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805343E-5 | 2.3808776E-5 | 2.3808776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.1628698E-4 | 3.462775E-4 | 1.0948206 | 3.0E-5 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013548174 | 0.0014646684 | 1.0810817 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016371649 | 0.016774936 | 1.0246333 | 4.1E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.15034436 | 0.15116853 | 1.0054818 | 9.7E-4 |
6.1 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.1628698E-4 | 3.462775E-4 | 1.0948206 | 3.0E-5 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013548174 | 0.0014646684 | 1.0810817 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016371649 | 0.016774936 | 1.0246333 | 4.1E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.15034436 | 0.15116853 | 1.0054818 | 9.7E-4 |
6.2 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.1628698E-4 | 3.462775E-4 | 1.0948206 | 3.0E-5 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013548174 | 0.0014646684 | 1.0810817 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016371649 | 0.016774936 | 1.0246333 | 4.1E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.15034436 | 0.15116853 | 1.0054818 | 9.7E-4 |
6.3 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.0533422E-4 | 3.3532505E-4 | 1.098223 | 3.0E-5 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0013079246 | 0.0014177808 | 1.0839927 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0071393442 | 0.015809117 | 0.016212635 | 1.0255244 | 4.1E-4 | 0.06914291 | 0.14564657 | 0.1464753 | 1.00569 | 9.7E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.0533422E-4 | 3.3532505E-4 | 1.098223 | 3.0E-5 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0013079246 | 0.0014177808 | 1.0839927 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0071393442 | 0.015809117 | 0.016212635 | 1.0255244 | 4.1E-4 | 0.06914291 | 0.14564657 | 0.1464753 | 1.00569 | 9.7E-4 |
6.5 | 1.2942807E-4 | 2.8947718E-4 | 3.194685E-4 | 1.1036052 | 3.0E-5 | 5.545738E-4 | 0.0012400318 | 0.0013498954 | 1.0885974 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0067310524 | 0.014994125 | 0.015397977 | 1.026934 | 4.1E-4 | 0.06530788 | 0.13880673 | 0.13964207 | 1.0060182 | 9.7E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1125901E-4 | 2.538614E-4 | 2.8385376E-4 | 1.1181448 | 3.0E-5 | 4.767372E-4 | 0.0010875261 | 0.0011974064 | 1.101037 | 1.1E-4 | 0.005788839 | 0.013160879 | 0.013555615 | 1.029993 | 4.0E-4 | 0.056403454 | 0.1230657 | 0.12389879 | 1.0067694 | 9.5E-4 |
6.7 | 1.02209575E-4 | 2.3520956E-4 | 2.652025E-4 | 1.1275158 | 3.0E-5 | 4.3796748E-4 | 0.001007653 | 0.0011175422 | 1.1090546 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0053192247 | 0.012199587 | 0.012594707 | 1.032388 | 4.0E-4 | 0.051936906 | 0.11484468 | 0.11567672 | 1.007245 | 9.4E-4 |
6.8 | 9.610582E-5 | 2.2046415E-4 | 2.5045755E-4 | 1.1360465 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1181705E-4 | 9.44505E-4 | 0.001054401 | 1.1163532 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0050023515 | 0.011438982 | 0.01182452 | 1.0337039 | 3.9E-4 | 0.048912346 | 0.108253255 | 0.10907366 | 1.0075786 | 9.2E-4 |
6.9 | 9.3877505E-5 | 2.1501853E-4 | 2.4501208E-4 | 1.1394929 | 3.0E-5 | 4.0227012E-4 | 9.211832E-4 | 0.0010210911 | 1.108456 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0048866454 | 0.011157977 | 0.011533737 | 1.0336764 | 3.8E-4 | 0.04780577 | 0.10584344 | 0.10664818 | 1.0076032 | 9.0E-4 |
7.0 | 9.1019785E-5 | 2.0828578E-4 | 2.3827954E-4 | 1.1440029 | 3.0E-5 | 3.900265E-4 | 8.923486E-4 | 9.922594E-4 | 1.1119639 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0047382377 | 0.01081045 | 0.011186342 | 1.0347712 | 3.8E-4 | 0.046384744 | 0.10281973 | 0.10361822 | 1.0077659 | 8.9E-4 |
7.1 | 8.771155E-5 | 2.0003002E-4 | 2.3002402E-4 | 1.1499475 | 3.0E-5 | 3.758525E-4 | 8.569904E-4 | 9.5690467E-4 | 1.1165874 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0045664064 | 0.01038414 | 0.010760194 | 1.0362142 | 3.8E-4 | 0.044737056 | 0.099129476 | 0.099931255 | 1.0080881 | 8.9E-4 |
7.2 | 8.0830236E-5 | 1.8408144E-4 | 2.1407592E-4 | 1.1629413 | 3.0E-5 | 3.4636928E-4 | 7.886821E-4 | 8.886032E-4 | 1.1266938 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0042088944 | 0.009560035 | 0.009936402 | 1.0393689 | 3.8E-4 | 0.041300658 | 0.09188425 | 0.09269247 | 1.0087961 | 8.9E-4 |
7.3 | 7.7668235E-5 | 1.7351305E-4 | 2.0350785E-4 | 1.1728677 | 3.0E-5 | 3.328214E-4 | 7.4341556E-4 | 8.4334123E-4 | 1.1344143 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0040445733 | 0.009013602 | 0.009390176 | 1.0417786 | 3.8E-4 | 0.03971748 | 0.08714992 | 0.08796235 | 1.0093223 | 8.9E-4 |
7.4 | 7.520177E-5 | 1.6571122E-4 | 1.9570625E-4 | 1.1810079 | 3.0E-5 | 3.2225347E-4 | 7.099977E-4 | 8.099267E-4 | 1.1407455 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0039163795 | 0.008610028 | 0.008976842 | 1.0426031 | 3.7E-4 | 0.038480744 | 0.08360589 | 0.08438483 | 1.0093168 | 8.5E-4 |
7.5 | 7.274697E-5 | 1.5858519E-4 | 1.8858042E-4 | 1.1891428 | 3.0E-5 | 3.1173544E-4 | 6.794738E-4 | 7.794059E-4 | 1.1470727 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003788775 | 0.0082412725 | 0.008608223 | 1.044526 | 3.7E-4 | 0.03724827 | 0.08032172 | 0.081103444 | 1.0097325 | 8.5E-4 |
7.6 | 7.1185845E-5 | 1.5428204E-4 | 1.842774E-4 | 1.194419 | 3.0E-5 | 3.0504653E-4 | 6.6104124E-4 | 7.609751E-4 | 1.1511765 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0037076178 | 0.00801853 | 0.008385563 | 1.0457731 | 3.7E-4 | 0.036463667 | 0.0783112 | 0.07909463 | 1.0100042 | 8.5E-4 |
7.7 | 6.709961E-5 | 1.43366E-4 | 1.733617E-4 | 1.2092246 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8753807E-4 | 6.1428105E-4 | 7.1421964E-4 | 1.162692 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003495157 | 0.0074532647 | 0.007820507 | 1.0492727 | 3.7E-4 | 0.034406938 | 0.07313814 | 0.07392597 | 1.0107719 | 8.5E-4 |
7.8 | 6.300812E-5 | 1.3219686E-4 | 1.621929E-4 | 1.2269043 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7000686E-4 | 5.66435E-4 | 6.6637836E-4 | 1.1764427 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0032823787 | 0.0068745683 | 0.007242025 | 1.0534515 | 3.7E-4 | 0.032343175 | 0.06779324 | 0.06858561 | 1.0116881 | 8.5E-4 |
7.9 | 4.983037E-5 | 9.736999E-5 | 1.2736708E-4 | 1.3080732 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1354125E-4 | 4.1723327E-4 | 4.971999E-4 | 1.1916592 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0025967648 | 0.0050679934 | 0.0053565237 | 1.0569319 | 2.9E-4 | 0.025666296 | 0.05071206 | 0.051386055 | 1.0132906 | 7.1E-4 |
8.0 | 3.2211527E-5 | 5.3382206E-5 | 7.338114E-5 | 1.3746367 | 2.0E-5 | 1.380421E-4 | 2.2876082E-4 | 2.5875395E-4 | 1.1311114 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016793669 | 0.0027816077 | 0.0029012738 | 1.0430205 | 1.2E-4 | 0.016667323 | 0.02839913 | 0.028661463 | 1.0092373 | 2.7E-4 |
8.1 | 1.743376E-5 | 1.8858676E-5 | 1.8858676E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.471398E-5 | 8.08204E-5 | 8.08204E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0926304E-4 | 9.835447E-4 | 0.0010035251 | 1.0203146 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009055517 | 0.010501587 | 0.0105510615 | 1.0047112 | 5.0E-5 |
8.2 | 7.831616E-6 | 5.167057E-6 | 5.167057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3563636E-5 | 2.2144344E-5 | 2.2144344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0856065E-4 | 2.695741E-4 | 2.695741E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004078103 | 0.003048447 | 0.003048447 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6799233E-7 | 7.6799233E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2913915E-6 | 3.2913915E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0071973E-5 | 4.0071973E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7313387E-4 | 4.7313387E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Paradise
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6695212E-5 | 4.6694713E-5 | 2.7968924 | 3.0E-5 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.154908E-5 | 1.8154121E-4 | 2.537296 | 1.1E-4 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.7078556E-4 | 0.0013403763 | 1.5392725 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0077192914 | 0.0086761145 | 0.0096575245 | 1.1131164 | 9.9E-4 |
6.1 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6695212E-5 | 4.6694713E-5 | 2.7968924 | 3.0E-5 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.154908E-5 | 1.8154121E-4 | 2.537296 | 1.1E-4 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.7078556E-4 | 0.0013403763 | 1.5392725 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0077192914 | 0.0086761145 | 0.0096575245 | 1.1131164 | 9.9E-4 |
6.2 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6695212E-5 | 4.6694713E-5 | 2.7968924 | 3.0E-5 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.154908E-5 | 1.8154121E-4 | 2.537296 | 1.1E-4 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.7078556E-4 | 0.0013403763 | 1.5392725 | 4.7E-4 | 0.0077192914 | 0.0086761145 | 0.0096575245 | 1.1131164 | 9.9E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.18889875E-5 | 3.188875E-5 | 2.682209 | 2.0E-5 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.0951843E-5 | 1.0094929E-4 | 1.9812688 | 5.0E-5 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.2016805E-4 | 8.300378E-4 | 1.3384079 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0054258266 | 0.006184982 | 0.0066222604 | 1.0707 | 4.4E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.18889875E-5 | 3.188875E-5 | 2.682209 | 2.0E-5 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.0951843E-5 | 1.0094929E-4 | 1.9812688 | 5.0E-5 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.2016805E-4 | 8.300378E-4 | 1.3384079 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0054258266 | 0.006184982 | 0.0066222604 | 1.0707 | 4.4E-4 |
6.5 | 9.25027E-6 | 1.062029E-5 | 1.062029E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.964341E-5 | 4.5514764E-5 | 7.5513395E-5 | 1.6590968 | 3.0E-5 | 4.8255164E-4 | 5.5400626E-4 | 7.2391203E-4 | 1.3066858 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0048150513 | 0.005526751 | 0.005884761 | 1.0647777 | 3.6E-4 |
6.6 | 7.904275E-6 | 9.1598085E-6 | 9.1598085E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3875025E-5 | 3.9255756E-5 | 6.925458E-5 | 1.7641891 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1235037E-4 | 4.7783795E-4 | 5.877854E-4 | 1.2300936 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0041158604 | 0.004768502 | 0.004997405 | 1.0480032 | 2.3E-4 |
6.7 | 7.2061953E-6 | 8.407511E-6 | 8.407511E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.088333E-5 | 3.603171E-5 | 5.603099E-5 | 1.5550466 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7593965E-4 | 4.3860145E-4 | 5.28562E-4 | 1.2051077 | 9.0E-5 | 0.003753043 | 0.0043777274 | 0.004546983 | 1.0386629 | 1.7E-4 |
6.8 | 6.6948724E-6 | 7.842412E-6 | 7.842412E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8691995E-5 | 3.3609926E-5 | 4.3609587E-5 | 1.2975211 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4926904E-4 | 4.0912756E-4 | 4.7909893E-4 | 1.1710258 | 7.0E-5 | 0.003487206 | 0.004084101 | 0.00421357 | 1.0317007 | 1.3E-4 |
6.9 | 6.0421025E-6 | 7.130847E-6 | 7.130847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5894467E-5 | 3.0560434E-5 | 4.0560128E-5 | 1.3272104 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1521954E-4 | 3.7201316E-4 | 4.2199457E-4 | 1.1343539 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0031477278 | 0.0037142423 | 0.003793945 | 1.0214587 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.134091E-6 | 5.0804847E-6 | 5.0804847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7717413E-5 | 2.1773332E-5 | 2.1773332E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1568815E-4 | 2.650596E-4 | 2.8505432E-4 | 1.0754347 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021547892 | 0.0026475878 | 0.0026675349 | 1.007534 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.7674888E-6 | 4.632028E-6 | 4.632028E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6146281E-5 | 1.9851404E-5 | 1.9851404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9656324E-4 | 2.4166558E-4 | 2.6166075E-4 | 1.082739 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019638946 | 0.0024141783 | 0.00243413 | 1.0082644 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.4065345E-6 | 4.156863E-6 | 4.156863E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4599351E-5 | 1.7815013E-5 | 1.7815013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.777326E-4 | 2.168777E-4 | 2.2687553E-4 | 1.046099 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017759053 | 0.0021668088 | 0.002176787 | 1.004605 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.9934936E-6 | 3.6294327E-6 | 3.6294327E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2829195E-5 | 1.5554628E-5 | 1.5554628E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5618425E-4 | 1.8936262E-4 | 1.9936071E-4 | 1.0527987 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015607453 | 0.0018921578 | 0.0019021389 | 1.005275 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.4049796E-6 | 2.8890656E-6 | 2.8890656E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0307015E-5 | 1.2381659E-5 | 1.2381659E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2548068E-4 | 1.5073772E-4 | 1.607362E-4 | 1.0663304 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012540985 | 0.0015064961 | 0.001516481 | 1.0066279 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2710091E-6 | 1.5135059E-6 | 1.5135059E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.44717E-6 | 6.486445E-6 | 6.486445E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.631728E-5 | 7.897085E-5 | 8.897006E-5 | 1.126619 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6297496E-4 | 7.8955054E-4 | 7.9954264E-4 | 1.0126554 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6040448E-7 | 2.6040448E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160188E-6 | 1.1160188E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587473E-5 | 1.3587473E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3586924E-4 | 1.3586924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bicycle Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.2098115E-5 | 2.2098115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.470352E-5 | 1.2470069E-4 | 1.316748 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011525406 | 0.0014621833 | 1.268661 | 3.1E-4 | 0.01018633 | 0.011478944 | 0.012378498 | 1.0783656 | 9.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.2098115E-5 | 2.2098115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.470352E-5 | 1.2470069E-4 | 1.316748 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011525406 | 0.0014621833 | 1.268661 | 3.1E-4 | 0.01018633 | 0.011478944 | 0.012378498 | 1.0783656 | 9.1E-4 |
6.2 | 9.9971285E-6 | 1.12561665E-5 | 1.12561665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2844134E-5 | 4.8240112E-5 | 6.823915E-5 | 1.4145727 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2150246E-4 | 5.872171E-4 | 7.37129E-4 | 1.2552922 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0052028033 | 0.00586176 | 0.006398595 | 1.0915825 | 5.4E-4 |
6.3 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0798852E-5 | 1.0798852E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.6280267E-5 | 5.62798E-5 | 1.2160648 | 1.0E-5 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.6336843E-4 | 6.932952E-4 | 1.2306248 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0049911533 | 0.0056244927 | 0.0061216806 | 1.0883969 | 5.0E-4 |
6.4 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0798852E-5 | 1.0798852E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.6280267E-5 | 5.62798E-5 | 1.2160648 | 1.0E-5 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.6336843E-4 | 6.932952E-4 | 1.2306248 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0049911533 | 0.0056244927 | 0.0061216806 | 1.0883969 | 5.0E-4 |
6.5 | 5.557707E-6 | 6.285907E-6 | 6.285907E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3818526E-5 | 2.6939477E-5 | 3.6939207E-5 | 1.3711925 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8995197E-4 | 3.2796565E-4 | 4.1793613E-4 | 1.274329 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0028957394 | 0.003277453 | 0.003606371 | 1.1003579 | 3.3E-4 |
6.6 | 4.8742945E-6 | 5.5135583E-6 | 5.5135583E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0889667E-5 | 2.3629469E-5 | 3.3629232E-5 | 1.4231904 | 1.0E-5 | 2.54302E-4 | 2.8767702E-4 | 3.67654E-4 | 1.2780097 | 8.0E-5 | 0.002540112 | 0.0028756151 | 0.0031647813 | 1.100558 | 2.9E-4 |
6.7 | 3.991108E-6 | 4.516131E-6 | 4.516131E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7104636E-5 | 1.9354848E-5 | 2.9354653E-5 | 1.5166564 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0822904E-4 | 2.3564526E-4 | 3.0562875E-4 | 1.2969867 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0020803404 | 0.0023564526 | 0.002595887 | 1.101608 | 2.4E-4 |
Garlic Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6760017E-5 | 1.8777673E-5 | 1.8777673E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.182667E-5 | 8.047392E-5 | 1.0047231E-4 | 1.2485077 | 2.0E-5 | 8.7413884E-4 | 9.794469E-4 | 0.0012192118 | 1.2447963 | 2.4E-4 | 0.008707083 | 0.009762848 | 0.010416404 | 1.0669432 | 6.6E-4 |
6.1 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0974051E-5 | 1.0974051E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.7031197E-5 | 6.703026E-5 | 1.4252297 | 2.0E-5 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.725254E-4 | 7.1244524E-4 | 1.2443906 | 1.4E-4 | 0.005127866 | 0.005717463 | 0.006105233 | 1.0678221 | 3.9E-4 |
6.2 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0974051E-5 | 1.0974051E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.7031197E-5 | 6.703026E-5 | 1.4252297 | 2.0E-5 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.725254E-4 | 7.1244524E-4 | 1.2443906 | 1.4E-4 | 0.005127866 | 0.005717463 | 0.006105233 | 1.0678221 | 3.9E-4 |
6.3 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.778218E-6 | 4.778218E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0478048E-5 | 4.0477637E-5 | 1.9766356 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4931473E-4 | 3.292948E-4 | 1.3207996 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024926087 | 0.0027020853 | 1.0840391 | 2.1E-4 |
6.4 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.778218E-6 | 4.778218E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0478048E-5 | 4.0477637E-5 | 1.9766356 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4931473E-4 | 3.292948E-4 | 1.3207996 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024926087 | 0.0027020853 | 1.0840391 | 2.1E-4 |
6.5 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.778218E-6 | 4.778218E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0478048E-5 | 4.0477637E-5 | 1.9766356 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4931473E-4 | 3.292948E-4 | 1.3207996 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024926087 | 0.0027020853 | 1.0840391 | 2.1E-4 |
6.6 | 4.301311E-6 | 4.761086E-6 | 4.761086E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8434059E-5 | 2.0404625E-5 | 4.0404215E-5 | 1.98015 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2441156E-4 | 2.48421E-4 | 3.2840113E-4 | 1.3219539 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0022418506 | 0.0024836916 | 0.00269317 | 1.0843415 | 2.1E-4 |
6.7 | 3.8599724E-6 | 4.2712286E-6 | 4.2712286E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6542634E-5 | 1.8305267E-5 | 3.83049E-5 | 2.0925617 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0138794E-4 | 2.2286661E-4 | 3.0284878E-4 | 1.3588791 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0020120554 | 0.002228666 | 0.0024282204 | 1.0895398 | 2.0E-4 |
Coyote Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.170752E-5 | 2.170752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.302932E-5 | 1.13027454E-4 | 1.2149659 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011321155 | 0.0013318891 | 1.1764604 | 2.0E-4 | 0.010280091 | 0.011270658 | 0.011794685 | 1.0464947 | 5.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.170752E-5 | 2.170752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.302932E-5 | 1.13027454E-4 | 1.2149659 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011321155 | 0.0013318891 | 1.1764604 | 2.0E-4 | 0.010280091 | 0.011270658 | 0.011794685 | 1.0464947 | 5.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.170752E-5 | 2.170752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.302932E-5 | 1.13027454E-4 | 1.2149659 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011321155 | 0.0013318891 | 1.1764604 | 2.0E-4 | 0.010280091 | 0.011270658 | 0.011794685 | 1.0464947 | 5.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.682127E-5 | 1.682127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.208951E-5 | 9.208807E-5 | 1.2774129 | 2.0E-5 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.773976E-4 | 0.0010172748 | 1.1594228 | 1.4E-4 | 0.007974784 | 0.008745381 | 0.00913197 | 1.044205 | 3.9E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.682127E-5 | 1.682127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.208951E-5 | 9.208807E-5 | 1.2774129 | 2.0E-5 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.773976E-4 | 0.0010172748 | 1.1594228 | 1.4E-4 | 0.007974784 | 0.008745381 | 0.00913197 | 1.044205 | 3.9E-4 |
6.5 | 1.4189697E-5 | 1.5558544E-5 | 1.5558544E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.081157E-5 | 6.667811E-5 | 8.667678E-5 | 1.2999285 | 2.0E-5 | 7.401293E-4 | 8.11564E-4 | 9.314666E-4 | 1.1477426 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0073766913 | 0.008091945 | 0.008449032 | 1.0441287 | 3.6E-4 |
6.6 | 1.3469301E-5 | 1.4772108E-5 | 1.4772108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7724297E-5 | 6.330784E-5 | 8.330657E-5 | 1.3158966 | 2.0E-5 | 7.025667E-4 | 7.7056035E-4 | 8.8047556E-4 | 1.1426432 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0070034964 | 0.0076847896 | 0.008012254 | 1.042612 | 3.3E-4 |
6.7 | 1.3027966E-5 | 1.42822555E-5 | 1.42822555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5832945E-5 | 6.120857E-5 | 8.120734E-5 | 1.3267317 | 2.0E-5 | 6.7955407E-4 | 7.450193E-4 | 8.549373E-4 | 1.1475372 | 1.1E-4 | 0.006774798 | 0.0074310936 | 0.007748716 | 1.0427423 | 3.2E-4 |
6.8 | 5.695434E-6 | 6.2246327E-6 | 6.2246327E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4408775E-5 | 2.6676893E-5 | 2.6676893E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.971363E-4 | 3.2477276E-4 | 3.54763E-4 | 1.0923423 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0029673933 | 0.0032459223 | 0.0033455978 | 1.0307078 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 4.385688E-6 | 4.793221E-6 | 4.793221E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.879567E-5 | 2.0542375E-5 | 2.0542375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2881327E-4 | 2.5010342E-4 | 2.7009842E-4 | 1.0799469 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002285778 | 0.0025010342 | 0.0025708592 | 1.0279185 | 7.0E-5 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.002039E-4 | 3.201979E-4 | 1.0666014 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012859799 | 0.0013558898 | 1.0543633 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006416472 | 0.015549367 | 0.015765946 | 1.0139285 | 2.2E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.14276215 | 0.14321649 | 1.0031824 | 5.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.002039E-4 | 3.201979E-4 | 1.0666014 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012859799 | 0.0013558898 | 1.0543633 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006416472 | 0.015549367 | 0.015765946 | 1.0139285 | 2.2E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.14276215 | 0.14321649 | 1.0031824 | 5.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.002039E-4 | 3.201979E-4 | 1.0666014 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012859799 | 0.0013558898 | 1.0543633 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006416472 | 0.015549367 | 0.015765946 | 1.0139285 | 2.2E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.14276215 | 0.14321649 | 1.0031824 | 5.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.8808584E-4 | 3.0808008E-4 | 1.0694038 | 2.0E-5 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012340951 | 0.0013040088 | 1.0566517 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006093008 | 0.014926443 | 0.01514316 | 1.014519 | 2.2E-4 | 0.059286322 | 0.13745083 | 0.13790798 | 1.0033259 | 5.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.8808584E-4 | 3.0808008E-4 | 1.0694038 | 2.0E-5 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012340951 | 0.0013040088 | 1.0566517 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006093008 | 0.014926443 | 0.01514316 | 1.014519 | 2.2E-4 | 0.059286322 | 0.13745083 | 0.13790798 | 1.0033259 | 5.3E-4 |
6.5 | 1.0689076E-4 | 2.6821115E-4 | 2.8820577E-4 | 1.0745481 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5802278E-4 | 0.0011489948 | 0.0012189143 | 1.0608528 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0055621783 | 0.013903905 | 0.014120845 | 1.015603 | 2.2E-4 | 0.05425003 | 0.12870929 | 0.12916236 | 1.0035201 | 5.2E-4 |
6.6 | 9.7648895E-5 | 2.506563E-4 | 2.706513E-4 | 1.0797706 | 2.0E-5 | 4.1842813E-4 | 0.0010738227 | 0.0011437475 | 1.0651177 | 7.0E-5 | 0.005082469 | 0.012999789 | 0.013216929 | 1.0167034 | 2.2E-4 | 0.049677886 | 0.12086189 | 0.12131904 | 1.0037824 | 5.2E-4 |
6.7 | 8.757013E-5 | 2.3136174E-4 | 2.5135712E-4 | 1.0864247 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7524657E-4 | 9.911958E-4 | 0.0010611265 | 1.0705518 | 7.0E-5 | 0.00455906 | 0.012005123 | 0.012222483 | 1.0181055 | 2.2E-4 | 0.04466656 | 0.11214178 | 0.11259459 | 1.0040379 | 5.1E-4 |
6.8 | 8.562978E-5 | 2.2695957E-4 | 2.4695505E-4 | 1.0881014 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6693315E-4 | 9.7234355E-4 | 0.0010422755 | 1.071921 | 7.0E-5 | 0.004458263 | 0.011778094 | 0.011995503 | 1.0184587 | 2.2E-4 | 0.043698758 | 0.11014722 | 0.11060105 | 1.0041201 | 5.1E-4 |
6.9 | 6.124075E-5 | 1.7078355E-4 | 1.9078013E-4 | 1.1170872 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6243398E-4 | 7.31725E-4 | 8.016738E-4 | 1.0955944 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0031904527 | 0.00887257 | 0.009041061 | 1.0189902 | 1.7E-4 | 0.031450346 | 0.08421918 | 0.08461297 | 1.0046757 | 4.3E-4 |
7.0 | 5.8598747E-5 | 1.6507228E-4 | 1.8506899E-4 | 1.121139 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5111332E-4 | 7.072617E-4 | 7.7721215E-4 | 1.0989033 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0030530186 | 0.008577108 | 0.008745651 | 1.0196502 | 1.7E-4 | 0.03011414 | 0.081538215 | 0.08192397 | 1.0047309 | 4.2E-4 |
7.1 | 5.613814E-5 | 1.5925693E-4 | 1.7925374E-4 | 1.1255633 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4056983E-4 | 6.8235194E-4 | 7.5230416E-4 | 1.1025164 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0029250039 | 0.008276171 | 0.008444764 | 1.0203708 | 1.7E-4 | 0.028868021 | 0.07883174 | 0.07921863 | 1.0049078 | 4.2E-4 |
7.2 | 4.991222E-5 | 1.4531772E-4 | 1.6531482E-4 | 1.1376095 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1389198E-4 | 6.22642E-4 | 6.925984E-4 | 1.1123542 | 7.0E-5 | 0.002601025 | 0.0075544207 | 0.0077231363 | 1.0223334 | 1.7E-4 | 0.025707912 | 0.07230818 | 0.072688535 | 1.0052602 | 4.1E-4 |
7.3 | 4.7410045E-5 | 1.3725719E-4 | 1.5725444E-4 | 1.1456919 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0317009E-4 | 5.881128E-4 | 6.5807166E-4 | 1.1189548 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0024707897 | 0.0071368515 | 0.0073056384 | 1.02365 | 1.7E-4 | 0.024434982 | 0.06858715 | 0.068969026 | 1.0055678 | 4.1E-4 |
7.4 | 4.5556746E-5 | 1.3133405E-4 | 1.5133142E-4 | 1.1522634 | 2.0E-5 | 1.952286E-4 | 5.627391E-4 | 6.326997E-4 | 1.1243216 | 7.0E-5 | 0.002374317 | 0.0068299044 | 0.0069888113 | 1.0232664 | 1.6E-4 | 0.023491086 | 0.06583941 | 0.06619439 | 1.0053916 | 3.8E-4 |
7.5 | 4.3084514E-5 | 1.236849E-4 | 1.4368242E-4 | 1.1616812 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8463485E-4 | 5.2997074E-4 | 5.999337E-4 | 1.1320127 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0022456115 | 0.006433376 | 0.006592347 | 1.0247103 | 1.6E-4 | 0.022230545 | 0.06223984 | 0.06259619 | 1.0057254 | 3.8E-4 |
7.6 | 3.408608E-5 | 9.845801E-5 | 1.18456046E-4 | 1.2031122 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4607502E-4 | 4.2189477E-4 | 4.918652E-4 | 1.1658481 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0017770125 | 0.0051244968 | 0.005283677 | 1.0310626 | 1.6E-4 | 0.017628696 | 0.050067004 | 0.050427977 | 1.0072098 | 3.8E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8315713E-5 | 8.258305E-5 | 1.025814E-4 | 1.2421604 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2134742E-4 | 3.5387938E-4 | 4.238546E-4 | 1.1977375 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0014764034 | 0.0042999787 | 0.0044592908 | 1.0370495 | 1.6E-4 | 0.01466633 | 0.042315584 | 0.042679504 | 1.0086001 | 3.8E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6222975E-5 | 7.472058E-5 | 9.4719086E-5 | 1.2676439 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1237934E-4 | 3.2019176E-4 | 3.9016936E-4 | 1.218549 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0013673597 | 0.0038913726 | 0.00405075 | 1.0409566 | 1.6E-4 | 0.013589768 | 0.03847816 | 0.038843535 | 1.0094957 | 3.8E-4 |
7.9 | 2.1469694E-5 | 5.795299E-5 | 7.795183E-5 | 1.3450873 | 2.0E-5 | 9.200973E-5 | 2.4834633E-4 | 3.0833142E-4 | 1.241538 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0011196428 | 0.0030194274 | 0.0031689745 | 1.0495282 | 1.5E-4 | 0.011140184 | 0.030186761 | 0.030535894 | 1.0115658 | 3.6E-4 |
8.0 | 1.2420249E-5 | 3.1360047E-5 | 4.1359734E-5 | 1.3188671 | 1.0E-5 | 5.322855E-5 | 1.3439328E-4 | 1.543906E-4 | 1.1487969 | 2.0E-5 | 6.478649E-4 | 0.0016350112 | 0.0017048968 | 1.0427432 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0064597935 | 0.016542053 | 0.016679736 | 1.0083233 | 1.4E-4 |
8.1 | 4.9197724E-6 | 7.836549E-6 | 7.836549E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1084568E-5 | 3.358478E-5 | 3.358478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.566744E-4 | 4.088181E-4 | 4.088181E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002563781 | 0.004391559 | 0.004391559 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.5634774E-6 | 2.913056E-6 | 2.913056E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0986286E-5 | 1.2484466E-5 | 1.2484466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3374983E-4 | 1.5198783E-4 | 1.5198783E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013366934 | 0.001708402 | 0.001708402 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.2850464E-7 | 3.2166002E-7 | 3.2166002E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2650179E-6 | 1.3785424E-6 | 1.3785424E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7576245E-5 | 1.6783637E-5 | 1.6783637E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7572823E-4 | 1.9914188E-4 | 1.9914188E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Helendale-So Lockhart
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8104043E-5 | 2.8103863E-5 | 1.5523528 | 1.0E-5 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.758657E-5 | 1.07584245E-4 | 1.3866348 | 3.0E-5 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.4422785E-4 | 0.0011640202 | 1.2327746 | 2.2E-4 | 0.008984311 | 0.009404279 | 0.009909483 | 1.0537206 | 5.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8104043E-5 | 2.8103863E-5 | 1.5523528 | 1.0E-5 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.758657E-5 | 1.07584245E-4 | 1.3866348 | 3.0E-5 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.4422785E-4 | 0.0011640202 | 1.2327746 | 2.2E-4 | 0.008984311 | 0.009404279 | 0.009909483 | 1.0537206 | 5.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8104043E-5 | 2.8103863E-5 | 1.5523528 | 1.0E-5 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.758657E-5 | 1.07584245E-4 | 1.3866348 | 3.0E-5 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.4422785E-4 | 0.0011640202 | 1.2327746 | 2.2E-4 | 0.008984311 | 0.009404279 | 0.009909483 | 1.0537206 | 5.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1135606E-5 | 1.1135606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.7723166E-5 | 4.7723166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.808775E-4 | 6.808193E-4 | 1.1720533 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0055515557 | 0.0057938877 | 0.006062323 | 1.0463308 | 2.7E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1135606E-5 | 1.1135606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.7723166E-5 | 4.7723166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.808775E-4 | 6.808193E-4 | 1.1720533 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0055515557 | 0.0057938877 | 0.006062323 | 1.0463308 | 2.7E-4 |
6.5 | 8.790038E-6 | 9.170344E-6 | 9.170344E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.767105E-5 | 3.9300892E-5 | 3.9300892E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.585485E-4 | 4.7838487E-4 | 5.683418E-4 | 1.188043 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0045760344 | 0.004773715 | 0.005002617 | 1.0479505 | 2.3E-4 |
6.6 | 7.396949E-6 | 7.715661E-6 | 7.715661E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1700827E-5 | 3.3066703E-5 | 3.3066703E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.858892E-4 | 4.0251375E-4 | 4.9247756E-4 | 1.2235049 | 9.0E-5 | 0.003852198 | 0.004017954 | 0.00423707 | 1.0545342 | 2.2E-4 |
6.7 | 6.4600285E-6 | 6.738139E-6 | 6.738139E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7685543E-5 | 2.8877423E-5 | 2.8877423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3701936E-4 | 3.515267E-4 | 4.2150207E-4 | 1.1990614 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0033650869 | 0.003509788 | 0.003699121 | 1.0539443 | 1.9E-4 |
6.8 | 5.600104E-6 | 5.8361006E-6 | 5.8361006E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4000226E-5 | 2.5011625E-5 | 2.5011625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9216358E-4 | 3.0447455E-4 | 3.7445326E-4 | 1.2298343 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0029177975 | 0.0030406357 | 0.0032001492 | 1.0524606 | 1.6E-4 |
6.9 | 4.839122E-6 | 5.039587E-6 | 5.039587E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0738931E-5 | 2.1598053E-5 | 2.1598053E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5246723E-4 | 2.6292502E-4 | 3.029145E-4 | 1.1520946 | 4.0E-5 | 0.002521806 | 0.0026261872 | 0.0027458721 | 1.0455736 | 1.2E-4 |
7.0 | 3.6937633E-6 | 3.8452667E-6 | 3.8452667E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5830317E-5 | 1.6479611E-5 | 1.6479611E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9271708E-4 | 2.0062111E-4 | 2.1061911E-4 | 1.0498352 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019255003 | 0.0020044316 | 0.002084271 | 1.0398315 | 8.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.7858857E-6 | 2.897897E-6 | 2.897897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1939455E-5 | 1.2419501E-5 | 1.2419501E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4535317E-4 | 1.5119715E-4 | 1.6119564E-4 | 1.0661288 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014525814 | 0.0015109644 | 0.0015608887 | 1.0330415 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.1672065E-6 | 2.2540464E-6 | 2.2540464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2879945E-6 | 9.660163E-6 | 9.660163E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1307546E-4 | 1.1760633E-4 | 1.2760515E-4 | 1.0850195 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011301794 | 0.0011754591 | 0.0012054238 | 1.025492 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4823496E-6 | 1.5422333E-6 | 1.5422333E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3529114E-6 | 6.6095554E-6 | 6.6095554E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.734395E-5 | 8.046852E-5 | 9.0467714E-5 | 1.1242622 | 1.0E-5 | 7.731704E-4 | 8.044089E-4 | 8.343848E-4 | 1.0372645 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.2321457E-7 | 4.4109458E-7 | 4.4109458E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8137755E-6 | 1.8904042E-6 | 1.8904042E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2082493E-5 | 2.3015475E-5 | 2.3015475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2080299E-4 | 2.3013544E-4 | 2.3013544E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.6942316E-8 | 5.9416603E-8 | 5.9416603E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.440385E-7 | 2.5464257E-7 | 2.5464257E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711643E-6 | 3.1002696E-6 | 3.1002696E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711247E-5 | 3.1002342E-5 | 3.1002342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8671086E-5 | 3.867071E-5 | 2.071155 | 2.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.001653E-5 | 1.5001092E-4 | 1.8747493 | 7.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.737734E-4 | 0.0011735787 | 1.2051866 | 2.0E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695919 | 0.010082138 | 1.0398331 | 3.9E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8671086E-5 | 3.867071E-5 | 2.071155 | 2.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.001653E-5 | 1.5001092E-4 | 1.8747493 | 7.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.737734E-4 | 0.0011735787 | 1.2051866 | 2.0E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695919 | 0.010082138 | 1.0398331 | 3.9E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8671086E-5 | 3.867071E-5 | 2.071155 | 2.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.001653E-5 | 1.5001092E-4 | 1.8747493 | 7.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.737734E-4 | 0.0011735787 | 1.2051866 | 2.0E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695919 | 0.010082138 | 1.0398331 | 3.9E-4 |
6.3 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8671086E-5 | 3.867071E-5 | 2.071155 | 2.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.001653E-5 | 1.5001092E-4 | 1.8747493 | 7.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.737734E-4 | 0.0011735787 | 1.2051866 | 2.0E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695919 | 0.010082138 | 1.0398331 | 3.9E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.7338973E-5 | 3.7338625E-5 | 2.153451 | 2.0E-5 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.43078E-5 | 1.3430334E-4 | 1.8073922 | 6.0E-5 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.043281E-4 | 0.0010941562 | 1.2099108 | 1.9E-4 | 0.008063202 | 0.009007165 | 0.009363922 | 1.0396081 | 3.6E-4 |
6.5 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.7338973E-5 | 3.7338625E-5 | 2.153451 | 2.0E-5 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.43078E-5 | 1.3430334E-4 | 1.8073922 | 6.0E-5 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.043281E-4 | 0.0010941562 | 1.2099108 | 1.9E-4 | 0.008063202 | 0.009007165 | 0.009363922 | 1.0396081 | 3.6E-4 |
6.6 | 1.5041828E-5 | 1.6809881E-5 | 3.6809543E-5 | 2.1897564 | 2.0E-5 | 6.4463384E-5 | 7.204039E-5 | 1.3203606E-4 | 1.8328061 | 6.0E-5 | 7.8455906E-4 | 8.767447E-4 | 0.0010665781 | 1.2165208 | 1.9E-4 | 0.00781795 | 0.008733513 | 0.009090369 | 1.0408605 | 3.6E-4 |
6.7 | 1.4634985E-5 | 1.6356733E-5 | 3.6356407E-5 | 2.222718 | 2.0E-5 | 6.271985E-5 | 7.009843E-5 | 1.3009422E-4 | 1.8558792 | 6.0E-5 | 7.6334673E-4 | 8.5312E-4 | 0.0010429579 | 1.2225219 | 1.9E-4 | 0.007607299 | 0.008499087 | 0.008846112 | 1.0408309 | 3.5E-4 |
6.8 | 1.4209158E-5 | 1.5882744E-5 | 2.5882586E-5 | 1.6296041 | 1.0E-5 | 6.089497E-5 | 6.806716E-5 | 1.18063756E-4 | 1.7345186 | 5.0E-5 | 7.4114406E-4 | 8.284082E-4 | 9.782839E-4 | 1.1809201 | 1.5E-4 | 0.007386771 | 0.0082538165 | 0.008561258 | 1.0372484 | 3.1E-4 |
6.9 | 1.3780098E-5 | 1.540527E-5 | 2.5405116E-5 | 1.6491185 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9056227E-5 | 6.602095E-5 | 1.1601765E-4 | 1.7572855 | 5.0E-5 | 7.1877235E-4 | 8.0351403E-4 | 9.3340955E-4 | 1.1616594 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0071645193 | 0.008006684 | 0.008274522 | 1.0334518 | 2.7E-4 |
7.0 | 1.3585064E-5 | 1.5188823E-5 | 2.5188672E-5 | 1.6583688 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8220405E-5 | 6.5093365E-5 | 1.1509011E-4 | 1.7680775 | 5.0E-5 | 7.086029E-4 | 7.92229E-4 | 9.1213395E-4 | 1.1513513 | 1.2E-4 | 0.007063476 | 0.00789464 | 0.008142666 | 1.031417 | 2.5E-4 |
7.1 | 1.3398601E-5 | 1.4981999E-5 | 2.498185E-5 | 1.6674577 | 1.0E-5 | 5.742131E-5 | 6.4207015E-5 | 1.1420381E-4 | 1.778681 | 5.0E-5 | 6.9888023E-4 | 7.8144553E-4 | 9.0135174E-4 | 1.1534415 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0069668638 | 0.0077875657 | 0.0080256965 | 1.0305784 | 2.4E-4 |
7.2 | 1.3126312E-5 | 1.4680209E-5 | 1.4680209E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6254412E-5 | 6.291369E-5 | 1.0291117E-4 | 1.6357516 | 4.0E-5 | 6.846822E-4 | 7.657104E-4 | 8.656339E-4 | 1.1304977 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006825765 | 0.0076313056 | 0.007839703 | 1.0273082 | 2.1E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2922429E-5 | 1.44544265E-5 | 1.44544265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5380664E-5 | 6.19461E-5 | 1.01943624E-4 | 1.6456827 | 4.0E-5 | 6.74051E-4 | 7.539382E-4 | 8.5386285E-4 | 1.1325369 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006720101 | 0.0075143855 | 0.007702958 | 1.0250949 | 1.9E-4 |
7.4 | 1.2768878E-5 | 1.4284403E-5 | 1.4284403E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4722615E-5 | 6.121746E-5 | 1.0121502E-4 | 1.6533684 | 4.0E-5 | 6.660441E-4 | 7.450732E-4 | 8.449987E-4 | 1.134115 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0066405144 | 0.007426331 | 0.0076149195 | 1.0253947 | 1.9E-4 |
7.5 | 1.2521929E-5 | 1.4012637E-5 | 1.4012637E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.366431E-5 | 6.0052804E-5 | 1.00050405E-4 | 1.6660404 | 4.0E-5 | 6.531671E-4 | 7.3090306E-4 | 8.3082996E-4 | 1.1367171 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006512506 | 0.0072855675 | 0.0074741836 | 1.0258889 | 1.9E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1301089E-5 | 1.264871E-5 | 1.264871E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8432343E-5 | 5.4207663E-5 | 9.42055E-5 | 1.7378631 | 4.0E-5 | 5.895042E-4 | 6.597838E-4 | 7.597178E-4 | 1.1514648 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0058794282 | 0.0065788017 | 0.006747683 | 1.0256705 | 1.7E-4 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.0283815E-5 | 1.0283815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.4072774E-5 | 6.407189E-5 | 1.4537749 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.36459E-4 | 6.1641604E-4 | 1.1490461 | 8.0E-5 | 0.004783291 | 0.0053521506 | 0.005481455 | 1.0241593 | 1.3E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.648336E-7 | 3.648336E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635717E-6 | 1.5635717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9036323E-5 | 1.9036323E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9034736E-4 | 1.9034736E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6697147E-9 | 2.6697147E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1441634E-8 | 1.1441634E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3930189E-7 | 1.3930189E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3930189E-6 | 1.3930189E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sierra Nevada (No Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.976459E-6 | 6.976459E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.989897E-5 | 1.0989658E-4 | 3.6755974 | 8.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.63995E-4 | 5.0394406E-4 | 1.3844806 | 1.4E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036375043 | 0.003936413 | 1.0821742 | 3.0E-4 |
6.1 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.976459E-6 | 6.976459E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.989897E-5 | 1.0989658E-4 | 3.6755974 | 8.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.63995E-4 | 5.0394406E-4 | 1.3844806 | 1.4E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036375043 | 0.003936413 | 1.0821742 | 3.0E-4 |
6.2 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.976459E-6 | 6.976459E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.989897E-5 | 1.0989658E-4 | 3.6755974 | 8.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.63995E-4 | 5.0394406E-4 | 1.3844806 | 1.4E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036375043 | 0.003936413 | 1.0821742 | 3.0E-4 |
6.3 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.976459E-6 | 6.976459E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.989897E-5 | 1.0989658E-4 | 3.6755974 | 8.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.63995E-4 | 5.0394406E-4 | 1.3844806 | 1.4E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036375043 | 0.003936413 | 1.0821742 | 3.0E-4 |
6.4 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.976459E-6 | 6.976459E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.989897E-5 | 1.0989658E-4 | 3.6755974 | 8.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.63995E-4 | 5.0394406E-4 | 1.3844806 | 1.4E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036375043 | 0.003936413 | 1.0821742 | 3.0E-4 |
6.5 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.976459E-6 | 6.976459E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.989897E-5 | 1.0989658E-4 | 3.6755974 | 8.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.63995E-4 | 5.0394406E-4 | 1.3844806 | 1.4E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036375043 | 0.003936413 | 1.0821742 | 3.0E-4 |
6.6 | 2.653E-6 | 1.614896E-6 | 1.614896E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.136995E-5 | 6.9209646E-6 | 5.692062E-5 | 8.224377 | 5.0E-5 | 1.3842035E-4 | 8.425952E-5 | 1.842511E-4 | 2.1867094 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013833415 | 8.422792E-4 | 0.0010620939 | 1.2609761 | 2.2E-4 |
6.7 | 2.5902466E-6 | 1.5502288E-6 | 1.5502288E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.11010095E-5 | 6.643821E-6 | 5.664349E-5 | 8.52574 | 5.0E-5 | 1.351464E-4 | 8.088555E-5 | 1.8087745E-4 | 2.2362149 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013506424 | 8.085641E-4 | 0.0010283862 | 1.2718673 | 2.2E-4 |
6.8 | 2.5853892E-6 | 1.5470288E-6 | 1.5470288E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1080193E-5 | 6.6301063E-6 | 5.6629775E-5 | 8.541307 | 5.0E-5 | 1.34893E-4 | 8.0718586E-5 | 1.8071051E-4 | 2.2387722 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0013481114 | 8.0689567E-4 | 0.0010267182 | 1.2724298 | 2.2E-4 |
6.9 | 2.458257E-6 | 1.4221017E-6 | 1.4221017E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0535345E-5 | 6.0947077E-6 | 5.6094403E-5 | 9.203789 | 5.0E-5 | 1.2826028E-4 | 7.420056E-5 | 1.7419313E-4 | 2.3475988 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012818627 | 7.417598E-4 | 9.615966E-4 | 1.2963719 | 2.2E-4 |
7.0 | 2.4341468E-6 | 1.3990652E-6 | 1.3990652E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0432016E-5 | 5.9959802E-6 | 5.599568E-5 | 9.33887 | 5.0E-5 | 1.270024E-4 | 7.2998635E-5 | 1.7299133E-4 | 2.3697886 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012692984 | 7.2974846E-4 | 9.4958796E-4 | 1.3012537 | 2.2E-4 |
7.1 | 2.3652476E-6 | 1.334014E-6 | 1.334014E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0136736E-5 | 5.71719E-6 | 5.5716904E-5 | 9.745505 | 5.0E-5 | 1.2340778E-4 | 6.960458E-5 | 1.6959762E-4 | 2.436587 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012333926 | 6.958295E-4 | 9.156765E-4 | 1.3159494 | 2.2E-4 |
7.2 | 2.272158E-6 | 1.2503194E-6 | 1.2503194E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.737784E-6 | 5.358501E-6 | 5.5358232E-5 | 10.330918 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1855107E-4 | 6.523781E-5 | 1.6523128E-4 | 2.5327535 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0011848784 | 6.521881E-4 | 8.720446E-4 | 1.337106 | 2.2E-4 |
7.3 | 2.1382127E-6 | 1.1420057E-6 | 1.1420057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.163737E-6 | 4.894301E-6 | 5.4894055E-5 | 11.215914 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1156279E-4 | 5.9586495E-5 | 1.5958054E-4 | 2.6781325 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001115068 | 5.957064E-4 | 8.155753E-4 | 1.3690895 | 2.2E-4 |
7.4 | 1.9048055E-6 | 9.575566E-7 | 9.575566E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.163426E-6 | 4.1038074E-6 | 5.4103602E-5 | 13.183758 | 5.0E-5 | 9.9385186E-5 | 4.9962717E-5 | 1.4995772E-4 | 3.0013924 | 1.0E-4 | 9.934074E-4 | 4.9951556E-4 | 7.1940565E-4 | 1.4402068 | 2.2E-4 |
7.5 | 1.5373403E-6 | 7.5603066E-7 | 7.5603066E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5885843E-6 | 3.2401274E-6 | 5.3239964E-5 | 16.431442 | 5.0E-5 | 8.021306E-5 | 3.944784E-5 | 1.2944429E-4 | 3.2814035 | 9.0E-5 | 8.0184115E-4 | 3.9440888E-4 | 5.543458E-4 | 1.4055104 | 1.6E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.6597958E-7 | 4.6597958E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.997054E-6 | 1.997054E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.4313862E-5 | 4.4313376E-5 | 1.822556 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.4311228E-4 | 2.9310014E-4 | 1.2056162 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.558045E-7 | 1.558045E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.677334E-7 | 6.677334E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.129625E-6 | 1.8129544E-5 | 2.230059 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.1293394E-5 | 9.129258E-5 | 1.1230012 | 1.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Big Bend)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.009709E-4 | 2.009709E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.610206E-4 | 8.610206E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010432823 | 0.010551571 | 1.0113821 | 1.2E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.101588584 | 0.10184014 | 1.0024762 | 2.8E-4 |
6.1 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.009709E-4 | 2.009709E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.610206E-4 | 8.610206E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010432823 | 0.010551571 | 1.0113821 | 1.2E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.101588584 | 0.10184014 | 1.0024762 | 2.8E-4 |
6.2 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.009709E-4 | 2.009709E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.610206E-4 | 8.610206E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010432823 | 0.010551571 | 1.0113821 | 1.2E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.101588584 | 0.10184014 | 1.0024762 | 2.8E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.009709E-4 | 2.009709E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.610206E-4 | 8.610206E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010432823 | 0.010551571 | 1.0113821 | 1.2E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.101588584 | 0.10184014 | 1.0024762 | 2.8E-4 |
6.4 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8454062E-4 | 1.8454062E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9268145E-4 | 7.906489E-4 | 7.906489E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047704205 | 0.0095837815 | 0.009633303 | 1.0051671 | 5.0E-5 | 0.046693064 | 0.09387445 | 0.09399224 | 1.0012548 | 1.3E-4 |
6.5 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8454062E-4 | 1.8454062E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9268145E-4 | 7.906489E-4 | 7.906489E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047704205 | 0.0095837815 | 0.009633303 | 1.0051671 | 5.0E-5 | 0.046693064 | 0.09387445 | 0.09399224 | 1.0012548 | 1.3E-4 |
6.6 | 9.042622E-5 | 1.8261047E-4 | 1.8261047E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8748336E-4 | 7.8238174E-4 | 7.8238174E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047074095 | 0.009484008 | 0.009533533 | 1.0052221 | 5.0E-5 | 0.046089325 | 0.09297103 | 0.09306173 | 1.0009756 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 8.9836685E-5 | 1.817536E-4 | 1.817536E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8495753E-4 | 7.7871163E-4 | 7.7871163E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00467679 | 0.009439711 | 0.009489239 | 1.0052468 | 5.0E-5 | 0.045795817 | 0.09256524 | 0.09265598 | 1.0009804 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 8.9471854E-5 | 1.8122118E-4 | 1.8122118E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8339442E-4 | 7.7643123E-4 | 7.7643123E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004657841 | 0.009412188 | 0.009461717 | 1.0052623 | 5.0E-5 | 0.04561414 | 0.092311874 | 0.09240264 | 1.0009832 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 8.858234E-5 | 1.800405E-4 | 1.800405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7958333E-4 | 7.7137415E-4 | 7.7137415E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004611638 | 0.009351147 | 0.00940068 | 1.005297 | 5.0E-5 | 0.04517103 | 0.091751955 | 0.09184278 | 1.0009899 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 8.7433385E-5 | 1.7842784E-4 | 1.7842784E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.746607E-4 | 7.644668E-4 | 7.644668E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004551957 | 0.009267769 | 0.009307398 | 1.004276 | 4.0E-5 | 0.044598386 | 0.090986416 | 0.09106823 | 1.0008992 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.684964E-5 | 1.7754697E-4 | 1.7754697E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7215967E-4 | 7.6069386E-4 | 7.6069386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045216335 | 0.0092222225 | 0.009261854 | 1.0042974 | 4.0E-5 | 0.04430731 | 0.09056816 | 0.09065001 | 1.0009037 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.606521E-5 | 1.7645273E-4 | 1.7645273E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6879873E-4 | 7.5600704E-4 | 7.5600704E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044808835 | 0.009165642 | 0.009205275 | 1.0043241 | 4.0E-5 | 0.043916024 | 0.09004859 | 0.090130486 | 1.0009094 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.568266E-5 | 1.7587231E-4 | 1.7587231E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6715972E-4 | 7.5352093E-4 | 7.5352093E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044610105 | 0.009135628 | 0.009175262 | 1.0043385 | 4.0E-5 | 0.043725148 | 0.089769736 | 0.08985166 | 1.0009125 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.5432206E-5 | 1.754979E-4 | 1.754979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6608664E-4 | 7.519173E-4 | 7.519173E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004447999 | 0.009116267 | 0.009155903 | 1.0043478 | 4.0E-5 | 0.043600157 | 0.089589715 | 0.08967165 | 1.0009146 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.4791965E-5 | 1.741902E-4 | 1.741902E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.633435E-4 | 7.46316E-4 | 7.46316E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044147377 | 0.00904864 | 0.009088278 | 1.0043806 | 4.0E-5 | 0.043280575 | 0.08896728 | 0.08904927 | 1.0009216 | 9.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.241105E-5 | 1.6864011E-4 | 1.6864011E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.531424E-4 | 7.225433E-4 | 7.225433E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042910352 | 0.008761571 | 0.008791308 | 1.003394 | 3.0E-5 | 0.042091176 | 0.08634394 | 0.08639876 | 1.0006349 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 7.00432E-5 | 1.4225663E-4 | 1.4225663E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.001506E-4 | 6.0952886E-4 | 6.0952886E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036482112 | 0.007395803 | 0.007425581 | 1.0040264 | 3.0E-5 | 0.035888977 | 0.073614225 | 0.07366981 | 1.0007551 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.415362E-5 | 1.2988034E-4 | 1.2988034E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.749151E-4 | 5.5651134E-4 | 5.5651134E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033419547 | 0.006754506 | 0.006784303 | 1.0044115 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03292141 | 0.067340724 | 0.06739668 | 1.000831 | 6.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.939911E-5 | 9.3547475E-5 | 9.3547475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.116933E-4 | 4.0085617E-4 | 4.0085617E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025743195 | 0.004869512 | 0.004889414 | 1.0040872 | 2.0E-5 | 0.025447013 | 0.048978236 | 0.04901628 | 1.0007766 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.344983E-5 | 5.2305797E-5 | 5.2305797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4334853E-4 | 2.2414845E-4 | 2.2414845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017438711 | 0.002725594 | 0.0027455394 | 1.0073179 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017302496 | 0.027960615 | 0.027980058 | 1.0006953 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9104898E-5 | 1.9209088E-5 | 1.9209088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1875565E-5 | 8.232207E-5 | 8.232207E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.963791E-4 | 0.001001811 | 0.001011801 | 1.009972 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009919235 | 0.010768426 | 0.010778318 | 1.0009186 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.4877546E-6 | 5.4877546E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3518736E-5 | 2.3518736E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8630308E-4 | 2.8630308E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032558958 | 0.0032558958 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6799233E-7 | 7.6799233E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2913915E-6 | 3.2913915E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0071973E-5 | 4.0071973E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7313387E-4 | 4.7313387E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (No)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2501099E-5 | 2.2501099E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.642976E-5 | 1.4642494E-4 | 1.5184622 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011734073 | 0.0013332196 | 1.1361951 | 1.6E-4 | 0.010420183 | 0.0116730295 | 0.011949762 | 1.0237069 | 2.8E-4 |
6.1 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2501099E-5 | 2.2501099E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.642976E-5 | 1.4642494E-4 | 1.5184622 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011734073 | 0.0013332196 | 1.1361951 | 1.6E-4 | 0.010420183 | 0.0116730295 | 0.011949762 | 1.0237069 | 2.8E-4 |
6.2 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2501099E-5 | 2.2501099E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.642976E-5 | 1.4642494E-4 | 1.5184622 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011734073 | 0.0013332196 | 1.1361951 | 1.6E-4 | 0.010420183 | 0.0116730295 | 0.011949762 | 1.0237069 | 2.8E-4 |
6.3 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.1337903E-5 | 2.1337903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.144499E-5 | 1.4144041E-4 | 1.5467268 | 5.0E-5 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.0011127809 | 0.0012726028 | 1.143624 | 1.6E-4 | 0.009891188 | 0.011072912 | 0.011349812 | 1.0250069 | 2.8E-4 |
6.4 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.1337903E-5 | 2.1337903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.144499E-5 | 1.4144041E-4 | 1.5467268 | 5.0E-5 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.0011127809 | 0.0012726028 | 1.143624 | 1.6E-4 | 0.009891188 | 0.011072912 | 0.011349812 | 1.0250069 | 2.8E-4 |
6.5 | 1.8367004E-5 | 2.0561925E-5 | 2.0561925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8713354E-5 | 8.8119596E-5 | 1.381152E-4 | 1.5673606 | 5.0E-5 | 9.5791375E-4 | 0.0010723346 | 0.0012221738 | 1.1397318 | 1.5E-4 | 0.009537951 | 0.010672389 | 0.010939508 | 1.025029 | 2.7E-4 |
6.6 | 1.779439E-5 | 1.9911813E-5 | 1.9911813E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.625944E-5 | 8.533358E-5 | 1.3532932E-4 | 1.5858858 | 5.0E-5 | 9.280632E-4 | 0.0010384476 | 0.0011882918 | 1.1442964 | 1.5E-4 | 0.009241969 | 0.010336709 | 0.010603919 | 1.0258505 | 2.7E-4 |
6.7 | 1.7025437E-5 | 1.9044268E-5 | 1.9044268E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.296412E-5 | 8.161578E-5 | 1.316117E-4 | 1.6125767 | 5.0E-5 | 8.87976E-4 | 9.932253E-4 | 0.0011330862 | 1.1408149 | 1.4E-4 | 0.008844362 | 0.009888581 | 0.01014601 | 1.0260329 | 2.6E-4 |
6.8 | 1.6545107E-5 | 1.8513367E-5 | 1.8513367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.090568E-5 | 7.934062E-5 | 1.1933745E-4 | 1.5041153 | 4.0E-5 | 8.629347E-4 | 9.6555013E-4 | 0.0010754439 | 1.1138147 | 1.1E-4 | 0.008595915 | 0.009614253 | 0.009832138 | 1.0226626 | 2.2E-4 |
6.9 | 1.615478E-5 | 1.8088402E-5 | 1.8088402E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9232934E-5 | 7.751945E-5 | 1.1751635E-4 | 1.5159595 | 4.0E-5 | 8.4258494E-4 | 9.433967E-4 | 0.001053293 | 1.1164899 | 1.1E-4 | 0.008393973 | 0.009394613 | 0.009612546 | 1.0231977 | 2.2E-4 |
7.0 | 1.5894311E-5 | 1.7806347E-5 | 1.7806347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.81167E-5 | 7.6310724E-5 | 1.1630767E-4 | 1.5241327 | 4.0E-5 | 8.2900526E-4 | 9.286931E-4 | 0.0010385909 | 1.118336 | 1.1E-4 | 0.008259195 | 0.00924881 | 0.009456868 | 1.0224956 | 2.1E-4 |
7.1 | 1.5602263E-5 | 1.748429E-5 | 1.748429E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6865134E-5 | 7.493055E-5 | 1.1492755E-4 | 1.5337876 | 4.0E-5 | 8.137789E-4 | 9.119037E-4 | 0.0010118125 | 1.1095607 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008108052 | 0.009082301 | 0.009270575 | 1.0207298 | 1.9E-4 |
7.2 | 1.5323829E-5 | 1.7171402E-5 | 1.7171402E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.56719E-5 | 7.3589676E-5 | 1.13586735E-4 | 1.5435145 | 4.0E-5 | 7.99262E-4 | 8.955921E-4 | 9.955026E-4 | 1.111558 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007963934 | 0.008920506 | 0.009108811 | 1.0211092 | 1.9E-4 |
7.3 | 1.4556212E-5 | 1.6303184E-5 | 1.6303184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.238227E-5 | 6.9868955E-5 | 1.0986616E-4 | 1.5724604 | 4.0E-5 | 7.592395E-4 | 8.5032836E-4 | 9.502433E-4 | 1.1175016 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0075665074 | 0.008471391 | 0.008659782 | 1.0222384 | 1.9E-4 |
7.4 | 1.411725E-5 | 1.5808666E-5 | 1.5808666E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0501097E-5 | 6.77497E-5 | 1.07746986E-4 | 1.5903685 | 4.0E-5 | 7.363519E-4 | 8.245462E-4 | 9.244638E-4 | 1.1211789 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0073391674 | 0.008215504 | 0.008403943 | 1.022937 | 1.9E-4 |
7.5 | 1.3503312E-5 | 1.5126967E-5 | 1.5126967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7870053E-5 | 6.482828E-5 | 1.0482568E-4 | 1.6169747 | 4.0E-5 | 7.043401E-4 | 7.8900426E-4 | 8.889254E-4 | 1.126642 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007021119 | 0.007862655 | 0.008051161 | 1.0239749 | 1.9E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1279839E-5 | 1.2626889E-5 | 1.2626889E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.834127E-5 | 5.411414E-5 | 9.411198E-5 | 1.7391382 | 4.0E-5 | 5.88396E-4 | 6.586458E-4 | 7.5858E-4 | 1.1517266 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005868405 | 0.00656749 | 0.006736373 | 1.0257151 | 1.7E-4 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.0283815E-5 | 1.0283815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.4072774E-5 | 6.407189E-5 | 1.4537749 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.36459E-4 | 6.1641604E-4 | 1.1490461 | 8.0E-5 | 0.004783291 | 0.0053521506 | 0.005481455 | 1.0241593 | 1.3E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.648336E-7 | 3.648336E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635717E-6 | 1.5635717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9036323E-5 | 1.9036323E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9034736E-4 | 1.9034736E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6697147E-9 | 2.6697147E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1441634E-8 | 1.1441634E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3930189E-7 | 1.3930189E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3930189E-6 | 1.3930189E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3395404E-4 | 2.439517E-4 | 1.0427334 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010022721 | 0.0010622119 | 1.059804 | 6.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.0121343015 | 0.012272603 | 1.0113976 | 1.4E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.112630196 | 0.11286091 | 1.0020485 | 2.6E-4 |
6.1 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3395404E-4 | 2.439517E-4 | 1.0427334 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010022721 | 0.0010622119 | 1.059804 | 6.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.0121343015 | 0.012272603 | 1.0113976 | 1.4E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.112630196 | 0.11286091 | 1.0020485 | 2.6E-4 |
6.2 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3395404E-4 | 2.439517E-4 | 1.0427334 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010022721 | 0.0010622119 | 1.059804 | 6.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.0121343015 | 0.012272603 | 1.0113976 | 1.4E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.112630196 | 0.11286091 | 1.0020485 | 2.6E-4 |
6.3 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3395404E-4 | 2.439517E-4 | 1.0427334 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010022721 | 0.0010622119 | 1.059804 | 6.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.0121343015 | 0.012272603 | 1.0113976 | 1.4E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.112630196 | 0.11286091 | 1.0020485 | 2.6E-4 |
6.4 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.2952935E-4 | 2.3952706E-4 | 1.0435574 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.833239E-4 | 0.001043265 | 1.0609576 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0041964394 | 0.011906469 | 0.012044802 | 1.0116183 | 1.4E-4 | 0.041180745 | 0.110611126 | 0.11084236 | 1.0020906 | 2.6E-4 |
6.5 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.2952935E-4 | 2.3952706E-4 | 1.0435574 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.833239E-4 | 0.001043265 | 1.0609576 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0041964394 | 0.011906469 | 0.012044802 | 1.0116183 | 1.4E-4 | 0.041180745 | 0.110611126 | 0.11084236 | 1.0020906 | 2.6E-4 |
6.6 | 7.619237E-5 | 2.2197329E-4 | 2.3197106E-4 | 1.0450405 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2649786E-4 | 9.509695E-4 | 0.0010109125 | 1.0630335 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0039678677 | 0.011517136 | 0.011655524 | 1.0120158 | 1.4E-4 | 0.03897764 | 0.10714756 | 0.107379705 | 1.0021665 | 2.6E-4 |
6.7 | 7.440636E-5 | 2.1873119E-4 | 2.28729E-4 | 1.0457082 | 1.0E-5 | 3.188454E-4 | 9.3708484E-4 | 9.970287E-4 | 1.0639683 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0038750346 | 0.01134986 | 0.011488271 | 1.012195 | 1.4E-4 | 0.038081564 | 0.1056559 | 0.10588843 | 1.0022008 | 2.6E-4 |
6.8 | 7.3735864E-5 | 2.1720269E-4 | 2.2720051E-4 | 1.0460299 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1597257E-4 | 9.305388E-4 | 9.90483E-4 | 1.0644188 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0038401815 | 0.0112709915 | 0.011409414 | 1.0122813 | 1.4E-4 | 0.03774495 | 0.10495728 | 0.105189994 | 1.0022172 | 2.6E-4 |
6.9 | 7.27575E-5 | 2.1489219E-4 | 2.2489004E-4 | 1.046525 | 1.0E-5 | 3.117806E-4 | 9.2064374E-4 | 9.805885E-4 | 1.0651118 | 6.0E-5 | 0.003789323 | 0.011151759 | 0.011290198 | 1.0124141 | 1.4E-4 | 0.037253562 | 0.10390524 | 0.104138225 | 1.0022423 | 2.6E-4 |
7.0 | 7.102591E-5 | 2.1073205E-4 | 2.2072994E-4 | 1.0474436 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0436125E-4 | 9.02827E-4 | 9.627728E-4 | 1.0663979 | 6.0E-5 | 0.003699303 | 0.010937036 | 0.011075504 | 1.0126605 | 1.4E-4 | 0.03638325 | 0.102007024 | 0.10223152 | 1.0022008 | 2.5E-4 |
7.1 | 7.028513E-5 | 2.0908825E-4 | 2.1908617E-4 | 1.0478168 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0118722E-4 | 8.9578703E-4 | 9.557333E-4 | 1.0669202 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0036607897 | 0.010852181 | 0.0109906625 | 1.0127606 | 1.4E-4 | 0.036010686 | 0.10125003 | 0.10147472 | 1.0022191 | 2.5E-4 |
7.2 | 6.8498244E-5 | 2.0516639E-4 | 2.1516434E-4 | 1.048731 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9353087E-4 | 8.7899045E-4 | 9.389377E-4 | 1.0682001 | 6.0E-5 | 0.003567883 | 0.010649698 | 0.010788207 | 1.013006 | 1.4E-4 | 0.035111405 | 0.099441774 | 0.09965791 | 1.0021734 | 2.4E-4 |
7.3 | 6.622592E-5 | 1.9743777E-4 | 2.074358E-4 | 1.0506389 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8379448E-4 | 8.458897E-4 | 9.058389E-4 | 1.0708712 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0034497243 | 0.010250556 | 0.010389121 | 1.0135177 | 1.4E-4 | 0.033966612 | 0.095937595 | 0.09615457 | 1.0022616 | 2.4E-4 |
7.4 | 5.1050705E-5 | 1.4699147E-4 | 1.5699E-4 | 1.0680212 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1877038E-4 | 6.2981225E-4 | 6.8977446E-4 | 1.0952065 | 6.0E-5 | 0.002660276 | 0.0076411976 | 0.0077702045 | 1.016883 | 1.3E-4 | 0.02628654 | 0.07290739 | 0.07311135 | 1.0027975 | 2.2E-4 |
7.5 | 3.9302922E-5 | 1.1138582E-4 | 1.21384706E-4 | 1.089768 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6843023E-4 | 4.772808E-4 | 5.3725217E-4 | 1.1256522 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0020487092 | 0.005795481 | 0.0059147854 | 1.0205858 | 1.2E-4 | 0.020299247 | 0.05604983 | 0.05624806 | 1.0035367 | 2.1E-4 |
7.6 | 2.9851626E-5 | 8.502715E-5 | 9.5026306E-5 | 1.1175995 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2792926E-4 | 3.6435132E-4 | 4.2432948E-4 | 1.1646162 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0015564259 | 0.0044269804 | 0.004546449 | 1.0269865 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0154556995 | 0.04322929 | 0.043430213 | 1.0046479 | 2.1E-4 |
7.7 | 2.1135214E-5 | 6.359752E-5 | 7.3596886E-5 | 1.1572288 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0576345E-5 | 2.7253237E-4 | 3.32516E-4 | 1.2200973 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0011022091 | 0.0033130387 | 0.003432641 | 1.0361005 | 1.2E-4 | 0.010967582 | 0.032614503 | 0.032817654 | 1.0062288 | 2.1E-4 |
7.8 | 1.883379E-5 | 5.570291E-5 | 6.5702356E-5 | 1.1795138 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0713755E-5 | 2.3870493E-4 | 2.986906E-4 | 1.2512964 | 6.0E-5 | 9.822468E-4 | 0.0029023625 | 0.0030220142 | 1.0412257 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0097791655 | 0.028724395 | 0.028928364 | 1.0071008 | 2.1E-4 |
7.9 | 1.5156185E-5 | 4.1709412E-5 | 5.1708997E-5 | 1.2397441 | 1.0E-5 | 6.495346E-5 | 1.7874238E-4 | 2.2873345E-4 | 1.2796822 | 5.0E-5 | 7.9052144E-4 | 0.002174018 | 0.0022837787 | 1.0504875 | 1.1E-4 | 0.007877152 | 0.021783097 | 0.02197874 | 1.0089815 | 2.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.1405907E-5 | 3.0012412E-5 | 4.0012113E-5 | 1.3331854 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8881542E-5 | 1.286183E-4 | 1.4861571E-4 | 1.1554788 | 2.0E-5 | 5.9497025E-4 | 0.0015648039 | 0.0016247099 | 1.0382835 | 6.0E-5 | 0.005933798 | 0.015790852 | 0.015908957 | 1.0074793 | 1.2E-4 |
8.1 | 4.3511436E-6 | 7.382235E-6 | 7.382235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8647626E-5 | 3.1637766E-5 | 3.1637766E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2701119E-4 | 3.8512185E-4 | 3.8512185E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022677942 | 0.0041228854 | 0.0041228854 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.3042528E-6 | 2.7387932E-6 | 2.7387932E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.875332E-6 | 1.1737633E-5 | 1.1737633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2022553E-4 | 1.4289636E-4 | 1.4289636E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012016051 | 0.001601137 | 0.001601137 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.202968E-7 | 3.1673997E-7 | 3.1673997E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2298414E-6 | 1.3574564E-6 | 1.3574564E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.714798E-5 | 1.652692E-5 | 1.652692E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7144665E-4 | 1.9606602E-4 | 1.9606602E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.9376074E-4 | 3.0375778E-4 | 1.0340313 | 1.0E-5 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012584773 | 0.0012784521 | 1.0158722 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008420097 | 0.015235641 | 0.015343965 | 1.0071099 | 1.1E-4 | 0.081081145 | 0.1397536 | 0.13989985 | 1.0010464 | 1.7E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.9376074E-4 | 3.0375778E-4 | 1.0340313 | 1.0E-5 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012584773 | 0.0012784521 | 1.0158722 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008420097 | 0.015235641 | 0.015343965 | 1.0071099 | 1.1E-4 | 0.081081145 | 0.1397536 | 0.13989985 | 1.0010464 | 1.7E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.9376074E-4 | 3.0375778E-4 | 1.0340313 | 1.0E-5 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012584773 | 0.0012784521 | 1.0158722 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008420097 | 0.015235641 | 0.015343965 | 1.0071099 | 1.1E-4 | 0.081081145 | 0.1397536 | 0.13989985 | 1.0010464 | 1.7E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7704724E-4 | 1.8704547E-4 | 1.0564721 | 1.0E-5 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.586699E-4 | 7.786547E-4 | 1.0263419 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005262531 | 0.009218376 | 0.009317454 | 1.0107479 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0513964 | 0.08699548 | 0.087123305 | 1.0014693 | 1.4E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7704724E-4 | 1.8704547E-4 | 1.0564721 | 1.0E-5 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.586699E-4 | 7.786547E-4 | 1.0263419 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005262531 | 0.009218376 | 0.009317454 | 1.0107479 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0513964 | 0.08699548 | 0.087123305 | 1.0014693 | 1.4E-4 |
6.5 | 3.6624708E-5 | 4.6397017E-5 | 5.6396555E-5 | 1.2155211 | 1.0E-5 | 1.569536E-4 | 1.9883117E-4 | 2.0882918E-4 | 1.0502839 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001909235 | 0.002418443 | 0.0024483707 | 1.0123746 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01892915 | 0.02377309 | 0.023821902 | 1.0020533 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.5051324E-5 | 2.6151634E-5 | 2.6151634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.073584E-4 | 1.1207387E-4 | 1.1207387E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013063047 | 0.0013636898 | 0.0013736761 | 1.007323 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012986525 | 0.013566541 | 0.013596133 | 1.0021813 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.2189772E-5 | 2.207613E-5 | 2.207613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.509556E-5 | 9.460876E-5 | 9.460876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011571734 | 0.0011512893 | 0.0011612779 | 1.0086759 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011511663 | 0.01146714 | 0.011496796 | 1.0025861 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6654378E-5 | 1.4439596E-5 | 1.4439596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.137396E-5 | 6.188254E-5 | 6.188254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.686314E-4 | 7.531647E-4 | 7.531647E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008652439 | 0.00751209 | 0.0075319395 | 1.0026424 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5042909E-5 | 1.2333641E-5 | 1.2333641E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.446802E-5 | 5.285741E-5 | 5.285741E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8461546E-4 | 6.4335205E-4 | 6.4335205E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007818509 | 0.0064196517 | 0.0064395233 | 1.0030954 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.4361385E-5 | 1.1452846E-5 | 1.1452846E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154734E-5 | 4.908272E-5 | 4.908272E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490812E-4 | 5.9742114E-4 | 5.9742114E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007465612 | 0.0059623998 | 0.0059822802 | 1.0033344 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3265571E-5 | 1.0246216E-5 | 1.0246216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6851208E-5 | 4.391163E-5 | 4.391163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.919436E-4 | 5.344955E-4 | 5.344955E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006897931 | 0.0053352863 | 0.0053551793 | 1.0037286 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1596403E-5 | 8.506077E-6 | 8.506077E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9697923E-5 | 3.6454116E-5 | 3.6454116E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.049042E-4 | 4.4374017E-4 | 4.4374017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006032603 | 0.0044299476 | 0.0044399034 | 1.0022473 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0150827E-5 | 7.2395997E-6 | 7.2395997E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3502816E-5 | 3.1026495E-5 | 3.1026495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2951806E-4 | 3.7768355E-4 | 3.7768355E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005282581 | 0.003770773 | 0.0037807352 | 1.002642 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.080705E-6 | 6.3532398E-6 | 6.3532398E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8916725E-5 | 2.7227894E-5 | 2.7227894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7370812E-4 | 3.3145054E-4 | 3.3145054E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004726996 | 0.0033097127 | 0.0033196795 | 1.0030115 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.671649E-6 | 5.226237E-6 | 5.226237E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.287808E-5 | 2.2397973E-5 | 2.2397973E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0021708E-4 | 2.7266247E-4 | 2.7266247E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039949706 | 0.0027234042 | 0.0027234042 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.990086E-6 | 4.6880814E-6 | 4.6880814E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9957167E-5 | 2.009163E-5 | 2.009163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6466747E-4 | 2.445893E-4 | 2.445893E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036406964 | 0.0024433173 | 0.0024433173 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.163505E-6 | 2.3298292E-6 | 2.3298292E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7843471E-5 | 9.9849485E-6 | 9.9849485E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.172226E-4 | 1.21560704E-4 | 1.21560704E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021701038 | 0.0012150152 | 0.0012150152 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.386213E-8 | 9.386213E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0226624E-7 | 4.0226624E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.8975835E-6 | 4.8975835E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.8975086E-5 | 4.8975086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4400376E-9 | 3.4400376E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.47430175E-8 | 1.47430175E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7949623E-7 | 1.7949623E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.794961E-6 | 1.794961E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.4974644E-5 | 5.4974644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.355859E-4 | 2.355859E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024678076 | 0.0028647534 | 0.0028946674 | 1.0104421 | 3.0E-5 | 0.024405818 | 0.028306356 | 0.02842296 | 1.0041193 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.4974644E-5 | 5.4974644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.355859E-4 | 2.355859E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024678076 | 0.0028647534 | 0.0028946674 | 1.0104421 | 3.0E-5 | 0.024405818 | 0.028306356 | 0.02842296 | 1.0041193 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.392687E-5 | 3.392687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4539289E-4 | 1.4539289E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017687563 | 0.0017987033 | 1.016931 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015745522 | 0.017550735 | 0.017639155 | 1.005038 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.392687E-5 | 3.392687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4539289E-4 | 1.4539289E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017687563 | 0.0017987033 | 1.016931 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015745522 | 0.017550735 | 0.017639155 | 1.005038 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.5452082E-5 | 2.7913713E-5 | 2.7913713E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.09075794E-4 | 1.1962483E-4 | 1.1962483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013271887 | 0.0014554781 | 0.001475449 | 1.0137212 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013192902 | 0.014461625 | 0.014530613 | 1.0047704 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3143784E-5 | 2.5129311E-5 | 2.5129311E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9183875E-5 | 1.07692686E-4 | 1.07692686E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012068948 | 0.0013103844 | 0.0013303581 | 1.0152427 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012003611 | 0.0130282445 | 0.013097333 | 1.0053029 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9118515E-5 | 2.0355092E-5 | 2.0355092E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.193392E-5 | 8.723323E-5 | 8.723323E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.97089E-4 | 0.0010615551 | 0.0010815338 | 1.0188203 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00992627 | 0.010565754 | 0.01062512 | 1.0056187 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.722807E-5 | 1.814696E-5 | 1.814696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3832496E-5 | 7.77704E-5 | 7.77704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.985399E-4 | 9.464489E-4 | 9.6642994E-4 | 1.0211116 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008949154 | 0.009424827 | 0.009484261 | 1.0063062 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5317364E-5 | 1.5926964E-5 | 1.5926964E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.56442E-5 | 6.825665E-5 | 6.825665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.98925E-4 | 8.307122E-4 | 8.506956E-4 | 1.0240557 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007960589 | 0.008276558 | 0.008326144 | 1.0059911 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3071226E-5 | 1.3329951E-5 | 1.3329951E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6018336E-5 | 5.7127123E-5 | 5.7127123E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8180985E-4 | 6.95303E-4 | 6.95303E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067972173 | 0.006931537 | 0.006951398 | 1.0028653 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1836986E-5 | 1.193304E-5 | 1.193304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0728955E-5 | 5.1140607E-5 | 5.1140607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1745E-4 | 6.224607E-4 | 6.224607E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006157372 | 0.006207365 | 0.006227241 | 1.003202 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0597169E-5 | 1.0542396E-5 | 1.0542396E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.541565E-5 | 4.518092E-5 | 4.518092E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5279525E-4 | 5.4994E-4 | 5.4994E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055142213 | 0.005485922 | 0.0055058124 | 1.0036258 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.59113E-6 | 9.459308E-6 | 9.459308E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.11042E-5 | 4.0539264E-5 | 4.0539264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0032866E-4 | 4.9345486E-4 | 4.9345486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004992037 | 0.00492371 | 0.0049436116 | 1.004042 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.586084E-6 | 8.379717E-6 | 8.379717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.679698E-5 | 3.5912584E-5 | 3.5912584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4791115E-4 | 4.3714902E-4 | 4.3714902E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004470094 | 0.0043630023 | 0.004382915 | 1.004564 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.2622997E-6 | 6.9516327E-6 | 6.9516327E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.112377E-5 | 2.9792378E-5 | 2.9792378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.78866E-4 | 3.626628E-4 | 3.626628E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037822074 | 0.0036208099 | 0.0036208099 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.627296E-6 | 5.251628E-6 | 5.251628E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.411676E-5 | 2.2506785E-5 | 2.2506785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9358198E-4 | 2.7398637E-4 | 2.7398637E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029319443 | 0.0027365577 | 0.0027365577 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.265244E-6 | 2.0609148E-6 | 2.0609148E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.708152E-6 | 8.832462E-6 | 8.832462E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18190335E-4 | 1.0753001E-4 | 1.0753001E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001181275 | 0.0010747884 | 0.0010747884 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.3099874E-6 | 1.101655E-6 | 1.101655E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.61422E-6 | 4.7213703E-6 | 4.7213703E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8350986E-5 | 5.7481193E-5 | 5.7481193E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.832996E-4 | 5.746656E-4 | 5.746656E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.903951E-7 | 6.07123E-7 | 6.07123E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3874032E-6 | 2.6019532E-6 | 2.6019532E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1240855E-5 | 3.1678333E-5 | 3.1678333E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.12332E-4 | 3.1673952E-4 | 3.1673952E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.0753297E-9 | 5.0901146E-9 | 5.0901146E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.032284E-8 | 2.1814778E-8 | 2.1814778E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6918053E-7 | 2.6559488E-7 | 2.6559488E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.691799E-6 | 2.6559467E-6 | 2.6559467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Bernardino)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.6030193E-5 | 4.6029832E-5 | 1.277535 | 1.0E-5 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5440598E-4 | 1.6440444E-4 | 1.0647544 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018782734 | 0.001948142 | 1.0371983 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.01937193 | 0.019548444 | 1.0091118 | 1.8E-4 |
6.1 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.6030193E-5 | 4.6029832E-5 | 1.277535 | 1.0E-5 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5440598E-4 | 1.6440444E-4 | 1.0647544 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018782734 | 0.001948142 | 1.0371983 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.01937193 | 0.019548444 | 1.0091118 | 1.8E-4 |
6.2 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.6030193E-5 | 4.6029832E-5 | 1.277535 | 1.0E-5 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5440598E-4 | 1.6440444E-4 | 1.0647544 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018782734 | 0.001948142 | 1.0371983 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.01937193 | 0.019548444 | 1.0091118 | 1.8E-4 |
6.3 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.6030193E-5 | 4.6029832E-5 | 1.277535 | 1.0E-5 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5440598E-4 | 1.6440444E-4 | 1.0647544 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018782734 | 0.001948142 | 1.0371983 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.01937193 | 0.019548444 | 1.0091118 | 1.8E-4 |
6.4 | 3.400795E-5 | 3.5922847E-5 | 4.5922487E-5 | 1.2783644 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4574021E-4 | 1.5394598E-4 | 1.6394444E-4 | 1.0649478 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017729428 | 0.0018726827 | 0.0019425516 | 1.0373095 | 7.0E-5 | 0.017588645 | 0.019317009 | 0.019493531 | 1.0091382 | 1.8E-4 |
6.5 | 3.341482E-5 | 3.518341E-5 | 4.5183056E-5 | 1.2842149 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4319851E-4 | 1.5077733E-4 | 1.6077582E-4 | 1.0663129 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017420477 | 0.0018341697 | 0.0019040413 | 1.0380944 | 7.0E-5 | 0.017284546 | 0.018938525 | 0.019115115 | 1.0093244 | 1.8E-4 |
6.6 | 3.3364955E-5 | 3.512062E-5 | 4.512027E-5 | 1.284723 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4298483E-4 | 1.5050828E-4 | 1.6050677E-4 | 1.0664315 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017394501 | 0.0018308995 | 0.0019007713 | 1.0381626 | 7.0E-5 | 0.017258976 | 0.018906387 | 0.019082984 | 1.0093406 | 1.8E-4 |
6.7 | 3.335922E-5 | 3.511039E-5 | 4.5110042E-5 | 1.2848059 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4296026E-4 | 1.5046445E-4 | 1.6046294E-4 | 1.0664508 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017391514 | 0.0018303668 | 0.0019002387 | 1.0381737 | 7.0E-5 | 0.017256035 | 0.018901179 | 0.019077776 | 1.0093433 | 1.8E-4 |
6.8 | 3.327683E-5 | 3.500445E-5 | 4.5004097E-5 | 1.285668 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4260718E-4 | 1.5001044E-4 | 1.6000895E-4 | 1.066652 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017348597 | 0.0018248486 | 0.001894721 | 1.0382893 | 7.0E-5 | 0.017213784 | 0.018846946 | 0.019023553 | 1.0093706 | 1.8E-4 |
6.9 | 3.3235785E-5 | 3.4945395E-5 | 4.4945045E-5 | 1.2861507 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4243131E-4 | 1.497574E-4 | 1.5975589E-4 | 1.0667647 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017327217 | 0.0018217729 | 0.0018916454 | 1.0383542 | 7.0E-5 | 0.017192734 | 0.018816814 | 0.018993426 | 1.009386 | 1.8E-4 |
7.0 | 3.3197095E-5 | 3.4885317E-5 | 4.4884968E-5 | 1.2866435 | 1.0E-5 | 1.422655E-4 | 1.4949995E-4 | 1.5949845E-4 | 1.0668796 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017307063 | 0.0018186437 | 0.0018885164 | 1.0384202 | 7.0E-5 | 0.017172894 | 0.018786188 | 0.018962808 | 1.0094016 | 1.8E-4 |
7.1 | 3.3129716E-5 | 3.4765508E-5 | 4.4765162E-5 | 1.2876314 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4197677E-4 | 1.4898654E-4 | 1.5898504E-4 | 1.0671102 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017271966 | 0.0018124033 | 0.0018822765 | 1.0385528 | 7.0E-5 | 0.017138338 | 0.018725261 | 0.018901892 | 1.0094327 | 1.8E-4 |
7.2 | 3.3034008E-5 | 3.463294E-5 | 4.4632594E-5 | 1.2887324 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4156665E-4 | 1.4841845E-4 | 1.5841697E-4 | 1.0673671 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017222111 | 0.0018054984 | 0.001875372 | 1.0387005 | 7.0E-5 | 0.017089253 | 0.018657643 | 0.018834284 | 1.0094675 | 1.8E-4 |
7.3 | 3.2956614E-5 | 3.4500667E-5 | 4.4500324E-5 | 1.2898395 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4123498E-4 | 1.4785164E-4 | 1.5785015E-4 | 1.0676254 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017181796 | 0.0017986088 | 0.0018684829 | 1.038849 | 7.0E-5 | 0.017049557 | 0.018590376 | 0.018767029 | 1.0095024 | 1.8E-4 |
7.4 | 3.2915937E-5 | 3.442234E-5 | 4.4421995E-5 | 1.290499 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4106068E-4 | 1.4751598E-4 | 1.575145E-4 | 1.0677793 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017160608 | 0.001794529 | 0.0018644034 | 1.0389374 | 7.0E-5 | 0.017028693 | 0.018550621 | 0.018727282 | 1.0095232 | 1.8E-4 |
7.5 | 3.281791E-5 | 3.428722E-5 | 4.4286877E-5 | 1.2916439 | 1.0E-5 | 1.406406E-4 | 1.4693696E-4 | 1.569355E-4 | 1.0680465 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017109542 | 0.001787491 | 0.0018573658 | 1.039091 | 7.0E-5 | 0.016978411 | 0.018481499 | 0.018658172 | 1.0095595 | 1.8E-4 |
7.6 | 3.2521442E-5 | 3.401209E-5 | 4.401175E-5 | 1.2940031 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3937015E-4 | 1.4575796E-4 | 1.5575651E-4 | 1.0685968 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016955109 | 0.0017731602 | 0.001843036 | 1.0394075 | 7.0E-5 | 0.016826328 | 0.018339097 | 0.018515795 | 1.0096351 | 1.8E-4 |
7.7 | 3.0287873E-5 | 3.2495678E-5 | 4.2495354E-5 | 1.3077233 | 1.0E-5 | 1.297987E-4 | 1.3925976E-4 | 1.4925837E-4 | 1.0717982 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015791537 | 0.0016941702 | 0.0017640516 | 1.0412482 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01567979 | 0.017549563 | 0.017726405 | 1.0100766 | 1.8E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6316151E-5 | 2.9705026E-5 | 3.970473E-5 | 1.3366333 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1277862E-4 | 1.2730106E-4 | 1.3729978E-4 | 1.0785439 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013722149 | 0.0015487893 | 0.001618681 | 1.0451266 | 7.0E-5 | 0.013637724 | 0.016090414 | 0.016267518 | 1.0110068 | 1.8E-4 |
7.9 | 2.0761147E-5 | 2.345409E-5 | 3.3453856E-5 | 1.4263549 | 1.0E-5 | 8.897331E-5 | 1.0051366E-4 | 1.1051265E-4 | 1.099479 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010827117 | 0.0012230676 | 0.0012829942 | 1.0489969 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010774517 | 0.012811401 | 0.012959479 | 1.0115583 | 1.5E-4 |
8.0 | 1.5738568E-5 | 1.6060147E-5 | 2.6059986E-5 | 1.6226493 | 1.0E-5 | 6.744926E-5 | 6.882739E-5 | 7.88267E-5 | 1.145281 | 1.0E-5 | 8.2088535E-4 | 8.3765195E-4 | 8.7761844E-4 | 1.0477126 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008178596 | 0.008879688 | 0.008968888 | 1.0100455 | 9.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0105832E-5 | 8.3455125E-6 | 8.3455125E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3309992E-5 | 3.5765992E-5 | 3.5765992E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2717153E-4 | 4.3536446E-4 | 4.5535577E-4 | 1.0459185 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005259227 | 0.0046850676 | 0.0047348333 | 1.0106223 | 5.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.189207E-6 | 1.5823776E-6 | 1.5823776E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7953622E-5 | 6.781601E-6 | 6.781601E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1856341E-4 | 8.2562896E-5 | 8.2562896E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021834858 | 9.5887843E-4 | 9.5887843E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 3.6252337E-7 | 3.6252337E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.5536706E-6 | 1.5536706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 1.891578E-5 | 1.891578E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.2813045E-4 | 2.2813045E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Parkfield)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.556969E-4 | 7.806371E-4 | 7.806371E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023793848 | 0.0033418506 | 0.0033518171 | 1.0029824 | 1.0E-5 | 0.028586963 | 0.0403678 | 0.04041578 | 1.0011886 | 5.0E-5 | 0.25176284 | 0.3376098 | 0.33772242 | 1.0003335 | 1.7E-4 |
6.1 | 1.925858E-4 | 3.0357591E-4 | 3.0357591E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2510663E-4 | 0.0013004856 | 0.0013004856 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0099994885 | 0.015813079 | 0.015842604 | 1.0018672 | 3.0E-5 | 0.095613256 | 0.14994201 | 0.15001002 | 1.0004536 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.4306815E-5 | 1.8264996E-4 | 1.8264996E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0410945E-4 | 7.8255194E-4 | 7.8255194E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049089384 | 0.009486156 | 0.009515871 | 1.0031325 | 3.0E-5 | 0.048019063 | 0.09194088 | 0.09200444 | 1.0006914 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.283051E-5 | 1.7961451E-4 | 1.7961451E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9778434E-4 | 7.6955056E-4 | 7.6955056E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048322747 | 0.009329236 | 0.0093589565 | 1.0031857 | 3.0E-5 | 0.047285385 | 0.090593964 | 0.09065762 | 1.0007026 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.138826E-5 | 1.7723498E-4 | 1.7723498E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.916052E-4 | 7.593586E-4 | 7.593586E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047573745 | 0.009206201 | 0.009235925 | 1.0032287 | 3.0E-5 | 0.046568092 | 0.08949716 | 0.08956089 | 1.0007122 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.000255E-5 | 1.7481428E-4 | 1.7481428E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8566816E-4 | 7.4899016E-4 | 7.4899016E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046854047 | 0.009081034 | 0.009110761 | 1.0032736 | 3.0E-5 | 0.045878403 | 0.08837964 | 0.08844345 | 1.000722 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.8109264E-5 | 1.7162315E-4 | 1.7162315E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7755648E-4 | 7.353216E-4 | 7.353216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045870654 | 0.008916009 | 0.008945742 | 1.0033348 | 3.0E-5 | 0.04493529 | 0.086910814 | 0.08697473 | 1.0007354 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.738073E-5 | 1.7029332E-4 | 1.7029332E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7443507E-4 | 7.296255E-4 | 7.296255E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045492216 | 0.0088472655 | 0.008877 | 1.0033609 | 3.0E-5 | 0.04457213 | 0.08631098 | 0.08637494 | 1.000741 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.710195E-5 | 1.6974783E-4 | 1.6974783E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7324068E-4 | 7.27289E-4 | 7.27289E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045347405 | 0.008819056 | 0.008848792 | 1.0033717 | 3.0E-5 | 0.04443313 | 0.086058594 | 0.08612257 | 1.0007434 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.6801556E-5 | 1.6915695E-4 | 1.6915695E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7195362E-4 | 7.2475814E-4 | 7.2475814E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045191357 | 0.008788492 | 0.008818228 | 1.0033835 | 3.0E-5 | 0.044283327 | 0.085784666 | 0.08584867 | 1.000746 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.5571606E-5 | 1.6668359E-4 | 1.6668359E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6668387E-4 | 7.1416376E-4 | 7.1416376E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004455241 | 0.008660537 | 0.008690278 | 1.003434 | 3.0E-5 | 0.043669727 | 0.084632 | 0.08469608 | 1.0007571 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.82589E-5 | 1.5148673E-4 | 1.5148673E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3535215E-4 | 6.490681E-4 | 6.490681E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040752706 | 0.007873941 | 0.007903705 | 1.00378 | 3.0E-5 | 0.040013418 | 0.07754259 | 0.07759793 | 1.0007138 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.690929E-5 | 1.4885809E-4 | 1.4885809E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2956956E-4 | 6.37808E-4 | 6.37808E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004005129 | 0.007737831 | 0.007767599 | 1.003847 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0393371 | 0.07631524 | 0.07637066 | 1.0007262 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.5543794E-5 | 1.4582166E-4 | 1.4582166E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2371894E-4 | 6.24801E-4 | 6.24801E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003934157 | 0.0075805825 | 0.007610355 | 1.0039275 | 3.0E-5 | 0.038652334 | 0.07487632 | 0.07493183 | 1.0007414 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.4214564E-5 | 1.4282869E-4 | 1.4282869E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1802364E-4 | 6.119801E-4 | 6.119801E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003865065 | 0.0074255625 | 0.0074553397 | 1.0040101 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03798529 | 0.073448986 | 0.07350458 | 1.0007569 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.149578E-5 | 1.12076E-4 | 1.12076E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6352672E-4 | 4.802374E-4 | 4.802374E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032037178 | 0.005831247 | 0.0058610723 | 1.0051147 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03157923 | 0.058635287 | 0.058682352 | 1.0008028 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.0643448E-5 | 1.1036095E-4 | 1.1036095E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.598746E-4 | 4.7288983E-4 | 4.7288983E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031593828 | 0.005742266 | 0.005772094 | 1.0051944 | 3.0E-5 | 0.031148417 | 0.057795748 | 0.057842858 | 1.0008152 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.1652263E-5 | 9.189613E-5 | 9.189613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2134806E-4 | 3.9378114E-4 | 3.9378114E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002691582 | 0.004783756 | 0.004813613 | 1.0062412 | 3.0E-5 | 0.026592141 | 0.048609763 | 0.04865733 | 1.0009786 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 4.8090482E-5 | 8.5733824E-5 | 8.5733824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.060858E-4 | 3.6737893E-4 | 3.6737893E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025062072 | 0.004463673 | 0.004493539 | 1.006691 | 3.0E-5 | 0.024781305 | 0.045369543 | 0.045417275 | 1.001052 | 5.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.970278E-5 | 6.7611174E-5 | 6.7611174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7014367E-4 | 2.8973003E-4 | 2.8973003E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002069531 | 0.0035217612 | 0.0035416908 | 1.005659 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020503636 | 0.03593301 | 0.03597157 | 1.0010732 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.8982335E-5 | 4.0763895E-5 | 4.0763895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2420409E-4 | 1.7469071E-4 | 1.7469071E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015111357 | 0.002124786 | 0.0021447435 | 1.0093927 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015009012 | 0.022043334 | 0.022062894 | 1.0008873 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.8836186E-5 | 1.8716491E-5 | 1.8716491E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0724014E-5 | 8.021107E-5 | 8.021107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.823717E-4 | 9.761329E-4 | 9.861231E-4 | 1.0102345 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009780403 | 0.01050654 | 0.010516435 | 1.0009418 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.4877546E-6 | 5.4877546E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3518736E-5 | 2.3518736E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8630308E-4 | 2.8630308E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032558958 | 0.0032558958 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6799233E-7 | 7.6799233E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2913915E-6 | 3.2913915E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0071973E-5 | 4.0071973E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7313387E-4 | 4.7313387E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.258278E-6 | 8.5513775E-6 | 8.5513775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.539214E-5 | 3.6648347E-5 | 5.6647616E-5 | 1.5457072 | 2.0E-5 | 4.308141E-4 | 4.4612016E-4 | 5.3608E-4 | 1.2016494 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0042997985 | 0.0044540036 | 0.0046232464 | 1.037998 | 1.7E-4 |
6.1 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7753643E-6 | 3.7753643E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6180058E-5 | 2.6179898E-5 | 1.6180347 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9697918E-4 | 2.2697326E-4 | 1.1522703 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019027026 | 0.001968513 | 0.0020184147 | 1.0253499 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7753643E-6 | 3.7753643E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6180058E-5 | 2.6179898E-5 | 1.6180347 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9697918E-4 | 2.2697326E-4 | 1.1522703 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019027026 | 0.001968513 | 0.0020184147 | 1.0253499 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4411353E-6 | 1.4411353E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.1762876E-6 | 6.1762876E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.519512E-5 | 8.519437E-5 | 1.1329774 | 1.0E-5 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.518355E-4 | 7.6182804E-4 | 1.0132908 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4411353E-6 | 1.4411353E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.1762876E-6 | 6.1762876E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.519512E-5 | 8.519437E-5 | 1.1329774 | 1.0E-5 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.518355E-4 | 7.6182804E-4 | 1.0132908 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.876812E-7 | 1.0222045E-6 | 1.0222045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2329125E-6 | 4.3808764E-6 | 4.3808764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.153449E-5 | 5.3337168E-5 | 6.3336636E-5 | 1.1874765 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1522546E-4 | 5.333717E-4 | 5.4336636E-4 | 1.0187386 | 1.0E-5 |
Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7269674E-5 | 4.7269674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0257027E-4 | 2.325642E-4 | 1.1480668 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024637633 | 0.0025535417 | 1.0364395 | 9.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.02439031 | 0.024546407 | 1.0064 | 1.6E-4 |
6.1 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7269674E-5 | 4.7269674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0257027E-4 | 2.325642E-4 | 1.1480668 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024637633 | 0.0025535417 | 1.0364395 | 9.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.02439031 | 0.024546407 | 1.0064 | 1.6E-4 |
6.2 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7269674E-5 | 4.7269674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0257027E-4 | 2.325642E-4 | 1.1480668 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024637633 | 0.0025535417 | 1.0364395 | 9.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.02439031 | 0.024546407 | 1.0064 | 1.6E-4 |
6.3 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.361214E-5 | 3.361214E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.440445E-4 | 1.740402E-4 | 1.208239 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0017524007 | 0.0018322605 | 1.0455717 | 8.0E-5 | 0.014687235 | 0.017393013 | 0.017540405 | 1.0084741 | 1.5E-4 |
6.4 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.361214E-5 | 3.361214E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.440445E-4 | 1.740402E-4 | 1.208239 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0017524007 | 0.0018322605 | 1.0455717 | 8.0E-5 | 0.014687235 | 0.017393013 | 0.017540405 | 1.0084741 | 1.5E-4 |
6.5 | 2.4448687E-5 | 2.8609413E-5 | 2.8609413E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0477588E-4 | 1.2260627E-4 | 1.526026E-4 | 1.2446557 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012748998 | 0.001491757 | 0.0015716377 | 1.053548 | 8.0E-5 | 0.012676105 | 0.014822331 | 0.014970108 | 1.0099698 | 1.5E-4 |
6.6 | 2.1298161E-5 | 2.4661538E-5 | 2.4661538E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.127464E-5 | 1.056882E-4 | 1.3568503E-4 | 1.2838238 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011107022 | 0.0012860275 | 0.0013659246 | 1.0621271 | 8.0E-5 | 0.011051672 | 0.012789284 | 0.012937365 | 1.0115786 | 1.5E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8959729E-5 | 2.1782242E-5 | 2.1782242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.125345E-5 | 9.334927E-5 | 1.2334647E-4 | 1.3213437 | 3.0E-5 | 9.888117E-4 | 0.0011359603 | 0.0012158696 | 1.070345 | 8.0E-5 | 0.009844234 | 0.011304198 | 0.011452503 | 1.0131195 | 1.5E-4 |
6.8 | 1.6691629E-5 | 1.9019344E-5 | 1.9019344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.153359E-5 | 8.1509024E-5 | 1.11506575E-4 | 1.3680274 | 3.0E-5 | 8.7057345E-4 | 9.919375E-4 | 0.0010718581 | 1.0805702 | 8.0E-5 | 0.008671708 | 0.009876857 | 0.010025375 | 1.0150371 | 1.5E-4 |
6.9 | 1.450505E-5 | 1.6390335E-5 | 1.6390335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.216302E-5 | 7.024245E-5 | 1.00240344E-4 | 1.4270622 | 3.0E-5 | 7.5657194E-4 | 8.548751E-4 | 9.3480665E-4 | 1.093501 | 8.0E-5 | 0.007540013 | 0.008516797 | 0.00866552 | 1.0174623 | 1.5E-4 |
7.0 | 1.2940855E-5 | 1.453864E-5 | 1.453864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.545963E-5 | 6.2307E-5 | 9.2305134E-5 | 1.4814568 | 3.0E-5 | 6.750118E-4 | 7.583295E-4 | 8.3826884E-4 | 1.105415 | 8.0E-5 | 0.006729651 | 0.007558036 | 0.0077069025 | 1.0196965 | 1.5E-4 |
7.1 | 1.2544658E-5 | 1.4078849E-5 | 1.4078849E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3761712E-5 | 6.033656E-5 | 9.0334746E-5 | 1.4971809 | 3.0E-5 | 6.5435225E-4 | 7.343556E-4 | 8.142969E-4 | 1.1088591 | 8.0E-5 | 0.006524288 | 0.007319883 | 0.007468785 | 1.0203421 | 1.5E-4 |
7.2 | 1.2489416E-5 | 1.4016312E-5 | 1.4016312E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3524967E-5 | 6.0068556E-5 | 9.006676E-5 | 1.4993993 | 3.0E-5 | 6.514716E-4 | 7.310949E-4 | 8.110364E-4 | 1.109345 | 8.0E-5 | 0.006495651 | 0.00728749 | 0.007436397 | 1.0204332 | 1.5E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2368307E-5 | 1.3880444E-5 | 1.3880444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3005948E-5 | 5.9486294E-5 | 8.948451E-5 | 1.5042878 | 3.0E-5 | 6.451563E-4 | 7.240106E-4 | 8.0395263E-4 | 1.1104156 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0064328653 | 0.007217109 | 0.0073660268 | 1.0206339 | 1.5E-4 |
7.4 | 1.2161707E-5 | 1.3648489E-5 | 1.3648489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.212056E-5 | 5.8492245E-5 | 8.849049E-5 | 1.5128585 | 3.0E-5 | 6.3438306E-4 | 7.1191596E-4 | 7.91859E-4 | 1.1122928 | 8.0E-5 | 0.006325751 | 0.0070969425 | 0.0072458778 | 1.0209858 | 1.5E-4 |
7.5 | 1.1707948E-5 | 1.3146116E-5 | 1.3146116E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0175953E-5 | 5.633931E-5 | 8.633762E-5 | 1.5324578 | 3.0E-5 | 6.10721E-4 | 6.857208E-4 | 7.6566596E-4 | 1.1165856 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0060904534 | 0.0068366327 | 0.006985607 | 1.0217906 | 1.5E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0319538E-5 | 1.1580149E-5 | 1.1580149E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4225842E-5 | 4.9628292E-5 | 7.96268E-5 | 1.6044639 | 3.0E-5 | 5.383166E-4 | 6.040621E-4 | 6.8401376E-4 | 1.1323568 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0053701443 | 0.006024733 | 0.00615395 | 1.0214478 | 1.3E-4 |
7.7 | 8.937764E-6 | 1.0023232E-5 | 1.0023232E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.830414E-5 | 4.2956028E-5 | 6.295517E-5 | 1.4655724 | 2.0E-5 | 4.6625308E-4 | 5.228692E-4 | 5.9283257E-4 | 1.1338067 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0046527605 | 0.0052168993 | 0.0053263255 | 1.0209754 | 1.1E-4 |
7.8 | 3.108007E-7 | 3.2847237E-7 | 3.2847237E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3320023E-6 | 1.407738E-6 | 1.407738E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6217007E-5 | 1.7139078E-5 | 1.7139078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6215823E-4 | 1.7137795E-4 | 1.7137795E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6697147E-9 | 2.6697147E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1441634E-8 | 1.1441634E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3930189E-7 | 1.3930189E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3930189E-6 | 1.3930189E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Owens Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6304134E-6 | 3.6304134E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.5558828E-5 | 4.555836E-5 | 2.9281359 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002521386 | 1.8941324E-4 | 2.793962E-4 | 1.4750615 | 9.0E-5 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019203592 | 0.0020700712 | 1.0779604 | 1.5E-4 |
6.1 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6304134E-6 | 3.6304134E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.5558828E-5 | 4.555836E-5 | 2.9281359 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002521386 | 1.8941324E-4 | 2.793962E-4 | 1.4750615 | 9.0E-5 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019203592 | 0.0020700712 | 1.0779604 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6304134E-6 | 3.6304134E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.5558828E-5 | 4.555836E-5 | 2.9281359 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002521386 | 1.8941324E-4 | 2.793962E-4 | 1.4750615 | 9.0E-5 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019203592 | 0.0020700712 | 1.0779604 | 1.5E-4 |
6.3 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.156793E-6 | 3.156793E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.3529047E-5 | 4.3528642E-5 | 3.2174213 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002060538 | 1.6470443E-4 | 2.346929E-4 | 1.4249338 | 7.0E-5 | 0.020415364 | 0.0016591668 | 0.0017689842 | 1.0661883 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.156793E-6 | 3.156793E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.3529047E-5 | 4.3528642E-5 | 3.2174213 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002060538 | 1.6470443E-4 | 2.346929E-4 | 1.4249338 | 7.0E-5 | 0.020415364 | 0.0016591668 | 0.0017689842 | 1.0661883 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 3.457342E-5 | 2.9720723E-6 | 2.9720723E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4816338E-4 | 1.2737394E-5 | 4.273701E-5 | 3.3552399 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0018023965 | 1.5506744E-4 | 2.2505659E-4 | 1.4513465 | 7.0E-5 | 0.017878477 | 0.0015558058 | 0.0016656346 | 1.0705929 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 3.1127765E-5 | 2.874943E-6 | 2.874943E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3339789E-4 | 1.232113E-5 | 4.232076E-5 | 3.4348116 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016229092 | 1.5000012E-4 | 2.1998963E-4 | 1.4665962 | 7.0E-5 | 0.016111081 | 0.0015009162 | 0.0016107511 | 1.0731785 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 2.806885E-5 | 2.8105796E-6 | 2.8105796E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2028952E-4 | 1.204529E-5 | 4.204493E-5 | 3.49057 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001463541 | 1.4664223E-4 | 2.1663196E-4 | 1.4772823 | 7.0E-5 | 0.014539397 | 0.0014659179 | 0.0015757566 | 1.0749283 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 2.524524E-5 | 2.2355093E-6 | 2.2355093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0818939E-4 | 9.580721E-6 | 3.9580435E-5 | 4.1312585 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013164099 | 1.16639334E-4 | 1.8663116E-4 | 1.6000706 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01308639 | 0.001166111 | 0.0012759827 | 1.0942206 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 2.2704568E-5 | 1.6082315E-6 | 1.6082315E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.730166E-5 | 6.892403E-6 | 3.6892197E-5 | 5.3525887 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011840039 | 8.391179E-5 | 1.4390676E-4 | 1.7149765 | 6.0E-5 | 0.011777153 | 8.3906506E-4 | 9.389812E-4 | 1.1190803 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 2.0871712E-5 | 1.5396096E-6 | 1.5396096E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.944713E-5 | 6.5983104E-6 | 3.6598114E-5 | 5.5465884 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010884746 | 8.033148E-5 | 1.4032667E-4 | 1.7468451 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010831586 | 8.032449E-4 | 9.0316456E-4 | 1.124395 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.944928E-5 | 1.3864662E-6 | 1.3864662E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.335139E-5 | 5.941985E-6 | 3.5941808E-5 | 6.048788 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010143308 | 7.2341274E-5 | 1.3233694E-4 | 1.829342 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010097133 | 7.233842E-4 | 8.2331186E-4 | 1.1381391 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.7876306E-5 | 1.2489512E-6 | 1.2489512E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6610486E-5 | 5.352637E-6 | 3.5352477E-5 | 6.604684 | 3.0E-5 | 9.3233347E-4 | 6.5166416E-5 | 1.251625E-4 | 1.9206597 | 6.0E-5 | 0.009284316 | 6.5166893E-4 | 7.5160374E-4 | 1.1533521 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2618672E-5 | 1.1115516E-6 | 1.1115516E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.40789E-5 | 4.763784E-6 | 3.476364E-5 | 7.297485 | 3.0E-5 | 6.582117E-4 | 5.7997535E-5 | 1.1799405E-4 | 2.0344667 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0065626553 | 5.8001484E-4 | 6.7995687E-4 | 1.1723094 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 7.4874442E-6 | 8.548881E-7 | 8.548881E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.208865E-5 | 3.6638012E-6 | 3.366369E-5 | 9.188188 | 3.0E-5 | 3.906093E-4 | 4.460587E-5 | 1.046032E-4 | 2.3450544 | 6.0E-5 | 0.003899234 | 4.461176E-4 | 5.46073E-4 | 1.2240561 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 2.4734156E-6 | 6.069017E-7 | 6.069017E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.060031E-5 | 2.6010048E-6 | 3.260093E-5 | 12.533974 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2905113E-4 | 3.1666776E-5 | 8.1665195E-5 | 2.578892 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0012897621 | 3.1662296E-4 | 3.6660713E-4 | 1.1578665 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1328841E-6 | 3.1967122E-7 | 3.1967122E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8552088E-6 | 1.3700188E-6 | 1.3700188E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9110564E-5 | 1.6679853E-5 | 2.6679685E-5 | 1.5995157 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9094845E-4 | 1.667862E-4 | 1.7678452E-4 | 1.059947 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.8613185E-7 | 8.964601E-8 | 8.964601E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0834207E-6 | 3.8419714E-7 | 3.8419714E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.536535E-5 | 4.677591E-6 | 4.677591E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5362454E-4 | 4.6774992E-5 | 4.6774992E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Coachella) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.274327E-4 | 3.3742943E-4 | 1.0305306 | 1.0E-5 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.001402533 | 0.001422505 | 1.0142399 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0062038354 | 0.01694348 | 0.017002465 | 1.0034811 | 6.0E-5 | 0.060334753 | 0.15270172 | 0.15282881 | 1.0008323 | 1.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.274327E-4 | 3.3742943E-4 | 1.0305306 | 1.0E-5 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.001402533 | 0.001422505 | 1.0142399 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0062038354 | 0.01694348 | 0.017002465 | 1.0034811 | 6.0E-5 | 0.060334753 | 0.15270172 | 0.15282881 | 1.0008323 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.07432395E-4 | 3.024383E-4 | 3.124353E-4 | 1.0330546 | 1.0E-5 | 4.603433E-4 | 0.0012955243 | 0.0013154985 | 1.0154178 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005590286 | 0.015660034 | 0.015719095 | 1.0037714 | 6.0E-5 | 0.05451731 | 0.14188935 | 0.14200948 | 1.0008467 | 1.4E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0718766E-4 | 3.0189136E-4 | 3.1188835E-4 | 1.0331146 | 1.0E-5 | 4.592948E-4 | 0.0012931826 | 0.0013131568 | 1.0154457 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005577586 | 0.015631935 | 0.015690995 | 1.0037783 | 6.0E-5 | 0.054396555 | 0.14165762 | 0.14177778 | 1.0008483 | 1.4E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0355944E-4 | 2.9397203E-4 | 3.0396908E-4 | 1.0340068 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4375064E-4 | 0.0012592757 | 0.0012792506 | 1.0158621 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0053892885 | 0.015224959 | 0.015284045 | 1.0038809 | 6.0E-5 | 0.052604496 | 0.13822109 | 0.13834174 | 1.0008729 | 1.4E-4 |
6.5 | 1.0227914E-4 | 2.9116633E-4 | 3.011634E-4 | 1.0343347 | 1.0E-5 | 4.382655E-4 | 0.0012472628 | 0.0012672379 | 1.0160152 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0053228354 | 0.015080735 | 0.01513983 | 1.0039185 | 6.0E-5 | 0.051971316 | 0.13699558 | 0.1371164 | 1.0008819 | 1.4E-4 |
6.6 | 1.0116757E-4 | 2.8882377E-4 | 2.9882087E-4 | 1.0346131 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3350324E-4 | 0.0012372328 | 0.0012572081 | 1.0161451 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0052651367 | 0.014960303 | 0.015019405 | 1.0039506 | 6.0E-5 | 0.051421247 | 0.13597406 | 0.13609503 | 1.0008897 | 1.4E-4 |
6.7 | 1.0050676E-4 | 2.8740935E-4 | 2.9740648E-4 | 1.0347836 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3067214E-4 | 0.0012311768 | 0.0012511523 | 1.0162246 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005230834 | 0.014887581 | 0.014946687 | 1.0039701 | 6.0E-5 | 0.051094085 | 0.13535832 | 0.13547936 | 1.0008943 | 1.4E-4 |
6.8 | 9.976819E-5 | 2.8544574E-4 | 2.954429E-4 | 1.035023 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2750788E-4 | 0.0012227694 | 0.0012427449 | 1.0163363 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0051924936 | 0.014786613 | 0.014845726 | 1.0039977 | 6.0E-5 | 0.050728295 | 0.1345101 | 0.13463126 | 1.0009009 | 1.4E-4 |
6.9 | 9.77719E-5 | 2.8041395E-4 | 2.9041115E-4 | 1.0356516 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1895514E-4 | 0.0012012245 | 0.0012212005 | 1.0166297 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0050888555 | 0.014527833 | 0.014586961 | 1.00407 | 6.0E-5 | 0.049738888 | 0.13233863 | 0.13246009 | 1.0009179 | 1.4E-4 |
7.0 | 8.500761E-5 | 2.477528E-4 | 2.5775033E-4 | 1.0403528 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6426744E-4 | 0.0010613689 | 0.0010813477 | 1.0188236 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0044259406 | 0.012846378 | 0.012905607 | 1.0046105 | 6.0E-5 | 0.04338823 | 0.11818796 | 0.11831141 | 1.0010445 | 1.4E-4 |
7.1 | 8.319876E-5 | 2.4377884E-4 | 2.5377638E-4 | 1.0410107 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5651738E-4 | 0.0010443513 | 0.0010643305 | 1.0191306 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004331963 | 0.012641612 | 0.012700854 | 1.0046862 | 6.0E-5 | 0.042484846 | 0.116407864 | 0.116531566 | 1.0010626 | 1.4E-4 |
7.2 | 7.563917E-5 | 2.2425955E-4 | 2.3425731E-4 | 1.0445812 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2412758E-4 | 9.6076145E-4 | 9.807423E-4 | 1.0207968 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0039391145 | 0.011635224 | 0.011694526 | 1.0050968 | 6.0E-5 | 0.03870018 | 0.10781287 | 0.107937776 | 1.0011586 | 1.4E-4 |
7.3 | 7.082985E-5 | 2.074165E-4 | 2.1741443E-4 | 1.0482022 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0352117E-4 | 8.8862795E-4 | 9.086102E-4 | 1.0224866 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036891096 | 0.0107660005 | 0.010825355 | 1.0055131 | 6.0E-5 | 0.03628465 | 0.10033367 | 0.10045962 | 1.0012554 | 1.4E-4 |
7.4 | 5.146215E-5 | 1.4283379E-4 | 1.5283235E-4 | 1.0700015 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2053342E-4 | 6.1200204E-4 | 6.319898E-4 | 1.0326596 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0026816884 | 0.0074258577 | 0.0074854125 | 1.0080199 | 6.0E-5 | 0.02649557 | 0.070894614 | 0.07102469 | 1.0018348 | 1.4E-4 |
7.5 | 4.0285166E-5 | 1.0949868E-4 | 1.19497585E-4 | 1.0913153 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7263928E-4 | 4.69196E-4 | 4.891866E-4 | 1.0426061 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002099857 | 0.0056975684 | 0.0057472833 | 1.0087256 | 5.0E-5 | 0.020801254 | 0.05504921 | 0.055172056 | 1.0022315 | 1.3E-4 |
7.6 | 3.1168736E-5 | 8.44623E-5 | 9.446146E-5 | 1.118386 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3357346E-4 | 3.619312E-4 | 3.8192395E-4 | 1.0552391 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016250437 | 0.004397636 | 0.004447416 | 1.0113198 | 5.0E-5 | 0.016132116 | 0.042843364 | 0.042967796 | 1.0029043 | 1.3E-4 |
7.7 | 2.2100989E-5 | 6.245171E-5 | 7.245108E-5 | 1.1601137 | 1.0E-5 | 9.4715084E-5 | 2.6762276E-4 | 2.876174E-4 | 1.074712 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001152546 | 0.0032534453 | 0.0033032827 | 1.0153183 | 5.0E-5 | 0.011465867 | 0.03192978 | 0.032055628 | 1.0039414 | 1.3E-4 |
7.8 | 1.7484861E-5 | 5.185276E-5 | 6.185224E-5 | 1.1928438 | 1.0E-5 | 7.493296E-5 | 2.222072E-4 | 2.4220276E-4 | 1.0899861 | 2.0E-5 | 9.1192697E-4 | 0.0027020192 | 0.002751884 | 1.0184547 | 5.0E-5 | 0.009081938 | 0.026666474 | 0.026793007 | 1.004745 | 1.3E-4 |
7.9 | 1.3967285E-5 | 3.8268805E-5 | 4.826842E-5 | 1.2612995 | 1.0E-5 | 5.985842E-5 | 1.6399885E-4 | 1.739972E-4 | 1.060966 | 1.0E-5 | 7.2853256E-4 | 0.0019948587 | 0.002034779 | 1.0200115 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0072614877 | 0.019930597 | 0.020048205 | 1.0059009 | 1.2E-4 |
8.0 | 1.1887396E-5 | 3.1104668E-5 | 4.110436E-5 | 1.3214852 | 1.0E-5 | 5.094499E-5 | 1.3329892E-4 | 1.4329758E-4 | 1.0750093 | 1.0E-5 | 6.200787E-4 | 0.0016217072 | 0.0016616423 | 1.0246254 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006183513 | 0.01629759 | 0.016415635 | 1.007243 | 1.2E-4 |
8.1 | 5.100864E-6 | 8.988721E-6 | 8.988721E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1860664E-5 | 3.8522518E-5 | 3.8522518E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6612106E-4 | 4.6891088E-4 | 4.6891088E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002658026 | 0.004925269 | 0.004925269 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.3004484E-6 | 2.7923743E-6 | 2.7923743E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.859027E-6 | 1.1967263E-5 | 1.1967263E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2002704E-4 | 1.4569172E-4 | 1.4569172E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011996223 | 0.0016005415 | 0.0016005415 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.0424446E-7 | 5.8306142E-8 | 5.8306142E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4676187E-7 | 2.4988344E-7 | 2.4988344E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.439312E-6 | 3.042327E-6 | 3.042327E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4391792E-5 | 3.1984888E-5 | 3.1984888E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Independence rev 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3262803E-6 | 4.3262803E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8541086E-5 | 2.85409E-5 | 1.5393327 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571733E-4 | 2.7570606E-4 | 1.221466 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551743 | 0.0023848813 | 1.0575153 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3262803E-6 | 4.3262803E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8541086E-5 | 2.85409E-5 | 1.5393327 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571733E-4 | 2.7570606E-4 | 1.221466 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551743 | 0.0023848813 | 1.0575153 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3262803E-6 | 4.3262803E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8541086E-5 | 2.85409E-5 | 1.5393327 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571733E-4 | 2.7570606E-4 | 1.221466 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551743 | 0.0023848813 | 1.0575153 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3262803E-6 | 4.3262803E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8541086E-5 | 2.85409E-5 | 1.5393327 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571733E-4 | 2.7570606E-4 | 1.221466 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551743 | 0.0023848813 | 1.0575153 | 1.3E-4 |
6.4 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3262803E-6 | 4.3262803E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8541086E-5 | 2.85409E-5 | 1.5393327 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571733E-4 | 2.7570606E-4 | 1.221466 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551743 | 0.0023848813 | 1.0575153 | 1.3E-4 |
6.5 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3262803E-6 | 4.3262803E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8541086E-5 | 2.85409E-5 | 1.5393327 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571733E-4 | 2.7570606E-4 | 1.221466 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551743 | 0.0023848813 | 1.0575153 | 1.3E-4 |
6.6 | 2.663744E-6 | 2.532026E-6 | 2.532026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1415996E-5 | 1.0851498E-5 | 2.0851388E-5 | 1.9215218 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3898089E-4 | 1.3210946E-4 | 1.7210418E-4 | 1.3027393 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013889399 | 0.0013203576 | 0.0014302123 | 1.0832008 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 2.663744E-6 | 2.532026E-6 | 2.532026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1415996E-5 | 1.0851498E-5 | 2.0851388E-5 | 1.9215218 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3898089E-4 | 1.3210946E-4 | 1.7210418E-4 | 1.3027393 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013889399 | 0.0013203576 | 0.0014302123 | 1.0832008 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 1.9716529E-6 | 1.8322927E-6 | 1.8322927E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.449913E-6 | 7.85266E-6 | 1.7852582E-5 | 2.2734437 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0287284E-4 | 9.5602074E-5 | 1.3559825E-4 | 1.418361 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010282523 | 9.5562235E-4 | 0.0010655172 | 1.1149982 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 1.8788617E-6 | 1.7430324E-6 | 1.7430324E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0522395E-6 | 7.4701184E-6 | 1.7470044E-5 | 2.338657 | 1.0E-5 | 9.80316E-5 | 9.094502E-5 | 1.3094138E-4 | 1.4397862 | 4.0E-5 | 9.798837E-4 | 9.0909E-4 | 0.0010089991 | 1.1099001 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.5045488E-6 | 1.3849789E-6 | 1.3849789E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.44805E-6 | 5.9356107E-6 | 1.5935551E-5 | 2.6847367 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8502184E-5 | 7.226371E-5 | 1.1226082E-4 | 1.5534881 | 4.0E-5 | 7.8474457E-4 | 7.224073E-4 | 8.223351E-4 | 1.138326 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.272341E-6 | 1.162535E-6 | 1.162535E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4528787E-6 | 4.982284E-6 | 1.4982234E-5 | 3.0071018 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6386776E-5 | 6.0657647E-5 | 1.0065522E-4 | 1.6593987 | 4.0E-5 | 6.636695E-4 | 6.064141E-4 | 7.0635346E-4 | 1.1648039 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0416892E-6 | 9.4101017E-7 | 9.4101017E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.464375E-6 | 4.0328946E-6 | 1.4032854E-5 | 3.4795985 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4352407E-5 | 4.9099403E-5 | 7.909793E-5 | 1.6109754 | 3.0E-5 | 5.4339116E-4 | 4.9088744E-4 | 5.8084325E-4 | 1.1832514 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.9450155E-7 | 7.235176E-7 | 7.235176E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4050022E-6 | 3.100786E-6 | 1.31007555E-5 | 4.224979 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1455114E-5 | 3.7751426E-5 | 6.77503E-5 | 1.794642 | 3.0E-5 | 4.144738E-4 | 3.7745127E-4 | 4.674173E-4 | 1.2383513 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.3893444E-7 | 5.019608E-7 | 5.019608E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.309717E-6 | 2.151259E-6 | 1.2151238E-5 | 5.648431 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8120441E-5 | 2.6191266E-5 | 5.619048E-5 | 2.14539 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8116882E-4 | 2.6188226E-4 | 3.5185867E-4 | 1.3435758 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.8852085E-7 | 3.682624E-7 | 3.682624E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6650882E-6 | 1.5782665E-6 | 1.157825E-5 | 7.3360558 | 1.0E-5 | 2.027226E-5 | 1.9215227E-5 | 4.921465E-5 | 2.5612319 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0270412E-4 | 1.9213586E-4 | 2.721205E-4 | 1.4162921 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.414929E-7 | 2.3457936E-7 | 2.3457936E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0349692E-6 | 1.0053398E-6 | 1.0053398E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2600677E-5 | 1.2239943E-5 | 2.2239821E-5 | 1.8169873 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2599962E-4 | 1.2239283E-4 | 1.6238792E-4 | 1.3267765 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.8298014E-8 | 6.8590374E-8 | 6.8590374E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9270575E-7 | 2.9395872E-7 | 2.9395872E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5636867E-6 | 3.5789421E-6 | 1.3578906E-5 | 3.7941117 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5636294E-5 | 3.5788893E-5 | 4.5788536E-5 | 1.2794063 | 1.0E-5 |
San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4448785E-5 | 4.444844E-5 | 1.290276 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.476293E-4 | 1.5762782E-4 | 1.0677272 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017959068 | 0.0018557991 | 1.0333493 | 6.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.01855036 | 0.018677948 | 1.0068779 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4448785E-5 | 4.444844E-5 | 1.290276 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.476293E-4 | 1.5762782E-4 | 1.0677272 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017959068 | 0.0018557991 | 1.0333493 | 6.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.01855036 | 0.018677948 | 1.0068779 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4448785E-5 | 4.444844E-5 | 1.290276 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.476293E-4 | 1.5762782E-4 | 1.0677272 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017959068 | 0.0018557991 | 1.0333493 | 6.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.01855036 | 0.018677948 | 1.0068779 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4448785E-5 | 4.444844E-5 | 1.290276 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.476293E-4 | 1.5762782E-4 | 1.0677272 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017959068 | 0.0018557991 | 1.0333493 | 6.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.01855036 | 0.018677948 | 1.0068779 | 1.3E-4 |
6.4 | 3.646941E-5 | 3.437035E-5 | 4.4370005E-5 | 1.2909385 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5628811E-4 | 1.4729319E-4 | 1.5729172E-4 | 1.0678818 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019011468 | 0.0017918218 | 0.0018517143 | 1.0334255 | 6.0E-5 | 0.018849645 | 0.018510237 | 0.01863783 | 1.0068932 | 1.3E-4 |
6.5 | 3.646941E-5 | 3.437035E-5 | 4.4370005E-5 | 1.2909385 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5628811E-4 | 1.4729319E-4 | 1.5729172E-4 | 1.0678818 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019011468 | 0.0017918218 | 0.0018517143 | 1.0334255 | 6.0E-5 | 0.018849645 | 0.018510237 | 0.01863783 | 1.0068932 | 1.3E-4 |
6.6 | 3.6442503E-5 | 3.433373E-5 | 4.433339E-5 | 1.2912488 | 1.0E-5 | 1.561728E-4 | 1.4713628E-4 | 1.5713481E-4 | 1.0679542 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018997455 | 0.0017899147 | 0.0018498073 | 1.0334611 | 6.0E-5 | 0.018835869 | 0.018491503 | 0.0186191 | 1.0069003 | 1.3E-4 |
6.7 | 3.6432113E-5 | 3.4319306E-5 | 4.4318964E-5 | 1.2913712 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5612828E-4 | 1.4707446E-4 | 1.5707298E-4 | 1.0679828 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018992044 | 0.0017891633 | 0.001849056 | 1.0334753 | 6.0E-5 | 0.018830549 | 0.018484127 | 0.018611724 | 1.006903 | 1.3E-4 |
6.8 | 3.6409598E-5 | 3.4288358E-5 | 4.4288015E-5 | 1.2916342 | 1.0E-5 | 1.560318E-4 | 1.4694183E-4 | 1.5694037E-4 | 1.0680442 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018980318 | 0.0017875513 | 0.0018474441 | 1.0335054 | 6.0E-5 | 0.018819023 | 0.01846828 | 0.018595878 | 1.0069091 | 1.3E-4 |
6.9 | 3.638078E-5 | 3.4248773E-5 | 4.424843E-5 | 1.2919712 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5590832E-4 | 1.4677222E-4 | 1.5677075E-4 | 1.0681227 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018965311 | 0.0017854896 | 0.0018453825 | 1.0335442 | 6.0E-5 | 0.018804269 | 0.01844801 | 0.018575612 | 1.0069169 | 1.3E-4 |
7.0 | 3.6294874E-5 | 3.4130775E-5 | 4.4130436E-5 | 1.2929807 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5554018E-4 | 1.4626657E-4 | 1.562651E-4 | 1.0683583 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018920569 | 0.0017793436 | 0.0018392368 | 1.0336603 | 6.0E-5 | 0.018760284 | 0.018387586 | 0.018515196 | 1.00694 | 1.3E-4 |
7.1 | 3.6260717E-5 | 3.4087054E-5 | 4.4086715E-5 | 1.2933565 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5539382E-4 | 1.4607921E-4 | 1.5607775E-4 | 1.068446 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001890278 | 0.0017770663 | 0.0018369596 | 1.0337036 | 6.0E-5 | 0.018742796 | 0.01836518 | 0.018492792 | 1.0069486 | 1.3E-4 |
7.2 | 3.6210204E-5 | 3.4021185E-5 | 4.4020846E-5 | 1.2939245 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5517735E-4 | 1.4579695E-4 | 1.557955E-4 | 1.0685785 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001887647 | 0.0017736353 | 0.0018335289 | 1.0337688 | 6.0E-5 | 0.01871693 | 0.018331407 | 0.018459022 | 1.0069617 | 1.3E-4 |
7.3 | 3.6119454E-5 | 3.3909288E-5 | 4.390895E-5 | 1.2948945 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5478847E-4 | 1.4531745E-4 | 1.55316E-4 | 1.0688049 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018829206 | 0.0017678068 | 0.0018277008 | 1.0338804 | 6.0E-5 | 0.018670462 | 0.018273871 | 0.018401496 | 1.006984 | 1.3E-4 |
7.4 | 3.607848E-5 | 3.3856748E-5 | 4.385641E-5 | 1.2953521 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5461289E-4 | 1.450923E-4 | 1.5509085E-4 | 1.0689117 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018807866 | 0.0017650701 | 0.0018249642 | 1.033933 | 6.0E-5 | 0.018649481 | 0.018246844 | 0.018374473 | 1.0069945 | 1.3E-4 |
7.5 | 3.5856774E-5 | 3.3665623E-5 | 4.3665284E-5 | 1.2970289 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5366284E-4 | 1.4427328E-4 | 1.5427182E-4 | 1.0693029 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018692396 | 0.0017551145 | 0.0018150093 | 1.0341258 | 6.0E-5 | 0.018535944 | 0.018147476 | 0.018275118 | 1.0070336 | 1.3E-4 |
7.6 | 3.286655E-5 | 3.2182303E-5 | 4.2181982E-5 | 1.3107197 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4084904E-4 | 1.3791688E-4 | 1.479155E-4 | 1.0724975 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001713488 | 0.0016778468 | 0.0017377462 | 1.0357001 | 6.0E-5 | 0.017003361 | 0.017363887 | 0.01749163 | 1.0073568 | 1.3E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8882527E-5 | 2.9274415E-5 | 3.927412E-5 | 1.3415852 | 1.0E-5 | 1.237764E-4 | 1.2545574E-4 | 1.354545E-4 | 1.0796994 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015059357 | 0.0015263547 | 0.0015862631 | 1.0392493 | 6.0E-5 | 0.014957713 | 0.015849732 | 0.015977671 | 1.008072 | 1.3E-4 |
7.8 | 2.4950225E-5 | 2.6563941E-5 | 3.6563677E-5 | 1.3764402 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0692515E-4 | 1.138405E-4 | 1.2383936E-4 | 1.0878322 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013010362 | 0.0013851278 | 0.0014450446 | 1.0432574 | 6.0E-5 | 0.012934455 | 0.014430385 | 0.014558509 | 1.0088788 | 1.3E-4 |
7.9 | 1.9881603E-5 | 2.1540423E-5 | 3.1540207E-5 | 1.4642334 | 1.0E-5 | 8.520408E-5 | 9.231283E-5 | 1.0231191E-4 | 1.1083173 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001036866 | 0.0011233301 | 0.0011832627 | 1.0533526 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010320415 | 0.0117939515 | 0.011922418 | 1.0108926 | 1.3E-4 |
8.0 | 1.563292E-5 | 1.5963697E-5 | 2.5963536E-5 | 1.6264113 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6996516E-5 | 6.841405E-5 | 7.8413366E-5 | 1.1461588 | 1.0E-5 | 8.153773E-4 | 8.3262345E-4 | 8.725901E-4 | 1.0480009 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00812392 | 0.0088241575 | 0.008913363 | 1.0101093 | 9.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0045313E-5 | 8.31673E-6 | 8.31673E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.305063E-5 | 3.5642643E-5 | 3.5642643E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2401534E-4 | 4.3386326E-4 | 4.538546E-4 | 1.0460775 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0052278144 | 0.0046668975 | 0.004716664 | 1.0106637 | 5.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.1554413E-6 | 1.569462E-6 | 1.569462E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7808914E-5 | 6.7262486E-6 | 6.7262486E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1680194E-4 | 8.1889026E-5 | 8.1889026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021659054 | 9.5055765E-4 | 9.5055765E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 3.6252337E-7 | 3.6252337E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.5536706E-6 | 1.5536706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 1.891578E-5 | 1.891578E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.2813045E-4 | 2.2813045E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calico-Hidalgo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.070724E-5 | 5.070724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1730093E-4 | 2.2729875E-4 | 1.0460092 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026428276 | 0.0027226163 | 1.0301906 | 8.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.026154276 | 0.026271136 | 1.0044682 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.070724E-5 | 5.070724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1730093E-4 | 2.2729875E-4 | 1.0460092 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026428276 | 0.0027226163 | 1.0301906 | 8.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.026154276 | 0.026271136 | 1.0044682 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.070724E-5 | 5.070724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1730093E-4 | 2.2729875E-4 | 1.0460092 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026428276 | 0.0027226163 | 1.0301906 | 8.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.026154276 | 0.026271136 | 1.0044682 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0092164E-5 | 3.0092164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.2896024E-4 | 1.3895895E-4 | 1.0775332 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015689936 | 0.001618915 | 1.0318176 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01257003 | 0.015582844 | 0.015661597 | 1.0050539 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0092164E-5 | 3.0092164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.2896024E-4 | 1.3895895E-4 | 1.0775332 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015689936 | 0.001618915 | 1.0318176 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01257003 | 0.015582844 | 0.015661597 | 1.0050539 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.0286952E-5 | 2.5316927E-5 | 2.5316927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.694118E-5 | 1.084967E-4 | 1.1849562E-4 | 1.0921587 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010579949 | 0.001320164 | 0.001370098 | 1.037824 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010529719 | 0.01312515 | 0.013194231 | 1.0052633 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.0269223E-5 | 2.5297877E-5 | 2.5297877E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6865206E-5 | 1.0841506E-4 | 1.1841398E-4 | 1.092228 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010570707 | 0.0013191713 | 0.0013691053 | 1.0378525 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010520565 | 0.01311534 | 0.013184422 | 1.0052673 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.799852E-5 | 2.2541686E-5 | 2.2541686E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.713423E-5 | 9.6603726E-5 | 1.0660276E-4 | 1.1035057 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3870464E-4 | 0.0011755304 | 0.0012254716 | 1.042484 | 5.0E-5 | 0.009347493 | 0.011694733 | 0.011754031 | 1.0050706 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7458793E-5 | 2.1843038E-5 | 2.1843038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4821255E-5 | 9.3609735E-5 | 1.036088E-4 | 1.1068165 | 1.0E-5 | 9.10568E-4 | 0.0011391172 | 0.0011890602 | 1.0438436 | 5.0E-5 | 0.009068459 | 0.011334366 | 0.011393687 | 1.0052336 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.542884E-5 | 1.9026606E-5 | 1.9026606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.612192E-5 | 8.154012E-5 | 9.153931E-5 | 1.122629 | 1.0E-5 | 8.04737E-4 | 9.92312E-4 | 0.0010322724 | 1.0402699 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008018291 | 0.009880208 | 0.009929715 | 1.0050106 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.468253E-5 | 1.8031395E-5 | 1.8031395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.292361E-5 | 7.727519E-5 | 8.727442E-5 | 1.1293976 | 1.0E-5 | 7.658257E-4 | 9.4043236E-4 | 9.803948E-4 | 1.0424936 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0076319184 | 0.009365893 | 0.009415424 | 1.0052885 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3139281E-5 | 1.6201642E-5 | 1.6201642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6309986E-5 | 6.943384E-5 | 7.943314E-5 | 1.144012 | 1.0E-5 | 6.853584E-4 | 8.4504165E-4 | 8.750163E-4 | 1.0354712 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0068324856 | 0.008419581 | 0.008449328 | 1.0035331 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1127404E-5 | 1.3867241E-5 | 1.3867241E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7688E-5 | 5.942974E-5 | 6.9429145E-5 | 1.1682559 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8044674E-4 | 7.233278E-4 | 7.4331334E-4 | 1.02763 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0057893298 | 0.007210842 | 0.0072306977 | 1.0027536 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.808154E-6 | 1.21767625E-5 | 1.21767625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2034266E-5 | 5.218514E-5 | 5.218514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.11647E-4 | 6.351796E-4 | 6.4517325E-4 | 1.0157336 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051047057 | 0.006334717 | 0.006344653 | 1.0015686 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.942452E-6 | 9.7924985E-6 | 9.7924985E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4038632E-5 | 4.196723E-5 | 4.196723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1434157E-4 | 5.108407E-4 | 5.208356E-4 | 1.0195656 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041356985 | 0.0050976053 | 0.005107554 | 1.0019517 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.7121216E-6 | 5.773038E-6 | 5.773038E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.019465E-5 | 2.47414E-5 | 2.47414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4584212E-4 | 3.0119257E-4 | 3.1118956E-4 | 1.0331913 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024557032 | 0.0030085961 | 0.003018566 | 1.0033138 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6040448E-7 | 2.6040448E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160188E-6 | 1.1160188E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587473E-5 | 1.3587473E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3586924E-4 | 1.3586924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cady
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1859532E-5 | 2.1859532E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.368086E-5 | 1.0367992E-4 | 1.1067353 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011400586 | 0.0011700244 | 1.0262845 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011351115 | 0.011469753 | 1.0104517 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1859532E-5 | 2.1859532E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.368086E-5 | 1.0367992E-4 | 1.1067353 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011400586 | 0.0011700244 | 1.0262845 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011351115 | 0.011469753 | 1.0104517 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1859532E-5 | 2.1859532E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.368086E-5 | 1.0367992E-4 | 1.1067353 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011400586 | 0.0011700244 | 1.0262845 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011351115 | 0.011469753 | 1.0104517 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.21770145E-5 | 1.21770145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.218634E-5 | 6.218582E-5 | 1.191611 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.3521496E-4 | 6.5520225E-4 | 1.0314654 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0063370992 | 0.0064066555 | 1.0109761 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.21770145E-5 | 1.21770145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.218634E-5 | 6.218582E-5 | 1.191611 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.3521496E-4 | 6.5520225E-4 | 1.0314654 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0063370992 | 0.0064066555 | 1.0109761 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.103093E-6 | 6.672252E-6 | 6.672252E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.615585E-5 | 2.8595123E-5 | 2.8595123E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1840094E-4 | 3.4810256E-4 | 3.4810256E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031794512 | 0.003476807 | 0.0034967375 | 1.0057324 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.817237E-6 | 6.3658817E-6 | 6.3658817E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4930776E-5 | 2.7282134E-5 | 2.7282134E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.034899E-4 | 3.321218E-4 | 3.321218E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030307577 | 0.0033174767 | 0.0033374103 | 1.0060086 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.8846314E-6 | 5.3407534E-6 | 5.3407534E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0933967E-5 | 2.288881E-5 | 2.288881E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5484123E-4 | 2.786474E-4 | 2.786474E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025454918 | 0.0027841358 | 0.00280408 | 1.0071635 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7788773E-6 | 1.9399733E-6 | 1.9399733E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6237375E-6 | 8.314153E-6 | 8.314153E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.281505E-5 | 1.01221696E-4 | 1.01221696E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2776294E-4 | 0.0010119105 | 0.0010219004 | 1.0098723 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.5455404E-7 | 8.297399E-7 | 8.297399E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.233799E-6 | 3.5560251E-6 | 3.5560251E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.937079E-5 | 4.3294083E-5 | 4.3294083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9363815E-4 | 4.3288944E-4 | 4.4288512E-4 | 1.0230906 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.8578805E-7 | 7.5420957E-7 | 7.5420957E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9390883E-6 | 3.2323244E-6 | 3.2323244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.578281E-5 | 3.935317E-5 | 3.935317E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.577705E-4 | 3.934945E-4 | 4.0349056E-4 | 1.0254033 | 1.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.986481E-4 | 0.0012279514 | 0.0012279514 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025631124 | 0.005247223 | 0.005247223 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.030762846 | 0.06122506 | 0.061243836 | 1.0003066 | 2.0E-5 | 0.26835477 | 0.42603084 | 0.42608824 | 1.0001347 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 5.015945E-4 | 0.0010221013 | 0.0010221013 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00214792 | 0.0043692966 | 0.0043692966 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.025839351 | 0.051265214 | 0.051274702 | 1.000185 | 1.0E-5 | 0.23032776 | 0.37294927 | 0.37299317 | 1.0001177 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.073338E-4 | 8.1103796E-4 | 8.1103796E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017445484 | 0.0034685645 | 0.0034685645 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021034058 | 0.040950015 | 0.040959608 | 1.0002342 | 1.0E-5 | 0.19150782 | 0.3131353 | 0.3131834 | 1.0001535 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.464099E-4 | 6.742343E-4 | 6.742343E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014837692 | 0.002884392 | 0.002884392 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017915873 | 0.03420657 | 0.03421623 | 1.0002823 | 1.0E-5 | 0.16538359 | 0.27142483 | 0.27147582 | 1.0001879 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.935057E-4 | 5.5473944E-4 | 5.5473944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012572751 | 0.0023739655 | 0.0023739655 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015200248 | 0.028281644 | 0.028291361 | 1.0003436 | 1.0E-5 | 0.14201577 | 0.2330995 | 0.23315318 | 1.0002303 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3409708E-4 | 4.2125743E-4 | 4.2125743E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010028875 | 0.0018034104 | 0.0018034104 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012141965 | 0.021604737 | 0.02161452 | 1.0004529 | 1.0E-5 | 0.11499573 | 0.18694462 | 0.18700153 | 1.0003045 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5842178E-4 | 2.5103017E-4 | 2.5103017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7877385E-4 | 0.0010753913 | 0.0010753913 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0082328 | 0.013012927 | 0.013022797 | 1.0007584 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07934396 | 0.12327597 | 0.12331981 | 1.0003556 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.5616413E-4 | 2.463946E-4 | 2.463946E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.691031E-4 | 0.001055545 | 0.001055545 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0081159435 | 0.012774756 | 0.012784628 | 1.0007728 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0782586 | 0.12130311 | 0.12134705 | 1.0003622 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5538467E-4 | 2.446325E-4 | 2.446325E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6576427E-4 | 0.0010480001 | 0.0010480001 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008075596 | 0.012684105 | 0.012693979 | 1.0007784 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07788358 | 0.1205339 | 0.12057787 | 1.0003648 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5153569E-4 | 2.3572278E-4 | 2.3572278E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.49277E-4 | 0.0010098513 | 0.0010098513 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007876333 | 0.012226152 | 0.01223603 | 1.0008079 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07602952 | 0.11660349 | 0.11664767 | 1.0003788 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.4588932E-4 | 2.2429215E-4 | 2.2429215E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.250901E-4 | 9.608999E-4 | 9.608999E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0075839474 | 0.0116367005 | 0.011646584 | 1.0008494 | 1.0E-5 | 0.073302895 | 0.11144942 | 0.11149385 | 1.0003986 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.1565079E-4 | 1.6308622E-4 | 1.6308622E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.955521E-4 | 6.987546E-4 | 6.987546E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006016669 | 0.008474356 | 0.00848427 | 1.00117 | 1.0E-5 | 0.058563538 | 0.08378543 | 0.083812915 | 1.0003281 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0393792E-4 | 1.4640854E-4 | 1.4640854E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4537216E-4 | 6.27315E-4 | 6.27315E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005408933 | 0.0076109846 | 0.007620909 | 1.0013039 | 1.0E-5 | 0.052791595 | 0.07572841 | 0.07575613 | 1.0003662 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.332884E-5 | 1.2802937E-4 | 1.2802937E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.999194E-4 | 5.485825E-4 | 5.485825E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048581534 | 0.0066586733 | 0.006668607 | 1.0014918 | 1.0E-5 | 0.047533102 | 0.06658118 | 0.06660918 | 1.0004206 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.670252E-5 | 1.17216485E-4 | 1.17216485E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.715293E-4 | 5.022602E-4 | 5.022602E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004513991 | 0.0060979943 | 0.0061079334 | 1.0016298 | 1.0E-5 | 0.044233937 | 0.061233453 | 0.061261617 | 1.0004599 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.3036405E-5 | 9.021004E-5 | 9.021004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.129756E-4 | 3.8655725E-4 | 3.8655725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038038217 | 0.0046962 | 0.004706153 | 1.0021194 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03739367 | 0.04794861 | 0.047967654 | 1.0003971 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.3935775E-5 | 8.293374E-5 | 8.293374E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7398168E-4 | 3.5538196E-4 | 3.5538196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033306254 | 0.0043182103 | 0.004328167 | 1.0023057 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032811474 | 0.044052675 | 0.044071794 | 1.000434 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.5050095E-5 | 6.673265E-5 | 6.673265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3590765E-4 | 2.8596574E-4 | 2.8596574E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028683927 | 0.0034760789 | 0.003486044 | 1.0028669 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0283165 | 0.035850428 | 0.03586971 | 1.0005379 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.027131E-5 | 6.1732906E-5 | 6.1732906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1543067E-4 | 2.645428E-4 | 2.645428E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026197135 | 0.003216055 | 0.003226023 | 1.0030994 | 1.0E-5 | 0.025890453 | 0.033176046 | 0.033195384 | 1.0005828 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.7271806E-5 | 5.0308114E-5 | 5.0308114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5972654E-4 | 2.155884E-4 | 2.155884E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019429359 | 0.0026216314 | 0.0026216314 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019260362 | 0.027107304 | 0.027117033 | 1.0003589 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.7310243E-5 | 3.1482556E-5 | 3.1482556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.17038646E-4 | 1.3491826E-4 | 1.3491826E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014240141 | 0.0016413929 | 0.0016413929 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014149235 | 0.017241208 | 0.017241208 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.7940547E-5 | 1.7434262E-5 | 1.7434262E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.688579E-5 | 7.471613E-5 | 7.471613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3568244E-4 | 9.0928975E-4 | 9.0928975E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009317525 | 0.009816502 | 0.009816502 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.4877546E-6 | 5.4877546E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3518736E-5 | 2.3518736E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8630308E-4 | 2.8630308E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032558958 | 0.0032558958 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6799233E-7 | 7.6799233E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2913915E-6 | 3.2913915E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0071973E-5 | 4.0071973E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7313387E-4 | 4.7313387E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Wolf (Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.0667244E-6 | 1.6066664E-5 | 2.648326 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.6000025E-5 | 3.5999765E-5 | 1.384605 | 1.0E-5 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1651094E-4 | 3.9648564E-4 | 1.2526759 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031612536 | 0.003280874 | 1.0378397 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.0667244E-6 | 1.6066664E-5 | 2.648326 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.6000025E-5 | 3.5999765E-5 | 1.384605 | 1.0E-5 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1651094E-4 | 3.9648564E-4 | 1.2526759 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031612536 | 0.003280874 | 1.0378397 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.0667244E-6 | 1.6066664E-5 | 2.648326 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.6000025E-5 | 3.5999765E-5 | 1.384605 | 1.0E-5 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1651094E-4 | 3.9648564E-4 | 1.2526759 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031612536 | 0.003280874 | 1.0378397 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.0667244E-6 | 1.6066664E-5 | 2.648326 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.6000025E-5 | 3.5999765E-5 | 1.384605 | 1.0E-5 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1651094E-4 | 3.9648564E-4 | 1.2526759 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031612536 | 0.003280874 | 1.0378397 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 5.821773E-6 | 3.557193E-6 | 3.557193E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4950215E-5 | 1.5245029E-5 | 1.5245029E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0372653E-4 | 1.8559353E-4 | 2.1558795E-4 | 1.1616136 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0030331176 | 0.0018544936 | 0.0019143823 | 1.0322938 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.766023E-6 | 3.499126E-6 | 3.499126E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4711293E-5 | 1.4996174E-5 | 1.4996174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0081844E-4 | 1.8256422E-4 | 2.1255875E-4 | 1.1642957 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0030041158 | 0.0018242507 | 0.0018841412 | 1.0328302 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.643576E-6 | 2.3326227E-6 | 2.3326227E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9900888E-5 | 9.996918E-6 | 9.996918E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4226638E-4 | 1.2170611E-4 | 1.3170489E-4 | 1.0821551 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024200242 | 0.001216437 | 0.0012563884 | 1.0328429 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.9529173E-6 | 1.6483372E-6 | 1.6483372E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6940963E-5 | 7.064284E-6 | 7.064284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0623671E-4 | 8.600445E-5 | 8.600445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002060454 | 8.597302E-4 | 8.79713E-4 | 1.0232431 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4377522E-6 | 1.2245087E-6 | 1.2245087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.473314E-5 | 5.247884E-6 | 5.247884E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7936122E-4 | 6.389121E-5 | 6.389121E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017921652 | 6.3873746E-4 | 6.587247E-4 | 1.0312917 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.1367306E-6 | 1.0033596E-6 | 1.0033596E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3443062E-5 | 4.300106E-6 | 4.300106E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.63657E-4 | 5.2352607E-5 | 5.2352607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016353652 | 5.234104E-4 | 5.433999E-4 | 1.038191 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8298145E-6 | 7.4284696E-7 | 7.4284696E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2127721E-5 | 3.1836262E-6 | 3.1836262E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.47645E-4 | 3.8760012E-5 | 3.8760012E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014754693 | 3.875375E-4 | 4.0752973E-4 | 1.0515879 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.4091064E-6 | 5.42258E-7 | 5.42258E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.03247E-5 | 2.323961E-6 | 2.323961E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2569598E-4 | 2.82939E-5 | 2.82939E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001256249 | 2.82907E-4 | 3.0290135E-4 | 1.0706747 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.3875518E-6 | 1.07412674E-7 | 1.07412674E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9466374E-6 | 4.6033998E-7 | 4.6033998E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.23979E-5 | 5.6046256E-6 | 5.6046256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2374323E-4 | 5.604496E-5 | 6.60444E-5 | 1.1784182 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.056077E-7 | 5.0010282E-8 | 5.0010282E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0240296E-6 | 2.1432976E-7 | 2.1432976E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.681694E-5 | 2.6094622E-6 | 2.6094622E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.681084E-4 | 2.6094362E-5 | 2.6094362E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.8641375E-9 | 4.8641375E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 2.0846304E-8 | 2.0846304E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.5380373E-7 | 2.5380373E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095951E-5 | 2.5380357E-6 | 2.5380357E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5318226E-5 | 4.5317873E-5 | 1.2831299 | 1.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5135504E-4 | 1.6135353E-4 | 1.0660598 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018411913 | 0.0019010808 | 1.0325276 | 6.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.019010037 | 0.019117946 | 1.0056764 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5318226E-5 | 4.5317873E-5 | 1.2831299 | 1.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5135504E-4 | 1.6135353E-4 | 1.0660598 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018411913 | 0.0019010808 | 1.0325276 | 6.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.019010037 | 0.019117946 | 1.0056764 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5318226E-5 | 4.5317873E-5 | 1.2831299 | 1.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5135504E-4 | 1.6135353E-4 | 1.0660598 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018411913 | 0.0019010808 | 1.0325276 | 6.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.019010037 | 0.019117946 | 1.0056764 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5318226E-5 | 4.5317873E-5 | 1.2831299 | 1.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5135504E-4 | 1.6135353E-4 | 1.0660598 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018411913 | 0.0019010808 | 1.0325276 | 6.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.019010037 | 0.019117946 | 1.0056764 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 4.0577226E-5 | 3.5190114E-5 | 4.5189765E-5 | 1.2841607 | 1.0E-5 | 1.738908E-4 | 1.5080608E-4 | 1.6080457E-4 | 1.0663003 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0018345201 | 0.0018844284 | 1.0272051 | 5.0E-5 | 0.020950472 | 0.018944597 | 0.019042702 | 1.0051786 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 4.0577226E-5 | 3.5190114E-5 | 4.5189765E-5 | 1.2841607 | 1.0E-5 | 1.738908E-4 | 1.5080608E-4 | 1.6080457E-4 | 1.0663003 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0018345201 | 0.0018844284 | 1.0272051 | 5.0E-5 | 0.020950472 | 0.018944597 | 0.019042702 | 1.0051786 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 4.053861E-5 | 3.513545E-5 | 4.5135097E-5 | 1.2846029 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7372532E-4 | 1.5057182E-4 | 1.6057031E-4 | 1.0664035 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021130538 | 0.0018316734 | 0.0018815818 | 1.0272474 | 5.0E-5 | 0.020930743 | 0.018916672 | 0.01901478 | 1.0051863 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 4.0516545E-5 | 3.510452E-5 | 4.5104167E-5 | 1.2848536 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7363077E-4 | 1.5043927E-4 | 1.6043778E-4 | 1.066462 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002111905 | 0.0018300626 | 0.0018799711 | 1.0272715 | 5.0E-5 | 0.020919468 | 0.018900866 | 0.018998977 | 1.0051907 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 4.049434E-5 | 3.507608E-5 | 4.5075725E-5 | 1.2850846 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7353562E-4 | 1.503174E-4 | 1.6031589E-4 | 1.0665159 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021107488 | 0.0018285812 | 0.0018784899 | 1.0272936 | 5.0E-5 | 0.020908125 | 0.01888628 | 0.01898439 | 1.0051949 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 4.046386E-5 | 3.5038633E-5 | 4.503828E-5 | 1.2853893 | 1.0E-5 | 1.73405E-4 | 1.5015693E-4 | 1.6015544E-4 | 1.066587 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021091616 | 0.0018266309 | 0.0018765396 | 1.0273228 | 5.0E-5 | 0.020892553 | 0.01886705 | 0.018965162 | 1.0052003 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 4.036382E-5 | 3.4919183E-5 | 4.4918834E-5 | 1.2863655 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7297632E-4 | 1.4964507E-4 | 1.5964358E-4 | 1.0668148 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021039525 | 0.0018204094 | 0.0018703184 | 1.0274163 | 5.0E-5 | 0.02084144 | 0.018805655 | 0.018903773 | 1.0052176 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 4.0343282E-5 | 3.4897643E-5 | 4.4897293E-5 | 1.2865423 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7288832E-4 | 1.4955277E-4 | 1.5955127E-4 | 1.066856 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002102883 | 0.0018192875 | 0.0018691965 | 1.0274333 | 5.0E-5 | 0.020830948 | 0.018794524 | 0.018892644 | 1.0052207 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 4.0257353E-5 | 3.4802044E-5 | 4.4801694E-5 | 1.2873294 | 1.0E-5 | 1.725201E-4 | 1.491431E-4 | 1.5914161E-4 | 1.0670397 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020984085 | 0.0018143082 | 0.0018642176 | 1.0275087 | 5.0E-5 | 0.020787042 | 0.018745216 | 0.01884334 | 1.0052347 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 3.9940667E-5 | 3.462946E-5 | 4.4629112E-5 | 1.2887615 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7116306E-4 | 1.4840353E-4 | 1.5840205E-4 | 1.0673739 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020819185 | 0.001805319 | 0.0018552287 | 1.027646 | 5.0E-5 | 0.020625217 | 0.018653726 | 0.01875186 | 1.0052608 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 3.9721202E-5 | 3.451476E-5 | 4.4514414E-5 | 1.2897211 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7022261E-4 | 1.4791203E-4 | 1.5791056E-4 | 1.0675977 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020704903 | 0.0017993448 | 0.0018492548 | 1.0277379 | 5.0E-5 | 0.020513052 | 0.018592801 | 0.018690942 | 1.0052785 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 3.7036873E-5 | 3.3580804E-5 | 4.3580465E-5 | 1.2977792 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5871979E-4 | 1.439098E-4 | 1.5390836E-4 | 1.0694779 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019307006 | 0.0017506967 | 0.0018006092 | 1.0285101 | 5.0E-5 | 0.019140124 | 0.018093783 | 0.018191975 | 1.0054268 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 3.2940967E-5 | 3.1355106E-5 | 4.1354793E-5 | 1.3189173 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4116794E-4 | 1.3437212E-4 | 1.4437077E-4 | 1.0744102 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017173645 | 0.0016347552 | 0.0016846734 | 1.0305356 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01704153 | 0.016923353 | 0.017021662 | 1.005809 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8236149E-5 | 2.7920129E-5 | 3.791985E-5 | 1.3581545 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2100645E-4 | 1.19652206E-4 | 1.2965102E-4 | 1.0835656 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014722579 | 0.0014557932 | 0.0015057204 | 1.0342956 | 5.0E-5 | 0.014625421 | 0.015133452 | 0.015231939 | 1.0065079 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 2.4329287E-5 | 2.5242414E-5 | 3.5242163E-5 | 1.3961486 | 1.0E-5 | 1.042642E-4 | 1.0817729E-4 | 1.1817621E-4 | 1.0924308 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012686774 | 0.0013162637 | 0.001366198 | 1.0379363 | 5.0E-5 | 0.012614589 | 0.013730121 | 0.013828748 | 1.0071833 | 1.0E-4 |
7.9 | 1.9370926E-5 | 2.045287E-5 | 3.0452666E-5 | 1.4889189 | 1.0E-5 | 8.301561E-5 | 8.765222E-5 | 9.765134E-5 | 1.1140772 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010102465 | 0.0010666441 | 0.0011165907 | 1.046826 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0100566605 | 0.01121565 | 0.011314528 | 1.0088161 | 1.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.5583017E-5 | 1.591271E-5 | 2.5912552E-5 | 1.6284184 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6782646E-5 | 6.819556E-5 | 7.819487E-5 | 1.1466271 | 1.0E-5 | 8.127754E-4 | 8.299653E-4 | 8.6993206E-4 | 1.0481548 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008098091 | 0.008795403 | 0.008884612 | 1.0101426 | 9.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0024873E-5 | 8.307305E-6 | 8.307305E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2963035E-5 | 3.560225E-5 | 3.560225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.229494E-4 | 4.333717E-4 | 4.5336303E-4 | 1.0461297 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0052172043 | 0.004661179 | 0.0047109458 | 1.0106769 | 5.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.142796E-6 | 1.5648925E-6 | 1.5648925E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.775472E-5 | 6.706665E-6 | 6.706665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1614227E-4 | 8.1650614E-5 | 8.1650614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021593217 | 9.477241E-4 | 9.477241E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 3.6223653E-7 | 3.6223653E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.5524413E-6 | 1.5524413E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 1.8900813E-5 | 1.8900813E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.2795962E-4 | 2.2795962E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Chino alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.939946E-5 | 4.8953592E-5 | 4.8953592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6884391E-4 | 2.0978718E-4 | 2.1978508E-4 | 1.0476574 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020537362 | 0.002551676 | 0.0025915739 | 1.015636 | 4.0E-5 | 0.020348595 | 0.025280507 | 0.02537798 | 1.0038556 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.6882513E-5 | 2.6882513E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.1520631E-4 | 1.1520631E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0014018437 | 0.0014218157 | 1.014247 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011158722 | 0.013946786 | 0.013986227 | 1.002828 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.6882513E-5 | 2.6882513E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.1520631E-4 | 1.1520631E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0014018437 | 0.0014218157 | 1.014247 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011158722 | 0.013946786 | 0.013986227 | 1.002828 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.8167848E-5 | 1.8167848E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.786014E-5 | 7.786014E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.4758015E-4 | 9.675612E-4 | 1.0210863 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007429048 | 0.009445749 | 0.009475466 | 1.003146 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.8167848E-5 | 1.8167848E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.786014E-5 | 7.786014E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.4758015E-4 | 9.675612E-4 | 1.0210863 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007429048 | 0.009445749 | 0.009475466 | 1.003146 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3017944E-5 | 1.6654702E-5 | 1.6654702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5789995E-5 | 7.137559E-5 | 7.137559E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.790315E-4 | 8.6869503E-4 | 8.8867766E-4 | 1.023003 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0067696036 | 0.008663187 | 0.008692927 | 1.0034329 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.470016E-6 | 1.2041368E-5 | 1.2041368E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.058515E-5 | 5.160503E-5 | 5.160503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.940122E-4 | 6.281441E-4 | 6.381378E-4 | 1.0159099 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004929154 | 0.006272557 | 0.0062824944 | 1.0015843 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.314155E-6 | 1.0409423E-5 | 1.0409423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5631605E-5 | 4.461123E-5 | 4.461123E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3372845E-4 | 5.4303865E-4 | 5.530332E-4 | 1.0184048 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004328829 | 0.005426319 | 0.005436265 | 1.0018328 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4856364E-6 | 3.8138242E-6 | 3.8138242E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4938357E-5 | 1.634487E-5 | 1.634487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8185932E-4 | 1.989827E-4 | 1.989827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018171056 | 0.0019900412 | 0.0019900412 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.2645952E-6 | 2.1531362E-6 | 2.1531362E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.705372E-6 | 9.227695E-6 | 9.227695E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18156495E-4 | 1.1234161E-4 | 1.1234161E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011809369 | 0.0011237173 | 0.0011237173 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.7864003E-6 | 1.5432636E-6 | 1.5432636E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.655979E-6 | 6.6139705E-6 | 6.6139705E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3207556E-5 | 8.052217E-5 | 8.052217E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.316847E-4 | 8.053924E-4 | 8.053924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.7315456E-6 | 1.47353E-6 | 1.47353E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.420889E-6 | 6.3151138E-6 | 6.3151138E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.034557E-5 | 7.688386E-5 | 7.688386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0308854E-4 | 7.6902995E-4 | 7.6902995E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.6008337E-6 | 1.35757E-6 | 1.35757E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.860698E-6 | 5.8181445E-6 | 5.8181445E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.352579E-5 | 7.083366E-5 | 7.083366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.34944E-4 | 7.0855545E-4 | 7.0855545E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3320939E-6 | 1.1219008E-6 | 1.1219008E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7089615E-6 | 4.8081374E-6 | 4.8081374E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9504385E-5 | 5.853755E-5 | 5.853755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9482654E-4 | 5.853481E-4 | 5.853481E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.114294E-6 | 9.238023E-7 | 9.238023E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.775537E-6 | 3.959147E-6 | 3.959147E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8140613E-5 | 4.8201586E-5 | 4.8201586E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.81254E-4 | 4.819279E-4 | 4.819279E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.354081E-7 | 7.6241304E-7 | 7.6241304E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0088858E-6 | 3.2674805E-6 | 3.2674805E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8807087E-5 | 3.9780884E-5 | 3.9780884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.879637E-4 | 3.97741E-4 | 3.97741E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.521771E-7 | 6.8813347E-7 | 6.8813347E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6521824E-6 | 2.9491403E-6 | 2.9491403E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4464414E-5 | 3.5905225E-5 | 3.5905225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4455516E-4 | 3.589974E-4 | 3.589974E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.1803626E-7 | 1.4187819E-7 | 1.4187819E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.344408E-7 | 6.0804933E-7 | 6.0804933E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1376757E-5 | 7.402985E-6 | 7.402985E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13761744E-4 | 7.402834E-5 | 7.402834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lake Isabella (Seismicity)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741771E-6 | 9.741771E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749852E-5 | 5.1749434E-5 | 1.2395118 | 1.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.08199E-4 | 5.7816337E-4 | 1.1376714 | 7.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050716605 | 0.005181103 | 1.0215791 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741771E-6 | 9.741771E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749852E-5 | 5.1749434E-5 | 1.2395118 | 1.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.08199E-4 | 5.7816337E-4 | 1.1376714 | 7.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050716605 | 0.005181103 | 1.0215791 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741771E-6 | 9.741771E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749852E-5 | 5.1749434E-5 | 1.2395118 | 1.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.08199E-4 | 5.7816337E-4 | 1.1376714 | 7.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050716605 | 0.005181103 | 1.0215791 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741771E-6 | 9.741771E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749852E-5 | 5.1749434E-5 | 1.2395118 | 1.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.08199E-4 | 5.7816337E-4 | 1.1376714 | 7.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050716605 | 0.005181103 | 1.0215791 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.300136E-6 | 5.300136E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.271469E-5 | 3.2714463E-5 | 1.4402337 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.765197E-4 | 3.265059E-4 | 1.180769 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027620967 | 0.002841876 | 1.0288835 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.300136E-6 | 5.300136E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.271469E-5 | 3.2714463E-5 | 1.4402337 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.765197E-4 | 3.265059E-4 | 1.180769 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027620967 | 0.002841876 | 1.0288835 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.4009804E-6 | 3.4988236E-6 | 3.4988236E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4575549E-5 | 1.4994881E-5 | 1.4994881E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7744285E-4 | 1.8254899E-4 | 2.0254533E-4 | 1.1095396 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017730123 | 0.0018241481 | 0.0018740569 | 1.0273601 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.3880428E-6 | 3.48569E-6 | 3.48569E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4520103E-5 | 1.4938595E-5 | 1.4938595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.767679E-4 | 1.8186383E-4 | 2.0186018E-4 | 1.1099524 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017662736 | 0.0018173077 | 0.0018672168 | 1.0274632 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.6582E-6 | 2.7337292E-6 | 2.7337292E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1392236E-5 | 1.1715937E-5 | 1.1715937E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869164E-4 | 1.4263354E-4 | 1.5263211E-4 | 1.0700997 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013860512 | 0.001425552 | 0.001465495 | 1.0280193 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.406011E-6 | 2.474355E-6 | 2.474355E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0311434E-5 | 1.0604343E-5 | 1.0604343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2553448E-4 | 1.2910155E-4 | 1.3910026E-4 | 1.0774484 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012546359 | 0.001290395 | 0.0013303434 | 1.0309583 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.6953097E-6 | 1.7429554E-6 | 1.7429554E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265593E-6 | 7.469793E-6 | 7.469793E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8455E-5 | 9.094198E-5 | 1.0094108E-4 | 1.1099502 | 1.0E-5 | 8.84198E-4 | 9.0915046E-4 | 9.491141E-4 | 1.0439571 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.5013824E-7 | 3.571509E-7 | 3.571509E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5005916E-6 | 1.5306458E-6 | 1.5306458E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.826955E-5 | 1.8635455E-5 | 1.8635455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8268047E-4 | 1.8633918E-4 | 1.8633918E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.2321095E-7 | 2.2750736E-7 | 2.2750736E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.56618E-7 | 9.750312E-7 | 9.750312E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1646762E-5 | 1.1870941E-5 | 1.1870941E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1646151E-4 | 1.18703174E-4 | 1.18703174E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5760406E-7 | 1.6061036E-7 | 1.6061036E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7544585E-7 | 6.883299E-7 | 6.883299E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.223522E-6 | 8.380385E-6 | 8.380385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2232174E-5 | 8.3800755E-5 | 8.3800755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.1216497E-7 | 1.1431788E-7 | 1.1431788E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8070694E-7 | 4.8993365E-7 | 4.8993365E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.852591E-6 | 5.9649265E-6 | 5.9649265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8524372E-5 | 5.9647708E-5 | 5.9647708E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.885185E-8 | 4.9788092E-8 | 4.9788092E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0936506E-7 | 2.1337752E-7 | 2.1337752E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5490165E-6 | 2.5978684E-6 | 2.5978684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5489873E-5 | 2.59784E-5 | 2.59784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.504641E-9 | 1.5318006E-9 | 1.5318006E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4484613E-9 | 6.5648598E-9 | 6.5648598E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851001E-8 | 7.992716E-8 | 7.992716E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8509987E-7 | 7.992716E-7 | 7.992716E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.169034E-5 | 4.7140722E-5 | 5.7140252E-5 | 1.2121208 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7866064E-4 | 2.0202079E-4 | 2.1201877E-4 | 1.0494899 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021730233 | 0.0024576539 | 0.0024975555 | 1.0162357 | 4.0E-5 | 0.021518968 | 0.024386479 | 0.02448404 | 1.0040007 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 1.73813E-5 | 1.6855052E-5 | 2.6854885E-5 | 1.5932839 | 1.0E-5 | 7.4489166E-5 | 7.2234E-5 | 8.223328E-5 | 1.1384289 | 1.0E-5 | 9.065282E-4 | 8.791048E-4 | 8.89096E-4 | 1.0113652 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009028391 | 0.008757367 | 0.008797017 | 1.0045276 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4622182E-5 | 1.3673928E-5 | 2.3673792E-5 | 1.7313087 | 1.0E-5 | 6.2664985E-5 | 5.8601257E-5 | 6.860067E-5 | 1.1706347 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6267915E-4 | 7.132406E-4 | 7.232335E-4 | 1.0140105 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007600669 | 0.0071099107 | 0.007139697 | 1.0041895 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3552434E-5 | 1.2482788E-5 | 2.2482664E-5 | 1.801093 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8080568E-5 | 5.3496587E-5 | 6.349605E-5 | 1.1869178 | 1.0E-5 | 7.069015E-4 | 6.5112946E-4 | 6.6112296E-4 | 1.015348 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00704657 | 0.0064925323 | 0.0065223374 | 1.0045907 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.30977305E-5 | 1.1979724E-5 | 2.1979604E-5 | 1.8347337 | 1.0E-5 | 5.613192E-5 | 5.134068E-5 | 6.1340164E-5 | 1.1947674 | 1.0E-5 | 6.831918E-4 | 6.2489655E-4 | 6.348903E-4 | 1.0159926 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006810953 | 0.006231691 | 0.0062615043 | 1.0047841 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.225205E-5 | 1.10493365E-5 | 2.1049225E-5 | 1.9050218 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2507727E-5 | 4.7353453E-5 | 5.735298E-5 | 1.2111678 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3909404E-4 | 5.763785E-4 | 5.8637274E-4 | 1.0173397 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006372592 | 0.005749098 | 0.0057789255 | 1.0051882 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1352241E-5 | 1.0064034E-5 | 2.0063933E-5 | 1.9936274 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8651553E-5 | 4.313087E-5 | 5.313044E-5 | 1.2318425 | 1.0E-5 | 5.921717E-4 | 5.249939E-4 | 5.349887E-4 | 1.0190378 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0059059616 | 0.0052377353 | 0.005267578 | 1.0056976 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0864116E-5 | 9.517501E-6 | 1.9517405E-5 | 2.050686 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6559664E-5 | 4.0788662E-5 | 5.0788254E-5 | 1.2451562 | 1.0E-5 | 5.667165E-4 | 4.9649086E-4 | 5.0648587E-4 | 1.0201313 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005652734 | 0.004954002 | 0.0049838535 | 1.0060257 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0666365E-5 | 9.3002445E-6 | 1.9300152E-5 | 2.0752306 | 1.0E-5 | 4.571219E-5 | 3.9857594E-5 | 4.9857194E-5 | 1.2508832 | 1.0E-5 | 5.564038E-4 | 4.8516016E-4 | 4.951553E-4 | 1.0206017 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005550127 | 0.004841194 | 0.004871049 | 1.0061668 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0038665E-5 | 8.592478E-6 | 1.8592391E-5 | 2.1637986 | 1.0E-5 | 4.302214E-5 | 3.6824396E-5 | 4.6824025E-5 | 1.2715491 | 1.0E-5 | 5.236687E-4 | 4.4824657E-4 | 4.582421E-4 | 1.0222992 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005224364 | 0.0044735875 | 0.004503453 | 1.0066761 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.5379955E-6 | 8.025476E-6 | 1.8025396E-5 | 2.246022 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0876483E-5 | 3.4394456E-5 | 4.439411E-5 | 1.2907345 | 1.0E-5 | 4.975576E-4 | 4.1867374E-4 | 4.2866953E-4 | 1.023875 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00496445 | 0.0041790013 | 0.004208876 | 1.0071487 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.207389E-6 | 7.6527585E-6 | 1.7652681E-5 | 2.3067083 | 1.0E-5 | 3.945964E-5 | 3.2797132E-5 | 4.2796804E-5 | 1.3048947 | 1.0E-5 | 4.803152E-4 | 3.9923363E-4 | 4.0922963E-4 | 1.025038 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004792784 | 0.0039853123 | 0.004015193 | 1.0074977 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.638091E-6 | 5.9313993E-6 | 1.593134E-5 | 2.6859326 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2734264E-5 | 2.5420037E-5 | 3.5419784E-5 | 1.3933804 | 1.0E-5 | 3.984668E-4 | 3.094453E-4 | 3.1944222E-4 | 1.0323058 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039775306 | 0.0030901532 | 0.0031100914 | 1.0064522 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.2500147E-6 | 5.5964174E-6 | 5.5964174E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1071122E-5 | 2.3984427E-5 | 2.3984427E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7822526E-4 | 2.9197155E-4 | 2.9197155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037758215 | 0.0029158872 | 0.002925858 | 1.0034195 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.3899715E-6 | 4.9187183E-6 | 4.9187183E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7385306E-5 | 2.1080054E-5 | 2.1080054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3336508E-4 | 2.5661962E-4 | 2.5661962E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033286542 | 0.0025632295 | 0.0025732038 | 1.0038913 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.379025E-6 | 4.084041E-6 | 4.084041E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.305276E-5 | 1.7502914E-5 | 1.7502914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.806312E-4 | 2.1307726E-4 | 2.1307726E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028027708 | 0.002128741 | 0.0021387197 | 1.0046877 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.1270696E-6 | 3.0884903E-6 | 3.0884903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.768732E-5 | 1.323632E-5 | 1.323632E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1532185E-4 | 1.6114036E-4 | 1.6114036E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021511333 | 0.0016102432 | 0.0016102432 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.5406805E-6 | 1.8282865E-6 | 1.8282865E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0888585E-5 | 7.835491E-6 | 7.835491E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3256045E-4 | 9.539298E-5 | 9.539298E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013248142 | 9.5352647E-4 | 9.5352647E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.8608285E-7 | 3.509987E-7 | 3.509987E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0832106E-6 | 1.5042793E-6 | 1.5042793E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5362791E-5 | 1.8314448E-5 | 1.8314448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5359896E-4 | 1.8312951E-4 | 1.8312951E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.0472514E-8 | 1.2689725E-8 | 1.2689725E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7739345E-8 | 5.4384536E-8 | 5.4384536E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.068226E-6 | 6.621315E-7 | 6.621315E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0682209E-5 | 6.6212965E-6 | 6.6212965E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 4.443582E-9 | 2.0325939E-9 | 2.0325939E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043922E-8 | 8.711116E-9 | 8.711116E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185973E-7 | 1.0605784E-7 | 1.0605784E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185949E-6 | 1.0605779E-6 | 1.0605779E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4351402E-4 | 2.4351402E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010432157 | 0.0010432157 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006073493 | 0.012627669 | 0.012667164 | 1.0031277 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12071154 | 0.120808266 | 1.0008012 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4351402E-4 | 2.4351402E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010432157 | 0.0010432157 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006073493 | 0.012627669 | 0.012667164 | 1.0031277 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12071154 | 0.120808266 | 1.0008012 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4351402E-4 | 2.4351402E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010432157 | 0.0010432157 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006073493 | 0.012627669 | 0.012667164 | 1.0031277 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12071154 | 0.120808266 | 1.0008012 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4351402E-4 | 2.4351402E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010432157 | 0.0010432157 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006073493 | 0.012627669 | 0.012667164 | 1.0031277 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12071154 | 0.120808266 | 1.0008012 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4351402E-4 | 2.4351402E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010432157 | 0.0010432157 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006073493 | 0.012627669 | 0.012667164 | 1.0031277 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12071154 | 0.120808266 | 1.0008012 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.3671292E-4 | 2.3671292E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010140911 | 0.0010140911 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012277112 | 0.012316622 | 1.003218 | 4.0E-5 | 0.057327334 | 0.1176869 | 0.11778395 | 1.0008247 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.3671292E-4 | 2.3671292E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010140911 | 0.0010140911 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012277112 | 0.012316622 | 1.003218 | 4.0E-5 | 0.057327334 | 0.1176869 | 0.11778395 | 1.0008247 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1149675E-4 | 2.3362457E-4 | 2.3362457E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.777557E-4 | 0.0010008655 | 0.0010008655 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058011734 | 0.012117891 | 0.012157406 | 1.0032609 | 4.0E-5 | 0.05652051 | 0.11630841 | 0.11640562 | 1.0008358 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1103589E-4 | 2.3264569E-4 | 2.3264569E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7578133E-4 | 9.966735E-4 | 9.966735E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005777263 | 0.0120674195 | 0.012106937 | 1.0032747 | 4.0E-5 | 0.056293584 | 0.11586883 | 0.11596608 | 1.0008394 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1053259E-4 | 2.315691E-4 | 2.315691E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7362508E-4 | 9.92063E-4 | 9.92063E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057511497 | 0.012011908 | 0.012051428 | 1.00329 | 4.0E-5 | 0.05604569 | 0.115384966 | 0.11548227 | 1.0008433 | 1.1E-4 |
7.0 | 1.1005377E-4 | 2.3057725E-4 | 2.3057725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7157376E-4 | 9.878154E-4 | 9.878154E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057263062 | 0.011960763 | 0.012000284 | 1.0033042 | 4.0E-5 | 0.055809796 | 0.11493591 | 0.11503327 | 1.0008471 | 1.1E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0308142E-4 | 2.1566873E-4 | 2.1566873E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.417027E-4 | 9.2396815E-4 | 9.2396815E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053644776 | 0.011191604 | 0.011231156 | 1.0035341 | 4.0E-5 | 0.052368138 | 0.10819487 | 0.10828405 | 1.0008242 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0027479E-4 | 2.0974468E-4 | 2.0974468E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.296783E-4 | 8.985971E-4 | 8.985971E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052187922 | 0.010885838 | 0.010925403 | 1.0036345 | 4.0E-5 | 0.050979212 | 0.10550336 | 0.1055928 | 1.0008478 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 9.816942E-5 | 2.0449373E-4 | 2.0449373E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2065824E-4 | 8.761083E-4 | 8.761083E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005109493 | 0.010614737 | 0.010654313 | 1.0037284 | 4.0E-5 | 0.049935985 | 0.10308383 | 0.103164546 | 1.0007831 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.5634205E-5 | 1.9818511E-4 | 1.9818511E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0979648E-4 | 8.4908924E-4 | 8.4908924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049778637 | 0.010288925 | 0.010328513 | 1.0038477 | 4.0E-5 | 0.048678253 | 0.10016412 | 0.1002451 | 1.0008085 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.052417E-5 | 1.6135517E-4 | 1.6135517E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4505792E-4 | 6.913391E-4 | 6.913391E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041929903 | 0.008384651 | 0.008424316 | 1.0047306 | 4.0E-5 | 0.04114753 | 0.0829088 | 0.08298217 | 1.0008849 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.897024E-5 | 1.5788502E-4 | 1.5788502E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.384E-4 | 6.764748E-4 | 6.764748E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041122385 | 0.008205055 | 0.008234809 | 1.0036262 | 3.0E-5 | 0.040369697 | 0.08124862 | 0.081303746 | 1.0006784 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.707427E-5 | 1.3296359E-4 | 1.3296359E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8742946E-4 | 5.6971953E-4 | 5.6971953E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003493839 | 0.006914308 | 0.0069441004 | 1.0043088 | 3.0E-5 | 0.034394164 | 0.06914149 | 0.06919734 | 1.0008078 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.147705E-5 | 1.2215851E-4 | 1.2215851E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6344648E-4 | 5.2343146E-4 | 5.2343146E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032027436 | 0.0063541816 | 0.006383991 | 1.0046912 | 3.0E-5 | 0.031569764 | 0.06360018 | 0.06365637 | 1.0008833 | 6.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.7636717E-5 | 8.8929155E-5 | 8.8929155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0414138E-4 | 3.8106932E-4 | 3.8106932E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024825884 | 0.0046296567 | 0.004649564 | 1.0043 | 2.0E-5 | 0.024550365 | 0.046690114 | 0.04672825 | 1.0008167 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.3554235E-5 | 5.2215848E-5 | 5.2215848E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4379594E-4 | 2.2376301E-4 | 2.2376301E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017493097 | 0.002720913 | 0.0027408586 | 1.0073304 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017356034 | 0.027919402 | 0.027938845 | 1.0006963 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9175432E-5 | 1.922104E-5 | 1.922104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.217783E-5 | 8.2373284E-5 | 8.2373284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010000558 | 0.001002434 | 0.0010124239 | 1.0099658 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009955673 | 0.01077668 | 0.010786572 | 1.0009179 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.4877546E-6 | 5.4877546E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3518736E-5 | 2.3518736E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8630308E-4 | 2.8630308E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032558958 | 0.0032558958 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6799233E-7 | 7.6799233E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2913915E-6 | 3.2913915E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0071973E-5 | 4.0071973E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7313387E-4 | 4.7313387E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Cholame) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.523272E-4 | 2.523272E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0010809557 | 0.0010809557 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063991086 | 0.013081729 | 0.013121205 | 1.0030177 | 4.0E-5 | 0.06217949 | 0.12451022 | 0.12460653 | 1.0007734 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.523272E-4 | 2.523272E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0010809557 | 0.0010809557 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063991086 | 0.013081729 | 0.013121205 | 1.0030177 | 4.0E-5 | 0.06217949 | 0.12451022 | 0.12460653 | 1.0007734 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2203569E-4 | 2.5049492E-4 | 2.5049492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2290526E-4 | 0.0010731097 | 0.0010731097 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006347804 | 0.012987345 | 0.013026826 | 1.00304 | 4.0E-5 | 0.061695136 | 0.12369587 | 0.12379227 | 1.0007793 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.2142645E-4 | 2.493544E-4 | 2.493544E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.202953E-4 | 0.0010682257 | 0.0010682257 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006316212 | 0.01292859 | 0.012968074 | 1.0030539 | 4.0E-5 | 0.06139677 | 0.12319107 | 0.12328752 | 1.000783 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1865206E-4 | 2.444081E-4 | 2.444081E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0840975E-4 | 0.0010470443 | 0.0010470443 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006172335 | 0.012673733 | 0.012713226 | 1.0031161 | 4.0E-5 | 0.060036868 | 0.120980255 | 0.12107695 | 1.0007993 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 1.17443946E-4 | 2.4234023E-4 | 2.4234023E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.032341E-4 | 0.0010381892 | 0.0010381892 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006109677 | 0.012567166 | 0.012606664 | 1.003143 | 4.0E-5 | 0.059444077 | 0.12005137 | 0.12014817 | 1.0008063 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 1.13579066E-4 | 2.3542726E-4 | 2.3542726E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.866766E-4 | 0.0010085853 | 0.0010085853 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059092017 | 0.012210833 | 0.012250344 | 1.0032358 | 4.0E-5 | 0.057545185 | 0.1169603 | 0.117057435 | 1.0008305 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1271412E-4 | 2.3386971E-4 | 2.3386971E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.829711E-4 | 0.0010019153 | 0.0010019153 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005864331 | 0.012130532 | 0.0121700475 | 1.0032575 | 4.0E-5 | 0.057119697 | 0.11626349 | 0.116360694 | 1.0008361 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1217975E-4 | 2.3275324E-4 | 2.3275324E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8068175E-4 | 9.971341E-4 | 9.971341E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005836608 | 0.012072968 | 0.012112485 | 1.0032731 | 4.0E-5 | 0.056856725 | 0.11576161 | 0.115858875 | 1.0008402 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1146753E-4 | 2.3123997E-4 | 2.3123997E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7763053E-4 | 9.906536E-4 | 9.906536E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057996577 | 0.011994939 | 0.01203446 | 1.0032947 | 4.0E-5 | 0.056506127 | 0.11508213 | 0.11517947 | 1.0008458 | 1.1E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0965793E-4 | 2.2747122E-4 | 2.2747122E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.698779E-4 | 9.7451394E-4 | 9.7451394E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005705768 | 0.011800584 | 0.0118401125 | 1.0033497 | 4.0E-5 | 0.055614736 | 0.113381386 | 0.113478914 | 1.0008602 | 1.1E-4 |
7.1 | 9.927982E-5 | 2.0565334E-4 | 2.0565334E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2541555E-4 | 8.8107475E-4 | 8.8107475E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051671406 | 0.010674618 | 0.010714191 | 1.0037072 | 4.0E-5 | 0.05048634 | 0.10347168 | 0.103561334 | 1.0008664 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 9.696786E-5 | 2.0069355E-4 | 2.0069355E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1551032E-4 | 8.598327E-4 | 8.598327E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00504711 | 0.010418497 | 0.01045808 | 1.0037993 | 4.0E-5 | 0.04934009 | 0.10121117 | 0.101301044 | 1.000888 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 9.4727984E-5 | 1.9498293E-4 | 1.9498293E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0591392E-4 | 8.3537446E-4 | 8.3537446E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049308087 | 0.010123524 | 0.010163119 | 1.0039111 | 4.0E-5 | 0.048228268 | 0.098578416 | 0.098659545 | 1.000823 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.220358E-5 | 1.8868504E-4 | 1.8868504E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9509835E-4 | 8.0840045E-4 | 8.0840045E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004799717 | 0.009798107 | 0.009837715 | 1.0040424 | 4.0E-5 | 0.046973653 | 0.09565032 | 0.09573172 | 1.0008509 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.71631E-5 | 1.5199785E-4 | 1.5199785E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.306571E-4 | 6.5125694E-4 | 6.5125694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040183207 | 0.007900298 | 0.007939982 | 1.0050231 | 4.0E-5 | 0.03946433 | 0.07837926 | 0.07845299 | 1.0009407 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.5634416E-5 | 1.4859E-4 | 1.4859E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.241072E-4 | 6.3665904E-4 | 6.3665904E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039388672 | 0.0077238427 | 0.007753611 | 1.003854 | 3.0E-5 | 0.038697794 | 0.07674127 | 0.076796666 | 1.0007218 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.3783E-5 | 1.2377894E-4 | 1.2377894E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7332708E-4 | 5.3037336E-4 | 5.3037336E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033226798 | 0.006438204 | 0.006468011 | 1.0046297 | 3.0E-5 | 0.032734364 | 0.0646293 | 0.06468543 | 1.0008683 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.863422E-5 | 1.14335846E-4 | 1.14335846E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.512653E-4 | 4.8991875E-4 | 4.8991875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003054864 | 0.0059484686 | 0.0059782905 | 1.0050133 | 3.0E-5 | 0.030132094 | 0.05974089 | 0.059797306 | 1.0009444 | 6.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.595283E-5 | 8.4389896E-5 | 8.4389896E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9692584E-4 | 3.6162086E-4 | 3.6162086E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023949358 | 0.004393853 | 0.004413765 | 1.0045319 | 2.0E-5 | 0.023692891 | 0.04442204 | 0.044460263 | 1.0008605 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.2950178E-5 | 5.0850307E-5 | 5.0850307E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.412074E-4 | 2.1791169E-4 | 2.1791169E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017178444 | 0.0026498486 | 0.0026697956 | 1.0075276 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017046256 | 0.027217861 | 0.027237318 | 1.0007148 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9177472E-5 | 1.9221208E-5 | 1.9221208E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.218658E-5 | 8.237401E-5 | 8.237401E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010001622 | 0.0010024428 | 0.0010124327 | 1.0099657 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009956728 | 0.010776795 | 0.010786688 | 1.0009179 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.4877546E-6 | 5.4877546E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3518736E-5 | 2.3518736E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8630308E-4 | 2.8630308E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032558958 | 0.0032558958 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6799233E-7 | 7.6799233E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2913915E-6 | 3.2913915E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0071973E-5 | 4.0071973E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7313387E-4 | 4.7313387E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.352024E-5 | 2.352024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0079715E-4 | 1.0079715E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012265178 | 0.0012664687 | 1.0325726 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012242665 | 0.012351317 | 1.008875 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.352024E-5 | 2.352024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0079715E-4 | 1.0079715E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012265178 | 0.0012664687 | 1.0325726 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012242665 | 0.012351317 | 1.008875 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.352024E-5 | 2.352024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0079715E-4 | 1.0079715E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012265178 | 0.0012664687 | 1.0325726 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012242665 | 0.012351317 | 1.008875 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.352024E-5 | 2.352024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0079715E-4 | 1.0079715E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012265178 | 0.0012664687 | 1.0325726 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012242665 | 0.012351317 | 1.008875 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.352024E-5 | 2.352024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0079715E-4 | 1.0079715E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012265178 | 0.0012664687 | 1.0325726 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012242665 | 0.012351317 | 1.008875 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 1.3450706E-5 | 2.35092E-5 | 2.35092E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.764461E-5 | 1.0074984E-4 | 1.0074984E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0159714E-4 | 0.0012259424 | 0.0012658933 | 1.032588 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006993862 | 0.012236974 | 0.012345628 | 1.0088792 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 1.3074523E-5 | 2.3123477E-5 | 2.3123477E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6032466E-5 | 9.909687E-5 | 9.909687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8198174E-4 | 0.0012058398 | 0.0012457916 | 1.033132 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006798926 | 0.012038139 | 0.012146815 | 1.0090276 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.3050216E-5 | 2.3098773E-5 | 2.3098773E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.59283E-5 | 9.8991004E-5 | 9.8991004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8071426E-4 | 0.0012045524 | 0.0012445042 | 1.0331674 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0067863287 | 0.012025404 | 0.012134081 | 1.0090373 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 1.29049395E-5 | 2.2947179E-5 | 2.2947179E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.530571E-5 | 9.834136E-5 | 9.834136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.73139E-4 | 0.0011966516 | 0.0012366038 | 1.0333866 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0067110364 | 0.011947247 | 0.012055933 | 1.0090971 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 1.2867369E-5 | 2.2906579E-5 | 2.2906579E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.51447E-5 | 9.816738E-5 | 9.816738E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.711799E-4 | 0.0011945358 | 0.001234488 | 1.0334458 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006691564 | 0.011926316 | 0.012035004 | 1.0091133 | 1.1E-4 |
7.0 | 1.2495996E-5 | 2.2306474E-5 | 2.2306474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3553173E-5 | 9.5595686E-5 | 9.5595686E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.518148E-4 | 0.0011632589 | 0.0012032124 | 1.0343461 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0064990623 | 0.011616829 | 0.0117255505 | 1.009359 | 1.1E-4 |
7.1 | 1.2452067E-5 | 2.225154E-5 | 2.225154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3364907E-5 | 9.536027E-5 | 9.536027E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4952404E-4 | 0.0011603958 | 0.0012003494 | 1.034431 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0064762887 | 0.011588497 | 0.011697222 | 1.0093821 | 1.1E-4 |
7.2 | 1.2002777E-5 | 2.1629998E-5 | 2.1629998E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.143946E-5 | 9.269671E-5 | 9.269671E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2609545E-4 | 0.0011280008 | 0.0011679557 | 1.035421 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006243344 | 0.011267881 | 0.011376641 | 1.0096523 | 1.1E-4 |
7.3 | 1.1923425E-5 | 2.1499789E-5 | 2.1499789E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.109939E-5 | 9.213871E-5 | 9.213871E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.219575E-4 | 0.0011212142 | 0.0011611694 | 1.0356356 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0062021962 | 0.011200722 | 0.011309491 | 1.0097108 | 1.1E-4 |
7.4 | 1.16105175E-5 | 2.0873566E-5 | 2.0873566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.975841E-5 | 8.945508E-5 | 8.945508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0564023E-4 | 0.0010885741 | 0.0011285305 | 1.0367054 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006039923 | 0.010878274 | 0.010987078 | 1.0100019 | 1.1E-4 |
7.5 | 1.1037265E-5 | 1.9573023E-5 | 1.9573023E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7301706E-5 | 8.38817E-5 | 8.38817E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.757461E-4 | 0.0010207833 | 0.0010607425 | 1.0391456 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005742567 | 0.010204401 | 0.010313278 | 1.0106697 | 1.1E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0720915E-5 | 1.9014684E-5 | 1.9014684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5945973E-5 | 8.148897E-5 | 8.148897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.592486E-4 | 9.916788E-4 | 0.0010316392 | 1.0402956 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005578433 | 0.009915999 | 0.010024908 | 1.0109832 | 1.1E-4 |
7.7 | 9.276279E-6 | 1.645957E-5 | 1.645957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9754876E-5 | 7.0539114E-5 | 7.0539114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.839081E-4 | 8.5847697E-4 | 8.9844264E-4 | 1.0465541 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0048285574 | 0.008595182 | 0.008704236 | 1.0126879 | 1.1E-4 |
7.8 | 5.8346777E-6 | 1.116947E-5 | 1.116947E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5005522E-5 | 4.786828E-5 | 4.786828E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.043997E-4 | 5.826406E-4 | 6.2261726E-4 | 1.0686129 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0030398308 | 0.0058542676 | 0.005963624 | 1.0186797 | 1.1E-4 |
7.9 | 4.690204E-6 | 8.521075E-6 | 8.521075E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0100719E-5 | 3.6518384E-5 | 3.6518384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4469878E-4 | 4.445207E-4 | 4.8450293E-4 | 1.0899446 | 4.0E-5 | 0.002444295 | 0.0044766874 | 0.004586195 | 1.0244617 | 1.1E-4 |
8.0 | 2.9570454E-6 | 4.8541765E-6 | 4.8541765E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.267299E-5 | 2.0803449E-5 | 2.0803449E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5428272E-4 | 2.5325257E-4 | 2.6325005E-4 | 1.0394763 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015417566 | 0.0025532662 | 0.002593164 | 1.0156262 | 4.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.6376824E-6 | 2.2005952E-6 | 2.2005952E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.01862E-6 | 9.431088E-6 | 9.431088E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.544835E-5 | 1.1481746E-4 | 1.1481746E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.54155E-4 | 0.0011624509 | 0.0011624509 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 6.9631557E-7 | 4.5465674E-7 | 4.5465674E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.984206E-6 | 1.9485274E-6 | 1.9485274E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.63321E-5 | 2.3723065E-5 | 2.3723065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6326164E-4 | 2.457099E-4 | 2.457099E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.7876137E-7 | 8.3809105E-8 | 8.3809105E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.661199E-7 | 3.5918183E-7 | 3.5918183E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.32747E-6 | 4.37303E-6 | 4.37303E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3270784E-5 | 4.592659E-5 | 4.592659E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Manix-Afton Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4711459E-5 | 1.4711459E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.3047686E-5 | 6.3047686E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.6735264E-4 | 8.2730665E-4 | 1.078131 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007648787 | 0.0077579455 | 1.0142714 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4711459E-5 | 1.4711459E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.3047686E-5 | 6.3047686E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.6735264E-4 | 8.2730665E-4 | 1.078131 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007648787 | 0.0077579455 | 1.0142714 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4711459E-5 | 1.4711459E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.3047686E-5 | 6.3047686E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.6735264E-4 | 8.2730665E-4 | 1.078131 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007648787 | 0.0077579455 | 1.0142714 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1793431E-5 | 1.1793431E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.0542356E-5 | 5.0542356E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.1518984E-4 | 6.5516523E-4 | 1.0649806 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005748908 | 0.006135909 | 0.0062253564 | 1.0145777 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1793431E-5 | 1.1793431E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.0542356E-5 | 5.0542356E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.1518984E-4 | 6.5516523E-4 | 1.0649806 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005748908 | 0.006135909 | 0.0062253564 | 1.0145777 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.788949E-6 | 1.0454584E-5 | 1.0454584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1951964E-5 | 4.4804645E-5 | 4.4804645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1064545E-4 | 5.453693E-4 | 5.853475E-4 | 1.0733048 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0050947363 | 0.005441236 | 0.005510855 | 1.0127947 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.810006E-6 | 9.413869E-6 | 9.413869E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.775662E-5 | 4.0344577E-5 | 4.0344577E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5958988E-4 | 4.910934E-4 | 5.310738E-4 | 1.0814109 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0045864056 | 0.004900964 | 0.004970621 | 1.0142128 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.80128E-6 | 9.404348E-6 | 9.404348E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7719226E-5 | 4.0303774E-5 | 4.0303774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.591348E-4 | 4.9059687E-4 | 5.3057726E-4 | 1.0814934 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004581874 | 0.0048960205 | 0.004965678 | 1.0142273 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.8994877E-6 | 7.3802676E-6 | 7.3802676E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9568899E-5 | 3.162938E-5 | 3.162938E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5994186E-4 | 3.8502782E-4 | 4.150163E-4 | 1.0778865 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003593594 | 0.0038444125 | 0.0039041818 | 1.015547 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.9328037E-6 | 5.271096E-6 | 5.271096E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1140417E-5 | 2.2590251E-5 | 2.2590251E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5735417E-4 | 2.7500774E-4 | 2.9500225E-4 | 1.0727053 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0025705635 | 0.0027472796 | 0.0027971421 | 1.0181499 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.347973E-6 | 3.5901267E-6 | 3.5901267E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4348378E-5 | 1.538619E-5 | 1.538619E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.746775E-4 | 1.8731486E-4 | 2.0731111E-4 | 1.106752 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017454025 | 0.0018719723 | 0.0019118974 | 1.0213279 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2073567E-6 | 1.2935163E-6 | 1.2935163E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1743755E-6 | 5.543639E-6 | 5.543639E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.29962E-5 | 6.749335E-5 | 6.749335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.297835E-4 | 6.748886E-4 | 6.748886E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7592996E-5 | 4.7592996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0395494E-4 | 2.0395494E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024804883 | 0.0025004386 | 1.0080429 | 2.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024545627 | 0.024643173 | 1.0039741 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7592996E-5 | 4.7592996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0395494E-4 | 2.0395494E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024804883 | 0.0025004386 | 1.0080429 | 2.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024545627 | 0.024643173 | 1.0039741 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7592996E-5 | 4.7592996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0395494E-4 | 2.0395494E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024804883 | 0.0025004386 | 1.0080429 | 2.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024545627 | 0.024643173 | 1.0039741 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7592996E-5 | 4.7592996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0395494E-4 | 2.0395494E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024804883 | 0.0025004386 | 1.0080429 | 2.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024545627 | 0.024643173 | 1.0039741 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7592996E-5 | 4.7592996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0395494E-4 | 2.0395494E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024804883 | 0.0025004386 | 1.0080429 | 2.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024545627 | 0.024643173 | 1.0039741 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 3.154503E-5 | 3.5361867E-5 | 3.5361867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3518598E-4 | 1.5154257E-4 | 1.5154257E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016446467 | 0.0018435615 | 0.0018635247 | 1.0108286 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01632528 | 0.018292325 | 0.01838068 | 1.0048301 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1535834E-5 | 3.5351248E-5 | 3.5351248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3514658E-4 | 1.5149706E-4 | 1.5149706E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016441676 | 0.0018430084 | 0.0018629716 | 1.0108318 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01632056 | 0.018286886 | 0.01837524 | 1.0048316 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.8267326E-5 | 3.1471194E-5 | 3.1471194E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2114006E-4 | 1.3487005E-4 | 1.3487005E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014738824 | 0.0016408911 | 0.0016608583 | 1.0121685 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014641452 | 0.016296515 | 0.016375212 | 1.004829 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.8212884E-5 | 3.1409076E-5 | 3.1409076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.20906756E-4 | 1.3460386E-4 | 1.3460386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014710457 | 0.0016376551 | 0.0016576224 | 1.0121926 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014613459 | 0.01626463 | 0.01634333 | 1.0048387 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.4227871E-5 | 2.6708514E-5 | 2.6708514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.03829596E-4 | 1.1446047E-4 | 1.1446047E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012633923 | 0.0013927412 | 0.0014127134 | 1.0143402 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012562336 | 0.013847818 | 0.01392671 | 1.0056971 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.348524E-5 | 2.5837244E-5 | 2.5837244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0064714E-4 | 1.1072677E-4 | 1.1072677E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012246901 | 0.0013473404 | 0.0013673134 | 1.014824 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012179627 | 0.013399352 | 0.013468415 | 1.0051541 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2311642E-5 | 2.4464221E-5 | 2.4464221E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.561782E-5 | 1.04842875E-4 | 1.04842875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011635252 | 0.0012757893 | 0.0012957639 | 1.0156566 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01157452 | 0.01269217 | 0.012761282 | 1.0054452 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6533986E-5 | 1.7671297E-5 | 1.7671297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.085802E-5 | 7.5732285E-5 | 7.5732285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.623549E-4 | 9.21714E-4 | 9.416956E-4 | 1.0216787 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008590161 | 0.00918519 | 0.009244639 | 1.0064722 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4703092E-5 | 1.556035E-5 | 1.556035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.301173E-5 | 6.6685854E-5 | 6.6685854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.668978E-4 | 8.1165944E-4 | 8.2165137E-4 | 1.0123104 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0076425658 | 0.008093026 | 0.008142621 | 1.0061282 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.1331984E-6 | 5.5290634E-6 | 5.5290634E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6284872E-5 | 2.3695773E-5 | 2.3695773E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.199713E-4 | 2.8845837E-4 | 2.8845837E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031951098 | 0.0028808939 | 0.0029008363 | 1.0069222 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.954766E-6 | 5.338687E-6 | 5.338687E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5520176E-5 | 2.2879889E-5 | 2.2879889E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1066386E-4 | 2.785276E-4 | 2.785276E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003102299 | 0.0027818389 | 0.0028017832 | 1.0071695 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.9726646E-6 | 4.3154496E-6 | 4.3154496E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1311245E-5 | 1.8494655E-5 | 1.8494655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5943352E-4 | 2.251495E-4 | 2.251495E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025913084 | 0.0022492486 | 0.0022692035 | 1.0088719 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.3613894E-6 | 2.8527743E-6 | 2.8527743E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4405875E-5 | 1.222612E-5 | 1.222612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7537741E-4 | 1.488431E-4 | 1.488431E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017523908 | 0.0014874605 | 0.0015074307 | 1.0134257 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.1828961E-6 | 1.0123164E-6 | 1.0123164E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.069545E-6 | 4.3384916E-6 | 4.3384916E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.171996E-5 | 5.2819887E-5 | 5.2819887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.170282E-4 | 5.2807626E-4 | 5.38071E-4 | 1.0189266 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.2967266E-7 | 1.8619654E-7 | 1.8619654E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.843111E-7 | 7.9798497E-7 | 7.9798497E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19839215E-5 | 9.715426E-6 | 9.715426E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1983275E-4 | 9.71503E-5 | 9.71503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ludlow
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3657743E-5 | 3.3657507E-5 | 1.4226846 | 1.0E-5 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.0138664E-4 | 1.313836E-4 | 1.295867 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011685267 | 0.0012337274 | 0.0012736782 | 1.032382 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011624013 | 0.012273295 | 0.0123621905 | 1.007243 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3657743E-5 | 3.3657507E-5 | 1.4226846 | 1.0E-5 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.0138664E-4 | 1.313836E-4 | 1.295867 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011685267 | 0.0012337274 | 0.0012736782 | 1.032382 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011624013 | 0.012273295 | 0.0123621905 | 1.007243 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.13658925E-5 | 1.13658925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.871008E-5 | 5.8709593E-5 | 1.2052863 | 1.0E-5 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.928879E-4 | 6.0288195E-4 | 1.0168566 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00560974 | 0.00591348 | 0.005923421 | 1.0016811 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.13658925E-5 | 1.13658925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.871008E-5 | 5.8709593E-5 | 1.2052863 | 1.0E-5 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.928879E-4 | 6.0288195E-4 | 1.0168566 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00560974 | 0.00591348 | 0.005923421 | 1.0016811 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.814439E-6 | 8.237895E-6 | 8.237895E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3490025E-5 | 3.5304794E-5 | 4.530444E-5 | 1.2832377 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0766477E-4 | 4.297525E-4 | 4.3974817E-4 | 1.0232592 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040691774 | 0.0042893607 | 0.004299318 | 1.0023214 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.4986366E-6 | 6.8510576E-6 | 6.8510576E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7851002E-5 | 2.936135E-5 | 3.9361057E-5 | 1.3405738 | 1.0E-5 | 3.390332E-4 | 3.5741672E-4 | 3.6741316E-4 | 1.0279685 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003385164 | 0.0035685152 | 0.0035784794 | 1.0027922 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.582177E-6 | 5.8861247E-6 | 5.8861247E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3923398E-5 | 2.5226009E-5 | 3.5225756E-5 | 1.3964063 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9122844E-4 | 3.070841E-4 | 3.1708102E-4 | 1.0325544 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029084706 | 0.0030666708 | 0.0030766402 | 1.0032508 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.6858763E-6 | 4.940527E-6 | 4.940527E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0082172E-5 | 2.1173519E-5 | 3.1173306E-5 | 1.4722781 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4447302E-4 | 2.5775764E-4 | 2.6775507E-4 | 1.0387862 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024420423 | 0.0025746431 | 0.0025846176 | 1.0038741 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5584908E-6 | 3.7520942E-6 | 3.7520942E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5250586E-5 | 1.6080307E-5 | 2.6080146E-5 | 1.6218687 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8566006E-4 | 1.9576056E-4 | 2.057586E-4 | 1.0510728 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018550502 | 0.0019559222 | 0.0019659027 | 1.0051026 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.532834E-6 | 2.6710577E-6 | 2.6710577E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0854958E-5 | 1.1447341E-5 | 1.1447341E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3215111E-4 | 1.3936275E-4 | 1.3936275E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013207254 | 0.001392781 | 0.001392781 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.7083285E-6 | 1.8019805E-6 | 1.8019805E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3213873E-6 | 7.722751E-6 | 7.722751E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.913424E-5 | 9.4020616E-5 | 9.4020616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9098496E-4 | 9.3982485E-4 | 9.3982485E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1497851E-6 | 1.1497851E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.927642E-6 | 4.927642E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.999249E-5 | 5.999249E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.997727E-4 | 5.997727E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.387403E-7 | 6.387403E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7374558E-6 | 2.7374558E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3328084E-5 | 3.3328084E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.3323772E-4 | 3.3323772E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Baker
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8348905E-6 | 2.5834774E-5 | 4.4276366 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5006457E-5 | 4.5005956E-5 | 1.7997735 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.044151E-4 | 3.444029E-4 | 1.1313596 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030403766 | 0.0031400723 | 1.0327907 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8348905E-6 | 2.5834774E-5 | 4.4276366 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5006457E-5 | 4.5005956E-5 | 1.7997735 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.044151E-4 | 3.444029E-4 | 1.1313596 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030403766 | 0.0031400723 | 1.0327907 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8348905E-6 | 2.5834774E-5 | 4.4276366 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5006457E-5 | 4.5005956E-5 | 1.7997735 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.044151E-4 | 3.444029E-4 | 1.1313596 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030403766 | 0.0031400723 | 1.0327907 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.3836993E-6 | 2.3383633E-5 | 6.9106703 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.4501491E-5 | 3.45012E-5 | 2.3791485 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.7654183E-4 | 2.1653475E-4 | 1.2265352 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017201907 | 0.0017640629 | 0.0018439217 | 1.0452698 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.3836993E-6 | 2.3383633E-5 | 6.9106703 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.4501491E-5 | 3.45012E-5 | 2.3791485 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.7654183E-4 | 2.1653475E-4 | 1.2265352 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017201907 | 0.0017640629 | 0.0018439217 | 1.0452698 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.782202E-6 | 2.8558688E-6 | 2.2855811E-5 | 8.003103 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1923668E-5 | 1.2239382E-5 | 3.223914E-5 | 2.6340494 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4516099E-4 | 1.4900461E-4 | 1.8899866E-4 | 1.2684081 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001450662 | 0.0014890799 | 0.0015589757 | 1.0469389 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3163404E-6 | 2.3809448E-6 | 2.3809448E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.927136E-6 | 1.020401E-5 | 1.020401E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.20856166E-4 | 1.2422695E-4 | 1.4422447E-4 | 1.1609757 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012079047 | 0.0012415954 | 0.0012915332 | 1.0402207 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.037056E-6 | 2.0965235E-6 | 2.0965235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7302105E-6 | 8.98507E-6 | 8.98507E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0628513E-4 | 1.09387904E-4 | 1.1938681E-4 | 1.0914078 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010623431 | 0.0010933568 | 0.0011233239 | 1.0274085 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.8356744E-6 | 1.8915503E-6 | 1.8915503E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.867153E-6 | 8.10662E-6 | 8.10662E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.577837E-5 | 9.869377E-5 | 1.0869278E-4 | 1.1013135 | 1.0E-5 | 9.57371E-4 | 9.865133E-4 | 0.0010164838 | 1.0303801 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.6310546E-6 | 1.6832274E-6 | 1.6832274E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9902153E-6 | 7.2138123E-6 | 7.2138123E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.510255E-5 | 8.782474E-5 | 9.782386E-5 | 1.1138531 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5069967E-4 | 8.779116E-4 | 9.0788526E-4 | 1.034142 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2058036E-6 | 1.2508841E-6 | 1.2508841E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1677193E-6 | 5.360921E-6 | 5.360921E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.291517E-5 | 6.526728E-5 | 7.526663E-5 | 1.1532061 | 1.0E-5 | 6.289736E-4 | 6.5248343E-4 | 6.8246387E-4 | 1.0459481 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.052382E-6 | 1.0951775E-6 | 1.0951775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5102006E-6 | 4.6936098E-6 | 4.6936098E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.491031E-5 | 5.7143207E-5 | 6.714264E-5 | 1.174989 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4896745E-4 | 5.71286E-4 | 6.012689E-4 | 1.0524831 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0067454E-6 | 1.0487875E-6 | 1.0487875E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3146156E-6 | 4.4947956E-6 | 4.4947956E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.252918E-5 | 5.4722772E-5 | 6.4722226E-5 | 1.1827292 | 1.0E-5 | 5.251676E-4 | 5.470938E-4 | 5.7707744E-4 | 1.0548052 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.3596316E-7 | 9.767882E-7 | 9.767882E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0112645E-6 | 4.1862286E-6 | 4.1862286E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8836053E-5 | 5.096615E-5 | 6.096564E-5 | 1.1961987 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8825322E-4 | 5.0954544E-4 | 5.395301E-4 | 1.058846 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.8117395E-7 | 9.207818E-7 | 9.207818E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7764542E-6 | 3.946202E-6 | 3.946202E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5977362E-5 | 4.8043956E-5 | 5.8043475E-5 | 1.2081327 | 1.0E-5 | 4.596785E-4 | 4.8033646E-4 | 5.1032205E-4 | 1.0624262 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.292386E-7 | 8.674745E-7 | 8.674745E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5538749E-6 | 3.7177426E-6 | 3.7177426E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.326757E-5 | 4.5262583E-5 | 5.526213E-5 | 1.2209231 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3259145E-4 | 4.5253438E-4 | 4.8252082E-4 | 1.0662633 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.553842E-7 | 7.9146116E-7 | 7.9146116E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2373566E-6 | 3.391972E-6 | 3.391972E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9414106E-5 | 4.1296484E-5 | 5.1296072E-5 | 1.2421414 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9407116E-4 | 4.1288882E-4 | 4.3288057E-4 | 1.0484192 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.5285366E-7 | 6.852924E-7 | 6.852924E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.797941E-6 | 2.9369642E-6 | 2.9369642E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.40644E-5 | 3.575696E-5 | 4.5756602E-5 | 1.2796558 | 1.0E-5 | 3.405918E-4 | 3.575127E-4 | 3.7750555E-4 | 1.055922 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.648336E-7 | 3.648336E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635717E-6 | 1.5635717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9036323E-5 | 1.9036323E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9034736E-4 | 1.9034736E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6697147E-9 | 2.6697147E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1441634E-8 | 1.1441634E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3930189E-7 | 1.3930189E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3930189E-6 | 1.3930189E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Anza) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.335847E-5 | 5.3358035E-5 | 1.2306254 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8580884E-4 | 1.9580698E-4 | 1.0538088 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022598875 | 0.002299797 | 1.01766 | 4.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023329377 | 0.023417277 | 1.0037678 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.335847E-5 | 5.3358035E-5 | 1.2306254 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8580884E-4 | 1.9580698E-4 | 1.0538088 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022598875 | 0.002299797 | 1.01766 | 4.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023329377 | 0.023417277 | 1.0037678 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.335847E-5 | 5.3358035E-5 | 1.2306254 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8580884E-4 | 1.9580698E-4 | 1.0538088 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022598875 | 0.002299797 | 1.01766 | 4.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023329377 | 0.023417277 | 1.0037678 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.335847E-5 | 5.3358035E-5 | 1.2306254 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8580884E-4 | 1.9580698E-4 | 1.0538088 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022598875 | 0.002299797 | 1.01766 | 4.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023329377 | 0.023417277 | 1.0037678 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.335847E-5 | 5.3358035E-5 | 1.2306254 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8580884E-4 | 1.9580698E-4 | 1.0538088 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022598875 | 0.002299797 | 1.01766 | 4.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023329377 | 0.023417277 | 1.0037678 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.0133742E-5 | 5.0133338E-5 | 1.249157 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.7199044E-4 | 1.8198871E-4 | 1.0581328 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030276014 | 0.0020919782 | 0.0021318945 | 1.0190806 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02986684 | 0.021624908 | 0.02171296 | 1.0040718 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.0133742E-5 | 5.0133338E-5 | 1.249157 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.7199044E-4 | 1.8198871E-4 | 1.0581328 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030276014 | 0.0020919782 | 0.0021318945 | 1.0190806 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02986684 | 0.021624908 | 0.02171296 | 1.0040718 | 9.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.712442E-5 | 3.955562E-5 | 4.9555223E-5 | 1.2527986 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4479596E-4 | 1.695131E-4 | 1.7951141E-4 | 1.0589825 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029763177 | 0.002061874 | 0.0021017916 | 1.0193598 | 4.0E-5 | 0.029367693 | 0.021317134 | 0.021405214 | 1.0041319 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.6967532E-5 | 3.9411905E-5 | 4.941151E-5 | 1.2537204 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4412372E-4 | 1.6889726E-4 | 1.7889557E-4 | 1.0591975 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029681553 | 0.0020543903 | 0.002094308 | 1.0194305 | 4.0E-5 | 0.029288229 | 0.021241292 | 0.02132938 | 1.004147 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.6211324E-5 | 3.9116443E-5 | 4.911605E-5 | 1.2556369 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4088343E-4 | 1.6763115E-4 | 1.7762948E-4 | 1.0596448 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029288116 | 0.0020390044 | 0.0020789227 | 1.0195774 | 4.0E-5 | 0.028905109 | 0.021080546 | 0.021168647 | 1.0041794 | 9.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.4383527E-5 | 3.7975675E-5 | 4.7975293E-5 | 1.2633165 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3305144E-4 | 1.6274276E-4 | 1.7274113E-4 | 1.0614367 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028337094 | 0.0019795974 | 0.002019518 | 1.0201662 | 4.0E-5 | 0.027978465 | 0.020467365 | 0.020555522 | 1.0043073 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.1393665E-5 | 3.643605E-5 | 4.6435685E-5 | 1.2744435 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2023996E-4 | 1.5614518E-4 | 1.6614361E-4 | 1.0640329 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026781242 | 0.0018994141 | 0.0019393382 | 1.0210191 | 4.0E-5 | 0.026460782 | 0.01963848 | 0.019726714 | 1.0044929 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.785222E-5 | 3.4785728E-5 | 4.4785378E-5 | 1.2874643 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0506482E-4 | 1.4907318E-4 | 1.590717E-4 | 1.0670712 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024938055 | 0.0018134586 | 0.0018533862 | 1.0220172 | 4.0E-5 | 0.024660049 | 0.018750532 | 0.018838845 | 1.0047098 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.2143256E-5 | 3.3879478E-5 | 4.387914E-5 | 1.295154 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8060145E-4 | 1.451897E-4 | 1.5518825E-4 | 1.0688654 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002196605 | 0.0017662548 | 0.0018061842 | 1.0226067 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02175019 | 0.018259222 | 0.01834758 | 1.0048391 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.0264713E-5 | 3.3517375E-5 | 4.351704E-5 | 1.2983427 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7255165E-4 | 1.4363801E-4 | 1.5363657E-4 | 1.0696094 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002098792 | 0.0017473934 | 0.0017873235 | 1.0228512 | 4.0E-5 | 0.020790804 | 0.018063696 | 0.01815207 | 1.0048923 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.694492E-5 | 3.2229877E-5 | 4.2229556E-5 | 1.3102611 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5832575E-4 | 1.3812075E-4 | 1.4811938E-4 | 1.0723904 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019259118 | 0.0016803262 | 0.001720259 | 1.0237648 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01909306 | 0.01737951 | 0.017467946 | 1.0050886 | 9.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.200565E-5 | 2.9538856E-5 | 3.953856E-5 | 1.3385272 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3715986E-4 | 1.2658897E-4 | 1.365877E-4 | 1.0789858 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001668642 | 0.0015401333 | 0.0015800716 | 1.0259318 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01656168 | 0.015964089 | 0.016052652 | 1.0055476 | 9.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.731642E-5 | 2.6126661E-5 | 3.61264E-5 | 1.3827407 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1706512E-4 | 1.11966605E-4 | 1.2196548E-4 | 1.0893023 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001424336 | 0.0013623419 | 0.0014022874 | 1.0293212 | 4.0E-5 | 0.014152412 | 0.014184149 | 0.014272872 | 1.0062551 | 9.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.3466424E-5 | 2.3537397E-5 | 3.3537162E-5 | 1.4248458 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0056651E-4 | 1.0087067E-4 | 1.1086966E-4 | 1.0991268 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012237094 | 0.0012274092 | 0.0012673602 | 1.032549 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012169928 | 0.01282547 | 0.012914316 | 1.0069273 | 9.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.8611925E-5 | 1.8937451E-5 | 2.8937262E-5 | 1.5280441 | 1.0E-5 | 7.9762955E-5 | 8.115799E-5 | 9.115718E-5 | 1.1232065 | 1.0E-5 | 9.7068126E-4 | 9.876513E-4 | 0.0010276118 | 1.0404601 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0096645225 | 0.010408959 | 0.010498023 | 1.0085564 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5460775E-5 | 1.576699E-5 | 2.5766833E-5 | 1.6342264 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6258784E-5 | 6.757107E-5 | 7.757039E-5 | 1.1479824 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0640207E-4 | 8.223679E-4 | 8.6233503E-4 | 1.0486001 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008034821 | 0.008716369 | 0.008805584 | 1.0102354 | 9.0E-5 |
8.1 | 9.983884E-6 | 8.284794E-6 | 8.284794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2787375E-5 | 3.550578E-5 | 3.550578E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2081177E-4 | 4.3219762E-4 | 4.5218898E-4 | 1.0462551 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0051959283 | 0.0046477583 | 0.004697526 | 1.0107079 | 5.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.1226E-6 | 1.556844E-6 | 1.556844E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7668166E-5 | 6.672172E-6 | 6.672172E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1508869E-4 | 8.123069E-5 | 8.123069E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021488064 | 9.42748E-4 | 9.42748E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 3.6223653E-7 | 3.6223653E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.5524413E-6 | 1.5524413E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 1.8900813E-5 | 1.8900813E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.2795962E-4 | 2.2795962E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Scodie Lineament
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2919327E-6 | 3.013368E-6 | 3.013368E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4108206E-5 | 1.2914388E-5 | 3.291413E-5 | 2.5486403 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7175387E-4 | 1.5722451E-4 | 2.0721665E-4 | 1.3179666 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0017162118 | 0.0015714443 | 0.0016513186 | 1.0508286 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.549061E-6 | 1.549061E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.638819E-6 | 6.638819E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082512E-5 | 8.082512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.0800604E-4 | 8.279899E-4 | 1.0247322 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.549061E-6 | 1.549061E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.638819E-6 | 6.638819E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082512E-5 | 8.082512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.0800604E-4 | 8.279899E-4 | 1.0247322 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.549061E-6 | 1.549061E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.638819E-6 | 6.638819E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082512E-5 | 8.082512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.0800604E-4 | 8.279899E-4 | 1.0247322 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.549061E-6 | 1.549061E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.638819E-6 | 6.638819E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082512E-5 | 8.082512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.0800604E-4 | 8.279899E-4 | 1.0247322 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8106311E-6 | 1.4909941E-6 | 1.4909941E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.759824E-6 | 6.389962E-6 | 6.389962E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.447177E-5 | 7.779551E-5 | 7.779551E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4431615E-4 | 7.7773136E-4 | 7.9771585E-4 | 1.0256958 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2414679E-6 | 8.997574E-7 | 8.997574E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.320566E-6 | 3.856098E-6 | 3.856098E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.477596E-5 | 4.694707E-5 | 4.694707E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.475708E-4 | 4.6938017E-4 | 4.893708E-4 | 1.0425894 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1062215E-6 | 7.594308E-7 | 7.594308E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7409408E-6 | 3.2546998E-6 | 3.2546998E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7719422E-5 | 3.962532E-5 | 3.962532E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.770443E-4 | 3.9618954E-4 | 4.0618557E-4 | 1.0252304 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0006736E-6 | 6.500379E-7 | 6.500379E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.288594E-6 | 2.7858741E-6 | 2.7858741E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.221238E-5 | 3.391755E-5 | 3.391755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.220012E-4 | 3.3912982E-4 | 3.4912644E-4 | 1.0294772 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.167364E-7 | 5.631596E-7 | 5.631596E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9288643E-6 | 2.413539E-6 | 2.413539E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7832873E-5 | 2.9384499E-5 | 2.9384499E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.782258E-4 | 2.938118E-4 | 3.038089E-4 | 1.0340254 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.6987664E-7 | 4.1133347E-7 | 4.1133347E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2994672E-6 | 1.7628568E-6 | 1.7628568E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0170275E-5 | 2.1462609E-5 | 2.1462609E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0163012E-4 | 2.1460923E-4 | 2.2460708E-4 | 1.0465863 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1038727E-7 | 3.5210937E-7 | 3.5210937E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0445133E-6 | 1.5090395E-6 | 1.5090395E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.706632E-5 | 1.8372437E-5 | 1.8372437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7060137E-4 | 1.8371266E-4 | 1.9371083E-4 | 1.0544229 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0799602E-7 | 3.1180015E-8 | 3.1180015E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.914113E-7 | 1.3362863E-7 | 1.3362863E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0852878E-5 | 1.6269274E-6 | 1.6269274E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08523476E-4 | 1.6269163E-5 | 1.6269163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5048182E-7 | 1.5940099E-8 | 1.5940099E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.449219E-7 | 6.8314705E-8 | 6.8314705E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851896E-6 | 8.3173126E-7 | 8.3173126E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851618E-5 | 8.3172845E-6 | 8.3172845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.8641375E-9 | 4.8641375E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 2.0846304E-8 | 2.0846304E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.5380373E-7 | 2.5380373E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095951E-5 | 2.5380357E-6 | 2.5380357E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4166673E-5 | 3.416643E-5 | 1.413783 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03567356E-4 | 1.1356632E-4 | 1.0965456 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.0012602058 | 0.001290168 | 1.0237756 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012939282 | 0.013018247 | 1.0061027 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4166673E-5 | 3.416643E-5 | 1.413783 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03567356E-4 | 1.1356632E-4 | 1.0965456 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.0012602058 | 0.001290168 | 1.0237756 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012939282 | 0.013018247 | 1.0061027 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4166673E-5 | 3.416643E-5 | 1.413783 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03567356E-4 | 1.1356632E-4 | 1.0965456 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.0012602058 | 0.001290168 | 1.0237756 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012939282 | 0.013018247 | 1.0061027 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4166673E-5 | 3.416643E-5 | 1.413783 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03567356E-4 | 1.1356632E-4 | 1.0965456 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.0012602058 | 0.001290168 | 1.0237756 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012939282 | 0.013018247 | 1.0061027 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4166673E-5 | 3.416643E-5 | 1.413783 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03567356E-4 | 1.1356632E-4 | 1.0965456 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.0012602058 | 0.001290168 | 1.0237756 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012939282 | 0.013018247 | 1.0061027 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7282445E-5 | 2.405274E-5 | 3.40525E-5 | 1.415743 | 1.0E-5 | 1.16919524E-4 | 1.0307912E-4 | 1.1307808E-4 | 1.0970029 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014225657 | 0.0012542683 | 0.0012842307 | 1.0238883 | 3.0E-5 | 0.014134934 | 0.012880605 | 0.012959574 | 1.0061309 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.7282445E-5 | 2.405274E-5 | 3.40525E-5 | 1.415743 | 1.0E-5 | 1.16919524E-4 | 1.0307912E-4 | 1.1307808E-4 | 1.0970029 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014225657 | 0.0012542683 | 0.0012842307 | 1.0238883 | 3.0E-5 | 0.014134934 | 0.012880605 | 0.012959574 | 1.0061309 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.7216198E-5 | 2.3977855E-5 | 3.3977616E-5 | 1.4170415 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1663563E-4 | 1.027582E-4 | 1.12757174E-4 | 1.0973059 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014191137 | 0.0012503657 | 0.0012803283 | 1.023963 | 3.0E-5 | 0.014100855 | 0.012842011 | 0.012920983 | 1.0061495 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.7078617E-5 | 2.389506E-5 | 3.389482E-5 | 1.4184866 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1604605E-4 | 1.0240339E-4 | 1.1240237E-4 | 1.097643 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001411945 | 0.0012460509 | 0.0012760136 | 1.0240461 | 3.0E-5 | 0.014030075 | 0.012799151 | 0.012878127 | 1.0061704 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.6982952E-5 | 2.381456E-5 | 3.381432E-5 | 1.4199011 | 1.0E-5 | 1.15636096E-4 | 1.02058424E-4 | 1.120574E-4 | 1.0979731 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014069602 | 0.0012418557 | 0.0012718184 | 1.0241274 | 3.0E-5 | 0.013980856 | 0.012757428 | 0.012836407 | 1.0061909 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.6449972E-5 | 2.3391538E-5 | 3.3391305E-5 | 1.427495 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1335209E-4 | 1.0024561E-4 | 1.10244604E-4 | 1.099745 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001379188 | 0.0012198095 | 0.001249773 | 1.024564 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0137065975 | 0.012538752 | 0.012617748 | 1.0063002 | 8.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.6257849E-5 | 2.3217563E-5 | 3.321733E-5 | 1.4306984 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1252879E-4 | 9.950006E-5 | 1.09499066E-4 | 1.1004925 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013691769 | 0.0012107426 | 0.0012407063 | 1.0247482 | 3.0E-5 | 0.013607717 | 0.012448633 | 0.012527637 | 1.0063465 | 8.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.5270041E-5 | 2.2412152E-5 | 3.241193E-5 | 1.4461765 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0829568E-4 | 9.6048556E-5 | 1.060476E-4 | 1.104104 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013177024 | 0.0011687662 | 0.0011987311 | 1.0256381 | 3.0E-5 | 0.013099162 | 0.012029655 | 0.012108693 | 1.0065702 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.339701E-5 | 2.1143753E-5 | 3.114354E-5 | 1.472943 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0026905E-4 | 9.061295E-5 | 1.00612044E-4 | 1.1103495 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001220092 | 0.0011026564 | 0.0011326233 | 1.027177 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012134149 | 0.011368336 | 0.011447427 | 1.006957 | 8.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.296333E-5 | 2.0874037E-5 | 3.0873827E-5 | 1.479054 | 1.0E-5 | 9.841056E-5 | 8.9457106E-5 | 9.945621E-5 | 1.1117754 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011974899 | 0.001088598 | 0.0011185654 | 1.0275284 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011910575 | 0.011227401 | 0.011306503 | 1.0070454 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.2188895E-5 | 2.0396805E-5 | 3.03966E-5 | 1.4902629 | 1.0E-5 | 9.50918E-5 | 8.741196E-5 | 9.741109E-5 | 1.1143909 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011571277 | 0.001063723 | 0.0010936911 | 1.0281729 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011511209 | 0.010976939 | 0.011056061 | 1.007208 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.0013189E-5 | 1.8982648E-5 | 2.8982458E-5 | 1.5267869 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5767984E-5 | 8.1351674E-5 | 9.135086E-5 | 1.1229131 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001043725 | 9.900084E-4 | 0.0010199787 | 1.0302727 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010388365 | 0.010234726 | 0.010313907 | 1.0077366 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7230794E-5 | 1.6763477E-5 | 2.676331E-5 | 1.596525 | 1.0E-5 | 7.384417E-5 | 7.18415E-5 | 8.1840786E-5 | 1.1391853 | 1.0E-5 | 8.986819E-4 | 8.743201E-4 | 9.042939E-4 | 1.0342823 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008950562 | 0.009072944 | 0.009152218 | 1.0087374 | 8.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.4478809E-5 | 1.5010117E-5 | 2.5009966E-5 | 1.6662073 | 1.0E-5 | 6.205057E-5 | 6.432749E-5 | 7.432685E-5 | 1.1554445 | 1.0E-5 | 7.552038E-4 | 7.8290637E-4 | 8.128829E-4 | 1.0382887 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0075264242 | 0.008151116 | 0.008230464 | 1.0097346 | 8.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.1114467E-5 | 1.1662036E-5 | 2.166192E-5 | 1.8574733 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7632562E-5 | 4.9979197E-5 | 5.9978698E-5 | 1.2000732 | 1.0E-5 | 5.797721E-4 | 6.0832745E-4 | 6.3830917E-4 | 1.0492855 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0057826187 | 0.0063890535 | 0.0064685424 | 1.0124414 | 8.0E-5 |
8.0 | 9.327402E-6 | 9.914531E-6 | 1.9914432E-5 | 2.0086107 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9973966E-5 | 4.2490155E-5 | 5.2489733E-5 | 1.2353386 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8657437E-4 | 5.171954E-4 | 5.471799E-4 | 1.0579752 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0048551033 | 0.005457884 | 0.0055374475 | 1.0145777 | 8.0E-5 |
8.1 | 7.0235833E-6 | 6.8387535E-6 | 6.8387535E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0100724E-5 | 2.9308618E-5 | 2.9308618E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.664147E-4 | 3.567745E-4 | 3.7676736E-4 | 1.0560378 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003658111 | 0.0037933749 | 0.0038431853 | 1.0131309 | 5.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.0358202E-6 | 9.014901E-7 | 9.014901E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.724915E-6 | 3.8635235E-6 | 3.8635235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06220665E-4 | 4.7037407E-5 | 4.7037407E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001061699 | 5.337417E-4 | 5.337417E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.0051264E-7 | 6.634009E-8 | 6.634009E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5933965E-7 | 2.8431467E-7 | 2.8431467E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.046241E-5 | 3.461526E-6 | 3.461526E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0461917E-4 | 4.0239214E-5 | 4.0239214E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lost Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.510774E-5 | 2.510774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0760111E-4 | 1.0760111E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013094243 | 0.001349372 | 1.0305078 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033689 | 0.013102776 | 1.0053006 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.510774E-5 | 2.510774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0760111E-4 | 1.0760111E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013094243 | 0.001349372 | 1.0305078 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033689 | 0.013102776 | 1.0053006 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.510774E-5 | 2.510774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0760111E-4 | 1.0760111E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013094243 | 0.001349372 | 1.0305078 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033689 | 0.013102776 | 1.0053006 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.510774E-5 | 2.510774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0760111E-4 | 1.0760111E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013094243 | 0.001349372 | 1.0305078 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033689 | 0.013102776 | 1.0053006 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.378173E-5 | 1.378173E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.9063746E-5 | 5.9063746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.189577E-4 | 7.389433E-4 | 1.027798 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006391279 | 0.007175524 | 0.007205309 | 1.0041509 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.378173E-5 | 1.378173E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.9063746E-5 | 5.9063746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.189577E-4 | 7.389433E-4 | 1.027798 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006391279 | 0.007175524 | 0.007205309 | 1.0041509 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.58281E-6 | 9.634208E-6 | 9.634208E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6782953E-5 | 4.128928E-5 | 4.128928E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4774043E-4 | 5.0266425E-4 | 5.226542E-4 | 1.039768 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0044683935 | 0.0050234334 | 0.0050532827 | 1.005942 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.205685E-6 | 8.088669E-6 | 8.088669E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.088114E-5 | 3.466573E-5 | 3.466573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7591302E-4 | 4.2205522E-4 | 4.420468E-4 | 1.0473672 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0037527776 | 0.0042205523 | 0.004250426 | 1.007078 | 3.0E-5 |
San Jacinto (Borrego)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.543992E-5 | 2.7946784E-5 | 3.7946505E-5 | 1.3578129 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5187653E-4 | 1.19766504E-4 | 1.297653E-4 | 1.0834858 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018475284 | 0.0014571941 | 0.0014871503 | 1.0205575 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018322436 | 0.014880526 | 0.014949485 | 1.0046341 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.542281E-5 | 2.7946784E-5 | 3.7946505E-5 | 1.3578129 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5180321E-4 | 1.19766504E-4 | 1.297653E-4 | 1.0834858 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018466372 | 0.0014571941 | 0.0014871503 | 1.0205575 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018313672 | 0.014880526 | 0.014949485 | 1.0046341 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.4688688E-5 | 2.7946784E-5 | 3.7946505E-5 | 1.3578129 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4865733E-4 | 1.19766504E-4 | 1.297653E-4 | 1.0834858 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018084005 | 0.0014571941 | 0.0014871503 | 1.0205575 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017937548 | 0.014880526 | 0.014949484 | 1.0046341 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2087122E-5 | 2.7792134E-5 | 3.7791855E-5 | 1.359804 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3750899E-4 | 1.1910377E-4 | 1.2910258E-4 | 1.0839504 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016728862 | 0.0014491361 | 0.0014790926 | 1.020672 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016603488 | 0.014801684 | 0.014870648 | 1.0046592 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.1828724E-5 | 2.775911E-5 | 3.7758833E-5 | 1.3602321 | 1.0E-5 | 1.364017E-4 | 1.1896226E-4 | 1.2896107E-4 | 1.0840503 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016594254 | 0.0014474154 | 0.001477372 | 1.0206966 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016470885 | 0.014784878 | 0.014853843 | 1.0046645 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.1563577E-5 | 2.7498783E-5 | 3.749851E-5 | 1.3636425 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3526545E-4 | 1.1784668E-4 | 1.278455E-4 | 1.084846 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016456128 | 0.0014338512 | 0.0014638081 | 1.0208926 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0163348 | 0.01465092 | 0.014719895 | 1.0047078 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1467625E-5 | 2.7342992E-5 | 3.7342717E-5 | 1.3657144 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3485427E-4 | 1.1717906E-4 | 1.2717789E-4 | 1.0853295 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016406142 | 0.0014257336 | 0.0014556908 | 1.0210118 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016285548 | 0.014571085 | 0.014640065 | 1.004734 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.1223695E-5 | 2.6960959E-5 | 3.696069E-5 | 1.3708967 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3380898E-4 | 1.1554192E-4 | 1.2554077E-4 | 1.0865387 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016279068 | 0.0014058272 | 0.0014357851 | 1.0213097 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01616033 | 0.014375561 | 0.014444555 | 1.0047994 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.1015585E-5 | 2.6781929E-5 | 3.678166E-5 | 1.3733761 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3291716E-4 | 1.1477471E-4 | 1.2477356E-4 | 1.0871172 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001617065 | 0.0013964985 | 0.0014264566 | 1.0214523 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016053487 | 0.014282809 | 0.0143518085 | 1.004831 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.6641965E-5 | 2.2203049E-5 | 3.2202825E-5 | 1.4503787 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1417485E-4 | 9.515247E-5 | 1.0515152E-4 | 1.1050845 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013891924 | 0.0011578696 | 0.0011878349 | 1.0258796 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0138054015 | 0.011892006 | 0.011961173 | 1.0058163 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.3854353E-5 | 2.0497195E-5 | 3.049699E-5 | 1.4878616 | 1.0E-5 | 1.02228936E-4 | 8.784218E-5 | 9.78413E-5 | 1.1138306 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012439266 | 0.0010689563 | 0.0010989243 | 1.0280348 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012369866 | 0.010992021 | 0.011061251 | 1.0062983 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.3672901E-5 | 2.0333675E-5 | 3.0333471E-5 | 1.491785 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0145135E-4 | 8.714142E-5 | 9.714055E-5 | 1.114746 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012344702 | 0.001060433 | 0.0010904012 | 1.0282604 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0122763505 | 0.010907215 | 0.010976451 | 1.0063478 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.2717244E-5 | 1.956089E-5 | 2.9560693E-5 | 1.5112141 | 1.0E-5 | 9.735599E-5 | 8.3829706E-5 | 9.3828865E-5 | 1.1192795 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011846646 | 0.0010201511 | 0.0010501205 | 1.0293775 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01178369 | 0.010504571 | 0.010573835 | 1.0065938 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.1016205E-5 | 1.8402297E-5 | 2.8402113E-5 | 1.5434004 | 1.0E-5 | 9.006634E-5 | 7.886462E-5 | 8.886383E-5 | 1.1267896 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001096006 | 9.5975585E-4 | 9.897271E-4 | 1.031228 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010906163 | 0.009900007 | 0.009969315 | 1.0070007 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0683625E-5 | 1.8204772E-5 | 2.820459E-5 | 1.5492965 | 1.0E-5 | 8.86411E-5 | 7.801812E-5 | 8.801735E-5 | 1.1281654 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001078671 | 9.494588E-4 | 9.794303E-4 | 1.031567 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010734501 | 0.0097966995 | 0.009866014 | 1.0070753 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.9993966E-5 | 1.7799657E-5 | 2.7799479E-5 | 1.5617986 | 1.0E-5 | 8.568561E-5 | 7.628202E-5 | 8.628126E-5 | 1.1310825 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001042723 | 9.2833996E-4 | 9.5831207E-4 | 1.0322857 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010378438 | 0.009583555 | 0.009652884 | 1.0072342 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.788966E-5 | 1.6452457E-5 | 2.6452293E-5 | 1.6078019 | 1.0E-5 | 7.666772E-5 | 7.0508635E-5 | 8.050793E-5 | 1.1418166 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3302975E-4 | 8.581063E-4 | 8.8808057E-4 | 1.0349307 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00929122 | 0.008875211 | 0.00894459 | 1.0078171 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.5125781E-5 | 1.4254036E-5 | 2.4253894E-5 | 1.7015457 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4823165E-5 | 6.1087296E-5 | 7.108669E-5 | 1.1636901 | 1.0E-5 | 7.889362E-4 | 7.434849E-4 | 7.734626E-4 | 1.0403205 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007861412 | 0.007722623 | 0.0077920826 | 1.0089942 | 7.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.250089E-5 | 1.2646611E-5 | 2.2646485E-5 | 1.7907157 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3574146E-5 | 5.419864E-5 | 6.4198095E-5 | 1.1844965 | 1.0E-5 | 6.5207E-4 | 6.596693E-4 | 6.896495E-4 | 1.0454473 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006501599 | 0.0068759695 | 0.006945488 | 1.0101104 | 7.0E-5 |
7.9 | 9.561E-6 | 9.768848E-6 | 1.976875E-5 | 2.023652 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0975072E-5 | 4.1865824E-5 | 5.1865405E-5 | 1.2388483 | 1.0E-5 | 4.987573E-4 | 5.095977E-4 | 5.3958246E-4 | 1.0588399 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0049763937 | 0.005359698 | 0.005429323 | 1.0129905 | 7.0E-5 |
8.0 | 8.01699E-6 | 8.306434E-6 | 1.8306351E-5 | 2.203876 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4358076E-5 | 3.559852E-5 | 4.5598164E-5 | 1.2809006 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1822926E-4 | 4.3332632E-4 | 4.633133E-4 | 1.069202 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0041744304 | 0.004580063 | 0.004649742 | 1.0152136 | 7.0E-5 |
8.1 | 6.541947E-6 | 6.472795E-6 | 6.472795E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8036617E-5 | 2.7740258E-5 | 2.7740258E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4129233E-4 | 3.376858E-4 | 3.5767906E-4 | 1.0592066 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034076865 | 0.0035861013 | 0.0036359222 | 1.0138928 | 5.0E-5 |
8.2 | 1.7968189E-6 | 7.9892396E-7 | 7.9892396E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70063E-6 | 3.4239556E-6 | 3.4239556E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3751136E-5 | 4.1685886E-5 | 4.1685886E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.371159E-4 | 4.7226308E-4 | 4.7226308E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.5167889E-7 | 4.910126E-8 | 4.910126E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.500522E-7 | 2.1043397E-7 | 2.1043397E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9143565E-6 | 2.5620309E-6 | 2.5620309E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.914075E-5 | 2.976879E-5 | 2.976879E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Creek
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.632935E-5 | 2.6329186E-5 | 1.6123843 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.9981135E-5 | 7.998043E-5 | 1.1428857 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.517023E-4 | 8.716852E-4 | 1.0234624 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008513585 | 0.008582989 | 1.0081521 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.632935E-5 | 2.6329186E-5 | 1.6123843 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.9981135E-5 | 7.998043E-5 | 1.1428857 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.517023E-4 | 8.716852E-4 | 1.0234624 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008513585 | 0.008582989 | 1.0081521 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.632935E-5 | 2.6329186E-5 | 1.6123843 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.9981135E-5 | 7.998043E-5 | 1.1428857 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.517023E-4 | 8.716852E-4 | 1.0234624 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008513585 | 0.008582989 | 1.0081521 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.632935E-5 | 2.6329186E-5 | 1.6123843 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.9981135E-5 | 7.998043E-5 | 1.1428857 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.517023E-4 | 8.716852E-4 | 1.0234624 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008513585 | 0.008582989 | 1.0081521 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.632935E-5 | 2.6329186E-5 | 1.6123843 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.9981135E-5 | 7.998043E-5 | 1.1428857 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.517023E-4 | 8.716852E-4 | 1.0234624 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008513585 | 0.008582989 | 1.0081521 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.632935E-5 | 2.6329186E-5 | 1.6123843 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.9981135E-5 | 7.998043E-5 | 1.1428857 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.517023E-4 | 8.716852E-4 | 1.0234624 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008513585 | 0.008582989 | 1.0081521 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.202681E-6 | 1.3852576E-5 | 2.3852437E-5 | 1.7218775 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9439463E-5 | 5.936688E-5 | 6.936629E-5 | 1.1684341 | 1.0E-5 | 4.800697E-4 | 7.225611E-4 | 7.4254663E-4 | 1.0276593 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004790339 | 0.0072307466 | 0.00730024 | 1.0096109 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.019164E-6 | 1.365824E-5 | 2.3658104E-5 | 1.7321488 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8652986E-5 | 5.8534053E-5 | 6.853347E-5 | 1.1708307 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7049852E-4 | 7.1242807E-4 | 7.3241384E-4 | 1.028053 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004695036 | 0.0071300687 | 0.0071995696 | 1.0097476 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.673558E-6 | 1.3280337E-5 | 2.3280205E-5 | 1.752983 | 1.0E-5 | 3.717186E-5 | 5.6914538E-5 | 6.691397E-5 | 1.1756921 | 1.0E-5 | 4.524734E-4 | 6.92723E-4 | 7.127092E-4 | 1.0288515 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045155324 | 0.0069342502 | 0.007003765 | 1.0100248 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.002255E-6 | 1.1484516E-5 | 2.1484402E-5 | 1.8707275 | 1.0E-5 | 3.000932E-5 | 4.9218466E-5 | 5.9217975E-5 | 1.2031658 | 1.0E-5 | 3.653022E-4 | 5.990769E-4 | 6.190649E-4 | 1.0333647 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036470229 | 0.0060030506 | 0.0060726306 | 1.0115907 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.84644E-6 | 9.681472E-6 | 1.9681374E-5 | 2.0328908 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5055931E-5 | 4.149139E-5 | 5.1490973E-5 | 1.2410039 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0501327E-4 | 5.050451E-4 | 5.25035E-4 | 1.0395805 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0030459496 | 0.005067198 | 0.0051368433 | 1.0137444 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.54703E-6 | 9.335924E-6 | 1.9335832E-5 | 2.0711212 | 1.0E-5 | 2.377277E-5 | 4.0010516E-5 | 5.0010116E-5 | 1.2499243 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8939504E-4 | 4.8702362E-4 | 5.070139E-4 | 1.0410458 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028901845 | 0.00488778 | 0.004957438 | 1.0142515 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.384709E-6 | 7.687747E-6 | 1.768767E-5 | 2.3007612 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8791474E-5 | 3.2947093E-5 | 4.2946762E-5 | 1.303507 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2876218E-4 | 4.0106068E-4 | 4.2105265E-4 | 1.0498477 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022852682 | 0.004031549 | 0.0041012666 | 1.0172931 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.7888456E-6 | 6.921502E-6 | 1.6921433E-5 | 2.4447632 | 1.0E-5 | 1.623781E-5 | 2.9663262E-5 | 3.9662966E-5 | 1.3371073 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9767738E-4 | 3.610937E-4 | 3.810865E-4 | 1.0553672 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019750162 | 0.0036332277 | 0.0037029732 | 1.0191966 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.1982462E-6 | 5.029645E-6 | 1.5029595E-5 | 2.9882019 | 1.0E-5 | 9.421021E-6 | 2.1555445E-5 | 3.1555228E-5 | 1.46391 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1469489E-4 | 2.624061E-4 | 2.8240087E-4 | 1.0761977 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011463572 | 0.0026489086 | 0.0027087496 | 1.0225909 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.051923E-6 | 4.620711E-6 | 1.4620665E-5 | 3.164159 | 1.0E-5 | 8.793926E-6 | 1.9802897E-5 | 2.9802699E-5 | 1.5049666 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0706078E-4 | 2.4107374E-4 | 2.6106893E-4 | 1.0829421 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010700922 | 0.0024366623 | 0.002496516 | 1.0245638 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.8733427E-6 | 4.128863E-6 | 1.4128822E-5 | 3.4219642 | 1.0E-5 | 8.028587E-6 | 1.7695009E-5 | 2.769483E-5 | 1.5651212 | 1.0E-5 | 9.774366E-5 | 2.1541551E-4 | 2.3541121E-4 | 1.0928239 | 2.0E-5 | 9.770069E-4 | 0.0021810618 | 0.002240931 | 1.0274495 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.8411953E-6 | 4.0484992E-6 | 1.4048459E-5 | 3.470041 | 1.0E-5 | 7.890813E-6 | 1.7350596E-5 | 2.7350423E-5 | 1.5763391 | 1.0E-5 | 9.606641E-5 | 2.1122312E-4 | 2.3121889E-4 | 1.0946666 | 2.0E-5 | 9.6024893E-4 | 0.00213932 | 0.0021991916 | 1.0279863 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.7194251E-6 | 3.7154912E-6 | 1.3715454E-5 | 3.6914244 | 1.0E-5 | 7.368944E-6 | 1.5923437E-5 | 2.5923277E-5 | 1.6279951 | 1.0E-5 | 8.97132E-5 | 1.9385066E-4 | 2.138468E-4 | 1.1031522 | 2.0E-5 | 8.967699E-4 | 0.001965118 | 0.002025 | 1.0304725 | 6.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.4035052E-6 | 2.9541964E-6 | 1.2954167E-5 | 4.3850055 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0150082E-6 | 1.266078E-5 | 2.2660653E-5 | 1.7898307 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3230265E-5 | 1.5413416E-4 | 1.7413107E-4 | 1.1297371 | 2.0E-5 | 7.3206134E-4 | 0.0015653854 | 0.0016252914 | 1.0382692 | 6.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.9318823E-7 | 5.538164E-7 | 5.538164E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6850913E-6 | 2.3734965E-6 | 2.3734965E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0515794E-5 | 2.8896944E-5 | 3.8896655E-5 | 1.3460474 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0513899E-4 | 2.9950912E-4 | 3.1950313E-4 | 1.0667559 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.596793E-7 | 1.1410949E-7 | 1.1410949E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8433974E-7 | 4.890406E-7 | 4.890406E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331805E-6 | 5.954053E-6 | 5.954053E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331492E-5 | 6.5663044E-5 | 6.5663044E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.9003038E-8 | 2.5520436E-8 | 2.5520436E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.10013E-7 | 1.0937329E-7 | 1.0937329E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5569052E-6 | 1.331619E-6 | 1.331619E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556876E-5 | 1.4998031E-5 | 1.4998031E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.667647E-6 | 6.667647E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8575318E-5 | 2.8575318E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4784904E-4 | 3.7783862E-4 | 1.0862143 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035532524 | 0.0036130394 | 1.0168259 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.667647E-6 | 6.667647E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8575318E-5 | 2.8575318E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4784904E-4 | 3.7783862E-4 | 1.0862143 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035532524 | 0.0036130394 | 1.0168259 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.667647E-6 | 6.667647E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8575318E-5 | 2.8575318E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4784904E-4 | 3.7783862E-4 | 1.0862143 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035532524 | 0.0036130394 | 1.0168259 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.667647E-6 | 6.667647E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8575318E-5 | 2.8575318E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4784904E-4 | 3.7783862E-4 | 1.0862143 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035532524 | 0.0036130394 | 1.0168259 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.667647E-6 | 6.667647E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8575318E-5 | 2.8575318E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4784904E-4 | 3.7783862E-4 | 1.0862143 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035532524 | 0.0036130394 | 1.0168259 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.6561875E-6 | 6.6278644E-6 | 6.6278644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8526205E-5 | 2.8404826E-5 | 2.8404826E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.472512E-4 | 3.4577394E-4 | 3.7576357E-4 | 1.0867319 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034670907 | 0.0035325678 | 0.0035923556 | 1.0169249 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.6561875E-6 | 6.6278644E-6 | 6.6278644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8526205E-5 | 2.8404826E-5 | 2.8404826E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.472512E-4 | 3.4577394E-4 | 3.7576357E-4 | 1.0867319 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034670907 | 0.0035325678 | 0.0035923556 | 1.0169249 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.5802237E-6 | 6.5470394E-6 | 6.5470394E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8200653E-5 | 2.8058439E-5 | 2.8058439E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4328885E-4 | 3.41558E-4 | 3.7154777E-4 | 1.0878028 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034275902 | 0.0034905414 | 0.0035503318 | 1.0171293 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.575632E-6 | 6.541529E-6 | 6.541529E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8180975E-5 | 2.8034821E-5 | 2.8034821E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4304935E-4 | 3.4127058E-4 | 3.7126034E-4 | 1.0878768 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034252026 | 0.003487676 | 0.0035474666 | 1.0171435 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.570433E-6 | 6.5329214E-6 | 6.5329214E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8158694E-5 | 2.7997936E-5 | 2.7997936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4277816E-4 | 3.4082163E-4 | 3.7081138E-4 | 1.0879925 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034224992 | 0.0034832004 | 0.0035429914 | 1.0171655 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.5643826E-6 | 6.523041E-6 | 6.523041E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8132765E-5 | 2.7955592E-5 | 2.7955592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.424626E-4 | 3.4030626E-4 | 3.7029604E-4 | 1.088126 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034193532 | 0.0034780628 | 0.0035378542 | 1.0171909 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.557402E-6 | 6.5117515E-6 | 6.5117515E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8102848E-5 | 2.7907208E-5 | 2.7907208E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4209844E-4 | 3.3971737E-4 | 3.6970718E-4 | 1.0882787 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034157229 | 0.0034721934 | 0.003531985 | 1.0172201 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.546394E-6 | 6.4937153E-6 | 6.4937153E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8055672E-5 | 2.7829912E-5 | 2.7829912E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4152428E-4 | 3.3877656E-4 | 3.687664E-4 | 1.088524 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034099987 | 0.0034628198 | 0.0035226122 | 1.0172669 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.5364216E-6 | 6.4744954E-6 | 6.4744954E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8012933E-5 | 2.7747543E-5 | 2.7747543E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4100408E-4 | 3.3777405E-4 | 3.6776392E-4 | 1.0887867 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003404813 | 0.003452839 | 0.003512632 | 1.017317 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.5269523E-6 | 6.4555766E-6 | 6.4555766E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7972354E-5 | 2.7666463E-5 | 2.7666463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4051016E-4 | 3.367872E-4 | 3.667771E-4 | 1.0890471 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0033998888 | 0.0034430176 | 0.003502811 | 1.0173665 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.5111835E-6 | 6.431844E-6 | 6.431844E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7904773E-5 | 2.7564756E-5 | 2.7564756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3968766E-4 | 3.355493E-4 | 3.6553922E-4 | 1.0893756 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0033916887 | 0.0034306885 | 0.0034904827 | 1.0174292 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.4768806E-6 | 6.390944E-6 | 6.390944E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7757764E-5 | 2.7389471E-5 | 2.7389471E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3789838E-4 | 3.3341587E-4 | 3.6340585E-4 | 1.0899477 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0033738504 | 0.0034094155 | 0.003469211 | 1.0175383 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.1655364E-6 | 6.183374E-6 | 6.183374E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.642346E-5 | 2.6499905E-5 | 2.6499905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2165812E-4 | 3.2258863E-4 | 3.5257897E-4 | 1.0929677 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032119295 | 0.0033010272 | 0.003360829 | 1.0181161 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.5043524E-6 | 5.744244E-6 | 5.744244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3589868E-5 | 2.4617957E-5 | 2.4617957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.871688E-4 | 2.9968246E-4 | 3.2967346E-4 | 1.100076 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0028679797 | 0.0030710374 | 0.0031208838 | 1.0162312 | 5.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.889249E-6 | 4.08255E-6 | 4.08255E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6668104E-5 | 1.7496524E-5 | 1.7496524E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0291525E-4 | 2.129994E-4 | 2.42993E-4 | 1.1408155 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020273007 | 0.0021973632 | 0.0022472534 | 1.0227046 | 5.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.668535E-6 | 2.5354193E-6 | 2.5354193E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1436528E-5 | 1.0866038E-5 | 1.0866038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3923083E-4 | 1.32286E-4 | 1.5228336E-4 | 1.1511676 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013914363 | 0.0013778778 | 0.0014078364 | 1.0217426 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.5911459E-6 | 1.2206974E-6 | 1.2206974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8191785E-6 | 5.23155E-6 | 5.23155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3020335E-5 | 6.369228E-5 | 7.369164E-5 | 1.1569949 | 1.0E-5 | 8.298933E-4 | 6.7042414E-4 | 6.904107E-4 | 1.0298119 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 6.1294963E-7 | 2.1866215E-7 | 2.1866215E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6269242E-6 | 9.371231E-7 | 9.371231E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1982334E-5 | 1.1409415E-5 | 1.1409415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1977732E-4 | 1.281581E-4 | 1.281581E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.762871E-7 | 4.7677872E-8 | 4.7677872E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5551594E-7 | 2.0433372E-7 | 2.0433372E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1983675E-6 | 2.4877604E-6 | 2.4877604E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.197987E-5 | 2.876616E-5 | 2.876616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Palos Verdes
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.623274E-5 | 7.623274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2667417E-4 | 3.366709E-4 | 1.0306015 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0039705313 | 0.003990452 | 1.0050172 | 2.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.039052527 | 0.039110184 | 1.0014764 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.623274E-5 | 7.623274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2667417E-4 | 3.366709E-4 | 1.0306015 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0039705313 | 0.003990452 | 1.0050172 | 2.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.039052527 | 0.039110184 | 1.0014764 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.623274E-5 | 7.623274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2667417E-4 | 3.366709E-4 | 1.0306015 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0039705313 | 0.003990452 | 1.0050172 | 2.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.039052527 | 0.039110184 | 1.0014764 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.975309E-5 | 4.975309E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1321136E-4 | 2.2320922E-4 | 1.0468918 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0025929646 | 0.0026129126 | 1.0076932 | 2.0E-5 | 0.021083709 | 0.0256488 | 0.025697518 | 1.0018994 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.975309E-5 | 4.975309E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1321136E-4 | 2.2320922E-4 | 1.0468918 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0025929646 | 0.0026129126 | 1.0076932 | 2.0E-5 | 0.021083709 | 0.0256488 | 0.025697518 | 1.0018994 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.0512005E-5 | 3.6564314E-5 | 3.6564314E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3075917E-4 | 1.5669546E-4 | 1.5669546E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015908304 | 0.0019062132 | 0.0019161941 | 1.005236 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015794903 | 0.01891056 | 0.018949805 | 1.0020752 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9255087E-5 | 3.515705E-5 | 3.515705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2537291E-4 | 1.5066503E-4 | 1.5066503E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015253464 | 0.0018329162 | 0.0018428979 | 1.0054458 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015149189 | 0.018189602 | 0.018219056 | 1.0016193 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.287198E-5 | 2.7250231E-5 | 2.7250231E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.801909E-5 | 1.16781994E-4 | 1.16781994E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001192729 | 0.0014209851 | 0.001430971 | 1.0070274 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011863477 | 0.014128224 | 0.0141578 | 1.0020934 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.1325764E-5 | 2.5433712E-5 | 2.5433712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.139293E-5 | 1.0899758E-4 | 1.0899758E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001112141 | 0.0013263279 | 0.0013363146 | 1.0075296 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011065915 | 0.013193157 | 0.013222761 | 1.0022439 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.9009392E-5 | 2.2615155E-5 | 2.2615155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1466285E-5 | 9.6918986E-5 | 9.6918986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.914007E-4 | 0.0011794373 | 0.0011894255 | 1.0084686 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009869894 | 0.011740463 | 0.011760227 | 1.0016835 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7098473E-5 | 2.0320791E-5 | 2.0320791E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3277115E-5 | 8.708668E-5 | 8.708668E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.917837E-4 | 0.0010598497 | 0.0010698392 | 1.0094253 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008882134 | 0.010556389 | 0.010576178 | 1.0018746 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.5982785E-5 | 1.8996103E-5 | 1.8996103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.849585E-5 | 8.140981E-5 | 8.140981E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.336179E-4 | 9.907985E-4 | 0.0010007885 | 1.0100828 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008304977 | 0.009872175 | 0.0098919775 | 1.0020059 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.4468002E-5 | 1.7198454E-5 | 1.7198454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.200425E-5 | 7.370605E-5 | 7.370605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.546402E-4 | 8.970857E-4 | 9.070767E-4 | 1.0111372 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007520827 | 0.008942914 | 0.0089627355 | 1.0022165 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.288233E-6 | 6.204084E-6 | 6.204084E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2663658E-5 | 2.6588856E-5 | 2.6588856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7589512E-4 | 3.2370616E-4 | 3.3370292E-4 | 1.0308822 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027555283 | 0.0032357695 | 0.0032457372 | 1.0030805 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.279556E-7 | 8.408395E-7 | 8.408395E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5483763E-6 | 3.6035933E-6 | 3.6035933E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3200624E-5 | 4.387294E-5 | 4.387294E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3192226E-4 | 4.3865E-4 | 4.3865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.559831E-7 | 6.667269E-7 | 6.667269E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8113532E-6 | 2.8573984E-6 | 2.8573984E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4227687E-5 | 3.4788336E-5 | 3.4788336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4222414E-4 | 3.4783554E-4 | 3.4783554E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.5018968E-7 | 3.5620255E-7 | 3.5620255E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.500812E-6 | 1.5265817E-6 | 1.5265817E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8272232E-5 | 1.858602E-5 | 1.858602E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8270731E-4 | 1.8584926E-4 | 1.8584926E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.1986104E-7 | 1.2198457E-7 | 1.2198457E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1369005E-7 | 5.227909E-7 | 5.227909E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2541585E-6 | 6.364961E-6 | 6.364961E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2539824E-5 | 6.364783E-5 | 6.364783E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.0445005E-8 | 3.1027806E-8 | 3.1027806E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3047858E-7 | 1.329763E-7 | 1.329763E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885756E-6 | 1.6189855E-6 | 1.6189855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885644E-5 | 1.6189757E-5 | 1.6189757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.1040844E-5 | 1.1040844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.731734E-5 | 5.7316865E-5 | 1.211329 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.7598896E-4 | 5.959775E-4 | 1.0347029 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0054756533 | 0.0057501267 | 0.0057998393 | 1.0086454 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.1040844E-5 | 1.1040844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.731734E-5 | 5.7316865E-5 | 1.211329 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.7598896E-4 | 5.959775E-4 | 1.0347029 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0054756533 | 0.0057501267 | 0.0057998393 | 1.0086454 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.208243E-6 | 2.208243E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.463887E-6 | 9.463887E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1522093E-4 | 1.1522093E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011520233 | 0.0011520233 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.208243E-6 | 2.208243E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.463887E-6 | 9.463887E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1522093E-4 | 1.1522093E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011520233 | 0.0011520233 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.7259927E-6 | 1.8109101E-6 | 1.8109101E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3970905E-6 | 7.761044E-6 | 7.761044E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.005586E-5 | 9.449071E-5 | 9.449071E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.001937E-4 | 9.449071E-4 | 9.449071E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Rosa Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1143165E-5 | 4.7093672E-5 | 4.7093672E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7631594E-4 | 2.0181552E-4 | 2.0181552E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002144533 | 0.0024545314 | 0.002464507 | 1.0040641 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021239553 | 0.024294853 | 0.024353396 | 1.0024097 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3866147E-5 | 2.3866147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.02279635E-4 | 1.02279635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012445722 | 0.0012445722 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01092941 | 0.012379061 | 0.012398814 | 1.0015956 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3866147E-5 | 2.3866147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.02279635E-4 | 1.02279635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012445722 | 0.0012445722 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01092941 | 0.012379061 | 0.012398814 | 1.0015956 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5158236E-5 | 1.7075225E-5 | 1.7075225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.496225E-5 | 7.317755E-5 | 7.317755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.906284E-4 | 8.905845E-4 | 8.905845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007878214 | 0.008871407 | 0.008881318 | 1.0011172 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2341918E-5 | 1.3853551E-5 | 1.3853551E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2892858E-5 | 5.9371054E-5 | 5.9371054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.437803E-4 | 7.22611E-4 | 7.22611E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006419184 | 0.0072034504 | 0.0072133783 | 1.0013782 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.061158E-6 | 1.0117473E-5 | 1.0117473E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.883296E-5 | 4.335991E-5 | 4.335991E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.726887E-4 | 5.2778434E-4 | 5.2778434E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004716845 | 0.005265847 | 0.005265847 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 7.5461685E-6 | 8.401091E-6 | 8.401091E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2340322E-5 | 3.60042E-5 | 3.60042E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.936723E-4 | 4.3826728E-4 | 4.3826728E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003929756 | 0.0043744594 | 0.0043744594 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 5.5023775E-6 | 6.087624E-6 | 6.087624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3581404E-5 | 2.6089576E-5 | 2.6089576E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8706578E-4 | 3.1759753E-4 | 3.1759753E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028669522 | 0.0031717583 | 0.0031717583 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.7351679E-6 | 4.0832842E-6 | 4.0832842E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6007763E-5 | 1.7499686E-5 | 1.7499686E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.948771E-4 | 2.1304033E-4 | 2.1304033E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019470629 | 0.0021286062 | 0.0021286062 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.456366E-6 | 2.6293403E-6 | 2.6293403E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0527241E-5 | 1.1268552E-5 | 1.1268552E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2816161E-4 | 1.3718601E-4 | 1.3718601E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012808773 | 0.0013710163 | 0.0013710163 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.3245157E-6 | 2.4828419E-6 | 2.4828419E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.962172E-6 | 1.0640708E-5 | 1.0640708E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2128269E-4 | 1.2954294E-4 | 1.2954294E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012121652 | 0.0012946764 | 0.0012946764 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.2248344E-6 | 2.3733096E-6 | 2.3733096E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.53497E-6 | 1.0171287E-5 | 1.0171287E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1608207E-4 | 1.238284E-4 | 1.238284E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011602144 | 0.001237596 | 0.001237596 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.1350402E-6 | 2.2762106E-6 | 2.2762106E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.150141E-6 | 9.755152E-6 | 9.755152E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1139726E-4 | 1.1876252E-4 | 1.1876252E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011134144 | 0.0011869924 | 0.0011869924 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.9793572E-6 | 2.108771E-6 | 2.108771E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.482932E-6 | 9.037559E-6 | 9.037559E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.032748E-4 | 1.1002674E-4 | 1.1002674E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010322682 | 0.0010997244 | 0.0010997244 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6951194E-6 | 1.8046173E-6 | 1.8046173E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.264777E-6 | 7.734052E-6 | 7.734052E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.844508E-5 | 9.415802E-5 | 9.415802E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.840988E-4 | 9.4118295E-4 | 9.4118295E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.987207E-7 | 9.512428E-7 | 9.512428E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8516546E-6 | 4.076748E-6 | 4.076748E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6892885E-5 | 4.9633294E-5 | 4.9633294E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.688299E-4 | 4.962232E-4 | 4.962232E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.8783037E-7 | 4.0530057E-7 | 4.0530057E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6621291E-6 | 1.7370013E-6 | 1.7370013E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0236233E-5 | 2.1147793E-5 | 2.1147793E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.023439E-4 | 2.1145845E-4 | 2.1145845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.181804E-8 | 6.339133E-8 | 6.339133E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6493444E-7 | 2.716771E-7 | 2.716771E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225572E-6 | 3.3076637E-6 | 3.3076637E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225525E-5 | 3.307615E-5 | 3.307615E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.3704449E-9 | 1.3964252E-9 | 1.3964252E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.873335E-9 | 5.9846794E-9 | 5.9846794E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507856E-8 | 7.2863465E-8 | 7.2863465E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507833E-7 | 7.286345E-7 | 7.286345E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ventura-Pitas Point
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.373694E-5 | 3.373694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.445803E-4 | 1.445803E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017591008 | 0.0017690832 | 1.0056747 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.017477294 | 0.017526422 | 1.0028108 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.373694E-5 | 3.373694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.445803E-4 | 1.445803E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017591008 | 0.0017690832 | 1.0056747 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.017477294 | 0.017526422 | 1.0028108 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.373694E-5 | 3.373694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.445803E-4 | 1.445803E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017591008 | 0.0017690832 | 1.0056747 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.017477294 | 0.017526422 | 1.0028108 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.373694E-5 | 3.373694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.445803E-4 | 1.445803E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017591008 | 0.0017690832 | 1.0056747 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.017477294 | 0.017526422 | 1.0028108 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.7020355E-5 | 1.7020355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.2942465E-5 | 7.2942465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.877358E-4 | 8.977269E-4 | 1.0112547 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009738282 | 0.008844232 | 0.008873967 | 1.003362 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.7020355E-5 | 1.7020355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.2942465E-5 | 7.2942465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.877358E-4 | 8.977269E-4 | 1.0112547 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009738282 | 0.008844232 | 0.008873967 | 1.003362 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.21228095E-5 | 1.21228095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.1953877E-5 | 5.1953877E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.3235714E-4 | 6.3235714E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074657016 | 0.0063058347 | 0.0063157715 | 1.0015758 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.21228095E-5 | 1.21228095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.1953877E-5 | 5.1953877E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.3235714E-4 | 6.3235714E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074657016 | 0.0063058347 | 0.0063157715 | 1.0015758 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.3663846E-5 | 1.134492E-5 | 1.134492E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8558027E-5 | 4.8620186E-5 | 4.8620186E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.127108E-4 | 5.9179193E-4 | 5.9179193E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007104293 | 0.005902376 | 0.005912317 | 1.0016842 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3644157E-5 | 1.1323019E-5 | 1.1323019E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8473648E-5 | 4.8526334E-5 | 4.8526334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.116841E-4 | 5.906499E-4 | 5.906499E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007094092 | 0.005891016 | 0.005900957 | 1.0016875 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3568845E-5 | 1.1242581E-5 | 1.1242581E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8150898E-5 | 4.8181613E-5 | 4.8181613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.077572E-4 | 5.864552E-4 | 5.864552E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007055073 | 0.0058492906 | 0.005859232 | 1.0016996 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.306572E-5 | 1.072101E-5 | 1.072101E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.599474E-5 | 4.5946384E-5 | 4.5946384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.815227E-4 | 5.5925554E-4 | 5.5925554E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067943637 | 0.005578686 | 0.00558863 | 1.0017825 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.232604E-5 | 9.995567E-6 | 9.995567E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2824813E-5 | 4.283745E-5 | 4.283745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.429523E-4 | 5.214229E-4 | 5.214229E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064109527 | 0.0052021868 | 0.0052121347 | 1.0019122 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0917261E-5 | 8.844211E-6 | 8.844211E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.678742E-5 | 3.790322E-5 | 3.790322E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.69488E-4 | 4.6137557E-4 | 4.6137557E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056803077 | 0.004604343 | 0.004614297 | 1.0021619 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.039959E-5 | 8.423915E-6 | 8.423915E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.456891E-5 | 3.6102E-5 | 3.6102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.424914E-4 | 4.3945474E-4 | 4.3945474E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054116896 | 0.0043860185 | 0.004395975 | 1.00227 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 9.015877E-6 | 7.297808E-6 | 7.297808E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.86389E-5 | 3.1275955E-5 | 3.1275955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7032707E-4 | 3.807196E-4 | 3.807196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004693329 | 0.003800817 | 0.0038107792 | 1.002621 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.900162E-6 | 3.874223E-6 | 3.874223E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1000526E-5 | 1.6603708E-5 | 1.6603708E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556514E-4 | 2.0213152E-4 | 2.0213152E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025535747 | 0.0020194903 | 0.0020294702 | 1.0049417 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.8850626E-6 | 3.12684E-6 | 3.12684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6650163E-5 | 1.3400674E-5 | 1.3400674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0269687E-4 | 1.6314109E-4 | 1.6314109E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002025121 | 0.0016302225 | 0.0016402062 | 1.0061241 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.4654719E-6 | 2.0299503E-6 | 2.0299503E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0566265E-5 | 8.699758E-6 | 8.699758E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2863669E-4 | 1.05914456E-4 | 1.05914456E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012856225 | 0.0010586445 | 0.0010686339 | 1.009436 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.095894E-7 | 3.276594E-7 | 3.276594E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7553821E-6 | 1.4042538E-6 | 1.4042538E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1371567E-5 | 1.709666E-5 | 1.709666E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1369511E-4 | 1.7095375E-4 | 1.7095375E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.683899E-9 | 5.683899E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.4359569E-8 | 2.4359569E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.9657772E-7 | 2.9657772E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.9657754E-6 | 2.9657754E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.4353277E-5 | 7.0508766E-5 | 7.0508766E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3292181E-4 | 3.0214625E-4 | 3.1214324E-4 | 1.0330865 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028321352 | 0.003672428 | 0.0036923545 | 1.0054259 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02796312 | 0.036119856 | 0.03615841 | 1.0010674 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5578287E-5 | 5.822726E-5 | 5.822726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.953209E-4 | 2.495217E-4 | 2.495217E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023754383 | 0.0030336923 | 0.003043662 | 1.0032864 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023502063 | 0.02992312 | 0.029942522 | 1.0006484 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8536782E-5 | 3.4739776E-5 | 3.4739776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2229476E-4 | 1.4887613E-4 | 1.4887613E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014879217 | 0.0018110384 | 0.0018210203 | 1.0055116 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014779986 | 0.017960034 | 0.017969854 | 1.0005468 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3698774E-5 | 2.8215834E-5 | 2.8215834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.01562226E-4 | 1.20919154E-4 | 1.20919154E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012358186 | 0.0014711908 | 0.0014711908 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012289686 | 0.01461282 | 0.01461282 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.9191197E-5 | 2.2124714E-5 | 2.2124714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2245395E-5 | 9.481697E-5 | 9.481697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010008777 | 0.0011537919 | 0.0011537919 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009963818 | 0.011478017 | 0.011478017 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.5203241E-5 | 1.6802449E-5 | 1.6802449E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5155116E-5 | 7.200868E-5 | 7.200868E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9297484E-4 | 8.763696E-4 | 8.763696E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007901512 | 0.00873026 | 0.00873026 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.0984925E-5 | 1.12432535E-5 | 1.12432535E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.70774E-5 | 4.8184498E-5 | 4.8184498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.730166E-4 | 5.864922E-4 | 5.864922E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005715413 | 0.0058498345 | 0.0058498345 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.134616E-6 | 9.020395E-6 | 9.020395E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9147766E-5 | 3.8658276E-5 | 3.8658276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7651984E-4 | 4.7056525E-4 | 4.7056525E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004754993 | 0.0046959333 | 0.0046959333 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.785589E-6 | 7.4523505E-6 | 7.4523505E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3366385E-5 | 3.1938267E-5 | 3.1938267E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0616E-4 | 3.8878102E-4 | 3.8878102E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040541845 | 0.0038812126 | 0.0038812126 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.579095E-6 | 4.898749E-6 | 4.898749E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3910188E-5 | 2.099448E-5 | 2.099448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9106764E-4 | 2.555792E-4 | 2.555792E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002906867 | 0.0025529899 | 0.0025529899 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.6816688E-6 | 1.5216617E-6 | 1.5216617E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1492816E-5 | 6.5213912E-6 | 6.5213912E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3991605E-4 | 7.939513E-5 | 7.939513E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013982799 | 7.936764E-4 | 7.936764E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.45394E-7 | 7.45394E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.1945422E-6 | 3.1945422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.8892897E-5 | 3.8892897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.8886507E-4 | 3.8886507E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.45394E-7 | 7.45394E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.1945422E-6 | 3.1945422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.8892897E-5 | 3.8892897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.8886507E-4 | 3.8886507E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7087556E-6 | 6.5789914E-7 | 6.5789914E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3232177E-6 | 2.819565E-6 | 2.819565E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.915652E-5 | 3.4327702E-5 | 3.4327702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9120766E-4 | 3.4322805E-4 | 3.4322805E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.3804846E-6 | 6.0739893E-7 | 6.0739893E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.603136E-6 | 2.603136E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.169276E-5 | 3.169276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.1688644E-4 | 3.1688644E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3804846E-6 | 6.0739893E-7 | 6.0739893E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.603136E-6 | 2.603136E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.169276E-5 | 3.169276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.1688644E-4 | 3.1688644E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pinto Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7858404E-5 | 4.7858404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0509223E-4 | 2.0509223E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.002494302 | 0.0025142522 | 1.0079982 | 2.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.02468059 | 0.024729356 | 1.0019759 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7858404E-5 | 4.7858404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0509223E-4 | 2.0509223E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.002494302 | 0.0025142522 | 1.0079982 | 2.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.02468059 | 0.024729356 | 1.0019759 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7858404E-5 | 4.7858404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0509223E-4 | 2.0509223E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.002494302 | 0.0025142522 | 1.0079982 | 2.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.02468059 | 0.024729356 | 1.0019759 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7858404E-5 | 4.7858404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0509223E-4 | 2.0509223E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.002494302 | 0.0025142522 | 1.0079982 | 2.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.02468059 | 0.024729356 | 1.0019759 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.9607374E-5 | 3.9607374E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.6973537E-4 | 1.6973537E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0020646628 | 0.0020846215 | 1.0096668 | 2.0E-5 | 0.019274427 | 0.020464834 | 0.020513812 | 1.0023932 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.9607374E-5 | 3.9607374E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.6973537E-4 | 1.6973537E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0020646628 | 0.0020846215 | 1.0096668 | 2.0E-5 | 0.019274427 | 0.020464834 | 0.020513812 | 1.0023932 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.0204548E-5 | 3.120891E-5 | 3.120891E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2944164E-4 | 1.3374581E-4 | 1.3374581E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015748127 | 0.0016271737 | 0.0016371574 | 1.0061356 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015636992 | 0.016156465 | 0.016176142 | 1.0012178 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.9857754E-5 | 3.0818275E-5 | 3.0818275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2795553E-4 | 1.3207184E-4 | 1.3207184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015567453 | 0.0016068232 | 0.0016168072 | 1.0062134 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015458848 | 0.015955895 | 0.015975576 | 1.0012335 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.4819734E-5 | 2.5012627E-5 | 2.5012627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0636595E-4 | 1.07192696E-4 | 1.07192696E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012942362 | 0.0013043113 | 0.0013043113 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012867244 | 0.012968929 | 0.012968929 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.331124E-5 | 2.334084E-5 | 2.334084E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.990149E-5 | 1.0002845E-4 | 1.0002845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001215622 | 0.0012171863 | 0.0012171863 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012089936 | 0.01210739 | 0.01210739 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.1818534E-5 | 2.1763912E-5 | 2.1763912E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3504656E-5 | 9.327069E-5 | 9.327069E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011378246 | 0.0011349989 | 0.0011349989 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011320163 | 0.011294124 | 0.011294124 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.066081E-5 | 2.0543503E-5 | 2.0543503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.854332E-5 | 8.8040724E-5 | 8.8040724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010774818 | 0.0010713883 | 0.0010713883 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010722724 | 0.010664281 | 0.010664281 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.8990233E-5 | 1.9056733E-5 | 1.9056733E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.138417E-5 | 8.166927E-5 | 8.166927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.904018E-4 | 9.93889E-4 | 9.93889E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009859995 | 0.00989644 | 0.00989644 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3335872E-5 | 1.49092175E-5 | 1.49092175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7152483E-5 | 6.389515E-5 | 6.389515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.956093E-4 | 7.776586E-4 | 7.776586E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006934359 | 0.0077506728 | 0.0077506728 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.414066E-6 | 1.1863344E-5 | 1.1863344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0345374E-5 | 5.0841965E-5 | 5.0841965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.910942E-4 | 6.188346E-4 | 6.188346E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049001034 | 0.006172062 | 0.006172062 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.2101157E-6 | 9.160516E-6 | 9.160516E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.090013E-5 | 3.9258808E-5 | 3.9258808E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7614413E-4 | 4.7787896E-4 | 4.7787896E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037550807 | 0.004769289 | 0.004769289 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.296375E-6 | 4.54775E-6 | 4.54775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4127245E-5 | 1.9490219E-5 | 1.9490219E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7198564E-4 | 2.3726898E-4 | 2.3726898E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017185259 | 0.002370294 | 0.002370294 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.5741092E-6 | 3.5865285E-6 | 3.5865285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.103185E-5 | 1.5370753E-5 | 1.5370753E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3430449E-4 | 1.8712417E-4 | 1.8712417E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013422335 | 0.0018697961 | 0.0018697961 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3785305E-5 | 3.3785305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.447868E-4 | 1.447868E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017614748 | 0.001791422 | 1.0170012 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.01748746 | 0.017536588 | 1.0028092 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3785305E-5 | 3.3785305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.447868E-4 | 1.447868E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017614748 | 0.001791422 | 1.0170012 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.01748746 | 0.017536588 | 1.0028092 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3785305E-5 | 3.3785305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.447868E-4 | 1.447868E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017614748 | 0.001791422 | 1.0170012 | 3.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.01748746 | 0.017536588 | 1.0028092 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.5916745E-5 | 1.5916745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.821292E-5 | 6.821292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.301901E-4 | 8.5017347E-4 | 1.0240709 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009254395 | 0.008272346 | 0.008312015 | 1.0047954 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.5916745E-5 | 1.5916745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.821292E-5 | 6.821292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.301901E-4 | 8.5017347E-4 | 1.0240709 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009254395 | 0.008272346 | 0.008312015 | 1.0047954 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3397557E-5 | 1.1336821E-5 | 1.1336821E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.741684E-5 | 4.8585513E-5 | 4.8585513E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.988258E-4 | 5.9137505E-4 | 6.113632E-4 | 1.0337995 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006966323 | 0.0058987187 | 0.005928542 | 1.0050559 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0818695E-5 | 8.625731E-6 | 8.625731E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6365014E-5 | 3.696692E-5 | 3.696692E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6434784E-4 | 4.499837E-4 | 4.6997468E-4 | 1.0444261 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005629168 | 0.004491162 | 0.0045110723 | 1.0044332 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.067908E-6 | 6.802681E-6 | 6.802681E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8861883E-5 | 2.915404E-5 | 2.915404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7304068E-4 | 3.548958E-4 | 3.6489227E-4 | 1.0281672 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00472035 | 0.0035436077 | 0.0035535723 | 1.002812 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.295947E-6 | 4.936584E-6 | 4.936584E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.126797E-5 | 2.1156624E-5 | 2.1156624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8062103E-4 | 2.5755257E-4 | 2.5755257E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037996976 | 0.0025726538 | 0.0025726538 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.2243444E-6 | 3.8323824E-6 | 3.8323824E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6675489E-5 | 1.6424396E-5 | 1.6424396E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2472567E-4 | 1.999492E-4 | 1.999492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032425157 | 0.0019977456 | 0.0019977456 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.9878413E-6 | 2.6796556E-6 | 2.6796556E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1376287E-5 | 1.1484189E-5 | 1.1484189E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.602252E-4 | 1.398113E-4 | 1.398113E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002599207 | 0.0013972595 | 0.0013972595 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.0252844E-6 | 1.8857899E-6 | 1.8857899E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7251105E-5 | 8.081933E-6 | 8.081933E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1001195E-4 | 9.839321E-5 | 9.839321E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020981359 | 9.835092E-4 | 9.835092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.3284066E-6 | 1.2819766E-6 | 1.2819766E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4264522E-5 | 5.4941743E-6 | 5.4941743E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.736567E-4 | 6.6889625E-5 | 6.6889625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017352107 | 6.687049E-4 | 6.687049E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.458226E-6 | 6.057468E-7 | 6.057468E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0535211E-5 | 2.5960553E-6 | 2.5960553E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2825865E-4 | 3.1606553E-5 | 3.1606553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012818464 | 3.1602432E-4 | 3.1602432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.965953E-6 | 3.1091497E-7 | 3.1091497E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.425486E-6 | 1.332492E-6 | 1.332492E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0257547E-4 | 1.622297E-5 | 1.622297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010252813 | 1.62218E-4 | 1.62218E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2014192E-6 | 1.8245849E-7 | 1.8245849E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.148929E-6 | 7.8196473E-7 | 7.8196473E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2686406E-5 | 9.5203795E-6 | 9.5203795E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.266873E-4 | 9.51998E-5 | 9.51998E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.5612175E-7 | 4.8952053E-8 | 4.8952053E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0976642E-6 | 2.0979449E-7 | 2.0979449E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363979E-5 | 2.5542454E-6 | 2.5542454E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363175E-4 | 2.5542196E-5 | 2.5542196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Imperial
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7496446E-4 | 5.059147E-4 | 5.059147E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011778869 | 0.0021664435 | 0.002176422 | 1.0046059 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0142467655 | 0.02603501 | 0.02607397 | 1.0014964 | 4.0E-5 | 0.13367249 | 0.22815481 | 0.22818568 | 1.0001353 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.5356023E-4 | 4.8690842E-4 | 4.8690842E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001086234 | 0.00208512 | 0.002095099 | 1.0047859 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013144928 | 0.02507444 | 0.025113435 | 1.0015552 | 4.0E-5 | 0.123940155 | 0.21958253 | 0.21961375 | 1.0001422 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.4820742E-4 | 4.778568E-4 | 4.778568E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010633124 | 0.0020463883 | 0.0020563677 | 1.0048766 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01286919 | 0.02461431 | 0.024653325 | 1.0015851 | 4.0E-5 | 0.12148927 | 0.21608707 | 0.21611844 | 1.0001451 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3205351E-4 | 4.59203E-4 | 4.59203E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.94136E-4 | 0.0019665654 | 0.001976546 | 1.005075 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012036599 | 0.023662042 | 0.023701094 | 1.0016505 | 4.0E-5 | 0.11405133 | 0.2080325 | 0.20806418 | 1.0001522 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0304754E-4 | 3.990559E-4 | 3.990559E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6991355E-4 | 0.0017091333 | 0.0017191161 | 1.0058409 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010539869 | 0.020595426 | 0.020624809 | 1.0014266 | 3.0E-5 | 0.100537635 | 0.1851652 | 0.18518963 | 1.000132 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.854992E-4 | 3.70158E-4 | 3.70158E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9475436E-4 | 0.0015854393 | 0.0015954234 | 1.0062973 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009633281 | 0.019120872 | 0.019150298 | 1.001539 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0922623 | 0.1733926 | 0.17341739 | 1.000143 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.6586106E-4 | 3.405943E-4 | 3.405943E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.106394E-4 | 0.0014588834 | 0.0014688688 | 1.0068445 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008617763 | 0.017612299 | 0.017641772 | 1.0016733 | 3.0E-5 | 0.08291132 | 0.16086377 | 0.16088895 | 1.0001565 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4224656E-4 | 3.0787865E-4 | 3.0787865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.094856E-4 | 0.0013188209 | 0.0013288077 | 1.0075725 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0073952693 | 0.015939012 | 0.015968533 | 1.0018522 | 3.0E-5 | 0.07153955 | 0.14656866 | 0.14659427 | 1.0001746 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2317259E-4 | 2.780882E-4 | 2.780882E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2777573E-4 | 0.0011912684 | 0.0012012565 | 1.0083845 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064067547 | 0.014408626 | 0.014438193 | 1.0020521 | 3.0E-5 | 0.06225166 | 0.13301449 | 0.13304049 | 1.0001955 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.859898E-5 | 2.5027848E-4 | 2.5027848E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2249862E-4 | 0.0010721855 | 0.0010821747 | 1.0093168 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051317946 | 0.012976689 | 0.013006301 | 1.0022818 | 3.0E-5 | 0.05014893 | 0.119464576 | 0.119490996 | 1.0002211 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.3191884E-5 | 2.1277071E-4 | 2.1277071E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.136418E-4 | 9.11559E-4 | 9.215499E-4 | 1.0109602 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003811904 | 0.011042442 | 0.01107211 | 1.0026867 | 3.0E-5 | 0.037471764 | 0.1021106 | 0.102137536 | 1.0002638 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1760296E-5 | 2.0978301E-4 | 2.0978301E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0750787E-4 | 8.987634E-4 | 9.087544E-4 | 1.0111164 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003737482 | 0.010888223 | 0.010917896 | 1.0027252 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03675245 | 0.1007466 | 0.10077358 | 1.0002677 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.46614E-5 | 1.9146476E-4 | 1.9146476E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7709085E-4 | 8.203082E-4 | 8.3030004E-4 | 1.0121806 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033683628 | 0.00994214 | 0.009971842 | 1.0029875 | 3.0E-5 | 0.033177625 | 0.092552714 | 0.09257994 | 1.0002941 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.088115E-5 | 1.7817756E-4 | 1.7817756E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6089314E-4 | 7.633975E-4 | 7.733899E-4 | 1.0130893 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031717476 | 0.009255332 | 0.009285054 | 1.0032114 | 3.0E-5 | 0.031268585 | 0.08660158 | 0.08662898 | 1.0003164 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.199346E-5 | 1.15175506E-4 | 1.15175506E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7995955E-4 | 4.935168E-4 | 5.0351187E-4 | 1.0202527 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021888057 | 0.005992183 | 0.006022003 | 1.0049765 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02167372 | 0.057474438 | 0.057502713 | 1.000492 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.130448E-5 | 8.339179E-5 | 8.339179E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3415517E-4 | 3.5734472E-4 | 3.6734116E-4 | 1.0279741 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016321153 | 0.0043420526 | 0.0043619657 | 1.0045861 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016201803 | 0.04215947 | 0.042178627 | 1.0004544 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.3074248E-5 | 6.089473E-5 | 6.089473E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.888588E-5 | 2.6095143E-4 | 2.7094883E-4 | 1.0383114 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012032706 | 0.0031724784 | 0.003192415 | 1.0062842 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011967761 | 0.031049361 | 0.03106874 | 1.0006242 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.45864815E-5 | 4.0166033E-5 | 4.0166033E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2511994E-5 | 1.7212881E-4 | 1.8212709E-4 | 1.058086 | 1.0E-5 | 7.608177E-4 | 0.0020936595 | 0.0021136175 | 1.0095327 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007582182 | 0.020646982 | 0.02066657 | 1.0009487 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.0352979E-5 | 3.0995932E-5 | 3.0995932E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4369157E-5 | 1.3283295E-4 | 1.4283163E-4 | 1.0752726 | 1.0E-5 | 5.400606E-4 | 0.0016160439 | 0.0016360115 | 1.0123559 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0053875 | 0.016033174 | 0.016052853 | 1.0012274 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 8.137906E-6 | 2.2176906E-5 | 2.2176906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4876273E-5 | 9.504043E-5 | 9.504043E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2453592E-4 | 0.0011565039 | 0.0011664924 | 1.0086367 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004237258 | 0.011630601 | 0.011640485 | 1.0008498 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 6.93792E-6 | 1.8032517E-5 | 1.8032517E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9733603E-5 | 7.727993E-5 | 7.727993E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6194647E-4 | 9.4047777E-4 | 9.504684E-4 | 1.0106229 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036135751 | 0.009512537 | 0.009522443 | 1.0010413 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.4286315E-6 | 6.3904804E-6 | 6.3904804E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4694053E-5 | 2.7387487E-5 | 2.7387487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7888541E-4 | 3.3339174E-4 | 3.3339174E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017874148 | 0.0034911777 | 0.0034911777 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.4906886E-6 | 1.9406575E-6 | 1.9406575E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3886496E-6 | 8.317077E-6 | 8.317077E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7779034E-5 | 1.0125574E-4 | 1.0125574E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.775182E-4 | 0.0011096327 | 0.0011096327 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.5758007E-8 | 1.4536019E-8 | 1.4536019E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10391454E-7 | 6.2297225E-8 | 6.2297225E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3440151E-6 | 7.584687E-7 | 7.584687E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.344007E-5 | 7.907691E-6 | 7.907691E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Tin Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.181574E-6 | 4.181574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.792093E-5 | 1.792093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.181692E-4 | 2.28167E-4 | 1.045826 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021799158 | 0.0022298067 | 1.0228866 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.181574E-6 | 4.181574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.792093E-5 | 1.792093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.181692E-4 | 2.28167E-4 | 1.045826 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021799158 | 0.0022298067 | 1.0228866 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.181574E-6 | 4.181574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.792093E-5 | 1.792093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.181692E-4 | 2.28167E-4 | 1.045826 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021799158 | 0.0022298067 | 1.0228866 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.181574E-6 | 4.181574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.792093E-5 | 1.792093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.181692E-4 | 2.28167E-4 | 1.045826 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021799158 | 0.0022298067 | 1.0228866 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.181574E-6 | 4.181574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.792093E-5 | 1.792093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.181692E-4 | 2.28167E-4 | 1.045826 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021799158 | 0.0022298067 | 1.0228866 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3143427E-6 | 2.3731798E-6 | 2.3731798E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9185745E-6 | 1.0170735E-5 | 1.0170735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2075195E-4 | 1.2382244E-4 | 1.3382119E-4 | 1.0807508 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012068636 | 0.0012376104 | 0.0012775608 | 1.0322803 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3143427E-6 | 2.3731798E-6 | 2.3731798E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9185745E-6 | 1.0170735E-5 | 1.0170735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2075195E-4 | 1.2382244E-4 | 1.3382119E-4 | 1.0807508 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012068636 | 0.0012376104 | 0.0012775608 | 1.0322803 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7029532E-6 | 1.7498095E-6 | 1.7498095E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2983503E-6 | 7.499165E-6 | 7.499165E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.885379E-5 | 9.129904E-5 | 1.0129813E-4 | 1.1095202 | 1.0E-5 | 8.881827E-4 | 9.12668E-4 | 9.5263147E-4 | 1.0437876 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2914646E-6 | 1.3299526E-6 | 1.3299526E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.534837E-6 | 5.6997874E-6 | 5.6997874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.738455E-5 | 6.939314E-5 | 6.939314E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.736412E-4 | 6.937581E-4 | 7.137442E-4 | 1.0288085 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.8708974E-7 | 6.117089E-7 | 6.117089E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5160964E-6 | 2.6216073E-6 | 2.6216073E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0633044E-5 | 3.1917643E-5 | 3.1917643E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0628822E-4 | 3.191347E-4 | 3.391283E-4 | 1.0626495 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.6248786E-7 | 4.832096E-7 | 4.832096E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9820893E-6 | 2.0708967E-6 | 2.0708967E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.413167E-5 | 2.5212914E-5 | 2.5212914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.412905E-4 | 2.5210422E-4 | 2.621017E-4 | 1.0396562 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.804606E-7 | 3.9872182E-7 | 3.9872182E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6305444E-6 | 1.7088068E-6 | 1.7088068E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9851697E-5 | 2.0804559E-5 | 2.0804559E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9849923E-4 | 2.0802947E-4 | 2.0802947E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.5864858E-7 | 3.7617545E-7 | 3.7617545E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5370645E-6 | 1.6121797E-6 | 1.6121797E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.87136E-5 | 1.9628145E-5 | 1.9628145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8712023E-4 | 1.9626743E-4 | 1.9626743E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.342063E-7 | 3.5064113E-7 | 3.5064113E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4323119E-6 | 1.5027471E-6 | 1.5027471E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7438259E-5 | 1.8295825E-5 | 1.8295825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.743689E-4 | 1.8294649E-4 | 1.8294649E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.971242E-7 | 3.1166385E-7 | 3.1166385E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2733886E-6 | 1.3357017E-6 | 1.3357017E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5503398E-5 | 1.626208E-5 | 1.626208E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5502315E-4 | 1.6261218E-4 | 1.6261218E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4326713E-7 | 1.501279E-7 | 1.501279E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.140018E-7 | 6.434053E-7 | 6.434053E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4754466E-6 | 7.83346E-6 | 7.83346E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.475195E-5 | 7.83346E-5 | 7.83346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6753125E-5 | 3.6753125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5750721E-4 | 1.6750563E-4 | 1.0634792 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019165471 | 0.0019365088 | 1.0104154 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016697178 | 0.019057645 | 0.019106692 | 1.0025736 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6753125E-5 | 3.6753125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5750721E-4 | 1.6750563E-4 | 1.0634792 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019165471 | 0.0019365088 | 1.0104154 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016697178 | 0.019057645 | 0.019106692 | 1.0025736 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6753125E-5 | 3.6753125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5750721E-4 | 1.6750563E-4 | 1.0634792 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019165471 | 0.0019365088 | 1.0104154 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016697178 | 0.019057645 | 0.019106692 | 1.0025736 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6753125E-5 | 3.6753125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5750721E-4 | 1.6750563E-4 | 1.0634792 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019165471 | 0.0019365088 | 1.0104154 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016697178 | 0.019057645 | 0.019106692 | 1.0025736 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.4849804E-5 | 1.4849804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.3640495E-5 | 6.3640495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.7455264E-4 | 7.8454486E-4 | 1.0129007 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074880854 | 0.0077190804 | 0.0077389264 | 1.002571 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.4849804E-5 | 1.4849804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.3640495E-5 | 6.3640495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.7455264E-4 | 7.8454486E-4 | 1.0129007 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074880854 | 0.0077190804 | 0.0077389264 | 1.002571 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.280208E-5 | 1.3012269E-5 | 1.3012269E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4864904E-5 | 5.5765686E-5 | 5.5765686E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6777546E-4 | 6.787375E-4 | 6.787375E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006657724 | 0.0067668553 | 0.006776788 | 1.0014678 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2457027E-5 | 1.2628773E-5 | 1.2628773E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3386164E-5 | 5.41222E-5 | 5.41222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.497827E-4 | 6.5874023E-4 | 6.5874023E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00647886 | 0.0065680733 | 0.0065780077 | 1.0015125 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2095134E-5 | 1.2231206E-5 | 1.2231206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1835254E-5 | 5.2418407E-5 | 5.2418407E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.309115E-4 | 6.380089E-4 | 6.380089E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0062912325 | 0.00636196 | 0.0063718962 | 1.0015619 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1104036E-5 | 1.1157605E-5 | 1.1157605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.758786E-5 | 4.7817437E-5 | 4.7817437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7922816E-4 | 5.82023E-4 | 5.82023E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005777207 | 0.005805133 | 0.005815075 | 1.0017126 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0577444E-5 | 1.0581918E-5 | 1.0581918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5331115E-5 | 4.5350294E-5 | 4.5350294E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5176654E-4 | 5.520012E-4 | 5.520012E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055039856 | 0.0055064387 | 0.005516384 | 1.001806 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0021775E-5 | 9.981207E-6 | 9.981207E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.294976E-5 | 4.2775904E-5 | 4.2775904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2278786E-4 | 5.206734E-4 | 5.206734E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052155964 | 0.0051946673 | 0.005204615 | 1.0019151 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.874109E-6 | 8.748974E-6 | 8.748974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8031343E-5 | 3.7495072E-5 | 3.7495072E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.629332E-4 | 4.56408E-4 | 4.56408E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046197 | 0.0045548244 | 0.004564779 | 1.0021855 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.5504267E-6 | 7.505232E-6 | 7.505232E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.235857E-5 | 3.216489E-5 | 3.216489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9389438E-4 | 3.915382E-4 | 3.915382E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039319694 | 0.0039085904 | 0.0039185514 | 1.0025485 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.309394E-6 | 6.1832266E-6 | 6.1832266E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.703998E-5 | 2.649928E-5 | 2.649928E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2916202E-4 | 3.225819E-4 | 3.225819E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003286749 | 0.003221234 | 0.003221234 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.6103073E-6 | 4.440906E-6 | 4.440906E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.975831E-5 | 1.903232E-5 | 1.903232E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4053088E-4 | 2.3169456E-4 | 2.3169456E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002402707 | 0.0023145995 | 0.0023145995 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.2858658E-6 | 1.3008465E-6 | 1.3008465E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5108417E-6 | 5.5750447E-6 | 5.5750447E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7092435E-5 | 6.787413E-5 | 6.787413E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.707218E-4 | 6.7854085E-4 | 6.7854085E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.3302307E-7 | 5.612249E-7 | 5.612249E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2843826E-6 | 2.4052476E-6 | 2.4052476E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7812002E-5 | 2.9283534E-5 | 2.9283534E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7808524E-4 | 2.928003E-4 | 2.928003E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.613933E-8 | 4.803083E-8 | 4.803083E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9773998E-7 | 2.0584639E-7 | 2.0584639E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074816E-6 | 2.506177E-6 | 2.506177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074554E-5 | 2.5061498E-5 | 2.5061498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Oceanic - West Huasna
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.195567E-5 | 2.7927075E-5 | 2.7927075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3694567E-4 | 1.1968222E-4 | 1.1968222E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016660384 | 0.0014562001 | 0.0014562001 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016536033 | 0.014471134 | 0.014510555 | 1.0027242 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1156782E-5 | 1.7573517E-5 | 1.7573517E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.066878E-5 | 7.531295E-5 | 7.531295E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011033333 | 9.165588E-4 | 9.165588E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010978713 | 0.009128794 | 0.009148611 | 1.0021709 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6195117E-5 | 1.332751E-5 | 1.332751E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9405796E-5 | 5.7116664E-5 | 5.7116664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.44688E-4 | 6.951761E-4 | 6.951761E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008414844 | 0.0069303084 | 0.00695017 | 1.0028659 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3559345E-5 | 1.1179241E-5 | 1.1179241E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.811018E-5 | 4.7910155E-5 | 4.7910155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.072618E-4 | 5.8315095E-4 | 5.8315095E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0070501505 | 0.005816326 | 0.0058362097 | 1.0034186 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2120619E-5 | 1.0001071E-5 | 1.0001071E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1944477E-5 | 4.2861033E-5 | 4.2861033E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.322405E-4 | 5.217086E-4 | 5.217086E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006304447 | 0.005204906 | 0.005224802 | 1.0038226 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.13511915E-5 | 9.367551E-6 | 9.367551E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8647056E-5 | 4.014603E-5 | 4.014603E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9211696E-4 | 4.8866874E-4 | 4.8866874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059054173 | 0.004876001 | 0.0048959036 | 1.0040817 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.850605E-6 | 8.135459E-6 | 8.135459E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2216197E-5 | 3.486579E-5 | 3.486579E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1386096E-4 | 4.2440853E-4 | 4.2440853E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051267436 | 0.0042360127 | 0.0042559276 | 1.0047014 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.8558645E-6 | 7.3184697E-6 | 7.3184697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7953152E-5 | 3.1364492E-5 | 3.1364492E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6198163E-4 | 3.8179598E-4 | 3.8179598E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004610224 | 0.003811426 | 0.0038313498 | 1.0052273 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.67136E-6 | 6.391801E-6 | 6.391801E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2876844E-5 | 2.7393147E-5 | 2.7393147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0020206E-4 | 3.334607E-4 | 3.334607E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003994821 | 0.0033296242 | 0.0033495578 | 1.0059867 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.534529E-6 | 5.4583584E-6 | 5.4583584E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8004823E-5 | 2.3392755E-5 | 2.3392755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4090536E-4 | 2.847697E-4 | 2.847697E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034038287 | 0.0028440647 | 0.0028540364 | 1.0035061 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.460525E-6 | 4.570006E-6 | 4.570006E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3402039E-5 | 1.9585592E-5 | 1.9585592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8488258E-4 | 2.384286E-4 | 2.384286E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028451765 | 0.002381742 | 0.0023917183 | 1.0041887 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.4825083E-6 | 3.752495E-6 | 3.752495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9210609E-5 | 1.6082024E-5 | 1.6082024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3386406E-4 | 1.9578113E-4 | 1.9578113E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002336181 | 0.0019560987 | 0.0019560987 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.821708E-6 | 2.4250123E-6 | 2.4250123E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2092979E-5 | 1.0392869E-5 | 1.0392869E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4722206E-4 | 1.2652583E-4 | 1.2652583E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014712457 | 0.0012645406 | 0.0012645406 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.0644757E-6 | 1.7688134E-6 | 1.7688134E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.847723E-6 | 7.5806065E-6 | 7.5806065E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0771569E-4 | 9.228998E-5 | 9.228998E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001076635 | 9.2251843E-4 | 9.2251843E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6980367E-6 | 1.4380564E-6 | 1.4380564E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.27728E-6 | 6.1630844E-6 | 6.1630844E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8597284E-5 | 7.503297E-5 | 7.503297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8561967E-4 | 7.500781E-4 | 7.500781E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3637683E-6 | 1.1303265E-6 | 1.1303265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.844708E-6 | 4.844247E-6 | 4.844247E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1156996E-5 | 5.8977115E-5 | 5.8977115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1134215E-4 | 5.896163E-4 | 5.896163E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.802994E-7 | 7.677805E-7 | 7.677805E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2012766E-6 | 3.2904834E-6 | 3.2904834E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1149345E-5 | 4.0060902E-5 | 4.0060902E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.113757E-4 | 4.0053838E-4 | 4.0053838E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.986191E-7 | 4.0055596E-7 | 4.0055596E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5655079E-6 | 1.7166673E-6 | 1.7166673E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1234613E-5 | 2.0900225E-5 | 2.0900225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.123022E-4 | 2.0898409E-4 | 2.0898409E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.9189815E-7 | 1.5289523E-7 | 1.5289523E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2509914E-6 | 6.55265E-7 | 6.55265E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5230714E-5 | 7.977823E-6 | 7.977823E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.522967E-4 | 7.977683E-5 | 7.977683E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.2057845E-7 | 4.6232017E-8 | 4.6232017E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1676466E-7 | 1.981372E-7 | 1.981372E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2915915E-6 | 2.4123178E-6 | 2.4123178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2914136E-5 | 2.4124378E-5 | 2.4124378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.3806387E-9 | 9.018625E-10 | 9.018625E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4488451E-8 | 3.865124E-9 | 3.865124E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639688E-7 | 4.7057885E-8 | 4.7057885E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639674E-6 | 4.7173933E-7 | 4.7173933E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.75739E-6 | 1.6757323E-5 | 2.4798512 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8959968E-5 | 4.8959388E-5 | 1.6905885 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253857E-4 | 3.82528E-4 | 1.085067 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035205816 | 0.0035704055 | 1.0141522 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.75739E-6 | 1.6757323E-5 | 2.4798512 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8959968E-5 | 4.8959388E-5 | 1.6905885 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253857E-4 | 3.82528E-4 | 1.085067 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035205816 | 0.0035704055 | 1.0141522 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.75739E-6 | 1.6757323E-5 | 2.4798512 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8959968E-5 | 4.8959388E-5 | 1.6905885 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253857E-4 | 3.82528E-4 | 1.085067 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035205816 | 0.0035704055 | 1.0141522 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.75739E-6 | 1.6757323E-5 | 2.4798512 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8959968E-5 | 4.8959388E-5 | 1.6905885 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253857E-4 | 3.82528E-4 | 1.085067 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035205816 | 0.0035704055 | 1.0141522 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.75739E-6 | 1.6757323E-5 | 2.4798512 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8959968E-5 | 4.8959388E-5 | 1.6905885 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253857E-4 | 3.82528E-4 | 1.085067 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035205816 | 0.0035704055 | 1.0141522 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2571174E-6 | 1.3257085E-5 | 4.0701895 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3959004E-5 | 3.3958724E-5 | 2.432747 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.6993843E-4 | 1.9993333E-4 | 1.1765045 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016767744 | 0.0016981645 | 0.0017281135 | 1.0176362 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2571174E-6 | 1.3257085E-5 | 4.0701895 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3959004E-5 | 3.3958724E-5 | 2.432747 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.6993843E-4 | 1.9993333E-4 | 1.1765045 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016767744 | 0.0016981645 | 0.0017281135 | 1.0176362 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.1908265E-6 | 2.2071388E-6 | 1.2207117E-5 | 5.5307426 | 1.0E-5 | 9.389223E-6 | 9.459132E-6 | 2.9458943E-5 | 3.1143386 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1430779E-4 | 1.1515905E-4 | 1.3515675E-4 | 1.1736529 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011424901 | 0.0011510132 | 0.0011709902 | 1.017356 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7303895E-6 | 1.7365657E-6 | 1.1736548E-5 | 6.7584825 | 1.0E-5 | 7.415934E-6 | 7.4424033E-6 | 2.7442255E-5 | 3.687284 | 2.0E-5 | 9.028525E-5 | 9.0607595E-5 | 1.1060578E-4 | 1.2207121 | 2.0E-5 | 9.024858E-4 | 9.057162E-4 | 9.256981E-4 | 1.022062 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3700314E-6 | 1.3688722E-6 | 1.3688722E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.87155E-6 | 5.866582E-6 | 1.5866523E-5 | 2.70456 | 1.0E-5 | 7.148377E-5 | 7.142334E-5 | 8.142263E-5 | 1.1400002 | 1.0E-5 | 7.146078E-4 | 7.140084E-4 | 7.2400126E-4 | 1.0139954 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1467797E-6 | 1.1413888E-6 | 1.1413888E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9147607E-6 | 4.891657E-6 | 1.4891608E-5 | 3.044287 | 1.0E-5 | 5.983557E-5 | 5.955433E-5 | 6.955373E-5 | 1.1679039 | 1.0E-5 | 5.981946E-4 | 5.9538684E-4 | 6.053809E-4 | 1.0167859 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.3952065E-7 | 9.302759E-7 | 9.302759E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.026511E-6 | 3.986891E-6 | 3.986891E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9021666E-5 | 4.8539332E-5 | 4.8539332E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.901085E-4 | 4.8528909E-4 | 4.8528909E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.858055E-7 | 6.719352E-7 | 6.719352E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.939163E-6 | 2.879719E-6 | 2.879719E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5783723E-5 | 3.5060024E-5 | 3.5060024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5777962E-4 | 3.505458E-4 | 3.505458E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.1101983E-7 | 4.939339E-7 | 4.939339E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1900833E-6 | 2.1168578E-6 | 2.1168578E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6663936E-5 | 2.5772444E-5 | 2.5772444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6660739E-4 | 2.5769504E-4 | 2.5769504E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.4999414E-7 | 3.2996186E-7 | 3.2996186E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.499974E-6 | 1.4141215E-6 | 1.4141215E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8262032E-5 | 1.7216795E-5 | 1.7216795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.826053E-4 | 1.7215486E-4 | 1.7215486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7021522E-7 | 1.4750199E-7 | 1.4750199E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2949354E-7 | 6.321512E-7 | 6.321512E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.881548E-6 | 7.696415E-6 | 7.696415E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8811925E-5 | 7.6961565E-5 | 7.6961565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7352981E-8 | 1.7352981E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.436992E-8 | 7.436992E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.054535E-7 | 9.054535E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.054503E-6 | 9.054503E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Pedro Basin
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.3449043E-5 | 6.3374624E-5 | 6.3374624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2904722E-4 | 2.7158073E-4 | 2.915753E-4 | 1.073623 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0027850836 | 0.0033020813 | 0.0033319823 | 1.0090551 | 3.0E-5 | 0.027504366 | 0.03259172 | 0.03264009 | 1.0014842 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.3449043E-5 | 6.3374624E-5 | 6.3374624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2904722E-4 | 2.7158073E-4 | 2.915753E-4 | 1.073623 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0027850836 | 0.0033020813 | 0.0033319823 | 1.0090551 | 3.0E-5 | 0.027504366 | 0.03259172 | 0.03264009 | 1.0014842 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.3189454E-5 | 2.664433E-5 | 2.664433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9379584E-5 | 1.14185255E-4 | 1.2418411E-4 | 1.087567 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012092749 | 0.001389366 | 0.0013993521 | 1.0071875 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012027155 | 0.013811665 | 0.013841251 | 1.0021421 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3189454E-5 | 2.664433E-5 | 2.664433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9379584E-5 | 1.14185255E-4 | 1.2418411E-4 | 1.087567 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012092749 | 0.001389366 | 0.0013993521 | 1.0071875 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012027155 | 0.013811665 | 0.013841251 | 1.0021421 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.966056E-5 | 2.246464E-5 | 2.246464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.425682E-5 | 9.6273696E-5 | 1.0627274E-4 | 1.1038605 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001025344 | 0.0011715421 | 0.0011815304 | 1.0085257 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010206259 | 0.011657748 | 0.011687398 | 1.0025434 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7342953E-5 | 1.9746196E-5 | 1.9746196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4324824E-5 | 8.4624015E-5 | 9.462317E-5 | 1.1181598 | 1.0E-5 | 9.04529E-4 | 0.0010298473 | 0.001039837 | 1.0097002 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009008561 | 0.0102544725 | 0.010284165 | 1.0028956 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.439804E-5 | 1.6323555E-5 | 1.6323555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.170443E-5 | 6.99564E-5 | 7.9955695E-5 | 1.1429362 | 1.0E-5 | 7.509924E-4 | 8.514184E-4 | 8.614099E-4 | 1.0117351 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074845953 | 0.008484767 | 0.008504597 | 1.0023372 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2634884E-5 | 1.4286018E-5 | 1.4286018E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.414838E-5 | 6.122453E-5 | 6.122453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.590571E-4 | 7.4518414E-4 | 7.4518414E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006571059 | 0.007429875 | 0.0074398005 | 1.0013359 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.146091E-5 | 1.2933836E-5 | 1.2933836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.911726E-5 | 5.5429715E-5 | 5.5429715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9783855E-4 | 6.746776E-4 | 6.746776E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059623276 | 0.0067292335 | 0.006739166 | 1.001476 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.109035E-6 | 1.0235508E-5 | 1.0235508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9038136E-5 | 4.3865886E-5 | 4.3865886E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7518566E-4 | 5.3396425E-4 | 5.3396425E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047417083 | 0.005329567 | 0.005329567 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.9351028E-6 | 6.5842564E-6 | 6.5842564E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5435906E-5 | 2.821807E-5 | 2.821807E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0963816E-4 | 3.4352447E-4 | 3.4352447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030920706 | 0.0034322515 | 0.0034322515 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.1557585E-6 | 2.2096847E-6 | 2.2096847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.238933E-6 | 9.470044E-6 | 9.470044E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1247819E-4 | 1.15291834E-4 | 1.15291834E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011242128 | 0.0011523355 | 0.0011523355 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.1251979E-6 | 2.1780304E-6 | 2.1780304E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.107958E-6 | 9.334384E-6 | 9.334384E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1088375E-4 | 1.1364035E-4 | 1.1364035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011082845 | 0.0011358378 | 0.0011358378 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7145798E-6 | 1.7443144E-6 | 1.7443144E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3481783E-6 | 7.4756126E-6 | 7.4756126E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.94604E-5 | 9.1011876E-5 | 9.1011876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9424395E-4 | 9.097551E-4 | 9.097551E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.4467993E-6 | 1.4642089E-6 | 1.4642089E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.200554E-6 | 6.2751665E-6 | 6.2751665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.548913E-5 | 7.639755E-5 | 7.639755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.546349E-4 | 7.6372013E-4 | 7.6372013E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2803735E-6 | 1.2931691E-6 | 1.2931691E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.487303E-6 | 5.5421424E-6 | 5.5421424E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.680587E-5 | 6.7473564E-5 | 6.7473564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.678579E-4 | 6.7453785E-4 | 6.7453785E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.755009E-7 | 6.7695686E-7 | 6.7695686E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8950008E-6 | 2.9012408E-6 | 2.9012408E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5246063E-5 | 3.5322093E-5 | 3.5322093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5240475E-4 | 3.5317053E-4 | 3.5317053E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.211885E-8 | 4.57007E-8 | 4.57007E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6622362E-7 | 1.9586012E-7 | 1.9586012E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412677E-6 | 2.3845946E-6 | 2.3845946E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412205E-5 | 2.384571E-5 | 2.384571E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.6580573E-9 | 1.5138985E-9 | 1.5138985E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1391674E-8 | 6.4881363E-9 | 6.4881363E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869362E-7 | 7.899306E-8 | 7.899306E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869354E-6 | 7.899306E-7 | 7.899306E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.765899E-4 | 4.765899E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0020409664 | 0.002050946 | 1.0048896 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011683988 | 0.024559189 | 0.024598207 | 1.0015887 | 4.0E-5 | 0.11088423 | 0.21358745 | 0.2136189 | 1.0001472 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.765899E-4 | 4.765899E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0020409664 | 0.002050946 | 1.0048896 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011683988 | 0.024559189 | 0.024598207 | 1.0015887 | 4.0E-5 | 0.11088423 | 0.21358745 | 0.2136189 | 1.0001472 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.198148E-4 | 4.6743007E-4 | 4.6743007E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.417233E-4 | 0.0020017705 | 0.0020117504 | 1.0049856 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011405343 | 0.024093311 | 0.024132347 | 1.0016202 | 4.0E-5 | 0.10837428 | 0.21002273 | 0.21005434 | 1.0001504 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1704129E-4 | 4.61786E-4 | 4.61786E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.298453E-4 | 0.0019776183 | 0.0019875986 | 1.0050466 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011262234 | 0.023806188 | 0.023845235 | 1.0016402 | 4.0E-5 | 0.107082725 | 0.20791386 | 0.20794554 | 1.0001523 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.876142E-4 | 4.0069973E-4 | 4.0069973E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.038131E-4 | 0.0017161687 | 0.0017261516 | 1.0058169 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00974259 | 0.02069201 | 0.020721389 | 1.0014198 | 3.0E-5 | 0.093263686 | 0.18466456 | 0.18468902 | 1.0001324 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7390939E-4 | 3.7501295E-4 | 3.7501295E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.45113E-4 | 0.0016062205 | 0.0016162045 | 1.0062158 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009034078 | 0.019379964 | 0.019409383 | 1.001518 | 3.0E-5 | 0.086755216 | 0.17448576 | 0.17451052 | 1.000142 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.591791E-4 | 3.4915E-4 | 3.4915E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8201777E-4 | 0.0014955092 | 0.0015054942 | 1.0066767 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008271996 | 0.0180564 | 0.01808586 | 1.0016315 | 3.0E-5 | 0.07970774 | 0.16389126 | 0.16391635 | 1.0001531 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4268003E-4 | 3.207982E-4 | 3.207982E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1134255E-4 | 0.0013741332 | 0.0013841194 | 1.0072674 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007417723 | 0.016602375 | 0.016631877 | 1.0017769 | 3.0E-5 | 0.07174956 | 0.15201627 | 0.1520417 | 1.0001674 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.239713E-4 | 2.907196E-4 | 2.907196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3119735E-4 | 0.0012453523 | 0.00125534 | 1.0080198 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064481674 | 0.015058189 | 0.015087737 | 1.0019623 | 3.0E-5 | 0.06264243 | 0.13845478 | 0.13848063 | 1.0001867 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0180238E-4 | 2.626881E-4 | 2.626881E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3622297E-4 | 0.0011253246 | 0.0011353134 | 1.0088763 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005298089 | 0.01361576 | 0.013645352 | 1.0021733 | 3.0E-5 | 0.05173543 | 0.12502305 | 0.12504931 | 1.0002099 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.6619996E-5 | 2.2410518E-4 | 2.2410518E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.283301E-4 | 9.6010044E-4 | 9.7009086E-4 | 1.0104055 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039900932 | 0.011627283 | 0.011656934 | 1.0025501 | 3.0E-5 | 0.039192066 | 0.107315965 | 0.10734274 | 1.0002495 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.5127435E-5 | 2.2093546E-4 | 2.2093546E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2193496E-4 | 9.4652583E-4 | 9.5651636E-4 | 1.0105549 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039125155 | 0.011463762 | 0.011493418 | 1.002587 | 3.0E-5 | 0.038443442 | 0.105879426 | 0.105906256 | 1.0002533 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.788582E-5 | 2.0220903E-4 | 2.0220903E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9090676E-4 | 8.6632534E-4 | 8.763167E-4 | 1.011533 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0035360386 | 0.010497142 | 0.010526827 | 1.0028279 | 3.0E-5 | 0.034803 | 0.097548544 | 0.09757562 | 1.0002775 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.399602E-5 | 1.8851408E-4 | 1.8851408E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7423984E-4 | 8.0767024E-4 | 8.1766216E-4 | 1.0123713 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033337586 | 0.009789639 | 0.009819346 | 1.0030345 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03284188 | 0.09144136 | 0.09146862 | 1.000298 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.506759E-5 | 1.2537304E-4 | 1.2537304E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9313251E-4 | 5.372033E-4 | 5.4719794E-4 | 1.0186049 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023488526 | 0.006521011 | 0.006550815 | 1.0045705 | 3.0E-5 | 0.023241805 | 0.06240201 | 0.062430136 | 1.0004507 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.43289E-5 | 9.3422175E-5 | 9.3422175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4711556E-4 | 4.003196E-4 | 4.103156E-4 | 1.02497 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017896603 | 0.0048630615 | 0.0048829643 | 1.0040927 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01775316 | 0.047086406 | 0.047105465 | 1.0004047 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.5980507E-5 | 7.059011E-5 | 7.059011E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1134028E-4 | 3.024941E-4 | 3.1249106E-4 | 1.0330485 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001354725 | 0.0036766704 | 0.003696597 | 1.0054197 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013464959 | 0.035867617 | 0.0358869 | 1.0005376 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7292105E-5 | 4.945756E-5 | 4.945756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4106916E-5 | 2.1194378E-4 | 2.2194166E-4 | 1.0471723 | 1.0E-5 | 9.018782E-4 | 0.0025773677 | 0.0025973162 | 1.0077399 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008982267 | 0.025313457 | 0.025332952 | 1.0007701 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.2927471E-5 | 3.9736922E-5 | 3.9736922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5402274E-5 | 1.7028999E-4 | 1.8028829E-4 | 1.0587133 | 1.0E-5 | 6.743139E-4 | 0.0020713117 | 0.0020912704 | 1.0096357 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0067227143 | 0.020451814 | 0.020471405 | 1.000958 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.0200774E-5 | 2.878063E-5 | 2.878063E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.371687E-5 | 1.2333973E-4 | 1.2333973E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.321229E-4 | 0.001500628 | 0.001510613 | 1.0066539 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005308505 | 0.015007469 | 0.0150173195 | 1.0006564 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 8.650396E-6 | 2.3307139E-5 | 2.3307139E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.70726E-5 | 9.988392E-5 | 9.988392E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5126543E-4 | 0.0012154091 | 0.001225397 | 1.0082177 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045035016 | 0.012224792 | 0.01223467 | 1.000808 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.9368224E-6 | 7.3403053E-6 | 7.3403053E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6871985E-5 | 3.1458072E-5 | 3.1458072E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0539707E-4 | 3.8293484E-4 | 3.8293484E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020520731 | 0.0040071714 | 0.0040071714 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.7101195E-6 | 2.2225386E-6 | 2.2225386E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.329063E-6 | 9.525131E-6 | 9.525131E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.922769E-5 | 1.1596233E-4 | 1.1596233E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9191867E-4 | 0.0012691239 | 0.0012691239 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 3.0346666E-8 | 1.7258422E-8 | 1.7258422E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3005713E-7 | 7.396467E-8 | 7.396467E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834444E-6 | 9.0051975E-7 | 9.0051975E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834332E-5 | 9.391192E-6 | 9.391192E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hosgri
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9129553E-5 | 2.9129553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.2483512E-4 | 1.2483512E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015037085 | 0.0015188352 | 0.0015188352 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01493574 | 0.015088335 | 0.015127731 | 1.002611 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9129553E-5 | 2.9129553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.2483512E-4 | 1.2483512E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015037085 | 0.0015188352 | 0.0015188352 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01493574 | 0.015088335 | 0.015127731 | 1.002611 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9129553E-5 | 2.9129553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.2483512E-4 | 1.2483512E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015037085 | 0.0015188352 | 0.0015188352 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01493574 | 0.015088335 | 0.015127731 | 1.002611 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.2914428E-5 | 2.2642877E-5 | 2.2642877E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.8200995E-5 | 9.703732E-5 | 9.703732E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011949413 | 0.001180794 | 0.001180794 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011885363 | 0.011746611 | 0.011766377 | 1.0016826 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0195741E-5 | 1.9697376E-5 | 1.9697376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.65503E-5 | 8.4414605E-5 | 8.4414605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010532405 | 0.0010272652 | 0.0010272652 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010482626 | 0.010226225 | 0.01024602 | 1.0019357 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9924333E-5 | 1.940979E-5 | 1.940979E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.53872E-5 | 8.3182174E-5 | 8.3182174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010390934 | 0.0010122744 | 0.0010122744 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010342481 | 0.010077681 | 0.01009748 | 1.0019646 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.809694E-5 | 1.7459057E-5 | 1.7459057E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7556004E-5 | 7.48224E-5 | 7.48224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.438353E-4 | 9.1058324E-4 | 9.1058324E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009398366 | 0.009069475 | 0.009079385 | 1.0010926 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.675989E-5 | 1.6043487E-5 | 1.6043487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.182612E-5 | 6.8755995E-5 | 6.8755995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7413215E-4 | 8.3678385E-4 | 8.3678385E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008707017 | 0.008337247 | 0.008337247 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.5401129E-5 | 1.46147695E-5 | 1.46147695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6003166E-5 | 6.2633226E-5 | 6.2633226E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.032922E-4 | 7.622936E-4 | 7.622936E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008003947 | 0.0075976625 | 0.0075976625 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.356559E-5 | 1.2690608E-5 | 1.2690608E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8136946E-5 | 5.4387187E-5 | 5.4387187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0758746E-4 | 6.6196325E-4 | 6.6196325E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007053386 | 0.00660073 | 0.00660073 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.2030819E-5 | 1.1096564E-5 | 1.1096564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.155963E-5 | 4.7555837E-5 | 4.7555837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.275577E-4 | 5.7883863E-4 | 5.7883863E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006257884 | 0.0057740803 | 0.0057740803 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0972698E-5 | 1.002276E-5 | 1.002276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7025E-5 | 4.295398E-5 | 4.295398E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.72379E-4 | 5.228393E-4 | 5.228393E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057090693 | 0.0052168546 | 0.0052168546 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.961926E-6 | 9.035306E-6 | 9.035306E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2693267E-5 | 3.8722166E-5 | 3.8722166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1966653E-4 | 4.7134046E-4 | 4.7134046E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00518453 | 0.0047041643 | 0.0047041643 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.700929E-6 | 7.82864E-6 | 7.82864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7289166E-5 | 3.3550885E-5 | 3.3550885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.53901E-4 | 4.0840547E-4 | 4.0840547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00452975 | 0.0040772995 | 0.0040772995 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.866285E-6 | 6.9992643E-6 | 6.9992643E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3712215E-5 | 2.9996501E-5 | 2.9996501E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.103689E-4 | 3.6514623E-4 | 3.6514623E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004096119 | 0.0036462103 | 0.0036462103 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.8381305E-6 | 5.9602016E-6 | 5.9602016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9305946E-5 | 2.5543472E-5 | 2.5543472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5674145E-4 | 3.109474E-4 | 3.109474E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035616932 | 0.0031058686 | 0.0031058686 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.503376E-6 | 4.595722E-6 | 4.595722E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3585684E-5 | 1.9695804E-5 | 1.9695804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8711787E-4 | 2.3977004E-4 | 2.3977004E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002867472 | 0.002395857 | 0.002395857 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.6144982E-6 | 2.652648E-6 | 2.652648E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5490614E-5 | 1.1368442E-5 | 1.1368442E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8858191E-4 | 1.38402E-4 | 1.38402E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018842196 | 0.0013838996 | 0.0013838996 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.9853494E-6 | 1.1364623E-6 | 1.1364623E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.508612E-6 | 4.8705438E-6 | 4.8705438E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0358743E-4 | 5.9297257E-5 | 5.9297257E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010353916 | 5.9355353E-4 | 5.9355353E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.1818757E-6 | 5.2977657E-7 | 5.2977657E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0651715E-6 | 2.270469E-6 | 2.270469E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1666724E-5 | 2.764261E-5 | 2.764261E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1649614E-4 | 2.7709026E-4 | 2.7709026E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.962958E-7 | 2.7157213E-7 | 2.7157213E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9841215E-6 | 1.16388E-6 | 1.16388E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6331072E-5 | 1.4170147E-5 | 1.4170147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6325134E-4 | 1.4226405E-4 | 1.4226405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.5033264E-7 | 6.531285E-8 | 6.531285E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.442826E-7 | 2.7991217E-7 | 2.7991217E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.844113E-6 | 3.4079253E-6 | 3.4079253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.843835E-5 | 3.4098088E-5 | 3.4098088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Deep Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3113951E-5 | 2.3113951E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.905889E-5 | 9.905889E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058824 | 0.0012258583 | 1.0165653 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012043174 | 0.012092572 | 1.0041018 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3113951E-5 | 2.3113951E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.905889E-5 | 9.905889E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058824 | 0.0012258583 | 1.0165653 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012043174 | 0.012092572 | 1.0041018 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3113951E-5 | 2.3113951E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.905889E-5 | 9.905889E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058824 | 0.0012258583 | 1.0165653 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012043174 | 0.012092572 | 1.0041018 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3113951E-5 | 2.3113951E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.905889E-5 | 9.905889E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058824 | 0.0012258583 | 1.0165653 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012043174 | 0.012092572 | 1.0041018 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3113951E-5 | 2.3113951E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.905889E-5 | 9.905889E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058824 | 0.0012258583 | 1.0165653 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012043174 | 0.012092572 | 1.0041018 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7190405E-5 | 2.0051797E-5 | 2.0051797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.593627E-5 | 8.593627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.0010462739 | 0.0010662529 | 1.0190954 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008929676 | 0.010462707 | 0.010512184 | 1.0047289 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.7190405E-5 | 2.0051797E-5 | 2.0051797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.593627E-5 | 8.593627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.0010462739 | 0.0010662529 | 1.0190954 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008929676 | 0.010462707 | 0.010512184 | 1.0047289 | 5.0E-5 |
Ortigalita (North)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.711876E-5 | 1.0506753E-4 | 1.0506753E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3046713E-4 | 4.5021353E-4 | 4.60209E-4 | 1.0222017 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004016016 | 0.0054687243 | 0.0054985606 | 1.0054557 | 3.0E-5 | 0.039442103 | 0.053461947 | 0.05349981 | 1.0007082 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.607858E-5 | 6.024671E-5 | 6.024671E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.581762E-4 | 2.6817364E-4 | 1.0387232 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024014818 | 0.0031390847 | 0.0031490533 | 1.0031756 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023756953 | 0.030978667 | 0.030998047 | 1.0006256 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.607858E-5 | 6.024671E-5 | 6.024671E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.581762E-4 | 2.6817364E-4 | 1.0387232 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024014818 | 0.0031390847 | 0.0031490533 | 1.0031756 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023756953 | 0.030978667 | 0.030998047 | 1.0006256 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.327423E-5 | 4.2480624E-5 | 4.2480624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4259605E-4 | 1.8204846E-4 | 1.8204846E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017347244 | 0.0022144336 | 0.0022144336 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017212452 | 0.021947961 | 0.021947961 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.7732503E-5 | 3.5002526E-5 | 3.5002526E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1884817E-4 | 1.5000331E-4 | 1.5000331E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001446016 | 0.0018249959 | 0.0018249959 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014366428 | 0.018123066 | 0.018123066 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.7689714E-5 | 3.4952336E-5 | 3.4952336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.186648E-4 | 1.4978823E-4 | 1.4978823E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014437864 | 0.0018223816 | 0.0018223816 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014344421 | 0.01809735 | 0.01809735 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.2976905E-5 | 2.8721062E-5 | 2.8721062E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.846873E-5 | 1.2308579E-4 | 1.2308579E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011981975 | 0.0014977776 | 0.0014977776 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011917574 | 0.014900144 | 0.014900144 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.9871539E-5 | 2.4907065E-5 | 2.4907065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.516096E-5 | 1.067416E-4 | 1.067416E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010363415 | 0.0012990459 | 0.0012990459 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010315218 | 0.012938186 | 0.012938186 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 6.5640475E-6 | 7.6059414E-6 | 7.6059414E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.813133E-5 | 3.25965E-5 | 3.25965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.424451E-4 | 3.9679298E-4 | 3.9679298E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034191788 | 0.0039611324 | 0.0039611324 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.6219683E-6 | 6.5022164E-6 | 6.5022164E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4093928E-5 | 2.7866357E-5 | 2.7866357E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.933041E-4 | 3.3922266E-4 | 3.3922266E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029291727 | 0.0033873057 | 0.0033873057 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.875591E-6 | 4.485017E-6 | 4.485017E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6609569E-5 | 1.9221372E-5 | 1.9221372E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0220275E-4 | 2.3399718E-4 | 2.3399718E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020201886 | 0.0023377163 | 0.0023377163 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.6017933E-6 | 1.8571518E-6 | 1.8571518E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8648105E-6 | 7.959204E-6 | 7.959204E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.357586E-5 | 9.690007E-5 | 9.690007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3544437E-4 | 9.6868287E-4 | 9.6868287E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (South Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.113755E-6 | 1.4113714E-5 | 3.430859 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630264E-5 | 3.762991E-5 | 2.134393 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462796E-4 | 2.446215E-4 | 1.1397468 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442706 | 0.002184185 | 1.0186144 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.113755E-6 | 1.4113714E-5 | 3.430859 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630264E-5 | 3.762991E-5 | 2.134393 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462796E-4 | 2.446215E-4 | 1.1397468 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442706 | 0.002184185 | 1.0186144 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.113755E-6 | 1.4113714E-5 | 3.430859 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630264E-5 | 3.762991E-5 | 2.134393 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462796E-4 | 2.446215E-4 | 1.1397468 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442706 | 0.002184185 | 1.0186144 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.113755E-6 | 1.4113714E-5 | 3.430859 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630264E-5 | 3.762991E-5 | 2.134393 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462796E-4 | 2.446215E-4 | 1.1397468 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442706 | 0.002184185 | 1.0186144 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.113755E-6 | 1.4113714E-5 | 3.430859 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630264E-5 | 3.762991E-5 | 2.134393 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462796E-4 | 2.446215E-4 | 1.1397468 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442706 | 0.002184185 | 1.0186144 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.9849807E-6 | 2.9731757E-6 | 1.2973146E-5 | 4.363397 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2792712E-5 | 1.274212E-5 | 3.2741864E-5 | 2.5695775 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5574014E-4 | 1.5512442E-4 | 1.7512131E-4 | 1.1289088 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015563103 | 0.0015501765 | 0.0015701456 | 1.0128818 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9849807E-6 | 2.9731757E-6 | 1.2973146E-5 | 4.363397 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2792712E-5 | 1.274212E-5 | 3.2741864E-5 | 2.5695775 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5574014E-4 | 1.5512442E-4 | 1.7512131E-4 | 1.1289088 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015563103 | 0.0015501765 | 0.0015701456 | 1.0128818 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6756725E-6 | 2.6582395E-6 | 1.2658213E-5 | 4.761878 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1467117E-5 | 1.1392406E-5 | 3.1392177E-5 | 2.7555354 | 2.0E-5 | 1.396032E-4 | 1.3869382E-4 | 1.5869105E-4 | 1.1441826 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013951553 | 0.0013860837 | 0.0014060559 | 1.0144092 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.3283721E-6 | 2.3047953E-6 | 1.2304772E-5 | 5.33877 | 1.0E-5 | 9.9787E-6 | 9.877657E-6 | 2.987746E-5 | 3.0247517 | 2.0E-5 | 1.214839E-4 | 1.2025391E-4 | 1.402515E-4 | 1.1662947 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001214175 | 0.0012018959 | 0.0012218718 | 1.0166204 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.0972677E-6 | 2.0696561E-6 | 2.0696561E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.988259E-6 | 8.869925E-6 | 1.8869836E-5 | 2.1273952 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0942656E-4 | 1.07986045E-4 | 1.17984964E-4 | 1.0925945 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010937268 | 0.0010793415 | 0.0010893308 | 1.0092549 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7132242E-6 | 1.678716E-6 | 1.678716E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3423685E-6 | 7.1944773E-6 | 1.7194405E-5 | 2.389945 | 1.0E-5 | 8.938967E-5 | 8.758928E-5 | 9.75884E-5 | 1.1141592 | 1.0E-5 | 8.935372E-4 | 8.755514E-4 | 8.8554266E-4 | 1.0114114 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.4215541E-6 | 1.3815855E-6 | 1.3815855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0923603E-6 | 5.9210674E-6 | 5.9210674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.417196E-5 | 7.208664E-5 | 7.208664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.414721E-4 | 7.206353E-4 | 7.206353E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.097853E-7 | 8.603843E-7 | 8.603843E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.899074E-6 | 3.6873562E-6 | 3.6873562E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7470192E-5 | 4.4892648E-5 | 4.4892648E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7460053E-4 | 4.488369E-4 | 4.488369E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.144169E-7 | 5.628253E-7 | 5.628253E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6332125E-6 | 2.4121061E-6 | 2.4121061E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.205889E-5 | 2.9367E-5 | 2.9367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2054266E-4 | 2.9363172E-4 | 2.9363172E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.049844E-7 | 3.572863E-7 | 3.572863E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7356463E-6 | 1.5312261E-6 | 1.5312261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1131287E-5 | 1.864252E-5 | 1.864252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1129279E-4 | 1.8640982E-4 | 1.8640982E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.9871162E-7 | 1.5830601E-7 | 1.5830601E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5162094E-7 | 6.7845417E-7 | 6.7845417E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0368436E-5 | 8.260149E-6 | 8.260149E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0367952E-4 | 8.2598504E-5 | 8.2598504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7352981E-8 | 1.7352981E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.436992E-8 | 7.436992E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.054535E-7 | 9.054535E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.054503E-6 | 9.054503E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Channel Islands Thrust
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.409281E-5 | 2.409281E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0325141E-4 | 1.0325141E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564675 | 0.0012864298 | 1.0238465 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012504227 | 0.012533852 | 1.0023692 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.409281E-5 | 2.409281E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0325141E-4 | 1.0325141E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564675 | 0.0012864298 | 1.0238465 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012504227 | 0.012533852 | 1.0023692 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.409281E-5 | 2.409281E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0325141E-4 | 1.0325141E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564675 | 0.0012864298 | 1.0238465 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012504227 | 0.012533852 | 1.0023692 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.409281E-5 | 2.409281E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0325141E-4 | 1.0325141E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564675 | 0.0012864298 | 1.0238465 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012504227 | 0.012533852 | 1.0023692 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.409281E-5 | 2.409281E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0325141E-4 | 1.0325141E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564675 | 0.0012864298 | 1.0238465 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012504227 | 0.012533852 | 1.0023692 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.409281E-5 | 2.409281E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0325141E-4 | 1.0325141E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564675 | 0.0012864298 | 1.0238465 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012504227 | 0.012533852 | 1.0023692 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.409281E-5 | 2.409281E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0325141E-4 | 1.0325141E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564675 | 0.0012864298 | 1.0238465 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012504227 | 0.012533852 | 1.0023692 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0601296E-5 | 1.1379858E-5 | 1.1379858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5433335E-5 | 4.8769936E-5 | 4.8769936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5301044E-4 | 5.936171E-4 | 6.136052E-4 | 1.0336717 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005516363 | 0.0059208167 | 0.005940698 | 1.0033579 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0246747E-5 | 1.0996972E-5 | 1.0996972E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.391389E-5 | 4.7129055E-5 | 4.7129055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.345204E-4 | 5.7364994E-4 | 5.936385E-4 | 1.0348445 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0053323656 | 0.0057221823 | 0.0057420675 | 1.0034752 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.049551E-6 | 9.699907E-6 | 9.699907E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.878322E-5 | 4.157039E-5 | 4.157039E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7208337E-4 | 5.060061E-4 | 5.25996E-4 | 1.0395052 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0047108172 | 0.0050489567 | 0.005068856 | 1.0039412 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.6542195E-6 | 9.274854E-6 | 9.274854E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7088983E-5 | 3.9748793E-5 | 3.9748793E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5146482E-4 | 4.8383817E-4 | 4.9383333E-4 | 1.020658 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004505487 | 0.0048282593 | 0.0048382115 | 1.0020611 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.391028E-6 | 8.993168E-6 | 8.993168E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5961057E-5 | 3.8541606E-5 | 3.8541606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3773788E-4 | 4.6914708E-4 | 4.7914239E-4 | 1.0213053 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004368766 | 0.004681977 | 0.00469193 | 1.0021259 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.965188E-6 | 6.3718603E-6 | 6.3718603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556484E-5 | 2.7307691E-5 | 2.7307691E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1120746E-4 | 3.3242095E-4 | 3.4241762E-4 | 1.0300723 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00310772 | 0.0033192951 | 0.003329262 | 1.0030026 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.877518E-6 | 5.2061405E-6 | 5.2061405E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0903482E-5 | 2.2311842E-5 | 2.2311842E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5447016E-4 | 2.7161327E-4 | 2.8161056E-4 | 1.0368071 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025417898 | 0.0027128593 | 0.0027228321 | 1.0036762 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.8829853E-6 | 4.1419694E-6 | 4.1419694E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.664126E-5 | 1.7751177E-5 | 1.7751177E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0258849E-4 | 2.1609958E-4 | 2.2609741E-4 | 1.046265 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002024039 | 0.002158936 | 0.0021689145 | 1.0046219 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3489616E-6 | 1.4278249E-6 | 1.4278249E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7812517E-6 | 6.119236E-6 | 6.119236E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.038446E-5 | 7.4499185E-5 | 8.4498446E-5 | 1.1342196 | 1.0E-5 | 7.036218E-4 | 7.447461E-4 | 7.5473863E-4 | 1.0134174 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.058192E-7 | 6.3539284E-7 | 6.3539284E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5963652E-6 | 2.7231094E-6 | 2.7231094E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.161029E-5 | 3.315337E-5 | 3.315337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1605794E-4 | 3.3148585E-4 | 3.3148585E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.2170494E-7 | 2.2608393E-7 | 2.2608393E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5016367E-7 | 9.689309E-7 | 9.689309E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1568181E-5 | 1.179668E-5 | 1.179668E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1567579E-4 | 1.17961645E-4 | 1.17961645E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.1613102E-8 | 1.546692E-8 | 1.546692E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.262757E-8 | 6.62868E-8 | 6.62868E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277401E-6 | 8.070416E-7 | 8.070416E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277344E-5 | 8.070394E-6 | 8.070394E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Whittier alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7255624E-5 | 4.7255624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.025102E-4 | 2.025102E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024630958 | 0.0024730712 | 1.0040499 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02196019 | 0.02439201 | 0.024431035 | 1.0015999 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7255624E-5 | 4.7255624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.025102E-4 | 2.025102E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024630958 | 0.0024730712 | 1.0040499 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02196019 | 0.02439201 | 0.024431035 | 1.0015999 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7255624E-5 | 4.7255624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.025102E-4 | 2.025102E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024630958 | 0.0024730712 | 1.0040499 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02196019 | 0.02439201 | 0.024431035 | 1.0015999 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9617712E-5 | 1.8270359E-5 | 1.8270359E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.40732E-5 | 7.829929E-5 | 7.829929E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010231105 | 9.5289596E-4 | 9.5289596E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01018413 | 0.009491394 | 0.009511204 | 1.0020871 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5611336E-5 | 1.360576E-5 | 1.360576E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.690401E-5 | 5.8309128E-5 | 5.8309128E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.142519E-4 | 7.096884E-4 | 7.096884E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008112748 | 0.0070761903 | 0.007096049 | 1.0028064 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5150166E-5 | 1.3102396E-5 | 1.3102396E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.492767E-5 | 5.6151952E-5 | 5.6151952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9020765E-4 | 6.8344147E-4 | 6.8344147E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007874036 | 0.0068153515 | 0.0068352153 | 1.0029145 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.295588E-5 | 1.0381964E-5 | 1.0381964E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.552402E-5 | 4.4493383E-5 | 4.4493383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7579525E-4 | 5.4157426E-4 | 5.4157426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006737438 | 0.005404085 | 0.005423977 | 1.003681 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2542085E-5 | 9.900576E-6 | 9.900576E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3750682E-5 | 4.2430358E-5 | 4.2430358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.542181E-4 | 5.1646907E-4 | 5.1646907E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006522954 | 0.005154219 | 0.005174116 | 1.0038604 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2195878E-5 | 9.496578E-6 | 9.496578E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2267E-5 | 4.0698997E-5 | 4.0698997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.36165E-4 | 4.9539946E-4 | 4.9539946E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063434686 | 0.0049443915 | 0.0049642925 | 1.004025 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1580298E-5 | 8.774025E-6 | 8.774025E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9628903E-5 | 3.7602433E-5 | 3.7602433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.040644E-4 | 4.577151E-4 | 4.577151E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00602425 | 0.004569058 | 0.0045889667 | 1.0043572 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0964795E-5 | 8.085022E-6 | 8.085022E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6991136E-5 | 3.4649645E-5 | 3.4649645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7196687E-4 | 4.217793E-4 | 4.217793E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057049696 | 0.004211034 | 0.00423095 | 1.0047294 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0230601E-5 | 7.327519E-6 | 7.327519E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3844695E-5 | 3.1403284E-5 | 3.1403284E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.336784E-4 | 3.822692E-4 | 3.822692E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005323986 | 0.0038172458 | 0.0038371694 | 1.0052193 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.40865E-6 | 6.5440463E-6 | 6.5440463E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.032216E-5 | 2.8045617E-5 | 2.8045617E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.908117E-4 | 3.4140312E-4 | 3.4140312E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048972913 | 0.0034098423 | 0.003419808 | 1.0029227 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.237384E-6 | 5.598399E-6 | 5.598399E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5302593E-5 | 2.3992925E-5 | 2.3992925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2972428E-4 | 2.9207577E-4 | 2.9207577E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042889426 | 0.0029172213 | 0.002927192 | 1.003418 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.5316966E-6 | 5.028401E-6 | 5.028401E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2278298E-5 | 2.1550117E-5 | 2.1550117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9291743E-4 | 2.623421E-4 | 2.623421E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039222343 | 0.0026204356 | 0.0026304096 | 1.0038061 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.149649E-6 | 3.9343145E-6 | 3.9343145E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6355372E-5 | 1.6861244E-5 | 1.6861244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.208294E-4 | 2.052672E-4 | 2.052672E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003203666 | 0.0020508654 | 0.0020508654 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.457711E-6 | 3.395787E-6 | 3.395787E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.338998E-5 | 1.4553296E-5 | 1.4553296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8473578E-4 | 1.7717278E-4 | 1.7717278E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028437122 | 0.0017703961 | 0.0017703961 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.1676276E-6 | 2.3334906E-6 | 2.3334906E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7861139E-5 | 1.0000639E-5 | 1.0000639E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1743766E-4 | 1.2175173E-4 | 1.2175173E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021722503 | 0.0012169234 | 0.0012169234 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.386213E-8 | 9.386213E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0226624E-7 | 4.0226624E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.8975835E-6 | 4.8975835E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.8975086E-5 | 4.8975086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4400376E-9 | 3.4400376E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.47430175E-8 | 1.47430175E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7949623E-7 | 1.7949623E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.794961E-6 | 1.794961E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ortigalita (South)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.72394E-5 | 4.325821E-5 | 4.325821E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5958765E-4 | 1.8538003E-4 | 1.9537818E-4 | 1.0539333 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019412481 | 0.002254822 | 0.002274777 | 1.0088499 | 2.0E-5 | 0.019243775 | 0.022335833 | 0.02237494 | 1.0017508 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.7299884E-5 | 3.1493837E-5 | 3.1493837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16994255E-4 | 1.3496693E-4 | 1.4496558E-4 | 1.0740823 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014234743 | 0.0016420396 | 0.0016620067 | 1.01216 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014143906 | 0.016304998 | 0.01633451 | 1.00181 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.7299884E-5 | 3.1493837E-5 | 3.1493837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16994255E-4 | 1.3496693E-4 | 1.4496558E-4 | 1.0740823 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014234743 | 0.0016420396 | 0.0016620067 | 1.01216 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014143906 | 0.016304998 | 0.01633451 | 1.00181 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0546433E-5 | 2.3632774E-5 | 2.3632774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.805317E-5 | 1.012795E-4 | 1.012795E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00107152 | 0.0012323994 | 0.001242387 | 1.0081042 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010663681 | 0.012257713 | 0.012277468 | 1.0016116 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0546433E-5 | 2.3632774E-5 | 2.3632774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.805317E-5 | 1.012795E-4 | 1.012795E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00107152 | 0.0012323994 | 0.001242387 | 1.0081042 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010663681 | 0.012257713 | 0.012277468 | 1.0016116 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7779594E-5 | 2.0448118E-5 | 2.0448118E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.619603E-5 | 8.7631925E-5 | 8.7631925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.272918E-4 | 0.0010664101 | 0.0010763995 | 1.0093672 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009234319 | 0.010614394 | 0.010634182 | 1.0018642 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.6272212E-5 | 1.8716015E-5 | 1.8716015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.973618E-5 | 8.0209094E-5 | 8.0209094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.487073E-4 | 9.761205E-4 | 9.761205E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008454733 | 0.009719632 | 0.009729534 | 1.0010189 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3051484E-5 | 1.5039612E-5 | 1.5039612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.593373E-5 | 6.445394E-5 | 6.445394E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.807804E-4 | 7.844537E-4 | 7.844537E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006786986 | 0.00781783 | 0.00781783 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.04277415E-5 | 1.1987902E-5 | 1.1987902E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4689557E-5 | 5.1375755E-5 | 5.1375755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.439595E-4 | 6.2532775E-4 | 6.2532775E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054262993 | 0.006236436 | 0.006236436 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.639968E-6 | 8.791996E-6 | 8.791996E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.274231E-5 | 3.7679474E-5 | 3.7679474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9856473E-4 | 4.586569E-4 | 4.586569E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003978506 | 0.0045776893 | 0.0045776893 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.919831E-6 | 4.533665E-6 | 4.533665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.679917E-5 | 1.9429861E-5 | 1.9429861E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.045107E-4 | 2.36535E-4 | 2.36535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020432258 | 0.002363041 | 0.002363041 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.6017933E-6 | 1.8571518E-6 | 1.8571518E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8648105E-6 | 7.959204E-6 | 7.959204E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.357586E-5 | 9.690007E-5 | 9.690007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3544437E-4 | 9.6868287E-4 | 9.6868287E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2706755E-5 | 1.4251968E-5 | 1.4251968E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4456385E-5 | 6.107864E-5 | 6.107864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.628048E-4 | 7.4341526E-4 | 7.5340783E-4 | 1.0134414 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006608314 | 0.007414317 | 0.0074540204 | 1.005355 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.342579E-6 | 9.51205E-6 | 9.51205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5753423E-5 | 4.0765415E-5 | 4.0765415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3521097E-4 | 4.9622764E-4 | 5.0622266E-4 | 1.0201421 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0043435963 | 0.004954756 | 0.0049746567 | 1.0040165 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.923899E-6 | 7.968385E-6 | 7.968385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9673516E-5 | 3.4149885E-5 | 3.4149885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6121515E-4 | 4.1571475E-4 | 4.1571475E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003606286 | 0.0041526845 | 0.0041626426 | 1.0023981 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.728396E-6 | 3.425389E-6 | 3.425389E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1693074E-5 | 1.4680161E-5 | 1.4680161E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4235388E-4 | 1.7871716E-4 | 1.7871716E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014226272 | 0.0017872467 | 0.0017972287 | 1.0055852 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7136944E-6 | 3.409682E-6 | 3.409682E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1630066E-5 | 1.4612846E-5 | 1.4612846E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4158686E-4 | 1.7789775E-4 | 1.7789775E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014149669 | 0.0017790655 | 0.0017890477 | 1.005611 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.6971882E-6 | 3.3920267E-6 | 3.3920267E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1559327E-5 | 1.45371805E-5 | 1.45371805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4072572E-4 | 1.7697667E-4 | 1.7697667E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014063664 | 0.0017698695 | 0.0017798517 | 1.0056401 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.669092E-6 | 3.3620463E-6 | 3.3620463E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1438916E-5 | 1.4408695E-5 | 1.4408695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3925991E-4 | 1.7541261E-4 | 1.7541261E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013917267 | 0.0017542536 | 0.001764236 | 1.0056905 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6408059E-6 | 3.3320714E-6 | 3.3320714E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1317691E-5 | 1.4280232E-5 | 1.4280232E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3778417E-4 | 1.7384882E-4 | 1.7384882E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013769877 | 0.0017386402 | 0.0017486229 | 1.0057416 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.1786943E-6 | 2.855523E-6 | 2.855523E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.337228E-6 | 1.2237902E-5 | 1.2237902E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1367482E-4 | 1.48987E-4 | 1.48987E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011361669 | 0.0014903698 | 0.001500355 | 1.0066998 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.4411696E-6 | 2.069546E-6 | 2.069546E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1764263E-6 | 8.869455E-6 | 8.869455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.51954E-5 | 1.0798054E-4 | 1.0798054E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5169955E-4 | 0.0010807347 | 0.0010907238 | 1.009243 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0073411E-6 | 1.5552022E-6 | 1.5552022E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.317169E-6 | 6.6651364E-6 | 6.6651364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2560266E-5 | 8.114517E-5 | 8.114517E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2547833E-4 | 8.1259804E-4 | 8.1259804E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.947104E-7 | 1.4311768E-6 | 1.4311768E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.834468E-6 | 6.1336013E-6 | 6.1336013E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6683643E-5 | 7.4674186E-5 | 7.4674186E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6673836E-4 | 7.479334E-4 | 7.479334E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.215166E-7 | 1.0120318E-6 | 1.0120318E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2350691E-6 | 4.337272E-6 | 4.337272E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7211627E-5 | 5.2805055E-5 | 5.2805055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7208295E-4 | 5.293574E-4 | 5.293574E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.4024807E-7 | 9.227983E-7 | 9.227983E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8867761E-6 | 3.954844E-6 | 3.954844E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2971257E-5 | 4.8149202E-5 | 4.8149202E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2968883E-4 | 4.8281986E-4 | 4.8281986E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.6130905E-7 | 8.366664E-7 | 8.366664E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5484665E-6 | 3.5857086E-6 | 3.5857086E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8852415E-5 | 4.3655164E-5 | 4.3655164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8850817E-4 | 4.3788858E-4 | 4.3788858E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.408184E-7 | 8.11612E-7 | 8.11612E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4606494E-6 | 3.4783327E-6 | 3.4783327E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7783263E-5 | 4.2347918E-5 | 4.2347918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.778184E-4 | 4.2480076E-4 | 4.2480076E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.1428627E-7 | 7.7393025E-7 | 7.7393025E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3469405E-6 | 3.31684E-6 | 3.31684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6398877E-5 | 4.0381816E-5 | 4.0381816E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6397667E-4 | 4.051192E-4 | 4.051192E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7972785E-7 | 5.083593E-7 | 5.083593E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70262E-7 | 2.178681E-6 | 2.178681E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377899E-6 | 2.6525127E-5 | 2.6525127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377503E-5 | 2.665951E-4 | 2.665951E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.9230927E-8 | 1.199435E-7 | 1.199435E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1098968E-7 | 5.1404345E-7 | 5.1404345E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687964E-6 | 6.2584627E-6 | 6.2584627E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687666E-5 | 6.302152E-5 | 6.302152E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.6805972E-9 | 4.110124E-9 | 4.110124E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5773987E-8 | 1.7614816E-8 | 1.7614816E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9204828E-7 | 2.1446036E-7 | 2.1446036E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.920481E-6 | 2.1926892E-6 | 2.1926892E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Dry Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4394644E-6 | 1.64394E-5 | 2.5529141 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597504E-5 | 4.759695E-5 | 1.7246833 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.359637E-4 | 3.7595027E-4 | 1.1190205 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.00335612 | 0.003395986 | 1.0118785 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4394644E-6 | 1.64394E-5 | 2.5529141 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597504E-5 | 4.759695E-5 | 1.7246833 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.359637E-4 | 3.7595027E-4 | 1.1190205 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.00335612 | 0.003395986 | 1.0118785 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4394644E-6 | 1.64394E-5 | 2.5529141 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597504E-5 | 4.759695E-5 | 1.7246833 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.359637E-4 | 3.7595027E-4 | 1.1190205 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.00335612 | 0.003395986 | 1.0118785 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4394644E-6 | 1.64394E-5 | 2.5529141 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597504E-5 | 4.759695E-5 | 1.7246833 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.359637E-4 | 3.7595027E-4 | 1.1190205 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.00335612 | 0.003395986 | 1.0118785 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4394644E-6 | 1.64394E-5 | 2.5529141 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597504E-5 | 4.759695E-5 | 1.7246833 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.359637E-4 | 3.7595027E-4 | 1.1190205 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.00335612 | 0.003395986 | 1.0118785 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.8528623E-6 | 2.9522066E-6 | 2.9522066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.22264955E-5 | 1.2652302E-5 | 2.2652175E-5 | 1.7903601 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4884741E-4 | 1.5403959E-4 | 1.8403496E-4 | 1.1947252 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014874774 | 0.0015401816 | 0.0015701354 | 1.0194483 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.8528623E-6 | 2.9522066E-6 | 2.9522066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.22264955E-5 | 1.2652302E-5 | 2.2652175E-5 | 1.7903601 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4884741E-4 | 1.5403959E-4 | 1.8403496E-4 | 1.1947252 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014874774 | 0.0015401816 | 0.0015701354 | 1.0194483 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.541E-6 | 2.629392E-6 | 2.629392E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0889954E-5 | 1.1268822E-5 | 2.126871E-5 | 1.8873942 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3257713E-4 | 1.3719792E-4 | 1.671938E-4 | 1.2186322 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013249806 | 0.0013719791 | 0.0014019379 | 1.0218363 | 3.0E-5 |
Cleghorn Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.679474E-5 | 1.679474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.197578E-5 | 8.1975064E-5 | 1.1389257 | 1.0E-5 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.760077E-4 | 8.9599023E-4 | 1.0228108 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008038137 | 0.008730974 | 0.008770624 | 1.0045414 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.679474E-5 | 1.679474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.197578E-5 | 8.1975064E-5 | 1.1389257 | 1.0E-5 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.760077E-4 | 8.9599023E-4 | 1.0228108 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008038137 | 0.008730974 | 0.008770624 | 1.0045414 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3681972E-5 | 1.3681972E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.863598E-5 | 6.863539E-5 | 1.1705338 | 1.0E-5 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.137079E-4 | 7.336936E-4 | 1.0280026 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0065657445 | 0.0071189534 | 0.0071586687 | 1.0055788 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3681972E-5 | 1.3681972E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.863598E-5 | 6.863539E-5 | 1.1705338 | 1.0E-5 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.137079E-4 | 7.336936E-4 | 1.0280026 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0065657445 | 0.0071189534 | 0.0071586687 | 1.0055788 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.417684E-6 | 1.0170421E-5 | 1.0170421E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.036088E-5 | 4.358702E-5 | 5.3586584E-5 | 1.2294161 | 1.0E-5 | 4.912829E-4 | 5.3058384E-4 | 5.505732E-4 | 1.0376743 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004901982 | 0.005297207 | 0.005317101 | 1.0037556 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.368219E-6 | 1.0117847E-5 | 1.0117847E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.014889E-5 | 4.336171E-5 | 5.3361277E-5 | 1.2306082 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8870314E-4 | 5.27842E-4 | 5.4783147E-4 | 1.0378702 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004876298 | 0.0052699186 | 0.005289813 | 1.0037751 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.803798E-6 | 8.442088E-6 | 8.442088E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3444423E-5 | 3.6180103E-5 | 4.617974E-5 | 1.2763851 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0710976E-4 | 4.4044363E-4 | 4.5043923E-4 | 1.0226943 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040636472 | 0.004399624 | 0.0044095805 | 1.002263 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.3108669E-6 | 2.443886E-6 | 2.443886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.903678E-6 | 1.04737555E-5 | 1.04737555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.205706E-4 | 1.275107E-4 | 1.275107E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001205052 | 0.001274394 | 0.001274394 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.0882828E-6 | 2.2063284E-6 | 2.2063284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.949753E-6 | 9.455661E-6 | 9.455661E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08957785E-4 | 1.1511675E-4 | 1.1511675E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010890438 | 0.001150588 | 0.001150588 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.876935E-6 | 1.9810918E-6 | 1.9810918E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.043982E-6 | 8.490367E-6 | 8.490367E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7931086E-5 | 1.0336548E-4 | 1.0336548E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.788794E-4 | 0.0010331899 | 0.0010331899 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.5357559E-6 | 1.6203138E-6 | 1.6203138E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5817944E-6 | 6.9441844E-6 | 6.9441844E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.01304E-5 | 8.454229E-5 | 8.454229E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.010151E-4 | 8.4511377E-4 | 8.4511377E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1497851E-6 | 1.1497851E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.927642E-6 | 4.927642E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.999249E-5 | 5.999249E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.997727E-4 | 5.997727E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.387403E-7 | 6.387403E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7374558E-6 | 2.7374558E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3328084E-5 | 3.3328084E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.3323772E-4 | 3.3323772E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4091874E-5 | 2.4091874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.03247374E-4 | 1.03247374E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012564126 | 0.0012664 | 1.0079491 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012503116 | 0.012542616 | 1.0031592 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4091874E-5 | 2.4091874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.03247374E-4 | 1.03247374E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012564126 | 0.0012664 | 1.0079491 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012503116 | 0.012542616 | 1.0031592 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4091874E-5 | 2.4091874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.03247374E-4 | 1.03247374E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012564126 | 0.0012664 | 1.0079491 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012503116 | 0.012542616 | 1.0031592 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.3638495E-5 | 1.3638495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.8449474E-5 | 5.8449474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010690069 | 7.1140623E-4 | 7.1140623E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01063879 | 0.007092915 | 0.007112773 | 1.0027997 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.3638495E-5 | 1.3638495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.8449474E-5 | 5.8449474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010690069 | 7.1140623E-4 | 7.1140623E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01063879 | 0.007092915 | 0.007112773 | 1.0027997 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7316182E-5 | 1.0477285E-5 | 1.0477285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.42101E-5 | 4.490193E-5 | 4.490193E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0313336E-4 | 5.465539E-4 | 5.465539E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008994718 | 0.0054530925 | 0.005463038 | 1.0018238 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5251077E-5 | 8.414369E-6 | 8.414369E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.536012E-5 | 3.6061123E-5 | 3.6061123E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9546886E-4 | 4.3896298E-4 | 4.3896298E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007926274 | 0.004381676 | 0.0043916325 | 1.0022722 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2997425E-5 | 6.411381E-6 | 6.411381E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.570206E-5 | 2.7477085E-5 | 2.7477085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7796157E-4 | 3.344868E-4 | 3.344868E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067589693 | 0.0033402937 | 0.0033402937 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.035386E-5 | 4.333303E-6 | 4.333303E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.437293E-5 | 1.857117E-5 | 1.857117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.401065E-4 | 2.2608142E-4 | 2.2608142E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053879567 | 0.002258601 | 0.002258601 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.816252E-6 | 3.5807332E-6 | 3.5807332E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.778339E-5 | 1.5345913E-5 | 1.5345913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5991567E-4 | 1.8682105E-4 | 1.8682105E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00458965 | 0.0018666985 | 0.0018666985 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.8232207E-6 | 2.5675663E-6 | 2.5675663E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9242048E-5 | 1.1003811E-5 | 1.1003811E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5596377E-4 | 1.3396348E-4 | 1.3396348E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035539411 | 0.0013388583 | 0.0013388583 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.837013E-6 | 2.2274205E-6 | 2.2274205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.501553E-5 | 9.5460555E-6 | 9.5460555E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.045215E-4 | 1.16217314E-4 | 1.16217314E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030410455 | 0.0011615944 | 0.0011615944 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.278052E-6 | 1.6275667E-6 | 1.6275667E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.833438E-5 | 6.9752687E-6 | 6.9752687E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.231982E-4 | 8.492082E-5 | 8.492082E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022297418 | 8.4890693E-4 | 8.4890693E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.8803692E-6 | 8.345047E-7 | 8.345047E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0587E-6 | 3.5764447E-6 | 3.5764447E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.811026E-5 | 4.354249E-5 | 4.354249E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.806695E-4 | 4.3535407E-4 | 4.3535407E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elysian Park (Upper)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7038088E-5 | 3.7038088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5872749E-4 | 1.5872749E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019312671 | 0.0019512285 | 1.0103359 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.019191291 | 0.019230524 | 1.0020443 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7038088E-5 | 3.7038088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5872749E-4 | 1.5872749E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019312671 | 0.0019512285 | 1.0103359 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.019191291 | 0.019230524 | 1.0020443 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7038088E-5 | 3.7038088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5872749E-4 | 1.5872749E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019312671 | 0.0019512285 | 1.0103359 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.019191291 | 0.019230524 | 1.0020443 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7038088E-5 | 3.7038088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5872749E-4 | 1.5872749E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019312671 | 0.0019512285 | 1.0103359 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.019191291 | 0.019230524 | 1.0020443 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.1203743E-5 | 2.1203743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.087099E-5 | 9.087099E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011059643 | 0.0011259422 | 1.0180638 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010006315 | 0.011021415 | 0.011051084 | 1.002692 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.1203743E-5 | 2.1203743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.087099E-5 | 9.087099E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011059643 | 0.0011259422 | 1.0180638 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010006315 | 0.011021415 | 0.011051084 | 1.002692 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.813258E-6 | 9.665948E-6 | 9.665948E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.205614E-5 | 4.1424875E-5 | 4.1424875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.119132E-4 | 5.0423836E-4 | 5.142333E-4 | 1.0198219 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005107356 | 0.0050316663 | 0.005051566 | 1.0039548 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.801478E-6 | 9.653517E-6 | 9.653517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2005657E-5 | 4.13716E-5 | 4.13716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.112989E-4 | 5.035901E-4 | 5.1358505E-4 | 1.0198474 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051012407 | 0.0050252127 | 0.005045112 | 1.0039599 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.102489E-6 | 7.773278E-6 | 7.773278E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4724493E-5 | 3.3313652E-5 | 3.3313652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2268867E-4 | 4.055232E-4 | 4.1551914E-4 | 1.0246495 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004218856 | 0.004048326 | 0.004068245 | 1.0049204 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.08275E-6 | 5.481611E-6 | 5.481611E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6068668E-5 | 2.3492412E-5 | 2.3492412E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.173398E-4 | 2.8598332E-4 | 2.9598048E-4 | 1.034957 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031688702 | 0.0028562308 | 0.0028761737 | 1.0069822 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.5995934E-6 | 4.982923E-6 | 4.982923E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3998036E-5 | 2.1355214E-5 | 2.1355214E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9213692E-4 | 2.5996938E-4 | 2.6996678E-4 | 1.0384561 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029175316 | 0.00259672 | 0.002616668 | 1.007682 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.709881E-6 | 4.0875166E-6 | 4.0875166E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0185047E-5 | 1.7517812E-5 | 1.7517812E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4572524E-4 | 2.1325891E-4 | 2.2325678E-4 | 1.0468813 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002454537 | 0.002130584 | 0.0021505414 | 1.0093671 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.6063436E-6 | 2.978031E-6 | 2.978031E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5455667E-5 | 1.2762929E-5 | 1.2762929E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.881565E-4 | 1.5537768E-4 | 1.5537768E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018799726 | 0.0015527017 | 0.0015626862 | 1.0064304 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.471135E-6 | 2.0955217E-6 | 2.0955217E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0590536E-5 | 8.980777E-6 | 8.980777E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2893214E-4 | 1.09335546E-4 | 1.09335546E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012885736 | 0.0010928247 | 0.0011028139 | 1.0091406 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.163943E-6 | 1.0275427E-6 | 1.0275427E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.988318E-6 | 4.403747E-6 | 4.403747E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0731076E-5 | 5.3614327E-5 | 5.3614327E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.071448E-4 | 5.360169E-4 | 5.4601155E-4 | 1.0186461 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.99459E-7 | 4.9177623E-7 | 4.9177623E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.140537E-6 | 2.1076107E-6 | 2.1076107E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6060725E-5 | 2.5659874E-5 | 2.5659874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.605767E-4 | 2.5657067E-4 | 2.5657067E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.4667852E-7 | 2.4779257E-7 | 2.4779257E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0571932E-6 | 1.0619677E-6 | 1.0619677E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2871251E-5 | 1.2929384E-5 | 1.2929384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2870505E-4 | 1.292867E-4 | 1.292867E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.2312795E-8 | 7.3869266E-8 | 7.3869266E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.527691E-7 | 3.1658254E-7 | 3.1658254E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.294955E-6 | 3.8543867E-6 | 3.8543867E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2948723E-5 | 3.8543316E-5 | 3.8543316E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7819295E-8 | 1.7569358E-8 | 1.7569358E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1922555E-7 | 7.5297244E-8 | 7.5297244E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45157E-6 | 9.167437E-7 | 9.167437E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45156055E-5 | 9.167415E-6 | 9.167415E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Oak Ridge (Onshore)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9527631E-5 | 3.952734E-5 | 1.3386558 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2654107E-4 | 1.365398E-4 | 1.0790157 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395868 | 0.0015495714 | 1.0064852 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293531 | 0.015313226 | 1.0012877 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9527631E-5 | 3.952734E-5 | 1.3386558 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2654107E-4 | 1.365398E-4 | 1.0790157 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395868 | 0.0015495714 | 1.0064852 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293531 | 0.015313226 | 1.0012877 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9527631E-5 | 3.952734E-5 | 1.3386558 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2654107E-4 | 1.365398E-4 | 1.0790157 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395868 | 0.0015495714 | 1.0064852 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293531 | 0.015313226 | 1.0012877 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9527631E-5 | 3.952734E-5 | 1.3386558 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2654107E-4 | 1.365398E-4 | 1.0790157 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395868 | 0.0015495714 | 1.0064852 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293531 | 0.015313226 | 1.0012877 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9527631E-5 | 3.952734E-5 | 1.3386558 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2654107E-4 | 1.365398E-4 | 1.0790157 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395868 | 0.0015495714 | 1.0064852 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293531 | 0.015313226 | 1.0012877 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9527631E-5 | 3.952734E-5 | 1.3386558 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2654107E-4 | 1.365398E-4 | 1.0790157 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395868 | 0.0015495714 | 1.0064852 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293531 | 0.015313226 | 1.0012877 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9527631E-5 | 3.952734E-5 | 1.3386558 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2654107E-4 | 1.365398E-4 | 1.0790157 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395868 | 0.0015495714 | 1.0064852 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293531 | 0.015313226 | 1.0012877 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.098897E-5 | 2.886579E-5 | 3.8865503E-5 | 1.3464209 | 1.0E-5 | 1.328031E-4 | 1.2370487E-4 | 1.3370364E-4 | 1.0808276 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016156785 | 0.001505104 | 0.001515089 | 1.0066341 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016039822 | 0.014953364 | 0.014973065 | 1.0013175 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.0449872E-5 | 2.8240951E-5 | 3.824067E-5 | 1.3540857 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3049292E-4 | 1.2102724E-4 | 1.3102603E-4 | 1.082616 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015875935 | 0.0014725479 | 0.0014825332 | 1.006781 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015762992 | 0.014632094 | 0.0146518005 | 1.0013468 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.697928E-5 | 2.4221114E-5 | 3.4220873E-5 | 1.4128529 | 1.0E-5 | 1.15620365E-4 | 1.0380077E-4 | 1.1379973E-4 | 1.0963284 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014067689 | 0.0012630632 | 0.0012730506 | 1.0079073 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0139789665 | 0.01256138 | 0.012581129 | 1.0015721 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.4893961E-5 | 2.1863254E-5 | 3.1863037E-5 | 1.4573785 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0668404E-4 | 9.36964E-5 | 1.03695456E-4 | 1.1067177 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012981043 | 0.0011401743 | 0.001150163 | 1.0087606 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012905477 | 0.01134535 | 0.011365123 | 1.0017428 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.0945363E-5 | 1.7355458E-5 | 2.7355283E-5 | 1.5761776 | 1.0E-5 | 8.976275E-5 | 7.437844E-5 | 8.4377694E-5 | 1.1344376 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010923136 | 9.05186E-4 | 9.1517693E-4 | 1.0110375 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0108696 | 0.009015744 | 0.009035563 | 1.0021983 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0439404E-5 | 1.6810367E-5 | 2.68102E-5 | 1.594861 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7594504E-5 | 7.2042465E-5 | 8.204175E-5 | 1.138797 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010659413 | 8.767688E-4 | 8.8676E-4 | 1.0113956 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010608427 | 0.008733833 | 0.008753658 | 1.00227 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.8463334E-5 | 1.5382637E-5 | 1.5382637E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.912617E-5 | 6.5923945E-5 | 6.5923945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6293533E-4 | 8.023328E-4 | 8.023328E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009587734 | 0.007995044 | 0.008004963 | 1.0012407 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.763139E-5 | 1.4517527E-5 | 1.4517527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.556091E-5 | 6.221652E-5 | 6.221652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1956573E-4 | 7.572268E-4 | 7.572268E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009157699 | 0.0075470903 | 0.007557015 | 1.001315 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3594944E-5 | 1.1163742E-5 | 1.1163742E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8262744E-5 | 4.7843743E-5 | 4.7843743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0911803E-4 | 5.823444E-4 | 5.823444E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007068595 | 0.005808454 | 0.005818396 | 1.0017116 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.9889534E-6 | 5.6368763E-6 | 5.6368763E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9952313E-5 | 2.415782E-5 | 2.415782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.646084E-4 | 2.940822E-4 | 2.940822E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036401073 | 0.0029369742 | 0.002946945 | 1.0033948 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.0824193E-6 | 3.283357E-6 | 3.283357E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7495966E-5 | 1.4071455E-5 | 1.4071455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1299256E-4 | 1.7130663E-4 | 1.7130663E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021278851 | 0.0017117591 | 0.0017217421 | 1.005832 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.7023609E-6 | 1.4370892E-6 | 1.4370892E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.295812E-6 | 6.1589394E-6 | 6.1589394E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.882289E-5 | 7.4982534E-5 | 7.4982534E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8787393E-4 | 7.4957515E-4 | 7.5956766E-4 | 1.0133309 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.721225E-7 | 2.2617446E-7 | 2.2617446E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1662388E-6 | 9.693188E-7 | 9.693188E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4198865E-5 | 1.1801395E-5 | 1.1801395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4197957E-4 | 1.1800796E-4 | 1.1800796E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 9.364255E-9 | 5.121244E-9 | 5.121244E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0132523E-8 | 2.1948189E-8 | 2.1948189E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8861335E-7 | 2.6721918E-7 | 2.6721918E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8861225E-6 | 2.6721889E-6 | 2.6721889E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Newport-Inglewood alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9668912E-5 | 3.0406667E-5 | 3.0406667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.3031052E-4 | 1.3031052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015858611 | 0.0016058293 | 1.0125915 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015361829 | 0.015793059 | 0.015822584 | 1.0018696 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9668912E-5 | 3.0406667E-5 | 3.0406667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.3031052E-4 | 1.3031052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015858611 | 0.0016058293 | 1.0125915 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015361829 | 0.015793059 | 0.015822584 | 1.0018696 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9668912E-5 | 3.0406667E-5 | 3.0406667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.3031052E-4 | 1.3031052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015858611 | 0.0016058293 | 1.0125915 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015361829 | 0.015793059 | 0.015822584 | 1.0018696 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.9668912E-5 | 3.0406667E-5 | 3.0406667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.3031052E-4 | 1.3031052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015858611 | 0.0016058293 | 1.0125915 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015361829 | 0.015793059 | 0.015822584 | 1.0018696 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.275942E-5 | 1.02728745E-5 | 1.02728745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4682085E-5 | 4.4025885E-5 | 4.4025885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65551E-4 | 5.358875E-4 | 5.5587676E-4 | 1.0373013 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0066356123 | 0.005346377 | 0.0053762165 | 1.0055813 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.275942E-5 | 1.02728745E-5 | 1.02728745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4682085E-5 | 4.4025885E-5 | 4.4025885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65551E-4 | 5.358875E-4 | 5.5587676E-4 | 1.0373013 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0066356123 | 0.005346377 | 0.0053762165 | 1.0055813 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1255358E-5 | 8.662177E-6 | 8.662177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8236358E-5 | 3.7123096E-5 | 3.7123096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.871194E-4 | 4.5188164E-4 | 4.7187263E-4 | 1.0442394 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005855706 | 0.0045098052 | 0.00453967 | 1.0066222 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0504745E-5 | 7.900077E-6 | 7.900077E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5019555E-5 | 3.3857043E-5 | 3.3857043E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4797524E-4 | 4.121328E-4 | 4.3212454E-4 | 1.048508 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0054662596 | 0.004113815 | 0.004143691 | 1.0072625 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0476007E-5 | 7.881459E-6 | 7.881459E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4896402E-5 | 3.377725E-5 | 3.377725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.464766E-4 | 4.1116166E-4 | 4.3115346E-4 | 1.0486226 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005451347 | 0.0041041393 | 0.004134016 | 1.0072796 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.076797E-6 | 6.489844E-6 | 6.489844E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.889998E-5 | 2.7813323E-5 | 2.7813323E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7350433E-4 | 3.3857493E-4 | 3.5856816E-4 | 1.0590512 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004724967 | 0.0033806283 | 0.0034005607 | 1.0058961 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.73795E-6 | 6.2122363E-6 | 6.2122363E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7447822E-5 | 2.66236E-5 | 2.66236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5583185E-4 | 3.240944E-4 | 3.4408792E-4 | 1.0616904 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045489795 | 0.003236249 | 0.0032561845 | 1.00616 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.391299E-6 | 5.955937E-6 | 5.955937E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5962214E-5 | 2.5525196E-5 | 2.5525196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.37752E-4 | 3.107252E-4 | 3.30719E-4 | 1.0643456 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004368907 | 0.003102937 | 0.003122875 | 1.0064255 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.796882E-6 | 5.49666E-6 | 5.49666E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.341478E-5 | 2.3556904E-5 | 2.3556904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.06749E-4 | 2.8676778E-4 | 3.0676203E-4 | 1.0697229 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0040600533 | 0.002864001 | 0.002883944 | 1.0069633 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.4738833E-6 | 4.647875E-6 | 4.647875E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.774492E-5 | 1.9919313E-5 | 1.9919313E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3774204E-4 | 2.424908E-4 | 2.6248593E-4 | 1.0824573 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033722918 | 0.0024222787 | 0.0024422302 | 1.0082366 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.382145E-6 | 3.8858066E-6 | 3.8858066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3066134E-5 | 1.6653352E-5 | 1.6653352E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8079396E-4 | 2.0273583E-4 | 2.127338E-4 | 1.0493152 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028043943 | 0.0020255232 | 0.002035503 | 1.004927 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.648244E-6 | 2.5738157E-6 | 2.5738157E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5635238E-5 | 1.1030593E-5 | 1.1030593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9034238E-4 | 1.342893E-4 | 1.342893E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019017943 | 0.0013420918 | 0.0013420918 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.2906888E-6 | 1.5480244E-6 | 1.5480244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.817201E-6 | 6.634374E-6 | 6.634374E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1951787E-4 | 8.077058E-5 | 8.077058E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011945361 | 8.0741895E-4 | 8.0741895E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.0479874E-7 | 3.3975996E-7 | 3.3975996E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5919921E-6 | 1.4561134E-6 | 1.4561134E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1557047E-5 | 1.772805E-5 | 1.772805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1552566E-4 | 1.7726775E-4 | 1.7726775E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.16056995E-8 | 9.783043E-9 | 9.783043E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9738713E-8 | 4.1927326E-8 | 4.1927326E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0556863E-7 | 5.104652E-7 | 5.104652E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.05567E-6 | 5.1046522E-6 | 5.1046522E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Rinconada 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5752368E-5 | 1.6274917E-5 | 1.6274917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.75084E-5 | 6.9747795E-5 | 6.9747795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2160486E-4 | 8.4885175E-4 | 8.4885175E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008185739 | 0.008456474 | 0.008486221 | 1.0035176 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.0966133E-5 | 1.1323167E-5 | 1.1323167E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6996865E-5 | 4.852696E-5 | 4.852696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.720366E-4 | 5.906563E-4 | 5.906563E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057056635 | 0.0058909603 | 0.0059108427 | 1.003375 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.0966133E-5 | 1.1323167E-5 | 1.1323167E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6996865E-5 | 4.852696E-5 | 4.852696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.720366E-4 | 5.906563E-4 | 5.906563E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057056635 | 0.0058909603 | 0.0059108427 | 1.003375 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.926149E-6 | 9.212883E-6 | 9.212883E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8254362E-5 | 3.9483188E-5 | 3.9483188E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6564735E-4 | 4.806021E-4 | 4.806021E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046467283 | 0.004795672 | 0.004815576 | 1.0041504 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.676955E-6 | 7.9202855E-6 | 7.9202855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.290082E-5 | 3.3943637E-5 | 3.3943637E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0049385E-4 | 4.1318563E-4 | 4.1318563E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039977287 | 0.0041242 | 0.0041441177 | 1.0048294 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.1671026E-6 | 6.3590296E-6 | 6.3590296E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6430173E-5 | 2.72527E-5 | 2.72527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2173982E-4 | 3.3175116E-4 | 3.3175116E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003212744 | 0.0033125712 | 0.0033225382 | 1.0030088 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.553456E-6 | 5.7248794E-6 | 5.7248794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3800309E-5 | 2.4534966E-5 | 2.4534966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.897302E-4 | 2.9867233E-4 | 2.9867233E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028935277 | 0.002982718 | 0.002992688 | 1.0033426 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.787857E-6 | 4.933366E-6 | 4.933366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0519226E-5 | 2.1142827E-5 | 2.1142827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4979294E-4 | 2.5738357E-4 | 2.5738357E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024951235 | 0.0025708603 | 0.0025808346 | 1.0038798 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.9955166E-6 | 4.113522E-6 | 4.113522E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7123532E-5 | 1.7629261E-5 | 1.7629261E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0845905E-4 | 2.1461515E-4 | 2.1461515E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002082636 | 0.0021440824 | 0.002154061 | 1.004654 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.4250072E-6 | 3.5224846E-6 | 3.5224846E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.46785205E-5 | 1.5096275E-5 | 1.5096275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7869633E-4 | 1.8378167E-4 | 1.8378167E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001785527 | 0.0018362993 | 0.0018362993 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.7712713E-6 | 2.8467298E-6 | 2.8467298E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1876823E-5 | 1.2200213E-5 | 1.2200213E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4459073E-4 | 1.4852748E-4 | 1.4852748E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014449668 | 0.0014842837 | 0.0014842837 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.227358E-6 | 2.2857216E-6 | 2.2857216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.545785E-6 | 9.795914E-6 | 9.795914E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16213734E-4 | 1.1925872E-4 | 1.1925872E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011615298 | 0.0011919483 | 0.0011919483 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.581796E-6 | 1.620917E-6 | 1.620917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.779108E-6 | 6.9467687E-6 | 6.9467687E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.253252E-5 | 8.457363E-5 | 8.457363E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.250187E-4 | 8.45415E-4 | 8.45415E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0306567E-6 | 1.0546578E-6 | 1.0546578E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4170924E-6 | 4.519954E-6 | 4.519954E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3776774E-5 | 5.5029053E-5 | 5.5029053E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.376376E-4 | 5.501545E-4 | 5.501545E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.535541E-7 | 6.6828073E-7 | 6.6828073E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.800943E-6 | 2.864057E-6 | 2.864057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4100947E-5 | 3.4869336E-5 | 3.4869336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4095717E-4 | 3.4863877E-4 | 3.4863877E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.2656962E-7 | 3.331703E-7 | 3.331703E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3995833E-6 | 1.4278719E-6 | 1.4278719E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7039794E-5 | 1.7384202E-5 | 1.7384202E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7038487E-4 | 1.7382846E-4 | 1.7382846E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.754343E-8 | 9.821107E-8 | 9.821107E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.180432E-7 | 4.2090448E-7 | 4.2090448E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.089664E-6 | 5.1245E-6 | 5.1245E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0895473E-5 | 5.124383E-5 | 5.124383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.0001453E-9 | 5.8491674E-9 | 5.8491674E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5714908E-8 | 2.5067859E-8 | 2.5067859E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1307894E-7 | 3.0520116E-7 | 3.0520116E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1307852E-6 | 3.0520075E-6 | 3.0520075E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.400003E-11 | 7.465473E-11 | 7.465473E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.171432E-10 | 3.1994873E-10 | 3.1994873E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.861218E-9 | 3.895376E-9 | 3.895376E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.861218E-8 | 3.895376E-8 | 3.895376E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Rose Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.971967E-5 | 4.971967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.1306777E-4 | 2.1306777E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023933933 | 0.0025912058 | 0.002611154 | 1.0076984 | 2.0E-5 | 0.023677798 | 0.02562712 | 0.02565635 | 1.0011406 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.971967E-5 | 4.971967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.1306777E-4 | 2.1306777E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023933933 | 0.0025912058 | 0.002611154 | 1.0076984 | 2.0E-5 | 0.023677798 | 0.02562712 | 0.025646606 | 1.0007604 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8844734E-5 | 2.9671812E-5 | 2.9671812E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2361443E-4 | 1.271587E-4 | 1.271587E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015039665 | 0.0015470864 | 0.0015670555 | 1.0129075 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0149382865 | 0.015365818 | 0.01538551 | 1.0012816 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3171577E-5 | 2.3164037E-5 | 2.3164037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9302975E-5 | 9.9270736E-5 | 9.9270736E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012083431 | 0.0012079645 | 0.0012279403 | 1.0165368 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012017938 | 0.01201284 | 0.0120326 | 1.0016448 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0066604E-5 | 1.9669473E-5 | 1.9669473E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.599689E-5 | 8.429507E-5 | 8.429507E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010465092 | 0.0010258193 | 0.0010457988 | 1.0194767 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010415946 | 0.01021448 | 0.010234276 | 1.001938 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.776989E-5 | 1.7115915E-5 | 1.7115915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.615444E-5 | 7.33519E-5 | 7.33519E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.267859E-4 | 8.927004E-4 | 9.1268256E-4 | 1.0223839 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009229303 | 0.008890398 | 0.00891022 | 1.0022296 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5227364E-5 | 1.434116E-5 | 1.434116E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.52585E-5 | 6.146069E-5 | 6.146069E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.942326E-4 | 7.4803224E-4 | 7.680173E-4 | 1.0267168 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007914 | 0.0074449726 | 0.007464824 | 1.0026664 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2703898E-5 | 1.1674543E-5 | 1.1674543E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4444143E-5 | 5.003282E-5 | 5.003282E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.626558E-4 | 6.089836E-4 | 6.2897144E-4 | 1.0328217 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006606833 | 0.006064965 | 0.0060848435 | 1.0032777 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1554917E-5 | 1.0610571E-5 | 1.0610571E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9520135E-5 | 4.5473105E-5 | 4.5473105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0274085E-4 | 5.5349845E-4 | 5.734874E-4 | 1.0361137 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0060110865 | 0.0055073476 | 0.0055272374 | 1.0036116 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.732078E-6 | 7.882457E-6 | 7.882457E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7422655E-5 | 3.3781536E-5 | 3.3781536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5552556E-4 | 4.1121553E-4 | 4.312073E-4 | 1.0486163 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045459294 | 0.004089604 | 0.0041095223 | 1.0048704 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.9337494E-6 | 5.107563E-6 | 5.107563E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5430107E-5 | 2.1889373E-5 | 2.1889373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0956755E-4 | 2.6647066E-4 | 2.8646534E-4 | 1.0750352 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0030913667 | 0.0026615271 | 0.0026814737 | 1.0074944 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.013409E-6 | 4.177441E-6 | 4.177441E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1485863E-5 | 1.7903196E-5 | 1.7903196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6155898E-4 | 2.1794971E-4 | 2.3794535E-4 | 1.0917443 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0026125133 | 0.0021773712 | 0.0021973278 | 1.0091654 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.120763E-6 | 3.2821724E-6 | 3.2821724E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7660293E-5 | 1.4066378E-5 | 1.4066378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1499286E-4 | 1.7124478E-4 | 1.9124136E-4 | 1.1167718 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021478499 | 0.0017111378 | 0.0017311036 | 1.0116681 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.2081239E-6 | 2.4405545E-6 | 2.4405545E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.374903E-5 | 1.0459478E-5 | 1.0459478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6738157E-4 | 1.2733677E-4 | 1.4733423E-4 | 1.1570438 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016725556 | 0.0012726451 | 0.0012926196 | 1.0156953 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.4194755E-6 | 1.7680751E-6 | 1.7680751E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0369139E-5 | 7.577443E-6 | 7.577443E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2623696E-4 | 9.225152E-5 | 1.022506E-4 | 1.1083893 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012616527 | 9.221376E-4 | 9.3212834E-4 | 1.0108343 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3842889E-6 | 9.378547E-7 | 9.378547E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9326535E-6 | 4.0193713E-6 | 4.0193713E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.222766E-5 | 4.893478E-5 | 4.893478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.220419E-4 | 4.892436E-4 | 4.892436E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.0021575E-6 | 6.411558E-7 | 6.411558E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2949537E-6 | 2.7478077E-6 | 2.7478077E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2289808E-5 | 3.3454067E-5 | 3.3454067E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2277505E-4 | 3.3449245E-4 | 3.3449245E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.7620116E-8 | 6.449437E-8 | 6.449437E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7551473E-7 | 2.7640442E-7 | 2.7640442E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5718825E-6 | 3.3652188E-6 | 3.3652188E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5717883E-5 | 3.3651708E-5 | 3.3651708E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7221631E-4 | 1.3814821E-4 | 1.3814821E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.378611E-4 | 5.9193146E-4 | 5.9193146E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008946515 | 0.0071833474 | 0.0071833474 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.08594794 | 0.07064529 | 0.07067317 | 1.0003947 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.7221631E-4 | 1.3814821E-4 | 1.3814821E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.378611E-4 | 5.9193146E-4 | 5.9193146E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008946515 | 0.0071833474 | 0.0071833474 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.08594794 | 0.07064529 | 0.07067317 | 1.0003947 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.7221631E-4 | 1.3814821E-4 | 1.3814821E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.378611E-4 | 5.9193146E-4 | 5.9193146E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008946515 | 0.0071833474 | 0.0071833474 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.08594794 | 0.07064529 | 0.07067317 | 1.0003947 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.716926E-4 | 1.3734218E-4 | 1.3734218E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3561794E-4 | 5.8847864E-4 | 5.8847864E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008919428 | 0.0071415845 | 0.0071415845 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.08569809 | 0.07025706 | 0.070284955 | 1.000397 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6392978E-4 | 1.3609762E-4 | 1.3609762E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02367E-4 | 5.831471E-4 | 5.831471E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008517839 | 0.007077096 | 0.007077096 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.08198654 | 0.06948891 | 0.06951683 | 1.0004017 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5742714E-4 | 1.2668932E-4 | 1.2668932E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.745133E-4 | 5.4284296E-4 | 5.4284296E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00818132 | 0.006589416 | 0.006589416 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.078865945 | 0.064951986 | 0.06498004 | 1.0004319 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3038084E-4 | 1.160739E-4 | 1.160739E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5865536E-4 | 4.97366E-4 | 4.97366E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006780438 | 0.006038866 | 0.006038866 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0657725 | 0.059411436 | 0.059439655 | 1.0004749 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2867592E-4 | 1.1333754E-4 | 1.1333754E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5135164E-4 | 4.856432E-4 | 4.856432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066920654 | 0.0058969203 | 0.0058969203 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.06494093 | 0.058121994 | 0.05815025 | 1.0004861 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2801298E-4 | 1.1271289E-4 | 1.1271289E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.485117E-4 | 4.8296712E-4 | 4.8296712E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066577005 | 0.005864511 | 0.005864511 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.06461738 | 0.05783579 | 0.057864055 | 1.0004888 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.269149E-4 | 1.1113398E-4 | 1.1113398E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4380763E-4 | 4.762028E-4 | 4.762028E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006600777 | 0.0057825954 | 0.0057825954 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.06408122 | 0.0571072 | 0.057135485 | 1.0004953 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2030331E-4 | 1.0843232E-4 | 1.0843232E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.154837E-4 | 4.6462845E-4 | 4.6462845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006257969 | 0.0056424155 | 0.0056424155 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.06084648 | 0.055778395 | 0.055806722 | 1.0005078 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.049617E-5 | 5.405403E-5 | 5.405403E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4493793E-4 | 2.3163976E-4 | 2.3163976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041915346 | 0.002816602 | 0.002816602 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.041133516 | 0.029680839 | 0.029680839 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 7.093979E-5 | 4.3047636E-5 | 4.3047636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0399222E-4 | 1.8447694E-4 | 1.8447694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036948253 | 0.0022437163 | 0.0022437163 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03633994 | 0.023995776 | 0.023995776 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.193693E-5 | 2.8974995E-5 | 2.8974995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6541698E-4 | 1.2417264E-4 | 1.2417264E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032266637 | 0.0015107553 | 0.0015107553 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.031802133 | 0.016541174 | 0.016541174 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.906492E-5 | 2.7096936E-5 | 2.7096936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5311083E-4 | 1.1612456E-4 | 1.1612456E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030772698 | 0.0014129011 | 0.0014129011 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.030350044 | 0.015509486 | 0.015509486 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.424296E-5 | 2.4741583E-5 | 2.4741583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.324491E-4 | 1.06031046E-4 | 1.06031046E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002826395 | 0.0012901648 | 0.0012901648 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.027907165 | 0.014197018 | 0.014197018 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.43084E-5 | 1.9947682E-5 | 1.9947682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8987931E-4 | 8.548726E-5 | 8.548726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023093296 | 0.0010403107 | 0.0010403107 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022854783 | 0.011436041 | 0.011436041 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.118098E-5 | 1.897734E-5 | 1.897734E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7647797E-4 | 8.132892E-5 | 8.132892E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002146502 | 9.897301E-4 | 9.897301E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021258866 | 0.010892505 | 0.010892505 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.5408906E-5 | 1.8604213E-5 | 1.8604213E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5174363E-4 | 7.972991E-5 | 7.972991E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018459131 | 9.7027957E-4 | 9.7027957E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.018306552 | 0.010673247 | 0.010673247 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5860836E-5 | 1.7352104E-5 | 1.7352104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10827445E-4 | 7.4364034E-5 | 7.4364034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001348489 | 9.050063E-4 | 9.050063E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013403354 | 0.009926637 | 0.009926637 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.9777332E-5 | 1.4870745E-5 | 1.4870745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4757245E-5 | 6.373021E-5 | 6.373021E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010314309 | 7.7563926E-4 | 7.7563926E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010266567 | 0.008525519 | 0.008525519 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.468494E-5 | 1.2132919E-5 | 1.2132919E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.293394E-5 | 5.199719E-5 | 5.199719E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6595135E-4 | 6.3288206E-4 | 6.3288206E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0076331664 | 0.0069827815 | 0.0069827815 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.63836E-6 | 5.481945E-6 | 5.481945E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7021015E-5 | 2.349384E-5 | 2.349384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5063766E-4 | 2.8600002E-4 | 2.8600002E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004497249 | 0.0032528744 | 0.0032528744 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6799233E-7 | 7.6799233E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2913915E-6 | 3.2913915E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0071973E-5 | 4.0071973E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7313387E-4 | 4.7313387E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sheephole
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5579695E-6 | 4.7413337E-6 | 4.7413337E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9534009E-5 | 2.0319874E-5 | 3.031967E-5 | 1.4921191 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3780059E-4 | 2.4737194E-4 | 2.6736697E-4 | 1.08083 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023754628 | 0.00247151 | 0.002501436 | 1.0121083 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5579695E-6 | 4.7413337E-6 | 4.7413337E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9534009E-5 | 2.0319874E-5 | 3.031967E-5 | 1.4921191 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3780059E-4 | 2.4737194E-4 | 2.6736697E-4 | 1.08083 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023754628 | 0.00247151 | 0.002501436 | 1.0121083 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.6677674E-6 | 2.7874407E-6 | 2.7874407E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1433239E-5 | 1.1946126E-5 | 1.1946126E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3919079E-4 | 1.4543545E-4 | 1.4543545E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013910364 | 0.0014535086 | 0.0014535086 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.6677674E-6 | 2.7874407E-6 | 2.7874407E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1433239E-5 | 1.1946126E-5 | 1.1946126E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3919079E-4 | 1.4543545E-4 | 1.4543545E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013910364 | 0.0014535086 | 0.0014535086 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.2159759E-6 | 2.3229204E-6 | 2.3229204E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.497005E-6 | 9.95534E-6 | 9.95534E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.156199E-4 | 1.21200326E-4 | 1.21200326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011555976 | 0.0012114216 | 0.0012114216 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.1986082E-6 | 2.3048003E-6 | 2.3048003E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4225725E-6 | 9.877684E-6 | 9.877684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1471378E-4 | 1.2025496E-4 | 1.2025496E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011465458 | 0.0012019782 | 0.0012019782 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.5232331E-6 | 1.6019226E-6 | 1.6019226E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5281256E-6 | 6.8653653E-6 | 6.8653653E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.947703E-5 | 8.358281E-5 | 8.358281E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9448614E-4 | 8.3553244E-4 | 8.3553244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.3137362E-6 | 1.3828461E-6 | 1.3828461E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6302856E-6 | 5.9264703E-6 | 5.9264703E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.854657E-5 | 7.215253E-5 | 7.215253E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8525434E-4 | 7.213049E-4 | 7.213049E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.2275751E-6 | 1.29231E-6 | 1.29231E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2610258E-6 | 5.5384603E-6 | 5.5384603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4051106E-5 | 6.74288E-5 | 6.74288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4032647E-4 | 6.740968E-4 | 6.740968E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.1837088E-6 | 1.2461264E-6 | 1.2461264E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0730278E-6 | 5.3405315E-6 | 5.3405315E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.176237E-5 | 6.5019165E-5 | 6.5019165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.17452E-4 | 6.5001455E-4 | 6.5001455E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 9.849371E-7 | 1.036649E-6 | 1.036649E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2211523E-6 | 4.4427743E-6 | 4.4427743E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1391315E-5 | 5.4089538E-5 | 5.4089538E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.137943E-4 | 5.4077385E-4 | 5.4077385E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.1643645E-7 | 8.591836E-7 | 8.591836E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4990085E-6 | 3.6822107E-6 | 3.6822107E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2599597E-5 | 4.483008E-5 | 4.483008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.259143E-4 | 4.48219E-4 | 4.48219E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.7295756E-7 | 6.029619E-7 | 6.029619E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.45553E-6 | 2.5841202E-6 | 2.5841202E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9895667E-5 | 3.1461277E-5 | 3.1461277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9891645E-4 | 3.1457492E-4 | 3.1457492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5183659E-4 | 3.0531714E-4 | 3.0531714E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5056595E-4 | 0.0013072834 | 0.0013072834 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007891912 | 0.015701864 | 0.015701864 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.076174594 | 0.13854302 | 0.13856025 | 1.0001243 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5024997E-4 | 3.0225844E-4 | 3.0225844E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.437695E-4 | 0.0012941923 | 0.0012941923 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0078097614 | 0.015545238 | 0.015545238 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.075409345 | 0.13721254 | 0.1372298 | 1.0001258 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2743923E-4 | 2.532338E-4 | 2.532338E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.460538E-4 | 0.0010844494 | 0.0010844494 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066279583 | 0.013052443 | 0.013052443 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.064337276 | 0.11731052 | 0.117319345 | 1.0000752 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1525114E-4 | 2.2609525E-4 | 2.2609525E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9383997E-4 | 9.68329E-4 | 9.68329E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059959386 | 0.011673637 | 0.011673637 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.058367174 | 0.10642712 | 0.10643605 | 1.0000839 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.07200925E-4 | 2.085045E-4 | 2.085045E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5935164E-4 | 8.930648E-4 | 8.930648E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055782744 | 0.0107785 | 0.0107785 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0544031 | 0.09925004 | 0.09925905 | 1.0000907 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.69631E-5 | 1.8744037E-4 | 1.8744037E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1548995E-4 | 8.0290815E-4 | 8.0290815E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050468626 | 0.009700311 | 0.009700311 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04933773 | 0.09014179 | 0.090150885 | 1.000101 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.0552316E-5 | 1.5081464E-4 | 1.5081464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4517853E-4 | 6.46146E-4 | 6.46146E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041944524 | 0.007831974 | 0.007831974 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04116161 | 0.074912295 | 0.07492155 | 1.0001235 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.815757E-5 | 1.4621952E-4 | 1.4621952E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.34918E-4 | 6.264669E-4 | 6.264669E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004070005 | 0.007594749 | 0.007594749 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.039962657 | 0.07276171 | 0.072770976 | 1.0001274 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.965264E-5 | 1.2732887E-4 | 1.2732887E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9847719E-4 | 5.4555904E-4 | 5.4555904E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036279052 | 0.0066187475 | 0.0066187475 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03569247 | 0.06385509 | 0.06386445 | 1.0001466 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.8000453E-5 | 1.0152694E-4 | 1.0152694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4854968E-4 | 4.3504345E-4 | 4.3504345E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030218933 | 0.005283888 | 0.005283888 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.029811295 | 0.05154497 | 0.051554456 | 1.000184 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.9865852E-5 | 8.5766835E-5 | 8.5766835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1369329E-4 | 3.6752087E-4 | 3.6752087E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025986114 | 0.004465475 | 0.004465475 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.025684336 | 0.04382463 | 0.043834195 | 1.0002182 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.283875E-5 | 7.1189206E-5 | 7.1189206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8358172E-4 | 3.0506123E-4 | 3.0506123E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022328163 | 0.0037078515 | 0.0037078515 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.022105146 | 0.036769554 | 0.036779184 | 1.000262 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.450115E-5 | 5.5841672E-5 | 5.5841672E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.478537E-4 | 2.3929965E-4 | 2.3929965E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017986323 | 0.0029096098 | 0.0029096098 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017841442 | 0.029112035 | 0.029121744 | 1.0003335 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.5709045E-5 | 4.064589E-5 | 4.064589E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1017697E-4 | 1.7418513E-4 | 1.7418513E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013405791 | 0.0021186583 | 0.0021186583 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013325208 | 0.021326428 | 0.021336215 | 1.000459 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.8003093E-5 | 2.8538092E-5 | 2.8538092E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.715383E-5 | 1.2230038E-4 | 1.2230038E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3894306E-4 | 0.0014879925 | 0.0014879925 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009349857 | 0.01506602 | 0.01507587 | 1.0006537 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.5595824E-5 | 2.5849677E-5 | 2.5849677E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.683753E-5 | 1.1077964E-4 | 1.1077964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.134431E-4 | 0.0013479099 | 0.0013479099 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008104719 | 0.0136658205 | 0.013675684 | 1.0007217 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1110309E-5 | 1.9246067E-5 | 1.9246067E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.761474E-5 | 8.248054E-5 | 8.248054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.795553E-4 | 0.0010037393 | 0.0010037393 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057804612 | 0.010216312 | 0.010226209 | 1.0009688 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.2140443E-6 | 1.045374E-5 | 1.045374E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6631347E-5 | 4.4800978E-5 | 4.4800978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.241884E-4 | 5.453155E-4 | 5.453155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032371588 | 0.0056279413 | 0.005637885 | 1.0017668 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.305533E-6 | 9.447968E-6 | 9.447968E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.27378E-5 | 4.0490664E-5 | 4.0490664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7679754E-4 | 4.928624E-4 | 4.928624E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027645302 | 0.00508158 | 0.005091529 | 1.0019579 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.363505E-6 | 7.39605E-6 | 7.39605E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4414942E-5 | 3.169697E-5 | 3.169697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7548777E-4 | 3.8584237E-4 | 3.8584237E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017534926 | 0.0039539565 | 0.003963917 | 1.0025191 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.0271132E-6 | 4.4194694E-6 | 4.4194694E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.687599E-6 | 1.8940445E-5 | 1.8940445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05766376E-4 | 2.3057558E-4 | 2.3057558E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010571606 | 0.0023542168 | 0.0023542168 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.2206116E-6 | 2.3785892E-6 | 2.3785892E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2311816E-6 | 1.0193914E-5 | 1.0193914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3687774E-5 | 1.2410387E-4 | 1.2410387E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.366953E-4 | 0.001272274 | 0.001272274 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Gabriel
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.1991229E-5 | 2.1991109E-5 | 1.8339329 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.1390034E-5 | 6.1389524E-5 | 1.1945802 | 1.0E-5 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.255054E-4 | 6.3549913E-4 | 1.015977 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0056390543 | 0.0062495843 | 0.006279397 | 1.0047703 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.1991229E-5 | 2.1991109E-5 | 1.8339329 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.1390034E-5 | 6.1389524E-5 | 1.1945802 | 1.0E-5 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.255054E-4 | 6.3549913E-4 | 1.015977 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0056390543 | 0.0062495843 | 0.006279397 | 1.0047703 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.1991229E-5 | 2.1991109E-5 | 1.8339329 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.1390034E-5 | 6.1389524E-5 | 1.1945802 | 1.0E-5 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.255054E-4 | 6.3549913E-4 | 1.015977 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0056390543 | 0.0062495843 | 0.006279397 | 1.0047703 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.1991229E-5 | 2.1991109E-5 | 1.8339329 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.1390034E-5 | 6.1389524E-5 | 1.1945802 | 1.0E-5 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.255054E-4 | 6.3549913E-4 | 1.015977 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0056390543 | 0.0062495843 | 0.006279397 | 1.0047703 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.1991229E-5 | 2.1991109E-5 | 1.8339329 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.1390034E-5 | 6.1389524E-5 | 1.1945802 | 1.0E-5 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.255054E-4 | 6.3549913E-4 | 1.015977 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0056390543 | 0.0062495843 | 0.006279397 | 1.0047703 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.7317824E-6 | 7.722924E-6 | 1.7722847E-5 | 2.2948363 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8850178E-5 | 3.3097833E-5 | 4.30975E-5 | 1.3021246 | 1.0E-5 | 3.511943E-4 | 4.0289265E-4 | 4.1288862E-4 | 1.0248106 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003506398 | 0.004032759 | 0.0040526786 | 1.0049394 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.7317824E-6 | 7.722924E-6 | 1.7722847E-5 | 2.2948363 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8850178E-5 | 3.3097833E-5 | 4.30975E-5 | 1.3021246 | 1.0E-5 | 3.511943E-4 | 4.0289265E-4 | 4.1288862E-4 | 1.0248106 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003506398 | 0.004032759 | 0.0040526786 | 1.0049394 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.274881E-6 | 7.2518387E-6 | 1.7251767E-5 | 2.3789506 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6892068E-5 | 3.1078944E-5 | 4.1078634E-5 | 1.3217512 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2736175E-4 | 3.7832142E-4 | 3.8831763E-4 | 1.0264225 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032687993 | 0.0037879038 | 0.003797866 | 1.00263 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.996209E-6 | 6.9645557E-6 | 6.9645557E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5697784E-5 | 2.9847759E-5 | 2.9847759E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.128256E-4 | 3.6333682E-4 | 3.6333682E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003123856 | 0.0036385555 | 0.0036385555 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.686331E-6 | 6.629576E-6 | 6.629576E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4369761E-5 | 2.8412165E-5 | 2.8412165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9666146E-4 | 3.458641E-4 | 3.458641E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029626573 | 0.0034643845 | 0.0034643845 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.2329838E-6 | 6.153442E-6 | 6.153442E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.242688E-5 | 2.6371632E-5 | 2.6371632E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7301308E-4 | 3.2102808E-4 | 3.2102808E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002726779 | 0.0032167572 | 0.0032167572 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.135671E-6 | 6.043551E-6 | 6.043551E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2009834E-5 | 2.590068E-5 | 2.590068E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6793676E-4 | 3.1529588E-4 | 3.1529588E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026761394 | 0.0031595998 | 0.0031595998 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.989062E-6 | 5.876902E-6 | 5.876902E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1381518E-5 | 2.5186484E-5 | 2.5186484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6028889E-4 | 3.0660306E-4 | 3.0660306E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025998424 | 0.0030729147 | 0.0030729147 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.8219395E-6 | 5.708431E-6 | 5.708431E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0665291E-5 | 2.446448E-5 | 2.446448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5157086E-4 | 2.978151E-4 | 2.978151E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025128627 | 0.0029852744 | 0.0029852744 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.7118383E-6 | 5.5969685E-6 | 5.5969685E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0193436E-5 | 2.3986791E-5 | 2.3986791E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4582737E-4 | 2.920008E-4 | 2.920008E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002455556 | 0.0029272838 | 0.0029272838 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.5506545E-6 | 5.4423053E-6 | 5.4423053E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9502659E-5 | 2.332396E-5 | 2.332396E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.37419E-4 | 2.8393298E-4 | 2.8393298E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002371655 | 0.0028468138 | 0.0028468138 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.343636E-6 | 5.2351343E-6 | 5.2351343E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.861545E-5 | 2.2436101E-5 | 2.2436101E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2661954E-4 | 2.7312606E-4 | 2.7312606E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022638857 | 0.0027390067 | 0.0027390067 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.936235E-6 | 2.7478018E-6 | 2.7478018E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2583803E-5 | 1.177624E-5 | 1.177624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5319703E-4 | 1.4336633E-4 | 1.4336633E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015309147 | 0.001440072 | 0.001440072 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.4541639E-6 | 9.1381565E-7 | 9.1381565E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.232116E-6 | 3.916347E-6 | 3.916347E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.587337E-5 | 4.7680485E-5 | 4.7680485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.584747E-4 | 4.8161607E-4 | 4.8161607E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 8.098958E-7 | 2.4227046E-7 | 2.4227046E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4709774E-6 | 1.0383015E-6 | 1.0383015E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.225833E-5 | 1.2641248E-5 | 1.2641248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2250296E-4 | 1.2949586E-4 | 1.2949586E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.2473234E-7 | 7.7011286E-8 | 7.7011286E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.248851E-6 | 3.3004832E-7 | 3.3004832E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7379416E-5 | 4.018331E-6 | 4.018331E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7376044E-4 | 4.231243E-5 | 4.231243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.3162388E-7 | 4.161713E-8 | 4.161713E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4212444E-6 | 1.7835913E-7 | 1.7835913E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7303513E-5 | 2.1715202E-6 | 2.1715202E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7302166E-4 | 2.3032073E-5 | 2.3032073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.0235345E-7 | 1.40802765E-8 | 1.40802765E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3865757E-7 | 6.034404E-8 | 6.034404E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.340643E-6 | 7.3468846E-7 | 7.3468846E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3405143E-5 | 7.948301E-6 | 7.948301E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Blue Cut
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2720169E-5 | 2.2720169E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.7368844E-5 | 9.7368844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011848791 | 0.0012048554 | 1.0168594 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.011791458 | 0.011821104 | 1.0025142 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2720169E-5 | 2.2720169E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.7368844E-5 | 9.7368844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011848791 | 0.0012048554 | 1.0168594 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.011791458 | 0.011821104 | 1.0025142 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2720169E-5 | 2.2720169E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.7368844E-5 | 9.7368844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011848791 | 0.0012048554 | 1.0168594 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.011791458 | 0.011821104 | 1.0025142 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2353834E-5 | 1.2353834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2944E-5 | 5.2944E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.4441503E-4 | 6.6440215E-4 | 1.0310159 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0060417196 | 0.006426711 | 0.006456518 | 1.0046381 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2353834E-5 | 1.2353834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2944E-5 | 5.2944E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.4441503E-4 | 6.6440215E-4 | 1.0310159 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0060417196 | 0.006426711 | 0.006456518 | 1.0046381 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.931326E-6 | 9.481817E-6 | 9.481817E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8276554E-5 | 4.0635776E-5 | 4.0635776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6591737E-4 | 4.946374E-4 | 5.1462755E-4 | 1.0404136 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0046494175 | 0.0049362737 | 0.004956175 | 1.0040317 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.345353E-6 | 7.790454E-6 | 7.790454E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1479703E-5 | 3.338728E-5 | 3.338728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.83198E-4 | 4.0642233E-4 | 4.1641828E-4 | 1.0245949 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038253788 | 0.004057582 | 0.0040675416 | 1.0024545 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.2775666E-6 | 6.6552975E-6 | 6.6552975E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.690358E-5 | 2.8522436E-5 | 2.8522436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2750185E-4 | 3.4721283E-4 | 3.5720936E-4 | 1.0287908 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032701963 | 0.0034674446 | 0.0034774097 | 1.002874 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.5234095E-6 | 5.855242E-6 | 5.855242E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.367154E-5 | 2.5093694E-5 | 2.5093694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8816288E-4 | 3.0548018E-4 | 3.0548018E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002877895 | 0.0030513185 | 0.0030513185 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.7780054E-6 | 5.0655335E-6 | 5.0655335E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0477004E-5 | 2.170929E-5 | 2.170929E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4927902E-4 | 2.642856E-4 | 2.642856E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024899957 | 0.002640405 | 0.002640405 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.883171E-6 | 4.11858E-6 | 4.11858E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6642054E-5 | 1.7650977E-5 | 1.7650977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0259817E-4 | 2.1488633E-4 | 2.1488633E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020241356 | 0.002147461 | 0.002147461 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.8358215E-6 | 3.0097845E-6 | 3.0097845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2153464E-5 | 1.289905E-5 | 1.289905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4795837E-4 | 1.5704118E-4 | 1.5704118E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001478599 | 0.0015699473 | 0.0015699473 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Cruz Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.160073E-5 | 3.160073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3542545E-4 | 1.4542408E-4 | 1.0738313 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015206301 | 0.001647694 | 0.0016776446 | 1.0181773 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015102667 | 0.016368508 | 0.016398016 | 1.0018028 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.160073E-5 | 3.160073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3542545E-4 | 1.4542408E-4 | 1.0738313 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015206301 | 0.001647694 | 0.0016776446 | 1.0181773 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015102667 | 0.016368508 | 0.016398016 | 1.0018028 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.160073E-5 | 3.160073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3542545E-4 | 1.4542408E-4 | 1.0738313 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015206301 | 0.001647694 | 0.0016776446 | 1.0181773 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015102667 | 0.016368508 | 0.016398016 | 1.0018028 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.7804829E-5 | 1.7804829E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.630428E-5 | 8.630351E-5 | 1.1310443 | 1.0E-5 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.2862686E-4 | 9.58599E-4 | 1.0322758 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008642701 | 0.009249336 | 0.009279058 | 1.0032135 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.7804829E-5 | 1.7804829E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.630428E-5 | 8.630351E-5 | 1.1310443 | 1.0E-5 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.2862686E-4 | 9.58599E-4 | 1.0322758 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008642701 | 0.009249336 | 0.009279058 | 1.0032135 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2238748E-5 | 1.3043318E-5 | 1.3043318E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2450723E-5 | 5.5898756E-5 | 5.5898756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3840044E-4 | 6.8035856E-4 | 6.9035176E-4 | 1.0146881 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0063656955 | 0.006783155 | 0.006793087 | 1.0014642 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0489767E-5 | 1.1156903E-5 | 1.1156903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.495537E-5 | 4.7814436E-5 | 4.7814436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4719415E-4 | 5.819875E-4 | 5.9198163E-4 | 1.0171725 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005458487 | 0.0058048745 | 0.0058148163 | 1.0017127 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.699222E-6 | 9.236997E-6 | 9.236997E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7281847E-5 | 3.9586535E-5 | 3.9586535E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5381195E-4 | 4.8186004E-4 | 4.918552E-4 | 1.0207429 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045288634 | 0.00480822 | 0.0048181717 | 1.0020698 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.307732E-6 | 8.817108E-6 | 8.817108E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.560408E-5 | 3.7787064E-5 | 3.7787064E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3339343E-4 | 4.599608E-4 | 4.699562E-4 | 1.021731 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004325492 | 0.0045901416 | 0.0046000956 | 1.0021685 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.073121E-6 | 8.565136E-6 | 8.565136E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.459863E-5 | 3.6707213E-5 | 3.6707213E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2115687E-4 | 4.468191E-4 | 4.5681463E-4 | 1.0223705 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004203596 | 0.0044592586 | 0.004469214 | 1.0022326 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.617019E-6 | 8.074848E-6 | 8.074848E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.264396E-5 | 3.4606033E-5 | 3.4606033E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9736772E-4 | 4.2124742E-4 | 4.3124318E-4 | 1.023729 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003966579 | 0.004204537 | 0.0042144945 | 1.0023683 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1224836E-6 | 7.545958E-6 | 7.545958E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.052457E-5 | 3.233942E-5 | 3.233942E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.715733E-4 | 3.9366167E-4 | 4.0365773E-4 | 1.0253925 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003709526 | 0.0039296863 | 0.0039396468 | 1.0025347 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.441115E-6 | 6.8275385E-6 | 6.8275385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7604487E-5 | 2.9260553E-5 | 2.9260553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.360328E-4 | 3.5618924E-4 | 3.6618568E-4 | 1.028065 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033552512 | 0.0035562117 | 0.0035661762 | 1.002802 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.494274E-6 | 5.820126E-6 | 5.820126E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3546674E-5 | 2.4943158E-5 | 2.4943158E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8664304E-4 | 3.0364085E-4 | 3.136378E-4 | 1.0329237 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002862736 | 0.0030322827 | 0.0030422523 | 1.0032878 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.0802624E-6 | 4.31235E-6 | 4.31235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7486722E-5 | 1.848137E-5 | 1.848137E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1288003E-4 | 2.2498753E-4 | 2.3498527E-4 | 1.0444369 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021267622 | 0.0022476064 | 0.002257584 | 1.0044392 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.3584746E-6 | 2.4753579E-6 | 2.4753579E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0107709E-5 | 1.0608634E-5 | 1.0608634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2305441E-4 | 1.2915251E-4 | 1.3915122E-4 | 1.0774179 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012298629 | 0.0012907796 | 0.0013007667 | 1.0077373 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 9.4981914E-7 | 9.861094E-7 | 9.861094E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0706473E-6 | 4.2261763E-6 | 4.2261763E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9559E-5 | 5.1452495E-5 | 5.1452495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.954795E-4 | 5.144071E-4 | 5.144071E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.6013532E-7 | 2.6416947E-7 | 2.6416947E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1148652E-6 | 1.1321544E-6 | 1.1321544E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3573399E-5 | 1.3783893E-5 | 1.3783893E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.357257E-4 | 1.3783044E-4 | 1.3783044E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.1522263E-8 | 3.965728E-8 | 3.965728E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7795254E-7 | 1.6995976E-7 | 1.6995976E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.16657E-6 | 2.0692582E-6 | 2.0692582E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1665488E-5 | 2.0692412E-5 | 2.0692412E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.7242046E-10 | 5.947586E-10 | 5.947586E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3103735E-9 | 2.548966E-9 | 2.548966E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0303796E-8 | 3.1033657E-8 | 3.1033657E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.030379E-7 | 3.1033656E-7 | 3.1033656E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Monterey Bay-Tularcitos
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.2799864E-5 | 3.2799864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.4056388E-4 | 1.4056388E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001571 | 0.0017101272 | 0.001740076 | 1.0175126 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015599402 | 0.016980479 | 0.01700997 | 1.0017368 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.2799864E-5 | 3.2799864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.4056388E-4 | 1.4056388E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001571 | 0.0017101272 | 0.001740076 | 1.0175126 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015599402 | 0.016980479 | 0.01700997 | 1.0017368 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.2799864E-5 | 3.2799864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.4056388E-4 | 1.4056388E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001571 | 0.0017101272 | 0.001740076 | 1.0175126 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015599402 | 0.016980479 | 0.01700997 | 1.0017368 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6998249E-5 | 1.8331346E-5 | 1.8331346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.28476E-5 | 7.8560646E-5 | 7.8560646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.865586E-4 | 9.5607486E-4 | 9.7605574E-4 | 1.0208988 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0088303005 | 0.009521541 | 0.00954135 | 1.0020806 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6998249E-5 | 1.8331346E-5 | 1.8331346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.28476E-5 | 7.8560646E-5 | 7.8560646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.865586E-4 | 9.5607486E-4 | 9.7605574E-4 | 1.0208988 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0088303005 | 0.009521541 | 0.00954135 | 1.0020806 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.27470785E-5 | 1.3693703E-5 | 1.3693703E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4629192E-5 | 5.8686037E-5 | 5.8686037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.649074E-4 | 7.142786E-4 | 7.342643E-4 | 1.0279803 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0066292146 | 0.0071208808 | 0.0071407384 | 1.0027887 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2739422E-5 | 1.368579E-5 | 1.368579E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4596385E-5 | 5.8652127E-5 | 5.8652127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.645082E-4 | 7.1386603E-4 | 7.3385175E-4 | 1.0279964 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0066252467 | 0.007116781 | 0.0071366387 | 1.0027902 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0160109E-5 | 1.0886056E-5 | 1.0886056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.35426E-5 | 4.665373E-5 | 4.665373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.300022E-4 | 5.6786824E-4 | 5.8785686E-4 | 1.0351994 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005287399 | 0.0056648827 | 0.0056847692 | 1.0035105 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.349859E-6 | 8.932831E-6 | 8.932831E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.578462E-5 | 3.8283033E-5 | 3.8283033E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3559066E-4 | 4.660019E-4 | 4.8599255E-4 | 1.0428983 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004347378 | 0.004650812 | 0.004670719 | 1.0042803 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.193639E-6 | 5.536578E-6 | 5.536578E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2258262E-5 | 2.3727995E-5 | 2.3727995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7096065E-4 | 2.888533E-4 | 2.988504E-4 | 1.0346097 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027063051 | 0.0028850995 | 0.0028950707 | 1.0034561 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.359381E-6 | 4.6434907E-6 | 4.6434907E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8682927E-5 | 1.9900539E-5 | 1.9900539E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.274409E-4 | 2.422651E-4 | 2.522627E-4 | 1.041267 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022720827 | 0.002420303 | 0.0024302788 | 1.0041217 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.0398533E-6 | 3.2311304E-6 | 3.2311304E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3027877E-5 | 1.38476435E-5 | 1.38476435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5860285E-4 | 1.6858464E-4 | 1.6858464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001584897 | 0.0016848252 | 0.0016848252 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.642335E-6 | 1.7333632E-6 | 1.7333632E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0385595E-6 | 7.42869E-6 | 7.42869E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.569109E-5 | 9.044261E-5 | 9.044261E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5658056E-4 | 9.042608E-4 | 9.042608E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.356842E-7 | 3.2953292E-7 | 3.2953292E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4386458E-6 | 1.4122833E-6 | 1.4122833E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7515373E-5 | 1.7194414E-5 | 1.7194414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7513991E-4 | 1.7193092E-4 | 1.7193092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.1973483E-7 | 2.1007183E-7 | 2.1007183E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.417204E-7 | 9.0030755E-7 | 9.0030755E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1465385E-5 | 1.0961189E-5 | 1.0961189E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1464794E-4 | 1.09606524E-4 | 1.09606524E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1944135E-7 | 1.069668E-7 | 1.069668E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.118914E-7 | 4.5842907E-7 | 4.5842907E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.23226E-6 | 5.58136E-6 | 5.58136E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2320854E-5 | 5.581221E-5 | 5.581221E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.636058E-8 | 3.3369925E-8 | 3.3369925E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9868818E-7 | 1.4301396E-7 | 1.4301396E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.419026E-6 | 1.7411936E-6 | 1.7411936E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4189996E-5 | 1.7411801E-5 | 1.7411801E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.8588572E-8 | 8.006854E-9 | 8.006854E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9665305E-8 | 3.4315086E-8 | 3.4315086E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.699246E-7 | 4.177861E-7 | 4.177861E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.699204E-6 | 4.1778535E-6 | 4.1778535E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7960154E-9 | 7.6150086E-10 | 7.6150086E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1982923E-8 | 3.263576E-9 | 3.263576E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4589209E-7 | 3.973404E-8 | 3.973404E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4589199E-6 | 3.9734036E-7 | 3.9734036E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.837368E-6 | 9.837368E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.215953E-5 | 4.215953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.13182E-4 | 5.3317175E-4 | 1.0389525 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.0051349862 | 0.0051648323 | 1.0058123 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.837368E-6 | 9.837368E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.215953E-5 | 4.215953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.13182E-4 | 5.3317175E-4 | 1.0389525 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.0051349862 | 0.0051648323 | 1.0058123 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.837368E-6 | 9.837368E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.215953E-5 | 4.215953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.13182E-4 | 5.3317175E-4 | 1.0389525 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.0051349862 | 0.0051648323 | 1.0058123 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.837368E-6 | 9.837368E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.215953E-5 | 4.215953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.13182E-4 | 5.3317175E-4 | 1.0389525 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.0051349862 | 0.0051648323 | 1.0058123 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.3445207E-6 | 6.097168E-6 | 6.097168E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8619241E-5 | 2.6130463E-5 | 2.6130463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2666567E-4 | 3.1809296E-4 | 3.1809296E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022643462 | 0.0031904704 | 0.0032004386 | 1.0031244 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.3445207E-6 | 6.097168E-6 | 6.097168E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8619241E-5 | 2.6130463E-5 | 2.6130463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2666567E-4 | 3.1809296E-4 | 3.1809296E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022643462 | 0.0031904704 | 0.0032004386 | 1.0031244 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.040109E-6 | 5.7795705E-6 | 5.7795705E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7314638E-5 | 2.4769359E-5 | 2.4769359E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1078532E-4 | 3.0152613E-4 | 3.0152613E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002105855 | 0.003025258 | 0.0030352278 | 1.0032955 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.3632055E-6 | 5.073056E-6 | 5.073056E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4413658E-5 | 2.1741489E-5 | 2.1741489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7547216E-4 | 2.646708E-4 | 2.646708E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017533366 | 0.0026575872 | 0.0026675607 | 1.0037528 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.2902772E-6 | 4.9949617E-6 | 4.9949617E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4101111E-5 | 2.1406804E-5 | 2.1406804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.716675E-4 | 2.6059698E-4 | 2.6059698E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017153495 | 0.0026169452 | 0.002626919 | 1.0038112 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.031547E-6 | 4.6965038E-6 | 4.6965038E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.299228E-5 | 2.012772E-5 | 2.012772E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5816953E-4 | 2.450277E-4 | 2.450277E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00158057 | 0.0024616045 | 0.00247158 | 1.0040524 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8259715E-6 | 4.375518E-6 | 4.375518E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.211125E-5 | 1.8752087E-5 | 1.8752087E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4744449E-4 | 2.2828298E-4 | 2.2828298E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001473467 | 0.0022945125 | 0.0023044897 | 1.0043483 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.5962665E-6 | 4.070513E-6 | 4.070513E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1126809E-5 | 1.7444941E-5 | 1.7444941E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3546048E-4 | 2.1237167E-4 | 2.1237167E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013537793 | 0.0021357224 | 0.002145701 | 1.0046723 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.3247253E-6 | 3.6808153E-6 | 3.6808153E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.96307E-6 | 1.5774829E-5 | 1.5774829E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.21293626E-4 | 1.920418E-4 | 1.920418E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012122744 | 0.0019328168 | 0.0019427976 | 1.0051638 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.056928E-6 | 3.2390424E-6 | 3.2390424E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.815376E-6 | 1.3881537E-5 | 1.3881537E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0732192E-4 | 1.6899477E-4 | 1.6899477E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001072701 | 0.0017027856 | 0.0017127686 | 1.0058627 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.8055999E-6 | 2.8290253E-6 | 2.8290253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.738263E-6 | 1.2124339E-5 | 1.2124339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4209274E-5 | 1.4760398E-4 | 1.4760398E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4169343E-4 | 0.0014893094 | 0.0014893094 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4683443E-6 | 2.4280814E-6 | 2.4280814E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.292889E-6 | 1.0406023E-5 | 1.0406023E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.661323E-5 | 1.2668605E-4 | 1.2668605E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.658682E-4 | 0.0012804194 | 0.0012804194 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.804088E-7 | 1.9035172E-6 | 1.9035172E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.201745E-6 | 8.1579055E-6 | 8.1579055E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1155046E-5 | 9.931802E-5 | 9.931802E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.114327E-4 | 0.0010070456 | 0.0010070456 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 7.3434086E-7 | 1.6315946E-6 | 1.6315946E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1471714E-6 | 6.9925295E-6 | 6.9925295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.831614E-5 | 8.513075E-5 | 8.513075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8309532E-4 | 8.653218E-4 | 8.653218E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.434184E-7 | 1.524984E-6 | 1.524984E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7575045E-6 | 6.5356294E-6 | 6.5356294E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.35721E-5 | 7.95684E-5 | 7.95684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3567028E-4 | 8.0939435E-4 | 8.0939435E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.4943926E-7 | 7.589662E-7 | 7.589662E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.497596E-6 | 3.2527084E-6 | 3.2527084E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8233079E-5 | 3.9601015E-5 | 3.9601015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8231584E-4 | 4.0475818E-4 | 4.0475818E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.717524E-8 | 5.8527466E-8 | 5.8527466E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8789387E-7 | 2.5083196E-7 | 2.5083196E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.505102E-6 | 3.053875E-6 | 3.053875E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5050467E-5 | 3.2803182E-5 | 3.2803182E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.1984914E-8 | 1.2998009E-8 | 1.2998009E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.370782E-7 | 5.570575E-8 | 5.570575E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6689258E-6 | 6.782173E-7 | 6.782173E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6689133E-5 | 7.768219E-6 | 7.768219E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.21887656E-8 | 3.6619658E-9 | 3.6619658E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2237567E-8 | 1.569414E-8 | 1.569414E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.359922E-7 | 1.9107613E-7 | 1.9107613E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3599036E-6 | 2.2543272E-6 | 2.2543272E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Cruz Catalina Ridge alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2833184E-5 | 3.6559966E-5 | 3.6559966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4070606E-4 | 1.566771E-4 | 1.566771E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00171175 | 0.0019060409 | 0.0019260028 | 1.010473 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016986247 | 0.018913835 | 0.018943269 | 1.0015562 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9835548E-5 | 2.1660251E-5 | 2.1660251E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.500672E-5 | 9.2826456E-5 | 9.2826456E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010344655 | 0.0011295964 | 0.001139585 | 1.0088427 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010296632 | 0.011240681 | 0.011260456 | 1.0017593 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9835548E-5 | 2.1660251E-5 | 2.1660251E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.500672E-5 | 9.2826456E-5 | 9.2826456E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010344655 | 0.0011295964 | 0.001139585 | 1.0088427 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010296632 | 0.011240681 | 0.011260456 | 1.0017593 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5728183E-5 | 1.7034477E-5 | 1.7034477E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7404755E-5 | 7.300289E-5 | 7.300289E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2034385E-4 | 8.884539E-4 | 8.98445E-4 | 1.0112455 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008173222 | 0.0088497 | 0.008859611 | 1.00112 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5728183E-5 | 1.7034477E-5 | 1.7034477E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7404755E-5 | 7.300289E-5 | 7.300289E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2034385E-4 | 8.884539E-4 | 8.98445E-4 | 1.0112455 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008173222 | 0.0088497 | 0.008859611 | 1.00112 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3707734E-5 | 1.4794959E-5 | 1.4794959E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8746107E-5 | 6.3405445E-5 | 6.3405445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1499916E-4 | 7.7169144E-4 | 7.816837E-4 | 1.0129485 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0071270303 | 0.007690516 | 0.007700439 | 1.0012903 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2539813E-5 | 1.3510608E-5 | 1.3510608E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3740947E-5 | 5.790134E-5 | 5.790134E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.540996E-4 | 7.0472347E-4 | 7.1471644E-4 | 1.01418 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0065217763 | 0.00702519 | 0.00703512 | 1.0014135 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1504083E-5 | 1.23777245E-5 | 1.23777245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.930228E-5 | 5.3046326E-5 | 5.3046326E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0008996E-4 | 6.456496E-4 | 6.556432E-4 | 1.0154783 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005984721 | 0.0064379675 | 0.006447903 | 1.0015433 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.012739E-5 | 1.0877371E-5 | 1.0877371E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.340238E-5 | 4.661648E-5 | 4.661648E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.282958E-4 | 5.674093E-4 | 5.774037E-4 | 1.017614 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052704164 | 0.005659775 | 0.0056697186 | 1.0017569 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.9607865E-6 | 9.609376E-6 | 9.609376E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8402806E-5 | 4.1182397E-5 | 4.1182397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6745385E-4 | 5.012814E-4 | 5.1127636E-4 | 1.0199388 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046647177 | 0.005001626 | 0.005011576 | 1.0019894 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.046829E-6 | 8.619974E-6 | 8.619974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4485955E-5 | 3.6942227E-5 | 3.6942227E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1978562E-4 | 4.4967962E-4 | 4.5967512E-4 | 1.022228 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004189935 | 0.0044877874 | 0.0044977427 | 1.0022182 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.136131E-6 | 7.637856E-6 | 7.637856E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0583058E-5 | 3.273326E-5 | 3.273326E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7228514E-4 | 3.9845527E-4 | 4.084513E-4 | 1.0250869 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037166206 | 0.003977485 | 0.0039874455 | 1.0025041 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.362014E-6 | 6.805135E-6 | 6.805135E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.726549E-5 | 2.9164541E-5 | 2.9164541E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3190678E-4 | 3.550211E-4 | 3.6501753E-4 | 1.0281574 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033141149 | 0.0035446077 | 0.0035545724 | 1.0028112 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.004101E-6 | 5.3518534E-6 | 5.3518534E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1445969E-5 | 2.2936316E-5 | 2.2936316E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6107338E-4 | 2.792144E-4 | 2.892116E-4 | 1.0358047 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002607669 | 0.0027886906 | 0.0027986628 | 1.0035759 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.4901443E-6 | 3.7321488E-6 | 3.7321488E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4957676E-5 | 1.5994827E-5 | 1.5994827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8209449E-4 | 1.9472E-4 | 2.0471806E-4 | 1.0513458 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018194534 | 0.0019455325 | 0.0019555131 | 1.0051299 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1215045E-6 | 1.1894139E-6 | 1.1894139E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.806439E-6 | 5.097478E-6 | 5.097478E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.851682E-5 | 6.206006E-5 | 7.205944E-5 | 1.1611242 | 1.0E-5 | 5.850142E-4 | 6.204304E-4 | 6.304242E-4 | 1.0161078 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.8599047E-7 | 2.995252E-7 | 2.995252E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2256729E-6 | 1.2836788E-6 | 1.2836788E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4922465E-5 | 1.5628679E-5 | 1.5628679E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4921463E-4 | 1.5627593E-4 | 1.5627593E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.0781519E-7 | 2.1744698E-7 | 2.1744698E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.906362E-7 | 9.319153E-7 | 9.319153E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08434415E-5 | 1.134601E-5 | 1.134601E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0842913E-4 | 1.1345441E-4 | 1.1345441E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.614776E-8 | 3.7641595E-8 | 3.7641595E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5491896E-7 | 1.6132111E-7 | 1.6132111E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8861368E-6 | 1.964083E-6 | 1.964083E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8861208E-5 | 1.9640667E-5 | 1.9640667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.2820747E-5 | 1.2820747E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.4945023E-5 | 5.4945023E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.6877244E-4 | 6.6877244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051611643 | 0.0066725444 | 0.006702344 | 1.004466 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.2820747E-5 | 1.2820747E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.4945023E-5 | 5.4945023E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.6877244E-4 | 6.6877244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051611643 | 0.0066725444 | 0.006702344 | 1.004466 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.2820747E-5 | 1.2820747E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.4945023E-5 | 5.4945023E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.6877244E-4 | 6.6877244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051611643 | 0.0066725444 | 0.006702344 | 1.004466 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.479711E-6 | 8.116608E-6 | 8.116608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3484265E-5 | 3.478502E-5 | 3.478502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.858834E-4 | 4.234285E-4 | 4.234285E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028551589 | 0.0042292974 | 0.0042591705 | 1.0070634 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.465009E-6 | 8.100901E-6 | 8.100901E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3421257E-5 | 3.4717705E-5 | 3.4717705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.851165E-4 | 4.2260927E-4 | 4.2260927E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028475097 | 0.004221136 | 0.0042510093 | 1.0070771 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.826767E-6 | 7.4259433E-6 | 7.4259433E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.068598E-5 | 3.1825097E-5 | 3.1825097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.518227E-4 | 3.8740446E-4 | 3.8740446E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025153751 | 0.0038703296 | 0.0039002134 | 1.0077213 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.3146847E-6 | 6.885868E-6 | 6.885868E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8491375E-5 | 2.9510544E-5 | 2.9510544E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2510924E-4 | 3.5923408E-4 | 3.5923408E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022488134 | 0.00358954 | 0.0036094682 | 1.0055517 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6968106E-6 | 5.9988747E-6 | 5.9988747E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5843378E-5 | 2.5709218E-5 | 2.5709218E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9287605E-4 | 3.129663E-4 | 3.129663E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019270873 | 0.0031281714 | 0.003148109 | 1.0063735 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4671132E-6 | 5.705485E-6 | 5.705485E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4858972E-5 | 2.4451858E-5 | 2.4451858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8089297E-4 | 2.9766213E-4 | 2.9766213E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018074579 | 0.0029755419 | 0.0029954822 | 1.0067015 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.7686972E-6 | 4.828284E-6 | 4.828284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1865792E-5 | 2.0692485E-5 | 2.0692485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4445644E-4 | 2.5190265E-4 | 2.5190265E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014436257 | 0.0025190106 | 0.0025389602 | 1.0079197 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.1472624E-6 | 3.9878205E-6 | 3.9878205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.20252E-6 | 1.7090551E-5 | 1.7090551E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.12034926E-4 | 2.0805813E-4 | 2.0805813E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011197845 | 0.0020814463 | 0.0020914255 | 1.0047944 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.7018335E-6 | 3.3474337E-6 | 3.3474337E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.293552E-6 | 1.43460675E-5 | 1.43460675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.879537E-5 | 1.7464973E-4 | 1.7464973E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.87599E-4 | 0.0017479076 | 0.0017578901 | 1.0057111 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.25603E-6 | 2.7968986E-6 | 2.7968986E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3829745E-6 | 1.19866545E-5 | 1.19866545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.553574E-5 | 1.4592797E-4 | 1.4592797E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.551642E-4 | 0.0014610763 | 0.0014710617 | 1.0068343 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.112297E-6 | 2.612615E-6 | 2.612615E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7669787E-6 | 1.1196874E-5 | 1.1196874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.803642E-5 | 1.3631364E-4 | 1.3631364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.802127E-4 | 0.0013648873 | 0.0013748737 | 1.0073166 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.0137181E-6 | 2.4856786E-6 | 2.4856786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3444993E-6 | 1.0652866E-5 | 1.0652866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2892992E-5 | 1.2969115E-4 | 1.2969115E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.288041E-4 | 0.0012985073 | 0.0013084944 | 1.0076911 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 9.598608E-7 | 2.4092724E-6 | 2.4092724E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1136827E-6 | 1.0325413E-5 | 1.0325413E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0082934E-5 | 1.2570487E-4 | 1.2570487E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.007165E-4 | 0.001258501 | 0.0012684884 | 1.007936 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.929459E-7 | 2.0467362E-6 | 2.0467362E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3983351E-6 | 8.771698E-6 | 8.771698E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1373947E-5 | 1.0679036E-4 | 1.0679036E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1366243E-4 | 0.0010695859 | 0.0010695859 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.155788E-7 | 1.161881E-6 | 1.161881E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7810507E-6 | 4.9794808E-6 | 4.9794808E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1684076E-5 | 6.062353E-5 | 6.062353E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1681961E-4 | 6.0933456E-4 | 6.0933456E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.14666925E-7 | 2.5949376E-7 | 2.5949376E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.914296E-7 | 1.1121157E-6 | 1.1121157E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9831386E-6 | 1.3539928E-5 | 1.3539928E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9829777E-5 | 1.364928E-4 | 1.364928E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.9231824E-8 | 4.1511043E-8 | 4.1511043E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2527924E-7 | 1.7790445E-7 | 1.7790445E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5252737E-6 | 2.1659848E-6 | 2.1659848E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5252632E-5 | 2.198074E-5 | 2.198074E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 08 (Quinto)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.737697E-6 | 8.253242E-6 | 8.253242E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3161137E-5 | 3.5370667E-5 | 3.5370667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0366207E-4 | 4.3057164E-4 | 4.4056732E-4 | 1.0232149 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004029296 | 0.004299227 | 0.004319141 | 1.004632 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.737697E-6 | 8.253242E-6 | 8.253242E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3161137E-5 | 3.5370667E-5 | 3.5370667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0366207E-4 | 4.3057164E-4 | 4.4056732E-4 | 1.0232149 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004029296 | 0.004299227 | 0.004319141 | 1.004632 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.737697E-6 | 8.253242E-6 | 8.253242E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3161137E-5 | 3.5370667E-5 | 3.5370667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0366207E-4 | 4.3057164E-4 | 4.4056732E-4 | 1.0232149 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004029296 | 0.004299227 | 0.004319141 | 1.004632 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.374012E-6 | 5.7507236E-6 | 5.7507236E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3031276E-5 | 2.464579E-5 | 2.464579E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.803697E-4 | 3.000323E-4 | 3.100293E-4 | 1.0333197 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028001624 | 0.0029973655 | 0.0030073356 | 1.0033263 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.374012E-6 | 5.7507236E-6 | 5.7507236E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3031276E-5 | 2.464579E-5 | 2.464579E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.803697E-4 | 3.000323E-4 | 3.100293E-4 | 1.0333197 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028001624 | 0.0029973655 | 0.0030073356 | 1.0033263 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.65427E-6 | 3.941439E-6 | 3.941439E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5661062E-5 | 1.6891812E-5 | 1.6891812E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9065675E-4 | 2.0564545E-4 | 2.0564545E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019049325 | 0.0020552434 | 0.0020552434 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 3.6143538E-6 | 3.8986245E-6 | 3.8986245E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5489995E-5 | 1.6708324E-5 | 1.6708324E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8857437E-4 | 2.034119E-4 | 2.034119E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018841444 | 0.0020329487 | 0.0020329487 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.4821015E-6 | 2.6857888E-6 | 2.6857888E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0637535E-5 | 1.1510504E-5 | 1.1510504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2950429E-4 | 1.4013704E-4 | 1.4013704E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012942884 | 0.0014010416 | 0.0014010416 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 4.7110538E-7 | 5.193218E-7 | 5.193218E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0190216E-6 | 2.2256631E-6 | 2.2256631E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.458131E-5 | 2.709713E-5 | 2.709713E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.457859E-4 | 2.7094007E-4 | 2.7094007E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.958685E-7 | 4.3705143E-7 | 4.3705143E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6965782E-6 | 1.8730763E-6 | 1.8730763E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0655643E-5 | 2.2804481E-5 | 2.2804481E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0653724E-4 | 2.2802303E-4 | 2.2802303E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.70294E-7 | 2.9921196E-7 | 2.9921196E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1584025E-6 | 1.2823365E-6 | 1.2823365E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4103458E-5 | 1.5612348E-5 | 1.5612348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4102564E-4 | 1.5611379E-4 | 1.5611379E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.4828602E-7 | 1.6469784E-7 | 1.6469784E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3551136E-7 | 7.0584775E-7 | 7.0584775E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.737323E-6 | 8.593671E-6 | 8.593671E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.737054E-5 | 8.593418E-5 | 8.593418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 03a Dunnigan Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6591328E-5 | 1.8108569E-5 | 1.8108569E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.110376E-5 | 7.760624E-5 | 7.760624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6534437E-4 | 9.4451546E-4 | 9.4451546E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008619824 | 0.0094118435 | 0.0094316555 | 1.002105 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.041125E-6 | 8.770022E-6 | 8.770022E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4461507E-5 | 3.758538E-5 | 3.758538E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.194881E-4 | 4.5752624E-4 | 4.5752624E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004186971 | 0.0045678406 | 0.004577795 | 1.0021793 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.2807004E-6 | 3.57969E-6 | 3.57969E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4060069E-5 | 1.5341462E-5 | 1.5341462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7116789E-4 | 1.8677044E-4 | 1.8677044E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017103611 | 0.0018665427 | 0.0018765241 | 1.0053475 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9339366E-6 | 2.1104522E-6 | 2.1104522E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.288273E-6 | 9.04478E-6 | 9.04478E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.00905054E-4 | 1.10117486E-4 | 1.10117486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010085925 | 0.0011009092 | 0.0011009092 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.3142635E-6 | 1.4340352E-6 | 1.4340352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6325457E-6 | 6.145865E-6 | 6.145865E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.857408E-5 | 7.4825904E-5 | 7.4825904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8552926E-4 | 7.482591E-4 | 7.482591E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough south
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.279495E-5 | 1.0426505E-4 | 1.0426505E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5478722E-4 | 4.467786E-4 | 4.467786E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004310982 | 0.0054264204 | 0.0054363664 | 1.0018328 | 1.0E-5 | 0.042283054 | 0.05299778 | 0.05301672 | 1.0003574 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.6961468E-5 | 5.7734378E-5 | 5.7734378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0124791E-4 | 2.474105E-4 | 2.474105E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00244744 | 0.003008139 | 0.003018109 | 1.0033143 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024206603 | 0.029682081 | 0.029701488 | 1.0006539 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.5079658E-5 | 4.214565E-5 | 4.214565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5033272E-4 | 1.8061193E-4 | 1.8061193E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018287642 | 0.002196752 | 0.00220673 | 1.0045422 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018137876 | 0.021752795 | 0.02177236 | 1.0008994 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.5079658E-5 | 4.214565E-5 | 4.214565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5033272E-4 | 1.8061193E-4 | 1.8061193E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018287642 | 0.002196752 | 0.00220673 | 1.0045422 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018137876 | 0.021752795 | 0.02177236 | 1.0008994 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7196904E-5 | 3.2089287E-5 | 3.2089287E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16552954E-4 | 1.3751832E-4 | 1.3751832E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014181085 | 0.0016730119 | 0.0016730119 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014090929 | 0.016605772 | 0.016615607 | 1.0005922 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.5584688E-5 | 3.0103593E-5 | 3.0103593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0964406E-4 | 1.2900907E-4 | 1.2900907E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013340989 | 0.0015695662 | 0.0015695662 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013261181 | 0.015586352 | 0.015596196 | 1.0006316 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2034688E-5 | 2.574433E-5 | 2.574433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.443096E-5 | 1.1032819E-4 | 1.1032819E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011490905 | 0.0013424256 | 0.0013424256 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011431668 | 0.013344158 | 0.013354025 | 1.0007393 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9394853E-5 | 2.2543129E-5 | 2.2543129E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.311815E-5 | 9.660986E-5 | 9.660986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010114936 | 0.0011755956 | 0.0011755956 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01006902 | 0.011694471 | 0.011704355 | 1.0008451 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7615313E-5 | 2.0404388E-5 | 2.0404388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.549201E-5 | 8.7444474E-5 | 8.7444474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1872766E-4 | 0.0010641208 | 0.0010641208 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009149387 | 0.010590821 | 0.010600715 | 1.0009342 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5621423E-5 | 1.802715E-5 | 1.802715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6947236E-5 | 7.725695E-5 | 7.725695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.147778E-4 | 9.40201E-4 | 9.40201E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008117969 | 0.009362677 | 0.009362677 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.3444376E-5 | 1.5448948E-5 | 1.5448948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7617483E-5 | 6.620811E-5 | 6.620811E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0126704E-4 | 8.057884E-4 | 8.057884E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006990582 | 0.008029 | 0.008029 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.2268361E-5 | 1.4073802E-5 | 1.4073802E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2577634E-5 | 6.0314913E-5 | 6.0314913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.399447E-4 | 7.340893E-4 | 7.340893E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063810493 | 0.007316949 | 0.007316949 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0922655E-5 | 1.2514242E-5 | 1.2514242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.681054E-5 | 5.3631382E-5 | 5.3631382E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.697693E-4 | 6.52769E-4 | 6.52769E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056831064 | 0.006508796 | 0.006508796 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.1106753E-6 | 6.9292714E-6 | 6.9292714E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6188345E-5 | 2.969654E-5 | 2.969654E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1879646E-4 | 3.614958E-4 | 3.614958E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031833951 | 0.003609123 | 0.003609123 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.933187E-6 | 5.5898304E-6 | 5.5898304E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.114206E-5 | 2.3956198E-5 | 2.3956198E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5737417E-4 | 2.9162806E-4 | 2.9162806E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002570763 | 0.002912495 | 0.002912495 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.9697716E-6 | 1.9697716E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.441852E-6 | 8.441852E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 1.0277492E-4 | 1.0277492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1216754E-4 | 0.001027296 | 0.001027296 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7534032E-7 | 1.7534032E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.5145834E-7 | 7.5145834E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.148969E-6 | 9.148969E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.1486116E-5 | 9.1486116E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pitas Point (Lower West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.855988E-6 | 7.855988E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.366809E-5 | 3.366809E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.098326E-4 | 4.098326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042443196 | 0.004090849 | 0.004110767 | 1.004869 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.855988E-6 | 7.855988E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.366809E-5 | 3.366809E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.098326E-4 | 4.098326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042443196 | 0.004090849 | 0.004110767 | 1.004869 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.855988E-6 | 7.855988E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.366809E-5 | 3.366809E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.098326E-4 | 4.098326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042443196 | 0.004090849 | 0.004110767 | 1.004869 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.855988E-6 | 7.855988E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.366809E-5 | 3.366809E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.098326E-4 | 4.098326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042443196 | 0.004090849 | 0.004110767 | 1.004869 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.855988E-6 | 7.855988E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.366809E-5 | 3.366809E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.098326E-4 | 4.098326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042443196 | 0.004090849 | 0.004110767 | 1.004869 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.855988E-6 | 7.855988E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.366809E-5 | 3.366809E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.098326E-4 | 4.098326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042443196 | 0.004090849 | 0.004110767 | 1.004869 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.855988E-6 | 7.855988E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.366809E-5 | 3.366809E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.098326E-4 | 4.098326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042443196 | 0.004090849 | 0.004110767 | 1.004869 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.855988E-6 | 7.855988E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.366809E-5 | 3.366809E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.098326E-4 | 4.098326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042443196 | 0.004090849 | 0.004110767 | 1.004869 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.855988E-6 | 7.855988E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.366809E-5 | 3.366809E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.098326E-4 | 4.098326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042443196 | 0.004090849 | 0.004110767 | 1.004869 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.855988E-6 | 7.855988E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.366809E-5 | 3.366809E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.098326E-4 | 4.098326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042443196 | 0.004090849 | 0.004110767 | 1.004869 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.103535E-6 | 7.805416E-6 | 7.805416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4728975E-5 | 3.345136E-5 | 3.345136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2274324E-4 | 4.0719492E-4 | 4.0719492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042193993 | 0.0040645683 | 0.0040844874 | 1.0049006 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.853298E-6 | 7.5411017E-6 | 7.5411017E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3656554E-5 | 3.231861E-5 | 3.231861E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.096915E-4 | 3.9340876E-4 | 3.9340876E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00408937 | 0.003927199 | 0.0039471206 | 1.0050727 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.771102E-6 | 7.4533814E-6 | 7.4533814E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.33043E-5 | 3.1942676E-5 | 3.1942676E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0540437E-4 | 3.888334E-4 | 3.888334E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040466557 | 0.003881606 | 0.0039015284 | 1.0051326 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.3945344E-6 | 7.0494752E-6 | 7.0494752E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1690477E-5 | 3.021169E-5 | 3.021169E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8576324E-4 | 3.6776587E-4 | 3.6776587E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038509427 | 0.0036716403 | 0.0036915669 | 1.0054271 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.964645E-6 | 6.5903128E-6 | 6.5903128E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9848137E-5 | 2.8243894E-5 | 2.8243894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6334046E-4 | 3.4381566E-4 | 3.4381566E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036274698 | 0.0034328906 | 0.0034528219 | 1.005806 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.6525035E-6 | 6.259344E-6 | 6.259344E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.851042E-5 | 2.6825486E-5 | 2.6825486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4705905E-4 | 3.2655182E-4 | 3.2655182E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034651754 | 0.0032607713 | 0.003280706 | 1.0061135 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.613338E-6 | 5.1515435E-6 | 5.1515435E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.405694E-5 | 2.2077858E-5 | 2.2077858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.928539E-4 | 2.6876508E-4 | 2.6876508E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029246826 | 0.0026844318 | 0.0027043782 | 1.0074303 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.494704E-6 | 3.9970437E-6 | 3.9970437E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9262876E-5 | 1.7130076E-5 | 1.7130076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3450027E-4 | 2.0853896E-4 | 2.0853896E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023425296 | 0.0020834568 | 0.002103415 | 1.0095794 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.6075882E-6 | 2.1837177E-6 | 2.1837177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.117533E-5 | 9.358757E-6 | 9.358757E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3605114E-4 | 1.13936956E-4 | 1.13936956E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013596788 | 0.0011387902 | 0.0011487787 | 1.0087713 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.045984E-7 | 3.242491E-7 | 3.242491E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.733992E-6 | 1.3896382E-6 | 1.3896382E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1111147E-5 | 1.6918717E-5 | 1.6918717E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1109142E-4 | 1.691746E-4 | 1.691746E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.683899E-9 | 5.683899E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.4359569E-8 | 2.4359569E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.9657772E-7 | 2.9657772E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.9657754E-6 | 2.9657754E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Green Valley 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.9629346E-5 | 1.7303848E-4 | 1.7303848E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2691303E-4 | 7.4138644E-4 | 7.4138644E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051852856 | 0.008987556 | 0.008997466 | 1.0011027 | 1.0E-5 | 0.050659515 | 0.085531354 | 0.085549645 | 1.0002139 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.88615E-5 | 1.7151143E-4 | 1.7151143E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2362334E-4 | 7.3484564E-4 | 7.3484564E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051454236 | 0.008908582 | 0.008918492 | 1.0011125 | 1.0E-5 | 0.050279044 | 0.08481896 | 0.084837265 | 1.0002158 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.696895E-5 | 1.6790195E-4 | 1.6790195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.15515E-4 | 7.1938505E-4 | 7.1938505E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050471667 | 0.008721955 | 0.008731868 | 1.0011365 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04934063 | 0.0831278 | 0.08314614 | 1.0002205 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.275224E-5 | 1.5969513E-4 | 1.5969513E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9744904E-4 | 6.8423175E-4 | 6.8423175E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048282105 | 0.008297268 | 0.008307185 | 1.0011952 | 1.0E-5 | 0.047246475 | 0.07926584 | 0.07928426 | 1.0002323 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.391499E-5 | 1.4366843E-4 | 1.4366843E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.595861E-4 | 6.155804E-4 | 6.155804E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004369175 | 0.007467746 | 0.0074776714 | 1.0013291 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04284265 | 0.071639314 | 0.07165788 | 1.0002592 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.9519385E-5 | 9.9333476E-5 | 9.9333476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5505814E-4 | 4.256481E-4 | 4.256481E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031009112 | 0.0051687746 | 0.0051687746 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.030579966 | 0.050152317 | 0.050152317 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 4.5361558E-5 | 7.4024836E-5 | 7.4024836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9439218E-4 | 3.172121E-4 | 3.172121E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023641558 | 0.0038542293 | 0.0038542293 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023391623 | 0.037672568 | 0.037672568 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.8808106E-5 | 6.264898E-5 | 6.264898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6630985E-4 | 2.6847058E-4 | 2.6847058E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020229418 | 0.0032630444 | 0.0032630444 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020046256 | 0.03201223 | 0.03201223 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.2284667E-5 | 3.1286814E-5 | 3.1286814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.550222E-5 | 1.3407956E-4 | 1.3407956E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011621192 | 0.001631194 | 0.001631194 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011560607 | 0.016168851 | 0.016168851 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.8050168E-5 | 2.4449426E-5 | 2.4449426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.735557E-5 | 1.0477909E-4 | 1.0477909E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4139716E-4 | 0.0012749414 | 0.0012749414 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009374191 | 0.012668718 | 0.012668718 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.4763166E-5 | 1.9583993E-5 | 1.9583993E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.326917E-5 | 8.392872E-5 | 8.392872E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7002996E-4 | 0.0010213543 | 0.0010213543 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007673672 | 0.010165875 | 0.010165875 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.2399713E-5 | 1.6304672E-5 | 1.6304672E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3140546E-5 | 6.987531E-5 | 6.987531E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.467941E-4 | 8.5040176E-4 | 8.5040176E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006449148 | 0.00847215 | 0.00847215 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0584195E-5 | 1.3922639E-5 | 1.3922639E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5360044E-5 | 5.9667098E-5 | 5.9667098E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.521186E-4 | 7.262064E-4 | 7.262064E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055074887 | 0.0072389557 | 0.0072389557 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.998173E-6 | 1.0544787E-5 | 1.0544787E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4277433E-5 | 4.519117E-5 | 4.519117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1724785E-4 | 5.5006467E-4 | 5.5006467E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004164653 | 0.005487378 | 0.005487378 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.7571127E-6 | 8.933404E-6 | 8.933404E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8958733E-5 | 3.8285463E-5 | 3.8285463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5251552E-4 | 4.6602674E-4 | 4.6602674E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035195686 | 0.004650877 | 0.004650877 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.69878E-6 | 7.516939E-6 | 7.516939E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4423114E-5 | 3.221506E-5 | 3.221506E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9731085E-4 | 3.9214865E-4 | 3.9214865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002969134 | 0.0039149234 | 0.0039149234 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.503664E-6 | 5.936074E-6 | 5.936074E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9301275E-5 | 2.5440073E-5 | 2.5440073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3496768E-4 | 3.096897E-4 | 3.096897E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002347194 | 0.00309284 | 0.00309284 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.0873546E-6 | 1.4107881E-6 | 1.4107881E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6600826E-6 | 6.0462207E-6 | 6.0462207E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6735033E-5 | 7.361028E-5 | 7.361028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.672055E-4 | 7.358837E-4 | 7.358837E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.9373917E-8 | 6.1781606E-8 | 6.1781606E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1160248E-7 | 2.647783E-7 | 2.647783E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5762572E-6 | 3.2236724E-6 | 3.2236724E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5762274E-5 | 3.2229233E-5 | 3.2229233E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coronado Bank alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.533492E-5 | 9.395986E-5 | 9.395986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.22824E-4 | 4.0262466E-4 | 4.0262466E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039233007 | 0.004891563 | 0.004891563 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03854755 | 0.047908224 | 0.047927268 | 1.0003974 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.0496918E-5 | 5.0496918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.1639766E-4 | 2.1639766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0026315402 | 0.0026315402 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021578677 | 0.02601311 | 0.02603259 | 1.0007489 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.0496918E-5 | 5.0496918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.1639766E-4 | 2.1639766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0026315402 | 0.0026315402 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021578677 | 0.02601311 | 0.02603259 | 1.0007489 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.1793104E-5 | 3.771375E-5 | 3.771375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3624904E-4 | 1.6162056E-4 | 1.6162056E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016575698 | 0.001965986 | 0.001965986 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016452603 | 0.019489842 | 0.019499646 | 1.0005031 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.9878007E-5 | 3.5338224E-5 | 3.5338224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2804232E-4 | 1.5144094E-4 | 1.5144094E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015578003 | 0.0018422656 | 0.0018422656 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015469253 | 0.018273704 | 0.018283522 | 1.0005373 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.4512565E-5 | 2.8765979E-5 | 2.8765979E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0504962E-4 | 1.232771E-4 | 1.232771E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012782287 | 0.001499892 | 0.001499892 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012709012 | 0.014900656 | 0.014910508 | 1.0006611 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.1317413E-5 | 2.490825E-5 | 2.490825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.135714E-5 | 1.0674539E-4 | 1.0674539E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011117056 | 0.0012988725 | 0.0012988725 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011061605 | 0.01291522 | 0.012925091 | 1.0007643 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8585655E-5 | 2.1636219E-5 | 2.1636219E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9650374E-5 | 9.272347E-5 | 9.272347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6931186E-4 | 0.0011283441 | 0.0011283441 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0096509475 | 0.011228313 | 0.011238201 | 1.0008806 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5862879E-5 | 1.8420596E-5 | 1.8420596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.798199E-5 | 7.894313E-5 | 7.894313E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.273665E-4 | 9.607281E-4 | 9.607281E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008242928 | 0.00956773 | 0.009577634 | 1.0010352 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3021509E-5 | 1.5096175E-5 | 1.5096175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5805274E-5 | 6.469639E-5 | 6.469639E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.792174E-4 | 7.87412E-4 | 7.87412E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006771452 | 0.007848044 | 0.007857965 | 1.0012642 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0974371E-5 | 1.2720872E-5 | 1.2720872E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7032172E-5 | 5.4516982E-5 | 5.4516982E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7246623E-4 | 6.635597E-4 | 6.635597E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057099373 | 0.006617533 | 0.006627467 | 1.0015011 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.766221E-6 | 1.016445E-5 | 1.016445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7568978E-5 | 4.3561296E-5 | 4.3561296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.573063E-4 | 5.3024694E-4 | 5.3024694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045636636 | 0.0052915174 | 0.005301465 | 1.0018798 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.026024E-7 | 8.3319793E-7 | 8.3319793E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.43972E-6 | 3.5708433E-6 | 3.5708433E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1877785E-5 | 4.347416E-5 | 4.347416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1869894E-4 | 4.3465765E-4 | 4.3465765E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.7293114E-7 | 3.700173E-7 | 3.700173E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5982754E-6 | 1.5857875E-6 | 1.5857875E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9458828E-5 | 1.9306792E-5 | 1.9306792E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9457124E-4 | 1.9305121E-4 | 1.9305121E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0557036E-7 | 1.9674718E-7 | 1.9674718E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.810155E-7 | 8.432019E-7 | 8.432019E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0726311E-5 | 1.0265935E-5 | 1.0265935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0725793E-4 | 1.02654645E-4 | 1.02654645E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.845446E-8 | 6.279461E-8 | 6.279461E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9337625E-7 | 2.6911974E-7 | 2.6911974E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5718497E-6 | 3.2765279E-6 | 3.2765279E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5717923E-5 | 3.2764805E-5 | 3.2764805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.0975145E-9 | 5.531938E-9 | 5.531938E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6132206E-8 | 2.3708306E-8 | 2.3708306E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1815955E-7 | 2.886486E-7 | 2.886486E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.181591E-6 | 2.8864833E-6 | 2.8864833E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pleito
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.47835E-5 | 2.47835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0621108E-4 | 1.0621108E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012924249 | 0.001302412 | 1.0077274 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012963934 | 0.012983674 | 1.0015228 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.47835E-5 | 2.47835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0621108E-4 | 1.0621108E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012924249 | 0.001302412 | 1.0077274 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012963934 | 0.012983674 | 1.0015228 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.47835E-5 | 2.47835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0621108E-4 | 1.0621108E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012924249 | 0.001302412 | 1.0077274 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012963934 | 0.012983674 | 1.0015228 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.47835E-5 | 2.47835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0621108E-4 | 1.0621108E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012924249 | 0.001302412 | 1.0077274 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012963934 | 0.012983674 | 1.0015228 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.47835E-5 | 2.47835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0621108E-4 | 1.0621108E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012924249 | 0.001302412 | 1.0077274 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012963934 | 0.012983674 | 1.0015228 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.47835E-5 | 2.47835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0621108E-4 | 1.0621108E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012924249 | 0.001302412 | 1.0077274 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.012963934 | 0.012983674 | 1.0015228 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.7233999E-5 | 1.7233999E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.3857926E-5 | 7.3857926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.169696E-4 | 8.98853E-4 | 9.0884406E-4 | 1.0111153 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051576863 | 0.009060637 | 0.009080456 | 1.0021874 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.7233999E-5 | 1.7233999E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.3857926E-5 | 7.3857926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.169696E-4 | 8.98853E-4 | 9.0884406E-4 | 1.0111153 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051576863 | 0.009060637 | 0.009080456 | 1.0021874 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.300162E-6 | 1.5493557E-5 | 1.5493557E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.557164E-5 | 6.6399276E-5 | 6.6399276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3299864E-4 | 8.0811273E-4 | 8.1810466E-4 | 1.0123645 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004321559 | 0.008160056 | 0.008179893 | 1.0024309 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.183114E-6 | 1.5364762E-5 | 1.5364762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5070017E-5 | 6.584733E-5 | 6.584733E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2689382E-4 | 8.013978E-4 | 8.1138976E-4 | 1.0124682 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042607468 | 0.008093396 | 0.008113234 | 1.0024512 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.1748823E-6 | 1.4151507E-5 | 1.4151507E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0749135E-5 | 6.0647904E-5 | 6.0647904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.743064E-4 | 7.381386E-4 | 7.381386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037367654 | 0.007464557 | 0.0074744825 | 1.0013297 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1671807E-6 | 1.4141874E-5 | 1.4141874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0716128E-5 | 6.0606628E-5 | 6.0606628E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7390468E-4 | 7.376364E-4 | 7.376364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037327618 | 0.007459569 | 0.007469494 | 1.0013306 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.0649667E-6 | 1.3989097E-5 | 1.3989097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0278077E-5 | 5.9951897E-5 | 5.9951897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6857324E-4 | 7.296704E-4 | 7.296704E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036796255 | 0.0073803063 | 0.0073902328 | 1.0013449 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.02082E-6 | 1.3932515E-5 | 1.3932515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.008888E-5 | 5.9709415E-5 | 5.9709415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6627054E-4 | 7.2672014E-4 | 7.2672014E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036566744 | 0.0073507866 | 0.007360713 | 1.0013504 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.987146E-6 | 1.3892056E-5 | 1.3892056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9944567E-5 | 5.953603E-5 | 5.953603E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6451413E-4 | 7.246106E-4 | 7.246106E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036391679 | 0.0073297117 | 0.0073396387 | 1.0013543 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.9494554E-6 | 1.3848946E-5 | 1.3848946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9783041E-5 | 5.9351278E-5 | 5.9351278E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.625482E-4 | 7.223627E-4 | 7.223627E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036195726 | 0.007307332 | 0.007317259 | 1.0013585 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.92694E-6 | 1.38080295E-5 | 1.38080295E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9686547E-5 | 5.917593E-5 | 5.917593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6137376E-4 | 7.202293E-4 | 7.202293E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036078666 | 0.0072860694 | 0.0072959964 | 1.0013624 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.395867E-6 | 1.26862815E-5 | 1.26862815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.741057E-5 | 5.4368647E-5 | 5.4368647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.336726E-4 | 6.617376E-4 | 6.617376E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033317201 | 0.0067043374 | 0.0067142705 | 1.0014815 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.8664327E-6 | 1.1552348E-5 | 1.1552348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5141611E-5 | 4.9509126E-5 | 4.9509126E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.060561E-4 | 6.026071E-4 | 6.026071E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030563495 | 0.006108948 | 0.0061188866 | 1.001627 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.7167474E-6 | 7.1240274E-6 | 7.1240274E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.592882E-5 | 3.0531188E-5 | 3.0531188E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9391612E-4 | 3.71654E-4 | 3.71654E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019374699 | 0.0037725463 | 0.0037825087 | 1.0026407 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.0903841E-6 | 1.2900018E-6 | 1.2900018E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6730665E-6 | 5.5285677E-6 | 5.5285677E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.68931E-5 | 6.730825E-5 | 6.730825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6878536E-4 | 6.952782E-4 | 6.952782E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.6894583E-7 | 1.10915344E-7 | 1.10915344E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1526245E-6 | 4.7535138E-7 | 4.7535138E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4033113E-5 | 5.7873876E-6 | 5.7873876E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4032227E-4 | 6.474463E-5 | 6.474463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 5.2967013E-9 | 2.4652675E-9 | 2.4652675E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2700148E-8 | 1.0565434E-8 | 1.0565434E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637427E-7 | 1.2863414E-7 | 1.2863414E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637393E-6 | 1.4635481E-6 | 1.4635481E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Simi-Santa Rosa
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.198912E-5 | 2.2276545E-5 | 3.2276323E-5 | 1.4488926 | 1.0E-5 | 9.4235686E-5 | 9.5467665E-5 | 1.0546671E-4 | 1.1047375 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011467156 | 0.0011617428 | 0.0011717313 | 1.0085977 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011408163 | 0.011561144 | 0.011580913 | 1.0017099 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.198912E-5 | 2.2276545E-5 | 3.2276323E-5 | 1.4488926 | 1.0E-5 | 9.4235686E-5 | 9.5467665E-5 | 1.0546671E-4 | 1.1047375 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011467156 | 0.0011617428 | 0.0011717313 | 1.0085977 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011408163 | 0.011561144 | 0.011580913 | 1.0017099 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.69983E-5 | 1.6669404E-5 | 2.6669239E-5 | 1.5998914 | 1.0E-5 | 7.284782E-5 | 7.143852E-5 | 8.14378E-5 | 1.1399705 | 1.0E-5 | 8.865613E-4 | 8.69446E-4 | 8.794374E-4 | 1.0114915 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008830327 | 0.008663366 | 0.008683193 | 1.0022886 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.69983E-5 | 1.6669404E-5 | 2.6669239E-5 | 1.5998914 | 1.0E-5 | 7.284782E-5 | 7.143852E-5 | 8.14378E-5 | 1.1399705 | 1.0E-5 | 8.865613E-4 | 8.69446E-4 | 8.794374E-4 | 1.0114915 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008830327 | 0.008663366 | 0.008683193 | 1.0022886 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4666188E-5 | 1.405327E-5 | 2.405313E-5 | 1.7115681 | 1.0E-5 | 6.285358E-5 | 6.0227052E-5 | 7.022645E-5 | 1.1660284 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6497364E-4 | 7.3304254E-4 | 7.430352E-4 | 1.0136318 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0076234564 | 0.007308721 | 0.007328575 | 1.0027164 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4666188E-5 | 1.405327E-5 | 2.405313E-5 | 1.7115681 | 1.0E-5 | 6.285358E-5 | 6.0227052E-5 | 7.022645E-5 | 1.1660284 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6497364E-4 | 7.3304254E-4 | 7.430352E-4 | 1.0136318 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0076234564 | 0.007308721 | 0.007328575 | 1.0027164 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4377586E-5 | 1.3730296E-5 | 2.373016E-5 | 1.7283064 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1616774E-5 | 5.884294E-5 | 6.8842346E-5 | 1.1699339 | 1.0E-5 | 7.4992597E-4 | 7.1620214E-4 | 7.26195E-4 | 1.0139525 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007474003 | 0.007141408 | 0.0071612652 | 1.0027806 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3881404E-5 | 1.3208241E-5 | 2.320811E-5 | 1.7570931 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9490372E-5 | 5.660566E-5 | 6.660509E-5 | 1.1766508 | 1.0E-5 | 7.240546E-4 | 6.889807E-4 | 6.989738E-4 | 1.0145042 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007217 | 0.006870896 | 0.006890759 | 1.0028908 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0176516E-5 | 9.154653E-6 | 1.915456E-5 | 2.0923307 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3612912E-5 | 3.9233728E-5 | 4.9233335E-5 | 1.2548728 | 1.0E-5 | 5.308578E-4 | 4.775825E-4 | 4.8757775E-4 | 1.0209287 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052959146 | 0.0047671953 | 0.0047871 | 1.0041753 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.699797E-6 | 8.775202E-6 | 1.8775114E-5 | 2.139565 | 1.0E-5 | 4.15699E-5 | 3.760756E-5 | 4.7607184E-5 | 1.2658939 | 1.0E-5 | 5.05996E-4 | 4.5779228E-4 | 4.677877E-4 | 1.021834 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005048454 | 0.0045701102 | 0.0045900187 | 1.0043563 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.4049476E-6 | 6.559699E-6 | 6.559699E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1735104E-5 | 2.8112765E-5 | 2.8112765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8630638E-4 | 3.422318E-4 | 3.422318E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038563553 | 0.00341829 | 0.003428256 | 1.0029154 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.873439E-6 | 2.7596802E-6 | 2.7596802E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6600346E-5 | 1.1827148E-5 | 1.1827148E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0209046E-4 | 1.4398625E-4 | 1.4398625E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020190678 | 0.0014389532 | 0.0014489387 | 1.0069395 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.417706E-6 | 2.3678058E-6 | 2.3678058E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4647229E-5 | 1.0147701E-5 | 1.0147701E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7831543E-4 | 1.2354148E-4 | 1.2354148E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017817242 | 0.0012347503 | 0.0012447379 | 1.0080888 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.90225E-6 | 1.4075096E-6 | 1.4075096E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.152474E-6 | 6.03217E-6 | 6.03217E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9251854E-5 | 7.3439216E-5 | 7.3439216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.920754E-4 | 7.3415175E-4 | 7.4414443E-4 | 1.0136112 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.5170556E-6 | 1.1026041E-6 | 1.1026041E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5016507E-6 | 4.7254375E-6 | 4.7254375E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.915472E-5 | 5.7530695E-5 | 5.7530695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9126534E-4 | 5.7515915E-4 | 5.851534E-4 | 1.0173765 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.178732E-6 | 8.536309E-7 | 8.536309E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0516987E-6 | 3.658413E-6 | 3.658413E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1502695E-5 | 4.454028E-5 | 4.454028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.148568E-4 | 4.4531448E-4 | 4.5531002E-4 | 1.022446 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.8722386E-7 | 4.794313E-7 | 4.794313E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9452417E-6 | 2.054704E-6 | 2.054704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5857727E-5 | 2.5015737E-5 | 2.5015737E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5851944E-4 | 2.5012935E-4 | 2.6012684E-4 | 1.0399693 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.5126515E-7 | 3.6741878E-7 | 3.6741878E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3625628E-6 | 1.5746509E-6 | 1.5746509E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8763823E-5 | 1.9171208E-5 | 1.9171208E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.87601E-4 | 1.9169565E-4 | 2.0169374E-4 | 1.052156 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.3860243E-7 | 2.0082871E-7 | 2.0082871E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4511525E-6 | 8.606942E-7 | 8.606942E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7667637E-5 | 1.04789015E-5 | 1.04789015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7666233E-4 | 1.0478413E-4 | 1.0478413E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.7955386E-7 | 1.465565E-7 | 1.465565E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1980875E-6 | 6.2809914E-7 | 6.2809914E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4586617E-5 | 7.647081E-6 | 7.647081E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.458566E-4 | 7.646822E-5 | 7.646822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.6259015E-8 | 3.335875E-8 | 3.335875E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4111003E-7 | 1.4296606E-7 | 1.4296606E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9355108E-6 | 1.7406104E-6 | 1.7406104E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.935472E-5 | 1.7405982E-5 | 1.7405982E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
North Salt Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.849599E-6 | 1.9556126E-6 | 1.1955593E-5 | 6.113477 | 1.0E-5 | 7.926829E-6 | 8.381182E-6 | 1.8381097E-5 | 2.193139 | 1.0E-5 | 9.650487E-5 | 1.02038124E-4 | 1.120371E-4 | 1.0979925 | 1.0E-5 | 9.646297E-4 | 0.0010201106 | 0.0010400901 | 1.0195857 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.849599E-6 | 1.9556126E-6 | 1.1955593E-5 | 6.113477 | 1.0E-5 | 7.926829E-6 | 8.381182E-6 | 1.8381097E-5 | 2.193139 | 1.0E-5 | 9.650487E-5 | 1.02038124E-4 | 1.120371E-4 | 1.0979925 | 1.0E-5 | 9.646297E-4 | 0.0010201106 | 0.0010301004 | 1.0097928 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.849599E-6 | 1.9556126E-6 | 1.1955593E-5 | 6.113477 | 1.0E-5 | 7.926829E-6 | 8.381182E-6 | 1.8381097E-5 | 2.193139 | 1.0E-5 | 9.650487E-5 | 1.02038124E-4 | 1.120371E-4 | 1.0979925 | 1.0E-5 | 9.646297E-4 | 0.0010201106 | 0.0010301004 | 1.0097928 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.849599E-6 | 1.9556126E-6 | 1.1955593E-5 | 6.113477 | 1.0E-5 | 7.926829E-6 | 8.381182E-6 | 1.8381097E-5 | 2.193139 | 1.0E-5 | 9.650487E-5 | 1.02038124E-4 | 1.120371E-4 | 1.0979925 | 1.0E-5 | 9.646297E-4 | 0.0010201106 | 0.0010301004 | 1.0097928 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7803909E-6 | 1.8861124E-6 | 1.18860935E-5 | 6.301901 | 1.0E-5 | 7.630225E-6 | 8.083325E-6 | 1.8083245E-5 | 2.2371047 | 1.0E-5 | 9.289402E-5 | 9.841205E-5 | 1.0841106E-4 | 1.1016036 | 1.0E-5 | 9.28552E-4 | 9.838819E-4 | 9.938721E-4 | 1.0101538 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.9157696E-7 | 6.3003364E-7 | 6.3003364E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5353274E-6 | 2.7001417E-6 | 2.7001417E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0867173E-5 | 3.287377E-5 | 3.287377E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0862886E-4 | 3.28693E-4 | 3.28693E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 5.9157696E-7 | 6.3003364E-7 | 6.3003364E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5353274E-6 | 2.7001417E-6 | 2.7001417E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0867173E-5 | 3.287377E-5 | 3.287377E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0862886E-4 | 3.28693E-4 | 3.28693E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 5.9157696E-7 | 6.3003364E-7 | 6.3003364E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5353274E-6 | 2.7001417E-6 | 2.7001417E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0867173E-5 | 3.287377E-5 | 3.287377E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0862886E-4 | 3.28693E-4 | 3.28693E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 4.7536267E-7 | 5.066143E-7 | 5.066143E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.037267E-6 | 2.1712026E-6 | 2.1712026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4803443E-5 | 2.6434096E-5 | 2.6434096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4800675E-4 | 2.6431197E-4 | 2.6431197E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.6345344E-7 | 3.8751006E-7 | 3.8751006E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5576567E-6 | 1.6607564E-6 | 1.6607564E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8964305E-5 | 2.0219539E-5 | 2.0219539E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8962687E-4 | 2.021787E-4 | 2.021787E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.4087325E-7 | 2.570998E-7 | 2.570998E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0323135E-6 | 1.1018559E-6 | 1.1018559E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.25683455E-5 | 1.3415026E-5 | 1.3415026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2567634E-4 | 1.3414343E-4 | 1.3414343E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.551555E-8 | 9.044672E-8 | 9.044672E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6649516E-7 | 3.8762875E-7 | 3.8762875E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4620692E-6 | 4.7193707E-6 | 4.7193707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.46198E-5 | 4.7192825E-5 | 4.7192825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.475279E-8 | 2.5893618E-8 | 2.5893618E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0608338E-7 | 1.1097265E-7 | 1.1097265E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2915643E-6 | 1.3510912E-6 | 1.3510912E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2915569E-5 | 1.3510837E-5 | 1.3510837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5212393E-8 | 1.5847736E-8 | 1.5847736E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.519597E-8 | 6.791887E-8 | 6.791887E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9376065E-7 | 8.2691196E-7 | 8.2691196E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.937579E-6 | 8.269092E-6 | 8.269092E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 8.182E-9 | 8.447396E-9 | 8.447396E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5065714E-8 | 3.6203126E-8 | 3.6203126E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.26925E-7 | 4.4077296E-7 | 4.4077296E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.269242E-6 | 4.4077215E-6 | 4.4077215E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.479913E-9 | 5.6681158E-9 | 5.6681158E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3485342E-8 | 2.4291925E-8 | 2.4291925E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.85934E-7 | 2.9575415E-7 | 2.9575415E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8593363E-6 | 2.9575378E-6 | 2.9575378E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.6813562E-10 | 2.7732305E-10 | 2.7732305E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1491527E-9 | 1.1885273E-9 | 1.1885273E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3990933E-8 | 1.4470319E-8 | 1.4470319E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3990932E-7 | 1.447032E-7 | 1.447032E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Luis Range 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.9655205E-6 | 8.9655205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.842314E-5 | 3.842314E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.6770918E-4 | 4.6770918E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046003438 | 0.004668031 | 0.0046879374 | 1.0042645 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.9655205E-6 | 8.9655205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.842314E-5 | 3.842314E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.6770918E-4 | 4.6770918E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046003438 | 0.004668031 | 0.0046879374 | 1.0042645 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.9655205E-6 | 8.9655205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.842314E-5 | 3.842314E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.6770918E-4 | 4.6770918E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046003438 | 0.004668031 | 0.0046879374 | 1.0042645 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.9655205E-6 | 8.9655205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.842314E-5 | 3.842314E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.6770918E-4 | 4.6770918E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046003438 | 0.004668031 | 0.0046879374 | 1.0042645 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.9094193E-6 | 3.9412325E-6 | 3.9412325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6754546E-5 | 1.689089E-5 | 1.689089E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.039675E-4 | 2.0562745E-4 | 2.0562745E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020378039 | 0.0020544007 | 0.0020544007 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 3.9094193E-6 | 3.9412325E-6 | 3.9412325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6754546E-5 | 1.689089E-5 | 1.689089E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.039675E-4 | 2.0562745E-4 | 2.0562745E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020378039 | 0.0020544007 | 0.0020544007 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 3.0587726E-6 | 3.0754127E-6 | 3.0754127E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3108959E-5 | 1.31802735E-5 | 1.31802735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.595899E-4 | 1.6045813E-4 | 1.6045813E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015947534 | 0.0016034348 | 0.0016034348 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.6160574E-6 | 2.6251487E-6 | 2.6251487E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1211626E-5 | 1.12505895E-5 | 1.12505895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3649299E-4 | 1.3696737E-4 | 1.3696737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013640919 | 0.0013688358 | 0.0013688358 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.5110312E-6 | 2.518161E-6 | 2.518161E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0761518E-5 | 1.0792073E-5 | 1.0792073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.310136E-4 | 1.3138563E-4 | 1.3138563E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013093639 | 0.0013130854 | 0.0013130854 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.8564405E-6 | 1.8525035E-6 | 1.8525035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.95615E-6 | 7.939277E-6 | 7.939277E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.686181E-5 | 9.6656426E-5 | 9.6656426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.68196E-4 | 9.661459E-4 | 9.661459E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.546127E-6 | 1.5369683E-6 | 1.5369683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.626242E-6 | 6.5869904E-6 | 6.5869904E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.06715E-5 | 8.019366E-5 | 8.019366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0642226E-4 | 8.0164796E-4 | 8.0164796E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.3368208E-6 | 1.3235456E-6 | 1.3235456E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7292195E-6 | 5.672326E-6 | 5.672326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.975101E-5 | 6.9058384E-5 | 6.9058384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.972912E-4 | 6.9036975E-4 | 6.9036975E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0623363E-6 | 1.0454477E-6 | 1.0454477E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5528623E-6 | 4.4804824E-6 | 4.4804824E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5429686E-5 | 5.454851E-5 | 5.454851E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5415864E-4 | 5.453515E-4 | 5.453515E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.831679E-7 | 7.7274797E-7 | 7.7274797E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3564295E-6 | 3.3117728E-6 | 3.3117728E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.086376E-5 | 4.032009E-5 | 4.032009E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0856248E-4 | 4.0312787E-4 | 4.0312787E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9558846E-7 | 5.910713E-7 | 5.910713E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5525194E-6 | 2.53316E-6 | 2.53316E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.107648E-5 | 3.0840787E-5 | 3.0840787E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1072134E-4 | 3.0836518E-4 | 3.0836518E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.1616502E-7 | 4.1196952E-7 | 4.1196952E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7835631E-6 | 1.7655824E-6 | 1.7655824E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1714664E-5 | 2.1495754E-5 | 2.1495754E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1712543E-4 | 2.1493681E-4 | 2.1493681E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.3816014E-7 | 2.3377032E-7 | 2.3377032E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0206859E-6 | 1.0018724E-6 | 1.0018724E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.242678E-5 | 1.2197728E-5 | 1.2197728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2426086E-4 | 1.2197061E-4 | 1.2197061E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 9.918777E-8 | 9.3871236E-8 | 9.3871236E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2509038E-7 | 4.0230523E-7 | 4.0230523E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1754632E-6 | 4.898055E-6 | 4.898055E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1753424E-5 | 4.8979477E-5 | 4.8979477E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.4982556E-8 | 2.9689303E-8 | 2.9689303E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4992524E-7 | 1.2723987E-7 | 1.2723987E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8253382E-6 | 1.5491443E-6 | 1.5491443E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8253233E-5 | 1.5491336E-5 | 1.5491336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.6624908E-8 | 1.1479354E-8 | 1.1479354E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.12496E-8 | 4.9197237E-8 | 4.9197237E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6746354E-7 | 5.9897616E-7 | 5.9897616E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.674601E-6 | 5.9897457E-6 | 5.9897457E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.3352315E-9 | 3.0900678E-9 | 3.0900678E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.715099E-8 | 1.3243149E-8 | 1.3243149E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3056327E-7 | 1.6123532E-7 | 1.6123532E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3056278E-6 | 1.6123521E-6 | 1.6123521E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (Lake Isabella) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0016685E-6 | 4.0016685E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149905E-5 | 1.7149905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878196E-4 | 2.2877779E-4 | 1.0957737 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.002086042 | 0.0021060002 | 1.0095675 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0016685E-6 | 4.0016685E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149905E-5 | 1.7149905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878196E-4 | 2.2877779E-4 | 1.0957737 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.002086042 | 0.0021060002 | 1.0095675 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0016685E-6 | 4.0016685E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149905E-5 | 1.7149905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878196E-4 | 2.2877779E-4 | 1.0957737 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.002086042 | 0.0021060002 | 1.0095675 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0016685E-6 | 4.0016685E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149905E-5 | 1.7149905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878196E-4 | 2.2877779E-4 | 1.0957737 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.002086042 | 0.0021060002 | 1.0095675 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0016685E-6 | 4.0016685E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149905E-5 | 1.7149905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878196E-4 | 2.2877779E-4 | 1.0957737 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.002086042 | 0.0021060002 | 1.0095675 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7857532E-6 | 2.517885E-6 | 2.517885E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1938888E-5 | 1.0790893E-5 | 1.0790893E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4534626E-4 | 1.3137153E-4 | 1.4137021E-4 | 1.07611 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014525123 | 0.0013129715 | 0.0013229583 | 1.0076063 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2233348E-6 | 1.9441375E-6 | 1.9441375E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.528543E-6 | 8.331991E-6 | 8.331991E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1600384E-4 | 1.01437356E-4 | 1.01437356E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001159433 | 0.0010139191 | 0.0010139191 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.1635126E-6 | 1.883517E-6 | 1.883517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.272164E-6 | 8.072191E-6 | 8.072191E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1288274E-4 | 9.827458E-5 | 9.827458E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011282542 | 9.823194E-4 | 9.823194E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.8685711E-6 | 1.583154E-6 | 1.583154E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.008137E-6 | 6.7849282E-6 | 6.7849282E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.74947E-5 | 8.2603416E-5 | 8.2603416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.745194E-4 | 8.257321E-4 | 8.257321E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.5815071E-6 | 1.3065023E-6 | 1.3065023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.77787E-6 | 5.599284E-6 | 5.599284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.251744E-5 | 6.8169174E-5 | 6.8169174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.248681E-4 | 6.8148534E-4 | 6.8148534E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.3772564E-6 | 1.1210799E-6 | 1.1210799E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9025137E-6 | 4.8046195E-6 | 4.8046195E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.186073E-5 | 5.849469E-5 | 5.849469E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.18375E-4 | 5.8479497E-4 | 5.8479497E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0916998E-6 | 8.76384E-7 | 8.76384E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.678705E-6 | 3.7559262E-6 | 3.7559262E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6961744E-5 | 4.5727455E-5 | 4.5727455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6947145E-4 | 4.571818E-4 | 4.571818E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 7.6277024E-7 | 5.901501E-7 | 5.901501E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2690114E-6 | 2.5292122E-6 | 2.5292122E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9799485E-5 | 3.079273E-5 | 3.079273E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9792358E-4 | 3.0788523E-4 | 3.0788523E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.3265916E-7 | 4.382474E-7 | 4.382474E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.282823E-6 | 1.8782018E-6 | 1.8782018E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7793016E-5 | 2.2866872E-5 | 2.2866872E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.778954E-4 | 2.2864557E-4 | 2.2864557E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.4946007E-7 | 3.0065982E-7 | 3.0065982E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.497685E-6 | 1.2885415E-6 | 1.2885415E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8234163E-5 | 1.5687881E-5 | 1.5687881E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8232666E-4 | 1.5686797E-4 | 1.5686797E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.8317026E-7 | 1.4244961E-7 | 1.4244961E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.850152E-7 | 6.104982E-7 | 6.104982E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.557518E-6 | 7.432791E-6 | 7.432791E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5571064E-5 | 7.43255E-5 | 7.43255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7352981E-8 | 1.7352981E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.436992E-8 | 7.436992E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.054535E-7 | 9.054535E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.054503E-6 | 9.054503E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Verdugo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.216749E-6 | 4.216749E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.807166E-5 | 1.807166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.2000071E-4 | 2.3999631E-4 | 1.0908887 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028100356 | 0.002197877 | 0.002217833 | 1.0090797 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.216749E-6 | 4.216749E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.807166E-5 | 1.807166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.2000071E-4 | 2.3999631E-4 | 1.0908887 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028100356 | 0.002197877 | 0.002217833 | 1.0090797 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.216749E-6 | 4.216749E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.807166E-5 | 1.807166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.2000071E-4 | 2.3999631E-4 | 1.0908887 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028100356 | 0.002197877 | 0.002217833 | 1.0090797 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.216749E-6 | 4.216749E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.807166E-5 | 1.807166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.2000071E-4 | 2.3999631E-4 | 1.0908887 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028100356 | 0.002197877 | 0.002217833 | 1.0090797 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.216749E-6 | 4.216749E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.807166E-5 | 1.807166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.2000071E-4 | 2.3999631E-4 | 1.0908887 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028100356 | 0.002197877 | 0.002217833 | 1.0090797 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.9154837E-6 | 3.7226907E-6 | 3.7226907E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1066187E-5 | 1.5954292E-5 | 1.5954292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5645064E-4 | 1.9422639E-4 | 2.0422446E-4 | 1.0514764 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002561549 | 0.0019405873 | 0.0019505679 | 1.005143 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.9154837E-6 | 3.7226907E-6 | 3.7226907E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1066187E-5 | 1.5954292E-5 | 1.5954292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5645064E-4 | 1.9422639E-4 | 2.0422446E-4 | 1.0514764 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002561549 | 0.0019405873 | 0.0019505679 | 1.005143 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.817006E-6 | 3.620876E-6 | 3.620876E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0644147E-5 | 1.551795E-5 | 1.551795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.513135E-4 | 1.8891484E-4 | 1.9891295E-4 | 1.0529239 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025102948 | 0.0018875621 | 0.0018975433 | 1.0052879 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.507407E-6 | 3.3073225E-6 | 3.3073225E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9317316E-5 | 1.4174163E-5 | 1.4174163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3516294E-4 | 1.7255692E-4 | 1.8255519E-4 | 1.0579419 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023491425 | 0.0017242435 | 0.0017342264 | 1.0057896 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.3573054E-6 | 3.1612267E-6 | 3.1612267E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8674033E-5 | 1.3548045E-5 | 1.3548045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2733262E-4 | 1.6493509E-4 | 1.7493343E-4 | 1.06062 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022710022 | 0.0016481391 | 0.0016581226 | 1.0060575 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.171527E-6 | 2.9838823E-6 | 2.9838823E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.787785E-5 | 1.2788005E-5 | 1.2788005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1764109E-4 | 1.5568295E-4 | 1.656814E-4 | 1.064223 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021742806 | 0.0015557501 | 0.0015657346 | 1.0064178 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.0405484E-6 | 2.882471E-6 | 2.882471E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.731652E-5 | 1.235339E-5 | 1.235339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1080824E-4 | 1.5039225E-4 | 1.6039074E-4 | 1.0664828 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021060838 | 0.0015029159 | 0.0015129008 | 1.0066438 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.8306007E-6 | 2.702052E-6 | 2.702052E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6416758E-5 | 1.1580171E-5 | 1.1580171E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9985568E-4 | 1.4097958E-4 | 1.5097816E-4 | 1.0709223 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019967605 | 0.0014089121 | 0.001418898 | 1.0070877 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.5750938E-6 | 2.5123775E-6 | 2.5123775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.532174E-5 | 1.0767289E-5 | 1.0767289E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8652623E-4 | 1.3108396E-4 | 1.3108396E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018636974 | 0.0013100769 | 0.0013100769 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.3510041E-6 | 2.3410573E-6 | 2.3410573E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4361368E-5 | 1.0033064E-5 | 1.0033064E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7483562E-4 | 1.2214582E-4 | 1.2214582E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017469813 | 0.0012207972 | 0.0012207972 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.948287E-6 | 2.0391813E-6 | 2.0391813E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2635454E-5 | 8.73932E-6 | 8.73932E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.538258E-4 | 1.06396124E-4 | 1.06396124E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015371935 | 0.0010634621 | 0.0010634621 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.0134323E-6 | 1.4471713E-6 | 1.4471713E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.628967E-6 | 6.202148E-6 | 6.202148E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05052604E-4 | 7.550863E-5 | 7.550863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010500296 | 7.548385E-4 | 7.548385E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.726436E-7 | 4.0454702E-7 | 4.0454702E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4541846E-6 | 1.7337719E-6 | 1.7337719E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9879287E-5 | 2.1108495E-5 | 2.1108495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.987527E-4 | 2.1106745E-4 | 2.1106745E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.6248204E-7 | 1.0689014E-7 | 1.0689014E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.963514E-7 | 4.5810052E-7 | 4.5810052E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.478045E-6 | 5.57736E-6 | 5.57736E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.477722E-5 | 5.5772234E-5 | 5.5772234E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.4475744E-8 | 3.037953E-8 | 3.037953E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9061031E-7 | 1.3019798E-7 | 1.3019798E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.320678E-6 | 1.5851593E-6 | 1.5851593E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3206538E-5 | 1.5851494E-5 | 1.5851494E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Newport-Inglewood (Offshore)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9626508E-5 | 1.8965895E-5 | 1.8965895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.411089E-5 | 8.127995E-5 | 8.127995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001023569 | 9.891466E-4 | 0.0010091269 | 1.0201994 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010188672 | 0.009848783 | 0.0098685855 | 1.0020107 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.331886E-5 | 1.22184565E-5 | 1.22184565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.707958E-5 | 5.2363772E-5 | 5.2363772E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.947222E-4 | 6.373439E-4 | 6.573312E-4 | 1.0313603 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006925544 | 0.0063553383 | 0.006375211 | 1.003127 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2250852E-5 | 1.1076365E-5 | 1.1076365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2502597E-5 | 4.7469275E-5 | 4.7469275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3903164E-4 | 5.777862E-4 | 5.9777463E-4 | 1.0345949 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006371971 | 0.0057629608 | 0.0057828454 | 1.0034504 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2106258E-5 | 1.09192215E-5 | 1.09192215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1882926E-5 | 4.6795827E-5 | 4.6795827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3149154E-4 | 5.6959124E-4 | 5.8957987E-4 | 1.035093 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0062970007 | 0.0056814305 | 0.005701317 | 1.0035002 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1348758E-5 | 1.0109671E-5 | 1.0109671E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8636626E-5 | 4.3326447E-5 | 4.3326447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.919901E-4 | 5.2737264E-4 | 5.473621E-4 | 1.0379039 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005904155 | 0.005261307 | 0.005281202 | 1.0037813 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.100837E-5 | 9.743689E-6 | 9.743689E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7177873E-5 | 4.1758E-5 | 4.1758E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7423924E-4 | 5.082858E-4 | 5.282757E-4 | 1.039328 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005727576 | 0.0050713243 | 0.0050912225 | 1.0039238 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0634696E-5 | 9.345831E-6 | 9.345831E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.557647E-5 | 4.0052953E-5 | 4.0052953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5475225E-4 | 4.8753634E-4 | 5.0752657E-4 | 1.0410026 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0055336943 | 0.004864754 | 0.004884657 | 1.0040913 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.9780855E-6 | 8.668177E-6 | 8.668177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.276252E-5 | 3.7148802E-5 | 3.7148802E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.205093E-4 | 4.5219352E-4 | 4.7218447E-4 | 1.0442089 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0051929182 | 0.004512813 | 0.0045327228 | 1.0044118 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.59546E-6 | 8.273202E-6 | 8.273202E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1122752E-5 | 3.54561E-5 | 3.54561E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0055445E-4 | 4.315932E-4 | 4.5158458E-4 | 1.04632 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004994285 | 0.004307626 | 0.0043275394 | 1.0046229 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.000614E-6 | 7.707074E-6 | 7.707074E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.857349E-5 | 3.30299E-5 | 3.30299E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6953102E-4 | 4.020655E-4 | 4.2205746E-4 | 1.0497231 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004685402 | 0.004013452 | 0.004033372 | 1.0049633 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.4070194E-6 | 6.1490673E-6 | 6.1490673E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1743984E-5 | 2.635288E-5 | 2.635288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8641447E-4 | 3.2079924E-4 | 3.4079282E-4 | 1.0623243 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0038574322 | 0.0032033813 | 0.0032233172 | 1.0062234 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.299615E-6 | 5.056735E-6 | 5.056735E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.699807E-5 | 2.1671542E-5 | 2.1671542E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2865192E-4 | 2.638192E-4 | 2.8381392E-4 | 1.0757895 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003281663 | 0.0026350748 | 0.002655022 | 1.0075699 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.096653E-6 | 3.8928806E-6 | 3.8928806E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1842614E-5 | 1.6683667E-5 | 1.6683667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6590136E-4 | 2.0310482E-4 | 2.2310075E-4 | 1.0984514 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0026558342 | 0.002029203 | 0.0020491625 | 1.0098361 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.9753018E-6 | 2.9099551E-6 | 2.9099551E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7036897E-5 | 1.2471178E-5 | 1.2471178E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0740448E-4 | 1.5182608E-4 | 1.7182305E-4 | 1.1317097 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00207211 | 0.0015172317 | 0.0015372013 | 1.0131619 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.0568392E-6 | 2.1450342E-6 | 2.1450342E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3100675E-5 | 9.192971E-6 | 9.192971E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5948903E-4 | 1.11918744E-4 | 1.2191763E-4 | 1.0893406 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015937461 | 0.00111863 | 0.0011286188 | 1.0089295 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.7279019E-6 | 1.1469964E-6 | 1.1469964E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.405273E-6 | 4.9156897E-6 | 4.9156897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.015547E-5 | 5.9846916E-5 | 5.9846916E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.01189E-4 | 5.983119E-4 | 5.983119E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.1156416E-6 | 7.223189E-7 | 7.223189E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7813123E-6 | 3.0956487E-6 | 3.0956487E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.821092E-5 | 3.7688893E-5 | 3.7688893E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8195676E-4 | 3.7682737E-4 | 3.7682737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 9.117973E-8 | 6.734366E-8 | 6.734366E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.907702E-7 | 2.8861567E-7 | 2.8861567E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.757617E-6 | 3.5138903E-6 | 3.5138903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7575148E-5 | 3.5138375E-5 | 3.5138375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Puente Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2101656E-5 | 8.098865E-6 | 8.098865E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.470899E-5 | 3.470899E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.2250566E-4 | 4.3250143E-4 | 1.0236583 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062946146 | 0.004217584 | 0.0042374996 | 1.004722 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.2101656E-5 | 8.098865E-6 | 8.098865E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.470899E-5 | 3.470899E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.2250566E-4 | 4.3250143E-4 | 1.0236583 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062946146 | 0.004217584 | 0.0042374996 | 1.004722 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2101656E-5 | 8.098865E-6 | 8.098865E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.470899E-5 | 3.470899E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.2250566E-4 | 4.3250143E-4 | 1.0236583 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062946146 | 0.004217584 | 0.0042374996 | 1.004722 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2101656E-5 | 8.098865E-6 | 8.098865E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.470899E-5 | 3.470899E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.2250566E-4 | 4.3250143E-4 | 1.0236583 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062946146 | 0.004217584 | 0.0042374996 | 1.004722 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2101656E-5 | 8.098865E-6 | 8.098865E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.470899E-5 | 3.470899E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.2250566E-4 | 4.3250143E-4 | 1.0236583 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062946146 | 0.004217584 | 0.0042374996 | 1.004722 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2101656E-5 | 8.098865E-6 | 8.098865E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.470899E-5 | 3.470899E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.2250566E-4 | 4.3250143E-4 | 1.0236583 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062946146 | 0.004217584 | 0.0042374996 | 1.004722 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0222488E-5 | 6.3994567E-6 | 6.3994567E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3809923E-5 | 2.7425967E-5 | 2.7425967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.332553E-4 | 3.3386247E-4 | 3.438591E-4 | 1.0299425 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053197746 | 0.003333854 | 0.0033537874 | 1.0059791 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0222488E-5 | 6.3994567E-6 | 6.3994567E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3809923E-5 | 2.7425967E-5 | 2.7425967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.332553E-4 | 3.3386247E-4 | 3.438591E-4 | 1.0299425 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053197746 | 0.003333854 | 0.0033537874 | 1.0059791 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.6367845E-6 | 5.028465E-6 | 5.028465E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7014266E-5 | 2.1550388E-5 | 2.1550388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.505555E-4 | 2.6234493E-4 | 2.723423E-4 | 1.0381078 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004496431 | 0.0026204085 | 0.002640356 | 1.0076123 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.066481E-6 | 4.8363436E-6 | 4.8363436E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570177E-5 | 2.0727024E-5 | 2.0727024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2081063E-4 | 2.5232285E-4 | 2.623203E-4 | 1.0396217 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042001465 | 0.0025204173 | 0.002540367 | 1.0079151 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.393828E-6 | 4.4175476E-6 | 4.4175476E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.168745E-5 | 1.8932213E-5 | 1.8932213E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.857264E-4 | 2.3047575E-4 | 2.4047344E-4 | 1.0433785 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038505755 | 0.0023024126 | 0.0023223667 | 1.0086665 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.4660953E-6 | 3.8046633E-6 | 3.8046633E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7711543E-5 | 1.63056E-5 | 1.63056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.373358E-4 | 1.9850295E-4 | 2.0850096E-4 | 1.0503671 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033682417 | 0.0019832924 | 0.0020032527 | 1.0100642 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.143232E-6 | 2.7867002E-6 | 2.7867002E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2042237E-5 | 1.1942947E-5 | 1.1942947E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6833118E-4 | 1.4539577E-4 | 1.4539577E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002680074 | 0.0014530162 | 0.0014630016 | 1.0068722 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.928255E-6 | 2.0915206E-6 | 2.0915206E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.683527E-5 | 8.963629E-6 | 8.963629E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0495013E-4 | 1.09126784E-4 | 1.09126784E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002047612 | 0.0010907386 | 0.0011007277 | 1.0091581 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.7894434E-6 | 1.3547988E-6 | 1.3547988E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1954703E-5 | 5.806268E-6 | 5.806268E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4553878E-4 | 7.068906E-5 | 7.068906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001454435 | 7.066701E-4 | 7.166631E-4 | 1.0141408 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.041735E-6 | 8.788213E-7 | 8.788213E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.750263E-6 | 3.7663717E-6 | 3.7663717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06529245E-4 | 4.5854646E-5 | 4.5854646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010647819 | 4.584552E-4 | 4.584552E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6959062E-6 | 6.69932E-7 | 6.69932E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.268149E-6 | 2.871134E-6 | 2.871134E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.848612E-5 | 3.4955523E-5 | 3.4955523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.84509E-4 | 3.4950316E-4 | 3.4950316E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.4767965E-6 | 5.4080374E-7 | 5.4080374E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3291122E-6 | 2.3177283E-6 | 2.3177283E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.705422E-5 | 2.8218004E-5 | 2.8218004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.702751E-4 | 2.821468E-4 | 2.821468E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.8432911E-7 | 7.282665E-8 | 7.282665E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8998164E-7 | 3.1211422E-7 | 3.1211422E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.617985E-6 | 3.7999873E-6 | 3.7999873E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.617568E-5 | 3.7999547E-5 | 3.7999547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Superstition Mtn)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.4193904E-5 | 9.6015596E-5 | 9.6015596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7508775E-4 | 4.114403E-4 | 4.114403E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033440501 | 0.004999174 | 0.005019074 | 1.0039806 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03294174 | 0.04883318 | 0.048852205 | 1.0003896 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.4193904E-5 | 9.6015596E-5 | 9.6015596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7508775E-4 | 4.114403E-4 | 4.114403E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033440501 | 0.004999174 | 0.005019074 | 1.0039806 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03294174 | 0.04883318 | 0.048852205 | 1.0003896 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.7023593E-5 | 8.316277E-5 | 8.316277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4436394E-4 | 3.563726E-4 | 3.563726E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002971072 | 0.0043318486 | 0.004351762 | 1.004597 | 2.0E-5 | 0.029316625 | 0.042515133 | 0.04253428 | 1.0004504 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.6940098E-5 | 8.300813E-5 | 8.300813E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4400617E-4 | 3.5571004E-4 | 3.5571004E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002966728 | 0.004323814 | 0.0043437276 | 1.0046055 | 2.0E-5 | 0.029274331 | 0.042438503 | 0.042457655 | 1.0004513 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.4171585E-5 | 7.750185E-5 | 7.750185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3214328E-4 | 3.321178E-4 | 3.321178E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028226813 | 0.0040376857 | 0.004057605 | 1.0049334 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02787096 | 0.039727725 | 0.03974693 | 1.0004834 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.375144E-5 | 5.6438876E-5 | 5.6438876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.874927E-4 | 2.418651E-4 | 2.418651E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022803338 | 0.002941907 | 0.0029618482 | 1.0067784 | 2.0E-5 | 0.022570757 | 0.029247686 | 0.0292671 | 1.0006638 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.772192E-5 | 2.55047E-5 | 2.55047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1880282E-4 | 1.09301385E-4 | 1.09301385E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014454646 | 0.0013299515 | 0.0013399381 | 1.0075091 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014360986 | 0.013549172 | 0.013559037 | 1.000728 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.7124124E-5 | 2.4715611E-5 | 2.4715611E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1624106E-4 | 1.05919855E-4 | 1.05919855E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014143161 | 0.0012888305 | 0.0012988177 | 1.007749 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014053487 | 0.013142762 | 0.01315263 | 1.0007509 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.5475807E-5 | 2.2180184E-5 | 2.2180184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0917746E-4 | 9.5054536E-5 | 9.5054536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001328425 | 0.0011566866 | 0.001166675 | 1.0086354 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0132051185 | 0.011830379 | 0.0118402615 | 1.0008353 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.1162023E-5 | 1.7640663E-5 | 1.7640663E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.069123E-5 | 7.560068E-5 | 7.560068E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011036064 | 9.2005334E-4 | 9.300441E-4 | 1.0108589 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010981417 | 0.009454107 | 0.009464012 | 1.0010477 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.8754288E-5 | 1.6175372E-5 | 1.6175372E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037304E-5 | 6.93212E-5 | 6.93212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.781026E-4 | 8.4366126E-4 | 8.536528E-4 | 1.0118431 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009738087 | 0.008676944 | 0.008686857 | 1.0011425 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.8678527E-5 | 1.6100512E-5 | 1.6100512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0048376E-5 | 6.900038E-5 | 6.900038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7415317E-4 | 8.397583E-4 | 8.4974995E-4 | 1.0118982 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009698939 | 0.00863793 | 0.008647844 | 1.0011476 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.7804578E-5 | 1.5394931E-5 | 1.5394931E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6303106E-5 | 6.5976616E-5 | 6.5976616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.285943E-4 | 8.0297154E-4 | 8.129635E-4 | 1.0124438 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009247236 | 0.008269232 | 0.008279149 | 1.0011992 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.6583685E-5 | 1.4543888E-5 | 1.4543888E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1070994E-5 | 6.232947E-5 | 6.232947E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.649459E-4 | 7.5859914E-4 | 7.6859153E-4 | 1.0131721 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00861587 | 0.007824483 | 0.007834405 | 1.001268 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.6387552E-5 | 1.4408749E-5 | 1.4408749E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.023047E-5 | 6.175033E-5 | 6.175033E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5472054E-4 | 7.515529E-4 | 7.6154544E-4 | 1.0132958 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008514405 | 0.0077538397 | 0.007763762 | 1.0012797 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.5790754E-5 | 1.4049312E-5 | 1.4049312E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.767291E-5 | 6.0209957E-5 | 6.0209957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.236062E-4 | 7.3281163E-4 | 7.428043E-4 | 1.0136361 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008205604 | 0.00756434 | 0.007574264 | 1.001312 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.4248672E-5 | 1.30679655E-5 | 1.30679655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.106431E-5 | 5.6004374E-5 | 5.6004374E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.432043E-4 | 6.816416E-4 | 6.9163484E-4 | 1.0146605 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007407237 | 0.0070467484 | 0.007056678 | 1.001409 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.15449975E-5 | 1.0916215E-5 | 1.0916215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.947762E-5 | 4.678294E-5 | 4.678294E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.022235E-4 | 5.694342E-4 | 5.794285E-4 | 1.0175513 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006005941 | 0.005916459 | 0.0059264 | 1.0016803 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 9.1391985E-6 | 9.526419E-6 | 9.526419E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9167408E-5 | 4.082687E-5 | 4.082687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.767588E-4 | 4.9695437E-4 | 5.0694944E-4 | 1.0201125 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047573727 | 0.00518281 | 0.005192758 | 1.0019195 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 6.973017E-6 | 7.3928995E-6 | 7.3928995E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9884017E-5 | 3.1683474E-5 | 3.1683474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6377716E-4 | 3.8567855E-4 | 3.956747E-4 | 1.0259184 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036318225 | 0.0040573073 | 0.004067267 | 1.0024546 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 5.7638235E-6 | 6.26976E-6 | 6.26976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4701867E-5 | 2.6870126E-5 | 2.6870126E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0070372E-4 | 3.2709516E-4 | 3.370919E-4 | 1.0305622 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030029714 | 0.003458463 | 0.0034684283 | 1.0028814 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 5.1124434E-6 | 5.5045775E-6 | 5.5045775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1910288E-5 | 2.3590836E-5 | 2.3590836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6672508E-4 | 2.8718106E-4 | 2.971782E-4 | 1.0348113 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026640517 | 0.003044868 | 0.0030548375 | 1.0032742 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 1.1075938E-6 | 5.3481494E-7 | 5.3481494E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7468216E-6 | 2.2920622E-6 | 2.2920622E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.779102E-5 | 2.790552E-5 | 2.790552E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.777599E-4 | 3.1415097E-4 | 3.1415097E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.3584393E-8 | 4.4843835E-9 | 4.4843835E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8218827E-8 | 1.9218785E-8 | 1.9218785E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0881396E-7 | 2.3398871E-7 | 2.3398871E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0881174E-6 | 2.6230914E-6 | 2.6230914E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Temecula) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9514995E-5 | 2.2523216E-5 | 2.2523216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.264867E-4 | 9.652462E-5 | 9.652462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015388876 | 0.0011745758 | 0.0011745758 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015282745 | 0.011697602 | 0.011717369 | 1.0016898 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9514995E-5 | 2.2523216E-5 | 2.2523216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.264867E-4 | 9.652462E-5 | 9.652462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015388876 | 0.0011745758 | 0.0011745758 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015282745 | 0.011697602 | 0.011717369 | 1.0016898 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9514995E-5 | 2.2523216E-5 | 2.2523216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.264867E-4 | 9.652462E-5 | 9.652462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015388876 | 0.0011745758 | 0.0011745758 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015282745 | 0.011697602 | 0.011717369 | 1.0016898 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3223649E-5 | 1.8410214E-5 | 1.8410214E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.952613E-5 | 7.889863E-5 | 7.889863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001211057 | 9.6018467E-4 | 9.6018467E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012044783 | 0.0095695695 | 0.009589378 | 1.00207 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.3223649E-5 | 1.8410214E-5 | 1.8410214E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.952613E-5 | 7.889863E-5 | 7.889863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001211057 | 9.6018467E-4 | 9.6018467E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012044783 | 0.0095695695 | 0.009589378 | 1.00207 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8338875E-5 | 1.475189E-5 | 1.475189E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8592806E-5 | 6.3220905E-5 | 6.3220905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5644733E-4 | 7.6945144E-4 | 7.6945144E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009523412 | 0.0076716878 | 0.0076915342 | 1.002587 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.8223333E-5 | 1.4614437E-5 | 1.4614437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.809766E-5 | 6.263184E-5 | 6.263184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.504242E-4 | 7.622847E-4 | 7.622847E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009463696 | 0.0076005114 | 0.0076203593 | 1.0026114 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7512752E-5 | 1.4028769E-5 | 1.4028769E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.505249E-5 | 6.0121958E-5 | 6.0121958E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.13381E-4 | 7.317476E-4 | 7.317476E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00909636 | 0.0073000477 | 0.0073199016 | 1.0027198 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7417142E-5 | 1.3952734E-5 | 1.3952734E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4642754E-5 | 5.9796108E-5 | 5.9796108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.083966E-4 | 7.27783E-4 | 7.27783E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009046922 | 0.007260601 | 0.007280456 | 1.0027345 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.6402591E-5 | 1.2990117E-5 | 1.2990117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0294926E-5 | 5.5670786E-5 | 5.5670786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5550465E-4 | 6.7758875E-4 | 6.7758875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008522186 | 0.0067610797 | 0.0067809443 | 1.0029382 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3912486E-5 | 1.0879567E-5 | 1.0879567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9623577E-5 | 4.6625897E-5 | 4.6625897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2567526E-4 | 5.6752516E-4 | 5.6752516E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0072331014 | 0.0056648655 | 0.005684752 | 1.0035105 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3405147E-5 | 1.0328663E-5 | 1.0328663E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7449364E-5 | 4.426496E-5 | 4.426496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9922156E-4 | 5.387952E-4 | 5.387952E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0069702556 | 0.005378052 | 0.0053979442 | 1.0036988 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.21402E-5 | 8.997748E-6 | 8.997748E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.202839E-5 | 3.856122E-5 | 3.856122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.332616E-4 | 4.6938346E-4 | 4.6938346E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063146 | 0.0046853367 | 0.00469529 | 1.0021243 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.05047775E-5 | 7.572589E-6 | 7.572589E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5019697E-5 | 3.2453558E-5 | 3.2453558E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4797693E-4 | 3.9505187E-4 | 3.9505187E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005466277 | 0.0039438554 | 0.0039438554 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.624483E-6 | 6.787578E-6 | 6.787578E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.124713E-5 | 2.9089304E-5 | 2.9089304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0206814E-4 | 3.541061E-4 | 3.541061E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005009353 | 0.0035355724 | 0.0035355724 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.215151E-6 | 5.6361614E-6 | 5.6361614E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5207315E-5 | 2.415476E-5 | 2.415476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2856473E-4 | 2.940458E-4 | 2.940458E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004277392 | 0.0029366952 | 0.0029366952 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.975058E-6 | 4.6765813E-6 | 4.6765813E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9892764E-5 | 2.0042344E-5 | 2.0042344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6388362E-4 | 2.4398937E-4 | 2.4398937E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036328835 | 0.0024373312 | 0.0024373312 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.159604E-6 | 2.3272871E-6 | 2.3272871E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7826753E-5 | 9.974054E-6 | 9.974054E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1701909E-4 | 1.2142808E-4 | 1.2142808E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021680726 | 0.0012136904 | 0.0012136904 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.386213E-8 | 9.386213E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0226624E-7 | 4.0226624E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.8975835E-6 | 4.8975835E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.8975086E-5 | 4.8975086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4400376E-9 | 3.4400376E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.47430175E-8 | 1.47430175E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7949623E-7 | 1.7949623E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.794961E-6 | 1.794961E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough north alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.329252E-5 | 8.821958E-5 | 8.821958E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.14073E-4 | 3.7803277E-4 | 3.7803277E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038171355 | 0.0045933966 | 0.0046033505 | 1.002167 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03752231 | 0.045048475 | 0.04506757 | 1.0004239 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.7940346E-5 | 4.4888042E-5 | 4.4888042E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6259136E-4 | 1.9236369E-4 | 1.9236369E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019777524 | 0.002339592 | 0.0023495685 | 1.0042642 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019602431 | 0.023158304 | 0.023177842 | 1.0008436 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.329877E-5 | 3.329877E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4270136E-4 | 1.4270136E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014935739 | 0.0017360266 | 0.0017360266 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0148357535 | 0.017227309 | 0.017237138 | 1.0005704 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.329877E-5 | 3.329877E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4270136E-4 | 1.4270136E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014935739 | 0.0017360266 | 0.0017360266 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0148357535 | 0.017227309 | 0.017237138 | 1.0005704 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.2204576E-5 | 2.5449717E-5 | 2.5449717E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5159E-5 | 1.0906572E-4 | 1.0906572E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001157945 | 0.0013270755 | 0.0013270755 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011519298 | 0.013192677 | 0.013192677 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.1004838E-5 | 2.4025994E-5 | 2.4025994E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0017624E-5 | 1.02964535E-4 | 1.02964535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010954136 | 0.001252881 | 0.001252881 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010900296 | 0.0124592595 | 0.0124592595 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.820557E-5 | 2.0705857E-5 | 2.0705857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.802154E-5 | 8.873639E-5 | 8.873639E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4949827E-4 | 0.0010798355 | 0.0010798355 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009454516 | 0.010746555 | 0.010746555 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.5884485E-5 | 1.7984537E-5 | 1.7984537E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.807459E-5 | 7.707433E-5 | 7.707433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.284929E-4 | 9.379787E-4 | 9.379787E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008254109 | 0.009340564 | 0.009340564 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.4331171E-5 | 1.6201857E-5 | 1.6201857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.141786E-5 | 6.943469E-5 | 6.943469E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4750587E-4 | 8.450415E-4 | 8.450415E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074499645 | 0.008418549 | 0.008418549 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.2574203E-5 | 1.4206525E-5 | 1.4206525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3888325E-5 | 6.0883693E-5 | 6.0883693E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.558929E-4 | 7.4100826E-4 | 7.4100826E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065396037 | 0.0073855603 | 0.0073855603 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0883844E-5 | 1.2289855E-5 | 1.2289855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.664421E-5 | 5.2669748E-5 | 5.2669748E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.677453E-4 | 6.410665E-4 | 6.410665E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00566297 | 0.0063923006 | 0.0063923006 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.393088E-6 | 1.0607533E-5 | 1.0607533E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.025547E-5 | 4.5460067E-5 | 4.5460067E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.900001E-4 | 5.533365E-4 | 5.533365E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048892107 | 0.005519684 | 0.005519684 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.190791E-6 | 9.259077E-6 | 9.259077E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.510292E-5 | 3.9681163E-5 | 3.9681163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2729423E-4 | 4.830117E-4 | 4.830117E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042647356 | 0.004819699 | 0.004819699 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.268162E-6 | 7.0900633E-6 | 7.0900633E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6863276E-5 | 3.0385634E-5 | 3.0385634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2701128E-4 | 3.698827E-4 | 3.698827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003265305 | 0.0036927166 | 0.0036927166 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.985186E-6 | 5.64296E-6 | 5.64296E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1364907E-5 | 2.4183892E-5 | 2.4183892E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600867E-4 | 2.9439948E-4 | 2.9439948E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002597825 | 0.0029401362 | 0.0029401362 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.9697716E-6 | 1.9697716E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.441852E-6 | 8.441852E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 1.0277492E-4 | 1.0277492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1216754E-4 | 0.001027296 | 0.001027296 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7534032E-7 | 1.7534032E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.5145834E-7 | 7.5145834E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.148969E-6 | 9.148969E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.1486116E-5 | 9.1486116E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Los Alamos 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.751795E-6 | 4.751795E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0364687E-5 | 2.0364687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4791362E-4 | 2.4791362E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024765446 | 0.0024964951 | 1.0080558 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.751795E-6 | 4.751795E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0364687E-5 | 2.0364687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4791362E-4 | 2.4791362E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024765446 | 0.0024964951 | 1.0080558 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.751795E-6 | 4.751795E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0364687E-5 | 2.0364687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4791362E-4 | 2.4791362E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024765446 | 0.0024964951 | 1.0080558 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.751795E-6 | 4.751795E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0364687E-5 | 2.0364687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4791362E-4 | 2.4791362E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024765446 | 0.0024964951 | 1.0080558 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.751795E-6 | 4.751795E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0364687E-5 | 2.0364687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4791362E-4 | 2.4791362E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024765446 | 0.0024964951 | 1.0080558 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.751795E-6 | 4.751795E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0364687E-5 | 2.0364687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4791362E-4 | 2.4791362E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024765446 | 0.0024964951 | 1.0080558 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.751795E-6 | 4.751795E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0364687E-5 | 2.0364687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.4791362E-4 | 2.4791362E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024121467 | 0.0024765446 | 0.0024964951 | 1.0080558 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.062321E-6 | 4.1664052E-6 | 4.1664052E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7409831E-5 | 1.7855908E-5 | 1.7855908E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1194408E-4 | 2.173755E-4 | 2.173755E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021174205 | 0.0021717786 | 0.0021817568 | 1.0045946 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.062321E-6 | 4.1664052E-6 | 4.1664052E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7409831E-5 | 1.7855908E-5 | 1.7855908E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1194408E-4 | 2.173755E-4 | 2.173755E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021174205 | 0.0021717786 | 0.0021817568 | 1.0045946 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.2936077E-6 | 3.3730048E-6 | 3.3730048E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4115385E-5 | 1.445566E-5 | 1.445566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7184127E-4 | 1.7598439E-4 | 1.7598439E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017170844 | 0.0017585428 | 0.0017685252 | 1.0056765 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.1687898E-6 | 3.244861E-6 | 3.244861E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3580457E-5 | 1.3906479E-5 | 1.3906479E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6532952E-4 | 1.6929915E-4 | 1.6929915E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016520657 | 0.0016917933 | 0.0017017764 | 1.0059009 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.9379228E-6 | 3.0073688E-6 | 3.0073688E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.25910365E-5 | 1.2888665E-5 | 1.2888665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5328509E-4 | 1.5690911E-4 | 1.5690911E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001531794 | 0.0015680724 | 0.0015780566 | 1.0063672 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0020686E-6 | 2.0416614E-6 | 2.0416614E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.580266E-6 | 8.749948E-6 | 8.749948E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0445973E-4 | 1.0652546E-4 | 1.0652546E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010441064 | 0.0010647484 | 0.0010747378 | 1.0093819 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.7364243E-6 | 1.7679088E-6 | 1.7679088E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.441797E-6 | 7.5767302E-6 | 7.5767302E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0600115E-5 | 9.2242815E-5 | 9.2242815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0563187E-4 | 9.220484E-4 | 9.3203917E-4 | 1.0108354 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.5718434E-6 | 1.5983443E-6 | 1.5983443E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7364545E-6 | 6.850029E-6 | 6.850029E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.201325E-5 | 8.339594E-5 | 8.339594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.198299E-4 | 8.336495E-4 | 8.336495E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3841119E-6 | 1.4043035E-6 | 1.4043035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9318945E-6 | 6.0184293E-6 | 6.0184293E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.221842E-5 | 7.327194E-5 | 7.327194E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2194956E-4 | 7.324807E-4 | 7.324807E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.0843726E-6 | 1.0934621E-6 | 1.0934621E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.647303E-6 | 4.6862574E-6 | 4.6862574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6579443E-5 | 5.7053716E-5 | 5.7053716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.656504E-4 | 5.703933E-4 | 5.703933E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.544814E-7 | 5.501975E-7 | 5.501975E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3763469E-6 | 2.3579871E-6 | 2.3579871E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8931638E-5 | 2.8708117E-5 | 2.8708117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8927872E-4 | 2.8704424E-4 | 2.8704424E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.0707465E-7 | 1.9778943E-7 | 1.9778943E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.874625E-7 | 8.4766873E-7 | 8.4766873E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08048025E-5 | 1.0320318E-5 | 1.0320318E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0804277E-4 | 1.03198436E-4 | 1.03198436E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.9821284E-8 | 3.4332405E-8 | 3.4332405E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7066264E-7 | 1.4713888E-7 | 1.4713888E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0778157E-6 | 1.7914144E-6 | 1.7914144E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0777963E-5 | 1.7914006E-5 | 1.7914006E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 7.880441E-11 | 8.235457E-11 | 8.235457E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3773329E-10 | 3.52948E-10 | 3.52948E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1119033E-9 | 4.2971413E-9 | 4.2971413E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1119034E-8 | 4.2971415E-8 | 4.2971415E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Stepovers Combined)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.144392E-5 | 1.9762578E-5 | 1.9762578E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.189928E-5 | 8.469405E-5 | 8.469405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011182994 | 0.0010306819 | 0.0010306819 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011126885 | 0.010266307 | 0.010286101 | 1.0019281 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.144392E-5 | 1.9762578E-5 | 1.9762578E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.189928E-5 | 8.469405E-5 | 8.469405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011182994 | 0.0010306819 | 0.0010306819 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011126885 | 0.010266307 | 0.010286101 | 1.0019281 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.144392E-5 | 1.9762578E-5 | 1.9762578E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.189928E-5 | 8.469405E-5 | 8.469405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011182994 | 0.0010306819 | 0.0010306819 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011126885 | 0.010266307 | 0.010286101 | 1.0019281 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.7743689E-5 | 1.7743689E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4646774E-5 | 7.6042175E-5 | 7.6042175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010300872 | 9.2543487E-4 | 9.2543487E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010253254 | 0.009222591 | 0.009242407 | 1.0021486 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.7743689E-5 | 1.7743689E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4646774E-5 | 7.6042175E-5 | 7.6042175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010300872 | 9.2543487E-4 | 9.2543487E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010253254 | 0.009222591 | 0.009242407 | 1.0021486 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.7743689E-5 | 1.7743689E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4646774E-5 | 7.6042175E-5 | 7.6042175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010300872 | 9.2543487E-4 | 9.2543487E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010253254 | 0.009222591 | 0.009242407 | 1.0021486 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9188685E-5 | 1.7005523E-5 | 1.7005523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2234634E-5 | 7.287887E-5 | 7.287887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010007467 | 8.8695524E-4 | 8.8695524E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00996252 | 0.008841122 | 0.008860945 | 1.0022422 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7608272E-5 | 1.4734402E-5 | 1.4734402E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.546184E-5 | 6.314596E-5 | 6.314596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.183606E-4 | 7.6854066E-4 | 7.6854066E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009145746 | 0.0076661077 | 0.0076859547 | 1.0025889 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.697165E-5 | 1.3785011E-5 | 1.3785011E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.273361E-5 | 5.907733E-5 | 5.907733E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8517193E-4 | 7.1903784E-4 | 7.1903784E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008816543 | 0.0071737687 | 0.0071936254 | 1.0027679 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.600365E-5 | 1.2848261E-5 | 1.2848261E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.858527E-5 | 5.5062854E-5 | 5.5062854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.347058E-4 | 6.7019183E-4 | 6.7019183E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008315775 | 0.0066879527 | 0.0067078187 | 1.0029705 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3314581E-5 | 1.04489445E-5 | 1.04489445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7061243E-5 | 4.4780438E-5 | 4.4780438E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.944992E-4 | 5.450681E-4 | 5.450681E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006923327 | 0.005441421 | 0.0054613124 | 1.0036556 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2865345E-5 | 9.938783E-6 | 9.938783E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5136024E-5 | 4.25941E-5 | 4.25941E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.710743E-4 | 5.1846233E-4 | 5.1846233E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066905143 | 0.005175694 | 0.0051955907 | 1.0038443 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1650051E-5 | 8.634831E-6 | 8.634831E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9927836E-5 | 3.7005902E-5 | 3.7005902E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0770183E-4 | 4.5045547E-4 | 4.5045547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060604266 | 0.004496839 | 0.004506794 | 1.0022138 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0008533E-5 | 7.20187E-6 | 7.20187E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2893007E-5 | 3.08648E-5 | 3.08648E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.220972E-4 | 3.757156E-4 | 3.757156E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005208723 | 0.003751161 | 0.003751161 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.116759E-6 | 6.4107858E-6 | 6.4107858E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.907124E-5 | 2.7474514E-5 | 2.7474514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7558855E-4 | 3.3445226E-4 | 3.3445226E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00474572 | 0.0033396408 | 0.0033396408 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.870524E-6 | 5.3831477E-6 | 5.3831477E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3730383E-5 | 2.3070437E-5 | 2.3070437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1059E-4 | 2.8084763E-4 | 2.8084763E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040983222 | 0.0028050537 | 0.0028050537 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.9774537E-6 | 4.6781433E-6 | 4.6781433E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.990303E-5 | 2.0049038E-5 | 2.0049038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.640086E-4 | 2.4407086E-4 | 2.4407086E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003634129 | 0.0024381443 | 0.0024381443 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.1616954E-6 | 2.3286352E-6 | 2.3286352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7835715E-5 | 9.979831E-6 | 9.979831E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.171282E-4 | 1.21498415E-4 | 1.21498415E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021691616 | 0.001214393 | 0.001214393 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.386213E-8 | 9.386213E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0226624E-7 | 4.0226624E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.8975835E-6 | 4.8975835E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.8975086E-5 | 4.8975086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4400376E-9 | 3.4400376E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.47430175E-8 | 1.47430175E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7949623E-7 | 1.7949623E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.794961E-6 | 1.794961E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hollywood
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.259366E-5 | 2.2593535E-5 | 1.7940403 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.3971737E-5 | 6.39712E-5 | 1.1852721 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.5691245E-4 | 6.7689933E-4 | 1.0304254 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0064745755 | 0.006550194 | 0.006570063 | 1.0030334 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.259366E-5 | 2.2593535E-5 | 1.7940403 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.3971737E-5 | 6.39712E-5 | 1.1852721 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.5691245E-4 | 6.7689933E-4 | 1.0304254 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0064745755 | 0.006550194 | 0.006570063 | 1.0030334 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.259366E-5 | 2.2593535E-5 | 1.7940403 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.3971737E-5 | 6.39712E-5 | 1.1852721 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.5691245E-4 | 6.7689933E-4 | 1.0304254 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0064745755 | 0.006550194 | 0.006570063 | 1.0030334 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.259366E-5 | 2.2593535E-5 | 1.7940403 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.3971737E-5 | 6.39712E-5 | 1.1852721 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.5691245E-4 | 6.7689933E-4 | 1.0304254 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0064745755 | 0.006550194 | 0.006570063 | 1.0030334 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2431024E-5 | 1.2574273E-5 | 2.2574148E-5 | 1.7952646 | 1.0E-5 | 5.327473E-5 | 5.3888652E-5 | 6.388812E-5 | 1.1855578 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4842677E-4 | 6.559015E-4 | 6.758884E-4 | 1.0304724 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0064653796 | 0.006540144 | 0.006560013 | 1.003038 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1242222E-5 | 1.1318208E-5 | 1.1318208E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8180063E-5 | 4.8505717E-5 | 4.8505717E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.864344E-4 | 5.903998E-4 | 6.0039386E-4 | 1.0169277 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058488925 | 0.005888599 | 0.0058985404 | 1.0016882 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1234066E-5 | 1.1309321E-5 | 1.1309321E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8145106E-5 | 4.8467635E-5 | 4.8467635E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.86009E-4 | 5.8993633E-4 | 5.9993047E-4 | 1.016941 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005844661 | 0.0058839894 | 0.005893931 | 1.0016896 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.12294E-5 | 1.1304064E-5 | 1.1304064E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.812511E-5 | 4.8445105E-5 | 4.8445105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.857657E-4 | 5.8966223E-4 | 5.996563E-4 | 1.0169488 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058422405 | 0.0058812625 | 0.005891204 | 1.0016903 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0252819E-5 | 1.0218806E-5 | 1.0218806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3939912E-5 | 4.379416E-5 | 4.379416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3483713E-4 | 5.330656E-4 | 5.4306025E-4 | 1.0187495 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005335517 | 0.005318095 | 0.005328042 | 1.0018704 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.252289E-6 | 9.110623E-6 | 9.110623E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9652066E-5 | 3.9044953E-5 | 3.9044953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8265693E-4 | 4.7527024E-4 | 4.8526548E-4 | 1.0210307 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048161 | 0.0047427113 | 0.004752664 | 1.0020984 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.474604E-6 | 8.258544E-6 | 8.258544E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6319227E-5 | 3.5393285E-5 | 3.5393285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4209688E-4 | 4.308295E-4 | 4.4082518E-4 | 1.023201 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004412184 | 0.004300093 | 0.00431005 | 1.0023155 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.643643E-6 | 6.2685845E-6 | 6.2685845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8472443E-5 | 2.6865087E-5 | 2.6865087E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4659685E-4 | 3.2703378E-4 | 3.370305E-4 | 1.0305679 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034605677 | 0.003265571 | 0.0032755386 | 1.0030522 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.549002E-6 | 5.1088864E-6 | 5.1088864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.378122E-5 | 2.1895044E-5 | 2.1895044E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8949787E-4 | 2.665397E-4 | 2.665397E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028912104 | 0.0026622165 | 0.0026622165 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.3059727E-6 | 3.960039E-6 | 3.960039E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8454039E-5 | 1.6971486E-5 | 1.6971486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2465475E-4 | 2.0660834E-4 | 2.0660834E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022442779 | 0.0020641726 | 0.0020641726 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.8550733E-6 | 2.7014164E-6 | 2.7014164E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2235971E-5 | 1.1577447E-5 | 1.1577447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4896276E-4 | 1.4094636E-4 | 1.4094636E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014886294 | 0.0014085748 | 0.0014085748 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.9927045E-6 | 1.8977299E-6 | 1.8977299E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.540134E-6 | 8.133104E-6 | 8.133104E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0397117E-4 | 9.901607E-5 | 9.901607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010392254 | 9.897231E-4 | 9.897231E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.345084E-6 | 1.2216645E-6 | 1.2216645E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.764633E-6 | 5.2356945E-6 | 5.2356945E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.018215E-5 | 6.374274E-5 | 6.374274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0159987E-4 | 6.372465E-4 | 6.372465E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 7.6835164E-7 | 6.27816E-7 | 6.27816E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2929315E-6 | 2.6906373E-6 | 2.6906373E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.00907E-5 | 3.275803E-5 | 3.275803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0083472E-4 | 3.2753352E-4 | 3.2753352E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.6562128E-7 | 2.4538357E-7 | 2.4538357E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5669474E-6 | 1.0516435E-6 | 1.0516435E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9077417E-5 | 1.2803687E-5 | 1.2803687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.907578E-4 | 1.2802987E-4 | 1.2802987E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.5024424E-8 | 5.382552E-8 | 5.382552E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.215332E-7 | 2.3068078E-7 | 2.3068078E-7 | 1.0 |