Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions

Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)

Table Of Contents

Garlock (Central)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.5131142E-57.02476E-50.121301731726.7740.121242.3625491E-43.0102677E-40.14647701486.59130.146220.00287260950.0036589060.1914193852.3160170.188450.0283575910.0361366570.2549247.05444340.22699
6.15.5131142E-57.02476E-50.121301731726.7740.121242.3625491E-43.0102677E-40.14647701486.59130.146220.00287260950.0036589060.1914193852.3160170.188450.0283575910.0361366570.2549247.05444340.22699
6.24.216245E-55.1661802E-50.0712679851379.51030.071221.806837E-42.213891E-40.08681221392.125060.086610.00219760460.0026921120.1151984242.7910920.112810.0217599890.0267013180.160413096.0076840.13738
6.34.216245E-55.1661802E-50.0712679851379.51030.071221.806837E-42.213891E-40.08681221392.125060.086610.00219760460.0026921120.1151984242.7910920.112810.0217599890.0267013180.160413096.0076840.13738
6.43.6858168E-54.411026E-50.054441711234.21880.05441.5795401E-41.8903041E-40.06648649351.72380.066310.00192139370.00229904130.08879971538.6246720.08670.0190486550.0228660980.126579095.5356660.10614
6.53.39199E-54.0018425E-50.0490380561225.3870.0491.453629E-41.7149639E-40.05973128348.294680.059570.00176835650.00208599070.0800430338.371710.078120.0175435080.0207587830.11430575.5063770.09553
6.63.3571985E-53.947258E-50.048977541240.79910.048941.4387199E-41.6915736E-40.059629098352.506680.059470.00175023420.00205756720.07987711638.8211480.077980.0173651330.0204800420.1138870645.56088070.09536
6.73.2580007E-53.808902E-50.04704631235.1670.047011.3962112E-41.6322857E-40.05725391350.759120.05710.00169856170.00198551780.07666694438.613070.074830.0168563720.0197708740.1094912445.53800770.09153
6.83.2185937E-53.7516216E-50.0462457841232.68790.046211.3793244E-41.60774E-40.056181766349.445620.056030.00167803370.00195568750.0752121438.458160.07340.0166541920.0194778780.107509155.51955180.08978
6.93.165394E-53.672075E-50.0448850731222.33540.044851.3565269E-41.5736527E-40.054558802346.701660.054410.00165032020.001914260.0731875638.2328220.071410.016381180.0190715180.104794865.4948360.08739
7.03.0903822E-53.562591E-50.043394081218.04830.043361.3243823E-41.5267366E-40.052694652345.145660.052550.00161124280.00185723820.0708189238.131310.069090.0159961040.0185134930.1015374365.484510.08459
7.13.0069863E-53.4392175E-50.0409729851191.34620.040941.2886449E-41.4738683E-40.04978007337.751160.049640.00156779590.00179297870.06710566637.4269140.065430.015567810.017880990.0966371155.40446140.08019
7.22.7957109E-53.128141E-50.034190211092.98820.034161.1981068E-41.3405642E-40.041338533308.366670.041210.00145771880.00163093450.05570260434.1537930.054160.0144819370.0162843520.081721125.0183830.06652
7.32.4519275E-52.6714602E-50.024336066910.96490.024311.0507837E-41.1448621E-40.029391134256.722050.029280.00127857830.0013929930.03992923728.6643490.038590.0127124690.013928610.0610726854.3846930.04781
7.42.3225532E-52.5199166E-50.022024645874.022770.0229.95342E-51.0799204E-40.02659513246.269360.026490.00121115510.00131402440.03626803327.6007290.0350.0120457530.0131461960.0559361764.25493240.04336
7.52.097765E-52.2483406E-50.01750209778.444760.017488.9901114E-59.6353964E-50.021044336218.406540.020950.00109399650.001172490.02898983724.7250180.027850.0108862640.01174065750.045934433.9124240.0346
7.61.511254E-51.5990969E-50.0091758445573.814150.009166.476642E-56.8530964E-50.011047779161.208560.010987.882459E-48.34053E-40.015631718.7418560.014810.0078545580.0083838670.026589943.171560.01836
7.79.934069E-61.0678523E-50.0027506493257.587040.002744.2573887E-54.5764296E-50.00350560676.6013260.003465.182138E-45.570383E-40.00516447059.2713020.004610.005170070.0056274190.0113251742.01249890.00573
7.86.7562896E-68.42837E-60.0019784118234.732440.001972.8955206E-53.6121084E-50.002556030270.7628250.002523.5247262E-44.3968562E-40.00370824788.4338620.003270.00351914060.0044464160.0084584971.90231790.00403
7.93.975453E-65.3710532E-60.0012153646226.28050.001211.7037546E-52.3018596E-50.00161298270.0730.001592.0741238E-42.8021546E-40.00233963838.3494250.002060.0020721890.00283356690.0053264831.87978030.0025
8.01.6729537E-62.0775192E-64.2207664E-4203.163774.2E-47.169782E-68.903624E-65.28899E-459.4026685.2E-48.7288594E-51.0839626E-48.3831715E-47.73381957.3E-48.7254314E-40.0010968540.00200585581.82873559.1E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1489736E-74.0314884E-5128.025474.0E-51.5742813E-61.3495595E-68.134945E-560.278528.0E-51.9166706E-51.643078E-51.2642897E-47.6946421.1E-41.9165053E-41.662928E-42.9627117E-41.78162371.3E-4

Blackwater

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0708583E-53.3095846E-50.0562412371699.34410.056211.3160157E-41.4183241E-40.069442004489.606020.069310.00160107140.00172557840.0926683853.702790.09110.0158958510.0171356330.127127997.41892530.11191
6.13.0708583E-53.3095846E-50.0562412371699.34410.056211.3160157E-41.4183241E-40.069442004489.606020.069310.00160107140.00172557840.0926683853.702790.09110.0158958510.0171356330.127127997.41892530.11191
6.21.1707779E-51.2545122E-50.0231222551843.12720.023115.017523E-55.3763757E-50.028522233530.510440.028476.107122E-46.5438676E-40.03845963358.7720220.037830.0060903660.00652556960.052761878.0854040.04654
6.31.1707779E-51.2545122E-50.0231222551843.12720.023115.017523E-55.3763757E-50.028522233530.510440.028476.107122E-46.5438676E-40.03845963358.7720220.037830.0060903660.00652556960.052761878.0854040.04654
6.47.929244E-68.480098E-60.0146483561727.38050.014643.3982033E-53.6342793E-50.018025689495.990720.017994.136527E-44.423877E-40.0243418155.02370.023910.00412883560.00441547580.0339843377.69664140.0297
6.55.8832115E-66.285991E-60.0103662211649.09890.010362.521352E-52.6939697E-50.012756596473.524140.012733.0693135E-43.27944E-40.01723239852.5467720.016910.00306507780.00327485380.0241163767.3641080.02091
6.65.8832115E-66.285991E-60.0103662211649.09890.010362.521352E-52.6939697E-50.012756596473.524140.012733.0693135E-43.27944E-40.01723239852.5467720.016910.00306507780.00327485380.0241163767.3641080.02091
6.73.0715053E-63.2814662E-60.0050532651539.94120.005051.3163528E-51.4063357E-50.0062339758443.277920.006221.6025416E-41.7120909E-40.00840979849.120050.008240.00160138650.00171088640.0117636576.87576770.01007
6.82.2722281E-62.4287538E-60.003612421487.35550.003619.738084E-61.0408908E-50.004430363425.631870.004421.1855473E-41.26722E-40.00599597847.3159980.005870.0011849150.00126658760.0083975446.6300540.00714
6.99.952399E-71.0653489E-60.00143106391343.28190.001434.265307E-64.5657757E-60.0017845576390.85530.001785.1928873E-55.5587418E-50.00236545942.5538560.002315.191674E-45.557858E-40.00342419076.160990.00287
7.04.7385504E-75.0755597E-75.4050726E-41064.92165.4E-42.0308057E-62.1752398E-66.621738E-4304.414156.6E-42.4724779E-52.6483543E-58.964605E-433.8497168.7E-42.4722028E-42.6483546E-40.00134454955.0769240.00108

Tank Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.8284557E-55.796445E-50.022336673385.351260.022282.0691741E-42.4839927E-40.030630851123.312970.030390.00251630880.00302073360.0498388816.4989320.046960.024880060.0298636160.093912023.1446970.06602
6.11.7796336E-52.0873378E-50.0071207252341.13910.00717.626778E-58.945448E-50.010058562112.443370.009979.281647E-40.00108860240.01765055416.2139590.016580.0092429750.0108366420.0347941783.21078970.02422
6.21.7796336E-52.0873378E-50.0071207252341.13910.00717.626778E-58.945448E-50.010058562112.443370.009979.281647E-40.00108860240.01765055416.2139590.016580.0092429750.0108366420.0347941783.21078970.02422
6.31.3515912E-51.5759651E-50.0051656784327.778720.005155.792405E-56.7539746E-50.007257054107.448640.007197.049971E-48.2200987E-40.01257234315.2946380.011760.0070276470.0081921570.0251322353.0678410.01708
6.41.0870146E-51.2618114E-50.0038525697305.320560.003844.658551E-55.4076605E-50.0054737837101.222760.005425.67031E-46.582015E-40.00934248114.19395350.008690.0056558630.0065643820.019220752.92803670.01274
6.57.964826E-69.196184E-60.002409174261.975430.00243.4134522E-53.941168E-50.00342927887.011720.003394.1550855E-44.797421E-40.00595711312.4173240.005480.00414732470.0047882090.0127996642.67316320.00805
6.66.6317E-67.612378E-60.0018675983245.337040.001862.8421264E-53.262412E-50.002562541578.5474550.002533.4597394E-43.9713533E-40.004415538611.1184740.004020.00345435790.00396525160.0097123722.4493710.00577
6.74.793663E-65.4308593E-68.054265E-4148.305548.0E-42.0544108E-52.3274928E-50.001203247551.697150.001182.500958E-42.833398E-40.00220279587.77439640.001920.00249814520.00283031890.00577196942.03933530.00295
6.84.382823E-64.969325E-67.349657E-4147.900517.3E-41.8783392E-52.1296957E-50.001091274251.240850.001072.286638E-42.5926388E-40.00200881027.748130.001750.00228428650.00259012330.0052631822.03201990.00268
6.92.729601E-63.0735862E-63.0307265E-498.605553.0E-41.1698237E-51.3172453E-54.7316638E-435.9209024.6E-41.4241673E-41.6036403E-49.102438E-45.67610937.5E-40.0014232550.00160248080.0026907341.67910540.00109
7.01.8987357E-62.126971E-61.3212669E-462.119651.3E-48.137413E-69.115562E-61.9911383E-421.8432871.9E-49.90685E-51.1097702E-44.0094482E-43.61286382.9E-49.902435E-40.00110928460.00156877431.41422164.6E-4
7.11.4928986E-61.6641525E-67.1664035E-543.063387.0E-56.398121E-67.132066E-69.713142E-513.6189759.0E-57.789434E-58.6830034E-52.5681528E-42.95767781.7E-47.786704E-48.6801895E-40.00117774981.35682513.1E-4
7.21.069082E-61.1828765E-64.118283E-534.815834.0E-54.581772E-65.0694644E-64.506926E-58.890344.0E-55.5781646E-56.171951E-51.5171396E-42.45811999.0E-55.576765E-46.1707594E-47.969649E-41.29151831.8E-4
7.38.776551E-79.770151E-72.0976995E-521.4704912.0E-53.7613736E-64.187204E-62.418712E-55.77643732.0E-54.579376E-55.0978535E-51.10975474E-42.17690596.0E-54.5784327E-45.097194E-46.296583E-41.23530361.2E-4
7.47.55721E-78.5103835E-78.5103835E-71.00.03.2388E-63.6473052E-63.6473052E-61.00.03.9431678E-54.4405555E-58.440378E-51.90074834.0E-53.942468E-44.4401767E-45.4397323E-41.22511631.0E-4
7.55.587665E-76.305732E-76.305732E-71.00.02.3947114E-62.7024564E-62.7024564E-61.00.02.915522E-53.2902408E-55.290175E-51.60783832.0E-52.9151395E-43.2902407E-43.7900763E-41.15191465.0E-5

Owl Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.0320643E-56.6358676E-50.026044635392.482730.025982.1564208E-42.843643E-40.033994775119.546560.033720.00262228120.0034575470.05090293314.7222680.047610.025915530.0341412950.0940148762.75369980.06199
6.15.0320643E-56.6358676E-50.026044635392.482730.025982.1564208E-42.843643E-40.033994775119.546560.033720.00262228120.0034575470.05090293314.7222680.047610.025915530.0341412950.0940148762.75369980.06199
6.22.4125871E-53.0980515E-50.021110328681.40660.021081.0339249E-41.3276804E-40.027009198203.431490.026880.00125807660.00161542520.03910476724.2071040.037550.0125097810.0160707550.063496143.95103670.0482
6.31.7433485E-52.2355545E-50.019201927858.933530.019187.471279E-59.580685E-50.024353482254.193560.024269.0924866E-40.0011659620.0343372429.4497090.033210.0090553730.01162914650.0531506054.5704650.04201
6.41.7433485E-52.2355545E-50.019201927858.933530.019187.471279E-59.580685E-50.024353482254.193560.024269.0924866E-40.0011659620.0343372429.4497090.033210.0090553730.01162914650.0531506054.5704650.04201
6.51.5182742E-51.9429277E-50.018699067962.4170.018686.506727E-58.3266525E-50.02359131283.322850.023517.919061E-40.00101343440.03287111632.4353680.031890.00789090.0101186780.049803024.92189030.04009
6.66.7271576E-68.547518E-60.0159884111870.53260.015982.8830356E-53.6631736E-50.019515919532.75980.019483.5095305E-44.4590578E-40.02600450458.3183820.025570.00350399320.00446801870.0354191067.92725130.03109
6.76.682835E-68.479961E-60.0159883441885.42660.015982.8640408E-53.6342215E-50.019505635536.72110.019473.4864116E-44.423823E-40.0259810858.7299270.025550.0034809470.00443293250.035345297.9733430.03105
6.86.5774975E-68.326427E-60.0159881931920.17460.015982.8188972E-53.5684232E-50.01949499546.319460.019463.4314668E-44.3437455E-40.02594328959.725620.025520.00342617280.00435310560.0352380728.0949270.03102
6.96.363419E-67.999591E-60.0159678721996.08620.015962.727151E-53.428354E-50.019453619567.433170.019423.3198006E-44.1732774E-40.02587669962.00570.025470.00331484550.00418306470.0349637688.3584090.03091
7.06.1342453E-67.631779E-60.015827512073.89530.015822.6289357E-53.2707245E-50.019282078589.535340.019253.2002592E-43.9814346E-40.02562809464.3689960.025240.00319565440.0039917390.034449678.6302410.03058
7.15.842926E-67.142312E-60.0147370372063.34250.014732.504087E-53.060958E-50.01798006587.39980.017953.0482994E-43.7261334E-40.02402379764.47380.023660.00304412140.00373715950.0323000148.6429320.02867
7.24.77173E-65.358478E-60.0095553071783.21290.009552.045011E-52.2964727E-50.011602699505.240.011582.4895166E-42.7956374E-40.01542532855.1764260.015150.00248672930.00280862120.0211569427.5328570.0184
7.33.0494948E-62.710356E-60.0025127036927.07510.002511.3069198E-51.1615762E-50.002991581257.544980.002981.5910587E-41.4141288E-40.004160844329.4233760.004020.00158991990.00142310890.00645593654.5365020.00504
7.42.7263884E-62.3055634E-60.0017823015773.04380.001781.1684469E-59.880949E-60.0020998602212.516070.002091.4224913E-41.2029401E-40.002939954924.4397430.002820.00142158110.00121105780.0047068193.88653560.0035
7.52.6090431E-62.1655019E-60.0015321622707.532170.001531.1181565E-59.2806895E-60.0017592645189.561830.001751.3612706E-41.1298663E-40.002432724521.5310820.002320.0013604370.00113781260.00404450163.55462880.00291
7.62.3008756E-61.8726826E-60.0011418705609.75130.001149.860858E-68.025758E-60.0012980154161.731190.001291.20049335E-49.770931E-50.001797543318.3968470.00170.0011998459.848307E-40.00312272323.17082240.00214
7.71.7184348E-61.341808E-66.21341E-4463.06256.2E-47.3646997E-65.750593E-67.357464E-4127.9426967.3E-48.966153E-57.0011265E-50.001039943314.8539439.7E-48.962536E-47.0769014E-40.00192682682.72269820.00122
7.88.4612907E-78.4054994E-73.6084023E-4429.290653.6E-43.6262625E-63.602352E-64.1360088E-4114.814124.1E-44.4148852E-54.3857777E-55.4383586E-412.3999875.0E-44.414008E-44.4386165E-40.00104359542.35117276.0E-4
7.92.716738E-73.7681625E-71.4037677E-4372.533721.4E-41.1643157E-61.6149258E-61.6161466E-4100.07561.6E-41.4175452E-51.9661555E-52.0965782E-410.6633391.9E-41.4174548E-41.9829652E-44.182529E-42.10922962.2E-4
8.02.1995428E-83.3853325E-82.0033853E-5591.78392.0E-59.426611E-81.4508568E-72.0145082E-5138.849562.0E-51.1476893E-61.7664173E-62.1766382E-512.3223322.0E-51.14768345E-51.7869768E-55.7869052E-53.23837734.0E-5

Little Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.8424427E-53.1205716E-50.027650343886.066650.027621.2181328E-41.3373268E-40.03379923252.737260.033670.00148206770.00162711250.04596485228.249340.044410.0147222230.0161653980.069981154.32907060.0547
6.12.8424427E-53.1205716E-50.027650343886.066650.027621.2181328E-41.3373268E-40.03379923252.737260.033670.00148206770.00162711250.04596485228.249340.044410.0147222230.0161653980.069981154.32907060.0547
6.22.8424427E-53.1205716E-50.027650343886.066650.027621.2181328E-41.3373268E-40.03379923252.737260.033670.00148206770.00162711250.04596485228.249340.044410.0147222230.0161653980.069981154.32907060.0547
6.31.48860645E-51.6081383E-50.0164758171024.52720.016466.379586E-56.8918554E-50.020037543290.742340.019977.7643775E-48.387886E-40.02684695532.006820.026030.0077373050.0083590450.0398733954.77008960.03178
6.41.48860645E-51.6081383E-50.0164758171024.52720.016466.379586E-56.8918554E-50.020037543290.742340.019977.7643775E-48.387886E-40.02684695532.006820.026030.0077373050.0083590450.0398733954.77008960.03178
6.51.2797581E-51.376556E-50.0142735691036.90440.014265.4845623E-55.8994065E-50.017387971294.741030.017336.675408E-47.1804173E-40.02326184332.3962250.022560.0066553920.0071597670.034502594.81895350.02754
6.69.661896E-61.0289033E-50.0107401791043.84730.010734.1407468E-54.40952E-50.013233514300.112340.013195.040193E-45.36743E-40.01755760232.7113720.017030.0050287770.00535607150.0260247724.8589290.02078
6.77.767871E-68.199681E-60.0088481271079.08190.008843.329045E-53.5141096E-50.01088476309.744480.010854.0523586E-44.2777258E-40.01443177933.7370380.014010.0040449770.0042708430.0212579844.97746750.01706
6.86.4235196E-66.735739E-60.00704668831046.16410.007042.752908E-52.8867207E-50.008648618299.600130.008623.35115E-43.5141438E-40.01162745133.0875780.011280.0033461010.00350984720.0172514474.9151560.01379
6.93.1283696E-63.1121751E-60.00378310051215.58080.003781.3407229E-51.33378335E-50.004623276346.628720.004611.6322079E-41.6237753E-40.006241390538.4375230.006080.00163100950.00162273720.0091505015.63893030.00754
7.02.290603E-62.2286763E-60.00240222341077.870.00249.816834E-69.551441E-60.0029895229312.991850.002981.19513395E-41.1628362E-40.004115818535.3946530.0040.00119449140.00116232990.0061964725.33107850.00504
7.11.293693E-61.1776774E-60.0011511763977.497130.001155.5443866E-65.047183E-60.0014750398292.25010.001476.750081E-56.1448416E-50.002081324333.871080.002026.7480316E-46.1438273E-40.00316281625.14795730.00255
7.24.715842E-73.091732E-73.7030905E-41197.73993.7E-42.0210737E-61.3250274E-64.3132447E-4325.521184.3E-42.4606294E-51.6132095E-56.461219E-440.0519566.3E-42.460357E-41.6130977E-49.811776E-46.08256678.2E-4
7.33.9430947E-72.3096938E-72.702309E-41169.98582.7E-41.6898966E-69.898685E-73.1098956E-4314.172643.1E-42.0574296E-51.2051582E-54.8204593E-439.9985584.7E-42.0572392E-41.2050936E-47.504334E-46.22717956.3E-4
7.43.547123E-71.9678579E-72.3019675E-41169.78332.3E-41.5201948E-68.433674E-72.7084313E-4321.14492.7E-41.8508214E-51.02679505E-54.4026354E-442.877454.3E-41.8506673E-41.0267482E-46.5261836E-46.35616735.5E-4
7.52.6354266E-71.4422719E-71.7014421E-41179.69581.7E-41.129468E-66.1811636E-71.90618E-4308.385281.9E-41.3751187E-57.525541E-63.175232E-442.192743.1E-41.3750336E-47.5252916E-54.952213E-46.5807594.2E-4
7.61.269913E-77.572344E-85.007572E-5661.29745.0E-55.4424834E-73.24529E-75.0324514E-5155.069385.0E-56.6262032E-63.9511337E-61.3395063E-433.9018171.3E-46.626006E-53.9510673E-52.4950237E-46.314812.1E-4

Garlock (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5092507E-56.2904815E-50.016291885258.99260.016231.9323928E-42.6956675E-40.0217337880.6248550.021470.00235014970.0032774820.0343453210.479180.031170.0232545040.032353770.072704622.2471760.0417
6.14.5092507E-56.2904815E-50.016291885258.99260.016231.9323928E-42.6956675E-40.0217337880.6248550.021470.00235014970.0032774820.0343453210.479180.031170.0232545040.032353770.072704622.2471760.0417
6.22.6674514E-53.4511588E-50.012924067374.484860.012891.1431433E-41.4789861E-40.016665455112.6816250.016520.00139088840.00179921140.02482770413.7992140.023070.013822150.0178727880.0472580342.64413330.02992
6.32.6674514E-53.4511588E-50.012924067374.484860.012891.1431433E-41.4789861E-40.016665455112.6816250.016520.00139088840.00179921140.02482770413.7992140.023070.013822150.0178727880.0472580342.64413330.02992
6.42.5312667E-53.2340467E-50.012821927396.466950.012791.0847834E-41.3859481E-40.016506325119.097720.016370.00131992370.00168611520.02441772314.4816460.022770.0131211120.0167722870.0457775032.7293540.0295
6.52.5312667E-53.2340467E-50.012821927396.466950.012791.0847834E-41.3859481E-40.016506325119.097720.016370.00131992370.00168611520.02441772314.4816460.022770.0131211120.0167722870.0457775032.7293540.0295
6.62.246556E-52.8134691E-50.012377787439.94750.012359.627742E-51.2057181E-40.015828678131.280090.015710.00117154720.00146699690.02312517715.7636180.021690.0116539010.0146131690.042056192.87796520.02785
6.72.2241198E-52.7804432E-50.012357461444.442170.012339.531594E-51.1915654E-40.01579729132.575930.015680.00115985380.00144978890.02307838615.9184460.021660.0115381870.0144428290.0418314642.89634820.02779
6.81.9528685E-52.3898969E-50.011953614500.17280.011938.369167E-51.0242024E-40.015260868149.002460.015160.00101846980.00124627280.0219404517.6048550.020720.0101381470.0124367230.038449143.0915810.02634
6.91.3318621E-51.5198818E-50.011255028740.519960.011245.7078556E-56.51362E-50.014144219217.148360.014086.9470983E-47.927504E-40.0195378824.6456870.018760.00692542040.0079407210.031204513.92968250.02345
7.01.1760853E-51.3107653E-50.011052963843.2450.011045.0402683E-55.6174475E-50.013815401245.937360.013766.134799E-46.8371464E-40.0188712727.6010930.01820.00611789060.0068574010.0293620124.2817990.02266
7.11.0064758E-51.0902761E-50.0107007865981.47490.010694.3133965E-54.67253E-50.013346104285.629060.01335.2502943E-45.6873553E-40.01799881631.6470760.017440.0052379070.00571334730.0271799964.75728030.02159
7.29.768808E-61.0498628E-50.010490389999.21510.010484.186565E-54.499337E-50.013064408290.362980.013025.095951E-45.4766005E-40.01764828932.22490.017110.00508428040.0055035840.0265371844.82180.02115
7.39.344516E-69.9442705E-60.009739848979.44310.009734.004731E-54.2617627E-50.012072105283.265530.012034.8746695E-45.187495E-40.01623059431.2879220.015720.00486399050.0052152690.024573784.7118910.01946
7.49.023491E-69.490441E-60.0086094085907.16630.00863.867153E-54.0672705E-50.0107102385263.327420.010674.7072413E-44.95081E-40.01449814529.284390.014010.0046972830.00497872660.0222721964.47347260.01738
7.57.081253E-67.0873994E-60.004397056620.40480.004393.0347876E-53.0374218E-50.005570206183.385990.005543.6942272E-43.697441E-40.007796996721.087550.007430.0036880920.00372447450.0129699113.48234650.00928
7.66.116396E-65.9589424E-60.0027159427455.775970.002712.6212863E-52.5538076E-50.003435451134.52270.003413.1909486E-43.1088197E-40.0049794316.0171070.004670.00318637070.00313591260.0088678812.8278470.00575
7.74.797145E-64.7571157E-60.0015347499322.621950.001532.055903E-52.0387479E-50.001960347996.15450.001942.5027743E-42.481894E-40.002887534211.6343970.002640.00249995760.00250940650.00579115052.3077770.00329
7.83.4028885E-63.978375E-60.001083974272.466550.001081.4583726E-51.7050066E-50.001407026382.523220.001391.775424E-42.0756487E-40.00206717879.9591940.001860.00177400620.00210121410.0044462762.1160510.00235
7.92.5928412E-63.372436E-67.833698E-4232.286047.8E-41.1112129E-51.4453217E-50.001034438571.57150.001021.3528178E-41.7595377E-40.00150571978.5574730.001330.00135199450.00178124260.00343828581.93027370.00166
8.01.3743648E-61.6734741E-62.81673E-4168.316332.8E-45.8901214E-67.1720124E-63.7716934E-452.5890583.7E-47.1709874E-58.731578E-56.172695E-47.0693925.3E-47.1686733E-48.837377E-40.00156313681.7687796.8E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1489736E-74.0314884E-5128.025474.0E-51.5742813E-61.3495595E-68.134945E-560.278528.0E-51.9166706E-51.643078E-51.2642897E-47.6946421.1E-41.9165053E-41.662928E-42.9627117E-41.78162371.3E-4

Panamint Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0211835E-53.3984263E-50.018503357544.46840.018471.2947287E-41.4563887E-40.023072299158.42130.022930.00157519230.00177174060.03424410519.3279460.032530.0156407360.0175830030.0593651983.37628320.04253
6.13.0211835E-53.3984263E-50.018503357544.46840.018471.2947287E-41.4563887E-40.023072299158.42130.022930.00157519230.00177174060.03424410519.3279460.032530.0156407360.0175830030.0593651983.37628320.04253
6.23.0211835E-53.3984263E-50.018503357544.46840.018471.2947287E-41.4563887E-40.023072299158.42130.022930.00157519230.00177174060.03424410519.3279460.032530.0156407360.0175830030.0593651983.37628320.04253
6.32.8573924E-53.2102445E-50.01788153557.01460.017851.2245393E-41.375748E-40.02211455160.745650.021980.0014898570.00167371410.032402219.3594570.030780.014799080.0166180380.0559533163.36702320.04
6.42.8573924E-53.2102445E-50.01788153557.01460.017851.2245393E-41.375748E-40.02211455160.745650.021980.0014898570.00167371410.032402219.3594570.030780.014799080.0166180380.0559533163.36702320.04
6.52.7468774E-53.0828138E-50.017530289568.64570.01751.1771801E-41.3211406E-40.02157928163.338260.021450.00143227450.00160732920.03151917519.6096550.029960.0142307820.0159638820.0541740063.39353560.03883
6.62.6135967E-52.9252153E-50.01721875588.63190.017191.1200648E-41.2536049E-40.02103274167.778060.020910.00136282570.00152522190.0304809919.9846270.0290.0135449820.0151543430.051997423.43118930.03741
6.72.4498746E-52.7341044E-50.016796883614.34680.016771.04990395E-41.17170785E-40.020384796173.975070.020270.00127750840.00142564590.02924592820.514160.027860.0127018930.0141715930.0494445343.4889890.03578
6.82.2244329E-52.4935374E-50.016114535646.251950.016099.532935E-51.0686163E-40.019354805181.120240.019250.00116001690.00130028570.02744624421.1078570.026180.0115398020.0129329550.0459602183.5537290.03346
6.91.9902658E-52.2290182E-50.015541945697.25510.015528.529431E-59.552596E-50.018553762194.227450.018460.00103796350.00116242650.02601350522.3786240.024880.0103312880.0115690210.0426947143.69043420.03149
7.01.8353881E-52.056605E-50.015190254738.60820.015177.865712E-58.813734E-50.018056553204.868380.017979.5722964E-40.00107256160.02515670323.4547860.024110.0095311680.010679390.0406953773.81064630.03034
7.11.7667631E-51.9772435E-50.0148694785752.030760.014857.571623E-58.4736355E-50.01761325207.859440.017539.2145515E-40.00103119450.0245569123.8140450.023550.0091764370.01026959250.0394963323.84594920.02953
7.21.6381597E-51.8158042E-50.013427914739.50230.013417.020495E-57.781795E-50.015786596202.865720.015718.544101E-49.470391E-40.0219071723.1322770.020980.0085113250.0094352690.0354871233.7611140.0263
7.31.4520491E-51.596657E-50.011255787704.95960.011246.222919E-56.842646E-50.013277522194.040770.013217.57377E-48.327899E-40.01854802522.2721540.017730.00754800950.0083003990.0303260483.65356470.02221
7.41.2852287E-51.41454875E-50.010903992770.845950.010895.5080065E-56.06222E-50.012889844212.625810.012836.7039346E-47.378411E-40.01795512824.334680.017230.00668374640.0073574290.0287885813.9128590.02159
7.51.1637851E-51.2836868E-50.010852697845.43190.010844.987555E-55.5014076E-50.0128343105233.29140.012786.070656E-46.696062E-40.01777814326.5501460.017120.0060540990.00667938450.0279265124.1810010.02139
7.63.0068115E-63.3330623E-60.00456331761369.10670.004561.2886271E-51.4284516E-50.005304209371.325780.005291.5687906E-41.7390738E-40.007352658542.2791630.007180.00156768350.00173979730.0106742266.13532730.00895

Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5103672E-55.456906E-50.01139395208.798720.011341.9328714E-42.3384714E-40.013580725558.0752260.013350.0023507310.00284354620.0209219927.3577120.018130.0232601950.0280926250.0502909871.79018470.02284
6.14.5103672E-55.456906E-50.01139395208.798720.011341.9328714E-42.3384714E-40.013580725558.0752260.013350.0023507310.00284354620.0209219927.3577120.018130.0232601950.0280926250.0502909871.79018470.02284
6.23.9363465E-54.706271E-50.011326532240.668930.011281.6868966E-42.016826E-40.01346900666.783180.013270.0020518620.00245285340.0203987278.3163250.017990.0203301960.0242741870.046364621.9100380.02264
6.33.9363465E-54.706271E-50.011326532240.668930.011281.6868966E-42.016826E-40.01346900666.783180.013270.0020518620.00245285340.0203987278.3163250.017990.0203301960.0242741870.046364621.9100380.02264
6.43.2311684E-53.795112E-50.011187528294.787840.011151.384713E-41.6263791E-40.01327050681.59540.013110.00168458430.0019783870.019713239.9642940.017770.0167187140.0196171180.041567892.11896010.02239
6.53.2311684E-53.795112E-50.011187528294.787840.011151.384713E-41.6263791E-40.01327050681.59540.013110.00168458430.0019783870.019713239.9642940.017770.0167187140.0196171180.041567892.11896010.02239
6.62.9305844E-53.418196E-50.011153802326.306640.011121.2559042E-41.4648624E-40.01320457390.142070.013060.00152799090.00178207270.01943056510.9033520.017680.0151752720.0176863240.0395133352.2341180.02222
6.72.7826512E-53.2344353E-50.011131985344.17090.01111.19251024E-41.3861163E-40.01317680495.062760.013040.00145091420.00168635060.01930658711.4487390.017650.0144147760.0167438180.038552442.3024880.02218
6.82.3389874E-52.6866792E-50.01105657411.532960.011031.0023846E-41.1513857E-40.013063648113.460210.012950.001219720.0014009580.01886645513.4668240.017490.012130470.0139280670.0355920682.55542040.02197
6.92.069209E-52.357011E-50.010993311466.409030.010978.867737E-51.0101105E-40.012989709128.596910.012890.00107911230.00122915190.01861775315.1468290.017410.0107388710.0122291580.0338020732.76405570.02184
7.01.7462342E-51.9633622E-50.010949419557.687130.010937.483646E-58.414151E-50.012923061153.587220.012849.1075303E-40.00102396410.0183162417.8875790.017310.0090702950.0101966880.031685323.10741280.02171
7.11.4807709E-51.6441827E-50.0109262625664.540650.010916.3460066E-57.046316E-50.012889559182.926220.012827.723524E-48.575678E-40.01810276721.1094280.017260.0076967350.0085461680.0299714843.50700880.02161
7.21.4180048E-51.5698413E-50.0109055275694.68980.010896.077022E-56.727727E-50.012866416191.244630.01287.396263E-48.1880915E-40.01804469322.0377270.017240.00737169430.0081614690.0295653453.62255170.02158
7.31.3730402E-51.5172151E-50.010875007716.77430.010865.8843252E-56.502197E-50.012834191197.382390.012777.161811E-47.9137104E-40.01796776822.7046050.017190.0071387740.0078890580.0292492063.70756650.02153
7.41.2810095E-51.4109353E-50.010853956769.273860.010845.489925E-56.0467344E-50.012809697211.844860.012756.681934E-47.3595706E-40.01787333624.285840.017150.0066618780.00733868960.0286709823.90682580.02149
7.51.1595659E-51.2800734E-50.010802663843.909670.010794.9694736E-55.485922E-50.012754163232.488940.01276.0486543E-46.67722E-40.01769634326.5025620.017040.0060322170.0066606320.0278088264.1751030.02129
7.62.997694E-63.3251877E-60.004563311372.34670.004561.28471975E-51.4250767E-50.0053041754372.20280.005291.564034E-41.7349655E-40.007352250642.3769260.007180.00156293370.00173569550.0106701616.14748430.00895

Airport Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.010492966800.79680.010485.3086325E-55.615534E-50.012875436229.282490.012826.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0174020725.4600410.016730.00644258880.00681683930.0275048454.0348380.02083
6.11.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.010492966800.79680.010485.3086325E-55.615534E-50.012875436229.282490.012826.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0174020725.4600410.016730.00644258880.00681683930.0275048454.0348380.02083
6.21.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.010492966800.79680.010485.3086325E-55.615534E-50.012875436229.282490.012826.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0174020725.4600410.016730.00644258880.00681683930.0275048454.0348380.02083
6.31.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.010492966800.79680.010485.3086325E-55.615534E-50.012875436229.282490.012826.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0174020725.4600410.016730.00644258880.00681683930.0275048454.0348380.02083
6.41.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.010492966800.79680.010485.3086325E-55.615534E-50.012875436229.282490.012826.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0174020725.4600410.016730.00644258880.00681683930.0275048454.0348380.02083
6.56.9922594E-67.384925E-60.0078773271066.67660.007872.996648E-53.1649324E-50.009631345304.31440.00963.6478083E-43.8526783E-40.01282047533.2767870.012440.0036418260.00384653660.0192271454.99856040.01544
6.66.9922594E-67.384925E-60.0078773271066.67660.007872.996648E-53.1649324E-50.009631345304.31440.00963.6478083E-43.8526783E-40.01282047533.2767870.012440.0036418260.00384653660.0192271454.99856040.01544
6.75.477277E-65.7860684E-60.0068157471177.95810.006812.3473833E-52.4797222E-50.008364591337.319640.008342.8575645E-43.0186825E-40.010988641536.402110.010690.00285389270.0030149660.0161651995.36165240.01319
6.83.9950432E-64.2190873E-60.00510419771209.78720.00511.7121502E-51.8081691E-50.00619797342.7760.006182.0843433E-42.2012512E-40.008268353537.562060.008050.00208238930.00219934180.012117485.5095940.00994
6.92.95695E-63.1230243E-60.00367311161176.13930.003671.2672582E-51.3384334E-50.004523324337.95660.004511.5427776E-41.6294434E-40.006051984637.1414220.005890.0015417070.00162847120.0088566815.43864770.00724
7.01.456072E-61.540812E-60.00157153841019.94170.001576.2402937E-66.603469E-60.00202659306.89780.002027.597293E-58.039528E-50.002690185633.4619830.002617.594696E-48.0376083E-40.00407113275.06510450.00327
7.16.995192E-77.4089746E-76.307404E-4851.31956.3E-42.997936E-63.1752747E-68.5317256E-4268.692548.5E-43.649926E-53.865897E-50.001138616529.4528390.00113.6493264E-43.865897E-40.00173606784.49072460.00135

Garlock (West)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.5181727E-52.5197181E-50.0077750017308.566350.007751.0791722E-41.0798347E-40.00980693690.818860.00970.00131310020.00131390930.01422692110.8279320.012930.0130536830.0131417940.029049952.2105010.01612
6.12.5077732E-52.5098223E-50.007774904309.779050.007751.0747157E-41.075594E-40.00980651691.173030.00970.0013076810.00130875250.0142218310.8667080.012930.0130001260.0130908350.0289998112.21527580.01612
6.22.494612E-52.4979914E-50.007774786311.241520.007751.0690756E-41.070524E-40.00980601491.600130.00970.00130082240.00130258720.01421574510.9134690.012930.0129323410.0130299060.0289398642.2210340.01612
6.32.4733758E-52.4799276E-50.0077746073313.501370.007751.0599751E-41.06278305E-40.00980524792.260110.00970.00128975560.00129317360.01420645310.9857270.012930.0128229570.01293687150.028848332.22993090.01612
6.42.3237335E-52.3178607E-50.0077529997334.489440.007739.958477E-59.933313E-50.00976837298.339530.009670.00121177020.00120871260.01409312111.6596120.01290.0120518380.0121017310.0279772562.3118390.01607
6.52.2732203E-52.2992977E-50.0077528153337.18190.007739.742009E-59.8537625E-50.009767584599.1254350.009670.00118544420.00119903810.01408357111.7457240.01290.0117914030.0120060350.02788312.32242350.01607
6.62.1319436E-52.1773201E-50.007751605356.015840.007739.136581E-59.3310395E-50.009762408104.622940.009670.0011118110.00113546430.01402081612.3480910.01290.0110626490.0113769520.0272542392.3955660.01606
6.71.970802E-52.0393094E-50.0077502355380.042140.007738.446021E-58.739606E-50.009756551111.636050.009670.0010278180.00106352940.0139498113.1165260.01290.0102307710.01066468750.0265534132.48984430.01606
6.81.8744462E-51.9900775E-50.007749747389.419340.007738.033094E-58.528626E-50.009744463114.255950.009669.775903E-40.00103786720.013904513.3971850.012880.0097330090.0104104950.026283512.52471280.01604
6.91.7559682E-51.8953151E-50.007738807408.31240.007727.5253614E-58.122527E-50.0097304415119.795740.009659.158276E-49.884704E-40.01384574914.0072460.012870.00912062450.0099210730.0257920382.59972260.01603
7.01.6794445E-51.8215967E-50.0077180755423.698360.00777.197421E-57.806611E-50.009707314124.347370.009638.759337E-49.5004175E-40.01377784414.5023560.012840.0087248910.0095399580.025367512.65907980.01598
7.11.6337795E-51.771677E-50.007697581434.479950.007687.0017246E-57.592681E-50.009685197127.5596540.009618.521265E-49.2401815E-40.01372218114.85055350.012810.0084886640.0092817210.025073772.70141390.01594
7.21.5780008E-51.71654E-50.007677034447.23890.007666.762685E-57.3563926E-50.009662858131.353210.009598.2304585E-48.952741E-40.01366383215.2621770.012780.0082000420.0089965590.0246940532.74483320.01584
7.31.5058865E-51.6618484E-50.007676491461.924930.007666.45364E-57.122013E-50.009640538135.362550.009577.854473E-48.667614E-40.01359571915.6856550.012740.007826770.0087132630.0243458542.79411460.01577
7.41.4887923E-51.6454453E-50.0075363307458.011630.007526.380382E-57.0517184E-50.009439857133.866040.009377.7653467E-48.5820974E-40.01329752515.49449350.012450.00773826750.0086281010.0239051432.77061440.01541
7.51.4509299E-51.6046468E-50.006975935434.733340.006966.218123E-56.876877E-50.008748172127.21140.008687.567935E-48.369394E-40.01234729814.7529180.011520.00754221340.0084164110.0225861392.68358350.01429
7.61.2756717E-51.4050529E-50.004623986329.096920.004615.4670498E-56.0215163E-50.00576987195.82090.005716.6541E-47.328737E-40.0083872611.4443450.007660.0066342110.0073813740.0167516942.26945470.00944
7.71.0328985E-51.146033E-50.0027514289240.082870.002744.4266326E-54.9114777E-50.003508944871.443770.003465.388092E-45.9780874E-40.0052050538.7068860.004610.00537504670.0060382860.0117336871.94321490.00573
7.87.0306583E-68.899537E-60.001978882222.357860.001973.0131043E-53.8140315E-50.002558044267.06930.002523.667837E-44.6425956E-40.00373274138.0402040.003270.0036617890.00469506670.0087061461.85431780.00403
7.94.060633E-65.465412E-60.0012154588222.391070.001211.7402595E-52.3422985E-50.001613385768.880450.001592.11856E-42.8513762E-40.00234455038.2225220.002060.00211654140.0028841430.00537693271.86430860.0025
8.01.6729537E-62.0775192E-64.2207664E-4203.163774.2E-47.169782E-68.903624E-65.28899E-459.4026685.2E-48.7288594E-51.0839626E-48.3831715E-47.73381957.3E-48.7254314E-40.0010968540.00200585581.82873559.1E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1489736E-74.0314884E-5128.025474.0E-51.5742813E-61.3495595E-68.134945E-560.278528.0E-51.9166706E-51.643078E-51.2642897E-47.6946421.1E-41.9165053E-41.662928E-42.9627117E-41.78162371.3E-4

So Sierra Nevada

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.006011013542.529240.0064.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.007657122161.259410.007616.024253E-45.779681E-40.0111918319.3640980.010620.0060079480.0057659180.0191383663.31922270.01345
6.11.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.006011013542.529240.0064.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.007657122161.259410.007616.024253E-45.779681E-40.0111918319.3640980.010620.0060079480.0057659180.0191383663.31922270.01345
6.21.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.006011013542.529240.0064.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.007657122161.259410.007616.024253E-45.779681E-40.0111918319.3640980.010620.0060079480.0057659180.0191383663.31922270.01345
6.31.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.006011013542.529240.0064.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.007657122161.259410.007616.024253E-45.779681E-40.0111918319.3640980.010620.0060079480.0057659180.0191383663.31922270.01345
6.41.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.006011013542.529240.0064.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.007657122161.259410.007616.024253E-45.779681E-40.0111918319.3640980.010620.0060079480.0057659180.0191383663.31922270.01345
6.51.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.006011013542.529240.0064.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.007657122161.259410.007616.024253E-45.779681E-40.0111918319.3640980.010620.0060079480.0057659180.0191383663.31922270.01345
6.67.587044E-66.9356042E-60.0044969046648.379640.004493.2515498E-52.9723697E-50.0055595594187.041320.005533.9580427E-43.6182883E-40.007749154721.4166320.007390.0039510.00361268870.0126001023.48773530.00902
6.77.587044E-66.9356042E-60.0044969046648.379640.004493.2515498E-52.9723697E-50.0055595594187.041320.005533.9580427E-43.6182883E-40.007749154721.4166320.007390.0039510.00361268870.0126001023.48773530.00902
6.85.9026956E-65.179362E-60.003965159765.5690.003962.5297022E-52.2197082E-50.00485209218.591320.004833.0794772E-42.7021713E-40.00667848524.7152540.006410.00307521320.0026990020.0104380583.86737680.00776
6.95.0118915E-64.2523943E-60.003614237849.92990.003612.1479358E-51.8224424E-50.004398145241.332430.004382.614798E-42.2186051E-40.006080560427.4071330.005860.00261172350.00221646270.0093007264.19620230.0071
7.04.4924795E-63.7138868E-60.0033037015889.553650.00331.925334E-51.5916565E-50.004005853251.678250.003992.3438422E-41.9376757E-40.00556272728.7082460.005370.00234137170.00193604910.0084434264.3611630.00652
7.13.9118436E-63.1119469E-60.002933103942.529850.002931.6764936E-51.333685E-50.0035632895267.176240.003552.0409399E-41.6236462E-40.00491159330.2503910.004750.00203906630.00162251610.0073532034.53197530.00574
7.23.4200818E-62.6054236E-60.00267259851025.78270.002671.4657411E-51.11660565E-50.0032211302288.47520.003211.7843937E-41.3593875E-40.004395359732.333380.004260.00178296150.00135860580.00641173124.71934650.00506
7.32.6593618E-61.8283897E-60.00231182411264.40450.002311.13972155E-57.8359335E-60.002817814359.601530.002811.3875226E-49.539862E-50.003815043739.990560.003720.00138665659.536055E-40.00530944765.5677610.00436
7.42.2577992E-61.4364078E-60.00188143371309.81860.001889.676246E-66.1560204E-60.0023361417379.488950.002331.1780193E-47.4947224E-50.003214711842.893010.003140.0011773957.4924453E-40.00436653245.82791330.00362
7.51.489319E-67.353661E-78.207348E-41116.09018.2E-46.3827797E-63.1515651E-60.0010831482343.68580.001087.770758E-53.8369635E-50.001538312140.0919150.00157.7680405E-43.8363054E-40.002182945.69021460.0018
7.61.0680322E-64.65941E-74.4046572E-4945.325134.4E-44.577273E-61.9968884E-65.919957E-4296.459085.9E-45.5726876E-52.4311848E-59.042905E-437.195468.8E-45.5712904E-42.4309216E-40.00129283695.31830.00105
7.75.509146E-71.5578539E-71.6015576E-41028.05381.6E-42.3610605E-66.676515E-72.1066751E-4315.535162.1E-42.8745531E-58.128628E-62.9812628E-436.6760862.9E-42.8741814E-48.128342E-54.212558E-45.18255473.4E-4

Gravel Hills-Harper Lk

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0679566E-53.1464628E-50.0038713438123.037970.003841.3147724E-41.3484266E-40.005624102441.708630.005490.00159955990.001640690.0105260886.4156470.00890.0158809520.0163073370.0289969721.7781550.0129
6.13.0679566E-53.1464628E-50.0038713438123.037970.003841.3147724E-41.3484266E-40.005624102441.708630.005490.00159955990.001640690.0105260886.4156470.00890.0158809520.0163073370.0289969721.7781550.0129
6.21.514536E-51.36352E-50.001303617695.606780.001296.490707E-55.843533E-50.001888328332.3148420.001837.8995706E-47.112298E-40.00382901085.3836480.003120.0078715480.0070907370.01154891.62873050.00449
6.31.514536E-51.36352E-50.001303617695.606780.001296.490707E-55.843533E-50.001888328332.3148420.001837.8995706E-47.112298E-40.00382901085.3836480.003120.0078715480.0070907370.01154891.62873050.00449
6.41.2532521E-51.0689684E-59.0068014E-484.256958.9E-45.37097E-54.581216E-50.00133575329.1571730.001296.537194E-45.5762613E-40.00270642714.853480.002150.00651799650.0055628590.0085561151.53807870.00301
6.51.1094058E-59.083657E-65.890784E-464.850365.8E-44.7545094E-53.89294E-58.888963E-422.833558.5E-45.787078E-44.7386638E-40.00194316994.10067030.001470.00577203040.0047289670.0068289891.44407630.00211
6.69.688328E-67.531688E-63.775289E-450.12543.7E-44.1520743E-53.227828E-55.522615E-417.1093855.2E-45.053978E-43.9291973E-40.00136253853.46772779.7E-40.00504249940.00392250670.00529709371.35043590.00138
6.78.974824E-66.749406E-63.067474E-445.4480553.0E-43.8462964E-52.8925719E-54.4891358E-415.5195314.2E-44.6818596E-43.5211592E-40.00111184833.15762027.6E-40.0046720080.0035158010.00459200381.30610470.00108
6.87.4780046E-65.1161865E-61.2511558E-424.4548511.2E-43.20482E-52.1926337E-51.8192283E-48.2970011.6E-43.9011694E-42.6692182E-46.268257E-42.34834933.6E-40.00389432810.00266615050.0032146841.205745.5E-4
6.96.3409307E-63.907489E-66.390725E-516.355076.0E-52.7175134E-51.674628E-59.674494E-55.77710068.0E-53.3080703E-42.0386786E-44.0382709E-41.98082762.0E-40.00330315020.00203690650.00237621411.16657973.4E-4
7.05.1239335E-62.6058492E-61.2605823E-54.83751061.0E-52.195953E-51.1167879E-53.1167656E-52.79083042.0E-52.6732447E-41.359607E-41.9595254E-41.4412446.0E-50.00267003130.00135880050.00148862381.09554271.3E-4
7.14.438899E-62.0984692E-61.2098449E-55.76536851.0E-51.9023713E-58.99341E-62.899323E-53.22383052.0E-52.315891E-41.0948948E-41.5948401E-41.45661495.0E-50.0023134790.00109437740.00120425691.10040381.1E-4
7.23.50367E-61.2615715E-61.2615715E-61.00.01.5015643E-55.406724E-65.406724E-61.00.01.8280011E-46.5824956E-57.5824304E-51.1519081.0E-50.00182649826.580628E-46.980365E-41.06074454.0E-5
7.32.561638E-67.118686E-77.118686E-71.00.01.0978401E-53.050862E-63.050862E-61.00.01.3365384E-43.7143633E-54.714326E-51.26921511.0E-50.00133573493.7137623E-44.0136508E-41.08075063.0E-5
7.42.0368864E-65.304471E-75.304471E-71.00.08.729483E-62.2733427E-62.2733427E-61.00.01.06276275E-42.76776E-52.76776E-51.00.00.00106225472.767421E-42.767421E-41.00.0
7.51.1681728E-63.6028484E-73.6028484E-71.00.05.0064455E-61.544077E-61.544077E-61.00.06.0951766E-51.879898E-51.879898E-51.00.06.093505E-41.8797436E-41.8797436E-41.00.0
7.61.3154387E-77.1196716E-87.1196716E-81.00.05.6375933E-73.0512876E-73.0512876E-71.00.06.863748E-63.714938E-63.714938E-61.00.06.863536E-53.7148915E-53.7148915E-51.00.0

Ash Hill

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1545662E-52.3194447E-50.0031631216136.37410.003149.2335285E-59.940143E-50.004808933548.378910.004710.00112360230.00120962060.0090701017.49830250.007870.0111793810.0120383480.0237358141.97168360.01184
6.12.1545662E-52.3194447E-50.0031631216136.37410.003149.2335285E-59.940143E-50.004808933548.378910.004710.00112360230.00120962060.0090701017.49830250.007870.0111793810.0120383480.0237358141.97168360.01184
6.22.1545662E-52.3194447E-50.0031631216136.37410.003149.2335285E-59.940143E-50.004808933548.378910.004710.00112360230.00120962060.0090701017.49830250.007870.0111793810.0120383480.0237358141.97168360.01184
6.31.0025529E-51.0746934E-50.0012607335117.310990.001254.2965847E-54.605755E-50.00198596843.1192740.001945.229836E-45.6061964E-40.00378880886.7582520.003230.0052175450.00559336650.0104659591.87113770.0049
6.41.0025529E-51.0746934E-50.0012607335117.310990.001254.2965847E-54.605755E-50.00198596843.1192740.001945.229836E-45.6061964E-40.00378880886.7582520.003230.0052175450.00559336650.0104659591.87113770.0049
6.56.9617327E-67.456634E-68.174506E-4109.627298.1E-42.9835655E-53.195666E-50.001301916140.7400550.001273.6318856E-43.8901155E-40.00256816346.60176660.002180.00362595570.00388416020.00717134261.84630450.0033
6.64.9919777E-65.3466883E-65.753436E-4107.6074755.7E-42.1394015E-52.2914215E-59.4289315E-441.148839.2E-42.60441E-42.7895154E-40.00180852476.48329350.001530.00260135970.00278667270.00526973371.89104880.00249
6.73.6630722E-63.924624E-64.6392283E-4118.208234.6E-41.5698786E-51.681974E-57.668071E-445.5897147.5E-41.9111596E-42.0476682E-40.00145451087.10325430.001250.00190951680.00204634460.00403227241.97047580.00199
6.82.5599613E-62.744925E-63.027441E-4110.29233.0E-41.0971216E-51.1763939E-54.917583E-441.8021774.8E-41.3356637E-41.4322149E-40.00101309697.0736378.7E-40.00133486130.00143177690.00280980111.96245730.00138
6.91.7684905E-61.8968707E-62.2189645E-4116.980272.2E-47.579223E-68.129446E-63.481267E-442.822933.4E-49.2273134E-59.8976E-56.5892056E-46.65737725.6E-49.223483E-49.8976E-40.00189885941.91850479.1E-4

McLean Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7360222E-51.8501627E-50.0032584416176.116490.003247.439883E-57.9290556E-50.004618930658.2532270.004549.0542925E-49.6498354E-40.008577638.8888870.007620.0090174910.00961277450.0216855952.25591420.01219
6.19.062689E-69.592193E-60.0015595773162.588180.001553.8839516E-54.1108804E-50.002241018554.5143170.00224.727685E-45.003936E-40.0043984428.7899650.00390.00471763960.0049935520.0113615932.27525280.0064
6.29.062689E-69.592193E-60.0015595773162.588180.001553.8839516E-54.1108804E-50.002241018554.5143170.00224.727685E-45.003936E-40.0043984428.7899650.00390.00471763960.0049935520.0113615932.27525280.0064
6.37.2575485E-67.66771E-60.0011676588152.282610.001163.110341E-53.2861237E-50.001702806351.8180850.001673.786182E-44.0001926E-40.00339881918.4966390.0030.00377973750.00399369650.0089637682.2444790.00499
6.47.2575485E-67.66771E-60.0011676588152.282610.001163.110341E-53.2861237E-50.001702806351.8180850.001673.786182E-44.0001926E-40.00339881918.4966390.0030.00377973750.00399369650.0089637682.2444790.00499
6.56.06582E-66.4038773E-60.0010063974157.15440.0012.5996113E-52.7444936E-50.001457405753.10290.001433.164567E-43.3409733E-40.0029232328.7496410.002590.00316006430.00333658930.00766210862.29638960.00434
6.65.598744E-65.910262E-69.5590466E-4161.736429.5E-42.3994397E-52.5329486E-50.001375295354.296220.001352.9209262E-43.0834923E-40.0027176068.8134030.002410.00291708970.0030798430.00715724662.32389970.00409
6.75.246996E-65.539162E-68.455345E-4152.646658.4E-42.2486933E-52.3739085E-50.001213710951.127110.001192.73744E-42.8899137E-40.00247835868.5758910.002190.00273407040.00288677960.0065960412.2849130.00372
6.84.02324E-64.2469046E-66.142443E-4144.633426.1E-41.7242342E-51.8200926E-58.981849E-449.348318.8E-42.099053E-42.2157968E-40.00182122528.2192780.00160.00209707140.0022141720.0049580832.23924920.00275
6.96.835972E-77.1399285E-71.0071392E-4141.057331.0E-42.9296991E-63.0599674E-61.7305945E-456.5559771.7E-43.56685E-53.7254784E-53.372436E-49.0523573.0E-43.5662777E-43.7251666E-48.423416E-42.26121854.7E-4

Goldstone Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.671352E-53.0376103E-50.002510300882.640650.002481.1448149E-41.3017791E-40.00383969529.4957490.003710.0013929210.00158396010.00794387055.0151960.006370.0138422220.0157462020.0257757471.63695010.01019
6.12.671352E-53.0376103E-50.002510300882.640650.002481.1448149E-41.3017791E-40.00383969529.4957490.003710.0013929210.00158396010.00794387055.0151960.006370.0138422220.0157462020.0257757471.63695010.01019
6.21.4197047E-51.6096254E-50.001356074784.247840.001346.0843064E-56.898268E-50.001928854427.961430.001867.4051257E-48.3963916E-40.0039969864.76036170.003160.0073804980.0083743640.0134911531.61100610.00516
6.31.4197047E-51.6096254E-50.001356074784.247840.001346.0843064E-56.898268E-50.001928854427.961430.001867.4051257E-48.3963916E-40.0039969864.76036170.003160.0073804980.0083743640.0134911531.61100610.00516
6.41.3238931E-51.500847E-50.001294989386.28390.001285.6737044E-56.432098E-50.001864205228.982850.00186.9055456E-47.8292453E-40.00382054434.87983750.003040.0068841260.0078112890.0127027791.62620780.00493
6.51.3238931E-51.500847E-50.001294989386.28390.001285.6737044E-56.432098E-50.001864205228.982850.00186.9055456E-47.8292453E-40.00382054434.87983750.003040.0068841260.0078112890.0127027791.62620780.00493
6.61.1328278E-51.2855176E-50.001032842180.344450.001024.8548856E-55.5092984E-50.00154501128.0436950.001495.90922E-46.706464E-40.00325890934.8593560.002590.00589353130.00669561370.0109171571.63049390.00425
6.78.651175E-69.824575E-67.598172E-477.338437.5E-43.707594E-54.2105148E-50.001202056328.5489140.001164.5130608E-45.126002E-40.00250158024.8801780.001990.00450390620.00512305650.0084558941.65055660.00335
6.81.0215377E-61.1754802E-62.1175456E-518.0143032.0E-54.378012E-65.037763E-64.5037563E-58.9399924.0E-55.3300988E-56.133315E-51.5132764E-42.46730579.0E-55.3288206E-46.131735E-47.730754E-41.26077761.6E-4
6.97.9360774E-79.283496E-72.0928332E-522.5435892.0E-53.4011714E-63.9786355E-64.3978478E-511.05365854.0E-54.1408475E-54.843888E-51.08435976E-42.23861436.0E-54.140076E-44.842902E-45.7424663E-41.18574899.0E-5
7.07.4382757E-78.747428E-72.0874726E-523.8638442.0E-53.1878285E-63.7488926E-64.3748743E-511.6697774.0E-53.8811122E-54.564188E-51.0563914E-42.3145226.0E-53.8804344E-44.563317E-45.362952E-41.17523118.0E-5
7.16.4709513E-77.711399E-72.0771124E-526.935612.0E-52.773262E-63.3048816E-63.3304783E-510.0774513.0E-53.376394E-54.023625E-59.0234236E-52.24261055.0E-53.375881E-44.022956E-44.6227148E-41.14908416.0E-5
7.26.356704E-77.588459E-72.0758831E-527.3557932.0E-52.7242988E-63.252193E-63.3252094E-510.2245153.0E-53.3167835E-53.959479E-58.959281E-52.26274235.0E-53.3162883E-43.9588328E-44.5585955E-41.15149996.0E-5
7.35.7695723E-76.896648E-71.0689658E-515.4997871.0E-52.4726714E-62.9557032E-62.2955644E-57.7665592.0E-53.0104358E-53.598515E-57.598371E-52.11152964.0E-53.0100282E-43.5979896E-44.0978097E-41.13891655.0E-5
7.45.209647E-76.193583E-71.0619352E-517.1457331.0E-52.232704E-62.6543903E-62.2654338E-58.5346672.0E-52.718283E-53.2316777E-57.231549E-52.23770714.0E-52.7179506E-43.2312635E-43.7311018E-41.15468825.0E-5
7.54.512955E-75.3489487E-71.053489E-519.6952511.0E-51.934122E-62.2924048E-62.2292359E-59.72444252.0E-52.3547682E-52.7909726E-56.790861E-52.43315224.0E-52.3545188E-42.7906752E-43.2905358E-41.17911825.0E-5
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-71.0260399E-539.4021571.0E-59.478797E-71.1160082E-62.1115986E-518.9209962.0E-51.1540374E-51.3587343E-55.35868E-53.94387634.0E-51.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.758625E-41.29436354.0E-5

Coyote Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.5090034E-54.0364317E-50.001270314731.471230.001231.503772E-41.7297991E-40.002142639112.3866360.001970.00182930470.00210425330.00596610972.8352620.003870.0181431940.0208692050.0271454321.30074120.00641
6.13.5090034E-54.0364317E-50.001270314731.471230.001231.503772E-41.7297991E-40.002142639112.3866360.001970.00182930470.00210425330.00596610972.8352620.003870.0181431940.0208692050.0271454321.30074120.00641
6.21.841879E-52.1059794E-56.710461E-431.8638526.5E-47.8935285E-59.025371E-50.001190154513.1867650.00119.606133E-40.00109838710.00330595953.00983120.002210.00956471450.0109396680.0144013791.31643660.0035
6.31.841879E-52.1059794E-56.710461E-431.8638526.5E-47.8935285E-59.025371E-50.001190154513.1867650.00119.606133E-40.00109838710.00330595953.00983120.002210.00956471450.0109396680.0144013791.31643660.0035
6.41.712201E-51.9565212E-56.3955307E-432.688286.2E-47.337798E-58.3848776E-50.001133760813.5214940.001058.930107E-40.00102048130.0030883693.02638460.002070.0088943070.0101678710.0133947241.31735780.00326
6.51.4744935E-51.6836972E-55.7682756E-434.259585.6E-46.3191044E-57.215698E-59.920906E-413.7490599.2E-47.6907943E-48.782507E-40.00270664343.08185770.001830.0076642320.0087569940.0117009861.33618750.00297
6.61.2017839E-51.3724089E-55.337169E-438.889065.2E-45.150401E-55.88167E-58.887679E-415.1108098.3E-46.268809E-47.159466E-40.00235477253.28903370.001640.00625115450.00714509380.0097563021.36545480.00263
6.71.00956095E-51.1533517E-54.5152844E-439.1492424.4E-44.326618E-54.942891E-57.6939334E-415.5656547.2E-45.266384E-46.017178E-40.00196089943.25883580.001360.0052539210.00600941250.0082558311.37381670.00226

San Andreas (Mojave S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.00344275575.10321860.002770.00133063760.0028881720.00647777462.24286320.00360.0160806050.0345655940.0392769171.13630080.004880.14965490.286545570.291118831.01595990.00641
6.13.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.00344275575.10321860.002770.00133063760.0028881720.00647777462.24286320.00360.0160806050.0345655940.0392769171.13630080.004880.14965490.286545570.291118831.01595990.00641
6.23.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.00344275575.10321860.002770.00133063760.0028881720.00647777462.24286320.00360.0160806050.0345655940.0392769171.13630080.004880.14965490.286545570.291118831.01595990.00641
6.33.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.00344275575.10321860.002770.00133063760.0028881720.00647777462.24286320.00360.0160806050.0345655940.0392769171.13630080.004880.14965490.286545570.291118831.01595990.00641
6.41.9872203E-44.3181062E-40.00298070956.9028170.002558.5138786E-40.00184933260.0051731742.79731970.003330.0103164780.022289310.0267085621.19826780.004520.0985048560.196868390.201558681.02382450.00584
6.51.291105E-42.8754136E-40.00271684269.4485270.002435.5321335E-40.00123174090.0043678733.54609730.003140.0067145920.0148941550.0190710031.28043540.004240.0651529650.138007920.142697171.0339780.00544
6.61.291105E-42.8754136E-40.00271684269.4485270.002435.5321335E-40.00123174090.0043678733.54609730.003140.0067145920.0148941550.0190710031.28043540.004240.0651529650.138007920.142697171.0339780.00544
6.71.08001186E-42.4335351E-40.00265276710.9008780.002414.6278012E-40.00104252740.0041492853.98002530.003110.00561980160.01261920.0167267041.32549640.004160.0547979060.119184310.123887871.03946460.00534
6.81.0624356E-42.3853009E-40.002637957711.0592240.00244.5525006E-40.00102187180.00411870424.03054860.00310.00552859250.0123705930.0164692551.3313230.004150.0539305660.117133080.1218211051.04002310.00531
6.91.0393785E-42.3223337E-40.00263167611.3320320.00244.4537184E-49.949068E-40.00409182254.112770.00310.00540892870.0120459630.0161360931.33954360.004140.052791560.1144334450.1191003841.04078290.00527
7.01.0155622E-42.2592908E-40.002615389211.5761510.002394.3516833E-49.6790853E-40.00405491754.18936060.003090.0052853110.0117208380.0157925491.34739070.004120.051613610.111697450.1163610441.0417520.00525
7.19.885595E-52.188132E-40.002608290211.9201680.002394.2359953E-49.374342E-40.00402453774.29314140.003090.00514513530.0113537330.0154269561.35875620.004120.050276290.108576070.1132382151.0429390.00523
7.29.6411415E-52.1244297E-40.002601935312.2476880.002394.1312634E-49.101525E-40.00399734034.39194540.003090.0050182190.0110249870.0150995641.36957660.004120.0490640070.10576970.110446531.04421710.00523
7.39.1180635E-51.9472656E-40.002574263113.2198870.002383.907156E-48.342756E-40.00389172284.66479250.003060.0047465910.0101101120.0141587621.40045550.004090.0464647860.097961760.102652361.0478820.0052
7.48.887388E-51.872126E-40.002566767213.7104390.002383.8083247E-48.020931E-40.00385963874.81195830.003060.00462678170.0097218550.0137720931.41661170.004090.0453162860.0945938450.099301961.04977190.0052
7.58.6750515E-51.80528E-40.002550100214.1257880.002373.7173493E-47.734621E-40.00381111074.927340.003040.0045164840.0093763270.0133982581.42894540.004060.044257870.091556060.096243631.0511990.00516
7.68.453092E-51.7440386E-40.002543990514.5867790.002373.6222505E-47.4723107E-40.00378495945.06531330.003040.00440117530.0090596640.0130729721.44298650.004050.043150240.088714470.093407591.05290140.00515
7.78.259102E-51.6962511E-40.002519226414.8517310.002353.539135E-47.267622E-40.00373457475.1386470.003010.0043003860.00881250.012777251.44990060.0040.0421811340.0864654260.091124451.05388310.0051
7.87.444844E-51.528469E-40.00217253814.2138190.002023.1902574E-46.5489375E-40.0032531914.96750970.00260.00387722230.0079442310.0113569031.42957870.003440.038102690.0782938750.0822756441.05085670.00432
7.95.2586525E-51.0007023E-40.001349945213.4899770.001252.2535135E-44.2880196E-40.0020581034.7996590.001630.00274020060.0052081780.0073668761.41448250.002170.0270665740.0522015880.0547132571.04811480.00265
8.03.379877E-55.4075565E-55.040512E-49.32123854.5E-41.4484383E-42.3173184E-47.816044E-43.3728835.5E-40.00176204710.00281768660.00360546071.27958187.9E-40.0174814090.0288359170.0297973681.03334229.9E-4
8.11.8668277E-51.9308145E-56.930718E-53.58953075.0E-58.000444E-58.274657E-51.7273912E-42.08756839.0E-59.736188E-40.00100697450.00112685361.11904881.2E-40.0096936420.0107986240.0109568961.01465671.6E-4
8.28.541571E-65.4596358E-65.4596358E-61.00.03.660622E-52.339823E-52.339823E-51.00.04.455896E-42.848363E-42.848363E-41.00.00.00444697170.0032402830.0032402831.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Mojave N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.877682E-51.9402112E-40.00332341417.1291350.003134.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00477797075.74790530.003950.00514102770.0100736840.0153598911.5247540.005340.050237080.098322450.1043636951.06144310.0067
6.19.877682E-51.9402112E-40.00332341417.1291350.003134.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00477797075.74790530.003950.00514102770.0100736840.0153598911.5247540.005340.050237080.098322450.1043636951.06144310.0067
6.29.877682E-51.9402112E-40.00332341417.1291350.003134.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00477797075.74790530.003950.00514102770.0100736840.0153598911.5247540.005340.050237080.098322450.1043636951.06144310.0067
6.39.877682E-51.9402112E-40.00332341417.1291350.003134.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00477797075.74790530.003950.00514102770.0100736840.0153598911.5247540.005340.050237080.098322450.1043636951.06144310.0067
6.49.877682E-51.9402112E-40.00332341417.1291350.003134.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00477797075.74790530.003950.00514102770.0100736840.0153598911.5247540.005340.050237080.098322450.1043636951.06144310.0067
6.59.861474E-51.937588E-40.003323152417.1509740.003134.2256617E-48.3013077E-40.00477685175.75433640.003950.00513261320.01006013250.0153464121.52546810.005340.0501567460.098200350.104242411.06152780.0067
6.69.861474E-51.937588E-40.003323152417.1509740.003134.2256617E-48.3013077E-40.00477685175.75433640.003950.00513261320.01006013250.0153464121.52546810.005340.0501567460.098200350.104242411.06152780.0067
6.79.8552715E-51.9365833E-40.00332305217.1593550.003134.223004E-48.2970044E-40.00477642335.75680450.003950.00512939270.0100549410.0153412481.52574220.005340.0501259980.098153560.104195931.06156040.0067
6.89.8464974E-51.9350994E-40.003322904217.171750.003134.219245E-48.290649E-40.004775795.76045370.003950.00512483760.0100472760.0153336231.52614740.005340.050082510.098083780.104126621.06160890.0067
6.99.825824E-51.9319002E-40.003322585317.1985360.003134.2103877E-48.276947E-40.0047744255.7683410.003950.00511410460.0100307460.0153171821.52702320.005340.0499800220.0979329650.1039768161.06171420.0067
7.09.781462E-51.9250368E-40.00331190317.2043630.003124.1913814E-48.247551E-40.00476150545.7732360.003940.0050910730.0099952850.015252211.52594040.005310.049760070.097609120.103628071.06166370.00667
7.19.7121134E-51.9152075E-40.003310923217.2875420.003124.1616702E-48.205452E-40.0047573125.79774570.003940.0050550680.00994449950.0152016941.52865350.005310.049416130.097145710.103167741.06198980.00667
7.29.663819E-51.9082859E-40.003300235117.2942390.003114.1409794E-48.175807E-40.00474436775.8029350.003930.00502999360.0099087350.0151562191.52958150.00530.0491765370.096818830.1028340161.06212830.00666
7.39.6277574E-51.9035369E-40.003299761817.3348980.003114.125529E-48.1554666E-40.00474234165.8149240.003930.00501126940.0098841950.0151219081.52990780.005290.048997590.096592280.102599941.06219610.00665
7.49.593308E-51.8975153E-40.003299161317.3867440.003114.1107697E-48.129676E-40.00473977255.8302110.003930.00499338240.0098530810.0150909571.5315980.005290.048826610.096309860.10231941.0623980.00665
7.59.561707E-51.8921228E-40.003298623717.4334560.003114.0972308E-48.106579E-40.0047374725.8439840.003930.00497697430.0098252150.0150632391.53312060.005290.0486697440.0960562450.102067471.06258020.00665
7.69.418194E-51.8573487E-40.003295157317.7411880.003114.0357444E-47.95764E-40.00472263675.93472050.003930.0049024540.0096454990.0148844751.54315230.005290.0479570250.0944374650.100459461.0637670.00665
7.78.202141E-51.6022482E-40.002949777818.4102420.002793.51473E-46.8649714E-40.0042240676.1530730.003540.004270790.0083261280.013066331.56931640.004780.041896390.0822379140.087772021.06729390.00603
7.87.2859846E-51.4517571E-40.002164882414.9121530.002023.1221908E-46.2203326E-40.0032204165.1772410.00260.0037946430.00754699860.0109610371.45237030.003440.0373049750.074727660.0787155851.05336610.00431
7.95.3874453E-51.00462625E-40.00135033713.4411880.001252.3087008E-44.3048308E-40.00205978154.7848140.001630.00280722020.00522854740.0073872021.41285920.002170.027720220.0524258840.0549369571.04789760.00265
8.03.468538E-55.4261534E-55.0423713E-49.2927174.5E-41.4864317E-42.3252872E-47.8240084E-43.36474925.5E-40.00180822830.00282736360.003615131.27862237.9E-40.0179358530.0289484620.0299098031.03320879.9E-4
8.11.9152367E-51.9401303E-56.940033E-53.57709655.0E-58.207899E-58.3145795E-51.7313831E-42.0823469.0E-59.988535E-40.00101183050.00113170911.1184771.2E-40.0099437570.010855950.0110142141.01457851.6E-4
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Nelson Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.913453E-61.0192255E-58.20184E-480.47138.1E-44.2485535E-54.3680422E-50.001583613136.254530.001545.1713863E-45.316897E-40.00386991387.27851960.003340.00515936830.0053052040.010925232.05934210.00565
6.19.913453E-61.0192255E-58.20184E-480.47138.1E-44.2485535E-54.3680422E-50.001583613136.254530.001545.1713863E-45.316897E-40.00386991387.27851960.003340.00515936830.0053052040.010925232.05934210.00565
6.24.5596407E-64.696313E-63.6469463E-477.655523.6E-41.954117E-52.0126909E-57.301126E-436.2754487.1E-42.3788778E-42.4501883E-40.00171465876.99806930.001470.00237633290.00244761280.00516095522.10856680.00272
6.34.5596407E-64.696313E-63.6469463E-477.655523.6E-41.954117E-52.0126909E-57.301126E-436.2754487.1E-42.3788778E-42.4501883E-40.00171465876.99806930.001470.00237633290.00244761280.00516095522.10856680.00272
6.43.4025713E-63.5098972E-62.9350887E-483.6232152.9E-41.4582367E-51.5042335E-55.4503436E-436.233365.3E-41.7752586E-41.8312587E-40.00118294286.4597250.0010.0017738410.00182983270.00374631932.04735640.00192
6.52.8352947E-62.927856E-62.4292716E-482.9712.4E-41.2151207E-51.2547898E-54.6254226E-436.862134.5E-41.479309E-41.5276071E-40.00101262946.628868.6E-40.00147832460.00152663080.00312418822.04645940.0016
6.62.251518E-62.3290677E-62.2232856E-495.458182.2E-49.649328E-69.981683E-63.9997778E-440.0711753.9E-41.1747423E-41.2152085E-48.6143095E-47.088757.4E-40.00117412140.00121460580.00255297822.10189870.00134
6.71.8911853E-61.9591396E-62.0195874E-4103.085432.0E-48.105055E-68.39629E-63.4839343E-441.493743.4E-49.867457E-51.0222061E-47.421552E-47.26032836.4E-49.863076E-40.00102179350.00216062862.11454530.00114
6.81.4874814E-61.5438305E-61.6154359E-4104.638161.6E-46.374905E-66.6164025E-62.5661476E-438.7846342.5E-47.76117E-58.055224E-55.905112E-47.3307855.1E-47.75846E-48.0528157E-40.00164460512.04227358.4E-4
6.96.835972E-77.1399285E-71.0071392E-4141.057331.0E-42.9296991E-63.0599674E-61.7305945E-456.5559771.7E-43.56685E-53.7254784E-53.372436E-49.0523573.0E-43.5662777E-43.7251666E-48.423416E-42.26121854.7E-4

Death Valley (So)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0684236E-52.5618314E-50.001495580758.3793560.001478.864371E-51.0978825E-40.002249553320.4899270.002140.00107870290.00133586920.0052406463.92302320.003910.0107348170.0132799850.01911151.43912070.00591
6.12.0684236E-52.5618314E-50.001495580758.3793560.001478.864371E-51.0978825E-40.002249553320.4899270.002140.00107870290.00133586920.0052406463.92302320.003910.0107348170.0132799850.01911151.43912070.00591
6.22.0684236E-52.5618314E-50.001495580758.3793560.001478.864371E-51.0978825E-40.002249553320.4899270.002140.00107870290.00133586920.0052406463.92302320.003910.0107348170.0132799850.01911151.43912070.00591
6.32.0240292E-52.51184E-50.001425083356.734640.00148.6741224E-51.0764593E-40.002147426419.9489780.002040.00105556260.0013098180.0050149593.82874460.003710.0105056280.0130225430.0185496171.42442360.0056
6.42.0240292E-52.51184E-50.001425083356.734640.00148.6741224E-51.0764593E-40.002147426419.9489780.002040.00105556260.0013098180.0050149593.82874460.003710.0105056280.0130225430.0185496171.42442360.0056
6.51.9962767E-52.4807652E-50.001394773756.2235260.001378.55519E-51.0631427E-40.002086103719.622050.001980.00104109680.00129362440.0048689933.76383850.003580.0103623270.012862490.0182029031.41519280.00541
6.61.8937297E-52.3311462E-50.001253282853.7625120.001238.115732E-59.990252E-50.001889723718.9156760.001799.876423E-40.00121564910.0044716863.67843480.003260.0098326450.01209150350.0169124981.39870920.00488
6.71.8621096E-52.2912098E-50.001222884653.372880.00127.980225E-59.8191085E-50.001838020318.718810.001749.711593E-40.00119483540.0043910123.67499330.00320.0096692610.0118856250.0166088121.39738640.00478
6.81.7830353E-52.1806083E-50.001151781452.819270.001137.641356E-59.3451374E-50.00172329918.4405960.001639.29938E-40.00113719070.00415375643.65264730.003020.0092605610.011316090.0157849421.39491130.00452
6.91.3135183E-51.5304031E-57.952921E-451.9661877.8E-45.6292425E-56.558709E-50.001185513718.0754130.001126.8514474E-47.982367E-40.00280663233.516040.002010.0068303620.0079551580.0109114521.37161970.00298
7.01.1507512E-51.3154237E-56.1314635E-446.6120766.0E-44.9316975E-55.637412E-58.763279E-415.5448628.2E-46.002687E-46.861445E-40.0020951773.05355070.001410.00598649870.00684149240.0089469891.30775390.00212
7.19.715903E-61.0865287E-53.2086193E-429.530923.1E-44.1638916E-54.6564706E-54.465461E-49.5897974.0E-45.068359E-45.667821E-40.00126638532.23434267.0E-40.00505681480.0056538340.00672772761.18994080.00108
7.29.233269E-61.0286314E-52.4028395E-423.3595772.3E-43.9570554E-54.408348E-53.4407026E-47.80497033.0E-44.81665E-45.365884E-40.00105630941.96856535.2E-40.00480622330.00535335950.00611923731.14306497.7E-4
7.38.8041315E-69.808164E-61.898064E-419.351881.8E-43.7731446E-54.2034335E-52.6202507E-46.2335972.2E-44.592835E-45.1165203E-49.41432E-41.83998494.3E-40.00458335460.0051051670.00574191.12472326.4E-4
7.48.708749E-69.707175E-61.7970553E-418.512651.7E-43.7322676E-54.160154E-52.4159322E-45.80731442.0E-44.5430884E-45.0638523E-49.161776E-41.80925024.1E-40.0045338120.00505273980.00563975841.11617845.9E-4
7.58.612678E-69.604817E-61.7960319E-418.6992821.7E-43.6910955E-54.1162875E-52.4115464E-45.85854672.0E-44.492982E-45.01047E-49.1084157E-41.81787664.1E-40.0044839090.00499959850.0055866491.11741955.9E-4
7.68.319024E-69.283916E-61.6928243E-418.2339461.6E-43.5652476E-53.978763E-52.2978007E-45.77516371.9E-44.3398244E-44.8431093E-48.641269E-41.78423993.8E-40.00433135870.00483297840.0053604171.10913325.3E-4
7.77.4718328E-68.34517E-61.2834417E-415.3794561.2E-43.2021748E-53.5764548E-51.7575955E-44.9143511.4E-43.8979502E-44.353504E-47.552111E-41.73472013.2E-40.003891120.00434538070.0047735121.09852564.3E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-73.6482615E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.5635396E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035933E-52.9035744E-51.52531231.0E-51.8045233E-41.9034347E-42.1033967E-41.10505322.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

Towne Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.849728E-63.894542E-60.0015138887388.720580.001511.649873E-51.6690812E-50.002096656125.617380.002082.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.00398242819.5989440.003780.00200672080.00203053190.0073497093.61959820.00533
6.13.849728E-63.894542E-60.0015138887388.720580.001511.649873E-51.6690812E-50.002096656125.617380.002082.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.00398242819.5989440.003780.00200672080.00203053190.0073497093.61959820.00533
6.23.849728E-63.894542E-60.0015138887388.720580.001511.649873E-51.6690812E-50.002096656125.617380.002082.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.00398242819.5989440.003780.00200672080.00203053190.0073497093.61959820.00533
6.33.849728E-63.894542E-60.0015138887388.720580.001511.649873E-51.6690812E-50.002096656125.617380.002082.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.00398242819.5989440.003780.00200672080.00203053190.0073497093.61959820.00533
6.43.849728E-63.894542E-60.0015138887388.720580.001511.649873E-51.6690812E-50.002096656125.617380.002082.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.00398242819.5989440.003780.00200672080.00203053190.0073497093.61959820.00533
6.51.1953545E-61.2030526E-62.3120278E-4192.18012.3E-45.1229376E-65.15593E-63.5515413E-468.8826453.5E-46.236998E-56.277176E-56.627341E-410.5578386.0E-46.235248E-46.2755204E-40.00145703112.32176958.3E-4
6.61.1953545E-61.2030526E-62.3120278E-4192.18012.3E-45.1229376E-65.15593E-63.5515413E-468.8826453.5E-46.236998E-56.277176E-56.627341E-410.5578386.0E-46.235248E-46.2755204E-40.00145703112.32176958.3E-4
6.78.375951E-78.410676E-71.3084096E-4155.565321.3E-43.5896885E-63.6045708E-61.9360389E-453.7106631.9E-44.370358E-54.3884826E-53.7387034E-48.5193543.3E-44.3694986E-44.3876728E-49.185567E-42.0934944.8E-4
6.86.38041E-76.3921624E-77.063917E-5110.509047.0E-52.7344586E-62.7394954E-69.273925E-533.8526769.0E-53.3291526E-53.3352884E-52.0334721E-46.09684041.7E-43.3286537E-43.334826E-46.1338925E-41.8393442.8E-4
6.95.3460053E-75.345339E-76.05345E-5113.247276.0E-52.2911431E-62.2908578E-66.229072E-527.1910046.0E-52.789431E-52.7890868E-51.5788725E-45.66089341.3E-42.789081E-42.78877E-44.7882122E-41.7169622.0E-4
7.03.557783E-73.5324283E-72.0353236E-557.6182562.0E-51.5247632E-61.513897E-62.1513866E-514.2109172.0E-51.8563835E-51.8431549E-54.8430997E-52.6276143.0E-51.8562283E-41.8430105E-42.3429183E-41.27124525.0E-5
7.13.037942E-73.0002275E-71.0300019E-534.3307951.0E-51.3019744E-61.2858112E-61.1285799E-58.7771821.0E-51.5851423E-51.5654647E-53.5654335E-52.2775562.0E-51.5850292E-41.5653619E-41.9652993E-41.2554924.0E-5
7.22.0808248E-72.0217735E-71.0202175E-550.4615171.0E-58.917818E-78.6647407E-71.0866465E-512.5410171.0E-51.0857389E-51.0549275E-52.054917E-51.94792251.0E-51.0856859E-41.0548821E-41.1548715E-41.09478741.0E-5
7.31.1162073E-71.0636902E-71.0106368E-595.012321.0E-54.7837443E-74.5586717E-71.0455863E-522.9362051.0E-55.8241935E-65.5501705E-61.5550115E-52.80173641.0E-55.8240406E-55.550052E-56.549997E-51.18016851.0E-5

Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.744542E-54.396349E-50.001023920423.2902459.8E-41.604705E-41.8840231E-40.00158813858.4295060.00140.00195197760.00229155710.0046461492.02750730.002360.0193492060.0226972810.0262937561.1584540.00368
6.13.744542E-54.396349E-50.001023920423.2902459.8E-41.604705E-41.8840231E-40.00158813858.4295060.00140.00195197760.00229155710.0046461492.02750730.002360.0193492060.0226972810.0262937561.1584540.00368
6.23.744542E-54.396349E-50.001023920423.2902459.8E-41.604705E-41.8840231E-40.00158813858.4295060.00140.00195197760.00229155710.0046461492.02750730.002360.0193492060.0226972810.0262937561.1584540.00368
6.32.1079984E-52.5354384E-54.4534373E-417.5647624.2E-49.0339665E-51.0865723E-46.785953E-46.2452845.7E-40.00109933040.00132211890.00233078351.76291530.001010.0109390790.0131447470.01476318951.12312470.00164
6.42.1079984E-52.5354384E-54.4534373E-417.5647624.2E-49.0339665E-51.0865723E-46.785953E-46.2452845.7E-40.00109933040.00132211890.00233078351.76291530.001010.0109390790.0131447470.01476318951.12312470.00164
6.51.7397282E-52.0663285E-53.3065688E-416.0021443.1E-47.455765E-58.8554E-54.8851856E-45.51661834.0E-49.073613E-40.00107762350.00180683671.67668667.3E-40.0090366540.0107252730.0119519741.11437480.00124
6.61.52050325E-51.7680086E-52.7767548E-415.7055512.6E-46.51628E-57.576964E-54.0574462E-45.35497673.3E-47.9306826E-49.221128E-40.00151156881.63924495.9E-40.0079024390.0091837290.0102141781.11220370.00104
6.71.332523E-51.5264379E-52.1526133E-414.10222.0E-45.7106878E-56.541716E-53.353995E-45.1270872.7E-46.950544E-47.9616875E-40.00129577061.62750765.0E-40.0069288450.00793379450.0087869711.1075378.6E-4
6.81.1525329E-51.3031365E-51.6302941E-412.510541.5E-44.9393333E-55.5847537E-52.7583525E-44.93907642.2E-46.011979E-46.7973585E-40.0010794641.58806384.0E-40.005995740.00677701920.00745241061.09965916.8E-4
6.91.0253909E-51.1514835E-51.5151322E-413.158091.4E-44.3944583E-54.934838E-52.493385E-45.0526182.0E-45.3489394E-46.006545E-49.5044426E-41.58234783.5E-40.00533608250.00599068960.0065771551.09789615.9E-4
7.08.104563E-68.99143E-69.899062E-511.009449.0E-53.4733377E-53.853415E-51.4852991E-43.8545011.1E-44.2279682E-44.6905465E-46.5896555E-41.404881.9E-40.00421993340.00468089430.00504916251.07867473.7E-4
7.16.7986157E-67.5159796E-66.751553E-58.9829316.0E-52.91366E-53.2210955E-51.1220838E-43.4835478.0E-53.5468035E-43.9209996E-45.2204897E-41.33141821.3E-40.0035411480.0039142980.004173281.06616322.6E-4
7.25.6893327E-66.280132E-65.627982E-58.9615665.0E-52.4382627E-52.6914584E-59.69127E-53.60075047.0E-52.9681803E-43.276378E-44.4759846E-41.36613811.2E-40.0029642190.0032717460.0034810591.06397592.1E-4
7.34.253348E-64.707075E-63.4706933E-57.37335543.0E-51.8228506E-52.017303E-57.017202E-53.47850665.0E-52.2190946E-42.455808E-43.2556115E-41.32567838.0E-50.002216880.00245327530.00260290711.06099271.5E-4
7.42.5448119E-62.8520594E-61.28520305E-54.50622841.0E-51.0906291E-51.2223064E-54.22227E-53.45434643.0E-51.3277601E-41.4880729E-41.9879985E-41.3359555.0E-50.0013269670.00148723870.00155713461.04699717.0E-5
7.54.3706837E-84.562909E-84.562909E-81.00.01.8731501E-71.9555324E-71.9555324E-71.00.02.2805577E-62.3808586E-62.3808586E-61.00.02.2805343E-52.3808387E-52.3808387E-51.00.0

San Andreas (San Bernardino N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4273766E-43.160784E-40.0018355985.8074130.001526.115894E-40.00135392450.003341232.46781130.001990.00742070840.0163609390.0190069281.1617260.002690.071777480.150211630.15316041.01963080.00347
6.11.4273766E-43.160784E-40.0018355985.8074130.001526.115894E-40.00135392450.003341232.46781130.001990.00742070840.0163609390.0190069281.1617260.002690.071777480.150211630.15316041.01963080.00347
6.21.4273766E-43.160784E-40.0018355985.8074130.001526.115894E-40.00135392450.003341232.46781130.001990.00742070840.0163609390.0190069281.1617260.002690.071777480.150211630.15316041.01963080.00347
6.31.3730655E-43.0512668E-40.0018146665.9472540.001515.883239E-40.0013070360.00327446132.5052570.001970.00713934420.0157984550.0184262731.16633390.002670.069142910.14551350.14844441.02014170.00343
6.41.3730655E-43.0512668E-40.0018146665.9472540.001515.883239E-40.0013070360.00327446132.5052570.001970.00713934420.0157984550.0184262731.16633390.002670.069142910.14551350.14844441.02014170.00343
6.51.2942807E-42.8927144E-40.00178883756.1839410.00155.545738E-40.00123915090.00319672212.57976820.001960.00673105240.0149835480.017593841.17421070.002650.065307880.138650880.141570851.02105990.00339
6.61.1125901E-42.5365927E-40.00175327886.9119450.00154.767372E-40.00108666050.00304453072.8017310.001960.0057888390.01315046850.015755751.19811330.002640.0564034540.123004960.125942891.02388470.00335
6.71.02209575E-42.3500937E-40.00173465697.3812240.00154.3796748E-40.00100679570.00295483252.9348880.001950.00531922470.0121892670.0147773311.21232320.002620.0519369060.1147927640.11772281.02552460.00331
6.89.610582E-52.2026796E-40.00171993757.80838730.00154.1181705E-49.436647E-40.00289182463.0644620.001950.00500235150.0114288590.014009031.22575930.002610.0489123460.108204690.111120861.02695050.00327
6.99.3877505E-52.1482339E-40.00171450127.98097940.00154.0227012E-49.203475E-40.0028685533.11681490.001950.00488664540.0111479070.01372881051.23151470.002610.047805770.1057982740.1087044251.02746880.00325
7.09.1019785E-52.0809306E-40.0016977838.1587680.001493.900265E-48.915232E-40.00282979363.17411110.001940.00473823770.01080049950.01337241851.23812960.00260.0463847440.102768150.105675181.02828730.00324
7.18.771155E-51.9983841E-40.00168954078.4545350.001493.758525E-48.5616973E-40.00279450883.26396580.001940.00456640640.0103742430.012947271.24802060.00260.0447370560.099076440.1019774151.02928020.00322
7.28.0830236E-51.8389444E-40.00167362049.1009850.001493.4636928E-47.8788114E-40.00272635253.46036030.001940.00420889440.0095503680.0121156331.26860370.002590.0413006580.091805180.094720491.03175530.00321
7.37.7668235E-51.7333007E-40.00165307369.5371420.001483.328214E-47.426318E-40.00267119853.59693530.001930.00404457330.0090041380.0115609081.28395490.002580.039717480.087067610.0899891.0335530.0032
7.47.520177E-51.655312E-40.00163528799.8790320.001473.2225347E-47.092266E-40.0026278653.70525430.001920.00391637950.0086007140.0111486091.29624250.002570.0384807440.083521570.086445131.03500380.00319
7.57.274697E-51.584075E-40.001618176210.2152750.001463.1173544E-46.7871273E-40.00257742313.7975170.00190.0037887750.0082320760.0107511661.30600920.002540.037248270.080236540.0831337941.0361090.00315
7.67.1185845E-51.5410586E-40.001613880910.4725480.001463.0504653E-46.602866E-40.0025590323.87563850.00190.00370761780.00800940950.0105092261.312110.002520.0364636670.078226610.081111771.03688190.00313
7.76.709961E-51.4319421E-40.00158298811.0548320.001442.8753807E-46.135452E-40.00249239174.0622790.001880.0034951570.00744436630.009915831.33199110.002490.0344069380.073055580.075919841.03920650.00309
7.86.300812E-51.320343E-40.001571844211.9048170.001442.7000686E-45.657386E-40.0024446754.32120940.001880.00328237870.0068661430.0093390471.3601590.002490.0323431750.067713850.070594611.04254320.00309
7.94.983037E-59.7241085E-50.001347119613.8533990.001252.1354125E-44.1668097E-40.0020360064.88624670.001620.00259676480.00506130050.0072103681.42460780.002160.0256662960.0506505070.0531472971.04929450.00263
8.03.2211527E-55.3306234E-55.0328224E-49.44133954.5E-41.380421E-42.2843528E-47.7830965E-43.4071345.5E-40.00167936690.00277765420.003565461.28362267.9E-40.0166673230.0283625680.029324491.03391529.9E-4
8.11.743376E-51.8823403E-56.882246E-53.6562185.0E-57.471398E-58.066923E-51.7066197E-42.1155779.0E-59.0926304E-49.81706E-40.00110158821.12211621.2E-40.0090555170.0104839790.0106423021.01510141.6E-4
8.27.831616E-65.1540533E-65.1540533E-61.00.03.3563636E-52.2088612E-52.2088612E-51.00.04.0856065E-42.6889573E-42.6889573E-41.00.00.0040781030.00304136680.00304136681.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Sierra Nevada (No Extension)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.7690465E-66.9762887E-60.0014069665201.678380.00143.329549E-52.989824E-50.001819844760.8679580.001794.0529718E-43.6398612E-40.00304301068.3602380.002680.0040455880.00363741540.00699515731.9231120.00337
6.17.7690465E-66.9762887E-60.0014069665201.678380.00143.329549E-52.989824E-50.001819844760.8679580.001794.0529718E-43.6398612E-40.00304301068.3602380.002680.0040455880.00363741540.00699515731.9231120.00337
6.27.7690465E-66.9762887E-60.0014069665201.678380.00143.329549E-52.989824E-50.001819844760.8679580.001794.0529718E-43.6398612E-40.00304301068.3602380.002680.0040455880.00363741540.00699515731.9231120.00337
6.37.7690465E-66.9762887E-60.0014069665201.678380.00143.329549E-52.989824E-50.001819844760.8679580.001794.0529718E-43.6398612E-40.00304301068.3602380.002680.0040455880.00363741540.00699515731.9231120.00337
6.47.7690465E-66.9762887E-60.0014069665201.678380.00143.329549E-52.989824E-50.001819844760.8679580.001794.0529718E-43.6398612E-40.00304301068.3602380.002680.0040455880.00363741540.00699515731.9231120.00337
6.57.7690465E-66.9762887E-60.0014069665201.678380.00143.329549E-52.989824E-50.001819844760.8679580.001794.0529718E-43.6398612E-40.00304301068.3602380.002680.0040455880.00363741540.00699515731.9231120.00337
6.62.653E-61.6148208E-60.001141613706.959530.001141.136995E-56.9206426E-60.0014769104213.406560.001471.3842035E-48.42556E-50.00220407726.1594120.002120.00138334158.4224E-40.0034200674.060680.00258
6.72.5902466E-61.5501544E-60.0011315484729.95850.001131.11010095E-56.643502E-60.0014566339219.256930.001451.351464E-48.088166E-50.002160713526.7145020.002080.00135064248.0852525E-40.00334647164.13898230.00254
6.82.5853892E-61.5469546E-60.0011315452731.46630.001131.1080193E-56.629789E-60.0014566202219.708370.001451.34893E-48.071472E-50.002160546826.7676930.002080.00134811148.06857E-40.00334480754.14547730.00254
6.92.458257E-61.422029E-60.0011014205774.541560.00111.0535345E-56.0943958E-60.0014260857233.999540.001421.2826028E-47.419676E-50.00209404728.2228890.002020.00128186277.4172183E-40.00321988234.34109160.00248
7.02.4341468E-61.3989927E-60.0011013974787.27890.00111.0432016E-55.9956697E-60.0014259871237.836180.001421.270024E-47.299485E-50.002092847428.6711650.002020.00126929847.297107E-40.0032079014.3961270.00248
7.12.3652476E-61.3339427E-60.0011013325825.6220.00111.0136736E-55.716885E-60.0014057088245.88720.00141.2340778E-46.9600865E-50.002059462229.5896070.001990.00123339266.957924E-40.00312410164.4899910.00243
7.22.272158E-61.2502497E-60.0011012489880.82320.00119.737784E-65.358202E-60.0014053507262.280270.00141.1855107E-46.523417E-50.002035105631.1969260.001970.00118487846.5215176E-40.00303059964.64707760.00238
7.32.1382127E-61.1419382E-60.0010711408938.00230.001079.163737E-64.894012E-60.0013748873280.932560.001371.1156279E-45.9582977E-50.001949470432.718580.001890.0011150685.956712E-40.00287431324.8253350.00228
7.41.9048055E-69.574928E-79.6095656E-41003.61759.6E-48.163426E-64.103534E-60.0012640983308.051120.001269.9385186E-54.995939E-50.001809871436.2268520.001769.934074E-44.9948227E-40.00257844345.1622320.00208
7.51.5373403E-67.559763E-78.207554E-41085.68928.2E-46.5885843E-63.2398946E-60.0010832364334.34310.001088.021306E-53.9445007E-50.001539385939.0261270.00158.0184115E-43.9438053E-40.00219367075.56231980.0018
7.61.0680322E-64.65941E-74.4046572E-4945.325134.4E-44.577273E-61.9968884E-65.919957E-4296.459085.9E-45.5726876E-52.4311848E-59.042905E-437.195468.8E-45.5712904E-42.4309216E-40.00129283695.31830.00105
7.75.509146E-71.5578539E-71.6015576E-41028.05381.6E-42.3610605E-66.676515E-72.1066751E-4315.535162.1E-42.8745531E-58.128628E-62.9812628E-436.6760862.9E-42.8741814E-48.128342E-54.212558E-45.18255473.4E-4

Paradise

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4851273E-51.6694768E-57.0668326E-442.329626.9E-46.364676E-57.154718E-50.001161469116.2336120.001097.7462377E-48.707624E-40.00289899483.32926030.002030.00771929140.0086758840.0121653451.40220240.00352
6.11.4851273E-51.6694768E-57.0668326E-442.329626.9E-46.364676E-57.154718E-50.001161469116.2336120.001097.7462377E-48.707624E-40.00289899483.32926030.002030.00771929140.0086758840.0121653451.40220240.00352
6.21.4851273E-51.6694768E-57.0668326E-442.329626.9E-46.364676E-57.154718E-50.001161469116.2336120.001097.7462377E-48.707624E-40.00289899483.32926030.002030.00771929140.0086758840.0121653451.40220240.00352
6.31.0426831E-51.1888697E-53.0188524E-425.3926262.9E-44.4685654E-55.09506E-55.4092566E-410.6166694.9E-45.43912E-46.201529E-40.00149960722.4181258.8E-40.00542582660.00618483170.0075662351.22335340.00139
6.41.0426831E-51.1888697E-53.0188524E-425.3926262.9E-44.4685654E-55.09506E-55.4092566E-410.6166694.9E-45.43912E-46.201529E-40.00149960722.4181258.8E-40.00542582660.00618483170.0075662351.22335340.00139
6.59.25027E-61.0620037E-52.4061759E-422.6569442.3E-43.964341E-54.551368E-54.054973E-48.909353.6E-44.8255164E-45.5399304E-40.00122362192.20873146.7E-40.00481505130.00552661950.0065807611.1907390.00106
6.67.904275E-69.159602E-61.3915841E-415.1926261.3E-43.3875025E-53.925487E-52.4924663E-46.34944442.1E-44.1235037E-44.7782718E-48.276599E-41.73213243.5E-40.00411586040.0047683950.00540534271.13357716.4E-4
6.77.2061953E-68.407326E-68.8406654E-510.515438.0E-53.088333E-53.603092E-51.8602551E-45.1629411.5E-43.7593965E-44.3859181E-47.084734E-41.61533652.7E-40.0037530430.0043776310.0048853991.11599145.1E-4
6.86.6948724E-67.842242E-67.7841694E-59.9259497.0E-52.8691995E-53.3609194E-51.5360516E-44.57033161.2E-43.4926904E-44.091187E-46.290287E-41.53752122.2E-40.0034872060.00408401250.004472421.09510433.9E-4
6.96.0421025E-67.1306963E-65.713034E-58.01188855.0E-52.5894467E-53.0559786E-51.3055673E-44.2721741.0E-43.1521954E-43.7200528E-45.419421E-41.45681271.7E-40.00314772780.00371416380.0039731981.06974232.6E-4
7.04.134091E-65.0803824E-64.5080178E-58.8733834.0E-51.7717413E-52.1772896E-59.177137E-54.21493677.0E-52.1568815E-42.650543E-43.6502778E-41.37718121.0E-40.00215478920.00264753470.0027871641.05273941.4E-4
7.13.7674888E-64.631936E-64.463175E-59.6356584.0E-51.6146281E-51.9851012E-56.985002E-53.51871325.0E-51.9656324E-42.4166079E-43.2164145E-41.33096258.0E-50.00196389460.00241413060.0025238651.04545511.1E-4
7.23.4065345E-64.156782E-63.4156656E-58.2170923.0E-51.4599351E-51.7814667E-55.7813955E-53.24530084.0E-51.777326E-42.168735E-42.868583E-41.32269887.0E-50.00177590530.00216676670.002266551.04605171.0E-4
7.32.9934936E-63.6293673E-62.3629294E-56.51058242.0E-51.2829195E-51.5554348E-54.555388E-52.92869143.0E-51.5618425E-41.8935918E-42.4934782E-41.31679816.0E-50.00156074530.00189212370.00198195341.04747569.0E-5
7.42.4049796E-62.8890186E-61.288899E-54.46137331.0E-51.0307015E-51.2381457E-53.238121E-52.61529872.0E-51.2548068E-41.5073526E-42.0072772E-41.33165745.0E-50.00125409850.00150647150.00156638121.03976826.0E-5
7.51.2710091E-61.5134859E-61.1513471E-57.60725361.0E-55.44717E-66.4863593E-62.648623E-54.0833742.0E-56.631728E-57.896981E-51.1896665E-41.50648274.0E-56.6297496E-47.895401E-48.3950063E-41.0632785.0E-5
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-71.0260399E-539.4021571.0E-59.478797E-71.1160082E-62.1115986E-518.9209962.0E-51.1540374E-51.3587343E-55.35868E-53.94387634.0E-51.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.758625E-41.29436354.0E-5

Bicycle Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9621975E-52.2097078E-54.7208712E-421.3642334.5E-48.4091465E-59.4699084E-58.546271E-49.0246617.6E-40.00102333270.00115248650.00293043512.54270650.001780.010186330.0114784080.0145724811.26955590.00313
6.11.9621975E-52.2097078E-54.7208712E-421.3642334.5E-48.4091465E-59.4699084E-58.546271E-49.0246617.6E-40.00102333270.00115248650.00293043512.54270650.001780.010186330.0114784080.0145724811.26955590.00313
6.29.9971285E-61.125564E-52.812526E-424.9877052.7E-44.2844134E-54.8237856E-55.282147E-410.9502114.8E-45.2150246E-45.871897E-40.00168654382.872230.00110.00520280330.0058614870.00771058441.31546570.00186
6.39.589428E-61.0798346E-52.6079564E-424.1514432.5E-44.10969E-54.62781E-55.062568E-410.9394474.6E-45.002399E-45.6334207E-40.00164273372.91605020.001080.00499115330.00562422960.00741410631.31824390.0018
6.49.589428E-61.0798346E-52.6079564E-424.1514432.5E-44.10969E-54.62781E-55.062568E-410.9394474.6E-45.002399E-45.6334207E-40.00164273372.91605020.001080.00499115330.00562422960.00741410631.31824390.0018
6.55.557707E-66.2856016E-62.1628429E-434.409482.1E-42.3818526E-52.6938165E-53.969282E-414.734793.7E-42.8995197E-43.279497E-40.00108770053.31666857.6E-40.00289573940.00327729340.0045431311.38624490.00127
6.64.8742945E-65.5132896E-61.9551224E-435.4619941.9E-42.0889667E-52.3628318E-53.636203E-415.38917353.4E-42.54302E-42.87663E-49.774645E-43.39795026.9E-40.0025401120.00287547520.0040421111.40571930.00117
6.73.991108E-64.5159104E-61.5451523E-434.2157441.5E-41.7104636E-51.9353902E-52.993485E-415.4670882.8E-42.0822904E-42.3563375E-47.6550886E-43.24872335.3E-40.00208034040.00235633740.00331407531.4064529.6E-4

Garlic Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6760017E-51.8776833E-54.087695E-421.7698863.9E-47.182667E-58.0470316E-56.5042445E-48.08278755.7E-48.7413884E-49.794032E-40.0021782282.2240360.00120.0087070830.0097624130.011960741.22518280.00222
6.19.852767E-61.0973587E-52.2097128E-420.136652.1E-44.222546E-54.702921E-53.2701605E-46.95346642.8E-45.139737E-45.7250116E-40.00120214052.09980446.3E-40.0051278660.0057172210.0069600751.21738770.00125
6.29.852767E-61.0973587E-52.2097128E-420.136652.1E-44.222546E-54.702921E-53.2701605E-46.95346642.8E-45.139737E-45.7250116E-40.00120214052.09980446.3E-40.0051278660.0057172210.0069600751.21738770.00125
6.34.3167724E-64.7780286E-61.14777504E-424.0219361.1E-41.8500323E-52.0477235E-51.4047477E-46.86004641.2E-42.2521814E-42.4930484E-45.0924E-42.042642.6E-40.00224990030.002492510.00296133851.1880954.7E-4
6.44.3167724E-64.7780286E-61.14777504E-424.0219361.1E-41.8500323E-52.0477235E-51.4047477E-46.86004641.2E-42.2521814E-42.4930484E-45.0924E-42.042642.6E-40.00224990030.002492510.00296133851.1880954.7E-4
6.54.3167724E-64.7780286E-61.14777504E-424.0219361.1E-41.8500323E-52.0477235E-51.4047477E-46.86004641.2E-42.2521814E-42.4930484E-45.0924E-42.042642.6E-40.00224990030.002492510.00296133851.1880954.7E-4
6.64.301311E-64.760897E-61.14760376E-424.104781.1E-41.8434059E-52.0403815E-51.4040136E-46.8811331.2E-42.2441156E-42.4841115E-45.083466E-42.0463922.6E-40.00224185060.0024835930.00294245061.18475564.6E-4
6.73.8599724E-64.27106E-61.04270635E-424.4132921.0E-41.6542634E-51.8304541E-51.2830253E-47.00932741.1E-42.0138794E-42.228578E-44.728021E-42.12154152.5E-40.00201205540.0022285780.00266759751.19699534.4E-4

San Andreas (San Bernardino S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2336002E-43.0005194E-40.00102983293.43218237.3E-45.2857865E-40.00128532920.00233397961.81586130.001050.0064164720.0155415540.016969021.09184830.001450.062343370.142946990.144498261.0108520.00181
6.11.2336002E-43.0005194E-40.00102983293.43218237.3E-45.2857865E-40.00128532920.00233397961.81586130.001050.0064164720.0155415540.016969021.09184830.001450.062343370.142946990.144498261.0108520.00181
6.21.2336002E-43.0005194E-40.00102983293.43218237.3E-45.2857865E-40.00128532920.00233397961.81586130.001050.0064164720.0155415540.016969021.09184830.001450.062343370.142946990.144498261.0108520.00181
6.31.1712257E-42.8793467E-40.00101772453.53456747.3E-45.018573E-40.00123344780.00228215271.85022230.001050.0060930080.0149186660.0163470341.09574370.001450.0592863220.137657790.139218631.01133860.00181
6.41.1712257E-42.8793467E-40.00101772453.53456747.3E-45.018573E-40.00123344780.00228215271.85022230.001050.0060930080.0149186660.0163470341.09574370.001450.0592863220.137657790.139218631.01133860.00181
6.51.0689076E-42.6806415E-49.978685E-43.72249877.3E-44.5802278E-40.00114836530.0021871711.90459510.001040.00556217830.0138963350.0153163241.10218440.001440.054250030.12889890.130458181.01209690.00179
6.69.7648895E-52.505129E-49.7033253E-43.87338337.2E-44.1842813E-40.00107320860.0020921141.9494010.001020.0050824690.0129923990.014384081.1071150.001410.0496778860.1210777460.1226070751.01263090.00174
6.78.757013E-52.3122175E-49.410576E-44.06993537.1E-43.7524657E-49.905964E-40.0019995962.01857780.001010.004559060.0119979020.0133811051.11528710.00140.044666560.1123730240.113908621.01366520.00173
6.88.562978E-52.2682057E-49.366595E-44.12951767.1E-43.6693315E-49.7174826E-40.0019807672.0383540.001010.0044582630.0117709210.01315444151.11753710.00140.0436987580.110378630.111908781.01386270.00172
6.96.124075E-51.7066885E-48.605511E-45.04222736.9E-42.6243398E-47.312337E-40.00170052442.32555539.7E-40.00319045270.0088666360.0101749321.14755270.001320.0314503460.084202620.085695361.01772810.00163
7.05.8598747E-51.6495936E-48.548455E-45.18215856.9E-42.5111332E-47.067779E-40.00166609942.35731679.6E-40.00305301860.0085712650.0098700371.15152620.001310.030114140.081515620.083003561.01825340.00162
7.15.613814E-51.5914452E-48.490347E-45.3349926.9E-42.4056983E-46.818704E-40.00164121582.4069329.6E-40.00292500390.0082703530.0095695191.15708710.001310.0288680210.078812680.080305011.01893510.00162
7.24.991222E-51.4520933E-48.3510915E-45.7510716.9E-42.1389198E-46.221777E-40.0015515992.493829.3E-40.0026010250.00754880630.0087992951.16565380.001260.0257079120.072261910.07369991.01989970.00155
7.34.7410045E-51.371513E-48.17058E-45.9573486.8E-42.0317009E-45.8765925E-40.00150711862.5646139.2E-40.00247078970.00713136560.0083625221.17263970.001240.0244349820.0685419440.0699670761.02079210.00153
7.44.5556746E-51.3123035E-48.011424E-46.10485656.7E-41.952286E-45.6229485E-40.00147178322.6174589.1E-40.0023743170.00682452930.0080461351.17900220.001230.0234910860.065791430.067211431.02158330.00152
7.54.3084514E-51.2358342E-47.935006E-46.4207696.7E-41.8463485E-45.2953605E-40.00142905942.69870119.0E-40.00224561150.00642811460.00764027241.18857120.001220.0222305450.0621902830.063578241.02231790.00148
7.63.408608E-59.836477E-57.6829887E-47.8107126.7E-41.4607502E-44.214953E-40.00131112013.110648.9E-40.00177701250.0051196560.0062936151.22930420.001180.0176286960.050022440.0513904061.02734710.00144
7.72.8315713E-58.2495724E-57.424413E-48.9997556.6E-41.2134742E-43.5350522E-40.00123319413.48847488.8E-40.00147640340.0042954420.0054604161.27121170.001170.014666330.0422724150.0436323881.03217160.00142
7.82.6222975E-57.463898E-57.345897E-49.8419056.6E-41.1237934E-43.1984213E-40.00119956073.75047738.8E-40.00136735970.0038871310.00505258331.29982320.001170.0135897680.0384374750.0398028941.0355230.00142
7.92.1469694E-55.7884805E-56.5785006E-411.3648156.0E-49.200973E-52.4805416E-40.00102786074.14369447.8E-40.00111964280.003015880.00406271361.3471070.001050.0111401840.0301532650.0313655731.04020490.00125
8.01.2420249E-53.1321662E-52.6131445E-48.3429312.3E-45.322855E-51.342288E-43.741966E-42.7877522.4E-46.478649E-40.00163301160.00200240731.22620523.7E-40.00645979350.016523690.0169859251.0279744.7E-4
8.14.9197724E-67.822525E-67.822525E-61.00.02.1084568E-53.3524673E-53.3524673E-51.00.02.566744E-44.080866E-44.080866E-41.00.00.0025637810.0043845570.0043845571.00.0
8.22.5634774E-62.9065757E-62.9065757E-61.00.01.0986286E-51.2456694E-51.2456694E-51.00.01.3374983E-41.5164974E-41.5164974E-41.00.00.00133669340.0017049410.0017049411.00.0
8.35.2850464E-73.2080476E-73.2080476E-71.00.02.2650179E-61.3748769E-61.3748769E-61.00.02.7576245E-51.673901E-51.673901E-51.00.02.7572823E-41.986671E-41.986671E-41.00.0

Owens Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.83821E-53.6210524E-66.536187E-4180.505176.5E-42.0733538E-41.551871E-59.455043E-460.9267359.3E-40.0025213861.889249E-40.00150867557.98558330.001320.0249296910.00192971410.00355656861.84305470.00163
6.14.83821E-53.6210524E-66.536187E-4180.505176.5E-42.0733538E-41.551871E-59.455043E-460.9267359.3E-40.0025213861.889249E-40.00150867557.98558330.001320.0249296910.00192971410.00355656861.84305470.00163
6.24.83821E-53.6210524E-66.536187E-4180.505176.5E-42.0733538E-41.551871E-59.455043E-460.9267359.3E-40.0025213861.889249E-40.00150867557.98558330.001320.0249296910.00192971410.00355656861.84305470.00163
6.33.953008E-53.1530958E-66.2315114E-4197.631526.2E-41.6940363E-41.3513202E-58.8350143E-465.3806158.7E-40.0020605381.6451156E-40.00139430928.4754490.001230.0204153640.00166216270.00314968611.89493250.00149
6.43.953008E-53.1530958E-66.2315114E-4197.631526.2E-41.6940363E-41.3513202E-58.8350143E-465.3806158.7E-40.0020605381.6451156E-40.00139430928.4754490.001230.0204153640.00166216270.00314968611.89493250.00149
6.53.457342E-52.9707387E-65.92969E-4199.603215.9E-41.4816338E-41.273168E-58.3272124E-465.405458.2E-40.00180239651.5499788E-40.00132481658.547320.001170.0178784770.00155631190.00296411731.90457810.00141
6.63.1127765E-52.8737306E-65.9287203E-4206.307455.9E-41.3339789E-41.2315934E-58.323058E-467.57968.2E-40.00162290921.4993687E-40.00130976298.735430.001160.0161110810.00150134380.0028792721.91779660.00138
6.72.806885E-52.8101606E-65.828085E-4207.393335.8E-41.2028952E-41.2043493E-58.2203373E-468.2554248.1E-40.0014635411.4662035E-40.00129645188.8422360.001150.0145393970.00146560870.00283360091.93339510.00137
6.82.524524E-52.2351392E-65.822338E-4260.49115.8E-41.0818939E-49.579134E-68.095715E-484.514058.0E-40.00131640991.16620016E-40.001256487110.7741970.001140.013086390.0011658270.00252424162.16519380.00136
6.92.2704568E-51.6079711E-65.8160705E-4361.702425.8E-49.730166E-56.8912864E-68.068858E-4117.087838.0E-40.00118400398.38982E-50.001213803414.4675740.001130.0117771538.38853E-40.0021777292.59607930.00134
7.02.0871712E-51.5393621E-65.815385E-4377.778875.8E-48.944713E-56.5972495E-68.06592E-4122.2618568.0E-40.00108847468.031857E-50.001210227815.0678450.001130.0108315868.030395E-40.00214196352.667320.00134
7.11.944928E-51.3862556E-65.8138545E-4419.39275.8E-48.335139E-55.941082E-67.859364E-4132.288447.8E-40.00101433087.233028E-50.0011822516.345160.001110.0100971337.2319806E-40.00204224352.82390620.00132
7.21.7876306E-51.2487686E-65.81248E-4465.456975.8E-47.6610486E-55.3518543E-67.8534766E-4146.743097.8E-49.3233347E-46.515689E-50.001175084618.0346950.001110.0092843166.5148395E-40.0019506372.99414440.0013
7.31.2618672E-51.1113839E-65.6111073E-4504.875735.6E-45.40789E-54.763065E-67.6475943E-4160.560357.6E-46.582117E-45.7988782E-50.001127926719.4507750.001070.00656265535.7983754E-40.0018391073.17176250.00126
7.47.4874442E-68.547518E-75.108543E-4597.663945.1E-43.208865E-53.6632168E-67.136606E-4194.818017.1E-43.906093E-44.4598757E-50.001064553323.8695720.001020.0038992344.459579E-40.00161543623.6223960.00117
7.52.4734156E-66.0679935E-74.3060654E-4709.635744.3E-41.060031E-52.6005662E-66.22599E-4239.409016.2E-41.2905113E-43.1661435E-59.016339E-428.4773528.7E-40.00128976213.1656958E-40.0013162534.1578630.001
7.61.1328841E-63.1961991E-72.8031954E-4877.04022.8E-44.8552088E-61.369799E-64.1136923E-4300.313574.1E-45.9110564E-51.6677177E-55.966675E-435.777495.8E-45.9094845E-41.6675945E-48.066527E-44.83722356.4E-4
7.74.8613185E-78.962742E-81.1008962E-41228.30291.1E-42.0834207E-63.8411747E-71.5038406E-4391.50541.5E-42.536535E-54.676621E-62.1467565E-445.9040072.1E-42.5362454E-44.676529E-52.7675452E-45.91794732.3E-4

Helendale-So Lockhart

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7296055E-51.8103729E-53.3809795E-418.6755963.2E-47.412385E-57.7585224E-55.775464E-47.44402655.0E-49.0208417E-49.4421144E-40.00175344661.85704878.1E-40.0089843110.0094041160.0107711391.14536430.00138
6.11.7296055E-51.8103729E-53.3809795E-418.6755963.2E-47.412385E-57.7585224E-55.775464E-47.44402655.0E-49.0208417E-49.4421144E-40.00175344661.85704878.1E-40.0089843110.0094041160.0107711391.14536430.00138
6.21.7296055E-51.8103729E-53.3809795E-418.6755963.2E-47.412385E-57.7585224E-55.775464E-47.44402655.0E-49.0208417E-49.4421144E-40.00175344661.85704878.1E-40.0089843110.0094041160.0107711391.14536430.00138
6.31.0669118E-51.1135425E-52.5113276E-422.5525992.4E-44.5723988E-54.772239E-53.4770806E-47.28605753.0E-45.5654737E-45.80868E-40.0010505951.8086644.7E-40.00555155570.00579379360.0066488111.14757478.6E-4
6.41.0669118E-51.1135425E-52.5113276E-422.5525992.4E-44.5723988E-54.772239E-53.4770806E-47.28605753.0E-45.5654737E-45.80868E-40.0010505951.8086644.7E-40.00555155570.00579379360.0066488111.14757478.6E-4
6.58.790038E-69.170197E-62.1916827E-423.9000632.1E-43.767105E-53.930026E-52.8929044E-47.3610312.5E-44.585485E-44.7837716E-48.681906E-41.81486633.9E-40.00457603440.0047736380.00549020151.15010837.2E-4
6.67.396949E-67.715537E-62.07714E-426.9215222.0E-43.1700827E-53.3066175E-52.7305825E-48.2579332.4E-43.858892E-44.025073E-47.323745E-41.81953083.3E-40.0038521980.004017890.004575641.13881665.6E-4
6.76.4600285E-66.738031E-61.8673681E-427.7138561.8E-42.7685543E-52.887696E-52.388709E-48.2720232.1E-43.3701936E-43.5152107E-46.314226E-41.79625832.8E-40.00336508690.0035097320.0040079771.1419615.0E-4
6.85.600104E-65.836009E-61.3583525E-423.2753661.3E-42.4000226E-52.5011232E-51.8500723E-47.3969661.6E-42.9216358E-43.044698E-45.1440584E-41.68951362.1E-40.00291779750.0030405880.0034094631.1213173.7E-4
6.94.839122E-65.0395092E-61.250389E-424.8117221.2E-42.0738931E-52.159772E-51.615947E-47.48202561.4E-42.5246723E-42.6292098E-44.328763E-41.64641211.7E-40.0025218060.0026261470.0029253591.11393583.0E-4
7.03.6937633E-63.845208E-67.384494E-519.2044077.0E-51.5830317E-51.647936E-58.6478205E-55.2476687.0E-51.9271708E-42.0061806E-42.80602E-41.39868778.0E-50.00192550030.0020044010.00218404011.08962241.8E-4
7.12.7858857E-62.8978538E-63.2897766E-511.3524593.0E-51.1939455E-51.2419316E-54.2418942E-53.41556223.0E-51.4535317E-41.511949E-41.8119035E-41.19838943.0E-50.00145258140.00151094180.00162077561.07269231.1E-4
7.22.1672065E-62.2540128E-62.2253967E-59.8730442.0E-59.2879945E-69.66002E-62.9659826E-53.0703692.0E-51.1307546E-41.1760458E-41.3760223E-41.17004142.0E-50.00113017940.00117544170.00124535931.05948217.0E-5
7.31.4823496E-61.5422102E-61.1542194E-57.48419051.0E-56.3529114E-66.6094562E-61.660939E-52.51297381.0E-57.734395E-58.046731E-59.046651E-51.12426411.0E-57.731704E-48.0439687E-48.443647E-41.04968674.0E-5
7.44.2321457E-74.4108765E-74.4108765E-71.00.01.8137755E-61.8903745E-61.8903745E-61.00.02.2082493E-52.3015113E-52.3015113E-51.00.02.2080299E-42.3013182E-42.3013182E-41.00.0
7.55.6942316E-85.9415648E-85.9415648E-81.00.02.440385E-72.5463845E-72.5463845E-71.00.02.9711643E-63.1002196E-63.1002196E-61.00.02.9711247E-53.1001844E-53.1001844E-51.00.0

Coyote Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.980352E-52.1706745E-52.4170197E-411.1348792.2E-48.486947E-59.302599E-53.7299996E-44.0096312.8E-40.00103279590.00113207510.00183128261.61763367.0E-40.0102800910.0112702580.0125259451.1114160.00127
6.11.980352E-52.1706745E-52.4170197E-411.1348792.2E-48.486947E-59.302599E-53.7299996E-44.0096312.8E-40.00103279590.00113207510.00183128261.61763367.0E-40.0102800910.0112702580.0125259451.1114160.00127
6.21.980352E-52.1706745E-52.4170197E-411.1348792.2E-48.486947E-59.302599E-53.7299996E-44.0096312.8E-40.00103279590.00113207510.00183128261.61763367.0E-40.0102800910.0112702580.0125259451.1114160.00127
6.31.5344787E-51.682067E-51.8681781E-411.1064431.7E-46.576172E-57.2086936E-52.820718E-43.91293932.1E-48.003548E-48.773662E-40.00145685741.66048945.8E-40.0079747840.008745070.00979581.12015120.00106
6.41.5344787E-51.682067E-51.8681781E-411.1064431.7E-46.576172E-57.2086936E-52.820718E-43.91293932.1E-48.003548E-48.773662E-40.00145685741.66048945.8E-40.0079747840.008745070.00979581.12015120.00106
6.51.4189697E-51.5557987E-51.755555E-411.2839471.6E-46.081157E-56.6675726E-52.666624E-43.99939252.0E-47.401293E-48.115349E-40.00138107231.70180275.7E-40.00737669130.0080916560.00910340251.12503580.00102
6.61.3469301E-51.4771577E-51.7476921E-411.8314521.6E-45.7724297E-56.330556E-52.632929E-44.159082.0E-47.025667E-47.7053264E-40.00133010121.726215.6E-40.00700349640.00768451440.008676831.12913180.001
6.71.3027966E-51.4281745E-51.642796E-411.50276851.5E-45.5832945E-56.120638E-52.5119475E-44.10406161.9E-46.7955407E-47.4499263E-40.00129458281.73771245.5E-40.0067747980.00743082860.0084035461.1309039.8E-4
6.85.695434E-66.2244176E-62.6224294E-54.2131322.0E-52.4408775E-52.6675973E-55.6675173E-52.12457753.0E-52.971363E-43.2476155E-45.3469336E-41.64641822.1E-40.00296739330.00324581050.00361460941.11362313.7E-4
6.94.385688E-64.7930553E-64.7930553E-61.00.01.879567E-52.0541665E-52.0541665E-51.00.02.2881327E-42.5009477E-44.0005727E-41.59962261.5E-40.0022857780.00250094780.00274034751.09572362.4E-4

Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6707214E-51.867027E-52.9866505E-415.9968262.8E-47.160038E-58.001303E-54.899802E-46.12375554.1E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.00178294211.8310428.1E-40.008679770.0096954960.010844251.11848320.00116
6.11.6707214E-51.867027E-52.9866505E-415.9968262.8E-47.160038E-58.001303E-54.899802E-46.12375554.1E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.00178294211.8310428.1E-40.008679770.0096954960.010844251.11848320.00116
6.21.6707214E-51.867027E-52.9866505E-415.9968262.8E-47.160038E-58.001303E-54.899802E-46.12375554.1E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.00178294211.8310428.1E-40.008679770.0096954960.010844251.11848320.00116
6.31.6707214E-51.867027E-52.9866505E-415.9968262.8E-47.160038E-58.001303E-54.899802E-46.12375554.1E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.00178294211.8310428.1E-40.008679770.0096954960.010844251.11848320.00116
6.41.5515609E-51.7338214E-52.7733372E-415.9955182.6E-46.649377E-57.4304546E-54.2427855E-45.70999433.5E-48.0926094E-49.042885E-40.00161364641.78443777.1E-40.0080632020.0090067730.0100076761.11112790.00101
6.51.5515609E-51.7338214E-52.7733372E-415.9955182.6E-46.649377E-57.4304546E-54.2427855E-45.70999433.5E-48.0926094E-49.042885E-40.00161364641.78443777.1E-40.0080632020.0090067730.0100076761.11112790.00101
6.61.5041828E-51.6809145E-52.6680494E-415.8726062.5E-46.4463384E-57.203723E-53.920142E-45.44182733.2E-47.8455906E-48.767063E-40.00153612761.75215776.6E-40.007817950.0087331320.0096649231.1066969.4E-4
6.71.4634985E-51.6356016E-52.563521E-415.673262.4E-46.271985E-57.009536E-53.8007364E-45.42223643.1E-47.6334673E-48.5308263E-40.00150252821.76129266.5E-40.0076072990.0084987150.0094208121.10849839.3E-4
6.81.4209158E-51.5882048E-52.5587823E-416.1111622.4E-46.089497E-56.8064175E-53.7804307E-45.55421543.1E-47.4114406E-48.2837185E-40.00146784171.77195996.4E-40.0073867710.0082534560.0091460281.10814529.0E-4
6.91.3780098E-51.5404594E-52.4540105E-415.9303822.3E-45.9056227E-56.6018045E-53.6599825E-45.54391243.0E-47.1877235E-48.0347876E-40.00141298861.75858876.1E-40.00716451930.0080063320.0088693681.10779398.7E-4
7.01.3585064E-51.5188155E-52.4518467E-416.143152.3E-45.8220405E-56.50905E-53.6507097E-45.60866743.0E-47.086029E-47.9219416E-40.00139171891.756796.0E-40.0070634760.0078942930.0087475051.10807948.6E-4
7.11.3398601E-51.49813395E-52.3497804E-415.6847152.2E-45.742131E-56.420419E-53.441862E-45.3608062.8E-46.9888023E-47.8141113E-40.00135096571.72887965.7E-40.00696686380.0077872240.0086107611.10575498.3E-4
7.21.3126312E-51.4679561E-52.1467662E-414.6241862.0E-45.6254412E-56.291092E-53.128952E-44.97362332.5E-46.846822E-47.6567667E-40.00124530911.62641644.8E-40.0068257650.007630970.0083157051.0897316.9E-4
7.31.2922429E-51.4453788E-52.1445089E-414.8370032.0E-45.5380664E-56.194336E-53.1192787E-45.03569462.5E-46.74051E-47.53905E-40.00122355061.62295084.7E-40.0067201010.0075140550.0081889451.0898176.8E-4
7.41.2768878E-51.4283772E-52.0428105E-414.301621.9E-45.4722615E-56.1214756E-52.9120067E-44.7570342.3E-46.660441E-47.4504025E-40.0011947051.60354424.5E-40.00664051440.00742600350.0080711771.08688026.5E-4
7.51.2521929E-51.40120155E-51.940095E-413.8459381.8E-45.366431E-56.005014E-52.8003694E-44.6633852.2E-46.531671E-47.3087064E-40.00117054911.60158174.4E-40.0065125060.00728524570.0079205831.08720876.4E-4
7.61.1301089E-51.2648149E-51.8264599E-414.4405321.7E-44.8432343E-55.4205255E-52.5419443E-44.6894792.0E-45.895042E-46.5975444E-40.00104949721.5907393.9E-40.00587942820.006578510.00713482641.08456565.6E-4
7.79.189108E-61.0283358E-51.4028202E-413.6416541.3E-43.93813E-54.407082E-51.9406421E-44.4034631.5E-44.7936183E-45.3643517E-48.6625817E-41.61484223.3E-40.0047832910.0053519140.0058094521.08549064.6E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-73.6482615E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.5635396E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035933E-52.9035744E-51.52531231.0E-51.8045233E-41.9034347E-42.1033967E-41.10505322.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Big Bend)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0179969E-42.0073925E-44.2069508E-42.0957292.2E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00120972751.40661323.5E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0110343981.0588766.2E-40.0517340970.1014559050.102390391.00921070.00104
6.11.0179969E-42.0073925E-44.2069508E-42.0957292.2E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00120972751.40661323.5E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0110343981.0588766.2E-40.0517340970.1014559050.102390391.00921070.00104
6.21.0179969E-42.0073925E-44.2069508E-42.0957292.2E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00120972751.40661323.5E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0110343981.0588766.2E-40.0517340970.1014559050.102390391.00921070.00104
6.31.0179969E-42.0073925E-44.2069508E-42.0957292.2E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00120972751.40661323.5E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0110343981.0588766.2E-40.0517340970.1014559050.102390391.00921070.00104
6.49.1639464E-51.8430917E-43.3428153E-41.81369981.5E-43.9268145E-47.896575E-49.894996E-41.25307432.0E-40.00477042050.0095718180.0099778941.04242414.1E-40.0466930640.093786950.094385051.00637726.6E-4
6.59.1639464E-51.8430917E-43.3428153E-41.81369981.5E-43.9268145E-47.896575E-49.894996E-41.25307432.0E-40.00477042050.0095718180.0099778941.04242414.1E-40.0466930640.093786950.094385051.00637726.6E-4
6.69.042622E-51.8238011E-43.2235458E-41.76748751.4E-43.8748336E-47.813951E-49.6125447E-41.23017721.8E-40.00470740950.00947210.0098485011.03973783.8E-40.0460893250.092877210.0934124141.00576255.9E-4
6.78.9836685E-51.8152347E-43.2149805E-41.77111021.4E-43.8495753E-47.7772595E-49.57586E-41.2312641.8E-40.004676790.0094278150.00979432651.03887563.7E-40.0457958170.092471480.092997851.00569225.8E-4
6.88.9471854E-51.8099119E-43.1096768E-41.7181371.3E-43.8339442E-47.754462E-49.4531436E-41.21905861.7E-40.0046578410.0094002980.0097569131.03793673.6E-40.045614140.09221920.092736641.0056115.7E-4
6.98.858234E-51.7981093E-42.8979115E-41.61164371.1E-43.7958333E-47.7039085E-49.202753E-41.19455641.5E-40.0046116380.0093392780.0096661961.03500463.3E-40.045171030.091659110.092149611.00535145.4E-4
7.08.7433385E-51.7819891E-42.5818465E-41.44885668.0E-53.746607E-47.6348626E-48.833946E-41.15705371.2E-40.0045519570.0092559320.009533341.02997092.8E-40.0445983860.090893230.091320511.00470094.7E-4
7.18.684964E-51.7731842E-42.5730423E-41.45108588.0E-53.7215967E-47.597149E-48.7962375E-41.15783391.2E-40.00452163350.0092104050.0094779181.02904462.7E-40.044307310.090474750.0908931341.00462424.6E-4
7.28.606521E-51.7622454E-42.462122E-41.39715057.0E-53.6879873E-47.550296E-48.649465E-41.14557971.1E-40.00448088350.0091538420.0094114621.02814342.6E-40.0439160240.089955180.09034651.00435024.3E-4
7.38.568266E-51.7564454E-42.4563225E-41.39846227.0E-53.6715972E-47.5254537E-48.6246256E-41.14606061.1E-40.00446101050.009123850.0093715691.02715082.5E-40.0437251480.089676230.090058571.00426354.2E-4
7.48.5432206E-51.752704E-42.4525812E-41.39931297.0E-53.6608664E-47.509428E-48.6086016E-41.14637261.1E-40.0044479990.0091045010.0093522261.02720892.5E-40.0436001570.089496420.0898788351.00427294.2E-4
7.58.4791965E-51.7396381E-42.4395164E-41.40231257.0E-53.633435E-47.4534636E-48.5526437E-41.14747241.1E-40.00441473770.0090369320.0092846731.02741422.5E-40.0432805750.088872090.089254761.00430584.2E-4
7.68.241105E-51.6841735E-42.3840556E-41.41556427.0E-53.531424E-47.2158914E-48.3150977E-41.15233141.1E-40.00429103520.0087500470.0089978591.02832132.5E-40.0420911760.086250320.08663411.00444964.2E-4
7.77.00432E-51.4205615E-41.9204905E-41.35192355.0E-53.001506E-46.0867006E-46.8862137E-41.13135418.0E-50.00364821120.00738541740.0075541621.02284841.7E-40.0358889770.073522990.07381021.00390643.1E-4
7.86.415362E-51.2969968E-41.7969319E-41.3854565.0E-52.749151E-45.557374E-46.356929E-41.14387298.0E-50.00334195470.00674514150.00690406231.02356081.6E-40.032921410.067255140.067506981.00374462.7E-4
7.94.939911E-59.341721E-51.3341347E-41.42814664.0E-52.116933E-44.0029807E-44.4028208E-41.09988564.0E-50.00257431950.0048627470.00497221251.0225111.1E-40.0254470130.0489158030.0490584631.00291651.5E-4
8.03.344983E-55.2228E-58.2226434E-51.57437463.0E-51.4334853E-42.2381509E-42.5380836E-41.13400923.0E-50.00174387110.00272154530.0027813821.02198626.0E-50.0173024960.0279231610.0280009281.0027858.0E-5
8.11.9104898E-51.9171663E-52.917147E-51.52159321.0E-58.1875565E-58.2161685E-59.216086E-51.12170121.0E-59.963791E-49.9986E-40.00100985011.00999141.0E-50.0099192350.0107495520.010779231.00276083.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Independence rev 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.422171E-64.3262253E-64.443243E-4102.704854.4E-41.8952025E-51.8540852E-56.085299E-432.8210335.9E-42.3071647E-42.2571447E-40.00109551814.85355768.7E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00333271011.47782480.00108
6.14.422171E-64.3262253E-64.443243E-4102.704854.4E-41.8952025E-51.8540852E-56.085299E-432.8210335.9E-42.3071647E-42.2571447E-40.00109551814.85355768.7E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00333271011.47782480.00108
6.24.422171E-64.3262253E-64.443243E-4102.704854.4E-41.8952025E-51.8540852E-56.085299E-432.8210335.9E-42.3071647E-42.2571447E-40.00109551814.85355768.7E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00333271011.47782480.00108
6.34.422171E-64.3262253E-64.443243E-4102.704854.4E-41.8952025E-51.8540852E-56.085299E-432.8210335.9E-42.3071647E-42.2571447E-40.00109551814.85355768.7E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00333271011.47782480.00108
6.44.422171E-64.3262253E-64.443243E-4102.704854.4E-41.8952025E-51.8540852E-56.085299E-432.8210335.9E-42.3071647E-42.2571447E-40.00109551814.85355768.7E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00333271011.47782480.00108
6.54.422171E-64.3262253E-64.443243E-4102.704854.4E-41.8952025E-51.8540852E-56.085299E-432.8210335.9E-42.3071647E-42.2571447E-40.00109551814.85355768.7E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00333271011.47782480.00108
6.62.663744E-62.5319846E-64.1253094E-4162.92794.1E-41.1415996E-51.08513195E-55.6084536E-451.684535.5E-41.3898089E-41.321073E-49.320016E-47.05488358.0E-40.00138893990.00132033590.00230902881.74881929.9E-4
6.72.663744E-62.5319846E-64.1253094E-4162.92794.1E-41.1415996E-51.08513195E-55.6084536E-451.684535.5E-41.3898089E-41.321073E-49.320016E-47.05488358.0E-40.00138893990.00132033590.00230902881.74881929.9E-4
6.81.9716529E-61.8322567E-64.118315E-4224.767384.1E-48.449913E-67.852505E-65.578482E-471.040795.5E-41.0287284E-49.560019E-58.955237E-49.3673848.0E-40.00102825239.5560355E-40.0019346672.024559.8E-4
6.91.8788617E-61.7429976E-64.017423E-4230.48934.0E-48.0522395E-67.4699688E-65.474659E-473.288925.4E-49.80316E-59.09432E-58.808714E-49.6859517.9E-49.798837E-49.090718E-40.00187819012.06605249.7E-4
7.01.5045488E-61.3849498E-64.013844E-4289.818764.0E-46.44805E-65.9354857E-65.359323E-490.292925.3E-47.8502184E-57.226219E-58.4220653E-411.6548717.7E-47.8474457E-47.223921E-40.00167170592.31412539.5E-4
7.11.272341E-61.1625089E-64.0116205E-4345.0834.0E-45.4528787E-64.9821715E-65.349795E-4107.3787845.3E-46.6386776E-56.0656283E-58.306096E-413.693717.7E-46.636695E-46.064005E-40.00155582442.56567149.5E-4
7.21.0416892E-69.409871E-74.009406E-4426.085144.0E-44.464375E-64.032796E-65.240307E-4129.942295.2E-45.4352407E-54.9098202E-58.090609E-416.4784227.6E-45.4339116E-44.908754E-40.00142041882.89364469.3E-4
7.37.9450155E-77.2350036E-74.0072322E-4553.86734.0E-43.4050022E-63.1007123E-65.230991E-4168.702885.2E-44.1455114E-53.7750528E-57.7772257E-420.6016357.4E-44.144738E-43.7744228E-40.00127710263.38357079.0E-4
7.45.3893444E-75.0195166E-73.9050175E-4777.966863.9E-42.309717E-62.1512196E-65.121501E-4238.074315.1E-42.8120441E-52.6190788E-57.361722E-428.1080577.1E-42.8116882E-42.6187746E-40.00111165494.24494278.5E-4
7.53.8852085E-73.6825622E-73.4036813E-4924.269843.4E-41.6650882E-61.57824E-64.3157756E-4273.454964.3E-42.027226E-51.9214905E-56.192034E-432.225166.0E-42.0270412E-41.9213265E-49.3199045E-44.85076577.4E-4
7.62.414929E-72.3457605E-71.6023454E-4683.08141.6E-41.0349692E-61.0053255E-62.0100512E-4199.940342.0E-41.2600677E-51.2239771E-53.4223573E-427.9609583.3E-41.2599962E-41.223911E-45.623372E-44.5945934.4E-4
7.76.8298014E-86.8589785E-85.0068586E-5729.97155.0E-52.9270575E-72.939562E-76.029394E-5205.111986.0E-53.5636867E-63.5789112E-68.357863E-523.3530868.0E-53.5636294E-53.5788584E-51.4578465E-44.0734961.1E-4

San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.31567E-52.3384395E-45.837621E-42.49637463.5E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.00144136171.43876834.4E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0127312231.04968436.1E-40.0424638280.112581870.113318431.00654248.3E-4
6.18.31567E-52.3384395E-45.837621E-42.49637463.5E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.00144136171.43876834.4E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0127312231.04968436.1E-40.0424638280.112581870.113318431.00654248.3E-4
6.28.31567E-52.3384395E-45.837621E-42.49637463.5E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.00144136171.43876834.4E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0127312231.04968436.1E-40.0424638280.112581870.113318431.00654248.3E-4
6.38.31567E-52.3384395E-45.837621E-42.49637463.5E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.00144136171.43876834.4E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0127312231.04968436.1E-40.0424638280.112581870.113318431.00654248.3E-4
6.48.059055E-52.2941893E-45.7933864E-42.52524333.5E-43.4534236E-49.828559E-40.00141243331.43707054.3E-40.00419643940.0119008190.0124936781.04981676.0E-40.0411807450.1105629650.11129231.00659668.2E-4
6.58.059055E-52.2941893E-45.7933864E-42.52524333.5E-43.4534236E-49.828559E-40.00141243331.43707054.3E-40.00419643940.0119008190.0124936781.04981676.0E-40.0411807450.1105629650.11129231.00659668.2E-4
6.67.619237E-52.2186468E-45.71787E-42.57718833.5E-43.2649786E-49.5050444E-40.00138009571.45196144.3E-40.00396786770.01151153350.0121046271.05152176.0E-40.038977640.107099540.107831721.00683648.2E-4
6.77.440636E-52.1862281E-45.685463E-42.6005813.5E-43.188454E-49.3662075E-40.0013662181.45866734.3E-40.00387503460.0113442680.0119374621.05229026.0E-40.0380815640.10560810.10634151.00694458.2E-4
6.87.3735864E-52.1709445E-45.6701846E-42.61185153.5E-43.1597257E-49.300753E-40.00135967531.46189824.3E-40.00384018150.0112654060.0118586481.05266036.0E-40.037744950.1049096960.105643671.00699638.2E-4
6.97.27575E-52.1478413E-45.6470896E-42.6291933.5E-43.117806E-49.20181E-40.00134978521.46686944.3E-40.0037893230.0111461820.0117394941.053236.0E-40.0372535620.103857530.104592371.00707548.2E-4
7.07.102591E-52.1062451E-45.605508E-42.6613753.5E-43.0436125E-49.023664E-40.00133197841.47609484.3E-40.0036993030.0109314840.0115249251.05428736.0E-40.036383250.1019595340.102695931.00722248.2E-4
7.17.028513E-52.0898094E-45.589078E-42.6744443.5E-43.0118722E-48.953274E-40.00132494251.47984124.3E-40.00366078970.0108466410.0114401331.05471676.0E-40.0360106860.101202430.101939451.00728268.2E-4
7.26.8498244E-52.050596E-45.549878E-42.7064713.5E-42.9353087E-48.7853306E-40.00129816411.47764974.2E-40.0035678830.01064418350.01121800951.05390995.8E-40.0351114050.099394490.100105971.00715827.9E-4
7.36.622592E-51.9733235E-45.3726527E-42.72264153.4E-42.8379448E-48.4543816E-40.00125509151.48454564.1E-40.00344972430.0102451110.0108092711.05506635.7E-40.0339666120.0958912450.096596451.00735437.8E-4
7.45.1050705E-51.4690042E-44.7685194E-43.24608973.3E-42.1877038E-46.294222E-40.00102917051.63510354.0E-40.0026602760.0076364820.0081922061.07277215.6E-40.026286540.072865540.073570161.00967017.6E-4
7.53.9302922E-51.11307076E-44.4127036E-43.9644413.3E-41.6843023E-44.7694342E-48.667574E-41.8173173.9E-40.00204870920.00579139540.006338211.09441855.5E-40.0202992470.056011510.056691181.01213467.2E-4
7.62.9851626E-58.4956984E-54.1492895E-44.88398843.3E-41.2792926E-43.6405068E-47.4391236E-42.04343083.8E-40.00155642590.00442333470.00495099041.11928925.3E-40.01545569950.0431961450.0438659081.01550527.0E-4
7.72.1135214E-56.353527E-53.8351494E-46.03625253.2E-49.0576345E-52.722656E-46.421649E-42.3585973.7E-40.00110220910.00330980080.00382807971.15658925.2E-40.0109675820.032584560.033232731.01989196.7E-4
7.81.883379E-55.564576E-53.7562795E-46.7503433.2E-48.0713755E-52.3846005E-46.083718E-42.55125263.7E-49.822468E-40.0028993890.00341788141.17882815.2E-40.00977916550.0286969780.0293477511.02267746.7E-4
7.91.5156185E-54.1662403E-53.616491E-48.6804663.2E-46.495346E-51.7854095E-45.384767E-43.0159843.6E-47.9052144E-40.00217157040.00267048461.22974815.0E-40.0078771520.0217609460.0223772361.02832096.3E-4
8.01.1405907E-52.9976925E-52.3997063E-48.0051782.1E-44.8881542E-51.2846621E-43.4843796E-42.71229242.2E-45.9497025E-40.00156295510.00189243931.21080853.3E-40.0059337980.0157740130.0161873881.0262064.2E-4
8.14.3511436E-67.369465E-67.369465E-61.00.01.8647626E-53.158304E-53.158304E-51.00.02.2701119E-43.844558E-43.844558E-41.00.00.00226779420.00411654450.00411654451.00.0
8.22.3042528E-62.7328301E-62.7328301E-61.00.09.875332E-61.1712076E-51.1712076E-51.00.01.2022553E-41.4258524E-41.4258524E-41.00.00.00120160510.00159796370.00159796371.00.0
8.35.202968E-73.1590292E-73.1590292E-71.00.02.2298414E-61.353869E-61.353869E-61.00.02.714798E-51.6483244E-51.6483244E-51.00.02.7144665E-41.955901E-41.955901E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Parkfield)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.556969E-47.778562E-49.577162E-41.23122531.8E-40.00237938480.00332995830.0035990591.08081212.7E-40.0285869630.0402350430.040695731.01144994.8E-40.251762840.33719730.337667881.00139567.1E-4
6.11.925858E-43.0278185E-44.1274854E-41.36318791.1E-48.2510663E-40.0012970850.00144689041.11549391.5E-40.00999948850.015773930.0160495141.01747082.8E-40.0956132560.149758250.150081341.00215743.8E-4
6.29.4306815E-51.8243887E-42.7242245E-41.49322599.0E-54.0410945E-47.8164786E-49.01554E-41.15340191.2E-40.00490893840.0094752460.0097129731.02508912.4E-40.0480190630.09185650.092147111.00316373.2E-4
6.39.283051E-51.794041E-42.6938797E-41.50157089.0E-53.9778434E-47.686494E-48.885571E-41.1559981.2E-40.00483227470.0093183550.00955611751.02551572.4E-40.0472853850.0905094740.090800511.00321563.2E-4
6.49.138826E-51.7702584E-42.670099E-41.50831039.0E-53.916052E-47.5846276E-48.783717E-41.15809481.2E-40.00475737450.0091953870.009433181.02586012.4E-40.0465680920.08941360.089704981.00325883.2E-4
6.59.000255E-51.746064E-42.6459066E-41.51535519.0E-53.8566816E-47.4809964E-48.6800987E-41.16028641.2E-40.00468540470.0090702840.0093081071.02622012.4E-40.0458784030.088296080.088587821.00330413.2E-4
6.68.8109264E-51.7141816E-42.6140272E-41.52494199.0E-53.7755648E-47.3444354E-48.543554E-41.1632691.2E-40.00458706540.0089054040.0091432671.02670992.4E-40.044935290.086827070.087119291.00336553.2E-4
6.78.738073E-51.7008898E-42.600737E-41.52904479.0E-53.7443507E-47.287503E-48.4866286E-41.16454541.2E-40.00454922160.0088366950.0090745741.02691952.4E-40.044572130.08622680.0865192041.00339113.2E-4
6.88.710195E-51.6954402E-42.5952875E-41.53074569.0E-53.7324068E-47.26416E-48.4632885E-41.16507461.2E-40.00453474050.0088085130.0090463991.02700642.4E-40.044433130.085974360.0862668451.0034023.2E-4
6.98.6801556E-51.6895356E-42.5893835E-41.53260089.0E-53.7195362E-47.238869E-48.438E-41.16565181.2E-40.00451913570.00877796950.0090158631.02710122.4E-40.0442833270.085700420.0859931.00341393.2E-4
7.08.5571606E-51.664819E-42.564669E-41.54050939.0E-53.6668387E-47.132999E-48.332143E-41.16811221.2E-40.0044552410.0086501030.0088781141.02635932.3E-40.0436697270.084548360.0848321541.00335663.1E-4
7.17.82589E-51.5128969E-42.4127607E-41.59479529.0E-53.3535215E-46.4822397E-47.681462E-41.18500131.2E-40.00407527060.0078637380.0080919291.02901822.3E-40.0400134180.0774604450.0777372051.0035733.0E-4
7.27.690929E-51.4866212E-42.3864873E-41.60530979.0E-53.2956956E-46.369685E-47.568921E-41.18827241.2E-40.0040051290.00772768260.0079559051.02953312.3E-40.03933710.076233410.076510541.00363533.0E-4
7.37.5543794E-51.4562748E-42.3561437E-41.61792539.0E-53.2371894E-46.239692E-47.438943E-41.19219721.2E-40.0039341570.00757052560.00779878441.0301512.3E-40.0386523340.074797770.0750753361.00371093.0E-4
7.47.4214564E-51.4263717E-42.3262434E-41.63088159.0E-53.1802364E-46.1115966E-47.3108636E-41.1962281.2E-40.0038650650.00741564160.00764393571.03078562.3E-40.037985290.073371520.073640251.00366252.9E-4
7.56.149578E-51.1191443E-41.819066E-41.62540797.0E-52.6352672E-44.795452E-45.7949725E-41.20843091.0E-40.00320371780.0058228650.00601175851.032441.9E-40.031579230.0585594620.0587948231.00401912.5E-4
7.66.0643448E-51.102009E-41.8019318E-41.63513357.0E-52.598746E-44.7220418E-45.72157E-41.21167281.0E-40.00315938280.0057339620.00592287261.03294591.9E-40.0311484170.057720420.0579559881.00408122.5E-4
7.75.1652263E-59.175265E-51.4174805E-41.54489345.0E-52.2134806E-43.9316638E-44.6313886E-41.17797177.0E-50.0026915820.00477630460.00490568351.02708771.3E-40.0265921410.048536410.0486981571.00333251.7E-4
7.84.8090482E-58.560165E-51.3559737E-41.58405095.0E-52.060858E-43.6681266E-44.3678697E-41.19076317.0E-50.00250620720.0044568070.00458622771.02903891.3E-40.0247813050.0453022640.0454645641.00358261.7E-4
7.93.970278E-56.7507375E-51.07504675E-41.59248784.0E-51.7014367E-42.8928524E-43.2927367E-41.13823194.0E-50.0020695310.00351636340.0036160121.02833841.0E-40.0205036360.035881760.0360167361.00376161.4E-4
8.02.8982335E-54.0698153E-57.069693E-51.73710423.0E-51.2420409E-41.7440901E-42.0440377E-41.17197943.0E-50.00151113570.00212136280.00217125681.02351985.0E-50.0150090120.022011180.022079641.00311027.0E-5
8.11.8836186E-51.867974E-52.8679553E-51.53532931.0E-58.0724014E-58.005358E-59.0052774E-51.12490631.0E-59.823717E-49.742171E-49.842074E-41.01025461.0E-50.0097804030.0104877110.0105173961.00283053.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Death Valley (No)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0074807E-52.2500084E-52.3249535E-410.3330892.1E-48.603206E-59.642541E-53.464013E-43.59242772.5E-40.0010469370.00117335450.00166277951.41711624.9E-40.0104201830.0116725060.0123939861.06181017.3E-4
6.12.0074807E-52.2500084E-52.3249535E-410.3330892.1E-48.603206E-59.642541E-53.464013E-43.59242772.5E-40.0010469370.00117335450.00166277951.41711624.9E-40.0104201830.0116725060.0123939861.06181017.3E-4
6.22.0074807E-52.2500084E-52.3249535E-410.3330892.1E-48.603206E-59.642541E-53.464013E-43.59242772.5E-40.0010469370.00117335450.00166277951.41711624.9E-40.0104201830.0116725060.0123939861.06181017.3E-4
6.31.9050609E-52.1336948E-52.2133268E-410.3732122.0E-48.164292E-59.1440896E-53.3141894E-43.62440632.4E-49.935491E-40.0011127310.00158220811.42191424.7E-40.0098911880.0110724190.0117745581.06341337.1E-4
6.41.9050609E-52.1336948E-52.2133268E-410.3732122.0E-48.164292E-59.1440896E-53.3141894E-43.62440632.4E-49.935491E-40.0011127310.00158220811.42191424.7E-40.0098911880.0110724190.0117745581.06341337.1E-4
6.51.8367004E-52.0561009E-52.2055689E-410.726952.0E-47.8713354E-58.811567E-53.2809452E-43.72345262.4E-49.5791375E-40.00107228690.00153179361.42852974.6E-40.0095379510.01067191550.0113644451.06489287.0E-4
6.61.779439E-51.9910927E-52.0990714E-410.5423091.9E-47.625944E-58.53298E-53.1531017E-43.69519422.3E-49.280632E-40.00103840150.00148793431.43290844.5E-40.0092419690.0103362530.0110191211.06606536.9E-4
6.71.7025437E-51.9043426E-52.090398E-410.9770071.9E-47.296412E-58.161216E-53.1159338E-43.81797742.3E-48.87976E-49.931813E-40.00144273441.45263954.5E-40.0088443620.0098881450.0105713221.06909056.9E-4
6.81.6545107E-51.8512545E-52.0850902E-411.2631211.9E-47.090568E-57.93371E-53.0931886E-43.8987922.3E-48.629347E-49.655073E-40.00141507281.46562624.5E-40.0085959150.0096138290.0102971951.07108166.9E-4
6.91.615478E-51.8087594E-52.0808415E-411.5042481.9E-46.9232934E-57.751599E-53.0749815E-43.96689962.3E-48.4258494E-49.433546E-40.00139293021.4765714.5E-40.0083939730.0093941960.0100777141.07275966.9E-4
7.01.5894311E-51.780555E-52.0780216E-411.670641.9E-46.81167E-57.6307304E-53.0628976E-44.01389842.3E-48.2900526E-49.286515E-40.00137823371.48412364.5E-40.0082591950.0092483970.0099221091.07284636.8E-4
7.11.5602263E-51.7483504E-52.0748017E-411.8671971.9E-46.6865134E-57.492718E-53.0490995E-44.0694172.3E-48.137789E-49.118627E-40.00136145241.49304534.5E-40.0081080520.0090818940.00975571851.07419426.8E-4
7.21.5323829E-51.717063E-52.0716737E-412.0652161.9E-46.56719E-57.358637E-53.0356945E-44.12534862.3E-47.99262E-48.9555193E-40.00134514891.50203354.5E-40.0079639340.0089201070.0095940411.07555226.8E-4
7.31.4556212E-51.6302456E-51.9629952E-412.0411011.8E-46.238227E-56.9865826E-52.8985046E-44.14867262.2E-47.592395E-48.5029035E-40.00128991621.51703044.4E-40.00756650740.0084710140.0091155081.07608226.5E-4
7.41.411725E-51.580796E-51.9580511E-412.3864891.8E-46.0501097E-56.7746674E-52.8773176E-44.2471722.2E-47.363519E-48.245094E-40.00126414661.53321064.4E-40.00733916740.0082151380.0088498811.07726496.4E-4
7.51.3503312E-51.5126289E-51.8512372E-412.2385421.7E-45.7870053E-56.482538E-52.7481175E-44.2392622.1E-47.043401E-47.8896893E-40.00121862971.54458514.3E-40.0070211190.0078623040.0084873511.07949916.3E-4
7.61.1279839E-51.2626327E-51.8262418E-414.4637611.7E-44.834127E-55.4111737E-52.5410092E-44.69585562.0E-45.88396E-46.5861654E-40.00104835971.59176033.9E-40.0058684050.0065671990.0071235211.08471235.6E-4
7.79.189108E-61.0283358E-51.4028202E-413.6416541.3E-43.93813E-54.407082E-51.9406421E-44.4034631.5E-44.7936183E-45.3643517E-48.6625817E-41.61484223.3E-40.0047832910.0053519140.0058094521.08549064.6E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-73.6482615E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.5635396E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035933E-52.9035744E-51.52531231.0E-51.8045233E-41.9034347E-42.1033967E-41.10505322.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.6264497E-66.75733E-61.9675605E-429.1174241.9E-42.8398761E-52.895971E-53.3895072E-411.7042173.1E-43.4570007E-43.5253543E-48.1237324E-42.30437354.6E-40.00345162770.00352055020.0041582971.18114976.4E-4
6.16.6264497E-66.75733E-61.9675605E-429.1174241.9E-42.8398761E-52.895971E-53.3895072E-411.7042173.1E-43.4570007E-43.5253543E-48.1237324E-42.30437354.6E-40.00345162770.00352055020.0041582971.18114976.4E-4
6.26.6264497E-66.75733E-61.9675605E-429.1174241.9E-42.8398761E-52.895971E-53.3895072E-411.7042173.1E-43.4570007E-43.5253543E-48.1237324E-42.30437354.6E-40.00345162770.00352055020.0041582971.18114976.4E-4
6.36.6264497E-66.75733E-61.9675605E-429.1174241.9E-42.8398761E-52.895971E-53.3895072E-411.7042173.1E-43.4570007E-43.5253543E-48.1237324E-42.30437354.6E-40.00345162770.00352055020.0041582971.18114976.4E-4
6.46.6264497E-66.75733E-61.9675605E-429.1174241.9E-42.8398761E-52.895971E-53.3895072E-411.7042173.1E-43.4570007E-43.5253543E-48.1237324E-42.30437354.6E-40.00345162770.00352055020.0041582971.18114976.4E-4
6.53.2162225E-63.2570915E-61.13256734E-434.772351.1E-41.3783738E-51.3958894E-51.9395638E-413.8948251.8E-41.6780409E-41.6993708E-44.198946E-42.47088272.5E-40.00167677440.0016981510.00205753981.21163523.6E-4
6.63.2162225E-63.2570915E-61.13256734E-434.772351.1E-41.3783738E-51.3958894E-51.9395638E-413.8948251.8E-41.6780409E-41.6993708E-44.198946E-42.47088272.5E-40.00167677440.0016981510.00205753981.21163523.6E-4
6.72.1908265E-62.2071222E-67.220697E-532.7154357.0E-59.389223E-69.459062E-61.1945802E-412.628951.1E-41.1430779E-41.1515819E-42.7513976E-42.3892331.6E-40.00114249010.00115100460.00140071681.21695162.5E-4
6.81.7303895E-61.736553E-66.173645E-535.5511476.0E-57.415934E-67.442349E-61.0744161E-414.4365181.0E-49.028525E-59.060693E-52.3059425E-42.54499551.4E-49.024858E-49.0570963E-40.00109553761.20959031.9E-4
6.91.3700314E-61.3688623E-63.136882E-522.915983.0E-55.87155E-65.86654E-66.586619E-511.2274346.0E-57.148377E-57.142283E-51.7141568E-42.40001251.0E-47.146078E-47.140033E-48.5390336E-41.19593751.4E-4
7.01.1467797E-61.1413805E-62.1141357E-518.522622.0E-54.9147607E-64.8916218E-65.4891378E-511.2215095.0E-55.983557E-55.95539E-51.3954914E-42.3432418.0E-55.981946E-45.9538253E-47.153111E-41.2014311.2E-4
7.19.3952065E-79.3026915E-71.093026E-511.7495671.0E-54.026511E-63.986862E-64.3986704E-511.0329144.0E-54.9021666E-54.853898E-51.0853606E-42.236066.0E-54.901085E-44.8528553E-45.85237E-41.20596421.0E-4
7.26.858055E-76.7193014E-71.06719235E-515.8824891.0E-52.939163E-62.8796974E-64.2879583E-514.8903084.0E-53.5783723E-53.5059762E-59.505766E-52.71130376.0E-53.5777962E-43.5054318E-44.4051165E-41.25665449.0E-5
7.35.1101983E-74.939301E-74.939301E-71.00.02.1900833E-62.1168414E-62.21168E-510.4480192.0E-52.6663936E-52.5772246E-55.577147E-52.1640133.0E-52.6660739E-42.5769303E-42.9768274E-41.15518344.0E-5
7.43.4999414E-73.2995916E-73.2995916E-71.00.01.499974E-61.4141099E-62.1414082E-515.1431522.0E-51.8262032E-51.7216655E-54.7216137E-52.74246883.0E-51.826053E-41.7215345E-42.1214657E-41.23231094.0E-5
7.51.7021522E-71.4750053E-71.4750053E-71.00.07.2949354E-76.32145E-76.32145E-71.00.08.881548E-67.696339E-67.696339E-61.00.08.8811925E-57.696081E-58.696003E-51.12992631.0E-5
7.62.572245E-81.735264E-81.735264E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436845E-87.436845E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.0543557E-79.0543557E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054324E-69.054324E-61.00.0

Red Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.258278E-68.551265E-61.685499E-419.7105221.6E-43.539214E-53.6647863E-52.6663943E-47.27571542.3E-44.308141E-44.4611428E-48.4593584E-41.89623134.0E-40.00429979850.0044539450.00505127251.1341126.0E-4
6.13.649988E-63.7753161E-63.3775203E-58.9463243.0E-51.5642712E-51.6179853E-57.617888E-54.7082566.0E-51.9043336E-41.9697666E-43.469471E-41.76136151.5E-40.00190270260.0019684880.00219803541.1166112.3E-4
6.23.649988E-63.7753161E-63.3775203E-58.9463243.0E-51.5642712E-51.6179853E-57.617888E-54.7082566.0E-51.9043336E-41.9697666E-43.469471E-41.76136151.5E-40.00190270260.0019684880.00219803541.1166112.3E-4
6.31.3924937E-61.4411166E-61.1441102E-57.93905351.0E-55.9678164E-66.1762075E-63.617602E-55.857323.0E-57.265574E-57.519415E-51.4518888E-41.93085357.0E-57.263199E-47.518258E-48.617431E-41.14620051.1E-4
6.41.3924937E-61.4411166E-61.1441102E-57.93905351.0E-55.9678164E-66.1762075E-63.617602E-55.857323.0E-57.265574E-57.519415E-51.4518888E-41.93085357.0E-57.263199E-47.518258E-48.617431E-41.14620051.1E-4
6.59.876812E-71.0221912E-61.0221912E-61.00.04.2329125E-64.3808195E-64.3808195E-61.00.05.153449E-55.3336476E-58.3334875E-51.56243683.0E-55.1522546E-45.333648E-45.9333275E-41.11243336.0E-5

San Jacinto (San Bernardino)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.409352E-53.598562E-53.1597554E-48.7806062.8E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-45.1415944E-43.33404353.6E-40.00177740.00187595210.00234507051.25006954.7E-40.017632510.0193499920.0199383831.03040786.0E-4
6.13.409352E-53.598562E-53.1597554E-48.7806062.8E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-45.1415944E-43.33404353.6E-40.00177740.00187595210.00234507051.25006954.7E-40.017632510.0193499920.0199383831.03040786.0E-4
6.23.409352E-53.598562E-53.1597554E-48.7806062.8E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-45.1415944E-43.33404353.6E-40.00177740.00187595210.00234507051.25006954.7E-40.017632510.0193499920.0199383831.03040786.0E-4
6.33.409352E-53.598562E-53.1597554E-48.7806062.8E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-45.1415944E-43.33404353.6E-40.00177740.00187595210.00234507051.25006954.7E-40.017632510.0193499920.0199383831.03040786.0E-4
6.43.400795E-53.5878285E-53.1586824E-48.8038842.8E-41.4574021E-41.5375503E-45.1369966E-43.34102683.6E-40.00177294280.00187036190.00233948281.25081834.7E-40.0175886450.0192950740.0198834971.0304966.0E-4
6.53.341482E-53.5138914E-53.151291E-48.9680942.8E-41.4319851E-41.5058667E-45.1053247E-43.390293.6E-40.00174204770.00183185220.00230099121.25610094.7E-40.0172845460.0189166160.0194954561.03059955.9E-4
6.63.3364955E-53.5076133E-53.150663E-48.9823562.8E-41.4298483E-41.5031763E-45.102635E-43.39456873.6E-40.00173945010.00182858230.0022977231.25655974.7E-40.0172589760.018884480.0194633381.03065265.9E-4
6.73.335922E-53.5065907E-53.150561E-48.9846842.8E-41.4296026E-41.5027382E-45.102197E-43.3952673.6E-40.00173915140.00182804970.00229719051.25663464.7E-40.0172560350.0188792720.0194581341.03066125.9E-4
6.83.327683E-53.4959972E-53.149502E-49.008882.8E-41.4260718E-41.4981985E-45.0976593E-43.40252573.6E-40.00173485970.0018225320.00229167541.2574134.7E-40.0172137840.0188250450.0194039361.03075125.9E-4
6.93.3235785E-53.4900928E-53.1489116E-49.0224292.8E-41.4243131E-41.4956683E-45.0951296E-43.40659073.6E-40.00173272170.00181945670.00228860161.25784894.7E-40.0171927340.0187949110.0193738211.03080155.9E-4
7.03.3197095E-53.4840854E-53.148311E-49.0362622.8E-41.422655E-41.4930942E-45.092557E-43.41074043.6E-40.00173070630.00181632780.00228547421.25829394.7E-40.0171728940.018764290.0193432181.03085275.9E-4
7.13.3129716E-53.4721066E-53.1471133E-49.0639892.8E-41.4197677E-41.4879608E-45.087425E-43.41905863.6E-40.00172719660.00181008840.00227923761.25918584.7E-40.0171383380.0187033660.019282331.03095515.9E-4
7.23.3034008E-53.4588513E-53.1457882E-49.0948932.8E-41.4156665E-41.4822806E-45.081747E-43.428333.6E-40.00172221110.00180318430.00227233671.260184.7E-40.0170892530.018635750.0192147551.03106965.9E-4
7.33.2956614E-53.4456265E-53.1444663E-49.1259632.8E-41.4123498E-41.4766137E-45.0760823E-43.4376513.6E-40.00171817960.00179629610.0022654521.26117964.7E-40.0170495570.0185684950.0191475411.03118425.9E-4
7.43.2915937E-53.4377957E-53.1436834E-49.1444732.8E-41.4106068E-41.473258E-45.072728E-43.4432043.6E-40.00171606080.00179221730.00226137481.2617754.7E-40.0170286930.0185287690.0191078371.03125245.9E-4
7.53.281791E-53.424287E-53.1423327E-49.1766042.8E-41.406406E-41.4674691E-45.066941E-43.45284323.6E-40.00171095420.00178518090.0022543421.26280874.7E-40.0169784110.0184596520.0190387611.03137165.9E-4
7.63.2521442E-53.396782E-53.139583E-49.2428162.8E-41.3937015E-41.4556825E-45.0551584E-43.47270683.6E-40.00169551090.00177085420.0022400221.26493864.7E-40.0168263280.0183172950.0188964881.031625.9E-4
7.73.0287873E-53.245191E-53.1244283E-49.62787152.8E-41.297987E-41.3907222E-44.9902214E-43.58822323.6E-40.00157915370.00169189030.00216109521.27732574.7E-40.015679790.0175281990.0181078581.03307015.9E-4
7.82.6316151E-52.9662837E-53.0965454E-410.4391412.8E-41.1277862E-41.2712025E-44.870745E-43.83160423.6E-40.00137221490.00154659130.00200587981.29696834.6E-40.0136377240.0160698780.0166405571.03551235.8E-4
7.92.0761147E-52.3417291E-52.9341097E-412.5296722.7E-48.897331E-51.0035596E-44.4032183E-44.38760043.4E-40.00108271170.00122114980.00165062471.35169714.3E-40.0107745170.0127932720.0133263641.04166975.4E-4
8.01.5738568E-51.6032505E-51.8602978E-411.6032881.7E-46.744926E-56.8708934E-52.8869382E-44.20169262.2E-48.2088535E-48.3621085E-40.00111597671.33456372.8E-40.0081785960.0088657410.0092225491.04024583.6E-4
8.11.0105832E-58.329479E-65.8329064E-57.00272665.0E-54.3309992E-53.569728E-51.0569478E-42.96086387.0E-55.2717153E-44.3452822E-45.3448475E-41.23003461.0E-40.0052592270.00467687940.00481622431.02979451.4E-4
8.24.189207E-61.577699E-61.577699E-61.00.01.7953622E-56.7615497E-66.7615497E-61.00.02.1856341E-48.231879E-58.231879E-51.00.00.00218348589.562628E-49.562628E-41.00.0
8.31.2758221E-63.612677E-73.612677E-71.00.05.4677976E-61.5482892E-61.5482892E-61.00.06.65684E-51.8850264E-51.8850264E-51.00.06.6548464E-42.2739546E-42.2739546E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Coachella) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1925945E-43.273077E-45.2724226E-41.61084582.0E-45.110118E-40.0014019980.00164166151.17094422.4E-40.00620383540.0169370680.0173008011.02147563.7E-40.0603347530.152676720.153117331.00288595.2E-4
6.11.1925945E-43.273077E-45.2724226E-41.61084582.0E-45.110118E-40.0014019980.00164166151.17094422.4E-40.00620383540.0169370680.0173008011.02147563.7E-40.0603347530.152676720.153117331.00288595.2E-4
6.21.07432395E-43.0231563E-45.0225516E-41.66136032.0E-44.603433E-40.0012949990.00153468831.18508832.4E-40.0055902860.0156537310.016017941.02326663.7E-40.054517310.141827840.14226551.00308595.1E-4
6.31.0718766E-43.0176868E-45.017083E-41.66255932.0E-44.592948E-40.00129265730.0015323471.18542412.4E-40.0055775860.015625630.015989851.0233093.7E-40.0543965550.141596050.142033851.00309185.1E-4
6.41.0355944E-42.9384956E-44.937908E-41.68042042.0E-44.4375064E-40.00125875140.00149844921.19042522.4E-40.00538928850.0152186620.0155830321.02394223.7E-40.0526044960.138157950.138597491.00318155.1E-4
6.51.0227914E-42.9104383E-44.9098564E-41.68698172.0E-44.382655E-40.00124673850.00148643931.19226232.4E-40.00532283540.0150744390.0154388611.02417483.7E-40.0519713160.136942390.137382541.00321425.1E-4
6.61.0116757E-42.8870135E-44.886436E-41.69255752.0E-44.3350324E-40.00123670870.00147641191.19382352.4E-40.00526513670.0149540080.0153184761.02437263.7E-40.0514212470.135919730.136360421.00324235.1E-4
6.71.0050676E-42.8728697E-44.8722952E-41.6959682.0E-44.3067214E-40.00123065280.00147035751.19477842.4E-40.0052308340.0148812880.0152457821.02449353.7E-40.0510940850.135304640.135745641.00325935.1E-4
6.89.976819E-52.8532353E-44.8526647E-41.70075872.0E-44.2750788E-40.0012222460.00146195271.19611982.4E-40.00519249360.0147803280.0151448591.02466333.7E-40.0507282950.134456280.134897711.0032835.1E-4
6.99.77719E-52.802926E-44.8023651E-41.71334022.0E-44.1895514E-40.00120070480.00144041671.19964272.4E-40.00508885550.01452158950.0148862171.02510933.7E-40.0497388880.132284760.13272731.00334545.1E-4
7.08.500761E-52.4763815E-44.4758862E-41.807432.0E-43.6426744E-40.00106087790.00130062331.22598772.4E-40.00442594060.012840470.0132057191.02844513.7E-40.043388230.118136160.118585911.00380715.1E-4
7.18.319876E-52.4366553E-44.436168E-41.82059732.0E-43.5651738E-40.00104386620.00128361561.22967462.4E-40.0043319630.0126357730.0130010981.0289123.7E-40.0424848460.116356320.116806981.00387315.1E-4
7.27.563917E-52.2414974E-44.2410492E-41.89206062.0E-43.2412758E-49.602912E-40.00120006071.24968422.4E-40.00393911450.0116295590.0119952571.03144553.7E-40.038700180.107762020.108217051.00422265.1E-4
7.37.082985E-52.07311E-44.0726954E-41.96453422.0E-43.0352117E-48.881761E-40.0011279631.26997672.4E-40.00368910960.0107605530.0111265721.03401483.7E-40.036284650.100284030.100742891.00457565.1E-4
7.45.146215E-51.4274761E-43.2272193E-42.26078681.8E-42.2053342E-46.1163295E-48.3149836E-41.35947292.2E-40.00268168840.00742139430.00775887071.04547353.4E-40.026495570.070850490.071287191.00616374.7E-4
7.54.0285166E-51.0942422E-42.8940453E-42.6447941.8E-41.7263928E-44.6887697E-46.887738E-41.46898632.2E-40.0020998570.00569370440.00603176841.0593753.4E-40.0208012540.0550130830.0554383251.00772994.5E-4
7.63.1168736E-58.439599E-52.643808E-43.13262271.8E-41.3357346E-43.616471E-45.815675E-41.60810782.2E-40.00162504370.0043941910.00472274051.07476913.3E-40.0161321160.0428124780.043233641.00983744.4E-4
7.72.2100989E-56.239345E-52.3238284E-43.7244751.7E-49.4715084E-52.6737314E-44.7731696E-41.78520932.1E-40.0011525460.00325041520.0035693751.09812893.2E-40.0114658670.0319021680.032299091.01244184.1E-4
7.81.7484861E-55.180078E-52.1179249E-44.08859631.6E-47.493296E-52.2198448E-44.219401E-41.90076392.0E-49.1192697E-40.00269931420.00300847741.1145343.1E-40.0090819380.0266417880.0270311311.0146144.0E-4
7.91.3967285E-53.8226146E-51.9822003E-45.18545681.6E-45.985842E-51.6381606E-43.637833E-42.22068142.0E-47.2853256E-40.00199263730.00229203961.15025423.0E-40.00726148770.0199110020.0202736351.01821273.7E-4
8.01.1887396E-53.106798E-51.9106301E-46.1498371.6E-45.094499E-51.331417E-43.3311508E-42.5019592.0E-46.200787E-40.00161979580.001919311.18490853.0E-40.0061835130.0162805670.0166445431.02235653.7E-4
8.15.100864E-68.973766E-68.973766E-61.00.02.1860664E-53.845843E-55.845766E-51.5200222.0E-52.6612106E-44.6813092E-44.8812156E-41.0427032.0E-50.0026580260.0049180920.00493799341.00404662.0E-5
8.22.3004484E-62.7863473E-62.7863473E-61.00.09.859027E-61.19414335E-51.19414335E-51.00.01.2002704E-41.4537729E-41.4537729E-41.00.00.00119962230.00159737820.00159737821.00.0
8.31.0424446E-75.814421E-85.814421E-81.00.04.4676187E-72.4918944E-72.4918944E-71.00.05.439312E-63.0338776E-63.0338776E-61.00.05.4391792E-53.189592E-53.189592E-51.00.0

Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.872328E-54.7265705E-52.0725814E-44.38495831.6E-41.6594635E-42.0255324E-43.9251478E-41.9378351.9E-40.00201852460.00246356060.00284262441.15386833.8E-40.020002880.0243883380.0248956551.02080175.2E-4
6.13.872328E-54.7265705E-52.0725814E-44.38495831.6E-41.6594635E-42.0255324E-43.9251478E-41.9378351.9E-40.00201852460.00246356060.00284262441.15386833.8E-40.020002880.0243883380.0248956551.02080175.2E-4
6.23.872328E-54.7265705E-52.0725814E-44.38495831.6E-41.6594635E-42.0255324E-43.9251478E-41.9378351.9E-40.00201852460.00246356060.00284262441.15386833.8E-40.020002880.0243883380.0248956551.02080175.2E-4
6.32.8356371E-53.360979E-51.9360441E-45.7603581.6E-41.2152165E-41.4403443E-43.3400705E-42.3189391.9E-40.00147852190.00175227880.0021316131.21648053.8E-40.0146872350.0173918160.0179027731.02937915.2E-4
6.42.8356371E-53.360979E-51.9360441E-45.7603581.6E-41.2152165E-41.4403443E-43.3400705E-42.3189391.9E-40.00147852190.00175227880.0021316131.21648053.8E-40.0146872350.0173918160.0179027731.02937915.2E-4
6.52.4448687E-52.8607585E-51.786033E-46.24321461.5E-41.0477588E-41.2259845E-43.0257637E-42.46802781.8E-40.00127489980.00149166160.00186110971.24767553.7E-40.0126761050.0148213920.0153238331.03389985.1E-4
6.62.1298161E-52.4660083E-51.7465638E-47.08255431.5E-49.127464E-51.0568197E-42.8566294E-42.70304351.8E-40.00111070220.00128595120.00165547551.28735473.7E-40.0110516720.012788530.0132920081.03936955.1E-4
6.71.8959729E-52.1781027E-51.7177776E-47.8865781.5E-48.125345E-59.334406E-52.7332726E-42.92816971.8E-49.888117E-40.0011358970.00150547671.32536383.7E-40.0098442340.011303570.0118078051.04460855.1E-4
6.81.6691629E-51.9018351E-51.690155E-48.8869691.5E-47.153359E-58.150477E-52.614901E-43.20827961.8E-48.7057345E-49.918857E-40.00136151871.37265683.7E-40.0086717080.0098763430.01038130651.05112855.1E-4
6.91.450505E-51.638954E-51.5638725E-49.5418941.4E-46.216302E-57.0239046E-52.402271E-43.42013621.7E-47.5657194E-48.5483363E-40.00121452591.42077463.6E-40.0075400130.0085163860.0090121271.05821045.0E-4
7.01.2940855E-51.4537972E-51.5453594E-410.6298141.4E-45.545963E-56.230414E-52.3229355E-43.72838071.7E-46.750118E-47.5829466E-40.00111802171.47438943.6E-40.0067296510.00755768970.0080539111.06565775.0E-4
7.11.2544658E-51.4078208E-51.5407623E-410.9443071.4E-45.3761712E-56.0333812E-52.3032355E-43.81748721.7E-46.5435225E-47.343222E-40.00109405781.48988813.6E-40.0065242880.0073195510.0078158911.06781025.0E-4
7.21.2489416E-51.4015674E-51.5401372E-410.9886771.4E-45.3524967E-56.0065824E-52.3005561E-43.83005831.7E-46.514716E-47.310616E-40.00109079841.49207453.6E-40.0064956510.00728715960.00778351631.06811385.0E-4
7.31.2368307E-51.3879812E-51.5387787E-411.0864521.4E-45.3005948E-55.9483587E-52.2947347E-43.85776111.7E-46.451563E-47.2397763E-40.0010837171.49689293.6E-40.00643286530.0072167820.00771317351.06878295.0E-4
7.41.2161707E-51.36478675E-51.5364596E-411.2578731.4E-45.212056E-55.8489582E-52.2847964E-43.90633061.7E-46.3438306E-47.118836E-40.00107162741.50534073.6E-40.0063257510.00709662070.0075831431.06855694.9E-4
7.51.1707948E-51.3145515E-51.5314367E-411.649881.4E-45.0175953E-55.6336736E-52.2632716E-44.01739931.7E-46.10721E-46.856895E-40.00104544271.5246593.6E-40.00609045340.0068363210.00732297121.0711864.9E-4
7.61.0319538E-51.1579622E-51.51578E-413.0900641.4E-44.4225842E-54.9626036E-52.096181E-44.22395371.6E-45.383166E-46.040347E-49.438293E-41.56254163.4E-40.00537014430.00602446030.0064916291.07754534.7E-4
7.78.937764E-61.0022779E-51.4002148E-413.97032451.3E-43.830414E-54.295409E-51.9294764E-44.49195051.5E-44.6625308E-45.228456E-48.52673E-41.63083153.3E-40.00465276050.0052166640.00567426441.0877194.6E-4
7.83.108007E-73.284654E-73.284654E-71.00.01.3320023E-61.407708E-61.407708E-61.00.01.6217007E-51.7138715E-52.7138543E-51.58346431.0E-51.6215823E-41.7137431E-41.9137088E-41.11668362.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Carrizo) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.532173E-41.45211061.1E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.0012018931.15338211.6E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0129494681.02661473.4E-40.05910160.1206402260.12108871.00371745.1E-4
6.11.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.532173E-41.45211061.1E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.0012018931.15338211.6E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0129494681.02661473.4E-40.05910160.1206402260.12108871.00371745.1E-4
6.21.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.532173E-41.45211061.1E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.0012018931.15338211.6E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0129494681.02661473.4E-40.05910160.1206402260.12108871.00371745.1E-4
6.31.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.532173E-41.45211061.1E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.0012018931.15338211.6E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0129494681.02661473.4E-40.05910160.1206402260.12108871.00371745.1E-4
6.41.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.532173E-41.45211061.1E-45.002454E-40.00104205970.0012018931.15338211.6E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0129494681.02661473.4E-40.05910160.1206402260.12108871.00371745.1E-4
6.51.13136164E-42.3644442E-43.464184E-41.46511571.1E-44.847792E-40.00101294120.00117277911.15779591.6E-40.00588622550.0122632710.0125991011.02738513.4E-40.0573273340.117610080.11806011.00382645.1E-4
6.61.13136164E-42.3644442E-43.464184E-41.46511571.1E-44.847792E-40.00101294120.00117277911.15779591.6E-40.00588622550.0122632710.0125991011.02738513.4E-40.0573273340.117610080.11806011.00382645.1E-4
6.71.1149675E-42.3335687E-43.433312E-41.4712711.1E-44.777557E-49.997191E-40.00115955911.15988491.6E-40.00580117340.0121040880.0124399731.02774973.4E-40.056520510.11622910.1166798251.00387795.1E-4
6.81.1103589E-42.3237852E-43.4235296E-41.47325561.1E-44.7578133E-49.955293E-40.001155371.16055861.6E-40.0057772630.0120536430.0123895451.02786723.4E-40.0562935840.115788940.116239891.00389465.1E-4
6.91.1053259E-42.3130233E-43.412769E-41.4754581.1E-44.7362508E-49.909206E-40.00115076211.1613061.6E-40.00575114970.0119981520.0123340731.02799773.4E-40.056045690.115304450.115755641.0039135.1E-4
7.01.1005377E-42.3031076E-43.3028773E-41.4340961.0E-44.7157376E-49.866742E-40.00113652621.15187591.5E-40.00572630620.0119470210.0122730791.02729193.3E-40.0558097960.114856580.115299151.00385325.0E-4
7.11.0308142E-42.1540876E-43.153872E-41.46413361.0E-44.417027E-49.228548E-40.00106272571.15156321.4E-40.00536447760.0111781880.0114946111.02830723.2E-40.0523681380.108090420.108527461.00404324.9E-4
7.21.0027479E-42.094876E-42.9946875E-41.42952979.0E-54.296783E-48.9749607E-40.00102737941.14471751.3E-40.00521879220.0108725660.0111791961.02820223.1E-40.0509792120.105390860.105811331.00398964.7E-4
7.39.816942E-52.0423878E-42.942204E-41.44057079.0E-54.2065824E-48.7501644E-40.00100490261.14843871.3E-40.0051094930.0106015720.0108983921.02799773.0E-40.0499359850.102975460.1033880861.00400714.6E-4
7.49.5634205E-51.9793298E-42.8791517E-41.45460949.0E-54.0979648E-48.4800937E-49.778992E-41.15317021.3E-40.00497786370.0102759010.0105629211.02793132.9E-40.0486782530.1000678840.100463851.0039574.4E-4
7.58.052417E-51.6113915E-42.3112788E-41.43433717.0E-53.4505792E-46.9041376E-48.003378E-41.15921471.1E-40.00419299030.0083734710.0086213781.02960622.5E-40.041147530.0828152450.083182121.004434.0E-4
7.67.897024E-51.5767086E-42.2765982E-41.44389287.0E-53.384E-46.755574E-47.854831E-41.16271851.1E-40.00411223850.008193970.0084419211.03026022.5E-40.0403696970.081158660.08152621.00452864.0E-4
7.76.707427E-51.3277122E-41.8276459E-41.37653775.0E-52.8742946E-45.688955E-46.4885E-41.14054338.0E-50.0034938390.00690433850.0070731651.02445221.7E-40.0343941640.069053390.069323371.00390972.9E-4
7.86.147705E-51.2198445E-41.7197835E-41.40983835.0E-52.6344648E-45.226858E-46.02644E-41.15297578.0E-50.00320274360.0063451560.0065041411.02505611.6E-40.0315697640.06351720.063751321.0036862.5E-4
7.94.7636717E-58.8802946E-51.287994E-41.45039554.0E-52.0414138E-43.8052857E-44.2051336E-41.10507694.0E-50.00248258840.0046231010.0047325931.02368351.1E-40.0245503650.0466293660.0467723721.00306691.5E-4
8.03.3554235E-55.2138024E-58.213646E-51.57536583.0E-51.4379594E-42.2342955E-42.5342286E-41.13424053.0E-50.00174930970.0027168630.00277671.02202436.0E-50.0173560340.0278819050.0279596751.00278938.0E-5
8.11.9175432E-51.9183564E-52.9183373E-51.52126961.0E-58.217783E-58.221269E-59.221186E-51.12162581.0E-50.00100005580.00100048050.00101047041.00998521.0E-50.0099556730.0107577710.0107874481.00275863.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Cholame) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2302514E-42.5205986E-43.5203467E-41.39663111.0E-45.27144E-40.00107981090.00121965981.12951231.4E-40.00639910860.0130679580.0134133841.02643313.5E-40.062179490.124384120.1248306861.00359025.1E-4
6.11.2302514E-42.5205986E-43.5203467E-41.39663111.0E-45.27144E-40.00107981090.00121965981.12951231.4E-40.00639910860.0130679580.0134133841.02643313.5E-40.062179490.124384120.1248306861.00359025.1E-4
6.21.2203569E-42.502277E-43.5020267E-41.3995361.0E-45.2290526E-40.00107196530.00121181521.13046121.4E-40.0063478040.0129735780.0133091671.02586713.4E-40.0616951360.1235713140.124009531.00354625.0E-4
6.31.2142645E-42.4908737E-43.4906247E-41.40136551.0E-45.202953E-40.00106708230.00120693281.13105891.4E-40.0063162120.0129148340.0132504421.02598633.4E-40.061396770.123065320.123503791.00356295.0E-4
6.41.1865206E-42.4414246E-43.4411805E-41.40949691.0E-45.0840975E-40.00104590680.00118576041.13371521.4E-40.0061723350.0126600440.01299573951.02651623.4E-40.0600368680.120859040.121298611.00363715.0E-4
6.51.17443946E-42.4207575E-43.4205156E-41.41299381.0E-45.032341E-40.00103705660.00117691141.13485741.4E-40.0061096770.0125535360.0128892681.0267443.4E-40.0594440770.119930080.120370121.00366915.0E-4
6.61.13579066E-42.3516564E-43.3514213E-41.42513221.0E-44.866766E-40.0010074650.00114732391.13882271.4E-40.00590920170.0121973450.0125331971.0275353.4E-40.0575451850.11684920.117290771.0037795.0E-4
6.71.1271412E-42.336088E-43.3358543E-41.42796611.0E-44.829711E-40.0010007980.00114065781.13974831.4E-40.0058643310.0121170790.012452961.02771963.4E-40.0571196970.116152750.116594671.00380475.0E-4
6.81.1217975E-42.3249313E-43.3246988E-41.43002021.0E-44.8068175E-49.960202E-40.00113588071.14041941.4E-40.0058366080.0120595550.0123954551.02785343.4E-40.0568567250.115650610.1160927861.00382345.0E-4
6.91.1146753E-42.3098059E-43.309575E-41.43283681.0E-44.7763053E-49.895428E-40.00112940421.14133951.4E-40.00579965770.0119815640.0123076091.02721233.3E-40.0565061270.114970270.115403931.0037724.9E-4
7.01.0965793E-42.2721413E-43.271914E-41.44001351.0E-44.698779E-49.734129E-40.00111327661.14368391.4E-40.0057057680.0117873240.0121035521.02682783.2E-40.0556147360.113270110.1136868751.00367944.7E-4
7.19.927982E-52.0540332E-43.0538277E-41.4867471.0E-44.2541555E-48.8000396E-40.00101988081.15895021.4E-40.00516714060.0106617080.0109684031.0287663.1E-40.050486340.103365730.103769211.00390354.5E-4
7.29.696786E-52.0044584E-42.904278E-41.4489099.0E-54.1551032E-48.587718E-49.886601E-41.15124891.3E-40.005047110.0104057030.0107025821.02853043.0E-40.049340090.101102330.101497851.0039124.4E-4
7.39.4727984E-51.9473763E-42.847201E-41.46207039.0E-54.0591392E-48.343239E-49.6421543E-41.15568481.3E-40.00493080870.0101108510.0104078181.02937113.0E-40.0482282680.098474120.098870791.00402824.4E-4
7.49.220358E-51.8844259E-42.7842564E-41.4775099.0E-53.9509835E-48.07362E-49.372571E-41.16088821.3E-40.0047997170.0097855780.010072741.02934542.9E-40.0469736530.095558310.0959381761.00397534.2E-4
7.57.71631E-51.5179155E-42.2178092E-41.46108887.0E-53.306571E-46.5037323E-47.6030166E-41.16902361.1E-40.00401832070.0078896170.0081376441.03143722.5E-40.039464330.0782891960.078639451.00447383.8E-4
7.67.5634416E-51.4838556E-42.1837518E-41.4716747.0E-53.241072E-46.357833E-47.4571336E-41.1729051.1E-40.00393886720.0077132560.0079613271.03216172.5E-40.0386977940.0766548740.077005751.00457733.8E-4
7.76.3783E-51.2359623E-41.7359004E-41.40449315.0E-52.7332708E-45.2959064E-46.095483E-41.15098018.0E-50.00332267980.00642873070.00659763771.02627381.7E-40.0327343640.064544880.064797451.00391322.7E-4
7.85.863422E-51.14169685E-41.6416398E-41.43789465.0E-52.512653E-44.892069E-45.691678E-41.163458.0E-50.0030548640.00593984970.0060988991.02677671.6E-40.0301320940.059661620.05987791.0036252.3E-4
7.94.595283E-58.426815E-51.2426478E-41.47463524.0E-51.9692584E-43.6109926E-44.010848E-41.11073294.0E-50.00239493580.00438752770.0044970451.02496111.1E-40.0236928910.0443631370.0445064831.00323121.5E-4
8.03.2950178E-55.077396E-58.0772435E-51.5908243.0E-51.412074E-42.1758456E-42.4757802E-41.13784743.0E-50.00171784440.00264587530.00270571651.02261696.0E-50.0170462560.0271810720.0272588991.00286328.0E-5
8.11.9177472E-51.9183733E-52.9183542E-51.52126491.0E-58.218658E-58.221342E-59.221259E-51.12162471.0E-50.00100016220.00100048930.00101047931.00998511.0E-50.0099567280.0107578870.0107875631.00275863.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.652694E-53.4401106E-52.5439353E-47.3949232.2E-41.5653463E-41.4742499E-44.273837E-42.89899092.8E-40.00190414310.00179342330.002162761.20593933.7E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0189875941.02489944.7E-4
6.13.652694E-53.4401106E-52.5439353E-47.3949232.2E-41.5653463E-41.4742499E-44.273837E-42.89899092.8E-40.00190414310.00179342330.002162761.20593933.7E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0189875941.02489944.7E-4
6.23.652694E-53.4401106E-52.5439353E-47.3949232.2E-41.5653463E-41.4742499E-44.273837E-42.89899092.8E-40.00190414310.00179342330.002162761.20593933.7E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0189875941.02489944.7E-4
6.33.652694E-53.4401106E-52.5439353E-47.3949232.2E-41.5653463E-41.4742499E-44.273837E-42.89899092.8E-40.00190414310.00179342330.002162761.20593933.7E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0189875941.02489944.7E-4
6.43.646941E-53.432268E-52.5431512E-47.4095362.2E-41.5628811E-41.4708891E-44.2704772E-42.90333062.8E-40.00190114680.00178933890.00215867671.20641033.7E-40.0188496450.0184861810.0189474931.02495444.7E-4
6.53.646941E-53.432268E-52.5431512E-47.4095362.2E-41.5628811E-41.4708891E-44.2704772E-42.90333062.8E-40.00190114680.00178933890.00215867671.20641033.7E-40.0188496450.0184861810.0189474931.02495444.7E-4
6.63.6442503E-53.4286066E-52.5427854E-47.4163812.2E-41.561728E-41.4693203E-44.2689088E-42.9053632.8E-40.00189974550.0017874320.00215677061.2066313.7E-40.0188358690.018467450.0189287721.02498024.7E-4
6.73.6432113E-53.427164E-52.542641E-47.4190812.2E-41.5612828E-41.4687021E-44.268291E-42.90616512.8E-40.00189920440.00178668070.00215601971.2067183.7E-40.0188305490.0184600740.0189213981.02499034.7E-4
6.83.6409598E-53.4240697E-52.5423316E-47.4248832.2E-41.560318E-41.4673761E-44.2669653E-42.9078882.8E-40.00189803180.00178506890.00215440851.20690493.7E-40.0188190230.0184442290.018905561.02501234.7E-4
6.93.638078E-53.4201123E-52.5419358E-47.43231772.2E-41.5590832E-41.4656801E-44.2652697E-42.9100962.8E-40.00189653110.00178300750.00215234771.20714453.7E-40.0188042690.0184239630.0188853031.02504034.7E-4
7.03.6294874E-53.408314E-52.5407565E-47.45458462.2E-41.5554018E-41.4606243E-44.2602155E-42.91670852.8E-40.00189205690.00177686230.0021462051.20786233.7E-40.0187602840.0183635450.0188249141.02512424.7E-4
7.13.6260717E-53.403942E-52.5403194E-47.46287442.2E-41.5539382E-41.4587509E-44.2583424E-42.91917042.8E-40.0018902780.00177458510.00214392851.20812943.7E-40.0187427960.0183411390.0188025181.02515544.7E-4
7.23.6210204E-53.397364E-52.5396617E-47.47538852.2E-41.5517735E-41.455932E-44.2555245E-42.92288662.8E-40.0018876470.00177115880.00214050341.20853283.7E-40.018716930.0183074080.0187688041.02520264.7E-4
7.33.6119454E-53.386193E-52.5385446E-47.49675232.2E-41.5478847E-41.4511449E-44.2507384E-42.9292312.8E-40.00188292060.00176533980.00213468661.20922143.7E-40.0186704620.018249960.0187113831.02528354.7E-4
7.43.607848E-53.380943E-52.53802E-47.50684072.2E-41.5461289E-41.4488952E-44.2484896E-42.9322272.8E-40.00188078660.00176260520.00213195311.20954663.7E-40.0186494810.0182229560.0186843911.02532164.7E-4
7.53.5856774E-53.3619202E-52.536118E-47.54365872.2E-41.5366284E-41.4407437E-44.2403402E-42.94316082.8E-40.00186923960.00175269670.00212204831.21073333.7E-40.0185359440.0181240570.0185855381.02546244.7E-4
7.63.286655E-53.2142278E-52.521352E-47.8443482.2E-41.4084904E-41.3774536E-44.177068E-43.03245642.8E-40.0017134880.00167576170.00204514151.22042513.7E-40.0170033610.0173438040.0178056531.0266294.7E-4
7.72.8882527E-52.9235205E-52.4922876E-48.5249542.2E-41.237764E-41.2528773E-44.0525265E-43.23457572.8E-40.00150593570.00152431180.00189374781.24236253.7E-40.0149577130.0158303380.0162928981.02921994.7E-4
7.82.4950225E-52.6526219E-52.465204E-49.2934612.2E-41.0692515E-41.1367885E-43.9364703E-43.4627992.8E-40.00130103620.00138316210.00174266431.25991323.6E-40.0129344550.014411760.014865131.03145844.6E-4
7.91.9881603E-52.150649E-52.4150177E-411.229252.2E-48.520408E-59.216742E-53.6214254E-43.92918162.7E-40.0010368660.00112156150.00146118021.30280883.4E-40.0103204150.0117769980.0122019341.03608194.3E-4
8.01.563292E-51.5936288E-51.8593358E-411.6673081.7E-46.6996516E-56.829659E-52.8828156E-44.2210242.2E-48.153773E-48.3119445E-40.00111096181.33658462.8E-40.008123920.0088103310.009167161.04050113.6E-4
8.11.0045313E-58.300794E-65.830038E-57.023475.0E-54.305063E-53.557435E-51.0557186E-42.967647.0E-55.2401534E-44.3303217E-45.3298887E-41.23082971.0E-40.00522781440.00465876660.00479811481.02991091.4E-4
8.24.1554413E-61.5648296E-61.5648296E-61.00.01.7808914E-56.7063957E-66.7063957E-61.00.02.1680194E-48.164734E-58.164734E-51.00.00.00216590549.479703E-49.479703E-41.00.0
8.31.2758221E-63.612677E-73.612677E-71.00.05.4677976E-61.5482892E-61.5482892E-61.00.06.65684E-51.8850264E-51.8850264E-51.00.06.6548464E-42.2739546E-42.2739546E-41.00.0

Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6204086E-42.937271E-43.8370065E-41.30631699.0E-56.94276E-40.00125837780.00145812611.15873482.0E-40.0084200970.01523461750.0154709621.01551352.4E-40.0810811450.139624540.13996871.00246484.0E-4
6.11.6204086E-42.937271E-43.8370065E-41.30631699.0E-56.94276E-40.00125837780.00145812611.15873482.0E-40.0084200970.01523461750.0154709621.01551352.4E-40.0810811450.139624540.13996871.00246484.0E-4
6.21.6204086E-42.937271E-43.8370065E-41.30631699.0E-56.94276E-40.00125837780.00145812611.15873482.0E-40.0084200970.01523461750.0154709621.01551352.4E-40.0810811450.139624540.13996871.00246484.0E-4
6.31.0111737E-41.7703463E-42.37024E-41.33885686.0E-54.332882E-47.5861585E-49.085021E-41.19757851.5E-40.0052625310.00921772050.00937624651.01719781.6E-40.05139640.087073930.0873204251.00283092.7E-4
6.41.0111737E-41.7703463E-42.37024E-41.33885686.0E-54.332882E-47.5861585E-49.085021E-41.19757851.5E-40.0052625310.00921772050.00937624651.01719781.6E-40.05139640.087073930.0873204251.00283092.7E-4
6.53.6624708E-54.6391986E-57.639059E-51.64663343.0E-51.569536E-41.9880968E-42.3880172E-41.20115754.0E-50.0019092350.00241818140.00245808461.01650134.0E-50.018929150.0236970610.0237654021.00288397.0E-5
6.62.5051324E-52.6147465E-55.614668E-52.14730883.0E-51.073584E-41.12056E-41.4205264E-41.26769333.0E-50.00130630470.00136347250.00139343161.02197273.0E-50.0129865250.0135657590.01360521651.00290864.0E-5
6.72.2189772E-52.2072489E-55.2071828E-52.3591283.0E-59.509556E-59.459316E-51.2459033E-41.31711773.0E-50.00115717340.00115109960.00118106511.02603213.0E-50.0115116630.01146632250.0115058651.00344854.0E-5
6.81.6654378E-51.44376E-52.4437455E-51.69262591.0E-57.137396E-56.187399E-57.187337E-51.16160881.0E-58.686314E-47.5306057E-47.630531E-41.01326921.0E-50.0086524390.00751007630.0075299261.00264312.0E-5
6.91.5042909E-51.2331886E-51.2331886E-51.00.06.446802E-55.2849886E-55.2849886E-51.00.07.8461546E-46.4326054E-46.4326054E-41.00.00.0078185090.0064179250.0064278611.00154821.0E-5
7.01.4361385E-51.1451172E-51.1451172E-51.00.06.154734E-54.9075545E-54.9075545E-51.00.07.490812E-45.973339E-45.973339E-41.00.00.0074656120.0059609820.00597092231.00166761.0E-5
7.11.3265571E-51.0244736E-51.0244736E-51.00.05.6851208E-54.3905282E-54.3905282E-51.00.06.919436E-45.344183E-45.344183E-41.00.00.0068979310.00533460030.0053445471.00186461.0E-5
7.21.1596403E-58.504847E-68.504847E-61.00.04.9697923E-53.6448844E-53.6448844E-51.00.06.049042E-44.4367602E-44.4367602E-41.00.00.0060326030.0044293570.00443931251.00224771.0E-5
7.31.0150827E-57.238537E-67.238537E-61.00.04.3502816E-53.102194E-53.102194E-51.00.05.2951806E-43.776281E-43.776281E-41.00.00.0052825810.0037702710.00378023341.00264231.0E-5
7.49.080705E-66.352307E-66.352307E-61.00.03.8916725E-52.7223898E-52.7223898E-51.00.04.7370812E-43.314019E-43.314019E-41.00.00.0047269960.00330922570.00330922571.00.0
7.57.671649E-65.225419E-65.225419E-61.00.03.287808E-52.2394468E-52.2394468E-51.00.04.0021708E-42.7261977E-42.7261977E-41.00.00.00399497060.00272297840.00272297841.00.0
7.66.990086E-64.687336E-64.687336E-61.00.02.9957167E-52.0088435E-52.0088435E-51.00.03.6466747E-42.445504E-42.445504E-41.00.00.00364069640.00244292920.00244292921.00.0
7.74.163505E-62.329331E-62.329331E-61.00.01.7843471E-59.982813E-69.982813E-61.00.02.172226E-41.2153471E-41.2153471E-41.00.00.00217010380.00121475550.00121475551.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.384417E-89.384417E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0218927E-74.0218927E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8966467E-64.8966467E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8965718E-54.8965718E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4397174E-93.4397174E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4741646E-81.4741646E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.7947953E-71.7947953E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.794794E-61.794794E-61.00.0

Calico-Hidalgo

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0906612E-55.0704355E-51.6069878E-43.1693291.1E-41.7530227E-42.1728857E-43.8725164E-41.78219971.7E-40.00213221580.0026426780.00289201741.0943512.5E-40.021118730.0261528140.0265813081.01638424.4E-4
6.14.0906612E-55.0704355E-51.6069878E-43.1693291.1E-41.7530227E-42.1728857E-43.8725164E-41.78219971.7E-40.00213221580.0026426780.00289201741.0943512.5E-40.021118730.0261528140.0265813081.01638424.4E-4
6.24.0906612E-55.0704355E-51.6069878E-43.1693291.1E-41.7530227E-42.1728857E-43.8725164E-41.78219971.7E-40.00213221580.0026426780.00289201741.0943512.5E-40.021118730.0261528140.0265813081.01638424.4E-4
6.32.4242801E-53.0090967E-51.0008886E-43.32620957.0E-51.0389358E-41.289551E-42.489396E-41.93043641.2E-40.00126417040.00156893120.00173866451.1081841.7E-40.012570030.0155822290.0158480221.01705742.7E-4
6.42.4242801E-53.0090967E-51.0008886E-43.32620957.0E-51.0389358E-41.289551E-42.489396E-41.93043641.2E-40.00126417040.00156893120.00173866451.1081841.7E-40.012570030.0155822290.0158480221.01705742.7E-4
6.52.0286952E-52.5316054E-57.531479E-52.97498135.0E-58.694118E-51.0849296E-41.8848428E-41.7372958.0E-50.00105799490.00132011860.00143996011.0907811.2E-40.0105297190.0131247010.0133220761.01503852.0E-4
6.62.0269223E-52.5297004E-57.529574E-52.97646865.0E-58.6865206E-51.08411325E-41.8840264E-41.73785038.0E-50.00105707070.00131912580.00143896741.09084931.2E-40.0105205650.013114890.0133122671.01504982.0E-4
6.71.799852E-52.2540933E-56.2540035E-52.77450944.0E-57.713423E-59.660051E-51.6659375E-41.72456387.0E-59.3870464E-40.00117549110.00127537361.08497081.0E-40.0093474930.0116943460.011872241.0152121.8E-4
6.81.7458793E-52.184258E-56.18417E-52.83124544.0E-57.4821255E-59.360778E-51.6360123E-41.74773117.0E-59.10568E-40.00113909330.00123897941.08768921.0E-40.0090684590.0113341310.011512091.01570131.8E-4
6.91.542884E-51.9026285E-55.9025526E-53.10231474.0E-56.612192E-58.153875E-51.5153304E-41.85841757.0E-58.04737E-49.922953E-40.00109219611.10067641.0E-40.0080182910.0098800430.0100483631.01703641.7E-4
7.01.468253E-51.803109E-55.803037E-53.21835044.0E-56.292361E-57.727389E-51.4726848E-41.90579877.0E-57.658257E-49.4041653E-40.00104032251.10623591.0E-40.00763191840.0093657360.0095341441.01798131.7E-4
7.11.3139281E-51.620139E-55.620074E-53.4688844.0E-55.6309986E-56.943275E-51.1942928E-41.72007135.0E-56.853584E-48.4502844E-49.249608E-41.09459148.0E-50.00683248560.0084194490.0085483551.01531041.3E-4
7.21.1127404E-51.3867038E-54.386662E-53.16337353.0E-54.7688E-55.9428872E-59.94265E-51.67303354.0E-55.8044674E-47.233172E-47.932666E-41.09670647.0E-50.00578932980.0072107370.0073100161.01376821.0E-4
7.39.808154E-61.2176586E-53.2176344E-52.64247662.0E-54.2034266E-55.2184383E-58.218282E-51.57485463.0E-55.11647E-46.351704E-46.9513224E-41.09440286.0E-50.00510470570.0063346250.00642405541.01411769.0E-5
7.47.942452E-69.792348E-61.979225E-52.02119571.0E-53.4038632E-54.1966585E-56.1965744E-51.47654962.0E-54.1434157E-45.108328E-45.608073E-41.09782935.0E-50.00413569850.0050975270.00515722161.01171046.0E-5
7.54.7121216E-65.7729717E-61.5772914E-52.73220011.0E-52.019465E-52.4741115E-54.474062E-51.8083512.0E-52.4584212E-43.011891E-43.4117704E-41.1327674.0E-50.00245570320.00300856140.00305841121.01656935.0E-5
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-71.0260399E-539.4021571.0E-59.478797E-71.1160082E-62.1115986E-518.9209962.0E-51.1540374E-51.3587343E-55.35868E-53.94387634.0E-51.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.758625E-41.29436354.0E-5

San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0667746E-53.5271103E-52.4526368E-46.95367242.1E-41.742787E-41.5115313E-44.2111232E-42.7859982.7E-40.00211977820.00183873720.00218809371.1899983.5E-40.0209967140.0189864950.019418141.02273444.4E-4
6.14.0667746E-53.5271103E-52.4526368E-46.95367242.1E-41.742787E-41.5115313E-44.2111232E-42.7859982.7E-40.00211977820.00183873720.00218809371.1899983.5E-40.0209967140.0189864950.019418141.02273444.4E-4
6.24.0667746E-53.5271103E-52.4526368E-46.95367242.1E-41.742787E-41.5115313E-44.2111232E-42.7859982.7E-40.00211977820.00183873720.00218809371.1899983.5E-40.0209967140.0189864950.019418141.02273444.4E-4
6.34.0667746E-53.5271103E-52.4526368E-46.95367242.1E-41.742787E-41.5115313E-44.2111232E-42.7859982.7E-40.00211977820.00183873720.00218809371.1899983.5E-40.0209967140.0189864950.019418141.02273444.4E-4
6.44.0577226E-53.5143014E-52.4513563E-46.9753732.1E-41.738908E-41.5060425E-44.205636E-42.79250812.7E-40.00211506480.00183206690.00218142571.1906913.5E-40.0209504720.0189210620.0193527381.02281454.4E-4
6.54.0577226E-53.5143014E-52.4513563E-46.9753732.1E-41.738908E-41.5060425E-44.205636E-42.79250812.7E-40.00211506480.00183206690.00218142571.1906913.5E-40.0209504720.0189210620.0193527381.02281454.4E-4
6.64.053861E-53.5088357E-52.45081E-46.9846812.1E-41.7372532E-41.5037002E-44.2032942E-42.79530072.7E-40.00211305380.00182922060.00217858031.19098833.5E-40.0209307430.018893140.0193248281.02284884.4E-4
6.74.0516545E-53.505743E-52.4505006E-46.98996072.1E-41.7363077E-41.502375E-44.2019694E-42.79688452.7E-40.0021119050.00182761010.00217697051.1911573.5E-40.0209194680.0188773370.019309031.02286844.4E-4
6.84.049434E-53.5028992E-52.4502163E-46.9948242.1E-41.7353562E-41.5011564E-44.200751E-42.79834342.7E-40.00211074880.00182612890.00217548971.19131233.5E-40.0209081250.0188627490.0192944481.02288644.4E-4
6.94.046386E-53.4991554E-52.449842E-47.00123832.1E-41.73405E-41.499552E-44.1991472E-42.80026772.7E-40.00210916160.00182417880.00217354041.19151713.5E-40.0208925530.0188435220.0192752311.02291024.4E-4
7.04.036382E-53.4872126E-52.4486482E-47.0217922.1E-41.7297632E-41.4944343E-44.1940308E-42.8064342.7E-40.00210395250.00181795840.00216732221.19217363.5E-40.020841440.0187821370.0192138721.02298654.4E-4
7.14.0343282E-53.485059E-52.4484328E-47.0255132.1E-41.7288832E-41.4935112E-44.1931082E-42.80755022.7E-40.0021028830.00181683680.0021662011.19229263.5E-40.0208309480.0187710080.0192027481.02300044.4E-4
7.24.0257353E-53.475509E-52.447478E-47.0420712.1E-41.725201E-41.489419E-44.1890168E-42.81251742.7E-40.00209840850.00181186260.00216122831.19282143.5E-40.0207870420.0187217460.019153511.02306214.4E-4
7.33.9940667E-53.458276E-52.445755E-47.072182.1E-41.7116306E-41.4820343E-44.181634E-42.82155012.7E-40.00208191850.00180288660.00215225571.19378323.5E-40.0206252170.0186303870.019062191.02317744.4E-4
7.43.9721202E-53.4468165E-52.4446094E-47.0923682.1E-41.7022261E-41.4771236E-44.1767248E-42.82760672.7E-40.00207049030.00179691790.0021462891.1944283.5E-40.0205130520.0185695220.019001351.02325484.4E-4
7.53.7036873E-53.3535776E-52.4352873E-47.26175982.1E-41.5871979E-41.4371685E-44.1367803E-42.87842422.7E-40.00193070060.00174835130.00209773941.19983863.5E-40.0191401240.0180711280.0185031781.02390834.4E-4
7.63.2940967E-53.13167E-52.4131013E-47.7054772.1E-41.4116794E-41.3420754E-44.041713E-43.01153952.7E-40.00171736450.00163275450.0019821831.21401173.5E-40.017041530.0169040910.0173366541.02558924.4E-4
7.72.8236149E-52.7882697E-52.3787684E-48.53134252.1E-41.2100645E-41.1949181E-43.8945954E-43.25929932.7E-40.00147225790.00145384290.00180333411.24039133.5E-40.0146254210.0151149120.0155482611.02867034.4E-4
7.82.4329287E-52.5206451E-52.3520115E-49.3309912.1E-41.042642E-41.08023174E-43.77994E-43.49919372.7E-40.00126867740.00131438950.00165394261.25833523.4E-40.0126145890.0137123410.0141364441.03092864.3E-4
7.91.9370926E-52.0420413E-52.3041613E-411.2836172.1E-48.301561E-58.751312E-53.4749036E-43.9707232.6E-40.00101024650.00106495220.00138461151.30016293.2E-40.01005666050.0111994020.0115949211.03531624.0E-4
8.01.5583017E-51.5885415E-51.8588272E-411.701471.7E-46.6782646E-56.807858E-52.880636E-44.231342.2E-48.127754E-48.2854216E-40.00110831021.33766292.8E-40.0080980910.0087816360.0091384751.04063463.6E-4
8.11.0024873E-58.291399E-65.8290985E-57.0302955.0E-54.2963035E-53.553409E-51.055316E-42.96986947.0E-55.229494E-44.3254215E-45.324989E-41.23109141.0E-40.00521720430.00465306550.0047924141.02994761.4E-4
8.24.142796E-61.5602761E-61.5602761E-61.00.01.775472E-56.6868806E-66.6868806E-61.00.02.1614227E-48.140976E-58.140976E-51.00.00.00215932179.4514614E-49.4514614E-41.00.0
8.31.2750878E-63.609817E-73.609817E-71.00.05.4646503E-61.5470634E-61.5470634E-61.00.06.653009E-51.8835339E-51.8835339E-51.00.06.6510175E-42.272251E-42.272251E-41.00.0

San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.8349724E-47.80806351.6E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-43.606885E-43.58129052.6E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00158507341.29339413.6E-40.00699927660.0122287440.01266336351.03554084.4E-4
6.11.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.8349724E-47.80806351.6E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-43.606885E-43.58129052.6E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00158507341.29339413.6E-40.00699927660.0122287440.01266336351.03554084.4E-4
6.21.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.8349724E-47.80806351.6E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-43.606885E-43.58129052.6E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00158507341.29339413.6E-40.00699927660.0122287440.01266336351.03554084.4E-4
6.31.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.8349724E-47.80806351.6E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-43.606885E-43.58129052.6E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00158507341.29339413.6E-40.00699927660.0122287440.01266336351.03554084.4E-4
6.41.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.8349724E-47.80806351.6E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-43.606885E-43.58129052.6E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00158507341.29339413.6E-40.00699927660.0122287440.01266336351.03554084.4E-4
6.51.3450706E-52.348995E-51.8348619E-47.8112631.6E-45.764461E-51.00667356E-43.606412E-43.58250382.6E-47.0159714E-40.00122493920.00158449831.29353213.6E-40.0069938620.0122230540.0126576761.03555754.4E-4
6.61.3074523E-52.3104236E-51.8310054E-47.92497731.6E-45.6032466E-59.901441E-53.5898868E-43.62562042.6E-46.8198174E-40.0012048370.00156440331.29843563.6E-40.0067989260.0120242190.0124490481.03533114.3E-4
6.71.3050216E-52.3079532E-51.8307584E-47.93238931.6E-45.59283E-59.890855E-53.5888283E-43.62843082.6E-46.8071426E-40.00120354960.00156311631.29875523.6E-40.00678632870.0120114840.0124363191.0353694.3E-4
6.81.29049395E-52.2927941E-51.8292427E-47.9782251.6E-45.530571E-59.825892E-53.5823337E-43.64581012.6E-46.73139E-40.0011956490.00155521861.30073173.6E-40.00671103640.0119333290.0123581971.03560354.3E-4
6.91.2867369E-52.2887343E-51.8288368E-47.99060341.6E-45.51447E-59.808494E-53.5805945E-43.65050362.6E-46.711799E-40.00119353320.00155310361.30126553.6E-40.0066915640.0119123970.0123372751.03566684.3E-4
7.01.2495996E-52.2287419E-51.8228385E-48.1787781.6E-45.3553173E-59.551403E-53.554892E-43.72185332.6E-46.518148E-40.00116226580.00152184741.30937983.6E-40.00649906230.0116030.0120280111.03662944.3E-4
7.11.2452067E-52.2232492E-51.8222893E-48.1965141.6E-45.3364907E-59.527864E-53.5525387E-43.7285782.6E-46.4952404E-40.0011594030.00151898561.31014473.6E-40.00647628870.0115746710.0119996941.036724.3E-4
7.21.2002777E-52.1611015E-51.8160755E-48.4034721.6E-45.143946E-59.261536E-53.5259128E-43.80704982.6E-46.2609545E-40.00112701140.00148660561.31906893.6E-40.0062433440.0112540580.0116792181.03777854.3E-4
7.31.1923425E-52.1480853E-51.8147742E-48.4483341.6E-45.109939E-59.205757E-53.5203365E-43.82405972.6E-46.219575E-40.00112022730.0014798241.32100333.6E-40.00620219620.0111869450.0116121351.03800764.3E-4
7.41.16105175E-52.0854808E-51.8085146E-48.6719321.6E-44.975841E-58.93747E-53.4935147E-43.90884072.6E-46.0564023E-40.00108759630.00143721571.32146063.5E-40.0060399230.0108644090.0112798471.03823834.2E-4
7.51.1037265E-51.9554842E-51.7955172E-49.1819561.6E-44.7301706E-58.380379E-53.43782E-44.10222532.6E-45.757461E-40.00101983570.00136947881.34284263.5E-40.0057425670.0101955270.0106112451.04077464.2E-4
7.61.0720915E-51.8996727E-51.789937E-49.4223431.6E-44.5945973E-58.141202E-53.4139084E-44.1933722.6E-45.592486E-49.907428E-40.0013403961.35292033.5E-40.0055784330.0099072380.0103230771.04197324.2E-4
7.79.276279E-61.6442464E-51.7643983E-410.73074151.6E-43.9754876E-57.046581E-53.3044748E-44.68947272.6E-44.839081E-48.5758517E-40.0012072851.40777273.5E-40.00482855740.0085865760.009002971.04849354.2E-4
7.85.8346777E-61.11555855E-51.6115392E-414.446031.5E-42.5005522E-54.7808775E-52.9779683E-46.22891572.5E-43.043997E-45.819165E-49.2171866E-41.58393623.4E-40.00303983080.00584733350.00625493561.06970744.1E-4
7.94.690204E-68.509473E-61.5850819E-418.6272621.5E-42.0100719E-53.6468664E-52.8645954E-47.85495042.5E-42.4469878E-44.439156E-47.837647E-41.76557143.4E-40.0024442950.0044711650.00487933171.09128874.1E-4
8.02.9570454E-64.8470656E-65.4846823E-511.315475.0E-51.267299E-52.0772974E-51.1077111E-45.3324639.0E-51.5428272E-42.5288164E-43.9284624E-41.55347871.4E-40.00154175660.0025499320.00270952421.06258681.6E-4
8.11.6376824E-62.1968672E-62.1968672E-61.00.07.01862E-69.415111E-62.9414923E-53.12422472.0E-58.544835E-51.1462297E-41.3462067E-41.17446512.0E-58.54155E-40.00116074450.00118072121.01721042.0E-5
8.26.9631557E-74.535001E-74.535001E-71.00.02.984206E-61.9435704E-61.9435704E-61.00.03.63321E-52.3662713E-52.3662713E-51.00.03.6326164E-42.4510184E-42.4510184E-41.00.0
8.31.7876137E-78.357368E-88.357368E-81.00.07.661199E-73.5817288E-73.5817288E-71.00.09.32747E-64.3607465E-64.3607465E-61.00.09.3270784E-54.5800018E-54.5800018E-51.00.0

Cady

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9892565E-52.1858728E-51.1185676E-45.1172589.0E-58.525106E-59.3677416E-52.3366431E-42.49435041.4E-40.00103743740.00114001670.00135976591.19275962.2E-40.0103260750.0113507010.0117560471.03571124.1E-4
6.11.9892565E-52.1858728E-51.1185676E-45.1172589.0E-58.525106E-59.3677416E-52.3366431E-42.49435041.4E-40.00103743740.00114001670.00135976591.19275962.2E-40.0103260750.0113507010.0117560471.03571124.1E-4
6.21.9892565E-52.1858728E-51.1185676E-45.1172589.0E-58.525106E-59.3677416E-52.3366431E-42.49435041.4E-40.00103743740.00114001670.00135976591.19275962.2E-40.0103260750.0113507010.0117560471.03571124.1E-4
6.31.1117327E-51.2176583E-55.2176096E-54.28495364.0E-54.764482E-55.2184492E-51.421798E-42.72456039.0E-55.7992124E-46.351925E-47.751036E-41.22026561.4E-40.00578410220.00633687530.00657535441.03763352.4E-4
6.41.1117327E-51.2176583E-55.2176096E-54.28495364.0E-54.764482E-55.2184492E-51.421798E-42.72456039.0E-55.7992124E-46.351925E-47.751036E-41.22026561.4E-40.00578410220.00633687530.00657535441.03763352.4E-4
6.56.103093E-66.672021E-61.6671955E-52.49878621.0E-52.615585E-52.8594131E-56.8592984E-52.39884854.0E-53.1840094E-43.480905E-43.9807308E-41.14359085.0E-50.00317945120.00347668650.00358630411.03152931.1E-4
6.65.817237E-66.3656585E-61.6365595E-52.57091931.0E-52.4930776E-52.728118E-56.728009E-52.46617224.0E-53.034899E-43.3211018E-43.8209357E-41.15050245.0E-50.00303075770.00331736050.00342699561.03304891.1E-4
6.74.8846314E-65.3405684E-61.5340514E-52.87244991.0E-52.0933967E-52.2888014E-55.2887328E-52.31069973.0E-52.5484123E-42.7863772E-43.0862936E-41.10763673.0E-50.00254549180.00278403910.00286381651.02865528.0E-5
6.81.7788773E-61.9399079E-61.9399079E-61.00.07.6237375E-68.313874E-68.313874E-61.00.09.281505E-51.01218284E-41.01218284E-41.00.09.2776294E-40.00101187650.00103185631.01974522.0E-5
6.97.5455404E-78.297092E-78.297092E-71.00.03.233799E-63.5558937E-63.5558937E-61.00.03.937079E-54.3292483E-54.3292483E-51.00.03.9363815E-44.3287344E-44.5286477E-41.04618292.0E-5
7.06.8578805E-77.541816E-77.541816E-71.00.02.9390883E-63.2322048E-63.2322048E-61.00.03.578281E-53.9351715E-53.9351715E-51.00.03.577705E-43.9347992E-44.1347204E-41.05080852.0E-5

Lake Isabella (Seismicity)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.431637E-69.741651E-61.4974028E-415.371141.4E-44.0420677E-54.1749343E-52.5174057E-46.02980952.1E-44.920106E-45.0819275E-48.4801996E-41.66869753.4E-40.0049092270.0050715990.00546957041.07847064.0E-4
6.19.431637E-69.741651E-61.4974028E-415.371141.4E-44.0420677E-54.1749343E-52.5174057E-46.02980952.1E-44.920106E-45.0819275E-48.4801996E-41.66869753.4E-40.0049092270.0050715990.00546957041.07847064.0E-4
6.29.431637E-69.741651E-61.4974028E-415.371141.4E-44.0420677E-54.1749343E-52.5174057E-46.02980952.1E-44.920106E-45.0819275E-48.4801996E-41.66869753.4E-40.0049092270.0050715990.00546957041.07847064.0E-4
6.39.431637E-69.741651E-61.4974028E-415.371141.4E-44.0420677E-54.1749343E-52.5174057E-46.02980952.1E-44.920106E-45.0819275E-48.4801996E-41.66869753.4E-40.0049092270.0050715990.00546957041.07847064.0E-4
6.45.144063E-65.3000763E-65.529981E-510.4337775.0E-52.2045799E-52.2714434E-59.271284E-54.08167087.0E-52.6837454E-42.765166E-44.1647788E-41.50615871.4E-40.00268050660.00276206570.00292162391.05776761.6E-4
6.55.144063E-65.3000763E-65.529981E-510.4337775.0E-52.2045799E-52.2714434E-59.271284E-54.08167087.0E-52.6837454E-42.765166E-44.1647788E-41.50615871.4E-40.00268050660.00276206570.00292162391.05776761.6E-4
6.63.4009804E-63.498786E-61.3498751E-53.8581241.0E-51.4575549E-51.4994721E-53.499442E-52.33378272.0E-51.7744285E-41.8254704E-42.2253973E-41.21908164.0E-50.00177301230.00182412860.00187403731.02736035.0E-5
6.73.3880428E-63.4856528E-61.3485618E-53.86889311.0E-51.4520103E-51.4938435E-53.4938137E-52.33880832.0E-51.767679E-41.8186188E-42.218546E-41.21990724.0E-50.00176627360.00181728820.00186719731.02746365.0E-5
6.82.6582E-62.7337003E-61.27336725E-54.65803581.0E-51.1392236E-51.1715813E-53.171558E-52.70707442.0E-51.3869164E-41.4263204E-41.7262776E-41.21030143.0E-50.00138605120.00142553690.001465481.02801954.0E-5
6.92.406011E-62.4743288E-61.2474304E-55.041491.0E-51.0311434E-51.0604231E-53.060402E-52.88601972.0E-51.2553448E-41.2910018E-41.5909631E-41.23234773.0E-50.00125463590.00129038140.00133032981.03095854.0E-5
7.01.6953097E-61.7429371E-61.174292E-56.73743151.0E-57.265593E-67.469715E-62.7469567E-53.67745832.0E-58.8455E-59.094104E-51.20938304E-41.32985413.0E-58.84198E-49.09141E-49.491046E-41.04395764.0E-5
7.13.5013824E-73.5714822E-73.5714822E-71.00.01.5005916E-61.5306344E-61.1530619E-57.5332291.0E-51.826955E-51.8635317E-52.8635131E-51.53660551.0E-51.8268047E-41.863378E-41.9633592E-41.0536561.0E-5
7.22.2321095E-72.2750574E-72.2750574E-71.00.09.56618E-79.750242E-71.0975014E-511.25614551.0E-51.1646762E-51.1870856E-52.1870737E-51.84238921.0E-51.1646151E-41.1870232E-41.2870114E-41.08423441.0E-5
7.31.5760406E-71.6060922E-71.6060922E-71.00.06.7544585E-76.8832503E-71.0688318E-515.5280091.0E-58.223522E-68.380326E-61.8380242E-52.1932611.0E-58.2232174E-58.3800165E-59.3799325E-51.11932151.0E-5
7.41.1216497E-71.1431706E-71.1431706E-71.00.04.8070694E-74.899302E-71.0489925E-521.4110621.0E-55.852591E-65.964884E-61.5964824E-52.67646861.0E-55.8524372E-55.9647282E-56.964669E-51.16764221.0E-5
7.54.885185E-84.9787737E-84.9787737E-81.00.02.0936506E-72.13376E-72.13376E-71.00.02.5490165E-62.59785E-62.59785E-61.00.02.5489873E-52.5978214E-52.5978214E-51.00.0
7.61.504641E-91.5317903E-91.5317903E-91.00.06.4484613E-96.5648154E-96.5648154E-91.00.07.851001E-87.992663E-87.992663E-81.00.07.8509987E-77.992663E-77.992663E-71.00.0

Manix-Afton Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3783202E-51.47110895E-51.3470932E-49.1569911.2E-45.906953E-56.30461E-52.3303539E-43.69626951.7E-47.189342E-47.6733343E-49.97157E-41.29950932.3E-40.00716612770.0076485960.0080256891.04930233.8E-4
6.11.3783202E-51.47110895E-51.3470932E-49.1569911.2E-45.906953E-56.30461E-52.3303539E-43.69626951.7E-47.189342E-47.6733343E-49.97157E-41.29950932.3E-40.00716612770.0076485960.0080256891.04930233.8E-4
6.21.3783202E-51.47110895E-51.3470932E-49.1569911.2E-45.906953E-56.30461E-52.3303539E-43.69626951.7E-47.189342E-47.6733343E-49.97157E-41.29950932.3E-40.00716612770.0076485960.0080256891.04930233.8E-4
6.31.10494875E-51.1793136E-59.179219E-57.78352748.0E-54.7354086E-55.054109E-51.6053554E-43.1763371.1E-45.763835E-46.151744E-47.75076E-41.25992881.6E-40.0057489080.00613575570.00642397631.0469742.9E-4
6.41.10494875E-51.1793136E-59.179219E-57.78352748.0E-54.7354086E-55.054109E-51.6053554E-43.1763371.1E-45.763835E-46.151744E-47.75076E-41.25992881.6E-40.0057489080.00613575570.00642397631.0469742.9E-4
6.59.788949E-61.045432E-58.045359E-57.6957277.0E-54.1951964E-54.480351E-51.4479904E-43.2318681.0E-45.1064545E-45.453555E-46.8527914E-41.25657331.4E-40.00509473630.00544109850.00568973831.04569662.5E-4
6.68.810006E-69.4136285E-67.941297E-58.4359587.0E-53.775662E-54.0343548E-51.4033951E-43.47861121.0E-44.5958988E-44.9108086E-46.3101214E-41.28494551.4E-40.00458640560.0049008390.0051496141.05076172.5E-4
6.78.80128E-69.404108E-67.940345E-58.4434857.0E-53.7719226E-54.0302748E-51.4029871E-43.48112031.0E-44.591348E-44.9058435E-46.305157E-41.2852341.4E-40.0045818740.00489589570.0051446721.05081322.5E-4
6.86.8994877E-67.380076E-65.7379708E-57.7749485.0E-52.9568899E-53.162856E-51.1162603E-43.52927958.0E-53.5994186E-43.8501783E-45.0497166E-41.31155381.2E-40.0035935940.00384431290.00407342851.05959872.3E-4
6.94.9328037E-65.2709615E-64.527075E-58.5887084.0E-52.1140417E-52.2589675E-56.258877E-52.77068074.0E-52.5735417E-42.7500073E-43.4498147E-41.25447487.0E-50.00257056350.00274720950.00287685241.04719081.3E-4
7.03.347973E-63.59003E-61.35899945E-53.78548221.0E-51.4348378E-51.5385775E-52.5385621E-51.6499411.0E-51.746775E-41.8730981E-42.173042E-41.16013243.0E-50.00174540250.00187192190.00194179091.03732477.0E-5
7.11.2073567E-61.293482E-61.293482E-61.00.05.1743755E-65.543492E-65.543492E-61.00.06.29962E-56.749156E-56.749156E-51.00.06.297835E-46.7487074E-46.9485727E-41.02961532.0E-5

White Mountains

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.503579E-53.3784127E-51.9377872E-45.7357921.6E-41.5014476E-41.4478175E-43.247557E-42.24307061.8E-40.00182647960.00176141340.00205090271.16435052.9E-40.0181154030.0174868570.0178503861.02078883.7E-4
6.13.503579E-53.3784127E-51.9377872E-45.7357921.6E-41.5014476E-41.4478175E-43.247557E-42.24307061.8E-40.00182647960.00176141340.00205090271.16435052.9E-40.0181154030.0174868570.0178503861.02078883.7E-4
6.23.503579E-53.3784127E-51.9377872E-45.7357921.6E-41.5014476E-41.4478175E-43.247557E-42.24307061.8E-40.00182647960.00176141340.00205090271.16435052.9E-40.0181154030.0174868570.0178503861.02078883.7E-4
6.31.7818425E-51.591616E-56.591537E-54.14141135.0E-57.636245E-56.821041E-51.2820632E-41.87957126.0E-59.293162E-48.301596E-49.5005997E-41.14443051.2E-40.0092543950.00827204250.0084406361.02038111.7E-4
6.41.7818425E-51.591616E-56.591537E-54.14141135.0E-57.636245E-56.821041E-51.2820632E-41.87957126.0E-59.293162E-48.301596E-49.5005997E-41.14443051.2E-40.0092543950.00827204250.0084406361.02038111.7E-4
6.51.3397557E-51.1336374E-52.133626E-51.88210631.0E-55.741684E-54.8583595E-55.8583108E-51.20582081.0E-56.988258E-45.913517E-46.413221E-41.08450215.0E-50.0069663230.0058984870.00598795571.01516829.0E-5
6.61.0818695E-58.625434E-61.8625347E-52.15935181.0E-54.6365014E-53.6965648E-54.6965277E-51.27051141.0E-55.6434784E-44.4996818E-44.7995467E-41.06664133.0E-50.0056291680.00449100740.0045407831.01108345.0E-5
6.79.067908E-66.802476E-61.6802407E-52.4700431.0E-53.8861883E-52.915316E-53.915287E-51.3430061.0E-54.7304068E-43.548851E-43.8487447E-41.08450443.0E-50.004720350.0035435010.00359332381.01406045.0E-5
6.87.295947E-64.9364285E-64.9364285E-61.00.03.126797E-52.1155956E-52.1155956E-51.00.03.8062103E-42.5754445E-42.6754188E-41.03881821.0E-50.00379969760.00257257280.00260249551.01163153.0E-5
6.96.2243444E-63.8322546E-63.8322546E-61.00.02.6675489E-51.6423846E-51.6423846E-51.00.03.2472567E-41.9994251E-42.0994052E-41.05000441.0E-50.00324251570.0019976790.00202761921.01498753.0E-5
7.04.9878413E-62.679564E-62.679564E-61.00.02.1376287E-51.1483797E-51.1483797E-51.00.02.602252E-41.3980652E-41.3980652E-41.00.00.0025992070.00139721190.00140719791.00714711.0E-5
7.14.0252844E-61.885702E-61.885702E-61.00.01.7251105E-58.081555E-68.081555E-61.00.02.1001195E-49.838863E-59.838863E-51.00.00.00209813599.834635E-49.934537E-41.01015821.0E-5
7.23.3284066E-61.2818929E-61.2818929E-61.00.01.4264522E-55.4938155E-65.4938155E-61.00.01.736567E-46.688525E-56.688525E-51.00.00.00173521076.6866126E-46.6866126E-41.00.0
7.32.458226E-66.056684E-76.056684E-71.00.01.0535211E-52.5957193E-62.5957193E-61.00.01.2825865E-43.160246E-53.160246E-51.00.00.00128184643.1598343E-43.1598343E-41.00.0
7.41.965953E-63.1084684E-73.1084684E-71.00.08.425486E-61.3322001E-61.3322001E-61.00.01.0257547E-41.6219417E-51.6219417E-51.00.00.00102528131.6218246E-41.6218246E-41.00.0
7.51.2014192E-61.8241002E-71.8241002E-71.00.05.148929E-67.8175697E-77.8175697E-71.00.06.2686406E-59.51785E-69.51785E-61.00.06.266873E-49.517451E-59.517451E-51.00.0
7.62.5612175E-74.893784E-84.893784E-81.00.01.0976642E-62.0973359E-72.0973359E-71.00.01.3363979E-52.5535037E-62.5535037E-61.00.01.3363175E-42.553478E-52.553478E-51.00.0

San Jacinto (Anza) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.3015636E-54.3298347E-51.9329185E-44.4641851.5E-42.7003905E-41.8555121E-43.9551224E-42.1315532.1E-40.00328276910.00225675730.0025461031.12821292.9E-40.0323469680.023293610.0236452261.01509493.6E-4
6.16.3015636E-54.3298347E-51.9329185E-44.4641851.5E-42.7003905E-41.8555121E-43.9551224E-42.1315532.1E-40.00328276910.00225675730.0025461031.12821292.9E-40.0323469680.023293610.0236452261.01509493.6E-4
6.26.3015636E-54.3298347E-51.9329185E-44.4641851.5E-42.7003905E-41.8555121E-43.9551224E-42.1315532.1E-40.00328276910.00225675730.0025461031.12821292.9E-40.0323469680.023293610.0236452261.01509493.6E-4
6.36.3015636E-54.3298347E-51.9329185E-44.4641851.5E-42.7003905E-41.8555121E-43.9551224E-42.1315532.1E-40.00328276910.00225675730.0025461031.12821292.9E-40.0323469680.023293610.0236452261.01509493.6E-4
6.46.3015636E-54.3298347E-51.9329185E-44.4641851.5E-42.7003905E-41.8555121E-43.9551224E-42.1315532.1E-40.00328276910.00225675730.0025461031.12821292.9E-40.0323469680.023293610.0236452261.01509493.6E-4
6.55.811017E-54.0080286E-51.9007428E-44.7423381.5E-42.4901982E-41.7176138E-43.8172532E-42.22241642.1E-40.00302760140.00208919470.00237858881.13851942.9E-40.029866840.0215908330.021943061.01631383.6E-4
6.65.811017E-54.0080286E-51.9007428E-44.7423381.5E-42.4901982E-41.7176138E-43.8172532E-42.22241642.1E-40.00302760140.00208919470.00237858881.13851942.9E-40.029866840.0215908330.021943061.01631383.6E-4
6.75.712442E-53.950301E-51.8949709E-44.7970291.5E-42.4479596E-41.6928767E-43.7925213E-42.2402822.1E-40.00297631770.00205913440.00234853731.14054582.9E-40.0293676930.0212829190.0216352571.0165553.6E-4
6.85.6967532E-53.93593E-51.8935339E-44.81089351.5E-42.4412372E-41.6867183E-43.786364E-42.2448112.1E-40.00296815530.00205165080.0023410561.14105962.9E-40.0292882290.021208520.0215608851.01661433.6E-4
6.95.6211324E-53.9064216E-51.8905835E-44.8396811.5E-42.4088343E-41.6740736E-43.773722E-42.25421522.1E-40.00292881160.00203628470.00232569431.14212622.9E-40.0289051090.0210475270.021399951.01674413.6E-4
7.05.4383527E-53.7925012E-51.8791933E-44.95502331.5E-42.3305144E-41.6252567E-43.7249154E-42.29189372.1E-40.00283370940.0019769590.00226638561.14642.9E-40.0279784650.020440950.020793591.01725173.6E-4
7.15.1393665E-53.638787E-51.8638241E-45.12210271.5E-42.2023996E-41.5593872E-43.6590596E-42.3464732.1E-40.00267812420.00189690480.00218635471.15259062.9E-40.0264607820.0196160770.0199690141.01799233.6E-4
7.24.785222E-53.4738845E-51.8473364E-45.3177831.5E-42.0506482E-41.4887229E-43.5884103E-42.41039512.1E-40.00249380550.00181101670.00210049171.15984112.9E-40.0246600490.0187287830.0190820411.01886183.6E-4
7.34.2143256E-53.3834414E-51.8382934E-45.4332061.5E-41.8060145E-41.449966E-43.5496615E-42.44809992.1E-40.0021966050.00176390750.00205339581.16411772.9E-40.021750190.0182366950.018590131.01938053.6E-4
7.44.0264713E-53.3472694E-51.8346767E-45.4811151.5E-41.7255165E-41.4344654E-43.534164E-42.46375012.1E-40.0020987920.00174506590.00203455981.16589282.9E-40.0207908040.0180413890.0183948951.01959413.6E-4
7.53.694492E-53.2186905E-51.8218208E-45.660131.5E-41.5832575E-41.379366E-43.4790763E-42.52222852.1E-40.00192591180.00167808760.0019676011.17252582.9E-40.019093060.0173578880.017711641.02037993.6E-4
7.63.200565E-52.9502702E-51.7949828E-46.084131.5E-41.3715986E-41.2643404E-43.3640748E-42.66073512.1E-40.0016686420.00153824970.00182780371.1882362.9E-40.016561680.0159460160.0163002761.02221623.6E-4
7.72.731642E-52.6091477E-51.7608756E-46.7488541.5E-41.1706512E-41.11815825E-43.2179235E-42.87787842.1E-40.0014243360.00136050850.0016501141.21286562.9E-40.0141524120.01416680.0145216991.02505153.6E-4
7.82.3466424E-52.3503619E-51.735001E-47.3818461.5E-41.0056651E-41.0072591E-43.1070475E-43.08465582.1E-40.00122370940.00122564890.00150530581.22817042.8E-40.0121699280.0128087960.0131543131.02697493.5E-4
7.91.8611925E-51.890698E-51.6890414E-48.9334281.5E-47.9762955E-58.10274E-52.810112E-43.46810082.0E-49.7068126E-49.860628E-40.00124580651.26341492.6E-40.00966452250.0103937050.0107202751.031423.3E-4
8.01.5460775E-51.5739915E-51.6573755E-410.5297611.5E-46.6258784E-56.745504E-52.6744156E-43.9647382.0E-48.0640207E-48.2095637E-40.00108074291.31644382.6E-40.0080348210.0087027060.0090298341.03758923.3E-4
8.19.983884E-68.268954E-65.8268542E-57.04666385.0E-54.2787375E-53.5437897E-51.05435414E-42.97521667.0E-55.2081177E-44.313715E-45.313284E-41.23171881.0E-40.00519592830.004639680.00477903061.03003451.4E-4
8.24.1226E-61.5522551E-61.5522551E-61.00.01.7668166E-56.6525045E-66.6525045E-61.00.02.1508869E-48.099126E-58.099126E-51.00.00.00214880649.401847E-49.401847E-41.00.0
8.31.2750878E-63.609817E-73.609817E-71.00.05.4646503E-61.5470634E-61.5470634E-61.00.06.653009E-51.8835339E-51.8835339E-51.00.06.6510175E-42.272251E-42.272251E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.986481E-40.00122759290.00132747021.08136021.0E-40.00256311240.0052455470.0053649171.02275661.2E-40.0307628460.061204910.0614020561.00322122.1E-40.268354770.425934940.426107141.00040443.0E-4
6.15.015945E-40.00102179860.00108173721.058666.0E-50.002147920.00436785960.004447511.01823568.0E-50.0258393510.051248370.051400171.0029621.6E-40.230327760.372856680.372994661.000372.2E-4
6.24.073338E-48.1073755E-48.60697E-41.06162235.0E-50.00174454840.00346714770.0035369051.02011957.0E-50.0210340580.040933170.041077031.00351451.5E-40.191507820.313033460.313177731.00046092.1E-4
6.33.464099E-46.7391695E-47.238833E-41.07414325.0E-50.00148376920.00288295930.00295275751.02421067.0E-50.0179158730.0341895820.0343344551.00423731.5E-40.165383590.27131660.27146961.0005642.1E-4
6.42.935057E-45.5442745E-45.944053E-41.07210654.0E-50.00125727510.00237253630.0024323941.02522936.0E-50.0152002480.028264510.0284005531.00481321.4E-40.142015770.232985290.233138681.00065842.0E-4
6.52.3409708E-44.2093755E-44.609207E-41.0949864.0E-50.00100288750.00180196840.00186186041.03323696.0E-50.0121419650.0215874610.021724441.00634531.4E-40.114995730.186823680.186986311.00087062.0E-4
6.61.5842178E-42.506933E-42.9068327E-41.15951754.0E-56.7877385E-40.00107394970.00113388541.05580856.0E-50.00823280.0129955750.0131337551.01063291.4E-40.079343960.123146380.123321751.00142412.0E-4
6.71.5616413E-42.4605883E-42.8604898E-41.16252284.0E-56.691031E-40.00105410690.00111404361.05686026.0E-50.00811594350.012757440.0128956541.0108341.4E-40.07825860.121173510.1213492751.00145052.0E-4
6.81.5538467E-42.4429744E-42.8428767E-41.16369494.0E-56.6576427E-40.00104656450.00110650181.05727046.0E-50.0080755960.0126668380.0128050651.01091251.4E-40.077883580.1204043550.120580271.0014612.0E-4
6.91.5153569E-42.3539034E-42.753809E-41.16989054.0E-56.49277E-40.00100842760.00106836721.05943866.0E-50.0078763330.012209010.01234730151.01132691.4E-40.076029520.116474450.116642321.00144121.9E-4
7.01.4588932E-42.2396253E-42.6395358E-41.17856134.0E-56.250901E-49.5948833E-40.00101943081.06247336.0E-50.00758394740.0116196970.0117383021.01020731.2E-40.0733028950.111320460.1114715341.00135711.7E-4
7.11.1565079E-41.6281738E-42.0281087E-41.2456344.0E-54.955521E-46.9760304E-47.575612E-41.08594886.0E-50.0060166690.00846044350.0085794281.01406361.2E-40.0585635380.083670460.083826241.00186181.7E-4
7.21.0393792E-41.4615769E-41.8615184E-41.2736374.0E-54.4537216E-46.2624045E-46.862029E-41.09574996.0E-50.0054089330.00759799270.0077170811.01567361.2E-40.0527915950.075619690.075776841.0020781.7E-4
7.39.332884E-51.2780898E-41.6780387E-41.3129274.0E-53.999194E-45.4763845E-46.0760556E-41.10950146.0E-50.00485815340.0066472490.00676645151.01793251.2E-40.0475331020.066483260.066641961.0023871.7E-4
7.48.670252E-51.17032345E-41.5702767E-41.34174594.0E-53.715293E-45.0147134E-45.614413E-41.11958796.0E-50.0045139910.0060884430.00620771251.01958941.2E-40.0442339370.0611516420.061301861.00245641.6E-4
7.57.3036405E-59.005856E-51.1005676E-41.22205772.0E-53.129756E-43.8590826E-44.2589282E-41.10361164.0E-50.00380382170.00468833230.0047679571.01698368.0E-50.037393670.0478777920.0479920471.00238631.2E-4
7.66.3935775E-58.280385E-51.0280219E-41.24151472.0E-52.7398168E-43.5482543E-43.9481124E-41.11269154.0E-50.00333062540.0043114610.0043911161.01847528.0E-50.0328114740.043992010.044106731.00260781.2E-4
7.75.5050095E-56.6618326E-57.661766E-51.15009881.0E-52.3590765E-42.854759E-43.1546733E-41.10505773.0E-50.00286839270.0034701340.00351996041.01435865.0E-50.02831650.0357962140.035863711.00188557.0E-5
7.85.027131E-56.162871E-57.162809E-51.16225211.0E-52.1543067E-42.640963E-42.940884E-41.1135653.0E-50.00261971350.0032106350.00326047441.01552325.0E-50.0258904530.033126660.033194341.00204317.0E-5
7.93.7271806E-55.022507E-55.022507E-51.00.01.5972654E-42.1523255E-42.1523255E-41.00.00.00194293590.0026173090.00263725691.00762142.0E-50.0192603620.0270674660.0271063821.00143784.0E-5
8.02.7310243E-53.1427757E-53.1427757E-51.00.01.17038646E-41.3468343E-41.3468343E-41.00.00.00142401410.00163853830.0016485221.0060931.0E-50.0141492350.017213860.0172433441.00171283.0E-5
8.11.7940547E-51.7399378E-51.7399378E-51.00.07.688579E-57.456663E-57.456663E-51.00.09.3568244E-49.074711E-49.074711E-41.00.00.0093175250.0097986360.0098184391.00202112.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Cleghorn Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5467183E-51.6794203E-58.679303E-55.16803467.0E-56.6286244E-57.197348E-51.5196773E-42.11144048.0E-58.067362E-48.759797E-40.00104583081.19389841.7E-40.0080381370.0087306960.0090479011.03633223.2E-4
6.11.5467183E-51.6794203E-58.679303E-55.16803467.0E-56.6286244E-57.197348E-51.5196773E-42.11144048.0E-58.067362E-48.759797E-40.00104583081.19389841.7E-40.0080381370.0087306960.0090479011.03633223.2E-4
6.21.2624631E-51.3681544E-57.368073E-55.385416.0E-55.410444E-55.863415E-51.2863004E-42.19377357.0E-56.585225E-47.1368564E-48.535857E-41.19602481.4E-40.00656574450.00711873170.00738680971.03765812.7E-4
6.31.2624631E-51.3681544E-57.368073E-55.385416.0E-55.410444E-55.863415E-51.2863004E-42.19377357.0E-56.585225E-47.1368564E-48.535857E-41.19602481.4E-40.00656574450.00711873170.00738680971.03765812.7E-4
6.49.417684E-61.0170118E-57.016951E-56.89957676.0E-54.036088E-54.3585722E-51.0358311E-42.37653766.0E-54.912829E-45.3056807E-46.405097E-41.2072151.1E-40.0049019820.0052970490.00550593671.03943472.1E-4
6.59.368219E-61.0117545E-57.0116934E-56.9302336.0E-54.014889E-54.3360415E-51.03357816E-42.38369066.0E-54.8870314E-45.2782625E-46.377682E-41.20829191.1E-40.0048762980.00526976170.0054786551.039642.1E-4
6.67.803798E-68.441831E-65.844141E-56.9228365.0E-53.3444423E-53.6179E-58.617719E-52.38196735.0E-54.0710976E-44.4043022E-45.303906E-41.20425579.0E-50.00406364720.00439949050.00457869841.04073381.8E-4
6.72.3108669E-62.4438336E-62.2443784E-59.1838432.0E-59.903678E-61.0473532E-53.0473322E-52.90955542.0E-51.205706E-41.2750797E-41.5750415E-41.23524943.0E-50.0012050520.00127436670.00131431581.03134814.0E-5
6.82.0882828E-62.2062823E-61.220626E-55.53250171.0E-58.949753E-69.455462E-61.9455367E-52.05757981.0E-51.08957785E-41.1511434E-41.3511203E-41.17372042.0E-50.00108904380.00115056390.00118052941.02604413.0E-5
6.91.876935E-61.981051E-61.1981031E-56.0478161.0E-58.043982E-68.490192E-61.8490107E-52.17781971.0E-59.7931086E-51.03363345E-41.2336127E-41.19347212.0E-59.788794E-40.00103316860.0010531481.01933792.0E-5
7.01.5357559E-61.6202807E-61.1620265E-57.171761.0E-56.5817944E-66.9440425E-61.6943974E-52.44007331.0E-58.01304E-58.454057E-51.0453887E-41.23655282.0E-58.010151E-48.450965E-48.650796E-41.02364592.0E-5
7.11.0905424E-61.1497619E-61.114975E-59.6974421.0E-54.6737446E-64.9275427E-61.4927493E-53.02939921.0E-55.6901354E-55.999128E-57.999008E-51.33336172.0E-55.6886784E-45.997606E-46.197486E-41.03332662.0E-5
7.26.06668E-76.387277E-76.387277E-71.00.02.600003E-62.7374022E-62.7374022E-61.00.03.1654577E-53.3327433E-53.3327433E-51.00.03.1650066E-43.3323118E-43.3323118E-41.00.0

Mission Creek

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1549387E-51.6322783E-51.4632066E-48.9641981.3E-44.9496433E-56.995299E-52.899376E-44.1447492.2E-46.0245243E-48.5135986E-40.0011411131.34034142.9E-40.0060082180.0085101570.0088274331.03728213.2E-4
6.11.1549387E-51.6322783E-51.4632066E-48.9641981.3E-44.9496433E-56.995299E-52.899376E-44.1447492.2E-46.0245243E-48.5135986E-40.0011411131.34034142.9E-40.0060082180.0085101570.0088274331.03728213.2E-4
6.21.1549387E-51.6322783E-51.4632066E-48.9641981.3E-44.9496433E-56.995299E-52.899376E-44.1447492.2E-46.0245243E-48.5135986E-40.0011411131.34034142.9E-40.0060082180.0085101570.0088274331.03728213.2E-4
6.31.1549387E-51.6322783E-51.4632066E-48.9641981.3E-44.9496433E-56.995299E-52.899376E-44.1447492.2E-46.0245243E-48.5135986E-40.0011411131.34034142.9E-40.0060082180.0085101570.0088274331.03728213.2E-4
6.41.1549387E-51.6322783E-51.4632066E-48.9641981.3E-44.9496433E-56.995299E-52.899376E-44.1447492.2E-46.0245243E-48.5135986E-40.0011411131.34034142.9E-40.0060082180.0085101570.0088274331.03728213.2E-4
6.51.1549387E-51.6322783E-51.4632066E-48.9641981.3E-44.9496433E-56.995299E-52.899376E-44.1447492.2E-46.0245243E-48.5135986E-40.0011411131.34034142.9E-40.0060082180.0085101570.0088274331.03728213.2E-4
6.69.202681E-61.3846059E-51.338444E-49.6666061.2E-43.9439463E-55.9338956E-52.593271E-44.37026742.0E-44.800697E-47.2222133E-49.920263E-41.37357662.7E-40.0047903390.00722734020.0075152441.03983552.9E-4
6.79.019164E-61.3651728E-51.3365009E-49.7899761.2E-43.8652986E-55.8506146E-52.5849446E-44.41824442.0E-44.7049852E-47.1208854E-49.818963E-41.37889642.7E-40.0046950360.00712666470.0074145981.04040232.9E-4
6.88.673558E-61.3273839E-51.3327225E-410.0402181.2E-43.717186E-55.688669E-52.5687533E-44.5155612.0E-44.524734E-46.923842E-49.6219726E-41.3896872.7E-40.00451553240.00693085230.00721884241.0415522.9E-4
6.97.002255E-61.1478069E-51.3147669E-411.4546011.2E-43.000932E-54.9190832E-52.3918149E-44.86231851.9E-43.653022E-45.9874065E-48.58585E-41.43398482.6E-40.00364702290.0059996760.00627799561.04638922.8E-4
7.05.84644E-69.675359E-61.296742E-413.402521.2E-42.5055931E-54.146519E-52.2145773E-45.34081031.8E-43.0501327E-45.047263E-47.5460016E-41.4950682.5E-40.00304594960.0050639940.00532267751.05108282.6E-4
7.15.54703E-69.329834E-61.2932872E-413.8618451.2E-42.377277E-53.9984414E-52.1997721E-45.5015741.8E-42.8939504E-44.8670598E-47.365843E-41.51340712.5E-40.00289018450.00488458760.00514331741.05296862.6E-4
7.24.384709E-67.681918E-61.2768099E-416.620981.2E-41.8791474E-53.292211E-52.0291652E-46.1635331.7E-42.2876218E-44.0075663E-46.4066047E-41.59862722.4E-40.00228526820.0040285420.0042775351.06180722.5E-4
7.33.7888456E-66.915788E-61.2691497E-418.351481.2E-41.623781E-52.9638775E-51.9963374E-46.73555951.7E-41.9767738E-43.6079568E-45.907127E-41.637252.3E-40.00197501620.003630270.00386939871.06587082.4E-4
7.42.1982462E-65.0241033E-61.1502355E-422.8943441.1E-49.421021E-62.1531694E-51.8152824E-48.4307461.6E-41.1469489E-42.6211704E-44.8205937E-41.83909982.2E-40.00114635720.00264603270.00287542421.08669262.3E-4
7.52.051923E-64.6153277E-61.1461482E-424.8335171.1E-48.793926E-61.9779825E-51.7977666E-49.088891.6E-41.0706078E-42.4079291E-44.6073995E-41.91342822.2E-40.00107009220.00243359320.00266303331.09428052.3E-4
7.61.8733427E-64.1236603E-61.14123206E-427.6752191.1E-48.028587E-61.7672712E-51.7766988E-410.0533461.6E-49.774366E-52.151441E-44.2509893E-41.97587992.1E-49.770069E-40.00217825130.0023977721.10077852.2E-4
7.71.8411953E-64.0433315E-61.1404289E-428.2051771.1E-47.890813E-61.732845E-51.7732568E-410.2332111.6E-49.606641E-52.1095353E-44.2090923E-41.99526992.1E-49.6024893E-40.00213652920.00235605921.10275082.2E-4
7.81.7194251E-63.71068E-61.1371027E-430.6440531.1E-47.368944E-61.5902819E-51.7590028E-411.060951.6E-48.97132E-51.9359968E-44.0355904E-42.08450252.1E-48.967699E-40.00196247570.00218204391.11188332.2E-4
7.91.4035052E-62.9502596E-61.12949936E-438.2847441.1E-46.0150082E-61.2643909E-51.7264189E-413.6541541.6E-47.3230265E-51.5392878E-43.6389646E-42.36405732.1E-47.3206134E-40.00156311740.00178277351.14052442.2E-4
8.03.9318823E-75.528477E-72.0552836E-537.1763042.0E-51.6850913E-62.3693453E-62.2369299E-59.441132.0E-52.0515794E-52.8846403E-56.884525E-52.38661464.0E-52.0513899E-42.990952E-43.4908025E-41.16712085.0E-5
8.11.596793E-71.13775044E-71.13775044E-71.00.06.8433974E-74.876072E-74.876072E-71.00.08.331805E-65.936602E-65.936602E-61.00.08.331492E-56.5494125E-56.5494125E-51.00.0
8.24.9003038E-82.5435753E-82.5435753E-81.00.02.10013E-71.09010365E-71.09010365E-71.00.02.5569052E-61.3272004E-61.3272004E-61.00.02.556876E-51.4952613E-51.4952613E-51.00.0

Ludlow

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2407607E-52.3657254E-56.3656305E-52.69077324.0E-59.602906E-51.0138454E-41.6137846E-41.59174626.0E-50.00116852670.0012337020.00138351681.12143531.5E-40.0116240130.0122730420.012569361.02414383.0E-4
6.12.2407607E-52.3657254E-56.3656305E-52.69077324.0E-59.602906E-51.0138454E-41.6137846E-41.59174626.0E-50.00116852670.0012337020.00138351681.12143531.5E-40.0116240130.0122730420.012569361.02414383.0E-4
6.21.0781252E-51.1365663E-54.136532E-53.63949923.0E-54.620455E-54.8709102E-58.870715E-51.82116174.0E-55.623952E-45.9287593E-46.728285E-41.13485558.0E-50.005609740.00591336140.0060525331.02353531.4E-4
6.31.0781252E-51.1365663E-54.136532E-53.63949923.0E-54.620455E-54.8709102E-58.870715E-51.82116174.0E-55.623952E-45.9287593E-46.728285E-41.13485558.0E-50.005609740.00591336140.0060525331.02353531.4E-4
6.47.814439E-68.237729E-62.8237564E-53.42783362.0E-53.3490025E-53.530408E-56.530302E-51.84973013.0E-54.0766477E-44.2974384E-44.9971376E-41.16281777.0E-50.00406917740.00428927460.00439880281.02553531.1E-4
6.56.4986366E-66.85092E-61.685085E-52.45964811.0E-52.7851002E-52.9360759E-54.9360173E-51.68116132.0E-53.390332E-43.5740953E-44.0739166E-41.13984555.0E-50.0033851640.00356844320.00365812221.02513119.0E-5
6.65.582177E-65.8860055E-61.5885948E-52.6989351.0E-52.3923398E-52.5225498E-54.5224995E-51.79282862.0E-52.9122844E-43.0707786E-43.470656E-41.13022024.0E-50.00290847060.0030666090.00314636341.02600748.0E-5
6.74.6858763E-64.940427E-61.4940378E-53.02410651.0E-52.0082172E-52.1173091E-54.117267E-51.94457522.0E-52.4447302E-42.5775246E-42.877447E-41.11636083.0E-50.00244204230.00257459120.0026444111.02711887.0E-5
6.83.5584908E-63.7520183E-61.3751981E-53.66522221.0E-51.5250586E-51.6079981E-52.607982E-51.62188121.0E-51.8566006E-41.957566E-42.1575269E-41.10214772.0E-50.00185505020.00195588260.00199580451.02041114.0E-5
6.92.532834E-62.6710034E-61.26709765E-54.74390131.0E-51.0854958E-51.1447109E-52.1446995E-51.87357311.0E-51.3215111E-41.3935992E-41.5935714E-41.14349332.0E-50.00132072540.00139275290.0014127251.014342.0E-5
7.01.7083285E-61.8019439E-61.1801926E-56.54955241.0E-57.3213873E-67.722595E-61.7722517E-52.29489161.0E-58.913424E-59.40187E-51.1401682E-41.21270362.0E-58.9098496E-49.3980576E-49.5978694E-41.0212612.0E-5
7.11.0905424E-61.1497619E-61.114975E-59.6974421.0E-54.6737446E-64.9275427E-61.4927493E-53.02939921.0E-55.6901354E-55.999128E-57.999008E-51.33336172.0E-55.6886784E-45.997606E-46.197486E-41.03332662.0E-5
7.26.06668E-76.387277E-76.387277E-71.00.02.600003E-62.7374022E-62.7374022E-61.00.03.1654577E-53.3327433E-53.3327433E-51.00.03.1650066E-43.3323118E-43.3323118E-41.00.0

White Wolf (Extension)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.222555E-66.066615E-69.606607E-515.8352019.0E-53.5239045E-52.5999556E-51.359967E-45.23073151.1E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-45.5642927E-41.75804132.4E-40.00428123870.00316119660.00346024821.09460083.0E-4
6.18.222555E-66.066615E-69.606607E-515.8352019.0E-53.5239045E-52.5999556E-51.359967E-45.23073151.1E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-45.5642927E-41.75804132.4E-40.00428123870.00316119660.00346024821.09460083.0E-4
6.28.222555E-66.066615E-69.606607E-515.8352019.0E-53.5239045E-52.5999556E-51.359967E-45.23073151.1E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-45.5642927E-41.75804132.4E-40.00428123870.00316119660.00346024821.09460083.0E-4
6.38.222555E-66.066615E-69.606607E-515.8352019.0E-53.5239045E-52.5999556E-51.359967E-45.23073151.1E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-45.5642927E-41.75804132.4E-40.00428123870.00316119660.00346024821.09460083.0E-4
6.45.821773E-63.5571256E-65.355695E-515.0562435.0E-52.4950215E-51.5244741E-57.524383E-54.93572336.0E-53.0372653E-41.8559002E-43.4556031E-41.86195531.6E-40.00303311760.00185445860.00201416181.08611861.6E-4
6.55.766023E-63.4990599E-65.3498883E-515.2895035.0E-52.4711293E-51.49958905E-57.499499E-55.0010366.0E-53.0081844E-41.8256076E-43.4253157E-41.87626051.6E-40.00300411580.00182421610.00198392431.08754891.6E-4
6.64.643576E-62.3325733E-63.2332504E-513.8613023.0E-51.9900888E-59.9967065E-63.999641E-54.00095843.0E-52.4226638E-41.2170354E-42.1169258E-41.7394129.0E-50.00242002420.00121641120.00130630181.07389819.0E-5
6.73.9529173E-61.6482975E-62.1648264E-513.1337122.0E-51.6940963E-57.064114E-62.7063972E-53.83119132.0E-52.0623671E-48.600239E-51.3599808E-41.58132925.0E-50.0020604548.597095E-49.0966653E-41.05810925.0E-5
6.83.4377522E-61.2244764E-62.1224452E-517.3334922.0E-51.473314E-55.247746E-62.524764E-54.811142.0E-51.7936122E-46.388952E-51.1388633E-41.78255095.0E-50.00179216526.3872064E-46.886887E-41.07823155.0E-5
6.93.1367306E-61.0033316E-62.1003312E-520.933572.0E-51.3443062E-54.299986E-62.42999E-55.65115832.0E-51.63657E-45.2351144E-59.234905E-51.76403124.0E-50.00163536525.233958E-45.6337484E-41.0763844.0E-5
7.02.8298145E-67.4282326E-72.074281E-527.9242842.0E-51.2127721E-53.1835248E-62.318346E-57.2823252.0E-51.47645E-43.8758775E-55.8758E-51.51599222.0E-50.00147546933.8752513E-44.075174E-41.05158962.0E-5
7.12.4091064E-65.4223835E-71.0542233E-519.4420641.0E-51.03247E-52.3238767E-61.2323853E-55.3031441.0E-51.2569598E-42.8292874E-53.829259E-51.35343591.0E-50.0012562492.8289677E-42.9289394E-41.03533861.0E-5
7.21.3875518E-61.0740268E-71.0740268E-71.00.05.9466374E-64.6029712E-74.6029712E-71.00.07.23979E-55.604104E-65.604104E-61.00.07.2374323E-45.6039742E-55.6039742E-51.00.0
7.37.056077E-75.0002956E-85.0002956E-81.00.03.0240296E-62.1429837E-72.1429837E-71.00.03.681694E-52.60908E-62.60908E-61.00.03.681084E-42.609054E-52.609054E-51.00.0
7.45.9334678E-84.8638475E-94.8638475E-91.00.02.5429145E-72.084506E-82.084506E-81.00.03.095994E-62.5378858E-72.5378858E-71.00.03.095951E-52.5378843E-62.5378843E-61.00.0

Kern Canyon (South Kern) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.105075E-64.113726E-61.14113274E-427.739641.1E-41.7593058E-51.7630138E-51.676275E-49.5080081.5E-42.1417443E-42.1462643E-44.345792E-42.02481682.2E-40.00213968130.00214425540.0024436121.13960873.0E-4
6.14.105075E-64.113726E-61.14113274E-427.739641.1E-41.7593058E-51.7630138E-51.676275E-49.5080081.5E-42.1417443E-42.1462643E-44.345792E-42.02481682.2E-40.00213968130.00214425540.0024436121.13960873.0E-4
6.24.105075E-64.113726E-61.14113274E-427.739641.1E-41.7593058E-51.7630138E-51.676275E-49.5080081.5E-42.1417443E-42.1462643E-44.345792E-42.02481682.2E-40.00213968130.00214425540.0024436121.13960873.0E-4
6.34.105075E-64.113726E-61.14113274E-427.739641.1E-41.7593058E-51.7630138E-51.676275E-49.5080081.5E-42.1417443E-42.1462643E-44.345792E-42.02481682.2E-40.00213968130.00214425540.0024436121.13960873.0E-4
6.44.105075E-64.113726E-61.14113274E-427.739641.1E-41.7593058E-51.7630138E-51.676275E-49.5080081.5E-42.1417443E-42.1462643E-44.345792E-42.02481682.2E-40.00213968130.00214425540.0024436121.13960873.0E-4
6.52.9849807E-62.973154E-66.297298E-521.1805296.0E-51.2792712E-51.2742028E-51.0274088E-48.063159.0E-51.5574014E-41.551233E-42.8510313E-41.8379131.3E-40.00155631030.00155016540.00175983981.13525942.1E-4
6.62.9849807E-62.973154E-66.297298E-521.1805296.0E-51.2792712E-51.2742028E-51.0274088E-48.063159.0E-51.5574014E-41.551233E-42.8510313E-41.8379131.3E-40.00155631030.00155016540.00175983981.13525942.1E-4
6.72.6756725E-62.6582202E-65.2658088E-519.8095285.0E-51.1467117E-51.1392323E-59.139141E-58.0221938.0E-51.396032E-41.386928E-42.5867615E-41.86510151.2E-40.00139515530.00138607340.00158579621.14409242.0E-4
6.82.3283721E-62.3047783E-64.2304688E-518.355214.0E-59.9787E-69.877584E-67.9876896E-58.0866837.0E-51.214839E-41.2025302E-42.3023979E-41.91462791.1E-40.0012141750.0012018870.00137168261.14127421.7E-4
6.92.0972677E-62.0696405E-62.2069598E-510.6634942.0E-58.988259E-68.869858E-65.8869413E-56.63701875.0E-51.0942656E-41.0798523E-41.979755E-41.83335739.0E-50.00109372680.00107933340.00121918231.12956961.4E-4
7.01.7132242E-61.6787029E-62.167867E-512.913942.0E-57.3423685E-67.1944214E-65.719406E-57.9497795.0E-58.938967E-58.75886E-51.6758159E-41.91328088.0E-58.935372E-48.755446E-49.954396E-41.13693751.2E-4
7.11.4215541E-61.3815746E-62.1381547E-515.4762162.0E-56.0923603E-65.9210206E-65.5920726E-59.444445.0E-57.417196E-57.208607E-51.4208103E-41.97099147.0E-57.414721E-47.206296E-48.3055027E-41.15253441.1E-4
7.29.097853E-78.60377E-71.0860368E-512.6228031.0E-53.899074E-63.6873246E-64.3687178E-511.8479344.0E-54.7470192E-54.4892266E-51.0488957E-42.33647326.0E-54.7460053E-44.4883305E-45.3879264E-41.200439.0E-5
7.36.144169E-75.628199E-75.628199E-71.00.02.6332125E-62.4120832E-62.2412034E-59.2915692.0E-53.205889E-52.9366722E-55.936584E-52.02153443.0E-53.2054266E-42.9362892E-43.3361715E-41.13618644.0E-5
7.44.049844E-73.5728252E-73.5728252E-71.00.01.7356463E-61.5312098E-62.153118E-514.0615472.0E-52.1131287E-51.8642324E-54.8641763E-52.60921143.0E-52.1129279E-41.8640784E-42.2640039E-41.21454324.0E-5
7.51.9871162E-71.5830383E-71.5830383E-71.00.08.5162094E-76.784448E-76.784448E-71.00.01.0368436E-58.260035E-68.260035E-61.00.01.0367952E-48.259736E-59.2596536E-51.12105921.0E-5
7.62.572245E-81.735264E-81.735264E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436845E-87.436845E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.0543557E-79.0543557E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054324E-69.054324E-61.00.0

Santa Ynez (West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.7352758E-55.497084E-51.04968094E-41.90952315.0E-52.0292461E-42.3556968E-42.9555554E-41.25464186.0E-50.00246780760.0028645580.0030041571.04873311.4E-40.0244058180.0283044560.0284599271.00549281.6E-4
6.14.7352758E-55.497084E-51.04968094E-41.90952315.0E-52.0292461E-42.3556968E-42.9555554E-41.25464186.0E-50.00246780760.0028645580.0030041571.04873311.4E-40.0244058180.0283044560.0284599271.00549281.6E-4
6.23.0415853E-53.3925004E-55.3924323E-51.58951572.0E-51.3034715E-41.4538495E-41.6538205E-41.13754582.0E-50.00158582120.00176865920.00184851771.0451528.0E-50.0157455220.017549780.0176480241.00559811.0E-4
6.33.0415853E-53.3925004E-55.3924323E-51.58951572.0E-51.3034715E-41.4538495E-41.6538205E-41.13754582.0E-50.00158582120.00176865920.00184851771.0451528.0E-50.0157455220.017549780.0176480241.00559811.0E-4
6.42.5452082E-52.7912318E-54.791176E-51.71650952.0E-51.09075794E-41.1961885E-41.3961646E-41.16717772.0E-50.00132718870.00145540560.00153528911.05488758.0E-50.0131929020.014460910.0145496081.00613379.0E-5
6.52.3143784E-52.5128133E-54.512763E-51.79590072.0E-59.9183875E-51.07687636E-41.2768549E-41.18570232.0E-50.00120689480.0013103230.00139021821.06097368.0E-50.0120036110.0130276380.0131164661.00681849.0E-5
6.61.9118515E-52.0354244E-54.0353836E-51.9825762.0E-58.193392E-58.722961E-51.0722786E-41.229262.0E-59.97089E-40.0010615110.0011414261.07528428.0E-50.009926270.0105653170.0106543661.00842859.0E-5
6.71.722807E-51.8146253E-53.814589E-52.1021362.0E-57.3832496E-57.776737E-59.776581E-51.25715732.0E-58.985399E-49.4641204E-40.00102633631.08444988.0E-50.0089491540.0094244610.0095136131.00945969.0E-5
6.81.5317364E-51.5926391E-53.5926074E-52.25575732.0E-56.56442E-56.82542E-58.825283E-51.29300222.0E-57.98925E-48.3068234E-49.006242E-41.08419817.0E-50.0079605890.0082762610.0083555991.00958628.0E-5
6.91.3071226E-51.332953E-53.3329263E-52.5004082.0E-55.6018336E-55.712532E-57.7124176E-51.35008742.0E-56.8180985E-46.952811E-47.652324E-41.10060877.0E-50.00679721730.00693131840.0070107641.01146198.0E-5
7.01.1836986E-51.1932688E-53.193245E-52.67604832.0E-55.0728955E-55.1139097E-57.113807E-51.39107022.0E-56.1745E-46.2244234E-46.724112E-41.08027885.0E-50.0061573720.00620718250.006266811.00960626.0E-5
7.11.0597169E-51.0542107E-53.0541898E-52.89713382.0E-54.541565E-54.5179684E-56.517878E-51.44265692.0E-55.5279525E-45.4992497E-45.9989747E-41.09087155.0E-50.00551422130.0054857720.0055454431.01087746.0E-5
7.29.59113E-69.45905E-62.945886E-53.11435722.0E-54.11042E-54.053816E-56.053735E-51.49334232.0E-55.0032866E-44.934414E-45.4341677E-41.10127915.0E-50.0049920370.00492357650.00498328131.01212626.0E-5
7.38.586084E-68.379489E-62.8379322E-53.38676022.0E-53.679698E-53.591161E-55.591089E-51.5569032.0E-54.4791115E-44.3713715E-44.7711967E-41.09146454.0E-50.0044700940.0043628840.0044126661.01141045.0E-5
7.47.2622997E-66.9514485E-62.695131E-53.8770782.0E-53.112377E-52.9791589E-54.9790993E-51.67131042.0E-53.78866E-43.6265317E-43.926423E-41.08269373.0E-50.00378220740.0036207140.00366056921.01100754.0E-5
7.55.627296E-65.2514984E-62.5251393E-54.8084172.0E-52.411676E-52.2506232E-54.250578E-51.88862282.0E-52.9358198E-42.7397962E-43.039714E-41.10946713.0E-50.00293194430.00273649050.0027763811.01457734.0E-5
7.62.265244E-62.0608632E-61.2060843E-55.8523261.0E-59.708152E-68.832241E-61.8832152E-52.13220551.0E-51.18190335E-41.0752732E-41.1752624E-41.09298971.0E-50.0011812750.00107476150.001094741.01858882.0E-5
7.71.3099874E-61.1016228E-61.1101612E-510.0775061.0E-55.61422E-64.7212325E-61.4721185E-53.11808091.0E-56.8350986E-55.7479516E-56.747894E-51.1739651.0E-56.832996E-45.7464885E-45.846431E-41.01739191.0E-5
7.87.903951E-76.0710704E-76.0710704E-71.00.03.3874032E-62.601885E-62.601885E-61.00.04.1240855E-53.16775E-53.16775E-51.00.04.12332E-43.167312E-43.167312E-41.00.0
7.97.0753297E-95.090092E-95.090092E-91.00.03.032284E-82.181468E-82.181468E-81.00.03.6918053E-72.655937E-72.655937E-71.00.03.691799E-62.6559348E-62.6559348E-61.00.0

Cleghorn Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0522846E-51.1040642E-59.103976E-58.2458758.0E-54.509713E-54.7316473E-51.4731174E-43.11332871.0E-45.4891926E-45.759784E-47.4588053E-41.29497991.7E-40.00547565330.0057500220.00599858441.04322812.5E-4
6.11.0522846E-51.1040642E-59.103976E-58.2458758.0E-54.509713E-54.7316473E-51.4731174E-43.11332871.0E-45.4891926E-45.759784E-47.4588053E-41.29497991.7E-40.00547565330.0057500220.00599858441.04322812.5E-4
6.22.1045846E-62.2082024E-63.2208136E-514.5856813.0E-59.019617E-69.463714E-63.946343E-54.1699733.0E-51.098083E-41.1521882E-41.4521537E-41.26034413.0E-50.00109754060.00115200230.00119195621.03468224.0E-5
6.32.1045846E-62.2082024E-63.2208136E-514.5856813.0E-59.019617E-69.463714E-63.946343E-54.1699733.0E-51.098083E-41.1521882E-41.4521537E-41.26034413.0E-50.00109754060.00115200230.00119195621.03468224.0E-5
6.41.7259927E-61.810877E-63.181082E-517.5665283.0E-57.3970905E-67.760902E-63.776067E-54.86553.0E-59.005586E-59.4488976E-51.2448615E-41.31746733.0E-59.001937E-49.448898E-49.84852E-41.0422934.0E-5

Baker

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.695525E-65.8348373E-67.583443E-512.9968387.0E-52.4409164E-52.5006228E-51.15003975E-44.59901339.0E-52.9714106E-43.044123E-44.9435446E-41.62396351.9E-40.00296744050.00304034860.00330952791.08853552.7E-4
6.15.695525E-65.8348373E-67.583443E-512.9968387.0E-52.4409164E-52.5006228E-51.15003975E-44.59901339.0E-52.9714106E-43.044123E-44.9435446E-41.62396351.9E-40.00296744050.00304034860.00330952791.08853552.7E-4
6.25.695525E-65.8348373E-67.583443E-512.9968387.0E-52.4409164E-52.5006228E-51.15003975E-44.59901339.0E-52.9714106E-43.044123E-44.9435446E-41.62396351.9E-40.00296744050.00304034860.00330952791.08853552.7E-4
6.33.2995713E-63.383667E-67.338343E-521.6875447.0E-51.4140943E-51.4501353E-59.4500196E-56.5166478.0E-51.7215237E-41.7654014E-43.2651366E-41.84951521.5E-40.00172019070.0017640460.0019836581.12449322.2E-4
6.43.2995713E-63.383667E-67.338343E-521.6875447.0E-51.4140943E-51.4501353E-59.4500196E-56.5166478.0E-51.7215237E-41.7654014E-43.2651366E-41.84951521.5E-40.00172019070.0017640460.0019836581.12449322.2E-4
6.52.782202E-62.8558404E-66.2855666E-522.0095186.0E-51.1923668E-51.223926E-58.22384E-56.71922977.0E-51.4516099E-41.4900314E-42.7898376E-41.87233481.3E-40.0014506620.00148906510.00167878221.12740681.9E-4
6.62.3163404E-62.38092E-66.238078E-526.2002836.0E-59.927136E-61.0203904E-58.020319E-57.86004927.0E-51.20856166E-41.2422565E-42.4421074E-41.96586411.2E-40.00120790470.00124158230.00142135881.14479631.8E-4
6.72.037056E-62.0965003E-66.209638E-529.619066.0E-58.7302105E-68.984972E-67.898434E-58.7907177.0E-51.0628513E-41.093867E-42.2937357E-42.09690551.2E-40.00106234310.00109334480.0012731481.16445241.8E-4
6.81.8356744E-61.8915287E-65.1891435E-527.4335965.0E-57.867153E-68.106527E-66.810604E-58.4013836.0E-59.577837E-59.869264E-51.9868277E-42.01314691.0E-49.57371E-49.86502E-40.00114634421.16202931.6E-4
6.91.6310546E-61.6832072E-64.168314E-524.7641164.0E-56.9902153E-67.213726E-65.7213365E-57.9311815.0E-58.510255E-58.782368E-51.7781577E-42.02469049.0E-58.5069967E-48.7790104E-40.00102776941.17071211.5E-4
7.01.2058036E-61.2508665E-63.1250827E-524.9833433.0E-55.1677193E-65.3608455E-64.536063E-58.461474.0E-56.291517E-56.5266366E-51.352618E-42.0724587.0E-56.289736E-46.524743E-47.823895E-41.19911161.3E-4
7.11.052382E-61.0951609E-63.109513E-528.3932063.0E-54.5102006E-64.693538E-64.469335E-59.5223154.0E-55.491031E-55.7142337E-51.2713834E-42.22494137.0E-55.4896745E-45.7127734E-47.0120307E-41.22743021.3E-4
7.21.0067454E-61.0487711E-63.104874E-529.6048773.0E-54.3146156E-64.4947255E-64.4494547E-59.899284.0E-55.252918E-55.4721917E-51.14718634E-42.09639296.0E-55.251676E-45.470853E-46.570251E-41.20095551.1E-4
7.39.3596316E-79.767723E-73.0976742E-531.7133713.0E-54.0112645E-64.1861604E-63.4186036E-58.1664423.0E-54.8836053E-55.096532E-51.00962774E-41.98100925.0E-54.8825322E-45.095371E-46.0948613E-41.19615661.0E-4
7.48.8117395E-79.2076635E-72.0920748E-522.7210182.0E-53.7764542E-63.9461356E-62.3946057E-56.06822972.0E-54.5977362E-54.8043148E-58.8041226E-51.83254494.0E-54.596785E-44.8032837E-45.5029476E-41.14566367.0E-5
7.58.292386E-78.6745956E-72.0867443E-524.0558092.0E-53.5538749E-63.7176785E-62.3717605E-56.3796812.0E-54.326757E-54.5261804E-58.525999E-51.88370744.0E-54.3259145E-44.5252658E-45.224949E-41.15461717.0E-5
7.67.553842E-77.9144706E-71.0791439E-513.6350741.0E-53.2373566E-63.3919116E-61.33918775E-53.948181.0E-53.9414106E-54.129575E-56.129492E-51.48429132.0E-53.9407116E-44.1288146E-44.5286494E-41.09684014.0E-5
7.76.5285366E-76.852797E-76.852797E-71.00.02.797941E-62.9369096E-62.9369096E-61.00.03.40644E-53.5756293E-54.5755936E-51.2796611.0E-53.405918E-43.5750607E-43.7749892E-41.05592312.0E-5
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-73.6482615E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.5635396E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035933E-52.9035744E-51.52531231.0E-51.8045233E-41.9034347E-42.1033967E-41.10505322.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.693995E-66.660123E-61.6665905E-425.023421.6E-42.8688235E-52.8543072E-52.2853736E-48.0067542.0E-43.492233E-43.4745657E-45.8737316E-41.69049382.4E-40.003486750.00354911670.00380819381.07299772.6E-4
6.16.693995E-66.660123E-61.6665905E-425.023421.6E-42.8688235E-52.8543072E-52.2853736E-48.0067542.0E-43.492233E-43.4745657E-45.8737316E-41.69049382.4E-40.003486750.00354911670.00380819381.07299772.6E-4
6.26.693995E-66.660123E-61.6665905E-425.023421.6E-42.8688235E-52.8543072E-52.2853736E-48.0067542.0E-43.492233E-43.4745657E-45.8737316E-41.69049382.4E-40.003486750.00354911670.00380819381.07299772.6E-4
6.36.693995E-66.660123E-61.6665905E-425.023421.6E-42.8688235E-52.8543072E-52.2853736E-48.0067542.0E-43.492233E-43.4745657E-45.8737316E-41.69049382.4E-40.003486750.00354911670.00380819381.07299772.6E-4
6.46.693995E-66.660123E-61.6665905E-425.023421.6E-42.8688235E-52.8543072E-52.2853736E-48.0067542.0E-43.492233E-43.4745657E-45.8737316E-41.69049382.4E-40.003486750.00354911670.00380819381.07299772.6E-4
6.56.6561875E-66.620341E-61.6661928E-425.167781.6E-42.8526205E-52.8372582E-52.283669E-48.0488592.0E-43.472512E-43.453815E-45.8529864E-41.69464372.4E-40.00346709070.00352843220.00378751481.07342712.6E-4
6.66.6561875E-66.620341E-61.6661928E-425.167781.6E-42.8526205E-52.8372582E-52.283669E-48.0488592.0E-43.472512E-43.453815E-45.8529864E-41.69464372.4E-40.00346709070.00352843220.00378751481.07342712.6E-4
6.76.5802237E-66.539518E-61.6653848E-425.4664761.6E-42.8200653E-52.8026205E-52.280206E-48.1359792.0E-43.4328885E-43.4116567E-45.810838E-41.70323052.4E-40.00342759020.00348640650.00374550021.07431532.6E-4
6.86.575632E-66.5340073E-61.6653296E-425.487111.6E-42.8180975E-52.8002589E-52.2799699E-48.1419972.0E-43.4304935E-43.4087826E-45.8079645E-41.70382372.4E-40.00342520260.00348354130.00374263571.07437672.6E-4
6.96.570433E-66.525401E-61.6652436E-425.5194051.6E-42.8158694E-52.7965707E-52.2796012E-48.1514162.0E-43.4277816E-43.4042934E-45.8034767E-41.70475212.4E-40.00342249920.00347906650.00373816191.07447272.6E-4
7.06.5643826E-66.5155223E-61.6651448E-425.5565811.6E-42.8132765E-52.7923368E-52.2791779E-48.162262.0E-43.424626E-43.3991406E-45.798325E-41.70582082.4E-40.00341935320.00347392960.00373302631.07458322.6E-4
7.16.557402E-66.504234E-61.6650319E-425.5992011.6E-42.8102848E-52.7874992E-52.2786942E-48.174692.0E-43.4209844E-43.3932526E-45.792438E-41.7070462.4E-40.00341572290.00346806060.0037271591.07470992.6E-4
7.26.546394E-66.4862006E-61.6648516E-425.6675951.6E-42.8055672E-52.7797707E-52.2779214E-48.1946382.0E-43.4152428E-43.383846E-45.7830336E-41.70901222.4E-40.00340999870.00345868830.0037177891.0749132.6E-4
7.36.5364216E-66.4669857E-61.6646595E-425.7408871.6E-42.8012933E-52.771536E-52.2770981E-48.2160162.0E-43.4100408E-43.373823E-45.7730137E-41.71111922.4E-40.0034048130.00344871030.00370781361.07513052.6E-4
7.46.5269523E-66.4480723E-61.6644705E-425.8134571.6E-42.7972354E-52.7634303E-52.2762877E-48.2371822.0E-43.4051016E-43.3639578E-45.7631504E-41.71320532.4E-40.00339988880.00343889230.00369799811.07534582.6E-4
7.56.5111835E-66.424346E-61.6642331E-425.90511.6E-42.7904773E-52.753262E-52.2752711E-48.263912.0E-43.3968766E-43.3515817E-45.750777E-41.71583992.4E-40.00339168870.00342656440.00368567351.07561782.6E-4
7.66.4768806E-66.383454E-61.6638244E-426.064641.6E-42.7757764E-52.7357375E-52.273519E-48.3104432.0E-43.3789838E-43.330252E-45.729453E-41.72042622.4E-40.00337385040.00340529720.00366441181.07609162.6E-4
7.76.1655364E-66.1759456E-61.6617496E-426.9068031.6E-42.642346E-52.646807E-52.2646277E-48.5560742.0E-43.2165812E-43.2220117E-45.6212384E-41.74463632.4E-40.00321192950.00329693620.0035560791.07860112.6E-4
7.85.5043524E-65.7370175E-61.657361E-428.8888951.6E-42.3589868E-52.4586987E-52.2458207E-49.1341842.0E-42.871688E-42.993055E-45.392337E-41.80161632.4E-40.00286797970.00306705850.00332626121.08451182.6E-4
7.93.889249E-64.0766436E-61.6407599E-440.2478141.6E-41.6668104E-51.7471213E-52.1746772E-412.4472022.0E-42.0291525E-42.126913E-44.5264026E-42.1281562.4E-40.00202730070.00219410730.0024535371.11823922.6E-4
8.02.668535E-62.5313454E-69.253112E-536.5541279.0E-51.1436528E-51.0848577E-51.4084717E-412.9830071.3E-41.3923083E-41.3207346E-42.920523E-42.2112871.6E-40.00139143630.00137556650.0015553191.13067521.8E-4
8.11.5911459E-61.2185134E-62.121849E-517.4134242.0E-56.8191785E-65.2221894E-63.5222034E-56.74468663.0E-58.3020335E-56.357832E-51.13575144E-41.78638155.0E-58.298933E-46.6911156E-47.290714E-41.08961126.0E-5
8.26.1294963E-72.1802066E-72.1802066E-71.00.02.6269242E-69.3437393E-79.3437393E-71.00.03.1982334E-51.1375943E-51.1375943E-51.00.03.1977732E-41.2778955E-41.2778955E-41.00.0
8.31.762871E-74.7516316E-84.7516316E-81.00.07.5551594E-72.0364133E-72.0364133E-71.00.09.1983675E-62.4793305E-62.4793305E-61.00.09.197987E-52.8671833E-52.8671833E-51.00.0

Scodie Lineament

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2919327E-63.0133303E-61.0301303E-434.1857721.0E-41.4108206E-51.2914227E-51.3291268E-410.2919581.2E-41.7175387E-41.5722254E-43.571911E-42.2718822.0E-40.00171621180.00157142480.00182103191.15884132.5E-4
6.11.8663811E-61.5490382E-63.1548992E-520.3668273.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-64.6638455E-57.0252174.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.7081665E-42.11344179.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-48.979214E-41.11129699.0E-5
6.21.8663811E-61.5490382E-63.1548992E-520.3668273.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-64.6638455E-57.0252174.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.7081665E-42.11344179.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-48.979214E-41.11129699.0E-5
6.31.8663811E-61.5490382E-63.1548992E-520.3668273.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-64.6638455E-57.0252174.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.7081665E-42.11344179.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-48.979214E-41.11129699.0E-5
6.41.8663811E-61.5490382E-63.1548992E-520.3668273.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-64.6638455E-57.0252174.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.7081665E-42.11344179.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-48.979214E-41.11129699.0E-5
6.51.8106311E-61.4909722E-63.1490927E-521.121073.0E-57.759824E-66.389868E-64.6389614E-57.25987054.0E-59.447177E-57.779436E-51.6778735E-42.15680629.0E-59.4431615E-47.7771995E-48.676499E-41.11563299.0E-5
6.61.2414679E-68.9974395E-71.0899735E-512.1142631.0E-55.320566E-63.85604E-61.3856002E-53.5933241.0E-56.477596E-54.6946367E-57.694496E-51.63899713.0E-56.475708E-44.6937316E-44.993591E-41.0638853.0E-5
6.71.1062215E-67.594193E-71.0759411E-514.1679461.0E-54.7409408E-63.2546504E-61.3254618E-54.07251641.0E-55.7719422E-53.962472E-55.962393E-51.50471542.0E-55.770443E-43.9618355E-44.161756E-41.05046162.0E-5
6.81.0006736E-66.5002786E-71.0650021E-516.3839451.0E-54.288594E-62.7858312E-61.2785803E-54.5895831.0E-55.221238E-53.391703E-55.391635E-51.58965432.0E-55.220012E-43.3912458E-43.591178E-41.05895542.0E-5
6.99.167364E-75.6315065E-71.0563145E-518.7572271.0E-53.9288643E-62.413501E-61.2413477E-55.14334871.0E-54.7832873E-52.9384037E-54.938345E-51.68062172.0E-54.782258E-42.9380718E-43.138013E-41.06805182.0E-5
7.07.6987664E-74.113265E-71.0411322E-525.3115771.0E-53.2994672E-61.7628269E-61.176281E-56.67269661.0E-54.0170275E-52.1462245E-53.146203E-51.46592451.0E-54.0163012E-42.1460558E-42.2460344E-41.04658711.0E-5
7.17.1038727E-73.5210306E-71.03521E-529.4007661.0E-53.0445133E-61.5090123E-61.1508997E-57.6268411.0E-53.706632E-51.8372106E-52.8371922E-51.54429341.0E-53.7060137E-41.8370937E-41.9370753E-41.05442381.0E-5
7.22.0799602E-73.1178534E-83.1178534E-81.00.08.914113E-71.3362228E-71.3362228E-71.00.01.0852878E-51.6268501E-61.6268501E-61.00.01.08523476E-41.626839E-51.626839E-51.00.0
7.31.5048182E-71.5939106E-81.5939106E-81.00.06.449219E-76.8310456E-86.8310456E-81.00.07.851896E-68.316795E-78.316795E-71.00.07.851618E-58.316767E-68.316767E-61.00.0
7.45.9334678E-84.8638475E-94.8638475E-91.00.02.5429145E-72.084506E-82.084506E-81.00.03.095994E-62.5378858E-72.5378858E-71.00.03.095951E-52.5378843E-62.5378843E-61.00.0

Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2521618E-44.763429E-45.5630476E-41.16786628.0E-59.6485513E-40.00203990940.0021496851.05381391.1E-40.0116839880.0245445310.0247201141.00715361.8E-40.110884230.213499230.213687991.00088422.4E-4
6.12.2521618E-44.763429E-45.5630476E-41.16786628.0E-59.6485513E-40.00203990940.0021496851.05381391.1E-40.0116839880.0245445310.0247201141.00715361.8E-40.110884230.213499230.213687991.00088422.4E-4
6.22.198148E-44.6718874E-45.471514E-41.1711578.0E-59.417233E-40.00200073770.00211051761.05486981.1E-40.0114053430.0240785130.0242541791.00729551.8E-40.108374280.209935720.210125341.00090322.4E-4
6.32.1704129E-44.615455E-45.415086E-41.17325078.0E-59.298453E-40.00197658920.00208637191.05554141.1E-40.0112622340.0237920340.023967751.00738561.8E-40.1070827250.207826840.208016961.00091482.4E-4
6.41.876142E-44.004663E-44.7043827E-41.17472627.0E-58.038131E-40.00171516950.00180501511.0523839.0E-50.009742590.0206786620.0208353531.00757741.6E-40.0932636860.184577870.184757261.00097192.2E-4
6.51.7390939E-43.7478763E-44.447614E-41.18670257.0E-57.45113E-40.00160525610.00168512771.04975638.0E-50.0090340780.0193672930.0195143871.00759511.5E-40.0867552160.174400150.174573531.00099412.1E-4
6.61.591791E-43.4893592E-44.1891148E-41.200547.0E-56.8201777E-40.00149459260.00157447311.05344638.0E-50.0082719960.0180450080.0181824831.00761841.4E-40.079707740.163807870.16397511.00102092.0E-4
6.71.4268003E-43.2059717E-43.9057474E-41.21827267.0E-56.1134255E-40.00137327260.00145316281.0581758.0E-50.0074177230.016591710.0167293871.00829791.4E-40.071749560.151935940.152105541.00111642.0E-4
6.81.239713E-42.9055026E-43.6052993E-41.24085217.0E-55.3119735E-40.00124462740.00132452781.06419628.0E-50.00644816740.0150494820.0151775261.00850821.3E-40.062642430.138380510.138544221.0011831.9E-4
6.91.0180238E-42.6255674E-43.325384E-41.2665397.0E-54.3622297E-40.00112476220.00120467231.07104618.0E-50.0052980890.0136089980.0137372291.00942251.3E-40.051735430.124964730.125130981.00133041.9E-4
7.07.6619996E-52.2400476E-42.8399134E-41.26779146.0E-53.283301E-49.596704E-40.00102960321.07287177.0E-50.00399009320.0116221030.0117407081.01020511.2E-40.0391920660.107269820.107430521.0014981.8E-4
7.17.5127435E-52.2083633E-42.808231E-41.27163456.0E-53.2193496E-49.461013E-40.00101603511.07391797.0E-50.00391251550.0114586480.0115772731.01035251.2E-40.0384434420.105833780.105994731.00152081.8E-4
7.26.788582E-52.0211334E-42.621012E-41.29680316.0E-52.9090676E-48.6591556E-49.358549E-41.08076937.0E-50.00353603860.01049220.0106109411.0113171.2E-40.0348030.0975036840.097666141.00166611.8E-4
7.36.399602E-51.8842232E-42.48411E-41.31837376.0E-52.7423984E-48.0727716E-48.7722065E-41.08664127.0E-50.00333375860.0097848970.0099037221.01214391.2E-40.032841880.0913979860.091561531.00178951.8E-4
7.44.506759E-51.2530042E-41.6529541E-41.31919284.0E-51.9313251E-45.3689216E-45.868653E-41.09307865.0E-50.00234885260.0065172450.00660665851.01371969.0E-50.0232418050.0623645220.062495791.00210491.4E-4
7.53.43289E-59.336103E-51.333573E-41.42840434.0E-51.4711556E-44.0005764E-44.5003765E-41.12493195.0E-50.00178966030.0048598860.0049494491.01842899.0E-50.017753160.0470570660.047171421.00243011.2E-4
7.62.5980507E-57.053672E-51.105339E-41.56704044.0E-51.1134028E-43.0226534E-43.4225325E-41.1322944.0E-50.0013547250.00367389480.00374363761.01898347.0E-50.0134649590.035842980.0359393951.002691.0E-4
7.71.7292105E-54.9412036E-57.941056E-51.60710953.0E-57.4106916E-52.1174872E-42.4174237E-41.14164733.0E-59.018782E-40.00257499840.00263484381.0232416.0E-50.0089822670.0252920970.0253603251.00269777.0E-5
7.81.2927471E-53.9697254E-55.969646E-51.50379312.0E-55.5402274E-51.7012001E-41.9011661E-41.1175442.0E-56.743139E-40.00206924630.00211914281.02411345.0E-50.00672271430.0204331450.0204919191.00287646.0E-5
7.91.0200774E-52.8748475E-54.87479E-51.6956692.0E-54.371687E-51.2320194E-41.4319948E-41.16231512.0E-55.321229E-40.00149895260.00154887771.03330665.0E-50.0053085050.0149928950.0150421451.00328495.0E-5
8.08.650396E-62.3279512E-54.3279044E-51.85910452.0E-53.70726E-59.976552E-51.1976353E-41.20045012.0E-54.5126543E-40.00121396930.00126390861.04113725.0E-50.00450350160.0122121640.0122615541.00404435.0E-5
8.13.9368224E-67.3283345E-67.3283345E-61.00.01.6871985E-53.1406773E-53.1406773E-51.00.02.0539707E-43.8231048E-43.8231048E-41.00.00.00205207310.00400153130.00400153131.00.0
8.21.7101195E-62.2178374E-62.2178374E-61.00.07.329063E-69.504983E-69.504983E-61.00.08.922769E-51.15717055E-41.15717055E-41.00.08.9191867E-40.001266690.001266691.00.0
8.33.0346666E-81.721086E-81.721086E-81.00.01.3005713E-77.376083E-87.376083E-81.00.01.5834444E-68.98038E-78.98038E-71.00.01.5834332E-59.36379E-69.36379E-61.00.0

Pinto Mtn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.4194956E-54.7853926E-58.785201E-51.83583714.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-43.0505253E-41.48753121.0E-40.00230342360.00249406880.00264369461.05999271.5E-40.0227969380.0246783050.0248831231.00829952.1E-4
6.14.4194956E-54.7853926E-58.785201E-51.83583714.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-43.0505253E-41.48753121.0E-40.00230342360.00249406880.00264369461.05999271.5E-40.0227969380.0246783050.0248831231.00829952.1E-4
6.24.4194956E-54.7853926E-58.785201E-51.83583714.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-43.0505253E-41.48753121.0E-40.00230342360.00249406880.00264369461.05999271.5E-40.0227969380.0246783050.0248831231.00829952.1E-4
6.34.4194956E-54.7853926E-58.785201E-51.83583714.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-43.0505253E-41.48753121.0E-40.00230342360.00249406880.00264369461.05999271.5E-40.0227969380.0246783050.0248831231.00829952.1E-4
6.43.729929E-53.960349E-55.96027E-51.5049862.0E-51.5984432E-41.6971873E-42.2970854E-41.35346626.0E-50.00194436730.00206446040.0021642541.04833881.0E-40.0192744270.0204628480.0205999841.00670171.4E-4
6.53.729929E-53.960349E-55.96027E-51.5049862.0E-51.5984432E-41.6971873E-42.2970854E-41.35346626.0E-50.00194436730.00206446040.0021642541.04833881.0E-40.0192744270.0204628480.0205999841.00670171.4E-4
6.63.0204548E-53.12056E-55.1204977E-51.64089062.0E-51.2944164E-41.3373162E-41.7372628E-41.29906654.0E-50.00157481270.00162700120.00169688731.0429547.0E-50.0156369920.0161547640.016253151.00609021.0E-4
6.72.9857754E-53.0814987E-55.0814368E-51.64901482.0E-51.2795553E-41.3205773E-41.7205245E-41.30285794.0E-50.00155674530.00160665170.00167653921.04349897.0E-50.0154588480.0159542040.016052611.00616791.0E-4
6.82.4819734E-52.5009665E-54.5009165E-51.79967082.0E-51.0636595E-41.0718E-41.3717679E-41.2798733.0E-50.00129423620.0013041570.00135409181.0382895.0E-50.0128672440.0129674030.0130364951.00532827.0E-5
6.92.331124E-52.3337945E-54.3337477E-51.85695352.0E-59.990149E-51.0001605E-41.3001304E-41.29992193.0E-50.0012156220.00121703550.00126697461.04103345.0E-50.0120899360.0121058970.0121651711.00489636.0E-5
7.02.1818534E-52.1761074E-54.176064E-51.91905222.0E-59.3504656E-59.3258524E-51.2325573E-41.32165653.0E-50.00113782460.00113485090.00118479421.04400865.0E-50.0113201630.011292660.0113420941.00437765.0E-5
7.12.066081E-52.0540718E-54.0540308E-51.97365582.0E-58.854332E-58.8028784E-51.18026146E-41.34076763.0E-50.00107748180.00107124310.00112118961.04662485.0E-50.0107227240.01066284350.0107123111.00463915.0E-5
7.21.8990233E-51.9054001E-53.9053622E-52.04962832.0E-58.138417E-58.165756E-51.11655114E-41.36735793.0E-59.904018E-49.937467E-40.0010436971.05026465.0E-50.0098599950.0098950290.0099445341.00500315.0E-5
7.31.3335872E-51.4906713E-53.4906414E-52.34165742.0E-55.7152483E-56.388442E-59.38825E-51.46956813.0E-56.956093E-47.77528E-48.2748913E-41.06425635.0E-50.0069343590.0077493760.00779898841.00640215.0E-5
7.49.414066E-61.186096E-53.1860724E-52.68618422.0E-54.0345374E-55.083175E-58.083022E-51.59015243.0E-54.910942E-46.1871024E-46.686793E-41.08076325.0E-50.00490010340.00617082560.00622051671.00805265.0E-5
7.57.2101157E-69.158192E-62.9158009E-53.18381712.0E-53.090013E-53.9248847E-56.924767E-51.76432363.0E-53.7614413E-44.7775774E-45.277339E-41.10460565.0E-50.00375508070.0047680820.00481784341.01043645.0E-5
7.63.296375E-64.5455017E-62.454541E-55.39993432.0E-51.4127245E-51.9480583E-54.948E-52.5399653.0E-51.7198564E-42.3715167E-42.8713982E-41.21078555.0E-50.00171852590.00236912330.0024190051.02105495.0E-5
7.72.5741092E-63.5844084E-61.3584373E-53.78985071.0E-51.103185E-51.5361667E-52.5361514E-51.6509611.0E-51.3430449E-41.8701357E-41.970117E-41.0534621.0E-50.00134223350.00186869180.00187867311.00534131.0E-5

Santa Cruz Island

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9164563E-53.1599742E-58.159816E-52.58224135.0E-51.2498499E-41.3542121E-41.8541444E-41.36916845.0E-50.00152063010.00164764260.00174747781.06059281.0E-40.0151026670.0163680.0165450541.0108171.8E-4
6.12.9164563E-53.1599742E-58.159816E-52.58224135.0E-51.2498499E-41.3542121E-41.8541444E-41.36916845.0E-50.00152063010.00164764260.00174747781.06059281.0E-40.0151026670.0163680.0165450541.0108171.8E-4
6.22.9164563E-53.1599742E-58.159816E-52.58224135.0E-51.2498499E-41.3542121E-41.8541444E-41.36916845.0E-50.00152063010.00164764260.00174747781.06059281.0E-40.0151026670.0163680.0165450541.0108171.8E-4
6.31.6635553E-51.780436E-52.780418E-51.56165021.0E-57.1293274E-57.630227E-58.63015E-51.13104771.0E-58.6765E-49.286024E-49.585745E-41.03227663.0E-50.0086427010.0092490940.0093283541.00856958.0E-5
6.41.6635553E-51.780436E-52.780418E-51.56165021.0E-57.1293274E-57.630227E-58.63015E-51.13104771.0E-58.6765E-49.286024E-49.585745E-41.03227663.0E-50.0086427010.0092490940.0093283541.00856958.0E-5
6.51.2238748E-51.3042996E-52.3042865E-51.7666851.0E-55.2450723E-55.5897377E-56.589682E-51.17888931.0E-56.3840044E-46.8034173E-47.1032136E-41.04406553.0E-50.00636569550.0067829880.0068525131.010257.0E-5
6.61.0489767E-51.1156636E-51.1156636E-51.00.04.495537E-54.781329E-54.781329E-51.00.05.4719415E-45.819736E-46.019619E-41.03434592.0E-50.0054584870.0058047360.00585444551.00856365.0E-5
6.78.699222E-69.236783E-69.236783E-61.00.03.7281847E-53.958561E-53.958561E-51.00.04.5381195E-44.818488E-44.9184397E-41.02074341.0E-50.00452886340.0048081080.0048479161.00827934.0E-5
6.88.307732E-68.8169045E-68.8169045E-61.00.03.560408E-53.7786187E-53.7786187E-51.00.04.3339343E-44.5995016E-44.6994555E-41.02173151.0E-50.0043254920.00459003540.0046198981.00650583.0E-5
6.98.073121E-68.564939E-68.564939E-61.00.03.459863E-53.670637E-53.670637E-51.00.04.2115687E-44.4680882E-44.5680435E-41.02237091.0E-50.0042035960.0044591560.00448902231.00669783.0E-5
7.07.617019E-68.074665E-68.074665E-61.00.03.264396E-53.4605247E-53.4605247E-51.00.03.9736772E-44.2123784E-44.3123364E-41.02372961.0E-50.0039665790.00420444130.00423431541.00710543.0E-5
7.17.1224836E-67.5457883E-67.5457883E-61.00.03.052457E-53.2338692E-53.2338692E-51.00.03.715733E-43.9365282E-43.9365282E-41.00.00.0037095260.00392959830.00394951921.00506962.0E-5
7.26.441115E-66.8273835E-66.8273835E-61.00.02.7604487E-52.9259889E-52.9259889E-51.00.03.360328E-43.5618115E-43.5618115E-41.00.00.00335525120.00355613120.00356609561.0028021.0E-5
7.35.494274E-65.8199944E-65.8199944E-61.00.02.3546674E-52.4942596E-52.4942596E-51.00.02.8664304E-43.03634E-43.03634E-41.00.00.0028627360.00303221450.00304218431.00328791.0E-5
7.44.0802624E-64.3122564E-64.3122564E-61.00.01.7486722E-51.8480969E-51.8480969E-51.00.02.1288003E-42.2498264E-42.2498264E-41.00.00.00212676220.00224755770.00225753521.00443921.0E-5
7.52.3584746E-62.4753099E-62.4753099E-61.00.01.0107709E-51.0608428E-51.0608428E-51.00.01.2305441E-41.2915001E-41.2915001E-41.00.00.00122986290.00129075450.00129075451.00.0
7.69.4981914E-79.860934E-79.860934E-71.00.04.0706473E-64.2261076E-64.2261076E-61.00.04.9559E-55.1451658E-55.1451658E-51.00.04.954795E-45.1439874E-45.1439874E-41.00.0
7.72.6013532E-72.6416632E-72.6416632E-71.00.01.1148652E-61.1321408E-61.1321408E-61.00.01.3573399E-51.3783729E-51.3783729E-51.00.01.357257E-41.378288E-41.378288E-41.00.0
7.84.1522263E-83.965698E-83.965698E-81.00.01.7795254E-71.6995848E-71.6995848E-71.00.02.16657E-62.0692428E-62.0692428E-61.00.02.1665488E-52.0692256E-52.0692256E-51.00.0
7.97.7242046E-105.9475225E-105.9475225E-101.00.03.3103735E-92.5489382E-92.5489382E-91.00.04.0303796E-83.1033323E-83.1033323E-81.00.04.030379E-73.103332E-73.103332E-71.00.0

San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7374346E-52.41444E-51.0414247E-44.3133188.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.9346259E-41.86971139.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00141884351.12692051.6E-40.014182210.0129281950.013125611.01527012.0E-4
6.12.7374346E-52.41444E-51.0414247E-44.3133188.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.9346259E-41.86971139.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00141884351.12692051.6E-40.014182210.0129281950.013125611.01527012.0E-4
6.22.7374346E-52.41444E-51.0414247E-44.3133188.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.9346259E-41.86971139.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00141884351.12692051.6E-40.014182210.0129281950.013125611.01527012.0E-4
6.32.7374346E-52.41444E-51.0414247E-44.3133188.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.9346259E-41.86971139.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00141884351.12692051.6E-40.014182210.0129281950.013125611.01527012.0E-4
6.42.7374346E-52.41444E-51.0414247E-44.3133188.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.9346259E-41.86971139.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00141884351.12692051.6E-40.014182210.0129281950.013125611.01527012.0E-4
6.52.7282445E-52.4030476E-51.0402856E-44.32902578.0E-51.16919524E-41.0298371E-41.9297443E-41.87383469.0E-50.00142256570.0012531080.00141290761.12752251.6E-40.0141349340.0128695220.0130669481.01534062.0E-4
6.62.7282445E-52.4030476E-51.0402856E-44.32902578.0E-51.16919524E-41.0298371E-41.9297443E-41.87383469.0E-50.00142256570.0012531080.00141290761.12752251.6E-40.0141349340.0128695220.0130669481.01534062.0E-4
6.72.7216198E-52.3955597E-51.0395368E-44.3394328.0E-51.1663563E-41.02662816E-41.9265358E-41.87656639.0E-50.00141911370.00124920580.0014090061.12792131.6E-40.0141008550.0128309340.0130283671.01538732.0E-4
6.82.7078617E-52.3872815E-51.0387091E-44.35101188.0E-51.1604605E-41.0230807E-41.9229886E-41.8796069.0E-50.0014119450.00124489170.00140469251.12836531.6E-40.0140300750.01278808250.0129855251.01543952.0E-4
6.92.6982952E-52.3792329E-51.0379043E-44.3623488.0E-51.15636096E-41.0196315E-41.9195398E-41.88258189.0E-50.00140696020.00124069710.00140049861.12879981.6E-40.0139808560.0127463780.01294382851.01549082.0E-4
7.02.6449972E-52.3369357E-51.03367485E-44.42320638.0E-51.1335209E-41.0015055E-41.9014154E-41.89855719.0E-50.0013791880.00121865350.00137845861.13113251.6E-40.01370659750.0125277330.01272522751.01576462.0E-4
7.12.6257849E-52.3195396E-51.0319354E-44.448888.0E-51.1252879E-49.940507E-51.8939612E-41.90529649.0E-50.00136917690.00120958730.00136939381.13211661.6E-40.0136077170.0124376610.0126351731.01588022.0E-4
7.22.5270041E-52.2390155E-51.0238837E-44.5729198.0E-51.0829568E-49.5954296E-51.8594565E-41.93785669.0E-50.00131770240.00116761980.00132743291.13687091.6E-40.0130991620.01201879050.0122163861.01644062.0E-4
7.32.339701E-52.1122027E-51.01120335E-44.7874358.0E-51.0026905E-49.051985E-51.8051169E-41.99416719.0E-50.0012200920.0011015240.00126134781.14509331.6E-40.0121341490.0113576420.0115553711.01740932.0E-4
7.42.296333E-52.0852396E-51.00850724E-44.83640968.0E-59.841056E-58.936436E-51.7935631E-42.00702299.0E-50.00119748990.00108747010.00124729611.14697051.6E-40.0119105750.0112167540.011414511.01763052.0E-4
7.52.2188895E-52.037534E-51.0037371E-44.92623478.0E-59.50918E-58.731998E-51.7731212E-42.0306029.0E-50.00115712770.00106260420.00122243421.15041351.6E-40.0115112090.0109663690.0111641761.01803762.0E-4
7.62.0013189E-51.8961666E-59.896015E-55.2189598.0E-58.5767984E-58.126176E-51.7125445E-42.10744219.0E-50.0010437259.889146E-40.00114875641.16163351.6E-40.0103883650.0102243710.0104223271.01936112.0E-4
7.71.7230794E-51.6743043E-59.67417E-55.7780248.0E-57.384417E-57.175393E-51.6174748E-42.25419669.0E-58.986819E-48.732547E-40.00103311511.18306261.6E-40.0089505620.009062920.0092611081.0218682.0E-4
7.81.4478809E-51.499039E-59.498919E-56.33667238.0E-56.205057E-56.424295E-51.5423716E-42.4008429.0E-57.552038E-47.8187784E-49.317606E-41.19169581.5E-40.00752642420.0081413880.0083298411.02314761.9E-4
7.91.1114467E-51.1644517E-59.164358E-57.8701068.0E-54.7632562E-54.990412E-51.3989962E-42.80336839.0E-55.797721E-46.074139E-47.473288E-41.23034541.4E-40.00578261870.00638035450.0065592061.02803161.8E-4
8.09.327402E-69.8986575E-68.989787E-59.0818248.0E-53.9973966E-54.2422133E-51.3241831E-43.12144429.0E-54.8657437E-45.163676E-46.562953E-41.27098461.4E-40.00485510330.005449940.00562895931.03284791.8E-4
8.17.0235833E-66.826985E-63.682678E-55.3942963.0E-53.0100724E-52.9258183E-56.925701E-52.3670994.0E-53.664147E-43.5616063E-44.2613572E-41.19647057.0E-50.0036581110.00378745720.00388707851.02630291.0E-4
8.22.0358202E-68.9912584E-78.9912584E-71.00.08.724915E-63.853391E-63.853391E-61.00.01.06220665E-44.6914047E-54.6914047E-51.00.00.0010616995.3239096E-45.3239096E-41.00.0
8.32.0051264E-76.61379E-86.61379E-81.00.08.5933965E-72.8344812E-72.8344812E-71.00.01.046241E-53.450976E-63.450976E-61.00.01.0461917E-44.0120205E-54.0120205E-51.00.0

Imperial

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7496446E-45.055345E-45.854941E-41.15816838.0E-50.00117788690.0021648170.0022745791.05070261.1E-40.01424676550.0260484090.0262042411.00598241.6E-40.133672490.228070290.228224681.00067692.0E-4
6.12.5356023E-44.8657708E-45.6653813E-41.16433388.0E-50.0010862340.0020837020.00219347281.05268061.1E-40.0131449280.025070940.0252269261.00622191.6E-40.1239401550.219495610.219651711.00071122.0E-4
6.22.4820742E-44.775311E-45.574929E-41.16744848.0E-50.00106331240.00204499460.00215476961.05367981.1E-40.012869190.0246106760.0247667381.00634121.6E-40.121489270.216001360.216158171.00072592.0E-4
6.32.3205351E-44.5892023E-45.388835E-41.17424238.0E-59.94136E-40.00196535540.00207513921.05585961.1E-40.0120365990.0236611870.0238174011.00660221.6E-40.114051330.207938270.208096681.00076192.0E-4
6.42.0304754E-43.9878016E-44.6875223E-41.17546537.0E-58.6991355E-40.00170795290.00179779931.05260479.0E-50.0105398690.0205954180.0207325351.00665761.4E-40.1005376350.185071130.185217811.00079261.8E-4
6.51.854992E-43.6990462E-44.3987873E-41.1891687.0E-57.9475436E-40.00158435480.0016642281.05041378.0E-50.0096332810.019114430.0192419441.00667121.3E-40.09226230.17330390.173444441.0008111.7E-4
6.61.6586106E-43.4036173E-44.103379E-41.20559367.0E-57.106394E-40.00145788780.00153777121.0547948.0E-50.0086177630.0176076260.0177255121.00669531.2E-40.082911320.160780550.160914821.00083521.6E-4
6.71.4224656E-43.076812E-43.7765966E-41.22743827.0E-56.094856E-40.00131797560.00139787011.06061918.0E-50.00739526930.0159285220.016046611.00741361.2E-40.071539550.146487980.146624551.00093221.6E-4
6.81.2317259E-42.779231E-43.4790364E-41.25179837.0E-55.2777573E-40.00119056150.00127046631.06711528.0E-50.00640675470.0144001310.0145085471.00752881.1E-40.062251660.132940890.133070951.00097841.5E-4
6.99.859898E-52.5015484E-43.2013733E-41.27975677.0E-54.2249862E-40.00107165590.00115157011.07457088.0E-50.00513179460.0129703190.0130788921.00837091.1E-40.050148930.1194088760.119540961.00110611.5E-4
7.07.3191884E-52.1267848E-42.7266573E-41.2820566.0E-53.136418E-49.11164E-49.811003E-41.07675487.0E-50.0038119040.0110376810.0111365771.00895991.0E-40.0374717640.102067560.102193271.00123171.4E-4
7.17.1760296E-52.0969207E-42.696795E-41.28607386.0E-53.0750787E-48.9837395E-49.683111E-41.07784867.0E-50.0037374820.0108835280.010982441.00908821.0E-40.036752450.100704060.100829971.00125031.4E-4
7.26.46614E-51.9137723E-42.5136574E-41.31345696.0E-52.7709085E-48.199333E-48.898759E-41.08530287.0E-50.00336836280.0099376170.0100366241.00996281.0E-40.0331776250.0925110060.092638051.00137331.4E-4
7.36.088115E-51.780939E-42.3808322E-41.33684096.0E-52.6089314E-47.6303916E-48.3298574E-41.09166847.0E-50.00317174760.0092510060.0093500811.01070961.0E-40.0312685850.086561350.0866892341.00147741.4E-4
7.44.199346E-51.1511097E-41.5510636E-41.34745074.0E-51.7995955E-44.932403E-45.4321566E-41.10132055.0E-50.00218880570.0059888350.0060683561.01327828.0E-50.021673720.057440240.0575439221.00180511.1E-4
7.53.130448E-58.333871E-51.2333538E-41.4799294.0E-51.3415517E-43.5711733E-44.070995E-41.139965.0E-50.00163211530.00433929540.0044189481.01835628.0E-50.0162018030.0421335060.0422388721.00250081.1E-4
7.62.3074248E-56.0849357E-51.00846926E-41.65732114.0E-59.888588E-52.6075702E-43.007466E-41.15335954.0E-50.00120327060.00317011820.00322992821.01886686.0E-50.0119677610.031028160.0311153681.00281069.0E-5
7.71.45864815E-54.0128452E-57.012725E-51.74756923.0E-56.2511994E-51.7196777E-42.0196261E-41.17442133.0E-57.608177E-40.00209170250.0021415981.0238545.0E-50.0075821820.020629090.0206878521.00284856.0E-5
7.81.0352979E-53.096395E-55.0963332E-51.64589242.0E-54.4369157E-51.326959E-41.5269325E-41.15070062.0E-55.400606E-40.00161437780.00165431321.02473744.0E-50.00538750.0160178930.0160670911.00307155.0E-5
7.98.137906E-62.2151205E-54.215076E-51.90286542.0E-53.4876273E-59.493029E-51.1492839E-41.21066092.0E-54.2453592E-40.00115516440.00119511821.03458714.0E-50.0042372580.0116188420.0116583781.00340274.0E-5
8.06.93792E-61.8010365E-53.8010006E-52.11045172.0E-52.9733603E-57.7185E-59.718346E-51.25909772.0E-53.6194647E-49.3932304E-49.792855E-41.04254394.0E-50.00361357510.0095024150.0095420351.00416954.0E-5
8.13.4286315E-66.380179E-66.380179E-61.00.01.4694053E-52.734334E-52.734334E-51.00.01.7888541E-43.3285443E-43.3285443E-41.00.00.00178741480.00348636740.00348636741.00.0
8.21.4906886E-61.936633E-61.936633E-61.00.06.3886496E-68.2998295E-68.2998295E-61.00.07.7779034E-51.0104576E-41.0104576E-41.00.07.775182E-40.00110754230.00110754231.00.0
8.32.5758007E-81.4495866E-81.4495866E-81.00.01.10391454E-76.212514E-86.212514E-81.00.01.3440151E-67.563736E-77.563736E-71.00.01.344007E-57.884359E-67.884359E-61.00.0

Santa Rosa Island

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1143165E-54.709113E-56.7090186E-51.42468852.0E-51.7631594E-42.0180462E-42.2180058E-41.09908582.0E-50.0021445330.00245439910.00251425171.02438596.0E-50.0212395530.0242935570.0244691841.00722931.8E-4
6.12.1061249E-52.3864959E-53.3864722E-51.41901431.0E-59.0259375E-51.0227455E-41.1227353E-41.0977661.0E-50.00109835390.00124451030.00126448541.01605062.0E-50.010929410.012378450.0124574591.00638288.0E-5
6.22.1061249E-52.3864959E-53.3864722E-51.41901431.0E-59.0259375E-51.0227455E-41.1227353E-41.0977661.0E-50.00109835390.00124451030.00126448541.01605062.0E-50.010929410.012378450.0124574591.00638288.0E-5
6.31.5158236E-51.7074419E-52.7074248E-51.58566151.0E-56.496225E-57.3174095E-58.317336E-51.13665041.0E-57.906284E-48.9054246E-49.005336E-41.01121911.0E-50.0078782140.008870990.00891063551.0044694.0E-5
6.41.2341918E-51.3852917E-52.3852777E-51.72185971.0E-55.2892858E-55.9368336E-56.936774E-51.168431.0E-56.437803E-47.225779E-47.325707E-41.01382941.0E-50.0064191840.00720312170.00721304961.00137831.0E-5
6.59.061158E-61.0117032E-52.011693E-51.98842231.0E-53.883296E-54.3358017E-55.335758E-51.23062791.0E-54.726887E-45.277613E-45.37756E-41.0189381.0E-50.0047168450.00526561770.00527556471.00188911.0E-5
6.67.5461685E-68.400734E-61.840065E-52.19036221.0E-53.2340322E-53.600267E-54.600231E-51.27774721.0E-53.936723E-44.3824868E-44.4824427E-41.02280811.0E-50.0039297560.00437427360.004384231.00227611.0E-5
6.75.5023775E-66.087381E-61.608732E-52.64273261.0E-52.3581404E-52.6088532E-53.6088273E-51.38330021.0E-52.8706578E-43.1758484E-43.2758166E-41.03147771.0E-50.00286695220.00317163160.00318159981.0031431.0E-5
6.83.7351679E-64.0831405E-61.40831E-53.44908521.0E-51.6007763E-51.7499071E-52.7498896E-51.57144891.0E-51.948771E-42.1303285E-42.2303071E-41.04693111.0E-50.00194706290.00212853150.002138511.0046881.0E-5
6.92.456366E-62.6292707E-62.6292707E-61.00.01.0527241E-51.1268255E-51.1268255E-51.00.01.2816161E-41.3718239E-41.3718239E-41.00.00.00128087730.00137097990.00137097991.00.0
7.02.3245157E-62.4827784E-62.4827784E-61.00.09.962172E-61.0640436E-51.0640436E-51.00.01.2128269E-41.2953962E-41.2953962E-41.00.00.00121216520.00129464340.00129464341.00.0
7.12.2248344E-62.37325E-62.37325E-61.00.09.53497E-61.0171032E-51.0171032E-51.00.01.1608207E-41.238253E-41.238253E-41.00.00.00116021440.00123756510.00123756511.00.0
7.22.1350402E-62.2761542E-62.2761542E-61.00.09.150141E-69.75491E-69.75491E-61.00.01.1139726E-41.1875957E-41.1875957E-41.00.00.00111341440.00118696290.00118696291.00.0
7.31.9793572E-62.1087192E-62.1087192E-61.00.08.482932E-69.037337E-69.037337E-61.00.01.032748E-41.1002403E-41.1002403E-41.00.00.00103226820.00109969740.00109969741.00.0
7.41.6951194E-61.8045735E-61.8045735E-61.00.07.264777E-67.733864E-67.733864E-61.00.08.844508E-59.415574E-59.415574E-51.00.08.840988E-49.411601E-49.411601E-41.00.0
7.58.987207E-79.512216E-79.512216E-71.00.03.8516546E-64.0766577E-64.0766577E-61.00.04.6892885E-54.9632188E-54.9632188E-51.00.04.688299E-44.962122E-44.962122E-41.00.0
7.63.8783037E-74.0529335E-74.0529335E-71.00.01.6621291E-61.7369704E-61.7369704E-61.00.02.0236233E-52.1147416E-52.1147416E-51.00.02.023439E-42.114547E-42.114547E-41.00.0
7.76.181804E-86.339047E-86.339047E-81.00.02.6493444E-72.7167343E-72.7167343E-71.00.03.225572E-63.307619E-63.307619E-61.00.03.225525E-53.3075703E-53.3075703E-51.00.0
7.81.3704449E-91.3964153E-91.3964153E-91.00.05.873335E-95.984637E-95.984637E-91.00.07.1507856E-87.286295E-87.286295E-81.00.07.1507833E-77.286294E-77.286294E-71.00.0

Deep Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9810619E-52.311252E-51.0311067E-44.46124748.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-52.0904186E-42.11040931.1E-40.0010331660.00120580780.00136561491.13253121.6E-40.0102837570.012042430.0122301421.01558761.9E-4
6.11.9810619E-52.311252E-51.0311067E-44.46124748.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-52.0904186E-42.11040931.1E-40.0010331660.00120580780.00136561491.13253121.6E-40.0102837570.012042430.0122301421.01558761.9E-4
6.21.9810619E-52.311252E-51.0311067E-44.46124748.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-52.0904186E-42.11040931.1E-40.0010331660.00120580780.00136561491.13253121.6E-40.0102837570.012042430.0122301421.01558761.9E-4
6.31.9810619E-52.311252E-51.0311067E-44.46124748.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-52.0904186E-42.11040931.1E-40.0010331660.00120580780.00136561491.13253121.6E-40.0102837570.012042430.0122301421.01558761.9E-4
6.41.9810619E-52.311252E-51.0311067E-44.46124748.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-52.0904186E-42.11040931.1E-40.0010331660.00120580780.00136561491.13253121.6E-40.0102837570.012042430.0122301421.01558761.9E-4
6.51.7190405E-52.0050558E-51.0004895E-44.9898348.0E-57.367108E-58.593096E-51.9592152E-42.27998731.1E-48.9657627E-40.00104620920.00119605231.14322471.5E-40.0089296760.0104620610.0106302831.01607921.7E-4
6.61.7190405E-52.0050558E-51.0004895E-44.9898348.0E-57.367108E-58.593096E-51.9592152E-42.27998731.1E-48.9657627E-40.00104620920.00119605231.14322471.5E-40.0089296760.0104620610.0106302831.01607921.7E-4

Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.169034E-54.7137048E-55.7136574E-51.21213731.0E-51.7866064E-42.0200513E-42.220011E-41.09898732.0E-50.00217302330.00245746570.002557221.04059231.0E-40.0215189680.024384830.0245409271.00640141.6E-4
6.11.73813E-51.6854203E-52.6854035E-51.59331381.0E-57.4489166E-57.223036E-58.2229635E-51.1384361.0E-59.065282E-48.790605E-49.3900773E-41.06819476.0E-50.0090283910.0087571280.0088166041.00679166.0E-5
6.21.4622182E-51.3673262E-52.3673127E-51.73134431.0E-56.2664985E-55.85984E-56.8597816E-51.17064311.0E-57.6267915E-47.132059E-47.531774E-41.05604484.0E-50.0076006690.0071097670.00714948261.0055864.0E-5
6.31.3552434E-51.2482174E-52.2482049E-51.80113261.0E-55.8080568E-55.349395E-56.349342E-51.18692711.0E-57.069015E-46.510974E-46.910713E-41.06139474.0E-50.007046570.0064924150.0065321551.0061214.0E-5
6.41.30977305E-51.1979128E-52.1979009E-51.83477521.0E-55.613192E-55.133813E-56.133762E-51.1947771.0E-56.831918E-46.2486547E-46.648405E-41.06397384.0E-50.0068109530.0062315840.0062713351.00637894.0E-5
6.51.225205E-51.1048776E-52.1048665E-51.90506771.0E-55.2507727E-54.735105E-55.735058E-51.21117851.0E-56.3909404E-45.7634927E-46.06332E-41.05202173.0E-50.0063725920.0057490090.00577883661.00518833.0E-5
6.61.1352241E-51.0063508E-52.0063408E-51.99367931.0E-54.8651553E-54.3128617E-55.3128188E-51.23185461.0E-55.921717E-45.249665E-45.549508E-41.05711653.0E-50.00590596160.00523766460.00526750741.00569773.0E-5
6.71.0864116E-59.517E-61.9516905E-52.05074121.0E-54.6559664E-54.0786515E-55.0786108E-51.2451691.0E-55.667165E-44.964647E-45.264498E-41.06039733.0E-50.0056527340.00495394370.00498379531.00602583.0E-5
6.81.0666365E-59.299752E-61.929966E-52.07528761.0E-54.571219E-53.985548E-54.9855083E-51.25089661.0E-55.564038E-44.8513446E-45.151199E-41.06180863.0E-50.0055501270.004841140.0048709951.00616693.0E-5
6.91.0038665E-58.592018E-61.8591933E-52.16386081.0E-54.302214E-53.682243E-54.6822057E-51.27156361.0E-55.236687E-44.4822265E-44.782092E-41.0669013.0E-50.0052243640.00447355070.0045034171.00667613.0E-5
7.09.5379955E-68.025047E-61.8024966E-52.24608871.0E-54.0876483E-53.439261E-54.439227E-51.29075011.0E-54.975576E-44.1865133E-44.4863875E-41.07162873.0E-50.004964450.004178980.00420885441.00714873.0E-5
7.19.207389E-67.652347E-61.7652272E-52.30677841.0E-53.945964E-53.2795375E-54.2795047E-51.3049111.0E-54.803152E-43.992122E-44.2920024E-41.0751183.0E-50.0047927840.0039853010.00401518171.00749773.0E-5
7.27.638091E-65.9310923E-61.5931033E-52.68602011.0E-53.2734264E-52.5418722E-53.5418467E-51.39340081.0E-53.984668E-43.094293E-43.294231E-41.06461512.0E-50.00397753060.00309019560.00311013381.00645212.0E-5
7.37.2500147E-65.596131E-61.5596075E-52.7869391.0E-53.1071122E-52.3983199E-53.398296E-51.41694861.0E-53.7822526E-42.9195662E-43.1195077E-41.06848342.0E-50.00377582150.00291594020.0029358821.00683882.0E-5
7.46.3899715E-64.9184864E-61.4918437E-53.0331361.0E-52.7385306E-52.1079059E-53.107885E-51.47439441.0E-53.3336508E-42.566075E-42.7660237E-41.07792012.0E-50.00332865420.0025633110.00258325971.00778252.0E-5
7.55.379025E-64.0838477E-64.0838477E-61.00.02.305276E-51.7502087E-51.7502087E-51.00.02.806312E-42.1306718E-42.2306504E-41.04692351.0E-50.00280277080.00212864020.00213861881.00468781.0E-5
7.64.1270696E-63.0883373E-63.0883373E-61.00.01.768732E-51.32356645E-51.32356645E-51.00.02.1532185E-41.6113237E-41.7113076E-41.06205081.0E-50.00215113330.00161016350.00162014741.00620061.0E-5
7.72.5406805E-61.8282044E-61.8282044E-61.00.01.0888585E-57.835139E-67.835139E-61.00.01.3256045E-49.53887E-51.0538774E-41.10482421.0E-50.00132481429.534837E-49.6347416E-41.01047791.0E-5
7.84.8608285E-73.509864E-73.509864E-71.00.02.0832106E-61.5042266E-61.5042266E-61.00.02.5362791E-51.8313805E-51.8313805E-51.00.02.5359896E-41.8312308E-41.8312308E-41.00.0
7.92.0472514E-81.2688718E-81.2688718E-81.00.08.7739345E-85.438022E-85.438022E-81.00.01.068226E-66.6207895E-76.6207895E-71.00.01.0682209E-56.620771E-66.620771E-61.00.0
8.04.443582E-92.032067E-92.032067E-91.00.01.9043922E-88.7088585E-98.7088585E-91.00.02.3185973E-71.0603035E-71.0603035E-71.00.02.3185949E-61.0603031E-61.0603031E-61.00.0

Red Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1810763E-54.7590016E-56.758906E-51.42023622.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.2393811E-41.0980472.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.00257011011.03619549.0E-50.0215804520.024544110.024670921.00516651.3E-4
6.14.1810763E-54.7590016E-56.758906E-51.42023622.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.2393811E-41.0980472.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.00257011011.03619549.0E-50.0215804520.024544110.024670921.00516651.3E-4
6.24.1810763E-54.7590016E-56.758906E-51.42023622.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.2393811E-41.0980472.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.00257011011.03619549.0E-50.0215804520.024544110.024670921.00516651.3E-4
6.34.1810763E-54.7590016E-56.758906E-51.42023622.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.2393811E-41.0980472.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.00257011011.03619549.0E-50.0215804520.024544110.024670921.00516651.3E-4
6.44.1810763E-54.7590016E-56.758906E-51.42023622.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.2393811E-41.0980472.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.00257011011.03619549.0E-50.0215804520.024544110.024670921.00516651.3E-4
6.53.154503E-53.5359757E-54.5359404E-51.28279731.0E-51.3518598E-41.5153353E-41.6153202E-41.0659821.0E-50.00164464670.00184345180.00192330431.04331688.0E-50.016325280.0182912440.0183992331.00590381.1E-4
6.63.1535834E-53.5349138E-54.5348785E-51.28288231.0E-51.3514658E-41.5148803E-41.6148652E-41.06600181.0E-50.00164416760.00184289870.00192275131.04332988.0E-50.016320560.0182858050.0183937941.00590561.1E-4
6.72.8267326E-53.1469353E-54.146904E-51.31775951.0E-51.2114006E-41.3486217E-41.4486082E-41.07413981.0E-50.00147388240.00164079540.00169071331.0304235.0E-50.0146414520.016295570.0163742681.00482938.0E-5
6.82.8212884E-53.1407242E-54.1406925E-51.31838791.0E-51.20906756E-41.3459599E-41.4459465E-41.07428651.0E-50.00147104570.00163755950.00168747771.03048325.0E-50.0146134590.0162636880.0163423871.0048398.0E-5
6.92.4227871E-52.6706994E-53.6706726E-51.37442371.0E-51.03829596E-41.1445395E-41.2445281E-41.08736131.0E-50.00126339230.00139266210.00144259241.03585245.0E-50.0125623360.01384703350.0139259261.00569748.0E-5
7.02.348524E-52.5835778E-53.583552E-51.38705021.0E-51.0064714E-41.10720495E-41.20719385E-41.09030751.0E-50.00122469010.0013472640.00139719671.03706235.0E-50.0121796270.0133985980.0134775261.00589078.0E-5
7.12.2311642E-52.4462845E-53.44626E-51.40877321.0E-59.561782E-51.04836974E-41.1483592E-41.09537631.0E-50.00116352520.00127571760.00132565371.03914375.0E-50.011574520.012691460.0127704441.00622348.0E-5
7.21.6533986E-51.7670362E-52.7670185E-51.56590941.0E-57.085802E-57.572828E-58.572753E-51.13204111.0E-58.623549E-49.2166534E-49.6162845E-41.04335984.0E-50.0085901610.0091847070.00925406351.00755137.0E-5
7.31.4703092E-51.5559537E-52.555938E-51.64268271.0E-56.301173E-56.668237E-57.66817E-51.14995471.0E-57.668978E-48.1161706E-48.4159273E-41.03693333.0E-50.00764256580.0080926040.0081521181.00735416.0E-5
7.46.1331984E-65.5288874E-61.5528833E-52.80867221.0E-52.6284872E-52.3695018E-53.369478E-51.42201961.0E-53.199713E-42.884492E-43.084434E-41.06931632.0E-50.00319510980.00288080240.0029107161.01038373.0E-5
7.55.954766E-65.338517E-65.338517E-61.00.02.5520176E-52.2879161E-52.2879161E-51.00.03.1066386E-42.785187E-42.885159E-41.03589431.0E-50.0031022990.00278175040.00280169471.00716972.0E-5
7.64.9726646E-64.315309E-64.315309E-61.00.02.1311245E-51.8494053E-51.8494053E-51.00.02.5943352E-42.2514217E-42.3513992E-41.04440641.0E-50.00259130840.00224917540.00226913041.00887222.0E-5
7.73.3613894E-62.8526886E-62.8526886E-61.00.01.4405875E-51.22257525E-51.22257525E-51.00.01.7537741E-41.4883863E-41.5883715E-41.06717681.0E-50.00175239080.00148741570.00149740091.0067131.0E-5
7.81.1828961E-61.0122935E-61.0122935E-61.00.05.069545E-64.338394E-64.338394E-61.00.06.171996E-55.281869E-55.281869E-51.00.06.170282E-45.280643E-45.280643E-41.00.0
7.92.2967266E-71.861919E-71.861919E-71.00.09.843111E-77.97965E-77.97965E-71.00.01.19839215E-59.715184E-69.715184E-61.00.01.1983275E-49.714788E-59.714788E-51.00.0

Camp Rock 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6710783E-54.249999E-65.4249787E-512.7646585.0E-57.161568E-51.8214158E-58.821288E-54.84309437.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-43.3171094E-41.49597691.1E-40.0086816160.00221519380.0023947951.0810771.8E-4
6.11.6710783E-54.249999E-65.4249787E-512.7646585.0E-57.161568E-51.8214158E-58.821288E-54.84309437.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-43.3171094E-41.49597691.1E-40.0086816160.00221519380.0023947951.0810771.8E-4
6.21.6710783E-54.249999E-65.4249787E-512.7646585.0E-57.161568E-51.8214158E-58.821288E-54.84309437.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-43.3171094E-41.49597691.1E-40.0086816160.00221519380.0023947951.0810771.8E-4
6.31.6710783E-54.249999E-65.4249787E-512.7646585.0E-57.161568E-51.8214158E-58.821288E-54.84309437.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-43.3171094E-41.49597691.1E-40.0086816160.00221519380.0023947951.0810771.8E-4
6.47.982846E-63.6820359E-64.368189E-511.8635154.0E-53.421175E-51.578006E-57.577911E-54.8022076.0E-54.1644843E-41.9210564E-42.9208642E-41.52044691.0E-40.00415668870.00191943060.00208910441.0883981.7E-4
6.57.982846E-63.6820359E-64.368189E-511.8635154.0E-53.421175E-51.578006E-57.577911E-54.8022076.0E-54.1644843E-41.9210564E-42.9208642E-41.52044691.0E-40.00415668870.00191943060.00208910441.0883981.7E-4
6.67.048869E-63.4242998E-64.3424163E-512.681184.0E-53.0209088E-51.467549E-57.467461E-55.08838946.0E-53.677336E-41.7865976E-42.786419E-41.55962311.0E-40.00367125660.00178519290.00195488941.09505781.7E-4
6.76.987307E-63.3622775E-64.3362143E-512.8966584.0E-52.9945259E-51.4409683E-57.440882E-55.1638076.0E-53.6452254E-41.7542407E-42.7540652E-41.56994721.0E-40.00363925170.00175288720.00192258911.09681281.7E-4
6.86.3737602E-63.1178672E-63.3117773E-510.6219323.0E-52.731583E-51.3362222E-56.336156E-54.74184275.0E-53.3251947E-41.6267318E-42.5265856E-41.55316659.0E-50.00332022370.00162556980.00178530961.09826711.6E-4
6.96.112211E-62.933078E-62.293302E-57.8187552.0E-52.6194928E-51.2570275E-55.2569772E-54.18207034.0E-53.1887658E-41.5303263E-42.3302039E-41.52268438.0E-50.0031841940.00152930020.00167907091.09793411.5E-4
7.05.5140117E-62.64191E-61.2641884E-54.78513051.0E-52.3631264E-51.1322423E-53.1322197E-52.76638632.0E-52.8767265E-41.3784204E-41.9783377E-41.43522086.0E-50.00287300530.00137759070.00150741161.09423771.3E-4
7.14.8151105E-62.1342612E-61.213424E-55.68545251.0E-52.0636026E-59.146803E-62.914662E-53.18653662.0E-52.5121463E-41.1135685E-41.6135129E-41.4489575.0E-50.00250930830.00111303250.001222911.09871911.1E-4
7.23.818335E-61.2937372E-61.2937372E-61.00.01.6364189E-55.5445767E-65.5445767E-61.00.01.9921579E-46.750321E-57.750254E-51.14813111.0E-50.00199037286.7483535E-47.1480835E-41.05923374.0E-5
7.32.7166698E-67.383078E-77.383078E-71.00.01.1642818E-53.1641725E-63.1641725E-61.00.01.4174209E-43.852314E-54.8522754E-51.25957431.0E-50.00141651723.8516664E-44.1515508E-41.07785833.0E-5
7.42.0893426E-65.4614605E-75.4614605E-71.00.08.954295E-62.340624E-62.340624E-61.00.01.0901308E-42.8496728E-52.8496728E-51.00.00.00108959622.849313E-42.849313E-41.00.0
7.51.1681728E-63.6028484E-73.6028484E-71.00.05.0064455E-61.544077E-61.544077E-61.00.06.0951766E-51.879898E-51.879898E-51.00.06.093505E-41.8797436E-41.8797436E-41.00.0
7.61.3154387E-77.1196716E-87.1196716E-81.00.05.6375933E-73.0512876E-73.0512876E-71.00.06.863748E-63.714938E-63.714938E-61.00.06.863536E-53.7148915E-53.7148915E-51.00.0

Pleito

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6763008E-52.4764735E-55.4763994E-52.211373.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.7612324E-41.65949437.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.0014112921.09279911.2E-40.008708630.0129544120.0131222091.01295291.7E-4
6.11.6763008E-52.4764735E-55.4763994E-52.211373.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.7612324E-41.65949437.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.0014112921.09279911.2E-40.008708630.0129544120.0131222091.01295291.7E-4
6.21.6763008E-52.4764735E-55.4763994E-52.211373.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.7612324E-41.65949437.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.0014112921.09279911.2E-40.008708630.0129544120.0131222091.01295291.7E-4
6.31.6763008E-52.4764735E-55.4763994E-52.211373.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.7612324E-41.65949437.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.0014112921.09279911.2E-40.008708630.0129544120.0131222091.01295291.7E-4
6.41.6763008E-52.4764735E-55.4763994E-52.211373.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.7612324E-41.65949437.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.0014112921.09279911.2E-40.008708630.0129544120.0131222091.01295291.7E-4
6.51.6763008E-52.4764735E-55.4763994E-52.211373.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.7612324E-41.65949437.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.0014112921.09279911.2E-40.008708630.0129544120.0131222091.01295291.7E-4
6.69.910213E-61.721552E-54.7215002E-52.74258353.0E-54.247165E-57.3778734E-51.2377504E-41.6776525.0E-55.169696E-48.9788967E-49.678268E-41.07789067.0E-50.00515768630.0090512260.009160231.0120431.1E-4
6.79.910213E-61.721552E-54.7215002E-52.74258353.0E-54.247165E-57.3778734E-51.2377504E-41.6776525.0E-55.169696E-48.9788967E-49.678268E-41.07789067.0E-50.00515768630.0090512260.009160231.0120431.1E-4
6.88.300162E-61.5475129E-53.547482E-52.29237632.0E-53.557164E-56.63203E-59.631831E-51.45232023.0E-54.3299864E-48.07152E-48.5711165E-41.06189625.0E-50.0043215590.0081506630.008239931.0109529.0E-5
6.98.183114E-61.5346344E-53.534604E-52.3032222.0E-53.5070017E-56.57684E-59.576642E-51.45611613.0E-54.2689382E-48.0043747E-48.5039745E-41.06241585.0E-50.00426074680.0080840080.008173281.01104319.0E-5
7.07.1748823E-61.4133306E-52.4133164E-51.70753861.0E-53.0749135E-56.0569906E-57.05693E-51.16508851.0E-53.743064E-47.3718966E-47.571749E-41.02711012.0E-50.00373676540.00745537550.00748515181.0039943.0E-5
7.17.1671807E-61.4123676E-52.4123534E-51.7080211.0E-53.0716128E-56.0528637E-57.052803E-51.16520111.0E-53.7390468E-47.366875E-47.5667276E-41.02712862.0E-50.00373276180.00745038830.00748016451.00399663.0E-5
7.27.0649667E-61.3970962E-51.3970962E-51.00.03.0278077E-55.987418E-55.987418E-51.00.03.6857324E-47.287248E-47.3871756E-41.01371261.0E-50.00367962550.00737113740.007390991.00269332.0E-5
7.37.02082E-61.3914415E-51.3914415E-51.00.03.008888E-55.9631846E-55.9631846E-51.00.03.6627054E-47.257764E-47.3576916E-41.01376831.0E-50.00365667440.00734163730.00736149071.00270412.0E-5
7.46.987146E-61.3873975E-51.3873975E-51.00.02.9944567E-55.9458544E-55.9458544E-51.00.03.6451413E-47.2366785E-47.336606E-41.01380851.0E-50.00363916790.0073205710.0073404251.0027122.0E-5
7.56.9494554E-61.383088E-51.383088E-51.00.02.9783041E-55.9273858E-55.9273858E-51.00.03.625482E-47.2142074E-47.3141354E-41.01385151.0E-50.00361957260.0072981990.0073180531.00272042.0E-5
7.66.92694E-61.3789992E-51.3789992E-51.00.02.9686547E-55.909863E-55.909863E-51.00.03.6137376E-47.192888E-47.292816E-41.01389271.0E-50.00360786660.0072769510.00729680531.00272852.0E-5
7.76.395867E-61.26690065E-51.26690065E-51.00.02.741057E-55.4294615E-55.4294615E-51.00.03.336726E-46.6083675E-46.7083014E-41.01512231.0E-50.00333172010.00669554530.00671541131.00296712.0E-5
7.85.8664327E-61.1536581E-51.1536581E-51.00.02.5141611E-54.9441554E-54.9441554E-51.00.03.060561E-46.0178485E-46.117789E-41.01660731.0E-50.00305634950.00610101640.00612089461.00325812.0E-5
7.93.7167474E-67.1145205E-67.1145205E-61.00.01.592882E-53.0490448E-53.0490448E-51.00.01.9391612E-43.7115812E-43.8115442E-41.02693271.0E-50.00193746990.00376762430.00377758661.00264421.0E-5
8.01.0903841E-61.2879104E-61.2879104E-61.00.04.6730665E-65.5196047E-65.5196047E-61.00.05.68931E-56.719913E-56.719913E-51.00.05.6878536E-46.942094E-46.942094E-41.00.0
8.12.6894583E-71.1056095E-71.1056095E-71.00.01.1526245E-64.7383253E-74.7383253E-71.00.01.4033113E-55.768896E-65.768896E-61.00.01.4032227E-46.454915E-56.454915E-51.00.0
8.25.2967013E-92.4567874E-92.4567874E-91.00.02.2700148E-81.0529089E-81.0529089E-81.00.02.7637427E-71.2819166E-71.2819166E-71.00.02.7637393E-61.4588004E-61.4588004E-61.00.0

Tin Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.083776E-64.1815365E-64.4181368E-510.5658224.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-58.7919514E-54.90601257.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-43.3814105E-41.54991671.2E-40.00212859150.00217989650.00234952571.07781541.7E-4
6.14.083776E-64.1815365E-64.4181368E-510.5658224.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-58.7919514E-54.90601257.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-43.3814105E-41.54991671.2E-40.00212859150.00217989650.00234952571.07781541.7E-4
6.24.083776E-64.1815365E-64.4181368E-510.5658224.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-58.7919514E-54.90601257.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-43.3814105E-41.54991671.2E-40.00212859150.00217989650.00234952571.07781541.7E-4
6.34.083776E-64.1815365E-64.4181368E-510.5658224.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-58.7919514E-54.90601257.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-43.3814105E-41.54991671.2E-40.00212859150.00217989650.00234952571.07781541.7E-4
6.44.083776E-64.1815365E-64.4181368E-510.5658224.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-58.7919514E-54.90601257.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-43.3814105E-41.54991671.2E-40.00212859150.00217989650.00234952571.07781541.7E-4
6.52.3143427E-62.3731573E-61.2373133E-55.2137861.0E-59.9185745E-61.0170638E-55.017023E-54.932854.0E-51.2075195E-41.2382126E-41.7381506E-41.40375795.0E-50.00120686360.00123759860.00129752431.0484216.0E-5
6.62.3143427E-62.3731573E-61.2373133E-55.2137861.0E-59.9185745E-61.0170638E-55.017023E-54.932854.0E-51.2075195E-41.2382126E-41.7381506E-41.40375795.0E-50.00120686360.00123759860.00129752431.0484216.0E-5
6.71.7029532E-61.7497915E-61.1749774E-56.71495681.0E-57.2983503E-67.499088E-62.7498938E-53.6669712.0E-58.885379E-59.1298105E-51.21295365E-41.32856393.0E-58.881827E-49.1265864E-49.526221E-41.0437884.0E-5
6.81.2914646E-61.3299378E-61.1329925E-58.5191381.0E-55.534837E-65.6997237E-61.5699667E-52.7544611.0E-56.738455E-56.939237E-57.939168E-51.1440981.0E-56.736412E-46.9375033E-47.1373646E-41.02880882.0E-5
6.95.8708974E-76.1169936E-76.1169936E-71.00.02.5160964E-62.6215664E-62.6215664E-61.00.03.0633044E-53.1917145E-53.1917145E-51.00.03.0628822E-43.191297E-43.191297E-41.00.0
7.04.6248786E-74.832015E-74.832015E-71.00.01.9820893E-62.0708624E-62.0708624E-61.00.02.413167E-52.5212494E-52.5212494E-51.00.02.412905E-42.5210003E-42.5210003E-41.00.0
7.13.804606E-73.987147E-73.987147E-71.00.01.6305444E-61.7087764E-61.7087764E-61.00.01.9851697E-52.0804187E-52.0804187E-51.00.01.9849923E-42.0802575E-42.0802575E-41.00.0
7.23.5864858E-73.7616863E-73.7616863E-71.00.01.5370645E-61.6121504E-61.6121504E-61.00.01.87136E-51.9627789E-51.9627789E-51.00.01.8712023E-41.9626386E-41.9626386E-41.00.0
7.33.342063E-73.506347E-73.506347E-71.00.01.4323119E-61.5027196E-61.5027196E-61.00.01.7438259E-51.829549E-51.829549E-51.00.01.743689E-41.8294314E-41.8294314E-41.00.0
7.42.971242E-73.1165817E-73.1165817E-71.00.01.2733886E-61.3356774E-61.3356774E-61.00.01.5503398E-51.6261785E-51.6261785E-51.00.01.5502315E-41.6260923E-41.6260923E-41.00.0
7.51.4326713E-71.5012525E-71.5012525E-71.00.06.140018E-76.433939E-76.433939E-71.00.07.4754466E-67.8333205E-67.8333205E-61.00.07.475195E-57.833321E-57.833321E-51.00.0

Owens Valley Keough Hot Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5708529E-54.950463E-65.4950215E-511.1000165.0E-56.7320536E-52.1216127E-51.21214005E-45.71329551.0E-48.193192E-42.5828084E-43.9824468E-41.54190561.4E-40.0081630510.00258043870.002751.06571031.7E-4
6.11.5708529E-54.950463E-65.4950215E-511.1000165.0E-56.7320536E-52.1216127E-51.21214005E-45.71329551.0E-48.193192E-42.5828084E-43.9824468E-41.54190561.4E-40.0081630510.00258043870.002751.06571031.7E-4
6.21.5708529E-54.950463E-65.4950215E-511.1000165.0E-56.7320536E-52.1216127E-51.21214005E-45.71329551.0E-48.193192E-42.5828084E-43.9824468E-41.54190561.4E-40.0081630510.00258043870.002751.06571031.7E-4
6.31.5708529E-54.950463E-65.4950215E-511.1000165.0E-56.7320536E-52.1216127E-51.21214005E-45.71329551.0E-48.193192E-42.5828084E-43.9824468E-41.54190561.4E-40.0081630510.00258043870.002751.06571031.7E-4
6.41.4622509E-53.7263276E-65.372614E-514.4179875.0E-56.266639E-51.5969896E-51.159683E-47.26168161.0E-47.626962E-41.9441944E-43.343922E-41.71995261.4E-40.0076008390.00194294660.00211261631.08732591.7E-4
6.51.3335527E-52.2775241E-65.227741E-522.9536135.0E-55.7151006E-59.760785E-61.0975981E-411.2449771.0E-46.955913E-41.1883176E-42.5881513E-42.17799621.4E-40.00693418040.0011878780.00135767611.14294231.7E-4
6.61.3332855E-52.2746733E-65.227456E-522.9811275.0E-55.7139558E-59.748568E-61.0974759E-411.2578171.0E-46.9545204E-41.1868303E-42.586664E-42.17947271.4E-40.00693279640.00118639230.00135619051.14312161.7E-4
6.71.3318214E-52.2639038E-65.226379E-523.0856935.0E-55.707681E-59.702413E-61.0970144E-411.3066151.0E-46.946886E-41.18121156E-42.581046E-42.18508391.4E-40.00692520940.00118077950.00135057871.14380261.7E-4
6.81.2441338E-51.677594E-65.167751E-530.8045395.0E-55.331893E-57.1896707E-69.7189026E-513.5178699.0E-56.489646E-48.753102E-52.1751964E-42.48505781.3E-40.00647072738.751236E-40.00102499231.17125441.5E-4
6.91.1130476E-51.0302234E-65.1030172E-549.533115.0E-54.7701167E-54.4152357E-69.441484E-521.3838719.0E-55.806069E-45.3754186E-51.837472E-43.41828631.3E-40.00579092335.375404E-46.7746517E-41.26030551.4E-4
7.01.0986073E-59.577824E-75.0957733E-553.2038735.0E-54.7082318E-54.1047756E-69.4104405E-522.9255929.0E-55.730765E-44.9974507E-51.79968E-43.60119631.3E-40.00571600864.997603E-46.396904E-41.27999421.4E-4
7.11.0451338E-57.9988575E-75.0799845E-563.5088775.0E-54.4790682E-53.4280772E-68.34278E-524.3366178.0E-55.451901E-44.1736046E-51.6173103E-43.87509251.2E-40.0054385454.1740583E-45.4735155E-41.31131741.3E-4
7.29.989061E-66.543693E-75.0654337E-577.409415.0E-54.280956E-52.8044367E-68.280421E-529.5261488.0E-55.2108173E-43.4143486E-51.5413939E-44.51445961.2E-40.00519861563.41488E-44.7144358E-41.3805571.3E-4
7.39.465365E-65.458855E-75.054586E-592.5942465.0E-54.056522E-52.3395073E-68.233932E-535.1951568.0E-54.937696E-42.8483131E-51.4847971E-45.21291.2E-40.00492673932.8489542E-44.1485837E-41.45617781.3E-4
7.46.3824805E-64.0153776E-75.040152E-5125.521245.0E-52.73532E-51.7208749E-68.172074E-547.48798.0E-53.3297433E-42.0951453E-51.4094893E-46.72740651.2E-40.00332475852.0955436E-43.3952712E-41.62023411.3E-4
7.51.6192645E-62.5156373E-75.025155E-5199.756745.0E-56.9396865E-61.0781299E-68.107804E-575.2024848.0E-58.448741E-51.3126153E-51.3312457E-410.1419331.2E-48.4455294E-41.3125391E-42.6123686E-41.99031671.3E-4
7.65.7062545E-71.0790214E-75.0107898E-5464.382785.0E-52.4455355E-64.6243767E-77.04624E-5152.371677.0E-52.9773988E-55.630165E-61.1562955E-420.5375061.1E-42.977E-45.6300305E-51.7629354E-43.13130711.2E-4
7.72.5988817E-74.5445965E-84.0045445E-5881.16614.0E-51.113806E-61.9476842E-76.0194758E-5309.05816.0E-51.3560503E-52.3713033E-69.237109E-538.9537249.0E-51.3559677E-42.3712824E-51.2371046E-45.21702771.0E-4

Big Pine (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.916913E-61.28172705E-58.2816376E-56.4613117.0E-54.250036E-55.493013E-51.2492629E-42.27427637.0E-55.173191E-46.685912E-48.184909E-41.22420241.5E-40.00516116430.0066704490.0068393151.02531551.7E-4
6.19.916913E-61.28172705E-58.2816376E-56.4613117.0E-54.250036E-55.493013E-51.2492629E-42.27427637.0E-55.173191E-46.685912E-48.184909E-41.22420241.5E-40.00516116430.0066704490.0068393151.02531551.7E-4
6.29.916913E-61.28172705E-58.2816376E-56.4613117.0E-54.250036E-55.493013E-51.2492629E-42.27427637.0E-55.173191E-46.685912E-48.184909E-41.22420241.5E-40.00516116430.0066704490.0068393151.02531551.7E-4
6.35.479711E-68.1132375E-65.8112833E-57.1627185.0E-52.3484265E-53.4770575E-58.4768835E-52.43794755.0E-52.858834E-44.232527E-45.3320616E-41.25978211.1E-40.00285515890.00422725130.0043467441.02826731.2E-4
6.45.465009E-68.0975315E-65.8097125E-57.17467165.0E-52.3421257E-53.4703262E-58.4701525E-52.44073685.0E-52.851165E-44.2243348E-45.32387E-41.2602861.1E-40.00284750970.004219090.0043385841.02832211.2E-4
6.54.826767E-67.4225877E-65.7422218E-57.73614555.0E-52.068598E-53.1810716E-58.180913E-52.57174735.0E-52.518227E-43.8722943E-44.9718685E-41.28395931.1E-40.00251537510.00386829070.0039778651.02832641.1E-4
6.64.3146847E-66.8825234E-65.6882178E-58.2647285.0E-51.8491375E-52.949621E-57.9494734E-52.69508315.0E-52.2510924E-43.5905963E-44.5902372E-41.27840531.0E-40.00224881340.00358750620.00368714751.02777461.0E-4
6.73.6968106E-65.9957474E-65.5995446E-59.3391935.0E-51.5843378E-52.5695816E-57.569453E-52.9457925.0E-51.9287605E-43.128032E-43.9277817E-41.25567198.0E-50.00192708730.00312624990.00320599971.02550978.0E-5
6.83.4671132E-65.7024477E-64.5702218E-58.0144924.0E-51.4858972E-52.4438841E-56.443786E-52.6366994.0E-51.8089297E-42.9750372E-43.674829E-41.23522117.0E-50.00180745790.00297366660.00304345861.02346997.0E-5
6.92.7686972E-64.8254797E-62.4825384E-55.14464572.0E-51.1865792E-52.0680467E-54.0680054E-51.96707622.0E-51.4445644E-42.5175634E-42.9174628E-41.15884384.0E-50.00144362570.0025172560.00255715521.01585034.0E-5
7.02.1472624E-63.985277E-63.985277E-61.00.09.20252E-61.707965E-51.707965E-51.00.01.12034926E-42.0792543E-42.0792543E-41.00.00.00111978450.00207982380.00207982381.00.0
7.11.7018335E-63.3450835E-63.3450835E-61.00.07.293552E-61.4335996E-51.4335996E-51.00.08.879537E-51.7452713E-41.7452713E-41.00.08.87599E-40.00174637920.00174637921.00.0
7.21.25603E-62.794679E-62.794679E-61.00.05.3829745E-61.1977142E-51.1977142E-51.00.06.553574E-51.4581217E-41.4581217E-41.00.06.551642E-40.00145961730.00145961731.00.0
7.31.112297E-62.610519E-62.610519E-61.00.04.7669787E-61.1187892E-51.1187892E-51.00.05.803642E-51.3620428E-41.3620428E-41.00.05.802127E-40.0013635020.0013635021.00.0
7.41.0137181E-62.4836752E-62.4836752E-61.00.04.3444993E-61.064428E-51.064428E-51.00.05.2892992E-51.2958662E-41.2958662E-41.00.05.288041E-40.00129719180.00129719181.00.0
7.59.598608E-72.407328E-62.407328E-61.00.04.1136827E-61.03170805E-51.03170805E-51.00.05.0082934E-51.2560343E-41.2560343E-41.00.05.007165E-40.00125721320.00125721321.00.0
7.67.929459E-72.0450152E-62.0450152E-61.00.03.3983351E-68.764322E-68.764322E-61.00.04.1373947E-51.0670057E-41.0670057E-41.00.04.1366243E-40.00106858250.00106858251.00.0
7.74.155788E-71.1606729E-61.1606729E-61.00.01.7810507E-64.974303E-64.974303E-61.00.02.1684076E-56.05605E-56.05605E-51.00.02.1681961E-46.085995E-46.085995E-41.00.0
7.81.14666925E-72.592197E-72.592197E-71.00.04.914296E-71.1109411E-61.1109411E-61.00.05.9831386E-61.3525627E-51.3525627E-51.00.05.9829777E-51.3636416E-41.3636416E-41.00.0
7.92.9231824E-84.1462318E-84.1462318E-81.00.01.2527924E-71.7769564E-71.7769564E-71.00.01.5252737E-62.1634426E-62.1634426E-61.00.01.5252632E-52.197062E-52.197062E-51.00.0

Santa Ynez (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2269712E-53.6750775E-59.674857E-52.63255866.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.1748769E-41.38089936.0E-50.00168239790.00191642530.00204617621.06770471.3E-40.0166971780.0190564380.019213391.00823621.6E-4
6.13.2269712E-53.6750775E-59.674857E-52.63255866.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.1748769E-41.38089936.0E-50.00168239790.00191642530.00204617621.06770471.3E-40.0166971780.0190564380.019213391.00823621.6E-4
6.23.2269712E-53.6750775E-59.674857E-52.63255866.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.1748769E-41.38089936.0E-50.00168239790.00191642530.00204617621.06770471.3E-40.0166971780.0190564380.019213391.00823621.6E-4
6.33.2269712E-53.6750775E-59.674857E-52.63255866.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.1748769E-41.38089936.0E-50.00168239790.00191642530.00204617621.06770471.3E-40.0166971780.0190564380.019213391.00823621.6E-4
6.41.4404779E-51.48492945E-54.484885E-53.0202683.0E-56.1733306E-56.363831E-59.36364E-51.47138423.0E-57.513438E-47.7452604E-48.4447186E-41.09030787.0E-50.00748808540.0077188170.00780812231.01156999.0E-5
6.51.4404779E-51.48492945E-54.484885E-53.0202683.0E-56.1733306E-56.363831E-59.36364E-51.47138423.0E-57.513438E-47.7452604E-48.4447186E-41.09030787.0E-50.00748808540.0077188170.00780812231.01156999.0E-5
6.61.280208E-51.301186E-54.301147E-53.3055593.0E-55.4864904E-55.5763932E-58.576226E-51.53795223.0E-56.6777546E-46.7871617E-47.486686E-41.10306587.0E-50.0066577240.00676664340.0068461021.01174278.0E-5
6.71.2457027E-51.262838E-54.2628002E-53.37557153.0E-55.3386164E-55.4120515E-58.4118896E-51.55428843.0E-56.497827E-46.5871974E-47.2867365E-41.10619687.0E-50.006478860.006567870.0066473441.01210058.0E-5
6.81.2095134E-51.2230827E-54.223046E-53.45278863.0E-55.1835254E-55.2416784E-58.2415216E-51.57230573.0E-56.309115E-46.3798914E-46.9795083E-41.09398546.0E-50.00629123250.0063617640.00643131841.01093337.0E-5
6.91.1104036E-51.115726E-54.1156924E-53.68880223.0E-54.758786E-54.781596E-57.7814526E-51.62737563.0E-55.7922816E-45.82005E-46.4197014E-41.10303196.0E-50.0057772070.00580495360.00587454761.01198867.0E-5
7.01.0577444E-51.05815925E-54.0581275E-53.83508183.0E-54.5331115E-54.53489E-57.534754E-51.66150753.0E-55.5176654E-45.5198424E-46.119511E-41.10863886.0E-50.00550398560.005506270.00557588461.01264277.0E-5
7.11.0021775E-59.9809E-63.99806E-54.0057113.0E-54.294976E-54.277459E-57.2773306E-51.70132093.0E-55.2278786E-45.206574E-45.8062613E-41.1151796.0E-50.00521559640.0051945080.00526414441.01340587.0E-5
7.28.874109E-68.748706E-63.8748443E-54.42904853.0E-53.8031343E-53.7493923E-56.74928E-51.80009963.0E-54.629332E-44.56394E-45.0637114E-41.10950455.0E-50.00461970.00455468470.0046144121.01311336.0E-5
7.37.5504267E-67.5050243E-63.75048E-54.9972923.0E-53.235857E-53.2164E-56.216303E-51.93268993.0E-53.9389438E-43.9152734E-44.4150776E-41.1276555.0E-50.00393196940.00390848240.0039682481.01529126.0E-5
7.46.309394E-66.183062E-63.6182875E-55.8519353.0E-52.703998E-52.6498574E-55.6497778E-52.13210633.0E-53.2916202E-43.2257332E-43.6256041E-41.12396284.0E-50.0032867490.00322114840.00327098721.01547245.0E-5
7.54.6103073E-64.4408016E-62.4440713E-55.5036712.0E-51.975831E-51.9031871E-53.9031493E-52.05084872.0E-52.4053088E-42.316891E-42.6168214E-41.12945393.0E-50.0024027070.0023145450.00235445241.01724214.0E-5
7.61.2858658E-61.3008196E-61.1300806E-58.6874511.0E-55.5108417E-65.574929E-61.5574873E-52.79373481.0E-56.7092435E-56.787272E-57.787204E-51.14732461.0E-56.707218E-46.7852676E-46.8852E-41.01472781.0E-5
7.75.3302307E-75.612138E-71.0561208E-518.818511.0E-52.2843826E-62.4052001E-61.2405176E-55.1576481.0E-52.7812002E-52.9282955E-53.9282662E-51.34148561.0E-52.7808524E-42.9279455E-43.0279162E-41.03414371.0E-5
7.84.613933E-84.80301E-84.80301E-81.00.01.9773998E-72.0584326E-72.0584326E-71.00.02.4074816E-62.5061388E-62.5061388E-61.00.02.4074554E-52.5061116E-52.5061116E-51.00.0

Rose Canyon

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5923203E-54.9714607E-58.9712616E-51.80455264.0E-51.9679888E-42.1304654E-42.5303802E-41.18771244.0E-50.00239339330.00259094780.00266076651.02694717.0E-50.0236777980.0256185180.0257354431.00456421.2E-4
6.14.5923203E-54.9714607E-57.9713114E-51.60341443.0E-51.9679888E-42.1304654E-42.4304015E-41.14078433.0E-50.00239339330.00259094780.00265079251.02309756.0E-50.0236777980.0256185180.02572571.00418381.1E-4
6.22.8844734E-52.9669678E-54.9669085E-51.67406892.0E-51.2361443E-41.2714976E-41.4714722E-41.15727482.0E-50.00150396650.0015469760.00158691421.02581694.0E-50.01493828650.0153648730.0154337981.00448587.0E-5
6.32.3171577E-52.3162425E-54.3161963E-51.86344742.0E-59.9302975E-59.926383E-51.19261844E-41.20146322.0E-50.00120834310.00120788040.00124783211.03307584.0E-50.0120179380.0120121520.0120813111.00575757.0E-5
6.42.0066604E-51.9668067E-53.9667673E-52.01685672.0E-58.599689E-58.428905E-51.0428736E-41.23725882.0E-50.00104650920.0010257460.00105571531.0292173.0E-50.0104159460.0102114790.0102708661.00581576.0E-5
6.51.776989E-51.7115402E-53.711506E-52.1685182.0E-57.615444E-57.33497E-59.334823E-51.27264642.0E-59.267859E-48.926737E-49.226469E-41.0335773.0E-50.0092293030.0088746630.008924221.0055845.0E-5
6.61.5227364E-51.4340872E-52.4340728E-51.69729761.0E-56.52585E-56.145947E-57.145885E-51.16269891.0E-57.942326E-47.480173E-47.6800236E-41.02671732.0E-50.0079140.00744103360.0074807361.00533564.0E-5
6.71.2703898E-51.1674277E-52.1674161E-51.8565741.0E-55.4444143E-55.0031682E-56.003118E-51.19986331.0E-56.626558E-46.089697E-46.289575E-41.03282242.0E-50.0066068330.00606230930.0061020671.00655824.0E-5
6.81.1554917E-51.0610384E-52.0610278E-51.94246291.0E-54.9520135E-54.547231E-55.5471854E-51.21990411.0E-56.0274085E-45.5348873E-45.734777E-41.03611452.0E-50.00601108650.0055044140.00554419361.0072274.0E-5
6.98.732078E-67.882285E-61.7882207E-52.26865771.0E-53.7422655E-53.37808E-54.3780463E-51.29601611.0E-54.5552556E-44.112066E-44.3119836E-41.04861742.0E-50.00454592940.0040895150.00411939251.00730593.0E-5
7.05.9337494E-65.107436E-61.51073855E-52.95791961.0E-52.5430107E-52.1888829E-53.1888612E-51.4568441.0E-53.0956755E-42.6646405E-42.764614E-41.03751851.0E-50.00309136670.0026614610.00268140781.00749472.0E-5
7.15.013409E-64.17734E-64.17734E-61.00.02.1485863E-51.7902763E-51.7902763E-51.00.02.6155898E-42.1794444E-42.1794444E-41.00.00.00261251330.00217731880.0021872971.00458281.0E-5
7.24.120763E-63.2820917E-63.2820917E-61.00.01.7660293E-51.4066032E-51.4066032E-51.00.02.1499286E-41.7124058E-41.7124058E-41.00.00.00214784990.00171109580.00172107861.00583421.0E-5
7.33.2081239E-62.4404965E-62.4404965E-61.00.01.374903E-51.0459229E-51.0459229E-51.00.01.6738157E-41.2733374E-41.2733374E-41.00.00.00167255560.00127261480.00127261481.00.0
7.42.4194755E-61.7680321E-61.7680321E-61.00.01.0369139E-57.5772587E-67.5772587E-61.00.01.2623696E-49.224927E-59.224927E-51.00.00.00126165279.221151E-49.221151E-41.00.0
7.51.3842889E-69.3782967E-79.3782967E-71.00.05.9326535E-64.019264E-64.019264E-61.00.07.222766E-54.8933474E-54.8933474E-51.00.07.220419E-44.8923056E-44.8923056E-41.00.0
7.61.0021575E-66.4113493E-76.4113493E-71.00.04.2949537E-62.7477186E-62.7477186E-61.00.05.2289808E-53.345298E-53.345298E-51.00.05.2277505E-43.344816E-43.344816E-41.00.0
7.78.7620116E-86.449304E-86.449304E-81.00.03.7551473E-72.763987E-72.763987E-71.00.04.5718825E-63.3651493E-63.3651493E-61.00.04.5717883E-53.3651013E-53.3651013E-51.00.0

Big Pine (Central)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2706755E-51.4250602E-58.424961E-55.9120037.0E-55.4456385E-56.107279E-51.410679E-42.30983238.0E-56.628048E-47.433441E-48.4326975E-41.13442721.0E-40.0066083140.0074136390.00755260141.01874411.4E-4
6.18.342579E-69.510835E-65.951036E-56.25711155.0E-53.5753423E-54.076021E-51.0075777E-42.4719646.0E-54.3521097E-44.9616426E-45.661296E-41.14101237.0E-50.00434359630.0049541550.0050437091.01807659.0E-5
6.26.923899E-67.967221E-64.7966903E-56.0205314.0E-52.9673516E-53.4144894E-58.414319E-52.46429785.0E-53.6121515E-44.1565404E-44.7562912E-41.14429086.0E-50.0036062860.00415210940.0042317771.01918738.0E-5
6.32.728396E-63.4243646E-61.342433E-53.92023971.0E-51.1693074E-51.4675771E-52.4675624E-51.68138521.0E-51.4235388E-41.7866373E-41.8866194E-41.0559611.0E-50.00142262720.00178674330.00179672541.00558671.0E-5
6.42.7136944E-63.4086581E-61.3408624E-53.93369581.0E-51.1630066E-51.4608458E-52.4608311E-51.68452491.0E-51.4158686E-41.7784433E-41.8784255E-41.0562191.0E-50.00141496690.00177856230.00178854461.00561251.0E-5
6.52.6971882E-63.3910032E-61.3390969E-53.94896981.0E-51.1559327E-51.4532795E-52.453265E-51.68808891.0E-51.4072572E-41.7692328E-41.869215E-41.05651161.0E-50.00140636640.00176936660.00177934881.00564171.0E-5
6.62.669092E-63.3610236E-61.336099E-53.9752741.0E-51.1438916E-51.4404312E-52.4404168E-51.69422651.0E-51.3925991E-41.7535927E-41.8535751E-41.05701581.0E-50.00139172670.00175375110.00176373361.0056921.0E-5
6.72.6408059E-63.3310494E-61.3331016E-54.0020471.0E-51.1317691E-51.4275853E-52.4275709E-51.70047351.0E-51.3778417E-41.737955E-41.8379377E-41.05752891.0E-50.00137698770.00173813810.00174812081.00574331.0E-5
6.82.1786943E-62.8545066E-61.2854478E-54.50322251.0E-59.337228E-61.2233547E-52.2233424E-51.81741441.0E-51.1367482E-41.4893398E-41.5893248E-41.06713391.0E-50.00113616690.00148987040.00149985551.0067021.0E-5
6.91.4411696E-62.0685677E-61.2068547E-55.8342531.0E-56.1764263E-68.865261E-61.8865174E-52.12798831.0E-57.51954E-51.0792949E-41.1792841E-41.09264311.0E-57.5169955E-40.00108025480.0010902441.00924711.0E-5
7.01.0073411E-61.5543274E-61.5543274E-61.00.04.317169E-66.661387E-66.661387E-61.00.05.2560266E-58.109952E-58.109952E-51.00.05.2547833E-48.1217213E-48.1217213E-41.00.0
7.18.947104E-71.430316E-61.430316E-61.00.03.834468E-66.1299124E-66.1299124E-61.00.04.6683643E-57.462928E-57.462928E-51.00.04.6673836E-47.4751483E-47.4751483E-41.00.0
7.25.215166E-71.0112277E-61.0112277E-61.00.02.2350691E-64.333826E-64.333826E-61.00.02.7211627E-55.27631E-55.27631E-51.00.02.7208295E-45.289683E-45.289683E-41.00.0
7.34.4024807E-79.220183E-79.220183E-71.00.01.8867761E-63.951501E-63.951501E-61.00.02.2971257E-54.8108504E-54.8108504E-51.00.02.2968883E-44.824433E-44.824433E-41.00.0
7.43.6130905E-78.359109E-78.359109E-71.00.01.5484665E-63.5824705E-63.5824705E-61.00.01.8852415E-54.3615746E-54.3615746E-51.00.01.8850817E-44.3752496E-44.3752496E-41.00.0
7.53.408184E-78.1087245E-78.1087245E-71.00.01.4606494E-63.475163E-63.475163E-61.00.01.7783263E-54.230933E-54.230933E-51.00.01.778184E-44.2444657E-44.2444657E-41.00.0
7.63.1428627E-77.732167E-77.732167E-71.00.01.3469405E-63.313782E-63.313782E-61.00.01.6398877E-54.0344585E-54.0344585E-51.00.01.6397667E-44.0477706E-44.0477706E-41.00.0
7.71.7972785E-75.0782415E-75.0782415E-71.00.07.70262E-72.1763874E-62.1763874E-61.00.09.377899E-62.6497206E-52.6497206E-51.00.09.377503E-52.6633305E-42.6633305E-41.00.0
7.84.9230927E-81.1981747E-71.1981747E-71.00.02.1098968E-75.135033E-75.135033E-71.00.02.5687964E-66.2518866E-66.2518866E-61.00.02.5687666E-56.2971965E-56.2971965E-51.00.0
7.93.6805972E-94.1051638E-94.1051638E-91.00.01.5773987E-81.7593557E-81.7593557E-81.00.01.9204828E-72.1420155E-72.1420155E-71.00.01.920481E-62.1898923E-62.1898923E-61.00.0

Channel Islands Thrust

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2156251E-52.4092022E-56.409106E-52.66026074.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.432439E-41.38737654.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00132633851.05564367.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.012622321.0094771.2E-4
6.12.2156251E-52.4092022E-56.409106E-52.66026074.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.432439E-41.38737654.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00132633851.05564367.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.012622321.0094771.2E-4
6.22.2156251E-52.4092022E-56.409106E-52.66026074.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.432439E-41.38737654.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00132633851.05564367.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.012622321.0094771.2E-4
6.32.2156251E-52.4092022E-56.409106E-52.66026074.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.432439E-41.38737654.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00132633851.05564367.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.012622321.0094771.2E-4
6.42.2156251E-52.4092022E-56.409106E-52.66026074.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.432439E-41.38737654.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00132633851.05564367.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.012622321.0094771.2E-4
6.52.2156251E-52.4092022E-56.409106E-52.66026074.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.432439E-41.38737654.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00132633851.05564367.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.012622321.0094771.2E-4
6.62.2156251E-52.4092022E-56.409106E-52.66026074.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.432439E-41.38737654.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00132633851.05564367.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.012622321.0094771.2E-4
6.71.0601296E-51.1379544E-52.137943E-51.87875991.0E-54.5433335E-54.876859E-55.8768102E-51.205041.0E-55.5301044E-45.936007E-46.235829E-41.0505093.0E-50.0055163630.0059206530.0059902391.0117537.0E-5
6.81.0246747E-51.0996669E-52.0996558E-51.90935621.0E-54.391389E-54.7127756E-55.7127287E-51.21217921.0E-55.345204E-45.7363417E-46.0361694E-41.05226813.0E-50.00533236560.0057220250.00579162451.01216347.0E-5
6.99.049551E-69.699645E-69.699645E-61.00.03.878322E-54.1569267E-54.1569267E-51.00.04.7208337E-45.059924E-45.259823E-41.03950632.0E-50.00471081720.00504882030.0050985681.00985345.0E-5
7.08.6542195E-69.274603E-69.274603E-61.00.03.7088983E-53.9747716E-53.9747716E-51.00.04.5146482E-44.8382508E-45.038154E-41.04131722.0E-50.0045054870.00482812940.0048679361.00824484.0E-5
7.18.391028E-68.992925E-68.992925E-61.00.03.5961057E-53.8540562E-53.8540562E-51.00.04.3773788E-44.6913436E-44.8912497E-41.04261172.0E-50.0043687660.00468185030.0047216631.00850374.0E-5
7.25.965188E-66.3716957E-66.3716957E-61.00.02.556484E-52.7306984E-52.7306984E-51.00.03.1120746E-43.3241237E-43.524057E-41.06014622.0E-50.003107720.00331920940.00334910981.00900833.0E-5
7.34.877518E-65.206007E-65.206007E-61.00.02.0903482E-52.231127E-52.231127E-51.00.02.5447016E-42.716063E-42.9160085E-41.0736162.0E-50.00254178980.00271278970.00274270821.01102883.0E-5
7.43.8829853E-64.141863E-64.141863E-61.00.01.664126E-51.7750723E-51.7750723E-51.00.02.0258849E-42.1609403E-42.3608972E-41.09253232.0E-50.0020240390.0021588810.0021888161.01386613.0E-5
7.51.3489616E-61.4277905E-61.4277905E-61.00.05.7812517E-66.119088E-66.119088E-61.00.07.038446E-57.449739E-58.449665E-51.13422291.0E-57.036218E-47.4472814E-47.647133E-41.02683542.0E-5
7.66.058192E-76.35378E-76.35378E-71.00.02.5963652E-62.7230458E-62.7230458E-61.00.03.161029E-53.3152595E-53.3152595E-51.00.03.1605794E-43.314781E-43.414748E-41.03015791.0E-5
7.72.2170494E-72.2607924E-72.2607924E-71.00.09.5016367E-79.689107E-79.689107E-71.00.01.1568181E-51.17964355E-51.17964355E-51.00.01.1567579E-41.179592E-41.2795802E-41.08476511.0E-5
7.82.1613102E-81.5466837E-81.5466837E-81.00.09.262757E-86.628645E-86.628645E-81.00.01.1277401E-68.070372E-78.070372E-71.00.01.1277344E-58.07035E-68.07035E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (Borrego)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.543992E-52.7925962E-57.792457E-52.79039865.0E-51.5187653E-41.1967727E-41.796701E-41.50128836.0E-50.00184752840.00145610920.0015659491.07543371.1E-40.0183224360.014868150.0150060691.00927621.4E-4
6.13.542281E-52.7925962E-57.792457E-52.79039865.0E-51.5180321E-41.1967727E-41.796701E-41.50128836.0E-50.00184663720.00145610920.0015659491.07543371.1E-40.0183136720.014868150.0150060691.00927621.4E-4
6.23.4688688E-52.7925962E-57.792457E-52.79039865.0E-51.4865733E-41.1967727E-41.796701E-41.50128836.0E-50.00180840050.00145610910.0015659491.07543371.1E-40.0179375480.014868150.0150060691.00927621.4E-4
6.33.2087122E-52.7771312E-57.7769924E-52.8003695.0E-51.3750899E-41.1901455E-41.790074E-41.504086.0E-50.00167288620.00144805120.0015578921.07585421.1E-40.0166034880.0147893080.0149272371.00932631.4E-4
6.43.1828724E-52.773829E-57.77369E-52.80251265.0E-51.364017E-41.1887303E-41.788659E-41.50468026.0E-50.00165942540.00144633060.00155617151.07594451.1E-40.0164708850.0147725020.0149104331.00933711.4E-4
6.53.1563577E-52.7477974E-57.74766E-52.81958945.0E-51.3526545E-41.17757496E-41.7775044E-41.50946166.0E-50.00164561280.00143276680.00154260921.07666461.1E-40.01633480.014639910.0147778611.00942291.4E-4
6.63.1467625E-52.7322194E-57.732083E-52.82996425.0E-51.3485427E-41.17089934E-41.7708291E-41.51236676.0E-50.00164061420.00142464980.00153449321.0771021.1E-40.0162855480.0145602280.014698191.00947521.4E-4
6.73.1223695E-52.6940217E-57.693887E-52.85591135.0E-51.3380898E-41.1545303E-41.7544611E-41.51963196.0E-50.00162790680.00140474640.0015145921.07819591.1E-40.016160330.014364510.0145024981.00960621.4E-4
6.83.1015585E-52.6761221E-57.675988E-52.86832525.0E-51.3291716E-41.1468597E-41.746791E-41.52310786.0E-50.0016170650.00139541950.0015052661.07871941.1E-40.0160534870.0142717720.0144097741.00966951.4E-4
6.92.6641965E-52.2183434E-57.218232E-53.2538845.0E-51.1417485E-49.506842E-51.5506272E-41.63106446.0E-50.00138919240.00115684730.00126672011.09497611.1E-40.01380540150.0118821910.0120205271.01164231.4E-4
7.02.3854353E-52.047825E-57.0477225E-53.44156485.0E-51.02228936E-48.776099E-51.4775572E-41.68361516.0E-50.00124392660.00106796890.00117785151.10288931.1E-40.0123698660.01098262050.0111210831.01260751.4E-4
7.12.3672901E-52.0314741E-57.031373E-53.4612175.0E-51.0145135E-48.706028E-51.4705506E-41.68911776.0E-50.00123447020.00105944610.00116932951.10371781.1E-40.01227635050.0108978580.0110363331.01270651.4E-4
7.22.2717244E-51.9542116E-56.9541136E-53.55852655.0E-59.735599E-58.3749255E-51.4374423E-41.71636436.0E-50.00118466460.00101917250.00112906041.10782071.1E-40.011783690.0104953220.0106338521.01319931.4E-4
7.32.1016205E-51.8383771E-56.8382855E-53.71974025.0E-59.006634E-57.878522E-51.387805E-41.76150426.0E-50.0010960069.5879E-40.00106868451.1146181.1E-40.0109061630.0098909010.0100295161.01401451.4E-4
7.42.0683625E-51.8186302E-56.818539E-53.7492725.0E-58.86411E-57.7938974E-51.379343E-41.7697736.0E-50.0010786719.48496E-40.00105839161.11586311.1E-40.0107345010.00978762750.0099262581.01416371.4E-4
7.51.9993966E-51.7781347E-56.778046E-53.81188545.0E-58.568561E-57.6203556E-51.3619899E-41.78730486.0E-50.0010427239.2738547E-40.00103728351.1185031.1E-40.0103784380.0095745480.0097132081.01448211.4E-4
7.61.788966E-51.6434618E-56.643379E-54.04230835.0E-57.666772E-57.043219E-51.3042796E-41.85182326.0E-59.3302975E-48.5717626E-49.67082E-41.12821831.1E-40.009291220.0088664150.0090051741.01564991.4E-4
7.71.5125781E-51.4236738E-56.4236025E-54.51199055.0E-56.4823165E-56.101317E-51.2100951E-41.98333436.0E-57.889362E-47.4258295E-48.5250125E-41.14802161.1E-40.0078614120.0077141610.0078530811.01800851.4E-4
7.81.250089E-51.262994E-56.262931E-54.9587975.0E-55.3574146E-55.4127195E-51.1412395E-42.10844026.0E-56.5207E-46.588E-47.587341E-41.15169121.0E-40.0065015990.0068677590.00699686631.01879911.3E-4
7.99.561E-69.754065E-65.9753576E-56.1260185.0E-54.0975072E-54.180247E-51.0179996E-42.4352626.0E-54.987573E-45.0882675E-45.98781E-41.17678759.0E-50.00497639370.00535236070.0054717181.02231.2E-4
8.08.01699E-68.292994E-65.829258E-57.02913575.0E-53.4358076E-53.554092E-59.553879E-52.6881356.0E-54.1822926E-44.3262533E-45.225864E-41.20794229.0E-50.00417443040.00457331860.004692771.02611911.2E-4
8.16.541947E-66.461784E-63.646159E-55.64265063.0E-52.8036617E-52.7693068E-56.769196E-52.44436484.0E-53.4129233E-43.3711144E-44.0708785E-41.20757657.0E-50.00340768650.00358057560.00368021731.02782851.0E-4
8.21.7968189E-67.9684827E-77.9684827E-71.00.07.70063E-63.4150596E-63.4150596E-61.00.09.3751136E-54.157758E-54.157758E-51.00.09.371159E-44.7107413E-44.7107413E-41.00.0
8.31.5167889E-74.8951257E-84.8951257E-81.00.06.500522E-72.0979108E-72.0979108E-71.00.07.9143565E-62.5542038E-62.5542038E-61.00.07.914075E-52.9679897E-52.9679897E-51.00.0

Whittier alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.2554693E-54.7252182E-56.725124E-51.42324092.0E-51.8236451E-42.0249544E-42.4248734E-41.19749534.0E-50.0022180270.00246291630.00252276871.02430146.0E-50.021960190.0243902630.0245170931.00521.3E-4
6.14.2554693E-54.7252182E-56.725124E-51.42324092.0E-51.8236451E-42.0249544E-42.4248734E-41.19749534.0E-50.0022180270.00246291630.00252276871.02430146.0E-50.021960190.0243902630.0245170931.00521.3E-4
6.24.2554693E-54.7252182E-56.725124E-51.42324092.0E-51.8236451E-42.0249544E-42.4248734E-41.19749534.0E-50.0022180270.00246291630.00252276871.02430146.0E-50.021960190.0243902630.0245170931.00521.3E-4
6.31.9617712E-51.826841E-52.8268229E-51.5473831.0E-58.40732E-57.829095E-58.8290166E-51.12771871.0E-50.00102311059.527944E-49.7277533E-41.0209712.0E-50.010184130.00949040.0095399251.00521855.0E-5
6.41.5611336E-51.3604089E-52.3603954E-51.73506311.0E-56.690401E-55.8301972E-56.8301386E-51.17151081.0E-58.142519E-47.096013E-47.295871E-41.02816492.0E-50.0081127480.00707533770.00712498371.00701685.0E-5
6.51.5150166E-51.3100744E-52.3100612E-51.76330541.0E-56.492767E-55.614487E-56.6144305E-51.17810071.0E-57.9020765E-46.8335526E-46.9334847E-41.01462361.0E-50.0078740360.0068145080.0068443031.00437243.0E-5
6.61.295588E-51.0380544E-51.0380544E-51.00.05.552402E-54.44873E-54.44873E-51.00.06.7579525E-45.415002E-45.415002E-41.00.00.0067374380.0054033430.0054132891.00184071.0E-5
6.71.2542085E-59.899189E-69.899189E-61.00.05.3750682E-54.2424414E-54.2424414E-51.00.06.542181E-45.163967E-45.163967E-41.00.00.0065229540.0051534640.0051534641.00.0
6.81.2195878E-59.49523E-69.49523E-61.00.05.2267E-54.069322E-54.069322E-51.00.06.36165E-44.9532915E-44.9532915E-41.00.00.00634346860.00494369630.00494369631.00.0
6.91.1580298E-58.772739E-68.772739E-61.00.04.9628903E-53.759692E-53.759692E-51.00.06.040644E-44.5764804E-44.5764804E-41.00.00.006024250.00456846460.00456846461.00.0
7.01.0964795E-58.083794E-68.083794E-61.00.04.6991136E-53.4644378E-53.4644378E-51.00.05.7196687E-44.217152E-44.217152E-41.00.00.00570496960.0042104590.0042104591.00.0
7.11.0230601E-57.32646E-67.32646E-61.00.04.3844695E-53.1398744E-53.1398744E-51.00.05.336784E-43.8221394E-43.8221394E-41.00.00.0053239860.00381675920.00381675921.00.0
7.29.40865E-66.5430822E-66.5430822E-61.00.04.032216E-52.8041486E-52.8041486E-51.00.04.908117E-43.4135283E-43.4135283E-41.00.00.00489729130.00340940240.00340940241.00.0
7.38.237384E-65.5975433E-65.5975433E-61.00.03.5302593E-52.3989258E-52.3989258E-51.00.04.2972428E-42.920311E-42.920311E-41.00.00.00428894260.00291679920.00291679921.00.0
7.47.5316966E-65.0276153E-65.0276153E-61.00.03.2278298E-52.154675E-52.154675E-51.00.03.9291743E-42.623011E-42.623011E-41.00.00.00392223430.00262002670.00262002671.00.0
7.56.149649E-63.9336355E-63.9336355E-61.00.02.6355372E-51.6858336E-51.6858336E-51.00.03.208294E-42.052318E-42.052318E-41.00.00.0032036660.00205051180.00205051181.00.0
7.65.457711E-63.3951796E-63.3951796E-61.00.02.338998E-51.4550694E-51.4550694E-51.00.02.8473578E-41.771411E-41.771411E-41.00.00.00284371220.00177007980.00177007981.00.0
7.74.1676276E-62.3329922E-62.3329922E-61.00.01.7861139E-59.998504E-69.998504E-61.00.02.1743766E-41.2172572E-41.2172572E-41.00.00.00217225030.00121666350.00121666351.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.384417E-89.384417E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0218927E-74.0218927E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8966467E-64.8966467E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8965718E-54.8965718E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4397174E-93.4397174E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4741646E-81.4741646E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.7947953E-71.7947953E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.794794E-61.794794E-61.00.0

San Diego Trough north alt1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.329252E-58.821269E-51.18210046E-41.34005713.0E-53.14073E-43.7800326E-44.0799193E-41.07933443.0E-50.00381713550.00459304870.0046527731.01300326.0E-50.037522310.0450451370.045159731.0025441.2E-4
6.13.7940346E-54.4884906E-56.488401E-51.4455642.0E-51.6259136E-41.9235026E-42.1234641E-41.10395692.0E-50.00197775240.0023394310.00237933731.01705814.0E-50.0196024310.0231567320.0232251121.00295297.0E-5
6.22.8645263E-53.329672E-55.3296055E-51.60063972.0E-51.2275964E-41.4269259E-41.6268973E-41.14014152.0E-50.00149357390.00173592060.00176586851.01725183.0E-50.01483575350.0172262680.0172754061.00285265.0E-5
6.32.8645263E-53.329672E-55.3296055E-51.60063972.0E-51.2275964E-41.4269259E-41.6268973E-41.14014152.0E-50.00149357390.00173592060.00176586851.01725183.0E-50.01483575350.0172262680.0172754061.00285265.0E-5
6.42.2204576E-52.544832E-54.544781E-51.78588652.0E-59.5159E-51.0905972E-41.2905755E-41.18336572.0E-50.0011579450.00132700280.0013569631.02257733.0E-50.0115192980.0131919590.0132314311.00299224.0E-5
6.52.1004838E-52.4024695E-54.4024215E-51.83245672.0E-59.0017624E-51.0295897E-41.2295692E-41.19423212.0E-50.00109541360.00125281350.00128277591.02391613.0E-50.0109002960.0124585920.0124980931.00317064.0E-5
6.61.820557E-52.070479E-53.070458E-51.482971.0E-57.802154E-58.8731824E-59.873094E-51.11268911.0E-59.4949827E-40.00107977990.00109975841.01850222.0E-50.0094545160.0107460050.0107756831.00276173.0E-5
6.71.5884485E-51.7983646E-52.7983466E-51.55605081.0E-56.807459E-57.707051E-58.706974E-51.12974131.0E-58.284929E-49.3793223E-49.5791346E-41.02130352.0E-50.0082541090.0093401040.0093698231.00318193.0E-5
6.81.4331171E-51.6201066E-52.6200903E-51.61723341.0E-56.141786E-56.94313E-57.94306E-51.14401721.0E-57.4750587E-48.450002E-48.649833E-41.02364862.0E-50.00744996450.0084181390.0084478861.00353373.0E-5
6.91.2574203E-51.4205835E-51.4205835E-51.00.05.3888325E-56.0880735E-56.0880735E-51.00.06.558929E-47.409723E-47.5096486E-41.01348581.0E-50.00653960370.0073852030.00740505571.00268822.0E-5
7.01.0883844E-51.2289262E-51.2289262E-51.00.04.664421E-55.2667205E-55.2667205E-51.00.05.677453E-46.4103556E-46.510292E-41.01558971.0E-50.005662970.0063919930.0064118651.00310892.0E-5
7.19.393088E-61.060702E-51.060702E-51.00.04.025547E-54.545787E-54.545787E-51.00.04.900001E-45.533098E-45.6330423E-41.01806311.0E-50.00488921070.0055194180.00553930741.00360362.0E-5
7.28.190791E-69.258625E-69.258625E-61.00.03.510292E-53.9679224E-53.9679224E-51.00.04.2729423E-44.8298817E-44.929833E-41.02069451.0E-50.00426473560.0048194650.0048393681.00412992.0E-5
7.36.268162E-67.089716E-67.089716E-61.00.02.6863276E-53.0384144E-53.0384144E-51.00.03.2701128E-43.6986457E-43.6986457E-41.00.00.0032653050.0036925360.0036925361.00.0
7.44.985186E-65.6426816E-65.6426816E-61.00.02.1364907E-52.4182698E-52.4182698E-51.00.02.600867E-42.9438498E-42.9438498E-41.00.00.0025978250.00293999140.00293999141.00.0
7.51.7489613E-61.969678E-61.969678E-61.00.07.495527E-68.4414505E-68.4414505E-61.00.09.125422E-51.02770035E-41.02770035E-41.00.09.1216754E-40.00102724720.00102724721.00.0
7.61.6988751E-71.7533823E-71.7533823E-71.00.07.2808916E-77.5144936E-77.5144936E-71.00.08.864449E-69.14886E-69.14886E-61.00.08.8640954E-59.1485024E-59.1485024E-51.00.0

Cleghorn

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.9267165E-69.831764E-62.9831568E-53.03420282.0E-53.39712E-54.2135514E-57.213425E-51.71195853.0E-54.1352084E-45.1288976E-45.7285896E-41.11692426.0E-50.0041275220.0051322140.00525159851.02326171.2E-4
6.17.9267165E-69.831764E-62.9831568E-53.03420282.0E-53.39712E-54.2135514E-57.213425E-51.71195853.0E-54.1352084E-45.1288976E-45.7285896E-41.11692426.0E-50.0041275220.0051322140.00525159851.02326171.2E-4
6.27.9267165E-69.831764E-62.9831568E-53.03420282.0E-53.39712E-54.2135514E-57.213425E-51.71195853.0E-54.1352084E-45.1288976E-45.7285896E-41.11692426.0E-50.0041275220.0051322140.00525159851.02326171.2E-4
6.37.9267165E-69.831764E-62.9831568E-53.03420282.0E-53.39712E-54.2135514E-57.213425E-51.71195853.0E-54.1352084E-45.1288976E-45.7285896E-41.11692426.0E-50.0041275220.0051322140.00525159851.02326171.2E-4
6.44.3445207E-66.0916254E-61.6091564E-52.6415881.0E-51.8619241E-52.6106709E-53.610645E-51.38303331.0E-52.2666567E-43.1780385E-43.5779114E-41.12582394.0E-50.00226434620.00318772460.00327743781.02814339.0E-5
6.54.3445207E-66.0916254E-61.6091564E-52.6415881.0E-51.8619241E-52.6106709E-53.610645E-51.38303331.0E-52.2666567E-43.1780385E-43.5779114E-41.12582394.0E-50.00226434620.00318772460.00327743781.02814339.0E-5
6.64.040109E-65.774033E-61.5773976E-52.73188161.0E-51.7314638E-52.4745626E-53.474538E-51.40410181.0E-52.1078532E-43.0123728E-43.3122825E-41.09955933.0E-50.0021058550.00302251430.00309230271.02308957.0E-5
6.73.3632055E-65.06753E-61.5067479E-52.97333811.0E-51.4413658E-52.1717806E-53.1717587E-51.46044171.0E-51.7547216E-42.643825E-42.943746E-41.1134423.0E-50.00175333660.00265484860.00270471581.01878355.0E-5
6.83.2902772E-64.9894375E-61.4989388E-53.0042241.0E-51.4101111E-52.138313E-53.1382915E-51.46764841.0E-51.716675E-42.6030882E-42.9030102E-41.11521773.0E-50.00171534950.00261420760.00266407691.01907625.0E-5
6.93.031547E-64.6911987E-61.4691152E-53.13164141.0E-51.299228E-52.0104984E-53.0104784E-51.49737911.0E-51.5816953E-42.4475096E-42.7474362E-41.12254363.0E-50.001580570.00245898050.00250885751.02028365.0E-5
7.02.8259715E-64.3707637E-61.437072E-53.28791951.0E-51.211125E-51.8731711E-52.8731525E-51.5338441.0E-51.4744449E-42.2803496E-42.5802813E-41.13152873.0E-50.0014734670.00229217480.00234206021.02176335.0E-5
7.12.5962665E-64.065983E-61.4065942E-53.459421.0E-51.1126809E-51.7425526E-52.7425353E-51.57386081.0E-51.3546048E-42.1213535E-42.4212898E-41.14138913.0E-50.00135377930.00213349590.00218338921.02338585.0E-5
7.22.3247253E-63.6765352E-61.3676498E-53.7199421.0E-59.96307E-61.5756486E-52.5756328E-51.63464931.0E-51.21293626E-41.9181852E-42.2181276E-41.15636783.0E-50.00121227440.00193071660.001980621.02584715.0E-5
7.32.056928E-63.235253E-61.3235221E-54.09093861.0E-58.815376E-61.3865297E-52.3865157E-51.72121511.0E-51.0732192E-41.6879707E-41.9879201E-41.17769833.0E-50.0010727010.00170094230.00175085721.02934555.0E-5
7.41.8055999E-62.8256538E-61.2825625E-54.5389941.0E-57.738263E-61.210989E-52.2109769E-51.82576131.0E-59.4209274E-51.4742807E-41.7742364E-41.2034593.0E-59.4169343E-40.00148767050.00153759611.03355965.0E-5
7.51.4683443E-62.4248943E-62.4248943E-61.00.06.292889E-61.0392363E-51.0392363E-51.00.07.661323E-51.2651978E-41.4651724E-41.1580582.0E-57.658682E-40.00127888120.00131883011.03123744.0E-5
7.69.804088E-71.9004091E-61.9004091E-61.00.04.201745E-68.144585E-68.144585E-61.00.05.1155046E-59.915586E-59.915586E-51.00.05.114327E-40.00100555830.00102553821.01986942.0E-5
7.77.3434086E-71.6285549E-61.6285549E-61.00.03.1471714E-66.9795024E-66.9795024E-61.00.03.831614E-58.4972155E-58.4972155E-51.00.03.8309532E-48.6387293E-48.838557E-41.02313162.0E-5
7.86.434184E-71.5221389E-61.5221389E-61.00.02.7575045E-66.523436E-66.523436E-61.00.03.35721E-57.9419966E-57.9419966E-51.00.03.3567028E-48.080443E-48.2802813E-41.02473122.0E-5
7.93.4943926E-77.5750586E-77.5750586E-71.00.01.497596E-63.2464498E-63.2464498E-61.00.01.8233079E-53.9524817E-53.9524817E-51.00.01.8231584E-44.0401975E-44.140157E-41.02474131.0E-5
8.06.717524E-85.837515E-85.837515E-81.00.02.8789387E-72.501792E-72.501792E-71.00.03.505102E-63.0459275E-63.0459275E-61.00.03.5050467E-53.2751934E-53.2751934E-51.00.0
8.13.1984914E-81.2949885E-81.2949885E-81.00.01.370782E-75.549951E-85.549951E-81.00.01.6689258E-66.757063E-76.757063E-71.00.01.6689133E-57.741151E-67.741151E-61.00.0
8.21.21887656E-83.6471115E-93.6471115E-91.00.05.2237567E-81.563048E-81.563048E-81.00.06.359922E-71.9030107E-71.9030107E-71.00.06.3599036E-62.245849E-62.245849E-61.00.0

Palos Verdes

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.126063E-57.622572E-51.0622344E-41.39353793.0E-52.6251914E-43.266441E-43.866245E-41.18362626.0E-50.00319148650.00397017370.00405981671.02257919.0E-50.0314603930.039049090.03916441.0029531.2E-4
6.16.126063E-57.622572E-51.0622344E-41.39353793.0E-52.6251914E-43.266441E-43.866245E-41.18362626.0E-50.00319148650.00397017370.00405981671.02257919.0E-50.0314603930.039049090.03916441.0029531.2E-4
6.26.126063E-57.622572E-51.0622344E-41.39353793.0E-52.6251914E-43.266441E-43.866245E-41.18362626.0E-50.00319148650.00397017370.00405981671.02257919.0E-50.0314603930.039049090.03916441.0029531.2E-4
6.34.0838047E-54.9749007E-56.974801E-51.4019982.0E-51.7500846E-42.1319388E-42.5318534E-41.18758264.0E-50.00212864580.0025927540.00265259851.02308146.0E-50.0210837090.0256467460.0257246961.00303948.0E-5
6.44.0838047E-54.9749007E-56.974801E-51.4019982.0E-51.7500846E-42.1319388E-42.5318534E-41.18758264.0E-50.00212864580.0025927540.00265259851.02308146.0E-50.0210837090.0256467460.0257246961.00303948.0E-5
6.53.0512005E-53.6561592E-55.6560864E-51.54700212.0E-51.3075917E-41.566838E-41.8667911E-41.19143843.0E-50.00159083040.0019060720.00194599571.02094554.0E-50.0157949030.0189091730.0189582281.00259425.0E-5
6.62.9255087E-53.5154393E-55.5153687E-51.56889892.0E-51.2537291E-41.5065364E-41.8064912E-41.19910233.0E-50.00152534640.00183277820.0018727051.02178484.0E-50.0151491890.0181882440.0182373341.0026995.0E-5
6.72.287198E-52.724828E-54.7247733E-51.73397142.0E-59.801909E-51.16773626E-41.4677012E-41.25687733.0E-50.0011927290.00142088330.00146082651.02811154.0E-50.0118634770.0141272170.0141765111.00348935.0E-5
6.82.1325764E-52.5431878E-53.5431625E-51.39319731.0E-59.139293E-51.0898972E-41.2898754E-41.18348362.0E-50.0011121410.00132623230.00135619251.02259053.0E-50.0110659150.0131922110.01323168351.0029924.0E-5
6.91.9009392E-52.2613547E-53.2613323E-51.44220281.0E-58.1466285E-59.6912096E-51.1691016E-41.20635262.0E-59.914007E-40.00117935350.0012093181.02540773.0E-50.0098698940.0117396330.0117791631.00336734.0E-5
7.01.7098473E-52.0319356E-52.0319356E-51.00.07.3277115E-58.708052E-59.7079654E-51.11482621.0E-58.917837E-40.0010597750.00107975371.01885192.0E-50.0088821340.0105556460.01058532951.0028123.0E-5
7.11.5982785E-51.899476E-51.899476E-51.00.06.849585E-58.1404054E-59.1403235E-51.1228341.0E-58.336179E-49.907284E-40.00101070861.02016712.0E-50.0083049770.0098714790.0098912821.0020062.0E-5
7.21.4468002E-51.7197237E-51.7197237E-51.00.06.200425E-57.370083E-58.370009E-51.13567361.0E-57.546402E-48.970222E-49.1700425E-41.0222762.0E-50.0075208270.0089422840.0089621051.00221662.0E-5
7.35.288233E-66.2036747E-66.2036747E-61.00.02.2663658E-52.6587102E-52.6587102E-51.00.02.7589512E-43.236848E-43.236848E-41.00.00.00275552830.00323555620.00323555621.00.0
7.48.279556E-78.408347E-78.408347E-71.00.03.5483763E-63.6035726E-63.6035726E-61.00.04.3200624E-54.3872686E-54.3872686E-51.00.04.3192226E-44.3864746E-44.3864746E-41.00.0
7.56.559831E-76.667229E-76.667229E-71.00.02.8113532E-62.857381E-62.857381E-61.00.03.4227687E-53.4788125E-53.4788125E-51.00.03.4222414E-43.4783344E-43.4783344E-41.00.0
7.63.5018968E-73.5620027E-73.5620027E-71.00.01.500812E-61.526572E-61.526572E-61.00.01.8272232E-51.8585903E-51.8585903E-51.00.01.8270731E-41.8584808E-41.8584808E-41.00.0
7.71.1986104E-71.2198376E-71.2198376E-71.00.05.1369005E-75.2278745E-75.2278745E-71.00.06.2541585E-66.364919E-66.364919E-61.00.06.2539824E-56.364741E-56.364741E-51.00.0
7.83.0445005E-83.1027582E-83.1027582E-81.00.01.3047858E-71.3297536E-71.3297536E-71.00.01.5885756E-61.6189739E-61.6189739E-61.00.01.5885644E-51.6189642E-51.6189642E-51.00.0

Lost Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.233523E-52.5106583E-54.510608E-51.79658392.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.3759293E-41.27879043.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00135929861.03813655.0E-50.0115866860.0130330910.0131416571.00833011.1E-4
6.12.233523E-52.5106583E-54.510608E-51.79658392.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.3759293E-41.27879043.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00135929861.03813655.0E-50.0115866860.0130330910.0131416571.00833011.1E-4
6.22.233523E-52.5106583E-54.510608E-51.79658392.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.3759293E-41.27879043.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00135929861.03813655.0E-50.0115866860.0130330910.0131416571.00833011.1E-4
6.32.233523E-52.5106583E-54.510608E-51.79658392.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.3759293E-41.27879043.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00135929861.03813655.0E-50.0115866860.0130330910.0131416571.00833011.1E-4
6.41.2288092E-51.3781108E-52.3780969E-51.72562111.0E-55.2662188E-55.906108E-56.906049E-51.16930631.0E-56.409735E-47.189252E-47.3891087E-41.02779922.0E-50.0063912790.00717520060.00721491361.00553484.0E-5
6.51.2288092E-51.3781108E-52.3780969E-51.72562111.0E-55.2662188E-55.906108E-56.906049E-51.16930631.0E-56.409735E-47.189252E-47.3891087E-41.02779922.0E-50.0063912790.00717520060.00721491361.00553484.0E-5
6.68.58281E-69.63377E-61.9633673E-52.03800541.0E-53.6782953E-54.12874E-55.128699E-51.24219471.0E-54.4774043E-45.026414E-45.2263134E-41.03976982.0E-50.00446839350.0050232050.00505305451.00594223.0E-5
6.77.205685E-68.088302E-61.8088222E-52.23634341.0E-53.088114E-53.466415E-54.4663804E-51.28847251.0E-53.7591302E-44.2203604E-44.4202758E-41.04736942.0E-50.00375277760.00422036040.00425023351.00707843.0E-5

Cucamonga

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1848348E-51.1737109E-52.1736992E-51.85198861.0E-55.0777642E-55.0300943E-58.029943E-51.59638043.0E-56.180424E-46.122446E-47.1218336E-41.16323341.0E-40.00616326370.0061067450.00621607341.01790291.1E-4
6.11.1848348E-51.1737109E-52.1736992E-51.85198861.0E-55.0777642E-55.0300943E-58.029943E-51.59638043.0E-56.180424E-46.122446E-47.1218336E-41.16323341.0E-40.00616326370.0061067450.00621607341.01790291.1E-4
6.21.1848348E-51.1737109E-52.1736992E-51.85198861.0E-55.0777642E-55.0300943E-58.029943E-51.59638043.0E-56.180424E-46.122446E-47.1218336E-41.16323341.0E-40.00616326370.0061067450.00621607341.01790291.1E-4
6.31.1848348E-51.1737109E-52.1736992E-51.85198861.0E-55.0777642E-55.0300943E-58.029943E-51.59638043.0E-56.180424E-46.122446E-47.1218336E-41.16323341.0E-40.00616326370.0061067450.00621607341.01790291.1E-4
6.41.1848348E-51.1737109E-52.1736992E-51.85198861.0E-55.0777642E-55.0300943E-58.029943E-51.59638043.0E-56.180424E-46.122446E-47.1218336E-41.16323341.0E-40.00616326370.0061067450.00621607341.01790291.1E-4
6.51.16988695E-51.157614E-52.1576025E-51.86383581.0E-55.013705E-54.9611102E-57.9609614E-51.60467343.0E-56.102476E-46.0385047E-47.0379005E-41.1655041.0E-40.0060857450.00602325940.00613259661.01815261.1E-4
6.61.16988695E-51.157614E-52.1576025E-51.86383581.0E-55.013705E-54.9611102E-57.9609614E-51.60467343.0E-56.102476E-46.0385047E-47.0379005E-41.1655041.0E-40.0060857450.00602325940.00613259661.01815261.1E-4
6.71.1397107E-51.1115039E-52.1114927E-51.89967191.0E-54.884383E-54.7635025E-57.7633595E-51.62975873.0E-55.9451134E-45.798046E-46.797466E-41.17237191.0E-40.0059292340.0057840610.00588348231.01718891.0E-4
6.81.058387E-59.785037E-61.9784939E-52.02195861.0E-54.5358654E-54.1935207E-56.193437E-51.47690622.0E-55.521017E-45.1044265E-46.003967E-41.17622769.0E-50.005507320.0050937020.00518324371.01757889.0E-5
6.99.690046E-68.579504E-61.8579418E-52.16555861.0E-54.1528107E-53.6768783E-55.6768047E-51.54391972.0E-55.054874E-44.475684E-45.275326E-41.17866368.0E-50.0050433910.00446759540.0045472381.01782678.0E-5
7.09.381461E-68.18712E-61.8187038E-52.22142081.0E-54.020564E-53.508719E-55.5086486E-51.56998862.0E-54.893937E-44.2710314E-45.0706894E-41.18722848.0E-50.00488317340.0042637470.0043434061.01868288.0E-5
7.18.946492E-67.781904E-61.7781826E-52.28502251.0E-53.8341543E-53.3350592E-55.3349926E-51.59966952.0E-54.667083E-44.0596814E-44.8593566E-41.19697988.0E-50.00465729370.00405319270.00413286831.01965758.0E-5
7.28.251016E-66.9752878E-61.6975218E-52.43362261.0E-53.5361016E-52.9893748E-54.989315E-51.66901622.0E-54.3043532E-43.6389584E-44.4386674E-41.21976328.0E-50.00429602530.00363392520.00371363431.02193478.0E-5
7.37.717881E-66.4863584E-61.6486294E-52.5416871.0E-53.3076216E-52.7798384E-54.779783E-51.71944632.0E-54.026285E-43.38393E-44.183659E-41.23633158.0E-50.0040189980.00337971030.00345943981.02359078.0E-5
7.47.275623E-66.032004E-61.6031943E-52.65781381.0E-53.118087E-52.5851192E-54.5850673E-51.77363872.0E-53.7956095E-43.1469302E-43.9466785E-41.2541368.0E-50.00378913320.00314340460.00322315331.02537018.0E-5
7.56.5109502E-65.100593E-65.100593E-61.00.02.7903774E-52.1859503E-53.1859283E-51.4574571.0E-53.3967546E-42.661071E-43.2609113E-41.22541316.0E-50.00339156740.00265880160.00271864211.02250666.0E-5
7.65.4495326E-63.908547E-63.908547E-61.00.02.335493E-51.6750808E-52.675064E-51.59697621.0E-52.8430918E-42.0392207E-42.3391595E-41.14708513.0E-50.00283945720.00203826160.00206820041.01468843.0E-5
7.74.7997164E-63.2002263E-63.2002263E-61.00.02.057005E-51.3715184E-52.3715047E-51.72910891.0E-52.504116E-41.6696959E-41.969646E-41.17964343.0E-50.0025012960.00166937010.001699321.01794093.0E-5
7.83.3941733E-62.0641678E-62.0641678E-61.00.01.4546376E-58.846404E-61.8846315E-52.13039281.0E-51.7708774E-41.07699656E-41.276975E-41.18568162.0E-50.00176946680.00107660320.00109658171.0185572.0E-5
7.99.750552E-75.155798E-75.155798E-71.00.04.178801E-62.2096258E-62.2096258E-61.00.05.0875715E-52.6901867E-52.6901867E-51.00.05.086407E-42.689865E-42.689865E-41.00.0
8.01.133857E-76.053372E-86.053372E-81.00.04.8593864E-72.594302E-72.594302E-71.00.05.9162867E-63.1585582E-63.1585582E-61.00.05.916129E-53.158515E-53.158515E-51.00.0

San Jacinto (Clark) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.482615E-52.1153059E-56.115221E-52.89093954.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.7064562E-41.88240728.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.00119304981.08149469.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115944451.00946711.1E-4
6.14.482615E-52.1153059E-56.115221E-52.89093954.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.7064562E-41.88240728.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.00119304981.08149469.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115944451.00946711.1E-4
6.24.482615E-52.1153059E-56.115221E-52.89093954.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.7064562E-41.88240728.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.00119304981.08149469.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115944451.00946711.1E-4
6.34.482615E-52.1153059E-56.115221E-52.89093954.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.7064562E-41.88240728.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.00119304981.08149469.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115944451.00946711.1E-4
6.44.482615E-52.1153059E-56.115221E-52.89093954.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.7064562E-41.88240728.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.00119304981.08149469.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115944451.00946711.1E-4
6.53.7294863E-51.7354667E-55.7353973E-53.30481554.0E-51.5982533E-47.437504E-51.5436909E-42.07554968.0E-50.00194413669.051445E-49.95063E-41.09934169.0E-50.019272160.0094859020.009594861.01148621.1E-4
6.63.7294863E-51.7354667E-55.7353973E-53.30481554.0E-51.5982533E-47.437504E-51.5436909E-42.07554968.0E-50.00194413669.051445E-49.95063E-41.09934169.0E-50.019272160.0094859020.009594861.01148621.1E-4
6.73.6039248E-51.6602684E-55.660202E-53.4092094.0E-51.5444479E-47.115244E-51.5114674E-42.12426668.0E-50.00187874348.659408E-49.5586287E-41.10384329.0E-50.018629390.0090881890.00919718951.01199361.1E-4
6.83.5031844E-51.6231123E-55.6230474E-53.46436124.0E-51.5012783E-46.956012E-51.4955456E-42.15000418.0E-50.00182627398.4656954E-49.3649334E-41.10622149.0E-50.018113380.0088887880.008997811.01226511.1E-4
6.93.435112E-51.6061658E-55.6061017E-53.4903634.0E-51.4721078E-46.8833884E-51.4882837E-42.16213828.0E-50.00179081788.377344E-49.27659E-41.10734269.0E-50.0177645480.0087965120.0089055441.01239491.1E-4
7.02.8959772E-51.43355255E-55.4334952E-53.7902314.0E-51.241074E-46.1436534E-51.4143162E-42.30207688.0E-50.00150996037.477359E-48.376686E-41.12027349.0E-50.0149974160.0078683310.0079774651.01387011.1E-4
7.12.6002877E-51.2827699E-55.2827185E-54.1182124.0E-51.11436144E-45.4974706E-51.3497031E-42.45513468.0E-50.00135589076.6911365E-47.590534E-41.13441639.0E-50.0134764750.00704834330.00715756841.01549651.1E-4
7.22.2544838E-51.1260331E-55.125988E-54.55225324.0E-59.661716E-54.825768E-51.2825381E-42.65768728.0E-50.0011756795.873803E-46.7732745E-41.15313279.0E-50.0116947850.006192560.0063018791.01765321.1E-4
7.31.75334E-51.0810585E-55.081015E-54.70003754.0E-57.514098E-54.6330264E-51.2632656E-42.7266538.0E-59.144575E-45.6392635E-46.538756E-41.15950529.0E-50.0091070360.00593321960.00604256661.01842961.1E-4
7.41.5924552E-51.0610475E-55.061005E-54.76981934.0E-56.82463E-54.547268E-51.2546904E-42.75921828.0E-58.305819E-45.534906E-46.434408E-41.16251439.0E-50.0082748440.00582058630.0059299461.01878851.1E-4
7.51.3428931E-59.851045E-64.9850652E-55.0604434.0E-55.7551293E-54.221809E-51.2221471E-42.89484248.0E-57.004617E-45.1388505E-46.038388E-41.17504649.0E-50.0069825790.0054062090.0055156141.0202371.1E-4
7.61.0688787E-58.614091E-64.8613747E-55.64351464.0E-54.5808283E-53.6917012E-51.1691406E-43.16694268.0E-55.5757316E-44.4937237E-45.3933193E-41.20018949.0E-50.0055617620.00474136140.00485083971.02309011.1E-4
7.78.81236E-67.4673385E-64.746704E-56.3566214.0E-53.776671E-53.200249E-51.1199993E-43.49972568.0E-54.597127E-43.8956082E-44.7952577E-41.23093949.0E-50.00458762840.00413441940.00424396431.02649591.1E-4
7.87.780431E-66.695928E-64.669566E-56.973744.0E-53.3344273E-52.8696519E-51.0869422E-43.78771478.0E-54.0589093E-43.4932428E-44.3929284E-41.25755029.0E-50.00405150370.00372262720.00383221781.0294391.1E-4
7.96.5437994E-65.7797783E-64.5779547E-57.92064054.0E-52.8044553E-52.4770245E-59.476851E-53.82590137.0E-53.4138895E-43.0153614E-43.8151204E-41.26522828.0E-50.00340864950.00323432940.00333400581.03081831.0E-4
8.05.4488164E-64.812793E-64.48126E-59.3111424.0E-52.3351862E-52.0626094E-59.062465E-54.39368967.0E-52.8427184E-42.510939E-43.310738E-41.31852598.0E-50.00283908450.00271070380.00281043261.03679081.0E-4
8.12.8397242E-61.3665673E-62.136654E-515.6351912.0E-51.217019E-55.856704E-63.5856527E-56.12230543.0E-51.4816198E-47.1303046E-51.0130091E-41.42070943.0E-50.00148063258.113543E-48.5132185E-41.04926034.0E-5
8.22.030244E-66.3151083E-76.3151083E-71.00.08.701017E-62.7064723E-62.7064723E-61.00.01.05929736E-43.2950808E-53.2950808E-51.00.00.00105879253.9470522E-43.9470522E-41.00.0
8.31.0659804E-62.9230563E-72.9230563E-71.00.04.568479E-61.2527379E-61.2527379E-61.00.05.5619817E-51.5251981E-51.5251981E-51.00.05.5605895E-41.8556409E-41.8556409E-41.00.0

Kern Canyon (Lake Isabella) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.2387383E-64.0016344E-62.4001554E-55.9979382.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-54.7149242E-52.74926573.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.5876972E-41.23943645.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.00219579461.05262181.1E-4
6.14.2387383E-64.0016344E-62.4001554E-55.9979382.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-54.7149242E-52.74926573.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.5876972E-41.23943645.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.00219579461.05262181.1E-4
6.24.2387383E-64.0016344E-62.4001554E-55.9979382.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-54.7149242E-52.74926573.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.5876972E-41.23943645.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.00219579461.05262181.1E-4
6.34.2387383E-64.0016344E-62.4001554E-55.9979382.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-54.7149242E-52.74926573.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.5876972E-41.23943645.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.00219579461.05262181.1E-4
6.44.2387383E-64.0016344E-62.4001554E-55.9979382.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-54.7149242E-52.74926573.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.5876972E-41.23943645.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.00219579461.05262181.1E-4
6.52.7857532E-62.5178624E-61.2517838E-54.9716131.0E-51.1938888E-51.0790796E-53.079058E-52.85341142.0E-51.4534626E-41.3137035E-41.713651E-41.30444284.0E-50.00145251230.00131295960.00139285461.06085118.0E-5
6.62.2233348E-61.944119E-61.1944099E-56.14370781.0E-59.528543E-68.331913E-62.8331746E-53.40038922.0E-51.1600384E-41.014364E-41.4143235E-41.39429584.0E-50.0011594330.00101390960.00109382851.07882258.0E-5
6.72.1635126E-61.8834991E-61.18834805E-56.30925751.0E-59.272164E-68.072114E-62.8071952E-53.47764562.0E-51.1288274E-49.827364E-51.3826971E-41.40698674.0E-50.00112825429.8231E-40.00106223141.08136078.0E-5
6.81.8685711E-61.583138E-61.1583122E-57.3165591.0E-58.008137E-66.7848596E-62.6784724E-53.94771962.0E-59.74947E-58.2602586E-51.2259927E-41.48420634.0E-59.745194E-48.2572375E-48.856742E-41.07260366.0E-5
6.91.5815071E-61.3064887E-61.1306475E-58.6540941.0E-56.77787E-65.5992255E-62.5599113E-54.57190282.0E-58.251744E-56.816846E-51.0816574E-41.58674164.0E-58.248681E-46.8147824E-47.414373E-41.08798386.0E-5
7.01.3772564E-61.1210681E-61.1121057E-59.9200541.0E-55.9025137E-64.8045686E-62.4804473E-55.16268442.0E-57.186073E-55.8494075E-59.8491735E-51.683794.0E-57.18375E-45.8478885E-46.4475375E-41.10254116.0E-5
7.11.0916998E-68.7637505E-71.0876366E-512.410631.0E-54.678705E-63.7558877E-62.3755812E-56.32495262.0E-55.6961744E-54.5726985E-58.572516E-51.8747174.0E-55.6947145E-44.571771E-45.0715427E-41.10931685.0E-5
7.27.6277024E-75.901439E-75.901439E-71.00.03.2690114E-62.5291856E-61.252916E-54.95383171.0E-53.9799485E-53.0792406E-56.079148E-51.97423613.0E-53.9792358E-43.07882E-43.4786967E-41.129884.0E-5
7.35.3265916E-74.3824264E-74.3824264E-71.00.02.282823E-61.8781814E-61.1878163E-56.32428931.0E-52.7793016E-52.2866623E-54.2866166E-51.87461722.0E-52.778954E-42.2864307E-42.5863622E-41.13117893.0E-5
7.43.4946007E-73.0065647E-73.0065647E-71.00.01.497685E-61.2885271E-61.12885145E-58.7607891.0E-51.8234163E-51.5687707E-53.5687393E-52.27486372.0E-51.8232666E-41.5686621E-41.868615E-41.19121583.0E-5
7.51.8317026E-71.4244755E-71.4244755E-71.00.07.850152E-76.1048934E-76.1048934E-71.00.09.557518E-67.432683E-67.432683E-61.00.09.5571064E-57.432442E-58.4323685E-51.13453531.0E-5
7.62.572245E-81.735264E-81.735264E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436845E-87.436845E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.0543557E-79.0543557E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054324E-69.054324E-61.00.0

Elysian Park (Upper)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1876025E-53.7035275E-54.7034904E-51.27000281.0E-51.3660437E-41.5871569E-41.8871092E-41.18898733.0E-50.00166188950.0019311220.00198102561.02584175.0E-50.0164951590.0191898630.0192781351.00459999.0E-5
6.13.1876025E-53.7035275E-54.7034904E-51.27000281.0E-51.3660437E-41.5871569E-41.8871092E-41.18898733.0E-50.00166188950.0019311220.00198102561.02584175.0E-50.0164951590.0191898630.0192781351.00459999.0E-5
6.23.1876025E-53.7035275E-54.7034904E-51.27000281.0E-51.3660437E-41.5871569E-41.8871092E-41.18898733.0E-50.00166188950.0019311220.00198102561.02584175.0E-50.0164951590.0191898630.0192781351.00459999.0E-5
6.33.1876025E-53.7035275E-54.7034904E-51.27000281.0E-51.3660437E-41.5871569E-41.8871092E-41.18898733.0E-50.00166188950.0019311220.00198102561.02584175.0E-50.0164951590.0191898630.0192781351.00459999.0E-5
6.41.9273462E-52.120244E-53.1202228E-51.47163381.0E-58.259794E-59.086542E-51.108636E-41.22008572.0E-50.0010051660.00110589670.00114585251.03612974.0E-50.0100063150.0110207440.01108008251.00538436.0E-5
6.51.9273462E-52.120244E-53.1202228E-51.47163381.0E-58.259794E-59.086542E-51.108636E-41.22008572.0E-50.0010051660.00110589670.00114585251.03612974.0E-50.0100063150.0110207440.01108008251.00538436.0E-5
6.69.813258E-69.665589E-61.9665491E-52.0345881.0E-54.205614E-54.1423333E-55.1422918E-51.24139991.0E-55.119132E-45.042196E-45.242095E-41.03964532.0E-50.0051073560.00503147950.00506132841.00593253.0E-5
6.79.801478E-69.653158E-61.9653062E-52.03592041.0E-54.2005657E-54.137006E-55.1369647E-51.24171071.0E-55.112989E-45.0357135E-45.2356126E-41.03969632.0E-50.00510124070.0050250260.00505487531.00594013.0E-5
6.88.102489E-67.772994E-61.7772916E-52.28649571.0E-53.4724493E-53.3312434E-54.3312102E-51.30017821.0E-54.2268867E-44.0550836E-44.2550027E-41.04930082.0E-50.0042188560.00404817840.00407805671.00738073.0E-5
6.96.08275E-65.481441E-65.481441E-61.00.02.6068668E-52.3491682E-52.3491682E-51.00.03.173398E-42.8597447E-42.959716E-41.03495811.0E-50.00316887020.00285614240.00287608521.00698242.0E-5
7.05.5995934E-64.9827686E-64.9827686E-61.00.02.3998036E-52.1354552E-52.1354552E-51.00.02.9213692E-42.5996132E-42.5996132E-41.00.00.00291753160.00259663960.00260661361.00384121.0E-5
7.14.709881E-64.0873906E-64.0873906E-61.00.02.0185047E-51.7517272E-51.7517272E-51.00.02.4572524E-42.1325232E-42.1325232E-41.00.00.0024545370.00213051840.0021404971.00468371.0E-5
7.23.6063436E-62.9779412E-62.9779412E-61.00.01.5455667E-51.27625435E-51.27625435E-51.00.01.881565E-41.55373E-41.55373E-41.00.00.00187997260.00155265490.00156263941.00643061.0E-5
7.32.471135E-62.0954562E-62.0954562E-61.00.01.0590536E-58.980496E-68.980496E-61.00.01.2893214E-41.0933213E-41.0933213E-41.00.00.00128857360.00109279060.00110277981.00914081.0E-5
7.41.163943E-61.0275061E-61.0275061E-61.00.04.988318E-64.40359E-64.40359E-61.00.06.0731076E-55.361242E-55.361242E-51.00.06.071448E-45.3599785E-45.3599785E-41.00.0
7.54.99459E-74.917601E-74.917601E-71.00.02.140537E-62.1075416E-62.1075416E-61.00.02.6060725E-52.5659032E-52.5659032E-51.00.02.605767E-42.5656226E-42.5656226E-41.00.0
7.62.4667852E-72.4778313E-72.4778313E-71.00.01.0571932E-61.0619274E-61.0619274E-61.00.01.2871251E-51.2928893E-51.2928893E-51.00.01.2870505E-41.2928178E-41.2928178E-41.00.0
7.78.2312795E-87.3864214E-87.3864214E-81.00.03.527691E-73.165609E-73.165609E-71.00.04.294955E-63.854123E-63.854123E-61.00.04.2948723E-53.854068E-53.854068E-51.00.0
7.82.7819295E-81.7565618E-81.7565618E-81.00.01.1922555E-77.528122E-87.528122E-81.00.01.45157E-69.1654863E-79.1654863E-71.00.01.45156055E-59.165463E-69.165463E-61.00.0

Dry Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.222801E-66.439381E-65.6439058E-58.7646715.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-57.759577E-52.81173165.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-44.2592915E-41.26779959.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.00345574131.02969671.0E-4
6.16.222801E-66.439381E-65.6439058E-58.7646715.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-57.759577E-52.81173165.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-44.2592915E-41.26779959.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.00345574131.02969671.0E-4
6.26.222801E-66.439381E-65.6439058E-58.7646715.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-57.759577E-52.81173165.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-44.2592915E-41.26779959.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.00345574131.02969671.0E-4
6.36.222801E-66.439381E-65.6439058E-58.7646715.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-57.759577E-52.81173165.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-44.2592915E-41.26779959.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.00345574131.02969671.0E-4
6.46.222801E-66.439381E-65.6439058E-58.7646715.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-57.759577E-52.81173165.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-44.2592915E-41.26779959.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.00345574131.02969671.0E-4
6.52.8528623E-62.9521684E-61.2952139E-54.38733051.0E-51.22264955E-51.2652138E-52.2652011E-51.79037021.0E-51.4884741E-41.540376E-41.7403452E-41.12981842.0E-50.00148747740.00154016160.00157011541.01944853.0E-5
6.62.8528623E-62.9521684E-61.2952139E-54.38733051.0E-51.22264955E-51.2652138E-52.2652011E-51.79037021.0E-51.4884741E-41.540376E-41.7403452E-41.12981842.0E-50.00148747740.00154016160.00157011541.01944853.0E-5
6.72.541E-62.6293578E-61.2629332E-54.80321.0E-51.0889954E-51.1268677E-52.1268565E-51.88740561.0E-51.3257713E-41.3719614E-41.571934E-41.14575672.0E-50.00132498060.00137196130.00140192021.02183653.0E-5

Blue Cut

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1227985E-52.2719574E-52.2719574E-51.00.09.097391E-59.73663E-51.07365326E-41.1026951.0E-50.00110704450.00118484810.00125476521.05900937.0E-50.0110154580.0117911520.0118899731.00838091.0E-4
6.12.1227985E-52.2719574E-52.2719574E-51.00.09.097391E-59.73663E-51.07365326E-41.1026951.0E-50.00110704450.00118484810.00125476521.05900937.0E-50.0110154580.0117911520.0118899731.00838091.0E-4
6.22.1227985E-52.2719574E-52.2719574E-51.00.09.097391E-59.73663E-51.07365326E-41.1026951.0E-50.00110704450.00118484810.00125476521.05900937.0E-50.0110154580.0117911520.0118899731.00838091.0E-4
6.31.1613981E-51.2353542E-51.2353542E-51.00.04.9773254E-55.2942745E-55.2942745E-51.00.06.0582085E-46.443998E-46.84374E-41.06203334.0E-50.00604171960.00642655930.00649610951.01082237.0E-5
6.41.1613981E-51.2353542E-51.2353542E-51.00.04.9773254E-55.2942745E-55.2942745E-51.00.06.0582085E-46.443998E-46.84374E-41.06203334.0E-50.00604171960.00642655930.00649610951.01082237.0E-5
6.58.931326E-69.4816E-69.4816E-61.00.03.8276554E-54.0634844E-54.0634844E-51.00.04.6591737E-44.946261E-45.3460634E-41.08082914.0E-50.00464941750.0049361610.0049859141.01007945.0E-5
6.67.345353E-67.79028E-67.79028E-61.00.03.1479703E-53.338653E-53.338653E-51.00.03.83198E-44.064132E-44.4639694E-41.0983824.0E-50.00382537880.00405749070.0041072881.01227285.0E-5
6.76.2775666E-66.655149E-66.655149E-61.00.02.690358E-52.8521798E-52.8521798E-51.00.03.2750185E-43.472051E-43.871912E-41.11516574.0E-50.00327019630.0034673670.00351719371.01437025.0E-5
6.85.5234095E-65.8551113E-65.8551113E-61.00.02.367154E-52.5093133E-52.5093133E-51.00.02.8816288E-43.0547334E-43.4546113E-41.13090434.0E-50.0028778950.00305125050.0031010981.01633675.0E-5
6.94.7780054E-65.0654203E-65.0654203E-61.00.02.0477004E-52.1708804E-52.1708804E-51.00.02.4927902E-42.642797E-43.042691E-41.15131494.0E-50.00248999570.0026403460.00269021421.01888695.0E-5
7.03.883171E-64.118487E-64.118487E-61.00.01.6642054E-51.7650578E-51.7650578E-51.00.02.0259817E-42.1488148E-42.548729E-41.18610914.0E-50.00202413560.00214741290.00219730541.02323395.0E-5
7.12.8358215E-63.0097158E-63.0097158E-61.00.01.2153464E-51.2898756E-51.2898756E-51.00.01.4795837E-41.5703762E-41.870329E-41.1910073.0E-50.0014785990.00156991160.00160984881.02543914.0E-5

Ventura-Pitas Point

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.3179622E-53.373519E-56.373417E-51.88924923.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.8456703E-41.27663724.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00179893931.02270014.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.0175550991.00449758.0E-5
6.13.3179622E-53.373519E-56.373417E-51.88924923.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.8456703E-41.27663724.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00179893931.02270014.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.0175550991.00449758.0E-5
6.23.3179622E-53.373519E-56.373417E-51.88924923.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.8456703E-41.27663724.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00179893931.02270014.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.0175550991.00449758.0E-5
6.33.3179622E-53.373519E-56.373417E-51.88924923.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.8456703E-41.27663724.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00179893931.02270014.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.0175550991.00449758.0E-5
6.41.8754668E-51.7019594E-51.7019594E-51.00.08.037467E-57.2939205E-58.293848E-51.13709041.0E-59.781223E-48.8769617E-48.976873E-41.01125511.0E-50.0097382820.0088439430.0088835891.00448294.0E-5
6.51.8754668E-51.7019594E-51.7019594E-51.00.08.037467E-57.2939205E-58.293848E-51.13709041.0E-59.781223E-48.8769617E-48.976873E-41.01125511.0E-50.0097382820.0088439430.0088835891.00448294.0E-5
6.61.4361558E-51.2122258E-51.2122258E-51.00.06.154808E-55.1951512E-55.1951512E-51.00.07.490902E-46.323284E-46.323284E-41.00.00.00746570160.0063056520.0063255261.00315182.0E-5
6.71.4361558E-51.2122258E-51.2122258E-51.00.06.154808E-55.1951512E-55.1951512E-51.00.07.490902E-46.323284E-46.323284E-41.00.00.00746570160.0063056520.0063255261.00315182.0E-5
6.81.3663846E-51.1344401E-51.1344401E-51.00.05.8558027E-54.8617967E-54.8617967E-51.00.07.127108E-45.917649E-45.917649E-41.00.00.0071042930.00590221070.0059220931.00336862.0E-5
6.91.3644157E-51.1322501E-51.1322501E-51.00.05.8473648E-54.8524114E-54.8524114E-51.00.07.116841E-45.906229E-45.906229E-41.00.00.0070940920.00589085140.00591073371.0033752.0E-5
7.01.3568845E-51.12420685E-51.12420685E-51.00.05.8150898E-54.8179416E-54.8179416E-51.00.07.077572E-45.8642845E-45.8642845E-41.00.00.0070550730.0058491280.00586901141.00339942.0E-5
7.11.306572E-51.0720521E-51.0720521E-51.00.05.599474E-54.594429E-54.594429E-51.00.06.815227E-45.5923004E-45.5923004E-41.00.00.00679436370.0055785360.00559842451.00356522.0E-5
7.21.232604E-59.995121E-69.995121E-61.00.05.2824813E-54.283554E-54.283554E-51.00.06.429523E-45.2139966E-45.2139966E-41.00.00.00641095270.0052020590.0052120071.00191241.0E-5
7.31.0917261E-58.843812E-68.843812E-61.00.04.678742E-53.7901507E-53.7901507E-51.00.05.69488E-44.6135474E-44.6135474E-41.00.00.00568030770.0046042390.0046141931.00216191.0E-5
7.41.039959E-58.42354E-68.42354E-61.00.04.456891E-53.6100395E-53.6100395E-51.00.05.424914E-44.394352E-44.394352E-41.00.00.00541168960.00438592770.0043958841.002271.0E-5
7.59.015877E-67.29752E-67.29752E-61.00.03.86389E-53.1274718E-53.1274718E-51.00.04.7032707E-43.8070456E-43.8070456E-41.00.00.0046933290.0038007720.0038007721.00.0
7.64.900162E-63.874119E-63.874119E-61.00.02.1000526E-51.6603262E-51.6603262E-51.00.02.556514E-42.0212609E-42.0212609E-41.00.00.00255357470.0020194360.0020194361.00.0
7.73.8850626E-63.12676E-63.12676E-61.00.01.6650163E-51.3400332E-51.3400332E-51.00.02.0269687E-41.6313691E-41.6313691E-41.00.00.0020251210.00163018090.00163018091.00.0
7.82.4654719E-62.029902E-62.029902E-61.00.01.0566265E-58.699551E-68.699551E-61.00.01.2863669E-41.0591193E-41.0591193E-41.00.00.00128562250.00105861920.00105861921.00.0
7.94.095894E-73.2765078E-73.2765078E-71.00.01.7553821E-61.4042168E-61.4042168E-61.00.02.1371567E-51.709621E-51.709621E-51.00.02.1369511E-41.7094925E-41.7094925E-41.00.0
8.07.791402E-95.6836056E-95.6836056E-91.00.03.3391725E-82.4358311E-82.4358311E-81.00.04.0654416E-72.965624E-72.965624E-71.00.04.065434E-62.9656223E-62.9656223E-61.00.0

San Diego Trough south

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.279495E-51.0425541E-41.1425436E-41.09590831.0E-53.5478722E-44.4673498E-44.6672602E-41.04474932.0E-50.0043109820.00542591330.00546569661.00733214.0E-50.0422830540.052993030.053059321.0012517.0E-5
6.14.6961468E-55.773024E-55.773024E-51.00.02.0124791E-42.473905E-42.5738802E-41.0404121.0E-50.002447440.0030078860.00303779571.00994373.0E-50.0242066030.0296796360.0297184471.00130774.0E-5
6.23.5079658E-54.214258E-54.214258E-51.00.01.5033272E-41.8059829E-41.9059649E-41.05536151.0E-50.00182876420.0021965870.0022065651.00454251.0E-50.0181378760.0217511880.0217707531.00089942.0E-5
6.33.5079658E-54.214258E-54.214258E-51.00.01.5033272E-41.8059829E-41.9059649E-41.05536151.0E-50.00182876420.0021965870.0022065651.00454251.0E-50.0181378760.0217511880.0217707531.00089942.0E-5
6.42.7196904E-53.208715E-53.208715E-51.00.01.16552954E-41.3750911E-41.3750911E-41.00.00.00141810850.00167289950.00167289951.00.00.0140909290.0166046660.0166046661.00.0
6.52.5584688E-53.0101632E-53.0101632E-51.00.01.0964406E-41.2900059E-41.2900059E-41.00.00.00133409890.00156946270.00156946271.00.00.0132611810.0155853320.0155853321.00.0
6.62.2034688E-52.574271E-52.574271E-51.00.09.443096E-51.1032127E-41.1032127E-41.00.00.00114909050.00134234120.00134234121.00.00.0114316680.0133433250.0133433251.00.0
6.71.9394853E-52.254176E-52.254176E-51.00.08.311815E-59.6604E-59.6604E-51.00.00.00101149360.00117552430.00117552431.00.00.010069020.0116937660.0116937661.00.0
6.81.7615313E-52.0403182E-52.0403182E-51.00.07.549201E-58.743931E-58.743931E-51.00.09.1872766E-40.00106405790.00106405791.00.00.0091493870.0105901980.0105901981.00.0
6.91.5621423E-51.8026114E-51.8026114E-51.00.06.6947236E-57.725251E-57.725251E-51.00.08.147778E-49.40147E-49.40147E-41.00.00.0081179690.0093621420.0093621421.00.0
7.01.3444376E-51.544809E-51.544809E-51.00.05.7617483E-56.620443E-56.620443E-51.00.07.0126704E-48.057436E-48.057436E-41.00.00.0069905820.0080285550.0080285551.00.0
7.11.2268361E-51.407303E-51.407303E-51.00.05.2577634E-56.0311606E-56.0311606E-51.00.06.399447E-47.3404907E-47.3404907E-41.00.00.00638104930.00731654930.00731654931.00.0
7.21.0922655E-51.2513563E-51.2513563E-51.00.04.681054E-55.3628468E-55.3628468E-51.00.05.697693E-46.5273355E-46.5273355E-41.00.00.00568310640.00650844350.00650844351.00.0
7.36.1106753E-66.928925E-66.928925E-61.00.02.6188345E-52.9695057E-52.9695057E-51.00.03.1879646E-43.6147775E-43.6147775E-41.00.00.00318339510.0036089430.0036089431.00.0
7.44.933187E-65.5895525E-65.5895525E-61.00.02.114206E-52.3955008E-52.3955008E-51.00.02.5737417E-42.9161357E-42.9161357E-41.00.00.0025707630.00291235050.00291235051.00.0
7.51.7489613E-61.969678E-61.969678E-61.00.07.495527E-68.4414505E-68.4414505E-61.00.09.125422E-51.02770035E-41.02770035E-41.00.09.1216754E-40.00102724720.00102724721.00.0
7.61.6988751E-71.7533823E-71.7533823E-71.00.07.2808916E-77.5144936E-77.5144936E-71.00.08.864449E-69.14886E-69.14886E-61.00.08.8640954E-59.1485024E-59.1485024E-51.00.0

Chino alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.939946E-54.894798E-58.894602E-51.8171544.0E-51.6884391E-42.0976314E-42.5975265E-41.23831425.0E-50.00205373620.0025513850.0026112321.02345676.0E-50.0203485950.0252801680.0253581461.00308458.0E-5
6.12.1505624E-52.6878823E-56.687775E-52.48812034.0E-59.2163704E-51.15190494E-41.5518589E-41.34721094.0E-50.00112151540.00140165170.00145158151.03562225.0E-50.0111587220.0139474250.0140065891.00424186.0E-5
6.22.1505624E-52.6878823E-56.687775E-52.48812034.0E-59.2163704E-51.15190494E-41.5518589E-41.34721094.0E-50.00112151540.00140165170.00145158151.03562225.0E-50.0111587220.0139474250.0140065891.00424186.0E-5
6.31.4290785E-51.8164832E-54.8164286E-52.65151293.0E-56.1244784E-57.784722E-51.0784488E-41.38534023.0E-57.454001E-49.4742293E-49.87385E-41.04217984.0E-50.0074290480.009446740.0094962681.00524285.0E-5
6.41.4290785E-51.8164832E-54.8164286E-52.65151293.0E-56.1244784E-57.784722E-51.0784488E-41.38534023.0E-57.454001E-49.4742293E-49.87385E-41.04217984.0E-50.0074290480.009446740.0094962681.00524285.0E-5
6.51.3017944E-51.6651793E-54.6651294E-52.80157783.0E-55.5789995E-57.1363116E-51.0136098E-41.42035523.0E-56.790315E-48.6854334E-48.985173E-41.03451063.0E-50.00676960360.0086642330.0086939731.00343253.0E-5
6.69.470016E-61.2039209E-54.2038846E-53.4918283.0E-54.058515E-55.159578E-58.159423E-51.58141293.0E-54.940122E-46.280315E-46.580127E-41.04773833.0E-50.0049291540.0062732480.00630305941.00475223.0E-5
6.78.314155E-61.040749E-54.0407176E-53.88250953.0E-53.5631605E-54.4602948E-57.460161E-51.67257133.0E-54.3372845E-45.4293784E-45.7292153E-41.05522493.0E-50.0043288290.00542708070.0054569181.00549783.0E-5
6.83.4856364E-63.8134033E-61.38133655E-53.62231951.0E-51.4938357E-51.6343065E-52.6342903E-51.61187031.0E-51.8185932E-41.9896074E-42.0895875E-41.05025111.0E-50.00181710560.00198945290.0019994331.00501661.0E-5
6.92.2645952E-62.152909E-62.152909E-61.00.09.705372E-69.226722E-69.226722E-61.00.01.18156495E-41.12329755E-41.12329755E-41.00.00.00118093690.00112331380.00112331381.00.0
7.01.7864003E-61.5430741E-61.5430741E-61.00.07.655979E-66.613158E-66.613158E-61.00.09.3207556E-58.051228E-58.051228E-51.00.09.316847E-48.052856E-48.052856E-41.00.0
7.11.7315456E-61.4733466E-61.4733466E-61.00.07.420889E-66.314328E-66.314328E-61.00.09.034557E-57.687428E-57.687428E-51.00.09.0308854E-47.68921E-47.68921E-41.00.0
7.21.6008337E-61.3574178E-61.3574178E-61.00.06.860698E-65.817492E-65.817492E-61.00.08.352579E-57.082572E-57.082572E-51.00.08.34944E-47.0846075E-47.0846075E-41.00.0
7.31.3320939E-61.1217794E-61.1217794E-61.00.05.7089615E-64.8076176E-64.8076176E-61.00.06.9504385E-55.853122E-55.853122E-51.00.06.9482654E-45.8530655E-45.8530655E-41.00.0
7.41.114294E-69.237087E-79.237087E-71.00.04.775537E-63.9587458E-63.9587458E-61.00.05.8140613E-54.81967E-54.81967E-51.00.05.81254E-44.8187698E-44.8187698E-41.00.0
7.59.354081E-77.6233886E-77.6233886E-71.00.04.0088858E-63.2671626E-63.2671626E-61.00.04.8807087E-53.9777013E-53.9777013E-51.00.04.879637E-43.9770233E-43.9770233E-41.00.0
7.68.521771E-76.880688E-76.880688E-71.00.03.6521824E-62.948863E-62.948863E-61.00.04.4464414E-53.590185E-53.590185E-51.00.04.4455516E-43.5896365E-43.5896365E-41.00.0
7.72.1803626E-71.4186368E-71.4186368E-71.00.09.344408E-76.0798715E-76.0798715E-71.00.01.1376757E-57.4022278E-67.4022278E-61.00.01.13761744E-47.402077E-57.402077E-51.00.0

Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0240792E-52.40909E-52.40909E-51.00.01.2959696E-41.032432E-41.1324216E-41.09684871.0E-50.00157670080.00125636180.00129631151.0317984.0E-50.0156556090.0125026130.0125914881.00710849.0E-5
6.13.0240792E-52.40909E-52.40909E-51.00.01.2959696E-41.032432E-41.1324216E-41.09684871.0E-50.00157670080.00125636180.00129631151.0317984.0E-50.0156556090.0125026130.0125914881.00710849.0E-5
6.23.0240792E-52.40909E-52.40909E-51.00.01.2959696E-41.032432E-41.1324216E-41.09684871.0E-50.00157670080.00125636180.00129631151.0317984.0E-50.0156556090.0125026130.0125914881.00710849.0E-5
6.32.0498217E-51.3638054E-51.3638054E-51.00.08.784654E-55.8447586E-56.8447E-51.17108351.0E-50.00106900697.1138324E-47.4136193E-41.04214133.0E-50.010638790.00709268640.0071423321.00699955.0E-5
6.42.0498217E-51.3638054E-51.3638054E-51.00.08.784654E-55.8447586E-56.8447E-51.17108351.0E-50.00106900697.1138324E-47.4136193E-41.04214133.0E-50.010638790.00709268640.0071423321.00699955.0E-5
6.51.7316182E-51.04769715E-51.04769715E-51.00.07.42101E-54.490059E-55.490014E-51.22270421.0E-59.0313336E-45.465376E-45.665266E-41.0365742.0E-50.0089947180.005452930.0054728211.00364782.0E-5
6.61.5251077E-58.414133E-68.414133E-61.00.06.536012E-53.606011E-54.605975E-51.27730481.0E-57.9546886E-44.3895066E-44.5894188E-41.04554322.0E-50.0079262740.00438155370.0044014661.00454462.0E-5
6.71.2997425E-56.4112146E-66.4112146E-61.00.05.570206E-52.7476372E-53.7476097E-51.3639391.0E-56.7796157E-43.3447813E-43.5447144E-41.05977462.0E-50.00675896930.0033402070.00336014041.00596762.0E-5
6.81.035386E-54.333145E-64.333145E-61.00.04.437293E-51.8570496E-51.8570496E-51.00.05.401065E-42.260732E-42.260732E-41.00.00.00538795670.0022585190.0022585191.00.0
6.98.816252E-63.5805879E-63.5805879E-61.00.03.778339E-51.534529E-51.534529E-51.00.04.5991567E-41.8681347E-41.8681347E-41.00.00.004589650.00186662280.00186662281.00.0
7.06.8232207E-62.5674399E-62.5674399E-61.00.02.9242048E-51.100327E-51.100327E-51.00.03.5596377E-41.3395688E-41.3395688E-41.00.00.00355394110.00133879250.00133879251.00.0
7.15.837013E-62.2273143E-62.2273143E-61.00.02.501553E-59.5456E-69.5456E-61.00.03.045215E-41.1621177E-41.1621177E-41.00.00.00304104550.0011615390.0011615391.00.0
7.24.278052E-61.6275065E-61.6275065E-61.00.01.833438E-56.975011E-66.975011E-61.00.02.231982E-48.491768E-58.491768E-51.00.00.00222974188.4887556E-48.4887556E-41.00.0
7.31.8803692E-68.344788E-78.344788E-71.00.08.0587E-63.5763337E-63.5763337E-61.00.09.811026E-54.354114E-54.354114E-51.00.09.806695E-44.3534054E-44.3534054E-41.00.0

Bullion Mountains

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6420427E-51.4692009E-51.4692009E-51.00.07.037136E-56.296445E-58.296319E-51.31761962.0E-58.5643446E-47.6636096E-48.2631496E-41.0782326.0E-50.0085314130.00764097460.0077302871.01168869.0E-5
6.11.6420427E-51.4692009E-51.4692009E-51.00.07.037136E-56.296445E-58.296319E-51.31761962.0E-58.5643446E-47.6636096E-48.2631496E-41.0782326.0E-50.0085314130.00764097460.0077302871.01168869.0E-5
6.21.6420427E-51.4692009E-51.4692009E-51.00.07.037136E-56.296445E-58.296319E-51.31761962.0E-58.5643446E-47.6636096E-48.2631496E-41.0782326.0E-50.0085314130.00764097460.0077302871.01168869.0E-5
6.31.2046778E-59.862255E-69.862255E-61.00.05.1628023E-54.2266256E-54.2266256E-51.00.06.283899E-45.144933E-45.5447273E-41.07770634.0E-50.00626615950.00513530340.00518504671.00968655.0E-5
6.41.2046778E-59.862255E-69.862255E-61.00.05.1628023E-54.2266256E-54.2266256E-51.00.06.283899E-45.144933E-45.5447273E-41.07770634.0E-50.00626615950.00513530340.00518504671.00968655.0E-5
6.51.0244343E-57.879378E-67.879378E-61.00.04.390359E-53.3768443E-53.3768443E-51.00.05.343951E-44.1107394E-44.310657E-41.04863312.0E-50.0053311180.00410516650.00413504341.00727783.0E-5
6.69.605408E-67.1774166E-67.1774166E-61.00.04.1165385E-53.0760108E-53.0760108E-51.00.05.010733E-43.7446033E-43.8445657E-41.02669511.0E-50.004999450.00374029060.00375025321.00266361.0E-5
6.78.60418E-66.123926E-66.123926E-61.00.03.687454E-52.6245243E-52.6245243E-51.00.04.48855E-43.195085E-43.295053E-41.0312881.0E-50.0044794950.00319240310.0032023711.00312241.0E-5
6.85.187994E-62.563117E-62.563117E-61.00.02.223407E-51.0984763E-51.0984763E-51.00.02.7066618E-41.3373529E-41.3373529E-41.00.00.00270336750.00133693960.00133693961.00.0
6.94.5302368E-62.3442778E-62.3442778E-61.00.01.9415156E-51.0046889E-51.0046889E-51.00.02.3635388E-41.2231797E-41.2231797E-41.00.00.00236102660.00122289560.00122289561.00.0
7.03.431668E-61.6882177E-61.6882177E-61.00.01.4707065E-57.2352186E-67.2352186E-61.00.01.7904381E-48.808879E-58.808879E-51.00.00.00178899628.8088785E-48.8088785E-41.00.0

Raymond

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5157413E-51.5810125E-53.5809808E-52.2649922.0E-56.4958724E-56.775606E-58.7754706E-51.29515662.0E-57.905855E-48.246429E-48.845934E-41.07269876.0E-50.0078777880.0082183550.0082976971.00965438.0E-5
6.11.5157413E-51.5810125E-53.5809808E-52.2649922.0E-56.4958724E-56.775606E-58.7754706E-51.29515662.0E-57.905855E-48.246429E-48.845934E-41.07269876.0E-50.0078777880.0082183550.0082976971.00965438.0E-5
6.21.5157413E-51.5810125E-53.5809808E-52.2649922.0E-56.4958724E-56.775606E-58.7754706E-51.29515662.0E-57.905855E-48.246429E-48.845934E-41.07269876.0E-50.0078777880.0082183550.0082976971.00965438.0E-5
6.31.5157413E-51.5810125E-53.5809808E-52.2649922.0E-56.4958724E-56.775606E-58.7754706E-51.29515662.0E-57.905855E-48.246429E-48.845934E-41.07269876.0E-50.0078777880.0082183550.0082976971.00965438.0E-5
6.41.3941944E-51.4454688E-53.44544E-52.3836142.0E-55.9749822E-56.194732E-58.1946084E-51.3228352.0E-57.2721124E-47.53971E-48.039333E-41.06626565.0E-50.0072483610.0075164710.0075859451.00924297.0E-5
6.51.3941944E-51.4454688E-53.44544E-52.3836142.0E-55.9749822E-56.194732E-58.1946084E-51.3228352.0E-57.2721124E-47.53971E-48.039333E-41.06626565.0E-50.0072483610.0075164710.0075859451.00924297.0E-5
6.61.0542609E-51.067111E-53.0670897E-52.87419922.0E-54.5181827E-54.573256E-56.573164E-51.43730522.0E-55.499499E-45.566571E-45.8664044E-41.05386323.0E-50.0054859090.00555319660.0056029191.00895385.0E-5
6.71.0542609E-51.067111E-53.0670897E-52.87419922.0E-54.5181827E-54.573256E-56.573164E-51.43730522.0E-55.499499E-45.566571E-45.8664044E-41.05386323.0E-50.0054859090.00555319660.0056029191.00895385.0E-5
6.81.0079132E-51.0176644E-52.0176542E-51.98263231.0E-54.3195567E-54.3613487E-55.361305E-51.22927691.0E-55.257791E-45.308702E-45.508596E-41.0376542.0E-50.00524536850.00529657770.00533636571.00751214.0E-5
6.97.721598E-67.548902E-67.548902E-61.00.03.3092143E-53.2352043E-53.2352043E-51.00.04.0282236E-43.9381615E-44.038122E-41.02538251.0E-50.00402092930.0039313240.0039612061.0076013.0E-5
7.07.137566E-66.911303E-66.911303E-61.00.03.058921E-52.961954E-52.961954E-51.00.03.7236E-43.605593E-43.705557E-41.02772471.0E-50.00371736680.0035998690.0036297611.00830363.0E-5
7.15.654976E-65.299538E-65.299538E-61.00.02.4235387E-52.2712107E-52.2712107E-51.00.02.9502588E-42.7648505E-42.8648227E-41.03615831.0E-50.00294634510.00276144920.0027813941.00722252.0E-5
7.24.9358455E-64.526655E-64.526655E-61.00.02.1153453E-51.9399806E-51.9399806E-51.00.02.5751285E-42.3616718E-42.4616483E-41.04233291.0E-50.00257214650.0023591920.00237914451.00845742.0E-5
7.34.2368597E-63.8056128E-63.8056128E-61.00.01.8157843E-51.6309668E-51.6309668E-51.00.02.2104931E-41.9855222E-42.0855023E-41.05035461.0E-50.00220829550.00198377460.0020037351.01006172.0E-5
7.43.4999923E-63.0437407E-63.0437407E-61.00.01.49998805E-51.3044538E-51.3044538E-51.00.01.8260824E-41.5880575E-41.6880417E-41.062961.0E-50.00182458260.00158694610.00160691431.01258282.0E-5
7.52.738017E-62.3020405E-62.3020405E-61.00.01.1734306E-59.865851E-69.865851E-61.00.01.428558E-41.20110184E-41.20110184E-41.00.00.00142764010.00120047470.00121046271.00832011.0E-5
7.61.8186392E-61.442302E-61.442302E-61.00.07.794145E-66.1812802E-66.1812802E-61.00.09.488958E-57.5254524E-57.5254524E-51.00.09.4849075E-47.5230957E-47.623021E-41.01328241.0E-5
7.71.0660348E-67.6437E-77.6437E-71.00.04.5687125E-63.2758674E-63.2758674E-61.00.05.5622655E-53.988297E-53.988297E-51.00.05.5608735E-43.9877492E-44.0877092E-41.02506691.0E-5
7.86.913602E-74.3202903E-74.3202903E-71.00.02.962969E-61.8515517E-61.8515517E-61.00.03.607355E-52.2542416E-52.2542416E-51.00.03.6067693E-42.2541684E-42.2541684E-41.00.0
7.97.425201E-85.322267E-85.322267E-81.00.03.1822285E-72.2809714E-72.2809714E-71.00.03.874356E-62.7770805E-62.7770805E-61.00.03.8742884E-52.7770588E-52.7770588E-51.00.0

Sheephole

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5579695E-64.7412627E-62.4741168E-55.21826552.0E-51.9534009E-52.031957E-54.0319163E-51.98425282.0E-52.3780059E-42.473682E-42.7736078E-41.12124673.0E-50.00237546280.0024714730.00254130011.02825327.0E-5
6.14.5579695E-64.7412627E-62.4741168E-55.21826552.0E-51.9534009E-52.031957E-54.0319163E-51.98425282.0E-52.3780059E-42.473682E-42.7736078E-41.12124673.0E-50.00237546280.0024714730.00254130011.02825327.0E-5
6.22.6677674E-62.7873941E-62.2787339E-58.175142.0E-51.1433239E-51.1945926E-53.194569E-52.67419082.0E-51.3919079E-41.4543302E-41.7542866E-41.20625053.0E-50.00139103640.00145348440.00151339721.04122016.0E-5
6.32.6677674E-62.7873941E-62.2787339E-58.175142.0E-51.1433239E-51.1945926E-53.194569E-52.67419082.0E-51.3919079E-41.4543302E-41.7542866E-41.20625053.0E-50.00139103640.00145348440.00151339721.04122016.0E-5
6.42.2159759E-62.3228788E-62.2322833E-59.6099862.0E-59.497005E-69.955161E-62.9954961E-53.00898812.0E-51.156199E-41.2119815E-41.5119452E-41.24749853.0E-50.00115559760.00121139990.00125135141.03297964.0E-5
6.52.1986082E-62.304759E-62.2304714E-59.6776772.0E-59.4225725E-69.877506E-62.9877308E-53.02478272.0E-51.1471378E-41.2025281E-41.502492E-41.24944453.0E-50.00114654580.00120195660.00124190851.03323914.0E-5
6.61.5232331E-61.6018919E-61.16018755E-57.24260851.0E-56.5281256E-66.865234E-61.6865166E-52.45660471.0E-57.947703E-58.35812E-59.358037E-51.11963421.0E-57.9448614E-48.3551643E-48.4550807E-41.01195861.0E-5
6.71.3137362E-61.382819E-61.13828055E-58.2315941.0E-55.6302856E-65.926355E-61.5926295E-52.6873681.0E-56.854657E-57.215112E-58.21504E-51.1385881.0E-56.8525434E-47.212908E-47.312836E-41.0138541.0E-5
6.81.2275751E-61.2922847E-61.2922847E-61.00.05.2610258E-65.5383516E-65.5383516E-61.00.06.4051106E-56.7427485E-56.7427485E-51.00.06.4032647E-46.740836E-46.740836E-41.00.0
6.91.1837088E-61.246102E-61.246102E-61.00.05.0730278E-65.340427E-65.340427E-61.00.06.176237E-56.501789E-56.501789E-51.00.06.17452E-46.5000186E-46.5000186E-41.00.0
7.09.849371E-71.0366288E-61.0366288E-61.00.04.2211523E-64.442688E-64.442688E-61.00.05.1391315E-55.4088487E-55.4088487E-51.00.05.137943E-45.407633E-45.407633E-41.00.0
7.18.1643645E-78.591669E-78.591669E-71.00.03.4990085E-63.682139E-63.682139E-61.00.04.2599597E-54.482921E-54.482921E-51.00.04.259143E-44.4821028E-44.4821028E-41.00.0
7.25.7295756E-76.029502E-76.029502E-71.00.02.45553E-62.58407E-62.58407E-61.00.02.9895667E-53.1460666E-53.1460666E-51.00.02.9891645E-43.145688E-43.145688E-41.00.0

Green Valley 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.9629346E-51.7302863E-42.130217E-41.23113564.0E-54.2691303E-47.41326E-47.8129634E-41.05391744.0E-50.00518528560.008986920.0090562911.0077197.0E-50.0506595150.085539510.085612671.00085528.0E-5
6.19.88615E-51.7150163E-42.1149477E-41.2331944.0E-54.2362334E-47.347854E-47.74756E-41.05439774.0E-50.00514542360.0089079470.0089773241.00778827.0E-50.0502790440.084827120.084900331.00086318.0E-5
6.29.696895E-51.6789208E-42.0788537E-41.23820834.0E-54.15515E-47.1932544E-47.592967E-41.05556764.0E-50.00504716670.008721330.0087907191.00795637.0E-50.049340630.083135780.0832091351.00088238.0E-5
6.39.275224E-51.5968543E-41.8968064E-41.18783943.0E-53.9744904E-46.841728E-47.1415224E-41.04381863.0E-50.00482821050.0082966520.0083561541.00717196.0E-50.0472464750.079274810.079330051.00069696.0E-5
6.48.391499E-51.4365884E-41.7365452E-41.2087983.0E-53.595861E-46.155238E-46.455053E-41.0487093.0E-50.0043691750.0074671810.0075267331.00797516.0E-50.042842650.071646720.071702421.00077756.0E-5
6.55.9519385E-59.932622E-51.0932523E-41.10066831.0E-52.5505814E-44.2560388E-44.3559962E-41.0234861.0E-50.00310091120.0051683410.0052081341.00769944.0E-50.0305799660.050146920.0501849131.00075774.0E-5
6.64.5361558E-57.4019794E-58.4019055E-51.1350891.0E-51.9439218E-43.1717744E-43.2717426E-41.03151811.0E-50.00236415580.00385386780.00388375231.00775443.0E-50.0233916230.037667270.0376961381.00076643.0E-5
6.73.8808106E-56.264382E-57.264319E-51.15962271.0E-51.6630985E-42.6843755E-42.7843486E-41.03724271.0E-50.00202294180.00326273170.00329263371.00916473.0E-50.0200462560.0320074150.0320364571.00090733.0E-5
6.82.2284667E-53.128574E-53.128574E-51.00.09.550222E-51.3407487E-41.3407487E-41.00.00.00116211920.00163113830.00165110561.01224142.0E-50.0115606070.016166720.0161863981.00121712.0E-5
6.91.8050168E-52.4448536E-52.4448536E-51.00.07.735557E-51.0477527E-41.0477527E-41.00.09.4139716E-40.00127489540.00129486991.01566762.0E-50.0093741910.0126690670.0126888141.00155872.0E-5
7.01.4763166E-51.9583236E-51.9583236E-51.00.06.326917E-58.3925464E-58.3925464E-51.00.07.7002996E-40.0010213150.00103130481.00978121.0E-50.0076736720.010166250.0101761481.00097371.0E-5
7.11.2399713E-51.6304042E-51.6304042E-51.00.05.3140546E-56.987261E-56.987261E-51.00.06.467941E-48.5036893E-48.5036893E-41.00.00.0064491480.0084717810.0084717811.00.0
7.21.0584195E-51.39220465E-51.39220465E-51.00.04.5360044E-55.966456E-55.966456E-51.00.05.521186E-47.2617555E-47.2617555E-41.00.00.00550748870.00723860270.00723860271.00.0
7.37.998173E-61.0544255E-51.0544255E-51.00.03.4277433E-54.5188888E-54.5188888E-51.00.04.1724785E-45.500369E-45.500369E-41.00.00.0041646530.0054871350.0054871351.00.0
7.46.7571127E-68.932903E-68.932903E-61.00.02.8958733E-53.8283313E-53.8283313E-51.00.03.5251552E-44.660006E-44.660006E-41.00.00.00351956860.0046506330.0046506331.00.0
7.55.69878E-67.516483E-67.516483E-61.00.02.4423114E-53.2213105E-53.2213105E-51.00.02.9731085E-43.9212484E-43.9212484E-41.00.00.0029691340.00391470180.00391470181.00.0
7.64.503664E-65.9358217E-65.9358217E-61.00.01.9301275E-52.5438992E-52.5438992E-51.00.02.3496768E-43.0967654E-43.0967654E-41.00.00.0023471940.00309272790.00309272791.00.0
7.71.0873546E-61.410754E-61.410754E-61.00.04.6600826E-66.0460743E-66.0460743E-61.00.05.6735033E-57.36085E-57.36085E-51.00.05.672055E-47.3587085E-47.3587085E-41.00.0
7.84.9373917E-86.177967E-86.177967E-81.00.02.1160248E-72.6477002E-72.6477002E-71.00.02.5762572E-63.2235714E-63.2235714E-61.00.02.5762274E-53.2228E-53.2228E-51.00.0

Oceanic - West Huasna

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.195567E-52.7926368E-53.792609E-51.35807451.0E-51.3694567E-41.19679185E-41.496756E-41.25064023.0E-50.00166603840.00145616340.00150609051.03428695.0E-50.0165360330.014470770.0145397581.00476737.0E-5
6.12.1156782E-51.7573117E-52.7572942E-51.5690411.0E-59.066878E-57.531123E-59.530973E-51.26554472.0E-50.00110333339.1653795E-49.4651047E-41.03270183.0E-50.0109787130.0091285870.0091781311.00542725.0E-5
6.21.6195117E-51.3327227E-52.3327093E-51.75033371.0E-56.9405796E-55.7115452E-56.711488E-51.1750741.0E-58.44688E-46.9516135E-47.151475E-41.02875032.0E-50.0084148440.00693016170.00696988451.00573184.0E-5
6.31.3559345E-51.1179013E-52.1178901E-51.89452341.0E-55.811018E-54.7909183E-55.7908703E-51.20871831.0E-57.072618E-45.8313913E-45.931333E-41.01713861.0E-50.00705015050.0058162080.00584603331.0051283.0E-5
6.41.2120619E-51.0000874E-52.0000774E-51.99990261.0E-55.1944477E-54.2860185E-55.285976E-51.23330681.0E-56.322405E-45.216983E-45.316931E-41.01915811.0E-50.0063044470.0052048040.00523464751.00573383.0E-5
6.51.13511915E-59.367378E-61.9367284E-52.06752441.0E-54.8647056E-54.0145293E-55.0144892E-51.24908521.0E-55.9211696E-44.886598E-44.9865484E-41.02045421.0E-50.00590541730.00487591140.0049057651.00612273.0E-5
6.69.850605E-68.1353155E-61.8135233E-52.22919871.0E-54.2216197E-53.4865174E-54.4864824E-51.28680921.0E-55.1386096E-44.2440102E-44.343968E-41.02355271.0E-50.00512674360.00423593770.0042558531.00470152.0E-5
6.78.8558645E-67.318341E-61.7318267E-52.366421.0E-53.7953152E-53.1363943E-54.136363E-51.31882751.0E-54.6198163E-43.8178926E-43.9178543E-41.02618241.0E-50.0046102240.00381135920.0038312831.00522742.0E-5
6.87.67136E-66.39169E-61.6391627E-52.56452161.0E-53.2876844E-52.739267E-53.7392398E-51.36505121.0E-54.0020206E-43.3345487E-43.4345154E-41.02997911.0E-50.0039948210.00332956640.00334949981.00598682.0E-5
6.96.534529E-65.458261E-61.5458207E-52.83207541.0E-52.8004823E-52.3392338E-53.3392105E-51.42748051.0E-53.4090536E-42.8476462E-42.9476176E-41.03510681.0E-50.00340382870.0028440140.00285398561.00350621.0E-5
7.05.460525E-64.5699203E-61.4569874E-53.18821221.0E-52.3402039E-51.9585226E-52.958503E-51.5105791.0E-52.8488258E-42.3842414E-42.4842177E-41.04193211.0E-50.00284517650.00238169730.00239167361.00418871.0E-5
7.14.4825083E-63.7524153E-61.37523775E-53.664941.0E-51.9210609E-51.6081682E-52.6081521E-51.62181561.0E-52.3386406E-41.9577699E-42.0577502E-41.05106851.0E-50.0023361810.0019560570.00196603761.00510231.0E-5
7.22.821708E-62.424941E-61.2424916E-55.12380171.0E-51.2092979E-51.0392562E-52.039246E-51.96221661.0E-51.4722206E-41.265221E-41.3652084E-41.07902751.0E-50.00147124570.00126450320.00127449061.00789821.0E-5
7.32.0644757E-61.7687502E-61.1768732E-56.65371.0E-58.847723E-67.580336E-61.758026E-52.31919261.0E-51.0771569E-49.228668E-51.0228576E-41.1083481.0E-50.0010766359.224854E-49.324762E-41.01083031.0E-5
7.41.6980367E-61.4379966E-61.1437983E-57.9541091.0E-57.27728E-66.1628284E-61.6162767E-52.62262151.0E-58.8597284E-57.502986E-58.50291E-51.13327031.0E-58.8561967E-47.5004686E-47.600394E-41.01332251.0E-5
7.51.3637683E-61.1302697E-61.1130258E-59.8474371.0E-55.844708E-64.844004E-61.4843955E-53.0643981.0E-57.1156996E-55.897415E-56.897356E-51.16955581.0E-57.1134215E-45.8958656E-45.995807E-41.01695111.0E-5
7.69.802994E-77.6772847E-71.0767721E-514.0254281.0E-54.2012766E-63.2902608E-61.3290228E-54.0392631.0E-55.1149345E-54.005819E-55.0057788E-51.24962691.0E-55.113757E-44.0051117E-44.1050717E-41.02495811.0E-5
7.75.986191E-74.0050708E-71.0400503E-525.9683381.0E-52.5655079E-61.7164577E-61.1716441E-56.82594161.0E-53.1234613E-52.0897673E-53.0897463E-51.47851221.0E-53.123022E-42.0895849E-42.189564E-41.04784641.0E-5
7.82.9189815E-71.5285202E-71.015285E-566.422741.0E-51.2509914E-66.5507993E-71.0655073E-516.2653031.0E-51.5230714E-57.975569E-61.797549E-52.2538191.0E-51.522967E-47.97542E-58.9753405E-51.12537531.0E-5
7.91.2057845E-74.6208047E-84.6208047E-81.00.05.1676466E-71.9803447E-71.9803447E-71.00.06.2915915E-62.411067E-62.411067E-61.00.06.2914136E-52.4111772E-52.4111772E-51.00.0
8.03.3806387E-99.0093144E-109.0093144E-101.00.01.4488451E-83.8611354E-93.8611354E-91.00.01.7639688E-74.7009323E-84.7009323E-81.00.01.7639674E-64.712806E-74.712806E-71.00.0

Hunting Creek - Berryessa 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1270982E-42.0028367E-42.2027966E-41.09983842.0E-54.8295266E-48.579912E-48.879655E-41.03493543.0E-50.00586410750.0103861730.0104455491.00571696.0E-50.0571175780.098040480.09809461.00055196.0E-5
6.11.1239393E-41.9976508E-42.1976109E-41.10009752.0E-54.8159933E-48.557703E-48.757532E-41.02335072.0E-50.00584771950.0103594170.0104088991.00477655.0E-50.0569621320.097798950.097844061.00046125.0E-5
6.27.596265E-51.2933646E-41.3933517E-41.07730771.0E-53.2551357E-45.5415573E-45.6415016E-41.01803541.0E-50.00395592770.00672135870.006761091.00591124.0E-50.0388624330.064592290.0646297041.00057924.0E-5
6.36.78794E-51.1448377E-41.2448263E-41.08733861.0E-52.9087928E-44.9052597E-45.0052104E-41.02037631.0E-50.0035357050.0059526610.0059924231.00667974.0E-50.0347997660.0574662130.0575039131.0006564.0E-5
6.46.2165134E-51.0434825E-41.143472E-41.09582291.0E-52.6639478E-44.4711027E-44.5710578E-41.02235581.0E-50.00323853320.00542741830.0054672011.007334.0E-50.031917420.052551380.052589281.00072124.0E-5
6.55.4368087E-59.070258E-51.00701676E-41.11024051.0E-52.3298527E-43.886537E-43.986498E-41.02571991.0E-50.00283290590.00471970160.0047595131.00843514.0E-50.0279706330.0458811820.0459193481.00083184.0E-5
6.64.729947E-57.847101E-58.8470224E-51.12742561.0E-52.0269625E-43.3624718E-43.4624382E-41.02973011.0E-50.0024650340.0040847460.0041146231.00731443.0E-50.024378690.039852690.0398814941.00072283.0E-5
6.73.6875328E-56.0443555E-57.044295E-51.16543361.0E-51.5802756E-42.5900968E-42.6900708E-41.03859851.0E-50.00192228750.00314827240.00317817791.00949913.0E-50.0190574420.030893710.0309227841.0009413.0E-5
6.82.0292036E-52.8976721E-52.8976721E-51.00.08.6962966E-51.2417998E-41.2417998E-41.00.00.00105825990.00151083020.00153081.01321782.0E-50.0105323440.01497907750.0149987781.00131522.0E-5
6.91.7871042E-52.4472653E-52.4472653E-51.00.07.658793E-51.04878585E-41.04878585E-41.00.09.320591E-40.00127614860.00128613581.00782611.0E-50.0092815950.0126803950.01269026751.00077871.0E-5
7.01.6415532E-52.1906566E-52.1906566E-51.00.07.035038E-59.388191E-59.388191E-51.00.08.561793E-40.00114241440.00114241441.00.00.0085288820.0113650170.0113650171.00.0
7.11.5409885E-52.0346588E-52.0346588E-51.00.06.6040695E-58.719676E-58.719676E-51.00.08.0374884E-40.00106110620.00106110621.00.00.008008480.0105609240.0105609241.00.0
7.21.4497423E-51.905519E-51.905519E-51.00.06.213033E-58.166256E-58.166256E-51.00.07.5617427E-49.937913E-49.937913E-41.00.00.00753606340.009894250.009894251.00.0
7.31.3615175E-51.7826347E-51.7826347E-51.00.05.8349444E-57.6396405E-57.6396405E-51.00.07.101729E-49.297323E-49.297323E-41.00.00.00707907650.0092591240.0092591241.00.0
7.41.2252825E-51.6026455E-51.6026455E-51.00.05.251105E-56.868302E-56.868302E-51.00.06.391345E-48.3589775E-48.3589775E-41.00.00.00637299430.0083281720.0083281721.00.0
7.51.0913301E-51.4241286E-51.4241286E-51.00.04.6770452E-56.103267E-56.103267E-51.00.05.6928146E-47.428222E-47.428222E-41.00.00.00567825320.00740398650.00740398651.00.0
7.68.623192E-61.12347825E-51.12347825E-51.00.03.6956015E-54.8148195E-54.8148195E-51.00.04.4984656E-45.8604917E-45.8604917E-41.00.00.004489370.0058455040.0058455041.00.0
7.72.0993634E-62.66264E-62.66264E-61.00.08.997241E-61.1411265E-51.1411265E-51.00.01.09535904E-41.3892337E-41.3892337E-41.00.00.00109481930.00138839940.00138839941.00.0
7.81.8428308E-72.1674624E-72.1674624E-71.00.07.897844E-79.289122E-79.289122E-71.00.09.615583E-61.130945E-51.130945E-51.00.09.615166E-51.1308173E-41.1308173E-41.00.0

Santa Ynez River

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6396456E-51.7209444E-53.72091E-52.16213252.0E-57.026863E-57.3752875E-59.3751405E-51.27115582.0E-58.551848E-48.976069E-49.5755304E-41.06678446.0E-50.00851901250.0089433630.0090028261.00664896.0E-5
6.11.6396456E-51.7209444E-53.72091E-52.16213252.0E-57.026863E-57.3752875E-59.3751405E-51.27115582.0E-58.551848E-48.976069E-49.5755304E-41.06678446.0E-50.00851901250.0089433630.0090028261.00664896.0E-5
6.21.6396456E-51.7209444E-53.72091E-52.16213252.0E-57.026863E-57.3752875E-59.3751405E-51.27115582.0E-58.551848E-48.976069E-49.5755304E-41.06678446.0E-50.00851901250.0089433630.0090028261.00664896.0E-5
6.39.736976E-61.01223395E-53.0122137E-52.9758082.0E-54.172923E-54.338076E-56.337989E-51.46101392.0E-55.0793495E-45.280378E-45.680166E-41.07571224.0E-50.0050677550.00526833670.0053081261.00755254.0E-5
6.49.736976E-61.01223395E-53.0122137E-52.9758082.0E-54.172923E-54.338076E-56.337989E-51.46101392.0E-55.0793495E-45.280378E-45.680166E-41.07571224.0E-50.0050677550.00526833670.0053081261.00755254.0E-5
6.57.081964E-67.329905E-61.7329832E-52.3642641.0E-53.035092E-53.141351E-54.1413197E-51.31832431.0E-53.694598E-43.8239395E-44.1238248E-41.07842313.0E-50.00368846160.00381752150.0038474071.00782853.0E-5
6.65.873247E-66.0597517E-61.6059692E-52.65022251.0E-52.5170815E-52.5970112E-53.5969853E-51.3850481.0E-53.064116E-43.161411E-43.3613478E-41.06324292.0E-50.00305989430.0031570010.00317693781.00631512.0E-5
6.74.973277E-65.11591E-61.5115859E-52.95467641.0E-52.1313872E-52.1925147E-53.1924927E-51.45608721.0E-52.5946548E-42.6690646E-42.869011E-41.07491272.0E-50.00259162740.00266590780.00268585441.00748222.0E-5
6.84.396492E-64.510987E-61.4510942E-53.21681.0E-51.884197E-51.933266E-52.9332465E-51.51724951.0E-52.2937685E-42.3535005E-42.5534534E-41.08495972.0E-50.00229140230.00235104330.00237099641.00848692.0E-5
6.93.5255632E-63.6013423E-63.6013423E-61.00.01.5109469E-51.5434234E-51.5434234E-51.00.01.8394225E-41.8789574E-41.9789387E-41.0532111.0E-50.00183790070.0018773850.00188736621.00531661.0E-5
7.03.211603E-63.273663E-63.273663E-61.00.01.376394E-51.402991E-51.402991E-51.00.01.6756308E-41.708009E-41.807992E-41.05853771.0E-50.00167436790.00170671040.00171669341.00584921.0E-5
7.12.5094619E-62.5409295E-62.5409295E-61.00.01.0754793E-51.0889652E-51.0889652E-51.00.01.3093173E-41.325735E-41.4257219E-41.07541991.0E-50.00130854620.00132495030.00133493691.00753751.0E-5
7.22.0515774E-62.0619466E-62.0619466E-61.00.08.792445E-68.836884E-68.836884E-61.00.01.0704277E-41.0758379E-41.1758271E-41.09294081.0E-50.00106991220.00107532150.00108531061.00928951.0E-5
7.31.6845745E-61.6773996E-61.6773996E-61.00.07.219585E-67.1888358E-67.1888358E-61.00.08.78949E-58.752059E-59.751971E-51.11424891.0E-58.7860145E-48.7486405E-48.8485534E-41.01142041.0E-5
7.41.3600285E-61.3333447E-61.3333447E-61.00.05.82868E-65.714322E-65.714322E-61.00.07.096187E-56.956967E-56.956967E-51.00.07.0939213E-46.9548114E-46.9548114E-41.00.0
7.59.735342E-79.2901894E-79.2901894E-71.00.04.172283E-63.9815036E-63.9815036E-61.00.05.079636E-54.8473747E-54.8473747E-51.00.05.0784746E-44.8463346E-44.8463346E-41.00.0
7.65.067187E-74.778609E-74.778609E-71.00.02.1716498E-62.0479738E-62.0479738E-61.00.02.6439517E-52.4933803E-52.4933803E-51.00.02.643637E-42.493108E-42.493108E-41.00.0
7.72.769089E-72.5759346E-72.5759346E-71.00.01.1867519E-61.1039714E-61.1039714E-61.00.01.4448608E-51.344077E-51.344077E-51.00.01.444767E-41.343996E-41.343996E-41.00.0
7.81.7044663E-71.5449208E-71.5449208E-71.00.07.3048534E-76.6210873E-76.6210873E-71.00.08.893623E-68.061144E-68.061144E-61.00.08.893267E-58.060854E-58.060854E-51.00.0
7.94.8344287E-84.0911143E-84.0911143E-81.00.02.0718979E-71.7533345E-71.7533345E-71.00.02.5225327E-62.1346827E-62.1346827E-61.00.02.5225041E-52.1346626E-52.1346626E-51.00.0

Rinconada 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5752368E-51.6274716E-51.6274716E-51.00.06.75084E-56.974694E-57.9746234E-51.14336551.0E-58.2160486E-48.488413E-48.788158E-41.03531233.0E-50.0081857390.008456370.0085257791.00820787.0E-5
6.11.0966133E-51.1323029E-51.1323029E-51.00.04.6996865E-54.852637E-55.8525886E-51.20606351.0E-55.720366E-45.9064914E-46.006432E-41.01692061.0E-50.00570566350.0058908890.00593065331.00675014.0E-5
6.21.0966133E-51.1323029E-51.1323029E-51.00.04.6996865E-54.852637E-55.8525886E-51.20606351.0E-55.720366E-45.9064914E-46.006432E-41.01692061.0E-50.00570566350.0058908890.00593065331.00675014.0E-5
6.38.926149E-69.212772E-69.212772E-61.00.03.8254362E-53.948271E-54.9482318E-51.25326541.0E-54.6564735E-44.8059633E-44.905915E-41.02079751.0E-50.00464672830.00479561460.00483542261.00830094.0E-5
6.47.676955E-67.920191E-67.920191E-61.00.03.290082E-53.3943234E-54.3942895E-51.29459951.0E-54.0049385E-44.131807E-44.2317656E-41.02419251.0E-50.00399772870.0041241510.0041639861.00965894.0E-5
6.56.1671026E-66.358955E-66.358955E-61.00.02.6430173E-52.725238E-53.7252106E-51.36693051.0E-53.2173982E-43.317473E-43.4174396E-41.03013351.0E-50.0032127440.00331253260.00335240011.01203544.0E-5
6.65.553456E-65.7248126E-65.7248126E-61.00.02.3800309E-52.4534682E-53.4534438E-51.40757631.0E-52.897302E-42.9866886E-43.0866588E-41.0334721.0E-50.00289352770.00298268320.00301259381.0100283.0E-5
6.74.787857E-64.93331E-64.93331E-61.00.02.0519226E-52.1142585E-53.1142372E-51.4729691.0E-52.4979294E-42.573806E-42.6737803E-41.03884291.0E-50.00249512350.0025708310.00260075371.01163943.0E-5
6.83.9955166E-64.1134763E-64.1134763E-61.00.01.7123532E-51.7629065E-52.7628888E-51.5672351.0E-52.0845905E-42.1461275E-42.2461062E-41.04658561.0E-50.0020826360.00214405870.00217399421.01396213.0E-5
6.93.4250072E-63.5224466E-63.5224466E-61.00.01.46785205E-51.5096112E-52.5095962E-51.66241221.0E-51.7869633E-41.8377969E-41.9377784E-41.0544031.0E-50.0017855270.00183627950.00185624281.01087152.0E-5
7.02.7712713E-62.8467002E-62.8467002E-61.00.01.1876823E-51.22000865E-52.2199965E-51.81965631.0E-51.4459073E-41.4852594E-41.5852446E-41.06731831.0E-50.00144496680.00148426830.00150423871.01345472.0E-5
7.12.227358E-62.2856987E-62.2856987E-61.00.09.545785E-69.795815E-61.9795716E-52.02083421.0E-51.16213734E-41.1925753E-41.2925634E-41.08384221.0E-50.00116152980.00119193630.00120192441.00837971.0E-5
7.21.581796E-61.6209015E-61.6209015E-61.00.06.779108E-66.946702E-66.946702E-61.00.08.253252E-58.4572814E-58.4572814E-51.00.08.250187E-48.4540684E-48.4540684E-41.00.0
7.31.0306567E-61.054648E-61.054648E-61.00.04.4170924E-64.519912E-64.519912E-61.00.05.3776774E-55.502854E-55.502854E-51.00.05.376376E-45.501494E-45.501494E-41.00.0
7.46.535541E-76.682744E-76.682744E-71.00.02.800943E-62.8640302E-62.8640302E-61.00.03.4100947E-53.4869012E-53.4869012E-51.00.03.4095717E-43.486355E-43.486355E-41.00.0
7.53.2656962E-73.3316712E-73.3316712E-71.00.01.3995833E-61.4278584E-61.4278584E-61.00.01.7039794E-51.7384036E-51.7384036E-51.00.01.7038487E-41.738268E-41.738268E-41.00.0
7.69.754343E-89.821017E-89.821017E-81.00.04.180432E-74.2090065E-74.2090065E-71.00.05.089664E-65.1244533E-65.1244533E-61.00.05.0895473E-55.124336E-55.124336E-51.00.0
7.76.0001453E-95.8491207E-95.8491207E-91.00.02.5714908E-82.506766E-82.506766E-81.00.03.1307894E-73.051987E-73.051987E-71.00.03.1307852E-63.0519832E-63.0519832E-61.00.0
7.87.400003E-117.4654505E-117.4654505E-111.00.03.171432E-103.1994773E-103.1994773E-101.00.03.861218E-93.895363E-93.895363E-91.00.03.861218E-83.895363E-83.895363E-81.00.0

San Clemente

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.681379E-58.163834E-59.163752E-51.12248151.0E-52.8631336E-43.4983488E-43.698279E-41.05714982.0E-50.0034802940.004251410.00430119741.01171085.0E-50.034262910.041756030.0418231081.00160637.0E-5
6.16.681379E-58.163834E-58.163834E-51.00.02.8631336E-43.4983488E-43.598314E-41.0285751.0E-50.0034802940.004251410.004291241.00936874.0E-50.034262910.041756030.041803941.00114745.0E-5
6.23.9400576E-54.6452373E-54.6452373E-51.00.01.6884868E-41.9906677E-41.9906677E-41.00.00.00205379450.00242099840.00243097431.00412051.0E-50.0203491670.0239529030.0239724241.00081492.0E-5
6.33.2590255E-53.792912E-53.792912E-51.00.01.3966505E-41.6254342E-41.6254342E-41.00.00.00169909560.00197720020.00198718021.00504771.0E-50.016861630.0195998830.0196194911.00100042.0E-5
6.42.9454652E-53.4097764E-53.4097764E-51.00.01.2622811E-41.4612524E-41.4612524E-41.00.00.00153574380.00177764930.00178763151.00561541.0E-50.0152517390.017637470.0176472941.0005571.0E-5
6.52.790836E-53.2247463E-53.2247463E-51.00.01.1960178E-41.3819624E-41.3819624E-41.00.00.0014551790.00168126620.00169124941.00593791.0E-50.0144568680.0166884850.0166983181.00058931.0E-5
6.62.2492153E-52.5762702E-52.5762702E-51.00.09.639138E-51.1040699E-41.1040699E-41.00.00.00117293310.00134339090.00134339091.00.00.0116676150.0133544170.0133544171.00.0
6.71.9862755E-52.2666423E-52.2666423E-51.00.08.512331E-59.713826E-59.713826E-51.00.00.00103588360.00118202790.00118202791.00.00.0103106820.0117587010.0117587011.00.0
6.81.6697575E-51.897771E-51.897771E-51.00.07.155907E-58.133056E-58.133056E-51.00.08.7088346E-49.897591E-49.897591E-41.00.00.0086747840.00985453650.00985453651.00.0
6.91.5218415E-51.72694E-51.72694E-51.00.06.522015E-57.4009666E-57.4009666E-51.00.07.93766E-49.00704E-49.00704E-41.00.00.0079093670.0089714810.0089714811.00.0
7.01.2392958E-51.4033016E-51.4033016E-51.00.05.3111595E-56.014015E-56.014015E-51.00.06.4644177E-47.319679E-47.319679E-41.00.00.00644564540.00729635640.00729635641.00.0
7.11.0934128E-51.2375138E-51.2375138E-51.00.04.6859706E-55.303527E-55.303527E-51.00.05.7036756E-46.455204E-46.455204E-41.00.00.00568905850.00643719970.00643719971.00.0
7.29.5798805E-61.0844935E-51.0844935E-51.00.04.1055984E-54.6477508E-54.6477508E-51.00.04.9974193E-45.657239E-45.657239E-41.00.00.00498619630.00564356150.00564356151.00.0
7.38.0167365E-69.083918E-69.083918E-61.00.03.4356988E-53.8930535E-53.8930535E-51.00.04.1821605E-44.7388324E-44.7388324E-41.00.00.00417429860.00472942970.00472942971.00.0
7.42.9581017E-63.3623792E-63.3623792E-61.00.01.2677518E-51.4410146E-51.4410146E-51.00.01.5433785E-41.7543444E-41.7543444E-41.00.00.0015423070.00175345460.00175345461.00.0

Pine Mtn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.894797E-67.2254716E-67.2254716E-61.00.02.9548795E-53.0965955E-55.0965336E-51.64585052.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.169332E-41.10607544.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.0038331231.01853027.0E-5
6.16.894797E-67.2254716E-67.2254716E-61.00.02.9548795E-53.0965955E-55.0965336E-51.64585052.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.169332E-41.10607544.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.0038331231.01853027.0E-5
6.26.894797E-67.2254716E-67.2254716E-61.00.02.9548795E-53.0965955E-55.0965336E-51.64585052.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.169332E-41.10607544.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.0038331231.01853027.0E-5
6.36.894797E-67.2254716E-67.2254716E-61.00.02.9548795E-53.0965955E-55.0965336E-51.64585052.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.169332E-41.10607544.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.0038331231.01853027.0E-5
6.46.894797E-67.2254716E-67.2254716E-61.00.02.9548795E-53.0965955E-55.0965336E-51.64585052.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.169332E-41.10607544.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.0038331231.01853027.0E-5
6.56.894797E-67.2254716E-67.2254716E-61.00.02.9548795E-53.0965955E-55.0965336E-51.64585052.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.169332E-41.10607544.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.0038331231.01853027.0E-5
6.66.894797E-67.2254716E-67.2254716E-61.00.02.9548795E-53.0965955E-55.0965336E-51.64585052.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-44.169332E-41.10607544.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.0038331231.01853027.0E-5
6.76.0867933E-66.397124E-66.397124E-61.00.02.6085996E-52.7415968E-54.741542E-51.72948182.0E-53.1755073E-43.337405E-43.7372715E-41.11981364.0E-50.00317097340.00333261190.00339241191.01794396.0E-5
6.85.6530425E-65.950606E-65.950606E-61.00.02.42271E-52.5502359E-54.550185E-51.78422122.0E-52.94925E-43.1044905E-43.5043663E-41.12880564.0E-50.0029453390.00310035820.00316017211.01929266.0E-5
6.94.6015225E-64.8638444E-64.8638444E-61.00.01.9720663E-52.084489E-54.0844472E-51.95944772.0E-52.4007261E-42.5375842E-42.9374828E-41.15759034.0E-50.00239813420.0025348310.00259467871.02361026.0E-5
7.04.4875965E-64.7474837E-64.7474837E-61.00.01.9232413E-52.0346208E-54.03458E-51.98296422.0E-52.3412947E-42.4768838E-42.8767847E-41.16145324.0E-50.00233882950.00247426680.00253411851.02418966.0E-5
7.13.203907E-63.42942E-63.42942E-61.00.01.3730958E-51.4697435E-51.4697435E-51.00.01.6716159E-41.7892725E-41.8892546E-41.05587861.0E-50.00167035890.0017878980.00180786221.01116632.0E-5
7.22.2060601E-62.3784874E-62.3784874E-61.00.09.4545085E-61.019348E-51.019348E-51.00.01.15102564E-41.2409901E-41.2409901E-41.00.00.00115042960.00124034190.00125032951.00805231.0E-5
7.31.3765207E-61.5216535E-61.5216535E-61.00.05.899361E-66.5213567E-66.5213567E-61.00.07.182235E-57.939472E-57.939472E-51.00.07.1799144E-47.9367263E-48.036647E-41.01258971.0E-5
7.41.1245983E-61.2587126E-61.2587126E-61.00.04.819698E-65.394472E-65.394472E-61.00.05.8678244E-56.56758E-56.56758E-51.00.05.866275E-46.565722E-46.6656567E-41.01522061.0E-5
7.58.031682E-79.276999E-79.276999E-71.00.03.4421448E-63.975851E-63.975851E-61.00.04.1907308E-54.840498E-54.840498E-51.00.04.1899405E-44.8395112E-44.939463E-41.02065321.0E-5
7.64.8953444E-76.0030544E-76.0030544E-71.00.02.098003E-62.5727354E-62.5727354E-61.00.02.5542888E-53.1322652E-53.1322652E-51.00.02.5539953E-43.1318725E-43.1318725E-41.00.0
7.76.634529E-86.788826E-86.788826E-81.00.02.843369E-72.9094966E-72.9094966E-71.00.03.4617963E-63.5423066E-63.5423066E-61.00.03.4617424E-53.542255E-53.542255E-51.00.0
7.89.235578E-99.488566E-99.488566E-91.00.03.9581046E-84.0665284E-84.0665284E-81.00.04.818991E-74.950997E-74.950997E-71.00.04.8189804E-64.950988E-64.950988E-61.00.0

Santa Cruz Catalina Ridge alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2833184E-53.6558402E-53.6558402E-51.00.01.4070606E-41.5667039E-41.6666882E-41.06381821.0E-50.001711750.00190595940.0019558641.02618355.0E-50.0169862470.0189130320.0189620871.00259365.0E-5
6.11.9835548E-52.1659505E-52.1659505E-51.00.08.500672E-59.282326E-51.02822334E-41.10772161.0E-50.00103446550.00112955750.00116951231.03537214.0E-50.0102966320.0112402960.0112897331.00439825.0E-5
6.21.9835548E-52.1659505E-52.1659505E-51.00.08.500672E-59.282326E-51.02822334E-41.10772161.0E-50.00103446550.00112955750.00116951231.03537214.0E-50.0102966320.0112402960.0112897331.00439825.0E-5
6.31.5728183E-51.703395E-51.703395E-51.00.06.7404755E-57.300063E-58.29999E-51.13697521.0E-58.2034385E-48.884264E-49.2839083E-41.04498344.0E-50.0081732220.0088494270.0088890731.00448014.0E-5
6.41.5728183E-51.703395E-51.703395E-51.00.06.7404755E-57.300063E-58.29999E-51.13697521.0E-58.2034385E-48.884264E-49.2839083E-41.04498344.0E-50.0081732220.0088494270.0088890731.00448014.0E-5
6.51.3707734E-51.4794522E-51.4794522E-51.00.05.8746107E-56.3403575E-57.340294E-51.15770981.0E-57.1499916E-47.716686E-48.0164545E-41.03884693.0E-50.00712703030.00769028950.0077200591.0038713.0E-5
6.61.2539813E-51.3510219E-51.3510219E-51.00.05.3740947E-55.789967E-56.789909E-51.17270261.0E-56.540996E-47.0470315E-47.34682E-41.04254113.0E-50.00652177630.00702498850.0070547781.00424053.0E-5
6.71.1504083E-51.2377375E-51.2377375E-51.00.04.930228E-55.3044827E-56.3044296E-51.18850981.0E-56.0008996E-46.456314E-46.75612E-41.04643623.0E-50.0059847210.0064377860.0064675931.004633.0E-5
6.81.012739E-51.0877071E-51.0877071E-51.00.04.340238E-54.6615194E-55.661473E-51.21451231.0E-55.282958E-45.673937E-45.9737667E-41.05284333.0E-50.00527041640.00565961930.00568944961.00527073.0E-5
6.98.9607865E-69.609117E-69.609117E-61.00.03.8402806E-54.1181287E-55.1180876E-51.24281871.0E-54.6745385E-45.012679E-45.312529E-41.05981833.0E-50.00466471770.0050014920.00503134171.00596823.0E-5
7.08.046829E-68.619746E-68.619746E-61.00.03.4485955E-53.694125E-54.694088E-51.27069011.0E-54.1978562E-44.496677E-44.796542E-41.06668593.0E-50.0041899350.00448766860.00451753431.0066553.0E-5
7.17.136131E-67.637656E-67.637656E-61.00.03.0583058E-53.2732405E-53.2732405E-51.00.03.7228514E-43.9844486E-44.184369E-41.05017522.0E-50.00371662060.0039773810.00399730171.00500852.0E-5
7.26.362014E-66.8049585E-66.8049585E-61.00.02.726549E-52.9163786E-52.9163786E-51.00.03.3190678E-43.550119E-43.7500478E-41.05631612.0E-50.00331411490.0035445160.0035644451.00562252.0E-5
7.35.004101E-65.351715E-65.351715E-61.00.02.1445969E-52.2935723E-52.2935723E-51.00.02.6107338E-42.792072E-42.9920158E-41.07161142.0E-50.0026076690.00278861870.00280856271.0071522.0E-5
7.43.4901443E-63.7320526E-63.7320526E-61.00.01.4957676E-51.5994416E-51.5994416E-51.00.01.8209449E-41.9471499E-42.147111E-41.10269432.0E-50.00181945340.00194548230.00196544341.01026022.0E-5
7.51.1215045E-61.189387E-61.189387E-61.00.04.806439E-65.097363E-65.097363E-61.00.05.851682E-56.205866E-57.205804E-51.16112781.0E-55.850142E-46.2041637E-46.3041016E-41.01610821.0E-5
7.62.8599047E-72.9951994E-72.9951994E-71.00.01.2256729E-61.2836562E-61.2836562E-61.00.01.4922465E-51.5628404E-51.5628404E-51.00.01.4921463E-41.5627318E-41.5627318E-41.00.0
7.72.0781519E-72.1744323E-72.1744323E-71.00.08.906362E-79.3189925E-79.3189925E-71.00.01.08434415E-51.13458145E-51.13458145E-51.00.01.0842913E-41.1345245E-41.1345245E-41.00.0
7.83.614776E-83.764102E-83.764102E-81.00.01.5491896E-71.6131864E-71.6131864E-71.00.01.8861368E-61.9640527E-61.9640527E-61.00.01.8861208E-51.9640367E-51.9640367E-51.00.0

Los Alamos extension

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0146506E-64.086164E-62.4086083E-55.89454562.0E-51.7205533E-51.7512022E-53.7511672E-52.14205272.0E-52.0945723E-42.1318911E-42.6317846E-41.23448365.0E-50.00209259920.0021299550.0021998061.03279467.0E-5
6.14.0146506E-64.086164E-62.4086083E-55.89454562.0E-51.7205533E-51.7512022E-53.7511672E-52.14205272.0E-52.0945723E-42.1318911E-42.6317846E-41.23448365.0E-50.00209259920.0021299550.0021998061.03279467.0E-5
6.24.0146506E-64.086164E-62.4086083E-55.89454562.0E-51.7205533E-51.7512022E-53.7511672E-52.14205272.0E-52.0945723E-42.1318911E-42.6317846E-41.23448365.0E-50.00209259920.0021299550.0021998061.03279467.0E-5
6.34.0146506E-64.086164E-62.4086083E-55.89454562.0E-51.7205533E-51.7512022E-53.7511672E-52.14205272.0E-52.0945723E-42.1318911E-42.6317846E-41.23448365.0E-50.00209259920.0021299550.0021998061.03279467.0E-5
6.44.0146506E-64.086164E-62.4086083E-55.89454562.0E-51.7205533E-51.7512022E-53.7511672E-52.14205272.0E-52.0945723E-42.1318911E-42.6317846E-41.23448365.0E-50.00209259920.0021299550.0021998061.03279467.0E-5
6.54.0146506E-64.086164E-62.4086083E-55.89454562.0E-51.7205533E-51.7512022E-53.7511672E-52.14205272.0E-52.0945723E-42.1318911E-42.6317846E-41.23448365.0E-50.00209259920.0021299550.0021998061.03279467.0E-5
6.64.0146506E-64.086164E-62.4086083E-55.89454562.0E-51.7205533E-51.7512022E-53.7511672E-52.14205272.0E-52.0945723E-42.1318911E-42.6317846E-41.23448365.0E-50.00209259920.0021299550.0021998061.03279467.0E-5
6.74.0146506E-64.086164E-62.4086083E-55.89454562.0E-51.7205533E-51.7512022E-53.7511672E-52.14205272.0E-52.0945723E-42.1318911E-42.6317846E-41.23448365.0E-50.00209259920.0021299550.0021998061.03279467.0E-5
6.83.6584688E-63.7188636E-62.3718789E-56.3779672.0E-51.5679057E-51.5937894E-53.5937577E-52.25485092.0E-51.9087581E-41.9402753E-42.4401782E-41.25764545.0E-50.00190711940.00193867370.0020085381.03603727.0E-5
6.93.644631E-63.7045736E-62.3704499E-56.3987122.0E-51.5619753E-51.5876652E-53.5876335E-52.25969152.0E-51.901539E-41.9328203E-42.4327237E-41.25863935.0E-50.00189991270.00193123170.00200109651.03617637.0E-5
7.03.6318522E-63.691334E-62.369126E-56.41807562.0E-51.5564989E-51.5819913E-53.5819598E-52.26420952.0E-51.8948725E-41.9259135E-42.4258172E-41.2595675.0E-50.00189325760.00192433680.00199420211.03630617.0E-5
7.13.5001724E-63.5554046E-62.3555334E-56.6252192.0E-51.5000653E-51.5237365E-53.523706E-52.3125432.0E-51.8261763E-41.8550004E-42.2549262E-41.21559334.0E-50.00182467640.00185354260.00191343141.03231056.0E-5
7.22.5204702E-62.5436989E-61.2543674E-54.9312731.0E-51.080197E-51.0901522E-52.0901412E-51.91729321.0E-51.3150605E-41.3271799E-41.5271534E-41.15067542.0E-50.00131428250.0013263930.00135635321.02258783.0E-5
7.32.1399692E-62.1501362E-61.2150114E-55.6508581.0E-59.1712645E-69.2148375E-61.9214745E-52.08519631.0E-51.1165442E-41.121849E-41.2218377E-41.08912861.0E-50.00111598340.0011212860.00113127471.00890841.0E-5
7.41.9660122E-61.970241E-61.1970222E-56.0755111.0E-58.42574E-68.4438625E-61.8443778E-52.1842821.0E-51.0257855E-41.0279921E-41.1279818E-41.0972671.0E-50.00102531210.00102751970.00103750941.00972221.0E-5
7.51.7204633E-61.7151029E-61.1715086E-56.83054351.0E-57.373393E-67.3504207E-61.7350347E-52.36045621.0E-58.976737E-58.948772E-59.948683E-51.11173711.0E-58.9731114E-48.945199E-49.0451096E-41.01116921.0E-5
7.61.3717638E-61.3535872E-61.1353573E-58.3877671.0E-55.878974E-65.801075E-61.5801017E-52.72380831.0E-57.157416E-57.062583E-58.062512E-51.14158131.0E-57.1551115E-47.0603646E-47.160294E-41.01415361.0E-5
7.78.272564E-77.9576733E-71.0795759E-513.5664781.0E-53.5453797E-63.4104269E-61.3410393E-53.93217421.0E-54.3164142E-54.1521158E-55.1520743E-51.2408311.0E-54.315576E-44.151342E-44.2513004E-41.02407861.0E-5
7.83.9708277E-73.671937E-73.671937E-71.00.01.7017821E-61.5736864E-61.5736864E-61.00.02.0719E-51.9159465E-51.9159465E-51.00.02.071707E-41.9157819E-41.9157819E-41.00.0
7.99.292528E-87.889168E-87.889168E-81.00.03.9825116E-73.3810713E-73.3810713E-71.00.04.848697E-64.1164467E-64.1164467E-61.00.04.8485912E-54.1163716E-54.1163716E-51.00.0
8.07.880441E-118.2353124E-118.2353124E-111.00.03.3773329E-103.52942E-103.52942E-101.00.04.1119033E-94.2970694E-94.2970694E-91.00.04.1119034E-84.2970694E-84.2970694E-81.00.0

Ortigalita (North)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.711876E-51.0505308E-41.3504992E-41.285543.0E-53.3046713E-44.501601E-44.8014658E-41.0666133.0E-50.0040160160.00546805470.0055277271.01091286.0E-50.0394421030.0534556140.053521871.00123957.0E-5
6.14.607858E-56.0239887E-58.0238686E-51.3319862.0E-51.9746469E-42.5814763E-42.7814248E-41.0774552.0E-50.00240148180.00313873660.00316864251.0095283.0E-50.0237569530.0309753120.0310043821.00093853.0E-5
6.24.607858E-56.0239887E-58.0238686E-51.3319862.0E-51.9746469E-42.5814763E-42.7814248E-41.0774552.0E-50.00240148180.00313873660.00316864251.0095283.0E-50.0237569530.0309753120.0310043821.00093853.0E-5
6.33.327423E-54.2476124E-55.2475698E-51.23541641.0E-51.4259605E-41.8202956E-41.9202773E-41.05492621.0E-50.00173472440.0022142060.00222418391.00450631.0E-50.0172124520.021945740.021955521.00044571.0E-5
6.42.7732503E-53.4999008E-54.4998655E-51.28571241.0E-51.1884817E-41.499886E-41.599871E-41.06666171.0E-50.0014460160.00182481580.00183479761.005471.0E-50.0143664280.0181212970.0181311161.00054181.0E-5
6.52.7689714E-53.4948822E-54.4948472E-51.28612271.0E-51.186648E-41.4977354E-41.5977204E-41.06675741.0E-50.00144378640.00182220180.00183218361.00547791.0E-50.0143444210.0180955850.0181054031.00054261.0E-5
6.62.2976905E-52.871829E-53.8718004E-51.34820011.0E-59.846873E-51.23074E-41.3307277E-41.0812421.0E-50.00119819750.00149763480.00150761991.00666711.0E-50.0119175740.0148987330.0149085851.00066131.0E-5
6.71.9871539E-52.4904637E-53.4904388E-51.40152171.0E-58.516096E-51.067312E-41.1673012E-41.09368341.0E-50.00103634150.00129891990.00130890691.00768881.0E-50.0103152180.0129369380.0129468091.00076291.0E-5
6.86.5640475E-67.6054926E-67.6054926E-61.00.02.813133E-53.2594577E-53.2594577E-51.00.03.424451E-43.9676955E-43.9676955E-41.00.00.00341917880.0039608990.0039608991.00.0
6.95.6219683E-66.5018376E-66.5018376E-61.00.02.4093928E-52.7864735E-52.7864735E-51.00.02.933041E-43.3920293E-43.3920293E-41.00.00.00292917270.0033871090.0033871091.00.0
7.03.875591E-64.4847548E-64.4847548E-61.00.01.6609569E-51.9220248E-51.9220248E-51.00.02.0220275E-42.339835E-42.339835E-41.00.00.00202018860.00233757980.00233757981.00.0
7.11.6017933E-61.8570418E-61.8570418E-61.00.06.8648105E-67.958732E-67.958732E-61.00.08.357586E-59.689432E-59.689432E-51.00.08.3544437E-49.686254E-49.686254E-41.00.0

Johnson Valley (No) 2011 rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.577707E-51.2901208E-52.2901078E-51.77511121.0E-51.1046848E-45.528994E-57.528884E-51.36170952.0E-50.00134412396.729868E-47.129599E-41.05939654.0E-50.0133602290.0067133970.0067729941.00887746.0E-5
6.12.577707E-51.2901208E-52.2901078E-51.77511121.0E-51.1046848E-45.528994E-57.528884E-51.36170952.0E-50.00134412396.729868E-47.129599E-41.05939654.0E-50.0133602290.0067133970.0067729941.00887746.0E-5
6.22.577707E-51.2901208E-52.2901078E-51.77511121.0E-51.1046848E-45.528994E-57.528884E-51.36170952.0E-50.00134412396.729868E-47.129599E-41.05939654.0E-50.0133602290.0067133970.0067729941.00887746.0E-5
6.32.577707E-51.2901208E-52.2901078E-51.77511121.0E-51.1046848E-45.528994E-57.528884E-51.36170952.0E-50.00134412396.729868E-47.129599E-41.05939654.0E-50.0133602290.0067133970.0067729941.00887746.0E-5
6.41.5296591E-57.5369735E-67.5369735E-61.00.06.555518E-53.230102E-54.2300697E-51.30957771.0E-57.97842E-43.9321271E-44.1320483E-41.0508432.0E-50.0079498360.0039270110.00395689351.00760943.0E-5
6.51.5296591E-57.5369735E-67.5369735E-61.00.06.555518E-53.230102E-54.2300697E-51.30957771.0E-57.97842E-43.9321271E-44.1320483E-41.0508432.0E-50.0079498360.0039270110.00395689351.00760943.0E-5
6.61.3289383E-55.9919316E-65.9919316E-61.00.05.6953253E-52.567955E-53.567929E-51.38940491.0E-56.9318525E-43.1262063E-43.3261438E-41.06395532.0E-50.00691026960.00312347310.00315337931.00957473.0E-5
6.71.3289383E-55.9919316E-65.9919316E-61.00.05.6953253E-52.567955E-53.567929E-51.38940491.0E-56.9318525E-43.1262063E-43.3261438E-41.06395532.0E-50.00691026960.00312347310.00315337931.00957473.0E-5
6.88.330789E-62.9214577E-62.9214577E-61.00.03.570289E-51.2520505E-52.252038E-51.79867981.0E-54.34596E-41.524322E-41.7242915E-41.13118592.0E-50.00433747050.00152383640.00154380591.01310482.0E-5
6.97.2359003E-62.3014702E-62.3014702E-61.00.03.1010633E-59.863436E-69.863436E-61.00.03.7748902E-41.2008605E-41.3008485E-41.08326361.0E-50.00376848430.00120073450.00121072251.00831821.0E-5
7.06.5149957E-62.0886398E-62.0886398E-61.00.02.792111E-58.951313E-68.951313E-61.00.03.398865E-41.0898209E-41.1898099E-41.09174821.0E-50.0033936710.00108980620.00109979531.0091661.0E-5
7.11.1662233E-62.8793124E-82.8793124E-81.00.04.9980904E-61.2339909E-71.2339909E-71.00.06.0850052E-51.5023832E-61.5023832E-61.00.06.083339E-41.5023746E-51.5023746E-51.00.0
7.25.413881E-72.8793124E-82.8793124E-81.00.02.3202326E-61.2339909E-71.2339909E-71.00.02.8248465E-51.5023832E-61.5023832E-61.00.02.8244875E-41.5023746E-51.5023746E-51.00.0
7.35.076821E-72.8793124E-82.8793124E-81.00.02.1757785E-61.2339909E-71.2339909E-71.00.02.648978E-51.5023832E-61.5023832E-61.00.02.6486625E-41.5023746E-51.5023746E-51.00.0
7.44.7568687E-72.8775073E-82.8775073E-81.00.02.0386565E-61.2332174E-71.2332174E-71.00.02.482036E-51.5014413E-61.5014413E-61.00.02.4817587E-41.5014328E-51.5014328E-51.00.0
7.53.435626E-72.5350424E-82.5350424E-81.00.01.4724103E-61.0864467E-71.0864467E-71.00.01.7926448E-51.3227482E-61.3227482E-61.00.01.7925001E-41.3227419E-51.3227419E-51.00.0

San Cayetano

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.3476267E-51.8169216E-53.816885E-52.1007432.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-59.7864206E-51.25683222.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-40.00100755021.06325736.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0094961841.00629816.0E-5
6.12.3476267E-51.8169216E-53.816885E-52.1007432.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-59.7864206E-51.25683222.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-40.00100755021.06325736.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0094961841.00629816.0E-5
6.22.3476267E-51.8169216E-53.816885E-52.1007432.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-59.7864206E-51.25683222.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-40.00100755021.06325736.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0094961841.00629816.0E-5
6.32.3476267E-51.8169216E-53.816885E-52.1007432.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-59.7864206E-51.25683222.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-40.00100755021.06325736.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0094961841.00629816.0E-5
6.42.3476267E-51.8169216E-53.816885E-52.1007432.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-59.7864206E-51.25683222.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-40.00100755021.06325736.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0094961841.00629816.0E-5
6.52.3476267E-51.8169216E-53.816885E-52.1007432.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-59.7864206E-51.25683222.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-40.00100755021.06325736.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0094961841.00629816.0E-5
6.62.3476267E-51.8169216E-53.816885E-52.1007432.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-59.7864206E-51.25683222.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-40.00100755021.06325736.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0094961841.00629816.0E-5
6.72.3476267E-51.8169216E-53.816885E-52.1007432.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-59.7864206E-51.25683222.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-40.00100755021.06325736.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0094961841.00629816.0E-5
6.82.3241924E-51.7936945E-53.793659E-52.1149972.0E-59.960445E-57.687038E-59.686885E-51.26015822.0E-50.00121200959.354987E-49.954425E-41.06407696.0E-50.0120542040.00931661950.009376061.00638016.0E-5
6.92.2761007E-51.7432383E-53.7432037E-52.147272.0E-59.7543525E-57.47081E-59.47066E-51.26768862.0E-50.00118694549.09195E-49.6914044E-41.06593246.0E-50.0118062560.0090557410.0091151981.00656576.0E-5
7.02.240283E-51.7066137E-53.7065794E-52.17189152.0E-59.600859E-57.313856E-59.3137096E-51.27343362.0E-50.00116827778.9010154E-49.5004815E-41.0673486.0E-50.0116215490.0088663360.0089258041.00670726.0E-5
7.12.1871154E-51.658602E-53.6585687E-52.20581482.0E-59.373015E-57.108103E-59.10796E-51.28134912.0E-50.00114056718.6507126E-49.250193E-41.06929856.0E-50.0113473090.0086179960.008677481.00690226.0E-5
7.22.0714133E-51.5564563E-53.556425E-52.28495032.0E-58.8771834E-56.670358E-58.6702246E-51.2998142.0E-50.00108026118.118168E-48.617762E-41.06154025.0E-50.0107502490.0080894430.0081390381.00613095.0E-5
7.31.8408395E-51.3996829E-53.3996548E-52.42887522.0E-57.8890735E-55.9985046E-57.9983845E-51.33339642.0E-59.600714E-47.300762E-47.800397E-41.0684365.0E-50.0095593420.00727764470.0073272811.00682035.0E-5
7.41.6856795E-51.285006E-53.2849803E-52.55639312.0E-57.2241404E-55.5070537E-57.506944E-51.36315062.0E-58.7918417E-46.7028037E-47.2024687E-41.07454565.0E-50.008757140.00668340870.00673307431.00743135.0E-5
7.51.2822778E-59.577415E-61.957732E-52.04411321.0E-55.495361E-54.1045427E-55.1045015E-51.24362251.0E-56.688548E-44.9961504E-45.395951E-41.08002164.0E-50.0066684520.00498519230.0050249931.00798384.0E-5
7.65.6272684E-63.854899E-63.854899E-61.00.02.4116642E-51.6520893E-51.6520893E-51.00.02.9358055E-42.0112342E-42.111214E-41.04971081.0E-50.00293193010.00200942480.00201940471.00496651.0E-5
7.73.5261346E-62.3407094E-62.3407094E-61.00.01.5111918E-51.0031574E-51.0031574E-51.00.01.8397206E-41.2212765E-41.3212643E-41.08187151.0E-50.00183819840.00122061270.00123060041.00818261.0E-5
7.81.4826929E-61.0564395E-61.0564395E-61.00.06.354383E-64.52759E-64.52759E-61.00.07.736187E-55.5122033E-55.5122033E-51.00.07.733494E-45.510856E-45.510856E-41.00.0
7.92.7568166E-71.6977887E-71.6977887E-71.00.01.1814923E-67.276235E-77.276235E-71.00.01.4384574E-58.85878E-68.85878E-61.00.01.4383643E-48.858431E-58.858431E-51.00.0
8.05.407832E-82.688677E-82.688677E-81.00.02.3176422E-71.15229014E-71.15229014E-71.00.02.8217257E-61.4029123E-61.4029123E-61.00.02.8216898E-51.40290385E-51.40290385E-51.00.0

San Pedro Basin

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.3449043E-56.337018E-59.336828E-51.47337883.0E-52.2904722E-42.7156167E-43.0155352E-41.11044223.0E-50.00278508360.00330185150.00333175231.00905593.0E-50.0275043660.032589480.0326475281.00178116.0E-5
6.15.3449043E-56.337018E-59.336828E-51.47337883.0E-52.2904722E-42.7156167E-43.0155352E-41.11044223.0E-50.00278508360.00330185150.00333175231.00905593.0E-50.0275043660.032589480.0326475281.00178116.0E-5
6.22.3189454E-52.6642829E-53.6642563E-51.37532561.0E-59.9379584E-51.1417881E-41.2417766E-41.0875721.0E-50.00120927490.00138928750.00139927361.0071881.0E-50.0120271550.013810890.0138207521.00071411.0E-5
6.32.3189454E-52.6642829E-53.6642563E-51.37532561.0E-59.9379584E-51.1417881E-41.2417766E-41.0875721.0E-50.00120927490.00138928750.00139927361.0071881.0E-50.0120271550.013810890.0138207521.00071411.0E-5
6.41.966056E-52.246342E-53.2463195E-51.44515811.0E-58.425682E-59.626848E-51.06267515E-41.10386621.0E-50.0010253440.00117147870.0011814671.00852621.0E-50.0102062590.0116571190.0116670031.00084781.0E-5
6.51.7342953E-51.9745152E-52.9744955E-51.50644341.0E-57.4324824E-58.461954E-59.46187E-51.1181661.0E-59.04529E-40.00102979290.00103978271.00970071.0E-50.0090085610.0102539320.010263831.00096521.0E-5
6.61.439804E-51.6322716E-52.6322554E-51.61263311.0E-56.170443E-56.99528E-57.995211E-51.14294351.0E-57.509924E-48.513747E-48.613662E-41.01173571.0E-50.00748459530.0084843330.0084942491.00116861.0E-5
6.71.2634884E-51.4285298E-52.4285155E-51.70001041.0E-55.414838E-56.122144E-57.122083E-51.16333151.0E-56.590571E-47.451466E-47.5513916E-41.01341021.0E-50.0065710590.0074295020.00743942751.0013361.0E-5
6.81.146091E-51.2933193E-52.2933064E-51.77319431.0E-54.911726E-55.542696E-56.542641E-51.18040761.0E-55.9783855E-46.74644E-46.846373E-41.01481261.0E-50.00596232760.00672889970.0067388321.00147621.0E-5
6.99.109035E-61.0235013E-52.0234911E-51.97702841.0E-53.9038136E-54.386376E-55.386332E-51.22796861.0E-54.7518566E-45.339384E-45.4393307E-41.01871871.0E-50.00474170830.00532930950.0053392561.00186651.0E-5
7.05.9351028E-66.583965E-66.583965E-61.00.02.5435906E-52.821682E-52.821682E-51.00.03.0963816E-43.4350925E-43.4350925E-41.00.00.00309207060.00343209970.00343209971.00.0
7.12.1557585E-62.2096492E-62.2096492E-61.00.09.238933E-69.469892E-69.469892E-61.00.01.1247819E-41.15289986E-41.15289986E-41.00.00.00112421280.00115231720.00115231721.00.0
7.22.1251979E-62.1779954E-62.1779954E-61.00.09.107958E-69.334234E-69.334234E-61.00.01.1088375E-41.13638525E-41.13638525E-41.00.00.00110828450.00113581950.00113581951.00.0
7.31.7145798E-61.7442885E-61.7442885E-61.00.07.3481783E-67.475501E-67.475501E-61.00.08.94604E-59.1010515E-59.1010515E-51.00.08.9424395E-49.0974156E-49.0974156E-41.00.0
7.41.4467993E-61.4641878E-61.4641878E-61.00.06.200554E-66.275076E-66.275076E-61.00.07.548913E-57.639644E-57.639644E-51.00.07.546349E-47.6370913E-47.6370913E-41.00.0
7.51.2803735E-61.2931506E-61.2931506E-61.00.05.487303E-65.5420624E-65.5420624E-61.00.06.680587E-56.747259E-56.747259E-51.00.06.678579E-46.745281E-46.745281E-41.00.0
7.66.755009E-76.76947E-76.76947E-71.00.02.8950008E-62.9011985E-62.9011985E-61.00.03.5246063E-53.532158E-53.532158E-51.00.03.5240475E-43.5316538E-43.5316538E-41.00.0
7.76.211885E-84.5699714E-84.5699714E-81.00.02.6622362E-71.9585592E-71.9585592E-71.00.03.2412677E-62.3845432E-62.3845432E-61.00.03.2412205E-52.3845198E-52.3845198E-51.00.0
7.82.6580573E-91.5138054E-91.5138054E-91.00.01.1391674E-86.4877375E-96.4877375E-91.00.01.3869362E-77.89882E-87.89882E-81.00.01.3869354E-67.89882E-77.89882E-71.00.0

Channel Islands Western Deep Ramp

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.0213506E-66.2548684E-61.6254806E-52.59874461.0E-52.5805533E-52.6806329E-53.680606E-51.37303631.0E-53.1413708E-43.2632265E-43.5631284E-41.09190363.0E-50.00313693380.00325887630.00331868071.01835126.0E-5
6.16.0213506E-66.2548684E-61.6254806E-52.59874461.0E-52.5805533E-52.6806329E-53.680606E-51.37303631.0E-53.1413708E-43.2632265E-43.5631284E-41.09190363.0E-50.00313693380.00325887630.00331868071.01835126.0E-5
6.26.0213506E-66.2548684E-61.6254806E-52.59874461.0E-52.5805533E-52.6806329E-53.680606E-51.37303631.0E-53.1413708E-43.2632265E-43.5631284E-41.09190363.0E-50.00313693380.00325887630.00331868071.01835126.0E-5
6.36.0213506E-66.2548684E-61.6254806E-52.59874461.0E-52.5805533E-52.6806329E-53.680606E-51.37303631.0E-53.1413708E-43.2632265E-43.5631284E-41.09190363.0E-50.00313693380.00325887630.00331868071.01835126.0E-5
6.46.0213506E-66.2548684E-61.6254806E-52.59874461.0E-52.5805533E-52.6806329E-53.680606E-51.37303631.0E-53.1413708E-43.2632265E-43.5631284E-41.09190363.0E-50.00313693380.00325887630.00331868071.01835126.0E-5
6.56.0213506E-66.2548684E-61.6254806E-52.59874461.0E-52.5805533E-52.6806329E-53.680606E-51.37303631.0E-53.1413708E-43.2632265E-43.5631284E-41.09190363.0E-50.00313693380.00325887630.00331868071.01835126.0E-5
6.66.0213506E-66.2548684E-61.6254806E-52.59874461.0E-52.5805533E-52.6806329E-53.680606E-51.37303631.0E-53.1413708E-43.2632265E-43.5631284E-41.09190363.0E-50.00313693380.00325887630.00331868071.01835126.0E-5
6.75.313309E-65.5252403E-61.5525186E-52.8098661.0E-52.2771126E-52.367941E-53.3679175E-51.42229781.0E-52.772032E-42.8826276E-43.182541E-41.10404173.0E-50.00276857660.00287929180.0029391191.02077846.0E-5
6.85.313309E-65.5252403E-61.5525186E-52.8098661.0E-52.2771126E-52.367941E-53.3679175E-51.42229781.0E-52.772032E-42.8826276E-43.182541E-41.10404173.0E-50.00276857660.00287929180.0029391191.02077846.0E-5
6.94.744377E-64.9394303E-61.4939381E-53.0245151.0E-52.0332885E-52.1168837E-53.1168624E-51.47238251.0E-52.4752476E-42.5770385E-42.876961E-41.11638273.0E-50.00247249220.00257441750.0026342631.02324636.0E-5
7.04.722209E-64.9164732E-61.4916424E-53.03396841.0E-52.0237881E-52.107045E-53.1070238E-51.47458831.0E-52.4636835E-42.5650626E-42.8649857E-41.11692623.0E-50.0024609540.00256246930.00262231571.02335496.0E-5
7.14.611174E-64.801409E-61.48013605E-53.0827121.0E-51.9762025E-52.0577325E-53.057712E-51.48596181.0E-52.4057609E-42.5050386E-42.8049634E-41.11972873.0E-50.0024031580.0025025820.00256243191.02391536.0E-5
7.24.043994E-64.2120264E-61.4211984E-53.3741441.0E-51.7331287E-51.8051438E-52.8051258E-51.55396251.0E-52.10988E-42.1975765E-42.4975106E-41.1364843.0E-50.0021078780.00219575430.00225562251.02726546.0E-5
7.32.1233036E-62.2297875E-62.2297875E-61.00.09.099841E-69.556197E-69.556197E-61.00.01.1078493E-41.1634055E-41.3633822E-41.17188912.0E-50.00110729710.0011628020.0011927671.02576973.0E-5
7.41.9051884E-62.0014973E-62.0014973E-61.00.08.165067E-68.577817E-68.577817E-61.00.09.940516E-51.0442998E-41.2442788E-41.19149592.0E-59.93607E-40.00104381440.0010737831.02871073.0E-5
7.51.2408497E-61.3038839E-61.3038839E-61.00.05.317916E-65.588062E-65.588062E-61.00.06.4743705E-56.8032554E-57.803187E-51.14697851.0E-56.4724847E-46.8011944E-47.0010585E-41.02938662.0E-5
7.66.5440025E-76.886718E-76.886718E-71.00.02.8045695E-62.9514472E-62.9514472E-61.00.03.4145098E-53.593329E-53.593329E-51.00.03.4139853E-43.5927625E-43.6927266E-41.02782371.0E-5
7.73.985963E-74.1930787E-74.1930787E-71.00.01.7082689E-61.7970326E-61.7970326E-61.00.02.0797976E-52.1878664E-52.1878664E-51.00.02.0796029E-42.1876628E-42.2876408E-41.04570091.0E-5
7.83.706329E-83.8591796E-83.8591796E-81.00.01.5884267E-71.653934E-71.653934E-71.00.01.9339077E-62.0136629E-62.0136629E-61.00.01.933891E-52.0136458E-52.0136458E-51.00.0

Great Valley 03 Mysterious Ridge

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1182444E-53.6034133E-53.6034133E-51.00.01.336322E-41.5442389E-41.6442235E-41.06474691.0E-50.00162575780.00187867510.00190861871.01593883.0E-50.0161391530.0186466720.0186859261.00210514.0E-5
6.13.1182444E-53.6034133E-53.6034133E-51.00.01.336322E-41.5442389E-41.6442235E-41.06474691.0E-50.00162575780.00187867510.00190861871.01593883.0E-50.0161391530.0186466720.0186859261.00210514.0E-5
6.23.1182444E-53.6034133E-53.6034133E-51.00.01.336322E-41.5442389E-41.6442235E-41.06474691.0E-50.00162575780.00187867510.00190861871.01593883.0E-50.0161391530.0186466720.0186859261.00210514.0E-5
6.32.106934E-52.3850303E-52.3850303E-51.00.09.0294045E-51.0221176E-41.12210735E-41.09782611.0E-50.00109877550.00124374880.00126372391.01606052.0E-50.0109335850.01237112750.012390881.00159672.0E-5
6.42.106934E-52.3850303E-52.3850303E-51.00.09.0294045E-51.0221176E-41.12210735E-41.09782611.0E-50.00109877550.00124374880.00126372391.01606052.0E-50.0109335850.01237112750.012390881.00159672.0E-5
6.51.9389783E-52.1884982E-52.1884982E-51.00.08.309642E-59.378956E-51.03788625E-41.10661171.0E-50.00101122940.00114131750.00116129461.01750362.0E-50.0100664010.0113574340.0113772071.00174092.0E-5
6.61.9370193E-52.1864902E-52.1864902E-51.00.08.301247E-59.3703515E-51.0370258E-41.10670961.0E-50.00101020820.0011402710.00116024821.01751972.0E-50.0100562810.0113470760.0113668491.00174262.0E-5
6.71.6723505E-51.8799281E-51.8799281E-51.00.07.16702E-58.056597E-59.056517E-51.12411191.0E-58.722353E-49.804688E-40.00100044921.02037842.0E-50.0086881970.0097634390.0097832441.00202852.0E-5
6.81.426937E-51.599721E-51.599721E-51.00.06.115301E-56.855775E-57.855707E-51.14585241.0E-57.4428355E-48.343854E-48.543687E-41.02394972.0E-50.0074179570.0083140050.0083338391.00238562.0E-5
6.91.2469891E-51.3956928E-51.3956928E-51.00.05.3441294E-55.9814105E-56.9813505E-51.16717471.0E-56.504535E-47.280055E-47.479909E-41.02745232.0E-50.0064855290.007257430.00727728471.00273592.0E-5
7.08.7746275E-69.791734E-69.791734E-61.00.03.7605005E-54.196394E-55.1963518E-51.23828981.0E-54.5774475E-45.1079853E-45.307883E-41.03913442.0E-50.004568030.0050969770.00511687531.00390392.0E-5
7.16.1067153E-66.813725E-66.813725E-61.00.02.6171374E-52.9201385E-52.9201385E-51.00.03.1858988E-43.5547445E-43.6547089E-41.02812151.0E-50.00318133530.0035496090.00355957361.00280731.0E-5
7.22.939283E-63.2741057E-63.2741057E-61.00.01.2596866E-51.4031816E-51.4031816E-51.00.01.5335606E-41.7082572E-41.80824E-41.05852911.0E-50.00153250270.0017071160.0017170991.00584781.0E-5
7.37.2387763E-78.008505E-78.008505E-71.00.03.102329E-63.4322145E-63.4322145E-61.00.03.77702E-54.178687E-54.178687E-51.00.03.7763783E-44.1783508E-44.1783508E-41.00.0
7.43.112171E-83.2068368E-83.2068368E-81.00.01.3337875E-71.3743585E-71.3743585E-71.00.01.6238852E-61.6732803E-61.6732803E-61.00.01.6238733E-51.6732685E-51.6732685E-51.00.0

Hosgri (Extension)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1369135E-51.2083073E-53.2082833E-52.6551882.0E-54.8723956E-55.17837E-58.178214E-51.57930293.0E-55.9305265E-46.303069E-46.802754E-41.07927645.0E-50.0059147250.006287440.0063470631.00948296.0E-5
6.16.934979E-67.324556E-61.7324483E-52.36526041.0E-52.9721E-53.13906E-55.1389972E-51.63711352.0E-53.617931E-43.821177E-44.1210622E-41.07847993.0E-50.00361204640.0038150190.00384490471.00783363.0E-5
6.26.934979E-67.324556E-61.7324483E-52.36526041.0E-52.9721E-53.13906E-55.1389972E-51.63711352.0E-53.617931E-43.821177E-44.1210622E-41.07847993.0E-50.00361204640.0038150190.00384490471.00783363.0E-5
6.34.5484676E-64.769331E-64.769331E-61.00.01.9493287E-52.0439833E-53.0439629E-51.48923081.0E-52.3730492E-42.4882698E-42.588245E-41.04017851.0E-50.00237051680.00248552630.00249550141.00401331.0E-5
6.44.218095E-64.416863E-64.416863E-61.00.01.8077424E-51.8929275E-52.8929086E-51.52827231.0E-52.2007042E-42.3043988E-42.4043758E-41.04338531.0E-50.0021985260.0023020430.002312021.0043341.0E-5
6.53.717374E-63.883879E-63.883879E-61.00.01.5931506E-51.664509E-52.6644922E-51.60076791.0E-51.9394881E-42.026353E-42.1263327E-41.04933981.0E-50.00193779620.00202452410.0020345041.00492941.0E-5
6.63.4605036E-63.6083072E-63.6083072E-61.00.01.4830645E-51.5464082E-52.5463927E-51.64664971.0E-51.8054814E-41.8825909E-41.982572E-41.05310831.0E-50.00180401520.00188101070.00189099191.00530621.0E-5
6.73.123439E-63.2465698E-63.2465698E-61.00.01.33860985E-51.39137965E-52.3913657E-51.71870111.0E-51.6296357E-41.6938741E-41.7938572E-41.05902621.0E-50.0016284410.0016925940.00170257711.00589811.0E-5
6.82.8290783E-62.9305413E-62.9305413E-61.00.01.2124565E-51.2559403E-52.2559278E-51.79620611.0E-51.4760658E-41.5290009E-41.6289856E-41.06539211.0E-50.00147508570.00152795760.00153794231.00653471.0E-5
6.92.454112E-62.5283207E-62.5283207E-61.00.01.0517581E-51.0835615E-52.0835507E-51.92287251.0E-51.2804402E-41.3191569E-41.4191437E-41.0757961.0E-50.00127970280.00131837990.00132836671.0075751.0E-5
7.02.1008145E-62.1498715E-62.1498715E-61.00.09.003459E-69.2137025E-61.921361E-52.085331.0E-51.096116E-41.1217109E-41.2216996E-41.08913961.0E-50.00109557550.00112114850.00113113731.00890951.0E-5
7.11.744384E-61.7686364E-61.7686364E-61.00.07.47591E-67.579848E-61.7579772E-52.31927781.0E-59.1015405E-59.228076E-51.0227984E-41.10835491.0E-59.097813E-49.224261E-49.324169E-41.0108311.0E-5
7.21.5456587E-61.5562894E-61.5562894E-61.00.06.6242346E-66.6697944E-61.6669728E-52.49928671.0E-58.064707E-58.120173E-59.120092E-51.12314011.0E-58.0617814E-48.117219E-48.2171377E-41.01230941.0E-5
7.31.3775123E-61.3766092E-61.3766092E-61.00.05.9036106E-65.8997407E-65.8997407E-61.00.07.187409E-57.182699E-57.182699E-51.00.07.185085E-47.180387E-47.180387E-41.00.0
7.41.214491E-61.2023471E-61.2023471E-61.00.05.2049513E-65.152906E-65.152906E-61.00.06.336844E-56.2734835E-56.2734835E-51.00.06.335037E-46.2717206E-46.2717206E-41.00.0
7.51.0101123E-69.842256E-79.842256E-71.00.04.3290456E-64.218103E-64.218103E-61.00.05.2704854E-55.13542E-55.13542E-51.00.05.2692357E-45.1342393E-45.1342393E-41.00.0
7.68.1558215E-77.765977E-77.765977E-71.00.03.4953473E-63.3282718E-63.3282718E-61.00.04.255502E-54.0520958E-54.0520958E-51.00.04.2546875E-44.0513615E-44.0513615E-41.00.0
7.74.757816E-74.1308996E-74.1308996E-71.00.02.0390623E-61.7703843E-61.7703843E-61.00.02.4825302E-52.1554217E-52.1554217E-51.00.02.482253E-42.1552139E-42.1552139E-41.00.0
7.82.782787E-72.004783E-72.004783E-71.00.01.1926223E-68.591924E-78.591924E-71.00.01.452008E-51.0460618E-51.0460618E-51.00.01.4519131E-41.04601284E-41.04601284E-41.00.0
7.91.6948086E-79.243938E-89.243938E-81.00.07.2634634E-73.961687E-73.961687E-71.00.08.843231E-64.8233433E-64.8233433E-61.00.08.842879E-54.8232392E-54.8232392E-51.00.0
8.01.0225492E-74.473497E-84.473497E-81.00.04.382353E-71.917213E-71.917213E-71.00.05.335502E-62.3342043E-62.3342043E-61.00.05.335374E-52.33418E-52.33418E-51.00.0
8.11.43711345E-85.78716E-95.78716E-91.00.06.1590576E-82.4802116E-82.4802116E-81.00.07.4986497E-73.019657E-73.019657E-71.00.07.4986247E-63.0196536E-63.0196536E-61.00.0

Hosgri

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.883978E-52.9128403E-56.9127236E-52.37319024.0E-51.235932E-41.248302E-41.7482394E-41.40049415.0E-50.00150370850.00151877520.00157868421.03944556.0E-50.014935740.015087730.01514682451.00391676.0E-5
6.12.883978E-52.9128403E-56.9127236E-52.37319024.0E-51.235932E-41.248302E-41.7482394E-41.40049415.0E-50.00150370850.00151877520.00157868421.03944556.0E-50.014935740.015087730.01514682451.00391676.0E-5
6.22.883978E-52.9128403E-56.9127236E-52.37319024.0E-51.235932E-41.248302E-41.7482394E-41.40049415.0E-50.00150370850.00151877520.00157868421.03944556.0E-50.014935740.015087730.01514682451.00391676.0E-5
6.32.2914428E-52.2641956E-56.264105E-52.76659184.0E-59.8200995E-59.703337E-51.4702852E-41.51523665.0E-50.00119494130.0011807460.0012306871.0422965.0E-50.0118853630.0117461230.0117955361.00420685.0E-5
6.42.0195741E-51.9696547E-55.9695758E-53.03077274.0E-58.65503E-58.4411055E-51.3440683E-41.59228945.0E-50.00105324050.0010272220.00107717061.0486255.0E-50.0104826260.0102257830.0102752721.00483975.0E-5
6.51.9924333E-51.9408968E-55.940819E-53.0608634.0E-58.53872E-58.317865E-51.3317449E-41.60106585.0E-50.00103909340.00101223150.00106218081.04934595.0E-50.0103424810.0100772440.010126741.00491175.0E-5
6.61.809694E-51.7458287E-53.745794E-52.14556772.0E-57.7556004E-57.4819094E-51.0481685E-41.40093723.0E-59.438353E-49.105431E-49.405157E-41.03291743.0E-50.0093983660.0090690630.0090987911.00327793.0E-5
6.71.675989E-51.6042752E-53.604243E-52.2466492.0E-57.182612E-56.8752845E-59.875078E-51.43631553.0E-58.7413215E-48.3674554E-48.6672045E-41.03582323.0E-50.0087070170.0083368530.0083666031.00356853.0E-5
6.81.5401129E-51.4614069E-53.461378E-52.36852432.0E-56.6003166E-56.263023E-59.262835E-51.4789723.0E-58.032922E-47.6225714E-47.9223426E-41.03932683.0E-50.0080039470.00759728630.00762705831.00391883.0E-5
6.91.356559E-51.2689955E-53.2689702E-52.57602982.0E-55.8136946E-55.438439E-58.438276E-51.55159893.0E-57.0758746E-46.6192925E-46.9190934E-41.0452923.0E-50.0070533860.0066003780.006630181.00451523.0E-5
7.01.2030819E-51.1095949E-53.1095726E-52.80243972.0E-55.155963E-54.75532E-57.755178E-51.63084233.0E-56.275577E-45.788065E-46.0878915E-41.05180083.0E-50.0062578840.00577374730.00580357431.00516593.0E-5
7.11.0972698E-51.0022167E-53.0021967E-52.99555642.0E-54.7025E-54.2951437E-57.295015E-51.69843333.0E-55.72379E-45.2280835E-45.527927E-41.05735243.0E-50.00570906930.0052165330.0052463761.0057213.0E-5
7.29.961926E-69.034732E-62.9034552E-53.21365932.0E-54.2693267E-53.8719707E-56.8718546E-51.77476923.0E-55.1966653E-44.7131052E-45.0129637E-41.06362243.0E-50.005184530.00470385230.00473371151.00634783.0E-5
7.38.700929E-67.828089E-62.7827933E-53.5548822.0E-53.7289166E-53.354852E-55.354785E-51.59613142.0E-54.53901E-44.083767E-44.2836854E-41.04895442.0E-50.004529750.0040769990.00409691731.00488562.0E-5
7.47.866285E-66.9987263E-62.6998587E-53.8576432.0E-53.3712215E-52.9994197E-54.9993596E-51.66677572.0E-54.103689E-43.6511818E-43.8511088E-41.05475682.0E-50.0040961190.00364591670.0036658441.00546562.0E-5
7.56.8381305E-65.9596814E-62.5959562E-54.3558642.0E-52.9305946E-52.5541241E-54.554073E-51.78302732.0E-53.5674145E-43.1092027E-43.3091404E-41.06430522.0E-50.00356169320.0031055840.0031255221.006422.0E-5
7.65.503376E-64.595227E-62.4595134E-55.3523222.0E-52.3585684E-51.9693682E-53.969329E-52.01553422.0E-52.8711787E-42.397442E-42.597394E-41.08340232.0E-50.0028674720.00239558520.00241553741.00832872.0E-5
7.73.6144982E-62.6521896E-62.2652137E-58.5409192.0E-51.5490614E-51.1366477E-53.136625E-52.759542.0E-51.8858191E-41.3837808E-41.5837532E-41.14451162.0E-50.00188421960.0013836470.00140361931.01443462.0E-5
7.81.9853494E-61.1360784E-61.1136067E-59.8021991.0E-58.508612E-64.8688985E-61.486885E-53.05384281.0E-51.0358743E-45.9277223E-56.927663E-51.16868891.0E-50.00103539165.933389E-46.03333E-41.01684381.0E-5
7.91.1818757E-65.29477E-75.29477E-71.00.05.0651715E-62.269185E-62.269185E-61.00.06.1666724E-52.7626977E-52.7626977E-51.00.06.1649614E-42.7691363E-42.7691363E-41.00.0
8.06.962958E-72.71365E-72.71365E-71.00.02.9841215E-61.1629924E-61.1629924E-61.00.03.6331072E-51.415934E-51.415934E-51.00.03.6325134E-41.4215276E-41.4215276E-41.00.0
8.11.5033264E-76.52693E-86.52693E-81.00.06.442826E-72.7972553E-72.7972553E-71.00.07.844113E-63.4056532E-63.4056532E-61.00.07.843835E-53.4072833E-53.4072833E-51.00.0

Los Alamos 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.6284417E-64.7517333E-62.4751638E-55.20897052.0E-51.9836029E-52.0364423E-54.0364015E-51.9820852.0E-52.4147688E-42.479104E-42.8790048E-41.16130864.0E-50.00241214670.00247651250.0025363641.02416776.0E-5
6.14.6284417E-64.7517333E-62.4751638E-55.20897052.0E-51.9836029E-52.0364423E-54.0364015E-51.9820852.0E-52.4147688E-42.479104E-42.8790048E-41.16130864.0E-50.00241214670.00247651250.0025363641.02416776.0E-5
6.24.6284417E-64.7517333E-62.4751638E-55.20897052.0E-51.9836029E-52.0364423E-54.0364015E-51.9820852.0E-52.4147688E-42.479104E-42.8790048E-41.16130864.0E-50.00241214670.00247651250.0025363641.02416776.0E-5
6.34.6284417E-64.7517333E-62.4751638E-55.20897052.0E-51.9836029E-52.0364423E-54.0364015E-51.9820852.0E-52.4147688E-42.479104E-42.8790048E-41.16130864.0E-50.00241214670.00247651250.0025363641.02416776.0E-5
6.44.6284417E-64.7517333E-62.4751638E-55.20897052.0E-51.9836029E-52.0364423E-54.0364015E-51.9820852.0E-52.4147688E-42.479104E-42.8790048E-41.16130864.0E-50.00241214670.00247651250.0025363641.02416776.0E-5
6.54.6284417E-64.7517333E-62.4751638E-55.20897052.0E-51.9836029E-52.0364423E-54.0364015E-51.9820852.0E-52.4147688E-42.479104E-42.8790048E-41.16130864.0E-50.00241214670.00247651250.0025363641.02416776.0E-5
6.64.6284417E-64.7517333E-62.4751638E-55.20897052.0E-51.9836029E-52.0364423E-54.0364015E-51.9820852.0E-52.4147688E-42.479104E-42.8790048E-41.16130864.0E-50.00241214670.00247651250.0025363641.02416776.0E-5
6.74.062321E-64.166351E-62.4166267E-55.80034352.0E-51.7409831E-51.7855677E-53.785532E-52.1200722.0E-52.1194408E-42.1737268E-42.5736398E-41.18397584.0E-50.00211742050.00217175040.002231621.02756756.0E-5
6.84.062321E-64.166351E-62.4166267E-55.80034352.0E-51.7409831E-51.7855677E-53.785532E-52.1200722.0E-52.1194408E-42.1737268E-42.5736398E-41.18397584.0E-50.00211742050.00217175040.002231621.02756756.0E-5
6.93.2936077E-63.37296E-62.3372893E-56.929492.0E-51.4115385E-51.4455468E-53.445518E-52.38353942.0E-51.7184127E-41.7598206E-42.1597501E-41.2272564.0E-50.00171708440.00175851960.00181841411.03405966.0E-5
7.03.1687898E-63.2448177E-62.3244753E-57.16365432.0E-51.3580457E-51.3906293E-53.3906013E-52.43817782.0E-51.6532952E-41.692969E-42.0929011E-41.23623134.0E-50.00165206570.00169177070.00175166921.03540586.0E-5
7.12.9379228E-63.007328E-62.3007267E-57.6504022.0E-51.25910365E-51.288849E-53.288823E-52.5517522.0E-51.5328509E-41.5690697E-41.8690227E-41.1911663.0E-50.0015317940.0015680510.00161797261.03183675.0E-5
7.22.0020686E-62.041632E-61.2041612E-55.8980321.0E-58.580266E-68.749822E-61.8749735E-52.14287041.0E-51.0445973E-41.0652392E-41.1652285E-41.09386561.0E-50.00104410640.0010647330.00108471181.0187642.0E-5
7.31.7364243E-61.7678824E-61.1767865E-56.65647461.0E-57.441797E-67.576617E-61.7576542E-52.31984021.0E-59.0600115E-59.224144E-51.0224052E-41.10840121.0E-59.0563187E-49.2203467E-49.3202543E-41.01083551.0E-5
7.41.5718434E-61.5983198E-61.1598304E-57.256561.0E-56.7364545E-66.8499244E-61.6849855E-52.459861.0E-58.201325E-58.339467E-59.3393835E-51.11990181.0E-58.198299E-48.3363673E-48.4362837E-41.01198571.0E-5
7.51.3841119E-61.4042814E-61.1404268E-58.121071.0E-55.9318945E-66.018335E-61.6018275E-52.66157911.0E-57.221842E-57.327079E-58.327006E-51.13647011.0E-57.2194956E-47.3246926E-47.4246194E-41.01364241.0E-5
7.61.0843726E-61.0934443E-61.1093433E-510.1454041.0E-54.647303E-64.6861815E-61.4686135E-53.13392351.0E-55.6579443E-55.705279E-56.705222E-51.17526631.0E-55.656504E-45.70384E-45.8037834E-41.01752211.0E-5
7.75.544814E-75.501884E-71.0550183E-519.1755811.0E-52.3763469E-62.3579482E-61.2357925E-55.24096541.0E-52.8931638E-52.8707644E-53.8707356E-51.34832931.0E-52.8927872E-42.870395E-42.9703663E-41.03482841.0E-5
7.82.0707465E-71.9778598E-71.9778598E-71.00.08.874625E-78.476539E-78.476539E-71.00.01.08048025E-51.0320137E-51.0320137E-51.00.01.0804277E-41.0319663E-41.0319663E-41.00.0
7.93.9821284E-83.4331528E-83.4331528E-81.00.01.7066264E-71.4713511E-71.4713511E-71.00.02.0778157E-61.7913685E-61.7913685E-61.00.02.0777963E-51.7913546E-51.7913546E-51.00.0
8.07.880441E-118.2353124E-118.2353124E-111.00.03.3773329E-103.52942E-103.52942E-101.00.04.1119033E-94.2970694E-94.2970694E-91.00.04.1119034E-84.2970694E-84.2970694E-81.00.0

Oak Ridge (Onshore)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.155064E-52.9526076E-53.952578E-51.33867371.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.3653314E-41.07901991.0E-50.0016449390.00153950580.0015594751.01297122.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.015342291.00321955.0E-5
6.13.155064E-52.9526076E-53.952578E-51.33867371.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.3653314E-41.07901991.0E-50.0016449390.00153950580.0015594751.01297122.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.015342291.00321955.0E-5
6.23.155064E-52.9526076E-53.952578E-51.33867371.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.3653314E-41.07901991.0E-50.0016449390.00153950580.0015594751.01297122.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.015342291.00321955.0E-5
6.33.155064E-52.9526076E-53.952578E-51.33867371.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.3653314E-41.07901991.0E-50.0016449390.00153950580.0015594751.01297122.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.015342291.00321955.0E-5
6.43.155064E-52.9526076E-53.952578E-51.33867371.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.3653314E-41.07901991.0E-50.0016449390.00153950580.0015594751.01297122.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.015342291.00321955.0E-5
6.53.155064E-52.9526076E-53.952578E-51.33867371.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.3653314E-41.07901991.0E-50.0016449390.00153950580.0015594751.01297122.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.015342291.00321955.0E-5
6.63.155064E-52.9526076E-53.952578E-51.33867371.0E-51.3521002E-41.265344E-41.3653314E-41.07901991.0E-50.0016449390.00153950580.0015594751.01297122.0E-50.016328160.0152930540.015342291.00321955.0E-5
6.73.098897E-52.8864279E-53.886399E-51.3464391.0E-51.328031E-41.236984E-41.3369716E-41.08083181.0E-50.00161567850.00150502530.00152499521.01326882.0E-50.0160398220.0149529090.0150021621.00329395.0E-5
6.83.0449872E-52.8239476E-53.8239195E-51.35410421.0E-51.3049292E-41.2102092E-41.3101971E-41.08262041.0E-50.00158759350.0014724710.00149244161.01356262.0E-50.0157629920.0146316580.0146809261.00336735.0E-5
6.92.697928E-52.4219877E-53.4219636E-51.4128741.0E-51.15620365E-41.03795464E-41.1379443E-41.09633331.0E-50.00140676890.00126299880.00128297341.01581542.0E-50.01397896650.0125610660.0126104381.00393065.0E-5
7.02.4893961E-52.1862146E-53.1861928E-51.45740161.0E-51.0668404E-49.369165E-51.0369071E-41.10672311.0E-50.00129810430.00114011660.00116009381.01752212.0E-50.0129054770.0113451020.0113945351.00435725.0E-5
7.12.0945363E-51.7354592E-51.7354592E-51.00.08.976275E-57.437473E-57.437473E-51.00.00.00109231369.0514094E-49.151319E-41.0110381.0E-50.01086960.0090156210.009045351.00329763.0E-5
7.22.0439404E-51.680953E-51.680953E-51.00.08.7594504E-57.203888E-57.203888E-51.00.00.00106594138.767251E-48.8671636E-41.0113961.0E-50.0106084270.0087337230.0087535481.002272.0E-5
7.31.8463334E-51.5381947E-51.5381947E-51.00.07.912617E-56.592098E-56.592098E-51.00.09.6293533E-48.0229685E-48.1228884E-41.01245431.0E-50.0095877340.00799500850.0080148481.00248162.0E-5
7.41.763139E-51.4516977E-51.4516977E-51.00.07.556091E-56.221415E-56.221415E-51.00.09.1956573E-47.57198E-47.671905E-41.01319661.0E-50.0091576990.0075471260.0075669751.002632.0E-5
7.51.3594944E-51.1163363E-51.1163363E-51.00.05.8262744E-54.7842117E-54.7842117E-51.00.07.0911803E-45.8232463E-45.9231883E-41.01716261.0E-50.0070685950.0058083620.00581830371.00171161.0E-5
7.66.9889534E-65.6367194E-65.6367194E-61.00.02.9952313E-52.4157147E-52.4157147E-51.00.03.646084E-42.94074E-42.94074E-41.00.00.00364010730.00293689240.00293689241.00.0
7.74.0824193E-63.2832731E-63.2832731E-61.00.01.7495966E-51.4071096E-51.4071096E-51.00.02.1299256E-41.7130225E-41.7130225E-41.00.00.00212788510.00171171550.00171171551.00.0
7.81.7023609E-61.43706E-61.43706E-61.00.07.295812E-66.158814E-66.158814E-61.00.08.882289E-57.4981006E-57.4981006E-51.00.08.8787393E-47.4955984E-47.4955984E-41.00.0
7.92.721225E-72.261692E-72.261692E-71.00.01.1662388E-69.692963E-79.692963E-71.00.01.4198865E-51.1801121E-51.1801121E-51.00.01.4197957E-41.1800523E-41.1800523E-41.00.0
8.09.364255E-95.1204916E-95.1204916E-91.00.04.0132523E-82.1944963E-82.1944963E-81.00.04.8861335E-72.671799E-72.671799E-71.00.04.8861225E-62.6717962E-62.6717962E-61.00.0

Newport-Inglewood (Offshore)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9626508E-51.8965342E-53.8964965E-52.05453522.0E-58.411089E-58.1277576E-51.0127595E-41.24605042.0E-50.0010235699.891179E-40.00101908821.03033.0E-50.0101886720.0098484970.0099079061.00603236.0E-5
6.11.331886E-51.2218078E-52.2217957E-51.81844931.0E-55.707958E-55.2362153E-56.236163E-51.19096771.0E-56.947222E-46.3732424E-46.5731147E-41.03136122.0E-50.0069255440.0063551420.0063948881.00625414.0E-5
6.21.2250852E-51.1076016E-52.1075904E-51.90284171.0E-55.2502597E-54.746778E-55.7467307E-51.21065931.0E-56.3903164E-45.7776796E-45.977564E-41.0345962.0E-50.0063719710.00576277960.00580254941.00690114.0E-5
6.31.2106258E-51.0918878E-52.091877E-51.9158351.0E-55.1882926E-54.6794354E-55.6793888E-51.2136911.0E-56.3149154E-45.695733E-45.8956194E-41.0350942.0E-50.00629700070.0056812520.00572102471.00700074.0E-5
6.41.1348758E-51.0109348E-52.0109248E-51.98917341.0E-54.8636626E-54.3325064E-55.332463E-51.23080331.0E-55.919901E-45.2735576E-45.4734526E-41.03790512.0E-50.0059041550.00526113950.0053009291.00756294.0E-5
6.51.100837E-59.743376E-61.9743278E-52.02632831.0E-54.7177873E-54.175666E-55.1756244E-51.23947271.0E-55.7423924E-45.082695E-45.282594E-41.03932922.0E-50.0057275760.0050711620.00510100971.00588583.0E-5
6.61.0634696E-59.34553E-61.9345436E-52.07002021.0E-54.557647E-54.0051662E-55.005126E-51.24966751.0E-55.5475225E-44.875206E-45.0751085E-41.0410042.0E-50.00553369430.00486459770.00489445171.0061373.0E-5
6.79.9780855E-68.667898E-61.8667812E-52.15367221.0E-54.276252E-53.7147613E-54.714724E-51.26918631.0E-55.205093E-44.5217903E-44.7216998E-41.04421032.0E-50.00519291820.00451266860.00454253331.00661793.0E-5
6.89.59546E-68.272933E-61.827285E-52.20875121.0E-54.1122752E-53.545495E-54.545459E-51.28203811.0E-55.0055445E-44.3157916E-44.5157052E-41.04632142.0E-50.0049942850.0043074860.0043373571.00693463.0E-5
6.99.000614E-67.706823E-61.7706747E-52.29754141.0E-53.857349E-53.3028828E-54.30285E-51.30275581.0E-54.6953102E-44.0205245E-44.220444E-41.04972472.0E-50.0046854020.00401332230.0040432021.00744513.0E-5
7.07.4070194E-66.148865E-61.6148802E-52.62630651.0E-53.1743984E-52.6352012E-53.635175E-51.37946761.0E-53.8641447E-43.2078868E-43.4078225E-41.06232632.0E-50.00385743220.00320327580.00323317971.00933543.0E-5
7.16.299615E-65.0565613E-65.0565613E-61.00.02.699807E-52.1670798E-52.1670798E-51.00.03.2865192E-42.6381016E-42.7380753E-41.0378961.0E-50.0032816630.00263498470.0026549321.00757012.0E-5
7.25.096653E-63.892733E-63.892733E-61.00.02.1842614E-51.6683034E-51.6683034E-51.00.02.6590136E-42.0309711E-42.0309711E-41.00.00.00265583420.00202912630.00203910591.00491821.0E-5
7.33.9753018E-62.9098787E-62.9098787E-61.00.01.7036897E-51.24708495E-51.24708495E-51.00.02.0740448E-41.518221E-41.518221E-41.00.00.002072110.00151719190.00151719191.00.0
7.43.0568392E-62.1449732E-62.1449732E-61.00.01.3100675E-59.19271E-69.19271E-61.00.01.5948903E-41.11915564E-41.11915564E-41.00.00.00159374610.00111859830.00111859831.00.0
7.51.7279019E-61.1469651E-61.1469651E-61.00.07.405273E-64.9155556E-64.9155556E-61.00.09.015547E-55.9845286E-55.9845286E-51.00.09.01189E-45.982956E-45.982956E-41.00.0
7.61.1156416E-67.222962E-77.222962E-71.00.04.7813123E-63.0955514E-63.0955514E-61.00.05.821092E-53.768771E-53.768771E-51.00.05.8195676E-43.7681553E-43.7681553E-41.00.0
7.79.117973E-86.7342256E-86.7342256E-81.00.03.907702E-72.8860964E-72.8860964E-71.00.04.757617E-63.5138169E-63.5138169E-61.00.04.7575148E-53.5137644E-53.5137644E-51.00.0

Mono Lake 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0341662E-52.3828192E-54.3827713E-51.8393222.0E-58.717564E-51.0211982E-41.3211675E-41.29374253.0E-50.00106084660.00124313080.00129306861.0401715.0E-50.0105579660.0124138420.012463221.00397785.0E-5
6.12.0341662E-52.3828192E-54.3827713E-51.8393222.0E-58.717564E-51.0211982E-41.3211675E-41.29374253.0E-50.00106084660.00124313080.00129306861.0401715.0E-50.0105579660.0124138420.012463221.00397785.0E-5
6.22.0341662E-52.3828192E-54.3827713E-51.8393222.0E-58.717564E-51.0211982E-41.3211675E-41.29374253.0E-50.00106084660.00124313080.00129306861.0401715.0E-50.0105579660.0124138420.012463221.00397785.0E-5
6.32.0341662E-52.3828192E-54.3827713E-51.8393222.0E-58.717564E-51.0211982E-41.3211675E-41.29374253.0E-50.00106084660.00124313080.00129306861.0401715.0E-50.0105579660.0124138420.012463221.00397785.0E-5
6.41.749821E-52.049101E-54.04906E-51.97601782.0E-57.499018E-58.781861E-51.1781598E-41.34158333.0E-59.1262296E-40.00106919140.0011191381.04671435.0E-50.0090888410.010691870.0107413351.00462645.0E-5
6.51.749821E-52.049101E-54.04906E-51.97601782.0E-57.499018E-58.781861E-51.1781598E-41.34158333.0E-59.1262296E-40.00106919140.0011191381.04671435.0E-50.0090888410.010691870.0107413351.00462645.0E-5

Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5183659E-43.0520977E-43.0520977E-41.00.06.5056595E-40.00130681880.00131680571.00764211.0E-50.0078919120.0156962030.0157257341.00188123.0E-50.0761745940.138489050.138540741.00037326.0E-5
6.11.5024997E-43.021517E-43.021517E-41.00.06.437695E-40.00129372780.00130371491.00771961.0E-50.00780976140.0155395960.015569131.00190063.0E-50.0754093450.137158630.137210411.00037746.0E-5
6.21.2743923E-42.5313982E-42.5313982E-41.00.05.460538E-40.00108399990.0010939891.00921511.0E-50.00662795830.0130468810.013076491.00226943.0E-50.0643372760.1172560750.1173090341.00045176.0E-5
6.31.1525114E-42.2599236E-42.2599236E-41.00.04.9383997E-49.678718E-49.77862E-41.0103221.0E-50.00599593860.0116680790.0116977291.00254113.0E-50.0583671740.1063721250.106425741.0005046.0E-5
6.41.07200925E-42.0840544E-42.0840544E-41.00.04.5935164E-48.926123E-49.026034E-41.0111931.0E-50.00557827440.0107729590.0108026361.00275483.0E-50.05440310.0991947650.099248821.00054496.0E-5
6.59.69631E-51.8734725E-41.8734725E-41.00.04.1548995E-48.024631E-48.124551E-41.01245161.0E-50.00504686260.0096948420.0097245511.00306443.0E-50.049337730.0900865640.090141161.00060616.0E-5
6.68.0552316E-51.507068E-41.507068E-41.00.03.4517853E-46.4569083E-46.556844E-41.01547731.0E-50.00419445240.0078265080.0078562731.00380313.0E-50.041161610.07485630.074911811.00074156.0E-5
6.77.815757E-51.4611272E-41.4611272E-41.00.03.34918E-46.26014E-46.360078E-41.0159641.0E-50.0040700050.0075893120.0076190841.00392293.0E-50.0399626570.072705820.072761461.00076526.0E-5
6.86.965264E-51.2722758E-41.2722758E-41.00.02.9847719E-45.4513285E-45.551274E-41.01833421.0E-50.00362790520.00661359450.0066433961.00450613.0E-50.035692470.0638010650.063857241.00088056.0E-5
6.95.8000453E-51.01439E-41.014