Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions

Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)

Table Of Contents

Garlock (Central)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.5131142E-57.02476E-50.066345595944.45350.066282.3625491E-43.0102677E-40.08205641272.58840.081780.00287260950.0036589060.11393393631.13880.110680.0283575910.0361366570.16842694.66083240.13725
6.15.5131142E-57.02476E-50.066345595944.45350.066282.3625491E-43.0102677E-40.08205641272.58840.081780.00287260950.0036589060.11393393631.13880.110680.0283575910.0361366570.16842694.66083240.13725
6.24.216245E-55.1661802E-50.040299583780.065370.040251.806837E-42.213891E-40.049640447224.222630.049430.00219760460.0026921120.0701899126.0724330.067680.0217599890.0267013180.109441444.0987280.08501
6.34.216245E-55.1661802E-50.040299583780.065370.040251.806837E-42.213891E-40.049640447224.222630.049430.00219760460.0026921120.0701899126.0724330.067680.0217599890.0267013180.109441444.0987280.08501
6.43.6858168E-54.411026E-50.03131273709.87410.031271.5795401E-41.8903041E-40.03879173205.214230.038610.00192139370.00229904130.05515723723.9914070.052980.0190486550.0228660980.088353613.86395650.06702
6.53.39199E-54.0018425E-50.02825889706.1470.028221.453629E-41.7149639E-40.03496553203.884930.03480.00176835650.00208599070.04985613423.9004570.047870.0175435080.0207587830.080071433.8572310.06057
6.63.3571985E-53.947258E-50.02823836715.39180.02821.4387199E-41.6915736E-40.034933276206.513490.034770.00175023420.00205756720.04977917324.193220.047820.0173651330.0204800420.07973123.89311720.06049
6.73.2580007E-53.808902E-50.027077058710.888850.027041.3962112E-41.6322857E-40.033557776205.587650.03340.00169856170.00198551780.04777442324.0614410.045880.0168563720.0197708740.076633973.8761040.05801
6.83.2185937E-53.7516216E-50.026506523706.53510.026471.3793244E-41.60774E-40.03288551204.544970.032730.00167803370.00195568750.0468477223.9546050.044980.0166541920.0194778780.07528923.86536960.05692
6.93.165394E-53.672075E-50.025885772704.93580.025851.3565269E-41.5736527E-40.032052346203.681180.03190.00165032020.001914260.04567033823.8579620.043840.016381180.0190715180.073493433.853570.05548
7.03.0903822E-53.562591E-50.025234729708.325130.02521.3243823E-41.5267366E-40.031227928204.540390.031080.00161124280.00185723820.0444479923.9323040.042670.0159961040.0185134930.071484323.86120130.05397
7.13.0069863E-53.4392175E-50.024103565700.84440.024071.2886449E-41.4738683E-40.029743025201.802460.02960.00156779590.00179297870.0424898823.6979270.040770.015567810.017880990.06849943.83085080.05154
7.22.7957109E-53.128141E-50.019850662634.583250.019821.1981068E-41.3405642E-40.024600776183.51060.024470.00145771880.00163093450.03553554821.7884580.033960.0144819370.0162843520.0586529863.60180040.04307
7.32.4519275E-52.6714602E-50.01405634526.166930.014031.0507837E-41.1448621E-40.017322516151.306560.017210.00127857830.0013929930.02544943618.2696080.024090.0127124690.013928610.044043233.16206930.03054
7.42.3225532E-52.5199166E-50.012694879503.781740.012679.95342E-51.0799204E-40.015666312145.069140.015560.00121115510.00131402440.02307539217.5608540.021790.0120457530.0131461960.0403734933.0711160.02759
7.52.097765E-52.2483406E-50.009972259443.538640.009958.9901114E-59.6353964E-50.012235184126.9816360.012140.00109399650.001172490.01820249915.5246520.017050.0108862640.01174065750.0331167062.82068590.02163
7.61.511254E-51.5990969E-50.0053559057334.933170.005346.476642E-56.8530964E-50.006568085495.841130.00657.882459E-48.34053E-40.01009632112.1051320.009270.0078545580.0083838670.0199857762.38383720.0117
7.79.934069E-61.0678523E-50.001460663136.785130.001454.2573887E-54.5764296E-50.001845681940.330170.00185.182138E-45.570383E-40.00326552875.86230560.002710.005170070.0056274190.0090281731.60431860.00342
7.86.7562896E-68.42837E-60.0010184199120.832370.001012.8955206E-53.6121084E-50.001276076335.327740.001243.5247262E-44.3968562E-40.00230886345.25116870.001870.00351914060.0044464160.0067461451.51720950.00231
7.93.975453E-65.3710532E-65.553681E-4103.400225.5E-41.7037546E-52.3018596E-57.4300205E-432.278347.2E-42.0741238E-42.8021546E-40.00133991854.78174350.001060.0020721890.00283356690.00415979841.46804310.00133
8.01.6729537E-62.0775192E-61.6207718E-478.014771.6E-47.169782E-68.903624E-61.8890202E-421.2163091.8E-48.7288594E-51.0839626E-43.283724E-43.02937032.2E-48.7254314E-40.0010968540.0014065141.28231643.1E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1489736E-72.031489E-564.512732.0E-51.5742813E-61.3495595E-62.1349533E-515.819632.0E-51.9166706E-51.643078E-53.643045E-52.21720772.0E-51.9165053E-41.662928E-41.962878E-41.18037473.0E-5

Tank Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.8284557E-55.796445E-50.037965767654.983640.037912.0691741E-42.4839927E-40.05072586204.210980.050490.00251630880.00302073360.0791201626.1923660.076330.024880060.0298636160.129680954.34243970.10289
6.11.7796336E-52.0873378E-50.013080601626.66430.013067.626778E-58.945448E-50.017777871198.736530.017699.281647E-40.00108860240.0284088326.096610.027350.0092429750.0108366420.048652364.48961540.03823
6.21.7796336E-52.0873378E-50.013080601626.66430.013067.626778E-58.945448E-50.017777871198.736530.017699.281647E-40.00108860240.0284088326.096610.027350.0092429750.0108366420.048652364.48961540.03823
6.31.3515912E-51.5759651E-50.00952561604.430240.009515.792405E-56.7539746E-50.013036664193.02210.012977.049971E-48.2200987E-40.02055577625.0067250.019750.0070276470.0081921570.0356553164.3523720.02769
6.41.0870146E-51.2618114E-50.00699253554.1660.006984.658551E-55.4076605E-50.009833547181.844760.009785.67031E-46.582015E-40.01557837423.6680930.014930.0056558630.0065643820.0272278434.1478150.0208
6.57.964826E-69.196184E-60.004339156471.843170.004333.4134522E-53.941168E-50.006229168158.053850.006194.1550855E-44.797421E-40.00995519420.7511370.009480.00414732470.0047882090.0177657723.71031640.01304
6.66.6317E-67.612378E-60.0032875873431.87390.003282.8421264E-53.262412E-50.004662473142.91490.004633.4597394E-43.9713533E-40.007404351618.6444030.007010.00345435790.00396525160.0136068683.43152710.00968
6.74.793663E-65.4308593E-60.0017254215317.70690.001722.0544108E-52.3274928E-50.0024432186104.972120.002422.500958E-42.833398E-40.003922308313.8431260.003640.00249814520.00283031890.0079557712.81090970.00514
6.84.382823E-64.969325E-60.0015649616314.924380.001561.8783392E-52.1296957E-50.0022112504103.82940.002192.286638E-42.5926388E-40.003508421413.5322410.003250.00228428650.00259012330.00711836432.74827220.00454
6.92.729601E-63.0735862E-66.7307154E-4218.985736.7E-41.1698237E-51.3172453E-50.001013159376.915010.0011.4241673E-41.6036403E-40.001650125110.289870.001490.0014232550.00160248080.00364919572.27721640.00205
7.01.8987357E-62.126971E-63.6212621E-4170.254433.6E-48.137413E-69.115562E-65.2911084E-458.0447855.2E-49.90685E-51.1097702E-49.1088825E-48.20798.0E-49.902435E-40.00110928460.00220806431.99053010.0011
7.11.4928986E-61.6641525E-62.2166378E-4133.19922.2E-46.398121E-67.132066E-63.1712986E-444.4653553.1E-47.789434E-58.6830034E-55.9678574E-46.87303355.1E-47.786704E-48.6801895E-40.00152744611.75969216.6E-4
7.21.069082E-61.1828765E-61.2118273E-4102.447491.2E-44.581772E-65.0694644E-61.750686E-434.5339471.7E-45.5781646E-56.171951E-53.0170468E-44.88831952.4E-45.576765E-46.1707594E-49.06897E-41.46966842.9E-4
7.38.776551E-79.770151E-71.1097691E-4113.587711.1E-43.7613736E-64.187204E-61.5418658E-436.8232771.5E-44.579376E-55.0978535E-52.3096937E-44.5307181.8E-44.5784327E-45.097194E-47.296073E-41.431392.2E-4
7.47.55721E-78.5103835E-71.0085095E-4118.503411.0E-43.2388E-63.6473052E-61.3364683E-436.6426241.3E-43.9431678E-54.4405555E-51.9439889E-44.37780571.5E-43.942468E-44.4401767E-46.2393775E-41.40520931.8E-4
7.55.587665E-76.305732E-79.0630514E-5143.72729.0E-52.3947114E-62.7024564E-61.1270216E-441.7035981.1E-42.915522E-53.2902408E-51.5289846E-44.64702941.2E-42.9151395E-43.2902407E-44.6897802E-41.42536081.4E-4

Little Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.8424427E-53.1205716E-50.0317602161017.769170.031731.2181328E-41.3373268E-40.039198507293.110930.039070.00148206770.00162711250.05433121733.3911860.052790.0147222230.0161653980.0801933564.9608030.06508
6.12.8424427E-53.1205716E-50.0317602161017.769170.031731.2181328E-41.3373268E-40.039198507293.110930.039070.00148206770.00162711250.05433121733.3911860.052790.0147222230.0161653980.0801933564.9608030.06508
6.22.8424427E-53.1205716E-50.0317602161017.769170.031731.2181328E-41.3373268E-40.039198507293.110930.039070.00148206770.00162711250.05433121733.3911860.052790.0147222230.0161653980.0801933564.9608030.06508
6.31.48860645E-51.6081383E-50.021855731359.07020.021846.379586E-56.8918554E-50.02674708388.096920.026687.7643775E-48.387886E-40.03644889643.454210.035640.0077373050.0083590450.0513070156.13790370.04331
6.41.48860645E-51.6081383E-50.021855731359.07020.021846.379586E-56.8918554E-50.02674708388.096920.026687.7643775E-48.387886E-40.03644889643.454210.035640.0077373050.0083590450.0513070156.13790370.04331
6.51.2797581E-51.376556E-50.0202434861470.58950.020235.4845623E-55.8994065E-50.024787536420.169980.024736.675408E-47.1804173E-40.03372432746.967080.033030.0066553920.0071597670.0469925186.5634140.04012
6.69.661896E-61.0289033E-50.0178501051734.86730.017844.1407468E-54.40952E-50.021893132496.496950.021855.040193E-45.36743E-40.0294412254.8516120.028920.0050287770.00535607150.0402879687.52192450.03512
6.77.767871E-68.199681E-60.015738071919.35160.015733.329045E-53.5141096E-50.019284464548.772460.019254.0523586E-44.2777258E-40.0256969660.0715450.025280.0040449770.0042708430.0347799858.1435870.03064
6.86.4235196E-66.735739E-60.0122866531824.09860.012282.752908E-52.8867207E-50.015248428528.22660.015223.35115E-43.5141438E-40.02033438957.8644180.019990.0033461010.00350984720.0274555057.8224220.02403
6.93.1283696E-63.1121751E-60.0079230872545.8360.007921.3407229E-51.33378335E-50.009813207735.74220.00981.6322079E-41.6237753E-40.01291030779.5079650.012750.00163100950.00162273720.01673816910.3147750.01514
7.02.290603E-62.2286763E-60.00507221742275.8880.005079.816834E-69.551441E-60.006249492654.29840.006241.19513395E-41.1628362E-40.00819534470.47720.008080.00119449140.00116232990.0105913589.1121790.00944
7.11.293693E-61.1776774E-60.00221117521877.57280.002215.5443866E-65.047183E-60.0027750332549.818240.002776.750081E-56.1448416E-50.003661227259.5821230.00366.7480316E-46.1438273E-40.00487176567.9295280.00426
7.24.715842E-73.091732E-78.0309146E-5259.754558.0E-52.0210737E-61.3250274E-61.013249E-476.470041.0E-42.4606294E-51.6132095E-51.6612967E-410.2980851.5E-42.460357E-41.6130977E-43.712759E-42.30163312.1E-4
7.33.9430947E-72.3096938E-77.0230955E-5304.07047.0E-51.6898966E-69.898685E-78.098979E-581.818748.0E-52.0574296E-51.2051582E-51.4205002E-411.7868361.3E-42.0572392E-41.2050936E-42.804901E-42.32753781.6E-4
7.43.547123E-71.9678579E-76.0196773E-5305.96.0E-51.5201948E-68.433674E-77.084331E-584.000537.0E-51.8508214E-51.02679505E-51.2026682E-411.7128361.1E-41.8506673E-41.0267482E-42.4266045E-42.3633881.4E-4
7.52.6354266E-71.4422719E-74.0144223E-5278.340184.0E-51.129468E-66.1811636E-74.061809E-565.712694.0E-51.3751187E-57.525541E-68.752494E-511.6303848.0E-51.3750336E-47.5252916E-51.752454E-42.3287521.0E-4
7.61.269913E-77.572344E-81.00757225E-5133.05951.0E-55.4424834E-73.24529E-71.0324526E-531.8138771.0E-56.6262032E-63.9511337E-65.3950935E-513.6545465.0E-56.626006E-53.9510673E-51.09507906E-42.77160337.0E-5

Airport Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.029332722238.59940.029325.3086325E-55.615534E-50.035644155634.74210.035596.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0468219568.50270.046170.00644258880.00681683930.061859059.0744480.05542
6.11.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.029332722238.59940.029325.3086325E-55.615534E-50.035644155634.74210.035596.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0468219568.50270.046170.00644258880.00681683930.061859059.0744480.05542
6.21.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.029332722238.59940.029325.3086325E-55.615534E-50.035644155634.74210.035596.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0468219568.50270.046170.00644258880.00681683930.061859059.0744480.05542
6.31.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.029332722238.59940.029325.3086325E-55.615534E-50.035644155634.74210.035596.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0468219568.50270.046170.00644258880.00681683930.061859059.0744480.05542
6.41.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.029332722238.59940.029325.3086325E-55.615534E-50.035644155634.74210.035596.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0468219568.50270.046170.00644258880.00681683930.061859059.0744480.05542
6.56.9922594E-67.384925E-60.022367223028.76730.022362.996648E-53.1649324E-50.02720079859.442930.027173.6478083E-43.8526783E-40.0358715993.108190.03550.0036418260.00384653660.0459937911.9571950.04231
6.66.9922594E-67.384925E-60.022367223028.76730.022362.996648E-53.1649324E-50.02720079859.442930.027173.6478083E-43.8526783E-40.0358715993.108190.03550.0036418260.00384653660.0459937911.9571950.04231
6.75.477277E-65.7860684E-60.0189456773274.36080.018942.3473833E-52.4797222E-50.023134224932.93610.023112.8575645E-43.0186825E-40.030642707101.51020.030350.00285389270.0030149660.03908588412.9639560.03618
6.83.9950432E-64.2190873E-60.0143041593390.34450.01431.7121502E-51.8081691E-50.017547764970.47140.017532.0843433E-42.2012512E-40.023325037105.962640.023110.00208238930.00219934180.0295889713.4535570.02745
6.92.95695E-63.1230243E-60.010563093382.32710.010561.2672582E-51.3384334E-50.013003211971.524660.012991.5427776E-41.6294434E-40.017040193104.5767750.016880.0015417070.00162847120.02162585213.279850.02003
7.01.456072E-61.540812E-60.00483153343135.7060.004836.2402937E-66.603469E-60.005946564900.521240.005947.597293E-58.039528E-50.007729780496.1471940.007657.594696E-48.0376083E-40.00967662312.0391830.00888
7.16.995192E-77.4089746E-70.00209073932821.90110.002092.997936E-63.1752747E-60.002623167826.12280.002623.649926E-53.865897E-50.00339852987.910490.003363.6493264E-43.865897E-40.004305074511.1360290.00392

Owl Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.0320643E-56.6358676E-50.016085295242.399290.016022.1564208E-42.843643E-40.02111843874.2654340.020840.00262228120.0034575470.034091269.8599560.030740.025915530.0341412950.074485212.18167520.04177
6.15.0320643E-56.6358676E-50.016085295242.399290.016022.1564208E-42.843643E-40.02111843874.2654340.020840.00262228120.0034575470.034091269.8599560.030740.025915530.0341412950.074485212.18167520.04177
6.22.4125871E-53.0980515E-50.012580591406.080780.012551.0339249E-41.3276804E-40.016210632122.0974040.016080.00125807660.00161542520.0246781115.276540.02310.0125097810.0160707550.0467988662.91205140.03123
6.31.7433485E-52.2355545E-50.0114621512.718440.011447.471279E-59.580685E-50.014624415152.644780.014539.0924866E-40.0011659620.02169200218.6043820.020550.0090553730.01162914650.0384634143.3075010.02715
6.41.7433485E-52.2355545E-50.0114621512.718440.011447.471279E-59.580685E-50.014624415152.644780.014539.0924866E-40.0011659620.02169200218.6043820.020550.0090553730.01162914650.0384634143.3075010.02715
6.51.5182742E-51.9429277E-50.011159213574.35040.011146.506727E-58.3266525E-50.014152095169.96140.014077.919061E-40.00101343440.020763420.4881530.019770.00789090.0101186780.03578633.53665780.02593
6.66.7271576E-68.547518E-60.0092184681078.49660.009212.8830356E-53.6631736E-50.011386216310.829250.011353.5095305E-44.4590578E-40.01588901735.6331250.015450.00350399320.00446801870.0238410725.3359380.01946
6.76.682835E-68.479961E-60.0091984021084.72220.009192.8640408E-53.6342215E-50.011365931312.74730.011333.4864116E-44.423823E-40.01586555735.8639030.015430.0034809470.00443293250.0237768015.3636730.01943
6.86.5774975E-68.326427E-60.009178251102.30360.009172.8188972E-53.5684232E-50.01134528317.935420.011313.4314668E-44.3437455E-40.01580769436.391850.015380.00342617280.00435310560.0236089175.42346530.01934
6.96.363419E-67.999591E-60.0091579271144.79940.009152.727151E-53.428354E-50.011323896330.301270.011293.3198006E-44.1732774E-40.0156909537.598630.015280.00331484550.00418306470.0233226665.5754970.01922
7.06.1342453E-67.631779E-60.0090975621192.06310.009092.6289357E-53.2707245E-50.01125234344.0320.011223.2002592E-43.9814346E-40.015572139.111780.015180.00319565440.0039917390.0229955765.76079130.01908
7.15.842926E-67.142312E-60.0086170811206.48340.008612.504087E-53.060958E-50.010630285347.28620.01063.0482994E-43.7261334E-40.01477724439.6583860.014410.00304412140.00373715950.0217695165.82515050.0181
7.24.77173E-65.358478E-60.005375331003.144840.005372.045011E-52.2964727E-50.0067728097294.922270.006752.4895166E-42.7956374E-40.00963694734.471380.009360.00248672930.00280862120.01460539555.2002010.01183
7.33.0494948E-62.710356E-60.0013627067502.77770.001361.3069198E-51.1615762E-50.001711596147.351170.00171.5910587E-41.4141288E-40.002521076217.827770.002380.00158991990.00142310890.0043189823.0348920.0029
7.42.7263884E-62.3055634E-68.9230353E-4387.02198.9E-41.1684469E-59.880949E-60.00110987112.324240.00111.4224913E-41.2029401E-40.001690105214.0497870.001570.00142158110.00121105780.00305881722.52574040.00185
7.52.6090431E-62.1655019E-67.7216385E-4356.5757.7E-41.1181565E-59.2806895E-69.6927176E-4104.439639.6E-41.3612706E-41.1298663E-40.00147283313.0354620.001360.0013604370.00113781260.00272600352.3958280.00159
7.62.3008756E-61.8726826E-65.9187156E-4316.055485.9E-49.860858E-68.025758E-67.080201E-488.2184757.0E-41.20049335E-49.770931E-50.001127608711.5404430.001030.0011998459.848307E-40.00218364882.21728370.0012
7.71.7184348E-61.341808E-62.6134145E-4194.768142.6E-47.3646997E-65.750593E-63.357487E-458.385053.3E-48.966153E-57.0011265E-55.7997555E-48.2840325.1E-48.962536E-47.0769014E-40.00130726561.84722866.0E-4
7.88.4612907E-78.4054994E-71.2084045E-4143.763551.2E-43.6262625E-63.602352E-61.6360177E-445.4152641.6E-44.4148852E-54.3857777E-52.9384682E-46.69999362.5E-44.414008E-44.4386165E-47.2373735E-41.63054722.8E-4
7.92.716738E-73.7681625E-71.03768125E-527.5381241.0E-51.1643157E-61.6149258E-62.1614893E-513.384452.0E-51.4175452E-51.9661555E-55.9660768E-53.0343874.0E-51.4174548E-41.9829652E-42.482866E-41.25209765.0E-5
8.02.1995428E-83.3853325E-81.0033853E-5296.391941.0E-59.426611E-81.4508568E-71.0145084E-569.924781.0E-51.1476893E-61.7664173E-61.1766399E-56.6611661.0E-51.14768345E-51.7869768E-52.786959E-51.55959431.0E-5

Panamint Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0211835E-53.3984263E-50.012983544382.045780.012951.2947287E-41.4563887E-40.016663233114.4147340.016520.00157519230.00177174060.02641799714.9107580.024690.0156407360.0175830030.0503564332.8639270.03336
6.13.0211835E-53.3984263E-50.012983544382.045780.012951.2947287E-41.4563887E-40.016663233114.4147340.016520.00157519230.00177174060.02641799714.9107580.024690.0156407360.0175830030.0503564332.8639270.03336
6.23.0211835E-53.3984263E-50.012983544382.045780.012951.2947287E-41.4563887E-40.016663233114.4147340.016520.00157519230.00177174060.02641799714.9107580.024690.0156407360.0175830030.0503564332.8639270.03336
6.32.8573924E-53.2102445E-50.012451704387.874020.012421.2245393E-41.375748E-40.015965397116.048840.015830.0014898570.00167371410.02514436515.0230940.023510.014799080.0166180380.0477420762.87290720.03165
6.42.8573924E-53.2102445E-50.012451704387.874020.012421.2245393E-41.375748E-40.015965397116.048840.015830.0014898570.00167371410.02514436515.0230940.023510.014799080.0166180380.0477420762.87290720.03165
6.52.7468774E-53.0828138E-50.012080457391.86460.012051.1771801E-41.3211406E-40.015480086117.1721340.015350.00143227450.00160732920.02431077915.1249520.022740.0142307820.0159638820.0459966662.88129570.03052
6.62.6135967E-52.9252153E-50.01171891400.617030.011691.1200648E-41.2536049E-40.014943503119.204250.014820.00136282570.00152522190.0233518815.3104810.021860.0135449820.0151543430.0438724422.89504080.02916
6.72.4498746E-52.7341044E-50.011267033412.09230.011241.04990395E-41.17170785E-40.014345503122.432430.014230.00127750840.00142564590.02212609215.5200480.020730.0127018930.0141715930.0413804582.9199580.0276
6.82.2244329E-52.4935374E-50.01065467427.291380.010639.532935E-51.0686163E-40.013465434126.0081250.013360.00116001690.00130028570.02052525415.7851890.019250.0115398020.0129329550.037895882.93017960.02529
6.91.9902658E-52.2290182E-50.009682075434.3650.009668.529431E-59.552596E-50.012164373127.341020.012070.00103796350.00116242650.01835242115.7880270.017210.0103312880.0115690210.0337494132.91722270.02244
7.01.8353881E-52.056605E-50.009260376450.274870.009247.865712E-58.813734E-50.011527129130.785980.011449.5722964E-40.00107256160.01729514316.1250820.016240.0095311680.010679390.0314551222.94540450.021
7.11.7667631E-51.9772435E-50.008919597451.11270.00897.571623E-58.4736355E-50.011083804130.80340.0119.2145515E-40.00103119450.01667504616.1706120.015660.0091764370.01026959250.030252252.94580820.02019
7.21.6381597E-51.8158042E-50.007928015436.611760.007917.020495E-57.781795E-50.00981706126.1541750.009748.544101E-49.470391E-40.01480390415.6317770.013870.0085113250.0094352690.0271465672.87713740.01788
7.31.4520491E-51.596657E-50.006635861415.609650.006626.222919E-56.842646E-50.008137874118.9287640.008077.57377E-48.327899E-40.01241313814.9054850.011590.00754800950.0083003990.0231163912.78497340.01494
7.41.2852287E-51.41454875E-50.0064640543456.969360.006455.5080065E-56.06222E-50.007910146130.482670.007856.7039346E-47.378411E-40.01192957716.1682190.01120.00668374640.0073574290.0215919242.93471050.01434
7.51.1637851E-51.2836868E-50.0064227544500.336580.006414.987555E-55.5014076E-50.007814587142.047040.007766.070656E-46.696062E-40.01173219417.5210340.011070.0060540990.00667938450.020734873.10430860.01415
7.63.0068115E-63.3330623E-60.002763324829.06460.002761.2886271E-51.4284516E-50.0033642366235.516330.003351.5687906E-41.7390738E-40.00494307828.4236240.004770.00156768350.00173979730.00774932374.4541530.00602

Garlock (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5092507E-56.2904815E-50.010292261163.616420.010231.9323928E-42.6956675E-40.01396587451.8085940.01370.00235014970.0032774820.0238398677.27383660.020630.0232545040.032353770.059593011.84191860.02815
6.14.5092507E-56.2904815E-50.010292261163.616420.010231.9323928E-42.6956675E-40.01396587451.8085940.01370.00235014970.0032774820.0238398677.27383660.020630.0232545040.032353770.059593011.84191860.02815
6.22.6674514E-53.4511588E-50.008094233234.536680.008061.1431433E-41.4789861E-40.0105463671.3080440.01040.00139088840.00179921140.016712339.2886980.014940.013822150.0178727880.03726982.08528180.01975
6.32.6674514E-53.4511588E-50.008094233234.536680.008061.1431433E-41.4789861E-40.0105463671.3080440.01040.00139088840.00179921140.016712339.2886980.014940.013822150.0178727880.03726982.08528180.01975
6.42.5312667E-53.2340467E-50.007992083247.123290.007961.0847834E-41.3859481E-40.01035717974.729910.010220.00131992370.00168611520.0163413629.6917240.014680.0131211120.0167722870.035866572.13844250.01942
6.52.5312667E-53.2340467E-50.007992083247.123290.007961.0847834E-41.3859481E-40.01035717974.729910.010220.00131992370.00168611520.0163413629.6917240.014680.0131211120.0167722870.035866572.13844250.01942
6.62.246556E-52.8134691E-50.0076879193273.25410.007669.627742E-51.2057181E-40.00980940481.357350.009690.00117154720.00146699690.01526672310.4067870.013820.0116539010.0146131690.0325275032.22590330.01818
6.72.2241198E-52.7804432E-50.007667592275.76870.007649.531594E-51.1915654E-40.00978800582.144080.009670.00115985380.00144978890.01521979610.4979390.013790.0115381870.0144428290.032320842.23784660.01814
6.81.9528685E-52.3898969E-50.007343724307.282040.007328.369167E-51.0242024E-40.00931147790.914420.009210.00101846980.00124627280.01424005911.4261170.013010.0101381470.0124367230.029245052.35150770.01702
6.91.3318621E-51.5198818E-50.0068250955449.054350.006815.7078556E-56.51362E-50.008514586130.719730.008456.9470983E-47.927504E-40.01245349915.7092310.011670.00692542040.0079407210.0228414522.8764960.01502
7.01.1760853E-51.3107653E-50.0066830204509.856350.006675.0402683E-55.6174475E-50.00831571148.033620.008266.134799E-46.8371464E-40.01198598217.530680.011310.00611789060.0068574010.0212877633.10434840.01453
7.11.0064758E-51.0902761E-50.0064508324591.66970.006444.3133965E-54.67253E-50.007976355170.707410.007935.2502943E-45.6873553E-40.01138258220.013840.010820.0052379070.00571334730.019424563.39985630.01379
7.29.768808E-61.0498628E-50.0063004326600.119570.006294.186565E-54.499337E-50.0077746455172.795360.007735.095951E-45.4766005E-40.01108188720.2349760.010540.00508428040.0055035840.0188895053.4322190.01346
7.39.344516E-69.9442705E-60.0057898867582.233460.005784.004731E-54.2617627E-50.0071323155167.3560.007094.8746695E-45.187495E-40.01021371819.6891120.00970.00486399050.0052152690.0175406523.36332630.01239
7.49.023491E-69.490441E-60.0051294416540.485050.005123.867153E-54.0672705E-50.006380415156.872160.006344.7072413E-44.95081E-40.00915079418.4834270.008660.0046972830.00497872660.0160234633.21838570.0111
7.57.081253E-67.0873994E-60.0025770692363.612820.002573.0347876E-53.0374218E-50.0031402798103.386350.003113.6942272E-43.697441E-40.004548198512.3009360.004180.0036880920.00372447450.0091541762.45784380.00545
7.66.116396E-65.9589424E-60.00150595252.721020.00152.6212863E-52.5538076E-50.001855491372.6558760.001833.1909486E-43.1088197E-40.0028700869.2320770.002560.00318637070.00313591260.006455472.05856180.00333
7.74.797145E-64.7571157E-68.0475333E-4169.168338.0E-42.055903E-52.0387479E-59.803679E-448.0867659.6E-42.5027743E-42.481894E-40.00165783956.67973470.001410.00249995760.00250940650.00433481441.7274260.00183
7.83.4028885E-63.978375E-65.239763E-4131.706125.2E-41.4583726E-51.7050066E-56.1703986E-436.189886.0E-41.775424E-42.0756487E-40.00107738425.1905918.7E-40.00177400620.00210121410.00319890281.52240680.0011
7.92.5928412E-63.372436E-63.9337113E-4116.643023.9E-41.1112129E-51.4453217E-54.844464E-433.518244.7E-41.3528178E-41.7595377E-48.258394E-44.6935026.5E-40.00135199450.00178124260.00256983541.44272077.9E-4
8.01.3743648E-61.6734741E-61.3167325E-478.682581.3E-45.8901214E-67.1720124E-61.4717101E-420.5201841.4E-47.1709874E-58.731578E-52.5730094E-42.94678621.7E-47.1686733E-48.837377E-40.00112352571.27133382.4E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1489736E-72.031489E-564.512732.0E-51.5742813E-61.3495595E-62.1349533E-515.819632.0E-51.9166706E-51.643078E-53.643045E-52.21720772.0E-51.9165053E-41.662928E-41.962878E-41.18037473.0E-5

Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5103672E-55.456906E-50.006794201124.506470.006741.9328714E-42.3384714E-40.00849191636.313960.008260.0023507310.00284354620.0146399075.14846850.011830.0232601950.0280926250.0428170231.52413750.01515
6.14.5103672E-55.456906E-50.006794201124.506470.006741.9328714E-42.3384714E-40.00849191636.313960.008260.0023507310.00284354620.0146399075.14846850.011830.0232601950.0280926250.0428170231.52413750.01515
6.23.9363465E-54.706271E-50.006756747143.569020.006711.6868966E-42.016826E-40.00843002341.7984620.008230.0020518620.00245285340.0141840075.7826560.011760.0203301960.0242741870.0389393461.60414620.01503
6.33.9363465E-54.706271E-50.006756747143.569020.006711.6868966E-42.016826E-40.00843002341.7984620.008230.0020518620.00245285340.0141840075.7826560.011760.0203301960.0242741870.0389393461.60414620.01503
6.43.2311684E-53.795112E-50.0066976985176.482240.006661.384713E-41.6263791E-40.0083213151.1646420.008160.00168458430.0019783870.0136153196.882030.011660.0167187140.0196171180.0342248231.74464070.0149
6.53.2311684E-53.795112E-50.0066976985176.482240.006661.384713E-41.6263791E-40.0083213151.1646420.008160.00168458430.0019783870.0136153196.882030.011660.0167187140.0196171180.0342248231.74464070.0149
6.62.9305844E-53.418196E-50.0066639553194.955320.006631.2559042E-41.4648624E-40.00826529756.4237060.008120.00152799090.00178207270.0133414367.48647170.011580.0151752720.0176863240.032234391.82256020.01481
6.72.7826512E-53.2344353E-50.0066521303205.66590.006621.19251024E-41.3861163E-40.00824748759.5006870.008110.00145091420.00168635060.01322685657.84347960.011560.0144147760.0167438180.0312763451.86793390.01478
6.82.3389874E-52.6866792E-50.0065866904245.161040.006561.0023846E-41.1513857E-40.00814421470.734020.008030.001219720.0014009580.0128449039.1686560.011460.012130470.0139280670.0283937422.0385990.01467
6.92.069209E-52.357011E-50.0065334165277.190770.006518.867737E-51.0101105E-40.00805020879.696310.007950.00107911230.00122915190.01256520110.222660.011350.0107388710.0122291580.0266012232.17522950.01455
7.01.7462342E-51.9633622E-50.006519506332.058230.00657.483646E-58.414151E-50.00800347595.119220.007929.1075303E-40.00102396410.01232238312.0339990.011310.0090702950.0101966880.0245389382.40655970.01449
7.11.4807709E-51.6441827E-50.0064963354395.110320.006486.3460066E-57.046316E-50.007969907113.107420.00797.723524E-48.575678E-40.01213788614.153850.011290.0076967350.0085461680.022882592.67752650.01446
7.21.4180048E-51.5698413E-50.0064855968413.13710.006476.077022E-56.727727E-50.007946747118.119350.007887.396263E-48.1880915E-40.01206958914.7404180.011260.00737169430.0081614690.0224736982.7536340.01443
7.31.3730402E-51.5172151E-50.006465074426.114560.006455.8843252E-56.502197E-50.007924511121.874350.007867.161811E-47.9137104E-40.01201248415.1793320.011230.0071387740.0078890580.0221754552.81091280.0144
7.41.2810095E-51.4109353E-50.006444019456.719640.006435.489925E-56.0467344E-50.0078899935130.483550.007836.681934E-47.3595706E-40.01189773616.1663460.011170.0066618780.00733868960.021523822.93292430.01429
7.51.1595659E-51.2800734E-50.006402719500.183750.006394.9694736E-55.485922E-50.0077944347142.080660.007746.0486543E-46.67722E-40.01170035117.5227870.011040.0060322170.0066606320.0206667173.10281630.0141
7.62.997694E-63.3251877E-60.002753316828.018250.002751.28471975E-51.4250767E-50.0033542032235.370010.003341.564034E-41.7349655E-40.00493267128.4309430.004760.00156293370.00173569550.0077252814.45082760.006

Blackwater

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0708583E-53.3095846E-50.004102961123.9720840.004071.3160157E-41.4183241E-40.005801029540.9005930.005660.00160107140.00172557840.0106102216.1487910.00890.0158958510.0171356330.0297457841.73590220.01283
6.13.0708583E-53.3095846E-50.004102961123.9720840.004071.3160157E-41.4183241E-40.005801029540.9005930.005660.00160107140.00172557840.0106102216.1487910.00890.0158958510.0171356330.0297457841.73590220.01283
6.21.1707779E-51.2545122E-50.0015625256124.5524440.001555.017523E-55.3763757E-50.002133651939.685690.002086.107122E-46.5438676E-40.00405216176.1923040.00340.0060903660.00652556960.0115624851.77187370.00507
6.31.1707779E-51.2545122E-50.0015625256124.5524440.001555.017523E-55.3763757E-50.002133651939.685690.002086.107122E-46.5438676E-40.00405216176.1923040.00340.0060903660.00652556960.0115624851.77187370.00507
6.47.929244E-68.480098E-69.68472E-4114.205289.6E-43.3982033E-53.6342793E-50.001346295237.044350.001314.136527E-44.423877E-40.00256144985.7900560.002120.00412883560.00441547580.00760134641.72152360.0032
6.55.8832115E-66.285991E-66.862817E-4109.176386.8E-42.521352E-52.6939697E-50.001006913337.3765649.8E-43.0693135E-43.27944E-40.00187743575.7248670.001550.00306507780.00327485380.0055872561.70610860.00232
6.65.8832115E-66.285991E-66.862817E-4109.176386.8E-42.521352E-52.6939697E-50.001006913337.3765649.8E-43.0693135E-43.27944E-40.00187743575.7248670.001550.00306507780.00327485380.0055872561.70610860.00232
6.73.0715053E-63.2814662E-63.9328018E-4119.848923.9E-41.3163528E-51.4063357E-55.540558E-439.3971185.4E-41.6025416E-41.7120909E-49.110824E-45.32146077.4E-40.00160138650.00171088640.00286890171.67685120.00116
6.82.2722281E-62.4287538E-63.12428E-4128.637183.1E-49.738084E-61.0408908E-54.3040453E-441.3496364.2E-41.1855473E-41.26722E-46.3665735E-45.0240485.1E-40.0011849150.00126658760.00206557431.63081848.0E-4
6.99.952399E-71.0653489E-61.6106518E-4151.185381.6E-44.265307E-64.5657757E-61.9456491E-442.613771.9E-45.1928873E-55.5587418E-52.7557518E-44.957512.2E-45.191674E-45.557858E-48.756079E-41.57544153.2E-4
7.04.7385504E-75.0755597E-77.050752E-5138.915767.0E-52.0308057E-62.1752398E-69.217505E-542.374669.0E-52.4724779E-52.6483543E-51.264809E-44.775831.0E-42.4722028E-42.6483546E-44.2479308E-41.60398881.6E-4

Ash Hill

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1545662E-52.3194447E-50.0036331108156.63710.003619.2335285E-59.940143E-50.005098904551.2960850.0050.00112360230.00120962060.0094796057.83684160.008280.0111793810.0120383480.0240223241.99548330.01213
6.12.1545662E-52.3194447E-50.0036331108156.63710.003619.2335285E-59.940143E-50.005098904551.2960850.0050.00112360230.00120962060.0094796057.83684160.008280.0111793810.0120383480.0240223241.99548330.01213
6.22.1545662E-52.3194447E-50.0036331108156.63710.003619.2335285E-59.940143E-50.005098904551.2960850.0050.00112360230.00120962060.0094796057.83684160.008280.0111793810.0120383480.0240223241.99548330.01213
6.31.0025529E-51.0746934E-50.0016007299148.947590.001594.2965847E-54.605755E-50.002285954349.6325650.002245.229836E-45.6061964E-40.0040486637.22176460.003490.0052175450.00559336650.0106946721.91202780.00513
6.41.0025529E-51.0746934E-50.0016007299148.947590.001594.2965847E-54.605755E-50.002285954349.6325650.002245.229836E-45.6061964E-40.0040486637.22176460.003490.0052175450.00559336650.0106946721.91202780.00513
6.56.9617327E-67.456634E-69.974493E-4133.76679.9E-42.9835655E-53.195666E-50.001411912644.1821060.001383.6318856E-43.8901155E-40.00257815966.6274630.002190.00362595570.00388416020.00714145931.83861080.00327
6.64.9919777E-65.3466883E-66.6534313E-4124.440246.6E-42.1394015E-52.2914215E-59.4289315E-441.148839.2E-42.60441E-42.7895154E-40.00182851926.55497030.001550.00260135970.00278667270.0051400961.84452820.00236
6.73.6630722E-63.924624E-65.439225E-4138.592275.4E-41.5698786E-51.681974E-57.3680765E-443.8061267.2E-41.9111596E-42.0476682E-40.00139452326.81029840.001190.00190951680.00204634460.00385264071.8826940.00181
6.82.5599613E-62.744925E-63.42744E-4124.864613.4E-41.0971216E-51.1763939E-55.017582E-442.652224.9E-41.3356637E-41.4322149E-49.531055E-46.65476568.1E-40.00133486130.00143177690.00270994431.8927140.00128
6.91.7684905E-61.8968707E-62.3189644E-4122.2521062.3E-47.579223E-68.129446E-63.581266E-444.0530133.5E-49.2273134E-59.8976E-56.689196E-46.75840145.7E-49.223483E-49.8976E-40.00187887911.89831788.9E-4

Garlock (West)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.5181727E-52.5197181E-50.0045050844178.793180.004481.0791722E-41.0798347E-40.00566738352.4838030.005560.00131310020.00131390930.0089738316.82987170.007670.0130536830.0131417940.0229412971.74567460.00993
6.12.5077732E-52.5098223E-50.0045049856179.49420.004481.0747157E-41.075594E-40.005666961452.6868060.005560.0013076810.00130875250.0089687156.8528730.007670.0130001260.0130908350.0228908431.7486160.00993
6.22.494612E-52.4979914E-50.004504868180.33960.004481.0690756E-41.070524E-40.005656458452.838220.005550.00130082240.00130258720.0089526096.87294440.007660.0129323410.0130299060.022820651.75140550.00992
6.32.4733758E-52.4799276E-50.004504688181.645950.004481.0599751E-41.06278305E-40.005655688253.215830.005550.00128975560.00129317360.0089432686.91575150.007660.0128229570.01293687150.0227285381.75688050.00992
6.42.3237335E-52.3178607E-50.0044730753192.982930.004459.958477E-59.933313E-50.00560878656.4644050.005510.00121177020.00120871260.0088095147.2883450.007610.0120518380.0121017310.0218028931.80163410.00982
6.52.2732203E-52.2992977E-50.004472891194.532910.004459.742009E-59.8537625E-50.005607994756.912220.005510.00118544420.00119903810.0087999137.3391440.007610.0117914030.0120060350.0217081361.80810190.00982
6.62.1319436E-52.1773201E-50.0044516767204.45670.004439.136581E-59.3310395E-50.005582798359.83040.005490.0011118110.00113546430.0087168467.67690.007590.0110626490.0113769520.02103581.84898380.00977
6.71.970802E-52.0393094E-50.0044503026218.225970.004438.446021E-58.739606E-50.00557691663.811990.005490.0010278180.00106352940.0086454578.1290250.007590.0102307710.01066468750.0203304941.90633750.00977
6.81.8744462E-51.9900775E-50.0044498127223.599960.004438.033094E-58.528626E-50.005574818265.365960.005499.775903E-40.00103786720.008619998.3054840.007590.0097330090.0104104950.0200787841.9287060.00977
6.91.7559682E-51.8953151E-50.004438869234.202180.004427.5253614E-58.122527E-50.00555078168.3381040.005479.158276E-49.884704E-40.0085509888.6507260.007570.00912062450.0099210730.0195644421.97200860.00974
7.01.6794445E-51.8215967E-50.004408136241.992970.004397.197421E-57.806611E-50.00549764370.422920.005428.759337E-49.5004175E-40.0084429178.8868890.00750.0087248910.0095399580.0190879932.00084660.00964
7.11.6337795E-51.771677E-50.004397639248.219020.004387.0017246E-57.592681E-50.00548551672.247420.005418.521265E-49.2401815E-40.0084070979.0984120.007490.0084886640.0092817210.0187926162.02469090.0096
7.21.5780008E-51.71654E-50.00439709256.16010.004386.762685E-57.3563926E-50.005473166774.400150.00548.2304585E-48.952741E-40.0083485959.3251840.007460.0082000420.0089965590.0184507312.05086540.00954
7.31.5058865E-51.6618484E-50.0043565463262.150670.004346.45364E-57.122013E-50.005430838676.254260.005367.854473E-48.667614E-40.00824036459.5070740.007380.007826770.0087132630.018071012.07396580.00944
7.41.4887923E-51.6454453E-50.004256385258.67680.004246.380382E-57.0517184E-50.005300148475.1610950.005237.7653467E-48.5820974E-40.0080620229.3940.007210.00773826750.0086281010.0177586362.05823230.00921
7.51.4509299E-51.6046468E-50.003955983246.532960.003946.218123E-56.876877E-50.004958432672.102970.004897.567935E-48.369394E-40.007581299.0583510.006750.00754221340.0084164110.0169341142.01203510.00859
7.61.2756717E-51.4050529E-50.0026040142185.33210.002595.4670498E-56.0215163E-50.00322002553.4753150.003166.6541E-47.328737E-40.00524956137.1629820.004520.0066342110.0073813740.0130492261.76785870.00571
7.71.0328985E-51.146033E-50.0014614437127.521960.001454.4266326E-54.9114777E-50.001849026437.647050.00185.388092E-45.9780874E-40.00330618865.53051230.002710.00537504670.0060382860.0094376351.56296590.00342
7.87.0306583E-68.899537E-60.0010188905114.4880450.001013.0131043E-53.8140315E-50.00127809333.5102920.001243.667837E-44.6425956E-40.00233339155.0260490.001870.0036617890.00469506670.0069942211.48969580.00231
7.94.060633E-65.465412E-65.554624E-4101.63235.5E-41.7402595E-52.3422985E-57.434061E-431.7383177.2E-42.11856E-42.8513762E-40.00134483544.7164430.001060.00211654140.0028841430.00421030731.45981220.00133
8.01.6729537E-62.0775192E-61.6207718E-478.014771.6E-47.169782E-68.903624E-61.8890202E-421.2163091.8E-48.7288594E-51.0839626E-43.283724E-43.02937032.2E-48.7254314E-40.0010968540.0014065141.28231643.1E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1489736E-72.031489E-564.512732.0E-51.5742813E-61.3495595E-62.1349533E-515.819632.0E-51.9166706E-51.643078E-53.643045E-52.21720772.0E-51.9165053E-41.662928E-41.962878E-41.18037473.0E-5

McLean Lake

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7360222E-51.8501627E-50.001748469794.5035550.001737.439883E-57.9290556E-50.00270908234.1665150.002639.0542925E-49.6498354E-40.00558052545.7830260.004620.0090174910.00961277450.0173278921.802590.00779
6.19.062689E-69.592193E-69.395833E-497.952919.3E-43.8839516E-54.1108804E-50.001511048436.7572940.001474.727685E-45.003936E-40.00299914275.9935670.00250.00471763960.0049935520.0090730781.81695890.0041
6.29.062689E-69.592193E-69.395833E-497.952919.3E-43.8839516E-54.1108804E-50.001511048436.7572940.001474.727685E-45.003936E-40.00299914275.9935670.00250.00471763960.0049935520.0090730781.81695890.0041
6.37.2575485E-67.66771E-67.4766204E-497.507877.4E-43.110341E-53.2861237E-50.001212822536.9073870.001183.786182E-44.0001926E-40.00244919936.12270360.002050.00377973750.00399369650.00724067731.81302630.00326
6.47.2575485E-67.66771E-67.4766204E-497.507877.4E-43.110341E-53.2861237E-50.001212822536.9073870.001183.786182E-44.0001926E-40.00244919936.12270360.002050.00377973750.00399369650.00724067731.81302630.00326
6.56.06582E-66.4038773E-66.064E-494.692646.0E-42.5996113E-52.7444936E-59.574194E-434.8851059.3E-43.164567E-43.3409733E-40.00197354945.90710930.001640.00316006430.00333658930.00601761371.80352250.00269
6.65.598744E-65.910262E-65.8590685E-499.133815.8E-42.3994397E-52.5329486E-59.1530697E-436.1360248.9E-42.9209262E-43.0834923E-40.00184787445.9927970.001540.00291708970.0030798430.00553226661.79628190.00246
6.75.246996E-65.539162E-65.655361E-4102.097765.6E-42.2486933E-52.3739085E-58.8371866E-437.2263158.6E-42.73744E-42.8899137E-40.00176856366.119780.001480.00273407040.00288677960.00522002441.80825190.00234
6.84.02324E-64.2469046E-64.54245E-4106.959084.5E-41.7242342E-51.8200926E-56.781889E-437.261236.6E-42.099053E-42.2157968E-40.00132133595.9632540.00110.00209707140.0022141720.0039104081.76608130.0017
6.96.835972E-77.1399285E-71.0071392E-4141.057331.0E-42.9296991E-63.0599674E-61.3305957E-443.4839821.3E-43.56685E-53.7254784E-52.672462E-47.17347342.3E-43.5662777E-43.7251666E-47.1239E-41.91237093.4E-4

Gravel Hills-Harper Lk

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0679566E-53.1464628E-50.002321392573.7778550.002291.3147724E-41.3484266E-40.00339440325.1730670.003260.00159955990.001640690.00695196174.23721840.005320.0158809520.0163073370.023724381.45482850.00754
6.13.0679566E-53.1464628E-50.002321392573.7778550.002291.3147724E-41.3484266E-40.00339440325.1730670.003260.00159955990.001640690.00695196174.23721840.005320.0158809520.0163073370.023724381.45482850.00754
6.21.514536E-51.36352E-57.436252E-454.537177.3E-46.490707E-55.843533E-50.001078375718.4541740.001027.8995706E-47.112298E-40.00245998523.45877670.001750.0078715480.0070907370.0095035061.34027060.00243
6.31.514536E-51.36352E-57.436252E-454.537177.3E-46.490707E-55.843533E-50.001078375718.4541740.001027.8995706E-47.112298E-40.00245998523.45877670.001750.0078715480.0070907370.0095035061.34027060.00243
6.41.2532521E-51.0689684E-54.206853E-439.3543244.1E-45.37097E-54.581216E-56.557842E-414.3146326.1E-46.537194E-45.5762613E-40.00160704062.8819320.001050.00651799650.0055628590.00699484861.25741970.00144
6.51.1094058E-59.083657E-62.590814E-428.5217062.5E-44.7545094E-53.89294E-54.08915E-410.5040153.7E-45.787078E-44.7386638E-40.00110356792.32885866.3E-40.00577203040.0047289670.0056645221.1978359.4E-4
6.69.688328E-67.531688E-61.2753079E-416.9325641.2E-44.1520743E-53.227828E-52.1227247E-46.57632541.8E-45.053978E-43.9291973E-47.227901E-41.83953623.3E-40.00504249940.00392250670.00447034981.13966645.5E-4
6.78.974824E-66.749406E-68.674886E-512.8528158.0E-53.8462964E-52.8925719E-51.3892254E-44.80273441.1E-44.6818596E-43.5211592E-45.8203493E-41.6529642.3E-40.0046720080.0035158010.00390442971.11053783.9E-4
6.87.4780046E-65.1161865E-63.5116034E-56.8637133.0E-53.20482E-52.1926337E-56.192546E-52.82425024.0E-53.9011694E-42.6692182E-43.6689514E-41.37454151.0E-40.00389432810.00266615050.00286561741.07481462.0E-4
6.96.3409307E-63.907489E-62.390741E-56.11835672.0E-52.7175134E-51.674628E-54.6745776E-52.79141263.0E-53.3080703E-42.0386786E-42.738536E-41.34328967.0E-50.00330315020.00203690650.0021866011.07349111.5E-4
7.05.1239335E-62.6058492E-61.2605823E-54.83751061.0E-52.195953E-51.1167879E-52.1167767E-51.89541521.0E-52.6732447E-41.359607E-41.4595933E-41.07354071.0E-50.00267003130.00135880050.0014187191.04409666.0E-5
7.14.438899E-62.0984692E-61.2098449E-55.76536851.0E-51.9023713E-58.99341E-61.899332E-52.11191531.0E-52.315891E-41.0948948E-41.1948839E-41.0913231.0E-50.0023134790.00109437740.00114432261.04563815.0E-5
7.23.50367E-61.2615715E-61.1261559E-58.9266121.0E-51.5015643E-55.406724E-61.540667E-52.84953881.0E-51.8280011E-46.5824956E-57.5824304E-51.1519081.0E-50.00182649826.580628E-46.980365E-41.06074454.0E-5
7.32.561638E-67.118686E-71.0711861E-515.0475261.0E-51.0978401E-53.050862E-61.30508315E-54.27775241.0E-51.3365384E-43.7143633E-54.714326E-51.26921511.0E-50.00133573493.7137623E-43.913688E-41.05383372.0E-5
7.42.0368864E-65.304471E-71.0530442E-519.852011.0E-58.729483E-62.2733427E-61.227332E-55.3987991.0E-51.06276275E-42.76776E-53.7677324E-51.3612931.0E-50.00106225472.767421E-42.9673654E-41.07224942.0E-5
7.51.1681728E-63.6028484E-73.6028484E-71.00.05.0064455E-61.544077E-61.544077E-61.00.06.0951766E-51.879898E-51.879898E-51.00.06.093505E-41.8797436E-41.8797436E-41.00.0
7.61.3154387E-77.1196716E-87.1196716E-81.00.05.6375933E-73.0512876E-73.0512876E-71.00.06.863748E-63.714938E-63.714938E-61.00.06.863536E-53.7148915E-53.7148915E-51.00.0

Goldstone Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.671352E-53.0376103E-50.001360335744.783090.001331.1448149E-41.3017791E-40.002129917516.361590.0020.0013929210.00158396010.005328023.36373380.003750.0138422220.0157462020.0217009371.37816970.00605
6.12.671352E-53.0376103E-50.001360335744.783090.001331.1448149E-41.3017791E-40.002129917516.361590.0020.0013929210.00158396010.005328023.36373380.003750.0138422220.0157462020.0217009371.37816970.00605
6.21.4197047E-51.6096254E-57.1608496E-444.487687.0E-46.0843064E-56.898268E-50.001098911615.9302540.001037.4051257E-48.3963916E-40.0026880863.20147750.001850.0073804980.0083743640.0114781521.37062970.00313
6.31.4197047E-51.6096254E-57.1608496E-444.487687.0E-46.0843064E-56.898268E-50.001098911615.9302540.001037.4051257E-48.3963916E-40.0026880863.20147750.001850.0073804980.0083743640.0114781521.37062970.00313
6.41.3238931E-51.500847E-56.549989E-443.641956.4E-45.6737044E-56.432098E-59.942611E-415.4578069.3E-46.9055456E-47.8292453E-40.00248159353.16964580.00170.0068841260.0078112890.0106886361.36835750.0029
6.51.3238931E-51.500847E-56.549989E-443.641956.4E-45.6737044E-56.432098E-59.942611E-415.4578069.3E-46.9055456E-47.8292453E-40.00248159353.16964580.00170.0068841260.0078112890.0106886361.36835750.0029
6.61.1328278E-51.2855176E-55.8284786E-445.339555.7E-44.8548856E-55.5092984E-58.4504945E-415.3386047.9E-45.90922E-46.706464E-40.00211967393.16064330.001450.00589353130.00669561370.00916894151.36939530.00249
6.78.651175E-69.824575E-63.8982084E-439.678143.8E-43.707594E-54.2105148E-56.1208114E-414.5369665.7E-44.5130608E-45.126002E-40.00162203123.16432050.001110.00450390620.00512305650.0070730151.38062420.00196
6.81.0215377E-61.1754802E-61.1175468E-59.5071521.0E-54.378012E-65.037763E-62.5037662E-54.9699962.0E-55.3300988E-56.133315E-51.1133009E-41.81516985.0E-55.3288206E-46.131735E-46.631429E-41.0814935.0E-5
6.97.9360774E-79.283496E-71.092834E-511.7717941.0E-53.4011714E-63.9786355E-61.3978595E-53.51341461.0E-54.1408475E-54.843888E-56.843791E-51.41287152.0E-54.140076E-44.842902E-45.0428056E-41.04127752.0E-5
7.07.4382757E-78.747428E-71.08747345E-512.4319221.0E-53.1878285E-63.7488926E-61.3748855E-53.66744421.0E-53.8811122E-54.564188E-56.564097E-51.4381742.0E-53.8804344E-44.563317E-44.7632257E-41.04380772.0E-5
7.16.4709513E-77.711399E-71.0771132E-513.9678051.0E-52.773262E-63.3048816E-61.3304849E-54.0258171.0E-53.376394E-54.023625E-56.0235445E-51.49704422.0E-53.375881E-44.022956E-44.2228756E-41.04969472.0E-5
7.26.356704E-77.588459E-71.07588385E-514.17789651.0E-52.7242988E-63.252193E-61.325216E-54.0748381.0E-53.3167835E-53.959479E-55.9594E-51.50509692.0E-53.3162883E-43.9588328E-44.1587537E-41.05049992.0E-5
7.35.7695723E-76.896648E-76.896648E-71.00.02.4726714E-62.9557032E-62.9557032E-61.00.03.0104358E-53.598515E-54.598479E-51.27788251.0E-53.0100282E-43.5979896E-43.6979537E-41.02778331.0E-5
7.45.209647E-76.193583E-76.193583E-71.00.02.232704E-62.6543903E-62.6543903E-61.00.02.718283E-53.2316777E-53.2316777E-51.00.02.7179506E-43.2312635E-43.2312635E-41.00.0
7.54.512955E-75.3489487E-75.3489487E-71.00.01.934122E-62.2924048E-62.2924048E-61.00.02.3547682E-52.7909726E-52.7909726E-51.00.02.3545188E-42.7906752E-42.7906752E-41.00.0
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-51.3587343E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.3586794E-41.00.0

So Sierra Nevada

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0017010609153.530730.001694.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.00226737847.7511020.002226.024253E-45.779681E-40.00418588157.24240970.003610.0060079480.0057659180.0109955891.90699720.00526
6.11.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0017010609153.530730.001694.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.00226737847.7511020.002226.024253E-45.779681E-40.00418588157.24240970.003610.0060079480.0057659180.0109955891.90699720.00526
6.21.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0017010609153.530730.001694.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.00226737847.7511020.002226.024253E-45.779681E-40.00418588157.24240970.003610.0060079480.0057659180.0109955891.90699720.00526
6.31.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0017010609153.530730.001694.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.00226737847.7511020.002226.024253E-45.779681E-40.00418588157.24240970.003610.0060079480.0057659180.0109955891.90699720.00526
6.41.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0017010609153.530730.001694.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.00226737847.7511020.002226.024253E-45.779681E-40.00418588157.24240970.003610.0060079480.0057659180.0109955891.90699720.00526
6.51.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0017010609153.530730.001694.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.00226737847.7511020.002226.024253E-45.779681E-40.00418588157.24240970.003610.0060079480.0057659180.0109955891.90699720.00526
6.67.587044E-66.9356042E-69.769289E-4140.857079.7E-43.2515498E-52.9723697E-50.001269686942.7163160.001243.9580427E-43.6182883E-40.00229113066.33208370.001930.0039510.00361268870.00633282631.75293980.00273
6.77.587044E-66.9356042E-69.769289E-4140.857079.7E-43.2515498E-52.9723697E-50.001269686942.7163160.001243.9580427E-43.6182883E-40.00229113066.33208370.001930.0039510.00361268870.00633282631.75293980.00273
6.85.9026956E-65.179362E-67.151757E-4138.081827.1E-42.5297022E-52.2197082E-59.421767E-442.445979.2E-43.0794772E-42.7021713E-40.00166983886.1796190.00140.00307521320.0026990020.004613821.7094540.00192
6.95.0118915E-64.2523943E-65.842499E-4137.393165.8E-42.1479358E-51.8224424E-57.6821074E-442.1528137.5E-42.614798E-42.2186051E-40.00136160766.13722370.001140.00261172350.00221646270.00376302731.69776250.00155
7.04.4924795E-63.7138868E-65.13712E-4138.321935.1E-41.925334E-51.5916565E-56.759061E-442.4655766.6E-42.3438422E-41.9376757E-40.00119357386.15982250.0010.00234137170.00193604910.00331337751.71141180.00138
7.13.9118436E-63.1119469E-63.8311078E-4123.109673.8E-41.6764936E-51.333685E-55.033303E-437.739824.9E-42.0409399E-41.6236462E-49.1224286E-45.6184837.5E-40.00203906630.00162251610.00266082861.63993980.00104
7.23.4200818E-62.6054236E-62.9260467E-4112.3059842.9E-41.4657411E-51.11660565E-53.4116238E-430.5535243.3E-41.7843937E-41.3593875E-46.458694E-44.7511795.1E-40.00178296150.00135860580.0020876141.53658567.3E-4
7.32.6593618E-61.8283897E-61.9182805E-4104.916391.9E-41.13972155E-57.8359335E-62.1783428E-427.7994042.1E-41.3875226E-49.539862E-54.2536712E-44.458843.3E-40.00138665659.536055E-40.00138319551.45049024.3E-4
7.42.2577992E-61.4364078E-61.514362E-4105.427021.5E-49.676246E-66.1560204E-61.7615498E-428.6150741.7E-41.1780193E-47.4947224E-53.44927E-44.6022652.7E-40.0011773957.4924453E-40.00110897481.4801243.6E-4
7.51.489319E-67.353661E-78.0735306E-5109.7892768.0E-56.3827797E-63.1515651E-68.315131E-526.3841328.0E-57.770758E-53.8369635E-51.983635E-45.1698041.6E-47.7680405E-43.8363054E-45.9355E-41.54719172.1E-4
7.61.0680322E-64.65941E-74.0465922E-586.847744.0E-54.577273E-61.9968884E-64.199681E-521.0311244.0E-55.5726876E-52.4311848E-51.4430893E-45.9357451.2E-45.5712904E-42.4309216E-44.0305327E-41.65802661.6E-4
7.75.509146E-71.5578539E-71.01557835E-565.1908651.0E-52.3610605E-66.676515E-71.0667645E-515.9778641.0E-52.8745531E-58.128628E-62.8128465E-53.460422.0E-52.8741814E-48.128342E-51.01281796E-41.24603262.0E-5

San Andreas (Mojave S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.0023534913.48859480.001680.00133063760.0028881720.00505190441.74917030.002170.0160806050.0345655940.0378673821.09552230.003420.14965490.286545570.28977041.01125410.00452
6.13.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.0023534913.48859480.001680.00133063760.0028881720.00505190441.74917030.002170.0160806050.0345655940.0378673821.09552230.003420.14965490.286545570.28977041.01125410.00452
6.23.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.0023534913.48859480.001680.00133063760.0028881720.00505190441.74917030.002170.0160806050.0345655940.0378673821.09552230.003420.14965490.286545570.28977041.01125410.00452
6.33.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.0023534913.48859480.001680.00133063760.0028881720.00505190441.74917030.002170.0160806050.0345655940.0378673821.09552230.003420.14965490.286545570.28977041.01125410.00452
6.41.9872203E-44.3181062E-40.00189118024.3796520.001468.5138786E-40.00184933260.00373583732.02010040.001890.0103164780.022289310.0252028891.13071630.002980.0985048560.196868390.200000611.01591010.0039
6.51.291105E-42.8754136E-40.00163715325.69362640.001355.5321335E-40.00123174090.00291965932.37035180.001690.0067145920.0148941550.0175145361.17593360.002660.0651529650.138007920.14093871.02123630.0034
6.61.291105E-42.8754136E-40.00163715325.69362640.001355.5321335E-40.00123174090.00291965932.37035180.001690.0067145920.0148941550.0175145361.17593360.002660.0651529650.138007920.14093871.02123630.0034
6.71.08001186E-42.4335351E-40.00153303966.299640.001294.6278012E-40.00104252740.0026708282.56187820.001630.00561980160.01261920.0151567681.2010880.002570.0547979060.119184310.122055771.02409260.00326
6.81.0624356E-42.3853009E-40.00152822236.40683270.001294.5525006E-40.00102187180.00265020622.5934820.001630.00552859250.0123705930.0148989241.20438240.002560.0539305660.117133080.12000241.02449620.00325
6.91.0393785E-42.3223337E-40.00152193386.55346730.001294.4537184E-49.949068E-40.0026232852.63671450.001630.00540892870.0120459630.0145553671.20831910.002540.052791560.1144334450.117293831.0249960.00323
7.01.0155622E-42.2592908E-40.00150563996.6642150.001284.3516833E-49.6790853E-40.00258634052.6720920.001620.0052853110.0117208380.0142211841.21332490.002530.051613610.111697450.114557791.02560780.00322
7.19.885595E-52.188132E-40.00148853536.80276730.001274.2359953E-49.374342E-40.00253593432.70518640.00160.00514513530.0113537330.0138253491.21769190.00250.050276290.108576070.11141081.02610830.00318
7.29.6411415E-52.1244297E-40.00148217326.97680470.001274.1312634E-49.101525E-40.00250869622.75634720.00160.0050182190.0110249870.0134875351.22336070.002490.0490640070.10576970.1086044161.02680080.00317
7.39.1180635E-51.9472656E-40.00146447937.5206960.001273.907156E-48.342756E-40.00243294082.91623140.00160.0047465910.0101101120.0125749381.2437980.002490.0464647860.097961760.100803181.02900540.00315
7.48.887388E-51.872126E-40.00145697497.7824610.001273.8083247E-48.020931E-40.00239081772.98072340.001590.00462678170.0097218550.0121777451.25261530.002480.0453162860.0945938450.097427771.02995880.00313
7.58.6750515E-51.80528E-40.00144030057.97826670.001263.7173493E-47.734621E-40.002352243.04118320.001580.0045164840.0093763270.0118033541.25884640.002450.044257870.091556060.0943631461.03065980.00309
7.68.453092E-51.7440386E-40.00143418418.2233510.001263.6222505E-47.4723107E-40.00232605053.1128930.001580.00440117530.0090596640.0114874681.26797950.002450.043150240.088714470.0915303451.03174080.00309
7.78.259102E-51.6962511E-40.00140941488.3089990.001243.539135E-47.267622E-40.00228562863.14494660.001560.0043003860.00881250.0112210861.27331470.002430.0421811340.0864654260.089269981.03243550.00307
7.87.444844E-51.528469E-40.00121268497.9339840.001063.1902574E-46.5489375E-40.0019640362.99901440.001310.00387722230.0079442310.0099878661.25724770.002060.038102690.0782938750.080671881.03037270.00258
7.95.2586525E-51.0007023E-46.800122E-46.7953495.8E-42.2535135E-44.2880196E-40.00118847612.771627.6E-40.00274020060.0052081780.00638203231.22538670.001180.0270665740.0522015880.0536232851.02723480.0015
8.03.379877E-55.4075565E-52.3406582E-44.32849551.8E-41.4484383E-42.3173184E-44.3168548E-41.86286652.0E-40.00176204710.00281768660.0030869261.09555332.7E-40.0174814090.0288359170.029214671.01313483.9E-4
8.11.8668277E-51.9308145E-54.9307564E-52.55371863.0E-58.000444E-58.274657E-51.12744085E-41.36252283.0E-59.736188E-40.00100697450.00104693431.0396834.0E-50.0096936420.0107986240.01084808351.00458035.0E-5
8.28.541571E-65.4596358E-65.4596358E-61.00.03.660622E-52.339823E-52.339823E-51.00.04.455896E-42.848363E-42.848363E-41.00.00.00444697170.0032402830.0032402831.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Death Valley (So)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0684236E-52.5618314E-50.001205588147.059620.001188.864371E-51.0978825E-40.001749608215.9362060.001640.00107870290.00133586920.00419204873.13806820.002860.0107348170.0132799850.0176708881.33064080.00445
6.12.0684236E-52.5618314E-50.001205588147.059620.001188.864371E-51.0978825E-40.001749608215.9362060.001640.00107870290.00133586920.00419204873.13806820.002860.0107348170.0132799850.0176708881.33064080.00445
6.22.0684236E-52.5618314E-50.001205588147.059620.001188.864371E-51.0978825E-40.001749608215.9362060.001640.00107870290.00133586920.00419204873.13806820.002860.0107348170.0132799850.0176708881.33064080.00445
6.32.0240292E-52.51184E-50.001165089846.383920.001148.6741224E-51.0764593E-40.001677476915.5832820.001570.00105556260.0013098180.0040262553.07390430.002720.0105056280.0130225430.017098761.31301240.00413
6.42.0240292E-52.51184E-50.001165089846.383920.001148.6741224E-51.0764593E-40.001677476915.5832820.001570.00105556260.0013098180.0040262553.07390430.002720.0105056280.0130225430.017098761.31301240.00413
6.51.9962767E-52.4807652E-50.001154779646.549330.001138.55519E-51.0631427E-40.001656149515.5778670.001550.00104109680.00129362440.00396017033.06129860.002670.0103623270.012862490.016811041.30698180.004
6.61.8937297E-52.3311462E-50.00107328746.041170.001058.115732E-59.990252E-50.001549757715.5126980.001459.876423E-40.00121564910.0036426952.99650220.002430.0098326450.01209150350.0156578531.29494680.00361
6.71.8621096E-52.2912098E-50.001042888745.516950.001027.980225E-59.8191085E-50.001508052715.3583450.001419.711593E-40.00119483540.00356200362.98116680.002370.0096692610.0118856250.0153736691.29346740.00353
6.81.7830353E-52.1806083E-59.7178534E-444.5648739.5E-47.641356E-59.3451374E-50.001393329914.90967750.00139.29938E-40.00113719070.00336465472.95874290.002230.0092605610.011316090.0146380671.29356240.00336
6.91.3135183E-51.5304031E-56.552942E-442.818416.4E-45.6292425E-56.558709E-59.555287E-414.5688548.9E-46.8514474E-47.982367E-40.00232701542.91519470.001530.0068303620.0079551580.0101574981.27684430.00222
7.01.1507512E-51.3154237E-54.731482E-435.969264.6E-44.9316975E-55.637412E-57.0633745E-412.5294646.5E-46.002687E-46.861445E-40.00177539662.58749650.001090.00598649870.00684149240.00842061451.23081540.00159
7.19.715903E-61.0865287E-52.4086279E-422.1681022.3E-44.1638916E-54.6564706E-53.4655075E-47.44234753.0E-45.068359E-45.667821E-40.00114645332.0227415.8E-40.00505681480.0056538340.00647914131.14597318.3E-4
7.29.233269E-61.0286314E-52.0028435E-419.4709551.9E-43.9570554E-54.408348E-52.9407247E-46.67080832.5E-44.81665E-45.365884E-40.00103632011.93131295.0E-40.00480622330.00535335950.0060496121.1300597.0E-4
7.38.8041315E-69.808164E-61.6980659E-417.312781.6E-43.7731446E-54.2034335E-52.4202593E-45.75781542.0E-44.592835E-45.1165203E-48.914576E-41.74231223.8E-40.00458335460.0051051670.0056523591.10718395.5E-4
7.48.708749E-69.707175E-61.5970571E-416.4523371.5E-43.7322676E-54.160154E-52.3159363E-45.5669491.9E-44.5430884E-45.0638523E-48.761979E-41.7302993.7E-40.0045338120.00505273980.00559001141.10633275.4E-4
7.58.612678E-69.604817E-61.2960366E-413.493611.2E-43.6910955E-54.1162875E-52.0115629E-44.88683751.6E-44.492982E-45.01047E-48.408766E-41.67823913.4E-40.0044839090.00499959850.00550704871.10149825.1E-4
7.68.319024E-69.283916E-61.0928299E-411.7712161.0E-43.5652476E-53.978763E-51.7978206E-44.51854131.4E-44.3398244E-44.8431093E-48.0415595E-41.66041253.2E-40.00433135870.00483297840.005320611.10089674.9E-4
7.77.4718328E-68.34517E-65.834475E-56.991445.0E-53.2021748E-53.5764548E-51.15761686E-43.2367728.0E-53.8979502E-44.353504E-46.1527203E-41.413281.8E-40.003891120.00434538070.00467394661.07561273.3E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-71.0364823E-528.4103071.0E-51.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.1563524E-57.39573431.0E-51.80467E-51.9035933E-52.9035744E-51.52531231.0E-51.8045233E-41.9034347E-42.0034157E-41.05252661.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

Coyote Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.5090034E-54.0364317E-57.8033446E-419.3322857.4E-41.503772E-41.7297991E-40.0013627747.87822150.001190.00182930470.00210425330.00442935062.10495110.002330.0181431940.0208692050.0246682321.18203990.00388
6.13.5090034E-54.0364317E-57.8033446E-419.3322857.4E-41.503772E-41.7297991E-40.0013627747.87822150.001190.00182930470.00210425330.00442935062.10495110.002330.0181431940.0208692050.0246682321.18203990.00388
6.21.841879E-52.1059794E-54.5105073E-421.4176244.3E-47.8935285E-59.025371E-57.2019687E-47.97969256.3E-49.606133E-40.00109838710.002287082.08221670.001190.00956471450.0109396680.0129078981.17991690.00199
6.31.841879E-52.1059794E-54.5105073E-421.4176244.3E-47.8935285E-59.025371E-57.2019687E-47.97969256.3E-49.606133E-40.00109838710.002287082.08221670.001190.00956471450.0109396680.0129078981.17991690.00199
6.41.712201E-51.9565212E-54.295572E-421.9551534.1E-47.337798E-58.3848776E-56.9379766E-48.2743916.1E-48.930107E-40.00102048130.00214932812.10619070.001130.0088943070.0101678710.01201885751.18204260.00187
6.51.4744935E-51.6836972E-53.768309E-422.3811573.6E-46.3191044E-57.215698E-56.221173E-48.621725.5E-47.6907943E-48.782507E-40.00188736362.14900330.001010.0076642320.0087569940.0104321951.19129860.00169
6.61.2017839E-51.3724089E-53.2371984E-423.587713.1E-45.150401E-55.88167E-55.3878844E-49.1604684.8E-46.268809E-47.159466E-40.00159531662.2282628.8E-40.00625115450.00714509380.0085946621.2028760.00146
6.71.00956095E-51.1533517E-52.6153063E-422.6757072.5E-44.326618E-54.942891E-54.3940963E-48.88972953.9E-45.266384E-46.017178E-40.00132128462.19585427.2E-40.0052539210.00600941250.00724196061.20510290.00124

San Andreas (Mojave N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.877682E-51.9402112E-40.00190368949.8117640.001714.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00295948383.5602630.002130.00514102770.0100736840.0132612471.31642470.003220.050237080.098322450.1020463851.03787470.00413
6.19.877682E-51.9402112E-40.00190368949.8117640.001714.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00295948383.5602630.002130.00514102770.0100736840.0132612471.31642470.003220.050237080.098322450.1020463851.03787470.00413
6.29.877682E-51.9402112E-40.00190368949.8117640.001714.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00295948383.5602630.002130.00514102770.0100736840.0132612471.31642470.003220.050237080.098322450.1020463851.03787470.00413
6.39.877682E-51.9402112E-40.00190368949.8117640.001714.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00295948383.5602630.002130.00514102770.0100736840.0132612471.31642470.003220.050237080.098322450.1020463851.03787470.00413
6.49.877682E-51.9402112E-40.00190368949.8117640.001714.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00295948383.5602630.002130.00514102770.0100736840.0132612471.31642470.003220.050237080.098322450.1020463851.03787470.00413
6.59.861474E-51.937588E-40.00190342759.8236950.001714.2256617E-48.3013077E-40.00295836273.56373070.002130.00513261320.01006013250.0132477391.31685530.003220.0501567460.098200350.101915761.0378350.00412
6.69.861474E-51.937588E-40.00190342759.8236950.001714.2256617E-48.3013077E-40.00295836273.56373070.002130.00513261320.01006013250.0132477391.31685530.003220.0501567460.098200350.101915761.0378350.00412
6.79.8552715E-51.9365833E-40.00190332729.8282750.001714.223004E-48.2970044E-40.00295793313.56506160.002130.00512939270.0100549410.0132425641.31702050.003220.0501259980.098153560.1018691661.0378550.00412
6.89.8464974E-51.9350994E-40.0019031799.8350450.001714.219245E-48.290649E-40.00295729913.56702950.002130.00512483760.0100472760.0132349231.31726490.003220.050082510.098083780.1017996741.0378850.00412
6.99.825824E-51.9319002E-40.00189286169.7979260.00174.2103877E-48.276947E-40.002945943.55921080.002120.00511410460.0100307460.0132085481.31680610.003210.0499800220.0979329650.1016404551.03785750.00411
7.09.781462E-51.9250368E-40.00189217659.82930.00174.1913814E-48.247551E-40.00294300663.568340.002120.0050910730.0099952850.0131732011.31794140.003210.049760070.097609120.101317951.03799680.00411
7.19.7121134E-51.9152075E-40.00189119529.8746220.00174.1616702E-48.205452E-40.00293880563.5815280.002120.0050550680.00994449950.0131126771.3185860.00320.049416130.097145710.100847411.03810470.0041
7.29.663819E-51.9082859E-40.00189050429.9068180.00174.1409794E-48.175807E-40.00293584753.59089640.002120.00502999360.0099087350.0130770271.31974730.00320.0491765370.096818830.100521871.03824710.0041
7.39.6277574E-51.9035369E-40.00189003019.9290440.00174.125529E-48.1554666E-40.00293381773.59736350.002120.00501126940.0098841950.0130525661.32054910.00320.048997590.096592280.100296251.03834640.0041
7.49.593308E-51.8975153E-40.00188942899.9573840.00174.1107697E-48.129676E-40.00293124423.605610.002120.00499338240.0098530810.013021551.32157160.00320.048826610.096309860.100014991.0384710.0041
7.59.561707E-51.8921228E-40.00188889069.9829180.00174.0972308E-48.106579E-40.00292893943.61303970.002120.00497697430.0098252150.0129937731.32249260.00320.0486697440.0960562450.099762421.03858330.0041
7.69.418194E-51.8573487E-40.001885419110.1511320.00174.0357444E-47.95764E-40.0029140773.66198660.002120.0049024540.0096454990.0128146341.3285610.00320.0479570250.0944374650.098150271.0393150.0041
7.78.202141E-51.6022482E-40.001659984510.3603460.00153.51473E-46.8649714E-40.00256520653.73666020.001880.004270790.0083261280.0112118991.34659220.002910.041896390.0822379140.0856336361.04129140.0037
7.87.2859846E-51.4517571E-40.00119502338.2315650.001053.1221908E-46.2203326E-40.00192122463.08862040.00130.0037946430.00754699860.0095914521.27089620.002060.0373049750.074727660.077105611.03182150.00257
7.95.3874453E-51.00462625E-46.8040437E-46.77271135.8E-42.3087008E-44.3048308E-40.0011901562.76469857.6E-40.00280722020.00522854740.0064023781.22450410.001180.027720220.0524258840.0538472461.02711180.0015
8.03.468538E-55.4261534E-52.3425177E-44.3170871.8E-41.4864317E-42.3252872E-44.3248222E-41.85990882.0E-40.00180822830.00282736360.00309660031.09522532.7E-40.0179358530.0289484620.029327171.01308233.9E-4
8.11.9152367E-51.9401303E-54.940072E-52.5462583.0E-58.207899E-58.3145795E-51.13143295E-41.3607823.0E-59.988535E-40.00101183050.00105179011.03949244.0E-50.0099437570.010855950.0109054081.00455585.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Nelson Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.913453E-61.0192255E-56.5018574E-463.7921336.4E-44.2485535E-54.3680422E-50.00117363126.8685840.001135.1713863E-45.316897E-40.00264056774.966370.002110.00515936830.0053052040.0089258931.68247880.00364
6.19.913453E-61.0192255E-56.5018574E-463.7921336.4E-44.2485535E-54.3680422E-50.00117363126.8685840.001135.1713863E-45.316897E-40.00264056774.966370.002110.00515936830.0053052040.0089258931.68247880.00364
6.24.5596407E-64.696313E-63.2469482E-469.138243.2E-41.954117E-52.0126909E-55.8011565E-428.822895.6E-42.3788778E-42.4501883E-40.0012847645.24353170.001040.00237633290.00244761280.00413347641.68877860.00169
6.34.5596407E-64.696313E-63.2469482E-469.138243.2E-41.954117E-52.0126909E-55.8011565E-428.822895.6E-42.3788778E-42.4501883E-40.0012847645.24353170.001040.00237633290.00244761280.00413347641.68877860.00169
6.43.4025713E-63.5098972E-62.835089E-480.774132.8E-41.4582367E-51.5042335E-54.550357E-430.2503384.4E-41.7752586E-41.8312587E-49.6298306E-45.25858557.8E-40.0017738410.00182983270.00306756381.67641760.00124
6.52.8352947E-62.927856E-62.5292713E-486.386462.5E-41.2151207E-51.2547898E-54.1254287E-432.877454.0E-41.479309E-41.5276071E-48.1265986E-45.3198236.6E-40.00147832460.00152663080.0025650431.68019870.00104
6.62.251518E-62.3290677E-62.023286E-486.871072.0E-49.649328E-69.981683E-63.099787E-431.054753.0E-41.1747423E-41.2152085E-46.414577E-45.2785815.2E-40.00117412140.00121460580.00204359761.68251938.3E-4
6.71.8911853E-61.9591396E-61.8195879E-492.8768841.8E-48.105055E-68.39629E-62.683941E-431.9658012.6E-49.867457E-51.0222061E-45.5217464E-45.40179354.5E-49.863076E-40.00102179350.00171108831.67459326.9E-4
6.81.4874814E-61.5438305E-61.515436E-498.1607741.5E-46.374905E-66.6164025E-62.1661501E-432.7390942.1E-47.76117E-58.055224E-54.4052323E-45.4687893.6E-47.75846E-48.0528157E-40.00136483061.69484895.6E-4
6.96.835972E-77.1399285E-71.0071392E-4141.057331.0E-42.9296991E-63.0599674E-61.3305957E-443.4839821.3E-43.56685E-53.7254784E-52.672462E-47.17347342.3E-43.5662777E-43.7251666E-47.1239E-41.91237093.4E-4

Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.744542E-54.396349E-50.001183913326.9294680.001141.604705E-41.8840231E-40.0017980999.5439330.001610.00195197760.00229155710.0048656452.1232920.002580.0193492060.0226972810.0260689761.14855060.00345
6.13.744542E-54.396349E-50.001183913326.9294680.001141.604705E-41.8840231E-40.0017980999.5439330.001610.00195197760.00229155710.0048656452.1232920.002580.0193492060.0226972810.0260689761.14855060.00345
6.23.744542E-54.396349E-50.001183913326.9294680.001141.604705E-41.8840231E-40.0017980999.5439330.001610.00195197760.00229155710.0048656452.1232920.002580.0193492060.0226972810.0260689761.14855060.00345
6.32.1079984E-52.5354384E-54.35344E-417.1703624.1E-49.0339665E-51.0865723E-46.885942E-46.33730655.8E-40.00109933040.00132211890.00229083651.73270079.7E-40.0109390790.0131447470.0144572651.09985110.00133
6.42.1079984E-52.5354384E-54.35344E-417.1703624.1E-49.0339665E-51.0865723E-46.885942E-46.33730655.8E-40.00109933040.00132211890.00229083651.73270079.7E-40.0109390790.0131447470.0144572651.09985110.00133
6.51.7397282E-52.0663285E-53.3065688E-416.0021443.1E-47.455765E-58.8554E-55.1851594E-45.85536434.3E-49.073613E-40.00107762350.00178685831.65814727.1E-40.0090366540.0107252730.0116848691.08947069.7E-4
6.61.52050325E-51.7680086E-52.6767567E-415.1399542.5E-46.51628E-57.576964E-54.457416E-45.88285263.7E-47.9306826E-49.221128E-40.00151156881.63924495.9E-40.0079024390.0091837290.009986291.08738958.1E-4
6.71.332523E-51.5264379E-52.4526086E-416.067532.3E-45.7106878E-56.541716E-53.753969E-45.73850773.1E-46.950544E-47.9616875E-40.00131575471.65260795.2E-40.0069288450.00793379450.0086381611.08878067.1E-4
6.81.1525329E-51.3031365E-51.7302929E-413.2779091.6E-44.9393333E-55.5847537E-52.9583412E-45.29717452.4E-46.011979E-46.7973585E-40.0010794641.58806384.0E-40.005995740.00677701920.0073332241.08207235.6E-4
6.91.0253909E-51.1514835E-51.3151346E-411.421221.2E-44.3944583E-54.934838E-52.39339E-44.8499871.9E-45.3489394E-46.006545E-49.3045627E-41.54907073.3E-40.00533608250.00599068960.0064479341.07632584.6E-4
7.08.104563E-68.99143E-69.899062E-511.009449.0E-53.4733377E-53.853415E-51.8852837E-44.89250141.5E-44.2279682E-44.6905465E-47.0894207E-41.51142742.4E-40.00421993340.00468089430.00498944331.06591673.1E-4
7.16.7986157E-67.5159796E-63.7515754E-54.99146563.0E-52.91366E-53.2210955E-51.1220838E-43.4835478.0E-53.5468035E-43.9209996E-45.520372E-41.40789931.6E-40.0035411480.0039142980.0041234761.05343952.1E-4
7.25.6893327E-66.280132E-62.6280006E-54.18462662.0E-52.4382627E-52.6914584E-58.691297E-53.22921476.0E-52.9681803E-43.276378E-44.4759846E-41.36613811.2E-40.0029642190.0032717460.00343122261.04874361.6E-4
7.34.253348E-64.707075E-62.470698E-55.24890332.0E-51.8228506E-52.017303E-56.0172224E-52.98280534.0E-52.2190946E-42.455808E-43.355587E-41.36638829.0E-50.002216880.00245327530.00257298071.04879421.2E-4
7.42.5448119E-62.8520594E-61.28520305E-54.50622841.0E-51.0906291E-51.2223064E-54.22227E-53.45434643.0E-51.3277601E-41.4880729E-41.9879985E-41.3359555.0E-50.0013269670.00148723870.00154714951.04028326.0E-5
7.54.3706837E-84.562909E-84.562909E-81.00.01.8731501E-71.9555324E-71.9555324E-71.00.02.2805577E-62.3808586E-62.3808586E-61.00.02.2805343E-52.3808387E-52.3808387E-51.00.0

Towne Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.849728E-63.894542E-67.6389156E-4196.144137.6E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001156671869.299910.001142.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.002442740812.0215960.002240.00200672080.00203053190.0052639532.5924010.00324
6.13.849728E-63.894542E-67.6389156E-4196.144137.6E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001156671869.299910.001142.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.002442740812.0215960.002240.00200672080.00203053190.0052639532.5924010.00324
6.23.849728E-63.894542E-67.6389156E-4196.144137.6E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001156671869.299910.001142.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.002442740812.0215960.002240.00200672080.00203053190.0052639532.5924010.00324
6.33.849728E-63.894542E-67.6389156E-4196.144137.6E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001156671869.299910.001142.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.002442740812.0215960.002240.00200672080.00203053190.0052639532.5924010.00324
6.43.849728E-63.894542E-67.6389156E-4196.144137.6E-41.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001156671869.299910.001142.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.002442740812.0215960.002240.00200672080.00203053190.0052639532.5924010.00324
6.51.1953545E-61.2030526E-61.1120292E-492.433961.1E-45.1229376E-65.15593E-61.4515521E-428.1530591.4E-46.236998E-56.277176E-53.4275418E-45.46032432.8E-46.235248E-46.2755204E-49.973198E-41.58922263.7E-4
6.61.1953545E-61.2030526E-61.1120292E-492.433961.1E-45.1229376E-65.15593E-61.4515521E-428.1530591.4E-46.236998E-56.277176E-53.4275418E-45.46032432.8E-46.235248E-46.2755204E-49.973198E-41.58922263.7E-4
6.78.375951E-78.410676E-77.084101E-584.2274867.0E-53.5896885E-63.6045708E-69.360425E-525.9682089.0E-54.370358E-54.3884826E-52.038778E-44.6457471.6E-44.3694986E-44.3876728E-46.3867954E-41.45562242.0E-4
6.86.38041E-76.3921624E-74.0639192E-563.5765954.0E-52.7344586E-62.7394954E-65.2739357E-519.2514865.0E-53.3291526E-53.3352884E-51.4334921E-44.29795551.1E-43.3286537E-43.334826E-44.734359E-41.4196721.4E-4
6.95.3460053E-75.345339E-73.0534517E-557.1236343.0E-52.2911431E-62.2908578E-64.2290765E-518.4606694.0E-52.789431E-52.7890868E-51.07888634E-43.86824238.0E-52.789081E-42.78877E-43.8884633E-41.39432911.1E-4
7.03.557783E-73.5324283E-72.0353236E-557.6182562.0E-51.5247632E-61.513897E-62.1513866E-514.2109172.0E-51.8563835E-51.8431549E-54.8430997E-52.6276143.0E-51.8562283E-41.8430105E-42.1429552E-41.16274713.0E-5
7.13.037942E-73.0002275E-72.0300016E-567.661592.0E-51.3019744E-61.2858112E-62.1285785E-516.5543632.0E-51.5851423E-51.5654647E-54.565418E-52.9163343.0E-51.5850292E-41.5653619E-41.865315E-41.19161893.0E-5
7.22.0808248E-72.0217735E-72.0202173E-599.9230352.0E-58.917818E-78.6647407E-72.0866457E-524.0820332.0E-51.0857389E-51.0549275E-53.0549065E-52.8958452.0E-51.0856859E-41.0548821E-41.254861E-41.18957462.0E-5
7.31.1162073E-71.0636902E-72.0106367E-5189.024642.0E-54.7837443E-74.5586717E-72.0455858E-544.872412.0E-55.8241935E-65.5501705E-62.555006E-54.60347272.0E-55.8240406E-55.550052E-57.549941E-51.3603372.0E-5

San Andreas (San Bernardino N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4273766E-43.160784E-40.00109583193.4669627.8E-46.115894E-40.00135392450.00241248941.78184930.001060.00742070840.0163609390.0180331261.1022060.00170.071777480.150211630.152038661.01216320.00215
6.11.4273766E-43.160784E-40.00109583193.4669627.8E-46.115894E-40.00135392450.00241248941.78184930.001060.00742070840.0163609390.0180331261.1022060.00170.071777480.150211630.152038661.01216320.00215
6.21.4273766E-43.160784E-40.00109583193.4669627.8E-46.115894E-40.00135392450.00241248941.78184930.001060.00742070840.0163609390.0180331261.1022060.00170.071777480.150211630.152038661.01216320.00215
6.31.3730655E-43.0512668E-40.00107489183.5227727.7E-45.883239E-40.0013070360.00235566361.80229440.001050.00713934420.0157984550.017432231.10341360.001660.069142910.14551350.147316471.01239040.00211
6.41.3730655E-43.0512668E-40.00107489183.5227727.7E-45.883239E-40.0013070360.00235566361.80229440.001050.00713934420.0157984550.017432231.10341360.001660.069142910.14551350.147316471.01239040.00211
6.51.2942807E-42.8927144E-40.00105904873.66108977.7E-45.545738E-40.00123915090.00227786231.83824440.001040.00673105240.0149835480.0165989751.10781340.001640.065307880.138650880.14045111.01298380.00209
6.61.1125901E-42.5365927E-40.00101346653.99538547.6E-44.767372E-40.00108666050.0021055521.93763570.001020.0057888390.01315046850.0147392961.12081910.001610.0564034540.123004960.12480281.0146160.00205
6.71.02209575E-42.3500937E-49.848331E-44.1906127.5E-44.3796748E-40.00100679570.0019957991.98232779.9E-40.00531922470.0121892670.013740131.12723180.001570.0519369060.1147927640.116572031.01549980.00201
6.89.610582E-52.2026796E-49.7010273E-44.4041947.5E-44.1181705E-49.436647E-40.00193273042.04811149.9E-40.00500235150.0114288590.0129809161.13580160.001570.0489123460.108204690.10999721.01656590.00201
6.99.3877505E-52.1482339E-49.646623E-44.490497.5E-44.0227012E-49.203475E-40.00190943632.07469069.9E-40.00488664540.0111479070.0126905161.13837660.001560.047805770.1057982740.1075866741.01690390.002
7.09.1019785E-52.0809306E-49.57937E-44.6034077.5E-43.900265E-48.915232E-40.00188064062.10946929.9E-40.00473823770.01080049950.0123436511.14287780.001560.0463847440.102768150.104562621.01746130.002
7.18.771155E-51.9983841E-49.396905E-44.7022527.4E-43.758525E-48.5616973E-40.00182533932.13198289.7E-40.00456640640.0103742430.0118883711.14595070.001530.0447370560.099076440.100842251.01782270.00196
7.28.0830236E-51.8389444E-49.237584E-45.0233087.4E-43.4636928E-47.8788114E-40.00175711692.23018039.7E-40.00420889440.0095503680.0110558521.15763620.001520.0413006580.091805180.093576161.01929070.00195
7.37.7668235E-51.7333007E-49.1320183E-45.2685717.4E-43.328214E-47.426318E-40.00171191142.30519569.7E-40.00404457330.0090041380.0105104521.16729130.001520.039717480.087067610.088847831.02044640.00195
7.47.520177E-51.655312E-49.054087E-45.46971657.4E-43.2225347E-47.092266E-40.00166854582.35262739.6E-40.00391637950.0086007140.0100977261.17405690.001510.0384807440.083521570.0852903651.02117780.00193
7.57.274697E-51.584075E-48.8829186E-45.60763747.3E-43.1173544E-46.7871273E-40.00162806792.39875869.5E-40.0037887750.0082320760.0096998921.17830460.001480.037248270.080236540.0819748941.02166530.00189
7.67.1185845E-51.5410586E-48.8399334E-45.7362747.3E-43.0504653E-46.602866E-40.00160965932.43781929.5E-40.00370761780.00800940950.0094775561.18330260.001480.0364636670.078226610.0799687651.02227060.00189
7.76.709961E-51.4319421E-48.730897E-46.09724147.3E-42.8753807E-46.135452E-40.00156296232.54742819.5E-40.0034951570.00744436630.0089133481.19732810.001480.0344069380.073055580.07480751.02398070.00189
7.86.300812E-51.320343E-48.419406E-46.37668047.1E-42.7000686E-45.657386E-40.00148521822.62527289.2E-40.00328237870.0068661430.0083061881.20973110.001450.0323431750.067713850.069438581.02547090.00185
7.94.983037E-59.7241085E-56.471876E-46.65549565.5E-42.1354125E-44.1668097E-40.00114637682.751217.3E-40.00259676480.00506130050.00620547961.22606430.001150.0256662960.0506505070.0520460531.02755240.00147
8.03.2211527E-55.3306234E-52.2329717E-44.18895051.7E-41.380421E-42.2843528E-44.183919E-41.83155541.9E-40.00167936690.00277765420.0030369321.09334422.6E-40.0166673230.0283625680.0287317911.01301793.8E-4
8.11.743376E-51.8823403E-53.8823026E-52.06248712.0E-57.471398E-58.066923E-51.0066762E-41.2479062.0E-59.0926304E-49.81706E-40.00101167651.0305293.0E-50.0090555170.0104839790.010523561.00377544.0E-5
8.27.831616E-65.1540533E-65.1540533E-61.00.03.3563636E-52.2088612E-52.2088612E-51.00.04.0856065E-42.6889573E-42.6889573E-41.00.00.0040781030.00304136680.00304136681.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Bicycle Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9621975E-52.2097078E-53.920889E-417.7439253.7E-48.4091465E-59.4699084E-56.546461E-46.91290765.6E-40.00102333270.00115248650.00227119561.97069180.001120.010186330.0114784080.0132676331.15587740.00181
6.11.9621975E-52.2097078E-53.920889E-417.7439253.7E-48.4091465E-59.4699084E-56.546461E-46.91290765.6E-40.00102333270.00115248650.00227119561.97069180.001120.010186330.0114784080.0132676331.15587740.00181
6.29.9971285E-61.125564E-52.2125327E-419.6571042.1E-44.2844134E-54.8237856E-54.0822048E-48.4626583.6E-45.2150246E-45.871897E-40.00120682562.05525686.2E-40.00520280330.0058614870.00697492161.18995790.00112
6.39.589428E-61.0798346E-52.1079619E-419.5211542.0E-44.10969E-54.62781E-53.8626237E-48.3465483.4E-45.002399E-45.6334207E-40.00116300412.06447226.0E-40.00499115330.00562422960.0067080991.19271430.00109
6.49.589428E-61.0798346E-52.1079619E-419.5211542.0E-44.10969E-54.62781E-53.8626237E-48.3465483.4E-45.002399E-45.6334207E-40.00116300412.06447226.0E-40.00499115330.00562422960.0067080991.19271430.00109
6.55.557707E-66.2856016E-61.3628478E-421.6820581.3E-42.3818526E-52.6938165E-52.669317E-49.9090532.4E-42.8995197E-43.279497E-47.278185E-42.21929934.0E-40.00289573940.00327729340.0039550651.20680836.8E-4
6.64.8742945E-65.5132896E-61.2551263E-422.7654691.2E-42.0889667E-52.3628318E-52.4362312E-410.3106412.2E-42.54302E-42.87663E-46.575566E-42.28585723.7E-40.0025401120.00287547520.00348372131.21152896.1E-4
6.73.991108E-64.5159104E-61.0451546E-423.143831.0E-41.7104636E-51.9353902E-51.9935041E-410.300271.8E-42.0822904E-42.3563375E-45.255654E-42.23043352.9E-40.00208034040.00235633740.00288508861.22439545.3E-4

Paradise

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4851273E-51.6694768E-54.0668825E-424.3602223.9E-46.364676E-57.154718E-57.315E-410.2240226.6E-47.7462377E-48.707624E-40.00208972.3998510.001220.00771929140.0086758840.0106486191.22738150.00199
6.11.4851273E-51.6694768E-54.0668825E-424.3602223.9E-46.364676E-57.154718E-57.315E-410.2240226.6E-47.7462377E-48.707624E-40.00208972.3998510.001220.00771929140.0086758840.0106486191.22738150.00199
6.21.4851273E-51.6694768E-54.0668825E-424.3602223.9E-46.364676E-57.154718E-57.315E-410.2240226.6E-47.7462377E-48.707624E-40.00208972.3998510.001220.00771929140.0086758840.0106486191.22738150.00199
6.31.0426831E-51.1888697E-51.4188715E-411.9346261.3E-44.4685654E-55.09506E-53.1093735E-46.1027222.6E-45.43912E-46.201529E-40.00118979941.91855815.7E-40.00542582660.00618483170.0070991421.1478319.2E-4
6.41.0426831E-51.1888697E-51.4188715E-411.9346261.3E-44.4685654E-55.09506E-53.1093735E-46.1027222.6E-45.43912E-46.201529E-40.00118979941.91855815.7E-40.00542582660.00618483170.0070991421.1478319.2E-4
6.59.25027E-61.0620037E-51.2061887E-411.3576691.1E-43.964341E-54.551368E-52.6550365E-45.8334922.2E-44.8255164E-45.5399304E-49.737604E-41.75771224.2E-40.00481505130.00552661950.00621280631.12416036.9E-4
6.67.904275E-69.159602E-66.9159054E-57.55044276.0E-53.3875025E-53.925487E-51.5925016E-44.05682561.2E-44.1235037E-44.7782718E-46.977221E-41.46019762.2E-40.00411586040.0047683950.00517643941.08557284.1E-4
6.77.2061953E-68.407326E-65.8406906E-56.9471445.0E-53.088333E-53.603092E-51.3602732E-43.7752941.0E-43.7593965E-44.3859181E-45.9852167E-41.36464391.6E-40.0037530430.0043776310.00465640571.06368152.8E-4
6.86.6948724E-67.842242E-65.784185E-57.3756785.0E-52.8691995E-53.3609194E-51.3360583E-43.97527621.0E-43.4926904E-44.091187E-45.5905734E-41.36649181.5E-40.0034872060.00408401250.00432303271.05852572.4E-4
6.96.0421025E-67.1306963E-63.713048E-55.2071333.0E-52.5894467E-53.0559786E-51.0055765E-43.29052197.0E-53.1521954E-43.7200528E-44.719681E-41.26871341.0E-40.00314772780.00371416380.00389349531.04828311.8E-4
7.04.134091E-65.0803824E-61.5080332E-52.96834561.0E-51.7717413E-52.1772896E-53.1772677E-51.45927671.0E-52.1568815E-42.650543E-42.9504634E-41.11315443.0E-50.00215478920.00264753470.00271734941.02636977.0E-5
7.13.7674888E-64.631936E-61.463189E-53.15891461.0E-51.6146281E-51.9851012E-52.9850813E-51.50374271.0E-51.9656324E-42.4166079E-42.7165352E-41.12411093.0E-50.00196389460.00241413060.00247398581.02479366.0E-5
7.23.4065345E-64.156782E-61.4156741E-53.4056971.0E-51.4599351E-51.7814667E-52.7814489E-51.56132521.0E-51.777326E-42.168735E-42.4686698E-41.13829953.0E-50.00177590530.00216676670.00221665831.02302595.0E-5
7.32.9934936E-63.6293673E-63.6293673E-61.00.01.2829195E-51.5554348E-51.5554348E-51.00.01.5618425E-41.8935918E-42.093554E-41.10559942.0E-50.00156074530.00189212370.0019320481.02110034.0E-5
7.42.4049796E-62.8890186E-62.8890186E-61.00.01.0307015E-51.2381457E-51.2381457E-51.00.01.2548068E-41.5073526E-41.6073375E-41.06633151.0E-50.00125409850.00150647150.00152644141.01325612.0E-5
7.51.2710091E-61.5134859E-61.5134859E-61.00.05.44717E-66.4863593E-66.4863593E-61.00.06.631728E-57.896981E-58.896902E-51.12662071.0E-56.6297496E-47.895401E-47.995322E-41.01265561.0E-5
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-51.3587343E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.3586794E-41.00.0

Garlic Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6760017E-51.8776833E-52.9877157E-415.9117142.8E-47.182667E-58.0470316E-55.104357E-46.34315544.3E-48.7413884E-49.794032E-40.00184855111.88742618.7E-40.0087070830.0097624130.0112378671.15113620.00149
6.19.852767E-61.0973587E-51.8097172E-416.4915731.7E-44.222546E-54.702921E-52.8701793E-46.1029712.4E-45.139737E-45.7250116E-40.00104223221.8204894.7E-40.0051278660.0057172210.0065623621.14782368.5E-4
6.29.852767E-61.0973587E-51.8097172E-416.4915731.7E-44.222546E-54.702921E-52.8701793E-46.1029712.4E-45.139737E-45.7250116E-40.00104223221.8204894.7E-40.0051278660.0057172210.0065623621.14782368.5E-4
6.34.3167724E-64.7780286E-61.2477745E-426.1148411.2E-41.8500323E-52.0477235E-51.7047416E-48.3250581.5E-42.2521814E-42.4930484E-44.89245E-41.96243692.4E-40.00224990030.002492510.00286158781.14807473.7E-4
6.44.3167724E-64.7780286E-61.2477745E-426.1148411.2E-41.8500323E-52.0477235E-51.7047416E-48.3250581.5E-42.2521814E-42.4930484E-44.89245E-41.96243692.4E-40.00224990030.002492510.00286158781.14807473.7E-4
6.54.3167724E-64.7780286E-61.2477745E-426.1148411.2E-41.8500323E-52.0477235E-51.7047416E-48.3250581.5E-42.2521814E-42.4930484E-44.89245E-41.96243692.4E-40.00224990030.002492510.00286158781.14807473.7E-4
6.64.301311E-64.760897E-61.2476032E-426.2052141.2E-41.8434059E-52.0403815E-51.7040076E-48.3514171.5E-42.2441156E-42.4841115E-44.8835156E-41.96590022.4E-40.00224185060.0024835930.0028526741.14860773.7E-4
6.73.8599724E-64.27106E-69.4270676E-522.0719629.0E-51.6542634E-51.8304541E-51.3830235E-47.55562971.2E-42.0138794E-42.228578E-44.2281323E-41.89723322.0E-40.00201205540.0022285780.0025378871.13879223.1E-4

San Andreas (San Bernardino S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2336002E-43.0005194E-46.899349E-42.2993853.9E-45.2857865E-40.00128532920.00181464791.41181585.3E-40.0064164720.0155415540.0163783451.05384218.5E-40.062343370.142946990.143941181.00695490.00116
6.11.2336002E-43.0005194E-46.899349E-42.2993853.9E-45.2857865E-40.00128532920.00181464791.41181585.3E-40.0064164720.0155415540.0163783451.05384218.5E-40.062343370.142946990.143941181.00695490.00116
6.21.2336002E-43.0005194E-46.899349E-42.2993853.9E-45.2857865E-40.00128532920.00181464791.41181585.3E-40.0064164720.0155415540.0163783451.05384218.5E-40.062343370.142946990.143941181.00695490.00116
6.31.1712257E-42.8793467E-46.678252E-42.31936383.8E-45.018573E-40.00123344780.00174281871.41296525.1E-40.0060930080.0149186660.0157264321.05414478.2E-40.0592863220.137657790.138623611.00701610.00112
6.41.1712257E-42.8793467E-46.678252E-42.31936383.8E-45.018573E-40.00123344780.00174281871.41296525.1E-40.0060930080.0149186660.0157264321.05414478.2E-40.0592863220.137657790.138623611.00701610.00112
6.51.0689076E-42.6806415E-46.37965E-42.37989663.7E-44.5802278E-40.00114836530.00163780271.42620354.9E-40.00556217830.0138963350.0146753571.05605957.9E-40.054250030.12889890.12984841.00736620.00109
6.69.7648895E-52.505129E-46.0042524E-42.39678363.5E-44.1842813E-40.00107320860.00154270421.43746914.7E-40.0050824690.0129923990.0137227841.05621647.4E-40.0496778860.1210777460.121991831.00754950.00104
6.78.757013E-52.3122175E-45.811408E-42.51334833.5E-43.7524657E-49.905964E-40.00146013081.47399164.7E-40.004559060.0119979020.0127191431.0601147.3E-40.044666560.1123730240.113287281.00813590.00103
6.88.562978E-52.2682057E-45.767412E-42.54271983.5E-43.6693315E-49.7174826E-40.00144129151.48319444.7E-40.0044582630.0117709210.0124923281.06128737.3E-40.0436987580.110378630.111294941.00830150.00103
6.96.124075E-51.7066885E-45.0061254E-42.9332393.3E-42.6243398E-47.312337E-40.0011709121.60128284.4E-40.00319045270.0088666360.0095505181.07712986.9E-40.0314503460.084202620.08510011.01065869.8E-4
7.05.8598747E-51.6495936E-44.9490493E-43.00016283.3E-42.5111332E-47.067779E-40.00114646691.62210354.4E-40.00305301860.0085712650.00925535151.07981166.9E-40.030114140.081515620.082415731.01104229.8E-4
7.15.613814E-51.5914452E-44.89092E-43.0732573.3E-42.4056983E-46.818704E-40.00112157041.64484394.4E-40.00292500390.0082703530.0089546461.08274056.9E-40.0288680210.078812680.079706241.01133769.7E-4
7.24.991222E-51.4520933E-44.7516142E-43.27225143.3E-42.1389198E-46.221777E-40.00106190391.70675354.4E-40.0026010250.00754880630.00823359751.09071526.9E-40.0257079120.072261910.0731525351.0123259.6E-4
7.34.7410045E-51.371513E-44.6710606E-43.40577173.3E-42.0317009E-45.8765925E-40.00102740071.74829334.4E-40.00247078970.00713136560.00780651631.09467346.8E-40.0244349820.0685419440.069426831.01291019.5E-4
7.44.5556746E-51.3123035E-44.6118704E-43.51433233.3E-41.952286E-45.6229485E-49.920531E-41.76429334.3E-40.0023743170.00682452930.0074899571.09750526.7E-40.0234910860.065791430.066669581.01334769.4E-4
7.54.3084514E-51.2358342E-44.435439E-43.5890243.2E-41.8463485E-45.2953605E-49.4931363E-41.79272714.2E-40.00224561150.00642811460.00706400071.09892266.4E-40.0222305450.0621902830.063043691.01372259.1E-4
7.63.408608E-59.836477E-54.1833328E-44.2528773.2E-41.4607502E-44.214953E-48.413183E-41.99603254.2E-40.00177701250.0051196560.00575637961.12436846.4E-40.0176286960.050022440.0508869181.01728199.1E-4
7.72.8315713E-58.2495724E-54.0246933E-44.8786693.2E-41.2134742E-43.5350522E-47.7335676E-42.18768124.2E-40.00147640340.0042954420.00493269271.14835516.4E-40.014666330.0422724150.0431439471.0206179.1E-4
7.82.6222975E-57.463898E-53.8461585E-45.1530163.1E-41.1237934E-43.1984213E-47.197142E-42.2502174.0E-40.00136735970.0038871310.0045047211.15888076.2E-40.0135897680.0384374750.0392932671.02226458.9E-4
7.92.1469694E-55.7884805E-53.378686E-45.83691362.8E-49.200973E-52.4805416E-45.9796736E-42.41063213.5E-40.00111964280.003015880.00355425151.17851225.4E-40.0111401840.0301532650.0309097451.02508787.8E-4
8.01.2420249E-53.1321662E-51.3131853E-44.19257831.0E-45.322855E-51.342288E-42.542127E-41.8938761.2E-46.478649E-40.00163301160.00179275031.09781851.6E-40.00645979350.016523690.0167597251.01428462.4E-4
8.14.9197724E-67.822525E-67.822525E-61.00.02.1084568E-53.3524673E-53.3524673E-51.00.02.566744E-44.080866E-44.080866E-41.00.00.0025637810.0043845570.0043845571.00.0
8.22.5634774E-62.9065757E-62.9065757E-61.00.01.0986286E-51.2456694E-51.2456694E-51.00.01.3374983E-41.5164974E-41.5164974E-41.00.00.00133669340.0017049410.0017049411.00.0
8.35.2850464E-73.2080476E-73.2080476E-71.00.02.2650179E-61.3748769E-61.3748769E-61.00.02.7576245E-51.673901E-51.673901E-51.00.02.7572823E-41.986671E-41.986671E-41.00.0

Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6707214E-51.867027E-52.9866505E-415.9968262.8E-47.160038E-58.001303E-54.899802E-46.12375554.1E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.00175297131.80026277.8E-40.008679770.0096954960.0108343471.11746180.00115
6.11.6707214E-51.867027E-52.9866505E-415.9968262.8E-47.160038E-58.001303E-54.899802E-46.12375554.1E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.00175297131.80026277.8E-40.008679770.0096954960.0108343471.11746180.00115
6.21.6707214E-51.867027E-52.9866505E-415.9968262.8E-47.160038E-58.001303E-54.899802E-46.12375554.1E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.00175297131.80026277.8E-40.008679770.0096954960.0108343471.11746180.00115
6.31.6707214E-51.867027E-52.9866505E-415.9968262.8E-47.160038E-58.001303E-54.899802E-46.12375554.1E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.00175297131.80026277.8E-40.008679770.0096954960.0108343471.11746180.00115
6.41.5515609E-51.7338214E-52.6733387E-415.4187682.5E-46.649377E-57.4304546E-54.3427778E-45.84456543.6E-48.0926094E-49.042885E-40.00156369171.72919566.6E-40.0080632020.0090067730.0099779461.1078279.8E-4
6.51.5515609E-51.7338214E-52.6733387E-415.4187682.5E-46.649377E-57.4304546E-54.3427778E-45.84456543.6E-48.0926094E-49.042885E-40.00156369171.72919566.6E-40.0080632020.0090067730.0099779461.1078279.8E-4
6.61.5041828E-51.6809145E-52.568051E-415.2777022.4E-46.4463384E-57.203723E-54.2201203E-45.8582483.5E-47.8455906E-48.767063E-40.00151614521.7293656.4E-40.007817950.0087331320.0096649231.1066969.4E-4
6.71.4634985E-51.6356016E-52.4635225E-415.0618732.3E-46.271985E-57.009536E-54.0007223E-45.7075423.3E-47.6334673E-48.5308263E-40.00146256221.71444386.1E-40.0076072990.0084987150.00940098151.1061659.1E-4
6.81.4209158E-51.5882048E-52.3587856E-414.8518982.2E-46.089497E-56.8064175E-53.5804443E-45.2603952.9E-47.4114406E-48.2837185E-40.0013879081.67546495.6E-40.0073867710.0082534560.0090865231.10093568.4E-4
6.91.3780098E-51.5404594E-52.2540135E-414.6320882.1E-45.9056227E-56.6018045E-53.4599955E-45.2409852.8E-47.1877235E-48.0347876E-40.00135303681.68397345.5E-40.00716451930.0080063320.0088197671.1015998.2E-4
7.01.3585064E-51.5188155E-51.9518542E-412.851161.8E-45.8220405E-56.50905E-53.1507423E-44.8405562.5E-47.086029E-47.9219416E-40.00131178231.65588475.2E-40.0070634760.0078942930.0086582151.09676897.7E-4
7.11.3398601E-51.49813395E-51.9497864E-413.0147671.8E-45.742131E-56.420419E-53.0418878E-44.7378342.4E-46.9888023E-47.8141113E-40.00128102051.6393685.0E-40.00696686380.0077872240.0085214621.09428747.4E-4
7.21.3126312E-51.4679561E-51.7467722E-411.8993481.6E-45.6254412E-56.291092E-52.728977E-44.33784342.1E-46.846822E-47.6567667E-40.00122532451.60031584.6E-40.0068257650.007630970.0083057811.08843056.8E-4
7.31.2922429E-51.4453788E-51.7445147E-412.0696021.6E-45.5380664E-56.194336E-52.6193098E-44.22855572.0E-46.74051E-47.53905E-40.00117358831.55667944.2E-40.0067201010.0075140550.00812939651.0818926.2E-4
7.41.2768878E-51.4283772E-51.6428164E-411.5012781.5E-45.4722615E-56.1214756E-52.5120314E-44.10363671.9E-46.660441E-47.4504025E-40.00115473481.54989594.1E-40.00664051440.00742600350.00803147351.08153386.1E-4
7.51.2521929E-51.40120155E-51.3401033E-49.5639591.2E-45.366431E-56.005014E-52.2004053E-43.664281.6E-46.531671E-47.3087064E-40.0011105931.51954783.8E-40.0065125060.00728524570.007861021.0790335.8E-4
7.61.1301089E-51.2648149E-51.12646885E-48.9061961.0E-44.8432343E-55.4205255E-51.9419767E-43.58263541.4E-45.895042E-46.5975444E-49.995302E-41.51500323.4E-40.00587942820.006578510.0071149581.08154555.4E-4
7.79.189108E-61.0283358E-56.0282844E-55.8621755.0E-53.93813E-54.407082E-51.240673E-42.815188.0E-54.7936183E-45.3643517E-47.2633324E-41.35400011.9E-40.0047832910.0053519140.0057099871.06690563.6E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-71.0364823E-528.4103071.0E-51.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.1563524E-57.39573431.0E-51.80467E-51.9035933E-52.9035744E-51.52531231.0E-51.8045233E-41.9034347E-42.0034157E-41.05252661.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

Helendale-So Lockhart

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7296055E-51.8103729E-52.9809866E-416.4661462.8E-47.412385E-57.7585224E-54.775542E-46.1552214.0E-49.0208417E-49.4421144E-40.00166353161.7618217.2E-40.0089843110.0094041160.0103947121.10533640.001
6.11.7296055E-51.8103729E-52.9809866E-416.4661462.8E-47.412385E-57.7585224E-54.775542E-46.1552214.0E-49.0208417E-49.4421144E-40.00166353161.7618217.2E-40.0089843110.0094041160.0103947121.10533640.001
6.21.7296055E-51.8103729E-52.9809866E-416.4661462.8E-47.412385E-57.7585224E-54.775542E-46.1552214.0E-49.0208417E-49.4421144E-40.00166353161.7618217.2E-40.0089843110.0094041160.0103947121.10533640.001
6.31.0669118E-51.1135425E-51.8113352E-416.2664241.7E-44.5723988E-54.772239E-52.7771143E-45.81931072.3E-45.5654737E-45.80868E-49.806356E-41.68822464.0E-40.00555155570.00579379360.00639031731.1029596.0E-4
6.41.0669118E-51.1135425E-51.8113352E-416.2664241.7E-44.5723988E-54.772239E-52.7771143E-45.81931072.3E-45.5654737E-45.80868E-49.806356E-41.68822464.0E-40.00555155570.00579379360.00639031731.1029596.0E-4
6.58.790038E-69.170197E-61.39169E-415.1762291.3E-43.767105E-53.930026E-52.292928E-45.83438351.9E-44.585485E-44.7837716E-48.2820974E-41.73129023.5E-40.00457603440.0047736380.0052413951.09798744.7E-4
6.67.396949E-67.715537E-61.3771454E-417.848991.3E-43.1700827E-53.3066175E-52.1306022E-46.44344951.8E-43.858892E-44.025073E-47.1238255E-41.76986233.1E-40.0038521980.004017890.00443620231.10411254.2E-4
6.76.4600285E-66.738031E-61.2673723E-418.8092371.2E-42.7685543E-52.887696E-51.8887233E-46.54058931.6E-43.3701936E-43.5152107E-46.2142615E-41.76782062.7E-40.00336508690.0035097320.00387843331.10505123.7E-4
6.85.600104E-65.836009E-66.583566E-511.2809386.0E-52.4000226E-52.5011232E-51.1500898E-44.59829339.0E-52.9216358E-43.044698E-44.94412E-41.62384561.9E-40.00291779750.0030405880.00332970641.09508632.9E-4
6.94.839122E-65.0395092E-66.503921E-512.9058616.0E-52.0738931E-52.159772E-51.0159599E-44.7040158.0E-52.5246723E-42.6292098E-44.328763E-41.64641211.7E-40.0025218060.0026261470.00288546391.09874442.6E-4
7.03.6937633E-63.845208E-65.3845015E-514.0031485.0E-51.5830317E-51.647936E-58.6478205E-55.2476687.0E-51.9271708E-42.0061806E-43.3059198E-41.64786761.3E-40.00192550030.0020044010.00219402021.09460141.9E-4
7.12.7858857E-62.8978538E-62.2897795E-57.90163952.0E-51.1939455E-51.2419316E-55.2418818E-54.22074944.0E-51.4535317E-41.511949E-42.4118129E-41.59516829.0E-50.00145258140.00151094180.00164074531.0859091.3E-4
7.22.1672065E-62.2540128E-61.22539905E-55.4365221.0E-59.2879945E-69.66002E-63.965973E-54.10555363.0E-51.1307546E-41.1760458E-41.8759635E-41.59514497.0E-50.00113017940.00117544170.00125534761.06797968.0E-5
7.31.4823496E-61.5422102E-61.1542194E-57.48419051.0E-56.3529114E-66.6094562E-62.6609325E-54.02594762.0E-57.734395E-58.046731E-51.3046329E-41.62132045.0E-57.731704E-48.0439687E-48.543567E-41.06210845.0E-5
7.44.2321457E-74.4108765E-74.4108765E-71.00.01.8137755E-61.8903745E-61.8903745E-61.00.02.2082493E-52.3015113E-52.3015113E-51.00.02.2080299E-42.3013182E-42.3013182E-41.00.0
7.55.6942316E-85.9415648E-85.9415648E-81.00.02.440385E-72.5463845E-72.5463845E-71.00.02.9711643E-63.1002196E-63.1002196E-61.00.02.9711247E-53.1001844E-53.1001844E-51.00.0

San Andreas (Big Bend)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0179969E-42.0073925E-43.8070313E-41.89650561.8E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00113978761.32529072.8E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0109453361.05032965.3E-40.0517340970.1014559050.102183731.00717388.1E-4
6.11.0179969E-42.0073925E-43.8070313E-41.89650561.8E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00113978761.32529072.8E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0109453361.05032965.3E-40.0517340970.1014559050.102183731.00717388.1E-4
6.21.0179969E-42.0073925E-43.8070313E-41.89650561.8E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00113978761.32529072.8E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0109453361.05032965.3E-40.0517340970.1014559050.102183731.00717388.1E-4
6.31.0179969E-42.0073925E-43.8070313E-41.89650561.8E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00113978761.32529072.8E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0109453361.05032965.3E-40.0517340970.1014559050.102183731.00717388.1E-4
6.49.1639464E-51.8430917E-42.8429073E-41.54246661.0E-43.9268145E-47.896575E-49.395391E-41.18980571.5E-40.00477042050.0095718180.009898661.03414623.3E-40.0466930640.093786950.094212871.00454144.7E-4
6.59.1639464E-51.8430917E-42.8429073E-41.54246661.0E-43.9268145E-47.896575E-49.395391E-41.18980571.5E-40.00477042050.0095718180.009898661.03414623.3E-40.0466930640.093786950.094212871.00454144.7E-4
6.69.042622E-51.8238011E-42.8236187E-41.54820541.0E-43.8748336E-47.813951E-49.3127793E-41.19181431.5E-40.00470740950.00947210.0097989741.03450923.3E-40.0460893250.092877210.093303561.00459044.7E-4
6.78.9836685E-51.8152347E-42.8150532E-41.55079291.0E-43.8495753E-47.7772595E-49.2760933E-41.19271991.5E-40.004676790.0094278150.0097547031.03467293.3E-40.0457958170.092471480.092898021.00461274.7E-4
6.88.9471854E-51.8099119E-42.809731E-41.55241311.0E-43.8339442E-47.754462E-49.2532986E-41.1932871.5E-40.0046578410.0094002980.0097172891.03372143.2E-40.045614140.09221920.092636791.00452824.6E-4
6.98.858234E-51.7981093E-42.5979654E-41.44483188.0E-53.7958333E-47.7039085E-49.002907E-41.16861551.3E-40.0046116380.0093392780.0096364771.03182243.0E-40.045171030.091659110.092049691.00426134.3E-4
7.08.7433385E-51.7819891E-42.5818465E-41.44885668.0E-53.746607E-47.6348626E-48.93387E-41.17014161.3E-40.0045519570.0092559320.0095531551.03211163.0E-40.0445983860.090893230.091284141.00430084.3E-4
7.18.684964E-51.7731842E-42.5730423E-41.45108588.0E-53.7215967E-47.597149E-48.896162E-41.17098681.3E-40.00452163350.0092104050.0094878261.03012042.8E-40.044307310.090474750.0908476561.00412174.1E-4
7.28.606521E-51.7622454E-42.5621045E-41.45388638.0E-53.6879873E-47.550296E-48.849314E-41.17204871.3E-40.00448088350.0091538420.0094312781.03030822.8E-40.0439160240.089955180.0903191941.00404674.0E-4
7.38.568266E-51.7564454E-42.556305E-41.45538538.0E-53.6715972E-47.5254537E-48.824475E-41.17261711.3E-40.00446101050.009123850.0094012951.03040872.8E-40.0437251480.089676230.090040361.00406054.0E-4
7.48.5432206E-51.752704E-42.5525637E-41.45635768.0E-53.6608664E-47.509428E-48.808452E-41.17298571.3E-40.0044479990.0091045010.0093819531.03047412.8E-40.0436001570.089496420.089860621.00406944.0E-4
7.58.4791965E-51.7396381E-42.539499E-41.45978578.0E-53.633435E-47.4534636E-48.7524945E-41.17428551.3E-40.00441473770.0090369320.0093144021.0307042.8E-40.0432805750.088872090.089227431.00399833.9E-4
7.68.241105E-51.6841735E-42.4840387E-41.47493058.0E-53.531424E-47.2158914E-48.514953E-41.1800281.3E-40.00429103520.0087500470.0090275971.03171982.8E-40.0420911760.086250320.086606681.00413173.9E-4
7.77.00432E-51.4205615E-41.9204905E-41.35192355.0E-53.001506E-46.0867006E-46.8862137E-41.13135418.0E-50.00364821120.00738541740.00759386641.02822452.1E-40.0358889770.073522990.073791671.00365442.9E-4
7.86.415362E-51.2969968E-41.696945E-41.30836474.0E-52.749151E-45.557374E-46.1570405E-41.10790476.0E-50.00334195470.00674514150.00692392751.02650581.8E-40.032921410.067255140.067488331.00346722.5E-4
7.94.939911E-59.341721E-51.2341441E-41.32110993.0E-52.116933E-44.0029807E-44.4028208E-41.09988564.0E-50.00257431950.0048627470.00498216371.02455741.2E-40.0254470130.0489158030.0490774851.00330531.7E-4
8.03.344983E-55.2228E-57.2226954E-51.38291632.0E-51.4334853E-42.2381509E-42.4381062E-41.08933952.0E-50.00174387110.00272154530.00277140921.01832195.0E-50.0173024960.0279231610.0280009281.0027858.0E-5
8.11.9104898E-51.9171663E-52.917147E-51.52159321.0E-58.1875565E-58.2161685E-59.216086E-51.12170121.0E-59.963791E-49.9986E-40.001019841.01998282.0E-50.0099192350.0107495520.0107693371.00184062.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Coyote Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.980352E-52.1706745E-52.4170197E-411.1348792.2E-48.486947E-59.302599E-53.7299996E-44.0096312.8E-40.00103279590.00113207510.00161153171.42352024.8E-40.0102800910.0112702580.0120810171.07193798.2E-4
6.11.980352E-52.1706745E-52.4170197E-411.1348792.2E-48.486947E-59.302599E-53.7299996E-44.0096312.8E-40.00103279590.00113207510.00161153171.42352024.8E-40.0102800910.0112702580.0120810171.07193798.2E-4
6.21.980352E-52.1706745E-52.4170197E-411.1348792.2E-48.486947E-59.302599E-53.7299996E-44.0096312.8E-40.00103279590.00113207510.00161153171.42352024.8E-40.0102800910.0112702580.0120810171.07193798.2E-4
6.31.5344787E-51.682067E-52.2681714E-413.484432.1E-46.576172E-57.2086936E-53.320682E-44.60649632.6E-48.003548E-48.773662E-40.00128700651.46689774.1E-40.0079747840.008745070.009448861.08047857.1E-4
6.41.5344787E-51.682067E-52.2681714E-413.484432.1E-46.576172E-57.2086936E-53.320682E-44.60649632.6E-48.003548E-48.773662E-40.00128700651.46689774.1E-40.0079747840.008745070.009448861.08047857.1E-4
6.51.4189697E-51.5557987E-52.1555487E-413.8549342.0E-46.081157E-56.6675726E-53.1665905E-44.7492412.5E-47.401293E-48.115349E-40.00121121031.49249324.0E-40.00737669130.0080916560.0087661541.08335726.8E-4
6.61.3469301E-51.4771577E-52.1476862E-414.5393152.0E-45.7724297E-56.330556E-53.0329038E-44.7908962.4E-47.025667E-47.7053264E-40.00116023211.50575343.9E-40.00700349640.00768451440.0083394421.0852276.6E-4
6.71.3027966E-51.4281745E-51.8427931E-412.9031371.7E-45.5832945E-56.120638E-52.7119354E-44.43080472.1E-46.7955407E-47.4499263E-40.00109473191.46945333.5E-40.0067747980.00743082860.008026371.08014466.0E-4
6.85.695434E-66.2244176E-67.622398E-512.2459627.0E-52.4408775E-52.6675973E-51.0667384E-43.99887358.0E-52.971363E-43.2476155E-44.3472584E-41.33861.1E-40.00296739330.00324581050.00345512881.06448882.1E-4
6.94.385688E-64.7930553E-66.4792766E-513.5180516.0E-51.879567E-52.0541665E-59.054023E-54.4076387.0E-52.2881327E-42.5009477E-43.4007226E-41.35977359.0E-50.0022857780.00250094780.00267052281.06780421.7E-4

Death Valley (No)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0074807E-52.2500084E-51.4249739E-46.33319331.2E-48.603206E-59.642541E-52.66409E-42.76285081.7E-40.0010469370.00117335450.00157288511.3405034.0E-40.0104201830.0116725060.012285271.05249636.2E-4
6.12.0074807E-52.2500084E-51.4249739E-46.33319331.2E-48.603206E-59.642541E-52.66409E-42.76285081.7E-40.0010469370.00117335450.00157288511.3405034.0E-40.0104201830.0116725060.012285271.05249636.2E-4
6.22.0074807E-52.2500084E-51.4249739E-46.33319331.2E-48.603206E-59.642541E-52.66409E-42.76285081.7E-40.0010469370.00117335450.00157288511.3405034.0E-40.0104201830.0116725060.012285271.05249636.2E-4
6.31.9050609E-52.1336948E-51.4133439E-46.6239271.2E-48.164292E-59.1440896E-52.6142536E-42.85895441.7E-49.935491E-40.0011127310.00151228591.35907594.0E-40.0098911880.0110724190.0116855541.0553756.2E-4
6.41.9050609E-52.1336948E-51.4133439E-46.6239271.2E-48.164292E-59.1440896E-52.6142536E-42.85895441.7E-49.935491E-40.0011127310.00151228591.35907594.0E-40.0098911880.0110724190.0116855541.0553756.2E-4
6.51.8367004E-52.0561009E-51.4055854E-46.83616971.2E-47.8713354E-58.811567E-52.5810068E-42.92911241.7E-49.5791375E-40.00107228690.00146186861.36331873.9E-40.0095379510.01067191550.0112655131.05562236.0E-4
6.61.779439E-51.9910927E-51.3990854E-47.0267211.2E-47.625944E-58.53298E-52.5531527E-42.99210021.7E-49.280632E-40.00103840150.00142799661.37518733.9E-40.0092419690.0103362530.0109300511.05744816.0E-4
6.71.7025437E-51.9043426E-51.3904113E-47.3012671.2E-47.296412E-58.161216E-52.5159828E-43.08285281.7E-48.87976E-49.931813E-40.0013827941.39228753.9E-40.0088443620.0098881450.01048221251.06007876.0E-4
6.81.6545107E-51.8512545E-51.3851032E-47.4819711.2E-47.090568E-57.93371E-52.393244E-43.0165511.6E-48.629347E-49.655073E-40.00134514041.39319553.8E-40.0085959150.0096138290.0101981561.06077995.9E-4
6.91.615478E-51.8087594E-51.3808542E-47.63426161.2E-46.9232934E-57.751599E-52.3750358E-43.06393031.6E-48.4258494E-49.433546E-40.00132299621.40243783.8E-40.0083939730.0093941960.0099786531.06221475.9E-4
7.01.5894311E-51.780555E-51.378034E-47.73935171.2E-46.81167E-57.6307304E-52.3629509E-43.09662491.6E-48.2900526E-49.286515E-40.00130829861.40881553.8E-40.0082591950.0092483970.0098329411.06320495.9E-4
7.11.5602263E-51.7483504E-51.374814E-47.8634931.2E-46.6865134E-57.492718E-52.3491519E-43.13524651.6E-48.137789E-49.118627E-40.00129151621.41634943.8E-40.0081080520.0090818940.0096665361.06437445.9E-4
7.21.5323829E-51.717063E-51.3716856E-47.9885581.2E-46.56719E-57.358637E-52.335746E-43.17415571.6E-47.99262E-48.9555193E-40.00127521161.42393933.8E-40.0079639340.0089201070.00950484351.06555275.9E-4
7.31.4556212E-51.6302456E-51.2630066E-47.74733971.1E-46.238227E-56.9865826E-52.1985534E-43.14682251.5E-47.592395E-48.5029035E-40.00121997581.43477553.7E-40.00756650740.0084710140.0090361861.06671835.7E-4
7.41.411725E-51.580796E-51.2580623E-47.958411.1E-46.0501097E-56.7746674E-52.1773651E-43.2139811.5E-47.363519E-48.245094E-40.00119420431.44838173.7E-40.00733916740.0082151380.0087804551.06881425.7E-4
7.51.3503312E-51.5126289E-51.2512463E-48.2719971.1E-45.7870053E-56.482538E-52.1481565E-43.31375861.5E-47.043401E-47.8896893E-40.0011586771.46859653.7E-40.0070211190.0078623040.0084278231.07192785.7E-4
7.61.1279839E-51.2626327E-51.0262519E-48.1278739.0E-54.834127E-55.4111737E-51.841047E-43.40230631.3E-45.88396E-46.5861654E-49.883993E-41.50072033.3E-40.0058684050.0065671990.0070937181.08017415.3E-4
7.79.189108E-61.0283358E-56.0282844E-55.8621755.0E-53.93813E-54.407082E-51.240673E-42.815188.0E-54.7936183E-45.3643517E-47.2633324E-41.35400011.9E-40.0047832910.0053519140.0057099871.06690563.6E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-71.0364823E-528.4103071.0E-51.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.1563524E-57.39573431.0E-51.80467E-51.9035933E-52.9035744E-51.52531231.0E-51.8045233E-41.9034347E-42.0034157E-41.05252661.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.31567E-52.3384395E-44.2379953E-41.81231761.9E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.00124156211.23932812.4E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0124842561.02932193.6E-40.0424638280.112581870.113043331.00409895.2E-4
6.18.31567E-52.3384395E-44.2379953E-41.81231761.9E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.00124156211.23932812.4E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0124842561.02932193.6E-40.0424638280.112581870.113043331.00409895.2E-4
6.28.31567E-52.3384395E-44.2379953E-41.81231761.9E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.00124156211.23932812.4E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0124842561.02932193.6E-40.0424638280.112581870.113043331.00409895.2E-4
6.38.31567E-52.3384395E-44.2379953E-41.81231761.9E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.00124156211.23932812.4E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0124842561.02932193.6E-40.0424638280.112581870.113043331.00409895.2E-4
6.48.059055E-52.2941893E-44.1937534E-41.82798921.9E-43.4534236E-49.828559E-40.001222621.24394632.4E-40.00419643940.0119008190.0122565351.02989013.6E-40.0411807450.1105629650.111025471.00418325.2E-4
6.58.059055E-52.2941893E-44.1937534E-41.82798921.9E-43.4534236E-49.828559E-40.001222621.24394632.4E-40.00419643940.0119008190.0122565351.02989013.6E-40.0411807450.1105629650.111025471.00418325.2E-4
6.67.619237E-52.2186468E-44.0182474E-41.81112541.8E-43.2649786E-49.5050444E-40.00118028581.24174682.3E-40.00396786770.01151153350.0118575051.03005433.5E-40.038977640.107099540.107554921.0042525.1E-4
6.77.440636E-52.1862281E-43.9858345E-41.82315591.8E-43.188454E-49.3662075E-40.00116640531.24533372.3E-40.00387503460.0113442680.0116902971.03050263.5E-40.0380815640.10560810.106064241.00431925.1E-4
6.87.3735864E-52.1709445E-43.9705538E-41.82895221.8E-43.1597257E-49.300753E-40.00114987071.236322.2E-40.00384018150.0112654060.0116015771.0298413.4E-40.037744950.1049096960.105357241.0042665.0E-4
6.97.27575E-52.1478413E-43.9474547E-41.83787071.8E-43.117806E-49.20181E-40.00113997851.23886332.2E-40.0037893230.0111461820.0114823921.03016383.4E-40.0372535620.103857530.10430561.00431435.0E-4
7.07.102591E-52.1062451E-43.905866E-41.85442141.8E-43.0436125E-49.023664E-40.00112216791.24358342.2E-40.0036993030.0109314840.0112677671.03076283.4E-40.036383250.1019595340.102408561.0044045.0E-4
7.17.028513E-52.0898094E-43.8894333E-41.86114261.8E-43.0118722E-48.953274E-40.00111513041.24550022.2E-40.00366078970.0108466410.0111829531.03100613.4E-40.0360106860.101202430.101651831.00444055.0E-4
7.26.8498244E-52.050596E-43.850227E-41.87761351.8E-42.9353087E-48.7853306E-40.00109833981.25019742.2E-40.0035678830.01064418350.0109805641.03160243.4E-40.0351114050.099394490.099835791.00443984.9E-4
7.36.622592E-51.9733235E-43.7729685E-41.91198671.8E-42.8379448E-48.4543816E-40.00106525211.26000012.2E-40.00344972430.0102451110.0105717291.03188053.3E-40.0339666120.0958912450.096325221.00452574.8E-4
7.45.1050705E-51.4690042E-43.0687693E-42.0890131.6E-42.1877038E-46.294222E-48.292963E-41.31755172.0E-40.0026602760.0076364820.00794411451.04028463.1E-40.026286540.072865540.073292021.0058534.6E-4
7.53.9302922E-51.11307076E-42.7128926E-42.43730471.6E-41.6843023E-44.7694342E-46.7684805E-41.4191372.0E-40.00204870920.00579139540.00607971571.04978432.9E-40.0202992470.056011510.0564079841.00707844.2E-4
7.62.9851626E-58.4956984E-52.449434E-42.8831461.6E-41.2792926E-43.6405068E-45.6397787E-41.54917412.0E-40.00155642590.00442333470.0047120521.06527142.9E-40.01545569950.0431961450.0435980041.00930314.2E-4
7.72.1135214E-56.353527E-52.235251E-43.51812621.6E-49.0576345E-52.722656E-44.7221116E-41.73437682.0E-40.00110220910.00330980080.0035988411.08732862.9E-40.0109675820.032584560.0329908771.01246954.2E-4
7.81.883379E-55.564576E-52.056374E-43.69547321.5E-48.0713755E-52.3846005E-44.1841713E-41.75466351.8E-49.822468E-40.0028993890.00316860621.09285312.7E-40.00977916550.0286969780.02908551.01353874.0E-4
7.91.5156185E-54.1662403E-51.8165658E-44.36020371.4E-46.495346E-51.7854095E-43.485106E-41.95199251.7E-47.9052144E-40.00217157040.00243100571.1194692.6E-40.0078771520.0217609460.0221228931.01663293.7E-4
8.01.1405907E-52.9976925E-51.0997453E-43.66863928.0E-54.8881542E-51.2846621E-42.1845466E-41.70048339.0E-55.9497025E-40.00156295510.00169275191.08304571.3E-40.0059337980.0157740130.01598071.0131032.1E-4
8.14.3511436E-67.369465E-67.369465E-61.00.01.8647626E-53.158304E-53.158304E-51.00.02.2701119E-43.844558E-43.844558E-41.00.00.00226779420.00411654450.00411654451.00.0
8.22.3042528E-62.7328301E-62.7328301E-61.00.09.875332E-61.1712076E-51.1712076E-51.00.01.2022553E-41.4258524E-41.4258524E-41.00.00.00120160510.00159796370.00159796371.00.0
8.35.202968E-73.1590292E-73.1590292E-71.00.02.2298414E-61.353869E-61.353869E-61.00.02.714798E-51.6483244E-51.6483244E-51.00.02.7144665E-41.955901E-41.955901E-41.00.0

Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6204086E-42.937271E-44.1369183E-41.40842251.2E-46.94276E-40.00125837780.00143815131.14286121.8E-40.0084200970.01523461750.0154808091.016162.5E-40.0810811450.139624540.13999451.00264974.3E-4
6.11.6204086E-42.937271E-44.1369183E-41.40842251.2E-46.94276E-40.00125837780.00143815131.14286121.8E-40.0084200970.01523461750.0154808091.016162.5E-40.0810811450.139624540.13999451.00264974.3E-4
6.21.6204086E-42.937271E-44.1369183E-41.40842251.2E-46.94276E-40.00125837780.00143815131.14286121.8E-40.0084200970.01523461750.0154808091.016162.5E-40.0810811450.139624540.13999451.00264974.3E-4
6.31.0111737E-41.7703463E-42.5702047E-41.4518098.0E-54.332882E-47.5861585E-48.7852485E-41.15806281.2E-40.0052625310.00921772050.0093960611.01934751.8E-40.05139640.087073930.087356941.00325023.1E-4
6.41.0111737E-41.7703463E-42.5702047E-41.4518098.0E-54.332882E-47.5861585E-48.7852485E-41.15806281.2E-40.0052625310.00921772050.0093960611.01934751.8E-40.05139640.087073930.087356941.00325023.1E-4
6.53.6624708E-54.6391986E-58.639013E-51.8621784.0E-51.569536E-41.9880968E-42.4879974E-41.25144685.0E-50.0019092350.00241818140.0024880121.02887747.0E-50.018929150.0236970610.0237751661.00329598.0E-5
6.62.5051324E-52.6147465E-54.6146943E-51.76487262.0E-51.073584E-41.12056E-41.3205376E-41.17846212.0E-50.00130630470.00136347250.00138344521.01464842.0E-50.0129865250.0135657590.0135854881.00145442.0E-5
6.72.2189772E-52.2072489E-54.207205E-51.90608532.0E-59.509556E-59.459316E-51.1459127E-41.21141182.0E-50.00115717340.00115109960.00117107661.01735472.0E-50.0115116630.01146632250.01148609351.00172422.0E-5
6.81.6654378E-51.44376E-53.443731E-52.38525182.0E-57.137396E-56.187399E-58.187275E-51.32321762.0E-58.686314E-47.5306057E-47.730455E-41.02653832.0E-50.0086524390.00751007630.0075299261.00264312.0E-5
6.91.5042909E-51.2331886E-53.2331638E-52.6217922.0E-56.446802E-55.2849886E-57.284883E-51.37841032.0E-57.8461546E-46.4326054E-46.6324766E-41.03107152.0E-50.0078185090.0064179250.00643779661.00309622.0E-5
7.01.4361385E-51.1451172E-53.145094E-52.74652622.0E-56.154734E-54.9075545E-56.9074566E-51.40751492.0E-57.490812E-45.973339E-46.1732193E-41.03346222.0E-50.0074656120.0059609820.0059808631.00333512.0E-5
7.11.3265571E-51.0244736E-53.024453E-52.95220232.0E-55.6851208E-54.3905282E-56.390441E-51.45550612.0E-56.919436E-45.344183E-45.544076E-41.03740382.0E-50.0068979310.00533460030.0053544941.00372912.0E-5
7.21.1596403E-58.504847E-68.504847E-61.00.04.9697923E-53.6448844E-53.6448844E-51.00.06.049042E-44.4367602E-44.4367602E-41.00.00.0060326030.0044293570.0044293571.00.0
7.31.0150827E-57.238537E-67.238537E-61.00.04.3502816E-53.102194E-53.102194E-51.00.05.2951806E-43.776281E-43.776281E-41.00.00.0052825810.0037702710.0037702711.00.0
7.49.080705E-66.352307E-66.352307E-61.00.03.8916725E-52.7223898E-52.7223898E-51.00.04.7370812E-43.314019E-43.314019E-41.00.00.0047269960.00330922570.00330922571.00.0
7.57.671649E-65.225419E-65.225419E-61.00.03.287808E-52.2394468E-52.2394468E-51.00.04.0021708E-42.7261977E-42.7261977E-41.00.00.00399497060.00272297840.00272297841.00.0
7.66.990086E-64.687336E-64.687336E-61.00.02.9957167E-52.0088435E-52.0088435E-51.00.03.6466747E-42.445504E-42.445504E-41.00.00.00364069640.00244292920.00244292921.00.0
7.74.163505E-62.329331E-62.329331E-61.00.01.7843471E-59.982813E-69.982813E-61.00.02.172226E-41.2153471E-41.2153471E-41.00.00.00217010380.00121475550.00121475551.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.384417E-89.384417E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0218927E-74.0218927E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8966467E-64.8966467E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8965718E-54.8965718E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4397174E-93.4397174E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4741646E-81.4741646E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.7947953E-71.7947953E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.794794E-61.794794E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Parkfield)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.556969E-47.778562E-48.877707E-41.14130431.1E-40.00237938480.00332995830.00350935871.05387471.8E-40.0285869630.0402350430.0405133741.00691762.9E-40.251762840.33719730.337502181.00090424.6E-4
6.11.925858E-43.0278185E-43.6276368E-41.19810256.0E-58.2510663E-40.0012970850.00138696821.06929649.0E-50.00999948850.015773930.0159314051.00998331.6E-40.0956132560.149758250.14996231.00136262.4E-4
6.29.4306815E-51.8243887E-42.4242792E-41.32881726.0E-54.0410945E-47.8164786E-48.715775E-41.11505149.0E-50.00490893840.0094752460.009633731.01672611.6E-40.0480190630.09185650.092065381.00227392.3E-4
6.39.283051E-51.794041E-42.3939334E-41.33438056.0E-53.9778434E-47.686494E-48.5858017E-41.11699869.0E-50.00483227470.0093183550.0094768641.01701051.6E-40.0472853850.0905094740.090718661.00231122.3E-4
6.49.138826E-51.7702584E-42.370152E-41.33887366.0E-53.916052E-47.5846276E-48.4839447E-41.1185719.0E-50.00475737450.0091953870.0093539161.017241.6E-40.0465680920.08941360.0896230341.00234232.3E-4
6.59.000255E-51.746064E-42.3459591E-41.343576.0E-53.8566816E-47.4809964E-48.3803234E-41.12021489.0E-50.00468540470.0090702840.0092288331.017481.6E-40.0458784030.088296080.088505771.00237492.3E-4
6.68.8109264E-51.7141816E-42.3140787E-41.34996136.0E-53.7755648E-47.3444354E-48.2437746E-41.12245189.0E-50.00458706540.0089054040.009063981.01780661.6E-40.044935290.086827070.08703711.0024192.3E-4
6.78.738073E-51.7008898E-42.3007879E-41.35269656.0E-53.7443507E-47.287503E-48.1868476E-41.1234099.0E-50.00454922160.0088366950.0089952811.01794641.6E-40.044572130.08622680.0864369651.00243742.3E-4
6.88.710195E-51.6954402E-42.2953385E-41.35383056.0E-53.7324068E-47.26416E-48.163506E-41.1238069.0E-50.00453474050.0088085130.0089671031.01800431.6E-40.044433130.085974360.086184581.00244522.3E-4
6.98.6801556E-51.6895356E-42.2894342E-41.35506716.0E-53.7195362E-47.238869E-48.1382174E-41.12423889.0E-50.00451913570.00877796950.0089365651.01806751.6E-40.0442833270.085700420.085910711.00245382.3E-4
7.08.5571606E-51.664819E-42.2647191E-41.36033956.0E-53.6668387E-47.132999E-48.032357E-41.12608419.0E-50.0044552410.0086501030.0088087191.01833691.6E-40.0436697270.084548360.0847589151.00249032.3E-4
7.17.82589E-51.5128969E-42.112806E-41.39653026.0E-53.3535215E-46.4822397E-47.3816563E-41.13875099.0E-50.00407527060.0078637380.008022481.02018651.6E-40.0400134180.0774604450.077672631.00273932.3E-4
7.27.690929E-51.4866212E-42.0865319E-41.40353986.0E-53.2956956E-46.369685E-47.269112E-41.14120429.0E-50.0040051290.00772768260.0078864461.02054481.6E-40.03933710.076233410.076445881.0027872.3E-4
7.37.5543794E-51.4562748E-42.0561874E-41.41195016.0E-53.2371894E-46.239692E-47.1391306E-41.14414799.0E-50.0039341570.00757052560.00772931471.02097461.6E-40.0386523340.074797770.075010571.00284492.3E-4
7.47.4214564E-51.4263717E-42.0262861E-41.42058776.0E-53.1802364E-46.1115966E-47.0110464E-41.1471719.0E-50.0038650650.00741564160.0075744551.02141611.6E-40.037985290.073371520.073584651.00290482.3E-4
7.56.149578E-51.1191443E-41.5190995E-41.3573764.0E-52.6352672E-44.795452E-45.4951163E-41.14590177.0E-50.00320371780.0058228650.00596204961.02390311.4E-40.031579230.0585594620.058747751.00321532.0E-4
7.66.0643448E-51.102009E-41.5019649E-41.36293344.0E-52.598746E-44.7220418E-45.421711E-41.1481717.0E-50.00315938280.0057339620.0058731591.02427591.4E-40.0311484170.057720420.0579088741.0032652.0E-4
7.75.1652263E-59.175265E-51.3174898E-41.43591484.0E-52.2134806E-43.9316638E-44.4314674E-41.12712265.0E-50.0026915820.00477630460.00489573131.0250041.2E-40.0265921410.048536410.0486886431.00313651.6E-4
7.84.8090482E-58.560165E-51.1559908E-41.35043053.0E-52.060858E-43.6681266E-44.0679798E-41.10900754.0E-50.00250620720.0044568070.0045663171.02457131.1E-40.0247813050.0453022640.0454454721.00316111.5E-4
7.93.970278E-56.7507375E-58.750602E-51.29624392.0E-51.7014367E-42.8928524E-43.0927945E-41.06911592.0E-50.0020695310.00351636340.00358611741.01983697.0E-50.0205036360.035881760.0359781721.0026871.0E-4
8.02.8982335E-54.0698153E-56.069734E-51.49140272.0E-51.2420409E-41.7440901E-41.9440551E-41.1146532.0E-50.00151113570.00212136280.00217125681.02351985.0E-50.0150090120.022011180.022069861.00266596.0E-5
8.11.8836186E-51.867974E-52.8679553E-51.53532931.0E-58.0724014E-58.005358E-59.0052774E-51.12490631.0E-59.823717E-49.742171E-49.941976E-41.02050942.0E-50.0097804030.0104877110.0105075011.0018872.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Cady

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9892565E-52.1858728E-51.9185501E-48.7770431.7E-48.525106E-59.3677416E-52.9365867E-43.13478642.0E-40.00103743740.00114001670.00142968611.25409222.9E-40.0103260750.0113507010.0118054791.04006614.6E-4
6.11.9892565E-52.1858728E-51.9185501E-48.7770431.7E-48.525106E-59.3677416E-52.9365867E-43.13478642.0E-40.00103743740.00114001670.00142968611.25409222.9E-40.0103260750.0113507010.0118054791.04006614.6E-4
6.21.9892565E-52.1858728E-51.9185501E-48.7770431.7E-48.525106E-59.3677416E-52.9365867E-43.13478642.0E-40.00103743740.00114001670.00142968611.25409222.9E-40.0103260750.0113507010.0118054791.04006614.6E-4
6.31.1117327E-51.2176583E-51.3217512E-410.8548611.2E-44.764482E-55.2184492E-51.8217771E-43.49103161.3E-45.7992124E-46.351925E-48.0508454E-41.26746541.7E-40.00578410220.00633687530.0065852911.03920162.5E-4
6.41.1117327E-51.2176583E-51.3217512E-410.8548611.2E-44.764482E-55.2184492E-51.8217771E-43.49103161.3E-45.7992124E-46.351925E-48.0508454E-41.26746541.7E-40.00578410220.00633687530.0065852911.03920162.5E-4
6.56.103093E-66.672021E-64.6671754E-56.99514534.0E-52.615585E-52.8594131E-56.8592984E-52.39884854.0E-53.1840094E-43.480905E-43.880766E-41.11487274.0E-50.00317945120.00347668650.00354644331.02006417.0E-5
6.65.817237E-66.3656585E-64.6365403E-57.28367764.0E-52.4930776E-52.728118E-56.728009E-52.46617224.0E-53.034899E-43.3211018E-43.720969E-41.1204024.0E-50.00303075770.00331736050.00338712821.02103117.0E-5
6.74.8846314E-65.3405684E-63.5340407E-56.61734963.0E-52.0933967E-52.2888014E-55.2887328E-52.31069973.0E-52.5484123E-42.7863772E-43.0862936E-41.10763673.0E-50.00254549180.00278403910.00283389981.01790955.0E-5
6.81.7788773E-61.9399079E-63.193985E-516.464623.0E-57.6237375E-68.313874E-63.8313625E-54.6083963.0E-59.281505E-51.01218284E-41.3121525E-41.29635923.0E-59.2776294E-40.00101187650.0010518361.03949054.0E-5
6.97.5455404E-78.297092E-78.297092E-71.00.03.233799E-63.5558937E-63.5558937E-61.00.03.937079E-54.3292483E-54.3292483E-51.00.03.9363815E-44.3287344E-44.428691E-41.02309141.0E-5
7.06.8578805E-77.541816E-77.541816E-71.00.02.9390883E-63.2322048E-63.2322048E-61.00.03.578281E-53.9351715E-53.9351715E-51.00.03.577705E-43.9347992E-44.0347598E-41.02540421.0E-5

San Andreas (Carrizo) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.3322218E-41.36990889.0E-55.002454E-40.00104205970.00117192431.1246231.3E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0129198461.02426643.1E-40.05910160.1206402260.121035931.003284.5E-4
6.11.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.3322218E-41.36990889.0E-55.002454E-40.00104205970.00117192431.1246231.3E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0129198461.02426643.1E-40.05910160.1206402260.121035931.003284.5E-4
6.21.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.3322218E-41.36990889.0E-55.002454E-40.00104205970.00117192431.1246231.3E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0129198461.02426643.1E-40.05910160.1206402260.121035931.003284.5E-4
6.31.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.3322218E-41.36990889.0E-55.002454E-40.00104205970.00117192431.1246231.3E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0129198461.02426643.1E-40.05910160.1206402260.121035931.003284.5E-4
6.41.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.3322218E-41.36990889.0E-55.002454E-40.00104205970.00117192431.1246231.3E-40.0060734930.0126137570.0129198461.02426643.1E-40.05910160.1206402260.121035931.003284.5E-4
6.51.13136164E-42.3644442E-43.2642315E-41.38054929.0E-54.847792E-40.00101294120.00114280951.12820911.3E-40.00588622550.0122632710.0125694691.02496873.1E-40.0573273340.117610080.118007161.00337624.5E-4
6.61.13136164E-42.3644442E-43.2642315E-41.38054929.0E-54.847792E-40.00101294120.00114280951.12820911.3E-40.00588622550.0122632710.0125694691.02496873.1E-40.0573273340.117610080.118007161.00337624.5E-4
6.71.1149675E-42.3335687E-43.2333587E-41.38558549.0E-54.777557E-49.997191E-40.00111959911.11991371.2E-40.00580117340.0121040880.0124004571.0244853.0E-40.056520510.11622910.116617961.00334564.4E-4
6.81.1103589E-42.3237852E-43.223576E-41.38720929.0E-54.7578133E-49.955293E-40.00111540981.12041891.2E-40.0057772630.0120536430.0123500271.02458873.0E-40.0562935840.115788940.116177991.003364.4E-4
6.91.1053259E-42.3130233E-43.2128152E-41.38901119.0E-54.7362508E-49.909206E-40.00111080171.12097951.2E-40.00575114970.0119981520.0122945521.02470393.0E-40.056045690.115304450.115693711.0033764.4E-4
7.01.1005377E-42.3031076E-43.2029004E-41.39068649.0E-54.7157376E-49.866742E-40.00110655591.12150071.2E-40.00572630620.0119470210.0122434371.02481093.0E-40.0558097960.114856580.115246041.00339094.4E-4
7.11.0308142E-42.1540876E-43.0538937E-41.41772039.0E-54.417027E-49.228548E-40.0010427441.12991131.2E-40.00536447760.0111781880.011445171.02388422.7E-40.0523681380.108090420.108447191.00330054.0E-4
7.21.0027479E-42.094876E-42.9946875E-41.42952979.0E-54.296783E-48.9749607E-40.00101738841.13358531.2E-40.00521879220.0108725660.011139631.02456322.7E-40.0509792120.105390860.1057487061.00339544.0E-4
7.39.816942E-52.0423878E-42.942204E-41.44057079.0E-54.2065824E-48.7501644E-49.949114E-41.13702021.2E-40.0051094930.0106015720.010868711.02519792.7E-40.0499359850.102975460.103334261.00348444.0E-4
7.49.5634205E-51.9793298E-42.8791517E-41.45460949.0E-54.0979648E-48.4800937E-49.679076E-41.14138781.2E-40.00497786370.0102759010.0105332291.02504192.6E-40.0486782530.1000678840.100418861.00350743.9E-4
7.58.052417E-51.6113915E-42.3112788E-41.43433717.0E-53.4505792E-46.9041376E-47.903447E-41.14474071.0E-40.00419299030.0083734710.0086114621.0284222.4E-40.041147530.0828152450.083136261.00387633.5E-4
7.67.897024E-51.5767086E-42.2765982E-41.44389287.0E-53.384E-46.755574E-47.754899E-41.14792591.0E-40.00411223850.008193970.0084320041.02904992.4E-40.0403696970.081158660.081480261.00396253.5E-4
7.76.707427E-51.3277122E-41.8276459E-41.37653775.0E-52.8742946E-45.688955E-46.2886137E-41.10540756.0E-50.0034938390.00690433850.00708309561.02589061.8E-40.0343941640.069053390.0692954361.00350522.6E-4
7.86.147705E-51.2198445E-41.6197957E-41.32787064.0E-52.6344648E-45.226858E-45.7265966E-41.09560985.0E-50.00320274360.0063451560.0065041411.02505611.6E-40.0315697640.06351720.063732591.0033912.3E-4
7.94.7636717E-58.8802946E-51.18800286E-41.33779663.0E-52.0414138E-43.8052857E-44.1051715E-41.07880773.0E-50.00248258840.0046231010.0047226391.02153051.0E-40.0245503650.0466293660.0467723721.00306691.5E-4
8.03.3554235E-55.2138024E-57.213698E-51.38357722.0E-51.4379594E-42.2342955E-42.4342508E-41.08949362.0E-50.00174930970.0027168630.00276672721.01835365.0E-50.0173560340.0278819050.0279596751.00278938.0E-5
8.11.9175432E-51.9183564E-52.9183373E-51.52126961.0E-58.217783E-58.221269E-59.221186E-51.12162581.0E-50.00100005580.00100048050.00102046051.01997042.0E-50.0099556730.0107577710.0107775561.00183922.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Sierra Nevada (No Extension)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.7690465E-66.9762887E-61.769751E-425.3680881.7E-43.329549E-52.989824E-52.1989256E-47.3546991.9E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-46.738733E-41.85137083.1E-40.0040455880.00363741540.0040558881.11504664.2E-4
6.17.7690465E-66.9762887E-61.769751E-425.3680881.7E-43.329549E-52.989824E-52.1989256E-47.3546991.9E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-46.738733E-41.85137083.1E-40.0040455880.00363741540.0040558881.11504664.2E-4
6.27.7690465E-66.9762887E-61.769751E-425.3680881.7E-43.329549E-52.989824E-52.1989256E-47.3546991.9E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-46.738733E-41.85137083.1E-40.0040455880.00363741540.0040558881.11504664.2E-4
6.37.7690465E-66.9762887E-61.769751E-425.3680881.7E-43.329549E-52.989824E-52.1989256E-47.3546991.9E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-46.738733E-41.85137083.1E-40.0040455880.00363741540.0040558881.11504664.2E-4
6.47.7690465E-66.9762887E-61.769751E-425.3680881.7E-43.329549E-52.989824E-52.1989256E-47.3546991.9E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-46.738733E-41.85137083.1E-40.0040455880.00363741540.0040558881.11504664.2E-4
6.57.7690465E-66.9762887E-61.769751E-425.3680881.7E-43.329549E-52.989824E-52.1989256E-47.3546991.9E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-46.738733E-41.85137083.1E-40.0040455880.00363741540.0040558881.11504664.2E-4
6.62.653E-61.6148208E-61.416146E-487.6967851.4E-41.136995E-56.9206426E-61.569196E-422.6741371.5E-41.3842035E-48.42556E-53.2423539E-43.84823542.4E-40.00138334158.4224E-40.00116197041.37961923.2E-4
6.72.5902466E-61.5501544E-61.4154994E-491.3134461.4E-41.11010095E-56.643502E-61.566425E-423.5783021.5E-41.351464E-48.088166E-53.2086225E-43.9670582.4E-40.00135064248.0852525E-40.00112826661.39546233.2E-4
6.82.5853892E-61.5469546E-61.4154674E-491.500251.4E-41.1080193E-56.629789E-61.566288E-423.6250041.5E-41.34893E-48.071472E-53.2069534E-43.97319532.4E-40.00134811148.06857E-40.00112659881.39628063.2E-4
6.92.458257E-61.422029E-61.4142183E-499.4507451.4E-41.0535345E-56.0943958E-61.5609348E-425.6126271.5E-41.2826028E-47.419676E-53.1417896E-44.23440272.4E-40.00128186277.4172183E-40.00106148451.43110863.2E-4
7.02.4341468E-61.3989927E-61.4139879E-4101.071861.4E-41.0432016E-55.9956697E-61.5599477E-426.0179061.5E-41.270024E-47.299485E-53.1297732E-44.2876632.4E-40.00126929847.297107E-40.00104947711.438213.2E-4
7.12.3652476E-61.3339427E-61.4133376E-4105.95191.4E-41.0136736E-55.716885E-61.5571603E-427.2379151.5E-41.2340778E-46.9600865E-53.0958417E-44.4479932.4E-40.00123339266.957924E-40.00101556981.45958733.2E-4
7.22.272158E-61.2502497E-61.4125007E-4112.977491.4E-49.737784E-65.358202E-61.553574E-428.9943141.5E-41.1855107E-46.523417E-53.052185E-44.67881352.4E-40.00118487846.5215176E-49.71943E-41.49036343.2E-4
7.32.1382127E-61.1419382E-61.3114179E-4114.84141.3E-49.163737E-64.894012E-61.4489333E-429.6062471.4E-41.1156279E-45.9582977E-52.8956926E-44.8599332.3E-40.0011150685.956712E-48.854985E-41.48655582.9E-4
7.41.9048055E-69.574928E-71.10957386E-4115.8832551.1E-48.163426E-64.103534E-61.2410304E-430.2429641.2E-49.9385186E-54.995939E-52.499494E-45.00305132.0E-49.934074E-44.9948227E-47.593524E-41.52027892.6E-4
7.51.5373403E-67.559763E-78.075592E-5106.823348.0E-56.5885843E-63.2398946E-68.323963E-525.6920818.0E-58.021306E-53.9445007E-51.994387E-45.05612041.6E-48.0184115E-43.9438053E-46.042977E-41.53227072.1E-4
7.61.0680322E-64.65941E-74.0465922E-586.847744.0E-54.577273E-61.9968884E-64.199681E-521.0311244.0E-55.5726876E-52.4311848E-51.4430893E-45.9357451.2E-45.5712904E-42.4309216E-44.0305327E-41.65802661.6E-4
7.75.509146E-71.5578539E-71.01557835E-565.1908651.0E-52.3610605E-66.676515E-71.0667645E-515.9778641.0E-52.8745531E-58.128628E-62.8128465E-53.460422.0E-52.8741814E-48.128342E-51.01281796E-41.24603262.0E-5

Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.872328E-54.7265705E-51.2726193E-42.69247918.0E-51.6594635E-42.0255324E-43.3252692E-41.64167651.3E-40.00201852460.00246356060.00272292021.10527832.6E-40.020002880.0243883380.024807851.01720144.3E-4
6.13.872328E-54.7265705E-51.2726193E-42.69247918.0E-51.6594635E-42.0255324E-43.3252692E-41.64167651.3E-40.00201852460.00246356060.00272292021.10527832.6E-40.020002880.0243883380.024807851.01720144.3E-4
6.23.872328E-54.7265705E-51.2726193E-42.69247918.0E-51.6594635E-42.0255324E-43.3252692E-41.64167651.3E-40.00201852460.00246356060.00272292021.10527832.6E-40.020002880.0243883380.024807851.01720144.3E-4
6.32.8356371E-53.360979E-51.136071E-43.3801798.0E-51.2152165E-41.4403443E-42.740157E-41.9024321.3E-40.00147852190.00175227880.00201182321.14811832.6E-40.0146872350.0173918160.0178143381.02429434.3E-4
6.42.8356371E-53.360979E-51.136071E-43.3801798.0E-51.2152165E-41.4403443E-42.740157E-41.9024321.3E-40.00147852190.00175227880.00201182321.14811832.6E-40.0146872350.0173918160.0178143381.02429434.3E-4
6.52.4448687E-52.8607585E-59.860558E-53.44683367.0E-51.0477588E-41.2259845E-42.4258373E-41.97868531.2E-40.00127489980.00149166160.00174128881.16734842.5E-40.0126761050.0148213920.0152351661.02791744.2E-4
6.62.1298161E-52.4660083E-59.465836E-53.83852537.0E-59.127464E-51.0568197E-42.2566928E-42.13536241.2E-40.00111070220.00128595120.00152564261.18639232.4E-40.0110516720.012788530.0131932871.031654.1E-4
6.71.8959729E-52.1781027E-59.1779504E-54.21373657.0E-58.125345E-59.334406E-52.1333285E-42.28544661.2E-49.888117E-40.0011358970.00137562431.21104682.4E-40.0098442340.011303570.0117089361.03586174.1E-4
6.81.6691629E-51.9018351E-58.901702E-54.68058547.0E-57.153359E-58.150477E-52.0149499E-42.47218661.2E-48.7057345E-49.918857E-40.00123164771.24172342.4E-40.0086717080.0098763430.0102822941.04110344.1E-4
6.91.450505E-51.638954E-58.638839E-55.2709477.0E-56.216302E-57.0239046E-51.9023061E-42.70833161.2E-47.5657194E-48.5483363E-40.00109462851.28051642.4E-40.0075400130.0085163860.0089228941.04773254.1E-4
7.01.2940855E-51.4537972E-57.45371E-55.12706336.0E-55.545963E-56.230414E-51.622979E-42.604931.0E-46.750118E-47.5829466E-49.781278E-41.28990472.2E-40.0067296510.00755768970.0079447421.0512133.9E-4
7.11.2544658E-51.4078208E-57.407736E-55.2618466.0E-55.3761712E-56.0333812E-51.6032778E-42.65734551.0E-46.5435225E-47.343222E-49.5416064E-41.2993762.2E-40.0065242880.0073195510.0077066961.0528923.9E-4
7.21.2489416E-51.4015674E-57.401483E-55.28086146.0E-55.3524967E-56.0065824E-51.6005982E-42.66474031.0E-46.514716E-47.310616E-49.509008E-41.30071222.2E-40.0064956510.00728715960.0076743181.05312883.9E-4
7.31.2368307E-51.3879812E-57.387898E-55.3227656.0E-55.3005948E-55.9483587E-51.5947764E-42.6810361.0E-46.451563E-47.2397763E-49.4381836E-41.30365682.2E-40.00643286530.0072167820.00759403971.05227513.8E-4
7.41.2161707E-51.36478675E-57.364705E-55.3962316.0E-55.212056E-55.8489582E-51.5848373E-42.70960621.0E-46.3438306E-47.118836E-49.31727E-41.30881932.2E-40.0063257510.00709662070.00747392371.05316663.8E-4
7.51.1707948E-51.3145515E-57.314473E-55.56423436.0E-55.0175953E-55.6336736E-51.5633111E-42.77494071.0E-46.10721E-46.856895E-49.055386E-41.3206252.2E-40.00609045340.0068363210.00721372341.05520553.8E-4
7.61.0319538E-51.1579622E-56.157904E-55.317885.0E-54.4225842E-54.9626036E-51.3962157E-42.81347429.0E-55.383166E-46.040347E-48.139078E-41.34745222.1E-40.00537014430.00602446030.0063922311.06104623.7E-4
7.78.937764E-61.0022779E-56.0022277E-55.98858645.0E-53.830414E-54.295409E-51.2295066E-42.86237368.0E-54.6625308E-45.228456E-47.1274623E-41.3632061.9E-40.00465276050.0052166640.00555489071.06483583.4E-4
7.83.108007E-73.284654E-71.0328462E-531.4445971.0E-51.3320023E-61.407708E-61.1407694E-58.1037361.0E-51.6217007E-51.7138715E-52.7138543E-51.58346431.0E-51.6215823E-41.7137431E-41.813726E-41.05834191.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

Red Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.258278E-68.551265E-61.2855024E-415.0328911.2E-43.539214E-53.6647863E-52.266409E-46.18428661.9E-44.308141E-44.4611428E-47.2598935E-41.62736192.8E-40.00429979850.0044539450.00488202971.09611374.3E-4
6.13.649988E-63.7753161E-65.3775126E-514.2438755.0E-51.5642712E-51.6179853E-58.617872E-55.3262987.0E-51.9043336E-41.9697666E-42.769609E-41.40605958.0E-50.00190270260.0019684880.00212817311.08112061.6E-4
6.23.649988E-63.7753161E-65.3775126E-514.2438755.0E-51.5642712E-51.6179853E-58.617872E-55.3262987.0E-51.9043336E-41.9697666E-42.769609E-41.40605958.0E-50.00190270260.0019684880.00212817311.08112061.6E-4
6.31.3924937E-61.4411166E-64.144106E-528.7562144.0E-55.9678164E-66.1762075E-66.617584E-510.714646.0E-57.265574E-57.519415E-51.4518888E-41.93085357.0E-57.263199E-47.518258E-48.517506E-41.13290951.0E-4
6.41.3924937E-61.4411166E-64.144106E-528.7562144.0E-55.9678164E-66.1762075E-66.617584E-510.714646.0E-57.265574E-57.519415E-51.4518888E-41.93085357.0E-57.263199E-47.518258E-48.517506E-41.13290951.0E-4
6.59.876812E-71.0221912E-63.1022162E-530.3486863.0E-54.2329125E-64.3808195E-64.4380646E-510.13067154.0E-55.153449E-55.3336476E-51.0333381E-41.93739475.0E-55.1522546E-45.333648E-45.9333275E-41.11243336.0E-5

San Andreas (Cholame) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2302514E-42.5205986E-43.4203718E-41.3569689.0E-55.27144E-40.00107981090.00119968141.11101061.2E-40.00639910860.0130679580.0133541681.02190172.9E-40.062179490.124384120.124751881.00295664.2E-4
6.11.2302514E-42.5205986E-43.4203718E-41.3569689.0E-55.27144E-40.00107981090.00119968141.11101061.2E-40.00639910860.0130679580.0133541681.02190172.9E-40.062179490.124384120.124751881.00295664.2E-4
6.21.2203569E-42.502277E-43.4020518E-41.35958249.0E-55.2290526E-40.00107196530.00119183671.11182391.2E-40.0063478040.0129735780.0132598161.02206312.9E-40.0616951360.1235713140.123939411.00297884.2E-4
6.31.2142645E-42.4908737E-43.3906495E-41.3612299.0E-55.202953E-40.00106708230.00118695421.11233621.2E-40.0063162120.0129148340.0131912181.02140052.8E-40.061396770.123065320.1234248651.00292164.1E-4
6.41.1865206E-42.4414246E-43.3412047E-41.36854729.0E-55.0840975E-40.00104590680.00116578131.11461291.2E-40.0061723350.0126600440.0129364991.02183692.8E-40.0600368680.120859040.121219491.00298244.1E-4
6.51.17443946E-42.4207575E-43.3205395E-41.37169449.0E-55.032341E-40.00103705660.00115693211.11559211.2E-40.0061096770.0125535360.0128300211.02202452.8E-40.0594440770.119930080.120290911.00300864.1E-4
6.61.13579066E-42.3516564E-43.2514447E-41.3826199.0E-54.866766E-40.0010074650.00112734411.11899091.2E-40.00590920170.0121973450.0124640511.0218662.7E-40.0575451850.11684920.117193631.00294773.9E-4
6.71.1271412E-42.336088E-43.2358777E-41.38516959.0E-54.829711E-40.0010007980.00112067781.11978441.2E-40.0058643310.0121170790.0123838071.02201262.7E-40.0571196970.116152750.116497451.00296763.9E-4
6.81.1217975E-42.3249313E-43.224722E-41.38701829.0E-54.8068175E-49.960202E-40.00111590061.12035951.2E-40.0058366080.0120595550.0123262991.02211892.7E-40.0568567250.115650610.1159955041.00298233.9E-4
6.91.1146753E-42.3098059E-43.209598E-41.38955329.0E-54.7763053E-49.895428E-40.0011094241.12114811.2E-40.00579965770.0119815640.0122483291.02226462.7E-40.0565061270.114970270.115315431.00300223.9E-4
7.01.0965793E-42.2721413E-43.1719368E-41.39601229.0E-54.698779E-49.734129E-40.00109329611.12315761.2E-40.0057057680.0117873240.0120541421.02263592.7E-40.0556147360.113270110.113615941.00305313.9E-4
7.19.927982E-52.0540332E-42.9538485E-41.43807239.0E-54.2541555E-48.8000396E-49.998984E-41.1362431.2E-40.00516714060.0106617080.010928831.02505422.7E-40.050486340.103365730.103706451.00329633.8E-4
7.29.696786E-52.0044584E-42.904278E-41.4489099.0E-54.1551032E-48.587718E-49.786687E-41.13961451.2E-40.005047110.0104057030.0106728941.02567732.7E-40.049340090.101102330.101443921.00337853.8E-4
7.39.4727984E-51.9473763E-42.847201E-41.46207039.0E-54.0591392E-48.343239E-49.5422374E-41.14370911.2E-40.00493080870.0101108510.0103781211.0264342.7E-40.0482282680.098474120.09881671.00347893.8E-4
7.49.220358E-51.8844259E-42.7842564E-41.4775099.0E-53.9509835E-48.07362E-49.2726515E-41.14851221.2E-40.0047997170.0097855780.0100430331.02630972.6E-40.0469736530.095558310.095892951.0035023.7E-4
7.57.71631E-51.5179155E-42.2178092E-41.46108887.0E-53.306571E-46.5037323E-47.5030816E-41.15365791.0E-40.00401832070.0078896170.0081277231.03017972.4E-40.039464330.0782891960.078602581.00400293.4E-4
7.67.5634416E-51.4838556E-42.1837518E-41.4716747.0E-53.241072E-46.357833E-47.3571975E-41.15718631.0E-40.00393886720.0077132560.0079514051.03087522.4E-40.0386977940.0766548740.076968811.00409543.4E-4
7.76.3783E-51.2359623E-41.7359004E-41.40449315.0E-52.7332708E-45.2959064E-45.8955885E-41.1132356.0E-50.00332267980.00642873070.00660757351.02781931.8E-40.0327343640.064544880.064778741.00362322.5E-4
7.85.863422E-51.14169685E-41.5416511E-41.35031574.0E-52.512653E-44.892069E-45.3918245E-41.10215635.0E-50.0030548640.00593984970.0060988991.02677671.6E-40.0301320940.059661620.05987791.0036252.3E-4
7.94.595283E-58.426815E-51.14265626E-41.35597633.0E-51.9692584E-43.6109926E-43.910884E-41.08304973.0E-50.00239493580.00438752770.0044870891.02269181.0E-40.0236928910.0443631370.0445064831.00323121.5E-4
8.03.2950178E-55.077396E-57.077295E-51.39388262.0E-51.412074E-42.1758456E-42.375802E-41.09189832.0E-50.00171784440.00264587530.0026957431.01884735.0E-50.0170462560.0271810720.0272588991.00286328.0E-5
8.11.9177472E-51.9183733E-52.9183542E-51.52126491.0E-58.218658E-58.221342E-59.221259E-51.12162471.0E-50.00100016220.00100048930.00102046941.01997022.0E-50.0099567280.0107578870.0107776721.0018392.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Ludlow

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2407607E-52.3657254E-51.2365489E-45.22693351.0E-49.602906E-51.0138454E-42.4137035E-42.38074111.4E-40.00116852670.0012337020.00144344291.17000942.1E-40.0116240130.0122730420.0126582551.0313873.9E-4
6.12.2407607E-52.3657254E-51.2365489E-45.22693351.0E-49.602906E-51.0138454E-42.4137035E-42.38074111.4E-40.00116852670.0012337020.00144344291.17000942.1E-40.0116240130.0122730420.0126582551.0313873.9E-4
6.21.0781252E-51.1365663E-54.136532E-53.63949923.0E-54.620455E-54.8709102E-58.870715E-51.82116174.0E-55.623952E-45.9287593E-46.6283444E-41.11799867.0E-50.005609740.00591336140.0060227111.0184921.1E-4
6.31.0781252E-51.1365663E-54.136532E-53.63949923.0E-54.620455E-54.8709102E-58.870715E-51.82116174.0E-55.623952E-45.9287593E-46.6283444E-41.11799867.0E-50.005609740.00591336140.0060227111.0184921.1E-4
6.47.814439E-68.237729E-63.8237482E-54.64175033.0E-53.3490025E-53.530408E-56.530302E-51.84973013.0E-54.0766477E-44.2974384E-44.6972663E-41.09303874.0E-50.00406917740.00428927460.0043490171.01392846.0E-5
6.56.4986366E-66.85092E-62.6850783E-53.9192962.0E-52.7851002E-52.9360759E-54.9360173E-51.68116132.0E-53.390332E-43.5740953E-43.8739882E-41.08390743.0E-50.0033851640.00356844320.00360830061.01116934.0E-5
6.65.582177E-65.8860055E-62.5885887E-54.397872.0E-52.3923398E-52.5225498E-54.5224995E-51.79282862.0E-52.9122844E-43.0707786E-43.3706866E-41.09766513.0E-50.00290847060.0030666090.00310648631.01300374.0E-5
6.74.6858763E-64.940427E-62.494033E-55.0482132.0E-52.0082172E-52.1173091E-54.117267E-51.94457522.0E-52.4447302E-42.5775246E-42.877447E-41.11636083.0E-50.00244204230.00257459120.00260451411.01162233.0E-5
6.83.5584908E-63.7520183E-62.3751943E-56.33044432.0E-51.5250586E-51.6079981E-53.607966E-52.24376252.0E-51.8566006E-41.957566E-42.2575073E-41.15322153.0E-50.00185505020.00195588260.0019858241.01530843.0E-5
6.92.532834E-62.6710034E-62.267095E-58.48780252.0E-51.0854958E-51.1447109E-53.144688E-52.74714612.0E-51.3215111E-41.3935992E-41.5935714E-41.14349332.0E-50.00132072540.00139275290.0014127251.014342.0E-5
7.01.7083285E-61.8019439E-61.1801926E-56.54955241.0E-57.3213873E-67.722595E-61.7722517E-52.29489161.0E-58.913424E-59.40187E-51.0401776E-41.10635191.0E-58.9098496E-49.3980576E-49.4979635E-41.01063051.0E-5
7.11.0905424E-61.1497619E-61.114975E-59.6974421.0E-54.6737446E-64.9275427E-61.4927493E-53.02939921.0E-55.6901354E-55.999128E-56.999068E-51.16668091.0E-55.6886784E-45.997606E-46.0975464E-41.01666331.0E-5
7.26.06668E-76.387277E-76.387277E-71.00.02.600003E-62.7374022E-62.7374022E-61.00.03.1654577E-53.3327433E-53.3327433E-51.00.03.1650066E-43.3323118E-43.3323118E-41.00.0

White Wolf (Extension)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.222555E-66.066615E-61.8606552E-430.6704031.8E-43.5239045E-52.5999556E-52.5599357E-49.8460752.3E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-46.464008E-42.04230673.3E-40.00428123870.00316119660.0035599321.12613444.0E-4
6.18.222555E-66.066615E-61.8606552E-430.6704031.8E-43.5239045E-52.5999556E-52.5599357E-49.8460752.3E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-46.464008E-42.04230673.3E-40.00428123870.00316119660.0035599321.12613444.0E-4
6.28.222555E-66.066615E-61.8606552E-430.6704031.8E-43.5239045E-52.5999556E-52.5599357E-49.8460752.3E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-46.464008E-42.04230673.3E-40.00428123870.00316119660.0035599321.12613444.0E-4
6.38.222555E-66.066615E-61.8606552E-430.6704031.8E-43.5239045E-52.5999556E-52.5599357E-49.8460752.3E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-46.464008E-42.04230673.3E-40.00428123870.00316119660.0035599321.12613444.0E-4
6.45.821773E-63.5571256E-69.35568E-526.3012379.0E-52.4950215E-51.5244741E-51.3524291E-48.8714471.2E-43.0372653E-41.8559002E-43.7555475E-42.0235721.9E-40.00303311760.00185445860.00208403221.12379542.3E-4
6.55.766023E-63.4990599E-68.349878E-523.8632058.0E-52.4711293E-51.49958905E-51.2499424E-48.3352331.1E-43.0081844E-41.8256076E-43.625279E-41.98579311.8E-40.00300411580.00182421610.00204381491.12037972.2E-4
6.64.643576E-62.3325733E-66.233243E-526.7226056.0E-51.9900888E-59.9967065E-69.999581E-510.0028759.0E-52.4226638E-41.2170354E-42.3169015E-41.90372571.1E-40.00242002420.00121641120.00134625311.10674181.3E-4
6.73.9529173E-61.6482975E-63.1648247E-519.2005673.0E-51.6940963E-57.064114E-64.7063833E-56.66238264.0E-52.0623671E-48.600239E-51.3599808E-41.58132925.0E-50.0020604548.597095E-49.2964934E-41.08135287.0E-5
6.83.4377522E-61.2244764E-62.1224452E-517.3334922.0E-51.473314E-55.247746E-62.524764E-54.811142.0E-51.7936122E-46.388952E-58.388825E-51.31302032.0E-50.00179216526.3872064E-46.687015E-41.04693893.0E-5
6.93.1367306E-61.0033316E-62.1003312E-520.933572.0E-51.3443062E-54.299986E-62.42999E-55.65115832.0E-51.63657E-45.2351144E-57.23501E-51.38201562.0E-50.00163536525.233958E-45.5338006E-41.0572883.0E-5
7.02.8298145E-67.4282326E-72.074281E-527.9242842.0E-51.2127721E-53.1835248E-62.318346E-57.2823252.0E-51.47645E-43.8758775E-55.8758E-51.51599222.0E-50.00147546933.8752513E-44.175135E-41.07738443.0E-5
7.12.4091064E-65.4223835E-72.0542228E-537.884132.0E-51.03247E-52.3238767E-62.2323831E-59.6062882.0E-51.2569598E-42.8292874E-54.829231E-51.70687172.0E-50.0012562492.8289677E-43.028911E-41.07067722.0E-5
7.21.3875518E-61.0740268E-71.0740268E-71.00.05.9466374E-64.6029712E-74.6029712E-71.00.07.23979E-55.604104E-65.604104E-61.00.07.2374323E-45.6039742E-55.6039742E-51.00.0
7.37.056077E-75.0002956E-85.0002956E-81.00.03.0240296E-62.1429837E-72.1429837E-71.00.03.681694E-52.60908E-62.60908E-61.00.03.681084E-42.609054E-52.609054E-51.00.0
7.45.9334678E-84.8638475E-94.8638475E-91.00.02.5429145E-72.084506E-82.084506E-81.00.03.095994E-62.5378858E-72.5378858E-71.00.03.095951E-52.5378843E-62.5378843E-61.00.0

Manix-Afton Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3783202E-51.47110895E-51.2470948E-48.4772421.1E-45.906953E-56.30461E-52.2303601E-43.53766541.6E-47.189342E-47.6733343E-40.00102713391.33857572.6E-40.00716612770.0076485960.0080058431.04670753.6E-4
6.11.3783202E-51.47110895E-51.2470948E-48.4772421.1E-45.906953E-56.30461E-52.2303601E-43.53766541.6E-47.189342E-47.6733343E-40.00102713391.33857572.6E-40.00716612770.0076485960.0080058431.04670753.6E-4
6.21.3783202E-51.47110895E-51.2470948E-48.4772421.1E-45.906953E-56.30461E-52.2303601E-43.53766541.6E-47.189342E-47.6733343E-40.00102713391.33857572.6E-40.00716612770.0076485960.0080058431.04670753.6E-4
6.31.10494875E-51.1793136E-59.179219E-57.78352748.0E-54.7354086E-55.054109E-51.6053554E-43.1763371.1E-45.763835E-46.151744E-47.75076E-41.25992881.6E-40.0057489080.00613575570.0063643441.03725522.3E-4
6.41.10494875E-51.1793136E-59.179219E-57.78352748.0E-54.7354086E-55.054109E-51.6053554E-43.1763371.1E-45.763835E-46.151744E-47.75076E-41.25992881.6E-40.0057489080.00613575570.0063643441.03725522.3E-4
6.59.788949E-61.045432E-58.045359E-57.6957277.0E-54.1951964E-54.480351E-51.2479993E-42.78549438.0E-55.1064545E-45.453555E-46.752846E-41.23824671.3E-40.00509473630.00544109850.00564001031.03655732.0E-4
6.68.810006E-69.4136285E-65.9413156E-56.31139855.0E-53.775662E-54.0343548E-59.034153E-52.23930555.0E-54.5958988E-44.9108086E-45.810367E-41.18317939.0E-50.00458640560.0049008390.0050600551.03248751.6E-4
6.78.80128E-69.404108E-65.940364E-56.31677535.0E-53.7719226E-54.0302748E-59.030073E-52.24056035.0E-54.591348E-44.9058435E-45.805402E-41.18336469.0E-50.0045818740.00489589570.00505511281.03252041.6E-4
6.86.8994877E-67.380076E-65.7379708E-57.7749485.0E-52.9568899E-53.162856E-58.1626975E-52.58079985.0E-53.5994186E-43.8501783E-44.549909E-41.18173987.0E-50.0035935940.00384431290.00394392851.02591241.0E-4
6.94.9328037E-65.2709615E-65.2709615E-61.00.02.1140417E-52.2589675E-52.2589675E-51.00.02.5735417E-42.7500073E-42.8499798E-41.03635361.0E-50.00257056350.00274720950.00278709971.01452034.0E-5
7.03.347973E-63.59003E-63.59003E-61.00.01.4348378E-51.5385775E-51.5385775E-51.00.01.746775E-41.8730981E-41.8730981E-41.00.00.00174540250.00187192190.00190186581.01599633.0E-5
7.11.2073567E-61.293482E-61.293482E-61.00.05.1743755E-65.543492E-65.543492E-61.00.06.29962E-56.749156E-56.749156E-51.00.06.297835E-46.7487074E-46.9485727E-41.02961532.0E-5

San Andreas (Coachella) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1925945E-43.273077E-44.6726188E-41.4275921.4E-45.110118E-40.0014019980.00156177361.11396291.6E-40.00620383540.0169370680.017143511.01218882.1E-40.0603347530.152676720.152956341.00183143.3E-4
6.11.1925945E-43.273077E-44.6726188E-41.4275921.4E-45.110118E-40.0014019980.00156177361.11396291.6E-40.00620383540.0169370680.017143511.01218882.1E-40.0603347530.152676720.152956341.00183143.3E-4
6.21.07432395E-43.0231563E-44.422733E-41.46295211.4E-44.603433E-40.0012949990.00145479191.12339221.6E-40.0055902860.0156537310.0158604441.01320532.1E-40.054517310.141827840.142111031.00199683.3E-4
6.31.0718766E-43.0176868E-44.4172644E-41.46379151.4E-44.592948E-40.00129265730.00145245051.1236161.6E-40.0055775860.015625630.0158323481.01322952.1E-40.0543965550.141596050.141879341.00200063.3E-4
6.41.0355944E-42.9384956E-44.338084E-41.47629431.4E-44.4375064E-40.00125875140.00141854991.12695011.6E-40.00538928850.0152186620.0154254661.01358892.1E-40.0526044960.138157950.138442351.00205863.3E-4
6.51.0227914E-42.9104383E-44.310031E-41.48088721.4E-44.382655E-40.00124673850.0014065391.12817491.6E-40.00532283540.0150744390.0152812731.01372092.1E-40.0519713160.136942390.137227191.00207973.3E-4
6.61.0116757E-42.8870135E-44.2866092E-41.48479021.4E-44.3350324E-40.00123670870.00139651091.12921561.6E-40.00526513670.0149540080.0151608681.0138332.1E-40.0514212470.135919730.136204881.00209783.3E-4
6.71.0050676E-42.8728697E-44.2724676E-41.48717761.4E-44.3067214E-40.00123065280.0013904561.12985231.6E-40.0052308340.0148812880.0150881631.01390172.1E-40.0510940850.135304640.135591.00210893.3E-4
6.89.976819E-52.8532353E-44.252836E-41.49053111.4E-44.2750788E-40.0012222460.00137206261.12257491.5E-40.00519249360.0147803280.0149773721.01333152.0E-40.0507282950.134456280.134733241.00205993.2E-4
6.99.77719E-52.802926E-44.2025335E-41.4993381.4E-44.1895514E-40.00120070480.00135052471.12477661.5E-40.00508885550.01452158950.0147186851.01357262.0E-40.0497388880.132284760.132562431.0020993.2E-4
7.08.500761E-52.4763815E-43.8760348E-41.5652011.4E-43.6426744E-40.00106087790.00121071881.14124241.5E-40.00442594060.012840470.0130280311.0146071.9E-40.043388230.118136160.1184007151.00223953.0E-4
7.18.319876E-52.4366553E-43.836314E-41.57441811.4E-43.5651738E-40.00104386620.00119370961.14354661.5E-40.0043319630.0126357730.0128233721.01484671.9E-40.0424848460.116356320.116621411.00227833.0E-4
7.27.563917E-52.2414974E-43.6411837E-41.62444251.4E-43.2412758E-49.602912E-40.00111014711.15605261.5E-40.00393911450.0116295590.011817351.01614771.9E-40.038700180.107762020.1080296861.0024843.0E-4
7.37.082985E-52.07311E-43.4728198E-41.67517391.4E-43.0352117E-48.881761E-40.00103804281.16873541.5E-40.00368910960.0107605530.0109485091.01746711.9E-40.036284650.100284030.1005539451.00269153.0E-4
7.45.146215E-51.4274761E-42.627305E-41.84052461.2E-42.2053342E-46.1163295E-47.4155343E-41.21241581.3E-40.00268168840.00742139430.00759013281.02273681.7E-40.026495570.070850490.071101361.00354092.7E-4
7.54.0285166E-51.0942422E-42.2941109E-42.09652951.2E-41.7263928E-44.6887697E-45.98816E-41.27712821.3E-40.0020998570.00569370440.00586273661.02968751.7E-40.0208012540.0550130830.055249331.00429442.5E-4
7.63.1168736E-58.439599E-51.9438671E-42.30326941.1E-41.3357346E-43.616471E-44.8160373E-41.33169521.2E-40.00162504370.0043941910.00455348751.03625171.6E-40.0161321160.0428124780.04304221.00536582.4E-4
7.72.2100989E-56.239345E-51.7238659E-42.76289561.1E-49.4715084E-52.6737314E-43.8734105E-41.4486911.2E-40.0011525460.00325041520.00339992761.0459981.5E-40.0114658670.0319021680.0321248321.00697962.3E-4
7.81.7484861E-55.180078E-51.4179612E-42.73733549.0E-57.493296E-52.2198448E-43.219623E-41.4503821.0E-49.1192697E-40.00269931420.00282896331.04803041.3E-40.0090819380.0266417880.0268461931.00767232.1E-4
7.91.3967285E-53.8226146E-51.1822309E-43.09272848.0E-55.985842E-51.6381606E-42.5380132E-41.54930669.0E-57.2853256E-40.00199263730.00211239821.06010171.2E-40.00726148770.0199110020.020097221.00935241.9E-4
8.01.1887396E-53.106798E-51.0106581E-43.25305377.0E-55.094499E-51.331417E-42.1313105E-41.60078368.0E-56.200787E-40.00161979580.00171963381.06163621.0E-40.0061835130.0162805670.01644781.01027191.7E-4
8.15.100864E-68.973766E-61.8973677E-52.11434941.0E-52.1860664E-53.845843E-54.8458045E-51.26001111.0E-52.6612106E-44.6813092E-44.7812623E-41.02135161.0E-50.0026580260.0049180920.00492804261.00202331.0E-5
8.22.3004484E-62.7863473E-62.7863473E-61.00.09.859027E-61.19414335E-51.19414335E-51.00.01.2002704E-41.4537729E-41.4537729E-41.00.00.00119962230.00159737820.00159737821.00.0
8.31.0424446E-75.814421E-85.814421E-81.00.04.4676187E-72.4918944E-72.4918944E-71.00.05.439312E-63.0338776E-63.0338776E-61.00.05.4391792E-53.189592E-53.189592E-51.00.0

Calico-Hidalgo

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0906612E-55.0704355E-51.2070081E-42.3804827.0E-51.7530227E-42.1728857E-42.9727118E-41.3680948.0E-50.00213221580.0026426780.00281222891.06415871.7E-40.021118730.0261528140.0264157521.0100542.7E-4
6.14.0906612E-55.0704355E-51.2070081E-42.3804827.0E-51.7530227E-42.1728857E-42.9727118E-41.3680948.0E-50.00213221580.0026426780.00281222891.06415871.7E-40.021118730.0261528140.0264157521.0100542.7E-4
6.24.0906612E-55.0704355E-51.2070081E-42.3804827.0E-51.7530227E-42.1728857E-42.9727118E-41.3680948.0E-50.00213221580.0026426780.00281222891.06415871.7E-40.021118730.0261528140.0264157521.0100542.7E-4
6.32.4242801E-53.0090967E-57.0089765E-52.32926254.0E-51.0389358E-41.289551E-41.7894866E-41.38768185.0E-50.00126417040.00156893120.00167875851.07000151.1E-40.012570030.0155822290.0157692671.01200341.9E-4
6.42.4242801E-53.0090967E-57.0089765E-52.32926254.0E-51.0389358E-41.289551E-41.7894866E-41.38768185.0E-50.00126417040.00156893120.00167875851.07000151.1E-40.012570030.0155822290.0157692671.01200341.9E-4
6.52.0286952E-52.5316054E-56.531504E-52.5799854.0E-58.694118E-51.0849296E-41.4848862E-41.36864754.0E-50.00105799490.00132011860.00141998651.07565081.0E-40.0105297190.0131247010.0133023381.01353451.8E-4
6.62.0269223E-52.5297004E-56.529599E-52.58117494.0E-58.6865206E-51.08411325E-41.4840698E-41.36892514.0E-50.00105707070.00131912580.00141899381.07570781.0E-40.0105205650.013114890.013292531.01354491.8E-4
6.71.799852E-52.2540933E-54.2540483E-51.88725472.0E-57.713423E-59.660051E-51.16598574E-41.20701832.0E-59.3870464E-40.00117549110.00124540891.05947967.0E-50.0093474930.0116943460.0118425921.01267671.5E-4
6.81.7458793E-52.184258E-54.1842144E-51.91562272.0E-57.4821255E-59.360778E-51.1360591E-41.21363752.0E-59.10568E-40.00113909330.00120901361.06138247.0E-50.0090684590.0113341310.0114725441.0122121.4E-4
6.91.542884E-51.9026285E-52.9026094E-51.52557861.0E-56.612192E-58.153875E-59.1537935E-51.12263111.0E-58.04737E-49.922953E-40.00105223571.06040596.0E-50.0080182910.0098800430.0100087591.01302781.3E-4
7.01.468253E-51.803109E-52.803091E-51.55458761.0E-56.292361E-57.727389E-58.727312E-51.12939981.0E-57.658257E-49.4041653E-40.00100036011.06374166.0E-50.00763191840.0093657360.0094945191.01375041.3E-4
7.11.3139281E-51.620139E-52.6201227E-51.6172211.0E-55.6309986E-56.943275E-57.943205E-51.14401421.0E-56.853584E-48.4502844E-49.049777E-41.07094356.0E-50.00683248560.0084194490.0085285231.0129551.1E-4
7.21.1127404E-51.3867038E-52.38669E-51.72112451.0E-54.7688E-55.9428872E-56.942828E-51.16825841.0E-55.8044674E-47.233172E-47.8327383E-41.08289116.0E-50.00578932980.0072107370.0073000881.01239139.0E-5
7.39.808154E-61.2176586E-51.2176586E-51.00.04.2034266E-55.2184383E-55.2184383E-51.00.05.11647E-46.351704E-46.851386E-41.07866915.0E-50.00510470570.0063346250.00641411871.0125498.0E-5
7.47.942452E-69.792348E-69.792348E-61.00.03.4038632E-54.1966585E-54.1966585E-51.00.04.1434157E-45.108328E-45.408175E-41.05869763.0E-50.00413569850.0050975270.00513732341.00780694.0E-5
7.54.7121216E-65.7729717E-65.7729717E-61.00.02.019465E-52.4741115E-52.4741115E-51.00.02.4584212E-43.011891E-43.111861E-41.03319171.0E-50.00245570320.00300856140.00301853151.00331391.0E-5
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-51.3587343E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.3586794E-41.00.0

San Jacinto (San Bernardino)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.409352E-53.598562E-51.9597987E-45.44606071.6E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-43.5418413E-42.2966912.0E-40.00177740.00187595210.00214544571.1436572.7E-40.017632510.0193499920.0196441881.01520383.0E-4
6.13.409352E-53.598562E-51.9597987E-45.44606071.6E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-43.5418413E-42.2966912.0E-40.00177740.00187595210.00214544571.1436572.7E-40.017632510.0193499920.0196441881.01520383.0E-4
6.23.409352E-53.598562E-51.9597987E-45.44606071.6E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-43.5418413E-42.2966912.0E-40.00177740.00187595210.00214544571.1436572.7E-40.017632510.0193499920.0196441881.01520383.0E-4
6.33.409352E-53.598562E-51.9597987E-45.44606071.6E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-43.5418413E-42.2966912.0E-40.00177740.00187595210.00214544571.1436572.7E-40.017632510.0193499920.0196441881.01520383.0E-4
6.43.400795E-53.5878285E-51.9587255E-45.4593621.6E-41.4574021E-41.5375503E-43.5372426E-42.30057052.0E-40.00177294280.00187036190.00213985681.14408712.7E-40.0175886450.0192950740.0195892861.01524813.0E-4
6.53.341482E-53.5138914E-51.951333E-45.55319641.6E-41.4319851E-41.5058667E-43.5055654E-42.32793882.0E-40.00174204770.00183185220.00210135761.14712182.7E-40.0172845460.0189166160.019210941.01555913.0E-4
6.63.3364955E-53.5076133E-51.9507052E-45.5613461.6E-41.4298483E-41.5031763E-43.5028756E-42.33031582.0E-40.00173945010.00182858230.00209808861.14738542.7E-40.0172589760.018884480.0191788151.0155863.0E-4
6.73.335922E-53.5065907E-51.9506029E-45.56267641.6E-41.4296026E-41.5027382E-43.5024376E-42.3307042.0E-40.00173915140.00182804970.00209755611.14742842.7E-40.0172560350.0188792720.0191736071.01559043.0E-4
6.83.327683E-53.4959972E-51.9495438E-45.5765031.6E-41.4260718E-41.4981985E-43.497899E-42.33473662.0E-40.00173485970.0018225320.002092041.14787552.7E-40.0172137840.0188250450.0191193971.01563623.0E-4
6.93.3235785E-53.4900928E-51.9489534E-45.58424571.6E-41.4243131E-41.4956683E-43.4953692E-42.3369952.0E-40.00173272170.00181945670.00208896541.1481262.7E-40.0171927340.0187949110.0190892721.01566173.0E-4
7.03.3197095E-53.4840854E-51.9483529E-45.59214971.6E-41.422655E-41.4930942E-43.4927955E-42.33930022.0E-40.00173070630.00181632780.00208583751.14838162.7E-40.0171728940.018764290.019058661.01568783.0E-4
7.13.3129716E-53.4721066E-51.8471586E-45.3199941.5E-41.4197677E-41.4879608E-43.387678E-42.27672531.9E-40.00172719660.00181008840.00206961791.14337942.6E-40.0171383380.0187033660.0189879421.01521532.9E-4
7.23.3034008E-53.4588513E-51.8458332E-45.336551.5E-41.4156665E-41.4822806E-43.381999E-42.28161861.9E-40.00172221110.00180318430.00206271541.14392942.6E-40.0170892530.018635750.0189203451.01527152.9E-4
7.33.2956614E-53.4456265E-51.844511E-45.35319471.5E-41.4123498E-41.4766137E-43.376333E-42.2865381.9E-40.00171817960.00179629610.00205582921.14448232.6E-40.0170495570.0185684950.0188531111.01532782.9E-4
7.43.2915937E-53.4377957E-51.843728E-45.3631111.5E-41.4106068E-41.473258E-43.372978E-42.28946881.9E-40.00171606080.00179221730.00205175141.14481172.6E-40.0170286930.0185287690.0188133961.01536132.9E-4
7.53.281791E-53.424287E-51.8423774E-45.3803241.5E-41.406406E-41.4674691E-43.3671904E-42.29455611.9E-40.00171095420.00178518090.00204471681.14538352.6E-40.0169784110.0184596520.01874431.015422.9E-4
7.63.2521442E-53.396782E-51.8396272E-45.41579441.5E-41.3937015E-41.4556825E-43.355406E-42.30503961.9E-40.00169551090.00177085420.00203039381.14656172.6E-40.0168263280.0183172950.0186019841.0155422.9E-4
7.73.0287873E-53.245191E-51.8244704E-45.6220741.5E-41.297987E-41.3907222E-43.2904578E-42.36600661.9E-40.00157915370.00169189030.00195145041.15341422.6E-40.015679790.0175281990.0178131161.01625482.9E-4
7.82.6316151E-52.9662837E-51.7965838E-46.05668261.5E-41.1277862E-41.2712025E-43.170961E-42.49445771.9E-40.00137221490.00154659130.00180618921.16785172.6E-40.0136377240.0160698780.0163552171.01775622.9E-4
7.92.0761147E-52.3417291E-51.4341448E-46.12429861.2E-48.897331E-51.0035596E-42.503409E-42.49452951.5E-40.00108271170.00122114980.00144088121.17993812.2E-40.0107745170.0127932720.0130400731.01929152.5E-4
8.01.5738568E-51.6032505E-54.6032026E-52.87116843.0E-56.744926E-56.8708934E-59.870687E-51.43659453.0E-58.2088535E-48.3621085E-48.861691E-41.05974355.0E-50.0081785960.0088657410.0089450311.00894368.0E-5
8.11.0105832E-58.329479E-61.8329396E-52.20054531.0E-54.3309992E-53.569728E-54.569692E-51.28012341.0E-55.2717153E-44.3452822E-44.5451953E-41.04600692.0E-50.0052592270.00467687940.0047067391.00638453.0E-5
8.24.189207E-61.577699E-61.577699E-61.00.01.7953622E-56.7615497E-66.7615497E-61.00.02.1856341E-48.231879E-58.231879E-51.00.00.00218348589.562628E-49.562628E-41.00.0
8.31.2758221E-63.612677E-73.612677E-71.00.05.4677976E-61.5482892E-61.5482892E-61.00.06.65684E-51.8850264E-51.8850264E-51.00.06.6548464E-42.2739546E-42.2739546E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.986481E-40.00122759290.00131748241.07322429.0E-50.00256311240.0052455470.00535496981.02086021.1E-40.0307628460.061204910.0613738931.00276091.8E-40.268354770.425934940.426072721.00032342.4E-4
6.15.015945E-40.00102179860.00110171681.07821338.0E-50.002147920.00436785960.00446742261.02279451.0E-40.0258393510.051248370.0514096581.00314711.7E-40.230327760.372856680.372994661.000372.2E-4
6.24.073338E-48.1073755E-48.8068075E-41.08627127.0E-50.00174454840.00346714770.00355683571.02586799.0E-50.0210340580.040933170.0410866181.00374881.6E-40.191507820.313033460.313170851.00043892.0E-4
6.33.464099E-46.7391695E-47.4386975E-41.10380047.0E-50.00148376920.00288295930.00297271.03112799.0E-50.0179158730.0341895820.034344111.00451981.6E-40.165383590.27131660.271462321.00053722.0E-4
6.42.935057E-45.5442745E-46.2438863E-41.12618647.0E-50.00125727510.00237253630.00246232281.03784419.0E-50.0152002480.028264510.0284199881.00550081.6E-40.142015770.232985290.233138681.00065842.0E-4
6.52.3409708E-44.2093755E-44.809123E-41.1424796.0E-50.00100288750.00180196840.00188182431.04431598.0E-50.0121419650.0215874610.021724441.00634531.4E-40.114995730.186823680.186961921.00073991.7E-4
6.61.5842178E-42.506933E-43.1067827E-41.23927636.0E-56.7877385E-40.00107394970.00115386391.07441148.0E-50.00823280.0129955750.0131337551.01063291.4E-40.079343960.123146380.123295441.00121051.7E-4
6.71.5616413E-42.4605883E-43.0604406E-41.24378426.0E-56.691031E-40.00105410690.00113402251.07581378.0E-50.00811594350.012757440.0128956541.0108341.4E-40.07825860.121173510.1213229151.0012331.7E-4
6.81.5538467E-42.4429744E-43.042828E-41.24554236.0E-56.6576427E-40.00104656450.00112648081.07636068.0E-50.0080755960.0126668380.0128050651.01091251.4E-40.077883580.1204043550.120553891.00124191.7E-4
6.91.5153569E-42.3539034E-42.8537857E-41.21236315.0E-56.49277E-40.00100842760.0010783571.0693457.0E-50.0078763330.012209010.0123374241.01051781.3E-40.076029520.116474450.116615811.00121371.6E-4
7.01.4588932E-42.2396253E-42.7395133E-41.22320165.0E-56.250901E-49.5948833E-40.00102942121.07288557.0E-50.00758394740.0116196970.0117481861.01105791.3E-40.0733028950.111320460.1114626451.00127731.6E-4
7.11.1565079E-41.6281738E-42.1280925E-41.30704255.0E-54.955521E-46.9760304E-47.675542E-41.10027367.0E-50.0060166690.00846044350.0085893431.01523571.3E-40.0585635380.083670460.083817071.00175231.6E-4
7.21.0393792E-41.4615769E-41.9615037E-41.34204635.0E-54.4537216E-46.2624045E-46.862029E-41.09574996.0E-50.0054089330.00759799270.0077170811.01567361.2E-40.0527915950.075619690.0757583451.00183361.5E-4
7.39.332884E-51.2780898E-41.7780259E-41.39115885.0E-53.999194E-45.4763845E-46.0760556E-41.10950146.0E-50.00485815340.0066472490.0067565181.01643821.1E-40.0475331020.066483260.066613951.00196581.4E-4
7.48.670252E-51.17032345E-41.6702649E-41.42718235.0E-53.715293E-45.0147134E-45.614413E-41.11958796.0E-50.0045139910.0060884430.00619777341.0179571.1E-40.0442339370.0611516420.061283081.00214931.4E-4
7.57.3036405E-59.005856E-51.2005586E-41.33308663.0E-53.129756E-43.8590826E-44.2589282E-41.10361164.0E-50.00380382170.00468833230.00477791071.01910669.0E-50.037393670.0478777920.0479920471.00238631.2E-4
7.66.3935775E-58.280385E-51.1280136E-41.3622723.0E-52.7398168E-43.5482543E-43.9481124E-41.11269154.0E-50.00333062540.0043114610.00440107331.02078469.0E-50.0328114740.043992010.044106731.00260781.2E-4
7.75.5050095E-56.6618326E-59.661633E-51.45029653.0E-52.3590765E-42.854759E-43.1546733E-41.10505773.0E-50.00286839270.0034701340.00354985641.02297398.0E-50.02831650.0357962140.035892631.00269351.0E-4
7.85.027131E-56.162871E-59.1626855E-51.48675623.0E-52.1543067E-42.640963E-42.940884E-41.1135653.0E-50.00261971350.0032106350.00329037831.02483718.0E-50.0258904530.033126660.0332233461.00291871.0E-4
7.93.7271806E-55.022507E-57.0224065E-51.39818752.0E-51.5972654E-42.1523255E-42.3522823E-41.09290282.0E-50.00194293590.0026173090.00267715221.02286436.0E-50.0192603620.0270674660.027135571.00251627.0E-5
8.02.7310243E-53.1427757E-55.142713E-51.63636022.0E-51.17038646E-41.3468343E-41.5468075E-41.14847642.0E-50.00142401410.00163853830.00168845641.0304655.0E-50.0141492350.017213860.0172728281.00342566.0E-5
8.11.7940547E-51.7399378E-52.7399203E-51.57472321.0E-57.688579E-57.456663E-58.456589E-51.13409831.0E-59.3568244E-49.074711E-49.27453E-41.02201932.0E-50.0093175250.0097986360.0098184391.00202112.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.2349864E-45.25503971.0E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-42.4070057E-42.38992571.4E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00146522051.19559612.4E-40.00699927660.0122287440.012505321.02261692.8E-4
6.11.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.2349864E-45.25503971.0E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-42.4070057E-42.38992571.4E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00146522051.19559612.4E-40.00699927660.0122287440.012505321.02261692.8E-4
6.21.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.2349864E-45.25503971.0E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-42.4070057E-42.38992571.4E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00146522051.19559612.4E-40.00699927660.0122287440.012505321.02261692.8E-4
6.31.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.2349864E-45.25503971.0E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-42.4070057E-42.38992571.4E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00146522051.19559612.4E-40.00699927660.0122287440.012505321.02261692.8E-4
6.41.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.2349864E-45.25503971.0E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-42.4070057E-42.38992571.4E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00146522051.19559612.4E-40.00699927660.0122287440.012505321.02261692.8E-4
6.51.3450706E-52.348995E-51.234876E-45.25703951.0E-45.764461E-51.00667356E-42.4065326E-42.3905791.4E-47.0159714E-40.00122493920.00146464531.19568812.4E-40.0069938620.0122230540.0124996311.02262752.8E-4
6.61.3074523E-52.3104236E-51.2310193E-45.32811071.0E-45.6032466E-59.901441E-52.3900055E-42.41379551.4E-46.8198174E-40.0012048370.00144454791.19895712.4E-40.0067989260.0120242190.0122909721.02218472.7E-4
6.71.3050216E-52.3079532E-51.2307722E-45.3327431.0E-45.59283E-59.890855E-52.388947E-42.4153091.4E-46.8071426E-40.00120354960.00144326071.19917012.4E-40.00678632870.0120114840.0122782411.02220852.7E-4
6.81.29049395E-52.2927941E-51.2292564E-45.36139061.0E-45.530571E-59.825892E-52.3824516E-42.42466711.4E-46.73139E-40.0011956490.0014353621.20048792.4E-40.00671103640.0119333290.0122001071.02235572.7E-4
6.91.2867369E-52.2887343E-51.2288506E-45.36912731.0E-45.51447E-59.808494E-52.3807121E-42.42719441.4E-46.711799E-40.00119353320.00143324681.20084372.4E-40.0066915640.0119123970.0121791811.02239552.7E-4
7.01.2495996E-52.2287419E-51.2228519E-45.48673631.0E-45.3553173E-59.551403E-52.3550066E-42.46561311.4E-46.518148E-40.00116226580.00140198681.20625322.4E-40.00649906230.0116030.0118698671.02299992.7E-4
7.11.2452067E-52.2232492E-51.2223027E-45.49782131.0E-45.3364907E-59.527864E-52.3526531E-42.46923451.4E-46.4952404E-40.0011594030.00139912471.2067632.4E-40.00647628870.0115746710.0118415461.02305672.7E-4
7.21.2002777E-52.1611015E-51.2160886E-45.627171.0E-45.143946E-59.261536E-52.326024E-42.51148821.4E-46.2609545E-40.00112701140.00136674091.21271262.4E-40.0062433440.0112540580.0115210191.02372132.7E-4
7.31.1923425E-52.1480853E-51.21478704E-45.65520861.0E-45.109939E-59.205757E-52.3204468E-42.52064751.4E-46.219575E-40.00112022730.00135995841.21400232.4E-40.00620219620.0111869450.0114539251.02386522.7E-4
7.41.16105175E-52.0854808E-51.20852725E-45.79495761.0E-44.975841E-58.93747E-52.2936218E-42.56629871.4E-46.0564023E-40.00108759630.00132733541.22043012.4E-40.0060399230.0108644090.0111314761.02458182.7E-4
7.51.1037265E-51.9554842E-51.1955289E-46.1137231.0E-44.7301706E-58.380379E-52.2379206E-42.6704291.4E-45.757461E-40.00101983570.0012595911.2350922.4E-40.0057425670.0101955270.0104627751.02621222.7E-4
7.61.0720915E-51.8996727E-51.0899502E-45.7375689.0E-54.5945973E-58.141202E-52.1140144E-42.5966861.3E-45.592486E-49.907428E-40.00122051491.2319192.3E-40.0055784330.0099072380.0101646621.02598352.6E-4
7.79.276279E-61.6442464E-51.0644098E-46.4735429.0E-53.9754876E-57.046581E-52.0045665E-42.84473631.3E-44.839081E-48.5758517E-40.00107739661.25631432.2E-40.00482855740.0085865760.0088344291.02886522.5E-4
7.85.8346777E-61.11555855E-59.1154696E-58.1712168.0E-52.5005522E-54.7808775E-51.6780304E-43.50987941.2E-43.043997E-45.819165E-47.9179433E-41.36066652.1E-40.00303983080.00584733350.006085931.04080442.4E-4
7.94.690204E-68.509473E-68.8508794E-510.4012068.0E-52.0100719E-53.6468664E-51.5646429E-44.2903761.2E-42.4469878E-44.439156E-46.4382685E-41.45033612.0E-40.0024442950.0044711650.00470013641.05121082.3E-4
8.02.9570454E-64.8470656E-64.484687E-59.2523764.0E-51.267299E-52.0772974E-56.077214E-52.9255394.0E-51.5428272E-42.5288164E-43.0286898E-41.19767095.0E-50.00154175660.0025499320.00260977911.023476.0E-5
8.11.6376824E-62.1968672E-61.2196845E-55.55192661.0E-57.01862E-69.415111E-61.9415018E-52.06211231.0E-58.544835E-51.1462297E-41.2462182E-41.08723261.0E-58.54155E-40.00116074450.00117073281.00860511.0E-5
8.26.9631557E-74.535001E-74.535001E-71.00.02.984206E-61.9435704E-61.9435704E-61.00.03.63321E-52.3662713E-52.3662713E-51.00.03.6326164E-42.4510184E-42.4510184E-41.00.0
8.31.7876137E-78.357368E-88.357368E-81.00.07.661199E-73.5817288E-73.5817288E-71.00.09.32747E-64.3607465E-64.3607465E-61.00.09.3270784E-54.5800018E-54.5800018E-51.00.0

Baker

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.695525E-65.8348373E-61.2583414E-421.5660081.2E-42.4409164E-52.5006228E-51.6500273E-46.59846541.4E-42.9714106E-43.044123E-44.7436054E-41.55828311.7E-40.00296744050.00304034860.00330952791.08853552.7E-4
6.15.695525E-65.8348373E-61.2583414E-421.5660081.2E-42.4409164E-52.5006228E-51.6500273E-46.59846541.4E-42.9714106E-43.044123E-44.7436054E-41.55828311.7E-40.00296744050.00304034860.00330952791.08853552.7E-4
6.25.695525E-65.8348373E-61.2583414E-421.5660081.2E-42.4409164E-52.5006228E-51.6500273E-46.59846541.4E-42.9714106E-43.044123E-44.7436054E-41.55828311.7E-40.00296744050.00304034860.00330952791.08853552.7E-4
6.33.2995713E-63.383667E-61.2338326E-436.4643631.2E-41.4140943E-51.4501353E-51.3449961E-49.274971.2E-41.7215237E-41.7654014E-43.2651366E-41.84951521.5E-40.00172019070.0017640460.00199364031.13015212.3E-4
6.43.2995713E-63.383667E-61.2338326E-436.4643631.2E-41.4140943E-51.4501353E-51.3449961E-49.274971.2E-41.7215237E-41.7654014E-43.2651366E-41.84951521.5E-40.00172019070.0017640460.00199364031.13015212.3E-4
6.52.782202E-62.8558404E-61.02855556E-436.015861.0E-41.1923668E-51.223926E-51.12238034E-49.1703281.0E-41.4516099E-41.4900314E-42.7898376E-41.87233481.3E-40.0014506620.00148906510.00168876721.13411252.0E-4
6.62.3163404E-62.38092E-69.238071E-538.8004269.0E-59.927136E-61.0203904E-51.0020298E-49.8200649.0E-51.20856166E-41.2422565E-42.4421074E-41.96586411.2E-40.00120790470.00124158230.00141137131.1367521.7E-4
6.72.037056E-62.0965003E-69.2096314E-543.9285939.0E-58.7302105E-68.984972E-69.8984165E-511.0166369.0E-51.0628513E-41.093867E-42.2937357E-42.09690551.2E-40.00106234310.00109334480.00126315891.15531621.7E-4
6.81.8356744E-61.8915287E-68.1891376E-543.2937558.0E-57.867153E-68.106527E-68.810588E-510.8685118.0E-59.577837E-59.869264E-52.0868178E-42.11446141.1E-49.57371E-49.86502E-40.00114634421.16202931.6E-4
6.91.6310546E-61.6832072E-68.168307E-548.5282338.0E-56.9902153E-67.213726E-68.721315E-512.089898.0E-58.510255E-58.782368E-51.9781402E-42.25239941.1E-48.5069967E-48.7790104E-40.00103776061.18209291.6E-4
7.01.2058036E-61.2508665E-68.1250764E-564.955588.0E-55.1677193E-65.3608455E-68.5360414E-515.9229388.0E-56.291517E-56.5266366E-51.7525919E-42.6852911.1E-46.289736E-46.524743E-47.923829E-41.21442781.4E-4
7.11.052382E-61.0951609E-68.109507E-574.048558.0E-54.5102006E-64.693538E-68.4693165E-518.044638.0E-55.491031E-55.7142337E-51.6713605E-42.92490741.1E-45.4896745E-45.7127734E-47.111973E-41.24492491.4E-4
7.21.0067454E-61.0487711E-68.104869E-577.279688.0E-54.3146156E-64.4947255E-68.4494364E-518.798568.0E-55.252918E-55.4721917E-51.647159E-43.01005361.1E-45.251676E-45.470853E-46.8700867E-41.25576161.4E-4
7.39.3596316E-79.767723E-77.0976705E-572.664537.0E-54.0112645E-64.1861604E-67.418587E-517.7216977.0E-54.8836053E-55.096532E-51.3096124E-42.5696158.0E-54.8825322E-45.095371E-46.19481E-41.21577231.1E-4
7.48.8117395E-79.2076635E-76.0920713E-566.1630556.0E-53.7764542E-63.9461356E-66.3945896E-516.2046896.0E-54.5977362E-54.8043148E-51.1803979E-42.45695357.0E-54.596785E-44.8032837E-45.802803E-41.20809091.0E-4
7.58.292386E-78.6745956E-73.0867435E-535.5837143.0E-53.5538749E-63.7176785E-63.3717566E-59.0695223.0E-54.326757E-54.5261804E-58.525999E-51.88370744.0E-54.3259145E-44.5252658E-45.224949E-41.15461717.0E-5
7.67.553842E-77.9144706E-72.079143E-526.2701472.0E-53.2373566E-63.3919116E-62.3391844E-56.896362.0E-53.9414106E-54.129575E-57.129451E-51.72643713.0E-53.9407116E-44.1288146E-44.728567E-41.14526026.0E-5
7.76.5285366E-76.852797E-71.0685273E-515.5925721.0E-52.797941E-62.9369096E-61.293688E-54.40492961.0E-53.40644E-53.5756293E-54.5755936E-51.2796611.0E-53.405918E-43.5750607E-43.9749176E-41.11184624.0E-5
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-71.0364823E-528.4103071.0E-51.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.1563524E-57.39573431.0E-51.80467E-51.9035933E-52.9035744E-51.52531231.0E-51.8045233E-41.9034347E-42.0034157E-41.05252661.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

Scodie Lineament

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2919327E-63.0133303E-69.301306E-530.8671959.0E-51.4108206E-51.2914227E-51.2291281E-49.5176281.1E-41.7175387E-41.5722254E-43.471927E-42.2082881.9E-40.00171621180.00157142480.00184100051.17154862.7E-4
6.11.8663811E-61.5490382E-65.154896E-533.2780465.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-66.663832E-510.0378266.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.7081665E-42.11344179.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-49.2789717E-41.14839591.2E-4
6.21.8663811E-61.5490382E-65.154896E-533.2780465.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-66.663832E-510.0378266.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.7081665E-42.11344179.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-49.2789717E-41.14839591.2E-4
6.31.8663811E-61.5490382E-65.154896E-533.2780465.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-66.663832E-510.0378266.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.7081665E-42.11344179.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-49.2789717E-41.14839591.2E-4
6.41.8663811E-61.5490382E-65.154896E-533.2780465.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-66.663832E-510.0378266.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.7081665E-42.11344179.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-49.2789717E-41.14839591.2E-4
6.51.8106311E-61.4909722E-64.1490912E-527.8280944.0E-57.759824E-66.389868E-65.638955E-58.8248385.0E-59.447177E-57.779436E-51.5778813E-42.02827228.0E-59.4431615E-47.7771995E-48.8763435E-41.1413291.1E-4
6.61.2414679E-68.9974395E-73.089972E-534.342793.0E-55.320566E-63.85604E-64.3855885E-511.3732964.0E-56.477596E-54.6946367E-59.694402E-52.0649955.0E-56.475708E-44.6937316E-45.29345E-41.12777016.0E-5
6.71.1062215E-67.594193E-73.07594E-540.5038383.0E-54.7409408E-63.2546504E-64.325452E-513.2900664.0E-55.7719422E-53.962472E-57.962313E-52.0094314.0E-55.770443E-43.9618355E-44.4616373E-41.12615425.0E-5
6.81.0006736E-66.5002786E-72.0650015E-531.767892.0E-54.288594E-62.7858312E-62.2785776E-58.1791662.0E-55.221238E-53.391703E-55.391635E-51.58965432.0E-55.220012E-43.3912458E-43.591178E-41.05895542.0E-5
6.99.167364E-75.6315065E-72.0563139E-536.5144542.0E-53.9288643E-62.413501E-62.2413453E-59.2866972.0E-54.7832873E-52.9384037E-54.938345E-51.68062172.0E-54.782258E-42.9380718E-43.138013E-41.06805182.0E-5
7.07.6987664E-74.113265E-72.0411318E-549.6231542.0E-53.2994672E-61.7628269E-62.1762791E-512.3453932.0E-54.0170275E-52.1462245E-54.1461815E-51.9318492.0E-54.0163012E-42.1460558E-42.3460129E-41.09317422.0E-5
7.17.1038727E-73.5210306E-72.0352096E-557.8015332.0E-53.0445133E-61.5090123E-62.1508982E-514.2536822.0E-53.706632E-51.8372106E-53.8371738E-52.08858682.0E-53.7060137E-41.8370937E-42.037057E-41.10884762.0E-5
7.22.0799602E-73.1178534E-83.1178534E-81.00.08.914113E-71.3362228E-71.3362228E-71.00.01.0852878E-51.6268501E-61.6268501E-61.00.01.08523476E-41.626839E-51.626839E-51.00.0
7.31.5048182E-71.5939106E-81.5939106E-81.00.06.449219E-76.8310456E-86.8310456E-81.00.07.851896E-68.316795E-78.316795E-71.00.07.851618E-58.316767E-68.316767E-61.00.0
7.45.9334678E-84.8638475E-94.8638475E-91.00.02.5429145E-72.084506E-82.084506E-81.00.03.095994E-62.5378858E-72.5378858E-71.00.03.095951E-52.5378843E-62.5378843E-61.00.0

Lake Isabella (Seismicity)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.431637E-69.741651E-61.3974038E-414.3446291.3E-44.0420677E-54.1749343E-52.0174266E-44.8322361.6E-44.920106E-45.0819275E-46.980962E-41.37368391.9E-40.0049092270.0050715990.0053203311.04904412.5E-4
6.19.431637E-69.741651E-61.3974038E-414.3446291.3E-44.0420677E-54.1749343E-52.0174266E-44.8322361.6E-44.920106E-45.0819275E-46.980962E-41.37368391.9E-40.0049092270.0050715990.0053203311.04904412.5E-4
6.29.431637E-69.741651E-61.3974038E-414.3446291.3E-44.0420677E-54.1749343E-52.0174266E-44.8322361.6E-44.920106E-45.0819275E-46.980962E-41.37368391.9E-40.0049092270.0050715990.0053203311.04904412.5E-4
6.39.431637E-69.741651E-61.3974038E-414.3446291.3E-44.0420677E-54.1749343E-52.0174266E-44.8322361.6E-44.920106E-45.0819275E-46.980962E-41.37368391.9E-40.0049092270.0050715990.0053203311.04904412.5E-4
6.45.144063E-65.3000763E-68.529965E-516.0940448.0E-52.2045799E-52.2714434E-51.2271217E-45.4023871.0E-42.6837454E-42.765166E-43.964834E-41.43385031.2E-40.00268050660.00276206570.00291165131.05415711.5E-4
6.55.144063E-65.3000763E-68.529965E-516.0940448.0E-52.2045799E-52.2714434E-51.2271217E-45.4023871.0E-42.6837454E-42.765166E-43.964834E-41.43385031.2E-40.00268050660.00276206570.00291165131.05415711.5E-4
6.63.4009804E-63.498786E-67.3498544E-521.0068687.0E-51.4575549E-51.4994721E-51.0499337E-47.00202239.0E-51.7744285E-41.8254704E-42.9252697E-41.60247451.1E-40.00177301230.00182412860.00194390971.06566491.2E-4
6.73.3880428E-63.4856528E-67.348541E-521.0822537.0E-51.4520103E-51.4938435E-51.0493709E-47.0246379.0E-51.767679E-41.8186188E-42.9184186E-41.60474471.1E-40.00176627360.00181728820.00193707021.06591251.2E-4
6.82.6582E-62.7337003E-66.273354E-522.9482146.0E-51.1392236E-51.1715813E-59.171488E-57.8282988.0E-51.3869164E-41.4263204E-42.3261919E-41.63090439.0E-50.00138605120.00142553690.00151540861.06304419.0E-5
6.92.406011E-62.4743288E-66.247418E-525.248946.0E-51.0311434E-51.0604231E-59.060338E-58.5440798.0E-51.2553448E-41.2910018E-42.1908856E-41.69704319.0E-50.00125463590.00129038140.00138026531.06965689.0E-5
7.01.6953097E-61.7429371E-64.1742867E-523.9497264.0E-57.265593E-67.469715E-66.7469264E-59.0323746.0E-58.8455E-59.094104E-51.6093467E-41.76965957.0E-58.84198E-49.09141E-49.790773E-41.07692587.0E-5
7.13.5013824E-73.5714822E-73.5714822E-71.00.01.5005916E-61.5306344E-61.1530619E-57.5332291.0E-51.826955E-51.8635317E-52.8635131E-51.53660551.0E-51.8268047E-41.863378E-41.9633592E-41.0536561.0E-5
7.22.2321095E-72.2750574E-72.2750574E-71.00.09.56618E-79.750242E-71.0975014E-511.25614551.0E-51.1646762E-51.1870856E-52.1870737E-51.84238921.0E-51.1646151E-41.1870232E-41.2870114E-41.08423441.0E-5
7.31.5760406E-71.6060922E-71.6060922E-71.00.06.7544585E-76.8832503E-71.0688318E-515.5280091.0E-58.223522E-68.380326E-61.8380242E-52.1932611.0E-58.2232174E-58.3800165E-59.3799325E-51.11932151.0E-5
7.41.1216497E-71.1431706E-71.1431706E-71.00.04.8070694E-74.899302E-71.0489925E-521.4110621.0E-55.852591E-65.964884E-61.5964824E-52.67646861.0E-55.8524372E-55.9647282E-56.964669E-51.16764221.0E-5
7.54.885185E-84.9787737E-84.9787737E-81.00.02.0936506E-72.13376E-72.13376E-71.00.02.5490165E-62.59785E-62.59785E-61.00.02.5489873E-52.5978214E-52.5978214E-51.00.0
7.61.504641E-91.5317903E-91.5317903E-91.00.06.4484613E-96.5648154E-96.5648154E-91.00.07.851001E-87.992663E-87.992663E-81.00.07.8509987E-77.992663E-77.992663E-71.00.0

Cleghorn Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0522846E-51.1040642E-56.104009E-55.5286725.0E-54.509713E-54.7316473E-51.0731364E-42.26799736.0E-55.4891926E-45.759784E-46.959093E-41.20822111.2E-40.00547565330.0057500220.00592898671.03112421.8E-4
6.11.0522846E-51.1040642E-56.104009E-55.5286725.0E-54.509713E-54.7316473E-51.0731364E-42.26799736.0E-55.4891926E-45.759784E-46.959093E-41.20822111.2E-40.00547565330.0057500220.00592898671.03112421.8E-4
6.22.1045846E-62.2082024E-62.2082024E-61.00.09.019617E-69.463714E-69.463714E-61.00.01.098083E-41.1521882E-41.2521767E-41.08678141.0E-50.00109754060.00115200230.00116199071.00867061.0E-5
6.32.1045846E-62.2082024E-62.2082024E-61.00.09.019617E-69.463714E-69.463714E-61.00.01.098083E-41.1521882E-41.2521767E-41.08678141.0E-50.00109754060.00115200230.00116199071.00867061.0E-5
6.41.7259927E-61.810877E-61.810877E-61.00.07.3970905E-67.760902E-67.760902E-61.00.09.005586E-59.4488976E-51.04488034E-41.10582241.0E-59.001937E-49.448898E-49.548803E-41.01057331.0E-5

Santa Ynez (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2269712E-53.6750775E-51.1674783E-43.1767458.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.4748297E-41.5713499.0E-50.00168239790.00191642530.00208609951.08853691.7E-40.0166971780.0190564380.0192526261.01029522.0E-4
6.13.2269712E-53.6750775E-51.1674783E-43.1767458.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.4748297E-41.5713499.0E-50.00168239790.00191642530.00208609951.08853691.7E-40.0166971780.0190564380.0192526261.01029522.0E-4
6.23.2269712E-53.6750775E-51.1674783E-43.1767458.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.4748297E-41.5713499.0E-50.00168239790.00191642530.00208609951.08853691.7E-40.0166971780.0190564380.0192526261.01029522.0E-4
6.33.2269712E-53.6750775E-51.1674783E-43.1767458.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.4748297E-41.5713499.0E-50.00168239790.00191642530.00208609951.08853691.7E-40.0166971780.0190564380.0192526261.01029522.0E-4
6.41.4404779E-51.48492945E-54.484885E-53.0202683.0E-56.1733306E-56.363831E-59.36364E-51.47138423.0E-57.513438E-47.7452604E-48.2448736E-41.06450565.0E-50.00748808540.0077188170.00776843071.00642765.0E-5
6.51.4404779E-51.48492945E-54.484885E-53.0202683.0E-56.1733306E-56.363831E-59.36364E-51.47138423.0E-57.513438E-47.7452604E-48.2448736E-41.06450565.0E-50.00748808540.0077188170.00776843071.00642765.0E-5
6.61.280208E-51.301186E-54.301147E-53.3055593.0E-55.4864904E-55.5763932E-58.576226E-51.53795223.0E-56.6777546E-46.7871617E-47.286822E-41.07361855.0E-50.0066577240.00676664340.00681630481.00733925.0E-5
6.71.2457027E-51.262838E-54.2628002E-53.37557153.0E-55.3386164E-55.4120515E-58.4118896E-51.55428843.0E-56.497827E-46.5871974E-47.086868E-41.07585485.0E-50.006478860.006567870.00661754141.00756295.0E-5
6.81.2095134E-51.2230827E-54.223046E-53.45278863.0E-55.1835254E-55.2416784E-58.2415216E-51.57230573.0E-56.309115E-46.3798914E-46.879572E-41.07832125.0E-50.00629123250.0063617640.0064114461.00780945.0E-5
6.91.1104036E-51.115726E-54.1156924E-53.68880223.0E-54.758786E-54.781596E-57.7814526E-51.62737563.0E-55.7922816E-45.82005E-46.2198174E-41.06868794.0E-50.0057772070.00580495360.00584472161.00685074.0E-5
7.01.0577444E-51.05815925E-54.0581275E-53.83508183.0E-54.5331115E-54.53489E-57.534754E-51.66150753.0E-55.5176654E-45.5198424E-45.9196213E-41.07242584.0E-50.00550398560.005506270.00554604971.00722444.0E-5
7.11.0021775E-59.9809E-63.99806E-54.0057113.0E-54.294976E-54.277459E-57.2773306E-51.70132093.0E-55.2278786E-45.206574E-45.606366E-41.07678594.0E-50.00521559640.0051945080.00523430061.00766044.0E-5
7.28.874109E-68.748706E-63.8748443E-54.42904853.0E-53.8031343E-53.7493923E-56.74928E-51.80009963.0E-54.629332E-44.56394E-44.963757E-41.08760364.0E-50.00461970.00455468470.0045945031.00874224.0E-5
7.37.5504267E-67.5050243E-63.75048E-54.9972923.0E-53.235857E-53.2164E-56.216303E-51.93268993.0E-53.9389438E-43.9152734E-44.3151167E-41.1021244.0E-50.00393196940.00390848240.0039483261.01019424.0E-5
7.46.309394E-66.183062E-63.6182875E-55.8519353.0E-52.703998E-52.6498574E-55.6497778E-52.13210633.0E-53.2916202E-43.2257332E-43.6256041E-41.12396284.0E-50.0032867490.00322114840.00326101951.0123784.0E-5
7.54.6103073E-64.4408016E-62.4440713E-55.5036712.0E-51.975831E-51.9031871E-53.9031493E-52.05084872.0E-52.4053088E-42.316891E-42.6168214E-41.12945393.0E-50.0024027070.0023145450.00234447561.01293153.0E-5
7.61.2858658E-61.3008196E-61.3008196E-61.00.05.5108417E-65.574929E-65.574929E-61.00.06.7092435E-56.787272E-57.787204E-51.14732461.0E-56.707218E-46.7852676E-46.8852E-41.01472781.0E-5
7.75.3302307E-75.612138E-75.612138E-71.00.02.2843826E-62.4052001E-62.4052001E-61.00.02.7812002E-52.9282955E-53.9282662E-51.34148561.0E-52.7808524E-42.9279455E-43.0279162E-41.03414371.0E-5
7.84.613933E-84.80301E-84.80301E-81.00.01.9773998E-72.0584326E-72.0584326E-71.00.02.4074816E-62.5061388E-62.5061388E-61.00.02.4074554E-52.5061116E-52.5061116E-51.00.0

Santa Rosa Island

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1143165E-54.709113E-59.708877E-52.0617215.0E-51.7631594E-42.0180462E-42.617925E-41.29725736.0E-50.0021445330.00245439910.00253420281.03251468.0E-50.0212395530.0242935570.0244594271.00682771.7E-4
6.12.1061249E-52.3864959E-54.3864482E-51.83802882.0E-59.0259375E-51.0227455E-41.2227251E-41.19553212.0E-50.00109835390.00124451030.0012744731.02407593.0E-50.010929410.012378450.0124673361.00718079.0E-5
6.22.1061249E-52.3864959E-54.3864482E-51.83802882.0E-59.0259375E-51.0227455E-41.2227251E-41.19553212.0E-50.00109835390.00124451030.0012744731.02407593.0E-50.010929410.012378450.0124673361.00718079.0E-5
6.31.5158236E-51.7074419E-53.7074078E-52.1713232.0E-56.496225E-57.3174095E-59.317263E-51.27330082.0E-57.906284E-48.9054246E-49.2051574E-41.03365733.0E-50.0078782140.008870990.0089304581.00670366.0E-5
6.41.2341918E-51.3852917E-53.385264E-52.44371942.0E-55.2892858E-55.9368336E-57.936715E-51.336862.0E-56.437803E-47.225779E-47.5255625E-41.0414883.0E-50.0064191840.00720312170.00723290541.00413493.0E-5
6.59.061158E-61.0117032E-51.0117032E-51.00.03.883296E-54.3358017E-54.3358017E-51.00.04.726887E-45.277613E-45.37756E-41.0189381.0E-50.0047168450.00526561770.00527556471.00188911.0E-5
6.67.5461685E-68.400734E-68.400734E-61.00.03.2340322E-53.600267E-53.600267E-51.00.03.936723E-44.3824868E-44.4824427E-41.02280811.0E-50.0039297560.00437427360.004384231.00227611.0E-5
6.75.5023775E-66.087381E-66.087381E-61.00.02.3581404E-52.6088532E-52.6088532E-51.00.02.8706578E-43.1758484E-43.2758166E-41.03147771.0E-50.00286695220.00317163160.00318159981.0031431.0E-5
6.83.7351679E-64.0831405E-64.0831405E-61.00.01.6007763E-51.7499071E-51.7499071E-51.00.01.948771E-42.1303285E-42.1303285E-41.00.00.00194706290.00212853150.00212853151.00.0
6.92.456366E-62.6292707E-62.6292707E-61.00.01.0527241E-51.1268255E-51.1268255E-51.00.01.2816161E-41.3718239E-41.3718239E-41.00.00.00128087730.00137097990.00137097991.00.0
7.02.3245157E-62.4827784E-62.4827784E-61.00.09.962172E-61.0640436E-51.0640436E-51.00.01.2128269E-41.2953962E-41.2953962E-41.00.00.00121216520.00129464340.00129464341.00.0
7.12.2248344E-62.37325E-62.37325E-61.00.09.53497E-61.0171032E-51.0171032E-51.00.01.1608207E-41.238253E-41.238253E-41.00.00.00116021440.00123756510.00123756511.00.0
7.22.1350402E-62.2761542E-62.2761542E-61.00.09.150141E-69.75491E-69.75491E-61.00.01.1139726E-41.1875957E-41.1875957E-41.00.00.00111341440.00118696290.00118696291.00.0
7.31.9793572E-62.1087192E-62.1087192E-61.00.08.482932E-69.037337E-69.037337E-61.00.01.032748E-41.1002403E-41.1002403E-41.00.00.00103226820.00109969740.00109969741.00.0
7.41.6951194E-61.8045735E-61.8045735E-61.00.07.264777E-67.733864E-67.733864E-61.00.08.844508E-59.415574E-59.415574E-51.00.08.840988E-49.411601E-49.411601E-41.00.0
7.58.987207E-79.512216E-79.512216E-71.00.03.8516546E-64.0766577E-64.0766577E-61.00.04.6892885E-54.9632188E-54.9632188E-51.00.04.688299E-44.962122E-44.962122E-41.00.0
7.63.8783037E-74.0529335E-74.0529335E-71.00.01.6621291E-61.7369704E-61.7369704E-61.00.02.0236233E-52.1147416E-52.1147416E-51.00.02.023439E-42.114547E-42.114547E-41.00.0
7.76.181804E-86.339047E-86.339047E-81.00.02.6493444E-72.7167343E-72.7167343E-71.00.03.225572E-63.307619E-63.307619E-61.00.03.225525E-53.3075703E-53.3075703E-51.00.0
7.81.3704449E-91.3964153E-91.3964153E-91.00.05.873335E-95.984637E-95.984637E-91.00.07.1507856E-87.286295E-87.286295E-81.00.07.1507833E-77.286294E-77.286294E-71.00.0

Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.169034E-54.7137048E-58.713516E-51.84854954.0E-51.7866064E-42.0200513E-42.7199098E-41.34645587.0E-50.00217302330.00245746570.00257717071.04871081.2E-40.0215189680.024384830.0245311731.00600141.5E-4
6.11.73813E-51.6854203E-54.6853696E-52.77994133.0E-57.4489166E-57.223036E-51.1222747E-41.55374374.0E-59.065282E-48.790605E-49.4899896E-41.07956057.0E-50.0090283910.0087571280.0088364291.00905548.0E-5
6.21.4622182E-51.3673262E-54.367285E-53.1940333.0E-56.2664985E-55.85984E-59.859606E-51.68257254.0E-57.6267915E-47.132059E-47.731631E-41.08406726.0E-50.0076006690.0071097670.00717926961.00977567.0E-5
6.31.3552434E-51.2482174E-54.24818E-53.40339763.0E-55.8080568E-55.349395E-59.349181E-51.74770814.0E-57.069015E-46.510974E-47.110583E-41.09209226.0E-50.007046570.0064924150.006561961.01071187.0E-5
6.41.30977305E-51.1979128E-53.197889E-52.66955042.0E-55.613192E-55.133813E-58.133659E-51.5843313.0E-56.831918E-46.2486547E-46.7483424E-41.07996735.0E-50.0068109530.0062315840.006291211.00956836.0E-5
6.51.225205E-51.1048776E-52.1048665E-51.90506771.0E-55.2507727E-54.735105E-56.7350105E-51.42235712.0E-56.3909404E-45.7634927E-46.1632623E-41.06936244.0E-50.0063725920.0057490090.00579872171.00864725.0E-5
6.61.1352241E-51.0063508E-52.0063408E-51.99367931.0E-54.8651553E-54.3128617E-56.312776E-51.46370922.0E-55.921717E-45.249665E-45.649455E-41.07615534.0E-50.00590596160.00523766460.00528740231.00949625.0E-5
6.71.0864116E-59.517E-61.9516905E-52.05074121.0E-54.6559664E-54.0786515E-56.07857E-51.49033812.0E-55.667165E-44.964647E-45.264498E-41.06039733.0E-50.0056527340.00495394370.00499374561.00803434.0E-5
6.81.0666365E-59.299752E-61.929966E-52.07528761.0E-54.571219E-53.985548E-55.9854683E-51.5017932.0E-55.564038E-44.8513446E-45.151199E-41.06180863.0E-50.0055501270.004841140.00488094661.00822254.0E-5
6.91.0038665E-58.592018E-61.8591933E-52.16386081.0E-54.302214E-53.682243E-55.682169E-51.54312732.0E-55.236687E-44.4822265E-44.782092E-41.0669013.0E-50.0052243640.00447355070.00451337171.00890154.0E-5
7.09.5379955E-68.025047E-61.8024966E-52.24608871.0E-54.0876483E-53.439261E-55.4391923E-51.58150032.0E-54.975576E-44.1865133E-44.4863875E-41.07162873.0E-50.004964450.004178980.00421881261.00953174.0E-5
7.19.207389E-67.652347E-61.7652272E-52.30677841.0E-53.945964E-53.2795375E-55.2794716E-51.60982222.0E-54.803152E-43.992122E-44.2920024E-41.0751183.0E-50.0047927840.0039853010.00402514171.00999694.0E-5
7.27.638091E-65.9310923E-65.9310923E-61.00.03.2734264E-52.5418722E-53.5418467E-51.39340081.0E-53.984668E-43.094293E-43.194262E-41.03230751.0E-50.00397753060.00309019560.00311013381.00645212.0E-5
7.37.2500147E-65.596131E-65.596131E-61.00.03.1071122E-52.3983199E-53.398296E-51.41694861.0E-53.7822526E-42.9195662E-43.019537E-41.03424171.0E-50.00377582150.00291594020.0029358821.00683882.0E-5
7.46.3899715E-64.9184864E-64.9184864E-61.00.02.7385306E-52.1079059E-53.107885E-51.47439441.0E-53.3336508E-42.566075E-42.6660494E-41.038961.0E-50.00332865420.0025633110.00258325971.00778252.0E-5
7.55.379025E-64.0838477E-64.0838477E-61.00.02.305276E-51.7502087E-52.7501912E-51.57135051.0E-52.806312E-42.1306718E-42.2306504E-41.04692351.0E-50.00280277080.00212864020.00213861881.00468781.0E-5
7.64.1270696E-63.0883373E-63.0883373E-61.00.01.768732E-51.32356645E-52.3235532E-51.75552441.0E-52.1532185E-41.6113237E-41.7113076E-41.06205081.0E-50.00215113330.00161016350.00162014741.00620061.0E-5
7.72.5406805E-61.8282044E-61.8282044E-61.00.01.0888585E-57.835139E-61.783506E-52.27629161.0E-51.3256045E-49.53887E-51.0538774E-41.10482421.0E-50.00132481429.534837E-49.6347416E-41.01047791.0E-5
7.84.8608285E-73.509864E-73.509864E-71.00.02.0832106E-61.5042266E-61.5042266E-61.00.02.5362791E-51.8313805E-51.8313805E-51.00.02.5359896E-41.8312308E-41.8312308E-41.00.0
7.92.0472514E-81.2688718E-81.2688718E-81.00.08.7739345E-85.438022E-85.438022E-81.00.01.068226E-66.6207895E-76.6207895E-71.00.01.0682209E-56.620771E-66.620771E-61.00.0
8.04.443582E-92.032067E-92.032067E-91.00.01.9043922E-88.7088585E-98.7088585E-91.00.02.3185973E-71.0603035E-71.0603035E-71.00.02.3185949E-61.0603031E-61.0603031E-61.00.0

Owens Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.83821E-53.6210524E-67.36208E-520.3313277.0E-52.0733538E-41.551871E-59.551747E-56.1549888.0E-50.0025213861.889249E-43.0890224E-41.6350531.2E-40.0249296910.00192971410.00209938621.08792591.7E-4
6.14.83821E-53.6210524E-67.36208E-520.3313277.0E-52.0733538E-41.551871E-59.551747E-56.1549888.0E-50.0025213861.889249E-43.0890224E-41.6350531.2E-40.0249296910.00192971410.00209938621.08792591.7E-4
6.24.83821E-53.6210524E-67.36208E-520.3313277.0E-52.0733538E-41.551871E-59.551747E-56.1549888.0E-50.0025213861.889249E-43.0890224E-41.6350531.2E-40.0249296910.00192971410.00209938621.08792591.7E-4
6.33.953008E-53.1530958E-67.315288E-523.2003337.0E-51.6940363E-41.3513202E-59.351212E-56.92005638.0E-50.0020605381.6451156E-42.844918E-41.72931211.2E-40.0204153640.00166216270.00183188021.10210631.7E-4
6.43.953008E-53.1530958E-67.315288E-523.2003337.0E-51.6940363E-41.3513202E-59.351212E-56.92005638.0E-50.0020605381.6451156E-42.844918E-41.72931211.2E-40.0204153640.00166216270.00183188021.10210631.7E-4
6.53.457342E-52.9707387E-66.297056E-521.1969366.0E-51.4816338E-41.273168E-58.273079E-56.49802647.0E-50.00180239651.5499788E-42.6498083E-41.70957721.1E-40.0178784770.00155631190.00171606281.10264721.6E-4
6.63.1127765E-52.8737306E-66.287356E-521.8787236.0E-51.3339789E-41.2315934E-58.231507E-56.6836247.0E-50.00162290921.4993687E-42.5992037E-41.73353211.1E-40.0161110810.00150134380.00166110361.10641121.6E-4
6.72.806885E-52.8101606E-66.2809995E-522.3510346.0E-51.2028952E-41.2043493E-58.204265E-56.8121977.0E-50.0014635411.4662035E-42.5660422E-41.7501271.1E-40.0145393970.00146560870.00162537421.10900961.6E-4
6.82.524524E-52.2351392E-66.2235005E-527.8439066.0E-51.0818939E-49.579134E-66.957856E-57.2635546.0E-50.00131640991.16620016E-42.1660836E-41.85738581.0E-40.013086390.0011658270.00131565221.1285141.5E-4
6.92.2704568E-51.6079711E-66.1607876E-538.3140456.0E-59.730166E-56.8912864E-66.6890876E-59.7065886.0E-50.00118400398.38982E-51.838898E-42.19182061.0E-40.0117771538.38853E-49.787356E-41.16675461.4E-4
7.02.0871712E-51.5393621E-66.153927E-539.9771236.0E-58.944713E-56.5972495E-66.6596855E-510.0946396.0E-50.00108847468.031857E-51.8031054E-42.24494221.0E-40.0108315868.030395E-49.429271E-41.17419771.4E-4
7.11.944928E-51.3862556E-66.138617E-544.2826.0E-58.335139E-55.941082E-66.594072E-511.0991116.0E-50.00101433087.233028E-51.7232305E-42.38244681.0E-40.0100971337.2319806E-48.630968E-41.19344461.4E-4
7.21.7876306E-51.2487686E-66.124869E-549.047276.0E-57.6610486E-55.3518543E-66.535153E-512.2110076.0E-59.3233347E-46.515689E-51.6515037E-42.53465721.0E-40.0092843166.5148395E-47.9139275E-41.2147541.4E-4
7.31.2618672E-51.1113839E-66.1111314E-554.9866876.0E-55.40789E-54.763065E-66.476278E-513.596876.0E-56.582117E-45.7988782E-51.5798298E-42.72437141.0E-40.00656265535.7983754E-47.0976216E-41.22407071.3E-4
7.47.4874442E-68.547518E-76.08547E-571.1957556.0E-53.208865E-53.6632168E-66.3663E-517.3789866.0E-53.906093E-44.4598757E-51.4459429E-43.2421151.0E-40.0038992344.459579E-45.758999E-41.29137731.3E-4
7.52.4734156E-66.0679935E-76.0606762E-599.879416.0E-51.060031E-52.6005662E-66.260041E-524.0718386.0E-51.2905113E-43.1661435E-51.3165826E-44.15831661.0E-40.00128976213.1656958E-44.4652843E-41.41052221.3E-4
7.61.1328841E-63.1961991E-73.031961E-594.861453.0E-54.8552088E-61.369799E-63.1369756E-522.9009933.0E-55.9110564E-51.6677177E-58.667601E-55.19728337.0E-55.9094845E-41.6675945E-42.5674445E-41.53960969.0E-5
7.74.8613185E-78.962742E-81.0089627E-5112.572991.0E-52.0834207E-63.8411747E-71.0384114E-527.0336931.0E-52.536535E-54.676621E-62.4676527E-55.2765722.0E-52.5362454E-44.676529E-56.6764354E-51.42764762.0E-5

Lost Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.233523E-52.5106583E-58.510508E-53.38975146.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.7758862E-41.65051097.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00142920691.09152761.2E-40.0115866860.0130330910.0131910051.01211641.6E-4
6.12.233523E-52.5106583E-58.510508E-53.38975146.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.7758862E-41.65051097.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00142920691.09152761.2E-40.0115866860.0130330910.0131910051.01211641.6E-4
6.22.233523E-52.5106583E-58.510508E-53.38975146.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.7758862E-41.65051097.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00142920691.09152761.2E-40.0115866860.0130330910.0131910051.01211641.6E-4
6.32.233523E-52.5106583E-58.510508E-53.38975146.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.7758862E-41.65051097.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00142920691.09152761.2E-40.0115866860.0130330910.0131910051.01211641.6E-4
6.41.2288092E-51.3781108E-56.378042E-54.62810565.0E-55.2662188E-55.906108E-51.0905813E-41.84653125.0E-56.409735E-47.189252E-48.088605E-41.12509699.0E-50.0063912790.00717520060.00729433961.01660431.2E-4
6.51.2288092E-51.3781108E-56.378042E-54.62810565.0E-55.2662188E-55.906108E-51.0905813E-41.84653125.0E-56.409735E-47.189252E-48.088605E-41.12509699.0E-50.0063912790.00717520060.00729433961.01660431.2E-4
6.68.58281E-69.63377E-63.963348E-54.11401563.0E-53.6782953E-54.12874E-57.1286166E-51.7265843.0E-54.4774043E-45.026414E-45.5261626E-41.09942455.0E-50.00446839350.0050232050.0050829041.01188466.0E-5
6.77.205685E-68.088302E-63.808806E-54.70903063.0E-53.088114E-53.466415E-56.466311E-51.86541753.0E-53.7591302E-44.2203604E-44.7201492E-41.11842335.0E-50.00375277760.00422036040.0042801071.01415686.0E-5

Santa Ynez (West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.7352758E-55.497084E-51.14967545E-42.09142786.0E-52.0292461E-42.3556968E-43.055532E-41.2970827.0E-50.00246780760.0028645580.0029742431.03829041.1E-40.0244058180.0283044560.0284307771.0044631.3E-4
6.14.7352758E-55.497084E-51.14967545E-42.09142786.0E-52.0292461E-42.3556968E-43.055532E-41.2970827.0E-50.00246780760.0028645580.00296427151.03480941.0E-40.0244058180.0283044560.028421061.00411961.2E-4
6.23.0415853E-53.3925004E-58.39233E-52.47378925.0E-51.3034715E-41.4538495E-42.0537623E-41.41263756.0E-50.00158582120.00176865920.00185851.0507969.0E-50.0157455220.017549780.0176480241.00559811.0E-4
6.33.0415853E-53.3925004E-58.39233E-52.47378925.0E-51.3034715E-41.4538495E-42.0537623E-41.41263756.0E-50.00158582120.00176865920.00185851.0507969.0E-50.0157455220.017549780.0176480241.00559811.0E-4
6.42.5452082E-52.7912318E-57.7910925E-52.79127385.0E-51.09075794E-41.1961885E-41.7961167E-41.50153326.0E-50.00132718870.00145540560.00154527461.06174849.0E-50.0131929020.014460910.0145594641.00681521.0E-4
6.52.3143784E-52.5128133E-56.5127126E-52.59180144.0E-59.9183875E-51.07687636E-41.5768225E-41.46425585.0E-50.00120689480.0013103230.00138023121.0533527.0E-50.0120036110.0130276380.0131065961.00606088.0E-5
6.61.9118515E-52.0354244E-56.035343E-52.9651524.0E-58.193392E-58.722961E-51.2722611E-41.45851994.0E-59.97089E-40.0010615110.00111145791.04705265.0E-50.009926270.0105653170.0106147881.00468245.0E-5
6.71.722807E-51.8146253E-55.8145528E-53.20427184.0E-57.3832496E-57.776737E-51.17764255E-41.51431454.0E-58.985399E-49.4641204E-49.963647E-41.05278115.0E-50.0089491540.0094244610.009473991.00525535.0E-5
6.81.5317364E-51.5926391E-55.5925753E-53.51151444.0E-56.56442E-56.82542E-51.0825147E-41.58600454.0E-57.98925E-48.3068234E-48.806408E-41.06014145.0E-50.0079605890.0082762610.0083258471.00599135.0E-5
6.91.3071226E-51.332953E-54.332913E-53.2506123.0E-55.6018336E-55.712532E-58.7123604E-51.52513123.0E-56.8180985E-46.952811E-47.3525327E-41.05749074.0E-50.00679721730.00693131840.0069710411.00573094.0E-5
7.01.1836986E-51.1932688E-54.193233E-53.51407243.0E-55.0728955E-55.1139097E-58.1137565E-51.58660533.0E-56.1745E-46.2244234E-46.6241744E-41.06422294.0E-50.0061573720.00620718250.0062469341.00640424.0E-5
7.11.0597169E-51.0542107E-54.0541792E-53.8457013.0E-54.541565E-54.5179684E-57.517833E-51.66398533.0E-55.5279525E-45.4992497E-45.899029E-41.07269724.0E-50.00551422130.0054857720.00552555271.00725164.0E-5
7.29.59113E-69.45905E-63.9458766E-54.1715363.0E-54.11042E-54.053816E-57.0536946E-51.74001353.0E-55.0032866E-44.934414E-45.334217E-41.08102334.0E-50.0049920370.00492357650.00496337941.00808424.0E-5
7.38.586084E-68.379489E-63.837924E-54.58014063.0E-53.679698E-53.591161E-56.591053E-51.83535443.0E-54.4791115E-44.3713715E-44.7711967E-41.09146454.0E-50.0044700940.0043628840.00440270971.00912824.0E-5
7.47.2622997E-66.9514485E-63.695124E-55.3156173.0E-53.112377E-52.9791589E-55.9790695E-52.00696563.0E-53.78866E-43.6265317E-44.026387E-41.11025824.0E-50.00378220740.0036207140.00366056921.01100754.0E-5
7.55.627296E-65.2514984E-62.5251393E-54.8084172.0E-52.411676E-52.2506232E-54.250578E-51.88862282.0E-52.9358198E-42.7397962E-43.039714E-41.10946713.0E-50.00293194430.00273649050.00276640851.01093293.0E-5
7.62.265244E-62.0608632E-62.0608632E-61.00.09.708152E-68.832241E-68.832241E-61.00.01.18190335E-41.0752732E-41.1752624E-41.09298971.0E-50.0011812750.00107476150.00108475081.00929441.0E-5
7.71.3099874E-61.1016228E-61.1016228E-61.00.05.61422E-64.7212325E-64.7212325E-61.00.06.8350986E-55.7479516E-56.747894E-51.1739651.0E-56.832996E-45.7464885E-45.846431E-41.01739191.0E-5
7.87.903951E-76.0710704E-76.0710704E-71.00.03.3874032E-62.601885E-62.601885E-61.00.04.1240855E-53.16775E-53.16775E-51.00.04.12332E-43.167312E-43.167312E-41.00.0
7.97.0753297E-95.090092E-95.090092E-91.00.03.032284E-82.181468E-82.181468E-81.00.03.6918053E-72.655937E-72.655937E-71.00.03.691799E-62.6559348E-62.6559348E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.652694E-53.4401106E-59.4399045E-52.744076.0E-51.5653463E-41.4742499E-42.1741466E-41.47474787.0E-50.00190414310.00179342330.00192319021.0723571.3E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0186833371.00847641.6E-4
6.13.652694E-53.4401106E-59.4399045E-52.744076.0E-51.5653463E-41.4742499E-42.1741466E-41.47474787.0E-50.00190414310.00179342330.00192319021.0723571.3E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0186833371.00847641.6E-4
6.23.652694E-53.4401106E-59.4399045E-52.744076.0E-51.5653463E-41.4742499E-42.1741466E-41.47474787.0E-50.00190414310.00179342330.00192319021.0723571.3E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0186833371.00847641.6E-4
6.33.652694E-53.4401106E-59.4399045E-52.744076.0E-51.5653463E-41.4742499E-42.1741466E-41.47474787.0E-50.00190414310.00179342330.00192319021.0723571.3E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0186833371.00847641.6E-4
6.43.646941E-53.432268E-59.432062E-52.74805526.0E-51.5628811E-41.4708891E-42.1707862E-41.47583267.0E-50.00190114680.00178933890.00191910621.07252251.3E-40.0188496450.0184861810.0186432251.00849511.6E-4
6.53.646941E-53.432268E-59.432062E-52.74805526.0E-51.5628811E-41.4708891E-42.1707862E-41.47583267.0E-50.00190114680.00178933890.00191910621.07252251.3E-40.0188496450.0184861810.0186432251.00849511.6E-4
6.63.6442503E-53.4286066E-59.428401E-52.7499226.0E-51.561728E-41.4693203E-42.1692173E-41.47634087.0E-50.00189974550.0017874320.00191719961.07261.3E-40.0188358690.018467450.0186244961.00850391.6E-4
6.73.6432113E-53.427164E-59.4269584E-52.75065856.0E-51.5612828E-41.4687021E-42.1685993E-41.47654137.0E-50.00189920440.00178668070.00191644851.07263061.3E-40.0188305490.0184600740.0186171221.00850741.6E-4
6.83.6409598E-53.4240697E-59.423865E-52.75224076.0E-51.560318E-41.4673761E-42.1672733E-41.4769727.0E-50.00189803180.00178506890.00191483681.07269631.3E-40.0188190230.0184442290.0186012781.00851481.6E-4
6.93.638078E-53.4201123E-59.4199066E-52.75426846.0E-51.5590832E-41.4656801E-42.1655775E-41.47752397.0E-50.00189653110.00178300750.00191277571.07278051.3E-40.0188042690.0184239630.0185810141.00852431.6E-4
7.03.6294874E-53.408314E-59.408109E-52.76034126.0E-51.5554018E-41.4606243E-42.1605221E-41.47917717.0E-50.00189205690.00177686230.00190663131.07303261.3E-40.0187602840.0183635450.0185206071.00855291.6E-4
7.13.6260717E-53.403942E-59.403738E-52.7626026.0E-51.5539382E-41.4587509E-42.1586489E-41.47979267.0E-50.0018902780.00177458510.00190435441.07312661.3E-40.0187427960.0183411390.0184982051.00856351.6E-4
7.23.6210204E-53.397364E-59.3971605E-52.7660156.0E-51.5517735E-41.455932E-42.1558302E-41.48072177.0E-50.0018876470.00177115880.00190092861.07326831.3E-40.018716930.0183074080.018464481.00857961.6E-4
7.33.6119454E-53.386193E-59.38599E-52.77184156.0E-51.5478847E-41.4511449E-42.1510433E-41.48230787.0E-50.00188292060.00176533980.00189511041.07351021.3E-40.0186704620.018249960.0184070411.00860711.6E-4
7.43.607848E-53.380943E-59.38074E-52.77459296.0E-51.5461289E-41.4488952E-42.1487937E-41.48305687.0E-50.00188078660.00176260520.00189237611.07362451.3E-40.0186494810.0182229560.018380041.00862011.6E-4
7.53.5856774E-53.3619202E-59.3617185E-52.78463446.0E-51.5366284E-41.4407437E-42.1406428E-41.48579037.0E-50.00186923960.00175269670.00188246881.07404141.3E-40.0185359440.0181240570.0182811561.00866811.6E-4
7.63.286655E-53.2142278E-59.214035E-52.86664036.0E-51.4084904E-41.3774536E-42.077357E-41.50811417.0E-50.0017134880.00167576170.00180554381.07744671.3E-40.0170033610.0173438040.0175010281.00906521.6E-4
7.72.8882527E-52.9235205E-58.923345E-53.05226026.0E-51.237764E-41.2528773E-41.9527896E-41.55864397.0E-50.00150593570.00152431180.00165411361.08515441.3E-40.0149577130.0158303380.0159878041.00994721.6E-4
7.82.4950225E-52.6526219E-58.6524626E-53.2618536.0E-51.0692515E-41.1367885E-41.836709E-41.61569987.0E-50.00130103620.00138316210.00151298231.09385751.3E-40.0129344550.014411760.0145694541.01094211.6E-4
7.91.9881603E-52.150649E-58.15052E-53.78979546.0E-58.520408E-59.216742E-51.6216097E-41.75941747.0E-50.0010368660.00112156150.00125141571.11577991.3E-40.0103204150.0117769980.0119351141.01342581.6E-4
8.01.563292E-51.5936288E-54.593581E-52.8824663.0E-56.6996516E-56.829659E-59.829454E-51.43923063.0E-58.153773E-48.3119445E-48.811529E-41.06010445.0E-50.008123920.0088103310.0088896271.00900038.0E-5
8.11.0045313E-58.300794E-61.830071E-52.2046941.0E-54.305063E-53.557435E-54.5573994E-51.28109151.0E-55.2401534E-44.3303217E-44.530235E-41.0461662.0E-50.00522781440.00465876660.0046886271.00640953.0E-5
8.24.1554413E-61.5648296E-61.5648296E-61.00.01.7808914E-56.7063957E-66.7063957E-61.00.02.1680194E-48.164734E-58.164734E-51.00.00.00216590549.479703E-49.479703E-41.00.0
8.31.2758221E-63.612677E-73.612677E-71.00.05.4677976E-61.5482892E-61.5482892E-61.00.06.65684E-51.8850264E-51.8850264E-51.00.06.6548464E-42.2739546E-42.2739546E-41.00.0

Red Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1810763E-54.7590016E-57.7588586E-51.63035433.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.6392995E-41.2941416.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.00257011011.03619549.0E-50.0215804520.024544110.0246806741.0055641.4E-4
6.14.1810763E-54.7590016E-57.7588586E-51.63035433.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.6392995E-41.2941416.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.00257011011.03619549.0E-50.0215804520.024544110.0246806741.0055641.4E-4
6.24.1810763E-54.7590016E-57.7588586E-51.63035433.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.6392995E-41.2941416.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.00257011011.03619549.0E-50.0215804520.024544110.0246806741.0055641.4E-4
6.34.1810763E-54.7590016E-57.7588586E-51.63035433.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.6392995E-41.2941416.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.00257011011.03619549.0E-50.0215804520.024544110.0246806741.0055641.4E-4
6.44.1810763E-54.7590016E-57.7588586E-51.63035433.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.6392995E-41.2941416.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.00257011011.03619549.0E-50.0215804520.024544110.0246806741.0055641.4E-4
6.53.154503E-53.5359757E-55.535905E-51.56559482.0E-51.3518598E-41.5153353E-42.0152595E-41.32990995.0E-50.00164464670.00184345180.00192330431.04331688.0E-50.016325280.0182912440.0183894151.0053671.0E-4
6.63.1535834E-53.5349138E-55.534843E-51.56576472.0E-51.3514658E-41.5148803E-42.0148046E-41.33000915.0E-50.00164416760.00184289870.00192275131.04332988.0E-50.016320560.0182858050.0183839761.00536871.0E-4
6.72.8267326E-53.1469353E-55.1468727E-51.63551892.0E-51.2114006E-41.3486217E-41.8485542E-41.37069895.0E-50.00147388240.00164079540.00171068051.04259237.0E-50.0146414520.016295570.0163841041.0054339.0E-5
6.82.8212884E-53.1407242E-55.1406612E-51.63677592.0E-51.20906756E-41.3459599E-41.8458927E-41.37143215.0E-50.00147104570.00163755950.00170744491.04267667.0E-50.0146134590.0162636880.0163522231.00544389.0E-5
6.92.4227871E-52.6706994E-54.670646E-51.74884752.0E-51.03829596E-41.1445395E-41.6444823E-41.43680695.0E-50.00126339230.00139266210.00146256461.05019347.0E-50.0125623360.01384703350.0139357881.00640969.0E-5
7.02.348524E-52.5835778E-54.5835262E-51.77410032.0E-51.0064714E-41.10720495E-41.6071496E-41.45153765.0E-50.00122469010.0013472640.00141716971.05188727.0E-50.0121796270.0133985980.0134873921.00662719.0E-5
7.12.2311642E-52.4462845E-53.44626E-51.40877321.0E-59.561782E-51.04836974E-41.4483278E-41.38150484.0E-50.00116352520.00127571760.0013356411.04697246.0E-50.011574520.012691460.0127704441.00622348.0E-5
7.21.6533986E-51.7670362E-52.7670185E-51.56590941.0E-57.085802E-57.572828E-51.0572601E-41.39612323.0E-58.623549E-49.2166534E-49.516377E-41.03251983.0E-50.0085901610.0091847070.0092342481.00539395.0E-5
7.31.4703092E-51.5559537E-52.555938E-51.64268271.0E-56.301173E-56.668237E-59.668037E-51.4498643.0E-57.668978E-48.1161706E-48.4159273E-41.03693333.0E-50.00764256580.0080926040.0081421991.00612845.0E-5
7.46.1331984E-65.5288874E-65.5288874E-61.00.02.6284872E-52.3695018E-53.369478E-51.42201961.0E-53.199713E-42.884492E-42.984463E-41.03465821.0E-50.00319510980.00288080240.00289077361.00346121.0E-5
7.55.954766E-65.338517E-65.338517E-61.00.02.5520176E-52.2879161E-53.2878932E-51.43706891.0E-53.1066386E-42.785187E-42.885159E-41.03589431.0E-50.0031022990.00278175040.00279172251.00358491.0E-5
7.64.9726646E-64.315309E-64.315309E-61.00.02.1311245E-51.8494053E-52.8493867E-51.54070441.0E-52.5943352E-42.2514217E-42.3513992E-41.04440641.0E-50.00259130840.00224917540.0022591531.0044361.0E-5
7.73.3613894E-62.8526886E-62.8526886E-61.00.01.4405875E-51.22257525E-52.2225631E-51.81793561.0E-51.7537741E-41.4883863E-41.5883715E-41.06717681.0E-50.00175239080.00148741570.00149740091.0067131.0E-5
7.81.1828961E-61.0122935E-61.0122935E-61.00.05.069545E-64.338394E-64.338394E-61.00.06.171996E-55.281869E-55.281869E-51.00.06.170282E-45.280643E-45.280643E-41.00.0
7.92.2967266E-71.861919E-71.861919E-71.00.09.843111E-77.97965E-77.97965E-71.00.01.19839215E-59.715184E-69.715184E-61.00.01.1983275E-49.714788E-59.714788E-51.00.0

Independence rev 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.422171E-64.3262253E-67.432592E-517.1803177.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-58.853956E-54.7753777.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.4568738E-41.53152511.2E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00240480741.06636451.5E-4
6.14.422171E-64.3262253E-67.432592E-517.1803177.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-58.853956E-54.7753777.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.4568738E-41.53152511.2E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00240480741.06636451.5E-4
6.24.422171E-64.3262253E-67.432592E-517.1803177.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-58.853956E-54.7753777.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.4568738E-41.53152511.2E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00240480741.06636451.5E-4
6.34.422171E-64.3262253E-67.432592E-517.1803177.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-58.853956E-54.7753777.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.4568738E-41.53152511.2E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00240480741.06636451.5E-4
6.44.422171E-64.3262253E-67.432592E-517.1803177.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-58.853956E-54.7753777.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.4568738E-41.53152511.2E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00240480741.06636451.5E-4
6.54.422171E-64.3262253E-67.432592E-517.1803177.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-58.853956E-54.7753777.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-43.4568738E-41.53152511.2E-40.00230477080.00225514570.00240480741.06636451.5E-4
6.62.663744E-62.5319846E-67.253181E-528.6462297.0E-51.1415996E-51.08513195E-58.085056E-57.4507587.0E-51.3898089E-41.321073E-42.5209144E-41.90823261.2E-40.00138893990.00132033590.00147013791.11345741.5E-4
6.72.663744E-62.5319846E-67.253181E-528.6462297.0E-51.1415996E-51.08513195E-58.085056E-57.4507587.0E-51.3898089E-41.321073E-42.5209144E-41.90823261.2E-40.00138893990.00132033590.00147013791.11345741.5E-4
6.81.9716529E-61.8322567E-66.183215E-533.7464456.0E-58.449913E-67.852505E-66.785204E-58.6408146.0E-51.0287284E-49.560019E-52.0558968E-42.15051531.1E-40.00102825239.5560355E-40.00109546981.14636431.4E-4
6.91.8788617E-61.7429976E-66.1742896E-535.4233976.0E-58.0522395E-67.4699688E-66.746952E-59.0321026.0E-59.80316E-59.09432E-52.009332E-42.20943621.1E-49.798837E-49.090718E-40.00104894451.15386321.4E-4
7.01.5045488E-61.3849498E-65.138488E-537.1023455.0E-56.44805E-65.9354857E-65.593519E-59.4238615.0E-57.8502184E-57.226219E-51.7225496E-42.38374951.0E-47.8474457E-47.223921E-48.5229817E-41.17982771.3E-4
7.11.272341E-61.1625089E-65.116245E-544.0103765.0E-55.4528787E-64.9821715E-65.4981923E-511.0357345.0E-56.6386776E-56.0656283E-51.6065022E-42.64853381.0E-46.636695E-46.064005E-47.363216E-41.21424971.3E-4
7.21.0416892E-69.409871E-75.094094E-554.1356435.0E-54.464375E-64.032796E-65.4032593E-513.3982965.0E-55.4352407E-54.9098202E-51.4909329E-43.03663441.0E-45.4339116E-44.908754E-46.208116E-41.2647031.3E-4
7.37.9450155E-77.2350036E-75.0723465E-570.108415.0E-53.4050022E-63.1007123E-65.3100557E-517.1252785.0E-54.1455114E-53.7750528E-51.3774676E-43.64886951.0E-44.144738E-43.7744228E-45.073932E-41.34429351.3E-4
7.45.3893444E-75.0195166E-75.0501927E-5100.611145.0E-52.309717E-62.1512196E-65.2151114E-524.242585.0E-52.8120441E-52.6190788E-51.2618817E-44.8180361.0E-42.8116882E-42.6187746E-43.9184344E-41.49628531.3E-4
7.53.8852085E-73.6825622E-72.0368248E-555.309992.0E-51.6650882E-61.57824E-62.157821E-513.6723232.0E-52.027226E-51.9214905E-58.921356E-54.64293537.0E-52.0270412E-41.9213265E-42.9211343E-41.52037371.0E-4
7.62.414929E-72.3457605E-71.0234574E-543.630091.0E-51.0349692E-61.0053255E-61.1005315E-510.9470171.0E-51.2600677E-51.2239771E-57.223904E-55.90199236.0E-51.2599962E-41.223911E-42.1238008E-41.73525769.0E-5
7.76.8298014E-86.8589785E-86.8589785E-81.00.02.9270575E-72.939562E-72.939562E-71.00.03.5636867E-63.5789112E-63.5789112E-61.00.03.5636294E-53.5788584E-53.5788584E-51.00.0

Santa Cruz Island

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9164563E-53.1599742E-56.1598796E-51.94934483.0E-51.2498499E-41.3542121E-41.754158E-41.29533474.0E-50.00152063010.00164764260.00170754371.03635566.0E-50.0151026670.0163680.0164860361.00721131.2E-4
6.12.9164563E-53.1599742E-56.1598796E-51.94934483.0E-51.2498499E-41.3542121E-41.754158E-41.29533474.0E-50.00152063010.00164764260.00170754371.03635566.0E-50.0151026670.0163680.0164860361.00721131.2E-4
6.22.9164563E-53.1599742E-56.1598796E-51.94934483.0E-51.2498499E-41.3542121E-41.754158E-41.29533474.0E-50.00152063010.00164764260.00170754371.03635566.0E-50.0151026670.0163680.0164860361.00721131.2E-4
6.31.6635553E-51.780436E-53.7804002E-52.12330032.0E-57.1293274E-57.630227E-51.0629998E-41.39314323.0E-58.6765E-49.286024E-49.6856523E-41.04303554.0E-50.0086427010.0092490940.0093382621.00964079.0E-5
6.41.6635553E-51.780436E-53.7804002E-52.12330032.0E-57.1293274E-57.630227E-51.0629998E-41.39314323.0E-58.6765E-49.286024E-49.6856523E-41.04303554.0E-50.0086427010.0092490940.0093382621.00964079.0E-5
6.51.2238748E-51.3042996E-53.3042736E-52.533372.0E-55.2450723E-55.5897377E-57.5896256E-51.35777852.0E-56.3840044E-46.8034173E-47.1032136E-41.04406553.0E-50.00636569550.0067829880.0068425811.00878566.0E-5
6.61.0489767E-51.1156636E-52.1156524E-51.89631751.0E-54.495537E-54.781329E-55.7812813E-51.20913681.0E-55.4719415E-45.819736E-46.019619E-41.03434592.0E-50.0054584870.0058047360.00584450361.0068514.0E-5
6.78.699222E-69.236783E-69.236783E-61.00.03.7281847E-53.958561E-53.958561E-51.00.04.5381195E-44.818488E-44.9184397E-41.02074341.0E-50.00452886340.0048081080.004818061.00206981.0E-5
6.88.307732E-68.8169045E-68.8169045E-61.00.03.560408E-53.7786187E-53.7786187E-51.00.04.3339343E-44.5995016E-44.6994555E-41.02173151.0E-50.0043254920.00459003540.00459998941.00216871.0E-5
6.98.073121E-68.564939E-68.564939E-61.00.03.459863E-53.670637E-53.670637E-51.00.04.2115687E-44.4680882E-44.5680435E-41.02237091.0E-50.0042035960.0044591560.00446911161.00223261.0E-5
7.07.617019E-68.074665E-68.074665E-61.00.03.264396E-53.4605247E-53.4605247E-51.00.03.9736772E-44.2123784E-44.3123364E-41.02372961.0E-50.0039665790.00420444130.00421439951.00236851.0E-5
7.17.1224836E-67.5457883E-67.5457883E-61.00.03.052457E-53.2338692E-53.2338692E-51.00.03.715733E-43.9365282E-44.0364888E-41.02539311.0E-50.0037095260.00392959830.00393955881.00253471.0E-5
7.26.441115E-66.8273835E-66.8273835E-61.00.02.7604487E-52.9259889E-52.9259889E-51.00.03.360328E-43.5618115E-43.5618115E-41.00.00.00335525120.00355613120.00355613121.00.0
7.35.494274E-65.8199944E-65.8199944E-61.00.02.3546674E-52.4942596E-52.4942596E-51.00.02.8664304E-43.03634E-43.03634E-41.00.00.0028627360.00303221450.00303221451.00.0
7.44.0802624E-64.3122564E-64.3122564E-61.00.01.7486722E-51.8480969E-51.8480969E-51.00.02.1288003E-42.2498264E-42.2498264E-41.00.00.00212676220.00224755770.00224755771.00.0
7.52.3584746E-62.4753099E-62.4753099E-61.00.01.0107709E-51.0608428E-51.0608428E-51.00.01.2305441E-41.2915001E-41.2915001E-41.00.00.00122986290.00129075450.00129075451.00.0
7.69.4981914E-79.860934E-79.860934E-71.00.04.0706473E-64.2261076E-64.2261076E-61.00.04.9559E-55.1451658E-55.1451658E-51.00.04.954795E-45.1439874E-45.1439874E-41.00.0
7.72.6013532E-72.6416632E-72.6416632E-71.00.01.1148652E-61.1321408E-61.1321408E-61.00.01.3573399E-51.3783729E-51.3783729E-51.00.01.357257E-41.378288E-41.378288E-41.00.0
7.84.1522263E-83.965698E-83.965698E-81.00.01.7795254E-71.6995848E-71.6995848E-71.00.02.16657E-62.0692428E-62.0692428E-61.00.02.1665488E-52.0692256E-52.0692256E-51.00.0
7.97.7242046E-105.9475225E-105.9475225E-101.00.03.3103735E-92.5489382E-92.5489382E-91.00.04.0303796E-83.1033323E-83.1033323E-81.00.04.030379E-73.103332E-73.103332E-71.00.0

Cleghorn Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5467183E-51.6794203E-55.679353E-53.38173414.0E-56.6286244E-57.197348E-51.2196988E-41.69465035.0E-58.067362E-48.759797E-49.758921E-41.11405791.0E-40.0080381370.0087306960.0088793861.01703071.5E-4
6.11.5467183E-51.6794203E-55.679353E-53.38173414.0E-56.6286244E-57.197348E-51.2196988E-41.69465035.0E-58.067362E-48.759797E-49.758921E-41.11405791.0E-40.0080381370.0087306960.0088793861.01703071.5E-4
6.21.2624631E-51.3681544E-55.3680997E-53.92360644.0E-55.410444E-55.863415E-51.0863122E-41.85269555.0E-56.585225E-47.1368564E-48.136142E-41.14001771.0E-40.00656574450.00711873170.00726766371.02092111.5E-4
6.31.2624631E-51.3681544E-55.3680997E-53.92360644.0E-55.410444E-55.863415E-51.0863122E-41.85269555.0E-56.585225E-47.1368564E-48.136142E-41.14001771.0E-40.00656574450.00711873170.00726766371.02092111.5E-4
6.49.417684E-61.0170118E-54.0169813E-53.94978833.0E-54.036088E-54.3585722E-58.3583975E-51.91769174.0E-54.912829E-45.3056807E-46.005309E-41.13186417.0E-50.0049019820.0052970490.00537662531.01502288.0E-5
6.59.368219E-61.0117545E-54.011724E-53.96511653.0E-54.014889E-54.3360415E-58.335868E-51.92246044.0E-54.8870314E-45.2782625E-45.977893E-41.13254947.0E-50.0048762980.00526976170.005349341.0151018.0E-5
6.67.803798E-68.441831E-63.8441576E-54.55370143.0E-53.3444423E-53.6179E-56.617791E-51.82918043.0E-54.0710976E-44.4043022E-45.004038E-41.13617046.0E-50.00406364720.00439949050.00446918231.01584097.0E-5
6.72.3108669E-62.4438336E-61.2443809E-55.09192131.0E-59.903678E-61.0473532E-52.0473428E-51.95477771.0E-51.205706E-41.2750797E-41.375067E-41.07841651.0E-50.0012050520.00127436670.0012843541.0078371.0E-5
6.82.0882828E-62.2062823E-61.220626E-55.53250171.0E-58.949753E-69.455462E-61.9455367E-52.05757981.0E-51.08957785E-41.1511434E-41.2511319E-41.08686021.0E-50.00108904380.00115056390.00116055241.00868141.0E-5
6.91.876935E-61.981051E-61.1981031E-56.0478161.0E-58.043982E-68.490192E-61.8490107E-52.17781971.0E-59.7931086E-51.03363345E-41.1336231E-41.09673611.0E-59.788794E-40.00103316860.00104315841.0096691.0E-5
7.01.5357559E-61.6202807E-61.1620265E-57.171761.0E-56.5817944E-66.9440425E-61.6943974E-52.44007331.0E-58.01304E-58.454057E-59.453972E-51.11827641.0E-58.010151E-48.450965E-48.55088E-41.01182291.0E-5
7.11.0905424E-61.1497619E-61.114975E-59.6974421.0E-54.6737446E-64.9275427E-61.4927493E-53.02939921.0E-55.6901354E-55.999128E-56.999068E-51.16668091.0E-55.6886784E-45.997606E-46.0975464E-41.01666331.0E-5
7.26.06668E-76.387277E-76.387277E-71.00.02.600003E-62.7374022E-62.7374022E-61.00.03.1654577E-53.3327433E-53.3327433E-51.00.03.1650066E-43.3323118E-43.3323118E-41.00.0

Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2521618E-44.763429E-45.1632384E-41.08393314.0E-59.6485513E-40.00203990940.00207982771.01956874.0E-50.0116839880.0245445310.0246128141.0027827.0E-50.110884230.213499230.213609341.00051571.4E-4
6.12.2521618E-44.763429E-45.1632384E-41.08393314.0E-59.6485513E-40.00203990940.00207982771.01956874.0E-50.0116839880.0245445310.0246128141.0027827.0E-50.110884230.213499230.213609341.00051571.4E-4
6.22.198148E-44.6718874E-45.0717004E-41.08557864.0E-59.417233E-40.00200073770.00204065771.01995274.0E-50.0114053430.0240785130.0241468271.00283727.0E-50.108374280.209935720.210046341.00052691.4E-4
6.32.1704129E-44.615455E-45.0152704E-41.08662534.0E-59.298453E-40.00197658920.002016511.02019694.0E-50.0112622340.0237920340.0238603691.00287217.0E-50.1070827250.207826840.207937731.00053361.4E-4
6.41.876142E-44.004663E-44.4045027E-41.09984364.0E-58.038131E-40.00171516950.00175510091.02328134.0E-50.009742590.0206786620.020737421.00284166.0E-50.0932636860.184577870.184683871.00057441.3E-4
6.51.7390939E-43.7478763E-44.1477266E-41.10668714.0E-57.45113E-40.00160525610.00164519191.02487814.0E-50.0090340780.0193672930.0194261321.0030386.0E-50.0867552160.174400150.174507481.00061541.3E-4
6.61.591791E-43.4893592E-43.8892197E-41.11459424.0E-56.8201777E-40.00149459260.00153453291.02672314.0E-50.0082719960.0180450080.0180941061.00272085.0E-50.079707740.163807870.163908211.00061261.2E-4
6.71.4268003E-43.2059717E-43.6058435E-41.12472714.0E-56.1134255E-40.00137327260.00141321771.02908754.0E-50.0074177230.016591710.016640881.00296355.0E-50.071749560.151935940.15203771.00066981.2E-4
6.81.239713E-42.9055026E-43.3053863E-41.13762994.0E-55.3119735E-40.00124462740.00128457751.03209824.0E-50.00644816740.0150494820.0150987291.00327245.0E-50.062642430.138380510.13848391.00074721.2E-4
6.91.0180238E-42.6255674E-43.0254625E-41.1523084.0E-54.3622297E-40.00112476220.00116471731.0355234.0E-50.0052980890.0136089980.0136583171.00362415.0E-50.051735430.124964730.125069721.00084031.2E-4
7.07.6619996E-52.2400476E-42.639958E-41.17852764.0E-53.283301E-49.596704E-49.996321E-41.0416414.0E-50.00399009320.0116221030.0116616381.00340184.0E-50.0391920660.107269820.10735911.00083221.0E-4
7.17.5127435E-52.2083633E-42.608275E-41.18108964.0E-53.2193496E-49.461013E-49.860635E-41.04223874.0E-50.00391251550.0114586480.01149818951.00345094.0E-50.0384434420.105833780.105923191.00084481.0E-4
7.26.788582E-52.0211334E-42.4210526E-41.19786874.0E-52.9090676E-48.6591556E-49.058809E-41.04615394.0E-50.00353603860.01049220.010531781.00377244.0E-50.0348030.0975036840.097593931.00092571.0E-4
7.36.399602E-51.8842232E-42.2841478E-41.2122494.0E-52.7423984E-48.0727716E-48.4724487E-41.04950934.0E-50.00333375860.0097848970.0098245051.0040484.0E-50.032841880.0913979860.0914888461.00099411.0E-4
7.44.506759E-51.2530042E-41.5529666E-41.23939453.0E-51.9313251E-45.3689216E-45.66876E-41.05584723.0E-50.00234885260.0065172450.00654704961.00457323.0E-50.0232418050.0623645220.062439531.00120288.0E-5
7.53.43289E-59.336103E-51.2335823E-41.32130323.0E-51.4711556E-44.0005764E-44.3004565E-41.07495923.0E-50.00178966030.0048598860.00488974061.0061433.0E-50.017753160.0470570660.0471142421.00121516.0E-5
7.62.5980507E-57.053672E-59.0535315E-51.28352022.0E-51.1134028E-43.0226534E-43.222593E-41.06614712.0E-50.0013547250.00367389480.00369382141.00542382.0E-50.0134649590.035842980.0358911861.00134495.0E-5
7.71.7292105E-54.9412036E-56.941105E-51.40473962.0E-57.4106916E-52.1174872E-42.3174449E-41.09443152.0E-59.018782E-40.00257499840.0025949471.0077472.0E-50.0089822670.0252920970.025340831.00192695.0E-5
7.81.2927471E-53.9697254E-54.9696857E-51.25189661.0E-55.5402274E-51.7012001E-41.8011831E-41.05877211.0E-56.743139E-40.00206924630.00207922561.00482271.0E-50.00672271430.0204331450.0204723271.00191764.0E-5
7.91.0200774E-52.8748475E-52.8748475E-51.00.04.371687E-51.2320194E-41.2320194E-41.00.05.321229E-40.00149895260.00149895261.00.00.0053085050.0149928950.0150125951.00131392.0E-5
8.08.650396E-62.3279512E-52.3279512E-51.00.03.70726E-59.976552E-59.976552E-51.00.04.5126543E-40.00121396930.00121396931.00.00.00450350160.0122121640.012231921.00161772.0E-5
8.13.9368224E-67.3283345E-67.3283345E-61.00.01.6871985E-53.1406773E-53.1406773E-51.00.02.0539707E-43.8231048E-43.8231048E-41.00.00.00205207310.00400153130.00400153131.00.0
8.21.7101195E-62.2178374E-62.2178374E-61.00.07.329063E-69.504983E-69.504983E-61.00.08.922769E-51.15717055E-41.15717055E-41.00.08.9191867E-40.001266690.001266691.00.0
8.33.0346666E-81.721086E-81.721086E-81.00.01.3005713E-77.376083E-87.376083E-81.00.01.5834444E-68.98038E-78.98038E-71.00.01.5834332E-59.36379E-69.36379E-61.00.0

Mission Creek

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1549387E-51.6322783E-55.632213E-53.45052274.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.2994879E-41.85765896.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.5127476E-41.11735921.0E-40.0060082180.0085101570.00864896551.01631091.4E-4
6.11.1549387E-51.6322783E-55.632213E-53.45052274.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.2994879E-41.85765896.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.5127476E-41.11735921.0E-40.0060082180.0085101570.00864896551.01631091.4E-4
6.21.1549387E-51.6322783E-55.632213E-53.45052274.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.2994879E-41.85765896.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.5127476E-41.11735921.0E-40.0060082180.0085101570.00864896551.01631091.4E-4
6.31.1549387E-51.6322783E-55.632213E-53.45052274.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.2994879E-41.85765896.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.5127476E-41.11735921.0E-40.0060082180.0085101570.00864896551.01631091.4E-4
6.41.1549387E-51.6322783E-55.632213E-53.45052274.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.2994879E-41.85765896.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.5127476E-41.11735921.0E-40.0060082180.0085101570.00864896551.01631091.4E-4
6.51.1549387E-51.6322783E-55.632213E-53.45052274.0E-54.9496433E-56.995299E-51.2994879E-41.85765896.0E-56.0245243E-48.5135986E-49.5127476E-41.11735921.0E-40.0060082180.0085101570.00864896551.01631091.4E-4
6.69.202681E-61.3846059E-55.3845506E-53.88886864.0E-53.9439463E-55.9338956E-51.193354E-42.01108036.0E-54.800697E-47.2222133E-48.121563E-41.12452559.0E-50.0047903390.00722734020.00735640061.01785721.3E-4
6.79.019164E-61.3651728E-55.3651183E-53.9299924.0E-53.8652986E-55.8506146E-51.18502634E-42.02547346.0E-54.7049852E-47.1208854E-48.0202444E-41.12629889.0E-50.0046950360.00712666470.0072557381.01811131.3E-4
6.88.673558E-61.3273839E-55.3273307E-54.01340634.0E-53.717186E-55.688669E-51.16883275E-42.05466826.0E-54.524734E-46.923842E-47.823219E-41.12989579.0E-50.00451553240.00693085230.00705995131.01862671.3E-4
6.97.002255E-61.1478069E-55.1477607E-54.4848674.0E-53.000932E-54.9190832E-51.0918788E-42.21967966.0E-53.653022E-45.9874065E-46.886868E-41.15022559.0E-50.00364702290.0059996760.00611895561.01988111.2E-4
7.05.84644E-69.675359E-64.967497E-55.13417344.0E-52.5055931E-54.146519E-51.01462705E-42.44693686.0E-53.0501327E-45.047263E-45.946809E-41.17822449.0E-50.00304594960.0050639940.0051833861.02357671.2E-4
7.15.54703E-69.329834E-64.932946E-55.28728154.0E-52.377277E-53.9984414E-59.998202E-52.50052486.0E-52.8939504E-44.8670598E-45.766622E-41.18482669.0E-50.00289018450.00488458760.00500400131.02444711.2E-4
7.24.384709E-67.681918E-64.768161E-56.2069934.0E-51.8791474E-53.292211E-59.2920134E-52.82242356.0E-52.2876218E-44.0075663E-44.8072456E-41.19954248.0E-50.00228526820.0040285420.00413809861.02719521.1E-4
7.33.7888456E-66.915788E-64.6915513E-56.78382734.0E-51.623781E-52.9638775E-58.9637E-53.0243156.0E-51.9767738E-43.6079568E-44.4076683E-41.22165228.0E-50.00197501620.003630270.00373987061.03019081.1E-4
7.42.1982462E-65.0241033E-63.5023953E-56.97118473.0E-59.421021E-62.1531694E-57.1530616E-53.32210835.0E-51.1469489E-42.6211704E-43.320987E-41.26698637.0E-50.00114635720.00264603270.0027457681.03769241.0E-4
7.52.051923E-64.6153277E-63.461519E-57.50005053.0E-58.793926E-61.9779825E-56.9778835E-53.52777815.0E-51.0706078E-42.4079291E-43.1077606E-41.29063627.0E-50.00107009220.00243359320.00253334971.04099151.0E-4
7.61.8733427E-64.1236603E-63.4123535E-58.275063.0E-58.028587E-61.7672712E-56.767183E-53.82917075.0E-59.774366E-52.151441E-42.8512903E-41.32529337.0E-59.770069E-40.00217825130.00227803341.04580841.0E-4
7.71.8411953E-64.0433315E-63.404321E-58.4195943.0E-57.890813E-61.732845E-56.7327586E-53.88537845.0E-59.606641E-52.1095353E-42.8093875E-41.33175667.0E-59.6024893E-40.00213652920.00223631551.04670491.0E-4
7.81.7194251E-63.71068E-63.371057E-59.0847423.0E-57.368944E-61.5902819E-56.590202E-54.1440475.0E-58.97132E-51.9359968E-42.6358612E-41.36150097.0E-58.967699E-40.00196247570.00206227951.0508561.0E-4
7.91.4035052E-62.9502596E-63.295017E-511.1685673.0E-56.0150082E-61.2643909E-56.2643274E-54.95442345.0E-57.3230265E-51.5392878E-42.23918E-41.45468587.0E-57.3206134E-40.00156311740.00166296111.06387471.0E-4
8.03.9318823E-75.528477E-72.0552836E-537.1763042.0E-51.6850913E-62.3693453E-63.2369273E-513.66169553.0E-52.0515794E-52.8846403E-55.8845537E-52.0399613.0E-52.0513899E-42.990952E-43.2908624E-41.10027253.0E-5
8.11.596793E-71.13775044E-71.13775044E-71.00.06.8433974E-74.876072E-74.876072E-71.00.08.331805E-65.936602E-65.936602E-61.00.08.331492E-56.5494125E-56.5494125E-51.00.0
8.24.9003038E-82.5435753E-82.5435753E-81.00.02.10013E-71.09010365E-71.09010365E-71.00.02.5569052E-61.3272004E-61.3272004E-61.00.02.556876E-51.4952613E-51.4952613E-51.00.0

Bullion Mountains

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6420427E-51.4692009E-54.469157E-53.04189633.0E-57.037136E-56.296445E-51.0296193E-41.63523914.0E-58.5643446E-47.6636096E-48.363073E-41.09127087.0E-50.0085314130.00764097460.00776998141.01688351.3E-4
6.11.6420427E-51.4692009E-54.469157E-53.04189633.0E-57.037136E-56.296445E-51.0296193E-41.63523914.0E-58.5643446E-47.6636096E-48.363073E-41.09127087.0E-50.0085314130.00764097460.00776998141.01688351.3E-4
6.21.6420427E-51.4692009E-54.469157E-53.04189633.0E-57.037136E-56.296445E-51.0296193E-41.63523914.0E-58.5643446E-47.6636096E-48.363073E-41.09127087.0E-50.0085314130.00764097460.00776998141.01688351.3E-4
6.31.2046778E-59.862255E-61.9862156E-52.01395681.0E-55.1628023E-54.2266256E-56.226541E-51.47317082.0E-56.283899E-45.144933E-45.444779E-41.05827983.0E-50.00626615950.00513530340.00517509831.00774924.0E-5
6.41.2046778E-59.862255E-61.9862156E-52.01395681.0E-55.1628023E-54.2266256E-56.226541E-51.47317082.0E-56.283899E-45.144933E-45.444779E-41.05827983.0E-50.00626615950.00513530340.00517509831.00774924.0E-5
6.51.0244343E-57.879378E-61.78793E-52.26912571.0E-54.390359E-53.3768443E-55.376777E-51.59224892.0E-55.343951E-44.1107394E-44.410616E-41.07294953.0E-50.0053311180.00410516650.00414500251.00970394.0E-5
6.69.605408E-67.1774166E-61.7177344E-52.3932491.0E-54.1165385E-53.0760108E-55.0759492E-51.65017272.0E-55.010733E-43.7446033E-44.044491E-41.08008533.0E-50.004999450.00374029060.0037801411.01065434.0E-5
6.78.60418E-66.123926E-61.6123866E-52.63292931.0E-53.687454E-52.6245243E-53.6244983E-51.38101141.0E-54.48855E-43.195085E-43.395021E-41.06257622.0E-50.0044794950.00319240310.00321233921.00624492.0E-5
6.85.187994E-62.563117E-62.563117E-61.00.02.223407E-51.0984763E-51.0984763E-51.00.02.7066618E-41.3373529E-41.3373529E-41.00.00.00270336750.00133693960.00133693961.00.0
6.94.5302368E-62.3442778E-62.3442778E-61.00.01.9415156E-51.0046889E-51.0046889E-51.00.02.3635388E-41.2231797E-41.2231797E-41.00.00.00236102660.00122289560.00122289561.00.0
7.03.431668E-61.6882177E-61.6882177E-61.00.01.4707065E-57.2352186E-67.2352186E-61.00.01.7904381E-48.808879E-58.808879E-51.00.00.00178899628.8088785E-48.8088785E-41.00.0

Pleito

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6763008E-52.4764735E-54.476424E-51.807582.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.2612855E-41.1884272.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.00139131791.07733251.0E-40.008708630.0129544120.0130827281.00990521.3E-4
6.11.6763008E-52.4764735E-54.476424E-51.807582.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.2612855E-41.1884272.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.00139131791.07733251.0E-40.008708630.0129544120.0130827281.00990521.3E-4
6.21.6763008E-52.4764735E-54.476424E-51.807582.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.2612855E-41.1884272.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.00139131791.07733251.0E-40.008708630.0129544120.0130827281.00990521.3E-4
6.31.6763008E-52.4764735E-54.476424E-51.807582.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.2612855E-41.1884272.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.00139131791.07733251.0E-40.008708630.0129544120.0130827281.00990521.3E-4
6.41.6763008E-52.4764735E-54.476424E-51.807582.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.2612855E-41.1884272.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.00139131791.07733251.0E-40.008708630.0129544120.0130827281.00990521.3E-4
6.51.6763008E-52.4764735E-54.476424E-51.807582.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.2612855E-41.1884272.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.00139131791.07733251.0E-40.008708630.0129544120.0130827281.00990521.3E-4
6.69.910213E-61.721552E-52.7215348E-51.58086121.0E-54.247165E-57.3778734E-58.3777995E-51.13553041.0E-55.169696E-48.9788967E-49.378537E-41.04450894.0E-50.00515768630.0090512260.0091007731.00547415.0E-5
6.79.910213E-61.721552E-52.7215348E-51.58086121.0E-54.247165E-57.3778734E-58.3777995E-51.13553041.0E-55.169696E-48.9788967E-49.378537E-41.04450894.0E-50.00515768630.0090512260.0091007731.00547415.0E-5
6.88.300162E-61.5475129E-52.5474974E-51.64618811.0E-53.557164E-56.63203E-57.6319644E-51.15077341.0E-54.3299864E-48.07152E-48.471197E-41.04951694.0E-50.0043215590.0081506630.0081903371.00486764.0E-5
6.98.183114E-61.5346344E-52.5346191E-51.6516111.0E-53.5070017E-56.57684E-57.576774E-51.15203871.0E-54.2689382E-48.0043747E-48.4040547E-41.04993274.0E-50.00426074680.0080840080.0081236851.00490814.0E-5
7.07.1748823E-61.4133306E-52.4133164E-51.70753861.0E-53.0749135E-56.0569906E-57.05693E-51.16508851.0E-53.743064E-47.3718966E-47.7716017E-41.05422014.0E-50.00373676540.00745537550.00749507731.00532524.0E-5
7.17.1671807E-61.4123676E-52.4123534E-51.7080211.0E-53.0716128E-56.0528637E-57.052803E-51.16520111.0E-53.7390468E-47.366875E-47.7665807E-41.05425724.0E-50.00373276180.00745038830.007490091.00532894.0E-5
7.27.0649667E-61.3970962E-52.3970822E-51.71576041.0E-53.0278077E-55.987418E-56.987358E-51.16700691.0E-53.6857324E-47.287248E-47.6869567E-41.05485054.0E-50.00367962550.00737113740.0074108431.00538664.0E-5
7.37.02082E-61.3914415E-52.3914276E-51.71866921.0E-53.008888E-55.9631846E-56.963125E-51.16768561.0E-53.6627054E-47.257764E-47.657474E-41.05507344.0E-50.00365667440.00734163730.00738134371.00540844.0E-5
7.46.987146E-61.3873975E-52.3873838E-51.72076391.0E-52.9944567E-55.9458544E-56.945795E-51.16817441.0E-53.6451413E-47.2366785E-47.636389E-41.0552344.0E-50.00363916790.0073205710.00736027861.0054244.0E-5
7.56.9494554E-61.383088E-52.3830742E-51.72300981.0E-52.9783041E-55.9273858E-56.9273265E-51.16869841.0E-53.625482E-47.2142074E-47.613919E-41.05540614.0E-50.00361957260.0072981990.0073379071.00544084.0E-5
7.66.92694E-61.3789992E-52.3789855E-51.72515361.0E-52.9686547E-55.909863E-56.909804E-51.16919861.0E-53.6137376E-47.192888E-47.5926003E-41.05557054.0E-50.00360786660.0072769510.00731665971.00545684.0E-5
7.76.395867E-61.26690065E-52.266888E-51.78931781.0E-52.741057E-55.4294615E-56.429407E-51.18417041.0E-53.336726E-46.6083675E-47.0081034E-41.06048934.0E-50.00333172010.00669554530.00673527741.00593414.0E-5
7.85.8664327E-61.1536581E-51.1536581E-51.00.02.5141611E-54.9441554E-54.9441554E-51.00.03.060561E-46.0178485E-46.317668E-41.04982173.0E-50.00305634950.00610101640.00613083361.00488723.0E-5
7.93.7167474E-67.1145205E-67.1145205E-61.00.01.592882E-53.0490448E-53.0490448E-51.00.01.9391612E-43.7115812E-43.911507E-41.05386542.0E-50.00193746990.00376762430.0037875491.00528842.0E-5
8.01.0903841E-61.2879104E-61.2879104E-61.00.04.6730665E-65.5196047E-65.5196047E-61.00.05.68931E-56.719913E-56.719913E-51.00.05.6878536E-46.942094E-46.942094E-41.00.0
8.12.6894583E-71.1056095E-71.1056095E-71.00.01.1526245E-64.7383253E-74.7383253E-71.00.01.4033113E-55.768896E-65.768896E-61.00.01.4032227E-46.454915E-56.454915E-51.00.0
8.25.2967013E-92.4567874E-92.4567874E-91.00.02.2700148E-81.0529089E-81.0529089E-81.00.02.7637427E-71.2819166E-71.2819166E-71.00.02.7637393E-61.4588004E-61.4588004E-61.00.0

Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.6264497E-66.75733E-64.675706E-56.91945744.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-59.895768E-53.41708147.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.425037E-41.25520359.0E-50.00345162770.00352055020.00366005741.03962651.4E-4
6.16.6264497E-66.75733E-64.675706E-56.91945744.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-59.895768E-53.41708147.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.425037E-41.25520359.0E-50.00345162770.00352055020.00366005741.03962651.4E-4
6.26.6264497E-66.75733E-64.675706E-56.91945744.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-59.895768E-53.41708147.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.425037E-41.25520359.0E-50.00345162770.00352055020.00366005741.03962651.4E-4
6.36.6264497E-66.75733E-64.675706E-56.91945744.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-59.895768E-53.41708147.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.425037E-41.25520359.0E-50.00345162770.00352055020.00366005741.03962651.4E-4
6.46.6264497E-66.75733E-64.675706E-56.91945744.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-59.895768E-53.41708147.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.425037E-41.25520359.0E-50.00345162770.00352055020.00366005741.03962651.4E-4
6.53.2162225E-63.2570915E-62.3257026E-57.14042762.0E-51.3783738E-51.3958894E-55.3958334E-53.86551674.0E-51.6780409E-41.6993708E-42.0993028E-41.23534124.0E-50.00167677440.0016981510.00175804911.03527266.0E-5
6.63.2162225E-63.2570915E-62.3257026E-57.14042762.0E-51.3783738E-51.3958894E-55.3958334E-53.86551674.0E-51.6780409E-41.6993708E-42.0993028E-41.23534124.0E-50.00167677440.0016981510.00175804911.03527266.0E-5
6.72.1908265E-62.2071222E-62.2207078E-510.0615532.0E-59.389223E-69.459062E-63.9458777E-54.17153173.0E-51.1430779E-41.1515819E-41.4515474E-41.26048123.0E-50.00114249010.00115100460.0012009471.04339035.0E-5
6.81.7303895E-61.736553E-61.1736535E-56.75852441.0E-57.415934E-67.442349E-62.74422E-53.68730352.0E-59.028525E-59.060693E-51.1060512E-41.22071362.0E-59.024858E-49.0570963E-49.456734E-41.04412424.0E-5
6.91.3700314E-61.3688623E-61.1368848E-58.3053261.0E-55.87155E-65.86654E-62.5866422E-54.40914442.0E-57.148377E-57.142283E-59.14214E-51.28000252.0E-57.146078E-47.140033E-47.4398186E-41.04198663.0E-5
7.01.1467797E-61.1413805E-61.1141369E-59.761311.0E-54.9147607E-64.8916218E-62.4891524E-55.08860352.0E-55.983557E-55.95539E-57.955271E-51.33581022.0E-55.981946E-45.9538253E-46.253647E-41.05035783.0E-5
7.19.3952065E-79.3026915E-71.093026E-511.7495671.0E-54.026511E-63.986862E-62.3986782E-56.0164572.0E-54.9021666E-54.853898E-56.853801E-51.412022.0E-54.901085E-44.8528553E-45.15271E-41.06178933.0E-5
7.26.858055E-76.7193014E-71.06719235E-515.8824891.0E-52.939163E-62.8796974E-62.287964E-57.9451542.0E-53.5783723E-53.5059762E-55.505906E-51.57043462.0E-53.5777962E-43.5054318E-43.8053267E-41.08555153.0E-5
7.35.1101983E-74.939301E-71.0493925E-521.2457711.0E-52.1900833E-62.1168414E-62.21168E-510.4480192.0E-52.6663936E-52.5772246E-54.577173E-51.77600862.0E-52.6660739E-42.5769303E-42.7768788E-41.07759182.0E-5
7.43.4999414E-73.2995916E-73.2995916E-71.00.01.499974E-61.4141099E-61.1414096E-58.0715761.0E-51.8262032E-51.7216655E-52.7216482E-51.5808231.0E-51.826053E-41.7215345E-41.8215172E-41.05807771.0E-5
7.51.7021522E-71.4750053E-71.4750053E-71.00.07.2949354E-76.32145E-76.32145E-71.00.08.881548E-67.696339E-67.696339E-61.00.08.8811925E-57.696081E-57.696081E-51.00.0
7.62.572245E-81.735264E-81.735264E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436845E-87.436845E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.0543557E-79.0543557E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054324E-69.054324E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0667746E-53.5271103E-58.526934E-52.4175415.0E-51.742787E-41.5115313E-42.1114406E-41.39688856.0E-50.00211977820.00183873720.00193855331.05428521.0E-40.0209967140.0189864950.0191140271.0067171.3E-4
6.14.0667746E-53.5271103E-58.526934E-52.4175415.0E-51.742787E-41.5115313E-42.1114406E-41.39688856.0E-50.00211977820.00183873720.00193855331.05428521.0E-40.0209967140.0189864950.0191140271.0067171.3E-4
6.24.0667746E-53.5271103E-58.526934E-52.4175415.0E-51.742787E-41.5115313E-42.1114406E-41.39688856.0E-50.00211977820.00183873720.00193855331.05428521.0E-40.0209967140.0189864950.0191140271.0067171.3E-4
6.34.0667746E-53.5271103E-58.526934E-52.4175415.0E-51.742787E-41.5115313E-42.1114406E-41.39688856.0E-50.00211977820.00183873720.00193855331.05428521.0E-40.0209967140.0189864950.0191140271.0067171.3E-4
6.44.0577226E-53.5143014E-58.5141255E-52.42270785.0E-51.738908E-41.5060425E-42.105952E-41.39833516.0E-50.00211506480.00183206690.00193188371.05448321.0E-40.0209504720.0189210620.0190486031.00674071.3E-4
6.54.0577226E-53.5143014E-58.5141255E-52.42270785.0E-51.738908E-41.5060425E-42.105952E-41.39833516.0E-50.00211506480.00183206690.00193188371.05448321.0E-40.0209504720.0189210620.0190486031.00674071.3E-4
6.64.053861E-53.5088357E-58.5086605E-52.42492415.0E-51.7372532E-41.5037002E-42.10361E-41.39895576.0E-50.00211305380.00182922060.00192903761.0545681.0E-40.0209307430.018893140.0190206841.00675081.3E-4
6.74.0516545E-53.505743E-58.5055675E-52.4261815.0E-51.7363077E-41.502375E-42.1022848E-41.39930776.0E-50.0021119050.00182761010.00192742721.05461621.0E-40.0209194680.0188773370.0190048831.00675651.3E-4
6.84.049434E-53.5028992E-58.502724E-52.4273395.0E-51.7353562E-41.5011564E-42.1010663E-41.39963196.0E-50.00211074880.00182612890.00192594631.05466071.0E-40.0209081250.0188627490.0189902971.00676191.3E-4
6.94.046386E-53.4991554E-58.4989806E-52.42886645.0E-51.73405E-41.499552E-42.099462E-41.40005956.0E-50.00210916160.00182417880.00192399651.05471921.0E-40.0208925530.0188435220.0189710731.0067691.3E-4
7.04.036382E-53.4872126E-58.487038E-52.433765.0E-51.7297632E-41.4944343E-42.0943445E-41.40142986.0E-50.00210395250.00181795840.00191777671.05490671.0E-40.020841440.0187821370.0189096951.00679151.3E-4
7.14.0343282E-53.485059E-58.484884E-52.43464615.0E-51.7288832E-41.4935112E-42.0934216E-41.40167786.0E-50.0021028830.00181683680.0019166551.05494071.0E-40.0208309480.0187710080.0188985671.00679551.3E-4
7.24.0257353E-53.475509E-58.475335E-52.43858845.0E-51.725201E-41.489419E-42.0893295E-41.40278176.0E-50.00209840850.00181186260.00191168141.05509191.0E-40.0207870420.0187217460.0188493131.00681381.3E-4
7.33.9940667E-53.458276E-58.458103E-52.44575725.0E-51.7116306E-41.4820343E-42.0819453E-41.4047896.0E-50.00208191850.00180288660.00190270631.05536661.0E-40.0206252170.0186303870.0187579651.00684791.3E-4
7.43.9721202E-53.4468165E-58.446644E-52.4505645.0E-51.7022261E-41.4771236E-42.077035E-41.40613486.0E-50.00207049030.00179691790.00189673821.05555081.0E-40.0205130520.0185695220.0186971071.00687071.3E-4
7.53.7036873E-53.3535776E-58.35341E-52.4908955.0E-51.5871979E-41.4371685E-42.0370823E-41.41742756.0E-50.00193070060.00174835130.00184817651.05709671.0E-40.0191401240.0180711280.0181987791.00706371.3E-4
7.63.2940967E-53.13167E-58.1315135E-52.59654215.0E-51.4116794E-41.3420754E-41.9419949E-41.44700876.0E-50.00171736450.00163275450.00173259121.06114611.0E-40.017041530.0169040910.0170318931.00756051.3E-4
7.72.8236149E-52.7882697E-57.7881305E-52.7931775.0E-51.2100645E-41.1949181E-41.7948463E-41.50206656.0E-50.00147225790.00145384290.00155369751.06868331.0E-40.0146254210.0151149120.0152429461.00847081.3E-4
7.82.4329287E-52.5206451E-57.520519E-52.98356915.0E-51.042642E-41.08023174E-41.6801669E-41.55537646.0E-50.00126867740.00131438950.00141425811.07598091.0E-40.0126145890.0137123410.0138405581.00935051.3E-4
7.91.9370926E-52.0420413E-57.0419395E-53.44848045.0E-58.301561E-58.751312E-51.4750788E-41.68555146.0E-50.00101024650.00106495220.00116484581.09380091.0E-40.01005666050.0111994020.0113279461.01147771.3E-4
8.01.5583017E-51.5885415E-54.588494E-52.88849473.0E-56.6782646E-56.807858E-59.807653E-51.44063723.0E-58.127754E-48.2854216E-48.7850075E-41.0602975.0E-50.0080980910.0087816360.0088609341.00902998.0E-5
8.11.0024873E-58.291399E-61.8291317E-52.2060591.0E-54.2963035E-53.553409E-54.5533732E-51.28140991.0E-55.229494E-44.3254215E-44.525335E-41.04621832.0E-50.00521720430.00465306550.0046829261.00641743.0E-5
8.24.142796E-61.5602761E-61.5602761E-61.00.01.775472E-56.6868806E-66.6868806E-61.00.02.1614227E-48.140976E-58.140976E-51.00.00.00215932179.4514614E-49.4514614E-41.00.0
8.31.2750878E-63.609817E-73.609817E-71.00.05.4646503E-61.5470634E-61.5470634E-61.00.06.653009E-51.8835339E-51.8835339E-51.00.06.6510175E-42.272251E-42.272251E-41.00.0

Imperial

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7496446E-45.055345E-45.4551434E-41.07908424.0E-50.00117788690.0021648170.00220473041.01843734.0E-50.01424676550.0260484090.0261165851.00261747.0E-50.133672490.228070290.228170651.000441.3E-4
6.12.5356023E-44.8657708E-45.265576E-41.08216694.0E-50.0010862340.0020837020.00212361871.01915664.0E-50.0131449280.025070940.0251391831.0027227.0E-50.1239401550.219495610.219597091.00046231.3E-4
6.22.4820742E-44.775311E-45.1751203E-41.08372414.0E-50.00106331240.00204499460.00208491271.01951994.0E-50.012869190.0246106760.0246789531.00277427.0E-50.121489270.216001360.216103291.00047181.3E-4
6.32.3205351E-44.5892023E-44.989019E-41.08712114.0E-59.94136E-40.00196535540.00200527671.02031254.0E-50.0120365990.0236611870.023729531.00288847.0E-50.114051330.207938270.208041241.00049521.3E-4
6.42.0304754E-43.9878016E-44.387642E-41.10026594.0E-58.6991355E-40.00170795290.00174788471.02337984.0E-50.0105398690.0205954180.0206541831.00285336.0E-50.1005376350.185071130.18516891.00052851.2E-4
6.51.854992E-43.6990462E-44.0988985E-41.1080964.0E-57.9475436E-40.00158435480.00162429141.02520694.0E-50.0096332810.019114430.0191732811.00307896.0E-50.09226230.17330390.17340311.00057241.2E-4
6.61.6586106E-43.4036173E-43.8034812E-41.11748214.0E-57.106394E-40.00145788780.00149782961.02739694.0E-50.0086177630.0176076260.0176567441.00278975.0E-50.082911320.160780550.160872861.00057411.1E-4
6.71.4224656E-43.076812E-43.476689E-41.12996474.0E-56.094856E-40.00131797560.00135792281.03030964.0E-50.00739526930.0159285220.0159777251.00308915.0E-50.071539550.146487980.146581871.00064091.1E-4
6.81.2317259E-42.779231E-43.1791197E-41.14388474.0E-55.2777573E-40.00119056150.00123051381.03355774.0E-50.00640675470.0144001310.0144494111.00342215.0E-50.062251660.132940890.133036261.00071741.1E-4
6.99.859898E-52.5015484E-42.9014482E-41.1598614.0E-54.2249862E-40.00107165590.0011116131.03728544.0E-50.00513179460.0129703190.013019671.00380495.0E-50.050148930.1194088760.119505741.00081121.1E-4
7.07.3191884E-52.1267848E-42.5266997E-41.18803734.0E-53.136418E-49.11164E-49.5112756E-41.04385984.0E-50.0038119040.0110376810.0110772391.00358394.0E-50.0374717640.102067560.102148381.00079189.0E-5
7.17.1760296E-52.0969207E-42.4968368E-41.19071594.0E-53.0750787E-48.9837395E-49.3833805E-41.04448494.0E-50.0037374820.0108835280.0109230921.00363534.0E-50.036752450.100704060.1007851.00080379.0E-5
7.26.46614E-51.9137723E-42.3136957E-41.20897134.0E-52.7709085E-48.199333E-48.5990055E-41.04874444.0E-50.00336836280.0099376170.009977221.00398524.0E-50.0331776250.0925110060.092592681.00088299.0E-5
7.36.088115E-51.780939E-42.1808677E-41.22456064.0E-52.6089314E-47.6303916E-48.030087E-41.0523824.0E-50.00317174760.0092510060.0092906361.00428394.0E-50.0312685850.086561350.086643561.00094979.0E-5
7.44.199346E-51.1511097E-41.4510751E-41.2605883.0E-51.7995955E-44.932403E-45.232255E-41.06079233.0E-50.00218880570.0059888350.00601865541.00497943.0E-50.021673720.057440240.057506221.00114877.0E-5
7.53.130448E-58.333871E-51.1333621E-41.35994673.0E-51.3415517E-43.5711733E-43.8710661E-41.0839763.0E-50.00163211530.00433929540.0043691651.00688363.0E-50.0162018030.0421335060.04218141.00113675.0E-5
7.62.3074248E-56.0849357E-58.084814E-51.32866062.0E-59.888588E-52.6075702E-42.8075182E-41.07667972.0E-50.00120327060.00317011820.0031900551.00628892.0E-50.0119677610.031028160.031066921.00124924.0E-5
7.71.45864815E-54.0128452E-56.0127648E-51.49837952.0E-56.2511994E-51.7196777E-41.9196433E-41.11628092.0E-57.608177E-40.00209170250.00211166081.00954162.0E-50.0075821820.020629090.0206682641.0018994.0E-5
7.81.0352979E-53.096395E-54.096364E-51.32294621.0E-54.4369157E-51.326959E-41.4269458E-41.07535031.0E-55.400606E-40.00161437780.00162436161.00618431.0E-50.00538750.0160178930.0160474131.00184293.0E-5
7.98.137906E-62.2151205E-52.2151205E-51.00.03.4876273E-59.493029E-59.493029E-51.00.04.2453592E-40.00115516440.00115516441.00.00.0042372580.0116188420.01162872651.00085071.0E-5
8.06.93792E-61.8010365E-51.8010365E-51.00.02.9733603E-57.7185E-57.7185E-51.00.03.6194647E-49.3932304E-49.3932304E-41.00.00.00361357510.0095024150.009512321.00104241.0E-5
8.13.4286315E-66.380179E-66.380179E-61.00.01.4694053E-52.734334E-52.734334E-51.00.01.7888541E-43.3285443E-43.3285443E-41.00.00.00178741480.00348636740.00348636741.00.0
8.21.4906886E-61.936633E-61.936633E-61.00.06.3886496E-68.2998295E-68.2998295E-61.00.07.7779034E-51.0104576E-41.0104576E-41.00.07.775182E-40.00110754230.00110754231.00.0
8.32.5758007E-81.4495866E-81.4495866E-81.00.01.10391454E-76.212514E-86.212514E-81.00.01.3440151E-67.563736E-77.563736E-71.00.01.344007E-57.884359E-67.884359E-61.00.0

White Mountains

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.503579E-53.3784127E-58.3782434E-52.47993525.0E-51.5014476E-41.4478175E-42.1477161E-41.48341637.0E-50.00182647960.00176141340.00185125481.05100549.0E-50.0181154030.0174868570.0176047591.00674221.2E-4
6.13.503579E-53.3784127E-58.3782434E-52.47993525.0E-51.5014476E-41.4478175E-42.1477161E-41.48341637.0E-50.00182647960.00176141340.00185125481.05100549.0E-50.0181154030.0174868570.0176047591.00674221.2E-4
6.23.503579E-53.3784127E-58.3782434E-52.47993525.0E-51.5014476E-41.4478175E-42.1477161E-41.48341637.0E-50.00182647960.00176141340.00185125481.05100549.0E-50.0181154030.0174868570.0176047591.00674221.2E-4
6.31.7818425E-51.591616E-51.591616E-51.00.07.636245E-56.821041E-57.820973E-51.14659521.0E-59.293162E-48.301596E-48.5014297E-41.02407182.0E-50.0092543950.00827204250.0082918771.00239782.0E-5
6.41.7818425E-51.591616E-51.591616E-51.00.07.636245E-56.821041E-57.820973E-51.14659521.0E-59.293162E-48.301596E-48.5014297E-41.02407182.0E-50.0092543950.00827204250.0082918771.00239782.0E-5
6.51.3397557E-51.1336374E-51.1336374E-51.00.05.741684E-54.8583595E-55.8583108E-51.20582081.0E-56.988258E-45.913517E-46.013458E-41.01690041.0E-50.0069663230.0058984870.00590842781.00168541.0E-5
6.61.0818695E-58.625434E-68.625434E-61.00.04.6365014E-53.6965648E-54.6965277E-51.27051141.0E-55.6434784E-44.4996818E-44.5996366E-41.02221381.0E-50.0056291680.00449100740.00450096231.00221671.0E-5
6.79.067908E-66.802476E-66.802476E-61.00.03.8861883E-52.915316E-53.915287E-51.3430061.0E-54.7304068E-43.548851E-43.6488156E-41.02816811.0E-50.004720350.0035435010.00355346551.0028121.0E-5
6.87.295947E-64.9364285E-64.9364285E-61.00.03.126797E-52.1155956E-53.1155745E-51.47267011.0E-53.8062103E-42.5754445E-42.6754188E-41.03881821.0E-50.00379969760.00257257280.0025825471.00387721.0E-5
6.96.2243444E-63.8322546E-63.8322546E-61.00.02.6675489E-51.6423846E-52.6423682E-51.60886071.0E-53.2472567E-41.9994251E-42.0994052E-41.05000441.0E-50.00324251570.0019976790.0020076591.00499581.0E-5
7.04.9878413E-62.679564E-62.679564E-61.00.02.1376287E-51.1483797E-51.1483797E-51.00.02.602252E-41.3980652E-41.3980652E-41.00.00.0025992070.00139721190.00139721191.00.0
7.14.0252844E-61.885702E-61.885702E-61.00.01.7251105E-58.081555E-68.081555E-61.00.02.1001195E-49.838863E-59.838863E-51.00.00.00209813599.834635E-49.834635E-41.00.0
7.23.3284066E-61.2818929E-61.2818929E-61.00.01.4264522E-55.4938155E-65.4938155E-61.00.01.736567E-46.688525E-56.688525E-51.00.00.00173521076.6866126E-46.6866126E-41.00.0
7.32.458226E-66.056684E-76.056684E-71.00.01.0535211E-52.5957193E-62.5957193E-61.00.01.2825865E-43.160246E-53.160246E-51.00.00.00128184643.1598343E-43.1598343E-41.00.0
7.41.965953E-63.1084684E-73.1084684E-71.00.08.425486E-61.3322001E-61.3322001E-61.00.01.0257547E-41.6219417E-51.6219417E-51.00.00.00102528131.6218246E-41.6218246E-41.00.0
7.51.2014192E-61.8241002E-71.8241002E-71.00.05.148929E-67.8175697E-77.8175697E-71.00.06.2686406E-59.51785E-69.51785E-61.00.06.266873E-49.517451E-59.517451E-51.00.0
7.62.5612175E-74.893784E-84.893784E-81.00.01.0976642E-62.0973359E-72.0973359E-71.00.01.3363979E-52.5535037E-62.5535037E-61.00.01.3363175E-42.553478E-52.553478E-51.00.0

Coronado Bank alt1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.533492E-59.3951705E-51.43947E-41.53213835.0E-53.22824E-44.025903E-44.7256213E-41.1738047.0E-50.00392330070.0048911210.004970731.01627618.0E-50.038547550.0479040.0480087321.00218631.1E-4
6.14.1807285E-55.0493105E-57.04921E-51.39607372.0E-51.7916178E-42.1638138E-42.3637705E-41.09240942.0E-50.00217911230.00263133650.00266125751.0113713.0E-50.0215786770.0260111240.0260403441.00112333.0E-5
6.24.1807285E-55.0493105E-57.04921E-51.39607372.0E-51.7916178E-42.1638138E-42.3637705E-41.09240942.0E-50.00217911230.00263133650.00266125751.0113713.0E-50.0215786770.0260111240.0260403441.00112333.0E-5
6.33.1793104E-53.7711125E-55.771037E-51.53032742.0E-51.3624904E-41.6160926E-41.8160602E-41.12373532.0E-50.00165756980.0019658490.001995791.01523053.0E-50.0164526030.0194884950.019517911.00150943.0E-5
6.42.9878007E-53.5335797E-55.533509E-51.56597832.0E-51.2804232E-41.5143053E-41.714275E-41.13205372.0E-50.00155780030.00184213950.00187208421.01625543.0E-50.0154692530.0182724630.0183019151.00161183.0E-5
6.52.4512565E-52.8764101E-54.8763526E-51.69529122.0E-51.0504962E-41.2326906E-41.4326659E-41.16222672.0E-50.00127822870.00149979430.00152974941.01997283.0E-50.0127090120.01489969250.0149292461.00198353.0E-5
6.62.1317413E-52.490667E-54.490617E-51.80297782.0E-59.135714E-51.0673863E-41.267365E-41.18735362.0E-50.00111170560.00129879030.00132875131.02306843.0E-50.0110616050.0129144070.012944021.0022933.0E-5
6.71.8585655E-52.1634882E-54.163445E-51.92441312.0E-57.9650374E-59.271774E-51.1271588E-41.21568852.0E-59.6931186E-40.00112827440.00114825181.01770622.0E-50.00965094750.0112276230.0112473981.00176132.0E-5
6.81.5862879E-51.8419476E-52.8419292E-51.54289361.0E-56.798199E-57.8938334E-58.8937544E-51.12667121.0E-58.273665E-49.606697E-49.7066007E-41.01039951.0E-50.0082429280.0095671510.00957705451.00103521.0E-5
6.91.3021509E-51.5095266E-52.5095114E-51.66244941.0E-55.5805274E-56.46925E-57.4691845E-51.15456751.0E-56.792174E-47.873646E-47.973567E-41.01269051.0E-50.0067714520.0078475730.0078574941.00126431.0E-5
7.01.0974371E-51.2720105E-52.2719978E-51.7861471.0E-54.7032172E-55.4513697E-56.451315E-51.18343021.0E-55.7246623E-46.635197E-46.7351304E-41.01506111.0E-50.00570993730.00661713540.00662706931.00150121.0E-5
7.18.766221E-61.0163833E-51.0163833E-51.00.03.7568978E-54.3558655E-54.3558655E-51.00.04.573063E-45.302148E-45.302148E-41.00.00.00456366360.0052911970.0052911971.00.0
7.28.026024E-78.331776E-78.331776E-71.00.03.43972E-63.5707562E-63.5707562E-61.00.04.1877785E-54.34731E-54.34731E-51.00.04.1869894E-44.3464705E-44.3464705E-41.00.0
7.33.7293114E-73.700106E-73.700106E-71.00.01.5982754E-61.5857588E-61.5857588E-61.00.01.9458828E-51.9306442E-51.9306442E-51.00.01.9457124E-41.9304773E-41.9304773E-41.00.0
7.42.0557036E-71.9674441E-71.9674441E-71.00.08.810155E-78.4319004E-78.4319004E-71.00.01.0726311E-51.02657905E-51.02657905E-51.00.01.0725793E-41.026532E-41.026532E-41.00.0
7.56.845446E-86.2794086E-86.2794086E-81.00.02.9337625E-72.6911746E-72.6911746E-71.00.03.5718497E-63.2765004E-63.2765004E-61.00.03.5717923E-53.276453E-53.276453E-51.00.0
7.66.0975145E-95.531901E-95.531901E-91.00.02.6132206E-82.3708148E-82.3708148E-81.00.03.1815955E-72.8864667E-72.8864667E-71.00.03.181591E-62.886464E-62.886464E-61.00.0

Big Pine (East)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.916913E-61.28172705E-55.281676E-54.1207494.0E-54.250036E-55.493013E-51.04927385E-41.91019735.0E-55.173191E-46.685912E-47.485377E-41.11957458.0E-50.00516116430.0066704490.0067797151.01638071.1E-4
6.19.916913E-61.28172705E-55.281676E-54.1207494.0E-54.250036E-55.493013E-51.04927385E-41.91019735.0E-55.173191E-46.685912E-47.485377E-41.11957458.0E-50.00516116430.0066704490.0067797151.01638071.1E-4
6.29.916913E-61.28172705E-55.281676E-54.1207494.0E-54.250036E-55.493013E-51.04927385E-41.91019735.0E-55.173191E-46.685912E-47.485377E-41.11957458.0E-50.00516116430.0066704490.0067797151.01638071.1E-4
6.35.479711E-68.1132375E-63.8112994E-54.69763043.0E-52.3484265E-53.4770575E-57.476918E-52.1503584.0E-52.858834E-44.232527E-44.932231E-41.16531597.0E-50.00285515890.00422725130.0043168711.02120049.0E-5
6.45.465009E-68.0975315E-63.809729E-54.7048033.0E-52.3421257E-53.4703262E-57.470187E-52.15258934.0E-52.851165E-44.2243348E-44.924039E-41.16563657.0E-50.00284750970.004219090.0043087111.02124179.0E-5
6.54.826767E-67.4225877E-63.7422364E-55.0416873.0E-52.068598E-53.1810716E-57.1809445E-52.2573984.0E-52.518227E-43.8722943E-44.5720232E-41.18070147.0E-50.00251537510.00386829070.00395794261.02317619.0E-5
6.64.3146847E-66.8825234E-63.6882317E-55.3588363.0E-51.8491375E-52.949621E-56.949503E-52.35606654.0E-52.2510924E-43.5905963E-44.190381E-41.16704326.0E-50.00224881340.00358750620.0036672191.02221978.0E-5
6.73.6968106E-65.9957474E-63.5995567E-56.0035163.0E-51.5843378E-52.5695816E-56.569479E-52.55663374.0E-51.9287605E-43.128032E-43.7278442E-41.19175396.0E-50.00192708730.00312624990.00320599971.02550978.0E-5
6.83.4671132E-65.7024477E-63.5702276E-56.26086853.0E-51.4858972E-52.4438841E-56.443786E-52.6366994.0E-51.8089297E-42.9750372E-43.4748882E-41.16801515.0E-50.00180745790.00297366660.00304345861.02346997.0E-5
6.92.7686972E-64.8254797E-61.4825431E-53.07232281.0E-51.1865792E-52.0680467E-54.0680054E-51.96707622.0E-51.4445644E-42.5175634E-42.817488E-41.11913293.0E-50.00144362570.0025172560.00255715521.01585034.0E-5
7.02.1472624E-63.985277E-61.3985237E-53.50922581.0E-59.20252E-61.707965E-53.707931E-52.17096422.0E-51.12034926E-42.0792543E-42.3791919E-41.14425253.0E-50.00111978450.00207982380.00211974071.01919254.0E-5
7.11.7018335E-63.3450835E-61.334505E-53.9894521.0E-57.293552E-61.4335996E-53.433571E-52.39506962.0E-58.879537E-51.7452713E-41.9452363E-41.11457542.0E-58.87599E-40.00174637920.00177632681.01714843.0E-5
7.21.25603E-62.794679E-61.2794651E-54.57821851.0E-55.3829745E-61.1977142E-53.1976902E-52.66982752.0E-56.553574E-51.4581217E-41.6580925E-41.13714282.0E-56.551642E-40.00145961730.00147958811.01368222.0E-5
7.31.112297E-62.610519E-61.2610492E-54.8306461.0E-54.7669787E-61.1187892E-53.118767E-52.7876272.0E-55.803642E-51.3620428E-41.5620155E-41.14681832.0E-55.802127E-40.0013635020.00138347471.01464812.0E-5
7.41.0137181E-62.4836752E-61.2483651E-55.02628141.0E-54.3444993E-61.064428E-53.0644067E-52.87892342.0E-55.2892992E-51.2958662E-41.4958403E-41.15431692.0E-55.288041E-40.00129719180.00131716581.01539792.0E-5
7.59.598608E-72.407328E-61.2407304E-55.1539731.0E-54.1136827E-61.03170805E-53.0316874E-52.93851282.0E-55.0082934E-51.2560343E-41.4560092E-41.15921132.0E-55.007165E-40.00125721320.00127718811.01588822.0E-5
7.67.929459E-72.0450152E-61.2044995E-55.88992931.0E-53.3983351E-68.764322E-62.8764147E-53.2819592.0E-54.1373947E-51.0670057E-41.2669843E-41.18742042.0E-54.1366243E-40.00106858250.00108856111.01869642.0E-5
7.74.155788E-71.1606729E-61.1606729E-61.00.01.7810507E-64.974303E-61.4974254E-53.01032191.0E-52.1684076E-56.05605E-57.0559894E-51.16511421.0E-52.1681961E-46.085995E-46.185935E-41.01642121.0E-5
7.81.14666925E-72.592197E-72.592197E-71.00.04.914296E-71.1109411E-61.1109411E-61.00.05.9831386E-61.3525627E-51.3525627E-51.00.05.9829777E-51.3636416E-41.3636416E-41.00.0
7.92.9231824E-84.1462318E-84.1462318E-81.00.01.2527924E-71.7769564E-71.7769564E-71.00.01.5252737E-62.1634426E-62.1634426E-61.00.01.5252632E-52.197062E-52.197062E-51.00.0

Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0240792E-52.40909E-54.409042E-51.8301692.0E-51.2959696E-41.032432E-41.332401E-41.29054613.0E-50.00157670080.00125636180.0013062991.03974755.0E-50.0156556090.0125026130.0126112371.00868821.1E-4
6.13.0240792E-52.40909E-54.409042E-51.8301692.0E-51.2959696E-41.032432E-41.332401E-41.29054613.0E-50.00157670080.00125636180.0013062991.03974755.0E-50.0156556090.0125026130.0126112371.00868821.1E-4
6.23.0240792E-52.40909E-54.409042E-51.8301692.0E-51.2959696E-41.032432E-41.332401E-41.29054613.0E-50.00157670080.00125636180.0013062991.03974755.0E-50.0156556090.0125026130.0126112371.00868821.1E-4
6.32.0498217E-51.3638054E-52.3637918E-51.73323241.0E-58.784654E-55.8447586E-57.8446414E-51.34216692.0E-50.00106900697.1138324E-47.513548E-41.05618854.0E-50.010638790.00709268640.0071423321.00699955.0E-5
6.42.0498217E-51.3638054E-52.3637918E-51.73323241.0E-58.784654E-55.8447586E-57.8446414E-51.34216692.0E-50.00106900697.1138324E-47.513548E-41.05618854.0E-50.010638790.00709268640.0071423321.00699955.0E-5
6.51.7316182E-51.04769715E-51.04769715E-51.00.07.42101E-54.490059E-55.490014E-51.22270421.0E-59.0313336E-45.465376E-45.7652115E-41.05486113.0E-50.0089947180.005452930.0054927121.00729554.0E-5
6.61.5251077E-58.414133E-68.414133E-61.00.06.536012E-53.606011E-54.605975E-51.27730481.0E-57.9546886E-44.3895066E-44.6893748E-41.06831483.0E-50.0079262740.00438155370.00442137851.00908924.0E-5
6.71.2997425E-56.4112146E-66.4112146E-61.00.05.570206E-52.7476372E-53.7476097E-51.3639391.0E-56.7796157E-43.3447813E-43.5447144E-41.05977462.0E-50.00675896930.0033402070.0033701071.00895143.0E-5
6.81.035386E-54.333145E-64.333145E-61.00.04.437293E-51.8570496E-52.857031E-51.53847861.0E-55.401065E-42.260732E-42.3607093E-41.04422341.0E-50.00538795670.0022585190.00227847371.00883532.0E-5
6.98.816252E-63.5805879E-63.5805879E-61.00.03.778339E-51.534529E-52.5345136E-51.65165581.0E-54.5991567E-41.8681347E-41.9681161E-41.05351941.0E-50.004589650.00186662280.00188658551.01069452.0E-5
7.06.8232207E-62.5674399E-62.5674399E-61.00.02.9242048E-51.100327E-52.100316E-51.90881071.0E-53.5596377E-41.3395688E-41.4395555E-41.07464091.0E-50.00355394110.00133879250.00135876561.01491882.0E-5
7.15.837013E-62.2273143E-62.2273143E-61.00.02.501553E-59.5456E-61.9545503E-52.0475931.0E-53.045215E-41.1621177E-41.2621061E-41.08603981.0E-50.00304104550.0011615390.00118151571.01719862.0E-5
7.24.278052E-61.6275065E-61.6275065E-61.00.01.833438E-56.975011E-66.975011E-61.00.02.231982E-48.491768E-58.491768E-51.00.00.00222974188.4887556E-48.588671E-41.01177021.0E-5
7.31.8803692E-68.344788E-78.344788E-71.00.08.0587E-63.5763337E-63.5763337E-61.00.09.811026E-54.354114E-54.354114E-51.00.09.806695E-44.3534054E-44.3534054E-41.00.0

Blue Cut

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1227985E-52.2719574E-57.271844E-53.20069555.0E-59.097391E-59.73663E-51.5736045E-41.61616976.0E-50.00110704450.00118484810.00125476521.05900937.0E-50.0110154580.0117911520.0118998551.0092191.1E-4
6.12.1227985E-52.2719574E-57.271844E-53.20069555.0E-59.097391E-59.73663E-51.5736045E-41.61616976.0E-50.00110704450.00118484810.00125476521.05900937.0E-50.0110154580.0117911520.0118998551.0092191.1E-4
6.22.1227985E-52.2719574E-57.271844E-53.20069555.0E-59.097391E-59.73663E-51.5736045E-41.61616976.0E-50.00110704450.00118484810.00125476521.05900937.0E-50.0110154580.0117911520.0118998551.0092191.1E-4
6.31.1613981E-51.2353542E-52.2353419E-51.80947451.0E-54.9773254E-55.2942745E-57.2941686E-51.37774662.0E-56.0582085E-46.443998E-46.643869E-41.03101662.0E-50.00604171960.00642655930.00645636631.00463813.0E-5
6.41.1613981E-51.2353542E-52.2353419E-51.80947451.0E-54.9773254E-55.2942745E-57.2941686E-51.37774662.0E-56.0582085E-46.443998E-46.643869E-41.03101662.0E-50.00604171960.00642655930.00645636631.00463813.0E-5
6.58.931326E-69.4816E-61.9481506E-52.05466441.0E-53.8276554E-54.0634844E-55.063444E-51.24608421.0E-54.6591737E-44.946261E-45.0462113E-41.02020731.0E-50.00464941750.0049361610.00495606241.00403182.0E-5
6.67.345353E-67.79028E-61.7790202E-52.2836411.0E-53.1479703E-53.338653E-54.3386193E-51.2995121.0E-53.83198E-44.064132E-44.164091E-41.02459551.0E-50.00382537880.00405749070.004077411.00490922.0E-5
6.76.2775666E-66.655149E-61.6655082E-52.5025861.0E-52.690358E-52.8521798E-53.8521513E-51.3505991.0E-53.2750185E-43.472051E-43.572016E-41.02879141.0E-50.00327019630.0034673670.00348729781.0057482.0E-5
6.85.5234095E-65.8551113E-61.5855052E-52.70789961.0E-52.367154E-52.5093133E-53.5092882E-51.39850541.0E-52.8816288E-43.0547334E-43.154703E-41.0327261.0E-50.0028778950.00305125050.00307118961.00653472.0E-5
6.94.7780054E-65.0654203E-61.506537E-52.97415971.0E-52.0477004E-52.1708804E-53.1708587E-51.46063261.0E-52.4927902E-42.642797E-42.7427703E-41.03782871.0E-50.00248999570.0026403460.00265031981.00377741.0E-5
7.03.883171E-64.118487E-61.41184455E-53.4280661.0E-51.6642054E-51.7650578E-52.7650402E-51.56654371.0E-52.0259817E-42.1488148E-42.2487935E-41.04652731.0E-50.00202413560.00214741290.00215739131.00464681.0E-5
7.12.8358215E-63.0097158E-63.0097158E-61.00.01.2153464E-51.2898756E-51.2898756E-51.00.01.4795837E-41.5703762E-41.5703762E-41.00.00.0014785990.00156991160.00156991161.00.0

Rose Canyon

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5923203E-54.9714607E-59.9712124E-52.00569065.0E-51.9679888E-42.1304654E-42.630359E-41.23464055.0E-50.00239339330.00259094780.00265079251.02309756.0E-50.0236777980.0256185180.0257159561.00380341.0E-4
6.14.5923203E-54.9714607E-56.971361E-51.40227632.0E-51.9679888E-42.1304654E-42.3304229E-41.09385622.0E-50.00239339330.00259094780.002620871.01154883.0E-50.0236777980.0256185180.025676981.0022826.0E-5
6.22.8844734E-52.9669678E-53.9669383E-51.33703451.0E-51.2361443E-41.2714976E-41.371485E-41.07863741.0E-50.00150396650.0015469760.00156694511.01290852.0E-50.01493828650.0153648730.0154042591.00256344.0E-5
6.32.3171577E-52.3162425E-52.3162425E-51.00.09.9302975E-59.926383E-59.926383E-51.00.00.00120834310.00120788040.00121786841.0082691.0E-50.0120179380.0120121520.0120417921.00246753.0E-5
6.42.0066604E-51.9668067E-51.9668067E-51.00.08.599689E-58.428905E-58.428905E-51.00.00.00104650920.0010257460.0010257461.00.00.0104159460.0102114790.0102213771.00096931.0E-5
6.51.776989E-51.7115402E-51.7115402E-51.00.07.615444E-57.33497E-57.33497E-51.00.09.267859E-48.926737E-48.926737E-41.00.00.0092293030.0088746630.0088845741.00111681.0E-5
6.61.5227364E-51.4340872E-51.4340872E-51.00.06.52585E-56.145947E-56.145947E-51.00.07.942326E-47.480173E-47.480173E-41.00.00.0079140.00744103360.0074509591.0013341.0E-5
6.71.2703898E-51.1674277E-51.1674277E-51.00.05.4444143E-55.0031682E-55.0031682E-51.00.06.626558E-46.089697E-46.089697E-41.00.00.0066068330.00606230930.0060722491.00163951.0E-5
6.81.1554917E-51.0610384E-51.0610384E-51.00.04.9520135E-54.547231E-54.547231E-51.00.06.0274085E-45.5348873E-45.5348873E-41.00.00.00601108650.0055044140.0055143591.00180671.0E-5
6.98.732078E-67.882285E-67.882285E-61.00.03.7422655E-53.37808E-53.37808E-51.00.04.5552556E-44.112066E-44.112066E-41.00.00.00454592940.0040895150.00409947431.00243531.0E-5
7.05.9337494E-65.107436E-65.107436E-61.00.02.5430107E-52.1888829E-52.1888829E-51.00.03.0956755E-42.6646405E-42.6646405E-41.00.00.00309136670.0026614610.00267143451.00374731.0E-5
7.15.013409E-64.17734E-64.17734E-61.00.02.1485863E-51.7902763E-51.7902763E-51.00.02.6155898E-42.1794444E-42.1794444E-41.00.00.00261251330.00217731880.0021872971.00458281.0E-5
7.24.120763E-63.2820917E-63.2820917E-61.00.01.7660293E-51.4066032E-51.4066032E-51.00.02.1499286E-41.7124058E-41.7124058E-41.00.00.00214784990.00171109580.00172107861.00583421.0E-5
7.33.2081239E-62.4404965E-62.4404965E-61.00.01.374903E-51.0459229E-51.0459229E-51.00.01.6738157E-41.2733374E-41.2733374E-41.00.00.00167255560.00127261480.00128260211.00784781.0E-5
7.42.4194755E-61.7680321E-61.7680321E-61.00.01.0369139E-57.5772587E-67.5772587E-61.00.01.2623696E-49.224927E-59.224927E-51.00.00.00126165279.221151E-49.3210593E-41.01083461.0E-5
7.51.3842889E-69.3782967E-79.3782967E-71.00.05.9326535E-64.019264E-64.019264E-61.00.07.222766E-54.8933474E-54.8933474E-51.00.07.220419E-44.8923056E-44.992256E-41.02043021.0E-5
7.61.0021575E-66.4113493E-76.4113493E-71.00.04.2949537E-62.7477186E-62.7477186E-61.00.05.2289808E-53.345298E-53.345298E-51.00.05.2277505E-43.344816E-43.4447823E-41.0298871.0E-5
7.78.7620116E-86.449304E-86.449304E-81.00.03.7551473E-72.763987E-72.763987E-71.00.04.5718825E-63.3651493E-63.3651493E-61.00.04.5717883E-53.3651013E-53.3651013E-51.00.0

San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.693995E-66.660123E-65.665979E-58.50731855.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-59.854107E-53.4523647.0E-53.492233E-43.4745657E-44.4742183E-41.28770581.0E-40.003486750.00354911670.00365872631.03088371.1E-4
6.16.693995E-66.660123E-65.665979E-58.50731855.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-59.854107E-53.4523647.0E-53.492233E-43.4745657E-44.4742183E-41.28770581.0E-40.003486750.00354911670.00365872631.03088371.1E-4
6.26.693995E-66.660123E-65.665979E-58.50731855.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-59.854107E-53.4523647.0E-53.492233E-43.4745657E-44.4742183E-41.28770581.0E-40.003486750.00354911670.00365872631.03088371.1E-4
6.36.693995E-66.660123E-65.665979E-58.50731855.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-59.854107E-53.4523647.0E-53.492233E-43.4745657E-44.4742183E-41.28770581.0E-40.003486750.00354911670.00365872631.03088371.1E-4
6.46.693995E-66.660123E-65.665979E-58.50731855.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-59.854107E-53.4523647.0E-53.492233E-43.4745657E-44.4742183E-41.28770581.0E-40.003486750.00354911670.00365872631.03088371.1E-4
6.56.6561875E-66.620341E-65.662001E-58.5524315.0E-52.8526205E-52.8372582E-59.83706E-53.46710067.0E-53.472512E-43.453815E-44.4534696E-41.28943491.0E-40.00346709070.00352843220.0036380441.03106531.1E-4
6.66.6561875E-66.620341E-65.662001E-58.5524315.0E-52.8526205E-52.8372582E-59.83706E-53.46710067.0E-53.472512E-43.453815E-44.4534696E-41.28943491.0E-40.00346709070.00352843220.0036380441.03106531.1E-4
6.76.5802237E-66.539518E-65.653919E-58.6457745.0E-52.8200653E-52.8026205E-59.802424E-53.49759247.0E-53.4328885E-43.4116567E-44.4113156E-41.29301271.0E-40.00342759020.00348640650.00359602321.03144111.1E-4
6.86.575632E-66.5340073E-65.653368E-58.6522225.0E-52.8180975E-52.8002589E-59.800063E-53.49969897.0E-53.4304935E-43.4087826E-44.4084416E-41.29325991.0E-40.00342520260.00348354130.00359315821.03146711.1E-4
6.96.570433E-66.525401E-65.6525074E-58.6623135.0E-52.8158694E-52.7965707E-59.796375E-53.50299577.0E-53.4277816E-43.4042934E-44.4039532E-41.29364671.0E-40.00342249920.00347906650.0035886841.03150771.1E-4
7.06.5643826E-66.5155223E-65.6515197E-58.6739325.0E-52.8132765E-52.7923368E-59.792142E-53.50679097.0E-53.424626E-43.3991406E-44.3988007E-41.2940921.0E-40.00341935320.00347392960.00358354741.03155451.1E-4
7.16.557402E-66.504234E-65.6503908E-58.687255.0E-52.8102848E-52.7874992E-59.787304E-53.51114157.0E-53.4209844E-43.3932526E-44.392913E-41.29460251.0E-40.00341572290.00346806060.00357767921.0316081.1E-4
7.26.546394E-66.4862006E-65.6485875E-58.7086235.0E-52.8055672E-52.7797707E-59.779576E-53.51812347.0E-53.4152428E-43.383846E-44.3835075E-41.29542171.0E-40.00340999870.00345868830.00356830771.03169391.1E-4
7.36.5364216E-66.4669857E-65.6466662E-58.7315275.0E-52.8012933E-52.771536E-59.771342E-53.52560547.0E-53.4100408E-43.373823E-44.373486E-41.29629971.0E-40.0034048130.00344871030.0035583311.0317861.1E-4
7.46.5269523E-66.4480723E-65.644775E-58.7542065.0E-52.7972354E-52.7634303E-59.763237E-53.53301367.0E-53.4051016E-43.3639578E-44.3636214E-41.29716891.0E-40.00339988880.00343889230.00354851391.0318771.1E-4
7.56.5111835E-66.424346E-65.6424025E-58.7828445.0E-52.7904773E-52.753262E-59.753069E-53.54236877.0E-53.3968766E-43.3515817E-44.3512465E-41.29826661.0E-40.00339168870.00342656440.00353618731.03199211.1E-4
7.66.4768806E-66.383454E-65.6383135E-58.83275.0E-52.7757764E-52.7357375E-59.7355456E-53.5586557.0E-53.3789838E-43.330252E-44.329919E-41.30017761.0E-40.00337385040.00340529720.00351492251.03219261.1E-4
7.76.1655364E-66.1759456E-65.6175635E-59.0958775.0E-52.642346E-52.646807E-59.646622E-53.64462617.0E-53.2165812E-43.2220117E-44.2216893E-41.31026511.0E-40.00321192950.00329693620.00340657361.03325431.1E-4
7.85.5043524E-65.7370175E-65.573673E-59.715285.0E-52.3589868E-52.4586987E-59.4585266E-53.84696467.0E-52.871688E-42.993055E-43.9927557E-41.33400681.0E-40.00286797970.00306705850.00317672131.0357551.1E-4
7.93.889249E-64.0766436E-65.407644E-513.2649415.0E-51.6668104E-51.7471213E-58.746999E-55.00652077.0E-52.0291525E-42.126913E-43.1267002E-41.4700651.0E-40.00202730070.00219410730.0023038661.05002431.1E-4
8.02.668535E-62.5313454E-61.253132E-54.95045851.0E-51.1436528E-51.0848577E-52.0848469E-51.92176991.0E-51.3923083E-41.3207346E-41.4207214E-41.07570541.0E-50.00139143630.00137556650.0013955391.01451952.0E-5
8.11.5911459E-61.2185134E-61.2185134E-61.00.06.8191785E-65.2221894E-65.2221894E-61.00.08.3020335E-56.357832E-56.357832E-51.00.08.298933E-46.6911156E-46.791049E-41.01493511.0E-5
8.26.1294963E-72.1802066E-72.1802066E-71.00.02.6269242E-69.3437393E-79.3437393E-71.00.03.1982334E-51.1375943E-51.1375943E-51.00.03.1977732E-41.2778955E-41.2778955E-41.00.0
8.31.762871E-74.7516316E-84.7516316E-81.00.07.5551594E-72.0364133E-72.0364133E-71.00.09.1983675E-62.4793305E-62.4793305E-61.00.09.197987E-52.8671833E-52.8671833E-51.00.0

Ventura-Pitas Point

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.3179622E-53.373519E-55.373451E-51.59283282.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.6456992E-41.13831852.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00179893931.02270014.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.017574751.0056221.0E-4
6.13.3179622E-53.373519E-55.373451E-51.59283282.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.6456992E-41.13831852.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00179893931.02270014.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.017574751.0056221.0E-4
6.23.3179622E-53.373519E-55.373451E-51.59283282.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.6456992E-41.13831852.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00179893931.02270014.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.017574751.0056221.0E-4
6.33.3179622E-53.373519E-55.373451E-51.59283282.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.6456992E-41.13831852.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00179893931.02270014.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.017574751.0056221.0E-4
6.41.8754668E-51.7019594E-52.7019423E-51.58754811.0E-58.037467E-57.2939205E-58.293848E-51.13709041.0E-59.781223E-48.8769617E-48.976873E-41.01125511.0E-50.0097382820.0088439430.0088736771.00336223.0E-5
6.51.8754668E-51.7019594E-52.7019423E-51.58754811.0E-58.037467E-57.2939205E-58.293848E-51.13709041.0E-59.781223E-48.8769617E-48.976873E-41.01125511.0E-50.0097382820.0088439430.0088736771.00336223.0E-5
6.61.4361558E-51.2122258E-52.2122136E-51.82491891.0E-56.154808E-55.1951512E-56.1950996E-51.19247721.0E-57.490902E-46.323284E-46.4232206E-41.01580451.0E-50.00746570160.0063056520.0063255261.00315182.0E-5
6.71.4361558E-51.2122258E-52.2122136E-51.82491891.0E-56.154808E-55.1951512E-56.1950996E-51.19247721.0E-57.490902E-46.323284E-46.4232206E-41.01580451.0E-50.00746570160.0063056520.0063255261.00315182.0E-5
6.81.3663846E-51.1344401E-52.1344287E-51.88148211.0E-55.8558027E-54.8617967E-55.861748E-51.20567521.0E-57.127108E-45.917649E-46.01759E-41.01688861.0E-50.0071042930.00590221070.00591215171.00168431.0E-5
6.91.3644157E-51.1322501E-52.1322388E-51.8831871.0E-55.8473648E-54.8524114E-55.852363E-51.2060731.0E-57.116841E-45.906229E-46.00617E-41.01692131.0E-50.0070940920.00589085140.00590079231.00168751.0E-5
7.01.3568845E-51.12420685E-52.1241956E-51.8895061.0E-55.8150898E-54.8179416E-55.817893E-51.20754751.0E-57.077572E-45.8642845E-45.964226E-41.01704241.0E-50.0070550730.0058491280.00585906951.00169971.0E-5
7.11.306572E-51.0720521E-52.0720414E-51.93278051.0E-55.599474E-54.594429E-55.594383E-51.21764491.0E-56.815227E-45.5923004E-45.692244E-41.01787171.0E-50.00679436370.0055785360.00558848031.00178251.0E-5
7.21.232604E-59.995121E-61.9995021E-52.0004781.0E-55.2824813E-54.283554E-55.2835112E-51.2334411.0E-56.429523E-45.2139966E-45.3139444E-41.01916911.0E-50.00641095270.0052020590.0052120071.00191241.0E-5
7.31.0917261E-58.843812E-61.8843724E-52.13072421.0E-54.678742E-53.7901507E-54.790113E-51.26383171.0E-55.69488E-44.6135474E-44.713501E-41.02166531.0E-50.00568030770.0046042390.0046141931.00216191.0E-5
7.41.039959E-58.42354E-61.8423456E-52.18713931.0E-54.456891E-53.6100395E-54.6100035E-51.27699531.0E-55.424914E-44.394352E-44.494308E-41.02274641.0E-50.00541168960.00438592770.0043958841.002271.0E-5
7.59.015877E-67.29752E-61.7297447E-52.37031871.0E-53.86389E-53.1274718E-54.1274405E-51.31973711.0E-54.7032707E-43.8070456E-43.9070076E-41.0262571.0E-50.0046933290.0038007720.0038107341.0026211.0E-5
7.64.900162E-63.874119E-61.387408E-53.5812221.0E-52.1000526E-51.6603262E-52.6603097E-51.60228131.0E-52.556514E-42.0212609E-42.1212407E-41.04946411.0E-50.00255357470.0020194360.0020294161.00494181.0E-5
7.73.8850626E-63.12676E-61.3126729E-54.1981891.0E-51.6650163E-51.3400332E-52.3400198E-51.74624011.0E-52.0269687E-41.6313691E-41.7313528E-41.06128821.0E-50.0020251210.00163018090.00164016451.00612431.0E-5
7.82.4654719E-62.029902E-61.2029882E-55.92633631.0E-51.0566265E-58.699551E-61.8699464E-52.14947461.0E-51.2863669E-41.0591193E-41.1591087E-41.0944081.0E-50.00128562250.00105861920.00106860861.00943621.0E-5
7.94.095894E-73.2765078E-71.0327648E-531.520291.0E-51.7553821E-61.4042168E-61.1404203E-58.1213971.0E-52.1371567E-51.709621E-52.7096039E-51.58491491.0E-52.1369511E-41.7094925E-41.8094754E-41.05848691.0E-5
8.07.791402E-95.6836056E-95.6836056E-91.00.03.3391725E-82.4358311E-82.4358311E-81.00.04.0654416E-72.965624E-72.965624E-71.00.04.065434E-62.9656223E-62.9656223E-61.00.0

Channel Islands Thrust

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2156251E-52.4092022E-55.40913E-52.24519543.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.432439E-41.38737654.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00132633851.05564367.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.01260257051.00789751.0E-4
6.12.2156251E-52.4092022E-55.40913E-52.24519543.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.432439E-41.38737654.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00132633851.05564367.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.01260257051.00789751.0E-4
6.22.2156251E-52.4092022E-55.40913E-52.24519543.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.432439E-41.38737654.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00132633851.05564367.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.01260257051.00789751.0E-4
6.32.2156251E-52.4092022E-55.40913E-52.24519543.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.432439E-41.38737654.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00132633851.05564367.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.01260257051.00789751.0E-4
6.42.2156251E-52.4092022E-55.40913E-52.24519543.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.432439E-41.38737654.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00132633851.05564367.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.01260257051.00789751.0E-4
6.52.2156251E-52.4092022E-55.40913E-52.24519543.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.432439E-41.38737654.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00132633851.05564367.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.01260257051.00789751.0E-4
6.62.2156251E-52.4092022E-55.40913E-52.24519543.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.432439E-41.38737654.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00132633851.05564367.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.01260257051.00789751.0E-4
6.71.0601296E-51.1379544E-51.1379544E-51.00.04.5433335E-54.876859E-55.8768102E-51.205041.0E-55.5301044E-45.936007E-46.235829E-41.0505093.0E-50.0055163630.0059206530.00598029841.0100746.0E-5
6.81.0246747E-51.0996669E-51.0996669E-51.00.04.391389E-54.7127756E-55.7127287E-51.21217921.0E-55.345204E-45.7363417E-46.0361694E-41.05226813.0E-50.00533236560.0057220250.00578168171.01042586.0E-5
6.99.049551E-69.699645E-69.699645E-61.00.03.878322E-54.1569267E-55.156885E-51.24055231.0E-54.7208337E-45.059924E-45.359772E-41.05925943.0E-50.00471081720.00504882030.0050985681.00985345.0E-5
7.08.6542195E-69.274603E-69.274603E-61.00.03.7088983E-53.9747716E-54.974732E-51.25157681.0E-54.5146482E-44.8382508E-45.1381055E-41.06197583.0E-50.0045054870.00482812940.00487788771.0103065.0E-5
7.18.391028E-68.992925E-68.992925E-61.00.03.5961057E-53.8540562E-54.8540176E-51.25945691.0E-54.3773788E-44.6913436E-44.991203E-41.06391753.0E-50.0043687660.00468185030.00473161651.01062955.0E-5
7.25.965188E-66.3716957E-66.3716957E-61.00.02.556484E-52.7306984E-52.7306984E-51.00.03.1120746E-43.3241237E-43.524057E-41.06014622.0E-50.003107720.00331920940.00334910981.00900833.0E-5
7.34.877518E-65.206007E-65.206007E-61.00.02.0903482E-52.231127E-52.231127E-51.00.02.5447016E-42.716063E-42.9160085E-41.0736162.0E-50.00254178980.00271278970.00274270821.01102883.0E-5
7.43.8829853E-64.141863E-64.141863E-61.00.01.664126E-51.7750723E-51.7750723E-51.00.02.0258849E-42.1609403E-42.2609187E-41.04626621.0E-50.0020240390.0021588810.00217883751.00924412.0E-5
7.51.3489616E-61.4277905E-61.4277905E-61.00.05.7812517E-66.119088E-66.119088E-61.00.07.038446E-57.449739E-57.449739E-51.00.07.036218E-47.4472814E-47.547207E-41.01341771.0E-5
7.66.058192E-76.35378E-76.35378E-71.00.02.5963652E-62.7230458E-62.7230458E-61.00.03.161029E-53.3152595E-53.3152595E-51.00.03.1605794E-43.314781E-43.414748E-41.03015791.0E-5
7.72.2170494E-72.2607924E-72.2607924E-71.00.09.5016367E-79.689107E-79.689107E-71.00.01.1568181E-51.17964355E-51.17964355E-51.00.01.1567579E-41.179592E-41.179592E-41.00.0
7.82.1613102E-81.5466837E-81.5466837E-81.00.09.262757E-86.628645E-86.628645E-81.00.01.1277401E-68.070372E-78.070372E-71.00.01.1277344E-58.07035E-68.07035E-61.00.0

Deep Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9810619E-52.311252E-55.3111828E-52.2979683.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.2904979E-41.30283893.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.00126573551.04969926.0E-50.0102837570.012042430.0121412261.0082041.0E-4
6.11.9810619E-52.311252E-55.3111828E-52.2979683.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.2904979E-41.30283893.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.00126573551.04969926.0E-50.0102837570.012042430.0121412261.0082041.0E-4
6.21.9810619E-52.311252E-55.3111828E-52.2979683.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.2904979E-41.30283893.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.00126573551.04969926.0E-50.0102837570.012042430.0121412261.0082041.0E-4
6.31.9810619E-52.311252E-55.3111828E-52.2979683.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.2904979E-41.30283893.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.00126573551.04969926.0E-50.0102837570.012042430.0121412261.0082041.0E-4
6.41.9810619E-52.311252E-55.3111828E-52.2979683.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.2904979E-41.30283893.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.00126573551.04969926.0E-50.0102837570.012042430.0121412261.0082041.0E-4
6.51.7190405E-52.0050558E-53.0050356E-51.49872921.0E-57.367108E-58.593096E-59.59301E-51.11636251.0E-58.9657627E-40.00104620920.00108616741.03819324.0E-50.0089296760.0104620610.0105313291.00662097.0E-5
6.61.7190405E-52.0050558E-53.0050356E-51.49872921.0E-57.367108E-58.593096E-59.59301E-51.11636251.0E-58.9657627E-40.00104620920.00108616741.03819324.0E-50.0089296760.0104620610.0105313291.00662097.0E-5

Calaveras (So) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5950744E-43.0713255E-43.271264E-41.06509852.0E-56.834242E-40.0013154090.00134536951.02277663.0E-50.008288990.0158583260.0159173741.00372356.0E-50.0798654260.144401850.144470291.0004748.0E-5
6.11.3584697E-42.603514E-42.8034617E-41.07679932.0E-55.8207137E-40.00111517540.0011451421.02687163.0E-50.0070637160.0134613850.0135205771.00439726.0E-50.068433610.1240299940.1241000741.0005658.0E-5
6.21.14676266E-42.1714384E-42.2714166E-41.04604241.0E-54.9137714E-49.30223E-49.502044E-41.02148022.0E-50.00596611850.0112450580.0112944961.00439645.0E-50.0580846480.105020570.105083211.00059657.0E-5
6.38.691518E-51.5987935E-41.6987773E-41.06253721.0E-53.7244044E-46.849807E-47.04967E-41.02917792.0E-50.0045250380.0083011220.0083507081.00597335.0E-50.0443399920.07933650.079400951.00081237.0E-5
6.48.50982E-51.5694331E-41.6694174E-41.06370721.0E-53.646556E-46.724042E-46.923908E-41.0297242.0E-50.00443064750.0081491550.0081987481.00608565.0E-50.043433450.077942680.078007221.00082817.0E-5
6.58.4062965E-51.5518743E-41.6518588E-41.06442821.0E-53.602201E-46.6488347E-46.848702E-41.03006042.0E-50.0043768630.0080583650.0081079621.00615485.0E-50.0429165550.077113880.0771784861.00083787.0E-5
6.68.194716E-51.5154552E-41.6154401E-41.06597671.0E-53.5115483E-46.492843E-46.6927134E-41.03078322.0E-50.00426693170.0078702090.0079198151.00630315.0E-50.041859270.075399190.075463911.00085847.0E-5
6.78.012326E-51.4822475E-41.5822327E-41.06745521.0E-53.433402E-46.350612E-46.550485E-41.0314732.0E-50.0041721570.0076987010.0077483161.00644465.0E-50.0409469120.073841320.073906151.0008787.0E-5
6.87.119773E-51.2881879E-41.388175E-41.07761851.0E-53.0509746E-45.519494E-45.719383E-41.03621522.0E-50.00370823570.0066960660.0067457311.00741715.0E-50.0364696420.064685750.064751221.00101227.0E-5
6.95.7343088E-59.919277E-59.919277E-51.00.02.4573295E-44.25043E-44.3503873E-41.0235171.0E-50.00298769420.0051626940.00520248761.00770784.0E-50.029478440.050510360.0505673331.00112786.0E-5
7.04.8746577E-58.2850725E-58.2850725E-51.00.02.0889717E-43.5502657E-43.65023E-41.02815691.0E-50.00254035650.0043139480.00434381841.00692423.0E-50.0251151210.0424852450.0425235441.00090154.0E-5
7.14.2998014E-57.265203E-57.265203E-51.00.01.8426418E-43.1132903E-43.213259E-41.03211031.0E-50.0022411080.0037839030.00381378971.00789833.0E-50.0221864120.0374235620.0374620631.00102894.0E-5
7.23.221292E-55.390791E-55.390791E-51.00.01.3804805E-42.3101359E-42.4101128E-41.04327751.0E-50.00167943930.00280899070.00283890661.010653.0E-50.0166680370.028036020.02807491.00138684.0E-5
7.32.3756531E-53.9473416E-53.9473416E-51.00.01.0180973E-41.6916092E-41.6916092E-41.00.00.00123882860.00205760570.00207756461.00970012.0E-50.0123194520.0206431450.0206725261.00142323.0E-5
7.41.5997684E-52.7342163E-52.7342163E-51.00.06.8559704E-51.1717545E-41.1717545E-41.00.08.343947E-40.001425680.00144565141.01400842.0E-50.0083126870.0143760110.0143957231.00137132.0E-5
7.51.3814293E-52.4783874E-52.4783874E-51.00.05.9202768E-51.062123E-41.062123E-41.00.07.205553E-40.001292370.00131234411.01545552.0E-50.0071822340.0130550850.0130748241.00151192.0E-5
7.68.817309E-61.6430757E-51.6430757E-51.00.03.7787922E-57.0415634E-57.0415634E-51.00.04.5997082E-48.569745E-48.769574E-41.02331792.0E-50.0045901990.0087192840.0087391091.00227382.0E-5
7.74.0352206E-67.707318E-67.707318E-61.00.01.7293689E-53.3030945E-53.3030945E-51.00.02.1053031E-44.0207763E-44.220696E-41.04972162.0E-50.00210330960.0041651720.0041850891.00478172.0E-5
7.83.413169E-66.787282E-66.787282E-61.00.01.4627784E-52.9088029E-52.9088029E-51.00.01.7807873E-43.5408925E-43.7408218E-41.05646292.0E-50.00177936090.00366651660.00368644321.00543482.0E-5
7.92.4740732E-65.2791843E-65.2791843E-61.00.01.06031275E-52.262488E-52.262488E-51.00.01.2908543E-42.7542314E-42.854204E-41.03629781.0E-50.00129010470.00283479550.00284476721.00351761.0E-5
8.01.5231818E-63.2889548E-63.2889548E-61.00.06.527906E-61.40954435E-51.40954435E-51.00.07.9474354E-51.7159856E-41.8159684E-41.05826561.0E-57.944594E-40.00175643030.00176641281.00568341.0E-5
8.11.0104524E-62.045782E-62.045782E-61.00.04.330503E-68.767608E-68.767608E-61.00.05.2722597E-51.0674043E-41.0674043E-41.00.05.271009E-40.0010929340.0010929341.00.0

Oceanic - West Huasna

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.195567E-52.7926368E-55.792553E-52.07422353.0E-51.3694567E-41.19679185E-41.596744E-41.33418694.0E-50.00166603840.00145616340.00149610511.02742954.0E-50.0165360330.014470770.01456932351.00681041.0E-4
6.12.1156782E-51.7573117E-52.7572942E-51.5690411.0E-59.066878E-57.531123E-59.530973E-51.26554472.0E-50.00110333339.1653795E-49.3651965E-41.02180122.0E-50.0109787130.0091285870.0091781311.00542725.0E-5
6.21.6195117E-51.3327227E-52.3327093E-51.75033371.0E-56.9405796E-55.7115452E-56.711488E-51.1750741.0E-58.44688E-46.9516135E-47.051544E-41.01437511.0E-50.0084148440.00693016170.0069599541.00429893.0E-5
6.31.3559345E-51.1179013E-52.1178901E-51.89452341.0E-55.811018E-54.7909183E-55.7908703E-51.20871831.0E-57.072618E-45.8313913E-45.931333E-41.01713861.0E-50.00705015050.0058162080.00584603331.0051283.0E-5
6.41.2120619E-51.0000874E-52.0000774E-51.99990261.0E-55.1944477E-54.2860185E-55.285976E-51.23330681.0E-56.322405E-45.216983E-45.316931E-41.01915811.0E-50.0063044470.0052048040.00523464751.00573383.0E-5
6.51.13511915E-59.367378E-61.9367284E-52.06752441.0E-54.8647056E-54.0145293E-55.0144892E-51.24908521.0E-55.9211696E-44.886598E-44.9865484E-41.02045421.0E-50.00590541730.00487591140.00489581381.00408182.0E-5
6.69.850605E-68.1353155E-61.8135233E-52.22919871.0E-54.2216197E-53.4865174E-54.4864824E-51.28680921.0E-55.1386096E-44.2440102E-44.343968E-41.02355271.0E-50.00512674360.00423593770.0042558531.00470152.0E-5
6.78.8558645E-67.318341E-61.7318267E-52.366421.0E-53.7953152E-53.1363943E-54.136363E-51.31882751.0E-54.6198163E-43.8178926E-43.9178543E-41.02618241.0E-50.0046102240.00381135920.0038312831.00522742.0E-5
6.87.67136E-66.39169E-61.6391627E-52.56452161.0E-53.2876844E-52.739267E-53.7392398E-51.36505121.0E-54.0020206E-43.3345487E-43.4345154E-41.02997911.0E-50.0039948210.00332956640.00334949981.00598682.0E-5
6.96.534529E-65.458261E-61.5458207E-52.83207541.0E-52.8004823E-52.3392338E-53.3392105E-51.42748051.0E-53.4090536E-42.8476462E-42.9476176E-41.03510681.0E-50.00340382870.0028440140.00285398561.00350621.0E-5
7.05.460525E-64.5699203E-61.4569874E-53.18821221.0E-52.3402039E-51.9585226E-52.958503E-51.5105791.0E-52.8488258E-42.3842414E-42.4842177E-41.04193211.0E-50.00284517650.00238169730.00239167361.00418871.0E-5
7.14.4825083E-63.7524153E-61.37523775E-53.664941.0E-51.9210609E-51.6081682E-52.6081521E-51.62181561.0E-52.3386406E-41.9577699E-42.0577502E-41.05106851.0E-50.0023361810.0019560570.00196603761.00510231.0E-5
7.22.821708E-62.424941E-62.424941E-61.00.01.2092979E-51.0392562E-51.0392562E-51.00.01.4722206E-41.265221E-41.265221E-41.00.00.00147124570.00126450320.00126450321.00.0
7.32.0644757E-61.7687502E-61.7687502E-61.00.08.847723E-67.580336E-67.580336E-61.00.01.0771569E-49.228668E-59.228668E-51.00.00.0010766359.224854E-49.224854E-41.00.0
7.41.6980367E-61.4379966E-61.4379966E-61.00.07.27728E-66.1628284E-66.1628284E-61.00.08.8597284E-57.502986E-57.502986E-51.00.08.8561967E-47.5004686E-47.5004686E-41.00.0
7.51.3637683E-61.1302697E-61.1302697E-61.00.05.844708E-64.844004E-64.844004E-61.00.07.1156996E-55.897415E-55.897415E-51.00.07.1134215E-45.8958656E-45.8958656E-41.00.0
7.69.802994E-77.6772847E-77.6772847E-71.00.04.2012766E-63.2902608E-63.2902608E-61.00.05.1149345E-54.005819E-54.005819E-51.00.05.113757E-44.0051117E-44.0051117E-41.00.0
7.75.986191E-74.0050708E-74.0050708E-71.00.02.5655079E-61.7164577E-61.7164577E-61.00.03.1234613E-52.0897673E-52.0897673E-51.00.03.123022E-42.0895849E-42.0895849E-41.00.0
7.82.9189815E-71.5285202E-71.5285202E-71.00.01.2509914E-66.5507993E-76.5507993E-71.00.01.5230714E-57.975569E-67.975569E-61.00.01.522967E-47.97542E-57.97542E-51.00.0
7.91.2057845E-74.6208047E-84.6208047E-81.00.05.1676466E-71.9803447E-71.9803447E-71.00.06.2915915E-62.411067E-62.411067E-61.00.06.2914136E-52.4111772E-52.4111772E-51.00.0
8.03.3806387E-99.0093144E-109.0093144E-101.00.01.4488451E-83.8611354E-93.8611354E-91.00.01.7639688E-74.7009323E-84.7009323E-81.00.01.7639674E-64.712806E-74.712806E-71.00.0

Palos Verdes

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.126063E-57.622572E-59.62242E-51.26235872.0E-52.6251914E-43.266441E-43.5663432E-41.09181313.0E-50.00319148650.00397017370.0040100151.01003524.0E-50.0314603930.039049090.0391451831.00246081.0E-4
6.16.126063E-57.622572E-59.62242E-51.26235872.0E-52.6251914E-43.266441E-43.5663432E-41.09181313.0E-50.00319148650.00397017370.0040100151.01003524.0E-50.0314603930.039049090.0391451831.00246081.0E-4
6.26.126063E-57.622572E-59.62242E-51.26235872.0E-52.6251914E-43.266441E-43.5663432E-41.09181313.0E-50.00319148650.00397017370.0040100151.01003524.0E-50.0314603930.039049090.0391451831.00246081.0E-4
6.34.0838047E-54.9749007E-55.974851E-51.2009991.0E-51.7500846E-42.1319388E-42.2319175E-41.04689561.0E-50.00212864580.0025927540.00261270231.00769382.0E-50.0210837090.0256467460.0257149521.00265947.0E-5
6.44.0838047E-54.9749007E-55.974851E-51.2009991.0E-51.7500846E-42.1319388E-42.2319175E-41.04689561.0E-50.00212864580.0025927540.00261270231.00769382.0E-50.0210837090.0256467460.0257149521.00265947.0E-5
6.53.0512005E-53.6561592E-54.656123E-51.2735011.0E-51.3075917E-41.566838E-41.6668225E-41.06381291.0E-50.00159083040.0019060720.00192603391.01047282.0E-50.0157949030.0189091730.0189680381.0031136.0E-5
6.62.9255087E-53.5154393E-54.515404E-51.28444951.0E-51.2537291E-41.5065364E-41.6065213E-41.06636741.0E-50.00152534640.00183277820.00185274161.01089242.0E-50.0151491890.0181882440.0182373341.0026995.0E-5
6.72.287198E-52.724828E-53.7248006E-51.36698571.0E-59.801909E-51.16773626E-41.2677246E-41.08562581.0E-50.0011927290.00142088330.00143086921.00702791.0E-50.0118634770.0141272170.0141666521.00279144.0E-5
6.82.1325764E-52.5431878E-53.5431625E-51.39319731.0E-59.139293E-51.0898972E-41.18988624E-41.09174181.0E-50.0011121410.00132623230.0013362191.00753021.0E-50.0110659150.0131922110.01323168351.0029924.0E-5
6.91.9009392E-52.2613547E-53.2613323E-51.44220281.0E-58.1466285E-59.6912096E-51.0691113E-41.10317621.0E-59.914007E-40.00117935350.00118934171.00846921.0E-50.0098698940.0117396330.0117692811.00252543.0E-5
7.01.7098473E-52.0319356E-53.0319152E-51.49213161.0E-57.3277115E-58.708052E-59.7079654E-51.11482621.0E-58.917837E-40.0010597750.00106976441.0094261.0E-50.0088821340.0105556460.01058532951.0028123.0E-5
7.11.5982785E-51.899476E-52.8994571E-51.5264511.0E-56.849585E-58.1404054E-59.1403235E-51.1228341.0E-58.336179E-49.907284E-40.00100071841.01008361.0E-50.0083049770.0098714790.0099011841.00300913.0E-5
7.21.4468002E-51.7197237E-51.7197237E-51.00.06.200425E-57.370083E-57.370083E-51.00.07.546402E-48.970222E-48.970222E-41.00.00.0075208270.0089422840.0089621051.00221662.0E-5
7.35.288233E-66.2036747E-66.2036747E-61.00.02.2663658E-52.6587102E-52.6587102E-51.00.02.7589512E-43.236848E-43.236848E-41.00.00.00275552830.00323555620.0032455241.00308061.0E-5
7.48.279556E-78.408347E-78.408347E-71.00.03.5483763E-63.6035726E-63.6035726E-61.00.04.3200624E-54.3872686E-54.3872686E-51.00.04.3192226E-44.3864746E-44.3864746E-41.00.0
7.56.559831E-76.667229E-76.667229E-71.00.02.8113532E-62.857381E-62.857381E-61.00.03.4227687E-53.4788125E-53.4788125E-51.00.03.4222414E-43.4783344E-43.4783344E-41.00.0
7.63.5018968E-73.5620027E-73.5620027E-71.00.01.500812E-61.526572E-61.526572E-61.00.01.8272232E-51.8585903E-51.8585903E-51.00.01.8270731E-41.8584808E-41.8584808E-41.00.0
7.71.1986104E-71.2198376E-71.2198376E-71.00.05.1369005E-75.2278745E-75.2278745E-71.00.06.2541585E-66.364919E-66.364919E-61.00.06.2539824E-56.364741E-56.364741E-51.00.0
7.83.0445005E-83.1027582E-83.1027582E-81.00.01.3047858E-71.3297536E-71.3297536E-71.00.01.5885756E-61.6189739E-61.6189739E-61.00.01.5885644E-51.6189642E-51.6189642E-51.00.0

Camp Rock 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6710783E-54.249999E-61.4249957E-53.35293151.0E-57.161568E-51.8214158E-53.8213795E-52.0980272.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-42.6172647E-41.18035524.0E-50.0086816160.00221519380.00230499451.04053859.0E-5
6.11.6710783E-54.249999E-61.4249957E-53.35293151.0E-57.161568E-51.8214158E-53.8213795E-52.0980272.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-42.6172647E-41.18035524.0E-50.0086816160.00221519380.00230499451.04053859.0E-5
6.21.6710783E-54.249999E-61.4249957E-53.35293151.0E-57.161568E-51.8214158E-53.8213795E-52.0980272.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-42.6172647E-41.18035524.0E-50.0086816160.00221519380.00230499451.04053859.0E-5
6.31.6710783E-54.249999E-61.4249957E-53.35293151.0E-57.161568E-51.8214158E-53.8213795E-52.0980272.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-42.6172647E-41.18035524.0E-50.0086816160.00221519380.00230499451.04053859.0E-5
6.47.982846E-63.6820359E-61.3681999E-53.71587871.0E-53.421175E-51.578006E-53.5779743E-52.26740222.0E-54.1644843E-41.9210564E-42.121018E-41.10408942.0E-50.00415668870.00191943060.00198929621.03639917.0E-5
6.57.982846E-63.6820359E-61.3681999E-53.71587871.0E-53.421175E-51.578006E-53.5779743E-52.26740222.0E-54.1644843E-41.9210564E-42.121018E-41.10408942.0E-50.00415668870.00191943060.00198929621.03639917.0E-5
6.67.048869E-63.4242998E-61.34242655E-53.9202951.0E-53.0209088E-51.467549E-52.4675343E-51.68139831.0E-53.677336E-41.7865976E-41.8865797E-41.05596231.0E-50.00367125660.00178519290.00184508581.03354986.0E-5
6.76.987307E-63.3622775E-61.3362243E-53.97416451.0E-52.9945259E-51.4409683E-52.4409539E-51.69396781.0E-53.6452254E-41.7542407E-41.8542232E-41.05699471.0E-50.00363925170.00175288720.00181278191.03416926.0E-5
6.86.3737602E-63.1178672E-61.3117836E-54.20731071.0E-52.731583E-51.3362222E-52.3362089E-51.74836851.0E-53.3251947E-41.6267318E-41.7267156E-41.0614631.0E-50.00332022370.00162556980.00168547221.03685016.0E-5
6.96.112211E-62.933078E-61.2933048E-54.40937761.0E-52.6194928E-51.2570275E-52.257015E-51.79551761.0E-53.1887658E-41.5303263E-41.630311E-41.06533551.0E-50.0031841940.00152930020.00158920851.03917366.0E-5
7.05.5140117E-62.64191E-61.2641884E-54.78513051.0E-52.3631264E-51.1322423E-52.132231E-51.88319311.0E-52.8767265E-41.3784204E-41.4784066E-41.07253681.0E-50.00287300530.00137759070.0014375081.04349436.0E-5
7.14.8151105E-62.1342612E-61.213424E-55.68545251.0E-52.0636026E-59.146803E-61.9146712E-52.09326821.0E-52.5121463E-41.1135685E-41.2135574E-41.08979141.0E-50.00250930830.00111303250.00116297671.04487235.0E-5
7.23.818335E-61.2937372E-61.1293724E-58.7295351.0E-51.6364189E-55.5445767E-61.5544521E-52.8035541.0E-51.9921579E-46.750321E-57.750254E-51.14813111.0E-50.00199037286.7483535E-47.1480835E-41.05923374.0E-5
7.32.7166698E-67.383078E-71.07383E-514.54447651.0E-51.1642818E-53.1641725E-61.3164141E-54.16037371.0E-51.4174209E-43.852314E-54.8522754E-51.25957431.0E-50.00141651723.8516664E-44.0515893E-41.05190562.0E-5
7.42.0893426E-65.4614605E-71.054614E-519.310111.0E-58.954295E-62.340624E-61.2340601E-55.2723551.0E-51.0901308E-42.8496728E-53.8496444E-51.35090741.0E-50.00108959622.849313E-43.0492558E-41.07017232.0E-5
7.51.1681728E-63.6028484E-73.6028484E-71.00.05.0064455E-61.544077E-61.544077E-61.00.06.0951766E-51.879898E-51.879898E-51.00.06.093505E-41.8797436E-41.8797436E-41.00.0
7.61.3154387E-77.1196716E-87.1196716E-81.00.05.6375933E-73.0512876E-73.0512876E-71.00.06.863748E-63.714938E-63.714938E-61.00.06.863536E-53.7148915E-53.7148915E-51.00.0

Tin Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.083776E-64.1815365E-62.4181452E-55.7829112.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-54.792023E-52.67400533.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.7815416E-41.27495846.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00226970021.04119639.0E-5
6.14.083776E-64.1815365E-62.4181452E-55.7829112.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-54.792023E-52.67400533.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.7815416E-41.27495846.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00226970021.04119639.0E-5
6.24.083776E-64.1815365E-62.4181452E-55.7829112.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-54.792023E-52.67400533.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.7815416E-41.27495846.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00226970021.04119639.0E-5
6.34.083776E-64.1815365E-62.4181452E-55.7829112.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-54.792023E-52.67400533.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.7815416E-41.27495846.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00226970021.04119639.0E-5
6.44.083776E-64.1815365E-62.4181452E-55.7829112.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-54.792023E-52.67400533.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.7815416E-41.27495846.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00226970021.04119639.0E-5
6.52.3143427E-62.3731573E-61.2373133E-55.2137861.0E-59.9185745E-61.0170638E-53.0170435E-52.9664252.0E-51.2075195E-41.2382126E-41.4381878E-41.16150322.0E-50.00120686360.00123759860.00126756151.02421053.0E-5
6.62.3143427E-62.3731573E-61.2373133E-55.2137861.0E-59.9185745E-61.0170638E-53.0170435E-52.9664252.0E-51.2075195E-41.2382126E-41.4381878E-41.16150322.0E-50.00120686360.00123759860.00126756151.02421053.0E-5
6.71.7029532E-61.7497915E-61.1749774E-56.71495681.0E-57.2983503E-67.499088E-61.7499013E-52.33348561.0E-58.885379E-59.1298105E-51.0129719E-41.10952131.0E-58.881827E-49.1265864E-49.3264034E-41.0218942.0E-5
6.81.2914646E-61.3299378E-61.1329925E-58.5191381.0E-55.534837E-65.6997237E-61.5699667E-52.7544611.0E-56.738455E-56.939237E-57.939168E-51.1440981.0E-56.736412E-46.9375033E-47.1373646E-41.02880882.0E-5
6.95.8708974E-76.1169936E-76.1169936E-71.00.02.5160964E-62.6215664E-62.6215664E-61.00.03.0633044E-53.1917145E-53.1917145E-51.00.03.0628822E-43.191297E-43.191297E-41.00.0
7.04.6248786E-74.832015E-74.832015E-71.00.01.9820893E-62.0708624E-62.0708624E-61.00.02.413167E-52.5212494E-52.5212494E-51.00.02.412905E-42.5210003E-42.5210003E-41.00.0
7.13.804606E-73.987147E-73.987147E-71.00.01.6305444E-61.7087764E-61.7087764E-61.00.01.9851697E-52.0804187E-52.0804187E-51.00.01.9849923E-42.0802575E-42.0802575E-41.00.0
7.23.5864858E-73.7616863E-73.7616863E-71.00.01.5370645E-61.6121504E-61.6121504E-61.00.01.87136E-51.9627789E-51.9627789E-51.00.01.8712023E-41.9626386E-41.9626386E-41.00.0
7.33.342063E-73.506347E-73.506347E-71.00.01.4323119E-61.5027196E-61.5027196E-61.00.01.7438259E-51.829549E-51.829549E-51.00.01.743689E-41.8294314E-41.8294314E-41.00.0
7.42.971242E-73.1165817E-73.1165817E-71.00.01.2733886E-61.3356774E-61.3356774E-61.00.01.5503398E-51.6261785E-51.6261785E-51.00.01.5502315E-41.6260923E-41.6260923E-41.00.0
7.51.4326713E-71.5012525E-71.5012525E-71.00.06.140018E-76.433939E-76.433939E-71.00.07.4754466E-67.8333205E-67.8333205E-61.00.07.475195E-57.833321E-57.833321E-51.00.0

Kern Canyon (Lake Isabella) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.2387383E-64.0016344E-66.40014E-515.9938146.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-58.714856E-55.081627.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.7876557E-41.33521097.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.00217583641.04305429.0E-5
6.14.2387383E-64.0016344E-66.40014E-515.9938146.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-58.714856E-55.081627.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.7876557E-41.33521097.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.00217583641.04305429.0E-5
6.24.2387383E-64.0016344E-66.40014E-515.9938146.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-58.714856E-55.081627.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.7876557E-41.33521097.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.00217583641.04305429.0E-5
6.34.2387383E-64.0016344E-66.40014E-515.9938146.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-58.714856E-55.081627.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.7876557E-41.33521097.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.00217583641.04305429.0E-5
6.44.2387383E-64.0016344E-66.40014E-515.9938146.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-58.714856E-55.081627.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.7876557E-41.33521097.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.00217583641.04305429.0E-5
6.52.7857532E-62.5178624E-64.251776E-516.8864524.0E-51.1938888E-51.0790796E-56.0790255E-55.63352875.0E-51.4534626E-41.3137035E-41.8136378E-41.38055345.0E-50.00145251230.00131295960.0013628941.03803195.0E-5
6.62.2233348E-61.944119E-62.194408E-511.28741552.0E-59.528543E-68.331913E-63.8331662E-54.6005843.0E-51.1600384E-41.014364E-41.3143336E-41.29572183.0E-50.0011594330.00101390960.00104387921.02955843.0E-5
6.72.1635126E-61.8834991E-62.1883461E-511.6185152.0E-59.272164E-68.072114E-63.807187E-54.71646833.0E-51.1288274E-49.827364E-51.282707E-41.305243.0E-50.00112825429.8231E-40.00101228051.03051033.0E-5
6.81.8685711E-61.583138E-62.1583106E-513.6331182.0E-58.008137E-66.7848596E-63.6784655E-55.42157943.0E-59.74947E-58.2602586E-51.1260011E-41.36315483.0E-59.745194E-48.2572375E-48.5569895E-41.03630173.0E-5
6.91.5815071E-61.3064887E-62.1306463E-516.3081872.0E-56.77787E-65.5992255E-63.5599056E-56.3578543.0E-58.251744E-56.816846E-59.816642E-51.44005623.0E-58.248681E-46.8147824E-47.114578E-41.04399193.0E-5
7.01.3772564E-61.1210681E-62.1121046E-518.8401092.0E-55.9025137E-64.8045686E-63.4804423E-57.24402673.0E-57.186073E-55.8494075E-58.849232E-51.51284243.0E-57.18375E-45.8478885E-46.1477127E-41.05127063.0E-5
7.11.0916998E-68.7637505E-72.0876358E-523.821262.0E-54.678705E-63.7558877E-63.3755776E-58.987433.0E-55.6961744E-54.5726985E-57.572561E-51.65603773.0E-55.6947145E-44.571771E-44.871634E-41.065593.0E-5
7.27.6277024E-75.901439E-71.0590138E-517.9450111.0E-53.2690114E-62.5291856E-62.2529135E-58.9076632.0E-53.9799485E-53.0792406E-55.079179E-51.64949082.0E-53.9792358E-43.07882E-43.2787584E-41.064942.0E-5
7.35.3265916E-74.3824264E-71.0438238E-523.81841.0E-52.282823E-61.8781814E-62.1878144E-511.6485792.0E-52.7793016E-52.2866623E-54.2866166E-51.87461722.0E-52.778954E-42.2864307E-42.486385E-41.08745252.0E-5
7.43.4946007E-73.0065647E-73.0065647E-71.00.01.497685E-61.2885271E-61.12885145E-58.7607891.0E-51.8234163E-51.5687707E-52.568755E-51.63743191.0E-51.8232666E-41.5686621E-41.6686464E-41.06373861.0E-5
7.51.8317026E-71.4244755E-71.4244755E-71.00.07.850152E-76.1048934E-76.1048934E-71.00.09.557518E-67.432683E-67.432683E-61.00.09.5571064E-57.432442E-57.432442E-51.00.0
7.62.572245E-81.735264E-81.735264E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436845E-87.436845E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.0543557E-79.0543557E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054324E-69.054324E-61.00.0

Kern Canyon (South Kern) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.105075E-64.113726E-63.4113604E-58.2926293.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-56.7629255E-53.83600265.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-42.646157E-41.23291295.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00222408381.0372298.0E-5
6.14.105075E-64.113726E-63.4113604E-58.2926293.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-56.7629255E-53.83600265.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-42.646157E-41.23291295.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00222408381.0372298.0E-5
6.24.105075E-64.113726E-63.4113604E-58.2926293.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-56.7629255E-53.83600265.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-42.646157E-41.23291295.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00222408381.0372298.0E-5
6.34.105075E-64.113726E-63.4113604E-58.2926293.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-56.7629255E-53.83600265.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-42.646157E-41.23291295.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00222408381.0372298.0E-5
6.44.105075E-64.113726E-63.4113604E-58.2926293.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-56.7629255E-53.83600265.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-42.646157E-41.23291295.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00222408381.0372298.0E-5
6.52.9849807E-62.973154E-62.2973094E-57.7268432.0E-51.2792712E-51.2742028E-54.2741645E-53.35438323.0E-51.5574014E-41.551233E-41.8511864E-41.19336453.0E-50.00155631030.00155016540.00159010331.02576384.0E-5
6.62.9849807E-62.973154E-62.2973094E-57.7268432.0E-51.2792712E-51.2742028E-54.2741645E-53.35438323.0E-51.5574014E-41.551233E-41.8511864E-41.19336453.0E-50.00155631030.00155016540.00159010331.02576384.0E-5
6.72.6756725E-62.6582202E-62.2658167E-58.5238112.0E-51.1467117E-51.1392323E-54.139198E-53.63332223.0E-51.396032E-41.386928E-41.6868865E-41.21627533.0E-50.00139515530.00138607340.00142601811.02881854.0E-5
6.82.3283721E-62.3047783E-62.2304732E-59.6776052.0E-59.9787E-69.877584E-63.9877286E-54.037153.0E-51.214839E-41.2025302E-41.5024941E-41.2494443.0E-50.0012141750.0012018870.00124183891.0332414.0E-5
6.92.0972677E-62.0696405E-62.2069598E-510.6634942.0E-58.988259E-68.869858E-63.886959E-54.3822113.0E-51.0942656E-41.0798523E-41.3798199E-41.27778583.0E-50.00109372680.00107933340.00111929021.037024.0E-5
7.01.7132242E-61.6787029E-62.167867E-512.913942.0E-57.3423685E-67.1944214E-63.7194204E-55.16986753.0E-58.938967E-58.75886E-51.1758597E-41.34248033.0E-58.935372E-48.755446E-49.155096E-41.04564584.0E-5
7.11.4215541E-61.3815746E-62.1381547E-515.4762162.0E-56.0923603E-65.9210206E-63.5920842E-56.06666373.0E-57.417196E-57.208607E-51.02083904E-41.41613913.0E-57.414721E-47.206296E-47.606007E-41.0554674.0E-5
7.29.097853E-78.60377E-71.0860368E-512.6228031.0E-53.899074E-63.6873246E-62.3687251E-56.4239672.0E-54.7470192E-54.4892266E-56.489136E-51.44549112.0E-54.7460053E-44.4883305E-44.7881957E-41.066813.0E-5
7.36.144169E-75.628199E-71.0562814E-518.7676641.0E-52.6332125E-62.4120832E-62.2412034E-59.2915692.0E-53.205889E-52.9366722E-54.9366132E-51.6810232.0E-53.2054266E-42.9362892E-43.1362305E-41.06809322.0E-5
7.44.049844E-73.5728252E-73.5728252E-71.00.01.7356463E-61.5312098E-61.1531194E-57.53077361.0E-52.1131287E-51.8642324E-52.8642136E-51.53640381.0E-52.1129279E-41.8640784E-41.9640598E-41.05363581.0E-5
7.51.9871162E-71.5830383E-71.5830383E-71.00.08.5162094E-76.784448E-76.784448E-71.00.01.0368436E-58.260035E-68.260035E-61.00.01.0367952E-48.259736E-58.259736E-51.00.0
7.62.572245E-81.735264E-81.735264E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436845E-87.436845E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.0543557E-79.0543557E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054324E-69.054324E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (Anza) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.3015636E-54.3298347E-56.3297484E-51.46189142.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-42.1554565E-41.16165043.0E-50.00328276910.00225675730.00230664461.02210575.0E-50.0323469680.023293610.0233717471.00335448.0E-5
6.16.3015636E-54.3298347E-56.3297484E-51.46189142.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-42.1554565E-41.16165043.0E-50.00328276910.00225675730.00230664461.02210575.0E-50.0323469680.023293610.0233717471.00335448.0E-5
6.26.3015636E-54.3298347E-56.3297484E-51.46189142.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-42.1554565E-41.16165043.0E-50.00328276910.00225675730.00230664461.02210575.0E-50.0323469680.023293610.0233717471.00335448.0E-5
6.36.3015636E-54.3298347E-56.3297484E-51.46189142.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-42.1554565E-41.16165043.0E-50.00328276910.00225675730.00230664461.02210575.0E-50.0323469680.023293610.0233717471.00335448.0E-5
6.46.3015636E-54.3298347E-56.3297484E-51.46189142.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-42.1554565E-41.16165043.0E-50.00328276910.00225675730.00230664461.02210575.0E-50.0323469680.023293610.0233717471.00335448.0E-5
6.55.811017E-54.0080286E-56.0079485E-51.49897852.0E-52.4901982E-41.7176138E-42.0175622E-41.17463093.0E-50.00302760140.00208919470.00213909031.02388265.0E-50.029866840.0215908330.0216691071.00362538.0E-5
6.65.811017E-54.0080286E-56.0079485E-51.49897852.0E-52.4901982E-41.7176138E-42.0175622E-41.17463093.0E-50.00302760140.00208919470.00213909031.02388265.0E-50.029866840.0215908330.0216691071.00362538.0E-5
6.75.712442E-53.950301E-55.950222E-51.50627052.0E-52.4479596E-41.6928767E-41.9928259E-41.17718323.0E-50.00297631770.00205913440.00210903171.0242325.0E-50.0293676930.0212829190.0213612151.00367898.0E-5
6.85.6967532E-53.93593E-55.9358514E-51.50811912.0E-52.4412372E-41.6867183E-41.9866678E-41.17783023.0E-50.00296815530.00205165080.00210154821.02432065.0E-50.0292882290.021208520.0212868231.0036928.0E-5
6.95.6211324E-53.9064216E-55.9063434E-51.51195752.0E-52.4088343E-41.6740736E-41.9740233E-41.17917363.0E-50.00292881160.00203628470.00208618281.02450455.0E-50.0289051090.0210475270.0211258441.00372098.0E-5
7.05.4383527E-53.7925012E-55.792425E-51.52733652.0E-52.3305144E-41.6252567E-41.9252079E-41.18455623.0E-50.00283370940.0019769590.00202686011.02524145.0E-50.0279784650.020440950.0205193141.00383388.0E-5
7.15.1393665E-53.638787E-55.6387144E-51.54961372.0E-52.2023996E-41.5593872E-41.8593404E-41.19235323.0E-50.00267812420.00189690480.00194680991.02630885.0E-50.0264607820.0196160770.0196945071.00399838.0E-5
7.24.785222E-53.4738845E-55.473815E-51.57570432.0E-52.0506482E-41.4887229E-41.7886782E-41.2014853.0E-50.00249380550.00181101670.00186092621.02755885.0E-50.0246600490.0187287830.0188072851.00419158.0E-5
7.34.2143256E-53.3834414E-55.3833737E-51.59109412.0E-51.8060145E-41.449966E-41.7499224E-41.20687143.0E-50.0021966050.00176390750.00181381931.02829615.0E-50.021750190.0182366950.0183152371.00430688.0E-5
7.44.0264713E-53.3472694E-55.3472024E-51.5974822.0E-51.7255165E-41.4344654E-41.7344223E-41.20910723.0E-50.0020987920.00174506590.00179497861.02860225.0E-50.0207908040.0180413890.0181199461.00435428.0E-5
7.53.694492E-53.2186905E-55.218626E-51.62135062.0E-51.5832575E-41.379366E-41.6793246E-41.21746123.0E-50.00192591180.00167808760.00172800371.02974585.0E-50.019093060.0173578880.0174364991.00452898.0E-5
7.63.200565E-52.9502702E-54.9502112E-51.6778842.0E-51.3715986E-41.2643404E-41.5643025E-41.23724783.0E-50.0016686420.00153824970.00158817291.03245455.0E-50.016561680.0159460160.016024741.00493698.0E-5
7.72.731642E-52.6091477E-54.6090954E-51.76651382.0E-51.1706512E-41.11815825E-41.4181247E-41.26826833.0E-50.0014243360.00136050850.00141044041.0367015.0E-50.0141524120.01416680.0142456671.0055678.0E-5
7.82.3466424E-52.3503619E-54.350315E-51.85091282.0E-51.0056651E-41.0072591E-41.307229E-41.29780793.0E-50.00122370940.00122564890.00127558761.04074475.0E-50.0121699280.0128087960.0128877711.00616578.0E-5
7.91.8611925E-51.890698E-53.89066E-52.05779052.0E-57.9762955E-58.10274E-51.1102497E-41.37021523.0E-59.7068126E-49.860628E-40.00103601361.05065675.0E-50.00966452250.0103937050.0104728741.0076178.0E-5
8.01.5460775E-51.5739915E-53.5739602E-52.2706352.0E-56.6258784E-56.745504E-58.745369E-51.29647372.0E-58.0640207E-48.2095637E-48.609235E-41.04868364.0E-50.0080348210.0087027060.0087720971.00797347.0E-5
8.19.983884E-68.268954E-61.8268871E-52.20933271.0E-54.2787375E-53.5437897E-54.5437544E-51.28217381.0E-55.2081177E-44.313715E-44.5136287E-41.04634382.0E-50.00519592830.004639680.0046695411.0064363.0E-5
8.24.1226E-61.5522551E-61.5522551E-61.00.01.7668166E-56.6525045E-66.6525045E-61.00.02.1508869E-48.099126E-58.099126E-51.00.00.00214880649.401847E-49.401847E-41.00.0
8.31.2750878E-63.609817E-73.609817E-71.00.05.4646503E-61.5470634E-61.5470634E-61.00.06.653009E-51.8835339E-51.8835339E-51.00.06.6510175E-42.272251E-42.272251E-41.00.0

Pinto Mtn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.4194956E-54.7853926E-55.7853445E-51.20895921.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-42.1507099E-41.04875311.0E-50.00230342360.00249406880.00256389431.02799657.0E-50.0227969380.0246783050.0247563311.00316178.0E-5
6.14.4194956E-54.7853926E-55.7853445E-51.20895921.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-42.1507099E-41.04875311.0E-50.00230342360.00249406880.00256389431.02799657.0E-50.0227969380.0246783050.0247563311.00316178.0E-5
6.24.4194956E-54.7853926E-55.7853445E-51.20895921.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-42.1507099E-41.04875311.0E-50.00230342360.00249406880.00256389431.02799657.0E-50.0227969380.0246783050.0247563311.00316178.0E-5
6.34.4194956E-54.7853926E-55.7853445E-51.20895921.0E-51.893932E-42.0507304E-42.1507099E-41.04875311.0E-50.00230342360.00249406880.00256389431.02799657.0E-50.0227969380.0246783050.0247563311.00316178.0E-5
6.43.729929E-53.960349E-54.9603095E-51.2524931.0E-51.5984432E-41.6971873E-41.7971703E-41.0589111.0E-50.00194436730.00206446040.00211435721.02416945.0E-50.0192744270.0204628480.0205118251.00239355.0E-5
6.53.729929E-53.960349E-54.9603095E-51.2524931.0E-51.5984432E-41.6971873E-41.7971703E-41.0589111.0E-50.00194436730.00206446040.00211435721.02416945.0E-50.0192744270.0204628480.0205118251.00239355.0E-5
6.63.0204548E-53.12056E-54.1205287E-51.32044531.0E-51.2944164E-41.3373162E-41.4373029E-41.07476661.0E-50.00157481270.00162700120.00167691991.03068145.0E-50.0156369920.0161547640.0162039571.00304515.0E-5
6.72.9857754E-53.0814987E-54.0814677E-51.32450751.0E-51.2795553E-41.3205773E-41.4205641E-41.07571451.0E-50.00155674530.00160665170.00165657141.03107065.0E-50.0154588480.0159542040.0160034061.0030845.0E-5
6.82.4819734E-52.5009665E-53.5009416E-51.39983551.0E-51.0636595E-41.0718E-41.17178926E-41.0932911.0E-50.00129423620.0013041570.00135409181.0382895.0E-50.0128672440.0129674030.0130167551.00380595.0E-5
6.92.331124E-52.3337945E-53.333771E-51.42847671.0E-59.990149E-51.0001605E-41.1001505E-41.09997391.0E-50.0012156220.00121703550.00126697461.04103345.0E-50.0120899360.0121058970.0121552921.00408025.0E-5
7.02.1818534E-52.1761074E-53.1760857E-51.45952621.0E-59.3504656E-59.3258524E-51.0325759E-41.10721891.0E-50.00113782460.00113485090.00118479421.04400865.0E-50.0113201630.011292660.0113420941.00437765.0E-5
7.12.066081E-52.0540718E-53.0540512E-51.48682791.0E-58.854332E-58.8028784E-59.802791E-51.11358921.0E-50.00107748180.00107124310.00112118961.04662485.0E-50.0107227240.01066284350.0107123111.00463915.0E-5
7.21.8990233E-51.9054001E-52.9053812E-51.52481411.0E-58.138417E-58.165756E-59.1656744E-51.12245261.0E-59.904018E-49.937467E-40.00103370691.04021174.0E-50.0098599950.0098950290.0099346331.00400254.0E-5
7.31.3335872E-51.4906713E-52.4906563E-51.67082871.0E-55.7152483E-56.388442E-57.388378E-51.15652281.0E-56.956093E-47.77528E-48.174969E-41.05140514.0E-50.0069343590.0077493760.00778906561.00512174.0E-5
7.49.414066E-61.186096E-51.186096E-51.00.04.0345374E-55.083175E-55.083175E-51.00.04.910942E-46.1871024E-46.4869167E-41.0484583.0E-50.00490010340.00617082560.00620064051.00483163.0E-5
7.57.2101157E-69.158192E-69.158192E-61.00.03.090013E-53.9248847E-53.9248847E-51.00.03.7614413E-44.7775774E-44.87753E-41.02092111.0E-50.00375508070.0047680820.00477803451.00208721.0E-5
7.63.296375E-64.5455017E-64.5455017E-61.00.01.4127245E-51.9480583E-51.9480583E-51.00.01.7198564E-42.3715167E-42.4714932E-41.0421571.0E-50.00171852590.00236912330.00237909961.0042111.0E-5
7.72.5741092E-63.5844084E-63.5844084E-61.00.01.103185E-51.5361667E-51.5361667E-51.00.01.3430449E-41.8701357E-41.8701357E-41.00.00.00134223350.00186869180.00186869181.00.0

Calaveras (Central) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5010907E-42.4804124E-42.4804124E-41.00.06.4316596E-40.0010624980.00107248731.00940181.0E-50.00780246640.0128504430.0128899291.00307274.0E-50.075341360.1204112250.1204641.00043836.0E-5
6.11.4521465E-42.3965565E-42.3965565E-41.00.06.222001E-40.00102659420.00103658391.00973091.0E-50.00754900560.0124197630.0124592661.00318064.0E-50.072976570.116682730.116735731.00045426.0E-5
6.21.429998E-42.3896809E-42.3896809E-41.00.06.127123E-40.00102364990.00103363981.0097591.0E-50.0074342860.0123843720.0124238771.00318994.0E-50.071904440.116336770.116389791.00045576.0E-5
6.31.3536277E-42.3227946E-42.3227946E-41.00.05.799972E-49.950127E-40.00100500281.01004021.0E-50.00703862640.0120405340.0120800531.00328214.0E-50.06819820.1132495250.113302731.00046986.0E-5
6.41.2993296E-42.2651516E-42.2651516E-41.00.05.5673666E-49.703276E-49.803178E-41.01029571.0E-50.0067572230.0117433380.0117828681.00336624.0E-50.065554120.110527520.110580891.00048286.0E-5
6.51.0498927E-41.7981966E-41.7981966E-41.00.04.498764E-47.7042676E-47.8041904E-41.01296991.0E-50.0054634980.009339520.0093791471.00424294.0E-50.0533111240.089207390.089262031.00061266.0E-5
6.61.0157505E-41.7469494E-41.7469494E-41.00.04.35249E-47.4847665E-47.5846916E-41.01335051.0E-50.00528628840.0090745670.0091142031.0043684.0E-50.051622930.086784870.086839661.00063136.0E-5
6.79.660386E-51.6728783E-41.6728783E-41.00.04.1395082E-47.167497E-47.267425E-41.01394191.0E-50.00502821060.0086914740.0087311261.00456234.0E-50.0491594970.083274010.083329011.00066056.0E-5
6.89.089927E-51.5643238E-41.5643238E-41.00.03.8951015E-46.702511E-46.802444E-41.01490971.0E-50.00473197880.0081297420.0081694161.00488024.0E-50.0463247750.0781630.078218311.00070766.0E-5
6.97.353187E-51.2295779E-41.2295779E-41.00.03.150985E-45.2685605E-45.368508E-41.01897051.0E-50.00382957720.0063957280.0064354721.00621414.0E-50.0376425120.062189280.0622455481.00090486.0E-5
7.05.746064E-59.3890936E-59.3890936E-51.00.02.4623662E-44.0232803E-44.12324E-41.02484541.0E-50.00299380980.00488741320.0049172671.00610823.0E-50.029537970.047987130.048025211.00079364.0E-5
7.14.9557195E-58.052768E-58.052768E-51.00.02.123707E-43.4507332E-43.5506987E-41.02896941.0E-50.00258254730.0041932370.0042231111.00712443.0E-50.02552740.0413734730.0414118171.00092694.0E-5
7.23.687595E-55.952694E-55.952694E-51.00.01.5803022E-42.5509068E-42.6508814E-41.03919171.0E-50.00192231990.0031013350.00313124181.00964323.0E-50.019057760.0308838230.0309225861.00125524.0E-5
7.32.5846984E-54.2473923E-54.2473923E-51.00.01.1076809E-41.820185E-41.820185E-41.00.00.00134776710.00221384040.0022337961.00901412.0E-50.0133962230.0221752170.0222045521.00132293.0E-5
7.41.7747854E-52.993759E-52.993759E-51.00.07.6060016E-51.2829766E-41.2829766E-41.00.09.2563726E-40.00156090780.00158087651.01279312.0E-50.0092179110.0157086870.0157382151.00187983.0E-5
7.51.4883479E-52.6244672E-52.6244672E-51.00.06.378478E-51.12472335E-41.12472335E-41.00.07.76303E-40.00136849320.00138846591.01459462.0E-50.00773596670.0138016670.013821391.00142912.0E-5
7.68.166975E-61.4964299E-51.4964299E-51.00.03.5000852E-56.413114E-56.413114E-51.00.04.2605202E-47.805183E-48.0050266E-41.0256042.0E-50.0042523610.0079392030.0079590451.00249912.0E-5
7.73.3858064E-66.254251E-66.254251E-61.00.01.4510518E-52.6803657E-52.6803657E-51.00.01.7665124E-43.2628572E-43.4627918E-41.0612762.0E-50.00176510880.0033883630.0034082951.00588252.0E-5
7.82.7721615E-65.366695E-65.366695E-61.00.01.1880637E-52.2999919E-52.2999919E-51.00.01.4463716E-42.7998807E-42.999825E-41.07141162.0E-50.00144543060.0029076150.00292755661.00685852.0E-5
7.91.9736292E-64.128705E-64.128705E-61.00.08.4583835E-61.769433E-51.769433E-51.00.01.0297595E-42.1540721E-42.2540505E-41.04641371.0E-50.00102928250.00222372990.00223370781.00448691.0E-5
8.01.1767289E-62.5546633E-62.5546633E-61.00.05.0431145E-61.0948511E-51.0948511E-51.00.06.139818E-51.3329E-41.4328866E-41.07501441.0E-56.1381224E-40.0013661260.00137611231.00730991.0E-5
8.17.5112825E-71.541076E-61.541076E-61.00.03.2191172E-66.604595E-66.604595E-61.00.03.9192048E-58.0408E-58.0408E-51.00.03.9185135E-48.2356273E-48.2356273E-41.00.0

Chino alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.939946E-54.894798E-56.8947E-51.40857712.0E-51.6884391E-42.0976314E-42.3975683E-41.14298843.0E-50.00205373620.0025513850.00260125751.01954725.0E-50.0203485950.0252801680.0253483991.0026997.0E-5
6.12.1505624E-52.6878823E-52.6878823E-51.00.09.2163704E-51.15190494E-41.2518934E-41.08680271.0E-50.00112151540.00140165170.00143160961.02137333.0E-50.0111587220.0139474250.0139967281.00353495.0E-5
6.22.1505624E-52.6878823E-52.6878823E-51.00.09.2163704E-51.15190494E-41.2518934E-41.08680271.0E-50.00112151540.00140165170.00143160961.02137333.0E-50.0111587220.0139474250.0139967281.00353495.0E-5
6.31.4290785E-51.8164832E-51.8164832E-51.00.06.1244784E-57.784722E-58.7846434E-51.12844671.0E-57.454001E-49.4742293E-49.67404E-41.02108992.0E-50.0074290480.009446740.0094764571.00314573.0E-5
6.41.4290785E-51.8164832E-51.8164832E-51.00.06.1244784E-57.784722E-58.7846434E-51.12844671.0E-57.454001E-49.4742293E-49.67404E-41.02108992.0E-50.0074290480.009446740.0094764571.00314573.0E-5
6.51.3017944E-51.6651793E-51.6651793E-51.00.05.5789995E-57.1363116E-58.136241E-51.14011841.0E-56.790315E-48.6854334E-48.88526E-41.0230072.0E-50.00676960360.0086642330.0086939731.00343253.0E-5
6.69.470016E-61.2039209E-51.2039209E-51.00.04.058515E-55.159578E-55.159578E-51.00.04.940122E-46.280315E-46.280315E-41.00.00.0049291540.0062732480.0062732481.00.0
6.78.314155E-61.040749E-51.040749E-51.00.03.5631605E-54.4602948E-54.4602948E-51.00.04.3372845E-45.4293784E-45.4293784E-41.00.00.0043288290.00542708070.00542708071.00.0
6.83.4856364E-63.8134033E-63.8134033E-61.00.01.4938357E-51.6343065E-51.6343065E-51.00.01.8185932E-41.9896074E-41.9896074E-41.00.00.00181710560.00198945290.00198945291.00.0
6.92.2645952E-62.152909E-62.152909E-61.00.09.705372E-69.226722E-69.226722E-61.00.01.18156495E-41.12329755E-41.12329755E-41.00.00.00118093690.00112331380.00112331381.00.0
7.01.7864003E-61.5430741E-61.5430741E-61.00.07.655979E-66.613158E-66.613158E-61.00.09.3207556E-58.051228E-58.051228E-51.00.09.316847E-48.052856E-48.052856E-41.00.0
7.11.7315456E-61.4733466E-61.4733466E-61.00.07.420889E-66.314328E-66.314328E-61.00.09.034557E-57.687428E-57.687428E-51.00.09.0308854E-47.68921E-47.68921E-41.00.0
7.21.6008337E-61.3574178E-61.3574178E-61.00.06.860698E-65.817492E-65.817492E-61.00.08.352579E-57.082572E-57.082572E-51.00.08.34944E-47.0846075E-47.0846075E-41.00.0
7.31.3320939E-61.1217794E-61.1217794E-61.00.05.7089615E-64.8076176E-64.8076176E-61.00.06.9504385E-55.853122E-55.853122E-51.00.06.9482654E-45.8530655E-45.8530655E-41.00.0
7.41.114294E-69.237087E-79.237087E-71.00.04.775537E-63.9587458E-63.9587458E-61.00.05.8140613E-54.81967E-54.81967E-51.00.05.81254E-44.8187698E-44.8187698E-41.00.0
7.59.354081E-77.6233886E-77.6233886E-71.00.04.0088858E-63.2671626E-63.2671626E-61.00.04.8807087E-53.9777013E-53.9777013E-51.00.04.879637E-43.9770233E-43.9770233E-41.00.0
7.68.521771E-76.880688E-76.880688E-71.00.03.6521824E-62.948863E-62.948863E-61.00.04.4464414E-53.590185E-53.590185E-51.00.04.4455516E-43.5896365E-43.5896365E-41.00.0
7.72.1803626E-71.4186368E-71.4186368E-71.00.09.344408E-76.0798715E-76.0798715E-71.00.01.1376757E-57.4022278E-67.4022278E-61.00.01.13761744E-47.402077E-57.402077E-51.00.0

Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5183659E-43.0520977E-43.1520674E-41.03275431.0E-56.5056595E-40.00130681880.00132679261.01528432.0E-50.0078919120.0156962030.0157552621.00376266.0E-50.0761745940.138489050.138549361.00043557.0E-5
6.11.5024997E-43.021517E-43.1214865E-41.0330861.0E-56.437695E-40.00129372780.0013137021.01543922.0E-50.00780976140.0155395960.0155986631.00380116.0E-50.0754093450.137158630.137219041.00044047.0E-5
6.21.2743923E-42.5313982E-42.6313728E-41.03949391.0E-55.460538E-40.00108399990.00110397831.01843022.0E-50.00662795830.0130468810.0131060981.00453886.0E-50.0643372760.1172560750.117317861.0005277.0E-5
6.31.1525114E-42.2599236E-42.359901E-41.04423931.0E-54.9383997E-49.678718E-49.878525E-41.0206442.0E-50.00599593860.0116680790.0117273791.00508226.0E-50.0583671740.1063721250.106434681.0005887.0E-5
6.41.07200925E-42.0840544E-42.1840337E-41.04797341.0E-54.5935164E-48.926123E-49.1259443E-41.02238622.0E-50.00557827440.0107729590.01083231251.00550956.0E-50.05440310.0991947650.099257831.00063567.0E-5
6.59.69631E-51.8734725E-41.9734538E-41.05336681.0E-54.1548995E-48.024631E-48.22447E-41.02490332.0E-50.00504686260.0096948420.0097443561.00510745.0E-50.049337730.0900865640.090141161.00060616.0E-5
6.68.0552316E-51.507068E-41.6070528E-41.0663441.0E-53.4517853E-46.4569083E-46.656779E-41.03095462.0E-50.00419445240.0078265080.0078761171.00633865.0E-50.041161610.07485630.074911811.00074156.0E-5
6.77.815757E-51.4611272E-41.5611126E-41.06843031.0E-53.34918E-46.26014E-46.4600154E-41.03192822.0E-50.0040700050.0075893120.0076389321.00653835.0E-50.0399626570.072705820.072761461.00076526.0E-5
6.86.965264E-51.2722758E-41.3722632E-41.07858931.0E-52.9847719E-45.4513285E-45.6512194E-41.03666832.0E-50.00362790520.00661359450.0066632641.00751025.0E-50.035692470.0638010650.063857241.00088056.0E-5
6.95.8000453E-51.01439E-41.01439E-41.00.02.4854968E-44.346666E-44.4466226E-41.02299621.0E-50.00302189330.0052793220.0053191111.00753684.0E-50.0298112950.0515029650.051550391.00092085.0E-5
7.04.9865852E-58.568029E-58.568029E-51.00.02.1369329E-43.6715003E-43.7714635E-41.02722681.0E-50.00259861140.0044609790.0044908451.0066953.0E-50.0256843360.0437820180.0438202661.00087364.0E-5
7.14.283875E-57.1124625E-57.1124625E-51.00.01.8358172E-43.0478454E-43.1478147E-41.03280011.0E-50.00223281630.0037044940.0037343831.00806833.0E-50.0221051460.036735820.0367743521.00104884.0E-5
7.23.450115E-55.5778568E-55.5778568E-51.00.01.478537E-42.3902925E-42.4902687E-41.04182591.0E-50.00179863230.00290632640.00293623941.01029233.0E-50.0178414420.0290790420.0291178791.00133554.0E-5
7.32.5709045E-54.059001E-54.059001E-51.00.01.1017697E-41.7394568E-41.7394568E-41.00.00.00134057910.00211574860.00213570641.00943292.0E-50.0133252080.021296860.0213262221.00137873.0E-5
7.41.8003093E-52.8511378E-52.8511378E-51.00.07.715383E-51.2218591E-41.2218591E-41.00.09.3894306E-40.00148660060.0015065711.01343352.0E-50.0093498570.0150515890.0150712891.00130882.0E-5
7.51.5595824E-52.5823752E-52.5823752E-51.00.06.683753E-51.10668545E-41.10668545E-41.00.08.134431E-40.00134655890.0013665321.01483262.0E-50.0081047190.0136515710.01367129851.0014452.0E-5
7.61.1110309E-51.9223195E-51.9223195E-51.00.04.761474E-58.2382525E-58.2382525E-51.00.05.795553E-40.00100254710.00102252711.01992922.0E-50.00578046120.010203440.0102232361.00194012.0E-5
7.76.2140443E-61.04376995E-51.04376995E-51.00.02.6631347E-54.4732235E-54.4732235E-51.00.03.241884E-45.4447894E-45.6446804E-41.03671242.0E-50.00323715880.0056201020.005639991.00353862.0E-5
7.85.305533E-69.433651E-69.433651E-61.00.02.27378E-54.0429306E-54.0429306E-51.00.02.7679754E-44.9211574E-45.121059E-41.04062082.0E-50.00276453020.0050746220.00509452071.00392122.0E-5
7.93.363505E-67.3854467E-67.3854467E-61.00.01.4414942E-53.1651532E-53.1651532E-51.00.01.7548777E-43.8528934E-43.952855E-41.02594451.0E-50.00175349260.0039487840.00395874451.00252251.0E-5
8.02.0271132E-64.4134235E-64.4134235E-61.00.08.687599E-61.8914534E-51.8914534E-51.00.01.05766376E-42.3026018E-42.4025787E-41.04341911.0E-50.00105716060.0023511940.00236117051.00424311.0E-5
8.11.2206116E-62.3752666E-62.3752666E-61.00.05.2311816E-61.0179674E-51.0179674E-51.00.06.3687774E-51.2393051E-41.2393051E-41.00.06.366953E-40.00127056180.00127056181.00.0

Hayward (So) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.8091932E-43.570673E-43.670637E-41.0279961.0E-57.751381E-40.00152940080.00154937021.0130572.0E-50.009396540.0184638850.0185129621.0026585.0E-50.0900900660.16670850.166775151.00039988.0E-5
6.11.8091932E-43.570673E-43.670637E-41.0279961.0E-57.751381E-40.00152940080.00154937021.0130572.0E-50.009396540.0184638850.0185129621.0026585.0E-50.0900900660.16670850.166775151.00039988.0E-5
6.21.8091932E-43.570673E-43.670637E-41.0279961.0E-57.751381E-40.00152940080.00154937021.0130572.0E-50.009396540.0184638850.0185129621.0026585.0E-50.0900900660.16670850.166775151.00039988.0E-5
6.31.7322872E-43.4263515E-43.5263173E-41.02917551.0E-57.4219756E-40.00146761970.00148759031.01360752.0E-50.00899887550.0177241470.0177732611.0027715.0E-50.086430750.160659540.160726681.0004188.0E-5
6.41.6334097E-43.2345165E-43.334484E-41.03090661.0E-56.998449E-40.00138549360.00140546591.01441532.0E-50.0084873720.0167399270.0167792571.00234954.0E-50.0817044150.152566060.152625381.00038897.0E-5
6.51.5600289E-43.101982E-43.2019507E-41.03222741.0E-56.684125E-40.00132875180.00134872531.01503172.0E-50.0081075980.0160594430.0160988011.00245074.0E-50.0781810360.146842910.146902641.00040677.0E-5
6.61.4046066E-42.8034003E-42.9033722E-41.0356611.0E-56.018354E-40.00120091090.00122088681.0166342.0E-50.00730275550.0145245710.014563991.00271394.0E-50.070673840.133930440.133991081.00045267.0E-5
6.71.14696966E-42.3272466E-42.3272466E-41.00.04.914658E-49.970153E-40.00100700521.01001991.0E-50.00596719240.0120721630.0121018011.00245513.0E-50.0580948220.112741410.1127946451.00047226.0E-5
6.89.3874296E-51.8862431E-41.8862431E-41.00.04.0225635E-48.081431E-48.1813504E-41.0123641.0E-50.00488647870.0097954890.0098152931.00202182.0E-50.0478041730.0925929840.092638361.000495.0E-5
6.95.551852E-51.0729875E-41.0729875E-41.00.02.3791482E-44.5977137E-44.6976676E-41.021741.0E-50.00289276540.0055834680.0056033561.0035622.0E-50.0285539810.0542460750.054293361.00087185.0E-5
7.04.2662363E-58.246792E-58.246792E-51.00.01.8282588E-43.5338648E-43.6338295E-41.02828761.0E-50.00222363280.00429406580.00431397981.00463762.0E-50.0220151380.042065090.0421034061.00091094.0E-5
7.13.305886E-56.302183E-56.302183E-51.00.01.4167312E-42.7006568E-42.80063E-41.03701811.0E-50.00172350560.0032831110.00330304541.00607182.0E-50.0171019980.0324539020.0324926041.00119264.0E-5
7.22.9856887E-55.701622E-55.701622E-51.00.01.2795182E-42.4433242E-42.5433E-41.04091791.0E-50.00155670010.00297070620.00299064681.00671242.0E-50.0154584030.0294548010.0294936221.0013184.0E-5
7.32.4559737E-54.599286E-54.599286E-51.00.01.0525176E-41.9709744E-41.9709744E-41.00.00.00128068690.00239703340.00240700951.00416181.0E-50.0127333130.0238585160.02388781.00122743.0E-5
7.41.9002231E-53.505084E-53.505084E-51.00.08.143559E-51.502093E-41.502093E-41.00.09.910273E-40.0018272740.00183725581.00546261.0E-50.0098661940.0182588080.018288261.0016133.0E-5
7.51.2783333E-52.3331182E-52.3331182E-51.00.05.4784563E-59.998698E-59.998698E-51.00.06.667979E-40.00121666750.00122665531.00820921.0E-50.0066480070.0122094430.01222919951.0016182.0E-5
7.64.8149627E-68.888056E-68.888056E-61.00.02.063539E-53.8091122E-53.8091122E-51.00.02.5120692E-44.6366194E-44.736573E-41.02155751.0E-50.00250923140.00468050870.0046904621.00212661.0E-5
7.76.0838227E-71.205754E-61.205754E-61.00.02.6073499E-65.1675065E-65.1675065E-61.00.03.174402E-56.291258E-56.291258E-51.00.03.1739488E-46.5296254E-46.5296254E-41.00.0
7.84.5542808E-79.792941E-79.792941E-71.00.01.9518332E-64.196968E-64.196968E-61.00.02.376331E-55.109689E-55.109689E-51.00.02.3760769E-45.321693E-45.321693E-41.00.0
7.93.3016747E-77.3869535E-77.3869535E-71.00.01.4150027E-63.1658333E-63.1658333E-61.00.01.7227521E-53.854334E-53.854334E-51.00.01.7226185E-43.9932923E-43.9932923E-41.00.0
8.02.347038E-75.471963E-75.471963E-71.00.01.0058731E-62.3451248E-62.3451248E-61.00.01.2246436E-52.8551523E-52.8551523E-51.00.01.2245761E-42.9357258E-42.9357258E-41.00.0
8.11.18822804E-72.6060948E-72.6060948E-71.00.05.092405E-71.1168972E-61.1168972E-61.00.06.1999854E-61.359814E-51.359814E-51.00.06.199812E-51.3918082E-41.3918082E-41.00.0

Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.4353277E-57.050019E-58.049948E-51.14183351.0E-52.3292181E-43.0211007E-43.2210402E-41.06618112.0E-50.00283213520.00367200560.00371185881.01085324.0E-50.027963120.0361158440.0361833161.00186827.0E-5
6.14.5578287E-55.822054E-56.821996E-51.17175071.0E-51.953209E-42.4949352E-42.6948852E-41.08014242.0E-50.00237543830.00303335490.0030632641.009863.0E-50.0235020630.0299198930.0299683961.00162115.0E-5
6.22.8536782E-53.4736422E-54.4736073E-51.28787231.0E-51.2229476E-41.4886161E-41.6885863E-41.1343332.0E-50.00148792170.00181085760.00184080331.01653673.0E-50.0147799860.0179582760.0180073791.00273425.0E-5
6.32.3698774E-52.8213344E-53.8213064E-51.35443221.0E-51.01562226E-41.2090833E-41.409059E-41.16539452.0E-50.00123581860.0014710510.00149102161.01357572.0E-50.0122896860.0146114550.0146410161.00202323.0E-5
6.41.9191197E-52.212289E-53.212267E-51.45201051.0E-58.2245395E-59.4808805E-51.04807856E-41.10546541.0E-50.00100087770.00115369060.00116367911.00865781.0E-50.0099638180.0114770220.0114967931.00172262.0E-5
6.51.5203241E-51.6801298E-51.6801298E-51.00.06.5155116E-57.200338E-57.200338E-51.00.07.9297484E-48.76301E-48.76301E-41.00.00.0079015120.0087295810.0087394941.00113561.0E-5
6.61.0984925E-51.12425605E-51.12425605E-51.00.04.70774E-54.8181533E-54.8181533E-51.00.05.730166E-45.8645604E-45.8645604E-41.00.00.0057154130.00584947550.0058594171.00169961.0E-5
6.79.134616E-69.019868E-69.019868E-61.00.03.9147766E-53.865602E-53.865602E-51.00.04.7651984E-44.7053778E-44.7053778E-41.00.00.0047549930.004695660.0047056131.00211971.0E-5
6.87.785589E-67.4519185E-67.4519185E-61.00.03.3366385E-53.1936415E-53.1936415E-51.00.04.0616E-43.887585E-43.887585E-41.00.00.00405418450.0038809880.00389094931.00256671.0E-5
6.95.579095E-64.8984666E-64.8984666E-61.00.02.3910188E-52.0993268E-52.0993268E-51.00.02.9106764E-42.5556443E-42.5556443E-41.00.00.0029068670.00255284270.00256281721.00390721.0E-5
7.02.6816688E-61.521587E-61.521587E-61.00.01.1492816E-56.521071E-66.521071E-61.00.01.3991605E-47.939124E-57.939124E-51.00.00.00139827997.936375E-48.036296E-41.01259021.0E-5
7.11.9951021E-67.45357E-77.45357E-71.00.08.55041E-63.1943835E-63.1943835E-61.00.01.0409627E-43.889097E-53.889097E-51.00.00.00104047523.8884574E-43.8884574E-41.00.0
7.21.9951021E-67.45357E-77.45357E-71.00.08.55041E-63.1943835E-63.1943835E-61.00.01.0409627E-43.889097E-53.889097E-51.00.00.00104047523.8884574E-43.8884574E-41.00.0
7.31.7087556E-66.578663E-76.578663E-71.00.07.3232177E-62.819424E-62.819424E-61.00.08.915652E-53.432599E-53.432599E-51.00.08.9120766E-43.432109E-43.432109E-41.00.0
7.41.3804846E-66.0737113E-76.0737113E-71.00.05.916349E-62.6030168E-62.6030168E-61.00.07.2029165E-53.169131E-53.169131E-51.00.07.200583E-43.168719E-43.168719E-41.00.0
7.51.3804846E-66.0737113E-76.0737113E-71.00.05.916349E-62.6030168E-62.6030168E-61.00.07.2029165E-53.169131E-53.169131E-51.00.07.200583E-43.168719E-43.168719E-41.00.0

Elysian Park (Upper)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1876025E-53.7035275E-54.7034904E-51.27000281.0E-51.3660437E-41.5871569E-41.7871251E-41.12599152.0E-50.00166188950.0019311220.0019610641.0155053.0E-50.0164951590.0191898630.0192585181.00357777.0E-5
6.13.1876025E-53.7035275E-54.7034904E-51.27000281.0E-51.3660437E-41.5871569E-41.7871251E-41.12599152.0E-50.00166188950.0019311220.0019610641.0155053.0E-50.0164951590.0191898630.0192585181.00357777.0E-5
6.23.1876025E-53.7035275E-54.7034904E-51.27000281.0E-51.3660437E-41.5871569E-41.7871251E-41.12599152.0E-50.00166188950.0019311220.0019610641.0155053.0E-50.0164951590.0191898630.0192585181.00357777.0E-5
6.33.1876025E-53.7035275E-54.7034904E-51.27000281.0E-51.3660437E-41.5871569E-41.7871251E-41.12599152.0E-50.00166188950.0019311220.0019610641.0155053.0E-50.0164951590.0191898630.0192585181.00357777.0E-5
6.41.9273462E-52.120244E-52.120244E-51.00.08.259794E-59.086542E-59.086542E-51.00.00.0010051660.00110589670.00112587461.01806492.0E-50.0100063150.0110207440.0110603031.00358954.0E-5
6.51.9273462E-52.120244E-52.120244E-51.00.08.259794E-59.086542E-59.086542E-51.00.00.0010051660.00110589670.00112587461.01806492.0E-50.0100063150.0110207440.0110603031.00358954.0E-5
6.69.813258E-69.665589E-69.665589E-61.00.04.205614E-54.1423333E-54.1423333E-51.00.05.119132E-45.042196E-45.1421457E-41.01982261.0E-50.0051073560.00503147950.00504142931.00197741.0E-5
6.79.801478E-69.653158E-69.653158E-61.00.04.2005657E-54.137006E-54.137006E-51.00.05.112989E-45.0357135E-45.135663E-41.01984811.0E-50.00510124070.0050250260.00503497571.00198011.0E-5
6.88.102489E-67.772994E-67.772994E-61.00.03.4724493E-53.3312434E-53.3312434E-51.00.04.2268867E-44.0550836E-44.0550836E-41.00.00.0042188560.00404817840.00404817841.00.0
6.96.08275E-65.481441E-65.481441E-61.00.02.6068668E-52.3491682E-52.3491682E-51.00.03.173398E-42.8597447E-42.8597447E-41.00.00.00316887020.00285614240.00285614241.00.0
7.05.5995934E-64.9827686E-64.9827686E-61.00.02.3998036E-52.1354552E-52.1354552E-51.00.02.9213692E-42.5996132E-42.5996132E-41.00.00.00291753160.00259663960.00259663961.00.0
7.14.709881E-64.0873906E-64.0873906E-61.00.02.0185047E-51.7517272E-51.7517272E-51.00.02.4572524E-42.1325232E-42.1325232E-41.00.00.0024545370.00213051840.00213051841.00.0
7.23.6063436E-62.9779412E-62.9779412E-61.00.01.5455667E-51.27625435E-51.27625435E-51.00.01.881565E-41.55373E-41.55373E-41.00.00.00187997260.00155265490.00155265491.00.0
7.32.471135E-62.0954562E-62.0954562E-61.00.01.0590536E-58.980496E-68.980496E-61.00.01.2893214E-41.0933213E-41.0933213E-41.00.00.00128857360.00109279060.00109279061.00.0
7.41.163943E-61.0275061E-61.0275061E-61.00.04.988318E-64.40359E-64.40359E-61.00.06.0731076E-55.361242E-55.361242E-51.00.06.071448E-45.3599785E-45.3599785E-41.00.0
7.54.99459E-74.917601E-74.917601E-71.00.02.140537E-62.1075416E-62.1075416E-61.00.02.6060725E-52.5659032E-52.5659032E-51.00.02.605767E-42.5656226E-42.5656226E-41.00.0
7.62.4667852E-72.4778313E-72.4778313E-71.00.01.0571932E-61.0619274E-61.0619274E-61.00.01.2871251E-51.2928893E-51.2928893E-51.00.01.2870505E-41.2928178E-41.2928178E-41.00.0
7.78.2312795E-87.3864214E-87.3864214E-81.00.03.527691E-73.165609E-73.165609E-71.00.04.294955E-63.854123E-63.854123E-61.00.04.2948723E-53.854068E-53.854068E-51.00.0
7.82.7819295E-81.7565618E-81.7565618E-81.00.01.1922555E-77.528122E-87.528122E-81.00.01.45157E-69.1654863E-79.1654863E-71.00.01.45156055E-59.165463E-69.165463E-61.00.0

Dry Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.222801E-66.439381E-62.6439253E-54.10586832.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-54.7596594E-51.72469262.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-44.0593586E-41.20828867.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.00343580851.02375738.0E-5
6.16.222801E-66.439381E-62.6439253E-54.10586832.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-54.7596594E-51.72469262.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-44.0593586E-41.20828867.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.00343580851.02375738.0E-5
6.26.222801E-66.439381E-62.6439253E-54.10586832.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-54.7596594E-51.72469262.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-44.0593586E-41.20828867.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.00343580851.02375738.0E-5
6.36.222801E-66.439381E-62.6439253E-54.10586832.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-54.7596594E-51.72469262.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-44.0593586E-41.20828867.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.00343580851.02375738.0E-5
6.46.222801E-66.439381E-62.6439253E-54.10586832.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-54.7596594E-51.72469262.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-44.0593586E-41.20828867.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.00343580851.02375738.0E-5
6.52.8528623E-62.9521684E-62.295211E-57.77466152.0E-51.22264955E-51.2652138E-53.2651886E-52.58074052.0E-51.4884741E-41.540376E-41.7403452E-41.12981842.0E-50.00148747740.00154016160.00156013091.01296572.0E-5
6.62.8528623E-62.9521684E-62.295211E-57.77466152.0E-51.22264955E-51.2652138E-53.2651886E-52.58074052.0E-51.4884741E-41.540376E-41.7403452E-41.12981842.0E-50.00148747740.00154016160.00156013091.01296572.0E-5
6.72.541E-62.6293578E-62.2629305E-58.60642.0E-51.0889954E-51.1268677E-53.126845E-52.77481132.0E-51.3257713E-41.3719614E-41.571934E-41.14575672.0E-50.00132498060.00137196130.00139193391.01455772.0E-5

Big Pine (Central)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2706755E-51.4250602E-55.425003E-53.8068594.0E-55.4456385E-56.107279E-51.11069734E-41.81864525.0E-56.628048E-47.433441E-47.933069E-41.06721375.0E-50.0066083140.0074136390.00747319451.00803326.0E-5
6.18.342579E-69.510835E-62.9510646E-53.10284472.0E-53.5753423E-54.076021E-57.0758986E-51.7359823.0E-54.3521097E-44.9616426E-45.261494E-41.06043393.0E-50.00434359630.0049541550.0049939571.0080344.0E-5
6.26.923899E-67.967221E-61.7967142E-52.25513271.0E-52.9673516E-53.4144894E-55.4144213E-51.58571912.0E-53.6121515E-44.1565404E-44.3564572E-41.04809692.0E-50.0036062860.00415210940.0041819851.00719523.0E-5
6.32.728396E-63.4243646E-61.342433E-53.92023971.0E-51.1693074E-51.4675771E-53.467548E-52.36277032.0E-51.4235388E-41.7866373E-41.9866016E-41.11192212.0E-50.00142262720.00178674330.00181668971.01676033.0E-5
6.42.7136944E-63.4086581E-61.3408624E-53.93369581.0E-51.1630066E-51.4608458E-53.4608165E-52.36904982.0E-51.4158686E-41.7784433E-41.9784077E-41.11243782.0E-50.00141496690.00177856230.0018085091.01683763.0E-5
6.52.6971882E-63.3910032E-61.3390969E-53.94896981.0E-51.1559327E-51.4532795E-53.4532502E-52.37617782.0E-51.4072572E-41.7692328E-41.9691975E-41.11302342.0E-50.00140636640.00176936660.00179931351.01692523.0E-5
6.62.669092E-63.3610236E-61.336099E-53.9752741.0E-51.1438916E-51.4404312E-53.4404024E-52.3884532.0E-51.3925991E-41.7535927E-41.9535575E-41.11403162.0E-50.00139172670.00175375110.00178369841.01707613.0E-5
6.72.6408059E-63.3310494E-61.3331016E-54.0020471.0E-51.1317691E-51.4275853E-53.4275567E-52.4009472.0E-51.3778417E-41.737955E-41.9379203E-41.11505782.0E-50.00137698770.00173813810.0017680861.01722983.0E-5
6.82.1786943E-62.8545066E-61.2854478E-54.50322251.0E-59.337228E-61.2233547E-53.2233304E-52.63482882.0E-51.1367482E-41.4893398E-41.68931E-41.13426772.0E-50.00113616690.00148987040.00151982571.0201063.0E-5
6.91.4411696E-62.0685677E-61.2068547E-55.8342531.0E-56.1764263E-68.865261E-62.8865084E-53.25597672.0E-57.51954E-51.0792949E-41.2792733E-41.18528622.0E-57.5169955E-40.00108025480.00111022241.02774123.0E-5
7.01.0073411E-61.5543274E-61.1554312E-57.4336411.0E-54.317169E-66.661387E-62.6661253E-54.0023582.0E-55.2560266E-58.109952E-51.010979E-41.24659062.0E-55.2547833E-48.1217213E-48.421478E-41.0369083.0E-5
7.18.947104E-71.430316E-61.1430302E-57.99145171.0E-53.834468E-66.1299124E-62.612979E-54.26266962.0E-54.6683643E-57.462928E-59.462778E-51.26797142.0E-54.6673836E-47.4751483E-47.774924E-41.0401033.0E-5
7.25.215166E-71.0112277E-61.1011218E-510.888961.0E-52.2350691E-64.333826E-62.433374E-55.614842.0E-52.7211627E-55.27631E-57.276204E-51.37903292.0E-52.7208295E-45.289683E-45.489577E-41.03778952.0E-5
7.34.4024807E-79.220183E-71.0922009E-511.8457621.0E-51.8867761E-63.951501E-62.3951421E-56.0613482.0E-52.2971257E-54.8108504E-56.810754E-51.41570692.0E-52.2968883E-44.824433E-45.024337E-41.04143562.0E-5
7.43.6130905E-78.359109E-71.0835903E-512.9629881.0E-51.5484665E-63.5824705E-62.3582399E-56.58271932.0E-51.8852415E-54.3615746E-56.3614876E-51.458532.0E-51.8850817E-44.3752496E-44.575162E-41.04569172.0E-5
7.53.408184E-78.1087245E-71.0810864E-513.3323861.0E-51.4606494E-63.475163E-62.3475093E-56.75510552.0E-51.7783263E-54.230933E-56.2308485E-51.4726892.0E-51.778184E-44.2444657E-44.4443808E-41.04710022.0E-5
7.63.1428627E-77.732167E-71.0773209E-513.9329751.0E-51.3469405E-63.313782E-62.3313716E-57.03538042.0E-51.6398877E-54.0344585E-56.0343777E-51.49570942.0E-51.6397667E-44.0477706E-44.2476895E-41.049392.0E-5
7.71.7972785E-75.0782415E-75.0782415E-71.00.07.70262E-72.1763874E-61.2176366E-55.594761.0E-59.377899E-62.6497206E-53.6496942E-51.37738821.0E-59.377503E-52.6633305E-42.7633036E-41.0375371.0E-5
7.84.9230927E-81.1981747E-71.1981747E-71.00.02.1098968E-75.135033E-75.135033E-71.00.02.5687964E-66.2518866E-66.2518866E-61.00.02.5687666E-56.2971965E-56.2971965E-51.00.0
7.93.6805972E-94.1051638E-94.1051638E-91.00.01.5773987E-81.7593557E-81.7593557E-81.00.01.9204828E-72.1420155E-72.1420155E-71.00.01.920481E-62.1898923E-62.1898923E-61.00.0

San Pedro Basin

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.3449043E-56.337018E-57.336955E-51.15779291.0E-52.2904722E-42.7156167E-42.8155895E-41.03681411.0E-50.00278508360.00330185150.00331181851.00301861.0E-50.0275043660.032589480.0326475281.00178116.0E-5
6.15.3449043E-56.337018E-57.336955E-51.15779291.0E-52.2904722E-42.7156167E-42.8155895E-41.03681411.0E-50.00278508360.00330185150.00331181851.00301861.0E-50.0275043660.032589480.0326475281.00178116.0E-5
6.22.3189454E-52.6642829E-52.6642829E-51.00.09.9379584E-51.1417881E-41.1417881E-41.00.00.00120927490.00138928750.00138928751.00.00.0120271550.013810890.0138306131.00142812.0E-5
6.32.3189454E-52.6642829E-52.6642829E-51.00.09.9379584E-51.1417881E-41.1417881E-41.00.00.00120927490.00138928750.00138928751.00.00.0120271550.013810890.0138306131.00142812.0E-5
6.41.966056E-52.246342E-52.246342E-51.00.08.425682E-59.626848E-59.626848E-51.00.00.0010253440.00117147870.00117147871.00.00.0102062590.0116571190.0116768861.00169562.0E-5
6.51.7342953E-51.9745152E-51.9745152E-51.00.07.4324824E-58.461954E-58.461954E-51.00.09.04529E-40.00102979290.00102979291.00.00.0090085610.0102539320.0102737281.00193052.0E-5
6.61.439804E-51.6322716E-51.6322716E-51.00.06.170443E-56.99528E-56.99528E-51.00.07.509924E-48.513747E-48.513747E-41.00.00.00748459530.0084843330.00850416351.00233732.0E-5
6.71.2634884E-51.4285298E-51.4285298E-51.00.05.414838E-56.122144E-56.122144E-51.00.06.590571E-47.451466E-47.451466E-41.00.00.0065710590.0074295020.0074493531.0026722.0E-5
6.81.146091E-51.2933193E-51.2933193E-51.00.04.911726E-55.542696E-55.542696E-51.00.05.9783855E-46.74644E-46.74644E-41.00.00.00596232760.00672889970.00674876521.00295222.0E-5
6.99.109035E-61.0235013E-51.0235013E-51.00.03.9038136E-54.386376E-54.386376E-51.00.04.7518566E-45.339384E-45.339384E-41.00.00.00474170830.00532930950.0053392561.00186651.0E-5
7.05.9351028E-66.583965E-66.583965E-61.00.02.5435906E-52.821682E-52.821682E-51.00.03.0963816E-43.4350925E-43.4350925E-41.00.00.00309207060.00343209970.00343209971.00.0
7.12.1557585E-62.2096492E-62.2096492E-61.00.09.238933E-69.469892E-69.469892E-61.00.01.1247819E-41.15289986E-41.15289986E-41.00.00.00112421280.00115231720.00115231721.00.0
7.22.1251979E-62.1779954E-62.1779954E-61.00.09.107958E-69.334234E-69.334234E-61.00.01.1088375E-41.13638525E-41.13638525E-41.00.00.00110828450.00113581950.00113581951.00.0
7.31.7145798E-61.7442885E-61.7442885E-61.00.07.3481783E-67.475501E-67.475501E-61.00.08.94604E-59.1010515E-59.1010515E-51.00.08.9424395E-49.0974156E-49.0974156E-41.00.0
7.41.4467993E-61.4641878E-61.4641878E-61.00.06.200554E-66.275076E-66.275076E-61.00.07.548913E-57.639644E-57.639644E-51.00.07.546349E-47.6370913E-47.6370913E-41.00.0
7.51.2803735E-61.2931506E-61.2931506E-61.00.05.487303E-65.5420624E-65.5420624E-61.00.06.680587E-56.747259E-56.747259E-51.00.06.678579E-46.745281E-46.745281E-41.00.0
7.66.755009E-76.76947E-76.76947E-71.00.02.8950008E-62.9011985E-62.9011985E-61.00.03.5246063E-53.532158E-53.532158E-51.00.03.5240475E-43.5316538E-43.5316538E-41.00.0
7.76.211885E-84.5699714E-84.5699714E-81.00.02.6622362E-71.9585592E-71.9585592E-71.00.03.2412677E-62.3845432E-62.3845432E-61.00.03.2412205E-52.3845198E-52.3845198E-51.00.0
7.82.6580573E-91.5138054E-91.5138054E-91.00.01.1391674E-86.4877375E-96.4877375E-91.00.01.3869362E-77.89882E-87.89882E-81.00.01.3869354E-67.89882E-77.89882E-71.00.0

Mono Lake 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0341662E-52.3828192E-55.3827476E-52.2589833.0E-58.717564E-51.0211982E-41.4211574E-41.39165684.0E-50.00106084660.00124313080.00130305631.04820536.0E-50.0105579660.0124138420.0124730961.00477336.0E-5
6.12.0341662E-52.3828192E-55.3827476E-52.2589833.0E-58.717564E-51.0211982E-41.4211574E-41.39165684.0E-50.00106084660.00124313080.00130305631.04820536.0E-50.0105579660.0124138420.0124730961.00477336.0E-5
6.22.0341662E-52.3828192E-55.3827476E-52.2589833.0E-58.717564E-51.0211982E-41.4211574E-41.39165684.0E-50.00106084660.00124313080.00130305631.04820536.0E-50.0105579660.0124138420.0124730961.00477336.0E-5
6.32.0341662E-52.3828192E-55.3827476E-52.2589833.0E-58.717564E-51.0211982E-41.4211574E-41.39165684.0E-50.00106084660.00124313080.00130305631.04820536.0E-50.0105579660.0124138420.0124730961.00477336.0E-5
6.41.749821E-52.049101E-55.0490395E-52.46402673.0E-57.499018E-58.781861E-51.278151E-41.45544434.0E-59.1262296E-40.00106919140.00112912721.05605726.0E-50.0090888410.010691870.0107512291.00555176.0E-5
6.51.749821E-52.049101E-55.0490395E-52.46402673.0E-57.499018E-58.781861E-51.278151E-41.45544434.0E-59.1262296E-40.00106919140.00112912721.05605726.0E-50.0090888410.010691870.0107512291.00555176.0E-5

Newport-Inglewood alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9668912E-53.0404828E-55.0404222E-51.65777032.0E-51.2714628E-41.3030265E-41.5030004E-41.15346882.0E-50.00154690680.00158576540.0016257021.02518444.0E-50.0153618290.015792110.015841321.00311615.0E-5
6.12.9668912E-53.0404828E-55.0404222E-51.65777032.0E-51.2714628E-41.3030265E-41.5030004E-41.15346882.0E-50.00154690680.00158576540.0016257021.02518444.0E-50.0153618290.015792110.015841321.00311615.0E-5
6.22.9668912E-53.0404828E-55.0404222E-51.65777032.0E-51.2714628E-41.3030265E-41.5030004E-41.15346882.0E-50.00154690680.00158576540.0016257021.02518444.0E-50.0153618290.015792110.015841321.00311615.0E-5
6.32.9668912E-53.0404828E-55.0404222E-51.65777032.0E-51.2714628E-41.3030265E-41.5030004E-41.15346882.0E-50.00154690680.00158576540.0016257021.02518444.0E-50.0153618290.015792110.015841321.00311615.0E-5
6.41.275942E-51.02725335E-51.02725335E-51.00.05.4682085E-54.4024422E-54.4024422E-51.00.06.65551E-45.358697E-45.358697E-41.00.00.00663561230.00534620.00535614651.00186051.0E-5
6.51.275942E-51.02725335E-51.02725335E-51.00.05.4682085E-54.4024422E-54.4024422E-51.00.06.65551E-45.358697E-45.358697E-41.00.00.00663561230.00534620.00535614651.00186051.0E-5
6.61.1255358E-58.661911E-68.661911E-61.00.04.8236358E-53.7121958E-53.7121958E-51.00.05.871194E-44.5186782E-44.5186782E-41.00.00.0058557060.00450966740.00451962231.00220751.0E-5
6.71.0504745E-57.8998455E-67.8998455E-61.00.04.5019555E-53.385605E-53.385605E-51.00.05.4797524E-44.121207E-44.121207E-41.00.00.00546625960.0041136940.0041236531.00242091.0E-5
6.81.0476007E-57.881227E-67.881227E-61.00.04.4896402E-53.3776258E-53.3776258E-51.00.05.464766E-44.1114958E-44.1114958E-41.00.00.0054513470.0041040190.0041139781.00242661.0E-5
6.99.076797E-66.4896567E-66.4896567E-61.00.03.889998E-52.7812519E-52.7812519E-51.00.04.7350433E-43.3856515E-43.3856515E-41.00.00.0047249670.0033805310.0033904971.00294821.0E-5
7.08.73795E-66.2120503E-66.2120503E-61.00.03.7447822E-52.6622802E-52.6622802E-51.00.04.5583185E-43.2408469E-43.2408469E-41.00.00.00454897950.00323615220.003246121.00308011.0E-5
7.18.391299E-65.9557533E-65.9557533E-61.00.03.5962214E-52.5524409E-52.5524409E-51.00.04.37752E-43.1071564E-43.1071564E-41.00.00.0043689070.00310284160.00311281041.00321281.0E-5
7.27.796882E-65.4964826E-65.4964826E-61.00.03.341478E-52.3556144E-52.3556144E-51.00.04.06749E-42.867585E-42.867585E-41.00.00.00406005330.0028639090.00287388031.00348171.0E-5
7.36.4738833E-64.6477753E-64.6477753E-61.00.02.774492E-51.9918885E-51.9918885E-51.00.03.3774204E-42.424856E-42.424856E-41.00.00.00337229180.00242222680.00243220271.00411841.0E-5
7.45.382145E-63.8857215E-63.8857215E-61.00.02.3066134E-51.6652988E-51.6652988E-51.00.02.8079396E-42.0273139E-42.0273139E-41.00.00.00280439430.0020254790.00203545881.00492721.0E-5
7.53.648244E-62.5737634E-62.5737634E-61.00.01.5635238E-51.1030369E-51.1030369E-51.00.01.9034238E-41.3428657E-41.3428657E-41.00.00.00190179430.00134206460.00135205131.00744121.0E-5
7.62.2906888E-61.547986E-61.547986E-61.00.09.817201E-66.634209E-66.634209E-61.00.01.1951787E-48.076857E-58.076857E-51.00.00.00119453618.073989E-48.173908E-41.01237551.0E-5
7.76.0479874E-73.397468E-73.397468E-71.00.02.5919921E-61.456057E-61.456057E-61.00.03.1557047E-51.7727363E-51.7727363E-51.00.03.1552566E-41.7726087E-41.7726087E-41.00.0
7.81.16056995E-89.782997E-99.782997E-91.00.04.9738713E-84.1927127E-84.1927127E-81.00.06.0556863E-75.1046277E-75.1046277E-71.00.06.05567E-65.1046277E-65.1046277E-61.00.0

Whittier alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.2554693E-54.7252182E-56.725124E-51.42324092.0E-51.8236451E-42.0249544E-42.3248937E-41.14812153.0E-50.0022180270.00246291630.00252276871.02430146.0E-50.021960190.0243902630.02444881.00246.0E-5
6.14.2554693E-54.7252182E-56.725124E-51.42324092.0E-51.8236451E-42.0249544E-42.3248937E-41.14812153.0E-50.0022180270.00246291630.00252276871.02430146.0E-50.021960190.0243902630.02444881.00246.0E-5
6.24.2554693E-54.7252182E-56.725124E-51.42324092.0E-51.8236451E-42.0249544E-42.3248937E-41.14812153.0E-50.0022180270.00246291630.00252276871.02430146.0E-50.021960190.0243902630.02444881.00246.0E-5
6.31.9617712E-51.826841E-53.8268045E-52.0947662.0E-58.40732E-57.829095E-51.08288594E-41.38315613.0E-50.00102311059.527944E-49.827658E-41.03145643.0E-50.010184130.00949040.0095201141.0031313.0E-5
6.41.5611336E-51.3604089E-53.3603817E-52.47012622.0E-56.690401E-55.8301972E-58.830022E-51.51453233.0E-58.142519E-47.096013E-47.3958E-41.04224733.0E-50.0081127480.00707533770.00710512561.00421013.0E-5
6.51.5150166E-51.3100744E-53.310048E-52.52661092.0E-56.492767E-55.614487E-57.614375E-51.35620132.0E-57.9020765E-46.8335526E-47.033416E-41.02924742.0E-50.0078740360.0068145080.00683437151.00291492.0E-5
6.61.295588E-51.0380544E-53.0380337E-52.92666132.0E-55.552402E-54.44873E-56.448641E-51.44954652.0E-56.7579525E-45.415002E-45.614894E-41.03691452.0E-50.0067374380.0054033430.00542323521.00368142.0E-5
6.71.2542085E-59.899189E-62.989899E-53.02034762.0E-55.3750682E-54.2424414E-56.242357E-51.47140672.0E-56.542181E-45.163967E-45.363864E-41.03870992.0E-50.0065229540.0051534640.00517336141.00386082.0E-5
6.81.2195878E-59.49523E-62.949504E-53.10630062.0E-55.2267E-54.069322E-56.0692408E-51.49146232.0E-56.36165E-44.9532915E-45.153193E-41.04035722.0E-50.00634346860.00494369630.00496359771.00402562.0E-5
6.91.1580298E-58.772739E-62.8772563E-53.27976972.0E-54.9628903E-53.759692E-55.759617E-51.53193842.0E-56.040644E-44.5764804E-44.7763888E-41.04368172.0E-50.006024250.00456846460.0045883731.00435782.0E-5
7.01.0964795E-58.083794E-62.8083632E-53.4740662.0E-54.6991136E-53.4644378E-55.4643686E-51.57727422.0E-55.7196687E-44.217152E-44.4170677E-41.04740542.0E-50.00570496960.0042104590.00423037451.00473012.0E-5
7.11.0230601E-57.32646E-62.7326314E-53.72981142.0E-54.3844695E-53.1398744E-55.1398114E-51.63694812.0E-55.336784E-43.8221394E-44.022063E-41.05230682.0E-50.0053239860.00381675920.00383668281.005222.0E-5
7.29.40865E-66.5430822E-66.5430822E-61.00.04.032216E-52.8041486E-52.8041486E-51.00.04.908117E-43.4135283E-43.4135283E-41.00.00.00489729130.00340940240.00340940241.00.0
7.38.237384E-65.5975433E-65.5975433E-61.00.03.5302593E-52.3989258E-52.3989258E-51.00.04.2972428E-42.920311E-42.920311E-41.00.00.00428894260.00291679920.00291679921.00.0
7.47.5316966E-65.0276153E-65.0276153E-61.00.03.2278298E-52.154675E-52.154675E-51.00.03.9291743E-42.623011E-42.623011E-41.00.00.00392223430.00262002670.00262002671.00.0
7.56.149649E-63.9336355E-63.9336355E-61.00.02.6355372E-51.6858336E-51.6858336E-51.00.03.208294E-42.052318E-42.052318E-41.00.00.0032036660.00205051180.00205051181.00.0
7.65.457711E-63.3951796E-63.3951796E-61.00.02.338998E-51.4550694E-51.4550694E-51.00.02.8473578E-41.771411E-41.771411E-41.00.00.00284371220.00177007980.00177007981.00.0
7.74.1676276E-62.3329922E-62.3329922E-61.00.01.7861139E-59.998504E-69.998504E-61.00.02.1743766E-41.2172572E-41.2172572E-41.00.00.00217225030.00121666350.00121666351.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.384417E-89.384417E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0218927E-74.0218927E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8966467E-64.8966467E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8965718E-54.8965718E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4397174E-93.4397174E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4741646E-81.4741646E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.7947953E-71.7947953E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.794794E-61.794794E-61.00.0

Great Valley 07 (Orestimba)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9687902E-53.27575E-55.2756845E-51.61052732.0E-51.2722766E-41.4038214E-41.8037652E-41.28489654.0E-50.00154789610.00170788440.00175779911.0292265.0E-50.0153715850.0169551350.0170141181.00347886.0E-5
6.12.9687902E-53.27575E-55.2756845E-51.61052732.0E-51.2722766E-41.4038214E-41.8037652E-41.28489654.0E-50.00154789610.00170788440.00175779911.0292265.0E-50.0153715850.0169551350.0170141181.00347886.0E-5
6.21.9231524E-52.1159167E-54.1158743E-51.94519692.0E-58.2418206E-59.067912E-51.206764E-41.3308073.0E-50.00100297970.00110348220.00114343821.03620894.0E-50.009984650.0109824410.0110220011.00360214.0E-5
6.31.324766E-51.4548534E-52.4548388E-51.68734461.0E-55.6774446E-56.234942E-58.2348175E-51.32075292.0E-56.910097E-47.5884897E-47.888262E-41.03950363.0E-50.0068886490.00756352350.0075932971.00393643.0E-5
6.47.818645E-68.57284E-61.8572755E-52.16646461.0E-53.3508048E-53.6740246E-55.673951E-51.54434222.0E-54.078841E-44.4722404E-44.7721062E-41.06705053.0E-50.0040713630.00446358040.00449344661.00669113.0E-5
6.55.3076565E-65.8178007E-65.8178007E-61.00.02.27469E-52.4933206E-53.4932957E-51.40106151.0E-52.7690834E-43.035216E-43.2351553E-41.06587312.0E-50.00276563530.003031280.00305121931.00657782.0E-5
6.63.6003578E-63.9484953E-63.9484953E-61.00.01.5430012E-51.6922022E-51.6922022E-51.00.01.8784421E-42.0600771E-42.1600565E-41.04853191.0E-50.00187685520.00205832140.00206830071.00484841.0E-5
6.72.5361826E-62.7834678E-62.7834678E-61.00.01.0869308E-51.1929101E-51.1929101E-51.00.01.3232579E-41.4522845E-41.55227E-41.06884711.0E-50.00132247030.00145146530.00146145081.00687961.0E-5
6.81.2115831E-61.3313797E-61.3313797E-61.00.05.1924885E-65.7059065E-65.7059065E-61.00.06.3216714E-56.9468166E-57.946747E-51.14394081.0E-56.3198735E-46.945596E-47.045527E-41.01438761.0E-5

Elsinore (Temecula) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9514995E-52.251887E-53.2518645E-51.4440621.0E-51.264867E-49.6505995E-51.1650407E-41.2072212.0E-50.00153888760.00117434920.00119432571.01701072.0E-50.0152827450.0116881350.0117474341.00507346.0E-5
6.12.9514995E-52.251887E-53.2518645E-51.4440621.0E-51.264867E-49.6505995E-51.1650407E-41.2072212.0E-50.00153888760.00117434920.00119432571.01701072.0E-50.0152827450.0116881350.0117474341.00507346.0E-5
6.22.9514995E-52.251887E-53.2518645E-51.4440621.0E-51.264867E-49.6505995E-51.1650407E-41.2072212.0E-50.00153888760.00117434920.00119432571.01701072.0E-50.0152827450.0116881350.0117474341.00507346.0E-5
6.32.3223649E-51.840822E-52.8408034E-51.54322561.0E-59.952613E-57.889008E-58.888929E-51.12674871.0E-50.0012110579.600807E-49.700711E-41.01040581.0E-50.0120447830.0095512840.0095809971.00311093.0E-5
6.42.3223649E-51.840822E-52.8408034E-51.54322561.0E-59.952613E-57.889008E-58.888929E-51.12674871.0E-50.0012110579.600807E-49.700711E-41.01040581.0E-50.0120447830.0095512840.0095809971.00311093.0E-5
6.51.8338875E-51.4750074E-52.4749927E-51.67795261.0E-57.8592806E-56.321312E-57.321249E-51.1581851.0E-59.5644733E-47.6935673E-47.7934907E-41.01298791.0E-50.0095234120.00766996760.00769973731.00388133.0E-5
6.61.8223333E-51.461263E-52.4612484E-51.68432951.0E-57.809766E-56.26241E-57.262348E-51.1596731.0E-59.504242E-47.621905E-47.721829E-41.013111.0E-50.0094636960.0075987960.0076285681.0039183.0E-5
6.71.7512752E-51.4026963E-52.4026822E-51.71290271.0E-57.505249E-56.0114216E-57.0113616E-51.166341.0E-59.13381E-47.316534E-47.416461E-41.01365771.0E-50.009096360.00729833170.00730825871.00136021.0E-5
6.81.7417142E-51.395093E-52.395079E-51.7167881.0E-57.4642754E-55.978838E-56.9787784E-51.16724661.0E-59.083966E-47.27689E-47.376817E-41.01373211.0E-50.0090469220.0072593590.00726928661.00136761.0E-5
6.91.6402591E-51.29883665E-52.2988237E-51.76990971.0E-57.0294926E-55.5663284E-56.566273E-51.17964161.0E-58.5550465E-46.774974E-46.874907E-41.01475021.0E-50.0085221860.00675986470.0067697971.00146941.0E-5
7.01.3912486E-51.0878067E-52.0877958E-51.9192711.0E-55.9623577E-54.661947E-55.6619003E-51.21449271.0E-57.2567526E-45.674469E-45.774413E-41.01761281.0E-50.00723310140.00566353140.0056734751.00175571.0E-5
7.11.3405147E-51.0327192E-52.0327088E-51.96830741.0E-55.7449364E-54.4258657E-55.4258217E-51.22593451.0E-56.9922156E-45.3871854E-45.4871314E-41.01855251.0E-50.00697025560.0053773660.00538731231.00184971.0E-5
7.21.21402E-58.996479E-68.996479E-61.00.05.202839E-53.8555776E-53.8555776E-51.00.06.332616E-44.6931725E-44.6931725E-41.00.00.00631460.00468472620.00468472621.00.0
7.31.05047775E-57.571515E-67.571515E-61.00.04.5019697E-53.2448956E-53.2448956E-51.00.05.4797693E-43.9499588E-43.9499588E-41.00.00.0054662770.0039433480.0039433481.00.0
7.49.624483E-66.786621E-66.786621E-61.00.04.124713E-52.90852E-52.90852E-51.00.05.0206814E-43.5405616E-43.5405616E-41.00.00.0050093530.00353507260.00353507261.00.0
7.58.215151E-65.6353133E-65.6353133E-61.00.03.5207315E-52.4151126E-52.4151126E-51.00.04.2856473E-42.9400157E-42.9400157E-41.00.00.0042773920.0029362540.0029362541.00.0
7.66.975058E-64.675836E-64.675836E-61.00.02.9892764E-52.003915E-52.003915E-51.00.03.6388362E-42.439505E-42.439505E-41.00.00.00363288350.00243694340.00243694341.00.0
7.74.159604E-62.326789E-62.326789E-61.00.01.7826753E-59.971919E-69.971919E-61.00.02.1701909E-41.2140209E-41.2140209E-41.00.00.00216807260.00121343080.00121343081.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.384417E-89.384417E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0218927E-74.0218927E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8966467E-64.8966467E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8965718E-54.8965718E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4397174E-93.4397174E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4741646E-81.4741646E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.7947953E-71.7947953E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.794794E-61.794794E-61.00.0

Hosgri

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.883978E-52.9128403E-54.912782E-51.68659512.0E-51.235932E-41.248302E-41.448277E-41.16019762.0E-50.00150370850.00151877520.00153874491.01314852.0E-50.014935740.015087730.0151369761.0032645.0E-5
6.12.883978E-52.9128403E-54.912782E-51.68659512.0E-51.235932E-41.248302E-41.448277E-41.16019762.0E-50.00150370850.00151877520.00153874491.01314852.0E-50.014935740.015087730.0151369761.0032645.0E-5
6.22.883978E-52.9128403E-54.912782E-51.68659512.0E-51.235932E-41.248302E-41.448277E-41.16019762.0E-50.00150370850.00151877520.00153874491.01314852.0E-50.014935740.015087730.0151369761.0032645.0E-5
6.32.2914428E-52.2641956E-54.2641503E-51.88329592.0E-59.8200995E-59.703337E-51.17031435E-41.20609462.0E-50.00119494130.0011807460.00120072241.01691842.0E-50.0118853630.0117461230.0117856531.00336544.0E-5
6.42.0195741E-51.9696547E-52.969635E-51.50769321.0E-58.65503E-58.4411055E-59.441021E-51.11845791.0E-50.00105324050.0010272220.00103721171.0097251.0E-50.0104826260.0102257830.0102455781.00193582.0E-5
6.51.9924333E-51.9408968E-52.9408775E-51.51521581.0E-58.53872E-58.317865E-59.317782E-51.12021321.0E-50.00103909340.00101223150.00102222141.00986921.0E-50.0103424810.0100772440.0100970421.00196472.0E-5
6.61.809694E-51.7458287E-52.7458113E-51.57278381.0E-57.7556004E-57.4819094E-58.481834E-51.13364581.0E-59.438353E-49.105431E-49.2053396E-41.01097251.0E-50.0093983660.0090690630.0090888811.00218532.0E-5
6.71.675989E-51.6042752E-52.6042591E-51.62332451.0E-57.182612E-56.8752845E-57.875216E-51.14543861.0E-58.7413215E-48.3674554E-48.467372E-41.01194111.0E-50.0087070170.0083368530.0083566871.0023792.0E-5
6.81.5401129E-51.4614069E-52.4613923E-51.68426221.0E-56.6003166E-56.263023E-57.26296E-51.15965741.0E-58.032922E-47.6225714E-47.722495E-41.0131091.0E-50.0080039470.00759728630.00761713461.00261252.0E-5
6.91.356559E-51.2689955E-51.2689955E-51.00.05.8136946E-55.438439E-55.438439E-51.00.07.0758746E-46.6192925E-46.6192925E-41.00.00.0070533860.0066003780.0066103121.0015051.0E-5
7.01.2030819E-51.1095949E-51.1095949E-51.00.05.155963E-54.75532E-54.75532E-51.00.06.275577E-45.788065E-45.788065E-41.00.00.0062578840.00577374730.00578368971.0017221.0E-5
7.11.0972698E-51.0022167E-51.0022167E-51.00.04.7025E-54.2951437E-54.2951437E-51.00.05.72379E-45.2280835E-45.2280835E-41.00.00.00570906930.0052165330.0052264811.0019071.0E-5
7.29.961926E-69.034732E-69.034732E-61.00.04.2693267E-53.8719707E-53.8719707E-51.00.05.1966653E-44.7131052E-44.7131052E-41.00.00.005184530.00470385230.00470385231.00.0
7.38.700929E-67.828089E-67.828089E-61.00.03.7289166E-53.354852E-53.354852E-51.00.04.53901E-44.083767E-44.083767E-41.00.00.004529750.0040769990.0040769991.00.0
7.47.866285E-66.9987263E-66.9987263E-61.00.03.3712215E-52.9994197E-52.9994197E-51.00.04.103689E-43.6511818E-43.6511818E-41.00.00.0040961190.00364591670.00364591671.00.0
7.56.8381305E-65.9596814E-65.9596814E-61.00.02.9305946E-52.5541241E-52.5541241E-51.00.03.5674145E-43.1092027E-43.1092027E-41.00.00.00356169320.0031055840.0031055841.00.0
7.65.503376E-64.595227E-64.595227E-61.00.02.3585684E-51.9693682E-51.9693682E-51.00.02.8711787E-42.397442E-42.397442E-41.00.00.0028674720.00239558520.00239558521.00.0
7.73.6144982E-62.6521896E-62.6521896E-61.00.01.5490614E-51.1366477E-51.1366477E-51.00.01.8858191E-41.3837808E-41.3837808E-41.00.00.00188421960.0013836470.0013836471.00.0
7.81.9853494E-61.1360784E-61.1360784E-61.00.08.508612E-64.8688985E-64.8688985E-61.00.01.0358743E-45.9277223E-55.9277223E-51.00.00.00103539165.933389E-45.933389E-41.00.0
7.91.1818757E-65.29477E-75.29477E-71.00.05.0651715E-62.269185E-62.269185E-61.00.06.1666724E-52.7626977E-52.7626977E-51.00.06.1649614E-42.7691363E-42.7691363E-41.00.0
8.06.962958E-72.71365E-72.71365E-71.00.02.9841215E-61.1629924E-61.1629924E-61.00.03.6331072E-51.415934E-51.415934E-51.00.03.6325134E-41.4215276E-41.4215276E-41.00.0
8.11.5033264E-76.52693E-86.52693E-81.00.06.442826E-72.7972553E-72.7972553E-71.00.07.844113E-63.4056532E-63.4056532E-61.00.07.843835E-53.4072833E-53.4072833E-51.00.0

San Cayetano

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.3476267E-51.8169216E-55.816849E-53.20148594.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.1786265E-41.51366464.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.875691E-41.04217164.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0094862781.00524845.0E-5
6.12.3476267E-51.8169216E-55.816849E-53.20148594.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.1786265E-41.51366464.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.875691E-41.04217164.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0094862781.00524845.0E-5
6.22.3476267E-51.8169216E-55.816849E-53.20148594.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.1786265E-41.51366464.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.875691E-41.04217164.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0094862781.00524845.0E-5
6.32.3476267E-51.8169216E-55.816849E-53.20148594.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.1786265E-41.51366464.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.875691E-41.04217164.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0094862781.00524845.0E-5
6.42.3476267E-51.8169216E-55.816849E-53.20148594.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.1786265E-41.51366464.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.875691E-41.04217164.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0094862781.00524845.0E-5
6.52.3476267E-51.8169216E-55.816849E-53.20148594.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.1786265E-41.51366464.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.875691E-41.04217164.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0094862781.00524845.0E-5
6.62.3476267E-51.8169216E-55.816849E-53.20148594.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.1786265E-41.51366464.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.875691E-41.04217164.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0094862781.00524845.0E-5
6.72.3476267E-51.8169216E-55.816849E-53.20148594.0E-51.0060869E-47.786576E-51.1786265E-41.51366464.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.875691E-41.04217164.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0094862781.00524845.0E-5
6.82.3241924E-51.7936945E-55.7936228E-53.2299944.0E-59.960445E-57.687038E-51.16867304E-41.52031654.0E-50.00121200959.354987E-49.7546127E-41.04271794.0E-50.0120542040.00931661950.0093661541.00531675.0E-5
6.92.2761007E-51.7432383E-55.7431687E-53.294544.0E-59.7543525E-57.47081E-51.1470511E-41.53537714.0E-50.00118694549.09195E-49.491586E-41.0439554.0E-50.0118062560.0090557410.0091052881.00547135.0E-5
7.02.240283E-51.7066137E-55.7065456E-53.34378274.0E-59.600859E-57.313856E-51.1313563E-41.54686714.0E-50.00116827778.9010154E-49.30066E-41.04489874.0E-50.0116215490.0088663360.0089158931.00558945.0E-5
7.12.1871154E-51.658602E-55.6585355E-53.41162974.0E-59.373015E-57.108103E-51.1107818E-41.56269814.0E-50.00114056718.6507126E-49.0503664E-41.0461994.0E-50.0113473090.0086179960.0086675661.00575185.0E-5
7.22.0714133E-51.5564563E-54.5564095E-52.92742543.0E-58.8771834E-56.670358E-59.670158E-51.4497213.0E-50.00108026118.118168E-48.417924E-41.03692413.0E-50.0107502490.0080894430.0081291191.00490474.0E-5
7.31.8408395E-51.3996829E-54.399641E-53.14331273.0E-57.8890735E-55.9985046E-58.9983245E-51.50009473.0E-59.600714E-47.300762E-47.600543E-41.04106163.0E-50.0095593420.00727764470.00731735351.00545634.0E-5
7.41.6856795E-51.285006E-53.2849803E-52.55639312.0E-57.2241404E-55.5070537E-57.506944E-51.36315062.0E-58.7918417E-46.7028037E-46.9026696E-41.02981832.0E-50.008757140.00668340870.00671320831.00445883.0E-5
7.51.2822778E-59.577415E-62.9577222E-53.08822632.0E-55.495361E-54.1045427E-56.104461E-51.4872452.0E-56.688548E-44.9961504E-45.1960506E-41.04001082.0E-50.0066684520.00498519230.00500509241.00399182.0E-5
7.65.6272684E-63.854899E-61.3854861E-53.59409141.0E-52.4116642E-51.6520893E-52.6520727E-51.60528411.0E-52.9358055E-42.0112342E-42.111214E-41.04971081.0E-50.00293193010.00200942480.00201940471.00496651.0E-5
7.73.5261346E-62.3407094E-61.2340686E-55.27219871.0E-51.5111918E-51.0031574E-52.0031473E-51.99684251.0E-51.8397206E-41.2212765E-41.3212643E-41.08187151.0E-50.00183819840.00122061270.00123060041.00818261.0E-5
7.81.4826929E-61.0564395E-61.1056429E-510.4657481.0E-56.354383E-64.52759E-61.4527544E-53.20867061.0E-57.736187E-55.5122033E-56.512148E-51.18140571.0E-57.733494E-45.510856E-45.610801E-41.0181361.0E-5
7.92.7568166E-71.6977887E-71.0169777E-559.9001351.0E-51.1814923E-67.276235E-71.0727616E-514.7433611.0E-51.4384574E-58.85878E-61.8858691E-52.12881351.0E-51.4383643E-48.858431E-59.858342E-51.11287681.0E-5
8.05.407832E-82.688677E-82.688677E-81.00.02.3176422E-71.15229014E-71.15229014E-71.00.02.8217257E-61.4029123E-61.4029123E-61.00.02.8216898E-51.40290385E-51.40290385E-51.00.0

San Clemente

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.681379E-58.163834E-51.016367E-41.24496292.0E-52.8631336E-43.4983488E-43.698279E-41.05714982.0E-50.0034802940.004251410.00428128241.00702643.0E-50.034262910.041756030.041803941.00114745.0E-5
6.16.681379E-58.163834E-51.016367E-41.24496292.0E-52.8631336E-43.4983488E-43.698279E-41.05714982.0E-50.0034802940.004251410.00428128241.00702643.0E-50.034262910.041756030.041794361.00091794.0E-5
6.23.9400576E-54.6452373E-54.6452373E-51.00.01.6884868E-41.9906677E-41.9906677E-41.00.00.00205379450.00242099840.00243097431.00412051.0E-50.0203491670.0239529030.0239626631.00040751.0E-5
6.33.2590255E-53.792912E-53.792912E-51.00.01.3966505E-41.6254342E-41.6254342E-41.00.00.00169909560.00197720020.00198718021.00504771.0E-50.016861630.0195998830.0196096861.00050021.0E-5
6.42.9454652E-53.4097764E-53.4097764E-51.00.01.2622811E-41.4612524E-41.4612524E-41.00.00.00153574380.00177764930.00177764931.00.00.0152517390.017637470.017637471.00.0
6.52.790836E-53.2247463E-53.2247463E-51.00.01.1960178E-41.3819624E-41.3819624E-41.00.00.0014551790.00168126620.00168126621.00.00.0144568680.0166884850.0166884851.00.0
6.62.2492153E-52.5762702E-52.5762702E-51.00.09.639138E-51.1040699E-41.1040699E-41.00.00.00117293310.00134339090.00134339091.00.00.0116676150.0133544170.0133544171.00.0
6.71.9862755E-52.2666423E-52.2666423E-51.00.08.512331E-59.713826E-59.713826E-51.00.00.00103588360.00118202790.00118202791.00.00.0103106820.0117587010.0117587011.00.0
6.81.6697575E-51.897771E-51.897771E-51.00.07.155907E-58.133056E-58.133056E-51.00.08.7088346E-49.897591E-49.897591E-41.00.00.0086747840.00985453650.00985453651.00.0
6.91.5218415E-51.72694E-51.72694E-51.00.06.522015E-57.4009666E-57.4009666E-51.00.07.93766E-49.00704E-49.00704E-41.00.00.0079093670.0089714810.0089714811.00.0
7.01.2392958E-51.4033016E-51.4033016E-51.00.05.3111595E-56.014015E-56.014015E-51.00.06.4644177E-47.319679E-47.319679E-41.00.00.00644564540.00729635640.00729635641.00.0
7.11.0934128E-51.2375138E-51.2375138E-51.00.04.6859706E-55.303527E-55.303527E-51.00.05.7036756E-46.455204E-46.455204E-41.00.00.00568905850.00643719970.00643719971.00.0
7.29.5798805E-61.0844935E-51.0844935E-51.00.04.1055984E-54.6477508E-54.6477508E-51.00.04.9974193E-45.657239E-45.657239E-41.00.00.00498619630.00564356150.00564356151.00.0
7.38.0167365E-69.083918E-69.083918E-61.00.03.4356988E-53.8930535E-53.8930535E-51.00.04.1821605E-44.7388324E-44.7388324E-41.00.00.00417429860.00472942970.00472942971.00.0
7.42.9581017E-63.3623792E-63.3623792E-61.00.01.2677518E-51.4410146E-51.4410146E-51.00.01.5433785E-41.7543444E-41.7543444E-41.00.00.0015423070.00175345460.00175345461.00.0

San Diego Trough north alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.329252E-58.821269E-51.0821093E-41.22670472.0E-53.14073E-43.7800326E-43.979957E-41.05288962.0E-50.00381713550.00459304870.0046428191.0108365.0E-50.037522310.0450451370.0450928841.001065.0E-5
6.13.7940346E-54.4884906E-56.488401E-51.4455642.0E-51.6259136E-41.9235026E-42.1234641E-41.10395692.0E-50.00197775240.0023394310.00236936081.01279373.0E-50.0196024310.0231567320.0231860371.00126553.0E-5
6.22.8645263E-53.329672E-55.3296055E-51.60063972.0E-51.2275964E-41.4269259E-41.6268973E-41.14014152.0E-50.00149357390.00173592060.00175588591.01150132.0E-50.01483575350.0172262680.0172459221.00114112.0E-5
6.32.8645263E-53.329672E-55.3296055E-51.60063972.0E-51.2275964E-41.4269259E-41.6268973E-41.14014152.0E-50.00149357390.00173592060.00175588591.01150132.0E-50.01483575350.0172262680.0172459221.00114112.0E-5
6.42.2204576E-52.544832E-52.544832E-51.00.09.5159E-51.0905972E-41.0905972E-41.00.00.0011579450.00132700280.00132700281.00.00.0115192980.0131919590.0131919591.00.0
6.52.1004838E-52.4024695E-52.4024695E-51.00.09.0017624E-51.0295897E-41.0295897E-41.00.00.00109541360.00125281350.00125281351.00.00.0109002960.0124585920.0124585921.00.0
6.61.820557E-52.070479E-52.070479E-51.00.07.802154E-58.8731824E-58.8731824E-51.00.09.4949827E-40.00107977990.00107977991.00.00.0094545160.0107460050.0107460051.00.0
6.71.5884485E-51.7983646E-51.7983646E-51.00.06.807459E-57.707051E-57.707051E-51.00.08.284929E-49.3793223E-49.3793223E-41.00.00.0082541090.0093401040.0093401041.00.0
6.81.4331171E-51.6201066E-51.6201066E-51.00.06.141786E-56.94313E-56.94313E-51.00.07.4750587E-48.450002E-48.450002E-41.00.00.00744996450.0084181390.0084181391.00.0
6.91.2574203E-51.4205835E-51.4205835E-51.00.05.3888325E-56.0880735E-56.0880735E-51.00.06.558929E-47.409723E-47.409723E-41.00.00.00653960370.0073852030.0073852031.00.0
7.01.0883844E-51.2289262E-51.2289262E-51.00.04.664421E-55.2667205E-55.2667205E-51.00.05.677453E-46.4103556E-46.4103556E-41.00.00.005662970.0063919930.0063919931.00.0
7.19.393088E-61.060702E-51.060702E-51.00.04.025547E-54.545787E-54.545787E-51.00.04.900001E-45.533098E-45.533098E-41.00.00.00488921070.0055194180.0055194181.00.0
7.28.190791E-69.258625E-69.258625E-61.00.03.510292E-53.9679224E-53.9679224E-51.00.04.2729423E-44.8298817E-44.8298817E-41.00.00.00426473560.0048194650.0048194651.00.0
7.36.268162E-67.089716E-67.089716E-61.00.02.6863276E-53.0384144E-53.0384144E-51.00.03.2701128E-43.6986457E-43.6986457E-41.00.00.0032653050.0036925360.0036925361.00.0
7.44.985186E-65.6426816E-65.6426816E-61.00.02.1364907E-52.4182698E-52.4182698E-51.00.02.600867E-42.9438498E-42.9438498E-41.00.00.0025978250.00293999140.00293999141.00.0
7.51.7489613E-61.969678E-61.969678E-61.00.07.495527E-68.4414505E-68.4414505E-61.00.09.125422E-51.02770035E-41.02770035E-41.00.09.1216754E-40.00102724720.00102724721.00.0
7.61.6988751E-71.7533823E-71.7533823E-71.00.07.2808916E-77.5144936E-77.5144936E-71.00.08.864449E-69.14886E-69.14886E-61.00.08.8640954E-59.1485024E-59.1485024E-51.00.0

San Diego Trough south

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.279495E-51.0425541E-41.2425332E-41.19181662.0E-53.5478722E-44.4673498E-44.6672602E-41.04474932.0E-50.0043109820.00542591330.00546569661.00733214.0E-50.0422830540.052993030.053040381.00089355.0E-5
6.14.6961468E-55.773024E-56.772966E-51.17320941.0E-52.0124791E-42.473905E-42.5738802E-41.0404121.0E-50.002447440.0030078860.00303779571.00994373.0E-50.0242066030.0296796360.0297087451.00098073.0E-5
6.23.5079658E-54.214258E-55.2142157E-51.23727971.0E-51.5033272E-41.8059829E-41.9059649E-41.05536151.0E-50.00182876420.0021965870.0022165431.0090852.0E-50.0181378760.0217511880.0217707531.00089942.0E-5
6.33.5079658E-54.214258E-55.2142157E-51.23727971.0E-51.5033272E-41.8059829E-41.9059649E-41.05536151.0E-50.00182876420.0021965870.0022165431.0090852.0E-50.0181378760.0217511880.0217707531.00089942.0E-5
6.42.7196904E-53.208715E-53.208715E-51.00.01.16552954E-41.3750911E-41.3750911E-41.00.00.00141810850.00167289950.00167289951.00.00.0140909290.0166046660.0166046661.00.0
6.52.5584688E-53.0101632E-53.0101632E-51.00.01.0964406E-41.2900059E-41.2900059E-41.00.00.00133409890.00156946270.00156946271.00.00.0132611810.0155853320.0155853321.00.0
6.62.2034688E-52.574271E-52.574271E-51.00.09.443096E-51.1032127E-41.1032127E-41.00.00.00114909050.00134234120.00134234121.00.00.0114316680.0133433250.0133433251.00.0
6.71.9394853E-52.254176E-52.254176E-51.00.08.311815E-59.6604E-59.6604E-51.00.00.00101149360.00117552430.00117552431.00.00.010069020.0116937660.0116937661.00.0
6.81.7615313E-52.0403182E-52.0403182E-51.00.07.549201E-58.743931E-58.743931E-51.00.09.1872766E-40.00106405790.00106405791.00.00.0091493870.0105901980.0105901981.00.0
6.91.5621423E-51.8026114E-51.8026114E-51.00.06.6947236E-57.725251E-57.725251E-51.00.08.147778E-49.40147E-49.40147E-41.00.00.0081179690.0093621420.0093621421.00.0
7.01.3444376E-51.544809E-51.544809E-51.00.05.7617483E-56.620443E-56.620443E-51.00.07.0126704E-48.057436E-48.057436E-41.00.00.0069905820.0080285550.0080285551.00.0
7.11.2268361E-51.407303E-51.407303E-51.00.05.2577634E-56.0311606E-56.0311606E-51.00.06.399447E-47.3404907E-47.3404907E-41.00.00.00638104930.00731654930.00731654931.00.0
7.21.0922655E-51.2513563E-51.2513563E-51.00.04.681054E-55.3628468E-55.3628468E-51.00.05.697693E-46.5273355E-46.5273355E-41.00.00.00568310640.00650844350.00650844351.00.0
7.36.1106753E-66.928925E-66.928925E-61.00.02.6188345E-52.9695057E-52.9695057E-51.00.03.1879646E-43.6147775E-43.6147775E-41.00.00.00318339510.0036089430.0036089431.00.0
7.44.933187E-65.5895525E-65.5895525E-61.00.02.114206E-52.3955008E-52.3955008E-51.00.02.5737417E-42.9161357E-42.9161357E-41.00.00.0025707630.00291235050.00291235051.00.0
7.51.7489613E-61.969678E-61.969678E-61.00.07.495527E-68.4414505E-68.4414505E-61.00.09.125422E-51.02770035E-41.02770035E-41.00.09.1216754E-40.00102724720.00102724721.00.0
7.61.6988751E-71.7533823E-71.7533823E-71.00.07.2808916E-77.5144936E-77.5144936E-71.00.08.864449E-69.14886E-69.14886E-61.00.08.8640954E-59.1485024E-59.1485024E-51.00.0

Simi-Santa Rosa

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.198912E-52.2275388E-52.2275388E-51.00.09.4235686E-59.54627E-51.0546175E-41.1047431.0E-50.00114671560.00116168250.00119164771.02579463.0E-50.0114081630.0115605470.01160008551.003424.0E-5
6.12.198912E-52.2275388E-52.2275388E-51.00.09.4235686E-59.54627E-51.0546175E-41.1047431.0E-50.00114671560.00116168250.00119164771.02579463.0E-50.0114081630.0115605470.01160008551.003424.0E-5
6.21.69983E-51.6668506E-51.6668506E-51.00.07.284782E-57.143466E-58.1433944E-51.1399781.0E-58.865613E-48.6939917E-48.7939046E-41.01149231.0E-50.0088303270.00866290.0086827271.00228872.0E-5
6.31.69983E-51.6668506E-51.6668506E-51.00.07.284782E-57.143466E-58.1433944E-51.1399781.0E-58.865613E-48.6939917E-48.7939046E-41.01149231.0E-50.0088303270.00866290.0086827271.00228872.0E-5
6.41.4666188E-51.4052489E-51.4052489E-51.00.06.285358E-56.0223705E-57.0223105E-51.16603761.0E-57.6497364E-47.330018E-47.429945E-41.01363251.0E-50.00762345640.00730831640.007328171.00271672.0E-5
6.51.4666188E-51.4052489E-51.4052489E-51.00.06.285358E-56.0223705E-57.0223105E-51.16603761.0E-57.6497364E-47.330018E-47.429945E-41.01363251.0E-50.00762345640.00730831640.007328171.00271672.0E-5
6.61.4377586E-51.3729529E-51.3729529E-51.00.06.1616774E-55.883965E-56.8839065E-51.16994351.0E-57.4992597E-47.1616215E-47.26155E-41.01395331.0E-50.0074740030.00714101040.00716086761.00278072.0E-5
6.71.3881404E-51.3207497E-51.3207497E-51.00.05.9490372E-55.6602472E-56.6601904E-51.17666081.0E-57.240546E-46.889419E-46.98935E-41.0145051.0E-50.0072170.00687051050.00689037331.0028912.0E-5
6.81.0176516E-59.1541E-69.1541E-61.00.04.3612912E-53.923136E-54.9230966E-51.25488821.0E-55.308578E-44.775537E-44.875489E-41.020931.0E-50.00529591460.0047669080.00478681271.00417552.0E-5
6.99.699797E-68.774672E-68.774672E-61.00.04.15699E-53.760529E-54.760491E-51.265911.0E-55.05996E-44.5776463E-44.6776005E-41.02183531.0E-50.0050484540.00456983460.00458974341.00435652.0E-5
7.07.4049476E-66.559291E-66.559291E-61.00.03.1735104E-52.8111013E-53.811073E-51.35572241.0E-53.8630638E-43.422105E-43.5220708E-41.02921181.0E-50.00385635530.00341807750.00342804331.00291561.0E-5
7.13.873439E-62.759473E-62.759473E-61.00.01.6600346E-51.1826261E-52.1826143E-51.84556581.0E-52.0209046E-41.4397544E-41.53974E-41.06944631.0E-50.00201906780.00143884530.00144883081.006941.0E-5
7.23.417706E-62.367616E-62.367616E-61.00.01.4647229E-51.0146887E-52.0146785E-51.98551391.0E-51.7831543E-41.2353157E-41.3353034E-41.0809411.0E-50.00178172420.00123465130.00124463891.00808941.0E-5
7.31.90225E-61.4073756E-61.4073756E-61.00.08.152474E-66.031596E-66.031596E-61.00.09.9251854E-57.343223E-57.343223E-51.00.09.920754E-47.340819E-47.340819E-41.00.0
7.41.5170556E-61.1024792E-61.1024792E-61.00.06.5016507E-64.7249023E-64.7249023E-61.00.07.915472E-55.752418E-55.752418E-51.00.07.9126534E-45.75094E-45.75094E-41.00.0
7.51.178732E-68.5351127E-78.5351127E-71.00.05.0516987E-63.6579004E-63.6579004E-61.00.06.1502695E-54.4534037E-54.4534037E-51.00.06.148568E-44.4525208E-44.4525208E-41.00.0
7.66.8722386E-74.793211E-74.793211E-71.00.02.9452417E-62.0542318E-62.0542318E-61.00.03.5857727E-52.5009986E-52.5009986E-51.00.03.5851944E-42.5007184E-42.5007184E-41.00.0
7.75.5126515E-73.6731117E-73.6731117E-71.00.02.3625628E-61.5741898E-61.5741898E-61.00.02.8763823E-51.9165593E-51.9165593E-51.00.02.87601E-41.9163951E-41.9163951E-41.00.0
7.83.3860243E-72.0075514E-72.0075514E-71.00.01.4511525E-68.6037886E-78.6037886E-71.00.01.7667637E-51.0475063E-51.0475063E-51.00.01.7666233E-41.0474575E-41.0474575E-41.00.0
7.92.7955386E-71.4648724E-71.4648724E-71.00.01.1980875E-66.278023E-76.278023E-71.00.01.4586617E-57.643467E-67.643467E-61.00.01.458566E-47.643208E-57.643208E-51.00.0
8.05.6259015E-83.335318E-83.335318E-81.00.02.4111003E-71.429422E-71.429422E-71.00.02.9355108E-61.7403199E-61.7403199E-61.00.02.935472E-51.7403077E-51.7403077E-51.00.0

Hayward (No) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.3068506E-51.739643E-41.8396258E-41.05747311.0E-53.9880406E-47.453474E-47.5534E-41.01340651.0E-50.00484463430.0090367270.0090565471.00219322.0E-50.0474037040.0863966050.086433151.0004234.0E-5
6.19.055486E-51.6947639E-41.794747E-41.05899521.0E-53.880345E-47.2612526E-47.36118E-41.01376181.0E-50.00471409040.0088048140.0088246381.00225152.0E-50.0461533550.084285680.08432231.00043454.0E-5
6.29.006742E-51.6868232E-41.7868062E-41.0592731.0E-53.859461E-47.227246E-47.327174E-41.01382651.0E-50.00468877420.008763780.0087836041.00226212.0E-50.04591070.083909910.0839465561.00043674.0E-5
6.38.8336754E-51.6547782E-41.7547616E-41.06042111.0E-53.7853114E-47.0899865E-47.1899156E-41.01409441.0E-50.0045988820.0085980510.008617881.00230612.0E-50.045048660.082401950.0824386551.00044544.0E-5
6.48.526157E-51.5974796E-41.5974796E-41.00.03.6535555E-46.844552E-46.844552E-41.00.00.00443913460.008301560.0083114771.00119461.0E-50.0435149930.079684670.079712271.00034653.0E-5
6.58.152396E-51.5307199E-41.5307199E-41.00.03.493416E-46.558586E-46.558586E-41.00.00.00424494180.0079559930.0079659131.00124691.0E-50.041647650.076514480.076542191.0003623.0E-5
6.67.987405E-51.5011412E-41.5011412E-41.00.03.4227243E-46.431883E-46.431883E-41.00.00.00415920650.0078028580.007812781.00127161.0E-50.040822180.0751058760.075133621.00036943.0E-5
6.77.777665E-51.4650672E-41.4650672E-41.00.03.332859E-46.277355E-46.277355E-41.00.00.0040502080.0076160530.00762597661.0013031.0E-50.0397718060.07338250.07341031.00037883.0E-5
6.87.3284005E-51.3801287E-41.3801287E-41.00.03.140365E-45.9135025E-45.9135025E-41.00.00.00381669290.0071760590.0071859871.00138351.0E-50.0375180360.069296240.0693241661.00040293.0E-5
6.96.458263E-51.21319164E-41.21319164E-41.00.02.7675333E-45.1983615E-45.1983615E-41.00.00.00336426640.00631073960.00632067631.00157461.0E-50.0331378840.0612246250.0612527881.000463.0E-5
7.05.3853604E-51.00254634E-41.00254634E-41.00.02.3078074E-44.295923E-44.295923E-41.00.00.00280613520.00521780740.00522775531.00190651.0E-50.0277096420.0509570240.0509854961.00055873.0E-5
7.14.4308683E-58.17098E-58.17098E-51.00.01.8988053E-43.5013806E-43.5013806E-41.00.00.00230934420.00425463960.00426459731.00234031.0E-50.0228549260.0418244970.0418532451.00068723.0E-5
7.23.295973E-56.0774026E-56.0774026E-51.00.01.4124835E-42.6043423E-42.6043423E-41.00.00.00171834210.00316619940.00317616781.00314831.0E-50.0170511570.0313700140.031399071.00092643.0E-5
7.32.452256E-54.518223E-54.518223E-51.00.01.05092455E-41.9362383E-41.9362383E-41.00.00.00127874960.00235483520.00236481171.00423661.0E-50.01271416250.0234420360.0234713331.00124983.0E-5
7.41.8829967E-53.4604043E-53.4604043E-51.00.08.069736E-51.4829468E-41.4829468E-41.00.09.820475E-40.00180400230.00181398421.00553321.0E-50.0097771890.018020030.018049491.00163483.0E-5
7.51.26374125E-52.292219E-52.292219E-51.00.05.4159216E-59.823428E-59.823428E-51.00.06.5918895E-40.00119535210.001205341.00835571.0E-50.006572370.0119887040.0120084651.00164822.0E-5
7.64.666429E-68.479636E-68.479636E-61.00.01.9998828E-53.6340796E-53.6340796E-51.00.02.4345852E-44.423606E-44.5235615E-41.0225961.0E-50.00243191980.0044583770.00446833251.00223291.0E-5
7.73.8399318E-77.1343146E-77.1343146E-71.00.01.6456839E-63.0575598E-63.0575598E-61.00.02.003602E-53.7225156E-53.7225156E-51.00.02.0034213E-43.86166E-43.86166E-41.00.0
7.82.5637698E-75.3666145E-75.3666145E-71.00.01.098758E-62.2999754E-62.2999754E-61.00.01.3377297E-52.8001843E-52.8001843E-51.00.01.3376492E-42.9246495E-42.9246495E-41.00.0
7.91.7141245E-73.7293606E-73.7293606E-71.00.07.3462456E-71.5982963E-61.5982963E-61.00.08.944017E-61.9459085E-51.9459085E-51.00.08.943657E-52.0246378E-42.0246378E-41.00.0
8.01.1808895E-72.7512246E-72.7512246E-71.00.05.060954E-71.1790958E-61.1790958E-61.00.06.161694E-61.4355397E-51.4355397E-51.00.06.161523E-51.4817173E-41.4817173E-41.00.0
8.15.138535E-81.12307575E-71.12307575E-71.00.02.2022292E-74.8131807E-74.8131807E-71.00.02.6812106E-65.860032E-65.860032E-61.00.02.6811784E-56.0156468E-56.0156468E-51.00.0

Calaveras (No) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.8694856E-56.747457E-56.747457E-51.00.02.0867554E-42.891453E-42.891453E-41.00.00.00253766450.00351467730.0035346071.00567042.0E-50.025088810.0347710740.0348096831.00111044.0E-5
6.14.8694856E-56.747457E-56.747457E-51.00.02.0867554E-42.891453E-42.891453E-41.00.00.00253766450.00351467730.0035346071.00567042.0E-50.025088810.0347710740.0348096831.00111044.0E-5
6.24.7541962E-56.5805805E-56.5805805E-51.00.02.0373536E-42.8199502E-42.8199502E-41.00.00.00247765610.0034279190.00344785051.00581442.0E-50.0245021340.03393250.0339711421.00113884.0E-5
6.34.6717287E-56.463939E-56.463939E-51.00.02.0020158E-42.7699716E-42.7699716E-41.00.00.00243472960.00336726960.00338720231.00591962.0E-50.0240822640.0333450060.0333836751.00115954.0E-5
6.44.6276386E-56.400103E-56.400103E-51.00.01.983123E-42.7426204E-42.7426204E-41.00.00.00241177860.003334080.00335401341.00597872.0E-50.023857710.033023880.033062561.00117124.0E-5
6.54.5720994E-56.32025E-56.32025E-51.00.01.9593239E-42.7084045E-42.7084045E-41.00.00.0023828670.00329255850.00331249271.00605432.0E-50.0235747750.0326218420.0326605361.00118614.0E-5
6.64.549134E-56.285557E-56.285557E-51.00.01.949483E-42.693539E-42.693539E-41.00.00.00237091190.00327451460.0032944491.00608782.0E-50.0234577560.032447310.032486011.00119284.0E-5
6.73.701047E-55.03607E-55.03607E-51.00.01.5860666E-42.1581395E-42.1581395E-41.00.00.00192932580.0026244120.00263438581.00380041.0E-50.0191266130.0261251980.0261544161.00111833.0E-5
6.83.5523568E-54.834225E-54.834225E-51.00.01.5223498E-42.0716486E-42.0716486E-41.00.00.00185188510.00251935770.00252933241.00395931.0E-50.0183652840.0250976230.025126871.00116543.0E-5
6.93.2946147E-54.4663826E-54.4663826E-51.00.01.4119013E-41.9140259E-41.9140259E-41.00.00.00171763440.00232787830.0023378551.00428581.0E-50.0170441880.0232197620.0232392981.00084142.0E-5
7.02.7682381E-53.7023216E-53.7023216E-51.00.01.1863338E-41.5866144E-41.5866144E-41.00.00.00144340440.00193002170.00194000231.00517131.0E-50.014340650.0193111640.0193307771.00101572.0E-5
7.12.471967E-53.328756E-53.328756E-51.00.01.05937135E-41.4265333E-41.4265333E-41.00.00.00128902150.00173544970.00174543231.00575221.0E-50.01281570.0173862930.0174059461.00113032.0E-5
7.21.9748062E-52.6775411E-52.6775411E-51.00.08.463181E-51.1474685E-41.1474685E-41.00.00.00102990520.0013961710.0014061571.00715241.0E-50.010251450.0140310460.0140507661.00140542.0E-5
7.31.1603734E-51.5784257E-51.5784257E-51.00.04.9729337E-56.7645145E-56.7645145E-51.00.06.052865E-48.232826E-48.332744E-41.01213651.0E-50.00603640450.0083087390.0083285741.0023872.0E-5
7.44.885381E-66.035117E-66.035117E-61.00.02.0937177E-52.5864532E-52.5864532E-51.00.02.5488032E-43.1485534E-43.2485218E-41.03175061.0E-50.00254588180.00320097640.00321094441.00311411.0E-5
7.53.0571264E-64.1554085E-64.1554085E-61.00.01.3101904E-51.7808772E-51.7808772E-51.00.01.5950401E-42.1680034E-42.2679816E-41.04611541.0E-50.00159389570.00222090070.00223087851.00449261.0E-5
7.61.764948E-62.795641E-62.795641E-61.00.07.564041E-61.1981264E-51.1981264E-51.00.09.208831E-51.458622E-41.5586075E-41.06854781.0E-59.205016E-40.00151240460.00152238951.00660191.0E-5
7.71.3173734E-62.0585271E-62.0585271E-61.00.05.645874E-68.82223E-68.82223E-61.00.06.873634E-51.0740537E-41.174043E-41.09309521.0E-56.8715087E-40.00112616070.00113614941.00886981.0E-5
7.89.4429885E-71.5490102E-61.5490102E-61.00.04.0469886E-66.6385983E-66.6385983E-61.00.04.9270973E-58.082195E-59.0821144E-51.12371871.0E-54.926005E-48.501931E-48.6018455E-41.0117521.0E-5
7.96.388233E-71.11492E-61.11492E-61.00.02.7378112E-64.7782196E-64.7782196E-61.00.03.3332344E-55.8173282E-55.8173282E-51.00.03.3327343E-46.096674E-46.096674E-41.00.0
8.03.087986E-75.754721E-75.754721E-71.00.01.323422E-62.4663066E-62.4663066E-61.00.01.6112543E-53.0026871E-53.0026871E-51.00.01.6111376E-43.110238E-43.110238E-41.00.0
8.11.6725647E-72.7410795E-72.7410795E-71.00.07.168133E-71.1747478E-61.1747478E-61.00.08.7271665E-61.4302462E-51.4302462E-51.00.08.726824E-51.4847395E-41.4847395E-41.00.0

San Jacinto (Superstition Mtn)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.4193904E-59.599558E-59.599558E-51.00.02.7508775E-44.1135435E-44.2135024E-41.02431.0E-50.00334405010.00499816940.0050280191.00597213.0E-50.032941740.0488200450.048858091.00077944.0E-5
6.16.4193904E-59.599558E-59.599558E-51.00.02.7508775E-44.1135435E-44.2135024E-41.02431.0E-50.00334405010.00499816940.0050280191.00597213.0E-50.032941740.0488200450.048858091.00077944.0E-5
6.25.7023593E-58.3144616E-58.3144616E-51.00.02.4436394E-43.5629462E-43.6629106E-41.02805661.0E-50.0029710720.00433090470.0043607751.0068973.0E-50.0293166250.0425024480.042540751.00090114.0E-5
6.35.6940098E-58.298998E-58.298998E-51.00.02.4400617E-43.5563204E-43.656285E-41.0281091.0E-50.0029667280.004322870.00435274051.00690983.0E-50.0292743310.042425820.0424641221.00090284.0E-5
6.45.4171585E-57.748391E-57.748391E-51.00.02.3214328E-43.3204095E-43.4203762E-41.03010681.0E-50.00282268130.00403675340.0040666321.00740173.0E-50.027870960.0397150260.0397534371.00096714.0E-5
6.54.375144E-55.6421442E-55.6421442E-51.00.01.874927E-42.417904E-42.5178798E-41.04134811.0E-50.00228033380.0029410.00297091181.01017063.0E-50.0225707570.0292355920.0292647151.00099613.0E-5
6.62.772192E-52.5488029E-52.5488029E-51.00.01.1880282E-41.0922994E-41.1922885E-41.091541.0E-50.00144546460.00132908260.0013490561.0150282.0E-50.0143609860.0135408910.013560621.0014572.0E-5
6.72.7124124E-52.4699055E-52.4699055E-51.00.01.1624106E-41.0584891E-41.1584785E-41.09446431.0E-50.00141431610.00128796780.0013079421.01550832.0E-50.0140534870.0131342480.0131539851.00150282.0E-5
6.82.5475807E-52.2164071E-52.2164071E-51.00.01.0917746E-49.498548E-51.0498453E-41.10526921.0E-50.0013284250.00115584680.00117582361.01728332.0E-50.01320511850.0118218180.0118415811.00167182.0E-5
6.92.1162023E-51.762564E-51.762564E-51.00.09.069123E-57.553629E-58.553554E-51.13237671.0E-50.00110360649.1927015E-49.3925174E-41.02173642.0E-50.0109814170.0094467620.0094665731.00209712.0E-5
7.01.8754288E-51.616099E-51.616099E-51.00.08.037304E-56.9259564E-57.925887E-51.14437441.0E-59.781026E-48.429114E-48.628945E-41.02370732.0E-50.0097380870.0086699950.0086898211.00228682.0E-5
7.11.8678527E-51.6086136E-51.6086136E-51.00.08.0048376E-56.8938774E-57.893809E-51.14504621.0E-59.7415317E-48.3900883E-48.5899205E-41.02381772.0E-50.0096989390.0086310110.00865083751.00229732.0E-5
7.21.7804578E-51.5380709E-51.5380709E-51.00.07.6303106E-56.591567E-57.591501E-51.1516991.0E-59.285943E-48.022301E-48.2221406E-41.02491042.0E-50.0092472360.0082624240.0082822581.00240062.0E-5
7.31.6583685E-51.4529837E-51.4529837E-51.00.07.1070994E-56.226926E-57.226864E-51.16058291.0E-58.649459E-47.5786654E-47.778514E-41.02636992.0E-50.008615870.0078176460.0078374891.00253832.0E-5
7.41.6387552E-51.4394727E-51.4394727E-51.00.07.023047E-56.169024E-57.1689625E-51.16209021.0E-58.5472054E-47.508219E-47.7080686E-41.02661752.0E-50.0085144050.00774701870.0077668641.00256172.0E-5
7.51.5790754E-51.40354305E-51.40354305E-51.00.06.767291E-56.015047E-57.0149865E-51.16623971.0E-58.236062E-47.320879E-47.5207325E-41.02729922.0E-50.0082056040.0075575810.007577431.00262632.0E-5
7.61.4248672E-51.3054444E-51.3054444E-51.00.06.106431E-55.5946428E-56.594587E-51.17873241.0E-57.432043E-46.809366E-47.00923E-41.02935142.0E-50.0074072370.0070401750.0070600341.00282082.0E-5
7.71.15449975E-51.0903222E-51.0903222E-51.00.04.947762E-54.672726E-55.6726793E-51.21399781.0E-56.022235E-45.6875666E-45.887453E-41.03514442.0E-50.0060059410.00591025640.00593013831.0033642.0E-5
7.89.1391985E-69.5139185E-69.5139185E-61.00.03.9167408E-54.0773306E-55.07729E-51.24524861.0E-54.767588E-44.963025E-45.162926E-41.0402782.0E-50.00475737270.0051768090.00519670551.00384342.0E-5
7.96.973017E-67.3817937E-67.3817937E-61.00.02.9884017E-53.163588E-54.163556E-51.31608681.0E-53.6377716E-43.8509927E-44.050916E-41.05191472.0E-50.00363182250.0040519760.0040718951.00491582.0E-5
8.05.7638235E-66.259641E-66.259641E-61.00.02.4701867E-52.682676E-52.682676E-51.00.03.0070372E-43.2656736E-43.365641E-41.03061151.0E-50.00300297140.00345354130.00346350671.00288561.0E-5
8.15.1124434E-65.4953657E-65.4953657E-61.00.02.1910288E-52.3551356E-52.3551356E-51.00.02.6672508E-42.8670052E-42.9669766E-41.03486961.0E-50.00266405170.00304038960.00305035921.00327911.0E-5
8.21.1075938E-65.3348367E-75.3348367E-71.00.04.7468216E-62.2863567E-62.2863567E-61.00.05.779102E-52.7836059E-52.7836059E-51.00.05.777599E-43.133962E-43.133962E-41.00.0
8.31.3584393E-84.4718784E-94.4718784E-91.00.05.8218827E-81.9165192E-81.9165192E-81.00.07.0881396E-72.3333622E-72.3333622E-71.00.07.0881174E-62.6140672E-62.6140672E-61.00.0

San Gabriel

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.083775E-51.198525E-52.198513E-51.83434891.0E-54.6446676E-55.1364408E-58.1362865E-51.5840323.0E-55.653415E-46.251936E-46.5517484E-41.04795523.0E-50.00563905430.00624633250.0062761451.00477283.0E-5
6.11.083775E-51.198525E-52.198513E-51.83434891.0E-54.6446676E-55.1364408E-58.1362865E-51.5840323.0E-55.653415E-46.251936E-46.5517484E-41.04795523.0E-50.00563905430.00624633250.0062761451.00477283.0E-5
6.21.083775E-51.198525E-52.198513E-51.83434891.0E-54.6446676E-55.1364408E-58.1362865E-51.5840323.0E-55.653415E-46.251936E-46.5517484E-41.04795523.0E-50.00563905430.00624633250.0062761451.00477283.0E-5
6.31.083775E-51.198525E-52.198513E-51.83434891.0E-54.6446676E-55.1364408E-58.1362865E-51.5840323.0E-55.653415E-46.251936E-46.5517484E-41.04795523.0E-50.00563905430.00624633250.0062761451.00477283.0E-5
6.41.083775E-51.198525E-52.198513E-51.83434891.0E-54.6446676E-55.1364408E-58.1362865E-51.5840323.0E-55.653415E-46.251936E-46.5517484E-41.04795523.0E-50.00563905430.00624633250.0062761451.00477283.0E-5
6.56.7317824E-67.717007E-61.771693E-52.2958291.0E-52.8850178E-53.3072472E-56.307148E-51.90706873.0E-53.511943E-44.0258403E-44.3257195E-41.07448863.0E-50.0035063980.0040295330.0040594121.0074153.0E-5
6.66.7317824E-67.717007E-61.771693E-52.2958291.0E-52.8850178E-53.3072472E-56.307148E-51.90706873.0E-53.511943E-44.0258403E-44.3257195E-41.07448863.0E-50.0035063980.0040295330.0040594121.0074153.0E-5
6.76.274881E-67.2459275E-61.7245855E-52.38007571.0E-52.6892068E-53.105361E-56.105268E-51.96604123.0E-53.2736175E-43.7801306E-44.0800174E-41.07933243.0E-50.00326879930.00378467960.00381456621.00789673.0E-5
6.85.996209E-66.958647E-61.6958578E-52.43705081.0E-52.5697784E-52.9822439E-55.9821545E-52.0059243.0E-53.128256E-43.6302864E-43.9301775E-41.08260813.0E-50.0031238560.00363533250.00366522351.00822233.0E-5
6.95.686331E-66.6236917E-61.6623626E-52.5097221.0E-52.4369761E-52.8386947E-55.8386096E-52.05679373.0E-52.9666146E-43.4555717E-43.755468E-41.08678633.0E-50.00296265730.00346117350.00349106971.00863753.0E-5
7.05.2329838E-66.1475757E-61.6147515E-52.62664751.0E-52.242688E-52.6346492E-55.63457E-52.13864163.0E-52.7301308E-43.207221E-43.5071245E-41.0935093.0E-50.0027267790.00321355490.00324345851.00930553.0E-5
7.15.135671E-66.0377E-61.603764E-52.65624981.0E-52.2009834E-52.5875606E-55.587483E-52.15936333.0E-52.6793676E-43.1499073E-43.4498126E-41.09521093.0E-50.00267613940.00315640540.00318631061.00947453.0E-5
7.24.989062E-65.8710784E-61.5871019E-52.70325451.0E-52.1381518E-52.5161527E-55.5160774E-52.19226653.0E-52.6028889E-43.0629928E-43.362901E-41.09791343.0E-50.00259984240.0030697340.00309964181.00974293.0E-5
7.34.8219395E-65.7026323E-61.5702575E-52.75356631.0E-52.0665291E-52.4439627E-54.4439137E-51.81832312.0E-52.5157086E-42.975126E-43.1750664E-41.0672042.0E-50.00251286270.0029821060.00300204641.00668672.0E-5
7.44.7118383E-65.5911896E-61.5591133E-52.78851821.0E-52.0193436E-52.3962024E-54.3961547E-51.83463412.0E-52.4582737E-42.9169934E-43.116935E-41.06854382.0E-50.0024555560.00292412660.0029440681.00681962.0E-5
7.54.5506545E-65.4365555E-61.54365E-52.839391.0E-51.9502659E-52.329932E-54.3298853E-51.85837412.0E-52.37419E-42.8363304E-43.0362737E-41.07049372.0E-50.0023716550.00284367150.00286361461.00701322.0E-5
7.64.343636E-65.2294336E-61.52293815E-52.9122431.0E-51.861545E-52.241167E-54.2411222E-51.89237232.0E-52.2661954E-42.7282868E-42.928232E-41.0732862.0E-50.00226388570.00273588930.00275583451.00729022.0E-5
7.72.936235E-62.743946E-62.743946E-61.00.01.2583803E-51.1759716E-51.1759716E-51.00.01.5319703E-41.4316518E-41.4316518E-41.00.00.00153091470.00143798490.00143798491.00.0
7.81.4541639E-69.122518E-79.122518E-71.00.06.232116E-63.9096444E-63.9096444E-61.00.07.587337E-54.7598885E-54.7598885E-51.00.07.584747E-44.8078224E-44.8078224E-41.00.0
7.98.098958E-72.4165956E-72.4165956E-71.00.03.4709774E-61.0356835E-61.0356835E-61.00.04.225833E-51.2609373E-51.2609373E-51.00.04.2250296E-41.2917137E-41.2917137E-41.00.0
8.05.2473234E-77.672734E-87.672734E-81.00.02.248851E-63.2883142E-73.2883142E-71.00.02.7379416E-54.003515E-64.003515E-61.00.02.7376044E-44.215796E-54.215796E-51.00.0
8.13.3162388E-74.1457096E-84.1457096E-81.00.01.4212444E-61.7767324E-71.7767324E-71.00.01.7303513E-52.1631695E-62.1631695E-61.00.01.7302166E-42.294416E-52.294416E-51.00.0
8.21.0235345E-71.4032201E-81.4032201E-81.00.04.3865757E-76.013801E-86.013801E-81.00.05.340643E-67.3217996E-77.3217996E-71.00.05.3405143E-57.921925E-67.921925E-61.00.0

Ortigalita (North)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.711876E-51.0505308E-41.0505308E-41.00.03.3046713E-44.501601E-44.601556E-41.02220431.0E-50.0040160160.00546805470.00548794541.00363762.0E-50.0394421030.0534556140.0534934741.00070834.0E-5
6.14.607858E-56.0239887E-56.0239887E-51.00.01.9746469E-42.5814763E-42.6814506E-41.03872751.0E-50.00240148180.00313873660.00315867391.0063522.0E-50.0237569530.0309753120.0310043821.00093853.0E-5
6.24.607858E-56.0239887E-56.0239887E-51.00.01.9746469E-42.5814763E-42.6814506E-41.03872751.0E-50.00240148180.00313873660.00315867391.0063522.0E-50.0237569530.0309753120.0310043821.00093853.0E-5
6.33.327423E-54.2476124E-54.2476124E-51.00.01.4259605E-41.8202956E-41.8202956E-41.00.00.00173472440.0022142060.00222418391.00450631.0E-50.0172124520.021945740.021955521.00044571.0E-5
6.42.7732503E-53.4999008E-53.4999008E-51.00.01.1884817E-41.499886E-41.499886E-41.00.00.0014460160.00182481580.00182481581.00.00.0143664280.0181212970.0181212971.00.0
6.52.7689714E-53.4948822E-53.4948822E-51.00.01.186648E-41.4977354E-41.4977354E-41.00.00.00144378640.00182220180.00182220181.00.00.0143444210.0180955850.0180955851.00.0
6.62.2976905E-52.871829E-52.871829E-51.00.09.846873E-51.23074E-41.23074E-41.00.00.00119819750.00149763480.00149763481.00.00.0119175740.0148987330.0148987331.00.0
6.71.9871539E-52.4904637E-52.4904637E-51.00.08.516096E-51.067312E-41.067312E-41.00.00.00103634150.00129891990.00129891991.00.00.0103152180.0129369380.0129369381.00.0
6.86.5640475E-67.6054926E-67.6054926E-61.00.02.813133E-53.2594577E-53.2594577E-51.00.03.424451E-43.9676955E-43.9676955E-41.00.00.00341917880.0039608990.0039608991.00.0
6.95.6219683E-66.5018376E-66.5018376E-61.00.02.4093928E-52.7864735E-52.7864735E-51.00.02.933041E-43.3920293E-43.3920293E-41.00.00.00292917270.0033871090.0033871091.00.0
7.03.875591E-64.4847548E-64.4847548E-61.00.01.6609569E-51.9220248E-51.9220248E-51.00.02.0220275E-42.339835E-42.339835E-41.00.00.00202018860.00233757980.00233757981.00.0
7.11.6017933E-61.8570418E-61.8570418E-61.00.06.8648105E-67.958732E-67.958732E-61.00.08.357586E-59.689432E-59.689432E-51.00.08.3544437E-49.686254E-49.686254E-41.00.0

San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7374346E-52.41444E-52.41444E-51.00.01.1731335E-41.034719E-41.1347087E-41.09663461.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00128900731.02379763.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.0129676781.0030544.0E-5
6.12.7374346E-52.41444E-52.41444E-51.00.01.1731335E-41.034719E-41.1347087E-41.09663461.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00128900731.02379763.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.0129676781.0030544.0E-5
6.22.7374346E-52.41444E-52.41444E-51.00.01.1731335E-41.034719E-41.1347087E-41.09663461.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00128900731.02379763.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.0129676781.0030544.0E-5
6.32.7374346E-52.41444E-52.41444E-51.00.01.1731335E-41.034719E-41.1347087E-41.09663461.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00128900731.02379763.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.0129676781.0030544.0E-5
6.42.7374346E-52.41444E-52.41444E-51.00.01.1731335E-41.034719E-41.1347087E-41.09663461.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00128900731.02379763.0E-50.014182210.0129281950.0129676781.0030544.0E-5
6.52.7282445E-52.4030476E-52.4030476E-51.00.01.16919524E-41.0298371E-41.1298268E-41.09709271.0E-50.00142256570.0012531080.00128307051.02391053.0E-50.0141349340.0128695220.0129090071.00306814.0E-5
6.62.7282445E-52.4030476E-52.4030476E-51.00.01.16919524E-41.0298371E-41.1298268E-41.09709271.0E-50.00142256570.0012531080.00128307051.02391053.0E-50.0141349340.0128695220.0129090071.00306814.0E-5
6.72.7216198E-52.3955597E-52.3955597E-51.00.01.1663563E-41.02662816E-41.1266179E-41.09739631.0E-50.00141911370.00124920580.00127916831.02398533.0E-50.0141008550.0128309340.0128704211.00307754.0E-5
6.82.7078617E-52.3872815E-52.3872815E-51.00.01.1604605E-41.0230807E-41.1230705E-41.0977341.0E-50.0014119450.00124489170.00127485431.02406853.0E-50.0140300750.01278808250.0128275711.00308794.0E-5
6.92.6982952E-52.3792329E-52.3792329E-51.00.01.15636096E-41.0196315E-41.1196214E-41.09806471.0E-50.00140696020.00124069710.00127065981.024153.0E-50.0139808560.0127463780.0127858691.00309814.0E-5
7.02.6449972E-52.3369357E-52.3369357E-51.00.01.1335209E-41.0015055E-41.1014955E-41.09983971.0E-50.0013791880.00121865350.0012486171.02458733.0E-50.01370659750.0125277330.0125672311.0031534.0E-5
7.12.6257849E-52.3195396E-52.3195396E-51.00.01.1252879E-49.940507E-51.0940407E-41.10058841.0E-50.00136917690.00120958730.00123955111.02477183.0E-50.0136077170.0124376610.0124771631.00317614.0E-5
7.22.5270041E-52.2390155E-52.2390155E-51.00.01.0829568E-49.5954296E-51.0595333E-41.10420631.0E-50.00131770240.00116761980.00119758481.02566333.0E-50.0130991620.01201879050.0120583091.00328814.0E-5
7.32.339701E-52.1122027E-52.1122027E-51.00.01.0026905E-49.051985E-51.0051894E-41.1104631.0E-50.0012200920.0011015240.00113149091.0272053.0E-50.0121341490.0113576420.0113971881.00348194.0E-5
7.42.296333E-52.0852396E-52.0852396E-51.00.09.841056E-58.936436E-59.936347E-51.11189141.0E-50.00119748990.00108747010.00111743751.0275573.0E-50.0119105750.0112167540.01125630551.00352614.0E-5
7.52.2188895E-52.037534E-52.037534E-51.00.09.50918E-58.731998E-59.7319105E-51.11451141.0E-50.00115712770.00106260420.00109257251.02820253.0E-50.0115112090.0109663690.0110059311.00360754.0E-5
7.62.0013189E-51.8961666E-51.8961666E-51.00.08.5767984E-58.126176E-59.126095E-51.12304911.0E-50.0010437259.889146E-40.00101888491.03030633.0E-50.0103883650.0102243710.0102639631.00387234.0E-5
7.71.7230794E-51.6743043E-51.6743043E-51.00.07.384417E-57.175393E-58.175321E-51.13935521.0E-58.986819E-48.732547E-49.0322853E-41.03432433.0E-50.0089505620.009062920.0091025581.00437364.0E-5
7.81.4478809E-51.499039E-51.499039E-51.00.06.205057E-56.424295E-57.424231E-51.15564911.0E-57.552038E-47.8187784E-48.118544E-41.03833913.0E-50.00752642420.0081413880.00818106251.00487324.0E-5
7.91.1114467E-51.1644517E-51.1644517E-51.00.04.7632562E-54.990412E-55.990362E-51.20037421.0E-55.797721E-46.074139E-46.3739566E-41.04935973.0E-50.00578261870.00638035450.00642009961.00622934.0E-5
8.09.327402E-69.8986575E-69.8986575E-61.00.03.9973966E-54.2422133E-54.2422133E-51.00.04.8657437E-45.163676E-45.363573E-41.03871212.0E-50.00485510330.005449940.00547977681.00547473.0E-5
8.17.0235833E-66.826985E-66.826985E-61.00.03.0100724E-52.9258183E-52.9258183E-51.00.03.664147E-43.5616063E-43.661571E-41.02806721.0E-50.0036581110.00378745720.00380738151.00526062.0E-5
8.22.0358202E-68.9912584E-78.9912584E-71.00.08.724915E-63.853391E-63.853391E-61.00.01.06220665E-44.6914047E-54.6914047E-51.00.00.0010616995.3239096E-45.3239096E-41.00.0
8.32.0051264E-76.61379E-86.61379E-81.00.08.5933965E-72.8344812E-72.8344812E-71.00.01.046241E-53.450976E-63.450976E-61.00.01.0461917E-44.0120205E-54.0120205E-51.00.0

Hunting Creek - Berryessa 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1270982E-42.0028367E-42.2027966E-41.09983842.0E-54.8295266E-48.579912E-48.779741E-41.02329032.0E-50.00586410750.0103861730.0104059651.00190572.0E-50.0571175780.098040480.098076561.0003684.0E-5
6.11.1239393E-41.9976508E-42.1976109E-41.10009752.0E-54.8159933E-48.557703E-48.757532E-41.02335072.0E-50.00584771950.0103594170.0103792091.00191062.0E-50.0569621320.097798950.0978350341.0003694.0E-5
6.27.596265E-51.2933646E-41.2933646E-41.00.03.2551357E-45.5415573E-45.5415573E-41.00.00.00395592770.00672135870.00672135871.00.00.0388624330.064592290.0646016451.00014481.0E-5
6.36.78794E-51.1448377E-41.1448377E-41.00.02.9087928E-44.9052597E-44.9052597E-41.00.00.0035357050.0059526610.0059526611.00.00.0347997660.0574662130.0574756381.0001641.0E-5
6.46.2165134E-51.0434825E-41.0434825E-41.00.02.6639478E-44.4711027E-44.4711027E-41.00.00.00323853320.00542741830.00542741831.00.00.031917420.052551380.0525608551.00018021.0E-5
6.55.4368087E-59.070258E-59.070258E-51.00.02.3298527E-43.886537E-43.886537E-41.00.00.00283290590.00471970160.00471970161.00.00.0279706330.0458811820.0458907221.00020791.0E-5
6.64.729947E-57.847101E-57.847101E-51.00.02.0269625E-43.3624718E-43.3624718E-41.00.00.0024650340.0040847460.0040847461.00.00.024378690.039852690.039862291.00024091.0E-5
6.73.6875328E-56.0443555E-56.0443555E-51.00.01.5802756E-42.5900968E-42.5900968E-41.00.00.00192228750.00314827240.00314827241.00.00.0190574420.030893710.03090341.00031361.0E-5
6.82.0292036E-52.8976721E-52.8976721E-51.00.08.6962966E-51.2417998E-41.2417998E-41.00.00.00105825990.00151083020.00151083021.00.00.0105323440.01497907750.01497907751.00.0
6.91.7871042E-52.4472653E-52.4472653E-51.00.07.658793E-51.04878585E-41.04878585E-41.00.09.320591E-40.00127614860.00127614861.00.00.0092815950.0126803950.0126803951.00.0
7.01.6415532E-52.1906566E-52.1906566E-51.00.07.035038E-59.388191E-59.388191E-51.00.08.561793E-40.00114241440.00114241441.00.00.0085288820.0113650170.0113650171.00.0
7.11.5409885E-52.0346588E-52.0346588E-51.00.06.6040695E-58.719676E-58.719676E-51.00.08.0374884E-40.00106110620.00106110621.00.00.008008480.0105609240.0105609241.00.0
7.21.4497423E-51.905519E-51.905519E-51.00.06.213033E-58.166256E-58.166256E-51.00.07.5617427E-49.937913E-49.937913E-41.00.00.00753606340.009894250.009894251.00.0
7.31.3615175E-51.7826347E-51.7826347E-51.00.05.8349444E-57.6396405E-57.6396405E-51.00.07.101729E-49.297323E-49.297323E-41.00.00.00707907650.0092591240.0092591241.00.0
7.41.2252825E-51.6026455E-51.6026455E-51.00.05.251105E-56.868302E-56.868302E-51.00.06.391345E-48.3589775E-48.3589775E-41.00.00.00637299430.0083281720.0083281721.00.0
7.51.0913301E-51.4241286E-51.4241286E-51.00.04.6770452E-56.103267E-56.103267E-51.00.05.6928146E-47.428222E-47.428222E-41.00.00.00567825320.00740398650.00740398651.00.0
7.68.623192E-61.12347825E-51.12347825E-51.00.03.6956015E-54.8148195E-54.8148195E-51.00.04.4984656E-45.8604917E-45.8604917E-41.00.00.004489370.0058455040.0058455041.00.0
7.72.0993634E-62.66264E-62.66264E-61.00.08.997241E-61.1411265E-51.1411265E-51.00.01.09535904E-41.3892337E-41.3892337E-41.00.00.00109481930.00138839940.00138839941.00.0
7.81.8428308E-72.1674624E-72.1674624E-71.00.07.897844E-79.289122E-79.289122E-71.00.09.615583E-61.130945E-51.130945E-51.00.09.615166E-51.1308173E-41.1308173E-41.00.0

Malibu Coast (Extension) alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.930738E-69.3292765E-69.3292765E-61.00.03.827403E-53.998201E-54.9981612E-51.25010251.0E-54.6588664E-44.86674E-45.166594E-41.0616133.0E-50.00464911150.0048562640.00489607031.00819684.0E-5
6.17.199952E-67.5302974E-67.5302974E-61.00.03.0856572E-53.2272306E-54.2271986E-51.30985321.0E-53.75614E-43.928451E-44.228333E-41.0763363.0E-50.00374979760.00392157260.0039614161.010164.0E-5
6.26.3721413E-66.666792E-66.666792E-61.00.02.7308892E-52.8571656E-53.8571372E-51.34998731.0E-53.3243504E-43.4780474E-43.677978E-41.05748362.0E-50.00331938150.00347264410.003502541.00860893.0E-5
6.36.016345E-66.295159E-66.295159E-61.00.02.578408E-52.6978976E-53.6978705E-51.3706491.0E-53.1387596E-43.2841985E-43.4841328E-41.06087772.0E-50.003134330.00327938120.00330928271.00911813.0E-5
6.45.8104883E-66.0795455E-66.0795455E-61.00.02.4901856E-52.6054937E-53.6054676E-51.38379441.0E-53.031379E-43.17173E-43.3716665E-41.0630372.0E-50.00302724730.00316723790.00319714291.0094423.0E-5
6.55.476925E-65.727514E-65.727514E-61.00.02.3472323E-52.454626E-53.4546014E-51.4073841.0E-52.8573806E-42.9881002E-43.1880403E-41.06691222.0E-50.00285370930.00298411450.00301402481.01002323.0E-5
6.65.222387E-65.4585807E-65.4585807E-61.00.02.2381464E-52.3393708E-53.3393473E-51.42745531.0E-52.7246025E-42.8478145E-43.0477578E-41.07020932.0E-50.00272126450.0028441960.00287411061.01051783.0E-5
6.75.0337076E-65.259104E-65.259104E-61.00.02.1572854E-52.2538823E-53.25386E-51.44366881.0E-52.6261783E-42.743759E-42.9437043E-41.07287262.0E-50.0026230770.00274040150.00277031931.01091733.0E-5
6.84.5675624E-64.7587173E-64.7587173E-61.00.01.9575122E-52.0394344E-53.039414E-51.4903221.0E-52.3830103E-42.4827302E-42.6826808E-41.08053652.0E-50.00238045650.00247997630.0025099021.01206683.0E-5
6.94.2802412E-64.4520216E-64.4520216E-61.00.01.8343762E-51.9079953E-52.9079762E-51.52410031.0E-52.2331243E-42.3227383E-42.5226918E-41.08608532.0E-50.00223088150.00232032730.00235025771.01289923.0E-5
7.03.9794063E-64.1301E-64.1301E-61.00.01.7054486E-51.770031E-52.7700133E-51.56495191.0E-52.0761859E-42.1548007E-42.3547576E-41.0927962.0E-50.00207424720.0021527250.00218266041.01390593.0E-5
7.13.7730424E-63.911218E-63.911218E-61.00.01.6170083E-51.6762255E-52.6762087E-51.59656851.0E-51.9685295E-42.0406146E-42.2405738E-41.09798972.0E-50.00196678680.00203875380.00206869261.01468493.0E-5
7.23.424985E-63.541338E-63.541338E-61.00.01.4678424E-51.5177075E-51.5177075E-51.00.01.7869516E-41.8476533E-41.9476349E-41.05411271.0E-50.00178551530.00184612920.00186609231.01081352.0E-5
7.32.6966375E-62.759654E-62.759654E-61.00.01.15569665E-51.1827035E-51.1827035E-51.00.01.4069698E-41.4398468E-41.5398324E-41.06944181.0E-50.00140607940.0014389180.00145888931.01387932.0E-5
7.42.215957E-62.249379E-62.249379E-61.00.09.496924E-69.64016E-69.64016E-61.00.01.1561892E-41.1736266E-41.2736149E-41.0851961.0E-50.00115558780.00117301060.00119298711.01703012.0E-5
7.51.2040218E-61.2219067E-61.2219067E-61.00.05.160083E-65.2367327E-65.2367327E-61.00.06.2822204E-56.3755375E-56.3755375E-51.00.06.280445E-46.3737266E-46.4736634E-41.01567941.0E-5
7.66.6157446E-76.6789755E-76.6789755E-71.00.02.835316E-62.8624152E-62.8624152E-61.00.03.4519428E-53.4849363E-53.4849363E-51.00.03.4514067E-43.484405E-43.58437E-41.02868931.0E-5
7.72.6012302E-72.4357584E-72.4357584E-71.00.01.1148124E-61.0438962E-61.0438962E-61.00.01.3572758E-51.2709373E-51.2709373E-51.00.01.3571928E-41.2708752E-41.2708752E-41.00.0
7.82.8323132E-82.0266642E-82.0266642E-81.00.01.2138484E-78.685703E-88.685703E-81.00.01.4778595E-61.0574839E-61.0574839E-61.00.01.4778497E-51.0574797E-51.0574797E-51.00.0

Honey Lake 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.155506E-57.954708E-51.19543896E-41.50280694.0E-52.6378073E-43.4087323E-43.808596E-41.11730564.0E-50.00320680140.00414267650.0041825111.00961554.0E-50.031609190.0407030550.0407414251.00094274.0E-5
6.16.155506E-57.954708E-51.09544686E-41.37710513.0E-52.6378073E-43.4087323E-43.70863E-41.08797923.0E-50.00320680140.00414267650.00417255241.00721173.0E-50.031609190.0407030550.0407318321.0007073.0E-5
6.24.1335024E-55.257652E-56.257599E-51.1901891.0E-51.7713808E-42.2530954E-42.3530729E-41.04437341.0E-50.00215452280.00273984440.0027498171.00363981.0E-50.0213375350.0270768090.0270865371.00035931.0E-5
6.34.1335024E-55.257652E-56.257599E-51.1901891.0E-51.7713808E-42.2530954E-42.3530729E-41.04437341.0E-50.00215452280.00273984440.0027498171.00363981.0E-50.0213375350.0270768090.0270865371.00035931.0E-5
6.43.2393702E-54.0887273E-55.0886865E-51.24456491.0E-51.3882275E-41.7522006E-41.852183E-41.05706111.0E-50.00168885660.00213132330.0021413021.0046821.0E-50.0167607930.0211198670.0211296551.00046351.0E-5
6.52.7205504E-53.4211767E-54.4211425E-51.29228711.0E-51.1658981E-41.4661417E-41.566127E-41.06819621.0E-50.00141855660.00178365960.00179364171.00559641.0E-50.0140953540.0177029630.0177127851.00055491.0E-5
6.62.069265E-52.5955416E-53.5955156E-51.38526611.0E-58.867977E-51.1123324E-41.2123213E-41.08989121.0E-50.00107914140.00135350740.00136349391.00737821.0E-50.0107391610.01346101050.0134708761.00073291.0E-5
6.71.8060919E-52.265683E-53.2656604E-51.4413581.0E-57.7401644E-59.7097545E-51.0709657E-41.10297921.0E-59.419576E-40.00118160250.00119159071.00845311.0E-50.0093797480.01176124250.0117711251.00084031.0E-5
6.81.4474663E-51.8181274E-52.8181092E-51.55000651.0E-56.203279E-57.791785E-58.791708E-51.12833031.0E-57.5498753E-49.4831345E-49.583039E-41.0105351.0E-50.0075242770.0094501950.0094601011.00104821.0E-5
6.98.564552E-61.0802311E-52.0802203E-51.92571781.0E-53.6704707E-54.6295176E-55.6294713E-51.21599521.0E-54.4678818E-45.635644E-45.735588E-41.01773421.0E-50.00445890940.00562785050.00563779431.00176691.0E-5

Hollywood

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.24487615E-51.2593229E-52.2593103E-51.79406751.0E-55.3350745E-55.3969892E-56.396935E-51.18527851.0E-56.4935174E-46.5689E-46.7687687E-41.03042652.0E-50.00647457550.00654997070.0065897091.00606694.0E-5
6.11.24487615E-51.2593229E-52.2593103E-51.79406751.0E-55.3350745E-55.3969892E-56.396935E-51.18527851.0E-56.4935174E-46.5689E-46.7687687E-41.03042652.0E-50.00647457550.00654997070.0065897091.00606694.0E-5
6.21.24487615E-51.2593229E-52.2593103E-51.79406751.0E-55.3350745E-55.3969892E-56.396935E-51.18527851.0E-56.4935174E-46.5689E-46.7687687E-41.03042652.0E-50.00647457550.00654997070.0065897091.00606694.0E-5
6.31.24487615E-51.2593229E-52.2593103E-51.79406751.0E-55.3350745E-55.3969892E-56.396935E-51.18527851.0E-56.4935174E-46.5689E-46.7687687E-41.03042652.0E-50.00647457550.00654997070.0065897091.00606694.0E-5
6.41.2431024E-51.25738425E-52.2573717E-51.79529181.0E-55.327473E-55.388681E-56.388627E-51.18556421.0E-56.4842677E-46.558791E-46.75866E-41.03047352.0E-50.00646537960.00653992130.00657965941.00607634.0E-5
6.51.1242222E-51.1317804E-52.131769E-51.88355361.0E-54.8180063E-54.8503985E-55.85035E-51.20615861.0E-55.864344E-45.903787E-46.003728E-41.01692831.0E-50.00584889250.005888390.0059182131.00506473.0E-5
6.61.1234066E-51.1308918E-52.1308804E-51.88424791.0E-54.8145106E-54.8465907E-55.846542E-51.20632061.0E-55.86009E-45.899153E-45.999094E-41.01694151.0E-50.0058446610.00588378030.0059136041.00506883.0E-5
6.71.12294E-51.1303661E-52.1303547E-51.88465921.0E-54.812511E-54.8443377E-55.8442893E-51.20641661.0E-55.857657E-45.896412E-45.996353E-41.01694941.0E-50.00584224050.0058810540.0059108771.00507123.0E-5
6.81.0252819E-51.0218449E-52.0218346E-51.97861221.0E-54.3939912E-54.3792625E-55.3792188E-51.2283391.0E-55.3483713E-45.330469E-45.4304156E-41.01875011.0E-50.0053355170.00531790960.00534774971.00561133.0E-5
6.99.252289E-69.110309E-69.110309E-61.00.03.9652066E-53.9043607E-53.9043607E-51.00.04.8265693E-44.752539E-44.752539E-41.00.00.00481610.0047425490.0047624541.00419712.0E-5
7.08.474604E-68.25826E-68.25826E-61.00.03.6319227E-53.5392073E-53.5392073E-51.00.04.4209688E-44.3081472E-44.3081472E-41.00.00.0044121840.00429994570.00431985971.00463132.0E-5
7.16.643643E-66.2683707E-66.2683707E-61.00.02.8472443E-52.686417E-52.686417E-51.00.03.4659685E-43.2702263E-43.2702263E-41.00.00.00346056770.00326545980.00327542731.00305241.0E-5
7.25.549002E-65.1087086E-65.1087086E-61.00.02.378122E-52.1894282E-52.1894282E-51.00.02.8949787E-42.665304E-42.665304E-41.00.00.00289121040.0026621240.00267209741.00374641.0E-5
7.34.3059727E-63.9598913E-63.9598913E-61.00.01.8454039E-51.6970853E-51.6970853E-51.00.02.2465475E-42.0660064E-42.0660064E-41.00.00.00224427790.00206409580.00207407521.00483481.0E-5
7.42.8550733E-62.7013002E-62.7013002E-61.00.01.2235971E-51.1576949E-51.1576949E-51.00.01.4896276E-41.4094029E-41.4094029E-41.00.00.00148862940.00140851410.00141850011.00708971.0E-5
7.51.9927045E-61.8976393E-61.8976393E-61.00.08.540134E-68.132714E-68.132714E-61.00.01.0397117E-49.901134E-59.901134E-51.00.00.00103922549.896759E-49.996659E-41.01009431.0E-5
7.61.345084E-61.2216018E-61.2216018E-61.00.05.764633E-65.2354258E-65.2354258E-61.00.07.018215E-56.373946E-56.373946E-51.00.07.0159987E-46.372138E-46.4720743E-41.01568331.0E-5
7.77.6835164E-76.2777013E-76.2777013E-71.00.03.2929315E-62.6904406E-62.6904406E-61.00.04.00907E-53.2755637E-53.2755637E-51.00.04.0083472E-43.2750957E-43.2750957E-41.00.0
7.83.6562128E-72.4534745E-72.4534745E-71.00.01.5669474E-61.0514887E-61.0514887E-61.00.01.9077417E-51.2801803E-51.2801803E-51.00.01.907578E-41.2801103E-41.2801103E-41.00.0
7.97.5024424E-85.381742E-85.381742E-81.00.03.215332E-72.3064608E-72.3064608E-71.00.03.91466E-62.8081138E-62.8081138E-61.00.03.9145907E-52.8080913E-52.8080913E-51.00.0

San Jacinto (Clark) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.482615E-52.1153059E-54.1152634E-51.94546972.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.1065105E-41.22060182.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.00112312711.01810992.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115252491.00344264.0E-5
6.14.482615E-52.1153059E-54.1152634E-51.94546972.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.1065105E-41.22060182.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.00112312711.01810992.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115252491.00344264.0E-5
6.24.482615E-52.1153059E-54.1152634E-51.94546972.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.1065105E-41.22060182.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.00112312711.01810992.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115252491.00344264.0E-5
6.34.482615E-52.1153059E-54.1152634E-51.94546972.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.1065105E-41.22060182.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.00112312711.01810992.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115252491.00344264.0E-5
6.44.482615E-52.1153059E-54.1152634E-51.94546972.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.1065105E-41.22060182.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.00112312711.01810992.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115252491.00344264.0E-5
6.53.7294863E-51.7354667E-53.735432E-52.1524082.0E-51.5982533E-47.437504E-59.437356E-51.26888742.0E-50.00194413669.051445E-49.2512637E-41.02207592.0E-50.019272160.0094859020.00952552351.00417674.0E-5
6.63.7294863E-51.7354667E-53.735432E-52.1524082.0E-51.5982533E-47.437504E-59.437356E-51.26888742.0E-50.00194413669.051445E-49.2512637E-41.02207592.0E-50.019272160.0094859020.00952552351.00417674.0E-5
6.73.6039248E-51.6602684E-53.6602352E-52.20460462.0E-51.5444479E-47.115244E-59.1151014E-51.28106672.0E-50.00187874348.659408E-48.859235E-41.02307632.0E-50.018629390.0090881890.00912782551.00436134.0E-5
6.83.5031844E-51.6231123E-53.62308E-52.23218062.0E-51.5012783E-46.956012E-58.955873E-51.28750112.0E-50.00182627398.4656954E-48.665526E-41.02360482.0E-50.018113380.0088887880.0089284321.00446014.0E-5
6.93.435112E-51.6061658E-53.6061338E-52.24518132.0E-51.4721078E-46.8833884E-58.883251E-51.29053462.0E-50.00179081788.377344E-48.5771765E-41.02385392.0E-50.0177645480.0087965120.008836161.00450734.0E-5
7.02.8959772E-51.43355255E-53.4335237E-52.39511562.0E-51.241074E-46.1436534E-58.1435304E-51.32551922.0E-50.00150996037.477359E-47.677209E-41.02672742.0E-50.0149974160.0078683310.0079080161.00504364.0E-5
7.12.6002877E-51.2827699E-53.2827444E-52.5591062.0E-51.11436144E-45.4974706E-57.497361E-51.36378372.0E-50.00135589076.6911365E-46.8910024E-41.02987032.0E-50.0134764750.00704834330.00708806141.00563514.0E-5
7.22.2544838E-51.1260331E-53.1260108E-52.77612662.0E-59.661716E-54.825768E-56.825671E-51.41442182.0E-50.0011756795.873803E-46.0736854E-41.03402952.0E-50.0116947850.006192560.00623231241.00641944.0E-5
7.31.75334E-51.0810585E-53.081037E-52.85001872.0E-57.514098E-54.6330264E-56.632934E-51.43166332.0E-59.144575E-45.6392635E-45.839151E-41.03544562.0E-50.0091070360.00593321960.0059729821.00670174.0E-5
7.41.5924552E-51.0610475E-53.0610263E-52.88490962.0E-56.82463E-54.547268E-56.547177E-51.43980462.0E-58.305819E-45.534906E-45.7347957E-41.03611432.0E-50.0082748440.00582058630.00586035341.00683214.0E-5
7.51.3428931E-59.851045E-62.9850848E-53.03022152.0E-55.7551293E-54.221809E-56.2217245E-51.47371052.0E-57.004617E-45.1388505E-45.338748E-41.03889922.0E-50.0069825790.0054062090.00544599261.00735894.0E-5
7.61.0688787E-58.614091E-62.8613918E-53.32175732.0E-54.5808283E-53.6917012E-55.6916273E-51.54173562.0E-55.5757316E-44.4937237E-44.6936338E-41.04448652.0E-50.0055617620.00474136140.00478117171.00839644.0E-5
7.78.81236E-67.4673385E-62.746719E-53.67831042.0E-53.776671E-53.200249E-55.2001848E-51.62493152.0E-54.597127E-43.8956082E-44.0955303E-41.05131982.0E-50.00458762840.00413441940.0041742541.00963494.0E-5
7.87.780431E-66.695928E-62.6695794E-53.986872.0E-53.3344273E-52.8696519E-54.8695943E-51.69692862.0E-54.0589093E-43.4932428E-43.693173E-41.05723332.0E-50.00405150370.00372262720.00376247821.01070514.0E-5
7.96.5437994E-65.7797783E-62.5779662E-54.46032052.0E-52.8044553E-52.4770245E-54.476975E-51.80740032.0E-53.4138895E-43.0153614E-43.2153013E-41.06630712.0E-50.00340864950.00323432940.00327421.01232734.0E-5
8.05.4488164E-64.812793E-62.4812696E-55.1555712.0E-52.3351862E-52.0626094E-54.062568E-51.96962562.0E-52.8427184E-42.510939E-42.7108888E-41.07963142.0E-50.00283908450.00271070380.00275059531.01471634.0E-5
8.12.8397242E-61.3665673E-61.1366554E-58.31759551.0E-51.217019E-55.856704E-61.5856645E-52.70743511.0E-51.4816198E-47.1303046E-58.1302336E-51.14023651.0E-50.00148063258.113543E-48.213462E-41.0123151.0E-5
8.22.030244E-66.3151083E-76.3151083E-71.00.08.701017E-62.7064723E-62.7064723E-61.00.01.05929736E-43.2950808E-53.2950808E-51.00.00.00105879253.9470522E-43.9470522E-41.00.0
8.31.0659804E-62.9230563E-72.9230563E-71.00.04.568479E-61.2527379E-61.2527379E-61.00.05.5619817E-51.5251981E-51.5251981E-51.00.05.5605895E-41.8556409E-41.8556409E-41.00.0

Cleghorn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.9267165E-69.831764E-69.831764E-61.00.03.39712E-54.2135514E-54.2135514E-51.00.04.1352084E-45.1288976E-45.228846E-41.01948741.0E-50.0041275220.0051322140.0051720091.00775384.0E-5
6.17.9267165E-69.831764E-69.831764E-61.00.03.39712E-54.2135514E-54.2135514E-51.00.04.1352084E-45.1288976E-45.228846E-41.01948741.0E-50.0041275220.0051322140.0051720091.00775384.0E-5
6.27.9267165E-69.831764E-69.831764E-61.00.03.39712E-54.2135514E-54.2135514E-51.00.04.1352084E-45.1288976E-45.228846E-41.01948741.0E-50.0041275220.0051322140.0051720091.00775384.0E-5
6.37.9267165E-69.831764E-69.831764E-61.00.03.39712E-54.2135514E-54.2135514E-51.00.04.1352084E-45.1288976E-45.228846E-41.01948741.0E-50.0041275220.0051322140.0051720091.00775384.0E-5
6.44.3445207E-66.0916254E-66.0916254E-61.00.01.8619241E-52.6106709E-52.6106709E-51.00.02.2666567E-43.1780385E-43.1780385E-41.00.00.00226434620.00318772460.00319769281.0031271.0E-5
6.54.3445207E-66.0916254E-66.0916254E-61.00.01.8619241E-52.6106709E-52.6106709E-51.00.02.2666567E-43.1780385E-43.1780385E-41.00.00.00226434620.00318772460.00319769281.0031271.0E-5
6.64.040109E-65.774033E-65.774033E-61.00.01.7314638E-52.4745626E-52.4745626E-51.00.02.1078532E-43.0123728E-43.0123728E-41.00.00.0021058550.00302251430.0030324841.00329851.0E-5
6.73.3632055E-65.06753E-65.06753E-61.00.01.4413658E-52.1717806E-52.1717806E-51.00.01.7547216E-42.643825E-42.643825E-41.00.00.00175333660.00265484860.0026648221.00375661.0E-5
6.83.2902772E-64.9894375E-64.9894375E-61.00.01.4101111E-52.138313E-52.138313E-51.00.01.716675E-42.6030882E-42.6030882E-41.00.00.00171534950.00261420760.00262418131.00381531.0E-5
6.93.031547E-64.6911987E-64.6911987E-61.00.01.299228E-52.0104984E-52.0104984E-51.00.01.5816953E-42.4475096E-42.4475096E-41.00.00.001580570.00245898050.0024689561.00405671.0E-5
7.02.8259715E-64.3707637E-64.3707637E-61.00.01.211125E-51.8731711E-51.8731711E-51.00.01.4744449E-42.2803496E-42.2803496E-41.00.00.0014734670.00229217480.00230215191.00435271.0E-5
7.12.5962665E-64.065983E-64.065983E-61.00.01.1126809E-51.7425526E-51.7425526E-51.00.01.3546048E-42.1213535E-42.1213535E-41.00.00.00135377930.00213349590.00214347451.00467721.0E-5
7.22.3247253E-63.6765352E-63.6765352E-61.00.09.96307E-61.5756486E-51.5756486E-51.00.01.21293626E-41.9181852E-41.9181852E-41.00.00.00121227440.00193071660.00194069721.00516941.0E-5
7.32.056928E-63.235253E-63.235253E-61.00.08.815376E-61.3865297E-51.3865297E-51.00.01.0732192E-41.6879707E-41.6879707E-41.00.00.0010727010.00170094230.00171092531.00586921.0E-5
7.41.8055999E-62.8256538E-62.8256538E-61.00.07.738263E-61.210989E-51.210989E-51.00.09.4209274E-51.4742807E-41.4742807E-41.00.09.4169343E-40.00148767050.00149765551.0067121.0E-5
7.51.4683443E-62.4248943E-62.4248943E-61.00.06.292889E-61.0392363E-51.0392363E-51.00.07.661323E-51.2651978E-41.2651978E-41.00.07.658682E-40.00127888120.00128886851.00780931.0E-5
7.69.804088E-71.9004091E-61.9004091E-61.00.04.201745E-68.144585E-68.144585E-61.00.05.1155046E-59.915586E-59.915586E-51.00.05.114327E-40.00100555830.00101554821.00993481.0E-5
7.77.3434086E-71.6285549E-61.6285549E-61.00.03.1471714E-66.9795024E-66.9795024E-61.00.03.831614E-58.4972155E-58.4972155E-51.00.03.8309532E-48.6387293E-48.738643E-41.01156581.0E-5
7.86.434184E-71.5221389E-61.5221389E-61.00.02.7575045E-66.523436E-66.523436E-61.00.03.35721E-57.9419966E-57.9419966E-51.00.03.3567028E-48.080443E-48.180362E-41.01236561.0E-5
7.93.4943926E-77.5750586E-77.5750586E-71.00.01.497596E-63.2464498E-63.2464498E-61.00.01.8233079E-53.9524817E-53.9524817E-51.00.01.8231584E-44.0401975E-44.0401975E-41.00.0
8.06.717524E-85.837515E-85.837515E-81.00.02.8789387E-72.501792E-72.501792E-71.00.03.505102E-63.0459275E-63.0459275E-61.00.03.5050467E-53.2751934E-53.2751934E-51.00.0
8.13.1984914E-81.2949885E-81.2949885E-81.00.01.370782E-75.549951E-85.549951E-81.00.01.6689258E-66.757063E-76.757063E-71.00.01.6689133E-57.741151E-67.741151E-61.00.0
8.21.21887656E-83.6471115E-93.6471115E-91.00.05.2237567E-81.563048E-81.563048E-81.00.06.359922E-71.9030107E-71.9030107E-71.00.06.3599036E-62.245849E-62.245849E-61.00.0

Santa Susana alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.674877E-52.7198214E-54.719767E-51.73532252.0E-51.1463255E-41.16559204E-41.4655571E-41.257353.0E-50.00139475780.00141829810.00144825561.02112213.0E-50.0138603620.0141043880.0141438241.0027964.0E-5
6.12.674877E-52.7198214E-54.719767E-51.73532252.0E-51.1463255E-41.16559204E-41.4655571E-41.257353.0E-50.00139475780.00141829810.00144825561.02112213.0E-50.0138603620.0141043880.0141438241.0027964.0E-5
6.22.674877E-52.7198214E-54.719767E-51.73532252.0E-51.1463255E-41.16559204E-41.4655571E-41.257353.0E-50.00139475780.00141829810.00144825561.02112213.0E-50.0138603620.0141043880.0141438241.0027964.0E-5
6.32.674877E-52.7198214E-54.719767E-51.73532252.0E-51.1463255E-41.16559204E-41.4655571E-41.257353.0E-50.00139475780.00141829810.00144825561.02112213.0E-50.0138603620.0141043880.0141438241.0027964.0E-5
6.42.674877E-52.7198214E-54.719767E-51.73532252.0E-51.1463255E-41.16559204E-41.4655571E-41.257353.0E-50.00139475780.00141829810.00144825561.02112213.0E-50.0138603620.0141043880.0141438241.0027964.0E-5
6.52.674877E-52.7198214E-54.719767E-51.73532252.0E-51.1463255E-41.16559204E-41.4655571E-41.257353.0E-50.00139475780.00141829810.00144825561.02112213.0E-50.0138603620.0141043880.0141438241.0027964.0E-5
6.62.6647976E-52.7074553E-54.7074012E-51.73868112.0E-51.14200615E-41.16029274E-41.4602579E-41.25852553.0E-50.00138950560.00141185460.00144181231.02121873.0E-50.0138084940.0140407730.01408021151.00280884.0E-5
6.72.6647976E-52.7074553E-54.7074012E-51.73868112.0E-51.14200615E-41.16029274E-41.4602579E-41.25852553.0E-50.00138950560.00141185460.00144181231.02121873.0E-50.0138084940.0140407730.01408021151.00280884.0E-5
6.81.9073179E-51.7637467E-53.7637114E-52.13392972.0E-58.1739636E-57.558706E-51.0558479E-41.39686333.0E-59.947256E-49.19902E-49.498744E-41.03258223.0E-50.0099028480.0091633610.0092029941.00432524.0E-5
6.91.9041876E-51.7619597E-53.7619247E-52.13507962.0E-58.160549E-57.551048E-51.0550822E-41.39726583.0E-59.930939E-49.189705E-49.489429E-41.03261523.0E-50.00988667550.0091541230.0091937571.00432964.0E-5
7.01.5917482E-51.3864049E-52.386391E-51.721281.0E-56.8215995E-55.9416023E-57.941484E-51.33658962.0E-58.302132E-47.2315463E-47.431402E-41.02763662.0E-50.0082711850.00720906720.0072388511.00413143.0E-5
7.11.577788E-51.3744056E-52.3743918E-51.72757731.0E-56.761774E-55.890179E-57.8900615E-51.33952822.0E-58.2293496E-47.16898E-47.3688367E-41.02787792.0E-50.0081989410.00714690420.007176691.00416773.0E-5
7.21.5416446E-51.34701295E-52.3469995E-51.74237331.0E-56.606882E-55.7727877E-57.772672E-51.3464332.0E-58.0409093E-47.026149E-47.2260085E-41.02844512.0E-50.0080118770.00700497630.00703476651.00425273.0E-5
7.31.4534083E-51.2718032E-52.2717904E-51.78627511.0E-56.228744E-55.4504737E-57.4503645E-51.36692062.0E-57.580857E-46.633976E-46.833843E-41.03012792.0E-50.0075550480.00661517170.0066449731.0045053.0E-5
7.41.2858995E-51.1229814E-51.1229814E-51.00.05.5108816E-54.812691E-55.812643E-51.20777391.0E-56.7074323E-45.8579154E-45.957857E-41.01706091.0E-50.00668722340.00584339020.00586327351.00340272.0E-5
7.58.827668E-67.805494E-67.805494E-61.00.03.7832317E-53.3451703E-54.3451368E-51.29892851.0E-54.605111E-44.072008E-44.1719674E-41.02454791.0E-50.00459557960.00406489850.0040748581.00245011.0E-5
7.63.2533426E-62.8720106E-62.8720106E-61.00.01.3942822E-51.230856E-52.2308437E-51.81243281.0E-51.6974064E-41.4984679E-41.598453E-41.06672481.0E-50.00169611040.00149749430.00150747931.00666791.0E-5
7.71.2751709E-61.1491339E-61.1491339E-61.00.05.4650063E-64.9248506E-61.4924802E-53.03050831.0E-56.653442E-55.99585E-56.99579E-51.1667721.0E-56.6514505E-45.9943215E-46.094261E-41.01667251.0E-5
7.83.067544E-73.240052E-73.240052E-71.00.01.3146611E-61.3885931E-61.3885931E-61.00.01.600588E-51.6906E-51.6906E-51.00.01.6004729E-41.6904817E-41.6904817E-41.00.0
7.97.622999E-88.0879715E-88.0879715E-81.00.03.2669993E-73.4662733E-73.4662733E-71.00.03.977564E-64.220182E-64.220182E-61.00.03.977493E-54.2201224E-54.2201224E-51.00.0

Channel Islands Western Deep Ramp

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.0213506E-66.2548684E-61.6254806E-52.59874461.0E-52.5805533E-52.6806329E-53.680606E-51.37303631.0E-53.1413708E-43.2632265E-43.5631284E-41.09190363.0E-50.00313693380.00325887630.0032987461.01223424.0E-5
6.16.0213506E-66.2548684E-61.6254806E-52.59874461.0E-52.5805533E-52.6806329E-53.680606E-51.37303631.0E-53.1413708E-43.2632265E-43.5631284E-41.09190363.0E-50.00313693380.00325887630.0032987461.01223424.0E-5
6.26.0213506E-66.2548684E-61.6254806E-52.59874461.0E-52.5805533E-52.6806329E-53.680606E-51.37303631.0E-53.1413708E-43.2632265E-43.5631284E-41.09190363.0E-50.00313693380.00325887630.0032987461.01223424.0E-5
6.36.0213506E-66.2548684E-61.6254806E-52.59874461.0E-52.5805533E-52.6806329E-53.680606E-51.37303631.0E-53.1413708E-43.2632265E-43.5631284E-41.09190363.0E-50.00313693380.00325887630.0032987461.01223424.0E-5
6.46.0213506E-66.2548684E-61.6254806E-52.59874461.0E-52.5805533E-52.6806329E-53.680606E-51.37303631.0E-53.1413708E-43.2632265E-43.5631284E-41.09190363.0E-50.00313693380.00325887630.0032987461.01223424.0E-5
6.56.0213506E-66.2548684E-61.6254806E-52.59874461.0E-52.5805533E-52.6806329E-53.680606E-51.37303631.0E-53.1413708E-43.2632265E-43.5631284E-41.09190363.0E-50.00313693380.00325887630.0032987461.01223424.0E-5
6.66.0213506E-66.2548684E-61.6254806E-52.59874461.0E-52.5805533E-52.6806329E-53.680606E-51.37303631.0E-53.1413708E-43.2632265E-43.5631284E-41.09190363.0E-50.00313693380.00325887630.0032987461.01223424.0E-5
6.75.313309E-65.5252403E-61.5525186E-52.8098661.0E-52.2771126E-52.367941E-53.3679175E-51.42229781.0E-52.772032E-42.8826276E-43.182541E-41.10404173.0E-50.00276857660.00287929180.00291917661.01385244.0E-5
6.85.313309E-65.5252403E-61.5525186E-52.8098661.0E-52.2771126E-52.367941E-53.3679175E-51.42229781.0E-52.772032E-42.8826276E-43.182541E-41.10404173.0E-50.00276857660.00287929180.00291917661.01385244.0E-5
6.94.744377E-64.9394303E-61.4939381E-53.0245151.0E-52.0332885E-52.1168837E-53.1168624E-51.47238251.0E-52.4752476E-42.5770385E-42.876961E-41.11638273.0E-50.00247249220.00257441750.00261431441.01549744.0E-5
7.04.722209E-64.9164732E-61.4916424E-53.03396841.0E-52.0237881E-52.107045E-53.1070238E-51.47458831.0E-52.4636835E-42.5650626E-42.8649857E-41.11692623.0E-50.0024609540.00256246930.00260236671.01556994.0E-5
7.14.611174