Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions
Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)
Table Of Contents
Garlock (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.02476E-5 | 0.066345595 | 944.4535 | 0.06628 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.0102677E-4 | 0.08205641 | 272.5884 | 0.08178 | 0.0028726095 | 0.003658906 | 0.113933936 | 31.1388 | 0.11068 | 0.028357591 | 0.036136657 | 0.1684269 | 4.6608324 | 0.13725 |
6.1 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.02476E-5 | 0.066345595 | 944.4535 | 0.06628 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.0102677E-4 | 0.08205641 | 272.5884 | 0.08178 | 0.0028726095 | 0.003658906 | 0.113933936 | 31.1388 | 0.11068 | 0.028357591 | 0.036136657 | 0.1684269 | 4.6608324 | 0.13725 |
6.2 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.1661802E-5 | 0.040299583 | 780.06537 | 0.04025 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.213891E-4 | 0.049640447 | 224.22263 | 0.04943 | 0.0021976046 | 0.002692112 | 0.07018991 | 26.072433 | 0.06768 | 0.021759989 | 0.026701318 | 0.10944144 | 4.098728 | 0.08501 |
6.3 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.1661802E-5 | 0.040299583 | 780.06537 | 0.04025 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.213891E-4 | 0.049640447 | 224.22263 | 0.04943 | 0.0021976046 | 0.002692112 | 0.07018991 | 26.072433 | 0.06768 | 0.021759989 | 0.026701318 | 0.10944144 | 4.098728 | 0.08501 |
6.4 | 3.6858168E-5 | 4.411026E-5 | 0.03131273 | 709.8741 | 0.03127 | 1.5795401E-4 | 1.8903041E-4 | 0.03879173 | 205.21423 | 0.03861 | 0.0019213937 | 0.0022990413 | 0.055157237 | 23.991407 | 0.05298 | 0.019048655 | 0.022866098 | 0.08835361 | 3.8639565 | 0.06702 |
6.5 | 3.39199E-5 | 4.0018425E-5 | 0.02825889 | 706.147 | 0.02822 | 1.453629E-4 | 1.7149639E-4 | 0.03496553 | 203.88493 | 0.0348 | 0.0017683565 | 0.0020859907 | 0.049856134 | 23.900457 | 0.04787 | 0.017543508 | 0.020758783 | 0.08007143 | 3.857231 | 0.06057 |
6.6 | 3.3571985E-5 | 3.947258E-5 | 0.02823836 | 715.3918 | 0.0282 | 1.4387199E-4 | 1.6915736E-4 | 0.034933276 | 206.51349 | 0.03477 | 0.0017502342 | 0.0020575672 | 0.049779173 | 24.19322 | 0.04782 | 0.017365133 | 0.020480042 | 0.0797312 | 3.8931172 | 0.06049 |
6.7 | 3.2580007E-5 | 3.808902E-5 | 0.027077058 | 710.88885 | 0.02704 | 1.3962112E-4 | 1.6322857E-4 | 0.033557776 | 205.58765 | 0.0334 | 0.0016985617 | 0.0019855178 | 0.047774423 | 24.061441 | 0.04588 | 0.016856372 | 0.019770874 | 0.07663397 | 3.876104 | 0.05801 |
6.8 | 3.2185937E-5 | 3.7516216E-5 | 0.026506523 | 706.5351 | 0.02647 | 1.3793244E-4 | 1.60774E-4 | 0.03288551 | 204.54497 | 0.03273 | 0.0016780337 | 0.0019556875 | 0.04684772 | 23.954605 | 0.04498 | 0.016654192 | 0.019477878 | 0.0752892 | 3.8653696 | 0.05692 |
6.9 | 3.165394E-5 | 3.672075E-5 | 0.025885772 | 704.9358 | 0.02585 | 1.3565269E-4 | 1.5736527E-4 | 0.032052346 | 203.68118 | 0.0319 | 0.0016503202 | 0.00191426 | 0.045670338 | 23.857962 | 0.04384 | 0.01638118 | 0.019071518 | 0.07349343 | 3.85357 | 0.05548 |
7.0 | 3.0903822E-5 | 3.562591E-5 | 0.025234729 | 708.32513 | 0.0252 | 1.3243823E-4 | 1.5267366E-4 | 0.031227928 | 204.54039 | 0.03108 | 0.0016112428 | 0.0018572382 | 0.04444799 | 23.932304 | 0.04267 | 0.015996104 | 0.018513493 | 0.07148432 | 3.8612013 | 0.05397 |
7.1 | 3.0069863E-5 | 3.4392175E-5 | 0.024103565 | 700.8444 | 0.02407 | 1.2886449E-4 | 1.4738683E-4 | 0.029743025 | 201.80246 | 0.0296 | 0.0015677959 | 0.0017929787 | 0.04248988 | 23.697927 | 0.04077 | 0.01556781 | 0.01788099 | 0.0684994 | 3.8308508 | 0.05154 |
7.2 | 2.7957109E-5 | 3.128141E-5 | 0.019850662 | 634.58325 | 0.01982 | 1.1981068E-4 | 1.3405642E-4 | 0.024600776 | 183.5106 | 0.02447 | 0.0014577188 | 0.0016309345 | 0.035535548 | 21.788458 | 0.03396 | 0.014481937 | 0.016284352 | 0.058652986 | 3.6018004 | 0.04307 |
7.3 | 2.4519275E-5 | 2.6714602E-5 | 0.01405634 | 526.16693 | 0.01403 | 1.0507837E-4 | 1.1448621E-4 | 0.017322516 | 151.30656 | 0.01721 | 0.0012785783 | 0.001392993 | 0.025449436 | 18.269608 | 0.02409 | 0.012712469 | 0.01392861 | 0.04404323 | 3.1620693 | 0.03054 |
7.4 | 2.3225532E-5 | 2.5199166E-5 | 0.012694879 | 503.78174 | 0.01267 | 9.95342E-5 | 1.0799204E-4 | 0.015666312 | 145.06914 | 0.01556 | 0.0012111551 | 0.0013140244 | 0.023075392 | 17.560854 | 0.02179 | 0.012045753 | 0.013146196 | 0.040373493 | 3.071116 | 0.02759 |
7.5 | 2.097765E-5 | 2.2483406E-5 | 0.009972259 | 443.53864 | 0.00995 | 8.9901114E-5 | 9.6353964E-5 | 0.012235184 | 126.981636 | 0.01214 | 0.0010939965 | 0.00117249 | 0.018202499 | 15.524652 | 0.01705 | 0.010886264 | 0.0117406575 | 0.033116706 | 2.8206859 | 0.02163 |
7.6 | 1.511254E-5 | 1.5990969E-5 | 0.0053559057 | 334.93317 | 0.00534 | 6.476642E-5 | 6.8530964E-5 | 0.0065680854 | 95.84113 | 0.0065 | 7.882459E-4 | 8.34053E-4 | 0.010096321 | 12.105132 | 0.00927 | 0.007854558 | 0.008383867 | 0.019985776 | 2.3838372 | 0.0117 |
7.7 | 9.934069E-6 | 1.0678523E-5 | 0.001460663 | 136.78513 | 0.00145 | 4.2573887E-5 | 4.5764296E-5 | 0.0018456819 | 40.33017 | 0.0018 | 5.182138E-4 | 5.570383E-4 | 0.0032655287 | 5.8623056 | 0.00271 | 0.00517007 | 0.005627419 | 0.009028173 | 1.6043186 | 0.00342 |
7.8 | 6.7562896E-6 | 8.42837E-6 | 0.0010184199 | 120.83237 | 0.00101 | 2.8955206E-5 | 3.6121084E-5 | 0.0012760763 | 35.32774 | 0.00124 | 3.5247262E-4 | 4.3968562E-4 | 0.0023088634 | 5.2511687 | 0.00187 | 0.0035191406 | 0.004446416 | 0.006746145 | 1.5172095 | 0.00231 |
7.9 | 3.975453E-6 | 5.3710532E-6 | 5.553681E-4 | 103.40022 | 5.5E-4 | 1.7037546E-5 | 2.3018596E-5 | 7.4300205E-4 | 32.27834 | 7.2E-4 | 2.0741238E-4 | 2.8021546E-4 | 0.0013399185 | 4.7817435 | 0.00106 | 0.002072189 | 0.0028335669 | 0.0041597984 | 1.4680431 | 0.00133 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.0775192E-6 | 1.6207718E-4 | 78.01477 | 1.6E-4 | 7.169782E-6 | 8.903624E-6 | 1.8890202E-4 | 21.216309 | 1.8E-4 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.0839626E-4 | 3.283724E-4 | 3.0293703 | 2.2E-4 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.001096854 | 0.001406514 | 1.2823164 | 3.1E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1489736E-7 | 2.031489E-5 | 64.51273 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3495595E-6 | 2.1349533E-5 | 15.81963 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.643078E-5 | 3.643045E-5 | 2.2172077 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.662928E-4 | 1.962878E-4 | 1.1803747 | 3.0E-5 |
Tank Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8284557E-5 | 5.796445E-5 | 0.037965767 | 654.98364 | 0.03791 | 2.0691741E-4 | 2.4839927E-4 | 0.05072586 | 204.21098 | 0.05049 | 0.0025163088 | 0.0030207336 | 0.07912016 | 26.192366 | 0.07633 | 0.02488006 | 0.029863616 | 0.12968095 | 4.3424397 | 0.10289 |
6.1 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.0873378E-5 | 0.013080601 | 626.6643 | 0.01306 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.945448E-5 | 0.017777871 | 198.73653 | 0.01769 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010886024 | 0.02840883 | 26.09661 | 0.02735 | 0.009242975 | 0.010836642 | 0.04865236 | 4.4896154 | 0.03823 |
6.2 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.0873378E-5 | 0.013080601 | 626.6643 | 0.01306 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.945448E-5 | 0.017777871 | 198.73653 | 0.01769 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010886024 | 0.02840883 | 26.09661 | 0.02735 | 0.009242975 | 0.010836642 | 0.04865236 | 4.4896154 | 0.03823 |
6.3 | 1.3515912E-5 | 1.5759651E-5 | 0.00952561 | 604.43024 | 0.00951 | 5.792405E-5 | 6.7539746E-5 | 0.013036664 | 193.0221 | 0.01297 | 7.049971E-4 | 8.2200987E-4 | 0.020555776 | 25.006725 | 0.01975 | 0.007027647 | 0.008192157 | 0.035655316 | 4.352372 | 0.02769 |
6.4 | 1.0870146E-5 | 1.2618114E-5 | 0.00699253 | 554.166 | 0.00698 | 4.658551E-5 | 5.4076605E-5 | 0.009833547 | 181.84476 | 0.00978 | 5.67031E-4 | 6.582015E-4 | 0.015578374 | 23.668093 | 0.01493 | 0.005655863 | 0.006564382 | 0.027227843 | 4.147815 | 0.0208 |
6.5 | 7.964826E-6 | 9.196184E-6 | 0.004339156 | 471.84317 | 0.00433 | 3.4134522E-5 | 3.941168E-5 | 0.006229168 | 158.05385 | 0.00619 | 4.1550855E-4 | 4.797421E-4 | 0.009955194 | 20.751137 | 0.00948 | 0.0041473247 | 0.004788209 | 0.017765772 | 3.7103164 | 0.01304 |
6.6 | 6.6317E-6 | 7.612378E-6 | 0.0032875873 | 431.8739 | 0.00328 | 2.8421264E-5 | 3.262412E-5 | 0.004662473 | 142.9149 | 0.00463 | 3.4597394E-4 | 3.9713533E-4 | 0.0074043516 | 18.644403 | 0.00701 | 0.0034543579 | 0.0039652516 | 0.013606868 | 3.4315271 | 0.00968 |
6.7 | 4.793663E-6 | 5.4308593E-6 | 0.0017254215 | 317.7069 | 0.00172 | 2.0544108E-5 | 2.3274928E-5 | 0.0024432186 | 104.97212 | 0.00242 | 2.500958E-4 | 2.833398E-4 | 0.0039223083 | 13.843126 | 0.00364 | 0.0024981452 | 0.0028303189 | 0.007955771 | 2.8109097 | 0.00514 |
6.8 | 4.382823E-6 | 4.969325E-6 | 0.0015649616 | 314.92438 | 0.00156 | 1.8783392E-5 | 2.1296957E-5 | 0.0022112504 | 103.8294 | 0.00219 | 2.286638E-4 | 2.5926388E-4 | 0.0035084214 | 13.532241 | 0.00325 | 0.0022842865 | 0.0025901233 | 0.0071183643 | 2.7482722 | 0.00454 |
6.9 | 2.729601E-6 | 3.0735862E-6 | 6.7307154E-4 | 218.98573 | 6.7E-4 | 1.1698237E-5 | 1.3172453E-5 | 0.0010131593 | 76.91501 | 0.001 | 1.4241673E-4 | 1.6036403E-4 | 0.0016501251 | 10.28987 | 0.00149 | 0.001423255 | 0.0016024808 | 0.0036491957 | 2.2772164 | 0.00205 |
7.0 | 1.8987357E-6 | 2.126971E-6 | 3.6212621E-4 | 170.25443 | 3.6E-4 | 8.137413E-6 | 9.115562E-6 | 5.2911084E-4 | 58.044785 | 5.2E-4 | 9.90685E-5 | 1.1097702E-4 | 9.1088825E-4 | 8.2079 | 8.0E-4 | 9.902435E-4 | 0.0011092846 | 0.0022080643 | 1.9905301 | 0.0011 |
7.1 | 1.4928986E-6 | 1.6641525E-6 | 2.2166378E-4 | 133.1992 | 2.2E-4 | 6.398121E-6 | 7.132066E-6 | 3.1712986E-4 | 44.465355 | 3.1E-4 | 7.789434E-5 | 8.6830034E-5 | 5.9678574E-4 | 6.8730335 | 5.1E-4 | 7.786704E-4 | 8.6801895E-4 | 0.0015274461 | 1.7596921 | 6.6E-4 |
7.2 | 1.069082E-6 | 1.1828765E-6 | 1.2118273E-4 | 102.44749 | 1.2E-4 | 4.581772E-6 | 5.0694644E-6 | 1.750686E-4 | 34.533947 | 1.7E-4 | 5.5781646E-5 | 6.171951E-5 | 3.0170468E-4 | 4.8883195 | 2.4E-4 | 5.576765E-4 | 6.1707594E-4 | 9.06897E-4 | 1.4696684 | 2.9E-4 |
7.3 | 8.776551E-7 | 9.770151E-7 | 1.1097691E-4 | 113.58771 | 1.1E-4 | 3.7613736E-6 | 4.187204E-6 | 1.5418658E-4 | 36.823277 | 1.5E-4 | 4.579376E-5 | 5.0978535E-5 | 2.3096937E-4 | 4.530718 | 1.8E-4 | 4.5784327E-4 | 5.097194E-4 | 7.296073E-4 | 1.43139 | 2.2E-4 |
7.4 | 7.55721E-7 | 8.5103835E-7 | 1.0085095E-4 | 118.50341 | 1.0E-4 | 3.2388E-6 | 3.6473052E-6 | 1.3364683E-4 | 36.642624 | 1.3E-4 | 3.9431678E-5 | 4.4405555E-5 | 1.9439889E-4 | 4.3778057 | 1.5E-4 | 3.942468E-4 | 4.4401767E-4 | 6.2393775E-4 | 1.4052093 | 1.8E-4 |
7.5 | 5.587665E-7 | 6.305732E-7 | 9.0630514E-5 | 143.7272 | 9.0E-5 | 2.3947114E-6 | 2.7024564E-6 | 1.1270216E-4 | 41.703598 | 1.1E-4 | 2.915522E-5 | 3.2902408E-5 | 1.5289846E-4 | 4.6470294 | 1.2E-4 | 2.9151395E-4 | 3.2902407E-4 | 4.6897802E-4 | 1.4253608 | 1.4E-4 |
Little Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1205716E-5 | 0.031760216 | 1017.76917 | 0.03173 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3373268E-4 | 0.039198507 | 293.11093 | 0.03907 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016271125 | 0.054331217 | 33.391186 | 0.05279 | 0.014722223 | 0.016165398 | 0.080193356 | 4.960803 | 0.06508 |
6.1 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1205716E-5 | 0.031760216 | 1017.76917 | 0.03173 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3373268E-4 | 0.039198507 | 293.11093 | 0.03907 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016271125 | 0.054331217 | 33.391186 | 0.05279 | 0.014722223 | 0.016165398 | 0.080193356 | 4.960803 | 0.06508 |
6.2 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1205716E-5 | 0.031760216 | 1017.76917 | 0.03173 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3373268E-4 | 0.039198507 | 293.11093 | 0.03907 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016271125 | 0.054331217 | 33.391186 | 0.05279 | 0.014722223 | 0.016165398 | 0.080193356 | 4.960803 | 0.06508 |
6.3 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.6081383E-5 | 0.02185573 | 1359.0702 | 0.02184 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.8918554E-5 | 0.02674708 | 388.09692 | 0.02668 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.387886E-4 | 0.036448896 | 43.45421 | 0.03564 | 0.007737305 | 0.008359045 | 0.051307015 | 6.1379037 | 0.04331 |
6.4 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.6081383E-5 | 0.02185573 | 1359.0702 | 0.02184 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.8918554E-5 | 0.02674708 | 388.09692 | 0.02668 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.387886E-4 | 0.036448896 | 43.45421 | 0.03564 | 0.007737305 | 0.008359045 | 0.051307015 | 6.1379037 | 0.04331 |
6.5 | 1.2797581E-5 | 1.376556E-5 | 0.020243486 | 1470.5895 | 0.02023 | 5.4845623E-5 | 5.8994065E-5 | 0.024787536 | 420.16998 | 0.02473 | 6.675408E-4 | 7.1804173E-4 | 0.033724327 | 46.96708 | 0.03303 | 0.006655392 | 0.007159767 | 0.046992518 | 6.563414 | 0.04012 |
6.6 | 9.661896E-6 | 1.0289033E-5 | 0.017850105 | 1734.8673 | 0.01784 | 4.1407468E-5 | 4.40952E-5 | 0.021893132 | 496.49695 | 0.02185 | 5.040193E-4 | 5.36743E-4 | 0.02944122 | 54.851612 | 0.02892 | 0.005028777 | 0.0053560715 | 0.040287968 | 7.5219245 | 0.03512 |
6.7 | 7.767871E-6 | 8.199681E-6 | 0.01573807 | 1919.3516 | 0.01573 | 3.329045E-5 | 3.5141096E-5 | 0.019284464 | 548.77246 | 0.01925 | 4.0523586E-4 | 4.2777258E-4 | 0.02569696 | 60.071545 | 0.02528 | 0.004044977 | 0.004270843 | 0.034779985 | 8.143587 | 0.03064 |
6.8 | 6.4235196E-6 | 6.735739E-6 | 0.012286653 | 1824.0986 | 0.01228 | 2.752908E-5 | 2.8867207E-5 | 0.015248428 | 528.2266 | 0.01522 | 3.35115E-4 | 3.5141438E-4 | 0.020334389 | 57.864418 | 0.01999 | 0.003346101 | 0.0035098472 | 0.027455505 | 7.822422 | 0.02403 |
6.9 | 3.1283696E-6 | 3.1121751E-6 | 0.007923087 | 2545.836 | 0.00792 | 1.3407229E-5 | 1.33378335E-5 | 0.009813207 | 735.7422 | 0.0098 | 1.6322079E-4 | 1.6237753E-4 | 0.012910307 | 79.507965 | 0.01275 | 0.0016310095 | 0.0016227372 | 0.016738169 | 10.314775 | 0.01514 |
7.0 | 2.290603E-6 | 2.2286763E-6 | 0.0050722174 | 2275.888 | 0.00507 | 9.816834E-6 | 9.551441E-6 | 0.006249492 | 654.2984 | 0.00624 | 1.19513395E-4 | 1.1628362E-4 | 0.008195344 | 70.4772 | 0.00808 | 0.0011944914 | 0.0011623299 | 0.010591358 | 9.112179 | 0.00944 |
7.1 | 1.293693E-6 | 1.1776774E-6 | 0.0022111752 | 1877.5728 | 0.00221 | 5.5443866E-6 | 5.047183E-6 | 0.0027750332 | 549.81824 | 0.00277 | 6.750081E-5 | 6.1448416E-5 | 0.0036612272 | 59.582123 | 0.0036 | 6.7480316E-4 | 6.1438273E-4 | 0.0048717656 | 7.929528 | 0.00426 |
7.2 | 4.715842E-7 | 3.091732E-7 | 8.0309146E-5 | 259.75455 | 8.0E-5 | 2.0210737E-6 | 1.3250274E-6 | 1.013249E-4 | 76.47004 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4606294E-5 | 1.6132095E-5 | 1.6612967E-4 | 10.298085 | 1.5E-4 | 2.460357E-4 | 1.6130977E-4 | 3.712759E-4 | 2.3016331 | 2.1E-4 |
7.3 | 3.9430947E-7 | 2.3096938E-7 | 7.0230955E-5 | 304.0704 | 7.0E-5 | 1.6898966E-6 | 9.898685E-7 | 8.098979E-5 | 81.81874 | 8.0E-5 | 2.0574296E-5 | 1.2051582E-5 | 1.4205002E-4 | 11.786836 | 1.3E-4 | 2.0572392E-4 | 1.2050936E-4 | 2.804901E-4 | 2.3275378 | 1.6E-4 |
7.4 | 3.547123E-7 | 1.9678579E-7 | 6.0196773E-5 | 305.9 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5201948E-6 | 8.433674E-7 | 7.084331E-5 | 84.00053 | 7.0E-5 | 1.8508214E-5 | 1.02679505E-5 | 1.2026682E-4 | 11.712836 | 1.1E-4 | 1.8506673E-4 | 1.0267482E-4 | 2.4266045E-4 | 2.363388 | 1.4E-4 |
7.5 | 2.6354266E-7 | 1.4422719E-7 | 4.0144223E-5 | 278.34018 | 4.0E-5 | 1.129468E-6 | 6.1811636E-7 | 4.061809E-5 | 65.71269 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3751187E-5 | 7.525541E-6 | 8.752494E-5 | 11.630384 | 8.0E-5 | 1.3750336E-4 | 7.5252916E-5 | 1.752454E-4 | 2.328752 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.269913E-7 | 7.572344E-8 | 1.00757225E-5 | 133.0595 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4424834E-7 | 3.24529E-7 | 1.0324526E-5 | 31.813877 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6262032E-6 | 3.9511337E-6 | 5.3950935E-5 | 13.654546 | 5.0E-5 | 6.626006E-5 | 3.9510673E-5 | 1.09507906E-4 | 2.7716033 | 7.0E-5 |
Airport Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103157E-5 | 0.02933272 | 2238.5994 | 0.02932 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615534E-5 | 0.035644155 | 634.7421 | 0.03559 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8350515E-4 | 0.04682195 | 68.5027 | 0.04617 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168393 | 0.06185905 | 9.074448 | 0.05542 |
6.1 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103157E-5 | 0.02933272 | 2238.5994 | 0.02932 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615534E-5 | 0.035644155 | 634.7421 | 0.03559 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8350515E-4 | 0.04682195 | 68.5027 | 0.04617 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168393 | 0.06185905 | 9.074448 | 0.05542 |
6.2 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103157E-5 | 0.02933272 | 2238.5994 | 0.02932 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615534E-5 | 0.035644155 | 634.7421 | 0.03559 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8350515E-4 | 0.04682195 | 68.5027 | 0.04617 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168393 | 0.06185905 | 9.074448 | 0.05542 |
6.3 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103157E-5 | 0.02933272 | 2238.5994 | 0.02932 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615534E-5 | 0.035644155 | 634.7421 | 0.03559 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8350515E-4 | 0.04682195 | 68.5027 | 0.04617 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168393 | 0.06185905 | 9.074448 | 0.05542 |
6.4 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103157E-5 | 0.02933272 | 2238.5994 | 0.02932 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615534E-5 | 0.035644155 | 634.7421 | 0.03559 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.8350515E-4 | 0.04682195 | 68.5027 | 0.04617 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168393 | 0.06185905 | 9.074448 | 0.05542 |
6.5 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.384925E-6 | 0.02236722 | 3028.7673 | 0.02236 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.1649324E-5 | 0.02720079 | 859.44293 | 0.02717 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8526783E-4 | 0.03587159 | 93.10819 | 0.0355 | 0.003641826 | 0.0038465366 | 0.04599379 | 11.957195 | 0.04231 |
6.6 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.384925E-6 | 0.02236722 | 3028.7673 | 0.02236 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.1649324E-5 | 0.02720079 | 859.44293 | 0.02717 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8526783E-4 | 0.03587159 | 93.10819 | 0.0355 | 0.003641826 | 0.0038465366 | 0.04599379 | 11.957195 | 0.04231 |
6.7 | 5.477277E-6 | 5.7860684E-6 | 0.018945677 | 3274.3608 | 0.01894 | 2.3473833E-5 | 2.4797222E-5 | 0.023134224 | 932.9361 | 0.02311 | 2.8575645E-4 | 3.0186825E-4 | 0.030642707 | 101.5102 | 0.03035 | 0.0028538927 | 0.003014966 | 0.039085884 | 12.963956 | 0.03618 |
6.8 | 3.9950432E-6 | 4.2190873E-6 | 0.014304159 | 3390.3445 | 0.0143 | 1.7121502E-5 | 1.8081691E-5 | 0.017547764 | 970.4714 | 0.01753 | 2.0843433E-4 | 2.2012512E-4 | 0.023325037 | 105.96264 | 0.02311 | 0.0020823893 | 0.0021993418 | 0.02958897 | 13.453557 | 0.02745 |
6.9 | 2.95695E-6 | 3.1230243E-6 | 0.01056309 | 3382.3271 | 0.01056 | 1.2672582E-5 | 1.3384334E-5 | 0.013003211 | 971.52466 | 0.01299 | 1.5427776E-4 | 1.6294434E-4 | 0.017040193 | 104.576775 | 0.01688 | 0.001541707 | 0.0016284712 | 0.021625852 | 13.27985 | 0.02003 |
7.0 | 1.456072E-6 | 1.540812E-6 | 0.0048315334 | 3135.706 | 0.00483 | 6.2402937E-6 | 6.603469E-6 | 0.005946564 | 900.52124 | 0.00594 | 7.597293E-5 | 8.039528E-5 | 0.0077297804 | 96.147194 | 0.00765 | 7.594696E-4 | 8.0376083E-4 | 0.009676623 | 12.039183 | 0.00888 |
7.1 | 6.995192E-7 | 7.4089746E-7 | 0.0020907393 | 2821.9011 | 0.00209 | 2.997936E-6 | 3.1752747E-6 | 0.002623167 | 826.1228 | 0.00262 | 3.649926E-5 | 3.865897E-5 | 0.003398529 | 87.91049 | 0.00336 | 3.6493264E-4 | 3.865897E-4 | 0.0043050745 | 11.136029 | 0.00392 |
Owl Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.6358676E-5 | 0.016085295 | 242.39929 | 0.01602 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.843643E-4 | 0.021118438 | 74.265434 | 0.02084 | 0.0026222812 | 0.003457547 | 0.03409126 | 9.859956 | 0.03074 | 0.02591553 | 0.034141295 | 0.07448521 | 2.1816752 | 0.04177 |
6.1 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.6358676E-5 | 0.016085295 | 242.39929 | 0.01602 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.843643E-4 | 0.021118438 | 74.265434 | 0.02084 | 0.0026222812 | 0.003457547 | 0.03409126 | 9.859956 | 0.03074 | 0.02591553 | 0.034141295 | 0.07448521 | 2.1816752 | 0.04177 |
6.2 | 2.4125871E-5 | 3.0980515E-5 | 0.012580591 | 406.08078 | 0.01255 | 1.0339249E-4 | 1.3276804E-4 | 0.016210632 | 122.097404 | 0.01608 | 0.0012580766 | 0.0016154252 | 0.02467811 | 15.27654 | 0.0231 | 0.012509781 | 0.016070755 | 0.046798866 | 2.9120514 | 0.03123 |
6.3 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2355545E-5 | 0.0114621 | 512.71844 | 0.01144 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.580685E-5 | 0.014624415 | 152.64478 | 0.01453 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.001165962 | 0.021692002 | 18.604382 | 0.02055 | 0.009055373 | 0.0116291465 | 0.038463414 | 3.307501 | 0.02715 |
6.4 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2355545E-5 | 0.0114621 | 512.71844 | 0.01144 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.580685E-5 | 0.014624415 | 152.64478 | 0.01453 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.001165962 | 0.021692002 | 18.604382 | 0.02055 | 0.009055373 | 0.0116291465 | 0.038463414 | 3.307501 | 0.02715 |
6.5 | 1.5182742E-5 | 1.9429277E-5 | 0.011159213 | 574.3504 | 0.01114 | 6.506727E-5 | 8.3266525E-5 | 0.014152095 | 169.9614 | 0.01407 | 7.919061E-4 | 0.0010134344 | 0.0207634 | 20.488153 | 0.01977 | 0.0078909 | 0.010118678 | 0.0357863 | 3.5366578 | 0.02593 |
6.6 | 6.7271576E-6 | 8.547518E-6 | 0.009218468 | 1078.4966 | 0.00921 | 2.8830356E-5 | 3.6631736E-5 | 0.011386216 | 310.82925 | 0.01135 | 3.5095305E-4 | 4.4590578E-4 | 0.015889017 | 35.633125 | 0.01545 | 0.0035039932 | 0.0044680187 | 0.023841072 | 5.335938 | 0.01946 |
6.7 | 6.682835E-6 | 8.479961E-6 | 0.009198402 | 1084.7222 | 0.00919 | 2.8640408E-5 | 3.6342215E-5 | 0.011365931 | 312.7473 | 0.01133 | 3.4864116E-4 | 4.423823E-4 | 0.015865557 | 35.863903 | 0.01543 | 0.003480947 | 0.0044329325 | 0.023776801 | 5.363673 | 0.01943 |
6.8 | 6.5774975E-6 | 8.326427E-6 | 0.00917825 | 1102.3036 | 0.00917 | 2.8188972E-5 | 3.5684232E-5 | 0.01134528 | 317.93542 | 0.01131 | 3.4314668E-4 | 4.3437455E-4 | 0.015807694 | 36.39185 | 0.01538 | 0.0034261728 | 0.0043531056 | 0.023608917 | 5.4234653 | 0.01934 |
6.9 | 6.363419E-6 | 7.999591E-6 | 0.009157927 | 1144.7994 | 0.00915 | 2.727151E-5 | 3.428354E-5 | 0.011323896 | 330.30127 | 0.01129 | 3.3198006E-4 | 4.1732774E-4 | 0.01569095 | 37.59863 | 0.01528 | 0.0033148455 | 0.0041830647 | 0.023322666 | 5.575497 | 0.01922 |
7.0 | 6.1342453E-6 | 7.631779E-6 | 0.009097562 | 1192.0631 | 0.00909 | 2.6289357E-5 | 3.2707245E-5 | 0.01125234 | 344.032 | 0.01122 | 3.2002592E-4 | 3.9814346E-4 | 0.0155721 | 39.11178 | 0.01518 | 0.0031956544 | 0.003991739 | 0.022995576 | 5.7607913 | 0.01908 |
7.1 | 5.842926E-6 | 7.142312E-6 | 0.008617081 | 1206.4834 | 0.00861 | 2.504087E-5 | 3.060958E-5 | 0.010630285 | 347.2862 | 0.0106 | 3.0482994E-4 | 3.7261334E-4 | 0.014777244 | 39.658386 | 0.01441 | 0.0030441214 | 0.0037371595 | 0.021769516 | 5.8251505 | 0.0181 |
7.2 | 4.77173E-6 | 5.358478E-6 | 0.00537533 | 1003.14484 | 0.00537 | 2.045011E-5 | 2.2964727E-5 | 0.0067728097 | 294.92227 | 0.00675 | 2.4895166E-4 | 2.7956374E-4 | 0.009636947 | 34.47138 | 0.00936 | 0.0024867293 | 0.0028086212 | 0.0146053955 | 5.200201 | 0.01183 |
7.3 | 3.0494948E-6 | 2.710356E-6 | 0.0013627067 | 502.7777 | 0.00136 | 1.3069198E-5 | 1.1615762E-5 | 0.001711596 | 147.35117 | 0.0017 | 1.5910587E-4 | 1.4141288E-4 | 0.0025210762 | 17.82777 | 0.00238 | 0.0015899199 | 0.0014231089 | 0.004318982 | 3.034892 | 0.0029 |
7.4 | 2.7263884E-6 | 2.3055634E-6 | 8.9230353E-4 | 387.0219 | 8.9E-4 | 1.1684469E-5 | 9.880949E-6 | 0.00110987 | 112.32424 | 0.0011 | 1.4224913E-4 | 1.2029401E-4 | 0.0016901052 | 14.049787 | 0.00157 | 0.0014215811 | 0.0012110578 | 0.0030588172 | 2.5257404 | 0.00185 |
7.5 | 2.6090431E-6 | 2.1655019E-6 | 7.7216385E-4 | 356.575 | 7.7E-4 | 1.1181565E-5 | 9.2806895E-6 | 9.6927176E-4 | 104.43963 | 9.6E-4 | 1.3612706E-4 | 1.1298663E-4 | 0.001472833 | 13.035462 | 0.00136 | 0.001360437 | 0.0011378126 | 0.0027260035 | 2.395828 | 0.00159 |
7.6 | 2.3008756E-6 | 1.8726826E-6 | 5.9187156E-4 | 316.05548 | 5.9E-4 | 9.860858E-6 | 8.025758E-6 | 7.080201E-4 | 88.218475 | 7.0E-4 | 1.20049335E-4 | 9.770931E-5 | 0.0011276087 | 11.540443 | 0.00103 | 0.001199845 | 9.848307E-4 | 0.0021836488 | 2.2172837 | 0.0012 |
7.7 | 1.7184348E-6 | 1.341808E-6 | 2.6134145E-4 | 194.76814 | 2.6E-4 | 7.3646997E-6 | 5.750593E-6 | 3.357487E-4 | 58.38505 | 3.3E-4 | 8.966153E-5 | 7.0011265E-5 | 5.7997555E-4 | 8.284032 | 5.1E-4 | 8.962536E-4 | 7.0769014E-4 | 0.0013072656 | 1.8472286 | 6.0E-4 |
7.8 | 8.4612907E-7 | 8.4054994E-7 | 1.2084045E-4 | 143.76355 | 1.2E-4 | 3.6262625E-6 | 3.602352E-6 | 1.6360177E-4 | 45.415264 | 1.6E-4 | 4.4148852E-5 | 4.3857777E-5 | 2.9384682E-4 | 6.6999936 | 2.5E-4 | 4.414008E-4 | 4.4386165E-4 | 7.2373735E-4 | 1.6305472 | 2.8E-4 |
7.9 | 2.716738E-7 | 3.7681625E-7 | 1.03768125E-5 | 27.538124 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1643157E-6 | 1.6149258E-6 | 2.1614893E-5 | 13.38445 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4175452E-5 | 1.9661555E-5 | 5.9660768E-5 | 3.034387 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4174548E-4 | 1.9829652E-4 | 2.482866E-4 | 1.2520976 | 5.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.1995428E-8 | 3.3853325E-8 | 1.0033853E-5 | 296.39194 | 1.0E-5 | 9.426611E-8 | 1.4508568E-7 | 1.0145084E-5 | 69.92478 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1476893E-6 | 1.7664173E-6 | 1.1766399E-5 | 6.661166 | 1.0E-5 | 1.14768345E-5 | 1.7869768E-5 | 2.786959E-5 | 1.5595943 | 1.0E-5 |
Panamint Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3984263E-5 | 0.012983544 | 382.04578 | 0.01295 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4563887E-4 | 0.016663233 | 114.414734 | 0.01652 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017717406 | 0.026417997 | 14.910758 | 0.02469 | 0.015640736 | 0.017583003 | 0.050356433 | 2.863927 | 0.03336 |
6.1 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3984263E-5 | 0.012983544 | 382.04578 | 0.01295 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4563887E-4 | 0.016663233 | 114.414734 | 0.01652 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017717406 | 0.026417997 | 14.910758 | 0.02469 | 0.015640736 | 0.017583003 | 0.050356433 | 2.863927 | 0.03336 |
6.2 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3984263E-5 | 0.012983544 | 382.04578 | 0.01295 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4563887E-4 | 0.016663233 | 114.414734 | 0.01652 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017717406 | 0.026417997 | 14.910758 | 0.02469 | 0.015640736 | 0.017583003 | 0.050356433 | 2.863927 | 0.03336 |
6.3 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.2102445E-5 | 0.012451704 | 387.87402 | 0.01242 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.375748E-4 | 0.015965397 | 116.04884 | 0.01583 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016737141 | 0.025144365 | 15.023094 | 0.02351 | 0.01479908 | 0.016618038 | 0.047742076 | 2.8729072 | 0.03165 |
6.4 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.2102445E-5 | 0.012451704 | 387.87402 | 0.01242 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.375748E-4 | 0.015965397 | 116.04884 | 0.01583 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016737141 | 0.025144365 | 15.023094 | 0.02351 | 0.01479908 | 0.016618038 | 0.047742076 | 2.8729072 | 0.03165 |
6.5 | 2.7468774E-5 | 3.0828138E-5 | 0.012080457 | 391.8646 | 0.01205 | 1.1771801E-4 | 1.3211406E-4 | 0.015480086 | 117.172134 | 0.01535 | 0.0014322745 | 0.0016073292 | 0.024310779 | 15.124952 | 0.02274 | 0.014230782 | 0.015963882 | 0.045996666 | 2.8812957 | 0.03052 |
6.6 | 2.6135967E-5 | 2.9252153E-5 | 0.01171891 | 400.61703 | 0.01169 | 1.1200648E-4 | 1.2536049E-4 | 0.014943503 | 119.20425 | 0.01482 | 0.0013628257 | 0.0015252219 | 0.02335188 | 15.310481 | 0.02186 | 0.013544982 | 0.015154343 | 0.043872442 | 2.8950408 | 0.02916 |
6.7 | 2.4498746E-5 | 2.7341044E-5 | 0.011267033 | 412.0923 | 0.01124 | 1.04990395E-4 | 1.17170785E-4 | 0.014345503 | 122.43243 | 0.01423 | 0.0012775084 | 0.0014256459 | 0.022126092 | 15.520048 | 0.02073 | 0.012701893 | 0.014171593 | 0.041380458 | 2.919958 | 0.0276 |
6.8 | 2.2244329E-5 | 2.4935374E-5 | 0.01065467 | 427.29138 | 0.01063 | 9.532935E-5 | 1.0686163E-4 | 0.013465434 | 126.008125 | 0.01336 | 0.0011600169 | 0.0013002857 | 0.020525254 | 15.785189 | 0.01925 | 0.011539802 | 0.012932955 | 0.03789588 | 2.9301796 | 0.02529 |
6.9 | 1.9902658E-5 | 2.2290182E-5 | 0.009682075 | 434.365 | 0.00966 | 8.529431E-5 | 9.552596E-5 | 0.012164373 | 127.34102 | 0.01207 | 0.0010379635 | 0.0011624265 | 0.018352421 | 15.788027 | 0.01721 | 0.010331288 | 0.011569021 | 0.033749413 | 2.9172227 | 0.02244 |
7.0 | 1.8353881E-5 | 2.056605E-5 | 0.009260376 | 450.27487 | 0.00924 | 7.865712E-5 | 8.813734E-5 | 0.011527129 | 130.78598 | 0.01144 | 9.5722964E-4 | 0.0010725616 | 0.017295143 | 16.125082 | 0.01624 | 0.009531168 | 0.01067939 | 0.031455122 | 2.9454045 | 0.021 |
7.1 | 1.7667631E-5 | 1.9772435E-5 | 0.008919597 | 451.1127 | 0.0089 | 7.571623E-5 | 8.4736355E-5 | 0.011083804 | 130.8034 | 0.011 | 9.2145515E-4 | 0.0010311945 | 0.016675046 | 16.170612 | 0.01566 | 0.009176437 | 0.0102695925 | 0.03025225 | 2.9458082 | 0.02019 |
7.2 | 1.6381597E-5 | 1.8158042E-5 | 0.007928015 | 436.61176 | 0.00791 | 7.020495E-5 | 7.781795E-5 | 0.00981706 | 126.154175 | 0.00974 | 8.544101E-4 | 9.470391E-4 | 0.014803904 | 15.631777 | 0.01387 | 0.008511325 | 0.009435269 | 0.027146567 | 2.8771374 | 0.01788 |
7.3 | 1.4520491E-5 | 1.596657E-5 | 0.006635861 | 415.60965 | 0.00662 | 6.222919E-5 | 6.842646E-5 | 0.008137874 | 118.928764 | 0.00807 | 7.57377E-4 | 8.327899E-4 | 0.012413138 | 14.905485 | 0.01159 | 0.0075480095 | 0.008300399 | 0.023116391 | 2.7849734 | 0.01494 |
7.4 | 1.2852287E-5 | 1.41454875E-5 | 0.0064640543 | 456.96936 | 0.00645 | 5.5080065E-5 | 6.06222E-5 | 0.007910146 | 130.48267 | 0.00785 | 6.7039346E-4 | 7.378411E-4 | 0.011929577 | 16.168219 | 0.0112 | 0.0066837464 | 0.007357429 | 0.021591924 | 2.9347105 | 0.01434 |
7.5 | 1.1637851E-5 | 1.2836868E-5 | 0.0064227544 | 500.33658 | 0.00641 | 4.987555E-5 | 5.5014076E-5 | 0.007814587 | 142.04704 | 0.00776 | 6.070656E-4 | 6.696062E-4 | 0.011732194 | 17.521034 | 0.01107 | 0.006054099 | 0.0066793845 | 0.02073487 | 3.1043086 | 0.01415 |
7.6 | 3.0068115E-6 | 3.3330623E-6 | 0.002763324 | 829.0646 | 0.00276 | 1.2886271E-5 | 1.4284516E-5 | 0.0033642366 | 235.51633 | 0.00335 | 1.5687906E-4 | 1.7390738E-4 | 0.004943078 | 28.423624 | 0.00477 | 0.0015676835 | 0.0017397973 | 0.0077493237 | 4.454153 | 0.00602 |
Garlock (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.2904815E-5 | 0.010292261 | 163.61642 | 0.01023 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.6956675E-4 | 0.013965874 | 51.808594 | 0.0137 | 0.0023501497 | 0.003277482 | 0.023839867 | 7.2738366 | 0.02063 | 0.023254504 | 0.03235377 | 0.05959301 | 1.8419186 | 0.02815 |
6.1 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.2904815E-5 | 0.010292261 | 163.61642 | 0.01023 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.6956675E-4 | 0.013965874 | 51.808594 | 0.0137 | 0.0023501497 | 0.003277482 | 0.023839867 | 7.2738366 | 0.02063 | 0.023254504 | 0.03235377 | 0.05959301 | 1.8419186 | 0.02815 |
6.2 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4511588E-5 | 0.008094233 | 234.53668 | 0.00806 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4789861E-4 | 0.01054636 | 71.308044 | 0.0104 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0017992114 | 0.01671233 | 9.288698 | 0.01494 | 0.01382215 | 0.017872788 | 0.0372698 | 2.0852818 | 0.01975 |
6.3 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4511588E-5 | 0.008094233 | 234.53668 | 0.00806 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4789861E-4 | 0.01054636 | 71.308044 | 0.0104 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0017992114 | 0.01671233 | 9.288698 | 0.01494 | 0.01382215 | 0.017872788 | 0.0372698 | 2.0852818 | 0.01975 |
6.4 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2340467E-5 | 0.007992083 | 247.12329 | 0.00796 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3859481E-4 | 0.010357179 | 74.72991 | 0.01022 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016861152 | 0.016341362 | 9.691724 | 0.01468 | 0.013121112 | 0.016772287 | 0.03586657 | 2.1384425 | 0.01942 |
6.5 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2340467E-5 | 0.007992083 | 247.12329 | 0.00796 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3859481E-4 | 0.010357179 | 74.72991 | 0.01022 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016861152 | 0.016341362 | 9.691724 | 0.01468 | 0.013121112 | 0.016772287 | 0.03586657 | 2.1384425 | 0.01942 |
6.6 | 2.246556E-5 | 2.8134691E-5 | 0.0076879193 | 273.2541 | 0.00766 | 9.627742E-5 | 1.2057181E-4 | 0.009809404 | 81.35735 | 0.00969 | 0.0011715472 | 0.0014669969 | 0.015266723 | 10.406787 | 0.01382 | 0.011653901 | 0.014613169 | 0.032527503 | 2.2259033 | 0.01818 |
6.7 | 2.2241198E-5 | 2.7804432E-5 | 0.007667592 | 275.7687 | 0.00764 | 9.531594E-5 | 1.1915654E-4 | 0.009788005 | 82.14408 | 0.00967 | 0.0011598538 | 0.0014497889 | 0.015219796 | 10.497939 | 0.01379 | 0.011538187 | 0.014442829 | 0.03232084 | 2.2378466 | 0.01814 |
6.8 | 1.9528685E-5 | 2.3898969E-5 | 0.007343724 | 307.28204 | 0.00732 | 8.369167E-5 | 1.0242024E-4 | 0.009311477 | 90.91442 | 0.00921 | 0.0010184698 | 0.0012462728 | 0.014240059 | 11.426117 | 0.01301 | 0.010138147 | 0.012436723 | 0.02924505 | 2.3515077 | 0.01702 |
6.9 | 1.3318621E-5 | 1.5198818E-5 | 0.0068250955 | 449.05435 | 0.00681 | 5.7078556E-5 | 6.51362E-5 | 0.008514586 | 130.71973 | 0.00845 | 6.9470983E-4 | 7.927504E-4 | 0.012453499 | 15.709231 | 0.01167 | 0.0069254204 | 0.007940721 | 0.022841452 | 2.876496 | 0.01502 |
7.0 | 1.1760853E-5 | 1.3107653E-5 | 0.0066830204 | 509.85635 | 0.00667 | 5.0402683E-5 | 5.6174475E-5 | 0.00831571 | 148.03362 | 0.00826 | 6.134799E-4 | 6.8371464E-4 | 0.011985982 | 17.53068 | 0.01131 | 0.0061178906 | 0.006857401 | 0.021287763 | 3.1043484 | 0.01453 |
7.1 | 1.0064758E-5 | 1.0902761E-5 | 0.0064508324 | 591.6697 | 0.00644 | 4.3133965E-5 | 4.67253E-5 | 0.007976355 | 170.70741 | 0.00793 | 5.2502943E-4 | 5.6873553E-4 | 0.011382582 | 20.01384 | 0.01082 | 0.005237907 | 0.0057133473 | 0.01942456 | 3.3998563 | 0.01379 |
7.2 | 9.768808E-6 | 1.0498628E-5 | 0.0063004326 | 600.11957 | 0.00629 | 4.186565E-5 | 4.499337E-5 | 0.0077746455 | 172.79536 | 0.00773 | 5.095951E-4 | 5.4766005E-4 | 0.011081887 | 20.234976 | 0.01054 | 0.0050842804 | 0.005503584 | 0.018889505 | 3.432219 | 0.01346 |
7.3 | 9.344516E-6 | 9.9442705E-6 | 0.0057898867 | 582.23346 | 0.00578 | 4.004731E-5 | 4.2617627E-5 | 0.0071323155 | 167.356 | 0.00709 | 4.8746695E-4 | 5.187495E-4 | 0.010213718 | 19.689112 | 0.0097 | 0.0048639905 | 0.005215269 | 0.017540652 | 3.3633263 | 0.01239 |
7.4 | 9.023491E-6 | 9.490441E-6 | 0.0051294416 | 540.48505 | 0.00512 | 3.867153E-5 | 4.0672705E-5 | 0.006380415 | 156.87216 | 0.00634 | 4.7072413E-4 | 4.95081E-4 | 0.009150794 | 18.483427 | 0.00866 | 0.004697283 | 0.0049787266 | 0.016023463 | 3.2183857 | 0.0111 |
7.5 | 7.081253E-6 | 7.0873994E-6 | 0.0025770692 | 363.61282 | 0.00257 | 3.0347876E-5 | 3.0374218E-5 | 0.0031402798 | 103.38635 | 0.00311 | 3.6942272E-4 | 3.697441E-4 | 0.0045481985 | 12.300936 | 0.00418 | 0.003688092 | 0.0037244745 | 0.009154176 | 2.4578438 | 0.00545 |
7.6 | 6.116396E-6 | 5.9589424E-6 | 0.00150595 | 252.72102 | 0.0015 | 2.6212863E-5 | 2.5538076E-5 | 0.0018554913 | 72.655876 | 0.00183 | 3.1909486E-4 | 3.1088197E-4 | 0.002870086 | 9.232077 | 0.00256 | 0.0031863707 | 0.0031359126 | 0.00645547 | 2.0585618 | 0.00333 |
7.7 | 4.797145E-6 | 4.7571157E-6 | 8.0475333E-4 | 169.16833 | 8.0E-4 | 2.055903E-5 | 2.0387479E-5 | 9.803679E-4 | 48.086765 | 9.6E-4 | 2.5027743E-4 | 2.481894E-4 | 0.0016578395 | 6.6797347 | 0.00141 | 0.0024999576 | 0.0025094065 | 0.0043348144 | 1.727426 | 0.00183 |
7.8 | 3.4028885E-6 | 3.978375E-6 | 5.239763E-4 | 131.70612 | 5.2E-4 | 1.4583726E-5 | 1.7050066E-5 | 6.1703986E-4 | 36.18988 | 6.0E-4 | 1.775424E-4 | 2.0756487E-4 | 0.0010773842 | 5.190591 | 8.7E-4 | 0.0017740062 | 0.0021012141 | 0.0031989028 | 1.5224068 | 0.0011 |
7.9 | 2.5928412E-6 | 3.372436E-6 | 3.9337113E-4 | 116.64302 | 3.9E-4 | 1.1112129E-5 | 1.4453217E-5 | 4.844464E-4 | 33.51824 | 4.7E-4 | 1.3528178E-4 | 1.7595377E-4 | 8.258394E-4 | 4.693502 | 6.5E-4 | 0.0013519945 | 0.0017812426 | 0.0025698354 | 1.4427207 | 7.9E-4 |
8.0 | 1.3743648E-6 | 1.6734741E-6 | 1.3167325E-4 | 78.68258 | 1.3E-4 | 5.8901214E-6 | 7.1720124E-6 | 1.4717101E-4 | 20.520184 | 1.4E-4 | 7.1709874E-5 | 8.731578E-5 | 2.5730094E-4 | 2.9467862 | 1.7E-4 | 7.1686733E-4 | 8.837377E-4 | 0.0011235257 | 1.2713338 | 2.4E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1489736E-7 | 2.031489E-5 | 64.51273 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3495595E-6 | 2.1349533E-5 | 15.81963 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.643078E-5 | 3.643045E-5 | 2.2172077 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.662928E-4 | 1.962878E-4 | 1.1803747 | 3.0E-5 |
Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.456906E-5 | 0.006794201 | 124.50647 | 0.00674 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3384714E-4 | 0.008491916 | 36.31396 | 0.00826 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028435462 | 0.014639907 | 5.1484685 | 0.01183 | 0.023260195 | 0.028092625 | 0.042817023 | 1.5241375 | 0.01515 |
6.1 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.456906E-5 | 0.006794201 | 124.50647 | 0.00674 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3384714E-4 | 0.008491916 | 36.31396 | 0.00826 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028435462 | 0.014639907 | 5.1484685 | 0.01183 | 0.023260195 | 0.028092625 | 0.042817023 | 1.5241375 | 0.01515 |
6.2 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.706271E-5 | 0.006756747 | 143.56902 | 0.00671 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.016826E-4 | 0.008430023 | 41.798462 | 0.00823 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024528534 | 0.014184007 | 5.782656 | 0.01176 | 0.020330196 | 0.024274187 | 0.038939346 | 1.6041462 | 0.01503 |
6.3 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.706271E-5 | 0.006756747 | 143.56902 | 0.00671 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.016826E-4 | 0.008430023 | 41.798462 | 0.00823 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024528534 | 0.014184007 | 5.782656 | 0.01176 | 0.020330196 | 0.024274187 | 0.038939346 | 1.6041462 | 0.01503 |
6.4 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.795112E-5 | 0.0066976985 | 176.48224 | 0.00666 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6263791E-4 | 0.00832131 | 51.164642 | 0.00816 | 0.0016845843 | 0.001978387 | 0.013615319 | 6.88203 | 0.01166 | 0.016718714 | 0.019617118 | 0.034224823 | 1.7446407 | 0.0149 |
6.5 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.795112E-5 | 0.0066976985 | 176.48224 | 0.00666 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6263791E-4 | 0.00832131 | 51.164642 | 0.00816 | 0.0016845843 | 0.001978387 | 0.013615319 | 6.88203 | 0.01166 | 0.016718714 | 0.019617118 | 0.034224823 | 1.7446407 | 0.0149 |
6.6 | 2.9305844E-5 | 3.418196E-5 | 0.0066639553 | 194.95532 | 0.00663 | 1.2559042E-4 | 1.4648624E-4 | 0.008265297 | 56.423706 | 0.00812 | 0.0015279909 | 0.0017820727 | 0.013341436 | 7.4864717 | 0.01158 | 0.015175272 | 0.017686324 | 0.03223439 | 1.8225602 | 0.01481 |
6.7 | 2.7826512E-5 | 3.2344353E-5 | 0.0066521303 | 205.6659 | 0.00662 | 1.19251024E-4 | 1.3861163E-4 | 0.008247487 | 59.500687 | 0.00811 | 0.0014509142 | 0.0016863506 | 0.0132268565 | 7.8434796 | 0.01156 | 0.014414776 | 0.016743818 | 0.031276345 | 1.8679339 | 0.01478 |
6.8 | 2.3389874E-5 | 2.6866792E-5 | 0.0065866904 | 245.16104 | 0.00656 | 1.0023846E-4 | 1.1513857E-4 | 0.008144214 | 70.73402 | 0.00803 | 0.00121972 | 0.001400958 | 0.012844903 | 9.168656 | 0.01146 | 0.01213047 | 0.013928067 | 0.028393742 | 2.038599 | 0.01467 |
6.9 | 2.069209E-5 | 2.357011E-5 | 0.0065334165 | 277.19077 | 0.00651 | 8.867737E-5 | 1.0101105E-4 | 0.008050208 | 79.69631 | 0.00795 | 0.0010791123 | 0.0012291519 | 0.012565201 | 10.22266 | 0.01135 | 0.010738871 | 0.012229158 | 0.026601223 | 2.1752295 | 0.01455 |
7.0 | 1.7462342E-5 | 1.9633622E-5 | 0.006519506 | 332.05823 | 0.0065 | 7.483646E-5 | 8.414151E-5 | 0.008003475 | 95.11922 | 0.00792 | 9.1075303E-4 | 0.0010239641 | 0.012322383 | 12.033999 | 0.01131 | 0.009070295 | 0.010196688 | 0.024538938 | 2.4065597 | 0.01449 |
7.1 | 1.4807709E-5 | 1.6441827E-5 | 0.0064963354 | 395.11032 | 0.00648 | 6.3460066E-5 | 7.046316E-5 | 0.007969907 | 113.10742 | 0.0079 | 7.723524E-4 | 8.575678E-4 | 0.012137886 | 14.15385 | 0.01129 | 0.007696735 | 0.008546168 | 0.02288259 | 2.6775265 | 0.01446 |
7.2 | 1.4180048E-5 | 1.5698413E-5 | 0.0064855968 | 413.1371 | 0.00647 | 6.077022E-5 | 6.727727E-5 | 0.007946747 | 118.11935 | 0.00788 | 7.396263E-4 | 8.1880915E-4 | 0.012069589 | 14.740418 | 0.01126 | 0.0073716943 | 0.008161469 | 0.022473698 | 2.753634 | 0.01443 |
7.3 | 1.3730402E-5 | 1.5172151E-5 | 0.006465074 | 426.11456 | 0.00645 | 5.8843252E-5 | 6.502197E-5 | 0.007924511 | 121.87435 | 0.00786 | 7.161811E-4 | 7.9137104E-4 | 0.012012484 | 15.179332 | 0.01123 | 0.007138774 | 0.007889058 | 0.022175455 | 2.8109128 | 0.0144 |
7.4 | 1.2810095E-5 | 1.4109353E-5 | 0.006444019 | 456.71964 | 0.00643 | 5.489925E-5 | 6.0467344E-5 | 0.0078899935 | 130.48355 | 0.00783 | 6.681934E-4 | 7.3595706E-4 | 0.011897736 | 16.166346 | 0.01117 | 0.006661878 | 0.0073386896 | 0.02152382 | 2.9329243 | 0.01429 |
7.5 | 1.1595659E-5 | 1.2800734E-5 | 0.006402719 | 500.18375 | 0.00639 | 4.9694736E-5 | 5.485922E-5 | 0.0077944347 | 142.08066 | 0.00774 | 6.0486543E-4 | 6.67722E-4 | 0.011700351 | 17.522787 | 0.01104 | 0.006032217 | 0.006660632 | 0.020666717 | 3.1028163 | 0.0141 |
7.6 | 2.997694E-6 | 3.3251877E-6 | 0.002753316 | 828.01825 | 0.00275 | 1.28471975E-5 | 1.4250767E-5 | 0.0033542032 | 235.37001 | 0.00334 | 1.564034E-4 | 1.7349655E-4 | 0.004932671 | 28.430943 | 0.00476 | 0.0015629337 | 0.0017356955 | 0.007725281 | 4.4508276 | 0.006 |
Blackwater
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.3095846E-5 | 0.004102961 | 123.972084 | 0.00407 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4183241E-4 | 0.0058010295 | 40.900593 | 0.00566 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017255784 | 0.010610221 | 6.148791 | 0.0089 | 0.015895851 | 0.017135633 | 0.029745784 | 1.7359022 | 0.01283 |
6.1 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.3095846E-5 | 0.004102961 | 123.972084 | 0.00407 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4183241E-4 | 0.0058010295 | 40.900593 | 0.00566 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017255784 | 0.010610221 | 6.148791 | 0.0089 | 0.015895851 | 0.017135633 | 0.029745784 | 1.7359022 | 0.01283 |
6.2 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2545122E-5 | 0.0015625256 | 124.552444 | 0.00155 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.3763757E-5 | 0.0021336519 | 39.68569 | 0.00208 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.5438676E-4 | 0.0040521617 | 6.192304 | 0.0034 | 0.006090366 | 0.0065255696 | 0.011562485 | 1.7718737 | 0.00507 |
6.3 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2545122E-5 | 0.0015625256 | 124.552444 | 0.00155 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.3763757E-5 | 0.0021336519 | 39.68569 | 0.00208 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.5438676E-4 | 0.0040521617 | 6.192304 | 0.0034 | 0.006090366 | 0.0065255696 | 0.011562485 | 1.7718737 | 0.00507 |
6.4 | 7.929244E-6 | 8.480098E-6 | 9.68472E-4 | 114.20528 | 9.6E-4 | 3.3982033E-5 | 3.6342793E-5 | 0.0013462952 | 37.04435 | 0.00131 | 4.136527E-4 | 4.423877E-4 | 0.0025614498 | 5.790056 | 0.00212 | 0.0041288356 | 0.0044154758 | 0.0076013464 | 1.7215236 | 0.0032 |
6.5 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.285991E-6 | 6.862817E-4 | 109.17638 | 6.8E-4 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6939697E-5 | 0.0010069133 | 37.376564 | 9.8E-4 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.27944E-4 | 0.0018774357 | 5.724867 | 0.00155 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032748538 | 0.005587256 | 1.7061086 | 0.00232 |
6.6 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.285991E-6 | 6.862817E-4 | 109.17638 | 6.8E-4 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6939697E-5 | 0.0010069133 | 37.376564 | 9.8E-4 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.27944E-4 | 0.0018774357 | 5.724867 | 0.00155 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032748538 | 0.005587256 | 1.7061086 | 0.00232 |
6.7 | 3.0715053E-6 | 3.2814662E-6 | 3.9328018E-4 | 119.84892 | 3.9E-4 | 1.3163528E-5 | 1.4063357E-5 | 5.540558E-4 | 39.397118 | 5.4E-4 | 1.6025416E-4 | 1.7120909E-4 | 9.110824E-4 | 5.3214607 | 7.4E-4 | 0.0016013865 | 0.0017108864 | 0.0028689017 | 1.6768512 | 0.00116 |
6.8 | 2.2722281E-6 | 2.4287538E-6 | 3.12428E-4 | 128.63718 | 3.1E-4 | 9.738084E-6 | 1.0408908E-5 | 4.3040453E-4 | 41.349636 | 4.2E-4 | 1.1855473E-4 | 1.26722E-4 | 6.3665735E-4 | 5.024048 | 5.1E-4 | 0.001184915 | 0.0012665876 | 0.0020655743 | 1.6308184 | 8.0E-4 |
6.9 | 9.952399E-7 | 1.0653489E-6 | 1.6106518E-4 | 151.18538 | 1.6E-4 | 4.265307E-6 | 4.5657757E-6 | 1.9456491E-4 | 42.61377 | 1.9E-4 | 5.1928873E-5 | 5.5587418E-5 | 2.7557518E-4 | 4.95751 | 2.2E-4 | 5.191674E-4 | 5.557858E-4 | 8.756079E-4 | 1.5754415 | 3.2E-4 |
7.0 | 4.7385504E-7 | 5.0755597E-7 | 7.050752E-5 | 138.91576 | 7.0E-5 | 2.0308057E-6 | 2.1752398E-6 | 9.217505E-5 | 42.37466 | 9.0E-5 | 2.4724779E-5 | 2.6483543E-5 | 1.264809E-4 | 4.77583 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4722028E-4 | 2.6483546E-4 | 4.2479308E-4 | 1.6039888 | 1.6E-4 |
Ash Hill
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3194447E-5 | 0.0036331108 | 156.6371 | 0.00361 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.940143E-5 | 0.0050989045 | 51.296085 | 0.005 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012096206 | 0.009479605 | 7.8368416 | 0.00828 | 0.011179381 | 0.012038348 | 0.024022324 | 1.9954833 | 0.01213 |
6.1 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3194447E-5 | 0.0036331108 | 156.6371 | 0.00361 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.940143E-5 | 0.0050989045 | 51.296085 | 0.005 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012096206 | 0.009479605 | 7.8368416 | 0.00828 | 0.011179381 | 0.012038348 | 0.024022324 | 1.9954833 | 0.01213 |
6.2 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3194447E-5 | 0.0036331108 | 156.6371 | 0.00361 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.940143E-5 | 0.0050989045 | 51.296085 | 0.005 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012096206 | 0.009479605 | 7.8368416 | 0.00828 | 0.011179381 | 0.012038348 | 0.024022324 | 1.9954833 | 0.01213 |
6.3 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0746934E-5 | 0.0016007299 | 148.94759 | 0.00159 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.605755E-5 | 0.0022859543 | 49.632565 | 0.00224 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.6061964E-4 | 0.004048663 | 7.2217646 | 0.00349 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055933665 | 0.010694672 | 1.9120278 | 0.00513 |
6.4 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0746934E-5 | 0.0016007299 | 148.94759 | 0.00159 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.605755E-5 | 0.0022859543 | 49.632565 | 0.00224 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.6061964E-4 | 0.004048663 | 7.2217646 | 0.00349 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055933665 | 0.010694672 | 1.9120278 | 0.00513 |
6.5 | 6.9617327E-6 | 7.456634E-6 | 9.974493E-4 | 133.7667 | 9.9E-4 | 2.9835655E-5 | 3.195666E-5 | 0.0014119126 | 44.182106 | 0.00138 | 3.6318856E-4 | 3.8901155E-4 | 0.0025781596 | 6.627463 | 0.00219 | 0.0036259557 | 0.0038841602 | 0.0071414593 | 1.8386108 | 0.00327 |
6.6 | 4.9919777E-6 | 5.3466883E-6 | 6.6534313E-4 | 124.44024 | 6.6E-4 | 2.1394015E-5 | 2.2914215E-5 | 9.4289315E-4 | 41.14883 | 9.2E-4 | 2.60441E-4 | 2.7895154E-4 | 0.0018285192 | 6.5549703 | 0.00155 | 0.0026013597 | 0.0027866727 | 0.005140096 | 1.8445282 | 0.00236 |
6.7 | 3.6630722E-6 | 3.924624E-6 | 5.439225E-4 | 138.59227 | 5.4E-4 | 1.5698786E-5 | 1.681974E-5 | 7.3680765E-4 | 43.806126 | 7.2E-4 | 1.9111596E-4 | 2.0476682E-4 | 0.0013945232 | 6.8102984 | 0.00119 | 0.0019095168 | 0.0020463446 | 0.0038526407 | 1.882694 | 0.00181 |
6.8 | 2.5599613E-6 | 2.744925E-6 | 3.42744E-4 | 124.86461 | 3.4E-4 | 1.0971216E-5 | 1.1763939E-5 | 5.017582E-4 | 42.65222 | 4.9E-4 | 1.3356637E-4 | 1.4322149E-4 | 9.531055E-4 | 6.6547656 | 8.1E-4 | 0.0013348613 | 0.0014317769 | 0.0027099443 | 1.892714 | 0.00128 |
6.9 | 1.7684905E-6 | 1.8968707E-6 | 2.3189644E-4 | 122.252106 | 2.3E-4 | 7.579223E-6 | 8.129446E-6 | 3.581266E-4 | 44.053013 | 3.5E-4 | 9.2273134E-5 | 9.8976E-5 | 6.689196E-4 | 6.7584014 | 5.7E-4 | 9.223483E-4 | 9.8976E-4 | 0.0018788791 | 1.8983178 | 8.9E-4 |
Garlock (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.5181727E-5 | 2.5197181E-5 | 0.0045050844 | 178.79318 | 0.00448 | 1.0791722E-4 | 1.0798347E-4 | 0.005667383 | 52.483803 | 0.00556 | 0.0013131002 | 0.0013139093 | 0.008973831 | 6.8298717 | 0.00767 | 0.013053683 | 0.013141794 | 0.022941297 | 1.7456746 | 0.00993 |
6.1 | 2.5077732E-5 | 2.5098223E-5 | 0.0045049856 | 179.4942 | 0.00448 | 1.0747157E-4 | 1.075594E-4 | 0.0056669614 | 52.686806 | 0.00556 | 0.001307681 | 0.0013087525 | 0.008968715 | 6.852873 | 0.00767 | 0.013000126 | 0.013090835 | 0.022890843 | 1.748616 | 0.00993 |
6.2 | 2.494612E-5 | 2.4979914E-5 | 0.004504868 | 180.3396 | 0.00448 | 1.0690756E-4 | 1.070524E-4 | 0.0056564584 | 52.83822 | 0.00555 | 0.0013008224 | 0.0013025872 | 0.008952609 | 6.8729444 | 0.00766 | 0.012932341 | 0.013029906 | 0.02282065 | 1.7514055 | 0.00992 |
6.3 | 2.4733758E-5 | 2.4799276E-5 | 0.004504688 | 181.64595 | 0.00448 | 1.0599751E-4 | 1.06278305E-4 | 0.0056556882 | 53.21583 | 0.00555 | 0.0012897556 | 0.0012931736 | 0.008943268 | 6.9157515 | 0.00766 | 0.012822957 | 0.0129368715 | 0.022728538 | 1.7568805 | 0.00992 |
6.4 | 2.3237335E-5 | 2.3178607E-5 | 0.0044730753 | 192.98293 | 0.00445 | 9.958477E-5 | 9.933313E-5 | 0.005608786 | 56.464405 | 0.00551 | 0.0012117702 | 0.0012087126 | 0.008809514 | 7.288345 | 0.00761 | 0.012051838 | 0.012101731 | 0.021802893 | 1.8016341 | 0.00982 |
6.5 | 2.2732203E-5 | 2.2992977E-5 | 0.004472891 | 194.53291 | 0.00445 | 9.742009E-5 | 9.8537625E-5 | 0.0056079947 | 56.91222 | 0.00551 | 0.0011854442 | 0.0011990381 | 0.008799913 | 7.339144 | 0.00761 | 0.011791403 | 0.012006035 | 0.021708136 | 1.8081019 | 0.00982 |
6.6 | 2.1319436E-5 | 2.1773201E-5 | 0.0044516767 | 204.4567 | 0.00443 | 9.136581E-5 | 9.3310395E-5 | 0.0055827983 | 59.8304 | 0.00549 | 0.001111811 | 0.0011354643 | 0.008716846 | 7.6769 | 0.00759 | 0.011062649 | 0.011376952 | 0.0210358 | 1.8489838 | 0.00977 |
6.7 | 1.970802E-5 | 2.0393094E-5 | 0.0044503026 | 218.22597 | 0.00443 | 8.446021E-5 | 8.739606E-5 | 0.005576916 | 63.81199 | 0.00549 | 0.001027818 | 0.0010635294 | 0.008645457 | 8.129025 | 0.00759 | 0.010230771 | 0.0106646875 | 0.020330494 | 1.9063375 | 0.00977 |
6.8 | 1.8744462E-5 | 1.9900775E-5 | 0.0044498127 | 223.59996 | 0.00443 | 8.033094E-5 | 8.528626E-5 | 0.0055748182 | 65.36596 | 0.00549 | 9.775903E-4 | 0.0010378672 | 0.00861999 | 8.305484 | 0.00759 | 0.009733009 | 0.010410495 | 0.020078784 | 1.928706 | 0.00977 |
6.9 | 1.7559682E-5 | 1.8953151E-5 | 0.004438869 | 234.20218 | 0.00442 | 7.5253614E-5 | 8.122527E-5 | 0.005550781 | 68.338104 | 0.00547 | 9.158276E-4 | 9.884704E-4 | 0.008550988 | 8.650726 | 0.00757 | 0.0091206245 | 0.009921073 | 0.019564442 | 1.9720086 | 0.00974 |
7.0 | 1.6794445E-5 | 1.8215967E-5 | 0.004408136 | 241.99297 | 0.00439 | 7.197421E-5 | 7.806611E-5 | 0.005497643 | 70.42292 | 0.00542 | 8.759337E-4 | 9.5004175E-4 | 0.008442917 | 8.886889 | 0.0075 | 0.008724891 | 0.009539958 | 0.019087993 | 2.0008466 | 0.00964 |
7.1 | 1.6337795E-5 | 1.771677E-5 | 0.004397639 | 248.21902 | 0.00438 | 7.0017246E-5 | 7.592681E-5 | 0.005485516 | 72.24742 | 0.00541 | 8.521265E-4 | 9.2401815E-4 | 0.008407097 | 9.098412 | 0.00749 | 0.008488664 | 0.009281721 | 0.018792616 | 2.0246909 | 0.0096 |
7.2 | 1.5780008E-5 | 1.71654E-5 | 0.00439709 | 256.1601 | 0.00438 | 6.762685E-5 | 7.3563926E-5 | 0.0054731667 | 74.40015 | 0.0054 | 8.2304585E-4 | 8.952741E-4 | 0.008348595 | 9.325184 | 0.00746 | 0.008200042 | 0.008996559 | 0.018450731 | 2.0508654 | 0.00954 |
7.3 | 1.5058865E-5 | 1.6618484E-5 | 0.0043565463 | 262.15067 | 0.00434 | 6.45364E-5 | 7.122013E-5 | 0.0054308386 | 76.25426 | 0.00536 | 7.854473E-4 | 8.667614E-4 | 0.0082403645 | 9.507074 | 0.00738 | 0.00782677 | 0.008713263 | 0.01807101 | 2.0739658 | 0.00944 |
7.4 | 1.4887923E-5 | 1.6454453E-5 | 0.004256385 | 258.6768 | 0.00424 | 6.380382E-5 | 7.0517184E-5 | 0.0053001484 | 75.161095 | 0.00523 | 7.7653467E-4 | 8.5820974E-4 | 0.008062022 | 9.394 | 0.00721 | 0.0077382675 | 0.008628101 | 0.017758636 | 2.0582323 | 0.00921 |
7.5 | 1.4509299E-5 | 1.6046468E-5 | 0.003955983 | 246.53296 | 0.00394 | 6.218123E-5 | 6.876877E-5 | 0.0049584326 | 72.10297 | 0.00489 | 7.567935E-4 | 8.369394E-4 | 0.00758129 | 9.058351 | 0.00675 | 0.0075422134 | 0.008416411 | 0.016934114 | 2.0120351 | 0.00859 |
7.6 | 1.2756717E-5 | 1.4050529E-5 | 0.0026040142 | 185.3321 | 0.00259 | 5.4670498E-5 | 6.0215163E-5 | 0.003220025 | 53.475315 | 0.00316 | 6.6541E-4 | 7.328737E-4 | 0.0052495613 | 7.162982 | 0.00452 | 0.006634211 | 0.007381374 | 0.013049226 | 1.7678587 | 0.00571 |
7.7 | 1.0328985E-5 | 1.146033E-5 | 0.0014614437 | 127.52196 | 0.00145 | 4.4266326E-5 | 4.9114777E-5 | 0.0018490264 | 37.64705 | 0.0018 | 5.388092E-4 | 5.9780874E-4 | 0.0033061886 | 5.5305123 | 0.00271 | 0.0053750467 | 0.006038286 | 0.009437635 | 1.5629659 | 0.00342 |
7.8 | 7.0306583E-6 | 8.899537E-6 | 0.0010188905 | 114.488045 | 0.00101 | 3.0131043E-5 | 3.8140315E-5 | 0.001278093 | 33.510292 | 0.00124 | 3.667837E-4 | 4.6425956E-4 | 0.0023333915 | 5.026049 | 0.00187 | 0.003661789 | 0.0046950667 | 0.006994221 | 1.4896958 | 0.00231 |
7.9 | 4.060633E-6 | 5.465412E-6 | 5.554624E-4 | 101.6323 | 5.5E-4 | 1.7402595E-5 | 2.3422985E-5 | 7.434061E-4 | 31.738317 | 7.2E-4 | 2.11856E-4 | 2.8513762E-4 | 0.0013448354 | 4.716443 | 0.00106 | 0.0021165414 | 0.002884143 | 0.0042103073 | 1.4598122 | 0.00133 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.0775192E-6 | 1.6207718E-4 | 78.01477 | 1.6E-4 | 7.169782E-6 | 8.903624E-6 | 1.8890202E-4 | 21.216309 | 1.8E-4 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.0839626E-4 | 3.283724E-4 | 3.0293703 | 2.2E-4 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.001096854 | 0.001406514 | 1.2823164 | 3.1E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1489736E-7 | 2.031489E-5 | 64.51273 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3495595E-6 | 2.1349533E-5 | 15.81963 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.643078E-5 | 3.643045E-5 | 2.2172077 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.662928E-4 | 1.962878E-4 | 1.1803747 | 3.0E-5 |
McLean Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7360222E-5 | 1.8501627E-5 | 0.0017484697 | 94.503555 | 0.00173 | 7.439883E-5 | 7.9290556E-5 | 0.002709082 | 34.166515 | 0.00263 | 9.0542925E-4 | 9.6498354E-4 | 0.0055805254 | 5.783026 | 0.00462 | 0.009017491 | 0.0096127745 | 0.017327892 | 1.80259 | 0.00779 |
6.1 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.592193E-6 | 9.395833E-4 | 97.95291 | 9.3E-4 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.1108804E-5 | 0.0015110484 | 36.757294 | 0.00147 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.003936E-4 | 0.0029991427 | 5.993567 | 0.0025 | 0.0047176396 | 0.004993552 | 0.009073078 | 1.8169589 | 0.0041 |
6.2 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.592193E-6 | 9.395833E-4 | 97.95291 | 9.3E-4 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.1108804E-5 | 0.0015110484 | 36.757294 | 0.00147 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.003936E-4 | 0.0029991427 | 5.993567 | 0.0025 | 0.0047176396 | 0.004993552 | 0.009073078 | 1.8169589 | 0.0041 |
6.3 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.66771E-6 | 7.4766204E-4 | 97.50787 | 7.4E-4 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.2861237E-5 | 0.0012128225 | 36.907387 | 0.00118 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0001926E-4 | 0.0024491993 | 6.1227036 | 0.00205 | 0.0037797375 | 0.0039936965 | 0.0072406773 | 1.8130263 | 0.00326 |
6.4 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.66771E-6 | 7.4766204E-4 | 97.50787 | 7.4E-4 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.2861237E-5 | 0.0012128225 | 36.907387 | 0.00118 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0001926E-4 | 0.0024491993 | 6.1227036 | 0.00205 | 0.0037797375 | 0.0039936965 | 0.0072406773 | 1.8130263 | 0.00326 |
6.5 | 6.06582E-6 | 6.4038773E-6 | 6.064E-4 | 94.69264 | 6.0E-4 | 2.5996113E-5 | 2.7444936E-5 | 9.574194E-4 | 34.885105 | 9.3E-4 | 3.164567E-4 | 3.3409733E-4 | 0.0019735494 | 5.9071093 | 0.00164 | 0.0031600643 | 0.0033365893 | 0.0060176137 | 1.8035225 | 0.00269 |
6.6 | 5.598744E-6 | 5.910262E-6 | 5.8590685E-4 | 99.13381 | 5.8E-4 | 2.3994397E-5 | 2.5329486E-5 | 9.1530697E-4 | 36.136024 | 8.9E-4 | 2.9209262E-4 | 3.0834923E-4 | 0.0018478744 | 5.992797 | 0.00154 | 0.0029170897 | 0.003079843 | 0.0055322666 | 1.7962819 | 0.00246 |
6.7 | 5.246996E-6 | 5.539162E-6 | 5.655361E-4 | 102.09776 | 5.6E-4 | 2.2486933E-5 | 2.3739085E-5 | 8.8371866E-4 | 37.226315 | 8.6E-4 | 2.73744E-4 | 2.8899137E-4 | 0.0017685636 | 6.11978 | 0.00148 | 0.0027340704 | 0.0028867796 | 0.0052200244 | 1.8082519 | 0.00234 |
6.8 | 4.02324E-6 | 4.2469046E-6 | 4.54245E-4 | 106.95908 | 4.5E-4 | 1.7242342E-5 | 1.8200926E-5 | 6.781889E-4 | 37.26123 | 6.6E-4 | 2.099053E-4 | 2.2157968E-4 | 0.0013213359 | 5.963254 | 0.0011 | 0.0020970714 | 0.002214172 | 0.003910408 | 1.7660813 | 0.0017 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.1399285E-7 | 1.0071392E-4 | 141.05733 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0599674E-6 | 1.3305957E-4 | 43.483982 | 1.3E-4 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.7254784E-5 | 2.672462E-4 | 7.1734734 | 2.3E-4 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7251666E-4 | 7.1239E-4 | 1.9123709 | 3.4E-4 |
Gravel Hills-Harper Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.1464628E-5 | 0.0023213925 | 73.777855 | 0.00229 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3484266E-4 | 0.003394403 | 25.173067 | 0.00326 | 0.0015995599 | 0.00164069 | 0.0069519617 | 4.2372184 | 0.00532 | 0.015880952 | 0.016307337 | 0.02372438 | 1.4548285 | 0.00754 |
6.1 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.1464628E-5 | 0.0023213925 | 73.777855 | 0.00229 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3484266E-4 | 0.003394403 | 25.173067 | 0.00326 | 0.0015995599 | 0.00164069 | 0.0069519617 | 4.2372184 | 0.00532 | 0.015880952 | 0.016307337 | 0.02372438 | 1.4548285 | 0.00754 |
6.2 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.36352E-5 | 7.436252E-4 | 54.53717 | 7.3E-4 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.843533E-5 | 0.0010783757 | 18.454174 | 0.00102 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.112298E-4 | 0.0024599852 | 3.4587767 | 0.00175 | 0.007871548 | 0.007090737 | 0.009503506 | 1.3402706 | 0.00243 |
6.3 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.36352E-5 | 7.436252E-4 | 54.53717 | 7.3E-4 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.843533E-5 | 0.0010783757 | 18.454174 | 0.00102 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.112298E-4 | 0.0024599852 | 3.4587767 | 0.00175 | 0.007871548 | 0.007090737 | 0.009503506 | 1.3402706 | 0.00243 |
6.4 | 1.2532521E-5 | 1.0689684E-5 | 4.206853E-4 | 39.354324 | 4.1E-4 | 5.37097E-5 | 4.581216E-5 | 6.557842E-4 | 14.314632 | 6.1E-4 | 6.537194E-4 | 5.5762613E-4 | 0.0016070406 | 2.881932 | 0.00105 | 0.0065179965 | 0.005562859 | 0.0069948486 | 1.2574197 | 0.00144 |
6.5 | 1.1094058E-5 | 9.083657E-6 | 2.590814E-4 | 28.521706 | 2.5E-4 | 4.7545094E-5 | 3.89294E-5 | 4.08915E-4 | 10.504015 | 3.7E-4 | 5.787078E-4 | 4.7386638E-4 | 0.0011035679 | 2.3288586 | 6.3E-4 | 0.0057720304 | 0.004728967 | 0.005664522 | 1.197835 | 9.4E-4 |
6.6 | 9.688328E-6 | 7.531688E-6 | 1.2753079E-4 | 16.932564 | 1.2E-4 | 4.1520743E-5 | 3.227828E-5 | 2.1227247E-4 | 6.5763254 | 1.8E-4 | 5.053978E-4 | 3.9291973E-4 | 7.227901E-4 | 1.8395362 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0050424994 | 0.0039225067 | 0.0044703498 | 1.1396664 | 5.5E-4 |
6.7 | 8.974824E-6 | 6.749406E-6 | 8.674886E-5 | 12.852815 | 8.0E-5 | 3.8462964E-5 | 2.8925719E-5 | 1.3892254E-4 | 4.8027344 | 1.1E-4 | 4.6818596E-4 | 3.5211592E-4 | 5.8203493E-4 | 1.652964 | 2.3E-4 | 0.004672008 | 0.003515801 | 0.0039044297 | 1.1105378 | 3.9E-4 |
6.8 | 7.4780046E-6 | 5.1161865E-6 | 3.5116034E-5 | 6.863713 | 3.0E-5 | 3.20482E-5 | 2.1926337E-5 | 6.192546E-5 | 2.8242502 | 4.0E-5 | 3.9011694E-4 | 2.6692182E-4 | 3.6689514E-4 | 1.3745415 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0038943281 | 0.0026661505 | 0.0028656174 | 1.0748146 | 2.0E-4 |
6.9 | 6.3409307E-6 | 3.907489E-6 | 2.390741E-5 | 6.1183567 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7175134E-5 | 1.674628E-5 | 4.6745776E-5 | 2.7914126 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3080703E-4 | 2.0386786E-4 | 2.738536E-4 | 1.3432896 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0033031502 | 0.0020369065 | 0.002186601 | 1.0734911 | 1.5E-4 |
7.0 | 5.1239335E-6 | 2.6058492E-6 | 1.2605823E-5 | 4.8375106 | 1.0E-5 | 2.195953E-5 | 1.1167879E-5 | 2.1167767E-5 | 1.8954152 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6732447E-4 | 1.359607E-4 | 1.4595933E-4 | 1.0735407 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026700313 | 0.0013588005 | 0.001418719 | 1.0440966 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.438899E-6 | 2.0984692E-6 | 1.2098449E-5 | 5.7653685 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9023713E-5 | 8.99341E-6 | 1.899332E-5 | 2.1119153 | 1.0E-5 | 2.315891E-4 | 1.0948948E-4 | 1.1948839E-4 | 1.091323 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002313479 | 0.0010943774 | 0.0011443226 | 1.0456381 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.50367E-6 | 1.2615715E-6 | 1.1261559E-5 | 8.926612 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5015643E-5 | 5.406724E-6 | 1.540667E-5 | 2.8495388 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8280011E-4 | 6.5824956E-5 | 7.5824304E-5 | 1.151908 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018264982 | 6.580628E-4 | 6.980365E-4 | 1.0607445 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.561638E-6 | 7.118686E-7 | 1.0711861E-5 | 15.047526 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0978401E-5 | 3.050862E-6 | 1.30508315E-5 | 4.2777524 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3365384E-4 | 3.7143633E-5 | 4.714326E-5 | 1.2692151 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013357349 | 3.7137623E-4 | 3.913688E-4 | 1.0538337 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0368864E-6 | 5.304471E-7 | 1.0530442E-5 | 19.85201 | 1.0E-5 | 8.729483E-6 | 2.2733427E-6 | 1.227332E-5 | 5.398799 | 1.0E-5 | 1.06276275E-4 | 2.76776E-5 | 3.7677324E-5 | 1.361293 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010622547 | 2.767421E-4 | 2.9673654E-4 | 1.0722494 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6028484E-7 | 3.6028484E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.544077E-6 | 1.544077E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.879898E-5 | 1.879898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8797436E-4 | 1.8797436E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.1196716E-8 | 7.1196716E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.0512876E-7 | 3.0512876E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.714938E-6 | 3.714938E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.7148915E-5 | 3.7148915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Goldstone Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0376103E-5 | 0.0013603357 | 44.78309 | 0.00133 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3017791E-4 | 0.0021299175 | 16.36159 | 0.002 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015839601 | 0.00532802 | 3.3637338 | 0.00375 | 0.013842222 | 0.015746202 | 0.021700937 | 1.3781697 | 0.00605 |
6.1 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0376103E-5 | 0.0013603357 | 44.78309 | 0.00133 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3017791E-4 | 0.0021299175 | 16.36159 | 0.002 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015839601 | 0.00532802 | 3.3637338 | 0.00375 | 0.013842222 | 0.015746202 | 0.021700937 | 1.3781697 | 0.00605 |
6.2 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6096254E-5 | 7.1608496E-4 | 44.48768 | 7.0E-4 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.898268E-5 | 0.0010989116 | 15.930254 | 0.00103 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.3963916E-4 | 0.002688086 | 3.2014775 | 0.00185 | 0.007380498 | 0.008374364 | 0.011478152 | 1.3706297 | 0.00313 |
6.3 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6096254E-5 | 7.1608496E-4 | 44.48768 | 7.0E-4 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.898268E-5 | 0.0010989116 | 15.930254 | 0.00103 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.3963916E-4 | 0.002688086 | 3.2014775 | 0.00185 | 0.007380498 | 0.008374364 | 0.011478152 | 1.3706297 | 0.00313 |
6.4 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.500847E-5 | 6.549989E-4 | 43.64195 | 6.4E-4 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.432098E-5 | 9.942611E-4 | 15.457806 | 9.3E-4 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.8292453E-4 | 0.0024815935 | 3.1696458 | 0.0017 | 0.006884126 | 0.007811289 | 0.010688636 | 1.3683575 | 0.0029 |
6.5 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.500847E-5 | 6.549989E-4 | 43.64195 | 6.4E-4 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.432098E-5 | 9.942611E-4 | 15.457806 | 9.3E-4 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.8292453E-4 | 0.0024815935 | 3.1696458 | 0.0017 | 0.006884126 | 0.007811289 | 0.010688636 | 1.3683575 | 0.0029 |
6.6 | 1.1328278E-5 | 1.2855176E-5 | 5.8284786E-4 | 45.33955 | 5.7E-4 | 4.8548856E-5 | 5.5092984E-5 | 8.4504945E-4 | 15.338604 | 7.9E-4 | 5.90922E-4 | 6.706464E-4 | 0.0021196739 | 3.1606433 | 0.00145 | 0.0058935313 | 0.0066956137 | 0.0091689415 | 1.3693953 | 0.00249 |
6.7 | 8.651175E-6 | 9.824575E-6 | 3.8982084E-4 | 39.67814 | 3.8E-4 | 3.707594E-5 | 4.2105148E-5 | 6.1208114E-4 | 14.536966 | 5.7E-4 | 4.5130608E-4 | 5.126002E-4 | 0.0016220312 | 3.1643205 | 0.00111 | 0.0045039062 | 0.0051230565 | 0.007073015 | 1.3806242 | 0.00196 |
6.8 | 1.0215377E-6 | 1.1754802E-6 | 1.1175468E-5 | 9.507152 | 1.0E-5 | 4.378012E-6 | 5.037763E-6 | 2.5037662E-5 | 4.969996 | 2.0E-5 | 5.3300988E-5 | 6.133315E-5 | 1.1133009E-4 | 1.8151698 | 5.0E-5 | 5.3288206E-4 | 6.131735E-4 | 6.631429E-4 | 1.081493 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.9360774E-7 | 9.283496E-7 | 1.092834E-5 | 11.771794 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4011714E-6 | 3.9786355E-6 | 1.3978595E-5 | 3.5134146 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1408475E-5 | 4.843888E-5 | 6.843791E-5 | 1.4128715 | 2.0E-5 | 4.140076E-4 | 4.842902E-4 | 5.0428056E-4 | 1.0412775 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.4382757E-7 | 8.747428E-7 | 1.08747345E-5 | 12.431922 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1878285E-6 | 3.7488926E-6 | 1.3748855E-5 | 3.6674442 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8811122E-5 | 4.564188E-5 | 6.564097E-5 | 1.438174 | 2.0E-5 | 3.8804344E-4 | 4.563317E-4 | 4.7632257E-4 | 1.0438077 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.4709513E-7 | 7.711399E-7 | 1.0771132E-5 | 13.967805 | 1.0E-5 | 2.773262E-6 | 3.3048816E-6 | 1.3304849E-5 | 4.025817 | 1.0E-5 | 3.376394E-5 | 4.023625E-5 | 6.0235445E-5 | 1.4970442 | 2.0E-5 | 3.375881E-4 | 4.022956E-4 | 4.2228756E-4 | 1.0496947 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.356704E-7 | 7.588459E-7 | 1.07588385E-5 | 14.1778965 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7242988E-6 | 3.252193E-6 | 1.325216E-5 | 4.074838 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3167835E-5 | 3.959479E-5 | 5.9594E-5 | 1.5050969 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3162883E-4 | 3.9588328E-4 | 4.1587537E-4 | 1.0504999 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.7695723E-7 | 6.896648E-7 | 6.896648E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4726714E-6 | 2.9557032E-6 | 2.9557032E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0104358E-5 | 3.598515E-5 | 4.598479E-5 | 1.2778825 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0100282E-4 | 3.5979896E-4 | 3.6979537E-4 | 1.0277833 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.209647E-7 | 6.193583E-7 | 6.193583E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.232704E-6 | 2.6543903E-6 | 2.6543903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.718283E-5 | 3.2316777E-5 | 3.2316777E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7179506E-4 | 3.2312635E-4 | 3.2312635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.512955E-7 | 5.3489487E-7 | 5.3489487E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.934122E-6 | 2.2924048E-6 | 2.2924048E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3547682E-5 | 2.7909726E-5 | 2.7909726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3545188E-4 | 2.7906752E-4 | 2.7906752E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
So Sierra Nevada
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079612E-5 | 0.0017010609 | 153.53073 | 0.00169 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483256E-5 | 0.002267378 | 47.751102 | 0.00222 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779681E-4 | 0.0041858815 | 7.2424097 | 0.00361 | 0.006007948 | 0.005765918 | 0.010995589 | 1.9069972 | 0.00526 |
6.1 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079612E-5 | 0.0017010609 | 153.53073 | 0.00169 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483256E-5 | 0.002267378 | 47.751102 | 0.00222 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779681E-4 | 0.0041858815 | 7.2424097 | 0.00361 | 0.006007948 | 0.005765918 | 0.010995589 | 1.9069972 | 0.00526 |
6.2 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079612E-5 | 0.0017010609 | 153.53073 | 0.00169 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483256E-5 | 0.002267378 | 47.751102 | 0.00222 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779681E-4 | 0.0041858815 | 7.2424097 | 0.00361 | 0.006007948 | 0.005765918 | 0.010995589 | 1.9069972 | 0.00526 |
6.3 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079612E-5 | 0.0017010609 | 153.53073 | 0.00169 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483256E-5 | 0.002267378 | 47.751102 | 0.00222 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779681E-4 | 0.0041858815 | 7.2424097 | 0.00361 | 0.006007948 | 0.005765918 | 0.010995589 | 1.9069972 | 0.00526 |
6.4 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079612E-5 | 0.0017010609 | 153.53073 | 0.00169 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483256E-5 | 0.002267378 | 47.751102 | 0.00222 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779681E-4 | 0.0041858815 | 7.2424097 | 0.00361 | 0.006007948 | 0.005765918 | 0.010995589 | 1.9069972 | 0.00526 |
6.5 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079612E-5 | 0.0017010609 | 153.53073 | 0.00169 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483256E-5 | 0.002267378 | 47.751102 | 0.00222 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779681E-4 | 0.0041858815 | 7.2424097 | 0.00361 | 0.006007948 | 0.005765918 | 0.010995589 | 1.9069972 | 0.00526 |
6.6 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.9356042E-6 | 9.769289E-4 | 140.85707 | 9.7E-4 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.9723697E-5 | 0.0012696869 | 42.716316 | 0.00124 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.6182883E-4 | 0.0022911306 | 6.3320837 | 0.00193 | 0.003951 | 0.0036126887 | 0.0063328263 | 1.7529398 | 0.00273 |
6.7 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.9356042E-6 | 9.769289E-4 | 140.85707 | 9.7E-4 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.9723697E-5 | 0.0012696869 | 42.716316 | 0.00124 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.6182883E-4 | 0.0022911306 | 6.3320837 | 0.00193 | 0.003951 | 0.0036126887 | 0.0063328263 | 1.7529398 | 0.00273 |
6.8 | 5.9026956E-6 | 5.179362E-6 | 7.151757E-4 | 138.08182 | 7.1E-4 | 2.5297022E-5 | 2.2197082E-5 | 9.421767E-4 | 42.44597 | 9.2E-4 | 3.0794772E-4 | 2.7021713E-4 | 0.0016698388 | 6.179619 | 0.0014 | 0.0030752132 | 0.002699002 | 0.00461382 | 1.709454 | 0.00192 |
6.9 | 5.0118915E-6 | 4.2523943E-6 | 5.842499E-4 | 137.39316 | 5.8E-4 | 2.1479358E-5 | 1.8224424E-5 | 7.6821074E-4 | 42.152813 | 7.5E-4 | 2.614798E-4 | 2.2186051E-4 | 0.0013616076 | 6.1372237 | 0.00114 | 0.0026117235 | 0.0022164627 | 0.0037630273 | 1.6977625 | 0.00155 |
7.0 | 4.4924795E-6 | 3.7138868E-6 | 5.13712E-4 | 138.32193 | 5.1E-4 | 1.925334E-5 | 1.5916565E-5 | 6.759061E-4 | 42.465576 | 6.6E-4 | 2.3438422E-4 | 1.9376757E-4 | 0.0011935738 | 6.1598225 | 0.001 | 0.0023413717 | 0.0019360491 | 0.0033133775 | 1.7114118 | 0.00138 |
7.1 | 3.9118436E-6 | 3.1119469E-6 | 3.8311078E-4 | 123.10967 | 3.8E-4 | 1.6764936E-5 | 1.333685E-5 | 5.033303E-4 | 37.73982 | 4.9E-4 | 2.0409399E-4 | 1.6236462E-4 | 9.1224286E-4 | 5.618483 | 7.5E-4 | 0.0020390663 | 0.0016225161 | 0.0026608286 | 1.6399398 | 0.00104 |
7.2 | 3.4200818E-6 | 2.6054236E-6 | 2.9260467E-4 | 112.305984 | 2.9E-4 | 1.4657411E-5 | 1.11660565E-5 | 3.4116238E-4 | 30.553524 | 3.3E-4 | 1.7843937E-4 | 1.3593875E-4 | 6.458694E-4 | 4.751179 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0017829615 | 0.0013586058 | 0.002087614 | 1.5365856 | 7.3E-4 |
7.3 | 2.6593618E-6 | 1.8283897E-6 | 1.9182805E-4 | 104.91639 | 1.9E-4 | 1.13972155E-5 | 7.8359335E-6 | 2.1783428E-4 | 27.799404 | 2.1E-4 | 1.3875226E-4 | 9.539862E-5 | 4.2536712E-4 | 4.45884 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0013866565 | 9.536055E-4 | 0.0013831955 | 1.4504902 | 4.3E-4 |
7.4 | 2.2577992E-6 | 1.4364078E-6 | 1.514362E-4 | 105.42702 | 1.5E-4 | 9.676246E-6 | 6.1560204E-6 | 1.7615498E-4 | 28.615074 | 1.7E-4 | 1.1780193E-4 | 7.4947224E-5 | 3.44927E-4 | 4.602265 | 2.7E-4 | 0.001177395 | 7.4924453E-4 | 0.0011089748 | 1.480124 | 3.6E-4 |
7.5 | 1.489319E-6 | 7.353661E-7 | 8.0735306E-5 | 109.789276 | 8.0E-5 | 6.3827797E-6 | 3.1515651E-6 | 8.315131E-5 | 26.384132 | 8.0E-5 | 7.770758E-5 | 3.8369635E-5 | 1.983635E-4 | 5.169804 | 1.6E-4 | 7.7680405E-4 | 3.8363054E-4 | 5.9355E-4 | 1.5471917 | 2.1E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.65941E-7 | 4.0465922E-5 | 86.84774 | 4.0E-5 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.9968884E-6 | 4.199681E-5 | 21.031124 | 4.0E-5 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.4311848E-5 | 1.4430893E-4 | 5.935745 | 1.2E-4 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.4309216E-4 | 4.0305327E-4 | 1.6580266 | 1.6E-4 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5578539E-7 | 1.01557835E-5 | 65.190865 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.676515E-7 | 1.0667645E-5 | 15.977864 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.128628E-6 | 2.8128465E-5 | 3.46042 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.128342E-5 | 1.01281796E-4 | 1.2460326 | 2.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Mojave S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7462435E-4 | 0.002353491 | 3.4885948 | 0.00168 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002888172 | 0.0050519044 | 1.7491703 | 0.00217 | 0.016080605 | 0.034565594 | 0.037867382 | 1.0955223 | 0.00342 | 0.1496549 | 0.28654557 | 0.2897704 | 1.0112541 | 0.00452 |
6.1 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7462435E-4 | 0.002353491 | 3.4885948 | 0.00168 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002888172 | 0.0050519044 | 1.7491703 | 0.00217 | 0.016080605 | 0.034565594 | 0.037867382 | 1.0955223 | 0.00342 | 0.1496549 | 0.28654557 | 0.2897704 | 1.0112541 | 0.00452 |
6.2 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7462435E-4 | 0.002353491 | 3.4885948 | 0.00168 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002888172 | 0.0050519044 | 1.7491703 | 0.00217 | 0.016080605 | 0.034565594 | 0.037867382 | 1.0955223 | 0.00342 | 0.1496549 | 0.28654557 | 0.2897704 | 1.0112541 | 0.00452 |
6.3 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7462435E-4 | 0.002353491 | 3.4885948 | 0.00168 | 0.0013306376 | 0.002888172 | 0.0050519044 | 1.7491703 | 0.00217 | 0.016080605 | 0.034565594 | 0.037867382 | 1.0955223 | 0.00342 | 0.1496549 | 0.28654557 | 0.2897704 | 1.0112541 | 0.00452 |
6.4 | 1.9872203E-4 | 4.3181062E-4 | 0.0018911802 | 4.379652 | 0.00146 | 8.5138786E-4 | 0.0018493326 | 0.0037358373 | 2.0201004 | 0.00189 | 0.010316478 | 0.02228931 | 0.025202889 | 1.1307163 | 0.00298 | 0.098504856 | 0.19686839 | 0.20000061 | 1.0159101 | 0.0039 |
6.5 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.8754136E-4 | 0.0016371532 | 5.6936264 | 0.00135 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012317409 | 0.0029196593 | 2.3703518 | 0.00169 | 0.006714592 | 0.014894155 | 0.017514536 | 1.1759336 | 0.00266 | 0.065152965 | 0.13800792 | 0.1409387 | 1.0212363 | 0.0034 |
6.6 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.8754136E-4 | 0.0016371532 | 5.6936264 | 0.00135 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012317409 | 0.0029196593 | 2.3703518 | 0.00169 | 0.006714592 | 0.014894155 | 0.017514536 | 1.1759336 | 0.00266 | 0.065152965 | 0.13800792 | 0.1409387 | 1.0212363 | 0.0034 |
6.7 | 1.08001186E-4 | 2.4335351E-4 | 0.0015330396 | 6.29964 | 0.00129 | 4.6278012E-4 | 0.0010425274 | 0.002670828 | 2.5618782 | 0.00163 | 0.0056198016 | 0.0126192 | 0.015156768 | 1.201088 | 0.00257 | 0.054797906 | 0.11918431 | 0.12205577 | 1.0240926 | 0.00326 |
6.8 | 1.0624356E-4 | 2.3853009E-4 | 0.0015282223 | 6.4068327 | 0.00129 | 4.5525006E-4 | 0.0010218718 | 0.0026502062 | 2.593482 | 0.00163 | 0.0055285925 | 0.012370593 | 0.014898924 | 1.2043824 | 0.00256 | 0.053930566 | 0.11713308 | 0.1200024 | 1.0244962 | 0.00325 |
6.9 | 1.0393785E-4 | 2.3223337E-4 | 0.0015219338 | 6.5534673 | 0.00129 | 4.4537184E-4 | 9.949068E-4 | 0.002623285 | 2.6367145 | 0.00163 | 0.0054089287 | 0.012045963 | 0.014555367 | 1.2083191 | 0.00254 | 0.05279156 | 0.114433445 | 0.11729383 | 1.024996 | 0.00323 |
7.0 | 1.0155622E-4 | 2.2592908E-4 | 0.0015056399 | 6.664215 | 0.00128 | 4.3516833E-4 | 9.6790853E-4 | 0.0025863405 | 2.672092 | 0.00162 | 0.005285311 | 0.011720838 | 0.014221184 | 1.2133249 | 0.00253 | 0.05161361 | 0.11169745 | 0.11455779 | 1.0256078 | 0.00322 |
7.1 | 9.885595E-5 | 2.188132E-4 | 0.0014885353 | 6.8027673 | 0.00127 | 4.2359953E-4 | 9.374342E-4 | 0.0025359343 | 2.7051864 | 0.0016 | 0.0051451353 | 0.011353733 | 0.013825349 | 1.2176919 | 0.0025 | 0.05027629 | 0.10857607 | 0.1114108 | 1.0261083 | 0.00318 |
7.2 | 9.6411415E-5 | 2.1244297E-4 | 0.0014821732 | 6.9768047 | 0.00127 | 4.1312634E-4 | 9.101525E-4 | 0.0025086962 | 2.7563472 | 0.0016 | 0.005018219 | 0.011024987 | 0.013487535 | 1.2233607 | 0.00249 | 0.049064007 | 0.1057697 | 0.108604416 | 1.0268008 | 0.00317 |
7.3 | 9.1180635E-5 | 1.9472656E-4 | 0.0014644793 | 7.520696 | 0.00127 | 3.907156E-4 | 8.342756E-4 | 0.0024329408 | 2.9162314 | 0.0016 | 0.004746591 | 0.010110112 | 0.012574938 | 1.243798 | 0.00249 | 0.046464786 | 0.09796176 | 0.10080318 | 1.0290054 | 0.00315 |
7.4 | 8.887388E-5 | 1.872126E-4 | 0.0014569749 | 7.782461 | 0.00127 | 3.8083247E-4 | 8.020931E-4 | 0.0023908177 | 2.9807234 | 0.00159 | 0.0046267817 | 0.009721855 | 0.012177745 | 1.2526153 | 0.00248 | 0.045316286 | 0.094593845 | 0.09742777 | 1.0299588 | 0.00313 |
7.5 | 8.6750515E-5 | 1.80528E-4 | 0.0014403005 | 7.9782667 | 0.00126 | 3.7173493E-4 | 7.734621E-4 | 0.00235224 | 3.0411832 | 0.00158 | 0.004516484 | 0.009376327 | 0.011803354 | 1.2588464 | 0.00245 | 0.04425787 | 0.09155606 | 0.094363146 | 1.0306598 | 0.00309 |
7.6 | 8.453092E-5 | 1.7440386E-4 | 0.0014341841 | 8.223351 | 0.00126 | 3.6222505E-4 | 7.4723107E-4 | 0.0023260505 | 3.112893 | 0.00158 | 0.0044011753 | 0.009059664 | 0.011487468 | 1.2679795 | 0.00245 | 0.04315024 | 0.08871447 | 0.091530345 | 1.0317408 | 0.00309 |
7.7 | 8.259102E-5 | 1.6962511E-4 | 0.0014094148 | 8.308999 | 0.00124 | 3.539135E-4 | 7.267622E-4 | 0.0022856286 | 3.1449466 | 0.00156 | 0.004300386 | 0.0088125 | 0.011221086 | 1.2733147 | 0.00243 | 0.042181134 | 0.086465426 | 0.08926998 | 1.0324355 | 0.00307 |
7.8 | 7.444844E-5 | 1.528469E-4 | 0.0012126849 | 7.933984 | 0.00106 | 3.1902574E-4 | 6.5489375E-4 | 0.001964036 | 2.9990144 | 0.00131 | 0.0038772223 | 0.007944231 | 0.009987866 | 1.2572477 | 0.00206 | 0.03810269 | 0.078293875 | 0.08067188 | 1.0303727 | 0.00258 |
7.9 | 5.2586525E-5 | 1.0007023E-4 | 6.800122E-4 | 6.795349 | 5.8E-4 | 2.2535135E-4 | 4.2880196E-4 | 0.0011884761 | 2.77162 | 7.6E-4 | 0.0027402006 | 0.005208178 | 0.0063820323 | 1.2253867 | 0.00118 | 0.027066574 | 0.052201588 | 0.053623285 | 1.0272348 | 0.0015 |
8.0 | 3.379877E-5 | 5.4075565E-5 | 2.3406582E-4 | 4.3284955 | 1.8E-4 | 1.4484383E-4 | 2.3173184E-4 | 4.3168548E-4 | 1.8628665 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017620471 | 0.0028176866 | 0.003086926 | 1.0955533 | 2.7E-4 | 0.017481409 | 0.028835917 | 0.02921467 | 1.0131348 | 3.9E-4 |
8.1 | 1.8668277E-5 | 1.9308145E-5 | 4.9307564E-5 | 2.5537186 | 3.0E-5 | 8.000444E-5 | 8.274657E-5 | 1.12744085E-4 | 1.3625228 | 3.0E-5 | 9.736188E-4 | 0.0010069745 | 0.0010469343 | 1.039683 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009693642 | 0.010798624 | 0.0108480835 | 1.0045803 | 5.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.541571E-6 | 5.4596358E-6 | 5.4596358E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.660622E-5 | 2.339823E-5 | 2.339823E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.455896E-4 | 2.848363E-4 | 2.848363E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044469717 | 0.003240283 | 0.003240283 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6564595E-7 | 7.6564595E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9949547E-5 | 3.9949547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.717979E-4 | 4.717979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (So)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5618314E-5 | 0.0012055881 | 47.05962 | 0.00118 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0978825E-4 | 0.0017496082 | 15.936206 | 0.00164 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013358692 | 0.0041920487 | 3.1380682 | 0.00286 | 0.010734817 | 0.013279985 | 0.017670888 | 1.3306408 | 0.00445 |
6.1 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5618314E-5 | 0.0012055881 | 47.05962 | 0.00118 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0978825E-4 | 0.0017496082 | 15.936206 | 0.00164 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013358692 | 0.0041920487 | 3.1380682 | 0.00286 | 0.010734817 | 0.013279985 | 0.017670888 | 1.3306408 | 0.00445 |
6.2 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5618314E-5 | 0.0012055881 | 47.05962 | 0.00118 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.0978825E-4 | 0.0017496082 | 15.936206 | 0.00164 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013358692 | 0.0041920487 | 3.1380682 | 0.00286 | 0.010734817 | 0.013279985 | 0.017670888 | 1.3306408 | 0.00445 |
6.3 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.51184E-5 | 0.0011650898 | 46.38392 | 0.00114 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0764593E-4 | 0.0016774769 | 15.583282 | 0.00157 | 0.0010555626 | 0.001309818 | 0.004026255 | 3.0739043 | 0.00272 | 0.010505628 | 0.013022543 | 0.01709876 | 1.3130124 | 0.00413 |
6.4 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.51184E-5 | 0.0011650898 | 46.38392 | 0.00114 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0764593E-4 | 0.0016774769 | 15.583282 | 0.00157 | 0.0010555626 | 0.001309818 | 0.004026255 | 3.0739043 | 0.00272 | 0.010505628 | 0.013022543 | 0.01709876 | 1.3130124 | 0.00413 |
6.5 | 1.9962767E-5 | 2.4807652E-5 | 0.0011547796 | 46.54933 | 0.00113 | 8.55519E-5 | 1.0631427E-4 | 0.0016561495 | 15.577867 | 0.00155 | 0.0010410968 | 0.0012936244 | 0.0039601703 | 3.0612986 | 0.00267 | 0.010362327 | 0.01286249 | 0.01681104 | 1.3069818 | 0.004 |
6.6 | 1.8937297E-5 | 2.3311462E-5 | 0.001073287 | 46.04117 | 0.00105 | 8.115732E-5 | 9.990252E-5 | 0.0015497577 | 15.512698 | 0.00145 | 9.876423E-4 | 0.0012156491 | 0.003642695 | 2.9965022 | 0.00243 | 0.009832645 | 0.0120915035 | 0.015657853 | 1.2949468 | 0.00361 |
6.7 | 1.8621096E-5 | 2.2912098E-5 | 0.0010428887 | 45.51695 | 0.00102 | 7.980225E-5 | 9.8191085E-5 | 0.0015080527 | 15.358345 | 0.00141 | 9.711593E-4 | 0.0011948354 | 0.0035620036 | 2.9811668 | 0.00237 | 0.009669261 | 0.011885625 | 0.015373669 | 1.2934674 | 0.00353 |
6.8 | 1.7830353E-5 | 2.1806083E-5 | 9.7178534E-4 | 44.564873 | 9.5E-4 | 7.641356E-5 | 9.3451374E-5 | 0.0013933299 | 14.9096775 | 0.0013 | 9.29938E-4 | 0.0011371907 | 0.0033646547 | 2.9587429 | 0.00223 | 0.009260561 | 0.01131609 | 0.014638067 | 1.2935624 | 0.00336 |
6.9 | 1.3135183E-5 | 1.5304031E-5 | 6.552942E-4 | 42.81841 | 6.4E-4 | 5.6292425E-5 | 6.558709E-5 | 9.555287E-4 | 14.568854 | 8.9E-4 | 6.8514474E-4 | 7.982367E-4 | 0.0023270154 | 2.9151947 | 0.00153 | 0.006830362 | 0.007955158 | 0.010157498 | 1.2768443 | 0.00222 |
7.0 | 1.1507512E-5 | 1.3154237E-5 | 4.731482E-4 | 35.96926 | 4.6E-4 | 4.9316975E-5 | 5.637412E-5 | 7.0633745E-4 | 12.529464 | 6.5E-4 | 6.002687E-4 | 6.861445E-4 | 0.0017753966 | 2.5874965 | 0.00109 | 0.0059864987 | 0.0068414924 | 0.0084206145 | 1.2308154 | 0.00159 |
7.1 | 9.715903E-6 | 1.0865287E-5 | 2.4086279E-4 | 22.168102 | 2.3E-4 | 4.1638916E-5 | 4.6564706E-5 | 3.4655075E-4 | 7.4423475 | 3.0E-4 | 5.068359E-4 | 5.667821E-4 | 0.0011464533 | 2.022741 | 5.8E-4 | 0.0050568148 | 0.005653834 | 0.0064791413 | 1.1459731 | 8.3E-4 |
7.2 | 9.233269E-6 | 1.0286314E-5 | 2.0028435E-4 | 19.470955 | 1.9E-4 | 3.9570554E-5 | 4.408348E-5 | 2.9407247E-4 | 6.6708083 | 2.5E-4 | 4.81665E-4 | 5.365884E-4 | 0.0010363201 | 1.9313129 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0048062233 | 0.0053533595 | 0.006049612 | 1.130059 | 7.0E-4 |
7.3 | 8.8041315E-6 | 9.808164E-6 | 1.6980659E-4 | 17.31278 | 1.6E-4 | 3.7731446E-5 | 4.2034335E-5 | 2.4202593E-4 | 5.7578154 | 2.0E-4 | 4.592835E-4 | 5.1165203E-4 | 8.914576E-4 | 1.7423122 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0045833546 | 0.005105167 | 0.005652359 | 1.1071839 | 5.5E-4 |
7.4 | 8.708749E-6 | 9.707175E-6 | 1.5970571E-4 | 16.452337 | 1.5E-4 | 3.7322676E-5 | 4.160154E-5 | 2.3159363E-4 | 5.566949 | 1.9E-4 | 4.5430884E-4 | 5.0638523E-4 | 8.761979E-4 | 1.730299 | 3.7E-4 | 0.004533812 | 0.0050527398 | 0.0055900114 | 1.1063327 | 5.4E-4 |
7.5 | 8.612678E-6 | 9.604817E-6 | 1.2960366E-4 | 13.49361 | 1.2E-4 | 3.6910955E-5 | 4.1162875E-5 | 2.0115629E-4 | 4.8868375 | 1.6E-4 | 4.492982E-4 | 5.01047E-4 | 8.408766E-4 | 1.6782391 | 3.4E-4 | 0.004483909 | 0.0049995985 | 0.0055070487 | 1.1014982 | 5.1E-4 |
7.6 | 8.319024E-6 | 9.283916E-6 | 1.0928299E-4 | 11.771216 | 1.0E-4 | 3.5652476E-5 | 3.978763E-5 | 1.7978206E-4 | 4.5185413 | 1.4E-4 | 4.3398244E-4 | 4.8431093E-4 | 8.0415595E-4 | 1.6604125 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0043313587 | 0.0048329784 | 0.00532061 | 1.1008967 | 4.9E-4 |
7.7 | 7.4718328E-6 | 8.34517E-6 | 5.834475E-5 | 6.99144 | 5.0E-5 | 3.2021748E-5 | 3.5764548E-5 | 1.15761686E-4 | 3.236772 | 8.0E-5 | 3.8979502E-4 | 4.353504E-4 | 6.1527203E-4 | 1.41328 | 1.8E-4 | 0.00389112 | 0.0043453807 | 0.0046739466 | 1.0756127 | 3.3E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6482615E-7 | 1.0364823E-5 | 28.410307 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635396E-6 | 1.1563524E-5 | 7.3957343 | 1.0E-5 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9035933E-5 | 2.9035744E-5 | 1.5253123 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9034347E-4 | 2.0034157E-4 | 1.0525266 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0364317E-5 | 7.8033446E-4 | 19.332285 | 7.4E-4 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7297991E-4 | 0.001362774 | 7.8782215 | 0.00119 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0021042533 | 0.0044293506 | 2.1049511 | 0.00233 | 0.018143194 | 0.020869205 | 0.024668232 | 1.1820399 | 0.00388 |
6.1 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0364317E-5 | 7.8033446E-4 | 19.332285 | 7.4E-4 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7297991E-4 | 0.001362774 | 7.8782215 | 0.00119 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0021042533 | 0.0044293506 | 2.1049511 | 0.00233 | 0.018143194 | 0.020869205 | 0.024668232 | 1.1820399 | 0.00388 |
6.2 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1059794E-5 | 4.5105073E-4 | 21.417624 | 4.3E-4 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.025371E-5 | 7.2019687E-4 | 7.9796925 | 6.3E-4 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010983871 | 0.00228708 | 2.0822167 | 0.00119 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010939668 | 0.012907898 | 1.1799169 | 0.00199 |
6.3 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1059794E-5 | 4.5105073E-4 | 21.417624 | 4.3E-4 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.025371E-5 | 7.2019687E-4 | 7.9796925 | 6.3E-4 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010983871 | 0.00228708 | 2.0822167 | 0.00119 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010939668 | 0.012907898 | 1.1799169 | 0.00199 |
6.4 | 1.712201E-5 | 1.9565212E-5 | 4.295572E-4 | 21.955153 | 4.1E-4 | 7.337798E-5 | 8.3848776E-5 | 6.9379766E-4 | 8.274391 | 6.1E-4 | 8.930107E-4 | 0.0010204813 | 0.0021493281 | 2.1061907 | 0.00113 | 0.008894307 | 0.010167871 | 0.0120188575 | 1.1820426 | 0.00187 |
6.5 | 1.4744935E-5 | 1.6836972E-5 | 3.768309E-4 | 22.381157 | 3.6E-4 | 6.3191044E-5 | 7.215698E-5 | 6.221173E-4 | 8.62172 | 5.5E-4 | 7.6907943E-4 | 8.782507E-4 | 0.0018873636 | 2.1490033 | 0.00101 | 0.007664232 | 0.008756994 | 0.010432195 | 1.1912986 | 0.00169 |
6.6 | 1.2017839E-5 | 1.3724089E-5 | 3.2371984E-4 | 23.58771 | 3.1E-4 | 5.150401E-5 | 5.88167E-5 | 5.3878844E-4 | 9.160468 | 4.8E-4 | 6.268809E-4 | 7.159466E-4 | 0.0015953166 | 2.228262 | 8.8E-4 | 0.0062511545 | 0.0071450938 | 0.008594662 | 1.202876 | 0.00146 |
6.7 | 1.00956095E-5 | 1.1533517E-5 | 2.6153063E-4 | 22.675707 | 2.5E-4 | 4.326618E-5 | 4.942891E-5 | 4.3940963E-4 | 8.8897295 | 3.9E-4 | 5.266384E-4 | 6.017178E-4 | 0.0013212846 | 2.1958542 | 7.2E-4 | 0.005253921 | 0.0060094125 | 0.0072419606 | 1.2051029 | 0.00124 |
San Andreas (Mojave N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9402112E-4 | 0.0019036894 | 9.811764 | 0.00171 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.312543E-4 | 0.0029594838 | 3.560263 | 0.00213 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010073684 | 0.013261247 | 1.3164247 | 0.00322 | 0.05023708 | 0.09832245 | 0.102046385 | 1.0378747 | 0.00413 |
6.1 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9402112E-4 | 0.0019036894 | 9.811764 | 0.00171 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.312543E-4 | 0.0029594838 | 3.560263 | 0.00213 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010073684 | 0.013261247 | 1.3164247 | 0.00322 | 0.05023708 | 0.09832245 | 0.102046385 | 1.0378747 | 0.00413 |
6.2 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9402112E-4 | 0.0019036894 | 9.811764 | 0.00171 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.312543E-4 | 0.0029594838 | 3.560263 | 0.00213 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010073684 | 0.013261247 | 1.3164247 | 0.00322 | 0.05023708 | 0.09832245 | 0.102046385 | 1.0378747 | 0.00413 |
6.3 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9402112E-4 | 0.0019036894 | 9.811764 | 0.00171 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.312543E-4 | 0.0029594838 | 3.560263 | 0.00213 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010073684 | 0.013261247 | 1.3164247 | 0.00322 | 0.05023708 | 0.09832245 | 0.102046385 | 1.0378747 | 0.00413 |
6.4 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9402112E-4 | 0.0019036894 | 9.811764 | 0.00171 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.312543E-4 | 0.0029594838 | 3.560263 | 0.00213 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010073684 | 0.013261247 | 1.3164247 | 0.00322 | 0.05023708 | 0.09832245 | 0.102046385 | 1.0378747 | 0.00413 |
6.5 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.937588E-4 | 0.0019034275 | 9.823695 | 0.00171 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.3013077E-4 | 0.0029583627 | 3.5637307 | 0.00213 | 0.0051326132 | 0.0100601325 | 0.013247739 | 1.3168553 | 0.00322 | 0.050156746 | 0.09820035 | 0.10191576 | 1.037835 | 0.00412 |
6.6 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.937588E-4 | 0.0019034275 | 9.823695 | 0.00171 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.3013077E-4 | 0.0029583627 | 3.5637307 | 0.00213 | 0.0051326132 | 0.0100601325 | 0.013247739 | 1.3168553 | 0.00322 | 0.050156746 | 0.09820035 | 0.10191576 | 1.037835 | 0.00412 |
6.7 | 9.8552715E-5 | 1.9365833E-4 | 0.0019033272 | 9.828275 | 0.00171 | 4.223004E-4 | 8.2970044E-4 | 0.0029579331 | 3.5650616 | 0.00213 | 0.0051293927 | 0.010054941 | 0.013242564 | 1.3170205 | 0.00322 | 0.050125998 | 0.09815356 | 0.101869166 | 1.037855 | 0.00412 |
6.8 | 9.8464974E-5 | 1.9350994E-4 | 0.001903179 | 9.835045 | 0.00171 | 4.219245E-4 | 8.290649E-4 | 0.0029572991 | 3.5670295 | 0.00213 | 0.0051248376 | 0.010047276 | 0.013234923 | 1.3172649 | 0.00322 | 0.05008251 | 0.09808378 | 0.101799674 | 1.037885 | 0.00412 |
6.9 | 9.825824E-5 | 1.9319002E-4 | 0.0018928616 | 9.797926 | 0.0017 | 4.2103877E-4 | 8.276947E-4 | 0.00294594 | 3.5592108 | 0.00212 | 0.0051141046 | 0.010030746 | 0.013208548 | 1.3168061 | 0.00321 | 0.049980022 | 0.097932965 | 0.101640455 | 1.0378575 | 0.00411 |
7.0 | 9.781462E-5 | 1.9250368E-4 | 0.0018921765 | 9.8293 | 0.0017 | 4.1913814E-4 | 8.247551E-4 | 0.0029430066 | 3.56834 | 0.00212 | 0.005091073 | 0.009995285 | 0.013173201 | 1.3179414 | 0.00321 | 0.04976007 | 0.09760912 | 0.10131795 | 1.0379968 | 0.00411 |
7.1 | 9.7121134E-5 | 1.9152075E-4 | 0.0018911952 | 9.874622 | 0.0017 | 4.1616702E-4 | 8.205452E-4 | 0.0029388056 | 3.581528 | 0.00212 | 0.005055068 | 0.0099444995 | 0.013112677 | 1.318586 | 0.0032 | 0.04941613 | 0.09714571 | 0.10084741 | 1.0381047 | 0.0041 |
7.2 | 9.663819E-5 | 1.9082859E-4 | 0.0018905042 | 9.906818 | 0.0017 | 4.1409794E-4 | 8.175807E-4 | 0.0029358475 | 3.5908964 | 0.00212 | 0.0050299936 | 0.009908735 | 0.013077027 | 1.3197473 | 0.0032 | 0.049176537 | 0.09681883 | 0.10052187 | 1.0382471 | 0.0041 |
7.3 | 9.6277574E-5 | 1.9035369E-4 | 0.0018900301 | 9.929044 | 0.0017 | 4.125529E-4 | 8.1554666E-4 | 0.0029338177 | 3.5973635 | 0.00212 | 0.0050112694 | 0.009884195 | 0.013052566 | 1.3205491 | 0.0032 | 0.04899759 | 0.09659228 | 0.10029625 | 1.0383464 | 0.0041 |
7.4 | 9.593308E-5 | 1.8975153E-4 | 0.0018894289 | 9.957384 | 0.0017 | 4.1107697E-4 | 8.129676E-4 | 0.0029312442 | 3.60561 | 0.00212 | 0.0049933824 | 0.009853081 | 0.01302155 | 1.3215716 | 0.0032 | 0.04882661 | 0.09630986 | 0.10001499 | 1.038471 | 0.0041 |
7.5 | 9.561707E-5 | 1.8921228E-4 | 0.0018888906 | 9.982918 | 0.0017 | 4.0972308E-4 | 8.106579E-4 | 0.0029289394 | 3.6130397 | 0.00212 | 0.0049769743 | 0.009825215 | 0.012993773 | 1.3224926 | 0.0032 | 0.048669744 | 0.096056245 | 0.09976242 | 1.0385833 | 0.0041 |
7.6 | 9.418194E-5 | 1.8573487E-4 | 0.0018854191 | 10.151132 | 0.0017 | 4.0357444E-4 | 7.95764E-4 | 0.002914077 | 3.6619866 | 0.00212 | 0.004902454 | 0.009645499 | 0.012814634 | 1.328561 | 0.0032 | 0.047957025 | 0.094437465 | 0.09815027 | 1.039315 | 0.0041 |
7.7 | 8.202141E-5 | 1.6022482E-4 | 0.0016599845 | 10.360346 | 0.0015 | 3.51473E-4 | 6.8649714E-4 | 0.0025652065 | 3.7366602 | 0.00188 | 0.00427079 | 0.008326128 | 0.011211899 | 1.3465922 | 0.00291 | 0.04189639 | 0.082237914 | 0.085633636 | 1.0412914 | 0.0037 |
7.8 | 7.2859846E-5 | 1.4517571E-4 | 0.0011950233 | 8.231565 | 0.00105 | 3.1221908E-4 | 6.2203326E-4 | 0.0019212246 | 3.0886204 | 0.0013 | 0.003794643 | 0.0075469986 | 0.009591452 | 1.2708962 | 0.00206 | 0.037304975 | 0.07472766 | 0.07710561 | 1.0318215 | 0.00257 |
7.9 | 5.3874453E-5 | 1.00462625E-4 | 6.8040437E-4 | 6.7727113 | 5.8E-4 | 2.3087008E-4 | 4.3048308E-4 | 0.001190156 | 2.7646985 | 7.6E-4 | 0.0028072202 | 0.0052285474 | 0.006402378 | 1.2245041 | 0.00118 | 0.02772022 | 0.052425884 | 0.053847246 | 1.0271118 | 0.0015 |
8.0 | 3.468538E-5 | 5.4261534E-5 | 2.3425177E-4 | 4.317087 | 1.8E-4 | 1.4864317E-4 | 2.3252872E-4 | 4.3248222E-4 | 1.8599088 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0018082283 | 0.0028273636 | 0.0030966003 | 1.0952253 | 2.7E-4 | 0.017935853 | 0.028948462 | 0.02932717 | 1.0130823 | 3.9E-4 |
8.1 | 1.9152367E-5 | 1.9401303E-5 | 4.940072E-5 | 2.546258 | 3.0E-5 | 8.207899E-5 | 8.3145795E-5 | 1.13143295E-4 | 1.360782 | 3.0E-5 | 9.988535E-4 | 0.0010118305 | 0.0010517901 | 1.0394924 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009943757 | 0.01085595 | 0.010905408 | 1.0045558 | 5.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032481793 | 0.0032481793 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6564595E-7 | 7.6564595E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9949547E-5 | 3.9949547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.717979E-4 | 4.717979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Nelson Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0192255E-5 | 6.5018574E-4 | 63.792133 | 6.4E-4 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.3680422E-5 | 0.001173631 | 26.868584 | 0.00113 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.316897E-4 | 0.0026405677 | 4.96637 | 0.00211 | 0.0051593683 | 0.005305204 | 0.008925893 | 1.6824788 | 0.00364 |
6.1 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0192255E-5 | 6.5018574E-4 | 63.792133 | 6.4E-4 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.3680422E-5 | 0.001173631 | 26.868584 | 0.00113 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.316897E-4 | 0.0026405677 | 4.96637 | 0.00211 | 0.0051593683 | 0.005305204 | 0.008925893 | 1.6824788 | 0.00364 |
6.2 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.696313E-6 | 3.2469482E-4 | 69.13824 | 3.2E-4 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0126909E-5 | 5.8011565E-4 | 28.82289 | 5.6E-4 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4501883E-4 | 0.001284764 | 5.2435317 | 0.00104 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024476128 | 0.0041334764 | 1.6887786 | 0.00169 |
6.3 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.696313E-6 | 3.2469482E-4 | 69.13824 | 3.2E-4 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0126909E-5 | 5.8011565E-4 | 28.82289 | 5.6E-4 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4501883E-4 | 0.001284764 | 5.2435317 | 0.00104 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024476128 | 0.0041334764 | 1.6887786 | 0.00169 |
6.4 | 3.4025713E-6 | 3.5098972E-6 | 2.835089E-4 | 80.77413 | 2.8E-4 | 1.4582367E-5 | 1.5042335E-5 | 4.550357E-4 | 30.250338 | 4.4E-4 | 1.7752586E-4 | 1.8312587E-4 | 9.6298306E-4 | 5.2585855 | 7.8E-4 | 0.001773841 | 0.0018298327 | 0.0030675638 | 1.6764176 | 0.00124 |
6.5 | 2.8352947E-6 | 2.927856E-6 | 2.5292713E-4 | 86.38646 | 2.5E-4 | 1.2151207E-5 | 1.2547898E-5 | 4.1254287E-4 | 32.87745 | 4.0E-4 | 1.479309E-4 | 1.5276071E-4 | 8.1265986E-4 | 5.319823 | 6.6E-4 | 0.0014783246 | 0.0015266308 | 0.002565043 | 1.6801987 | 0.00104 |
6.6 | 2.251518E-6 | 2.3290677E-6 | 2.023286E-4 | 86.87107 | 2.0E-4 | 9.649328E-6 | 9.981683E-6 | 3.099787E-4 | 31.05475 | 3.0E-4 | 1.1747423E-4 | 1.2152085E-4 | 6.414577E-4 | 5.278581 | 5.2E-4 | 0.0011741214 | 0.0012146058 | 0.0020435976 | 1.6825193 | 8.3E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8911853E-6 | 1.9591396E-6 | 1.8195879E-4 | 92.876884 | 1.8E-4 | 8.105055E-6 | 8.39629E-6 | 2.683941E-4 | 31.965801 | 2.6E-4 | 9.867457E-5 | 1.0222061E-4 | 5.5217464E-4 | 5.4017935 | 4.5E-4 | 9.863076E-4 | 0.0010217935 | 0.0017110883 | 1.6745932 | 6.9E-4 |
6.8 | 1.4874814E-6 | 1.5438305E-6 | 1.515436E-4 | 98.160774 | 1.5E-4 | 6.374905E-6 | 6.6164025E-6 | 2.1661501E-4 | 32.739094 | 2.1E-4 | 7.76117E-5 | 8.055224E-5 | 4.4052323E-4 | 5.468789 | 3.6E-4 | 7.75846E-4 | 8.0528157E-4 | 0.0013648306 | 1.6948489 | 5.6E-4 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.1399285E-7 | 1.0071392E-4 | 141.05733 | 1.0E-4 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0599674E-6 | 1.3305957E-4 | 43.483982 | 1.3E-4 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.7254784E-5 | 2.672462E-4 | 7.1734734 | 2.3E-4 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7251666E-4 | 7.1239E-4 | 1.9123709 | 3.4E-4 |
Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.396349E-5 | 0.0011839133 | 26.929468 | 0.00114 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8840231E-4 | 0.001798099 | 9.543933 | 0.00161 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022915571 | 0.004865645 | 2.123292 | 0.00258 | 0.019349206 | 0.022697281 | 0.026068976 | 1.1485506 | 0.00345 |
6.1 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.396349E-5 | 0.0011839133 | 26.929468 | 0.00114 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8840231E-4 | 0.001798099 | 9.543933 | 0.00161 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022915571 | 0.004865645 | 2.123292 | 0.00258 | 0.019349206 | 0.022697281 | 0.026068976 | 1.1485506 | 0.00345 |
6.2 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.396349E-5 | 0.0011839133 | 26.929468 | 0.00114 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8840231E-4 | 0.001798099 | 9.543933 | 0.00161 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022915571 | 0.004865645 | 2.123292 | 0.00258 | 0.019349206 | 0.022697281 | 0.026068976 | 1.1485506 | 0.00345 |
6.3 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.5354384E-5 | 4.35344E-4 | 17.170362 | 4.1E-4 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0865723E-4 | 6.885942E-4 | 6.3373065 | 5.8E-4 | 0.0010993304 | 0.0013221189 | 0.0022908365 | 1.7327007 | 9.7E-4 | 0.010939079 | 0.013144747 | 0.014457265 | 1.0998511 | 0.00133 |
6.4 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.5354384E-5 | 4.35344E-4 | 17.170362 | 4.1E-4 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0865723E-4 | 6.885942E-4 | 6.3373065 | 5.8E-4 | 0.0010993304 | 0.0013221189 | 0.0022908365 | 1.7327007 | 9.7E-4 | 0.010939079 | 0.013144747 | 0.014457265 | 1.0998511 | 0.00133 |
6.5 | 1.7397282E-5 | 2.0663285E-5 | 3.3065688E-4 | 16.002144 | 3.1E-4 | 7.455765E-5 | 8.8554E-5 | 5.1851594E-4 | 5.8553643 | 4.3E-4 | 9.073613E-4 | 0.0010776235 | 0.0017868583 | 1.6581472 | 7.1E-4 | 0.009036654 | 0.010725273 | 0.011684869 | 1.0894706 | 9.7E-4 |
6.6 | 1.52050325E-5 | 1.7680086E-5 | 2.6767567E-4 | 15.139954 | 2.5E-4 | 6.51628E-5 | 7.576964E-5 | 4.457416E-4 | 5.8828526 | 3.7E-4 | 7.9306826E-4 | 9.221128E-4 | 0.0015115688 | 1.6392449 | 5.9E-4 | 0.007902439 | 0.009183729 | 0.00998629 | 1.0873895 | 8.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.332523E-5 | 1.5264379E-5 | 2.4526086E-4 | 16.06753 | 2.3E-4 | 5.7106878E-5 | 6.541716E-5 | 3.753969E-4 | 5.7385077 | 3.1E-4 | 6.950544E-4 | 7.9616875E-4 | 0.0013157547 | 1.6526079 | 5.2E-4 | 0.006928845 | 0.0079337945 | 0.008638161 | 1.0887806 | 7.1E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1525329E-5 | 1.3031365E-5 | 1.7302929E-4 | 13.277909 | 1.6E-4 | 4.9393333E-5 | 5.5847537E-5 | 2.9583412E-4 | 5.2971745 | 2.4E-4 | 6.011979E-4 | 6.7973585E-4 | 0.001079464 | 1.5880638 | 4.0E-4 | 0.00599574 | 0.0067770192 | 0.007333224 | 1.0820723 | 5.6E-4 |
6.9 | 1.0253909E-5 | 1.1514835E-5 | 1.3151346E-4 | 11.42122 | 1.2E-4 | 4.3944583E-5 | 4.934838E-5 | 2.39339E-4 | 4.849987 | 1.9E-4 | 5.3489394E-4 | 6.006545E-4 | 9.3045627E-4 | 1.5490707 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0053360825 | 0.0059906896 | 0.006447934 | 1.0763258 | 4.6E-4 |
7.0 | 8.104563E-6 | 8.99143E-6 | 9.899062E-5 | 11.00944 | 9.0E-5 | 3.4733377E-5 | 3.853415E-5 | 1.8852837E-4 | 4.8925014 | 1.5E-4 | 4.2279682E-4 | 4.6905465E-4 | 7.0894207E-4 | 1.5114274 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0042199334 | 0.0046808943 | 0.0049894433 | 1.0659167 | 3.1E-4 |
7.1 | 6.7986157E-6 | 7.5159796E-6 | 3.7515754E-5 | 4.9914656 | 3.0E-5 | 2.91366E-5 | 3.2210955E-5 | 1.1220838E-4 | 3.483547 | 8.0E-5 | 3.5468035E-4 | 3.9209996E-4 | 5.520372E-4 | 1.4078993 | 1.6E-4 | 0.003541148 | 0.003914298 | 0.004123476 | 1.0534395 | 2.1E-4 |
7.2 | 5.6893327E-6 | 6.280132E-6 | 2.6280006E-5 | 4.1846266 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4382627E-5 | 2.6914584E-5 | 8.691297E-5 | 3.2292147 | 6.0E-5 | 2.9681803E-4 | 3.276378E-4 | 4.4759846E-4 | 1.3661381 | 1.2E-4 | 0.002964219 | 0.003271746 | 0.0034312226 | 1.0487436 | 1.6E-4 |
7.3 | 4.253348E-6 | 4.707075E-6 | 2.470698E-5 | 5.2489033 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8228506E-5 | 2.017303E-5 | 6.0172224E-5 | 2.9828053 | 4.0E-5 | 2.2190946E-4 | 2.455808E-4 | 3.355587E-4 | 1.3663882 | 9.0E-5 | 0.00221688 | 0.0024532753 | 0.0025729807 | 1.0487942 | 1.2E-4 |
7.4 | 2.5448119E-6 | 2.8520594E-6 | 1.28520305E-5 | 4.5062284 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0906291E-5 | 1.2223064E-5 | 4.22227E-5 | 3.4543464 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3277601E-4 | 1.4880729E-4 | 1.9879985E-4 | 1.335955 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001326967 | 0.0014872387 | 0.0015471495 | 1.0402832 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.3706837E-8 | 4.562909E-8 | 4.562909E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8731501E-7 | 1.9555324E-7 | 1.9555324E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805577E-6 | 2.3808586E-6 | 2.3808586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805343E-5 | 2.3808387E-5 | 2.3808387E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Towne Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894542E-6 | 7.6389156E-4 | 196.14413 | 7.6E-4 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690812E-5 | 0.0011566718 | 69.29991 | 0.00114 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319606E-4 | 0.0024427408 | 12.021596 | 0.00224 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305319 | 0.005263953 | 2.592401 | 0.00324 |
6.1 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894542E-6 | 7.6389156E-4 | 196.14413 | 7.6E-4 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690812E-5 | 0.0011566718 | 69.29991 | 0.00114 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319606E-4 | 0.0024427408 | 12.021596 | 0.00224 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305319 | 0.005263953 | 2.592401 | 0.00324 |
6.2 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894542E-6 | 7.6389156E-4 | 196.14413 | 7.6E-4 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690812E-5 | 0.0011566718 | 69.29991 | 0.00114 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319606E-4 | 0.0024427408 | 12.021596 | 0.00224 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305319 | 0.005263953 | 2.592401 | 0.00324 |
6.3 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894542E-6 | 7.6389156E-4 | 196.14413 | 7.6E-4 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690812E-5 | 0.0011566718 | 69.29991 | 0.00114 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319606E-4 | 0.0024427408 | 12.021596 | 0.00224 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305319 | 0.005263953 | 2.592401 | 0.00324 |
6.4 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894542E-6 | 7.6389156E-4 | 196.14413 | 7.6E-4 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690812E-5 | 0.0011566718 | 69.29991 | 0.00114 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319606E-4 | 0.0024427408 | 12.021596 | 0.00224 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305319 | 0.005263953 | 2.592401 | 0.00324 |
6.5 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2030526E-6 | 1.1120292E-4 | 92.43396 | 1.1E-4 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.15593E-6 | 1.4515521E-4 | 28.153059 | 1.4E-4 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.277176E-5 | 3.4275418E-4 | 5.4603243 | 2.8E-4 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.2755204E-4 | 9.973198E-4 | 1.5892226 | 3.7E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2030526E-6 | 1.1120292E-4 | 92.43396 | 1.1E-4 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.15593E-6 | 1.4515521E-4 | 28.153059 | 1.4E-4 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.277176E-5 | 3.4275418E-4 | 5.4603243 | 2.8E-4 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.2755204E-4 | 9.973198E-4 | 1.5892226 | 3.7E-4 |
6.7 | 8.375951E-7 | 8.410676E-7 | 7.084101E-5 | 84.227486 | 7.0E-5 | 3.5896885E-6 | 3.6045708E-6 | 9.360425E-5 | 25.968208 | 9.0E-5 | 4.370358E-5 | 4.3884826E-5 | 2.038778E-4 | 4.645747 | 1.6E-4 | 4.3694986E-4 | 4.3876728E-4 | 6.3867954E-4 | 1.4556224 | 2.0E-4 |
6.8 | 6.38041E-7 | 6.3921624E-7 | 4.0639192E-5 | 63.576595 | 4.0E-5 | 2.7344586E-6 | 2.7394954E-6 | 5.2739357E-5 | 19.251486 | 5.0E-5 | 3.3291526E-5 | 3.3352884E-5 | 1.4334921E-4 | 4.2979555 | 1.1E-4 | 3.3286537E-4 | 3.334826E-4 | 4.734359E-4 | 1.419672 | 1.4E-4 |
6.9 | 5.3460053E-7 | 5.345339E-7 | 3.0534517E-5 | 57.123634 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2911431E-6 | 2.2908578E-6 | 4.2290765E-5 | 18.460669 | 4.0E-5 | 2.789431E-5 | 2.7890868E-5 | 1.07888634E-4 | 3.8682423 | 8.0E-5 | 2.789081E-4 | 2.78877E-4 | 3.8884633E-4 | 1.3943291 | 1.1E-4 |
7.0 | 3.557783E-7 | 3.5324283E-7 | 2.0353236E-5 | 57.618256 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5247632E-6 | 1.513897E-6 | 2.1513866E-5 | 14.210917 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8563835E-5 | 1.8431549E-5 | 4.8430997E-5 | 2.627614 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8562283E-4 | 1.8430105E-4 | 2.1429552E-4 | 1.1627471 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.037942E-7 | 3.0002275E-7 | 2.0300016E-5 | 67.66159 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3019744E-6 | 1.2858112E-6 | 2.1285785E-5 | 16.554363 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5851423E-5 | 1.5654647E-5 | 4.565418E-5 | 2.916334 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5850292E-4 | 1.5653619E-4 | 1.865315E-4 | 1.1916189 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0808248E-7 | 2.0217735E-7 | 2.0202173E-5 | 99.923035 | 2.0E-5 | 8.917818E-7 | 8.6647407E-7 | 2.0866457E-5 | 24.082033 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0857389E-5 | 1.0549275E-5 | 3.0549065E-5 | 2.895845 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0856859E-4 | 1.0548821E-4 | 1.254861E-4 | 1.1895746 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.1162073E-7 | 1.0636902E-7 | 2.0106367E-5 | 189.02464 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7837443E-7 | 4.5586717E-7 | 2.0455858E-5 | 44.87241 | 2.0E-5 | 5.8241935E-6 | 5.5501705E-6 | 2.555006E-5 | 4.6034727 | 2.0E-5 | 5.8240406E-5 | 5.550052E-5 | 7.549941E-5 | 1.360337 | 2.0E-5 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.160784E-4 | 0.0010958319 | 3.466962 | 7.8E-4 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013539245 | 0.0024124894 | 1.7818493 | 0.00106 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016360939 | 0.018033126 | 1.102206 | 0.0017 | 0.07177748 | 0.15021163 | 0.15203866 | 1.0121632 | 0.00215 |
6.1 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.160784E-4 | 0.0010958319 | 3.466962 | 7.8E-4 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013539245 | 0.0024124894 | 1.7818493 | 0.00106 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016360939 | 0.018033126 | 1.102206 | 0.0017 | 0.07177748 | 0.15021163 | 0.15203866 | 1.0121632 | 0.00215 |
6.2 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.160784E-4 | 0.0010958319 | 3.466962 | 7.8E-4 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013539245 | 0.0024124894 | 1.7818493 | 0.00106 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016360939 | 0.018033126 | 1.102206 | 0.0017 | 0.07177748 | 0.15021163 | 0.15203866 | 1.0121632 | 0.00215 |
6.3 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.0512668E-4 | 0.0010748918 | 3.522772 | 7.7E-4 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.001307036 | 0.0023556636 | 1.8022944 | 0.00105 | 0.0071393442 | 0.015798455 | 0.01743223 | 1.1034136 | 0.00166 | 0.06914291 | 0.1455135 | 0.14731647 | 1.0123904 | 0.00211 |
6.4 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.0512668E-4 | 0.0010748918 | 3.522772 | 7.7E-4 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.001307036 | 0.0023556636 | 1.8022944 | 0.00105 | 0.0071393442 | 0.015798455 | 0.01743223 | 1.1034136 | 0.00166 | 0.06914291 | 0.1455135 | 0.14731647 | 1.0123904 | 0.00211 |
6.5 | 1.2942807E-4 | 2.8927144E-4 | 0.0010590487 | 3.6610897 | 7.7E-4 | 5.545738E-4 | 0.0012391509 | 0.0022778623 | 1.8382444 | 0.00104 | 0.0067310524 | 0.014983548 | 0.016598975 | 1.1078134 | 0.00164 | 0.06530788 | 0.13865088 | 0.1404511 | 1.0129838 | 0.00209 |
6.6 | 1.1125901E-4 | 2.5365927E-4 | 0.0010134665 | 3.9953854 | 7.6E-4 | 4.767372E-4 | 0.0010866605 | 0.002105552 | 1.9376357 | 0.00102 | 0.005788839 | 0.0131504685 | 0.014739296 | 1.1208191 | 0.00161 | 0.056403454 | 0.12300496 | 0.1248028 | 1.014616 | 0.00205 |
6.7 | 1.02209575E-4 | 2.3500937E-4 | 9.848331E-4 | 4.190612 | 7.5E-4 | 4.3796748E-4 | 0.0010067957 | 0.001995799 | 1.9823277 | 9.9E-4 | 0.0053192247 | 0.012189267 | 0.01374013 | 1.1272318 | 0.00157 | 0.051936906 | 0.114792764 | 0.11657203 | 1.0154998 | 0.00201 |
6.8 | 9.610582E-5 | 2.2026796E-4 | 9.7010273E-4 | 4.404194 | 7.5E-4 | 4.1181705E-4 | 9.436647E-4 | 0.0019327304 | 2.0481114 | 9.9E-4 | 0.0050023515 | 0.011428859 | 0.012980916 | 1.1358016 | 0.00157 | 0.048912346 | 0.10820469 | 0.1099972 | 1.0165659 | 0.00201 |
6.9 | 9.3877505E-5 | 2.1482339E-4 | 9.646623E-4 | 4.49049 | 7.5E-4 | 4.0227012E-4 | 9.203475E-4 | 0.0019094363 | 2.0746906 | 9.9E-4 | 0.0048866454 | 0.011147907 | 0.012690516 | 1.1383766 | 0.00156 | 0.04780577 | 0.105798274 | 0.107586674 | 1.0169039 | 0.002 |
7.0 | 9.1019785E-5 | 2.0809306E-4 | 9.57937E-4 | 4.603407 | 7.5E-4 | 3.900265E-4 | 8.915232E-4 | 0.0018806406 | 2.1094692 | 9.9E-4 | 0.0047382377 | 0.0108004995 | 0.012343651 | 1.1428778 | 0.00156 | 0.046384744 | 0.10276815 | 0.10456262 | 1.0174613 | 0.002 |
7.1 | 8.771155E-5 | 1.9983841E-4 | 9.396905E-4 | 4.702252 | 7.4E-4 | 3.758525E-4 | 8.5616973E-4 | 0.0018253393 | 2.1319828 | 9.7E-4 | 0.0045664064 | 0.010374243 | 0.011888371 | 1.1459507 | 0.00153 | 0.044737056 | 0.09907644 | 0.10084225 | 1.0178227 | 0.00196 |
7.2 | 8.0830236E-5 | 1.8389444E-4 | 9.237584E-4 | 5.023308 | 7.4E-4 | 3.4636928E-4 | 7.8788114E-4 | 0.0017571169 | 2.2301803 | 9.7E-4 | 0.0042088944 | 0.009550368 | 0.011055852 | 1.1576362 | 0.00152 | 0.041300658 | 0.09180518 | 0.09357616 | 1.0192907 | 0.00195 |
7.3 | 7.7668235E-5 | 1.7333007E-4 | 9.1320183E-4 | 5.268571 | 7.4E-4 | 3.328214E-4 | 7.426318E-4 | 0.0017119114 | 2.3051956 | 9.7E-4 | 0.0040445733 | 0.009004138 | 0.010510452 | 1.1672913 | 0.00152 | 0.03971748 | 0.08706761 | 0.08884783 | 1.0204464 | 0.00195 |
7.4 | 7.520177E-5 | 1.655312E-4 | 9.054087E-4 | 5.4697165 | 7.4E-4 | 3.2225347E-4 | 7.092266E-4 | 0.0016685458 | 2.3526273 | 9.6E-4 | 0.0039163795 | 0.008600714 | 0.010097726 | 1.1740569 | 0.00151 | 0.038480744 | 0.08352157 | 0.085290365 | 1.0211778 | 0.00193 |
7.5 | 7.274697E-5 | 1.584075E-4 | 8.8829186E-4 | 5.6076374 | 7.3E-4 | 3.1173544E-4 | 6.7871273E-4 | 0.0016280679 | 2.3987586 | 9.5E-4 | 0.003788775 | 0.008232076 | 0.009699892 | 1.1783046 | 0.00148 | 0.03724827 | 0.08023654 | 0.081974894 | 1.0216653 | 0.00189 |
7.6 | 7.1185845E-5 | 1.5410586E-4 | 8.8399334E-4 | 5.736274 | 7.3E-4 | 3.0504653E-4 | 6.602866E-4 | 0.0016096593 | 2.4378192 | 9.5E-4 | 0.0037076178 | 0.0080094095 | 0.009477556 | 1.1833026 | 0.00148 | 0.036463667 | 0.07822661 | 0.079968765 | 1.0222706 | 0.00189 |
7.7 | 6.709961E-5 | 1.4319421E-4 | 8.730897E-4 | 6.0972414 | 7.3E-4 | 2.8753807E-4 | 6.135452E-4 | 0.0015629623 | 2.5474281 | 9.5E-4 | 0.003495157 | 0.0074443663 | 0.008913348 | 1.1973281 | 0.00148 | 0.034406938 | 0.07305558 | 0.0748075 | 1.0239807 | 0.00189 |
7.8 | 6.300812E-5 | 1.320343E-4 | 8.419406E-4 | 6.3766804 | 7.1E-4 | 2.7000686E-4 | 5.657386E-4 | 0.0014852182 | 2.6252728 | 9.2E-4 | 0.0032823787 | 0.006866143 | 0.008306188 | 1.2097311 | 0.00145 | 0.032343175 | 0.06771385 | 0.06943858 | 1.0254709 | 0.00185 |
7.9 | 4.983037E-5 | 9.7241085E-5 | 6.471876E-4 | 6.6554956 | 5.5E-4 | 2.1354125E-4 | 4.1668097E-4 | 0.0011463768 | 2.75121 | 7.3E-4 | 0.0025967648 | 0.0050613005 | 0.0062054796 | 1.2260643 | 0.00115 | 0.025666296 | 0.050650507 | 0.052046053 | 1.0275524 | 0.00147 |
8.0 | 3.2211527E-5 | 5.3306234E-5 | 2.2329717E-4 | 4.1889505 | 1.7E-4 | 1.380421E-4 | 2.2843528E-4 | 4.183919E-4 | 1.8315554 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0016793669 | 0.0027776542 | 0.003036932 | 1.0933442 | 2.6E-4 | 0.016667323 | 0.028362568 | 0.028731791 | 1.0130179 | 3.8E-4 |
8.1 | 1.743376E-5 | 1.8823403E-5 | 3.8823026E-5 | 2.0624871 | 2.0E-5 | 7.471398E-5 | 8.066923E-5 | 1.0066762E-4 | 1.247906 | 2.0E-5 | 9.0926304E-4 | 9.81706E-4 | 0.0010116765 | 1.030529 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009055517 | 0.010483979 | 0.01052356 | 1.0037754 | 4.0E-5 |
8.2 | 7.831616E-6 | 5.1540533E-6 | 5.1540533E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3563636E-5 | 2.2088612E-5 | 2.2088612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0856065E-4 | 2.6889573E-4 | 2.6889573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004078103 | 0.0030413668 | 0.0030413668 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6564595E-7 | 7.6564595E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9949547E-5 | 3.9949547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.717979E-4 | 4.717979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bicycle Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.2097078E-5 | 3.920889E-4 | 17.743925 | 3.7E-4 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.4699084E-5 | 6.546461E-4 | 6.9129076 | 5.6E-4 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011524865 | 0.0022711956 | 1.9706918 | 0.00112 | 0.01018633 | 0.011478408 | 0.013267633 | 1.1558774 | 0.00181 |
6.1 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.2097078E-5 | 3.920889E-4 | 17.743925 | 3.7E-4 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.4699084E-5 | 6.546461E-4 | 6.9129076 | 5.6E-4 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011524865 | 0.0022711956 | 1.9706918 | 0.00112 | 0.01018633 | 0.011478408 | 0.013267633 | 1.1558774 | 0.00181 |
6.2 | 9.9971285E-6 | 1.125564E-5 | 2.2125327E-4 | 19.657104 | 2.1E-4 | 4.2844134E-5 | 4.8237856E-5 | 4.0822048E-4 | 8.462658 | 3.6E-4 | 5.2150246E-4 | 5.871897E-4 | 0.0012068256 | 2.0552568 | 6.2E-4 | 0.0052028033 | 0.005861487 | 0.0069749216 | 1.1899579 | 0.00112 |
6.3 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0798346E-5 | 2.1079619E-4 | 19.521154 | 2.0E-4 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.62781E-5 | 3.8626237E-4 | 8.346548 | 3.4E-4 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.6334207E-4 | 0.0011630041 | 2.0644722 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0049911533 | 0.0056242296 | 0.006708099 | 1.1927143 | 0.00109 |
6.4 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.0798346E-5 | 2.1079619E-4 | 19.521154 | 2.0E-4 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.62781E-5 | 3.8626237E-4 | 8.346548 | 3.4E-4 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.6334207E-4 | 0.0011630041 | 2.0644722 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0049911533 | 0.0056242296 | 0.006708099 | 1.1927143 | 0.00109 |
6.5 | 5.557707E-6 | 6.2856016E-6 | 1.3628478E-4 | 21.682058 | 1.3E-4 | 2.3818526E-5 | 2.6938165E-5 | 2.669317E-4 | 9.909053 | 2.4E-4 | 2.8995197E-4 | 3.279497E-4 | 7.278185E-4 | 2.2192993 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0028957394 | 0.0032772934 | 0.003955065 | 1.2068083 | 6.8E-4 |
6.6 | 4.8742945E-6 | 5.5132896E-6 | 1.2551263E-4 | 22.765469 | 1.2E-4 | 2.0889667E-5 | 2.3628318E-5 | 2.4362312E-4 | 10.310641 | 2.2E-4 | 2.54302E-4 | 2.87663E-4 | 6.575566E-4 | 2.2858572 | 3.7E-4 | 0.002540112 | 0.0028754752 | 0.0034837213 | 1.2115289 | 6.1E-4 |
6.7 | 3.991108E-6 | 4.5159104E-6 | 1.0451546E-4 | 23.14383 | 1.0E-4 | 1.7104636E-5 | 1.9353902E-5 | 1.9935041E-4 | 10.30027 | 1.8E-4 | 2.0822904E-4 | 2.3563375E-4 | 5.255654E-4 | 2.2304335 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0020803404 | 0.0023563374 | 0.0028850886 | 1.2243954 | 5.3E-4 |
Paradise
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6694768E-5 | 4.0668825E-4 | 24.360222 | 3.9E-4 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.154718E-5 | 7.315E-4 | 10.224022 | 6.6E-4 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.707624E-4 | 0.0020897 | 2.399851 | 0.00122 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008675884 | 0.010648619 | 1.2273815 | 0.00199 |
6.1 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6694768E-5 | 4.0668825E-4 | 24.360222 | 3.9E-4 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.154718E-5 | 7.315E-4 | 10.224022 | 6.6E-4 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.707624E-4 | 0.0020897 | 2.399851 | 0.00122 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008675884 | 0.010648619 | 1.2273815 | 0.00199 |
6.2 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6694768E-5 | 4.0668825E-4 | 24.360222 | 3.9E-4 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.154718E-5 | 7.315E-4 | 10.224022 | 6.6E-4 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.707624E-4 | 0.0020897 | 2.399851 | 0.00122 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008675884 | 0.010648619 | 1.2273815 | 0.00199 |
6.3 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.1888697E-5 | 1.4188715E-4 | 11.934626 | 1.3E-4 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.09506E-5 | 3.1093735E-4 | 6.102722 | 2.6E-4 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.201529E-4 | 0.0011897994 | 1.9185581 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0054258266 | 0.0061848317 | 0.007099142 | 1.147831 | 9.2E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.1888697E-5 | 1.4188715E-4 | 11.934626 | 1.3E-4 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.09506E-5 | 3.1093735E-4 | 6.102722 | 2.6E-4 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.201529E-4 | 0.0011897994 | 1.9185581 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0054258266 | 0.0061848317 | 0.007099142 | 1.147831 | 9.2E-4 |
6.5 | 9.25027E-6 | 1.0620037E-5 | 1.2061887E-4 | 11.357669 | 1.1E-4 | 3.964341E-5 | 4.551368E-5 | 2.6550365E-4 | 5.833492 | 2.2E-4 | 4.8255164E-4 | 5.5399304E-4 | 9.737604E-4 | 1.7577122 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0048150513 | 0.0055266195 | 0.0062128063 | 1.1241603 | 6.9E-4 |
6.6 | 7.904275E-6 | 9.159602E-6 | 6.9159054E-5 | 7.5504427 | 6.0E-5 | 3.3875025E-5 | 3.925487E-5 | 1.5925016E-4 | 4.0568256 | 1.2E-4 | 4.1235037E-4 | 4.7782718E-4 | 6.977221E-4 | 1.4601976 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0041158604 | 0.004768395 | 0.0051764394 | 1.0855728 | 4.1E-4 |
6.7 | 7.2061953E-6 | 8.407326E-6 | 5.8406906E-5 | 6.947144 | 5.0E-5 | 3.088333E-5 | 3.603092E-5 | 1.3602732E-4 | 3.775294 | 1.0E-4 | 3.7593965E-4 | 4.3859181E-4 | 5.9852167E-4 | 1.3646439 | 1.6E-4 | 0.003753043 | 0.004377631 | 0.0046564057 | 1.0636815 | 2.8E-4 |
6.8 | 6.6948724E-6 | 7.842242E-6 | 5.784185E-5 | 7.375678 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8691995E-5 | 3.3609194E-5 | 1.3360583E-4 | 3.9752762 | 1.0E-4 | 3.4926904E-4 | 4.091187E-4 | 5.5905734E-4 | 1.3664918 | 1.5E-4 | 0.003487206 | 0.0040840125 | 0.0043230327 | 1.0585257 | 2.4E-4 |
6.9 | 6.0421025E-6 | 7.1306963E-6 | 3.713048E-5 | 5.207133 | 3.0E-5 | 2.5894467E-5 | 3.0559786E-5 | 1.0055765E-4 | 3.2905219 | 7.0E-5 | 3.1521954E-4 | 3.7200528E-4 | 4.719681E-4 | 1.2687134 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0031477278 | 0.0037141638 | 0.0038934953 | 1.0482831 | 1.8E-4 |
7.0 | 4.134091E-6 | 5.0803824E-6 | 1.5080332E-5 | 2.9683456 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7717413E-5 | 2.1772896E-5 | 3.1772677E-5 | 1.4592767 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1568815E-4 | 2.650543E-4 | 2.9504634E-4 | 1.1131544 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021547892 | 0.0026475347 | 0.0027173494 | 1.0263697 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.7674888E-6 | 4.631936E-6 | 1.463189E-5 | 3.1589146 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6146281E-5 | 1.9851012E-5 | 2.9850813E-5 | 1.5037427 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9656324E-4 | 2.4166079E-4 | 2.7165352E-4 | 1.1241109 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019638946 | 0.0024141306 | 0.0024739858 | 1.0247936 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.4065345E-6 | 4.156782E-6 | 1.4156741E-5 | 3.405697 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4599351E-5 | 1.7814667E-5 | 2.7814489E-5 | 1.5613252 | 1.0E-5 | 1.777326E-4 | 2.168735E-4 | 2.4686698E-4 | 1.1382995 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017759053 | 0.0021667667 | 0.0022166583 | 1.0230259 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.9934936E-6 | 3.6293673E-6 | 3.6293673E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2829195E-5 | 1.5554348E-5 | 1.5554348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5618425E-4 | 1.8935918E-4 | 2.093554E-4 | 1.1055994 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015607453 | 0.0018921237 | 0.001932048 | 1.0211003 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.4049796E-6 | 2.8890186E-6 | 2.8890186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0307015E-5 | 1.2381457E-5 | 1.2381457E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2548068E-4 | 1.5073526E-4 | 1.6073375E-4 | 1.0663315 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012540985 | 0.0015064715 | 0.0015264414 | 1.0132561 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2710091E-6 | 1.5134859E-6 | 1.5134859E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.44717E-6 | 6.4863593E-6 | 6.4863593E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.631728E-5 | 7.896981E-5 | 8.896902E-5 | 1.1266207 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6297496E-4 | 7.895401E-4 | 7.995322E-4 | 1.0126556 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlic Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6760017E-5 | 1.8776833E-5 | 2.9877157E-4 | 15.911714 | 2.8E-4 | 7.182667E-5 | 8.0470316E-5 | 5.104357E-4 | 6.3431554 | 4.3E-4 | 8.7413884E-4 | 9.794032E-4 | 0.0018485511 | 1.8874261 | 8.7E-4 | 0.008707083 | 0.009762413 | 0.011237867 | 1.1511362 | 0.00149 |
6.1 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0973587E-5 | 1.8097172E-4 | 16.491573 | 1.7E-4 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.702921E-5 | 2.8701793E-4 | 6.102971 | 2.4E-4 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.7250116E-4 | 0.0010422322 | 1.820489 | 4.7E-4 | 0.005127866 | 0.005717221 | 0.006562362 | 1.1478236 | 8.5E-4 |
6.2 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0973587E-5 | 1.8097172E-4 | 16.491573 | 1.7E-4 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.702921E-5 | 2.8701793E-4 | 6.102971 | 2.4E-4 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.7250116E-4 | 0.0010422322 | 1.820489 | 4.7E-4 | 0.005127866 | 0.005717221 | 0.006562362 | 1.1478236 | 8.5E-4 |
6.3 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.7780286E-6 | 1.2477745E-4 | 26.114841 | 1.2E-4 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0477235E-5 | 1.7047416E-4 | 8.325058 | 1.5E-4 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4930484E-4 | 4.89245E-4 | 1.9624369 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0022499003 | 0.00249251 | 0.0028615878 | 1.1480747 | 3.7E-4 |
6.4 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.7780286E-6 | 1.2477745E-4 | 26.114841 | 1.2E-4 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0477235E-5 | 1.7047416E-4 | 8.325058 | 1.5E-4 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4930484E-4 | 4.89245E-4 | 1.9624369 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0022499003 | 0.00249251 | 0.0028615878 | 1.1480747 | 3.7E-4 |
6.5 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.7780286E-6 | 1.2477745E-4 | 26.114841 | 1.2E-4 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0477235E-5 | 1.7047416E-4 | 8.325058 | 1.5E-4 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4930484E-4 | 4.89245E-4 | 1.9624369 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0022499003 | 0.00249251 | 0.0028615878 | 1.1480747 | 3.7E-4 |
6.6 | 4.301311E-6 | 4.760897E-6 | 1.2476032E-4 | 26.205214 | 1.2E-4 | 1.8434059E-5 | 2.0403815E-5 | 1.7040076E-4 | 8.351417 | 1.5E-4 | 2.2441156E-4 | 2.4841115E-4 | 4.8835156E-4 | 1.9659002 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0022418506 | 0.002483593 | 0.002852674 | 1.1486077 | 3.7E-4 |
6.7 | 3.8599724E-6 | 4.27106E-6 | 9.4270676E-5 | 22.071962 | 9.0E-5 | 1.6542634E-5 | 1.8304541E-5 | 1.3830235E-4 | 7.5556297 | 1.2E-4 | 2.0138794E-4 | 2.228578E-4 | 4.2281323E-4 | 1.8972332 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0020120554 | 0.002228578 | 0.002537887 | 1.1387922 | 3.1E-4 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0005194E-4 | 6.899349E-4 | 2.299385 | 3.9E-4 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012853292 | 0.0018146479 | 1.4118158 | 5.3E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.015541554 | 0.016378345 | 1.0538421 | 8.5E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.14294699 | 0.14394118 | 1.0069549 | 0.00116 |
6.1 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0005194E-4 | 6.899349E-4 | 2.299385 | 3.9E-4 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012853292 | 0.0018146479 | 1.4118158 | 5.3E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.015541554 | 0.016378345 | 1.0538421 | 8.5E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.14294699 | 0.14394118 | 1.0069549 | 0.00116 |
6.2 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0005194E-4 | 6.899349E-4 | 2.299385 | 3.9E-4 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012853292 | 0.0018146479 | 1.4118158 | 5.3E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.015541554 | 0.016378345 | 1.0538421 | 8.5E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.14294699 | 0.14394118 | 1.0069549 | 0.00116 |
6.3 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.8793467E-4 | 6.678252E-4 | 2.3193638 | 3.8E-4 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012334478 | 0.0017428187 | 1.4129652 | 5.1E-4 | 0.006093008 | 0.014918666 | 0.015726432 | 1.0541447 | 8.2E-4 | 0.059286322 | 0.13765779 | 0.13862361 | 1.0070161 | 0.00112 |
6.4 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.8793467E-4 | 6.678252E-4 | 2.3193638 | 3.8E-4 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012334478 | 0.0017428187 | 1.4129652 | 5.1E-4 | 0.006093008 | 0.014918666 | 0.015726432 | 1.0541447 | 8.2E-4 | 0.059286322 | 0.13765779 | 0.13862361 | 1.0070161 | 0.00112 |
6.5 | 1.0689076E-4 | 2.6806415E-4 | 6.37965E-4 | 2.3798966 | 3.7E-4 | 4.5802278E-4 | 0.0011483653 | 0.0016378027 | 1.4262035 | 4.9E-4 | 0.0055621783 | 0.013896335 | 0.014675357 | 1.0560595 | 7.9E-4 | 0.05425003 | 0.1288989 | 0.1298484 | 1.0073662 | 0.00109 |
6.6 | 9.7648895E-5 | 2.505129E-4 | 6.0042524E-4 | 2.3967836 | 3.5E-4 | 4.1842813E-4 | 0.0010732086 | 0.0015427042 | 1.4374691 | 4.7E-4 | 0.005082469 | 0.012992399 | 0.013722784 | 1.0562164 | 7.4E-4 | 0.049677886 | 0.121077746 | 0.12199183 | 1.0075495 | 0.00104 |
6.7 | 8.757013E-5 | 2.3122175E-4 | 5.811408E-4 | 2.5133483 | 3.5E-4 | 3.7524657E-4 | 9.905964E-4 | 0.0014601308 | 1.4739916 | 4.7E-4 | 0.00455906 | 0.011997902 | 0.012719143 | 1.060114 | 7.3E-4 | 0.04466656 | 0.112373024 | 0.11328728 | 1.0081359 | 0.00103 |
6.8 | 8.562978E-5 | 2.2682057E-4 | 5.767412E-4 | 2.5427198 | 3.5E-4 | 3.6693315E-4 | 9.7174826E-4 | 0.0014412915 | 1.4831944 | 4.7E-4 | 0.004458263 | 0.011770921 | 0.012492328 | 1.0612873 | 7.3E-4 | 0.043698758 | 0.11037863 | 0.11129494 | 1.0083015 | 0.00103 |
6.9 | 6.124075E-5 | 1.7066885E-4 | 5.0061254E-4 | 2.933239 | 3.3E-4 | 2.6243398E-4 | 7.312337E-4 | 0.001170912 | 1.6012828 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0031904527 | 0.008866636 | 0.009550518 | 1.0771298 | 6.9E-4 | 0.031450346 | 0.08420262 | 0.0851001 | 1.0106586 | 9.8E-4 |
7.0 | 5.8598747E-5 | 1.6495936E-4 | 4.9490493E-4 | 3.0001628 | 3.3E-4 | 2.5111332E-4 | 7.067779E-4 | 0.0011464669 | 1.6221035 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0030530186 | 0.008571265 | 0.0092553515 | 1.0798116 | 6.9E-4 | 0.03011414 | 0.08151562 | 0.08241573 | 1.0110422 | 9.8E-4 |
7.1 | 5.613814E-5 | 1.5914452E-4 | 4.89092E-4 | 3.073257 | 3.3E-4 | 2.4056983E-4 | 6.818704E-4 | 0.0011215704 | 1.6448439 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0029250039 | 0.008270353 | 0.008954646 | 1.0827405 | 6.9E-4 | 0.028868021 | 0.07881268 | 0.07970624 | 1.0113376 | 9.7E-4 |
7.2 | 4.991222E-5 | 1.4520933E-4 | 4.7516142E-4 | 3.2722514 | 3.3E-4 | 2.1389198E-4 | 6.221777E-4 | 0.0010619039 | 1.7067535 | 4.4E-4 | 0.002601025 | 0.0075488063 | 0.0082335975 | 1.0907152 | 6.9E-4 | 0.025707912 | 0.07226191 | 0.073152535 | 1.012325 | 9.6E-4 |
7.3 | 4.7410045E-5 | 1.371513E-4 | 4.6710606E-4 | 3.4057717 | 3.3E-4 | 2.0317009E-4 | 5.8765925E-4 | 0.0010274007 | 1.7482933 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0024707897 | 0.0071313656 | 0.0078065163 | 1.0946734 | 6.8E-4 | 0.024434982 | 0.068541944 | 0.06942683 | 1.0129101 | 9.5E-4 |
7.4 | 4.5556746E-5 | 1.3123035E-4 | 4.6118704E-4 | 3.5143323 | 3.3E-4 | 1.952286E-4 | 5.6229485E-4 | 9.920531E-4 | 1.7642933 | 4.3E-4 | 0.002374317 | 0.0068245293 | 0.007489957 | 1.0975052 | 6.7E-4 | 0.023491086 | 0.06579143 | 0.06666958 | 1.0133476 | 9.4E-4 |
7.5 | 4.3084514E-5 | 1.2358342E-4 | 4.435439E-4 | 3.589024 | 3.2E-4 | 1.8463485E-4 | 5.2953605E-4 | 9.4931363E-4 | 1.7927271 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0022456115 | 0.0064281146 | 0.0070640007 | 1.0989226 | 6.4E-4 | 0.022230545 | 0.062190283 | 0.06304369 | 1.0137225 | 9.1E-4 |
7.6 | 3.408608E-5 | 9.836477E-5 | 4.1833328E-4 | 4.252877 | 3.2E-4 | 1.4607502E-4 | 4.214953E-4 | 8.413183E-4 | 1.9960325 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0017770125 | 0.005119656 | 0.0057563796 | 1.1243684 | 6.4E-4 | 0.017628696 | 0.05002244 | 0.050886918 | 1.0172819 | 9.1E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8315713E-5 | 8.2495724E-5 | 4.0246933E-4 | 4.878669 | 3.2E-4 | 1.2134742E-4 | 3.5350522E-4 | 7.7335676E-4 | 2.1876812 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0014764034 | 0.004295442 | 0.0049326927 | 1.1483551 | 6.4E-4 | 0.01466633 | 0.042272415 | 0.043143947 | 1.020617 | 9.1E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6222975E-5 | 7.463898E-5 | 3.8461585E-4 | 5.153016 | 3.1E-4 | 1.1237934E-4 | 3.1984213E-4 | 7.197142E-4 | 2.250217 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0013673597 | 0.003887131 | 0.004504721 | 1.1588807 | 6.2E-4 | 0.013589768 | 0.038437475 | 0.039293267 | 1.0222645 | 8.9E-4 |
7.9 | 2.1469694E-5 | 5.7884805E-5 | 3.378686E-4 | 5.8369136 | 2.8E-4 | 9.200973E-5 | 2.4805416E-4 | 5.9796736E-4 | 2.4106321 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0011196428 | 0.00301588 | 0.0035542515 | 1.1785122 | 5.4E-4 | 0.011140184 | 0.030153265 | 0.030909745 | 1.0250878 | 7.8E-4 |
8.0 | 1.2420249E-5 | 3.1321662E-5 | 1.3131853E-4 | 4.1925783 | 1.0E-4 | 5.322855E-5 | 1.342288E-4 | 2.542127E-4 | 1.893876 | 1.2E-4 | 6.478649E-4 | 0.0016330116 | 0.0017927503 | 1.0978185 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0064597935 | 0.01652369 | 0.016759725 | 1.0142846 | 2.4E-4 |
8.1 | 4.9197724E-6 | 7.822525E-6 | 7.822525E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1084568E-5 | 3.3524673E-5 | 3.3524673E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.566744E-4 | 4.080866E-4 | 4.080866E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002563781 | 0.004384557 | 0.004384557 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.5634774E-6 | 2.9065757E-6 | 2.9065757E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0986286E-5 | 1.2456694E-5 | 1.2456694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3374983E-4 | 1.5164974E-4 | 1.5164974E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013366934 | 0.001704941 | 0.001704941 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.2850464E-7 | 3.2080476E-7 | 3.2080476E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2650179E-6 | 1.3748769E-6 | 1.3748769E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7576245E-5 | 1.673901E-5 | 1.673901E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7572823E-4 | 1.986671E-4 | 1.986671E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.867027E-5 | 2.9866505E-4 | 15.996826 | 2.8E-4 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.001303E-5 | 4.899802E-4 | 6.1237555 | 4.1E-4 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.737309E-4 | 0.0017529713 | 1.8002627 | 7.8E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695496 | 0.010834347 | 1.1174618 | 0.00115 |
6.1 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.867027E-5 | 2.9866505E-4 | 15.996826 | 2.8E-4 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.001303E-5 | 4.899802E-4 | 6.1237555 | 4.1E-4 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.737309E-4 | 0.0017529713 | 1.8002627 | 7.8E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695496 | 0.010834347 | 1.1174618 | 0.00115 |
6.2 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.867027E-5 | 2.9866505E-4 | 15.996826 | 2.8E-4 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.001303E-5 | 4.899802E-4 | 6.1237555 | 4.1E-4 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.737309E-4 | 0.0017529713 | 1.8002627 | 7.8E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695496 | 0.010834347 | 1.1174618 | 0.00115 |
6.3 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.867027E-5 | 2.9866505E-4 | 15.996826 | 2.8E-4 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.001303E-5 | 4.899802E-4 | 6.1237555 | 4.1E-4 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.737309E-4 | 0.0017529713 | 1.8002627 | 7.8E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695496 | 0.010834347 | 1.1174618 | 0.00115 |
6.4 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.7338214E-5 | 2.6733387E-4 | 15.418768 | 2.5E-4 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.4304546E-5 | 4.3427778E-4 | 5.8445654 | 3.6E-4 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.042885E-4 | 0.0015636917 | 1.7291956 | 6.6E-4 | 0.008063202 | 0.009006773 | 0.009977946 | 1.107827 | 9.8E-4 |
6.5 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.7338214E-5 | 2.6733387E-4 | 15.418768 | 2.5E-4 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.4304546E-5 | 4.3427778E-4 | 5.8445654 | 3.6E-4 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.042885E-4 | 0.0015636917 | 1.7291956 | 6.6E-4 | 0.008063202 | 0.009006773 | 0.009977946 | 1.107827 | 9.8E-4 |
6.6 | 1.5041828E-5 | 1.6809145E-5 | 2.568051E-4 | 15.277702 | 2.4E-4 | 6.4463384E-5 | 7.203723E-5 | 4.2201203E-4 | 5.858248 | 3.5E-4 | 7.8455906E-4 | 8.767063E-4 | 0.0015161452 | 1.729365 | 6.4E-4 | 0.00781795 | 0.008733132 | 0.009664923 | 1.106696 | 9.4E-4 |
6.7 | 1.4634985E-5 | 1.6356016E-5 | 2.4635225E-4 | 15.061873 | 2.3E-4 | 6.271985E-5 | 7.009536E-5 | 4.0007223E-4 | 5.707542 | 3.3E-4 | 7.6334673E-4 | 8.5308263E-4 | 0.0014625622 | 1.7144438 | 6.1E-4 | 0.007607299 | 0.008498715 | 0.0094009815 | 1.106165 | 9.1E-4 |
6.8 | 1.4209158E-5 | 1.5882048E-5 | 2.3587856E-4 | 14.851898 | 2.2E-4 | 6.089497E-5 | 6.8064175E-5 | 3.5804443E-4 | 5.260395 | 2.9E-4 | 7.4114406E-4 | 8.2837185E-4 | 0.001387908 | 1.6754649 | 5.6E-4 | 0.007386771 | 0.008253456 | 0.009086523 | 1.1009356 | 8.4E-4 |
6.9 | 1.3780098E-5 | 1.5404594E-5 | 2.2540135E-4 | 14.632088 | 2.1E-4 | 5.9056227E-5 | 6.6018045E-5 | 3.4599955E-4 | 5.240985 | 2.8E-4 | 7.1877235E-4 | 8.0347876E-4 | 0.0013530368 | 1.6839734 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0071645193 | 0.008006332 | 0.008819767 | 1.101599 | 8.2E-4 |
7.0 | 1.3585064E-5 | 1.5188155E-5 | 1.9518542E-4 | 12.85116 | 1.8E-4 | 5.8220405E-5 | 6.50905E-5 | 3.1507423E-4 | 4.840556 | 2.5E-4 | 7.086029E-4 | 7.9219416E-4 | 0.0013117823 | 1.6558847 | 5.2E-4 | 0.007063476 | 0.007894293 | 0.008658215 | 1.0967689 | 7.7E-4 |
7.1 | 1.3398601E-5 | 1.49813395E-5 | 1.9497864E-4 | 13.014767 | 1.8E-4 | 5.742131E-5 | 6.420419E-5 | 3.0418878E-4 | 4.737834 | 2.4E-4 | 6.9888023E-4 | 7.8141113E-4 | 0.0012810205 | 1.639368 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0069668638 | 0.007787224 | 0.008521462 | 1.0942874 | 7.4E-4 |
7.2 | 1.3126312E-5 | 1.4679561E-5 | 1.7467722E-4 | 11.899348 | 1.6E-4 | 5.6254412E-5 | 6.291092E-5 | 2.728977E-4 | 4.3378434 | 2.1E-4 | 6.846822E-4 | 7.6567667E-4 | 0.0012253245 | 1.6003158 | 4.6E-4 | 0.006825765 | 0.00763097 | 0.008305781 | 1.0884305 | 6.8E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2922429E-5 | 1.4453788E-5 | 1.7445147E-4 | 12.069602 | 1.6E-4 | 5.5380664E-5 | 6.194336E-5 | 2.6193098E-4 | 4.2285557 | 2.0E-4 | 6.74051E-4 | 7.53905E-4 | 0.0011735883 | 1.5566794 | 4.2E-4 | 0.006720101 | 0.007514055 | 0.0081293965 | 1.081892 | 6.2E-4 |
7.4 | 1.2768878E-5 | 1.4283772E-5 | 1.6428164E-4 | 11.501278 | 1.5E-4 | 5.4722615E-5 | 6.1214756E-5 | 2.5120314E-4 | 4.1036367 | 1.9E-4 | 6.660441E-4 | 7.4504025E-4 | 0.0011547348 | 1.5498959 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0066405144 | 0.0074260035 | 0.0080314735 | 1.0815338 | 6.1E-4 |
7.5 | 1.2521929E-5 | 1.40120155E-5 | 1.3401033E-4 | 9.563959 | 1.2E-4 | 5.366431E-5 | 6.005014E-5 | 2.2004053E-4 | 3.66428 | 1.6E-4 | 6.531671E-4 | 7.3087064E-4 | 0.001110593 | 1.5195478 | 3.8E-4 | 0.006512506 | 0.0072852457 | 0.00786102 | 1.079033 | 5.8E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1301089E-5 | 1.2648149E-5 | 1.12646885E-4 | 8.906196 | 1.0E-4 | 4.8432343E-5 | 5.4205255E-5 | 1.9419767E-4 | 3.5826354 | 1.4E-4 | 5.895042E-4 | 6.5975444E-4 | 9.995302E-4 | 1.5150032 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0058794282 | 0.00657851 | 0.007114958 | 1.0815455 | 5.4E-4 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.0283358E-5 | 6.0282844E-5 | 5.862175 | 5.0E-5 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.407082E-5 | 1.240673E-4 | 2.81518 | 8.0E-5 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.3643517E-4 | 7.2633324E-4 | 1.3540001 | 1.9E-4 | 0.004783291 | 0.005351914 | 0.005709987 | 1.0669056 | 3.6E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6482615E-7 | 1.0364823E-5 | 28.410307 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635396E-6 | 1.1563524E-5 | 7.3957343 | 1.0E-5 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9035933E-5 | 2.9035744E-5 | 1.5253123 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9034347E-4 | 2.0034157E-4 | 1.0525266 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Helendale-So Lockhart
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8103729E-5 | 2.9809866E-4 | 16.466146 | 2.8E-4 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.7585224E-5 | 4.775542E-4 | 6.155221 | 4.0E-4 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.4421144E-4 | 0.0016635316 | 1.761821 | 7.2E-4 | 0.008984311 | 0.009404116 | 0.010394712 | 1.1053364 | 0.001 |
6.1 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8103729E-5 | 2.9809866E-4 | 16.466146 | 2.8E-4 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.7585224E-5 | 4.775542E-4 | 6.155221 | 4.0E-4 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.4421144E-4 | 0.0016635316 | 1.761821 | 7.2E-4 | 0.008984311 | 0.009404116 | 0.010394712 | 1.1053364 | 0.001 |
6.2 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8103729E-5 | 2.9809866E-4 | 16.466146 | 2.8E-4 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.7585224E-5 | 4.775542E-4 | 6.155221 | 4.0E-4 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.4421144E-4 | 0.0016635316 | 1.761821 | 7.2E-4 | 0.008984311 | 0.009404116 | 0.010394712 | 1.1053364 | 0.001 |
6.3 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1135425E-5 | 1.8113352E-4 | 16.266424 | 1.7E-4 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.772239E-5 | 2.7771143E-4 | 5.8193107 | 2.3E-4 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.80868E-4 | 9.806356E-4 | 1.6882246 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0055515557 | 0.0057937936 | 0.0063903173 | 1.102959 | 6.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1135425E-5 | 1.8113352E-4 | 16.266424 | 1.7E-4 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.772239E-5 | 2.7771143E-4 | 5.8193107 | 2.3E-4 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.80868E-4 | 9.806356E-4 | 1.6882246 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0055515557 | 0.0057937936 | 0.0063903173 | 1.102959 | 6.0E-4 |
6.5 | 8.790038E-6 | 9.170197E-6 | 1.39169E-4 | 15.176229 | 1.3E-4 | 3.767105E-5 | 3.930026E-5 | 2.292928E-4 | 5.8343835 | 1.9E-4 | 4.585485E-4 | 4.7837716E-4 | 8.2820974E-4 | 1.7312902 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0045760344 | 0.004773638 | 0.005241395 | 1.0979874 | 4.7E-4 |
6.6 | 7.396949E-6 | 7.715537E-6 | 1.3771454E-4 | 17.84899 | 1.3E-4 | 3.1700827E-5 | 3.3066175E-5 | 2.1306022E-4 | 6.4434495 | 1.8E-4 | 3.858892E-4 | 4.025073E-4 | 7.1238255E-4 | 1.7698623 | 3.1E-4 | 0.003852198 | 0.00401789 | 0.0044362023 | 1.1041125 | 4.2E-4 |
6.7 | 6.4600285E-6 | 6.738031E-6 | 1.2673723E-4 | 18.809237 | 1.2E-4 | 2.7685543E-5 | 2.887696E-5 | 1.8887233E-4 | 6.5405893 | 1.6E-4 | 3.3701936E-4 | 3.5152107E-4 | 6.2142615E-4 | 1.7678206 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0033650869 | 0.003509732 | 0.0038784333 | 1.1050512 | 3.7E-4 |
6.8 | 5.600104E-6 | 5.836009E-6 | 6.583566E-5 | 11.280938 | 6.0E-5 | 2.4000226E-5 | 2.5011232E-5 | 1.1500898E-4 | 4.5982933 | 9.0E-5 | 2.9216358E-4 | 3.044698E-4 | 4.94412E-4 | 1.6238456 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0029177975 | 0.003040588 | 0.0033297064 | 1.0950863 | 2.9E-4 |
6.9 | 4.839122E-6 | 5.0395092E-6 | 6.503921E-5 | 12.905861 | 6.0E-5 | 2.0738931E-5 | 2.159772E-5 | 1.0159599E-4 | 4.704015 | 8.0E-5 | 2.5246723E-4 | 2.6292098E-4 | 4.328763E-4 | 1.6464121 | 1.7E-4 | 0.002521806 | 0.002626147 | 0.0028854639 | 1.0987444 | 2.6E-4 |
7.0 | 3.6937633E-6 | 3.845208E-6 | 5.3845015E-5 | 14.003148 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5830317E-5 | 1.647936E-5 | 8.6478205E-5 | 5.247668 | 7.0E-5 | 1.9271708E-4 | 2.0061806E-4 | 3.3059198E-4 | 1.6478676 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0019255003 | 0.002004401 | 0.0021940202 | 1.0946014 | 1.9E-4 |
7.1 | 2.7858857E-6 | 2.8978538E-6 | 2.2897795E-5 | 7.9016395 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1939455E-5 | 1.2419316E-5 | 5.2418818E-5 | 4.2207494 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4535317E-4 | 1.511949E-4 | 2.4118129E-4 | 1.5951682 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0014525814 | 0.0015109418 | 0.0016407453 | 1.085909 | 1.3E-4 |
7.2 | 2.1672065E-6 | 2.2540128E-6 | 1.22539905E-5 | 5.436522 | 1.0E-5 | 9.2879945E-6 | 9.66002E-6 | 3.965973E-5 | 4.1055536 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1307546E-4 | 1.1760458E-4 | 1.8759635E-4 | 1.5951449 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011301794 | 0.0011754417 | 0.0012553476 | 1.0679796 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4823496E-6 | 1.5422102E-6 | 1.1542194E-5 | 7.4841905 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3529114E-6 | 6.6094562E-6 | 2.6609325E-5 | 4.0259476 | 2.0E-5 | 7.734395E-5 | 8.046731E-5 | 1.3046329E-4 | 1.6213204 | 5.0E-5 | 7.731704E-4 | 8.0439687E-4 | 8.543567E-4 | 1.0621084 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.2321457E-7 | 4.4108765E-7 | 4.4108765E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8137755E-6 | 1.8903745E-6 | 1.8903745E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2082493E-5 | 2.3015113E-5 | 2.3015113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2080299E-4 | 2.3013182E-4 | 2.3013182E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.6942316E-8 | 5.9415648E-8 | 5.9415648E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.440385E-7 | 2.5463845E-7 | 2.5463845E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711643E-6 | 3.1002196E-6 | 3.1002196E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711247E-5 | 3.1001844E-5 | 3.1001844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Big Bend)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0073925E-4 | 3.8070313E-4 | 1.8965056 | 1.8E-4 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.6002843E-4 | 0.0011397876 | 1.3252907 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010420859 | 0.010945336 | 1.0503296 | 5.3E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.101455905 | 0.10218373 | 1.0071738 | 8.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0073925E-4 | 3.8070313E-4 | 1.8965056 | 1.8E-4 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.6002843E-4 | 0.0011397876 | 1.3252907 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010420859 | 0.010945336 | 1.0503296 | 5.3E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.101455905 | 0.10218373 | 1.0071738 | 8.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0073925E-4 | 3.8070313E-4 | 1.8965056 | 1.8E-4 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.6002843E-4 | 0.0011397876 | 1.3252907 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010420859 | 0.010945336 | 1.0503296 | 5.3E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.101455905 | 0.10218373 | 1.0071738 | 8.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0073925E-4 | 3.8070313E-4 | 1.8965056 | 1.8E-4 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.6002843E-4 | 0.0011397876 | 1.3252907 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010420859 | 0.010945336 | 1.0503296 | 5.3E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.101455905 | 0.10218373 | 1.0071738 | 8.1E-4 |
6.4 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8430917E-4 | 2.8429073E-4 | 1.5424666 | 1.0E-4 | 3.9268145E-4 | 7.896575E-4 | 9.395391E-4 | 1.1898057 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009571818 | 0.00989866 | 1.0341462 | 3.3E-4 | 0.046693064 | 0.09378695 | 0.09421287 | 1.0045414 | 4.7E-4 |
6.5 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8430917E-4 | 2.8429073E-4 | 1.5424666 | 1.0E-4 | 3.9268145E-4 | 7.896575E-4 | 9.395391E-4 | 1.1898057 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009571818 | 0.00989866 | 1.0341462 | 3.3E-4 | 0.046693064 | 0.09378695 | 0.09421287 | 1.0045414 | 4.7E-4 |
6.6 | 9.042622E-5 | 1.8238011E-4 | 2.8236187E-4 | 1.5482054 | 1.0E-4 | 3.8748336E-4 | 7.813951E-4 | 9.3127793E-4 | 1.1918143 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0047074095 | 0.0094721 | 0.009798974 | 1.0345092 | 3.3E-4 | 0.046089325 | 0.09287721 | 0.09330356 | 1.0045904 | 4.7E-4 |
6.7 | 8.9836685E-5 | 1.8152347E-4 | 2.8150532E-4 | 1.5507929 | 1.0E-4 | 3.8495753E-4 | 7.7772595E-4 | 9.2760933E-4 | 1.1927199 | 1.5E-4 | 0.00467679 | 0.009427815 | 0.009754703 | 1.0346729 | 3.3E-4 | 0.045795817 | 0.09247148 | 0.09289802 | 1.0046127 | 4.7E-4 |
6.8 | 8.9471854E-5 | 1.8099119E-4 | 2.809731E-4 | 1.5524131 | 1.0E-4 | 3.8339442E-4 | 7.754462E-4 | 9.2532986E-4 | 1.193287 | 1.5E-4 | 0.004657841 | 0.009400298 | 0.009717289 | 1.0337214 | 3.2E-4 | 0.04561414 | 0.0922192 | 0.09263679 | 1.0045282 | 4.6E-4 |
6.9 | 8.858234E-5 | 1.7981093E-4 | 2.5979654E-4 | 1.4448318 | 8.0E-5 | 3.7958333E-4 | 7.7039085E-4 | 9.002907E-4 | 1.1686155 | 1.3E-4 | 0.004611638 | 0.009339278 | 0.009636477 | 1.0318224 | 3.0E-4 | 0.04517103 | 0.09165911 | 0.09204969 | 1.0042613 | 4.3E-4 |
7.0 | 8.7433385E-5 | 1.7819891E-4 | 2.5818465E-4 | 1.4488566 | 8.0E-5 | 3.746607E-4 | 7.6348626E-4 | 8.93387E-4 | 1.1701416 | 1.3E-4 | 0.004551957 | 0.009255932 | 0.009553155 | 1.0321116 | 3.0E-4 | 0.044598386 | 0.09089323 | 0.09128414 | 1.0043008 | 4.3E-4 |
7.1 | 8.684964E-5 | 1.7731842E-4 | 2.5730423E-4 | 1.4510858 | 8.0E-5 | 3.7215967E-4 | 7.597149E-4 | 8.896162E-4 | 1.1709868 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0045216335 | 0.009210405 | 0.009487826 | 1.0301204 | 2.8E-4 | 0.04430731 | 0.09047475 | 0.090847656 | 1.0041217 | 4.1E-4 |
7.2 | 8.606521E-5 | 1.7622454E-4 | 2.5621045E-4 | 1.4538863 | 8.0E-5 | 3.6879873E-4 | 7.550296E-4 | 8.849314E-4 | 1.1720487 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0044808835 | 0.009153842 | 0.009431278 | 1.0303082 | 2.8E-4 | 0.043916024 | 0.08995518 | 0.090319194 | 1.0040467 | 4.0E-4 |
7.3 | 8.568266E-5 | 1.7564454E-4 | 2.556305E-4 | 1.4553853 | 8.0E-5 | 3.6715972E-4 | 7.5254537E-4 | 8.824475E-4 | 1.1726171 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0044610105 | 0.00912385 | 0.009401295 | 1.0304087 | 2.8E-4 | 0.043725148 | 0.08967623 | 0.09004036 | 1.0040605 | 4.0E-4 |
7.4 | 8.5432206E-5 | 1.752704E-4 | 2.5525637E-4 | 1.4563576 | 8.0E-5 | 3.6608664E-4 | 7.509428E-4 | 8.808452E-4 | 1.1729857 | 1.3E-4 | 0.004447999 | 0.009104501 | 0.009381953 | 1.0304741 | 2.8E-4 | 0.043600157 | 0.08949642 | 0.08986062 | 1.0040694 | 4.0E-4 |
7.5 | 8.4791965E-5 | 1.7396381E-4 | 2.539499E-4 | 1.4597857 | 8.0E-5 | 3.633435E-4 | 7.4534636E-4 | 8.7524945E-4 | 1.1742855 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0044147377 | 0.009036932 | 0.009314402 | 1.030704 | 2.8E-4 | 0.043280575 | 0.08887209 | 0.08922743 | 1.0039983 | 3.9E-4 |
7.6 | 8.241105E-5 | 1.6841735E-4 | 2.4840387E-4 | 1.4749305 | 8.0E-5 | 3.531424E-4 | 7.2158914E-4 | 8.514953E-4 | 1.180028 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0042910352 | 0.008750047 | 0.009027597 | 1.0317198 | 2.8E-4 | 0.042091176 | 0.08625032 | 0.08660668 | 1.0041317 | 3.9E-4 |
7.7 | 7.00432E-5 | 1.4205615E-4 | 1.9204905E-4 | 1.3519235 | 5.0E-5 | 3.001506E-4 | 6.0867006E-4 | 6.8862137E-4 | 1.1313541 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0036482112 | 0.0073854174 | 0.0075938664 | 1.0282245 | 2.1E-4 | 0.035888977 | 0.07352299 | 0.07379167 | 1.0036544 | 2.9E-4 |
7.8 | 6.415362E-5 | 1.2969968E-4 | 1.696945E-4 | 1.3083647 | 4.0E-5 | 2.749151E-4 | 5.557374E-4 | 6.1570405E-4 | 1.1079047 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0033419547 | 0.0067451415 | 0.0069239275 | 1.0265058 | 1.8E-4 | 0.03292141 | 0.06725514 | 0.06748833 | 1.0034672 | 2.5E-4 |
7.9 | 4.939911E-5 | 9.341721E-5 | 1.2341441E-4 | 1.3211099 | 3.0E-5 | 2.116933E-4 | 4.0029807E-4 | 4.4028208E-4 | 1.0998856 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0025743195 | 0.004862747 | 0.0049821637 | 1.0245574 | 1.2E-4 | 0.025447013 | 0.048915803 | 0.049077485 | 1.0033053 | 1.7E-4 |
8.0 | 3.344983E-5 | 5.2228E-5 | 7.2226954E-5 | 1.3829163 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4334853E-4 | 2.2381509E-4 | 2.4381062E-4 | 1.0893395 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017438711 | 0.0027215453 | 0.0027714092 | 1.0183219 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017302496 | 0.027923161 | 0.028000928 | 1.002785 | 8.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9104898E-5 | 1.9171663E-5 | 2.917147E-5 | 1.5215932 | 1.0E-5 | 8.1875565E-5 | 8.2161685E-5 | 9.216086E-5 | 1.1217012 | 1.0E-5 | 9.963791E-4 | 9.9986E-4 | 0.00101984 | 1.0199828 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009919235 | 0.010749552 | 0.010769337 | 1.0018406 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032481793 | 0.0032481793 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6564595E-7 | 7.6564595E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9949547E-5 | 3.9949547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.717979E-4 | 4.717979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1706745E-5 | 2.4170197E-4 | 11.134879 | 2.2E-4 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.302599E-5 | 3.7299996E-4 | 4.009631 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011320751 | 0.0016115317 | 1.4235202 | 4.8E-4 | 0.010280091 | 0.011270258 | 0.012081017 | 1.0719379 | 8.2E-4 |
6.1 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1706745E-5 | 2.4170197E-4 | 11.134879 | 2.2E-4 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.302599E-5 | 3.7299996E-4 | 4.009631 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011320751 | 0.0016115317 | 1.4235202 | 4.8E-4 | 0.010280091 | 0.011270258 | 0.012081017 | 1.0719379 | 8.2E-4 |
6.2 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1706745E-5 | 2.4170197E-4 | 11.134879 | 2.2E-4 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.302599E-5 | 3.7299996E-4 | 4.009631 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011320751 | 0.0016115317 | 1.4235202 | 4.8E-4 | 0.010280091 | 0.011270258 | 0.012081017 | 1.0719379 | 8.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.682067E-5 | 2.2681714E-4 | 13.48443 | 2.1E-4 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.2086936E-5 | 3.320682E-4 | 4.6064963 | 2.6E-4 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.773662E-4 | 0.0012870065 | 1.4668977 | 4.1E-4 | 0.007974784 | 0.00874507 | 0.00944886 | 1.0804785 | 7.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.682067E-5 | 2.2681714E-4 | 13.48443 | 2.1E-4 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.2086936E-5 | 3.320682E-4 | 4.6064963 | 2.6E-4 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.773662E-4 | 0.0012870065 | 1.4668977 | 4.1E-4 | 0.007974784 | 0.00874507 | 0.00944886 | 1.0804785 | 7.1E-4 |
6.5 | 1.4189697E-5 | 1.5557987E-5 | 2.1555487E-4 | 13.854934 | 2.0E-4 | 6.081157E-5 | 6.6675726E-5 | 3.1665905E-4 | 4.749241 | 2.5E-4 | 7.401293E-4 | 8.115349E-4 | 0.0012112103 | 1.4924932 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0073766913 | 0.008091656 | 0.008766154 | 1.0833572 | 6.8E-4 |
6.6 | 1.3469301E-5 | 1.4771577E-5 | 2.1476862E-4 | 14.539315 | 2.0E-4 | 5.7724297E-5 | 6.330556E-5 | 3.0329038E-4 | 4.790896 | 2.4E-4 | 7.025667E-4 | 7.7053264E-4 | 0.0011602321 | 1.5057534 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0070034964 | 0.0076845144 | 0.008339442 | 1.085227 | 6.6E-4 |
6.7 | 1.3027966E-5 | 1.4281745E-5 | 1.8427931E-4 | 12.903137 | 1.7E-4 | 5.5832945E-5 | 6.120638E-5 | 2.7119354E-4 | 4.4308047 | 2.1E-4 | 6.7955407E-4 | 7.4499263E-4 | 0.0010947319 | 1.4694533 | 3.5E-4 | 0.006774798 | 0.0074308286 | 0.00802637 | 1.0801446 | 6.0E-4 |
6.8 | 5.695434E-6 | 6.2244176E-6 | 7.622398E-5 | 12.245962 | 7.0E-5 | 2.4408775E-5 | 2.6675973E-5 | 1.0667384E-4 | 3.9988735 | 8.0E-5 | 2.971363E-4 | 3.2476155E-4 | 4.3472584E-4 | 1.3386 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0029673933 | 0.0032458105 | 0.0034551288 | 1.0644888 | 2.1E-4 |
6.9 | 4.385688E-6 | 4.7930553E-6 | 6.4792766E-5 | 13.518051 | 6.0E-5 | 1.879567E-5 | 2.0541665E-5 | 9.054023E-5 | 4.407638 | 7.0E-5 | 2.2881327E-4 | 2.5009477E-4 | 3.4007226E-4 | 1.3597735 | 9.0E-5 | 0.002285778 | 0.0025009478 | 0.0026705228 | 1.0678042 | 1.7E-4 |
Death Valley (No)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2500084E-5 | 1.4249739E-4 | 6.3331933 | 1.2E-4 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.642541E-5 | 2.66409E-4 | 2.7628508 | 1.7E-4 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011733545 | 0.0015728851 | 1.340503 | 4.0E-4 | 0.010420183 | 0.011672506 | 0.01228527 | 1.0524963 | 6.2E-4 |
6.1 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2500084E-5 | 1.4249739E-4 | 6.3331933 | 1.2E-4 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.642541E-5 | 2.66409E-4 | 2.7628508 | 1.7E-4 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011733545 | 0.0015728851 | 1.340503 | 4.0E-4 | 0.010420183 | 0.011672506 | 0.01228527 | 1.0524963 | 6.2E-4 |
6.2 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2500084E-5 | 1.4249739E-4 | 6.3331933 | 1.2E-4 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.642541E-5 | 2.66409E-4 | 2.7628508 | 1.7E-4 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011733545 | 0.0015728851 | 1.340503 | 4.0E-4 | 0.010420183 | 0.011672506 | 0.01228527 | 1.0524963 | 6.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.1336948E-5 | 1.4133439E-4 | 6.623927 | 1.2E-4 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.1440896E-5 | 2.6142536E-4 | 2.8589544 | 1.7E-4 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.001112731 | 0.0015122859 | 1.3590759 | 4.0E-4 | 0.009891188 | 0.011072419 | 0.011685554 | 1.055375 | 6.2E-4 |
6.4 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.1336948E-5 | 1.4133439E-4 | 6.623927 | 1.2E-4 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.1440896E-5 | 2.6142536E-4 | 2.8589544 | 1.7E-4 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.001112731 | 0.0015122859 | 1.3590759 | 4.0E-4 | 0.009891188 | 0.011072419 | 0.011685554 | 1.055375 | 6.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.8367004E-5 | 2.0561009E-5 | 1.4055854E-4 | 6.8361697 | 1.2E-4 | 7.8713354E-5 | 8.811567E-5 | 2.5810068E-4 | 2.9291124 | 1.7E-4 | 9.5791375E-4 | 0.0010722869 | 0.0014618686 | 1.3633187 | 3.9E-4 | 0.009537951 | 0.0106719155 | 0.011265513 | 1.0556223 | 6.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.779439E-5 | 1.9910927E-5 | 1.3990854E-4 | 7.026721 | 1.2E-4 | 7.625944E-5 | 8.53298E-5 | 2.5531527E-4 | 2.9921002 | 1.7E-4 | 9.280632E-4 | 0.0010384015 | 0.0014279966 | 1.3751873 | 3.9E-4 | 0.009241969 | 0.010336253 | 0.010930051 | 1.0574481 | 6.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.7025437E-5 | 1.9043426E-5 | 1.3904113E-4 | 7.301267 | 1.2E-4 | 7.296412E-5 | 8.161216E-5 | 2.5159828E-4 | 3.0828528 | 1.7E-4 | 8.87976E-4 | 9.931813E-4 | 0.001382794 | 1.3922875 | 3.9E-4 | 0.008844362 | 0.009888145 | 0.0104822125 | 1.0600787 | 6.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.6545107E-5 | 1.8512545E-5 | 1.3851032E-4 | 7.481971 | 1.2E-4 | 7.090568E-5 | 7.93371E-5 | 2.393244E-4 | 3.016551 | 1.6E-4 | 8.629347E-4 | 9.655073E-4 | 0.0013451404 | 1.3931955 | 3.8E-4 | 0.008595915 | 0.009613829 | 0.010198156 | 1.0607799 | 5.9E-4 |
6.9 | 1.615478E-5 | 1.8087594E-5 | 1.3808542E-4 | 7.6342616 | 1.2E-4 | 6.9232934E-5 | 7.751599E-5 | 2.3750358E-4 | 3.0639303 | 1.6E-4 | 8.4258494E-4 | 9.433546E-4 | 0.0013229962 | 1.4024378 | 3.8E-4 | 0.008393973 | 0.009394196 | 0.009978653 | 1.0622147 | 5.9E-4 |
7.0 | 1.5894311E-5 | 1.780555E-5 | 1.378034E-4 | 7.7393517 | 1.2E-4 | 6.81167E-5 | 7.6307304E-5 | 2.3629509E-4 | 3.0966249 | 1.6E-4 | 8.2900526E-4 | 9.286515E-4 | 0.0013082986 | 1.4088155 | 3.8E-4 | 0.008259195 | 0.009248397 | 0.009832941 | 1.0632049 | 5.9E-4 |
7.1 | 1.5602263E-5 | 1.7483504E-5 | 1.374814E-4 | 7.863493 | 1.2E-4 | 6.6865134E-5 | 7.492718E-5 | 2.3491519E-4 | 3.1352465 | 1.6E-4 | 8.137789E-4 | 9.118627E-4 | 0.0012915162 | 1.4163494 | 3.8E-4 | 0.008108052 | 0.009081894 | 0.009666536 | 1.0643744 | 5.9E-4 |
7.2 | 1.5323829E-5 | 1.717063E-5 | 1.3716856E-4 | 7.988558 | 1.2E-4 | 6.56719E-5 | 7.358637E-5 | 2.335746E-4 | 3.1741557 | 1.6E-4 | 7.99262E-4 | 8.9555193E-4 | 0.0012752116 | 1.4239393 | 3.8E-4 | 0.007963934 | 0.008920107 | 0.0095048435 | 1.0655527 | 5.9E-4 |
7.3 | 1.4556212E-5 | 1.6302456E-5 | 1.2630066E-4 | 7.7473397 | 1.1E-4 | 6.238227E-5 | 6.9865826E-5 | 2.1985534E-4 | 3.1468225 | 1.5E-4 | 7.592395E-4 | 8.5029035E-4 | 0.0012199758 | 1.4347755 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0075665074 | 0.008471014 | 0.009036186 | 1.0667183 | 5.7E-4 |
7.4 | 1.411725E-5 | 1.580796E-5 | 1.2580623E-4 | 7.95841 | 1.1E-4 | 6.0501097E-5 | 6.7746674E-5 | 2.1773651E-4 | 3.213981 | 1.5E-4 | 7.363519E-4 | 8.245094E-4 | 0.0011942043 | 1.4483817 | 3.7E-4 | 0.0073391674 | 0.008215138 | 0.008780455 | 1.0688142 | 5.7E-4 |
7.5 | 1.3503312E-5 | 1.5126289E-5 | 1.2512463E-4 | 8.271997 | 1.1E-4 | 5.7870053E-5 | 6.482538E-5 | 2.1481565E-4 | 3.3137586 | 1.5E-4 | 7.043401E-4 | 7.8896893E-4 | 0.001158677 | 1.4685965 | 3.7E-4 | 0.007021119 | 0.007862304 | 0.008427823 | 1.0719278 | 5.7E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1279839E-5 | 1.2626327E-5 | 1.0262519E-4 | 8.127873 | 9.0E-5 | 4.834127E-5 | 5.4111737E-5 | 1.841047E-4 | 3.4023063 | 1.3E-4 | 5.88396E-4 | 6.5861654E-4 | 9.883993E-4 | 1.5007203 | 3.3E-4 | 0.005868405 | 0.006567199 | 0.007093718 | 1.0801741 | 5.3E-4 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.0283358E-5 | 6.0282844E-5 | 5.862175 | 5.0E-5 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.407082E-5 | 1.240673E-4 | 2.81518 | 8.0E-5 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.3643517E-4 | 7.2633324E-4 | 1.3540001 | 1.9E-4 | 0.004783291 | 0.005351914 | 0.005709987 | 1.0669056 | 3.6E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6482615E-7 | 1.0364823E-5 | 28.410307 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635396E-6 | 1.1563524E-5 | 7.3957343 | 1.0E-5 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9035933E-5 | 2.9035744E-5 | 1.5253123 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9034347E-4 | 2.0034157E-4 | 1.0525266 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3384395E-4 | 4.2379953E-4 | 1.8123176 | 1.9E-4 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010018025 | 0.0012415621 | 1.2393281 | 2.4E-4 | 0.004329778 | 0.012128622 | 0.012484256 | 1.0293219 | 3.6E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.11258187 | 0.11304333 | 1.0040989 | 5.2E-4 |
6.1 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3384395E-4 | 4.2379953E-4 | 1.8123176 | 1.9E-4 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010018025 | 0.0012415621 | 1.2393281 | 2.4E-4 | 0.004329778 | 0.012128622 | 0.012484256 | 1.0293219 | 3.6E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.11258187 | 0.11304333 | 1.0040989 | 5.2E-4 |
6.2 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3384395E-4 | 4.2379953E-4 | 1.8123176 | 1.9E-4 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010018025 | 0.0012415621 | 1.2393281 | 2.4E-4 | 0.004329778 | 0.012128622 | 0.012484256 | 1.0293219 | 3.6E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.11258187 | 0.11304333 | 1.0040989 | 5.2E-4 |
6.3 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3384395E-4 | 4.2379953E-4 | 1.8123176 | 1.9E-4 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010018025 | 0.0012415621 | 1.2393281 | 2.4E-4 | 0.004329778 | 0.012128622 | 0.012484256 | 1.0293219 | 3.6E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.11258187 | 0.11304333 | 1.0040989 | 5.2E-4 |
6.4 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.2941893E-4 | 4.1937534E-4 | 1.8279892 | 1.9E-4 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.828559E-4 | 0.00122262 | 1.2439463 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0041964394 | 0.011900819 | 0.012256535 | 1.0298901 | 3.6E-4 | 0.041180745 | 0.110562965 | 0.11102547 | 1.0041832 | 5.2E-4 |
6.5 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.2941893E-4 | 4.1937534E-4 | 1.8279892 | 1.9E-4 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.828559E-4 | 0.00122262 | 1.2439463 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0041964394 | 0.011900819 | 0.012256535 | 1.0298901 | 3.6E-4 | 0.041180745 | 0.110562965 | 0.11102547 | 1.0041832 | 5.2E-4 |
6.6 | 7.619237E-5 | 2.2186468E-4 | 4.0182474E-4 | 1.8111254 | 1.8E-4 | 3.2649786E-4 | 9.5050444E-4 | 0.0011802858 | 1.2417468 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0039678677 | 0.0115115335 | 0.011857505 | 1.0300543 | 3.5E-4 | 0.03897764 | 0.10709954 | 0.10755492 | 1.004252 | 5.1E-4 |
6.7 | 7.440636E-5 | 2.1862281E-4 | 3.9858345E-4 | 1.8231559 | 1.8E-4 | 3.188454E-4 | 9.3662075E-4 | 0.0011664053 | 1.2453337 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0038750346 | 0.011344268 | 0.011690297 | 1.0305026 | 3.5E-4 | 0.038081564 | 0.1056081 | 0.10606424 | 1.0043192 | 5.1E-4 |
6.8 | 7.3735864E-5 | 2.1709445E-4 | 3.9705538E-4 | 1.8289522 | 1.8E-4 | 3.1597257E-4 | 9.300753E-4 | 0.0011498707 | 1.23632 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0038401815 | 0.011265406 | 0.011601577 | 1.029841 | 3.4E-4 | 0.03774495 | 0.104909696 | 0.10535724 | 1.004266 | 5.0E-4 |
6.9 | 7.27575E-5 | 2.1478413E-4 | 3.9474547E-4 | 1.8378707 | 1.8E-4 | 3.117806E-4 | 9.20181E-4 | 0.0011399785 | 1.2388633 | 2.2E-4 | 0.003789323 | 0.011146182 | 0.011482392 | 1.0301638 | 3.4E-4 | 0.037253562 | 0.10385753 | 0.1043056 | 1.0043143 | 5.0E-4 |
7.0 | 7.102591E-5 | 2.1062451E-4 | 3.905866E-4 | 1.8544214 | 1.8E-4 | 3.0436125E-4 | 9.023664E-4 | 0.0011221679 | 1.2435834 | 2.2E-4 | 0.003699303 | 0.010931484 | 0.011267767 | 1.0307628 | 3.4E-4 | 0.03638325 | 0.101959534 | 0.10240856 | 1.004404 | 5.0E-4 |
7.1 | 7.028513E-5 | 2.0898094E-4 | 3.8894333E-4 | 1.8611426 | 1.8E-4 | 3.0118722E-4 | 8.953274E-4 | 0.0011151304 | 1.2455002 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0036607897 | 0.010846641 | 0.011182953 | 1.0310061 | 3.4E-4 | 0.036010686 | 0.10120243 | 0.10165183 | 1.0044405 | 5.0E-4 |
7.2 | 6.8498244E-5 | 2.050596E-4 | 3.850227E-4 | 1.8776135 | 1.8E-4 | 2.9353087E-4 | 8.7853306E-4 | 0.0010983398 | 1.2501974 | 2.2E-4 | 0.003567883 | 0.0106441835 | 0.010980564 | 1.0316024 | 3.4E-4 | 0.035111405 | 0.09939449 | 0.09983579 | 1.0044398 | 4.9E-4 |
7.3 | 6.622592E-5 | 1.9733235E-4 | 3.7729685E-4 | 1.9119867 | 1.8E-4 | 2.8379448E-4 | 8.4543816E-4 | 0.0010652521 | 1.2600001 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0034497243 | 0.010245111 | 0.010571729 | 1.0318805 | 3.3E-4 | 0.033966612 | 0.095891245 | 0.09632522 | 1.0045257 | 4.8E-4 |
7.4 | 5.1050705E-5 | 1.4690042E-4 | 3.0687693E-4 | 2.089013 | 1.6E-4 | 2.1877038E-4 | 6.294222E-4 | 8.292963E-4 | 1.3175517 | 2.0E-4 | 0.002660276 | 0.007636482 | 0.0079441145 | 1.0402846 | 3.1E-4 | 0.02628654 | 0.07286554 | 0.07329202 | 1.005853 | 4.6E-4 |
7.5 | 3.9302922E-5 | 1.11307076E-4 | 2.7128926E-4 | 2.4373047 | 1.6E-4 | 1.6843023E-4 | 4.7694342E-4 | 6.7684805E-4 | 1.419137 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0020487092 | 0.0057913954 | 0.0060797157 | 1.0497843 | 2.9E-4 | 0.020299247 | 0.05601151 | 0.056407984 | 1.0070784 | 4.2E-4 |
7.6 | 2.9851626E-5 | 8.4956984E-5 | 2.449434E-4 | 2.883146 | 1.6E-4 | 1.2792926E-4 | 3.6405068E-4 | 5.6397787E-4 | 1.5491741 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0015564259 | 0.0044233347 | 0.004712052 | 1.0652714 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0154556995 | 0.043196145 | 0.043598004 | 1.0093031 | 4.2E-4 |
7.7 | 2.1135214E-5 | 6.353527E-5 | 2.235251E-4 | 3.5181262 | 1.6E-4 | 9.0576345E-5 | 2.722656E-4 | 4.7221116E-4 | 1.7343768 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0011022091 | 0.0033098008 | 0.003598841 | 1.0873286 | 2.9E-4 | 0.010967582 | 0.03258456 | 0.032990877 | 1.0124695 | 4.2E-4 |
7.8 | 1.883379E-5 | 5.564576E-5 | 2.056374E-4 | 3.6954732 | 1.5E-4 | 8.0713755E-5 | 2.3846005E-4 | 4.1841713E-4 | 1.7546635 | 1.8E-4 | 9.822468E-4 | 0.002899389 | 0.0031686062 | 1.0928531 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0097791655 | 0.028696978 | 0.0290855 | 1.0135387 | 4.0E-4 |
7.9 | 1.5156185E-5 | 4.1662403E-5 | 1.8165658E-4 | 4.3602037 | 1.4E-4 | 6.495346E-5 | 1.7854095E-4 | 3.485106E-4 | 1.9519925 | 1.7E-4 | 7.9052144E-4 | 0.0021715704 | 0.0024310057 | 1.119469 | 2.6E-4 | 0.007877152 | 0.021760946 | 0.022122893 | 1.0166329 | 3.7E-4 |
8.0 | 1.1405907E-5 | 2.9976925E-5 | 1.0997453E-4 | 3.6686392 | 8.0E-5 | 4.8881542E-5 | 1.2846621E-4 | 2.1845466E-4 | 1.7004833 | 9.0E-5 | 5.9497025E-4 | 0.0015629551 | 0.0016927519 | 1.0830457 | 1.3E-4 | 0.005933798 | 0.015774013 | 0.0159807 | 1.013103 | 2.1E-4 |
8.1 | 4.3511436E-6 | 7.369465E-6 | 7.369465E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8647626E-5 | 3.158304E-5 | 3.158304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2701119E-4 | 3.844558E-4 | 3.844558E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022677942 | 0.0041165445 | 0.0041165445 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.3042528E-6 | 2.7328301E-6 | 2.7328301E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.875332E-6 | 1.1712076E-5 | 1.1712076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2022553E-4 | 1.4258524E-4 | 1.4258524E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012016051 | 0.0015979637 | 0.0015979637 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.202968E-7 | 3.1590292E-7 | 3.1590292E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2298414E-6 | 1.353869E-6 | 1.353869E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.714798E-5 | 1.6483244E-5 | 1.6483244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7144665E-4 | 1.955901E-4 | 1.955901E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.937271E-4 | 4.1369183E-4 | 1.4084225 | 1.2E-4 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012583778 | 0.0014381513 | 1.1428612 | 1.8E-4 | 0.008420097 | 0.0152346175 | 0.015480809 | 1.01616 | 2.5E-4 | 0.081081145 | 0.13962454 | 0.1399945 | 1.0026497 | 4.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.937271E-4 | 4.1369183E-4 | 1.4084225 | 1.2E-4 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012583778 | 0.0014381513 | 1.1428612 | 1.8E-4 | 0.008420097 | 0.0152346175 | 0.015480809 | 1.01616 | 2.5E-4 | 0.081081145 | 0.13962454 | 0.1399945 | 1.0026497 | 4.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.937271E-4 | 4.1369183E-4 | 1.4084225 | 1.2E-4 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012583778 | 0.0014381513 | 1.1428612 | 1.8E-4 | 0.008420097 | 0.0152346175 | 0.015480809 | 1.01616 | 2.5E-4 | 0.081081145 | 0.13962454 | 0.1399945 | 1.0026497 | 4.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7703463E-4 | 2.5702047E-4 | 1.451809 | 8.0E-5 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.5861585E-4 | 8.7852485E-4 | 1.1580628 | 1.2E-4 | 0.005262531 | 0.0092177205 | 0.009396061 | 1.0193475 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0513964 | 0.08707393 | 0.08735694 | 1.0032502 | 3.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7703463E-4 | 2.5702047E-4 | 1.451809 | 8.0E-5 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.5861585E-4 | 8.7852485E-4 | 1.1580628 | 1.2E-4 | 0.005262531 | 0.0092177205 | 0.009396061 | 1.0193475 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0513964 | 0.08707393 | 0.08735694 | 1.0032502 | 3.1E-4 |
6.5 | 3.6624708E-5 | 4.6391986E-5 | 8.639013E-5 | 1.862178 | 4.0E-5 | 1.569536E-4 | 1.9880968E-4 | 2.4879974E-4 | 1.2514468 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001909235 | 0.0024181814 | 0.002488012 | 1.0288774 | 7.0E-5 | 0.01892915 | 0.023697061 | 0.023775166 | 1.0032959 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.5051324E-5 | 2.6147465E-5 | 4.6146943E-5 | 1.7648726 | 2.0E-5 | 1.073584E-4 | 1.12056E-4 | 1.3205376E-4 | 1.1784621 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013063047 | 0.0013634725 | 0.0013834452 | 1.0146484 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012986525 | 0.013565759 | 0.013585488 | 1.0014544 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.2189772E-5 | 2.2072489E-5 | 4.207205E-5 | 1.9060853 | 2.0E-5 | 9.509556E-5 | 9.459316E-5 | 1.1459127E-4 | 1.2114118 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011571734 | 0.0011510996 | 0.0011710766 | 1.0173547 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011511663 | 0.0114663225 | 0.0114860935 | 1.0017242 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6654378E-5 | 1.44376E-5 | 3.443731E-5 | 2.3852518 | 2.0E-5 | 7.137396E-5 | 6.187399E-5 | 8.187275E-5 | 1.3232176 | 2.0E-5 | 8.686314E-4 | 7.5306057E-4 | 7.730455E-4 | 1.0265383 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008652439 | 0.0075100763 | 0.007529926 | 1.0026431 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5042909E-5 | 1.2331886E-5 | 3.2331638E-5 | 2.621792 | 2.0E-5 | 6.446802E-5 | 5.2849886E-5 | 7.284883E-5 | 1.3784103 | 2.0E-5 | 7.8461546E-4 | 6.4326054E-4 | 6.6324766E-4 | 1.0310715 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007818509 | 0.006417925 | 0.0064377966 | 1.0030962 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.4361385E-5 | 1.1451172E-5 | 3.145094E-5 | 2.7465262 | 2.0E-5 | 6.154734E-5 | 4.9075545E-5 | 6.9074566E-5 | 1.4075149 | 2.0E-5 | 7.490812E-4 | 5.973339E-4 | 6.1732193E-4 | 1.0334622 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007465612 | 0.005960982 | 0.005980863 | 1.0033351 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3265571E-5 | 1.0244736E-5 | 3.024453E-5 | 2.9522023 | 2.0E-5 | 5.6851208E-5 | 4.3905282E-5 | 6.390441E-5 | 1.4555061 | 2.0E-5 | 6.919436E-4 | 5.344183E-4 | 5.544076E-4 | 1.0374038 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006897931 | 0.0053346003 | 0.005354494 | 1.0037291 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1596403E-5 | 8.504847E-6 | 8.504847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9697923E-5 | 3.6448844E-5 | 3.6448844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.049042E-4 | 4.4367602E-4 | 4.4367602E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006032603 | 0.004429357 | 0.004429357 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0150827E-5 | 7.238537E-6 | 7.238537E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3502816E-5 | 3.102194E-5 | 3.102194E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2951806E-4 | 3.776281E-4 | 3.776281E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005282581 | 0.003770271 | 0.003770271 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.080705E-6 | 6.352307E-6 | 6.352307E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8916725E-5 | 2.7223898E-5 | 2.7223898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7370812E-4 | 3.314019E-4 | 3.314019E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004726996 | 0.0033092257 | 0.0033092257 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.671649E-6 | 5.225419E-6 | 5.225419E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.287808E-5 | 2.2394468E-5 | 2.2394468E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0021708E-4 | 2.7261977E-4 | 2.7261977E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039949706 | 0.0027229784 | 0.0027229784 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.990086E-6 | 4.687336E-6 | 4.687336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9957167E-5 | 2.0088435E-5 | 2.0088435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6466747E-4 | 2.445504E-4 | 2.445504E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036406964 | 0.0024429292 | 0.0024429292 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.163505E-6 | 2.329331E-6 | 2.329331E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7843471E-5 | 9.982813E-6 | 9.982813E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.172226E-4 | 1.2153471E-4 | 1.2153471E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021701038 | 0.0012147555 | 0.0012147555 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.384417E-8 | 9.384417E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0218927E-7 | 4.0218927E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.8966467E-6 | 4.8966467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.8965718E-5 | 4.8965718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4397174E-9 | 3.4397174E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4741646E-8 | 1.4741646E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7947953E-7 | 1.7947953E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.794794E-6 | 1.794794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Parkfield)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.556969E-4 | 7.778562E-4 | 8.877707E-4 | 1.1413043 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0023793848 | 0.0033299583 | 0.0035093587 | 1.0538747 | 1.8E-4 | 0.028586963 | 0.040235043 | 0.040513374 | 1.0069176 | 2.9E-4 | 0.25176284 | 0.3371973 | 0.33750218 | 1.0009042 | 4.6E-4 |
6.1 | 1.925858E-4 | 3.0278185E-4 | 3.6276368E-4 | 1.1981025 | 6.0E-5 | 8.2510663E-4 | 0.001297085 | 0.0013869682 | 1.0692964 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0099994885 | 0.01577393 | 0.015931405 | 1.0099833 | 1.6E-4 | 0.095613256 | 0.14975825 | 0.1499623 | 1.0013626 | 2.4E-4 |
6.2 | 9.4306815E-5 | 1.8243887E-4 | 2.4242792E-4 | 1.3288172 | 6.0E-5 | 4.0410945E-4 | 7.8164786E-4 | 8.715775E-4 | 1.1150514 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0049089384 | 0.009475246 | 0.00963373 | 1.0167261 | 1.6E-4 | 0.048019063 | 0.0918565 | 0.09206538 | 1.0022739 | 2.3E-4 |
6.3 | 9.283051E-5 | 1.794041E-4 | 2.3939334E-4 | 1.3343805 | 6.0E-5 | 3.9778434E-4 | 7.686494E-4 | 8.5858017E-4 | 1.1169986 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0048322747 | 0.009318355 | 0.009476864 | 1.0170105 | 1.6E-4 | 0.047285385 | 0.090509474 | 0.09071866 | 1.0023112 | 2.3E-4 |
6.4 | 9.138826E-5 | 1.7702584E-4 | 2.370152E-4 | 1.3388736 | 6.0E-5 | 3.916052E-4 | 7.5846276E-4 | 8.4839447E-4 | 1.118571 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0047573745 | 0.009195387 | 0.009353916 | 1.01724 | 1.6E-4 | 0.046568092 | 0.0894136 | 0.089623034 | 1.0023423 | 2.3E-4 |
6.5 | 9.000255E-5 | 1.746064E-4 | 2.3459591E-4 | 1.34357 | 6.0E-5 | 3.8566816E-4 | 7.4809964E-4 | 8.3803234E-4 | 1.1202148 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0046854047 | 0.009070284 | 0.009228833 | 1.01748 | 1.6E-4 | 0.045878403 | 0.08829608 | 0.08850577 | 1.0023749 | 2.3E-4 |
6.6 | 8.8109264E-5 | 1.7141816E-4 | 2.3140787E-4 | 1.3499613 | 6.0E-5 | 3.7755648E-4 | 7.3444354E-4 | 8.2437746E-4 | 1.1224518 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0045870654 | 0.008905404 | 0.00906398 | 1.0178066 | 1.6E-4 | 0.04493529 | 0.08682707 | 0.0870371 | 1.002419 | 2.3E-4 |
6.7 | 8.738073E-5 | 1.7008898E-4 | 2.3007879E-4 | 1.3526965 | 6.0E-5 | 3.7443507E-4 | 7.287503E-4 | 8.1868476E-4 | 1.123409 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0045492216 | 0.008836695 | 0.008995281 | 1.0179464 | 1.6E-4 | 0.04457213 | 0.0862268 | 0.086436965 | 1.0024374 | 2.3E-4 |
6.8 | 8.710195E-5 | 1.6954402E-4 | 2.2953385E-4 | 1.3538305 | 6.0E-5 | 3.7324068E-4 | 7.26416E-4 | 8.163506E-4 | 1.123806 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0045347405 | 0.008808513 | 0.008967103 | 1.0180043 | 1.6E-4 | 0.04443313 | 0.08597436 | 0.08618458 | 1.0024452 | 2.3E-4 |
6.9 | 8.6801556E-5 | 1.6895356E-4 | 2.2894342E-4 | 1.3550671 | 6.0E-5 | 3.7195362E-4 | 7.238869E-4 | 8.1382174E-4 | 1.1242388 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0045191357 | 0.0087779695 | 0.008936565 | 1.0180675 | 1.6E-4 | 0.044283327 | 0.08570042 | 0.08591071 | 1.0024538 | 2.3E-4 |
7.0 | 8.5571606E-5 | 1.664819E-4 | 2.2647191E-4 | 1.3603395 | 6.0E-5 | 3.6668387E-4 | 7.132999E-4 | 8.032357E-4 | 1.1260841 | 9.0E-5 | 0.004455241 | 0.008650103 | 0.008808719 | 1.0183369 | 1.6E-4 | 0.043669727 | 0.08454836 | 0.084758915 | 1.0024903 | 2.3E-4 |
7.1 | 7.82589E-5 | 1.5128969E-4 | 2.112806E-4 | 1.3965302 | 6.0E-5 | 3.3535215E-4 | 6.4822397E-4 | 7.3816563E-4 | 1.1387509 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0040752706 | 0.007863738 | 0.00802248 | 1.0201865 | 1.6E-4 | 0.040013418 | 0.077460445 | 0.07767263 | 1.0027393 | 2.3E-4 |
7.2 | 7.690929E-5 | 1.4866212E-4 | 2.0865319E-4 | 1.4035398 | 6.0E-5 | 3.2956956E-4 | 6.369685E-4 | 7.269112E-4 | 1.1412042 | 9.0E-5 | 0.004005129 | 0.0077276826 | 0.007886446 | 1.0205448 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0393371 | 0.07623341 | 0.07644588 | 1.002787 | 2.3E-4 |
7.3 | 7.5543794E-5 | 1.4562748E-4 | 2.0561874E-4 | 1.4119501 | 6.0E-5 | 3.2371894E-4 | 6.239692E-4 | 7.1391306E-4 | 1.1441479 | 9.0E-5 | 0.003934157 | 0.0075705256 | 0.0077293147 | 1.0209746 | 1.6E-4 | 0.038652334 | 0.07479777 | 0.07501057 | 1.0028449 | 2.3E-4 |
7.4 | 7.4214564E-5 | 1.4263717E-4 | 2.0262861E-4 | 1.4205877 | 6.0E-5 | 3.1802364E-4 | 6.1115966E-4 | 7.0110464E-4 | 1.147171 | 9.0E-5 | 0.003865065 | 0.0074156416 | 0.007574455 | 1.0214161 | 1.6E-4 | 0.03798529 | 0.07337152 | 0.07358465 | 1.0029048 | 2.3E-4 |
7.5 | 6.149578E-5 | 1.1191443E-4 | 1.5190995E-4 | 1.357376 | 4.0E-5 | 2.6352672E-4 | 4.795452E-4 | 5.4951163E-4 | 1.1459017 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0032037178 | 0.005822865 | 0.0059620496 | 1.0239031 | 1.4E-4 | 0.03157923 | 0.058559462 | 0.05874775 | 1.0032153 | 2.0E-4 |
7.6 | 6.0643448E-5 | 1.102009E-4 | 1.5019649E-4 | 1.3629334 | 4.0E-5 | 2.598746E-4 | 4.7220418E-4 | 5.421711E-4 | 1.148171 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0031593828 | 0.005733962 | 0.005873159 | 1.0242759 | 1.4E-4 | 0.031148417 | 0.05772042 | 0.057908874 | 1.003265 | 2.0E-4 |
7.7 | 5.1652263E-5 | 9.175265E-5 | 1.3174898E-4 | 1.4359148 | 4.0E-5 | 2.2134806E-4 | 3.9316638E-4 | 4.4314674E-4 | 1.1271226 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002691582 | 0.0047763046 | 0.0048957313 | 1.025004 | 1.2E-4 | 0.026592141 | 0.04853641 | 0.048688643 | 1.0031365 | 1.6E-4 |
7.8 | 4.8090482E-5 | 8.560165E-5 | 1.1559908E-4 | 1.3504305 | 3.0E-5 | 2.060858E-4 | 3.6681266E-4 | 4.0679798E-4 | 1.1090075 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0025062072 | 0.004456807 | 0.004566317 | 1.0245713 | 1.1E-4 | 0.024781305 | 0.045302264 | 0.045445472 | 1.0031611 | 1.5E-4 |
7.9 | 3.970278E-5 | 6.7507375E-5 | 8.750602E-5 | 1.2962439 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7014367E-4 | 2.8928524E-4 | 3.0927945E-4 | 1.0691159 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002069531 | 0.0035163634 | 0.0035861174 | 1.0198369 | 7.0E-5 | 0.020503636 | 0.03588176 | 0.035978172 | 1.002687 | 1.0E-4 |
8.0 | 2.8982335E-5 | 4.0698153E-5 | 6.069734E-5 | 1.4914027 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2420409E-4 | 1.7440901E-4 | 1.9440551E-4 | 1.114653 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015111357 | 0.0021213628 | 0.0021712568 | 1.0235198 | 5.0E-5 | 0.015009012 | 0.02201118 | 0.02206986 | 1.0026659 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.8836186E-5 | 1.867974E-5 | 2.8679553E-5 | 1.5353293 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0724014E-5 | 8.005358E-5 | 9.0052774E-5 | 1.1249063 | 1.0E-5 | 9.823717E-4 | 9.742171E-4 | 9.941976E-4 | 1.0205094 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009780403 | 0.010487711 | 0.010507501 | 1.001887 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032481793 | 0.0032481793 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6564595E-7 | 7.6564595E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9949547E-5 | 3.9949547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.717979E-4 | 4.717979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cady
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1858728E-5 | 1.9185501E-4 | 8.777043 | 1.7E-4 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3677416E-5 | 2.9365867E-4 | 3.1347864 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011400167 | 0.0014296861 | 1.2540922 | 2.9E-4 | 0.010326075 | 0.011350701 | 0.011805479 | 1.0400661 | 4.6E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1858728E-5 | 1.9185501E-4 | 8.777043 | 1.7E-4 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3677416E-5 | 2.9365867E-4 | 3.1347864 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011400167 | 0.0014296861 | 1.2540922 | 2.9E-4 | 0.010326075 | 0.011350701 | 0.011805479 | 1.0400661 | 4.6E-4 |
6.2 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1858728E-5 | 1.9185501E-4 | 8.777043 | 1.7E-4 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3677416E-5 | 2.9365867E-4 | 3.1347864 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011400167 | 0.0014296861 | 1.2540922 | 2.9E-4 | 0.010326075 | 0.011350701 | 0.011805479 | 1.0400661 | 4.6E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2176583E-5 | 1.3217512E-4 | 10.854861 | 1.2E-4 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.2184492E-5 | 1.8217771E-4 | 3.4910316 | 1.3E-4 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.351925E-4 | 8.0508454E-4 | 1.2674654 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0063368753 | 0.006585291 | 1.0392016 | 2.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2176583E-5 | 1.3217512E-4 | 10.854861 | 1.2E-4 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.2184492E-5 | 1.8217771E-4 | 3.4910316 | 1.3E-4 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.351925E-4 | 8.0508454E-4 | 1.2674654 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0063368753 | 0.006585291 | 1.0392016 | 2.5E-4 |
6.5 | 6.103093E-6 | 6.672021E-6 | 4.6671754E-5 | 6.9951453 | 4.0E-5 | 2.615585E-5 | 2.8594131E-5 | 6.8592984E-5 | 2.3988485 | 4.0E-5 | 3.1840094E-4 | 3.480905E-4 | 3.880766E-4 | 1.1148727 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0031794512 | 0.0034766865 | 0.0035464433 | 1.0200641 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.817237E-6 | 6.3656585E-6 | 4.6365403E-5 | 7.2836776 | 4.0E-5 | 2.4930776E-5 | 2.728118E-5 | 6.728009E-5 | 2.4661722 | 4.0E-5 | 3.034899E-4 | 3.3211018E-4 | 3.720969E-4 | 1.120402 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0030307577 | 0.0033173605 | 0.0033871282 | 1.0210311 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.8846314E-6 | 5.3405684E-6 | 3.5340407E-5 | 6.6173496 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0933967E-5 | 2.2888014E-5 | 5.2887328E-5 | 2.3106997 | 3.0E-5 | 2.5484123E-4 | 2.7863772E-4 | 3.0862936E-4 | 1.1076367 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0025454918 | 0.0027840391 | 0.0028338998 | 1.0179095 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7788773E-6 | 1.9399079E-6 | 3.193985E-5 | 16.46462 | 3.0E-5 | 7.6237375E-6 | 8.313874E-6 | 3.8313625E-5 | 4.608396 | 3.0E-5 | 9.281505E-5 | 1.01218284E-4 | 1.3121525E-4 | 1.2963592 | 3.0E-5 | 9.2776294E-4 | 0.0010118765 | 0.001051836 | 1.0394905 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.5455404E-7 | 8.297092E-7 | 8.297092E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.233799E-6 | 3.5558937E-6 | 3.5558937E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.937079E-5 | 4.3292483E-5 | 4.3292483E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9363815E-4 | 4.3287344E-4 | 4.428691E-4 | 1.0230914 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.8578805E-7 | 7.541816E-7 | 7.541816E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9390883E-6 | 3.2322048E-6 | 3.2322048E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.578281E-5 | 3.9351715E-5 | 3.9351715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.577705E-4 | 3.9347992E-4 | 4.0347598E-4 | 1.0254042 | 1.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4324407E-4 | 3.3322218E-4 | 1.3699088 | 9.0E-5 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010420597 | 0.0011719243 | 1.124623 | 1.3E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.012613757 | 0.012919846 | 1.0242664 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.120640226 | 0.12103593 | 1.00328 | 4.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4324407E-4 | 3.3322218E-4 | 1.3699088 | 9.0E-5 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010420597 | 0.0011719243 | 1.124623 | 1.3E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.012613757 | 0.012919846 | 1.0242664 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.120640226 | 0.12103593 | 1.00328 | 4.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4324407E-4 | 3.3322218E-4 | 1.3699088 | 9.0E-5 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010420597 | 0.0011719243 | 1.124623 | 1.3E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.012613757 | 0.012919846 | 1.0242664 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.120640226 | 0.12103593 | 1.00328 | 4.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4324407E-4 | 3.3322218E-4 | 1.3699088 | 9.0E-5 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010420597 | 0.0011719243 | 1.124623 | 1.3E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.012613757 | 0.012919846 | 1.0242664 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.120640226 | 0.12103593 | 1.00328 | 4.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4324407E-4 | 3.3322218E-4 | 1.3699088 | 9.0E-5 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010420597 | 0.0011719243 | 1.124623 | 1.3E-4 | 0.006073493 | 0.012613757 | 0.012919846 | 1.0242664 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.120640226 | 0.12103593 | 1.00328 | 4.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.3644442E-4 | 3.2642315E-4 | 1.3805492 | 9.0E-5 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010129412 | 0.0011428095 | 1.1282091 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012263271 | 0.012569469 | 1.0249687 | 3.1E-4 | 0.057327334 | 0.11761008 | 0.11800716 | 1.0033762 | 4.5E-4 |
6.6 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.3644442E-4 | 3.2642315E-4 | 1.3805492 | 9.0E-5 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010129412 | 0.0011428095 | 1.1282091 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012263271 | 0.012569469 | 1.0249687 | 3.1E-4 | 0.057327334 | 0.11761008 | 0.11800716 | 1.0033762 | 4.5E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1149675E-4 | 2.3335687E-4 | 3.2333587E-4 | 1.3855854 | 9.0E-5 | 4.777557E-4 | 9.997191E-4 | 0.0011195991 | 1.1199137 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0058011734 | 0.012104088 | 0.012400457 | 1.024485 | 3.0E-4 | 0.05652051 | 0.1162291 | 0.11661796 | 1.0033456 | 4.4E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1103589E-4 | 2.3237852E-4 | 3.223576E-4 | 1.3872092 | 9.0E-5 | 4.7578133E-4 | 9.955293E-4 | 0.0011154098 | 1.1204189 | 1.2E-4 | 0.005777263 | 0.012053643 | 0.012350027 | 1.0245887 | 3.0E-4 | 0.056293584 | 0.11578894 | 0.11617799 | 1.00336 | 4.4E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1053259E-4 | 2.3130233E-4 | 3.2128152E-4 | 1.3890111 | 9.0E-5 | 4.7362508E-4 | 9.909206E-4 | 0.0011108017 | 1.1209795 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0057511497 | 0.011998152 | 0.012294552 | 1.0247039 | 3.0E-4 | 0.05604569 | 0.11530445 | 0.11569371 | 1.003376 | 4.4E-4 |
7.0 | 1.1005377E-4 | 2.3031076E-4 | 3.2029004E-4 | 1.3906864 | 9.0E-5 | 4.7157376E-4 | 9.866742E-4 | 0.0011065559 | 1.1215007 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0057263062 | 0.011947021 | 0.012243437 | 1.0248109 | 3.0E-4 | 0.055809796 | 0.11485658 | 0.11524604 | 1.0033909 | 4.4E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0308142E-4 | 2.1540876E-4 | 3.0538937E-4 | 1.4177203 | 9.0E-5 | 4.417027E-4 | 9.228548E-4 | 0.001042744 | 1.1299113 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0053644776 | 0.011178188 | 0.01144517 | 1.0238842 | 2.7E-4 | 0.052368138 | 0.10809042 | 0.10844719 | 1.0033005 | 4.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0027479E-4 | 2.094876E-4 | 2.9946875E-4 | 1.4295297 | 9.0E-5 | 4.296783E-4 | 8.9749607E-4 | 0.0010173884 | 1.1335853 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0052187922 | 0.010872566 | 0.01113963 | 1.0245632 | 2.7E-4 | 0.050979212 | 0.10539086 | 0.105748706 | 1.0033954 | 4.0E-4 |
7.3 | 9.816942E-5 | 2.0423878E-4 | 2.942204E-4 | 1.4405707 | 9.0E-5 | 4.2065824E-4 | 8.7501644E-4 | 9.949114E-4 | 1.1370202 | 1.2E-4 | 0.005109493 | 0.010601572 | 0.01086871 | 1.0251979 | 2.7E-4 | 0.049935985 | 0.10297546 | 0.10333426 | 1.0034844 | 4.0E-4 |
7.4 | 9.5634205E-5 | 1.9793298E-4 | 2.8791517E-4 | 1.4546094 | 9.0E-5 | 4.0979648E-4 | 8.4800937E-4 | 9.679076E-4 | 1.1413878 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0049778637 | 0.010275901 | 0.010533229 | 1.0250419 | 2.6E-4 | 0.048678253 | 0.100067884 | 0.10041886 | 1.0035074 | 3.9E-4 |
7.5 | 8.052417E-5 | 1.6113915E-4 | 2.3112788E-4 | 1.4343371 | 7.0E-5 | 3.4505792E-4 | 6.9041376E-4 | 7.903447E-4 | 1.1447407 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0041929903 | 0.008373471 | 0.008611462 | 1.028422 | 2.4E-4 | 0.04114753 | 0.082815245 | 0.08313626 | 1.0038763 | 3.5E-4 |
7.6 | 7.897024E-5 | 1.5767086E-4 | 2.2765982E-4 | 1.4438928 | 7.0E-5 | 3.384E-4 | 6.755574E-4 | 7.754899E-4 | 1.1479259 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0041122385 | 0.00819397 | 0.008432004 | 1.0290499 | 2.4E-4 | 0.040369697 | 0.08115866 | 0.08148026 | 1.0039625 | 3.5E-4 |
7.7 | 6.707427E-5 | 1.3277122E-4 | 1.8276459E-4 | 1.3765377 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8742946E-4 | 5.688955E-4 | 6.2886137E-4 | 1.1054075 | 6.0E-5 | 0.003493839 | 0.0069043385 | 0.0070830956 | 1.0258906 | 1.8E-4 | 0.034394164 | 0.06905339 | 0.069295436 | 1.0035052 | 2.6E-4 |
7.8 | 6.147705E-5 | 1.2198445E-4 | 1.6197957E-4 | 1.3278706 | 4.0E-5 | 2.6344648E-4 | 5.226858E-4 | 5.7265966E-4 | 1.0956098 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0032027436 | 0.006345156 | 0.006504141 | 1.0250561 | 1.6E-4 | 0.031569764 | 0.0635172 | 0.06373259 | 1.003391 | 2.3E-4 |
7.9 | 4.7636717E-5 | 8.8802946E-5 | 1.18800286E-4 | 1.3377966 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0414138E-4 | 3.8052857E-4 | 4.1051715E-4 | 1.0788077 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0024825884 | 0.004623101 | 0.004722639 | 1.0215305 | 1.0E-4 | 0.024550365 | 0.046629366 | 0.046772372 | 1.0030669 | 1.5E-4 |
8.0 | 3.3554235E-5 | 5.2138024E-5 | 7.213698E-5 | 1.3835772 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4379594E-4 | 2.2342955E-4 | 2.4342508E-4 | 1.0894936 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017493097 | 0.002716863 | 0.0027667272 | 1.0183536 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017356034 | 0.027881905 | 0.027959675 | 1.0027893 | 8.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9175432E-5 | 1.9183564E-5 | 2.9183373E-5 | 1.5212696 | 1.0E-5 | 8.217783E-5 | 8.221269E-5 | 9.221186E-5 | 1.1216258 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010000558 | 0.0010004805 | 0.0010204605 | 1.0199704 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009955673 | 0.010757771 | 0.010777556 | 1.0018392 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032481793 | 0.0032481793 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6564595E-7 | 7.6564595E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9949547E-5 | 3.9949547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.717979E-4 | 4.717979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sierra Nevada (No Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9762887E-6 | 1.769751E-4 | 25.368088 | 1.7E-4 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.989824E-5 | 2.1989256E-4 | 7.354699 | 1.9E-4 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398612E-4 | 6.738733E-4 | 1.8513708 | 3.1E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374154 | 0.004055888 | 1.1150466 | 4.2E-4 |
6.1 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9762887E-6 | 1.769751E-4 | 25.368088 | 1.7E-4 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.989824E-5 | 2.1989256E-4 | 7.354699 | 1.9E-4 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398612E-4 | 6.738733E-4 | 1.8513708 | 3.1E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374154 | 0.004055888 | 1.1150466 | 4.2E-4 |
6.2 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9762887E-6 | 1.769751E-4 | 25.368088 | 1.7E-4 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.989824E-5 | 2.1989256E-4 | 7.354699 | 1.9E-4 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398612E-4 | 6.738733E-4 | 1.8513708 | 3.1E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374154 | 0.004055888 | 1.1150466 | 4.2E-4 |
6.3 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9762887E-6 | 1.769751E-4 | 25.368088 | 1.7E-4 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.989824E-5 | 2.1989256E-4 | 7.354699 | 1.9E-4 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398612E-4 | 6.738733E-4 | 1.8513708 | 3.1E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374154 | 0.004055888 | 1.1150466 | 4.2E-4 |
6.4 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9762887E-6 | 1.769751E-4 | 25.368088 | 1.7E-4 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.989824E-5 | 2.1989256E-4 | 7.354699 | 1.9E-4 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398612E-4 | 6.738733E-4 | 1.8513708 | 3.1E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374154 | 0.004055888 | 1.1150466 | 4.2E-4 |
6.5 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9762887E-6 | 1.769751E-4 | 25.368088 | 1.7E-4 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.989824E-5 | 2.1989256E-4 | 7.354699 | 1.9E-4 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398612E-4 | 6.738733E-4 | 1.8513708 | 3.1E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374154 | 0.004055888 | 1.1150466 | 4.2E-4 |
6.6 | 2.653E-6 | 1.6148208E-6 | 1.416146E-4 | 87.696785 | 1.4E-4 | 1.136995E-5 | 6.9206426E-6 | 1.569196E-4 | 22.674137 | 1.5E-4 | 1.3842035E-4 | 8.42556E-5 | 3.2423539E-4 | 3.8482354 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0013833415 | 8.4224E-4 | 0.0011619704 | 1.3796192 | 3.2E-4 |
6.7 | 2.5902466E-6 | 1.5501544E-6 | 1.4154994E-4 | 91.313446 | 1.4E-4 | 1.11010095E-5 | 6.643502E-6 | 1.566425E-4 | 23.578302 | 1.5E-4 | 1.351464E-4 | 8.088166E-5 | 3.2086225E-4 | 3.967058 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0013506424 | 8.0852525E-4 | 0.0011282666 | 1.3954623 | 3.2E-4 |
6.8 | 2.5853892E-6 | 1.5469546E-6 | 1.4154674E-4 | 91.50025 | 1.4E-4 | 1.1080193E-5 | 6.629789E-6 | 1.566288E-4 | 23.625004 | 1.5E-4 | 1.34893E-4 | 8.071472E-5 | 3.2069534E-4 | 3.9731953 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0013481114 | 8.06857E-4 | 0.0011265988 | 1.3962806 | 3.2E-4 |
6.9 | 2.458257E-6 | 1.422029E-6 | 1.4142183E-4 | 99.450745 | 1.4E-4 | 1.0535345E-5 | 6.0943958E-6 | 1.5609348E-4 | 25.612627 | 1.5E-4 | 1.2826028E-4 | 7.419676E-5 | 3.1417896E-4 | 4.2344027 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0012818627 | 7.4172183E-4 | 0.0010614845 | 1.4311086 | 3.2E-4 |
7.0 | 2.4341468E-6 | 1.3989927E-6 | 1.4139879E-4 | 101.07186 | 1.4E-4 | 1.0432016E-5 | 5.9956697E-6 | 1.5599477E-4 | 26.017906 | 1.5E-4 | 1.270024E-4 | 7.299485E-5 | 3.1297732E-4 | 4.287663 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0012692984 | 7.297107E-4 | 0.0010494771 | 1.43821 | 3.2E-4 |
7.1 | 2.3652476E-6 | 1.3339427E-6 | 1.4133376E-4 | 105.9519 | 1.4E-4 | 1.0136736E-5 | 5.716885E-6 | 1.5571603E-4 | 27.237915 | 1.5E-4 | 1.2340778E-4 | 6.9600865E-5 | 3.0958417E-4 | 4.447993 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0012333926 | 6.957924E-4 | 0.0010155698 | 1.4595873 | 3.2E-4 |
7.2 | 2.272158E-6 | 1.2502497E-6 | 1.4125007E-4 | 112.97749 | 1.4E-4 | 9.737784E-6 | 5.358202E-6 | 1.553574E-4 | 28.994314 | 1.5E-4 | 1.1855107E-4 | 6.523417E-5 | 3.052185E-4 | 4.6788135 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0011848784 | 6.5215176E-4 | 9.71943E-4 | 1.4903634 | 3.2E-4 |
7.3 | 2.1382127E-6 | 1.1419382E-6 | 1.3114179E-4 | 114.8414 | 1.3E-4 | 9.163737E-6 | 4.894012E-6 | 1.4489333E-4 | 29.606247 | 1.4E-4 | 1.1156279E-4 | 5.9582977E-5 | 2.8956926E-4 | 4.859933 | 2.3E-4 | 0.001115068 | 5.956712E-4 | 8.854985E-4 | 1.4865558 | 2.9E-4 |
7.4 | 1.9048055E-6 | 9.574928E-7 | 1.10957386E-4 | 115.883255 | 1.1E-4 | 8.163426E-6 | 4.103534E-6 | 1.2410304E-4 | 30.242964 | 1.2E-4 | 9.9385186E-5 | 4.995939E-5 | 2.499494E-4 | 5.0030513 | 2.0E-4 | 9.934074E-4 | 4.9948227E-4 | 7.593524E-4 | 1.5202789 | 2.6E-4 |
7.5 | 1.5373403E-6 | 7.559763E-7 | 8.075592E-5 | 106.82334 | 8.0E-5 | 6.5885843E-6 | 3.2398946E-6 | 8.323963E-5 | 25.692081 | 8.0E-5 | 8.021306E-5 | 3.9445007E-5 | 1.994387E-4 | 5.0561204 | 1.6E-4 | 8.0184115E-4 | 3.9438053E-4 | 6.042977E-4 | 1.5322707 | 2.1E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.65941E-7 | 4.0465922E-5 | 86.84774 | 4.0E-5 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.9968884E-6 | 4.199681E-5 | 21.031124 | 4.0E-5 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.4311848E-5 | 1.4430893E-4 | 5.935745 | 1.2E-4 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.4309216E-4 | 4.0305327E-4 | 1.6580266 | 1.6E-4 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5578539E-7 | 1.01557835E-5 | 65.190865 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.676515E-7 | 1.0667645E-5 | 15.977864 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.128628E-6 | 2.8128465E-5 | 3.46042 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.128342E-5 | 1.01281796E-4 | 1.2460326 | 2.0E-5 |
Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7265705E-5 | 1.2726193E-4 | 2.6924791 | 8.0E-5 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0255324E-4 | 3.3252692E-4 | 1.6416765 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024635606 | 0.0027229202 | 1.1052783 | 2.6E-4 | 0.02000288 | 0.024388338 | 0.02480785 | 1.0172014 | 4.3E-4 |
6.1 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7265705E-5 | 1.2726193E-4 | 2.6924791 | 8.0E-5 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0255324E-4 | 3.3252692E-4 | 1.6416765 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024635606 | 0.0027229202 | 1.1052783 | 2.6E-4 | 0.02000288 | 0.024388338 | 0.02480785 | 1.0172014 | 4.3E-4 |
6.2 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7265705E-5 | 1.2726193E-4 | 2.6924791 | 8.0E-5 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0255324E-4 | 3.3252692E-4 | 1.6416765 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024635606 | 0.0027229202 | 1.1052783 | 2.6E-4 | 0.02000288 | 0.024388338 | 0.02480785 | 1.0172014 | 4.3E-4 |
6.3 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.360979E-5 | 1.136071E-4 | 3.380179 | 8.0E-5 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.4403443E-4 | 2.740157E-4 | 1.902432 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0017522788 | 0.0020118232 | 1.1481183 | 2.6E-4 | 0.014687235 | 0.017391816 | 0.017814338 | 1.0242943 | 4.3E-4 |
6.4 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.360979E-5 | 1.136071E-4 | 3.380179 | 8.0E-5 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.4403443E-4 | 2.740157E-4 | 1.902432 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0017522788 | 0.0020118232 | 1.1481183 | 2.6E-4 | 0.014687235 | 0.017391816 | 0.017814338 | 1.0242943 | 4.3E-4 |
6.5 | 2.4448687E-5 | 2.8607585E-5 | 9.860558E-5 | 3.4468336 | 7.0E-5 | 1.0477588E-4 | 1.2259845E-4 | 2.4258373E-4 | 1.9786853 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0012748998 | 0.0014916616 | 0.0017412888 | 1.1673484 | 2.5E-4 | 0.012676105 | 0.014821392 | 0.015235166 | 1.0279174 | 4.2E-4 |
6.6 | 2.1298161E-5 | 2.4660083E-5 | 9.465836E-5 | 3.8385253 | 7.0E-5 | 9.127464E-5 | 1.0568197E-4 | 2.2566928E-4 | 2.1353624 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0011107022 | 0.0012859512 | 0.0015256426 | 1.1863923 | 2.4E-4 | 0.011051672 | 0.01278853 | 0.013193287 | 1.03165 | 4.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8959729E-5 | 2.1781027E-5 | 9.1779504E-5 | 4.2137365 | 7.0E-5 | 8.125345E-5 | 9.334406E-5 | 2.1333285E-4 | 2.2854466 | 1.2E-4 | 9.888117E-4 | 0.001135897 | 0.0013756243 | 1.2110468 | 2.4E-4 | 0.009844234 | 0.01130357 | 0.011708936 | 1.0358617 | 4.1E-4 |
6.8 | 1.6691629E-5 | 1.9018351E-5 | 8.901702E-5 | 4.6805854 | 7.0E-5 | 7.153359E-5 | 8.150477E-5 | 2.0149499E-4 | 2.4721866 | 1.2E-4 | 8.7057345E-4 | 9.918857E-4 | 0.0012316477 | 1.2417234 | 2.4E-4 | 0.008671708 | 0.009876343 | 0.010282294 | 1.0411034 | 4.1E-4 |
6.9 | 1.450505E-5 | 1.638954E-5 | 8.638839E-5 | 5.270947 | 7.0E-5 | 6.216302E-5 | 7.0239046E-5 | 1.9023061E-4 | 2.7083316 | 1.2E-4 | 7.5657194E-4 | 8.5483363E-4 | 0.0010946285 | 1.2805164 | 2.4E-4 | 0.007540013 | 0.008516386 | 0.008922894 | 1.0477325 | 4.1E-4 |
7.0 | 1.2940855E-5 | 1.4537972E-5 | 7.45371E-5 | 5.1270633 | 6.0E-5 | 5.545963E-5 | 6.230414E-5 | 1.622979E-4 | 2.60493 | 1.0E-4 | 6.750118E-4 | 7.5829466E-4 | 9.781278E-4 | 1.2899047 | 2.2E-4 | 0.006729651 | 0.0075576897 | 0.007944742 | 1.051213 | 3.9E-4 |
7.1 | 1.2544658E-5 | 1.4078208E-5 | 7.407736E-5 | 5.261846 | 6.0E-5 | 5.3761712E-5 | 6.0333812E-5 | 1.6032778E-4 | 2.6573455 | 1.0E-4 | 6.5435225E-4 | 7.343222E-4 | 9.5416064E-4 | 1.299376 | 2.2E-4 | 0.006524288 | 0.007319551 | 0.007706696 | 1.052892 | 3.9E-4 |
7.2 | 1.2489416E-5 | 1.4015674E-5 | 7.401483E-5 | 5.2808614 | 6.0E-5 | 5.3524967E-5 | 6.0065824E-5 | 1.6005982E-4 | 2.6647403 | 1.0E-4 | 6.514716E-4 | 7.310616E-4 | 9.509008E-4 | 1.3007122 | 2.2E-4 | 0.006495651 | 0.0072871596 | 0.007674318 | 1.0531288 | 3.9E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2368307E-5 | 1.3879812E-5 | 7.387898E-5 | 5.322765 | 6.0E-5 | 5.3005948E-5 | 5.9483587E-5 | 1.5947764E-4 | 2.681036 | 1.0E-4 | 6.451563E-4 | 7.2397763E-4 | 9.4381836E-4 | 1.3036568 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0064328653 | 0.007216782 | 0.0075940397 | 1.0522751 | 3.8E-4 |
7.4 | 1.2161707E-5 | 1.36478675E-5 | 7.364705E-5 | 5.396231 | 6.0E-5 | 5.212056E-5 | 5.8489582E-5 | 1.5848373E-4 | 2.7096062 | 1.0E-4 | 6.3438306E-4 | 7.118836E-4 | 9.31727E-4 | 1.3088193 | 2.2E-4 | 0.006325751 | 0.0070966207 | 0.0074739237 | 1.0531666 | 3.8E-4 |
7.5 | 1.1707948E-5 | 1.3145515E-5 | 7.314473E-5 | 5.5642343 | 6.0E-5 | 5.0175953E-5 | 5.6336736E-5 | 1.5633111E-4 | 2.7749407 | 1.0E-4 | 6.10721E-4 | 6.856895E-4 | 9.055386E-4 | 1.320625 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0060904534 | 0.006836321 | 0.0072137234 | 1.0552055 | 3.8E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0319538E-5 | 1.1579622E-5 | 6.157904E-5 | 5.31788 | 5.0E-5 | 4.4225842E-5 | 4.9626036E-5 | 1.3962157E-4 | 2.8134742 | 9.0E-5 | 5.383166E-4 | 6.040347E-4 | 8.139078E-4 | 1.3474522 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0053701443 | 0.0060244603 | 0.006392231 | 1.0610462 | 3.7E-4 |
7.7 | 8.937764E-6 | 1.0022779E-5 | 6.0022277E-5 | 5.9885864 | 5.0E-5 | 3.830414E-5 | 4.295409E-5 | 1.2295066E-4 | 2.8623736 | 8.0E-5 | 4.6625308E-4 | 5.228456E-4 | 7.1274623E-4 | 1.363206 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0046527605 | 0.005216664 | 0.0055548907 | 1.0648358 | 3.4E-4 |
7.8 | 3.108007E-7 | 3.284654E-7 | 1.0328462E-5 | 31.444597 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3320023E-6 | 1.407708E-6 | 1.1407694E-5 | 8.103736 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6217007E-5 | 1.7138715E-5 | 2.7138543E-5 | 1.5834643 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6215823E-4 | 1.7137431E-4 | 1.813726E-4 | 1.0583419 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.258278E-6 | 8.551265E-6 | 1.2855024E-4 | 15.032891 | 1.2E-4 | 3.539214E-5 | 3.6647863E-5 | 2.266409E-4 | 6.1842866 | 1.9E-4 | 4.308141E-4 | 4.4611428E-4 | 7.2598935E-4 | 1.6273619 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0042997985 | 0.004453945 | 0.0048820297 | 1.0961137 | 4.3E-4 |
6.1 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7753161E-6 | 5.3775126E-5 | 14.243875 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6179853E-5 | 8.617872E-5 | 5.326298 | 7.0E-5 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9697666E-4 | 2.769609E-4 | 1.4060595 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0019027026 | 0.001968488 | 0.0021281731 | 1.0811206 | 1.6E-4 |
6.2 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7753161E-6 | 5.3775126E-5 | 14.243875 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6179853E-5 | 8.617872E-5 | 5.326298 | 7.0E-5 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9697666E-4 | 2.769609E-4 | 1.4060595 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0019027026 | 0.001968488 | 0.0021281731 | 1.0811206 | 1.6E-4 |
6.3 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4411166E-6 | 4.144106E-5 | 28.756214 | 4.0E-5 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.1762075E-6 | 6.617584E-5 | 10.71464 | 6.0E-5 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.519415E-5 | 1.4518888E-4 | 1.9308535 | 7.0E-5 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.518258E-4 | 8.517506E-4 | 1.1329095 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4411166E-6 | 4.144106E-5 | 28.756214 | 4.0E-5 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.1762075E-6 | 6.617584E-5 | 10.71464 | 6.0E-5 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.519415E-5 | 1.4518888E-4 | 1.9308535 | 7.0E-5 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.518258E-4 | 8.517506E-4 | 1.1329095 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 9.876812E-7 | 1.0221912E-6 | 3.1022162E-5 | 30.348686 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2329125E-6 | 4.3808195E-6 | 4.4380646E-5 | 10.1306715 | 4.0E-5 | 5.153449E-5 | 5.3336476E-5 | 1.0333381E-4 | 1.9373947 | 5.0E-5 | 5.1522546E-4 | 5.333648E-4 | 5.9333275E-4 | 1.1124333 | 6.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Cholame) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.5205986E-4 | 3.4203718E-4 | 1.356968 | 9.0E-5 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0010798109 | 0.0011996814 | 1.1110106 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0063991086 | 0.013067958 | 0.013354168 | 1.0219017 | 2.9E-4 | 0.06217949 | 0.12438412 | 0.12475188 | 1.0029566 | 4.2E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.5205986E-4 | 3.4203718E-4 | 1.356968 | 9.0E-5 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0010798109 | 0.0011996814 | 1.1110106 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0063991086 | 0.013067958 | 0.013354168 | 1.0219017 | 2.9E-4 | 0.06217949 | 0.12438412 | 0.12475188 | 1.0029566 | 4.2E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2203569E-4 | 2.502277E-4 | 3.4020518E-4 | 1.3595824 | 9.0E-5 | 5.2290526E-4 | 0.0010719653 | 0.0011918367 | 1.1118239 | 1.2E-4 | 0.006347804 | 0.012973578 | 0.013259816 | 1.0220631 | 2.9E-4 | 0.061695136 | 0.123571314 | 0.12393941 | 1.0029788 | 4.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.2142645E-4 | 2.4908737E-4 | 3.3906495E-4 | 1.361229 | 9.0E-5 | 5.202953E-4 | 0.0010670823 | 0.0011869542 | 1.1123362 | 1.2E-4 | 0.006316212 | 0.012914834 | 0.013191218 | 1.0214005 | 2.8E-4 | 0.06139677 | 0.12306532 | 0.123424865 | 1.0029216 | 4.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1865206E-4 | 2.4414246E-4 | 3.3412047E-4 | 1.3685472 | 9.0E-5 | 5.0840975E-4 | 0.0010459068 | 0.0011657813 | 1.1146129 | 1.2E-4 | 0.006172335 | 0.012660044 | 0.012936499 | 1.0218369 | 2.8E-4 | 0.060036868 | 0.12085904 | 0.12121949 | 1.0029824 | 4.1E-4 |
6.5 | 1.17443946E-4 | 2.4207575E-4 | 3.3205395E-4 | 1.3716944 | 9.0E-5 | 5.032341E-4 | 0.0010370566 | 0.0011569321 | 1.1155921 | 1.2E-4 | 0.006109677 | 0.012553536 | 0.012830021 | 1.0220245 | 2.8E-4 | 0.059444077 | 0.11993008 | 0.12029091 | 1.0030086 | 4.1E-4 |
6.6 | 1.13579066E-4 | 2.3516564E-4 | 3.2514447E-4 | 1.382619 | 9.0E-5 | 4.866766E-4 | 0.001007465 | 0.0011273441 | 1.1189909 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0059092017 | 0.012197345 | 0.012464051 | 1.021866 | 2.7E-4 | 0.057545185 | 0.1168492 | 0.11719363 | 1.0029477 | 3.9E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1271412E-4 | 2.336088E-4 | 3.2358777E-4 | 1.3851695 | 9.0E-5 | 4.829711E-4 | 0.001000798 | 0.0011206778 | 1.1197844 | 1.2E-4 | 0.005864331 | 0.012117079 | 0.012383807 | 1.0220126 | 2.7E-4 | 0.057119697 | 0.11615275 | 0.11649745 | 1.0029676 | 3.9E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1217975E-4 | 2.3249313E-4 | 3.224722E-4 | 1.3870182 | 9.0E-5 | 4.8068175E-4 | 9.960202E-4 | 0.0011159006 | 1.1203595 | 1.2E-4 | 0.005836608 | 0.012059555 | 0.012326299 | 1.0221189 | 2.7E-4 | 0.056856725 | 0.11565061 | 0.115995504 | 1.0029823 | 3.9E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1146753E-4 | 2.3098059E-4 | 3.209598E-4 | 1.3895532 | 9.0E-5 | 4.7763053E-4 | 9.895428E-4 | 0.001109424 | 1.1211481 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0057996577 | 0.011981564 | 0.012248329 | 1.0222646 | 2.7E-4 | 0.056506127 | 0.11497027 | 0.11531543 | 1.0030022 | 3.9E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0965793E-4 | 2.2721413E-4 | 3.1719368E-4 | 1.3960122 | 9.0E-5 | 4.698779E-4 | 9.734129E-4 | 0.0010932961 | 1.1231576 | 1.2E-4 | 0.005705768 | 0.011787324 | 0.012054142 | 1.0226359 | 2.7E-4 | 0.055614736 | 0.11327011 | 0.11361594 | 1.0030531 | 3.9E-4 |
7.1 | 9.927982E-5 | 2.0540332E-4 | 2.9538485E-4 | 1.4380723 | 9.0E-5 | 4.2541555E-4 | 8.8000396E-4 | 9.998984E-4 | 1.136243 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0051671406 | 0.010661708 | 0.01092883 | 1.0250542 | 2.7E-4 | 0.05048634 | 0.10336573 | 0.10370645 | 1.0032963 | 3.8E-4 |
7.2 | 9.696786E-5 | 2.0044584E-4 | 2.904278E-4 | 1.448909 | 9.0E-5 | 4.1551032E-4 | 8.587718E-4 | 9.786687E-4 | 1.1396145 | 1.2E-4 | 0.00504711 | 0.010405703 | 0.010672894 | 1.0256773 | 2.7E-4 | 0.04934009 | 0.10110233 | 0.10144392 | 1.0033785 | 3.8E-4 |
7.3 | 9.4727984E-5 | 1.9473763E-4 | 2.847201E-4 | 1.4620703 | 9.0E-5 | 4.0591392E-4 | 8.343239E-4 | 9.5422374E-4 | 1.1437091 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0049308087 | 0.010110851 | 0.010378121 | 1.026434 | 2.7E-4 | 0.048228268 | 0.09847412 | 0.0988167 | 1.0034789 | 3.8E-4 |
7.4 | 9.220358E-5 | 1.8844259E-4 | 2.7842564E-4 | 1.477509 | 9.0E-5 | 3.9509835E-4 | 8.07362E-4 | 9.2726515E-4 | 1.1485122 | 1.2E-4 | 0.004799717 | 0.009785578 | 0.010043033 | 1.0263097 | 2.6E-4 | 0.046973653 | 0.09555831 | 0.09589295 | 1.003502 | 3.7E-4 |
7.5 | 7.71631E-5 | 1.5179155E-4 | 2.2178092E-4 | 1.4610888 | 7.0E-5 | 3.306571E-4 | 6.5037323E-4 | 7.5030816E-4 | 1.1536579 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0040183207 | 0.007889617 | 0.008127723 | 1.0301797 | 2.4E-4 | 0.03946433 | 0.078289196 | 0.07860258 | 1.0040029 | 3.4E-4 |
7.6 | 7.5634416E-5 | 1.4838556E-4 | 2.1837518E-4 | 1.471674 | 7.0E-5 | 3.241072E-4 | 6.357833E-4 | 7.3571975E-4 | 1.1571863 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0039388672 | 0.007713256 | 0.007951405 | 1.0308752 | 2.4E-4 | 0.038697794 | 0.076654874 | 0.07696881 | 1.0040954 | 3.4E-4 |
7.7 | 6.3783E-5 | 1.2359623E-4 | 1.7359004E-4 | 1.4044931 | 5.0E-5 | 2.7332708E-4 | 5.2959064E-4 | 5.8955885E-4 | 1.113235 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0033226798 | 0.0064287307 | 0.0066075735 | 1.0278193 | 1.8E-4 | 0.032734364 | 0.06454488 | 0.06477874 | 1.0036232 | 2.5E-4 |
7.8 | 5.863422E-5 | 1.14169685E-4 | 1.5416511E-4 | 1.3503157 | 4.0E-5 | 2.512653E-4 | 4.892069E-4 | 5.3918245E-4 | 1.1021563 | 5.0E-5 | 0.003054864 | 0.0059398497 | 0.006098899 | 1.0267767 | 1.6E-4 | 0.030132094 | 0.05966162 | 0.0598779 | 1.003625 | 2.3E-4 |
7.9 | 4.595283E-5 | 8.426815E-5 | 1.14265626E-4 | 1.3559763 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9692584E-4 | 3.6109926E-4 | 3.910884E-4 | 1.0830497 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0023949358 | 0.0043875277 | 0.004487089 | 1.0226918 | 1.0E-4 | 0.023692891 | 0.044363137 | 0.044506483 | 1.0032312 | 1.5E-4 |
8.0 | 3.2950178E-5 | 5.077396E-5 | 7.077295E-5 | 1.3938826 | 2.0E-5 | 1.412074E-4 | 2.1758456E-4 | 2.375802E-4 | 1.0918983 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017178444 | 0.0026458753 | 0.002695743 | 1.0188473 | 5.0E-5 | 0.017046256 | 0.027181072 | 0.027258899 | 1.0028632 | 8.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9177472E-5 | 1.9183733E-5 | 2.9183542E-5 | 1.5212649 | 1.0E-5 | 8.218658E-5 | 8.221342E-5 | 9.221259E-5 | 1.1216247 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010001622 | 0.0010004893 | 0.0010204694 | 1.0199702 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009956728 | 0.010757887 | 0.010777672 | 1.001839 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032481793 | 0.0032481793 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6564595E-7 | 7.6564595E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9949547E-5 | 3.9949547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.717979E-4 | 4.717979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ludlow
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3657254E-5 | 1.2365489E-4 | 5.2269335 | 1.0E-4 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.0138454E-4 | 2.4137035E-4 | 2.3807411 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0011685267 | 0.001233702 | 0.0014434429 | 1.1700094 | 2.1E-4 | 0.011624013 | 0.012273042 | 0.012658255 | 1.031387 | 3.9E-4 |
6.1 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3657254E-5 | 1.2365489E-4 | 5.2269335 | 1.0E-4 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.0138454E-4 | 2.4137035E-4 | 2.3807411 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0011685267 | 0.001233702 | 0.0014434429 | 1.1700094 | 2.1E-4 | 0.011624013 | 0.012273042 | 0.012658255 | 1.031387 | 3.9E-4 |
6.2 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1365663E-5 | 4.136532E-5 | 3.6394992 | 3.0E-5 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.8709102E-5 | 8.870715E-5 | 1.8211617 | 4.0E-5 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.9287593E-4 | 6.6283444E-4 | 1.1179986 | 7.0E-5 | 0.00560974 | 0.0059133614 | 0.006022711 | 1.018492 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1365663E-5 | 4.136532E-5 | 3.6394992 | 3.0E-5 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.8709102E-5 | 8.870715E-5 | 1.8211617 | 4.0E-5 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.9287593E-4 | 6.6283444E-4 | 1.1179986 | 7.0E-5 | 0.00560974 | 0.0059133614 | 0.006022711 | 1.018492 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 7.814439E-6 | 8.237729E-6 | 3.8237482E-5 | 4.6417503 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3490025E-5 | 3.530408E-5 | 6.530302E-5 | 1.8497301 | 3.0E-5 | 4.0766477E-4 | 4.2974384E-4 | 4.6972663E-4 | 1.0930387 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0040691774 | 0.0042892746 | 0.004349017 | 1.0139284 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.4986366E-6 | 6.85092E-6 | 2.6850783E-5 | 3.919296 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7851002E-5 | 2.9360759E-5 | 4.9360173E-5 | 1.6811613 | 2.0E-5 | 3.390332E-4 | 3.5740953E-4 | 3.8739882E-4 | 1.0839074 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003385164 | 0.0035684432 | 0.0036083006 | 1.0111693 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.582177E-6 | 5.8860055E-6 | 2.5885887E-5 | 4.39787 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3923398E-5 | 2.5225498E-5 | 4.5224995E-5 | 1.7928286 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9122844E-4 | 3.0707786E-4 | 3.3706866E-4 | 1.0976651 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0029084706 | 0.003066609 | 0.0031064863 | 1.0130037 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.6858763E-6 | 4.940427E-6 | 2.494033E-5 | 5.048213 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0082172E-5 | 2.1173091E-5 | 4.117267E-5 | 1.9445752 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4447302E-4 | 2.5775246E-4 | 2.877447E-4 | 1.1163608 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0024420423 | 0.0025745912 | 0.0026045141 | 1.0116223 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5584908E-6 | 3.7520183E-6 | 2.3751943E-5 | 6.3304443 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5250586E-5 | 1.6079981E-5 | 3.607966E-5 | 2.2437625 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8566006E-4 | 1.957566E-4 | 2.2575073E-4 | 1.1532215 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0018550502 | 0.0019558826 | 0.001985824 | 1.0153084 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.532834E-6 | 2.6710034E-6 | 2.267095E-5 | 8.4878025 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0854958E-5 | 1.1447109E-5 | 3.144688E-5 | 2.7471461 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3215111E-4 | 1.3935992E-4 | 1.5935714E-4 | 1.1434933 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013207254 | 0.0013927529 | 0.001412725 | 1.01434 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7083285E-6 | 1.8019439E-6 | 1.1801926E-5 | 6.5495524 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3213873E-6 | 7.722595E-6 | 1.7722517E-5 | 2.2948916 | 1.0E-5 | 8.913424E-5 | 9.40187E-5 | 1.0401776E-4 | 1.1063519 | 1.0E-5 | 8.9098496E-4 | 9.3980576E-4 | 9.4979635E-4 | 1.0106305 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1497619E-6 | 1.114975E-5 | 9.697442 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.9275427E-6 | 1.4927493E-5 | 3.0293992 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.999128E-5 | 6.999068E-5 | 1.1666809 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.997606E-4 | 6.0975464E-4 | 1.0166633 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.387277E-7 | 6.387277E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7374022E-6 | 2.7374022E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3327433E-5 | 3.3327433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.3323118E-4 | 3.3323118E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Wolf (Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066615E-6 | 1.8606552E-4 | 30.670403 | 1.8E-4 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.5999556E-5 | 2.5599357E-4 | 9.846075 | 2.3E-4 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1650523E-4 | 6.464008E-4 | 2.0423067 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031611966 | 0.003559932 | 1.1261344 | 4.0E-4 |
6.1 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066615E-6 | 1.8606552E-4 | 30.670403 | 1.8E-4 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.5999556E-5 | 2.5599357E-4 | 9.846075 | 2.3E-4 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1650523E-4 | 6.464008E-4 | 2.0423067 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031611966 | 0.003559932 | 1.1261344 | 4.0E-4 |
6.2 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066615E-6 | 1.8606552E-4 | 30.670403 | 1.8E-4 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.5999556E-5 | 2.5599357E-4 | 9.846075 | 2.3E-4 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1650523E-4 | 6.464008E-4 | 2.0423067 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031611966 | 0.003559932 | 1.1261344 | 4.0E-4 |
6.3 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066615E-6 | 1.8606552E-4 | 30.670403 | 1.8E-4 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.5999556E-5 | 2.5599357E-4 | 9.846075 | 2.3E-4 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1650523E-4 | 6.464008E-4 | 2.0423067 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031611966 | 0.003559932 | 1.1261344 | 4.0E-4 |
6.4 | 5.821773E-6 | 3.5571256E-6 | 9.35568E-5 | 26.301237 | 9.0E-5 | 2.4950215E-5 | 1.5244741E-5 | 1.3524291E-4 | 8.871447 | 1.2E-4 | 3.0372653E-4 | 1.8559002E-4 | 3.7555475E-4 | 2.023572 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0030331176 | 0.0018544586 | 0.0020840322 | 1.1237954 | 2.3E-4 |
6.5 | 5.766023E-6 | 3.4990599E-6 | 8.349878E-5 | 23.863205 | 8.0E-5 | 2.4711293E-5 | 1.49958905E-5 | 1.2499424E-4 | 8.335233 | 1.1E-4 | 3.0081844E-4 | 1.8256076E-4 | 3.625279E-4 | 1.9857931 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0030041158 | 0.0018242161 | 0.0020438149 | 1.1203797 | 2.2E-4 |
6.6 | 4.643576E-6 | 2.3325733E-6 | 6.233243E-5 | 26.722605 | 6.0E-5 | 1.9900888E-5 | 9.9967065E-6 | 9.999581E-5 | 10.002875 | 9.0E-5 | 2.4226638E-4 | 1.2170354E-4 | 2.3169015E-4 | 1.9037257 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0024200242 | 0.0012164112 | 0.0013462531 | 1.1067418 | 1.3E-4 |
6.7 | 3.9529173E-6 | 1.6482975E-6 | 3.1648247E-5 | 19.200567 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6940963E-5 | 7.064114E-6 | 4.7063833E-5 | 6.6623826 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0623671E-4 | 8.600239E-5 | 1.3599808E-4 | 1.5813292 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002060454 | 8.597095E-4 | 9.2964934E-4 | 1.0813528 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4377522E-6 | 1.2244764E-6 | 2.1224452E-5 | 17.333492 | 2.0E-5 | 1.473314E-5 | 5.247746E-6 | 2.524764E-5 | 4.81114 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7936122E-4 | 6.388952E-5 | 8.388825E-5 | 1.3130203 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017921652 | 6.3872064E-4 | 6.687015E-4 | 1.0469389 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.1367306E-6 | 1.0033316E-6 | 2.1003312E-5 | 20.93357 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3443062E-5 | 4.299986E-6 | 2.42999E-5 | 5.6511583 | 2.0E-5 | 1.63657E-4 | 5.2351144E-5 | 7.23501E-5 | 1.3820156 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016353652 | 5.233958E-4 | 5.5338006E-4 | 1.057288 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8298145E-6 | 7.4282326E-7 | 2.074281E-5 | 27.924284 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2127721E-5 | 3.1835248E-6 | 2.318346E-5 | 7.282325 | 2.0E-5 | 1.47645E-4 | 3.8758775E-5 | 5.8758E-5 | 1.5159922 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014754693 | 3.8752513E-4 | 4.175135E-4 | 1.0773844 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.4091064E-6 | 5.4223835E-7 | 2.0542228E-5 | 37.88413 | 2.0E-5 | 1.03247E-5 | 2.3238767E-6 | 2.2323831E-5 | 9.606288 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2569598E-4 | 2.8292874E-5 | 4.829231E-5 | 1.7068717 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001256249 | 2.8289677E-4 | 3.028911E-4 | 1.0706772 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.3875518E-6 | 1.0740268E-7 | 1.0740268E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9466374E-6 | 4.6029712E-7 | 4.6029712E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.23979E-5 | 5.604104E-6 | 5.604104E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2374323E-4 | 5.6039742E-5 | 5.6039742E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.056077E-7 | 5.0002956E-8 | 5.0002956E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0240296E-6 | 2.1429837E-7 | 2.1429837E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.681694E-5 | 2.60908E-6 | 2.60908E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.681084E-4 | 2.609054E-5 | 2.609054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.8638475E-9 | 4.8638475E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 2.084506E-8 | 2.084506E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.5378858E-7 | 2.5378858E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095951E-5 | 2.5378843E-6 | 2.5378843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Manix-Afton Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.47110895E-5 | 1.2470948E-4 | 8.477242 | 1.1E-4 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.30461E-5 | 2.2303601E-4 | 3.5376654 | 1.6E-4 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.6733343E-4 | 0.0010271339 | 1.3385757 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007648596 | 0.008005843 | 1.0467075 | 3.6E-4 |
6.1 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.47110895E-5 | 1.2470948E-4 | 8.477242 | 1.1E-4 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.30461E-5 | 2.2303601E-4 | 3.5376654 | 1.6E-4 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.6733343E-4 | 0.0010271339 | 1.3385757 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007648596 | 0.008005843 | 1.0467075 | 3.6E-4 |
6.2 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.47110895E-5 | 1.2470948E-4 | 8.477242 | 1.1E-4 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.30461E-5 | 2.2303601E-4 | 3.5376654 | 1.6E-4 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.6733343E-4 | 0.0010271339 | 1.3385757 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007648596 | 0.008005843 | 1.0467075 | 3.6E-4 |
6.3 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1793136E-5 | 9.179219E-5 | 7.7835274 | 8.0E-5 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.054109E-5 | 1.6053554E-4 | 3.176337 | 1.1E-4 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.151744E-4 | 7.75076E-4 | 1.2599288 | 1.6E-4 | 0.005748908 | 0.0061357557 | 0.006364344 | 1.0372552 | 2.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1793136E-5 | 9.179219E-5 | 7.7835274 | 8.0E-5 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.054109E-5 | 1.6053554E-4 | 3.176337 | 1.1E-4 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.151744E-4 | 7.75076E-4 | 1.2599288 | 1.6E-4 | 0.005748908 | 0.0061357557 | 0.006364344 | 1.0372552 | 2.3E-4 |
6.5 | 9.788949E-6 | 1.045432E-5 | 8.045359E-5 | 7.695727 | 7.0E-5 | 4.1951964E-5 | 4.480351E-5 | 1.2479993E-4 | 2.7854943 | 8.0E-5 | 5.1064545E-4 | 5.453555E-4 | 6.752846E-4 | 1.2382467 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0050947363 | 0.0054410985 | 0.0056400103 | 1.0365573 | 2.0E-4 |
6.6 | 8.810006E-6 | 9.4136285E-6 | 5.9413156E-5 | 6.3113985 | 5.0E-5 | 3.775662E-5 | 4.0343548E-5 | 9.034153E-5 | 2.2393055 | 5.0E-5 | 4.5958988E-4 | 4.9108086E-4 | 5.810367E-4 | 1.1831793 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0045864056 | 0.004900839 | 0.005060055 | 1.0324875 | 1.6E-4 |
6.7 | 8.80128E-6 | 9.404108E-6 | 5.940364E-5 | 6.3167753 | 5.0E-5 | 3.7719226E-5 | 4.0302748E-5 | 9.030073E-5 | 2.2405603 | 5.0E-5 | 4.591348E-4 | 4.9058435E-4 | 5.805402E-4 | 1.1833646 | 9.0E-5 | 0.004581874 | 0.0048958957 | 0.0050551128 | 1.0325204 | 1.6E-4 |
6.8 | 6.8994877E-6 | 7.380076E-6 | 5.7379708E-5 | 7.774948 | 5.0E-5 | 2.9568899E-5 | 3.162856E-5 | 8.1626975E-5 | 2.5807998 | 5.0E-5 | 3.5994186E-4 | 3.8501783E-4 | 4.549909E-4 | 1.1817398 | 7.0E-5 | 0.003593594 | 0.0038443129 | 0.0039439285 | 1.0259124 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 4.9328037E-6 | 5.2709615E-6 | 5.2709615E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1140417E-5 | 2.2589675E-5 | 2.2589675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5735417E-4 | 2.7500073E-4 | 2.8499798E-4 | 1.0363536 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025705635 | 0.0027472095 | 0.0027870997 | 1.0145203 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.347973E-6 | 3.59003E-6 | 3.59003E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4348378E-5 | 1.5385775E-5 | 1.5385775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.746775E-4 | 1.8730981E-4 | 1.8730981E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017454025 | 0.0018719219 | 0.0019018658 | 1.0159963 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2073567E-6 | 1.293482E-6 | 1.293482E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1743755E-6 | 5.543492E-6 | 5.543492E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.29962E-5 | 6.749156E-5 | 6.749156E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.297835E-4 | 6.7487074E-4 | 6.9485727E-4 | 1.0296153 | 2.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Coachella) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.273077E-4 | 4.6726188E-4 | 1.427592 | 1.4E-4 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.001401998 | 0.0015617736 | 1.1139629 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0062038354 | 0.016937068 | 0.01714351 | 1.0121888 | 2.1E-4 | 0.060334753 | 0.15267672 | 0.15295634 | 1.0018314 | 3.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.273077E-4 | 4.6726188E-4 | 1.427592 | 1.4E-4 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.001401998 | 0.0015617736 | 1.1139629 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0062038354 | 0.016937068 | 0.01714351 | 1.0121888 | 2.1E-4 | 0.060334753 | 0.15267672 | 0.15295634 | 1.0018314 | 3.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.07432395E-4 | 3.0231563E-4 | 4.422733E-4 | 1.4629521 | 1.4E-4 | 4.603433E-4 | 0.001294999 | 0.0014547919 | 1.1233922 | 1.6E-4 | 0.005590286 | 0.015653731 | 0.015860444 | 1.0132053 | 2.1E-4 | 0.05451731 | 0.14182784 | 0.14211103 | 1.0019968 | 3.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0718766E-4 | 3.0176868E-4 | 4.4172644E-4 | 1.4637915 | 1.4E-4 | 4.592948E-4 | 0.0012926573 | 0.0014524505 | 1.123616 | 1.6E-4 | 0.005577586 | 0.01562563 | 0.015832348 | 1.0132295 | 2.1E-4 | 0.054396555 | 0.14159605 | 0.14187934 | 1.0020006 | 3.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0355944E-4 | 2.9384956E-4 | 4.338084E-4 | 1.4762943 | 1.4E-4 | 4.4375064E-4 | 0.0012587514 | 0.0014185499 | 1.1269501 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0053892885 | 0.015218662 | 0.015425466 | 1.0135889 | 2.1E-4 | 0.052604496 | 0.13815795 | 0.13844235 | 1.0020586 | 3.3E-4 |
6.5 | 1.0227914E-4 | 2.9104383E-4 | 4.310031E-4 | 1.4808872 | 1.4E-4 | 4.382655E-4 | 0.0012467385 | 0.001406539 | 1.1281749 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0053228354 | 0.015074439 | 0.015281273 | 1.0137209 | 2.1E-4 | 0.051971316 | 0.13694239 | 0.13722719 | 1.0020797 | 3.3E-4 |
6.6 | 1.0116757E-4 | 2.8870135E-4 | 4.2866092E-4 | 1.4847902 | 1.4E-4 | 4.3350324E-4 | 0.0012367087 | 0.0013965109 | 1.1292156 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0052651367 | 0.014954008 | 0.015160868 | 1.013833 | 2.1E-4 | 0.051421247 | 0.13591973 | 0.13620488 | 1.0020978 | 3.3E-4 |
6.7 | 1.0050676E-4 | 2.8728697E-4 | 4.2724676E-4 | 1.4871776 | 1.4E-4 | 4.3067214E-4 | 0.0012306528 | 0.001390456 | 1.1298523 | 1.6E-4 | 0.005230834 | 0.014881288 | 0.015088163 | 1.0139017 | 2.1E-4 | 0.051094085 | 0.13530464 | 0.13559 | 1.0021089 | 3.3E-4 |
6.8 | 9.976819E-5 | 2.8532353E-4 | 4.252836E-4 | 1.4905311 | 1.4E-4 | 4.2750788E-4 | 0.001222246 | 0.0013720626 | 1.1225749 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0051924936 | 0.014780328 | 0.014977372 | 1.0133315 | 2.0E-4 | 0.050728295 | 0.13445628 | 0.13473324 | 1.0020599 | 3.2E-4 |
6.9 | 9.77719E-5 | 2.802926E-4 | 4.2025335E-4 | 1.499338 | 1.4E-4 | 4.1895514E-4 | 0.0012007048 | 0.0013505247 | 1.1247766 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0050888555 | 0.0145215895 | 0.014718685 | 1.0135726 | 2.0E-4 | 0.049738888 | 0.13228476 | 0.13256243 | 1.002099 | 3.2E-4 |
7.0 | 8.500761E-5 | 2.4763815E-4 | 3.8760348E-4 | 1.565201 | 1.4E-4 | 3.6426744E-4 | 0.0010608779 | 0.0012107188 | 1.1412424 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0044259406 | 0.01284047 | 0.013028031 | 1.014607 | 1.9E-4 | 0.04338823 | 0.11813616 | 0.118400715 | 1.0022395 | 3.0E-4 |
7.1 | 8.319876E-5 | 2.4366553E-4 | 3.836314E-4 | 1.5744181 | 1.4E-4 | 3.5651738E-4 | 0.0010438662 | 0.0011937096 | 1.1435466 | 1.5E-4 | 0.004331963 | 0.012635773 | 0.012823372 | 1.0148467 | 1.9E-4 | 0.042484846 | 0.11635632 | 0.11662141 | 1.0022783 | 3.0E-4 |
7.2 | 7.563917E-5 | 2.2414974E-4 | 3.6411837E-4 | 1.6244425 | 1.4E-4 | 3.2412758E-4 | 9.602912E-4 | 0.0011101471 | 1.1560526 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0039391145 | 0.011629559 | 0.01181735 | 1.0161477 | 1.9E-4 | 0.03870018 | 0.10776202 | 0.108029686 | 1.002484 | 3.0E-4 |
7.3 | 7.082985E-5 | 2.07311E-4 | 3.4728198E-4 | 1.6751739 | 1.4E-4 | 3.0352117E-4 | 8.881761E-4 | 0.0010380428 | 1.1687354 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0036891096 | 0.010760553 | 0.010948509 | 1.0174671 | 1.9E-4 | 0.03628465 | 0.10028403 | 0.100553945 | 1.0026915 | 3.0E-4 |
7.4 | 5.146215E-5 | 1.4274761E-4 | 2.627305E-4 | 1.8405246 | 1.2E-4 | 2.2053342E-4 | 6.1163295E-4 | 7.4155343E-4 | 1.2124158 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0026816884 | 0.0074213943 | 0.0075901328 | 1.0227368 | 1.7E-4 | 0.02649557 | 0.07085049 | 0.07110136 | 1.0035409 | 2.7E-4 |
7.5 | 4.0285166E-5 | 1.0942422E-4 | 2.2941109E-4 | 2.0965295 | 1.2E-4 | 1.7263928E-4 | 4.6887697E-4 | 5.98816E-4 | 1.2771282 | 1.3E-4 | 0.002099857 | 0.0056937044 | 0.0058627366 | 1.0296875 | 1.7E-4 | 0.020801254 | 0.055013083 | 0.05524933 | 1.0042944 | 2.5E-4 |
7.6 | 3.1168736E-5 | 8.439599E-5 | 1.9438671E-4 | 2.3032694 | 1.1E-4 | 1.3357346E-4 | 3.616471E-4 | 4.8160373E-4 | 1.3316952 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0016250437 | 0.004394191 | 0.0045534875 | 1.0362517 | 1.6E-4 | 0.016132116 | 0.042812478 | 0.0430422 | 1.0053658 | 2.4E-4 |
7.7 | 2.2100989E-5 | 6.239345E-5 | 1.7238659E-4 | 2.7628956 | 1.1E-4 | 9.4715084E-5 | 2.6737314E-4 | 3.8734105E-4 | 1.448691 | 1.2E-4 | 0.001152546 | 0.0032504152 | 0.0033999276 | 1.045998 | 1.5E-4 | 0.011465867 | 0.031902168 | 0.032124832 | 1.0069796 | 2.3E-4 |
7.8 | 1.7484861E-5 | 5.180078E-5 | 1.4179612E-4 | 2.7373354 | 9.0E-5 | 7.493296E-5 | 2.2198448E-4 | 3.219623E-4 | 1.450382 | 1.0E-4 | 9.1192697E-4 | 0.0026993142 | 0.0028289633 | 1.0480304 | 1.3E-4 | 0.009081938 | 0.026641788 | 0.026846193 | 1.0076723 | 2.1E-4 |
7.9 | 1.3967285E-5 | 3.8226146E-5 | 1.1822309E-4 | 3.0927284 | 8.0E-5 | 5.985842E-5 | 1.6381606E-4 | 2.5380132E-4 | 1.5493066 | 9.0E-5 | 7.2853256E-4 | 0.0019926373 | 0.0021123982 | 1.0601017 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0072614877 | 0.019911002 | 0.02009722 | 1.0093524 | 1.9E-4 |
8.0 | 1.1887396E-5 | 3.106798E-5 | 1.0106581E-4 | 3.2530537 | 7.0E-5 | 5.094499E-5 | 1.331417E-4 | 2.1313105E-4 | 1.6007836 | 8.0E-5 | 6.200787E-4 | 0.0016197958 | 0.0017196338 | 1.0616362 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006183513 | 0.016280567 | 0.0164478 | 1.0102719 | 1.7E-4 |
8.1 | 5.100864E-6 | 8.973766E-6 | 1.8973677E-5 | 2.1143494 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1860664E-5 | 3.845843E-5 | 4.8458045E-5 | 1.2600111 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6612106E-4 | 4.6813092E-4 | 4.7812623E-4 | 1.0213516 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002658026 | 0.004918092 | 0.0049280426 | 1.0020233 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.3004484E-6 | 2.7863473E-6 | 2.7863473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.859027E-6 | 1.19414335E-5 | 1.19414335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2002704E-4 | 1.4537729E-4 | 1.4537729E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011996223 | 0.0015973782 | 0.0015973782 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.0424446E-7 | 5.814421E-8 | 5.814421E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4676187E-7 | 2.4918944E-7 | 2.4918944E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.439312E-6 | 3.0338776E-6 | 3.0338776E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4391792E-5 | 3.189592E-5 | 3.189592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calico-Hidalgo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0704355E-5 | 1.2070081E-4 | 2.380482 | 7.0E-5 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1728857E-4 | 2.9727118E-4 | 1.368094 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0021322158 | 0.002642678 | 0.0028122289 | 1.0641587 | 1.7E-4 | 0.02111873 | 0.026152814 | 0.026415752 | 1.010054 | 2.7E-4 |
6.1 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0704355E-5 | 1.2070081E-4 | 2.380482 | 7.0E-5 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1728857E-4 | 2.9727118E-4 | 1.368094 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0021322158 | 0.002642678 | 0.0028122289 | 1.0641587 | 1.7E-4 | 0.02111873 | 0.026152814 | 0.026415752 | 1.010054 | 2.7E-4 |
6.2 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0704355E-5 | 1.2070081E-4 | 2.380482 | 7.0E-5 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1728857E-4 | 2.9727118E-4 | 1.368094 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0021322158 | 0.002642678 | 0.0028122289 | 1.0641587 | 1.7E-4 | 0.02111873 | 0.026152814 | 0.026415752 | 1.010054 | 2.7E-4 |
6.3 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0090967E-5 | 7.0089765E-5 | 2.3292625 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.289551E-4 | 1.7894866E-4 | 1.3876818 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015689312 | 0.0016787585 | 1.0700015 | 1.1E-4 | 0.01257003 | 0.015582229 | 0.015769267 | 1.0120034 | 1.9E-4 |
6.4 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0090967E-5 | 7.0089765E-5 | 2.3292625 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.289551E-4 | 1.7894866E-4 | 1.3876818 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015689312 | 0.0016787585 | 1.0700015 | 1.1E-4 | 0.01257003 | 0.015582229 | 0.015769267 | 1.0120034 | 1.9E-4 |
6.5 | 2.0286952E-5 | 2.5316054E-5 | 6.531504E-5 | 2.579985 | 4.0E-5 | 8.694118E-5 | 1.0849296E-4 | 1.4848862E-4 | 1.3686475 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010579949 | 0.0013201186 | 0.0014199865 | 1.0756508 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010529719 | 0.013124701 | 0.013302338 | 1.0135345 | 1.8E-4 |
6.6 | 2.0269223E-5 | 2.5297004E-5 | 6.529599E-5 | 2.5811749 | 4.0E-5 | 8.6865206E-5 | 1.08411325E-4 | 1.4840698E-4 | 1.3689251 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010570707 | 0.0013191258 | 0.0014189938 | 1.0757078 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010520565 | 0.01311489 | 0.01329253 | 1.0135449 | 1.8E-4 |
6.7 | 1.799852E-5 | 2.2540933E-5 | 4.2540483E-5 | 1.8872547 | 2.0E-5 | 7.713423E-5 | 9.660051E-5 | 1.16598574E-4 | 1.2070183 | 2.0E-5 | 9.3870464E-4 | 0.0011754911 | 0.0012454089 | 1.0594796 | 7.0E-5 | 0.009347493 | 0.011694346 | 0.011842592 | 1.0126767 | 1.5E-4 |
6.8 | 1.7458793E-5 | 2.184258E-5 | 4.1842144E-5 | 1.9156227 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4821255E-5 | 9.360778E-5 | 1.1360591E-4 | 1.2136375 | 2.0E-5 | 9.10568E-4 | 0.0011390933 | 0.0012090136 | 1.0613824 | 7.0E-5 | 0.009068459 | 0.011334131 | 0.011472544 | 1.012212 | 1.4E-4 |
6.9 | 1.542884E-5 | 1.9026285E-5 | 2.9026094E-5 | 1.5255786 | 1.0E-5 | 6.612192E-5 | 8.153875E-5 | 9.1537935E-5 | 1.1226311 | 1.0E-5 | 8.04737E-4 | 9.922953E-4 | 0.0010522357 | 1.0604059 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008018291 | 0.009880043 | 0.010008759 | 1.0130278 | 1.3E-4 |
7.0 | 1.468253E-5 | 1.803109E-5 | 2.803091E-5 | 1.5545876 | 1.0E-5 | 6.292361E-5 | 7.727389E-5 | 8.727312E-5 | 1.1293998 | 1.0E-5 | 7.658257E-4 | 9.4041653E-4 | 0.0010003601 | 1.0637416 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0076319184 | 0.009365736 | 0.009494519 | 1.0137504 | 1.3E-4 |
7.1 | 1.3139281E-5 | 1.620139E-5 | 2.6201227E-5 | 1.617221 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6309986E-5 | 6.943275E-5 | 7.943205E-5 | 1.1440142 | 1.0E-5 | 6.853584E-4 | 8.4502844E-4 | 9.049777E-4 | 1.0709435 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0068324856 | 0.008419449 | 0.008528523 | 1.012955 | 1.1E-4 |
7.2 | 1.1127404E-5 | 1.3867038E-5 | 2.38669E-5 | 1.7211245 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7688E-5 | 5.9428872E-5 | 6.942828E-5 | 1.1682584 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8044674E-4 | 7.233172E-4 | 7.8327383E-4 | 1.0828911 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0057893298 | 0.007210737 | 0.007300088 | 1.0123913 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.808154E-6 | 1.2176586E-5 | 1.2176586E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2034266E-5 | 5.2184383E-5 | 5.2184383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.11647E-4 | 6.351704E-4 | 6.851386E-4 | 1.0786691 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0051047057 | 0.006334625 | 0.0064141187 | 1.012549 | 8.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.942452E-6 | 9.792348E-6 | 9.792348E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4038632E-5 | 4.1966585E-5 | 4.1966585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1434157E-4 | 5.108328E-4 | 5.408175E-4 | 1.0586976 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0041356985 | 0.005097527 | 0.0051373234 | 1.0078069 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.7121216E-6 | 5.7729717E-6 | 5.7729717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.019465E-5 | 2.4741115E-5 | 2.4741115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4584212E-4 | 3.011891E-4 | 3.111861E-4 | 1.0331917 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024557032 | 0.0030085614 | 0.0030185315 | 1.0033139 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Bernardino)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.598562E-5 | 1.9597987E-4 | 5.4460607 | 1.6E-4 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5421498E-4 | 3.5418413E-4 | 2.296691 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018759521 | 0.0021454457 | 1.143657 | 2.7E-4 | 0.01763251 | 0.019349992 | 0.019644188 | 1.0152038 | 3.0E-4 |
6.1 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.598562E-5 | 1.9597987E-4 | 5.4460607 | 1.6E-4 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5421498E-4 | 3.5418413E-4 | 2.296691 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018759521 | 0.0021454457 | 1.143657 | 2.7E-4 | 0.01763251 | 0.019349992 | 0.019644188 | 1.0152038 | 3.0E-4 |
6.2 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.598562E-5 | 1.9597987E-4 | 5.4460607 | 1.6E-4 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5421498E-4 | 3.5418413E-4 | 2.296691 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018759521 | 0.0021454457 | 1.143657 | 2.7E-4 | 0.01763251 | 0.019349992 | 0.019644188 | 1.0152038 | 3.0E-4 |
6.3 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.598562E-5 | 1.9597987E-4 | 5.4460607 | 1.6E-4 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5421498E-4 | 3.5418413E-4 | 2.296691 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018759521 | 0.0021454457 | 1.143657 | 2.7E-4 | 0.01763251 | 0.019349992 | 0.019644188 | 1.0152038 | 3.0E-4 |
6.4 | 3.400795E-5 | 3.5878285E-5 | 1.9587255E-4 | 5.459362 | 1.6E-4 | 1.4574021E-4 | 1.5375503E-4 | 3.5372426E-4 | 2.3005705 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017729428 | 0.0018703619 | 0.0021398568 | 1.1440871 | 2.7E-4 | 0.017588645 | 0.019295074 | 0.019589286 | 1.0152481 | 3.0E-4 |
6.5 | 3.341482E-5 | 3.5138914E-5 | 1.951333E-4 | 5.5531964 | 1.6E-4 | 1.4319851E-4 | 1.5058667E-4 | 3.5055654E-4 | 2.3279388 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017420477 | 0.0018318522 | 0.0021013576 | 1.1471218 | 2.7E-4 | 0.017284546 | 0.018916616 | 0.01921094 | 1.0155591 | 3.0E-4 |
6.6 | 3.3364955E-5 | 3.5076133E-5 | 1.9507052E-4 | 5.561346 | 1.6E-4 | 1.4298483E-4 | 1.5031763E-4 | 3.5028756E-4 | 2.3303158 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017394501 | 0.0018285823 | 0.0020980886 | 1.1473854 | 2.7E-4 | 0.017258976 | 0.01888448 | 0.019178815 | 1.015586 | 3.0E-4 |
6.7 | 3.335922E-5 | 3.5065907E-5 | 1.9506029E-4 | 5.5626764 | 1.6E-4 | 1.4296026E-4 | 1.5027382E-4 | 3.5024376E-4 | 2.330704 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017391514 | 0.0018280497 | 0.0020975561 | 1.1474284 | 2.7E-4 | 0.017256035 | 0.018879272 | 0.019173607 | 1.0155904 | 3.0E-4 |
6.8 | 3.327683E-5 | 3.4959972E-5 | 1.9495438E-4 | 5.576503 | 1.6E-4 | 1.4260718E-4 | 1.4981985E-4 | 3.497899E-4 | 2.3347366 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017348597 | 0.001822532 | 0.00209204 | 1.1478755 | 2.7E-4 | 0.017213784 | 0.018825045 | 0.019119397 | 1.0156362 | 3.0E-4 |
6.9 | 3.3235785E-5 | 3.4900928E-5 | 1.9489534E-4 | 5.5842457 | 1.6E-4 | 1.4243131E-4 | 1.4956683E-4 | 3.4953692E-4 | 2.336995 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017327217 | 0.0018194567 | 0.0020889654 | 1.148126 | 2.7E-4 | 0.017192734 | 0.018794911 | 0.019089272 | 1.0156617 | 3.0E-4 |
7.0 | 3.3197095E-5 | 3.4840854E-5 | 1.9483529E-4 | 5.5921497 | 1.6E-4 | 1.422655E-4 | 1.4930942E-4 | 3.4927955E-4 | 2.3393002 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0017307063 | 0.0018163278 | 0.0020858375 | 1.1483816 | 2.7E-4 | 0.017172894 | 0.01876429 | 0.01905866 | 1.0156878 | 3.0E-4 |
7.1 | 3.3129716E-5 | 3.4721066E-5 | 1.8471586E-4 | 5.319994 | 1.5E-4 | 1.4197677E-4 | 1.4879608E-4 | 3.387678E-4 | 2.2767253 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0017271966 | 0.0018100884 | 0.0020696179 | 1.1433794 | 2.6E-4 | 0.017138338 | 0.018703366 | 0.018987942 | 1.0152153 | 2.9E-4 |
7.2 | 3.3034008E-5 | 3.4588513E-5 | 1.8458332E-4 | 5.33655 | 1.5E-4 | 1.4156665E-4 | 1.4822806E-4 | 3.381999E-4 | 2.2816186 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0017222111 | 0.0018031843 | 0.0020627154 | 1.1439294 | 2.6E-4 | 0.017089253 | 0.01863575 | 0.018920345 | 1.0152715 | 2.9E-4 |
7.3 | 3.2956614E-5 | 3.4456265E-5 | 1.844511E-4 | 5.3531947 | 1.5E-4 | 1.4123498E-4 | 1.4766137E-4 | 3.376333E-4 | 2.286538 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0017181796 | 0.0017962961 | 0.0020558292 | 1.1444823 | 2.6E-4 | 0.017049557 | 0.018568495 | 0.018853111 | 1.0153278 | 2.9E-4 |
7.4 | 3.2915937E-5 | 3.4377957E-5 | 1.843728E-4 | 5.363111 | 1.5E-4 | 1.4106068E-4 | 1.473258E-4 | 3.372978E-4 | 2.2894688 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0017160608 | 0.0017922173 | 0.0020517514 | 1.1448117 | 2.6E-4 | 0.017028693 | 0.018528769 | 0.018813396 | 1.0153613 | 2.9E-4 |
7.5 | 3.281791E-5 | 3.424287E-5 | 1.8423774E-4 | 5.380324 | 1.5E-4 | 1.406406E-4 | 1.4674691E-4 | 3.3671904E-4 | 2.2945561 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0017109542 | 0.0017851809 | 0.0020447168 | 1.1453835 | 2.6E-4 | 0.016978411 | 0.018459652 | 0.0187443 | 1.01542 | 2.9E-4 |
7.6 | 3.2521442E-5 | 3.396782E-5 | 1.8396272E-4 | 5.4157944 | 1.5E-4 | 1.3937015E-4 | 1.4556825E-4 | 3.355406E-4 | 2.3050396 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0016955109 | 0.0017708542 | 0.0020303938 | 1.1465617 | 2.6E-4 | 0.016826328 | 0.018317295 | 0.018601984 | 1.015542 | 2.9E-4 |
7.7 | 3.0287873E-5 | 3.245191E-5 | 1.8244704E-4 | 5.622074 | 1.5E-4 | 1.297987E-4 | 1.3907222E-4 | 3.2904578E-4 | 2.3660066 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0015791537 | 0.0016918903 | 0.0019514504 | 1.1534142 | 2.6E-4 | 0.01567979 | 0.017528199 | 0.017813116 | 1.0162548 | 2.9E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6316151E-5 | 2.9662837E-5 | 1.7965838E-4 | 6.0566826 | 1.5E-4 | 1.1277862E-4 | 1.2712025E-4 | 3.170961E-4 | 2.4944577 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0013722149 | 0.0015465913 | 0.0018061892 | 1.1678517 | 2.6E-4 | 0.013637724 | 0.016069878 | 0.016355217 | 1.0177562 | 2.9E-4 |
7.9 | 2.0761147E-5 | 2.3417291E-5 | 1.4341448E-4 | 6.1242986 | 1.2E-4 | 8.897331E-5 | 1.0035596E-4 | 2.503409E-4 | 2.4945295 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0010827117 | 0.0012211498 | 0.0014408812 | 1.1799381 | 2.2E-4 | 0.010774517 | 0.012793272 | 0.013040073 | 1.0192915 | 2.5E-4 |
8.0 | 1.5738568E-5 | 1.6032505E-5 | 4.6032026E-5 | 2.8711684 | 3.0E-5 | 6.744926E-5 | 6.8708934E-5 | 9.870687E-5 | 1.4365945 | 3.0E-5 | 8.2088535E-4 | 8.3621085E-4 | 8.861691E-4 | 1.0597435 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008178596 | 0.008865741 | 0.008945031 | 1.0089436 | 8.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0105832E-5 | 8.329479E-6 | 1.8329396E-5 | 2.2005453 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3309992E-5 | 3.569728E-5 | 4.569692E-5 | 1.2801234 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2717153E-4 | 4.3452822E-4 | 4.5451953E-4 | 1.0460069 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005259227 | 0.0046768794 | 0.004706739 | 1.0063845 | 3.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.189207E-6 | 1.577699E-6 | 1.577699E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7953622E-5 | 6.7615497E-6 | 6.7615497E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1856341E-4 | 8.231879E-5 | 8.231879E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021834858 | 9.562628E-4 | 9.562628E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 3.612677E-7 | 3.612677E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.5482892E-6 | 1.5482892E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 1.8850264E-5 | 1.8850264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.2739546E-4 | 2.2739546E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.986481E-4 | 0.0012275929 | 0.0013174824 | 1.0732242 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0025631124 | 0.005245547 | 0.0053549698 | 1.0208602 | 1.1E-4 | 0.030762846 | 0.06120491 | 0.061373893 | 1.0027609 | 1.8E-4 | 0.26835477 | 0.42593494 | 0.42607272 | 1.0003234 | 2.4E-4 |
6.1 | 5.015945E-4 | 0.0010217986 | 0.0011017168 | 1.0782133 | 8.0E-5 | 0.00214792 | 0.0043678596 | 0.0044674226 | 1.0227945 | 1.0E-4 | 0.025839351 | 0.05124837 | 0.051409658 | 1.0031471 | 1.7E-4 | 0.23032776 | 0.37285668 | 0.37299466 | 1.00037 | 2.2E-4 |
6.2 | 4.073338E-4 | 8.1073755E-4 | 8.8068075E-4 | 1.0862712 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0017445484 | 0.0034671477 | 0.0035568357 | 1.0258679 | 9.0E-5 | 0.021034058 | 0.04093317 | 0.041086618 | 1.0037488 | 1.6E-4 | 0.19150782 | 0.31303346 | 0.31317085 | 1.0004389 | 2.0E-4 |
6.3 | 3.464099E-4 | 6.7391695E-4 | 7.4386975E-4 | 1.1038004 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0014837692 | 0.0028829593 | 0.0029727 | 1.0311279 | 9.0E-5 | 0.017915873 | 0.034189582 | 0.03434411 | 1.0045198 | 1.6E-4 | 0.16538359 | 0.2713166 | 0.27146232 | 1.0005372 | 2.0E-4 |
6.4 | 2.935057E-4 | 5.5442745E-4 | 6.2438863E-4 | 1.1261864 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0012572751 | 0.0023725363 | 0.0024623228 | 1.0378441 | 9.0E-5 | 0.015200248 | 0.02826451 | 0.028419988 | 1.0055008 | 1.6E-4 | 0.14201577 | 0.23298529 | 0.23313868 | 1.0006584 | 2.0E-4 |
6.5 | 2.3409708E-4 | 4.2093755E-4 | 4.809123E-4 | 1.142479 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0010028875 | 0.0018019684 | 0.0018818243 | 1.0443159 | 8.0E-5 | 0.012141965 | 0.021587461 | 0.02172444 | 1.0063453 | 1.4E-4 | 0.11499573 | 0.18682368 | 0.18696192 | 1.0007399 | 1.7E-4 |
6.6 | 1.5842178E-4 | 2.506933E-4 | 3.1067827E-4 | 1.2392763 | 6.0E-5 | 6.7877385E-4 | 0.0010739497 | 0.0011538639 | 1.0744114 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0082328 | 0.012995575 | 0.013133755 | 1.0106329 | 1.4E-4 | 0.07934396 | 0.12314638 | 0.12329544 | 1.0012105 | 1.7E-4 |
6.7 | 1.5616413E-4 | 2.4605883E-4 | 3.0604406E-4 | 1.2437842 | 6.0E-5 | 6.691031E-4 | 0.0010541069 | 0.0011340225 | 1.0758137 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0081159435 | 0.01275744 | 0.012895654 | 1.010834 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0782586 | 0.12117351 | 0.121322915 | 1.001233 | 1.7E-4 |
6.8 | 1.5538467E-4 | 2.4429744E-4 | 3.042828E-4 | 1.2455423 | 6.0E-5 | 6.6576427E-4 | 0.0010465645 | 0.0011264808 | 1.0763606 | 8.0E-5 | 0.008075596 | 0.012666838 | 0.012805065 | 1.0109125 | 1.4E-4 | 0.07788358 | 0.120404355 | 0.12055389 | 1.0012419 | 1.7E-4 |
6.9 | 1.5153569E-4 | 2.3539034E-4 | 2.8537857E-4 | 1.2123631 | 5.0E-5 | 6.49277E-4 | 0.0010084276 | 0.001078357 | 1.069345 | 7.0E-5 | 0.007876333 | 0.01220901 | 0.012337424 | 1.0105178 | 1.3E-4 | 0.07602952 | 0.11647445 | 0.11661581 | 1.0012137 | 1.6E-4 |
7.0 | 1.4588932E-4 | 2.2396253E-4 | 2.7395133E-4 | 1.2232016 | 5.0E-5 | 6.250901E-4 | 9.5948833E-4 | 0.0010294212 | 1.0728855 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0075839474 | 0.011619697 | 0.011748186 | 1.0110579 | 1.3E-4 | 0.073302895 | 0.11132046 | 0.111462645 | 1.0012773 | 1.6E-4 |
7.1 | 1.1565079E-4 | 1.6281738E-4 | 2.1280925E-4 | 1.3070425 | 5.0E-5 | 4.955521E-4 | 6.9760304E-4 | 7.675542E-4 | 1.1002736 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006016669 | 0.0084604435 | 0.008589343 | 1.0152357 | 1.3E-4 | 0.058563538 | 0.08367046 | 0.08381707 | 1.0017523 | 1.6E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0393792E-4 | 1.4615769E-4 | 1.9615037E-4 | 1.3420463 | 5.0E-5 | 4.4537216E-4 | 6.2624045E-4 | 6.862029E-4 | 1.0957499 | 6.0E-5 | 0.005408933 | 0.0075979927 | 0.007717081 | 1.0156736 | 1.2E-4 | 0.052791595 | 0.07561969 | 0.075758345 | 1.0018336 | 1.5E-4 |
7.3 | 9.332884E-5 | 1.2780898E-4 | 1.7780259E-4 | 1.3911588 | 5.0E-5 | 3.999194E-4 | 5.4763845E-4 | 6.0760556E-4 | 1.1095014 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0048581534 | 0.006647249 | 0.006756518 | 1.0164382 | 1.1E-4 | 0.047533102 | 0.06648326 | 0.06661395 | 1.0019658 | 1.4E-4 |
7.4 | 8.670252E-5 | 1.17032345E-4 | 1.6702649E-4 | 1.4271823 | 5.0E-5 | 3.715293E-4 | 5.0147134E-4 | 5.614413E-4 | 1.1195879 | 6.0E-5 | 0.004513991 | 0.006088443 | 0.0061977734 | 1.017957 | 1.1E-4 | 0.044233937 | 0.061151642 | 0.06128308 | 1.0021493 | 1.4E-4 |
7.5 | 7.3036405E-5 | 9.005856E-5 | 1.2005586E-4 | 1.3330866 | 3.0E-5 | 3.129756E-4 | 3.8590826E-4 | 4.2589282E-4 | 1.1036116 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0038038217 | 0.0046883323 | 0.0047779107 | 1.0191066 | 9.0E-5 | 0.03739367 | 0.047877792 | 0.047992047 | 1.0023863 | 1.2E-4 |
7.6 | 6.3935775E-5 | 8.280385E-5 | 1.1280136E-4 | 1.362272 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7398168E-4 | 3.5482543E-4 | 3.9481124E-4 | 1.1126915 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0033306254 | 0.004311461 | 0.0044010733 | 1.0207846 | 9.0E-5 | 0.032811474 | 0.04399201 | 0.04410673 | 1.0026078 | 1.2E-4 |
7.7 | 5.5050095E-5 | 6.6618326E-5 | 9.661633E-5 | 1.4502965 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3590765E-4 | 2.854759E-4 | 3.1546733E-4 | 1.1050577 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0028683927 | 0.003470134 | 0.0035498564 | 1.0229739 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0283165 | 0.035796214 | 0.03589263 | 1.0026935 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 5.027131E-5 | 6.162871E-5 | 9.1626855E-5 | 1.4867562 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1543067E-4 | 2.640963E-4 | 2.940884E-4 | 1.113565 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0026197135 | 0.003210635 | 0.0032903783 | 1.0248371 | 8.0E-5 | 0.025890453 | 0.03312666 | 0.033223346 | 1.0029187 | 1.0E-4 |
7.9 | 3.7271806E-5 | 5.022507E-5 | 7.0224065E-5 | 1.3981875 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5972654E-4 | 2.1523255E-4 | 2.3522823E-4 | 1.0929028 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019429359 | 0.002617309 | 0.0026771522 | 1.0228643 | 6.0E-5 | 0.019260362 | 0.027067466 | 0.02713557 | 1.0025162 | 7.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.7310243E-5 | 3.1427757E-5 | 5.142713E-5 | 1.6363602 | 2.0E-5 | 1.17038646E-4 | 1.3468343E-4 | 1.5468075E-4 | 1.1484764 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014240141 | 0.0016385383 | 0.0016884564 | 1.030465 | 5.0E-5 | 0.014149235 | 0.01721386 | 0.017272828 | 1.0034256 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.7940547E-5 | 1.7399378E-5 | 2.7399203E-5 | 1.5747232 | 1.0E-5 | 7.688579E-5 | 7.456663E-5 | 8.456589E-5 | 1.1340983 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3568244E-4 | 9.074711E-4 | 9.27453E-4 | 1.0220193 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009317525 | 0.009798636 | 0.009818439 | 1.0020211 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 5.473668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 2.3458366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 2.8556827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.0032481793 | 0.0032481793 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6564595E-7 | 7.6564595E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 3.281336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9949547E-5 | 3.9949547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.717979E-4 | 4.717979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3500992E-5 | 1.2349864E-4 | 5.2550397 | 1.0E-4 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.00714664E-4 | 2.4070057E-4 | 2.3899257 | 1.4E-4 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012255146 | 0.0014652205 | 1.1955961 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012228744 | 0.01250532 | 1.0226169 | 2.8E-4 |
6.1 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3500992E-5 | 1.2349864E-4 | 5.2550397 | 1.0E-4 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.00714664E-4 | 2.4070057E-4 | 2.3899257 | 1.4E-4 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012255146 | 0.0014652205 | 1.1955961 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012228744 | 0.01250532 | 1.0226169 | 2.8E-4 |
6.2 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3500992E-5 | 1.2349864E-4 | 5.2550397 | 1.0E-4 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.00714664E-4 | 2.4070057E-4 | 2.3899257 | 1.4E-4 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012255146 | 0.0014652205 | 1.1955961 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012228744 | 0.01250532 | 1.0226169 | 2.8E-4 |
6.3 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3500992E-5 | 1.2349864E-4 | 5.2550397 | 1.0E-4 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.00714664E-4 | 2.4070057E-4 | 2.3899257 | 1.4E-4 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012255146 | 0.0014652205 | 1.1955961 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012228744 | 0.01250532 | 1.0226169 | 2.8E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3500992E-5 | 1.2349864E-4 | 5.2550397 | 1.0E-4 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.00714664E-4 | 2.4070057E-4 | 2.3899257 | 1.4E-4 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.0012255146 | 0.0014652205 | 1.1955961 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012228744 | 0.01250532 | 1.0226169 | 2.8E-4 |
6.5 | 1.3450706E-5 | 2.348995E-5 | 1.234876E-4 | 5.2570395 | 1.0E-4 | 5.764461E-5 | 1.00667356E-4 | 2.4065326E-4 | 2.390579 | 1.4E-4 | 7.0159714E-4 | 0.0012249392 | 0.0014646453 | 1.1956881 | 2.4E-4 | 0.006993862 | 0.012223054 | 0.012499631 | 1.0226275 | 2.8E-4 |
6.6 | 1.3074523E-5 | 2.3104236E-5 | 1.2310193E-4 | 5.3281107 | 1.0E-4 | 5.6032466E-5 | 9.901441E-5 | 2.3900055E-4 | 2.4137955 | 1.4E-4 | 6.8198174E-4 | 0.001204837 | 0.0014445479 | 1.1989571 | 2.4E-4 | 0.006798926 | 0.012024219 | 0.012290972 | 1.0221847 | 2.7E-4 |
6.7 | 1.3050216E-5 | 2.3079532E-5 | 1.2307722E-4 | 5.332743 | 1.0E-4 | 5.59283E-5 | 9.890855E-5 | 2.388947E-4 | 2.415309 | 1.4E-4 | 6.8071426E-4 | 0.0012035496 | 0.0014432607 | 1.1991701 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0067863287 | 0.012011484 | 0.012278241 | 1.0222085 | 2.7E-4 |
6.8 | 1.29049395E-5 | 2.2927941E-5 | 1.2292564E-4 | 5.3613906 | 1.0E-4 | 5.530571E-5 | 9.825892E-5 | 2.3824516E-4 | 2.4246671 | 1.4E-4 | 6.73139E-4 | 0.001195649 | 0.001435362 | 1.2004879 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0067110364 | 0.011933329 | 0.012200107 | 1.0223557 | 2.7E-4 |
6.9 | 1.2867369E-5 | 2.2887343E-5 | 1.2288506E-4 | 5.3691273 | 1.0E-4 | 5.51447E-5 | 9.808494E-5 | 2.3807121E-4 | 2.4271944 | 1.4E-4 | 6.711799E-4 | 0.0011935332 | 0.0014332468 | 1.2008437 | 2.4E-4 | 0.006691564 | 0.011912397 | 0.012179181 | 1.0223955 | 2.7E-4 |
7.0 | 1.2495996E-5 | 2.2287419E-5 | 1.2228519E-4 | 5.4867363 | 1.0E-4 | 5.3553173E-5 | 9.551403E-5 | 2.3550066E-4 | 2.4656131 | 1.4E-4 | 6.518148E-4 | 0.0011622658 | 0.0014019868 | 1.2062532 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0064990623 | 0.011603 | 0.011869867 | 1.0229999 | 2.7E-4 |
7.1 | 1.2452067E-5 | 2.2232492E-5 | 1.2223027E-4 | 5.4978213 | 1.0E-4 | 5.3364907E-5 | 9.527864E-5 | 2.3526531E-4 | 2.4692345 | 1.4E-4 | 6.4952404E-4 | 0.001159403 | 0.0013991247 | 1.206763 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0064762887 | 0.011574671 | 0.011841546 | 1.0230567 | 2.7E-4 |
7.2 | 1.2002777E-5 | 2.1611015E-5 | 1.2160886E-4 | 5.62717 | 1.0E-4 | 5.143946E-5 | 9.261536E-5 | 2.326024E-4 | 2.5114882 | 1.4E-4 | 6.2609545E-4 | 0.0011270114 | 0.0013667409 | 1.2127126 | 2.4E-4 | 0.006243344 | 0.011254058 | 0.011521019 | 1.0237213 | 2.7E-4 |
7.3 | 1.1923425E-5 | 2.1480853E-5 | 1.21478704E-4 | 5.6552086 | 1.0E-4 | 5.109939E-5 | 9.205757E-5 | 2.3204468E-4 | 2.5206475 | 1.4E-4 | 6.219575E-4 | 0.0011202273 | 0.0013599584 | 1.2140023 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0062021962 | 0.011186945 | 0.011453925 | 1.0238652 | 2.7E-4 |
7.4 | 1.16105175E-5 | 2.0854808E-5 | 1.20852725E-4 | 5.7949576 | 1.0E-4 | 4.975841E-5 | 8.93747E-5 | 2.2936218E-4 | 2.5662987 | 1.4E-4 | 6.0564023E-4 | 0.0010875963 | 0.0013273354 | 1.2204301 | 2.4E-4 | 0.006039923 | 0.010864409 | 0.011131476 | 1.0245818 | 2.7E-4 |
7.5 | 1.1037265E-5 | 1.9554842E-5 | 1.1955289E-4 | 6.113723 | 1.0E-4 | 4.7301706E-5 | 8.380379E-5 | 2.2379206E-4 | 2.670429 | 1.4E-4 | 5.757461E-4 | 0.0010198357 | 0.001259591 | 1.235092 | 2.4E-4 | 0.005742567 | 0.010195527 | 0.010462775 | 1.0262122 | 2.7E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0720915E-5 | 1.8996727E-5 | 1.0899502E-4 | 5.737568 | 9.0E-5 | 4.5945973E-5 | 8.141202E-5 | 2.1140144E-4 | 2.596686 | 1.3E-4 | 5.592486E-4 | 9.907428E-4 | 0.0012205149 | 1.231919 | 2.3E-4 | 0.005578433 | 0.009907238 | 0.010164662 | 1.0259835 | 2.6E-4 |
7.7 | 9.276279E-6 | 1.6442464E-5 | 1.0644098E-4 | 6.473542 | 9.0E-5 | 3.9754876E-5 | 7.046581E-5 | 2.0045665E-4 | 2.8447363 | 1.3E-4 | 4.839081E-4 | 8.5758517E-4 | 0.0010773966 | 1.2563143 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0048285574 | 0.008586576 | 0.008834429 | 1.0288652 | 2.5E-4 |
7.8 | 5.8346777E-6 | 1.11555855E-5 | 9.1154696E-5 | 8.171216 | 8.0E-5 | 2.5005522E-5 | 4.7808775E-5 | 1.6780304E-4 | 3.5098794 | 1.2E-4 | 3.043997E-4 | 5.819165E-4 | 7.9179433E-4 | 1.3606665 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0030398308 | 0.0058473335 | 0.00608593 | 1.0408044 | 2.4E-4 |
7.9 | 4.690204E-6 | 8.509473E-6 | 8.8508794E-5 | 10.401206 | 8.0E-5 | 2.0100719E-5 | 3.6468664E-5 | 1.5646429E-4 | 4.290376 | 1.2E-4 | 2.4469878E-4 | 4.439156E-4 | 6.4382685E-4 | 1.4503361 | 2.0E-4 | 0.002444295 | 0.004471165 | 0.0047001364 | 1.0512108 | 2.3E-4 |
8.0 | 2.9570454E-6 | 4.8470656E-6 | 4.484687E-5 | 9.252376 | 4.0E-5 | 1.267299E-5 | 2.0772974E-5 | 6.077214E-5 | 2.925539 | 4.0E-5 | 1.5428272E-4 | 2.5288164E-4 | 3.0286898E-4 | 1.1976709 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0015417566 | 0.002549932 | 0.0026097791 | 1.02347 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.6376824E-6 | 2.1968672E-6 | 1.2196845E-5 | 5.5519266 | 1.0E-5 | 7.01862E-6 | 9.415111E-6 | 1.9415018E-5 | 2.0621123 | 1.0E-5 | 8.544835E-5 | 1.1462297E-4 | 1.2462182E-4 | 1.0872326 | 1.0E-5 | 8.54155E-4 | 0.0011607445 | 0.0011707328 | 1.0086051 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 6.9631557E-7 | 4.535001E-7 | 4.535001E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.984206E-6 | 1.9435704E-6 | 1.9435704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.63321E-5 | 2.3662713E-5 | 2.3662713E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6326164E-4 | 2.4510184E-4 | 2.4510184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.7876137E-7 | 8.357368E-8 | 8.357368E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.661199E-7 | 3.5817288E-7 | 3.5817288E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.32747E-6 | 4.3607465E-6 | 4.3607465E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3270784E-5 | 4.5800018E-5 | 4.5800018E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Baker
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8348373E-6 | 1.2583414E-4 | 21.566008 | 1.2E-4 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5006228E-5 | 1.6500273E-4 | 6.5984654 | 1.4E-4 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.044123E-4 | 4.7436054E-4 | 1.5582831 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030403486 | 0.0033095279 | 1.0885355 | 2.7E-4 |
6.1 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8348373E-6 | 1.2583414E-4 | 21.566008 | 1.2E-4 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5006228E-5 | 1.6500273E-4 | 6.5984654 | 1.4E-4 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.044123E-4 | 4.7436054E-4 | 1.5582831 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030403486 | 0.0033095279 | 1.0885355 | 2.7E-4 |
6.2 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8348373E-6 | 1.2583414E-4 | 21.566008 | 1.2E-4 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5006228E-5 | 1.6500273E-4 | 6.5984654 | 1.4E-4 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.044123E-4 | 4.7436054E-4 | 1.5582831 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030403486 | 0.0033095279 | 1.0885355 | 2.7E-4 |
6.3 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.383667E-6 | 1.2338326E-4 | 36.464363 | 1.2E-4 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.4501353E-5 | 1.3449961E-4 | 9.27497 | 1.2E-4 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.7654014E-4 | 3.2651366E-4 | 1.8495152 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0017201907 | 0.001764046 | 0.0019936403 | 1.1301521 | 2.3E-4 |
6.4 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.383667E-6 | 1.2338326E-4 | 36.464363 | 1.2E-4 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.4501353E-5 | 1.3449961E-4 | 9.27497 | 1.2E-4 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.7654014E-4 | 3.2651366E-4 | 1.8495152 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0017201907 | 0.001764046 | 0.0019936403 | 1.1301521 | 2.3E-4 |
6.5 | 2.782202E-6 | 2.8558404E-6 | 1.02855556E-4 | 36.01586 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1923668E-5 | 1.223926E-5 | 1.12238034E-4 | 9.170328 | 1.0E-4 | 1.4516099E-4 | 1.4900314E-4 | 2.7898376E-4 | 1.8723348 | 1.3E-4 | 0.001450662 | 0.0014890651 | 0.0016887672 | 1.1341125 | 2.0E-4 |
6.6 | 2.3163404E-6 | 2.38092E-6 | 9.238071E-5 | 38.800426 | 9.0E-5 | 9.927136E-6 | 1.0203904E-5 | 1.0020298E-4 | 9.820064 | 9.0E-5 | 1.20856166E-4 | 1.2422565E-4 | 2.4421074E-4 | 1.9658641 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0012079047 | 0.0012415823 | 0.0014113713 | 1.136752 | 1.7E-4 |
6.7 | 2.037056E-6 | 2.0965003E-6 | 9.2096314E-5 | 43.928593 | 9.0E-5 | 8.7302105E-6 | 8.984972E-6 | 9.8984165E-5 | 11.016636 | 9.0E-5 | 1.0628513E-4 | 1.093867E-4 | 2.2937357E-4 | 2.0969055 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0010623431 | 0.0010933448 | 0.0012631589 | 1.1553162 | 1.7E-4 |
6.8 | 1.8356744E-6 | 1.8915287E-6 | 8.1891376E-5 | 43.293755 | 8.0E-5 | 7.867153E-6 | 8.106527E-6 | 8.810588E-5 | 10.868511 | 8.0E-5 | 9.577837E-5 | 9.869264E-5 | 2.0868178E-4 | 2.1144614 | 1.1E-4 | 9.57371E-4 | 9.86502E-4 | 0.0011463442 | 1.1620293 | 1.6E-4 |
6.9 | 1.6310546E-6 | 1.6832072E-6 | 8.168307E-5 | 48.528233 | 8.0E-5 | 6.9902153E-6 | 7.213726E-6 | 8.721315E-5 | 12.08989 | 8.0E-5 | 8.510255E-5 | 8.782368E-5 | 1.9781402E-4 | 2.2523994 | 1.1E-4 | 8.5069967E-4 | 8.7790104E-4 | 0.0010377606 | 1.1820929 | 1.6E-4 |
7.0 | 1.2058036E-6 | 1.2508665E-6 | 8.1250764E-5 | 64.95558 | 8.0E-5 | 5.1677193E-6 | 5.3608455E-6 | 8.5360414E-5 | 15.922938 | 8.0E-5 | 6.291517E-5 | 6.5266366E-5 | 1.7525919E-4 | 2.685291 | 1.1E-4 | 6.289736E-4 | 6.524743E-4 | 7.923829E-4 | 1.2144278 | 1.4E-4 |
7.1 | 1.052382E-6 | 1.0951609E-6 | 8.109507E-5 | 74.04855 | 8.0E-5 | 4.5102006E-6 | 4.693538E-6 | 8.4693165E-5 | 18.04463 | 8.0E-5 | 5.491031E-5 | 5.7142337E-5 | 1.6713605E-4 | 2.9249074 | 1.1E-4 | 5.4896745E-4 | 5.7127734E-4 | 7.111973E-4 | 1.2449249 | 1.4E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0067454E-6 | 1.0487711E-6 | 8.104869E-5 | 77.27968 | 8.0E-5 | 4.3146156E-6 | 4.4947255E-6 | 8.4494364E-5 | 18.79856 | 8.0E-5 | 5.252918E-5 | 5.4721917E-5 | 1.647159E-4 | 3.0100536 | 1.1E-4 | 5.251676E-4 | 5.470853E-4 | 6.8700867E-4 | 1.2557616 | 1.4E-4 |
7.3 | 9.3596316E-7 | 9.767723E-7 | 7.0976705E-5 | 72.66453 | 7.0E-5 | 4.0112645E-6 | 4.1861604E-6 | 7.418587E-5 | 17.721697 | 7.0E-5 | 4.8836053E-5 | 5.096532E-5 | 1.3096124E-4 | 2.569615 | 8.0E-5 | 4.8825322E-4 | 5.095371E-4 | 6.19481E-4 | 1.2157723 | 1.1E-4 |
7.4 | 8.8117395E-7 | 9.2076635E-7 | 6.0920713E-5 | 66.163055 | 6.0E-5 | 3.7764542E-6 | 3.9461356E-6 | 6.3945896E-5 | 16.204689 | 6.0E-5 | 4.5977362E-5 | 4.8043148E-5 | 1.1803979E-4 | 2.4569535 | 7.0E-5 | 4.596785E-4 | 4.8032837E-4 | 5.802803E-4 | 1.2080909 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 8.292386E-7 | 8.6745956E-7 | 3.0867435E-5 | 35.583714 | 3.0E-5 | 3.5538749E-6 | 3.7176785E-6 | 3.3717566E-5 | 9.069522 | 3.0E-5 | 4.326757E-5 | 4.5261804E-5 | 8.525999E-5 | 1.8837074 | 4.0E-5 | 4.3259145E-4 | 4.5252658E-4 | 5.224949E-4 | 1.1546171 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.553842E-7 | 7.9144706E-7 | 2.079143E-5 | 26.270147 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2373566E-6 | 3.3919116E-6 | 2.3391844E-5 | 6.89636 | 2.0E-5 | 3.9414106E-5 | 4.129575E-5 | 7.129451E-5 | 1.7264371 | 3.0E-5 | 3.9407116E-4 | 4.1288146E-4 | 4.728567E-4 | 1.1452602 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.5285366E-7 | 6.852797E-7 | 1.0685273E-5 | 15.592572 | 1.0E-5 | 2.797941E-6 | 2.9369096E-6 | 1.293688E-5 | 4.4049296 | 1.0E-5 | 3.40644E-5 | 3.5756293E-5 | 4.5755936E-5 | 1.279661 | 1.0E-5 | 3.405918E-4 | 3.5750607E-4 | 3.9749176E-4 | 1.1118462 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6482615E-7 | 1.0364823E-5 | 28.410307 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635396E-6 | 1.1563524E-5 | 7.3957343 | 1.0E-5 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9035933E-5 | 2.9035744E-5 | 1.5253123 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9034347E-4 | 2.0034157E-4 | 1.0525266 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 2.6696718E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 1.14414505E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 1.3929966E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 1.3929966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Scodie Lineament
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2919327E-6 | 3.0133303E-6 | 9.301306E-5 | 30.867195 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4108206E-5 | 1.2914227E-5 | 1.2291281E-4 | 9.517628 | 1.1E-4 | 1.7175387E-4 | 1.5722254E-4 | 3.471927E-4 | 2.208288 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0017162118 | 0.0015714248 | 0.0018410005 | 1.1715486 | 2.7E-4 |
6.1 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5490382E-6 | 5.154896E-5 | 33.278046 | 5.0E-5 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6387206E-6 | 6.663832E-5 | 10.037826 | 6.0E-5 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082393E-5 | 1.7081665E-4 | 2.1134417 | 9.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.079941E-4 | 9.2789717E-4 | 1.1483959 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5490382E-6 | 5.154896E-5 | 33.278046 | 5.0E-5 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6387206E-6 | 6.663832E-5 | 10.037826 | 6.0E-5 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082393E-5 | 1.7081665E-4 | 2.1134417 | 9.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.079941E-4 | 9.2789717E-4 | 1.1483959 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5490382E-6 | 5.154896E-5 | 33.278046 | 5.0E-5 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6387206E-6 | 6.663832E-5 | 10.037826 | 6.0E-5 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082393E-5 | 1.7081665E-4 | 2.1134417 | 9.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.079941E-4 | 9.2789717E-4 | 1.1483959 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5490382E-6 | 5.154896E-5 | 33.278046 | 5.0E-5 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6387206E-6 | 6.663832E-5 | 10.037826 | 6.0E-5 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082393E-5 | 1.7081665E-4 | 2.1134417 | 9.0E-5 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.079941E-4 | 9.2789717E-4 | 1.1483959 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.8106311E-6 | 1.4909722E-6 | 4.1490912E-5 | 27.828094 | 4.0E-5 | 7.759824E-6 | 6.389868E-6 | 5.638955E-5 | 8.824838 | 5.0E-5 | 9.447177E-5 | 7.779436E-5 | 1.5778813E-4 | 2.0282722 | 8.0E-5 | 9.4431615E-4 | 7.7771995E-4 | 8.8763435E-4 | 1.141329 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 1.2414679E-6 | 8.9974395E-7 | 3.089972E-5 | 34.34279 | 3.0E-5 | 5.320566E-6 | 3.85604E-6 | 4.3855885E-5 | 11.373296 | 4.0E-5 | 6.477596E-5 | 4.6946367E-5 | 9.694402E-5 | 2.064995 | 5.0E-5 | 6.475708E-4 | 4.6937316E-4 | 5.29345E-4 | 1.1277701 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1062215E-6 | 7.594193E-7 | 3.07594E-5 | 40.503838 | 3.0E-5 | 4.7409408E-6 | 3.2546504E-6 | 4.325452E-5 | 13.290066 | 4.0E-5 | 5.7719422E-5 | 3.962472E-5 | 7.962313E-5 | 2.009431 | 4.0E-5 | 5.770443E-4 | 3.9618355E-4 | 4.4616373E-4 | 1.1261542 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0006736E-6 | 6.5002786E-7 | 2.0650015E-5 | 31.76789 | 2.0E-5 | 4.288594E-6 | 2.7858312E-6 | 2.2785776E-5 | 8.179166 | 2.0E-5 | 5.221238E-5 | 3.391703E-5 | 5.391635E-5 | 1.5896543 | 2.0E-5 | 5.220012E-4 | 3.3912458E-4 | 3.591178E-4 | 1.0589554 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.167364E-7 | 5.6315065E-7 | 2.0563139E-5 | 36.514454 | 2.0E-5 | 3.9288643E-6 | 2.413501E-6 | 2.2413453E-5 | 9.286697 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7832873E-5 | 2.9384037E-5 | 4.938345E-5 | 1.6806217 | 2.0E-5 | 4.782258E-4 | 2.9380718E-4 | 3.138013E-4 | 1.0680518 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.6987664E-7 | 4.113265E-7 | 2.0411318E-5 | 49.623154 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2994672E-6 | 1.7628269E-6 | 2.1762791E-5 | 12.345393 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0170275E-5 | 2.1462245E-5 | 4.1461815E-5 | 1.931849 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0163012E-4 | 2.1460558E-4 | 2.3460129E-4 | 1.0931742 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1038727E-7 | 3.5210306E-7 | 2.0352096E-5 | 57.801533 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0445133E-6 | 1.5090123E-6 | 2.1508982E-5 | 14.253682 | 2.0E-5 | 3.706632E-5 | 1.8372106E-5 | 3.8371738E-5 | 2.0885868 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7060137E-4 | 1.8370937E-4 | 2.037057E-4 | 1.1088476 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0799602E-7 | 3.1178534E-8 | 3.1178534E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.914113E-7 | 1.3362228E-7 | 1.3362228E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0852878E-5 | 1.6268501E-6 | 1.6268501E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08523476E-4 | 1.626839E-5 | 1.626839E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5048182E-7 | 1.5939106E-8 | 1.5939106E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.449219E-7 | 6.8310456E-8 | 6.8310456E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851896E-6 | 8.316795E-7 | 8.316795E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851618E-5 | 8.316767E-6 | 8.316767E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.8638475E-9 | 4.8638475E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 2.084506E-8 | 2.084506E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.5378858E-7 | 2.5378858E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095951E-5 | 2.5378843E-6 | 2.5378843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lake Isabella (Seismicity)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741651E-6 | 1.3974038E-4 | 14.344629 | 1.3E-4 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749343E-5 | 2.0174266E-4 | 4.832236 | 1.6E-4 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.0819275E-4 | 6.980962E-4 | 1.3736839 | 1.9E-4 | 0.004909227 | 0.005071599 | 0.005320331 | 1.0490441 | 2.5E-4 |
6.1 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741651E-6 | 1.3974038E-4 | 14.344629 | 1.3E-4 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749343E-5 | 2.0174266E-4 | 4.832236 | 1.6E-4 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.0819275E-4 | 6.980962E-4 | 1.3736839 | 1.9E-4 | 0.004909227 | 0.005071599 | 0.005320331 | 1.0490441 | 2.5E-4 |
6.2 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741651E-6 | 1.3974038E-4 | 14.344629 | 1.3E-4 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749343E-5 | 2.0174266E-4 | 4.832236 | 1.6E-4 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.0819275E-4 | 6.980962E-4 | 1.3736839 | 1.9E-4 | 0.004909227 | 0.005071599 | 0.005320331 | 1.0490441 | 2.5E-4 |
6.3 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741651E-6 | 1.3974038E-4 | 14.344629 | 1.3E-4 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749343E-5 | 2.0174266E-4 | 4.832236 | 1.6E-4 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.0819275E-4 | 6.980962E-4 | 1.3736839 | 1.9E-4 | 0.004909227 | 0.005071599 | 0.005320331 | 1.0490441 | 2.5E-4 |
6.4 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.3000763E-6 | 8.529965E-5 | 16.094044 | 8.0E-5 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2714434E-5 | 1.2271217E-4 | 5.402387 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.765166E-4 | 3.964834E-4 | 1.4338503 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027620657 | 0.0029116513 | 1.0541571 | 1.5E-4 |
6.5 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.3000763E-6 | 8.529965E-5 | 16.094044 | 8.0E-5 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2714434E-5 | 1.2271217E-4 | 5.402387 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.765166E-4 | 3.964834E-4 | 1.4338503 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027620657 | 0.0029116513 | 1.0541571 | 1.5E-4 |
6.6 | 3.4009804E-6 | 3.498786E-6 | 7.3498544E-5 | 21.006868 | 7.0E-5 | 1.4575549E-5 | 1.4994721E-5 | 1.0499337E-4 | 7.0020223 | 9.0E-5 | 1.7744285E-4 | 1.8254704E-4 | 2.9252697E-4 | 1.6024745 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0017730123 | 0.0018241286 | 0.0019439097 | 1.0656649 | 1.2E-4 |
6.7 | 3.3880428E-6 | 3.4856528E-6 | 7.348541E-5 | 21.082253 | 7.0E-5 | 1.4520103E-5 | 1.4938435E-5 | 1.0493709E-4 | 7.024637 | 9.0E-5 | 1.767679E-4 | 1.8186188E-4 | 2.9184186E-4 | 1.6047447 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0017662736 | 0.0018172882 | 0.0019370702 | 1.0659125 | 1.2E-4 |
6.8 | 2.6582E-6 | 2.7337003E-6 | 6.273354E-5 | 22.948214 | 6.0E-5 | 1.1392236E-5 | 1.1715813E-5 | 9.171488E-5 | 7.828298 | 8.0E-5 | 1.3869164E-4 | 1.4263204E-4 | 2.3261919E-4 | 1.6309043 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0013860512 | 0.0014255369 | 0.0015154086 | 1.0630441 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.406011E-6 | 2.4743288E-6 | 6.247418E-5 | 25.24894 | 6.0E-5 | 1.0311434E-5 | 1.0604231E-5 | 9.060338E-5 | 8.544079 | 8.0E-5 | 1.2553448E-4 | 1.2910018E-4 | 2.1908856E-4 | 1.6970431 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0012546359 | 0.0012903814 | 0.0013802653 | 1.0696568 | 9.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.6953097E-6 | 1.7429371E-6 | 4.1742867E-5 | 23.949726 | 4.0E-5 | 7.265593E-6 | 7.469715E-6 | 6.7469264E-5 | 9.032374 | 6.0E-5 | 8.8455E-5 | 9.094104E-5 | 1.6093467E-4 | 1.7696595 | 7.0E-5 | 8.84198E-4 | 9.09141E-4 | 9.790773E-4 | 1.0769258 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.5013824E-7 | 3.5714822E-7 | 3.5714822E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5005916E-6 | 1.5306344E-6 | 1.1530619E-5 | 7.533229 | 1.0E-5 | 1.826955E-5 | 1.8635317E-5 | 2.8635131E-5 | 1.5366055 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8268047E-4 | 1.863378E-4 | 1.9633592E-4 | 1.053656 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.2321095E-7 | 2.2750574E-7 | 2.2750574E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.56618E-7 | 9.750242E-7 | 1.0975014E-5 | 11.2561455 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1646762E-5 | 1.1870856E-5 | 2.1870737E-5 | 1.8423892 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1646151E-4 | 1.1870232E-4 | 1.2870114E-4 | 1.0842344 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.5760406E-7 | 1.6060922E-7 | 1.6060922E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7544585E-7 | 6.8832503E-7 | 1.0688318E-5 | 15.528009 | 1.0E-5 | 8.223522E-6 | 8.380326E-6 | 1.8380242E-5 | 2.193261 | 1.0E-5 | 8.2232174E-5 | 8.3800165E-5 | 9.3799325E-5 | 1.1193215 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.1216497E-7 | 1.1431706E-7 | 1.1431706E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8070694E-7 | 4.899302E-7 | 1.0489925E-5 | 21.411062 | 1.0E-5 | 5.852591E-6 | 5.964884E-6 | 1.5964824E-5 | 2.6764686 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8524372E-5 | 5.9647282E-5 | 6.964669E-5 | 1.1676422 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.885185E-8 | 4.9787737E-8 | 4.9787737E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0936506E-7 | 2.13376E-7 | 2.13376E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5490165E-6 | 2.59785E-6 | 2.59785E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5489873E-5 | 2.5978214E-5 | 2.5978214E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.504641E-9 | 1.5317903E-9 | 1.5317903E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4484613E-9 | 6.5648154E-9 | 6.5648154E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851001E-8 | 7.992663E-8 | 7.992663E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8509987E-7 | 7.992663E-7 | 7.992663E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.1040642E-5 | 6.104009E-5 | 5.528672 | 5.0E-5 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.7316473E-5 | 1.0731364E-4 | 2.2679973 | 6.0E-5 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.759784E-4 | 6.959093E-4 | 1.2082211 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0054756533 | 0.005750022 | 0.0059289867 | 1.0311242 | 1.8E-4 |
6.1 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.1040642E-5 | 6.104009E-5 | 5.528672 | 5.0E-5 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.7316473E-5 | 1.0731364E-4 | 2.2679973 | 6.0E-5 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.759784E-4 | 6.959093E-4 | 1.2082211 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0054756533 | 0.005750022 | 0.0059289867 | 1.0311242 | 1.8E-4 |
6.2 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2082024E-6 | 2.2082024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.463714E-6 | 9.463714E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1521882E-4 | 1.2521767E-4 | 1.0867814 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011520023 | 0.0011619907 | 1.0086706 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2082024E-6 | 2.2082024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.463714E-6 | 9.463714E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1521882E-4 | 1.2521767E-4 | 1.0867814 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011520023 | 0.0011619907 | 1.0086706 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7259927E-6 | 1.810877E-6 | 1.810877E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3970905E-6 | 7.760902E-6 | 7.760902E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.005586E-5 | 9.4488976E-5 | 1.04488034E-4 | 1.1058224 | 1.0E-5 | 9.001937E-4 | 9.448898E-4 | 9.548803E-4 | 1.0105733 | 1.0E-5 |
Santa Ynez (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6750775E-5 | 1.1674783E-4 | 3.176745 | 8.0E-5 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5749714E-4 | 2.4748297E-4 | 1.571349 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019164253 | 0.0020860995 | 1.0885369 | 1.7E-4 | 0.016697178 | 0.019056438 | 0.019252626 | 1.0102952 | 2.0E-4 |
6.1 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6750775E-5 | 1.1674783E-4 | 3.176745 | 8.0E-5 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5749714E-4 | 2.4748297E-4 | 1.571349 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019164253 | 0.0020860995 | 1.0885369 | 1.7E-4 | 0.016697178 | 0.019056438 | 0.019252626 | 1.0102952 | 2.0E-4 |
6.2 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6750775E-5 | 1.1674783E-4 | 3.176745 | 8.0E-5 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5749714E-4 | 2.4748297E-4 | 1.571349 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019164253 | 0.0020860995 | 1.0885369 | 1.7E-4 | 0.016697178 | 0.019056438 | 0.019252626 | 1.0102952 | 2.0E-4 |
6.3 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.6750775E-5 | 1.1674783E-4 | 3.176745 | 8.0E-5 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5749714E-4 | 2.4748297E-4 | 1.571349 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019164253 | 0.0020860995 | 1.0885369 | 1.7E-4 | 0.016697178 | 0.019056438 | 0.019252626 | 1.0102952 | 2.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.48492945E-5 | 4.484885E-5 | 3.020268 | 3.0E-5 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.363831E-5 | 9.36364E-5 | 1.4713842 | 3.0E-5 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.7452604E-4 | 8.2448736E-4 | 1.0645056 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0074880854 | 0.007718817 | 0.0077684307 | 1.0064276 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.48492945E-5 | 4.484885E-5 | 3.020268 | 3.0E-5 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.363831E-5 | 9.36364E-5 | 1.4713842 | 3.0E-5 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.7452604E-4 | 8.2448736E-4 | 1.0645056 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0074880854 | 0.007718817 | 0.0077684307 | 1.0064276 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.280208E-5 | 1.301186E-5 | 4.301147E-5 | 3.305559 | 3.0E-5 | 5.4864904E-5 | 5.5763932E-5 | 8.576226E-5 | 1.5379522 | 3.0E-5 | 6.6777546E-4 | 6.7871617E-4 | 7.286822E-4 | 1.0736185 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006657724 | 0.0067666434 | 0.0068163048 | 1.0073392 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2457027E-5 | 1.262838E-5 | 4.2628002E-5 | 3.3755715 | 3.0E-5 | 5.3386164E-5 | 5.4120515E-5 | 8.4118896E-5 | 1.5542884 | 3.0E-5 | 6.497827E-4 | 6.5871974E-4 | 7.086868E-4 | 1.0758548 | 5.0E-5 | 0.00647886 | 0.00656787 | 0.0066175414 | 1.0075629 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2095134E-5 | 1.2230827E-5 | 4.223046E-5 | 3.4527886 | 3.0E-5 | 5.1835254E-5 | 5.2416784E-5 | 8.2415216E-5 | 1.5723057 | 3.0E-5 | 6.309115E-4 | 6.3798914E-4 | 6.879572E-4 | 1.0783212 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0062912325 | 0.006361764 | 0.006411446 | 1.0078094 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1104036E-5 | 1.115726E-5 | 4.1156924E-5 | 3.6888022 | 3.0E-5 | 4.758786E-5 | 4.781596E-5 | 7.7814526E-5 | 1.6273756 | 3.0E-5 | 5.7922816E-4 | 5.82005E-4 | 6.2198174E-4 | 1.0686879 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005777207 | 0.0058049536 | 0.0058447216 | 1.0068507 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0577444E-5 | 1.05815925E-5 | 4.0581275E-5 | 3.8350818 | 3.0E-5 | 4.5331115E-5 | 4.53489E-5 | 7.534754E-5 | 1.6615075 | 3.0E-5 | 5.5176654E-4 | 5.5198424E-4 | 5.9196213E-4 | 1.0724258 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0055039856 | 0.00550627 | 0.0055460497 | 1.0072244 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0021775E-5 | 9.9809E-6 | 3.99806E-5 | 4.005711 | 3.0E-5 | 4.294976E-5 | 4.277459E-5 | 7.2773306E-5 | 1.7013209 | 3.0E-5 | 5.2278786E-4 | 5.206574E-4 | 5.606366E-4 | 1.0767859 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0052155964 | 0.005194508 | 0.0052343006 | 1.0076604 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.874109E-6 | 8.748706E-6 | 3.8748443E-5 | 4.4290485 | 3.0E-5 | 3.8031343E-5 | 3.7493923E-5 | 6.74928E-5 | 1.8000996 | 3.0E-5 | 4.629332E-4 | 4.56394E-4 | 4.963757E-4 | 1.0876036 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0046197 | 0.0045546847 | 0.004594503 | 1.0087422 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.5504267E-6 | 7.5050243E-6 | 3.75048E-5 | 4.997292 | 3.0E-5 | 3.235857E-5 | 3.2164E-5 | 6.216303E-5 | 1.9326899 | 3.0E-5 | 3.9389438E-4 | 3.9152734E-4 | 4.3151167E-4 | 1.102124 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0039319694 | 0.0039084824 | 0.003948326 | 1.0101942 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.309394E-6 | 6.183062E-6 | 3.6182875E-5 | 5.851935 | 3.0E-5 | 2.703998E-5 | 2.6498574E-5 | 5.6497778E-5 | 2.1321063 | 3.0E-5 | 3.2916202E-4 | 3.2257332E-4 | 3.6256041E-4 | 1.1239628 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003286749 | 0.0032211484 | 0.0032610195 | 1.012378 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.6103073E-6 | 4.4408016E-6 | 2.4440713E-5 | 5.503671 | 2.0E-5 | 1.975831E-5 | 1.9031871E-5 | 3.9031493E-5 | 2.0508487 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4053088E-4 | 2.316891E-4 | 2.6168214E-4 | 1.1294539 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002402707 | 0.002314545 | 0.0023444756 | 1.0129315 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.2858658E-6 | 1.3008196E-6 | 1.3008196E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5108417E-6 | 5.574929E-6 | 5.574929E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7092435E-5 | 6.787272E-5 | 7.787204E-5 | 1.1473246 | 1.0E-5 | 6.707218E-4 | 6.7852676E-4 | 6.8852E-4 | 1.0147278 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.3302307E-7 | 5.612138E-7 | 5.612138E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2843826E-6 | 2.4052001E-6 | 2.4052001E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7812002E-5 | 2.9282955E-5 | 3.9282662E-5 | 1.3414856 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7808524E-4 | 2.9279455E-4 | 3.0279162E-4 | 1.0341437 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 4.613933E-8 | 4.80301E-8 | 4.80301E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9773998E-7 | 2.0584326E-7 | 2.0584326E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074816E-6 | 2.5061388E-6 | 2.5061388E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074554E-5 | 2.5061116E-5 | 2.5061116E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Rosa Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1143165E-5 | 4.709113E-5 | 9.708877E-5 | 2.061721 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7631594E-4 | 2.0180462E-4 | 2.617925E-4 | 1.2972573 | 6.0E-5 | 0.002144533 | 0.0024543991 | 0.0025342028 | 1.0325146 | 8.0E-5 | 0.021239553 | 0.024293557 | 0.024459427 | 1.0068277 | 1.7E-4 |
6.1 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3864959E-5 | 4.3864482E-5 | 1.8380288 | 2.0E-5 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.0227455E-4 | 1.2227251E-4 | 1.1955321 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012445103 | 0.001274473 | 1.0240759 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01092941 | 0.01237845 | 0.012467336 | 1.0071807 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3864959E-5 | 4.3864482E-5 | 1.8380288 | 2.0E-5 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.0227455E-4 | 1.2227251E-4 | 1.1955321 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012445103 | 0.001274473 | 1.0240759 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01092941 | 0.01237845 | 0.012467336 | 1.0071807 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5158236E-5 | 1.7074419E-5 | 3.7074078E-5 | 2.171323 | 2.0E-5 | 6.496225E-5 | 7.3174095E-5 | 9.317263E-5 | 1.2733008 | 2.0E-5 | 7.906284E-4 | 8.9054246E-4 | 9.2051574E-4 | 1.0336573 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007878214 | 0.00887099 | 0.008930458 | 1.0067036 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2341918E-5 | 1.3852917E-5 | 3.385264E-5 | 2.4437194 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2892858E-5 | 5.9368336E-5 | 7.936715E-5 | 1.33686 | 2.0E-5 | 6.437803E-4 | 7.225779E-4 | 7.5255625E-4 | 1.041488 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006419184 | 0.0072031217 | 0.0072329054 | 1.0041349 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.061158E-6 | 1.0117032E-5 | 1.0117032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.883296E-5 | 4.3358017E-5 | 4.3358017E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.726887E-4 | 5.277613E-4 | 5.37756E-4 | 1.018938 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004716845 | 0.0052656177 | 0.0052755647 | 1.0018891 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.5461685E-6 | 8.400734E-6 | 8.400734E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2340322E-5 | 3.600267E-5 | 3.600267E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.936723E-4 | 4.3824868E-4 | 4.4824427E-4 | 1.0228081 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003929756 | 0.0043742736 | 0.00438423 | 1.0022761 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.5023775E-6 | 6.087381E-6 | 6.087381E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3581404E-5 | 2.6088532E-5 | 2.6088532E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8706578E-4 | 3.1758484E-4 | 3.2758166E-4 | 1.0314777 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028669522 | 0.0031716316 | 0.0031815998 | 1.003143 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.7351679E-6 | 4.0831405E-6 | 4.0831405E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6007763E-5 | 1.7499071E-5 | 1.7499071E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.948771E-4 | 2.1303285E-4 | 2.1303285E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019470629 | 0.0021285315 | 0.0021285315 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.456366E-6 | 2.6292707E-6 | 2.6292707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0527241E-5 | 1.1268255E-5 | 1.1268255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2816161E-4 | 1.3718239E-4 | 1.3718239E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012808773 | 0.0013709799 | 0.0013709799 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.3245157E-6 | 2.4827784E-6 | 2.4827784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.962172E-6 | 1.0640436E-5 | 1.0640436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2128269E-4 | 1.2953962E-4 | 1.2953962E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012121652 | 0.0012946434 | 0.0012946434 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.2248344E-6 | 2.37325E-6 | 2.37325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.53497E-6 | 1.0171032E-5 | 1.0171032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1608207E-4 | 1.238253E-4 | 1.238253E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011602144 | 0.0012375651 | 0.0012375651 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.1350402E-6 | 2.2761542E-6 | 2.2761542E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.150141E-6 | 9.75491E-6 | 9.75491E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1139726E-4 | 1.1875957E-4 | 1.1875957E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011134144 | 0.0011869629 | 0.0011869629 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.9793572E-6 | 2.1087192E-6 | 2.1087192E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.482932E-6 | 9.037337E-6 | 9.037337E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.032748E-4 | 1.1002403E-4 | 1.1002403E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010322682 | 0.0010996974 | 0.0010996974 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6951194E-6 | 1.8045735E-6 | 1.8045735E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.264777E-6 | 7.733864E-6 | 7.733864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.844508E-5 | 9.415574E-5 | 9.415574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.840988E-4 | 9.411601E-4 | 9.411601E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.987207E-7 | 9.512216E-7 | 9.512216E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8516546E-6 | 4.0766577E-6 | 4.0766577E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6892885E-5 | 4.9632188E-5 | 4.9632188E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.688299E-4 | 4.962122E-4 | 4.962122E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.8783037E-7 | 4.0529335E-7 | 4.0529335E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6621291E-6 | 1.7369704E-6 | 1.7369704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0236233E-5 | 2.1147416E-5 | 2.1147416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.023439E-4 | 2.114547E-4 | 2.114547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.181804E-8 | 6.339047E-8 | 6.339047E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6493444E-7 | 2.7167343E-7 | 2.7167343E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225572E-6 | 3.307619E-6 | 3.307619E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225525E-5 | 3.3075703E-5 | 3.3075703E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.3704449E-9 | 1.3964153E-9 | 1.3964153E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.873335E-9 | 5.984637E-9 | 5.984637E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507856E-8 | 7.286295E-8 | 7.286295E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507833E-7 | 7.286294E-7 | 7.286294E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.169034E-5 | 4.7137048E-5 | 8.713516E-5 | 1.8485495 | 4.0E-5 | 1.7866064E-4 | 2.0200513E-4 | 2.7199098E-4 | 1.3464558 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0021730233 | 0.0024574657 | 0.0025771707 | 1.0487108 | 1.2E-4 | 0.021518968 | 0.02438483 | 0.024531173 | 1.0060014 | 1.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.73813E-5 | 1.6854203E-5 | 4.6853696E-5 | 2.7799413 | 3.0E-5 | 7.4489166E-5 | 7.223036E-5 | 1.1222747E-4 | 1.5537437 | 4.0E-5 | 9.065282E-4 | 8.790605E-4 | 9.4899896E-4 | 1.0795605 | 7.0E-5 | 0.009028391 | 0.008757128 | 0.008836429 | 1.0090554 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4622182E-5 | 1.3673262E-5 | 4.367285E-5 | 3.194033 | 3.0E-5 | 6.2664985E-5 | 5.85984E-5 | 9.859606E-5 | 1.6825725 | 4.0E-5 | 7.6267915E-4 | 7.132059E-4 | 7.731631E-4 | 1.0840672 | 6.0E-5 | 0.007600669 | 0.007109767 | 0.0071792696 | 1.0097756 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3552434E-5 | 1.2482174E-5 | 4.24818E-5 | 3.4033976 | 3.0E-5 | 5.8080568E-5 | 5.349395E-5 | 9.349181E-5 | 1.7477081 | 4.0E-5 | 7.069015E-4 | 6.510974E-4 | 7.110583E-4 | 1.0920922 | 6.0E-5 | 0.00704657 | 0.006492415 | 0.00656196 | 1.0107118 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.30977305E-5 | 1.1979128E-5 | 3.197889E-5 | 2.6695504 | 2.0E-5 | 5.613192E-5 | 5.133813E-5 | 8.133659E-5 | 1.584331 | 3.0E-5 | 6.831918E-4 | 6.2486547E-4 | 6.7483424E-4 | 1.0799673 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006810953 | 0.006231584 | 0.00629121 | 1.0095683 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.225205E-5 | 1.1048776E-5 | 2.1048665E-5 | 1.9050677 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2507727E-5 | 4.735105E-5 | 6.7350105E-5 | 1.4223571 | 2.0E-5 | 6.3909404E-4 | 5.7634927E-4 | 6.1632623E-4 | 1.0693624 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006372592 | 0.005749009 | 0.0057987217 | 1.0086472 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1352241E-5 | 1.0063508E-5 | 2.0063408E-5 | 1.9936793 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8651553E-5 | 4.3128617E-5 | 6.312776E-5 | 1.4637092 | 2.0E-5 | 5.921717E-4 | 5.249665E-4 | 5.649455E-4 | 1.0761553 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0059059616 | 0.0052376646 | 0.0052874023 | 1.0094962 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0864116E-5 | 9.517E-6 | 1.9516905E-5 | 2.0507412 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6559664E-5 | 4.0786515E-5 | 6.07857E-5 | 1.4903381 | 2.0E-5 | 5.667165E-4 | 4.964647E-4 | 5.264498E-4 | 1.0603973 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005652734 | 0.0049539437 | 0.0049937456 | 1.0080343 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0666365E-5 | 9.299752E-6 | 1.929966E-5 | 2.0752876 | 1.0E-5 | 4.571219E-5 | 3.985548E-5 | 5.9854683E-5 | 1.501793 | 2.0E-5 | 5.564038E-4 | 4.8513446E-4 | 5.151199E-4 | 1.0618086 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005550127 | 0.00484114 | 0.0048809466 | 1.0082225 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0038665E-5 | 8.592018E-6 | 1.8591933E-5 | 2.1638608 | 1.0E-5 | 4.302214E-5 | 3.682243E-5 | 5.682169E-5 | 1.5431273 | 2.0E-5 | 5.236687E-4 | 4.4822265E-4 | 4.782092E-4 | 1.066901 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005224364 | 0.0044735507 | 0.0045133717 | 1.0089015 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.5379955E-6 | 8.025047E-6 | 1.8024966E-5 | 2.2460887 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0876483E-5 | 3.439261E-5 | 5.4391923E-5 | 1.5815003 | 2.0E-5 | 4.975576E-4 | 4.1865133E-4 | 4.4863875E-4 | 1.0716287 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00496445 | 0.00417898 | 0.0042188126 | 1.0095317 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.207389E-6 | 7.652347E-6 | 1.7652272E-5 | 2.3067784 | 1.0E-5 | 3.945964E-5 | 3.2795375E-5 | 5.2794716E-5 | 1.6098222 | 2.0E-5 | 4.803152E-4 | 3.992122E-4 | 4.2920024E-4 | 1.075118 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004792784 | 0.003985301 | 0.0040251417 | 1.0099969 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.638091E-6 | 5.9310923E-6 | 5.9310923E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2734264E-5 | 2.5418722E-5 | 3.5418467E-5 | 1.3934008 | 1.0E-5 | 3.984668E-4 | 3.094293E-4 | 3.194262E-4 | 1.0323075 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039775306 | 0.0030901956 | 0.0031101338 | 1.0064521 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.2500147E-6 | 5.596131E-6 | 5.596131E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1071122E-5 | 2.3983199E-5 | 3.398296E-5 | 1.4169486 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7822526E-4 | 2.9195662E-4 | 3.019537E-4 | 1.0342417 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037758215 | 0.0029159402 | 0.002935882 | 1.0068388 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.3899715E-6 | 4.9184864E-6 | 4.9184864E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7385306E-5 | 2.1079059E-5 | 3.107885E-5 | 1.4743944 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3336508E-4 | 2.566075E-4 | 2.6660494E-4 | 1.03896 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033286542 | 0.002563311 | 0.0025832597 | 1.0077825 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.379025E-6 | 4.0838477E-6 | 4.0838477E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.305276E-5 | 1.7502087E-5 | 2.7501912E-5 | 1.5713505 | 1.0E-5 | 2.806312E-4 | 2.1306718E-4 | 2.2306504E-4 | 1.0469235 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028027708 | 0.0021286402 | 0.0021386188 | 1.0046878 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.1270696E-6 | 3.0883373E-6 | 3.0883373E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.768732E-5 | 1.32356645E-5 | 2.3235532E-5 | 1.7555244 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1532185E-4 | 1.6113237E-4 | 1.7113076E-4 | 1.0620508 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021511333 | 0.0016101635 | 0.0016201474 | 1.0062006 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.5406805E-6 | 1.8282044E-6 | 1.8282044E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0888585E-5 | 7.835139E-6 | 1.783506E-5 | 2.2762916 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3256045E-4 | 9.53887E-5 | 1.0538774E-4 | 1.1048242 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013248142 | 9.534837E-4 | 9.6347416E-4 | 1.0104779 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 4.8608285E-7 | 3.509864E-7 | 3.509864E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0832106E-6 | 1.5042266E-6 | 1.5042266E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5362791E-5 | 1.8313805E-5 | 1.8313805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5359896E-4 | 1.8312308E-4 | 1.8312308E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.0472514E-8 | 1.2688718E-8 | 1.2688718E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7739345E-8 | 5.438022E-8 | 5.438022E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.068226E-6 | 6.6207895E-7 | 6.6207895E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0682209E-5 | 6.620771E-6 | 6.620771E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 4.443582E-9 | 2.032067E-9 | 2.032067E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043922E-8 | 8.7088585E-9 | 8.7088585E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185973E-7 | 1.0603035E-7 | 1.0603035E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185949E-6 | 1.0603031E-6 | 1.0603031E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Owens Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6210524E-6 | 7.36208E-5 | 20.331327 | 7.0E-5 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.551871E-5 | 9.551747E-5 | 6.154988 | 8.0E-5 | 0.002521386 | 1.889249E-4 | 3.0890224E-4 | 1.635053 | 1.2E-4 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019297141 | 0.0020993862 | 1.0879259 | 1.7E-4 |
6.1 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6210524E-6 | 7.36208E-5 | 20.331327 | 7.0E-5 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.551871E-5 | 9.551747E-5 | 6.154988 | 8.0E-5 | 0.002521386 | 1.889249E-4 | 3.0890224E-4 | 1.635053 | 1.2E-4 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019297141 | 0.0020993862 | 1.0879259 | 1.7E-4 |
6.2 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6210524E-6 | 7.36208E-5 | 20.331327 | 7.0E-5 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.551871E-5 | 9.551747E-5 | 6.154988 | 8.0E-5 | 0.002521386 | 1.889249E-4 | 3.0890224E-4 | 1.635053 | 1.2E-4 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019297141 | 0.0020993862 | 1.0879259 | 1.7E-4 |
6.3 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.1530958E-6 | 7.315288E-5 | 23.200333 | 7.0E-5 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.3513202E-5 | 9.351212E-5 | 6.9200563 | 8.0E-5 | 0.002060538 | 1.6451156E-4 | 2.844918E-4 | 1.7293121 | 1.2E-4 | 0.020415364 | 0.0016621627 | 0.0018318802 | 1.1021063 | 1.7E-4 |
6.4 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.1530958E-6 | 7.315288E-5 | 23.200333 | 7.0E-5 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.3513202E-5 | 9.351212E-5 | 6.9200563 | 8.0E-5 | 0.002060538 | 1.6451156E-4 | 2.844918E-4 | 1.7293121 | 1.2E-4 | 0.020415364 | 0.0016621627 | 0.0018318802 | 1.1021063 | 1.7E-4 |
6.5 | 3.457342E-5 | 2.9707387E-6 | 6.297056E-5 | 21.196936 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4816338E-4 | 1.273168E-5 | 8.273079E-5 | 6.4980264 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0018023965 | 1.5499788E-4 | 2.6498083E-4 | 1.7095772 | 1.1E-4 | 0.017878477 | 0.0015563119 | 0.0017160628 | 1.1026472 | 1.6E-4 |
6.6 | 3.1127765E-5 | 2.8737306E-6 | 6.287356E-5 | 21.878723 | 6.0E-5 | 1.3339789E-4 | 1.2315934E-5 | 8.231507E-5 | 6.683624 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0016229092 | 1.4993687E-4 | 2.5992037E-4 | 1.7335321 | 1.1E-4 | 0.016111081 | 0.0015013438 | 0.0016611036 | 1.1064112 | 1.6E-4 |
6.7 | 2.806885E-5 | 2.8101606E-6 | 6.2809995E-5 | 22.351034 | 6.0E-5 | 1.2028952E-4 | 1.2043493E-5 | 8.204265E-5 | 6.812197 | 7.0E-5 | 0.001463541 | 1.4662035E-4 | 2.5660422E-4 | 1.750127 | 1.1E-4 | 0.014539397 | 0.0014656087 | 0.0016253742 | 1.1090096 | 1.6E-4 |
6.8 | 2.524524E-5 | 2.2351392E-6 | 6.2235005E-5 | 27.843906 | 6.0E-5 | 1.0818939E-4 | 9.579134E-6 | 6.957856E-5 | 7.263554 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0013164099 | 1.16620016E-4 | 2.1660836E-4 | 1.8573858 | 1.0E-4 | 0.01308639 | 0.001165827 | 0.0013156522 | 1.128514 | 1.5E-4 |
6.9 | 2.2704568E-5 | 1.6079711E-6 | 6.1607876E-5 | 38.314045 | 6.0E-5 | 9.730166E-5 | 6.8912864E-6 | 6.6890876E-5 | 9.706588 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0011840039 | 8.38982E-5 | 1.838898E-4 | 2.1918206 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011777153 | 8.38853E-4 | 9.787356E-4 | 1.1667546 | 1.4E-4 |
7.0 | 2.0871712E-5 | 1.5393621E-6 | 6.153927E-5 | 39.977123 | 6.0E-5 | 8.944713E-5 | 6.5972495E-6 | 6.6596855E-5 | 10.094639 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0010884746 | 8.031857E-5 | 1.8031054E-4 | 2.2449422 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010831586 | 8.030395E-4 | 9.429271E-4 | 1.1741977 | 1.4E-4 |
7.1 | 1.944928E-5 | 1.3862556E-6 | 6.138617E-5 | 44.282 | 6.0E-5 | 8.335139E-5 | 5.941082E-6 | 6.594072E-5 | 11.099111 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0010143308 | 7.233028E-5 | 1.7232305E-4 | 2.3824468 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010097133 | 7.2319806E-4 | 8.630968E-4 | 1.1934446 | 1.4E-4 |
7.2 | 1.7876306E-5 | 1.2487686E-6 | 6.124869E-5 | 49.04727 | 6.0E-5 | 7.6610486E-5 | 5.3518543E-6 | 6.535153E-5 | 12.211007 | 6.0E-5 | 9.3233347E-4 | 6.515689E-5 | 1.6515037E-4 | 2.5346572 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009284316 | 6.5148395E-4 | 7.9139275E-4 | 1.214754 | 1.4E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2618672E-5 | 1.1113839E-6 | 6.1111314E-5 | 54.986687 | 6.0E-5 | 5.40789E-5 | 4.763065E-6 | 6.476278E-5 | 13.59687 | 6.0E-5 | 6.582117E-4 | 5.7988782E-5 | 1.5798298E-4 | 2.7243714 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0065626553 | 5.7983754E-4 | 7.0976216E-4 | 1.2240707 | 1.3E-4 |
7.4 | 7.4874442E-6 | 8.547518E-7 | 6.08547E-5 | 71.195755 | 6.0E-5 | 3.208865E-5 | 3.6632168E-6 | 6.3663E-5 | 17.378986 | 6.0E-5 | 3.906093E-4 | 4.4598757E-5 | 1.4459429E-4 | 3.242115 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003899234 | 4.459579E-4 | 5.758999E-4 | 1.2913773 | 1.3E-4 |
7.5 | 2.4734156E-6 | 6.0679935E-7 | 6.0606762E-5 | 99.87941 | 6.0E-5 | 1.060031E-5 | 2.6005662E-6 | 6.260041E-5 | 24.071838 | 6.0E-5 | 1.2905113E-4 | 3.1661435E-5 | 1.3165826E-4 | 4.1583166 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0012897621 | 3.1656958E-4 | 4.4652843E-4 | 1.4105222 | 1.3E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1328841E-6 | 3.1961991E-7 | 3.031961E-5 | 94.86145 | 3.0E-5 | 4.8552088E-6 | 1.369799E-6 | 3.1369756E-5 | 22.900993 | 3.0E-5 | 5.9110564E-5 | 1.6677177E-5 | 8.667601E-5 | 5.1972833 | 7.0E-5 | 5.9094845E-4 | 1.6675945E-4 | 2.5674445E-4 | 1.5396096 | 9.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.8613185E-7 | 8.962742E-8 | 1.0089627E-5 | 112.57299 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0834207E-6 | 3.8411747E-7 | 1.0384114E-5 | 27.033693 | 1.0E-5 | 2.536535E-5 | 4.676621E-6 | 2.4676527E-5 | 5.276572 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5362454E-4 | 4.676529E-5 | 6.6764354E-5 | 1.4276476 | 2.0E-5 |
Lost Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5106583E-5 | 8.510508E-5 | 3.3897514 | 6.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0759615E-4 | 1.7758862E-4 | 1.6505109 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.001309364 | 0.0014292069 | 1.0915276 | 1.2E-4 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033091 | 0.013191005 | 1.0121164 | 1.6E-4 |
6.1 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5106583E-5 | 8.510508E-5 | 3.3897514 | 6.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0759615E-4 | 1.7758862E-4 | 1.6505109 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.001309364 | 0.0014292069 | 1.0915276 | 1.2E-4 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033091 | 0.013191005 | 1.0121164 | 1.6E-4 |
6.2 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5106583E-5 | 8.510508E-5 | 3.3897514 | 6.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0759615E-4 | 1.7758862E-4 | 1.6505109 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.001309364 | 0.0014292069 | 1.0915276 | 1.2E-4 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033091 | 0.013191005 | 1.0121164 | 1.6E-4 |
6.3 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5106583E-5 | 8.510508E-5 | 3.3897514 | 6.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0759615E-4 | 1.7758862E-4 | 1.6505109 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.001309364 | 0.0014292069 | 1.0915276 | 1.2E-4 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033091 | 0.013191005 | 1.0121164 | 1.6E-4 |
6.4 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3781108E-5 | 6.378042E-5 | 4.6281056 | 5.0E-5 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.906108E-5 | 1.0905813E-4 | 1.8465312 | 5.0E-5 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.189252E-4 | 8.088605E-4 | 1.1250969 | 9.0E-5 | 0.006391279 | 0.0071752006 | 0.0072943396 | 1.0166043 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3781108E-5 | 6.378042E-5 | 4.6281056 | 5.0E-5 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.906108E-5 | 1.0905813E-4 | 1.8465312 | 5.0E-5 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.189252E-4 | 8.088605E-4 | 1.1250969 | 9.0E-5 | 0.006391279 | 0.0071752006 | 0.0072943396 | 1.0166043 | 1.2E-4 |
6.6 | 8.58281E-6 | 9.63377E-6 | 3.963348E-5 | 4.1140156 | 3.0E-5 | 3.6782953E-5 | 4.12874E-5 | 7.1286166E-5 | 1.726584 | 3.0E-5 | 4.4774043E-4 | 5.026414E-4 | 5.5261626E-4 | 1.0994245 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0044683935 | 0.005023205 | 0.005082904 | 1.0118846 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.205685E-6 | 8.088302E-6 | 3.808806E-5 | 4.7090306 | 3.0E-5 | 3.088114E-5 | 3.466415E-5 | 6.466311E-5 | 1.8654175 | 3.0E-5 | 3.7591302E-4 | 4.2203604E-4 | 4.7201492E-4 | 1.1184233 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0037527776 | 0.0042203604 | 0.004280107 | 1.0141568 | 6.0E-5 |
Santa Ynez (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.497084E-5 | 1.14967545E-4 | 2.0914278 | 6.0E-5 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3556968E-4 | 3.055532E-4 | 1.297082 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0024678076 | 0.002864558 | 0.002974243 | 1.0382904 | 1.1E-4 | 0.024405818 | 0.028304456 | 0.028430777 | 1.004463 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.497084E-5 | 1.14967545E-4 | 2.0914278 | 6.0E-5 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3556968E-4 | 3.055532E-4 | 1.297082 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0024678076 | 0.002864558 | 0.0029642715 | 1.0348094 | 1.0E-4 | 0.024405818 | 0.028304456 | 0.02842106 | 1.0041196 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.3925004E-5 | 8.39233E-5 | 2.4737892 | 5.0E-5 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4538495E-4 | 2.0537623E-4 | 1.4126375 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017686592 | 0.0018585 | 1.050796 | 9.0E-5 | 0.015745522 | 0.01754978 | 0.017648024 | 1.0055981 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.3925004E-5 | 8.39233E-5 | 2.4737892 | 5.0E-5 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4538495E-4 | 2.0537623E-4 | 1.4126375 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017686592 | 0.0018585 | 1.050796 | 9.0E-5 | 0.015745522 | 0.01754978 | 0.017648024 | 1.0055981 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 2.5452082E-5 | 2.7912318E-5 | 7.7910925E-5 | 2.7912738 | 5.0E-5 | 1.09075794E-4 | 1.1961885E-4 | 1.7961167E-4 | 1.5015332 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0013271887 | 0.0014554056 | 0.0015452746 | 1.0617484 | 9.0E-5 | 0.013192902 | 0.01446091 | 0.014559464 | 1.0068152 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 2.3143784E-5 | 2.5128133E-5 | 6.5127126E-5 | 2.5918014 | 4.0E-5 | 9.9183875E-5 | 1.07687636E-4 | 1.5768225E-4 | 1.4642558 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0012068948 | 0.001310323 | 0.0013802312 | 1.053352 | 7.0E-5 | 0.012003611 | 0.013027638 | 0.013106596 | 1.0060608 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9118515E-5 | 2.0354244E-5 | 6.035343E-5 | 2.965152 | 4.0E-5 | 8.193392E-5 | 8.722961E-5 | 1.2722611E-4 | 1.4585199 | 4.0E-5 | 9.97089E-4 | 0.001061511 | 0.0011114579 | 1.0470526 | 5.0E-5 | 0.00992627 | 0.010565317 | 0.010614788 | 1.0046824 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.722807E-5 | 1.8146253E-5 | 5.8145528E-5 | 3.2042718 | 4.0E-5 | 7.3832496E-5 | 7.776737E-5 | 1.17764255E-4 | 1.5143145 | 4.0E-5 | 8.985399E-4 | 9.4641204E-4 | 9.963647E-4 | 1.0527811 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008949154 | 0.009424461 | 0.00947399 | 1.0052553 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5317364E-5 | 1.5926391E-5 | 5.5925753E-5 | 3.5115144 | 4.0E-5 | 6.56442E-5 | 6.82542E-5 | 1.0825147E-4 | 1.5860045 | 4.0E-5 | 7.98925E-4 | 8.3068234E-4 | 8.806408E-4 | 1.0601414 | 5.0E-5 | 0.007960589 | 0.008276261 | 0.008325847 | 1.0059913 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3071226E-5 | 1.332953E-5 | 4.332913E-5 | 3.250612 | 3.0E-5 | 5.6018336E-5 | 5.712532E-5 | 8.7123604E-5 | 1.5251312 | 3.0E-5 | 6.8180985E-4 | 6.952811E-4 | 7.3525327E-4 | 1.0574907 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0067972173 | 0.0069313184 | 0.006971041 | 1.0057309 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1836986E-5 | 1.1932688E-5 | 4.193233E-5 | 3.5140724 | 3.0E-5 | 5.0728955E-5 | 5.1139097E-5 | 8.1137565E-5 | 1.5866053 | 3.0E-5 | 6.1745E-4 | 6.2244234E-4 | 6.6241744E-4 | 1.0642229 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006157372 | 0.0062071825 | 0.006246934 | 1.0064042 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0597169E-5 | 1.0542107E-5 | 4.0541792E-5 | 3.845701 | 3.0E-5 | 4.541565E-5 | 4.5179684E-5 | 7.517833E-5 | 1.6639853 | 3.0E-5 | 5.5279525E-4 | 5.4992497E-4 | 5.899029E-4 | 1.0726972 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0055142213 | 0.005485772 | 0.0055255527 | 1.0072516 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.59113E-6 | 9.45905E-6 | 3.9458766E-5 | 4.171536 | 3.0E-5 | 4.11042E-5 | 4.053816E-5 | 7.0536946E-5 | 1.7400135 | 3.0E-5 | 5.0032866E-4 | 4.934414E-4 | 5.334217E-4 | 1.0810233 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004992037 | 0.0049235765 | 0.0049633794 | 1.0080842 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.586084E-6 | 8.379489E-6 | 3.837924E-5 | 4.5801406 | 3.0E-5 | 3.679698E-5 | 3.591161E-5 | 6.591053E-5 | 1.8353544 | 3.0E-5 | 4.4791115E-4 | 4.3713715E-4 | 4.7711967E-4 | 1.0914645 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004470094 | 0.004362884 | 0.0044027097 | 1.0091282 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.2622997E-6 | 6.9514485E-6 | 3.695124E-5 | 5.315617 | 3.0E-5 | 3.112377E-5 | 2.9791589E-5 | 5.9790695E-5 | 2.0069656 | 3.0E-5 | 3.78866E-4 | 3.6265317E-4 | 4.026387E-4 | 1.1102582 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0037822074 | 0.003620714 | 0.0036605692 | 1.0110075 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.627296E-6 | 5.2514984E-6 | 2.5251393E-5 | 4.808417 | 2.0E-5 | 2.411676E-5 | 2.2506232E-5 | 4.250578E-5 | 1.8886228 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9358198E-4 | 2.7397962E-4 | 3.039714E-4 | 1.1094671 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0029319443 | 0.0027364905 | 0.0027664085 | 1.0109329 | 3.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.265244E-6 | 2.0608632E-6 | 2.0608632E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.708152E-6 | 8.832241E-6 | 8.832241E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18190335E-4 | 1.0752732E-4 | 1.1752624E-4 | 1.0929897 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001181275 | 0.0010747615 | 0.0010847508 | 1.0092944 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.3099874E-6 | 1.1016228E-6 | 1.1016228E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.61422E-6 | 4.7212325E-6 | 4.7212325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8350986E-5 | 5.7479516E-5 | 6.747894E-5 | 1.173965 | 1.0E-5 | 6.832996E-4 | 5.7464885E-4 | 5.846431E-4 | 1.0173919 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 7.903951E-7 | 6.0710704E-7 | 6.0710704E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3874032E-6 | 2.601885E-6 | 2.601885E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1240855E-5 | 3.16775E-5 | 3.16775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.12332E-4 | 3.167312E-4 | 3.167312E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.0753297E-9 | 5.090092E-9 | 5.090092E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.032284E-8 | 2.181468E-8 | 2.181468E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6918053E-7 | 2.655937E-7 | 2.655937E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.691799E-6 | 2.6559348E-6 | 2.6559348E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4401106E-5 | 9.4399045E-5 | 2.74407 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4742499E-4 | 2.1741466E-4 | 1.4747478 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017934233 | 0.0019231902 | 1.072357 | 1.3E-4 | 0.018879099 | 0.018526303 | 0.018683337 | 1.0084764 | 1.6E-4 |
6.1 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4401106E-5 | 9.4399045E-5 | 2.74407 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4742499E-4 | 2.1741466E-4 | 1.4747478 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017934233 | 0.0019231902 | 1.072357 | 1.3E-4 | 0.018879099 | 0.018526303 | 0.018683337 | 1.0084764 | 1.6E-4 |
6.2 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4401106E-5 | 9.4399045E-5 | 2.74407 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4742499E-4 | 2.1741466E-4 | 1.4747478 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017934233 | 0.0019231902 | 1.072357 | 1.3E-4 | 0.018879099 | 0.018526303 | 0.018683337 | 1.0084764 | 1.6E-4 |
6.3 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4401106E-5 | 9.4399045E-5 | 2.74407 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4742499E-4 | 2.1741466E-4 | 1.4747478 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017934233 | 0.0019231902 | 1.072357 | 1.3E-4 | 0.018879099 | 0.018526303 | 0.018683337 | 1.0084764 | 1.6E-4 |
6.4 | 3.646941E-5 | 3.432268E-5 | 9.432062E-5 | 2.7480552 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5628811E-4 | 1.4708891E-4 | 2.1707862E-4 | 1.4758326 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0019011468 | 0.0017893389 | 0.0019191062 | 1.0725225 | 1.3E-4 | 0.018849645 | 0.018486181 | 0.018643225 | 1.0084951 | 1.6E-4 |
6.5 | 3.646941E-5 | 3.432268E-5 | 9.432062E-5 | 2.7480552 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5628811E-4 | 1.4708891E-4 | 2.1707862E-4 | 1.4758326 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0019011468 | 0.0017893389 | 0.0019191062 | 1.0725225 | 1.3E-4 | 0.018849645 | 0.018486181 | 0.018643225 | 1.0084951 | 1.6E-4 |
6.6 | 3.6442503E-5 | 3.4286066E-5 | 9.428401E-5 | 2.749922 | 6.0E-5 | 1.561728E-4 | 1.4693203E-4 | 2.1692173E-4 | 1.4763408 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0018997455 | 0.001787432 | 0.0019171996 | 1.0726 | 1.3E-4 | 0.018835869 | 0.01846745 | 0.018624496 | 1.0085039 | 1.6E-4 |
6.7 | 3.6432113E-5 | 3.427164E-5 | 9.4269584E-5 | 2.7506585 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5612828E-4 | 1.4687021E-4 | 2.1685993E-4 | 1.4765413 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0018992044 | 0.0017866807 | 0.0019164485 | 1.0726306 | 1.3E-4 | 0.018830549 | 0.018460074 | 0.018617122 | 1.0085074 | 1.6E-4 |
6.8 | 3.6409598E-5 | 3.4240697E-5 | 9.423865E-5 | 2.7522407 | 6.0E-5 | 1.560318E-4 | 1.4673761E-4 | 2.1672733E-4 | 1.476972 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0018980318 | 0.0017850689 | 0.0019148368 | 1.0726963 | 1.3E-4 | 0.018819023 | 0.018444229 | 0.018601278 | 1.0085148 | 1.6E-4 |
6.9 | 3.638078E-5 | 3.4201123E-5 | 9.4199066E-5 | 2.7542684 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5590832E-4 | 1.4656801E-4 | 2.1655775E-4 | 1.4775239 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0018965311 | 0.0017830075 | 0.0019127757 | 1.0727805 | 1.3E-4 | 0.018804269 | 0.018423963 | 0.018581014 | 1.0085243 | 1.6E-4 |
7.0 | 3.6294874E-5 | 3.408314E-5 | 9.408109E-5 | 2.7603412 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5554018E-4 | 1.4606243E-4 | 2.1605221E-4 | 1.4791771 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0018920569 | 0.0017768623 | 0.0019066313 | 1.0730326 | 1.3E-4 | 0.018760284 | 0.018363545 | 0.018520607 | 1.0085529 | 1.6E-4 |
7.1 | 3.6260717E-5 | 3.403942E-5 | 9.403738E-5 | 2.762602 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5539382E-4 | 1.4587509E-4 | 2.1586489E-4 | 1.4797926 | 7.0E-5 | 0.001890278 | 0.0017745851 | 0.0019043544 | 1.0731266 | 1.3E-4 | 0.018742796 | 0.018341139 | 0.018498205 | 1.0085635 | 1.6E-4 |
7.2 | 3.6210204E-5 | 3.397364E-5 | 9.3971605E-5 | 2.766015 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5517735E-4 | 1.455932E-4 | 2.1558302E-4 | 1.4807217 | 7.0E-5 | 0.001887647 | 0.0017711588 | 0.0019009286 | 1.0732683 | 1.3E-4 | 0.01871693 | 0.018307408 | 0.01846448 | 1.0085796 | 1.6E-4 |
7.3 | 3.6119454E-5 | 3.386193E-5 | 9.38599E-5 | 2.7718415 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5478847E-4 | 1.4511449E-4 | 2.1510433E-4 | 1.4823078 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0018829206 | 0.0017653398 | 0.0018951104 | 1.0735102 | 1.3E-4 | 0.018670462 | 0.01824996 | 0.018407041 | 1.0086071 | 1.6E-4 |
7.4 | 3.607848E-5 | 3.380943E-5 | 9.38074E-5 | 2.7745929 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5461289E-4 | 1.4488952E-4 | 2.1487937E-4 | 1.4830568 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0018807866 | 0.0017626052 | 0.0018923761 | 1.0736245 | 1.3E-4 | 0.018649481 | 0.018222956 | 0.01838004 | 1.0086201 | 1.6E-4 |
7.5 | 3.5856774E-5 | 3.3619202E-5 | 9.3617185E-5 | 2.7846344 | 6.0E-5 | 1.5366284E-4 | 1.4407437E-4 | 2.1406428E-4 | 1.4857903 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0018692396 | 0.0017526967 | 0.0018824688 | 1.0740414 | 1.3E-4 | 0.018535944 | 0.018124057 | 0.018281156 | 1.0086681 | 1.6E-4 |
7.6 | 3.286655E-5 | 3.2142278E-5 | 9.214035E-5 | 2.8666403 | 6.0E-5 | 1.4084904E-4 | 1.3774536E-4 | 2.077357E-4 | 1.5081141 | 7.0E-5 | 0.001713488 | 0.0016757617 | 0.0018055438 | 1.0774467 | 1.3E-4 | 0.017003361 | 0.017343804 | 0.017501028 | 1.0090652 | 1.6E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8882527E-5 | 2.9235205E-5 | 8.923345E-5 | 3.0522602 | 6.0E-5 | 1.237764E-4 | 1.2528773E-4 | 1.9527896E-4 | 1.5586439 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0015059357 | 0.0015243118 | 0.0016541136 | 1.0851544 | 1.3E-4 | 0.014957713 | 0.015830338 | 0.015987804 | 1.0099472 | 1.6E-4 |
7.8 | 2.4950225E-5 | 2.6526219E-5 | 8.6524626E-5 | 3.261853 | 6.0E-5 | 1.0692515E-4 | 1.1367885E-4 | 1.836709E-4 | 1.6156998 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0013010362 | 0.0013831621 | 0.0015129823 | 1.0938575 | 1.3E-4 | 0.012934455 | 0.01441176 | 0.014569454 | 1.0109421 | 1.6E-4 |
7.9 | 1.9881603E-5 | 2.150649E-5 | 8.15052E-5 | 3.7897954 | 6.0E-5 | 8.520408E-5 | 9.216742E-5 | 1.6216097E-4 | 1.7594174 | 7.0E-5 | 0.001036866 | 0.0011215615 | 0.0012514157 | 1.1157799 | 1.3E-4 | 0.010320415 | 0.011776998 | 0.011935114 | 1.0134258 | 1.6E-4 |
8.0 | 1.563292E-5 | 1.5936288E-5 | 4.593581E-5 | 2.882466 | 3.0E-5 | 6.6996516E-5 | 6.829659E-5 | 9.829454E-5 | 1.4392306 | 3.0E-5 | 8.153773E-4 | 8.3119445E-4 | 8.811529E-4 | 1.0601044 | 5.0E-5 | 0.00812392 | 0.008810331 | 0.008889627 | 1.0090003 | 8.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0045313E-5 | 8.300794E-6 | 1.830071E-5 | 2.204694 | 1.0E-5 | 4.305063E-5 | 3.557435E-5 | 4.5573994E-5 | 1.2810915 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2401534E-4 | 4.3303217E-4 | 4.530235E-4 | 1.046166 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0052278144 | 0.0046587666 | 0.004688627 | 1.0064095 | 3.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.1554413E-6 | 1.5648296E-6 | 1.5648296E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7808914E-5 | 6.7063957E-6 | 6.7063957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1680194E-4 | 8.164734E-5 | 8.164734E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021659054 | 9.479703E-4 | 9.479703E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 3.612677E-7 | 3.612677E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.5482892E-6 | 1.5482892E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 1.8850264E-5 | 1.8850264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.2739546E-4 | 2.2739546E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7590016E-5 | 7.7588586E-5 | 1.6303543 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.039422E-4 | 2.6392995E-4 | 1.294141 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024803334 | 0.0025701101 | 1.0361954 | 9.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.02454411 | 0.024680674 | 1.005564 | 1.4E-4 |
6.1 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7590016E-5 | 7.7588586E-5 | 1.6303543 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.039422E-4 | 2.6392995E-4 | 1.294141 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024803334 | 0.0025701101 | 1.0361954 | 9.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.02454411 | 0.024680674 | 1.005564 | 1.4E-4 |
6.2 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7590016E-5 | 7.7588586E-5 | 1.6303543 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.039422E-4 | 2.6392995E-4 | 1.294141 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024803334 | 0.0025701101 | 1.0361954 | 9.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.02454411 | 0.024680674 | 1.005564 | 1.4E-4 |
6.3 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7590016E-5 | 7.7588586E-5 | 1.6303543 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.039422E-4 | 2.6392995E-4 | 1.294141 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024803334 | 0.0025701101 | 1.0361954 | 9.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.02454411 | 0.024680674 | 1.005564 | 1.4E-4 |
6.4 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7590016E-5 | 7.7588586E-5 | 1.6303543 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.039422E-4 | 2.6392995E-4 | 1.294141 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024803334 | 0.0025701101 | 1.0361954 | 9.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.02454411 | 0.024680674 | 1.005564 | 1.4E-4 |
6.5 | 3.154503E-5 | 3.5359757E-5 | 5.535905E-5 | 1.5655948 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3518598E-4 | 1.5153353E-4 | 2.0152595E-4 | 1.3299099 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0016446467 | 0.0018434518 | 0.0019233043 | 1.0433168 | 8.0E-5 | 0.01632528 | 0.018291244 | 0.018389415 | 1.005367 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 3.1535834E-5 | 3.5349138E-5 | 5.534843E-5 | 1.5657647 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3514658E-4 | 1.5148803E-4 | 2.0148046E-4 | 1.3300091 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0016441676 | 0.0018428987 | 0.0019227513 | 1.0433298 | 8.0E-5 | 0.01632056 | 0.018285805 | 0.018383976 | 1.0053687 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 2.8267326E-5 | 3.1469353E-5 | 5.1468727E-5 | 1.6355189 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2114006E-4 | 1.3486217E-4 | 1.8485542E-4 | 1.3706989 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0014738824 | 0.0016407954 | 0.0017106805 | 1.0425923 | 7.0E-5 | 0.014641452 | 0.01629557 | 0.016384104 | 1.005433 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.8212884E-5 | 3.1407242E-5 | 5.1406612E-5 | 1.6367759 | 2.0E-5 | 1.20906756E-4 | 1.3459599E-4 | 1.8458927E-4 | 1.3714321 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0014710457 | 0.0016375595 | 0.0017074449 | 1.0426766 | 7.0E-5 | 0.014613459 | 0.016263688 | 0.016352223 | 1.0054438 | 9.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.4227871E-5 | 2.6706994E-5 | 4.670646E-5 | 1.7488475 | 2.0E-5 | 1.03829596E-4 | 1.1445395E-4 | 1.6444823E-4 | 1.4368069 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0012633923 | 0.0013926621 | 0.0014625646 | 1.0501934 | 7.0E-5 | 0.012562336 | 0.0138470335 | 0.013935788 | 1.0064096 | 9.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.348524E-5 | 2.5835778E-5 | 4.5835262E-5 | 1.7741003 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0064714E-4 | 1.10720495E-4 | 1.6071496E-4 | 1.4515376 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0012246901 | 0.001347264 | 0.0014171697 | 1.0518872 | 7.0E-5 | 0.012179627 | 0.013398598 | 0.013487392 | 1.0066271 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2311642E-5 | 2.4462845E-5 | 3.44626E-5 | 1.4087732 | 1.0E-5 | 9.561782E-5 | 1.04836974E-4 | 1.4483278E-4 | 1.3815048 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011635252 | 0.0012757176 | 0.001335641 | 1.0469724 | 6.0E-5 | 0.01157452 | 0.01269146 | 0.012770444 | 1.0062234 | 8.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6533986E-5 | 1.7670362E-5 | 2.7670185E-5 | 1.5659094 | 1.0E-5 | 7.085802E-5 | 7.572828E-5 | 1.0572601E-4 | 1.3961232 | 3.0E-5 | 8.623549E-4 | 9.2166534E-4 | 9.516377E-4 | 1.0325198 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008590161 | 0.009184707 | 0.009234248 | 1.0053939 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4703092E-5 | 1.5559537E-5 | 2.555938E-5 | 1.6426827 | 1.0E-5 | 6.301173E-5 | 6.668237E-5 | 9.668037E-5 | 1.449864 | 3.0E-5 | 7.668978E-4 | 8.1161706E-4 | 8.4159273E-4 | 1.0369333 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0076425658 | 0.008092604 | 0.008142199 | 1.0061284 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.1331984E-6 | 5.5288874E-6 | 5.5288874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6284872E-5 | 2.3695018E-5 | 3.369478E-5 | 1.4220196 | 1.0E-5 | 3.199713E-4 | 2.884492E-4 | 2.984463E-4 | 1.0346582 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031951098 | 0.0028808024 | 0.0028907736 | 1.0034612 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.954766E-6 | 5.338517E-6 | 5.338517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5520176E-5 | 2.2879161E-5 | 3.2878932E-5 | 1.4370689 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1066386E-4 | 2.785187E-4 | 2.885159E-4 | 1.0358943 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003102299 | 0.0027817504 | 0.0027917225 | 1.0035849 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.9726646E-6 | 4.315309E-6 | 4.315309E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1311245E-5 | 1.8494053E-5 | 2.8493867E-5 | 1.5407044 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5943352E-4 | 2.2514217E-4 | 2.3513992E-4 | 1.0444064 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025913084 | 0.0022491754 | 0.002259153 | 1.004436 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.3613894E-6 | 2.8526886E-6 | 2.8526886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4405875E-5 | 1.22257525E-5 | 2.2225631E-5 | 1.8179356 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7537741E-4 | 1.4883863E-4 | 1.5883715E-4 | 1.0671768 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017523908 | 0.0014874157 | 0.0014974009 | 1.006713 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.1828961E-6 | 1.0122935E-6 | 1.0122935E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.069545E-6 | 4.338394E-6 | 4.338394E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.171996E-5 | 5.281869E-5 | 5.281869E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.170282E-4 | 5.280643E-4 | 5.280643E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.2967266E-7 | 1.861919E-7 | 1.861919E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.843111E-7 | 7.97965E-7 | 7.97965E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19839215E-5 | 9.715184E-6 | 9.715184E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1983275E-4 | 9.714788E-5 | 9.714788E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Independence rev 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3262253E-6 | 7.432592E-5 | 17.180317 | 7.0E-5 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540852E-5 | 8.853956E-5 | 4.775377 | 7.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571447E-4 | 3.4568738E-4 | 1.5315251 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551457 | 0.0024048074 | 1.0663645 | 1.5E-4 |
6.1 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3262253E-6 | 7.432592E-5 | 17.180317 | 7.0E-5 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540852E-5 | 8.853956E-5 | 4.775377 | 7.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571447E-4 | 3.4568738E-4 | 1.5315251 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551457 | 0.0024048074 | 1.0663645 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3262253E-6 | 7.432592E-5 | 17.180317 | 7.0E-5 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540852E-5 | 8.853956E-5 | 4.775377 | 7.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571447E-4 | 3.4568738E-4 | 1.5315251 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551457 | 0.0024048074 | 1.0663645 | 1.5E-4 |
6.3 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3262253E-6 | 7.432592E-5 | 17.180317 | 7.0E-5 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540852E-5 | 8.853956E-5 | 4.775377 | 7.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571447E-4 | 3.4568738E-4 | 1.5315251 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551457 | 0.0024048074 | 1.0663645 | 1.5E-4 |
6.4 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3262253E-6 | 7.432592E-5 | 17.180317 | 7.0E-5 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540852E-5 | 8.853956E-5 | 4.775377 | 7.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571447E-4 | 3.4568738E-4 | 1.5315251 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551457 | 0.0024048074 | 1.0663645 | 1.5E-4 |
6.5 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.3262253E-6 | 7.432592E-5 | 17.180317 | 7.0E-5 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540852E-5 | 8.853956E-5 | 4.775377 | 7.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571447E-4 | 3.4568738E-4 | 1.5315251 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551457 | 0.0024048074 | 1.0663645 | 1.5E-4 |
6.6 | 2.663744E-6 | 2.5319846E-6 | 7.253181E-5 | 28.646229 | 7.0E-5 | 1.1415996E-5 | 1.08513195E-5 | 8.085056E-5 | 7.450758 | 7.0E-5 | 1.3898089E-4 | 1.321073E-4 | 2.5209144E-4 | 1.9082326 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0013889399 | 0.0013203359 | 0.0014701379 | 1.1134574 | 1.5E-4 |
6.7 | 2.663744E-6 | 2.5319846E-6 | 7.253181E-5 | 28.646229 | 7.0E-5 | 1.1415996E-5 | 1.08513195E-5 | 8.085056E-5 | 7.450758 | 7.0E-5 | 1.3898089E-4 | 1.321073E-4 | 2.5209144E-4 | 1.9082326 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0013889399 | 0.0013203359 | 0.0014701379 | 1.1134574 | 1.5E-4 |
6.8 | 1.9716529E-6 | 1.8322567E-6 | 6.183215E-5 | 33.746445 | 6.0E-5 | 8.449913E-6 | 7.852505E-6 | 6.785204E-5 | 8.640814 | 6.0E-5 | 1.0287284E-4 | 9.560019E-5 | 2.0558968E-4 | 2.1505153 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0010282523 | 9.5560355E-4 | 0.0010954698 | 1.1463643 | 1.4E-4 |
6.9 | 1.8788617E-6 | 1.7429976E-6 | 6.1742896E-5 | 35.423397 | 6.0E-5 | 8.0522395E-6 | 7.4699688E-6 | 6.746952E-5 | 9.032102 | 6.0E-5 | 9.80316E-5 | 9.09432E-5 | 2.009332E-4 | 2.2094362 | 1.1E-4 | 9.798837E-4 | 9.090718E-4 | 0.0010489445 | 1.1538632 | 1.4E-4 |
7.0 | 1.5045488E-6 | 1.3849498E-6 | 5.138488E-5 | 37.102345 | 5.0E-5 | 6.44805E-6 | 5.9354857E-6 | 5.593519E-5 | 9.423861 | 5.0E-5 | 7.8502184E-5 | 7.226219E-5 | 1.7225496E-4 | 2.3837495 | 1.0E-4 | 7.8474457E-4 | 7.223921E-4 | 8.5229817E-4 | 1.1798277 | 1.3E-4 |
7.1 | 1.272341E-6 | 1.1625089E-6 | 5.116245E-5 | 44.010376 | 5.0E-5 | 5.4528787E-6 | 4.9821715E-6 | 5.4981923E-5 | 11.035734 | 5.0E-5 | 6.6386776E-5 | 6.0656283E-5 | 1.6065022E-4 | 2.6485338 | 1.0E-4 | 6.636695E-4 | 6.064005E-4 | 7.363216E-4 | 1.2142497 | 1.3E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0416892E-6 | 9.409871E-7 | 5.094094E-5 | 54.135643 | 5.0E-5 | 4.464375E-6 | 4.032796E-6 | 5.4032593E-5 | 13.398296 | 5.0E-5 | 5.4352407E-5 | 4.9098202E-5 | 1.4909329E-4 | 3.0366344 | 1.0E-4 | 5.4339116E-4 | 4.908754E-4 | 6.208116E-4 | 1.264703 | 1.3E-4 |
7.3 | 7.9450155E-7 | 7.2350036E-7 | 5.0723465E-5 | 70.10841 | 5.0E-5 | 3.4050022E-6 | 3.1007123E-6 | 5.3100557E-5 | 17.125278 | 5.0E-5 | 4.1455114E-5 | 3.7750528E-5 | 1.3774676E-4 | 3.6488695 | 1.0E-4 | 4.144738E-4 | 3.7744228E-4 | 5.073932E-4 | 1.3442935 | 1.3E-4 |
7.4 | 5.3893444E-7 | 5.0195166E-7 | 5.0501927E-5 | 100.61114 | 5.0E-5 | 2.309717E-6 | 2.1512196E-6 | 5.2151114E-5 | 24.24258 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8120441E-5 | 2.6190788E-5 | 1.2618817E-4 | 4.818036 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8116882E-4 | 2.6187746E-4 | 3.9184344E-4 | 1.4962853 | 1.3E-4 |
7.5 | 3.8852085E-7 | 3.6825622E-7 | 2.0368248E-5 | 55.30999 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6650882E-6 | 1.57824E-6 | 2.157821E-5 | 13.672323 | 2.0E-5 | 2.027226E-5 | 1.9214905E-5 | 8.921356E-5 | 4.6429353 | 7.0E-5 | 2.0270412E-4 | 1.9213265E-4 | 2.9211343E-4 | 1.5203737 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 2.414929E-7 | 2.3457605E-7 | 1.0234574E-5 | 43.63009 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0349692E-6 | 1.0053255E-6 | 1.1005315E-5 | 10.947017 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2600677E-5 | 1.2239771E-5 | 7.223904E-5 | 5.9019923 | 6.0E-5 | 1.2599962E-4 | 1.223911E-4 | 2.1238008E-4 | 1.7352576 | 9.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.8298014E-8 | 6.8589785E-8 | 6.8589785E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9270575E-7 | 2.939562E-7 | 2.939562E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5636867E-6 | 3.5789112E-6 | 3.5789112E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5636294E-5 | 3.5788584E-5 | 3.5788584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Cruz Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1599742E-5 | 6.1598796E-5 | 1.9493448 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3542121E-4 | 1.754158E-4 | 1.2953347 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016476426 | 0.0017075437 | 1.0363556 | 6.0E-5 | 0.015102667 | 0.016368 | 0.016486036 | 1.0072113 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1599742E-5 | 6.1598796E-5 | 1.9493448 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3542121E-4 | 1.754158E-4 | 1.2953347 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016476426 | 0.0017075437 | 1.0363556 | 6.0E-5 | 0.015102667 | 0.016368 | 0.016486036 | 1.0072113 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1599742E-5 | 6.1598796E-5 | 1.9493448 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3542121E-4 | 1.754158E-4 | 1.2953347 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016476426 | 0.0017075437 | 1.0363556 | 6.0E-5 | 0.015102667 | 0.016368 | 0.016486036 | 1.0072113 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.780436E-5 | 3.7804002E-5 | 2.1233003 | 2.0E-5 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.630227E-5 | 1.0629998E-4 | 1.3931432 | 3.0E-5 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.286024E-4 | 9.6856523E-4 | 1.0430355 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008642701 | 0.009249094 | 0.009338262 | 1.0096407 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.780436E-5 | 3.7804002E-5 | 2.1233003 | 2.0E-5 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.630227E-5 | 1.0629998E-4 | 1.3931432 | 3.0E-5 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.286024E-4 | 9.6856523E-4 | 1.0430355 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008642701 | 0.009249094 | 0.009338262 | 1.0096407 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2238748E-5 | 1.3042996E-5 | 3.3042736E-5 | 2.53337 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2450723E-5 | 5.5897377E-5 | 7.5896256E-5 | 1.3577785 | 2.0E-5 | 6.3840044E-4 | 6.8034173E-4 | 7.1032136E-4 | 1.0440655 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0063656955 | 0.006782988 | 0.006842581 | 1.0087856 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0489767E-5 | 1.1156636E-5 | 2.1156524E-5 | 1.8963175 | 1.0E-5 | 4.495537E-5 | 4.781329E-5 | 5.7812813E-5 | 1.2091368 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4719415E-4 | 5.819736E-4 | 6.019619E-4 | 1.0343459 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005458487 | 0.005804736 | 0.0058445036 | 1.006851 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.699222E-6 | 9.236783E-6 | 9.236783E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7281847E-5 | 3.958561E-5 | 3.958561E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5381195E-4 | 4.818488E-4 | 4.9184397E-4 | 1.0207434 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045288634 | 0.004808108 | 0.00481806 | 1.0020698 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.307732E-6 | 8.8169045E-6 | 8.8169045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.560408E-5 | 3.7786187E-5 | 3.7786187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3339343E-4 | 4.5995016E-4 | 4.6994555E-4 | 1.0217315 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004325492 | 0.0045900354 | 0.0045999894 | 1.0021687 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.073121E-6 | 8.564939E-6 | 8.564939E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.459863E-5 | 3.670637E-5 | 3.670637E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2115687E-4 | 4.4680882E-4 | 4.5680435E-4 | 1.0223709 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004203596 | 0.004459156 | 0.0044691116 | 1.0022326 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.617019E-6 | 8.074665E-6 | 8.074665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.264396E-5 | 3.4605247E-5 | 3.4605247E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9736772E-4 | 4.2123784E-4 | 4.3123364E-4 | 1.0237296 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003966579 | 0.0042044413 | 0.0042143995 | 1.0023685 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1224836E-6 | 7.5457883E-6 | 7.5457883E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.052457E-5 | 3.2338692E-5 | 3.2338692E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.715733E-4 | 3.9365282E-4 | 4.0364888E-4 | 1.0253931 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003709526 | 0.0039295983 | 0.0039395588 | 1.0025347 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.441115E-6 | 6.8273835E-6 | 6.8273835E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7604487E-5 | 2.9259889E-5 | 2.9259889E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.360328E-4 | 3.5618115E-4 | 3.5618115E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033552512 | 0.0035561312 | 0.0035561312 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.494274E-6 | 5.8199944E-6 | 5.8199944E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3546674E-5 | 2.4942596E-5 | 2.4942596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8664304E-4 | 3.03634E-4 | 3.03634E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002862736 | 0.0030322145 | 0.0030322145 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.0802624E-6 | 4.3122564E-6 | 4.3122564E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7486722E-5 | 1.8480969E-5 | 1.8480969E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1288003E-4 | 2.2498264E-4 | 2.2498264E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021267622 | 0.0022475577 | 0.0022475577 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.3584746E-6 | 2.4753099E-6 | 2.4753099E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0107709E-5 | 1.0608428E-5 | 1.0608428E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2305441E-4 | 1.2915001E-4 | 1.2915001E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012298629 | 0.0012907545 | 0.0012907545 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.4981914E-7 | 9.860934E-7 | 9.860934E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0706473E-6 | 4.2261076E-6 | 4.2261076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9559E-5 | 5.1451658E-5 | 5.1451658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.954795E-4 | 5.1439874E-4 | 5.1439874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.6013532E-7 | 2.6416632E-7 | 2.6416632E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1148652E-6 | 1.1321408E-6 | 1.1321408E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3573399E-5 | 1.3783729E-5 | 1.3783729E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.357257E-4 | 1.378288E-4 | 1.378288E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.1522263E-8 | 3.965698E-8 | 3.965698E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7795254E-7 | 1.6995848E-7 | 1.6995848E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.16657E-6 | 2.0692428E-6 | 2.0692428E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1665488E-5 | 2.0692256E-5 | 2.0692256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.7242046E-10 | 5.9475225E-10 | 5.9475225E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3103735E-9 | 2.5489382E-9 | 2.5489382E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0303796E-8 | 3.1033323E-8 | 3.1033323E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.030379E-7 | 3.103332E-7 | 3.103332E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6794203E-5 | 5.679353E-5 | 3.3817341 | 4.0E-5 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.197348E-5 | 1.2196988E-4 | 1.6946503 | 5.0E-5 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.759797E-4 | 9.758921E-4 | 1.1140579 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008038137 | 0.008730696 | 0.008879386 | 1.0170307 | 1.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6794203E-5 | 5.679353E-5 | 3.3817341 | 4.0E-5 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.197348E-5 | 1.2196988E-4 | 1.6946503 | 5.0E-5 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.759797E-4 | 9.758921E-4 | 1.1140579 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008038137 | 0.008730696 | 0.008879386 | 1.0170307 | 1.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3681544E-5 | 5.3680997E-5 | 3.9236064 | 4.0E-5 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.863415E-5 | 1.0863122E-4 | 1.8526955 | 5.0E-5 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.1368564E-4 | 8.136142E-4 | 1.1400177 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0065657445 | 0.0071187317 | 0.0072676637 | 1.0209211 | 1.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3681544E-5 | 5.3680997E-5 | 3.9236064 | 4.0E-5 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.863415E-5 | 1.0863122E-4 | 1.8526955 | 5.0E-5 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.1368564E-4 | 8.136142E-4 | 1.1400177 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0065657445 | 0.0071187317 | 0.0072676637 | 1.0209211 | 1.5E-4 |
6.4 | 9.417684E-6 | 1.0170118E-5 | 4.0169813E-5 | 3.9497883 | 3.0E-5 | 4.036088E-5 | 4.3585722E-5 | 8.3583975E-5 | 1.9176917 | 4.0E-5 | 4.912829E-4 | 5.3056807E-4 | 6.005309E-4 | 1.1318641 | 7.0E-5 | 0.004901982 | 0.005297049 | 0.0053766253 | 1.0150228 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.368219E-6 | 1.0117545E-5 | 4.011724E-5 | 3.9651165 | 3.0E-5 | 4.014889E-5 | 4.3360415E-5 | 8.335868E-5 | 1.9224604 | 4.0E-5 | 4.8870314E-4 | 5.2782625E-4 | 5.977893E-4 | 1.1325494 | 7.0E-5 | 0.004876298 | 0.0052697617 | 0.00534934 | 1.015101 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.803798E-6 | 8.441831E-6 | 3.8441576E-5 | 4.5537014 | 3.0E-5 | 3.3444423E-5 | 3.6179E-5 | 6.617791E-5 | 1.8291804 | 3.0E-5 | 4.0710976E-4 | 4.4043022E-4 | 5.004038E-4 | 1.1361704 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0040636472 | 0.0043994905 | 0.0044691823 | 1.0158409 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.3108669E-6 | 2.4438336E-6 | 1.2443809E-5 | 5.0919213 | 1.0E-5 | 9.903678E-6 | 1.0473532E-5 | 2.0473428E-5 | 1.9547777 | 1.0E-5 | 1.205706E-4 | 1.2750797E-4 | 1.375067E-4 | 1.0784165 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001205052 | 0.0012743667 | 0.001284354 | 1.007837 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.0882828E-6 | 2.2062823E-6 | 1.220626E-5 | 5.5325017 | 1.0E-5 | 8.949753E-6 | 9.455462E-6 | 1.9455367E-5 | 2.0575798 | 1.0E-5 | 1.08957785E-4 | 1.1511434E-4 | 1.2511319E-4 | 1.0868602 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010890438 | 0.0011505639 | 0.0011605524 | 1.0086814 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.876935E-6 | 1.981051E-6 | 1.1981031E-5 | 6.047816 | 1.0E-5 | 8.043982E-6 | 8.490192E-6 | 1.8490107E-5 | 2.1778197 | 1.0E-5 | 9.7931086E-5 | 1.03363345E-4 | 1.1336231E-4 | 1.0967361 | 1.0E-5 | 9.788794E-4 | 0.0010331686 | 0.0010431584 | 1.009669 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.5357559E-6 | 1.6202807E-6 | 1.1620265E-5 | 7.17176 | 1.0E-5 | 6.5817944E-6 | 6.9440425E-6 | 1.6943974E-5 | 2.4400733 | 1.0E-5 | 8.01304E-5 | 8.454057E-5 | 9.453972E-5 | 1.1182764 | 1.0E-5 | 8.010151E-4 | 8.450965E-4 | 8.55088E-4 | 1.0118229 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1497619E-6 | 1.114975E-5 | 9.697442 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.9275427E-6 | 1.4927493E-5 | 3.0293992 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.999128E-5 | 6.999068E-5 | 1.1666809 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.997606E-4 | 6.0975464E-4 | 1.0166633 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.387277E-7 | 6.387277E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7374022E-6 | 2.7374022E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3327433E-5 | 3.3327433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.3323118E-4 | 3.3323118E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.763429E-4 | 5.1632384E-4 | 1.0839331 | 4.0E-5 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0020399094 | 0.0020798277 | 1.0195687 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011683988 | 0.024544531 | 0.024612814 | 1.002782 | 7.0E-5 | 0.11088423 | 0.21349923 | 0.21360934 | 1.0005157 | 1.4E-4 |
6.1 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.763429E-4 | 5.1632384E-4 | 1.0839331 | 4.0E-5 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0020399094 | 0.0020798277 | 1.0195687 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011683988 | 0.024544531 | 0.024612814 | 1.002782 | 7.0E-5 | 0.11088423 | 0.21349923 | 0.21360934 | 1.0005157 | 1.4E-4 |
6.2 | 2.198148E-4 | 4.6718874E-4 | 5.0717004E-4 | 1.0855786 | 4.0E-5 | 9.417233E-4 | 0.0020007377 | 0.0020406577 | 1.0199527 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011405343 | 0.024078513 | 0.024146827 | 1.0028372 | 7.0E-5 | 0.10837428 | 0.20993572 | 0.21004634 | 1.0005269 | 1.4E-4 |
6.3 | 2.1704129E-4 | 4.615455E-4 | 5.0152704E-4 | 1.0866253 | 4.0E-5 | 9.298453E-4 | 0.0019765892 | 0.00201651 | 1.0201969 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011262234 | 0.023792034 | 0.023860369 | 1.0028721 | 7.0E-5 | 0.107082725 | 0.20782684 | 0.20793773 | 1.0005336 | 1.4E-4 |
6.4 | 1.876142E-4 | 4.004663E-4 | 4.4045027E-4 | 1.0998436 | 4.0E-5 | 8.038131E-4 | 0.0017151695 | 0.0017551009 | 1.0232813 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00974259 | 0.020678662 | 0.02073742 | 1.0028416 | 6.0E-5 | 0.093263686 | 0.18457787 | 0.18468387 | 1.0005744 | 1.3E-4 |
6.5 | 1.7390939E-4 | 3.7478763E-4 | 4.1477266E-4 | 1.1066871 | 4.0E-5 | 7.45113E-4 | 0.0016052561 | 0.0016451919 | 1.0248781 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009034078 | 0.019367293 | 0.019426132 | 1.003038 | 6.0E-5 | 0.086755216 | 0.17440015 | 0.17450748 | 1.0006154 | 1.3E-4 |
6.6 | 1.591791E-4 | 3.4893592E-4 | 3.8892197E-4 | 1.1145942 | 4.0E-5 | 6.8201777E-4 | 0.0014945926 | 0.0015345329 | 1.0267231 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008271996 | 0.018045008 | 0.018094106 | 1.0027208 | 5.0E-5 | 0.07970774 | 0.16380787 | 0.16390821 | 1.0006126 | 1.2E-4 |
6.7 | 1.4268003E-4 | 3.2059717E-4 | 3.6058435E-4 | 1.1247271 | 4.0E-5 | 6.1134255E-4 | 0.0013732726 | 0.0014132177 | 1.0290875 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007417723 | 0.01659171 | 0.01664088 | 1.0029635 | 5.0E-5 | 0.07174956 | 0.15193594 | 0.1520377 | 1.0006698 | 1.2E-4 |
6.8 | 1.239713E-4 | 2.9055026E-4 | 3.3053863E-4 | 1.1376299 | 4.0E-5 | 5.3119735E-4 | 0.0012446274 | 0.0012845775 | 1.0320982 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0064481674 | 0.015049482 | 0.015098729 | 1.0032724 | 5.0E-5 | 0.06264243 | 0.13838051 | 0.1384839 | 1.0007472 | 1.2E-4 |
6.9 | 1.0180238E-4 | 2.6255674E-4 | 3.0254625E-4 | 1.152308 | 4.0E-5 | 4.3622297E-4 | 0.0011247622 | 0.0011647173 | 1.035523 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005298089 | 0.013608998 | 0.013658317 | 1.0036241 | 5.0E-5 | 0.05173543 | 0.12496473 | 0.12506972 | 1.0008403 | 1.2E-4 |
7.0 | 7.6619996E-5 | 2.2400476E-4 | 2.639958E-4 | 1.1785276 | 4.0E-5 | 3.283301E-4 | 9.596704E-4 | 9.996321E-4 | 1.041641 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0039900932 | 0.011622103 | 0.011661638 | 1.0034018 | 4.0E-5 | 0.039192066 | 0.10726982 | 0.1073591 | 1.0008322 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 7.5127435E-5 | 2.2083633E-4 | 2.608275E-4 | 1.1810896 | 4.0E-5 | 3.2193496E-4 | 9.461013E-4 | 9.860635E-4 | 1.0422387 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0039125155 | 0.011458648 | 0.0114981895 | 1.0034509 | 4.0E-5 | 0.038443442 | 0.10583378 | 0.10592319 | 1.0008448 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 6.788582E-5 | 2.0211334E-4 | 2.4210526E-4 | 1.1978687 | 4.0E-5 | 2.9090676E-4 | 8.6591556E-4 | 9.058809E-4 | 1.0461539 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0035360386 | 0.0104922 | 0.01053178 | 1.0037724 | 4.0E-5 | 0.034803 | 0.097503684 | 0.09759393 | 1.0009257 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 6.399602E-5 | 1.8842232E-4 | 2.2841478E-4 | 1.212249 | 4.0E-5 | 2.7423984E-4 | 8.0727716E-4 | 8.4724487E-4 | 1.0495093 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0033337586 | 0.009784897 | 0.009824505 | 1.004048 | 4.0E-5 | 0.03284188 | 0.091397986 | 0.091488846 | 1.0009941 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 4.506759E-5 | 1.2530042E-4 | 1.5529666E-4 | 1.2393945 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9313251E-4 | 5.3689216E-4 | 5.66876E-4 | 1.0558472 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0023488526 | 0.006517245 | 0.0065470496 | 1.0045732 | 3.0E-5 | 0.023241805 | 0.062364522 | 0.06243953 | 1.0012028 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.43289E-5 | 9.336103E-5 | 1.2335823E-4 | 1.3213032 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4711556E-4 | 4.0005764E-4 | 4.3004565E-4 | 1.0749592 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017896603 | 0.004859886 | 0.0048897406 | 1.006143 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01775316 | 0.047057066 | 0.047114242 | 1.0012151 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.5980507E-5 | 7.053672E-5 | 9.0535315E-5 | 1.2835202 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1134028E-4 | 3.0226534E-4 | 3.222593E-4 | 1.0661471 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001354725 | 0.0036738948 | 0.0036938214 | 1.0054238 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013464959 | 0.03584298 | 0.035891186 | 1.0013449 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7292105E-5 | 4.9412036E-5 | 6.941105E-5 | 1.4047396 | 2.0E-5 | 7.4106916E-5 | 2.1174872E-4 | 2.3174449E-4 | 1.0944315 | 2.0E-5 | 9.018782E-4 | 0.0025749984 | 0.002594947 | 1.007747 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008982267 | 0.025292097 | 0.02534083 | 1.0019269 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.2927471E-5 | 3.9697254E-5 | 4.9696857E-5 | 1.2518966 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5402274E-5 | 1.7012001E-4 | 1.8011831E-4 | 1.0587721 | 1.0E-5 | 6.743139E-4 | 0.0020692463 | 0.0020792256 | 1.0048227 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0067227143 | 0.020433145 | 0.020472327 | 1.0019176 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.0200774E-5 | 2.8748475E-5 | 2.8748475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.371687E-5 | 1.2320194E-4 | 1.2320194E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.321229E-4 | 0.0014989526 | 0.0014989526 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005308505 | 0.014992895 | 0.015012595 | 1.0013139 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 8.650396E-6 | 2.3279512E-5 | 2.3279512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.70726E-5 | 9.976552E-5 | 9.976552E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5126543E-4 | 0.0012139693 | 0.0012139693 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045035016 | 0.012212164 | 0.01223192 | 1.0016177 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.9368224E-6 | 7.3283345E-6 | 7.3283345E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6871985E-5 | 3.1406773E-5 | 3.1406773E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0539707E-4 | 3.8231048E-4 | 3.8231048E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020520731 | 0.0040015313 | 0.0040015313 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.7101195E-6 | 2.2178374E-6 | 2.2178374E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.329063E-6 | 9.504983E-6 | 9.504983E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.922769E-5 | 1.15717055E-4 | 1.15717055E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9191867E-4 | 0.00126669 | 0.00126669 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 3.0346666E-8 | 1.721086E-8 | 1.721086E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3005713E-7 | 7.376083E-8 | 7.376083E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834444E-6 | 8.98038E-7 | 8.98038E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834332E-5 | 9.36379E-6 | 9.36379E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Creek
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6322783E-5 | 5.632213E-5 | 3.4505227 | 4.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.995299E-5 | 1.2994879E-4 | 1.8576589 | 6.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5135986E-4 | 9.5127476E-4 | 1.1173592 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006008218 | 0.008510157 | 0.0086489655 | 1.0163109 | 1.4E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6322783E-5 | 5.632213E-5 | 3.4505227 | 4.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.995299E-5 | 1.2994879E-4 | 1.8576589 | 6.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5135986E-4 | 9.5127476E-4 | 1.1173592 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006008218 | 0.008510157 | 0.0086489655 | 1.0163109 | 1.4E-4 |
6.2 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6322783E-5 | 5.632213E-5 | 3.4505227 | 4.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.995299E-5 | 1.2994879E-4 | 1.8576589 | 6.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5135986E-4 | 9.5127476E-4 | 1.1173592 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006008218 | 0.008510157 | 0.0086489655 | 1.0163109 | 1.4E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6322783E-5 | 5.632213E-5 | 3.4505227 | 4.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.995299E-5 | 1.2994879E-4 | 1.8576589 | 6.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5135986E-4 | 9.5127476E-4 | 1.1173592 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006008218 | 0.008510157 | 0.0086489655 | 1.0163109 | 1.4E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6322783E-5 | 5.632213E-5 | 3.4505227 | 4.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.995299E-5 | 1.2994879E-4 | 1.8576589 | 6.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5135986E-4 | 9.5127476E-4 | 1.1173592 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006008218 | 0.008510157 | 0.0086489655 | 1.0163109 | 1.4E-4 |
6.5 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6322783E-5 | 5.632213E-5 | 3.4505227 | 4.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.995299E-5 | 1.2994879E-4 | 1.8576589 | 6.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.5135986E-4 | 9.5127476E-4 | 1.1173592 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006008218 | 0.008510157 | 0.0086489655 | 1.0163109 | 1.4E-4 |
6.6 | 9.202681E-6 | 1.3846059E-5 | 5.3845506E-5 | 3.8888686 | 4.0E-5 | 3.9439463E-5 | 5.9338956E-5 | 1.193354E-4 | 2.0110803 | 6.0E-5 | 4.800697E-4 | 7.2222133E-4 | 8.121563E-4 | 1.1245255 | 9.0E-5 | 0.004790339 | 0.0072273402 | 0.0073564006 | 1.0178572 | 1.3E-4 |
6.7 | 9.019164E-6 | 1.3651728E-5 | 5.3651183E-5 | 3.929992 | 4.0E-5 | 3.8652986E-5 | 5.8506146E-5 | 1.18502634E-4 | 2.0254734 | 6.0E-5 | 4.7049852E-4 | 7.1208854E-4 | 8.0202444E-4 | 1.1262988 | 9.0E-5 | 0.004695036 | 0.0071266647 | 0.007255738 | 1.0181113 | 1.3E-4 |
6.8 | 8.673558E-6 | 1.3273839E-5 | 5.3273307E-5 | 4.0134063 | 4.0E-5 | 3.717186E-5 | 5.688669E-5 | 1.16883275E-4 | 2.0546682 | 6.0E-5 | 4.524734E-4 | 6.923842E-4 | 7.823219E-4 | 1.1298957 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0045155324 | 0.0069308523 | 0.0070599513 | 1.0186267 | 1.3E-4 |
6.9 | 7.002255E-6 | 1.1478069E-5 | 5.1477607E-5 | 4.484867 | 4.0E-5 | 3.000932E-5 | 4.9190832E-5 | 1.0918788E-4 | 2.2196796 | 6.0E-5 | 3.653022E-4 | 5.9874065E-4 | 6.886868E-4 | 1.1502255 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0036470229 | 0.005999676 | 0.0061189556 | 1.0198811 | 1.2E-4 |
7.0 | 5.84644E-6 | 9.675359E-6 | 4.967497E-5 | 5.1341734 | 4.0E-5 | 2.5055931E-5 | 4.146519E-5 | 1.01462705E-4 | 2.4469368 | 6.0E-5 | 3.0501327E-4 | 5.047263E-4 | 5.946809E-4 | 1.1782244 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0030459496 | 0.005063994 | 0.005183386 | 1.0235767 | 1.2E-4 |
7.1 | 5.54703E-6 | 9.329834E-6 | 4.932946E-5 | 5.2872815 | 4.0E-5 | 2.377277E-5 | 3.9984414E-5 | 9.998202E-5 | 2.5005248 | 6.0E-5 | 2.8939504E-4 | 4.8670598E-4 | 5.766622E-4 | 1.1848266 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0028901845 | 0.0048845876 | 0.0050040013 | 1.0244471 | 1.2E-4 |
7.2 | 4.384709E-6 | 7.681918E-6 | 4.768161E-5 | 6.206993 | 4.0E-5 | 1.8791474E-5 | 3.292211E-5 | 9.2920134E-5 | 2.8224235 | 6.0E-5 | 2.2876218E-4 | 4.0075663E-4 | 4.8072456E-4 | 1.1995424 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0022852682 | 0.004028542 | 0.0041380986 | 1.0271952 | 1.1E-4 |
7.3 | 3.7888456E-6 | 6.915788E-6 | 4.6915513E-5 | 6.7838273 | 4.0E-5 | 1.623781E-5 | 2.9638775E-5 | 8.9637E-5 | 3.024315 | 6.0E-5 | 1.9767738E-4 | 3.6079568E-4 | 4.4076683E-4 | 1.2216522 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0019750162 | 0.00363027 | 0.0037398706 | 1.0301908 | 1.1E-4 |
7.4 | 2.1982462E-6 | 5.0241033E-6 | 3.5023953E-5 | 6.9711847 | 3.0E-5 | 9.421021E-6 | 2.1531694E-5 | 7.1530616E-5 | 3.3221083 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1469489E-4 | 2.6211704E-4 | 3.320987E-4 | 1.2669863 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011463572 | 0.0026460327 | 0.002745768 | 1.0376924 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 2.051923E-6 | 4.6153277E-6 | 3.461519E-5 | 7.5000505 | 3.0E-5 | 8.793926E-6 | 1.9779825E-5 | 6.9778835E-5 | 3.5277781 | 5.0E-5 | 1.0706078E-4 | 2.4079291E-4 | 3.1077606E-4 | 1.2906362 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0010700922 | 0.0024335932 | 0.0025333497 | 1.0409915 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.8733427E-6 | 4.1236603E-6 | 3.4123535E-5 | 8.27506 | 3.0E-5 | 8.028587E-6 | 1.7672712E-5 | 6.767183E-5 | 3.8291707 | 5.0E-5 | 9.774366E-5 | 2.151441E-4 | 2.8512903E-4 | 1.3252933 | 7.0E-5 | 9.770069E-4 | 0.0021782513 | 0.0022780334 | 1.0458084 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 1.8411953E-6 | 4.0433315E-6 | 3.404321E-5 | 8.419594 | 3.0E-5 | 7.890813E-6 | 1.732845E-5 | 6.7327586E-5 | 3.8853784 | 5.0E-5 | 9.606641E-5 | 2.1095353E-4 | 2.8093875E-4 | 1.3317566 | 7.0E-5 | 9.6024893E-4 | 0.0021365292 | 0.0022363155 | 1.0467049 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 1.7194251E-6 | 3.71068E-6 | 3.371057E-5 | 9.084742 | 3.0E-5 | 7.368944E-6 | 1.5902819E-5 | 6.590202E-5 | 4.144047 | 5.0E-5 | 8.97132E-5 | 1.9359968E-4 | 2.6358612E-4 | 1.3615009 | 7.0E-5 | 8.967699E-4 | 0.0019624757 | 0.0020622795 | 1.050856 | 1.0E-4 |
7.9 | 1.4035052E-6 | 2.9502596E-6 | 3.295017E-5 | 11.168567 | 3.0E-5 | 6.0150082E-6 | 1.2643909E-5 | 6.2643274E-5 | 4.9544234 | 5.0E-5 | 7.3230265E-5 | 1.5392878E-4 | 2.23918E-4 | 1.4546858 | 7.0E-5 | 7.3206134E-4 | 0.0015631174 | 0.0016629611 | 1.0638747 | 1.0E-4 |
8.0 | 3.9318823E-7 | 5.528477E-7 | 2.0552836E-5 | 37.176304 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6850913E-6 | 2.3693453E-6 | 3.2369273E-5 | 13.6616955 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0515794E-5 | 2.8846403E-5 | 5.8845537E-5 | 2.039961 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0513899E-4 | 2.990952E-4 | 3.2908624E-4 | 1.1002725 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.596793E-7 | 1.13775044E-7 | 1.13775044E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8433974E-7 | 4.876072E-7 | 4.876072E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331805E-6 | 5.936602E-6 | 5.936602E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331492E-5 | 6.5494125E-5 | 6.5494125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.9003038E-8 | 2.5435753E-8 | 2.5435753E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.10013E-7 | 1.09010365E-7 | 1.09010365E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5569052E-6 | 1.3272004E-6 | 1.3272004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556876E-5 | 1.4952613E-5 | 1.4952613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bullion Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4692009E-5 | 4.469157E-5 | 3.0418963 | 3.0E-5 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.296445E-5 | 1.0296193E-4 | 1.6352391 | 4.0E-5 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.6636096E-4 | 8.363073E-4 | 1.0912708 | 7.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.0076409746 | 0.0077699814 | 1.0168835 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4692009E-5 | 4.469157E-5 | 3.0418963 | 3.0E-5 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.296445E-5 | 1.0296193E-4 | 1.6352391 | 4.0E-5 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.6636096E-4 | 8.363073E-4 | 1.0912708 | 7.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.0076409746 | 0.0077699814 | 1.0168835 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4692009E-5 | 4.469157E-5 | 3.0418963 | 3.0E-5 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.296445E-5 | 1.0296193E-4 | 1.6352391 | 4.0E-5 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.6636096E-4 | 8.363073E-4 | 1.0912708 | 7.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.0076409746 | 0.0077699814 | 1.0168835 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.2046778E-5 | 9.862255E-6 | 1.9862156E-5 | 2.0139568 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1628023E-5 | 4.2266256E-5 | 6.226541E-5 | 1.4731708 | 2.0E-5 | 6.283899E-4 | 5.144933E-4 | 5.444779E-4 | 1.0582798 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0062661595 | 0.0051353034 | 0.0051750983 | 1.0077492 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2046778E-5 | 9.862255E-6 | 1.9862156E-5 | 2.0139568 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1628023E-5 | 4.2266256E-5 | 6.226541E-5 | 1.4731708 | 2.0E-5 | 6.283899E-4 | 5.144933E-4 | 5.444779E-4 | 1.0582798 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0062661595 | 0.0051353034 | 0.0051750983 | 1.0077492 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0244343E-5 | 7.879378E-6 | 1.78793E-5 | 2.2691257 | 1.0E-5 | 4.390359E-5 | 3.3768443E-5 | 5.376777E-5 | 1.5922489 | 2.0E-5 | 5.343951E-4 | 4.1107394E-4 | 4.410616E-4 | 1.0729495 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005331118 | 0.0041051665 | 0.0041450025 | 1.0097039 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.605408E-6 | 7.1774166E-6 | 1.7177344E-5 | 2.393249 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1165385E-5 | 3.0760108E-5 | 5.0759492E-5 | 1.6501727 | 2.0E-5 | 5.010733E-4 | 3.7446033E-4 | 4.044491E-4 | 1.0800853 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00499945 | 0.0037402906 | 0.003780141 | 1.0106543 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.60418E-6 | 6.123926E-6 | 1.6123866E-5 | 2.6329293 | 1.0E-5 | 3.687454E-5 | 2.6245243E-5 | 3.6244983E-5 | 1.3810114 | 1.0E-5 | 4.48855E-4 | 3.195085E-4 | 3.395021E-4 | 1.0625762 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004479495 | 0.0031924031 | 0.0032123392 | 1.0062449 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.187994E-6 | 2.563117E-6 | 2.563117E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.223407E-5 | 1.0984763E-5 | 1.0984763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7066618E-4 | 1.3373529E-4 | 1.3373529E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027033675 | 0.0013369396 | 0.0013369396 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.5302368E-6 | 2.3442778E-6 | 2.3442778E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9415156E-5 | 1.0046889E-5 | 1.0046889E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3635388E-4 | 1.2231797E-4 | 1.2231797E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023610266 | 0.0012228956 | 0.0012228956 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.431668E-6 | 1.6882177E-6 | 1.6882177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4707065E-5 | 7.2352186E-6 | 7.2352186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7904381E-4 | 8.808879E-5 | 8.808879E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017889962 | 8.8088785E-4 | 8.8088785E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pleito
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4764735E-5 | 4.476424E-5 | 1.80758 | 2.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0613067E-4 | 1.2612855E-4 | 1.188427 | 2.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.001291447 | 0.0013913179 | 1.0773325 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.012954412 | 0.013082728 | 1.0099052 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4764735E-5 | 4.476424E-5 | 1.80758 | 2.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0613067E-4 | 1.2612855E-4 | 1.188427 | 2.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.001291447 | 0.0013913179 | 1.0773325 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.012954412 | 0.013082728 | 1.0099052 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4764735E-5 | 4.476424E-5 | 1.80758 | 2.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0613067E-4 | 1.2612855E-4 | 1.188427 | 2.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.001291447 | 0.0013913179 | 1.0773325 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.012954412 | 0.013082728 | 1.0099052 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4764735E-5 | 4.476424E-5 | 1.80758 | 2.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0613067E-4 | 1.2612855E-4 | 1.188427 | 2.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.001291447 | 0.0013913179 | 1.0773325 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.012954412 | 0.013082728 | 1.0099052 | 1.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4764735E-5 | 4.476424E-5 | 1.80758 | 2.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0613067E-4 | 1.2612855E-4 | 1.188427 | 2.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.001291447 | 0.0013913179 | 1.0773325 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.012954412 | 0.013082728 | 1.0099052 | 1.3E-4 |
6.5 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4764735E-5 | 4.476424E-5 | 1.80758 | 2.0E-5 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0613067E-4 | 1.2612855E-4 | 1.188427 | 2.0E-5 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.001291447 | 0.0013913179 | 1.0773325 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00870863 | 0.012954412 | 0.013082728 | 1.0099052 | 1.3E-4 |
6.6 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.721552E-5 | 2.7215348E-5 | 1.5808612 | 1.0E-5 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.3778734E-5 | 8.3777995E-5 | 1.1355304 | 1.0E-5 | 5.169696E-4 | 8.9788967E-4 | 9.378537E-4 | 1.0445089 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0051576863 | 0.009051226 | 0.009100773 | 1.0054741 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.721552E-5 | 2.7215348E-5 | 1.5808612 | 1.0E-5 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.3778734E-5 | 8.3777995E-5 | 1.1355304 | 1.0E-5 | 5.169696E-4 | 8.9788967E-4 | 9.378537E-4 | 1.0445089 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0051576863 | 0.009051226 | 0.009100773 | 1.0054741 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.300162E-6 | 1.5475129E-5 | 2.5474974E-5 | 1.6461881 | 1.0E-5 | 3.557164E-5 | 6.63203E-5 | 7.6319644E-5 | 1.1507734 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3299864E-4 | 8.07152E-4 | 8.471197E-4 | 1.0495169 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004321559 | 0.008150663 | 0.008190337 | 1.0048676 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.183114E-6 | 1.5346344E-5 | 2.5346191E-5 | 1.651611 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5070017E-5 | 6.57684E-5 | 7.576774E-5 | 1.1520387 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2689382E-4 | 8.0043747E-4 | 8.4040547E-4 | 1.0499327 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0042607468 | 0.008084008 | 0.008123685 | 1.0049081 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.1748823E-6 | 1.4133306E-5 | 2.4133164E-5 | 1.7075386 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0749135E-5 | 6.0569906E-5 | 7.05693E-5 | 1.1650885 | 1.0E-5 | 3.743064E-4 | 7.3718966E-4 | 7.7716017E-4 | 1.0542201 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0037367654 | 0.0074553755 | 0.0074950773 | 1.0053252 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1671807E-6 | 1.4123676E-5 | 2.4123534E-5 | 1.708021 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0716128E-5 | 6.0528637E-5 | 7.052803E-5 | 1.1652011 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7390468E-4 | 7.366875E-4 | 7.7665807E-4 | 1.0542572 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0037327618 | 0.0074503883 | 0.00749009 | 1.0053289 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.0649667E-6 | 1.3970962E-5 | 2.3970822E-5 | 1.7157604 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0278077E-5 | 5.987418E-5 | 6.987358E-5 | 1.1670069 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6857324E-4 | 7.287248E-4 | 7.6869567E-4 | 1.0548505 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0036796255 | 0.0073711374 | 0.007410843 | 1.0053866 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.02082E-6 | 1.3914415E-5 | 2.3914276E-5 | 1.7186692 | 1.0E-5 | 3.008888E-5 | 5.9631846E-5 | 6.963125E-5 | 1.1676856 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6627054E-4 | 7.257764E-4 | 7.657474E-4 | 1.0550734 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0036566744 | 0.0073416373 | 0.0073813437 | 1.0054084 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.987146E-6 | 1.3873975E-5 | 2.3873838E-5 | 1.7207639 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9944567E-5 | 5.9458544E-5 | 6.945795E-5 | 1.1681744 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6451413E-4 | 7.2366785E-4 | 7.636389E-4 | 1.055234 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0036391679 | 0.007320571 | 0.0073602786 | 1.005424 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.9494554E-6 | 1.383088E-5 | 2.3830742E-5 | 1.7230098 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9783041E-5 | 5.9273858E-5 | 6.9273265E-5 | 1.1686984 | 1.0E-5 | 3.625482E-4 | 7.2142074E-4 | 7.613919E-4 | 1.0554061 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0036195726 | 0.007298199 | 0.007337907 | 1.0054408 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.92694E-6 | 1.3789992E-5 | 2.3789855E-5 | 1.7251536 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9686547E-5 | 5.909863E-5 | 6.909804E-5 | 1.1691986 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6137376E-4 | 7.192888E-4 | 7.5926003E-4 | 1.0555705 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0036078666 | 0.007276951 | 0.0073166597 | 1.0054568 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.395867E-6 | 1.26690065E-5 | 2.266888E-5 | 1.7893178 | 1.0E-5 | 2.741057E-5 | 5.4294615E-5 | 6.429407E-5 | 1.1841704 | 1.0E-5 | 3.336726E-4 | 6.6083675E-4 | 7.0081034E-4 | 1.0604893 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0033317201 | 0.0066955453 | 0.0067352774 | 1.0059341 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.8664327E-6 | 1.1536581E-5 | 1.1536581E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5141611E-5 | 4.9441554E-5 | 4.9441554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.060561E-4 | 6.0178485E-4 | 6.317668E-4 | 1.0498217 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0030563495 | 0.0061010164 | 0.0061308336 | 1.0048872 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.7167474E-6 | 7.1145205E-6 | 7.1145205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.592882E-5 | 3.0490448E-5 | 3.0490448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9391612E-4 | 3.7115812E-4 | 3.911507E-4 | 1.0538654 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019374699 | 0.0037676243 | 0.003787549 | 1.0052884 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.0903841E-6 | 1.2879104E-6 | 1.2879104E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6730665E-6 | 5.5196047E-6 | 5.5196047E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.68931E-5 | 6.719913E-5 | 6.719913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6878536E-4 | 6.942094E-4 | 6.942094E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.6894583E-7 | 1.1056095E-7 | 1.1056095E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1526245E-6 | 4.7383253E-7 | 4.7383253E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4033113E-5 | 5.768896E-6 | 5.768896E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4032227E-4 | 6.454915E-5 | 6.454915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 5.2967013E-9 | 2.4567874E-9 | 2.4567874E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2700148E-8 | 1.0529089E-8 | 1.0529089E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637427E-7 | 1.2819166E-7 | 1.2819166E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637393E-6 | 1.4588004E-6 | 1.4588004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.75733E-6 | 4.675706E-5 | 6.9194574 | 4.0E-5 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.895971E-5 | 9.895768E-5 | 3.4170814 | 7.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253543E-4 | 4.425037E-4 | 1.2552035 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035205502 | 0.0036600574 | 1.0396265 | 1.4E-4 |
6.1 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.75733E-6 | 4.675706E-5 | 6.9194574 | 4.0E-5 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.895971E-5 | 9.895768E-5 | 3.4170814 | 7.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253543E-4 | 4.425037E-4 | 1.2552035 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035205502 | 0.0036600574 | 1.0396265 | 1.4E-4 |
6.2 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.75733E-6 | 4.675706E-5 | 6.9194574 | 4.0E-5 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.895971E-5 | 9.895768E-5 | 3.4170814 | 7.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253543E-4 | 4.425037E-4 | 1.2552035 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035205502 | 0.0036600574 | 1.0396265 | 1.4E-4 |
6.3 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.75733E-6 | 4.675706E-5 | 6.9194574 | 4.0E-5 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.895971E-5 | 9.895768E-5 | 3.4170814 | 7.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253543E-4 | 4.425037E-4 | 1.2552035 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035205502 | 0.0036600574 | 1.0396265 | 1.4E-4 |
6.4 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.75733E-6 | 4.675706E-5 | 6.9194574 | 4.0E-5 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.895971E-5 | 9.895768E-5 | 3.4170814 | 7.0E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253543E-4 | 4.425037E-4 | 1.2552035 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.0035205502 | 0.0036600574 | 1.0396265 | 1.4E-4 |
6.5 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2570915E-6 | 2.3257026E-5 | 7.1404276 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3958894E-5 | 5.3958334E-5 | 3.8655167 | 4.0E-5 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.6993708E-4 | 2.0993028E-4 | 1.2353412 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016767744 | 0.001698151 | 0.0017580491 | 1.0352726 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2570915E-6 | 2.3257026E-5 | 7.1404276 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3958894E-5 | 5.3958334E-5 | 3.8655167 | 4.0E-5 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.6993708E-4 | 2.0993028E-4 | 1.2353412 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016767744 | 0.001698151 | 0.0017580491 | 1.0352726 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.1908265E-6 | 2.2071222E-6 | 2.2207078E-5 | 10.061553 | 2.0E-5 | 9.389223E-6 | 9.459062E-6 | 3.9458777E-5 | 4.1715317 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1430779E-4 | 1.1515819E-4 | 1.4515474E-4 | 1.2604812 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011424901 | 0.0011510046 | 0.001200947 | 1.0433903 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7303895E-6 | 1.736553E-6 | 1.1736535E-5 | 6.7585244 | 1.0E-5 | 7.415934E-6 | 7.442349E-6 | 2.74422E-5 | 3.6873035 | 2.0E-5 | 9.028525E-5 | 9.060693E-5 | 1.1060512E-4 | 1.2207136 | 2.0E-5 | 9.024858E-4 | 9.0570963E-4 | 9.456734E-4 | 1.0441242 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3700314E-6 | 1.3688623E-6 | 1.1368848E-5 | 8.305326 | 1.0E-5 | 5.87155E-6 | 5.86654E-6 | 2.5866422E-5 | 4.4091444 | 2.0E-5 | 7.148377E-5 | 7.142283E-5 | 9.14214E-5 | 1.2800025 | 2.0E-5 | 7.146078E-4 | 7.140033E-4 | 7.4398186E-4 | 1.0419866 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1467797E-6 | 1.1413805E-6 | 1.1141369E-5 | 9.76131 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9147607E-6 | 4.8916218E-6 | 2.4891524E-5 | 5.0886035 | 2.0E-5 | 5.983557E-5 | 5.95539E-5 | 7.955271E-5 | 1.3358102 | 2.0E-5 | 5.981946E-4 | 5.9538253E-4 | 6.253647E-4 | 1.0503578 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.3952065E-7 | 9.3026915E-7 | 1.093026E-5 | 11.749567 | 1.0E-5 | 4.026511E-6 | 3.986862E-6 | 2.3986782E-5 | 6.016457 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9021666E-5 | 4.853898E-5 | 6.853801E-5 | 1.41202 | 2.0E-5 | 4.901085E-4 | 4.8528553E-4 | 5.15271E-4 | 1.0617893 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.858055E-7 | 6.7193014E-7 | 1.06719235E-5 | 15.882489 | 1.0E-5 | 2.939163E-6 | 2.8796974E-6 | 2.287964E-5 | 7.945154 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5783723E-5 | 3.5059762E-5 | 5.505906E-5 | 1.5704346 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5777962E-4 | 3.5054318E-4 | 3.8053267E-4 | 1.0855515 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.1101983E-7 | 4.939301E-7 | 1.0493925E-5 | 21.245771 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1900833E-6 | 2.1168414E-6 | 2.21168E-5 | 10.448019 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6663936E-5 | 2.5772246E-5 | 4.577173E-5 | 1.7760086 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6660739E-4 | 2.5769303E-4 | 2.7768788E-4 | 1.0775918 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.4999414E-7 | 3.2995916E-7 | 3.2995916E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.499974E-6 | 1.4141099E-6 | 1.1414096E-5 | 8.071576 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8262032E-5 | 1.7216655E-5 | 2.7216482E-5 | 1.580823 | 1.0E-5 | 1.826053E-4 | 1.7215345E-4 | 1.8215172E-4 | 1.0580777 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.7021522E-7 | 1.4750053E-7 | 1.4750053E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2949354E-7 | 6.32145E-7 | 6.32145E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.881548E-6 | 7.696339E-6 | 7.696339E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8811925E-5 | 7.696081E-5 | 7.696081E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.735264E-8 | 1.735264E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.436845E-8 | 7.436845E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.0543557E-7 | 9.0543557E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.054324E-6 | 9.054324E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5271103E-5 | 8.526934E-5 | 2.417541 | 5.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5115313E-4 | 2.1114406E-4 | 1.3968885 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018387372 | 0.0019385533 | 1.0542852 | 1.0E-4 | 0.020996714 | 0.018986495 | 0.019114027 | 1.006717 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5271103E-5 | 8.526934E-5 | 2.417541 | 5.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5115313E-4 | 2.1114406E-4 | 1.3968885 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018387372 | 0.0019385533 | 1.0542852 | 1.0E-4 | 0.020996714 | 0.018986495 | 0.019114027 | 1.006717 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5271103E-5 | 8.526934E-5 | 2.417541 | 5.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5115313E-4 | 2.1114406E-4 | 1.3968885 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018387372 | 0.0019385533 | 1.0542852 | 1.0E-4 | 0.020996714 | 0.018986495 | 0.019114027 | 1.006717 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5271103E-5 | 8.526934E-5 | 2.417541 | 5.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5115313E-4 | 2.1114406E-4 | 1.3968885 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018387372 | 0.0019385533 | 1.0542852 | 1.0E-4 | 0.020996714 | 0.018986495 | 0.019114027 | 1.006717 | 1.3E-4 |
6.4 | 4.0577226E-5 | 3.5143014E-5 | 8.5141255E-5 | 2.4227078 | 5.0E-5 | 1.738908E-4 | 1.5060425E-4 | 2.105952E-4 | 1.3983351 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0018320669 | 0.0019318837 | 1.0544832 | 1.0E-4 | 0.020950472 | 0.018921062 | 0.019048603 | 1.0067407 | 1.3E-4 |
6.5 | 4.0577226E-5 | 3.5143014E-5 | 8.5141255E-5 | 2.4227078 | 5.0E-5 | 1.738908E-4 | 1.5060425E-4 | 2.105952E-4 | 1.3983351 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0018320669 | 0.0019318837 | 1.0544832 | 1.0E-4 | 0.020950472 | 0.018921062 | 0.019048603 | 1.0067407 | 1.3E-4 |
6.6 | 4.053861E-5 | 3.5088357E-5 | 8.5086605E-5 | 2.4249241 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7372532E-4 | 1.5037002E-4 | 2.10361E-4 | 1.3989557 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0021130538 | 0.0018292206 | 0.0019290376 | 1.054568 | 1.0E-4 | 0.020930743 | 0.01889314 | 0.019020684 | 1.0067508 | 1.3E-4 |
6.7 | 4.0516545E-5 | 3.505743E-5 | 8.5055675E-5 | 2.426181 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7363077E-4 | 1.502375E-4 | 2.1022848E-4 | 1.3993077 | 6.0E-5 | 0.002111905 | 0.0018276101 | 0.0019274272 | 1.0546162 | 1.0E-4 | 0.020919468 | 0.018877337 | 0.019004883 | 1.0067565 | 1.3E-4 |
6.8 | 4.049434E-5 | 3.5028992E-5 | 8.502724E-5 | 2.427339 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7353562E-4 | 1.5011564E-4 | 2.1010663E-4 | 1.3996319 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0021107488 | 0.0018261289 | 0.0019259463 | 1.0546607 | 1.0E-4 | 0.020908125 | 0.018862749 | 0.018990297 | 1.0067619 | 1.3E-4 |
6.9 | 4.046386E-5 | 3.4991554E-5 | 8.4989806E-5 | 2.4288664 | 5.0E-5 | 1.73405E-4 | 1.499552E-4 | 2.099462E-4 | 1.4000595 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0021091616 | 0.0018241788 | 0.0019239965 | 1.0547192 | 1.0E-4 | 0.020892553 | 0.018843522 | 0.018971073 | 1.006769 | 1.3E-4 |
7.0 | 4.036382E-5 | 3.4872126E-5 | 8.487038E-5 | 2.43376 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7297632E-4 | 1.4944343E-4 | 2.0943445E-4 | 1.4014298 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0021039525 | 0.0018179584 | 0.0019177767 | 1.0549067 | 1.0E-4 | 0.02084144 | 0.018782137 | 0.018909695 | 1.0067915 | 1.3E-4 |
7.1 | 4.0343282E-5 | 3.485059E-5 | 8.484884E-5 | 2.4346461 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7288832E-4 | 1.4935112E-4 | 2.0934216E-4 | 1.4016778 | 6.0E-5 | 0.002102883 | 0.0018168368 | 0.001916655 | 1.0549407 | 1.0E-4 | 0.020830948 | 0.018771008 | 0.018898567 | 1.0067955 | 1.3E-4 |
7.2 | 4.0257353E-5 | 3.475509E-5 | 8.475335E-5 | 2.4385884 | 5.0E-5 | 1.725201E-4 | 1.489419E-4 | 2.0893295E-4 | 1.4027817 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0020984085 | 0.0018118626 | 0.0019116814 | 1.0550919 | 1.0E-4 | 0.020787042 | 0.018721746 | 0.018849313 | 1.0068138 | 1.3E-4 |
7.3 | 3.9940667E-5 | 3.458276E-5 | 8.458103E-5 | 2.4457572 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7116306E-4 | 1.4820343E-4 | 2.0819453E-4 | 1.404789 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0020819185 | 0.0018028866 | 0.0019027063 | 1.0553666 | 1.0E-4 | 0.020625217 | 0.018630387 | 0.018757965 | 1.0068479 | 1.3E-4 |
7.4 | 3.9721202E-5 | 3.4468165E-5 | 8.446644E-5 | 2.450564 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7022261E-4 | 1.4771236E-4 | 2.077035E-4 | 1.4061348 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0020704903 | 0.0017969179 | 0.0018967382 | 1.0555508 | 1.0E-4 | 0.020513052 | 0.018569522 | 0.018697107 | 1.0068707 | 1.3E-4 |
7.5 | 3.7036873E-5 | 3.3535776E-5 | 8.35341E-5 | 2.490895 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5871979E-4 | 1.4371685E-4 | 2.0370823E-4 | 1.4174275 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0019307006 | 0.0017483513 | 0.0018481765 | 1.0570967 | 1.0E-4 | 0.019140124 | 0.018071128 | 0.018198779 | 1.0070637 | 1.3E-4 |
7.6 | 3.2940967E-5 | 3.13167E-5 | 8.1315135E-5 | 2.5965421 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4116794E-4 | 1.3420754E-4 | 1.9419949E-4 | 1.4470087 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0017173645 | 0.0016327545 | 0.0017325912 | 1.0611461 | 1.0E-4 | 0.01704153 | 0.016904091 | 0.017031893 | 1.0075605 | 1.3E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8236149E-5 | 2.7882697E-5 | 7.7881305E-5 | 2.793177 | 5.0E-5 | 1.2100645E-4 | 1.1949181E-4 | 1.7948463E-4 | 1.5020665 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0014722579 | 0.0014538429 | 0.0015536975 | 1.0686833 | 1.0E-4 | 0.014625421 | 0.015114912 | 0.015242946 | 1.0084708 | 1.3E-4 |
7.8 | 2.4329287E-5 | 2.5206451E-5 | 7.520519E-5 | 2.9835691 | 5.0E-5 | 1.042642E-4 | 1.08023174E-4 | 1.6801669E-4 | 1.5553764 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0012686774 | 0.0013143895 | 0.0014142581 | 1.0759809 | 1.0E-4 | 0.012614589 | 0.013712341 | 0.013840558 | 1.0093505 | 1.3E-4 |
7.9 | 1.9370926E-5 | 2.0420413E-5 | 7.0419395E-5 | 3.4484804 | 5.0E-5 | 8.301561E-5 | 8.751312E-5 | 1.4750788E-4 | 1.6855514 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0010102465 | 0.0010649522 | 0.0011648458 | 1.0938009 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0100566605 | 0.011199402 | 0.011327946 | 1.0114777 | 1.3E-4 |
8.0 | 1.5583017E-5 | 1.5885415E-5 | 4.588494E-5 | 2.8884947 | 3.0E-5 | 6.6782646E-5 | 6.807858E-5 | 9.807653E-5 | 1.4406372 | 3.0E-5 | 8.127754E-4 | 8.2854216E-4 | 8.7850075E-4 | 1.060297 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008098091 | 0.008781636 | 0.008860934 | 1.0090299 | 8.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0024873E-5 | 8.291399E-6 | 1.8291317E-5 | 2.206059 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2963035E-5 | 3.553409E-5 | 4.5533732E-5 | 1.2814099 | 1.0E-5 | 5.229494E-4 | 4.3254215E-4 | 4.525335E-4 | 1.0462183 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0052172043 | 0.0046530655 | 0.004682926 | 1.0064174 | 3.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.142796E-6 | 1.5602761E-6 | 1.5602761E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.775472E-5 | 6.6868806E-6 | 6.6868806E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1614227E-4 | 8.140976E-5 | 8.140976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021593217 | 9.4514614E-4 | 9.4514614E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 3.609817E-7 | 3.609817E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.5470634E-6 | 1.5470634E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 1.8835339E-5 | 1.8835339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.272251E-4 | 2.272251E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Imperial
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7496446E-4 | 5.055345E-4 | 5.4551434E-4 | 1.0790842 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011778869 | 0.002164817 | 0.0022047304 | 1.0184373 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0142467655 | 0.026048409 | 0.026116585 | 1.0026174 | 7.0E-5 | 0.13367249 | 0.22807029 | 0.22817065 | 1.00044 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 2.5356023E-4 | 4.8657708E-4 | 5.265576E-4 | 1.0821669 | 4.0E-5 | 0.001086234 | 0.002083702 | 0.0021236187 | 1.0191566 | 4.0E-5 | 0.013144928 | 0.02507094 | 0.025139183 | 1.002722 | 7.0E-5 | 0.123940155 | 0.21949561 | 0.21959709 | 1.0004623 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 2.4820742E-4 | 4.775311E-4 | 5.1751203E-4 | 1.0837241 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010633124 | 0.0020449946 | 0.0020849127 | 1.0195199 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01286919 | 0.024610676 | 0.024678953 | 1.0027742 | 7.0E-5 | 0.12148927 | 0.21600136 | 0.21610329 | 1.0004718 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 2.3205351E-4 | 4.5892023E-4 | 4.989019E-4 | 1.0871211 | 4.0E-5 | 9.94136E-4 | 0.0019653554 | 0.0020052767 | 1.0203125 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012036599 | 0.023661187 | 0.02372953 | 1.0028884 | 7.0E-5 | 0.11405133 | 0.20793827 | 0.20804124 | 1.0004952 | 1.3E-4 |
6.4 | 2.0304754E-4 | 3.9878016E-4 | 4.387642E-4 | 1.1002659 | 4.0E-5 | 8.6991355E-4 | 0.0017079529 | 0.0017478847 | 1.0233798 | 4.0E-5 | 0.010539869 | 0.020595418 | 0.020654183 | 1.0028533 | 6.0E-5 | 0.100537635 | 0.18507113 | 0.1851689 | 1.0005285 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.854992E-4 | 3.6990462E-4 | 4.0988985E-4 | 1.108096 | 4.0E-5 | 7.9475436E-4 | 0.0015843548 | 0.0016242914 | 1.0252069 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009633281 | 0.01911443 | 0.019173281 | 1.0030789 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0922623 | 0.1733039 | 0.1734031 | 1.0005724 | 1.2E-4 |
6.6 | 1.6586106E-4 | 3.4036173E-4 | 3.8034812E-4 | 1.1174821 | 4.0E-5 | 7.106394E-4 | 0.0014578878 | 0.0014978296 | 1.0273969 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008617763 | 0.017607626 | 0.017656744 | 1.0027897 | 5.0E-5 | 0.08291132 | 0.16078055 | 0.16087286 | 1.0005741 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.4224656E-4 | 3.076812E-4 | 3.476689E-4 | 1.1299647 | 4.0E-5 | 6.094856E-4 | 0.0013179756 | 0.0013579228 | 1.0303096 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0073952693 | 0.015928522 | 0.015977725 | 1.0030891 | 5.0E-5 | 0.07153955 | 0.14648798 | 0.14658187 | 1.0006409 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 1.2317259E-4 | 2.779231E-4 | 3.1791197E-4 | 1.1438847 | 4.0E-5 | 5.2777573E-4 | 0.0011905615 | 0.0012305138 | 1.0335577 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0064067547 | 0.014400131 | 0.014449411 | 1.0034221 | 5.0E-5 | 0.06225166 | 0.13294089 | 0.13303626 | 1.0007174 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 9.859898E-5 | 2.5015484E-4 | 2.9014482E-4 | 1.159861 | 4.0E-5 | 4.2249862E-4 | 0.0010716559 | 0.001111613 | 1.0372854 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0051317946 | 0.012970319 | 0.01301967 | 1.0038049 | 5.0E-5 | 0.05014893 | 0.119408876 | 0.11950574 | 1.0008112 | 1.1E-4 |
7.0 | 7.3191884E-5 | 2.1267848E-4 | 2.5266997E-4 | 1.1880373 | 4.0E-5 | 3.136418E-4 | 9.11164E-4 | 9.5112756E-4 | 1.0438598 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003811904 | 0.011037681 | 0.011077239 | 1.0035839 | 4.0E-5 | 0.037471764 | 0.10206756 | 0.10214838 | 1.0007918 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1760296E-5 | 2.0969207E-4 | 2.4968368E-4 | 1.1907159 | 4.0E-5 | 3.0750787E-4 | 8.9837395E-4 | 9.3833805E-4 | 1.0444849 | 4.0E-5 | 0.003737482 | 0.010883528 | 0.010923092 | 1.0036353 | 4.0E-5 | 0.03675245 | 0.10070406 | 0.100785 | 1.0008037 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.46614E-5 | 1.9137723E-4 | 2.3136957E-4 | 1.2089713 | 4.0E-5 | 2.7709085E-4 | 8.199333E-4 | 8.5990055E-4 | 1.0487444 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0033683628 | 0.009937617 | 0.00997722 | 1.0039852 | 4.0E-5 | 0.033177625 | 0.092511006 | 0.09259268 | 1.0008829 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.088115E-5 | 1.780939E-4 | 2.1808677E-4 | 1.2245606 | 4.0E-5 | 2.6089314E-4 | 7.6303916E-4 | 8.030087E-4 | 1.052382 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0031717476 | 0.009251006 | 0.009290636 | 1.0042839 | 4.0E-5 | 0.031268585 | 0.08656135 | 0.08664356 | 1.0009497 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.199346E-5 | 1.1511097E-4 | 1.4510751E-4 | 1.260588 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7995955E-4 | 4.932403E-4 | 5.232255E-4 | 1.0607923 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021888057 | 0.005988835 | 0.0060186554 | 1.0049794 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02167372 | 0.05744024 | 0.05750622 | 1.0011487 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.130448E-5 | 8.333871E-5 | 1.1333621E-4 | 1.3599467 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3415517E-4 | 3.5711733E-4 | 3.8710661E-4 | 1.083976 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0016321153 | 0.0043392954 | 0.004369165 | 1.0068836 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016201803 | 0.042133506 | 0.0421814 | 1.0011367 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.3074248E-5 | 6.0849357E-5 | 8.084814E-5 | 1.3286606 | 2.0E-5 | 9.888588E-5 | 2.6075702E-4 | 2.8075182E-4 | 1.0766797 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012032706 | 0.0031701182 | 0.003190055 | 1.0062889 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011967761 | 0.03102816 | 0.03106692 | 1.0012492 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.45864815E-5 | 4.0128452E-5 | 6.0127648E-5 | 1.4983795 | 2.0E-5 | 6.2511994E-5 | 1.7196777E-4 | 1.9196433E-4 | 1.1162809 | 2.0E-5 | 7.608177E-4 | 0.0020917025 | 0.0021116608 | 1.0095416 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007582182 | 0.02062909 | 0.020668264 | 1.001899 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.0352979E-5 | 3.096395E-5 | 4.096364E-5 | 1.3229462 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4369157E-5 | 1.326959E-4 | 1.4269458E-4 | 1.0753503 | 1.0E-5 | 5.400606E-4 | 0.0016143778 | 0.0016243616 | 1.0061843 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053875 | 0.016017893 | 0.016047413 | 1.0018429 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 8.137906E-6 | 2.2151205E-5 | 2.2151205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4876273E-5 | 9.493029E-5 | 9.493029E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2453592E-4 | 0.0011551644 | 0.0011551644 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004237258 | 0.011618842 | 0.0116287265 | 1.0008507 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 6.93792E-6 | 1.8010365E-5 | 1.8010365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9733603E-5 | 7.7185E-5 | 7.7185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6194647E-4 | 9.3932304E-4 | 9.3932304E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036135751 | 0.009502415 | 0.00951232 | 1.0010424 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.4286315E-6 | 6.380179E-6 | 6.380179E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4694053E-5 | 2.734334E-5 | 2.734334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7888541E-4 | 3.3285443E-4 | 3.3285443E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017874148 | 0.0034863674 | 0.0034863674 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.4906886E-6 | 1.936633E-6 | 1.936633E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3886496E-6 | 8.2998295E-6 | 8.2998295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7779034E-5 | 1.0104576E-4 | 1.0104576E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.775182E-4 | 0.0011075423 | 0.0011075423 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.5758007E-8 | 1.4495866E-8 | 1.4495866E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10391454E-7 | 6.212514E-8 | 6.212514E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3440151E-6 | 7.563736E-7 | 7.563736E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.344007E-5 | 7.884359E-6 | 7.884359E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3784127E-5 | 8.3782434E-5 | 2.4799352 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4478175E-4 | 2.1477161E-4 | 1.4834163 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017614134 | 0.0018512548 | 1.0510054 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.017486857 | 0.017604759 | 1.0067422 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3784127E-5 | 8.3782434E-5 | 2.4799352 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4478175E-4 | 2.1477161E-4 | 1.4834163 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017614134 | 0.0018512548 | 1.0510054 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.017486857 | 0.017604759 | 1.0067422 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3784127E-5 | 8.3782434E-5 | 2.4799352 | 5.0E-5 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4478175E-4 | 2.1477161E-4 | 1.4834163 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017614134 | 0.0018512548 | 1.0510054 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.017486857 | 0.017604759 | 1.0067422 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.591616E-5 | 1.591616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.821041E-5 | 7.820973E-5 | 1.1465952 | 1.0E-5 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.301596E-4 | 8.5014297E-4 | 1.0240718 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009254395 | 0.0082720425 | 0.008291877 | 1.0023978 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.591616E-5 | 1.591616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.821041E-5 | 7.820973E-5 | 1.1465952 | 1.0E-5 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.301596E-4 | 8.5014297E-4 | 1.0240718 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009254395 | 0.0082720425 | 0.008291877 | 1.0023978 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3397557E-5 | 1.1336374E-5 | 1.1336374E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.741684E-5 | 4.8583595E-5 | 5.8583108E-5 | 1.2058208 | 1.0E-5 | 6.988258E-4 | 5.913517E-4 | 6.013458E-4 | 1.0169004 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006966323 | 0.005898487 | 0.0059084278 | 1.0016854 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0818695E-5 | 8.625434E-6 | 8.625434E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6365014E-5 | 3.6965648E-5 | 4.6965277E-5 | 1.2705114 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6434784E-4 | 4.4996818E-4 | 4.5996366E-4 | 1.0222138 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005629168 | 0.0044910074 | 0.0045009623 | 1.0022167 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.067908E-6 | 6.802476E-6 | 6.802476E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8861883E-5 | 2.915316E-5 | 3.915287E-5 | 1.343006 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7304068E-4 | 3.548851E-4 | 3.6488156E-4 | 1.0281681 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00472035 | 0.003543501 | 0.0035534655 | 1.002812 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.295947E-6 | 4.9364285E-6 | 4.9364285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.126797E-5 | 2.1155956E-5 | 3.1155745E-5 | 1.4726701 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8062103E-4 | 2.5754445E-4 | 2.6754188E-4 | 1.0388182 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037996976 | 0.0025725728 | 0.002582547 | 1.0038772 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.2243444E-6 | 3.8322546E-6 | 3.8322546E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6675489E-5 | 1.6423846E-5 | 2.6423682E-5 | 1.6088607 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2472567E-4 | 1.9994251E-4 | 2.0994052E-4 | 1.0500044 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032425157 | 0.001997679 | 0.002007659 | 1.0049958 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.9878413E-6 | 2.679564E-6 | 2.679564E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1376287E-5 | 1.1483797E-5 | 1.1483797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.602252E-4 | 1.3980652E-4 | 1.3980652E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002599207 | 0.0013972119 | 0.0013972119 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.0252844E-6 | 1.885702E-6 | 1.885702E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7251105E-5 | 8.081555E-6 | 8.081555E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1001195E-4 | 9.838863E-5 | 9.838863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020981359 | 9.834635E-4 | 9.834635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.3284066E-6 | 1.2818929E-6 | 1.2818929E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4264522E-5 | 5.4938155E-6 | 5.4938155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.736567E-4 | 6.688525E-5 | 6.688525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017352107 | 6.6866126E-4 | 6.6866126E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.458226E-6 | 6.056684E-7 | 6.056684E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0535211E-5 | 2.5957193E-6 | 2.5957193E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2825865E-4 | 3.160246E-5 | 3.160246E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012818464 | 3.1598343E-4 | 3.1598343E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.965953E-6 | 3.1084684E-7 | 3.1084684E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.425486E-6 | 1.3322001E-6 | 1.3322001E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0257547E-4 | 1.6219417E-5 | 1.6219417E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010252813 | 1.6218246E-4 | 1.6218246E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2014192E-6 | 1.8241002E-7 | 1.8241002E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.148929E-6 | 7.8175697E-7 | 7.8175697E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2686406E-5 | 9.51785E-6 | 9.51785E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.266873E-4 | 9.517451E-5 | 9.517451E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.5612175E-7 | 4.893784E-8 | 4.893784E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0976642E-6 | 2.0973359E-7 | 2.0973359E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363979E-5 | 2.5535037E-6 | 2.5535037E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363175E-4 | 2.553478E-5 | 2.553478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coronado Bank alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.533492E-5 | 9.3951705E-5 | 1.43947E-4 | 1.5321383 | 5.0E-5 | 3.22824E-4 | 4.025903E-4 | 4.7256213E-4 | 1.173804 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0039233007 | 0.004891121 | 0.00497073 | 1.0162761 | 8.0E-5 | 0.03854755 | 0.047904 | 0.048008732 | 1.0021863 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.0493105E-5 | 7.04921E-5 | 1.3960737 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.1638138E-4 | 2.3637705E-4 | 1.0924094 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0026313365 | 0.0026612575 | 1.011371 | 3.0E-5 | 0.021578677 | 0.026011124 | 0.026040344 | 1.0011233 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.0493105E-5 | 7.04921E-5 | 1.3960737 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.1638138E-4 | 2.3637705E-4 | 1.0924094 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0026313365 | 0.0026612575 | 1.011371 | 3.0E-5 | 0.021578677 | 0.026011124 | 0.026040344 | 1.0011233 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.1793104E-5 | 3.7711125E-5 | 5.771037E-5 | 1.5303274 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3624904E-4 | 1.6160926E-4 | 1.8160602E-4 | 1.1237353 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016575698 | 0.001965849 | 0.00199579 | 1.0152305 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016452603 | 0.019488495 | 0.01951791 | 1.0015094 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.9878007E-5 | 3.5335797E-5 | 5.533509E-5 | 1.5659783 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2804232E-4 | 1.5143053E-4 | 1.714275E-4 | 1.1320537 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015578003 | 0.0018421395 | 0.0018720842 | 1.0162554 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015469253 | 0.018272463 | 0.018301915 | 1.0016118 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.4512565E-5 | 2.8764101E-5 | 4.8763526E-5 | 1.6952912 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0504962E-4 | 1.2326906E-4 | 1.4326659E-4 | 1.1622267 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012782287 | 0.0014997943 | 0.0015297494 | 1.0199728 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012709012 | 0.0148996925 | 0.014929246 | 1.0019835 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.1317413E-5 | 2.490667E-5 | 4.490617E-5 | 1.8029778 | 2.0E-5 | 9.135714E-5 | 1.0673863E-4 | 1.267365E-4 | 1.1873536 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011117056 | 0.0012987903 | 0.0013287513 | 1.0230684 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011061605 | 0.012914407 | 0.01294402 | 1.002293 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8585655E-5 | 2.1634882E-5 | 4.163445E-5 | 1.9244131 | 2.0E-5 | 7.9650374E-5 | 9.271774E-5 | 1.1271588E-4 | 1.2156885 | 2.0E-5 | 9.6931186E-4 | 0.0011282744 | 0.0011482518 | 1.0177062 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0096509475 | 0.011227623 | 0.011247398 | 1.0017613 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5862879E-5 | 1.8419476E-5 | 2.8419292E-5 | 1.5428936 | 1.0E-5 | 6.798199E-5 | 7.8938334E-5 | 8.8937544E-5 | 1.1266712 | 1.0E-5 | 8.273665E-4 | 9.606697E-4 | 9.7066007E-4 | 1.0103995 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008242928 | 0.009567151 | 0.0095770545 | 1.0010352 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3021509E-5 | 1.5095266E-5 | 2.5095114E-5 | 1.6624494 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5805274E-5 | 6.46925E-5 | 7.4691845E-5 | 1.1545675 | 1.0E-5 | 6.792174E-4 | 7.873646E-4 | 7.973567E-4 | 1.0126905 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006771452 | 0.007847573 | 0.007857494 | 1.0012643 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0974371E-5 | 1.2720105E-5 | 2.2719978E-5 | 1.786147 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7032172E-5 | 5.4513697E-5 | 6.451315E-5 | 1.1834302 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7246623E-4 | 6.635197E-4 | 6.7351304E-4 | 1.0150611 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057099373 | 0.0066171354 | 0.0066270693 | 1.0015012 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.766221E-6 | 1.0163833E-5 | 1.0163833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7568978E-5 | 4.3558655E-5 | 4.3558655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.573063E-4 | 5.302148E-4 | 5.302148E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045636636 | 0.005291197 | 0.005291197 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.026024E-7 | 8.331776E-7 | 8.331776E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.43972E-6 | 3.5707562E-6 | 3.5707562E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1877785E-5 | 4.34731E-5 | 4.34731E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1869894E-4 | 4.3464705E-4 | 4.3464705E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.7293114E-7 | 3.700106E-7 | 3.700106E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5982754E-6 | 1.5857588E-6 | 1.5857588E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9458828E-5 | 1.9306442E-5 | 1.9306442E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9457124E-4 | 1.9304773E-4 | 1.9304773E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0557036E-7 | 1.9674441E-7 | 1.9674441E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.810155E-7 | 8.4319004E-7 | 8.4319004E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0726311E-5 | 1.02657905E-5 | 1.02657905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0725793E-4 | 1.026532E-4 | 1.026532E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.845446E-8 | 6.2794086E-8 | 6.2794086E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9337625E-7 | 2.6911746E-7 | 2.6911746E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5718497E-6 | 3.2765004E-6 | 3.2765004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5717923E-5 | 3.276453E-5 | 3.276453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.0975145E-9 | 5.531901E-9 | 5.531901E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6132206E-8 | 2.3708148E-8 | 2.3708148E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1815955E-7 | 2.8864667E-7 | 2.8864667E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.181591E-6 | 2.886464E-6 | 2.886464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.28172705E-5 | 5.281676E-5 | 4.120749 | 4.0E-5 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.493013E-5 | 1.04927385E-4 | 1.9101973 | 5.0E-5 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.685912E-4 | 7.485377E-4 | 1.1195745 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0051611643 | 0.006670449 | 0.006779715 | 1.0163807 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.28172705E-5 | 5.281676E-5 | 4.120749 | 4.0E-5 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.493013E-5 | 1.04927385E-4 | 1.9101973 | 5.0E-5 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.685912E-4 | 7.485377E-4 | 1.1195745 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0051611643 | 0.006670449 | 0.006779715 | 1.0163807 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.28172705E-5 | 5.281676E-5 | 4.120749 | 4.0E-5 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.493013E-5 | 1.04927385E-4 | 1.9101973 | 5.0E-5 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.685912E-4 | 7.485377E-4 | 1.1195745 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0051611643 | 0.006670449 | 0.006779715 | 1.0163807 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 5.479711E-6 | 8.1132375E-6 | 3.8112994E-5 | 4.6976304 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3484265E-5 | 3.4770575E-5 | 7.476918E-5 | 2.150358 | 4.0E-5 | 2.858834E-4 | 4.232527E-4 | 4.932231E-4 | 1.1653159 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0028551589 | 0.0042272513 | 0.004316871 | 1.0212004 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.465009E-6 | 8.0975315E-6 | 3.809729E-5 | 4.704803 | 3.0E-5 | 2.3421257E-5 | 3.4703262E-5 | 7.470187E-5 | 2.1525893 | 4.0E-5 | 2.851165E-4 | 4.2243348E-4 | 4.924039E-4 | 1.1656365 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0028475097 | 0.00421909 | 0.004308711 | 1.0212417 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.826767E-6 | 7.4225877E-6 | 3.7422364E-5 | 5.041687 | 3.0E-5 | 2.068598E-5 | 3.1810716E-5 | 7.1809445E-5 | 2.257398 | 4.0E-5 | 2.518227E-4 | 3.8722943E-4 | 4.5720232E-4 | 1.1807014 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0025153751 | 0.0038682907 | 0.0039579426 | 1.0231761 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.3146847E-6 | 6.8825234E-6 | 3.6882317E-5 | 5.358836 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8491375E-5 | 2.949621E-5 | 6.949503E-5 | 2.3560665 | 4.0E-5 | 2.2510924E-4 | 3.5905963E-4 | 4.190381E-4 | 1.1670432 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0022488134 | 0.0035875062 | 0.003667219 | 1.0222197 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6968106E-6 | 5.9957474E-6 | 3.5995567E-5 | 6.003516 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5843378E-5 | 2.5695816E-5 | 6.569479E-5 | 2.5566337 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9287605E-4 | 3.128032E-4 | 3.7278442E-4 | 1.1917539 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0019270873 | 0.0031262499 | 0.0032059997 | 1.0255097 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4671132E-6 | 5.7024477E-6 | 3.5702276E-5 | 6.2608685 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4858972E-5 | 2.4438841E-5 | 6.443786E-5 | 2.636699 | 4.0E-5 | 1.8089297E-4 | 2.9750372E-4 | 3.4748882E-4 | 1.1680151 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0018074579 | 0.0029736666 | 0.0030434586 | 1.0234699 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.7686972E-6 | 4.8254797E-6 | 1.4825431E-5 | 3.0723228 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1865792E-5 | 2.0680467E-5 | 4.0680054E-5 | 1.9670762 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4445644E-4 | 2.5175634E-4 | 2.817488E-4 | 1.1191329 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014436257 | 0.002517256 | 0.0025571552 | 1.0158503 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.1472624E-6 | 3.985277E-6 | 1.3985237E-5 | 3.5092258 | 1.0E-5 | 9.20252E-6 | 1.707965E-5 | 3.707931E-5 | 2.1709642 | 2.0E-5 | 1.12034926E-4 | 2.0792543E-4 | 2.3791919E-4 | 1.1442525 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011197845 | 0.0020798238 | 0.0021197407 | 1.0191925 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.7018335E-6 | 3.3450835E-6 | 1.334505E-5 | 3.989452 | 1.0E-5 | 7.293552E-6 | 1.4335996E-5 | 3.433571E-5 | 2.3950696 | 2.0E-5 | 8.879537E-5 | 1.7452713E-4 | 1.9452363E-4 | 1.1145754 | 2.0E-5 | 8.87599E-4 | 0.0017463792 | 0.0017763268 | 1.0171484 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.25603E-6 | 2.794679E-6 | 1.2794651E-5 | 4.5782185 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3829745E-6 | 1.1977142E-5 | 3.1976902E-5 | 2.6698275 | 2.0E-5 | 6.553574E-5 | 1.4581217E-4 | 1.6580925E-4 | 1.1371428 | 2.0E-5 | 6.551642E-4 | 0.0014596173 | 0.0014795881 | 1.0136822 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.112297E-6 | 2.610519E-6 | 1.2610492E-5 | 4.830646 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7669787E-6 | 1.1187892E-5 | 3.118767E-5 | 2.787627 | 2.0E-5 | 5.803642E-5 | 1.3620428E-4 | 1.5620155E-4 | 1.1468183 | 2.0E-5 | 5.802127E-4 | 0.001363502 | 0.0013834747 | 1.0146481 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.0137181E-6 | 2.4836752E-6 | 1.2483651E-5 | 5.0262814 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3444993E-6 | 1.064428E-5 | 3.0644067E-5 | 2.8789234 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2892992E-5 | 1.2958662E-4 | 1.4958403E-4 | 1.1543169 | 2.0E-5 | 5.288041E-4 | 0.0012971918 | 0.0013171658 | 1.0153979 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 9.598608E-7 | 2.407328E-6 | 1.2407304E-5 | 5.153973 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1136827E-6 | 1.03170805E-5 | 3.0316874E-5 | 2.9385128 | 2.0E-5 | 5.0082934E-5 | 1.2560343E-4 | 1.4560092E-4 | 1.1592113 | 2.0E-5 | 5.007165E-4 | 0.0012572132 | 0.0012771881 | 1.0158882 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.929459E-7 | 2.0450152E-6 | 1.2044995E-5 | 5.8899293 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3983351E-6 | 8.764322E-6 | 2.8764147E-5 | 3.281959 | 2.0E-5 | 4.1373947E-5 | 1.0670057E-4 | 1.2669843E-4 | 1.1874204 | 2.0E-5 | 4.1366243E-4 | 0.0010685825 | 0.0010885611 | 1.0186964 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.155788E-7 | 1.1606729E-6 | 1.1606729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7810507E-6 | 4.974303E-6 | 1.4974254E-5 | 3.0103219 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1684076E-5 | 6.05605E-5 | 7.0559894E-5 | 1.1651142 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1681961E-4 | 6.085995E-4 | 6.185935E-4 | 1.0164212 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.14666925E-7 | 2.592197E-7 | 2.592197E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.914296E-7 | 1.1109411E-6 | 1.1109411E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9831386E-6 | 1.3525627E-5 | 1.3525627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9829777E-5 | 1.3636416E-4 | 1.3636416E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.9231824E-8 | 4.1462318E-8 | 4.1462318E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2527924E-7 | 1.7769564E-7 | 1.7769564E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5252737E-6 | 2.1634426E-6 | 2.1634426E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5252632E-5 | 2.197062E-5 | 2.197062E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.40909E-5 | 4.409042E-5 | 1.830169 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.032432E-4 | 1.332401E-4 | 1.2905461 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012563618 | 0.001306299 | 1.0397475 | 5.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012502613 | 0.012611237 | 1.0086882 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.40909E-5 | 4.409042E-5 | 1.830169 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.032432E-4 | 1.332401E-4 | 1.2905461 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012563618 | 0.001306299 | 1.0397475 | 5.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012502613 | 0.012611237 | 1.0086882 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.40909E-5 | 4.409042E-5 | 1.830169 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.032432E-4 | 1.332401E-4 | 1.2905461 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012563618 | 0.001306299 | 1.0397475 | 5.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012502613 | 0.012611237 | 1.0086882 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.3638054E-5 | 2.3637918E-5 | 1.7332324 | 1.0E-5 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.8447586E-5 | 7.8446414E-5 | 1.3421669 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010690069 | 7.1138324E-4 | 7.513548E-4 | 1.0561885 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01063879 | 0.0070926864 | 0.007142332 | 1.0069995 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.3638054E-5 | 2.3637918E-5 | 1.7332324 | 1.0E-5 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.8447586E-5 | 7.8446414E-5 | 1.3421669 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010690069 | 7.1138324E-4 | 7.513548E-4 | 1.0561885 | 4.0E-5 | 0.01063879 | 0.0070926864 | 0.007142332 | 1.0069995 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7316182E-5 | 1.04769715E-5 | 1.04769715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.42101E-5 | 4.490059E-5 | 5.490014E-5 | 1.2227042 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0313336E-4 | 5.465376E-4 | 5.7652115E-4 | 1.0548611 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008994718 | 0.00545293 | 0.005492712 | 1.0072955 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5251077E-5 | 8.414133E-6 | 8.414133E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.536012E-5 | 3.606011E-5 | 4.605975E-5 | 1.2773048 | 1.0E-5 | 7.9546886E-4 | 4.3895066E-4 | 4.6893748E-4 | 1.0683148 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007926274 | 0.0043815537 | 0.0044213785 | 1.0090892 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2997425E-5 | 6.4112146E-6 | 6.4112146E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.570206E-5 | 2.7476372E-5 | 3.7476097E-5 | 1.363939 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7796157E-4 | 3.3447813E-4 | 3.5447144E-4 | 1.0597746 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0067589693 | 0.003340207 | 0.003370107 | 1.0089514 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.035386E-5 | 4.333145E-6 | 4.333145E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.437293E-5 | 1.8570496E-5 | 2.857031E-5 | 1.5384786 | 1.0E-5 | 5.401065E-4 | 2.260732E-4 | 2.3607093E-4 | 1.0442234 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053879567 | 0.002258519 | 0.0022784737 | 1.0088353 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.816252E-6 | 3.5805879E-6 | 3.5805879E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.778339E-5 | 1.534529E-5 | 2.5345136E-5 | 1.6516558 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5991567E-4 | 1.8681347E-4 | 1.9681161E-4 | 1.0535194 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00458965 | 0.0018666228 | 0.0018865855 | 1.0106945 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.8232207E-6 | 2.5674399E-6 | 2.5674399E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9242048E-5 | 1.100327E-5 | 2.100316E-5 | 1.9088107 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5596377E-4 | 1.3395688E-4 | 1.4395555E-4 | 1.0746409 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0035539411 | 0.0013387925 | 0.0013587656 | 1.0149188 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.837013E-6 | 2.2273143E-6 | 2.2273143E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.501553E-5 | 9.5456E-6 | 1.9545503E-5 | 2.047593 | 1.0E-5 | 3.045215E-4 | 1.1621177E-4 | 1.2621061E-4 | 1.0860398 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030410455 | 0.001161539 | 0.0011815157 | 1.0171986 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.278052E-6 | 1.6275065E-6 | 1.6275065E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.833438E-5 | 6.975011E-6 | 6.975011E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.231982E-4 | 8.491768E-5 | 8.491768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022297418 | 8.4887556E-4 | 8.588671E-4 | 1.0117702 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.8803692E-6 | 8.344788E-7 | 8.344788E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0587E-6 | 3.5763337E-6 | 3.5763337E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.811026E-5 | 4.354114E-5 | 4.354114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.806695E-4 | 4.3534054E-4 | 4.3534054E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Blue Cut
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2719574E-5 | 7.271844E-5 | 3.2006955 | 5.0E-5 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.73663E-5 | 1.5736045E-4 | 1.6161697 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011848481 | 0.0012547652 | 1.0590093 | 7.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.011791152 | 0.011899855 | 1.009219 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2719574E-5 | 7.271844E-5 | 3.2006955 | 5.0E-5 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.73663E-5 | 1.5736045E-4 | 1.6161697 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011848481 | 0.0012547652 | 1.0590093 | 7.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.011791152 | 0.011899855 | 1.009219 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2719574E-5 | 7.271844E-5 | 3.2006955 | 5.0E-5 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.73663E-5 | 1.5736045E-4 | 1.6161697 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011848481 | 0.0012547652 | 1.0590093 | 7.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.011791152 | 0.011899855 | 1.009219 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2353542E-5 | 2.2353419E-5 | 1.8094745 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2942745E-5 | 7.2941686E-5 | 1.3777466 | 2.0E-5 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.443998E-4 | 6.643869E-4 | 1.0310166 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0060417196 | 0.0064265593 | 0.0064563663 | 1.0046381 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2353542E-5 | 2.2353419E-5 | 1.8094745 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2942745E-5 | 7.2941686E-5 | 1.3777466 | 2.0E-5 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.443998E-4 | 6.643869E-4 | 1.0310166 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0060417196 | 0.0064265593 | 0.0064563663 | 1.0046381 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.931326E-6 | 9.4816E-6 | 1.9481506E-5 | 2.0546644 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8276554E-5 | 4.0634844E-5 | 5.063444E-5 | 1.2460842 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6591737E-4 | 4.946261E-4 | 5.0462113E-4 | 1.0202073 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046494175 | 0.004936161 | 0.0049560624 | 1.0040318 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.345353E-6 | 7.79028E-6 | 1.7790202E-5 | 2.283641 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1479703E-5 | 3.338653E-5 | 4.3386193E-5 | 1.299512 | 1.0E-5 | 3.83198E-4 | 4.064132E-4 | 4.164091E-4 | 1.0245955 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038253788 | 0.0040574907 | 0.00407741 | 1.0049092 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.2775666E-6 | 6.655149E-6 | 1.6655082E-5 | 2.502586 | 1.0E-5 | 2.690358E-5 | 2.8521798E-5 | 3.8521513E-5 | 1.350599 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2750185E-4 | 3.472051E-4 | 3.572016E-4 | 1.0287914 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032701963 | 0.003467367 | 0.0034872978 | 1.005748 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.5234095E-6 | 5.8551113E-6 | 1.5855052E-5 | 2.7078996 | 1.0E-5 | 2.367154E-5 | 2.5093133E-5 | 3.5092882E-5 | 1.3985054 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8816288E-4 | 3.0547334E-4 | 3.154703E-4 | 1.032726 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002877895 | 0.0030512505 | 0.0030711896 | 1.0065347 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.7780054E-6 | 5.0654203E-6 | 1.506537E-5 | 2.9741597 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0477004E-5 | 2.1708804E-5 | 3.1708587E-5 | 1.4606326 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4927902E-4 | 2.642797E-4 | 2.7427703E-4 | 1.0378287 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024899957 | 0.002640346 | 0.0026503198 | 1.0037774 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.883171E-6 | 4.118487E-6 | 1.41184455E-5 | 3.428066 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6642054E-5 | 1.7650578E-5 | 2.7650402E-5 | 1.5665437 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0259817E-4 | 2.1488148E-4 | 2.2487935E-4 | 1.0465273 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020241356 | 0.0021474129 | 0.0021573913 | 1.0046468 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.8358215E-6 | 3.0097158E-6 | 3.0097158E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2153464E-5 | 1.2898756E-5 | 1.2898756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4795837E-4 | 1.5703762E-4 | 1.5703762E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001478599 | 0.0015699116 | 0.0015699116 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Rose Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.9714607E-5 | 9.9712124E-5 | 2.0056906 | 5.0E-5 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.1304654E-4 | 2.630359E-4 | 1.2346405 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0023933933 | 0.0025909478 | 0.0026507925 | 1.0230975 | 6.0E-5 | 0.023677798 | 0.025618518 | 0.025715956 | 1.0038034 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.9714607E-5 | 6.971361E-5 | 1.4022763 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.1304654E-4 | 2.3304229E-4 | 1.0938562 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023933933 | 0.0025909478 | 0.00262087 | 1.0115488 | 3.0E-5 | 0.023677798 | 0.025618518 | 0.02567698 | 1.002282 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8844734E-5 | 2.9669678E-5 | 3.9669383E-5 | 1.3370345 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2361443E-4 | 1.2714976E-4 | 1.371485E-4 | 1.0786374 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015039665 | 0.001546976 | 0.0015669451 | 1.0129085 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0149382865 | 0.015364873 | 0.015404259 | 1.0025634 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3171577E-5 | 2.3162425E-5 | 2.3162425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9302975E-5 | 9.926383E-5 | 9.926383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012083431 | 0.0012078804 | 0.0012178684 | 1.008269 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012017938 | 0.012012152 | 0.012041792 | 1.0024675 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0066604E-5 | 1.9668067E-5 | 1.9668067E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.599689E-5 | 8.428905E-5 | 8.428905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010465092 | 0.001025746 | 0.001025746 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010415946 | 0.010211479 | 0.010221377 | 1.0009693 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.776989E-5 | 1.7115402E-5 | 1.7115402E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.615444E-5 | 7.33497E-5 | 7.33497E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.267859E-4 | 8.926737E-4 | 8.926737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009229303 | 0.008874663 | 0.008884574 | 1.0011168 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5227364E-5 | 1.4340872E-5 | 1.4340872E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.52585E-5 | 6.145947E-5 | 6.145947E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.942326E-4 | 7.480173E-4 | 7.480173E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007914 | 0.0074410336 | 0.007450959 | 1.001334 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2703898E-5 | 1.1674277E-5 | 1.1674277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4444143E-5 | 5.0031682E-5 | 5.0031682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.626558E-4 | 6.089697E-4 | 6.089697E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006606833 | 0.0060623093 | 0.006072249 | 1.0016395 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1554917E-5 | 1.0610384E-5 | 1.0610384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9520135E-5 | 4.547231E-5 | 4.547231E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0274085E-4 | 5.5348873E-4 | 5.5348873E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060110865 | 0.005504414 | 0.005514359 | 1.0018067 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.732078E-6 | 7.882285E-6 | 7.882285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7422655E-5 | 3.37808E-5 | 3.37808E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5552556E-4 | 4.112066E-4 | 4.112066E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045459294 | 0.004089515 | 0.0040994743 | 1.0024353 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.9337494E-6 | 5.107436E-6 | 5.107436E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5430107E-5 | 2.1888829E-5 | 2.1888829E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0956755E-4 | 2.6646405E-4 | 2.6646405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030913667 | 0.002661461 | 0.0026714345 | 1.0037473 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.013409E-6 | 4.17734E-6 | 4.17734E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1485863E-5 | 1.7902763E-5 | 1.7902763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6155898E-4 | 2.1794444E-4 | 2.1794444E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026125133 | 0.0021773188 | 0.002187297 | 1.0045828 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.120763E-6 | 3.2820917E-6 | 3.2820917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7660293E-5 | 1.4066032E-5 | 1.4066032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1499286E-4 | 1.7124058E-4 | 1.7124058E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021478499 | 0.0017110958 | 0.0017210786 | 1.0058342 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.2081239E-6 | 2.4404965E-6 | 2.4404965E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.374903E-5 | 1.0459229E-5 | 1.0459229E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6738157E-4 | 1.2733374E-4 | 1.2733374E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016725556 | 0.0012726148 | 0.0012826021 | 1.0078478 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.4194755E-6 | 1.7680321E-6 | 1.7680321E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0369139E-5 | 7.5772587E-6 | 7.5772587E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2623696E-4 | 9.224927E-5 | 9.224927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012616527 | 9.221151E-4 | 9.3210593E-4 | 1.0108346 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3842889E-6 | 9.3782967E-7 | 9.3782967E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9326535E-6 | 4.019264E-6 | 4.019264E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.222766E-5 | 4.8933474E-5 | 4.8933474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.220419E-4 | 4.8923056E-4 | 4.992256E-4 | 1.0204302 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0021575E-6 | 6.4113493E-7 | 6.4113493E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2949537E-6 | 2.7477186E-6 | 2.7477186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2289808E-5 | 3.345298E-5 | 3.345298E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2277505E-4 | 3.344816E-4 | 3.4447823E-4 | 1.029887 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 8.7620116E-8 | 6.449304E-8 | 6.449304E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7551473E-7 | 2.763987E-7 | 2.763987E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5718825E-6 | 3.3651493E-6 | 3.3651493E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5717883E-5 | 3.3651013E-5 | 3.3651013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.660123E-6 | 5.665979E-5 | 8.5073185 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8543072E-5 | 9.854107E-5 | 3.452364 | 7.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4745657E-4 | 4.4742183E-4 | 1.2877058 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035491167 | 0.0036587263 | 1.0308837 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.660123E-6 | 5.665979E-5 | 8.5073185 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8543072E-5 | 9.854107E-5 | 3.452364 | 7.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4745657E-4 | 4.4742183E-4 | 1.2877058 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035491167 | 0.0036587263 | 1.0308837 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.660123E-6 | 5.665979E-5 | 8.5073185 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8543072E-5 | 9.854107E-5 | 3.452364 | 7.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4745657E-4 | 4.4742183E-4 | 1.2877058 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035491167 | 0.0036587263 | 1.0308837 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.660123E-6 | 5.665979E-5 | 8.5073185 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8543072E-5 | 9.854107E-5 | 3.452364 | 7.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4745657E-4 | 4.4742183E-4 | 1.2877058 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035491167 | 0.0036587263 | 1.0308837 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.660123E-6 | 5.665979E-5 | 8.5073185 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.8543072E-5 | 9.854107E-5 | 3.452364 | 7.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4745657E-4 | 4.4742183E-4 | 1.2877058 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035491167 | 0.0036587263 | 1.0308837 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 6.6561875E-6 | 6.620341E-6 | 5.662001E-5 | 8.552431 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8526205E-5 | 2.8372582E-5 | 9.83706E-5 | 3.4671006 | 7.0E-5 | 3.472512E-4 | 3.453815E-4 | 4.4534696E-4 | 1.2894349 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0034670907 | 0.0035284322 | 0.003638044 | 1.0310653 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 6.6561875E-6 | 6.620341E-6 | 5.662001E-5 | 8.552431 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8526205E-5 | 2.8372582E-5 | 9.83706E-5 | 3.4671006 | 7.0E-5 | 3.472512E-4 | 3.453815E-4 | 4.4534696E-4 | 1.2894349 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0034670907 | 0.0035284322 | 0.003638044 | 1.0310653 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 6.5802237E-6 | 6.539518E-6 | 5.653919E-5 | 8.645774 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8200653E-5 | 2.8026205E-5 | 9.802424E-5 | 3.4975924 | 7.0E-5 | 3.4328885E-4 | 3.4116567E-4 | 4.4113156E-4 | 1.2930127 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0034275902 | 0.0034864065 | 0.0035960232 | 1.0314411 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 6.575632E-6 | 6.5340073E-6 | 5.653368E-5 | 8.652222 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8180975E-5 | 2.8002589E-5 | 9.800063E-5 | 3.4996989 | 7.0E-5 | 3.4304935E-4 | 3.4087826E-4 | 4.4084416E-4 | 1.2932599 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0034252026 | 0.0034835413 | 0.0035931582 | 1.0314671 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 6.570433E-6 | 6.525401E-6 | 5.6525074E-5 | 8.662313 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8158694E-5 | 2.7965707E-5 | 9.796375E-5 | 3.5029957 | 7.0E-5 | 3.4277816E-4 | 3.4042934E-4 | 4.4039532E-4 | 1.2936467 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0034224992 | 0.0034790665 | 0.003588684 | 1.0315077 | 1.1E-4 |
7.0 | 6.5643826E-6 | 6.5155223E-6 | 5.6515197E-5 | 8.673932 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8132765E-5 | 2.7923368E-5 | 9.792142E-5 | 3.5067909 | 7.0E-5 | 3.424626E-4 | 3.3991406E-4 | 4.3988007E-4 | 1.294092 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0034193532 | 0.0034739296 | 0.0035835474 | 1.0315545 | 1.1E-4 |
7.1 | 6.557402E-6 | 6.504234E-6 | 5.6503908E-5 | 8.68725 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8102848E-5 | 2.7874992E-5 | 9.787304E-5 | 3.5111415 | 7.0E-5 | 3.4209844E-4 | 3.3932526E-4 | 4.392913E-4 | 1.2946025 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0034157229 | 0.0034680606 | 0.0035776792 | 1.031608 | 1.1E-4 |
7.2 | 6.546394E-6 | 6.4862006E-6 | 5.6485875E-5 | 8.708623 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8055672E-5 | 2.7797707E-5 | 9.779576E-5 | 3.5181234 | 7.0E-5 | 3.4152428E-4 | 3.383846E-4 | 4.3835075E-4 | 1.2954217 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0034099987 | 0.0034586883 | 0.0035683077 | 1.0316939 | 1.1E-4 |
7.3 | 6.5364216E-6 | 6.4669857E-6 | 5.6466662E-5 | 8.731527 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8012933E-5 | 2.771536E-5 | 9.771342E-5 | 3.5256054 | 7.0E-5 | 3.4100408E-4 | 3.373823E-4 | 4.373486E-4 | 1.2962997 | 1.0E-4 | 0.003404813 | 0.0034487103 | 0.003558331 | 1.031786 | 1.1E-4 |
7.4 | 6.5269523E-6 | 6.4480723E-6 | 5.644775E-5 | 8.754206 | 5.0E-5 | 2.7972354E-5 | 2.7634303E-5 | 9.763237E-5 | 3.5330136 | 7.0E-5 | 3.4051016E-4 | 3.3639578E-4 | 4.3636214E-4 | 1.2971689 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0033998888 | 0.0034388923 | 0.0035485139 | 1.031877 | 1.1E-4 |
7.5 | 6.5111835E-6 | 6.424346E-6 | 5.6424025E-5 | 8.782844 | 5.0E-5 | 2.7904773E-5 | 2.753262E-5 | 9.753069E-5 | 3.5423687 | 7.0E-5 | 3.3968766E-4 | 3.3515817E-4 | 4.3512465E-4 | 1.2982666 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0033916887 | 0.0034265644 | 0.0035361873 | 1.0319921 | 1.1E-4 |
7.6 | 6.4768806E-6 | 6.383454E-6 | 5.6383135E-5 | 8.8327 | 5.0E-5 | 2.7757764E-5 | 2.7357375E-5 | 9.7355456E-5 | 3.558655 | 7.0E-5 | 3.3789838E-4 | 3.330252E-4 | 4.329919E-4 | 1.3001776 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0033738504 | 0.0034052972 | 0.0035149225 | 1.0321926 | 1.1E-4 |
7.7 | 6.1655364E-6 | 6.1759456E-6 | 5.6175635E-5 | 9.095877 | 5.0E-5 | 2.642346E-5 | 2.646807E-5 | 9.646622E-5 | 3.6446261 | 7.0E-5 | 3.2165812E-4 | 3.2220117E-4 | 4.2216893E-4 | 1.3102651 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0032119295 | 0.0032969362 | 0.0034065736 | 1.0332543 | 1.1E-4 |
7.8 | 5.5043524E-6 | 5.7370175E-6 | 5.573673E-5 | 9.71528 | 5.0E-5 | 2.3589868E-5 | 2.4586987E-5 | 9.4585266E-5 | 3.8469646 | 7.0E-5 | 2.871688E-4 | 2.993055E-4 | 3.9927557E-4 | 1.3340068 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0028679797 | 0.0030670585 | 0.0031767213 | 1.035755 | 1.1E-4 |
7.9 | 3.889249E-6 | 4.0766436E-6 | 5.407644E-5 | 13.264941 | 5.0E-5 | 1.6668104E-5 | 1.7471213E-5 | 8.746999E-5 | 5.0065207 | 7.0E-5 | 2.0291525E-4 | 2.126913E-4 | 3.1267002E-4 | 1.470065 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0020273007 | 0.0021941073 | 0.002303866 | 1.0500243 | 1.1E-4 |
8.0 | 2.668535E-6 | 2.5313454E-6 | 1.253132E-5 | 4.9504585 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1436528E-5 | 1.0848577E-5 | 2.0848469E-5 | 1.9217699 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3923083E-4 | 1.3207346E-4 | 1.4207214E-4 | 1.0757054 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013914363 | 0.0013755665 | 0.001395539 | 1.0145195 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.5911459E-6 | 1.2185134E-6 | 1.2185134E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8191785E-6 | 5.2221894E-6 | 5.2221894E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3020335E-5 | 6.357832E-5 | 6.357832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.298933E-4 | 6.6911156E-4 | 6.791049E-4 | 1.0149351 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 6.1294963E-7 | 2.1802066E-7 | 2.1802066E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6269242E-6 | 9.3437393E-7 | 9.3437393E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1982334E-5 | 1.1375943E-5 | 1.1375943E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1977732E-4 | 1.2778955E-4 | 1.2778955E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.762871E-7 | 4.7516316E-8 | 4.7516316E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5551594E-7 | 2.0364133E-7 | 2.0364133E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1983675E-6 | 2.4793305E-6 | 2.4793305E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.197987E-5 | 2.8671833E-5 | 2.8671833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ventura-Pitas Point
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.373519E-5 | 5.373451E-5 | 1.5928328 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4457281E-4 | 1.6456992E-4 | 1.1383185 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017590097 | 0.0017989393 | 1.0227001 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.017476497 | 0.01757475 | 1.005622 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.373519E-5 | 5.373451E-5 | 1.5928328 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4457281E-4 | 1.6456992E-4 | 1.1383185 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017590097 | 0.0017989393 | 1.0227001 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.017476497 | 0.01757475 | 1.005622 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.373519E-5 | 5.373451E-5 | 1.5928328 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4457281E-4 | 1.6456992E-4 | 1.1383185 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017590097 | 0.0017989393 | 1.0227001 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.017476497 | 0.01757475 | 1.005622 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.373519E-5 | 5.373451E-5 | 1.5928328 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4457281E-4 | 1.6456992E-4 | 1.1383185 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017590097 | 0.0017989393 | 1.0227001 | 4.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.017476497 | 0.01757475 | 1.005622 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.7019594E-5 | 2.7019423E-5 | 1.5875481 | 1.0E-5 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.2939205E-5 | 8.293848E-5 | 1.1370904 | 1.0E-5 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.8769617E-4 | 8.976873E-4 | 1.0112551 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009738282 | 0.008843943 | 0.008873677 | 1.0033622 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.7019594E-5 | 2.7019423E-5 | 1.5875481 | 1.0E-5 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.2939205E-5 | 8.293848E-5 | 1.1370904 | 1.0E-5 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.8769617E-4 | 8.976873E-4 | 1.0112551 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009738282 | 0.008843943 | 0.008873677 | 1.0033622 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.2122258E-5 | 2.2122136E-5 | 1.8249189 | 1.0E-5 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.1951512E-5 | 6.1950996E-5 | 1.1924772 | 1.0E-5 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.323284E-4 | 6.4232206E-4 | 1.0158045 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074657016 | 0.006305652 | 0.006325526 | 1.0031518 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.2122258E-5 | 2.2122136E-5 | 1.8249189 | 1.0E-5 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.1951512E-5 | 6.1950996E-5 | 1.1924772 | 1.0E-5 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.323284E-4 | 6.4232206E-4 | 1.0158045 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074657016 | 0.006305652 | 0.006325526 | 1.0031518 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.3663846E-5 | 1.1344401E-5 | 2.1344287E-5 | 1.8814821 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8558027E-5 | 4.8617967E-5 | 5.861748E-5 | 1.2056752 | 1.0E-5 | 7.127108E-4 | 5.917649E-4 | 6.01759E-4 | 1.0168886 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007104293 | 0.0059022107 | 0.0059121517 | 1.0016843 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3644157E-5 | 1.1322501E-5 | 2.1322388E-5 | 1.883187 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8473648E-5 | 4.8524114E-5 | 5.852363E-5 | 1.206073 | 1.0E-5 | 7.116841E-4 | 5.906229E-4 | 6.00617E-4 | 1.0169213 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007094092 | 0.0058908514 | 0.0059007923 | 1.0016875 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3568845E-5 | 1.12420685E-5 | 2.1241956E-5 | 1.889506 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8150898E-5 | 4.8179416E-5 | 5.817893E-5 | 1.2075475 | 1.0E-5 | 7.077572E-4 | 5.8642845E-4 | 5.964226E-4 | 1.0170424 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007055073 | 0.005849128 | 0.0058590695 | 1.0016997 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.306572E-5 | 1.0720521E-5 | 2.0720414E-5 | 1.9327805 | 1.0E-5 | 5.599474E-5 | 4.594429E-5 | 5.594383E-5 | 1.2176449 | 1.0E-5 | 6.815227E-4 | 5.5923004E-4 | 5.692244E-4 | 1.0178717 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0067943637 | 0.005578536 | 0.0055884803 | 1.0017825 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.232604E-5 | 9.995121E-6 | 1.9995021E-5 | 2.000478 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2824813E-5 | 4.283554E-5 | 5.2835112E-5 | 1.233441 | 1.0E-5 | 6.429523E-4 | 5.2139966E-4 | 5.3139444E-4 | 1.0191691 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064109527 | 0.005202059 | 0.005212007 | 1.0019124 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0917261E-5 | 8.843812E-6 | 1.8843724E-5 | 2.1307242 | 1.0E-5 | 4.678742E-5 | 3.7901507E-5 | 4.790113E-5 | 1.2638317 | 1.0E-5 | 5.69488E-4 | 4.6135474E-4 | 4.713501E-4 | 1.0216653 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0056803077 | 0.004604239 | 0.004614193 | 1.0021619 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.039959E-5 | 8.42354E-6 | 1.8423456E-5 | 2.1871393 | 1.0E-5 | 4.456891E-5 | 3.6100395E-5 | 4.6100035E-5 | 1.2769953 | 1.0E-5 | 5.424914E-4 | 4.394352E-4 | 4.494308E-4 | 1.0227464 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0054116896 | 0.0043859277 | 0.004395884 | 1.00227 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 9.015877E-6 | 7.29752E-6 | 1.7297447E-5 | 2.3703187 | 1.0E-5 | 3.86389E-5 | 3.1274718E-5 | 4.1274405E-5 | 1.3197371 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7032707E-4 | 3.8070456E-4 | 3.9070076E-4 | 1.026257 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004693329 | 0.003800772 | 0.003810734 | 1.002621 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.900162E-6 | 3.874119E-6 | 1.387408E-5 | 3.581222 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1000526E-5 | 1.6603262E-5 | 2.6603097E-5 | 1.6022813 | 1.0E-5 | 2.556514E-4 | 2.0212609E-4 | 2.1212407E-4 | 1.0494641 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025535747 | 0.002019436 | 0.002029416 | 1.0049418 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.8850626E-6 | 3.12676E-6 | 1.3126729E-5 | 4.198189 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6650163E-5 | 1.3400332E-5 | 2.3400198E-5 | 1.7462401 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0269687E-4 | 1.6313691E-4 | 1.7313528E-4 | 1.0612882 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002025121 | 0.0016301809 | 0.0016401645 | 1.0061243 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.4654719E-6 | 2.029902E-6 | 1.2029882E-5 | 5.9263363 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0566265E-5 | 8.699551E-6 | 1.8699464E-5 | 2.1494746 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2863669E-4 | 1.0591193E-4 | 1.1591087E-4 | 1.094408 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012856225 | 0.0010586192 | 0.0010686086 | 1.0094362 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.095894E-7 | 3.2765078E-7 | 1.0327648E-5 | 31.52029 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7553821E-6 | 1.4042168E-6 | 1.1404203E-5 | 8.121397 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1371567E-5 | 1.709621E-5 | 2.7096039E-5 | 1.5849149 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1369511E-4 | 1.7094925E-4 | 1.8094754E-4 | 1.0584869 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.6836056E-9 | 5.6836056E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.4358311E-8 | 2.4358311E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.965624E-7 | 2.965624E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.9656223E-6 | 2.9656223E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Channel Islands Thrust
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092022E-5 | 5.40913E-5 | 2.2451954 | 3.0E-5 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03248036E-4 | 1.432439E-4 | 1.3873765 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564266 | 0.0013263385 | 1.0556436 | 7.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.0125038205 | 0.0126025705 | 1.0078975 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092022E-5 | 5.40913E-5 | 2.2451954 | 3.0E-5 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03248036E-4 | 1.432439E-4 | 1.3873765 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564266 | 0.0013263385 | 1.0556436 | 7.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.0125038205 | 0.0126025705 | 1.0078975 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092022E-5 | 5.40913E-5 | 2.2451954 | 3.0E-5 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03248036E-4 | 1.432439E-4 | 1.3873765 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564266 | 0.0013263385 | 1.0556436 | 7.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.0125038205 | 0.0126025705 | 1.0078975 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092022E-5 | 5.40913E-5 | 2.2451954 | 3.0E-5 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03248036E-4 | 1.432439E-4 | 1.3873765 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564266 | 0.0013263385 | 1.0556436 | 7.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.0125038205 | 0.0126025705 | 1.0078975 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092022E-5 | 5.40913E-5 | 2.2451954 | 3.0E-5 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03248036E-4 | 1.432439E-4 | 1.3873765 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564266 | 0.0013263385 | 1.0556436 | 7.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.0125038205 | 0.0126025705 | 1.0078975 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092022E-5 | 5.40913E-5 | 2.2451954 | 3.0E-5 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03248036E-4 | 1.432439E-4 | 1.3873765 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564266 | 0.0013263385 | 1.0556436 | 7.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.0125038205 | 0.0126025705 | 1.0078975 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092022E-5 | 5.40913E-5 | 2.2451954 | 3.0E-5 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03248036E-4 | 1.432439E-4 | 1.3873765 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564266 | 0.0013263385 | 1.0556436 | 7.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.0125038205 | 0.0126025705 | 1.0078975 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.0601296E-5 | 1.1379544E-5 | 1.1379544E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5433335E-5 | 4.876859E-5 | 5.8768102E-5 | 1.20504 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5301044E-4 | 5.936007E-4 | 6.235829E-4 | 1.050509 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005516363 | 0.005920653 | 0.0059802984 | 1.010074 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0246747E-5 | 1.0996669E-5 | 1.0996669E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.391389E-5 | 4.7127756E-5 | 5.7127287E-5 | 1.2121792 | 1.0E-5 | 5.345204E-4 | 5.7363417E-4 | 6.0361694E-4 | 1.0522681 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0053323656 | 0.005722025 | 0.0057816817 | 1.0104258 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.049551E-6 | 9.699645E-6 | 9.699645E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.878322E-5 | 4.1569267E-5 | 5.156885E-5 | 1.2405523 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7208337E-4 | 5.059924E-4 | 5.359772E-4 | 1.0592594 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0047108172 | 0.0050488203 | 0.005098568 | 1.0098534 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.6542195E-6 | 9.274603E-6 | 9.274603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7088983E-5 | 3.9747716E-5 | 4.974732E-5 | 1.2515768 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5146482E-4 | 4.8382508E-4 | 5.1381055E-4 | 1.0619758 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004505487 | 0.0048281294 | 0.0048778877 | 1.010306 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.391028E-6 | 8.992925E-6 | 8.992925E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5961057E-5 | 3.8540562E-5 | 4.8540176E-5 | 1.2594569 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3773788E-4 | 4.6913436E-4 | 4.991203E-4 | 1.0639175 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004368766 | 0.0046818503 | 0.0047316165 | 1.0106295 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.965188E-6 | 6.3716957E-6 | 6.3716957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556484E-5 | 2.7306984E-5 | 2.7306984E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1120746E-4 | 3.3241237E-4 | 3.524057E-4 | 1.0601462 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00310772 | 0.0033192094 | 0.0033491098 | 1.0090083 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.877518E-6 | 5.206007E-6 | 5.206007E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0903482E-5 | 2.231127E-5 | 2.231127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5447016E-4 | 2.716063E-4 | 2.9160085E-4 | 1.073616 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0025417898 | 0.0027127897 | 0.0027427082 | 1.0110288 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.8829853E-6 | 4.141863E-6 | 4.141863E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.664126E-5 | 1.7750723E-5 | 1.7750723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0258849E-4 | 2.1609403E-4 | 2.2609187E-4 | 1.0462662 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002024039 | 0.002158881 | 0.0021788375 | 1.0092441 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3489616E-6 | 1.4277905E-6 | 1.4277905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7812517E-6 | 6.119088E-6 | 6.119088E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.038446E-5 | 7.449739E-5 | 7.449739E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.036218E-4 | 7.4472814E-4 | 7.547207E-4 | 1.0134177 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.058192E-7 | 6.35378E-7 | 6.35378E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5963652E-6 | 2.7230458E-6 | 2.7230458E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.161029E-5 | 3.3152595E-5 | 3.3152595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1605794E-4 | 3.314781E-4 | 3.414748E-4 | 1.0301579 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.2170494E-7 | 2.2607924E-7 | 2.2607924E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5016367E-7 | 9.689107E-7 | 9.689107E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1568181E-5 | 1.17964355E-5 | 1.17964355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1567579E-4 | 1.179592E-4 | 1.179592E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.1613102E-8 | 1.5466837E-8 | 1.5466837E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.262757E-8 | 6.628645E-8 | 6.628645E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277401E-6 | 8.070372E-7 | 8.070372E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277344E-5 | 8.07035E-6 | 8.07035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Deep Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.311252E-5 | 5.3111828E-5 | 2.297968 | 3.0E-5 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9052755E-5 | 1.2904979E-4 | 1.3028389 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058078 | 0.0012657355 | 1.0496992 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.01204243 | 0.012141226 | 1.008204 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.311252E-5 | 5.3111828E-5 | 2.297968 | 3.0E-5 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9052755E-5 | 1.2904979E-4 | 1.3028389 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058078 | 0.0012657355 | 1.0496992 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.01204243 | 0.012141226 | 1.008204 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.311252E-5 | 5.3111828E-5 | 2.297968 | 3.0E-5 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9052755E-5 | 1.2904979E-4 | 1.3028389 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058078 | 0.0012657355 | 1.0496992 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.01204243 | 0.012141226 | 1.008204 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.311252E-5 | 5.3111828E-5 | 2.297968 | 3.0E-5 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9052755E-5 | 1.2904979E-4 | 1.3028389 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058078 | 0.0012657355 | 1.0496992 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.01204243 | 0.012141226 | 1.008204 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.311252E-5 | 5.3111828E-5 | 2.297968 | 3.0E-5 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.9052755E-5 | 1.2904979E-4 | 1.3028389 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058078 | 0.0012657355 | 1.0496992 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.01204243 | 0.012141226 | 1.008204 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.7190405E-5 | 2.0050558E-5 | 3.0050356E-5 | 1.4987292 | 1.0E-5 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.593096E-5 | 9.59301E-5 | 1.1163625 | 1.0E-5 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.0010462092 | 0.0010861674 | 1.0381932 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008929676 | 0.010462061 | 0.010531329 | 1.0066209 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.7190405E-5 | 2.0050558E-5 | 3.0050356E-5 | 1.4987292 | 1.0E-5 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.593096E-5 | 9.59301E-5 | 1.1163625 | 1.0E-5 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.0010462092 | 0.0010861674 | 1.0381932 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008929676 | 0.010462061 | 0.010531329 | 1.0066209 | 7.0E-5 |
Calaveras (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5950744E-4 | 3.0713255E-4 | 3.271264E-4 | 1.0650985 | 2.0E-5 | 6.834242E-4 | 0.001315409 | 0.0013453695 | 1.0227766 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00828899 | 0.015858326 | 0.015917374 | 1.0037235 | 6.0E-5 | 0.079865426 | 0.14440185 | 0.14447029 | 1.000474 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3584697E-4 | 2.603514E-4 | 2.8034617E-4 | 1.0767993 | 2.0E-5 | 5.8207137E-4 | 0.0011151754 | 0.001145142 | 1.0268716 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007063716 | 0.013461385 | 0.013520577 | 1.0043972 | 6.0E-5 | 0.06843361 | 0.124029994 | 0.124100074 | 1.000565 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.14676266E-4 | 2.1714384E-4 | 2.2714166E-4 | 1.0460424 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9137714E-4 | 9.30223E-4 | 9.502044E-4 | 1.0214802 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0059661185 | 0.011245058 | 0.011294496 | 1.0043964 | 5.0E-5 | 0.058084648 | 0.10502057 | 0.10508321 | 1.0005965 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.691518E-5 | 1.5987935E-4 | 1.6987773E-4 | 1.0625372 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7244044E-4 | 6.849807E-4 | 7.04967E-4 | 1.0291779 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004525038 | 0.008301122 | 0.008350708 | 1.0059733 | 5.0E-5 | 0.044339992 | 0.0793365 | 0.07940095 | 1.0008123 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.50982E-5 | 1.5694331E-4 | 1.6694174E-4 | 1.0637072 | 1.0E-5 | 3.646556E-4 | 6.724042E-4 | 6.923908E-4 | 1.029724 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0044306475 | 0.008149155 | 0.008198748 | 1.0060856 | 5.0E-5 | 0.04343345 | 0.07794268 | 0.07800722 | 1.0008281 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.4062965E-5 | 1.5518743E-4 | 1.6518588E-4 | 1.0644282 | 1.0E-5 | 3.602201E-4 | 6.6488347E-4 | 6.848702E-4 | 1.0300604 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004376863 | 0.008058365 | 0.008107962 | 1.0061548 | 5.0E-5 | 0.042916555 | 0.07711388 | 0.077178486 | 1.0008378 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.194716E-5 | 1.5154552E-4 | 1.6154401E-4 | 1.0659767 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5115483E-4 | 6.492843E-4 | 6.6927134E-4 | 1.0307832 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042669317 | 0.007870209 | 0.007919815 | 1.0063031 | 5.0E-5 | 0.04185927 | 0.07539919 | 0.07546391 | 1.0008584 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.012326E-5 | 1.4822475E-4 | 1.5822327E-4 | 1.0674552 | 1.0E-5 | 3.433402E-4 | 6.350612E-4 | 6.550485E-4 | 1.031473 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004172157 | 0.007698701 | 0.007748316 | 1.0064446 | 5.0E-5 | 0.040946912 | 0.07384132 | 0.07390615 | 1.000878 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.119773E-5 | 1.2881879E-4 | 1.388175E-4 | 1.0776185 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0509746E-4 | 5.519494E-4 | 5.719383E-4 | 1.0362152 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0037082357 | 0.006696066 | 0.006745731 | 1.0074171 | 5.0E-5 | 0.036469642 | 0.06468575 | 0.06475122 | 1.0010122 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.7343088E-5 | 9.919277E-5 | 9.919277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4573295E-4 | 4.25043E-4 | 4.3503873E-4 | 1.023517 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029876942 | 0.005162694 | 0.0052024876 | 1.0077078 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02947844 | 0.05051036 | 0.050567333 | 1.0011278 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.8746577E-5 | 8.2850725E-5 | 8.2850725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0889717E-4 | 3.5502657E-4 | 3.65023E-4 | 1.0281569 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025403565 | 0.004313948 | 0.0043438184 | 1.0069242 | 3.0E-5 | 0.025115121 | 0.042485245 | 0.042523544 | 1.0009015 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.2998014E-5 | 7.265203E-5 | 7.265203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8426418E-4 | 3.1132903E-4 | 3.213259E-4 | 1.0321103 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002241108 | 0.003783903 | 0.0038137897 | 1.0078983 | 3.0E-5 | 0.022186412 | 0.037423562 | 0.037462063 | 1.0010289 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.221292E-5 | 5.390791E-5 | 5.390791E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3804805E-4 | 2.3101359E-4 | 2.4101128E-4 | 1.0432775 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016794393 | 0.0028089907 | 0.0028389066 | 1.01065 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016668037 | 0.02803602 | 0.0280749 | 1.0013868 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.3756531E-5 | 3.9473416E-5 | 3.9473416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0180973E-4 | 1.6916092E-4 | 1.6916092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012388286 | 0.0020576057 | 0.0020775646 | 1.0097001 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012319452 | 0.020643145 | 0.020672526 | 1.0014232 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.5997684E-5 | 2.7342163E-5 | 2.7342163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8559704E-5 | 1.1717545E-4 | 1.1717545E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.343947E-4 | 0.00142568 | 0.0014456514 | 1.0140084 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008312687 | 0.014376011 | 0.014395723 | 1.0013713 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3814293E-5 | 2.4783874E-5 | 2.4783874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9202768E-5 | 1.062123E-4 | 1.062123E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.205553E-4 | 0.00129237 | 0.0013123441 | 1.0154555 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007182234 | 0.013055085 | 0.013074824 | 1.0015119 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.817309E-6 | 1.6430757E-5 | 1.6430757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7787922E-5 | 7.0415634E-5 | 7.0415634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5997082E-4 | 8.569745E-4 | 8.769574E-4 | 1.0233179 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004590199 | 0.008719284 | 0.008739109 | 1.0022738 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.0352206E-6 | 7.707318E-6 | 7.707318E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7293689E-5 | 3.3030945E-5 | 3.3030945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1053031E-4 | 4.0207763E-4 | 4.220696E-4 | 1.0497216 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021033096 | 0.004165172 | 0.004185089 | 1.0047817 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.413169E-6 | 6.787282E-6 | 6.787282E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4627784E-5 | 2.9088029E-5 | 2.9088029E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7807873E-4 | 3.5408925E-4 | 3.7408218E-4 | 1.0564629 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017793609 | 0.0036665166 | 0.0036864432 | 1.0054348 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.4740732E-6 | 5.2791843E-6 | 5.2791843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06031275E-5 | 2.262488E-5 | 2.262488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2908543E-4 | 2.7542314E-4 | 2.854204E-4 | 1.0362978 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012901047 | 0.0028347955 | 0.0028447672 | 1.0035176 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5231818E-6 | 3.2889548E-6 | 3.2889548E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.527906E-6 | 1.40954435E-5 | 1.40954435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9474354E-5 | 1.7159856E-4 | 1.8159684E-4 | 1.0582656 | 1.0E-5 | 7.944594E-4 | 0.0017564303 | 0.0017664128 | 1.0056834 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0104524E-6 | 2.045782E-6 | 2.045782E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.330503E-6 | 8.767608E-6 | 8.767608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2722597E-5 | 1.0674043E-4 | 1.0674043E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.271009E-4 | 0.001092934 | 0.001092934 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Oceanic - West Huasna
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.195567E-5 | 2.7926368E-5 | 5.792553E-5 | 2.0742235 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3694567E-4 | 1.19679185E-4 | 1.596744E-4 | 1.3341869 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016660384 | 0.0014561634 | 0.0014961051 | 1.0274295 | 4.0E-5 | 0.016536033 | 0.01447077 | 0.0145693235 | 1.0068104 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 2.1156782E-5 | 1.7573117E-5 | 2.7572942E-5 | 1.569041 | 1.0E-5 | 9.066878E-5 | 7.531123E-5 | 9.530973E-5 | 1.2655447 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011033333 | 9.1653795E-4 | 9.3651965E-4 | 1.0218012 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010978713 | 0.009128587 | 0.009178131 | 1.0054272 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6195117E-5 | 1.3327227E-5 | 2.3327093E-5 | 1.7503337 | 1.0E-5 | 6.9405796E-5 | 5.7115452E-5 | 6.711488E-5 | 1.175074 | 1.0E-5 | 8.44688E-4 | 6.9516135E-4 | 7.051544E-4 | 1.0143751 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008414844 | 0.0069301617 | 0.006959954 | 1.0042989 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3559345E-5 | 1.1179013E-5 | 2.1178901E-5 | 1.8945234 | 1.0E-5 | 5.811018E-5 | 4.7909183E-5 | 5.7908703E-5 | 1.2087183 | 1.0E-5 | 7.072618E-4 | 5.8313913E-4 | 5.931333E-4 | 1.0171386 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0070501505 | 0.005816208 | 0.0058460333 | 1.005128 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2120619E-5 | 1.0000874E-5 | 2.0000774E-5 | 1.9999026 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1944477E-5 | 4.2860185E-5 | 5.285976E-5 | 1.2333068 | 1.0E-5 | 6.322405E-4 | 5.216983E-4 | 5.316931E-4 | 1.0191581 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006304447 | 0.005204804 | 0.0052346475 | 1.0057338 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.13511915E-5 | 9.367378E-6 | 1.9367284E-5 | 2.0675244 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8647056E-5 | 4.0145293E-5 | 5.0144892E-5 | 1.2490852 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9211696E-4 | 4.886598E-4 | 4.9865484E-4 | 1.0204542 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0059054173 | 0.0048759114 | 0.0048958138 | 1.0040818 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.850605E-6 | 8.1353155E-6 | 1.8135233E-5 | 2.2291987 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2216197E-5 | 3.4865174E-5 | 4.4864824E-5 | 1.2868092 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1386096E-4 | 4.2440102E-4 | 4.343968E-4 | 1.0235527 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051267436 | 0.0042359377 | 0.004255853 | 1.0047015 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.8558645E-6 | 7.318341E-6 | 1.7318267E-5 | 2.36642 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7953152E-5 | 3.1363943E-5 | 4.136363E-5 | 1.3188275 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6198163E-4 | 3.8178926E-4 | 3.9178543E-4 | 1.0261824 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004610224 | 0.0038113592 | 0.003831283 | 1.0052274 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.67136E-6 | 6.39169E-6 | 1.6391627E-5 | 2.5645216 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2876844E-5 | 2.739267E-5 | 3.7392398E-5 | 1.3650512 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0020206E-4 | 3.3345487E-4 | 3.4345154E-4 | 1.0299791 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003994821 | 0.0033295664 | 0.0033494998 | 1.0059868 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.534529E-6 | 5.458261E-6 | 1.5458207E-5 | 2.8320754 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8004823E-5 | 2.3392338E-5 | 3.3392105E-5 | 1.4274805 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4090536E-4 | 2.8476462E-4 | 2.9476176E-4 | 1.0351068 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034038287 | 0.002844014 | 0.0028539856 | 1.0035062 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.460525E-6 | 4.5699203E-6 | 1.4569874E-5 | 3.1882122 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3402039E-5 | 1.9585226E-5 | 2.958503E-5 | 1.510579 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8488258E-4 | 2.3842414E-4 | 2.4842177E-4 | 1.0419321 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028451765 | 0.0023816973 | 0.0023916736 | 1.0041887 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.4825083E-6 | 3.7524153E-6 | 1.37523775E-5 | 3.66494 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9210609E-5 | 1.6081682E-5 | 2.6081521E-5 | 1.6218156 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3386406E-4 | 1.9577699E-4 | 2.0577502E-4 | 1.0510685 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002336181 | 0.001956057 | 0.0019660376 | 1.0051023 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.821708E-6 | 2.424941E-6 | 2.424941E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2092979E-5 | 1.0392562E-5 | 1.0392562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4722206E-4 | 1.265221E-4 | 1.265221E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014712457 | 0.0012645032 | 0.0012645032 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.0644757E-6 | 1.7687502E-6 | 1.7687502E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.847723E-6 | 7.580336E-6 | 7.580336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0771569E-4 | 9.228668E-5 | 9.228668E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001076635 | 9.224854E-4 | 9.224854E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6980367E-6 | 1.4379966E-6 | 1.4379966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.27728E-6 | 6.1628284E-6 | 6.1628284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8597284E-5 | 7.502986E-5 | 7.502986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8561967E-4 | 7.5004686E-4 | 7.5004686E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3637683E-6 | 1.1302697E-6 | 1.1302697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.844708E-6 | 4.844004E-6 | 4.844004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1156996E-5 | 5.897415E-5 | 5.897415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1134215E-4 | 5.8958656E-4 | 5.8958656E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.802994E-7 | 7.6772847E-7 | 7.6772847E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2012766E-6 | 3.2902608E-6 | 3.2902608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1149345E-5 | 4.005819E-5 | 4.005819E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.113757E-4 | 4.0051117E-4 | 4.0051117E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.986191E-7 | 4.0050708E-7 | 4.0050708E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5655079E-6 | 1.7164577E-6 | 1.7164577E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1234613E-5 | 2.0897673E-5 | 2.0897673E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.123022E-4 | 2.0895849E-4 | 2.0895849E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.9189815E-7 | 1.5285202E-7 | 1.5285202E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2509914E-6 | 6.5507993E-7 | 6.5507993E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5230714E-5 | 7.975569E-6 | 7.975569E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.522967E-4 | 7.97542E-5 | 7.97542E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.2057845E-7 | 4.6208047E-8 | 4.6208047E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1676466E-7 | 1.9803447E-7 | 1.9803447E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2915915E-6 | 2.411067E-6 | 2.411067E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2914136E-5 | 2.4111772E-5 | 2.4111772E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.3806387E-9 | 9.0093144E-10 | 9.0093144E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4488451E-8 | 3.8611354E-9 | 3.8611354E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639688E-7 | 4.7009323E-8 | 4.7009323E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639674E-6 | 4.712806E-7 | 4.712806E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Palos Verdes
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.622572E-5 | 9.62242E-5 | 1.2623587 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.266441E-4 | 3.5663432E-4 | 1.0918131 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0039701737 | 0.004010015 | 1.0100352 | 4.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.03904909 | 0.039145183 | 1.0024608 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.622572E-5 | 9.62242E-5 | 1.2623587 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.266441E-4 | 3.5663432E-4 | 1.0918131 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0039701737 | 0.004010015 | 1.0100352 | 4.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.03904909 | 0.039145183 | 1.0024608 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.622572E-5 | 9.62242E-5 | 1.2623587 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.266441E-4 | 3.5663432E-4 | 1.0918131 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0039701737 | 0.004010015 | 1.0100352 | 4.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.03904909 | 0.039145183 | 1.0024608 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.9749007E-5 | 5.974851E-5 | 1.200999 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1319388E-4 | 2.2319175E-4 | 1.0468956 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021286458 | 0.002592754 | 0.0026127023 | 1.0076938 | 2.0E-5 | 0.021083709 | 0.025646746 | 0.025714952 | 1.0026594 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.9749007E-5 | 5.974851E-5 | 1.200999 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1319388E-4 | 2.2319175E-4 | 1.0468956 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021286458 | 0.002592754 | 0.0026127023 | 1.0076938 | 2.0E-5 | 0.021083709 | 0.025646746 | 0.025714952 | 1.0026594 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.0512005E-5 | 3.6561592E-5 | 4.656123E-5 | 1.273501 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3075917E-4 | 1.566838E-4 | 1.6668225E-4 | 1.0638129 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015908304 | 0.001906072 | 0.0019260339 | 1.0104728 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015794903 | 0.018909173 | 0.018968038 | 1.003113 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9255087E-5 | 3.5154393E-5 | 4.515404E-5 | 1.2844495 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2537291E-4 | 1.5065364E-4 | 1.6065213E-4 | 1.0663674 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015253464 | 0.0018327782 | 0.0018527416 | 1.0108924 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015149189 | 0.018188244 | 0.018237334 | 1.002699 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.287198E-5 | 2.724828E-5 | 3.7248006E-5 | 1.3669857 | 1.0E-5 | 9.801909E-5 | 1.16773626E-4 | 1.2677246E-4 | 1.0856258 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001192729 | 0.0014208833 | 0.0014308692 | 1.0070279 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011863477 | 0.014127217 | 0.014166652 | 1.0027914 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.1325764E-5 | 2.5431878E-5 | 3.5431625E-5 | 1.3931973 | 1.0E-5 | 9.139293E-5 | 1.0898972E-4 | 1.18988624E-4 | 1.0917418 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001112141 | 0.0013262323 | 0.001336219 | 1.0075302 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011065915 | 0.013192211 | 0.0132316835 | 1.002992 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.9009392E-5 | 2.2613547E-5 | 3.2613323E-5 | 1.4422028 | 1.0E-5 | 8.1466285E-5 | 9.6912096E-5 | 1.0691113E-4 | 1.1031762 | 1.0E-5 | 9.914007E-4 | 0.0011793535 | 0.0011893417 | 1.0084692 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009869894 | 0.011739633 | 0.011769281 | 1.0025254 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7098473E-5 | 2.0319356E-5 | 3.0319152E-5 | 1.4921316 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3277115E-5 | 8.708052E-5 | 9.7079654E-5 | 1.1148262 | 1.0E-5 | 8.917837E-4 | 0.001059775 | 0.0010697644 | 1.009426 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008882134 | 0.010555646 | 0.0105853295 | 1.002812 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.5982785E-5 | 1.899476E-5 | 2.8994571E-5 | 1.526451 | 1.0E-5 | 6.849585E-5 | 8.1404054E-5 | 9.1403235E-5 | 1.122834 | 1.0E-5 | 8.336179E-4 | 9.907284E-4 | 0.0010007184 | 1.0100836 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008304977 | 0.009871479 | 0.009901184 | 1.0030091 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.4468002E-5 | 1.7197237E-5 | 1.7197237E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.200425E-5 | 7.370083E-5 | 7.370083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.546402E-4 | 8.970222E-4 | 8.970222E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007520827 | 0.008942284 | 0.008962105 | 1.0022166 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.288233E-6 | 6.2036747E-6 | 6.2036747E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2663658E-5 | 2.6587102E-5 | 2.6587102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7589512E-4 | 3.236848E-4 | 3.236848E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027555283 | 0.0032355562 | 0.003245524 | 1.0030806 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.279556E-7 | 8.408347E-7 | 8.408347E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5483763E-6 | 3.6035726E-6 | 3.6035726E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3200624E-5 | 4.3872686E-5 | 4.3872686E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3192226E-4 | 4.3864746E-4 | 4.3864746E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.559831E-7 | 6.667229E-7 | 6.667229E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8113532E-6 | 2.857381E-6 | 2.857381E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4227687E-5 | 3.4788125E-5 | 3.4788125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4222414E-4 | 3.4783344E-4 | 3.4783344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.5018968E-7 | 3.5620027E-7 | 3.5620027E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.500812E-6 | 1.526572E-6 | 1.526572E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8272232E-5 | 1.8585903E-5 | 1.8585903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8270731E-4 | 1.8584808E-4 | 1.8584808E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.1986104E-7 | 1.2198376E-7 | 1.2198376E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1369005E-7 | 5.2278745E-7 | 5.2278745E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2541585E-6 | 6.364919E-6 | 6.364919E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2539824E-5 | 6.364741E-5 | 6.364741E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.0445005E-8 | 3.1027582E-8 | 3.1027582E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3047858E-7 | 1.3297536E-7 | 1.3297536E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885756E-6 | 1.6189739E-6 | 1.6189739E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885644E-5 | 1.6189642E-5 | 1.6189642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Camp Rock 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.249999E-6 | 1.4249957E-5 | 3.3529315 | 1.0E-5 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8214158E-5 | 3.8213795E-5 | 2.098027 | 2.0E-5 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2173533E-4 | 2.6172647E-4 | 1.1803552 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022151938 | 0.0023049945 | 1.0405385 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.249999E-6 | 1.4249957E-5 | 3.3529315 | 1.0E-5 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8214158E-5 | 3.8213795E-5 | 2.098027 | 2.0E-5 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2173533E-4 | 2.6172647E-4 | 1.1803552 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022151938 | 0.0023049945 | 1.0405385 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.249999E-6 | 1.4249957E-5 | 3.3529315 | 1.0E-5 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8214158E-5 | 3.8213795E-5 | 2.098027 | 2.0E-5 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2173533E-4 | 2.6172647E-4 | 1.1803552 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022151938 | 0.0023049945 | 1.0405385 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.249999E-6 | 1.4249957E-5 | 3.3529315 | 1.0E-5 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8214158E-5 | 3.8213795E-5 | 2.098027 | 2.0E-5 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2173533E-4 | 2.6172647E-4 | 1.1803552 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.0022151938 | 0.0023049945 | 1.0405385 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.982846E-6 | 3.6820359E-6 | 1.3681999E-5 | 3.7158787 | 1.0E-5 | 3.421175E-5 | 1.578006E-5 | 3.5779743E-5 | 2.2674022 | 2.0E-5 | 4.1644843E-4 | 1.9210564E-4 | 2.121018E-4 | 1.1040894 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0041566887 | 0.0019194306 | 0.0019892962 | 1.0363991 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.982846E-6 | 3.6820359E-6 | 1.3681999E-5 | 3.7158787 | 1.0E-5 | 3.421175E-5 | 1.578006E-5 | 3.5779743E-5 | 2.2674022 | 2.0E-5 | 4.1644843E-4 | 1.9210564E-4 | 2.121018E-4 | 1.1040894 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0041566887 | 0.0019194306 | 0.0019892962 | 1.0363991 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.048869E-6 | 3.4242998E-6 | 1.34242655E-5 | 3.920295 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0209088E-5 | 1.467549E-5 | 2.4675343E-5 | 1.6813983 | 1.0E-5 | 3.677336E-4 | 1.7865976E-4 | 1.8865797E-4 | 1.0559623 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036712566 | 0.0017851929 | 0.0018450858 | 1.0335498 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.987307E-6 | 3.3622775E-6 | 1.3362243E-5 | 3.9741645 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9945259E-5 | 1.4409683E-5 | 2.4409539E-5 | 1.6939678 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6452254E-4 | 1.7542407E-4 | 1.8542232E-4 | 1.0569947 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036392517 | 0.0017528872 | 0.0018127819 | 1.0341692 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.3737602E-6 | 3.1178672E-6 | 1.3117836E-5 | 4.2073107 | 1.0E-5 | 2.731583E-5 | 1.3362222E-5 | 2.3362089E-5 | 1.7483685 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3251947E-4 | 1.6267318E-4 | 1.7267156E-4 | 1.061463 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033202237 | 0.0016255698 | 0.0016854722 | 1.0368501 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.112211E-6 | 2.933078E-6 | 1.2933048E-5 | 4.4093776 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6194928E-5 | 1.2570275E-5 | 2.257015E-5 | 1.7955176 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1887658E-4 | 1.5303263E-4 | 1.630311E-4 | 1.0653355 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003184194 | 0.0015293002 | 0.0015892085 | 1.0391736 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.5140117E-6 | 2.64191E-6 | 1.2641884E-5 | 4.7851305 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3631264E-5 | 1.1322423E-5 | 2.132231E-5 | 1.8831931 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8767265E-4 | 1.3784204E-4 | 1.4784066E-4 | 1.0725368 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028730053 | 0.0013775907 | 0.001437508 | 1.0434943 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.8151105E-6 | 2.1342612E-6 | 1.213424E-5 | 5.6854525 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0636026E-5 | 9.146803E-6 | 1.9146712E-5 | 2.0932682 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5121463E-4 | 1.1135685E-4 | 1.2135574E-4 | 1.0897914 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025093083 | 0.0011130325 | 0.0011629767 | 1.0448723 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.818335E-6 | 1.2937372E-6 | 1.1293724E-5 | 8.729535 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6364189E-5 | 5.5445767E-6 | 1.5544521E-5 | 2.803554 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9921579E-4 | 6.750321E-5 | 7.750254E-5 | 1.1481311 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019903728 | 6.7483535E-4 | 7.1480835E-4 | 1.0592337 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.7166698E-6 | 7.383078E-7 | 1.07383E-5 | 14.5444765 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1642818E-5 | 3.1641725E-6 | 1.3164141E-5 | 4.1603737 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4174209E-4 | 3.852314E-5 | 4.8522754E-5 | 1.2595743 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014165172 | 3.8516664E-4 | 4.0515893E-4 | 1.0519056 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0893426E-6 | 5.4614605E-7 | 1.054614E-5 | 19.31011 | 1.0E-5 | 8.954295E-6 | 2.340624E-6 | 1.2340601E-5 | 5.272355 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0901308E-4 | 2.8496728E-5 | 3.8496444E-5 | 1.3509074 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010895962 | 2.849313E-4 | 3.0492558E-4 | 1.0701723 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6028484E-7 | 3.6028484E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.544077E-6 | 1.544077E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.879898E-5 | 1.879898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8797436E-4 | 1.8797436E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.1196716E-8 | 7.1196716E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.0512876E-7 | 3.0512876E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.714938E-6 | 3.714938E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.7148915E-5 | 3.7148915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Tin Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1815365E-6 | 2.4181452E-5 | 5.782911 | 2.0E-5 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.792077E-5 | 4.792023E-5 | 2.6740053 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1816725E-4 | 2.7815416E-4 | 1.2749584 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021798965 | 0.0022697002 | 1.0411963 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1815365E-6 | 2.4181452E-5 | 5.782911 | 2.0E-5 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.792077E-5 | 4.792023E-5 | 2.6740053 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1816725E-4 | 2.7815416E-4 | 1.2749584 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021798965 | 0.0022697002 | 1.0411963 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1815365E-6 | 2.4181452E-5 | 5.782911 | 2.0E-5 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.792077E-5 | 4.792023E-5 | 2.6740053 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1816725E-4 | 2.7815416E-4 | 1.2749584 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021798965 | 0.0022697002 | 1.0411963 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1815365E-6 | 2.4181452E-5 | 5.782911 | 2.0E-5 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.792077E-5 | 4.792023E-5 | 2.6740053 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1816725E-4 | 2.7815416E-4 | 1.2749584 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021798965 | 0.0022697002 | 1.0411963 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1815365E-6 | 2.4181452E-5 | 5.782911 | 2.0E-5 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.792077E-5 | 4.792023E-5 | 2.6740053 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1816725E-4 | 2.7815416E-4 | 1.2749584 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021798965 | 0.0022697002 | 1.0411963 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3143427E-6 | 2.3731573E-6 | 1.2373133E-5 | 5.213786 | 1.0E-5 | 9.9185745E-6 | 1.0170638E-5 | 3.0170435E-5 | 2.966425 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2075195E-4 | 1.2382126E-4 | 1.4381878E-4 | 1.1615032 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012068636 | 0.0012375986 | 0.0012675615 | 1.0242105 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3143427E-6 | 2.3731573E-6 | 1.2373133E-5 | 5.213786 | 1.0E-5 | 9.9185745E-6 | 1.0170638E-5 | 3.0170435E-5 | 2.966425 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2075195E-4 | 1.2382126E-4 | 1.4381878E-4 | 1.1615032 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012068636 | 0.0012375986 | 0.0012675615 | 1.0242105 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7029532E-6 | 1.7497915E-6 | 1.1749774E-5 | 6.7149568 | 1.0E-5 | 7.2983503E-6 | 7.499088E-6 | 1.7499013E-5 | 2.3334856 | 1.0E-5 | 8.885379E-5 | 9.1298105E-5 | 1.0129719E-4 | 1.1095213 | 1.0E-5 | 8.881827E-4 | 9.1265864E-4 | 9.3264034E-4 | 1.021894 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2914646E-6 | 1.3299378E-6 | 1.1329925E-5 | 8.519138 | 1.0E-5 | 5.534837E-6 | 5.6997237E-6 | 1.5699667E-5 | 2.754461 | 1.0E-5 | 6.738455E-5 | 6.939237E-5 | 7.939168E-5 | 1.144098 | 1.0E-5 | 6.736412E-4 | 6.9375033E-4 | 7.1373646E-4 | 1.0288088 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.8708974E-7 | 6.1169936E-7 | 6.1169936E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5160964E-6 | 2.6215664E-6 | 2.6215664E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0633044E-5 | 3.1917145E-5 | 3.1917145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0628822E-4 | 3.191297E-4 | 3.191297E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.6248786E-7 | 4.832015E-7 | 4.832015E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9820893E-6 | 2.0708624E-6 | 2.0708624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.413167E-5 | 2.5212494E-5 | 2.5212494E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.412905E-4 | 2.5210003E-4 | 2.5210003E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.804606E-7 | 3.987147E-7 | 3.987147E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6305444E-6 | 1.7087764E-6 | 1.7087764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9851697E-5 | 2.0804187E-5 | 2.0804187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9849923E-4 | 2.0802575E-4 | 2.0802575E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.5864858E-7 | 3.7616863E-7 | 3.7616863E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5370645E-6 | 1.6121504E-6 | 1.6121504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.87136E-5 | 1.9627789E-5 | 1.9627789E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8712023E-4 | 1.9626386E-4 | 1.9626386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.342063E-7 | 3.506347E-7 | 3.506347E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4323119E-6 | 1.5027196E-6 | 1.5027196E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7438259E-5 | 1.829549E-5 | 1.829549E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.743689E-4 | 1.8294314E-4 | 1.8294314E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.971242E-7 | 3.1165817E-7 | 3.1165817E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2733886E-6 | 1.3356774E-6 | 1.3356774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5503398E-5 | 1.6261785E-5 | 1.6261785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5502315E-4 | 1.6260923E-4 | 1.6260923E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4326713E-7 | 1.5012525E-7 | 1.5012525E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.140018E-7 | 6.433939E-7 | 6.433939E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4754466E-6 | 7.8333205E-6 | 7.8333205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.475195E-5 | 7.833321E-5 | 7.833321E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (Lake Isabella) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0016344E-6 | 6.40014E-5 | 15.993814 | 6.0E-5 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149758E-5 | 8.714856E-5 | 5.08162 | 7.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878017E-4 | 2.7876557E-4 | 1.3352109 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.002086024 | 0.0021758364 | 1.0430542 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0016344E-6 | 6.40014E-5 | 15.993814 | 6.0E-5 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149758E-5 | 8.714856E-5 | 5.08162 | 7.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878017E-4 | 2.7876557E-4 | 1.3352109 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.002086024 | 0.0021758364 | 1.0430542 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0016344E-6 | 6.40014E-5 | 15.993814 | 6.0E-5 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149758E-5 | 8.714856E-5 | 5.08162 | 7.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878017E-4 | 2.7876557E-4 | 1.3352109 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.002086024 | 0.0021758364 | 1.0430542 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0016344E-6 | 6.40014E-5 | 15.993814 | 6.0E-5 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149758E-5 | 8.714856E-5 | 5.08162 | 7.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878017E-4 | 2.7876557E-4 | 1.3352109 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.002086024 | 0.0021758364 | 1.0430542 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0016344E-6 | 6.40014E-5 | 15.993814 | 6.0E-5 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149758E-5 | 8.714856E-5 | 5.08162 | 7.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0878017E-4 | 2.7876557E-4 | 1.3352109 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.002086024 | 0.0021758364 | 1.0430542 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7857532E-6 | 2.5178624E-6 | 4.251776E-5 | 16.886452 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1938888E-5 | 1.0790796E-5 | 6.0790255E-5 | 5.6335287 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4534626E-4 | 1.3137035E-4 | 1.8136378E-4 | 1.3805534 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0014525123 | 0.0013129596 | 0.001362894 | 1.0380319 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2233348E-6 | 1.944119E-6 | 2.194408E-5 | 11.2874155 | 2.0E-5 | 9.528543E-6 | 8.331913E-6 | 3.8331662E-5 | 4.600584 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1600384E-4 | 1.014364E-4 | 1.3143336E-4 | 1.2957218 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001159433 | 0.0010139096 | 0.0010438792 | 1.0295584 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.1635126E-6 | 1.8834991E-6 | 2.1883461E-5 | 11.618515 | 2.0E-5 | 9.272164E-6 | 8.072114E-6 | 3.807187E-5 | 4.7164683 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1288274E-4 | 9.827364E-5 | 1.282707E-4 | 1.30524 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011282542 | 9.8231E-4 | 0.0010122805 | 1.0305103 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.8685711E-6 | 1.583138E-6 | 2.1583106E-5 | 13.633118 | 2.0E-5 | 8.008137E-6 | 6.7848596E-6 | 3.6784655E-5 | 5.4215794 | 3.0E-5 | 9.74947E-5 | 8.2602586E-5 | 1.1260011E-4 | 1.3631548 | 3.0E-5 | 9.745194E-4 | 8.2572375E-4 | 8.5569895E-4 | 1.0363017 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5815071E-6 | 1.3064887E-6 | 2.1306463E-5 | 16.308187 | 2.0E-5 | 6.77787E-6 | 5.5992255E-6 | 3.5599056E-5 | 6.357854 | 3.0E-5 | 8.251744E-5 | 6.816846E-5 | 9.816642E-5 | 1.4400562 | 3.0E-5 | 8.248681E-4 | 6.8147824E-4 | 7.114578E-4 | 1.0439919 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3772564E-6 | 1.1210681E-6 | 2.1121046E-5 | 18.840109 | 2.0E-5 | 5.9025137E-6 | 4.8045686E-6 | 3.4804423E-5 | 7.2440267 | 3.0E-5 | 7.186073E-5 | 5.8494075E-5 | 8.849232E-5 | 1.5128424 | 3.0E-5 | 7.18375E-4 | 5.8478885E-4 | 6.1477127E-4 | 1.0512706 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0916998E-6 | 8.7637505E-7 | 2.0876358E-5 | 23.82126 | 2.0E-5 | 4.678705E-6 | 3.7558877E-6 | 3.3755776E-5 | 8.98743 | 3.0E-5 | 5.6961744E-5 | 4.5726985E-5 | 7.572561E-5 | 1.6560377 | 3.0E-5 | 5.6947145E-4 | 4.571771E-4 | 4.871634E-4 | 1.06559 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.6277024E-7 | 5.901439E-7 | 1.0590138E-5 | 17.945011 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2690114E-6 | 2.5291856E-6 | 2.2529135E-5 | 8.907663 | 2.0E-5 | 3.9799485E-5 | 3.0792406E-5 | 5.079179E-5 | 1.6494908 | 2.0E-5 | 3.9792358E-4 | 3.07882E-4 | 3.2787584E-4 | 1.06494 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 5.3265916E-7 | 4.3824264E-7 | 1.0438238E-5 | 23.8184 | 1.0E-5 | 2.282823E-6 | 1.8781814E-6 | 2.1878144E-5 | 11.648579 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7793016E-5 | 2.2866623E-5 | 4.2866166E-5 | 1.8746172 | 2.0E-5 | 2.778954E-4 | 2.2864307E-4 | 2.486385E-4 | 1.0874525 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.4946007E-7 | 3.0065647E-7 | 3.0065647E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.497685E-6 | 1.2885271E-6 | 1.12885145E-5 | 8.760789 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8234163E-5 | 1.5687707E-5 | 2.568755E-5 | 1.6374319 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8232666E-4 | 1.5686621E-4 | 1.6686464E-4 | 1.0637386 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.8317026E-7 | 1.4244755E-7 | 1.4244755E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.850152E-7 | 6.1048934E-7 | 6.1048934E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.557518E-6 | 7.432683E-6 | 7.432683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5571064E-5 | 7.432442E-5 | 7.432442E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.735264E-8 | 1.735264E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.436845E-8 | 7.436845E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.0543557E-7 | 9.0543557E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.054324E-6 | 9.054324E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (South Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.113726E-6 | 3.4113604E-5 | 8.292629 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630138E-5 | 6.7629255E-5 | 3.8360026 | 5.0E-5 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462643E-4 | 2.646157E-4 | 1.2329129 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442554 | 0.0022240838 | 1.037229 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.113726E-6 | 3.4113604E-5 | 8.292629 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630138E-5 | 6.7629255E-5 | 3.8360026 | 5.0E-5 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462643E-4 | 2.646157E-4 | 1.2329129 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442554 | 0.0022240838 | 1.037229 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.113726E-6 | 3.4113604E-5 | 8.292629 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630138E-5 | 6.7629255E-5 | 3.8360026 | 5.0E-5 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462643E-4 | 2.646157E-4 | 1.2329129 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442554 | 0.0022240838 | 1.037229 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.113726E-6 | 3.4113604E-5 | 8.292629 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630138E-5 | 6.7629255E-5 | 3.8360026 | 5.0E-5 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462643E-4 | 2.646157E-4 | 1.2329129 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442554 | 0.0022240838 | 1.037229 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.113726E-6 | 3.4113604E-5 | 8.292629 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7630138E-5 | 6.7629255E-5 | 3.8360026 | 5.0E-5 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1462643E-4 | 2.646157E-4 | 1.2329129 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.0021442554 | 0.0022240838 | 1.037229 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.9849807E-6 | 2.973154E-6 | 2.2973094E-5 | 7.726843 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2792712E-5 | 1.2742028E-5 | 4.2741645E-5 | 3.3543832 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5574014E-4 | 1.551233E-4 | 1.8511864E-4 | 1.1933645 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015563103 | 0.0015501654 | 0.0015901033 | 1.0257638 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9849807E-6 | 2.973154E-6 | 2.2973094E-5 | 7.726843 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2792712E-5 | 1.2742028E-5 | 4.2741645E-5 | 3.3543832 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5574014E-4 | 1.551233E-4 | 1.8511864E-4 | 1.1933645 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015563103 | 0.0015501654 | 0.0015901033 | 1.0257638 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6756725E-6 | 2.6582202E-6 | 2.2658167E-5 | 8.523811 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1467117E-5 | 1.1392323E-5 | 4.139198E-5 | 3.6333222 | 3.0E-5 | 1.396032E-4 | 1.386928E-4 | 1.6868865E-4 | 1.2162753 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013951553 | 0.0013860734 | 0.0014260181 | 1.0288185 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.3283721E-6 | 2.3047783E-6 | 2.2304732E-5 | 9.677605 | 2.0E-5 | 9.9787E-6 | 9.877584E-6 | 3.9877286E-5 | 4.03715 | 3.0E-5 | 1.214839E-4 | 1.2025302E-4 | 1.5024941E-4 | 1.249444 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001214175 | 0.001201887 | 0.0012418389 | 1.033241 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.0972677E-6 | 2.0696405E-6 | 2.2069598E-5 | 10.663494 | 2.0E-5 | 8.988259E-6 | 8.869858E-6 | 3.886959E-5 | 4.382211 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0942656E-4 | 1.0798523E-4 | 1.3798199E-4 | 1.2777858 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010937268 | 0.0010793334 | 0.0011192902 | 1.03702 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7132242E-6 | 1.6787029E-6 | 2.167867E-5 | 12.91394 | 2.0E-5 | 7.3423685E-6 | 7.1944214E-6 | 3.7194204E-5 | 5.1698675 | 3.0E-5 | 8.938967E-5 | 8.75886E-5 | 1.1758597E-4 | 1.3424803 | 3.0E-5 | 8.935372E-4 | 8.755446E-4 | 9.155096E-4 | 1.0456458 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.4215541E-6 | 1.3815746E-6 | 2.1381547E-5 | 15.476216 | 2.0E-5 | 6.0923603E-6 | 5.9210206E-6 | 3.5920842E-5 | 6.0666637 | 3.0E-5 | 7.417196E-5 | 7.208607E-5 | 1.02083904E-4 | 1.4161391 | 3.0E-5 | 7.414721E-4 | 7.206296E-4 | 7.606007E-4 | 1.055467 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.097853E-7 | 8.60377E-7 | 1.0860368E-5 | 12.622803 | 1.0E-5 | 3.899074E-6 | 3.6873246E-6 | 2.3687251E-5 | 6.423967 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7470192E-5 | 4.4892266E-5 | 6.489136E-5 | 1.4454911 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7460053E-4 | 4.4883305E-4 | 4.7881957E-4 | 1.06681 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.144169E-7 | 5.628199E-7 | 1.0562814E-5 | 18.767664 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6332125E-6 | 2.4120832E-6 | 2.2412034E-5 | 9.291569 | 2.0E-5 | 3.205889E-5 | 2.9366722E-5 | 4.9366132E-5 | 1.681023 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2054266E-4 | 2.9362892E-4 | 3.1362305E-4 | 1.0680932 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.049844E-7 | 3.5728252E-7 | 3.5728252E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7356463E-6 | 1.5312098E-6 | 1.1531194E-5 | 7.5307736 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1131287E-5 | 1.8642324E-5 | 2.8642136E-5 | 1.5364038 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1129279E-4 | 1.8640784E-4 | 1.9640598E-4 | 1.0536358 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.9871162E-7 | 1.5830383E-7 | 1.5830383E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5162094E-7 | 6.784448E-7 | 6.784448E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0368436E-5 | 8.260035E-6 | 8.260035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0367952E-4 | 8.259736E-5 | 8.259736E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.735264E-8 | 1.735264E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.436845E-8 | 7.436845E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.0543557E-7 | 9.0543557E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.054324E-6 | 9.054324E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Anza) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3298347E-5 | 6.3297484E-5 | 1.4618914 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8555121E-4 | 2.1554565E-4 | 1.1616504 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022567573 | 0.0023066446 | 1.0221057 | 5.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.02329361 | 0.023371747 | 1.0033544 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3298347E-5 | 6.3297484E-5 | 1.4618914 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8555121E-4 | 2.1554565E-4 | 1.1616504 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022567573 | 0.0023066446 | 1.0221057 | 5.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.02329361 | 0.023371747 | 1.0033544 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3298347E-5 | 6.3297484E-5 | 1.4618914 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8555121E-4 | 2.1554565E-4 | 1.1616504 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022567573 | 0.0023066446 | 1.0221057 | 5.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.02329361 | 0.023371747 | 1.0033544 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3298347E-5 | 6.3297484E-5 | 1.4618914 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8555121E-4 | 2.1554565E-4 | 1.1616504 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022567573 | 0.0023066446 | 1.0221057 | 5.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.02329361 | 0.023371747 | 1.0033544 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3298347E-5 | 6.3297484E-5 | 1.4618914 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8555121E-4 | 2.1554565E-4 | 1.1616504 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022567573 | 0.0023066446 | 1.0221057 | 5.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.02329361 | 0.023371747 | 1.0033544 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.0080286E-5 | 6.0079485E-5 | 1.4989785 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.7176138E-4 | 2.0175622E-4 | 1.1746309 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0030276014 | 0.0020891947 | 0.0021390903 | 1.0238826 | 5.0E-5 | 0.02986684 | 0.021590833 | 0.021669107 | 1.0036253 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.0080286E-5 | 6.0079485E-5 | 1.4989785 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.7176138E-4 | 2.0175622E-4 | 1.1746309 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0030276014 | 0.0020891947 | 0.0021390903 | 1.0238826 | 5.0E-5 | 0.02986684 | 0.021590833 | 0.021669107 | 1.0036253 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.712442E-5 | 3.950301E-5 | 5.950222E-5 | 1.5062705 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4479596E-4 | 1.6928767E-4 | 1.9928259E-4 | 1.1771832 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0029763177 | 0.0020591344 | 0.0021090317 | 1.024232 | 5.0E-5 | 0.029367693 | 0.021282919 | 0.021361215 | 1.0036789 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.6967532E-5 | 3.93593E-5 | 5.9358514E-5 | 1.5081191 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4412372E-4 | 1.6867183E-4 | 1.9866678E-4 | 1.1778302 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0029681553 | 0.0020516508 | 0.0021015482 | 1.0243206 | 5.0E-5 | 0.029288229 | 0.02120852 | 0.021286823 | 1.003692 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.6211324E-5 | 3.9064216E-5 | 5.9063434E-5 | 1.5119575 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4088343E-4 | 1.6740736E-4 | 1.9740233E-4 | 1.1791736 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0029288116 | 0.0020362847 | 0.0020861828 | 1.0245045 | 5.0E-5 | 0.028905109 | 0.021047527 | 0.021125844 | 1.0037209 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.4383527E-5 | 3.7925012E-5 | 5.792425E-5 | 1.5273365 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3305144E-4 | 1.6252567E-4 | 1.9252079E-4 | 1.1845562 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0028337094 | 0.001976959 | 0.0020268601 | 1.0252414 | 5.0E-5 | 0.027978465 | 0.02044095 | 0.020519314 | 1.0038338 | 8.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.1393665E-5 | 3.638787E-5 | 5.6387144E-5 | 1.5496137 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2023996E-4 | 1.5593872E-4 | 1.8593404E-4 | 1.1923532 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0026781242 | 0.0018969048 | 0.0019468099 | 1.0263088 | 5.0E-5 | 0.026460782 | 0.019616077 | 0.019694507 | 1.0039983 | 8.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.785222E-5 | 3.4738845E-5 | 5.473815E-5 | 1.5757043 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0506482E-4 | 1.4887229E-4 | 1.7886782E-4 | 1.201485 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0024938055 | 0.0018110167 | 0.0018609262 | 1.0275588 | 5.0E-5 | 0.024660049 | 0.018728783 | 0.018807285 | 1.0041915 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.2143256E-5 | 3.3834414E-5 | 5.3833737E-5 | 1.5910941 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8060145E-4 | 1.449966E-4 | 1.7499224E-4 | 1.2068714 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002196605 | 0.0017639075 | 0.0018138193 | 1.0282961 | 5.0E-5 | 0.02175019 | 0.018236695 | 0.018315237 | 1.0043068 | 8.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.0264713E-5 | 3.3472694E-5 | 5.3472024E-5 | 1.597482 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7255165E-4 | 1.4344654E-4 | 1.7344223E-4 | 1.2091072 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002098792 | 0.0017450659 | 0.0017949786 | 1.0286022 | 5.0E-5 | 0.020790804 | 0.018041389 | 0.018119946 | 1.0043542 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.694492E-5 | 3.2186905E-5 | 5.218626E-5 | 1.6213506 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5832575E-4 | 1.379366E-4 | 1.6793246E-4 | 1.2174612 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019259118 | 0.0016780876 | 0.0017280037 | 1.0297458 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01909306 | 0.017357888 | 0.017436499 | 1.0045289 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.200565E-5 | 2.9502702E-5 | 4.9502112E-5 | 1.677884 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3715986E-4 | 1.2643404E-4 | 1.5643025E-4 | 1.2372478 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001668642 | 0.0015382497 | 0.0015881729 | 1.0324545 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01656168 | 0.015946016 | 0.01602474 | 1.0049369 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.731642E-5 | 2.6091477E-5 | 4.6090954E-5 | 1.7665138 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1706512E-4 | 1.11815825E-4 | 1.4181247E-4 | 1.2682683 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001424336 | 0.0013605085 | 0.0014104404 | 1.036701 | 5.0E-5 | 0.014152412 | 0.0141668 | 0.014245667 | 1.005567 | 8.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.3466424E-5 | 2.3503619E-5 | 4.350315E-5 | 1.8509128 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0056651E-4 | 1.0072591E-4 | 1.307229E-4 | 1.2978079 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012237094 | 0.0012256489 | 0.0012755876 | 1.0407447 | 5.0E-5 | 0.012169928 | 0.012808796 | 0.012887771 | 1.0061657 | 8.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.8611925E-5 | 1.890698E-5 | 3.89066E-5 | 2.0577905 | 2.0E-5 | 7.9762955E-5 | 8.10274E-5 | 1.1102497E-4 | 1.3702152 | 3.0E-5 | 9.7068126E-4 | 9.860628E-4 | 0.0010360136 | 1.0506567 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0096645225 | 0.010393705 | 0.010472874 | 1.007617 | 8.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5460775E-5 | 1.5739915E-5 | 3.5739602E-5 | 2.270635 | 2.0E-5 | 6.6258784E-5 | 6.745504E-5 | 8.745369E-5 | 1.2964737 | 2.0E-5 | 8.0640207E-4 | 8.2095637E-4 | 8.609235E-4 | 1.0486836 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008034821 | 0.008702706 | 0.008772097 | 1.0079734 | 7.0E-5 |
8.1 | 9.983884E-6 | 8.268954E-6 | 1.8268871E-5 | 2.2093327 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2787375E-5 | 3.5437897E-5 | 4.5437544E-5 | 1.2821738 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2081177E-4 | 4.313715E-4 | 4.5136287E-4 | 1.0463438 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0051959283 | 0.00463968 | 0.004669541 | 1.006436 | 3.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.1226E-6 | 1.5522551E-6 | 1.5522551E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7668166E-5 | 6.6525045E-6 | 6.6525045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1508869E-4 | 8.099126E-5 | 8.099126E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021488064 | 9.401847E-4 | 9.401847E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 3.609817E-7 | 3.609817E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.5470634E-6 | 1.5470634E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 1.8835339E-5 | 1.8835339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.272251E-4 | 2.272251E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pinto Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7853926E-5 | 5.7853445E-5 | 1.2089592 | 1.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0507304E-4 | 2.1507099E-4 | 1.0487531 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024940688 | 0.0025638943 | 1.0279965 | 7.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024678305 | 0.024756331 | 1.0031617 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7853926E-5 | 5.7853445E-5 | 1.2089592 | 1.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0507304E-4 | 2.1507099E-4 | 1.0487531 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024940688 | 0.0025638943 | 1.0279965 | 7.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024678305 | 0.024756331 | 1.0031617 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7853926E-5 | 5.7853445E-5 | 1.2089592 | 1.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0507304E-4 | 2.1507099E-4 | 1.0487531 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024940688 | 0.0025638943 | 1.0279965 | 7.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024678305 | 0.024756331 | 1.0031617 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7853926E-5 | 5.7853445E-5 | 1.2089592 | 1.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0507304E-4 | 2.1507099E-4 | 1.0487531 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024940688 | 0.0025638943 | 1.0279965 | 7.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024678305 | 0.024756331 | 1.0031617 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.960349E-5 | 4.9603095E-5 | 1.252493 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.6971873E-4 | 1.7971703E-4 | 1.058911 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0020644604 | 0.0021143572 | 1.0241694 | 5.0E-5 | 0.019274427 | 0.020462848 | 0.020511825 | 1.0023935 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.960349E-5 | 4.9603095E-5 | 1.252493 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.6971873E-4 | 1.7971703E-4 | 1.058911 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0020644604 | 0.0021143572 | 1.0241694 | 5.0E-5 | 0.019274427 | 0.020462848 | 0.020511825 | 1.0023935 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.0204548E-5 | 3.12056E-5 | 4.1205287E-5 | 1.3204453 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2944164E-4 | 1.3373162E-4 | 1.4373029E-4 | 1.0747666 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015748127 | 0.0016270012 | 0.0016769199 | 1.0306814 | 5.0E-5 | 0.015636992 | 0.016154764 | 0.016203957 | 1.0030451 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.9857754E-5 | 3.0814987E-5 | 4.0814677E-5 | 1.3245075 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2795553E-4 | 1.3205773E-4 | 1.4205641E-4 | 1.0757145 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015567453 | 0.0016066517 | 0.0016565714 | 1.0310706 | 5.0E-5 | 0.015458848 | 0.015954204 | 0.016003406 | 1.003084 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.4819734E-5 | 2.5009665E-5 | 3.5009416E-5 | 1.3998355 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0636595E-4 | 1.0718E-4 | 1.17178926E-4 | 1.093291 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012942362 | 0.001304157 | 0.0013540918 | 1.038289 | 5.0E-5 | 0.012867244 | 0.012967403 | 0.013016755 | 1.0038059 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.331124E-5 | 2.3337945E-5 | 3.333771E-5 | 1.4284767 | 1.0E-5 | 9.990149E-5 | 1.0001605E-4 | 1.1001505E-4 | 1.0999739 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001215622 | 0.0012170355 | 0.0012669746 | 1.0410334 | 5.0E-5 | 0.012089936 | 0.012105897 | 0.012155292 | 1.0040802 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.1818534E-5 | 2.1761074E-5 | 3.1760857E-5 | 1.4595262 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3504656E-5 | 9.3258524E-5 | 1.0325759E-4 | 1.1072189 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011378246 | 0.0011348509 | 0.0011847942 | 1.0440086 | 5.0E-5 | 0.011320163 | 0.01129266 | 0.011342094 | 1.0043776 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.066081E-5 | 2.0540718E-5 | 3.0540512E-5 | 1.4868279 | 1.0E-5 | 8.854332E-5 | 8.8028784E-5 | 9.802791E-5 | 1.1135892 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010774818 | 0.0010712431 | 0.0011211896 | 1.0466248 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010722724 | 0.0106628435 | 0.010712311 | 1.0046391 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.8990233E-5 | 1.9054001E-5 | 2.9053812E-5 | 1.5248141 | 1.0E-5 | 8.138417E-5 | 8.165756E-5 | 9.1656744E-5 | 1.1224526 | 1.0E-5 | 9.904018E-4 | 9.937467E-4 | 0.0010337069 | 1.0402117 | 4.0E-5 | 0.009859995 | 0.009895029 | 0.009934633 | 1.0040025 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.3335872E-5 | 1.4906713E-5 | 2.4906563E-5 | 1.6708287 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7152483E-5 | 6.388442E-5 | 7.388378E-5 | 1.1565228 | 1.0E-5 | 6.956093E-4 | 7.77528E-4 | 8.174969E-4 | 1.0514051 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006934359 | 0.007749376 | 0.0077890656 | 1.0051217 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.414066E-6 | 1.186096E-5 | 1.186096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0345374E-5 | 5.083175E-5 | 5.083175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.910942E-4 | 6.1871024E-4 | 6.4869167E-4 | 1.048458 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0049001034 | 0.0061708256 | 0.0062006405 | 1.0048316 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.2101157E-6 | 9.158192E-6 | 9.158192E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.090013E-5 | 3.9248847E-5 | 3.9248847E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7614413E-4 | 4.7775774E-4 | 4.87753E-4 | 1.0209211 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037550807 | 0.004768082 | 0.0047780345 | 1.0020872 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.296375E-6 | 4.5455017E-6 | 4.5455017E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4127245E-5 | 1.9480583E-5 | 1.9480583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7198564E-4 | 2.3715167E-4 | 2.4714932E-4 | 1.042157 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017185259 | 0.0023691233 | 0.0023790996 | 1.004211 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.5741092E-6 | 3.5844084E-6 | 3.5844084E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.103185E-5 | 1.5361667E-5 | 1.5361667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3430449E-4 | 1.8701357E-4 | 1.8701357E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013422335 | 0.0018686918 | 0.0018686918 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (Central) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5010907E-4 | 2.4804124E-4 | 2.4804124E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4316596E-4 | 0.001062498 | 0.0010724873 | 1.0094018 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0078024664 | 0.012850443 | 0.012889929 | 1.0030727 | 4.0E-5 | 0.07534136 | 0.120411225 | 0.120464 | 1.0004383 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.4521465E-4 | 2.3965565E-4 | 2.3965565E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.222001E-4 | 0.0010265942 | 0.0010365839 | 1.0097309 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0075490056 | 0.012419763 | 0.012459266 | 1.0031806 | 4.0E-5 | 0.07297657 | 0.11668273 | 0.11673573 | 1.0004542 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.429998E-4 | 2.3896809E-4 | 2.3896809E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.127123E-4 | 0.0010236499 | 0.0010336398 | 1.009759 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007434286 | 0.012384372 | 0.012423877 | 1.0031899 | 4.0E-5 | 0.07190444 | 0.11633677 | 0.11638979 | 1.0004557 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3536277E-4 | 2.3227946E-4 | 2.3227946E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.799972E-4 | 9.950127E-4 | 0.0010050028 | 1.0100402 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0070386264 | 0.012040534 | 0.012080053 | 1.0032821 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0681982 | 0.113249525 | 0.11330273 | 1.0004698 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2993296E-4 | 2.2651516E-4 | 2.2651516E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5673666E-4 | 9.703276E-4 | 9.803178E-4 | 1.0102957 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006757223 | 0.011743338 | 0.011782868 | 1.0033662 | 4.0E-5 | 0.06555412 | 0.11052752 | 0.11058089 | 1.0004828 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0498927E-4 | 1.7981966E-4 | 1.7981966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.498764E-4 | 7.7042676E-4 | 7.8041904E-4 | 1.0129699 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005463498 | 0.00933952 | 0.009379147 | 1.0042429 | 4.0E-5 | 0.053311124 | 0.08920739 | 0.08926203 | 1.0006126 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0157505E-4 | 1.7469494E-4 | 1.7469494E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.35249E-4 | 7.4847665E-4 | 7.5846916E-4 | 1.0133505 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052862884 | 0.009074567 | 0.009114203 | 1.004368 | 4.0E-5 | 0.05162293 | 0.08678487 | 0.08683966 | 1.0006313 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.660386E-5 | 1.6728783E-4 | 1.6728783E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1395082E-4 | 7.167497E-4 | 7.267425E-4 | 1.0139419 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050282106 | 0.008691474 | 0.008731126 | 1.0045623 | 4.0E-5 | 0.049159497 | 0.08327401 | 0.08332901 | 1.0006605 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.089927E-5 | 1.5643238E-4 | 1.5643238E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8951015E-4 | 6.702511E-4 | 6.802444E-4 | 1.0149097 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047319788 | 0.008129742 | 0.008169416 | 1.0048802 | 4.0E-5 | 0.046324775 | 0.078163 | 0.07821831 | 1.0007076 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.353187E-5 | 1.2295779E-4 | 1.2295779E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.150985E-4 | 5.2685605E-4 | 5.368508E-4 | 1.0189705 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038295772 | 0.006395728 | 0.006435472 | 1.0062141 | 4.0E-5 | 0.037642512 | 0.06218928 | 0.062245548 | 1.0009048 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.746064E-5 | 9.3890936E-5 | 9.3890936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4623662E-4 | 4.0232803E-4 | 4.12324E-4 | 1.0248454 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029938098 | 0.0048874132 | 0.004917267 | 1.0061082 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02953797 | 0.04798713 | 0.04802521 | 1.0007936 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.9557195E-5 | 8.052768E-5 | 8.052768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.123707E-4 | 3.4507332E-4 | 3.5506987E-4 | 1.0289694 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025825473 | 0.004193237 | 0.004223111 | 1.0071244 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0255274 | 0.041373473 | 0.041411817 | 1.0009269 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.687595E-5 | 5.952694E-5 | 5.952694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5803022E-4 | 2.5509068E-4 | 2.6508814E-4 | 1.0391917 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019223199 | 0.003101335 | 0.0031312418 | 1.0096432 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01905776 | 0.030883823 | 0.030922586 | 1.0012552 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.5846984E-5 | 4.2473923E-5 | 4.2473923E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1076809E-4 | 1.820185E-4 | 1.820185E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013477671 | 0.0022138404 | 0.002233796 | 1.0090141 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013396223 | 0.022175217 | 0.022204552 | 1.0013229 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.7747854E-5 | 2.993759E-5 | 2.993759E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6060016E-5 | 1.2829766E-4 | 1.2829766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2563726E-4 | 0.0015609078 | 0.0015808765 | 1.0127931 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009217911 | 0.015708687 | 0.015738215 | 1.0018798 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.4883479E-5 | 2.6244672E-5 | 2.6244672E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.378478E-5 | 1.12472335E-4 | 1.12472335E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.76303E-4 | 0.0013684932 | 0.0013884659 | 1.0145946 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0077359667 | 0.013801667 | 0.01382139 | 1.0014291 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.166975E-6 | 1.4964299E-5 | 1.4964299E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5000852E-5 | 6.413114E-5 | 6.413114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2605202E-4 | 7.805183E-4 | 8.0050266E-4 | 1.025604 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004252361 | 0.007939203 | 0.007959045 | 1.0024991 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.3858064E-6 | 6.254251E-6 | 6.254251E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4510518E-5 | 2.6803657E-5 | 2.6803657E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7665124E-4 | 3.2628572E-4 | 3.4627918E-4 | 1.061276 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017651088 | 0.003388363 | 0.003408295 | 1.0058825 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.7721615E-6 | 5.366695E-6 | 5.366695E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1880637E-5 | 2.2999919E-5 | 2.2999919E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4463716E-4 | 2.7998807E-4 | 2.999825E-4 | 1.0714116 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014454306 | 0.002907615 | 0.0029275566 | 1.0068585 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.9736292E-6 | 4.128705E-6 | 4.128705E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4583835E-6 | 1.769433E-5 | 1.769433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0297595E-4 | 2.1540721E-4 | 2.2540505E-4 | 1.0464137 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010292825 | 0.0022237299 | 0.0022337078 | 1.0044869 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.1767289E-6 | 2.5546633E-6 | 2.5546633E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0431145E-6 | 1.0948511E-5 | 1.0948511E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.139818E-5 | 1.3329E-4 | 1.4328866E-4 | 1.0750144 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1381224E-4 | 0.001366126 | 0.0013761123 | 1.0073099 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 7.5112825E-7 | 1.541076E-6 | 1.541076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2191172E-6 | 6.604595E-6 | 6.604595E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9192048E-5 | 8.0408E-5 | 8.0408E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9185135E-4 | 8.2356273E-4 | 8.2356273E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Chino alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.939946E-5 | 4.894798E-5 | 6.8947E-5 | 1.4085771 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6884391E-4 | 2.0976314E-4 | 2.3975683E-4 | 1.1429884 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020537362 | 0.002551385 | 0.0026012575 | 1.0195472 | 5.0E-5 | 0.020348595 | 0.025280168 | 0.025348399 | 1.002699 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.6878823E-5 | 2.6878823E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.15190494E-4 | 1.2518934E-4 | 1.0868027 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0014016517 | 0.0014316096 | 1.0213733 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011158722 | 0.013947425 | 0.013996728 | 1.0035349 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.6878823E-5 | 2.6878823E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.15190494E-4 | 1.2518934E-4 | 1.0868027 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0014016517 | 0.0014316096 | 1.0213733 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011158722 | 0.013947425 | 0.013996728 | 1.0035349 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.8164832E-5 | 1.8164832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.784722E-5 | 8.7846434E-5 | 1.1284467 | 1.0E-5 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.4742293E-4 | 9.67404E-4 | 1.0210899 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007429048 | 0.00944674 | 0.009476457 | 1.0031457 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.8164832E-5 | 1.8164832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.784722E-5 | 8.7846434E-5 | 1.1284467 | 1.0E-5 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.4742293E-4 | 9.67404E-4 | 1.0210899 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007429048 | 0.00944674 | 0.009476457 | 1.0031457 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3017944E-5 | 1.6651793E-5 | 1.6651793E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5789995E-5 | 7.1363116E-5 | 8.136241E-5 | 1.1401184 | 1.0E-5 | 6.790315E-4 | 8.6854334E-4 | 8.88526E-4 | 1.023007 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0067696036 | 0.008664233 | 0.008693973 | 1.0034325 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.470016E-6 | 1.2039209E-5 | 1.2039209E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.058515E-5 | 5.159578E-5 | 5.159578E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.940122E-4 | 6.280315E-4 | 6.280315E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004929154 | 0.006273248 | 0.006273248 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 8.314155E-6 | 1.040749E-5 | 1.040749E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5631605E-5 | 4.4602948E-5 | 4.4602948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3372845E-4 | 5.4293784E-4 | 5.4293784E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004328829 | 0.0054270807 | 0.0054270807 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.4856364E-6 | 3.8134033E-6 | 3.8134033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4938357E-5 | 1.6343065E-5 | 1.6343065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8185932E-4 | 1.9896074E-4 | 1.9896074E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018171056 | 0.0019894529 | 0.0019894529 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.2645952E-6 | 2.152909E-6 | 2.152909E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.705372E-6 | 9.226722E-6 | 9.226722E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18156495E-4 | 1.12329755E-4 | 1.12329755E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011809369 | 0.0011233138 | 0.0011233138 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.7864003E-6 | 1.5430741E-6 | 1.5430741E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.655979E-6 | 6.613158E-6 | 6.613158E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3207556E-5 | 8.051228E-5 | 8.051228E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.316847E-4 | 8.052856E-4 | 8.052856E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.7315456E-6 | 1.4733466E-6 | 1.4733466E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.420889E-6 | 6.314328E-6 | 6.314328E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.034557E-5 | 7.687428E-5 | 7.687428E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0308854E-4 | 7.68921E-4 | 7.68921E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.6008337E-6 | 1.3574178E-6 | 1.3574178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.860698E-6 | 5.817492E-6 | 5.817492E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.352579E-5 | 7.082572E-5 | 7.082572E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.34944E-4 | 7.0846075E-4 | 7.0846075E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3320939E-6 | 1.1217794E-6 | 1.1217794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7089615E-6 | 4.8076176E-6 | 4.8076176E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9504385E-5 | 5.853122E-5 | 5.853122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9482654E-4 | 5.8530655E-4 | 5.8530655E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.114294E-6 | 9.237087E-7 | 9.237087E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.775537E-6 | 3.9587458E-6 | 3.9587458E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8140613E-5 | 4.81967E-5 | 4.81967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.81254E-4 | 4.8187698E-4 | 4.8187698E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.354081E-7 | 7.6233886E-7 | 7.6233886E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0088858E-6 | 3.2671626E-6 | 3.2671626E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8807087E-5 | 3.9777013E-5 | 3.9777013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.879637E-4 | 3.9770233E-4 | 3.9770233E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.521771E-7 | 6.880688E-7 | 6.880688E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6521824E-6 | 2.948863E-6 | 2.948863E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4464414E-5 | 3.590185E-5 | 3.590185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4455516E-4 | 3.5896365E-4 | 3.5896365E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.1803626E-7 | 1.4186368E-7 | 1.4186368E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.344408E-7 | 6.0798715E-7 | 6.0798715E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1376757E-5 | 7.4022278E-6 | 7.4022278E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13761744E-4 | 7.402077E-5 | 7.402077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5183659E-4 | 3.0520977E-4 | 3.1520674E-4 | 1.0327543 | 1.0E-5 | 6.5056595E-4 | 0.0013068188 | 0.0013267926 | 1.0152843 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007891912 | 0.015696203 | 0.015755262 | 1.0037626 | 6.0E-5 | 0.076174594 | 0.13848905 | 0.13854936 | 1.0004355 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5024997E-4 | 3.021517E-4 | 3.1214865E-4 | 1.033086 | 1.0E-5 | 6.437695E-4 | 0.0012937278 | 0.001313702 | 1.0154392 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0078097614 | 0.015539596 | 0.015598663 | 1.0038011 | 6.0E-5 | 0.075409345 | 0.13715863 | 0.13721904 | 1.0004404 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2743923E-4 | 2.5313982E-4 | 2.6313728E-4 | 1.0394939 | 1.0E-5 | 5.460538E-4 | 0.0010839999 | 0.0011039783 | 1.0184302 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0066279583 | 0.013046881 | 0.013106098 | 1.0045388 | 6.0E-5 | 0.064337276 | 0.117256075 | 0.11731786 | 1.000527 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1525114E-4 | 2.2599236E-4 | 2.359901E-4 | 1.0442393 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9383997E-4 | 9.678718E-4 | 9.878525E-4 | 1.020644 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0059959386 | 0.011668079 | 0.011727379 | 1.0050822 | 6.0E-5 | 0.058367174 | 0.106372125 | 0.10643468 | 1.000588 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.07200925E-4 | 2.0840544E-4 | 2.1840337E-4 | 1.0479734 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5935164E-4 | 8.926123E-4 | 9.1259443E-4 | 1.0223862 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0055782744 | 0.010772959 | 0.0108323125 | 1.0055095 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0544031 | 0.099194765 | 0.09925783 | 1.0006356 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.69631E-5 | 1.8734725E-4 | 1.9734538E-4 | 1.0533668 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1548995E-4 | 8.024631E-4 | 8.22447E-4 | 1.0249033 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0050468626 | 0.009694842 | 0.009744356 | 1.0051074 | 5.0E-5 | 0.04933773 | 0.090086564 | 0.09014116 | 1.0006061 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.0552316E-5 | 1.507068E-4 | 1.6070528E-4 | 1.066344 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4517853E-4 | 6.4569083E-4 | 6.656779E-4 | 1.0309546 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0041944524 | 0.007826508 | 0.007876117 | 1.0063386 | 5.0E-5 | 0.04116161 | 0.0748563 | 0.07491181 | 1.0007415 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.815757E-5 | 1.4611272E-4 | 1.5611126E-4 | 1.0684303 | 1.0E-5 | 3.34918E-4 | 6.26014E-4 | 6.4600154E-4 | 1.0319282 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004070005 | 0.007589312 | 0.007638932 | 1.0065383 | 5.0E-5 | 0.039962657 | 0.07270582 | 0.07276146 | 1.0007652 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.965264E-5 | 1.2722758E-4 | 1.3722632E-4 | 1.0785893 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9847719E-4 | 5.4513285E-4 | 5.6512194E-4 | 1.0366683 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036279052 | 0.0066135945 | 0.006663264 | 1.0075102 | 5.0E-5 | 0.03569247 | 0.063801065 | 0.06385724 | 1.0008805 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.8000453E-5 | 1.01439E-4 | 1.01439E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4854968E-4 | 4.346666E-4 | 4.4466226E-4 | 1.0229962 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030218933 | 0.005279322 | 0.005319111 | 1.0075368 | 4.0E-5 | 0.029811295 | 0.051502965 | 0.05155039 | 1.0009208 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.9865852E-5 | 8.568029E-5 | 8.568029E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1369329E-4 | 3.6715003E-4 | 3.7714635E-4 | 1.0272268 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025986114 | 0.004460979 | 0.004490845 | 1.006695 | 3.0E-5 | 0.025684336 | 0.043782018 | 0.043820266 | 1.0008736 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.283875E-5 | 7.1124625E-5 | 7.1124625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8358172E-4 | 3.0478454E-4 | 3.1478147E-4 | 1.0328001 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022328163 | 0.003704494 | 0.003734383 | 1.0080683 | 3.0E-5 | 0.022105146 | 0.03673582 | 0.036774352 | 1.0010488 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.450115E-5 | 5.5778568E-5 | 5.5778568E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.478537E-4 | 2.3902925E-4 | 2.4902687E-4 | 1.0418259 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017986323 | 0.0029063264 | 0.0029362394 | 1.0102923 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017841442 | 0.029079042 | 0.029117879 | 1.0013355 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.5709045E-5 | 4.059001E-5 | 4.059001E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1017697E-4 | 1.7394568E-4 | 1.7394568E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013405791 | 0.0021157486 | 0.0021357064 | 1.0094329 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013325208 | 0.02129686 | 0.021326222 | 1.0013787 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.8003093E-5 | 2.8511378E-5 | 2.8511378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.715383E-5 | 1.2218591E-4 | 1.2218591E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3894306E-4 | 0.0014866006 | 0.001506571 | 1.0134335 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009349857 | 0.015051589 | 0.015071289 | 1.0013088 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.5595824E-5 | 2.5823752E-5 | 2.5823752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.683753E-5 | 1.10668545E-4 | 1.10668545E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.134431E-4 | 0.0013465589 | 0.001366532 | 1.0148326 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008104719 | 0.013651571 | 0.0136712985 | 1.001445 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1110309E-5 | 1.9223195E-5 | 1.9223195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.761474E-5 | 8.2382525E-5 | 8.2382525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.795553E-4 | 0.0010025471 | 0.0010225271 | 1.0199292 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0057804612 | 0.01020344 | 0.010223236 | 1.0019401 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.2140443E-6 | 1.04376995E-5 | 1.04376995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6631347E-5 | 4.4732235E-5 | 4.4732235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.241884E-4 | 5.4447894E-4 | 5.6446804E-4 | 1.0367124 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032371588 | 0.005620102 | 0.00563999 | 1.0035386 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.305533E-6 | 9.433651E-6 | 9.433651E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.27378E-5 | 4.0429306E-5 | 4.0429306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7679754E-4 | 4.9211574E-4 | 5.121059E-4 | 1.0406208 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0027645302 | 0.005074622 | 0.0050945207 | 1.0039212 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.363505E-6 | 7.3854467E-6 | 7.3854467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4414942E-5 | 3.1651532E-5 | 3.1651532E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7548777E-4 | 3.8528934E-4 | 3.952855E-4 | 1.0259445 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017534926 | 0.003948784 | 0.0039587445 | 1.0025225 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.0271132E-6 | 4.4134235E-6 | 4.4134235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.687599E-6 | 1.8914534E-5 | 1.8914534E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05766376E-4 | 2.3026018E-4 | 2.4025787E-4 | 1.0434191 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010571606 | 0.002351194 | 0.0023611705 | 1.0042431 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.2206116E-6 | 2.3752666E-6 | 2.3752666E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2311816E-6 | 1.0179674E-5 | 1.0179674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3687774E-5 | 1.2393051E-4 | 1.2393051E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.366953E-4 | 0.0012705618 | 0.0012705618 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hayward (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.570673E-4 | 3.670637E-4 | 1.027996 | 1.0E-5 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015294008 | 0.0015493702 | 1.013057 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00939654 | 0.018463885 | 0.018512962 | 1.002658 | 5.0E-5 | 0.090090066 | 0.1667085 | 0.16677515 | 1.0003998 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.570673E-4 | 3.670637E-4 | 1.027996 | 1.0E-5 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015294008 | 0.0015493702 | 1.013057 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00939654 | 0.018463885 | 0.018512962 | 1.002658 | 5.0E-5 | 0.090090066 | 0.1667085 | 0.16677515 | 1.0003998 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.8091932E-4 | 3.570673E-4 | 3.670637E-4 | 1.027996 | 1.0E-5 | 7.751381E-4 | 0.0015294008 | 0.0015493702 | 1.013057 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00939654 | 0.018463885 | 0.018512962 | 1.002658 | 5.0E-5 | 0.090090066 | 0.1667085 | 0.16677515 | 1.0003998 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7322872E-4 | 3.4263515E-4 | 3.5263173E-4 | 1.0291755 | 1.0E-5 | 7.4219756E-4 | 0.0014676197 | 0.0014875903 | 1.0136075 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0089988755 | 0.017724147 | 0.017773261 | 1.002771 | 5.0E-5 | 0.08643075 | 0.16065954 | 0.16072668 | 1.000418 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6334097E-4 | 3.2345165E-4 | 3.334484E-4 | 1.0309066 | 1.0E-5 | 6.998449E-4 | 0.0013854936 | 0.0014054659 | 1.0144153 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008487372 | 0.016739927 | 0.016779257 | 1.0023495 | 4.0E-5 | 0.081704415 | 0.15256606 | 0.15262538 | 1.0003889 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5600289E-4 | 3.101982E-4 | 3.2019507E-4 | 1.0322274 | 1.0E-5 | 6.684125E-4 | 0.0013287518 | 0.0013487253 | 1.0150317 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008107598 | 0.016059443 | 0.016098801 | 1.0024507 | 4.0E-5 | 0.078181036 | 0.14684291 | 0.14690264 | 1.0004067 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4046066E-4 | 2.8034003E-4 | 2.9033722E-4 | 1.035661 | 1.0E-5 | 6.018354E-4 | 0.0012009109 | 0.0012208868 | 1.016634 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0073027555 | 0.014524571 | 0.01456399 | 1.0027139 | 4.0E-5 | 0.07067384 | 0.13393044 | 0.13399108 | 1.0004526 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.14696966E-4 | 2.3272466E-4 | 2.3272466E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.914658E-4 | 9.970153E-4 | 0.0010070052 | 1.0100199 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0059671924 | 0.012072163 | 0.012101801 | 1.0024551 | 3.0E-5 | 0.058094822 | 0.11274141 | 0.112794645 | 1.0004722 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.3874296E-5 | 1.8862431E-4 | 1.8862431E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0225635E-4 | 8.081431E-4 | 8.1813504E-4 | 1.012364 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048864787 | 0.009795489 | 0.009815293 | 1.0020218 | 2.0E-5 | 0.047804173 | 0.092592984 | 0.09263836 | 1.00049 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.551852E-5 | 1.0729875E-4 | 1.0729875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3791482E-4 | 4.5977137E-4 | 4.6976676E-4 | 1.02174 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028927654 | 0.005583468 | 0.005603356 | 1.003562 | 2.0E-5 | 0.028553981 | 0.054246075 | 0.05429336 | 1.0008718 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.2662363E-5 | 8.246792E-5 | 8.246792E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8282588E-4 | 3.5338648E-4 | 3.6338295E-4 | 1.0282876 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022236328 | 0.0042940658 | 0.0043139798 | 1.0046376 | 2.0E-5 | 0.022015138 | 0.04206509 | 0.042103406 | 1.0009109 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.305886E-5 | 6.302183E-5 | 6.302183E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4167312E-4 | 2.7006568E-4 | 2.80063E-4 | 1.0370181 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017235056 | 0.003283111 | 0.0033030454 | 1.0060718 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017101998 | 0.032453902 | 0.032492604 | 1.0011926 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.9856887E-5 | 5.701622E-5 | 5.701622E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2795182E-4 | 2.4433242E-4 | 2.5433E-4 | 1.0409179 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015567001 | 0.0029707062 | 0.0029906468 | 1.0067124 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015458403 | 0.029454801 | 0.029493622 | 1.001318 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.4559737E-5 | 4.599286E-5 | 4.599286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0525176E-4 | 1.9709744E-4 | 1.9709744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012806869 | 0.0023970334 | 0.0024070095 | 1.0041618 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012733313 | 0.023858516 | 0.0238878 | 1.0012274 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.9002231E-5 | 3.505084E-5 | 3.505084E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.143559E-5 | 1.502093E-4 | 1.502093E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.910273E-4 | 0.001827274 | 0.0018372558 | 1.0054626 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009866194 | 0.018258808 | 0.01828826 | 1.001613 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2783333E-5 | 2.3331182E-5 | 2.3331182E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4784563E-5 | 9.998698E-5 | 9.998698E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.667979E-4 | 0.0012166675 | 0.0012266553 | 1.0082092 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006648007 | 0.012209443 | 0.0122291995 | 1.001618 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.8149627E-6 | 8.888056E-6 | 8.888056E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.063539E-5 | 3.8091122E-5 | 3.8091122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5120692E-4 | 4.6366194E-4 | 4.736573E-4 | 1.0215575 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025092314 | 0.0046805087 | 0.004690462 | 1.0021266 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.0838227E-7 | 1.205754E-6 | 1.205754E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6073499E-6 | 5.1675065E-6 | 5.1675065E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.174402E-5 | 6.291258E-5 | 6.291258E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1739488E-4 | 6.5296254E-4 | 6.5296254E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.5542808E-7 | 9.792941E-7 | 9.792941E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9518332E-6 | 4.196968E-6 | 4.196968E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.376331E-5 | 5.109689E-5 | 5.109689E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3760769E-4 | 5.321693E-4 | 5.321693E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.3016747E-7 | 7.3869535E-7 | 7.3869535E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4150027E-6 | 3.1658333E-6 | 3.1658333E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7227521E-5 | 3.854334E-5 | 3.854334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7226185E-4 | 3.9932923E-4 | 3.9932923E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.347038E-7 | 5.471963E-7 | 5.471963E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0058731E-6 | 2.3451248E-6 | 2.3451248E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2246436E-5 | 2.8551523E-5 | 2.8551523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2245761E-4 | 2.9357258E-4 | 2.9357258E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.18822804E-7 | 2.6060948E-7 | 2.6060948E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.092405E-7 | 1.1168972E-6 | 1.1168972E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1999854E-6 | 1.359814E-5 | 1.359814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.199812E-5 | 1.3918082E-4 | 1.3918082E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.4353277E-5 | 7.050019E-5 | 8.049948E-5 | 1.1418335 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3292181E-4 | 3.0211007E-4 | 3.2210402E-4 | 1.0661811 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028321352 | 0.0036720056 | 0.0037118588 | 1.0108532 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02796312 | 0.036115844 | 0.036183316 | 1.0018682 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5578287E-5 | 5.822054E-5 | 6.821996E-5 | 1.1717507 | 1.0E-5 | 1.953209E-4 | 2.4949352E-4 | 2.6948852E-4 | 1.0801424 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023754383 | 0.0030333549 | 0.003063264 | 1.00986 | 3.0E-5 | 0.023502063 | 0.029919893 | 0.029968396 | 1.0016211 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8536782E-5 | 3.4736422E-5 | 4.4736073E-5 | 1.2878723 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2229476E-4 | 1.4886161E-4 | 1.6885863E-4 | 1.134333 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014879217 | 0.0018108576 | 0.0018408033 | 1.0165367 | 3.0E-5 | 0.014779986 | 0.017958276 | 0.018007379 | 1.0027342 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3698774E-5 | 2.8213344E-5 | 3.8213064E-5 | 1.3544322 | 1.0E-5 | 1.01562226E-4 | 1.2090833E-4 | 1.409059E-4 | 1.1653945 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012358186 | 0.001471051 | 0.0014910216 | 1.0135757 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012289686 | 0.014611455 | 0.014641016 | 1.0020232 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9191197E-5 | 2.212289E-5 | 3.212267E-5 | 1.4520105 | 1.0E-5 | 8.2245395E-5 | 9.4808805E-5 | 1.04807856E-4 | 1.1054654 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010008777 | 0.0011536906 | 0.0011636791 | 1.0086578 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009963818 | 0.011477022 | 0.011496793 | 1.0017226 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5203241E-5 | 1.6801298E-5 | 1.6801298E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5155116E-5 | 7.200338E-5 | 7.200338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9297484E-4 | 8.76301E-4 | 8.76301E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007901512 | 0.008729581 | 0.008739494 | 1.0011356 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0984925E-5 | 1.12425605E-5 | 1.12425605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.70774E-5 | 4.8181533E-5 | 4.8181533E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.730166E-4 | 5.8645604E-4 | 5.8645604E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005715413 | 0.0058494755 | 0.005859417 | 1.0016996 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.134616E-6 | 9.019868E-6 | 9.019868E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9147766E-5 | 3.865602E-5 | 3.865602E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7651984E-4 | 4.7053778E-4 | 4.7053778E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004754993 | 0.00469566 | 0.004705613 | 1.0021197 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.785589E-6 | 7.4519185E-6 | 7.4519185E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3366385E-5 | 3.1936415E-5 | 3.1936415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0616E-4 | 3.887585E-4 | 3.887585E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040541845 | 0.003880988 | 0.0038909493 | 1.0025667 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.579095E-6 | 4.8984666E-6 | 4.8984666E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3910188E-5 | 2.0993268E-5 | 2.0993268E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9106764E-4 | 2.5556443E-4 | 2.5556443E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002906867 | 0.0025528427 | 0.0025628172 | 1.0039072 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.6816688E-6 | 1.521587E-6 | 1.521587E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1492816E-5 | 6.521071E-6 | 6.521071E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3991605E-4 | 7.939124E-5 | 7.939124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013982799 | 7.936375E-4 | 8.036296E-4 | 1.0125902 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.45357E-7 | 7.45357E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.1943835E-6 | 3.1943835E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.889097E-5 | 3.889097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.8884574E-4 | 3.8884574E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.45357E-7 | 7.45357E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.1943835E-6 | 3.1943835E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.889097E-5 | 3.889097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.8884574E-4 | 3.8884574E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7087556E-6 | 6.578663E-7 | 6.578663E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3232177E-6 | 2.819424E-6 | 2.819424E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.915652E-5 | 3.432599E-5 | 3.432599E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9120766E-4 | 3.432109E-4 | 3.432109E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.3804846E-6 | 6.0737113E-7 | 6.0737113E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.6030168E-6 | 2.6030168E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.169131E-5 | 3.169131E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.168719E-4 | 3.168719E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3804846E-6 | 6.0737113E-7 | 6.0737113E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.6030168E-6 | 2.6030168E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.169131E-5 | 3.169131E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.168719E-4 | 3.168719E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elysian Park (Upper)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7035275E-5 | 4.7034904E-5 | 1.2700028 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5871569E-4 | 1.7871251E-4 | 1.1259915 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016618895 | 0.001931122 | 0.001961064 | 1.015505 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.019189863 | 0.019258518 | 1.0035777 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7035275E-5 | 4.7034904E-5 | 1.2700028 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5871569E-4 | 1.7871251E-4 | 1.1259915 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016618895 | 0.001931122 | 0.001961064 | 1.015505 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.019189863 | 0.019258518 | 1.0035777 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7035275E-5 | 4.7034904E-5 | 1.2700028 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5871569E-4 | 1.7871251E-4 | 1.1259915 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016618895 | 0.001931122 | 0.001961064 | 1.015505 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.019189863 | 0.019258518 | 1.0035777 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7035275E-5 | 4.7034904E-5 | 1.2700028 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5871569E-4 | 1.7871251E-4 | 1.1259915 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016618895 | 0.001931122 | 0.001961064 | 1.015505 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.019189863 | 0.019258518 | 1.0035777 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.120244E-5 | 2.120244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.086542E-5 | 9.086542E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011058967 | 0.0011258746 | 1.0180649 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010006315 | 0.011020744 | 0.011060303 | 1.0035895 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.120244E-5 | 2.120244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.086542E-5 | 9.086542E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011058967 | 0.0011258746 | 1.0180649 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010006315 | 0.011020744 | 0.011060303 | 1.0035895 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.813258E-6 | 9.665589E-6 | 9.665589E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.205614E-5 | 4.1423333E-5 | 4.1423333E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.119132E-4 | 5.042196E-4 | 5.1421457E-4 | 1.0198226 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005107356 | 0.0050314795 | 0.0050414293 | 1.0019774 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.801478E-6 | 9.653158E-6 | 9.653158E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2005657E-5 | 4.137006E-5 | 4.137006E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.112989E-4 | 5.0357135E-4 | 5.135663E-4 | 1.0198481 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051012407 | 0.005025026 | 0.0050349757 | 1.0019801 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.102489E-6 | 7.772994E-6 | 7.772994E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4724493E-5 | 3.3312434E-5 | 3.3312434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2268867E-4 | 4.0550836E-4 | 4.0550836E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004218856 | 0.0040481784 | 0.0040481784 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.08275E-6 | 5.481441E-6 | 5.481441E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6068668E-5 | 2.3491682E-5 | 2.3491682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.173398E-4 | 2.8597447E-4 | 2.8597447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031688702 | 0.0028561424 | 0.0028561424 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.5995934E-6 | 4.9827686E-6 | 4.9827686E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3998036E-5 | 2.1354552E-5 | 2.1354552E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9213692E-4 | 2.5996132E-4 | 2.5996132E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029175316 | 0.0025966396 | 0.0025966396 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.709881E-6 | 4.0873906E-6 | 4.0873906E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0185047E-5 | 1.7517272E-5 | 1.7517272E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4572524E-4 | 2.1325232E-4 | 2.1325232E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002454537 | 0.0021305184 | 0.0021305184 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.6063436E-6 | 2.9779412E-6 | 2.9779412E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5455667E-5 | 1.27625435E-5 | 1.27625435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.881565E-4 | 1.55373E-4 | 1.55373E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018799726 | 0.0015526549 | 0.0015526549 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.471135E-6 | 2.0954562E-6 | 2.0954562E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0590536E-5 | 8.980496E-6 | 8.980496E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2893214E-4 | 1.0933213E-4 | 1.0933213E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012885736 | 0.0010927906 | 0.0010927906 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.163943E-6 | 1.0275061E-6 | 1.0275061E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.988318E-6 | 4.40359E-6 | 4.40359E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0731076E-5 | 5.361242E-5 | 5.361242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.071448E-4 | 5.3599785E-4 | 5.3599785E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.99459E-7 | 4.917601E-7 | 4.917601E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.140537E-6 | 2.1075416E-6 | 2.1075416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6060725E-5 | 2.5659032E-5 | 2.5659032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.605767E-4 | 2.5656226E-4 | 2.5656226E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.4667852E-7 | 2.4778313E-7 | 2.4778313E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0571932E-6 | 1.0619274E-6 | 1.0619274E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2871251E-5 | 1.2928893E-5 | 1.2928893E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2870505E-4 | 1.2928178E-4 | 1.2928178E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.2312795E-8 | 7.3864214E-8 | 7.3864214E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.527691E-7 | 3.165609E-7 | 3.165609E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.294955E-6 | 3.854123E-6 | 3.854123E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2948723E-5 | 3.854068E-5 | 3.854068E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7819295E-8 | 1.7565618E-8 | 1.7565618E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1922555E-7 | 7.528122E-8 | 7.528122E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45157E-6 | 9.1654863E-7 | 9.1654863E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45156055E-5 | 9.165463E-6 | 9.165463E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Dry Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.439381E-6 | 2.6439253E-5 | 4.1058683 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597147E-5 | 4.7596594E-5 | 1.7246926 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3595937E-4 | 4.0593586E-4 | 1.2082886 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033560768 | 0.0034358085 | 1.0237573 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.439381E-6 | 2.6439253E-5 | 4.1058683 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597147E-5 | 4.7596594E-5 | 1.7246926 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3595937E-4 | 4.0593586E-4 | 1.2082886 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033560768 | 0.0034358085 | 1.0237573 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.439381E-6 | 2.6439253E-5 | 4.1058683 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597147E-5 | 4.7596594E-5 | 1.7246926 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3595937E-4 | 4.0593586E-4 | 1.2082886 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033560768 | 0.0034358085 | 1.0237573 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.439381E-6 | 2.6439253E-5 | 4.1058683 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597147E-5 | 4.7596594E-5 | 1.7246926 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3595937E-4 | 4.0593586E-4 | 1.2082886 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033560768 | 0.0034358085 | 1.0237573 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.439381E-6 | 2.6439253E-5 | 4.1058683 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597147E-5 | 4.7596594E-5 | 1.7246926 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3595937E-4 | 4.0593586E-4 | 1.2082886 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033560768 | 0.0034358085 | 1.0237573 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.8528623E-6 | 2.9521684E-6 | 2.295211E-5 | 7.7746615 | 2.0E-5 | 1.22264955E-5 | 1.2652138E-5 | 3.2651886E-5 | 2.5807405 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4884741E-4 | 1.540376E-4 | 1.7403452E-4 | 1.1298184 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014874774 | 0.0015401616 | 0.0015601309 | 1.0129657 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.8528623E-6 | 2.9521684E-6 | 2.295211E-5 | 7.7746615 | 2.0E-5 | 1.22264955E-5 | 1.2652138E-5 | 3.2651886E-5 | 2.5807405 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4884741E-4 | 1.540376E-4 | 1.7403452E-4 | 1.1298184 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014874774 | 0.0015401616 | 0.0015601309 | 1.0129657 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.541E-6 | 2.6293578E-6 | 2.2629305E-5 | 8.6064 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0889954E-5 | 1.1268677E-5 | 3.126845E-5 | 2.7748113 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3257713E-4 | 1.3719614E-4 | 1.571934E-4 | 1.1457567 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013249806 | 0.0013719613 | 0.0013919339 | 1.0145577 | 2.0E-5 |
Big Pine (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2706755E-5 | 1.4250602E-5 | 5.425003E-5 | 3.806859 | 4.0E-5 | 5.4456385E-5 | 6.107279E-5 | 1.11069734E-4 | 1.8186452 | 5.0E-5 | 6.628048E-4 | 7.433441E-4 | 7.933069E-4 | 1.0672137 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006608314 | 0.007413639 | 0.0074731945 | 1.0080332 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.342579E-6 | 9.510835E-6 | 2.9510646E-5 | 3.1028447 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5753423E-5 | 4.076021E-5 | 7.0758986E-5 | 1.735982 | 3.0E-5 | 4.3521097E-4 | 4.9616426E-4 | 5.261494E-4 | 1.0604339 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0043435963 | 0.004954155 | 0.004993957 | 1.008034 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.923899E-6 | 7.967221E-6 | 1.7967142E-5 | 2.2551327 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9673516E-5 | 3.4144894E-5 | 5.4144213E-5 | 1.5857191 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6121515E-4 | 4.1565404E-4 | 4.3564572E-4 | 1.0480969 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003606286 | 0.0041521094 | 0.004181985 | 1.0071952 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.728396E-6 | 3.4243646E-6 | 1.342433E-5 | 3.9202397 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1693074E-5 | 1.4675771E-5 | 3.467548E-5 | 2.3627703 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4235388E-4 | 1.7866373E-4 | 1.9866016E-4 | 1.1119221 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014226272 | 0.0017867433 | 0.0018166897 | 1.0167603 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7136944E-6 | 3.4086581E-6 | 1.3408624E-5 | 3.9336958 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1630066E-5 | 1.4608458E-5 | 3.4608165E-5 | 2.3690498 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4158686E-4 | 1.7784433E-4 | 1.9784077E-4 | 1.1124378 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014149669 | 0.0017785623 | 0.001808509 | 1.0168376 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.6971882E-6 | 3.3910032E-6 | 1.3390969E-5 | 3.9489698 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1559327E-5 | 1.4532795E-5 | 3.4532502E-5 | 2.3761778 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4072572E-4 | 1.7692328E-4 | 1.9691975E-4 | 1.1130234 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014063664 | 0.0017693666 | 0.0017993135 | 1.0169252 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.669092E-6 | 3.3610236E-6 | 1.336099E-5 | 3.975274 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1438916E-5 | 1.4404312E-5 | 3.4404024E-5 | 2.388453 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3925991E-4 | 1.7535927E-4 | 1.9535575E-4 | 1.1140316 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013917267 | 0.0017537511 | 0.0017836984 | 1.0170761 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6408059E-6 | 3.3310494E-6 | 1.3331016E-5 | 4.002047 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1317691E-5 | 1.4275853E-5 | 3.4275567E-5 | 2.400947 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3778417E-4 | 1.737955E-4 | 1.9379203E-4 | 1.1150578 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013769877 | 0.0017381381 | 0.001768086 | 1.0172298 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.1786943E-6 | 2.8545066E-6 | 1.2854478E-5 | 4.5032225 | 1.0E-5 | 9.337228E-6 | 1.2233547E-5 | 3.2233304E-5 | 2.6348288 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1367482E-4 | 1.4893398E-4 | 1.68931E-4 | 1.1342677 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011361669 | 0.0014898704 | 0.0015198257 | 1.020106 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.4411696E-6 | 2.0685677E-6 | 1.2068547E-5 | 5.834253 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1764263E-6 | 8.865261E-6 | 2.8865084E-5 | 3.2559767 | 2.0E-5 | 7.51954E-5 | 1.0792949E-4 | 1.2792733E-4 | 1.1852862 | 2.0E-5 | 7.5169955E-4 | 0.0010802548 | 0.0011102224 | 1.0277412 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0073411E-6 | 1.5543274E-6 | 1.1554312E-5 | 7.433641 | 1.0E-5 | 4.317169E-6 | 6.661387E-6 | 2.6661253E-5 | 4.002358 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2560266E-5 | 8.109952E-5 | 1.010979E-4 | 1.2465906 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2547833E-4 | 8.1217213E-4 | 8.421478E-4 | 1.036908 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.947104E-7 | 1.430316E-6 | 1.1430302E-5 | 7.9914517 | 1.0E-5 | 3.834468E-6 | 6.1299124E-6 | 2.612979E-5 | 4.2626696 | 2.0E-5 | 4.6683643E-5 | 7.462928E-5 | 9.462778E-5 | 1.2679714 | 2.0E-5 | 4.6673836E-4 | 7.4751483E-4 | 7.774924E-4 | 1.040103 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.215166E-7 | 1.0112277E-6 | 1.1011218E-5 | 10.88896 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2350691E-6 | 4.333826E-6 | 2.433374E-5 | 5.61484 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7211627E-5 | 5.27631E-5 | 7.276204E-5 | 1.3790329 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7208295E-4 | 5.289683E-4 | 5.489577E-4 | 1.0377895 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.4024807E-7 | 9.220183E-7 | 1.0922009E-5 | 11.845762 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8867761E-6 | 3.951501E-6 | 2.3951421E-5 | 6.061348 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2971257E-5 | 4.8108504E-5 | 6.810754E-5 | 1.4157069 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2968883E-4 | 4.824433E-4 | 5.024337E-4 | 1.0414356 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.6130905E-7 | 8.359109E-7 | 1.0835903E-5 | 12.962988 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5484665E-6 | 3.5824705E-6 | 2.3582399E-5 | 6.5827193 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8852415E-5 | 4.3615746E-5 | 6.3614876E-5 | 1.45853 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8850817E-4 | 4.3752496E-4 | 4.575162E-4 | 1.0456917 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.408184E-7 | 8.1087245E-7 | 1.0810864E-5 | 13.332386 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4606494E-6 | 3.475163E-6 | 2.3475093E-5 | 6.7551055 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7783263E-5 | 4.230933E-5 | 6.2308485E-5 | 1.472689 | 2.0E-5 | 1.778184E-4 | 4.2444657E-4 | 4.4443808E-4 | 1.0471002 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.1428627E-7 | 7.732167E-7 | 1.0773209E-5 | 13.932975 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3469405E-6 | 3.313782E-6 | 2.3313716E-5 | 7.0353804 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6398877E-5 | 4.0344585E-5 | 6.0343777E-5 | 1.4957094 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6397667E-4 | 4.0477706E-4 | 4.2476895E-4 | 1.04939 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7972785E-7 | 5.0782415E-7 | 5.0782415E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70262E-7 | 2.1763874E-6 | 1.2176366E-5 | 5.59476 | 1.0E-5 | 9.377899E-6 | 2.6497206E-5 | 3.6496942E-5 | 1.3773882 | 1.0E-5 | 9.377503E-5 | 2.6633305E-4 | 2.7633036E-4 | 1.037537 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 4.9230927E-8 | 1.1981747E-7 | 1.1981747E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1098968E-7 | 5.135033E-7 | 5.135033E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687964E-6 | 6.2518866E-6 | 6.2518866E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687666E-5 | 6.2971965E-5 | 6.2971965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.6805972E-9 | 4.1051638E-9 | 4.1051638E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5773987E-8 | 1.7593557E-8 | 1.7593557E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9204828E-7 | 2.1420155E-7 | 2.1420155E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.920481E-6 | 2.1898923E-6 | 2.1898923E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Pedro Basin
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.3449043E-5 | 6.337018E-5 | 7.336955E-5 | 1.1577929 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2904722E-4 | 2.7156167E-4 | 2.8155895E-4 | 1.0368141 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027850836 | 0.0033018515 | 0.0033118185 | 1.0030186 | 1.0E-5 | 0.027504366 | 0.03258948 | 0.032647528 | 1.0017811 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.3449043E-5 | 6.337018E-5 | 7.336955E-5 | 1.1577929 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2904722E-4 | 2.7156167E-4 | 2.8155895E-4 | 1.0368141 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027850836 | 0.0033018515 | 0.0033118185 | 1.0030186 | 1.0E-5 | 0.027504366 | 0.03258948 | 0.032647528 | 1.0017811 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.3189454E-5 | 2.6642829E-5 | 2.6642829E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9379584E-5 | 1.1417881E-4 | 1.1417881E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012092749 | 0.0013892875 | 0.0013892875 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012027155 | 0.01381089 | 0.013830613 | 1.0014281 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3189454E-5 | 2.6642829E-5 | 2.6642829E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9379584E-5 | 1.1417881E-4 | 1.1417881E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012092749 | 0.0013892875 | 0.0013892875 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012027155 | 0.01381089 | 0.013830613 | 1.0014281 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.966056E-5 | 2.246342E-5 | 2.246342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.425682E-5 | 9.626848E-5 | 9.626848E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001025344 | 0.0011714787 | 0.0011714787 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010206259 | 0.011657119 | 0.011676886 | 1.0016956 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7342953E-5 | 1.9745152E-5 | 1.9745152E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4324824E-5 | 8.461954E-5 | 8.461954E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.04529E-4 | 0.0010297929 | 0.0010297929 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009008561 | 0.010253932 | 0.010273728 | 1.0019305 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.439804E-5 | 1.6322716E-5 | 1.6322716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.170443E-5 | 6.99528E-5 | 6.99528E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.509924E-4 | 8.513747E-4 | 8.513747E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074845953 | 0.008484333 | 0.0085041635 | 1.0023373 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2634884E-5 | 1.4285298E-5 | 1.4285298E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.414838E-5 | 6.122144E-5 | 6.122144E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.590571E-4 | 7.451466E-4 | 7.451466E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006571059 | 0.007429502 | 0.007449353 | 1.002672 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.146091E-5 | 1.2933193E-5 | 1.2933193E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.911726E-5 | 5.542696E-5 | 5.542696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9783855E-4 | 6.74644E-4 | 6.74644E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059623276 | 0.0067288997 | 0.0067487652 | 1.0029522 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.109035E-6 | 1.0235013E-5 | 1.0235013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9038136E-5 | 4.386376E-5 | 4.386376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7518566E-4 | 5.339384E-4 | 5.339384E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047417083 | 0.0053293095 | 0.005339256 | 1.0018665 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.9351028E-6 | 6.583965E-6 | 6.583965E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5435906E-5 | 2.821682E-5 | 2.821682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0963816E-4 | 3.4350925E-4 | 3.4350925E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030920706 | 0.0034320997 | 0.0034320997 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.1557585E-6 | 2.2096492E-6 | 2.2096492E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.238933E-6 | 9.469892E-6 | 9.469892E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1247819E-4 | 1.15289986E-4 | 1.15289986E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011242128 | 0.0011523172 | 0.0011523172 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.1251979E-6 | 2.1779954E-6 | 2.1779954E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.107958E-6 | 9.334234E-6 | 9.334234E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1088375E-4 | 1.13638525E-4 | 1.13638525E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011082845 | 0.0011358195 | 0.0011358195 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7145798E-6 | 1.7442885E-6 | 1.7442885E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3481783E-6 | 7.475501E-6 | 7.475501E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.94604E-5 | 9.1010515E-5 | 9.1010515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9424395E-4 | 9.0974156E-4 | 9.0974156E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.4467993E-6 | 1.4641878E-6 | 1.4641878E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.200554E-6 | 6.275076E-6 | 6.275076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.548913E-5 | 7.639644E-5 | 7.639644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.546349E-4 | 7.6370913E-4 | 7.6370913E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2803735E-6 | 1.2931506E-6 | 1.2931506E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.487303E-6 | 5.5420624E-6 | 5.5420624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.680587E-5 | 6.747259E-5 | 6.747259E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.678579E-4 | 6.745281E-4 | 6.745281E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.755009E-7 | 6.76947E-7 | 6.76947E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8950008E-6 | 2.9011985E-6 | 2.9011985E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5246063E-5 | 3.532158E-5 | 3.532158E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5240475E-4 | 3.5316538E-4 | 3.5316538E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.211885E-8 | 4.5699714E-8 | 4.5699714E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6622362E-7 | 1.9585592E-7 | 1.9585592E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412677E-6 | 2.3845432E-6 | 2.3845432E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412205E-5 | 2.3845198E-5 | 2.3845198E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.6580573E-9 | 1.5138054E-9 | 1.5138054E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1391674E-8 | 6.4877375E-9 | 6.4877375E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869362E-7 | 7.89882E-8 | 7.89882E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869354E-6 | 7.89882E-7 | 7.89882E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mono Lake 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.3828192E-5 | 5.3827476E-5 | 2.258983 | 3.0E-5 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.0211982E-4 | 1.4211574E-4 | 1.3916568 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012431308 | 0.0013030563 | 1.0482053 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010557966 | 0.012413842 | 0.012473096 | 1.0047733 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.3828192E-5 | 5.3827476E-5 | 2.258983 | 3.0E-5 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.0211982E-4 | 1.4211574E-4 | 1.3916568 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012431308 | 0.0013030563 | 1.0482053 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010557966 | 0.012413842 | 0.012473096 | 1.0047733 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.3828192E-5 | 5.3827476E-5 | 2.258983 | 3.0E-5 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.0211982E-4 | 1.4211574E-4 | 1.3916568 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012431308 | 0.0013030563 | 1.0482053 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010557966 | 0.012413842 | 0.012473096 | 1.0047733 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.3828192E-5 | 5.3827476E-5 | 2.258983 | 3.0E-5 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.0211982E-4 | 1.4211574E-4 | 1.3916568 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012431308 | 0.0013030563 | 1.0482053 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010557966 | 0.012413842 | 0.012473096 | 1.0047733 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.749821E-5 | 2.049101E-5 | 5.0490395E-5 | 2.4640267 | 3.0E-5 | 7.499018E-5 | 8.781861E-5 | 1.278151E-4 | 1.4554443 | 4.0E-5 | 9.1262296E-4 | 0.0010691914 | 0.0011291272 | 1.0560572 | 6.0E-5 | 0.009088841 | 0.01069187 | 0.010751229 | 1.0055517 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.749821E-5 | 2.049101E-5 | 5.0490395E-5 | 2.4640267 | 3.0E-5 | 7.499018E-5 | 8.781861E-5 | 1.278151E-4 | 1.4554443 | 4.0E-5 | 9.1262296E-4 | 0.0010691914 | 0.0011291272 | 1.0560572 | 6.0E-5 | 0.009088841 | 0.01069187 | 0.010751229 | 1.0055517 | 6.0E-5 |
Newport-Inglewood alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9668912E-5 | 3.0404828E-5 | 5.0404222E-5 | 1.6577703 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.3030265E-4 | 1.5030004E-4 | 1.1534688 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015857654 | 0.001625702 | 1.0251844 | 4.0E-5 | 0.015361829 | 0.01579211 | 0.01584132 | 1.0031161 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9668912E-5 | 3.0404828E-5 | 5.0404222E-5 | 1.6577703 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.3030265E-4 | 1.5030004E-4 | 1.1534688 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015857654 | 0.001625702 | 1.0251844 | 4.0E-5 | 0.015361829 | 0.01579211 | 0.01584132 | 1.0031161 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9668912E-5 | 3.0404828E-5 | 5.0404222E-5 | 1.6577703 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.3030265E-4 | 1.5030004E-4 | 1.1534688 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015857654 | 0.001625702 | 1.0251844 | 4.0E-5 | 0.015361829 | 0.01579211 | 0.01584132 | 1.0031161 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.9668912E-5 | 3.0404828E-5 | 5.0404222E-5 | 1.6577703 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.3030265E-4 | 1.5030004E-4 | 1.1534688 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015857654 | 0.001625702 | 1.0251844 | 4.0E-5 | 0.015361829 | 0.01579211 | 0.01584132 | 1.0031161 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.275942E-5 | 1.02725335E-5 | 1.02725335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4682085E-5 | 4.4024422E-5 | 4.4024422E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65551E-4 | 5.358697E-4 | 5.358697E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066356123 | 0.0053462 | 0.0053561465 | 1.0018605 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.275942E-5 | 1.02725335E-5 | 1.02725335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4682085E-5 | 4.4024422E-5 | 4.4024422E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65551E-4 | 5.358697E-4 | 5.358697E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066356123 | 0.0053462 | 0.0053561465 | 1.0018605 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1255358E-5 | 8.661911E-6 | 8.661911E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8236358E-5 | 3.7121958E-5 | 3.7121958E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.871194E-4 | 4.5186782E-4 | 4.5186782E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005855706 | 0.0045096674 | 0.0045196223 | 1.0022075 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0504745E-5 | 7.8998455E-6 | 7.8998455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5019555E-5 | 3.385605E-5 | 3.385605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4797524E-4 | 4.121207E-4 | 4.121207E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054662596 | 0.004113694 | 0.004123653 | 1.0024209 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0476007E-5 | 7.881227E-6 | 7.881227E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4896402E-5 | 3.3776258E-5 | 3.3776258E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.464766E-4 | 4.1114958E-4 | 4.1114958E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005451347 | 0.004104019 | 0.004113978 | 1.0024266 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.076797E-6 | 6.4896567E-6 | 6.4896567E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.889998E-5 | 2.7812519E-5 | 2.7812519E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7350433E-4 | 3.3856515E-4 | 3.3856515E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004724967 | 0.003380531 | 0.003390497 | 1.0029482 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.73795E-6 | 6.2120503E-6 | 6.2120503E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7447822E-5 | 2.6622802E-5 | 2.6622802E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5583185E-4 | 3.2408469E-4 | 3.2408469E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045489795 | 0.0032361522 | 0.00324612 | 1.0030801 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.391299E-6 | 5.9557533E-6 | 5.9557533E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5962214E-5 | 2.5524409E-5 | 2.5524409E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.37752E-4 | 3.1071564E-4 | 3.1071564E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004368907 | 0.0031028416 | 0.0031128104 | 1.0032128 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.796882E-6 | 5.4964826E-6 | 5.4964826E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.341478E-5 | 2.3556144E-5 | 2.3556144E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.06749E-4 | 2.867585E-4 | 2.867585E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040600533 | 0.002863909 | 0.0028738803 | 1.0034817 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.4738833E-6 | 4.6477753E-6 | 4.6477753E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.774492E-5 | 1.9918885E-5 | 1.9918885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3774204E-4 | 2.424856E-4 | 2.424856E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033722918 | 0.0024222268 | 0.0024322027 | 1.0041184 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.382145E-6 | 3.8857215E-6 | 3.8857215E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3066134E-5 | 1.6652988E-5 | 1.6652988E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8079396E-4 | 2.0273139E-4 | 2.0273139E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028043943 | 0.002025479 | 0.0020354588 | 1.0049272 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.648244E-6 | 2.5737634E-6 | 2.5737634E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5635238E-5 | 1.1030369E-5 | 1.1030369E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9034238E-4 | 1.3428657E-4 | 1.3428657E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019017943 | 0.0013420646 | 0.0013520513 | 1.0074412 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.2906888E-6 | 1.547986E-6 | 1.547986E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.817201E-6 | 6.634209E-6 | 6.634209E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1951787E-4 | 8.076857E-5 | 8.076857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011945361 | 8.073989E-4 | 8.173908E-4 | 1.0123755 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.0479874E-7 | 3.397468E-7 | 3.397468E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5919921E-6 | 1.456057E-6 | 1.456057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1557047E-5 | 1.7727363E-5 | 1.7727363E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1552566E-4 | 1.7726087E-4 | 1.7726087E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.16056995E-8 | 9.782997E-9 | 9.782997E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9738713E-8 | 4.1927127E-8 | 4.1927127E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0556863E-7 | 5.1046277E-7 | 5.1046277E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.05567E-6 | 5.1046277E-6 | 5.1046277E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Whittier alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7252182E-5 | 6.725124E-5 | 1.4232409 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0249544E-4 | 2.3248937E-4 | 1.1481215 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024629163 | 0.0025227687 | 1.0243014 | 6.0E-5 | 0.02196019 | 0.024390263 | 0.0244488 | 1.0024 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7252182E-5 | 6.725124E-5 | 1.4232409 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0249544E-4 | 2.3248937E-4 | 1.1481215 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024629163 | 0.0025227687 | 1.0243014 | 6.0E-5 | 0.02196019 | 0.024390263 | 0.0244488 | 1.0024 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.7252182E-5 | 6.725124E-5 | 1.4232409 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0249544E-4 | 2.3248937E-4 | 1.1481215 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024629163 | 0.0025227687 | 1.0243014 | 6.0E-5 | 0.02196019 | 0.024390263 | 0.0244488 | 1.0024 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9617712E-5 | 1.826841E-5 | 3.8268045E-5 | 2.094766 | 2.0E-5 | 8.40732E-5 | 7.829095E-5 | 1.08288594E-4 | 1.3831561 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010231105 | 9.527944E-4 | 9.827658E-4 | 1.0314564 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01018413 | 0.0094904 | 0.009520114 | 1.003131 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5611336E-5 | 1.3604089E-5 | 3.3603817E-5 | 2.4701262 | 2.0E-5 | 6.690401E-5 | 5.8301972E-5 | 8.830022E-5 | 1.5145323 | 3.0E-5 | 8.142519E-4 | 7.096013E-4 | 7.3958E-4 | 1.0422473 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008112748 | 0.0070753377 | 0.0071051256 | 1.0042101 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5150166E-5 | 1.3100744E-5 | 3.310048E-5 | 2.5266109 | 2.0E-5 | 6.492767E-5 | 5.614487E-5 | 7.614375E-5 | 1.3562013 | 2.0E-5 | 7.9020765E-4 | 6.8335526E-4 | 7.033416E-4 | 1.0292474 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007874036 | 0.006814508 | 0.0068343715 | 1.0029149 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.295588E-5 | 1.0380544E-5 | 3.0380337E-5 | 2.9266613 | 2.0E-5 | 5.552402E-5 | 4.44873E-5 | 6.448641E-5 | 1.4495465 | 2.0E-5 | 6.7579525E-4 | 5.415002E-4 | 5.614894E-4 | 1.0369145 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006737438 | 0.005403343 | 0.0054232352 | 1.0036814 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2542085E-5 | 9.899189E-6 | 2.989899E-5 | 3.0203476 | 2.0E-5 | 5.3750682E-5 | 4.2424414E-5 | 6.242357E-5 | 1.4714067 | 2.0E-5 | 6.542181E-4 | 5.163967E-4 | 5.363864E-4 | 1.0387099 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006522954 | 0.005153464 | 0.0051733614 | 1.0038608 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2195878E-5 | 9.49523E-6 | 2.949504E-5 | 3.1063006 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2267E-5 | 4.069322E-5 | 6.0692408E-5 | 1.4914623 | 2.0E-5 | 6.36165E-4 | 4.9532915E-4 | 5.153193E-4 | 1.0403572 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0063434686 | 0.0049436963 | 0.0049635977 | 1.0040256 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1580298E-5 | 8.772739E-6 | 2.8772563E-5 | 3.2797697 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9628903E-5 | 3.759692E-5 | 5.759617E-5 | 1.5319384 | 2.0E-5 | 6.040644E-4 | 4.5764804E-4 | 4.7763888E-4 | 1.0436817 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00602425 | 0.0045684646 | 0.004588373 | 1.0043578 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0964795E-5 | 8.083794E-6 | 2.8083632E-5 | 3.474066 | 2.0E-5 | 4.6991136E-5 | 3.4644378E-5 | 5.4643686E-5 | 1.5772742 | 2.0E-5 | 5.7196687E-4 | 4.217152E-4 | 4.4170677E-4 | 1.0474054 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0057049696 | 0.004210459 | 0.0042303745 | 1.0047301 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0230601E-5 | 7.32646E-6 | 2.7326314E-5 | 3.7298114 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3844695E-5 | 3.1398744E-5 | 5.1398114E-5 | 1.6369481 | 2.0E-5 | 5.336784E-4 | 3.8221394E-4 | 4.022063E-4 | 1.0523068 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005323986 | 0.0038167592 | 0.0038366828 | 1.00522 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.40865E-6 | 6.5430822E-6 | 6.5430822E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.032216E-5 | 2.8041486E-5 | 2.8041486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.908117E-4 | 3.4135283E-4 | 3.4135283E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048972913 | 0.0034094024 | 0.0034094024 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.237384E-6 | 5.5975433E-6 | 5.5975433E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5302593E-5 | 2.3989258E-5 | 2.3989258E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2972428E-4 | 2.920311E-4 | 2.920311E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042889426 | 0.0029167992 | 0.0029167992 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.5316966E-6 | 5.0276153E-6 | 5.0276153E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2278298E-5 | 2.154675E-5 | 2.154675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9291743E-4 | 2.623011E-4 | 2.623011E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039222343 | 0.0026200267 | 0.0026200267 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.149649E-6 | 3.9336355E-6 | 3.9336355E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6355372E-5 | 1.6858336E-5 | 1.6858336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.208294E-4 | 2.052318E-4 | 2.052318E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003203666 | 0.0020505118 | 0.0020505118 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.457711E-6 | 3.3951796E-6 | 3.3951796E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.338998E-5 | 1.4550694E-5 | 1.4550694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8473578E-4 | 1.771411E-4 | 1.771411E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028437122 | 0.0017700798 | 0.0017700798 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.1676276E-6 | 2.3329922E-6 | 2.3329922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7861139E-5 | 9.998504E-6 | 9.998504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1743766E-4 | 1.2172572E-4 | 1.2172572E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021722503 | 0.0012166635 | 0.0012166635 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.384417E-8 | 9.384417E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0218927E-7 | 4.0218927E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.8966467E-6 | 4.8966467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.8965718E-5 | 4.8965718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4397174E-9 | 3.4397174E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4741646E-8 | 1.4741646E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7947953E-7 | 1.7947953E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.794794E-6 | 1.794794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 07 (Orestimba)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9687902E-5 | 3.27575E-5 | 5.2756845E-5 | 1.6105273 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2722766E-4 | 1.4038214E-4 | 1.8037652E-4 | 1.2848965 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0015478961 | 0.0017078844 | 0.0017577991 | 1.029226 | 5.0E-5 | 0.015371585 | 0.016955135 | 0.017014118 | 1.0034788 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9687902E-5 | 3.27575E-5 | 5.2756845E-5 | 1.6105273 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2722766E-4 | 1.4038214E-4 | 1.8037652E-4 | 1.2848965 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0015478961 | 0.0017078844 | 0.0017577991 | 1.029226 | 5.0E-5 | 0.015371585 | 0.016955135 | 0.017014118 | 1.0034788 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9231524E-5 | 2.1159167E-5 | 4.1158743E-5 | 1.9451969 | 2.0E-5 | 8.2418206E-5 | 9.067912E-5 | 1.206764E-4 | 1.330807 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010029797 | 0.0011034822 | 0.0011434382 | 1.0362089 | 4.0E-5 | 0.00998465 | 0.010982441 | 0.011022001 | 1.0036021 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.324766E-5 | 1.4548534E-5 | 2.4548388E-5 | 1.6873446 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6774446E-5 | 6.234942E-5 | 8.2348175E-5 | 1.3207529 | 2.0E-5 | 6.910097E-4 | 7.5884897E-4 | 7.888262E-4 | 1.0395036 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006888649 | 0.0075635235 | 0.007593297 | 1.0039364 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.818645E-6 | 8.57284E-6 | 1.8572755E-5 | 2.1664646 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3508048E-5 | 3.6740246E-5 | 5.673951E-5 | 1.5443422 | 2.0E-5 | 4.078841E-4 | 4.4722404E-4 | 4.7721062E-4 | 1.0670505 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004071363 | 0.0044635804 | 0.0044934466 | 1.0066911 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.3076565E-6 | 5.8178007E-6 | 5.8178007E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.27469E-5 | 2.4933206E-5 | 3.4932957E-5 | 1.4010615 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7690834E-4 | 3.035216E-4 | 3.2351553E-4 | 1.0658731 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0027656353 | 0.00303128 | 0.0030512193 | 1.0065778 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.6003578E-6 | 3.9484953E-6 | 3.9484953E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5430012E-5 | 1.6922022E-5 | 1.6922022E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8784421E-4 | 2.0600771E-4 | 2.1600565E-4 | 1.0485319 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018768552 | 0.0020583214 | 0.0020683007 | 1.0048484 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.5361826E-6 | 2.7834678E-6 | 2.7834678E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0869308E-5 | 1.1929101E-5 | 1.1929101E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3232579E-4 | 1.4522845E-4 | 1.55227E-4 | 1.0688471 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013224703 | 0.0014514653 | 0.0014614508 | 1.0068796 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2115831E-6 | 1.3313797E-6 | 1.3313797E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1924885E-6 | 5.7059065E-6 | 5.7059065E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3216714E-5 | 6.9468166E-5 | 7.946747E-5 | 1.1439408 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3198735E-4 | 6.945596E-4 | 7.045527E-4 | 1.0143876 | 1.0E-5 |
Elsinore (Temecula) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9514995E-5 | 2.251887E-5 | 3.2518645E-5 | 1.444062 | 1.0E-5 | 1.264867E-4 | 9.6505995E-5 | 1.1650407E-4 | 1.207221 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015388876 | 0.0011743492 | 0.0011943257 | 1.0170107 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015282745 | 0.011688135 | 0.011747434 | 1.0050734 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9514995E-5 | 2.251887E-5 | 3.2518645E-5 | 1.444062 | 1.0E-5 | 1.264867E-4 | 9.6505995E-5 | 1.1650407E-4 | 1.207221 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015388876 | 0.0011743492 | 0.0011943257 | 1.0170107 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015282745 | 0.011688135 | 0.011747434 | 1.0050734 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9514995E-5 | 2.251887E-5 | 3.2518645E-5 | 1.444062 | 1.0E-5 | 1.264867E-4 | 9.6505995E-5 | 1.1650407E-4 | 1.207221 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015388876 | 0.0011743492 | 0.0011943257 | 1.0170107 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015282745 | 0.011688135 | 0.011747434 | 1.0050734 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3223649E-5 | 1.840822E-5 | 2.8408034E-5 | 1.5432256 | 1.0E-5 | 9.952613E-5 | 7.889008E-5 | 8.888929E-5 | 1.1267487 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001211057 | 9.600807E-4 | 9.700711E-4 | 1.0104058 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012044783 | 0.009551284 | 0.009580997 | 1.0031109 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.3223649E-5 | 1.840822E-5 | 2.8408034E-5 | 1.5432256 | 1.0E-5 | 9.952613E-5 | 7.889008E-5 | 8.888929E-5 | 1.1267487 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001211057 | 9.600807E-4 | 9.700711E-4 | 1.0104058 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012044783 | 0.009551284 | 0.009580997 | 1.0031109 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8338875E-5 | 1.4750074E-5 | 2.4749927E-5 | 1.6779526 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8592806E-5 | 6.321312E-5 | 7.321249E-5 | 1.158185 | 1.0E-5 | 9.5644733E-4 | 7.6935673E-4 | 7.7934907E-4 | 1.0129879 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009523412 | 0.0076699676 | 0.0076997373 | 1.0038813 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.8223333E-5 | 1.461263E-5 | 2.4612484E-5 | 1.6843295 | 1.0E-5 | 7.809766E-5 | 6.26241E-5 | 7.262348E-5 | 1.159673 | 1.0E-5 | 9.504242E-4 | 7.621905E-4 | 7.721829E-4 | 1.01311 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009463696 | 0.007598796 | 0.007628568 | 1.003918 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7512752E-5 | 1.4026963E-5 | 2.4026822E-5 | 1.7129027 | 1.0E-5 | 7.505249E-5 | 6.0114216E-5 | 7.0113616E-5 | 1.16634 | 1.0E-5 | 9.13381E-4 | 7.316534E-4 | 7.416461E-4 | 1.0136577 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00909636 | 0.0072983317 | 0.0073082587 | 1.0013602 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7417142E-5 | 1.395093E-5 | 2.395079E-5 | 1.716788 | 1.0E-5 | 7.4642754E-5 | 5.978838E-5 | 6.9787784E-5 | 1.1672466 | 1.0E-5 | 9.083966E-4 | 7.27689E-4 | 7.376817E-4 | 1.0137321 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009046922 | 0.007259359 | 0.0072692866 | 1.0013676 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.6402591E-5 | 1.29883665E-5 | 2.2988237E-5 | 1.7699097 | 1.0E-5 | 7.0294926E-5 | 5.5663284E-5 | 6.566273E-5 | 1.1796416 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5550465E-4 | 6.774974E-4 | 6.874907E-4 | 1.0147502 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008522186 | 0.0067598647 | 0.006769797 | 1.0014694 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3912486E-5 | 1.0878067E-5 | 2.0877958E-5 | 1.919271 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9623577E-5 | 4.661947E-5 | 5.6619003E-5 | 1.2144927 | 1.0E-5 | 7.2567526E-4 | 5.674469E-4 | 5.774413E-4 | 1.0176128 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0072331014 | 0.0056635314 | 0.005673475 | 1.0017557 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3405147E-5 | 1.0327192E-5 | 2.0327088E-5 | 1.9683074 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7449364E-5 | 4.4258657E-5 | 5.4258217E-5 | 1.2259345 | 1.0E-5 | 6.9922156E-4 | 5.3871854E-4 | 5.4871314E-4 | 1.0185525 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0069702556 | 0.005377366 | 0.0053873123 | 1.0018497 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.21402E-5 | 8.996479E-6 | 8.996479E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.202839E-5 | 3.8555776E-5 | 3.8555776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.332616E-4 | 4.6931725E-4 | 4.6931725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063146 | 0.0046847262 | 0.0046847262 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.05047775E-5 | 7.571515E-6 | 7.571515E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5019697E-5 | 3.2448956E-5 | 3.2448956E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4797693E-4 | 3.9499588E-4 | 3.9499588E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005466277 | 0.003943348 | 0.003943348 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.624483E-6 | 6.786621E-6 | 6.786621E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.124713E-5 | 2.90852E-5 | 2.90852E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0206814E-4 | 3.5405616E-4 | 3.5405616E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005009353 | 0.0035350726 | 0.0035350726 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.215151E-6 | 5.6353133E-6 | 5.6353133E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5207315E-5 | 2.4151126E-5 | 2.4151126E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2856473E-4 | 2.9400157E-4 | 2.9400157E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004277392 | 0.002936254 | 0.002936254 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.975058E-6 | 4.675836E-6 | 4.675836E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9892764E-5 | 2.003915E-5 | 2.003915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6388362E-4 | 2.439505E-4 | 2.439505E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036328835 | 0.0024369434 | 0.0024369434 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.159604E-6 | 2.326789E-6 | 2.326789E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7826753E-5 | 9.971919E-6 | 9.971919E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1701909E-4 | 1.2140209E-4 | 1.2140209E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021680726 | 0.0012134308 | 0.0012134308 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.384417E-8 | 9.384417E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0218927E-7 | 4.0218927E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.8966467E-6 | 4.8966467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.8965718E-5 | 4.8965718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4397174E-9 | 3.4397174E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4741646E-8 | 1.4741646E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7947953E-7 | 1.7947953E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.794794E-6 | 1.794794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hosgri
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9128403E-5 | 4.912782E-5 | 1.6865951 | 2.0E-5 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.248302E-4 | 1.448277E-4 | 1.1601976 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015037085 | 0.0015187752 | 0.0015387449 | 1.0131485 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01493574 | 0.01508773 | 0.015136976 | 1.003264 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9128403E-5 | 4.912782E-5 | 1.6865951 | 2.0E-5 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.248302E-4 | 1.448277E-4 | 1.1601976 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015037085 | 0.0015187752 | 0.0015387449 | 1.0131485 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01493574 | 0.01508773 | 0.015136976 | 1.003264 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9128403E-5 | 4.912782E-5 | 1.6865951 | 2.0E-5 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.248302E-4 | 1.448277E-4 | 1.1601976 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015037085 | 0.0015187752 | 0.0015387449 | 1.0131485 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01493574 | 0.01508773 | 0.015136976 | 1.003264 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.2914428E-5 | 2.2641956E-5 | 4.2641503E-5 | 1.8832959 | 2.0E-5 | 9.8200995E-5 | 9.703337E-5 | 1.17031435E-4 | 1.2060946 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011949413 | 0.001180746 | 0.0012007224 | 1.0169184 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011885363 | 0.011746123 | 0.011785653 | 1.0033654 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0195741E-5 | 1.9696547E-5 | 2.969635E-5 | 1.5076932 | 1.0E-5 | 8.65503E-5 | 8.4411055E-5 | 9.441021E-5 | 1.1184579 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010532405 | 0.001027222 | 0.0010372117 | 1.009725 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010482626 | 0.010225783 | 0.010245578 | 1.0019358 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9924333E-5 | 1.9408968E-5 | 2.9408775E-5 | 1.5152158 | 1.0E-5 | 8.53872E-5 | 8.317865E-5 | 9.317782E-5 | 1.1202132 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010390934 | 0.0010122315 | 0.0010222214 | 1.0098692 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010342481 | 0.010077244 | 0.010097042 | 1.0019647 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.809694E-5 | 1.7458287E-5 | 2.7458113E-5 | 1.5727838 | 1.0E-5 | 7.7556004E-5 | 7.4819094E-5 | 8.481834E-5 | 1.1336458 | 1.0E-5 | 9.438353E-4 | 9.105431E-4 | 9.2053396E-4 | 1.0109725 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009398366 | 0.009069063 | 0.009088881 | 1.0021853 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.675989E-5 | 1.6042752E-5 | 2.6042591E-5 | 1.6233245 | 1.0E-5 | 7.182612E-5 | 6.8752845E-5 | 7.875216E-5 | 1.1454386 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7413215E-4 | 8.3674554E-4 | 8.467372E-4 | 1.0119411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008707017 | 0.008336853 | 0.008356687 | 1.002379 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5401129E-5 | 1.4614069E-5 | 2.4613923E-5 | 1.6842622 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6003166E-5 | 6.263023E-5 | 7.26296E-5 | 1.1596574 | 1.0E-5 | 8.032922E-4 | 7.6225714E-4 | 7.722495E-4 | 1.013109 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008003947 | 0.0075972863 | 0.0076171346 | 1.0026125 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.356559E-5 | 1.2689955E-5 | 1.2689955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8136946E-5 | 5.438439E-5 | 5.438439E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0758746E-4 | 6.6192925E-4 | 6.6192925E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007053386 | 0.006600378 | 0.006610312 | 1.001505 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2030819E-5 | 1.1095949E-5 | 1.1095949E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.155963E-5 | 4.75532E-5 | 4.75532E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.275577E-4 | 5.788065E-4 | 5.788065E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006257884 | 0.0057737473 | 0.0057836897 | 1.001722 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0972698E-5 | 1.0022167E-5 | 1.0022167E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7025E-5 | 4.2951437E-5 | 4.2951437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.72379E-4 | 5.2280835E-4 | 5.2280835E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057090693 | 0.005216533 | 0.005226481 | 1.001907 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.961926E-6 | 9.034732E-6 | 9.034732E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2693267E-5 | 3.8719707E-5 | 3.8719707E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1966653E-4 | 4.7131052E-4 | 4.7131052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00518453 | 0.0047038523 | 0.0047038523 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.700929E-6 | 7.828089E-6 | 7.828089E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7289166E-5 | 3.354852E-5 | 3.354852E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.53901E-4 | 4.083767E-4 | 4.083767E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00452975 | 0.004076999 | 0.004076999 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.866285E-6 | 6.9987263E-6 | 6.9987263E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3712215E-5 | 2.9994197E-5 | 2.9994197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.103689E-4 | 3.6511818E-4 | 3.6511818E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004096119 | 0.0036459167 | 0.0036459167 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.8381305E-6 | 5.9596814E-6 | 5.9596814E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9305946E-5 | 2.5541241E-5 | 2.5541241E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5674145E-4 | 3.1092027E-4 | 3.1092027E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035616932 | 0.003105584 | 0.003105584 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.503376E-6 | 4.595227E-6 | 4.595227E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3585684E-5 | 1.9693682E-5 | 1.9693682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8711787E-4 | 2.397442E-4 | 2.397442E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002867472 | 0.0023955852 | 0.0023955852 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.6144982E-6 | 2.6521896E-6 | 2.6521896E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5490614E-5 | 1.1366477E-5 | 1.1366477E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8858191E-4 | 1.3837808E-4 | 1.3837808E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018842196 | 0.001383647 | 0.001383647 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.9853494E-6 | 1.1360784E-6 | 1.1360784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.508612E-6 | 4.8688985E-6 | 4.8688985E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0358743E-4 | 5.9277223E-5 | 5.9277223E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010353916 | 5.933389E-4 | 5.933389E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.1818757E-6 | 5.29477E-7 | 5.29477E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0651715E-6 | 2.269185E-6 | 2.269185E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1666724E-5 | 2.7626977E-5 | 2.7626977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1649614E-4 | 2.7691363E-4 | 2.7691363E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.962958E-7 | 2.71365E-7 | 2.71365E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9841215E-6 | 1.1629924E-6 | 1.1629924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6331072E-5 | 1.415934E-5 | 1.415934E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6325134E-4 | 1.4215276E-4 | 1.4215276E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.5033264E-7 | 6.52693E-8 | 6.52693E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.442826E-7 | 2.7972553E-7 | 2.7972553E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.844113E-6 | 3.4056532E-6 | 3.4056532E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.843835E-5 | 3.4072833E-5 | 3.4072833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Cayetano
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169216E-5 | 5.816849E-5 | 3.2014859 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786576E-5 | 1.1786265E-4 | 1.5136646 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760704E-4 | 9.875691E-4 | 1.0421716 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.00943675 | 0.009486278 | 1.0052484 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169216E-5 | 5.816849E-5 | 3.2014859 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786576E-5 | 1.1786265E-4 | 1.5136646 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760704E-4 | 9.875691E-4 | 1.0421716 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.00943675 | 0.009486278 | 1.0052484 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169216E-5 | 5.816849E-5 | 3.2014859 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786576E-5 | 1.1786265E-4 | 1.5136646 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760704E-4 | 9.875691E-4 | 1.0421716 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.00943675 | 0.009486278 | 1.0052484 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169216E-5 | 5.816849E-5 | 3.2014859 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786576E-5 | 1.1786265E-4 | 1.5136646 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760704E-4 | 9.875691E-4 | 1.0421716 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.00943675 | 0.009486278 | 1.0052484 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169216E-5 | 5.816849E-5 | 3.2014859 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786576E-5 | 1.1786265E-4 | 1.5136646 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760704E-4 | 9.875691E-4 | 1.0421716 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.00943675 | 0.009486278 | 1.0052484 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169216E-5 | 5.816849E-5 | 3.2014859 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786576E-5 | 1.1786265E-4 | 1.5136646 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760704E-4 | 9.875691E-4 | 1.0421716 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.00943675 | 0.009486278 | 1.0052484 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169216E-5 | 5.816849E-5 | 3.2014859 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786576E-5 | 1.1786265E-4 | 1.5136646 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760704E-4 | 9.875691E-4 | 1.0421716 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.00943675 | 0.009486278 | 1.0052484 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169216E-5 | 5.816849E-5 | 3.2014859 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786576E-5 | 1.1786265E-4 | 1.5136646 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4760704E-4 | 9.875691E-4 | 1.0421716 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012175002 | 0.00943675 | 0.009486278 | 1.0052484 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.3241924E-5 | 1.7936945E-5 | 5.7936228E-5 | 3.229994 | 4.0E-5 | 9.960445E-5 | 7.687038E-5 | 1.16867304E-4 | 1.5203165 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0012120095 | 9.354987E-4 | 9.7546127E-4 | 1.0427179 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012054204 | 0.0093166195 | 0.009366154 | 1.0053167 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2761007E-5 | 1.7432383E-5 | 5.7431687E-5 | 3.29454 | 4.0E-5 | 9.7543525E-5 | 7.47081E-5 | 1.1470511E-4 | 1.5353771 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011869454 | 9.09195E-4 | 9.491586E-4 | 1.043955 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011806256 | 0.009055741 | 0.009105288 | 1.0054713 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.240283E-5 | 1.7066137E-5 | 5.7065456E-5 | 3.3437827 | 4.0E-5 | 9.600859E-5 | 7.313856E-5 | 1.1313563E-4 | 1.5468671 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011682777 | 8.9010154E-4 | 9.30066E-4 | 1.0448987 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011621549 | 0.008866336 | 0.008915893 | 1.0055894 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.1871154E-5 | 1.658602E-5 | 5.6585355E-5 | 3.4116297 | 4.0E-5 | 9.373015E-5 | 7.108103E-5 | 1.1107818E-4 | 1.5626981 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011405671 | 8.6507126E-4 | 9.0503664E-4 | 1.046199 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011347309 | 0.008617996 | 0.008667566 | 1.0057518 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0714133E-5 | 1.5564563E-5 | 4.5564095E-5 | 2.9274254 | 3.0E-5 | 8.8771834E-5 | 6.670358E-5 | 9.670158E-5 | 1.449721 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010802611 | 8.118168E-4 | 8.417924E-4 | 1.0369241 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010750249 | 0.008089443 | 0.008129119 | 1.0049047 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.8408395E-5 | 1.3996829E-5 | 4.399641E-5 | 3.1433127 | 3.0E-5 | 7.8890735E-5 | 5.9985046E-5 | 8.9983245E-5 | 1.5000947 | 3.0E-5 | 9.600714E-4 | 7.300762E-4 | 7.600543E-4 | 1.0410616 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009559342 | 0.0072776447 | 0.0073173535 | 1.0054563 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.6856795E-5 | 1.285006E-5 | 3.2849803E-5 | 2.5563931 | 2.0E-5 | 7.2241404E-5 | 5.5070537E-5 | 7.506944E-5 | 1.3631506 | 2.0E-5 | 8.7918417E-4 | 6.7028037E-4 | 6.9026696E-4 | 1.0298183 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00875714 | 0.0066834087 | 0.0067132083 | 1.0044588 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2822778E-5 | 9.577415E-6 | 2.9577222E-5 | 3.0882263 | 2.0E-5 | 5.495361E-5 | 4.1045427E-5 | 6.104461E-5 | 1.487245 | 2.0E-5 | 6.688548E-4 | 4.9961504E-4 | 5.1960506E-4 | 1.0400108 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006668452 | 0.0049851923 | 0.0050050924 | 1.0039918 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.6272684E-6 | 3.854899E-6 | 1.3854861E-5 | 3.5940914 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4116642E-5 | 1.6520893E-5 | 2.6520727E-5 | 1.6052841 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9358055E-4 | 2.0112342E-4 | 2.111214E-4 | 1.0497108 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029319301 | 0.0020094248 | 0.0020194047 | 1.0049665 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.5261346E-6 | 2.3407094E-6 | 1.2340686E-5 | 5.2721987 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5111918E-5 | 1.0031574E-5 | 2.0031473E-5 | 1.9968425 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8397206E-4 | 1.2212765E-4 | 1.3212643E-4 | 1.0818715 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018381984 | 0.0012206127 | 0.0012306004 | 1.0081826 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.4826929E-6 | 1.0564395E-6 | 1.1056429E-5 | 10.465748 | 1.0E-5 | 6.354383E-6 | 4.52759E-6 | 1.4527544E-5 | 3.2086706 | 1.0E-5 | 7.736187E-5 | 5.5122033E-5 | 6.512148E-5 | 1.1814057 | 1.0E-5 | 7.733494E-4 | 5.510856E-4 | 5.610801E-4 | 1.018136 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.7568166E-7 | 1.6977887E-7 | 1.0169777E-5 | 59.900135 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1814923E-6 | 7.276235E-7 | 1.0727616E-5 | 14.743361 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4384574E-5 | 8.85878E-6 | 1.8858691E-5 | 2.1288135 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4383643E-4 | 8.858431E-5 | 9.858342E-5 | 1.1128768 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 5.407832E-8 | 2.688677E-8 | 2.688677E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3176422E-7 | 1.15229014E-7 | 1.15229014E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8217257E-6 | 1.4029123E-6 | 1.4029123E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8216898E-5 | 1.40290385E-5 | 1.40290385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Clemente
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.163834E-5 | 1.016367E-4 | 1.2449629 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.4983488E-4 | 3.698279E-4 | 1.0571498 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003480294 | 0.00425141 | 0.0042812824 | 1.0070264 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03426291 | 0.04175603 | 0.04180394 | 1.0011474 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.163834E-5 | 1.016367E-4 | 1.2449629 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.4983488E-4 | 3.698279E-4 | 1.0571498 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003480294 | 0.00425141 | 0.0042812824 | 1.0070264 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03426291 | 0.04175603 | 0.04179436 | 1.0009179 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.9400576E-5 | 4.6452373E-5 | 4.6452373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6884868E-4 | 1.9906677E-4 | 1.9906677E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020537945 | 0.0024209984 | 0.0024309743 | 1.0041205 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020349167 | 0.023952903 | 0.023962663 | 1.0004075 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2590255E-5 | 3.792912E-5 | 3.792912E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3966505E-4 | 1.6254342E-4 | 1.6254342E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016990956 | 0.0019772002 | 0.0019871802 | 1.0050477 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01686163 | 0.019599883 | 0.019609686 | 1.0005002 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.9454652E-5 | 3.4097764E-5 | 3.4097764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2622811E-4 | 1.4612524E-4 | 1.4612524E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015357438 | 0.0017776493 | 0.0017776493 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015251739 | 0.01763747 | 0.01763747 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.790836E-5 | 3.2247463E-5 | 3.2247463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1960178E-4 | 1.3819624E-4 | 1.3819624E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001455179 | 0.0016812662 | 0.0016812662 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014456868 | 0.016688485 | 0.016688485 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.2492153E-5 | 2.5762702E-5 | 2.5762702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.639138E-5 | 1.1040699E-4 | 1.1040699E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011729331 | 0.0013433909 | 0.0013433909 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011667615 | 0.013354417 | 0.013354417 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.9862755E-5 | 2.2666423E-5 | 2.2666423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.512331E-5 | 9.713826E-5 | 9.713826E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010358836 | 0.0011820279 | 0.0011820279 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010310682 | 0.011758701 | 0.011758701 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.6697575E-5 | 1.897771E-5 | 1.897771E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.155907E-5 | 8.133056E-5 | 8.133056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7088346E-4 | 9.897591E-4 | 9.897591E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008674784 | 0.0098545365 | 0.0098545365 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.5218415E-5 | 1.72694E-5 | 1.72694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.522015E-5 | 7.4009666E-5 | 7.4009666E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.93766E-4 | 9.00704E-4 | 9.00704E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007909367 | 0.008971481 | 0.008971481 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.2392958E-5 | 1.4033016E-5 | 1.4033016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3111595E-5 | 6.014015E-5 | 6.014015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4644177E-4 | 7.319679E-4 | 7.319679E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064456454 | 0.0072963564 | 0.0072963564 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0934128E-5 | 1.2375138E-5 | 1.2375138E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6859706E-5 | 5.303527E-5 | 5.303527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7036756E-4 | 6.455204E-4 | 6.455204E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056890585 | 0.0064371997 | 0.0064371997 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.5798805E-6 | 1.0844935E-5 | 1.0844935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1055984E-5 | 4.6477508E-5 | 4.6477508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9974193E-4 | 5.657239E-4 | 5.657239E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049861963 | 0.0056435615 | 0.0056435615 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.0167365E-6 | 9.083918E-6 | 9.083918E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4356988E-5 | 3.8930535E-5 | 3.8930535E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1821605E-4 | 4.7388324E-4 | 4.7388324E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041742986 | 0.0047294297 | 0.0047294297 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.9581017E-6 | 3.3623792E-6 | 3.3623792E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2677518E-5 | 1.4410146E-5 | 1.4410146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5433785E-4 | 1.7543444E-4 | 1.7543444E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001542307 | 0.0017534546 | 0.0017534546 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough north alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.329252E-5 | 8.821269E-5 | 1.0821093E-4 | 1.2267047 | 2.0E-5 | 3.14073E-4 | 3.7800326E-4 | 3.979957E-4 | 1.0528896 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0038171355 | 0.0045930487 | 0.004642819 | 1.010836 | 5.0E-5 | 0.03752231 | 0.045045137 | 0.045092884 | 1.00106 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.7940346E-5 | 4.4884906E-5 | 6.488401E-5 | 1.445564 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6259136E-4 | 1.9235026E-4 | 2.1234641E-4 | 1.1039569 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019777524 | 0.002339431 | 0.0023693608 | 1.0127937 | 3.0E-5 | 0.019602431 | 0.023156732 | 0.023186037 | 1.0012655 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.329672E-5 | 5.3296055E-5 | 1.6006397 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4269259E-4 | 1.6268973E-4 | 1.1401415 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014935739 | 0.0017359206 | 0.0017558859 | 1.0115013 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0148357535 | 0.017226268 | 0.017245922 | 1.0011411 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.329672E-5 | 5.3296055E-5 | 1.6006397 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4269259E-4 | 1.6268973E-4 | 1.1401415 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014935739 | 0.0017359206 | 0.0017558859 | 1.0115013 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0148357535 | 0.017226268 | 0.017245922 | 1.0011411 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.2204576E-5 | 2.544832E-5 | 2.544832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5159E-5 | 1.0905972E-4 | 1.0905972E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001157945 | 0.0013270028 | 0.0013270028 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011519298 | 0.013191959 | 0.013191959 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.1004838E-5 | 2.4024695E-5 | 2.4024695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0017624E-5 | 1.0295897E-4 | 1.0295897E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010954136 | 0.0012528135 | 0.0012528135 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010900296 | 0.012458592 | 0.012458592 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.820557E-5 | 2.070479E-5 | 2.070479E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.802154E-5 | 8.8731824E-5 | 8.8731824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4949827E-4 | 0.0010797799 | 0.0010797799 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009454516 | 0.010746005 | 0.010746005 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.5884485E-5 | 1.7983646E-5 | 1.7983646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.807459E-5 | 7.707051E-5 | 7.707051E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.284929E-4 | 9.3793223E-4 | 9.3793223E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008254109 | 0.009340104 | 0.009340104 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.4331171E-5 | 1.6201066E-5 | 1.6201066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.141786E-5 | 6.94313E-5 | 6.94313E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4750587E-4 | 8.450002E-4 | 8.450002E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074499645 | 0.008418139 | 0.008418139 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.2574203E-5 | 1.4205835E-5 | 1.4205835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3888325E-5 | 6.0880735E-5 | 6.0880735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.558929E-4 | 7.409723E-4 | 7.409723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065396037 | 0.007385203 | 0.007385203 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0883844E-5 | 1.2289262E-5 | 1.2289262E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.664421E-5 | 5.2667205E-5 | 5.2667205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.677453E-4 | 6.4103556E-4 | 6.4103556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00566297 | 0.006391993 | 0.006391993 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.393088E-6 | 1.060702E-5 | 1.060702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.025547E-5 | 4.545787E-5 | 4.545787E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.900001E-4 | 5.533098E-4 | 5.533098E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048892107 | 0.005519418 | 0.005519418 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.190791E-6 | 9.258625E-6 | 9.258625E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.510292E-5 | 3.9679224E-5 | 3.9679224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2729423E-4 | 4.8298817E-4 | 4.8298817E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042647356 | 0.004819465 | 0.004819465 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.268162E-6 | 7.089716E-6 | 7.089716E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6863276E-5 | 3.0384144E-5 | 3.0384144E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2701128E-4 | 3.6986457E-4 | 3.6986457E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003265305 | 0.003692536 | 0.003692536 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.985186E-6 | 5.6426816E-6 | 5.6426816E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1364907E-5 | 2.4182698E-5 | 2.4182698E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600867E-4 | 2.9438498E-4 | 2.9438498E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002597825 | 0.0029399914 | 0.0029399914 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.969678E-6 | 1.969678E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.4414505E-6 | 8.4414505E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 1.02770035E-4 | 1.02770035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1216754E-4 | 0.0010272472 | 0.0010272472 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7533823E-7 | 1.7533823E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.5144936E-7 | 7.5144936E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.14886E-6 | 9.14886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.1485024E-5 | 9.1485024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough south
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.279495E-5 | 1.0425541E-4 | 1.2425332E-4 | 1.1918166 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5478722E-4 | 4.4673498E-4 | 4.6672602E-4 | 1.0447493 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004310982 | 0.0054259133 | 0.0054656966 | 1.0073321 | 4.0E-5 | 0.042283054 | 0.05299303 | 0.05304038 | 1.0008935 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.6961468E-5 | 5.773024E-5 | 6.772966E-5 | 1.1732094 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0124791E-4 | 2.473905E-4 | 2.5738802E-4 | 1.040412 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00244744 | 0.003007886 | 0.0030377957 | 1.0099437 | 3.0E-5 | 0.024206603 | 0.029679636 | 0.029708745 | 1.0009807 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.5079658E-5 | 4.214258E-5 | 5.2142157E-5 | 1.2372797 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5033272E-4 | 1.8059829E-4 | 1.9059649E-4 | 1.0553615 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018287642 | 0.002196587 | 0.002216543 | 1.009085 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018137876 | 0.021751188 | 0.021770753 | 1.0008994 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.5079658E-5 | 4.214258E-5 | 5.2142157E-5 | 1.2372797 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5033272E-4 | 1.8059829E-4 | 1.9059649E-4 | 1.0553615 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018287642 | 0.002196587 | 0.002216543 | 1.009085 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018137876 | 0.021751188 | 0.021770753 | 1.0008994 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7196904E-5 | 3.208715E-5 | 3.208715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16552954E-4 | 1.3750911E-4 | 1.3750911E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014181085 | 0.0016728995 | 0.0016728995 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014090929 | 0.016604666 | 0.016604666 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.5584688E-5 | 3.0101632E-5 | 3.0101632E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0964406E-4 | 1.2900059E-4 | 1.2900059E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013340989 | 0.0015694627 | 0.0015694627 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013261181 | 0.015585332 | 0.015585332 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.2034688E-5 | 2.574271E-5 | 2.574271E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.443096E-5 | 1.1032127E-4 | 1.1032127E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011490905 | 0.0013423412 | 0.0013423412 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011431668 | 0.013343325 | 0.013343325 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.9394853E-5 | 2.254176E-5 | 2.254176E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.311815E-5 | 9.6604E-5 | 9.6604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010114936 | 0.0011755243 | 0.0011755243 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01006902 | 0.011693766 | 0.011693766 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.7615313E-5 | 2.0403182E-5 | 2.0403182E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.549201E-5 | 8.743931E-5 | 8.743931E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1872766E-4 | 0.0010640579 | 0.0010640579 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009149387 | 0.010590198 | 0.010590198 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.5621423E-5 | 1.8026114E-5 | 1.8026114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6947236E-5 | 7.725251E-5 | 7.725251E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.147778E-4 | 9.40147E-4 | 9.40147E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008117969 | 0.009362142 | 0.009362142 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.3444376E-5 | 1.544809E-5 | 1.544809E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7617483E-5 | 6.620443E-5 | 6.620443E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0126704E-4 | 8.057436E-4 | 8.057436E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006990582 | 0.008028555 | 0.008028555 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.2268361E-5 | 1.407303E-5 | 1.407303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2577634E-5 | 6.0311606E-5 | 6.0311606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.399447E-4 | 7.3404907E-4 | 7.3404907E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063810493 | 0.0073165493 | 0.0073165493 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0922655E-5 | 1.2513563E-5 | 1.2513563E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.681054E-5 | 5.3628468E-5 | 5.3628468E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.697693E-4 | 6.5273355E-4 | 6.5273355E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056831064 | 0.0065084435 | 0.0065084435 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.1106753E-6 | 6.928925E-6 | 6.928925E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6188345E-5 | 2.9695057E-5 | 2.9695057E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1879646E-4 | 3.6147775E-4 | 3.6147775E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031833951 | 0.003608943 | 0.003608943 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.933187E-6 | 5.5895525E-6 | 5.5895525E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.114206E-5 | 2.3955008E-5 | 2.3955008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5737417E-4 | 2.9161357E-4 | 2.9161357E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002570763 | 0.0029123505 | 0.0029123505 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.969678E-6 | 1.969678E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.4414505E-6 | 8.4414505E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 1.02770035E-4 | 1.02770035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1216754E-4 | 0.0010272472 | 0.0010272472 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7533823E-7 | 1.7533823E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.5144936E-7 | 7.5144936E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.14886E-6 | 9.14886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.1485024E-5 | 9.1485024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Simi-Santa Rosa
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.198912E-5 | 2.2275388E-5 | 2.2275388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4235686E-5 | 9.54627E-5 | 1.0546175E-4 | 1.104743 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011467156 | 0.0011616825 | 0.0011916477 | 1.0257946 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011408163 | 0.011560547 | 0.0116000855 | 1.00342 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.198912E-5 | 2.2275388E-5 | 2.2275388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4235686E-5 | 9.54627E-5 | 1.0546175E-4 | 1.104743 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011467156 | 0.0011616825 | 0.0011916477 | 1.0257946 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011408163 | 0.011560547 | 0.0116000855 | 1.00342 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.69983E-5 | 1.6668506E-5 | 1.6668506E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.284782E-5 | 7.143466E-5 | 8.1433944E-5 | 1.139978 | 1.0E-5 | 8.865613E-4 | 8.6939917E-4 | 8.7939046E-4 | 1.0114923 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008830327 | 0.0086629 | 0.008682727 | 1.0022887 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.69983E-5 | 1.6668506E-5 | 1.6668506E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.284782E-5 | 7.143466E-5 | 8.1433944E-5 | 1.139978 | 1.0E-5 | 8.865613E-4 | 8.6939917E-4 | 8.7939046E-4 | 1.0114923 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008830327 | 0.0086629 | 0.008682727 | 1.0022887 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4666188E-5 | 1.4052489E-5 | 1.4052489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.285358E-5 | 6.0223705E-5 | 7.0223105E-5 | 1.1660376 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6497364E-4 | 7.330018E-4 | 7.429945E-4 | 1.0136325 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0076234564 | 0.0073083164 | 0.00732817 | 1.0027167 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4666188E-5 | 1.4052489E-5 | 1.4052489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.285358E-5 | 6.0223705E-5 | 7.0223105E-5 | 1.1660376 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6497364E-4 | 7.330018E-4 | 7.429945E-4 | 1.0136325 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0076234564 | 0.0073083164 | 0.00732817 | 1.0027167 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4377586E-5 | 1.3729529E-5 | 1.3729529E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1616774E-5 | 5.883965E-5 | 6.8839065E-5 | 1.1699435 | 1.0E-5 | 7.4992597E-4 | 7.1616215E-4 | 7.26155E-4 | 1.0139533 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007474003 | 0.0071410104 | 0.0071608676 | 1.0027807 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3881404E-5 | 1.3207497E-5 | 1.3207497E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9490372E-5 | 5.6602472E-5 | 6.6601904E-5 | 1.1766608 | 1.0E-5 | 7.240546E-4 | 6.889419E-4 | 6.98935E-4 | 1.014505 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007217 | 0.0068705105 | 0.0068903733 | 1.002891 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0176516E-5 | 9.1541E-6 | 9.1541E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3612912E-5 | 3.923136E-5 | 4.9230966E-5 | 1.2548882 | 1.0E-5 | 5.308578E-4 | 4.775537E-4 | 4.875489E-4 | 1.02093 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052959146 | 0.004766908 | 0.0047868127 | 1.0041755 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.699797E-6 | 8.774672E-6 | 8.774672E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.15699E-5 | 3.760529E-5 | 4.760491E-5 | 1.26591 | 1.0E-5 | 5.05996E-4 | 4.5776463E-4 | 4.6776005E-4 | 1.0218353 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005048454 | 0.0045698346 | 0.0045897434 | 1.0043565 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.4049476E-6 | 6.559291E-6 | 6.559291E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1735104E-5 | 2.8111013E-5 | 3.811073E-5 | 1.3557224 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8630638E-4 | 3.422105E-4 | 3.5220708E-4 | 1.0292118 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038563553 | 0.0034180775 | 0.0034280433 | 1.0029156 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.873439E-6 | 2.759473E-6 | 2.759473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6600346E-5 | 1.1826261E-5 | 2.1826143E-5 | 1.8455658 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0209046E-4 | 1.4397544E-4 | 1.53974E-4 | 1.0694463 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020190678 | 0.0014388453 | 0.0014488308 | 1.00694 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.417706E-6 | 2.367616E-6 | 2.367616E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4647229E-5 | 1.0146887E-5 | 2.0146785E-5 | 1.9855139 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7831543E-4 | 1.2353157E-4 | 1.3353034E-4 | 1.080941 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017817242 | 0.0012346513 | 0.0012446389 | 1.0080894 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.90225E-6 | 1.4073756E-6 | 1.4073756E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.152474E-6 | 6.031596E-6 | 6.031596E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9251854E-5 | 7.343223E-5 | 7.343223E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.920754E-4 | 7.340819E-4 | 7.340819E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.5170556E-6 | 1.1024792E-6 | 1.1024792E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5016507E-6 | 4.7249023E-6 | 4.7249023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.915472E-5 | 5.752418E-5 | 5.752418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9126534E-4 | 5.75094E-4 | 5.75094E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.178732E-6 | 8.5351127E-7 | 8.5351127E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0516987E-6 | 3.6579004E-6 | 3.6579004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1502695E-5 | 4.4534037E-5 | 4.4534037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.148568E-4 | 4.4525208E-4 | 4.4525208E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.8722386E-7 | 4.793211E-7 | 4.793211E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9452417E-6 | 2.0542318E-6 | 2.0542318E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5857727E-5 | 2.5009986E-5 | 2.5009986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5851944E-4 | 2.5007184E-4 | 2.5007184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.5126515E-7 | 3.6731117E-7 | 3.6731117E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3625628E-6 | 1.5741898E-6 | 1.5741898E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8763823E-5 | 1.9165593E-5 | 1.9165593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.87601E-4 | 1.9163951E-4 | 1.9163951E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.3860243E-7 | 2.0075514E-7 | 2.0075514E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4511525E-6 | 8.6037886E-7 | 8.6037886E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7667637E-5 | 1.0475063E-5 | 1.0475063E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7666233E-4 | 1.0474575E-4 | 1.0474575E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.7955386E-7 | 1.4648724E-7 | 1.4648724E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1980875E-6 | 6.278023E-7 | 6.278023E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4586617E-5 | 7.643467E-6 | 7.643467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.458566E-4 | 7.643208E-5 | 7.643208E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.6259015E-8 | 3.335318E-8 | 3.335318E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4111003E-7 | 1.429422E-7 | 1.429422E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9355108E-6 | 1.7403199E-6 | 1.7403199E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.935472E-5 | 1.7403077E-5 | 1.7403077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hayward (No) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.3068506E-5 | 1.739643E-4 | 1.8396258E-4 | 1.0574731 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9880406E-4 | 7.453474E-4 | 7.5534E-4 | 1.0134065 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048446343 | 0.009036727 | 0.009056547 | 1.0021932 | 2.0E-5 | 0.047403704 | 0.086396605 | 0.08643315 | 1.000423 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.055486E-5 | 1.6947639E-4 | 1.794747E-4 | 1.0589952 | 1.0E-5 | 3.880345E-4 | 7.2612526E-4 | 7.36118E-4 | 1.0137618 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047140904 | 0.008804814 | 0.008824638 | 1.0022515 | 2.0E-5 | 0.046153355 | 0.08428568 | 0.0843223 | 1.0004345 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.006742E-5 | 1.6868232E-4 | 1.7868062E-4 | 1.059273 | 1.0E-5 | 3.859461E-4 | 7.227246E-4 | 7.327174E-4 | 1.0138265 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046887742 | 0.00876378 | 0.008783604 | 1.0022621 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0459107 | 0.08390991 | 0.083946556 | 1.0004367 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.8336754E-5 | 1.6547782E-4 | 1.7547616E-4 | 1.0604211 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7853114E-4 | 7.0899865E-4 | 7.1899156E-4 | 1.0140944 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004598882 | 0.008598051 | 0.00861788 | 1.0023061 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04504866 | 0.08240195 | 0.082438655 | 1.0004454 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.526157E-5 | 1.5974796E-4 | 1.5974796E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6535555E-4 | 6.844552E-4 | 6.844552E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044391346 | 0.00830156 | 0.008311477 | 1.0011946 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043514993 | 0.07968467 | 0.07971227 | 1.0003465 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.152396E-5 | 1.5307199E-4 | 1.5307199E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.493416E-4 | 6.558586E-4 | 6.558586E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042449418 | 0.007955993 | 0.007965913 | 1.0012469 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04164765 | 0.07651448 | 0.07654219 | 1.000362 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.987405E-5 | 1.5011412E-4 | 1.5011412E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4227243E-4 | 6.431883E-4 | 6.431883E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041592065 | 0.007802858 | 0.00781278 | 1.0012716 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04082218 | 0.075105876 | 0.07513362 | 1.0003694 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.777665E-5 | 1.4650672E-4 | 1.4650672E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.332859E-4 | 6.277355E-4 | 6.277355E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004050208 | 0.007616053 | 0.0076259766 | 1.001303 | 1.0E-5 | 0.039771806 | 0.0733825 | 0.0734103 | 1.0003788 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.3284005E-5 | 1.3801287E-4 | 1.3801287E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.140365E-4 | 5.9135025E-4 | 5.9135025E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038166929 | 0.007176059 | 0.007185987 | 1.0013835 | 1.0E-5 | 0.037518036 | 0.06929624 | 0.069324166 | 1.0004029 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.458263E-5 | 1.21319164E-4 | 1.21319164E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7675333E-4 | 5.1983615E-4 | 5.1983615E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033642664 | 0.0063107396 | 0.0063206763 | 1.0015746 | 1.0E-5 | 0.033137884 | 0.061224625 | 0.061252788 | 1.00046 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.3853604E-5 | 1.00254634E-4 | 1.00254634E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3078074E-4 | 4.295923E-4 | 4.295923E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028061352 | 0.0052178074 | 0.0052277553 | 1.0019065 | 1.0E-5 | 0.027709642 | 0.050957024 | 0.050985496 | 1.0005587 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.4308683E-5 | 8.17098E-5 | 8.17098E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8988053E-4 | 3.5013806E-4 | 3.5013806E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023093442 | 0.0042546396 | 0.0042645973 | 1.0023403 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022854926 | 0.041824497 | 0.041853245 | 1.0006872 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.295973E-5 | 6.0774026E-5 | 6.0774026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4124835E-4 | 2.6043423E-4 | 2.6043423E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017183421 | 0.0031661994 | 0.0031761678 | 1.0031483 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017051157 | 0.031370014 | 0.03139907 | 1.0009264 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.452256E-5 | 4.518223E-5 | 4.518223E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05092455E-4 | 1.9362383E-4 | 1.9362383E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012787496 | 0.0023548352 | 0.0023648117 | 1.0042366 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0127141625 | 0.023442036 | 0.023471333 | 1.0012498 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.8829967E-5 | 3.4604043E-5 | 3.4604043E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.069736E-5 | 1.4829468E-4 | 1.4829468E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.820475E-4 | 0.0018040023 | 0.0018139842 | 1.0055332 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009777189 | 0.01802003 | 0.01804949 | 1.0016348 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.26374125E-5 | 2.292219E-5 | 2.292219E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4159216E-5 | 9.823428E-5 | 9.823428E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5918895E-4 | 0.0011953521 | 0.00120534 | 1.0083557 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00657237 | 0.011988704 | 0.012008465 | 1.0016482 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.666429E-6 | 8.479636E-6 | 8.479636E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9998828E-5 | 3.6340796E-5 | 3.6340796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4345852E-4 | 4.423606E-4 | 4.5235615E-4 | 1.022596 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024319198 | 0.004458377 | 0.0044683325 | 1.0022329 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.8399318E-7 | 7.1343146E-7 | 7.1343146E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6456839E-6 | 3.0575598E-6 | 3.0575598E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.003602E-5 | 3.7225156E-5 | 3.7225156E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0034213E-4 | 3.86166E-4 | 3.86166E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.5637698E-7 | 5.3666145E-7 | 5.3666145E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.098758E-6 | 2.2999754E-6 | 2.2999754E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3377297E-5 | 2.8001843E-5 | 2.8001843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3376492E-4 | 2.9246495E-4 | 2.9246495E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.7141245E-7 | 3.7293606E-7 | 3.7293606E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3462456E-7 | 1.5982963E-6 | 1.5982963E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.944017E-6 | 1.9459085E-5 | 1.9459085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.943657E-5 | 2.0246378E-4 | 2.0246378E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.1808895E-7 | 2.7512246E-7 | 2.7512246E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.060954E-7 | 1.1790958E-6 | 1.1790958E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.161694E-6 | 1.4355397E-5 | 1.4355397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.161523E-5 | 1.4817173E-4 | 1.4817173E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 5.138535E-8 | 1.12307575E-7 | 1.12307575E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2022292E-7 | 4.8131807E-7 | 4.8131807E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6812106E-6 | 5.860032E-6 | 5.860032E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6811784E-5 | 6.0156468E-5 | 6.0156468E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (No) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8694856E-5 | 6.747457E-5 | 6.747457E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0867554E-4 | 2.891453E-4 | 2.891453E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025376645 | 0.0035146773 | 0.003534607 | 1.0056704 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02508881 | 0.034771074 | 0.034809683 | 1.0011104 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.8694856E-5 | 6.747457E-5 | 6.747457E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0867554E-4 | 2.891453E-4 | 2.891453E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025376645 | 0.0035146773 | 0.003534607 | 1.0056704 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02508881 | 0.034771074 | 0.034809683 | 1.0011104 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.7541962E-5 | 6.5805805E-5 | 6.5805805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0373536E-4 | 2.8199502E-4 | 2.8199502E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024776561 | 0.003427919 | 0.0034478505 | 1.0058144 | 2.0E-5 | 0.024502134 | 0.0339325 | 0.033971142 | 1.0011388 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.6717287E-5 | 6.463939E-5 | 6.463939E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0020158E-4 | 2.7699716E-4 | 2.7699716E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024347296 | 0.0033672696 | 0.0033872023 | 1.0059196 | 2.0E-5 | 0.024082264 | 0.033345006 | 0.033383675 | 1.0011595 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.6276386E-5 | 6.400103E-5 | 6.400103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.983123E-4 | 2.7426204E-4 | 2.7426204E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024117786 | 0.00333408 | 0.0033540134 | 1.0059787 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02385771 | 0.03302388 | 0.03306256 | 1.0011712 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.5720994E-5 | 6.32025E-5 | 6.32025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9593239E-4 | 2.7084045E-4 | 2.7084045E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002382867 | 0.0032925585 | 0.0033124927 | 1.0060543 | 2.0E-5 | 0.023574775 | 0.032621842 | 0.032660536 | 1.0011861 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.549134E-5 | 6.285557E-5 | 6.285557E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.949483E-4 | 2.693539E-4 | 2.693539E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023709119 | 0.0032745146 | 0.003294449 | 1.0060878 | 2.0E-5 | 0.023457756 | 0.03244731 | 0.03248601 | 1.0011928 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.701047E-5 | 5.03607E-5 | 5.03607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5860666E-4 | 2.1581395E-4 | 2.1581395E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019293258 | 0.002624412 | 0.0026343858 | 1.0038004 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019126613 | 0.026125198 | 0.026154416 | 1.0011183 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5523568E-5 | 4.834225E-5 | 4.834225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5223498E-4 | 2.0716486E-4 | 2.0716486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018518851 | 0.0025193577 | 0.0025293324 | 1.0039593 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018365284 | 0.025097623 | 0.02512687 | 1.0011654 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.2946147E-5 | 4.4663826E-5 | 4.4663826E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4119013E-4 | 1.9140259E-4 | 1.9140259E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017176344 | 0.0023278783 | 0.002337855 | 1.0042858 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017044188 | 0.023219762 | 0.023239298 | 1.0008414 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.7682381E-5 | 3.7023216E-5 | 3.7023216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1863338E-4 | 1.5866144E-4 | 1.5866144E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014434044 | 0.0019300217 | 0.0019400023 | 1.0051713 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01434065 | 0.019311164 | 0.019330777 | 1.0010157 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.471967E-5 | 3.328756E-5 | 3.328756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05937135E-4 | 1.4265333E-4 | 1.4265333E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012890215 | 0.0017354497 | 0.0017454323 | 1.0057522 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0128157 | 0.017386293 | 0.017405946 | 1.0011303 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.9748062E-5 | 2.6775411E-5 | 2.6775411E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.463181E-5 | 1.1474685E-4 | 1.1474685E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010299052 | 0.001396171 | 0.001406157 | 1.0071524 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01025145 | 0.014031046 | 0.014050766 | 1.0014054 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.1603734E-5 | 1.5784257E-5 | 1.5784257E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9729337E-5 | 6.7645145E-5 | 6.7645145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.052865E-4 | 8.232826E-4 | 8.332744E-4 | 1.0121365 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060364045 | 0.008308739 | 0.008328574 | 1.002387 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.885381E-6 | 6.035117E-6 | 6.035117E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0937177E-5 | 2.5864532E-5 | 2.5864532E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5488032E-4 | 3.1485534E-4 | 3.2485218E-4 | 1.0317506 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025458818 | 0.0032009764 | 0.0032109444 | 1.0031141 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.0571264E-6 | 4.1554085E-6 | 4.1554085E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3101904E-5 | 1.7808772E-5 | 1.7808772E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5950401E-4 | 2.1680034E-4 | 2.2679816E-4 | 1.0461154 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015938957 | 0.0022209007 | 0.0022308785 | 1.0044926 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.764948E-6 | 2.795641E-6 | 2.795641E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.564041E-6 | 1.1981264E-5 | 1.1981264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.208831E-5 | 1.458622E-4 | 1.5586075E-4 | 1.0685478 | 1.0E-5 | 9.205016E-4 | 0.0015124046 | 0.0015223895 | 1.0066019 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.3173734E-6 | 2.0585271E-6 | 2.0585271E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.645874E-6 | 8.82223E-6 | 8.82223E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.873634E-5 | 1.0740537E-4 | 1.174043E-4 | 1.0930952 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8715087E-4 | 0.0011261607 | 0.0011361494 | 1.0088698 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 9.4429885E-7 | 1.5490102E-6 | 1.5490102E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0469886E-6 | 6.6385983E-6 | 6.6385983E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9270973E-5 | 8.082195E-5 | 9.0821144E-5 | 1.1237187 | 1.0E-5 | 4.926005E-4 | 8.501931E-4 | 8.6018455E-4 | 1.011752 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 6.388233E-7 | 1.11492E-6 | 1.11492E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7378112E-6 | 4.7782196E-6 | 4.7782196E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3332344E-5 | 5.8173282E-5 | 5.8173282E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3327343E-4 | 6.096674E-4 | 6.096674E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.087986E-7 | 5.754721E-7 | 5.754721E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.323422E-6 | 2.4663066E-6 | 2.4663066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6112543E-5 | 3.0026871E-5 | 3.0026871E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6111376E-4 | 3.110238E-4 | 3.110238E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.6725647E-7 | 2.7410795E-7 | 2.7410795E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.168133E-7 | 1.1747478E-6 | 1.1747478E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7271665E-6 | 1.4302462E-5 | 1.4302462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.726824E-5 | 1.4847395E-4 | 1.4847395E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Superstition Mtn)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.4193904E-5 | 9.599558E-5 | 9.599558E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7508775E-4 | 4.1135435E-4 | 4.2135024E-4 | 1.0243 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033440501 | 0.0049981694 | 0.005028019 | 1.0059721 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03294174 | 0.048820045 | 0.04885809 | 1.0007794 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.4193904E-5 | 9.599558E-5 | 9.599558E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7508775E-4 | 4.1135435E-4 | 4.2135024E-4 | 1.0243 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033440501 | 0.0049981694 | 0.005028019 | 1.0059721 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03294174 | 0.048820045 | 0.04885809 | 1.0007794 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.7023593E-5 | 8.3144616E-5 | 8.3144616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4436394E-4 | 3.5629462E-4 | 3.6629106E-4 | 1.0280566 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002971072 | 0.0043309047 | 0.004360775 | 1.006897 | 3.0E-5 | 0.029316625 | 0.042502448 | 0.04254075 | 1.0009011 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.6940098E-5 | 8.298998E-5 | 8.298998E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4400617E-4 | 3.5563204E-4 | 3.656285E-4 | 1.028109 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002966728 | 0.00432287 | 0.0043527405 | 1.0069098 | 3.0E-5 | 0.029274331 | 0.04242582 | 0.042464122 | 1.0009028 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.4171585E-5 | 7.748391E-5 | 7.748391E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3214328E-4 | 3.3204095E-4 | 3.4203762E-4 | 1.0301068 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028226813 | 0.0040367534 | 0.004066632 | 1.0074017 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02787096 | 0.039715026 | 0.039753437 | 1.0009671 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.375144E-5 | 5.6421442E-5 | 5.6421442E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.874927E-4 | 2.417904E-4 | 2.5178798E-4 | 1.0413481 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022803338 | 0.002941 | 0.0029709118 | 1.0101706 | 3.0E-5 | 0.022570757 | 0.029235592 | 0.029264715 | 1.0009961 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.772192E-5 | 2.5488029E-5 | 2.5488029E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1880282E-4 | 1.0922994E-4 | 1.1922885E-4 | 1.09154 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014454646 | 0.0013290826 | 0.001349056 | 1.015028 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014360986 | 0.013540891 | 0.01356062 | 1.001457 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.7124124E-5 | 2.4699055E-5 | 2.4699055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1624106E-4 | 1.0584891E-4 | 1.1584785E-4 | 1.0944643 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014143161 | 0.0012879678 | 0.001307942 | 1.0155083 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014053487 | 0.013134248 | 0.013153985 | 1.0015028 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.5475807E-5 | 2.2164071E-5 | 2.2164071E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0917746E-4 | 9.498548E-5 | 1.0498453E-4 | 1.1052692 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001328425 | 0.0011558468 | 0.0011758236 | 1.0172833 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0132051185 | 0.011821818 | 0.011841581 | 1.0016718 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.1162023E-5 | 1.762564E-5 | 1.762564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.069123E-5 | 7.553629E-5 | 8.553554E-5 | 1.1323767 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011036064 | 9.1927015E-4 | 9.3925174E-4 | 1.0217364 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010981417 | 0.009446762 | 0.009466573 | 1.0020971 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.8754288E-5 | 1.616099E-5 | 1.616099E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037304E-5 | 6.9259564E-5 | 7.925887E-5 | 1.1443744 | 1.0E-5 | 9.781026E-4 | 8.429114E-4 | 8.628945E-4 | 1.0237073 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009738087 | 0.008669995 | 0.008689821 | 1.0022868 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.8678527E-5 | 1.6086136E-5 | 1.6086136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0048376E-5 | 6.8938774E-5 | 7.893809E-5 | 1.1450462 | 1.0E-5 | 9.7415317E-4 | 8.3900883E-4 | 8.5899205E-4 | 1.0238177 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009698939 | 0.008631011 | 0.0086508375 | 1.0022973 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.7804578E-5 | 1.5380709E-5 | 1.5380709E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6303106E-5 | 6.591567E-5 | 7.591501E-5 | 1.151699 | 1.0E-5 | 9.285943E-4 | 8.022301E-4 | 8.2221406E-4 | 1.0249104 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009247236 | 0.008262424 | 0.008282258 | 1.0024006 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.6583685E-5 | 1.4529837E-5 | 1.4529837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1070994E-5 | 6.226926E-5 | 7.226864E-5 | 1.1605829 | 1.0E-5 | 8.649459E-4 | 7.5786654E-4 | 7.778514E-4 | 1.0263699 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00861587 | 0.007817646 | 0.007837489 | 1.0025383 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.6387552E-5 | 1.4394727E-5 | 1.4394727E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.023047E-5 | 6.169024E-5 | 7.1689625E-5 | 1.1620902 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5472054E-4 | 7.508219E-4 | 7.7080686E-4 | 1.0266175 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008514405 | 0.0077470187 | 0.007766864 | 1.0025617 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.5790754E-5 | 1.40354305E-5 | 1.40354305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.767291E-5 | 6.015047E-5 | 7.0149865E-5 | 1.1662397 | 1.0E-5 | 8.236062E-4 | 7.320879E-4 | 7.5207325E-4 | 1.0272992 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008205604 | 0.007557581 | 0.00757743 | 1.0026263 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.4248672E-5 | 1.3054444E-5 | 1.3054444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.106431E-5 | 5.5946428E-5 | 6.594587E-5 | 1.1787324 | 1.0E-5 | 7.432043E-4 | 6.809366E-4 | 7.00923E-4 | 1.0293514 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007407237 | 0.007040175 | 0.007060034 | 1.0028208 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.15449975E-5 | 1.0903222E-5 | 1.0903222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.947762E-5 | 4.672726E-5 | 5.6726793E-5 | 1.2139978 | 1.0E-5 | 6.022235E-4 | 5.6875666E-4 | 5.887453E-4 | 1.0351444 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006005941 | 0.0059102564 | 0.0059301383 | 1.003364 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 9.1391985E-6 | 9.5139185E-6 | 9.5139185E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9167408E-5 | 4.0773306E-5 | 5.07729E-5 | 1.2452486 | 1.0E-5 | 4.767588E-4 | 4.963025E-4 | 5.162926E-4 | 1.040278 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0047573727 | 0.005176809 | 0.0051967055 | 1.0038434 | 2.0E-5 |
7.9 | 6.973017E-6 | 7.3817937E-6 | 7.3817937E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9884017E-5 | 3.163588E-5 | 4.163556E-5 | 1.3160868 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6377716E-4 | 3.8509927E-4 | 4.050916E-4 | 1.0519147 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0036318225 | 0.004051976 | 0.004071895 | 1.0049158 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 5.7638235E-6 | 6.259641E-6 | 6.259641E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4701867E-5 | 2.682676E-5 | 2.682676E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0070372E-4 | 3.2656736E-4 | 3.365641E-4 | 1.0306115 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030029714 | 0.0034535413 | 0.0034635067 | 1.0028856 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 5.1124434E-6 | 5.4953657E-6 | 5.4953657E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1910288E-5 | 2.3551356E-5 | 2.3551356E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6672508E-4 | 2.8670052E-4 | 2.9669766E-4 | 1.0348696 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026640517 | 0.0030403896 | 0.0030503592 | 1.0032791 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 1.1075938E-6 | 5.3348367E-7 | 5.3348367E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7468216E-6 | 2.2863567E-6 | 2.2863567E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.779102E-5 | 2.7836059E-5 | 2.7836059E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.777599E-4 | 3.133962E-4 | 3.133962E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.3584393E-8 | 4.4718784E-9 | 4.4718784E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8218827E-8 | 1.9165192E-8 | 1.9165192E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0881396E-7 | 2.3333622E-7 | 2.3333622E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0881174E-6 | 2.6140672E-6 | 2.6140672E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Gabriel
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.198525E-5 | 2.198513E-5 | 1.8343489 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.1364408E-5 | 8.1362865E-5 | 1.584032 | 3.0E-5 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.251936E-4 | 6.5517484E-4 | 1.0479552 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0056390543 | 0.0062463325 | 0.006276145 | 1.0047728 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.198525E-5 | 2.198513E-5 | 1.8343489 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.1364408E-5 | 8.1362865E-5 | 1.584032 | 3.0E-5 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.251936E-4 | 6.5517484E-4 | 1.0479552 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0056390543 | 0.0062463325 | 0.006276145 | 1.0047728 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.198525E-5 | 2.198513E-5 | 1.8343489 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.1364408E-5 | 8.1362865E-5 | 1.584032 | 3.0E-5 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.251936E-4 | 6.5517484E-4 | 1.0479552 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0056390543 | 0.0062463325 | 0.006276145 | 1.0047728 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.198525E-5 | 2.198513E-5 | 1.8343489 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.1364408E-5 | 8.1362865E-5 | 1.584032 | 3.0E-5 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.251936E-4 | 6.5517484E-4 | 1.0479552 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0056390543 | 0.0062463325 | 0.006276145 | 1.0047728 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.198525E-5 | 2.198513E-5 | 1.8343489 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.1364408E-5 | 8.1362865E-5 | 1.584032 | 3.0E-5 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.251936E-4 | 6.5517484E-4 | 1.0479552 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0056390543 | 0.0062463325 | 0.006276145 | 1.0047728 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.7317824E-6 | 7.717007E-6 | 1.771693E-5 | 2.295829 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8850178E-5 | 3.3072472E-5 | 6.307148E-5 | 1.9070687 | 3.0E-5 | 3.511943E-4 | 4.0258403E-4 | 4.3257195E-4 | 1.0744886 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003506398 | 0.004029533 | 0.004059412 | 1.007415 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.7317824E-6 | 7.717007E-6 | 1.771693E-5 | 2.295829 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8850178E-5 | 3.3072472E-5 | 6.307148E-5 | 1.9070687 | 3.0E-5 | 3.511943E-4 | 4.0258403E-4 | 4.3257195E-4 | 1.0744886 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003506398 | 0.004029533 | 0.004059412 | 1.007415 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.274881E-6 | 7.2459275E-6 | 1.7245855E-5 | 2.3800757 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6892068E-5 | 3.105361E-5 | 6.105268E-5 | 1.9660412 | 3.0E-5 | 3.2736175E-4 | 3.7801306E-4 | 4.0800174E-4 | 1.0793324 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032687993 | 0.0037846796 | 0.0038145662 | 1.0078967 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.996209E-6 | 6.958647E-6 | 1.6958578E-5 | 2.4370508 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5697784E-5 | 2.9822439E-5 | 5.9821545E-5 | 2.005924 | 3.0E-5 | 3.128256E-4 | 3.6302864E-4 | 3.9301775E-4 | 1.0826081 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003123856 | 0.0036353325 | 0.0036652235 | 1.0082223 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.686331E-6 | 6.6236917E-6 | 1.6623626E-5 | 2.509722 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4369761E-5 | 2.8386947E-5 | 5.8386096E-5 | 2.0567937 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9666146E-4 | 3.4555717E-4 | 3.755468E-4 | 1.0867863 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0029626573 | 0.0034611735 | 0.0034910697 | 1.0086375 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.2329838E-6 | 6.1475757E-6 | 1.6147515E-5 | 2.6266475 | 1.0E-5 | 2.242688E-5 | 2.6346492E-5 | 5.63457E-5 | 2.1386416 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7301308E-4 | 3.207221E-4 | 3.5071245E-4 | 1.093509 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002726779 | 0.0032135549 | 0.0032434585 | 1.0093055 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.135671E-6 | 6.0377E-6 | 1.603764E-5 | 2.6562498 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2009834E-5 | 2.5875606E-5 | 5.587483E-5 | 2.1593633 | 3.0E-5 | 2.6793676E-4 | 3.1499073E-4 | 3.4498126E-4 | 1.0952109 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0026761394 | 0.0031564054 | 0.0031863106 | 1.0094745 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.989062E-6 | 5.8710784E-6 | 1.5871019E-5 | 2.7032545 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1381518E-5 | 2.5161527E-5 | 5.5160774E-5 | 2.1922665 | 3.0E-5 | 2.6028889E-4 | 3.0629928E-4 | 3.362901E-4 | 1.0979134 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0025998424 | 0.003069734 | 0.0030996418 | 1.0097429 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.8219395E-6 | 5.7026323E-6 | 1.5702575E-5 | 2.7535663 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0665291E-5 | 2.4439627E-5 | 4.4439137E-5 | 1.8183231 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5157086E-4 | 2.975126E-4 | 3.1750664E-4 | 1.067204 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0025128627 | 0.002982106 | 0.0030020464 | 1.0066867 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.7118383E-6 | 5.5911896E-6 | 1.5591133E-5 | 2.7885182 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0193436E-5 | 2.3962024E-5 | 4.3961547E-5 | 1.8346341 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4582737E-4 | 2.9169934E-4 | 3.116935E-4 | 1.0685438 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002455556 | 0.0029241266 | 0.002944068 | 1.0068196 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.5506545E-6 | 5.4365555E-6 | 1.54365E-5 | 2.83939 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9502659E-5 | 2.329932E-5 | 4.3298853E-5 | 1.8583741 | 2.0E-5 | 2.37419E-4 | 2.8363304E-4 | 3.0362737E-4 | 1.0704937 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002371655 | 0.0028436715 | 0.0028636146 | 1.0070132 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.343636E-6 | 5.2294336E-6 | 1.52293815E-5 | 2.912243 | 1.0E-5 | 1.861545E-5 | 2.241167E-5 | 4.2411222E-5 | 1.8923723 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2661954E-4 | 2.7282868E-4 | 2.928232E-4 | 1.073286 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022638857 | 0.0027358893 | 0.0027558345 | 1.0072902 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.936235E-6 | 2.743946E-6 | 2.743946E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2583803E-5 | 1.1759716E-5 | 1.1759716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5319703E-4 | 1.4316518E-4 | 1.4316518E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015309147 | 0.0014379849 | 0.0014379849 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.4541639E-6 | 9.122518E-7 | 9.122518E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.232116E-6 | 3.9096444E-6 | 3.9096444E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.587337E-5 | 4.7598885E-5 | 4.7598885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.584747E-4 | 4.8078224E-4 | 4.8078224E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 8.098958E-7 | 2.4165956E-7 | 2.4165956E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4709774E-6 | 1.0356835E-6 | 1.0356835E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.225833E-5 | 1.2609373E-5 | 1.2609373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2250296E-4 | 1.2917137E-4 | 1.2917137E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.2473234E-7 | 7.672734E-8 | 7.672734E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.248851E-6 | 3.2883142E-7 | 3.2883142E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7379416E-5 | 4.003515E-6 | 4.003515E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7376044E-4 | 4.215796E-5 | 4.215796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.3162388E-7 | 4.1457096E-8 | 4.1457096E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4212444E-6 | 1.7767324E-7 | 1.7767324E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7303513E-5 | 2.1631695E-6 | 2.1631695E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7302166E-4 | 2.294416E-5 | 2.294416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.0235345E-7 | 1.4032201E-8 | 1.4032201E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3865757E-7 | 6.013801E-8 | 6.013801E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.340643E-6 | 7.3217996E-7 | 7.3217996E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3405143E-5 | 7.921925E-6 | 7.921925E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ortigalita (North)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.711876E-5 | 1.0505308E-4 | 1.0505308E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3046713E-4 | 4.501601E-4 | 4.601556E-4 | 1.0222043 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004016016 | 0.0054680547 | 0.0054879454 | 1.0036376 | 2.0E-5 | 0.039442103 | 0.053455614 | 0.053493474 | 1.0007083 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.607858E-5 | 6.0239887E-5 | 6.0239887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.5814763E-4 | 2.6814506E-4 | 1.0387275 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024014818 | 0.0031387366 | 0.0031586739 | 1.006352 | 2.0E-5 | 0.023756953 | 0.030975312 | 0.031004382 | 1.0009385 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.607858E-5 | 6.0239887E-5 | 6.0239887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.5814763E-4 | 2.6814506E-4 | 1.0387275 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024014818 | 0.0031387366 | 0.0031586739 | 1.006352 | 2.0E-5 | 0.023756953 | 0.030975312 | 0.031004382 | 1.0009385 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.327423E-5 | 4.2476124E-5 | 4.2476124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4259605E-4 | 1.8202956E-4 | 1.8202956E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017347244 | 0.002214206 | 0.0022241839 | 1.0045063 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017212452 | 0.02194574 | 0.02195552 | 1.0004457 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7732503E-5 | 3.4999008E-5 | 3.4999008E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1884817E-4 | 1.499886E-4 | 1.499886E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001446016 | 0.0018248158 | 0.0018248158 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014366428 | 0.018121297 | 0.018121297 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.7689714E-5 | 3.4948822E-5 | 3.4948822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.186648E-4 | 1.4977354E-4 | 1.4977354E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014437864 | 0.0018222018 | 0.0018222018 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014344421 | 0.018095585 | 0.018095585 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.2976905E-5 | 2.871829E-5 | 2.871829E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.846873E-5 | 1.23074E-4 | 1.23074E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011981975 | 0.0014976348 | 0.0014976348 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011917574 | 0.014898733 | 0.014898733 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.9871539E-5 | 2.4904637E-5 | 2.4904637E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.516096E-5 | 1.067312E-4 | 1.067312E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010363415 | 0.0012989199 | 0.0012989199 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010315218 | 0.012936938 | 0.012936938 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 6.5640475E-6 | 7.6054926E-6 | 7.6054926E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.813133E-5 | 3.2594577E-5 | 3.2594577E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.424451E-4 | 3.9676955E-4 | 3.9676955E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034191788 | 0.003960899 | 0.003960899 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.6219683E-6 | 6.5018376E-6 | 6.5018376E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4093928E-5 | 2.7864735E-5 | 2.7864735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.933041E-4 | 3.3920293E-4 | 3.3920293E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029291727 | 0.003387109 | 0.003387109 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.875591E-6 | 4.4847548E-6 | 4.4847548E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6609569E-5 | 1.9220248E-5 | 1.9220248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0220275E-4 | 2.339835E-4 | 2.339835E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020201886 | 0.0023375798 | 0.0023375798 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.6017933E-6 | 1.8570418E-6 | 1.8570418E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8648105E-6 | 7.958732E-6 | 7.958732E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.357586E-5 | 9.689432E-5 | 9.689432E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3544437E-4 | 9.686254E-4 | 9.686254E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.41444E-5 | 2.41444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.034719E-4 | 1.1347087E-4 | 1.0966346 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001259045 | 0.0012890073 | 1.0237976 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012928195 | 0.012967678 | 1.003054 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.41444E-5 | 2.41444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.034719E-4 | 1.1347087E-4 | 1.0966346 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001259045 | 0.0012890073 | 1.0237976 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012928195 | 0.012967678 | 1.003054 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.41444E-5 | 2.41444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.034719E-4 | 1.1347087E-4 | 1.0966346 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001259045 | 0.0012890073 | 1.0237976 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012928195 | 0.012967678 | 1.003054 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.41444E-5 | 2.41444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.034719E-4 | 1.1347087E-4 | 1.0966346 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001259045 | 0.0012890073 | 1.0237976 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012928195 | 0.012967678 | 1.003054 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.41444E-5 | 2.41444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.034719E-4 | 1.1347087E-4 | 1.0966346 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001259045 | 0.0012890073 | 1.0237976 | 3.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012928195 | 0.012967678 | 1.003054 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7282445E-5 | 2.4030476E-5 | 2.4030476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16919524E-4 | 1.0298371E-4 | 1.1298268E-4 | 1.0970927 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014225657 | 0.001253108 | 0.0012830705 | 1.0239105 | 3.0E-5 | 0.014134934 | 0.012869522 | 0.012909007 | 1.0030681 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.7282445E-5 | 2.4030476E-5 | 2.4030476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16919524E-4 | 1.0298371E-4 | 1.1298268E-4 | 1.0970927 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014225657 | 0.001253108 | 0.0012830705 | 1.0239105 | 3.0E-5 | 0.014134934 | 0.012869522 | 0.012909007 | 1.0030681 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.7216198E-5 | 2.3955597E-5 | 2.3955597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1663563E-4 | 1.02662816E-4 | 1.1266179E-4 | 1.0973963 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014191137 | 0.0012492058 | 0.0012791683 | 1.0239853 | 3.0E-5 | 0.014100855 | 0.012830934 | 0.012870421 | 1.0030775 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.7078617E-5 | 2.3872815E-5 | 2.3872815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1604605E-4 | 1.0230807E-4 | 1.1230705E-4 | 1.097734 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001411945 | 0.0012448917 | 0.0012748543 | 1.0240685 | 3.0E-5 | 0.014030075 | 0.0127880825 | 0.012827571 | 1.0030879 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.6982952E-5 | 2.3792329E-5 | 2.3792329E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.15636096E-4 | 1.0196315E-4 | 1.1196214E-4 | 1.0980647 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014069602 | 0.0012406971 | 0.0012706598 | 1.02415 | 3.0E-5 | 0.013980856 | 0.012746378 | 0.012785869 | 1.0030981 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.6449972E-5 | 2.3369357E-5 | 2.3369357E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1335209E-4 | 1.0015055E-4 | 1.1014955E-4 | 1.0998397 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001379188 | 0.0012186535 | 0.001248617 | 1.0245873 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0137065975 | 0.012527733 | 0.012567231 | 1.003153 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.6257849E-5 | 2.3195396E-5 | 2.3195396E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1252879E-4 | 9.940507E-5 | 1.0940407E-4 | 1.1005884 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013691769 | 0.0012095873 | 0.0012395511 | 1.0247718 | 3.0E-5 | 0.013607717 | 0.012437661 | 0.012477163 | 1.0031761 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.5270041E-5 | 2.2390155E-5 | 2.2390155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0829568E-4 | 9.5954296E-5 | 1.0595333E-4 | 1.1042063 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013177024 | 0.0011676198 | 0.0011975848 | 1.0256633 | 3.0E-5 | 0.013099162 | 0.0120187905 | 0.012058309 | 1.0032881 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.339701E-5 | 2.1122027E-5 | 2.1122027E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0026905E-4 | 9.051985E-5 | 1.0051894E-4 | 1.110463 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001220092 | 0.001101524 | 0.0011314909 | 1.027205 | 3.0E-5 | 0.012134149 | 0.011357642 | 0.011397188 | 1.0034819 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.296333E-5 | 2.0852396E-5 | 2.0852396E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.841056E-5 | 8.936436E-5 | 9.936347E-5 | 1.1118914 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011974899 | 0.0010874701 | 0.0011174375 | 1.027557 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011910575 | 0.011216754 | 0.0112563055 | 1.0035261 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.2188895E-5 | 2.037534E-5 | 2.037534E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.50918E-5 | 8.731998E-5 | 9.7319105E-5 | 1.1145114 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011571277 | 0.0010626042 | 0.0010925725 | 1.0282025 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011511209 | 0.010966369 | 0.011005931 | 1.0036075 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.0013189E-5 | 1.8961666E-5 | 1.8961666E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5767984E-5 | 8.126176E-5 | 9.126095E-5 | 1.1230491 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001043725 | 9.889146E-4 | 0.0010188849 | 1.0303063 | 3.0E-5 | 0.010388365 | 0.010224371 | 0.010263963 | 1.0038723 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7230794E-5 | 1.6743043E-5 | 1.6743043E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.384417E-5 | 7.175393E-5 | 8.175321E-5 | 1.1393552 | 1.0E-5 | 8.986819E-4 | 8.732547E-4 | 9.0322853E-4 | 1.0343243 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008950562 | 0.00906292 | 0.009102558 | 1.0043736 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.4478809E-5 | 1.499039E-5 | 1.499039E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.205057E-5 | 6.424295E-5 | 7.424231E-5 | 1.1556491 | 1.0E-5 | 7.552038E-4 | 7.8187784E-4 | 8.118544E-4 | 1.0383391 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0075264242 | 0.008141388 | 0.0081810625 | 1.0048732 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.1114467E-5 | 1.1644517E-5 | 1.1644517E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7632562E-5 | 4.990412E-5 | 5.990362E-5 | 1.2003742 | 1.0E-5 | 5.797721E-4 | 6.074139E-4 | 6.3739566E-4 | 1.0493597 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0057826187 | 0.0063803545 | 0.0064200996 | 1.0062293 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 9.327402E-6 | 9.8986575E-6 | 9.8986575E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9973966E-5 | 4.2422133E-5 | 4.2422133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8657437E-4 | 5.163676E-4 | 5.363573E-4 | 1.0387121 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0048551033 | 0.00544994 | 0.0054797768 | 1.0054747 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 7.0235833E-6 | 6.826985E-6 | 6.826985E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0100724E-5 | 2.9258183E-5 | 2.9258183E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.664147E-4 | 3.5616063E-4 | 3.661571E-4 | 1.0280672 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003658111 | 0.0037874572 | 0.0038073815 | 1.0052606 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.0358202E-6 | 8.9912584E-7 | 8.9912584E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.724915E-6 | 3.853391E-6 | 3.853391E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06220665E-4 | 4.6914047E-5 | 4.6914047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001061699 | 5.3239096E-4 | 5.3239096E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.0051264E-7 | 6.61379E-8 | 6.61379E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5933965E-7 | 2.8344812E-7 | 2.8344812E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.046241E-5 | 3.450976E-6 | 3.450976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0461917E-4 | 4.0120205E-5 | 4.0120205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hunting Creek - Berryessa 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1270982E-4 | 2.0028367E-4 | 2.2027966E-4 | 1.0998384 | 2.0E-5 | 4.8295266E-4 | 8.579912E-4 | 8.779741E-4 | 1.0232903 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0058641075 | 0.010386173 | 0.010405965 | 1.0019057 | 2.0E-5 | 0.057117578 | 0.09804048 | 0.09807656 | 1.000368 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1239393E-4 | 1.9976508E-4 | 2.1976109E-4 | 1.1000975 | 2.0E-5 | 4.8159933E-4 | 8.557703E-4 | 8.757532E-4 | 1.0233507 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0058477195 | 0.010359417 | 0.010379209 | 1.0019106 | 2.0E-5 | 0.056962132 | 0.09779895 | 0.097835034 | 1.000369 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.596265E-5 | 1.2933646E-4 | 1.2933646E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2551357E-4 | 5.5415573E-4 | 5.5415573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039559277 | 0.0067213587 | 0.0067213587 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.038862433 | 0.06459229 | 0.064601645 | 1.0001448 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.78794E-5 | 1.1448377E-4 | 1.1448377E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9087928E-4 | 4.9052597E-4 | 4.9052597E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003535705 | 0.005952661 | 0.005952661 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.034799766 | 0.057466213 | 0.057475638 | 1.000164 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.2165134E-5 | 1.0434825E-4 | 1.0434825E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6639478E-4 | 4.4711027E-4 | 4.4711027E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032385332 | 0.0054274183 | 0.0054274183 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03191742 | 0.05255138 | 0.052560855 | 1.0001802 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.4368087E-5 | 9.070258E-5 | 9.070258E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3298527E-4 | 3.886537E-4 | 3.886537E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028329059 | 0.0047197016 | 0.0047197016 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.027970633 | 0.045881182 | 0.045890722 | 1.0002079 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.729947E-5 | 7.847101E-5 | 7.847101E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0269625E-4 | 3.3624718E-4 | 3.3624718E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002465034 | 0.004084746 | 0.004084746 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02437869 | 0.03985269 | 0.03986229 | 1.0002409 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6875328E-5 | 6.0443555E-5 | 6.0443555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5802756E-4 | 2.5900968E-4 | 2.5900968E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019222875 | 0.0031482724 | 0.0031482724 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019057442 | 0.03089371 | 0.0309034 | 1.0003136 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.0292036E-5 | 2.8976721E-5 | 2.8976721E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6962966E-5 | 1.2417998E-4 | 1.2417998E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010582599 | 0.0015108302 | 0.0015108302 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010532344 | 0.0149790775 | 0.0149790775 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.7871042E-5 | 2.4472653E-5 | 2.4472653E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.658793E-5 | 1.04878585E-4 | 1.04878585E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.320591E-4 | 0.0012761486 | 0.0012761486 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009281595 | 0.012680395 | 0.012680395 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.6415532E-5 | 2.1906566E-5 | 2.1906566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.035038E-5 | 9.388191E-5 | 9.388191E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.561793E-4 | 0.0011424144 | 0.0011424144 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008528882 | 0.011365017 | 0.011365017 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.5409885E-5 | 2.0346588E-5 | 2.0346588E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6040695E-5 | 8.719676E-5 | 8.719676E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0374884E-4 | 0.0010611062 | 0.0010611062 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00800848 | 0.010560924 | 0.010560924 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.4497423E-5 | 1.905519E-5 | 1.905519E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.213033E-5 | 8.166256E-5 | 8.166256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5617427E-4 | 9.937913E-4 | 9.937913E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0075360634 | 0.00989425 | 0.00989425 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3615175E-5 | 1.7826347E-5 | 1.7826347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8349444E-5 | 7.6396405E-5 | 7.6396405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.101729E-4 | 9.297323E-4 | 9.297323E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0070790765 | 0.009259124 | 0.009259124 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.2252825E-5 | 1.6026455E-5 | 1.6026455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.251105E-5 | 6.868302E-5 | 6.868302E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.391345E-4 | 8.3589775E-4 | 8.3589775E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063729943 | 0.008328172 | 0.008328172 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.0913301E-5 | 1.4241286E-5 | 1.4241286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6770452E-5 | 6.103267E-5 | 6.103267E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6928146E-4 | 7.428222E-4 | 7.428222E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056782532 | 0.0074039865 | 0.0074039865 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.623192E-6 | 1.12347825E-5 | 1.12347825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6956015E-5 | 4.8148195E-5 | 4.8148195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4984656E-4 | 5.8604917E-4 | 5.8604917E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00448937 | 0.005845504 | 0.005845504 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.0993634E-6 | 2.66264E-6 | 2.66264E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.997241E-6 | 1.1411265E-5 | 1.1411265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.09535904E-4 | 1.3892337E-4 | 1.3892337E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010948193 | 0.0013883994 | 0.0013883994 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.8428308E-7 | 2.1674624E-7 | 2.1674624E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.897844E-7 | 9.289122E-7 | 9.289122E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.615583E-6 | 1.130945E-5 | 1.130945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.615166E-5 | 1.1308173E-4 | 1.1308173E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Malibu Coast (Extension) alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.930738E-6 | 9.3292765E-6 | 9.3292765E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.827403E-5 | 3.998201E-5 | 4.9981612E-5 | 1.2501025 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6588664E-4 | 4.86674E-4 | 5.166594E-4 | 1.061613 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0046491115 | 0.004856264 | 0.0048960703 | 1.0081968 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.199952E-6 | 7.5302974E-6 | 7.5302974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0856572E-5 | 3.2272306E-5 | 4.2271986E-5 | 1.3098532 | 1.0E-5 | 3.75614E-4 | 3.928451E-4 | 4.228333E-4 | 1.076336 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0037497976 | 0.0039215726 | 0.003961416 | 1.01016 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.3721413E-6 | 6.666792E-6 | 6.666792E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7308892E-5 | 2.8571656E-5 | 3.8571372E-5 | 1.3499873 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3243504E-4 | 3.4780474E-4 | 3.677978E-4 | 1.0574836 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033193815 | 0.0034726441 | 0.00350254 | 1.0086089 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.016345E-6 | 6.295159E-6 | 6.295159E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.578408E-5 | 2.6978976E-5 | 3.6978705E-5 | 1.370649 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1387596E-4 | 3.2841985E-4 | 3.4841328E-4 | 1.0608777 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00313433 | 0.0032793812 | 0.0033092827 | 1.0091181 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.8104883E-6 | 6.0795455E-6 | 6.0795455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4901856E-5 | 2.6054937E-5 | 3.6054676E-5 | 1.3837944 | 1.0E-5 | 3.031379E-4 | 3.17173E-4 | 3.3716665E-4 | 1.063037 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0030272473 | 0.0031672379 | 0.0031971429 | 1.009442 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.476925E-6 | 5.727514E-6 | 5.727514E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3472323E-5 | 2.454626E-5 | 3.4546014E-5 | 1.407384 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8573806E-4 | 2.9881002E-4 | 3.1880403E-4 | 1.0669122 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028537093 | 0.0029841145 | 0.0030140248 | 1.0100232 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.222387E-6 | 5.4585807E-6 | 5.4585807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2381464E-5 | 2.3393708E-5 | 3.3393473E-5 | 1.4274553 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7246025E-4 | 2.8478145E-4 | 3.0477578E-4 | 1.0702093 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0027212645 | 0.002844196 | 0.0028741106 | 1.0105178 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.0337076E-6 | 5.259104E-6 | 5.259104E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1572854E-5 | 2.2538823E-5 | 3.25386E-5 | 1.4436688 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6261783E-4 | 2.743759E-4 | 2.9437043E-4 | 1.0728726 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002623077 | 0.0027404015 | 0.0027703193 | 1.0109173 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.5675624E-6 | 4.7587173E-6 | 4.7587173E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9575122E-5 | 2.0394344E-5 | 3.039414E-5 | 1.490322 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3830103E-4 | 2.4827302E-4 | 2.6826808E-4 | 1.0805365 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023804565 | 0.0024799763 | 0.002509902 | 1.0120668 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.2802412E-6 | 4.4520216E-6 | 4.4520216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8343762E-5 | 1.9079953E-5 | 2.9079762E-5 | 1.5241003 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2331243E-4 | 2.3227383E-4 | 2.5226918E-4 | 1.0860853 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022308815 | 0.0023203273 | 0.0023502577 | 1.0128992 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.9794063E-6 | 4.1301E-6 | 4.1301E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7054486E-5 | 1.770031E-5 | 2.7700133E-5 | 1.5649519 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0761859E-4 | 2.1548007E-4 | 2.3547576E-4 | 1.092796 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020742472 | 0.002152725 | 0.0021826604 | 1.0139059 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.7730424E-6 | 3.911218E-6 | 3.911218E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6170083E-5 | 1.6762255E-5 | 2.6762087E-5 | 1.5965685 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9685295E-4 | 2.0406146E-4 | 2.2405738E-4 | 1.0979897 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019667868 | 0.0020387538 | 0.0020686926 | 1.0146849 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.424985E-6 | 3.541338E-6 | 3.541338E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4678424E-5 | 1.5177075E-5 | 1.5177075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7869516E-4 | 1.8476533E-4 | 1.9476349E-4 | 1.0541127 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017855153 | 0.0018461292 | 0.0018660923 | 1.0108135 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.6966375E-6 | 2.759654E-6 | 2.759654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.15569665E-5 | 1.1827035E-5 | 1.1827035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4069698E-4 | 1.4398468E-4 | 1.5398324E-4 | 1.0694418 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014060794 | 0.001438918 | 0.0014588893 | 1.0138793 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.215957E-6 | 2.249379E-6 | 2.249379E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.496924E-6 | 9.64016E-6 | 9.64016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1561892E-4 | 1.1736266E-4 | 1.2736149E-4 | 1.085196 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011555878 | 0.0011730106 | 0.0011929871 | 1.0170301 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2040218E-6 | 1.2219067E-6 | 1.2219067E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.160083E-6 | 5.2367327E-6 | 5.2367327E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2822204E-5 | 6.3755375E-5 | 6.3755375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.280445E-4 | 6.3737266E-4 | 6.4736634E-4 | 1.0156794 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.6157446E-7 | 6.6789755E-7 | 6.6789755E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.835316E-6 | 2.8624152E-6 | 2.8624152E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4519428E-5 | 3.4849363E-5 | 3.4849363E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4514067E-4 | 3.484405E-4 | 3.58437E-4 | 1.0286893 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.6012302E-7 | 2.4357584E-7 | 2.4357584E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1148124E-6 | 1.0438962E-6 | 1.0438962E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3572758E-5 | 1.2709373E-5 | 1.2709373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3571928E-4 | 1.2708752E-4 | 1.2708752E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.8323132E-8 | 2.0266642E-8 | 2.0266642E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2138484E-7 | 8.685703E-8 | 8.685703E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4778595E-6 | 1.0574839E-6 | 1.0574839E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4778497E-5 | 1.0574797E-5 | 1.0574797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Honey Lake 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.155506E-5 | 7.954708E-5 | 1.19543896E-4 | 1.5028069 | 4.0E-5 | 2.6378073E-4 | 3.4087323E-4 | 3.808596E-4 | 1.1173056 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0032068014 | 0.0041426765 | 0.004182511 | 1.0096155 | 4.0E-5 | 0.03160919 | 0.040703055 | 0.040741425 | 1.0009427 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.155506E-5 | 7.954708E-5 | 1.09544686E-4 | 1.3771051 | 3.0E-5 | 2.6378073E-4 | 3.4087323E-4 | 3.70863E-4 | 1.0879792 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032068014 | 0.0041426765 | 0.0041725524 | 1.0072117 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03160919 | 0.040703055 | 0.040731832 | 1.000707 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.1335024E-5 | 5.257652E-5 | 6.257599E-5 | 1.190189 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7713808E-4 | 2.2530954E-4 | 2.3530729E-4 | 1.0443734 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021545228 | 0.0027398444 | 0.002749817 | 1.0036398 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021337535 | 0.027076809 | 0.027086537 | 1.0003593 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.1335024E-5 | 5.257652E-5 | 6.257599E-5 | 1.190189 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7713808E-4 | 2.2530954E-4 | 2.3530729E-4 | 1.0443734 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021545228 | 0.0027398444 | 0.002749817 | 1.0036398 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021337535 | 0.027076809 | 0.027086537 | 1.0003593 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.2393702E-5 | 4.0887273E-5 | 5.0886865E-5 | 1.2445649 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3882275E-4 | 1.7522006E-4 | 1.852183E-4 | 1.0570611 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016888566 | 0.0021313233 | 0.002141302 | 1.004682 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016760793 | 0.021119867 | 0.021129655 | 1.0004635 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7205504E-5 | 3.4211767E-5 | 4.4211425E-5 | 1.2922871 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1658981E-4 | 1.4661417E-4 | 1.566127E-4 | 1.0681962 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014185566 | 0.0017836596 | 0.0017936417 | 1.0055964 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014095354 | 0.017702963 | 0.017712785 | 1.0005549 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.069265E-5 | 2.5955416E-5 | 3.5955156E-5 | 1.3852661 | 1.0E-5 | 8.867977E-5 | 1.1123324E-4 | 1.2123213E-4 | 1.0898912 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010791414 | 0.0013535074 | 0.0013634939 | 1.0073782 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010739161 | 0.0134610105 | 0.013470876 | 1.0007329 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8060919E-5 | 2.265683E-5 | 3.2656604E-5 | 1.441358 | 1.0E-5 | 7.7401644E-5 | 9.7097545E-5 | 1.0709657E-4 | 1.1029792 | 1.0E-5 | 9.419576E-4 | 0.0011816025 | 0.0011915907 | 1.0084531 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009379748 | 0.0117612425 | 0.011771125 | 1.0008403 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.4474663E-5 | 1.8181274E-5 | 2.8181092E-5 | 1.5500065 | 1.0E-5 | 6.203279E-5 | 7.791785E-5 | 8.791708E-5 | 1.1283303 | 1.0E-5 | 7.5498753E-4 | 9.4831345E-4 | 9.583039E-4 | 1.010535 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007524277 | 0.009450195 | 0.009460101 | 1.0010482 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.564552E-6 | 1.0802311E-5 | 2.0802203E-5 | 1.9257178 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6704707E-5 | 4.6295176E-5 | 5.6294713E-5 | 1.2159952 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4678818E-4 | 5.635644E-4 | 5.735588E-4 | 1.0177342 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044589094 | 0.0056278505 | 0.0056377943 | 1.0017669 | 1.0E-5 |
Hollywood
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.2593229E-5 | 2.2593103E-5 | 1.7940675 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.3969892E-5 | 6.396935E-5 | 1.1852785 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.5689E-4 | 6.7687687E-4 | 1.0304265 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0064745755 | 0.0065499707 | 0.006589709 | 1.0060669 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.2593229E-5 | 2.2593103E-5 | 1.7940675 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.3969892E-5 | 6.396935E-5 | 1.1852785 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.5689E-4 | 6.7687687E-4 | 1.0304265 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0064745755 | 0.0065499707 | 0.006589709 | 1.0060669 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.2593229E-5 | 2.2593103E-5 | 1.7940675 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.3969892E-5 | 6.396935E-5 | 1.1852785 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.5689E-4 | 6.7687687E-4 | 1.0304265 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0064745755 | 0.0065499707 | 0.006589709 | 1.0060669 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.2593229E-5 | 2.2593103E-5 | 1.7940675 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.3969892E-5 | 6.396935E-5 | 1.1852785 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.5689E-4 | 6.7687687E-4 | 1.0304265 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0064745755 | 0.0065499707 | 0.006589709 | 1.0060669 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2431024E-5 | 1.25738425E-5 | 2.2573717E-5 | 1.7952918 | 1.0E-5 | 5.327473E-5 | 5.388681E-5 | 6.388627E-5 | 1.1855642 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4842677E-4 | 6.558791E-4 | 6.75866E-4 | 1.0304735 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0064653796 | 0.0065399213 | 0.0065796594 | 1.0060763 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1242222E-5 | 1.1317804E-5 | 2.131769E-5 | 1.8835536 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8180063E-5 | 4.8503985E-5 | 5.85035E-5 | 1.2061586 | 1.0E-5 | 5.864344E-4 | 5.903787E-4 | 6.003728E-4 | 1.0169283 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058488925 | 0.00588839 | 0.005918213 | 1.0050647 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1234066E-5 | 1.1308918E-5 | 2.1308804E-5 | 1.8842479 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8145106E-5 | 4.8465907E-5 | 5.846542E-5 | 1.2063206 | 1.0E-5 | 5.86009E-4 | 5.899153E-4 | 5.999094E-4 | 1.0169415 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005844661 | 0.0058837803 | 0.005913604 | 1.0050688 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.12294E-5 | 1.1303661E-5 | 2.1303547E-5 | 1.8846592 | 1.0E-5 | 4.812511E-5 | 4.8443377E-5 | 5.8442893E-5 | 1.2064166 | 1.0E-5 | 5.857657E-4 | 5.896412E-4 | 5.996353E-4 | 1.0169494 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058422405 | 0.005881054 | 0.005910877 | 1.0050712 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0252819E-5 | 1.0218449E-5 | 2.0218346E-5 | 1.9786122 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3939912E-5 | 4.3792625E-5 | 5.3792188E-5 | 1.228339 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3483713E-4 | 5.330469E-4 | 5.4304156E-4 | 1.0187501 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005335517 | 0.0053179096 | 0.0053477497 | 1.0056113 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.252289E-6 | 9.110309E-6 | 9.110309E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9652066E-5 | 3.9043607E-5 | 3.9043607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8265693E-4 | 4.752539E-4 | 4.752539E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048161 | 0.004742549 | 0.004762454 | 1.0041971 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.474604E-6 | 8.25826E-6 | 8.25826E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6319227E-5 | 3.5392073E-5 | 3.5392073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4209688E-4 | 4.3081472E-4 | 4.3081472E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004412184 | 0.0042999457 | 0.0043198597 | 1.0046313 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.643643E-6 | 6.2683707E-6 | 6.2683707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8472443E-5 | 2.686417E-5 | 2.686417E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4659685E-4 | 3.2702263E-4 | 3.2702263E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034605677 | 0.0032654598 | 0.0032754273 | 1.0030524 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.549002E-6 | 5.1087086E-6 | 5.1087086E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.378122E-5 | 2.1894282E-5 | 2.1894282E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8949787E-4 | 2.665304E-4 | 2.665304E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028912104 | 0.002662124 | 0.0026720974 | 1.0037464 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.3059727E-6 | 3.9598913E-6 | 3.9598913E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8454039E-5 | 1.6970853E-5 | 1.6970853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2465475E-4 | 2.0660064E-4 | 2.0660064E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022442779 | 0.0020640958 | 0.0020740752 | 1.0048348 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.8550733E-6 | 2.7013002E-6 | 2.7013002E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2235971E-5 | 1.1576949E-5 | 1.1576949E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4896276E-4 | 1.4094029E-4 | 1.4094029E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014886294 | 0.0014085141 | 0.0014185001 | 1.0070897 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.9927045E-6 | 1.8976393E-6 | 1.8976393E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.540134E-6 | 8.132714E-6 | 8.132714E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0397117E-4 | 9.901134E-5 | 9.901134E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010392254 | 9.896759E-4 | 9.996659E-4 | 1.0100943 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.345084E-6 | 1.2216018E-6 | 1.2216018E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.764633E-6 | 5.2354258E-6 | 5.2354258E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.018215E-5 | 6.373946E-5 | 6.373946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0159987E-4 | 6.372138E-4 | 6.4720743E-4 | 1.0156833 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 7.6835164E-7 | 6.2777013E-7 | 6.2777013E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2929315E-6 | 2.6904406E-6 | 2.6904406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.00907E-5 | 3.2755637E-5 | 3.2755637E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0083472E-4 | 3.2750957E-4 | 3.2750957E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.6562128E-7 | 2.4534745E-7 | 2.4534745E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5669474E-6 | 1.0514887E-6 | 1.0514887E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9077417E-5 | 1.2801803E-5 | 1.2801803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.907578E-4 | 1.2801103E-4 | 1.2801103E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.5024424E-8 | 5.381742E-8 | 5.381742E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.215332E-7 | 2.3064608E-7 | 2.3064608E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.91466E-6 | 2.8081138E-6 | 2.8081138E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9145907E-5 | 2.8080913E-5 | 2.8080913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Clark) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1153059E-5 | 4.1152634E-5 | 1.9454697 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.065287E-5 | 1.1065105E-4 | 1.2206018 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011031491 | 0.0011231271 | 1.0181099 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011485709 | 0.011525249 | 1.0034426 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1153059E-5 | 4.1152634E-5 | 1.9454697 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.065287E-5 | 1.1065105E-4 | 1.2206018 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011031491 | 0.0011231271 | 1.0181099 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011485709 | 0.011525249 | 1.0034426 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1153059E-5 | 4.1152634E-5 | 1.9454697 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.065287E-5 | 1.1065105E-4 | 1.2206018 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011031491 | 0.0011231271 | 1.0181099 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011485709 | 0.011525249 | 1.0034426 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1153059E-5 | 4.1152634E-5 | 1.9454697 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.065287E-5 | 1.1065105E-4 | 1.2206018 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011031491 | 0.0011231271 | 1.0181099 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011485709 | 0.011525249 | 1.0034426 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.482615E-5 | 2.1153059E-5 | 4.1152634E-5 | 1.9454697 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9209793E-4 | 9.065287E-5 | 1.1065105E-4 | 1.2206018 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023362834 | 0.0011031491 | 0.0011231271 | 1.0181099 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02311874 | 0.011485709 | 0.011525249 | 1.0034426 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.7294863E-5 | 1.7354667E-5 | 3.735432E-5 | 2.152408 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5982533E-4 | 7.437504E-5 | 9.437356E-5 | 1.2688874 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019441366 | 9.051445E-4 | 9.2512637E-4 | 1.0220759 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01927216 | 0.009485902 | 0.0095255235 | 1.0041767 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.7294863E-5 | 1.7354667E-5 | 3.735432E-5 | 2.152408 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5982533E-4 | 7.437504E-5 | 9.437356E-5 | 1.2688874 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019441366 | 9.051445E-4 | 9.2512637E-4 | 1.0220759 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01927216 | 0.009485902 | 0.0095255235 | 1.0041767 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6039248E-5 | 1.6602684E-5 | 3.6602352E-5 | 2.2046046 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5444479E-4 | 7.115244E-5 | 9.1151014E-5 | 1.2810667 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018787434 | 8.659408E-4 | 8.859235E-4 | 1.0230763 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01862939 | 0.009088189 | 0.0091278255 | 1.0043613 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5031844E-5 | 1.6231123E-5 | 3.62308E-5 | 2.2321806 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5012783E-4 | 6.956012E-5 | 8.955873E-5 | 1.2875011 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018262739 | 8.4656954E-4 | 8.665526E-4 | 1.0236048 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01811338 | 0.008888788 | 0.008928432 | 1.0044601 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.435112E-5 | 1.6061658E-5 | 3.6061338E-5 | 2.2451813 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4721078E-4 | 6.8833884E-5 | 8.883251E-5 | 1.2905346 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017908178 | 8.377344E-4 | 8.5771765E-4 | 1.0238539 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017764548 | 0.008796512 | 0.00883616 | 1.0045073 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8959772E-5 | 1.43355255E-5 | 3.4335237E-5 | 2.3951156 | 2.0E-5 | 1.241074E-4 | 6.1436534E-5 | 8.1435304E-5 | 1.3255192 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015099603 | 7.477359E-4 | 7.677209E-4 | 1.0267274 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014997416 | 0.007868331 | 0.007908016 | 1.0050436 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.6002877E-5 | 1.2827699E-5 | 3.2827444E-5 | 2.559106 | 2.0E-5 | 1.11436144E-4 | 5.4974706E-5 | 7.497361E-5 | 1.3637837 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013558907 | 6.6911365E-4 | 6.8910024E-4 | 1.0298703 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013476475 | 0.0070483433 | 0.0070880614 | 1.0056351 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.2544838E-5 | 1.1260331E-5 | 3.1260108E-5 | 2.7761266 | 2.0E-5 | 9.661716E-5 | 4.825768E-5 | 6.825671E-5 | 1.4144218 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001175679 | 5.873803E-4 | 6.0736854E-4 | 1.0340295 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011694785 | 0.00619256 | 0.0062323124 | 1.0064194 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.75334E-5 | 1.0810585E-5 | 3.081037E-5 | 2.8500187 | 2.0E-5 | 7.514098E-5 | 4.6330264E-5 | 6.632934E-5 | 1.4316633 | 2.0E-5 | 9.144575E-4 | 5.6392635E-4 | 5.839151E-4 | 1.0354456 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009107036 | 0.0059332196 | 0.005972982 | 1.0067017 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.5924552E-5 | 1.0610475E-5 | 3.0610263E-5 | 2.8849096 | 2.0E-5 | 6.82463E-5 | 4.547268E-5 | 6.547177E-5 | 1.4398046 | 2.0E-5 | 8.305819E-4 | 5.534906E-4 | 5.7347957E-4 | 1.0361143 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008274844 | 0.0058205863 | 0.0058603534 | 1.0068321 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3428931E-5 | 9.851045E-6 | 2.9850848E-5 | 3.0302215 | 2.0E-5 | 5.7551293E-5 | 4.221809E-5 | 6.2217245E-5 | 1.4737105 | 2.0E-5 | 7.004617E-4 | 5.1388505E-4 | 5.338748E-4 | 1.0388992 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006982579 | 0.005406209 | 0.0054459926 | 1.0073589 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0688787E-5 | 8.614091E-6 | 2.8613918E-5 | 3.3217573 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5808283E-5 | 3.6917012E-5 | 5.6916273E-5 | 1.5417356 | 2.0E-5 | 5.5757316E-4 | 4.4937237E-4 | 4.6936338E-4 | 1.0444865 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005561762 | 0.0047413614 | 0.0047811717 | 1.0083964 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 8.81236E-6 | 7.4673385E-6 | 2.746719E-5 | 3.6783104 | 2.0E-5 | 3.776671E-5 | 3.200249E-5 | 5.2001848E-5 | 1.6249315 | 2.0E-5 | 4.597127E-4 | 3.8956082E-4 | 4.0955303E-4 | 1.0513198 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045876284 | 0.0041344194 | 0.004174254 | 1.0096349 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 7.780431E-6 | 6.695928E-6 | 2.6695794E-5 | 3.98687 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3344273E-5 | 2.8696519E-5 | 4.8695943E-5 | 1.6969286 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0589093E-4 | 3.4932428E-4 | 3.693173E-4 | 1.0572333 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0040515037 | 0.0037226272 | 0.0037624782 | 1.0107051 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 6.5437994E-6 | 5.7797783E-6 | 2.5779662E-5 | 4.4603205 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8044553E-5 | 2.4770245E-5 | 4.476975E-5 | 1.8074003 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4138895E-4 | 3.0153614E-4 | 3.2153013E-4 | 1.0663071 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0034086495 | 0.0032343294 | 0.0032742 | 1.0123273 | 4.0E-5 |
8.0 | 5.4488164E-6 | 4.812793E-6 | 2.4812696E-5 | 5.155571 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3351862E-5 | 2.0626094E-5 | 4.062568E-5 | 1.9696256 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8427184E-4 | 2.510939E-4 | 2.7108888E-4 | 1.0796314 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028390845 | 0.0027107038 | 0.0027505953 | 1.0147163 | 4.0E-5 |
8.1 | 2.8397242E-6 | 1.3665673E-6 | 1.1366554E-5 | 8.3175955 | 1.0E-5 | 1.217019E-5 | 5.856704E-6 | 1.5856645E-5 | 2.7074351 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4816198E-4 | 7.1303046E-5 | 8.1302336E-5 | 1.1402365 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014806325 | 8.113543E-4 | 8.213462E-4 | 1.012315 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.030244E-6 | 6.3151083E-7 | 6.3151083E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.701017E-6 | 2.7064723E-6 | 2.7064723E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05929736E-4 | 3.2950808E-5 | 3.2950808E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010587925 | 3.9470522E-4 | 3.9470522E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.0659804E-6 | 2.9230563E-7 | 2.9230563E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.568479E-6 | 1.2527379E-6 | 1.2527379E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5619817E-5 | 1.5251981E-5 | 1.5251981E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5605895E-4 | 1.8556409E-4 | 1.8556409E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.831764E-6 | 9.831764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2135514E-5 | 4.2135514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.1288976E-4 | 5.228846E-4 | 1.0194874 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.005132214 | 0.005172009 | 1.0077538 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.831764E-6 | 9.831764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2135514E-5 | 4.2135514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.1288976E-4 | 5.228846E-4 | 1.0194874 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.005132214 | 0.005172009 | 1.0077538 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.831764E-6 | 9.831764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2135514E-5 | 4.2135514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.1288976E-4 | 5.228846E-4 | 1.0194874 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.005132214 | 0.005172009 | 1.0077538 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.831764E-6 | 9.831764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2135514E-5 | 4.2135514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.1288976E-4 | 5.228846E-4 | 1.0194874 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.005132214 | 0.005172009 | 1.0077538 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.3445207E-6 | 6.0916254E-6 | 6.0916254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8619241E-5 | 2.6106709E-5 | 2.6106709E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2666567E-4 | 3.1780385E-4 | 3.1780385E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022643462 | 0.0031877246 | 0.0031976928 | 1.003127 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.3445207E-6 | 6.0916254E-6 | 6.0916254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8619241E-5 | 2.6106709E-5 | 2.6106709E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2666567E-4 | 3.1780385E-4 | 3.1780385E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022643462 | 0.0031877246 | 0.0031976928 | 1.003127 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.040109E-6 | 5.774033E-6 | 5.774033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7314638E-5 | 2.4745626E-5 | 2.4745626E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1078532E-4 | 3.0123728E-4 | 3.0123728E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002105855 | 0.0030225143 | 0.003032484 | 1.0032985 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.3632055E-6 | 5.06753E-6 | 5.06753E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4413658E-5 | 2.1717806E-5 | 2.1717806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7547216E-4 | 2.643825E-4 | 2.643825E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017533366 | 0.0026548486 | 0.002664822 | 1.0037566 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.2902772E-6 | 4.9894375E-6 | 4.9894375E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4101111E-5 | 2.138313E-5 | 2.138313E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.716675E-4 | 2.6030882E-4 | 2.6030882E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017153495 | 0.0026142076 | 0.0026241813 | 1.0038153 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.031547E-6 | 4.6911987E-6 | 4.6911987E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.299228E-5 | 2.0104984E-5 | 2.0104984E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5816953E-4 | 2.4475096E-4 | 2.4475096E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00158057 | 0.0024589805 | 0.002468956 | 1.0040567 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8259715E-6 | 4.3707637E-6 | 4.3707637E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.211125E-5 | 1.8731711E-5 | 1.8731711E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4744449E-4 | 2.2803496E-4 | 2.2803496E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001473467 | 0.0022921748 | 0.0023021519 | 1.0043527 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.5962665E-6 | 4.065983E-6 | 4.065983E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1126809E-5 | 1.7425526E-5 | 1.7425526E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3546048E-4 | 2.1213535E-4 | 2.1213535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013537793 | 0.0021334959 | 0.0021434745 | 1.0046772 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.3247253E-6 | 3.6765352E-6 | 3.6765352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.96307E-6 | 1.5756486E-5 | 1.5756486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.21293626E-4 | 1.9181852E-4 | 1.9181852E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012122744 | 0.0019307166 | 0.0019406972 | 1.0051694 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.056928E-6 | 3.235253E-6 | 3.235253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.815376E-6 | 1.3865297E-5 | 1.3865297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0732192E-4 | 1.6879707E-4 | 1.6879707E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001072701 | 0.0017009423 | 0.0017109253 | 1.0058692 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.8055999E-6 | 2.8256538E-6 | 2.8256538E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.738263E-6 | 1.210989E-5 | 1.210989E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4209274E-5 | 1.4742807E-4 | 1.4742807E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4169343E-4 | 0.0014876705 | 0.0014976555 | 1.006712 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.4683443E-6 | 2.4248943E-6 | 2.4248943E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.292889E-6 | 1.0392363E-5 | 1.0392363E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.661323E-5 | 1.2651978E-4 | 1.2651978E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.658682E-4 | 0.0012788812 | 0.0012888685 | 1.0078093 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 9.804088E-7 | 1.9004091E-6 | 1.9004091E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.201745E-6 | 8.144585E-6 | 8.144585E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1155046E-5 | 9.915586E-5 | 9.915586E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.114327E-4 | 0.0010055583 | 0.0010155482 | 1.0099348 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 7.3434086E-7 | 1.6285549E-6 | 1.6285549E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1471714E-6 | 6.9795024E-6 | 6.9795024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.831614E-5 | 8.4972155E-5 | 8.4972155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8309532E-4 | 8.6387293E-4 | 8.738643E-4 | 1.0115658 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.434184E-7 | 1.5221389E-6 | 1.5221389E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7575045E-6 | 6.523436E-6 | 6.523436E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.35721E-5 | 7.9419966E-5 | 7.9419966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3567028E-4 | 8.080443E-4 | 8.180362E-4 | 1.0123656 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.4943926E-7 | 7.5750586E-7 | 7.5750586E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.497596E-6 | 3.2464498E-6 | 3.2464498E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8233079E-5 | 3.9524817E-5 | 3.9524817E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8231584E-4 | 4.0401975E-4 | 4.0401975E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.717524E-8 | 5.837515E-8 | 5.837515E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8789387E-7 | 2.501792E-7 | 2.501792E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.505102E-6 | 3.0459275E-6 | 3.0459275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5050467E-5 | 3.2751934E-5 | 3.2751934E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.1984914E-8 | 1.2949885E-8 | 1.2949885E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.370782E-7 | 5.549951E-8 | 5.549951E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6689258E-6 | 6.757063E-7 | 6.757063E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6689133E-5 | 7.741151E-6 | 7.741151E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.21887656E-8 | 3.6471115E-9 | 3.6471115E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2237567E-8 | 1.563048E-8 | 1.563048E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.359922E-7 | 1.9030107E-7 | 1.9030107E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3599036E-6 | 2.245849E-6 | 2.245849E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Susana alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7198214E-5 | 4.719767E-5 | 1.7353225 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.16559204E-4 | 1.4655571E-4 | 1.25735 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014182981 | 0.0014482556 | 1.0211221 | 3.0E-5 | 0.013860362 | 0.014104388 | 0.014143824 | 1.002796 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7198214E-5 | 4.719767E-5 | 1.7353225 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.16559204E-4 | 1.4655571E-4 | 1.25735 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014182981 | 0.0014482556 | 1.0211221 | 3.0E-5 | 0.013860362 | 0.014104388 | 0.014143824 | 1.002796 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7198214E-5 | 4.719767E-5 | 1.7353225 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.16559204E-4 | 1.4655571E-4 | 1.25735 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014182981 | 0.0014482556 | 1.0211221 | 3.0E-5 | 0.013860362 | 0.014104388 | 0.014143824 | 1.002796 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7198214E-5 | 4.719767E-5 | 1.7353225 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.16559204E-4 | 1.4655571E-4 | 1.25735 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014182981 | 0.0014482556 | 1.0211221 | 3.0E-5 | 0.013860362 | 0.014104388 | 0.014143824 | 1.002796 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7198214E-5 | 4.719767E-5 | 1.7353225 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.16559204E-4 | 1.4655571E-4 | 1.25735 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014182981 | 0.0014482556 | 1.0211221 | 3.0E-5 | 0.013860362 | 0.014104388 | 0.014143824 | 1.002796 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7198214E-5 | 4.719767E-5 | 1.7353225 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.16559204E-4 | 1.4655571E-4 | 1.25735 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014182981 | 0.0014482556 | 1.0211221 | 3.0E-5 | 0.013860362 | 0.014104388 | 0.014143824 | 1.002796 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.6647976E-5 | 2.7074553E-5 | 4.7074012E-5 | 1.7386811 | 2.0E-5 | 1.14200615E-4 | 1.16029274E-4 | 1.4602579E-4 | 1.2585255 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013895056 | 0.0014118546 | 0.0014418123 | 1.0212187 | 3.0E-5 | 0.013808494 | 0.014040773 | 0.0140802115 | 1.0028088 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6647976E-5 | 2.7074553E-5 | 4.7074012E-5 | 1.7386811 | 2.0E-5 | 1.14200615E-4 | 1.16029274E-4 | 1.4602579E-4 | 1.2585255 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013895056 | 0.0014118546 | 0.0014418123 | 1.0212187 | 3.0E-5 | 0.013808494 | 0.014040773 | 0.0140802115 | 1.0028088 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.9073179E-5 | 1.7637467E-5 | 3.7637114E-5 | 2.1339297 | 2.0E-5 | 8.1739636E-5 | 7.558706E-5 | 1.0558479E-4 | 1.3968633 | 3.0E-5 | 9.947256E-4 | 9.19902E-4 | 9.498744E-4 | 1.0325822 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009902848 | 0.009163361 | 0.009202994 | 1.0043252 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.9041876E-5 | 1.7619597E-5 | 3.7619247E-5 | 2.1350796 | 2.0E-5 | 8.160549E-5 | 7.551048E-5 | 1.0550822E-4 | 1.3972658 | 3.0E-5 | 9.930939E-4 | 9.189705E-4 | 9.489429E-4 | 1.0326152 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0098866755 | 0.009154123 | 0.009193757 | 1.0043296 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.5917482E-5 | 1.3864049E-5 | 2.386391E-5 | 1.72128 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8215995E-5 | 5.9416023E-5 | 7.941484E-5 | 1.3365896 | 2.0E-5 | 8.302132E-4 | 7.2315463E-4 | 7.431402E-4 | 1.0276366 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008271185 | 0.0072090672 | 0.007238851 | 1.0041314 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.577788E-5 | 1.3744056E-5 | 2.3743918E-5 | 1.7275773 | 1.0E-5 | 6.761774E-5 | 5.890179E-5 | 7.8900615E-5 | 1.3395282 | 2.0E-5 | 8.2293496E-4 | 7.16898E-4 | 7.3688367E-4 | 1.0278779 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008198941 | 0.0071469042 | 0.00717669 | 1.0041677 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.5416446E-5 | 1.34701295E-5 | 2.3469995E-5 | 1.7423733 | 1.0E-5 | 6.606882E-5 | 5.7727877E-5 | 7.772672E-5 | 1.346433 | 2.0E-5 | 8.0409093E-4 | 7.026149E-4 | 7.2260085E-4 | 1.0284451 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008011877 | 0.0070049763 | 0.0070347665 | 1.0042527 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4534083E-5 | 1.2718032E-5 | 2.2717904E-5 | 1.7862751 | 1.0E-5 | 6.228744E-5 | 5.4504737E-5 | 7.4503645E-5 | 1.3669206 | 2.0E-5 | 7.580857E-4 | 6.633976E-4 | 6.833843E-4 | 1.0301279 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007555048 | 0.0066151717 | 0.006644973 | 1.004505 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.2858995E-5 | 1.1229814E-5 | 1.1229814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5108816E-5 | 4.812691E-5 | 5.812643E-5 | 1.2077739 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7074323E-4 | 5.8579154E-4 | 5.957857E-4 | 1.0170609 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066872234 | 0.0058433902 | 0.0058632735 | 1.0034027 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.827668E-6 | 7.805494E-6 | 7.805494E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7832317E-5 | 3.3451703E-5 | 4.3451368E-5 | 1.2989285 | 1.0E-5 | 4.605111E-4 | 4.072008E-4 | 4.1719674E-4 | 1.0245479 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045955796 | 0.0040648985 | 0.004074858 | 1.0024501 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.2533426E-6 | 2.8720106E-6 | 2.8720106E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3942822E-5 | 1.230856E-5 | 2.2308437E-5 | 1.8124328 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6974064E-4 | 1.4984679E-4 | 1.598453E-4 | 1.0667248 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016961104 | 0.0014974943 | 0.0015074793 | 1.0066679 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.2751709E-6 | 1.1491339E-6 | 1.1491339E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4650063E-6 | 4.9248506E-6 | 1.4924802E-5 | 3.0305083 | 1.0E-5 | 6.653442E-5 | 5.99585E-5 | 6.99579E-5 | 1.166772 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6514505E-4 | 5.9943215E-4 | 6.094261E-4 | 1.0166725 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.067544E-7 | 3.240052E-7 | 3.240052E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3146611E-6 | 1.3885931E-6 | 1.3885931E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.600588E-5 | 1.6906E-5 | 1.6906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6004729E-4 | 1.6904817E-4 | 1.6904817E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.622999E-8 | 8.0879715E-8 | 8.0879715E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2669993E-7 | 3.4662733E-7 | 3.4662733E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.977564E-6 | 4.220182E-6 | 4.220182E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.977493E-5 | 4.2201224E-5 | 4.2201224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Channel Islands Western Deep Ramp
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2548684E-6 | 1.6254806E-5 | 2.5987446 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6806329E-5 | 3.680606E-5 | 1.3730363 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2632265E-4 | 3.5631284E-4 | 1.0919036 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032588763 | 0.003298746 | 1.0122342 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2548684E-6 | 1.6254806E-5 | 2.5987446 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6806329E-5 | 3.680606E-5 | 1.3730363 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2632265E-4 | 3.5631284E-4 | 1.0919036 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032588763 | 0.003298746 | 1.0122342 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2548684E-6 | 1.6254806E-5 | 2.5987446 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6806329E-5 | 3.680606E-5 | 1.3730363 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2632265E-4 | 3.5631284E-4 | 1.0919036 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032588763 | 0.003298746 | 1.0122342 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2548684E-6 | 1.6254806E-5 | 2.5987446 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6806329E-5 | 3.680606E-5 | 1.3730363 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2632265E-4 | 3.5631284E-4 | 1.0919036 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032588763 | 0.003298746 | 1.0122342 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2548684E-6 | 1.6254806E-5 | 2.5987446 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6806329E-5 | 3.680606E-5 | 1.3730363 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2632265E-4 | 3.5631284E-4 | 1.0919036 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032588763 | 0.003298746 | 1.0122342 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2548684E-6 | 1.6254806E-5 | 2.5987446 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6806329E-5 | 3.680606E-5 | 1.3730363 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2632265E-4 | 3.5631284E-4 | 1.0919036 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032588763 | 0.003298746 | 1.0122342 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2548684E-6 | 1.6254806E-5 | 2.5987446 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6806329E-5 | 3.680606E-5 | 1.3730363 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2632265E-4 | 3.5631284E-4 | 1.0919036 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0031369338 | 0.0032588763 | 0.003298746 | 1.0122342 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.313309E-6 | 5.5252403E-6 | 1.5525186E-5 | 2.809866 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2771126E-5 | 2.367941E-5 | 3.3679175E-5 | 1.4222978 | 1.0E-5 | 2.772032E-4 | 2.8826276E-4 | 3.182541E-4 | 1.1040417 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0027685766 | 0.0028792918 | 0.0029191766 | 1.0138524 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.313309E-6 | 5.5252403E-6 | 1.5525186E-5 | 2.809866 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2771126E-5 | 2.367941E-5 | 3.3679175E-5 | 1.4222978 | 1.0E-5 | 2.772032E-4 | 2.8826276E-4 | 3.182541E-4 | 1.1040417 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0027685766 | 0.0028792918 | 0.0029191766 | 1.0138524 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.744377E-6 | 4.9394303E-6 | 1.4939381E-5 | 3.024515 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0332885E-5 | 2.1168837E-5 | 3.1168624E-5 | 1.4723825 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4752476E-4 | 2.5770385E-4 | 2.876961E-4 | 1.1163827 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0024724922 | 0.0025744175 | 0.0026143144 | 1.0154974 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.722209E-6 | 4.9164732E-6 | 1.4916424E-5 | 3.0339684 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0237881E-5 | 2.107045E-5 | 3.1070238E-5 | 1.4745883 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4636835E-4 | 2.5650626E-4 | 2.8649857E-4 | 1.1169262 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002460954 | 0.0025624693 | 0.0026023667 | 1.0155699 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.611174 |