Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions

Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)

Table Of Contents

Garlock (Central)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.5131142E-57.0252936E-50.0074197366105.614620.007352.3625491E-43.0104961E-40.0178357759.245280.017540.00287260950.00365918320.045395912.406020.041890.0283575910.03614120.1012402252.80124140.06754
6.15.5131142E-57.0252936E-50.0074197366105.614620.007352.3625491E-43.0104961E-40.0178357759.245280.017540.00287260950.00365918320.045395912.406020.041890.0283575910.03614120.1012402252.80124140.06754
6.24.216245E-55.166702E-50.004671428490.414120.004621.806837E-42.2141145E-40.01063910448.051280.010420.00219760460.00269238350.0280040510.4012120.025380.0217599890.0267040670.0673489052.52204660.04176
6.34.216245E-55.166702E-50.004671428490.414120.004621.806837E-42.2141145E-40.01063910448.051280.010420.00219760460.00269238350.0280040510.4012120.025380.0217599890.0267040670.0673489052.52204660.04176
6.43.6858168E-54.411544E-50.003723953284.4138260.003681.5795401E-41.890526E-40.00833751244.1015430.008150.00192139370.00229931090.02200399.5697790.019750.0190486550.0228685660.054635112.3890920.03251
6.53.39199E-54.0023602E-50.003209896680.2000960.003171.453629E-41.7151856E-40.00744027243.378810.007270.00176835650.00208626040.0198391459.5094290.017790.0175435080.0207612530.049531292.3857560.02938
6.63.3571985E-53.9477756E-50.003209352781.295220.003171.4387199E-41.6917953E-40.007437949543.9648320.007270.00175023420.00205783660.019791279.6175130.017770.0173651330.0204825050.0492313432.40358020.02935
6.73.2580007E-53.8094186E-50.00305797980.274170.003021.3962112E-41.632507E-40.00714211143.7493440.006980.00169856170.0019857870.019001939.5689670.017050.0168563720.0197716220.047276832.39114570.02806
6.83.2185937E-53.7521368E-50.003037408780.951440.0031.3793244E-41.6079607E-40.00700969543.5936930.006850.00167803370.00195595580.0187031359.5621460.016780.0166541920.019478760.0465411472.38932780.0276
6.93.165394E-53.672589E-50.002966618480.77730.002931.3565269E-41.573873E-40.00685633343.5634420.00670.00165032020.00191452760.0182831299.5496820.01640.016381180.019072320.045508322.38609270.02695
7.03.0903822E-53.5631027E-50.002885529580.983620.002851.3243823E-41.5269557E-40.00661170943.299940.006460.00161124280.00185750460.0176880459.5224770.015860.0159961040.0185137730.0440324142.378360.026
7.13.0069863E-53.439724E-50.002764303280.3641050.002731.2886449E-41.4740853E-40.00631649942.8502960.006170.00156779590.00179324250.0169060929.4276670.015140.015567810.0178814770.0423755122.36979940.02494
7.22.7957109E-53.1286352E-50.002401212276.7495040.002371.1981068E-41.3407759E-40.005493358740.9714930.005360.00145771880.00163119190.014699849.0117170.013090.0144819370.016285070.0370414562.27456520.0211
7.32.4519275E-52.6719234E-50.001676675262.751620.001651.0507837E-41.1450605E-40.003864076733.745610.003750.00127857830.00139323440.0106802777.66581540.00930.0127124690.0139293290.0287894142.066820.01507
7.42.3225532E-52.52037E-50.001545165461.3070830.001529.95342E-51.08011474E-40.00353764132.7524570.003430.00121115510.00131426080.0098130777.4666130.008510.0120457530.0131469270.0266470762.02686740.01368
7.52.097765E-52.2487684E-50.001172461852.1379550.001158.9901114E-59.637229E-50.002816110229.221160.002720.00109399650.00117271290.0078648566.7065480.00670.0108862640.0117416840.0224544031.91236660.01084
7.61.511254E-51.599496E-56.059855E-437.8860325.9E-46.476642E-56.854807E-50.001578444623.0268290.001517.882459E-48.34261E-40.00435132445.2157830.003520.0078545580.0083849220.0142255341.69656150.00589
7.79.934069E-61.0682194E-52.2067995E-420.6586722.1E-44.2573887E-54.578003E-54.957594E-410.8291644.5E-45.182138E-45.5722974E-40.00157666142.82946370.001020.005170070.00562962140.00737971351.31087210.00176
7.86.7562896E-68.431359E-61.4843018E-417.6045381.4E-42.8955206E-53.6133893E-53.3612305E-49.3021543.0E-43.5247262E-44.3984153E-40.00111954242.54533156.8E-40.00351914060.0044482850.00564294731.26856680.0012
7.93.975453E-65.3728804E-68.537245E-515.8895138.0E-51.7037546E-52.3026427E-51.9302251E-48.3826511.7E-42.0741238E-42.8031078E-46.6020427E-42.35525823.8E-40.0020721890.002834650.0035226941.24272636.9E-4
8.01.6729537E-62.0781215E-62.207808E-510.6240572.0E-57.169782E-68.906205E-66.890567E-57.73681646.0E-58.7288594E-51.0842768E-42.2841468E-42.10660841.2E-48.7254314E-40.00109730680.00134703251.22758052.5E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1497066E-71.0314968E-532.748981.0E-51.5742813E-61.3498736E-61.134986E-58.4080911.0E-51.9166706E-51.6434604E-53.6434274E-52.21692442.0E-51.9165053E-41.6648426E-42.1647594E-41.30027875.0E-5

Tank Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.8284557E-55.7965928E-50.00443771276.557250.004382.0691741E-42.484056E-40.01065581942.896860.010410.00251630880.003020810.0313649310.3829540.028430.024880060.0298643730.079030852.64632530.05068
6.11.7796336E-52.0873778E-50.001470843670.463690.001457.626778E-58.94562E-50.00357914440.0100140.003499.281647E-40.00108862330.01109771510.1942660.010020.0092429750.0108368630.0287209322.65029950.01808
6.21.7796336E-52.0873778E-50.001470843670.463690.001457.626778E-58.94562E-50.00357914440.0100140.003499.281647E-40.00108862330.01109771510.1942660.010020.0092429750.0108368630.0287209322.65029950.01808
6.31.3515912E-51.575992E-50.001045743766.354630.001035.792405E-56.754091E-50.002527374837.419910.002467.049971E-48.2202395E-40.0079061969.6179630.007090.0070276470.008192310.0211651552.58353920.01308
6.41.0870146E-51.2618305E-58.526077E-467.5691158.4E-44.658551E-55.407743E-50.001913976935.3932650.001865.67031E-46.5821153E-40.0060946319.259380.005440.0056558630.0065644940.0164591112.50729320.00996
6.57.964826E-69.196297E-64.991918E-454.2818264.9E-43.4134522E-53.9412163E-50.001199366430.4313770.001164.1550855E-44.79748E-40.00381814577.9586480.003340.00414732470.0047882820.0110282592.30317690.00627
6.66.6317E-67.6124547E-64.0760942E-453.545074.0E-42.8421264E-53.2624448E-58.625974E-426.4402128.3E-43.4597394E-43.9713932E-40.00280618237.0659890.002410.00345435790.00396530470.0085769452.16299770.00463
6.74.793663E-65.4308844E-62.2542969E-441.5088352.2E-42.0544108E-52.3275035E-55.3326314E-422.9113795.1E-42.500958E-42.833411E-40.00163295855.76322560.001350.00249814520.00283034560.0054828171.93715450.00266
6.84.382823E-64.969349E-61.9496841E-439.234191.9E-41.8783392E-52.129706E-55.012868E-423.5378424.8E-42.286638E-42.5926513E-40.00149894375.7815090.001240.00228428650.00259016780.0049939261.92803160.00241
6.92.729601E-63.0735978E-61.13073256E-436.7885671.1E-41.1698237E-51.3172503E-52.631692E-419.978682.5E-41.4241673E-41.6036464E-48.202588E-45.11496076.6E-40.0014232550.00160275120.00278085981.7350540.00118
7.01.8987357E-62.1269796E-65.2126874E-524.5074635.0E-58.137413E-69.115598E-61.3911442E-415.2611391.3E-49.90685E-51.1097746E-44.2094305E-43.793053.1E-49.902435E-40.0011092890.00169863461.53128225.9E-4
7.11.4928986E-61.6641586E-63.166411E-519.0270983.0E-56.398121E-67.1320924E-67.713159E-510.8147217.0E-57.789434E-58.6830354E-52.568156E-42.95767071.7E-47.786704E-48.6802215E-40.00121771841.40286553.5E-4
7.21.069082E-61.1828818E-61.11828695E-59.453921.0E-54.581772E-65.069486E-62.5069385E-54.94515282.0E-55.5781646E-56.171978E-51.21716075E-41.97207576.0E-55.576765E-46.170787E-47.5699226E-41.22673551.4E-4
7.38.776551E-79.770191E-71.0977009E-511.2352041.0E-53.7613736E-64.1872213E-62.4187137E-55.77641772.0E-54.579376E-55.0978742E-51.009762E-41.98075095.0E-54.5784327E-45.097215E-46.296603E-41.23530271.2E-4
7.47.55721E-78.510419E-71.0851033E-512.7502931.0E-53.2388E-63.64732E-61.3647284E-53.7417291.0E-53.9431678E-54.4405737E-57.44044E-51.67555843.0E-53.942468E-44.4401948E-45.2398397E-41.18009238.0E-5
7.55.587665E-76.3057325E-71.0630567E-516.8585761.0E-52.3947114E-62.7024569E-61.270243E-54.70032641.0E-52.915522E-53.290241E-55.2901752E-51.60783822.0E-52.9151395E-43.2902413E-43.990011E-41.21268037.0E-5

Little Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.8424427E-53.1206153E-50.0032011073102.579360.003171.2181328E-41.3373456E-40.00799268359.765280.007860.00148206770.00162713530.0216445113.3022190.020050.0147222230.0161656230.0469694772.9055160.03131
6.12.8424427E-53.1206153E-50.0032011073102.579360.003171.2181328E-41.3373456E-40.00799268359.765280.007860.00148206770.00162713530.0216445113.3022190.020050.0147222230.0161656230.0469694772.9055160.03131
6.22.8424427E-53.1206153E-50.0032011073102.579360.003171.2181328E-41.3373456E-40.00799268359.765280.007860.00148206770.00162713530.0216445113.3022190.020050.0147222230.0161656230.0469694772.9055160.03131
6.31.48860645E-51.6081587E-50.002166047134.691120.002156.379586E-56.891943E-50.00535855577.751010.005297.7643775E-48.387992E-40.01405770116.7593170.013230.0077373050.008359150.0285886253.42003940.0204
6.41.48860645E-51.6081587E-50.002166047134.691120.002156.379586E-56.891943E-50.00535855577.751010.005297.7643775E-48.387992E-40.01405770116.7593170.013230.0077373050.008359150.0285886253.42003940.0204
6.51.2797581E-51.376573E-50.001953739141.927750.001945.4845623E-55.8994796E-50.00478871681.171840.004736.675408E-47.1805064E-40.01252956317.4494150.011820.0066553920.00715985570.0254082573.54871080.01838
6.69.661896E-61.0289153E-50.0016402723159.417650.001634.1407468E-54.4095712E-50.004133915593.748690.004095.040193E-45.367493E-40.010621333519.7882580.010090.0050287770.0053561340.0210018833.921090.01573
6.77.767871E-68.199772E-60.0014281882174.174120.001423.329045E-53.5141486E-50.0035950164102.30120.003564.0523586E-44.2777733E-40.00908407321.2355180.008660.0040449770.00427089070.0178426784.1777420.01363
6.86.4235196E-66.7358133E-60.001156728171.728060.001152.752908E-52.8867524E-50.002888785100.070410.002863.35115E-43.5141825E-40.00723899720.5993770.006890.0033461010.00350988560.0143018744.07474040.01083
6.93.1283696E-63.112201E-68.4310956E-4270.90468.4E-41.3407229E-51.3337944E-50.0018733131140.44990.001861.6322079E-41.6237888E-40.004271711726.3070620.004110.00163100950.00162275070.0081221865.0051970.00651
7.02.290603E-62.2286956E-65.922274E-4265.728245.9E-49.816834E-69.551524E-60.0011895403124.5393140.001181.19513395E-41.1628464E-40.002685985823.0983720.002570.00119449140.001162340.00523759754.506080.00408
7.11.293693E-61.1776893E-62.411774E-4204.788652.4E-45.5443866E-65.047234E-65.7504437E-4113.932575.7E-46.750081E-56.144904E-50.001241376520.2017230.001186.7480316E-46.1438896E-40.00245325853.99300530.00184
7.24.715842E-73.0917863E-71.0309175E-533.343751.0E-52.0210737E-61.3250507E-63.132501E-523.6406143.0E-52.4606294E-51.6132379E-56.613157E-54.0993075.0E-52.460357E-41.6131261E-42.8129327E-41.74377721.2E-4
7.33.9430947E-72.3097442E-71.0230972E-544.2948271.0E-51.6898966E-69.8989E-73.098986E-531.3063683.0E-52.0574296E-51.2051845E-55.2051364E-54.3189544.0E-52.0572392E-41.2051199E-42.1050114E-41.74672379.0E-5
7.43.547123E-71.9679048E-71.0196789E-551.8154561.0E-51.5201948E-68.433875E-73.0843363E-536.570813.0E-51.8508214E-51.0268195E-55.0267783E-54.8954844.0E-51.8506673E-41.0267727E-41.9266803E-41.87644299.0E-5
7.52.6354266E-71.4423068E-71.0144229E-570.333371.0E-51.129468E-66.1813137E-72.061812E-533.3555642.0E-51.3751187E-57.525724E-63.7525497E-54.98629763.0E-51.3750336E-47.525474E-51.5524872E-42.0629768.0E-5
7.61.269913E-77.572499E-87.572499E-81.00.05.4424834E-73.2453565E-73.2453565E-71.00.06.6262032E-63.9512147E-61.3951175E-53.53085731.0E-56.626006E-53.951148E-57.95099E-52.0123244.0E-5

Airport Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2387061E-51.31032575E-50.0027630671210.868730.002755.3086325E-55.6155768E-50.006675784118.879750.006626.461343E-46.835104E-40.01652267824.1732640.015850.00644258880.00681689150.031050564.5549440.0244
6.11.2387061E-51.31032575E-50.0027630671210.868730.002755.3086325E-55.6155768E-50.006675784118.879750.006626.461343E-46.835104E-40.01652267824.1732640.015850.00644258880.00681689150.031050564.5549440.0244
6.21.2387061E-51.31032575E-50.0027630671210.868730.002755.3086325E-55.6155768E-50.006675784118.879750.006626.461343E-46.835104E-40.01652267824.1732640.015850.00644258880.00681689150.031050564.5549440.0244
6.31.2387061E-51.31032575E-50.0027630671210.868730.002755.3086325E-55.6155768E-50.006675784118.879750.006626.461343E-46.835104E-40.01652267824.1732640.015850.00644258880.00681689150.031050564.5549440.0244
6.41.2387061E-51.31032575E-50.0027630671210.868730.002755.3086325E-55.6155768E-50.006675784118.879750.006626.461343E-46.835104E-40.01652267824.1732640.015850.00644258880.00681689150.031050564.5549440.0244
6.56.9922594E-67.38498E-60.0020873696282.650670.002082.996648E-53.164956E-50.0050614905159.922930.005033.6478083E-43.8527072E-40.01222070931.7197990.011840.0036418260.00384656530.0216279055.62265350.01785
6.66.9922594E-67.38498E-60.0020873696282.650670.002082.996648E-53.164956E-50.0050614905159.922930.005033.6478083E-43.8527072E-40.01222070931.7197990.011840.0036418260.00384656530.0216279055.62265350.01785
6.75.477277E-65.7861116E-60.0017057763294.805270.00172.3473833E-52.4797408E-50.004314691173.997670.004292.8575645E-43.0187052E-40.01029885234.1167870.010.00285389270.00301498850.018199076.0361990.01523
6.83.9950432E-64.2191186E-60.0014242132337.561770.001421.7121502E-51.8081826E-50.0033080224182.947360.003292.0843433E-42.2012675E-40.007748469235.2000350.007530.00208238930.0021993580.0136541096.2082250.01148
6.92.95695E-63.1230477E-60.0010231199327.603030.001021.2672582E-51.3384434E-50.0024633517184.0460.002451.5427776E-41.6294557E-40.00546208233.52090.00530.0015417070.00162848330.0098956.07620570.00828
7.01.456072E-61.5408239E-65.3154E-4344.971285.3E-46.2402937E-66.60352E-60.0010965964166.06240.001097.597293E-58.03959E-50.002470203730.7254940.002397.594696E-48.03767E-40.00461070475.73636960.00381
7.16.995192E-77.4090326E-72.1074075E-4284.43762.1E-42.997936E-63.1752998E-65.131737E-4161.614265.1E-43.649926E-53.8659273E-50.001118617528.9352970.001083.6493264E-43.8659273E-40.0020359555.26640750.00165

Owl Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.0320643E-56.636041E-50.001746248926.314620.001682.1564208E-42.84377E-40.00443319715.5891540.004150.00262228120.00345771180.014609024.22505430.011190.025915530.0341423970.0534209121.56465040.01996
6.15.0320643E-56.636041E-50.001746248926.314620.001682.1564208E-42.84377E-40.00443319715.5891540.004150.00262228120.00345771180.014609024.22505430.011190.025915530.0341423970.0534209121.56465040.01996
6.22.4125871E-53.098217E-50.001300942941.990050.001271.0339249E-41.3277512E-40.003292355524.796480.003160.00125807660.00161551020.0099120866.1355760.008310.0125097810.0160710980.0310071391.92937280.01518
6.31.7433485E-52.2356866E-50.001202330553.7790260.001187.471279E-59.58125E-50.002965537630.9514680.002879.0924866E-40.00116603010.0084974717.28752330.007340.0090553730.0116293250.0244781432.10486360.013
6.41.7433485E-52.2356866E-50.001202330553.7790260.001187.471279E-59.58125E-50.002965537630.9514680.002879.0924866E-40.00116603010.0084974717.28752330.007340.0090553730.0116293250.0244781432.10486360.013
6.51.5182742E-51.9430483E-50.001159408459.6695560.001146.506727E-58.32717E-50.002813044533.781520.002737.919061E-40.00101349670.0079864237.88006730.006980.00789090.0101187970.022353732.20912890.01236
6.66.7271576E-68.548313E-69.385404E-4109.792469.3E-42.8830356E-53.6635145E-50.00227655362.141230.002243.5095305E-44.4594728E-40.005843539313.1036550.00540.00350399320.0044679260.0136367763.0521490.00921
6.76.682835E-68.480754E-69.3847286E-4110.659139.3E-42.8640408E-53.6345617E-50.00225626562.078050.002223.4864116E-44.4242368E-40.00581004813.1323170.005370.0034809470.004432870.0135622213.0594670.00917
6.86.5774975E-68.32722E-69.383195E-4112.681019.3E-42.8188972E-53.5687626E-50.002255608363.2042120.002223.4314668E-44.3441588E-40.00580208313.3560570.005370.00342617280.00435304870.0134831313.09739950.00917
6.96.363419E-68.000376E-69.3799294E-4117.2436149.3E-42.727151E-53.4286906E-50.00224421165.453890.002213.3198006E-44.173687E-40.00576513613.8130530.005350.00331484550.0041830120.0132847793.17588830.00914
7.06.1342453E-67.632552E-69.376255E-4122.8456049.3E-42.6289357E-53.271056E-50.002222638867.948670.002193.2002592E-43.9818377E-40.005706069514.3302410.005310.00319565440.0039916780.0130155133.26066230.00906
7.15.842926E-67.1430604E-69.1713655E-4128.395469.1E-42.504087E-53.0612788E-50.002120548969.2700350.002093.0482994E-43.7265237E-40.005460755414.6537520.005090.00304412140.00373728180.0123848423.31386380.00868
7.24.77173E-65.359158E-66.253558E-4116.689196.2E-42.045011E-52.296764E-50.001522933166.307780.00152.4895166E-42.795992E-40.003828606613.6931960.003550.00248672930.0028087470.0085226533.03432560.00573
7.33.0494948E-62.7108347E-61.4271046E-452.644471.4E-41.3069198E-51.1617813E-53.7161363E-431.9865423.6E-41.5910587E-41.4143785E-40.00109130347.7157819.5E-40.00158991990.00142334180.00298112142.09445210.00156
7.42.7263884E-62.3060104E-61.0230578E-444.364841.0E-41.1684469E-59.882864E-62.298807E-423.2605322.2E-41.4224913E-41.2031734E-47.502415E-46.2355236.3E-40.00142158110.00121130120.00224005361.84929530.00103
7.52.6090431E-62.1659357E-68.216576E-537.935468.0E-51.1181565E-59.282549E-62.092807E-422.5456052.0E-41.3612706E-41.1300927E-46.4294937E-45.68935065.3E-40.0013604370.00113808320.00201708171.772358.8E-4
7.62.3008756E-61.8730968E-68.1872946E-543.7099388.0E-59.860858E-68.027534E-61.6802625E-420.9312421.6E-41.20049335E-49.7730925E-55.1768986E-45.2970944.2E-40.0011998459.851726E-40.00170446321.73011657.2E-4
7.71.7184348E-61.3421906E-65.1342122E-538.2524835.0E-57.3646997E-65.752233E-69.575172E-516.6460089.0E-58.966153E-57.003123E-53.3001302E-44.71236942.6E-48.962536E-47.08018E-40.00110773491.56455734.0E-4
7.88.4612907E-78.408234E-71.0840815E-512.8930931.0E-53.6262625E-63.6035242E-63.3603417E-59.3251533.0E-54.4148852E-54.3872045E-51.5386722E-43.50718141.1E-44.414008E-44.440713E-46.139958E-41.38265141.7E-4
7.92.716738E-73.7693766E-71.03769335E-527.5295751.0E-51.1643157E-61.6154462E-62.1615413E-513.380462.0E-51.4175452E-51.9667892E-58.9666515E-54.55903057.0E-51.4174548E-41.9836401E-42.7834813E-41.4032198.0E-5
8.02.1995428E-83.38572E-83.38572E-81.00.09.426611E-81.4510229E-71.01451005E-569.9168851.0E-51.1476893E-61.7666197E-62.1766584E-512.3210352.0E-51.14768345E-51.7871007E-53.787065E-52.1191112.0E-5

Panamint Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0211835E-53.3984965E-50.001493935443.9587140.001461.2947287E-41.4564188E-40.003685126325.3026540.003540.00157519230.00177177730.0113547696.40868850.00960.0156407360.0175821240.033516941.90630790.01622
6.13.0211835E-53.3984965E-50.001493935443.9587140.001461.2947287E-41.4564188E-40.003685126325.3026540.003540.00157519230.00177177730.0113547696.40868850.00960.0156407360.0175821240.033516941.90630790.01622
6.23.0211835E-53.3984965E-50.001493935443.9587140.001461.2947287E-41.4564188E-40.003685126325.3026540.003540.00157519230.00177177730.0113547696.40868850.00960.0156407360.0175821240.033516941.90630790.01622
6.32.8573924E-53.2103115E-50.001452057545.231050.001421.2245393E-41.3757768E-40.003577104326.0006180.003440.0014898570.00167374910.0108084346.4576190.009150.014799080.016617140.031771071.91194570.01541
6.42.8573924E-53.2103115E-50.001452057545.231050.001421.2245393E-41.3757768E-40.003577104326.0006180.003440.0014898570.00167374910.0108084346.4576190.009150.014799080.016617140.031771071.91194570.01541
6.52.7468774E-53.0828793E-50.001410786345.761970.001381.1771801E-41.3211685E-40.003451678226.125950.003320.00143227450.00160736320.010423176.48463870.008830.0142307820.0159629770.0305759251.91542770.01485
6.62.6135967E-52.925278E-50.001369213646.8062740.001341.1200648E-41.2536318E-40.00332496226.5226360.00320.00136282570.00152525460.0100023056.55779360.008490.0135449820.0151534240.029177641.92548170.01424
6.72.4498746E-52.7341659E-50.001327306148.5451930.00131.04990395E-41.1717342E-40.00316681627.0267450.003050.00127750840.00142567790.0094841736.65239520.008070.0127018930.0141706690.0274202151.93499790.01344
6.82.2244329E-52.4935984E-50.001214906348.7210120.001199.532935E-51.06864245E-40.002966558627.7600670.002860.00116001690.00130031750.00884056.79872470.007550.0115398020.0129320510.0251716931.9464580.0124
6.91.9902658E-52.2290773E-50.00113226650.7952770.001118.529431E-59.552849E-50.002725277328.5284230.002630.00103796350.00116245740.0080044956.88583950.006850.0103312880.0115683340.0224509671.9407260.01101
7.01.8353881E-52.0566635E-50.00107054552.0525130.001057.865712E-58.8139845E-50.002587919629.3615170.00259.5722964E-40.0010725920.0075156747.007020.006450.0095311680.0106784380.0209080221.95796640.01034
7.11.7667631E-51.9773011E-50.001009753451.0672579.9E-47.571623E-58.473882E-50.002444538828.847920.002369.2145515E-40.00103122450.00717488266.9576340.006150.0091764370.0102686260.0200471711.95227410.00988
7.21.6381597E-51.8158586E-59.381419E-451.663829.2E-47.020495E-57.782029E-50.002237652228.7540990.002168.544101E-49.4706746E-40.0065417646.90738960.00560.0085113250.0094343420.018220661.93131210.00887
7.31.4520491E-51.596705E-57.459554E-446.718427.3E-46.222919E-56.842852E-50.001818308726.5723840.001757.57377E-48.3281496E-40.0054189926.50683830.004590.00754800950.0082993840.0155586331.87467310.00732
7.41.2852287E-51.4145931E-57.241359E-451.19047.1E-45.5080065E-56.06241E-50.001770520529.2048930.001716.7039346E-47.378643E-40.00516459536.9993840.004430.00668374640.00735639830.0143346821.94860060.00703
7.51.1637851E-51.28372185E-57.1282825E-455.5282447.0E-44.987555E-55.501558E-50.001754922131.8986380.00176.070656E-46.696245E-40.00501671157.4918280.004350.0060540990.00667828370.013522272.02481220.00689
7.63.0068115E-63.3332262E-62.8333228E-485.002422.8E-41.2886271E-51.4285218E-58.4427337E-459.101198.3E-41.5687906E-41.7391593E-40.002073585511.9229180.00190.00156768350.00173867830.0047733932.74541450.00304

Garlock (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5092507E-56.290799E-50.001182837518.802660.001121.9323928E-42.695803E-40.003198790411.8658160.002930.00235014970.00327764680.0110122123.35979220.007760.0232545040.0323444940.045727171.41375430.01383
6.14.5092507E-56.290799E-50.001182837518.802660.001121.9323928E-42.695803E-40.003198790411.8658160.002930.00235014970.00327764680.0110122123.35979220.007760.0232545040.0323444940.045727171.41375430.01383
6.22.6674514E-53.451465E-59.4448327E-427.3647069.1E-41.1431433E-41.4791173E-40.002387580516.1419280.002240.00139088840.00179937090.00749909644.1676210.005710.013822150.0178633180.027429331.53551150.00974
6.32.6674514E-53.451465E-59.4448327E-427.3647069.1E-41.1431433E-41.4791173E-40.002387580516.1419280.002240.00139088840.00179937090.00749909644.1676210.005710.013822150.0178633180.027429331.53551150.00974
6.42.5312667E-53.2343483E-59.0231537E-427.8979038.7E-41.0847834E-41.3860772E-40.00232830416.7977940.002190.00131992370.00168627220.0073267454.3449360.005650.0131211120.0167641860.0262130831.56363580.00961
6.52.5312667E-53.2343483E-59.0231537E-427.8979038.7E-41.0847834E-41.3860772E-40.00232830416.7977940.002190.00131992370.00168627220.0073267454.3449360.005650.0131211120.0167641860.0262130831.56363580.00961
6.62.246556E-52.8137678E-58.981132E-431.9185288.7E-49.627742E-51.20584606E-40.002250327718.6618160.002130.00117154720.00146715240.006859234.6751990.00540.0116539010.0146049340.023552321.61262770.00908
6.72.2241198E-52.7807404E-58.977832E-432.2857638.7E-49.531594E-51.1916928E-40.002238916718.78770.002120.00115985380.00144994390.0068221434.70510860.005380.0115381870.0144348240.0233443321.61722330.00904
6.81.9528685E-52.3901322E-58.6388126E-436.1436588.4E-48.369167E-51.0243033E-40.002112224520.6210840.002010.00101846980.00124639540.0063600145.10272550.005120.0101381470.0124380750.0207829741.67091560.00845
6.91.3318621E-51.5200952E-58.0518896E-452.969647.9E-45.7078556E-56.514534E-50.001895026129.0892050.001836.9470983E-47.928616E-40.0052992866.68374630.004510.00692542040.0079409630.01528221.9244770.0074
7.01.1760853E-51.3109707E-58.0309936E-461.2599037.9E-45.0402683E-55.6183275E-50.001836083232.680250.001786.134799E-46.838217E-40.00505083337.38618470.004370.00611789060.0068574920.0139286672.03116040.00712
7.11.0064758E-51.0904764E-57.608966E-469.776537.5E-44.3133965E-54.6733887E-50.001766653537.802410.001725.2502943E-45.6884E-40.00472647378.3089680.004160.0052379070.0057137980.012494832.1867820.00682
7.29.768808E-61.0500609E-57.6049275E-472.4236767.5E-44.186565E-54.5001856E-50.001714926738.107910.001675.095951E-45.477633E-40.0045955458.3896540.004050.00508428040.00550420950.0121275512.2033230.00666
7.39.344516E-69.946213E-67.29939E-473.388647.2E-44.004731E-54.262595E-50.001642557838.534220.00164.8746695E-45.188508E-40.00429688958.2815510.003780.00486399050.0052158810.0113437512.17484860.00616
7.49.023491E-69.492341E-66.5948616E-469.475616.5E-43.867153E-54.0680847E-50.001480622236.3960530.001444.7072413E-44.951801E-40.00390349147.88297370.003410.0046972830.00497934270.01044200552.09706520.00549
7.57.081253E-67.089067E-63.0708694E-443.3183863.0E-43.0347876E-53.0381365E-57.903583E-426.0145747.6E-43.6942272E-43.6983108E-40.00206920235.5949930.00170.0036880920.00372535480.00652488651.75148060.00281
7.66.116396E-65.960529E-61.959594E-432.8761751.9E-42.6212863E-52.5544876E-54.6553364E-418.224154.4E-43.1909486E-43.1096474E-40.00121068493.8933199.0E-40.00318637070.0031367760.004711821.50212190.00158
7.74.797145E-64.758607E-61.2475804E-426.2173441.2E-42.055903E-52.039387E-52.9038836E-414.2390012.7E-42.5027743E-42.4826723E-47.181505E-42.89265164.7E-40.00249995760.0025102940.00335816011.33775588.5E-4
7.83.4028885E-63.9797173E-69.397936E-523.6145829.0E-51.4583726E-51.7055821E-52.0705258E-412.1397021.9E-41.775424E-42.076349E-45.375664E-42.5889983.3E-40.00177400620.002102060.00272075671.29432886.2E-4
7.92.5928412E-63.3735669E-65.33734E-515.8210585.0E-51.1112129E-51.4458064E-51.2445648E-48.6081011.1E-41.3528178E-41.7601276E-43.9597406E-42.24968932.2E-40.00135199450.00178196970.00220122121.23527424.2E-4
8.01.3743648E-61.6739597E-62.1673926E-512.94772.0E-55.8901214E-67.1740933E-65.7173733E-57.9694725.0E-57.1709874E-58.734111E-51.8733238E-42.14483621.0E-47.1686733E-48.841624E-40.00107399431.21470261.9E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1497066E-71.0314968E-532.748981.0E-51.5742813E-61.3498736E-61.134986E-58.4080911.0E-51.9166706E-51.6434604E-53.6434274E-52.21692442.0E-51.9165053E-41.6648426E-42.1647594E-41.30027875.0E-5

Ash Hill

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1545662E-52.3194681E-56.9317914E-429.8852626.7E-49.2335285E-59.9402445E-50.001759237517.698130.001660.00112360230.00120963280.005654254.6743520.004450.0111793810.012038470.0197939691.64422620.00785
6.12.1545662E-52.3194681E-56.9317914E-429.8852626.7E-49.2335285E-59.9402445E-50.001759237517.698130.001660.00112360230.00120963280.005654254.6743520.004450.0111793810.012038470.0197939691.64422620.00785
6.22.1545662E-52.3194681E-56.9317914E-429.8852626.7E-49.2335285E-59.9402445E-50.001759237517.698130.001660.00112360230.00120963280.005654254.6743520.004450.0111793810.012038470.0197939691.64422620.00785
6.31.0025529E-51.0747037E-52.9074404E-427.0534132.8E-44.2965847E-54.605799E-57.560253E-416.4146397.1E-45.229836E-45.60625E-40.00240958784.29803850.001850.0052175450.00559341950.0088252411.57778990.00325
6.41.0025529E-51.0747037E-52.9074404E-427.0534132.8E-44.2965847E-54.605799E-57.560253E-416.4146397.1E-45.229836E-45.60625E-40.00240958784.29803850.001850.0052175450.00559341950.0088252411.57778990.00325
6.56.9617327E-67.456704E-61.6745551E-422.457041.6E-42.9835655E-53.1956963E-54.8194258E-415.0809894.5E-43.6318856E-43.8901521E-40.0015485643.98072840.001160.00362595570.00388419670.00600592371.54624590.00213
6.64.9919777E-65.346739E-61.253461E-423.4434681.2E-42.1394015E-52.2914432E-53.2290755E-414.09188653.0E-42.60441E-42.789542E-40.00116870594.1895988.9E-40.00260135970.00278669880.0043722681.56897760.00159
6.73.6630722E-63.9246606E-61.1392423E-429.027791.1E-41.5698786E-51.6819899E-52.9681518E-417.646672.8E-41.9111596E-42.0476876E-49.146234E-44.46661577.1E-40.00190951680.0020463640.00323392871.58032930.00119
6.82.5599613E-62.7449514E-68.274473E-530.1443358.0E-51.0971216E-51.1764052E-52.0176181E-417.1507071.9E-41.3356637E-41.4322287E-46.631484E-44.6301855.2E-40.00133486130.00143179060.0022705881.5858388.4E-4
6.91.7684905E-61.896889E-66.1896775E-532.630686.0E-57.579223E-68.129524E-61.3812847E-416.9909651.3E-49.2273134E-59.8976954E-54.7893936E-44.8388973.8E-49.223483E-49.897696E-40.00160915591.62578856.2E-4

Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5103672E-55.4570846E-58.0452993E-414.7428527.5E-41.9328714E-42.3385457E-40.00204343148.7380430.001810.0023507310.00284363890.00749038772.63408540.004660.0232601950.028092290.0352941271.25636340.00741
6.14.5103672E-55.4570846E-58.0452993E-414.7428527.5E-41.9328714E-42.3385457E-40.00204343148.7380430.001810.0023507310.00284363890.00749038772.63408540.004660.0232601950.028092290.0352941271.25636340.00741
6.23.9363465E-54.7064215E-57.870294E-416.722467.4E-41.6868966E-42.0168893E-40.00200132589.9228340.00180.0020518620.00245293070.00706159842.87884120.004620.0203301960.0242737010.031445291.29544690.00735
6.33.9363465E-54.7064215E-57.870294E-416.722467.4E-41.6868966E-42.0168893E-40.00200132589.9228340.00180.0020518620.00245293070.00706159842.87884120.004620.0203301960.0242737010.031445291.29544690.00735
6.43.2311684E-53.7952268E-57.679246E-420.2339577.3E-41.384713E-41.6264283E-40.001952351712.00392150.001790.00168458430.00197844670.00653940533.3053230.004570.0167187140.0196164570.0267536471.3638370.00728
6.53.2311684E-53.7952268E-57.679246E-420.2339577.3E-41.384713E-41.6264283E-40.001952351712.00392150.001790.00168458430.00197844670.00653940533.3053230.004570.0167187140.0196164570.0267536471.3638370.00728
6.62.9305844E-53.4182984E-57.5415836E-422.0623917.2E-41.2559042E-41.4649061E-40.001926229813.149170.001780.00152799090.00178212580.00633399933.5541820.004560.0151752720.0176855960.0248073751.40268810.00725
6.72.7826512E-53.2345313E-57.4232236E-422.9499197.1E-41.19251024E-41.3861575E-40.001908370413.7673420.001770.00145091420.00168640060.00622872733.6935040.004550.0144147760.016743060.023861841.42517790.00724
6.82.3389874E-52.6867581E-57.368485E-427.4251887.1E-41.0023846E-41.15141964E-40.001884938216.3705580.001770.001219720.00140099930.0059246534.22887660.004530.012130470.01392721850.0210170821.50906530.00719
6.92.069209E-52.3570803E-57.335541E-431.1213027.1E-48.867737E-51.0101402E-40.001860836318.4215640.001760.00107911230.00122918790.0057336444.6645790.004510.0107388710.0122282570.0192809481.57675350.00714
7.01.7462342E-51.9634203E-57.296203E-437.160687.1E-47.483646E-58.4144E-50.001833996721.795930.001759.1075303E-40.00102399430.0054894175.3607890.004470.0090702950.01019572650.0172134381.68829940.00709
7.11.4807709E-51.644232E-57.264306E-444.1805427.1E-46.3460066E-57.046528E-50.001790344125.4074650.001727.723524E-48.5759355E-40.00528379446.1611870.004430.0076967350.008545160.0155250031.81681810.00704
7.21.4180048E-51.5698888E-57.256877E-446.225427.1E-46.077022E-56.727931E-50.001777164326.4147220.001717.396263E-48.1883394E-40.00523521476.39350.004420.00737169430.0081604520.0151330851.85444190.00703
7.31.3730402E-51.5172614E-57.2516187E-447.7941257.1E-45.8843252E-56.502396E-50.001774912827.296290.001717.161811E-47.9139526E-40.0052078976.58065270.004420.0071387740.0078880350.0148625821.88419330.00703
7.41.2810095E-51.4109794E-57.2409975E-451.3189437.1E-45.489925E-56.0469236E-50.001760366529.1117690.00176.681934E-47.359801E-40.00513274186.97402240.00440.0066618780.0073376540.0142664371.94427780.00698
7.51.1595659E-51.2801082E-57.127921E-455.682187.0E-44.9694736E-55.4860713E-50.00174476831.8035960.001696.0486543E-46.677402E-40.00498485577.46526240.004320.0060322170.0066595270.0134539752.020260.00684
7.62.997694E-63.3253514E-62.8332442E-485.201352.8E-41.28471975E-51.4251469E-58.4423966E-459.2387778.3E-41.564034E-41.735051E-40.002063177311.8911610.001890.00156293370.00173456620.00475931032.74380450.00303

Blackwater

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0708583E-53.309619E-54.4308262E-413.3877234.1E-41.3160157E-41.4183388E-40.0012616758.8954420.001120.00160107140.00172559630.0049699882.8801570.003250.0158958510.0171358080.0230821371.34701180.00605
6.13.0708583E-53.309619E-54.4308262E-413.3877234.1E-41.3160157E-41.4183388E-40.0012616758.8954420.001120.00160107140.00172559630.0049699882.8801570.003250.0158958510.0171358080.0230821371.34701180.00605
6.21.1707779E-51.2545242E-51.7254324E-413.753681.6E-45.017523E-55.3764266E-54.137449E-47.6955373.6E-46.107122E-46.5439293E-40.00170370592.60349060.001050.0060903660.0065256310.0085622541.31209590.00205
6.31.1707779E-51.2545242E-51.7254324E-413.753681.6E-45.017523E-55.3764266E-54.137449E-47.6955373.6E-46.107122E-46.5439293E-40.00170370592.60349060.001050.0060903660.0065256310.0085622541.31209590.00205
6.47.929244E-68.480176E-61.2847917E-415.150531.2E-43.3982033E-53.6343128E-52.6633477E-47.3283392.3E-44.136527E-44.4239179E-40.00115207772.60420237.1E-40.00412883560.00441551670.00571973251.2953710.00131
6.55.8832115E-66.286048E-69.628548E-515.3173319.0E-52.521352E-52.6939942E-52.0693509E-47.6813491.8E-43.0693135E-43.2794697E-48.677699E-42.64606765.4E-40.00306507780.00327488340.0042815761.3073980.00101
6.65.8832115E-66.286048E-69.628548E-515.3173319.0E-52.521352E-52.6939942E-52.0693509E-47.6813491.8E-43.0693135E-43.2794697E-48.677699E-42.64606765.4E-40.00306507780.00327488340.0042815761.3073980.00101
6.73.0715053E-63.281496E-66.32813E-519.2842856.0E-51.3163528E-51.4063485E-58.40625E-55.97735937.0E-51.6025416E-41.7121063E-44.4116442E-42.57673482.7E-40.00160138650.00171090190.0022499781.3150835.4E-4
6.82.2722281E-62.4287758E-63.2428703E-513.35187153.0E-59.738084E-61.0409003E-55.0408587E-54.84278734.0E-51.1855473E-41.2672316E-42.7670414E-42.18353271.5E-40.0011849150.00126659920.00160616851.26809543.4E-4
6.99.952399E-71.0653588E-61.0653588E-61.00.04.265307E-64.5658185E-61.4565773E-53.1901781.0E-55.1928873E-55.5587938E-51.15584604E-42.0793116.0E-55.191674E-45.5579096E-47.2569645E-41.30570041.7E-4
7.04.7385504E-75.0756074E-75.0756074E-71.00.02.0308057E-62.1752603E-61.2175238E-55.5971411.0E-52.4724779E-52.6483794E-55.6483E-52.1327383.0E-52.4722028E-42.6483793E-43.548141E-41.33974059.0E-5

Garlock (West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.5181727E-52.5201914E-55.5518857E-422.029625.3E-41.0791722E-41.08003755E-40.00132787212.2946830.001220.00131310020.00131415590.00435016073.3102320.003040.0130536830.013144240.0181278621.37914870.00505
6.12.5077732E-52.5102956E-55.550897E-422.1125225.3E-41.0747157E-41.07579675E-40.001327448412.3392110.001220.0013076810.0013089990.004345023.31934520.003040.0130001260.0130932810.018077161.38064410.00505
6.22.494612E-52.4984645E-55.549714E-422.21255.3E-41.0690756E-41.0707267E-40.00132694212.392910.001220.00130082240.00130283370.0043388733.33033540.003040.0129323410.0130323510.0180165381.38244720.00505
6.32.4733758E-52.4804003E-55.5479084E-422.3669875.3E-41.0599751E-41.0629856E-40.001326168912.4758870.001220.00128975560.00129342010.0043294883.3473180.003040.0128229570.0129393150.0179239721.38523340.00505
6.42.3237335E-52.3183304E-55.5317103E-423.860755.3E-49.958477E-59.9353245E-50.00131923213.2781980.001220.00121177020.00120895730.0042253063.49500040.003020.0120518380.012104160.0170732761.41052960.00503
6.52.2732203E-52.299767E-55.5298547E-424.0452825.3E-49.742009E-59.8557735E-50.001318437513.3773120.001220.00118544420.00119928270.0042156613.5151520.003020.0117914030.0120084640.0169681811.41301850.00502
6.62.1319436E-52.1777872E-55.517663E-425.33615.3E-49.136581E-59.333041E-50.001313216514.0706180.001220.0011118110.00113570770.0041522783.65611480.003020.0110626490.011379370.0163422451.43612920.00502
6.71.970802E-52.039774E-55.503869E-426.982745.3E-48.446021E-58.741597E-50.001307309414.955040.001220.0010278180.00106377150.0040805593.83593560.003020.0102307710.0106670940.0156236521.46465860.00501
6.81.8744462E-51.9905396E-55.498949E-427.6254165.3E-48.033094E-58.530606E-50.00130520215.3002250.001229.775903E-40.00103810810.0040549733.90611820.003020.0097330090.0104128970.0153707281.47612420.00501
6.91.7559682E-51.8957733E-55.4894766E-428.95645.3E-47.5253614E-58.124491E-50.001301145816.0151060.001229.158276E-49.887093E-40.0040057234.05146740.003020.00912062450.0099234270.014873811.49885820.005
7.01.6794445E-51.8220519E-55.4821087E-430.0875575.3E-47.197421E-57.8085606E-50.001287991116.4946040.001218.759337E-49.5027895E-40.0039474284.1539680.0030.0087248910.0095423310.01446490551.51586710.00497
7.11.6337795E-51.7721295E-55.3771207E-430.3427075.2E-47.0017246E-57.5946205E-50.001275855116.7994580.00128.521265E-49.242542E-40.0038915094.2104320.002970.0084886640.00928408650.0141782231.52715330.00494
7.21.5780008E-51.716991E-55.3716096E-431.285025.2E-46.762685E-57.358326E-50.001253496417.0350760.001188.2304585E-48.9550926E-40.00382288554.26895140.002930.0082000420.0089989120.0138449061.5385090.00489
7.31.5058865E-51.6622957E-55.3661433E-432.281525.2E-46.45364E-57.12393E-50.001251155317.562710.001187.854473E-48.669946E-40.00379445434.37656070.002930.007826770.008715590.0135332331.55276140.00486
7.41.4887923E-51.6458913E-55.3645036E-432.5933045.2E-46.380382E-57.05363E-50.001250453117.7277950.001187.7653467E-48.584423E-40.00374596154.3636730.002890.00773826750.0086304170.0133889911.55137240.0048
7.51.4509299E-51.6050892E-54.960432E-430.9044024.8E-46.218123E-56.8787725E-50.001188710717.2808530.001127.567935E-48.3716994E-40.00352491794.21051650.002690.00754221340.0084187570.0128907881.53119860.00451
7.61.2756717E-51.40547745E-53.2405043E-423.0562523.1E-45.4670498E-56.023336E-57.501918E-412.4547566.9E-46.6541E-47.3309505E-40.00238188543.24908140.001650.0066342110.007383740.0102424751.38716630.00288
7.71.0328985E-51.1464304E-52.214619E-419.3175182.1E-44.4266326E-54.913181E-54.991097E-410.1585864.5E-45.388092E-45.98016E-40.0016174062.70462010.001020.00537504670.00604061220.00778998061.28960120.00176
7.87.0306583E-68.902713E-61.4890147E-416.7254031.4E-43.0131043E-53.815393E-53.3814248E-48.8625873.0E-43.667837E-44.6442522E-40.00114410942.46349556.8E-40.0036617890.0046970.00589136361.25428220.0012
7.94.060633E-65.467275E-68.546684E-515.6324398.0E-51.7402595E-52.3430968E-51.9342698E-48.2551851.7E-42.11856E-42.852348E-46.651264E-42.33185583.8E-40.00211654140.00288524040.00357324961.23845826.9E-4
8.01.6729537E-62.0781215E-62.207808E-510.6240572.0E-57.169782E-68.906205E-66.890567E-57.73681646.0E-58.7288594E-51.0842768E-42.2841468E-42.10660841.2E-48.7254314E-40.00109730680.00134703251.22758052.5E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1497066E-71.0314968E-532.748981.0E-51.5742813E-61.3498736E-61.134986E-58.4080911.0E-51.9166706E-51.6434604E-53.6434274E-52.21692442.0E-51.9165053E-41.6648426E-42.1647594E-41.30027875.0E-5

McLean Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7360222E-51.8501789E-51.3849957E-47.4857391.2E-47.439883E-57.929125E-54.7925953E-46.0442934.0E-49.0542925E-49.64992E-40.00292310073.0291450.001960.0090174910.0096128580.0136536381.42035150.00408
6.19.062689E-69.592268E-61.0959131E-411.4249631.0E-43.8839516E-54.110912E-53.0109842E-47.32437042.6E-44.727685E-45.003975E-40.00157985713.15720420.001080.00471763960.00499359050.00719255441.44035730.00221
6.29.062689E-69.592268E-61.0959131E-411.4249631.0E-43.8839516E-54.110912E-53.0109842E-47.32437042.6E-44.727685E-45.003975E-40.00157985713.15720420.001080.00471763960.00499359050.00719255441.44035730.00221
6.37.2575485E-67.667767E-67.766723E-510.1290557.0E-53.110341E-53.2861484E-52.2285525E-46.7816551.9E-43.786182E-44.0002225E-40.00124968233.12403188.5E-40.00377973750.0039937270.00573673751.43643720.00175
6.47.2575485E-67.667767E-67.766723E-510.1290557.0E-53.110341E-53.2861484E-52.2285525E-46.7816551.9E-43.786182E-44.0002225E-40.00124968233.12403188.5E-40.00377973750.0039937270.00573673751.43643720.00175
6.56.06582E-66.4039245E-66.640354E-510.3691956.0E-52.5996113E-52.7445138E-51.8744075E-46.82965231.6E-43.164567E-43.340998E-40.00102386933.06456116.9E-40.00316006430.00333661380.0047518761.42416120.00142
6.65.598744E-65.910306E-65.591001E-59.4597495.0E-52.3994397E-52.5329673E-51.7532587E-46.9217581.5E-42.9209262E-43.083515E-49.3815726E-43.04249296.3E-40.00291708970.00307986580.00434595441.41108560.00127
6.75.246996E-65.539203E-65.5538927E-510.026525.0E-52.2486933E-52.3739261E-51.5373618E-46.47603031.3E-42.73744E-42.8899353E-48.588288E-42.97179255.7E-40.00273407040.0028868010.00404345241.40066890.00116
6.84.02324E-64.246936E-63.424681E-58.0638873.0E-51.7242342E-51.820106E-51.0819942E-45.9446779.0E-52.099053E-42.2158133E-46.314905E-42.84992654.1E-40.00209707140.00221418820.00303237261.36951898.2E-4
6.96.835972E-77.1399705E-77.1399705E-71.00.02.9296991E-63.0599856E-61.3059955E-54.2679791.0E-53.56685E-53.7255006E-55.725426E-51.53682072.0E-53.5662777E-43.7251884E-44.4249278E-41.187847.0E-5

Gravel Hills-Harper Lk

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0679566E-53.146516E-52.6145793E-48.30944252.3E-41.3147724E-41.3484493E-47.847573E-45.81970176.5E-40.00159955990.00164071770.0034477482.10136580.001810.0158809520.0163076130.0196423291.20448840.00339
6.13.0679566E-53.146516E-52.6145793E-48.30944252.3E-41.3147724E-41.3484493E-47.847573E-45.81970176.5E-40.00159955990.00164071770.0034477482.10136580.001810.0158809520.0163076130.0196423291.20448840.00339
6.21.514536E-51.363538E-57.363456E-55.40025766.0E-56.490707E-55.84361E-52.0842733E-43.56675651.5E-47.8995706E-47.112392E-40.00119089781.67439844.8E-40.0078715480.00709083020.0080638811.13722679.8E-4
6.31.514536E-51.363538E-57.363456E-55.40025766.0E-56.490707E-55.84361E-52.0842733E-43.56675651.5E-47.8995706E-47.112392E-40.00119089781.67439844.8E-40.0078715480.00709083020.0080638811.13722679.8E-4
6.41.2532521E-51.0689813E-54.0689494E-53.806383.0E-55.37097E-54.5812714E-51.5580768E-43.40097021.1E-46.537194E-45.576329E-48.474712E-41.51976542.9E-40.00651799650.00556292660.00614964451.10546925.9E-4
6.51.1094058E-59.083761E-62.908358E-53.20171122.0E-54.7545094E-53.8929848E-51.2892635E-43.3117619.0E-55.787078E-44.7387183E-46.537865E-41.37966951.8E-40.00577203040.00472902130.0051370821.08628874.1E-4
6.69.688328E-67.531771E-67.531771E-61.00.04.1520743E-53.2278636E-56.2277664E-51.92937733.0E-55.053978E-43.9292406E-44.7289263E-41.20352178.0E-50.00504249940.003922550.0041118051.04824791.9E-4
6.78.974824E-66.7494793E-66.7494793E-61.00.03.8462964E-52.8926032E-54.8925453E-51.69139872.0E-54.6818596E-43.521197E-44.120986E-41.17033666.0E-50.0046720080.00351583890.0036453821.03684561.3E-4
6.87.4780046E-65.1162397E-65.1162397E-61.00.03.20482E-52.1926564E-54.1926127E-51.91211562.0E-53.9011694E-42.6692462E-43.0691395E-41.14981514.0E-50.00389432810.00266617820.0027459651.02992558.0E-5
6.96.3409307E-63.9075294E-63.9075294E-61.00.02.7175134E-51.6746453E-51.6746453E-51.00.03.3080703E-42.0386997E-42.0386997E-41.00.00.00330315020.00203692770.0020768461.01959744.0E-5
7.05.1239335E-62.605876E-62.605876E-61.00.02.195953E-51.1167994E-51.1167994E-51.00.02.6732447E-41.359621E-41.359621E-41.00.00.00267003130.00135881430.00137878711.01469872.0E-5
7.14.438899E-62.0984924E-62.0984924E-61.00.01.9023713E-58.993509E-68.993509E-61.00.02.315891E-41.0949069E-41.0949069E-41.00.00.0023134790.00109438940.00111436751.0182552.0E-5
7.23.50367E-61.2615886E-61.2615886E-61.00.01.5015643E-55.4067978E-65.4067978E-61.00.01.8280011E-46.582586E-56.582586E-51.00.00.00182649826.5807183E-46.5807183E-41.00.0
7.32.561638E-67.1188435E-77.1188435E-71.00.01.0978401E-53.0509295E-63.0509295E-61.00.01.3365384E-43.7144455E-53.7144455E-51.00.00.00133573493.7138443E-43.7138443E-41.00.0
7.42.0368864E-65.3046045E-75.3046045E-71.00.08.729483E-62.2734E-62.2734E-61.00.01.06276275E-42.7678298E-52.7678298E-51.00.00.00106225472.7674905E-42.7674905E-41.00.0
7.51.1681728E-63.6029326E-73.6029326E-71.00.05.0064455E-61.544113E-61.544113E-61.00.06.0951766E-51.879942E-51.879942E-51.00.06.093505E-41.8797876E-41.8797876E-41.00.0
7.61.3154387E-77.119745E-87.119745E-81.00.05.6375933E-73.051319E-73.051319E-71.00.06.863748E-63.7149762E-63.7149762E-61.00.06.863536E-53.7149297E-53.7149297E-51.00.0

Goldstone Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.671352E-53.0376643E-51.603727E-45.2794741.3E-41.1448149E-41.3018023E-45.2012946E-43.99545673.9E-40.0013929210.00158398820.00305165981.92656720.001470.0138422220.015746480.0188665631.19814480.00317
6.12.671352E-53.0376643E-51.603727E-45.2794741.3E-41.1448149E-41.3018023E-45.2012946E-43.99545673.9E-40.0013929210.00158398820.00305165981.92656720.001470.0138422220.015746480.0188665631.19814480.00317
6.21.4197047E-51.6096526E-55.6095883E-53.48496824.0E-56.0843064E-56.898385E-52.3897212E-43.4641751.7E-47.4051257E-48.396533E-40.00159901521.90437547.6E-40.0073804980.0083745060.0099710231.19064020.00161
6.31.4197047E-51.6096526E-55.6095883E-53.48496824.0E-56.0843064E-56.898385E-52.3897212E-43.4641751.7E-47.4051257E-48.396533E-40.00159901521.90437547.6E-40.0073804980.0083745060.0099710231.19064020.00161
6.41.3238931E-51.5008722E-55.500812E-53.6650774.0E-55.6737044E-56.432206E-52.1431241E-43.33186481.5E-46.9055456E-47.8293774E-40.00147239751.88060626.9E-40.0068841260.00781141970.0092699371.1867160.00147
6.51.3238931E-51.5008722E-55.500812E-53.6650774.0E-55.6737044E-56.432206E-52.1431241E-43.33186481.5E-46.9055456E-47.8293774E-40.00147239751.88060626.9E-40.0068841260.00781141970.0092699371.1867160.00147
6.61.1328278E-51.2855392E-54.2855005E-53.33362133.0E-54.8548856E-55.509391E-51.9508619E-43.54097561.4E-45.90922E-46.706576E-40.00125026871.86424285.8E-40.00589353130.0066957260.0078876911.17801880.0012
6.78.651175E-69.824737E-63.9824445E-54.0534873.0E-53.707594E-54.210585E-51.2210249E-42.89989358.0E-54.5130608E-45.126087E-49.1240363E-41.77992244.0E-40.00450390620.0051231410.00597873561.16700588.6E-4
6.81.0215377E-61.1754901E-61.1754901E-61.00.04.378012E-65.0378057E-65.0378057E-61.00.05.3300988E-56.1333674E-56.1333674E-51.00.05.3288206E-46.131787E-46.2317256E-41.01629841.0E-5
6.97.9360774E-79.2835677E-79.2835677E-71.00.03.4011714E-63.978666E-63.978666E-61.00.04.1408475E-54.8439255E-54.8439255E-51.00.04.140076E-44.8429397E-44.8429397E-41.00.0
7.07.4382757E-78.747494E-78.747494E-71.00.03.1878285E-63.748921E-63.748921E-61.00.03.8811122E-54.5642224E-54.5642224E-51.00.03.8804344E-44.5633517E-44.5633517E-41.00.0
7.16.4709513E-77.711456E-77.711456E-71.00.02.773262E-63.3049057E-63.3049057E-61.00.03.376394E-54.0236544E-54.0236544E-51.00.03.375881E-44.0229855E-44.0229855E-41.00.0
7.26.356704E-77.588514E-77.588514E-71.00.02.7242988E-63.2522166E-63.2522166E-61.00.03.3167835E-53.9595077E-53.9595077E-51.00.03.3162883E-43.9588616E-43.9588616E-41.00.0
7.35.7695723E-76.896703E-76.896703E-71.00.02.4726714E-62.9557268E-62.9557268E-61.00.03.0104358E-53.598544E-53.598544E-51.00.03.0100282E-43.5980184E-43.5980184E-41.00.0
7.45.209647E-76.1936277E-76.1936277E-71.00.02.232704E-62.6544094E-62.6544094E-61.00.02.718283E-53.231701E-53.231701E-51.00.02.7179506E-43.2312868E-43.2312868E-41.00.0
7.54.512955E-75.3489794E-75.3489794E-71.00.01.934122E-62.292418E-62.292418E-61.00.02.3547682E-52.7909884E-52.7909884E-51.00.02.3545188E-42.790691E-42.790691E-41.00.0
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-51.3587343E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.3586794E-41.00.0

So Sierra Nevada

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.15488665E-51.1079688E-52.710768E-424.4661052.6E-44.9494203E-54.7483583E-56.07457E-412.792995.6E-46.024253E-45.7797204E-40.00210708783.64565680.001530.0060079480.00576595780.0085597551.48453320.00281
6.11.15488665E-51.1079688E-52.710768E-424.4661052.6E-44.9494203E-54.7483583E-56.07457E-412.792995.6E-46.024253E-45.7797204E-40.00210708783.64565680.001530.0060079480.00576595780.0085597551.48453320.00281
6.21.15488665E-51.1079688E-52.710768E-424.4661052.6E-44.9494203E-54.7483583E-56.07457E-412.792995.6E-46.024253E-45.7797204E-40.00210708783.64565680.001530.0060079480.00576595780.0085597551.48453320.00281
6.31.15488665E-51.1079688E-52.710768E-424.4661052.6E-44.9494203E-54.7483583E-56.07457E-412.792995.6E-46.024253E-45.7797204E-40.00210708783.64565680.001530.0060079480.00576595780.0085597551.48453320.00281
6.41.15488665E-51.1079688E-52.710768E-424.4661052.6E-44.9494203E-54.7483583E-56.07457E-412.792995.6E-46.024253E-45.7797204E-40.00210708783.64565680.001530.0060079480.00576595780.0085597551.48453320.00281
6.51.15488665E-51.1079688E-52.710768E-424.4661052.6E-44.9494203E-54.7483583E-56.07457E-412.792995.6E-46.024253E-45.7797204E-40.00210708783.64565680.001530.0060079480.00576595780.0085597551.48453320.00281
6.67.587044E-66.935655E-61.4693469E-421.1854081.4E-43.2515498E-52.9723915E-53.5971412E-412.1018423.3E-43.9580427E-43.6183148E-40.00121152393.34830988.5E-40.0039510.00361271530.0051072961.41370020.0015
6.77.587044E-66.935655E-61.4693469E-421.1854081.4E-43.2515498E-52.9723915E-53.5971412E-412.1018423.3E-43.9580427E-43.6183148E-40.00121152393.34830988.5E-40.0039510.00361271530.0051072961.41370020.0015
6.85.9026956E-65.179403E-61.1517883E-422.237861.1E-42.5297022E-52.2197259E-52.6219193E-411.8119062.4E-43.0794772E-42.702193E-48.500625E-43.1458255.8E-40.00307521320.00269902330.00373621631.38428460.00104
6.95.0118915E-64.2524307E-61.1425196E-426.8674491.1E-42.1479358E-51.8224579E-52.3822057E-413.0713892.2E-42.614798E-42.2186238E-47.217515E-43.25314935.0E-40.00261172350.00221648140.00308455321.3916448.7E-4
7.04.4924795E-63.7139203E-61.1371351E-430.6181891.1E-41.925334E-51.5916707E-52.0591369E-412.9369531.9E-42.3438422E-41.9376932E-46.3368405E-43.27030134.4E-40.00234137170.00193606650.00264469181.36601297.1E-4
7.13.9118436E-63.111977E-68.311173E-526.707058.0E-51.6764936E-51.33369795E-51.7333485E-412.9965591.6E-42.0409399E-41.623662E-45.02311E-43.09369183.4E-40.00203906630.00162253180.00220159071.3568865.8E-4
7.23.4200818E-62.6054513E-63.2605374E-512.514293.0E-51.4657411E-51.1166175E-51.11165056E-49.9555191.0E-41.7843937E-41.359402E-43.7590758E-42.7652422.4E-40.00178296150.00135862010.00181799521.33811884.6E-4
7.32.6593618E-61.8284135E-63.182836E-517.4076373.0E-51.13972155E-57.836036E-68.783541E-511.2091648.0E-51.3875226E-49.539985E-52.553846E-42.67699151.6E-40.00138665659.53618E-40.0012333511.29333872.8E-4
7.42.2577992E-61.4364293E-62.14364E-514.9233942.0E-59.676246E-66.1561127E-66.615574E-510.746356.0E-51.1780193E-47.4948344E-52.0493861E-42.7343981.3E-40.0011773957.4925576E-49.89076E-41.32007792.4E-4
7.51.489319E-67.35383E-72.0735368E-528.196692.0E-56.3827797E-63.1516379E-64.315151E-513.6917734.0E-57.770758E-53.837052E-51.08367836E-42.82424717.0E-57.7680405E-43.836394E-45.335818E-41.39084221.5E-4
7.61.0680322E-64.6595343E-74.6595343E-71.00.04.577273E-61.9969418E-61.1996922E-56.0076471.0E-55.5726876E-52.4312498E-54.431201E-51.82260222.0E-55.5712904E-42.4309864E-43.0308406E-41.24675336.0E-5
7.75.509146E-71.5579108E-71.5579108E-71.00.02.3610605E-66.676759E-71.0667669E-515.9773161.0E-52.8745531E-58.128925E-61.8128843E-52.2301651.0E-52.8741814E-48.1286395E-51.0128477E-41.24602372.0E-5

Coyote Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.5090034E-54.036512E-51.20361896E-42.98182928.0E-51.503772E-41.7298336E-44.5293494E-42.61837272.8E-40.00182930470.00210429540.00305229611.45050759.5E-40.0181431940.0208696160.0230041221.10227810.00218
6.13.5090034E-54.036512E-51.20361896E-42.98182928.0E-51.503772E-41.7298336E-44.5293494E-42.61837272.8E-40.00182930470.00210429540.00305229611.45050759.5E-40.0181431940.0208696160.0230041221.10227810.00218
6.21.841879E-52.1060194E-56.105935E-52.89927774.0E-57.8935285E-59.0255424E-52.4024189E-42.66181.5E-49.606133E-40.00109840790.00157788071.43651624.8E-40.00956471450.0109398750.0121366371.10939460.00121
6.31.841879E-52.1060194E-56.105935E-52.89927774.0E-57.8935285E-59.0255424E-52.4024189E-42.66181.5E-49.606133E-40.00109840790.00157788071.43651624.8E-40.00956471450.0109398750.0121366371.10939460.00121
6.41.712201E-51.9565581E-55.9564798E-53.04436644.0E-57.337798E-58.385037E-52.3383778E-42.7887511.5E-48.930107E-40.00102050070.00150001081.46987744.8E-40.0088943070.01016806250.0113261661.11389610.00117
6.51.4744935E-51.6837288E-54.6836783E-52.78172953.0E-56.3191044E-57.215834E-52.0214896E-42.80146361.3E-47.6907943E-48.782672E-40.00132787191.51192264.5E-40.0076642320.0087571590.0098277011.12224770.00108
6.61.2017839E-51.3724348E-53.3724074E-52.45724422.0E-55.150401E-55.8817805E-51.5881192E-42.70006541.0E-46.268809E-47.159601E-40.00105571671.47454683.4E-40.00625115450.00714522830.0079891541.11811058.5E-4
6.71.00956095E-51.1533734E-53.1533506E-52.73402382.0E-54.326618E-54.9429844E-51.494249E-43.02296921.0E-45.266384E-46.0172915E-48.9155464E-41.48165442.9E-40.0052539210.0060095260.00675501861.12405187.5E-4

San Andreas (Mojave S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1064058E-46.7471585E-48.6458767E-41.281411.9E-40.00133063760.00288856330.00336717671.16569264.8E-40.0160806050.034570210.035690111.03239490.001160.14965490.28665140.28812091.00512650.00206
6.13.1064058E-46.7471585E-48.6458767E-41.281411.9E-40.00133063760.00288856330.00336717671.16569264.8E-40.0160806050.034570210.035690111.03239490.001160.14965490.28665140.28812091.00512650.00206
6.23.1064058E-46.7471585E-48.6458767E-41.281411.9E-40.00133063760.00288856330.00336717671.16569264.8E-40.0160806050.034570210.035690111.03239490.001160.14965490.28665140.28812091.00512650.00206
6.33.1064058E-46.7471585E-48.6458767E-41.281411.9E-40.00133063760.00288856330.00336717671.16569264.8E-40.0160806050.034570210.035690111.03239490.001160.14965490.28665140.28812091.00512650.00206
6.41.9872203E-44.31896E-46.21814E-41.43973061.9E-48.5138786E-40.00184969810.00230884741.24822934.6E-40.0103164780.022293670.0233495921.04736420.001080.0985048560.197056070.198573631.00770120.00189
6.51.291105E-42.8762486E-44.7757023E-41.66039261.9E-45.5321335E-40.00123209840.0016815441.36478054.5E-40.0067145920.0148984480.0159229541.06876590.001040.0651529650.1381180.139617681.01085790.00174
6.61.291105E-42.8762486E-44.7757023E-41.66039261.9E-45.5321335E-40.00123209840.0016815441.36478054.5E-40.0067145920.0148984480.0159229541.06876590.001040.0651529650.1381180.139617681.01085790.00174
6.71.08001186E-42.4343564E-44.333894E-41.78030371.9E-44.6278012E-40.00104287910.00149240971.43104784.5E-40.00561980160.0126234320.0136503041.08134650.001040.0547979060.1192281840.1207343041.01263230.00171
6.81.0624356E-42.3861213E-44.285668E-41.79608131.9E-44.5525006E-40.00102222320.00146177341.42999434.4E-40.00552859250.0123748220.0133821991.08140540.001020.0539305660.1171725240.11866451.01273320.00169
6.91.0393785E-42.3231508E-44.2227094E-41.81766471.9E-44.4537184E-49.952566E-40.00143481871.44165714.4E-40.00540892870.0120501760.0130578851.0836260.001020.052791560.114468280.115964821.01307390.00169
7.01.0155622E-42.2601044E-44.0596977E-41.79624341.8E-44.3516833E-49.68257E-40.00139784071.44366694.3E-40.0052853110.0117250350.0127231931.08513050.001010.051613610.111724330.113216641.0133570.00168
7.19.885595E-52.188942E-43.9885478E-41.82213511.8E-44.2359953E-49.3778106E-40.00136737781.45809924.3E-40.00514513530.0113579120.0123564411.08791480.001010.050276290.1086050.110102541.01378890.00168
7.29.6411415E-52.1252372E-43.9248547E-41.84678441.8E-44.1312634E-49.104983E-40.00134010681.47183884.3E-40.0050182190.0110291540.0120280151.09056540.001010.0490640070.105795920.107298181.01419960.00168
7.39.1180635E-51.9480525E-43.747702E-41.92381971.8E-43.907156E-48.3461264E-40.00126425371.51477914.3E-40.0047465910.0101141780.0111139621.09884980.001010.0464647860.097989970.099496331.01537250.00167
7.48.887388E-51.8729005E-43.6725635E-41.96089611.8E-43.8083247E-48.024248E-40.00123207981.53544574.3E-40.00462678170.00972585750.0107260341.10283680.001010.0453162860.09462560.096119461.01578710.00165
7.58.6750515E-51.8060463E-43.6057213E-41.99647211.8E-43.7173493E-47.7379035E-40.00120345761.5552764.3E-40.0045164840.0093802880.0103808151.10666260.001010.044257870.091589090.093087971.01636530.00165
7.68.453092E-51.7447997E-43.5444857E-42.03145721.8E-43.6222505E-47.4755703E-40.00117723561.5747774.3E-40.00440117530.00906360.0100545361.10933150.0010.043150240.088746760.090241211.01683950.00164
7.78.259102E-51.6970029E-43.4966975E-42.06051351.8E-43.539135E-47.270843E-40.00115677171.59097334.3E-40.0043003860.0088163890.0098075731.11242510.0010.0421811340.086497030.087995181.01732020.00164
7.87.444844E-51.5291499E-43.0289206E-41.98078721.5E-43.1902574E-46.5518543E-40.00100495611.533853.5E-40.00387722230.0079477560.0087513191.10110568.1E-40.038102690.0783255550.079579031.01600340.00136
7.95.2586525E-51.0011774E-41.9010872E-41.89885169.0E-52.2535135E-44.2900548E-46.489111E-41.5125942.2E-40.00274020060.0052106440.0056881431.09163924.8E-40.0270665740.0522248070.0529925081.01469988.1E-4
8.03.379877E-55.4103475E-58.4101855E-51.5544633.0E-51.4484383E-42.3185145E-43.2183056E-41.38808979.0E-50.00176204710.0028191390.0029786881.0565951.6E-40.0174814090.0288490520.0291306861.00976232.9E-4
8.11.8668277E-51.9321345E-53.932096E-52.03510452.0E-58.000444E-58.280314E-51.0280149E-41.24151672.0E-59.736188E-40.00100766260.00103763251.02974193.0E-50.0096936420.0108051320.0108644831.00549296.0E-5
8.28.541571E-65.4646152E-65.4646152E-61.00.03.660622E-52.341957E-52.341957E-51.00.04.455896E-42.8509603E-42.8509603E-41.00.00.00444697170.00324294250.00324294251.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6647797E-77.6647797E-71.00.08.498917E-63.2849016E-63.2849016E-61.00.01.034694E-43.999296E-53.999296E-51.00.00.00103421244.7228087E-44.7228087E-41.00.0

Nelson Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.913453E-61.0192293E-51.0019138E-49.83011159.0E-54.2485535E-54.3680586E-52.3367228E-45.3495691.9E-45.1713863E-45.316917E-40.00131127692.46623567.8E-40.00515936830.00530522360.0071951441.35623750.0019
6.19.913453E-61.0192293E-51.0019138E-49.83011159.0E-54.2485535E-54.3680586E-52.3367228E-45.3495691.9E-45.1713863E-45.316917E-40.00131127692.46623567.8E-40.00515936830.00530522360.0071951441.35623750.0019
6.24.5596407E-64.696332E-65.46961E-511.6465575.0E-51.954117E-52.0126989E-51.3012477E-46.46518851.1E-42.3788778E-42.450198E-46.1492913E-42.5097123.7E-40.00237633290.00244762260.00322571351.31789667.8E-4
6.34.5596407E-64.696332E-65.46961E-511.6465575.0E-51.954117E-52.0126989E-51.3012477E-46.46518851.1E-42.3788778E-42.450198E-46.1492913E-42.5097123.7E-40.00237633290.00244762260.00322571351.31789667.8E-4
6.43.4025713E-63.509912E-64.350977E-512.3962574.0E-51.4582367E-51.50423975E-59.504119E-56.3182218.0E-51.7752586E-41.8312664E-44.4307904E-42.41952252.6E-40.0017738410.00182984040.00241876071.32184265.9E-4
6.52.8352947E-62.9278688E-63.2927783E-511.246333.0E-51.2151207E-51.2547953E-58.254708E-56.57852947.0E-51.479309E-41.5276136E-43.7272775E-42.43993472.2E-40.00147832460.00152663750.00205582821.34663825.3E-4
6.62.251518E-62.3290781E-63.2329008E-513.8806023.0E-59.649328E-69.981729E-66.998113E-57.01092246.0E-51.1747423E-41.2152141E-42.7150317E-42.23420051.5E-40.00117412140.00121461120.00161412541.32892354.0E-4
6.71.8911853E-61.9591491E-62.195911E-511.2084942.0E-58.105055E-68.39633E-64.8395992E-55.76394654.0E-59.867457E-51.022211E-42.2220884E-42.1738061.2E-49.863076E-40.00102179840.00136145091.33240663.4E-4
6.81.4874814E-61.5438383E-61.1543822E-57.47735261.0E-56.374905E-66.6164357E-63.661624E-55.53413343.0E-57.76117E-58.055265E-51.705454E-42.11719189.0E-57.75846E-48.052856E-40.00105508431.31019892.5E-4
6.96.835972E-77.1399705E-77.1399705E-71.00.02.9296991E-63.0599856E-61.3059955E-54.2679791.0E-53.56685E-53.7255006E-55.725426E-51.53682072.0E-53.5662777E-43.7251884E-44.4249278E-41.187847.0E-5

San Andreas (Mojave N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.877682E-51.9410432E-44.3405773E-42.23620842.4E-44.2326056E-48.3161064E-40.00137116151.64880245.4E-40.00514102770.0100779830.0113153851.12278270.001250.050237080.0983610150.1002724841.01943330.00212
6.19.877682E-51.9410432E-44.3405773E-42.23620842.4E-44.2326056E-48.3161064E-40.00137116151.64880245.4E-40.00514102770.0100779830.0113153851.12278270.001250.050237080.0983610150.1002724841.01943330.00212
6.29.877682E-51.9410432E-44.3405773E-42.23620842.4E-44.2326056E-48.3161064E-40.00137116151.64880245.4E-40.00514102770.0100779830.0113153851.12278270.001250.050237080.0983610150.1002724841.01943330.00212
6.39.877682E-51.9410432E-44.3405773E-42.23620842.4E-44.2326056E-48.3161064E-40.00137116151.64880245.4E-40.00514102770.0100779830.0113153851.12278270.001250.050237080.0983610150.1002724841.01943330.00212
6.49.877682E-51.9410432E-44.3405773E-42.23620842.4E-44.2326056E-48.3161064E-40.00137116151.64880245.4E-40.00514102770.0100779830.0113153851.12278270.001250.050237080.0983610150.1002724841.01943330.00212
6.59.861474E-51.9384196E-44.3379545E-42.23788212.4E-44.2256617E-48.3048694E-40.00137003851.6496815.4E-40.00513261320.0100644290.0113018481.12294980.001250.0501567460.098238560.1001502951.01946010.00212
6.69.861474E-51.9384196E-44.3379545E-42.23788212.4E-44.2256617E-48.3048694E-40.00137003851.6496815.4E-40.00513261320.0100644290.0113018481.12294980.001250.0501567460.098238560.1001502951.01946010.00212
6.79.8552715E-51.9374148E-44.3369498E-42.23852422.4E-44.223004E-48.300566E-40.00136960831.65001815.4E-40.00512939270.01005923750.0112966631.12301390.001250.0501259980.0981917750.100103611.01947050.00212
6.89.8464974E-51.9359306E-44.335466E-42.23947382.4E-44.219245E-48.294209E-40.0013689731.65051665.4E-40.00512483760.010051570.0112890051.12310870.001250.050082510.098122130.10003411.01948570.00212
6.99.825824E-51.9327311E-44.3322673E-42.24152612.4E-44.2103877E-48.2805054E-40.00136760341.65159425.4E-40.00511410460.0100350390.0112724961.12331350.001250.0499800220.097971370.099883671.0195190.00212
7.09.781462E-51.9258665E-44.3254043E-42.24595242.4E-44.1913814E-48.251105E-40.00136466491.65391785.4E-40.0050910730.0099995730.0112370741.12375530.001250.049760070.097647580.0995605661.01959070.00212
7.19.7121134E-51.9160361E-44.3155762E-42.2523462.4E-44.1616702E-48.2090014E-40.00136045681.65727455.4E-40.0050550680.0099487810.01118634551.12439360.001250.049416130.097183970.0990889151.01960130.00211
7.29.663819E-51.9091136E-44.3086553E-42.2568882.4E-44.1409794E-48.179352E-40.00135749351.6596595.4E-40.00502999360.0099130120.0111506211.12484690.001250.0491765370.096857060.09876271.01967470.00211
7.39.6277574E-51.9043636E-44.3039065E-42.26002362.4E-44.125529E-48.1590074E-40.00135546011.66130525.4E-40.00501126940.0098884680.0111261081.12515990.001250.048997590.096630440.098536551.01972580.00211
7.49.593308E-51.8983395E-44.297884E-42.26402282.4E-44.1107697E-48.133206E-40.00135288141.66340485.4E-40.00499338240.009857340.0110950181.12555910.001250.048826610.096348740.098255451.01978960.00211
7.59.561707E-51.892946E-44.2924916E-42.2676252.4E-44.0972308E-48.1101054E-40.00135057261.6652965.4E-40.00497697430.0098294680.0110671821.12591860.001250.0486697440.096094950.0980021951.01984740.00211
7.69.418194E-51.858169E-44.257723E-42.2913542.4E-44.0357444E-47.961153E-40.00133568541.67775375.4E-40.0049024540.0096497390.0108777731.12726090.001240.0479570250.0944759850.096377591.02012790.0021
7.78.202141E-51.6029968E-43.8026442E-42.37220932.2E-43.51473E-46.868178E-40.00118647431.72749515.0E-40.004270790.0083300020.0094704241.13690520.001150.041896390.082269860.084031911.02141790.00192
7.87.2859846E-51.452426E-42.9522082E-42.0326051.5E-43.1221908E-46.223198E-49.72102E-41.56206183.5E-40.0037946430.0075504630.0083543471.10646828.1E-40.0373049750.0747594460.0760177751.01683160.00136
7.95.3874453E-51.0051061E-41.9050157E-41.89533789.0E-52.3087008E-44.3068864E-46.505939E-41.51058982.2E-40.00280722020.0052310380.00570852731.091284.8E-40.027720220.0524493870.05321691.01463348.1E-4
8.03.468538E-55.4289703E-58.4288076E-51.55256093.0E-51.4864317E-42.3264941E-43.2262848E-41.38675829.0E-50.00180822830.00282882920.00298837671.05640051.6E-40.0179358530.0289617310.0292433331.00972322.9E-4
8.11.9152367E-51.9414629E-53.941424E-52.0301312.0E-58.207899E-58.3202896E-51.0320124E-41.24035622.0E-59.988535E-40.00101252520.00104249481.0295993.0E-50.0099437570.0108625430.0109218921.00546366.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.478665E-65.478665E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3479783E-52.3479783E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8582895E-42.8582895E-41.00.00.00450013950.00325084690.00325084691.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6647797E-77.6647797E-71.00.08.498917E-63.2849016E-63.2849016E-61.00.01.034694E-43.999296E-53.999296E-51.00.00.00103421244.7228087E-44.7228087E-41.00.0

Death Valley (So)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0684236E-52.5618914E-59.561712E-53.73228627.0E-58.864371E-51.09790824E-43.797612E-43.4589522.7E-40.00107870290.00133590050.00245440431.83726580.001120.0107348170.013281370.0153534791.15601620.0021
6.12.0684236E-52.5618914E-59.561712E-53.73228627.0E-58.864371E-51.09790824E-43.797612E-43.4589522.7E-40.00107870290.00133590050.00245440431.83726580.001120.0107348170.013281370.0153534791.15601620.0021
6.22.0684236E-52.5618914E-59.561712E-53.73228627.0E-58.864371E-51.09790824E-43.797612E-43.4589522.7E-40.00107870290.00133590050.00245440431.83726580.001120.0107348170.013281370.0153534791.15601620.0021
6.32.0240292E-52.511899E-59.511723E-53.78666627.0E-58.6741224E-51.0764847E-43.676205E-43.4150092.6E-40.00105556260.00130984890.00235847361.80056920.001050.0105056280.0130239250.0149682681.14929010.00197
6.42.0240292E-52.511899E-59.511723E-53.78666627.0E-58.6741224E-51.0764847E-43.676205E-43.4150092.6E-40.00105556260.00130984890.00235847361.80056920.001050.0105056280.0130239250.0149682681.14929010.00197
6.51.9962767E-52.4808238E-59.48065E-53.82157337.0E-58.55519E-51.0631679E-43.6628914E-43.44526172.6E-40.00104109680.00129365490.00231233541.78744380.001020.0103623270.0128638690.0147492991.14656780.00191
6.61.8937297E-52.331202E-58.3310624E-53.57371956.0E-58.115732E-59.9904915E-53.4987993E-43.50212932.5E-49.876423E-40.00121567820.00213455971.75585939.2E-40.0098326450.0120927650.0138117241.14214770.00174
6.71.8621096E-52.2912649E-58.2911276E-53.61858086.0E-57.980225E-59.819346E-53.4816892E-43.54574442.5E-49.711593E-40.00119486420.00209378871.75232379.0E-40.0096692610.0118868650.0135370141.13882120.00167
6.81.7830353E-52.1806614E-58.180531E-53.75139866.0E-57.641356E-59.345365E-53.2343215E-43.4608832.3E-49.29938E-40.00113721830.00198625171.74658788.5E-40.0092605610.0113169190.0128691511.13716030.00157
6.91.3135183E-51.5304342E-55.5303728E-53.61359744.0E-55.6292425E-56.558842E-52.1557858E-43.2868391.5E-46.8514474E-47.9825294E-40.0013677981.71348945.7E-40.0068303620.0079548680.0089667541.12720330.00102
7.01.1507512E-51.315447E-55.3153944E-54.04075154.0E-54.9316975E-55.6375116E-51.4637005E-42.5963599.0E-56.002687E-46.861567E-40.00109587541.59712114.1E-40.00598649870.00684105330.00757599061.10743057.4E-4
7.19.715903E-61.086547E-51.086547E-51.00.04.1638916E-54.6565492E-57.6564094E-51.64422393.0E-55.068359E-45.667917E-47.56684E-41.33503021.9E-40.00505681480.00565375340.0060316051.0668323.8E-4
7.29.233269E-61.0286476E-51.0286476E-51.00.03.9570554E-54.4084176E-55.4083735E-51.22682881.0E-54.81665E-45.365969E-46.865164E-41.27938951.5E-40.00480622330.0053534440.00567173071.05945463.2E-4
7.38.8041315E-69.808313E-69.808313E-61.00.03.7731446E-54.2034975E-55.2034553E-51.23788711.0E-54.592835E-45.1165983E-46.315984E-41.23441081.2E-40.00458335460.00510524450.0053539681.04871932.5E-4
7.48.708749E-69.707323E-69.707323E-61.00.03.7322676E-54.1602176E-55.1601757E-51.2403621.0E-54.5430884E-45.06393E-46.1633723E-41.21711271.1E-40.0045338120.00505281660.00528165471.04528922.3E-4
7.58.612678E-69.604964E-69.604964E-61.00.03.6910955E-54.116351E-55.1163097E-51.24292361.0E-54.492982E-45.010547E-46.1099953E-41.21942691.1E-40.0044839090.00499967530.00521857521.04378282.2E-4
7.68.319024E-69.28406E-69.28406E-61.00.03.5652476E-53.9788243E-53.9788243E-51.00.04.3398244E-44.8431839E-45.642797E-41.16510068.0E-50.00433135870.0048330530.00500223131.03500451.7E-4
7.77.4718328E-68.3453E-68.3453E-61.00.03.2021748E-53.57651E-53.57651E-51.00.03.8979502E-44.3535716E-45.153223E-41.18367728.0E-50.003891120.0043454480.0045047531.03666021.6E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.648288E-73.648288E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635511E-61.5635511E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9036073E-51.9036073E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.9034486E-42.1034105E-41.10505252.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696871E-92.6696871E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.1441516E-81.1441516E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3930045E-71.3930045E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3930046E-61.3930046E-61.00.0

Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.744542E-54.3963868E-51.9395727E-44.41174271.5E-41.604705E-41.8840394E-45.083436E-42.69815833.2E-40.00195197760.0022915770.0031296521.36571988.4E-40.0193492060.0226974750.024358891.07319820.0017
6.13.744542E-54.3963868E-51.9395727E-44.41174271.5E-41.604705E-41.8840394E-45.083436E-42.69815833.2E-40.00195197760.0022915770.0031296521.36571988.4E-40.0193492060.0226974750.024358891.07319820.0017
6.23.744542E-54.3963868E-51.9395727E-44.41174271.5E-41.604705E-41.8840394E-45.083436E-42.69815833.2E-40.00195197760.0022915770.0031296521.36571988.4E-40.0193492060.0226974750.024358891.07319820.0017
6.32.1079984E-52.5354482E-58.5352964E-53.36638556.0E-59.0339665E-51.0865765E-42.4864243E-42.28831031.4E-40.00109933040.00132212420.00167166141.26437563.5E-40.0109390790.0131447980.0138553331.05405457.2E-4
6.42.1079984E-52.5354482E-58.5352964E-53.36638556.0E-59.0339665E-51.0865765E-42.4864243E-42.28831031.4E-40.00109933040.00132212420.00167166141.26437563.5E-40.0109390790.0131447980.0138553331.05405457.2E-4
6.51.7397282E-52.0663358E-56.0662533E-52.93575384.0E-57.455765E-58.855431E-52.0854369E-42.35498071.2E-49.073613E-40.00107762720.00135732551.25955012.8E-40.0090366540.0107253110.0112397341.04796355.2E-4
6.61.52050325E-51.7680148E-55.767944E-53.26238474.0E-56.51628E-57.57699E-51.8576157E-42.45165371.1E-47.9306826E-49.2211604E-40.0011519041.24919632.3E-40.0079024390.0091837610.0095999041.04531294.2E-4
6.71.332523E-51.5264432E-55.5263823E-53.6204314.0E-55.7106878E-56.5417385E-51.6541085E-42.52854561.0E-46.950544E-47.961715E-49.860202E-41.23845211.9E-40.0069288450.00793382150.0082810451.0437653.5E-4
6.81.1525329E-51.3031408E-54.3031017E-53.30210043.0E-54.9393333E-55.584772E-51.2584381E-42.25333837.0E-56.011979E-46.797381E-48.396293E-41.23522471.6E-40.005995740.00677704160.0070650761.04250162.9E-4
6.91.0253909E-51.15148705E-53.151464E-52.73686432.0E-54.3944583E-54.9348535E-59.934606E-52.01315145.0E-55.3489394E-46.006564E-47.305783E-41.21629991.3E-40.00533608250.00599070820.00622927071.0398222.4E-4
7.08.104563E-68.9914565E-62.8991277E-53.22431372.0E-53.4733377E-53.8534257E-58.853233E-52.29749685.0E-54.2279682E-44.69056E-45.790044E-41.23440361.1E-40.00421993340.0046809080.00487997151.04252672.0E-4
7.16.7986157E-67.5159987E-61.7515924E-52.3304851.0E-52.91366E-53.221104E-57.220975E-52.24177034.0E-53.5468035E-43.9210095E-44.8206566E-41.22944279.0E-50.0035411480.0039143080.004053761.03562621.4E-4
7.25.6893327E-66.2801455E-66.2801455E-61.00.02.4382627E-52.6914644E-54.6914105E-51.74306992.0E-52.9681803E-43.276385E-43.776221E-41.15255735.0E-50.0029642190.00327175320.00335149141.02437178.0E-5
7.34.253348E-64.707082E-64.707082E-61.00.01.8228506E-52.0173064E-54.017266E-51.99140112.0E-52.2190946E-42.455812E-42.8557138E-41.16283894.0E-50.002216880.00245327920.00250315641.02033095.0E-5
7.42.5448119E-62.8520615E-62.8520615E-61.00.01.0906291E-51.2223072E-52.222295E-51.81811491.0E-51.3277601E-41.488074E-41.7880293E-41.20157293.0E-50.0013269670.00148723970.00151719511.02014163.0E-5
7.54.3706837E-84.5629356E-84.5629356E-81.00.01.8731501E-71.9555438E-71.9555438E-71.00.02.2805577E-62.3808725E-62.3808725E-61.00.02.2805343E-52.3808525E-52.3808525E-51.00.0

Towne Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.849728E-63.8945495E-61.0389416E-426.676811.0E-41.649873E-51.6690845E-53.2668567E-419.5727463.1E-42.0085352E-42.0319647E-40.00111301155.47751439.1E-40.00200672080.00203053580.00360732761.77653970.00158
6.13.849728E-63.8945495E-61.0389416E-426.676811.0E-41.649873E-51.6690845E-53.2668567E-419.5727463.1E-42.0085352E-42.0319647E-40.00111301155.47751439.1E-40.00200672080.00203053580.00360732761.77653970.00158
6.23.849728E-63.8945495E-61.0389416E-426.676811.0E-41.649873E-51.6690845E-53.2668567E-419.5727463.1E-42.0085352E-42.0319647E-40.00111301155.47751439.1E-40.00200672080.00203053580.00360732761.77653970.00158
6.33.849728E-63.8945495E-61.0389416E-426.676811.0E-41.649873E-51.6690845E-53.2668567E-419.5727463.1E-42.0085352E-42.0319647E-40.00111301155.47751439.1E-40.00200672080.00203053580.00360732761.77653970.00158
6.43.849728E-63.8945495E-61.0389416E-426.676811.0E-41.649873E-51.6690845E-53.2668567E-419.5727463.1E-42.0085352E-42.0319647E-40.00111301155.47751439.1E-40.00200672080.00203053580.00360732761.77653970.00158
6.51.1953545E-61.2030554E-61.1203043E-59.312161.0E-55.1229376E-65.1559423E-63.5155786E-56.8184993.0E-56.236998E-56.2771906E-51.2276814E-41.95578166.0E-56.235248E-46.275535E-48.074405E-41.28664821.8E-4
6.61.1953545E-61.2030554E-61.1203043E-59.312161.0E-55.1229376E-65.1559423E-63.5155786E-56.8184993.0E-56.236998E-56.2771906E-51.2276814E-41.95578166.0E-56.235248E-46.275535E-48.074405E-41.28664821.8E-4
6.78.375951E-78.4106983E-78.4106983E-71.00.03.5896885E-63.6045803E-62.3604509E-56.5484762.0E-54.370358E-54.388494E-59.388274E-52.1392935.0E-54.3694986E-44.3876845E-45.1873334E-41.18224858.0E-5
6.86.38041E-76.392181E-76.392181E-71.00.02.7344586E-62.7395035E-62.7395035E-61.00.03.3291526E-53.3352986E-55.3352316E-51.59962652.0E-53.3286537E-43.334836E-43.634736E-41.08992953.0E-5
6.95.3460053E-75.345356E-75.345356E-71.00.02.2911431E-62.290865E-62.290865E-61.00.02.789431E-52.789096E-53.789068E-51.35852911.0E-52.789081E-42.788779E-42.9887233E-41.07169592.0E-5
7.03.557783E-73.5324425E-73.5324425E-71.00.01.5247632E-61.513903E-61.513903E-61.00.01.8563835E-51.8431623E-51.8431623E-51.00.01.8562283E-41.8430178E-41.8430178E-41.00.0
7.13.037942E-73.00024E-73.00024E-71.00.01.3019744E-61.2858166E-61.2858166E-61.00.01.5851423E-51.5654712E-51.5654712E-51.00.01.5850292E-41.5653683E-41.5653683E-41.00.0
7.22.0808248E-72.0217831E-72.0217831E-71.00.08.917818E-78.664782E-78.664782E-71.00.01.0857389E-51.0549326E-51.0549326E-51.00.01.0856859E-41.0548872E-41.0548872E-41.00.0
7.31.1162073E-71.0636953E-71.0636953E-71.00.04.7837443E-74.5586933E-74.5586933E-71.00.05.8241935E-65.550197E-65.550197E-61.00.05.8240406E-55.5500783E-55.5500783E-51.00.0

San Andreas (San Bernardino N)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4273766E-43.1614845E-44.2611366E-41.34782781.1E-46.115894E-40.00135422440.00160388581.18435752.5E-40.00742070840.0163645350.0169350451.03486255.8E-40.071777480.150366540.151216181.00565040.001
6.11.4273766E-43.1614845E-44.2611366E-41.34782781.1E-46.115894E-40.00135422440.00160388581.18435752.5E-40.00742070840.0163645350.0169350451.03486255.8E-40.071777480.150366540.151216181.00565040.001
6.21.4273766E-43.1614845E-44.2611366E-41.34782781.1E-46.115894E-40.00135422440.00160388581.18435752.5E-40.00742070840.0163645350.0169350451.03486255.8E-40.071777480.150366540.151216181.00565040.001
6.31.3730655E-43.051962E-44.1516265E-41.36031391.1E-45.883239E-40.00130733380.0015570071.19097892.5E-40.00713934420.0158020280.0163728631.03612415.8E-40.069142910.145678270.146532581.00586450.001
6.41.3730655E-43.051962E-44.1516265E-41.36031391.1E-45.883239E-40.00130733380.0015570071.19097892.5E-40.00713934420.0158020280.0163728631.03612415.8E-40.069142910.145678270.146532581.00586450.001
6.51.2942807E-42.893405E-43.8931158E-41.34551361.0E-45.545738E-40.00123944660.00147914911.19339482.4E-40.00673105240.0149870980.0155485551.03746275.7E-40.065307880.138811950.139664531.00614199.9E-4
6.61.1125901E-42.537283E-43.5370296E-41.39402231.0E-44.767372E-40.00108695620.00132669531.22056012.4E-40.0057888390.0131540250.0137066591.04201265.6E-40.0564034540.1230562850.123915691.00698399.8E-4
6.71.02209575E-42.3507705E-43.3505354E-41.42529251.0E-44.3796748E-40.00100708550.00124684381.23807142.4E-40.00531922470.0121927560.012736051.04455885.5E-40.0519369060.114856270.115714861.00747549.7E-4
6.89.610582E-52.2033554E-43.203135E-41.45375321.0E-44.1181705E-49.4395416E-40.00118372761.25400962.4E-40.00500235150.0114323460.0119760591.04755915.5E-40.0489123460.108227410.109092431.00799269.7E-4
6.99.3877505E-52.1489074E-43.1486925E-41.46525281.0E-44.0227012E-49.2063594E-40.0011604151.26044942.4E-40.00488664540.0111513830.0116952491.04877135.5E-40.047805770.1058140840.1066814441.00819719.7E-4
7.09.1019785E-52.0815943E-43.081386E-41.4803011.0E-43.900265E-48.9180743E-40.00113159341.26887642.4E-40.00473823770.0108039260.0113479841.05035755.5E-40.0463847440.102785990.103656291.00846719.7E-4
7.18.771155E-51.9990467E-42.9988468E-41.50013841.0E-43.758525E-48.564535E-40.00109624791.27998532.4E-40.00456640640.0103776650.0109219571.05244845.5E-40.0447370560.0990941150.0999679941.00881869.7E-4
7.28.0830236E-51.8396029E-42.839419E-41.54349551.0E-43.4636928E-47.8816316E-40.00102797411.30426552.4E-40.00420889440.0095537720.0100985181.05701895.5E-40.0413006580.091820460.09270141.00959419.7E-4
7.37.7668235E-51.7339372E-42.7337638E-41.57662211.0E-43.328214E-47.4290443E-49.827261E-41.32281642.4E-40.00404457330.0090074310.0095524761.06051085.5E-40.039717480.08709590.087981421.01016719.7E-4
7.47.520177E-51.6559374E-42.6557717E-41.60378751.0E-43.2225347E-47.0949446E-49.493242E-41.3380292.4E-40.00391637950.0086039490.0091492171.06337425.5E-40.0384807440.0835526660.0844232961.01042019.5E-4
7.57.274697E-51.5846924E-42.584534E-41.63093731.0E-43.1173544E-46.789772E-49.188142E-41.35323292.4E-40.0037887750.0082352710.0087807421.06623595.5E-40.037248270.080269170.081142921.01088519.5E-4
7.67.1185845E-51.541672E-42.541518E-41.64854651.0E-43.0504653E-46.605493E-49.003908E-41.3630942.4E-40.00370761780.0080125850.0085581781.0680925.5E-40.0364636670.0782584250.079134081.01118929.5E-4
7.76.709961E-51.4325391E-42.4323958E-41.69796121.0E-42.8753807E-46.1380095E-48.5365365E-41.39076632.4E-40.0034951570.0074474590.0079933631.07330075.5E-40.0344069380.073086120.073966691.01204849.5E-4
7.86.300812E-51.3209098E-42.3207777E-41.7569541.0E-42.7000686E-45.6598143E-48.058456E-41.42380212.4E-40.00328237870.0068690810.0074153031.07951895.5E-40.0323431750.06774270.068628341.01307379.5E-4
7.94.983037E-59.7286385E-51.8727763E-41.92501389.0E-52.1354125E-44.1687503E-46.367833E-41.52751612.2E-40.00259676480.0050636520.00553127241.09234834.7E-40.0256662960.0506726470.0514321071.01498768.0E-4
8.03.2211527E-55.3333257E-58.333166E-51.56247083.0E-51.380421E-42.2855109E-43.185305E-41.3936959.0E-50.00167936690.00277906070.0029386161.05741351.6E-40.0166673230.0283751560.0286569281.00993032.9E-4
8.11.743376E-51.8835979E-53.8835602E-52.06177782.0E-57.471398E-58.0723126E-51.0072151E-41.24774052.0E-59.0926304E-49.823616E-40.00101233221.03050863.0E-50.0090555170.0104900860.0105494561.00565976.0E-5
8.27.831616E-65.158648E-65.158648E-61.00.03.3563636E-52.2108305E-52.2108305E-51.00.04.0856065E-42.6913546E-42.6913546E-41.00.00.0040781030.0030437870.0030437871.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6647797E-77.6647797E-71.00.08.498917E-63.2849016E-63.2849016E-61.00.01.034694E-43.999296E-53.999296E-51.00.00.00103421244.7228087E-44.7228087E-41.00.0

Paradise

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4851273E-51.6694923E-53.669459E-52.1979492.0E-56.364676E-57.1547845E-51.4154284E-41.97829637.0E-57.7462377E-48.707705E-40.0013003961.49338564.3E-40.00771929140.0086759650.0097664211.1256870.0011
6.11.4851273E-51.6694923E-53.669459E-52.1979492.0E-56.364676E-57.1547845E-51.4154284E-41.97829637.0E-57.7462377E-48.707705E-40.0013003961.49338564.3E-40.00771929140.0086759650.0097664211.1256870.0011
6.21.4851273E-51.6694923E-53.669459E-52.1979492.0E-56.364676E-57.1547845E-51.4154284E-41.97829637.0E-57.7462377E-48.707705E-40.0013003961.49338564.3E-40.00771929140.0086759650.0097664211.1256870.0011
6.31.0426831E-51.1888797E-51.1888797E-51.00.04.4685654E-55.095103E-56.095052E-51.19625691.0E-55.43912E-46.2015816E-47.800589E-41.25783871.6E-40.00542582660.00618488340.0066718531.07873554.9E-4
6.41.0426831E-51.1888797E-51.1888797E-51.00.04.4685654E-55.095103E-56.095052E-51.19625691.0E-55.43912E-46.2015816E-47.800589E-41.25783871.6E-40.00542582660.00618488340.0066718531.07873554.9E-4
6.59.25027E-61.0620124E-51.0620124E-51.00.03.964341E-54.551405E-54.551405E-51.00.04.8255164E-45.539976E-46.6393666E-41.19844691.1E-40.00481505130.00552666470.00590456461.06837763.8E-4
6.67.904275E-69.159673E-69.159673E-61.00.03.3875025E-53.925517E-53.925517E-51.00.04.1235037E-44.7783085E-45.078165E-41.06275373.0E-50.00411586040.0047684310.00491771571.03130691.5E-4
6.77.2061953E-68.407388E-68.407388E-61.00.03.088333E-53.6031186E-53.6031186E-51.00.03.7593965E-44.3859507E-44.6858191E-41.06837023.0E-50.0037530430.00437766360.0044871821.02501751.1E-4
6.86.6948724E-67.842299E-67.842299E-61.00.02.8691995E-53.360944E-53.360944E-51.00.03.4926904E-44.0912168E-44.191176E-41.02443271.0E-50.0034872060.00408404270.00415375641.01706997.0E-5
6.96.0421025E-67.130747E-67.130747E-61.00.02.5894467E-53.0560004E-53.0560004E-51.00.03.1521954E-43.7200793E-43.8200422E-41.02687121.0E-50.00314772780.00371419030.00376400441.01341195.0E-5
7.04.134091E-65.080416E-65.080416E-61.00.01.7717413E-52.1773038E-52.1773038E-51.00.02.1568815E-42.6505603E-42.7505337E-41.03771781.0E-50.00215478920.00264755220.0026874461.01506834.0E-5
7.13.7674888E-64.6319656E-64.6319656E-61.00.01.6146281E-51.9851139E-51.9851139E-51.00.01.9656324E-42.4166232E-42.5165992E-41.041371.0E-50.00196389460.0024141460.00245404941.0165294.0E-5
7.23.4065345E-64.156807E-64.156807E-61.00.01.4599351E-51.7814775E-51.7814775E-51.00.01.777326E-42.1687479E-42.2687262E-41.04609951.0E-50.00177590530.00216677950.0022066931.01842064.0E-5
7.32.9934936E-63.6293877E-63.6293877E-61.00.01.2829195E-51.5554435E-51.5554435E-51.00.01.5618425E-41.8936026E-41.9935836E-41.05279931.0E-50.00156074530.00189213440.00192207761.01582523.0E-5
7.42.4049796E-62.8890327E-62.8890327E-61.00.01.0307015E-51.2381518E-51.2381518E-51.00.01.2548068E-41.5073598E-41.6073449E-41.06633111.0E-50.00125409850.0015064790.00153643371.0198843.0E-5
7.51.2710091E-61.513489E-61.513489E-61.00.05.44717E-66.486372E-66.486372E-61.00.06.631728E-57.896997E-58.896918E-51.12662041.0E-56.6297496E-47.895417E-48.19518E-41.03796673.0E-5
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-51.3587343E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.3586794E-41.00.0

Bicycle Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9621975E-52.2097447E-53.209723E-51.4525311.0E-58.4091465E-59.470067E-52.1468931E-42.26703051.2E-40.00102333270.00115250590.00150210251.30333613.5E-40.010186330.0114785990.0124572361.08525749.9E-4
6.11.9621975E-52.2097447E-53.209723E-51.4525311.0E-58.4091465E-59.470067E-52.1468931E-42.26703051.2E-40.00102333270.00115250590.00150210251.30333613.5E-40.010186330.0114785990.0124572361.08525749.9E-4
6.29.9971285E-61.1255827E-52.1255715E-51.88841871.0E-54.2844134E-54.8238664E-51.3823432E-42.86563359.0E-55.2150246E-45.8719947E-48.070703E-41.37443972.2E-40.00520280330.00586158460.00653759861.11532966.8E-4
6.39.589428E-61.0798527E-52.079842E-51.92604221.0E-54.10969E-54.627887E-51.3627471E-42.94464189.0E-55.002399E-45.633515E-47.732332E-41.37255912.1E-40.00499115330.00562432360.00629055551.11845546.7E-4
6.49.589428E-61.0798527E-52.079842E-51.92604221.0E-54.10969E-54.627887E-51.3627471E-42.94464189.0E-55.002399E-45.633515E-47.732332E-41.37255912.1E-40.00499115330.00562432360.00629055551.11845546.7E-4
6.55.557707E-66.2857107E-66.2857107E-61.00.02.3818526E-52.6938633E-56.693756E-52.48481634.0E-52.8995197E-43.2795538E-44.879029E-41.48771121.6E-40.00289573940.00327735040.00375577711.14597984.8E-4
6.64.8742945E-65.5133855E-65.5133855E-61.00.02.0889667E-52.3628729E-56.3627784E-52.69281464.0E-52.54302E-42.87668E-44.176306E-41.45177981.3E-40.0025401120.00287552530.00326440371.13523753.9E-4
6.73.991108E-64.515989E-64.515989E-61.00.01.7104636E-51.9354238E-55.9353464E-53.06669074.0E-52.0822904E-42.3563785E-43.4561194E-41.46670811.1E-40.00208034040.00235637860.0026856011.13971543.3E-4

Garlic Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6760017E-51.8777133E-53.8776758E-52.06510542.0E-57.182667E-58.0471604E-52.3045954E-42.86386161.5E-48.7413884E-49.794187E-40.00133906621.36720493.6E-40.0087070830.0097625680.0106141731.08723158.6E-4
6.19.852767E-61.0973753E-52.0973643E-51.91125541.0E-54.222546E-54.702992E-51.370257E-42.91358549.0E-55.139737E-45.7250983E-47.4241246E-41.29676821.7E-40.0051278660.00571730730.0061547921.07651934.4E-4
6.29.852767E-61.0973753E-52.0973643E-51.91125541.0E-54.222546E-54.702992E-51.370257E-42.91358549.0E-55.139737E-45.7250983E-47.4241246E-41.29676821.7E-40.0051278660.00571730730.0061547921.07651934.4E-4
6.34.3167724E-64.7780964E-61.4778048E-53.09287381.0E-51.8500323E-52.0477524E-57.0476504E-53.44165135.0E-52.2521814E-42.4930836E-43.3928594E-41.36090879.0E-50.00224990030.00249254520.00269204681.08003932.0E-4
6.44.3167724E-64.7780964E-61.4778048E-53.09287381.0E-51.8500323E-52.0477524E-57.0476504E-53.44165135.0E-52.2521814E-42.4930836E-43.3928594E-41.36090879.0E-50.00224990030.00249254520.00269204681.08003932.0E-4
6.54.3167724E-64.7780964E-61.4778048E-53.09287381.0E-51.8500323E-52.0477524E-57.0476504E-53.44165135.0E-52.2521814E-42.4930836E-43.3928594E-41.36090879.0E-50.00224990030.00249254520.00269204681.08003932.0E-4
6.64.301311E-64.7609647E-61.4760917E-53.10040471.0E-51.8434059E-52.0404104E-57.040308E-53.45043755.0E-52.2441156E-42.4841467E-43.3839233E-41.36220749.0E-50.00224185060.00248362820.00268313151.08032742.0E-4
6.73.8599724E-64.2711204E-61.4271078E-53.34129621.0E-51.6542634E-51.8304801E-56.830389E-53.7314745.0E-52.0138794E-42.2286095E-43.128409E-41.40374929.0E-50.00201205540.00222860950.00240820831.08058791.8E-4

Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6707214E-51.867056E-52.8670374E-51.53559261.0E-57.160038E-58.001427E-51.3001027E-41.62483855.0E-58.71386E-49.7374606E-40.00129343441.32830773.2E-40.008679770.0096956470.010289831.06128356.0E-4
6.11.6707214E-51.867056E-52.8670374E-51.53559261.0E-57.160038E-58.001427E-51.3001027E-41.62483855.0E-58.71386E-49.7374606E-40.00129343441.32830773.2E-40.008679770.0096956470.010289831.06128356.0E-4
6.21.6707214E-51.867056E-52.8670374E-51.53559261.0E-57.160038E-58.001427E-51.3001027E-41.62483855.0E-58.71386E-49.7374606E-40.00129343441.32830773.2E-40.008679770.0096956470.010289831.06128356.0E-4
6.31.6707214E-51.867056E-52.8670374E-51.53559261.0E-57.160038E-58.001427E-51.3001027E-41.62483855.0E-58.71386E-49.7374606E-40.00129343441.32830773.2E-40.008679770.0096956470.010289831.06128356.0E-4
6.41.5515609E-51.7338483E-52.733831E-51.57674171.0E-56.649377E-57.430571E-51.1430273E-41.53827674.0E-58.0926094E-49.0430264E-40.00113409471.25410962.3E-40.0080632020.0090069130.00949251.05391264.9E-4
6.51.5515609E-51.7338483E-52.733831E-51.57674171.0E-56.649377E-57.430571E-51.1430273E-41.53827674.0E-58.0926094E-49.0430264E-40.00113409471.25410962.3E-40.0080632020.0090069130.00949251.05391264.9E-4
6.61.5041828E-51.6809407E-52.6809239E-51.5948951.0E-56.4463384E-57.203836E-51.1203548E-41.55521984.0E-57.8455906E-48.7672E-40.00108653591.23931922.1E-40.007817950.0087332680.0091595131.0488074.3E-4
6.71.4634985E-51.6356273E-52.6356109E-51.61137631.0E-56.271985E-57.009646E-51.0009435E-41.42795173.0E-57.6334673E-48.53096E-40.00105292541.23424022.0E-40.0076072990.0084988480.0089152781.04899854.2E-4
6.81.4209158E-51.5882297E-52.5882138E-51.62962191.0E-56.089497E-56.806524E-59.8063196E-51.44072373.0E-57.4114406E-48.2838483E-40.00101822741.2291721.9E-40.0073867710.0082535850.0086502831.04806384.0E-4
6.91.3780098E-51.5404834E-52.540468E-51.64913691.0E-55.9056227E-56.601908E-59.60171E-51.45438413.0E-57.1877235E-48.0349133E-49.933386E-41.2362781.9E-40.00716451930.0080064580.0083834161.04708173.8E-4
7.01.3585064E-51.5188394E-52.5188241E-51.65838741.0E-55.8220405E-56.5091524E-58.509022E-51.30723972.0E-57.086029E-47.922066E-49.7206404E-41.22703351.8E-40.0070634760.0078944170.0082714181.04775523.8E-4
7.11.3398601E-51.4981575E-51.4981575E-51.00.05.742131E-56.4205204E-57.420456E-51.15574061.0E-56.9888023E-47.814234E-49.512906E-41.21738171.7E-40.00696686380.0077873460.0081246981.04332053.4E-4
7.21.3126312E-51.4679792E-51.4679792E-51.00.05.6254412E-56.291191E-57.291128E-51.15894251.0E-56.846822E-47.656887E-49.355586E-41.22185231.7E-40.0068257650.007631090.0079585711.04291423.3E-4
7.31.2922429E-51.4454016E-51.4454016E-51.00.05.5380664E-56.1944345E-57.194372E-51.16142521.0E-56.74051E-47.5391686E-49.0380374E-41.19881091.5E-40.0067201010.00751417270.00781191841.03962463.0E-4
7.41.2768878E-51.4283997E-51.4283997E-51.00.05.4722615E-56.1215724E-57.121511E-51.16334681.0E-56.660441E-47.45052E-48.7495515E-41.17435441.3E-40.00664051440.00742612030.0077040411.03742482.8E-4
7.51.2521929E-51.40122365E-51.40122365E-51.00.05.366431E-56.0051094E-57.005049E-51.16651491.0E-56.531671E-47.308822E-48.6078723E-41.17773721.3E-40.0065125060.00728536070.00755339351.03679062.7E-4
7.61.1301089E-51.2648349E-51.2648349E-51.00.04.8432343E-55.4206117E-55.4206117E-51.00.05.895042E-46.597649E-47.4970553E-41.13632239.0E-50.00587942820.00657861450.00677729861.03020162.0E-4
7.79.189108E-61.0283521E-51.0283521E-51.00.03.93813E-54.407152E-54.407152E-51.00.04.7936183E-45.3644367E-46.1640074E-41.14905028.0E-50.0047832910.00535199840.00551114231.02973531.6E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.648288E-73.648288E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635511E-61.5635511E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9036073E-51.9036073E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.9034486E-42.1034105E-41.10505252.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696871E-92.6696871E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.1441516E-81.1441516E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3930045E-71.3930045E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3930046E-61.3930046E-61.00.0

San Andreas (San Bernardino S)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2336002E-43.000988E-43.200928E-41.06662482.0E-55.2857865E-40.00128552990.00140537571.09322671.2E-40.0064164720.0155439640.015858991.02026683.2E-40.062343370.142919260.143390661.00329835.5E-4
6.11.2336002E-43.000988E-43.200928E-41.06662482.0E-55.2857865E-40.00128552990.00140537571.09322671.2E-40.0064164720.0155439640.015858991.02026683.2E-40.062343370.142919260.143390661.00329835.5E-4
6.21.2336002E-43.000988E-43.200928E-41.06662482.0E-55.2857865E-40.00128552990.00140537571.09322671.2E-40.0064164720.0155439640.015858991.02026683.2E-40.062343370.142919260.143390661.00329835.5E-4
6.31.1712257E-42.879813E-43.0797554E-41.06942892.0E-55.018573E-40.00123364750.00135349951.09715251.2E-40.0060930080.01492106450.015236291.02112623.2E-40.0592863220.137634070.138108371.00344615.5E-4
6.41.1712257E-42.879813E-43.0797554E-41.06942892.0E-55.018573E-40.00123364750.00135349951.09715251.2E-40.0060930080.01492106450.015236291.02112623.2E-40.0592863220.137634070.138108371.00344615.5E-4
6.51.0689076E-42.6810818E-42.8810283E-41.07457672.0E-54.5802278E-40.00114855390.00126841611.10435931.2E-40.00556217830.0138986020.0142042931.02199443.1E-40.054250030.128915940.129386321.00364885.4E-4
6.69.7648895E-52.5055694E-42.7055194E-41.07980222.0E-54.1842813E-40.00107339720.00119326831.11167451.2E-40.0050824690.0129946670.0133006391.0235463.1E-40.0496778860.121011180.1214770451.00384975.3E-4
6.78.757013E-52.3126253E-42.512579E-41.08646182.0E-53.7524657E-49.90771E-40.0011106521.12099781.2E-40.004559060.0120000050.0123062841.02552333.1E-40.044666560.112365830.11282741.00410775.2E-4
6.88.562978E-52.268613E-42.4685677E-41.08813952.0E-53.6693315E-49.719227E-40.00109180611.12334661.2E-40.0044582630.0117730220.0120793731.02602143.1E-40.0436987580.110371510.1108341141.00419145.2E-4
6.96.124075E-51.7070957E-41.9070615E-41.1171382.0E-52.6243398E-47.3140813E-48.513204E-41.16394711.2E-40.00319045270.0088687430.00917599351.03464423.1E-40.0314503460.084192160.084631751.00522124.8E-4
7.05.8598747E-51.6499894E-41.8499565E-41.12119292.0E-52.5111332E-47.069475E-48.268627E-41.16962391.2E-40.00305301860.0085733140.0088806561.03584873.1E-40.030114140.081515630.0819565061.00540844.8E-4
7.15.613814E-51.5918406E-41.7918088E-41.12562072.0E-52.4056983E-46.8203977E-48.019579E-41.17582291.2E-40.00292500390.0082723990.0085798351.0371643.1E-40.0288680210.078812650.079254821.00561034.8E-4
7.24.991222E-51.452485E-41.652456E-41.1376752.0E-52.1389198E-46.223455E-47.422708E-41.1926991.2E-40.0026010250.0075508350.0078584941.0407453.1E-40.0257079120.072262360.07269841.00603414.7E-4
7.34.7410045E-51.3718859E-41.5718584E-41.14576472.0E-52.0317009E-45.8781897E-47.077484E-41.20402441.2E-40.00247078970.0071332970.00744108581.04314823.1E-40.0244349820.0685551240.06899291.00638584.7E-4
7.44.5556746E-51.312667E-41.5126407E-41.15234162.0E-51.952286E-45.624506E-46.823831E-41.2132321.2E-40.0023743170.0068264140.00713429741.04510193.1E-40.0234910860.06580830.066238031.006534.6E-4
7.54.3084514E-51.2361899E-41.436165E-41.16176752.0E-51.8463485E-45.296884E-46.496248E-41.22642831.2E-40.00224561150.0064299580.0067379651.04790193.1E-40.0222305450.0622085220.062639911.00693454.6E-4
7.63.408608E-59.8397344E-51.1839538E-41.20323752.0E-51.4607502E-44.2163485E-45.415843E-41.28448641.2E-40.00177701250.00512134750.00542975961.0602213.1E-40.0176286960.0500386660.0504756461.00873294.6E-4
7.72.8315713E-58.252603E-51.0252438E-41.24232782.0E-51.2134742E-43.5363509E-44.7359263E-41.33921291.2E-40.00147640340.0042970160.0045957271.0695163.0E-40.014666330.0422891940.0427201651.0101914.5E-4
7.82.6222975E-57.466726E-59.466577E-51.2678352.0E-51.1237934E-43.1996332E-44.3992494E-41.3749231.2E-40.00136735970.00388860120.0041874351.07684853.0E-40.0135897680.038453290.0388859851.01125254.5E-4
7.92.1469694E-55.7908495E-57.790734E-51.34535252.0E-59.200973E-52.4815567E-43.6812588E-41.48344741.2E-40.00111964280.00301711260.0032862981.08921962.7E-40.0111401840.0301657820.0305634141.01318164.1E-4
8.01.2420249E-53.1335217E-53.1335217E-51.00.05.322855E-51.3428688E-41.9427882E-41.44674476.0E-56.478649E-40.00163371770.0017135871.04888818.0E-50.00645979350.016529980.0166381621.00654461.1E-4
8.14.9197724E-67.827452E-67.827452E-61.00.02.1084568E-53.354579E-53.354579E-51.00.02.566744E-44.0834362E-44.0834362E-41.00.00.0025637810.0043869370.0043869371.00.0
8.22.5634774E-62.9088305E-62.9088305E-61.00.01.0986286E-51.24663575E-51.24663575E-51.00.01.3374983E-41.5176737E-41.5176737E-41.00.00.00133669340.00170613120.00170613121.00.0
8.35.2850464E-73.2110069E-73.2110069E-71.00.02.2650179E-61.3761452E-61.3761452E-61.00.02.7576245E-51.6754451E-51.6754451E-51.00.02.7572823E-41.9885681E-41.9885681E-41.00.0

Helendale-So Lockhart

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7296055E-51.8103841E-55.8103116E-53.20943574.0E-57.412385E-57.7585704E-51.8757717E-42.4176771.1E-49.0208417E-49.442173E-40.00119398131.26451962.5E-40.0089843110.0094041740.009929191.0558285.3E-4
6.11.7296055E-51.8103841E-55.8103116E-53.20943574.0E-57.412385E-57.7585704E-51.8757717E-42.4176771.1E-49.0208417E-49.442173E-40.00119398131.26451962.5E-40.0089843110.0094041740.009929191.0558285.3E-4
6.21.7296055E-51.8103841E-55.8103116E-53.20943574.0E-57.412385E-57.7585704E-51.8757717E-42.4176771.1E-49.0208417E-49.442173E-40.00119398131.26451962.5E-40.0089843110.0094041740.009929191.0558285.3E-4
6.31.0669118E-51.1135489E-54.1135154E-53.69405913.0E-54.5723988E-54.7722668E-51.4771789E-43.09534031.0E-45.5654737E-45.8087136E-47.907494E-41.36131582.1E-40.00555155570.0057938270.00616168321.06349113.7E-4
6.41.0669118E-51.1135489E-54.1135154E-53.69405913.0E-54.5723988E-54.7722668E-51.4771789E-43.09534031.0E-45.5654737E-45.8087136E-47.907494E-41.36131582.1E-40.00555155570.0057938270.00616168321.06349113.7E-4
6.58.790038E-69.1702495E-62.9170065E-53.18094562.0E-53.767105E-53.9300485E-51.0929773E-42.78107867.0E-54.585485E-44.7837992E-46.582938E-41.37608991.8E-40.00457603440.00477366570.0050921381.06671443.2E-4
6.67.396949E-67.715581E-62.7715427E-53.59213732.0E-53.1700827E-53.3066364E-51.0306405E-43.1168857.0E-53.858892E-44.025096E-45.724412E-41.42218021.7E-40.0038521980.0040179130.0043167071.07436563.0E-4
6.76.4600285E-66.7380697E-62.6737935E-53.96818922.0E-52.7685543E-52.8877126E-59.8875105E-53.4239947.0E-53.3701936E-43.5152308E-45.114668E-41.45500221.6E-40.00336508690.0035097520.00378876921.07949772.8E-4
6.85.600104E-65.836042E-62.5835925E-54.426962.0E-52.4000226E-52.5011372E-57.5010124E-52.99904065.0E-52.9216358E-43.044715E-44.4442888E-41.45967321.4E-40.00291779750.0030406050.00328984481.08197052.5E-4
6.94.839122E-65.039537E-62.5039437E-54.96859842.0E-52.0738931E-52.159784E-57.159676E-53.31499655.0E-52.5246723E-42.6292243E-43.8289087E-41.45628831.2E-40.0025218060.0026261610.00283560971.07975462.1E-4
7.03.6937633E-63.845229E-62.3845152E-56.2012312.0E-51.5830317E-51.6479451E-56.647863E-54.0340325.0E-51.9271708E-42.0061915E-43.005991E-41.49835691.0E-40.00192550030.00200441180.0021740711.08464291.7E-4
7.12.7858857E-62.8978693E-61.289784E-54.45080141.0E-51.1939455E-51.2419382E-54.2419008E-53.41554933.0E-51.4535317E-41.511957E-42.2118511E-41.46290617.0E-50.00145258140.00151094980.00161079881.06608361.0E-4
7.22.1672065E-62.2540248E-62.2540248E-61.00.09.2879945E-69.660072E-62.9659877E-53.0703582.0E-51.1307546E-41.176052E-41.576005E-41.3400814.0E-50.00113017940.00117544780.00123537741.05098446.0E-5
7.31.4823496E-61.5422185E-61.5422185E-61.00.06.3529114E-66.6094917E-62.660936E-54.02593142.0E-57.734395E-58.046775E-51.10465335E-41.37279023.0E-57.731704E-48.044012E-48.54361E-41.0621085.0E-5
7.44.2321457E-74.4109012E-74.4109012E-71.00.01.8137755E-61.8903852E-61.1890366E-56.28991751.0E-52.2082493E-52.3015242E-53.301501E-51.43448471.0E-52.2080299E-42.3013311E-42.4013082E-41.04344311.0E-5
7.55.6942316E-85.941599E-85.941599E-81.00.02.440385E-72.5463993E-72.5463993E-71.00.02.9711643E-63.1002376E-63.1002376E-61.00.02.9711247E-53.1002022E-53.1002022E-51.00.0

Coyote Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.980352E-52.1707021E-54.1706586E-51.92134082.0E-58.486947E-59.302718E-52.0301694E-42.18234011.1E-40.00103279590.00113208950.00135184041.19411092.2E-40.0102800910.0112704010.0116658931.03509124.0E-4
6.11.980352E-52.1707021E-54.1706586E-51.92134082.0E-58.486947E-59.302718E-52.0301694E-42.18234011.1E-40.00103279590.00113208950.00135184041.19411092.2E-40.0102800910.0112704010.0116658931.03509124.0E-4
6.21.980352E-52.1707021E-54.1706586E-51.92134082.0E-58.486947E-59.302718E-52.0301694E-42.18234011.1E-40.00103279590.00113208950.00135184041.19411092.2E-40.0102800910.0112704010.0116658931.03509124.0E-4
6.31.5344787E-51.6820884E-53.6820547E-52.18897822.0E-56.576172E-57.208785E-51.7208065E-42.38709621.0E-48.003548E-48.7737746E-40.00106721071.21636451.9E-40.0079747840.008745180.00910203251.04080563.6E-4
6.41.5344787E-51.6820884E-53.6820547E-52.18897822.0E-56.576172E-57.208785E-51.7208065E-42.38709621.0E-48.003548E-48.7737746E-40.00106721071.21636451.9E-40.0079747840.008745180.00910203251.04080563.6E-4
6.51.4189697E-51.5558186E-53.5557874E-52.2854772.0E-56.081157E-56.667658E-51.6666991E-42.49967721.0E-47.401293E-48.1154524E-49.913992E-41.22161911.8E-40.00737669130.0080917590.0084389271.04290393.5E-4
6.61.3469301E-51.47717665E-52.477162E-51.67695711.0E-55.7724297E-56.3306376E-51.5330067E-42.42156779.0E-57.025667E-47.7054254E-49.404115E-41.22045371.7E-40.00700349640.00768461260.0080120771.04261293.3E-4
6.71.3027966E-51.4281927E-52.4281784E-51.70017561.0E-55.5832945E-56.120716E-51.5120165E-42.47032629.0E-56.7955407E-47.450021E-49.148755E-41.22801721.7E-40.0067747980.0074309230.00773861961.04140763.1E-4
6.85.695434E-66.2244944E-66.2244944E-61.00.02.4408775E-52.6676302E-55.66755E-52.12456373.0E-52.971363E-43.2476554E-43.747493E-41.15390725.0E-50.00296739330.00324585030.00332559061.02456698.0E-5
6.94.385688E-64.7931144E-64.7931144E-61.00.01.879567E-52.0541918E-55.0541305E-52.46039823.0E-52.2881327E-42.5009786E-43.0008535E-41.19987185.0E-50.0022857780.00250097850.00257080351.0279197.0E-5

San Andreas (Big Bend)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0179969E-42.0081972E-42.2081571E-41.09957182.0E-54.362114E-48.603731E-49.5029565E-41.10451589.0E-50.00529794860.0104250150.0106526181.02183232.3E-40.0517340970.1014843960.101816851.00327593.7E-4
6.11.0179969E-42.0081972E-42.2081571E-41.09957182.0E-54.362114E-48.603731E-49.5029565E-41.10451589.0E-50.00529794860.0104250150.0106526181.02183232.3E-40.0517340970.1014843960.101816851.00327593.7E-4
6.21.0179969E-42.0081972E-42.2081571E-41.09957182.0E-54.362114E-48.603731E-49.5029565E-41.10451589.0E-50.00529794860.0104250150.0106526181.02183232.3E-40.0517340970.1014843960.101816851.00327593.7E-4
6.31.0179969E-42.0081972E-42.2081571E-41.09957182.0E-54.362114E-48.603731E-49.5029565E-41.10451589.0E-50.00529794860.0104250150.0106526181.02183232.3E-40.0517340970.1014843960.101816851.00327593.7E-4
6.49.1639464E-51.8438944E-42.0438575E-41.10844612.0E-53.9268145E-47.9000136E-48.5994607E-41.08853757.0E-50.00477042050.0095759680.009744341.01758281.7E-40.0466930640.093817120.0940255451.00222162.3E-4
6.59.1639464E-51.8438944E-42.0438575E-41.10844612.0E-53.9268145E-47.9000136E-48.5994607E-41.08853757.0E-50.00477042050.0095759680.009744341.01758281.7E-40.0466930640.093817120.0940255451.00222162.3E-4
6.69.042622E-51.8245954E-42.0245589E-41.10959342.0E-53.8748336E-47.817353E-48.516806E-41.08947437.0E-50.00470740950.0094762050.0096346891.01672431.6E-40.0460893250.092914170.093104651.00205022.1E-4
6.78.9836685E-51.8160277E-42.0159913E-41.11011052.0E-53.8495753E-47.7806565E-48.480112E-41.08989677.0E-50.004676790.00943191350.0095904051.01680371.6E-40.0457958170.09250840.092698971.002062.1E-4
6.88.9471854E-51.8107046E-42.0106684E-41.11043432.0E-53.8339442E-47.7578565E-48.4573135E-41.09016117.0E-50.0046578410.0094043960.0095628911.01685331.6E-40.045614140.0922560.0924466251.00206632.1E-4
6.98.858234E-51.7989E-41.998864E-41.11115912.0E-53.7958333E-47.7072956E-48.406756E-41.09075317.0E-50.0046116380.0093433660.0095018721.01696441.6E-40.045171030.09169620.0918869451.00208022.1E-4
7.08.7433385E-51.7827768E-41.9827412E-41.11216452.0E-53.746607E-47.638237E-48.3377026E-41.09157427.0E-50.0045519570.0092600050.0094185241.01711861.6E-40.0445983860.090931050.091112871.00199952.0E-4
7.18.684964E-51.7739709E-41.9739354E-41.11272142.0E-53.7215967E-47.6005195E-48.299987E-41.0920297.0E-50.00452163350.0092144730.0093729991.0172041.6E-40.044307310.090512530.090685331.00190911.9E-4
7.28.606521E-51.7630306E-41.9629953E-41.11342112.0E-53.6879873E-47.553659E-48.2531304E-41.09260037.0E-50.00448088350.0091579020.0093164371.01731121.6E-40.0439160240.089993270.090166171.00192131.9E-4
7.38.568266E-51.7572299E-41.9571948E-41.11379552.0E-53.6715972E-47.528814E-48.228287E-41.09290617.0E-50.00446101050.00912790650.00928644651.01736871.6E-40.0437251480.089714210.0898871651.00192791.9E-4
7.48.5432206E-51.7534874E-41.9534524E-41.11403852.0E-53.6608664E-47.5127836E-48.212258E-41.09310457.0E-50.0044479990.0091085540.0092670961.01740591.6E-40.0436001570.089534390.0897073751.00193211.9E-4
7.58.4791965E-51.7404204E-41.9403856E-41.11489472.0E-53.633435E-47.456814E-48.156292E-41.09380397.0E-50.00441473770.0090409780.0091995321.01753721.6E-40.0432805750.0889101250.089083231.0019471.9E-4
7.68.241105E-51.6849465E-41.8849128E-41.11867812.0E-53.531424E-47.219202E-47.918697E-41.09689377.0E-50.00429103520.0087540460.0089027331.01698491.5E-40.0420911760.086286520.0864509941.0019061.8E-4
7.77.00432E-51.4212567E-41.5212425E-41.07035031.0E-53.001506E-46.089679E-46.5893744E-41.08205625.0E-50.00364821120.00738901920.00751805861.01746371.3E-40.0358889770.0735526160.0737008451.00201541.6E-4
7.86.415362E-51.2976197E-41.3976067E-41.07705411.0E-52.749151E-45.5600423E-46.0597644E-41.08987745.0E-50.00334195470.00674837040.0068774931.01913391.3E-40.032921410.067284970.067434211.00221791.6E-4
7.94.939911E-59.346299E-51.0346206E-41.10698431.0E-52.116933E-44.004942E-44.5047418E-41.12479585.0E-50.00257431950.00486512440.0049646381.02045441.0E-40.0254470130.0489382330.049052361.00233211.2E-4
8.03.344983E-55.2255753E-56.225523E-51.19135651.0E-51.4334853E-42.2393401E-42.5392728E-41.13393813.0E-50.00174387110.00272298950.00276288061.01464974.0E-50.0173024960.027936110.0279749931.00139194.0E-5
8.11.9104898E-51.9185067E-52.9184876E-51.52122871.0E-58.1875565E-58.221913E-59.221831E-51.12161621.0E-59.963791E-40.00100055880.00101054881.00998441.0E-50.0099192350.0107560510.0107659441.00091971.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.478665E-65.478665E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3479783E-52.3479783E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8582895E-42.8582895E-41.00.00.00450013950.00325084690.00325084691.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6647797E-77.6647797E-71.00.08.498917E-63.2849016E-63.2849016E-61.00.01.034694E-43.999296E-53.999296E-51.00.00.00103421244.7228087E-44.7228087E-41.00.0

Death Valley (No)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0074807E-52.2500446E-52.2500446E-51.00.08.603206E-59.642696E-51.1642503E-41.20739092.0E-50.0010469370.00117337330.00133318561.1361991.6E-40.0104201830.0116726930.0119889581.02709443.2E-4
6.12.0074807E-52.2500446E-52.2500446E-51.00.08.603206E-59.642696E-51.1642503E-41.20739092.0E-50.0010469370.00117337330.00133318561.1361991.6E-40.0104201830.0116726930.0119889581.02709443.2E-4
6.22.0074807E-52.2500446E-52.2500446E-51.00.08.603206E-59.642696E-51.1642503E-41.20739092.0E-50.0010469370.00117337330.00133318561.1361991.6E-40.0104201830.0116726930.0119889581.02709443.2E-4
6.31.9050609E-52.1337288E-52.1337288E-51.00.08.164292E-59.144236E-51.11440524E-41.21869712.0E-59.935491E-40.00111274890.00127257081.14362811.6E-40.0098911880.0110725950.0113791631.02768713.1E-4
6.41.9050609E-52.1337288E-52.1337288E-51.00.08.164292E-59.144236E-51.11440524E-41.21869712.0E-59.935491E-40.00111274890.00127257081.14362811.6E-40.0098911880.0110725950.0113791631.02768713.1E-4
6.51.8367004E-52.0561336E-52.0561336E-51.00.07.8713354E-58.811707E-51.0811531E-41.22695082.0E-59.5791375E-40.00107230390.00123213231.14905141.6E-40.0095379510.0106720850.0109688831.02781073.0E-4
6.61.779439E-51.9911244E-51.9911244E-51.00.07.625944E-58.533114E-51.0532944E-41.2343612.0E-59.280632E-40.00103841790.00119825181.15392051.6E-40.0092419690.0103364160.0106333151.02872363.0E-4
6.71.7025437E-51.9043726E-51.9043726E-51.00.07.296412E-58.161345E-51.0161182E-41.24503772.0E-58.87976E-49.93197E-40.00115303811.16093591.6E-40.0088443620.0098883010.0101853341.03003883.0E-4
6.81.6545107E-51.851284E-51.851284E-51.00.07.090568E-57.933836E-58.933757E-51.12603251.0E-58.629347E-49.655226E-40.00111537781.15520631.5E-40.0085959150.0096139810.0099011921.02987442.9E-4
6.91.615478E-51.8087881E-51.8087881E-51.00.06.9232934E-57.751722E-58.751645E-51.12899361.0E-58.4258494E-49.433697E-40.00109322811.15885451.5E-40.0083939730.0093943450.0096816211.03057972.9E-4
7.01.5894311E-51.7805834E-51.7805834E-51.00.06.81167E-57.6308526E-58.630776E-51.1310371.0E-58.2900526E-49.286663E-40.00107852711.1613721.5E-40.0082591950.0092485440.0095358631.03106632.9E-4
7.11.5602263E-51.7483784E-51.7483784E-51.00.06.6865134E-57.4928386E-58.492763E-51.13345071.0E-58.137789E-49.118773E-40.00105174971.15338951.4E-40.0081080520.0090820390.0093594961.03055012.8E-4
7.21.5323829E-51.7170905E-51.7170905E-51.00.06.56719E-57.358755E-58.358682E-51.13588251.0E-57.99262E-48.9556625E-40.00103544081.15618561.4E-40.0079639340.0089202490.0091977511.03110922.8E-4
7.31.4556212E-51.6302716E-51.6302716E-51.00.06.238227E-56.986695E-57.9866244E-51.14311921.0E-57.592395E-48.503039E-49.901848E-41.1645071.4E-40.00756650740.0084711490.0087388611.03160292.7E-4
7.41.411725E-51.5808211E-51.5808211E-51.00.06.0501097E-56.774775E-57.774708E-51.14759641.0E-57.363519E-48.245226E-49.5441536E-41.1575371.3E-40.00733916740.0082152680.0084731331.03138842.6E-4
7.51.3503312E-51.5126531E-51.5126531E-51.00.05.7870053E-56.482641E-57.4825766E-51.15424811.0E-57.043401E-47.8898156E-49.18879E-41.16463941.3E-40.0070211190.0078624290.0081203851.03280872.6E-4
7.61.1279839E-51.2626528E-51.2626528E-51.00.04.834127E-55.4112596E-55.4112596E-51.00.05.88396E-46.58627E-47.4856775E-41.13655799.0E-50.0058684050.00656730260.0067659891.03025392.0E-4
7.79.189108E-61.0283521E-51.0283521E-51.00.03.93813E-54.407152E-54.407152E-51.00.04.7936183E-45.3644367E-46.1640074E-41.14905028.0E-50.0047832910.00535199840.00551114231.02973531.6E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.648288E-73.648288E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635511E-61.5635511E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9036073E-51.9036073E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.9034486E-42.1034105E-41.10505252.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696871E-92.6696871E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.1441516E-81.1441516E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3930045E-71.3930045E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3930046E-61.3930046E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Parkfield)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.556969E-47.787764E-48.1874523E-41.05132264.0E-50.00237938480.00333389340.003403661.02092657.0E-50.0285869630.040279060.0404806031.00500362.1E-40.251762840.33733740.337536221.00058943.0E-4
6.11.925858E-43.0300187E-43.229958E-41.06598622.0E-58.2510663E-40.00129802710.00133797531.0307764.0E-50.00999948850.015784790.0158930531.00685871.1E-40.0956132560.149813150.149923671.00073781.3E-4
6.29.4306815E-51.8251229E-42.0250863E-41.10956172.0E-54.0410945E-47.8196224E-48.21931E-41.05111344.0E-50.00490893840.0094790250.0095879831.01149451.1E-40.0480190630.091886950.092005011.00128481.3E-4
6.39.283051E-51.7947727E-41.9947368E-41.11141472.0E-53.9778434E-47.689627E-48.08932E-41.05197814.0E-50.00483227470.00932212450.0094310991.01168991.1E-40.0472853850.090539880.090658111.00130581.3E-4
6.49.138826E-51.7709887E-41.9709533E-41.11291122.0E-53.916052E-47.5877557E-47.9874526E-41.05267664.0E-50.00475737450.0091991420.00930813051.01184761.1E-40.0465680920.089443460.089552721.00122171.2E-4
6.59.000255E-51.7467843E-41.9467494E-41.11447612.0E-53.8566816E-47.484082E-47.883783E-41.05340674.0E-50.00468540470.0090740020.0091830041.01201261.1E-40.0458784030.088332380.0884417741.00123851.2E-4
6.68.8109264E-51.7148908E-41.9148565E-41.11660552.0E-53.7755648E-47.347474E-47.74718E-41.05440044.0E-50.00458706540.0089090670.0090180881.0122371.1E-40.044935290.086864310.086973881.00126151.2E-4
6.78.738073E-51.7015962E-41.9015622E-41.11751682.0E-53.7443507E-47.290529E-47.6902367E-41.05482574.0E-50.00454922160.0088403490.0089493771.01233291.1E-40.044572130.086265310.086374961.0012711.2E-4
6.88.710195E-51.6961442E-41.8961103E-41.11789452.0E-53.7324068E-47.267176E-47.6668855E-41.0550024.0E-50.00453474050.0088121560.0089211861.01237271.1E-40.044433130.0860129150.0861225951.00127521.2E-4
6.98.6801556E-51.6902383E-41.8902044E-41.11830652.0E-53.7195362E-47.241879E-47.641589E-41.05519434.0E-50.00451913570.00878160450.0088906391.01241621.1E-40.0442833270.085738860.085848571.00127961.2E-4
7.08.5571606E-51.6655146E-41.8654813E-41.12006312.0E-53.6668387E-47.1359787E-47.535693E-41.0560144.0E-50.0044552410.0086537010.008762751.01260141.1E-40.0436697270.084587710.084697561.00129871.2E-4
7.17.82589E-51.513576E-41.7135458E-41.13211742.0E-53.3535215E-46.485149E-46.8848894E-41.06163944.0E-50.00407527060.0078672550.0079664681.01261091.0E-40.0400134180.077502860.077604341.00130931.1E-4
7.27.690929E-51.4872964E-41.6872666E-41.13445222.0E-53.2956956E-46.3725776E-46.772323E-41.0627294.0E-50.0040051290.00773117970.0078304071.01283471.0E-40.03933710.076275820.076377431.00133221.1E-4
7.37.5543794E-51.4569426E-41.6569135E-41.13725382.0E-53.2371894E-46.242553E-46.642303E-41.06403644.0E-50.0039341570.00757398460.0076732271.01310311.0E-40.0386523340.074841260.074943031.00135981.1E-4
7.47.4214564E-51.4270298E-41.6270012E-41.14013122.0E-53.1802364E-46.1144156E-46.514171E-41.06537914.0E-50.0038650650.007419050.00751830821.01337891.0E-40.037985290.073414910.073516831.00138831.1E-4
7.56.149578E-51.1197151E-41.3196927E-41.17859692.0E-52.6352672E-44.7978974E-45.1977055E-41.08332984.0E-50.00320371780.00582582640.0059153021.01535849.0E-50.031579230.0585847940.0586789361.0016071.0E-4
7.66.0643448E-51.10257475E-41.3025527E-41.18137362.0E-52.598746E-44.7244655E-45.1242765E-41.08462564.0E-50.00315938280.00573689720.0058263811.01559799.0E-50.0311484170.05774560.0578398261.00163171.0E-4
7.75.1652263E-59.180402E-51.018031E-41.10891771.0E-52.2134806E-43.933865E-44.133786E-41.05082062.0E-50.0026915820.00477897240.0048486381.01457757.0E-50.0265921410.0485586820.0486347971.00156758.0E-5
7.84.8090482E-58.564889E-59.5648036E-51.11674571.0E-52.060858E-43.6701505E-43.8700772E-41.05447362.0E-50.00250620720.00445926140.0045289491.01562767.0E-50.0247813050.045323280.0453996551.00168518.0E-5
7.93.970278E-56.754373E-57.754305E-51.14804221.0E-51.7014367E-42.8944103E-43.0943524E-41.06907872.0E-50.0020695310.0035182540.00356807821.01416165.0E-50.0205036360.035900360.035958211.00161146.0E-5
8.02.8982335E-54.072156E-55.072115E-51.24556021.0E-51.2420409E-41.745093E-41.945058E-41.11458712.0E-50.00151113570.00212258150.0021425391.00940252.0E-50.0150090120.0220224240.0220419841.00088812.0E-5
8.11.8836186E-51.8692857E-52.869267E-51.53495371.0E-58.0724014E-58.0109785E-59.010899E-51.12481871.0E-59.823717E-49.7490085E-49.848911E-41.01024751.0E-50.0097804030.0104944270.0105043221.0009431.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.478665E-65.478665E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3479783E-52.3479783E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8582895E-42.8582895E-41.00.00.00450013950.00325084690.00325084691.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6647797E-77.6647797E-71.00.08.498917E-63.2849016E-63.2849016E-61.00.01.034694E-43.999296E-53.999296E-51.00.00.00103421244.7228087E-44.7228087E-41.00.0

Sierra Nevada (No Extension)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.7690465E-66.9763464E-62.6976208E-53.866812.0E-53.329549E-52.9898487E-58.989669E-53.00673066.0E-54.0529718E-43.6398912E-45.039382E-41.38448691.4E-40.0040455880.00363744560.0039164271.07669712.8E-4
6.17.7690465E-66.9763464E-62.6976208E-53.866812.0E-53.329549E-52.9898487E-58.989669E-53.00673066.0E-54.0529718E-43.6398912E-45.039382E-41.38448691.4E-40.0040455880.00363744560.0039164271.07669712.8E-4
6.27.7690465E-66.9763464E-62.6976208E-53.866812.0E-53.329549E-52.9898487E-58.989669E-53.00673066.0E-54.0529718E-43.6398912E-45.039382E-41.38448691.4E-40.0040455880.00363744560.0039164271.07669712.8E-4
6.37.7690465E-66.9763464E-62.6976208E-53.866812.0E-53.329549E-52.9898487E-58.989669E-53.00673066.0E-54.0529718E-43.6398912E-45.039382E-41.38448691.4E-40.0040455880.00363744560.0039164271.07669712.8E-4
6.47.7690465E-66.9763464E-62.6976208E-53.866812.0E-53.329549E-52.9898487E-58.989669E-53.00673066.0E-54.0529718E-43.6398912E-45.039382E-41.38448691.4E-40.0040455880.00363744560.0039164271.07669712.8E-4
6.57.7690465E-66.9763464E-62.6976208E-53.866812.0E-53.329549E-52.9898487E-58.989669E-53.00673066.0E-54.0529718E-43.6398912E-45.039382E-41.38448691.4E-40.0040455880.00363744560.0039164271.07669712.8E-4
6.62.653E-61.6148447E-62.1614813E-513.3850732.0E-51.136995E-56.9207445E-65.69204E-58.22460655.0E-51.3842035E-48.425684E-51.7424926E-42.06807269.0E-50.00138334158.422524E-40.00101210921.20166971.7E-4
6.72.5902466E-61.5501779E-62.1550148E-513.9017252.0E-51.11010095E-56.643603E-65.664327E-58.5259875.0E-51.351464E-48.088289E-51.7087562E-42.112639.0E-50.00135064248.0853753E-49.784001E-41.21008611.7E-4
6.82.5853892E-61.5469781E-62.1546946E-513.92841152.0E-51.1080193E-56.6298894E-65.6629557E-58.54155355.0E-51.34893E-48.0715945E-51.7070868E-42.11493139.0E-50.00134811148.0686924E-49.767321E-41.21052091.7E-4
6.92.458257E-61.4220519E-62.1422024E-515.0641642.0E-51.0535345E-56.094494E-65.6094188E-59.2040775.0E-51.2826028E-47.419796E-51.6419128E-42.21288139.0E-50.00128186277.417338E-49.116077E-41.22902271.7E-4
7.02.4341468E-61.3990157E-62.1398988E-515.2957462.0E-51.0432016E-55.995768E-65.5995468E-59.3391665.0E-51.270024E-47.2996045E-51.6298948E-42.23285349.0E-50.00126929847.297226E-48.995985E-41.23279521.7E-4
7.12.3652476E-61.3339652E-62.1333939E-515.9928752.0E-51.0136736E-55.716981E-65.5716697E-59.7458255.0E-51.2340778E-46.9602036E-51.5959577E-42.29297579.0E-50.00123339266.958041E-48.656858E-41.24415161.7E-4
7.22.272158E-61.2502717E-62.1250247E-516.9965042.0E-59.737784E-65.358296E-65.535803E-510.3312745.0E-51.1855107E-46.523532E-51.5522944E-42.37953079.0E-50.00118487846.521632E-48.220523E-41.26050091.7E-4
7.32.1382127E-61.1419595E-62.1141937E-518.5137352.0E-59.163737E-64.8941033E-65.489386E-511.2163275.0E-51.1156279E-45.9584087E-51.4957873E-42.51038039.0E-50.0011150685.956823E-47.6558103E-41.2852171.7E-4
7.41.9048055E-69.57513E-72.0957494E-521.8874262.0E-58.163426E-64.1036205E-65.4103417E-513.1843135.0E-59.9385186E-54.996044E-51.3995594E-42.80133539.0E-59.934074E-44.9949274E-46.6940783E-41.34017531.7E-4
7.51.5373403E-67.559938E-72.0755979E-527.4552232.0E-56.5885843E-63.2399694E-64.323984E-513.3457564.0E-58.021306E-53.944592E-51.0944316E-42.77451167.0E-58.0184115E-43.9438964E-45.4433045E-41.38018451.5E-4
7.61.0680322E-64.6595343E-74.6595343E-71.00.04.577273E-61.9969418E-61.1996922E-56.0076471.0E-55.5726876E-52.4312498E-54.431201E-51.82260222.0E-55.5712904E-42.4309864E-43.0308406E-41.24675336.0E-5
7.75.509146E-71.5579108E-71.5579108E-71.00.02.3610605E-66.676759E-71.0667669E-515.9773161.0E-52.8745531E-58.128925E-61.8128843E-52.2301651.0E-52.8741814E-48.1286395E-51.0128477E-41.24602372.0E-5

San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.31567E-52.338839E-42.4388156E-41.04274631.0E-53.5633717E-40.00100197080.00108189071.07976278.0E-50.0043297780.012130650.0122788311.01221541.5E-40.0424638280.112597710.112828431.00204912.6E-4
6.18.31567E-52.338839E-42.4388156E-41.04274631.0E-53.5633717E-40.00100197080.00108189071.07976278.0E-50.0043297780.012130650.0122788311.01221541.5E-40.0424638280.112597710.112828431.00204912.6E-4
6.28.31567E-52.338839E-42.4388156E-41.04274631.0E-53.5633717E-40.00100197080.00108189071.07976278.0E-50.0043297780.012130650.0122788311.01221541.5E-40.0424638280.112597710.112828431.00204912.6E-4
6.38.31567E-52.338839E-42.4388156E-41.04274631.0E-53.5633717E-40.00100197080.00108189071.07976278.0E-50.0043297780.012130650.0122788311.01221541.5E-40.0424638280.112597710.112828431.00204912.6E-4
6.48.059055E-52.2945837E-42.3945607E-41.04357091.0E-53.4534236E-49.830239E-40.00106294521.08130168.0E-50.00419643940.0119028370.01205105151.0124521.5E-40.0411807450.110578740.110809991.00209132.6E-4
6.58.059055E-52.2945837E-42.3945607E-41.04357091.0E-53.4534236E-49.830239E-40.00106294521.08130168.0E-50.00419643940.0119028370.01205105151.0124521.5E-40.0411807450.110578740.110809991.00209132.6E-4
6.67.619237E-52.2190346E-42.3190124E-41.04505471.0E-53.2649786E-49.5067057E-40.00103059451.08407128.0E-50.00396786770.0115135350.0116618081.01287821.5E-40.038977640.1071151940.107329491.00200062.4E-4
6.77.440636E-52.1866155E-42.2865935E-41.04572271.0E-53.188454E-49.367866E-40.00101671161.08531838.0E-50.00387503460.0113462670.0114945651.01307021.5E-40.0380815640.1056237150.1058383661.00203222.4E-4
6.87.3735864E-52.1713313E-42.2713096E-41.04604471.0E-53.1597257E-49.3024096E-40.00101016661.08591938.0E-50.00384018150.0112674030.0114157131.01316271.5E-40.037744950.104925110.105139931.00204732.4E-4
6.97.27575E-52.1482276E-42.2482061E-41.046541.0E-53.117806E-49.203464E-40.00100027281.08684388.0E-50.0037893230.0111481750.0112965031.01330511.5E-40.0372535620.1038730.1040880751.00207052.4E-4
7.07.102591E-52.10663E-42.2066089E-41.04745911.0E-53.0436125E-49.0253126E-49.82459E-41.08855968.0E-50.0036993030.0109334710.0110818311.01356941.5E-40.036383250.101975520.102191051.00211352.4E-4
7.17.028513E-52.0901936E-42.1901727E-41.04783251.0E-53.0118722E-48.95492E-49.754203E-41.08925648.0E-50.00366078970.0108486250.0109969971.01367661.5E-40.0360106860.101218330.101434041.00213112.4E-4
7.26.8498244E-52.0509785E-42.150958E-41.04874721.0E-52.9353087E-48.786969E-49.586266E-41.0909648.0E-50.0035678830.0106461590.0107945611.01393961.5E-40.0351114050.099410090.099626231.00217432.4E-4
7.36.622592E-51.9737013E-42.0736815E-41.05065621.0E-52.8379448E-48.455999E-49.255323E-41.09452748.0E-50.00344972430.0102470620.0103955251.01448831.5E-40.0339666120.095906620.0961236061.00226252.4E-4
7.45.1050705E-51.4693316E-41.569317E-41.06804811.0E-52.1877038E-46.295625E-47.0951215E-41.12699238.0E-50.0026602760.00763817830.00778703251.01948821.5E-40.026286540.072878330.0730915741.0029262.3E-4
7.53.9302922E-51.1133535E-41.2133423E-41.08980871.0E-51.6843023E-44.7706455E-45.570264E-41.16761228.0E-50.00204870920.00579286230.0059419931.0257441.5E-40.0202992470.0560234820.05624061.00387542.3E-4
7.62.9851626E-58.498211E-59.498126E-51.11766181.0E-51.2792926E-43.6415833E-44.441292E-41.21960468.0E-50.00155642590.004424640.0045739761.0337511.5E-40.01545569950.0432063940.0434264581.00509332.3E-4
7.72.1135214E-56.355745E-57.355681E-51.1573281.0E-59.0576345E-52.7236066E-43.5233886E-41.29364828.0E-50.00110220910.00331095420.00345049081.0421441.4E-40.0109675820.032594420.0328072461.00652962.2E-4
7.81.883379E-55.5666103E-56.566555E-51.17963251.0E-58.0713755E-52.3854722E-43.1852812E-41.33528348.0E-59.822468E-40.00290044750.00304004131.04812841.4E-40.00977916550.028705940.0289196241.00744392.2E-4
7.91.5156185E-54.167907E-55.1678657E-51.23991861.0E-56.495346E-51.7861238E-42.585981E-41.44781738.0E-57.9052144E-40.00217243820.0023121341.06430381.4E-40.0078771520.0217687990.021984011.00988632.2E-4
8.01.1405907E-52.9989498E-52.9989498E-51.00.04.8881542E-51.2852009E-41.8851238E-41.46679316.0E-55.9497025E-40.001563610.00164348491.05108378.0E-50.0059337980.0157798290.0158880931.0068611.1E-4
8.14.3511436E-67.3739657E-67.3739657E-61.00.01.8647626E-53.160233E-53.160233E-51.00.02.2701119E-43.8469053E-43.8469053E-41.00.00.00226779420.00411868650.00411868651.00.0
8.22.3042528E-62.7349201E-62.7349201E-61.00.09.875332E-61.1721034E-51.1721034E-51.00.01.2022553E-41.4269429E-41.4269429E-41.00.00.00120160510.00159904310.00159904311.00.0
8.35.202968E-73.1619535E-73.1619535E-71.00.02.2298414E-61.3551223E-61.3551223E-61.00.02.714798E-51.6498503E-51.6498503E-51.00.02.7144665E-41.9577713E-41.9577713E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Cholame) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2302514E-42.5215113E-42.8214356E-41.11894633.0E-55.27144E-40.00108020180.00116011541.07398028.0E-50.00639910860.0130726590.0132503061.01358911.8E-40.062179490.124426990.124619621.0015482.2E-4
6.11.2302514E-42.5215113E-42.8214356E-41.11894633.0E-55.27144E-40.00108020180.00116011541.07398028.0E-50.00639910860.0130726590.0132503061.01358911.8E-40.062179490.124426990.124619621.0015482.2E-4
6.21.2203569E-42.5031884E-42.8031136E-41.11981713.0E-55.2290526E-40.00107235570.00115226991.07452218.0E-50.0063478040.0129782740.0131559381.01368931.8E-40.0616951360.123614450.123807251.00155972.2E-4
6.31.2142645E-42.4917856E-42.7917107E-41.12036563.0E-55.202953E-40.00106747260.00114738721.07486348.0E-50.0063162120.012919530.0130972041.01375231.8E-40.061396770.12310770.123300611.0015672.2E-4
6.41.1865206E-42.4423326E-42.7422592E-41.12280343.0E-55.0840975E-40.00104629560.0011262121.07638038.0E-50.0061723350.0126647230.0128424441.01403271.8E-40.0600368680.120905320.121089931.0015272.1E-4
6.51.17443946E-42.4216558E-42.7215833E-41.12385213.0E-55.032341E-40.00103744130.00111735821.07703288.0E-50.0061096770.0125581660.0127359051.01415341.8E-40.0594440770.119982590.12016741.00154032.1E-4
6.61.13579066E-42.3525437E-42.652473E-41.12749163.0E-54.866766E-40.00100784490.00108776441.07929738.0E-50.00590920170.0122019190.0123797241.01457181.8E-40.0575451850.116903840.1170892941.00158632.1E-4
6.71.1271412E-42.3369725E-42.6369025E-41.12834123.0E-54.829711E-40.00100117680.00108109671.0798268.0E-50.0058643310.012121640.01229945851.01466941.8E-40.0571196970.116207690.116393281.00159722.1E-4
6.81.1217975E-42.325812E-42.6257423E-41.12895723.0E-54.8068175E-49.963973E-40.00107631761.08020938.0E-50.0058366080.01206409650.0122419251.01474031.8E-40.0568567250.115706670.115892371.00160492.1E-4
6.91.1146753E-42.3106842E-42.510638E-41.08653452.0E-54.7763053E-49.89919E-40.00105984961.07064287.0E-50.00579965770.0119860930.0121540561.0140131.7E-40.0565061270.115026930.1152039241.00153882.0E-4
7.01.0965793E-42.2730078E-42.4729624E-41.08796922.0E-54.698779E-49.737841E-40.00104371591.07181457.0E-50.0057057680.0117917940.0119597891.01424681.7E-40.0556147360.11333080.113508131.00156472.0E-4
7.19.927982E-52.0548643E-42.2548232E-41.09731012.0E-54.2541555E-48.8035996E-49.5029833E-41.0794437.0E-50.00516714060.0106660.0108242931.0148411.6E-40.050486340.103433330.1036036761.00164691.9E-4
7.29.696786E-52.005288E-42.2052479E-41.09971632.0E-54.1551032E-48.591271E-49.2906697E-41.0814087.0E-50.005047110.0104099880.0105683231.01520991.6E-40.049340090.101168810.1013395861.0016881.9E-4
7.39.4727984E-51.9481927E-42.1481537E-41.10263922.0E-54.0591392E-48.346735E-49.046151E-41.08379517.0E-50.00493080870.0101150680.010273451.0156581.6E-40.0482282680.098543720.098714991.00173811.9E-4
7.49.220358E-51.8852325E-42.0851947E-41.10606772.0E-53.9509835E-48.077075E-48.77651E-41.0865957.0E-50.0047997170.0097897460.009948181.01618361.6E-40.0469736530.0956160650.09578791.00179711.9E-4
7.57.71631E-51.5186344E-41.718604E-41.13167732.0E-53.306571E-46.5068115E-47.1064214E-41.0921516.0E-50.00401832070.0078933390.0080322331.01759651.4E-40.039464330.078324330.078481021.00200051.7E-4
7.67.5634416E-51.484566E-41.6845363E-41.13469952.0E-53.241072E-46.360876E-46.960494E-41.09426676.0E-50.00393886720.0077169340.0078558541.01800191.4E-40.0386977940.076688040.0768450051.00204681.7E-4
7.76.3783E-51.2365977E-41.3365854E-41.0808571.0E-52.7332708E-45.298629E-45.6984165E-41.07545134.0E-50.00332267980.0064320250.00655125361.01853671.2E-40.0327343640.064571850.064712171.0021731.5E-4
7.85.863422E-51.1422686E-41.2422571E-41.0875351.0E-52.512653E-44.8945186E-45.294323E-41.08168414.0E-50.0030548640.00594281540.0060621021.02007251.2E-40.0301320940.059689550.05983061.0023631.5E-4
7.94.595283E-58.431093E-59.431009E-51.11859861.0E-51.9692584E-43.6128255E-44.012681E-41.11067664.0E-50.00239493580.00438975030.0044793551.02041239.0E-50.0236928910.0443840850.04448921.00236831.1E-4
8.03.2950178E-55.08012E-56.0800696E-51.19683581.0E-51.412074E-42.1770128E-42.4769476E-41.13777353.0E-50.00171784440.0026472930.00268718721.01506974.0E-50.0170462560.027193750.0272326621.00143094.0E-5
8.11.9177472E-51.9197154E-52.9196963E-51.52090051.0E-58.218658E-58.2270926E-59.227011E-51.12153961.0E-50.00100016220.00100118890.0010111791.00997821.0E-50.0099567280.0107643980.010774291.0009191.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.478665E-65.478665E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3479783E-52.3479783E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8582895E-42.8582895E-41.00.00.00450013950.00325084690.00325084691.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6647797E-77.6647797E-71.00.08.498917E-63.2849016E-63.2849016E-61.00.01.034694E-43.999296E-53.999296E-51.00.00.00103421244.7228087E-44.7228087E-41.00.0

Manix-Afton Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3783202E-51.4711221E-53.4710927E-52.35948632.0E-55.906953E-56.304667E-59.304478E-51.4758083.0E-57.189342E-47.673403E-49.0723287E-41.18230841.4E-40.00716612770.0076486640.0078570581.02724582.1E-4
6.11.3783202E-51.4711221E-53.4710927E-52.35948632.0E-55.906953E-56.304667E-59.304478E-51.4758083.0E-57.189342E-47.673403E-49.0723287E-41.18230841.4E-40.00716612770.0076486640.0078570581.02724582.1E-4
6.21.3783202E-51.4711221E-53.4710927E-52.35948632.0E-55.906953E-56.304667E-59.304478E-51.4758083.0E-57.189342E-47.673403E-49.0723287E-41.18230841.4E-40.00716612770.0076486640.0078570581.02724582.1E-4
6.31.10494875E-51.1793241E-53.1793006E-52.69586662.0E-54.7354086E-55.054154E-58.054003E-51.59354113.0E-55.763835E-46.151799E-47.450999E-41.21119031.3E-40.0057489080.006135810.0063246441.03077581.9E-4
6.41.10494875E-51.1793241E-53.1793006E-52.69586662.0E-54.7354086E-55.054154E-58.054003E-51.59354113.0E-55.763835E-46.151799E-47.450999E-41.21119031.3E-40.0057489080.006135810.0063246441.03077581.9E-4
6.59.788949E-61.0454414E-53.0454205E-52.91304762.0E-54.1951964E-54.4803914E-57.480257E-51.66955443.0E-55.1064545E-45.4536044E-46.7528954E-41.23824441.3E-40.00509473630.0054411480.00561022251.03107351.7E-4
6.68.810006E-69.413714E-62.9413526E-53.124542.0E-53.775662E-54.0343915E-57.034271E-51.74357653.0E-54.5958988E-44.9108535E-46.210215E-41.26458981.3E-40.00458640560.0049008840.00507005071.03451761.7E-4
6.78.80128E-69.404193E-62.9404006E-53.12669092.0E-53.7719226E-54.0303115E-57.03019E-51.74432933.0E-54.591348E-44.9058883E-46.2052504E-41.26485761.3E-40.0045818740.00489594040.0050651081.03455271.7E-4
6.86.8994877E-67.3801443E-67.3801443E-61.00.02.9568899E-53.1628853E-54.1628537E-51.3161571.0E-53.5994186E-43.850214E-44.7498674E-41.23366329.0E-50.0035935940.00384434850.0039638871.03109471.2E-4
6.94.9328037E-65.2710093E-65.2710093E-61.00.02.1140417E-52.258988E-53.2589654E-51.4426661.0E-52.5735417E-42.7500323E-43.3498675E-41.21811936.0E-50.00257056350.00274723440.00280706961.02178016.0E-5
7.03.347973E-63.5900646E-63.5900646E-61.00.01.4348378E-51.5385924E-52.5385769E-51.64993481.0E-51.746775E-41.8731161E-42.1730599E-41.16013093.0E-50.00174540250.001871940.00190188371.01599613.0E-5
7.11.2073567E-61.2934943E-61.2934943E-61.00.05.1743755E-65.5435444E-65.5435444E-61.00.06.29962E-56.74922E-57.7491524E-51.14815531.0E-56.297835E-46.7487714E-46.848704E-41.01480751.0E-5

San Andreas (Carrizo) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1674632E-42.4333803E-42.7333075E-41.12325533.0E-55.002454E-40.00104246210.00113236831.08624419.0E-50.0060734930.0126185990.0127963281.01408471.8E-40.05910160.120660750.120845411.00153042.1E-4
6.11.1674632E-42.4333803E-42.7333075E-41.12325533.0E-55.002454E-40.00104246210.00113236831.08624419.0E-50.0060734930.0126185990.0127963281.01408471.8E-40.05910160.120660750.120845411.00153042.1E-4
6.21.1674632E-42.4333803E-42.7333075E-41.12325533.0E-55.002454E-40.00104246210.00113236831.08624419.0E-50.0060734930.0126185990.0127963281.01408471.8E-40.05910160.120660750.120845411.00153042.1E-4
6.31.1674632E-42.4333803E-42.7333075E-41.12325533.0E-55.002454E-40.00104246210.00113236831.08624419.0E-50.0060734930.0126185990.0127963281.01408471.8E-40.05910160.120660750.120845411.00153042.1E-4
6.41.1674632E-42.4333803E-42.7333075E-41.12325533.0E-55.002454E-40.00104246210.00113236831.08624419.0E-50.0060734930.0126185990.0127963281.01408471.8E-40.05910160.120660750.120845411.00153042.1E-4
6.51.13136164E-42.3653745E-42.6653038E-41.12679983.0E-54.847792E-40.00101333960.00110324841.08872529.0E-50.00588622550.0122680670.012445861.01449231.8E-40.0573273340.117630240.117815551.00157522.1E-4
6.61.13136164E-42.3653745E-42.6653038E-41.12679983.0E-54.847792E-40.00101333960.00110324841.08872529.0E-50.00588622550.0122680670.012445861.01449231.8E-40.0573273340.117630240.117815551.00157522.1E-4
6.71.1149675E-42.334492E-42.634422E-41.12847763.0E-54.777557E-40.00100011450.00109002451.08989979.0E-50.00580117340.0121088480.012286671.01468521.8E-40.056520510.116257910.11644351.00159632.1E-4
6.81.1103589E-42.324707E-42.6246373E-41.12901853.0E-54.7578133E-49.959241E-40.00108583451.09027849.0E-50.0057772630.0120583970.0122362261.01474741.8E-40.0562935840.115818560.116004241.00160312.1E-4
6.91.1053259E-42.3139441E-42.5138978E-41.08641252.0E-54.7362508E-49.91315E-40.00107123561.08062098.0E-50.00575114970.01200290.012170861.01399331.7E-40.056045690.1153344660.1155113951.00153412.0E-4
7.01.1005377E-42.304026E-42.5039798E-41.08678462.0E-54.7157376E-49.870676E-40.00106698861.08096818.0E-50.00572630620.0119517570.0121197241.01405381.7E-40.0558097960.11488760.115064631.00154082.0E-4
7.11.0308142E-42.154949E-42.3549059E-41.09278962.0E-54.417027E-49.2322374E-40.00100314991.08657298.0E-50.00536447760.0111826340.0113507331.01503221.7E-40.0523681380.108158580.108336951.00164912.0E-4
7.21.0027479E-42.0957364E-42.2956944E-41.09541192.0E-54.296783E-48.978646E-49.777928E-41.08902038.0E-50.00521879220.0108770090.0110451591.01545931.7E-40.0509792120.105458210.105637121.00169652.0E-4
7.39.816942E-52.0432367E-42.2431959E-41.09786392.0E-54.2065824E-48.7538E-49.5531E-41.09130888.0E-50.0051094930.01060595550.0107741521.01585881.7E-40.0499359850.103045790.103225191.00174092.0E-4
7.49.5634205E-51.980169E-42.1801294E-41.10098152.0E-54.0979648E-48.4836874E-49.283009E-41.09421868.0E-50.00497786370.0102802360.0104484881.01636661.7E-40.0486782530.1001265350.100306511.00179742.0E-4
7.58.052417E-51.612143E-41.8121107E-41.12403852.0E-53.4505792E-46.9073564E-47.606873E-41.10127137.0E-50.00419299030.008377360.0085261041.01775541.5E-40.041147530.082851460.083016551.00199261.8E-4
7.67.897024E-51.5774513E-41.7774198E-41.12676682.0E-53.384E-46.758756E-47.4582826E-41.10349947.0E-50.00411223850.0081978140.0083465851.01814761.5E-40.0403696970.081192920.0813583061.00203691.8E-4
7.76.707427E-51.3283793E-41.4283661E-41.07526971.0E-52.8742946E-45.691813E-46.191528E-41.08779555.0E-50.0034938390.00690779560.0070368981.01868931.3E-40.0343941640.0690816940.069230641.00215611.6E-4
7.86.147705E-51.2204444E-41.3204322E-41.08192741.0E-52.6344648E-45.229428E-45.7291664E-41.09556275.0E-50.00320274360.00634826670.00647744161.02034811.3E-40.0315697640.063545920.063695751.00235781.6E-4
7.94.7636717E-58.8847315E-59.884642E-51.11254261.0E-52.0414138E-43.8071864E-44.306996E-41.13128055.0E-50.00248258840.00462540570.0047249431.02151981.0E-40.0245503650.0466511140.0467655141.00245231.2E-4
8.03.3554235E-55.216579E-56.2165265E-51.19168651.0E-51.4379594E-42.2354853E-42.535418E-41.13416913.0E-50.00174930970.0027183080.00275819931.0146754.0E-50.0173560340.0278948660.027933751.00139394.0E-5
8.11.9175432E-51.9196985E-52.9196792E-51.52090511.0E-58.217783E-58.22702E-59.226938E-51.12154071.0E-50.00100005580.001001180.001011171.00997821.0E-50.0099556730.0107642820.0107741751.0009191.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.478665E-65.478665E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3479783E-52.3479783E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8582895E-42.8582895E-41.00.00.00450013950.00325084690.00325084691.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6647797E-77.6647797E-71.00.08.498917E-63.2849016E-63.2849016E-61.00.01.034694E-43.999296E-53.999296E-51.00.00.00103421244.7228087E-44.7228087E-41.00.0

Ludlow

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2407607E-52.3657429E-53.3657194E-51.42269021.0E-59.602906E-51.0138529E-41.2138326E-41.19724732.0E-50.00116852670.0012337110.00133358771.08095621.0E-40.0116240130.0122731320.01247067751.01609582.0E-4
6.12.2407607E-52.3657429E-53.3657194E-51.42269021.0E-59.602906E-51.0138529E-41.2138326E-41.19724732.0E-50.00116852670.0012337110.00133358771.08095621.0E-40.0116240130.0122731320.01247067751.01609582.0E-4
6.21.0781252E-51.1365745E-51.1365745E-51.00.04.620455E-54.870945E-55.8708963E-51.2052891.0E-55.623952E-45.9288024E-46.1286835E-41.03371362.0E-50.005609740.0059134040.005982991.01176757.0E-5
6.31.0781252E-51.1365745E-51.1365745E-51.00.04.620455E-54.870945E-55.8708963E-51.2052891.0E-55.623952E-45.9288024E-46.1286835E-41.03371362.0E-50.005609740.0059134040.005982991.01176757.0E-5
6.47.814439E-68.237788E-68.237788E-61.00.03.3490025E-53.5304336E-54.5303983E-51.28324131.0E-54.0766477E-44.2974693E-44.4973832E-41.0465192.0E-50.00406917740.00428930530.0043390911.01160695.0E-5
6.56.4986366E-66.850969E-66.850969E-61.00.02.7851002E-52.936097E-53.9360675E-51.34057821.0E-53.390332E-43.574121E-43.7740494E-41.05593782.0E-50.0033851640.00356846880.00360832621.01116934.0E-5
6.65.582177E-65.8860483E-65.8860483E-61.00.02.3923398E-52.522568E-53.522543E-51.39641141.0E-52.9122844E-43.070801E-43.2707394E-41.06510962.0E-50.00290847060.0030666310.00310650841.01300364.0E-5
6.74.6858763E-64.940463E-64.940463E-61.00.02.0082172E-52.1173244E-53.1173033E-51.47228421.0E-52.4447302E-42.577543E-42.7774915E-41.07757332.0E-50.00244204230.00257460980.00261450681.01549644.0E-5
6.83.5584908E-63.7520454E-63.7520454E-61.00.01.5250586E-51.6080097E-52.6079937E-51.62187671.0E-51.8566006E-41.9575801E-42.157541E-41.1021472.0E-50.00185505020.00195589680.00198583821.01530833.0E-5
6.92.532834E-62.6710227E-62.6710227E-61.00.01.0854958E-51.1447192E-52.1447077E-51.87356671.0E-51.3215111E-41.3936093E-41.5935814E-41.14349222.0E-50.00132072540.00139276290.00141273511.01433992.0E-5
7.01.7083285E-61.801957E-61.801957E-61.00.07.3213873E-67.7226505E-61.7722574E-52.29488231.0E-58.913424E-59.4019386E-51.0401844E-41.1063511.0E-58.9098496E-49.3981257E-49.4980316E-41.01063041.0E-5
7.11.0905424E-61.1497702E-61.1497702E-61.00.04.6737446E-64.927578E-64.927578E-61.00.05.6901354E-55.999171E-55.999171E-51.00.05.6886784E-45.997649E-45.997649E-41.00.0
7.26.06668E-76.387322E-76.387322E-71.00.02.600003E-62.7374213E-62.7374213E-61.00.03.1654577E-53.3327666E-53.3327666E-51.00.03.1650066E-43.332335E-43.332335E-41.00.0

Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.872328E-54.7267124E-54.7267124E-51.00.01.6594635E-42.0255933E-42.0255933E-41.00.00.00201852460.0024636330.0025434361.03239248.0E-50.020002880.0243890420.0245841631.00800042.0E-4
6.13.872328E-54.7267124E-54.7267124E-51.00.01.6594635E-42.0255933E-42.0255933E-41.00.00.00201852460.0024636330.0025434361.03239248.0E-50.020002880.0243890420.0245841631.00800042.0E-4
6.23.872328E-54.7267124E-54.7267124E-51.00.01.6594635E-42.0255933E-42.0255933E-41.00.00.00201852460.0024636330.0025434361.03239248.0E-50.020002880.0243890420.0245841631.00800042.0E-4
6.32.8356371E-53.361063E-53.361063E-51.00.01.2152165E-41.4403803E-41.4403803E-41.00.00.00147852190.00175232230.00183218221.04557378.0E-50.0146872350.0173922440.0175887641.01129942.0E-4
6.42.8356371E-53.361063E-53.361063E-51.00.01.2152165E-41.4403803E-41.4403803E-41.00.00.00147852190.00175232230.00183218221.04557378.0E-50.0146872350.0173922440.0175887641.01129942.0E-4
6.52.4448687E-52.8608241E-52.8608241E-51.00.01.0477588E-41.2260124E-41.2260124E-41.00.00.00127489980.00149169580.00157157631.05355028.0E-50.0126761050.0148217270.0150187631.01329372.0E-4
6.62.1298161E-52.4660607E-52.4660607E-51.00.09.127464E-51.05684194E-41.05684194E-41.00.00.00111070220.00128597850.00136587561.06212958.0E-50.0110516720.01278880.0129862421.01543872.0E-4
6.71.8959729E-52.178146E-52.178146E-51.00.08.125345E-59.334592E-59.334592E-51.00.09.888117E-40.00113591960.00121582871.07034758.0E-50.0098442340.0113037950.0115015341.01749312.0E-4
6.81.6691629E-51.9018706E-51.9018706E-51.00.07.153359E-58.150629E-58.150629E-51.00.08.7057345E-49.919042E-40.00107182481.0805738.0E-50.0086717080.0098765270.0100745511.020052.0E-4
6.91.450505E-51.6389824E-51.6389824E-51.00.06.216302E-57.024026E-57.024026E-51.00.07.5657194E-48.548484E-49.3478005E-41.09350388.0E-50.0075400130.0085165320.008714831.02328372.0E-4
7.01.2940855E-51.453821E-51.453821E-51.00.05.545963E-56.230516E-56.230516E-51.00.06.750118E-47.583071E-48.3824643E-41.10541828.0E-50.0067296510.00755781350.0077563021.02626262.0E-4
7.11.2544658E-51.4078437E-51.4078437E-51.00.05.3761712E-56.033479E-56.033479E-51.00.06.5435225E-47.343341E-48.1427535E-41.10886238.0E-50.0065242880.00731966920.00751820531.02712372.0E-4
7.21.2489416E-51.4015902E-51.4015902E-51.00.05.3524967E-56.00668E-56.00668E-51.00.06.514716E-47.310735E-48.11015E-41.10934828.0E-50.0064956510.0072872780.007485821.0272452.0E-4
7.31.2368307E-51.3880038E-51.3880038E-51.00.05.3005948E-55.948455E-55.948455E-51.00.06.451563E-47.239894E-48.0393144E-41.11041898.0E-50.00643286530.00721689870.00741545531.02751282.0E-4
7.41.2161707E-51.3648089E-51.3648089E-51.00.05.212056E-55.8490532E-55.8490532E-51.00.06.3438306E-47.118952E-47.918382E-41.11229618.0E-50.0063257510.00709673530.0072953161.0279822.0E-4
7.51.1707948E-51.314573E-51.314573E-51.00.05.0175953E-55.6337656E-55.6337656E-51.00.06.10721E-46.857007E-47.656458E-41.1165898.0E-50.00609045340.00683643250.0070350651.0290552.0E-4
7.61.0319538E-51.157981E-51.157981E-51.00.04.4225842E-54.9626844E-54.9626844E-51.00.05.383166E-46.040445E-46.839961E-41.13236068.0E-50.00537014430.00602455760.0062134131.03134761.9E-4
7.78.937764E-61.0022941E-51.0022941E-51.00.03.830414E-54.295478E-54.295478E-51.00.04.6625308E-45.2285404E-45.9281744E-41.13381067.0E-50.00465276050.0052167480.00536596541.02860361.5E-4
7.83.108007E-73.2846788E-73.2846788E-71.00.01.3320023E-61.4077187E-61.4077187E-61.00.01.6217007E-51.7138846E-51.7138846E-51.00.01.6215823E-41.713756E-41.9137218E-41.11668282.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696871E-92.6696871E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.1441516E-81.1441516E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3930045E-71.3930045E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3930046E-61.3930046E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (San Bernardino)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.409352E-53.6001682E-58.599988E-52.38877425.0E-51.461069E-41.542838E-42.1427455E-41.38883386.0E-50.00177740.00187678860.00199656331.0638191.2E-40.017632510.019357610.0195537381.01013182.0E-4
6.13.409352E-53.6001682E-58.599988E-52.38877425.0E-51.461069E-41.542838E-42.1427455E-41.38883386.0E-50.00177740.00187678860.00199656331.0638191.2E-40.017632510.019357610.0195537381.01013182.0E-4
6.23.409352E-53.6001682E-58.599988E-52.38877425.0E-51.461069E-41.542838E-42.1427455E-41.38883386.0E-50.00177740.00187678860.00199656331.0638191.2E-40.017632510.019357610.0195537381.01013182.0E-4
6.33.409352E-53.6001682E-58.599988E-52.38877425.0E-51.461069E-41.542838E-42.1427455E-41.38883386.0E-50.00177740.00187678860.00199656331.0638191.2E-40.017632510.019357610.0195537381.01013182.0E-4
6.43.400795E-53.5894343E-58.589255E-52.39292725.0E-51.4574021E-41.5382383E-42.1381461E-41.38999656.0E-50.00177294280.00187119820.00199097371.064011.2E-40.0175886450.019302690.0194988291.01016132.0E-4
6.53.341482E-53.515495E-58.515319E-52.42222485.0E-51.4319851E-41.5065537E-42.1064634E-41.39819996.0E-50.00174204770.00183268740.00195246751.06535761.2E-40.0172845460.0189242210.0191204381.01036852.0E-4
6.63.3364955E-53.5092165E-58.509041E-52.42476945.0E-51.4298483E-41.5038633E-42.103773E-41.39891246.0E-50.00173945010.00182941730.00194919771.06547461.2E-40.0172589760.0188920850.0190883071.01038652.0E-4
6.73.335922E-53.508194E-58.508018E-52.42518475.0E-51.4296026E-41.503425E-42.1033348E-41.39902886.0E-50.00173915140.00182888470.00194866521.06549371.2E-40.0172560350.0188868770.01908311.01038932.0E-4
6.83.327683E-53.4976E-58.497425E-52.42950185.0E-51.4260718E-41.4988854E-42.0987954E-41.40023746.0E-50.00173485970.00182336690.00194314811.06569231.2E-40.0172137840.0188326480.0190288821.01041982.0E-4
6.93.3235785E-53.491695E-58.4915206E-52.43191935.0E-51.4243131E-41.496355E-42.0962652E-41.40091436.0E-50.00173272170.00182029130.00194007291.06580351.2E-40.0171927340.0188025160.0189987551.01043692.0E-4
7.03.3197095E-53.485688E-58.4855135E-52.43438725.0E-51.422655E-41.4937807E-42.0936911E-41.40160546.0E-50.00173070630.00181716240.00193694431.0659171.2E-40.0171728940.018771890.0189681371.01045422.0E-4
7.13.3129716E-53.473708E-58.4735344E-52.43933425.0E-51.4197677E-41.4886471E-42.0885578E-41.40299056.0E-50.00172719660.00181092260.00193070541.06614461.2E-40.0171383380.018710970.0189072281.01048892.0E-4
7.23.3034008E-53.4604524E-58.460279E-52.44484785.0E-51.4156665E-41.4829668E-42.0828778E-41.40453436.0E-50.00172221110.00180401820.00192380171.06639811.2E-40.0170892530.0186433530.0188396241.01052772.0E-4
7.33.2956614E-53.447227E-58.447054E-52.45039135.0E-51.4123498E-41.4772992E-42.0772107E-41.40608666.0E-50.00171817960.00179712950.00191691391.06665311.2E-40.0170495570.0185760990.0187723821.01056652.0E-4
7.43.2915937E-53.4393954E-58.439223E-52.45369395.0E-51.4106068E-41.4739433E-42.0738548E-41.40701136.0E-50.00171606080.00179305030.00191283521.0668051.2E-40.0170286930.018536370.0187326631.01058962.0E-4
7.53.281791E-53.4258854E-58.425714E-52.45942695.0E-51.406406E-41.468154E-42.068066E-41.40861646.0E-50.00171095420.00178601340.00190579911.06706871.2E-40.0169784110.018467250.0186635571.010632.0E-4
7.63.2521442E-53.3983775E-58.398208E-52.47124035.0E-51.3937015E-41.4563663E-42.0562789E-41.41192426.0E-50.00169551090.00177168530.00189147271.06761221.2E-40.0168263280.0183248870.0185212211.01071422.0E-4
7.73.0287873E-53.2467702E-58.246608E-52.53994185.0E-51.297987E-41.3913988E-41.9913154E-41.43116076.0E-50.00157915370.0016927130.00181250981.07077221.2E-40.015679790.0175356180.0177321121.01120532.0E-4
7.82.6316151E-52.9678076E-57.9676596E-52.68469525.0E-51.1277862E-41.2718556E-41.8717792E-41.47169166.0E-50.00137221490.00154738520.00166719951.07743011.2E-40.0136377240.0160768570.0162736421.01224032.0E-4
7.92.0761147E-52.343051E-57.3429335E-53.13391975.0E-58.897331E-51.0041261E-41.6040659E-41.59747456.0E-50.00108271170.00122183880.00133170431.08991831.1E-40.0107745170.0127996470.0129872151.01465421.9E-4
8.01.5738568E-51.604239E-54.6041907E-52.87001563.0E-56.744926E-56.875129E-59.8749224E-51.43632543.0E-58.2088535E-48.3672616E-49.1665925E-41.09553078.0E-50.0081785960.0088705860.0090291671.01787711.6E-4
8.11.0105832E-58.335246E-62.8335078E-53.39942932.0E-54.3309992E-53.5721994E-55.572128E-51.55985922.0E-55.2717153E-44.34829E-44.6481597E-41.06896273.0E-50.0052592270.00467980050.00473951971.01276116.0E-5
8.24.189207E-61.5793896E-61.5793896E-61.00.01.7953622E-56.768795E-66.768795E-61.00.02.1856341E-48.2406994E-58.2406994E-51.00.00.00218348589.571454E-49.571454E-41.00.0
8.31.2758221E-63.6171858E-73.6171858E-71.00.05.4677976E-61.5502216E-61.5502216E-61.00.06.65684E-51.8873789E-51.8873789E-51.00.06.6548464E-42.2764095E-42.2764095E-41.00.0

Scodie Lineament

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2919327E-63.0133451E-62.3013285E-57.6371222.0E-51.4108206E-51.2914291E-55.2913772E-54.0973044.0E-51.7175387E-41.5722332E-42.8720289E-41.82671941.3E-40.00171621180.00157143250.00177111811.12707252.0E-4
6.11.8663811E-61.5490476E-61.5490476E-61.00.07.998751E-66.6387615E-61.6638694E-52.50629521.0E-59.738045E-58.082442E-51.2082118E-41.49485994.0E-59.7337784E-48.0799905E-48.6795056E-41.07419756.0E-5
6.21.8663811E-61.5490476E-61.5490476E-61.00.07.998751E-66.6387615E-61.6638694E-52.50629521.0E-59.738045E-58.082442E-51.2082118E-41.49485994.0E-59.7337784E-48.0799905E-48.6795056E-41.07419756.0E-5
6.31.8663811E-61.5490476E-61.5490476E-61.00.07.998751E-66.6387615E-61.6638694E-52.50629521.0E-59.738045E-58.082442E-51.2082118E-41.49485994.0E-59.7337784E-48.0799905E-48.6795056E-41.07419756.0E-5
6.41.8663811E-61.5490476E-61.5490476E-61.00.07.998751E-66.6387615E-61.6638694E-52.50629521.0E-59.738045E-58.082442E-51.2082118E-41.49485994.0E-59.7337784E-48.0799905E-48.6795056E-41.07419756.0E-5
6.51.8106311E-61.4909813E-61.4909813E-61.00.07.759824E-66.389907E-61.6389844E-52.5649581.0E-59.447177E-57.779484E-51.1779172E-41.5141334.0E-59.4431615E-47.777247E-48.3767803E-41.07708816.0E-5
6.61.2414679E-68.997501E-78.997501E-71.00.05.320566E-63.8560665E-63.8560665E-61.00.06.477596E-54.6946687E-56.694575E-51.42599512.0E-56.475708E-44.6937633E-45.0935755E-41.08517944.0E-5
6.71.1062215E-67.594247E-77.594247E-71.00.04.7409408E-63.2546736E-63.2546736E-61.00.05.7719422E-53.9625003E-55.962421E-51.50471192.0E-55.770443E-43.9618637E-44.2617446E-41.07569193.0E-5
6.81.0006736E-66.5003275E-76.5003275E-71.00.04.288594E-62.785852E-62.785852E-61.00.05.221238E-53.3917284E-55.3916603E-51.58964992.0E-55.220012E-43.3912715E-43.5912034E-41.0589552.0E-5
6.99.167364E-75.6315514E-75.6315514E-71.00.03.9288643E-62.4135202E-62.4135202E-61.00.04.7832873E-52.938427E-54.938368E-51.68061632.0E-54.782258E-42.938095E-43.1380364E-41.06805132.0E-5
7.07.6987664E-74.113303E-74.113303E-71.00.03.2994672E-61.7628431E-61.7628431E-61.00.04.0170275E-52.1462443E-53.146223E-51.46592021.0E-54.0163012E-42.1460756E-42.2460542E-41.04658661.0E-5
7.17.1038727E-73.521066E-73.521066E-71.00.03.0445133E-61.5090276E-61.5090276E-61.00.03.706632E-51.8372291E-52.837211E-51.54428791.0E-53.7060137E-41.8371122E-41.9370939E-41.05442321.0E-5
7.22.0799602E-73.1178946E-83.1178946E-81.00.08.914113E-71.3362404E-71.3362404E-71.00.01.0852878E-51.6268716E-61.6268716E-61.00.01.08523476E-41.6268605E-51.6268605E-51.00.0
7.31.5048182E-71.5939344E-81.5939344E-81.00.06.449219E-76.831147E-86.831147E-81.00.07.851896E-68.316919E-78.316919E-71.00.07.851618E-58.316891E-68.316891E-61.00.0
7.45.9334678E-84.8638475E-94.8638475E-91.00.02.5429145E-72.084506E-82.084506E-81.00.03.095994E-62.5378858E-72.5378858E-71.00.03.095951E-52.5378843E-62.5378843E-61.00.0

Cady

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9892565E-52.1859016E-54.1858577E-51.91493432.0E-58.525106E-59.3678645E-51.2367584E-41.32021383.0E-50.00103743740.00114003160.0012798721.12266361.4E-40.0103260750.0113508490.0115386921.01654891.9E-4
6.11.9892565E-52.1859016E-54.1858577E-51.91493432.0E-58.525106E-59.3678645E-51.2367584E-41.32021383.0E-50.00103743740.00114003160.0012798721.12266361.4E-40.0103260750.0113508490.0115386921.01654891.9E-4
6.21.9892565E-52.1859016E-54.1858577E-51.91493432.0E-58.525106E-59.3678645E-51.2367584E-41.32021383.0E-50.00103743740.00114003160.0012798721.12266361.4E-40.0103260750.0113508490.0115386921.01654891.9E-4
6.31.1117327E-51.2176738E-52.2176615E-51.8212281.0E-54.764482E-55.218515E-57.2184106E-51.38323082.0E-55.7992124E-46.3520053E-47.0515607E-41.11013147.0E-50.00578410220.00633695540.0064263851.01411249.0E-5
6.41.1117327E-51.2176738E-52.2176615E-51.8212281.0E-54.764482E-55.218515E-57.2184106E-51.38323082.0E-55.7992124E-46.3520053E-47.0515607E-41.11013147.0E-50.00578410220.00633695540.0064263851.01411249.0E-5
6.56.103093E-66.672103E-61.6672037E-52.49876791.0E-52.615585E-52.8594486E-53.85942E-51.34970771.0E-53.1840094E-43.4809482E-43.7808437E-41.08615343.0E-50.00317945120.00347672960.00352655581.01433135.0E-5
6.65.817237E-66.365738E-61.6365675E-52.57089971.0E-52.4930776E-52.728152E-53.7281246E-51.36653851.0E-53.034899E-43.3211432E-43.6210436E-41.09030033.0E-50.00303075770.0033174020.00336723611.0150225.0E-5
6.74.8846314E-65.3406343E-65.3406343E-61.00.02.0933967E-52.2888298E-52.2888298E-51.00.02.5484123E-42.7864118E-42.986356E-41.0717572.0E-50.00254549180.00278407360.00282396211.01432744.0E-5
6.81.7788773E-61.9399313E-61.9399313E-61.00.07.6237375E-68.313974E-68.313974E-61.00.09.281505E-51.01219506E-41.21217476E-41.19757032.0E-59.2776294E-40.00101188860.00104185821.02961753.0E-5
6.97.5455404E-78.297202E-78.297202E-71.00.03.233799E-63.5559406E-63.5559406E-61.00.03.937079E-54.3293054E-54.3293054E-51.00.03.9363815E-44.3287914E-44.3287914E-41.00.0
7.06.8578805E-77.541916E-77.541916E-71.00.02.9390883E-63.2322475E-63.2322475E-61.00.03.578281E-53.9352235E-53.9352235E-51.00.03.577705E-43.9348513E-43.9348513E-41.00.0

Red Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.258278E-68.551305E-68.551305E-61.00.03.539214E-53.6648038E-56.6646935E-51.81856783.0E-54.308141E-44.4611638E-45.360762E-41.20165119.0E-50.00429979850.0044539660.0046331641.04023341.8E-4
6.13.649988E-63.7753332E-63.7753332E-61.00.01.5642712E-51.6179927E-52.6179765E-51.61803981.0E-51.9043336E-41.9697756E-42.2697165E-41.15227163.0E-50.00190270260.0019684970.00205831971.04563029.0E-5
6.23.649988E-63.7753332E-63.7753332E-61.00.01.5642712E-51.6179927E-52.6179765E-51.61803981.0E-51.9043336E-41.9697756E-42.2697165E-41.15227163.0E-50.00190270260.0019684970.00205831971.04563029.0E-5
6.31.3924937E-61.4411233E-61.4411233E-61.00.05.9678164E-66.176236E-66.176236E-61.00.07.265574E-57.51945E-58.5193744E-51.13297841.0E-57.263199E-47.518293E-47.917992E-41.05316354.0E-5
6.41.3924937E-61.4411233E-61.4411233E-61.00.05.9678164E-66.176236E-66.176236E-61.00.07.265574E-57.51945E-58.5193744E-51.13297841.0E-57.263199E-47.518293E-47.917992E-41.05316354.0E-5
6.59.876812E-71.022196E-61.022196E-61.00.04.2329125E-64.38084E-64.38084E-61.00.05.153449E-55.3336724E-55.3336724E-51.00.05.1522546E-45.333672E-45.6335126E-41.05621653.0E-5

Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6204086E-42.9373635E-43.037334E-41.03403411.0E-56.94276E-40.00125841740.00126840491.00793651.0E-50.0084200970.015234840.0153234691.00581759.0E-50.0810811450.139625530.13975461.00092431.5E-4
6.11.6204086E-42.9373635E-43.037334E-41.03403411.0E-56.94276E-40.00125841740.00126840491.00793651.0E-50.0084200970.015234840.0153234691.00581759.0E-50.0810811450.139625530.13975461.00092431.5E-4
6.21.6204086E-42.9373635E-43.037334E-41.03403411.0E-56.94276E-40.00125841740.00126840491.00793651.0E-50.0084200970.015234840.0153234691.00581759.0E-50.0810811450.139625530.13975461.00092431.5E-4
6.31.0111737E-41.7703637E-41.870346E-41.05647551.0E-54.332882E-47.586233E-47.6861575E-41.01317181.0E-50.0052625310.0092178110.0092772581.00644916.0E-50.05139640.087073890.087174311.00115331.1E-4
6.41.0111737E-41.7703637E-41.870346E-41.05647551.0E-54.332882E-47.586233E-47.6861575E-41.01317181.0E-50.0052625310.0092178110.0092772581.00644916.0E-50.05139640.087073890.087174311.00115331.1E-4
6.53.6624708E-54.6393732E-54.6393732E-51.00.01.569536E-41.9881714E-41.9881714E-41.00.00.0019092350.00241827220.0024382241.00825042.0E-50.018929150.0236970150.0237360671.0016484.0E-5
6.62.5051324E-52.6148944E-52.6148944E-51.00.01.073584E-41.1206234E-41.1206234E-41.00.00.00130630470.00136354960.0013735361.00732371.0E-50.0129865250.0135657120.013585441.00145442.0E-5
6.72.2189772E-52.2073793E-52.2073793E-51.00.09.509556E-59.459874E-59.459874E-51.00.00.00115717340.00115116760.0011611561.00867691.0E-50.0115116630.0114664030.0114762891.00086211.0E-5
6.81.6654378E-51.4438363E-51.4438363E-51.00.07.137396E-56.187726E-56.187726E-51.00.08.686314E-47.5310044E-47.630929E-41.01326851.0E-50.0086524390.00751026630.00752019141.00132161.0E-5
6.91.5042909E-51.2332568E-51.2332568E-51.00.06.446802E-55.285281E-55.285281E-51.00.07.8461546E-46.432961E-46.5328967E-41.0155351.0E-50.0078185090.00641809640.0064280321.0015481.0E-5
7.01.4361385E-51.1451833E-51.1451833E-51.00.06.154734E-54.907838E-54.907838E-51.00.07.490812E-45.973684E-46.073624E-41.01673011.0E-50.0074656120.00596086030.00597080081.00166761.0E-5
7.11.3265571E-51.0245265E-51.0245265E-51.00.05.6851208E-54.3907552E-54.3907552E-51.00.06.919436E-45.3444586E-45.444405E-41.0187011.0E-50.0068979310.0053346820.0053446291.00186461.0E-5
7.21.1596403E-58.505279E-68.505279E-61.00.04.9697923E-53.6450696E-53.6450696E-51.00.06.049042E-44.4369852E-44.4369852E-41.00.00.0060326030.0044294510.0044294511.00.0
7.31.0150827E-57.238911E-67.238911E-61.00.04.3502816E-53.1023545E-53.1023545E-51.00.05.2951806E-43.7764764E-43.7764764E-41.00.00.0052825810.0037704530.0037704531.00.0
7.49.080705E-66.352632E-66.352632E-61.00.03.8916725E-52.7225291E-52.7225291E-51.00.04.7370812E-43.3141885E-43.3141885E-41.00.00.0047269960.00330939470.00330939471.00.0
7.57.671649E-65.2257096E-65.2257096E-61.00.03.287808E-52.2395712E-52.2395712E-51.00.04.0021708E-42.7263493E-42.7263493E-41.00.00.00399497060.00272312970.00272312971.00.0
7.66.990086E-64.6875944E-64.6875944E-61.00.02.9957167E-52.0089543E-52.0089543E-51.00.03.6466747E-42.445639E-42.445639E-41.00.00.00364069640.00244306380.00244306381.00.0
7.74.163505E-62.3295045E-62.3295045E-61.00.01.7843471E-59.983556E-69.983556E-61.00.02.172226E-41.2154376E-41.2154376E-41.00.00.00217010380.00121484590.00121484591.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.384624E-89.384624E-81.00.09.725317E-74.021981E-74.021981E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8967545E-64.8967545E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8966795E-54.8966795E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4397993E-93.4397993E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4741998E-81.4741998E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.794838E-71.794838E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.7948367E-61.7948367E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.652694E-53.441575E-57.441437E-52.16221864.0E-51.5653463E-41.4748774E-41.9748036E-41.33896125.0E-50.00190414310.00179418610.00189400661.05563561.0E-40.0188790990.018533570.0187102351.00953211.8E-4
6.13.652694E-53.441575E-57.441437E-52.16221864.0E-51.5653463E-41.4748774E-41.9748036E-41.33896125.0E-50.00190414310.00179418610.00189400661.05563561.0E-40.0188790990.018533570.0187102351.00953211.8E-4
6.23.652694E-53.441575E-57.441437E-52.16221864.0E-51.5653463E-41.4748774E-41.9748036E-41.33896125.0E-50.00190414310.00179418610.00189400661.05563561.0E-40.0188790990.018533570.0187102351.00953211.8E-4
6.33.652694E-53.441575E-57.441437E-52.16221864.0E-51.5653463E-41.4748774E-41.9748036E-41.33896125.0E-50.00190414310.00179418610.00189400661.05563561.0E-40.0188790990.018533570.0187102351.00953211.8E-4
6.43.646941E-53.4337318E-57.433594E-52.16487344.0E-51.5628811E-41.4715164E-41.971443E-41.33973555.0E-50.00190114680.00179010130.00188992231.05576281.0E-40.0188496450.018493450.0186701211.00955321.8E-4
6.53.646941E-53.4337318E-57.433594E-52.16487344.0E-51.5628811E-41.4715164E-41.971443E-41.33973555.0E-50.00190114680.00179010130.00188992231.05576281.0E-40.0188496450.018493450.0186701211.00955321.8E-4
6.63.6442503E-53.4300705E-57.429933E-52.16611674.0E-51.561728E-41.4699475E-41.969874E-41.34009835.0E-50.00189974550.00178819440.00188801551.05582241.0E-40.0188358690.0184747170.0186513921.00956311.8E-4
6.73.6432113E-53.428628E-57.428491E-52.16660744.0E-51.5612828E-41.4693293E-41.9692558E-41.34024135.0E-50.00189920440.00178744310.00188726431.05584591.0E-40.0188305490.018467340.0186440161.00956691.8E-4
6.83.6409598E-53.4255332E-57.425396E-52.16766144.0E-51.560318E-41.4680032E-41.9679299E-41.34054885.0E-50.00189803180.00178583130.00188565271.05589631.0E-40.0188190230.0184514950.0186281731.00957541.8E-4
6.93.638078E-53.4215755E-57.421439E-52.1690124.0E-51.5590832E-41.4663071E-41.9662338E-41.34094265.0E-50.00189653110.00178376970.00188359141.0559611.0E-40.0188042690.0184312280.0186079091.0095861.8E-4
7.03.6294874E-53.4097768E-57.40964E-52.17305734.0E-51.5554018E-41.4612512E-41.961178E-41.34212265.0E-50.00189205690.00177762410.00187744641.05615481.0E-40.0187602840.0183708070.01854751.00961821.8E-4
7.13.6260717E-53.4054046E-57.405269E-52.17456344.0E-51.5539382E-41.4593777E-41.9593048E-41.34256185.0E-50.0018902780.00177534690.00187516951.0562271.0E-40.0187427960.0183484010.0185250981.00963011.8E-4
7.23.6210204E-53.3988264E-57.398691E-52.17683674.0E-51.5517735E-41.4565587E-41.956486E-41.34322495.0E-50.0018876470.00177192050.00187174321.05633591.0E-40.018716930.0183146690.0184913721.00964821.8E-4
7.33.6119454E-53.3876542E-57.3875184E-52.1807184.0E-51.5478847E-41.4517711E-41.9516985E-41.34435695.0E-50.00188292060.00176610110.00186592451.05652191.0E-40.0186704620.018257220.0184339341.00967911.8E-4
7.43.607848E-53.382404E-57.382269E-52.1825514.0E-51.5461289E-41.4495212E-41.9494488E-41.34489145.0E-50.00188078660.00176336620.00186318991.05660971.0E-40.0186494810.0182302150.0184069331.00969371.8E-4
7.53.5856774E-53.363379E-57.3632444E-52.18924024.0E-51.5366284E-41.4413687E-41.9412967E-41.34684255.0E-50.00186923960.00175345650.00185328121.05693021.0E-40.0185359440.0181313030.018308041.00974761.8E-4
7.63.286655E-53.2156633E-57.2155344E-52.24387124.0E-51.4084904E-41.3780687E-41.8779999E-41.36277665.0E-50.0017134880.00167650950.00177634191.05954781.0E-40.0170033610.017350910.0175277871.01019411.8E-4
7.72.8882527E-52.9249288E-56.924812E-52.36751464.0E-51.237764E-41.2534807E-41.753418E-41.39883925.0E-50.00150593570.00152504550.0016248931.06547181.0E-40.0149577130.0158371530.0160143021.01118561.8E-4
7.82.4950225E-52.6539781E-56.653872E-52.50713134.0E-51.0692515E-41.1373697E-41.6373128E-41.43956085.0E-50.00130103620.00138386890.00148373051.07216121.0E-40.0129344550.0144181580.0145955631.01230431.8E-4
7.91.9881603E-52.1518656E-56.151779E-52.85881234.0E-58.520408E-59.2219554E-51.4221494E-41.54213445.0E-50.0010368660.00112219550.00122208331.08901111.0E-40.0103204150.0117828750.0119607541.01509641.8E-4
8.01.563292E-51.5946089E-54.594561E-52.8813093.0E-56.6996516E-56.8338595E-59.8336546E-51.43896063.0E-58.153773E-48.3170546E-49.1163896E-41.09610788.0E-50.008123920.008815130.008973721.01799061.6E-4
8.11.0045313E-58.306527E-62.830636E-53.40772532.0E-54.305063E-53.5598918E-55.5598204E-51.56179492.0E-55.2401534E-44.3333112E-44.6331814E-41.06920113.0E-50.00522781440.00466166760.00472138781.0128116.0E-5
8.24.1554413E-61.5665041E-61.5665041E-61.00.01.7808914E-56.713572E-66.713572E-61.00.02.1680194E-48.17347E-58.17347E-51.00.00.00216590549.488419E-49.488419E-41.00.0
8.31.2758221E-63.6171858E-73.6171858E-71.00.05.4677976E-61.5502216E-61.5502216E-61.00.06.65684E-51.8873789E-51.8873789E-51.00.06.6548464E-42.2764095E-42.2764095E-41.00.0

San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0667746E-53.5285528E-56.528447E-51.85017693.0E-51.742787E-41.5121493E-41.9120889E-41.26448424.0E-50.00211977820.00183948840.00192932281.04883669.0E-50.0209967140.0189936550.0191604251.00878041.7E-4
6.14.0667746E-53.5285528E-56.528447E-51.85017693.0E-51.742787E-41.5121493E-41.9120889E-41.26448424.0E-50.00211977820.00183948840.00192932281.04883669.0E-50.0209967140.0189936550.0191604251.00878041.7E-4
6.24.0667746E-53.5285528E-56.528447E-51.85017693.0E-51.742787E-41.5121493E-41.9120889E-41.26448424.0E-50.00211977820.00183948840.00192932281.04883669.0E-50.0209967140.0189936550.0191604251.00878041.7E-4
6.34.0667746E-53.5285528E-56.528447E-51.85017693.0E-51.742787E-41.5121493E-41.9120889E-41.26448424.0E-50.00211977820.00183948840.00192932281.04883669.0E-50.0209967140.0189936550.0191604251.00878041.7E-4
6.44.0577226E-53.515743E-56.5156375E-51.85327473.0E-51.738908E-41.5066602E-41.9066E-41.26544794.0E-50.00211506480.00183281780.00192265281.04901479.0E-50.0209504720.0189282190.0190950021.00881141.7E-4
6.54.0577226E-53.515743E-56.5156375E-51.85327473.0E-51.738908E-41.5066602E-41.9066E-41.26544794.0E-50.00211506480.00183281780.00192265281.04901479.0E-50.0209504720.0189282190.0190950021.00881141.7E-4
6.64.053861E-53.510277E-56.510172E-51.85460343.0E-51.7372532E-41.5043179E-41.9042577E-41.26586134.0E-50.00211305380.00182997130.00191980671.04909119.0E-50.0209307430.0189002960.0190670831.00882461.7E-4
6.74.0516545E-53.5071844E-56.507079E-51.8553573.0E-51.7363077E-41.5029925E-41.9029324E-41.26609584.0E-50.0021119050.00182836070.00191819621.04913449.0E-50.0209194680.0188844910.0190512821.00883211.7E-4
6.84.049434E-53.5043406E-56.504235E-51.85605123.0E-51.7353562E-41.501774E-41.9017138E-41.26631164.0E-50.00211074880.00182687950.00191671511.04917439.0E-50.0209081250.0188699050.0190366951.0088391.7E-4
6.94.046386E-53.5005964E-56.500491E-51.85696693.0E-51.73405E-41.5001695E-41.9001093E-41.26659664.0E-50.00210916160.00182492940.00191476511.0492279.0E-50.0208925530.0188506770.0190174711.00884821.7E-4
7.04.036382E-53.4886525E-56.488548E-51.85990083.0E-51.7297632E-41.4950513E-41.8949916E-41.26750934.0E-50.00210395250.00181870860.00190854491.04939579.0E-50.020841440.0187892880.0189560931.00887781.7E-4
7.14.0343282E-53.486499E-56.486394E-51.8604323.0E-51.7288832E-41.4941284E-41.8940686E-41.26767464.0E-50.0021028830.00181758670.00190742311.04942629.0E-50.0208309480.0187781580.0189449661.00888311.7E-4
7.24.0257353E-53.476948E-56.4768436E-51.86279563.0E-51.725201E-41.4900356E-41.8899761E-41.268414.0E-50.00209840850.00181261230.00190244921.04956219.0E-50.0207870420.0187288930.018895711.00890681.7E-4
7.33.9940667E-53.459712E-56.459608E-51.86709433.0E-51.7116306E-41.4826495E-41.8825903E-41.26974734.0E-50.00208191850.00180363460.00189347231.04980929.0E-50.0206252170.0186375140.0188043451.00895141.7E-4
7.43.9721202E-53.44825E-56.4481465E-51.86997663.0E-51.7022261E-41.4777378E-41.8776787E-41.27064414.0E-50.00207049030.00179766430.00188750261.04997499.0E-50.0205130520.0185766350.0187434781.00898121.7E-4
7.53.7036873E-53.354985E-56.354885E-51.89416173.0E-51.5871979E-41.4377717E-41.8377142E-41.27816834.0E-50.00193070060.00174908460.00183892721.05136559.0E-50.0191401240.0180781150.0182450411.00923361.7E-4
7.63.2940967E-53.1330474E-56.1329534E-51.95750423.0E-51.4116794E-41.3426656E-41.742612E-41.29787484.0E-50.00171736450.0016334720.0017233251.05500739.0E-50.017041530.016910880.0170780071.00988271.7E-4
7.72.8236149E-52.7896147E-55.789531E-52.07538723.0E-51.2100645E-41.1954944E-41.5954467E-41.33454954.0E-50.00147225790.00145454370.00154441281.06178519.0E-50.0146254210.0151214530.0152888831.01107231.7E-4
7.82.4329287E-52.5219388E-55.5218632E-52.1895313.0E-51.042642E-41.0807862E-41.480743E-41.37006094.0E-50.00126867740.00131506380.00140494541.06834779.0E-50.0126145890.0137184680.0138861361.0122221.7E-4
7.91.9370926E-52.0432055E-55.043144E-52.46825123.0E-58.301561E-58.7563014E-51.2755951E-41.45677394.0E-50.00101024650.0010655590.00115546321.08437289.0E-50.01005666050.0112050530.0113731481.01500181.7E-4
8.01.5583017E-51.5895175E-54.5894696E-52.88733533.0E-56.6782646E-56.8120404E-59.8118355E-51.44036673.0E-58.127754E-48.29051E-49.089847E-41.09641598.0E-50.0080980910.0087864160.008945011.018051.6E-4
8.11.0024873E-58.297121E-62.8296954E-53.41045482.0E-54.2963035E-53.5558605E-55.5557895E-51.56243172.0E-55.229494E-44.3284055E-44.6282756E-41.06927963.0E-50.00521720430.004655960.00471568061.01282676.0E-5
8.24.142796E-61.5619446E-61.5619446E-61.00.01.775472E-56.6940315E-66.6940315E-61.00.02.1614227E-48.1496815E-58.1496815E-51.00.00.00215932179.4601413E-49.4601413E-41.00.0
8.31.2750878E-63.6143226E-73.6143226E-71.00.05.4646503E-61.5489944E-61.5489944E-61.00.06.653009E-51.8858847E-51.8858847E-51.00.06.6510175E-42.2747046E-42.2747046E-41.00.0

Lake Isabella (Seismicity)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.431637E-69.741694E-63.97414E-54.07951643.0E-54.0420677E-54.1749525E-58.174785E-51.95805484.0E-54.920106E-45.0819496E-46.28134E-41.23600981.2E-40.0049092270.0050716210.0052407591.03334991.7E-4
6.19.431637E-69.741694E-63.97414E-54.07951643.0E-54.0420677E-54.1749525E-58.174785E-51.95805484.0E-54.920106E-45.0819496E-46.28134E-41.23600981.2E-40.0049092270.0050716210.0052407591.03334991.7E-4
6.29.431637E-69.741694E-63.97414E-54.07951643.0E-54.0420677E-54.1749525E-58.174785E-51.95805484.0E-54.920106E-45.0819496E-46.28134E-41.23600981.2E-40.0049092270.0050716210.0052407591.03334991.7E-4
6.39.431637E-69.741694E-63.97414E-54.07951643.0E-54.0420677E-54.1749525E-58.174785E-51.95805484.0E-54.920106E-45.0819496E-46.28134E-41.23600981.2E-40.0049092270.0050716210.0052407591.03334991.7E-4
6.45.144063E-65.3000977E-62.529999E-54.77349572.0E-52.2045799E-52.2714525E-54.271407E-51.88047392.0E-52.6837454E-42.765177E-43.365011E-41.21692436.0E-50.00268050660.0027620770.00285182821.03249429.0E-5
6.55.144063E-65.3000977E-62.529999E-54.77349572.0E-52.2045799E-52.2714525E-54.271407E-51.88047392.0E-52.6837454E-42.765177E-43.365011E-41.21692436.0E-50.00268050660.0027620770.00285182821.03249429.0E-5
6.63.4009804E-63.4987995E-61.3498765E-53.85811331.0E-51.4575549E-51.4994778E-52.4994628E-51.66688881.0E-51.7744285E-41.8254772E-42.2254043E-41.21908084.0E-50.00177301230.00182413550.00186406261.02188814.0E-5
6.73.3880428E-63.4856662E-61.3485631E-53.86888221.0E-51.4520103E-51.4938492E-52.4938343E-51.66940161.0E-51.767679E-41.8186258E-42.218553E-41.21990634.0E-50.00176627360.00181729510.00185722241.02197074.0E-5
6.82.6582E-62.7337105E-61.2733683E-54.6580221.0E-51.1392236E-51.1715857E-52.171574E-51.8535341.0E-51.3869164E-41.4263256E-41.8262686E-41.28040094.0E-50.00138605120.00142554230.00146548531.02801954.0E-5
6.92.406011E-62.474338E-61.2474314E-55.0414751.0E-51.0311434E-51.0604271E-52.0604164E-51.94300631.0E-51.2553448E-41.2910066E-41.6909551E-41.30979574.0E-50.00125463590.00129038630.00133033471.03095844.0E-5
7.01.6953097E-61.7429437E-61.7429437E-61.00.07.265593E-67.469743E-67.469743E-61.00.08.8455E-59.094137E-51.1093955E-41.21990192.0E-58.84198E-49.0914435E-49.2912617E-41.02197872.0E-5
7.13.5013824E-73.571492E-73.571492E-71.00.01.5005916E-61.5306384E-61.5306384E-61.00.01.826955E-51.8635366E-51.8635366E-51.00.01.8268047E-41.863383E-41.863383E-41.00.0
7.22.2321095E-72.2750632E-72.2750632E-71.00.09.56618E-79.750268E-79.750268E-71.00.01.1646762E-51.1870887E-51.1870887E-51.00.01.1646151E-41.1870263E-41.1870263E-41.00.0
7.31.5760406E-71.6060963E-71.6060963E-71.00.06.7544585E-76.883268E-76.883268E-71.00.08.223522E-68.380347E-68.380347E-61.00.08.2232174E-58.3800376E-58.3800376E-51.00.0
7.41.1216497E-71.1431735E-71.1431735E-71.00.04.8070694E-74.8993144E-74.8993144E-71.00.05.852591E-65.964899E-65.964899E-61.00.05.8524372E-55.9647435E-55.9647435E-51.00.0
7.54.885185E-84.9787864E-84.9787864E-81.00.02.0936506E-72.1337654E-72.1337654E-71.00.02.5490165E-62.5978566E-62.5978566E-61.00.02.5489873E-52.597828E-52.597828E-51.00.0
7.61.504641E-91.5317939E-91.5317939E-91.00.06.4484613E-96.5648313E-96.5648313E-91.00.07.851001E-87.992682E-87.992682E-81.00.07.8509987E-77.992682E-77.992682E-71.00.0

San Jacinto (Anza) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.3015636E-54.3312386E-57.331109E-51.69261253.0E-52.7003905E-41.8561137E-42.156058E-41.16159813.0E-50.00328276910.00225748820.00233730771.03535768.0E-50.0323469680.0233077820.0234640521.00670471.6E-4
6.16.3015636E-54.3312386E-57.331109E-51.69261253.0E-52.7003905E-41.8561137E-42.156058E-41.16159813.0E-50.00328276910.00225748820.00233730771.03535768.0E-50.0323469680.0233077820.0234640521.00670471.6E-4
6.26.3015636E-54.3312386E-57.331109E-51.69261253.0E-52.7003905E-41.8561137E-42.156058E-41.16159813.0E-50.00328276910.00225748820.00233730771.03535768.0E-50.0323469680.0233077820.0234640521.00670471.6E-4
6.36.3015636E-54.3312386E-57.331109E-51.69261253.0E-52.7003905E-41.8561137E-42.156058E-41.16159813.0E-50.00328276910.00225748820.00233730771.03535768.0E-50.0323469680.0233077820.0234640521.00670471.6E-4
6.46.3015636E-54.3312386E-57.331109E-51.69261253.0E-52.7003905E-41.8561137E-42.156058E-41.16159813.0E-50.00328276910.00225748820.00233730771.03535768.0E-50.0323469680.0233077820.0234640521.00670471.6E-4
6.55.811017E-54.009432E-57.009312E-51.74820573.0E-52.4901982E-41.7182152E-42.0181637E-41.17456973.0E-50.00302760140.00208992560.00216975851.03819888.0E-50.029866840.0216050280.0217615721.00724571.6E-4
6.65.811017E-54.009432E-57.009312E-51.74820573.0E-52.4901982E-41.7182152E-42.0181637E-41.17456973.0E-50.00302760140.00208992560.00216975851.03819888.0E-50.029866840.0216050280.0217615721.00724571.6E-4
6.75.712442E-53.951705E-56.951587E-51.7591363.0E-52.4479596E-41.6934783E-41.9934274E-41.17712023.0E-50.00297631770.00205986550.00213970081.03875748.0E-50.0293676930.0212970790.0214536711.00735271.6E-4
6.85.6967532E-53.9373335E-56.937215E-51.7619073.0E-52.4412372E-41.6873197E-41.9872692E-41.17776683.0E-50.00296815530.00205238190.00213221761.03889918.0E-50.0292882290.021222680.0213792851.0073791.6E-4
6.95.6211324E-53.9078248E-56.9077076E-51.76766053.0E-52.4088343E-41.6746749E-41.9746246E-41.17910923.0E-50.00292881160.00203701550.00211685241.03919328.0E-50.0289051090.0210609920.0212176221.0074371.6E-4
7.05.4383527E-53.793897E-56.7937835E-51.79071373.0E-52.3305144E-41.6258548E-41.9258061E-41.18448833.0E-50.00283370940.0019776860.0020575281.04037138.0E-50.0279784650.0204545870.0206113141.00766221.6E-4
7.15.1393665E-53.6401827E-56.640074E-51.82410443.0E-52.2023996E-41.5599852E-41.8599385E-41.19227953.0E-50.00267812420.00189763180.001977481.04207788.0E-50.0264607820.0196254810.0197823421.00799261.6E-4
7.24.785222E-53.4752728E-56.4751686E-51.86321153.0E-52.0506482E-41.4893178E-41.7892731E-41.20140453.0E-50.00249380550.00181173990.0018915951.04407648.0E-50.0246600490.0187356530.0188926551.00837981.6E-4
7.34.2143256E-53.384821E-56.38472E-51.88627983.0E-51.8060145E-41.4505572E-41.7505136E-41.20678713.0E-50.0021966050.00176462610.0018444851.04525548.0E-50.021750190.0182435070.0184005871.00861021.6E-4
7.44.0264713E-53.348636E-56.348536E-51.89585713.0E-51.7255165E-41.4350511E-41.735008E-41.20902183.0E-50.0020987920.00174577790.00182563821.04574498.0E-50.0207908040.0180481150.0182052271.00870511.6E-4
7.53.694492E-53.2200267E-56.21993E-51.93163933.0E-51.5832575E-41.3799386E-41.6798973E-41.2173713.0E-50.00192591180.00167878360.00175864941.04757368.0E-50.019093060.0173644550.0175216781.00905421.6E-4
7.63.200565E-52.9515684E-55.9514798E-52.01637893.0E-51.3715986E-41.2648967E-41.5648587E-41.23714353.0E-50.0016686420.0015389260.00161880291.05190438.0E-50.016561680.0159523580.0161098061.00986981.6E-4
7.72.731642E-52.6104135E-55.6103352E-52.1492133.0E-51.1706512E-41.11870075E-41.4186672E-41.26813833.0E-50.0014243360.00136116820.00144105931.0586938.0E-50.0141524120.0141728930.01433062551.01112911.6E-4
7.82.3466424E-52.3515782E-55.3515076E-52.2757093.0E-51.0056651E-41.0077804E-41.30775E-41.29765393.0E-50.00122370940.00122628280.00130618471.06515788.0E-50.0121699280.0128145450.0129724951.01232581.6E-4
7.91.8611925E-51.8917919E-54.891735E-52.58576823.0E-57.9762955E-58.107428E-51.11071844E-41.37000113.0E-59.7068126E-49.86633E-40.00106655411.08100388.0E-50.00966452250.0103990140.0105573511.01522611.6E-4
8.01.5460775E-51.5749598E-54.5749126E-52.90478063.0E-56.6258784E-56.7496534E-59.749451E-51.44443733.0E-58.0640207E-48.2146114E-49.0139546E-41.09730748.0E-50.0080348210.0087074480.0088660551.01821511.6E-4
8.19.983884E-68.274653E-62.8274488E-53.41699982.0E-54.2787375E-53.546232E-55.546161E-51.56395892.0E-55.2081177E-44.316687E-44.6165576E-41.06946783.0E-50.00519592830.00464256060.0047022821.01286396.0E-5
8.24.1226E-61.5539142E-61.5539142E-61.00.01.7668166E-56.6596153E-66.6596153E-61.00.02.1508869E-48.107783E-58.107783E-51.00.00.00214880649.410467E-49.410467E-41.00.0
8.31.2750878E-63.6143226E-73.6143226E-71.00.05.4646503E-61.5489944E-61.5489944E-61.00.06.653009E-51.8858847E-51.8858847E-51.00.06.6510175E-42.2747046E-42.2747046E-41.00.0

White Wolf (Extension)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.222555E-66.0666557E-66.0666557E-61.00.03.5239045E-52.5999732E-55.5998953E-52.15382813.0E-54.289509E-43.165074E-43.9648206E-41.25267888.0E-50.00428123870.00316121780.00332071211.05045341.6E-4
6.18.222555E-66.0666557E-66.0666557E-61.00.03.5239045E-52.5999732E-55.5998953E-52.15382813.0E-54.289509E-43.165074E-43.9648206E-41.25267888.0E-50.00428123870.00316121780.00332071211.05045341.6E-4
6.28.222555E-66.0666557E-66.0666557E-61.00.03.5239045E-52.5999732E-55.5998953E-52.15382813.0E-54.289509E-43.165074E-43.9648206E-41.25267888.0E-50.00428123870.00316121780.00332071211.05045341.6E-4
6.38.222555E-66.0666557E-66.0666557E-61.00.03.5239045E-52.5999732E-55.5998953E-52.15382813.0E-54.289509E-43.165074E-43.9648206E-41.25267888.0E-50.00428123870.00316121780.00332071211.05045341.6E-4
6.45.821773E-63.5571516E-63.5571516E-61.00.02.4950215E-51.5244852E-53.5244546E-52.31189822.0E-53.0372653E-41.8559136E-42.4558022E-41.32323096.0E-50.00303311760.00185447210.00197424951.06458841.2E-4
6.55.766023E-63.4990853E-63.4990853E-61.00.02.4711293E-51.4996E-53.49957E-52.3336692.0E-53.0081844E-41.825621E-42.4255115E-41.32859536.0E-50.00300411580.00182422940.00194401051.06566121.2E-4
6.64.643576E-62.3325927E-62.3325927E-61.00.01.9900888E-59.99679E-61.999669E-52.00031111.0E-52.4226638E-41.2170455E-41.517009E-41.24646853.0E-50.00242002420.00121642140.00130631191.07389759.0E-5
6.73.9529173E-61.6483134E-61.6483134E-61.00.01.6940963E-57.0641822E-67.0641822E-61.00.02.0623671E-48.6003216E-51.0600149E-41.23252942.0E-50.0020604548.5971784E-49.2965766E-41.08135217.0E-5
6.83.4377522E-61.2244896E-61.2244896E-61.00.01.473314E-55.247802E-65.247802E-61.00.01.7936122E-46.389021E-58.388893E-51.3130172.0E-50.00179216526.3872756E-46.8869564E-41.07823065.0E-5
6.93.1367306E-61.0033432E-61.0033432E-61.00.01.3443062E-54.300036E-64.300036E-61.00.01.63657E-45.2351756E-57.235071E-51.38201122.0E-50.00163536525.234019E-45.5338617E-41.05728733.0E-5
7.02.8298145E-67.4283355E-77.4283355E-71.00.01.2127721E-53.1835689E-63.1835689E-61.00.01.47645E-43.875931E-54.8758924E-51.25799251.0E-50.00147546933.875305E-44.0752275E-41.05158892.0E-5
7.12.4091064E-65.422472E-75.422472E-71.00.01.03247E-52.323915E-62.323915E-61.00.01.2569598E-42.8293338E-53.8293056E-51.353431.0E-50.0012562492.829014E-42.9289856E-41.0353381.0E-5
7.21.3875518E-61.074062E-71.074062E-71.00.05.9466374E-64.603122E-74.603122E-71.00.07.23979E-55.604288E-65.604288E-61.00.07.2374323E-45.604158E-55.604158E-51.00.0
7.37.056077E-75.0005806E-85.0005806E-81.00.03.0240296E-62.1431059E-72.1431059E-71.00.03.681694E-52.6092287E-62.6092287E-61.00.03.681084E-42.6092028E-52.6092028E-51.00.0
7.45.9334678E-84.8638475E-94.8638475E-91.00.02.5429145E-72.084506E-82.084506E-81.00.03.095994E-62.5378858E-72.5378858E-71.00.03.095951E-52.5378843E-62.5378843E-61.00.0

Baker

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.695525E-65.834856E-61.5834798E-52.71382831.0E-52.4409164E-52.500631E-54.500581E-51.79977812.0E-52.9714106E-43.044133E-43.444011E-41.13136034.0E-50.00296744050.00304035870.00318990251.04918621.5E-4
6.15.695525E-65.834856E-61.5834798E-52.71382831.0E-52.4409164E-52.500631E-54.500581E-51.79977812.0E-52.9714106E-43.044133E-43.444011E-41.13136034.0E-50.00296744050.00304035870.00318990251.04918621.5E-4
6.25.695525E-65.834856E-61.5834798E-52.71382831.0E-52.4409164E-52.500631E-54.500581E-51.79977812.0E-52.9714106E-43.044133E-43.444011E-41.13136034.0E-50.00296744050.00304035870.00318990251.04918621.5E-4
6.33.2995713E-63.3836786E-63.3836786E-61.00.01.4140943E-51.4501402E-52.4501256E-51.68957851.0E-51.7215237E-41.7654074E-42.0653545E-41.16990243.0E-50.00172019070.00176405210.00188384031.06790521.2E-4
6.43.2995713E-63.3836786E-63.3836786E-61.00.01.4140943E-51.4501402E-52.4501256E-51.68957851.0E-51.7215237E-41.7654074E-42.0653545E-41.16990243.0E-50.00172019070.00176405210.00188384031.06790521.2E-4
6.52.782202E-62.8558507E-62.8558507E-61.00.01.1923668E-51.2239304E-52.223918E-51.817031.0E-51.4516099E-41.4900367E-41.789992E-41.20130733.0E-50.0014506620.00148907040.00160889161.08046721.2E-4
6.62.3163404E-62.380929E-62.380929E-61.00.09.927136E-61.0203942E-52.020384E-51.98000341.0E-51.20856166E-41.2422612E-41.5422239E-41.24146513.0E-50.00120790470.0012415870.00135145031.08848631.1E-4
6.72.037056E-62.0965088E-62.0965088E-61.00.08.7302105E-68.985007E-61.8984918E-52.1129551.0E-51.0628513E-41.0938713E-41.3938385E-41.27422523.0E-50.00106234310.00109334910.00119323971.09136211.0E-4
6.81.8356744E-61.8915364E-61.8915364E-61.00.07.867153E-68.10656E-61.8106479E-52.2335591.0E-59.577837E-59.869304E-51.1869107E-41.20262852.0E-59.57371E-49.865061E-40.00106642711.08101438.0E-5
6.91.6310546E-61.6832144E-61.6832144E-61.00.06.9902153E-67.213757E-67.213757E-61.00.08.510255E-58.782406E-59.7823184E-51.1138541.0E-58.5069967E-48.779048E-49.4784336E-41.07966537.0E-5
7.01.2058036E-61.2508729E-61.2508729E-61.00.05.1677193E-65.3608724E-65.3608724E-61.00.06.291517E-56.526669E-57.526604E-51.15320751.0E-56.289736E-46.5247755E-47.124384E-41.09189716.0E-5
7.11.052382E-61.0951668E-61.0951668E-61.00.04.5102006E-64.693564E-64.693564E-61.00.05.491031E-55.7142646E-56.714208E-51.17499071.0E-55.4896745E-45.712804E-46.3124613E-41.10496726.0E-5
7.21.0067454E-61.0487769E-61.0487769E-61.00.04.3146156E-64.4947506E-64.4947506E-61.00.05.252918E-55.4722223E-56.472167E-51.18273121.0E-55.251676E-45.4708833E-46.070555E-41.10961156.0E-5
7.39.3596316E-79.76778E-79.76778E-71.00.04.0112645E-64.186185E-64.186185E-61.00.04.8836053E-55.0965617E-56.0965107E-51.19620071.0E-54.8825322E-45.095401E-45.695095E-41.11769336.0E-5
7.48.8117395E-79.2077187E-79.2077187E-71.00.03.7764542E-63.9461593E-63.9461593E-61.00.04.5977362E-54.8043436E-55.8042955E-51.2081351.0E-54.596785E-44.8033125E-45.3030724E-41.10404485.0E-5
7.58.292386E-78.674649E-78.674649E-71.00.03.5538749E-63.7177015E-63.7177015E-61.00.04.326757E-54.5262084E-55.526163E-51.22092551.0E-54.3259145E-44.5252938E-44.9251126E-41.08835214.0E-5
7.67.553842E-77.9145207E-77.9145207E-71.00.03.2373566E-63.3919332E-63.3919332E-61.00.03.9414106E-54.129601E-55.12956E-51.24214411.0E-53.9407116E-44.1288408E-44.4287168E-41.07262963.0E-5
7.76.5285366E-76.852842E-76.852842E-71.00.02.797941E-62.9369291E-62.9369291E-61.00.03.40644E-53.5756533E-54.5756173E-51.27965921.0E-53.405918E-43.5750846E-43.874977E-41.08388413.0E-5
7.83.4586725E-73.648288E-73.648288E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635511E-61.5635511E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9036073E-51.9036073E-51.00.01.8045233E-41.9034486E-42.1034105E-41.10505252.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696871E-92.6696871E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.1441516E-81.1441516E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3930045E-71.3930045E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3930046E-61.3930046E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Coachella) rev

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1925945E-43.2735174E-43.2735174E-41.00.05.110118E-40.00140218650.00144213041.02848684.0E-50.00620383540.0169393270.0170278031.0052239.0E-50.0603347530.152696040.152823141.00083231.5E-4
6.11.1925945E-43.2735174E-43.2735174E-41.00.05.110118E-40.00140218650.00144213041.02848684.0E-50.00620383540.0169393270.0170278031.0052239.0E-50.0603347530.152696040.152823141.00083231.5E-4
6.21.07432395E-43.023596E-43.023596E-41.00.04.603433E-40.00129518730.00133513551.03084364.0E-50.0055902860.015655990.0157445821.00565869.0E-50.054517310.141849350.141969491.0008471.4E-4
6.31.0718766E-43.0181266E-43.0181266E-41.00.04.592948E-40.00129284560.00133279391.03089954.0E-50.0055775860.0156278890.0157164821.00566899.0E-50.0543965550.141617630.14173781.00084851.4E-4
6.41.0355944E-42.9389336E-42.9389336E-41.00.04.4375064E-40.0012589390.00129888861.03173284.0E-50.00538928850.0152209150.0153095451.00582299.0E-50.0526044960.138175440.13829611.00087321.4E-4
6.51.0227914E-42.9108766E-42.9108766E-41.00.04.382655E-40.00124692610.00128687631.03203894.0E-50.00532283540.0150766920.01516533551.00587959.0E-50.0519713160.136959580.137080421.00088211.4E-4
6.61.0116757E-42.8874516E-42.8874516E-41.00.04.3350324E-40.00123689630.00127684691.0322994.0E-50.00526513670.0149562610.0150449151.00592769.0E-50.0514212470.13593710.136058061.00088991.4E-4
6.71.0050676E-42.8733077E-42.8733077E-41.00.04.3067214E-40.00123084030.00127079121.03245814.0E-50.0052308340.014883540.0149722011.0059579.0E-50.0510940850.135321920.135442971.00089451.4E-4
6.89.976819E-52.8536728E-42.8536728E-41.00.04.2750788E-40.00122243330.00126238441.03268164.0E-50.00519249360.0147825780.0148712471.00599839.0E-50.0507282950.134473340.13459451.00090111.4E-4
6.99.77719E-52.8033604E-42.8033604E-41.00.04.1895514E-40.00120089090.00124084291.03326864.0E-50.00508885550.0145238260.0146125181.00610679.0E-50.0497388880.132301720.13242321.00091811.4E-4
7.08.500761E-52.476793E-42.476793E-41.00.03.6426744E-40.00106105410.00110101161.03765834.0E-50.00442594060.012842590.0129116911.00538067.0E-50.043388230.1181510760.1182569041.00089561.2E-4
7.18.319876E-52.4370618E-42.4370618E-41.00.03.5651738E-40.00104404020.00108399851.03827274.0E-50.0043319630.01263786850.0127069841.0054697.0E-50.0424848460.116371060.1164770951.00091121.2E-4
7.27.563917E-52.2418915E-42.2418915E-41.00.03.2412758E-49.604599E-40.00100042151.04160674.0E-50.00393911450.0116315920.0117007771.00594817.0E-50.038700180.1077772160.107884281.00099341.2E-4
7.37.082985E-52.0734889E-42.0734889E-41.00.03.0352117E-48.8833837E-49.283028E-41.04498794.0E-50.00368910960.010762510.01083175651.00643417.0E-50.036284650.100298670.100406641.00107651.2E-4
7.45.146215E-51.4277869E-41.4277869E-41.00.02.2053342E-46.1176607E-46.517416E-41.06534454.0E-50.00268168840.0074230040.00749248451.00936027.0E-50.026495570.070862860.070965061.00144231.1E-4
7.54.0285166E-51.09450986E-41.09450986E-41.00.01.7263928E-44.6899164E-45.089729E-41.08524944.0E-50.0020998570.00569509340.0057646951.01222137.0E-50.0208012540.0550243150.055128261.00188911.1E-4
7.63.1168736E-58.441976E-58.441976E-51.00.01.3357346E-43.617489E-44.0173443E-41.1105344.0E-50.00162504370.00439542530.00446511761.01585577.0E-50.0161321160.0428219740.0429272651.00245881.1E-4
7.72.2100989E-56.241421E-56.241421E-51.00.09.4715084E-52.674621E-43.074514E-41.14951384.0E-50.0011525460.0032514950.00331130021.0183936.0E-50.0114658670.0319112460.0320080561.00303361.0E-4
7.81.7484861E-55.181932E-55.181932E-51.00.07.493296E-52.220639E-42.6205502E-41.18008834.0E-59.1192697E-40.0027002790.0027601171.02215996.0E-50.0090819380.0266499110.0267472451.00365231.0E-4
7.91.3967285E-53.8241284E-53.8241284E-51.00.05.985842E-51.6388092E-42.0387437E-41.24403974.0E-57.2853256E-40.00199342570.0020533061.0300396.0E-50.00726148770.0199179650.0200159741.00492061.0E-4
8.01.1887396E-53.1081006E-53.1081006E-51.00.05.094499E-51.3319752E-41.6319353E-41.22519953.0E-56.200787E-40.00162047450.00166040961.02464414.0E-50.0061835130.0162865310.0163652281.0048328.0E-5
8.15.100864E-68.979058E-68.979058E-61.00.02.1860664E-53.8481114E-53.8481114E-51.00.02.6612106E-44.6840697E-44.6840697E-41.00.00.0026580260.00492049060.00492049061.00.0
8.22.3004484E-62.7884673E-62.7884673E-61.00.09.859027E-61.195052E-51.195052E-51.00.01.2002704E-41.454879E-41.454879E-41.00.00.00119962230.00159844240.00159844241.00.0
8.31.0424446E-75.820319E-85.820319E-81.00.04.4676187E-72.4944222E-72.4944222E-71.00.05.439312E-63.0369551E-63.0369551E-61.00.05.4391792E-53.1931086E-53.1931086E-51.00.0

Santa Ynez (West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.7352758E-55.49722E-56.4971646E-51.18190011.0E-52.0292461E-42.3557546E-42.655684E-41.12731783.0E-50.00246780760.00286462760.00292445581.02088516.0E-50.0244058180.0283051340.0284217371.00411951.2E-4
6.14.7352758E-55.49722E-56.4971646E-51.18190011.0E-52.0292461E-42.3557546E-42.655684E-41.12731783.0E-50.00246780760.00286462760.00292445581.02088516.0E-50.0244058180.0283051340.028412021.00377621.1E-4
6.23.0415853E-53.392567E-53.392567E-51.00.01.3034715E-41.4538778E-41.6538487E-41.13754322.0E-50.00158582120.00176869380.00179864071.01693173.0E-50.0157455220.017550120.0176287141.00447838.0E-5
6.33.0415853E-53.392567E-53.392567E-51.00.01.3034715E-41.4538778E-41.6538487E-41.13754322.0E-50.00158582120.00176869380.00179864071.01693173.0E-50.0157455220.017550120.0176287141.00447838.0E-5
6.42.5452082E-52.7912814E-52.7912814E-51.00.01.09075794E-41.1962098E-41.3961858E-41.16717482.0E-50.00132718870.00145543130.00148538771.02058243.0E-50.0131929020.0144611640.0145301521.00477057.0E-5
6.52.3143784E-52.5128551E-52.5128551E-51.00.09.9183875E-51.0768943E-41.2768728E-41.18569922.0E-50.00120689480.00131034480.00134030541.02286473.0E-50.0120036110.0130278530.0130969421.00530317.0E-5
6.61.9118515E-52.0354546E-52.0354546E-51.00.08.193392E-58.7230896E-51.0722915E-41.22925652.0E-59.97089E-40.00106152660.00108150541.01882082.0E-50.009926270.0105654720.0106248381.00561896.0E-5
6.71.722807E-51.8146504E-51.8146504E-51.00.07.3832496E-57.776845E-59.776689E-51.25715372.0E-58.985399E-49.464251E-49.664062E-41.02111222.0E-50.0089491540.00942459050.009474121.00525525.0E-5
6.81.5317364E-51.5926595E-51.5926595E-51.00.06.56442E-56.825507E-58.8253706E-51.29299862.0E-57.98925E-48.3069294E-48.506763E-41.02405632.0E-50.0079605890.0082763660.0083259521.00599135.0E-5
6.91.3071226E-51.3329679E-51.3329679E-51.00.05.6018336E-55.7125955E-57.7124816E-51.35008362.0E-56.8180985E-46.952888E-47.152749E-41.0287452.0E-50.00679721730.00693139530.00698104871.00716355.0E-5
7.01.1836986E-51.19328115E-51.19328115E-51.00.05.0728955E-55.113963E-56.1139115E-51.1955331.0E-56.1745E-46.224488E-46.3244253E-41.01605561.0E-50.0061573720.0062072470.00624699841.0064044.0E-5
7.11.0597169E-51.0542209E-51.0542209E-51.00.04.541565E-54.5180117E-55.5179666E-51.22132641.0E-55.5279525E-45.499302E-45.5992475E-41.01817421.0E-50.00551422130.0054858250.005515661.00543873.0E-5
7.29.59113E-69.4591405E-69.4591405E-61.00.04.11042E-54.0538547E-55.0538143E-51.24666881.0E-55.0032866E-44.9344613E-45.034412E-41.02025571.0E-50.0049920370.00492362350.0049435251.0040422.0E-5
7.38.586084E-68.3795685E-68.3795685E-61.00.03.679698E-53.5911948E-54.591159E-51.27844881.0E-54.4791115E-44.371413E-44.4713693E-41.02286591.0E-50.0044700940.00436292540.0043828381.0045642.0E-5
7.47.2622997E-66.9515127E-66.9515127E-61.00.03.112377E-52.9791861E-53.9791565E-51.33565211.0E-53.78866E-43.6265652E-43.726529E-41.02756431.0E-50.00378220740.00362074720.00364067481.00550382.0E-5
7.55.627296E-65.251543E-65.251543E-61.00.02.411676E-52.2506423E-53.25062E-51.44430761.0E-52.9358198E-42.7398195E-42.839792E-41.03648881.0E-50.00293194430.00273651370.0027564591.00728862.0E-5
7.62.265244E-62.0608816E-62.0608816E-61.00.09.708152E-68.8323195E-68.8323195E-61.00.01.18190335E-41.0752828E-41.0752828E-41.00.00.0011812750.0010747710.00108476031.00929431.0E-5
7.71.3099874E-61.1016346E-61.1016346E-61.00.05.61422E-64.7212825E-64.7212825E-61.00.06.8350986E-55.748012E-55.748012E-51.00.06.832996E-45.7465496E-45.7465496E-41.00.0
7.87.903951E-76.0711466E-76.0711466E-71.00.03.3874032E-62.6019175E-62.6019175E-61.00.04.1240855E-53.1677897E-53.1677897E-51.00.04.12332E-43.1673515E-43.1673515E-41.00.0
7.97.0753297E-95.0900932E-95.0900932E-91.00.03.032284E-82.1814685E-82.1814685E-81.00.03.6918053E-72.6559377E-72.6559377E-71.00.03.691799E-62.6559355E-62.6559355E-61.00.0

San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3461156E-52.350783E-53.3507593E-51.42538021.0E-55.7689394E-51.0074397E-41.1074296E-41.09925151.0E-57.02142E-40.0012258710.00130577291.06517978.0E-50.00699927660.0122325220.0123708091.01130491.4E-4
6.11.3461156E-52.350783E-53.3507593E-51.42538021.0E-55.7689394E-51.0074397E-41.1074296E-41.09925151.0E-57.02142E-40.0012258710.00130577291.06517978.0E-50.00699927660.0122325220.0123708091.01130491.4E-4
6.21.3461156E-52.350783E-53.3507593E-51.42538021.0E-55.7689394E-51.0074397E-41.1074296E-41.09925151.0E-57.02142E-40.0012258710.00130577291.06517978.0E-50.00699927660.0122325220.0123708091.01130491.4E-4
6.31.3461156E-52.350783E-53.3507593E-51.42538021.0E-55.7689394E-51.0074397E-41.1074296E-41.09925151.0E-57.02142E-40.0012258710.00130577291.06517978.0E-50.00699927660.0122325220.0123708091.01130491.4E-4
6.41.3461156E-52.350783E-53.3507593E-51.42538021.0E-55.7689394E-51.0074397E-41.1074296E-41.09925151.0E-57.02142E-40.0012258710.00130577291.06517978.0E-50.00699927660.0122325220.0123708091.01130491.4E-4
6.51.3450706E-52.349679E-53.3496555E-51.425581.0E-55.764461E-51.00696656E-41.1069565E-41.09929811.0E-57.0159714E-40.00122529560.00130519761.06521038.0E-50.0069938620.0122268310.01236511951.01131021.4E-4
6.61.3074523E-52.3111072E-53.311084E-51.43268311.0E-55.6032466E-59.9043704E-51.0904272E-41.10095551.0E-56.8198174E-40.00120519320.00128509691.06629948.0E-50.0067989260.0120279970.0121663131.01149951.4E-4
6.71.3050216E-52.3086368E-53.3086137E-51.4331461.0E-55.59283E-59.893784E-51.0893685E-41.10106361.0E-56.8071426E-40.00120390580.00128380951.06637048.0E-50.00678632870.0120152620.0121535791.01151181.4E-4
6.81.29049395E-52.2934775E-53.2934546E-51.4360091.0E-55.530571E-59.8288205E-51.08287226E-41.10173171.0E-56.73139E-40.00119600510.00127590951.06680938.0E-50.00671103640.0119371050.0120754341.01158811.4E-4
6.91.2867369E-52.2894177E-53.289395E-51.43678221.0E-55.51447E-59.811423E-51.0811325E-41.1019121.0E-56.711799E-40.00119388930.00127379391.06692798.0E-50.0066915640.0119161740.0120545061.01160871.4E-4
7.01.2495996E-52.2294238E-53.2294014E-51.44853641.0E-55.3553173E-59.5543255E-51.055423E-41.10465471.0E-56.518148E-40.00116262120.00124252821.068738.0E-50.00649906230.0116067710.0117451461.01192191.4E-4
7.11.2452067E-52.2239308E-53.2239088E-51.44964421.0E-55.3364907E-59.5307856E-51.05306906E-41.10491311.0E-56.4952404E-40.00115975830.00123966561.06889998.0E-50.00647628870.011578440.0117168191.01195141.4E-4
7.21.2002777E-52.1617801E-53.1617587E-51.46257171.0E-55.143946E-59.264445E-51.0264352E-41.10792961.0E-56.2609545E-40.00112736520.00119728621.06202177.0E-50.0062433440.011257840.0113863771.01141751.3E-4
7.31.1923425E-52.1487636E-53.148742E-51.46537391.0E-55.109939E-59.208664E-51.0208571E-41.10858351.0E-56.219575E-40.00112058080.00119050231.06239767.0E-50.00620219620.0111907120.0113192571.01148681.3E-4
7.41.16105175E-52.0861535E-53.0861327E-51.47934111.0E-54.975841E-58.9403526E-59.9402634E-51.11184241.0E-56.0564023E-40.00108794690.00114788171.05508976.0E-50.0060399230.0108681740.010986871.01092141.2E-4
7.51.1037265E-51.9561343E-52.9561148E-51.51120231.0E-54.7301706E-58.383165E-59.383081E-51.11927661.0E-55.757461E-40.00102017460.00108011331.05875356.0E-50.0057425670.0101986310.0103174081.01164631.2E-4
7.61.0720915E-51.9003148E-52.9002957E-51.52621871.0E-54.5945973E-58.143953E-59.143871E-51.12278041.0E-55.592486E-49.910774E-40.00105101791.06048016.0E-50.0055784330.0099103010.0100291121.01198861.2E-4
7.79.276279E-61.6448577E-52.6448412E-51.60794531.0E-53.9754876E-57.0492E-58.04913E-51.14185011.0E-54.839081E-48.579039E-49.178524E-41.06987796.0E-50.00482855740.0085894260.0087083961.01385071.2E-4
7.85.8346777E-61.1160578E-52.1160466E-51.8960011.0E-52.5005522E-54.783017E-55.782969E-51.2090631.0E-53.043997E-45.8217684E-46.421419E-41.10300156.0E-50.00303983080.00584963570.0059689341.02039411.2E-4
7.94.690204E-68.513636E-61.851355E-52.17457631.0E-52.0100719E-53.64865E-54.6486137E-51.2740641.0E-52.4469878E-44.4413272E-44.941105E-41.11252895.0E-50.0024442950.0044730710.0045825791.02448171.1E-4
8.02.9570454E-64.8496286E-64.8496286E-61.00.01.267299E-52.0783957E-52.0783957E-51.00.01.5428272E-42.530153E-42.530153E-41.00.00.00154175660.00255097980.00257092881.00782012.0E-5
8.11.6376824E-62.1982057E-62.1982057E-61.00.07.01862E-69.420847E-69.420847E-61.00.08.544835E-51.146928E-41.146928E-41.00.08.54155E-40.00116133060.00116133061.00.0
8.26.9631557E-74.5391383E-74.5391383E-71.00.02.984206E-61.9453435E-61.9453435E-61.00.03.63321E-52.36843E-52.36843E-51.00.03.6326164E-42.4532314E-42.4532314E-41.00.0
8.31.7876137E-78.3658875E-88.3658875E-81.00.07.661199E-73.58538E-73.58538E-71.00.09.32747E-64.3651917E-64.3651917E-61.00.09.3270784E-54.5847937E-54.5847937E-51.00.0

San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.986481E-40.0012277010.00124767631.01627062.0E-50.00256311240.0052460980.00528588841.00758474.0E-50.0307628460.0612118130.0612775271.00107367.0E-50.268354770.425967160.426036031.00016181.2E-4
6.15.015945E-40.00102188590.00104186541.01955162.0E-50.002147920.00436831360.0044081391.00911694.0E-50.0258393510.0512540560.0513204671.00129587.0E-50.230327760.37288750.37295021.00016821.0E-4
6.24.073338E-48.1082666E-48.3081046E-41.02464622.0E-50.00174454840.0034675980.00350745931.01149544.0E-50.0210340580.0409388580.0410059951.00163987.0E-50.191507820.313067260.313129071.00019759.0E-5
6.33.464099E-46.740175E-46.94004E-41.02965282.0E-50.00148376920.00288342570.00292331051.01383234.0E-50.0179158730.0341953230.034253271.00169476.0E-50.165383590.271352440.271410731.00021488.0E-5
6.42.935057E-45.545179E-45.745068E-41.03604732.0E-50.00125727510.0023729980.00241290311.01681634.0E-50.0152002480.0282702930.0283285961.00206236.0E-50.142015770.233023120.233084481.00026338.0E-5
6.52.3409708E-44.2102532E-44.4101692E-41.04748312.0E-50.00100288750.00180243620.00184236411.02215224.0E-50.0121419650.0215932950.0216521.00271876.0E-50.114995730.186863650.18692871.00034818.0E-5
6.61.5842178E-42.5080625E-42.7080122E-41.07972292.0E-56.7877385E-40.00107443250.00111438951.0371894.0E-50.00823280.0130014330.0130606531.00455496.0E-50.079343960.123189650.123242261.0004276.0E-5
6.71.5616413E-42.4617155E-42.661666E-41.08122422.0E-56.691031E-40.00105458870.00109454651.03788954.0E-50.00811594350.0127632960.012822531.00464096.0E-50.07825860.1212168560.121269581.0004356.0E-5
6.81.5538467E-42.4440986E-42.6440498E-41.08180982.0E-56.6576427E-40.00104704530.00108700351.03816274.0E-50.0080755960.0126726170.0127318571.00467476.0E-50.077883580.120447680.120500451.00043816.0E-5
6.91.5153569E-42.3550174E-42.5549703E-41.0849052.0E-56.49277E-40.00100890470.00104886431.03960694.0E-50.0078763330.0122147540.0122740211.0048526.0E-50.076029520.11651770.116570711.00045496.0E-5
7.01.4588932E-42.2407302E-42.4406855E-41.08923662.0E-56.250901E-49.599615E-49.999231E-41.04162844.0E-50.00758394740.0116253970.0116846991.00510116.0E-50.0733028950.11136340.111416721.00047876.0E-5
7.11.1565079E-41.6291256E-41.8290931E-41.12274532.0E-54.955521E-46.980107E-47.379828E-41.05726584.0E-50.0060166690.0084653680.008524861.00702776.0E-50.0585635380.0837070.0837619751.00065686.0E-5
7.21.0393792E-41.4624851E-41.6624559E-41.13673352.0E-54.4537216E-46.2662957E-46.666045E-41.06379354.0E-50.0054089330.0076026970.0076622411.00783196.0E-50.0527915950.07565560.0757110641.0007336.0E-5
7.39.332884E-51.2788622E-41.4788366E-41.1563692.0E-53.999194E-45.479693E-45.879474E-41.07295684.0E-50.00485815340.0066512530.0067108541.00896086.0E-50.0475331020.066514290.06657031.00084216.0E-5
7.48.670252E-51.1709979E-41.3709745E-41.17077452.0E-53.715293E-45.0176034E-45.417403E-41.07967944.0E-50.0045139910.00609194160.0061515761.00978916.0E-50.0442339370.06117870.061235031.00092086.0E-5
7.57.3036405E-59.011361E-51.101118E-41.2219222.0E-53.129756E-43.861441E-44.2612865E-41.10354834.0E-50.00380382170.00469119150.00474095671.01060835.0E-50.037393670.0479023680.047949971.00099385.0E-5
7.66.3935775E-58.285012E-51.0284846E-41.24137972.0E-52.7398168E-43.5502372E-43.9500953E-41.11262864.0E-50.00333062540.00431386570.004363651.01154055.0E-50.0328114740.0440129270.0440607261.0010865.0E-5
7.75.5050095E-56.6658926E-57.665826E-51.15000741.0E-52.3590765E-42.8564985E-43.0564412E-41.06999582.0E-50.00286839270.00347224480.00350214081.00860993.0E-50.02831650.035815210.0358441361.00080763.0E-5
7.85.027131E-56.166573E-57.1665105E-51.16215471.0E-52.1543067E-42.6425492E-42.8424963E-41.07566452.0E-50.00261971350.00321256040.0032424641.00930833.0E-50.0258904530.033144270.0331732741.00087513.0E-5
7.93.7271806E-55.0254795E-56.0254293E-51.1989761.0E-51.5972654E-42.1535992E-42.3535562E-41.09284782.0E-50.00194293590.00261885630.0026388041.00761692.0E-50.0192603620.0270813930.027100851.00071852.0E-5
8.02.7310243E-53.1447296E-54.144698E-51.31798231.0E-51.17038646E-41.3476716E-41.5476446E-41.14838412.0E-50.00142401410.00163955610.00165952331.01217842.0E-50.0141492350.0172232990.0172429531.00114122.0E-5
8.11.7940547E-51.7411876E-52.7411703E-51.57431071.0E-57.688579E-57.46202E-58.461945E-51.1340021.0E-59.3568244E-49.0812275E-49.181137E-41.01100171.0E-50.0093175250.0098049590.0098148611.001011.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.478665E-65.478665E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3479783E-52.3479783E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8582895E-42.8582895E-41.00.00.00450013950.00325084690.00325084691.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6647797E-77.6647797E-71.00.08.498917E-63.2849016E-63.2849016E-61.00.01.034694E-43.999296E-53.999296E-51.00.00.00103421244.7228087E-44.7228087E-41.00.0

Owens Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.83821E-53.621193E-62.362112E-56.52302172.0E-52.0733538E-41.5519312E-56.5518536E-54.22174265.0E-50.0025213861.8893222E-42.489209E-41.31751426.0E-50.0249296910.0019298220.00203960971.05689011.1E-4
6.14.83821E-53.621193E-62.362112E-56.52302172.0E-52.0733538E-41.5519312E-56.5518536E-54.22174265.0E-50.0025213861.8893222E-42.489209E-41.31751426.0E-50.0249296910.0019298220.00203960971.05689011.1E-4
6.24.83821E-53.621193E-62.362112E-56.52302172.0E-52.0733538E-41.5519312E-56.5518536E-54.22174265.0E-50.0025213861.8893222E-42.489209E-41.31751426.0E-50.0249296910.0019298220.00203960971.05689011.1E-4
6.33.953008E-53.153231E-62.3153169E-57.34268052.0E-51.6940363E-41.3513782E-56.351311E-54.6998775.0E-50.0020605381.645186E-42.2450872E-41.36464046.0E-50.0204153640.00166226830.00177208541.06606461.1E-4
6.43.953008E-53.153231E-62.3153169E-57.34268052.0E-51.6940363E-41.3513782E-56.351311E-54.6998775.0E-50.0020605381.645186E-42.2450872E-41.36464046.0E-50.0204153640.00166226830.00177208541.06606461.1E-4
6.53.457342E-52.970874E-62.2970815E-57.73200562.0E-51.4816338E-41.2732259E-56.273162E-54.9269835.0E-50.00180239651.5500492E-42.1499563E-41.38702456.0E-50.0178784770.00155641740.00166624621.07056511.1E-4
6.63.1127765E-52.8738657E-62.2873808E-57.9592472.0E-51.3339789E-41.2316514E-56.23159E-55.05954035.0E-50.00162290921.4994392E-42.0993492E-41.40008966.0E-50.0161110810.0015014460.00161128081.07315271.1E-4
6.72.806885E-52.8102859E-62.2810229E-58.11669352.0E-51.2028952E-41.204403E-56.204343E-55.15138445.0E-50.0014635411.4662689E-42.0661809E-41.40914196.0E-50.0145393970.00146571740.00157555621.07493851.1E-4
6.82.524524E-52.2352563E-62.2235212E-59.94752.0E-51.0818939E-49.579636E-65.9579157E-56.2193555.0E-50.00131640991.1662613E-41.7661913E-41.51440446.0E-50.013086390.00116593190.00127580371.09423521.1E-4
6.92.2704568E-51.6080646E-62.1608033E-513.4372912.0E-59.730166E-56.8916875E-65.6891342E-58.2550675.0E-50.00118400398.390308E-51.4389805E-41.71505086.0E-50.0117771538.3894585E-49.4885356E-41.1310071.1E-4
7.02.0871712E-51.5394511E-62.1539421E-513.9916242.0E-58.944713E-56.597631E-65.6597302E-58.5784275.0E-50.00108847468.032321E-51.403184E-41.7469226.0E-50.0108315868.0313E-49.1304164E-41.13685421.1E-4
7.11.944928E-51.3863316E-62.1386304E-515.4265422.0E-58.335139E-55.941408E-65.594111E-59.4154635.0E-50.00101433087.233425E-51.3232991E-41.82942266.0E-50.0100971337.232817E-48.3320215E-41.15197461.1E-4
7.21.7876306E-51.2488347E-62.124881E-517.014912.0E-57.6610486E-55.352138E-65.535187E-510.3420115.0E-59.3233347E-46.516034E-51.2515642E-41.92074556.0E-50.0092843166.5157266E-47.6150097E-41.16871231.1E-4
7.31.2618672E-51.1114453E-62.1111424E-518.9945682.0E-55.40789E-54.763328E-65.476309E-511.4968135.0E-56.582117E-45.7991983E-51.1798851E-42.03456576.0E-50.00656265535.7992374E-46.8985997E-41.18957011.1E-4
7.47.4874442E-68.548014E-72.0854784E-524.3972282.0E-53.208865E-53.6634294E-65.3663247E-514.6483635.0E-53.906093E-44.4601344E-51.0459867E-42.3451916.0E-50.0038992344.4603736E-45.559883E-41.24650611.1E-4
7.52.4734156E-66.0683584E-72.0606823E-533.9578252.0E-51.060031E-52.6007224E-64.260062E-516.3803024.0E-51.2905113E-43.1663338E-58.1661754E-52.57906345.0E-50.00128976213.165886E-44.1655693E-41.31576741.0E-4
7.61.1328841E-63.1963748E-73.1963748E-71.00.04.8552088E-61.3698742E-61.1369861E-58.2999311.0E-55.9110564E-51.6678092E-53.667776E-52.1991582.0E-55.9094845E-41.667686E-41.9676359E-41.179863.0E-5
7.74.8613185E-78.9632934E-88.9632934E-81.00.02.0834207E-63.8414112E-71.0384138E-527.0320911.0E-52.536535E-54.6769087E-61.4676862E-53.13815451.0E-52.5362454E-44.676817E-55.67677E-51.21381071.0E-5

Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.169034E-54.7138332E-54.7138332E-51.00.01.7866064E-42.0201063E-42.1200861E-41.04949241.0E-50.00217302330.00245753140.00247748241.00811832.0E-50.0215189680.0243854620.0244635121.00320078.0E-5
6.11.73813E-51.685448E-51.685448E-51.00.07.4489166E-57.2231545E-57.2231545E-51.00.09.065282E-48.7907485E-48.7907485E-41.00.00.0090283910.0087572580.0087969081.00452774.0E-5
6.21.4622182E-51.3673473E-51.3673473E-51.00.06.2664985E-55.8599304E-55.8599304E-51.00.07.6267915E-47.1321684E-47.1321684E-41.00.00.0076006690.00710986230.00713964921.00418953.0E-5
6.31.3552434E-51.24823655E-51.24823655E-51.00.05.8080568E-55.3494776E-55.3494776E-51.00.07.069015E-46.511074E-46.511074E-41.00.00.007046570.0064925010.00652230621.00459073.0E-5
6.41.30977305E-51.1979314E-51.1979314E-51.00.05.613192E-55.1338924E-55.1338924E-51.00.06.831918E-46.2487513E-46.2487513E-41.00.00.0068109530.00623166650.00626147961.00478413.0E-5
6.51.225205E-51.1048948E-51.1048948E-51.00.05.2507727E-54.735179E-54.735179E-51.00.06.3909404E-45.763583E-45.763583E-41.00.00.0063725920.0057490850.00577891251.00518823.0E-5
6.61.1352241E-51.0063668E-51.0063668E-51.00.04.8651553E-54.3129305E-54.3129305E-51.00.05.921717E-45.249749E-45.249749E-41.00.00.00590596160.0052377340.00525762931.00379852.0E-5
6.71.0864116E-59.517152E-69.517152E-61.00.04.6559664E-54.0787167E-54.0787167E-51.00.05.667165E-44.964726E-44.964726E-41.00.00.0056527340.0049540090.004973911.00401712.0E-5
6.81.0666365E-59.2999E-69.2999E-61.00.04.571219E-53.9856117E-53.9856117E-51.00.05.564038E-44.851422E-44.851422E-41.00.00.0055501270.0048412040.00485115541.00205561.0E-5
6.91.0038665E-58.592155E-68.592155E-61.00.04.302214E-53.682301E-53.682301E-51.00.05.236687E-44.4822975E-44.4822975E-41.00.00.0052243640.00447360850.00448356341.00222531.0E-5
7.09.5379955E-68.025172E-68.025172E-61.00.04.0876483E-53.4393153E-53.4393153E-51.00.04.975576E-44.1865787E-44.1865787E-41.00.00.004964450.00417903160.00418898981.00238291.0E-5
7.19.207389E-67.652467E-67.652467E-61.00.03.945964E-53.2795884E-53.2795884E-51.00.04.803152E-43.992184E-43.992184E-41.00.00.0047927840.00398534960.00399530961.00249921.0E-5
7.27.638091E-65.931174E-65.931174E-61.00.03.2734264E-52.541907E-52.541907E-51.00.03.984668E-43.0943356E-43.0943356E-41.00.00.00397753060.00309022450.00310019361.0032261.0E-5
7.37.2500147E-65.596204E-65.596204E-61.00.03.1071122E-52.3983514E-52.3983514E-51.00.03.7822526E-42.9196046E-42.9196046E-41.00.00.00377582150.0029159650.0029259361.00341941.0E-5
7.46.3899715E-64.9185496E-64.9185496E-61.00.02.7385306E-52.107933E-52.107933E-51.00.03.3336508E-42.566108E-42.566108E-41.00.00.00332865420.00256333030.00257330461.00389121.0E-5
7.55.379025E-64.0839013E-64.0839013E-61.00.02.305276E-51.7502318E-51.7502318E-51.00.02.806312E-42.1306999E-42.1306999E-41.00.00.00280277080.00212866840.0021386471.00468781.0E-5
7.64.1270696E-63.088378E-63.088378E-61.00.01.768732E-51.3235838E-51.3235838E-51.00.02.1532185E-41.6113449E-41.6113449E-41.00.00.00215113330.00161018470.00162016861.00620041.0E-5
7.72.5406805E-61.8282275E-61.8282275E-61.00.01.0888585E-57.835237E-67.835237E-61.00.01.3256045E-49.53899E-59.53899E-51.00.00.00132481429.5349574E-49.6348615E-41.01047781.0E-5
7.84.8608285E-73.5099023E-73.5099023E-71.00.02.0832106E-61.504243E-61.504243E-61.00.02.5362791E-51.8314006E-51.8314006E-51.00.02.5359896E-41.8312508E-41.8312508E-41.00.0
7.92.0472514E-81.2688983E-81.2688983E-81.00.08.7739345E-85.4381356E-85.4381356E-81.00.01.068226E-66.620928E-76.620928E-71.00.01.0682209E-56.6209095E-66.6209095E-61.00.0
8.04.443582E-92.032151E-92.032151E-91.00.01.9043922E-88.709217E-98.709217E-91.00.02.3185973E-71.0603472E-71.0603472E-71.00.02.3185949E-61.0603468E-61.0603468E-61.00.0

Cleghorn Lake

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5467183E-51.6794396E-51.6794396E-51.00.06.6286244E-57.1974304E-58.197359E-51.13892851.0E-58.067362E-48.7598973E-49.3593716E-41.0684346.0E-50.0080381370.0087307950.00883983451.01248911.1E-4
6.11.5467183E-51.6794396E-51.6794396E-51.00.06.6286244E-57.1974304E-58.197359E-51.13892851.0E-58.067362E-48.7598973E-49.3593716E-41.0684346.0E-50.0080381370.0087307950.00883983451.01248911.1E-4
6.21.2624631E-51.3681697E-51.3681697E-51.00.05.410444E-55.86348E-56.863422E-51.17053721.0E-56.585225E-47.1369356E-47.7365077E-41.08400966.0E-50.00656574450.0071188110.0072280281.0153421.1E-4
6.31.2624631E-51.3681697E-51.3681697E-51.00.05.410444E-55.86348E-56.863422E-51.17053721.0E-56.585225E-47.1369356E-47.7365077E-41.08400966.0E-50.00656574450.0071188110.0072280281.0153421.1E-4
6.49.417684E-61.0170226E-51.0170226E-51.00.04.036088E-54.3586184E-55.358575E-51.22942051.0E-54.912829E-45.305737E-45.705525E-41.075354.0E-50.0049019820.00529710530.00538662871.01690049.0E-5
6.59.368219E-61.0117652E-51.0117652E-51.00.04.014889E-54.3360877E-55.3360443E-51.23061261.0E-54.8870314E-45.278319E-45.678108E-41.07574164.0E-50.0048762980.00526981750.00535934331.01698849.0E-5
6.67.803798E-68.441923E-68.441923E-61.00.03.3444423E-53.6179394E-54.617903E-51.27639041.0E-54.0710976E-44.40435E-44.704218E-41.06808453.0E-50.00406364720.0043995380.0044791861.01810378.0E-5
6.72.3108669E-62.4438523E-62.4438523E-61.00.09.903678E-61.0473612E-51.0473612E-51.00.01.205706E-41.2750895E-41.2750895E-41.00.00.0012050520.00127437650.00129435111.0156742.0E-5
6.82.0882828E-62.2062986E-62.2062986E-61.00.08.949753E-69.455533E-69.455533E-61.00.01.08957785E-41.15115196E-41.15115196E-41.00.00.00108904380.00115057260.00115057261.00.0
6.91.876935E-61.9810657E-61.9810657E-61.00.08.043982E-68.490254E-68.490254E-61.00.09.7931086E-51.033641E-41.033641E-41.00.09.788794E-40.00103317620.00103317621.00.0
7.01.5357559E-61.6202926E-61.6202926E-61.00.06.5817944E-66.944093E-66.944093E-61.00.08.01304E-58.454118E-58.454118E-51.00.08.010151E-48.4510265E-48.4510265E-41.00.0
7.11.0905424E-61.1497702E-61.1497702E-61.00.04.6737446E-64.927578E-64.927578E-61.00.05.6901354E-55.999171E-55.999171E-51.00.05.6886784E-45.997649E-45.997649E-41.00.0
7.26.06668E-76.387322E-76.387322E-71.00.02.600003E-62.7374213E-62.7374213E-61.00.03.1654577E-53.3327666E-53.3327666E-51.00.03.1650066E-43.332335E-43.332335E-41.00.0

Red Mountain

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1810763E-54.7591075E-54.7591075E-51.00.01.7917668E-42.0394672E-42.1394469E-41.04902241.0E-50.00217929340.00248038840.00250033871.00804332.0E-50.0215804520.0245446490.0246226861.00317938.0E-5
6.14.1810763E-54.7591075E-54.7591075E-51.00.01.7917668E-42.0394672E-42.1394469E-41.04902241.0E-50.00217929340.00248038840.00250033871.00804332.0E-50.0215804520.0245446490.0246226861.00317938.0E-5
6.24.1810763E-54.7591075E-54.7591075E-51.00.01.7917668E-42.0394672E-42.1394469E-41.04902241.0E-50.00217929340.00248038840.00250033871.00804332.0E-50.0215804520.0245446490.0246226861.00317938.0E-5
6.34.1810763E-54.7591075E-54.7591075E-51.00.01.7917668E-42.0394672E-42.1394469E-41.04902241.0E-50.00217929340.00248038840.00250033871.00804332.0E-50.0215804520.0245446490.0246226861.00317938.0E-5
6.44.1810763E-54.7591075E-54.7591075E-51.00.01.7917668E-42.0394672E-42.1394469E-41.04902241.0E-50.00217929340.00248038840.00250033871.00804332.0E-50.0215804520.0245446490.0246226861.00317938.0E-5
6.53.154503E-53.5360503E-53.5360503E-51.00.01.3518598E-41.5153673E-41.6153522E-41.06598061.0E-50.00164464670.00184349060.00185347221.00541451.0E-50.016325280.0182916280.018350531.00322026.0E-5
6.63.1535834E-53.5349887E-53.5349887E-51.00.01.3514658E-41.5149123E-41.6148972E-41.06600051.0E-50.00164416760.00184293770.00185291921.00541621.0E-50.016320560.0182861890.0183450911.00322126.0E-5
6.72.8267326E-53.1470005E-53.1470005E-51.00.01.2114006E-41.3486497E-41.4486362E-41.07413831.0E-50.00147388240.00164082930.00165081291.00608441.0E-50.0146414520.0162959060.0163549281.00362196.0E-5
6.82.8212884E-53.140789E-53.140789E-51.00.01.20906756E-41.3459878E-41.4459743E-41.07428491.0E-50.00147104570.00163759340.0016475771.00609651.0E-50.0146134590.0162640210.0163230451.00362916.0E-5
6.92.4227871E-52.6707532E-52.6707532E-51.00.01.03829596E-41.14456256E-41.2445511E-41.08735971.0E-50.00126339230.001392690.00140267611.00717031.0E-50.0125623360.0138473110.013906481.00427296.0E-5
7.02.348524E-52.5836296E-52.5836296E-51.00.01.0064714E-41.1072271E-41.20721605E-41.09030571.0E-50.00122469010.0013472910.00135727751.00741231.0E-50.0121796270.0133988640.0134580611.0044186.0E-5
7.12.2311642E-52.4463332E-52.4463332E-51.00.09.561782E-51.04839055E-41.1483801E-41.09537431.0E-50.00116352520.00127574290.00128573021.00782861.0E-50.011574520.012691710.0127509491.00466756.0E-5
7.21.6533986E-51.767069E-51.767069E-51.00.07.085802E-57.572969E-58.5728934E-51.13203861.0E-58.623549E-49.2168245E-49.316732E-41.01083971.0E-50.0085901610.0091848760.0092344171.00539375.0E-5
7.31.4703092E-51.555982E-51.555982E-51.00.06.301173E-56.668359E-57.6682925E-51.14995191.0E-57.668978E-48.116319E-48.2162383E-41.01231091.0E-50.00764256580.0080927520.0081423471.00612835.0E-5
7.46.1331984E-65.5289447E-65.5289447E-61.00.02.6284872E-52.3695266E-53.369503E-51.42201521.0E-53.199713E-42.884522E-42.984493E-41.03465781.0E-50.00319510980.00288083240.00293068821.01730615.0E-5
7.55.954766E-65.3385725E-65.3385725E-61.00.02.5520176E-52.2879398E-53.287917E-51.43706441.0E-53.1066386E-42.785216E-42.8851882E-41.03589391.0E-50.0031022990.00278177930.00283164021.01792415.0E-5
7.64.9726646E-64.315354E-64.315354E-61.00.02.1311245E-51.8494246E-51.8494246E-51.00.02.5943352E-42.2514451E-42.2514451E-41.00.00.00259130840.00224919870.00228910871.01774414.0E-5
7.73.3613894E-62.8527159E-62.8527159E-61.00.01.4405875E-51.222587E-51.222587E-51.00.01.7537741E-41.4884006E-41.4884006E-41.00.00.00175239080.001487430.00150740031.01342612.0E-5
7.81.1828961E-61.0123005E-61.0123005E-61.00.05.069545E-64.3384234E-64.3384234E-61.00.06.171996E-55.2819054E-55.2819054E-51.00.06.170282E-45.2806793E-45.2806793E-41.00.0
7.92.2967266E-71.8619376E-71.8619376E-71.00.09.843111E-77.9797303E-77.9797303E-71.00.01.19839215E-59.7152815E-69.7152815E-61.00.01.1983275E-49.7148855E-59.7148855E-51.00.0

Calico-Hidalgo

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0906612E-55.0705254E-56.0704744E-51.19720831.0E-51.7530227E-42.172924E-42.3728806E-41.09202182.0E-50.00213221580.00264272440.00270256591.02264386.0E-50.021118730.0261532680.0262506531.00372361.0E-4
6.14.0906612E-55.0705254E-56.0704744E-51.19720831.0E-51.7530227E-42.172924E-42.3728806E-41.09202182.0E-50.00213221580.00264272440.00270256591.02264386.0E-50.021118730.0261532680.0262506531.00372361.0E-4
6.24.0906612E-55.0705254E-56.0704744E-51.19720831.0E-51.7530227E-42.172924E-42.3728806E-41.09202182.0E-50.00213221580.00264272440.00270256591.02264386.0E-50.021118730.0261532680.0262506531.00372361.0E-4
6.32.4242801E-53.0091267E-54.0090967E-51.33231231.0E-51.0389358E-41.2895638E-41.4895381E-41.15507112.0E-50.00126417040.00156894680.00161886831.03181855.0E-50.012570030.0155823830.0156611351.0050548.0E-5
6.42.4242801E-53.0091267E-54.0090967E-51.33231231.0E-51.0389358E-41.2895638E-41.4895381E-41.15507112.0E-50.00126417040.00156894680.00161886831.03181855.0E-50.012570030.0155823830.0156611351.0050548.0E-5
6.52.0286952E-52.531624E-52.531624E-51.00.08.694118E-51.08493754E-41.18492666E-41.09216121.0E-50.00105799490.00132012820.00136007531.03026014.0E-50.0105297190.0131247960.0131938771.00526347.0E-5
6.62.0269223E-52.529719E-52.529719E-51.00.08.6865206E-51.0841212E-41.1841103E-41.09223061.0E-50.00105707070.00131913540.00135908261.03028294.0E-50.0105205650.0131149860.0131840681.00526747.0E-5
6.71.799852E-52.2541075E-52.2541075E-51.00.07.713423E-59.6601114E-51.0660015E-41.10350851.0E-59.3870464E-40.00117549860.00120546331.02549113.0E-50.0093474930.0116944190.0117537171.00507076.0E-5
6.81.7458793E-52.1842718E-52.1842718E-51.00.07.4821255E-59.360837E-51.0360743E-41.10681811.0E-59.10568E-40.00113910050.00116906631.02630663.0E-50.0090684590.0113342010.0113935221.00523386.0E-5
6.91.542884E-51.9026409E-51.9026409E-51.00.06.612192E-58.153928E-59.153846E-51.12263021.0E-58.04737E-49.923017E-40.00102227191.03020273.0E-50.0080182910.0098801070.0099395141.00601286.0E-5
7.01.468253E-51.8031209E-51.8031209E-51.00.06.292361E-57.7274395E-58.727362E-51.1293991.0E-57.658257E-49.404227E-49.7039447E-41.03187063.0E-50.00763191840.0093657970.0094252351.00634636.0E-5
7.11.3139281E-51.620149E-51.620149E-51.00.05.6309986E-56.9433176E-57.943248E-51.14401341.0E-56.853584E-48.450336E-48.750083E-41.03547163.0E-50.00683248560.0084195010.0084789961.00706646.0E-5
7.21.1127404E-51.3867119E-51.3867119E-51.00.04.7688E-55.9429218E-56.942862E-51.16825741.0E-55.8044674E-47.233214E-47.4330694E-41.02763022.0E-50.00578932980.0072107790.00726041851.00688415.0E-5
7.39.808154E-61.2176658E-51.2176658E-51.00.04.2034266E-55.2184692E-56.2184175E-51.1916171.0E-55.11647E-46.3517416E-46.5516145E-41.03146742.0E-50.00510470570.0063346630.00637440941.00627454.0E-5
7.47.942452E-69.792409E-69.792409E-61.00.03.4038632E-54.1966847E-55.1966428E-51.23827341.0E-54.1434157E-45.10836E-45.308258E-41.03913152.0E-50.00413569850.0050975590.0051373551.00780694.0E-5
7.54.7121216E-65.7729853E-65.7729853E-61.00.02.019465E-52.4741174E-53.4740926E-51.40417461.0E-52.4584212E-43.011898E-43.211838E-41.06638342.0E-50.00245570320.00300856840.00304844811.01325544.0E-5
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-51.3587343E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.3586794E-41.00.0

San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7374346E-52.4152421E-54.4151937E-51.82805432.0E-51.1731335E-41.0350628E-41.2350421E-41.1932052.0E-50.00142735420.0012594630.00130940011.03964955.0E-50.014182210.0129319430.0130306491.00763271.0E-4
6.12.7374346E-52.4152421E-54.4151937E-51.82805432.0E-51.1731335E-41.0350628E-41.2350421E-41.1932052.0E-50.00142735420.0012594630.00130940011.03964955.0E-50.014182210.0129319430.0130306491.00763271.0E-4
6.22.7374346E-52.4152421E-54.4151937E-51.82805432.0E-51.1731335E-41.0350628E-41.2350421E-41.1932052.0E-50.00142735420.0012594630.00130940011.03964955.0E-50.014182210.0129319430.0130306491.00763271.0E-4
6.32.7374346E-52.4152421E-54.4151937E-51.82805432.0E-51.1731335E-41.0350628E-41.2350421E-41.1932052.0E-50.00142735420.0012594630.00130940011.03964955.0E-50.014182210.0129319430.0130306491.00763271.0E-4
6.42.7374346E-52.4152421E-54.4151937E-51.82805432.0E-51.1731335E-41.0350628E-41.2350421E-41.1932052.0E-50.00142735420.0012594630.00130940011.03964955.0E-50.014182210.0129319430.0130306491.00763271.0E-4
6.52.7282445E-52.4038494E-54.4038014E-51.83197882.0E-51.16919524E-41.03018065E-41.2301601E-41.19412062.0E-50.00142256570.0012535260.00130346321.03983755.0E-50.0141349340.0128732690.0129719811.0076681.0E-4
6.62.7282445E-52.4038494E-54.4038014E-51.83197882.0E-51.16919524E-41.03018065E-41.2301601E-41.19412062.0E-50.00142256570.0012535260.00130346321.03983755.0E-50.0141349340.0128732690.0129719811.0076681.0E-4
6.72.7216198E-52.3963614E-54.3963133E-51.83457862.0E-51.1663563E-41.0269717E-41.2269511E-41.19472732.0E-50.00141911370.00124962360.00129956111.0399625.0E-50.0141008550.0128346770.0129333931.00769141.0E-4
6.82.7078617E-52.3880828E-54.388035E-51.8374722.0E-51.1604605E-41.02342405E-41.2234035E-41.19540242.0E-50.0014119450.00124530910.00129524691.04010075.0E-50.0140300750.0127918190.012890541.00771751.0E-4
6.92.6982952E-52.3800336E-54.379986E-51.84030432.0E-51.15636096E-41.01997466E-41.2199543E-41.19606332.0E-50.00140696020.00124111430.00129105231.04023645.0E-50.0139808560.0127501060.0128488311.00774311.0E-4
7.02.6449972E-52.3377343E-54.3376876E-51.85550922.0E-51.1335209E-41.00184785E-41.20182776E-41.19961112.0E-50.0013791880.00121906980.00126900881.04096485.0E-50.01370659750.0125314620.0126302091.007881.0E-4
7.12.6257849E-52.3203378E-54.3202912E-51.86192352.0E-51.1252879E-49.943927E-51.1943728E-41.20110772.0E-50.00136917690.00121000330.00125994281.04127225.0E-50.0136077170.0124413830.0125401381.00793771.0E-4
7.22.5270041E-52.2398073E-54.2397623E-51.89291392.0E-51.0829568E-49.598822E-51.159863E-41.20833892.0E-50.00131770240.00116803240.0012179741.0427575.0E-50.0130991620.0120225240.0121213231.00821771.0E-4
7.32.339701E-52.1129852E-54.1129428E-51.94650822.0E-51.0026905E-49.0553374E-51.1055157E-41.22084412.0E-50.0012200920.00110193190.00115187681.04532485.0E-50.0121341490.0113614120.0114602751.00870171.0E-4
7.42.296333E-52.0860187E-54.085977E-51.95874422.0E-59.841056E-58.939775E-51.0939596E-41.22369932.0E-50.00119748990.00108787620.00113782181.04591115.0E-50.0119105750.0112205280.0113194061.00881221.0E-4
7.52.2188895E-52.0383068E-54.038266E-51.98118652.0E-59.50918E-58.735309E-51.0735134E-41.22893582.0E-50.00115712770.0010630070.00111295391.04698635.0E-50.0115112090.0109701260.0110690291.00901571.0E-4
7.62.0013189E-51.8969224E-53.8968843E-52.05431942.0E-58.5767984E-58.129415E-51.0129252E-41.24600022.0E-50.0010437259.893086E-40.00103925911.05049045.0E-50.0103883650.0102280570.0103270351.0096771.0E-4
7.71.7230794E-51.6750411E-53.6750076E-52.19398052.0E-57.384417E-57.178551E-59.178407E-51.27858782.0E-58.986819E-48.7363896E-49.235953E-41.05718185.0E-50.0089505620.0090665270.009165621.01092961.0E-4
7.81.4478809E-51.4997487E-53.4997185E-52.33353692.0E-56.205057E-56.4273365E-58.427208E-51.31115092.0E-57.552038E-47.8224787E-48.322088E-41.06386845.0E-50.00752642420.0081448630.0082440491.01217771.0E-4
7.91.1114467E-51.1650795E-53.165056E-52.71660112.0E-54.7632562E-54.9931026E-56.993003E-51.40053262.0E-55.797721E-46.0774124E-46.577109E-41.08222195.0E-50.00578261870.006383460.00648282141.01556551.0E-4
8.09.327402E-69.904316E-62.9904118E-53.01930172.0E-53.9973966E-54.2446383E-56.2445535E-51.47116272.0E-54.8657437E-45.1666267E-45.6663685E-41.0967255.0E-50.00485510330.0054527860.0055522411.01823931.0E-4
8.17.0235833E-66.831197E-61.6831129E-52.46386221.0E-53.0100724E-52.9276232E-53.927594E-51.3415641.0E-53.664147E-43.5638033E-43.6637677E-41.028051.0E-50.0036581110.00378956830.00382941681.01051534.0E-5
8.22.0358202E-68.9996047E-78.9996047E-71.00.08.724915E-63.856968E-63.856968E-61.00.01.06220665E-44.6957593E-54.6957593E-51.00.00.0010616995.3285924E-45.3285924E-41.00.0
8.32.0051264E-76.621079E-86.621079E-81.00.08.5933965E-72.837605E-72.837605E-71.00.01.046241E-53.454779E-63.454779E-61.00.01.0461917E-44.016238E-54.016238E-51.00.0

Pleito

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6763008E-52.4771325E-52.4771325E-51.00.07.183948E-51.0615891E-41.1615785E-41.09418851.0E-58.742947E-40.00129179040.00132175171.02319363.0E-50.008708630.012957840.0130269331.00533217.0E-5
6.11.6763008E-52.4771325E-52.4771325E-51.00.07.183948E-51.0615891E-41.1615785E-41.09418851.0E-58.742947E-40.00129179040.00132175171.02319363.0E-50.008708630.012957840.0130269331.00533217.0E-5
6.21.6763008E-52.4771325E-52.4771325E-51.00.07.183948E-51.0615891E-41.1615785E-41.09418851.0E-58.742947E-40.00129179040.00132175171.02319363.0E-50.008708630.012957840.0130269331.00533217.0E-5
6.31.6763008E-52.4771325E-52.4771325E-51.00.07.183948E-51.0615891E-41.1615785E-41.09418851.0E-58.742947E-40.00129179040.00132175171.02319363.0E-50.008708630.012957840.0130269331.00533217.0E-5
6.41.6763008E-52.4771325E-52.4771325E-51.00.07.183948E-51.0615891E-41.1615785E-41.09418851.0E-58.742947E-40.00129179040.00132175171.02319363.0E-50.008708630.012957840.0130269331.00533217.0E-5
6.51.6763008E-52.4771325E-52.4771325E-51.00.07.183948E-51.0615891E-41.1615785E-41.09418851.0E-58.742947E-40.00129179040.00132175171.02319363.0E-50.008708630.012957840.0130269331.00533217.0E-5
6.69.910213E-61.7222008E-51.7222008E-51.00.04.247165E-57.380654E-58.3805804E-51.13547931.0E-55.169696E-48.982279E-49.2820096E-41.03336913.0E-50.00515768630.0090546150.0091140721.00656646.0E-5
6.79.910213E-61.7222008E-51.7222008E-51.00.04.247165E-57.380654E-58.3805804E-51.13547931.0E-55.169696E-48.982279E-49.2820096E-41.03336913.0E-50.00515768630.0090546150.0091140721.00656646.0E-5
6.88.300162E-61.5481599E-51.5481599E-51.00.03.557164E-56.634803E-57.6347365E-51.15071031.0E-54.3299864E-48.074893E-48.374651E-41.03712223.0E-50.0043215590.0081540460.0082135561.00729846.0E-5
6.98.183114E-61.535281E-51.535281E-51.00.03.5070017E-56.5796106E-57.579545E-51.15197471.0E-54.2689382E-48.007746E-48.3075056E-41.03743373.0E-50.00426074680.0080873890.00814690351.00735896.0E-5
7.07.1748823E-61.41397095E-51.41397095E-51.00.03.0749135E-56.059735E-57.059675E-51.16501371.0E-53.743064E-47.3752354E-47.675014E-41.04064673.0E-50.00373676540.00745884930.00750847631.00665345.0E-5
7.17.1671807E-61.4130079E-51.4130079E-51.00.03.0716128E-56.0556078E-57.055547E-51.16512621.0E-53.7390468E-47.370214E-47.6699926E-41.04067433.0E-50.00373276180.00745386160.0075034891.0066585.0E-5
7.27.0649667E-61.3977344E-51.3977344E-51.00.03.0278077E-55.990153E-56.990093E-51.16693071.0E-53.6857324E-47.290576E-47.590357E-41.0411193.0E-50.00367962550.0073746030.0074242341.00673015.0E-5
7.37.02082E-61.3920784E-51.3920784E-51.00.03.008888E-55.965914E-56.965855E-51.16760891.0E-53.6627054E-47.261085E-47.560867E-41.04128613.0E-50.00365667440.0073450960.0073947291.00675735.0E-5
7.46.987146E-61.3880338E-51.3880338E-51.00.02.9944567E-55.948581E-56.948521E-51.16809741.0E-53.6451413E-47.239996E-47.5397786E-41.04140653.0E-50.00363916790.00732402830.00737366171.00677685.0E-5
7.56.9494554E-61.3837237E-51.3837237E-51.00.02.9783041E-55.93011E-56.9300506E-51.1686211.0E-53.625482E-47.2175224E-47.517306E-41.04153553.0E-50.00361957260.00730165330.0073512881.00679785.0E-5
7.66.92694E-61.3796339E-51.3796339E-51.00.02.9686547E-55.9125832E-56.912524E-51.16912081.0E-53.6137376E-47.1961974E-47.4959814E-41.04165863.0E-50.00360786660.00728040.0073300361.00681775.0E-5
7.76.395867E-61.2675077E-51.2675077E-51.00.02.741057E-55.4320633E-56.432009E-51.18408221.0E-53.336726E-46.6115335E-46.911335E-41.04534533.0E-50.00333172010.00669889430.00674855941.00741395.0E-5
7.85.8664327E-61.15421135E-51.15421135E-51.00.02.5141611E-54.9465263E-55.9464768E-51.2021521.0E-53.060561E-46.020734E-46.3205534E-41.04979783.0E-50.00305634950.00610400270.0061536971.00814145.0E-5
7.93.7167474E-67.117878E-67.117878E-61.00.01.592882E-53.0504834E-54.050453E-51.3278071.0E-51.9391612E-43.713332E-44.013221E-41.080763.0E-50.00193746990.00376947570.00381928731.01321455.0E-5
8.01.0903841E-61.2886559E-61.2886559E-61.00.04.6730665E-65.5227993E-61.5522744E-52.81066581.0E-55.68931E-56.723802E-57.723735E-51.14871541.0E-55.6878536E-46.9462E-47.046131E-41.01438641.0E-5
8.12.6894583E-71.106846E-71.106846E-71.00.01.1526245E-64.7436248E-74.7436248E-71.00.01.4033113E-55.775348E-65.775348E-61.00.01.4032227E-46.461821E-56.461821E-51.00.0
8.25.2967013E-92.4599007E-92.4599007E-91.00.02.2700148E-81.0542432E-81.0542432E-81.00.02.7637427E-71.283541E-71.283541E-71.00.02.7637393E-61.4601666E-61.4601666E-61.00.0

Dry Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.222801E-66.439411E-66.439411E-61.00.02.6668875E-52.7597274E-52.7597274E-51.00.03.2464517E-43.359609E-43.8594412E-41.14877695.0E-50.00324171320.00335609240.00344579041.0267279.0E-5
6.16.222801E-66.439411E-66.439411E-61.00.02.6668875E-52.7597274E-52.7597274E-51.00.03.2464517E-43.359609E-43.8594412E-41.14877695.0E-50.00324171320.00335609240.00344579041.0267279.0E-5
6.26.222801E-66.439411E-66.439411E-61.00.02.6668875E-52.7597274E-52.7597274E-51.00.03.2464517E-43.359609E-43.8594412E-41.14877695.0E-50.00324171320.00335609240.00344579041.0267279.0E-5
6.36.222801E-66.439411E-66.439411E-61.00.02.6668875E-52.7597274E-52.7597274E-51.00.03.2464517E-43.359609E-43.8594412E-41.14877695.0E-50.00324171320.00335609240.00344579041.0267279.0E-5
6.46.222801E-66.439411E-66.439411E-61.00.02.6668875E-52.7597274E-52.7597274E-51.00.03.2464517E-43.359609E-43.8594412E-41.14877695.0E-50.00324171320.00335609240.00344579041.0267279.0E-5
6.52.8528623E-62.952182E-62.952182E-61.00.01.22264955E-51.2652196E-51.2652196E-51.00.01.4884741E-41.5403831E-41.6403677E-41.06490891.0E-50.00148747740.00154016880.00158010711.02593124.0E-5
6.62.8528623E-62.952182E-62.952182E-61.00.01.22264955E-51.2652196E-51.2652196E-51.00.01.4884741E-41.5403831E-41.6403677E-41.06490891.0E-50.00148747740.00154016880.00158010711.02593124.0E-5
6.72.541E-62.62937E-62.62937E-61.00.01.0889954E-51.12687285E-51.12687285E-51.00.01.3257713E-41.3719677E-41.471954E-41.0728781.0E-50.00132498060.00137196770.00140192651.02183643.0E-5

Independence rev 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.422171E-64.3262453E-64.3262453E-61.00.01.8952025E-51.8540937E-51.8540937E-51.00.02.3071647E-42.257155E-42.5570873E-41.13288073.0E-50.00230477080.00225515620.00233497561.03539438.0E-5
6.14.422171E-64.3262453E-64.3262453E-61.00.01.8952025E-51.8540937E-51.8540937E-51.00.02.3071647E-42.257155E-42.5570873E-41.13288073.0E-50.00230477080.00225515620.00233497561.03539438.0E-5
6.24.422171E-64.3262453E-64.3262453E-61.00.01.8952025E-51.8540937E-51.8540937E-51.00.02.3071647E-42.257155E-42.5570873E-41.13288073.0E-50.00230477080.00225515620.00233497561.03539438.0E-5
6.34.422171E-64.3262453E-64.3262453E-61.00.01.8952025E-51.8540937E-51.8540937E-51.00.02.3071647E-42.257155E-42.5570873E-41.13288073.0E-50.00230477080.00225515620.00233497561.03539438.0E-5
6.44.422171E-64.3262453E-64.3262453E-61.00.01.8952025E-51.8540937E-51.8540937E-51.00.02.3071647E-42.257155E-42.5570873E-41.13288073.0E-50.00230477080.00225515620.00233497561.03539438.0E-5
6.54.422171E-64.3262453E-64.3262453E-61.00.01.8952025E-51.8540937E-51.8540937E-51.00.02.3071647E-42.257155E-42.5570873E-41.13288073.0E-50.00230477080.00225515620.00233497561.03539438.0E-5
6.62.663744E-62.5319996E-62.5319996E-61.00.01.1415996E-51.0851385E-51.0851385E-51.00.01.3898089E-41.3210809E-41.6210413E-41.22705673.0E-50.00138893990.00132034380.00140023811.06051038.0E-5
6.72.663744E-62.5319996E-62.5319996E-61.00.01.1415996E-51.0851385E-51.0851385E-51.00.01.3898089E-41.3210809E-41.6210413E-41.22705673.0E-50.00138893990.00132034380.00140023811.06051038.0E-5
6.81.9716529E-61.8322698E-61.8322698E-61.00.08.449913E-67.852562E-67.852562E-61.00.01.0287284E-49.560088E-51.2559802E-41.31377473.0E-50.00102825239.556104E-40.0010355341.08363628.0E-5
6.91.8788617E-61.7430103E-61.7430103E-61.00.08.0522395E-67.4700233E-67.4700233E-61.00.09.80316E-59.094386E-51.20941135E-41.32984393.0E-59.798837E-49.0907846E-49.890058E-41.08792138.0E-5
7.01.5045488E-61.3849603E-61.3849603E-61.00.06.44805E-65.935531E-65.935531E-61.00.07.8502184E-57.226275E-51.0226058E-41.41512173.0E-57.8474457E-47.2239764E-48.0233987E-41.11066238.0E-5
7.11.272341E-61.1625186E-61.1625186E-61.00.05.4528787E-64.9822133E-64.9822133E-61.00.06.6386776E-56.065679E-59.065497E-51.49455613.0E-56.636695E-46.0640555E-46.7636307E-41.11536437.0E-5
7.21.0416892E-69.4099533E-79.4099533E-71.00.04.464375E-64.032831E-64.032831E-61.00.05.4352407E-54.909863E-57.909716E-51.6109853.0E-55.4339116E-44.908797E-45.608453E-41.14253127.0E-5
7.37.9450155E-77.2350707E-77.2350707E-71.00.03.4050022E-63.100741E-63.100741E-61.00.04.1455114E-53.7750877E-56.7749745E-51.79465353.0E-54.144738E-43.7744577E-44.3742312E-41.15890326.0E-5
7.45.3893444E-75.0195547E-75.0195547E-71.00.02.309717E-62.1512358E-62.1512358E-61.00.02.8120441E-52.6190986E-55.61902E-52.14540223.0E-52.8116882E-42.6187944E-43.2186374E-41.2290536.0E-5
7.53.8852085E-73.6825836E-73.6825836E-71.00.01.6650882E-61.5782492E-61.5782492E-61.00.02.027226E-51.9215016E-53.9214632E-52.04083252.0E-52.0270412E-41.9213377E-42.4212415E-41.26018545.0E-5
7.62.414929E-72.3457733E-72.3457733E-71.00.01.0349692E-61.005331E-61.005331E-61.00.01.2600677E-51.2239838E-51.2239838E-51.00.01.2599962E-41.2239176E-41.523881E-41.24508453.0E-5
7.76.8298014E-86.858997E-86.858997E-81.00.02.9270575E-72.93957E-72.93957E-71.00.03.5636867E-63.578921E-63.578921E-61.00.03.5636294E-53.5788682E-54.578832E-51.2794081.0E-5

Pinto Mtn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.4194956E-54.7855512E-54.7855512E-51.00.01.893932E-42.0507984E-42.1507777E-41.04875151.0E-50.00230342360.00249415120.00252407651.01199823.0E-50.0227969380.0246791130.024757141.00316158.0E-5
6.14.4194956E-54.7855512E-54.7855512E-51.00.01.893932E-42.0507984E-42.1507777E-41.04875151.0E-50.00230342360.00249415120.00252407651.01199823.0E-50.0227969380.0246791130.024757141.00316158.0E-5
6.24.4194956E-54.7855512E-54.7855512E-51.00.01.893932E-42.0507984E-42.1507777E-41.04875151.0E-50.00230342360.00249415120.00252407651.01199823.0E-50.0227969380.0246791130.024757141.00316158.0E-5
6.34.4194956E-54.7855512E-54.7855512E-51.00.01.893932E-42.0507984E-42.1507777E-41.04875151.0E-50.00230342360.00249415120.00252407651.01199823.0E-50.0227969380.0246791130.024757141.00316158.0E-5
6.43.729929E-53.960486E-53.960486E-51.00.01.5984432E-41.697246E-41.797229E-41.05890891.0E-50.00194436730.0020645320.002094471.01450113.0E-50.0192744270.020463550.0205321161.00335077.0E-5
6.53.729929E-53.960486E-53.960486E-51.00.01.5984432E-41.697246E-41.797229E-41.05890891.0E-50.00194436730.0020645320.002094471.01450113.0E-50.0192744270.020463550.0205321161.00335077.0E-5
6.63.0204548E-53.1206768E-53.1206768E-51.00.01.2944164E-41.3373663E-41.4373529E-41.07476381.0E-50.00157481270.0016270620.00164702941.01227212.0E-50.0156369920.0161553640.0161947181.00243594.0E-5
6.72.9857754E-53.0816143E-53.0816143E-51.00.01.2795553E-41.320627E-41.4206138E-41.07571161.0E-50.00155674530.00160671210.001626681.01242782.0E-50.0154588480.01595480.0159941611.0024674.0E-5
6.82.4819734E-52.5010708E-52.5010708E-51.00.01.0636595E-41.0718447E-41.17183394E-41.09328711.0E-50.00129423620.00130421130.00132418531.01531492.0E-50.0128672440.01296793950.0130074211.00304454.0E-5
6.92.331124E-52.3338964E-52.3338964E-51.00.09.990149E-51.0002041E-41.10019406E-41.09996961.0E-50.0012156220.00121708850.00123706431.01641262.0E-50.0120899360.0121064220.0121459371.00326414.0E-5
7.02.1818534E-52.176207E-52.176207E-51.00.09.3504656E-59.3262795E-51.0326186E-41.10721391.0E-50.00113782460.00113490280.00115488021.01760272.0E-50.0113201630.0112931740.01132283451.00262643.0E-5
7.12.066081E-52.0541695E-52.0541695E-51.00.08.854332E-58.8032975E-59.803209E-51.11358381.0E-50.00107748180.0010712940.00109127261.0186492.0E-50.0107227240.0106633470.0106930281.00278343.0E-5
7.21.8990233E-51.905496E-51.905496E-51.00.08.138417E-58.166167E-59.1660855E-51.12244641.0E-59.904018E-49.937966E-40.00101377681.02010492.0E-50.0098599950.0098955240.0099252281.00300173.0E-5
7.31.3335872E-51.4907597E-51.4907597E-51.00.05.7152483E-56.388821E-57.388757E-51.15651351.0E-56.956093E-47.7757414E-47.975586E-41.0257012.0E-50.0069343590.0077498340.00776967871.00256072.0E-5
7.49.414066E-61.1861796E-51.1861796E-51.00.04.0345374E-55.0835333E-56.0834824E-51.19670361.0E-54.910942E-46.1875384E-46.287476E-41.01615151.0E-50.00490010340.0061712590.00618119721.00161041.0E-5
7.57.2101157E-69.15899E-69.15899E-61.00.03.090013E-53.925227E-54.9251877E-51.25475241.0E-53.7614413E-44.777994E-44.877946E-41.02091931.0E-50.00375508070.0047684970.0047784491.00208711.0E-5
7.63.296375E-64.546278E-64.546278E-61.00.01.4127245E-51.948391E-51.948391E-51.00.01.7198564E-42.3719217E-42.3719217E-41.00.00.00171852590.00236952750.00236952751.00.0
7.72.5741092E-63.5851394E-63.5851394E-61.00.01.103185E-51.53648E-51.53648E-51.00.01.3430449E-41.870517E-41.870517E-41.00.00.00134223350.00186907260.00186907261.00.0

Ortigalita (North)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.711876E-51.0505833E-41.0505833E-41.00.03.3046713E-44.50182E-44.50182E-41.00.00.0040160160.0054682940.00551802061.00909365.0E-50.0394421030.0534578750.0535146671.00106246.0E-5
6.14.607858E-56.024242E-56.024242E-51.00.01.9746469E-42.5815787E-42.5815787E-41.00.00.00240148180.0031388610.00317873551.01270344.0E-50.0237569530.030976510.031024961.00156415.0E-5
6.24.607858E-56.024242E-56.024242E-51.00.01.9746469E-42.5815787E-42.5815787E-41.00.00.00240148180.0031388610.00317873551.01270344.0E-50.0237569530.030976510.031024961.00156415.0E-5
6.33.327423E-54.247773E-54.247773E-51.00.01.4259605E-41.8203634E-41.8203634E-41.00.00.00173472440.00221428740.00225419881.01802444.0E-50.0172124520.0219465330.0219954351.00222835.0E-5
6.42.7732503E-53.5000263E-53.5000263E-51.00.01.1884817E-41.499939E-41.499939E-41.00.00.0014460160.00182488010.00185482531.01640943.0E-50.0143664280.0181219280.0181612041.00216724.0E-5
6.52.7689714E-53.4950077E-53.4950077E-51.00.01.186648E-41.4977883E-41.4977883E-41.00.00.00144378640.0018222660.00185221141.0164333.0E-50.0143444210.0180962140.0181354921.00217044.0E-5
6.62.2976905E-52.8719278E-52.8719278E-51.00.09.846873E-51.2307824E-41.2307824E-41.00.00.00119819750.00149768590.00151765591.01333392.0E-50.0119175740.0148992370.014928791.00198353.0E-5
6.71.9871539E-52.4905505E-52.4905505E-51.00.08.516096E-51.0673491E-41.0673491E-41.00.00.00103634150.0012989650.00131893891.01537692.0E-50.0103152180.0129373830.0129669951.00228883.0E-5
6.86.5640475E-67.6056526E-67.6056526E-61.00.02.813133E-53.2595264E-53.2595264E-51.00.03.424451E-43.9677793E-44.1677E-41.05038612.0E-50.00341917880.00396098240.0039809031.00502922.0E-5
6.95.6219683E-66.5019726E-66.5019726E-61.00.02.4093928E-52.7865315E-52.7865315E-51.00.02.933041E-43.3920998E-43.492066E-41.02947031.0E-50.00292917270.00338717920.00339714531.00294231.0E-5
7.03.875591E-64.4848484E-64.4848484E-61.00.01.6609569E-51.922065E-51.922065E-51.00.02.0220275E-42.339884E-42.4398605E-41.04272711.0E-50.00202018860.00233762850.00234760531.00426781.0E-5
7.11.6017933E-61.8570811E-61.8570811E-61.00.06.8648105E-67.958901E-67.958901E-61.00.08.357586E-59.689637E-59.689637E-51.00.08.3544437E-49.686459E-49.686459E-41.00.0

Cleghorn Pass

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0522846E-51.1040714E-51.1040714E-51.00.04.509713E-54.7316782E-55.731631E-51.21133151.0E-55.4891926E-45.759822E-46.059649E-41.0520553.0E-50.00547565330.0057500590.0058295991.01383298.0E-5
6.11.0522846E-51.1040714E-51.1040714E-51.00.04.509713E-54.7316782E-55.731631E-51.21133151.0E-55.4891926E-45.759822E-46.059649E-41.0520553.0E-50.00547565330.0057500590.0058295991.01383298.0E-5
6.22.1045846E-62.2082168E-62.2082168E-61.00.09.019617E-69.463776E-69.463776E-61.00.01.098083E-41.1521958E-41.1521958E-41.00.00.00109754060.00115200980.00116199831.00867041.0E-5
6.32.1045846E-62.2082168E-62.2082168E-61.00.09.019617E-69.463776E-69.463776E-61.00.01.098083E-41.1521958E-41.1521958E-41.00.00.00109754060.00115200980.00116199831.00867041.0E-5
6.41.7259927E-61.8108889E-61.8108889E-61.00.07.3970905E-67.760952E-67.760952E-61.00.09.005586E-59.4489595E-59.4489595E-51.00.09.001937E-49.4489596E-49.548865E-41.01057311.0E-5

Santa Ynez (East)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2269712E-53.6751615E-53.6751615E-51.00.01.3829143E-41.5750073E-41.8749601E-41.19044533.0E-50.00168239790.0019164690.0019663731.02603965.0E-50.0166971780.019056870.0191353451.0041188.0E-5
6.13.2269712E-53.6751615E-53.6751615E-51.00.01.3829143E-41.5750073E-41.8749601E-41.19044533.0E-50.00168239790.0019164690.0019663731.02603965.0E-50.0166971780.019056870.0191353451.0041188.0E-5
6.23.2269712E-53.6751615E-53.6751615E-51.00.01.3829143E-41.5750073E-41.8749601E-41.19044533.0E-50.00168239790.0019164690.0019663731.02603965.0E-50.0166971780.019056870.0191353451.0041188.0E-5
6.33.2269712E-53.6751615E-53.6751615E-51.00.01.3829143E-41.5750073E-41.8749601E-41.19044533.0E-50.00168239790.0019164690.0019663731.02603965.0E-50.0166971780.019056870.0191353451.0041188.0E-5
6.41.4404779E-51.4849478E-51.4849478E-51.00.06.1733306E-56.36391E-58.3637824E-51.31425232.0E-57.513438E-47.7453564E-48.045124E-41.03870283.0E-50.00748808540.00771891230.00775860341.00514214.0E-5
6.51.4404779E-51.4849478E-51.4849478E-51.00.06.1733306E-56.36391E-58.3637824E-51.31425232.0E-57.513438E-47.7453564E-48.045124E-41.03870283.0E-50.00748808540.00771891230.00775860341.00514214.0E-5
6.61.280208E-51.3012008E-51.3012008E-51.00.05.4864904E-55.576457E-57.5763455E-51.35863072.0E-56.6777546E-46.787239E-47.0870353E-41.04417063.0E-50.0066577240.006766720.00680644951.00587134.0E-5
6.71.2457027E-51.2628523E-51.2628523E-51.00.05.3386164E-55.4121127E-57.412005E-51.36952152.0E-56.497827E-46.587272E-46.8870746E-41.04551233.0E-50.006478860.0065679440.0066076811.00605024.0E-5
6.81.2095134E-51.2230965E-51.2230965E-51.00.05.1835254E-55.2417377E-57.2416326E-51.38153292.0E-56.309115E-46.379963E-46.6797715E-41.04699223.0E-50.00629123250.0063618350.00640158081.00624754.0E-5
6.91.1104036E-51.1157385E-51.1157385E-51.00.04.758786E-54.78165E-56.781554E-51.41824572.0E-55.7922816E-45.820116E-46.119941E-41.05151533.0E-50.0057772070.0058050190.00584478681.00685064.0E-5
7.01.0577444E-51.0581712E-51.0581712E-51.00.04.5331115E-54.534941E-55.5348955E-51.22051.0E-55.5176654E-45.519904E-45.719794E-41.03621262.0E-50.00550398560.00550633160.00553616651.00541833.0E-5
7.11.0021775E-59.981012E-69.981012E-61.00.04.294976E-54.277507E-55.277464E-51.23377111.0E-55.2278786E-45.206632E-45.4065284E-41.03839252.0E-50.00521559640.0051945660.00522441041.00574533.0E-5
7.28.874109E-68.748804E-68.748804E-61.00.03.8031343E-53.749434E-54.7493966E-51.26669691.0E-54.629332E-44.5639908E-44.7638995E-41.04380132.0E-50.00461970.00455473550.0045746451.0043712.0E-5
7.37.5504267E-67.5050975E-67.5050975E-61.00.03.235857E-53.2164313E-54.2163992E-51.31089351.0E-53.9389438E-43.9153118E-44.0152724E-41.02553071.0E-50.00393196940.00390852060.00391848151.00254851.0E-5
7.46.309394E-66.1831197E-66.1831197E-61.00.02.703998E-52.6498821E-53.6498557E-51.37736521.0E-53.2916202E-43.2257635E-43.325731E-41.03099041.0E-50.0032867490.00322117840.00323114611.00309441.0E-5
7.54.6103073E-64.4408375E-64.4408375E-61.00.01.975831E-51.9032026E-52.9031837E-51.52542011.0E-52.4053088E-42.3169098E-42.4168867E-41.04315091.0E-50.0024027070.00231456380.00232454061.00431051.0E-5
7.61.2858658E-61.3008295E-61.3008295E-61.00.05.5108417E-65.574972E-65.574972E-61.00.06.7092435E-56.787324E-56.787324E-51.00.06.707218E-46.78532E-46.78532E-41.00.0
7.75.3302307E-75.612178E-75.612178E-71.00.02.2843826E-62.4052172E-62.4052172E-61.00.02.7812002E-52.9283161E-52.9283161E-51.00.02.7808524E-42.927966E-42.927966E-41.00.0
7.84.613933E-84.803036E-84.803036E-81.00.01.9773998E-72.0584437E-72.0584437E-71.00.02.4074816E-62.5061524E-62.5061524E-61.00.02.4074554E-52.5061252E-52.5061252E-51.00.0

Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.6264497E-66.7573515E-66.7573515E-61.00.02.8398761E-52.8959801E-54.8959224E-51.69059242.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253656E-44.125154E-41.17013516.0E-50.00345162770.00352056140.00360027981.02264378.0E-5
6.16.6264497E-66.7573515E-66.7573515E-61.00.02.8398761E-52.8959801E-54.8959224E-51.69059242.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253656E-44.125154E-41.17013516.0E-50.00345162770.00352056140.00360027981.02264378.0E-5
6.26.6264497E-66.7573515E-66.7573515E-61.00.02.8398761E-52.8959801E-54.8959224E-51.69059242.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253656E-44.125154E-41.17013516.0E-50.00345162770.00352056140.00360027981.02264378.0E-5
6.36.6264497E-66.7573515E-66.7573515E-61.00.02.8398761E-52.8959801E-54.8959224E-51.69059242.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253656E-44.125154E-41.17013516.0E-50.00345162770.00352056140.00360027981.02264378.0E-5
6.46.6264497E-66.7573515E-66.7573515E-61.00.02.8398761E-52.8959801E-54.8959224E-51.69059242.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253656E-44.125154E-41.17013516.0E-50.00345162770.00352056140.00360027981.02264378.0E-5
6.53.2162225E-63.2571006E-63.2571006E-61.00.01.3783738E-51.3958933E-52.3958793E-51.71637711.0E-51.6780409E-41.6993756E-41.9993246E-41.17650543.0E-50.00167677440.00169815580.00173808791.0235154.0E-5
6.63.2162225E-63.2571006E-63.2571006E-61.00.01.3783738E-51.3958933E-52.3958793E-51.71637711.0E-51.6780409E-41.6993756E-41.9993246E-41.17650543.0E-50.00167677440.00169815580.00173808791.0235154.0E-5
6.72.1908265E-62.207128E-62.207128E-61.00.09.389223E-69.459087E-61.9458992E-52.05717441.0E-51.1430779E-41.15158495E-41.351562E-41.17365372.0E-50.00114249010.00115100760.00117098461.0173562.0E-5
6.81.7303895E-61.7365575E-61.7365575E-61.00.07.415934E-67.4423683E-61.7442295E-52.34364821.0E-59.028525E-59.0607165E-51.0060626E-41.11035661.0E-59.024858E-49.0571196E-49.157029E-41.0110311.0E-5
6.91.3700314E-61.3688658E-61.3688658E-61.00.05.87155E-65.8665546E-61.5866495E-52.7045681.0E-57.148377E-57.142301E-58.1422295E-51.14000091.0E-57.146078E-47.140051E-47.23998E-41.01399551.0E-5
7.01.1467797E-61.1413834E-61.1413834E-61.00.04.9147607E-64.8916345E-61.4891585E-53.04429651.0E-55.983557E-55.955405E-56.9553455E-51.16790471.0E-55.981946E-45.9538404E-46.053781E-41.01678591.0E-5
7.19.3952065E-79.3027154E-79.3027154E-71.00.04.026511E-63.986872E-63.986872E-61.00.04.9021666E-54.8539103E-54.8539103E-51.00.04.901085E-44.852868E-44.852868E-41.00.0
7.26.858055E-76.719319E-76.719319E-71.00.02.939163E-62.879705E-62.879705E-61.00.03.5783723E-53.5059853E-53.5059853E-51.00.03.5777962E-43.505441E-43.505441E-41.00.0
7.35.1101983E-74.939314E-74.939314E-71.00.02.1900833E-62.116847E-62.116847E-61.00.02.6663936E-52.5772315E-52.5772315E-51.00.02.6660739E-42.5769373E-42.5769373E-41.00.0
7.43.4999414E-73.2996007E-73.2996007E-71.00.01.499974E-61.4141139E-61.4141139E-61.00.01.8262032E-51.7216704E-51.7216704E-51.00.01.826053E-41.7215393E-41.7215393E-41.00.0
7.51.7021522E-71.4750101E-71.4750101E-71.00.07.2949354E-76.321471E-76.321471E-71.00.08.881548E-67.696364E-67.696364E-61.00.08.8811925E-57.696106E-57.696106E-51.00.0
7.62.572245E-81.7352718E-81.7352718E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436879E-87.436879E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.054397E-79.054397E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054365E-69.054365E-61.00.0

Ventura-Pitas Point

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.3179622E-53.37358E-54.373546E-51.2964111.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457543E-41.5457398E-41.06915811.0E-50.00172979620.00175904160.00179897121.02269974.0E-50.0171639320.017476880.0175456571.00393537.0E-5
6.13.3179622E-53.37358E-54.373546E-51.2964111.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457543E-41.5457398E-41.06915811.0E-50.00172979620.00175904160.00179897121.02269974.0E-50.0171639320.017476880.0175456571.00393537.0E-5
6.23.3179622E-53.37358E-54.373546E-51.2964111.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457543E-41.5457398E-41.06915811.0E-50.00172979620.00175904160.00179897121.02269974.0E-50.0171639320.017476880.0175456571.00393537.0E-5
6.33.3179622E-53.37358E-54.373546E-51.2964111.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457543E-41.5457398E-41.06915811.0E-50.00172979620.00175904160.00179897121.02269974.0E-50.0171639320.017476880.0175456571.00393537.0E-5
6.41.8754668E-51.7019853E-51.7019853E-51.00.08.037467E-57.294031E-57.294031E-51.00.09.781223E-48.877096E-48.977007E-41.01125491.0E-50.0097382820.0088441460.0088540571.00112071.0E-5
6.51.8754668E-51.7019853E-51.7019853E-51.00.08.037467E-57.294031E-57.294031E-51.00.09.781223E-48.877096E-48.977007E-41.01125491.0E-50.0097382820.0088441460.0088540571.00112071.0E-5
6.61.4361558E-51.2122441E-51.2122441E-51.00.06.154808E-55.19523E-55.19523E-51.00.07.490902E-46.32338E-46.4233167E-41.01580431.0E-50.00746570160.00630581660.0063157541.00157581.0E-5
6.71.4361558E-51.2122441E-51.2122441E-51.00.06.154808E-55.19523E-55.19523E-51.00.07.490902E-46.32338E-46.4233167E-41.01580431.0E-50.00746570160.00630581660.0063157541.00157581.0E-5
6.81.3663846E-51.1344573E-51.1344573E-51.00.05.8558027E-54.8618702E-54.8618702E-51.00.07.127108E-45.917739E-46.0176797E-41.01688841.0E-50.0071042930.00590236950.00591231041.00168421.0E-5
6.91.3644157E-51.1322673E-51.1322673E-51.00.05.8473648E-54.852485E-54.852485E-51.00.07.116841E-45.9063185E-46.0062594E-41.0169211.0E-50.0070940920.00589100970.00590095061.00168751.0E-5
7.01.3568845E-51.12422385E-51.12422385E-51.00.05.8150898E-54.8180143E-54.8180143E-51.00.07.077572E-45.864373E-45.9643143E-41.01704221.0E-50.0070550730.00584928550.0058592271.00169961.0E-5
7.11.306572E-51.072068E-51.072068E-51.00.05.599474E-54.5944973E-54.5944973E-51.00.06.815227E-45.5923837E-45.6923274E-41.01787151.0E-50.00679436370.0055786880.00558863251.00178251.0E-5
7.21.232604E-59.9952695E-69.9952695E-61.00.05.2824813E-54.2836175E-54.2836175E-51.00.06.429523E-45.214074E-45.314022E-41.01916891.0E-50.00641095270.00520220540.00521215331.00191221.0E-5
7.31.0917261E-58.843945E-68.843945E-61.00.04.678742E-53.790208E-53.790208E-51.00.05.69488E-44.6136163E-44.7135702E-41.0216651.0E-50.00568030770.00460437730.00461433131.00216191.0E-5
7.41.039959E-58.423664E-68.423664E-61.00.04.456891E-53.6100926E-53.6100926E-51.00.05.424914E-44.3944168E-44.494373E-41.02274621.0E-50.00541168960.0043860620.0043960181.002271.0E-5
7.59.015877E-67.297624E-67.297624E-61.00.03.86389E-53.1275165E-53.1275165E-51.00.04.7032707E-43.8071E-43.907062E-41.02625671.0E-50.0046933290.00380089760.00381085951.00262091.0E-5
7.64.900162E-63.874157E-63.874157E-61.00.02.1000526E-51.6603424E-51.6603424E-51.00.02.556514E-42.0212808E-42.0212808E-41.00.00.00255357470.0020194560.0020194561.00.0
7.73.8850626E-63.1267878E-63.1267878E-61.00.01.6650163E-51.3400451E-51.3400451E-51.00.02.0269687E-41.6313836E-41.6313836E-41.00.00.0020251210.00163019540.00163019541.00.0
7.82.4654719E-62.0299206E-62.0299206E-61.00.01.0566265E-58.6996315E-68.6996315E-61.00.01.2863669E-41.05912906E-41.05912906E-41.00.00.00128562250.0010586290.0010586291.00.0
7.94.095894E-73.2765396E-73.2765396E-71.00.01.7553821E-61.4042306E-61.4042306E-61.00.02.1371567E-51.7096376E-51.7096376E-51.00.02.1369511E-41.7095092E-41.7095092E-41.00.0
8.07.791402E-95.6836416E-95.6836416E-91.00.03.3391725E-82.4358464E-82.4358464E-81.00.04.0654416E-72.9656428E-72.9656428E-71.00.04.065434E-62.9656408E-62.9656408E-61.00.0

Palos Verdes

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.126063E-57.622823E-57.622823E-51.00.02.6251914E-43.2665484E-43.2665484E-41.00.00.00319148650.00397030170.00400018231.00752623.0E-50.0314603930.039050320.0391175821.00172267.0E-5
6.16.126063E-57.622823E-57.622823E-51.00.02.6251914E-43.2665484E-43.2665484E-41.00.00.00319148650.00397030170.00400018231.00752623.0E-50.0314603930.039050320.0391175821.00172267.0E-5
6.26.126063E-57.622823E-57.622823E-51.00.02.6251914E-43.2665484E-43.2665484E-41.00.00.00319148650.00397030170.00400018231.00752623.0E-50.0314603930.039050320.0391175821.00172267.0E-5
6.34.0838047E-54.9750462E-54.9750462E-51.00.01.7500846E-42.1320012E-42.1320012E-41.00.00.00212864580.00259282930.00261277751.00769352.0E-50.0210837090.025647480.0257059411.00227946.0E-5
6.44.0838047E-54.9750462E-54.9750462E-51.00.01.7500846E-42.1320012E-42.1320012E-41.00.00.00212864580.00259282930.00261277751.00769352.0E-50.0210837090.025647480.0257059411.00227946.0E-5
6.53.0512005E-53.6562564E-53.6562564E-51.00.01.3075917E-41.5668797E-41.5668797E-41.00.00.00159083040.00190612240.00192608431.01047252.0E-50.0157949030.0189096690.0189587231.00259415.0E-5
6.62.9255087E-53.515534E-53.515534E-51.00.01.2537291E-41.506577E-41.506577E-41.00.00.00152534640.00183282750.00185279081.01089222.0E-50.0151491890.0181887280.018237821.00269895.0E-5
6.72.287198E-52.7248976E-52.7248976E-51.00.09.801909E-51.1677662E-41.1677662E-41.00.00.0011927290.00142091970.00144089131.01405542.0E-50.0118634770.0141275770.0141670121.00279134.0E-5
6.82.1325764E-52.5432533E-52.5432533E-51.00.09.139293E-51.0899252E-41.0899252E-41.00.00.0011121410.00132626640.00133625311.007531.0E-50.0110659150.0131925490.0132221531.0022443.0E-5
6.91.9009392E-52.2614122E-52.2614122E-51.00.08.1466285E-59.6914555E-59.6914555E-51.00.09.914007E-40.00117938340.00117938341.00.00.0098698940.0117399290.0117596941.00168362.0E-5
7.01.7098473E-52.0319867E-52.0319867E-51.00.07.3277115E-58.708272E-58.708272E-51.00.08.917837E-40.00105980170.00105980171.00.00.0088821340.0105559120.0105757011.00187472.0E-5
7.11.5982785E-51.8995239E-51.8995239E-51.00.06.849585E-58.1406106E-58.1406106E-51.00.08.336179E-49.907534E-49.907534E-41.00.00.0083049770.0098717280.00989153051.00200592.0E-5
7.21.4468002E-51.719767E-51.719767E-51.00.06.200425E-57.370269E-57.370269E-51.00.07.546402E-48.970449E-48.970449E-41.00.00.0075208270.0089425090.008962331.00221652.0E-5
7.35.288233E-66.2038207E-66.2038207E-61.00.02.2663658E-52.658773E-52.658773E-51.00.02.7589512E-43.2369242E-43.2369242E-41.00.00.00275552830.00323563230.00324561.00308061.0E-5
7.48.279556E-78.408364E-78.408364E-71.00.03.5483763E-63.60358E-63.60358E-61.00.04.3200624E-54.3872777E-54.3872777E-51.00.04.3192226E-44.3864836E-44.3864836E-41.00.0
7.56.559831E-76.667243E-76.667243E-71.00.02.8113532E-62.8573872E-62.8573872E-61.00.03.4227687E-53.47882E-53.47882E-51.00.03.4222414E-43.478342E-43.478342E-41.00.0
7.63.5018968E-73.562011E-73.562011E-71.00.01.500812E-61.5265755E-61.5265755E-61.00.01.8272232E-51.8585944E-51.8585944E-51.00.01.8270731E-41.858485E-41.858485E-41.00.0
7.71.1986104E-71.2198406E-71.2198406E-71.00.05.1369005E-75.227887E-75.227887E-71.00.06.2541585E-66.364934E-66.364934E-61.00.06.2539824E-56.364756E-56.364756E-51.00.0
7.83.0445005E-83.1027664E-83.1027664E-81.00.01.3047858E-71.3297569E-71.3297569E-71.00.01.5885756E-61.6189781E-61.6189781E-61.00.01.5885644E-51.6189684E-51.6189684E-51.00.0

Bullion Mountains

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6420427E-51.4692201E-51.4692201E-51.00.07.037136E-56.296527E-58.296401E-51.31761542.0E-58.5643446E-47.6637097E-48.26325E-41.07823116.0E-50.0085314130.00764107420.00771053931.0090917.0E-5
6.11.6420427E-51.4692201E-51.4692201E-51.00.07.037136E-56.296527E-58.296401E-51.31761542.0E-58.5643446E-47.6637097E-48.26325E-41.07823116.0E-50.0085314130.00764107420.00771053931.0090917.0E-5
6.21.6420427E-51.4692201E-51.4692201E-51.00.07.037136E-56.296527E-58.296401E-51.31761542.0E-58.5643446E-47.6637097E-48.26325E-41.07823116.0E-50.0085314130.00764107420.00771053931.0090917.0E-5
6.31.2046778E-59.8623805E-69.8623805E-61.00.05.1628023E-54.226679E-55.226637E-51.23658241.0E-56.283899E-45.1449984E-45.444844E-41.0582793.0E-50.00626615950.00513536860.0051751631.00774914.0E-5
6.41.2046778E-59.8623805E-69.8623805E-61.00.05.1628023E-54.226679E-55.226637E-51.23658241.0E-56.283899E-45.1449984E-45.444844E-41.0582793.0E-50.00626615950.00513536860.0051751631.00774914.0E-5
6.51.0244343E-57.879477E-67.879477E-61.00.04.390359E-53.376887E-54.376853E-51.29612081.0E-55.343951E-44.110791E-44.3107086E-41.04863242.0E-50.0053311180.00410521780.00413509461.00727773.0E-5
6.69.605408E-67.177506E-67.177506E-61.00.04.1165385E-53.0760493E-53.0760493E-51.00.05.010733E-43.74465E-43.8446125E-41.02669481.0E-50.004999450.00374033720.00376026241.00532712.0E-5
6.78.60418E-66.124001E-66.124001E-61.00.03.687454E-52.6245565E-52.6245565E-51.00.04.48855E-43.1951242E-43.295092E-41.03128771.0E-50.0044794950.00319244220.00321237841.00624482.0E-5
6.85.187994E-62.5631452E-62.5631452E-61.00.02.223407E-51.0984884E-51.0984884E-51.00.02.7066618E-41.3373674E-41.4373541E-41.07476381.0E-50.00270336750.00133695430.00134694091.00746971.0E-5
6.94.5302368E-62.344301E-62.344301E-61.00.01.9415156E-51.0046988E-51.0046988E-51.00.02.3635388E-41.2231918E-41.2231918E-41.00.00.00236102660.00122290760.00122290761.00.0
7.03.431668E-61.688219E-61.688219E-61.00.01.4707065E-57.235224E-67.235224E-61.00.01.7904381E-48.8088855E-58.8088855E-51.00.00.00178899628.8088855E-48.8088855E-41.00.0

Santa Rosa Island

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1143165E-54.7092035E-54.7092035E-51.00.01.7631594E-42.018085E-42.018085E-41.00.00.0021445330.00245444640.00247439721.00812852.0E-50.0212395530.0242940190.0243525621.00240976.0E-5
6.12.1061249E-52.3865383E-52.3865383E-51.00.09.0259375E-51.0227637E-41.0227637E-41.00.00.00109835390.00124453240.00125451991.00802521.0E-50.010929410.0123786680.0123984211.00159572.0E-5
6.22.1061249E-52.3865383E-52.3865383E-51.00.09.0259375E-51.0227637E-41.0227637E-41.00.00.00109835390.00124453240.00125451991.00802521.0E-50.010929410.0123786680.0123984211.00159572.0E-5
6.31.5158236E-51.7074706E-51.7074706E-51.00.06.496225E-57.317533E-57.317533E-51.00.07.906284E-48.905575E-49.005486E-41.01121891.0E-50.0078782140.0088711390.0088909611.00223452.0E-5
6.41.2341918E-51.3853143E-51.3853143E-51.00.05.2892858E-55.9369308E-55.9369308E-51.00.06.437803E-47.225897E-47.325825E-41.01382911.0E-50.0064191840.0072032390.0072230951.00275652.0E-5
6.59.061158E-61.0117189E-51.0117189E-51.00.03.883296E-54.335869E-54.335869E-51.00.04.726887E-45.277695E-45.377642E-41.01893771.0E-50.0047168450.00526569920.0052855941.00377822.0E-5
6.67.5461685E-68.400862E-68.400862E-61.00.03.2340322E-53.6003217E-53.6003217E-51.00.03.936723E-44.3825532E-44.4825094E-41.02280771.0E-50.0039297560.004374340.00439425231.00455212.0E-5
6.75.5023775E-66.0874677E-66.0874677E-61.00.02.3581404E-52.6088905E-52.6088905E-51.00.02.8706578E-43.1758938E-43.1758938E-41.00.00.00286695220.00317167680.00317167681.00.0
6.83.7351679E-64.083192E-64.083192E-61.00.01.6007763E-51.749929E-51.749929E-51.00.01.948771E-42.1303551E-42.1303551E-41.00.00.00194706290.00212855820.00212855821.00.0
6.92.456366E-62.6292955E-62.6292955E-61.00.01.0527241E-51.1268361E-51.1268361E-51.00.01.2816161E-41.3718368E-41.3718368E-41.00.00.00128087730.00137099290.00137099291.00.0
7.02.3245157E-62.4828012E-62.4828012E-61.00.09.962172E-61.0640533E-51.0640533E-51.00.01.2128269E-41.295408E-41.295408E-41.00.00.00121216520.00129465530.00129465531.00.0
7.12.2248344E-62.3732714E-62.3732714E-61.00.09.53497E-61.0171123E-51.0171123E-51.00.01.1608207E-41.2382641E-41.2382641E-41.00.00.00116021440.00123757610.00123757611.00.0
7.22.1350402E-62.2761742E-62.2761742E-61.00.09.150141E-69.754996E-69.754996E-61.00.01.1139726E-41.18760625E-41.18760625E-41.00.00.00111341440.00118697340.00118697341.00.0
7.31.9793572E-62.1087376E-62.1087376E-61.00.08.482932E-69.037416E-69.037416E-61.00.01.032748E-41.10025E-41.10025E-41.00.00.00103226820.00109970710.00109970711.00.0
7.41.6951194E-61.8045891E-61.8045891E-61.00.07.264777E-67.733931E-67.733931E-61.00.08.844508E-59.415655E-59.415655E-51.00.08.840988E-49.411683E-49.411683E-41.00.0
7.58.987207E-79.5122914E-79.5122914E-71.00.03.8516546E-64.07669E-64.07669E-61.00.04.6892885E-54.963258E-54.963258E-51.00.04.688299E-44.962162E-44.962162E-41.00.0
7.63.8783037E-74.0529594E-74.0529594E-71.00.01.6621291E-61.7369814E-61.7369814E-61.00.02.0236233E-52.114755E-52.114755E-51.00.02.023439E-42.1145603E-42.1145603E-41.00.0
7.76.181804E-86.339078E-86.339078E-81.00.02.6493444E-72.7167474E-72.7167474E-71.00.03.225572E-63.3076349E-63.3076349E-61.00.03.225525E-53.3075863E-53.3075863E-51.00.0
7.81.3704449E-91.3964188E-91.3964188E-91.00.05.873335E-95.984652E-95.984652E-91.00.07.1507856E-87.286314E-87.286314E-81.00.07.1507833E-77.286312E-77.286312E-71.00.0

Blue Cut

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1227985E-52.2719787E-52.2719787E-51.00.09.097391E-59.736721E-51.07366235E-41.1026941.0E-50.00110704450.00118485920.00122481181.03371934.0E-50.0110154580.0117912610.0118604361.00586667.0E-5
6.12.1227985E-52.2719787E-52.2719787E-51.00.09.097391E-59.736721E-51.07366235E-41.1026941.0E-50.00110704450.00118485920.00122481181.03371934.0E-50.0110154580.0117912610.0118604361.00586667.0E-5
6.22.1227985E-52.2719787E-52.2719787E-51.00.09.097391E-59.736721E-51.07366235E-41.1026941.0E-50.00110704450.00118485920.00122481181.03371934.0E-50.0110154580.0117912610.0118604361.00586667.0E-5
6.31.1613981E-51.23536465E-51.23536465E-51.00.04.9773254E-55.2943193E-56.2942665E-51.18887171.0E-56.0582085E-46.444052E-46.643923E-41.03101632.0E-50.00604171960.00642661330.0064762921.00773015.0E-5
6.41.1613981E-51.23536465E-51.23536465E-51.00.04.9773254E-55.2943193E-56.2942665E-51.18887171.0E-56.0582085E-46.444052E-46.643923E-41.03101632.0E-50.00604171960.00642661330.0064762921.00773015.0E-5
6.58.931326E-69.481677E-69.481677E-61.00.03.8276554E-54.063518E-54.063518E-51.00.04.6591737E-44.9463013E-45.046252E-41.02020721.0E-50.00464941750.00493620150.0049760041.00806344.0E-5
6.67.345353E-67.790341E-67.790341E-61.00.03.1479703E-53.3386797E-53.3386797E-51.00.03.83198E-44.0641645E-44.164124E-41.02459531.0E-50.00382537880.00405752330.00408740161.00736373.0E-5
6.76.2775666E-66.655202E-66.655202E-61.00.02.690358E-52.8522025E-52.8522025E-51.00.03.2750185E-43.4720785E-43.4720785E-41.00.00.00327019630.00346739470.00348732531.0057482.0E-5
6.85.5234095E-65.8551577E-65.8551577E-61.00.02.367154E-52.5093334E-52.5093334E-51.00.02.8816288E-43.0547578E-43.0547578E-41.00.00.0028778950.0030512750.00307121381.00653472.0E-5
6.94.7780054E-65.0654608E-65.0654608E-61.00.02.0477004E-52.1708976E-52.1708976E-51.00.02.4927902E-42.6428179E-42.6428179E-41.00.00.00248999570.00264036730.00266031431.00755472.0E-5
7.03.883171E-64.1185203E-64.1185203E-61.00.01.6642054E-51.765072E-51.765072E-51.00.02.0259817E-42.1488321E-42.1488321E-41.00.00.00202413560.002147430.00216738721.00929342.0E-5
7.12.8358215E-63.0097403E-63.0097403E-61.00.01.2153464E-51.289886E-51.289886E-51.00.01.4795837E-41.5703888E-41.5703888E-41.00.00.0014785990.00156992440.0015898931.01271952.0E-5

Chino alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.939946E-54.8949914E-55.8949423E-51.20428051.0E-51.6884391E-42.0977142E-42.1976932E-41.0476611.0E-50.00205373620.00255148530.00259138321.01563724.0E-50.0203485950.0252807920.0253392761.00231346.0E-5
6.12.1505624E-52.688007E-52.688007E-51.00.09.2163704E-51.1519585E-41.1519585E-41.00.00.00112151540.00140171660.00141170261.00712411.0E-50.0111587220.0139477060.01396742651.0014142.0E-5
6.22.1505624E-52.688007E-52.688007E-51.00.09.2163704E-51.1519585E-41.1519585E-41.00.00.00112151540.00140171660.00141170261.00712411.0E-50.0111587220.0139477060.01396742651.0014142.0E-5
6.31.4290785E-51.816584E-51.816584E-51.00.06.1244784E-57.785153E-57.785153E-51.00.07.454001E-49.4747543E-49.4747543E-41.00.00.0074290480.0094468980.0094568031.00104861.0E-5
6.41.4290785E-51.816584E-51.816584E-51.00.06.1244784E-57.785153E-57.785153E-51.00.07.454001E-49.4747543E-49.4747543E-41.00.00.0074290480.0094468980.0094568031.00104861.0E-5
6.51.3017944E-51.6652762E-51.6652762E-51.00.05.5789995E-57.136728E-57.136728E-51.00.06.790315E-48.685939E-48.685939E-41.00.00.00676960360.0086643710.0086742841.00114421.0E-5
6.69.470016E-61.2039946E-51.2039946E-51.00.04.058515E-55.159894E-55.159894E-51.00.04.940122E-46.2807E-46.2807E-41.00.00.0049291540.0062733710.00628330841.0015841.0E-5
6.78.314155E-61.0408143E-51.0408143E-51.00.03.5631605E-54.4605746E-54.4605746E-51.00.04.3372845E-45.429719E-45.429719E-41.00.00.0043288290.0054272940.0054272941.00.0
6.83.4856364E-63.8135686E-63.8135686E-61.00.01.4938357E-51.6343774E-51.6343774E-51.00.01.8185932E-41.9896936E-41.9896936E-41.00.00.00181710560.00198972620.00198972621.00.0
6.92.2645952E-62.153006E-62.153006E-61.00.09.705372E-69.2271375E-69.2271375E-61.00.01.18156495E-41.1233483E-41.1233483E-41.00.00.00118093690.00112358140.00112358141.00.0
7.01.7864003E-61.5431655E-61.5431655E-61.00.07.655979E-66.61355E-66.61355E-61.00.09.3207556E-58.051705E-58.051705E-51.00.09.316847E-48.0526597E-48.0526597E-41.00.0
7.11.7315456E-61.4734359E-61.4734359E-61.00.07.420889E-66.31471E-66.31471E-61.00.09.034557E-57.687894E-57.687894E-51.00.09.0308854E-47.689018E-47.689018E-41.00.0
7.21.6008337E-61.3574833E-61.3574833E-61.00.06.860698E-65.817773E-65.817773E-61.00.08.352579E-57.082913E-57.082913E-51.00.08.34944E-47.084325E-47.084325E-41.00.0
7.31.3320939E-61.1218311E-61.1218311E-61.00.05.7089615E-64.807839E-64.807839E-61.00.06.9504385E-55.8533915E-55.8533915E-51.00.06.9482654E-45.8530783E-45.8530783E-41.00.0
7.41.114294E-69.2374944E-79.2374944E-71.00.04.775537E-63.9589204E-63.9589204E-61.00.05.8140613E-54.8198825E-54.8198825E-51.00.05.81254E-44.8189829E-44.8189829E-41.00.0
7.59.354081E-77.623722E-77.623722E-71.00.04.0088858E-63.2673056E-63.2673056E-61.00.04.8807087E-53.9778755E-53.9778755E-51.00.04.879637E-43.9771973E-43.9771973E-41.00.0
7.68.521771E-76.880951E-76.880951E-71.00.03.6521824E-62.9489759E-62.9489759E-61.00.04.4464414E-53.590322E-53.590322E-51.00.04.4455516E-43.5897738E-43.5897738E-41.00.0
7.72.1803626E-71.418694E-71.418694E-71.00.09.344408E-76.0801165E-76.0801165E-71.00.01.1376757E-57.4025265E-67.4025265E-61.00.01.13761744E-47.402376E-57.402376E-51.00.0

San Clemente

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.681379E-58.164081E-58.164081E-51.00.02.8631336E-43.4984472E-43.5984121E-41.02857411.0E-50.0034802940.0042515340.0042614921.00234211.0E-50.034262910.0417572260.0418147221.00137696.0E-5
6.16.681379E-58.164081E-58.164081E-51.00.02.8631336E-43.4984472E-43.5984121E-41.02857411.0E-50.0034802940.0042515340.0042614921.00234211.0E-50.034262910.0417572260.041805141.00114745.0E-5
6.23.9400576E-54.645349E-54.645349E-51.00.01.6884868E-41.9907155E-41.9907155E-41.00.00.00205379450.00242105640.00242105641.00.00.0203491670.023953470.023982751.00122243.0E-5
6.33.2590255E-53.792995E-53.792995E-51.00.01.3966505E-41.6254697E-41.6254697E-41.00.00.00169909560.00197724320.00197724321.00.00.016861630.0196003060.0196297191.00150063.0E-5
6.42.9454652E-53.409848E-53.409848E-51.00.01.2622811E-41.4612831E-41.4612831E-41.00.00.00153574380.00177768660.00177768661.00.00.0152517390.0176378380.0176574851.00111392.0E-5
6.52.790836E-53.2248132E-53.2248132E-51.00.01.1960178E-41.381991E-41.381991E-41.00.00.0014551790.0016813010.0016813011.00.00.0144568680.0166888270.0167084931.00117842.0E-5
6.62.2492153E-52.57632E-52.57632E-51.00.09.639138E-51.1040912E-41.1040912E-41.00.00.00117293310.00134341690.00134341691.00.00.0116676150.0133546730.01336453951.00073891.0E-5
6.71.9862755E-52.2666847E-52.2666847E-51.00.08.512331E-59.714008E-59.714008E-51.00.00.00103588360.00118205010.00118205011.00.00.0103106820.011758920.011758921.00.0
6.81.6697575E-51.8978053E-51.8978053E-51.00.07.155907E-58.133203E-58.133203E-51.00.08.7088346E-49.89777E-49.89777E-41.00.00.0086747840.0098547140.0098547141.00.0
6.91.5218415E-51.726971E-51.726971E-51.00.06.522015E-57.401099E-57.401099E-51.00.07.93766E-49.0072013E-49.0072013E-41.00.00.0079093670.008971640.008971641.00.0
7.01.2392958E-51.4033262E-51.4033262E-51.00.05.3111595E-56.0141207E-56.0141207E-51.00.06.4644177E-47.319808E-47.319808E-41.00.00.00644564540.00729648440.00729648441.00.0
7.11.0934128E-51.2375354E-51.2375354E-51.00.04.6859706E-55.3036194E-55.3036194E-51.00.05.7036756E-46.455317E-46.455317E-41.00.00.00568905850.0064373120.0064373121.00.0
7.29.5798805E-61.0845125E-51.0845125E-51.00.04.1055984E-54.647832E-54.647832E-51.00.04.9974193E-45.657338E-45.657338E-41.00.00.00498619630.005643660.005643661.00.0
7.38.0167365E-69.084078E-69.084078E-61.00.03.4356988E-53.8931223E-53.8931223E-51.00.04.1821605E-44.738916E-44.738916E-41.00.00.00417429860.0047295130.0047295131.00.0
7.42.9581017E-63.36244E-63.36244E-61.00.01.2677518E-51.4410407E-51.4410407E-51.00.01.5433785E-41.7543763E-41.7543763E-41.00.00.0015423070.00175348630.00175348631.00.0

Mission Creek

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1549387E-51.6325142E-52.6324979E-51.6125421.0E-54.9496433E-56.9963105E-58.99617E-51.28584492.0E-56.0245243E-48.514829E-48.8145735E-41.03520263.0E-50.0060082180.0085116990.0085711881.00698916.0E-5
6.11.1549387E-51.6325142E-52.6324979E-51.6125421.0E-54.9496433E-56.9963105E-58.99617E-51.28584492.0E-56.0245243E-48.514829E-48.8145735E-41.03520263.0E-50.0060082180.0085116990.0085711881.00698916.0E-5
6.21.1549387E-51.6325142E-52.6324979E-51.6125421.0E-54.9496433E-56.9963105E-58.99617E-51.28584492.0E-56.0245243E-48.514829E-48.8145735E-41.03520263.0E-50.0060082180.0085116990.0085711881.00698916.0E-5
6.31.1549387E-51.6325142E-52.6324979E-51.6125421.0E-54.9496433E-56.9963105E-58.99617E-51.28584492.0E-56.0245243E-48.514829E-48.8145735E-41.03520263.0E-50.0060082180.0085116990.0085711881.00698916.0E-5
6.41.1549387E-51.6325142E-52.6324979E-51.6125421.0E-54.9496433E-56.9963105E-58.99617E-51.28584492.0E-56.0245243E-48.514829E-48.8145735E-41.03520263.0E-50.0060082180.0085116990.0085711881.00698916.0E-5
6.51.1549387E-51.6325142E-52.6324979E-51.6125421.0E-54.9496433E-56.9963105E-58.99617E-51.28584492.0E-56.0245243E-48.514829E-48.8145735E-41.03520263.0E-50.0060082180.0085116990.0085711881.00698916.0E-5
6.69.202681E-61.3848401E-52.3848263E-51.7220951.0E-53.9439463E-55.934899E-57.93478E-51.33696972.0E-54.800697E-47.2234345E-47.5232174E-41.04150153.0E-50.0047903390.00722887460.0072884411.00824016.0E-5
6.79.019164E-61.3654068E-52.3653933E-51.73237241.0E-53.8652986E-55.8516176E-57.8515004E-51.34176592.0E-54.7049852E-47.1221055E-47.421892E-41.04209233.0E-50.0046950360.00712819860.00718777071.00835736.0E-5
6.88.673558E-61.3276174E-52.3276041E-51.7532191.0E-53.717186E-55.68967E-57.689556E-51.35149422.0E-54.524734E-46.92506E-47.224852E-41.0432913.0E-50.00451553240.00693238430.00699196851.0085956.0E-5
6.97.002255E-61.1480386E-52.1480271E-51.87104081.0E-53.000932E-54.9200764E-56.919978E-51.40647782.0E-53.653022E-45.988615E-46.2884355E-41.0500653.0E-50.00364702290.00600119960.00606083961.0099386.0E-5
7.05.84644E-69.677556E-61.9677458E-52.03330871.0E-52.5055931E-54.1474606E-56.147377E-51.48220282.0E-53.0501327E-45.0484086E-45.348257E-41.05939473.0E-50.00304594960.00506545650.00512515241.01178496.0E-5
7.15.54703E-69.332022E-61.9331928E-52.07156921.0E-52.377277E-53.9993793E-55.999299E-51.50005762.0E-52.8939504E-44.868201E-45.168055E-41.06159443.0E-50.00289018450.0048860460.00494575271.01221996.0E-5
7.24.384709E-67.683992E-61.7683915E-52.30139681.0E-51.8791474E-53.2931002E-55.2930343E-51.60731042.0E-52.2876218E-44.0086484E-44.3085282E-41.07480823.0E-50.00228526820.00402988630.00408964461.01482886.0E-5
7.33.7888456E-66.917821E-61.6917751E-52.44553181.0E-51.623781E-52.9647486E-54.9646893E-51.67457342.0E-51.9767738E-43.609017E-43.9089087E-41.08309513.0E-50.00197501620.00363161530.00369139761.01646166.0E-5
7.42.1982462E-65.026073E-61.5026023E-52.9896151.0E-59.421021E-62.1540136E-54.1539704E-51.92847922.0E-51.1469489E-42.6221978E-42.9221192E-41.11437793.0E-50.00114635720.00264734940.00270719061.02260426.0E-5
7.52.051923E-64.617237E-61.46171915E-53.16578721.0E-58.793926E-61.978801E-53.9787614E-52.0106932.0E-51.0706078E-42.4089254E-42.708853E-41.12450683.0E-50.00107009220.00243501250.00249486631.02458056.0E-5
7.61.8733427E-64.125508E-61.4125467E-53.42393371.0E-58.028587E-61.768063E-53.7680275E-52.13116152.0E-59.774366E-52.1524049E-42.4523403E-41.1393493.0E-59.770069E-40.0021795290.00223939821.02746896.0E-5
7.71.8411953E-64.0451673E-61.4045127E-53.47207571.0E-57.890813E-61.7336315E-53.733597E-52.15362762.0E-59.606641E-52.1104928E-42.4104296E-41.14211693.0E-59.6024893E-40.00213781020.0021976821.02800616.0E-5
7.81.7194251E-63.7123866E-61.371235E-53.69367481.0E-57.368944E-61.5910133E-53.5909812E-52.25704052.0E-58.97132E-51.9368871E-42.236829E-41.15485783.0E-58.967699E-40.00196369880.0020235811.03049466.0E-5
7.91.4035052E-62.9516495E-61.295162E-54.3879261.0E-56.0150082E-61.2649865E-53.2649612E-52.58102442.0E-57.3230265E-51.5400129E-41.8399667E-41.19477363.0E-57.3206134E-40.00156423110.00162413731.03829756.0E-5
8.03.9318823E-75.531722E-75.531722E-71.00.01.6850913E-62.370736E-62.370736E-61.00.02.0515794E-52.8863333E-52.8863333E-51.00.02.0513899E-42.9927568E-42.9927568E-41.00.0
8.11.596793E-71.13891964E-71.13891964E-71.00.06.8433974E-74.881083E-74.881083E-71.00.08.331805E-65.942703E-65.942703E-61.00.08.331492E-56.555237E-56.555237E-51.00.0
8.24.9003038E-82.5465459E-82.5465459E-81.00.02.10013E-71.0913767E-71.0913767E-71.00.02.5569052E-61.3287504E-61.3287504E-61.00.02.556876E-51.49686575E-51.49686575E-51.00.0

Deep Springs

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9810619E-52.311303E-52.311303E-51.00.08.489989E-59.9054945E-59.9054945E-51.00.00.0010331660.00120583440.00124578621.03313214.0E-50.0102837570.0120426960.0121019731.00492236.0E-5
6.11.9810619E-52.311303E-52.311303E-51.00.08.489989E-59.9054945E-59.9054945E-51.00.00.0010331660.00120583440.00124578621.03313214.0E-50.0102837570.0120426960.0121019731.00492236.0E-5
6.21.9810619E-52.311303E-52.311303E-51.00.08.489989E-59.9054945E-59.9054945E-51.00.00.0010331660.00120583440.00124578621.03313214.0E-50.0102837570.0120426960.0121019731.00492236.0E-5
6.31.9810619E-52.311303E-52.311303E-51.00.08.489989E-59.9054945E-59.9054945E-51.00.00.0010331660.00120583440.00124578621.03313214.0E-50.0102837570.0120426960.0121019731.00492236.0E-5
6.41.9810619E-52.311303E-52.311303E-51.00.08.489989E-59.9054945E-59.9054945E-51.00.00.0010331660.00120583440.00124578621.03313214.0E-50.0102837570.0120426960.0121019731.00492236.0E-5
6.51.7190405E-52.0051E-52.0051E-51.00.07.367108E-58.593286E-58.593286E-51.00.08.9657627E-40.00104623230.0010762011.02864433.0E-50.0089296760.0104622920.0105018731.00378324.0E-5
6.61.7190405E-52.0051E-52.0051E-51.00.07.367108E-58.593286E-58.593286E-51.00.08.9657627E-40.00104623230.0010762011.02864433.0E-50.0089296760.0104622920.0105018731.00378324.0E-5

San Diego Trough north alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.329252E-58.821515E-59.821427E-51.11334921.0E-53.14073E-43.780138E-43.9800623E-41.05288822.0E-50.00381713550.0045931730.00465289741.01300296.0E-50.037522310.045046330.0451036241.0012726.0E-5
6.13.7940346E-54.4886026E-54.4886026E-51.00.01.6259136E-41.9235504E-41.9235504E-41.00.00.00197775240.00233948840.00235944171.00852882.0E-50.0196024310.0231572930.023176831.00084362.0E-5
6.22.8645263E-53.3297452E-53.3297452E-51.00.01.2275964E-41.4269572E-41.4269572E-41.00.00.00149357390.00173595840.0017459411.00575051.0E-50.01483575350.0172266380.0172364671.00057051.0E-5
6.32.8645263E-53.3297452E-53.3297452E-51.00.01.2275964E-41.4269572E-41.4269572E-41.00.00.00149357390.00173595840.0017459411.00575051.0E-50.01483575350.0172266380.0172364671.00057051.0E-5
6.42.2204576E-52.5448819E-52.5448819E-51.00.09.5159E-51.0906186E-41.0906186E-41.00.00.0011579450.00132702870.00133701551.00752571.0E-50.0115192980.0131922150.0132020831.0007481.0E-5
6.52.1004838E-52.402516E-52.402516E-51.00.09.0017624E-51.02960956E-41.02960956E-41.00.00.00109541360.00125283760.00126282511.00797191.0E-50.0109002960.012458830.0124687061.00079261.0E-5
6.61.820557E-52.070517E-52.070517E-51.00.07.802154E-58.873346E-58.873346E-51.00.09.4949827E-40.00107979980.0010897891.0092511.0E-50.0094545160.01074620150.0107560941.00092051.0E-5
6.71.5884485E-51.7983964E-51.7983964E-51.00.06.807459E-57.707187E-57.707187E-51.00.08.284929E-49.379488E-49.4793946E-41.01065161.0E-50.0082541090.0093402680.0093501741.00106061.0E-5
6.81.4331171E-51.6201348E-51.6201348E-51.00.06.141786E-56.9432506E-56.9432506E-51.00.07.4750587E-48.4501493E-48.4501493E-41.00.00.00744996450.0084182850.0084182851.00.0
6.91.2574203E-51.4206081E-51.4206081E-51.00.05.3888325E-56.088179E-56.088179E-51.00.06.558929E-47.4098515E-47.4098515E-41.00.00.00653960370.00738533070.00738533071.00.0
7.01.0883844E-51.22894735E-51.22894735E-51.00.04.664421E-55.2668114E-55.2668114E-51.00.05.677453E-46.410466E-46.410466E-41.00.00.005662970.00639210270.00639210271.00.0
7.19.393088E-61.0607203E-51.0607203E-51.00.04.025547E-54.5458655E-54.5458655E-51.00.04.900001E-45.5331935E-45.5331935E-41.00.00.00488921070.0055195130.0055195131.00.0
7.28.190791E-69.258787E-69.258787E-61.00.03.510292E-53.9679915E-53.9679915E-51.00.04.2729423E-44.8299658E-44.8299658E-41.00.00.00426473560.0048195480.0048195481.00.0
7.36.268162E-67.08984E-67.08984E-61.00.02.6863276E-53.0384675E-53.0384675E-51.00.03.2701128E-43.6987104E-43.6987104E-41.00.00.0032653050.00369260040.00369260041.00.0
7.44.985186E-65.6427807E-65.6427807E-61.00.02.1364907E-52.4183124E-52.4183124E-51.00.02.600867E-42.9439016E-42.9439016E-41.00.00.0025978250.0029400430.0029400431.00.0
7.51.7489613E-61.9697113E-61.9697113E-61.00.07.495527E-68.441594E-68.441594E-61.00.09.125422E-51.0277178E-41.0277178E-41.00.09.1216754E-40.00102726450.00102726451.00.0
7.61.6988751E-71.7533898E-71.7533898E-71.00.07.2808916E-77.5145255E-77.5145255E-71.00.08.864449E-69.148898E-69.148898E-61.00.08.8640954E-59.148542E-59.148542E-51.00.0

Lost Hills

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.233523E-52.5106996E-53.5106743E-51.39828541.0E-59.571891E-51.0759792E-41.1759684E-41.09292861.0E-50.00116475460.00130938550.00131937241.00762711.0E-50.0115866860.0130333040.0130826521.00378635.0E-5
6.12.233523E-52.5106996E-53.5106743E-51.39828541.0E-59.571891E-51.0759792E-41.1759684E-41.09292861.0E-50.00116475460.00130938550.00131937241.00762711.0E-50.0115866860.0130333040.0130826521.00378635.0E-5
6.22.233523E-52.5106996E-53.5106743E-51.39828541.0E-59.571891E-51.0759792E-41.1759684E-41.09292861.0E-50.00116475460.00130938550.00131937241.00762711.0E-50.0115866860.0130333040.0130826521.00378635.0E-5
6.32.233523E-52.5106996E-53.5106743E-51.39828541.0E-59.571891E-51.0759792E-41.1759684E-41.09292861.0E-50.00116475460.00130938550.00131937241.00762711.0E-50.0115866860.0130333040.0130826521.00378635.0E-5
6.41.2288092E-51.37813295E-52.3781191E-51.72560941.0E-55.2662188E-55.9062033E-56.906144E-51.16930351.0E-56.409735E-47.189368E-47.289296E-41.01389941.0E-50.0063912790.0071753160.0072150291.00553464.0E-5
6.51.2288092E-51.37813295E-52.3781191E-51.72560941.0E-55.2662188E-55.9062033E-56.906144E-51.16930351.0E-56.409735E-47.189368E-47.289296E-41.01389941.0E-50.0063912790.0071753160.0072150291.00553464.0E-5
6.68.58281E-69.633926E-61.963383E-52.03798841.0E-53.6782953E-54.1288073E-55.1287658E-51.24219071.0E-54.4774043E-45.026495E-45.1264453E-41.01988461.0E-50.00446839350.00502328670.0050630861.00792294.0E-5
6.77.205685E-68.088433E-61.8088353E-52.23632341.0E-53.088114E-53.4664714E-54.4664368E-51.28846781.0E-53.7591302E-44.2204288E-44.3203865E-41.02368431.0E-50.00375277760.0042204290.004260261.00943774.0E-5

Santa Cruz Island

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9164563E-53.1600095E-53.1600095E-51.00.01.2498499E-41.3542273E-41.3542273E-41.00.00.00152063010.0016476610.00165764441.00605921.0E-50.0151026670.016368180.0164173621.00300475.0E-5
6.12.9164563E-53.1600095E-53.1600095E-51.00.01.2498499E-41.3542273E-41.3542273E-41.00.00.00152063010.0016476610.00165764441.00605921.0E-50.0151026670.016368180.0164173621.00300475.0E-5
6.22.9164563E-53.1600095E-53.1600095E-51.00.01.2498499E-41.3542273E-41.3542273E-41.00.00.00152063010.0016476610.00165764441.00605921.0E-50.0151026670.016368180.0164173621.00300475.0E-5
6.31.6635553E-51.7804527E-51.7804527E-51.00.07.1293274E-57.630298E-57.630298E-51.00.08.6765E-49.2861115E-49.2861115E-41.00.00.0086427010.0092491810.0092689951.00214232.0E-5
6.41.6635553E-51.7804527E-51.7804527E-51.00.07.1293274E-57.630298E-57.630298E-51.00.08.6765E-49.2861115E-49.2861115E-41.00.00.0086427010.0092491810.0092689951.00214232.0E-5
6.51.2238748E-51.3043111E-51.3043111E-51.00.05.2450723E-55.5897868E-55.5897868E-51.00.06.3840044E-46.8034773E-46.8034773E-41.00.00.00636569550.00678304770.0068029121.00292852.0E-5
6.61.0489767E-51.11567315E-51.11567315E-51.00.04.495537E-54.78137E-54.78137E-51.00.05.4719415E-45.8197853E-45.8197853E-41.00.00.0054584870.00580478550.00581472741.00171271.0E-5
6.78.699222E-69.236859E-69.236859E-61.00.03.7281847E-53.9585942E-53.9585942E-51.00.04.5381195E-44.8185283E-44.8185283E-41.00.00.00452886340.0048081480.00481811.00206981.0E-5
6.88.307732E-68.816977E-68.816977E-61.00.03.560408E-53.77865E-53.77865E-51.00.04.3339343E-44.5995397E-44.5995397E-41.00.00.0043254920.0045900730.00460002761.00216871.0E-5
6.98.073121E-68.56501E-68.56501E-61.00.03.459863E-53.670667E-53.670667E-51.00.04.2115687E-44.4681248E-44.4681248E-41.00.00.0042035960.00445919250.00446914831.00223261.0E-5
7.07.617019E-68.07473E-68.07473E-61.00.03.264396E-53.4605528E-53.4605528E-51.00.03.9736772E-44.2124125E-44.2124125E-41.00.00.0039665790.00420447530.00421443351.00236851.0E-5
7.17.1224836E-67.545849E-67.545849E-61.00.03.052457E-53.2338954E-53.2338954E-51.00.03.715733E-43.9365597E-43.9365597E-41.00.00.0037095260.00392962950.00393959041.00253471.0E-5
7.26.441115E-66.827439E-66.827439E-61.00.02.7604487E-52.9260125E-52.9260125E-51.00.03.360328E-43.5618403E-43.5618403E-41.00.00.00335525120.003556160.00356612451.0028021.0E-5
7.35.494274E-65.820041E-65.820041E-61.00.02.3546674E-52.4942798E-52.4942798E-51.00.02.8664304E-43.0363645E-43.0363645E-41.00.00.0028627360.0030322390.0030322391.00.0
7.44.0802624E-64.31229E-64.31229E-61.00.01.7486722E-51.8481112E-51.8481112E-51.00.02.1288003E-42.2498438E-42.2498438E-41.00.00.00212676220.0022475750.0022475751.00.0
7.52.3584746E-62.475327E-62.475327E-61.00.01.0107709E-51.0608502E-51.0608502E-51.00.01.2305441E-41.291509E-41.291509E-41.00.00.00122986290.00129076350.00129076351.00.0
7.69.4981914E-79.86099E-79.86099E-71.00.04.0706473E-64.226132E-64.226132E-61.00.04.9559E-55.1451956E-55.1451956E-51.00.04.954795E-45.144017E-45.144017E-41.00.0
7.72.6013532E-72.6416743E-72.6416743E-71.00.01.1148652E-61.1321456E-61.1321456E-61.00.01.3573399E-51.3783787E-51.3783787E-51.00.01.357257E-41.3782938E-41.3782938E-41.00.0
7.84.1522263E-83.9657085E-83.9657085E-81.00.01.7795254E-71.6995892E-71.6995892E-71.00.02.16657E-62.069248E-62.069248E-61.00.02.1665488E-52.0692309E-52.0692309E-51.00.0
7.97.7242046E-105.9475247E-105.9475247E-101.00.03.3103735E-92.5489395E-92.5489395E-91.00.04.0303796E-83.1033338E-83.1033338E-81.00.04.030379E-73.1033335E-73.1033335E-71.00.0

Santa Cruz Catalina Ridge alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2833184E-53.655896E-53.655896E-51.00.01.4070606E-41.5667279E-41.5667279E-41.00.00.001711750.00190598860.00190598861.00.00.0169862470.018913320.0189623741.00259365.0E-5
6.11.9835548E-52.1659771E-52.1659771E-51.00.08.500672E-59.2824404E-59.2824404E-51.00.00.00103446550.00112957130.00112957131.00.00.0102966320.0112404330.0112602091.00175932.0E-5
6.21.9835548E-52.1659771E-52.1659771E-51.00.08.500672E-59.2824404E-59.2824404E-51.00.00.00103446550.00112957130.00112957131.00.00.0102966320.0112404330.0112602091.00175932.0E-5
6.31.5728183E-51.7034137E-51.7034137E-51.00.06.7404755E-57.3001436E-57.3001436E-51.00.08.2034385E-48.884362E-48.884362E-41.00.00.0081732220.0088495240.0088693471.00224012.0E-5
6.41.5728183E-51.7034137E-51.7034137E-51.00.06.7404755E-57.3001436E-57.3001436E-51.00.08.2034385E-48.884362E-48.884362E-41.00.00.0081732220.0088495240.0088693471.00224012.0E-5
6.51.3707734E-51.4794678E-51.4794678E-51.00.05.8746107E-56.3404244E-56.3404244E-51.00.07.1499916E-47.716768E-47.716768E-41.00.00.00712703030.00769037050.00771021661.00258062.0E-5
6.61.2539813E-51.3510358E-51.3510358E-51.00.05.3740947E-55.7900266E-55.7900266E-51.00.06.540996E-47.0471043E-47.0471043E-41.00.00.00652177630.00702506070.00704491981.00282692.0E-5
6.71.1504083E-51.23775E-51.23775E-51.00.04.930228E-55.304536E-55.304536E-51.00.06.0008996E-46.456379E-46.456379E-41.00.00.0059847210.00643785070.00644778651.00154331.0E-5
6.81.012739E-51.0877178E-51.0877178E-51.00.04.340238E-54.6615653E-54.6615653E-51.00.05.282958E-45.673993E-45.673993E-41.00.00.00527041640.0056596750.00566961851.00175691.0E-5
6.98.9607865E-69.60921E-69.60921E-61.00.03.8402806E-54.1181684E-54.1181684E-51.00.04.6745385E-45.0127273E-45.0127273E-41.00.00.00466471770.005001540.00501148961.00198941.0E-5
7.08.046829E-68.619827E-68.619827E-61.00.03.4485955E-53.6941598E-53.6941598E-51.00.04.1978562E-44.4967196E-44.4967196E-41.00.00.0041899350.0044877110.00449766641.00221841.0E-5
7.17.136131E-67.637727E-67.637727E-61.00.03.0583058E-53.273271E-53.273271E-51.00.03.7228514E-43.9844858E-43.9844858E-41.00.00.00371662060.00397741840.00398737841.00250421.0E-5
7.26.362014E-66.8050217E-66.8050217E-61.00.02.726549E-52.9164055E-52.9164055E-51.00.03.3190678E-43.5501516E-43.5501516E-41.00.00.00331411490.00354454880.00355451321.00281121.0E-5
7.35.004101E-65.3517642E-65.3517642E-61.00.02.1445969E-52.2935934E-52.2935934E-51.00.02.6107338E-42.7920975E-42.7920975E-41.00.00.0026076690.00278864430.00278864431.00.0
7.43.4901443E-63.732087E-63.732087E-61.00.01.4957676E-51.5994563E-51.5994563E-51.00.01.8209449E-41.9471678E-41.9471678E-41.00.00.00181945340.00194550030.00194550031.00.0
7.51.1215045E-61.1893966E-61.1893966E-61.00.04.806439E-65.0974045E-65.0974045E-61.00.05.851682E-56.205916E-56.205916E-51.00.05.850142E-46.204214E-46.204214E-41.00.0
7.62.8599047E-72.9952182E-72.9952182E-71.00.01.2256729E-61.2836642E-61.2836642E-61.00.01.4922465E-51.5628502E-51.5628502E-51.00.01.4921463E-41.5627417E-41.5627417E-41.00.0
7.72.0781519E-72.1744457E-72.1744457E-71.00.08.906362E-79.3190494E-79.3190494E-71.00.01.08434415E-51.1345885E-51.1345885E-51.00.01.0842913E-41.1345315E-41.1345315E-41.00.0
7.83.614776E-83.7641225E-83.7641225E-81.00.01.5491896E-71.6131952E-71.6131952E-71.00.01.8861368E-61.9640636E-61.9640636E-61.00.01.8861208E-51.9640474E-51.9640474E-51.00.0

Santa Ynez River

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6396456E-51.7209572E-51.7209572E-51.00.07.026863E-57.375342E-57.375342E-51.00.08.551848E-48.976135E-49.175956E-41.02226132.0E-50.00851901250.0089434280.0089929811.00554075.0E-5
6.11.6396456E-51.7209572E-51.7209572E-51.00.07.026863E-57.375342E-57.375342E-51.00.08.551848E-48.976135E-49.175956E-41.02226132.0E-50.00851901250.0089434280.0089929811.00554075.0E-5
6.21.6396456E-51.7209572E-51.7209572E-51.00.07.026863E-57.375342E-57.375342E-51.00.08.551848E-48.976135E-49.175956E-41.02226132.0E-50.00851901250.0089434280.0089929811.00554075.0E-5
6.39.736976E-61.0122406E-51.0122406E-51.00.04.172923E-54.3381046E-54.3381046E-51.00.05.0793495E-45.280412E-45.3803594E-41.01892791.0E-50.0050677550.0052683710.00530816061.00755254.0E-5
6.49.736976E-61.0122406E-51.0122406E-51.00.04.172923E-54.3381046E-54.3381046E-51.00.05.0793495E-45.280412E-45.3803594E-41.01892791.0E-50.0050677550.0052683710.00530816061.00755254.0E-5
6.57.081964E-67.3299525E-67.3299525E-61.00.03.035092E-53.1413714E-53.1413714E-51.00.03.694598E-43.8239642E-43.923926E-41.02614091.0E-50.00368846160.0038175460.00384743141.00782853.0E-5
6.65.873247E-66.0597904E-66.0597904E-61.00.02.5170815E-52.5970277E-52.5970277E-51.00.03.064116E-43.161431E-43.161431E-41.00.00.00305989430.0031570210.00316698941.00315751.0E-5
6.74.973277E-65.1159423E-65.1159423E-61.00.02.1313872E-52.1925287E-52.1925287E-51.00.02.5946548E-42.6690814E-42.6690814E-41.00.00.00259162740.00266592460.00266592461.00.0
6.84.396492E-64.511015E-64.511015E-61.00.01.884197E-51.9332781E-51.9332781E-51.00.02.2937685E-42.3535153E-42.3535153E-41.00.00.00229140230.00235105820.00235105821.00.0
6.93.5255632E-63.6013655E-63.6013655E-61.00.01.5109469E-51.5434332E-51.5434332E-51.00.01.8394225E-41.8789696E-41.8789696E-41.00.00.00183790070.00187739710.00187739711.00.0
7.03.211603E-63.2736843E-63.2736843E-61.00.01.376394E-51.4030001E-51.4030001E-51.00.01.6756308E-41.7080201E-41.7080201E-41.00.00.00167436790.00170672150.00170672151.00.0
7.12.5094619E-62.5409465E-62.5409465E-61.00.01.0754793E-51.0889726E-51.0889726E-51.00.01.3093173E-41.325744E-41.325744E-41.00.00.00130854620.00132495910.00132495911.00.0
7.22.0515774E-62.0619607E-62.0619607E-61.00.08.792445E-68.836944E-68.836944E-61.00.01.0704277E-41.0758453E-41.0758453E-41.00.00.00106991220.00107532880.00107532881.00.0
7.31.6845745E-61.6774113E-61.6774113E-61.00.07.219585E-67.188886E-67.188886E-61.00.08.78949E-58.75212E-58.75212E-51.00.08.7860145E-48.7487017E-48.7487017E-41.00.0
7.41.3600285E-61.3333537E-61.3333537E-61.00.05.82868E-65.71436E-65.71436E-61.00.07.096187E-56.957014E-56.957014E-51.00.07.0939213E-46.954858E-46.954858E-41.00.0
7.59.735342E-79.290247E-79.290247E-71.00.04.172283E-63.981528E-63.981528E-61.00.05.079636E-54.8474045E-54.8474045E-51.00.05.0784746E-44.8463643E-44.8463643E-41.00.0
7.65.067187E-74.77864E-74.77864E-71.00.02.1716498E-62.047987E-62.047987E-61.00.02.6439517E-52.4933963E-52.4933963E-51.00.02.643637E-42.493124E-42.493124E-41.00.0
7.72.769089E-72.575952E-72.575952E-71.00.01.1867519E-61.1039789E-61.1039789E-61.00.01.4448608E-51.344086E-51.344086E-51.00.01.444767E-41.344005E-41.344005E-41.00.0
7.81.7044663E-71.5449315E-71.5449315E-71.00.07.3048534E-76.621133E-76.621133E-71.00.08.893623E-68.0612E-68.0612E-61.00.08.893267E-58.06091E-58.06091E-51.00.0
7.94.8344287E-84.0911427E-84.0911427E-81.00.02.0718979E-71.7533468E-71.7533468E-71.00.02.5225327E-62.1346975E-62.1346975E-61.00.02.5225041E-52.1346776E-52.1346776E-51.00.0

San Jacinto (Borrego)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.543992E-52.7933444E-53.7933165E-51.35798381.0E-51.5187653E-41.1970933E-41.2970813E-41.08352571.0E-50.00184752840.0014564990.00147646981.01371162.0E-50.0183224360.0148714390.0149206961.00331215.0E-5
6.13.542281E-52.7933444E-53.7933165E-51.35798381.0E-51.5180321E-41.1970933E-41.2970813E-41.08352571.0E-50.00184663720.0014564990.00147646981.01371162.0E-50.0183136720.0148714390.0149206961.00331215.0E-5
6.23.4688688E-52.7933444E-53.7933165E-51.35798381.0E-51.4865733E-41.1970933E-41.2970813E-41.08352571.0E-50.00180840050.0014564990.00147646981.01371162.0E-50.0179375480.0148714390.0149206961.00331215.0E-5
6.33.2087122E-52.7778793E-53.7778515E-51.35997691.0E-51.3750899E-41.1904661E-41.2904541E-41.08399071.0E-50.00167288620.00144844110.0014684121.0137882.0E-50.0166034880.0147925970.0148418571.00333015.0E-5
6.43.1828724E-52.774577E-53.7745493E-51.36040531.0E-51.364017E-41.1890509E-41.289039E-41.08409071.0E-50.00165942540.00144672030.00146669141.01380432.0E-50.0164708850.014775790.0148250521.00333395.0E-5
6.53.1563577E-52.7485452E-53.7485177E-51.36381891.0E-51.3526545E-41.1778954E-41.2778837E-41.08488711.0E-50.00164561280.00143315640.00145312781.01393522.0E-50.01633480.0146431860.0146924541.00336465.0E-5
6.63.1467625E-52.7329666E-53.7329395E-51.36589281.0E-51.3485427E-41.17121956E-41.2712079E-41.08537111.0E-50.00164061420.00142503930.00144501081.01401472.0E-50.0162855480.0145633480.014612621.00338335.0E-5
6.73.1223695E-52.6947682E-53.694741E-51.37107941.0E-51.3380898E-41.1548502E-41.2548387E-41.08658131.0E-50.00162790680.00140513540.00142510721.01421362.0E-50.016160330.014367620.0144169021.003435.0E-5
6.83.1015585E-52.6768674E-53.6768404E-51.3735611.0E-51.3291716E-41.1471791E-41.2471677E-41.08716031.0E-50.0016170650.00139580780.00141577981.01430862.0E-50.0160534870.0142748740.0143241591.00345275.0E-5
6.92.6641965E-52.2190488E-53.2190266E-51.45063351.0E-51.1417485E-49.509865E-51.050977E-41.1051441.0E-50.00138919240.0011572150.00117719191.01726282.0E-50.01380540150.0118853860.0119347921.00415685.0E-5
7.02.3854353E-52.0485062E-53.0484856E-51.48815061.0E-51.02228936E-48.7790184E-59.778931E-51.11389791.0E-50.00124392660.0010683240.00108830261.0187012.0E-50.0123698660.0109857490.0110351991.00450135.0E-5
7.12.3672901E-52.0321548E-53.0321344E-51.49207851.0E-51.0145135E-48.708945E-59.708858E-51.11481451.0E-50.00123447020.00105980090.00107977971.01885152.0E-50.01227635050.010900980.0109504351.00453675.0E-5
7.22.2717244E-51.9548863E-52.9548666E-51.51152871.0E-59.735599E-58.377816E-59.377732E-51.11935281.0E-50.00118466460.00101952420.00103950371.0195972.0E-50.011783690.0104984570.0105479311.00471265.0E-5
7.32.1016205E-51.8390432E-52.8390248E-51.5437511.0E-59.006634E-57.881377E-58.881299E-51.12687131.0E-50.0010960069.5913734E-49.791182E-41.02083212.0E-50.0109061630.0098940830.0099435891.00500365.0E-5
7.42.0683625E-51.819294E-52.8192759E-51.54965381.0E-58.86411E-57.796742E-58.796665E-51.12824871.0E-50.0010786719.4884203E-49.688231E-41.02105832.0E-50.0107345010.0097908150.0098403251.00505695.0E-5
7.51.9993966E-51.7787928E-52.778775E-51.5621691.0E-58.568561E-57.6231765E-58.6231E-51.1311691.0E-50.0010427239.2772854E-49.4770995E-41.0215382.0E-50.0103784380.0095777020.0096272231.00517055.0E-5
7.61.788966E-51.6441034E-52.644087E-51.60822431.0E-57.666772E-57.045968E-58.045897E-51.14191511.0E-59.3302975E-48.575107E-48.774936E-41.02330332.0E-50.009291220.008869510.0089190671.00558735.0E-5
7.71.5125781E-51.4242966E-52.4242825E-51.7020911.0E-56.4823165E-56.1039864E-57.103925E-51.16381741.0E-57.889362E-47.4290775E-47.628929E-41.02690122.0E-50.0078614120.0077171760.007766791.00642915.0E-5
7.81.250089E-51.2635926E-52.26358E-51.79138431.0E-55.3574146E-55.415285E-56.415231E-51.18465241.0E-56.5207E-46.591121E-46.7909894E-41.03032392.0E-50.0065015990.00687065530.0069203121.00722735.0E-5
7.99.561E-69.759346E-61.9759247E-52.0246491.0E-54.0975072E-54.1825097E-55.182468E-51.23908091.0E-54.987573E-45.0910213E-45.29092E-41.03926482.0E-50.00497639370.0053549630.0054046951.00928715.0E-5
8.08.01699E-68.297771E-61.8297687E-52.2051331.0E-53.4358076E-53.5561392E-54.556104E-51.28119391.0E-54.1822926E-44.3287448E-44.5286582E-41.04618282.0E-50.00417443040.0045757340.00462550531.01087735.0E-5
8.16.541947E-66.465709E-61.6465645E-52.54661081.0E-52.8036617E-52.7709888E-53.770961E-51.3608721.0E-53.4129233E-43.3731616E-43.473128E-41.02963581.0E-50.00340768650.00358253860.00361243121.00834393.0E-5
8.21.7968189E-67.9757825E-77.9757825E-71.00.07.70063E-63.4181883E-63.4181883E-61.00.09.3751136E-54.161567E-54.161567E-51.00.09.371159E-44.7149012E-44.7149012E-41.00.0
8.31.5167889E-74.9005383E-84.9005383E-81.00.06.500522E-72.1002305E-72.1002305E-71.00.07.9143565E-62.557028E-62.557028E-61.00.07.914075E-52.9710194E-52.9710194E-51.00.0

Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.4353277E-57.050336E-57.050336E-51.00.02.3292181E-43.0212323E-43.0212323E-41.00.00.00283213520.00367215650.00370204631.00813963.0E-50.027963120.0361172740.036165471.00133445.0E-5
6.14.5578287E-55.8223057E-55.8223057E-51.00.01.953209E-42.4950382E-42.4950382E-41.00.00.00237543830.00303347550.00306338441.00985973.0E-50.0235020630.0299210440.0299598461.00129694.0E-5
6.22.8536782E-53.4737728E-53.4737728E-51.00.01.2229476E-41.4886676E-41.4886676E-41.00.00.00148792170.00181092220.00183088591.01102412.0E-50.0147799860.0179589040.0179785451.00109362.0E-5
6.32.3698774E-52.8214345E-52.8214345E-51.00.01.01562226E-41.2091216E-41.2091216E-41.00.00.00123581860.0014711010.00149107151.01357532.0E-50.0122896860.0146119420.01463164951.00134872.0E-5
6.41.9191197E-52.2123615E-52.2123615E-51.00.08.2245395E-59.481171E-59.481171E-51.00.00.00100087770.00115372680.00116371531.00865761.0E-50.0099638180.0114773770.0114872621.00086131.0E-5
6.51.5203241E-51.6801783E-51.6801783E-51.00.06.5155116E-57.200525E-57.200525E-51.00.07.9297484E-48.763255E-48.763255E-41.00.00.0079015120.0087298230.0087298231.00.0
6.61.0984925E-51.1242807E-51.1242807E-51.00.04.70774E-54.8182592E-54.8182592E-51.00.05.730166E-45.864689E-45.864689E-41.00.00.0057154130.00584960360.00584960361.00.0
6.79.134616E-69.020056E-69.020056E-61.00.03.9147766E-53.8656824E-53.8656824E-51.00.04.7651984E-44.7054756E-44.7054756E-41.00.00.0047549930.00469575730.00469575731.00.0
6.87.785589E-67.4520726E-67.4520726E-61.00.03.3366385E-53.1937074E-53.1937074E-51.00.04.0616E-43.8876652E-43.8876652E-41.00.00.00405418450.00388106820.00388106821.00.0
6.95.579095E-64.898567E-64.898567E-61.00.02.3910188E-52.0993697E-52.0993697E-51.00.02.9106764E-42.5556967E-42.5556967E-41.00.00.0029068670.0025528950.0025528951.00.0
7.02.6816688E-61.5216133E-61.5216133E-61.00.01.1492816E-56.521184E-66.521184E-61.00.01.3991605E-47.939261E-57.939261E-51.00.00.00139827997.9365115E-47.9365115E-41.00.0
7.11.9951021E-67.453698E-77.453698E-71.00.08.55041E-63.1944382E-63.1944382E-61.00.01.0409627E-43.8891634E-53.8891634E-51.00.00.00104047523.8885244E-43.8885244E-41.00.0
7.21.9951021E-67.453698E-77.453698E-71.00.08.55041E-63.1944382E-63.1944382E-61.00.01.0409627E-43.8891634E-53.8891634E-51.00.00.00104047523.8885244E-43.8885244E-41.00.0
7.31.7087556E-66.5787674E-76.5787674E-71.00.07.3232177E-62.8194688E-62.8194688E-61.00.08.915652E-53.4326535E-53.4326535E-51.00.08.9120766E-43.4321635E-43.4321635E-41.00.0
7.41.3804846E-66.0737995E-76.0737995E-71.00.05.916349E-62.6030546E-62.6030546E-61.00.07.2029165E-53.169177E-53.169177E-51.00.07.200583E-43.168765E-43.168765E-41.00.0
7.51.3804846E-66.0737995E-76.0737995E-71.00.05.916349E-62.6030546E-62.6030546E-61.00.07.2029165E-53.169177E-53.169177E-51.00.07.200583E-43.168765E-43.168765E-41.00.0

Rose Canyon

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5923203E-54.9717553E-54.9717553E-51.00.01.9679888E-42.1305913E-42.2305701E-41.04692531.0E-50.00239339330.00259109940.00263099561.01539744.0E-50.0236777980.0256183130.0256670321.00190175.0E-5
6.14.5923203E-54.9717553E-54.9717553E-51.00.01.9679888E-42.1305913E-42.1305913E-41.00.00.00239339330.00259109940.00262102161.0115483.0E-50.0236777980.0256183130.0256475451.00114113.0E-5
6.22.8844734E-52.9670837E-52.9670837E-51.00.01.2361443E-41.2715468E-41.2715468E-41.00.00.00150396650.00154703620.00156700531.0129082.0E-50.01493828650.0153574770.01537716951.00128232.0E-5
6.32.3171577E-52.3163399E-52.3163399E-51.00.09.9302975E-59.9268E-59.9268E-51.00.00.00120834310.00120793120.00120793121.00.00.0120179380.0120046370.0120046371.00.0
6.42.0066604E-51.966902E-51.966902E-51.00.08.599689E-58.429313E-58.429313E-51.00.00.00104650920.00102579570.00102579571.00.00.0104159460.0102039160.0102039161.00.0
6.51.776989E-51.7115479E-51.7115479E-51.00.07.615444E-57.3350035E-57.3350035E-51.00.09.267859E-48.926777E-48.926777E-41.00.00.0092293030.0088798290.0088798291.00.0
6.61.5227364E-51.4340938E-51.4340938E-51.00.06.52585E-56.1459745E-56.1459745E-51.00.07.942326E-47.480207E-47.480207E-41.00.00.0079140.007445770.007445771.00.0
6.71.2703898E-51.167434E-51.167434E-51.00.05.4444143E-55.0031955E-55.0031955E-51.00.06.626558E-46.0897303E-46.0897303E-41.00.00.0066068330.006065760.006065761.00.0
6.81.1554917E-51.0610447E-51.0610447E-51.00.04.9520135E-54.5472574E-54.5472574E-51.00.06.0274085E-45.53492E-45.53492E-41.00.00.00601108650.0055072830.0055072831.00.0
6.98.732078E-67.882343E-67.882343E-61.00.03.7422655E-53.378105E-53.378105E-51.00.04.5552556E-44.112096E-44.112096E-41.00.00.00454592940.0040895450.0040895451.00.0
7.05.9337494E-65.1074826E-65.1074826E-61.00.02.5430107E-52.1889029E-52.1889029E-51.00.03.0956755E-42.6646646E-42.6646646E-41.00.00.00309136670.00266148520.00266148521.00.0
7.15.013409E-64.177376E-64.177376E-61.00.02.1485863E-51.7902918E-51.7902918E-51.00.02.6155898E-42.1794632E-42.1794632E-41.00.00.00261251330.00217733740.00217733741.00.0
7.24.120763E-63.2821204E-63.2821204E-61.00.01.7660293E-51.4066155E-51.4066155E-51.00.02.1499286E-41.7124206E-41.7124206E-41.00.00.00214784990.00171111070.00171111071.00.0
7.33.2081239E-62.440515E-62.440515E-61.00.01.374903E-51.0459307E-51.0459307E-51.00.01.6738157E-41.273347E-41.273347E-41.00.00.00167255560.00127262440.00127262441.00.0
7.42.4194755E-61.7680458E-61.7680458E-61.00.01.0369139E-57.5773173E-67.5773173E-61.00.01.2623696E-49.224998E-59.224998E-51.00.00.00126165279.221223E-49.221223E-41.00.0
7.51.3842889E-69.378391E-79.378391E-71.00.05.9326535E-64.0193045E-64.0193045E-61.00.07.222766E-54.893397E-54.893397E-51.00.07.220419E-44.8923545E-44.8923545E-41.00.0
7.61.0021575E-66.4114187E-76.4114187E-71.00.04.2949537E-62.7477479E-62.7477479E-61.00.05.2289808E-53.345334E-53.345334E-51.00.05.2277505E-43.3448517E-43.3448517E-41.00.0
7.78.7620116E-86.449342E-86.449342E-81.00.03.7551473E-72.7640036E-72.7640036E-71.00.04.5718825E-63.3651693E-63.3651693E-61.00.04.5717883E-53.3651213E-53.3651213E-51.00.0

San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.693995E-66.6628318E-61.6662765E-52.50085331.0E-52.8688235E-52.8554681E-53.8554397E-51.35019531.0E-53.492233E-43.4759787E-43.575944E-41.02875891.0E-50.003486750.00355089010.00360071261.01403095.0E-5
6.16.693995E-66.6628318E-61.6662765E-52.50085331.0E-52.8688235E-52.8554681E-53.8554397E-51.35019531.0E-53.492233E-43.4759787E-43.575944E-41.02875891.0E-50.003486750.00355089010.00360071261.01403095.0E-5
6.26.693995E-66.6628318E-61.6662765E-52.50085331.0E-52.8688235E-52.8554681E-53.8554397E-51.35019531.0E-53.492233E-43.4759787E-43.575944E-41.02875891.0E-50.003486750.00355089010.00360071261.01403095.0E-5
6.36.693995E-66.6628318E-61.6662765E-52.50085331.0E-52.8688235E-52.8554681E-53.8554397E-51.35019531.0E-53.492233E-43.4759787E-43.575944E-41.02875891.0E-50.003486750.00355089010.00360071261.01403095.0E-5
6.46.693995E-66.6628318E-61.6662765E-52.50085331.0E-52.8688235E-52.8554681E-53.8554397E-51.35019531.0E-53.492233E-43.4759787E-43.575944E-41.02875891.0E-50.003486750.00355089010.00360071261.01403095.0E-5
6.56.6561875E-66.6230496E-61.6622984E-52.50986841.0E-52.8526205E-52.838419E-53.8383907E-51.35229891.0E-53.472512E-43.455228E-43.5551933E-41.02893161.0E-50.00346709070.00353020550.00358002911.01411345.0E-5
6.66.6561875E-66.6230496E-61.6622984E-52.50986841.0E-52.8526205E-52.838419E-53.8383907E-51.35229891.0E-53.472512E-43.455228E-43.5551933E-41.02893161.0E-50.00346709070.00353020550.00358002911.01411345.0E-5
6.76.5802237E-66.5422255E-61.654216E-52.52852181.0E-52.8200653E-52.803781E-53.8037528E-51.35665131.0E-53.4328885E-43.4130694E-43.5130352E-41.02928911.0E-50.00342759020.00348817980.00353800531.01428415.0E-5
6.86.575632E-66.5367153E-61.653665E-52.52981041.0E-52.8180975E-52.8014192E-53.8013914E-51.3569521.0E-53.4304935E-43.410195E-43.510161E-41.02931381.0E-50.00342520260.00348531430.003535141.01429595.0E-5
6.96.570433E-66.5281088E-61.6528043E-52.53182721.0E-52.8158694E-52.7977308E-53.7977028E-51.35742251.0E-53.4277816E-43.4057058E-43.5056716E-41.02935251.0E-50.00342249920.00348083930.00353066531.01431435.0E-5
7.06.5643826E-66.5182294E-61.6518165E-52.5341491.0E-52.8132765E-52.793497E-53.793469E-51.35796431.0E-53.424626E-43.4005524E-43.5005185E-41.0293971.0E-50.00341935320.00347570210.00352552841.01433565.0E-5
7.16.557402E-66.5069403E-61.6506876E-52.53681061.0E-52.8102848E-52.788659E-53.788631E-51.35858521.0E-53.4209844E-43.394664E-43.4946302E-41.0294481.0E-50.00341572290.00346983340.00351965991.014365.0E-5
7.26.546394E-66.488906E-61.648884E-52.5410821.0E-52.8055672E-52.7809301E-53.7809023E-51.3595821.0E-53.4152428E-43.3852572E-43.4852233E-41.02952981.0E-50.00340999870.00346045990.00351028681.01439895.0E-5
7.36.5364216E-66.469689E-61.6469625E-52.54565931.0E-52.8012933E-52.7726945E-53.772667E-51.360651.0E-53.4100408E-43.3752335E-43.4751996E-41.02961751.0E-50.0034048130.0034504820.00350030951.01444085.0E-5
7.46.5269523E-66.450774E-61.645071E-52.55019161.0E-52.7972354E-52.7645881E-53.7645605E-51.36170761.0E-53.4051016E-43.365367E-43.465333E-41.02970451.0E-50.00339988880.00344066350.00349049151.01448215.0E-5
7.56.5111835E-66.4270453E-61.642698E-52.55591491.0E-52.7904773E-52.7544189E-53.7543916E-51.3630431.0E-53.3968766E-43.3529897E-43.4529562E-41.02981411.0E-50.00339168870.00342833530.00347816391.01453445.0E-5
7.66.4768806E-66.3861507E-61.6386086E-52.56587861.0E-52.7757764E-52.736893E-53.7368656E-51.36536781.0E-53.3789838E-43.3316584E-43.431625E-41.03000511.0E-50.00337385040.00340706550.00345689521.01462545.0E-5
7.76.1655364E-66.1786222E-61.6178561E-52.61847381.0E-52.642346E-52.6479542E-53.6479276E-51.377641.0E-53.2165812E-43.2234078E-43.3233757E-41.0310131.0E-50.00321192950.00329866940.00334850441.01510765.0E-5
7.85.5043524E-65.739622E-61.5739564E-52.7422651.0E-52.3589868E-52.4598148E-53.4597902E-51.40652471.0E-52.871688E-42.9944137E-43.0943836E-41.03338551.0E-50.00286797970.0030687560.00311860281.01624325.0E-5
7.93.889249E-64.0787854E-61.4078745E-53.45170021.0E-51.6668104E-51.7480392E-52.7480217E-51.57205951.0E-52.0291525E-42.1280303E-42.2280091E-41.04698181.0E-50.00202730070.00219550920.00224539941.02272385.0E-5
8.02.668535E-62.5328056E-62.5328056E-61.00.01.1436528E-51.0854836E-51.0854836E-51.00.01.3923083E-41.3214964E-41.3214964E-41.00.00.00139143630.00137659030.00141653531.02901734.0E-5
8.11.5911459E-61.2193005E-61.2193005E-61.00.06.8191785E-65.225563E-65.225563E-61.00.08.3020335E-56.3619394E-56.3619394E-51.00.08.298933E-46.697524E-46.89739E-41.02984182.0E-5
8.26.1294963E-72.1825215E-72.1825215E-71.00.02.6269242E-69.35366E-79.35366E-71.00.03.1982334E-51.1388021E-51.1388021E-51.00.03.1977732E-41.279216E-41.279216E-41.00.0
8.31.762871E-74.757476E-84.757476E-81.00.07.5551594E-72.038918E-72.038918E-71.00.09.1983675E-62.4823798E-62.4823798E-61.00.09.197987E-52.8703373E-52.8703373E-51.00.0

Coronado Bank alt1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.533492E-59.395439E-51.0395345E-41.10642461.0E-53.22824E-44.026023E-44.2259425E-41.04965692.0E-50.00392330070.00489127870.0049211321.00610343.0E-50.038547550.047905510.0479531141.00099375.0E-5
6.14.1807285E-55.049452E-55.049452E-51.00.01.7916178E-42.1638718E-42.2638502E-41.04620351.0E-50.00217911230.00263140930.00265135661.00758052.0E-50.0215786770.0260118320.0260313131.00074892.0E-5
6.24.1807285E-55.049452E-55.049452E-51.00.01.7916178E-42.1638718E-42.2638502E-41.04620351.0E-50.00217911230.00263140930.00265135661.00758052.0E-50.0215786770.0260118320.0260313131.00074892.0E-5
6.33.1793104E-53.7712067E-53.7712067E-51.00.01.3624904E-41.616133E-41.7161167E-41.0618661.0E-50.00165756980.00196589790.00198585871.01015342.0E-50.0164526030.0194889750.0195085851.00100622.0E-5
6.42.9878007E-53.5336667E-53.5336667E-51.00.01.2804232E-41.5143424E-41.6143273E-41.06602531.0E-50.00155780030.00184218460.00186214771.01083672.0E-50.0154692530.0182729070.018292541.00107462.0E-5
6.52.4512565E-52.876477E-52.876477E-51.00.01.0504962E-41.2327192E-41.2327192E-41.00.00.00127822870.00149982920.00150981421.00665751.0E-50.0127090120.0149000370.0149098881.00066111.0E-5
6.62.1317413E-52.4907235E-52.4907235E-51.00.09.135714E-51.0674105E-41.0674105E-41.00.00.00111170560.00129881970.00130880671.00768941.0E-50.0110616050.0129146980.0129245691.00076441.0E-5
6.71.8585655E-52.1635358E-52.1635358E-51.00.07.9650374E-59.271978E-59.271978E-51.00.09.6931186E-40.00112829930.0011382881.00885281.0E-50.00965094750.0112278690.0112377571.00088061.0E-5
6.81.5862879E-51.8419876E-51.8419876E-51.00.06.798199E-57.8940044E-57.8940044E-51.00.08.273665E-49.6069055E-49.7068097E-41.01039921.0E-50.0082429280.0095673580.0095772621.00103521.0E-5
6.91.3021509E-51.509559E-51.509559E-51.00.05.5805274E-56.4693886E-56.4693886E-51.00.06.792174E-47.873815E-47.9737365E-41.01269031.0E-50.0067714520.0078477410.0078576631.00126421.0E-5
7.01.0974371E-51.2720379E-51.2720379E-51.00.04.7032172E-55.451487E-55.451487E-51.00.05.7246623E-46.63534E-46.7352736E-41.01506081.0E-50.00570993730.00661727740.00662721131.00150121.0E-5
7.18.766221E-61.01640535E-51.01640535E-51.00.03.7568978E-54.3559598E-54.3559598E-51.00.04.573063E-45.302263E-45.40221E-41.01884981.0E-50.00456366360.00529131150.00530125851.00187991.0E-5
7.28.026024E-78.3318497E-78.3318497E-71.00.03.43972E-63.5707878E-63.5707878E-61.00.04.1877785E-54.3473487E-54.3473487E-51.00.04.1869894E-44.346509E-44.346509E-41.00.0
7.33.7293114E-73.700131E-73.700131E-71.00.01.5982754E-61.5857695E-61.5857695E-61.00.01.9458828E-51.9306573E-51.9306573E-51.00.01.9457124E-41.9304903E-41.9304903E-41.00.0
7.42.0557036E-71.9674545E-71.9674545E-71.00.08.810155E-78.4319447E-78.4319447E-71.00.01.0726311E-51.0265845E-51.0265845E-51.00.01.0725793E-41.02653736E-41.02653736E-41.00.0
7.56.845446E-86.279429E-86.279429E-81.00.02.9337625E-72.6911837E-72.6911837E-71.00.03.5718497E-63.2765113E-63.2765113E-61.00.03.5717923E-53.2764638E-53.2764638E-51.00.0
7.66.0975145E-95.5319123E-95.5319123E-91.00.02.6132206E-82.3708195E-82.3708195E-81.00.03.1815955E-72.8864724E-72.8864724E-71.00.03.181591E-62.8864697E-62.8864697E-61.00.0

Whittier alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.2554693E-54.7253456E-54.7253456E-51.00.01.8236451E-42.0250089E-42.0250089E-41.00.00.0022180270.00246298270.00248293351.00810032.0E-50.021960190.0243905150.024429541.00164.0E-5
6.14.2554693E-54.7253456E-54.7253456E-51.00.01.8236451E-42.0250089E-42.0250089E-41.00.00.0022180270.00246298270.00248293351.00810032.0E-50.021960190.0243905150.024429541.00164.0E-5
6.24.2554693E-54.7253456E-54.7253456E-51.00.01.8236451E-42.0250089E-42.0250089E-41.00.00.0022180270.00246298270.00248293351.00810032.0E-50.021960190.0243905150.024429541.00164.0E-5
6.31.9617712E-51.8269147E-51.8269147E-51.00.08.40732E-57.8294106E-57.8294106E-51.00.00.00102311059.5283287E-49.6282334E-41.0104851.0E-50.010184130.0094903750.0095002811.00104371.0E-5
6.41.5611336E-51.3604728E-51.3604728E-51.00.06.690401E-55.8304708E-55.8304708E-51.00.08.142519E-47.096346E-47.1962754E-41.01408171.0E-50.0081127480.00707526270.0070851921.00140331.0E-5
6.51.5150166E-51.3101376E-51.3101376E-51.00.06.492767E-55.614758E-55.614758E-51.00.07.9020765E-46.8338827E-46.933814E-41.01462291.0E-50.0078740360.00681442950.0068243611.00145751.0E-5
6.61.295588E-51.0381098E-51.0381098E-51.00.05.552402E-54.4489672E-54.4489672E-51.00.06.7579525E-45.415291E-45.415291E-41.00.00.0067374380.0054032550.0054032551.00.0
6.71.2542085E-59.899731E-69.899731E-61.00.05.3750682E-54.242674E-54.242674E-51.00.06.542181E-45.16425E-45.16425E-41.00.00.0065229540.00515337430.00515337431.00.0
6.81.2195878E-59.495758E-69.495758E-61.00.05.2267E-54.069548E-54.069548E-51.00.06.36165E-44.953567E-44.953567E-41.00.00.00634346860.004943590.004943591.00.0
6.91.1580298E-58.773248E-68.773248E-61.00.04.9628903E-53.75991E-53.75991E-51.00.06.040644E-44.5767453E-44.5767453E-41.00.00.006024250.004568350.004568351.00.0
7.01.0964795E-58.084284E-68.084284E-61.00.04.6991136E-53.4646477E-53.4646477E-51.00.05.7196687E-44.2174075E-44.2174075E-41.00.00.00570496960.00421032730.00421032731.00.0
7.11.0230601E-57.3268325E-67.3268325E-61.00.04.3844695E-53.140034E-53.140034E-51.00.05.336784E-43.8223338E-43.8223338E-41.00.00.0053239860.00381685960.00381685961.00.0
7.29.40865E-66.5434065E-66.5434065E-61.00.04.032216E-52.8042878E-52.8042878E-51.00.04.908117E-43.4136974E-43.4136974E-41.00.00.00489729130.00340950050.00340950051.00.0
7.38.237384E-65.5978335E-65.5978335E-61.00.03.5302593E-52.39905E-52.39905E-51.00.04.2972428E-42.9204623E-42.9204623E-41.00.00.00428894260.00291696120.00291696121.00.0
7.47.5316966E-65.0278804E-65.0278804E-61.00.03.2278298E-52.1547887E-52.1547887E-51.00.03.9291743E-42.6231495E-42.6231495E-41.00.00.00392223430.00262016240.00262016241.00.0
7.56.149649E-63.9338697E-63.9338697E-61.00.02.6355372E-51.6859338E-51.6859338E-51.00.03.208294E-42.05244E-42.05244E-41.00.00.0032036660.00205063350.00205063351.00.0
7.65.457711E-63.395382E-63.395382E-61.00.02.338998E-51.45515605E-51.45515605E-51.00.02.8473578E-41.7715165E-41.7715165E-41.00.00.00284371220.00177018520.00177018521.00.0
7.74.1676276E-62.3331656E-62.3331656E-61.00.01.7861139E-59.999248E-69.999248E-61.00.02.1743766E-41.2173478E-41.2173478E-41.00.00.00217225030.0012167540.0012167541.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.384624E-89.384624E-81.00.09.725317E-74.021981E-74.021981E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8967545E-64.8967545E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8966795E-54.8966795E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4397993E-93.4397993E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4741998E-81.4741998E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.794838E-71.794838E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.7948367E-61.7948367E-61.00.0

White Mountains

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.503579E-53.3784498E-53.3784498E-51.00.01.5014476E-41.4478335E-41.547819E-41.06905881.0E-50.00182647960.00176143270.00178139761.01133442.0E-50.0181154030.0174870470.0175263471.00224754.0E-5
6.13.503579E-53.3784498E-53.3784498E-51.00.01.5014476E-41.4478335E-41.547819E-41.06905881.0E-50.00182647960.00176143270.00178139761.01133442.0E-50.0181154030.0174870470.0175263471.00224754.0E-5
6.23.503579E-53.3784498E-53.3784498E-51.00.01.5014476E-41.4478335E-41.547819E-41.06905881.0E-50.00182647960.00176143270.00178139761.01133442.0E-50.0181154030.0174870470.0175263471.00224754.0E-5
6.31.7818425E-51.591632E-51.591632E-51.00.07.636245E-56.821109E-56.821109E-51.00.09.293162E-48.301679E-48.401596E-41.01203571.0E-50.0092543950.0082721250.0082919611.00239782.0E-5
6.41.7818425E-51.591632E-51.591632E-51.00.07.636245E-56.821109E-56.821109E-51.00.09.293162E-48.301679E-48.401596E-41.01203571.0E-50.0092543950.0082721250.0082919611.00239782.0E-5
6.51.3397557E-51.1336486E-51.1336486E-51.00.05.741684E-54.8584072E-54.8584072E-51.00.06.988258E-45.9135753E-45.9135753E-41.00.00.0069663230.00589854460.00590848551.00168541.0E-5
6.61.0818695E-58.625519E-68.625519E-61.00.04.6365014E-53.696601E-53.696601E-51.00.05.6434784E-44.4997258E-44.4997258E-41.00.00.0056291680.0044910510.0044910511.00.0
6.79.067908E-66.802544E-66.802544E-61.00.03.8861883E-52.915345E-52.915345E-51.00.04.7304068E-43.5488865E-43.5488865E-41.00.00.004720350.00354353640.00354353641.00.0
6.87.295947E-64.9364785E-64.9364785E-61.00.03.126797E-52.1156171E-52.1156171E-51.00.03.8062103E-42.5754707E-42.5754707E-41.00.00.00379969760.00257259890.00257259891.00.0
6.96.2243444E-63.8322955E-63.8322955E-61.00.02.6675489E-51.6424025E-51.6424025E-51.00.03.2472567E-41.9994467E-41.9994467E-41.00.00.00324251570.00199770040.00199770041.00.0
7.04.9878413E-62.6796004E-62.6796004E-61.00.02.1376287E-51.1483952E-51.1483952E-51.00.02.602252E-41.3980841E-41.3980841E-41.00.00.0025992070.00139723080.00139723081.00.0
7.14.0252844E-61.885737E-61.885737E-61.00.01.7251105E-58.081706E-68.081706E-61.00.02.1001195E-49.8390454E-59.8390454E-51.00.00.00209813599.834818E-49.834818E-41.00.0
7.23.3284066E-61.2819264E-61.2819264E-61.00.01.4264522E-55.493959E-65.493959E-61.00.01.736567E-46.6887005E-56.6887005E-51.00.00.00173521076.686788E-46.686788E-41.00.0
7.32.458226E-66.0570005E-76.0570005E-71.00.01.0535211E-52.595855E-62.595855E-61.00.01.2825865E-43.1604115E-53.1604115E-51.00.00.00128184643.1599996E-43.1599996E-41.00.0
7.41.965953E-63.1087455E-73.1087455E-71.00.08.425486E-61.3323188E-61.3323188E-61.00.01.0257547E-41.6220862E-51.6220862E-51.00.00.00102528131.6219691E-41.6219691E-41.00.0
7.51.2014192E-61.8242919E-71.8242919E-71.00.05.148929E-67.8183916E-77.8183916E-71.00.06.2686406E-59.518851E-69.518851E-61.00.06.266873E-49.5184514E-59.5184514E-51.00.0
7.62.5612175E-74.8943498E-84.8943498E-81.00.01.0976642E-62.0975783E-72.0975783E-71.00.01.3363979E-52.553799E-62.553799E-61.00.01.3363175E-42.5537733E-52.5537733E-51.00.0

Sheephole

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5579695E-64.7412877E-64.7412877E-61.00.01.9534009E-52.0319678E-52.0319678E-51.00.02.3780059E-42.4736955E-42.5736706E-41.04041541.0E-50.00237546280.00247148630.00251138751.01614464.0E-5
6.14.5579695E-64.7412877E-64.7412877E-61.00.01.9534009E-52.0319678E-52.0319678E-51.00.02.3780059E-42.4736955E-42.5736706E-41.04041541.0E-50.00237546280.00247148630.00251138751.01614464.0E-5
6.22.6677674E-62.7874107E-62.7874107E-61.00.01.1433239E-51.1945997E-51.1945997E-51.00.01.3919079E-41.4543389E-41.5543244E-41.06874981.0E-50.00139103640.0014534930.00148344951.020613.0E-5
6.32.6677674E-62.7874107E-62.7874107E-61.00.01.1433239E-51.1945997E-51.1945997E-51.00.01.3919079E-41.4543389E-41.5543244E-41.06874981.0E-50.00139103640.0014534930.00148344951.020613.0E-5
6.42.2159759E-62.3228936E-62.3228936E-61.00.09.497005E-69.955224E-69.955224E-61.00.01.156199E-41.2119893E-41.3119771E-41.0824991.0E-50.00115559760.00121140760.00123138341.01648972.0E-5
6.52.1986082E-62.3047737E-62.3047737E-61.00.09.4225725E-69.877569E-69.877569E-61.00.01.1471378E-41.2025358E-41.3025237E-41.08314761.0E-50.00114654580.00120196430.00122194031.01661942.0E-5
6.61.5232331E-61.6019028E-61.6019028E-61.00.06.5281256E-66.8652807E-66.8652807E-61.00.07.947703E-58.358178E-58.358178E-51.00.07.9448614E-48.3552214E-48.455138E-41.01195861.0E-5
6.71.3137362E-61.3828287E-61.3828287E-61.00.05.6302856E-65.926396E-65.926396E-61.00.06.854657E-57.2151626E-57.2151626E-51.00.06.8525434E-47.212959E-47.312887E-41.01385391.0E-5
6.81.2275751E-61.2922936E-61.2922936E-61.00.05.2610258E-65.5383903E-65.5383903E-61.00.06.4051106E-56.742795E-56.742795E-51.00.06.4032647E-46.740883E-46.740883E-41.00.0
6.91.1837088E-61.2461107E-61.2461107E-61.00.05.0730278E-65.340464E-65.340464E-61.00.06.176237E-56.501835E-56.501835E-51.00.06.17452E-46.500064E-46.500064E-41.00.0
7.09.849371E-71.036636E-61.036636E-61.00.04.2211523E-64.442719E-64.442719E-61.00.05.1391315E-55.408886E-55.408886E-51.00.05.137943E-45.4076704E-45.4076704E-41.00.0
7.18.1643645E-78.5917287E-78.5917287E-71.00.03.4990085E-63.6821648E-63.6821648E-61.00.04.2599597E-54.482952E-54.482952E-51.00.04.259143E-44.482134E-44.482134E-41.00.0
7.25.7295756E-76.029544E-76.029544E-71.00.02.45553E-62.584088E-62.584088E-61.00.02.9895667E-53.1460884E-53.1460884E-51.00.02.9891645E-43.14571E-43.14571E-41.00.0

Camp Rock 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6710783E-54.2500346E-64.2500346E-61.00.07.161568E-51.821431E-51.821431E-51.00.08.7157206E-42.2173718E-42.3173497E-41.04508841.0E-50.0086816160.00221521220.00225512361.01801694.0E-5
6.11.6710783E-54.2500346E-64.2500346E-61.00.07.161568E-51.821431E-51.821431E-51.00.08.7157206E-42.2173718E-42.3173497E-41.04508841.0E-50.0086816160.00221521220.00225512361.01801694.0E-5
6.21.6710783E-54.2500346E-64.2500346E-61.00.07.161568E-51.821431E-51.821431E-51.00.08.7157206E-42.2173718E-42.3173497E-41.04508841.0E-50.0086816160.00221521220.00225512361.01801694.0E-5
6.31.6710783E-54.2500346E-64.2500346E-61.00.07.161568E-51.821431E-51.821431E-51.00.08.7157206E-42.2173718E-42.3173497E-41.04508841.0E-50.0086816160.00221521220.00225512361.01801694.0E-5
6.47.982846E-63.682069E-63.682069E-61.00.03.421175E-51.5780202E-51.5780202E-51.00.04.1644843E-41.9210737E-41.9210737E-41.00.00.00415668870.00191944790.00193940951.01039972.0E-5
6.57.982846E-63.682069E-63.682069E-61.00.03.421175E-51.5780202E-51.5780202E-51.00.04.1644843E-41.9210737E-41.9210737E-41.00.00.00415668870.00191944790.00193940951.01039972.0E-5
6.67.048869E-63.4243315E-63.4243315E-61.00.03.0209088E-51.4675626E-51.4675626E-51.00.03.677336E-41.786614E-41.786614E-41.00.00.00367125660.00178520940.00180517371.01118312.0E-5
6.76.987307E-63.3623085E-63.3623085E-61.00.02.9945259E-51.4409816E-51.4409816E-51.00.03.6452254E-41.754257E-41.754257E-41.00.00.00363925170.00175290330.00177286821.01138962.0E-5
6.86.3737602E-63.1178974E-63.1178974E-61.00.02.731583E-51.3362351E-51.3362351E-51.00.03.3251947E-41.6267477E-41.6267477E-41.00.00.00332022370.00162558550.00164555291.01228322.0E-5
6.96.112211E-62.9331072E-62.9331072E-61.00.02.6194928E-51.2570401E-51.2570401E-51.00.03.1887658E-41.5303415E-41.5303415E-41.00.00.0031841940.00152931550.00154928491.01305772.0E-5
7.05.5140117E-62.6419382E-62.6419382E-61.00.02.3631264E-51.1322544E-51.1322544E-51.00.02.8767265E-41.3784351E-41.3784351E-41.00.00.00287300530.00137760540.00139757781.0144982.0E-5
7.14.8151105E-62.1342858E-62.1342858E-61.00.02.0636026E-59.146908E-69.146908E-61.00.02.5121463E-41.1135814E-41.1135814E-41.00.00.00250930830.00111304530.0011330231.01794872.0E-5
7.23.818335E-61.2937558E-61.2937558E-61.00.01.6364189E-55.5446562E-65.5446562E-61.00.01.9921579E-46.750418E-56.750418E-51.00.00.00199037286.74845E-46.74845E-41.00.0
7.32.7166698E-67.3832456E-77.3832456E-71.00.01.1642818E-53.1642444E-63.1642444E-61.00.01.4174209E-43.8524013E-53.8524013E-51.00.00.00141651723.8517537E-43.8517537E-41.00.0
7.42.0893426E-65.4615964E-75.4615964E-71.00.08.954295E-62.340682E-62.340682E-61.00.01.0901308E-42.8497436E-52.8497436E-51.00.00.00108959622.8493837E-42.8493837E-41.00.0
7.51.1681728E-63.6029326E-73.6029326E-71.00.05.0064455E-61.544113E-61.544113E-61.00.06.0951766E-51.879942E-51.879942E-51.00.06.093505E-41.8797876E-41.8797876E-41.00.0
7.61.3154387E-77.119745E-87.119745E-81.00.05.6375933E-73.051319E-73.051319E-71.00.06.863748E-63.7149762E-63.7149762E-61.00.06.863536E-53.7149297E-53.7149297E-51.00.0

Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2521618E-44.7643206E-44.7643206E-41.00.09.6485513E-40.0020402910.0020402911.00.00.0116839880.0245549730.0245842371.00119173.0E-50.110884230.213531060.213562531.00014734.0E-5
6.12.2521618E-44.7643206E-44.7643206E-41.00.09.6485513E-40.0020402910.0020402911.00.00.0116839880.0245549730.0245842371.00119173.0E-50.110884230.213531060.213562531.00014734.0E-5
6.22.198148E-44.672759E-44.672759E-41.00.09.417233E-40.00200111070.00200111071.00.00.0114053430.0240890370.0241183141.00121533.0E-50.108374280.209967170.209998771.00015064.0E-5
6.32.1704129E-44.6163241E-44.6163241E-41.00.09.298453E-40.0019769610.0019769611.00.00.0112622340.0238023880.0238316751.00123043.0E-50.1070827250.207858160.207889851.00015254.0E-5
6.41.876142E-44.0055066E-44.0055066E-41.00.08.038131E-40.00171553060.00171553061.00.00.009742590.0206888370.0207182171.001423.0E-50.0932636860.184608220.184640841.00017674.0E-5
6.51.7390939E-43.7486907E-43.7486907E-41.00.07.45113E-40.00160560470.00160560471.00.00.0090340780.0193770380.0194064571.00151823.0E-50.0867552160.174429680.174462721.00018934.0E-5
6.61.591791E-43.490135E-43.490135E-41.00.06.8201777E-40.00149492490.00149492491.00.00.0082719960.0180516910.0180811511.00163193.0E-50.079707740.163836550.163871.00020414.0E-5
6.71.4268003E-43.2067046E-43.2067046E-41.00.06.1134255E-40.00137358640.00137358641.00.00.0074177230.0165972260.0166267291.00177753.0E-50.071749560.151963280.15199721.00022334.0E-5
6.81.239713E-42.906121E-42.906121E-41.00.05.3119735E-40.00124489210.00124489211.00.00.00644816740.0150526610.0150822091.0019633.0E-50.062642430.138404740.138439211.0002494.0E-5
6.91.0180238E-42.6260383E-42.6260383E-41.00.04.3622297E-40.00112496390.00112496391.00.00.0052980890.0136114220.0136410141.0021743.0E-50.051735430.124983610.125018611.000284.0E-5
7.07.6619996E-52.2404084E-42.2404084E-41.00.03.283301E-49.598249E-49.598249E-41.00.00.00399009320.0116239630.0116437311.00170062.0E-50.0391920660.107283010.1073097961.00024963.0E-5
7.17.5127435E-52.2087194E-42.2087194E-41.00.03.2193496E-49.462538E-49.462538E-41.00.00.00391251550.0114604850.0114802551.00172512.0E-50.0384434420.1058468150.105873641.00025343.0E-5
7.26.788582E-52.0214771E-42.0214771E-41.00.02.9090676E-48.660627E-48.660627E-41.00.00.00353603860.0104939740.0105137651.00188592.0E-50.0348030.097517130.097544211.00027763.0E-5
7.36.399602E-51.884553E-41.884553E-41.00.02.7423984E-48.074185E-48.074185E-41.00.00.00333375860.0097866010.0098064061.00202362.0E-50.032841880.091410580.091437841.00029813.0E-5
7.44.506759E-51.2532667E-41.2532667E-41.00.01.9313251E-45.370046E-45.370046E-41.00.00.00234885260.0065186060.0065384761.00304822.0E-50.0232418050.062374640.062393391.00030062.0E-5
7.53.43289E-59.338305E-59.338305E-51.00.01.4711556E-44.00152E-44.00152E-41.00.00.00178966030.004861030.00488093261.00409442.0E-50.017753160.047065930.0470849871.0004052.0E-5
7.62.5980507E-57.055588E-57.055588E-51.00.01.1134028E-43.023474E-43.023474E-41.00.00.0013547250.00367489080.00369481721.00542242.0E-50.0134649590.0358502680.035869551.00053792.0E-5
7.71.7292105E-54.9428265E-54.9428265E-51.00.07.4106916E-52.1181825E-42.1181825E-41.00.09.018782E-40.0025758430.00258581711.00387231.0E-50.0089822670.0252989440.0253086911.00038531.0E-5
7.81.2927471E-53.971141E-53.971141E-51.00.05.5402274E-51.7018066E-41.7018066E-41.00.06.743139E-40.00206998320.00207996251.0048211.0E-50.00672271430.0204390850.020448881.00047921.0E-5
7.91.0200774E-52.8759863E-52.8759863E-51.00.04.371687E-51.2325073E-41.2325073E-41.00.05.321229E-40.00149954590.00150953091.00665871.0E-50.0053085050.01499810350.0150079531.00065671.0E-5
8.08.650396E-62.3289316E-52.3289316E-51.00.03.70726E-59.980754E-59.980754E-51.00.04.5126543E-40.00121448030.00122446811.0082241.0E-50.00450350160.0122165830.01222646051.00080861.0E-5
8.13.9368224E-67.3325436E-67.3325436E-61.00.01.6871985E-53.142481E-53.142481E-51.00.02.0539707E-43.8253E-43.8253E-41.00.00.00205207310.00400342650.00400342651.00.0
8.21.7101195E-62.21947E-62.21947E-61.00.07.329063E-69.511979E-69.511979E-61.00.08.922769E-51.1580222E-41.1580222E-41.00.08.9191867E-40.00126751310.00126751311.00.0
8.33.0346666E-81.7229212E-81.7229212E-81.00.01.3005713E-77.383948E-87.383948E-81.00.01.5834444E-68.9899555E-78.9899555E-71.00.01.5834332E-59.375523E-69.375523E-61.00.0

Pitas Point (Lower West)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.151497E-67.855864E-67.855864E-61.00.03.493452E-53.366756E-54.3667224E-51.29701191.0E-54.252448E-44.0982617E-44.1982208E-41.02439061.0E-50.00424431960.00409078460.0041306211.00973814.0E-5
6.18.151497E-67.855864E-67.855864E-61.00.03.493452E-53.366756E-54.3667224E-51.29701191.0E-54.252448E-44.0982617E-44.1982208E-41.02439061.0E-50.00424431960.00409078460.0041306211.00973814.0E-5
6.28.151497E-67.855864E-67.855864E-61.00.03.493452E-53.366756E-54.3667224E-51.29701191.0E-54.252448E-44.0982617E-44.1982208E-41.02439061.0E-50.00424431960.00409078460.0041306211.00973814.0E-5
6.38.151497E-67.855864E-67.855864E-61.00.03.493452E-53.366756E-54.3667224E-51.29701191.0E-54.252448E-44.0982617E-44.1982208E-41.02439061.0E-50.00424431960.00409078460.0041306211.00973814.0E-5
6.48.151497E-67.855864E-67.855864E-61.00.03.493452E-53.366756E-54.3667224E-51.29701191.0E-54.252448E-44.0982617E-44.1982208E-41.02439061.0E-50.00424431960.00409078460.0041306211.00973814.0E-5
6.58.151497E-67.855864E-67.855864E-61.00.03.493452E-53.366756E-54.3667224E-51.29701191.0E-54.252448E-44.0982617E-44.1982208E-41.02439061.0E-50.00424431960.00409078460.0041306211.00973814.0E-5
6.68.151497E-67.855864E-67.855864E-61.00.03.493452E-53.366756E-54.3667224E-51.29701191.0E-54.252448E-44.0982617E-44.1982208E-41.02439061.0E-50.00424431960.00409078460.0041306211.00973814.0E-5
6.78.151497E-67.855864E-67.855864E-61.00.03.493452E-53.366756E-54.3667224E-51.29701191.0E-54.252448E-44.0982617E-44.1982208E-41.02439061.0E-50.00424431960.00409078460.0041306211.00973814.0E-5
6.88.151497E-67.855864E-67.855864E-61.00.03.493452E-53.366756E-54.3667224E-51.29701191.0E-54.252448E-44.0982617E-44.1982208E-41.02439061.0E-50.00424431960.00409078460.0041306211.00973814.0E-5
6.98.151497E-67.855864E-67.855864E-61.00.03.493452E-53.366756E-54.3667224E-51.29701191.0E-54.252448E-44.0982617E-44.1982208E-41.02439061.0E-50.00424431960.00409078460.0041306211.00973814.0E-5
7.08.103535E-67.8052935E-67.8052935E-61.00.03.4728975E-53.3450833E-54.34505E-51.29893621.0E-54.2274324E-44.0718852E-44.1718446E-41.02454861.0E-50.00421939930.00406450450.00410434231.00980134.0E-5
7.17.853298E-67.5409826E-67.5409826E-61.00.03.3656554E-53.23181E-54.2317777E-51.30941411.0E-54.096915E-43.9340253E-44.033986E-41.02540921.0E-50.004089370.00392713720.003966981.01014554.0E-5
7.27.771102E-67.4532636E-67.4532636E-61.00.03.33043E-53.194217E-54.1941854E-51.31305581.0E-54.0540437E-43.8882723E-43.9882335E-41.02570831.0E-50.00404665570.00388154480.00392138961.01026524.0E-5
7.37.3945344E-67.0493643E-67.0493643E-61.00.03.1690477E-53.0211215E-54.0210914E-51.33099291.0E-53.8576324E-43.677601E-43.7775643E-41.02718161.0E-50.00385094270.00367158280.00371143571.01085454.0E-5
7.46.964645E-66.5902095E-66.5902095E-61.00.02.9848137E-52.8243452E-53.8243168E-51.35405431.0E-53.6334046E-43.4381024E-43.5380683E-41.02907591.0E-50.00362746980.00343283680.00347269961.01161224.0E-5
7.56.6525035E-66.2592453E-66.2592453E-61.00.02.851042E-52.6825064E-53.6824797E-51.37277571.0E-53.4705905E-43.265467E-43.3654342E-41.03061351.0E-50.00346517540.003260720.00330058951.01222724.0E-5
7.65.613338E-65.1514635E-65.1514635E-61.00.02.405694E-52.2077516E-52.2077516E-51.00.02.928539E-42.687609E-42.687609E-41.00.00.00292468260.00268439040.00271430981.01114573.0E-5
7.74.494704E-63.99698E-63.99698E-61.00.01.9262876E-51.7129803E-51.7129803E-51.00.02.3450027E-42.0853562E-42.0853562E-41.00.00.00234252960.00208342350.00209340271.00478981.0E-5
7.82.6075882E-62.1836859E-62.1836859E-61.00.01.117533E-59.35862E-69.35862E-61.00.01.3605114E-41.1393529E-41.1393529E-41.00.00.00135967880.00113877350.00113877351.00.0
7.94.045984E-73.2424379E-73.2424379E-71.00.01.733992E-61.3896155E-61.3896155E-61.00.02.1111147E-51.691844E-51.691844E-51.00.02.1109142E-41.6917182E-41.6917182E-41.00.0
8.07.791402E-95.6836416E-95.6836416E-91.00.03.3391725E-82.4358464E-82.4358464E-81.00.04.0654416E-72.9656428E-72.9656428E-71.00.04.065434E-62.9656408E-62.9656408E-61.00.0

Oceanic - West Huasna

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.195567E-52.7926611E-52.7926611E-51.00.01.3694567E-41.1968023E-41.1968023E-41.00.00.00166603840.0014561760.00147614691.01371462.0E-50.0165360330.0144708960.0145103171.00272424.0E-5
6.12.1156782E-51.7573251E-51.7573251E-51.00.09.066878E-57.531181E-57.531181E-51.00.00.00110333339.1654493E-49.3652663E-41.02180112.0E-50.0109787130.0091286560.0091484731.00217092.0E-5
6.21.6195117E-51.332732E-51.332732E-51.00.06.9405796E-55.7115845E-55.7115845E-51.00.08.44688E-46.951662E-47.051592E-41.01437511.0E-50.0084148440.00693020970.00694014041.0014331.0E-5
6.31.3559345E-51.1179085E-51.1179085E-51.00.05.811018E-54.7909492E-54.7909492E-51.00.07.072618E-45.831429E-45.831429E-41.00.00.00705015050.00581624550.00581624551.00.0
6.41.2120619E-51.0000936E-51.0000936E-51.00.05.1944477E-54.286045E-54.286045E-51.00.06.322405E-45.217015E-45.217015E-41.00.00.0063044470.00520483540.00520483541.00.0
6.51.13511915E-59.367435E-69.367435E-61.00.04.8647056E-54.0145536E-54.0145536E-51.00.05.9211696E-44.8866274E-44.8866274E-41.00.00.00590541730.00487594070.00487594071.00.0
6.69.850605E-68.135364E-68.135364E-61.00.04.2216197E-53.4865378E-53.4865378E-51.00.05.1386096E-44.2440352E-44.2440352E-41.00.00.00512674360.00423596240.00423596241.00.0
6.78.8558645E-67.318384E-67.318384E-61.00.03.7953152E-53.1364125E-53.1364125E-51.00.04.6198163E-43.817915E-43.817915E-41.00.00.0046102240.00381138130.00381138131.00.0
6.87.67136E-66.3917278E-66.3917278E-61.00.03.2876844E-52.7392833E-52.7392833E-51.00.04.0020206E-43.3345685E-43.3345685E-41.00.00.0039948210.0033295860.0033295861.00.0
6.96.534529E-65.4582943E-65.4582943E-61.00.02.8004823E-52.339248E-52.339248E-51.00.03.4090536E-42.8476634E-42.8476634E-41.00.00.00340382870.00284403120.00284403121.00.0
7.05.460525E-64.5699494E-64.5699494E-61.00.02.3402039E-51.9585352E-51.9585352E-51.00.02.8488258E-42.3842567E-42.3842567E-41.00.00.00284517650.00238171240.00238171241.00.0
7.14.4825083E-63.7524424E-63.7524424E-61.00.01.9210609E-51.6081798E-51.6081798E-51.00.02.3386406E-41.957784E-41.957784E-41.00.00.0023361810.0019560710.0019560711.00.0
7.22.821708E-62.4249653E-62.4249653E-61.00.01.2092979E-51.0392667E-51.0392667E-51.00.01.4722206E-41.2652339E-41.2652339E-41.00.00.00147124570.00126451580.00126451581.00.0
7.32.0644757E-61.7687719E-61.7687719E-61.00.08.847723E-67.580429E-67.580429E-61.00.01.0771569E-49.228782E-59.228782E-51.00.00.0010766359.2249655E-49.2249655E-41.00.0
7.41.6980367E-61.4380173E-61.4380173E-61.00.07.27728E-66.1629166E-66.1629166E-61.00.08.8597284E-57.503093E-57.503093E-51.00.08.8561967E-47.5005746E-47.5005746E-41.00.0
7.51.3637683E-61.1302892E-61.1302892E-61.00.05.844708E-64.8440875E-64.8440875E-61.00.07.1156996E-55.897517E-55.897517E-51.00.07.1134215E-45.895966E-45.895966E-41.00.0
7.69.802994E-77.677469E-77.677469E-71.00.04.2012766E-63.2903397E-63.2903397E-61.00.05.1149345E-54.005915E-54.005915E-51.00.05.113757E-44.0052057E-44.0052057E-41.00.0
7.75.986191E-74.0052444E-74.0052444E-71.00.02.5655079E-61.7165321E-61.7165321E-61.00.03.1234613E-52.0898578E-52.0898578E-51.00.03.123022E-42.0896735E-42.0896735E-41.00.0
7.82.9189815E-71.5286729E-71.5286729E-71.00.01.2509914E-66.5514536E-76.5514536E-71.00.01.5230714E-57.976366E-67.976366E-61.00.01.522967E-47.976198E-57.976198E-51.00.0
7.91.2057845E-74.621617E-84.621617E-81.00.05.1676466E-71.9806929E-71.9806929E-71.00.06.2915915E-62.4114909E-62.4114909E-61.00.06.2914136E-52.4115825E-52.4115825E-51.00.0
8.03.3806387E-99.0127306E-109.0127306E-101.00.01.4488451E-83.8625965E-93.8625965E-91.00.01.7639688E-74.7027115E-84.7027115E-81.00.01.7639674E-64.7134822E-74.7134822E-71.00.0

Tin Mountain

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.083776E-64.18155E-64.18155E-61.00.01.750178E-51.7920827E-52.7920647E-51.5581.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816794E-42.3816357E-41.09165252.0E-50.00212859150.00217990320.0022098381.01373213.0E-5
6.14.083776E-64.18155E-64.18155E-61.00.01.750178E-51.7920827E-52.7920647E-51.5581.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816794E-42.3816357E-41.09165252.0E-50.00212859150.00217990320.0022098381.01373213.0E-5
6.24.083776E-64.18155E-64.18155E-61.00.01.750178E-51.7920827E-52.7920647E-51.5581.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816794E-42.3816357E-41.09165252.0E-50.00212859150.00217990320.0022098381.01373213.0E-5
6.34.083776E-64.18155E-64.18155E-61.00.01.750178E-51.7920827E-52.7920647E-51.5581.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816794E-42.3816357E-41.09165252.0E-50.00212859150.00217990320.0022098381.01373213.0E-5
6.44.083776E-64.18155E-64.18155E-61.00.01.750178E-51.7920827E-52.7920647E-51.5581.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816794E-42.3816357E-41.09165252.0E-50.00212859150.00217990320.0022098381.01373213.0E-5
6.52.3143427E-62.3731652E-62.3731652E-61.00.09.9185745E-61.0170673E-52.0170572E-51.98320911.0E-51.2075195E-41.2382168E-41.438192E-41.16150262.0E-50.00120686360.00123760280.0012575781.01614022.0E-5
6.62.3143427E-62.3731652E-62.3731652E-61.00.09.9185745E-61.0170673E-52.0170572E-51.98320911.0E-51.2075195E-41.2382168E-41.438192E-41.16150262.0E-50.00120686360.00123760280.0012575781.01614022.0E-5
6.71.7029532E-61.7497979E-61.7497979E-61.00.07.2983503E-67.4991153E-61.749904E-52.33348061.0E-58.885379E-59.129844E-51.1129661E-41.21904182.0E-58.881827E-49.1266196E-49.326437E-41.0218942.0E-5
6.81.2914646E-61.3299432E-61.3299432E-61.00.05.534837E-65.6997465E-65.6997465E-61.00.06.738455E-56.939264E-57.939195E-51.14409741.0E-56.736412E-46.937531E-47.0374616E-41.01440431.0E-5
6.95.8708974E-76.117028E-76.117028E-71.00.02.5160964E-62.621581E-62.621581E-61.00.03.0633044E-53.1917323E-54.1917003E-51.31329951.0E-53.0628822E-43.191315E-43.291283E-41.03132511.0E-5
7.04.6248786E-74.832044E-74.832044E-71.00.01.9820893E-62.0708746E-62.0708746E-61.00.02.413167E-52.5212645E-53.5212393E-51.39661631.0E-52.412905E-42.5210154E-42.62099E-41.03965651.0E-5
7.13.804606E-73.9871725E-73.9871725E-71.00.01.6305444E-61.7087873E-61.7087873E-61.00.01.9851697E-52.080432E-52.080432E-51.00.01.9849923E-42.080271E-42.080271E-41.00.0
7.23.5864858E-73.7617107E-73.7617107E-71.00.01.5370645E-61.6121609E-61.6121609E-61.00.01.87136E-51.9627916E-51.9627916E-51.00.01.8712023E-41.9626514E-41.9626514E-41.00.0
7.33.342063E-73.50637E-73.50637E-71.00.01.4323119E-61.5027293E-61.5027293E-61.00.01.7438259E-51.829561E-51.829561E-51.00.01.743689E-41.8294434E-41.8294434E-41.00.0
7.42.971242E-73.116602E-73.116602E-71.00.01.2733886E-61.3356861E-61.3356861E-61.00.01.5503398E-51.626189E-51.626189E-51.00.01.5502315E-41.6261027E-41.6261027E-41.00.0
7.51.4326713E-71.501262E-71.501262E-71.00.06.140018E-76.43398E-76.43398E-71.00.07.4754466E-67.833371E-67.833371E-61.00.07.475195E-57.83337E-57.83337E-51.00.0

Imperial

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7496446E-45.0567614E-45.0567614E-41.00.00.00117788690.00216542280.00216542281.00.00.01424676550.026038940.0260681581.00112213.0E-50.133672490.228079380.228110251.00013544.0E-5
6.12.5356023E-44.8670304E-44.8670304E-41.00.00.0010862340.0020842410.0020842411.00.00.0131449280.0250800380.0251092871.00116623.0E-50.1239401550.219508230.219539451.00014224.0E-5
6.22.4820742E-44.776551E-44.776551E-41.00.00.00106331240.00204552520.00204552521.00.00.012869190.0246198550.0246491171.00118853.0E-50.121489270.216013480.216044841.00014524.0E-5
6.32.3205351E-44.590242E-44.590242E-41.00.09.94136E-40.00196580.00196581.00.00.0120365990.0236660150.0236953051.00123763.0E-50.114051330.207965310.2079971.00015234.0E-5
6.42.0304754E-43.988816E-43.988816E-41.00.08.6991355E-40.0017083870.0017083871.00.00.0105398690.020600050.0206294321.00142633.0E-50.1005376350.1850970.18512961.00017614.0E-5
6.51.854992E-43.6999586E-43.6999586E-41.00.07.9475436E-40.00158474520.00158474521.00.00.0096332810.0191261060.0191555321.00153853.0E-50.09226230.173326820.173359891.00019074.0E-5
6.61.6586106E-43.4044893E-43.4044893E-41.00.07.106394E-40.0014582610.0014582611.00.00.0086177630.0176071490.017636621.00167383.0E-50.082911320.160802140.160835711.00020874.0E-5
6.71.4224656E-43.0775566E-43.0775566E-41.00.06.094856E-40.00131829430.00131829431.00.00.00739526930.0159341040.0159636251.00185283.0E-50.071539550.1465140.146548141.0002334.0E-5
6.81.2317259E-42.7798547E-42.7798547E-41.00.05.2777573E-40.00119082850.00119082851.00.00.00640675470.014403340.0144329081.00205293.0E-50.062251660.132963360.132998051.00026084.0E-5
6.99.859898E-52.5019908E-42.5019908E-41.00.04.2249862E-40.00107184540.00107184541.00.00.00513179460.0129725990.0130022091.00228263.0E-50.050148930.1194271150.119462331.00029494.0E-5
7.07.3191884E-52.1271173E-42.1271173E-41.00.03.136418E-49.113064E-49.113064E-41.00.00.0038119040.0110393980.0110591761.00179172.0E-50.0374717640.102079560.10210651.00026393.0E-5
7.17.1760296E-52.0972485E-42.0972485E-41.00.03.0750787E-48.9851435E-48.9851435E-41.00.00.0037374820.010885220.0109050021.00181732.0E-50.036752450.10071590.100742881.00026793.0E-5
7.26.46614E-51.9140878E-41.9140878E-41.00.02.7709085E-48.2006847E-48.2006847E-41.00.00.00336836280.0099392480.00995904951.00199222.0E-50.0331776250.0925232540.092550481.00029423.0E-5
7.36.088115E-51.781241E-41.781241E-41.00.02.6089314E-47.631685E-47.631685E-41.00.00.00317174760.0092525680.0092723831.00214162.0E-50.0312685850.086572770.086600161.00031653.0E-5
7.44.199346E-51.1513443E-41.1513443E-41.00.01.7995955E-44.9334083E-44.9334083E-41.00.00.00218880570.0059900520.00600993261.00331892.0E-50.021673720.0574491170.0574679671.00032822.0E-5
7.53.130448E-58.3357954E-58.3357954E-51.00.01.3415517E-43.5719978E-43.5719978E-41.00.00.00163211530.00434029470.00436020831.0045882.0E-50.0162018030.0421411060.042160261.00045452.0E-5
7.62.3074248E-56.086575E-56.086575E-51.00.09.888588E-52.6082728E-42.6082728E-41.00.00.00120327060.0031709710.00319090761.00628722.0E-50.0119677610.0310341980.0310535781.00062442.0E-5
7.71.45864815E-54.0141942E-54.0141942E-51.00.06.2511994E-51.7202558E-41.7202558E-41.00.07.608177E-40.0020924050.0021023841.00476921.0E-50.0075821820.020634680.0206444731.00047461.0E-5
7.81.0352979E-53.097546E-53.097546E-51.00.04.4369157E-51.3274523E-41.3274523E-41.00.05.400606E-40.00161497760.00162496141.00618211.0E-50.00538750.0160225950.0160324351.00061421.0E-5
7.98.137906E-62.216039E-52.216039E-51.00.03.4876273E-59.496964E-59.496964E-51.00.04.2453592E-40.0011556430.00116563151.00864321.0E-50.0042372580.0116229930.0116328771.00085031.0E-5
8.06.93792E-61.8018303E-51.8018303E-51.00.02.9733603E-57.721902E-57.721902E-51.00.03.6194647E-49.397368E-49.4972743E-41.01063131.0E-50.00361357510.0095059220.0095158271.0010421.0E-5
8.13.4286315E-66.383862E-66.383862E-61.00.01.4694053E-52.7359121E-52.7359121E-51.00.01.7888541E-43.330465E-43.330465E-41.00.00.00178741480.00348800120.00348800121.00.0
8.21.4906886E-61.9380652E-61.9380652E-61.00.06.3886496E-68.305968E-68.305968E-61.00.07.7779034E-51.01120495E-41.01120495E-41.00.07.775182E-40.00110826970.00110826971.00.0
8.32.5758007E-81.4511432E-81.4511432E-81.00.01.10391454E-76.219185E-86.219185E-81.00.01.3440151E-67.5718583E-77.5718583E-71.00.01.344007E-57.894757E-67.894757E-61.00.0

Channel Islands Thrust

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2156251E-52.4092304E-52.4092304E-51.00.09.495191E-51.03249244E-41.03249244E-41.00.00.00115542640.00125644110.00128640351.0238473.0E-50.0114943730.0125039660.0125434661.00315894.0E-5
6.12.2156251E-52.4092304E-52.4092304E-51.00.09.495191E-51.03249244E-41.03249244E-41.00.00.00115542640.00125644110.00128640351.0238473.0E-50.0114943730.0125039660.0125434661.00315894.0E-5
6.22.2156251E-52.4092304E-52.4092304E-51.00.09.495191E-51.03249244E-41.03249244E-41.00.00.00115542640.00125644110.00128640351.0238473.0E-50.0114943730.0125039660.0125434661.00315894.0E-5
6.32.2156251E-52.4092304E-52.4092304E-51.00.09.495191E-51.03249244E-41.03249244E-41.00.00.00115542640.00125644110.00128640351.0238473.0E-50.0114943730.0125039660.0125434661.00315894.0E-5
6.42.2156251E-52.4092304E-52.4092304E-51.00.09.495191E-51.03249244E-41.03249244E-41.00.00.00115542640.00125644110.00128640351.0238473.0E-50.0114943730.0125039660.0125434661.00315894.0E-5
6.52.2156251E-52.4092304E-52.4092304E-51.00.09.495191E-51.03249244E-41.03249244E-41.00.00.00115542640.00125644110.00128640351.0238473.0E-50.0114943730.0125039660.0125434661.00315894.0E-5
6.62.2156251E-52.4092304E-52.4092304E-51.00.09.495191E-51.03249244E-41.03249244E-41.00.00.00115542640.00125644110.00128640351.0238473.0E-50.0114943730.0125039660.0125434661.00315894.0E-5
6.71.0601296E-51.1379656E-51.1379656E-51.00.04.5433335E-54.876907E-54.876907E-51.00.05.5301044E-45.9360656E-45.9360656E-41.00.00.0055163630.00592071140.00592071141.00.0
6.81.0246747E-51.0996777E-51.0996777E-51.00.04.391389E-54.7128222E-54.7128222E-51.00.05.345204E-45.736398E-45.736398E-41.00.00.00533236560.0057220810.0057220811.00.0
6.99.049551E-69.699738E-69.699738E-61.00.03.878322E-54.1569667E-54.1569667E-51.00.04.7208337E-45.059973E-45.059973E-41.00.00.00471081720.0050488690.0050488691.00.0
7.08.6542195E-69.274693E-69.274693E-61.00.03.7088983E-53.97481E-53.97481E-51.00.04.5146482E-44.8382976E-44.8382976E-41.00.00.0045054870.00482817550.00482817551.00.0
7.18.391028E-68.993012E-68.993012E-61.00.03.5961057E-53.8540933E-53.8540933E-51.00.04.3773788E-44.691389E-44.691389E-41.00.00.0043687660.00468189550.00468189551.00.0
7.25.965188E-66.3717544E-66.3717544E-61.00.02.556484E-52.7307236E-52.7307236E-51.00.03.1120746E-43.3241542E-43.3241542E-41.00.00.003107720.003319240.003319241.00.0
7.34.877518E-65.2060545E-65.2060545E-61.00.02.0903482E-52.2311473E-52.2311473E-51.00.02.5447016E-42.716088E-42.716088E-41.00.00.00254178980.00271281460.00271281461.00.0
7.43.8829853E-64.1419007E-64.1419007E-61.00.01.664126E-51.7750885E-51.7750885E-51.00.02.0258849E-42.1609601E-42.1609601E-41.00.00.0020240390.00215890050.00215890051.00.0
7.51.3489616E-61.4278028E-61.4278028E-61.00.05.7812517E-66.119141E-66.119141E-61.00.07.038446E-57.449803E-57.449803E-51.00.07.036218E-47.4473454E-47.4473454E-41.00.0
7.66.058192E-76.353833E-76.353833E-71.00.02.5963652E-62.7230685E-62.7230685E-61.00.03.161029E-53.315287E-53.315287E-51.00.03.1605794E-43.3148087E-43.3148087E-41.00.0
7.72.2170494E-72.2608089E-72.2608089E-71.00.09.5016367E-79.689178E-79.689178E-71.00.01.1568181E-51.1796522E-51.1796522E-51.00.01.1567579E-41.17960066E-41.17960066E-41.00.0
7.82.1613102E-81.5466844E-81.5466844E-81.00.09.262757E-86.6286475E-86.6286475E-81.00.01.1277401E-68.070376E-78.070376E-71.00.01.1277344E-58.070355E-68.070355E-61.00.0

Cleghorn

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.9267165E-69.832763E-69.832763E-61.00.03.39712E-54.213979E-54.213979E-51.00.04.1352084E-45.129418E-45.229367E-41.01948541.0E-50.0041275220.0051327040.0051724991.00775314.0E-5
6.17.9267165E-69.832763E-69.832763E-61.00.03.39712E-54.213979E-54.213979E-51.00.04.1352084E-45.129418E-45.229367E-41.01948541.0E-50.0041275220.0051327040.0051724991.00775314.0E-5
6.27.9267165E-69.832763E-69.832763E-61.00.03.39712E-54.213979E-54.213979E-51.00.04.1352084E-45.129418E-45.229367E-41.01948541.0E-50.0041275220.0051327040.0051724991.00775314.0E-5
6.37.9267165E-69.832763E-69.832763E-61.00.03.39712E-54.213979E-54.213979E-51.00.04.1352084E-45.129418E-45.229367E-41.01948541.0E-50.0041275220.0051327040.0051724991.00775314.0E-5
6.44.3445207E-66.0926013E-66.0926013E-61.00.01.8619241E-52.6110894E-52.6110894E-51.00.02.2666567E-43.1785478E-43.278516E-41.03145091.0E-50.00226434620.0031882040.00320814041.00625312.0E-5
6.54.3445207E-66.0926013E-66.0926013E-61.00.01.8619241E-52.6110894E-52.6110894E-51.00.02.2666567E-43.1785478E-43.278516E-41.03145091.0E-50.00226434620.0031882040.00320814041.00625312.0E-5
6.64.040109E-65.7750076E-65.7750076E-61.00.01.7314638E-52.4749803E-52.4749803E-51.00.02.1078532E-43.0128812E-43.112851E-41.03318081.0E-50.0021058550.0030229930.00304293261.0065962.0E-5
6.73.3632055E-65.0685003E-65.0685003E-61.00.01.4413658E-52.1721964E-52.1721964E-51.00.01.7547216E-42.6443315E-42.744305E-41.03780671.0E-50.00175333660.00265532520.00267527231.00751212.0E-5
6.83.2902772E-64.990407E-64.990407E-61.00.01.4101111E-52.1387285E-52.1387285E-51.00.01.716675E-42.603594E-42.703568E-41.03839851.0E-50.00171534950.00261468370.00263463151.00762922.0E-5
6.93.031547E-64.692163E-64.692163E-61.00.01.299228E-52.0109117E-52.0109117E-51.00.01.5816953E-42.4480128E-42.5479883E-41.04083941.0E-50.001580570.00245945410.0024794051.00811182.0E-5
7.02.8259715E-64.371714E-64.371714E-61.00.01.211125E-51.8735784E-51.8735784E-51.00.01.4744449E-42.2808454E-42.3808226E-41.04383341.0E-50.0014734670.00229264120.00231259531.00870362.0E-5
7.12.5962665E-64.066925E-64.066925E-61.00.01.1126809E-51.7429564E-51.7429564E-51.00.01.3546048E-42.1218449E-42.2218237E-41.04711881.0E-50.00135377930.00213396480.0021539221.00935222.0E-5
7.22.3247253E-63.6774632E-63.6774632E-61.00.09.96307E-61.5760463E-51.5760463E-51.00.01.21293626E-41.9186691E-42.01865E-41.05210951.0E-50.00121227440.00193118080.00195114221.01033642.0E-5
7.32.056928E-63.236149E-63.236149E-61.00.08.815376E-61.3869138E-51.3869138E-51.00.01.0732192E-41.6884382E-41.7884214E-41.05921641.0E-50.0010727010.00170139080.00172135691.01173512.0E-5
7.41.8055999E-62.8265147E-62.8265147E-61.00.07.738263E-61.2113579E-51.2113579E-51.00.09.4209274E-51.4747298E-41.5747151E-41.0677991.0E-59.4169343E-40.0014881290.00150809931.01341972.0E-5
7.51.4683443E-62.4257406E-62.4257406E-61.00.06.292889E-61.039599E-51.039599E-51.00.07.661323E-51.2656393E-41.3656265E-41.07900141.0E-57.658682E-40.00127933590.00128932311.00780651.0E-5
7.69.804088E-71.9012458E-61.9012458E-61.00.04.201745E-68.148171E-68.148171E-61.00.05.1155046E-59.919951E-59.919951E-51.00.05.114327E-40.00100600340.00100600341.00.0
7.77.3434086E-71.6293816E-61.6293816E-61.00.03.1471714E-66.9830453E-66.9830453E-61.00.03.831614E-58.501529E-58.501529E-51.00.03.8309532E-48.6431357E-48.6431357E-41.00.0
7.86.434184E-71.522934E-61.522934E-61.00.02.7575045E-66.5268437E-66.5268437E-61.00.03.35721E-57.946145E-57.946145E-51.00.03.3567028E-48.0846256E-48.0846256E-41.00.0
7.93.4943926E-77.5794E-77.5794E-71.00.01.497596E-63.2483103E-63.2483103E-61.00.01.8233079E-53.9547467E-53.9547467E-51.00.01.8231584E-44.0426495E-44.0426495E-41.00.0
8.06.717524E-85.8437763E-85.8437763E-81.00.02.8789387E-72.5044753E-72.5044753E-71.00.03.505102E-63.0491944E-63.0491944E-61.00.03.5050467E-53.2754215E-53.2754215E-51.00.0
8.13.1984914E-81.2967114E-81.2967114E-81.00.01.370782E-75.5573338E-85.5573338E-81.00.01.6689258E-66.766052E-76.766052E-71.00.01.6689133E-57.750275E-67.750275E-61.00.0
8.21.21887656E-83.6524417E-93.6524417E-91.00.05.2237567E-81.565332E-81.565332E-81.00.06.359922E-71.9057916E-71.9057916E-71.00.06.3599036E-62.2488762E-62.2488762E-61.00.0

San Gabriel

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.083775E-51.1987373E-53.1987132E-52.66840222.0E-54.6446676E-55.1373507E-57.137248E-51.38928572.0E-55.653415E-46.253043E-46.5528555E-41.04794673.0E-50.00563905430.0062473480.00628709841.00636274.0E-5
6.11.083775E-51.1987373E-53.1987132E-52.66840222.0E-54.6446676E-55.1373507E-57.137248E-51.38928572.0E-55.653415E-46.253043E-46.5528555E-41.04794673.0E-50.00563905430.0062473480.00628709841.00636274.0E-5
6.21.083775E-51.1987373E-53.1987132E-52.66840222.0E-54.6446676E-55.1373507E-57.137248E-51.38928572.0E-55.653415E-46.253043E-46.5528555E-41.04794673.0E-50.00563905430.0062473480.00628709841.00636274.0E-5
6.31.083775E-51.1987373E-53.1987132E-52.66840222.0E-54.6446676E-55.1373507E-57.137248E-51.38928572.0E-55.653415E-46.253043E-46.5528555E-41.04794673.0E-50.00563905430.0062473480.00628709841.00636274.0E-5
6.41.083775E-51.1987373E-53.1987132E-52.66840222.0E-54.6446676E-55.1373507E-57.137248E-51.38928572.0E-55.653415E-46.253043E-46.5528555E-41.04794673.0E-50.00563905430.0062473480.00628709841.00636274.0E-5
6.56.7317824E-67.719108E-61.771903E-52.29547641.0E-52.8850178E-53.3081476E-54.3081145E-51.3022741.0E-53.511943E-44.026936E-44.1268958E-41.02482281.0E-50.0035063980.0040305390.0040404991.00247111.0E-5
6.66.7317824E-67.719108E-61.771903E-52.29547641.0E-52.8850178E-53.3081476E-54.3081145E-51.3022741.0E-53.511943E-44.026936E-44.1268958E-41.02482281.0E-50.0035063980.0040305390.0040404991.00247111.0E-5
6.76.274881E-67.248026E-61.7247954E-52.37967591.0E-52.6892068E-53.1062606E-54.1062292E-51.32192051.0E-53.2736175E-43.7812255E-43.8811876E-41.02643641.0E-50.00326879930.00378568520.00379564751.00263151.0E-5
6.85.996209E-66.960745E-61.6960676E-52.43661791.0E-52.5697784E-52.9831428E-53.983113E-51.3352071.0E-53.128256E-43.6313804E-43.7313442E-41.02752771.0E-50.0031238560.00363633780.00364630131.002741.0E-5
6.95.686331E-66.6257817E-61.6625716E-52.50924591.0E-52.4369761E-52.8395903E-53.8395618E-51.35215351.0E-52.9666146E-43.456662E-43.5566272E-41.02891971.0E-50.00296265730.00346217470.003472141.00287831.0E-5
7.05.2329838E-66.1496576E-61.6149595E-52.62609671.0E-52.242688E-52.6355414E-53.635515E-51.37941871.0E-52.7301308E-43.2083067E-43.3082746E-41.0311591.0E-50.0027267790.00321455230.00322452021.00310091.0E-5
7.15.135671E-66.039777E-61.6039716E-52.65568021.0E-52.2009834E-52.5884507E-53.5884248E-51.38632151.0E-52.6793676E-43.1509905E-43.250959E-41.0317261.0E-50.00267613940.00315740030.00316736871.00315711.0E-5
7.24.989062E-65.8731457E-61.5873087E-52.7026551.0E-52.1381518E-52.5170384E-53.5170135E-51.39728221.0E-52.6028889E-43.064071E-43.1640404E-41.03262631.0E-50.00259984240.00307072370.0030806931.00324651.0E-5
7.34.8219395E-65.7046905E-61.5704632E-52.75293351.0E-52.0665291E-52.4448447E-53.4448203E-51.40901391.0E-52.5157086E-42.9761996E-43.0761698E-41.03358981.0E-50.00251286270.00298309140.00299306141.00334231.0E-5
7.44.7118383E-65.59324E-61.5593185E-52.78786251.0E-52.0193436E-52.3970813E-53.3970573E-51.4171641.0E-52.4582737E-42.9180633E-43.018034E-41.03425931.0E-50.0024555560.0029251090.00293507961.00340871.0E-5
7.54.5506545E-65.438597E-61.5438542E-52.83869961.0E-51.9502659E-52.3308068E-53.3307835E-51.4290261.0E-52.37419E-42.8373953E-42.937367E-41.03523361.0E-50.0023716550.00284464940.00285462081.00350531.0E-5
7.64.343636E-65.231458E-61.5231406E-52.9115031.0E-51.861545E-52.2420347E-53.242012E-51.44601351.0E-52.2661954E-42.7293427E-42.8293155E-41.03662881.0E-50.00226388570.00273685970.00274683231.00364391.0E-5
7.72.936235E-62.7452986E-62.7452986E-61.00.01.2583803E-51.1765513E-51.1765513E-51.00.01.5319703E-41.4323574E-41.4323574E-41.00.00.00153091470.00143871290.00143871291.00.0
7.81.4541639E-69.1280947E-79.1280947E-71.00.06.232116E-63.9120346E-63.9120346E-61.00.07.587337E-54.7627982E-54.7627982E-51.00.07.584747E-44.8106918E-44.8106918E-41.00.0
7.98.098958E-72.4187648E-72.4187648E-71.00.03.4709774E-61.036613E-61.036613E-61.00.04.225833E-51.262069E-51.262069E-51.00.04.2250296E-41.2928544E-41.2928544E-41.00.0
8.05.2473234E-77.6827554E-87.6827554E-81.00.02.248851E-63.292609E-73.292609E-71.00.02.7379416E-54.008744E-64.008744E-61.00.02.7376044E-44.2213585E-54.2213585E-51.00.0
8.13.3162388E-74.1511967E-84.1511967E-81.00.01.4212444E-61.7790842E-71.7790842E-71.00.01.7303513E-52.1660328E-62.1660328E-61.00.01.7302166E-42.2976306E-52.2976306E-51.00.0
8.21.0235345E-71.4050096E-81.4050096E-81.00.04.3865757E-76.0214695E-86.0214695E-81.00.05.340643E-67.3311367E-77.3311367E-71.00.05.3405143E-57.9302445E-67.9302445E-61.00.0

North Frontal (East)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.135738E-67.4772242E-67.4772242E-61.00.03.0581377E-53.2044965E-54.2044645E-51.31205151.0E-53.7226462E-43.9009753E-44.1008973E-41.05124932.0E-50.00371641640.00389608550.003935931.01022674.0E-5
6.17.135738E-67.4772242E-67.4772242E-61.00.03.0581377E-53.2044965E-54.2044645E-51.31205151.0E-53.7226462E-43.9009753E-44.1008973E-41.05124932.0E-50.00371641640.00389608550.003935931.01022674.0E-5
6.27.135738E-67.4772242E-67.4772242E-61.00.03.0581377E-53.2044965E-54.2044645E-51.31205151.0E-53.7226462E-43.9009753E-44.1008973E-41.05124932.0E-50.00371641640.00389608550.003935931.01022674.0E-5
6.37.135738E-67.4772242E-67.4772242E-61.00.03.0581377E-53.2044965E-54.2044645E-51.31205151.0E-53.7226462E-43.9009753E-44.1008973E-41.05124932.0E-50.00371641640.00389608550.003935931.01022674.0E-5
6.47.135738E-67.4772242E-67.4772242E-61.00.03.0581377E-53.2044965E-54.2044645E-51.31205151.0E-53.7226462E-43.9009753E-44.1008973E-41.05124932.0E-50.00371641640.00389608550.003935931.01022674.0E-5
6.57.135738E-67.4772242E-67.4772242E-61.00.03.0581377E-53.2044965E-54.2044645E-51.31205151.0E-53.7226462E-43.9009753E-44.1008973E-41.05124932.0E-50.00371641640.00389608550.003935931.01022674.0E-5
6.67.135738E-67.4772242E-67.4772242E-61.00.03.0581377E-53.2044965E-54.2044645E-51.31205151.0E-53.7226462E-43.9009753E-44.1008973E-41.05124932.0E-50.00371641640.00389608550.003935931.01022674.0E-5
6.77.135738E-67.4772242E-67.4772242E-61.00.03.0581377E-53.2044965E-54.2044645E-51.31205151.0E-53.7226462E-43.9009753E-44.1008973E-41.05124932.0E-50.00371641640.00389608550.003935931.01022674.0E-5
6.85.959142E-66.236721E-66.236721E-61.00.02.553893E-52.6728634E-53.672837E-51.37412061.0E-53.108921E-43.253906E-43.453841E-41.06144462.0E-50.00310457520.00325091490.00328081731.00919823.0E-5
6.92.2946929E-62.3824725E-62.3824725E-61.00.09.834361E-61.021056E-51.021056E-51.00.01.1972676E-41.2430694E-41.343057E-41.0804361.0E-50.00119662280.00124242060.00126239581.01607762.0E-5
7.02.2468673E-62.3321654E-62.3321654E-61.00.09.629396E-69.994959E-69.994959E-61.00.01.1723159E-41.2168231E-41.316811E-41.08217121.0E-50.00117169760.00121620310.00123617881.01642472.0E-5
7.11.9921076E-62.0646132E-62.0646132E-61.00.08.537577E-68.848315E-68.848315E-61.00.01.0394004E-41.0772334E-41.17722266E-41.09282041.0E-50.00103891430.0010767540.00109673241.01855432.0E-5
7.21.4524545E-61.504522E-61.504522E-61.00.06.2247905E-66.447937E-66.447937E-61.00.07.5784184E-57.850105E-58.850027E-51.12737681.0E-57.575835E-47.8475766E-48.04742E-41.02546562.0E-5
7.38.9802575E-79.308773E-79.308773E-71.00.03.848676E-63.989469E-63.989469E-61.00.04.685662E-54.8570815E-55.8570327E-51.20587491.0E-54.6846745E-44.856133E-45.0560356E-41.0411652.0E-5
7.47.776139E-78.060514E-78.060514E-71.00.03.3326266E-63.454502E-63.454502E-61.00.04.0573974E-54.2057858E-55.205744E-51.23775771.0E-54.0566566E-44.2050975E-44.4050135E-41.04754142.0E-5
7.55.244417E-75.4412465E-75.4412465E-71.00.02.2476054E-62.331961E-62.331961E-61.00.02.7364253E-52.8391321E-53.8391037E-51.35221031.0E-52.7360884E-42.8388345E-42.938806E-41.03521571.0E-5
7.61.5489647E-71.6089587E-71.6089587E-71.00.06.6384183E-76.8955364E-76.8955364E-71.00.08.082245E-68.395304E-68.395304E-61.00.08.08195E-58.395186E-58.395186E-51.00.0

Elysian Park (Upper)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1876025E-53.703628E-53.703628E-51.00.01.3660437E-41.5871998E-41.5871998E-41.00.00.00166188950.00193117370.00194115451.00516821.0E-50.0164951590.0191903730.0192197971.00153333.0E-5
6.13.1876025E-53.703628E-53.703628E-51.00.01.3660437E-41.5871998E-41.5871998E-41.00.00.00166188950.00193117370.00194115451.00516821.0E-50.0164951590.0191903730.0192197971.00153333.0E-5
6.23.1876025E-53.703628E-53.703628E-51.00.01.3660437E-41.5871998E-41.5871998E-41.00.00.00166188950.00193117370.00194115451.00516821.0E-50.0164951590.0191903730.0192197971.00153333.0E-5
6.33.1876025E-53.703628E-53.703628E-51.00.01.3660437E-41.5871998E-41.5871998E-41.00.00.00166188950.00193117370.00194115451.00516821.0E-50.0164951590.0191903730.0192197971.00153333.0E-5
6.41.9273462E-52.1202904E-52.1202904E-51.00.08.259794E-59.0867405E-59.0867405E-51.00.00.0010051660.00110592090.00111590981.00903221.0E-50.0100063150.0110209840.0110506531.00269213.0E-5
6.51.9273462E-52.1202904E-52.1202904E-51.00.08.259794E-59.0867405E-59.0867405E-51.00.00.0010051660.00110592090.00111590981.00903221.0E-50.0100063150.0110209840.0110506531.00269213.0E-5
6.69.813258E-69.665716E-69.665716E-61.00.04.205614E-54.1423882E-54.1423882E-51.00.05.119132E-45.042263E-45.1422126E-41.01982241.0E-50.0051073560.0050315460.00504149541.00197741.0E-5
6.79.801478E-69.653286E-69.653286E-61.00.04.2005657E-54.1370608E-54.1370608E-51.00.05.112989E-45.03578E-45.1357294E-41.01984791.0E-50.00510124070.00502509250.00503504231.00198011.0E-5
6.88.102489E-67.773095E-67.773095E-61.00.03.4724493E-53.3312866E-53.3312866E-51.00.04.2268867E-44.0551362E-44.1550957E-41.02465011.0E-50.0042188560.00404823060.004058191.00246021.0E-5
6.96.08275E-65.481501E-65.481501E-61.00.02.6068668E-52.349194E-52.349194E-51.00.03.173398E-42.859776E-42.859776E-41.00.00.00316887020.00285617360.00285617361.00.0
7.05.5995934E-64.982823E-64.982823E-61.00.02.3998036E-52.1354786E-52.1354786E-51.00.02.9213692E-42.5996417E-42.5996417E-41.00.00.00291753160.0025966680.0025966681.00.0
7.14.709881E-64.0874347E-64.0874347E-61.00.02.0185047E-51.7517461E-51.7517461E-51.00.02.4572524E-42.1325464E-42.1325464E-41.00.00.0024545370.00213054130.00213054131.00.0
7.23.6063436E-62.9779728E-62.9779728E-61.00.01.5455667E-51.2762678E-51.2762678E-51.00.01.881565E-41.5537464E-41.5537464E-41.00.00.00187997260.00155267130.00155267131.00.0
7.32.471135E-62.0954792E-62.0954792E-61.00.01.0590536E-58.980594E-68.980594E-61.00.01.2893214E-41.0933332E-41.0933332E-41.00.00.00128857360.00109280250.00109280251.00.0
7.41.163943E-61.0275194E-61.0275194E-61.00.04.988318E-64.4036474E-64.4036474E-61.00.06.0731076E-55.3613116E-55.3613116E-51.00.06.071448E-45.360048E-45.360048E-41.00.0
7.54.99459E-74.917662E-74.917662E-71.00.02.140537E-62.1075678E-62.1075678E-61.00.02.6060725E-52.565935E-52.565935E-51.00.02.605767E-42.5656543E-42.5656543E-41.00.0
7.62.4667852E-72.4778686E-72.4778686E-71.00.01.0571932E-61.0619433E-61.0619433E-61.00.01.2871251E-51.2929087E-51.2929087E-51.00.01.2870505E-41.2928371E-41.2928371E-41.00.0
7.78.2312795E-87.386639E-87.386639E-81.00.03.527691E-73.165702E-73.165702E-71.00.04.294955E-63.8542366E-63.8542366E-61.00.04.2948723E-53.8541813E-53.8541813E-51.00.0
7.82.7819295E-81.7567253E-81.7567253E-81.00.01.1922555E-77.528822E-87.528822E-81.00.01.45157E-69.166339E-79.166339E-71.00.01.45156055E-59.166316E-69.166316E-61.00.0

San Luis Range 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.8368415E-68.965478E-61.896539E-52.11537961.0E-53.787163E-53.8422957E-55.842219E-51.52050222.0E-54.609895E-44.6770697E-44.876976E-41.04274182.0E-50.00460034380.0046680090.0047078221.0085294.0E-5
6.18.8368415E-68.965478E-61.896539E-52.11537961.0E-53.787163E-53.8422957E-55.842219E-51.52050222.0E-54.609895E-44.6770697E-44.876976E-41.04274182.0E-50.00460034380.0046680090.0047078221.0085294.0E-5
6.28.8368415E-68.965478E-61.896539E-52.11537961.0E-53.787163E-53.8422957E-55.842219E-51.52050222.0E-54.609895E-44.6770697E-44.876976E-41.04274182.0E-50.00460034380.0046680090.0047078221.0085294.0E-5
6.38.8368415E-68.965478E-61.896539E-52.11537961.0E-53.787163E-53.8422957E-55.842219E-51.52050222.0E-54.609895E-44.6770697E-44.876976E-41.04274182.0E-50.00460034380.0046680090.0047078221.0085294.0E-5
6.43.9094193E-63.941214E-61.3941175E-53.53727941.0E-51.6754546E-51.689081E-52.689064E-51.59202791.0E-52.039675E-42.0562648E-42.1562443E-41.04862191.0E-50.00203780390.0020543910.00206437061.00485771.0E-5
6.53.9094193E-63.941214E-61.3941175E-53.53727941.0E-51.6754546E-51.689081E-52.689064E-51.59202791.0E-52.039675E-42.0562648E-42.1562443E-41.04862191.0E-50.00203780390.0020543910.00206437061.00485771.0E-5
6.63.0587726E-63.0753974E-63.0753974E-61.00.01.3108959E-51.3180209E-51.3180209E-51.00.01.595899E-41.6045735E-41.6045735E-41.00.00.00159475340.00160342690.00160342691.00.0
6.72.6160574E-62.6251355E-62.6251355E-61.00.01.1211626E-51.1250533E-51.1250533E-51.00.01.3649299E-41.3696669E-41.3696669E-41.00.00.00136409190.00136882890.00136882891.00.0
6.82.5110312E-62.5181482E-62.5181482E-61.00.01.0761518E-51.079202E-51.079202E-51.00.01.310136E-41.3138496E-41.3138496E-41.00.00.00130936390.00131307880.00131307881.00.0
6.91.8564405E-61.8524935E-61.8524935E-61.00.07.95615E-67.939234E-67.939234E-61.00.09.686181E-59.66559E-59.66559E-51.00.09.68196E-49.6614065E-49.6614065E-41.00.0
7.01.546127E-61.5369595E-61.5369595E-61.00.06.626242E-66.586953E-66.586953E-61.00.08.06715E-58.0193204E-58.0193204E-51.00.08.0642226E-48.016434E-48.016434E-41.00.0
7.11.3368208E-61.3235378E-61.3235378E-61.00.05.7292195E-65.672293E-65.672293E-61.00.06.975101E-56.905798E-56.905798E-51.00.06.972912E-46.903657E-46.903657E-41.00.0
7.21.0623363E-61.0454412E-61.0454412E-61.00.04.5528623E-64.4804547E-64.4804547E-61.00.05.5429686E-55.4548174E-55.4548174E-51.00.05.5415864E-45.453481E-45.453481E-41.00.0
7.37.831679E-77.7274274E-77.7274274E-71.00.03.3564295E-63.3117506E-63.3117506E-61.00.04.086376E-54.0319817E-54.0319817E-51.00.04.0856248E-44.0312516E-44.0312516E-41.00.0
7.45.9558846E-75.9106696E-75.9106696E-71.00.02.5525194E-62.5331417E-62.5331417E-61.00.03.107648E-53.0840565E-53.0840565E-51.00.03.1072134E-43.083629E-43.083629E-41.00.0
7.54.1616502E-74.1196597E-74.1196597E-71.00.01.7835631E-61.7655673E-61.7655673E-61.00.02.1714664E-52.1495569E-52.1495569E-51.00.02.1712543E-42.1493496E-42.1493496E-41.00.0
7.62.3816014E-72.3376762E-72.3376762E-71.00.01.0206859E-61.0018608E-61.0018608E-61.00.01.242678E-51.2197587E-51.2197587E-51.00.01.2426086E-41.219692E-41.219692E-41.00.0
7.79.918777E-89.386922E-89.386922E-81.00.04.2509038E-74.0229656E-74.0229656E-71.00.05.1754632E-64.8979496E-64.8979496E-61.00.05.1753424E-54.897842E-54.897842E-51.00.0
7.83.4982556E-82.9687648E-82.9687648E-81.00.01.4992524E-71.2723277E-71.2723277E-71.00.01.8253382E-61.5490579E-61.5490579E-61.00.01.8253233E-51.5490472E-51.5490472E-51.00.0
7.91.6624908E-81.147785E-81.147785E-81.00.07.12496E-84.9190785E-84.9190785E-81.00.08.6746354E-75.9889766E-75.9889766E-71.00.08.674601E-65.9889603E-65.9889603E-61.00.0
8.06.3352315E-93.0891683E-93.0891683E-91.00.02.715099E-81.3239292E-81.3239292E-81.00.03.3056327E-71.6118838E-71.6118838E-71.00.03.3056278E-61.6118827E-61.6118827E-61.00.0

Monterey Bay-Tularcitos

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0131365E-53.2799162E-53.2799162E-51.00.01.2912804E-41.4056085E-41.4056085E-41.00.00.0015710.00171009060.00173005641.01167522.0E-50.0155994020.0169801170.0170194381.00231564.0E-5
6.13.0131365E-53.2799162E-53.2799162E-51.00.01.2912804E-41.4056085E-41.4056085E-41.00.00.0015710.00171009060.00173005641.01167522.0E-50.0155994020.0169801170.0170194381.00231564.0E-5
6.23.0131365E-53.2799162E-53.2799162E-51.00.01.2912804E-41.4056085E-41.4056085E-41.00.00.0015710.00171009060.00173005641.01167522.0E-50.0155994020.0169801170.0170194381.00231564.0E-5
6.31.6998249E-51.8330993E-51.8330993E-51.00.07.28476E-57.855914E-57.855914E-51.00.08.865586E-49.560565E-49.6604694E-41.01044961.0E-50.00883030050.0095213590.0095411691.00208062.0E-5
6.41.6998249E-51.8330993E-51.8330993E-51.00.07.28476E-57.855914E-57.855914E-51.00.08.865586E-49.560565E-49.6604694E-41.01044961.0E-50.00883030050.0095213590.0095411691.00208062.0E-5
6.51.27470785E-51.3693452E-51.3693452E-51.00.05.4629192E-55.868496E-55.868496E-51.00.06.649074E-47.142655E-47.2425837E-41.01399041.0E-50.00662921460.00712075040.0071406081.00278872.0E-5
6.61.2739422E-51.3685539E-51.3685539E-51.00.05.4596385E-55.865105E-55.865105E-51.00.06.645082E-47.1385293E-47.238458E-41.01399851.0E-50.00662524670.0071166510.0071365091.00279032.0E-5
6.71.0160109E-51.0885862E-51.0885862E-51.00.04.35426E-54.6652898E-54.6652898E-51.00.05.300022E-45.678581E-45.778524E-41.01761.0E-50.0052873990.0056647820.00568466871.00351062.0E-5
6.88.349859E-68.932674E-68.932674E-61.00.03.578462E-53.8282356E-53.8282356E-51.00.04.3559066E-44.6599368E-44.75989E-41.02144961.0E-50.0043473780.004650730.00466068371.00214021.0E-5
6.95.193639E-65.5364826E-65.5364826E-61.00.02.2258262E-52.3727585E-52.3727585E-51.00.02.7096065E-42.888483E-42.988454E-41.03461031.0E-50.00270630510.00288504970.00289502091.00345611.0E-5
7.04.359381E-64.64341E-64.64341E-61.00.01.8682927E-51.9900195E-51.9900195E-51.00.02.274409E-42.4226091E-42.522585E-41.04126781.0E-50.00227208270.0024202610.0024302371.00412181.0E-5
7.13.0398533E-63.2310738E-63.2310738E-61.00.01.3027877E-51.3847401E-51.3847401E-51.00.01.5860285E-41.6858168E-41.6858168E-41.00.00.0015848970.00168479560.00168479561.00.0
7.21.642335E-61.7333323E-61.7333323E-61.00.07.0385595E-67.428557E-67.428557E-61.00.08.569109E-59.0441E-59.0441E-51.00.08.5658056E-49.042446E-49.042446E-41.00.0
7.33.356842E-73.295269E-73.295269E-71.00.01.4386458E-61.4122573E-61.4122573E-61.00.01.7515373E-51.71941E-51.71941E-51.00.01.7513991E-41.7192778E-41.7192778E-41.00.0
7.42.1973483E-72.1006667E-72.1006667E-71.00.09.417204E-79.0028544E-79.0028544E-71.00.01.1465385E-51.096092E-51.096092E-51.00.01.1464794E-41.0960383E-41.0960383E-41.00.0
7.51.1944135E-71.06962446E-71.06962446E-71.00.05.118914E-74.584104E-74.584104E-71.00.06.23226E-65.5811324E-65.5811324E-61.00.06.2320854E-55.5809935E-55.5809935E-51.00.0
7.64.636058E-83.3366177E-83.3366177E-81.00.01.9868818E-71.4299789E-71.4299789E-71.00.02.419026E-61.7409978E-61.7409978E-61.00.02.4189996E-51.7409844E-51.7409844E-51.00.0
7.71.8588572E-88.004356E-98.004356E-91.00.07.9665305E-83.4304385E-83.4304385E-81.00.09.699246E-74.176558E-74.176558E-71.00.09.699204E-64.1765506E-64.1765506E-61.00.0
7.82.7960154E-97.610521E-107.610521E-101.00.01.1982923E-83.2616516E-93.2616516E-91.00.01.4589209E-73.9710606E-83.9710606E-81.00.01.4589199E-63.9710605E-73.9710605E-71.00.0

Ortigalita (South)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.72394E-54.3256532E-54.3256532E-51.00.01.5958765E-41.8537285E-41.8537285E-41.00.00.00194124810.00225473470.00227468971.00885022.0E-50.0192437750.0223349760.0223643071.00131323.0E-5
6.12.7299884E-53.149268E-53.149268E-51.00.01.16994255E-41.3496196E-41.3496196E-41.00.00.00142347430.00164197920.00166194641.01216042.0E-50.0141439060.0163044040.0163339131.001813.0E-5
6.22.7299884E-53.149268E-53.149268E-51.00.01.16994255E-41.3496196E-41.3496196E-41.00.00.00142347430.00164197920.00166194641.01216042.0E-50.0141439060.0163044040.0163339131.001813.0E-5
6.32.0546433E-52.3631925E-52.3631925E-51.00.08.805317E-51.0127585E-41.0127585E-41.00.00.001071520.0012323550.00125233041.01620912.0E-50.0106636810.0122572740.0122869071.00241763.0E-5
6.42.0546433E-52.3631925E-52.3631925E-51.00.08.805317E-51.0127585E-41.0127585E-41.00.00.001071520.0012323550.00125233041.01620912.0E-50.0106636810.0122572740.0122869071.00241763.0E-5
6.51.7779594E-52.0447384E-52.0447384E-51.00.07.619603E-58.7628774E-58.7628774E-51.00.09.272918E-40.00106637180.00108635041.01873522.0E-50.0092343190.0106140140.0106436961.00279643.0E-5
6.61.6272212E-51.8715342E-51.8715342E-51.00.06.973618E-58.0206206E-58.0206206E-51.00.08.487073E-49.760854E-49.960658E-41.020472.0E-50.0084547330.0097192830.00974899251.00305663.0E-5
6.71.3051484E-51.5039062E-51.5039062E-51.00.05.593373E-56.445159E-56.445159E-51.00.06.807804E-47.8442506E-48.044094E-41.02547632.0E-50.0067869860.0078175460.0078473111.00380753.0E-5
6.81.04277415E-51.1987473E-51.1987473E-51.00.04.4689557E-55.1373918E-55.1373918E-51.00.05.439595E-46.2530534E-46.4529286E-41.03196442.0E-50.00542629930.00623621330.00626602631.00478073.0E-5
6.97.639968E-68.79168E-68.79168E-61.00.03.274231E-53.7678114E-53.7678114E-51.00.03.9856473E-44.5864037E-44.686358E-41.02179361.0E-50.0039785060.00457752450.0045974331.00434922.0E-5
7.03.919831E-64.5334955E-64.5334955E-61.00.01.679917E-51.9429133E-51.9429133E-51.00.02.045107E-42.3652615E-42.4652376E-41.04226861.0E-50.00204322580.00236295260.0023729291.0042221.0E-5
7.11.6017933E-61.8570811E-61.8570811E-61.00.06.8648105E-67.958901E-67.958901E-61.00.08.357586E-59.689637E-59.689637E-51.00.08.3544437E-49.686459E-49.686459E-41.00.0

Kern Canyon (South Kern) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.105075E-64.1137364E-64.1137364E-61.00.01.7593058E-51.7630184E-53.762983E-52.13439822.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462698E-42.3462268E-41.09316492.0E-50.00213968130.00214426080.00217419651.01396083.0E-5
6.14.105075E-64.1137364E-64.1137364E-61.00.01.7593058E-51.7630184E-53.762983E-52.13439822.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462698E-42.3462268E-41.09316492.0E-50.00213968130.00214426080.00217419651.01396083.0E-5
6.24.105075E-64.1137364E-64.1137364E-61.00.01.7593058E-51.7630184E-53.762983E-52.13439822.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462698E-42.3462268E-41.09316492.0E-50.00213968130.00214426080.00217419651.01396083.0E-5
6.34.105075E-64.1137364E-64.1137364E-61.00.01.7593058E-51.7630184E-53.762983E-52.13439822.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462698E-42.3462268E-41.09316492.0E-50.00213968130.00214426080.00217419651.01396083.0E-5
6.44.105075E-64.1137364E-64.1137364E-61.00.01.7593058E-51.7630184E-53.762983E-52.13439822.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462698E-42.3462268E-41.09316492.0E-50.00213968130.00214426080.00217419651.01396083.0E-5
6.52.9849807E-62.9731618E-62.9731618E-61.00.01.2792712E-51.2742061E-53.2741806E-52.56958482.0E-51.5574014E-41.551237E-41.751206E-41.12890932.0E-50.00155631030.00155016930.00158012291.01932283.0E-5
6.62.9849807E-62.9731618E-62.9731618E-61.00.01.2792712E-51.2742061E-53.2741806E-52.56958482.0E-51.5574014E-41.551237E-41.751206E-41.12890932.0E-50.00155631030.00155016930.00158012291.01932283.0E-5
6.72.6756725E-62.6582272E-62.6582272E-61.00.01.1467117E-51.13923525E-53.1392126E-52.75554372.0E-51.396032E-41.3869318E-41.586904E-41.14418322.0E-50.00139515530.00138607710.00140604941.01440922.0E-5
6.82.3283721E-62.3047844E-62.3047844E-61.00.09.9787E-69.87761E-62.9877412E-53.02476122.0E-51.214839E-41.20253346E-41.4025094E-41.16629552.0E-50.0012141750.00120189020.00122186611.01662042.0E-5
6.92.0972677E-62.0696461E-62.0696461E-61.00.08.988259E-68.869883E-62.8869705E-53.25480132.0E-51.0942656E-41.0798552E-41.2798337E-41.185192.0E-50.00109372680.00107933630.00109931481.01850992.0E-5
7.01.7132242E-61.6787077E-61.6787077E-61.00.07.3423685E-67.194442E-61.719437E-52.3899521.0E-58.938967E-58.758884E-59.758797E-51.11415981.0E-58.935372E-48.7554706E-48.8553835E-41.01141141.0E-5
7.11.4215541E-61.3815785E-61.3815785E-61.00.06.0923603E-65.9210374E-65.9210374E-61.00.07.417196E-57.208627E-57.208627E-51.00.07.414721E-47.206316E-47.206316E-41.00.0
7.29.097853E-78.6037966E-78.6037966E-71.00.03.899074E-63.6873362E-63.6873362E-61.00.04.7470192E-54.4892404E-54.4892404E-51.00.04.7460053E-44.4883444E-44.4883444E-41.00.0
7.36.144169E-75.6282187E-75.6282187E-71.00.02.6332125E-62.4120914E-62.4120914E-61.00.03.205889E-52.9366824E-52.9366824E-51.00.03.2054266E-42.9362994E-42.9362994E-41.00.0
7.44.049844E-73.5728377E-73.5728377E-71.00.01.7356463E-61.5312153E-61.5312153E-61.00.02.1131287E-51.864239E-51.864239E-51.00.02.1129279E-41.864085E-41.864085E-41.00.0
7.51.9871162E-71.5830446E-71.5830446E-71.00.08.5162094E-76.784475E-76.784475E-71.00.01.0368436E-58.260068E-68.260068E-61.00.01.0367952E-48.25977E-58.25977E-51.00.0
7.62.572245E-81.7352718E-81.7352718E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436879E-87.436879E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.054397E-79.054397E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054365E-69.054365E-61.00.0

Hosgri

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.883978E-52.9128816E-52.9128816E-51.00.01.235932E-41.2483196E-41.2483196E-41.00.00.00150370850.00151879680.00151879681.00.00.014935740.0150879560.0151175031.00195843.0E-5
6.12.883978E-52.9128816E-52.9128816E-51.00.01.235932E-41.2483196E-41.2483196E-41.00.00.00150370850.00151879680.00151879681.00.00.014935740.0150879560.0151175031.00195843.0E-5
6.22.883978E-52.9128816E-52.9128816E-51.00.01.235932E-41.2483196E-41.2483196E-41.00.00.00150370850.00151879680.00151879681.00.00.014935740.0150879560.0151175031.00195843.0E-5
6.32.2914428E-52.2642287E-52.2642287E-51.00.09.8200995E-59.703479E-59.703479E-51.00.00.00119494130.00118076320.00118076321.00.00.0118853630.0117463070.0117660721.00168262.0E-5
6.42.0195741E-51.9696845E-51.9696845E-51.00.08.65503E-58.441233E-58.441233E-51.00.00.00105324050.00102723750.00102723751.00.00.0104826260.0102259510.0102457461.00193582.0E-5
6.51.9924333E-51.9409264E-51.9409264E-51.00.08.53872E-58.317992E-58.317992E-51.00.00.00103909340.00101224690.00101224691.00.00.0103424810.0100774090.01008730851.00098231.0E-5
6.61.809694E-51.7458564E-51.7458564E-51.00.07.7556004E-57.482028E-57.482028E-51.00.09.438353E-49.105575E-49.105575E-41.00.00.0093983660.009069220.009069221.00.0
6.71.675989E-51.6043017E-51.6043017E-51.00.07.182612E-56.875398E-56.875398E-51.00.08.7413215E-48.3675934E-48.3675934E-41.00.00.0087070170.0083370040.0083370041.00.0
6.81.5401129E-51.4614321E-51.4614321E-51.00.06.6003166E-56.2631305E-56.2631305E-51.00.08.032922E-47.6227024E-47.6227024E-41.00.00.0080039470.00759743060.00759743061.00.0
6.91.356559E-51.269019E-51.269019E-51.00.05.8136946E-55.4385397E-55.4385397E-51.00.07.0758746E-46.619415E-46.619415E-41.00.00.0070533860.00660051360.00660051361.00.0
7.01.2030819E-51.1096171E-51.1096171E-51.00.05.155963E-54.755415E-54.755415E-51.00.06.275577E-45.788181E-45.788181E-41.00.00.0062578840.0057738760.0057738761.00.0
7.11.0972698E-51.0022381E-51.0022381E-51.00.04.7025E-54.2952353E-54.2952353E-51.00.05.72379E-45.228195E-45.228195E-41.00.00.00570906930.0052166570.0052166571.00.0
7.29.961926E-69.0349395E-69.0349395E-61.00.04.2693267E-53.8720595E-53.8720595E-51.00.05.1966653E-44.713213E-44.713213E-41.00.00.005184530.0047039740.0047039741.00.0
7.38.700929E-67.828288E-67.828288E-61.00.03.7289166E-53.3549375E-53.3549375E-51.00.04.53901E-44.083871E-44.083871E-41.00.00.004529750.0040771160.0040771161.00.0
7.47.866285E-66.9989205E-66.9989205E-61.00.03.3712215E-52.999503E-52.999503E-51.00.04.103689E-43.651283E-43.651283E-41.00.00.0040961190.00364603150.00364603151.00.0
7.56.8381305E-65.959869E-65.959869E-61.00.02.9305946E-52.5542047E-52.5542047E-51.00.03.5674145E-43.1093007E-43.1093007E-41.00.00.00356169320.00310569560.00310569561.00.0
7.65.503376E-64.595407E-64.595407E-61.00.02.3585684E-51.9694453E-51.9694453E-51.00.02.8711787E-42.3975359E-42.3975359E-41.00.00.0028674720.00239569250.00239569251.00.0
7.73.6144982E-62.6523571E-62.6523571E-61.00.01.5490614E-51.1367195E-51.1367195E-51.00.01.8858191E-41.3838682E-41.3838682E-41.00.00.00188421960.00138374790.00138374791.00.0
7.81.9853494E-61.1362197E-61.1362197E-61.00.08.508612E-64.8695038E-64.8695038E-61.00.01.0358743E-45.9284594E-55.9284594E-51.00.00.00103539165.9342675E-45.9342675E-41.00.0
7.91.1818757E-65.2958796E-75.2958796E-71.00.05.0651715E-62.2696604E-62.2696604E-61.00.06.1666724E-52.7632766E-52.7632766E-51.00.06.1649614E-42.7697708E-42.7697708E-41.00.0
8.06.962958E-72.714428E-72.714428E-71.00.02.9841215E-61.1633257E-61.1633257E-61.00.03.6331072E-51.4163398E-51.4163398E-51.00.03.6325134E-41.4218807E-41.4218807E-41.00.0
8.11.5033264E-76.528495E-86.528495E-81.00.06.442826E-72.7979263E-72.7979263E-71.00.07.844113E-63.4064701E-63.4064701E-61.00.07.843835E-53.408197E-53.408197E-51.00.0

Pitas Point (Lower)-Montalvo

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.2543637E-64.837943E-64.837943E-61.00.02.2518509E-52.0733878E-52.0733878E-51.00.02.7412834E-42.5240605E-42.5240605E-41.00.00.00273790420.00252122620.00255115051.0118693.0E-5
6.15.2543637E-64.837943E-64.837943E-61.00.02.2518509E-52.0733878E-52.0733878E-51.00.02.7412834E-42.5240605E-42.5240605E-41.00.00.00273790420.00252122620.00255115051.0118693.0E-5
6.25.2543637E-64.837943E-64.837943E-61.00.02.2518509E-52.0733878E-52.0733878E-51.00.02.7412834E-42.5240605E-42.5240605E-41.00.00.00273790420.00252122620.00255115051.0118693.0E-5
6.35.2543637E-64.837943E-64.837943E-61.00.02.2518509E-52.0733878E-52.0733878E-51.00.02.7412834E-42.5240605E-42.5240605E-41.00.00.00273790420.00252122620.00255115051.0118693.0E-5
6.45.2543637E-64.837943E-64.837943E-61.00.02.2518509E-52.0733878E-52.0733878E-51.00.02.7412834E-42.5240605E-42.5240605E-41.00.00.00273790420.00252122620.00255115051.0118693.0E-5
6.55.2543637E-64.837943E-64.837943E-61.00.02.2518509E-52.0733878E-52.0733878E-51.00.02.7412834E-42.5240605E-42.5240605E-41.00.00.00273790420.00252122620.00255115051.0118693.0E-5
6.65.2543637E-64.837943E-64.837943E-61.00.02.2518509E-52.0733878E-52.0733878E-51.00.02.7412834E-42.5240605E-42.5240605E-41.00.00.00273790420.00252122620.00255115051.0118693.0E-5
6.75.2543637E-64.837943E-64.837943E-61.00.02.2518509E-52.0733878E-52.0733878E-51.00.02.7412834E-42.5240605E-42.5240605E-41.00.00.00273790420.00252122620.00255115051.0118693.0E-5
6.85.2543637E-64.837943E-64.837943E-61.00.02.2518509E-52.0733878E-52.0733878E-51.00.02.7412834E-42.5240605E-42.5240605E-41.00.00.00273790420.00252122620.00255115051.0118693.0E-5
6.95.2543637E-64.837943E-64.837943E-61.00.02.2518509E-52.0733878E-52.0733878E-51.00.02.7412834E-42.5240605E-42.5240605E-41.00.00.00273790420.00252122620.00255115051.0118693.0E-5
7.05.2543637E-64.837943E-64.837943E-61.00.02.2518509E-52.0733878E-52.0733878E-51.00.02.7412834E-42.5240605E-42.5240605E-41.00.00.00273790420.00252122620.00255115051.0118693.0E-5
7.15.2543637E-64.837943E-64.837943E-61.00.02.2518509E-52.0733878E-52.0733878E-51.00.02.7412834E-42.5240605E-42.5240605E-41.00.00.00273790420.00252122620.00255115051.0118693.0E-5
7.25.2458695E-64.8290967E-64.8290967E-61.00.02.2482105E-52.0695967E-52.0695967E-51.00.02.7368523E-42.5194458E-42.5194458E-41.00.00.00273348410.0025166220.00254654651.01189083.0E-5
7.35.22665E-64.809014E-64.809014E-61.00.02.2399736E-52.06099E-52.06099E-51.00.02.7268266E-42.5089693E-42.5089693E-41.00.00.0027234830.00250616930.0025360941.01194053.0E-5
7.45.210642E-64.7922263E-64.7922263E-61.00.02.233113E-52.0537953E-52.0537953E-51.00.02.718476E-42.500212E-42.500212E-41.00.00.0027151530.00249743160.00252735661.01198233.0E-5
7.55.1226016E-64.700112E-64.700112E-61.00.02.1953823E-52.0143185E-52.0143185E-51.00.02.67255E-42.4521598E-42.4521598E-41.00.00.00266933810.00244948570.00247941211.01221753.0E-5
7.64.8796987E-64.4450103E-64.4450103E-61.00.02.0912828E-51.9049907E-51.9049907E-51.00.02.5458392E-42.3190824E-42.3190824E-41.00.00.00254292460.00231669280.00234662351.01291953.0E-5
7.74.0834398E-63.609176E-63.609176E-61.00.01.7500339E-51.5467807E-51.5467807E-51.00.02.1304579E-41.883045E-41.883045E-41.00.00.00212841670.00188147320.00189145441.00530491.0E-5
7.82.5445438E-62.1212754E-62.1212754E-61.00.01.0905142E-59.091149E-69.091149E-61.00.01.3276201E-41.1067916E-41.1067916E-41.00.00.00132682720.00110624510.00110624511.00.0
7.94.1677114E-73.329434E-73.329434E-71.00.01.7861609E-61.4268995E-61.4268995E-61.00.02.1746291E-51.7372366E-51.7372366E-51.00.02.1744163E-41.7371039E-41.7371039E-41.00.0
8.07.791402E-95.6836416E-95.6836416E-91.00.03.3391725E-82.4358464E-82.4358464E-81.00.04.0654416E-72.9656428E-72.9656428E-71.00.04.065434E-62.9656408E-62.9656408E-61.00.0

Simi-Santa Rosa

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.198912E-52.227584E-52.227584E-51.00.09.4235686E-59.5464646E-59.5464646E-51.00.00.00114671560.00116170620.00118168291.0171962.0E-50.0114081630.0115607810.0115904341.0025653.0E-5
6.12.198912E-52.227584E-52.227584E-51.00.09.4235686E-59.5464646E-59.5464646E-51.00.00.00114671560.00116170620.00118168291.0171962.0E-50.0114081630.0115607810.0115904341.0025653.0E-5
6.21.69983E-51.6668866E-51.6668866E-51.00.07.284782E-57.14362E-57.14362E-51.00.08.865613E-48.694179E-48.8940054E-41.02298392.0E-50.0088303270.0086630860.0086829131.00228872.0E-5
6.31.69983E-51.6668866E-51.6668866E-51.00.07.284782E-57.14362E-57.14362E-51.00.08.865613E-48.694179E-48.8940054E-41.02298392.0E-50.0088303270.0086630860.0086829131.00228872.0E-5
6.41.4666188E-51.4052807E-51.4052807E-51.00.06.285358E-56.0225066E-56.0225066E-51.00.07.6497364E-47.330184E-47.5300375E-41.02726452.0E-50.00762345640.00730848130.00732833471.00271652.0E-5
6.51.4666188E-51.4052807E-51.4052807E-51.00.06.285358E-56.0225066E-56.0225066E-51.00.07.6497364E-47.330184E-47.5300375E-41.02726452.0E-50.00762345640.00730848130.00732833471.00271652.0E-5
6.61.4377586E-51.3729842E-51.3729842E-51.00.06.1616774E-55.8840993E-55.8840993E-51.00.07.4992597E-47.1617845E-47.261713E-41.0139531.0E-50.0074740030.0071411730.00715110131.00139031.0E-5
6.71.3881404E-51.3207801E-51.3207801E-51.00.05.9490372E-55.6603774E-55.6603774E-51.00.07.240546E-46.8895775E-46.989509E-41.01450471.0E-50.0072170.00687066840.00688059951.00144541.0E-5
6.81.0176516E-59.154335E-69.154335E-61.00.04.3612912E-53.923237E-53.923237E-51.00.05.308578E-44.7756598E-44.7756598E-41.00.00.00529591460.00476703050.00476703051.00.0
6.99.699797E-68.7748995E-68.7748995E-61.00.04.15699E-53.7606264E-53.7606264E-51.00.05.05996E-44.577765E-44.577765E-41.00.00.0050484540.00456995330.00456995331.00.0
7.07.4049476E-66.5594745E-66.5594745E-61.00.03.1735104E-52.8111803E-52.8111803E-51.00.03.8630638E-43.422201E-43.422201E-41.00.00.00385635530.00341817320.00341817321.00.0
7.13.873439E-62.7595852E-62.7595852E-61.00.01.6600346E-51.1826742E-51.1826742E-51.00.02.0209046E-41.439813E-41.439813E-41.00.00.00201906780.00143890370.00143890371.00.0
7.23.417706E-62.3677217E-62.3677217E-61.00.01.4647229E-51.0147341E-51.0147341E-51.00.01.7831543E-41.2353709E-41.2353709E-41.00.00.00178172420.00123470650.00123470651.00.0
7.31.90225E-61.4074603E-61.4074603E-61.00.08.152474E-66.031959E-66.031959E-61.00.09.9251854E-57.343665E-57.343665E-51.00.09.920754E-47.34126E-47.34126E-41.00.0
7.41.5170556E-61.1025613E-61.1025613E-61.00.06.5016507E-64.7252547E-64.7252547E-61.00.07.915472E-55.7528465E-55.7528465E-51.00.07.9126534E-45.7513686E-45.7513686E-41.00.0
7.51.178732E-68.535918E-78.535918E-71.00.05.0516987E-63.6582455E-63.6582455E-61.00.06.1502695E-54.453824E-54.453824E-51.00.06.148568E-44.4529408E-44.4529408E-41.00.0
7.66.8722386E-74.79399E-74.79399E-71.00.02.9452417E-62.0545656E-62.0545656E-61.00.03.5857727E-52.501405E-52.501405E-51.00.03.5851944E-42.5011247E-42.5011247E-41.00.0
7.75.5126515E-73.673879E-73.673879E-71.00.02.3625628E-61.5745187E-61.5745187E-61.00.02.8763823E-51.9169596E-51.9169596E-51.00.02.87601E-41.9167954E-41.9167954E-41.00.0
7.83.3860243E-72.0081076E-72.0081076E-71.00.01.4511525E-68.6061726E-78.6061726E-71.00.01.7667637E-51.0477966E-51.0477966E-51.00.01.7666233E-41.04774765E-41.04774765E-41.00.0
7.92.7955386E-71.465409E-71.465409E-71.00.01.1980875E-66.280323E-76.280323E-71.00.01.4586617E-57.646267E-67.646267E-61.00.01.458566E-47.646008E-57.646008E-51.00.0
8.05.6259015E-83.335468E-83.335468E-81.00.02.4111003E-71.4294862E-71.4294862E-71.00.02.9355108E-61.7403981E-61.7403981E-61.00.02.935472E-51.740386E-51.740386E-51.00.0

San Jacinto (Clark) rev

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.482615E-52.1158266E-53.1158055E-51.47261851.0E-51.9209793E-49.067519E-51.0067428E-41.11027371.0E-50.00233628340.00110342050.00113338741.02715813.0E-50.023118740.01149917950.0115288351.00257893.0E-5
6.14.482615E-52.1158266E-53.1158055E-51.47261851.0E-51.9209793E-49.067519E-51.0067428E-41.11027371.0E-50.00233628340.00110342050.00113338741.02715813.0E-50.023118740.01149917950.0115288351.00257893.0E-5
6.24.482615E-52.1158266E-53.1158055E-51.47261851.0E-51.9209793E-49.067519E-51.0067428E-41.11027371.0E-50.00233628340.00110342050.00113338741.02715813.0E-50.023118740.01149917950.0115288351.00257893.0E-5
6.34.482615E-52.1158266E-53.1158055E-51.47261851.0E-51.9209793E-49.067519E-51.0067428E-41.11027371.0E-50.00233628340.00110342050.00113338741.02715813.0E-50.023118740.01149917950.0115288351.00257893.0E-5
6.44.482615E-52.1158266E-53.1158055E-51.47261851.0E-51.9209793E-49.067519E-51.0067428E-41.11027371.0E-50.00233628340.00110342050.00113338741.02715813.0E-50.023118740.01149917950.0115288351.00257893.0E-5
6.53.7294863E-51.7359873E-52.73597E-51.57603111.0E-51.5982533E-47.4397365E-58.439662E-51.13440331.0E-50.00194413669.05416E-49.353888E-41.0331043.0E-50.019272160.0094994010.0095291161.0031283.0E-5
6.63.7294863E-51.7359873E-52.73597E-51.57603111.0E-51.5982533E-47.4397365E-58.439662E-51.13440331.0E-50.00194413669.05416E-49.353888E-41.0331043.0E-50.019272160.0094994010.0095291161.0031283.0E-5
6.73.6039248E-51.6607892E-52.6607724E-51.60211341.0E-51.5444479E-47.1174756E-58.117405E-51.14048921.0E-50.00187874348.662123E-48.9618634E-41.03460363.0E-50.018629390.0090988750.0091286021.00326723.0E-5
6.83.5031844E-51.623633E-52.6236168E-51.61589281.0E-51.5012783E-46.958244E-57.958175E-51.14370441.0E-50.00182627398.46841E-48.7681564E-41.03539573.0E-50.018113380.0088994760.0089292091.0033413.0E-5
6.93.435112E-51.6066866E-52.6066706E-51.6223891.0E-51.4721078E-46.88562E-57.885551E-51.14522021.0E-50.00179081788.380059E-48.6798077E-41.03576923.0E-50.0177645480.0088059860.0088357211.00337673.0E-5
7.02.8959772E-51.4340704E-52.4340561E-51.69730581.0E-51.241074E-46.145873E-57.145812E-51.16270081.0E-50.00150996037.480059E-47.779835E-41.04007663.0E-50.0149974160.007877910.0079076741.00377813.0E-5
7.12.6002877E-51.2832878E-52.283275E-51.77923851.0E-51.11436144E-45.49969E-56.4996355E-51.18181841.0E-50.00135589076.693837E-46.993636E-41.04478733.0E-50.0134764750.00705363230.00708342061.00422313.0E-5
7.22.2544838E-51.1265443E-52.126533E-51.88766031.0E-59.661716E-54.8279588E-55.8279104E-51.20711681.0E-50.0011756795.876469E-46.1762927E-41.05102113.0E-50.0116947850.0061952830.0062250971.00481243.0E-5
7.31.75334E-51.081565E-52.0815542E-51.9245761.0E-57.514098E-54.6351972E-55.635151E-51.21573051.0E-59.144575E-45.641905E-45.941736E-41.05314353.0E-50.0091070360.0059359120.0059657341.0050243.0E-5
7.41.5924552E-51.0615435E-52.0615329E-51.94201461.0E-56.82463E-54.5493933E-55.5493478E-51.21979951.0E-58.305819E-45.5374927E-45.837326E-41.05414623.0E-50.0082748440.00582320660.00585303181.00512183.0E-5
7.51.3428931E-59.855765E-61.9855666E-52.01462461.0E-55.7551293E-54.2238313E-55.223789E-51.23674191.0E-57.004617E-45.141312E-45.441158E-41.05832093.0E-50.0069825790.0054086830.00543852061.00551663.0E-5
7.61.0688787E-58.618602E-61.8618515E-52.1602711.0E-54.5808283E-53.6936344E-54.6935977E-51.27072611.0E-55.5757316E-44.4960767E-44.795942E-41.06669493.0E-50.0055617620.0047436730.00477353061.00629433.0E-5
7.78.81236E-67.471723E-61.7471648E-52.33836941.0E-53.776671E-53.202128E-54.2020958E-51.31228231.0E-54.597127E-43.8978952E-44.1977785E-41.07693463.0E-50.00458762840.0041365590.0041664351.00722243.0E-5
7.87.780431E-66.7000988E-61.6700033E-52.49250531.0E-53.3344273E-52.8714394E-53.8714108E-51.34824741.0E-54.0589093E-43.4954186E-43.7953135E-41.08579663.0E-50.00405150370.00372455360.00375444191.00802473.0E-5
7.96.5437994E-65.7836955E-61.5783637E-52.72898841.0E-52.8044553E-52.4787032E-53.4786783E-51.40342681.0E-53.4138895E-43.0174048E-43.3173143E-41.09939313.0E-50.00340864950.00323613870.00326604161.00924033.0E-5
8.05.4488164E-64.8162797E-61.4816232E-53.07628151.0E-52.3351862E-52.0641035E-53.064083E-51.48446181.0E-52.8427184E-42.5127578E-42.8126824E-41.11936073.0E-50.00283908450.00271228580.00274220431.01103083.0E-5
8.12.8397242E-61.3679883E-61.1367974E-58.3099951.0E-51.217019E-55.8627934E-61.5862735E-52.70566151.0E-51.4816198E-47.137719E-59.1375754E-51.28018152.0E-50.00148063258.120884E-48.3207217E-41.02460792.0E-5
8.22.030244E-66.323106E-76.323106E-71.00.08.701017E-62.7099E-62.7099E-61.00.01.05929736E-43.2992535E-53.2992535E-51.00.00.00105879253.9508488E-43.9508488E-41.00.0
8.31.0659804E-62.926802E-72.926802E-71.00.04.568479E-61.2543431E-61.2543431E-61.00.05.5619817E-51.5271524E-51.5271524E-51.00.05.5605895E-41.8576543E-41.8576543E-41.00.0

Hosgri (Extension)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1369135E-51.20832E-51.20832E-51.00.04.8723956E-55.1784245E-55.1784245E-51.00.05.9305265E-46.3031353E-46.3031353E-41.00.00.0059147250.00628750630.0063173181.00474133.0E-5
6.16.934979E-67.324637E-67.324637E-61.00.02.9721E-53.1390948E-53.1390948E-51.00.03.617931E-43.821219E-43.821219E-41.00.00.00361204640.00381506120.0038349851.00522232.0E-5
6.26.934979E-67.324637E-67.324637E-61.00.02.9721E-53.1390948E-53.1390948E-51.00.03.617931E-43.821219E-43.821219E-41.00.00.00361204640.00381506120.0038349851.00522232.0E-5
6.34.5484676E-64.7693884E-64.7693884E-61.00.01.9493287E-52.0440079E-52.0440079E-51.00.02.3730492E-42.4882995E-42.4882995E-41.00.00.00237051680.0024855560.00249553121.00401331.0E-5
6.44.218095E-64.4169165E-64.4169165E-61.00.01.8077424E-51.8929508E-51.8929508E-51.00.02.2007042E-42.304427E-42.304427E-41.00.00.0021985260.00230207080.00231204791.0043341.0E-5
6.53.717374E-63.883928E-63.883928E-61.00.01.5931506E-51.6645301E-51.6645301E-51.00.01.9394881E-42.0263788E-42.0263788E-41.00.00.00193779620.00202454980.00202454981.00.0
6.63.4605036E-63.6083538E-63.6083538E-61.00.01.4830645E-51.5464282E-51.5464282E-51.00.01.8054814E-41.8826152E-41.8826152E-41.00.00.00180401520.0018810350.0018810351.00.0
6.73.123439E-63.246613E-63.246613E-61.00.01.33860985E-51.3913982E-51.3913982E-51.00.01.6296357E-41.6938966E-41.6938966E-41.00.00.0016284410.00169261650.00169261651.00.0
6.82.8290783E-62.9305816E-62.9305816E-61.00.01.2124565E-51.2559575E-51.2559575E-51.00.01.4760658E-41.5290218E-41.5290218E-41.00.00.00147508570.00152797860.00152797861.00.0
6.92.454112E-62.5283568E-62.5283568E-61.00.01.0517581E-51.0835771E-51.0835771E-51.00.01.2804402E-41.3191758E-41.3191758E-41.00.00.00127970280.00131839890.00131839891.00.0
7.02.1008145E-62.149904E-62.149904E-61.00.09.003459E-69.2138425E-69.2138425E-61.00.01.096116E-41.1217279E-41.1217279E-41.00.00.00109557550.00112116550.00112116551.00.0
7.11.744384E-61.7686655E-61.7686655E-61.00.07.47591E-67.579973E-67.579973E-61.00.09.1015405E-59.228228E-59.228228E-51.00.09.097813E-49.224413E-49.224413E-41.00.0
7.21.5456587E-61.5563166E-61.5563166E-61.00.06.6242346E-66.6699113E-66.6699113E-61.00.08.064707E-58.120316E-58.120316E-51.00.08.0617814E-48.117361E-48.117361E-41.00.0
7.31.3775123E-61.3766349E-61.3766349E-61.00.05.9036106E-65.8998507E-65.8998507E-61.00.07.187409E-57.1828326E-57.1828326E-51.00.07.185085E-47.180521E-47.180521E-41.00.0
7.41.214491E-61.2023712E-61.2023712E-61.00.05.2049513E-65.153009E-65.153009E-61.00.06.336844E-56.2736086E-56.2736086E-51.00.06.335037E-46.271846E-46.271846E-41.00.0
7.51.0101123E-69.842478E-79.842478E-71.00.04.3290456E-64.218198E-64.218198E-61.00.05.2704854E-55.1355353E-55.1355353E-51.00.05.2692357E-45.1343546E-45.1343546E-41.00.0
7.68.1558215E-77.766179E-77.766179E-71.00.03.4953473E-63.3283584E-63.3283584E-61.00.04.255502E-54.0522013E-54.0522013E-51.00.04.2546875E-44.0514668E-44.0514668E-41.00.0
7.74.757816E-74.1310682E-74.1310682E-71.00.02.0390623E-61.7704566E-61.7704566E-61.00.02.4825302E-52.1555097E-52.1555097E-51.00.02.482253E-42.1553019E-42.1553019E-41.00.0
7.82.782787E-72.00493E-72.00493E-71.00.01.1926223E-68.5925547E-78.5925547E-71.00.01.452008E-51.04613855E-51.04613855E-51.00.01.4519131E-41.0460896E-41.0460896E-41.00.0
7.91.6948086E-79.2453185E-89.2453185E-81.00.07.2634634E-73.9622788E-73.9622788E-71.00.08.843231E-64.8240636E-64.8240636E-61.00.08.842879E-54.8239595E-54.8239595E-51.00.0
8.01.0225492E-74.4745146E-84.4745146E-81.00.04.382353E-71.917649E-71.917649E-71.00.05.335502E-62.3347352E-62.3347352E-61.00.05.335374E-52.334711E-52.334711E-51.00.0
8.11.43711345E-85.7886886E-95.7886886E-91.00.06.1590576E-82.4808667E-82.4808667E-81.00.07.4986497E-73.0204546E-73.0204546E-71.00.07.4986247E-63.0204512E-63.0204512E-61.00.0

Big Pine (East)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.916913E-61.281854E-51.281854E-51.00.04.250036E-55.4935572E-55.4935572E-51.00.05.173191E-46.686574E-46.686574E-41.00.00.00516116430.006671240.006701041.00446693.0E-5
6.19.916913E-61.281854E-51.281854E-51.00.04.250036E-55.4935572E-55.4935572E-51.00.05.173191E-46.686574E-46.686574E-41.00.00.00516116430.006671240.006701041.00446693.0E-5
6.29.916913E-61.281854E-51.281854E-51.00.04.250036E-55.4935572E-55.4935572E-51.00.05.173191E-46.686574E-46.686574E-41.00.00.00516116430.006671240.006701041.00446693.0E-5
6.35.479711E-68.11447E-68.11447E-61.00.02.3484265E-53.4775854E-53.4775854E-51.00.02.858834E-44.2331696E-44.2331696E-41.00.00.00285515890.00422802470.00424794061.00471032.0E-5
6.45.465009E-68.098763E-68.098763E-61.00.02.3421257E-53.470854E-53.470854E-51.00.02.851165E-44.2249775E-44.2249775E-41.00.00.00284750970.0042198640.00423977941.00471952.0E-5
6.54.826767E-67.4238146E-67.4238146E-61.00.02.068598E-53.1815976E-53.1815976E-51.00.02.518227E-43.8729343E-43.8729343E-41.00.00.00251537510.00386906180.00388898441.00514922.0E-5
6.64.3146847E-66.8837467E-66.8837467E-61.00.01.8491375E-52.950145E-52.950145E-51.00.02.2510924E-43.5912343E-43.5912343E-41.00.00.00224881340.00358827550.00359823971.00277691.0E-5
6.73.6968106E-65.9968484E-65.9968484E-61.00.01.5843378E-52.5700534E-52.5700534E-51.00.01.9287605E-43.1286062E-43.1286062E-41.00.00.00192708730.0031269560.00313692471.0031881.0E-5
6.83.4671132E-65.703515E-65.703515E-61.00.01.4858972E-52.4443414E-52.4443414E-51.00.01.8089297E-42.9755937E-42.9755937E-41.00.00.00180745790.00297435540.00298432561.0033521.0E-5
6.92.7686972E-64.8264656E-64.8264656E-61.00.01.1865792E-52.0684693E-52.0684693E-51.00.01.4445644E-42.518078E-42.518078E-41.00.00.00144362570.00251790280.00252787751.00396161.0E-5
7.02.1472624E-63.986174E-63.986174E-61.00.09.20252E-61.7083494E-51.7083494E-51.00.01.12034926E-42.0797222E-42.0797222E-41.00.00.00111978450.00208042540.00209040471.00479671.0E-5
7.11.7018335E-63.3459255E-63.3459255E-61.00.07.293552E-61.4339605E-51.4339605E-51.00.08.879537E-51.7457105E-41.7457105E-41.00.08.87599E-40.00174695570.00174695571.00.0
7.21.25603E-62.795471E-62.795471E-61.00.05.3829745E-61.1980536E-51.1980536E-51.00.06.553574E-51.458535E-41.458535E-41.00.06.551642E-40.00146017070.00146017071.00.0
7.31.112297E-62.6112702E-62.6112702E-61.00.04.7669787E-61.1191111E-51.1191111E-51.00.05.803642E-51.3624349E-41.3624349E-41.00.05.802127E-40.001364020.001364021.00.0
7.41.0137181E-62.4843957E-62.4843957E-61.00.04.3444993E-61.0647368E-51.0647368E-51.00.05.2892992E-51.2962421E-41.2962421E-41.00.05.288041E-40.00129767750.00129767751.00.0
7.59.598608E-72.4080273E-62.4080273E-61.00.04.1136827E-61.0320077E-51.0320077E-51.00.05.0082934E-51.2563991E-41.2563991E-41.00.05.007165E-40.00125768410.00125768411.00.0
7.67.929459E-72.0456312E-62.0456312E-61.00.03.3983351E-68.766962E-68.766962E-61.00.04.1373947E-51.0673271E-41.0673271E-41.00.04.1366243E-40.00106892250.00106892251.00.0
7.74.155788E-71.1611139E-61.1611139E-61.00.01.7810507E-64.9761934E-64.9761934E-61.00.02.1684076E-56.0583512E-56.0583512E-51.00.02.1681961E-46.0889556E-46.0889556E-41.00.0
7.81.14666925E-72.5932084E-72.5932084E-71.00.04.914296E-71.1113746E-61.1113746E-61.00.05.9831386E-61.3530906E-51.3530906E-51.00.05.9829777E-51.364052E-41.364052E-41.00.0
7.92.9231824E-84.1479638E-84.1479638E-81.00.01.2527924E-71.7776986E-71.7776986E-71.00.01.5252737E-62.1643461E-62.1643461E-61.00.01.5252632E-52.1986685E-52.1986685E-51.00.0

Big Pine (Central)

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2706755E-51.4251083E-51.4251083E-51.00.05.4456385E-56.107485E-56.107485E-51.00.06.628048E-47.433691E-47.433691E-41.00.00.0066083140.00741382640.0074336781.00267772.0E-5
6.18.342579E-69.511262E-69.511262E-61.00.03.5753423E-54.0762035E-54.0762035E-51.00.04.3521097E-44.961865E-44.961865E-41.00.00.00434359630.0049543150.0049543151.00.0
6.26.923899E-67.967629E-67.967629E-61.00.02.9673516E-53.4146644E-53.4146644E-51.00.03.6121515E-44.1567534E-44.1567534E-41.00.00.0036062860.004152260.004152261.00.0
6.32.728396E-63.4247232E-63.4247232E-61.00.01.1693074E-51.4677307E-51.4677307E-51.00.01.4235388E-41.7868243E-41.7868243E-41.00.00.00142262720.0017868680.0017868681.00.0
6.42.7136944E-63.4090162E-63.4090162E-61.00.01.1630066E-51.4609993E-51.4609993E-51.00.01.4158686E-41.7786301E-41.7786301E-41.00.00.00141496690.0017786870.0017786871.00.0
6.52.6971882E-63.3913614E-63.3913614E-61.00.01.1559327E-51.4534329E-51.4534329E-51.00.01.4072572E-41.7694196E-41.7694196E-41.00.00.00140636640.00176949110.00176949111.00.0
6.62.669092E-63.3613815E-63.3613815E-61.00.01.1438916E-51.4405846E-51.4405846E-51.00.01.3925991E-41.7537792E-41.7537792E-41.00.00.00139172670.00175387550.00175387551.00.0
6.72.6408059E-63.3314068E-63.3314068E-61.00.01.1317691E-51.4277384E-51.4277384E-51.00.01.3778417E-41.7381416E-41.7381416E-41.00.00.00137698770.00173826240.00173826241.00.0
6.82.1786943E-62.8548623E-62.8548623E-61.00.09.337228E-61.223507E-51.223507E-51.00.01.1367482E-41.4895253E-41.4895253E-41.00.00.00113616690.00148999370.00148999371.00.0
6.91.4411696E-62.0689088E-62.0689088E-61.00.06.1764263E-68.866724E-68.866724E-61.00.07.51954E-51.07947286E-41.07947286E-41.00.07.5169955E-40.00108037060.00108037061.00.0
7.01.0073411E-61.5546336E-61.5546336E-61.00.04.317169E-66.662699E-66.662699E-61.00.05.2560266E-58.11155E-58.11155E-51.00.05.2547833E-48.1226975E-48.1226975E-41.00.0
7.18.947104E-71.4306167E-61.4306167E-61.00.03.834468E-66.1312007E-66.1312007E-61.00.04.6683643E-57.4644966E-57.4644966E-51.00.04.6673836E-47.4760953E-47.4760953E-41.00.0
7.25.215166E-71.0115094E-61.0115094E-61.00.02.2350691E-64.3350337E-64.3350337E-61.00.02.7211627E-55.27778E-55.27778E-51.00.02.7208295E-45.2905316E-45.2905316E-41.00.0
7.34.4024807E-79.2229175E-79.2229175E-71.00.01.8867761E-63.952673E-63.952673E-61.00.02.2971257E-54.8122773E-54.8122773E-51.00.02.2968883E-44.8252378E-44.8252378E-41.00.0
7.43.6130905E-78.3617664E-78.3617664E-71.00.01.5484665E-63.5836094E-63.5836094E-61.00.01.8852415E-54.362961E-54.362961E-51.00.01.8850817E-44.3760161E-44.3760161E-41.00.0
7.53.408184E-78.111325E-78.111325E-71.00.01.4606494E-63.4762777E-63.4762777E-61.00.01.7783263E-54.2322896E-54.2322896E-51.00.01.778184E-44.2451447E-44.2451447E-41.00.0
7.63.1428627E-77.734672E-77.734672E-71.00.01.3469405E-63.3148556E-63.3148556E-61.00.01.6398877E-54.0357656E-54.0357656E-51.00.01.6397667E-44.0484127E-44.0484127E-41.00.0
7.71.7972785E-75.0801975E-75.0801975E-71.00.07.70262E-72.1772257E-62.1772257E-61.00.09.377899E-62.650741E-52.650741E-51.00.09.377503E-52.6640965E-42.6640965E-41.00.0
7.84.9230927E-81.1986405E-71.1986405E-71.00.02.1098968E-75.13703E-75.13703E-71.00.02.5687964E-66.2543177E-66.2543177E-61.00.02.5687666E-56.29837E-56.29837E-51.00.0
7.93.6805972E-94.1069246E-94.1069246E-91.00.01.5773987E-81.7601105E-81.7601105E-81.00.01.9204828E-72.1429342E-72.1429342E-71.00.01.920481E-62.1908222E-62.1908222E-61.00.0

Kern Canyon (Lake Isabella) 2011

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.2387383E-64.001647E-61.4001607E-53.4989611.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149814E-53.714947E-52.16617352.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878084E-42.3877458E-41.14366143.0E-50.00220927360.00208603080.00211596811.01435143.0E-5
6.14.2387383E-64.001647E-61.4001607E-53.4989611.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149814E-53.714947E-52.16617352.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878084E-42.3877458E-41.14366143.0E-50.00220927360.00208603080.00211596811.01435143.0E-5
6.24.2387383E-64.001647E-61.4001607E-53.4989611.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149814E-53.714947E-52.16617352.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878084E-42.3877458E-41.14366143.0E-50.00220927360.00208603080.00211596811.01435143.0E-5
6.34.2387383E-64.001647E-61.4001607E-53.4989611.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149814E-53.714947E-52.16617352.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878084E-42.3877458E-41.14366143.0E-50.00220927360.00208603080.00211596811.01435143.0E-5
6.44.2387383E-64.001647E-61.4001607E-53.4989611.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149814E-53.714947E-52.16617352.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878084E-42.3877458E-41.14366143.0E-50.00220927360.00208603080.00211596811.01435143.0E-5
6.52.7857532E-62.517871E-61.2517846E-54.9715991.0E-51.1938888E-51.0790834E-53.0790616E-52.8534052.0E-51.4534626E-41.313708E-41.5136818E-41.15222082.0E-50.00145251230.00131296410.0013329381.01521272.0E-5
6.62.2233348E-61.944126E-61.944126E-61.00.09.528543E-68.331944E-61.833186E-52.20019031.0E-51.1600384E-41.0143677E-41.1143576E-41.09857361.0E-50.0011594330.00101391330.00102390331.00985281.0E-5
6.72.1635126E-61.8835061E-61.8835061E-61.00.09.272164E-68.072145E-61.8072064E-52.23881821.0E-51.1288274E-49.827401E-51.0827302E-41.10174631.0E-50.00112825429.823136E-49.923038E-41.01017011.0E-5
6.81.8685711E-61.5831444E-61.5831444E-61.00.08.008137E-66.784887E-61.678482E-52.47385381.0E-59.74947E-58.260291E-59.260209E-51.12105111.0E-59.745194E-48.25727E-48.3571876E-41.01210061.0E-5
6.91.5815071E-61.3064939E-61.3064939E-61.00.06.77787E-65.5992477E-61.5599191E-52.78594421.0E-58.251744E-56.816874E-57.816805E-51.14668481.0E-58.248681E-46.814809E-46.914741E-41.01466391.0E-5
7.01.3772564E-61.1210726E-61.1210726E-61.00.05.9025137E-64.804588E-64.804588E-61.00.07.186073E-55.849431E-55.849431E-51.00.07.18375E-45.847912E-45.847912E-41.00.0
7.11.0916998E-68.7637835E-78.7637835E-71.00.04.678705E-63.7559018E-63.7559018E-61.00.05.6961744E-54.572716E-54.572716E-51.00.05.6947145E-44.5717886E-44.5717886E-41.00.0
7.27.6277024E-75.9014616E-75.9014616E-71.00.03.2690114E-62.5291954E-62.5291954E-61.00.03.9799485E-53.0792526E-53.0792526E-51.00.03.9792358E-43.078832E-43.078832E-41.00.0
7.35.3265916E-74.3824443E-74.3824443E-71.00.02.282823E-61.8781891E-61.8781891E-61.00.02.7793016E-52.2866716E-52.2866716E-51.00.02.778954E-42.2864401E-42.2864401E-41.00.0
7.43.4946007E-73.0065758E-73.0065758E-71.00.01.497685E-61.2885318E-61.2885318E-61.00.01.8234163E-51.5687765E-51.5687765E-51.00.01.8232666E-41.568668E-41.568668E-41.00.0
7.51.8317026E-71.4244814E-71.4244814E-71.00.07.850152E-76.104919E-76.104919E-71.00.09.557518E-67.4327145E-67.4327145E-61.00.09.5571064E-57.432474E-57.432474E-51.00.0
7.62.572245E-81.7352718E-81.7352718E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436879E-87.436879E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.054397E-79.054397E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054365E-69.054365E-61.00.0

San Pedro Basin

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.3449043E-56.3371765E-57.3371135E-51.1577891.0E-52.2904722E-42.7156848E-42.8156576E-41.03681311.0E-50.00278508360.00330193340.00331190041.00301851.0E-50.0275043660.032590280.032609631.00059372.0E-5
6.15.3449043E-56.3371765E-57.3371135E-51.1577891.0E-52.2904722E-42.7156848E-42.8156576E-41.03681311.0E-50.00278508360.00330193340.00331190041.00301851.0E-50.0275043660.032590280.032609631.00059372.0E-5
6.22.3189454E-52.6643364E-52.6643364E-51.00.09.9379584E-51.1418111E-41.1418111E-41.00.00.00120927490.00138931560.00138931561.00.00.0120271550.0138111660.0138111661.00.0
6.32.3189454E-52.6643364E-52.6643364E-51.00.09.9379584E-51.1418111E-41.1418111E-41.00.00.00120927490.00138931560.00138931561.00.00.0120271550.0138111660.0138111661.00.0
6.41.966056E-52.2463855E-52.2463855E-51.00.08.425682E-59.627034E-59.627034E-51.00.00.0010253440.00117150140.00117150141.00.00.0102062590.0116573430.0116573431.00.0
6.51.7342953E-51.9745525E-51.9745525E-51.00.07.4324824E-58.462114E-58.462114E-51.00.09.04529E-40.00102981240.00102981241.00.00.0090085610.0102541250.0102541251.00.0
6.61.439804E-51.6323016E-51.6323016E-51.00.06.170443E-56.995408E-56.995408E-51.00.07.509924E-48.513903E-48.513903E-41.00.00.00748459530.0084844870.0084844871.00.0
6.71.2634884E-51.4285555E-51.4285555E-51.00.05.414838E-56.122254E-56.122254E-51.00.06.590571E-47.4516E-47.4516E-41.00.00.0065710590.00742963470.00742963471.00.0
6.81.146091E-51.2933422E-51.2933422E-51.00.04.911726E-55.5427943E-55.5427943E-51.00.05.9783855E-46.74656E-46.74656E-41.00.00.00596232760.0067290190.0067290191.00.0
6.99.109035E-61.023519E-51.023519E-51.00.03.9038136E-54.386452E-54.386452E-51.00.04.7518566E-45.339476E-45.339476E-41.00.00.00474170830.0053294010.0053294011.00.0
7.05.9351028E-66.584069E-66.584069E-61.00.02.5435906E-52.8217266E-52.8217266E-51.00.03.0963816E-43.4351466E-43.4351466E-41.00.00.00309207060.00343215370.00343215371.00.0
7.12.1557585E-62.2096617E-62.2096617E-61.00.09.238933E-69.469944E-69.469944E-61.00.01.1247819E-41.1529063E-41.1529063E-41.00.00.00112421280.00115232360.00115232361.00.0
7.22.1251979E-62.1780077E-62.1780077E-61.00.09.107958E-69.334286E-69.334286E-61.00.01.1088375E-41.13639166E-41.13639166E-41.00.00.00110828450.00113582590.00113582591.00.0
7.31.7145798E-61.7442975E-61.7442975E-61.00.07.3481783E-67.47554E-67.47554E-61.00.08.94604E-59.101099E-59.101099E-51.00.08.9424395E-49.097463E-49.097463E-41.00.0
7.41.4467993E-61.4641951E-61.4641951E-61.00.06.200554E-66.2751074E-66.2751074E-61.00.07.548913E-57.639683E-57.639683E-51.00.07.546349E-47.637129E-47.637129E-41.00.0
7.51.2803735E-61.293157E-61.293157E-61.00.05.487303E-65.54209E-65.54209E-61.00.06.680587E-56.747293E-56.747293E-51.00.06.678579E-46.745315E-46.745315E-41.00.0
7.66.755009E-76.769505E-76.769505E-71.00.02.8950008E-62.9012133E-62.9012133E-61.00.03.5246063E-53.532176E-53.532176E-51.00.03.5240475E-43.5316718E-43.5316718E-41.00.0
7.76.211885E-84.5700038E-84.5700038E-81.00.02.6622362E-71.9585728E-71.9585728E-71.00.03.2412677E-62.38456E-62.38456E-61.00.03.2412205E-52.3845365E-52.3845365E-51.00.0
7.82.6580573E-91.5138489E-91.5138489E-91.00.01.1391674E-86.487924E-96.487924E-91.00.01.3869362E-77.8990475E-87.8990475E-81.00.01.3869354E-67.8990473E-77.8990473E-71.00.0

Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5183659E-43.0524618E-43.0524618E-41.00.06.5056595E-40.0013069820.0013069821.00.00.0078919120.0156981270.0156981271.00.00.0761745940.138510540.138527771.00012432.0E-5
6.11.5024997E-43.0218763E-43.0218763E-41.00.06.437695E-40.0012938910.0012938911.00.00.00780976140.01554151250.01554151251.00.00.0754093450.13718010.137197361.00012582.0E-5
6.21.2743923E-42.5316005E-42.5316005E-41.00.05.460538E-40.00108414850.00108414851.00.00.00662795830.0130487630.0130487631.00.00.0643372760.117277780.117295441.00015062.0E-5
6.31.1525114E-42.2602278E-42.2602278E-41.00.04.9383997E-49.680288E-49.680288E-41.00.00.00599593860.0116699630.0116699631.00.00.0583671740.106394060.1064119341.0001682.0E-5
6.41.07200925E-42.0843073E-42.0843073E-41.00.04.5935164E-48.9276396E-48.9276396E-41.00.00.00557827440.0107748350.0107748351.00.00.05440310.099216810.099234831.00018162.0E-5
6.59.69631E-51.8736755E-41.8736755E-41.00.04.1548995E-48.026078E-48.026078E-41.00.00.00504686260.0096966880.0096966881.00.00.049337730.090108620.090126811.0002022.0E-5
6.68.0552316E-51.5074162E-41.5074162E-41.00.03.4517853E-46.458456E-46.458456E-41.00.00.00419445240.0078283560.0078283561.00.00.041161610.074878670.074878671.00.0
6.77.815757E-51.4614697E-41.4614697E-41.00.03.34918E-46.2616763E-46.2616763E-41.00.00.0040700050.0075911490.0075911491.00.00.0399626570.072728150.072728151.00.0
6.86.965264E-51.2726107E-41.2726107E-41.00.02.9847719E-45.452736E-45.452736E-41.00.00.00362790520.006615280.006615281.00.00.035692470.063822280.063822281.00.0
6.95.8000453E-51.0146304E-41.0146304E-41.00.02.4854968E-44.3476955E-44.3476955E-41.00.00.00302189330.00528056970.00528056971.00.00.0298112950.051514120.051514121.00.0
7.04.9865852E-58.570392E-58.570392E-51.00.02.1369329E-43.6725128E-43.6725128E-41.00.00.00259861140.00446220630.00446220631.00.00.0256843360.0437933470.0437933471.00.0
7.14.283875E-57.114092E-57.114092E-51.00.01.8358172E-43.0485436E-43.0485436E-41.00.00.00223281630.00370534140.00370534141.00.00.0221051460.0367442220.0367442221.00.0
7.23.450115E-55.5794262E-55.5794262E-51.00.01.478537E-42.3909652E-42.3909652E-41.00.00.00179863230.00290714320.00290714321.00.00.0178414420.0290874040.0290874041.00.0
7.32.5709045E-54.060424E-54.060424E-51.00.01.1017697E-41.7400667E-41.7400667E-41.00.00.00134057910.00211648970.00211648971.00.00.0133252080.0213046480.0213046481.00.0
7.41.8003093E-52.8519447E-52.8519447E-51.00.07.715383E-51.2222049E-41.2222049E-41.00.09.3894306E-40.00148702110.00148702111.00.00.0093498570.0150551910.0150551911.00.0
7.51.5595824E-52.5831554E-52.5831554E-51.00.06.683753E-51.1070197E-41.1070197E-41.00.08.134431E-40.00134696540.00134696541.00.00.0081047190.0136551820.0136551821.00.0
7.61.1110309E-51.9230012E-51.9230012E-51.00.04.761474E-58.241174E-58.241174E-51.00.05.795553E-40.00100290240.00100290241.00.00.00578046120.0102065830.0102065831.00.0
7.76.2140443E-61.04432265E-51.04432265E-51.00.02.6631347E-54.4755914E-54.4755914E-51.00.03.241884E-45.447671E-45.447671E-41.00.00.00323715880.00562281070.00562281071.00.0
7.85.305533E-69.438617E-69.438617E-61.00.02.27378E-54.0450588E-54.0450588E-51.00.02.7679754E-44.923747E-44.923747E-41.00.00.00276453020.0050770380.0050770381.00.0
7.93.363505E-67.389195E-67.389195E-61.00.01.4414942E-53.1667594E-53.1667594E-51.00.01.7548777E-43.8548483E-43.8548483E-41.00.00.00175349260.00395064060.00395064061.00.0
8.02.0271132E-64.4155477E-64.4155477E-61.00.08.687599E-61.8923638E-51.8923638E-51.00.01.05766376E-42.3037099E-42.3037099E-41.00.00.00105716060.00235230990.00235230991.00.0
8.11.2206116E-62.3764833E-62.3764833E-61.00.05.2311816E-61.0184889E-51.0184889E-51.00.06.3687774E-51.23994E-41.23994E-41.00.06.366953E-40.00127125080.00127125081.00.0

Jess Valley

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.3861274E-63.4340655E-63.4340655E-61.00.01.4511894E-51.4717357E-51.4717357E-51.00.01.7666799E-41.7917191E-41.8917011E-41.05580231.0E-50.0017652760.0017905510.00181051521.01114982.0E-5
6.13.3861274E-63.4340655E-63.4340655E-61.00.01.4511894E-51.4717357E-51.4717357E-51.00.01.7666799E-41.7917191E-41.8917011E-41.05580231.0E-50.0017652760.0017905510.00181051521.01114982.0E-5
6.23.3861274E-63.4340655E-63.4340655E-61.00.01.4511894E-51.4717357E-51.4717357E-51.00.01.7666799E-41.7917191E-41.8917011E-41.05580231.0E-50.0017652760.0017905510.00181051521.01114982.0E-5
6.33.3861274E-63.4340655E-63.4340655E-61.00.01.4511894E-51.4717357E-51.4717357E-51.00.01.7666799E-41.7917191E-41.8917011E-41.05580231.0E-50.0017652760.0017905510.00181051521.01114982.0E-5
6.41.5291708E-61.5502812E-61.5502812E-61.00.06.553573E-66.6440502E-66.6440502E-61.00.07.978683E-58.0889105E-58.0889105E-51.00.07.975819E-48.0867484E-48.0867484E-41.00.0
6.51.5291708E-61.5502812E-61.5502812E-61.00.06.553573E-66.6440502E-66.6440502E-61.00.07.978683E-58.0889105E-58.0889105E-51.00.07.975819E-48.0867484E-48.0867484E-41.00.0
6.65.396423E-75.4720056E-75.4720056E-71.00.02.312751E-62.3451441E-62.3451441E-61.00.02.8157378E-52.8551944E-52.8551944E-51.00.02.8153812E-42.8550118E-42.8550118E-41.00.0
6.75.396423E-75.4720056E-75.4720056E-71.00.02.312751E-62.3451441E-62.3451441E-61.00.02.8157378E-52.8551944E-52.8551944E-51.00.02.8153812E-42.8550118E-42.8550118E-41.00.0
6.83.6058395E-73.6563134E-73.6563134E-71.00.01.5453588E-61.5669915E-61.5669915E-61.00.01.8814582E-51.9078121E-51.9078121E-51.00.01.8812988E-41.9078121E-41.9078121E-41.00.0

Hayward (No) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.3068506E-51.7397928E-41.7397928E-41.00.03.9880406E-47.454108E-47.554033E-41.01340541.0E-50.00484463430.0090374940.0090474031.00109651.0E-50.0474037040.0864025650.0864208341.00021152.0E-5
6.19.055486E-51.6949074E-41.6949074E-41.00.03.880345E-47.2618667E-47.361794E-41.01376061.0E-50.00471409040.0088055560.0088154681.00112571.0E-50.0461533550.084300390.0843187051.00021722.0E-5
6.29.006742E-51.686967E-41.686967E-41.00.03.859461E-47.2278595E-47.327787E-41.01382531.0E-50.00468877420.0087645190.0087744321.00113091.0E-50.04591070.0839246140.0839429351.00021832.0E-5
6.38.8336754E-51.654921E-41.654921E-41.00.03.7853114E-47.090599E-47.190528E-41.01409321.0E-50.0045988820.008598790.00860870351.0011531.0E-50.045048660.082416650.0824350041.00022272.0E-5
6.48.526157E-51.597622E-41.597622E-41.00.03.6535555E-46.8451616E-46.945093E-41.01459881.0E-50.00443913460.0083022960.0083122131.00119451.0E-50.0435149930.079699510.079717911.00023092.0E-5
6.58.152396E-51.5308615E-41.5308615E-41.00.03.493416E-46.559192E-46.6591264E-41.01523581.0E-50.00424494180.0079567250.0079666451.00124681.0E-50.041647650.0765199140.0765383841.00024142.0E-5
6.67.987405E-51.5012817E-41.5012817E-41.00.03.4227243E-46.4324844E-46.5324205E-41.01553611.0E-50.00415920650.00780358540.0078135081.00127151.0E-50.040822180.075112590.075131091.00024632.0E-5
6.77.777665E-51.4652064E-41.4652064E-41.00.03.332859E-46.277952E-46.377889E-41.01591871.0E-50.0040502080.0076167740.00762669841.00130281.0E-50.0397718060.073389150.073407691.00025252.0E-5
6.87.3284005E-51.3802624E-41.3802624E-41.00.03.140365E-45.9140753E-46.014016E-41.01689891.0E-50.00381669290.0071767520.00718668061.00138341.0E-50.0375180360.0693024840.0693210961.00026862.0E-5
6.96.458263E-51.2133129E-41.2133129E-41.00.02.7675333E-45.198881E-45.298829E-41.01922491.0E-50.00336426640.00631136870.0063213061.00157441.0E-50.0331378840.061230860.0612496361.00030662.0E-5
7.05.3853604E-51.0026534E-41.0026534E-41.00.02.3078074E-44.2963814E-44.3963385E-41.02326541.0E-50.00280613520.0052183630.0052283111.00190631.0E-50.0277096420.0509630370.0509820171.00037242.0E-5
7.14.4308683E-58.171937E-58.171937E-51.00.01.8988053E-43.5017906E-43.5017906E-41.00.00.00230934420.0042551370.0042551371.00.00.0228549260.0418296270.041839211.00022911.0E-5
7.23.295973E-56.0782906E-56.0782906E-51.00.01.4124835E-42.604723E-42.604723E-41.00.00.00171834210.00316666140.00316666141.00.00.0170511570.0313741340.0313741341.00.0
7.32.452256E-54.51901E-54.51901E-51.00.01.05092455E-41.9365756E-41.9365756E-41.00.00.00127874960.0023552450.0023552451.00.00.01271416250.0234452450.0234452451.00.0
7.41.8829967E-53.4610835E-53.4610835E-51.00.08.069736E-51.4832379E-41.4832379E-41.00.09.820475E-40.00180435610.00180435611.00.00.0097771890.0180229320.0180229321.00.0
7.51.26374125E-52.2925326E-52.2925326E-51.00.05.4159216E-59.824773E-59.824773E-51.00.06.5918895E-40.00119551550.00119551551.00.00.006572370.0119899050.0119899051.00.0
7.64.666429E-68.480926E-68.480926E-61.00.01.9998828E-53.6346326E-53.6346326E-51.00.02.4345852E-44.424279E-44.424279E-41.00.00.00243191980.00445884650.00445884651.00.0
7.73.8399318E-77.13742E-77.13742E-71.00.01.6456839E-63.0588906E-63.0588906E-61.00.02.003602E-53.7241356E-53.7241356E-51.00.02.0034213E-43.863124E-43.863124E-41.00.0
7.82.5637698E-75.3692474E-75.3692474E-71.00.01.098758E-62.301104E-62.301104E-61.00.01.3377297E-52.8015582E-52.8015582E-51.00.01.3376492E-42.9259408E-42.9259408E-41.00.0
7.91.7141245E-73.7311867E-73.7311867E-71.00.07.3462456E-71.5990789E-61.5990789E-61.00.08.944017E-61.9468613E-51.9468613E-51.00.08.943657E-52.0255927E-42.0255927E-41.00.0
8.01.1808895E-72.7525246E-72.7525246E-71.00.05.060954E-71.1796528E-61.1796528E-61.00.06.161694E-61.4362179E-51.4362179E-51.00.06.161523E-51.482392E-41.482392E-41.00.0
8.15.138535E-81.1236262E-71.1236262E-71.00.02.2022292E-74.8155397E-74.8155397E-71.00.02.6812106E-65.8629043E-65.8629043E-61.00.02.6811784E-56.018857E-56.018857E-51.00.0

San Andreas (North Coast) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5333705E-47.113417E-57.113417E-51.00.06.5699324E-43.0482528E-43.1482222E-41.03279571.0E-50.0079695950.0037049660.0037149291.00268911.0E-50.07689770.039377560.039396771.00048792.0E-5
6.11.5333705E-47.113417E-57.113417E-51.00.06.5699324E-43.0482528E-43.1482222E-41.03279571.0E-50.0079695950.0037049660.0037149291.00268911.0E-50.07689770.039377560.039396771.00048792.0E-5
6.21.3912938E-46.0527043E-56.0527043E-51.00.05.961325E-42.5937596E-42.6937338E-41.0385441.0E-50.0072337870.00315335650.00316332511.00316121.0E-50.070027980.033704080.0337234061.00057342.0E-5
6.31.3912938E-46.0527043E-56.0527043E-51.00.05.961325E-42.5937596E-42.6937338E-41.0385441.0E-50.0072337870.00315335650.00316332511.00316121.0E-50.070027980.033704080.0337234061.00057342.0E-5
6.41.2623647E-45.046254E-55.046254E-51.00.05.4090127E-42.162502E-42.162502E-41.00.00.00656560580.00262968730.00262968731.00.00.063749810.0283149440.0283149441.00.0
6.51.1736096E-44.3539436E-54.3539436E-51.00.05.028786E-41.8658434E-41.8658434E-41.00.00.0061053730.00226931370.00226931371.00.00.059403350.024594310.024594311.00.0
6.61.1586959E-44.2438805E-54.2438805E-51.00.04.964894E-41.8186802E-41.8186802E-41.00.00.0060280180.00221201060.00221201061.00.00.0586710240.023999590.023999591.00.0
6.71.13693764E-44.0750157E-54.0750157E-51.00.04.87168E-41.7463193E-41.7463193E-41.00.00.0059151520.00212408650.00212408651.00.00.0576015930.0230907610.0230907611.00.0
6.81.1204889E-43.9967555E-53.9967555E-51.00.04.8012115E-41.7127836E-41.7127836E-41.00.00.0058298190.00208333550.00208333551.00.00.056792320.0226505680.0226505681.00.0
6.91.1005794E-43.902303E-53.902303E-51.00.04.7159163E-41.6723093E-41.6723093E-41.00.00.00572652280.0020341510.0020341511.00.00.0558118520.0221166820.0221166821.00.0
7.01.0647948E-43.7180227E-53.7180227E-51.00.04.562608E-41.5933417E-41.5933417E-41.00.00.00554083570.00193818320.00193818321.00.00.0540470330.0210748950.0210748951.00.0
7.11.04795035E-43.6229067E-53.6229067E-51.00.04.4904428E-41.5525827E-41.5525827E-41.00.00.00545341750.0018886460.0018886461.00.00.0532151650.0205436780.0205436781.00.0
7.21.02724036E-43.513728E-53.513728E-51.00.04.401716E-41.5057974E-41.5057974E-41.00.00.00534592850.00183178220.00183178221.00.00.0521913950.0199317910.0199317911.00.0
7.31.00650694E-43.4604338E-53.4604338E-51.00.04.312888E-41.4829596E-41.4829596E-41.00.00.0052383060.00180402350.00180402351.00.00.0511653570.0196085460.0196085461.00.0
7.49.672919E-53.3393557E-53.3393557E-51.00.04.144878E-41.4310748E-41.4310748E-41.00.00.0050347180.00174095630.00174095631.00.00.0492216830.0188811550.0188811551.00.0
7.58.7600405E-52.271003E-52.271003E-51.00.03.753763E-49.732508E-59.732508E-51.00.00.00456063260.00118429050.00118429051.00.00.044681650.0131366790.0131366791.00.0
7.67.9562284E-51.923447E-51.923447E-51.00.03.4093665E-48.243085E-58.243085E-51.00.00.00414300520.0010031350.0010031351.00.00.0406661260.0112273440.0112273441.00.0
7.76.3866544E-51.19474835E-51.19474835E-51.00.02.7368503E-45.1202496E-55.1202496E-51.00.00.00332702446.2321237E-46.2321237E-41.00.00.0327765270.00721387750.00721387751.00.0
7.84.2543215E-59.081718E-69.081718E-61.00.01.8231533E-43.892107E-53.892107E-51.00.00.00221742924.737611E-44.737611E-41.00.00.0219543320.0054936220.0054936221.00.0
7.92.2636612E-57.819314E-67.819314E-61.00.09.7010445E-53.3510918E-53.3510918E-51.00.00.00118046214.0791914E-44.0791914E-41.00.00.0117421110.0046861010.0046861011.00.0
8.01.5167874E-57.0542583E-67.0542583E-61.00.06.500356E-53.0232186E-53.0232186E-51.00.07.9113094E-43.680148E-43.680148E-41.00.00.0078832030.00421832270.00421832271.00.0
8.11.0681047E-56.39152E-66.39152E-61.00.04.5775112E-52.7391941E-52.7391941E-51.00.05.5716943E-43.3344593E-43.3344593E-41.00.00.00555774570.00381997830.00381997831.00.0
8.28.226114E-65.1186294E-65.1186294E-61.00.03.52543E-52.1936798E-52.1936798E-51.00.04.2913653E-42.6704787E-42.6704787E-41.00.00.0042830880.00304710330.00304710331.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6647797E-77.6647797E-71.00.08.498917E-63.2849016E-63.2849016E-61.00.01.034694E-43.999296E-53.999296E-51.00.00.00103421244.7228087E-44.7228087E-41.00.0

San Cayetano

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.3476267E-51.8169507E-51.8169507E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.786701E-57.786701E-51.00.00.00122422259.476222E-49.576127E-41.01054281.0E-50.0121750020.0094371010.0094569121.00209932.0E-5
6.12.3476267E-51.8169507E-51.8169507E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.786701E-57.786701E-51.00.00.00122422259.476222E-49.576127E-41.01054281.0E-50.0121750020.0094371010.0094569121.00209932.0E-5
6.22.3476267E-51.8169507E-51.8169507E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.786701E-57.786701E-51.00.00.00122422259.476222E-49.576127E-41.01054281.0E-50.0121750020.0094371010.0094569121.00209932.0E-5
6.32.3476267E-51.8169507E-51.8169507E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.786701E-57.786701E-51.00.00.00122422259.476222E-49.576127E-41.01054281.0E-50.0121750020.0094371010.0094569121.00209932.0E-5
6.42.3476267E-51.8169507E-51.8169507E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.786701E-57.786701E-51.00.00.00122422259.476222E-49.576127E-41.01054281.0E-50.0121750020.0094371010.0094569121.00209932.0E-5
6.52.3476267E-51.8169507E-51.8169507E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.786701E-57.786701E-51.00.00.00122422259.476222E-49.576127E-41.01054281.0E-50.0121750020.0094371010.0094569121.00209932.0E-5
6.62.3476267E-51.8169507E-51.8169507E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.786701E-57.786701E-51.00.00.00122422259.476222E-49.576127E-41.01054281.0E-50.0121750020.0094371010.0094569121.00209932.0E-5
6.72.3476267E-51.8169507E-51.8169507E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.786701E-57.786701E-51.00.00.00122422259.476222E-49.576127E-41.01054281.0E-50.0121750020.0094371010.0094569121.00209932.0E-5
6.82.3241924E-51.7937233E-51.7937233E-51.00.09.960445E-57.6871605E-57.6871605E-51.00.00.00121200959.355136E-49.4550423E-41.01067941.0E-50.0120542040.0093167790.0093365921.00212672.0E-5
6.92.2761007E-51.743266E-51.743266E-51.00.09.7543525E-57.470928E-57.470928E-51.00.00.00118694549.092093E-49.1920025E-41.01098861.0E-50.0118062560.0090558950.0090757141.00218862.0E-5
7.02.240283E-51.7066408E-51.7066408E-51.00.09.600859E-57.3139716E-57.3139716E-51.00.00.00116827778.901157E-49.001068E-41.01122451.0E-50.0116215490.0088664880.008886311.00223572.0E-5
7.12.1871154E-51.6586284E-51.6586284E-51.00.09.373015E-57.1082155E-57.1082155E-51.00.00.00114056718.6508493E-48.7507634E-41.01154961.0E-50.0113473090.0086181440.0086379721.00230072.0E-5
7.22.0714133E-51.5564807E-51.5564807E-51.00.08.8771834E-56.670463E-56.670463E-51.00.00.00108026118.118295E-48.218214E-41.01230791.0E-50.0107502490.0080895820.0081094211.00245242.0E-5
7.31.8408395E-51.3997041E-51.3997041E-51.00.07.8890735E-55.9985956E-55.9985956E-51.00.09.600714E-47.300873E-47.300873E-41.00.00.0095593420.0072777680.0072876951.0013641.0E-5
7.41.6856795E-51.2850253E-51.2850253E-51.00.07.2241404E-55.5071367E-55.5071367E-51.00.08.7918417E-46.702905E-46.702905E-41.00.00.008757140.0066835180.00669345171.00148621.0E-5
7.51.2822778E-59.577563E-69.577563E-61.00.05.495361E-54.1046063E-54.1046063E-51.00.06.688548E-44.9962284E-44.9962284E-41.00.00.0066684520.0049853410.0049952911.00199591.0E-5
7.65.6272684E-63.8549674E-63.8549674E-61.00.02.4116642E-51.6521184E-51.6521184E-51.00.02.9358055E-42.0112695E-42.0112695E-41.00.00.00293193010.00200946020.002019441.00496651.0E-5
7.73.5261346E-62.3407508E-62.3407508E-61.00.01.5111918E-51.0031751E-51.0031751E-51.00.01.8397206E-41.221298E-41.221298E-41.00.00.00183819840.00122063410.0012306221.00818241.0E-5
7.81.4826929E-61.0564586E-61.0564586E-61.00.06.354383E-64.527672E-64.527672E-61.00.07.736187E-55.512303E-55.512303E-51.00.07.733494E-45.510956E-45.510956E-41.00.0
7.92.7568166E-71.6978433E-71.6978433E-71.00.01.1814923E-67.276469E-77.276469E-71.00.01.4384574E-58.859066E-68.859066E-61.00.01.4383643E-48.858716E-58.858716E-51.00.0
8.05.407832E-82.68885E-82.68885E-81.00.02.3176422E-71.15236425E-71.15236425E-71.00.02.8217257E-61.4030026E-61.4030026E-61.00.02.8216898E-51.4029942E-51.4029942E-51.00.0

Elsinore (Temecula) rev

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9514995E-52.2519711E-52.2519711E-51.00.01.264867E-49.65096E-59.65096E-51.00.00.00153888760.0011743930.00118438131.0085051.0E-50.0152827450.01170535850.0117251251.00168862.0E-5
6.12.9514995E-52.2519711E-52.2519711E-51.00.01.264867E-49.65096E-59.65096E-51.00.00.00153888760.0011743930.00118438131.0085051.0E-50.0152827450.01170535850.0117251251.00168862.0E-5
6.22.9514995E-52.2519711E-52.2519711E-51.00.01.264867E-49.65096E-59.65096E-51.00.00.00153888760.0011743930.00118438131.0085051.0E-50.0152827450.01170535850.0117251251.00168862.0E-5
6.32.3223649E-51.8409017E-51.8409017E-51.00.09.952613E-57.889349E-57.889349E-51.00.00.0012110579.601222E-49.701126E-41.01040531.0E-50.0120447830.0095685220.0095784261.00103511.0E-5
6.42.3223649E-51.8409017E-51.8409017E-51.00.09.952613E-57.889349E-57.889349E-51.00.00.0012110579.601222E-49.701126E-41.01040531.0E-50.0120447830.0095685220.0095784261.00103511.0E-5
6.51.8338875E-51.4750807E-51.4750807E-51.00.07.8592806E-56.321626E-56.321626E-51.00.09.5644733E-47.69395E-47.7938725E-41.01298731.0E-50.0095234120.00767069780.0076806211.00129371.0E-5
6.61.8223333E-51.461336E-51.461336E-51.00.07.809766E-56.262723E-56.262723E-51.00.09.504242E-47.622285E-47.722209E-41.01310941.0E-50.0094636960.00759952470.0076094491.00130581.0E-5
6.71.7512752E-51.40276925E-51.40276925E-51.00.07.505249E-56.0117345E-56.0117345E-51.00.09.13381E-47.316914E-47.416841E-41.0136571.0E-50.009096360.00729906050.00730898741.001361.0E-5
6.81.7417142E-51.3951659E-51.3951659E-51.00.07.4642754E-55.9791502E-55.9791502E-51.00.09.083966E-47.2772696E-47.377197E-41.01373141.0E-50.0090469220.00726008740.0072700151.00136741.0E-5
6.91.6402591E-51.2989093E-51.2989093E-51.00.07.0294926E-55.5666394E-55.5666394E-51.00.08.5550465E-46.775353E-46.875285E-41.01474941.0E-50.0085221860.0067599230.00676985551.00146931.0E-5
7.01.3912486E-51.0878599E-51.0878599E-51.00.05.9623577E-54.662175E-54.662175E-51.00.07.2567526E-45.674747E-45.77469E-41.0176121.0E-50.00723310140.00566363940.0056735831.00175561.0E-5
7.11.3405147E-51.0327708E-51.0327708E-51.00.05.7449364E-54.426087E-54.426087E-51.00.06.9922156E-45.3874543E-45.4874003E-41.01855161.0E-50.00697025560.00537744440.00538739051.00184971.0E-5
7.21.21402E-58.9969135E-68.9969135E-61.00.05.202839E-53.855764E-53.855764E-51.00.06.332616E-44.6933992E-44.6933992E-41.00.00.00631460.0046848220.0046848221.00.0
7.31.05047775E-57.5718904E-67.5718904E-61.00.04.5019697E-53.2450564E-53.2450564E-51.00.05.4797693E-43.9501544E-43.9501544E-41.00.00.0054662770.003943530.003943531.00.0
7.49.624483E-66.7869523E-66.7869523E-61.00.04.124713E-52.9086623E-52.9086623E-51.00.05.0206814E-43.5407348E-43.5407348E-41.00.00.0050093530.0035352450.0035352451.00.0
7.58.215151E-65.6356125E-65.6356125E-61.00.03.5207315E-52.4152409E-52.4152409E-51.00.04.2856473E-42.9401717E-42.9401717E-41.00.00.0042773920.00293640980.00293640981.00.0
7.66.975058E-64.6760947E-64.6760947E-61.00.02.9892764E-52.0040257E-52.0040257E-51.00.03.6388362E-42.43964E-42.43964E-41.00.00.00363288350.0024370780.0024370781.00.0
7.74.159604E-62.3269624E-62.3269624E-61.00.01.7826753E-59.972662E-69.972662E-61.00.02.1701909E-41.2141114E-41.2141114E-41.00.00.00216807260.00121352110.00121352111.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.384624E-89.384624E-81.00.09.725317E-74.021981E-74.021981E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8967545E-64.8967545E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8966795E-54.8966795E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4397993E-93.4397993E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4741998E-81.4741998E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.794838E-71.794838E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.7948367E-61.7948367E-61.00.0

Hartley Springs 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4352418E-51.4434351E-51.4434351E-51.00.06.1508916E-56.186096E-57.186035E-51.16164281.0E-57.486137E-47.530614E-47.6305383E-41.01326921.0E-50.0074609680.00752121630.0075410661.00263922.0E-5
6.11.4352418E-51.4434351E-51.4434351E-51.00.06.1508916E-56.186096E-57.186035E-51.16164281.0E-57.486137E-47.530614E-47.6305383E-41.01326921.0E-50.0074609680.00752121630.0075410661.00263922.0E-5
6.21.4352418E-51.4434351E-51.4434351E-51.00.06.1508916E-56.186096E-57.186035E-51.16164281.0E-57.486137E-47.530614E-47.6305383E-41.01326921.0E-50.0074609680.00752121630.0075410661.00263922.0E-5
6.31.4352418E-51.4434351E-51.4434351E-51.00.06.1508916E-56.186096E-57.186035E-51.16164281.0E-57.486137E-47.530614E-47.6305383E-41.01326921.0E-50.0074609680.00752121630.0075410661.00263922.0E-5
6.41.4352418E-51.4434351E-51.4434351E-51.00.06.1508916E-56.186096E-57.186035E-51.16164281.0E-57.486137E-47.530614E-47.6305383E-41.01326921.0E-50.0074609680.00752121630.0075410661.00263922.0E-5
6.51.2279858E-51.2133241E-51.2133241E-51.00.05.26269E-55.199946E-56.1998944E-51.19229971.0E-56.4054417E-46.3306774E-46.430614E-41.0157861.0E-50.00638700980.00632815530.0063480291.00314042.0E-5
6.61.2279858E-51.2133241E-51.2133241E-51.00.05.26269E-55.199946E-56.1998944E-51.19229971.0E-56.4054417E-46.3306774E-46.430614E-41.0157861.0E-50.00638700980.00632815530.0063480291.00314042.0E-5
6.72.1282601E-68.8945814E-78.8945814E-71.00.09.121083E-63.8119592E-63.8119592E-61.00.01.11043526E-44.6409874E-54.6409874E-51.00.00.00110988064.6402714E-44.6402714E-41.00.0
6.82.00516E-68.5173434E-78.5173434E-71.00.08.593515E-63.6502865E-63.6502865E-61.00.01.04621024E-44.444159E-54.444159E-51.00.00.00104571774.4435216E-44.4435216E-41.00.0
6.92.00516E-68.5173434E-78.5173434E-71.00.08.593515E-63.6502865E-63.6502865E-61.00.01.04621024E-44.444159E-54.444159E-51.00.00.00104571774.4435216E-44.4435216E-41.00.0
7.01.8366732E-68.237064E-78.237064E-71.00.07.871433E-63.5301669E-63.5301669E-61.00.09.583048E-54.297919E-54.297919E-51.00.09.5789164E-44.2973383E-44.2973383E-41.00.0
7.11.5097997E-67.189996E-77.189996E-71.00.06.470554E-63.0814247E-63.0814247E-61.00.07.877615E-53.751594E-53.751594E-51.00.07.874823E-43.751198E-43.751198E-41.00.0
7.21.3490993E-66.405045E-76.405045E-71.00.05.7818415E-62.7450176E-62.7450176E-61.00.07.0391645E-53.342031E-53.342031E-51.00.07.0369354E-43.341758E-43.341758E-41.00.0
7.37.900015E-74.0890467E-74.0890467E-71.00.03.3857161E-61.7524486E-61.7524486E-61.00.04.1220315E-52.1336062E-52.1336062E-51.00.04.121267E-42.1336062E-42.1336062E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7221631E-41.3799455E-41.4799317E-41.07245661.0E-57.378611E-45.912732E-46.112614E-41.03380542.0E-50.0089465150.0071754340.007195291.00276732.0E-50.085947940.07059090.070609491.00026332.0E-5
6.11.7221631E-41.3799455E-41.4799317E-41.07245661.0E-57.378611E-45.912732E-46.112614E-41.03380542.0E-50.0089465150.0071754340.007195291.00276732.0E-50.085947940.07059090.070609491.00026332.0E-5
6.21.7221631E-41.3799455E-41.4799317E-41.07245661.0E-57.378611E-45.912732E-46.112614E-41.03380542.0E-50.0089465150.0071754340.007195291.00276732.0E-50.085947940.07059090.070609491.00026332.0E-5
6.31.716926E-41.3718852E-41.4718715E-41.07288241.0E-57.3561794E-45.8782037E-46.078086E-41.0340042.0E-50.0089194280.00713367060.00715352831.00278372.0E-50.085698090.070205740.070224341.00026492.0E-5
6.41.6392978E-41.3594677E-41.4594542E-41.07354821.0E-57.02367E-45.82501E-46.0248934E-41.03431482.0E-50.0085178390.0070693280.00708918651.00280922.0E-50.081986540.069439730.069458341.0002682.0E-5
6.51.5742714E-41.2654555E-41.3654427E-41.0790131.0E-56.745133E-45.4222706E-45.622162E-41.03686492.0E-50.008181320.00658201050.0066018791.00301862.0E-50.0788659450.064905670.0649243741.00028812.0E-5
6.61.3038084E-41.1594578E-41.2594463E-41.08623721.0E-55.5865536E-44.9681717E-45.168072E-41.04023622.0E-50.0067804380.0060322690.00605214851.00329552.0E-50.06577250.059360880.0593796931.0003172.0E-5
6.71.2867592E-41.1321072E-41.2320958E-41.08832091.0E-55.5135164E-44.8509985E-45.0509017E-41.04120862.0E-50.00669206540.00589038940.0059102721.00337542.0E-50.064940930.05807180.058090641.00032442.0E-5
6.81.2801298E-41.12586225E-41.225851E-41.08881081.0E-55.485117E-44.8242445E-45.024148E-41.04143732.0E-50.00665770050.0058579390.00587782171.00339412.0E-50.064617380.057785630.0578044761.00032622.0E-5
6.91.269149E-41.1100813E-41.2100702E-41.09007351.0E-55.4380763E-44.7566366E-44.956541E-41.04202652.0E-50.0066007770.00577606540.00579594961.00344252.0E-50.064081220.057057460.0570763161.00033062.0E-5
7.01.2030331E-41.0830798E-41.1830689E-41.09231931.0E-55.154837E-44.6409573E-44.8408643E-41.04307462.0E-50.0062579690.00563596240.005655851.00352862.0E-50.060846480.0557301980.055749081.00033892.0E-5
7.18.049617E-55.3974167E-56.3973624E-51.18526391.0E-53.4493793E-42.3129754E-42.5129292E-41.08644872.0E-50.00419153460.00281244590.00283238971.00709132.0E-50.0411335160.029641850.0296612571.00065472.0E-5
7.27.093979E-54.2981093E-55.2980664E-51.23265041.0E-53.0399222E-41.8419181E-42.0418812E-41.10856252.0E-50.00369482530.00224025170.0022602071.00890762.0E-50.036339940.0239627230.0239822441.00081472.0E-5
7.36.193693E-52.892363E-53.8923343E-51.3457281.0E-52.6541698E-41.2395254E-41.4395006E-41.16133212.0E-50.00322666370.00150807920.0015280491.01324192.0E-50.0318021330.0165141320.0165338011.00119112.0E-5
7.45.906492E-52.704955E-53.7049278E-51.3696821.0E-52.5311083E-41.15921495E-41.3591918E-41.17251052.0E-50.00307726980.00141043190.00143040371.014162.0E-50.0303500440.0154844770.0155041671.00127162.0E-5
7.55.424296E-52.4700184E-53.4699937E-51.40484521.0E-52.324491E-41.0585365E-41.2585153E-41.18892012.0E-50.0028263950.00128800750.00130798171.01550782.0E-50.0279071650.014174640.0141943571.00139092.0E-5
7.64.43084E-51.9918234E-52.9918034E-51.50204251.0E-51.8987931E-48.536106E-51.0535936E-41.23427892.0E-50.00230932960.00103877580.0010587551.01923352.0E-50.0228547830.0114201520.0114399241.00173132.0E-5
7.74.118098E-51.8949535E-52.8949346E-51.52770751.0E-51.7647797E-48.1209764E-51.01208134E-41.24625582.0E-50.0021465029.882806E-40.00100826091.02021722.0E-50.0212588660.01087752450.0108973071.00181872.0E-5
7.83.5408906E-51.85772E-52.8577015E-51.53828421.0E-51.5174363E-47.961415E-59.961255E-51.25119162.0E-50.00184591319.688714E-49.88852E-41.02062262.0E-50.0183065520.0106588790.0106786661.00185632.0E-5
7.92.5860836E-51.7327653E-52.732748E-51.57710221.0E-51.10827445E-47.425925E-59.425777E-51.26930672.0E-50.0013484899.037317E-49.237136E-41.02211052.0E-50.0134033540.009913760.0099335621.00199742.0E-5
8.01.9777332E-51.4849638E-52.484949E-51.67340711.0E-58.4757245E-56.363975E-58.3638486E-51.31424892.0E-50.00103143097.745388E-47.945233E-41.02580182.0E-50.0102665670.0085142520.0085340811.0023292.0E-5
8.11.468494E-51.21155035E-52.2115382E-51.82537881.0E-56.293394E-55.1922554E-56.192204E-51.19258451.0E-57.6595135E-46.319739E-46.419676E-41.01581351.0E-50.00763316640.006973510.00698344041.0014241.0E-5
8.28.63836E-65.472861E-65.472861E-61.00.03.7021015E-52.3454908E-52.3454908E-51.00.04.5063766E-42.8552618E-42.8552618E-41.00.00.0044972490.00324782820.00324782821.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6647797E-77.6647797E-71.00.08.498917E-63.2849016E-63.2849016E-61.00.01.034694E-43.999296E-53.999296E-51.00.00.00103421244.7228087E-44.7228087E-41.00.0

Elmore Ranch

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.102099E-58.954244E-58.954244E-51.00.03.9003167E-43.8370665E-43.8370665E-41.00.00.00473830.00466229630.00466229631.00.00.0463853480.0458393580.0458584431.00041632.0E-5
6.13.8306698E-54.1492345E-54.1492345E-51.00.01.6416123E-41.7781628E-41.7781628E-41.00.00.00199683060.0021632460.0021632461.00.00.0197898280.021595270.0216050521.00045311.0E-5
6.23.8306698E-54.1492345E-54.1492345E-51.00.01.6416123E-41.7781628E-41.7781628E-41.00.00.00199683060.0021632460.0021632461.00.00.0197898280.021595270.0216050521.00045311.0E-5
6.33.3197924E-53.655081E-53.655081E-51.00.01.4226905E-41.566409E-41.566409E-41.00.00.00173074950.00190599410.00190599411.00.00.0171733180.0190575460.0190673551.00051471.0E-5
6.42.5148964E-52.7420736E-52.7420736E-51.00.01.0777682E-41.17515796E-41.17515796E-41.00.00.00131139290.00143046370.00143046371.00.00.013036810.0143653380.0143751941.00068621.0E-5
6.52.5148964E-52.7420736E-52.7420736E-51.00.01.0777682E-41.17515796E-41.17515796E-41.00.00.00131139290.00143046370.00143046371.00.00.013036810.0143653380.0143751941.00068621.0E-5

Rodgers Creek - Healdsburg 2011 CFM

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.390182E-51.3139093E-41.3139093E-41.00.03.1668364E-45.629827E-45.7297706E-41.01775251.0E-50.00384880810.0068327350.00684266721.00145351.0E-50.0378282780.0661919860.066210661.00028222.0E-5
6.17.318768E-51.3037103E-41.3037103E-41.00.03.1362378E-45.586137E-45.686081E-41.01789141.0E-50.00381168540.00677989140.00678982351.0014651.0E-50.0374696550.065696560.0657152461.00028442.0E-5
6.27.1379836E-51.2729941E-41.2729941E-41.00.03.058777E-45.454552E-45.5544975E-41.01832331.0E-50.0037177030.00662066930.0066306031.00150041.0E-50.03656120.0642186550.064237371.00029152.0E-5
6.36.9255926E-51.2384256E-41.2384256E-41.00.02.9677735E-45.306463E-45.4064096E-41.0188351.0E-50.00360727850.0064415290.00645146431.00154241.0E-50.0354928230.0625498150.062568571.00029972.0E-5
6.46.6757144E-51.19609525E-41.19609525E-41.00.02.8607066E-45.1251194E-45.225068E-41.01950171.0E-50.00347734870.0062220530.00623199061.00159721.0E-50.0342343640.0604996420.0605184321.00031052.0E-5
6.56.5735134E-51.1809998E-41.1809998E-41.00.02.8169158E-45.0604495E-45.160399E-41.01975111.0E-50.0034242020.00614377620.0061537151.00161771.0E-50.033719180.0597625560.059781361.00031472.0E-5
6.66.289601E-51.13453316E-41.13453316E-41.00.02.6952647E-44.8613825E-44.961334E-41.02056031.0E-50.00327654740.0059027510.0059126921.00168411.0E-50.0322865620.0575000870.0575189371.00032782.0E-5
6.76.115274E-51.1062275E-41.1062275E-41.00.02.6205686E-44.7401173E-44.84007E-41.02108661.0E-50.00318587480.0057559010.0057658431.00172731.0E-50.0314058660.0561179150.0561367941.00033642.0E-5
6.85.9232367E-51.07296E-41.07296E-41.00.02.538283E-44.5975935E-44.6975474E-41.02174061.0E-50.00308598040.005583280.00559322441.00178111.0E-50.0304347650.054484830.0545037431.0003472.0E-5
6.95.4030377E-59.823741E-59.823741E-51.00.02.315382E-44.209499E-44.3094566E-41.02374581.0E-50.00281533370.0051130870.0051230361.00194571.0E-50.0277993250.050020480.0500394781.00037982.0E-5
7.04.8260714E-58.741771E-58.741771E-51.00.02.0681522E-43.7459383E-43.845901E-41.02668561.0E-50.00251506780.0045511970.00456115141.00218731.0E-50.0248679280.0446719230.044691031.00042772.0E-5
7.14.0294493E-57.3902025E-57.3902025E-51.00.01.7267925E-43.1668475E-43.1668475E-41.00.00.00210034270.00384885820.00384885821.00.00.020806020.0379277240.0379373431.00025371.0E-5
7.23.096388E-55.698826E-55.698826E-51.00.01.326956E-42.4421266E-42.4421266E-41.00.00.00161437170.00296925730.00296925731.00.00.016026940.0294407290.0294407291.00.0
7.32.3615226E-54.3637207E-54.3637207E-51.00.01.0120418E-41.8700327E-41.8700327E-41.00.00.00123146440.00227440130.00227440131.00.00.01224662550.022640880.022640881.00.0
7.41.8251132E-53.3548964E-53.3548964E-51.00.07.821679E-51.437734E-41.437734E-41.00.09.518733E-40.00174904560.00174904561.00.00.0094780630.0174688030.0174688031.00.0
7.51.2411432E-52.2463999E-52.2463999E-51.00.05.3190768E-59.627076E-59.627076E-51.00.06.4740516E-40.00117147210.00117147211.00.00.0064552230.0117442370.0117442371.00.0
7.64.4771446E-68.085529E-68.085529E-61.00.01.918762E-53.465181E-53.465181E-51.00.02.3358424E-44.2180537E-44.2180537E-41.00.00.00233338870.00424570260.00424570261.00.0
7.72.157941E-73.5363618E-73.5363618E-71.00.09.248315E-71.5155827E-61.5155827E-61.00.01.1259765E-51.8452063E-51.8452063E-51.00.01.1259195E-41.9075118E-41.9075118E-41.00.0
7.89.9623286E-81.9910124E-71.9910124E-71.00.04.269569E-78.532907E-78.532907E-71.00.05.1981874E-61.0388765E-51.0388765E-51.00.05.198066E-51.0907195E-41.0907195E-41.00.0
7.95.6745257E-81.1780399E-71.1780399E-71.00.02.4319394E-75.0487415E-75.0487415E-71.00.02.960882E-66.1468254E-66.1468254E-61.00.02.9608427E-56.474216E-56.474216E-51.00.0
8.02.8614323E-86.582037E-86.582037E-81.00.01.2263281E-72.8208729E-72.8208729E-71.00.01.4930534E-63.4344073E-63.4344073E-61.00.01.4930434E-53.5844452E-53.5844452E-51.00.0
8.13.5045191E-98.970427E-98.970427E-91.00.01.5019367E-83.8444686E-83.8444686E-81.00.01.8286079E-74.6806397E-74.6806397E-71.00.01.8286064E-64.8356214E-64.8356214E-61.00.0

White Wolf

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1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0037822E-51.0468736E-61.0468736E-61.00.08.587355E-54.4865938E-64.4865938E-61.00.00.0010450095.462296E-56.4622414E-51.18306311.0E-50.0104010855.4610043E-45.660895E-41.03660332.0E-5
6.12.0037822E-51.0468736E-61.0468736E-61.00.08.587355E-54.4865938E-64.4865938E-61.00.00.0010450095.462296E-56.4622414E-51.18306311.0E-50.0104010855.4610043E-45.660895E-41.03660332.0E-5
6.22.0037822E-51.0468736E-61.0468736E-61.00.08.587355E-54.4865938E-64.4865938E-61.00.00.0010450095.462296E-56.4622414E-51.18306311.0E-50.0104010855.4610043E-45.660895E-41.03660332.0E-5
6.32.0037822E-51.0468736E-61.0468736E-61.00.08.587355E-54.4865938E-64.4865938E-61.00.00.0010450095.462296E-56.4622414E-51.18306311.0E-50.0104010855.4610043E-45.660895E-41.03660332.0E-5
6.41.132487E-51.0468736E-61.0468736E-61.00.04.8534253E-54.4865938E-64.4865938E-61.00.05.907443E-45.462296E-56.4622414E-51.18306311.0E-50.0058917645.4610043E-45.660895E-41.03660332.0E-5
6.51.132487E-51.0468736E-61.0468736E-61.00.04.8534253E-54.4865938E-64.4865938E-61.00.05.907443E-45.462296E-56.4622414E-51.18306311.0E-50.0058917645.4610043E-45.660895E-41.03660332.0E-5
6.69.347473E-61.0468736E-61.0468736E-61.00.04.0059982E-54.4865938E-64.4865938E-61.00.04.8762115E-45.462296E-56.4622414E-51.18306311.0E-50.00486552535.4610043E-45.660895E-41.03660332.0E-5
6.77.842647E-61.00