Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions
Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)
Table Of Contents
Garlock (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.025638E-5 | 0.005399882 | 76.859665 | 0.00533 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.0106437E-4 | 0.014866678 | 49.380398 | 0.01457 | 0.0028726095 | 0.0036593622 | 0.04185906 | 11.438895 | 0.03834 | 0.028357591 | 0.036130704 | 0.097548455 | 2.6998768 | 0.06372 |
6.1 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.025638E-5 | 0.005399882 | 76.859665 | 0.00533 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.0106437E-4 | 0.014866678 | 49.380398 | 0.01457 | 0.0028726095 | 0.0036593622 | 0.04185906 | 11.438895 | 0.03834 | 0.028357591 | 0.036130704 | 0.097548455 | 2.6998768 | 0.06372 |
6.2 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.16704E-5 | 0.0033614994 | 65.05658 | 0.00331 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.2142593E-4 | 0.009059468 | 40.914215 | 0.00884 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0026925593 | 0.025989661 | 9.652401 | 0.02336 | 0.021759989 | 0.026693437 | 0.06512931 | 2.4399 | 0.03949 |
6.3 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.16704E-5 | 0.0033614994 | 65.05658 | 0.00331 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.2142593E-4 | 0.009059468 | 40.914215 | 0.00884 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0026925593 | 0.025989661 | 9.652401 | 0.02336 | 0.021759989 | 0.026693437 | 0.06512931 | 2.4399 | 0.03949 |
6.4 | 3.6858168E-5 | 4.4118387E-5 | 0.0025740068 | 58.343178 | 0.00253 | 1.5795401E-4 | 1.8906523E-4 | 0.00703777 | 37.22403 | 0.00685 | 0.0019213937 | 0.0022994643 | 0.020647177 | 8.979125 | 0.01839 | 0.019048655 | 0.022870535 | 0.053415604 | 2.3355641 | 0.03126 |
6.5 | 3.39199E-5 | 4.002655E-5 | 0.0023699333 | 59.209034 | 0.00233 | 1.453629E-4 | 1.715312E-4 | 0.006450454 | 37.605137 | 0.00628 | 0.0017683565 | 0.0020864138 | 0.018851362 | 9.035294 | 0.0168 | 0.017543508 | 0.020763226 | 0.04877919 | 2.3493068 | 0.02861 |
6.6 | 3.3571985E-5 | 3.94807E-5 | 0.002359389 | 59.76057 | 0.00232 | 1.4387199E-4 | 1.6919215E-4 | 0.0064381314 | 38.05219 | 0.00627 | 0.0017502342 | 0.00205799 | 0.018803457 | 9.1368065 | 0.01678 | 0.017365133 | 0.020484475 | 0.048488826 | 2.3671012 | 0.02859 |
6.7 | 3.2580007E-5 | 3.8097118E-5 | 0.0022380133 | 58.744953 | 0.0022 | 1.3962112E-4 | 1.6326326E-4 | 0.006142287 | 37.62198 | 0.00598 | 0.0016985617 | 0.0019859395 | 0.018073926 | 9.100945 | 0.01612 | 0.016856372 | 0.01977392 | 0.046710532 | 2.3622293 | 0.02748 |
6.8 | 3.2185937E-5 | 3.752428E-5 | 0.0021874437 | 58.294083 | 0.00215 | 1.3793244E-4 | 1.6080856E-4 | 0.005979873 | 37.186283 | 0.00582 | 0.0016780337 | 0.0019561076 | 0.0176753 | 9.035954 | 0.01575 | 0.016654192 | 0.01948129 | 0.045837633 | 2.3529055 | 0.02688 |
6.9 | 3.165394E-5 | 3.672879E-5 | 0.002126652 | 57.9015 | 0.00209 | 1.3565269E-4 | 1.5739973E-4 | 0.005876499 | 37.334877 | 0.00572 | 0.0016503202 | 0.0019146786 | 0.01736504 | 9.0694275 | 0.01548 | 0.01638118 | 0.01907477 | 0.044990815 | 2.3586557 | 0.02642 |
7.0 | 3.0903822E-5 | 3.563391E-5 | 0.0020755613 | 58.2468 | 0.00204 | 1.3243823E-4 | 1.5270794E-4 | 0.0057218573 | 37.469284 | 0.00557 | 0.0016112428 | 0.0018576549 | 0.016949568 | 9.124174 | 0.01512 | 0.015996104 | 0.018515937 | 0.043769524 | 2.3638837 | 0.02573 |
7.1 | 3.0069863E-5 | 3.4400102E-5 | 0.0020243316 | 58.846676 | 0.00199 | 1.2886449E-4 | 1.474208E-4 | 0.0055766203 | 37.827908 | 0.00543 | 0.0015677959 | 0.0017933917 | 0.016337262 | 9.109701 | 0.01457 | 0.01556781 | 0.01788355 | 0.04215165 | 2.3570065 | 0.02471 |
7.2 | 2.7957109E-5 | 3.1289153E-5 | 0.0017712347 | 56.60859 | 0.00174 | 1.1981068E-4 | 1.3408958E-4 | 0.004723474 | 35.226257 | 0.00459 | 0.0014577188 | 0.0016313377 | 0.013891305 | 8.515285 | 0.01228 | 0.014481937 | 0.016287062 | 0.036708944 | 2.2538712 | 0.02076 |
7.3 | 2.4519275E-5 | 2.6721831E-5 | 0.001256689 | 47.02855 | 0.00123 | 1.0507837E-4 | 1.1451719E-4 | 0.0033041518 | 28.85289 | 0.00319 | 0.0012785783 | 0.0013933697 | 0.010191094 | 7.313991 | 0.00881 | 0.012712469 | 0.013931265 | 0.02864341 | 2.0560524 | 0.01492 |
7.4 | 2.3225532E-5 | 2.5206255E-5 | 0.001145178 | 45.432297 | 0.00112 | 9.95342E-5 | 1.0802242E-4 | 0.003017708 | 27.935944 | 0.00291 | 0.0012111551 | 0.0013143938 | 0.009383773 | 7.1392403 | 0.00808 | 0.012045753 | 0.013148817 | 0.026560124 | 2.019963 | 0.01359 |
7.5 | 2.097765E-5 | 2.2490116E-5 | 8.72471E-4 | 38.79353 | 8.5E-4 | 8.9901114E-5 | 9.638272E-5 | 0.0024261582 | 25.172129 | 0.00233 | 0.0010939965 | 0.0011728397 | 0.007735134 | 6.5952187 | 0.00657 | 0.010886264 | 0.011743259 | 0.022505375 | 1.9164505 | 0.01089 |
7.6 | 1.511254E-5 | 1.5997213E-5 | 4.6599002E-4 | 29.129448 | 4.5E-4 | 6.476642E-5 | 6.855773E-5 | 0.0013284713 | 19.37741 | 0.00126 | 7.882459E-4 | 8.3437853E-4 | 0.00446135 | 5.3469133 | 0.00363 | 0.007854558 | 0.008386396 | 0.014514568 | 1.7307277 | 0.00618 |
7.7 | 9.934069E-6 | 1.0684336E-5 | 1.7068263E-4 | 15.975034 | 1.6E-4 | 4.2573887E-5 | 4.578921E-5 | 4.1577226E-4 | 9.080136 | 3.7E-4 | 5.182138E-4 | 5.5734144E-4 | 0.0015967618 | 2.8649616 | 0.00104 | 0.00517007 | 0.005630415 | 0.0074302237 | 1.3196583 | 0.00181 |
7.8 | 6.7562896E-6 | 8.433103E-6 | 1.0843226E-4 | 12.85793 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8955206E-5 | 3.6141373E-5 | 2.4613377E-4 | 6.8103056 | 2.1E-4 | 3.5247262E-4 | 4.399325E-4 | 0.001079651 | 2.4541285 | 6.4E-4 | 0.0035191406 | 0.0044490024 | 0.005613797 | 1.2618103 | 0.00117 |
7.9 | 3.975453E-6 | 5.3739245E-6 | 7.537355E-5 | 14.025792 | 7.0E-5 | 1.7037546E-5 | 2.3030902E-5 | 1.6302768E-4 | 7.0786495 | 1.4E-4 | 2.0741238E-4 | 2.8036523E-4 | 6.702559E-4 | 2.3906527 | 3.9E-4 | 0.002072189 | 0.0028350505 | 0.003533066 | 1.2462091 | 7.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.0784819E-6 | 2.207844E-5 | 10.622388 | 2.0E-5 | 7.169782E-6 | 8.907749E-6 | 4.8907394E-5 | 5.4904323 | 4.0E-5 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.0844648E-4 | 2.4843132E-4 | 2.2908194 | 1.4E-4 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.0010973699 | 0.0013071395 | 1.1911566 | 2.1E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1501008E-7 | 3.1501008E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3500426E-6 | 1.3500426E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6436661E-5 | 1.6436661E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6651009E-4 | 1.7650842E-4 | 1.0600464 | 1.0E-5 |
Tank Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8284557E-5 | 5.7966794E-5 | 0.0031477876 | 54.30329 | 0.00309 | 2.0691741E-4 | 2.484093E-4 | 0.008936251 | 35.973896 | 0.00869 | 0.0025163088 | 0.0030208544 | 0.029101828 | 9.633641 | 0.02616 | 0.02488006 | 0.029864645 | 0.075616226 | 2.5319648 | 0.04716 |
6.1 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.087403E-5 | 0.0011308509 | 54.17502 | 0.00111 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.945727E-5 | 0.003199179 | 35.76209 | 0.00311 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010886362 | 0.010388501 | 9.542674 | 0.00931 | 0.009242975 | 0.010836825 | 0.027474549 | 2.5352952 | 0.01682 |
6.2 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.087403E-5 | 0.0011308509 | 54.17502 | 0.00111 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.945727E-5 | 0.003199179 | 35.76209 | 0.00311 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010886362 | 0.010388501 | 9.542674 | 0.00931 | 0.009242975 | 0.010836825 | 0.027474549 | 2.5352952 | 0.01682 |
6.3 | 1.3515912E-5 | 1.5760095E-5 | 7.6574826E-4 | 48.587795 | 7.5E-4 | 5.792405E-5 | 6.754165E-5 | 0.002327389 | 34.458572 | 0.00226 | 7.049971E-4 | 8.2203303E-4 | 0.007546501 | 9.180289 | 0.00673 | 0.007027647 | 0.008192233 | 0.020212943 | 2.4673302 | 0.01212 |
6.4 | 1.0870146E-5 | 1.2618434E-5 | 5.626115E-4 | 44.586475 | 5.5E-4 | 4.658551E-5 | 5.4077984E-5 | 0.001643992 | 30.400394 | 0.00159 | 5.67031E-4 | 6.582183E-4 | 0.005794835 | 8.80382 | 0.00514 | 0.005655863 | 0.0065643936 | 0.0156145925 | 2.37868 | 0.00911 |
6.5 | 7.964826E-6 | 9.196379E-6 | 3.3919336E-4 | 36.883358 | 3.3E-4 | 3.4134522E-5 | 3.941252E-5 | 0.0010593723 | 26.879082 | 0.00102 | 4.1550855E-4 | 4.797523E-4 | 0.0035482794 | 7.3960657 | 0.00307 | 0.0041473247 | 0.004788156 | 0.010212061 | 2.1327753 | 0.00545 |
6.6 | 6.6317E-6 | 7.612515E-6 | 2.576106E-4 | 33.84041 | 2.5E-4 | 2.8421264E-5 | 3.262471E-5 | 8.2259893E-4 | 25.213985 | 7.9E-4 | 3.4597394E-4 | 3.971425E-4 | 0.0026962291 | 6.789072 | 0.0023 | 0.0034543579 | 0.0039651683 | 0.008118633 | 2.0474877 | 0.00417 |
6.7 | 4.793663E-6 | 5.4309176E-6 | 1.3543021E-4 | 24.936893 | 1.3E-4 | 2.0544108E-5 | 2.3275179E-5 | 4.6326494E-4 | 19.903818 | 4.4E-4 | 2.500958E-4 | 2.8334284E-4 | 0.001612966 | 5.6926303 | 0.00133 | 0.0024981452 | 0.0028301945 | 0.005103742 | 1.8033183 | 0.00228 |
6.8 | 4.382823E-6 | 4.9693754E-6 | 1.2496878E-4 | 25.147783 | 1.2E-4 | 1.8783392E-5 | 2.1297174E-5 | 4.1128887E-4 | 19.3119 | 3.9E-4 | 2.286638E-4 | 2.5926653E-4 | 0.0014689527 | 5.6658025 | 0.00121 | 0.0022842865 | 0.0025900067 | 0.004624723 | 1.7856027 | 0.00204 |
6.9 | 2.729601E-6 | 3.0736185E-6 | 4.3073494E-5 | 14.013937 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1698237E-5 | 1.3172591E-5 | 1.8317036E-4 | 13.905416 | 1.7E-4 | 1.4241673E-4 | 1.6036571E-4 | 7.902647E-4 | 4.9278903 | 6.3E-4 | 0.001423255 | 0.0016024921 | 0.0026508095 | 1.6541795 | 0.00105 |
7.0 | 1.8987357E-6 | 2.126985E-6 | 4.21269E-5 | 19.805922 | 4.0E-5 | 8.137413E-6 | 9.115623E-6 | 9.9114804E-5 | 10.87307 | 9.0E-5 | 9.90685E-5 | 1.1097775E-4 | 3.909467E-4 | 3.5227482 | 2.8E-4 | 9.902435E-4 | 0.0011092919 | 0.0015488039 | 1.3962094 | 4.4E-4 |
7.1 | 1.4928986E-6 | 1.6641626E-6 | 2.166413E-5 | 13.018036 | 2.0E-5 | 6.398121E-6 | 7.132109E-6 | 6.713168E-5 | 9.412599 | 6.0E-5 | 7.789434E-5 | 8.683056E-5 | 2.8681319E-4 | 3.3031366 | 2.0E-4 | 7.786704E-4 | 8.680242E-4 | 0.0011777551 | 1.3568228 | 3.1E-4 |
7.2 | 1.069082E-6 | 1.1828853E-6 | 1.1828853E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.581772E-6 | 5.0695016E-6 | 3.5069348E-5 | 6.9177113 | 3.0E-5 | 5.5781646E-5 | 6.171997E-5 | 1.4171503E-4 | 2.296097 | 8.0E-5 | 5.576765E-4 | 6.1708054E-4 | 7.470003E-4 | 1.2105395 | 1.3E-4 |
7.3 | 8.776551E-7 | 9.770201E-7 | 9.770201E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7613736E-6 | 4.1872254E-6 | 3.41871E-5 | 8.164619 | 3.0E-5 | 4.579376E-5 | 5.0978793E-5 | 1.3097472E-4 | 2.5692 | 8.0E-5 | 4.5784327E-4 | 5.0972204E-4 | 6.1966595E-4 | 1.215694 | 1.1E-4 |
7.4 | 7.55721E-7 | 8.510422E-7 | 8.510422E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2388E-6 | 3.6473216E-6 | 3.364721E-5 | 9.2251835 | 3.0E-5 | 3.9431678E-5 | 4.4405755E-5 | 1.1440265E-4 | 2.5763023 | 7.0E-5 | 3.942468E-4 | 4.4401968E-4 | 5.439753E-4 | 1.2251153 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 5.587665E-7 | 6.3057325E-7 | 6.3057325E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3947114E-6 | 2.7024569E-6 | 3.2702377E-5 | 12.10098 | 3.0E-5 | 2.915522E-5 | 3.290241E-5 | 9.290044E-5 | 2.8235145 | 6.0E-5 | 2.9151395E-4 | 3.2902413E-4 | 4.1899452E-4 | 1.2734462 | 9.0E-5 |
Little Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1206404E-5 | 0.002251137 | 72.137024 | 0.00222 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3373564E-4 | 0.0064528906 | 48.25109 | 0.00632 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016271484 | 0.019298349 | 11.860226 | 0.0177 | 0.014722223 | 0.016165754 | 0.044883873 | 2.776479 | 0.02919 |
6.1 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1206404E-5 | 0.002251137 | 72.137024 | 0.00222 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3373564E-4 | 0.0064528906 | 48.25109 | 0.00632 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016271484 | 0.019298349 | 11.860226 | 0.0177 | 0.014722223 | 0.016165754 | 0.044883873 | 2.776479 | 0.02919 |
6.2 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1206404E-5 | 0.002251137 | 72.137024 | 0.00222 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3373564E-4 | 0.0064528906 | 48.25109 | 0.00632 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016271484 | 0.019298349 | 11.860226 | 0.0177 | 0.014722223 | 0.016165754 | 0.044883873 | 2.776479 | 0.02919 |
6.3 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.6081705E-5 | 0.0014460587 | 89.919495 | 0.00143 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.891993E-5 | 0.0042486317 | 61.645912 | 0.00418 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.3880534E-4 | 0.012179285 | 14.519799 | 0.01135 | 0.007737305 | 0.0083592115 | 0.02691281 | 3.2195394 | 0.01871 |
6.4 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.6081705E-5 | 0.0014460587 | 89.919495 | 0.00143 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.891993E-5 | 0.0042486317 | 61.645912 | 0.00418 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.3880534E-4 | 0.012179285 | 14.519799 | 0.01135 | 0.007737305 | 0.0083592115 | 0.02691281 | 3.2195394 | 0.01871 |
6.5 | 1.2797581E-5 | 1.3765827E-5 | 0.0013537473 | 98.341156 | 0.00134 | 5.4845623E-5 | 5.8995214E-5 | 0.003858771 | 65.4082 | 0.0038 | 6.675408E-4 | 7.180557E-4 | 0.011170545 | 15.556655 | 0.01046 | 0.006655392 | 0.007159906 | 0.024167256 | 3.3753595 | 0.01713 |
6.6 | 9.661896E-6 | 1.0289222E-5 | 0.001110278 | 107.90689 | 0.0011 | 4.1407468E-5 | 4.409601E-5 | 0.003193957 | 72.431885 | 0.00315 | 5.040193E-4 | 5.367529E-4 | 0.009342024 | 17.404701 | 0.00881 | 0.005028777 | 0.00535617 | 0.019798398 | 3.6963723 | 0.01452 |
6.7 | 7.767871E-6 | 8.199825E-6 | 9.4819214E-4 | 115.63564 | 9.4E-4 | 3.329045E-5 | 3.5141715E-5 | 0.0027650457 | 78.682724 | 0.00273 | 4.0523586E-4 | 4.277801E-4 | 0.008024529 | 18.758537 | 0.0076 | 0.004044977 | 0.004270918 | 0.01668766 | 3.9072769 | 0.01247 |
6.8 | 6.4235196E-6 | 6.735856E-6 | 7.26731E-4 | 107.88992 | 7.2E-4 | 2.752908E-5 | 2.8867707E-5 | 0.0021188073 | 73.39715 | 0.00209 | 3.35115E-4 | 3.514205E-4 | 0.0062793368 | 17.868443 | 0.00593 | 0.003346101 | 0.003509908 | 0.013295441 | 3.787974 | 0.00982 |
6.9 | 3.1283696E-6 | 3.1122165E-6 | 4.3311086E-4 | 139.16476 | 4.3E-4 | 1.3407229E-5 | 1.3338011E-5 | 0.0013133207 | 98.46451 | 0.0013 | 1.6322079E-4 | 1.6237969E-4 | 0.0037517967 | 23.105087 | 0.00359 | 0.0016310095 | 0.0016227587 | 0.007453282 | 4.59297 | 0.00584 |
7.0 | 2.290603E-6 | 2.2287074E-6 | 3.0222803E-4 | 135.60687 | 3.0E-4 | 9.816834E-6 | 9.551574E-6 | 8.1954384E-4 | 85.80196 | 8.1E-4 | 1.19513395E-4 | 1.1628526E-4 | 0.002276034 | 19.572853 | 0.00216 | 0.0011944914 | 0.0011623462 | 0.004718208 | 4.059211 | 0.00356 |
7.1 | 1.293693E-6 | 1.1776968E-6 | 1.3117754E-4 | 111.38482 | 1.3E-4 | 5.5443866E-6 | 5.0472663E-6 | 3.750454E-4 | 74.30664 | 3.7E-4 | 6.750081E-5 | 6.1449435E-5 | 0.0010013917 | 16.29619 | 9.4E-4 | 6.7480316E-4 | 6.1439286E-4 | 0.002193422 | 3.5700643 | 0.00158 |
7.2 | 4.715842E-7 | 3.0918238E-7 | 2.0309177E-5 | 65.68672 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0210737E-6 | 1.3250667E-6 | 2.132504E-5 | 16.09356 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4606294E-5 | 1.6132573E-5 | 8.613144E-5 | 5.3389773 | 7.0E-5 | 2.460357E-4 | 1.6131456E-4 | 2.8129522E-4 | 1.7437682 | 1.2E-4 |
7.3 | 3.9430947E-7 | 2.3097789E-7 | 2.0230973E-5 | 87.588356 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6898966E-6 | 9.899048E-7 | 2.0989884E-5 | 21.203941 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0574296E-5 | 1.2052025E-5 | 7.2051305E-5 | 5.9783564 | 6.0E-5 | 2.0572392E-4 | 1.20513796E-4 | 2.1050294E-4 | 1.7467124 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.547123E-7 | 1.9679378E-7 | 1.0196792E-5 | 51.814606 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5201948E-6 | 8.434016E-7 | 1.0843393E-5 | 12.856738 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8508214E-5 | 1.0268367E-5 | 6.0267852E-5 | 5.8692737 | 5.0E-5 | 1.8506673E-4 | 1.0267899E-4 | 1.8267077E-4 | 1.7790473 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.6354266E-7 | 1.4423247E-7 | 1.4423247E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.129468E-6 | 6.1813904E-7 | 6.1813904E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3751187E-5 | 7.525817E-6 | 2.7525666E-5 | 3.6574988 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3750336E-4 | 7.525567E-5 | 1.2525191E-4 | 1.6643517 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.269913E-7 | 7.572591E-8 | 7.572591E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4424834E-7 | 3.2453954E-7 | 3.2453954E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6262032E-6 | 3.9512624E-6 | 1.3951223E-5 | 3.5308268 | 1.0E-5 | 6.626006E-5 | 3.9511957E-5 | 5.9511167E-5 | 1.5061558 | 2.0E-5 |
Airport Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103315E-5 | 0.001863079 | 142.18379 | 0.00185 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6156015E-5 | 0.0053158607 | 94.66235 | 0.00526 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835134E-4 | 0.015283527 | 22.360245 | 0.01461 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068169213 | 0.029938223 | 4.3917513 | 0.02328 |
6.1 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103315E-5 | 0.001863079 | 142.18379 | 0.00185 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6156015E-5 | 0.0053158607 | 94.66235 | 0.00526 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835134E-4 | 0.015283527 | 22.360245 | 0.01461 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068169213 | 0.029938223 | 4.3917513 | 0.02328 |
6.2 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103315E-5 | 0.001863079 | 142.18379 | 0.00185 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6156015E-5 | 0.0053158607 | 94.66235 | 0.00526 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835134E-4 | 0.015283527 | 22.360245 | 0.01461 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068169213 | 0.029938223 | 4.3917513 | 0.02328 |
6.3 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103315E-5 | 0.001863079 | 142.18379 | 0.00185 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6156015E-5 | 0.0053158607 | 94.66235 | 0.00526 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835134E-4 | 0.015283527 | 22.360245 | 0.01461 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068169213 | 0.029938223 | 4.3917513 | 0.02328 |
6.4 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103315E-5 | 0.001863079 | 142.18379 | 0.00185 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.6156015E-5 | 0.0053158607 | 94.66235 | 0.00526 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835134E-4 | 0.015283527 | 22.360245 | 0.01461 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068169213 | 0.029938223 | 4.3917513 | 0.02328 |
6.5 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.3850115E-6 | 0.0013373751 | 181.09317 | 0.00133 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.1649695E-5 | 0.003991524 | 126.11572 | 0.00396 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8527235E-4 | 0.011171116 | 28.995373 | 0.01079 | 0.003641826 | 0.0038465816 | 0.020930612 | 5.4413543 | 0.01715 |
6.6 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.3850115E-6 | 0.0013373751 | 181.09317 | 0.00133 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.1649695E-5 | 0.003991524 | 126.11572 | 0.00396 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8527235E-4 | 0.011171116 | 28.995373 | 0.01079 | 0.003641826 | 0.0038465816 | 0.020930612 | 5.4413543 | 0.01715 |
6.7 | 5.477277E-6 | 5.7861366E-6 | 0.0011157797 | 192.83675 | 0.00111 | 2.3473833E-5 | 2.4797513E-5 | 0.0033647148 | 135.68758 | 0.00334 | 2.8575645E-4 | 3.018718E-4 | 0.009419119 | 31.202381 | 0.00912 | 0.0028538927 | 0.0030150013 | 0.017471284 | 5.794785 | 0.0145 |
6.8 | 3.9950432E-6 | 4.2191364E-6 | 7.942158E-4 | 188.24132 | 7.9E-4 | 1.7121502E-5 | 1.8081904E-5 | 0.0024580378 | 135.9391 | 0.00244 | 2.0843433E-4 | 2.201277E-4 | 0.0069886376 | 31.748108 | 0.00677 | 0.0020823893 | 0.0021993674 | 0.01309535 | 5.954144 | 0.01092 |
6.9 | 2.95695E-6 | 3.1230609E-6 | 5.8312126E-4 | 186.71466 | 5.8E-4 | 1.2672582E-5 | 1.3384491E-5 | 0.0017433614 | 130.25235 | 0.00173 | 1.5427776E-4 | 1.6294625E-4 | 0.0049121724 | 30.145966 | 0.00475 | 0.001541707 | 0.0016284902 | 0.00936587 | 5.7512593 | 0.00775 |
7.0 | 1.456072E-6 | 1.5408307E-6 | 2.7154043E-4 | 176.22989 | 2.7E-4 | 6.2402937E-6 | 6.603549E-6 | 7.865984E-4 | 119.11752 | 7.8E-4 | 7.597293E-5 | 8.0396254E-5 | 0.0020902345 | 25.999155 | 0.00201 | 7.594696E-4 | 8.0377056E-4 | 0.004081134 | 5.0774865 | 0.00328 |
7.1 | 6.995192E-7 | 7.4090656E-7 | 1.00740835E-4 | 135.96968 | 1.0E-4 | 2.997936E-6 | 3.1753139E-6 | 3.4317424E-4 | 108.07569 | 3.4E-4 | 3.649926E-5 | 3.8659447E-5 | 8.7862695E-4 | 22.727356 | 8.4E-4 | 3.6493264E-4 | 3.8659447E-4 | 0.0018060455 | 4.6716795 | 0.00142 |
Owl Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.636236E-5 | 0.0012662828 | 19.08134 | 0.0012 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.8438534E-4 | 0.0038133815 | 13.4092045 | 0.00353 | 0.0026222812 | 0.0034578082 | 0.014031121 | 4.057808 | 0.01061 | 0.02591553 | 0.03414325 | 0.052851897 | 1.5479456 | 0.01937 |
6.1 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.636236E-5 | 0.0012662828 | 19.08134 | 0.0012 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.8438534E-4 | 0.0038133815 | 13.4092045 | 0.00353 | 0.0026222812 | 0.0034578082 | 0.014031121 | 4.057808 | 0.01061 | 0.02591553 | 0.03414325 | 0.052851897 | 1.5479456 | 0.01937 |
6.2 | 2.4125871E-5 | 3.098316E-5 | 9.309553E-4 | 30.047136 | 9.0E-4 | 1.0339249E-4 | 1.3277937E-4 | 0.0028424195 | 21.407087 | 0.00271 | 0.0012580766 | 0.0016155611 | 0.009592652 | 5.93766 | 0.00799 | 0.012509781 | 0.016071523 | 0.030358164 | 1.8889414 | 0.01452 |
6.3 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2357668E-5 | 8.023402E-4 | 35.88658 | 7.8E-4 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.581593E-5 | 0.002515584 | 26.25434 | 0.00242 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011660714 | 0.008217839 | 7.0474577 | 0.00706 | 0.009055373 | 0.011629658 | 0.024132542 | 2.075086 | 0.01265 |
6.4 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2357668E-5 | 8.023402E-4 | 35.88658 | 7.8E-4 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.581593E-5 | 0.002515584 | 26.25434 | 0.00242 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011660714 | 0.008217839 | 7.0474577 | 0.00706 | 0.009055373 | 0.011629658 | 0.024132542 | 2.075086 | 0.01265 |
6.5 | 1.5182742E-5 | 1.943122E-5 | 7.7941647E-4 | 40.111557 | 7.6E-4 | 6.506727E-5 | 8.327485E-5 | 0.0024430782 | 29.337528 | 0.00236 | 7.919061E-4 | 0.0010135348 | 0.007806643 | 7.7023926 | 0.0068 | 0.0078909 | 0.010119099 | 0.021987772 | 2.172898 | 0.01199 |
6.6 | 6.7271576E-6 | 8.548814E-6 | 6.985429E-4 | 81.712265 | 6.9E-4 | 2.8830356E-5 | 3.663729E-5 | 0.0019065688 | 52.039024 | 0.00187 | 3.5095305E-4 | 4.4597336E-4 | 0.00565365 | 12.677102 | 0.00521 | 0.0035039932 | 0.004468121 | 0.013447818 | 3.0097258 | 0.00902 |
6.7 | 6.682835E-6 | 8.481254E-6 | 6.984754E-4 | 82.3552 | 6.9E-4 | 2.8640408E-5 | 3.6347756E-5 | 0.0019062798 | 52.4456 | 0.00187 | 3.4864116E-4 | 4.4244973E-4 | 0.0056501445 | 12.770139 | 0.00521 | 0.003480947 | 0.004433073 | 0.013403131 | 3.0234401 | 0.00901 |
6.8 | 6.5774975E-6 | 8.327718E-6 | 6.9832196E-4 | 83.85514 | 6.9E-4 | 2.8188972E-5 | 3.5689765E-5 | 0.001905623 | 53.394104 | 0.00187 | 3.4314668E-4 | 4.3444187E-4 | 0.0056321826 | 12.96418 | 0.0052 | 0.0034261728 | 0.0043532476 | 0.0133041125 | 3.0561347 | 0.00899 |
6.9 | 6.363419E-6 | 8.000862E-6 | 6.9799536E-4 | 87.24001 | 6.9E-4 | 2.727151E-5 | 3.428899E-5 | 0.0019042249 | 55.534584 | 0.00187 | 3.3198006E-4 | 4.173941E-4 | 0.0056152237 | 13.45305 | 0.0052 | 0.0033148455 | 0.004183228 | 0.013125663 | 3.1376874 | 0.00898 |
7.0 | 6.1342453E-6 | 7.633032E-6 | 6.976278E-4 | 91.3959 | 6.9E-4 | 2.6289357E-5 | 3.2712614E-5 | 0.0019026514 | 58.162624 | 0.00187 | 3.2002592E-4 | 3.982088E-4 | 0.005586142 | 14.028173 | 0.00519 | 0.0031956544 | 0.0039918916 | 0.012846404 | 3.2181244 | 0.00889 |
7.1 | 5.842926E-6 | 7.1435306E-6 | 6.971386E-4 | 97.5902 | 6.9E-4 | 2.504087E-5 | 3.0614803E-5 | 0.0018705585 | 61.099804 | 0.00184 | 3.0482994E-4 | 3.7267688E-4 | 0.005310836 | 14.25051 | 0.00494 | 0.0030441214 | 0.0037373414 | 0.012155761 | 3.2525156 | 0.00845 |
7.2 | 4.77173E-6 | 5.3595863E-6 | 4.6535712E-4 | 86.827065 | 4.6E-4 | 2.045011E-5 | 2.2969476E-5 | 0.0011929426 | 51.935997 | 0.00117 | 2.4895166E-4 | 2.7962154E-4 | 0.003438738 | 12.29783 | 0.00316 | 0.0024867293 | 0.002808743 | 0.008233463 | 2.9313695 | 0.00544 |
7.3 | 3.0494948E-6 | 2.7111382E-6 | 9.271089E-5 | 34.196297 | 9.0E-5 | 1.3069198E-5 | 1.1619113E-5 | 2.5161632E-4 | 21.65538 | 2.4E-4 | 1.5910587E-4 | 1.4145368E-4 | 9.513391E-4 | 6.7254457 | 8.1E-4 | 0.0015899199 | 0.0014233183 | 0.0027913684 | 1.9611695 | 0.00137 |
7.4 | 2.7263884E-6 | 2.3062937E-6 | 6.230616E-5 | 27.015707 | 6.0E-5 | 1.1684469E-5 | 9.884079E-6 | 1.6988249E-4 | 17.187489 | 1.6E-4 | 1.4224913E-4 | 1.2033212E-4 | 6.7026593E-4 | 5.570133 | 5.5E-4 | 0.0014215811 | 0.001211282 | 0.0020802282 | 1.7173773 | 8.7E-4 |
7.5 | 2.6090431E-6 | 2.166211E-6 | 5.2166102E-5 | 24.081726 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1181565E-5 | 9.28373E-6 | 1.4928242E-4 | 16.080006 | 1.4E-4 | 1.3612706E-4 | 1.1302364E-4 | 5.7297165E-4 | 5.069485 | 4.6E-4 | 0.001360437 | 0.0011380482 | 0.0018871947 | 1.658273 | 7.5E-4 |
7.6 | 2.3008756E-6 | 1.8733631E-6 | 5.187327E-5 | 27.689917 | 5.0E-5 | 9.860858E-6 | 8.0286745E-6 | 1.4802755E-4 | 18.437357 | 1.4E-4 | 1.20049335E-4 | 9.7744814E-5 | 4.8770668E-4 | 4.9895916 | 3.9E-4 | 0.001199845 | 9.850842E-4 | 0.0015944833 | 1.6186264 | 6.1E-4 |
7.7 | 1.7184348E-6 | 1.3424343E-6 | 3.1342395E-5 | 23.347431 | 3.0E-5 | 7.3646997E-6 | 5.7532775E-6 | 8.5752814E-5 | 14.905038 | 8.0E-5 | 8.966153E-5 | 7.004394E-5 | 2.8002923E-4 | 3.9979079 | 2.1E-4 | 8.962536E-4 | 7.080035E-4 | 0.0010377698 | 1.4657694 | 3.3E-4 |
7.8 | 8.4612907E-7 | 8.409996E-7 | 2.0840982E-5 | 24.781206 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6262625E-6 | 3.604279E-6 | 5.3604097E-5 | 14.87235 | 5.0E-5 | 4.4148852E-5 | 4.3881235E-5 | 1.4387685E-4 | 3.2787786 | 1.0E-4 | 4.414008E-4 | 4.4404226E-4 | 5.839801E-4 | 1.3151453 | 1.4E-4 |
7.9 | 2.716738E-7 | 3.770139E-7 | 1.037701E-5 | 27.524212 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1643157E-6 | 1.6157729E-6 | 3.1615724E-5 | 19.566936 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4175452E-5 | 1.9671868E-5 | 5.967108E-5 | 3.0333204 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4174548E-4 | 1.9830765E-4 | 2.5829577E-4 | 1.3025001 | 6.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.1995428E-8 | 3.3859536E-8 | 1.0033859E-5 | 296.33777 | 1.0E-5 | 9.426611E-8 | 1.4511228E-7 | 1.01451105E-5 | 69.91214 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1476893E-6 | 1.7667413E-6 | 1.1766724E-5 | 6.660128 | 1.0E-5 | 1.14768345E-5 | 1.7871771E-5 | 2.7871592E-5 | 1.5595316 | 1.0E-5 |
Panamint Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3985383E-5 | 0.001133948 | 33.365757 | 0.0011 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4564369E-4 | 0.0034551616 | 23.723389 | 0.00331 | 0.0015751923 | 0.001771799 | 0.010616101 | 5.991707 | 0.00886 | 0.015640736 | 0.017582668 | 0.032839607 | 1.8677262 | 0.01553 |
6.1 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3985383E-5 | 0.001133948 | 33.365757 | 0.0011 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4564369E-4 | 0.0034551616 | 23.723389 | 0.00331 | 0.0015751923 | 0.001771799 | 0.010616101 | 5.991707 | 0.00886 | 0.015640736 | 0.017582668 | 0.032839607 | 1.8677262 | 0.01553 |
6.2 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3985383E-5 | 0.001133948 | 33.365757 | 0.0011 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4564369E-4 | 0.0034551616 | 23.723389 | 0.00331 | 0.0015751923 | 0.001771799 | 0.010616101 | 5.991707 | 0.00886 | 0.015640736 | 0.017582668 | 0.032839607 | 1.8677262 | 0.01553 |
6.3 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.2103515E-5 | 0.0010820698 | 33.70565 | 0.00105 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.3757938E-4 | 0.0032671487 | 23.747372 | 0.00313 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016737699 | 0.010039744 | 5.998282 | 0.00838 | 0.01479908 | 0.016617674 | 0.031093063 | 1.8710839 | 0.01472 |
6.4 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.2103515E-5 | 0.0010820698 | 33.70565 | 0.00105 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.3757938E-4 | 0.0032671487 | 23.747372 | 0.00313 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016737699 | 0.010039744 | 5.998282 | 0.00838 | 0.01479908 | 0.016617674 | 0.031093063 | 1.8710839 | 0.01472 |
6.5 | 2.7468774E-5 | 3.082918E-5 | 0.001040798 | 33.76016 | 0.00101 | 1.1771801E-4 | 1.3211853E-4 | 0.0031917142 | 24.157963 | 0.00306 | 0.0014322745 | 0.0016073835 | 0.0097542675 | 6.0684133 | 0.00816 | 0.014230782 | 0.015963504 | 0.029966343 | 1.8771783 | 0.01423 |
6.6 | 2.6135967E-5 | 2.9253153E-5 | 9.792254E-4 | 33.474182 | 9.5E-4 | 1.1200648E-4 | 1.2536478E-4 | 0.0030449987 | 24.289108 | 0.00292 | 0.0013628257 | 0.0015252741 | 0.009353316 | 6.13222 | 0.00784 | 0.013544982 | 0.015153944 | 0.02854785 | 1.8838562 | 0.0136 |
6.7 | 2.4498746E-5 | 2.7342028E-5 | 9.3731715E-4 | 34.281185 | 9.1E-4 | 1.04990395E-4 | 1.17175005E-4 | 0.0029268458 | 24.978415 | 0.00281 | 0.0012775084 | 0.0014256971 | 0.008984905 | 6.302113 | 0.00757 | 0.012701893 | 0.014171187 | 0.026986962 | 1.9043543 | 0.013 |
6.8 | 2.2244329E-5 | 2.4936342E-5 | 8.7491516E-4 | 35.085945 | 8.5E-4 | 9.532935E-5 | 1.0686578E-4 | 0.0027565826 | 25.79481 | 0.00265 | 0.0011600169 | 0.0013003361 | 0.008421064 | 6.4760675 | 0.00713 | 0.011539802 | 0.01293256 | 0.02477737 | 1.9158905 | 0.012 |
6.9 | 1.9902658E-5 | 2.2291124E-5 | 7.9227396E-4 | 35.542126 | 7.7E-4 | 8.529431E-5 | 9.553E-5 | 0.002525298 | 26.434607 | 0.00243 | 0.0010379635 | 0.0011624756 | 0.007674896 | 6.6022 | 0.00652 | 0.010331288 | 0.011568748 | 0.022332765 | 1.9304391 | 0.01089 |
7.0 | 1.8353881E-5 | 2.0566968E-5 | 7.8055135E-4 | 37.9517 | 7.6E-4 | 7.865712E-5 | 8.814127E-5 | 0.0023979377 | 27.205618 | 0.00231 | 9.5722964E-4 | 0.0010726093 | 0.007126109 | 6.6437135 | 0.00606 | 0.009531168 | 0.01067913 | 0.020661378 | 1.9347435 | 0.01009 |
7.1 | 1.7667631E-5 | 1.977334E-5 | 7.397591E-4 | 37.411945 | 7.2E-4 | 7.571623E-5 | 8.474023E-5 | 0.0023145513 | 27.313488 | 0.00223 | 9.2145515E-4 | 0.0010312416 | 0.0069251573 | 6.7153587 | 0.0059 | 0.009176437 | 0.01026933 | 0.019958792 | 1.9435341 | 0.00979 |
7.2 | 1.6381597E-5 | 1.8158895E-5 | 6.8814674E-4 | 37.895847 | 6.7E-4 | 7.020495E-5 | 7.782161E-5 | 0.0021076635 | 27.08327 | 0.00203 | 8.544101E-4 | 9.470835E-4 | 0.0062120925 | 6.559181 | 0.00527 | 0.008511325 | 0.009435018 | 0.018072745 | 1.9154966 | 0.00872 |
7.3 | 1.4520491E-5 | 1.5967238E-5 | 5.6595844E-4 | 35.44498 | 5.5E-4 | 6.222919E-5 | 6.842932E-5 | 0.0017283157 | 25.256948 | 0.00166 | 7.57377E-4 | 8.3282473E-4 | 0.005239152 | 6.290822 | 0.00441 | 0.0075480095 | 0.008300016 | 0.015628679 | 1.8829697 | 0.00739 |
7.4 | 1.2852287E-5 | 1.4146101E-5 | 5.441386E-4 | 38.465622 | 5.3E-4 | 5.5080065E-5 | 6.062483E-5 | 0.0016705273 | 27.555166 | 0.00161 | 6.7039346E-4 | 7.3787314E-4 | 0.0050147153 | 6.796175 | 0.00428 | 0.0066837464 | 0.007357017 | 0.014474267 | 1.9674097 | 0.00717 |
7.5 | 1.1637851E-5 | 1.2837378E-5 | 5.328307E-4 | 41.506195 | 5.2E-4 | 4.987555E-5 | 5.5016262E-5 | 0.0016449288 | 29.898956 | 0.00159 | 6.070656E-4 | 6.696328E-4 | 0.004876814 | 7.282818 | 0.00421 | 0.006054099 | 0.0066789114 | 0.013632159 | 2.041075 | 0.007 |
7.6 | 3.0068115E-6 | 3.3332594E-6 | 2.1333256E-4 | 64.00119 | 2.1E-4 | 1.2886271E-5 | 1.42853605E-5 | 6.6427607E-4 | 46.500477 | 6.5E-4 | 1.5687906E-4 | 1.7391767E-4 | 0.002063589 | 11.865321 | 0.00189 | 0.0015676835 | 0.0017392115 | 0.004933646 | 2.8367143 | 0.0032 |
Garlock (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.290951E-5 | 8.028629E-4 | 12.762188 | 7.4E-4 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.6958683E-4 | 0.0027289237 | 10.122615 | 0.00246 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0032777258 | 0.010294651 | 3.1407907 | 0.00704 | 0.023254504 | 0.032355122 | 0.044934507 | 1.3887911 | 0.013 |
6.1 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.290951E-5 | 8.028629E-4 | 12.762188 | 7.4E-4 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.6958683E-4 | 0.0027289237 | 10.122615 | 0.00246 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0032777258 | 0.010294651 | 3.1407907 | 0.00704 | 0.023254504 | 0.032355122 | 0.044934507 | 1.3887911 | 0.013 |
6.2 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4516106E-5 | 6.6449435E-4 | 19.251719 | 6.3E-4 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4791798E-4 | 0.00202764 | 13.707867 | 0.00188 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0017994468 | 0.0070499815 | 3.9178607 | 0.00526 | 0.01382215 | 0.017874075 | 0.027007846 | 1.5110066 | 0.0093 |
6.3 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4516106E-5 | 6.6449435E-4 | 19.251719 | 6.3E-4 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4791798E-4 | 0.00202764 | 13.707867 | 0.00188 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0017994468 | 0.0070499815 | 3.9178607 | 0.00526 | 0.01382215 | 0.017874075 | 0.027007846 | 1.5110066 | 0.0093 |
6.4 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.234494E-5 | 6.523249E-4 | 20.167759 | 6.2E-4 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3861396E-4 | 0.001998356 | 14.416701 | 0.00186 | 0.0013199237 | 0.001686348 | 0.006867596 | 4.0724664 | 0.00519 | 0.013121112 | 0.016774125 | 0.025780475 | 1.5369191 | 0.00916 |
6.5 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.234494E-5 | 6.523249E-4 | 20.167759 | 6.2E-4 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3861396E-4 | 0.001998356 | 14.416701 | 0.00186 | 0.0013199237 | 0.001686348 | 0.006867596 | 4.0724664 | 0.00519 | 0.013121112 | 0.016774125 | 0.025780475 | 1.5369191 | 0.00916 |
6.6 | 2.246556E-5 | 2.8139122E-5 | 6.38122E-4 | 22.677393 | 6.1E-4 | 9.627742E-5 | 1.205908E-4 | 0.0019003762 | 15.758882 | 0.00178 | 0.0011715472 | 0.0014672277 | 0.006340068 | 4.3211203 | 0.00488 | 0.011653901 | 0.014614989 | 0.02313857 | 1.5832081 | 0.00865 |
6.7 | 2.2241198E-5 | 2.7808846E-5 | 6.2779215E-4 | 22.575268 | 6.0E-4 | 9.531594E-5 | 1.19175456E-4 | 0.0018789658 | 15.766381 | 0.00176 | 0.0011598538 | 0.001450019 | 0.0062730154 | 4.326161 | 0.00483 | 0.011538187 | 0.014444882 | 0.022920657 | 1.5867666 | 0.0086 |
6.8 | 1.9528685E-5 | 2.3902758E-5 | 5.8388937E-4 | 24.4277 | 5.6E-4 | 8.369167E-5 | 1.02436476E-4 | 0.0017122716 | 16.715446 | 0.00161 | 0.0010184698 | 0.0012464703 | 0.005770824 | 4.6297326 | 0.00453 | 0.010138147 | 0.012436247 | 0.020386135 | 1.6392514 | 0.00805 |
6.9 | 1.3318621E-5 | 1.5202185E-5 | 5.55194E-4 | 36.520668 | 5.4E-4 | 5.7078556E-5 | 6.515063E-5 | 0.0015750523 | 24.17555 | 0.00151 | 6.9470983E-4 | 7.9292594E-4 | 0.004889675 | 6.1666226 | 0.0041 | 0.0069254204 | 0.0079406025 | 0.015113192 | 1.9032803 | 0.00723 |
7.0 | 1.1760853E-5 | 1.3110907E-5 | 5.4310396E-4 | 41.42383 | 5.3E-4 | 5.0402683E-5 | 5.6188423E-5 | 0.0015261058 | 27.160503 | 0.00147 | 6.134799E-4 | 6.838843E-4 | 0.0046811486 | 6.8449426 | 0.004 | 0.0061178906 | 0.006857088 | 0.013809089 | 2.0138416 | 0.007 |
7.1 | 1.0064758E-5 | 1.0905878E-5 | 5.209003E-4 | 47.763264 | 5.1E-4 | 4.3133965E-5 | 4.673866E-5 | 0.0014566728 | 31.166336 | 0.00141 | 5.2502943E-4 | 5.688981E-4 | 0.0044366964 | 7.798754 | 0.00387 | 0.005237907 | 0.0057145683 | 0.012356395 | 2.1622622 | 0.00668 |
7.2 | 9.768808E-6 | 1.0501717E-5 | 5.2049634E-4 | 49.562977 | 5.1E-4 | 4.186565E-5 | 4.5006604E-5 | 0.001434944 | 31.882967 | 0.00139 | 5.095951E-4 | 5.478211E-4 | 0.0043257503 | 7.8962827 | 0.00378 | 0.0050842804 | 0.005504977 | 0.012008974 | 2.1814759 | 0.00654 |
7.3 | 9.344516E-6 | 9.947301E-6 | 4.7994262E-4 | 48.248528 | 4.7E-4 | 4.004731E-5 | 4.2630614E-5 | 0.0013125765 | 30.789528 | 0.00127 | 4.8746695E-4 | 5.1890756E-4 | 0.003977112 | 7.664394 | 0.00346 | 0.0048639905 | 0.0052166157 | 0.011185316 | 2.144171 | 0.006 |
7.4 | 9.023491E-6 | 9.493412E-6 | 4.1948952E-4 | 44.187435 | 4.1E-4 | 3.867153E-5 | 4.0685434E-5 | 0.0011606399 | 28.527159 | 0.00112 | 4.7072413E-4 | 4.9523596E-4 | 0.0036036957 | 7.2767253 | 0.00311 | 0.004697283 | 0.0049800226 | 0.010313329 | 2.0709403 | 0.00536 |
7.5 | 7.081253E-6 | 7.0900296E-6 | 1.8708875E-4 | 26.387585 | 1.8E-4 | 3.0347876E-5 | 3.0385492E-5 | 6.1036786E-4 | 20.087477 | 5.8E-4 | 3.6942272E-4 | 3.698813E-4 | 0.0020692525 | 5.594369 | 0.0017 | 0.003688092 | 0.0037257427 | 0.0065252734 | 1.751402 | 0.00281 |
7.6 | 6.116396E-6 | 5.9614385E-6 | 1.0596084E-4 | 17.774374 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6212863E-5 | 2.5548774E-5 | 3.8553958E-4 | 15.090336 | 3.6E-4 | 3.1909486E-4 | 3.1101218E-4 | 0.0013107011 | 4.2143083 | 0.001 | 0.0031863707 | 0.0031372001 | 0.004831867 | 1.5401845 | 0.0017 |
7.7 | 4.797145E-6 | 4.7594745E-6 | 4.4759283E-5 | 9.404249 | 4.0E-5 | 2.055903E-5 | 2.0397589E-5 | 2.0039392E-4 | 9.824393 | 1.8E-4 | 2.5027743E-4 | 2.4831246E-4 | 7.681833E-4 | 3.0936158 | 5.2E-4 | 0.0024999576 | 0.0025105085 | 0.0033982743 | 1.3536198 | 8.9E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4028885E-6 | 3.980481E-6 | 2.3980401E-5 | 6.0244985 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4583726E-5 | 1.7059092E-5 | 1.0705756E-4 | 6.2756886 | 9.0E-5 | 1.775424E-4 | 2.0767473E-4 | 5.076124E-4 | 2.4442666 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0017740062 | 0.002102318 | 0.0026411826 | 1.2563193 | 5.4E-4 |
7.9 | 2.5928412E-6 | 3.3742106E-6 | 2.3374143E-5 | 6.9272923 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1112129E-5 | 1.4460823E-5 | 8.445981E-5 | 5.8405952 | 7.0E-5 | 1.3528178E-4 | 1.7604636E-4 | 4.160041E-4 | 2.3630373 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0013519945 | 0.0017821902 | 0.0021914595 | 1.2296441 | 4.1E-4 |
8.0 | 1.3743648E-6 | 1.674259E-6 | 1.1674242E-5 | 6.9727817 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8901214E-6 | 7.175376E-6 | 3.717516E-5 | 5.1809354 | 3.0E-5 | 7.1709874E-5 | 8.735673E-5 | 1.9734712E-4 | 2.2590947 | 1.1E-4 | 7.1686733E-4 | 8.84141E-4 | 0.0010539907 | 1.192107 | 1.7E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1501008E-7 | 3.1501008E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3500426E-6 | 1.3500426E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6436661E-5 | 1.6436661E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6651009E-4 | 1.7650842E-4 | 1.0600464 | 1.0E-5 |
Ash Hill
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3194816E-5 | 6.1318115E-4 | 26.436127 | 5.9E-4 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.940302E-5 | 0.0015892549 | 15.987994 | 0.00149 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012096398 | 0.0054744747 | 4.5257063 | 0.00427 | 0.011179381 | 0.01203854 | 0.019833555 | 1.647505 | 0.00789 |
6.1 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3194816E-5 | 6.1318115E-4 | 26.436127 | 5.9E-4 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.940302E-5 | 0.0015892549 | 15.987994 | 0.00149 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012096398 | 0.0054744747 | 4.5257063 | 0.00427 | 0.011179381 | 0.01203854 | 0.019833555 | 1.647505 | 0.00789 |
6.2 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.3194816E-5 | 6.1318115E-4 | 26.436127 | 5.9E-4 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.940302E-5 | 0.0015892549 | 15.987994 | 0.00149 | 0.0011236023 | 0.0012096398 | 0.0054744747 | 4.5257063 | 0.00427 | 0.011179381 | 0.01203854 | 0.019833555 | 1.647505 | 0.00789 |
6.3 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0747095E-5 | 2.3074473E-4 | 21.470427 | 2.2E-4 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.605824E-5 | 5.7603384E-4 | 12.5066395 | 5.3E-4 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.606281E-4 | 0.0021397423 | 3.8166878 | 0.00158 | 0.005217545 | 0.00559345 | 0.008487173 | 1.5173414 | 0.00291 |
6.4 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0747095E-5 | 2.3074473E-4 | 21.470427 | 2.2E-4 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.605824E-5 | 5.7603384E-4 | 12.5066395 | 5.3E-4 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.606281E-4 | 0.0021397423 | 3.8166878 | 0.00158 | 0.005217545 | 0.00559345 | 0.008487173 | 1.5173414 | 0.00291 |
6.5 | 6.9617327E-6 | 7.4567447E-6 | 1.7745548E-4 | 23.797983 | 1.7E-4 | 2.9835655E-5 | 3.1957134E-5 | 3.9194562E-4 | 12.26473 | 3.6E-4 | 3.6318856E-4 | 3.890173E-4 | 0.0014985855 | 3.8522334 | 0.00111 | 0.0036259557 | 0.0038842177 | 0.005856527 | 1.5077752 | 0.00198 |
6.6 | 4.9919777E-6 | 5.3467675E-6 | 1.5534596E-4 | 29.054184 | 1.5E-4 | 2.1394015E-5 | 2.2914553E-5 | 3.0290813E-4 | 13.219028 | 2.8E-4 | 2.60441E-4 | 2.7895567E-4 | 0.0011487129 | 4.117905 | 8.7E-4 | 0.0026013597 | 0.002786714 | 0.0042526172 | 1.526033 | 0.00147 |
6.7 | 3.6630722E-6 | 3.924682E-6 | 1.3392417E-4 | 34.123573 | 1.3E-4 | 1.5698786E-5 | 1.681999E-5 | 2.468161E-4 | 14.673976 | 2.3E-4 | 1.9111596E-4 | 2.0476988E-4 | 8.946286E-4 | 4.3689466 | 6.9E-4 | 0.0019095168 | 0.002046375 | 0.0032139807 | 1.5705727 | 0.00117 |
6.8 | 2.5599613E-6 | 2.7449664E-6 | 1.2274463E-4 | 44.716263 | 1.2E-4 | 1.0971216E-5 | 1.1764117E-5 | 2.2176164E-4 | 18.850683 | 2.1E-4 | 1.3356637E-4 | 1.4322365E-4 | 7.031434E-4 | 4.9094086 | 5.6E-4 | 0.0013348613 | 0.0014317984 | 0.0023704525 | 1.655577 | 9.4E-4 |
6.9 | 1.7684905E-6 | 1.8968994E-6 | 8.1896746E-5 | 43.174007 | 8.0E-5 | 7.579223E-6 | 8.129569E-6 | 1.4812843E-4 | 18.220945 | 1.4E-4 | 9.2273134E-5 | 9.89775E-5 | 4.889389E-4 | 4.9398994 | 3.9E-4 | 9.223483E-4 | 9.89775E-4 | 0.0016291415 | 1.6459715 | 6.4E-4 |
Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.457168E-5 | 6.045417E-4 | 11.077937 | 5.5E-4 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3385842E-4 | 0.0019434586 | 8.310407 | 0.00171 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028436873 | 0.007310948 | 2.5709393 | 0.00448 | 0.023260195 | 0.028093273 | 0.035450608 | 1.2618896 | 0.00757 |
6.1 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.457168E-5 | 6.045417E-4 | 11.077937 | 5.5E-4 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3385842E-4 | 0.0019434586 | 8.310407 | 0.00171 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028436873 | 0.007310948 | 2.5709393 | 0.00448 | 0.023260195 | 0.028093273 | 0.035450608 | 1.2618896 | 0.00757 |
6.2 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.706499E-5 | 5.970391E-4 | 12.685418 | 5.5E-4 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.0169214E-4 | 0.0018913513 | 9.377417 | 0.00169 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024529707 | 0.0068820794 | 2.8056102 | 0.00444 | 0.020330196 | 0.024274604 | 0.031621817 | 1.3026707 | 0.00753 |
6.3 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.706499E-5 | 5.970391E-4 | 12.685418 | 5.5E-4 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.0169214E-4 | 0.0018913513 | 9.377417 | 0.00169 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024529707 | 0.0068820794 | 2.8056102 | 0.00444 | 0.020330196 | 0.024274604 | 0.031621817 | 1.3026707 | 0.00753 |
6.4 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.795284E-5 | 5.8793195E-4 | 15.491119 | 5.5E-4 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6264527E-4 | 0.001842372 | 11.327547 | 0.00168 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0019784763 | 0.006359791 | 3.2144892 | 0.00439 | 0.016718714 | 0.019617263 | 0.02691131 | 1.3718178 | 0.00744 |
6.5 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.795284E-5 | 5.8793195E-4 | 15.491119 | 5.5E-4 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6264527E-4 | 0.001842372 | 11.327547 | 0.00168 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0019784763 | 0.006359791 | 3.2144892 | 0.00439 | 0.016718714 | 0.019617263 | 0.02691131 | 1.3718178 | 0.00744 |
6.6 | 2.9305844E-5 | 3.4183482E-5 | 5.841647E-4 | 17.089092 | 5.5E-4 | 1.2559042E-4 | 1.4649275E-4 | 0.0018262466 | 12.466465 | 0.00168 | 0.0015279909 | 0.0017821519 | 0.006154346 | 3.4533231 | 0.00438 | 0.015175272 | 0.017686369 | 0.024945667 | 1.4104459 | 0.00739 |
6.7 | 2.7826512E-5 | 3.2345783E-5 | 5.82328E-4 | 18.003212 | 5.5E-4 | 1.19251024E-4 | 1.3861775E-4 | 0.0018083863 | 13.045849 | 0.00167 | 0.0014509142 | 0.001686425 | 0.0060390723 | 3.5809908 | 0.00436 | 0.014414776 | 0.016743816 | 0.02398058 | 1.4322053 | 0.00736 |
6.8 | 2.3389874E-5 | 2.686795E-5 | 5.7685317E-4 | 21.469934 | 5.5E-4 | 1.0023846E-4 | 1.1514355E-4 | 0.0017749524 | 15.415127 | 0.00166 | 0.00121972 | 0.0014010185 | 0.005744924 | 4.100534 | 0.00435 | 0.01213047 | 0.013927926 | 0.021145973 | 1.5182428 | 0.00732 |
6.9 | 2.069209E-5 | 2.3571118E-5 | 5.7355815E-4 | 24.333092 | 5.5E-4 | 8.867737E-5 | 1.01015365E-4 | 0.0017508487 | 17.332499 | 0.00165 | 0.0010791123 | 0.0012292044 | 0.0055538816 | 4.518274 | 0.00433 | 0.010738871 | 0.012228938 | 0.019410033 | 1.5872215 | 0.00727 |
7.0 | 1.7462342E-5 | 1.9634452E-5 | 5.6962366E-4 | 29.011438 | 5.5E-4 | 7.483646E-5 | 8.414506E-5 | 0.0017240071 | 20.488512 | 0.00164 | 9.1075303E-4 | 0.0010240072 | 0.0053395834 | 5.2144003 | 0.00432 | 0.009070295 | 0.010196375 | 0.017342757 | 1.7008748 | 0.00722 |
7.1 | 1.4807709E-5 | 1.644252E-5 | 5.5643363E-4 | 33.84114 | 5.4E-4 | 6.3460066E-5 | 7.046613E-5 | 0.001690352 | 23.988148 | 0.00162 | 7.723524E-4 | 8.5760397E-4 | 0.0051539163 | 6.0096693 | 0.0043 | 0.007696735 | 0.008545784 | 0.015684254 | 1.8353207 | 0.0072 |
7.2 | 1.4180048E-5 | 1.5699077E-5 | 5.556906E-4 | 35.396385 | 5.4E-4 | 6.077022E-5 | 6.728012E-5 | 0.0016871712 | 25.076815 | 0.00162 | 7.396263E-4 | 8.1884384E-4 | 0.005115323 | 6.247007 | 0.0043 | 0.0073716943 | 0.008161072 | 0.015292393 | 1.8738217 | 0.00719 |
7.3 | 1.3730402E-5 | 1.5172796E-5 | 5.551646E-4 | 36.58947 | 5.4E-4 | 5.8843252E-5 | 6.502474E-5 | 0.0016849193 | 25.911974 | 0.00162 | 7.161811E-4 | 7.9140475E-4 | 0.0050880015 | 6.4290767 | 0.0043 | 0.007138774 | 0.0078886505 | 0.01502193 | 1.904246 | 0.00719 |
7.4 | 1.2810095E-5 | 1.4109964E-5 | 5.441025E-4 | 38.561577 | 5.3E-4 | 5.489925E-5 | 6.046996E-5 | 0.0016703726 | 27.62318 | 0.00161 | 6.681934E-4 | 7.359889E-4 | 0.005012839 | 6.811025 | 0.00428 | 0.006661878 | 0.007338263 | 0.014435794 | 1.967195 | 0.00715 |
7.5 | 1.1595659E-5 | 1.2801241E-5 | 5.3279457E-4 | 41.620544 | 5.2E-4 | 4.9694736E-5 | 5.4861393E-5 | 0.0016447741 | 29.98054 | 0.00159 | 6.0486543E-4 | 6.6774845E-4 | 0.0048749372 | 7.3005595 | 0.00421 | 0.006032217 | 0.006660145 | 0.013593657 | 2.0410452 | 0.00698 |
7.6 | 2.997694E-6 | 3.3253846E-6 | 2.1332469E-4 | 64.15038 | 2.1E-4 | 1.28471975E-5 | 1.4251612E-5 | 6.6424237E-4 | 46.608227 | 6.5E-4 | 1.564034E-4 | 1.7350684E-4 | 0.002063179 | 11.891052 | 0.00189 | 0.0015629337 | 0.0017350987 | 0.0049295463 | 2.8410757 | 0.0032 |
Blackwater
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.3096385E-5 | 3.130871E-4 | 9.459859 | 2.8E-4 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4183471E-4 | 0.0011216957 | 7.908471 | 9.8E-4 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017256065 | 0.0047304123 | 2.7413044 | 0.00301 | 0.015895851 | 0.017135909 | 0.022905322 | 1.3366855 | 0.00587 |
6.1 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.3096385E-5 | 3.130871E-4 | 9.459859 | 2.8E-4 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4183471E-4 | 0.0011216957 | 7.908471 | 9.8E-4 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017256065 | 0.0047304123 | 2.7413044 | 0.00301 | 0.015895851 | 0.017135909 | 0.022905322 | 1.3366855 | 0.00587 |
6.2 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2545309E-5 | 8.254443E-5 | 6.5797048 | 7.0E-5 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.3764557E-5 | 3.0375112E-4 | 5.6496534 | 2.5E-4 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.543965E-4 | 0.0016237617 | 2.4813118 | 9.7E-4 | 0.006090366 | 0.0065256665 | 0.008472877 | 1.2983924 | 0.00196 |
6.3 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2545309E-5 | 8.254443E-5 | 6.5797048 | 7.0E-5 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.3764557E-5 | 3.0375112E-4 | 5.6496534 | 2.5E-4 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.543965E-4 | 0.0016237617 | 2.4813118 | 9.7E-4 | 0.006090366 | 0.0065256665 | 0.008472877 | 1.2983924 | 0.00196 |
6.4 | 7.929244E-6 | 8.4802205E-6 | 6.847971E-5 | 8.075228 | 6.0E-5 | 3.3982033E-5 | 3.634332E-5 | 1.9633751E-4 | 5.4023 | 1.6E-4 | 4.136527E-4 | 4.423941E-4 | 0.0010621198 | 2.4008453 | 6.2E-4 | 0.0041288356 | 0.00441554 | 0.0056998436 | 1.29086 | 0.00129 |
6.5 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.2860804E-6 | 5.6285768E-5 | 8.954032 | 5.0E-5 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.694008E-5 | 1.4693684E-4 | 5.4542093 | 1.2E-4 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.2794868E-4 | 7.5780763E-4 | 2.3107507 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032749004 | 0.004171953 | 1.2739176 | 9.0E-4 |
6.6 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.2860804E-6 | 5.6285768E-5 | 8.954032 | 5.0E-5 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.694008E-5 | 1.4693684E-4 | 5.4542093 | 1.2E-4 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.2794868E-4 | 7.5780763E-4 | 2.3107507 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032749004 | 0.004171953 | 1.2739176 | 9.0E-4 |
6.7 | 3.0715053E-6 | 3.2815128E-6 | 4.3281383E-5 | 13.18946 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3163528E-5 | 1.40635575E-5 | 8.406257E-5 | 5.9773335 | 7.0E-5 | 1.6025416E-4 | 1.7121152E-4 | 3.8117557E-4 | 2.226343 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0016013865 | 0.0017109107 | 0.002140175 | 1.2508981 | 4.3E-4 |
6.8 | 2.2722281E-6 | 2.4287885E-6 | 3.2428714E-5 | 13.351807 | 3.0E-5 | 9.738084E-6 | 1.0409058E-5 | 7.040843E-5 | 6.7641506 | 6.0E-5 | 1.1855473E-4 | 1.2672383E-4 | 2.767048E-4 | 2.1835265 | 1.5E-4 | 0.001184915 | 0.0012666058 | 0.0015762132 | 1.2444386 | 3.1E-4 |
6.9 | 9.952399E-7 | 1.0653645E-6 | 1.1065354E-5 | 10.386449 | 1.0E-5 | 4.265307E-6 | 4.5658426E-6 | 1.4565797E-5 | 3.1901662 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1928873E-5 | 5.5588232E-5 | 8.5586566E-5 | 1.5396526 | 3.0E-5 | 5.191674E-4 | 5.5579393E-4 | 6.757272E-4 | 1.2157874 | 1.2E-4 |
7.0 | 4.7385504E-7 | 5.0756347E-7 | 5.0756347E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0308057E-6 | 2.175272E-6 | 2.175272E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4724779E-5 | 2.6483936E-5 | 2.6483936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4722028E-4 | 2.6483936E-4 | 3.1482612E-4 | 1.1887437 | 5.0E-5 |
Garlock (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.5181727E-5 | 2.5204703E-5 | 4.451941E-4 | 17.663137 | 4.2E-4 | 1.0791722E-4 | 1.080157E-4 | 0.0011079077 | 10.256913 | 0.001 | 0.0013131002 | 0.0013143013 | 0.0042903847 | 3.2643845 | 0.00298 | 0.013053683 | 0.01314538 | 0.018069785 | 1.374611 | 0.00499 |
6.1 | 2.5077732E-5 | 2.5105743E-5 | 4.450952E-4 | 17.72882 | 4.2E-4 | 1.0747157E-4 | 1.0759162E-4 | 0.001107484 | 10.293404 | 0.001 | 0.001307681 | 0.0013091443 | 0.004285243 | 3.2733161 | 0.00298 | 0.013000126 | 0.01309442 | 0.018019078 | 1.3760884 | 0.00499 |
6.2 | 2.494612E-5 | 2.4987432E-5 | 4.4497693E-4 | 17.808031 | 4.2E-4 | 1.0690756E-4 | 1.0708461E-4 | 0.0011069776 | 10.33741 | 0.001 | 0.0013008224 | 0.0013029788 | 0.004279096 | 3.284087 | 0.00298 | 0.012932341 | 0.01303349 | 0.017958453 | 1.3778698 | 0.00499 |
6.3 | 2.4733758E-5 | 2.480679E-5 | 4.4479637E-4 | 17.93043 | 4.2E-4 | 1.0599751E-4 | 1.063105E-4 | 0.0011062042 | 10.405409 | 0.001 | 0.0012897556 | 0.0012935653 | 0.0042697103 | 3.3007307 | 0.00298 | 0.012822957 | 0.012940453 | 0.017865881 | 1.3806225 | 0.00499 |
6.4 | 2.3237335E-5 | 2.318607E-5 | 4.4317634E-4 | 19.113905 | 4.2E-4 | 9.958477E-5 | 9.9365105E-5 | 0.0010792677 | 10.861637 | 9.8E-4 | 0.0012117702 | 0.0012091015 | 0.004135559 | 3.420357 | 0.00293 | 0.012051838 | 0.01210529 | 0.016975611 | 1.4023299 | 0.00493 |
6.5 | 2.2732203E-5 | 2.3000435E-5 | 4.4299077E-4 | 19.260103 | 4.2E-4 | 9.742009E-5 | 9.856959E-5 | 0.0010784729 | 10.941235 | 9.8E-4 | 0.0011854442 | 0.0011994268 | 0.0041259127 | 3.4399035 | 0.00293 | 0.011791403 | 0.012009593 | 0.016880386 | 1.4055752 | 0.00493 |
6.6 | 2.1319436E-5 | 2.1780626E-5 | 4.4177147E-4 | 20.282772 | 4.2E-4 | 9.136581E-5 | 9.334221E-5 | 0.0010732508 | 11.498021 | 9.8E-4 | 0.001111811 | 0.0011358514 | 0.004062523 | 3.576633 | 0.00293 | 0.011062649 | 0.011380494 | 0.0162445 | 1.4273987 | 0.00492 |
6.7 | 1.970802E-5 | 2.0400435E-5 | 4.4039186E-4 | 21.587376 | 4.2E-4 | 8.446021E-5 | 8.7427514E-5 | 0.0010673419 | 12.208305 | 9.8E-4 | 0.001027818 | 0.001063912 | 0.003970816 | 3.7322788 | 0.00291 | 0.010230771 | 0.010668188 | 0.015515914 | 1.4544095 | 0.0049 |
6.8 | 1.8744462E-5 | 1.990807E-5 | 4.398997E-4 | 22.096552 | 4.2E-4 | 8.033094E-5 | 8.531752E-5 | 0.001065234 | 12.485523 | 9.8E-4 | 9.775903E-4 | 0.0010382475 | 0.0039452263 | 3.79989 | 0.00291 | 0.009733009 | 0.010413961 | 0.0152629325 | 1.4656222 | 0.0049 |
6.9 | 1.7559682E-5 | 1.8960394E-5 | 4.3895244E-4 | 23.151018 | 4.2E-4 | 7.5253614E-5 | 8.125631E-5 | 0.0010611766 | 13.059622 | 9.8E-4 | 9.158276E-4 | 9.88848E-4 | 0.0038959705 | 3.9399083 | 0.00291 | 0.0091206245 | 0.009924497 | 0.014775868 | 1.4888278 | 0.0049 |
7.0 | 1.6794445E-5 | 1.8223158E-5 | 4.382155E-4 | 24.047176 | 4.2E-4 | 7.197421E-5 | 7.809692E-5 | 0.0010580204 | 13.54753 | 9.8E-4 | 8.759337E-4 | 9.504166E-4 | 0.0038576508 | 4.058905 | 0.00291 | 0.008724891 | 0.0095434 | 0.014396638 | 1.5085438 | 0.0049 |
7.1 | 1.6337795E-5 | 1.7723922E-5 | 4.2771664E-4 | 24.132168 | 4.1E-4 | 7.0017246E-5 | 7.595746E-5 | 0.0010458837 | 13.769337 | 9.7E-4 | 8.521265E-4 | 9.2439103E-4 | 0.0038117196 | 4.1234927 | 0.00289 | 0.008488664 | 0.009285208 | 0.014109989 | 1.5196202 | 0.00487 |
7.2 | 1.5780008E-5 | 1.7172528E-5 | 4.2716548E-4 | 24.874933 | 4.1E-4 | 6.762685E-5 | 7.359448E-5 | 0.0010435231 | 14.179367 | 9.7E-4 | 8.2304585E-4 | 8.9564576E-4 | 0.0037830572 | 4.223832 | 0.00289 | 0.008200042 | 0.009000032 | 0.013816292 | 1.535138 | 0.00486 |
7.3 | 1.5058865E-5 | 1.6625556E-5 | 4.2661873E-4 | 25.66042 | 4.1E-4 | 6.45364E-5 | 7.125045E-5 | 0.001031182 | 14.47264 | 9.6E-4 | 7.854473E-4 | 8.671301E-4 | 0.00372465 | 4.2953763 | 0.00286 | 0.00782677 | 0.008716712 | 0.013494697 | 1.5481408 | 0.00482 |
7.4 | 1.4887923E-5 | 1.6461505E-5 | 4.1645492E-4 | 25.298714 | 4.0E-4 | 6.380382E-5 | 7.054741E-5 | 0.0010204804 | 14.465172 | 9.5E-4 | 7.7653467E-4 | 8.5857743E-4 | 0.0036761563 | 4.281683 | 0.00282 | 0.0077382675 | 0.008631551 | 0.013350464 | 1.5467052 | 0.00476 |
7.5 | 1.4509299E-5 | 1.6053464E-5 | 3.7604768E-4 | 23.424707 | 3.6E-4 | 6.218123E-5 | 6.8798756E-5 | 9.6873683E-4 | 14.080732 | 9.0E-4 | 7.567935E-4 | 8.373041E-4 | 0.003495077 | 4.1742024 | 0.00266 | 0.0075422134 | 0.008419844 | 0.012881955 | 1.5299517 | 0.0045 |
7.6 | 1.2756717E-5 | 1.4057241E-5 | 2.6405373E-4 | 18.784178 | 2.5E-4 | 5.4670498E-5 | 6.0243932E-5 | 6.802066E-4 | 11.290873 | 6.2E-4 | 6.6541E-4 | 7.332237E-4 | 0.0024819407 | 3.3849704 | 0.00175 | 0.006634211 | 0.007384798 | 0.010362644 | 1.40324 | 0.003 |
7.7 | 1.0328985E-5 | 1.1466622E-5 | 1.8146467E-4 | 15.825469 | 1.7E-4 | 4.4266326E-5 | 4.914174E-5 | 4.2912306E-4 | 8.732353 | 3.8E-4 | 5.388092E-4 | 5.9813686E-4 | 0.0016475088 | 2.754401 | 0.00105 | 0.0053750467 | 0.0060414905 | 0.007850495 | 1.2994301 | 0.00182 |
7.8 | 7.0306583E-6 | 8.904566E-6 | 1.1890358E-4 | 13.353104 | 1.1E-4 | 3.0131043E-5 | 3.8161867E-5 | 2.5815348E-4 | 6.764697 | 2.2E-4 | 3.667837E-4 | 4.6452184E-4 | 0.0011142199 | 2.3986382 | 6.5E-4 | 0.003661789 | 0.004697771 | 0.0058722277 | 1.250003 | 0.00118 |
7.9 | 4.060633E-6 | 5.4683396E-6 | 7.546796E-5 | 13.80089 | 7.0E-5 | 1.7402595E-5 | 2.3435532E-5 | 1.6343225E-4 | 6.973695 | 1.4E-4 | 2.11856E-4 | 2.8529036E-4 | 6.7517906E-4 | 2.3666384 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0021165414 | 0.0028856543 | 0.0035836345 | 1.2418793 | 7.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.0784819E-6 | 2.207844E-5 | 10.622388 | 2.0E-5 | 7.169782E-6 | 8.907749E-6 | 4.8907394E-5 | 5.4904323 | 4.0E-5 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.0844648E-4 | 2.4843132E-4 | 2.2908194 | 1.4E-4 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.0010973699 | 0.0013071395 | 1.1911566 | 2.1E-4 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1501008E-7 | 3.1501008E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3500426E-6 | 1.3500426E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.6436661E-5 | 1.6436661E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6651009E-4 | 1.7650842E-4 | 1.0600464 | 1.0E-5 |
McLean Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7360222E-5 | 1.8501882E-5 | 1.7849891E-4 | 9.647609 | 1.6E-4 | 7.439883E-5 | 7.929164E-5 | 5.4925436E-4 | 6.927015 | 4.7E-4 | 9.0542925E-4 | 9.649968E-4 | 0.0026333854 | 2.7289057 | 0.00167 | 0.009017491 | 0.009612906 | 0.0131981075 | 1.3729571 | 0.00362 |
6.1 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.592311E-6 | 1.09591354E-4 | 11.424917 | 1.0E-4 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.1109302E-5 | 2.9109902E-4 | 7.0810986 | 2.5E-4 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.0039974E-4 | 0.0014399294 | 2.8775582 | 9.4E-4 | 0.0047176396 | 0.0049936124 | 0.0071726763 | 1.4363703 | 0.00219 |
6.2 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.592311E-6 | 1.09591354E-4 | 11.424917 | 1.0E-4 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.1109302E-5 | 2.9109902E-4 | 7.0810986 | 2.5E-4 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.0039974E-4 | 0.0014399294 | 2.8775582 | 9.4E-4 | 0.0047176396 | 0.0049936124 | 0.0071726763 | 1.4363703 | 0.00219 |
6.3 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.6678E-6 | 6.766734E-5 | 8.82487 | 6.0E-5 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.2861626E-5 | 2.3285505E-4 | 7.085926 | 2.0E-4 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0002397E-4 | 0.0011797119 | 2.949103 | 7.8E-4 | 0.0037797375 | 0.0039937436 | 0.005796515 | 1.4513988 | 0.00181 |
6.4 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.6678E-6 | 6.766734E-5 | 8.82487 | 6.0E-5 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.2861626E-5 | 2.3285505E-4 | 7.085926 | 2.0E-4 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0002397E-4 | 0.0011797119 | 2.949103 | 7.8E-4 | 0.0037797375 | 0.0039937436 | 0.005796515 | 1.4513988 | 0.00181 |
6.5 | 6.06582E-6 | 6.4039514E-6 | 6.640357E-5 | 10.369155 | 6.0E-5 | 2.5996113E-5 | 2.7445254E-5 | 1.9744059E-4 | 7.1939793 | 1.7E-4 | 3.164567E-4 | 3.3410123E-4 | 0.0010238707 | 3.0645523 | 6.9E-4 | 0.0031600643 | 0.003336628 | 0.004911356 | 1.471952 | 0.00158 |
6.6 | 5.598744E-6 | 5.910331E-6 | 5.5910034E-5 | 9.459713 | 5.0E-5 | 2.3994397E-5 | 2.5329779E-5 | 1.8532573E-4 | 7.3165154 | 1.6E-4 | 2.9209262E-4 | 3.083528E-4 | 9.681493E-4 | 3.1397452 | 6.6E-4 | 0.0029170897 | 0.0030798789 | 0.0045054746 | 1.4628739 | 0.00143 |
6.7 | 5.246996E-6 | 5.5392265E-6 | 5.553895E-5 | 10.026482 | 5.0E-5 | 2.2486933E-5 | 2.3739361E-5 | 1.6373604E-4 | 6.8972387 | 1.4E-4 | 2.73744E-4 | 2.8899475E-4 | 8.788242E-4 | 3.0409696 | 5.9E-4 | 0.0027340704 | 0.0028868131 | 0.0042129736 | 1.4593856 | 0.00133 |
6.8 | 4.02324E-6 | 4.2469537E-6 | 5.4246742E-5 | 12.773094 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7242342E-5 | 1.8201137E-5 | 1.2819913E-4 | 7.0434685 | 1.1E-4 | 2.099053E-4 | 2.2158226E-4 | 6.51487E-4 | 2.9401586 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0020970714 | 0.0022141975 | 0.0031521162 | 1.423593 | 9.4E-4 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.1399944E-7 | 2.0713986E-5 | 29.011206 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0599958E-6 | 2.3059934E-5 | 7.535937 | 2.0E-5 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.725513E-5 | 9.7252894E-5 | 2.6104565 | 6.0E-5 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7252012E-4 | 5.424568E-4 | 1.4561812 | 1.7E-4 |
Gravel Hills-Harper Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.146547E-5 | 1.9146044E-4 | 6.0847793 | 1.6E-4 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3484627E-4 | 7.047694E-4 | 5.2264657 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0015995599 | 0.0016407339 | 0.0032381087 | 1.9735733 | 0.0016 | 0.015880952 | 0.016307773 | 0.019298198 | 1.1833742 | 0.00304 |
6.1 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.146547E-5 | 1.9146044E-4 | 6.0847793 | 1.6E-4 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3484627E-4 | 7.047694E-4 | 5.2264657 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0015995599 | 0.0016407339 | 0.0032381087 | 1.9735733 | 0.0016 | 0.015880952 | 0.016307773 | 0.019298198 | 1.1833742 | 0.00304 |
6.2 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.3635489E-5 | 7.363467E-5 | 5.400222 | 6.0E-5 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.843657E-5 | 2.5842487E-4 | 4.422314 | 2.0E-4 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.112449E-4 | 0.0012008963 | 1.688443 | 4.9E-4 | 0.007871548 | 0.007090887 | 0.007984505 | 1.1260235 | 9.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.3635489E-5 | 7.363467E-5 | 5.400222 | 6.0E-5 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.843657E-5 | 2.5842487E-4 | 4.422314 | 2.0E-4 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.112449E-4 | 0.0012008963 | 1.688443 | 4.9E-4 | 0.007871548 | 0.007090887 | 0.007984505 | 1.1260235 | 9.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.2532521E-5 | 1.0689894E-5 | 4.0689574E-5 | 3.8063588 | 3.0E-5 | 5.37097E-5 | 4.5813063E-5 | 1.8580665E-4 | 4.055757 | 1.4E-4 | 6.537194E-4 | 5.5763713E-4 | 8.874531E-4 | 1.5914527 | 3.3E-4 | 0.0065179965 | 0.0055629686 | 0.0060800756 | 1.0929552 | 5.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.1094058E-5 | 9.0838275E-6 | 3.9083556E-5 | 4.302542 | 3.0E-5 | 4.7545094E-5 | 3.8930135E-5 | 1.6892508E-4 | 4.3391857 | 1.3E-4 | 5.787078E-4 | 4.7387532E-4 | 7.2375685E-4 | 1.5273149 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0057720304 | 0.004729056 | 0.005107259 | 1.0799743 | 3.8E-4 |
6.6 | 9.688328E-6 | 7.5318258E-6 | 3.75316E-5 | 4.983068 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1520743E-5 | 3.227887E-5 | 1.2227596E-4 | 3.7881117 | 9.0E-5 | 5.053978E-4 | 3.9292692E-4 | 5.328719E-4 | 1.3561604 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0050424994 | 0.0039225784 | 0.004131755 | 1.0533262 | 2.1E-4 |
6.7 | 8.974824E-6 | 6.749528E-6 | 3.6749327E-5 | 5.444725 | 3.0E-5 | 3.8462964E-5 | 2.892624E-5 | 1.0892392E-4 | 3.765575 | 8.0E-5 | 4.6818596E-4 | 3.5212227E-4 | 4.5208706E-4 | 1.2838923 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004672008 | 0.0035158643 | 0.0036753018 | 1.045348 | 1.6E-4 |
6.8 | 7.4780046E-6 | 5.1162774E-6 | 5.1162774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.20482E-5 | 2.1926726E-5 | 3.1926505E-5 | 1.4560544 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9011694E-4 | 2.6692657E-4 | 2.769239E-4 | 1.0374535 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038943281 | 0.002666198 | 0.0026861446 | 1.0074813 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.3409307E-6 | 3.90756E-6 | 3.90756E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7175134E-5 | 1.6746582E-5 | 2.6746415E-5 | 1.5971267 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3080703E-4 | 2.0387156E-4 | 2.1386951E-4 | 1.0490404 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033031502 | 0.0020369433 | 0.0020569027 | 1.0097986 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.1239335E-6 | 2.6058983E-6 | 2.6058983E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.195953E-5 | 1.1168089E-5 | 2.1167978E-5 | 1.8953983 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6732447E-4 | 1.3596326E-4 | 1.459619E-4 | 1.0735393 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026700313 | 0.0013588261 | 0.0013688124 | 1.0073493 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.438899E-6 | 2.0985092E-6 | 2.0985092E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9023713E-5 | 8.993581E-6 | 8.993581E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.315891E-4 | 1.0949157E-4 | 1.0949157E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002313479 | 0.0010943982 | 0.0010943982 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.50367E-6 | 1.2616024E-6 | 1.2616024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5015643E-5 | 5.4068564E-6 | 5.4068564E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8280011E-4 | 6.582657E-5 | 6.582657E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264982 | 6.58079E-4 | 6.58079E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.561638E-6 | 7.118931E-7 | 7.118931E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0978401E-5 | 3.0509668E-6 | 3.0509668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3365384E-4 | 3.714491E-5 | 3.714491E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013357349 | 3.71389E-4 | 3.71389E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0368864E-6 | 5.3046665E-7 | 5.3046665E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.729483E-6 | 2.2734264E-6 | 2.2734264E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06276275E-4 | 2.7678621E-5 | 2.7678621E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010622547 | 2.7675228E-4 | 2.7675228E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6029638E-7 | 3.6029638E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5441265E-6 | 1.5441265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.8799583E-5 | 1.8799583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8798039E-4 | 1.8798039E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.119761E-8 | 7.119761E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.051326E-7 | 3.051326E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.7149848E-6 | 3.7149848E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.7149384E-5 | 3.7149384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Goldstone Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.037695E-5 | 1.703727E-4 | 5.608618 | 1.4E-4 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3018154E-4 | 5.301295E-4 | 4.0722322 | 4.0E-4 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015840043 | 0.0028519926 | 1.8004955 | 0.00127 | 0.013842222 | 0.015746638 | 0.018502546 | 1.1750157 | 0.0028 |
6.1 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.037695E-5 | 1.703727E-4 | 5.608618 | 1.4E-4 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3018154E-4 | 5.301295E-4 | 4.0722322 | 4.0E-4 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015840043 | 0.0028519926 | 1.8004955 | 0.00127 | 0.013842222 | 0.015746638 | 0.018502546 | 1.1750157 | 0.0028 |
6.2 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6096681E-5 | 9.609539E-5 | 5.9698887 | 8.0E-5 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.898451E-5 | 2.8896934E-4 | 4.188902 | 2.2E-4 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.396614E-4 | 0.0014591408 | 1.7377728 | 6.2E-4 | 0.007380498 | 0.008374586 | 0.009703363 | 1.1586679 | 0.00134 |
6.3 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6096681E-5 | 9.609539E-5 | 5.9698887 | 8.0E-5 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.898451E-5 | 2.8896934E-4 | 4.188902 | 2.2E-4 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.396614E-4 | 0.0014591408 | 1.7377728 | 6.2E-4 | 0.007380498 | 0.008374586 | 0.009703363 | 1.1586679 | 0.00134 |
6.4 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.5008865E-5 | 7.500796E-5 | 4.997577 | 6.0E-5 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.4322674E-5 | 2.5431046E-4 | 3.9536672 | 1.9E-4 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.829452E-4 | 0.0013524989 | 1.7274503 | 5.7E-4 | 0.006884126 | 0.0078114946 | 0.009061652 | 1.1600407 | 0.00126 |
6.5 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.5008865E-5 | 7.500796E-5 | 4.997577 | 6.0E-5 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.4322674E-5 | 2.5431046E-4 | 3.9536672 | 1.9E-4 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.829452E-4 | 0.0013524989 | 1.7274503 | 5.7E-4 | 0.006884126 | 0.0078114946 | 0.009061652 | 1.1600407 | 0.00126 |
6.6 | 1.1328278E-5 | 1.2855515E-5 | 6.285487E-5 | 4.8893313 | 5.0E-5 | 4.8548856E-5 | 5.509444E-5 | 2.0508618E-4 | 3.7224479 | 1.5E-4 | 5.90922E-4 | 6.7066407E-4 | 0.0011303555 | 1.6854274 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0058935313 | 0.00669579 | 0.0077188932 | 1.152798 | 0.00103 |
6.7 | 8.651175E-6 | 9.82483E-6 | 4.9824437E-5 | 5.071277 | 4.0E-5 | 3.707594E-5 | 4.2106247E-5 | 1.3210246E-4 | 3.13736 | 9.0E-5 | 4.5130608E-4 | 5.126135E-4 | 8.3244947E-4 | 1.623932 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0045039062 | 0.0051231897 | 0.005889245 | 1.149527 | 7.7E-4 |
6.8 | 1.0215377E-6 | 1.1754951E-6 | 1.1754951E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.378012E-6 | 5.0378267E-6 | 5.0378267E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3300988E-5 | 6.133393E-5 | 6.133393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3288206E-4 | 6.1318127E-4 | 6.1318127E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.9360774E-7 | 9.283601E-7 | 9.283601E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4011714E-6 | 3.9786805E-6 | 3.9786805E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1408475E-5 | 4.843943E-5 | 4.843943E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.140076E-4 | 4.842957E-4 | 4.842957E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.4382757E-7 | 8.7475246E-7 | 8.7475246E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1878285E-6 | 3.748934E-6 | 3.748934E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8811122E-5 | 4.5642384E-5 | 4.5642384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8804344E-4 | 4.5633674E-4 | 4.5633674E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 6.4709513E-7 | 7.7114805E-7 | 7.7114805E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.773262E-6 | 3.3049164E-6 | 3.3049164E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.376394E-5 | 4.0236675E-5 | 4.0236675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.375881E-4 | 4.0229986E-4 | 4.0229986E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.356704E-7 | 7.5885384E-7 | 7.5885384E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7242988E-6 | 3.252227E-6 | 3.252227E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3167835E-5 | 3.9595205E-5 | 3.9595205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3162883E-4 | 3.9588744E-4 | 3.9588744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.7695723E-7 | 6.8967273E-7 | 6.8967273E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4726714E-6 | 2.9557373E-6 | 2.9557373E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0104358E-5 | 3.5985566E-5 | 3.5985566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0100282E-4 | 3.598031E-4 | 3.598031E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.209647E-7 | 6.1936487E-7 | 6.1936487E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.232704E-6 | 2.6544185E-6 | 2.6544185E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.718283E-5 | 3.2317123E-5 | 3.2317123E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7179506E-4 | 3.231298E-4 | 3.231298E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.512955E-7 | 5.348993E-7 | 5.348993E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.934122E-6 | 2.292424E-6 | 2.292424E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3547682E-5 | 2.7909957E-5 | 2.7909957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3545188E-4 | 2.7906982E-4 | 2.7906982E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Mojave S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.747742E-4 | 8.546527E-4 | 1.2665759 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0028888125 | 0.003277686 | 1.1346135 | 3.9E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.034731302 | 0.035947543 | 1.0350186 | 0.00126 | 0.1496549 | 0.28680372 | 0.28854394 | 1.0060675 | 0.00244 |
6.1 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.747742E-4 | 8.546527E-4 | 1.2665759 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0028888125 | 0.003277686 | 1.1346135 | 3.9E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.034731302 | 0.035947543 | 1.0350186 | 0.00126 | 0.1496549 | 0.28680372 | 0.28854394 | 1.0060675 | 0.00244 |
6.2 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.747742E-4 | 8.546527E-4 | 1.2665759 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0028888125 | 0.003277686 | 1.1346135 | 3.9E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.034731302 | 0.035947543 | 1.0350186 | 0.00126 | 0.1496549 | 0.28680372 | 0.28854394 | 1.0060675 | 0.00244 |
6.3 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.747742E-4 | 8.546527E-4 | 1.2665759 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0028888125 | 0.003277686 | 1.1346135 | 3.9E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.034731302 | 0.035947543 | 1.0350186 | 0.00126 | 0.1496549 | 0.28680372 | 0.28854394 | 1.0060675 | 0.00244 |
6.4 | 1.9872203E-4 | 4.3195207E-4 | 6.018786E-4 | 1.3933922 | 1.7E-4 | 8.5138786E-4 | 0.001849938 | 0.002229235 | 1.2050323 | 3.8E-4 | 0.010316478 | 0.02229653 | 0.023401333 | 1.0495505 | 0.00113 | 0.098504856 | 0.19713913 | 0.1988412 | 1.0086339 | 0.00212 |
6.5 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.876794E-4 | 4.3763625E-4 | 1.5212637 | 1.5E-4 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.001232332 | 0.0015619253 | 1.267455 | 3.3E-4 | 0.006714592 | 0.0149012515 | 0.0158765 | 1.0654473 | 9.9E-4 | 0.065152965 | 0.13808383 | 0.13970424 | 1.011735 | 0.00188 |
6.6 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.876794E-4 | 4.3763625E-4 | 1.5212637 | 1.5E-4 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.001232332 | 0.0015619253 | 1.267455 | 3.3E-4 | 0.006714592 | 0.0149012515 | 0.0158765 | 1.0654473 | 9.9E-4 | 0.065152965 | 0.13808383 | 0.13970424 | 1.011735 | 0.00188 |
6.7 | 1.08001186E-4 | 2.4348879E-4 | 3.9345227E-4 | 1.6158948 | 1.5E-4 | 4.6278012E-4 | 0.0010431067 | 0.0013627728 | 1.306456 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0056198016 | 0.012626171 | 0.013554302 | 1.0735085 | 9.4E-4 | 0.054797906 | 0.1192306 | 0.120842405 | 1.0135185 | 0.00183 |
6.8 | 1.0624356E-4 | 2.3866497E-4 | 3.8862918E-4 | 1.6283461 | 1.5E-4 | 4.5525006E-4 | 0.0010224495 | 0.0013421222 | 1.3126539 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0055285925 | 0.012377545 | 0.013305911 | 1.075004 | 9.4E-4 | 0.053930566 | 0.11717963 | 0.118795194 | 1.013787 | 0.00183 |
6.9 | 1.0393785E-4 | 2.323678E-4 | 3.8233295E-4 | 1.6453784 | 1.5E-4 | 4.4537184E-4 | 9.954824E-4 | 0.0013151638 | 1.3211322 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0054089287 | 0.012052895 | 0.012981565 | 1.0770496 | 9.4E-4 | 0.05279156 | 0.114476696 | 0.1160972 | 1.0141557 | 0.00183 |
7.0 | 1.0155622E-4 | 2.2606239E-4 | 3.7602847E-4 | 1.6633836 | 1.5E-4 | 4.3516833E-4 | 9.684795E-4 | 0.0012881695 | 1.3300948 | 3.2E-4 | 0.005285311 | 0.011727715 | 0.012656691 | 1.0792121 | 9.4E-4 | 0.05161361 | 0.11173543 | 0.11336096 | 1.014548 | 0.00183 |
7.1 | 9.885595E-5 | 2.189456E-4 | 3.6891276E-4 | 1.6849517 | 1.5E-4 | 4.2359953E-4 | 9.380012E-4 | 0.001257701 | 1.3408309 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0051451353 | 0.011360564 | 0.012289885 | 1.0818024 | 9.4E-4 | 0.05027629 | 0.10862057 | 0.11025179 | 1.0150176 | 0.00183 |
7.2 | 9.6411415E-5 | 2.1257481E-4 | 3.6254292E-4 | 1.7054839 | 1.5E-4 | 4.1312634E-4 | 9.107172E-4 | 0.0012304258 | 1.3510514 | 3.2E-4 | 0.005018219 | 0.0110317925 | 0.011951532 | 1.0833718 | 9.3E-4 | 0.049064007 | 0.105804875 | 0.107423365 | 1.0152969 | 0.00181 |
7.3 | 9.1180635E-5 | 1.9485175E-4 | 3.448225E-4 | 1.7696661 | 1.5E-4 | 3.907156E-4 | 8.348117E-4 | 0.0011545446 | 1.383 | 3.2E-4 | 0.004746591 | 0.010116579 | 0.011037171 | 1.0909983 | 9.3E-4 | 0.046464786 | 0.09801225 | 0.09962681 | 1.016473 | 0.00179 |
7.4 | 8.887388E-5 | 1.8733587E-4 | 3.3730778E-4 | 1.8005508 | 1.5E-4 | 3.8083247E-4 | 8.0262107E-4 | 0.0011223642 | 1.3983737 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0046267817 | 0.009728225 | 0.010649178 | 1.0946681 | 9.3E-4 | 0.045316286 | 0.094647355 | 0.096240774 | 1.0168353 | 0.00176 |
7.5 | 8.6750515E-5 | 1.8065E-4 | 3.306229E-4 | 1.8301849 | 1.5E-4 | 3.7173493E-4 | 7.739846E-4 | 0.001093737 | 1.4131249 | 3.2E-4 | 0.004516484 | 0.0093826335 | 0.010303907 | 1.0981894 | 9.3E-4 | 0.04425787 | 0.09161074 | 0.093209505 | 1.0174518 | 0.00176 |
7.6 | 8.453092E-5 | 1.7452486E-4 | 3.244987E-4 | 1.8593264 | 1.5E-4 | 3.6222505E-4 | 7.4774935E-4 | 0.0010675101 | 1.4276309 | 3.2E-4 | 0.0044011753 | 0.009065921 | 0.00998749 | 1.1016519 | 9.3E-4 | 0.04315024 | 0.088768445 | 0.0903631 | 1.0179642 | 0.00175 |
7.7 | 8.259102E-5 | 1.6974466E-4 | 3.197192E-4 | 1.8835303 | 1.5E-4 | 3.539135E-4 | 7.2727434E-4 | 0.0010470416 | 1.439679 | 3.2E-4 | 0.004300386 | 0.008818685 | 0.009740483 | 1.104528 | 9.3E-4 | 0.042181134 | 0.08651798 | 0.088107444 | 1.0183715 | 0.00174 |
7.8 | 7.444844E-5 | 1.5295544E-4 | 2.629386E-4 | 1.7190536 | 1.1E-4 | 3.1902574E-4 | 6.553587E-4 | 8.952014E-4 | 1.3659717 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0038772223 | 0.0079498505 | 0.008644286 | 1.0873519 | 7.0E-4 | 0.03810269 | 0.07834445 | 0.079625554 | 1.0163522 | 0.00139 |
7.9 | 5.2586525E-5 | 1.00145444E-4 | 1.7013843E-4 | 1.6989133 | 7.0E-5 | 2.2535135E-4 | 4.2912416E-4 | 5.690641E-4 | 1.326106 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0027402006 | 0.005212082 | 0.005619945 | 1.0782534 | 4.1E-4 | 0.027066574 | 0.0522377 | 0.053014867 | 1.0148774 | 8.2E-4 |
8.0 | 3.379877E-5 | 5.4119522E-5 | 7.411844E-5 | 1.3695323 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4484383E-4 | 2.319202E-4 | 2.7191092E-4 | 1.1724331 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017620471 | 0.0028199742 | 0.0029695511 | 1.0530419 | 1.5E-4 | 0.017481409 | 0.028857088 | 0.029119296 | 1.0090865 | 2.7E-4 |
8.1 | 1.8668277E-5 | 1.932879E-5 | 1.932879E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.000444E-5 | 8.2835046E-5 | 8.2835046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.736188E-4 | 0.0010080507 | 0.0010080507 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009693642 | 0.010809288 | 0.0108290715 | 1.0018302 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.541571E-6 | 5.46747E-6 | 5.46747E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.660622E-5 | 2.3431805E-5 | 2.3431805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.455896E-4 | 2.8524495E-4 | 2.8524495E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044469717 | 0.003244529 | 0.003244529 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.669667E-7 | 7.669667E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2869962E-6 | 3.2869962E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0018458E-5 | 4.0018458E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7252612E-4 | 4.7252612E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
So Sierra Nevada
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079734E-5 | 2.0107762E-4 | 18.148237 | 1.9E-4 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.748378E-5 | 4.3746526E-4 | 9.212941 | 3.9E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779744E-4 | 0.0019171999 | 3.3171017 | 0.00134 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057659815 | 0.008380817 | 1.4534936 | 0.00263 |
6.1 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079734E-5 | 2.0107762E-4 | 18.148237 | 1.9E-4 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.748378E-5 | 4.3746526E-4 | 9.212941 | 3.9E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779744E-4 | 0.0019171999 | 3.3171017 | 0.00134 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057659815 | 0.008380817 | 1.4534936 | 0.00263 |
6.2 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079734E-5 | 2.0107762E-4 | 18.148237 | 1.9E-4 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.748378E-5 | 4.3746526E-4 | 9.212941 | 3.9E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779744E-4 | 0.0019171999 | 3.3171017 | 0.00134 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057659815 | 0.008380817 | 1.4534936 | 0.00263 |
6.3 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079734E-5 | 2.0107762E-4 | 18.148237 | 1.9E-4 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.748378E-5 | 4.3746526E-4 | 9.212941 | 3.9E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779744E-4 | 0.0019171999 | 3.3171017 | 0.00134 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057659815 | 0.008380817 | 1.4534936 | 0.00263 |
6.4 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079734E-5 | 2.0107762E-4 | 18.148237 | 1.9E-4 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.748378E-5 | 4.3746526E-4 | 9.212941 | 3.9E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779744E-4 | 0.0019171999 | 3.3171017 | 0.00134 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057659815 | 0.008380817 | 1.4534936 | 0.00263 |
6.5 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079734E-5 | 2.0107762E-4 | 18.148237 | 1.9E-4 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.748378E-5 | 4.3746526E-4 | 9.212941 | 3.9E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779744E-4 | 0.0019171999 | 3.3171017 | 0.00134 | 0.006007948 | 0.0057659815 | 0.008380817 | 1.4534936 | 0.00263 |
6.6 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.9356865E-6 | 1.1693493E-4 | 16.859892 | 1.1E-4 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.972405E-5 | 2.1971841E-4 | 7.3919406 | 1.9E-4 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.6183314E-4 | 0.0011115618 | 3.0720286 | 7.5E-4 | 0.003951 | 0.0036127316 | 0.005147168 | 1.4247303 | 0.00154 |
6.7 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.9356865E-6 | 1.1693493E-4 | 16.859892 | 1.1E-4 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.972405E-5 | 2.1971841E-4 | 7.3919406 | 1.9E-4 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.6183314E-4 | 0.0011115618 | 3.0720286 | 7.5E-4 | 0.003951 | 0.0036127316 | 0.005147168 | 1.4247303 | 0.00154 |
6.8 | 5.9026956E-6 | 5.1794286E-6 | 9.517896E-5 | 18.376345 | 9.0E-5 | 2.5297022E-5 | 2.219737E-5 | 1.9219359E-4 | 8.658396 | 1.7E-4 | 3.0794772E-4 | 2.7022063E-4 | 8.300693E-4 | 3.0718207 | 5.6E-4 | 0.0030752132 | 0.0026990366 | 0.0039057708 | 1.4470981 | 0.00121 |
6.9 | 5.0118915E-6 | 4.2524534E-6 | 8.425211E-5 | 19.81259 | 8.0E-5 | 2.1479358E-5 | 1.8224677E-5 | 1.482223E-4 | 8.133056 | 1.3E-4 | 2.614798E-4 | 2.2186358E-4 | 6.1177707E-4 | 2.757447 | 3.9E-4 | 0.0026117235 | 0.0022164932 | 0.0031144985 | 1.4051468 | 9.0E-4 |
7.0 | 4.4924795E-6 | 3.7139414E-6 | 8.371365E-5 | 22.540379 | 8.0E-5 | 1.925334E-5 | 1.59168E-5 | 1.3591489E-4 | 8.539084 | 1.2E-4 | 2.3438422E-4 | 1.9377042E-4 | 5.5370067E-4 | 2.8575087 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0023413717 | 0.0019360776 | 0.0027644706 | 1.4278718 | 8.3E-4 |
7.1 | 3.9118436E-6 | 3.1119964E-6 | 8.311175E-5 | 26.70689 | 8.0E-5 | 1.6764936E-5 | 1.3337063E-5 | 1.3333546E-4 | 9.997363 | 1.2E-4 | 2.0409399E-4 | 1.623672E-4 | 4.623185E-4 | 2.8473637 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0020390663 | 0.0016225418 | 0.002281471 | 1.4061092 | 6.6E-4 |
7.2 | 3.4200818E-6 | 2.6054693E-6 | 7.260529E-5 | 27.866491 | 7.0E-5 | 1.4657411E-5 | 1.1166252E-5 | 1.2116502E-4 | 10.851003 | 1.1E-4 | 1.7843937E-4 | 1.3594114E-4 | 4.0590443E-4 | 2.9858837 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0017829615 | 0.0013586296 | 0.0019178687 | 1.41162 | 5.6E-4 |
7.3 | 2.6593618E-6 | 1.8284292E-6 | 6.182832E-5 | 33.81499 | 6.0E-5 | 1.13972155E-5 | 7.836104E-6 | 8.783548E-5 | 11.209076 | 8.0E-5 | 1.3875226E-4 | 9.5400675E-5 | 2.4538636E-4 | 2.572166 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0013866565 | 9.536261E-4 | 0.0012633305 | 1.324765 | 3.1E-4 |
7.4 | 2.2577992E-6 | 1.4364437E-6 | 5.143637E-5 | 35.80814 | 5.0E-5 | 9.676246E-6 | 6.1561736E-6 | 7.6155746E-5 | 12.370629 | 7.0E-5 | 1.1780193E-4 | 7.4949094E-5 | 2.0493935E-4 | 2.7343807 | 1.3E-4 | 0.001177395 | 7.492632E-4 | 0.0010090685 | 1.3467475 | 2.6E-4 |
7.5 | 1.489319E-6 | 7.3539366E-7 | 2.0735379E-5 | 28.196299 | 2.0E-5 | 6.3827797E-6 | 3.1516834E-6 | 4.315156E-5 | 13.69159 | 4.0E-5 | 7.770758E-5 | 3.8371072E-5 | 1.1836801E-4 | 3.0848238 | 8.0E-5 | 7.7680405E-4 | 3.8364492E-4 | 5.035989E-4 | 1.3126693 | 1.2E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.659614E-7 | 1.0465957E-5 | 22.460995 | 1.0E-5 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.996976E-6 | 3.1996915E-5 | 16.022686 | 3.0E-5 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.4312913E-5 | 6.431194E-5 | 2.6451762 | 4.0E-5 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.431028E-4 | 2.9309065E-4 | 1.2056243 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5579508E-7 | 1.5579508E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.6769303E-7 | 1.0667686E-5 | 15.976933 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.129134E-6 | 1.8129052E-5 | 2.2301333 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.1288475E-5 | 9.1287664E-5 | 1.1230086 | 1.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Mojave N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9415317E-4 | 3.6412015E-4 | 1.8754274 | 1.7E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.3181984E-4 | 0.0012514704 | 1.504497 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010080506 | 0.011228813 | 1.1139135 | 0.00116 | 0.05023708 | 0.098381124 | 0.1003196 | 1.0197037 | 0.00215 |
6.1 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9415317E-4 | 3.6412015E-4 | 1.8754274 | 1.7E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.3181984E-4 | 0.0012514704 | 1.504497 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010080506 | 0.011228813 | 1.1139135 | 0.00116 | 0.05023708 | 0.098381124 | 0.1003196 | 1.0197037 | 0.00215 |
6.2 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9415317E-4 | 3.6412015E-4 | 1.8754274 | 1.7E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.3181984E-4 | 0.0012514704 | 1.504497 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010080506 | 0.011228813 | 1.1139135 | 0.00116 | 0.05023708 | 0.098381124 | 0.1003196 | 1.0197037 | 0.00215 |
6.3 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9415317E-4 | 3.6412015E-4 | 1.8754274 | 1.7E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.3181984E-4 | 0.0012514704 | 1.504497 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010080506 | 0.011228813 | 1.1139135 | 0.00116 | 0.05023708 | 0.098381124 | 0.1003196 | 1.0197037 | 0.00215 |
6.4 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9415317E-4 | 3.6412015E-4 | 1.8754274 | 1.7E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.3181984E-4 | 0.0012514704 | 1.504497 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010080506 | 0.011228813 | 1.1139135 | 0.00116 | 0.05023708 | 0.098381124 | 0.1003196 | 1.0197037 | 0.00215 |
6.5 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.9389081E-4 | 3.6385783E-4 | 1.8766122 | 1.7E-4 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.3069614E-4 | 0.0012503472 | 1.50518 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0051326132 | 0.010066952 | 0.011215274 | 1.1140685 | 0.00116 | 0.050156746 | 0.098258674 | 0.10019742 | 1.019731 | 0.00215 |
6.6 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.9389081E-4 | 3.6385783E-4 | 1.8766122 | 1.7E-4 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.3069614E-4 | 0.0012503472 | 1.50518 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0051326132 | 0.010066952 | 0.011215274 | 1.1140685 | 0.00116 | 0.050156746 | 0.098258674 | 0.10019742 | 1.019731 | 0.00215 |
6.7 | 9.8552715E-5 | 1.9379031E-4 | 3.6375737E-4 | 1.8770669 | 1.7E-4 | 4.223004E-4 | 8.3026575E-4 | 0.001249917 | 1.5054421 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0051293927 | 0.01006176 | 0.011210089 | 1.114128 | 0.00116 | 0.050125998 | 0.09821188 | 0.10015073 | 1.0197414 | 0.00215 |
6.8 | 9.8464974E-5 | 1.936419E-4 | 3.6360897E-4 | 1.8777392 | 1.7E-4 | 4.219245E-4 | 8.2963007E-4 | 0.0012492816 | 1.5058297 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0051248376 | 0.010054092 | 0.011202429 | 1.1142159 | 0.00116 | 0.05008251 | 0.098141894 | 0.10008089 | 1.019757 | 0.00215 |
6.9 | 9.825824E-5 | 1.9332192E-4 | 3.6328906E-4 | 1.8791922 | 1.7E-4 | 4.2103877E-4 | 8.282596E-4 | 0.0012479117 | 1.5066674 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0051141046 | 0.010037561 | 0.011185918 | 1.1144059 | 0.00116 | 0.049980022 | 0.09799074 | 0.099930055 | 1.0197909 | 0.00215 |
7.0 | 9.781462E-5 | 1.9263536E-4 | 3.6260262E-4 | 1.8823264 | 1.7E-4 | 4.1913814E-4 | 8.253191E-4 | 0.0012449725 | 1.5084741 | 4.2E-4 | 0.005091073 | 0.010002089 | 0.011150487 | 1.1148157 | 0.00116 | 0.04976007 | 0.0976672 | 0.099607214 | 1.0198635 | 0.00215 |
7.1 | 9.7121134E-5 | 1.916522E-4 | 3.6161963E-4 | 1.8868535 | 1.7E-4 | 4.1616702E-4 | 8.2110823E-4 | 0.0012407633 | 1.5110838 | 4.2E-4 | 0.005055068 | 0.009951292 | 0.011099748 | 1.1154078 | 0.00116 | 0.04941613 | 0.09720358 | 0.09914459 | 1.0199685 | 0.00215 |
7.2 | 9.663819E-5 | 1.909599E-4 | 3.6092743E-4 | 1.8900692 | 1.7E-4 | 4.1409794E-4 | 8.18143E-4 | 0.0012377994 | 1.5129377 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0050299936 | 0.0099155195 | 0.011064017 | 1.1158283 | 0.00116 | 0.049176537 | 0.096876726 | 0.098818436 | 1.0200431 | 0.00215 |
7.3 | 9.6277574E-5 | 1.9048483E-4 | 3.6045245E-4 | 1.8922895 | 1.7E-4 | 4.125529E-4 | 8.161083E-4 | 0.0012357655 | 1.5142176 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0050112694 | 0.009890972 | 0.011039498 | 1.1161187 | 0.00116 | 0.04899759 | 0.09665005 | 0.09859225 | 1.0200952 | 0.00215 |
7.4 | 9.593308E-5 | 1.8988234E-4 | 3.5985006E-4 | 1.8951212 | 1.7E-4 | 4.1107697E-4 | 8.1352785E-4 | 0.0012331861 | 1.51585 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0049933824 | 0.009859839 | 0.011008402 | 1.1164889 | 0.00116 | 0.04882661 | 0.096368454 | 0.09830223 | 1.0200664 | 0.00214 |
7.5 | 9.561707E-5 | 1.8934294E-4 | 3.5931077E-4 | 1.8976717 | 1.7E-4 | 4.0972308E-4 | 8.112176E-4 | 0.0012308769 | 1.5173203 | 4.2E-4 | 0.0049769743 | 0.009831967 | 0.010980561 | 1.1168225 | 0.00116 | 0.048669744 | 0.09611466 | 0.09804898 | 1.020125 | 0.00214 |
7.6 | 9.418194E-5 | 1.8586498E-4 | 3.5583338E-4 | 1.9144725 | 1.7E-4 | 4.0357444E-4 | 7.9632114E-4 | 0.0012159867 | 1.5270054 | 4.2E-4 | 0.004902454 | 0.009652223 | 0.010801027 | 1.1190196 | 0.00116 | 0.047957025 | 0.09449586 | 0.09643364 | 1.0205065 | 0.00214 |
7.7 | 8.202141E-5 | 1.6034403E-4 | 3.3031678E-4 | 2.0600502 | 1.7E-4 | 3.51473E-4 | 6.8700773E-4 | 0.001086733 | 1.581835 | 4.0E-4 | 0.00427079 | 0.008332298 | 0.009423132 | 1.1309164 | 0.0011 | 0.04189639 | 0.08229011 | 0.084116355 | 1.0221927 | 0.00199 |
7.8 | 7.2859846E-5 | 1.4528247E-4 | 2.552665E-4 | 1.7570357 | 1.1E-4 | 3.1221908E-4 | 6.224906E-4 | 8.623412E-4 | 1.385308 | 2.4E-4 | 0.003794643 | 0.0075525283 | 0.008247241 | 1.0919842 | 7.0E-4 | 0.037304975 | 0.074777745 | 0.07605455 | 1.0170747 | 0.00138 |
7.9 | 5.3874453E-5 | 1.00538615E-4 | 1.7053158E-4 | 1.6961799 | 7.0E-5 | 2.3087008E-4 | 4.3080866E-4 | 5.7074835E-4 | 1.3248303 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0028072202 | 0.0052324925 | 0.005640347 | 1.0779465 | 4.1E-4 | 0.02772022 | 0.052462384 | 0.053239368 | 1.0148102 | 8.2E-4 |
8.0 | 3.468538E-5 | 5.4305907E-5 | 7.430482E-5 | 1.3682641 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4864317E-4 | 2.3271884E-4 | 2.7270953E-4 | 1.1718413 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0018082283 | 0.0028296723 | 0.0029792478 | 1.0528597 | 1.5E-4 | 0.017935853 | 0.028969845 | 0.029232023 | 1.00905 | 2.7E-4 |
8.1 | 1.9152367E-5 | 1.9422154E-5 | 1.9422154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.207899E-5 | 8.323515E-5 | 8.323515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.988535E-4 | 0.0010129175 | 0.0010129175 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009943757 | 0.010866732 | 0.0108865155 | 1.0018204 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.481529E-6 | 5.481529E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3492057E-5 | 2.3492057E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8597834E-4 | 2.8597834E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.003252439 | 0.003252439 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.669667E-7 | 7.669667E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2869962E-6 | 3.2869962E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0018458E-5 | 4.0018458E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7252612E-4 | 4.7252612E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (So)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5619363E-5 | 1.256168E-4 | 4.903198 | 1.0E-4 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.09792745E-4 | 3.497664E-4 | 3.1856968 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013359239 | 0.0022846549 | 1.7101684 | 9.5E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.013278863 | 0.015301642 | 1.1523306 | 0.00205 |
6.1 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5619363E-5 | 1.256168E-4 | 4.903198 | 1.0E-4 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.09792745E-4 | 3.497664E-4 | 3.1856968 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013359239 | 0.0022846549 | 1.7101684 | 9.5E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.013278863 | 0.015301642 | 1.1523306 | 0.00205 |
6.2 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5619363E-5 | 1.256168E-4 | 4.903198 | 1.0E-4 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.09792745E-4 | 3.497664E-4 | 3.1856968 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013359239 | 0.0022846549 | 1.7101684 | 9.5E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.013278863 | 0.015301642 | 1.1523306 | 0.00205 |
6.3 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.5119434E-5 | 1.05117426E-4 | 4.184705 | 8.0E-5 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.07650376E-4 | 3.2762668E-4 | 3.043433 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0010555626 | 0.001309872 | 0.00221868 | 1.6938144 | 9.1E-4 | 0.010505628 | 0.013021415 | 0.014916414 | 1.1455294 | 0.00192 |
6.4 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.5119434E-5 | 1.05117426E-4 | 4.184705 | 8.0E-5 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.07650376E-4 | 3.2762668E-4 | 3.043433 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0010555626 | 0.001309872 | 0.00221868 | 1.6938144 | 9.1E-4 | 0.010505628 | 0.013021415 | 0.014916414 | 1.1455294 | 0.00192 |
6.5 | 1.9962767E-5 | 2.480868E-5 | 1.048067E-4 | 4.224598 | 8.0E-5 | 8.55519E-5 | 1.0631868E-4 | 3.262953E-4 | 3.0690308 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0010410968 | 0.001293678 | 0.0021825265 | 1.687071 | 8.9E-4 | 0.010362327 | 0.012861358 | 0.014717178 | 1.1442943 | 0.00188 |
6.6 | 1.8937297E-5 | 2.3312452E-5 | 9.331082E-5 | 4.0026174 | 7.0E-5 | 8.115732E-5 | 9.990676E-5 | 2.7988877E-4 | 2.8014998 | 1.8E-4 | 9.876423E-4 | 0.0012157006 | 0.002024716 | 1.6654725 | 8.1E-4 | 0.009832645 | 0.012090357 | 0.013779683 | 1.139725 | 0.00171 |
6.7 | 1.8621096E-5 | 2.2913076E-5 | 9.2911476E-5 | 4.054954 | 7.0E-5 | 7.980225E-5 | 9.819528E-5 | 2.781776E-4 | 2.832902 | 1.8E-4 | 9.711593E-4 | 0.0011948864 | 0.0019839425 | 1.6603607 | 7.9E-4 | 0.009669261 | 0.011884459 | 0.013544493 | 1.1396811 | 0.00168 |
6.8 | 1.7830353E-5 | 2.1807034E-5 | 7.1805945E-5 | 3.292788 | 5.0E-5 | 7.641356E-5 | 9.345545E-5 | 2.534405E-4 | 2.7118857 | 1.6E-4 | 9.29938E-4 | 0.0011372402 | 0.00186641 | 1.6411748 | 7.3E-4 | 0.009260561 | 0.011314375 | 0.012817178 | 1.1328224 | 0.00152 |
6.9 | 1.3135183E-5 | 1.5304558E-5 | 5.5303946E-5 | 3.6135602 | 4.0E-5 | 5.6292425E-5 | 6.558935E-5 | 1.9558083E-4 | 2.981899 | 1.3E-4 | 6.8514474E-4 | 7.982643E-4 | 0.0012878731 | 1.6133418 | 4.9E-4 | 0.006830362 | 0.007953794 | 0.00895576 | 1.1259735 | 0.00101 |
7.0 | 1.1507512E-5 | 1.3154656E-5 | 4.315426E-5 | 3.2805314 | 3.0E-5 | 4.9316975E-5 | 5.6375913E-5 | 1.4637083E-4 | 2.5963366 | 9.0E-5 | 6.002687E-4 | 6.8616634E-4 | 0.0010459194 | 1.5242941 | 3.6E-4 | 0.0059864987 | 0.0068399357 | 0.007594737 | 1.1103522 | 7.6E-4 |
7.1 | 9.715903E-6 | 1.086557E-5 | 2.0865462E-5 | 1.9203283 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1638916E-5 | 4.656592E-5 | 7.656452E-5 | 1.644218 | 3.0E-5 | 5.068359E-4 | 5.6679687E-4 | 7.4669486E-4 | 1.3173941 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0050568148 | 0.0056538004 | 0.006031652 | 1.0668315 | 3.8E-4 |
7.2 | 9.233269E-6 | 1.028657E-5 | 2.0286467E-5 | 1.9721314 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9570554E-5 | 4.4084576E-5 | 7.4083255E-5 | 1.6804801 | 3.0E-5 | 4.81665E-4 | 5.3660176E-4 | 6.7652663E-4 | 1.2607611 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0048062233 | 0.005353492 | 0.0056618326 | 1.0575961 | 3.1E-4 |
7.3 | 8.8041315E-6 | 9.808398E-6 | 9.808398E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7731446E-5 | 4.203534E-5 | 6.2034494E-5 | 1.4757701 | 2.0E-5 | 4.592835E-4 | 5.1166426E-4 | 6.21608E-4 | 1.2148747 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0045833546 | 0.0051052887 | 0.0053341147 | 1.0448213 | 2.3E-4 |
7.4 | 8.708749E-6 | 9.707408E-6 | 9.707408E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7322676E-5 | 4.1602536E-5 | 6.1601706E-5 | 1.4807199 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5430884E-4 | 5.063974E-4 | 6.1634165E-4 | 1.2171108 | 1.1E-4 | 0.004533812 | 0.005052861 | 0.0052816984 | 1.0452888 | 2.3E-4 |
7.5 | 8.612678E-6 | 9.605049E-6 | 9.605049E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6910955E-5 | 4.116387E-5 | 6.1163046E-5 | 1.485843 | 2.0E-5 | 4.492982E-4 | 5.0105905E-4 | 6.0100894E-4 | 1.1994773 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004483909 | 0.004999719 | 0.005218619 | 1.0437825 | 2.2E-4 |
7.6 | 8.319024E-6 | 9.284142E-6 | 9.284142E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5652476E-5 | 3.9788596E-5 | 5.97878E-5 | 1.5026366 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3398244E-4 | 4.8432266E-4 | 5.742791E-4 | 1.1857365 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0043313587 | 0.0048330952 | 0.0050321287 | 1.0411813 | 2.0E-4 |
7.7 | 7.4718328E-6 | 8.345374E-6 | 8.345374E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2021748E-5 | 3.576542E-5 | 5.5764704E-5 | 1.5591793 | 2.0E-5 | 3.8979502E-4 | 4.3536103E-4 | 5.0533056E-4 | 1.160716 | 7.0E-5 | 0.00389112 | 0.0043454864 | 0.0044848784 | 1.0320773 | 1.4E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6483033E-7 | 3.6483033E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635576E-6 | 1.1563542E-5 | 7.395661 | 1.0E-5 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9036152E-5 | 2.9035962E-5 | 1.5253062 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9034566E-4 | 2.0034375E-4 | 1.052526 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696958E-9 | 2.6696958E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.14415535E-8 | 1.14415535E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3930091E-7 | 1.3930091E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3930091E-6 | 1.3930091E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0365583E-5 | 1.4036155E-4 | 3.477258 | 1.0E-4 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7298534E-4 | 3.8294902E-4 | 2.2137659 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0021043192 | 0.002852741 | 1.3556598 | 7.5E-4 | 0.018143194 | 0.020869853 | 0.022495208 | 1.0778806 | 0.00166 |
6.1 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0365583E-5 | 1.4036155E-4 | 3.477258 | 1.0E-4 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7298534E-4 | 3.8294902E-4 | 2.2137659 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0018293047 | 0.0021043192 | 0.002852741 | 1.3556598 | 7.5E-4 | 0.018143194 | 0.020869853 | 0.022495208 | 1.0778806 | 0.00166 |
6.2 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1060423E-5 | 5.105979E-5 | 2.4244428 | 3.0E-5 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.0256406E-5 | 1.8024829E-4 | 1.9970691 | 9.0E-5 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010984199 | 0.0015379365 | 1.4001354 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010939993 | 0.011760913 | 1.0750384 | 8.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1060423E-5 | 5.105979E-5 | 2.4244428 | 3.0E-5 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.0256406E-5 | 1.8024829E-4 | 1.9970691 | 9.0E-5 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010984199 | 0.0015379365 | 1.4001354 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010939993 | 0.011760913 | 1.0750384 | 8.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.712201E-5 | 1.9565794E-5 | 4.9565206E-5 | 2.5332582 | 3.0E-5 | 7.337798E-5 | 8.385127E-5 | 1.7384373E-4 | 2.0732388 | 9.0E-5 | 8.930107E-4 | 0.0010205117 | 0.0014600627 | 1.4307163 | 4.4E-4 | 0.008894307 | 0.010168172 | 0.010979834 | 1.0798239 | 8.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.4744935E-5 | 1.683747E-5 | 4.6836965E-5 | 2.7817104 | 3.0E-5 | 6.3191044E-5 | 7.215911E-5 | 1.5215334E-4 | 2.108581 | 8.0E-5 | 7.6907943E-4 | 8.7827665E-4 | 0.0012879166 | 1.4664133 | 4.1E-4 | 0.007664232 | 0.008757253 | 0.009510597 | 1.0860252 | 7.6E-4 |
6.6 | 1.2017839E-5 | 1.3724495E-5 | 3.372422E-5 | 2.4572284 | 2.0E-5 | 5.150401E-5 | 5.8818438E-5 | 1.2881432E-4 | 2.190033 | 7.0E-5 | 6.268809E-4 | 7.159678E-4 | 0.0010657172 | 1.4884988 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0062511545 | 0.0071453047 | 0.007830375 | 1.0958769 | 6.9E-4 |
6.7 | 1.00956095E-5 | 1.1533859E-5 | 3.153363E-5 | 2.734005 | 2.0E-5 | 4.326618E-5 | 4.943038E-5 | 1.0942741E-4 | 2.2137685 | 6.0E-5 | 5.266384E-4 | 6.0173566E-4 | 8.9156115E-4 | 1.4816492 | 2.9E-4 | 0.005253921 | 0.006009591 | 0.006586105 | 1.0959324 | 5.8E-4 |
Nelson Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0192315E-5 | 8.01916E-5 | 7.8678493 | 7.0E-5 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.3680677E-5 | 2.0367368E-4 | 4.662787 | 1.6E-4 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.316928E-4 | 0.0011813472 | 2.2218604 | 6.5E-4 | 0.0051593683 | 0.005305235 | 0.0069365343 | 1.3074887 | 0.00164 |
6.1 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0192315E-5 | 8.01916E-5 | 7.8678493 | 7.0E-5 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.3680677E-5 | 2.0367368E-4 | 4.662787 | 1.6E-4 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.316928E-4 | 0.0011813472 | 2.2218604 | 6.5E-4 | 0.0051593683 | 0.005305235 | 0.0069365343 | 1.3074887 | 0.00164 |
6.2 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.6963423E-6 | 4.4696153E-5 | 9.517226 | 4.0E-5 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0127034E-5 | 9.012563E-5 | 4.4778395 | 7.0E-5 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4502035E-4 | 5.249517E-4 | 2.1424823 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024476282 | 0.0032755965 | 1.3382738 | 8.3E-4 |
6.3 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.6963423E-6 | 4.4696153E-5 | 9.517226 | 4.0E-5 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0127034E-5 | 9.012563E-5 | 4.4778395 | 7.0E-5 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4502035E-4 | 5.249517E-4 | 2.1424823 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0023763329 | 0.0024476282 | 0.0032755965 | 1.3382738 | 8.3E-4 |
6.4 | 3.4025713E-6 | 3.5099204E-6 | 4.350978E-5 | 12.39623 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4582367E-5 | 1.5042434E-5 | 8.504138E-5 | 5.6534324 | 7.0E-5 | 1.7752586E-4 | 1.8312708E-4 | 4.030868E-4 | 2.2011316 | 2.2E-4 | 0.001773841 | 0.0018298447 | 0.0024586918 | 1.3436615 | 6.3E-4 |
6.5 | 2.8352947E-6 | 2.927876E-6 | 3.292779E-5 | 11.246305 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2151207E-5 | 1.2547984E-5 | 7.2547235E-5 | 5.7815847 | 6.0E-5 | 1.479309E-4 | 1.5276174E-4 | 3.4273273E-4 | 2.2435768 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0014783246 | 0.0015266412 | 0.002095771 | 1.3727987 | 5.7E-4 |
6.6 | 2.251518E-6 | 2.3290843E-6 | 3.2329015E-5 | 13.8805685 | 3.0E-5 | 9.649328E-6 | 9.981755E-6 | 6.998116E-5 | 7.0109067 | 6.0E-5 | 1.1747423E-4 | 1.2152172E-4 | 2.815023E-4 | 2.316477 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0011741214 | 0.0012146145 | 0.0016940314 | 1.3947071 | 4.8E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8911853E-6 | 1.9591544E-6 | 3.1959094E-5 | 16.312698 | 3.0E-5 | 8.105055E-6 | 8.396352E-6 | 6.839585E-5 | 8.145901 | 6.0E-5 | 9.867457E-5 | 1.0222138E-4 | 2.4220707E-4 | 2.3694365 | 1.4E-4 | 9.863076E-4 | 0.0010218011 | 0.0014114026 | 1.381289 | 3.9E-4 |
6.8 | 1.4874814E-6 | 1.5438427E-6 | 2.1543812E-5 | 13.954668 | 2.0E-5 | 6.374905E-6 | 6.616455E-6 | 3.6616257E-5 | 5.53412 | 3.0E-5 | 7.76117E-5 | 8.055288E-5 | 1.8054483E-4 | 2.2413206 | 1.0E-4 | 7.75846E-4 | 8.052879E-4 | 0.0010850624 | 1.3474218 | 2.8E-4 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.1399944E-7 | 2.0713986E-5 | 29.011206 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0599958E-6 | 2.3059934E-5 | 7.535937 | 2.0E-5 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.725513E-5 | 9.7252894E-5 | 2.6104565 | 6.0E-5 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7252012E-4 | 5.424568E-4 | 1.4561812 | 1.7E-4 |
Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.396411E-5 | 1.0396147E-4 | 2.3646896 | 6.0E-5 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8840499E-4 | 4.2835978E-4 | 2.2736115 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022915897 | 0.0030897565 | 1.3483026 | 8.0E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022697601 | 0.024192873 | 1.065878 | 0.00153 |
6.1 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.396411E-5 | 1.0396147E-4 | 2.3646896 | 6.0E-5 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8840499E-4 | 4.2835978E-4 | 2.2736115 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022915897 | 0.0030897565 | 1.3483026 | 8.0E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022697601 | 0.024192873 | 1.065878 | 0.00153 |
6.2 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.396411E-5 | 1.0396147E-4 | 2.3646896 | 6.0E-5 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8840499E-4 | 4.2835978E-4 | 2.2736115 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022915897 | 0.0030897565 | 1.3483026 | 8.0E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022697601 | 0.024192873 | 1.065878 | 0.00153 |
6.3 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.5354539E-5 | 3.5354286E-5 | 1.3943967 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.086579E-4 | 2.0864703E-4 | 1.9202197 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010993304 | 0.0013221271 | 0.0016516907 | 1.2492678 | 3.3E-4 | 0.010939079 | 0.0131448265 | 0.013776414 | 1.0480484 | 6.4E-4 |
6.4 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.5354539E-5 | 3.5354286E-5 | 1.3943967 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.086579E-4 | 2.0864703E-4 | 1.9202197 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0010993304 | 0.0013221271 | 0.0016516907 | 1.2492678 | 3.3E-4 | 0.010939079 | 0.0131448265 | 0.013776414 | 1.0480484 | 6.4E-4 |
6.5 | 1.7397282E-5 | 2.06634E-5 | 3.0663192E-5 | 1.4839375 | 1.0E-5 | 7.455765E-5 | 8.855449E-5 | 1.4854918E-4 | 1.6774889 | 6.0E-5 | 9.073613E-4 | 0.0010776294 | 0.0012973923 | 1.2039318 | 2.2E-4 | 0.009036654 | 0.010725332 | 0.0111902915 | 1.0433515 | 4.7E-4 |
6.6 | 1.52050325E-5 | 1.7680184E-5 | 2.7680006E-5 | 1.565595 | 1.0E-5 | 6.51628E-5 | 7.5770055E-5 | 1.2576627E-4 | 1.6598413 | 5.0E-5 | 7.9306826E-4 | 9.221179E-4 | 0.0011119427 | 1.2058574 | 1.9E-4 | 0.007902439 | 0.009183779 | 0.009590014 | 1.0442339 | 4.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.332523E-5 | 1.5264462E-5 | 1.5264462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7106878E-5 | 6.541752E-5 | 8.5416206E-5 | 1.3057085 | 2.0E-5 | 6.950544E-4 | 7.9617306E-4 | 9.4605365E-4 | 1.1882513 | 1.5E-4 | 0.006928845 | 0.007933837 | 0.008300901 | 1.0462657 | 3.7E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1525329E-5 | 1.3031433E-5 | 1.3031433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9393333E-5 | 5.5847824E-5 | 6.584726E-5 | 1.1790481 | 1.0E-5 | 6.011979E-4 | 6.797394E-4 | 7.9965784E-4 | 1.1764183 | 1.2E-4 | 0.00599574 | 0.006777054 | 0.007084953 | 1.0454326 | 3.1E-4 |
6.9 | 1.0253909E-5 | 1.1514891E-5 | 1.1514891E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3944583E-5 | 4.9348622E-5 | 4.9348622E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3489394E-4 | 6.006575E-4 | 6.906034E-4 | 1.1497458 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0053360825 | 0.005990719 | 0.0062392214 | 1.0414813 | 2.5E-4 |
7.0 | 8.104563E-6 | 8.991471E-6 | 8.991471E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4733377E-5 | 3.853432E-5 | 3.853432E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2279682E-4 | 4.6905674E-4 | 5.390239E-4 | 1.1491656 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0042199334 | 0.0046809153 | 0.004870026 | 1.0404004 | 1.9E-4 |
7.1 | 6.7986157E-6 | 7.5160096E-6 | 7.5160096E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.91366E-5 | 3.2211086E-5 | 3.2211086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5468035E-4 | 3.9210153E-4 | 4.4208192E-4 | 1.127468 | 5.0E-5 | 0.003541148 | 0.0039143134 | 0.0040438045 | 1.0330814 | 1.3E-4 |
7.2 | 5.6893327E-6 | 6.2801537E-6 | 6.2801537E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4382627E-5 | 2.6914677E-5 | 2.6914677E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9681803E-4 | 3.276389E-4 | 3.6762582E-4 | 1.1220456 | 4.0E-5 | 0.002964219 | 0.0032717574 | 0.00337143 | 1.0304646 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 4.253348E-6 | 4.7070866E-6 | 4.7070866E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8228506E-5 | 2.0173082E-5 | 2.0173082E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2190946E-4 | 2.455814E-4 | 2.655765E-4 | 1.0814193 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00221688 | 0.0024532813 | 0.0025231095 | 1.0284632 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.5448119E-6 | 2.8520626E-6 | 2.8520626E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0906291E-5 | 1.2223078E-5 | 1.2223078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3277601E-4 | 1.4880746E-4 | 1.5880597E-4 | 1.0671909 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001326967 | 0.0014872403 | 0.001537166 | 1.0335693 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.3706837E-8 | 4.562951E-8 | 4.562951E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8731501E-7 | 1.9555503E-7 | 1.9555503E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805577E-6 | 2.3808805E-6 | 2.3808805E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805343E-5 | 2.3808605E-5 | 2.3808605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Towne Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894554E-6 | 9.38942E-5 | 24.1091 | 9.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690865E-5 | 2.3668719E-4 | 14.180643 | 2.2E-4 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.031967E-4 | 0.001043026 | 5.1330853 | 8.4E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305382 | 0.003567411 | 1.7568796 | 0.00154 |
6.1 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894554E-6 | 9.38942E-5 | 24.1091 | 9.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690865E-5 | 2.3668719E-4 | 14.180643 | 2.2E-4 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.031967E-4 | 0.001043026 | 5.1330853 | 8.4E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305382 | 0.003567411 | 1.7568796 | 0.00154 |
6.2 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894554E-6 | 9.38942E-5 | 24.1091 | 9.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690865E-5 | 2.3668719E-4 | 14.180643 | 2.2E-4 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.031967E-4 | 0.001043026 | 5.1330853 | 8.4E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305382 | 0.003567411 | 1.7568796 | 0.00154 |
6.3 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894554E-6 | 9.38942E-5 | 24.1091 | 9.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690865E-5 | 2.3668719E-4 | 14.180643 | 2.2E-4 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.031967E-4 | 0.001043026 | 5.1330853 | 8.4E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305382 | 0.003567411 | 1.7568796 | 0.00154 |
6.4 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.894554E-6 | 9.38942E-5 | 24.1091 | 9.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690865E-5 | 2.3668719E-4 | 14.180643 | 2.2E-4 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.031967E-4 | 0.001043026 | 5.1330853 | 8.4E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.0020305382 | 0.003567411 | 1.7568796 | 0.00154 |
6.5 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2030571E-6 | 1.1203045E-5 | 9.312147 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.1559496E-6 | 3.5155794E-5 | 6.818491 | 3.0E-5 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.2772E-5 | 1.8276446E-4 | 2.9115605 | 1.2E-4 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.275544E-4 | 8.074414E-4 | 1.2866477 | 1.8E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2030571E-6 | 1.1203045E-5 | 9.312147 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.1559496E-6 | 3.5155794E-5 | 6.818491 | 3.0E-5 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.2772E-5 | 1.8276446E-4 | 2.9115605 | 1.2E-4 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.275544E-4 | 8.074414E-4 | 1.2866477 | 1.8E-4 |
6.7 | 8.375951E-7 | 8.4107126E-7 | 8.4107126E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5896885E-6 | 3.6045865E-6 | 2.3604514E-5 | 6.5484667 | 2.0E-5 | 4.370358E-5 | 4.3885015E-5 | 1.3388107E-4 | 3.050724 | 9.0E-5 | 4.3694986E-4 | 4.3876917E-4 | 5.287297E-4 | 1.2050292 | 9.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.38041E-7 | 6.3921937E-7 | 6.3921937E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7344586E-6 | 2.7395088E-6 | 2.7395088E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3291526E-5 | 3.3353048E-5 | 8.3351384E-5 | 2.4990633 | 5.0E-5 | 3.3286537E-4 | 3.3348423E-4 | 3.8346756E-4 | 1.1498821 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.3460053E-7 | 5.3453675E-7 | 5.3453675E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2911431E-6 | 2.29087E-6 | 2.29087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.789431E-5 | 2.789102E-5 | 7.788962E-5 | 2.7926416 | 5.0E-5 | 2.789081E-4 | 2.7887852E-4 | 3.2886455E-4 | 1.1792395 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.557783E-7 | 3.5324518E-7 | 3.5324518E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5247632E-6 | 1.5139071E-6 | 1.5139071E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8563835E-5 | 1.8431672E-5 | 3.8431303E-5 | 2.0850687 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8562283E-4 | 1.8430228E-4 | 2.0429859E-4 | 1.1084974 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.037942E-7 | 3.0002485E-7 | 3.0002485E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3019744E-6 | 1.2858202E-6 | 1.2858202E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5851423E-5 | 1.5654756E-5 | 3.5654444E-5 | 2.2775471 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5850292E-4 | 1.5653728E-4 | 1.7653414E-4 | 1.1277452 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0808248E-7 | 2.0217901E-7 | 2.0217901E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.917818E-7 | 8.6648123E-7 | 8.6648123E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0857389E-5 | 1.0549363E-5 | 3.0549152E-5 | 2.8958292 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0856859E-4 | 1.0548908E-4 | 1.2548697E-4 | 1.189573 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.1162073E-7 | 1.0636967E-7 | 1.0636967E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7837443E-7 | 4.5586995E-7 | 4.5586995E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8241935E-6 | 5.5502046E-6 | 1.555015E-5 | 2.8017254 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8240406E-5 | 5.550086E-5 | 6.55003E-5 | 1.1801674 | 1.0E-5 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.16197E-4 | 4.0616855E-4 | 1.2845427 | 9.0E-5 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013544322 | 0.0015541613 | 1.1474633 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016367028 | 0.016957207 | 1.036059 | 6.0E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.15028419 | 0.15134633 | 1.0070676 | 0.00125 |
6.1 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.16197E-4 | 4.0616855E-4 | 1.2845427 | 9.0E-5 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013544322 | 0.0015541613 | 1.1474633 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016367028 | 0.016957207 | 1.036059 | 6.0E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.15028419 | 0.15134633 | 1.0070676 | 0.00125 |
6.2 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.16197E-4 | 4.0616855E-4 | 1.2845427 | 9.0E-5 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013544322 | 0.0015541613 | 1.1474633 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016367028 | 0.016957207 | 1.036059 | 6.0E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.15028419 | 0.15134633 | 1.0070676 | 0.00125 |
6.3 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.0524476E-4 | 3.952173E-4 | 1.2947553 | 9.0E-5 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0013075416 | 0.0015072802 | 1.1527588 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0071393442 | 0.015804522 | 0.016395038 | 1.0373638 | 6.0E-4 | 0.06914291 | 0.14559545 | 0.1466549 | 1.0072768 | 0.00124 |
6.4 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.0524476E-4 | 3.952173E-4 | 1.2947553 | 9.0E-5 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0013075416 | 0.0015072802 | 1.1527588 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0071393442 | 0.015804522 | 0.016395038 | 1.0373638 | 6.0E-4 | 0.06914291 | 0.14559545 | 0.1466549 | 1.0072768 | 0.00124 |
6.5 | 1.2942807E-4 | 2.8938905E-4 | 3.79363E-4 | 1.31091 | 9.0E-5 | 5.545738E-4 | 0.0012396544 | 0.0014394064 | 1.1611353 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0067310524 | 0.014989593 | 0.0155707495 | 1.0387707 | 5.9E-4 | 0.06530788 | 0.13872033 | 0.13977972 | 1.0076368 | 0.00123 |
6.6 | 1.1125901E-4 | 2.5377324E-4 | 3.437504E-4 | 1.3545573 | 9.0E-5 | 4.767372E-4 | 0.0010871487 | 0.0012869312 | 1.1837674 | 2.0E-4 | 0.005788839 | 0.0131563395 | 0.013728709 | 1.0435052 | 5.8E-4 | 0.056403454 | 0.12301532 | 0.12406771 | 1.0085549 | 0.0012 |
6.7 | 1.02209575E-4 | 2.3512145E-4 | 3.251003E-4 | 1.3826909 | 9.0E-5 | 4.3796748E-4 | 0.0010072757 | 0.0011970842 | 1.1884376 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0053192247 | 0.012195045 | 0.012748215 | 1.0453603 | 5.6E-4 | 0.051936906 | 0.11483614 | 0.11588064 | 1.0090955 | 0.00118 |
6.8 | 9.610582E-5 | 2.203765E-4 | 3.1035667E-4 | 1.408302 | 9.0E-5 | 4.1181705E-4 | 9.441296E-4 | 0.0011339502 | 1.2010536 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0050023515 | 0.01143446 | 0.011988057 | 1.0484147 | 5.6E-4 | 0.048912346 | 0.10824702 | 0.10928146 | 1.0095562 | 0.00116 |
6.9 | 9.3877505E-5 | 2.1493137E-4 | 3.04912E-4 | 1.4186484 | 9.0E-5 | 4.0227012E-4 | 9.208099E-4 | 0.001110635 | 1.20615 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0048866454 | 0.011153479 | 0.011707233 | 1.0496485 | 5.6E-4 | 0.04780577 | 0.10583511 | 0.106872335 | 1.0098004 | 0.00116 |
7.0 | 9.1019785E-5 | 2.0819943E-4 | 2.981807E-4 | 1.4321878 | 9.0E-5 | 3.900265E-4 | 8.9197874E-4 | 0.0010818093 | 1.2128196 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0047382377 | 0.0108059915 | 0.011359939 | 1.0512631 | 5.6E-4 | 0.046384744 | 0.10280379 | 0.10383556 | 1.0100363 | 0.00115 |
7.1 | 8.771155E-5 | 1.9994412E-4 | 2.8992613E-4 | 1.4500358 | 9.0E-5 | 3.758525E-4 | 8.566225E-4 | 0.0010464598 | 1.2216114 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0045664064 | 0.010379703 | 0.01093389 | 1.0533915 | 5.6E-4 | 0.044737056 | 0.09911402 | 0.10015004 | 1.0104527 | 0.00115 |
7.2 | 8.0830236E-5 | 1.8399916E-4 | 2.7398262E-4 | 1.4890426 | 9.0E-5 | 3.4636928E-4 | 7.883297E-4 | 9.7818E-4 | 1.2408259 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0042088944 | 0.009555782 | 0.010100527 | 1.0570067 | 5.5E-4 | 0.041300658 | 0.09183672 | 0.09286295 | 1.0111744 | 0.00113 |
7.3 | 7.7668235E-5 | 1.7343147E-4 | 2.6341586E-4 | 1.518847 | 9.0E-5 | 3.328214E-4 | 7.4306614E-4 | 9.329249E-4 | 1.2555073 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0040445733 | 0.009009383 | 0.009554427 | 1.0604975 | 5.5E-4 | 0.03971748 | 0.08711372 | 0.088127024 | 1.011632 | 0.00111 |
7.4 | 7.520177E-5 | 1.6563086E-4 | 2.5561595E-4 | 1.543287 | 9.0E-5 | 3.2225347E-4 | 7.096535E-4 | 8.8952575E-4 | 1.2534649 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0039163795 | 0.00860587 | 0.009141223 | 1.0622078 | 5.4E-4 | 0.038480744 | 0.08356969 | 0.08455943 | 1.0118433 | 0.00108 |
7.5 | 7.274697E-5 | 1.5850589E-4 | 2.4849162E-4 | 1.5677123 | 9.0E-5 | 3.1173544E-4 | 6.7913416E-4 | 8.590119E-4 | 1.2648634 | 1.8E-4 | 0.003788775 | 0.008237168 | 0.00877272 | 1.0650165 | 5.4E-4 | 0.03724827 | 0.080286086 | 0.081279375 | 1.0123719 | 0.00108 |
7.6 | 7.1185845E-5 | 1.5420346E-4 | 2.4418958E-4 | 1.5835545 | 9.0E-5 | 3.0504653E-4 | 6.607046E-4 | 8.4058574E-4 | 1.2722564 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0037076178 | 0.008014462 | 0.0085501345 | 1.0668381 | 5.4E-4 | 0.036463667 | 0.0782756 | 0.07926185 | 1.0125997 | 0.00107 |
7.7 | 6.709961E-5 | 1.4328933E-4 | 2.3327644E-4 | 1.6280098 | 9.0E-5 | 2.8753807E-4 | 6.1395264E-4 | 7.9384213E-4 | 1.2930022 | 1.8E-4 | 0.003495157 | 0.007449293 | 0.007985271 | 1.0719501 | 5.4E-4 | 0.034406938 | 0.07310234 | 0.074094124 | 1.013567 | 0.00107 |
7.8 | 6.300812E-5 | 1.321242E-4 | 2.2211231E-4 | 1.6810873 | 9.0E-5 | 2.7000686E-4 | 5.6612375E-4 | 7.460218E-4 | 1.3177717 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0032823787 | 0.0068708025 | 0.007397161 | 1.0766081 | 5.3E-4 | 0.032343175 | 0.06775937 | 0.06873823 | 1.014446 | 0.00105 |
7.9 | 4.983037E-5 | 9.7312826E-5 | 1.6730602E-4 | 1.7192596 | 7.0E-5 | 2.1354125E-4 | 4.1698833E-4 | 5.5692997E-4 | 1.3356009 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0025967648 | 0.0050650253 | 0.0054729483 | 1.0805373 | 4.1E-4 | 0.025666296 | 0.05068492 | 0.05146336 | 1.0153583 | 8.2E-4 |
8.0 | 3.2211527E-5 | 5.3348827E-5 | 7.334776E-5 | 1.3748711 | 2.0E-5 | 1.380421E-4 | 2.2861779E-4 | 2.6860865E-4 | 1.1749245 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016793669 | 0.0027798708 | 0.0029294537 | 1.0538093 | 1.5E-4 | 0.016667323 | 0.02838289 | 0.028645227 | 1.0092428 | 2.7E-4 |
8.1 | 1.743376E-5 | 1.8843095E-5 | 1.8843095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.471398E-5 | 8.075363E-5 | 8.075363E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0926304E-4 | 9.827326E-4 | 9.827326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009055517 | 0.010494037 | 0.010513826 | 1.0018859 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 7.831616E-6 | 5.1613015E-6 | 5.1613015E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3563636E-5 | 2.2119677E-5 | 2.2119677E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0856065E-4 | 2.6927388E-4 | 2.6927388E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004078103 | 0.003045248 | 0.003045248 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.669667E-7 | 7.669667E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2869962E-6 | 3.2869962E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0018458E-5 | 4.0018458E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7252612E-4 | 4.7252612E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bicycle Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.209766E-5 | 5.2096995E-5 | 2.35758 | 3.0E-5 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.470158E-5 | 2.1469021E-4 | 2.2670183 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011525168 | 0.0015620443 | 1.3553332 | 4.1E-4 | 0.01018633 | 0.011478709 | 0.012338722 | 1.0749224 | 8.7E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.209766E-5 | 5.2096995E-5 | 2.35758 | 3.0E-5 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.470158E-5 | 2.1469021E-4 | 2.2670183 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011525168 | 0.0015620443 | 1.3553332 | 4.1E-4 | 0.01018633 | 0.011478709 | 0.012338722 | 1.0749224 | 8.7E-4 |
6.2 | 9.9971285E-6 | 1.1255935E-5 | 4.1255596E-5 | 3.6652305 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2844134E-5 | 4.8239122E-5 | 1.3823478E-4 | 2.8656156 | 9.0E-5 | 5.2150246E-4 | 5.8720505E-4 | 8.570465E-4 | 1.4595352 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0052028033 | 0.00586164 | 0.0063686506 | 1.0864964 | 5.1E-4 |
6.3 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.079863E-5 | 4.0798306E-5 | 3.7781003 | 3.0E-5 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.6279314E-5 | 1.3627515E-4 | 2.9446235 | 9.0E-5 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.6335685E-4 | 8.332048E-4 | 1.479 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0049911533 | 0.005624377 | 0.006131509 | 1.0901667 | 5.1E-4 |
6.4 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.079863E-5 | 4.0798306E-5 | 3.7781003 | 3.0E-5 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.6279314E-5 | 1.3627515E-4 | 2.9446235 | 9.0E-5 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.6335685E-4 | 8.332048E-4 | 1.479 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0049911533 | 0.005624377 | 0.006131509 | 1.0901667 | 5.1E-4 |
6.5 | 5.557707E-6 | 6.285773E-6 | 2.6285647E-5 | 4.1817684 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3818526E-5 | 2.69389E-5 | 7.6937555E-5 | 2.8560019 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8995197E-4 | 3.2795864E-4 | 5.378898E-4 | 1.6401147 | 2.1E-4 | 0.0028957394 | 0.0032773828 | 0.003636203 | 1.1094837 | 3.6E-4 |
6.6 | 4.8742945E-6 | 5.5134406E-6 | 1.5513386E-5 | 2.8137395 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0889667E-5 | 2.3628963E-5 | 6.362802E-5 | 2.6927977 | 4.0E-5 | 2.54302E-4 | 2.8767085E-4 | 4.6761907E-4 | 1.6255351 | 1.8E-4 | 0.002540112 | 0.0028755537 | 0.0032046048 | 1.1144305 | 3.3E-4 |
6.7 | 3.991108E-6 | 4.516034E-6 | 1.4515989E-5 | 3.2143223 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7104636E-5 | 1.9354431E-5 | 5.9353657E-5 | 3.0666702 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0822904E-4 | 2.3564021E-4 | 3.9560252E-4 | 1.6788412 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0020803404 | 0.002356402 | 0.0026457186 | 1.122779 | 2.9E-4 |
Paradise
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6695023E-5 | 1.6695023E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.154827E-5 | 1.6154183E-4 | 2.257802 | 9.0E-5 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.7077566E-4 | 0.0012204709 | 1.4015905 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008676016 | 0.009568208 | 1.1028342 | 9.0E-4 |
6.1 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6695023E-5 | 1.6695023E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.154827E-5 | 1.6154183E-4 | 2.257802 | 9.0E-5 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.7077566E-4 | 0.0012204709 | 1.4015905 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008676016 | 0.009568208 | 1.1028342 | 9.0E-4 |
6.2 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6695023E-5 | 1.6695023E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.154827E-5 | 1.6154183E-4 | 2.257802 | 9.0E-5 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.7077566E-4 | 0.0012204709 | 1.4015905 | 3.5E-4 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008676016 | 0.009568208 | 1.1028342 | 9.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.1888866E-5 | 1.1888866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.095132E-5 | 8.094979E-5 | 1.5887673 | 3.0E-5 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.201617E-4 | 7.7006867E-4 | 1.2417225 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0054258266 | 0.006184919 | 0.0065923827 | 1.0658803 | 4.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.1888866E-5 | 1.1888866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.095132E-5 | 8.094979E-5 | 1.5887673 | 3.0E-5 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.201617E-4 | 7.7006867E-4 | 1.2417225 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0054258266 | 0.006184919 | 0.0065923827 | 1.0658803 | 4.1E-4 |
6.5 | 9.25027E-6 | 1.0620184E-5 | 1.0620184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.964341E-5 | 4.551431E-5 | 6.55134E-5 | 1.4394022 | 2.0E-5 | 4.8255164E-4 | 5.540007E-4 | 6.339564E-4 | 1.1443242 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0048150513 | 0.005526696 | 0.005765369 | 1.0431856 | 2.4E-4 |
6.6 | 7.904275E-6 | 9.159723E-6 | 9.159723E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3875025E-5 | 3.925539E-5 | 3.925539E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1235037E-4 | 4.7783347E-4 | 5.078191E-4 | 1.0627533 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0041158604 | 0.0047684573 | 0.0049077896 | 1.0292196 | 1.4E-4 |
6.7 | 7.2061953E-6 | 8.4074345E-6 | 8.4074345E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.088333E-5 | 3.6031386E-5 | 3.6031386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7593965E-4 | 4.385975E-4 | 4.6858433E-4 | 1.0683699 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003753043 | 0.004377688 | 0.00447725 | 1.0227431 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 6.6948724E-6 | 7.842343E-6 | 7.842343E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8691995E-5 | 3.3609627E-5 | 3.3609627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4926904E-4 | 4.0912395E-4 | 4.1911987E-4 | 1.0244324 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003487206 | 0.004084065 | 0.00414382 | 1.0146313 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.0421025E-6 | 7.130787E-6 | 7.130787E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5894467E-5 | 3.0560175E-5 | 3.0560175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1521954E-4 | 3.7201002E-4 | 3.8200628E-4 | 1.026871 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031477278 | 0.0037142108 | 0.0037640252 | 1.0134118 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.134091E-6 | 5.0804456E-6 | 5.0804456E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7717413E-5 | 2.1773165E-5 | 2.1773165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1568815E-4 | 2.6505758E-4 | 2.6505758E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021547892 | 0.0026475675 | 0.002677488 | 1.0113012 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.7674888E-6 | 4.631993E-6 | 4.631993E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6146281E-5 | 1.9851255E-5 | 1.9851255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9656324E-4 | 2.4166374E-4 | 2.4166374E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019638946 | 0.0024141602 | 0.0024440878 | 1.0123967 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.4065345E-6 | 4.156833E-6 | 4.156833E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4599351E-5 | 1.7814886E-5 | 1.7814886E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.777326E-4 | 2.1687614E-4 | 2.1687614E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017759053 | 0.002166793 | 0.0021867498 | 1.0092102 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.9934936E-6 | 3.6294084E-6 | 3.6294084E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2829195E-5 | 1.5554524E-5 | 1.5554524E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5618425E-4 | 1.8936134E-4 | 1.8936134E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015607453 | 0.0018921453 | 0.0019021264 | 1.005275 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.4049796E-6 | 2.8890515E-6 | 2.8890515E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0307015E-5 | 1.2381599E-5 | 1.2381599E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2548068E-4 | 1.5073697E-4 | 1.5073697E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012540985 | 0.0015064888 | 0.0015164737 | 1.0066279 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2710091E-6 | 1.5134999E-6 | 1.5134999E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.44717E-6 | 6.486419E-6 | 6.486419E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.631728E-5 | 7.8970545E-5 | 7.8970545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6297496E-4 | 7.895474E-4 | 7.995395E-4 | 1.0126555 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.001248E-4 | 3.5010983E-4 | 1.1665473 | 5.0E-5 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012856413 | 0.0013855128 | 1.0776821 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.0155453 | 0.01587017 | 1.0208982 | 3.3E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.142925 | 0.14358494 | 1.0046175 | 7.7E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.001248E-4 | 3.5010983E-4 | 1.1665473 | 5.0E-5 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012856413 | 0.0013855128 | 1.0776821 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.0155453 | 0.01587017 | 1.0208982 | 3.3E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.142925 | 0.14358494 | 1.0046175 | 7.7E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.001248E-4 | 3.5010983E-4 | 1.1665473 | 5.0E-5 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012856413 | 0.0013855128 | 1.0776821 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006416472 | 0.0155453 | 0.01587017 | 1.0208982 | 3.3E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.142925 | 0.14358494 | 1.0046175 | 7.7E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.8800732E-4 | 3.379929E-4 | 1.1735567 | 5.0E-5 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012337589 | 0.0013336355 | 1.0809531 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006093008 | 0.014922403 | 0.015247478 | 1.0217844 | 3.3E-4 | 0.059286322 | 0.13763984 | 0.13829523 | 1.0047617 | 7.6E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.8800732E-4 | 3.379929E-4 | 1.1735567 | 5.0E-5 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.0012337589 | 0.0013336355 | 1.0809531 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006093008 | 0.014922403 | 0.015247478 | 1.0217844 | 3.3E-4 | 0.059286322 | 0.13763984 | 0.13829523 | 1.0047617 | 7.6E-4 |
6.5 | 1.0689076E-4 | 2.681342E-4 | 3.181208E-4 | 1.1864238 | 5.0E-5 | 4.5802278E-4 | 0.0011486653 | 0.0012485504 | 1.0869576 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0055621783 | 0.013899941 | 0.014215493 | 1.0227017 | 3.2E-4 | 0.05425003 | 0.12887225 | 0.12950817 | 1.0049345 | 7.3E-4 |
6.6 | 9.7648895E-5 | 2.5057935E-4 | 3.0056684E-4 | 1.1994876 | 5.0E-5 | 4.1842813E-4 | 0.0010734932 | 0.0011733858 | 1.0930538 | 1.0E-4 | 0.005082469 | 0.012995821 | 0.013291922 | 1.0227844 | 3.0E-4 | 0.049677886 | 0.12102681 | 0.12164208 | 1.0050838 | 7.0E-4 |
6.7 | 8.757013E-5 | 2.312849E-4 | 2.8127333E-4 | 1.2161336 | 5.0E-5 | 3.7524657E-4 | 9.908668E-4 | 0.0010907677 | 1.1008217 | 1.0E-4 | 0.00455906 | 0.012001158 | 0.012297558 | 1.0246975 | 3.0E-4 | 0.04466656 | 0.112381265 | 0.112993725 | 1.0054498 | 6.9E-4 |
6.8 | 8.562978E-5 | 2.2688367E-4 | 2.7687234E-4 | 1.2203273 | 5.0E-5 | 3.6693315E-4 | 9.7201846E-4 | 0.0010719213 | 1.1027787 | 1.0E-4 | 0.004458263 | 0.011774176 | 0.012070644 | 1.0251795 | 3.0E-4 | 0.043698758 | 0.11038699 | 0.11100082 | 1.0055608 | 6.9E-4 |
6.9 | 6.124075E-5 | 1.7073192E-4 | 2.2072338E-4 | 1.2928067 | 5.0E-5 | 2.6243398E-4 | 7.315039E-4 | 8.314307E-4 | 1.1366047 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0031904527 | 0.0088698985 | 0.009137504 | 1.0301701 | 2.7E-4 | 0.031450346 | 0.08420808 | 0.08478503 | 1.0068514 | 6.3E-4 |
7.0 | 5.8598747E-5 | 1.6502102E-4 | 2.1501277E-4 | 1.3029417 | 5.0E-5 | 2.5111332E-4 | 7.0704205E-4 | 8.0697134E-4 | 1.1413343 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0030530186 | 0.008574456 | 0.00884214 | 1.0312189 | 2.7E-4 | 0.03011414 | 0.081529126 | 0.08210776 | 1.0070972 | 6.3E-4 |
7.1 | 5.613814E-5 | 1.5920574E-4 | 2.0919778E-4 | 1.3140091 | 5.0E-5 | 2.4056983E-4 | 6.8213267E-4 | 7.8206445E-4 | 1.146499 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0029250039 | 0.008273521 | 0.008541288 | 1.0323642 | 2.7E-4 | 0.028868021 | 0.07882846 | 0.0794088 | 1.007362 | 6.3E-4 |
7.2 | 4.991222E-5 | 1.4526982E-4 | 1.9526256E-4 | 1.3441371 | 5.0E-5 | 2.1389198E-4 | 6.224368E-4 | 7.2237453E-4 | 1.1605589 | 1.0E-4 | 0.002601025 | 0.0075519397 | 0.0078199 | 1.0354824 | 2.7E-4 | 0.025707912 | 0.0722754 | 0.07285987 | 1.0080867 | 6.3E-4 |
7.3 | 4.7410045E-5 | 1.3720978E-4 | 1.8720291E-4 | 1.3643556 | 5.0E-5 | 2.0317009E-4 | 5.879097E-4 | 6.8785093E-4 | 1.1699941 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0024707897 | 0.0071343947 | 0.0074024685 | 1.0375749 | 2.7E-4 | 0.024434982 | 0.068566486 | 0.06914398 | 1.0084224 | 6.2E-4 |
7.4 | 4.5556746E-5 | 1.3128766E-4 | 1.812811E-4 | 1.3807931 | 5.0E-5 | 1.952286E-4 | 5.625404E-4 | 6.524897E-4 | 1.1598985 | 9.0E-5 | 0.002374317 | 0.0068274997 | 0.0070857247 | 1.0378213 | 2.6E-4 | 0.023491086 | 0.06581872 | 0.06637923 | 1.008516 | 6.0E-4 |
7.5 | 4.3084514E-5 | 1.2363958E-4 | 1.736334E-4 | 1.4043512 | 5.0E-5 | 1.8463485E-4 | 5.297766E-4 | 6.1972893E-4 | 1.1697929 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0022456115 | 0.0064310264 | 0.0066893543 | 1.040169 | 2.6E-4 | 0.022230545 | 0.062218785 | 0.06278145 | 1.0090433 | 6.0E-4 |
7.6 | 3.408608E-5 | 9.841626E-5 | 1.4841135E-4 | 1.5079961 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4607502E-4 | 4.217159E-4 | 5.1167794E-4 | 1.2133238 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0017770125 | 0.0051223296 | 0.0053809974 | 1.0504981 | 2.6E-4 | 0.017628696 | 0.05004799 | 0.050608464 | 1.0111986 | 5.9E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8315713E-5 | 8.254382E-5 | 1.3253969E-4 | 1.6056889 | 5.0E-5 | 1.2134742E-4 | 3.5371128E-4 | 4.4367946E-4 | 1.2543548 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0014764034 | 0.0042979405 | 0.004556823 | 1.0602341 | 2.6E-4 | 0.01466633 | 0.04229767 | 0.042862713 | 1.0133587 | 5.9E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6222975E-5 | 7.468392E-5 | 1.2468018E-4 | 1.6694381 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1237934E-4 | 3.2003468E-4 | 4.100059E-4 | 1.2811295 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0013673597 | 0.003889467 | 0.004148456 | 1.0665872 | 2.6E-4 | 0.013589768 | 0.038461454 | 0.039019145 | 1.0145 | 5.8E-4 |
7.9 | 2.1469694E-5 | 5.7922338E-5 | 9.792002E-5 | 1.6905398 | 4.0E-5 | 9.200973E-5 | 2.48215E-4 | 3.1819762E-4 | 1.2819436 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0011196428 | 0.0030178328 | 0.0032371688 | 1.07268 | 2.2E-4 | 0.011140184 | 0.030171743 | 0.03064696 | 1.0157504 | 4.9E-4 |
8.0 | 1.2420249E-5 | 3.1343006E-5 | 4.1342693E-5 | 1.3190404 | 1.0E-5 | 5.322855E-5 | 1.3432026E-4 | 1.5431757E-4 | 1.1488779 | 2.0E-5 | 6.478649E-4 | 0.0016341235 | 0.0017239765 | 1.0549854 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0064597935 | 0.01653361 | 0.016700799 | 1.010112 | 1.7E-4 |
8.1 | 4.9197724E-6 | 7.830242E-6 | 7.830242E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1084568E-5 | 3.355775E-5 | 3.355775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.566744E-4 | 4.084891E-4 | 4.084891E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002563781 | 0.0043884562 | 0.0043884562 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.5634774E-6 | 2.9101366E-6 | 2.9101366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0986286E-5 | 1.24719545E-5 | 1.24719545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3374983E-4 | 1.5183551E-4 | 1.5183551E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013366934 | 0.0017068409 | 0.0017068409 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.2850464E-7 | 3.2128938E-7 | 3.2128938E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2650179E-6 | 1.3769538E-6 | 1.3769538E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7576245E-5 | 1.6764297E-5 | 1.6764297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7572823E-4 | 1.9891401E-4 | 1.9891401E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8670728E-5 | 2.867054E-5 | 1.5355878 | 1.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.0014994E-5 | 1.3001099E-4 | 1.6248329 | 5.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.7375474E-4 | 0.0012734627 | 1.3077857 | 3.0E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695734 | 0.010319625 | 1.064347 | 6.3E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8670728E-5 | 2.867054E-5 | 1.5355878 | 1.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.0014994E-5 | 1.3001099E-4 | 1.6248329 | 5.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.7375474E-4 | 0.0012734627 | 1.3077857 | 3.0E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695734 | 0.010319625 | 1.064347 | 6.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8670728E-5 | 2.867054E-5 | 1.5355878 | 1.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.0014994E-5 | 1.3001099E-4 | 1.6248329 | 5.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.7375474E-4 | 0.0012734627 | 1.3077857 | 3.0E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695734 | 0.010319625 | 1.064347 | 6.3E-4 |
6.3 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8670728E-5 | 2.867054E-5 | 1.5355878 | 1.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.0014994E-5 | 1.3001099E-4 | 1.6248329 | 5.0E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.7375474E-4 | 0.0012734627 | 1.3077857 | 3.0E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695734 | 0.010319625 | 1.064347 | 6.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.733864E-5 | 1.733864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.430637E-5 | 1.14303395E-4 | 1.5382719 | 4.0E-5 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.0431067E-4 | 0.0011740666 | 1.2982999 | 2.7E-4 | 0.008063202 | 0.009006993 | 0.009591679 | 1.0649147 | 5.9E-4 |
6.5 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.733864E-5 | 1.733864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.430637E-5 | 1.14303395E-4 | 1.5382719 | 4.0E-5 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.0431067E-4 | 0.0011740666 | 1.2982999 | 2.7E-4 | 0.008063202 | 0.009006993 | 0.009591679 | 1.0649147 | 5.9E-4 |
6.6 | 1.5041828E-5 | 1.6809558E-5 | 1.6809558E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4463384E-5 | 7.2039E-5 | 1.0203684E-4 | 1.416411 | 3.0E-5 | 7.8455906E-4 | 8.7672786E-4 | 0.0011265087 | 1.2849013 | 2.5E-4 | 0.00781795 | 0.008733346 | 0.00926863 | 1.0612919 | 5.4E-4 |
6.7 | 1.4634985E-5 | 1.6356418E-5 | 1.6356418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.271985E-5 | 7.0097085E-5 | 1.00094985E-4 | 1.4279479 | 3.0E-5 | 7.6334673E-4 | 8.5310364E-4 | 0.0010829074 | 1.2693738 | 2.3E-4 | 0.007607299 | 0.008498924 | 0.008994674 | 1.058331 | 5.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.4209158E-5 | 1.5882439E-5 | 1.5882439E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.089497E-5 | 6.806585E-5 | 9.806381E-5 | 1.4407196 | 3.0E-5 | 7.4114406E-4 | 8.283923E-4 | 0.00104821 | 1.2653546 | 2.2E-4 | 0.007386771 | 0.008253658 | 0.00868011 | 1.0516682 | 4.3E-4 |
6.9 | 1.3780098E-5 | 1.5404972E-5 | 1.5404972E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9056227E-5 | 6.6019675E-5 | 9.601769E-5 | 1.45438 | 3.0E-5 | 7.1877235E-4 | 8.0349855E-4 | 0.0010033378 | 1.2487115 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0071645193 | 0.008006529 | 0.008403326 | 1.0495592 | 4.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.3585064E-5 | 1.518853E-5 | 1.518853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8220405E-5 | 6.509211E-5 | 8.50908E-5 | 1.3072369 | 2.0E-5 | 7.086029E-4 | 7.922137E-4 | 9.7207114E-4 | 1.2270315 | 1.8E-4 | 0.007063476 | 0.007894488 | 0.008251646 | 1.0452415 | 3.6E-4 |
7.1 | 1.3398601E-5 | 1.498171E-5 | 1.498171E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.742131E-5 | 6.420578E-5 | 8.420449E-5 | 1.3114785 | 2.0E-5 | 6.9888023E-4 | 7.8143046E-4 | 9.2132104E-4 | 1.1790186 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0069668638 | 0.0077874158 | 0.008104924 | 1.040772 | 3.2E-4 |
7.2 | 1.3126312E-5 | 1.4679924E-5 | 1.4679924E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6254412E-5 | 6.291247E-5 | 8.291122E-5 | 1.317882 | 2.0E-5 | 6.846822E-4 | 7.6569564E-4 | 8.856037E-4 | 1.1566002 | 1.2E-4 | 0.006825765 | 0.007631158 | 0.007909021 | 1.0364116 | 2.8E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2922429E-5 | 1.4454146E-5 | 1.4454146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5380664E-5 | 6.19449E-5 | 8.194366E-5 | 1.3228476 | 2.0E-5 | 6.74051E-4 | 7.539236E-4 | 8.638407E-4 | 1.1457933 | 1.1E-4 | 0.006720101 | 0.00751424 | 0.0077722864 | 1.034341 | 2.6E-4 |
7.4 | 1.2768878E-5 | 1.4284125E-5 | 1.4284125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4722615E-5 | 6.121628E-5 | 8.1215054E-5 | 1.3266906 | 2.0E-5 | 6.660441E-4 | 7.450587E-4 | 8.5497677E-4 | 1.1475294 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0066405144 | 0.007426187 | 0.0076842564 | 1.0347513 | 2.6E-4 |
7.5 | 1.2521929E-5 | 1.4012364E-5 | 1.4012364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.366431E-5 | 6.0051636E-5 | 8.0050435E-5 | 1.3330268 | 2.0E-5 | 6.531671E-4 | 7.308888E-4 | 8.3081576E-4 | 1.1367197 | 1.0E-4 | 0.006512506 | 0.0072854264 | 0.007533605 | 1.0340651 | 2.5E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1301089E-5 | 1.2648464E-5 | 1.2648464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8432343E-5 | 5.420661E-5 | 7.420552E-5 | 1.3689387 | 2.0E-5 | 5.895042E-4 | 6.597709E-4 | 7.4971153E-4 | 1.136321 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0058794282 | 0.0065786736 | 0.006797226 | 1.0332214 | 2.2E-4 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.0283615E-5 | 1.0283615E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.4071916E-5 | 6.4071035E-5 | 1.4537838 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.364485E-4 | 6.0641096E-4 | 1.1304178 | 7.0E-5 | 0.004783291 | 0.005352047 | 0.0055012438 | 1.0278766 | 1.5E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6483033E-7 | 3.6483033E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635576E-6 | 1.1563542E-5 | 7.395661 | 1.0E-5 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9036152E-5 | 2.9035962E-5 | 1.5253062 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9034566E-4 | 2.0034375E-4 | 1.052526 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696958E-9 | 2.6696958E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.14415535E-8 | 1.14415535E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3930091E-7 | 1.3930091E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3930091E-6 | 1.3930091E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlic Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6760017E-5 | 1.8777304E-5 | 2.8777116E-5 | 1.5325478 | 1.0E-5 | 7.182667E-5 | 8.047234E-5 | 1.3046831E-4 | 1.6212815 | 5.0E-5 | 8.7413884E-4 | 9.794277E-4 | 0.0011892221 | 1.214201 | 2.1E-4 | 0.008707083 | 0.009762657 | 0.010307288 | 1.0557871 | 5.5E-4 |
6.1 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0973848E-5 | 1.0973848E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.7030328E-5 | 6.702939E-5 | 1.4252375 | 2.0E-5 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.725147E-4 | 6.424747E-4 | 1.1221976 | 7.0E-5 | 0.005127866 | 0.0057173567 | 0.0060156416 | 1.0521718 | 3.0E-4 |
6.2 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0973848E-5 | 1.0973848E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.7030328E-5 | 6.702939E-5 | 1.4252375 | 2.0E-5 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.725147E-4 | 6.424747E-4 | 1.1221976 | 7.0E-5 | 0.005127866 | 0.0057173567 | 0.0060156416 | 1.0521718 | 3.0E-4 |
6.3 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.778135E-6 | 4.778135E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.047769E-5 | 3.0477486E-5 | 1.4883263 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.493104E-4 | 2.693054E-4 | 1.0802013 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024925654 | 0.0026521666 | 1.0640309 | 1.6E-4 |
6.4 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.778135E-6 | 4.778135E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.047769E-5 | 3.0477486E-5 | 1.4883263 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.493104E-4 | 2.693054E-4 | 1.0802013 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024925654 | 0.0026521666 | 1.0640309 | 1.6E-4 |
6.5 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.778135E-6 | 4.778135E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.047769E-5 | 3.0477486E-5 | 1.4883263 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.493104E-4 | 2.693054E-4 | 1.0802013 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024925654 | 0.0026521666 | 1.0640309 | 1.6E-4 |
6.6 | 4.301311E-6 | 4.761003E-6 | 4.761003E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8434059E-5 | 2.040427E-5 | 3.0404066E-5 | 1.4900836 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2441156E-4 | 2.4841668E-4 | 2.684117E-4 | 1.0804899 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022418506 | 0.0024836485 | 0.002643251 | 1.0642613 | 1.6E-4 |
6.7 | 3.8599724E-6 | 4.2711545E-6 | 4.2711545E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6542634E-5 | 1.8304949E-5 | 2.8304765E-5 | 1.5462904 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0138794E-4 | 2.2286274E-4 | 2.428583E-4 | 1.0897213 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020120554 | 0.0022286274 | 0.0023683154 | 1.0626789 | 1.4E-4 |
Helendale-So Lockhart
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8103907E-5 | 4.8103364E-5 | 2.6570709 | 3.0E-5 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.758598E-5 | 1.3758132E-4 | 1.7732756 | 6.0E-5 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.4422064E-4 | 0.0011640129 | 1.2327764 | 2.2E-4 | 0.008984311 | 0.009404208 | 0.0098896 | 1.0516143 | 4.9E-4 |
6.1 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8103907E-5 | 4.8103364E-5 | 2.6570709 | 3.0E-5 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.758598E-5 | 1.3758132E-4 | 1.7732756 | 6.0E-5 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.4422064E-4 | 0.0011640129 | 1.2327764 | 2.2E-4 | 0.008984311 | 0.009404208 | 0.0098896 | 1.0516143 | 4.9E-4 |
6.2 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8103907E-5 | 4.8103364E-5 | 2.6570709 | 3.0E-5 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.758598E-5 | 1.3758132E-4 | 1.7732756 | 6.0E-5 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.4422064E-4 | 0.0011640129 | 1.2327764 | 2.2E-4 | 0.008984311 | 0.009404208 | 0.0098896 | 1.0516143 | 4.9E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1135526E-5 | 4.113519E-5 | 3.69405 | 3.0E-5 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.7722824E-5 | 9.772044E-5 | 2.0476668 | 5.0E-5 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.808733E-4 | 7.107978E-4 | 1.223671 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0055515557 | 0.005793846 | 0.006082166 | 1.0497631 | 2.9E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1135526E-5 | 4.113519E-5 | 3.69405 | 3.0E-5 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.7722824E-5 | 9.772044E-5 | 2.0476668 | 5.0E-5 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.808733E-4 | 7.107978E-4 | 1.223671 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0055515557 | 0.005793846 | 0.006082166 | 1.0497631 | 2.9E-4 |
6.5 | 8.790038E-6 | 9.17028E-6 | 3.9170005E-5 | 4.271408 | 3.0E-5 | 3.767105E-5 | 3.9300616E-5 | 8.929865E-5 | 2.2721946 | 5.0E-5 | 4.585485E-4 | 4.783815E-4 | 5.9832406E-4 | 1.2507259 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0045760344 | 0.0047736815 | 0.00503244 | 1.0542053 | 2.6E-4 |
6.6 | 7.396949E-6 | 7.715606E-6 | 3.7715374E-5 | 4.888193 | 3.0E-5 | 3.1700827E-5 | 3.306647E-5 | 8.306482E-5 | 2.5120556 | 5.0E-5 | 3.858892E-4 | 4.0251092E-4 | 5.2246265E-4 | 1.2980086 | 1.2E-4 | 0.003852198 | 0.004017926 | 0.004247002 | 1.0570135 | 2.3E-4 |
6.7 | 6.4600285E-6 | 6.7380915E-6 | 2.6737956E-5 | 3.9681795 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7685543E-5 | 2.887722E-5 | 6.887606E-5 | 2.385135 | 4.0E-5 | 3.3701936E-4 | 3.515242E-4 | 4.6148556E-4 | 1.3128129 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0033650869 | 0.0035097634 | 0.0037289914 | 1.0624623 | 2.2E-4 |
6.8 | 5.600104E-6 | 5.8360606E-6 | 5.8360606E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4000226E-5 | 2.5011452E-5 | 3.5011202E-5 | 1.3998069 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9216358E-4 | 3.044725E-4 | 3.7445116E-4 | 1.2298359 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0029177975 | 0.0030406148 | 0.0032100978 | 1.0557398 | 1.7E-4 |
6.9 | 4.839122E-6 | 5.039553E-6 | 5.039553E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0738931E-5 | 2.1597907E-5 | 3.159769E-5 | 1.4629978 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5246723E-4 | 2.6292325E-4 | 3.2290746E-4 | 1.2281435 | 6.0E-5 | 0.002521806 | 0.0026261695 | 0.002755828 | 1.0493717 | 1.3E-4 |
7.0 | 3.6937633E-6 | 3.845241E-6 | 3.845241E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5830317E-5 | 1.6479502E-5 | 1.6479502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9271708E-4 | 2.0061978E-4 | 2.3061375E-4 | 1.1495066 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019255003 | 0.002004418 | 0.0021042177 | 1.0497898 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 2.7858857E-6 | 2.8978782E-6 | 2.8978782E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1939455E-5 | 1.2419419E-5 | 1.2419419E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4535317E-4 | 1.5119616E-4 | 1.7119314E-4 | 1.1322585 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014525814 | 0.0015109545 | 0.0015808486 | 1.0462583 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.1672065E-6 | 2.2540316E-6 | 2.2540316E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2879945E-6 | 9.660101E-6 | 9.660101E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1307546E-4 | 1.1760556E-4 | 1.2760439E-4 | 1.08502 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011301794 | 0.0011754514 | 0.0012154045 | 1.0339894 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4823496E-6 | 1.5422232E-6 | 1.5422232E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3529114E-6 | 6.609512E-6 | 6.609512E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.734395E-5 | 8.0467995E-5 | 9.046718E-5 | 1.124263 | 1.0E-5 | 7.731704E-4 | 8.044036E-4 | 8.4437145E-4 | 1.0496863 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.2321457E-7 | 4.4109154E-7 | 4.4109154E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8137755E-6 | 1.8903912E-6 | 1.8903912E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2082493E-5 | 2.3015316E-5 | 2.3015316E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2080299E-4 | 2.3013385E-4 | 2.5012923E-4 | 1.0868859 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.6942316E-8 | 5.9416184E-8 | 5.9416184E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.440385E-7 | 2.5464078E-7 | 2.5464078E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711643E-6 | 3.1002478E-6 | 3.1002478E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711247E-5 | 3.1002124E-5 | 3.1002124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Big Bend)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0086694E-4 | 2.1086494E-4 | 1.0497742 | 1.0E-5 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.605753E-4 | 9.005409E-4 | 1.0464405 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010427454 | 0.01057589 | 1.0142351 | 1.5E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.101501994 | 0.10186139 | 1.0035408 | 4.0E-4 |
6.1 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0086694E-4 | 2.1086494E-4 | 1.0497742 | 1.0E-5 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.605753E-4 | 9.005409E-4 | 1.0464405 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010427454 | 0.01057589 | 1.0142351 | 1.5E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.101501994 | 0.10186139 | 1.0035408 | 4.0E-4 |
6.2 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0086694E-4 | 2.1086494E-4 | 1.0497742 | 1.0E-5 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.605753E-4 | 9.005409E-4 | 1.0464405 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010427454 | 0.01057589 | 1.0142351 | 1.5E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.101501994 | 0.10186139 | 1.0035408 | 4.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.0086694E-4 | 2.1086494E-4 | 1.0497742 | 1.0E-5 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.605753E-4 | 9.005409E-4 | 1.0464405 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010427454 | 0.01057589 | 1.0142351 | 1.5E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.101501994 | 0.10186139 | 1.0035408 | 4.0E-4 |
6.4 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8443666E-4 | 1.9443482E-4 | 1.0542091 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9268145E-4 | 7.9020363E-4 | 8.101878E-4 | 1.0252899 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009578408 | 0.009647737 | 1.0072381 | 7.0E-5 | 0.046693064 | 0.09383486 | 0.094070464 | 1.0025108 | 2.6E-4 |
6.5 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8443666E-4 | 1.9443482E-4 | 1.0542091 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9268145E-4 | 7.9020363E-4 | 8.101878E-4 | 1.0252899 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009578408 | 0.009647737 | 1.0072381 | 7.0E-5 | 0.046693064 | 0.09383486 | 0.094070464 | 1.0025108 | 2.6E-4 |
6.6 | 9.042622E-5 | 1.825065E-4 | 1.9250468E-4 | 1.0547825 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8748336E-4 | 7.8193645E-4 | 8.0192083E-4 | 1.0255575 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0047074095 | 0.009478633 | 0.009547969 | 1.007315 | 7.0E-5 | 0.046089325 | 0.09293163 | 0.09316747 | 1.0025377 | 2.6E-4 |
6.7 | 8.9836685E-5 | 1.8164968E-4 | 1.9164786E-4 | 1.0550411 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8495753E-4 | 7.782666E-4 | 7.98251E-4 | 1.0256782 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00467679 | 0.00943434 | 0.009503679 | 1.0073497 | 7.0E-5 | 0.045795817 | 0.09252585 | 0.092761785 | 1.00255 | 2.6E-4 |
6.8 | 8.9471854E-5 | 1.8111736E-4 | 1.9111556E-4 | 1.0552028 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8339442E-4 | 7.759866E-4 | 7.95971E-4 | 1.0257536 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004657841 | 0.00940682 | 0.009476162 | 1.0073714 | 7.0E-5 | 0.04561414 | 0.09227311 | 0.09250911 | 1.0025578 | 2.6E-4 |
6.9 | 8.858234E-5 | 1.7993685E-4 | 1.8993506E-4 | 1.055565 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7958333E-4 | 7.7093026E-4 | 7.909148E-4 | 1.0259227 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004611638 | 0.0093457885 | 0.009415135 | 1.0074201 | 7.0E-5 | 0.04517103 | 0.09171302 | 0.09194917 | 1.0025749 | 2.6E-4 |
7.0 | 8.7433385E-5 | 1.7832441E-4 | 1.8832262E-4 | 1.0560676 | 1.0E-5 | 3.746607E-4 | 7.640238E-4 | 7.8400853E-4 | 1.0261571 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004551957 | 0.00926242 | 0.009331772 | 1.0074874 | 7.0E-5 | 0.044598386 | 0.090947844 | 0.0911842 | 1.0025988 | 2.6E-4 |
7.1 | 8.684964E-5 | 1.7744371E-4 | 1.8744192E-4 | 1.0563459 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7215967E-4 | 7.602516E-4 | 7.802364E-4 | 1.0262871 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045216335 | 0.009216883 | 0.0092763305 | 1.0064498 | 6.0E-5 | 0.04430731 | 0.09052929 | 0.09075666 | 1.0025115 | 2.5E-4 |
7.2 | 8.606521E-5 | 1.7634961E-4 | 1.8634784E-4 | 1.0566956 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6879873E-4 | 7.555653E-4 | 7.755502E-4 | 1.0264503 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0044808835 | 0.009160309 | 0.009219759 | 1.00649 | 6.0E-5 | 0.043916024 | 0.09001008 | 0.090228476 | 1.0024264 | 2.4E-4 |
7.3 | 8.568266E-5 | 1.7576946E-4 | 1.857677E-4 | 1.0568827 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6715972E-4 | 7.5308036E-4 | 7.730653E-4 | 1.0265375 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0044610105 | 0.009130309 | 0.009189761 | 1.0065116 | 6.0E-5 | 0.043725148 | 0.08973102 | 0.08994949 | 1.0024346 | 2.4E-4 |
7.4 | 8.5432206E-5 | 1.7539515E-4 | 1.8539341E-4 | 1.0570041 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6608664E-4 | 7.514772E-4 | 7.7146216E-4 | 1.0265943 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004447999 | 0.009110954 | 0.009170407 | 1.0065255 | 6.0E-5 | 0.043600157 | 0.08955117 | 0.08976058 | 1.0023384 | 2.3E-4 |
7.5 | 8.4791965E-5 | 1.7408753E-4 | 1.7408753E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.633435E-4 | 7.458763E-4 | 7.558688E-4 | 1.0133971 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044147377 | 0.00904333 | 0.009092879 | 1.005479 | 5.0E-5 | 0.043280575 | 0.088929735 | 0.08913017 | 1.0022539 | 2.2E-4 |
7.6 | 8.241105E-5 | 1.6853986E-4 | 1.6853986E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.531424E-4 | 7.2211394E-4 | 7.321067E-4 | 1.0138382 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042910352 | 0.008756385 | 0.008805947 | 1.0056602 | 5.0E-5 | 0.042091176 | 0.08630533 | 0.086506344 | 1.0023291 | 2.2E-4 |
7.7 | 7.00432E-5 | 1.4216699E-4 | 1.4216699E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.001506E-4 | 6.091448E-4 | 6.1913877E-4 | 1.0164064 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036482112 | 0.007391159 | 0.007430863 | 1.0053719 | 4.0E-5 | 0.035888977 | 0.073571414 | 0.07373817 | 1.0022666 | 1.8E-4 |
7.8 | 6.415362E-5 | 1.2979924E-4 | 1.2979924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.749151E-4 | 5.561639E-4 | 5.661583E-4 | 1.0179703 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033419547 | 0.006750302 | 0.0067900317 | 1.0058857 | 4.0E-5 | 0.03292141 | 0.06730183 | 0.067469716 | 1.0024946 | 1.8E-4 |
7.9 | 4.939911E-5 | 9.348974E-5 | 9.348974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.116933E-4 | 4.006088E-4 | 4.006088E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025743195 | 0.0048665134 | 0.0048864163 | 1.0040897 | 2.0E-5 | 0.025447013 | 0.04895083 | 0.049055442 | 1.0021372 | 1.1E-4 |
8.0 | 3.344983E-5 | 5.227168E-5 | 5.227168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4334853E-4 | 2.2400226E-4 | 2.2400226E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017438711 | 0.0027238184 | 0.0027337912 | 1.0036613 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017302496 | 0.027944222 | 0.028002545 | 1.0020871 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9104898E-5 | 1.9192617E-5 | 1.9192617E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1875565E-5 | 8.2251485E-5 | 8.2251485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.963791E-4 | 0.0010009524 | 0.0010009524 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009919235 | 0.010760251 | 0.010770144 | 1.0009193 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.481529E-6 | 5.481529E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3492057E-5 | 2.3492057E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8597834E-4 | 2.8597834E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.003252439 | 0.003252439 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.669667E-7 | 7.669667E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2869962E-6 | 3.2869962E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0018458E-5 | 4.0018458E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7252612E-4 | 4.7252612E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.170718E-5 | 2.170718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.302786E-5 | 1.3302414E-4 | 1.4299387 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011320977 | 0.0013019053 | 1.1499937 | 1.7E-4 | 0.010280091 | 0.011270483 | 0.0116857495 | 1.0368454 | 4.2E-4 |
6.1 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.170718E-5 | 2.170718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.302786E-5 | 1.3302414E-4 | 1.4299387 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011320977 | 0.0013019053 | 1.1499937 | 1.7E-4 | 0.010280091 | 0.011270483 | 0.0116857495 | 1.0368454 | 4.2E-4 |
6.2 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.170718E-5 | 2.170718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.302786E-5 | 1.3302414E-4 | 1.4299387 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011320977 | 0.0013019053 | 1.1499937 | 1.7E-4 | 0.010280091 | 0.011270483 | 0.0116857495 | 1.0368454 | 4.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.6821006E-5 | 1.6821006E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.208838E-5 | 1.0208622E-4 | 1.4161258 | 3.0E-5 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.7738386E-4 | 0.0010072698 | 1.1480378 | 1.3E-4 | 0.007974784 | 0.008745244 | 0.009092183 | 1.0396718 | 3.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.6821006E-5 | 1.6821006E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.208838E-5 | 1.0208622E-4 | 1.4161258 | 3.0E-5 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.7738386E-4 | 0.0010072698 | 1.1480378 | 1.3E-4 | 0.007974784 | 0.008745244 | 0.009092183 | 1.0396718 | 3.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.4189697E-5 | 1.55583E-5 | 1.55583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.081157E-5 | 6.6677065E-5 | 9.667506E-5 | 1.4498998 | 3.0E-5 | 7.401293E-4 | 8.115512E-4 | 9.414457E-4 | 1.1600571 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0073766913 | 0.008091819 | 0.008438986 | 1.0429035 | 3.5E-4 |
6.6 | 1.3469301E-5 | 1.4771875E-5 | 1.4771875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7724297E-5 | 6.330684E-5 | 9.330494E-5 | 1.4738525 | 3.0E-5 | 7.025667E-4 | 7.705482E-4 | 9.00448E-4 | 1.168581 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0070034964 | 0.0076846685 | 0.008031979 | 1.0451952 | 3.5E-4 |
6.7 | 1.3027966E-5 | 1.4282032E-5 | 1.4282032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5832945E-5 | 6.120761E-5 | 9.120577E-5 | 1.4901052 | 3.0E-5 | 6.7955407E-4 | 7.450076E-4 | 8.7491074E-4 | 1.1743649 | 1.3E-4 | 0.006774798 | 0.0074309777 | 0.007758525 | 1.0440787 | 3.3E-4 |
6.8 | 5.695434E-6 | 6.224538E-6 | 6.224538E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4408775E-5 | 2.667649E-5 | 2.667649E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.971363E-4 | 3.2476784E-4 | 3.6475484E-4 | 1.123125 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0029673933 | 0.0032458731 | 0.0033256134 | 1.0245667 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.385688E-6 | 4.793148E-6 | 4.793148E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.879567E-5 | 2.0542064E-5 | 2.0542064E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2881327E-4 | 2.5009963E-4 | 2.6009712E-4 | 1.0399741 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002285778 | 0.0025009962 | 0.002550871 | 1.019942 | 5.0E-5 |
San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3390603E-4 | 2.5390135E-4 | 1.0854844 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010020653 | 0.0010819852 | 1.0797551 | 8.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.012131796 | 0.012319491 | 1.0154713 | 1.9E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.11260725 | 0.112971075 | 1.0032309 | 4.1E-4 |
6.1 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3390603E-4 | 2.5390135E-4 | 1.0854844 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010020653 | 0.0010819852 | 1.0797551 | 8.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.012131796 | 0.012319491 | 1.0154713 | 1.9E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.11260725 | 0.112971075 | 1.0032309 | 4.1E-4 |
6.2 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3390603E-4 | 2.5390135E-4 | 1.0854844 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010020653 | 0.0010819852 | 1.0797551 | 8.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.012131796 | 0.012319491 | 1.0154713 | 1.9E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.11260725 | 0.112971075 | 1.0032309 | 4.1E-4 |
6.3 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3390603E-4 | 2.5390135E-4 | 1.0854844 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010020653 | 0.0010819852 | 1.0797551 | 8.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.012131796 | 0.012319491 | 1.0154713 | 1.9E-4 | 0.042463828 | 0.11260725 | 0.112971075 | 1.0032309 | 4.1E-4 |
6.4 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.2948066E-4 | 2.4947608E-4 | 1.0871333 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.831182E-4 | 0.0010630395 | 1.0812937 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0041964394 | 0.011903977 | 0.012091716 | 1.015771 | 1.9E-4 | 0.041180745 | 0.110588245 | 0.110944 | 1.003217 | 4.0E-4 |
6.5 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.2948066E-4 | 2.4947608E-4 | 1.0871333 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.831182E-4 | 0.0010630395 | 1.0812937 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0041964394 | 0.011903977 | 0.012091716 | 1.015771 | 1.9E-4 | 0.041180745 | 0.110588245 | 0.110944 | 1.003217 | 4.0E-4 |
6.6 | 7.619237E-5 | 2.219254E-4 | 2.4192095E-4 | 1.0901004 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2649786E-4 | 9.5076446E-4 | 0.0010306884 | 1.0840628 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0039678677 | 0.011514666 | 0.011702478 | 1.0163107 | 1.9E-4 | 0.03897764 | 0.10712475 | 0.107481904 | 1.0033339 | 4.0E-4 |
6.7 | 7.440636E-5 | 2.1868342E-4 | 2.3867904E-4 | 1.0914364 | 2.0E-5 | 3.188454E-4 | 9.3688024E-4 | 0.0010168053 | 1.0853097 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0038750346 | 0.011347395 | 0.011535239 | 1.0165539 | 1.9E-4 | 0.038081564 | 0.1056329 | 0.10599065 | 1.0033867 | 4.0E-4 |
6.8 | 7.3735864E-5 | 2.1715497E-4 | 2.3715063E-4 | 1.0920801 | 2.0E-5 | 3.1597257E-4 | 9.303345E-4 | 0.0010102601 | 1.0859106 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0038401815 | 0.01126853 | 0.011456389 | 1.0166711 | 1.9E-4 | 0.03774495 | 0.10493427 | 0.1052923 | 1.0034119 | 4.0E-4 |
6.9 | 7.27575E-5 | 2.1484456E-4 | 2.3484028E-4 | 1.0930705 | 2.0E-5 | 3.117806E-4 | 9.204398E-4 | 0.0010003662 | 1.086835 | 8.0E-5 | 0.003789323 | 0.011149301 | 0.0113371825 | 1.0168514 | 1.9E-4 | 0.037253562 | 0.10388219 | 0.10424064 | 1.0034505 | 4.0E-4 |
7.0 | 7.102591E-5 | 2.1068456E-4 | 2.3068035E-4 | 1.0949086 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0436125E-4 | 9.0262364E-4 | 9.825514E-4 | 1.0885506 | 8.0E-5 | 0.003699303 | 0.010934584 | 0.011122506 | 1.017186 | 1.9E-4 | 0.03638325 | 0.101985835 | 0.10234504 | 1.0035222 | 4.0E-4 |
7.1 | 7.028513E-5 | 2.0904087E-4 | 2.2903668E-4 | 1.0956551 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0118722E-4 | 8.9558406E-4 | 9.7551243E-4 | 1.0892472 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0036607897 | 0.010849735 | 0.011037674 | 1.017322 | 1.9E-4 | 0.036010686 | 0.101228684 | 0.1015882 | 1.0035515 | 4.0E-4 |
7.2 | 6.8498244E-5 | 2.0511924E-4 | 2.2511515E-4 | 1.0974842 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9353087E-4 | 8.7878853E-4 | 9.587182E-4 | 1.0909544 | 8.0E-5 | 0.003567883 | 0.010647263 | 0.01083524 | 1.017655 | 1.9E-4 | 0.035111405 | 0.09942054 | 0.099780776 | 1.0036234 | 4.0E-4 |
7.3 | 6.622592E-5 | 1.9739123E-4 | 2.1738729E-4 | 1.1013017 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8379448E-4 | 8.456903E-4 | 9.256227E-4 | 1.0945172 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0034497243 | 0.010248152 | 0.010426307 | 1.0173842 | 1.8E-4 | 0.033966612 | 0.095916614 | 0.096269205 | 1.003676 | 3.9E-4 |
7.4 | 5.1050705E-5 | 1.4695115E-4 | 1.6694822E-4 | 1.1360797 | 2.0E-5 | 2.1877038E-4 | 6.2963954E-4 | 6.9959543E-4 | 1.1111047 | 7.0E-5 | 0.002660276 | 0.0076391096 | 0.007807811 | 1.0220839 | 1.7E-4 | 0.02628654 | 0.07288934 | 0.07323237 | 1.0047061 | 3.7E-4 |
7.5 | 3.9302922E-5 | 1.1135109E-4 | 1.3134886E-4 | 1.1795921 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6843023E-4 | 4.7713198E-4 | 5.3710333E-4 | 1.1256914 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0020487092 | 0.0057936786 | 0.0059527517 | 1.0274563 | 1.6E-4 | 0.020299247 | 0.05603276 | 0.056363147 | 1.0058963 | 3.5E-4 |
7.6 | 2.9851626E-5 | 8.499608E-5 | 1.04994375E-4 | 1.2352849 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2792926E-4 | 3.6421817E-4 | 4.241963E-4 | 1.1646764 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0015564259 | 0.0044253655 | 0.0045846575 | 1.0359952 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0154556995 | 0.04321453 | 0.043539837 | 1.0075277 | 3.4E-4 |
7.7 | 2.1135214E-5 | 6.3569925E-5 | 8.356866E-5 | 1.3145941 | 2.0E-5 | 9.0576345E-5 | 2.7241412E-4 | 3.323978E-4 | 1.2201929 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0011022091 | 0.0033116033 | 0.0034710735 | 1.048155 | 1.6E-4 | 0.010967582 | 0.032601383 | 0.0329303 | 1.010089 | 3.4E-4 |
7.8 | 1.883379E-5 | 5.5677574E-5 | 7.567646E-5 | 1.3591911 | 2.0E-5 | 8.0713755E-5 | 2.3859636E-4 | 2.9858205E-4 | 1.2514107 | 6.0E-5 | 9.822468E-4 | 0.0029010442 | 0.00306058 | 1.0549926 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0097791655 | 0.02871242 | 0.029032944 | 1.0111632 | 3.3E-4 |
7.9 | 1.5156185E-5 | 4.1688538E-5 | 5.1688123E-5 | 1.2398641 | 1.0E-5 | 6.495346E-5 | 1.7865295E-4 | 2.186458E-4 | 1.2238578 | 4.0E-5 | 7.9052144E-4 | 0.002172931 | 0.002312627 | 1.0642891 | 1.4E-4 | 0.007877152 | 0.021773519 | 0.02203764 | 1.0121304 | 2.7E-4 |
8.0 | 1.1405907E-5 | 2.9996661E-5 | 3.999636E-5 | 1.3333604 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8881542E-5 | 1.2855079E-4 | 1.4854822E-4 | 1.1555605 | 2.0E-5 | 5.9497025E-4 | 0.0015639833 | 0.0016538425 | 1.0574554 | 9.0E-5 | 0.005933798 | 0.015783329 | 0.015940804 | 1.0099772 | 1.6E-4 |
8.1 | 4.3511436E-6 | 7.376493E-6 | 7.376493E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8647626E-5 | 3.161316E-5 | 3.161316E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2701119E-4 | 3.8482237E-4 | 3.8482237E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022677942 | 0.0041200663 | 0.0041200663 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.3042528E-6 | 2.7361157E-6 | 2.7361157E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.875332E-6 | 1.1726157E-5 | 1.1726157E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2022553E-4 | 1.4275666E-4 | 1.4275666E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012016051 | 0.0015996946 | 0.0015996946 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.202968E-7 | 3.1638157E-7 | 3.1638157E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2298414E-6 | 1.3559204E-6 | 1.3559204E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.714798E-5 | 1.6508218E-5 | 1.6508218E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7144665E-4 | 1.958338E-4 | 1.958338E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Cholame) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.5220469E-4 | 2.821971E-4 | 1.118921 | 3.0E-5 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.001080431 | 0.0011303771 | 1.0462278 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0063991086 | 0.013075418 | 0.013213587 | 1.0105671 | 1.4E-4 | 0.06217949 | 0.1244495 | 0.12472092 | 1.0021809 | 3.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.5220469E-4 | 2.821971E-4 | 1.118921 | 3.0E-5 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.001080431 | 0.0011303771 | 1.0462278 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0063991086 | 0.013075418 | 0.013213587 | 1.0105671 | 1.4E-4 | 0.06217949 | 0.1244495 | 0.12472092 | 1.0021809 | 3.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2203569E-4 | 2.503724E-4 | 2.8036488E-4 | 1.1197915 | 3.0E-5 | 5.2290526E-4 | 0.001072585 | 0.0011225314 | 1.0465664 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006347804 | 0.012981034 | 0.013119216 | 1.0106449 | 1.4E-4 | 0.061695136 | 0.12363509 | 0.12390677 | 1.0021974 | 3.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.2142645E-4 | 2.4923196E-4 | 2.6922696E-4 | 1.0802265 | 2.0E-5 | 5.202953E-4 | 0.0010677013 | 0.0011076586 | 1.0374236 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006316212 | 0.012922282 | 0.013050602 | 1.0099301 | 1.3E-4 | 0.06139677 | 0.12313006 | 0.12339312 | 1.0021365 | 3.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1865206E-4 | 2.442866E-4 | 2.6428173E-4 | 1.081851 | 2.0E-5 | 5.0840975E-4 | 0.0010465242 | 0.0010864823 | 1.0381818 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006172335 | 0.0126674725 | 0.012785953 | 1.009353 | 1.2E-4 | 0.060036868 | 0.12092301 | 0.12117795 | 1.0021082 | 2.9E-4 |
6.5 | 1.17443946E-4 | 2.4221893E-4 | 2.6221407E-4 | 1.0825499 | 2.0E-5 | 5.032341E-4 | 0.0010376697 | 0.0010776282 | 1.0385079 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006109677 | 0.012560915 | 0.012679408 | 1.0094334 | 1.2E-4 | 0.059444077 | 0.11999961 | 0.12025481 | 1.0021267 | 2.9E-4 |
6.6 | 1.13579066E-4 | 2.3530729E-4 | 2.5530258E-4 | 1.0849752 | 2.0E-5 | 4.866766E-4 | 0.0010080716 | 0.0010480313 | 1.0396397 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0059092017 | 0.012204648 | 0.012323183 | 1.0097123 | 1.2E-4 | 0.057545185 | 0.11691506 | 0.11717116 | 1.0021905 | 2.9E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1271412E-4 | 2.3375003E-4 | 2.5374535E-4 | 1.0855415 | 2.0E-5 | 4.829711E-4 | 0.0010014027 | 0.0010413626 | 1.039904 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005864331 | 0.0121243615 | 0.012242907 | 1.0097774 | 1.2E-4 | 0.057119697 | 0.116218016 | 0.11647431 | 1.0022053 | 2.9E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1217975E-4 | 2.326338E-4 | 2.5262914E-4 | 1.085952 | 2.0E-5 | 4.8068175E-4 | 9.966226E-4 | 0.0010365827 | 1.0400956 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005836608 | 0.012066809 | 0.012185361 | 1.0098246 | 1.2E-4 | 0.056856725 | 0.11571666 | 0.11597311 | 1.0022161 | 2.9E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1146753E-4 | 2.3112087E-4 | 2.4111854E-4 | 1.0432574 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7763053E-4 | 9.901435E-4 | 0.0010201138 | 1.0302687 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0057996577 | 0.011988797 | 0.012097479 | 1.0090653 | 1.1E-4 | 0.056506127 | 0.11503733 | 0.11528512 | 1.002154 | 2.8E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0965793E-4 | 2.2735292E-4 | 2.3735066E-4 | 1.0439745 | 1.0E-5 | 4.698779E-4 | 9.7400736E-4 | 0.0010039781 | 1.0307705 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005705768 | 0.011794483 | 0.011903185 | 1.0092164 | 1.1E-4 | 0.055614736 | 0.113338985 | 0.11358725 | 1.0021905 | 2.8E-4 |
7.1 | 9.927982E-5 | 2.0553771E-4 | 2.1553566E-4 | 1.0486429 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2541555E-4 | 8.805796E-4 | 9.1055315E-4 | 1.0340384 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0051671406 | 0.0106686475 | 0.010767581 | 1.0092733 | 1.0E-4 | 0.05048634 | 0.10344231 | 0.10367541 | 1.0022535 | 2.6E-4 |
7.2 | 9.696786E-5 | 2.0057971E-4 | 2.1057771E-4 | 1.0498455 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1551032E-4 | 8.5934513E-4 | 8.8931934E-4 | 1.0348803 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00504711 | 0.010412618 | 0.010511576 | 1.0095037 | 1.0E-4 | 0.04934009 | 0.10117962 | 0.10141332 | 1.0023097 | 2.6E-4 |
7.3 | 9.4727984E-5 | 1.9486992E-4 | 2.0486797E-4 | 1.0513062 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0591392E-4 | 8.3489047E-4 | 8.548738E-4 | 1.0239352 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0049308087 | 0.010117685 | 0.010206775 | 1.0088053 | 9.0E-5 | 0.048228268 | 0.098550715 | 0.09877608 | 1.0022868 | 2.5E-4 |
7.4 | 9.220358E-5 | 1.8857335E-4 | 1.9857146E-4 | 1.0530198 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9509835E-4 | 8.079221E-4 | 8.2790595E-4 | 1.0247349 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004799717 | 0.009792335 | 0.0098814545 | 1.0091009 | 9.0E-5 | 0.046973653 | 0.09562261 | 0.09583966 | 1.0022699 | 2.4E-4 |
7.5 | 7.71631E-5 | 1.519048E-4 | 1.519048E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.306571E-4 | 6.5085833E-4 | 6.6085183E-4 | 1.0153543 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040183207 | 0.00789548 | 0.007945086 | 1.0062827 | 5.0E-5 | 0.03946433 | 0.07834235 | 0.07851746 | 1.0022353 | 1.9E-4 |
7.6 | 7.5634416E-5 | 1.4849767E-4 | 1.4849767E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.241072E-4 | 6.362635E-4 | 6.4625713E-4 | 1.0157068 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039388672 | 0.007719061 | 0.0077686748 | 1.0064275 | 5.0E-5 | 0.038697794 | 0.076705515 | 0.07688094 | 1.002287 | 1.9E-4 |
7.7 | 6.3783E-5 | 1.2369707E-4 | 1.2369707E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7332708E-4 | 5.300226E-4 | 5.400173E-4 | 1.0188571 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033226798 | 0.006433959 | 0.0064737014 | 1.0061771 | 4.0E-5 | 0.032734364 | 0.06458994 | 0.06473025 | 1.0021724 | 1.5E-4 |
7.8 | 5.863422E-5 | 1.1426109E-4 | 1.1426109E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.512653E-4 | 4.8959855E-4 | 4.995937E-4 | 1.020415 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003054864 | 0.0059445915 | 0.0059843534 | 1.0066888 | 4.0E-5 | 0.030132094 | 0.059704922 | 0.05984597 | 1.0023624 | 1.5E-4 |
7.9 | 4.595283E-5 | 8.4335974E-5 | 8.4335974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9692584E-4 | 3.6138983E-4 | 3.6138983E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023949358 | 0.004391051 | 0.0044109635 | 1.0045347 | 2.0E-5 | 0.023692891 | 0.04439595 | 0.044501066 | 1.0023677 | 1.1E-4 |
8.0 | 3.2950178E-5 | 5.0816834E-5 | 5.0816834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.412074E-4 | 2.1776826E-4 | 2.1776826E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017178444 | 0.0026481065 | 0.00265808 | 1.0037663 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017046256 | 0.027201748 | 0.027260115 | 1.0021458 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9177472E-5 | 1.9204715E-5 | 1.9204715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.218658E-5 | 8.230333E-5 | 8.230333E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010001622 | 0.0010015831 | 0.0010015831 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009956728 | 0.010768606 | 0.010778499 | 1.0009186 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.481529E-6 | 5.481529E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3492057E-5 | 2.3492057E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8597834E-4 | 2.8597834E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.003252439 | 0.003252439 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.669667E-7 | 7.669667E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2869962E-6 | 3.2869962E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0018458E-5 | 4.0018458E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7252612E-4 | 4.7252612E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (No)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2500653E-5 | 2.2500653E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.6427844E-5 | 1.2642496E-4 | 1.3110834 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011733841 | 0.0013232081 | 1.1276854 | 1.5E-4 | 0.010420183 | 0.0116728 | 0.011979181 | 1.0262475 | 3.1E-4 |
6.1 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2500653E-5 | 2.2500653E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.6427844E-5 | 1.2642496E-4 | 1.3110834 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011733841 | 0.0013232081 | 1.1276854 | 1.5E-4 | 0.010420183 | 0.0116728 | 0.011979181 | 1.0262475 | 3.1E-4 |
6.2 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2500653E-5 | 2.2500653E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.6427844E-5 | 1.2642496E-4 | 1.3110834 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011733841 | 0.0013232081 | 1.1276854 | 1.5E-4 | 0.010420183 | 0.0116728 | 0.011979181 | 1.0262475 | 3.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.1337484E-5 | 2.1337484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.1443195E-5 | 1.2144045E-4 | 1.3280425 | 3.0E-5 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.001112759 | 0.001262592 | 1.1346501 | 1.5E-4 | 0.009891188 | 0.011072695 | 0.011379263 | 1.0276868 | 3.1E-4 |
6.4 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.1337484E-5 | 2.1337484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.1443195E-5 | 1.2144045E-4 | 1.3280425 | 3.0E-5 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.001112759 | 0.001262592 | 1.1346501 | 1.5E-4 | 0.009891188 | 0.011072695 | 0.011379263 | 1.0276868 | 3.1E-4 |
6.5 | 1.8367004E-5 | 2.0561523E-5 | 2.0561523E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8713354E-5 | 8.811787E-5 | 1.18115226E-4 | 1.3404231 | 3.0E-5 | 9.5791375E-4 | 0.0010723136 | 0.0012221528 | 1.1397345 | 1.5E-4 | 0.009537951 | 0.010672181 | 0.010978873 | 1.0287374 | 3.1E-4 |
6.6 | 1.779439E-5 | 1.9911424E-5 | 1.9911424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.625944E-5 | 8.533192E-5 | 1.15329356E-4 | 1.3515383 | 3.0E-5 | 9.280632E-4 | 0.0010384273 | 0.0011682924 | 1.1250592 | 1.3E-4 | 0.009241969 | 0.010336509 | 0.010623511 | 1.0277659 | 2.9E-4 |
6.7 | 1.7025437E-5 | 1.9043899E-5 | 1.9043899E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.296412E-5 | 8.161419E-5 | 1.1161174E-4 | 1.3675531 | 3.0E-5 | 8.87976E-4 | 9.932059E-4 | 0.0011230769 | 1.1307592 | 1.3E-4 | 0.008844362 | 0.009888389 | 0.010165621 | 1.028036 | 2.8E-4 |
6.8 | 1.6545107E-5 | 1.8513007E-5 | 1.8513007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.090568E-5 | 7.933908E-5 | 1.09336695E-4 | 1.3780938 | 3.0E-5 | 8.629347E-4 | 9.6553133E-4 | 0.0010954058 | 1.1345109 | 1.3E-4 | 0.008595915 | 0.009614067 | 0.009891375 | 1.028844 | 2.8E-4 |
6.9 | 1.615478E-5 | 1.8088047E-5 | 1.8088047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9232934E-5 | 7.751793E-5 | 1.075156E-4 | 1.3869772 | 3.0E-5 | 8.4258494E-4 | 9.4337825E-4 | 0.0010732557 | 1.1376727 | 1.3E-4 | 0.008393973 | 0.00939443 | 0.009661893 | 1.0284704 | 2.7E-4 |
7.0 | 1.5894311E-5 | 1.7805998E-5 | 1.7805998E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.81167E-5 | 7.630922E-5 | 9.63077E-5 | 1.2620715 | 2.0E-5 | 8.2900526E-4 | 9.286748E-4 | 0.0010485634 | 1.1290964 | 1.2E-4 | 0.008259195 | 0.009248629 | 0.009506225 | 1.0278523 | 2.6E-4 |
7.1 | 1.5602263E-5 | 1.7483944E-5 | 1.7483944E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6865134E-5 | 7.492907E-5 | 9.492757E-5 | 1.2668991 | 2.0E-5 | 8.137789E-4 | 9.118857E-4 | 0.0010317763 | 1.1314754 | 1.2E-4 | 0.008108052 | 0.009082122 | 0.00933976 | 1.0283676 | 2.6E-4 |
7.2 | 1.5323829E-5 | 1.7171064E-5 | 1.7171064E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.56719E-5 | 7.358823E-5 | 9.358676E-5 | 1.2717626 | 2.0E-5 | 7.99262E-4 | 8.9557446E-4 | 0.001015467 | 1.1338722 | 1.2E-4 | 0.007963934 | 0.008920331 | 0.009178011 | 1.0288869 | 2.6E-4 |
7.3 | 1.4556212E-5 | 1.6302864E-5 | 1.6302864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.238227E-5 | 6.986758E-5 | 8.986618E-5 | 1.2862358 | 2.0E-5 | 7.592395E-4 | 8.5031166E-4 | 9.7020966E-4 | 1.1410047 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0075665074 | 0.008471226 | 0.008729024 | 1.0304321 | 2.6E-4 |
7.4 | 1.411725E-5 | 1.5808357E-5 | 1.5808357E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0501097E-5 | 6.774837E-5 | 8.7747016E-5 | 1.2951901 | 2.0E-5 | 7.363519E-4 | 8.245301E-4 | 9.444311E-4 | 1.1454175 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0073391674 | 0.008215344 | 0.008473207 | 1.031388 | 2.6E-4 |
7.5 | 1.3503312E-5 | 1.51266695E-5 | 1.51266695E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7870053E-5 | 6.482701E-5 | 8.4825704E-5 | 1.3084934 | 2.0E-5 | 7.043401E-4 | 7.889888E-4 | 8.9890196E-4 | 1.1393089 | 1.1E-4 | 0.007021119 | 0.007862501 | 0.008110535 | 1.0315465 | 2.5E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1279839E-5 | 1.2626642E-5 | 1.2626642E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.834127E-5 | 5.4113087E-5 | 7.4112E-5 | 1.3695763 | 2.0E-5 | 5.88396E-4 | 6.58633E-4 | 7.485737E-4 | 1.1365566 | 9.0E-5 | 0.005868405 | 0.0065673618 | 0.006785917 | 1.033279 | 2.2E-4 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.0283615E-5 | 1.0283615E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.4071916E-5 | 6.4071035E-5 | 1.4537838 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.364485E-4 | 6.0641096E-4 | 1.1304178 | 7.0E-5 | 0.004783291 | 0.005352047 | 0.0055012438 | 1.0278766 | 1.5E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6483033E-7 | 3.6483033E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635576E-6 | 1.1563542E-5 | 7.395661 | 1.0E-5 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9036152E-5 | 2.9035962E-5 | 1.5253062 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9034566E-4 | 2.0034375E-4 | 1.052526 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696958E-9 | 2.6696958E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.14415535E-8 | 1.14415535E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3930091E-7 | 1.3930091E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3930091E-6 | 1.3930091E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Parkfield)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.556969E-4 | 7.792633E-4 | 7.792633E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023793848 | 0.0033359756 | 0.0033658757 | 1.0089629 | 3.0E-5 | 0.028586963 | 0.040301725 | 0.040426485 | 1.0030956 | 1.3E-4 | 0.25176284 | 0.33749193 | 0.33769068 | 1.0005889 | 3.0E-4 |
6.1 | 1.925858E-4 | 3.031904E-4 | 3.031904E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2510663E-4 | 0.0012988346 | 0.0013088216 | 1.0076892 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0099994885 | 0.015794113 | 0.015853167 | 1.0037389 | 6.0E-5 | 0.095613256 | 0.14986132 | 0.15000585 | 1.0009644 | 1.7E-4 |
6.2 | 9.4306815E-5 | 1.8255526E-4 | 1.8255526E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0410945E-4 | 7.8214635E-4 | 7.8214635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049089384 | 0.009481256 | 0.009520877 | 1.0041789 | 4.0E-5 | 0.048019063 | 0.09191043 | 0.092037566 | 1.0013832 | 1.4E-4 |
6.3 | 9.283051E-5 | 1.7952012E-4 | 1.7952012E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9778434E-4 | 7.691463E-4 | 7.691463E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048322747 | 0.009324336 | 0.009363963 | 1.0042498 | 4.0E-5 | 0.047285385 | 0.090563074 | 0.09069039 | 1.0014058 | 1.4E-4 |
6.4 | 9.138826E-5 | 1.7714166E-4 | 1.7714166E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.916052E-4 | 7.5895886E-4 | 7.5895886E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047573745 | 0.009201363 | 0.009240994 | 1.0043072 | 4.0E-5 | 0.046568092 | 0.089461446 | 0.08958892 | 1.0014249 | 1.4E-4 |
6.5 | 9.000255E-5 | 1.747212E-4 | 1.747212E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8566816E-4 | 7.485914E-4 | 7.485914E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046854047 | 0.0090762125 | 0.00911585 | 1.0043671 | 4.0E-5 | 0.045878403 | 0.08834965 | 0.088477276 | 1.0014446 | 1.4E-4 |
6.6 | 8.8109264E-5 | 1.7153137E-4 | 1.7153137E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7755648E-4 | 7.3492853E-4 | 7.3492853E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045870654 | 0.008911253 | 0.008950897 | 1.0044487 | 4.0E-5 | 0.04493529 | 0.08688005 | 0.08700789 | 1.0014714 | 1.4E-4 |
6.7 | 8.738073E-5 | 1.7020183E-4 | 1.7020183E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7443507E-4 | 7.2923367E-4 | 7.2923367E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045492216 | 0.0088425325 | 0.008882179 | 1.0044836 | 4.0E-5 | 0.04457213 | 0.08628015 | 0.08640807 | 1.0014826 | 1.4E-4 |
6.8 | 8.710195E-5 | 1.6965656E-4 | 1.6965656E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7324068E-4 | 7.268981E-4 | 7.268981E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045347405 | 0.008814336 | 0.008853983 | 1.004498 | 4.0E-5 | 0.04443313 | 0.08602771 | 0.08615567 | 1.0014874 | 1.4E-4 |
6.9 | 8.6801556E-5 | 1.6906588E-4 | 1.6906588E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7195362E-4 | 7.24368E-4 | 7.24368E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045191357 | 0.00878378 | 0.008823429 | 1.0045139 | 4.0E-5 | 0.044283327 | 0.085753605 | 0.0858816 | 1.0014926 | 1.4E-4 |
7.0 | 8.5571606E-5 | 1.6659319E-4 | 1.6659319E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6668387E-4 | 7.137766E-4 | 7.137766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004455241 | 0.008655861 | 0.008695515 | 1.0045811 | 4.0E-5 | 0.043669727 | 0.08460232 | 0.08473047 | 1.0015148 | 1.4E-4 |
7.1 | 7.82589E-5 | 1.5139871E-4 | 1.5139871E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3535215E-4 | 6.48691E-4 | 6.48691E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040752706 | 0.007869383 | 0.007899147 | 1.0037823 | 3.0E-5 | 0.040013418 | 0.07751751 | 0.07763743 | 1.0015471 | 1.3E-4 |
7.2 | 7.690929E-5 | 1.4877054E-4 | 1.4877054E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2956956E-4 | 6.3743297E-4 | 6.3743297E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004005129 | 0.007733297 | 0.0077630654 | 1.0038494 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0393371 | 0.07629041 | 0.07641049 | 1.001574 | 1.3E-4 |
7.3 | 7.5543794E-5 | 1.4573496E-4 | 1.4573496E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2371894E-4 | 6.244296E-4 | 6.244296E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003934157 | 0.0075760926 | 0.0076058656 | 1.0039299 | 3.0E-5 | 0.038652334 | 0.07485164 | 0.074971914 | 1.0016068 | 1.3E-4 |
7.4 | 7.4214564E-5 | 1.4274316E-4 | 1.4274316E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1802364E-4 | 6.116136E-4 | 6.116136E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003865065 | 0.0074211312 | 0.0074509084 | 1.0040125 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03798529 | 0.07342488 | 0.073545344 | 1.0016406 | 1.3E-4 |
7.5 | 6.149578E-5 | 1.12004695E-4 | 1.12004695E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6352672E-4 | 4.7993194E-4 | 4.7993194E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032037178 | 0.005827548 | 0.0058474317 | 1.003412 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03157923 | 0.058600023 | 0.058712993 | 1.0019277 | 1.2E-4 |
7.6 | 6.0643448E-5 | 1.1029037E-4 | 1.1029037E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.598746E-4 | 4.7258748E-4 | 4.7258748E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031593828 | 0.005738604 | 0.0057584895 | 1.0034652 | 2.0E-5 | 0.031148417 | 0.05776066 | 0.05787373 | 1.0019575 | 1.2E-4 |
7.7 | 5.1652263E-5 | 9.183331E-5 | 9.183331E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2134806E-4 | 3.93512E-4 | 3.93512E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002691582 | 0.0047804937 | 0.0048003984 | 1.0041636 | 2.0E-5 | 0.026592141 | 0.048574347 | 0.048679 | 1.0021546 | 1.1E-4 |
7.8 | 4.8090482E-5 | 8.567592E-5 | 8.567592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.060858E-4 | 3.6713085E-4 | 3.6713085E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025062072 | 0.0044606654 | 0.004480576 | 1.0044637 | 2.0E-5 | 0.024781305 | 0.045337807 | 0.04544282 | 1.0023162 | 1.1E-4 |
7.9 | 3.970278E-5 | 6.7565285E-5 | 6.7565285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7014367E-4 | 2.8953337E-4 | 2.8953337E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002069531 | 0.0035193749 | 0.0035293396 | 1.0028315 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020503636 | 0.035910003 | 0.035996772 | 1.0024163 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.8982335E-5 | 4.0735104E-5 | 4.0735104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2420409E-4 | 1.7456735E-4 | 1.7456735E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015111357 | 0.002123287 | 0.002123287 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015009012 | 0.022029046 | 0.022068165 | 1.0017757 | 4.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.8836186E-5 | 1.8700324E-5 | 1.8700324E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0724014E-5 | 8.0141785E-5 | 8.0141785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.823717E-4 | 9.752901E-4 | 9.752901E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009780403 | 0.010498293 | 0.010508188 | 1.0009426 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.481529E-6 | 5.481529E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3492057E-5 | 2.3492057E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8597834E-4 | 2.8597834E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.003252439 | 0.003252439 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.669667E-7 | 7.669667E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2869962E-6 | 3.2869962E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0018458E-5 | 4.0018458E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7252612E-4 | 4.7252612E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4339264E-4 | 2.6338777E-4 | 1.0821518 | 2.0E-5 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.001042696 | 0.0010826542 | 1.0383221 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.012621414 | 0.012730026 | 1.0086054 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.1206729 | 0.1209279 | 1.0021132 | 2.9E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4339264E-4 | 2.6338777E-4 | 1.0821518 | 2.0E-5 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.001042696 | 0.0010826542 | 1.0383221 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.012621414 | 0.012730026 | 1.0086054 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.1206729 | 0.1209279 | 1.0021132 | 2.9E-4 |
6.2 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4339264E-4 | 2.6338777E-4 | 1.0821518 | 2.0E-5 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.001042696 | 0.0010826542 | 1.0383221 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.012621414 | 0.012730026 | 1.0086054 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.1206729 | 0.1209279 | 1.0021132 | 2.9E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4339264E-4 | 2.6338777E-4 | 1.0821518 | 2.0E-5 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.001042696 | 0.0010826542 | 1.0383221 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.012621414 | 0.012730026 | 1.0086054 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.1206729 | 0.1209279 | 1.0021132 | 2.9E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4339264E-4 | 2.6338777E-4 | 1.0821518 | 2.0E-5 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.001042696 | 0.0010826542 | 1.0383221 | 4.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.012621414 | 0.012730026 | 1.0086054 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0591016 | 0.1206729 | 0.1209279 | 1.0021132 | 2.9E-4 |
6.5 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.365916E-4 | 2.5658688E-4 | 1.0845139 | 2.0E-5 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010135715 | 0.001053531 | 1.0394244 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0058862255 | 0.0122708585 | 0.012379508 | 1.0088543 | 1.1E-4 | 0.057327334 | 0.11764852 | 0.1179044 | 1.002175 | 2.9E-4 |
6.6 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.365916E-4 | 2.5658688E-4 | 1.0845139 | 2.0E-5 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010135715 | 0.001053531 | 1.0394244 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0058862255 | 0.0122708585 | 0.012379508 | 1.0088543 | 1.1E-4 | 0.057327334 | 0.11764852 | 0.1179044 | 1.002175 | 2.9E-4 |
6.7 | 1.1149675E-4 | 2.3350326E-4 | 2.5349858E-4 | 1.085632 | 2.0E-5 | 4.777557E-4 | 0.001000346 | 0.001040306 | 1.0399462 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0058011734 | 0.012111636 | 0.0122203035 | 1.0089722 | 1.1E-4 | 0.05652051 | 0.11627038 | 0.11652666 | 1.0022042 | 2.9E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1103589E-4 | 2.3252465E-4 | 2.5252E-4 | 1.0859923 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7578133E-4 | 9.961551E-4 | 0.0010361153 | 1.0401144 | 4.0E-5 | 0.005777263 | 0.012061179 | 0.012169852 | 1.0090102 | 1.1E-4 | 0.056293584 | 0.11583011 | 0.11608651 | 1.0022137 | 2.9E-4 |
6.9 | 1.1053259E-4 | 2.3144824E-4 | 2.4144593E-4 | 1.0431962 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7362508E-4 | 9.915455E-4 | 0.0010215157 | 1.0302258 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0057511497 | 0.012005676 | 0.012104475 | 1.0082294 | 1.0E-4 | 0.05604569 | 0.11534688 | 0.11559458 | 1.0021474 | 2.8E-4 |
7.0 | 1.1005377E-4 | 2.3045641E-4 | 2.404541E-4 | 1.0433822 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7157376E-4 | 9.87298E-4 | 0.0010172684 | 1.0303559 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0057263062 | 0.011954532 | 0.012053336 | 1.008265 | 1.0E-4 | 0.055809796 | 0.11489995 | 0.11514778 | 1.0021569 | 2.8E-4 |
7.1 | 1.0308142E-4 | 2.155484E-4 | 2.2554625E-4 | 1.0463833 | 1.0E-5 | 4.417027E-4 | 9.2345284E-4 | 9.5342513E-4 | 1.0324568 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0053644776 | 0.011185395 | 0.011284276 | 1.0088402 | 1.0E-4 | 0.052368138 | 0.10816764 | 0.108408436 | 1.0022261 | 2.7E-4 |
7.2 | 1.0027479E-4 | 2.0962681E-4 | 2.1962472E-4 | 1.0476938 | 1.0E-5 | 4.296783E-4 | 8.9809234E-4 | 9.280654E-4 | 1.0333742 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0052187922 | 0.010879753 | 0.010978665 | 1.0090914 | 1.0E-4 | 0.050979212 | 0.105469175 | 0.10570175 | 1.0022051 | 2.6E-4 |
7.3 | 9.816942E-5 | 2.0437667E-4 | 2.1437462E-4 | 1.0489193 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2065824E-4 | 8.7560696E-4 | 8.955895E-4 | 1.0228213 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005109493 | 0.010608692 | 0.010697737 | 1.0083936 | 9.0E-5 | 0.049935985 | 0.10305304 | 0.10327727 | 1.0021759 | 2.5E-4 |
7.4 | 9.5634205E-5 | 1.9806933E-4 | 2.0806736E-4 | 1.0504774 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0979648E-4 | 8.4859336E-4 | 8.685764E-4 | 1.0235484 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0049778637 | 0.010282944 | 0.010372019 | 1.0086623 | 9.0E-5 | 0.048678253 | 0.10013336 | 0.10034933 | 1.0021569 | 2.4E-4 |
7.5 | 8.052417E-5 | 1.61258E-4 | 1.61258E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4505792E-4 | 6.9092284E-4 | 7.0091593E-4 | 1.0144634 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041929903 | 0.008379621 | 0.008429203 | 1.0059168 | 5.0E-5 | 0.04114753 | 0.082869716 | 0.08304397 | 1.0021027 | 1.9E-4 |
7.6 | 7.897024E-5 | 1.5778856E-4 | 1.5778856E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.384E-4 | 6.760616E-4 | 6.860548E-4 | 1.0147816 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041122385 | 0.008200062 | 0.008249652 | 1.0060475 | 5.0E-5 | 0.040369697 | 0.08121066 | 0.081385225 | 1.0021496 | 1.9E-4 |
7.7 | 6.707427E-5 | 1.328776E-4 | 1.328776E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8742946E-4 | 5.693512E-4 | 5.793455E-4 | 1.0175538 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003493839 | 0.0069098515 | 0.0069495747 | 1.0057489 | 4.0E-5 | 0.034394164 | 0.06910001 | 0.06923964 | 1.0020207 | 1.5E-4 |
7.8 | 6.147705E-5 | 1.2208038E-4 | 1.2208038E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6344648E-4 | 5.2309677E-4 | 5.3309154E-4 | 1.0191069 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032027436 | 0.0063501303 | 0.0063898764 | 1.0062591 | 4.0E-5 | 0.031569764 | 0.06356226 | 0.063702725 | 1.0022099 | 1.5E-4 |
7.9 | 4.7636717E-5 | 8.887325E-5 | 8.887325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0414138E-4 | 3.8082976E-4 | 3.8082976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024825884 | 0.004626753 | 0.0046466603 | 1.0043027 | 2.0E-5 | 0.024550365 | 0.046663325 | 0.046768192 | 1.0022473 | 1.1E-4 |
8.0 | 3.3554235E-5 | 5.218172E-5 | 5.218172E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4379594E-4 | 2.2361678E-4 | 2.2361678E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017493097 | 0.002719137 | 0.0027291097 | 1.0036676 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017356034 | 0.027902989 | 0.027961314 | 1.0020903 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9175432E-5 | 1.9204545E-5 | 1.9204545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.217783E-5 | 8.23026E-5 | 8.23026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010000558 | 0.0010015742 | 0.0010015742 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009955673 | 0.01076849 | 0.010778382 | 1.0009186 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.481529E-6 | 5.481529E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3492057E-5 | 2.3492057E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8597834E-4 | 2.8597834E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.003252439 | 0.003252439 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.669667E-7 | 7.669667E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2869962E-6 | 3.2869962E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0018458E-5 | 4.0018458E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7252612E-4 | 4.7252612E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sierra Nevada (No Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9763823E-6 | 4.6976103E-5 | 6.7335906 | 4.0E-5 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9898642E-5 | 1.0989625E-4 | 3.6756268 | 8.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.63991E-4 | 5.439255E-4 | 1.4943377 | 1.8E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374643 | 0.0039064824 | 1.0739576 | 2.7E-4 |
6.1 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9763823E-6 | 4.6976103E-5 | 6.7335906 | 4.0E-5 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9898642E-5 | 1.0989625E-4 | 3.6756268 | 8.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.63991E-4 | 5.439255E-4 | 1.4943377 | 1.8E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374643 | 0.0039064824 | 1.0739576 | 2.7E-4 |
6.2 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9763823E-6 | 4.6976103E-5 | 6.7335906 | 4.0E-5 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9898642E-5 | 1.0989625E-4 | 3.6756268 | 8.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.63991E-4 | 5.439255E-4 | 1.4943377 | 1.8E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374643 | 0.0039064824 | 1.0739576 | 2.7E-4 |
6.3 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9763823E-6 | 4.6976103E-5 | 6.7335906 | 4.0E-5 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9898642E-5 | 1.0989625E-4 | 3.6756268 | 8.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.63991E-4 | 5.439255E-4 | 1.4943377 | 1.8E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374643 | 0.0039064824 | 1.0739576 | 2.7E-4 |
6.4 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9763823E-6 | 4.6976103E-5 | 6.7335906 | 4.0E-5 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9898642E-5 | 1.0989625E-4 | 3.6756268 | 8.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.63991E-4 | 5.439255E-4 | 1.4943377 | 1.8E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374643 | 0.0039064824 | 1.0739576 | 2.7E-4 |
6.5 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.9763823E-6 | 4.6976103E-5 | 6.7335906 | 4.0E-5 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9898642E-5 | 1.0989625E-4 | 3.6756268 | 8.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.63991E-4 | 5.439255E-4 | 1.4943377 | 1.8E-4 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374643 | 0.0039064824 | 1.0739576 | 2.7E-4 |
6.6 | 2.653E-6 | 1.6148612E-6 | 4.1614796E-5 | 25.769892 | 4.0E-5 | 1.136995E-5 | 6.9208154E-6 | 6.69204E-5 | 9.669438 | 6.0E-5 | 1.3842035E-4 | 8.425771E-5 | 2.042476E-4 | 2.424082 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0013833415 | 8.42261E-4 | 0.0010121178 | 1.2016677 | 1.7E-4 |
6.7 | 2.5902466E-6 | 1.5501943E-6 | 4.155013E-5 | 26.803177 | 4.0E-5 | 1.11010095E-5 | 6.6436733E-6 | 6.6643275E-5 | 10.031089 | 6.0E-5 | 1.351464E-4 | 8.088375E-5 | 2.0087404E-4 | 2.4834907 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0013506424 | 8.085461E-4 | 9.784086E-4 | 1.210084 | 1.7E-4 |
6.8 | 2.5853892E-6 | 1.5469943E-6 | 4.1546933E-5 | 26.85655 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1080193E-5 | 6.629959E-6 | 6.662956E-5 | 10.049769 | 6.0E-5 | 1.34893E-4 | 8.0716796E-5 | 2.007071E-4 | 2.4865594 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0013481114 | 8.0687774E-4 | 9.767406E-4 | 1.2105187 | 1.7E-4 |
6.9 | 2.458257E-6 | 1.422068E-6 | 4.1422012E-5 | 29.128012 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0535345E-5 | 6.0945627E-6 | 6.6094195E-5 | 10.844781 | 6.0E-5 | 1.2826028E-4 | 7.419879E-5 | 1.941899E-4 | 2.617157 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0012818627 | 7.4174214E-4 | 9.116161E-4 | 1.2290201 | 1.7E-4 |
7.0 | 2.4341468E-6 | 1.3990317E-6 | 4.1398976E-5 | 29.591164 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0432016E-5 | 5.995836E-6 | 6.5995475E-5 | 11.006885 | 6.0E-5 | 1.270024E-4 | 7.299688E-5 | 1.9298813E-4 | 2.643786 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0012692984 | 7.2973093E-4 | 8.996069E-4 | 1.2327926 | 1.7E-4 |
7.1 | 2.3652476E-6 | 1.3339809E-6 | 4.1333926E-5 | 30.985397 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0136736E-5 | 5.717048E-6 | 6.5716704E-5 | 11.494866 | 6.0E-5 | 1.2340778E-4 | 6.960286E-5 | 1.895945E-4 | 2.7239473 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0012333926 | 6.958123E-4 | 8.6569396E-4 | 1.2441487 | 1.7E-4 |
7.2 | 2.272158E-6 | 1.2502869E-6 | 4.1250238E-5 | 32.992615 | 4.0E-5 | 9.737784E-6 | 5.3583617E-6 | 6.535804E-5 | 12.197392 | 6.0E-5 | 1.1855107E-4 | 6.523611E-5 | 1.8522829E-4 | 2.839352 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0011848784 | 6.5217115E-4 | 8.220603E-4 | 1.2604978 | 1.7E-4 |
7.3 | 2.1382127E-6 | 1.1419743E-6 | 4.1141928E-5 | 36.02702 | 4.0E-5 | 9.163737E-6 | 4.894166E-6 | 6.489387E-5 | 13.259434 | 6.0E-5 | 1.1156279E-4 | 5.9584858E-5 | 1.795777E-4 | 3.0138144 | 1.2E-4 | 0.001115068 | 5.9569E-4 | 7.655887E-4 | 1.2852134 | 1.7E-4 |
7.4 | 1.9048055E-6 | 9.575268E-7 | 3.0957497E-5 | 32.330685 | 3.0E-5 | 8.163426E-6 | 4.10368E-6 | 5.4103475E-5 | 13.184135 | 5.0E-5 | 9.9385186E-5 | 4.9961167E-5 | 1.5995567E-4 | 3.2016 | 1.1E-4 | 9.934074E-4 | 4.995E-4 | 6.594201E-4 | 1.3201603 | 1.6E-4 |
7.5 | 1.5373403E-6 | 7.5600497E-7 | 2.075599E-5 | 27.454832 | 2.0E-5 | 6.5885843E-6 | 3.2400173E-6 | 4.323989E-5 | 13.345572 | 4.0E-5 | 8.021306E-5 | 3.9446502E-5 | 1.1944334E-4 | 3.0279832 | 8.0E-5 | 8.0184115E-4 | 3.9439547E-4 | 5.1434815E-4 | 1.3041431 | 1.2E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.659614E-7 | 1.0465957E-5 | 22.460995 | 1.0E-5 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.996976E-6 | 3.1996915E-5 | 16.022686 | 3.0E-5 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.4312913E-5 | 6.431194E-5 | 2.6451762 | 4.0E-5 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.431028E-4 | 2.9309065E-4 | 1.2056243 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5579508E-7 | 1.5579508E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.6769303E-7 | 1.0667686E-5 | 15.976933 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.129134E-6 | 1.8129052E-5 | 2.2301333 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.1288475E-5 | 9.1287664E-5 | 1.1230086 | 1.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Coachella) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.2737656E-4 | 3.2737656E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.0014022927 | 0.0014322506 | 1.0213635 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0062038354 | 0.0169406 | 0.017029075 | 1.0052227 | 9.0E-5 | 0.060334753 | 0.1526909 | 0.1529112 | 1.0014428 | 2.6E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.2737656E-4 | 3.2737656E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.0014022927 | 0.0014322506 | 1.0213635 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0062038354 | 0.0169406 | 0.017029075 | 1.0052227 | 9.0E-5 | 0.060334753 | 0.1526909 | 0.1529112 | 1.0014428 | 2.6E-4 |
6.2 | 1.07432395E-4 | 3.0238432E-4 | 3.0238432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.603433E-4 | 0.0012952932 | 0.0013252543 | 1.0231308 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005590286 | 0.015657261 | 0.015745852 | 1.0056581 | 9.0E-5 | 0.05451731 | 0.14185148 | 0.14206602 | 1.0015124 | 2.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0718766E-4 | 3.0183737E-4 | 3.0183737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.592948E-4 | 0.0012929515 | 0.0013229126 | 1.0231727 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005577586 | 0.01562916 | 0.015717754 | 1.0056685 | 9.0E-5 | 0.054396555 | 0.14161977 | 0.14183436 | 1.0015153 | 2.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0355944E-4 | 2.9391807E-4 | 2.9391807E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4375064E-4 | 0.0012590447 | 0.001289007 | 1.0237976 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0053892885 | 0.015222184 | 0.015310815 | 1.0058224 | 9.0E-5 | 0.052604496 | 0.13818015 | 0.13839561 | 1.0015593 | 2.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.0227914E-4 | 2.9111237E-4 | 2.9111237E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.382655E-4 | 0.0012470318 | 0.0012769945 | 1.0240271 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0053228354 | 0.015077962 | 0.015166605 | 1.0058789 | 9.0E-5 | 0.051971316 | 0.13696435 | 0.1371801 | 1.0015754 | 2.5E-4 |
6.6 | 1.0116757E-4 | 2.8876984E-4 | 2.8876984E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3350324E-4 | 0.001237002 | 0.0012669648 | 1.0242221 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0052651367 | 0.01495753 | 0.015046184 | 1.0059271 | 9.0E-5 | 0.051421247 | 0.1359429 | 0.13615893 | 1.0015891 | 2.5E-4 |
6.7 | 1.0050676E-4 | 2.8735545E-4 | 2.8735545E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3067214E-4 | 0.001230946 | 0.0012609091 | 1.0243415 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005230834 | 0.014884809 | 0.014973469 | 1.0059564 | 9.0E-5 | 0.051094085 | 0.13532709 | 0.13554326 | 1.0015974 | 2.5E-4 |
6.8 | 9.976819E-5 | 2.853919E-4 | 2.853919E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2750788E-4 | 0.0012225388 | 0.0012525021 | 1.0245091 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0051924936 | 0.014783845 | 0.014872515 | 1.0059978 | 9.0E-5 | 0.050728295 | 0.13447858 | 0.13469496 | 1.0016091 | 2.5E-4 |
6.9 | 9.77719E-5 | 2.8036052E-4 | 2.8036052E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1895514E-4 | 0.0012009956 | 0.0012309597 | 1.0249493 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0050888555 | 0.014525084 | 0.014613777 | 1.0061061 | 9.0E-5 | 0.049738888 | 0.13230702 | 0.13252395 | 1.0016395 | 2.5E-4 |
7.0 | 8.500761E-5 | 2.4770226E-4 | 2.4770226E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6426744E-4 | 0.0010611524 | 0.0010911206 | 1.0282412 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0044259406 | 0.012843774 | 0.012932618 | 1.0069172 | 9.0E-5 | 0.04338823 | 0.118161224 | 0.11838169 | 1.0018657 | 2.5E-4 |
7.1 | 8.319876E-5 | 2.4372888E-4 | 2.4372888E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5651738E-4 | 0.0010441374 | 0.0010741061 | 1.0287019 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004331963 | 0.012639038 | 0.0127279 | 1.0070308 | 9.0E-5 | 0.042484846 | 0.11638121 | 0.11660212 | 1.0018982 | 2.5E-4 |
7.2 | 7.563917E-5 | 2.2421111E-4 | 2.2421111E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412758E-4 | 9.6055394E-4 | 9.905251E-4 | 1.031202 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0039391145 | 0.011632725 | 0.011721678 | 1.0076468 | 9.0E-5 | 0.03870018 | 0.107787125 | 0.108001254 | 1.0019866 | 2.4E-4 |
7.3 | 7.082985E-5 | 2.0736993E-4 | 2.0736993E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0352117E-4 | 8.884285E-4 | 9.184018E-4 | 1.0337375 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0036891096 | 0.010763597 | 0.010842735 | 1.0073525 | 8.0E-5 | 0.03628465 | 0.100309 | 0.100515924 | 1.0020629 | 2.3E-4 |
7.4 | 5.146215E-5 | 1.4279566E-4 | 1.4279566E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2053342E-4 | 6.1183877E-4 | 6.318265E-4 | 1.0326684 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0026816884 | 0.0074238833 | 0.0074933637 | 1.009359 | 7.0E-5 | 0.02649557 | 0.07087432 | 0.071069434 | 1.002753 | 2.1E-4 |
7.5 | 4.0285166E-5 | 1.09465866E-4 | 1.09465866E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7263928E-4 | 4.690554E-4 | 4.790507E-4 | 1.0213095 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002099857 | 0.0056958655 | 0.0057555237 | 1.010474 | 6.0E-5 | 0.020801254 | 0.055033237 | 0.055212777 | 1.0032624 | 1.9E-4 |
7.6 | 3.1168736E-5 | 8.4432955E-5 | 8.4432955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3357346E-4 | 3.6180546E-4 | 3.7180184E-4 | 1.0276291 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016250437 | 0.0043961112 | 0.004455847 | 1.0135884 | 6.0E-5 | 0.016132116 | 0.04282972 | 0.04301158 | 1.0042461 | 1.9E-4 |
7.7 | 2.2100989E-5 | 6.24259E-5 | 6.24259E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4715084E-5 | 2.6751217E-4 | 2.7750948E-4 | 1.0373715 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001152546 | 0.0032521028 | 0.0033119076 | 1.0183896 | 6.0E-5 | 0.011465867 | 0.031917803 | 0.032101735 | 1.0057628 | 1.9E-4 |
7.8 | 1.7484861E-5 | 5.1829753E-5 | 5.1829753E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.493296E-5 | 2.2210862E-4 | 2.321064E-4 | 1.0450131 | 1.0E-5 | 9.1192697E-4 | 0.002700822 | 0.00276066 | 1.0221554 | 6.0E-5 | 0.009081938 | 0.02665577 | 0.026830973 | 1.0065727 | 1.8E-4 |
7.9 | 1.3967285E-5 | 3.824988E-5 | 3.824988E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.985842E-5 | 1.6391778E-4 | 1.6391778E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2853256E-4 | 0.0019938734 | 0.0020437737 | 1.0250268 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0072614877 | 0.019922102 | 0.020049512 | 1.0063955 | 1.3E-4 |
8.0 | 1.1887396E-5 | 3.1088406E-5 | 3.1088406E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.094499E-5 | 1.3322923E-4 | 1.3322923E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.200787E-4 | 0.0016208598 | 0.0016707788 | 1.0307978 | 5.0E-5 | 0.006183513 | 0.016290106 | 0.016408151 | 1.0072464 | 1.2E-4 |
8.1 | 5.100864E-6 | 8.982015E-6 | 8.982015E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1860664E-5 | 3.8493785E-5 | 3.8493785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6612106E-4 | 4.685612E-4 | 4.685612E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002658026 | 0.0049220384 | 0.0049220384 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.3004484E-6 | 2.7896588E-6 | 2.7896588E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.859027E-6 | 1.1955625E-5 | 1.1955625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2002704E-4 | 1.4555005E-4 | 1.4555005E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011996223 | 0.0015991364 | 0.0015991364 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.0424446E-7 | 5.823668E-8 | 5.823668E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4676187E-7 | 2.4958575E-7 | 2.4958575E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.439312E-6 | 3.0387025E-6 | 3.0387025E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4391792E-5 | 3.19457E-5 | 3.19457E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.9374933E-4 | 2.9374933E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012584677 | 0.0012684552 | 1.0079361 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008420097 | 0.015235365 | 0.015323995 | 1.0058173 | 9.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.13948539 | 0.13965748 | 1.0012338 | 2.0E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.9374933E-4 | 2.9374933E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012584677 | 0.0012684552 | 1.0079361 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008420097 | 0.015235365 | 0.015323995 | 1.0058173 | 9.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.13948539 | 0.13965748 | 1.0012338 | 2.0E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.9374933E-4 | 2.9374933E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012584677 | 0.0012684552 | 1.0079361 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008420097 | 0.015235365 | 0.015323995 | 1.0058173 | 9.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.13948539 | 0.13965748 | 1.0012338 | 2.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7704506E-4 | 1.7704506E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.5866055E-4 | 7.68653E-4 | 1.0131711 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005262531 | 0.009218263 | 0.0092975255 | 1.0085984 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0513964 | 0.086924545 | 0.08706151 | 1.0015756 | 1.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7704506E-4 | 1.7704506E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.5866055E-4 | 7.68653E-4 | 1.0131711 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005262531 | 0.009218263 | 0.0092975255 | 1.0085984 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0513964 | 0.086924545 | 0.08706151 | 1.0015756 | 1.5E-4 |
6.5 | 3.6624708E-5 | 4.6394834E-5 | 4.6394834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.569536E-4 | 1.9882186E-4 | 1.9882186E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001909235 | 0.0024183297 | 0.0024382812 | 1.0082501 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01892915 | 0.02369724 | 0.02376558 | 1.0028839 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.5051324E-5 | 2.614984E-5 | 2.614984E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.073584E-4 | 1.12066184E-4 | 1.12066184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013063047 | 0.0013635963 | 0.0013635963 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012986525 | 0.01356614 | 0.013595733 | 1.0021814 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.2189772E-5 | 2.2074575E-5 | 2.2074575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.509556E-5 | 9.4602095E-5 | 9.4602095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011571734 | 0.0011512083 | 0.0011512083 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011511663 | 0.01146651 | 0.01148628 | 1.0017242 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6654378E-5 | 1.4438781E-5 | 1.4438781E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.137396E-5 | 6.187905E-5 | 6.187905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.686314E-4 | 7.531222E-4 | 7.531222E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008652439 | 0.00751073 | 0.0075206547 | 1.0013214 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5042909E-5 | 1.2332931E-5 | 1.2332931E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.446802E-5 | 5.2854368E-5 | 5.2854368E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8461546E-4 | 6.433151E-4 | 6.433151E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007818509 | 0.0064184507 | 0.0064283866 | 1.001548 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.4361385E-5 | 1.1452159E-5 | 1.1452159E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154734E-5 | 4.9079776E-5 | 4.9079776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490812E-4 | 5.973854E-4 | 5.973854E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007465612 | 0.00596159 | 0.0059715305 | 1.0016674 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3265571E-5 | 1.02455715E-5 | 1.02455715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6851208E-5 | 4.390887E-5 | 4.390887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.919436E-4 | 5.3446187E-4 | 5.3446187E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006897931 | 0.0053349636 | 0.0053449105 | 1.0018644 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1596403E-5 | 8.505539E-6 | 8.505539E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9697923E-5 | 3.645181E-5 | 3.645181E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.049042E-4 | 4.4371208E-4 | 4.4371208E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006032603 | 0.004429679 | 0.0044396347 | 1.0022475 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0150827E-5 | 7.2391335E-6 | 7.2391335E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3502816E-5 | 3.1024498E-5 | 3.1024498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2951806E-4 | 3.7765922E-4 | 3.7765922E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005282581 | 0.0037705882 | 0.0037805506 | 1.0026422 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.080705E-6 | 6.3528296E-6 | 6.3528296E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8916725E-5 | 2.7226135E-5 | 2.7226135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7370812E-4 | 3.3142915E-4 | 3.3142915E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004726996 | 0.0033095018 | 0.0033194688 | 1.0030116 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.671649E-6 | 5.225884E-6 | 5.225884E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.287808E-5 | 2.239646E-5 | 2.239646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0021708E-4 | 2.72644E-4 | 2.72644E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039949706 | 0.0027232203 | 0.002733193 | 1.0036621 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.990086E-6 | 4.6877526E-6 | 4.6877526E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9957167E-5 | 2.009022E-5 | 2.009022E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6466747E-4 | 2.4457215E-4 | 2.4457215E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036406964 | 0.0024431462 | 0.0024531218 | 1.004083 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.163505E-6 | 2.3296293E-6 | 2.3296293E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7843471E-5 | 9.984092E-6 | 9.984092E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.172226E-4 | 1.2155028E-4 | 1.2155028E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021701038 | 0.001214911 | 0.0012248988 | 1.008221 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.385222E-8 | 9.385222E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0222375E-7 | 4.0222375E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.8970664E-6 | 4.8970664E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.8969912E-5 | 4.8969912E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.43986E-9 | 3.43986E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4742258E-8 | 1.4742258E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7948697E-7 | 1.7948697E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7948685E-6 | 1.7948685E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7267935E-5 | 4.7267935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0256279E-4 | 2.2255875E-4 | 1.0987148 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024636744 | 0.002563428 | 1.0404898 | 1.0E-4 | 0.02000288 | 0.024389444 | 0.024594322 | 1.0084003 | 2.1E-4 |
6.1 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7267935E-5 | 4.7267935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0256279E-4 | 2.2255875E-4 | 1.0987148 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024636744 | 0.002563428 | 1.0404898 | 1.0E-4 | 0.02000288 | 0.024389444 | 0.024594322 | 1.0084003 | 2.1E-4 |
6.2 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7267935E-5 | 4.7267935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0256279E-4 | 2.2255875E-4 | 1.0987148 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024636744 | 0.002563428 | 1.0404898 | 1.0E-4 | 0.02000288 | 0.024389444 | 0.024594322 | 1.0084003 | 2.1E-4 |
6.3 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.3611115E-5 | 3.3611115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.4404008E-4 | 1.640372E-4 | 1.1388302 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0017523472 | 0.001852172 | 1.0569663 | 1.0E-4 | 0.014687235 | 0.017392488 | 0.017598836 | 1.0118642 | 2.1E-4 |
6.4 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.3611115E-5 | 3.3611115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.4404008E-4 | 1.640372E-4 | 1.1388302 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0017523472 | 0.001852172 | 1.0569663 | 1.0E-4 | 0.014687235 | 0.017392488 | 0.017598836 | 1.0118642 | 2.1E-4 |
6.5 | 2.4448687E-5 | 2.8608616E-5 | 2.8608616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0477588E-4 | 1.2260284E-4 | 1.4260039E-4 | 1.1631083 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012748998 | 0.0014917152 | 0.001581581 | 1.0602432 | 9.0E-5 | 0.012676105 | 0.014821919 | 0.015018955 | 1.0132935 | 2.0E-4 |
6.6 | 2.1298161E-5 | 2.4660905E-5 | 2.4660905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.127464E-5 | 1.0568547E-4 | 1.2568335E-4 | 1.1892208 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011107022 | 0.001285994 | 0.0013758782 | 1.0698948 | 9.0E-5 | 0.011051672 | 0.012788953 | 0.0129863955 | 1.0154384 | 2.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8959729E-5 | 2.1781709E-5 | 2.1781709E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.125345E-5 | 9.3346986E-5 | 1.13345115E-4 | 1.2142344 | 2.0E-5 | 9.888117E-4 | 0.0011359325 | 0.0012258303 | 1.0791401 | 9.0E-5 | 0.009844234 | 0.011303922 | 0.0115016615 | 1.017493 | 2.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.6691629E-5 | 1.901891E-5 | 1.901891E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.153359E-5 | 8.1507154E-5 | 1.01505524E-4 | 1.2453573 | 2.0E-5 | 8.7057345E-4 | 9.919148E-4 | 0.0010818255 | 1.0906436 | 9.0E-5 | 0.008671708 | 0.009876631 | 0.010074656 | 1.0200498 | 2.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.450505E-5 | 1.6389986E-5 | 1.6389986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.216302E-5 | 7.024095E-5 | 9.023955E-5 | 1.2847142 | 2.0E-5 | 7.5657194E-4 | 8.5485686E-4 | 9.4477995E-4 | 1.1051908 | 9.0E-5 | 0.007540013 | 0.008516616 | 0.008714913 | 1.0232835 | 2.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.2940855E-5 | 1.45383465E-5 | 1.45383465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.545963E-5 | 6.230574E-5 | 8.23045E-5 | 1.3209777 | 2.0E-5 | 6.750118E-4 | 7.583142E-4 | 8.48246E-4 | 1.1185943 | 9.0E-5 | 0.006729651 | 0.0075578843 | 0.0077563724 | 1.0262624 | 2.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.2544658E-5 | 1.4078567E-5 | 1.4078567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3761712E-5 | 6.033535E-5 | 8.0334146E-5 | 1.3314606 | 2.0E-5 | 6.5435225E-4 | 7.343409E-4 | 8.2427484E-4 | 1.1224688 | 9.0E-5 | 0.006524288 | 0.007319737 | 0.0075182733 | 1.0271233 | 2.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.2489416E-5 | 1.4016032E-5 | 1.4016032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3524967E-5 | 6.006736E-5 | 8.006616E-5 | 1.3329395 | 2.0E-5 | 6.514716E-4 | 7.310803E-4 | 8.210145E-4 | 1.1230155 | 9.0E-5 | 0.006495651 | 0.007287345 | 0.0074858875 | 1.0272448 | 2.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2368307E-5 | 1.3880167E-5 | 1.3880167E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3005948E-5 | 5.9485104E-5 | 7.9483914E-5 | 1.3361986 | 2.0E-5 | 6.451563E-4 | 7.239961E-4 | 8.1393094E-4 | 1.12422 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0064328653 | 0.0072169653 | 0.007415522 | 1.0275124 | 2.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.2161707E-5 | 1.3648217E-5 | 1.3648217E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.212056E-5 | 5.8491074E-5 | 7.848991E-5 | 1.3419125 | 2.0E-5 | 6.3438306E-4 | 7.1190175E-4 | 8.018377E-4 | 1.1263319 | 9.0E-5 | 0.006325751 | 0.007096801 | 0.0072953817 | 1.0279818 | 2.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.1707948E-5 | 1.3145852E-5 | 1.3145852E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0175953E-5 | 5.633818E-5 | 7.6337055E-5 | 1.354979 | 2.0E-5 | 6.10721E-4 | 6.857071E-4 | 7.7564537E-4 | 1.1311613 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0060904534 | 0.006836496 | 0.007035129 | 1.0290548 | 2.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0319538E-5 | 1.1579918E-5 | 1.1579918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4225842E-5 | 4.9627302E-5 | 6.962631E-5 | 1.402984 | 2.0E-5 | 5.383166E-4 | 6.0405006E-4 | 6.840018E-4 | 1.1323594 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0053701443 | 0.0060246135 | 0.006213469 | 1.0313473 | 1.9E-4 |
7.7 | 8.937764E-6 | 1.0023033E-5 | 1.0023033E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.830414E-5 | 4.2955176E-5 | 6.295432E-5 | 1.4655817 | 2.0E-5 | 4.6625308E-4 | 5.228588E-4 | 5.928222E-4 | 1.1338093 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0046527605 | 0.005216796 | 0.0053660134 | 1.0286033 | 1.5E-4 |
7.8 | 3.108007E-7 | 3.284693E-7 | 3.284693E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3320023E-6 | 1.4077249E-6 | 1.1407711E-5 | 8.103651 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6217007E-5 | 1.7138918E-5 | 2.7138747E-5 | 1.5834574 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6215823E-4 | 1.7137635E-4 | 1.8137463E-4 | 1.0583411 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696958E-9 | 2.6696958E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.14415535E-8 | 1.14415535E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3930091E-7 | 1.3930091E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3930091E-6 | 1.3930091E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Bernardino)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.6010904E-5 | 5.6010187E-5 | 1.5553674 | 2.0E-5 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5432334E-4 | 1.9431717E-4 | 1.2591561 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.001877269 | 0.0019970438 | 1.0638026 | 1.2E-4 | 0.01763251 | 0.019362185 | 0.019548506 | 1.0096229 | 1.9E-4 |
6.1 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.6010904E-5 | 5.6010187E-5 | 1.5553674 | 2.0E-5 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5432334E-4 | 1.9431717E-4 | 1.2591561 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.001877269 | 0.0019970438 | 1.0638026 | 1.2E-4 | 0.01763251 | 0.019362185 | 0.019548506 | 1.0096229 | 1.9E-4 |
6.2 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.6010904E-5 | 5.6010187E-5 | 1.5553674 | 2.0E-5 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5432334E-4 | 1.9431717E-4 | 1.2591561 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.001877269 | 0.0019970438 | 1.0638026 | 1.2E-4 | 0.01763251 | 0.019362185 | 0.019548506 | 1.0096229 | 1.9E-4 |
6.3 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.6010904E-5 | 5.6010187E-5 | 1.5553674 | 2.0E-5 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5432334E-4 | 1.9431717E-4 | 1.2591561 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.001877269 | 0.0019970438 | 1.0638026 | 1.2E-4 | 0.01763251 | 0.019362185 | 0.019548506 | 1.0096229 | 1.9E-4 |
6.4 | 3.400795E-5 | 3.5903566E-5 | 5.590285E-5 | 1.5570277 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4574021E-4 | 1.5386337E-4 | 1.9385721E-4 | 1.259931 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017729428 | 0.0018716785 | 0.0019914538 | 1.0639936 | 1.2E-4 | 0.017588645 | 0.019307263 | 0.019493595 | 1.0096508 | 1.9E-4 |
6.5 | 3.341482E-5 | 3.5164157E-5 | 5.5163455E-5 | 1.568741 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4319851E-4 | 1.5069483E-4 | 1.906888E-4 | 1.2653971 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017420477 | 0.001833167 | 0.0019529471 | 1.0653405 | 1.2E-4 | 0.017284546 | 0.01892879 | 0.019105384 | 1.0093293 | 1.8E-4 |
6.6 | 3.3364955E-5 | 3.5101373E-5 | 5.510067E-5 | 1.5697583 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4298483E-4 | 1.5042578E-4 | 1.9041977E-4 | 1.2658719 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017394501 | 0.0018298969 | 0.0019496774 | 1.0654575 | 1.2E-4 | 0.017258976 | 0.018896654 | 0.019073253 | 1.0093455 | 1.8E-4 |
6.7 | 3.335922E-5 | 3.5091147E-5 | 5.5090444E-5 | 1.5699244 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4296026E-4 | 1.5038197E-4 | 1.9037595E-4 | 1.2659494 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017391514 | 0.0018293642 | 0.0019491448 | 1.0654765 | 1.2E-4 | 0.017256035 | 0.018891446 | 0.019068046 | 1.0093482 | 1.8E-4 |
6.8 | 3.327683E-5 | 3.4985205E-5 | 5.4984506E-5 | 1.5716503 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4260718E-4 | 1.4992799E-4 | 1.89922E-4 | 1.2667547 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017348597 | 0.0018238464 | 0.0019436275 | 1.065675 | 1.2E-4 | 0.017213784 | 0.018837215 | 0.019004013 | 1.0088547 | 1.7E-4 |
6.9 | 3.3235785E-5 | 3.4926154E-5 | 5.492546E-5 | 1.5726167 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4243131E-4 | 1.4967495E-4 | 1.8966895E-4 | 1.2672058 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017327217 | 0.0018207707 | 0.0019405523 | 1.0657861 | 1.2E-4 | 0.017192734 | 0.018807083 | 0.018973885 | 1.0088692 | 1.7E-4 |
7.0 | 3.3197095E-5 | 3.486608E-5 | 5.4865384E-5 | 1.5736034 | 2.0E-5 | 1.422655E-4 | 1.4941751E-4 | 1.8941153E-4 | 1.2676662 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017307063 | 0.0018176417 | 0.0019374236 | 1.0658996 | 1.2E-4 | 0.017172894 | 0.018776458 | 0.018943265 | 1.0088838 | 1.7E-4 |
7.1 | 3.3129716E-5 | 3.474628E-5 | 5.4745586E-5 | 1.5755812 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4197677E-4 | 1.4890413E-4 | 1.8889818E-4 | 1.2685893 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017271966 | 0.0018114018 | 0.0019311844 | 1.0661271 | 1.2E-4 | 0.017138338 | 0.01871553 | 0.01888235 | 1.0089134 | 1.7E-4 |
7.2 | 3.3034008E-5 | 3.4613717E-5 | 5.4613025E-5 | 1.5777856 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4156665E-4 | 1.4833608E-4 | 1.8833014E-4 | 1.2696179 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017222111 | 0.0018044972 | 0.0019242807 | 1.0663805 | 1.2E-4 | 0.017089253 | 0.018647911 | 0.01881474 | 1.0089463 | 1.7E-4 |
7.3 | 3.2956614E-5 | 3.4481458E-5 | 5.4480766E-5 | 1.5800018 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4123498E-4 | 1.4776931E-4 | 1.877634E-4 | 1.2706522 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017181796 | 0.0017976082 | 0.0019173925 | 1.0666354 | 1.2E-4 | 0.017049557 | 0.018580655 | 0.018747495 | 1.0089793 | 1.7E-4 |
7.4 | 3.2915937E-5 | 3.440314E-5 | 5.440245E-5 | 1.5813223 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4106068E-4 | 1.4743369E-4 | 1.874278E-4 | 1.2712684 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017160608 | 0.0017935288 | 0.0019133136 | 1.0667872 | 1.2E-4 | 0.017028693 | 0.018540919 | 0.018707765 | 1.0089989 | 1.7E-4 |
7.5 | 3.281791E-5 | 3.4268032E-5 | 5.4267348E-5 | 1.5836143 | 2.0E-5 | 1.406406E-4 | 1.4685474E-4 | 1.8684886E-4 | 1.272338 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0017109542 | 0.0017864916 | 0.0019062771 | 1.0670508 | 1.2E-4 | 0.016978411 | 0.018471792 | 0.018638652 | 1.0090332 | 1.7E-4 |
7.6 | 3.2521442E-5 | 3.399294E-5 | 5.399226E-5 | 1.5883374 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3937015E-4 | 1.456759E-4 | 1.8567007E-4 | 1.2745421 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0016955109 | 0.0017721626 | 0.00189195 | 1.0675939 | 1.2E-4 | 0.016826328 | 0.018329415 | 0.0184963 | 1.0091047 | 1.7E-4 |
7.7 | 3.0287873E-5 | 3.247673E-5 | 5.2476084E-5 | 1.6158055 | 2.0E-5 | 1.297987E-4 | 1.3917858E-4 | 1.7917302E-4 | 1.2873605 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0015791537 | 0.0016931833 | 0.0018129802 | 1.0707524 | 1.2E-4 | 0.01567979 | 0.017540332 | 0.01770735 | 1.009522 | 1.7E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6316151E-5 | 2.968678E-5 | 4.9686187E-5 | 1.6736805 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1277862E-4 | 1.2722285E-4 | 1.6721778E-4 | 1.314369 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0013722149 | 0.0015478387 | 0.0016576685 | 1.0709568 | 1.1E-4 | 0.013637724 | 0.016081639 | 0.016239066 | 1.0097892 | 1.6E-4 |
7.9 | 2.0761147E-5 | 2.3438115E-5 | 4.3437645E-5 | 1.8532909 | 2.0E-5 | 8.897331E-5 | 1.004452E-4 | 1.4044119E-4 | 1.398187 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0010827117 | 0.001222235 | 0.0013221129 | 1.0817174 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010774517 | 0.012803828 | 0.012942036 | 1.0107943 | 1.4E-4 |
8.0 | 1.5738568E-5 | 1.6048161E-5 | 2.6048001E-5 | 1.6231143 | 1.0E-5 | 6.744926E-5 | 6.877602E-5 | 8.877464E-5 | 1.290779 | 2.0E-5 | 8.2088535E-4 | 8.3702704E-4 | 8.869852E-4 | 1.0596852 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008178596 | 0.00887386 | 0.008943239 | 1.0078183 | 7.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0105832E-5 | 8.33852E-6 | 8.33852E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3309992E-5 | 3.573603E-5 | 3.573603E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2717153E-4 | 4.349998E-4 | 4.349998E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005259227 | 0.0046817507 | 0.0047016568 | 1.004252 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.189207E-6 | 1.5803525E-6 | 1.5803525E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7953622E-5 | 6.7729216E-6 | 6.7729216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1856341E-4 | 8.2457234E-5 | 8.2457234E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021834858 | 9.5768244E-4 | 9.5768244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 3.6197045E-7 | 3.6197045E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.551301E-6 | 1.551301E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 1.888693E-5 | 1.888693E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.2780563E-4 | 2.2780563E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.258278E-6 | 8.551328E-6 | 1.8551242E-5 | 2.169399 | 1.0E-5 | 3.539214E-5 | 3.6648136E-5 | 8.66463E-5 | 2.364276 | 5.0E-5 | 4.308141E-4 | 4.4611757E-4 | 5.360774E-4 | 1.2016505 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0042997985 | 0.0044539776 | 0.0046232203 | 1.0379981 | 1.7E-4 |
6.1 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7753432E-6 | 1.3775305E-5 | 3.6487558 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6179969E-5 | 5.617932E-5 | 3.4721527 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9697807E-4 | 2.6696429E-4 | 1.3552995 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0019027026 | 0.001968502 | 0.0020583249 | 1.0456301 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7753432E-6 | 1.3775305E-5 | 3.6487558 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6179969E-5 | 5.617932E-5 | 3.4721527 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9697807E-4 | 2.6696429E-4 | 1.3552995 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0019027026 | 0.001968502 | 0.0020583249 | 1.0456301 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4411271E-6 | 1.4411271E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.1762526E-6 | 2.6176129E-5 | 4.2381897 | 2.0E-5 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.519469E-5 | 1.0519244E-4 | 1.3989344 | 3.0E-5 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.518313E-4 | 7.918012E-4 | 1.0531634 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4411271E-6 | 1.4411271E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.1762526E-6 | 2.6176129E-5 | 4.2381897 | 2.0E-5 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.519469E-5 | 1.0519244E-4 | 1.3989344 | 3.0E-5 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.518313E-4 | 7.918012E-4 | 1.0531634 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.876812E-7 | 1.0221986E-6 | 1.0221986E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2329125E-6 | 4.3808514E-6 | 1.4380807E-5 | 3.2826514 | 1.0E-5 | 5.153449E-5 | 5.3336866E-5 | 6.333633E-5 | 1.1874776 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1522546E-4 | 5.333687E-4 | 5.4336333E-4 | 1.0187387 | 1.0E-5 |
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.7647924E-4 | 4.7647924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0020404928 | 0.0020704316 | 1.0146723 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011683988 | 0.024555674 | 0.02459469 | 1.001589 | 4.0E-5 | 0.11088423 | 0.21355958 | 0.21366969 | 1.0005156 | 1.4E-4 |
6.1 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.7647924E-4 | 4.7647924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0020404928 | 0.0020704316 | 1.0146723 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011683988 | 0.024555674 | 0.024584938 | 1.0011917 | 3.0E-5 | 0.11088423 | 0.21355958 | 0.21366182 | 1.0004787 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 2.198148E-4 | 4.6732198E-4 | 4.6732198E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.417233E-4 | 0.002001308 | 0.0020312478 | 1.0149602 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011405343 | 0.024089728 | 0.024119005 | 1.0012153 | 3.0E-5 | 0.10837428 | 0.20999536 | 0.21009806 | 1.0004891 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 2.1704129E-4 | 4.6167825E-4 | 4.6167825E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.298453E-4 | 0.0019771573 | 0.002007098 | 1.0151433 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011262234 | 0.023802951 | 0.023832235 | 1.0012304 | 3.0E-5 | 0.107082725 | 0.20788635 | 0.20798932 | 1.0004953 | 1.3E-4 |
6.4 | 1.876142E-4 | 4.005952E-4 | 4.005952E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.038131E-4 | 0.0017157213 | 0.0017456699 | 1.0174553 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00974259 | 0.020688998 | 0.020718377 | 1.00142 | 3.0E-5 | 0.093263686 | 0.18463731 | 0.1847433 | 1.0005741 | 1.3E-4 |
6.5 | 1.7390939E-4 | 3.7491194E-4 | 3.7491194E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.45113E-4 | 0.0016057882 | 0.00163574 | 1.0186524 | 3.0E-5 | 0.009034078 | 0.019377202 | 0.01940662 | 1.0015182 | 3.0E-5 | 0.086755216 | 0.17445834 | 0.17456566 | 1.0006151 | 1.3E-4 |
6.6 | 1.591791E-4 | 3.490538E-4 | 3.490538E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8201777E-4 | 0.0014950973 | 0.0015250524 | 1.0200356 | 3.0E-5 | 0.008271996 | 0.018055098 | 0.018084556 | 1.0016316 | 3.0E-5 | 0.07970774 | 0.16386472 | 0.16397342 | 1.0006633 | 1.3E-4 |
6.7 | 1.4268003E-4 | 3.2070916E-4 | 3.2070916E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1134255E-4 | 0.001373752 | 0.0014037109 | 1.021808 | 3.0E-5 | 0.007417723 | 0.016600762 | 0.016630264 | 1.0017772 | 3.0E-5 | 0.07174956 | 0.15198305 | 0.15209329 | 1.0007254 | 1.3E-4 |
6.8 | 1.239713E-4 | 2.906456E-4 | 2.906456E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3119735E-4 | 0.0012450356 | 0.0012749982 | 1.0240657 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0064481674 | 0.015054383 | 0.015083932 | 1.0019628 | 3.0E-5 | 0.06264243 | 0.13841985 | 0.13853186 | 1.0008092 | 1.3E-4 |
6.9 | 1.0180238E-4 | 2.626299E-4 | 2.626299E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3622297E-4 | 0.0011250755 | 0.0011550417 | 1.0266349 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005298089 | 0.013612764 | 0.013642356 | 1.0021738 | 3.0E-5 | 0.05173543 | 0.12499523 | 0.12510897 | 1.00091 | 1.3E-4 |
7.0 | 7.6619996E-5 | 2.2406086E-4 | 2.2406086E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.283301E-4 | 9.599106E-4 | 9.898818E-4 | 1.0312229 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0039900932 | 0.011624997 | 0.011654647 | 1.0025506 | 3.0E-5 | 0.039192066 | 0.10729164 | 0.10740769 | 1.0010817 | 1.3E-4 |
7.1 | 7.5127435E-5 | 2.208917E-4 | 2.208917E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2193496E-4 | 9.463384E-4 | 9.7631005E-4 | 1.0316712 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0039125155 | 0.011461505 | 0.011491161 | 1.0025874 | 3.0E-5 | 0.038443442 | 0.10585545 | 0.10597169 | 1.001098 | 1.3E-4 |
7.2 | 6.788582E-5 | 2.0216675E-4 | 2.0216675E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9090676E-4 | 8.6614426E-4 | 8.9611823E-4 | 1.0346062 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0035360386 | 0.010494958 | 0.010524643 | 1.0028285 | 3.0E-5 | 0.034803 | 0.097525485 | 0.09763379 | 1.0011104 | 1.2E-4 |
7.3 | 6.399602E-5 | 1.884735E-4 | 1.884735E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7423984E-4 | 8.074964E-4 | 8.3747215E-4 | 1.0371219 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0033337586 | 0.009787542 | 0.009817248 | 1.0030351 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03284188 | 0.09141953 | 0.091528565 | 1.0011927 | 1.2E-4 |
7.4 | 4.506759E-5 | 1.2534084E-4 | 1.2534084E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9313251E-4 | 5.370653E-4 | 5.570546E-4 | 1.0372194 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023488526 | 0.006519341 | 0.0065392107 | 1.0030478 | 2.0E-5 | 0.023241805 | 0.062384628 | 0.06247839 | 1.001503 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 3.43289E-5 | 9.3395174E-5 | 9.3395174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4711556E-4 | 4.0020392E-4 | 4.1019992E-4 | 1.0249772 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017896603 | 0.0048616594 | 0.0048716106 | 1.002047 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01775316 | 0.04707339 | 0.047149625 | 1.0016195 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.5980507E-5 | 7.0566406E-5 | 7.0566406E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1134028E-4 | 3.0239252E-4 | 3.1238951E-4 | 1.0330596 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001354725 | 0.0036754382 | 0.0036854015 | 1.0027108 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013464959 | 0.03585669 | 0.035933822 | 1.0021511 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7292105E-5 | 4.9437313E-5 | 4.9437313E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4106916E-5 | 2.1185703E-4 | 2.218549E-4 | 1.0471916 | 1.0E-5 | 9.018782E-4 | 0.002576314 | 0.0025862881 | 1.0038716 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008982267 | 0.025304174 | 0.02538215 | 1.0030816 | 8.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.2927471E-5 | 3.9719296E-5 | 3.9719296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5402274E-5 | 1.7021447E-4 | 1.8021277E-4 | 1.0587394 | 1.0E-5 | 6.743139E-4 | 0.002070394 | 0.0020803732 | 1.00482 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0067227143 | 0.020443697 | 0.020502469 | 1.0028749 | 6.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.0200774E-5 | 2.8766293E-5 | 2.8766293E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.371687E-5 | 1.232783E-4 | 1.232783E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.321229E-4 | 0.001499881 | 0.001499881 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005308505 | 0.015001168 | 0.0150307175 | 1.0019698 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 8.650396E-6 | 2.3294833E-5 | 2.3294833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.70726E-5 | 9.983119E-5 | 9.983119E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5126543E-4 | 0.0012147678 | 0.0012147678 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045035016 | 0.012219203 | 0.012238959 | 1.0016167 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.9368224E-6 | 7.334905E-6 | 7.334905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6871985E-5 | 3.143493E-5 | 3.143493E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0539707E-4 | 3.8265318E-4 | 3.8265318E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020520731 | 0.004004607 | 0.004004607 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.7101195E-6 | 2.2203965E-6 | 2.2203965E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.329063E-6 | 9.51595E-6 | 9.51595E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.922769E-5 | 1.1585056E-4 | 1.1585056E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9191867E-4 | 0.001268042 | 0.001268042 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 3.0346666E-8 | 1.7239298E-8 | 1.7239298E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3005713E-7 | 7.388271E-8 | 7.388271E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834444E-6 | 8.9952186E-7 | 8.9952186E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834332E-5 | 9.379858E-6 | 9.379858E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.986481E-4 | 0.0012278513 | 0.001237839 | 1.0081344 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025631124 | 0.0052467007 | 0.005266596 | 1.0037919 | 2.0E-5 | 0.030762846 | 0.061218217 | 0.061255768 | 1.0006135 | 4.0E-5 | 0.26835477 | 0.426001 | 0.42607564 | 1.0001751 | 1.3E-4 |
6.1 | 5.015945E-4 | 0.0010220294 | 0.0010320192 | 1.0097744 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00214792 | 0.004368885 | 0.0043887976 | 1.0045578 | 2.0E-5 | 0.025839351 | 0.05126041 | 0.05129836 | 1.0007403 | 4.0E-5 | 0.23032776 | 0.37292257 | 0.3730041 | 1.0002186 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 4.073338E-4 | 8.1096933E-4 | 8.209612E-4 | 1.0123209 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017445484 | 0.003468168 | 0.0034880987 | 1.0057467 | 2.0E-5 | 0.021034058 | 0.04094522 | 0.04098358 | 1.0009369 | 4.0E-5 | 0.19150782 | 0.3131058 | 0.31318823 | 1.0002632 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 3.464099E-4 | 6.7415845E-4 | 6.841517E-4 | 1.0148233 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014837692 | 0.0028839898 | 0.002903932 | 1.0069149 | 2.0E-5 | 0.017915873 | 0.03420172 | 0.03424035 | 1.0011295 | 4.0E-5 | 0.16538359 | 0.27139312 | 0.27148053 | 1.0003221 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 2.935057E-4 | 5.5466924E-4 | 5.6466373E-4 | 1.0180187 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012572751 | 0.0023735648 | 0.0023935172 | 1.0084062 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015200248 | 0.028276753 | 0.028305905 | 1.0010309 | 3.0E-5 | 0.14201577 | 0.233066 | 0.23315802 | 1.0003948 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 2.3409708E-4 | 4.2117428E-4 | 4.3117008E-4 | 1.0237331 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010028875 | 0.0018029957 | 0.0018229596 | 1.0110726 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012141965 | 0.021599801 | 0.021629153 | 1.0013589 | 3.0E-5 | 0.11499573 | 0.18690942 | 0.187007 | 1.000522 | 1.2E-4 |
6.6 | 1.5842178E-4 | 2.5093256E-4 | 2.5093256E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7877385E-4 | 0.001074975 | 0.0010849643 | 1.0092925 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0082328 | 0.013007979 | 0.013027719 | 1.0015175 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07934396 | 0.12323838 | 0.12332605 | 1.0007114 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.5616413E-4 | 2.4629777E-4 | 2.4629777E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.691031E-4 | 0.0010551298 | 0.0010651193 | 1.0094675 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0081159435 | 0.012769829 | 0.0127895735 | 1.0015461 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0782586 | 0.12126552 | 0.121353395 | 1.0007247 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.5538467E-4 | 2.4453594E-4 | 2.4453594E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6576427E-4 | 0.0010475859 | 0.0010575753 | 1.0095358 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008075596 | 0.012679123 | 0.012698869 | 1.0015574 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07788358 | 0.120496325 | 0.12058427 | 1.0007299 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.5153569E-4 | 2.3562698E-4 | 2.3562698E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.49277E-4 | 0.001009441 | 0.0010194309 | 1.0098965 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007876333 | 0.012221212 | 0.012240967 | 1.0016165 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07602952 | 0.11656616 | 0.11665451 | 1.0007579 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.4588932E-4 | 2.2419746E-4 | 2.2419746E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.250901E-4 | 9.604944E-4 | 9.704848E-4 | 1.0104012 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0075839474 | 0.011631816 | 0.011651583 | 1.0016994 | 2.0E-5 | 0.073302895 | 0.11141184 | 0.1115007 | 1.0007976 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.1565079E-4 | 1.6300128E-4 | 1.6300128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.955521E-4 | 6.9839077E-4 | 6.9839077E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006016669 | 0.00846996 | 0.0084798755 | 1.0011706 | 1.0E-5 | 0.058563538 | 0.08374825 | 0.08382155 | 1.0008752 | 8.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0393792E-4 | 1.4632731E-4 | 1.4632731E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4537216E-4 | 6.2696706E-4 | 6.2696706E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005408933 | 0.007606778 | 0.0076167015 | 1.0013046 | 1.0E-5 | 0.052791595 | 0.07569316 | 0.07576711 | 1.0009769 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.332884E-5 | 1.2795496E-4 | 1.2795496E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.999194E-4 | 5.482638E-4 | 5.482638E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048581534 | 0.0066548167 | 0.00666475 | 1.0014926 | 1.0E-5 | 0.047533102 | 0.06654848 | 0.06662316 | 1.0011221 | 8.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.670252E-5 | 1.17144504E-4 | 1.17144504E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.715293E-4 | 5.0195184E-4 | 5.0195184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004513991 | 0.0060942606 | 0.006104199 | 1.0016309 | 1.0E-5 | 0.044233937 | 0.061201558 | 0.06127666 | 1.0012271 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.3036405E-5 | 9.014949E-5 | 9.014949E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.129756E-4 | 3.8629785E-4 | 3.8629785E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038038217 | 0.0046930555 | 0.0046930555 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03739367 | 0.047919683 | 0.04798633 | 1.0013908 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.3935775E-5 | 8.2877224E-5 | 8.2877224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7398168E-4 | 3.5513984E-4 | 3.5513984E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033306254 | 0.004315274 | 0.004315274 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.032811474 | 0.044025827 | 0.04409275 | 1.0015199 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.5050095E-5 | 6.6682514E-5 | 6.6682514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3590765E-4 | 2.857509E-4 | 2.857509E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028683927 | 0.0034734716 | 0.0034734716 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0283165 | 0.03582633 | 0.03588418 | 1.0016147 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.027131E-5 | 6.168716E-5 | 6.168716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1543067E-4 | 2.6434677E-4 | 2.6434677E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026197135 | 0.0032136757 | 0.0032136757 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.025890453 | 0.033154417 | 0.033212427 | 1.0017498 | 6.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.7271806E-5 | 5.0271738E-5 | 5.0271738E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5972654E-4 | 2.1543253E-4 | 2.1543253E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019429359 | 0.0026197382 | 0.0026197382 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019260362 | 0.027089527 | 0.027138174 | 1.0017958 | 5.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.7310243E-5 | 3.1458585E-5 | 3.1458585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.17038646E-4 | 1.3481555E-4 | 1.3481555E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014240141 | 0.0016401443 | 0.0016401443 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014149235 | 0.01722906 | 0.017248714 | 1.0011408 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.7940547E-5 | 1.7418917E-5 | 1.7418917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.688579E-5 | 7.465037E-5 | 7.465037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3568244E-4 | 9.084898E-4 | 9.084898E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009317525 | 0.0098087415 | 0.009818643 | 1.0010095 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.481529E-6 | 5.481529E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3492057E-5 | 2.3492057E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8597834E-4 | 2.8597834E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.003252439 | 0.003252439 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.669667E-7 | 7.669667E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2869962E-6 | 3.2869962E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 4.0018458E-5 | 4.0018458E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7252612E-4 | 4.7252612E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Baker
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.834867E-6 | 5.834867E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5006357E-5 | 3.5006105E-5 | 1.3998883 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.0441387E-4 | 3.5439865E-4 | 1.1642001 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030403642 | 0.0031799385 | 1.0459071 | 1.4E-4 |
6.1 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.834867E-6 | 5.834867E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5006357E-5 | 3.5006105E-5 | 1.3998883 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.0441387E-4 | 3.5439865E-4 | 1.1642001 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030403642 | 0.0031799385 | 1.0459071 | 1.4E-4 |
6.2 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.834867E-6 | 5.834867E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5006357E-5 | 3.5006105E-5 | 1.3998883 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.0441387E-4 | 3.5439865E-4 | 1.1642001 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030403642 | 0.0031799385 | 1.0459071 | 1.4E-4 |
6.3 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.3836852E-6 | 3.3836852E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.450143E-5 | 2.4501285E-5 | 1.6895771 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.7654109E-4 | 2.0653578E-4 | 1.1699021 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017201907 | 0.0017640555 | 0.0018439144 | 1.0452701 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.3836852E-6 | 3.3836852E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.450143E-5 | 2.4501285E-5 | 1.6895771 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.7654109E-4 | 2.0653578E-4 | 1.1699021 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017201907 | 0.0017640555 | 0.0018439144 | 1.0452701 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.782202E-6 | 2.8558563E-6 | 2.8558563E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1923668E-5 | 1.22393285E-5 | 2.2239206E-5 | 1.8170283 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4516099E-4 | 1.4900397E-4 | 1.789995E-4 | 1.2013069 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001450662 | 0.0014890734 | 0.0015689542 | 1.0536447 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3163404E-6 | 2.380934E-6 | 2.380934E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.927136E-6 | 1.0203964E-5 | 2.0203863E-5 | 1.9800013 | 1.0E-5 | 1.20856166E-4 | 1.2422638E-4 | 1.5422265E-4 | 1.2414646 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012079047 | 0.0012415897 | 0.0013015151 | 1.0482651 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.037056E-6 | 2.0965133E-6 | 2.0965133E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7302105E-6 | 8.985027E-6 | 1.8984938E-5 | 2.1129527 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0628513E-4 | 1.0938738E-4 | 1.393841E-4 | 1.2742246 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010623431 | 0.0010933515 | 0.0011432968 | 1.045681 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.8356744E-6 | 1.8915408E-6 | 1.8915408E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.867153E-6 | 8.106579E-6 | 1.8106499E-5 | 2.233556 | 1.0E-5 | 9.577837E-5 | 9.869327E-5 | 1.2869031E-4 | 1.3039421 | 3.0E-5 | 9.57371E-4 | 9.865083E-4 | 0.001036459 | 1.0506338 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.6310546E-6 | 1.6832186E-6 | 1.6832186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9902153E-6 | 7.2137746E-6 | 1.7213702E-5 | 2.386227 | 1.0E-5 | 8.510255E-5 | 8.782428E-5 | 1.1782164E-4 | 1.3415612 | 3.0E-5 | 8.5069967E-4 | 8.77907E-4 | 9.1787183E-4 | 1.0455229 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2058036E-6 | 1.2508764E-6 | 1.2508764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1677193E-6 | 5.360888E-6 | 1.5360834E-5 | 2.8653526 | 1.0E-5 | 6.291517E-5 | 6.526688E-5 | 9.526492E-5 | 1.4596212 | 3.0E-5 | 6.289736E-4 | 6.524794E-4 | 6.9245335E-4 | 1.0612646 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.052382E-6 | 1.0951702E-6 | 1.0951702E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5102006E-6 | 4.6935784E-6 | 1.4693532E-5 | 3.1305606 | 1.0E-5 | 5.491031E-5 | 5.7142825E-5 | 8.714111E-5 | 1.5249703 | 3.0E-5 | 5.4896745E-4 | 5.712822E-4 | 6.1125937E-4 | 1.0699779 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0067454E-6 | 1.0487803E-6 | 1.0487803E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3146156E-6 | 4.4947647E-6 | 1.449472E-5 | 3.2248006 | 1.0E-5 | 5.252918E-5 | 5.4722397E-5 | 7.4721305E-5 | 1.3654611 | 2.0E-5 | 5.251676E-4 | 5.470901E-4 | 5.7707366E-4 | 1.0548056 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.3596316E-7 | 9.767813E-7 | 9.767813E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0112645E-6 | 4.1861986E-6 | 1.41861565E-5 | 3.388792 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8836053E-5 | 5.0965788E-5 | 6.0965278E-5 | 1.1962 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8825322E-4 | 5.095418E-4 | 5.2953156E-4 | 1.039231 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.8117395E-7 | 9.20775E-7 | 9.20775E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7764542E-6 | 3.946173E-6 | 1.3946134E-5 | 3.534091 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5977362E-5 | 4.80436E-5 | 5.804312E-5 | 1.2081343 | 1.0E-5 | 4.596785E-4 | 4.803329E-4 | 5.003233E-4 | 1.0416178 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.292386E-7 | 8.67468E-7 | 8.67468E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5538749E-6 | 3.7177147E-6 | 1.3717678E-5 | 3.6898146 | 1.0E-5 | 4.326757E-5 | 4.526224E-5 | 5.526179E-5 | 1.2209247 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3259145E-4 | 4.5253098E-4 | 4.725219E-4 | 1.0441759 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.553842E-7 | 7.9145497E-7 | 7.9145497E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2373566E-6 | 3.3919455E-6 | 1.3391912E-5 | 3.9481506 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9414106E-5 | 4.129616E-5 | 5.129575E-5 | 1.2421433 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9407116E-4 | 4.1288557E-4 | 4.2288145E-4 | 1.0242097 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.5285366E-7 | 6.852868E-7 | 6.852868E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.797941E-6 | 2.9369403E-6 | 1.2936911E-5 | 4.4048944 | 1.0E-5 | 3.40644E-5 | 3.5756668E-5 | 4.575631E-5 | 1.2796581 | 1.0E-5 | 3.405918E-4 | 3.575098E-4 | 3.6750623E-4 | 1.0279613 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6483033E-7 | 3.6483033E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635576E-6 | 1.1563542E-5 | 7.395661 | 1.0E-5 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9036152E-5 | 2.9035962E-5 | 1.5253062 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.9034566E-4 | 2.0034375E-4 | 1.052526 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696958E-9 | 2.6696958E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.14415535E-8 | 1.14415535E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3930091E-7 | 1.3930091E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3930091E-6 | 1.3930091E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Scodie Lineament
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2919327E-6 | 3.0133522E-6 | 1.3013322E-5 | 4.3185534 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4108206E-5 | 1.291432E-5 | 3.291406E-5 | 2.5486484 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7175387E-4 | 1.5722368E-4 | 2.2721267E-4 | 1.4451556 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0017162118 | 0.0015714361 | 0.001711216 | 1.0889505 | 1.4E-4 |
6.1 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5490515E-6 | 1.5490515E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.638778E-6 | 6.638778E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082462E-5 | 8.082462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.0800103E-4 | 8.1799296E-4 | 1.0123662 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5490515E-6 | 1.5490515E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.638778E-6 | 6.638778E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082462E-5 | 8.082462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.0800103E-4 | 8.1799296E-4 | 1.0123662 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5490515E-6 | 1.5490515E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.638778E-6 | 6.638778E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082462E-5 | 8.082462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.0800103E-4 | 8.1799296E-4 | 1.0123662 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5490515E-6 | 1.5490515E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.638778E-6 | 6.638778E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.082462E-5 | 8.082462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7337784E-4 | 8.0800103E-4 | 8.1799296E-4 | 1.0123662 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8106311E-6 | 1.4909849E-6 | 1.4909849E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.759824E-6 | 6.389923E-6 | 6.389923E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.447177E-5 | 7.7795026E-5 | 7.7795026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4431615E-4 | 7.777266E-4 | 7.8771886E-4 | 1.012848 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.2414679E-6 | 8.99752E-7 | 8.99752E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.320566E-6 | 3.8560747E-6 | 3.8560747E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.477596E-5 | 4.694679E-5 | 4.694679E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.475708E-4 | 4.6937735E-4 | 4.6937735E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.1062215E-6 | 7.5942626E-7 | 7.5942626E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7409408E-6 | 3.2546802E-6 | 3.2546802E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7719422E-5 | 3.9625083E-5 | 3.9625083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.770443E-4 | 3.9618716E-4 | 3.9618716E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.0006736E-6 | 6.50034E-7 | 6.50034E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.288594E-6 | 2.7858573E-6 | 2.7858573E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.221238E-5 | 3.3917346E-5 | 3.3917346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.220012E-4 | 3.391278E-4 | 3.391278E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 9.167364E-7 | 5.6315616E-7 | 5.6315616E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9288643E-6 | 2.4135245E-6 | 2.4135245E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7832873E-5 | 2.9384322E-5 | 2.9384322E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.782258E-4 | 2.9381004E-4 | 2.9381004E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.6987664E-7 | 4.1133092E-7 | 4.1133092E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2994672E-6 | 1.7628458E-6 | 1.7628458E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0170275E-5 | 2.1462476E-5 | 2.1462476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0163012E-4 | 2.1460788E-4 | 2.1460788E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 7.1038727E-7 | 3.521071E-7 | 3.521071E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0445133E-6 | 1.5090297E-6 | 1.5090297E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.706632E-5 | 1.8372317E-5 | 1.8372317E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7060137E-4 | 1.8371148E-4 | 1.8371148E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.0799602E-7 | 3.1179116E-8 | 3.1179116E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.914113E-7 | 1.3362478E-7 | 1.3362478E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0852878E-5 | 1.6268806E-6 | 1.6268806E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08523476E-4 | 1.6268694E-5 | 1.6268694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5048182E-7 | 1.593949E-8 | 1.593949E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.449219E-7 | 6.83121E-8 | 6.83121E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851896E-6 | 8.316995E-7 | 8.316995E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851618E-5 | 8.316967E-6 | 8.316967E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.863931E-9 | 4.863931E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 2.084542E-8 | 2.084542E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.5379296E-7 | 2.5379296E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095951E-5 | 2.537928E-6 | 2.537928E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.169034E-5 | 4.7139096E-5 | 4.7139096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7866064E-4 | 2.0201392E-4 | 2.0201392E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021730233 | 0.0024575708 | 0.002487497 | 1.0121772 | 3.0E-5 | 0.021518968 | 0.024385775 | 0.02447358 | 1.0036007 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.73813E-5 | 1.6854669E-5 | 1.6854669E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4489166E-5 | 7.223235E-5 | 7.223235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.065282E-4 | 8.7908475E-4 | 8.890759E-4 | 1.0113654 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009028391 | 0.008757281 | 0.008796931 | 1.0045276 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.4622182E-5 | 1.3673624E-5 | 1.3673624E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2664985E-5 | 5.8599955E-5 | 5.8599955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6267915E-4 | 7.1322476E-4 | 7.232176E-4 | 1.0140108 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007600669 | 0.0071098665 | 0.007139653 | 1.0041895 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3552434E-5 | 1.2482507E-5 | 1.2482507E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8080568E-5 | 5.349538E-5 | 5.349538E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.069015E-4 | 6.511148E-4 | 6.6110824E-4 | 1.0153483 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00704657 | 0.0064924993 | 0.006522305 | 1.0045907 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.30977305E-5 | 1.1979451E-5 | 1.1979451E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.613192E-5 | 5.1339513E-5 | 5.1339513E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.831918E-4 | 6.248823E-4 | 6.348761E-4 | 1.015993 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006810953 | 0.0062316633 | 0.0062614763 | 1.0047841 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.225205E-5 | 1.1049079E-5 | 1.1049079E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2507727E-5 | 4.735235E-5 | 4.735235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3909404E-4 | 5.7636504E-4 | 5.863593E-4 | 1.0173401 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006372592 | 0.005749078 | 0.0057789055 | 1.0051882 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1352241E-5 | 1.0063791E-5 | 1.0063791E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8651553E-5 | 4.3129832E-5 | 4.3129832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.921717E-4 | 5.249813E-4 | 5.349761E-4 | 1.0190383 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0059059616 | 0.0052377232 | 0.005267566 | 1.0056977 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0864116E-5 | 9.51727E-6 | 9.51727E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6559664E-5 | 4.0787672E-5 | 4.0787672E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.667165E-4 | 4.9647875E-4 | 5.064738E-4 | 1.0201318 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005652734 | 0.0049539953 | 0.0049738963 | 1.0040171 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0666365E-5 | 9.300017E-6 | 9.300017E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.571219E-5 | 3.9856615E-5 | 3.9856615E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.564038E-4 | 4.8514828E-4 | 4.951434E-4 | 1.0206022 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005550127 | 0.0048411894 | 0.0048610927 | 1.0041112 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0038665E-5 | 8.592265E-6 | 8.592265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.302214E-5 | 3.6823483E-5 | 3.6823483E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.236687E-4 | 4.4823549E-4 | 4.58231E-4 | 1.0222996 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005224364 | 0.0044735903 | 0.004493501 | 1.0044507 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.5379955E-6 | 8.025276E-6 | 8.025276E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0876483E-5 | 3.4393597E-5 | 3.4393597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.975576E-4 | 4.186633E-4 | 4.286591E-4 | 1.0238756 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00496445 | 0.0041790106 | 0.004188969 | 1.0023829 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.207389E-6 | 7.652567E-6 | 7.652567E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.945964E-5 | 3.279631E-5 | 3.279631E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.803152E-4 | 3.9922362E-4 | 4.0921965E-4 | 1.0250386 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004792784 | 0.0039853263 | 0.0039952863 | 1.0024992 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.638091E-6 | 5.9312533E-6 | 5.9312533E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2734264E-5 | 2.5419411E-5 | 2.5419411E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.984668E-4 | 3.094377E-4 | 3.094377E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039775306 | 0.0030901907 | 0.0030901907 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.2500147E-6 | 5.596278E-6 | 5.596278E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1071122E-5 | 2.3983828E-5 | 2.3983828E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7822526E-4 | 2.9196427E-4 | 2.9196427E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037758215 | 0.0029159281 | 0.0029159281 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.3899715E-6 | 4.9185887E-6 | 4.9185887E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7385306E-5 | 2.1079497E-5 | 2.1079497E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3336508E-4 | 2.5661284E-4 | 2.5661284E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033286542 | 0.0025632754 | 0.0025632754 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.379025E-6 | 4.083932E-6 | 4.083932E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.305276E-5 | 1.7502447E-5 | 1.7502447E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.806312E-4 | 2.1307157E-4 | 2.1307157E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028027708 | 0.0021286842 | 0.0021286842 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.1270696E-6 | 3.0883991E-6 | 3.0883991E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.768732E-5 | 1.323593E-5 | 1.323593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1532185E-4 | 1.6113561E-4 | 1.6113561E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021511333 | 0.0016101958 | 0.0016101958 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.5406805E-6 | 1.8282382E-6 | 1.8282382E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0888585E-5 | 7.835283E-6 | 7.835283E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3256045E-4 | 9.539045E-5 | 9.539045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013248142 | 9.5350127E-4 | 9.5350127E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.8608285E-7 | 3.5099254E-7 | 3.5099254E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0832106E-6 | 1.5042529E-6 | 1.5042529E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5362791E-5 | 1.8314126E-5 | 1.8314126E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5359896E-4 | 1.8312628E-4 | 1.8312628E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.0472514E-8 | 1.2689211E-8 | 1.2689211E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7739345E-8 | 5.438233E-8 | 5.438233E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.068226E-6 | 6.6210464E-7 | 6.6210464E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0682209E-5 | 6.6210278E-6 | 6.6210278E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 4.443582E-9 | 2.0322868E-9 | 2.0322868E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043922E-8 | 8.709801E-9 | 8.709801E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185973E-7 | 1.0604182E-7 | 1.0604182E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185949E-6 | 1.0604177E-6 | 1.0604177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Creek
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6326503E-5 | 2.6326341E-5 | 1.612491 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.996894E-5 | 8.9967536E-5 | 1.2858211 | 2.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.515539E-4 | 8.8152837E-4 | 1.0351998 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008512441 | 0.008631419 | 1.013977 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6326503E-5 | 2.6326341E-5 | 1.612491 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.996894E-5 | 8.9967536E-5 | 1.2858211 | 2.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.515539E-4 | 8.8152837E-4 | 1.0351998 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008512441 | 0.008631419 | 1.013977 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6326503E-5 | 2.6326341E-5 | 1.612491 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.996894E-5 | 8.9967536E-5 | 1.2858211 | 2.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.515539E-4 | 8.8152837E-4 | 1.0351998 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008512441 | 0.008631419 | 1.013977 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6326503E-5 | 2.6326341E-5 | 1.612491 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.996894E-5 | 8.9967536E-5 | 1.2858211 | 2.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.515539E-4 | 8.8152837E-4 | 1.0351998 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008512441 | 0.008631419 | 1.013977 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6326503E-5 | 2.6326341E-5 | 1.612491 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.996894E-5 | 8.9967536E-5 | 1.2858211 | 2.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.515539E-4 | 8.8152837E-4 | 1.0351998 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008512441 | 0.008631419 | 1.013977 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6326503E-5 | 2.6326341E-5 | 1.612491 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.996894E-5 | 8.9967536E-5 | 1.2858211 | 2.0E-5 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.515539E-4 | 8.8152837E-4 | 1.0351998 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008512441 | 0.008631419 | 1.013977 | 1.2E-4 |
6.6 | 9.202681E-6 | 1.3849752E-5 | 2.3849614E-5 | 1.7220246 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9439463E-5 | 5.935478E-5 | 7.9353595E-5 | 1.3369368 | 2.0E-5 | 4.800697E-4 | 7.224139E-4 | 7.523922E-4 | 1.0414975 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004790339 | 0.007229612 | 0.007338817 | 1.0151052 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 9.019164E-6 | 1.3655419E-5 | 2.3655282E-5 | 1.7323 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8652986E-5 | 5.852196E-5 | 7.852079E-5 | 1.341732 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7049852E-4 | 7.12281E-4 | 7.422596E-4 | 1.0420883 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004695036 | 0.007128936 | 0.0072381515 | 1.0153201 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 8.673558E-6 | 1.3277522E-5 | 2.327739E-5 | 1.7531426 | 1.0E-5 | 3.717186E-5 | 5.6902474E-5 | 7.6901335E-5 | 1.3514585 | 2.0E-5 | 4.524734E-4 | 6.925762E-4 | 7.2255544E-4 | 1.0432866 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0045155324 | 0.0069331205 | 0.0070423577 | 1.0157559 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 7.002255E-6 | 1.1481723E-5 | 2.1481608E-5 | 1.8709394 | 1.0E-5 | 3.000932E-5 | 4.9206494E-5 | 6.920551E-5 | 1.4064304 | 2.0E-5 | 3.653022E-4 | 5.989312E-4 | 6.289133E-4 | 1.0500592 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0036470229 | 0.006001931 | 0.0061112707 | 1.0182174 | 1.1E-4 |
7.0 | 5.84644E-6 | 9.678825E-6 | 1.9678728E-5 | 2.0331733 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5055931E-5 | 4.1480045E-5 | 6.1479215E-5 | 1.4821396 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0501327E-4 | 5.049071E-4 | 5.3489197E-4 | 1.0593868 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0030459496 | 0.005066153 | 0.005175596 | 1.0216027 | 1.1E-4 |
7.1 | 5.54703E-6 | 9.3332865E-6 | 1.9333193E-5 | 2.071424 | 1.0E-5 | 2.377277E-5 | 3.9999213E-5 | 5.9998412E-5 | 1.4999899 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8939504E-4 | 4.8688604E-4 | 5.1687146E-4 | 1.061586 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0028901845 | 0.0048867404 | 0.004996203 | 1.0223999 | 1.1E-4 |
7.2 | 4.384709E-6 | 7.685199E-6 | 1.7685123E-5 | 2.3011925 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8791474E-5 | 3.2936172E-5 | 5.2935513E-5 | 1.6072152 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2876218E-4 | 4.0092776E-4 | 4.3091574E-4 | 1.0747964 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0022852682 | 0.0040305136 | 0.0041400706 | 1.0271819 | 1.1E-4 |
7.3 | 3.7888456E-6 | 6.9190014E-6 | 1.6918932E-5 | 2.4452853 | 1.0E-5 | 1.623781E-5 | 2.9652545E-5 | 4.9651953E-5 | 1.6744584 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9767738E-4 | 3.6096328E-4 | 3.9095245E-4 | 1.0830809 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019750162 | 0.0036322132 | 0.0037418138 | 1.0301746 | 1.1E-4 |
7.4 | 2.1982462E-6 | 5.0272192E-6 | 1.5027169E-5 | 2.9891613 | 1.0E-5 | 9.421021E-6 | 2.154505E-5 | 3.1544834E-5 | 1.4641337 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1469489E-4 | 2.622796E-4 | 2.8227433E-4 | 1.0762345 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011463572 | 0.0026479277 | 0.0027376893 | 1.0338988 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.051923E-6 | 4.6183586E-6 | 1.4618312E-5 | 3.1652615 | 1.0E-5 | 8.793926E-6 | 1.9792815E-5 | 2.9792618E-5 | 1.5052239 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0706078E-4 | 2.4095102E-4 | 2.609462E-4 | 1.0829844 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010700922 | 0.0024354244 | 0.0025252053 | 1.0368645 | 9.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.8733427E-6 | 4.126591E-6 | 1.412655E-5 | 3.4232976 | 1.0E-5 | 8.028587E-6 | 1.7685272E-5 | 2.7685095E-5 | 1.5654323 | 1.0E-5 | 9.774366E-5 | 2.15297E-4 | 2.3529268E-4 | 1.0928749 | 2.0E-5 | 9.770069E-4 | 0.002179871 | 0.002269675 | 1.0411968 | 9.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.8411953E-6 | 4.046242E-6 | 1.4046202E-5 | 3.471419 | 1.0E-5 | 7.890813E-6 | 1.7340923E-5 | 2.7340748E-5 | 1.5766606 | 1.0E-5 | 9.606641E-5 | 2.1110535E-4 | 2.3110113E-4 | 1.0947194 | 2.0E-5 | 9.6024893E-4 | 0.0021381453 | 0.002227953 | 1.0420026 | 9.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.7194251E-6 | 3.7133902E-6 | 1.3713353E-5 | 3.692947 | 1.0E-5 | 7.368944E-6 | 1.5914433E-5 | 2.5914274E-5 | 1.6283504 | 1.0E-5 | 8.97132E-5 | 1.9374107E-4 | 2.1373719E-4 | 1.1032106 | 2.0E-5 | 8.967699E-4 | 0.001964011 | 0.0020538343 | 1.0457346 | 9.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.4035052E-6 | 2.952475E-6 | 1.2952445E-5 | 4.386979 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0150082E-6 | 1.2653402E-5 | 2.2653276E-5 | 1.7902913 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3230265E-5 | 1.5404435E-4 | 1.7404127E-4 | 1.1298127 | 2.0E-5 | 7.3206134E-4 | 0.0015644685 | 0.0016543277 | 1.0574375 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.9318823E-7 | 5.5340496E-7 | 5.5340496E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6850913E-6 | 2.3717334E-6 | 2.3717334E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0515794E-5 | 2.8875478E-5 | 2.8875478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0513899E-4 | 2.9916264E-4 | 3.0915966E-4 | 1.0334166 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.596793E-7 | 1.1396409E-7 | 1.1396409E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8433974E-7 | 4.884174E-7 | 4.884174E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331805E-6 | 5.9464664E-6 | 5.9464664E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331492E-5 | 6.5588785E-5 | 6.5588785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.9003038E-8 | 2.5483205E-8 | 2.5483205E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.10013E-7 | 1.0921373E-7 | 1.0921373E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5569052E-6 | 1.3296764E-6 | 1.3296764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556876E-5 | 1.4978453E-5 | 1.4978453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pinto Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7856433E-5 | 5.7855952E-5 | 1.2089484 | 1.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0508376E-4 | 2.2507967E-4 | 1.0975012 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024941992 | 0.0025340994 | 1.0159972 | 4.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.02467958 | 0.024786867 | 1.0043471 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7856433E-5 | 5.7855952E-5 | 1.2089484 | 1.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0508376E-4 | 2.2507967E-4 | 1.0975012 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024941992 | 0.0025340994 | 1.0159972 | 4.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.02467958 | 0.024786867 | 1.0043471 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7856433E-5 | 5.7855952E-5 | 1.2089484 | 1.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0508376E-4 | 2.2507967E-4 | 1.0975012 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024941992 | 0.0025340994 | 1.0159972 | 4.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.02467958 | 0.024786867 | 1.0043471 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.7856433E-5 | 5.7855952E-5 | 1.2089484 | 1.0E-5 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0508376E-4 | 2.2507967E-4 | 1.0975012 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024941992 | 0.0025340994 | 1.0159972 | 4.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.02467958 | 0.024786867 | 1.0043471 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.960566E-5 | 4.9605263E-5 | 1.2524792 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.6972802E-4 | 1.8972463E-4 | 1.1178156 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0020645733 | 0.0020945114 | 1.0145009 | 3.0E-5 | 0.019274427 | 0.020463958 | 0.020552116 | 1.004308 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.960566E-5 | 4.9605263E-5 | 1.2524792 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.6972802E-4 | 1.8972463E-4 | 1.1178156 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0020645733 | 0.0020945114 | 1.0145009 | 3.0E-5 | 0.019274427 | 0.020463958 | 0.020552116 | 1.004308 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.0204548E-5 | 3.1207448E-5 | 4.1207135E-5 | 1.3204263 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2944164E-4 | 1.3373954E-4 | 1.5373687E-4 | 1.1495245 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015748127 | 0.0016270975 | 0.0016470649 | 1.0122719 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015636992 | 0.016155712 | 0.016214743 | 1.0036539 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.9857754E-5 | 3.081682E-5 | 4.0816514E-5 | 1.324488 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2795553E-4 | 1.320656E-4 | 1.5206296E-4 | 1.1514199 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015567453 | 0.0016067474 | 0.0016267153 | 1.0124274 | 2.0E-5 | 0.015458848 | 0.015955148 | 0.01601419 | 1.0037005 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.4819734E-5 | 2.5011317E-5 | 3.5011068E-5 | 1.399809 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0636595E-4 | 1.0718708E-4 | 1.2718493E-4 | 1.1865697 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012942362 | 0.0013042431 | 0.001324217 | 1.0153146 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012867244 | 0.012968254 | 0.013027476 | 1.0045667 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.331124E-5 | 2.3339559E-5 | 3.3339325E-5 | 1.4284471 | 1.0E-5 | 9.990149E-5 | 1.0002296E-4 | 1.2002096E-4 | 1.1999341 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001215622 | 0.0012171196 | 0.0012370952 | 1.0164123 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012089936 | 0.01210673 | 0.012166003 | 1.0048959 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.1818534E-5 | 2.1762655E-5 | 3.1762436E-5 | 1.4594928 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3504656E-5 | 9.32653E-5 | 1.0326437E-4 | 1.107211 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011378246 | 0.0011349333 | 0.001144922 | 1.0088011 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011320163 | 0.0112934755 | 0.01134291 | 1.0043774 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.066081E-5 | 2.054227E-5 | 3.054206E-5 | 1.4867911 | 1.0E-5 | 8.854332E-5 | 8.8035435E-5 | 9.803455E-5 | 1.1135806 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010774818 | 0.001071324 | 0.0010813132 | 1.0093242 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010722724 | 0.010663644 | 0.010713111 | 1.0046388 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.8990233E-5 | 1.9055522E-5 | 2.905533E-5 | 1.5247723 | 1.0E-5 | 8.138417E-5 | 8.1664075E-5 | 9.1663256E-5 | 1.1224428 | 1.0E-5 | 9.904018E-4 | 9.93826E-4 | 0.001003816 | 1.0100521 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009859995 | 0.009895815 | 0.00994532 | 1.0050026 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.3335872E-5 | 1.49081125E-5 | 2.4907962E-5 | 1.6707658 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7152483E-5 | 6.389042E-5 | 7.388978E-5 | 1.156508 | 1.0E-5 | 6.956093E-4 | 7.77601E-4 | 7.875932E-4 | 1.01285 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006934359 | 0.0077501005 | 0.007779868 | 1.0038409 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.414066E-6 | 1.1862291E-5 | 2.1862174E-5 | 1.8429974 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0345374E-5 | 5.0837454E-5 | 6.0836945E-5 | 1.1966953 | 1.0E-5 | 4.910942E-4 | 6.187797E-4 | 6.287735E-4 | 1.0161508 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049001034 | 0.006171516 | 0.0061913924 | 1.0032207 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.2101157E-6 | 9.159482E-6 | 1.915939E-5 | 2.091755 | 1.0E-5 | 3.090013E-5 | 3.9254377E-5 | 4.9253984E-5 | 1.2547387 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7614413E-4 | 4.7782503E-4 | 4.8782025E-4 | 1.0209181 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037550807 | 0.004768752 | 0.0047886563 | 1.004174 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.296375E-6 | 4.5467386E-6 | 4.5467386E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4127245E-5 | 1.9485884E-5 | 1.9485884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7198564E-4 | 2.3721621E-4 | 2.3721621E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017185259 | 0.0023697673 | 0.0023797436 | 1.0042099 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.5741092E-6 | 3.5855733E-6 | 3.5855733E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.103185E-5 | 1.5366659E-5 | 1.5366659E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3430449E-4 | 1.8707433E-4 | 1.8707433E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013422335 | 0.0018692985 | 0.0018792799 | 1.0053396 | 1.0E-5 |
San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4424324E-5 | 5.4423635E-5 | 1.5809646 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4752446E-4 | 1.7752004E-4 | 1.2033261 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017946326 | 0.001884471 | 1.0500596 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.018537667 | 0.018655442 | 1.0063533 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4424324E-5 | 5.4423635E-5 | 1.5809646 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4752446E-4 | 1.7752004E-4 | 1.2033261 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017946326 | 0.001884471 | 1.0500596 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.018537667 | 0.018655442 | 1.0063533 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4424324E-5 | 5.4423635E-5 | 1.5809646 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4752446E-4 | 1.7752004E-4 | 1.2033261 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017946326 | 0.001884471 | 1.0500596 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.018537667 | 0.018655442 | 1.0063533 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4424324E-5 | 5.4423635E-5 | 1.5809646 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4752446E-4 | 1.7752004E-4 | 1.2033261 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017946326 | 0.001884471 | 1.0500596 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.018537667 | 0.018655442 | 1.0063533 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 3.646941E-5 | 3.434589E-5 | 5.4345204E-5 | 1.5822914 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5628811E-4 | 1.4718837E-4 | 1.7718396E-4 | 1.2037904 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019011468 | 0.0017905477 | 0.0018803866 | 1.050174 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018849645 | 0.018497545 | 0.018615326 | 1.0063673 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 3.646941E-5 | 3.434589E-5 | 5.4345204E-5 | 1.5822914 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5628811E-4 | 1.4718837E-4 | 1.7718396E-4 | 1.2037904 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019011468 | 0.0017905477 | 0.0018803866 | 1.050174 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018849645 | 0.018497545 | 0.018615326 | 1.0063673 | 1.2E-4 |
6.6 | 3.6442503E-5 | 3.4309276E-5 | 5.4308588E-5 | 1.5829128 | 2.0E-5 | 1.561728E-4 | 1.4703147E-4 | 1.7702706E-4 | 1.204008 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0018997455 | 0.0017886407 | 0.0018784798 | 1.0502275 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018835869 | 0.018478813 | 0.018596595 | 1.0063739 | 1.2E-4 |
6.7 | 3.6432113E-5 | 3.4294848E-5 | 5.4294163E-5 | 1.583158 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5612828E-4 | 1.4696966E-4 | 1.7696524E-4 | 1.2040938 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0018992044 | 0.0017878895 | 0.0018777285 | 1.0502487 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018830549 | 0.018471437 | 0.01858922 | 1.0063765 | 1.2E-4 |
6.8 | 3.6409598E-5 | 3.4263903E-5 | 5.4263215E-5 | 1.5836847 | 2.0E-5 | 1.560318E-4 | 1.4683705E-4 | 1.7683263E-4 | 1.2042781 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0018980318 | 0.0017862775 | 0.0018761168 | 1.0502942 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018819023 | 0.01845559 | 0.018573374 | 1.0063821 | 1.2E-4 |
6.9 | 3.638078E-5 | 3.4224322E-5 | 5.4223638E-5 | 1.5843598 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5590832E-4 | 1.4666743E-4 | 1.7666303E-4 | 1.2045144 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0018965311 | 0.001784216 | 0.0018740555 | 1.0503523 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018804269 | 0.018435322 | 0.01855311 | 1.0063893 | 1.2E-4 |
7.0 | 3.6294874E-5 | 3.410633E-5 | 5.410565E-5 | 1.5863814 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5554018E-4 | 1.4616182E-4 | 1.7615744E-4 | 1.205222 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0018920569 | 0.0017780702 | 0.0018679103 | 1.0505266 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018760284 | 0.0183749 | 0.018492695 | 1.0064106 | 1.2E-4 |
7.1 | 3.6260717E-5 | 3.406261E-5 | 5.406193E-5 | 1.587134 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5539382E-4 | 1.4597447E-4 | 1.7597008E-4 | 1.2054853 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001890278 | 0.001775793 | 0.0018656332 | 1.0505916 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018742796 | 0.018352494 | 0.018470291 | 1.0064186 | 1.2E-4 |
7.2 | 3.6210204E-5 | 3.399683E-5 | 5.3996147E-5 | 1.5882702 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5517735E-4 | 1.4569257E-4 | 1.756882E-4 | 1.205883 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001887647 | 0.0017723665 | 0.001862207 | 1.0506896 | 9.0E-5 | 0.01871693 | 0.018318761 | 0.018436562 | 1.0064306 | 1.2E-4 |
7.3 | 3.6119454E-5 | 3.38851E-5 | 5.388442E-5 | 1.59021 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5478847E-4 | 1.4521378E-4 | 1.7520942E-4 | 1.2065619 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0018829206 | 0.0017665467 | 0.0018563878 | 1.0508568 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018670462 | 0.018261312 | 0.01837912 | 1.0064512 | 1.2E-4 |
7.4 | 3.607848E-5 | 3.383259E-5 | 5.3831915E-5 | 1.591126 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5461289E-4 | 1.4498878E-4 | 1.7498442E-4 | 1.2068826 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0018807866 | 0.0017638118 | 0.001853653 | 1.0509359 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018649481 | 0.018234307 | 0.01835212 | 1.006461 | 1.2E-4 |
7.5 | 3.5856774E-5 | 3.3642333E-5 | 5.364166E-5 | 1.5944691 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5366284E-4 | 1.4417348E-4 | 1.7416915E-4 | 1.2080526 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0018692396 | 0.0017539015 | 0.0018437436 | 1.0512241 | 9.0E-5 | 0.018535944 | 0.018135391 | 0.018253215 | 1.0064969 | 1.2E-4 |
7.6 | 3.286655E-5 | 3.216498E-5 | 5.2164334E-5 | 1.6217743 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4084904E-4 | 1.3784264E-4 | 1.678385E-4 | 1.2176095 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001713488 | 0.0016769443 | 0.0017667933 | 1.0535791 | 9.0E-5 | 0.017003361 | 0.01735499 | 0.017472906 | 1.0067945 | 1.2E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8882527E-5 | 2.9257426E-5 | 4.9256843E-5 | 1.6835672 | 2.0E-5 | 1.237764E-4 | 1.2538295E-4 | 1.553792E-4 | 1.239237 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015059357 | 0.0015254696 | 0.0016153323 | 1.0589082 | 9.0E-5 | 0.014957713 | 0.01584148 | 0.01595958 | 1.007455 | 1.2E-4 |
7.8 | 2.4950225E-5 | 2.6547612E-5 | 4.654708E-5 | 1.7533435 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0692515E-4 | 1.13770526E-4 | 1.4376712E-4 | 1.2636586 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013010362 | 0.0013842769 | 0.0014641661 | 1.057712 | 8.0E-5 | 0.012934455 | 0.014422574 | 0.0145309875 | 1.007517 | 1.1E-4 |
7.9 | 1.9881603E-5 | 2.1525702E-5 | 4.1525273E-5 | 1.9291018 | 2.0E-5 | 8.520408E-5 | 9.224976E-5 | 1.2224699E-4 | 1.3251741 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001036866 | 0.0011225629 | 0.0012024731 | 1.0711855 | 8.0E-5 | 0.010320415 | 0.011786812 | 0.011885633 | 1.0083841 | 1.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.563292E-5 | 1.5951815E-5 | 2.5951656E-5 | 1.6268779 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6996516E-5 | 6.836314E-5 | 8.836177E-5 | 1.2925353 | 2.0E-5 | 8.153773E-4 | 8.32004E-4 | 8.819624E-4 | 1.0600458 | 5.0E-5 | 0.00812392 | 0.008818382 | 0.008887765 | 1.0078679 | 7.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0045313E-5 | 8.309782E-6 | 8.309782E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.305063E-5 | 3.561287E-5 | 3.561287E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2401534E-4 | 4.3350094E-4 | 4.3350094E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052278144 | 0.0046636057 | 0.0046835123 | 1.0042685 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.1554413E-6 | 1.5674577E-6 | 1.5674577E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7808914E-5 | 6.717659E-6 | 6.717659E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1680194E-4 | 8.1784456E-5 | 8.1784456E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021659054 | 9.493745E-4 | 9.493745E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 3.6197045E-7 | 3.6197045E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.551301E-6 | 1.551301E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 1.888693E-5 | 1.888693E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.2780563E-4 | 2.2780563E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cady
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.185918E-5 | 4.1858744E-5 | 1.9149274 | 2.0E-5 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3679344E-5 | 1.2367654E-4 | 1.3202113 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011400402 | 0.0011999718 | 1.0525697 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011350933 | 0.011459685 | 1.0095809 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.185918E-5 | 4.1858744E-5 | 1.9149274 | 2.0E-5 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3679344E-5 | 1.2367654E-4 | 1.3202113 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011400402 | 0.0011999718 | 1.0525697 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011350933 | 0.011459685 | 1.0095809 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.185918E-5 | 4.1858744E-5 | 1.9149274 | 2.0E-5 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.3679344E-5 | 1.2367654E-4 | 1.3202113 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011400402 | 0.0011999718 | 1.0525697 | 6.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011350933 | 0.011459685 | 1.0095809 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2176825E-5 | 2.2176704E-5 | 1.8212221 | 1.0E-5 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.218553E-5 | 7.2184484E-5 | 1.3832281 | 2.0E-5 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.352051E-4 | 6.95167E-4 | 1.0943977 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0057841022 | 0.006337001 | 0.006416494 | 1.0125443 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2176825E-5 | 2.2176704E-5 | 1.8212221 | 1.0E-5 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.218553E-5 | 7.2184484E-5 | 1.3832281 | 2.0E-5 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.352051E-4 | 6.95167E-4 | 1.0943977 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0057841022 | 0.006337001 | 0.006416494 | 1.0125443 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.103093E-6 | 6.6721504E-6 | 6.6721504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.615585E-5 | 2.8594688E-5 | 3.85944E-5 | 1.3497053 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1840094E-4 | 3.4809727E-4 | 3.780868E-4 | 1.0861528 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0031794512 | 0.003476754 | 0.0035166151 | 1.011465 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.817237E-6 | 6.3657835E-6 | 6.3657835E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4930776E-5 | 2.7281714E-5 | 3.7281443E-5 | 1.3665359 | 1.0E-5 | 3.034899E-4 | 3.321167E-4 | 3.6210674E-4 | 1.0902997 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0030307577 | 0.0033174257 | 0.003357293 | 1.0120175 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.8846314E-6 | 5.340672E-6 | 5.340672E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0933967E-5 | 2.288846E-5 | 2.288846E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5484123E-4 | 2.7864316E-4 | 2.9863758E-4 | 1.0717564 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0025454918 | 0.0027840934 | 0.0028140098 | 1.0107455 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7788773E-6 | 1.9399447E-6 | 1.9399447E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6237375E-6 | 8.31403E-6 | 8.31403E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.281505E-5 | 1.012202E-4 | 1.1121918E-4 | 1.0987846 | 1.0E-5 | 9.2776294E-4 | 0.0010118956 | 0.0010218854 | 1.0098724 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.5455404E-7 | 8.2972645E-7 | 8.2972645E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.233799E-6 | 3.5559674E-6 | 3.5559674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.937079E-5 | 4.329338E-5 | 4.329338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9363815E-4 | 4.328824E-4 | 4.328824E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.8578805E-7 | 7.541973E-7 | 7.541973E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9390883E-6 | 3.2322719E-6 | 3.2322719E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.578281E-5 | 3.935253E-5 | 3.935253E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.577705E-4 | 3.934881E-4 | 3.934881E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Imperial
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7496446E-4 | 5.057386E-4 | 5.057386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011778869 | 0.00216569 | 0.0021856467 | 1.0092149 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0142467655 | 0.026076585 | 0.026096063 | 1.000747 | 2.0E-5 | 0.13367249 | 0.22811358 | 0.22819848 | 1.0003722 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 2.5356023E-4 | 4.8675443E-4 | 4.8675443E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001086234 | 0.002084461 | 0.0021044193 | 1.0095748 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013144928 | 0.025088817 | 0.025108315 | 1.0007771 | 2.0E-5 | 0.123940155 | 0.21954128 | 0.21962713 | 1.000391 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 2.4820742E-4 | 4.7770535E-4 | 4.7770535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010633124 | 0.0020457401 | 0.0020656993 | 1.0097564 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01286919 | 0.024628628 | 0.024648136 | 1.000792 | 2.0E-5 | 0.12148927 | 0.21604621 | 0.21613245 | 1.0003991 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 2.3205351E-4 | 4.5907422E-4 | 4.5907422E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.94136E-4 | 0.0019660143 | 0.001985975 | 1.0101528 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012036599 | 0.023674667 | 0.023694193 | 1.0008248 | 2.0E-5 | 0.11405133 | 0.2079943 | 0.20808141 | 1.0004189 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 2.0304754E-4 | 3.989303E-4 | 3.989303E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6991355E-4 | 0.0017085957 | 0.0017285615 | 1.0116855 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010539869 | 0.020608325 | 0.020627914 | 1.0009505 | 2.0E-5 | 0.100537635 | 0.1851269 | 0.18520838 | 1.0004401 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.854992E-4 | 3.7004295E-4 | 3.7004295E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9475436E-4 | 0.0015849468 | 0.0016049151 | 1.0125988 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009633281 | 0.01913413 | 0.019153748 | 1.0010252 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0922623 | 0.17335626 | 0.17343894 | 1.0004768 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.6586106E-4 | 3.4049284E-4 | 3.4049284E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.106394E-4 | 0.0014584492 | 0.00147842 | 1.0136932 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008617763 | 0.017618403 | 0.01763805 | 1.0011152 | 2.0E-5 | 0.08291132 | 0.16083156 | 0.16091548 | 1.0005218 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.4224656E-4 | 3.077928E-4 | 3.077928E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.094856E-4 | 0.0013184533 | 0.001338427 | 1.0151492 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0073952693 | 0.01593756 | 0.01595724 | 1.0012349 | 2.0E-5 | 0.07153955 | 0.14653309 | 0.14661843 | 1.0005825 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.2317259E-4 | 2.7801737E-4 | 2.7801737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2777573E-4 | 0.0011909651 | 0.0012109412 | 1.0167731 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0064067547 | 0.014404981 | 0.014424693 | 1.0013684 | 2.0E-5 | 0.06225166 | 0.13297774 | 0.13306445 | 1.000652 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 9.859898E-5 | 2.5022353E-4 | 2.5022353E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2249862E-4 | 0.0010719502 | 0.0010919287 | 1.0186375 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0051317946 | 0.012973859 | 0.012993599 | 1.0015216 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05014893 | 0.11943802 | 0.11952608 | 1.0007373 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 7.3191884E-5 | 2.1273016E-4 | 2.1273016E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.136418E-4 | 9.113853E-4 | 9.3136705E-4 | 1.0219246 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003811904 | 0.011040349 | 0.011060127 | 1.0017916 | 2.0E-5 | 0.037471764 | 0.10208747 | 0.10217726 | 1.0008795 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 7.1760296E-5 | 2.0974301E-4 | 2.0974301E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0750787E-4 | 8.985921E-4 | 9.1857417E-4 | 1.0222371 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003737482 | 0.010886158 | 0.01090594 | 1.0018172 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03675245 | 0.100723825 | 0.100813754 | 1.0008928 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 6.46614E-5 | 1.9142622E-4 | 1.9142622E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7709085E-4 | 8.2014315E-4 | 8.4012677E-4 | 1.024366 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033683628 | 0.009940149 | 0.00995995 | 1.001992 | 2.0E-5 | 0.033177625 | 0.09253089 | 0.092612565 | 1.0008826 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.088115E-5 | 1.781407E-4 | 1.781407E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6089314E-4 | 7.632397E-4 | 7.832244E-4 | 1.0261841 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0031717476 | 0.009253426 | 0.009273241 | 1.0021414 | 2.0E-5 | 0.031268585 | 0.086581014 | 0.086663224 | 1.0009495 | 9.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.199346E-5 | 1.1514702E-4 | 1.1514702E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7995955E-4 | 4.933948E-4 | 5.0338986E-4 | 1.0202577 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021888057 | 0.0059907055 | 0.0060006455 | 1.0016593 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02167372 | 0.05745839 | 0.05752437 | 1.0011482 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.130448E-5 | 8.33685E-5 | 8.33685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3415517E-4 | 3.5724495E-4 | 3.5724495E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016321153 | 0.004340843 | 0.004340843 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016201803 | 0.04214783 | 0.042195722 | 1.0011363 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.3074248E-5 | 6.0874714E-5 | 6.0874714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.888588E-5 | 2.6086567E-4 | 2.6086567E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012032706 | 0.0031714374 | 0.0031714374 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011967761 | 0.031039868 | 0.031088315 | 1.0015608 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.45864815E-5 | 4.0149444E-5 | 4.0149444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2511994E-5 | 1.7205773E-4 | 1.7205773E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.608177E-4 | 0.0020927957 | 0.0020927957 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007582182 | 0.020639144 | 0.020688113 | 1.0023726 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.0352979E-5 | 3.098185E-5 | 3.098185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4369157E-5 | 1.327726E-4 | 1.327726E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.400606E-4 | 0.0016153103 | 0.0016153103 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053875 | 0.016026467 | 0.016065825 | 1.0024558 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 8.137906E-6 | 2.216556E-5 | 2.216556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4876273E-5 | 9.49918E-5 | 9.49918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2453592E-4 | 0.0011559125 | 0.0011559125 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004237258 | 0.011625471 | 0.011655122 | 1.0025505 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 6.93792E-6 | 1.8022762E-5 | 1.8022762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9733603E-5 | 7.7238125E-5 | 7.7238125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6194647E-4 | 9.3996926E-4 | 9.3996926E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036135751 | 0.009508037 | 0.009527846 | 1.0020835 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.4286315E-6 | 6.385937E-6 | 6.385937E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4694053E-5 | 2.7368014E-5 | 2.7368014E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7888541E-4 | 3.3315475E-4 | 3.3315475E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017874148 | 0.003488996 | 0.003488996 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.4906886E-6 | 1.9388774E-6 | 1.9388774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3886496E-6 | 8.309448E-6 | 8.309448E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7779034E-5 | 1.0116287E-4 | 1.0116287E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.775182E-4 | 0.0011087349 | 0.0011087349 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.5758007E-8 | 1.4520292E-8 | 1.4520292E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10391454E-7 | 6.222982E-8 | 6.222982E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3440151E-6 | 7.576481E-7 | 7.576481E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.344007E-5 | 7.897614E-6 | 7.897614E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Owens Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.627061E-6 | 3.362695E-5 | 9.27113 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.5544461E-5 | 6.554368E-5 | 4.21653 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002521386 | 1.8923837E-4 | 2.8921943E-4 | 1.528334 | 1.0E-4 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019234584 | 0.0020432277 | 1.0622677 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.627061E-6 | 3.362695E-5 | 9.27113 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.5544461E-5 | 6.554368E-5 | 4.21653 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002521386 | 1.8923837E-4 | 2.8921943E-4 | 1.528334 | 1.0E-4 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019234584 | 0.0020432277 | 1.0622677 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.627061E-6 | 3.362695E-5 | 9.27113 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.5544461E-5 | 6.554368E-5 | 4.21653 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002521386 | 1.8923837E-4 | 2.8921943E-4 | 1.528334 | 1.0E-4 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019234584 | 0.0020432277 | 1.0622677 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.153443E-6 | 3.315335E-5 | 10.513381 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.3514689E-5 | 6.351402E-5 | 4.699628 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002060538 | 1.6452966E-4 | 2.645132E-4 | 1.6076932 | 1.0E-4 | 0.020415364 | 0.0016622656 | 0.0017820662 | 1.0720706 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.153443E-6 | 3.315335E-5 | 10.513381 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.3514689E-5 | 6.351402E-5 | 4.699628 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002060538 | 1.6452966E-4 | 2.645132E-4 | 1.6076932 | 1.0E-4 | 0.020415364 | 0.0016622656 | 0.0017820662 | 1.0720706 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 3.457342E-5 | 2.971086E-6 | 3.2971E-5 | 11.097288 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4816338E-4 | 1.2733167E-5 | 6.273253E-5 | 4.926703 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0018023965 | 1.5501598E-4 | 2.550005E-4 | 1.6449949 | 1.0E-4 | 0.017878477 | 0.0015564146 | 0.0016762279 | 1.0769802 | 1.2E-4 |
6.6 | 3.1127765E-5 | 2.8739566E-6 | 3.287387E-5 | 11.43854 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3339789E-4 | 1.2316903E-5 | 6.2316285E-5 | 5.059412 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0016229092 | 1.4994865E-4 | 2.4993366E-4 | 1.6667949 | 1.0E-4 | 0.016111081 | 0.0015015252 | 0.001621345 | 1.0797987 | 1.2E-4 |
6.7 | 2.806885E-5 | 2.8103764E-6 | 3.281029E-5 | 11.674697 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2028952E-4 | 1.2044418E-5 | 6.2043815E-5 | 5.1512504 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001463541 | 1.4663162E-4 | 2.4661695E-4 | 1.6818812 | 1.0E-4 | 0.014539397 | 0.0014657965 | 0.0015856206 | 1.0817467 | 1.2E-4 |
6.8 | 2.524524E-5 | 2.2353358E-6 | 3.2235268E-5 | 14.420773 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0818939E-4 | 9.579977E-6 | 5.95795E-5 | 6.219169 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0013164099 | 1.1663028E-4 | 2.1661862E-4 | 1.8573103 | 1.0E-4 | 0.01308639 | 0.0011660052 | 0.0012858652 | 1.1027955 | 1.2E-4 |
6.9 | 2.2704568E-5 | 1.6081192E-6 | 3.160807E-5 | 19.655304 | 3.0E-5 | 9.730166E-5 | 6.891921E-6 | 5.6891575E-5 | 8.254821 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011840039 | 8.390593E-5 | 1.8389753E-4 | 2.191711 | 1.0E-4 | 0.011777153 | 8.3899073E-4 | 9.588901E-4 | 1.142909 | 1.2E-4 |
7.0 | 2.0871712E-5 | 1.5395026E-6 | 3.1539457E-5 | 20.486782 | 3.0E-5 | 8.944713E-5 | 6.597852E-6 | 5.659752E-5 | 8.578175 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0010884746 | 8.03259E-5 | 1.8031787E-4 | 2.2448285 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010831586 | 8.0317335E-4 | 9.23077E-4 | 1.1492873 | 1.2E-4 |
7.1 | 1.944928E-5 | 1.3863755E-6 | 3.1386335E-5 | 22.63913 | 3.0E-5 | 8.335139E-5 | 5.9415956E-6 | 5.59413E-5 | 9.415197 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0010143308 | 7.233654E-5 | 1.723293E-4 | 2.3823273 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010097133 | 7.233209E-4 | 8.432341E-4 | 1.1657815 | 1.2E-4 |
7.2 | 1.7876306E-5 | 1.2488714E-6 | 3.1248834E-5 | 25.02166 | 3.0E-5 | 7.6610486E-5 | 5.352295E-6 | 5.5352026E-5 | 10.341737 | 5.0E-5 | 9.3233347E-4 | 6.516225E-5 | 1.6515574E-4 | 2.5345309 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009284316 | 6.516127E-4 | 7.715345E-4 | 1.1840385 | 1.2E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2618672E-5 | 1.1114794E-6 | 3.1111445E-5 | 27.991024 | 3.0E-5 | 5.40789E-5 | 4.7634744E-6 | 5.4763237E-5 | 11.4964905 | 5.0E-5 | 6.582117E-4 | 5.7993762E-5 | 1.5798796E-4 | 2.7242234 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0065626553 | 5.7996303E-4 | 6.998934E-4 | 1.2067897 | 1.2E-4 |
7.4 | 7.4874442E-6 | 8.5482895E-7 | 2.0854812E-5 | 24.396473 | 2.0E-5 | 3.208865E-5 | 3.6635477E-6 | 4.36634E-5 | 11.918339 | 4.0E-5 | 3.906093E-4 | 4.4602784E-5 | 1.3459877E-4 | 3.0177212 | 9.0E-5 | 0.003899234 | 4.4607313E-4 | 5.560241E-4 | 1.2464863 | 1.1E-4 |
7.5 | 2.4734156E-6 | 6.068563E-7 | 1.060685E-5 | 17.478355 | 1.0E-5 | 1.060031E-5 | 2.6008101E-6 | 3.2600732E-5 | 12.534837 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2905113E-4 | 3.1664407E-5 | 9.166251E-5 | 2.894812 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0012897621 | 3.165993E-4 | 3.9657395E-4 | 1.2526053 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1328841E-6 | 3.196469E-7 | 3.196469E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8552088E-6 | 1.3699146E-6 | 2.1369888E-5 | 15.599431 | 2.0E-5 | 5.9110564E-5 | 1.6678583E-5 | 3.667825E-5 | 2.1991227 | 2.0E-5 | 5.9094845E-4 | 1.667735E-4 | 1.9676851E-4 | 1.1798546 | 3.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.8613185E-7 | 8.963682E-8 | 8.963682E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0834207E-6 | 3.8415774E-7 | 1.0384154E-5 | 27.030964 | 1.0E-5 | 2.536535E-5 | 4.677111E-6 | 1.4677064E-5 | 3.138062 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5362454E-4 | 4.6770198E-5 | 5.6769728E-5 | 1.2138014 | 1.0E-5 |
Chino alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.939946E-5 | 4.8951082E-5 | 4.8951082E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6884391E-4 | 2.0977644E-4 | 2.0977644E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020537362 | 0.0025515459 | 0.002591444 | 1.0156368 | 4.0E-5 | 0.020348595 | 0.025280744 | 0.025368469 | 1.0034701 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.6880849E-5 | 2.6880849E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.15199175E-4 | 1.15199175E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0014017571 | 0.0014217291 | 1.0142478 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011158722 | 0.013947455 | 0.0139967585 | 1.0035349 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.6880849E-5 | 2.6880849E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.15199175E-4 | 1.15199175E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0014017571 | 0.0014217291 | 1.0142478 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011158722 | 0.013947455 | 0.0139967585 | 1.0035349 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.816648E-5 | 1.816648E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.7854274E-5 | 7.7854274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.4750884E-4 | 9.6748985E-4 | 1.021088 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007429048 | 0.009446575 | 0.0094861975 | 1.0041944 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.816648E-5 | 1.816648E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.7854274E-5 | 7.7854274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.4750884E-4 | 9.6748985E-4 | 1.021088 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007429048 | 0.009446575 | 0.0094861975 | 1.0041944 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3017944E-5 | 1.6653381E-5 | 1.6653381E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5789995E-5 | 7.136993E-5 | 7.136993E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.790315E-4 | 8.686262E-4 | 8.7861746E-4 | 1.0115024 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0067696036 | 0.008664037 | 0.008693777 | 1.0034326 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.470016E-6 | 1.2040408E-5 | 1.2040408E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.058515E-5 | 5.160092E-5 | 5.160092E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.940122E-4 | 6.280941E-4 | 6.280941E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004929154 | 0.0062732557 | 0.0062931306 | 1.0031681 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.314155E-6 | 1.0408562E-5 | 1.0408562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5631605E-5 | 4.4607543E-5 | 4.4607543E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3372845E-4 | 5.429938E-4 | 5.429938E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004328829 | 0.0054267272 | 0.005446619 | 1.0036654 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4856364E-6 | 3.8136643E-6 | 3.8136643E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4938357E-5 | 1.6344185E-5 | 1.6344185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8185932E-4 | 1.9897436E-4 | 1.9897436E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018171056 | 0.001989545 | 0.001989545 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.2645952E-6 | 2.1530573E-6 | 2.1530573E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.705372E-6 | 9.227358E-6 | 9.227358E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18156495E-4 | 1.123375E-4 | 1.123375E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011809369 | 0.0011233703 | 0.0011233703 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.7864003E-6 | 1.5431928E-6 | 1.5431928E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.655979E-6 | 6.6136668E-6 | 6.6136668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3207556E-5 | 8.0518475E-5 | 8.0518475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.316847E-4 | 8.053238E-4 | 8.053238E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.7315456E-6 | 1.4734618E-6 | 1.4734618E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.420889E-6 | 6.3148213E-6 | 6.3148213E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.034557E-5 | 7.688029E-5 | 7.688029E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0308854E-4 | 7.689613E-4 | 7.689613E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.6008337E-6 | 1.3575074E-6 | 1.3575074E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.860698E-6 | 5.8178757E-6 | 5.8178757E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.352579E-5 | 7.083039E-5 | 7.083039E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.34944E-4 | 7.084871E-4 | 7.084871E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3320939E-6 | 1.1218484E-6 | 1.1218484E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7089615E-6 | 4.8079132E-6 | 4.8079132E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9504385E-5 | 5.853482E-5 | 5.853482E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9482654E-4 | 5.853483E-4 | 5.853483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.114294E-6 | 9.237627E-7 | 9.237627E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.775537E-6 | 3.9589772E-6 | 3.9589772E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8140613E-5 | 4.8199516E-5 | 4.8199516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.81254E-4 | 4.8190984E-4 | 4.8190984E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.354081E-7 | 7.623829E-7 | 7.623829E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0088858E-6 | 3.2673515E-6 | 3.2673515E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8807087E-5 | 3.9779312E-5 | 3.9779312E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.879637E-4 | 3.9772532E-4 | 3.9772532E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.521771E-7 | 6.881047E-7 | 6.881047E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6521824E-6 | 2.949017E-6 | 2.949017E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4464414E-5 | 3.5903722E-5 | 3.5903722E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4455516E-4 | 3.589824E-4 | 3.589824E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.1803626E-7 | 1.4187106E-7 | 1.4187106E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.344408E-7 | 6.080187E-7 | 6.080187E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1376757E-5 | 7.4026125E-6 | 7.4026125E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13761744E-4 | 7.402462E-5 | 7.402462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Wolf (Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066678E-6 | 1.6066617E-5 | 2.6483386 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.5999827E-5 | 6.5998785E-5 | 2.538432 | 4.0E-5 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1650852E-4 | 3.964832E-4 | 1.2526778 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031612294 | 0.0032708817 | 1.0346866 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066678E-6 | 1.6066617E-5 | 2.6483386 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.5999827E-5 | 6.5998785E-5 | 2.538432 | 4.0E-5 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1650852E-4 | 3.964832E-4 | 1.2526778 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031612294 | 0.0032708817 | 1.0346866 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066678E-6 | 1.6066617E-5 | 2.6483386 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.5999827E-5 | 6.5998785E-5 | 2.538432 | 4.0E-5 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1650852E-4 | 3.964832E-4 | 1.2526778 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031612294 | 0.0032708817 | 1.0346866 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066678E-6 | 1.6066617E-5 | 2.6483386 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.5999827E-5 | 6.5998785E-5 | 2.538432 | 4.0E-5 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1650852E-4 | 3.964832E-4 | 1.2526778 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.0031612294 | 0.0032708817 | 1.0346866 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 5.821773E-6 | 3.557165E-6 | 3.557165E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4950215E-5 | 1.524491E-5 | 3.5244604E-5 | 2.3118932 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0372653E-4 | 1.8559207E-4 | 2.3558279E-4 | 1.269358 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0030331176 | 0.0018544791 | 0.0019343308 | 1.0430588 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.766023E-6 | 3.4990987E-6 | 3.4990987E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4711293E-5 | 1.4996057E-5 | 3.4995755E-5 | 2.333664 | 2.0E-5 | 3.0081844E-4 | 1.825628E-4 | 2.3255366E-4 | 1.2738284 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0030041158 | 0.0018242364 | 0.0019040904 | 1.043774 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.643576E-6 | 2.3326027E-6 | 2.3326027E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9900888E-5 | 9.996832E-6 | 2.9996632E-5 | 3.0006137 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4226638E-4 | 1.2170507E-4 | 1.617002E-4 | 1.3286234 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0024200242 | 0.0012164266 | 0.0012663658 | 1.041054 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.9529173E-6 | 1.6483215E-6 | 1.6483215E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6940963E-5 | 7.064217E-6 | 1.7064145E-5 | 2.415575 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0623671E-4 | 8.600363E-5 | 1.1600105E-4 | 1.3487924 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002060454 | 8.59722E-4 | 8.996876E-4 | 1.0464866 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4377522E-6 | 1.2244958E-6 | 1.2244958E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.473314E-5 | 5.2478294E-6 | 1.5247777E-5 | 2.9055398 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7936122E-4 | 6.389054E-5 | 8.388927E-5 | 1.3130153 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017921652 | 6.387308E-4 | 6.5871805E-4 | 1.0312921 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.1367306E-6 | 1.003349E-6 | 1.003349E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3443062E-5 | 4.3000605E-6 | 1.4300018E-5 | 3.3255386 | 1.0E-5 | 1.63657E-4 | 5.2352058E-5 | 7.235101E-5 | 1.3820089 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016353652 | 5.2340486E-4 | 5.433944E-4 | 1.0381913 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.8298145E-6 | 7.428383E-7 | 7.428383E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2127721E-5 | 3.1835891E-6 | 1.3183558E-5 | 4.141099 | 1.0E-5 | 1.47645E-4 | 3.875956E-5 | 5.8758786E-5 | 1.5159817 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014754693 | 3.87533E-4 | 4.0752525E-4 | 1.0515885 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.4091064E-6 | 5.4225063E-7 | 5.4225063E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.03247E-5 | 2.3239295E-6 | 2.3239295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2569598E-4 | 2.8293516E-5 | 3.8293234E-5 | 1.3534279 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001256249 | 2.8290317E-4 | 2.9290034E-4 | 1.0353378 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.3875518E-6 | 1.0740885E-7 | 1.0740885E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9466374E-6 | 4.6032358E-7 | 4.6032358E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.23979E-5 | 5.6044264E-6 | 5.6044264E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2374323E-4 | 5.6042965E-5 | 5.6042965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.056077E-7 | 5.0007337E-8 | 5.0007337E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0240296E-6 | 2.1431715E-7 | 2.1431715E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.681694E-5 | 2.6093087E-6 | 2.6093087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.681084E-4 | 2.6092826E-5 | 2.6092826E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.863931E-9 | 4.863931E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 2.084542E-8 | 2.084542E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.5379296E-7 | 2.5379296E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095951E-5 | 2.537928E-6 | 2.537928E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.67521E-5 | 4.675173E-5 | 1.2720833 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5750281E-4 | 1.6750123E-4 | 1.063481 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016823979 | 0.001916494 | 0.0019364556 | 1.0104157 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016697178 | 0.019057117 | 0.019155212 | 1.0051473 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.67521E-5 | 4.675173E-5 | 1.2720833 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5750281E-4 | 1.6750123E-4 | 1.063481 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016823979 | 0.001916494 | 0.0019364556 | 1.0104157 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016697178 | 0.019057117 | 0.019155212 | 1.0051473 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.67521E-5 | 4.675173E-5 | 1.2720833 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5750281E-4 | 1.6750123E-4 | 1.063481 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016823979 | 0.001916494 | 0.0019364556 | 1.0104157 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016697178 | 0.019057117 | 0.019155212 | 1.0051473 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.67521E-5 | 4.675173E-5 | 1.2720833 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5750281E-4 | 1.6750123E-4 | 1.063481 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016823979 | 0.001916494 | 0.0019364556 | 1.0104157 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016697178 | 0.019057117 | 0.019155212 | 1.0051473 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.48495865E-5 | 2.4849438E-5 | 1.6734095 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.363956E-5 | 7.363893E-5 | 1.157125 | 1.0E-5 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.745413E-4 | 7.8453356E-4 | 1.0129008 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074880854 | 0.007718968 | 0.0077586593 | 1.0051421 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.48495865E-5 | 2.4849438E-5 | 1.6734095 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.363956E-5 | 7.363893E-5 | 1.157125 | 1.0E-5 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.745413E-4 | 7.8453356E-4 | 1.0129008 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074880854 | 0.007718968 | 0.0077586593 | 1.0051421 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.280208E-5 | 1.3012095E-5 | 1.3012095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4864904E-5 | 5.5764944E-5 | 5.5764944E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6777546E-4 | 6.7872845E-4 | 6.7872845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006657724 | 0.0067667654 | 0.0067965626 | 1.0044035 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2457027E-5 | 1.2628607E-5 | 1.2628607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3386164E-5 | 5.4121487E-5 | 5.4121487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.497827E-4 | 6.5873156E-4 | 6.5873156E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00647886 | 0.006567987 | 0.0065977904 | 1.0045376 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2095134E-5 | 1.2231046E-5 | 1.2231046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1835254E-5 | 5.2417723E-5 | 5.2417723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.309115E-4 | 6.3800055E-4 | 6.3800055E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0062912325 | 0.006361877 | 0.0063916864 | 1.0046856 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1104036E-5 | 1.115746E-5 | 1.115746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.758786E-5 | 4.7816815E-5 | 4.7816815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7922816E-4 | 5.8201543E-4 | 5.8201543E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005777207 | 0.0058050575 | 0.005834883 | 1.0051379 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0577444E-5 | 1.0581782E-5 | 1.0581782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5331115E-5 | 4.534971E-5 | 4.534971E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5176654E-4 | 5.519941E-4 | 5.519941E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055039856 | 0.005506368 | 0.005536203 | 1.0054182 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0021775E-5 | 9.981079E-6 | 9.981079E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.294976E-5 | 4.2775355E-5 | 4.2775355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2278786E-4 | 5.206667E-4 | 5.206667E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052155964 | 0.0051946007 | 0.005224445 | 1.0057452 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.874109E-6 | 8.748863E-6 | 8.748863E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8031343E-5 | 3.7494596E-5 | 3.7494596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.629332E-4 | 4.5640217E-4 | 4.5640217E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046197 | 0.004554766 | 0.0045846296 | 1.0065565 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.5504267E-6 | 7.5051435E-6 | 7.5051435E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.235857E-5 | 3.216451E-5 | 3.216451E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9389438E-4 | 3.9153357E-4 | 3.9153357E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039319694 | 0.0039085443 | 0.003938427 | 1.0076455 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.309394E-6 | 6.183157E-6 | 6.183157E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.703998E-5 | 2.6498981E-5 | 2.6498981E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2916202E-4 | 3.2257827E-4 | 3.2257827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003286749 | 0.0032211978 | 0.0032411334 | 1.0061889 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.6103073E-6 | 4.4408634E-6 | 4.4408634E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.975831E-5 | 1.9032137E-5 | 1.9032137E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4053088E-4 | 2.3169232E-4 | 2.3169232E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002402707 | 0.002314577 | 0.002324554 | 1.0043105 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.2858658E-6 | 1.3008354E-6 | 1.3008354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5108417E-6 | 5.574997E-6 | 5.574997E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7092435E-5 | 6.7873545E-5 | 6.7873545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.707218E-4 | 6.78535E-4 | 6.78535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.3302307E-7 | 5.612201E-7 | 5.612201E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2843826E-6 | 2.4052267E-6 | 2.4052267E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7812002E-5 | 2.928328E-5 | 2.928328E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7808524E-4 | 2.9279778E-4 | 2.9279778E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.613933E-8 | 4.8030508E-8 | 4.8030508E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9773998E-7 | 2.0584501E-7 | 2.0584501E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074816E-6 | 2.5061604E-6 | 2.5061604E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074554E-5 | 2.506133E-5 | 2.506133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ludlow
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3657529E-5 | 2.3657529E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.0138572E-4 | 1.0138572E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011685267 | 0.0012337163 | 0.0012437039 | 1.0080956 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011624013 | 0.012273184 | 0.012381834 | 1.0088526 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3657529E-5 | 2.3657529E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.0138572E-4 | 1.0138572E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011685267 | 0.0012337163 | 0.0012437039 | 1.0080956 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011624013 | 0.012273184 | 0.012381834 | 1.0088526 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.13657925E-5 | 1.13657925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.870965E-5 | 4.870965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.928827E-4 | 5.928827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00560974 | 0.005913428 | 0.0059432504 | 1.0050431 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.13657925E-5 | 1.13657925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.870965E-5 | 4.870965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.928827E-4 | 5.928827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00560974 | 0.005913428 | 0.0059432504 | 1.0050431 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.814439E-6 | 8.237822E-6 | 8.237822E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3490025E-5 | 3.530448E-5 | 3.530448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0766477E-4 | 4.2974867E-4 | 4.2974867E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040691774 | 0.004289323 | 0.00429928 | 1.0023214 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.4986366E-6 | 6.850997E-6 | 6.850997E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7851002E-5 | 2.936109E-5 | 2.936109E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.390332E-4 | 3.5741358E-4 | 3.5741358E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003385164 | 0.0035684835 | 0.0035684835 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 5.582177E-6 | 5.8860724E-6 | 5.8860724E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3923398E-5 | 2.5225785E-5 | 2.5225785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9122844E-4 | 3.0708135E-4 | 3.0708135E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029084706 | 0.0030666436 | 0.0030666436 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 4.6858763E-6 | 4.940483E-6 | 4.940483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0082172E-5 | 2.1173331E-5 | 2.1173331E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4447302E-4 | 2.5775537E-4 | 2.5775537E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024420423 | 0.0025746205 | 0.0025746205 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.5584908E-6 | 3.7520608E-6 | 3.7520608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5250586E-5 | 1.6080165E-5 | 1.6080165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8566006E-4 | 1.9575882E-4 | 1.9575882E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018550502 | 0.0019559048 | 0.0019559048 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.532834E-6 | 2.6710338E-6 | 2.6710338E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0854958E-5 | 1.144724E-5 | 1.144724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3215111E-4 | 1.393615E-4 | 1.393615E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013207254 | 0.0013927687 | 0.0013927687 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.7083285E-6 | 1.8019645E-6 | 1.8019645E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3213873E-6 | 7.722683E-6 | 7.722683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.913424E-5 | 9.401977E-5 | 9.401977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9098496E-4 | 9.3981647E-4 | 9.3981647E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.149775E-6 | 1.149775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.927598E-6 | 4.927598E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.999196E-5 | 5.999196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.9976743E-4 | 5.9976743E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.387348E-7 | 6.387348E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7374324E-6 | 2.7374324E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.33278E-5 | 3.33278E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.3323484E-4 | 3.3323484E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5294008E-5 | 5.5293305E-5 | 1.5666484 | 2.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5125128E-4 | 1.8124674E-4 | 1.1983154 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018399302 | 0.001919783 | 1.0433999 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.018997645 | 0.019105555 | 1.0056802 | 1.1E-4 |
6.1 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5294008E-5 | 5.5293305E-5 | 1.5666484 | 2.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5125128E-4 | 1.8124674E-4 | 1.1983154 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018399302 | 0.001919783 | 1.0433999 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.018997645 | 0.019105555 | 1.0056802 | 1.1E-4 |
6.2 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5294008E-5 | 5.5293305E-5 | 1.5666484 | 2.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5125128E-4 | 1.8124674E-4 | 1.1983154 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018399302 | 0.001919783 | 1.0433999 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.018997645 | 0.019105555 | 1.0056802 | 1.1E-4 |
6.3 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5294008E-5 | 5.5293305E-5 | 1.5666484 | 2.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5125128E-4 | 1.8124674E-4 | 1.1983154 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.0018399302 | 0.001919783 | 1.0433999 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.018997645 | 0.019105555 | 1.0056802 | 1.1E-4 |
6.4 | 4.0577226E-5 | 3.516591E-5 | 5.5165205E-5 | 1.5687126 | 2.0E-5 | 1.738908E-4 | 1.5070236E-4 | 1.8069783E-4 | 1.1990379 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0018332594 | 0.0019131127 | 1.0435581 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020950472 | 0.018932208 | 0.019040126 | 1.0057002 | 1.1E-4 |
6.5 | 4.0577226E-5 | 3.516591E-5 | 5.5165205E-5 | 1.5687126 | 2.0E-5 | 1.738908E-4 | 1.5070236E-4 | 1.8069783E-4 | 1.1990379 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0018332594 | 0.0019131127 | 1.0435581 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020950472 | 0.018932208 | 0.019040126 | 1.0057002 | 1.1E-4 |
6.6 | 4.053861E-5 | 3.5111247E-5 | 5.5110544E-5 | 1.5695981 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7372532E-4 | 1.5046811E-4 | 1.804636E-4 | 1.1993479 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021130538 | 0.0018304128 | 0.0019102664 | 1.043626 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020930743 | 0.018904284 | 0.019012205 | 1.0057088 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 4.0516545E-5 | 3.5080317E-5 | 5.5079618E-5 | 1.5701003 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7363077E-4 | 1.5033557E-4 | 1.8033106E-4 | 1.1995236 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002111905 | 0.0018288022 | 0.0019086559 | 1.0436645 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020919468 | 0.01888848 | 0.018996403 | 1.0057137 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 4.049434E-5 | 3.505188E-5 | 5.5051176E-5 | 1.5705628 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7353562E-4 | 1.502137E-4 | 1.802092E-4 | 1.1996855 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021107488 | 0.0018273209 | 0.0019071747 | 1.0437 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020908125 | 0.018873893 | 0.018981816 | 1.0057181 | 1.1E-4 |
6.9 | 4.046386E-5 | 3.5014436E-5 | 5.5013734E-5 | 1.571173 | 2.0E-5 | 1.73405E-4 | 1.5005325E-4 | 1.8004875E-4 | 1.1998991 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021091616 | 0.0018253706 | 0.0019052246 | 1.0437467 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020892553 | 0.018854663 | 0.018962588 | 1.0057241 | 1.1E-4 |
7.0 | 4.036382E-5 | 3.4894994E-5 | 5.4894295E-5 | 1.5731281 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7297632E-4 | 1.4954142E-4 | 1.7953693E-4 | 1.2005833 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0021039525 | 0.0018191496 | 0.0018990041 | 1.0438966 | 8.0E-5 | 0.02084144 | 0.018793272 | 0.018901205 | 1.0057431 | 1.1E-4 |
7.1 | 4.0343282E-5 | 3.4873454E-5 | 5.487276E-5 | 1.5734822 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7288832E-4 | 1.4944912E-4 | 1.7944464E-4 | 1.2007072 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002102883 | 0.0018180278 | 0.0018978823 | 1.0439237 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020830948 | 0.018782143 | 0.018890075 | 1.0057466 | 1.1E-4 |
7.2 | 4.0257353E-5 | 3.4777946E-5 | 5.477725E-5 | 1.5750571 | 2.0E-5 | 1.725201E-4 | 1.4903984E-4 | 1.7903537E-4 | 1.2012584 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020984085 | 0.0018130532 | 0.0018929081 | 1.0440445 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020787042 | 0.018732876 | 0.018840814 | 1.005762 | 1.1E-4 |
7.3 | 3.9940667E-5 | 3.460556E-5 | 5.460487E-5 | 1.5779217 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7116306E-4 | 1.4830113E-4 | 1.7829669E-4 | 1.2022611 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020819185 | 0.0018040743 | 0.00188393 | 1.0442641 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020625217 | 0.018641492 | 0.018749442 | 1.0057908 | 1.1E-4 |
7.4 | 3.9721202E-5 | 3.4490924E-5 | 5.4490232E-5 | 1.5798427 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7022261E-4 | 1.4780989E-4 | 1.7780546E-4 | 1.2029334 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020704903 | 0.0017981032 | 0.0018779594 | 1.0444113 | 8.0E-5 | 0.020513052 | 0.018580606 | 0.018688563 | 1.0058101 | 1.1E-4 |
7.5 | 3.7036873E-5 | 3.355813E-5 | 5.3557458E-5 | 1.5959607 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5871979E-4 | 1.4381265E-4 | 1.7380834E-4 | 1.2085748 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0019307006 | 0.0017495158 | 0.0018293759 | 1.0456469 | 8.0E-5 | 0.019140124 | 0.018082002 | 0.018190013 | 1.0059733 | 1.1E-4 |
7.6 | 3.2940967E-5 | 3.1338488E-5 | 5.133786E-5 | 1.6381729 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4116794E-4 | 1.343009E-4 | 1.6429689E-4 | 1.223349 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017173645 | 0.0016338895 | 0.0017137588 | 1.048883 | 8.0E-5 | 0.01704153 | 0.016914828 | 0.017022967 | 1.0063932 | 1.1E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8236149E-5 | 2.7903916E-5 | 4.790336E-5 | 1.7167252 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2100645E-4 | 1.19582735E-4 | 1.4957915E-4 | 1.2508423 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0014722579 | 0.0014549484 | 0.0015348321 | 1.0549048 | 8.0E-5 | 0.014625421 | 0.015125607 | 0.015233944 | 1.0071625 | 1.1E-4 |
7.8 | 2.4329287E-5 | 2.5226851E-5 | 4.522635E-5 | 1.792786 | 2.0E-5 | 1.042642E-4 | 1.081106E-4 | 1.3810735E-4 | 1.2774636 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012686774 | 0.0013154526 | 0.0013853606 | 1.0531436 | 7.0E-5 | 0.012614589 | 0.013722713 | 0.013821341 | 1.0071872 | 1.0E-4 |
7.9 | 1.9370926E-5 | 2.0438792E-5 | 4.0438383E-5 | 1.9785115 | 2.0E-5 | 8.301561E-5 | 8.7591885E-5 | 1.1758926E-4 | 1.3424674 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010102465 | 0.0010659102 | 0.0011358357 | 1.0656016 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0100566605 | 0.011208857 | 0.011297848 | 1.0079393 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5583017E-5 | 1.590088E-5 | 2.5900721E-5 | 1.628886 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6782646E-5 | 6.814485E-5 | 8.814349E-5 | 1.2934724 | 2.0E-5 | 8.127754E-4 | 8.2934846E-4 | 8.79307E-4 | 1.0602382 | 5.0E-5 | 0.008098091 | 0.008789653 | 0.008859038 | 1.0078939 | 7.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0024873E-5 | 8.300371E-6 | 8.300371E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2963035E-5 | 3.557253E-5 | 3.557253E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.229494E-4 | 4.3301005E-4 | 4.3301005E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052172043 | 0.004657895 | 0.0046778014 | 1.0042738 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.142796E-6 | 1.562895E-6 | 1.562895E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.775472E-5 | 6.6981047E-6 | 6.6981047E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1614227E-4 | 8.15464E-5 | 8.15464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021593217 | 9.4654504E-4 | 9.4654504E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 3.61684E-7 | 3.61684E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.5500733E-6 | 1.5500733E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 1.8871982E-5 | 1.8871982E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.2763503E-4 | 2.2763503E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3511782E-5 | 2.3511782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.007609E-4 | 1.007609E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.001226077 | 0.0012560402 | 1.0244383 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012235041 | 0.012333817 | 1.0080732 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3511782E-5 | 2.3511782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.007609E-4 | 1.007609E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.001226077 | 0.0012560402 | 1.0244383 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012235041 | 0.012333817 | 1.0080732 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3511782E-5 | 2.3511782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.007609E-4 | 1.007609E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.001226077 | 0.0012560402 | 1.0244383 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012235041 | 0.012333817 | 1.0080732 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3511782E-5 | 2.3511782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.007609E-4 | 1.007609E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.001226077 | 0.0012560402 | 1.0244383 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012235041 | 0.012333817 | 1.0080732 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3511782E-5 | 2.3511782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.007609E-4 | 1.007609E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.001226077 | 0.0012560402 | 1.0244383 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012235041 | 0.012333817 | 1.0080732 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.3450706E-5 | 2.3500741E-5 | 2.3500741E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.764461E-5 | 1.00713594E-4 | 1.00713594E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0159714E-4 | 0.0012255015 | 0.0012554649 | 1.0244498 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006993862 | 0.01222935 | 0.012328127 | 1.008077 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.3074523E-5 | 2.311502E-5 | 2.311502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6032466E-5 | 9.9060635E-5 | 9.9060635E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8198174E-4 | 0.0012053992 | 0.001235363 | 1.024858 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006798926 | 0.012030515 | 0.012129311 | 1.0082122 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.3050216E-5 | 2.3090319E-5 | 2.3090319E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.59283E-5 | 9.895477E-5 | 9.895477E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8071426E-4 | 0.0012041117 | 0.0012340756 | 1.0248846 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0067863287 | 0.01201778 | 0.0121165775 | 1.008221 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.29049395E-5 | 2.2938724E-5 | 2.2938724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.530571E-5 | 9.8305136E-5 | 9.8305136E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.73139E-4 | 0.0011962111 | 0.0012261752 | 1.0250492 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0067110364 | 0.011939623 | 0.012038429 | 1.0082755 | 1.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.2867369E-5 | 2.2898126E-5 | 2.2898126E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.51447E-5 | 9.813115E-5 | 9.813115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.711799E-4 | 0.0011940952 | 0.0012240594 | 1.0250937 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006691564 | 0.011918692 | 0.012017501 | 1.0082902 | 1.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.2495996E-5 | 2.2298123E-5 | 2.2298123E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3553173E-5 | 9.55599E-5 | 9.55599E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.518148E-4 | 0.0011628238 | 0.0011927888 | 1.0257692 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0064990623 | 0.011609256 | 0.011708096 | 1.0085138 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 1.2452067E-5 | 2.2243192E-5 | 2.2243192E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3364907E-5 | 9.53245E-5 | 9.53245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4952404E-4 | 0.0011599608 | 0.0011899259 | 1.0258329 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0064762887 | 0.011580925 | 0.011679768 | 1.0085349 | 1.0E-4 |
7.2 | 1.2002777E-5 | 2.1621674E-5 | 2.1621674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.143946E-5 | 9.266104E-5 | 9.266104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2609545E-4 | 0.0011275669 | 0.0011575331 | 1.0265759 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006243344 | 0.011260324 | 0.011359198 | 1.0087807 | 1.0E-4 |
7.3 | 1.1923425E-5 | 2.1491502E-5 | 2.1491502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.109939E-5 | 9.21032E-5 | 9.21032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.219575E-4 | 0.0011207822 | 0.0011507486 | 1.026737 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0062021962 | 0.011193185 | 0.0112920655 | 1.008834 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.16105175E-5 | 2.0865364E-5 | 2.0865364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.975841E-5 | 8.941993E-5 | 8.941993E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0564023E-4 | 0.0010881465 | 0.0011181139 | 1.0275398 | 3.0E-5 | 0.006039923 | 0.010870718 | 0.010969631 | 1.009099 | 1.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.1037265E-5 | 1.9565061E-5 | 1.9565061E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7301706E-5 | 8.384758E-5 | 8.384758E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.757461E-4 | 0.0010203684 | 0.0010503378 | 1.0293711 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005742567 | 0.010200406 | 0.010299386 | 1.0097035 | 1.0E-4 |
7.6 | 1.0720915E-5 | 1.900682E-5 | 1.900682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5945973E-5 | 8.145527E-5 | 8.145527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.592486E-4 | 9.912689E-4 | 0.0010212392 | 1.0302342 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005578433 | 0.009912054 | 0.010011063 | 1.0099888 | 1.0E-4 |
7.7 | 9.276279E-6 | 1.645208E-5 | 1.645208E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9754876E-5 | 7.050702E-5 | 7.050702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.839081E-4 | 8.5808657E-4 | 8.880608E-4 | 1.0349315 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0048285574 | 0.008591092 | 0.008690233 | 1.0115399 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 5.8346777E-6 | 1.1163417E-5 | 1.1163417E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5005522E-5 | 4.784234E-5 | 4.784234E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.043997E-4 | 5.823249E-4 | 6.1230746E-4 | 1.0514877 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0030398308 | 0.0058509368 | 0.00594041 | 1.0152922 | 9.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.690204E-6 | 8.516023E-6 | 8.516023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0100719E-5 | 3.649673E-5 | 3.649673E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4469878E-4 | 4.442572E-4 | 4.7424386E-4 | 1.0674984 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002444295 | 0.0044739367 | 0.004563534 | 1.0200266 | 9.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.9570454E-6 | 4.8510788E-6 | 4.8510788E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.267299E-5 | 2.0790172E-5 | 2.0790172E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5428272E-4 | 2.5309098E-4 | 2.6308844E-4 | 1.0395014 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015417566 | 0.002551578 | 0.0025815014 | 1.0117275 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.6376824E-6 | 2.1989654E-6 | 2.1989654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.01862E-6 | 9.424103E-6 | 9.424103E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.544835E-5 | 1.1473243E-4 | 1.1473243E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.54155E-4 | 0.001161633 | 0.001161633 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 6.9631557E-7 | 4.5414825E-7 | 4.5414825E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.984206E-6 | 1.9463482E-6 | 1.9463482E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.63321E-5 | 2.3696533E-5 | 2.3696533E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6326164E-4 | 2.454508E-4 | 2.454508E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.7876137E-7 | 8.370703E-8 | 8.370703E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.661199E-7 | 3.5874436E-7 | 3.5874436E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.32747E-6 | 4.367704E-6 | 4.367704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3270784E-5 | 4.5871344E-5 | 4.5871344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7591675E-5 | 4.7591675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.039493E-4 | 2.039493E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024804196 | 0.0025103453 | 1.0120647 | 3.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024544956 | 0.024632746 | 1.0035768 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7591675E-5 | 4.7591675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.039493E-4 | 2.039493E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024804196 | 0.0025103453 | 1.0120647 | 3.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024544956 | 0.024632746 | 1.0035768 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7591675E-5 | 4.7591675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.039493E-4 | 2.039493E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024804196 | 0.0025103453 | 1.0120647 | 3.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024544956 | 0.024632746 | 1.0035768 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7591675E-5 | 4.7591675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.039493E-4 | 2.039493E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024804196 | 0.0025103453 | 1.0120647 | 3.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024544956 | 0.024632746 | 1.0035768 | 9.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7591675E-5 | 4.7591675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.039493E-4 | 2.039493E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021792934 | 0.0024804196 | 0.0025103453 | 1.0120647 | 3.0E-5 | 0.021580452 | 0.024544956 | 0.024632746 | 1.0035768 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.154503E-5 | 3.536093E-5 | 3.536093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3518598E-4 | 1.5153855E-4 | 1.5153855E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016446467 | 0.0018435128 | 0.0018634759 | 1.0108289 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01632528 | 0.018291844 | 0.018360564 | 1.0037569 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1535834E-5 | 3.535031E-5 | 3.535031E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3514658E-4 | 1.5149305E-4 | 1.5149305E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016441676 | 0.0018429597 | 0.0018629228 | 1.0108321 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01632056 | 0.018286405 | 0.018355126 | 1.003758 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.8267326E-5 | 3.1470376E-5 | 3.1470376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2114006E-4 | 1.3486654E-4 | 1.3486654E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014738824 | 0.0016408485 | 0.0016608157 | 1.0121688 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014641452 | 0.016296096 | 0.016355118 | 1.0036218 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.8212884E-5 | 3.1408257E-5 | 3.1408257E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.20906756E-4 | 1.3460036E-4 | 1.3460036E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014710457 | 0.0016376126 | 0.0016575798 | 1.0121928 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014613459 | 0.016264211 | 0.016323235 | 1.0036291 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.4227871E-5 | 2.6707836E-5 | 2.6707836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.03829596E-4 | 1.1445756E-4 | 1.1445756E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012633923 | 0.0013927058 | 0.001412678 | 1.0143405 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012562336 | 0.0138474675 | 0.013906636 | 1.0042729 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.348524E-5 | 2.5836589E-5 | 2.5836589E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0064714E-4 | 1.10723966E-4 | 1.10723966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012246901 | 0.0013473063 | 0.0013672793 | 1.0148244 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012179627 | 0.013399015 | 0.013438479 | 1.0029453 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2311642E-5 | 2.4463605E-5 | 2.4463605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.561782E-5 | 1.04840234E-4 | 1.04840234E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011635252 | 0.0012757572 | 0.0012957318 | 1.015657 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01157452 | 0.012691852 | 0.012731344 | 1.0031116 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6533986E-5 | 1.7670875E-5 | 1.7670875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.085802E-5 | 7.573048E-5 | 7.573048E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.623549E-4 | 9.21692E-4 | 9.21692E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008590161 | 0.009184972 | 0.009194881 | 1.0010787 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4703092E-5 | 1.5559981E-5 | 1.5559981E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.301173E-5 | 6.6684275E-5 | 6.6684275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.668978E-4 | 8.1164023E-4 | 8.1164023E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0076425658 | 0.008092835 | 0.008102753 | 1.0012257 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.1331984E-6 | 5.5289743E-6 | 5.5289743E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6284872E-5 | 2.3695393E-5 | 2.3695393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.199713E-4 | 2.8845374E-4 | 2.8845374E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031951098 | 0.0028808475 | 0.0028908188 | 1.0034612 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.954766E-6 | 5.3386007E-6 | 5.3386007E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5520176E-5 | 2.287952E-5 | 2.287952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1066386E-4 | 2.7852308E-4 | 2.7852308E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003102299 | 0.002781794 | 0.002791766 | 1.0035849 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 4.9726646E-6 | 4.3153764E-6 | 4.3153764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1311245E-5 | 1.8494342E-5 | 1.8494342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5943352E-4 | 2.2514568E-4 | 2.2514568E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025913084 | 0.0022492104 | 0.002259188 | 1.004436 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.3613894E-6 | 2.8527274E-6 | 2.8527274E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4405875E-5 | 1.2225919E-5 | 1.2225919E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7537741E-4 | 1.4884066E-4 | 1.4884066E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017523908 | 0.001487436 | 0.001487436 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.1828961E-6 | 1.0123042E-6 | 1.0123042E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.069545E-6 | 4.3384393E-6 | 4.3384393E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.171996E-5 | 5.281925E-5 | 5.281925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.170282E-4 | 5.280699E-4 | 5.280699E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.2967266E-7 | 1.8619455E-7 | 1.8619455E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.843111E-7 | 7.9797644E-7 | 7.9797644E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19839215E-5 | 9.715322E-6 | 9.715322E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1983275E-4 | 9.714927E-5 | 9.714927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calico-Hidalgo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0706058E-5 | 6.070555E-5 | 1.1972051 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1729586E-4 | 2.2729368E-4 | 1.0460103 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026427663 | 0.0026726872 | 1.0113218 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.026153676 | 0.026241323 | 1.0033512 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0706058E-5 | 6.070555E-5 | 1.1972051 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1729586E-4 | 2.2729368E-4 | 1.0460103 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026427663 | 0.0026726872 | 1.0113218 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.026153676 | 0.026241323 | 1.0033512 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.0706058E-5 | 6.070555E-5 | 1.1972051 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1729586E-4 | 2.2729368E-4 | 1.0460103 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026427663 | 0.0026726872 | 1.0113218 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.026153676 | 0.026241323 | 1.0033512 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0091733E-5 | 4.0091432E-5 | 1.3323072 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.2895837E-4 | 1.389571E-4 | 1.0775344 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012641704 | 0.001568971 | 0.0015789553 | 1.0063636 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01257003 | 0.015582621 | 0.015621998 | 1.002527 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0091733E-5 | 4.0091432E-5 | 1.3323072 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.2895837E-4 | 1.389571E-4 | 1.0775344 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012641704 | 0.001568971 | 0.0015789553 | 1.0063636 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01257003 | 0.015582621 | 0.015621998 | 1.002527 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.0286952E-5 | 2.5316636E-5 | 3.531638E-5 | 1.3949872 | 1.0E-5 | 8.694118E-5 | 1.0849545E-4 | 1.1849437E-4 | 1.0921597 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010579949 | 0.0013201488 | 0.0013301356 | 1.0075649 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010529719 | 0.013125 | 0.013164475 | 1.0030077 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.0269223E-5 | 2.5297586E-5 | 3.5297333E-5 | 1.3952847 | 1.0E-5 | 8.6865206E-5 | 1.0841381E-4 | 1.1841273E-4 | 1.0922291 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010570707 | 0.001319156 | 0.0013291428 | 1.0075706 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010520565 | 0.01311519 | 0.013154665 | 1.0030099 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.799852E-5 | 2.2541448E-5 | 3.2541222E-5 | 1.4436172 | 1.0E-5 | 7.713423E-5 | 9.660271E-5 | 1.0660174E-4 | 1.1035068 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3870464E-4 | 0.0011755179 | 0.0011855062 | 1.0084969 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009347493 | 0.01169461 | 0.011734143 | 1.0033804 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7458793E-5 | 2.1842805E-5 | 3.1842585E-5 | 1.4578067 | 1.0E-5 | 7.4821255E-5 | 9.360874E-5 | 1.036078E-4 | 1.1068176 | 1.0E-5 | 9.10568E-4 | 0.0011391051 | 0.0011490936 | 1.0087688 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009068459 | 0.011334246 | 0.011373793 | 1.0034891 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.542884E-5 | 1.9026487E-5 | 2.9026298E-5 | 1.5255731 | 1.0E-5 | 6.612192E-5 | 8.153961E-5 | 9.15388E-5 | 1.1226298 | 1.0E-5 | 8.04737E-4 | 9.923058E-4 | 0.0010022959 | 1.0100676 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008018291 | 0.009880148 | 0.009919752 | 1.0040085 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.468253E-5 | 1.8031284E-5 | 2.8031103E-5 | 1.5545816 | 1.0E-5 | 6.292361E-5 | 7.7274715E-5 | 8.727394E-5 | 1.1293985 | 1.0E-5 | 7.658257E-4 | 9.404266E-4 | 9.504172E-4 | 1.0106235 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0076319184 | 0.009365835 | 0.009405461 | 1.0042309 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3139281E-5 | 1.6201553E-5 | 2.6201391E-5 | 1.6172148 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6309986E-5 | 6.943345E-5 | 7.943276E-5 | 1.1440128 | 1.0E-5 | 6.853584E-4 | 8.45037E-4 | 8.550285E-4 | 1.0118238 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0068324856 | 0.008419534 | 0.008459197 | 1.0047109 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1127404E-5 | 1.3867174E-5 | 2.3867035E-5 | 1.7211175 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7688E-5 | 5.9429454E-5 | 6.942886E-5 | 1.1682568 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8044674E-4 | 7.233243E-4 | 7.3331705E-4 | 1.013815 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057893298 | 0.0072108074 | 0.007240591 | 1.0041304 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.808154E-6 | 1.2176706E-5 | 2.2176584E-5 | 1.8212302 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2034266E-5 | 5.21849E-5 | 6.218438E-5 | 1.1916163 | 1.0E-5 | 5.11647E-4 | 6.3517666E-4 | 6.451703E-4 | 1.0157336 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051047057 | 0.0063346876 | 0.006354561 | 1.0031372 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.942452E-6 | 9.792455E-6 | 1.9792356E-5 | 2.0211844 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4038632E-5 | 4.1967043E-5 | 5.1966625E-5 | 1.2382722 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1434157E-4 | 5.108384E-4 | 5.208333E-4 | 1.0195657 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041356985 | 0.005097583 | 0.005117481 | 1.0039034 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.7121216E-6 | 5.7730203E-6 | 1.5772963E-5 | 2.7321856 | 1.0E-5 | 2.019465E-5 | 2.4741323E-5 | 3.4741075E-5 | 1.4041721 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4584212E-4 | 3.0119164E-4 | 3.1118863E-4 | 1.0331914 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024557032 | 0.0030085868 | 0.0030285267 | 1.0066277 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Deep Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3113322E-5 | 3.311309E-5 | 1.4326409 | 1.0E-5 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.90562E-5 | 1.0905521E-4 | 1.1009429 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058497 | 0.0012258255 | 1.0165658 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012042847 | 0.012141643 | 1.0082036 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3113322E-5 | 3.311309E-5 | 1.4326409 | 1.0E-5 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.90562E-5 | 1.0905521E-4 | 1.1009429 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058497 | 0.0012258255 | 1.0165658 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012042847 | 0.012141643 | 1.0082036 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3113322E-5 | 3.311309E-5 | 1.4326409 | 1.0E-5 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.90562E-5 | 1.0905521E-4 | 1.1009429 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058497 | 0.0012258255 | 1.0165658 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012042847 | 0.012141643 | 1.0082036 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3113322E-5 | 3.311309E-5 | 1.4326409 | 1.0E-5 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.90562E-5 | 1.0905521E-4 | 1.1009429 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058497 | 0.0012258255 | 1.0165658 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012042847 | 0.012141643 | 1.0082036 | 1.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3113322E-5 | 3.311309E-5 | 1.4326409 | 1.0E-5 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.90562E-5 | 1.0905521E-4 | 1.1009429 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058497 | 0.0012258255 | 1.0165658 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010283757 | 0.012042847 | 0.012141643 | 1.0082036 | 1.0E-4 |
6.5 | 1.7190405E-5 | 2.0051253E-5 | 3.0051053E-5 | 1.498712 | 1.0E-5 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.593394E-5 | 9.593308E-5 | 1.1163584 | 1.0E-5 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.0010462455 | 0.0010662245 | 1.019096 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008929676 | 0.010462424 | 0.0105514815 | 1.0085123 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.7190405E-5 | 2.0051253E-5 | 3.0051053E-5 | 1.498712 | 1.0E-5 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.593394E-5 | 9.593308E-5 | 1.1163584 | 1.0E-5 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.0010462455 | 0.0010662245 | 1.019096 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008929676 | 0.010462424 | 0.0105514815 | 1.0085123 | 9.0E-5 |
Manix-Afton Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4711297E-5 | 3.4711004E-5 | 2.3594794 | 2.0E-5 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.304699E-5 | 8.304573E-5 | 1.3172038 | 2.0E-5 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.6734426E-4 | 8.472828E-4 | 1.1041757 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007648703 | 0.0077380147 | 1.0116767 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4711297E-5 | 3.4711004E-5 | 2.3594794 | 2.0E-5 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.304699E-5 | 8.304573E-5 | 1.3172038 | 2.0E-5 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.6734426E-4 | 8.472828E-4 | 1.1041757 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007648703 | 0.0077380147 | 1.0116767 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4711297E-5 | 3.4711004E-5 | 2.3594794 | 2.0E-5 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.304699E-5 | 8.304573E-5 | 1.3172038 | 2.0E-5 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.6734426E-4 | 8.472828E-4 | 1.1041757 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007648703 | 0.0077380147 | 1.0116767 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1793301E-5 | 3.1793064E-5 | 2.695858 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.05418E-5 | 7.054079E-5 | 1.3956921 | 2.0E-5 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.1518303E-4 | 6.8513997E-4 | 1.1137173 | 7.0E-5 | 0.005748908 | 0.0061358414 | 0.0062153507 | 1.0129582 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1793301E-5 | 3.1793064E-5 | 2.695858 | 2.0E-5 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.05418E-5 | 7.054079E-5 | 1.3956921 | 2.0E-5 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.1518303E-4 | 6.8513997E-4 | 1.1137173 | 7.0E-5 | 0.005748908 | 0.0061358414 | 0.0062153507 | 1.0129582 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.788949E-6 | 1.0454468E-5 | 2.0454363E-5 | 1.9565188 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1951964E-5 | 4.4804146E-5 | 5.48037E-5 | 1.2231836 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1064545E-4 | 5.4536323E-4 | 6.053305E-4 | 1.1099584 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0050947363 | 0.005441176 | 0.005510795 | 1.0127949 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.810006E-6 | 9.413763E-6 | 9.413763E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.775662E-5 | 4.0344123E-5 | 4.0344123E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5958988E-4 | 4.910879E-4 | 5.3106825E-4 | 1.0814118 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0045864056 | 0.004900909 | 0.0049407133 | 1.0081217 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.80128E-6 | 9.4042425E-6 | 9.4042425E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7719226E-5 | 4.0303323E-5 | 4.0303323E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.591348E-4 | 4.905914E-4 | 5.3057173E-4 | 1.0814942 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004581874 | 0.004895966 | 0.00493577 | 1.00813 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.8994877E-6 | 7.3801834E-6 | 7.3801834E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9568899E-5 | 3.162902E-5 | 3.162902E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5994186E-4 | 3.8502345E-4 | 4.150119E-4 | 1.0778873 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003593594 | 0.0038443687 | 0.0038742535 | 1.0077736 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.9328037E-6 | 5.271037E-6 | 5.271037E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1140417E-5 | 2.2589997E-5 | 2.2589997E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5735417E-4 | 2.7500466E-4 | 2.9499916E-4 | 1.072706 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0025705635 | 0.0027472489 | 0.0027671938 | 1.00726 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.347973E-6 | 3.5900841E-6 | 3.5900841E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4348378E-5 | 1.5386007E-5 | 1.5386007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.746775E-4 | 1.8731265E-4 | 1.8731265E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017454025 | 0.0018719502 | 0.0018719502 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.2073567E-6 | 1.2935013E-6 | 1.2935013E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1743755E-6 | 5.5435744E-6 | 5.5435744E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.29962E-5 | 6.749256E-5 | 6.749256E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.297835E-4 | 6.748808E-4 | 6.748808E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Rose Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.9718223E-5 | 4.9718223E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.1306195E-4 | 2.330577E-4 | 1.0938494 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023933933 | 0.0025911331 | 0.0026609516 | 1.0269452 | 7.0E-5 | 0.023677798 | 0.025616216 | 0.025703909 | 1.0034235 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.9718223E-5 | 4.9718223E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.1306195E-4 | 2.330577E-4 | 1.0938494 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023933933 | 0.0025911331 | 0.0026310293 | 1.0153973 | 4.0E-5 | 0.023677798 | 0.025616216 | 0.025674678 | 1.0022823 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8844734E-5 | 2.9671144E-5 | 2.9671144E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2361443E-4 | 1.2715594E-4 | 1.3715468E-4 | 1.0786335 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015039665 | 0.0015470521 | 0.0015770056 | 1.0193617 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0149382865 | 0.015355179 | 0.015394565 | 1.002565 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3171577E-5 | 2.3163599E-5 | 2.3163599E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9302975E-5 | 9.926886E-5 | 1.0926787E-4 | 1.1007265 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012083431 | 0.0012079417 | 0.0012279175 | 1.0165371 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012017938 | 0.012002279 | 0.012031919 | 1.0024695 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0066604E-5 | 1.9669078E-5 | 1.9669078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.599689E-5 | 8.429338E-5 | 9.429254E-5 | 1.1186233 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010465092 | 0.0010257987 | 0.0010457783 | 1.019477 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010415946 | 0.010203872 | 0.010233566 | 1.00291 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.776989E-5 | 1.7115532E-5 | 1.7115532E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.615444E-5 | 7.335026E-5 | 8.334952E-5 | 1.1363221 | 1.0E-5 | 9.267859E-4 | 8.926805E-4 | 9.126626E-4 | 1.0223844 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009229303 | 0.008879783 | 0.008909516 | 1.0033485 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5227364E-5 | 1.4340981E-5 | 1.4340981E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.52585E-5 | 6.145993E-5 | 7.145931E-5 | 1.1626977 | 1.0E-5 | 7.942326E-4 | 7.480229E-4 | 7.6800794E-4 | 1.0267172 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007914 | 0.00744575 | 0.0074755265 | 1.0039991 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2703898E-5 | 1.1674376E-5 | 1.1674376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4444143E-5 | 5.00321E-5 | 6.00316E-5 | 1.1998616 | 1.0E-5 | 6.626558E-4 | 6.0897483E-4 | 6.2896265E-4 | 1.0328221 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006606833 | 0.0060658613 | 0.0060956795 | 1.0049157 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1554917E-5 | 1.0610481E-5 | 1.0610481E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9520135E-5 | 4.547272E-5 | 5.5472265E-5 | 1.219902 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0274085E-4 | 5.5349374E-4 | 5.734827E-4 | 1.0361141 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0060110865 | 0.0055073006 | 0.0055371355 | 1.0054173 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.732078E-6 | 7.882374E-6 | 7.882374E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7422655E-5 | 3.3781183E-5 | 4.3780845E-5 | 1.2960128 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5552556E-4 | 4.1121122E-4 | 4.31203E-4 | 1.0486168 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0045459294 | 0.0040895613 | 0.0041094795 | 1.0048705 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.9337494E-6 | 5.1075053E-6 | 5.1075053E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5430107E-5 | 2.1889125E-5 | 3.1888907E-5 | 1.4568379 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0956755E-4 | 2.6646766E-4 | 2.76465E-4 | 1.037518 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030913667 | 0.002661497 | 0.0026714704 | 1.0037472 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.013409E-6 | 4.1773947E-6 | 4.1773947E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1485863E-5 | 1.7903E-5 | 2.7902819E-5 | 1.5585556 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6155898E-4 | 2.1794731E-4 | 2.2794513E-4 | 1.0458727 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026125133 | 0.0021773472 | 0.0021873256 | 1.0045828 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.120763E-6 | 3.2821363E-6 | 3.2821363E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7660293E-5 | 1.4066223E-5 | 2.4066083E-5 | 1.710913 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1499286E-4 | 1.712429E-4 | 1.8124118E-4 | 1.0583866 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021478499 | 0.001711119 | 0.0017211018 | 1.0058341 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.2081239E-6 | 2.4405283E-6 | 2.4405283E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.374903E-5 | 1.04593655E-5 | 2.0459262E-5 | 1.9560709 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6738157E-4 | 1.273354E-4 | 1.3733414E-4 | 1.0785228 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016725556 | 0.0012726313 | 0.0012826187 | 1.0078478 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.4194755E-6 | 1.7680536E-6 | 1.7680536E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0369139E-5 | 7.577351E-6 | 7.577351E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2623696E-4 | 9.22504E-5 | 9.22504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012616527 | 9.2212635E-4 | 9.2212635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3842889E-6 | 9.37845E-7 | 9.37845E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9326535E-6 | 4.01933E-6 | 4.01933E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.222766E-5 | 4.8934275E-5 | 4.8934275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.220419E-4 | 4.8923853E-4 | 4.8923853E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.0021575E-6 | 6.4114704E-7 | 6.4114704E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2949537E-6 | 2.7477704E-6 | 2.7477704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2289808E-5 | 3.3453613E-5 | 3.3453613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2277505E-4 | 3.344879E-4 | 3.344879E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.7620116E-8 | 6.449363E-8 | 6.449363E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7551473E-7 | 2.7640127E-7 | 2.7640127E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5718825E-6 | 3.3651804E-6 | 3.3651804E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5717883E-5 | 3.3651326E-5 | 3.3651326E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Anza) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3325446E-5 | 4.3325446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8566735E-4 | 1.9566549E-4 | 1.0538498 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022581683 | 0.0023080555 | 1.0220919 | 5.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023311676 | 0.023389813 | 1.0033518 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3325446E-5 | 4.3325446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8566735E-4 | 1.9566549E-4 | 1.0538498 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022581683 | 0.0023080555 | 1.0220919 | 5.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023311676 | 0.023389813 | 1.0033518 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3325446E-5 | 4.3325446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8566735E-4 | 1.9566549E-4 | 1.0538498 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022581683 | 0.0023080555 | 1.0220919 | 5.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023311676 | 0.023389813 | 1.0033518 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3325446E-5 | 4.3325446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8566735E-4 | 1.9566549E-4 | 1.0538498 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022581683 | 0.0023080555 | 1.0220919 | 5.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023311676 | 0.023389813 | 1.0033518 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3325446E-5 | 4.3325446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8566735E-4 | 1.9566549E-4 | 1.0538498 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022581683 | 0.0023080555 | 1.0220919 | 5.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.023311676 | 0.023389813 | 1.0033518 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.01054E-5 | 4.01054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.7186899E-4 | 1.8186728E-4 | 1.0581739 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030276014 | 0.0020905025 | 0.002140398 | 1.0238677 | 5.0E-5 | 0.02986684 | 0.021609904 | 0.021688174 | 1.003622 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.01054E-5 | 4.01054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.7186899E-4 | 1.8186728E-4 | 1.0581739 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030276014 | 0.0020905025 | 0.002140398 | 1.0238677 | 5.0E-5 | 0.02986684 | 0.021609904 | 0.021688174 | 1.003622 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.712442E-5 | 3.9528128E-5 | 3.9528128E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4479596E-4 | 1.693953E-4 | 1.793936E-4 | 1.0590235 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029763177 | 0.0020604425 | 0.0021103392 | 1.0242167 | 5.0E-5 | 0.029367693 | 0.021301957 | 0.021380253 | 1.0036756 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.6967532E-5 | 3.9384413E-5 | 3.9384413E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4412372E-4 | 1.6877944E-4 | 1.7877776E-4 | 1.0592389 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029681553 | 0.0020529586 | 0.002102856 | 1.0243051 | 5.0E-5 | 0.029288229 | 0.02122756 | 0.021305861 | 1.0036887 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.6211324E-5 | 3.9089322E-5 | 3.9089322E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4088343E-4 | 1.6751494E-4 | 1.7751327E-4 | 1.0596862 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029288116 | 0.0020375922 | 0.0020874904 | 1.0244888 | 5.0E-5 | 0.028905109 | 0.02106587 | 0.021144183 | 1.0037177 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.4383527E-5 | 3.794856E-5 | 3.794856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3305144E-4 | 1.6262657E-4 | 1.7262495E-4 | 1.0614805 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028337094 | 0.0019781853 | 0.0020280865 | 1.0252256 | 5.0E-5 | 0.027978465 | 0.020463802 | 0.020542163 | 1.0038294 | 8.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.1393665E-5 | 3.6411417E-5 | 3.6411417E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2023996E-4 | 1.5603962E-4 | 1.6603805E-4 | 1.0640763 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026781242 | 0.0018981311 | 0.0019480363 | 1.0262917 | 5.0E-5 | 0.026460782 | 0.01962824 | 0.01970667 | 1.0039958 | 8.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.785222E-5 | 3.4762266E-5 | 3.4762266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0506482E-4 | 1.4897266E-4 | 1.5897116E-4 | 1.0671164 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024938055 | 0.0018122367 | 0.0018621461 | 1.0275402 | 5.0E-5 | 0.024660049 | 0.018738406 | 0.018816907 | 1.0041893 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.2143256E-5 | 3.385629E-5 | 3.385629E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8060145E-4 | 1.4509032E-4 | 1.5508888E-4 | 1.0689126 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002196605 | 0.001765047 | 0.0018149586 | 1.0282779 | 5.0E-5 | 0.02175019 | 0.018247345 | 0.018325886 | 1.0043042 | 8.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.0264713E-5 | 3.3494372E-5 | 3.3494372E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7255165E-4 | 1.4353942E-4 | 1.5353799E-4 | 1.0696573 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002098792 | 0.001746195 | 0.0017961077 | 1.0285836 | 5.0E-5 | 0.020790804 | 0.01805191 | 0.018130464 | 1.0043516 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.694492E-5 | 3.2208103E-5 | 3.2208103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5832575E-4 | 1.3802743E-4 | 1.4802605E-4 | 1.0724393 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019259118 | 0.0016791918 | 0.0017291078 | 1.0297263 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01909306 | 0.01736817 | 0.01744678 | 1.0045261 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.200565E-5 | 2.9523215E-5 | 2.9523215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3715986E-4 | 1.2652193E-4 | 1.3652067E-4 | 1.0790277 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001668642 | 0.0015393184 | 0.0015892414 | 1.032432 | 5.0E-5 | 0.01656168 | 0.015956115 | 0.016034838 | 1.0049337 | 8.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.731642E-5 | 2.6111422E-5 | 2.6111422E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1706512E-4 | 1.119013E-4 | 1.2190018E-4 | 1.0893545 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001424336 | 0.0013615479 | 0.0014114798 | 1.036673 | 5.0E-5 | 0.014152412 | 0.014176858 | 0.014255724 | 1.005563 | 8.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.3466424E-5 | 2.3522784E-5 | 2.3522784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0056651E-4 | 1.00808036E-4 | 1.1080703E-4 | 1.0991884 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012237094 | 0.0012266476 | 0.0012665986 | 1.0325692 | 4.0E-5 | 0.012169928 | 0.0128185535 | 0.012887656 | 1.0053909 | 7.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.8611925E-5 | 1.8924236E-5 | 1.8924236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9762955E-5 | 8.110135E-5 | 9.110054E-5 | 1.1232926 | 1.0E-5 | 9.7068126E-4 | 9.869623E-4 | 0.0010269228 | 1.0404884 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0096645225 | 0.010402598 | 0.010461974 | 1.0057077 | 6.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5460775E-5 | 1.5755257E-5 | 1.5755257E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6258784E-5 | 6.7520785E-5 | 7.7520104E-5 | 1.1480925 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0640207E-4 | 8.2175614E-4 | 8.6172327E-4 | 1.0486362 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008034821 | 0.008710662 | 0.008770139 | 1.0068281 | 6.0E-5 |
8.1 | 9.983884E-6 | 8.277889E-6 | 8.277889E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2787375E-5 | 3.5476187E-5 | 3.5476187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2081177E-4 | 4.3183748E-4 | 4.3183748E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051959283 | 0.004644488 | 0.004664395 | 1.0042862 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 4.1226E-6 | 1.5548591E-6 | 1.5548591E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7668166E-5 | 6.663665E-6 | 6.663665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1508869E-4 | 8.1127124E-5 | 8.1127124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021488064 | 9.4157434E-4 | 9.4157434E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 3.61684E-7 | 3.61684E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.5500733E-6 | 1.5500733E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 1.8871982E-5 | 1.8871982E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.2763503E-4 | 2.2763503E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lake Isabella (Seismicity)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741719E-6 | 9.741719E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749627E-5 | 5.174921E-5 | 1.239513 | 1.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.0819624E-4 | 5.6816573E-4 | 1.1180047 | 6.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050716335 | 0.0051512276 | 1.015694 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741719E-6 | 9.741719E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749627E-5 | 5.174921E-5 | 1.239513 | 1.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.0819624E-4 | 5.6816573E-4 | 1.1180047 | 6.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050716335 | 0.0051512276 | 1.015694 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741719E-6 | 9.741719E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749627E-5 | 5.174921E-5 | 1.239513 | 1.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.0819624E-4 | 5.6816573E-4 | 1.1180047 | 6.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050716335 | 0.0051512276 | 1.015694 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741719E-6 | 9.741719E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749627E-5 | 5.174921E-5 | 1.239513 | 1.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.0819624E-4 | 5.6816573E-4 | 1.1180047 | 6.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050716335 | 0.0051512276 | 1.015694 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.3001095E-6 | 5.3001095E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2714577E-5 | 3.271435E-5 | 1.440236 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.7651835E-4 | 3.1650727E-4 | 1.1446159 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027620832 | 0.0028019727 | 1.0144418 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.3001095E-6 | 5.3001095E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2714577E-5 | 3.271435E-5 | 1.440236 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.7651835E-4 | 3.1650727E-4 | 1.1446159 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027620832 | 0.0028019727 | 1.0144418 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.4009804E-6 | 3.498807E-6 | 3.498807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4575549E-5 | 1.4994811E-5 | 1.4994811E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7744285E-4 | 1.8254813E-4 | 2.1254265E-4 | 1.1643102 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017730123 | 0.0018241395 | 0.0018540848 | 1.0164161 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.3880428E-6 | 3.4856737E-6 | 3.4856737E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4520103E-5 | 1.4938525E-5 | 1.4938525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.767679E-4 | 1.8186297E-4 | 2.118575E-4 | 1.1649294 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017662736 | 0.0018172992 | 0.0018472446 | 1.0164781 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.6582E-6 | 2.7337164E-6 | 2.7337164E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1392236E-5 | 1.17158825E-5 | 1.17158825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869164E-4 | 1.4263288E-4 | 1.726286E-4 | 1.2103002 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0013860512 | 0.0014255453 | 0.0014555026 | 1.0210146 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.406011E-6 | 2.4743435E-6 | 2.4743435E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0311434E-5 | 1.06042935E-5 | 1.06042935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2553448E-4 | 1.2910094E-4 | 1.5909708E-4 | 1.2323463 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0012546359 | 0.0012903891 | 0.0013203503 | 1.0232188 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.6953097E-6 | 1.7429473E-6 | 1.7429473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265593E-6 | 7.469759E-6 | 7.469759E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8455E-5 | 9.094157E-5 | 1.2093884E-4 | 1.3298521 | 3.0E-5 | 8.84198E-4 | 9.0914627E-4 | 9.39119E-4 | 1.032968 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.5013824E-7 | 3.5714973E-7 | 3.5714973E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5005916E-6 | 1.5306408E-6 | 1.5306408E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.826955E-5 | 1.8635395E-5 | 2.8635208E-5 | 1.5366032 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8268047E-4 | 1.8633857E-4 | 1.9633671E-4 | 1.0536557 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.2321095E-7 | 2.2750665E-7 | 2.2750665E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.56618E-7 | 9.750281E-7 | 9.750281E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1646762E-5 | 1.1870904E-5 | 2.1870785E-5 | 1.8423859 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1646151E-4 | 1.187028E-4 | 1.287016E-4 | 1.084234 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.5760406E-7 | 1.6060986E-7 | 1.6060986E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7544585E-7 | 6.883278E-7 | 6.883278E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.223522E-6 | 8.380359E-6 | 8.380359E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2232174E-5 | 8.380049E-5 | 8.380049E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.1216497E-7 | 1.14317515E-7 | 1.14317515E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8070694E-7 | 4.899321E-7 | 4.899321E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.852591E-6 | 5.964908E-6 | 5.964908E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8524372E-5 | 5.9647522E-5 | 5.9647522E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.885185E-8 | 4.9787936E-8 | 4.9787936E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0936506E-7 | 2.1337685E-7 | 2.1337685E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5490165E-6 | 2.5978602E-6 | 2.5978602E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5489873E-5 | 2.5978317E-5 | 2.5978317E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.504641E-9 | 1.531796E-9 | 1.531796E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4484613E-9 | 6.5648402E-9 | 6.5648402E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851001E-8 | 7.992693E-8 | 7.992693E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8509987E-7 | 7.992693E-7 | 7.992693E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4091469E-5 | 2.4091469E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.03245635E-4 | 1.2324356E-4 | 1.1936928 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012563914 | 0.0012963412 | 1.0317972 | 4.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012502907 | 0.012562157 | 1.0047389 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4091469E-5 | 2.4091469E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.03245635E-4 | 1.2324356E-4 | 1.1936928 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012563914 | 0.0012963412 | 1.0317972 | 4.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012502907 | 0.012562157 | 1.0047389 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4091469E-5 | 2.4091469E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.03245635E-4 | 1.2324356E-4 | 1.1936928 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012563914 | 0.0012963412 | 1.0317972 | 4.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012502907 | 0.012562157 | 1.0047389 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.3638323E-5 | 1.3638323E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.844874E-5 | 6.844816E-5 | 1.1710801 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010690069 | 7.1139727E-4 | 7.3138304E-4 | 1.0280937 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01063879 | 0.007092826 | 0.0071226135 | 1.0041996 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.3638323E-5 | 1.3638323E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.844874E-5 | 6.844816E-5 | 1.1710801 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010690069 | 7.1139727E-4 | 7.3138304E-4 | 1.0280937 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01063879 | 0.007092826 | 0.0071226135 | 1.0041996 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7316182E-5 | 1.0477169E-5 | 1.0477169E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.42101E-5 | 4.4901437E-5 | 5.490099E-5 | 1.2227 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0313336E-4 | 5.465479E-4 | 5.565424E-4 | 1.0182867 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008994718 | 0.0054530324 | 0.0054729236 | 1.0036477 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5251077E-5 | 8.414288E-6 | 8.414288E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.536012E-5 | 3.6060774E-5 | 4.6060413E-5 | 1.2772996 | 1.0E-5 | 7.9546886E-4 | 4.389587E-4 | 4.4895432E-4 | 1.0227712 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007926274 | 0.004381634 | 0.004401546 | 1.0045445 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2997425E-5 | 6.41133E-6 | 6.41133E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.570206E-5 | 2.7476864E-5 | 3.747659E-5 | 1.3639325 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7796157E-4 | 3.3448412E-4 | 3.444808E-4 | 1.0298868 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0067589693 | 0.003340267 | 0.0033602002 | 1.0059675 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.035386E-5 | 4.3332557E-6 | 4.3332557E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.437293E-5 | 1.8570969E-5 | 2.8570783E-5 | 1.5384649 | 1.0E-5 | 5.401065E-4 | 2.2607895E-4 | 2.3607668E-4 | 1.0442224 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053879567 | 0.0022585762 | 0.0022785312 | 1.0088351 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.816252E-6 | 3.5806904E-6 | 3.5806904E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.778339E-5 | 1.534573E-5 | 2.5345576E-5 | 1.6516371 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5991567E-4 | 1.8681883E-4 | 1.9681695E-4 | 1.0535178 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00458965 | 0.0018666761 | 0.0018866388 | 1.0106943 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.8232207E-6 | 2.5675288E-6 | 2.5675288E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9242048E-5 | 1.100365E-5 | 1.100365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5596377E-4 | 1.3396151E-4 | 1.3396151E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035539411 | 0.0013388387 | 0.0013488253 | 1.0074592 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.837013E-6 | 2.2273841E-6 | 2.2273841E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.501553E-5 | 9.545899E-6 | 9.545899E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.045215E-4 | 1.16215415E-4 | 1.16215415E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030410455 | 0.0011615754 | 0.0011715639 | 1.008599 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.278052E-6 | 1.6275342E-6 | 1.6275342E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.833438E-5 | 6.975129E-6 | 6.975129E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.231982E-4 | 8.491912E-5 | 8.491912E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022297418 | 8.4888993E-4 | 8.5888145E-4 | 1.0117701 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.8803692E-6 | 8.34491E-7 | 8.34491E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0587E-6 | 3.576386E-6 | 3.576386E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.811026E-5 | 4.3541775E-5 | 4.3541775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.806695E-4 | 4.353469E-4 | 4.353469E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2706755E-5 | 1.425137E-5 | 1.425137E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4456385E-5 | 6.1076076E-5 | 6.1076076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.628048E-4 | 7.433841E-4 | 7.6336926E-4 | 1.026884 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006608314 | 0.00741397 | 0.007483451 | 1.0093716 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.342579E-6 | 9.511518E-6 | 9.511518E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5753423E-5 | 4.0763138E-5 | 4.0763138E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3521097E-4 | 4.9619994E-4 | 4.9619994E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0043435963 | 0.0049544424 | 0.0049842936 | 1.0060252 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.923899E-6 | 7.967876E-6 | 7.967876E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9673516E-5 | 3.4147703E-5 | 3.4147703E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6121515E-4 | 4.156882E-4 | 4.156882E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003606286 | 0.0041523823 | 0.004172299 | 1.0047965 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.728396E-6 | 3.4249413E-6 | 3.4249413E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1693074E-5 | 1.4678241E-5 | 1.4678241E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4235388E-4 | 1.7869381E-4 | 1.7869381E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014226272 | 0.0017869759 | 0.0018069402 | 1.011172 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7136944E-6 | 3.4092343E-6 | 3.4092343E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1630066E-5 | 1.4610927E-5 | 1.4610927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4158686E-4 | 1.7787439E-4 | 1.7787439E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014149669 | 0.0017787948 | 0.0017987592 | 1.0112236 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.6971882E-6 | 3.3915792E-6 | 3.3915792E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1559327E-5 | 1.4535263E-5 | 1.4535263E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4072572E-4 | 1.7695333E-4 | 1.7695333E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014063664 | 0.0017695989 | 0.0017895636 | 1.011282 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.669092E-6 | 3.3615993E-6 | 3.3615993E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1438916E-5 | 1.4406779E-5 | 1.4406779E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3925991E-4 | 1.7538929E-4 | 1.7538929E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013917267 | 0.0017539832 | 0.0017739482 | 1.0113826 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6408059E-6 | 3.3316244E-6 | 3.3316244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1317691E-5 | 1.4278317E-5 | 1.4278317E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3778417E-4 | 1.7382551E-4 | 1.7382551E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013769877 | 0.00173837 | 0.0017583353 | 1.011485 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.1786943E-6 | 2.8550787E-6 | 2.8550787E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.337228E-6 | 1.2235998E-5 | 1.2235998E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1367482E-4 | 1.4896382E-4 | 1.4896382E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011361669 | 0.0014901008 | 0.0014901008 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.4411696E-6 | 2.0691184E-6 | 2.0691184E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1764263E-6 | 8.8676225E-6 | 8.8676225E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.51954E-5 | 1.0795822E-4 | 1.0795822E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5169955E-4 | 0.0010804742 | 0.0010804742 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0073411E-6 | 1.5548168E-6 | 1.5548168E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.317169E-6 | 6.6634843E-6 | 6.6634843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2560266E-5 | 8.112505E-5 | 8.112505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2547833E-4 | 8.1235956E-4 | 8.1235956E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.947104E-7 | 1.4307974E-6 | 1.4307974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.834468E-6 | 6.131975E-6 | 6.131975E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6683643E-5 | 7.465439E-5 | 7.465439E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6673836E-4 | 7.476981E-4 | 7.476981E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.215166E-7 | 1.0116786E-6 | 1.0116786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2350691E-6 | 4.335758E-6 | 4.335758E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7211627E-5 | 5.278662E-5 | 5.278662E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7208295E-4 | 5.291357E-4 | 5.291357E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.4024807E-7 | 9.224557E-7 | 9.224557E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8867761E-6 | 3.9533757E-6 | 3.9533757E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2971257E-5 | 4.813133E-5 | 4.813133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2968883E-4 | 4.8260344E-4 | 4.8260344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.6130905E-7 | 8.363352E-7 | 8.363352E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5484665E-6 | 3.5842888E-6 | 3.5842888E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8852415E-5 | 4.3637883E-5 | 4.3637883E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8850817E-4 | 4.3767816E-4 | 4.3767816E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.408184E-7 | 8.112879E-7 | 8.112879E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4606494E-6 | 3.476944E-6 | 3.476944E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7783263E-5 | 4.233101E-5 | 4.233101E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.778184E-4 | 4.2459034E-4 | 4.2459034E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.1428627E-7 | 7.7361744E-7 | 7.7361744E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3469405E-6 | 3.3154993E-6 | 3.3154993E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6398877E-5 | 4.0365492E-5 | 4.0365492E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6397667E-4 | 4.049128E-4 | 4.049128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7972785E-7 | 5.0812525E-7 | 5.0812525E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70262E-7 | 2.1776777E-6 | 2.1776777E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377899E-6 | 2.6512915E-5 | 2.6512915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377503E-5 | 2.6645954E-4 | 2.6645954E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.9230927E-8 | 1.1988918E-7 | 1.1988918E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1098968E-7 | 5.138107E-7 | 5.138107E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687964E-6 | 6.2556283E-6 | 6.2556283E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687666E-5 | 6.2994215E-5 | 6.2994215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.6805972E-9 | 4.107957E-9 | 4.107957E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5773987E-8 | 1.760553E-8 | 1.760553E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9204828E-7 | 2.1434731E-7 | 2.1434731E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.920481E-6 | 2.191507E-6 | 2.191507E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.757364E-6 | 6.757364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8959856E-5 | 2.8959856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.525372E-4 | 3.8252663E-4 | 1.0850674 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.003520568 | 0.0035903214 | 1.0198132 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.757364E-6 | 6.757364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8959856E-5 | 2.8959856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.525372E-4 | 3.8252663E-4 | 1.0850674 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.003520568 | 0.0035903214 | 1.0198132 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.757364E-6 | 6.757364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8959856E-5 | 2.8959856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.525372E-4 | 3.8252663E-4 | 1.0850674 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.003520568 | 0.0035903214 | 1.0198132 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.757364E-6 | 6.757364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8959856E-5 | 2.8959856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.525372E-4 | 3.8252663E-4 | 1.0850674 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.003520568 | 0.0035903214 | 1.0198132 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.757364E-6 | 6.757364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8959856E-5 | 2.8959856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.525372E-4 | 3.8252663E-4 | 1.0850674 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.003520568 | 0.0035903214 | 1.0198132 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.257106E-6 | 3.257106E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3958956E-5 | 1.3958956E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.6993785E-4 | 1.8993445E-4 | 1.11767 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016767744 | 0.0016981586 | 0.0017380907 | 1.0235149 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.257106E-6 | 3.257106E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3958956E-5 | 1.3958956E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.6993785E-4 | 1.8993445E-4 | 1.11767 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016767744 | 0.0016981586 | 0.0017380907 | 1.0235149 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.1908265E-6 | 2.2071315E-6 | 2.2071315E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.389223E-6 | 9.459102E-6 | 9.459102E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1430779E-4 | 1.1515868E-4 | 1.3515637E-4 | 1.1736534 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011424901 | 0.0011510095 | 0.0011809749 | 1.0260341 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7303895E-6 | 1.7365602E-6 | 1.7365602E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.415934E-6 | 7.44238E-6 | 7.44238E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.028525E-5 | 9.0607304E-5 | 1.006064E-4 | 1.1103563 | 1.0E-5 | 9.024858E-4 | 9.0571336E-4 | 9.2569523E-4 | 1.0220621 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3700314E-6 | 1.368868E-6 | 1.368868E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.87155E-6 | 5.8665637E-6 | 5.8665637E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.148377E-5 | 7.142312E-5 | 7.142312E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.146078E-4 | 7.140062E-4 | 7.2399905E-4 | 1.0139955 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1467797E-6 | 1.1413853E-6 | 1.1413853E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9147607E-6 | 4.8916418E-6 | 4.8916418E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.983557E-5 | 5.9554146E-5 | 5.9554146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.981946E-4 | 5.95385E-4 | 6.0537906E-4 | 1.0167859 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.3952065E-7 | 9.30273E-7 | 9.30273E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.026511E-6 | 3.9868783E-6 | 3.9868783E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9021666E-5 | 4.853918E-5 | 4.853918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.901085E-4 | 4.8528757E-4 | 4.8528757E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.858055E-7 | 6.7193304E-7 | 6.7193304E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.939163E-6 | 2.8797099E-6 | 2.8797099E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5783723E-5 | 3.505991E-5 | 3.505991E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5777962E-4 | 3.505447E-4 | 3.505447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.1101983E-7 | 4.939323E-7 | 4.939323E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1900833E-6 | 2.116851E-6 | 2.116851E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6663936E-5 | 2.577236E-5 | 2.577236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6660739E-4 | 2.576942E-4 | 2.576942E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.4999414E-7 | 3.2996073E-7 | 3.2996073E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.499974E-6 | 1.4141167E-6 | 1.4141167E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8262032E-5 | 1.7216737E-5 | 1.7216737E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.826053E-4 | 1.7215428E-4 | 1.7215428E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7021522E-7 | 1.4750142E-7 | 1.4750142E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2949354E-7 | 6.3214884E-7 | 6.3214884E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.881548E-6 | 7.696385E-6 | 7.696385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8811925E-5 | 7.6961274E-5 | 7.6961274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7352892E-8 | 1.7352892E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.436954E-8 | 7.436954E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.054488E-7 | 9.054488E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.054456E-6 | 9.054456E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Independence rev 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.326256E-6 | 2.432617E-5 | 5.622915 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540983E-5 | 3.8540613E-5 | 2.0786715 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571607E-4 | 2.5570928E-4 | 1.1328803 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551618 | 0.0023150265 | 1.0265456 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.326256E-6 | 2.432617E-5 | 5.622915 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540983E-5 | 3.8540613E-5 | 2.0786715 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571607E-4 | 2.5570928E-4 | 1.1328803 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551618 | 0.0023150265 | 1.0265456 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.326256E-6 | 2.432617E-5 | 5.622915 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540983E-5 | 3.8540613E-5 | 2.0786715 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571607E-4 | 2.5570928E-4 | 1.1328803 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551618 | 0.0023150265 | 1.0265456 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.326256E-6 | 2.432617E-5 | 5.622915 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540983E-5 | 3.8540613E-5 | 2.0786715 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571607E-4 | 2.5570928E-4 | 1.1328803 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551618 | 0.0023150265 | 1.0265456 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.326256E-6 | 2.432617E-5 | 5.622915 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540983E-5 | 3.8540613E-5 | 2.0786715 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571607E-4 | 2.5570928E-4 | 1.1328803 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551618 | 0.0023150265 | 1.0265456 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.326256E-6 | 2.432617E-5 | 5.622915 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540983E-5 | 3.8540613E-5 | 2.0786715 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571607E-4 | 2.5570928E-4 | 1.1328803 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551618 | 0.0023150265 | 1.0265456 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.663744E-6 | 2.5320078E-6 | 1.2531982E-5 | 4.949425 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1415996E-5 | 1.0851419E-5 | 2.085131E-5 | 1.9215285 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3898089E-4 | 1.3210851E-4 | 1.5210586E-4 | 1.1513708 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013889399 | 0.001320348 | 0.0013702819 | 1.0378188 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.663744E-6 | 2.5320078E-6 | 1.2531982E-5 | 4.949425 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1415996E-5 | 1.0851419E-5 | 2.085131E-5 | 1.9215285 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3898089E-4 | 1.3210851E-4 | 1.5210586E-4 | 1.1513708 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0013889399 | 0.001320348 | 0.0013702819 | 1.0378188 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.9716529E-6 | 1.8322768E-6 | 1.1832259E-5 | 6.4576807 | 1.0E-5 | 8.449913E-6 | 7.852592E-6 | 1.7852513E-5 | 2.273455 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0287284E-4 | 9.560124E-5 | 1.1559933E-4 | 1.2091823 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010282523 | 9.55614E-4 | 0.0010055662 | 1.0522723 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.8788617E-6 | 1.743017E-6 | 1.1743E-5 | 6.7371683 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0522395E-6 | 7.4700524E-6 | 1.7469978E-5 | 2.3386686 | 1.0E-5 | 9.80316E-5 | 9.094422E-5 | 1.109424E-4 | 1.219895 | 2.0E-5 | 9.798837E-4 | 9.09082E-4 | 9.590366E-4 | 1.0549506 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.5045488E-6 | 1.384966E-6 | 1.1384952E-5 | 8.220384 | 1.0E-5 | 6.44805E-6 | 5.9355552E-6 | 1.5935497E-5 | 2.6847522 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8502184E-5 | 7.226304E-5 | 9.2261595E-5 | 1.2767466 | 2.0E-5 | 7.8474457E-4 | 7.2240055E-4 | 7.7236444E-4 | 1.0691637 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.272341E-6 | 1.1625236E-6 | 1.1162512E-5 | 9.601966 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4528787E-6 | 4.9822347E-6 | 1.4982184E-5 | 3.0071216 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6386776E-5 | 6.065705E-5 | 8.065584E-5 | 1.3297026 | 2.0E-5 | 6.636695E-4 | 6.0640817E-4 | 6.563778E-4 | 1.0824027 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0416892E-6 | 9.4099977E-7 | 1.094099E-5 | 11.626985 | 1.0E-5 | 4.464375E-6 | 4.03285E-6 | 1.4032809E-5 | 3.479626 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4352407E-5 | 4.909886E-5 | 6.909788E-5 | 1.4073215 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4339116E-4 | 4.90882E-4 | 5.4085744E-4 | 1.1018075 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.9450155E-7 | 7.2351077E-7 | 1.0723504E-5 | 14.821485 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4050022E-6 | 3.1007567E-6 | 1.31007255E-5 | 4.2250094 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1455114E-5 | 3.775107E-5 | 5.7750316E-5 | 1.5297663 | 2.0E-5 | 4.144738E-4 | 3.774477E-4 | 4.274288E-4 | 1.1324186 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.3893444E-7 | 5.0195746E-7 | 1.0501953E-5 | 20.921995 | 1.0E-5 | 2.309717E-6 | 2.1512446E-6 | 1.2151223E-5 | 5.648462 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8120441E-5 | 2.6191094E-5 | 4.619057E-5 | 1.7635983 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8116882E-4 | 2.6188052E-4 | 3.1186742E-4 | 1.1908767 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.8852085E-7 | 3.6825975E-7 | 1.0368256E-5 | 28.154737 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6650882E-6 | 1.5782551E-6 | 1.15782395E-5 | 7.3361015 | 1.0E-5 | 2.027226E-5 | 1.921509E-5 | 3.9214705E-5 | 2.0408287 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0270412E-4 | 1.9213448E-4 | 2.321268E-4 | 1.2081475 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.414929E-7 | 2.3457797E-7 | 1.0234576E-5 | 43.62974 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0349692E-6 | 1.0053337E-6 | 1.1005323E-5 | 10.946936 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2600677E-5 | 1.2239871E-5 | 3.2239626E-5 | 2.633984 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2599962E-4 | 1.2239208E-4 | 1.4238965E-4 | 1.1633892 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.8298014E-8 | 6.859008E-8 | 6.859008E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9270575E-7 | 2.9395747E-7 | 2.9395747E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5636867E-6 | 3.5789267E-6 | 3.5789267E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5636294E-5 | 3.5788737E-5 | 3.5788737E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lost Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5107232E-5 | 3.510698E-5 | 1.3982816 | 1.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.07598935E-4 | 1.17597854E-4 | 1.0929277 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013093979 | 0.0013293717 | 1.0152541 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033426 | 0.0130926445 | 1.0045435 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5107232E-5 | 3.510698E-5 | 1.3982816 | 1.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.07598935E-4 | 1.17597854E-4 | 1.0929277 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013093979 | 0.0013293717 | 1.0152541 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033426 | 0.0130926445 | 1.0045435 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5107232E-5 | 3.510698E-5 | 1.3982816 | 1.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.07598935E-4 | 1.17597854E-4 | 1.0929277 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013093979 | 0.0013293717 | 1.0152541 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033426 | 0.0130926445 | 1.0045435 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5107232E-5 | 3.510698E-5 | 1.3982816 | 1.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.07598935E-4 | 1.17597854E-4 | 1.0929277 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013093979 | 0.0013293717 | 1.0152541 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033426 | 0.0130926445 | 1.0045435 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3781457E-5 | 2.3781318E-5 | 1.7256027 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.9062575E-5 | 6.9061985E-5 | 1.169302 | 1.0E-5 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.189434E-4 | 7.289362E-4 | 1.0138993 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006391279 | 0.007175382 | 0.007205167 | 1.004151 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3781457E-5 | 2.3781318E-5 | 1.7256027 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.9062575E-5 | 6.9061985E-5 | 1.169302 | 1.0E-5 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.189434E-4 | 7.289362E-4 | 1.0138993 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006391279 | 0.007175382 | 0.007205167 | 1.004151 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.58281E-6 | 9.634015E-6 | 1.9633919E-5 | 2.0379786 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6782953E-5 | 4.1288455E-5 | 5.1288043E-5 | 1.2421885 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4774043E-4 | 5.026542E-4 | 5.126492E-4 | 1.0198843 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044683935 | 0.0050233332 | 0.005043233 | 1.0039614 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.205685E-6 | 8.088508E-6 | 1.8088427E-5 | 2.236312 | 1.0E-5 | 3.088114E-5 | 3.4665034E-5 | 4.4664688E-5 | 1.2884651 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7591302E-4 | 4.220468E-4 | 4.3204258E-4 | 1.023684 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037527776 | 0.004220468 | 0.0042304257 | 1.0023594 | 1.0E-5 |
San Diego Trough south
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.279495E-5 | 1.042608E-4 | 1.042608E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5478722E-4 | 4.4675902E-4 | 4.667501E-4 | 1.0447469 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004310982 | 0.0054261982 | 0.005465981 | 1.0073316 | 4.0E-5 | 0.042283054 | 0.052995693 | 0.053052515 | 1.0010722 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.6961468E-5 | 5.7732545E-5 | 5.7732545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0124791E-4 | 2.4740133E-4 | 2.5739885E-4 | 1.0404102 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00244744 | 0.003008028 | 0.0030279679 | 1.0066289 | 2.0E-5 | 0.024206603 | 0.029681006 | 0.029700413 | 1.0006539 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.5079658E-5 | 4.2144235E-5 | 4.2144235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5033272E-4 | 1.8060587E-4 | 1.9060407E-4 | 1.0553592 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018287642 | 0.0021966796 | 0.0022066575 | 1.0045424 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018137876 | 0.02175209 | 0.021761872 | 1.0004498 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.5079658E-5 | 4.2144235E-5 | 4.2144235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5033272E-4 | 1.8060587E-4 | 1.9060407E-4 | 1.0553592 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018287642 | 0.0021966796 | 0.0022066575 | 1.0045424 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018137876 | 0.02175209 | 0.021761872 | 1.0004498 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7196904E-5 | 3.2088337E-5 | 3.2088337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16552954E-4 | 1.3751426E-4 | 1.4751288E-4 | 1.0727097 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014181085 | 0.0016729626 | 0.0016829459 | 1.0059674 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014090929 | 0.016605286 | 0.01661512 | 1.0005922 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.5584688E-5 | 3.010272E-5 | 3.010272E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0964406E-4 | 1.2900533E-4 | 1.3900404E-4 | 1.0775062 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013340989 | 0.0015695208 | 0.001579505 | 1.0063614 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013261181 | 0.015585904 | 0.015595749 | 1.0006316 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2034688E-5 | 2.574362E-5 | 2.574362E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.443096E-5 | 1.10325156E-4 | 1.20324046E-4 | 1.0906311 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011490905 | 0.0013423886 | 0.0013523751 | 1.0074394 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011431668 | 0.013343792 | 0.013353659 | 1.0007395 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9394853E-5 | 2.2542528E-5 | 2.2542528E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.311815E-5 | 9.660729E-5 | 1.0660632E-4 | 1.1035019 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010114936 | 0.0011755644 | 0.0011855526 | 1.0084965 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01006902 | 0.011694162 | 0.011704045 | 1.0008451 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7615313E-5 | 2.0403859E-5 | 2.0403859E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.549201E-5 | 8.7442204E-5 | 9.7441334E-5 | 1.1143513 | 1.0E-5 | 9.1872766E-4 | 0.0010640932 | 0.0010740826 | 1.0093877 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009149387 | 0.010590548 | 0.010600442 | 1.0009342 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5621423E-5 | 1.8026696E-5 | 1.8026696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6947236E-5 | 7.7255E-5 | 8.725423E-5 | 1.1294315 | 1.0E-5 | 8.147778E-4 | 9.401773E-4 | 9.501679E-4 | 1.0106263 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008117969 | 0.009362442 | 0.009372349 | 1.0010581 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3444376E-5 | 1.544857E-5 | 1.544857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7617483E-5 | 6.620649E-5 | 7.620583E-5 | 1.1510326 | 1.0E-5 | 7.0126704E-4 | 8.0576877E-4 | 8.157607E-4 | 1.0124005 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006990582 | 0.008028804 | 0.008038724 | 1.0012355 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2268361E-5 | 1.4073463E-5 | 1.4073463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2577634E-5 | 6.031346E-5 | 7.031286E-5 | 1.1657904 | 1.0E-5 | 6.399447E-4 | 7.3407165E-4 | 7.440643E-4 | 1.0136126 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0063810493 | 0.0073167733 | 0.0073267003 | 1.0013567 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0922655E-5 | 1.2513944E-5 | 1.2513944E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.681054E-5 | 5.36301E-5 | 6.3629566E-5 | 1.1864524 | 1.0E-5 | 5.697693E-4 | 6.527534E-4 | 6.627469E-4 | 1.0153097 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0056831064 | 0.0065086414 | 0.0065185763 | 1.0015265 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.1106753E-6 | 6.929119E-6 | 6.929119E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6188345E-5 | 2.969589E-5 | 2.969589E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1879646E-4 | 3.6148788E-4 | 3.6148788E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031833951 | 0.003609044 | 0.003609044 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.933187E-6 | 5.5897085E-6 | 5.5897085E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.114206E-5 | 2.3955676E-5 | 2.3955676E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5737417E-4 | 2.9162172E-4 | 2.9162172E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002570763 | 0.0029124315 | 0.0029124315 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.9697304E-6 | 1.9697304E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.441675E-6 | 8.441675E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 1.0277278E-4 | 1.0277278E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1216754E-4 | 0.0010272745 | 0.0010272745 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7533941E-7 | 1.7533941E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.514544E-7 | 7.514544E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.148921E-6 | 9.148921E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.148564E-5 | 9.148564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bullion Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.46922985E-5 | 2.4692152E-5 | 1.6806186 | 1.0E-5 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.296569E-5 | 8.2964434E-5 | 1.3176132 | 2.0E-5 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.6637603E-4 | 8.063454E-4 | 1.0521537 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.0076411245 | 0.0077006663 | 1.0077922 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.46922985E-5 | 2.4692152E-5 | 1.6806186 | 1.0E-5 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.296569E-5 | 8.2964434E-5 | 1.3176132 | 2.0E-5 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.6637603E-4 | 8.063454E-4 | 1.0521537 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.0076411245 | 0.0077006663 | 1.0077922 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.46922985E-5 | 2.4692152E-5 | 1.6806186 | 1.0E-5 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.296569E-5 | 8.2964434E-5 | 1.3176132 | 2.0E-5 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.6637603E-4 | 8.063454E-4 | 1.0521537 | 4.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.0076411245 | 0.0077006663 | 1.0077922 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2046778E-5 | 9.86244E-6 | 1.986234E-5 | 2.013938 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1628023E-5 | 4.2267042E-5 | 6.22662E-5 | 1.4731619 | 2.0E-5 | 6.283899E-4 | 5.145029E-4 | 5.444875E-4 | 1.0582787 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0062661595 | 0.0051353993 | 0.005175194 | 1.0077491 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2046778E-5 | 9.86244E-6 | 1.986234E-5 | 2.013938 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1628023E-5 | 4.2267042E-5 | 6.22662E-5 | 1.4731619 | 2.0E-5 | 6.283899E-4 | 5.145029E-4 | 5.444875E-4 | 1.0582787 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0062661595 | 0.0051353993 | 0.005175194 | 1.0077491 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0244343E-5 | 7.879521E-6 | 7.879521E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.390359E-5 | 3.3769054E-5 | 4.376872E-5 | 1.2961191 | 1.0E-5 | 5.343951E-4 | 4.110814E-4 | 4.3107316E-4 | 1.0486321 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005331118 | 0.0041052406 | 0.0041351174 | 1.0072777 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.605408E-6 | 7.177545E-6 | 7.177545E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1165385E-5 | 3.0760657E-5 | 3.0760657E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.010733E-4 | 3.7446702E-4 | 3.8446326E-4 | 1.0266947 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00499945 | 0.0037403572 | 0.0037602824 | 1.0053271 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.60418E-6 | 6.1240316E-6 | 6.1240316E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.687454E-5 | 2.6245694E-5 | 2.6245694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.48855E-4 | 3.19514E-4 | 3.2951077E-4 | 1.0312876 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004479495 | 0.0031924578 | 0.003212394 | 1.0062448 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.187994E-6 | 2.5631496E-6 | 2.5631496E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.223407E-5 | 1.09849025E-5 | 1.09849025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7066618E-4 | 1.3373698E-4 | 1.3373698E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027033675 | 0.0013369565 | 0.0013469431 | 1.0074697 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.5302368E-6 | 2.3443026E-6 | 2.3443026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9415156E-5 | 1.0046995E-5 | 1.0046995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3635388E-4 | 1.2231927E-4 | 1.2231927E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023610266 | 0.0012229085 | 0.0012328963 | 1.0081673 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.431668E-6 | 1.6882207E-6 | 1.6882207E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4707065E-5 | 7.2352314E-6 | 7.2352314E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7904381E-4 | 8.808894E-5 | 8.808894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017889962 | 8.808894E-4 | 8.908806E-4 | 1.0113422 | 1.0E-5 |
San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.664362E-6 | 2.666423E-5 | 4.0010176 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.856124E-5 | 4.856067E-5 | 1.7002298 | 2.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4767768E-4 | 3.976603E-4 | 1.1437614 | 5.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035517146 | 0.0036115015 | 1.0168333 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.664362E-6 | 2.666423E-5 | 4.0010176 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.856124E-5 | 4.856067E-5 | 1.7002298 | 2.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4767768E-4 | 3.976603E-4 | 1.1437614 | 5.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035517146 | 0.0036115015 | 1.0168333 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.664362E-6 | 2.666423E-5 | 4.0010176 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.856124E-5 | 4.856067E-5 | 1.7002298 | 2.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4767768E-4 | 3.976603E-4 | 1.1437614 | 5.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035517146 | 0.0036115015 | 1.0168333 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.664362E-6 | 2.666423E-5 | 4.0010176 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.856124E-5 | 4.856067E-5 | 1.7002298 | 2.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4767768E-4 | 3.976603E-4 | 1.1437614 | 5.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035517146 | 0.0036115015 | 1.0168333 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.693995E-6 | 6.664362E-6 | 2.666423E-5 | 4.0010176 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8688235E-5 | 2.856124E-5 | 4.856067E-5 | 1.7002298 | 2.0E-5 | 3.492233E-4 | 3.4767768E-4 | 3.976603E-4 | 1.1437614 | 5.0E-5 | 0.00348675 | 0.0035517146 | 0.0036115015 | 1.0168333 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.6561875E-6 | 6.62458E-6 | 2.6624448E-5 | 4.0190396 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8526205E-5 | 2.8390747E-5 | 4.839018E-5 | 1.7044349 | 2.0E-5 | 3.472512E-4 | 3.456026E-4 | 3.9558532E-4 | 1.1446248 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0034670907 | 0.00353103 | 0.003590818 | 1.0169322 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.6561875E-6 | 6.62458E-6 | 2.6624448E-5 | 4.0190396 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8526205E-5 | 2.8390747E-5 | 4.839018E-5 | 1.7044349 | 2.0E-5 | 3.472512E-4 | 3.456026E-4 | 3.9558532E-4 | 1.1446248 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0034670907 | 0.00353103 | 0.003590818 | 1.0169322 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.5802237E-6 | 6.5437553E-6 | 2.6543625E-5 | 4.056329 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8200653E-5 | 2.8044366E-5 | 4.8043803E-5 | 1.7131357 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4328885E-4 | 3.4138674E-4 | 3.9136966E-4 | 1.1464114 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0034275902 | 0.003489004 | 0.0035487947 | 1.0171369 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.575632E-6 | 6.5382446E-6 | 2.6538115E-5 | 4.058905 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8180975E-5 | 2.802075E-5 | 4.802019E-5 | 1.7137368 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4304935E-4 | 3.4109928E-4 | 3.9108223E-4 | 1.1465349 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0034252026 | 0.0034861385 | 0.0035459294 | 1.017151 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.570433E-6 | 6.529638E-6 | 2.6529508E-5 | 4.062937 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8158694E-5 | 2.7983864E-5 | 4.7983303E-5 | 1.7146776 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4277816E-4 | 3.4065035E-4 | 3.9063333E-4 | 1.146728 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0034224992 | 0.0034816633 | 0.0035414544 | 1.0171732 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.5643826E-6 | 6.5197587E-6 | 2.6519629E-5 | 4.0675783 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8132765E-5 | 2.7941524E-5 | 4.7940965E-5 | 1.7157606 | 2.0E-5 | 3.424626E-4 | 3.40135E-4 | 3.9011802E-4 | 1.1469505 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0034193532 | 0.0034765261 | 0.0035363175 | 1.0171986 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.557402E-6 | 6.5084696E-6 | 2.650834E-5 | 4.072899 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8102848E-5 | 2.7893142E-5 | 4.7892583E-5 | 1.7170022 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4209844E-4 | 3.3954615E-4 | 3.895292E-4 | 1.1472054 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0034157229 | 0.0034706574 | 0.0035304492 | 1.0172278 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.546394E-6 | 6.4904343E-6 | 2.6490305E-5 | 4.081438 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8055672E-5 | 2.7815851E-5 | 4.7815294E-5 | 1.7189945 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4152428E-4 | 3.3860543E-4 | 3.885885E-4 | 1.1476145 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0034099987 | 0.0034612832 | 0.0035210757 | 1.0172746 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.5364216E-6 | 6.4712167E-6 | 2.6471087E-5 | 4.090589 | 2.0E-5 | 2.8012933E-5 | 2.7733491E-5 | 4.7732938E-5 | 1.7211298 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4100408E-4 | 3.37603E-4 | 3.8758613E-4 | 1.1480529 | 5.0E-5 | 0.003404813 | 0.0034513064 | 0.0035110991 | 1.0173247 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.5269523E-6 | 6.4523E-6 | 2.6452171E-5 | 4.09965 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7972354E-5 | 2.7652422E-5 | 4.765187E-5 | 1.723244 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4051016E-4 | 3.366163E-4 | 3.8659948E-4 | 1.1484871 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0033998888 | 0.0034414853 | 0.003501279 | 1.0173743 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.5111835E-6 | 6.4285705E-6 | 2.6428443E-5 | 4.1110916 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7904773E-5 | 2.7550725E-5 | 4.7550173E-5 | 1.7259136 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3968766E-4 | 3.353785E-4 | 3.8536175E-4 | 1.1490353 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0033916887 | 0.0034291567 | 0.0034889511 | 1.017437 | 6.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.4768806E-6 | 6.3876737E-6 | 2.6387546E-5 | 4.13101 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7757764E-5 | 2.7375458E-5 | 4.737491E-5 | 1.7305614 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3789838E-4 | 3.332453E-4 | 3.8322865E-4 | 1.1499896 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0033738504 | 0.0034078853 | 0.0034676807 | 1.0175462 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.1655364E-6 | 6.180133E-6 | 2.6180009E-5 | 4.2361565 | 2.0E-5 | 2.642346E-5 | 2.6486015E-5 | 4.6485486E-5 | 1.7550955 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2165812E-4 | 3.2241957E-4 | 3.7240345E-4 | 1.1550274 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0032119295 | 0.00329948 | 0.0033592822 | 1.0181247 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.5043524E-6 | 5.741092E-6 | 2.5740977E-5 | 4.483638 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3589868E-5 | 2.460445E-5 | 4.4603956E-5 | 1.8128412 | 2.0E-5 | 2.871688E-4 | 2.9951803E-4 | 3.3950605E-4 | 1.1335078 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0028679797 | 0.003069548 | 0.0031193946 | 1.016239 | 5.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.889249E-6 | 4.0799896E-6 | 2.4079907E-5 | 5.901953 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6668104E-5 | 1.7485552E-5 | 3.7485202E-5 | 2.1437814 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0291525E-4 | 2.1286585E-4 | 2.5285734E-4 | 1.1878718 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0020273007 | 0.0021961173 | 0.0022460076 | 1.0227175 | 5.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.668535E-6 | 2.5336392E-6 | 1.2533614E-5 | 4.946882 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1436528E-5 | 1.0858409E-5 | 2.08583E-5 | 1.9209353 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3923083E-4 | 1.3219313E-4 | 1.4219181E-4 | 1.0756369 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013914363 | 0.0013769988 | 0.0013969713 | 1.0145043 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.5911459E-6 | 1.219739E-6 | 1.219739E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8191785E-6 | 5.2274427E-6 | 5.2274427E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3020335E-5 | 6.364228E-5 | 6.364228E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.298933E-4 | 6.699628E-4 | 6.799561E-4 | 1.0149162 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 6.1294963E-7 | 2.1838292E-7 | 2.1838292E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6269242E-6 | 9.359265E-7 | 9.359265E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1982334E-5 | 1.1394845E-5 | 1.1394845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1977732E-4 | 1.279981E-4 | 1.279981E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.762871E-7 | 4.760642E-8 | 4.760642E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5551594E-7 | 2.040275E-7 | 2.040275E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1983675E-6 | 2.4840322E-6 | 2.4840322E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.197987E-5 | 2.8725179E-5 | 2.8725179E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.10407545E-5 | 1.10407545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.731696E-5 | 4.731696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.7598436E-4 | 6.159613E-4 | 1.0694064 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0054756533 | 0.0057500806 | 0.005799793 | 1.0086455 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.10407545E-5 | 1.10407545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.731696E-5 | 4.731696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.7598436E-4 | 6.159613E-4 | 1.0694064 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0054756533 | 0.0057500806 | 0.005799793 | 1.0086455 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2082252E-6 | 2.2082252E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.463811E-6 | 9.463811E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.15220006E-4 | 1.352177E-4 | 1.173561 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011520141 | 0.0011819795 | 1.0260113 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2082252E-6 | 2.2082252E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.463811E-6 | 9.463811E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.15220006E-4 | 1.352177E-4 | 1.173561 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011520141 | 0.0011819795 | 1.0260113 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7259927E-6 | 1.8108957E-6 | 1.8108957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3970905E-6 | 7.760981E-6 | 7.760981E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.005586E-5 | 9.448995E-5 | 1.04489E-4 | 1.1058214 | 1.0E-5 | 9.001937E-4 | 9.4489945E-4 | 9.648806E-4 | 1.0211463 | 2.0E-5 |
Pleito
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4775207E-5 | 2.4775207E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0617554E-4 | 1.0617554E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012919927 | 0.001321954 | 1.0231899 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.0129595585 | 0.01300891 | 1.0038081 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4775207E-5 | 2.4775207E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0617554E-4 | 1.0617554E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012919927 | 0.001321954 | 1.0231899 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.0129595585 | 0.01300891 | 1.0038081 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4775207E-5 | 2.4775207E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0617554E-4 | 1.0617554E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012919927 | 0.001321954 | 1.0231899 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.0129595585 | 0.01300891 | 1.0038081 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4775207E-5 | 2.4775207E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0617554E-4 | 1.0617554E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012919927 | 0.001321954 | 1.0231899 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.0129595585 | 0.01300891 | 1.0038081 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4775207E-5 | 2.4775207E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0617554E-4 | 1.0617554E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012919927 | 0.001321954 | 1.0231899 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.0129595585 | 0.01300891 | 1.0038081 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.6763008E-5 | 2.4775207E-5 | 2.4775207E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.183948E-5 | 1.0617554E-4 | 1.0617554E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.742947E-4 | 0.0012919927 | 0.001321954 | 1.0231899 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00870863 | 0.0129595585 | 0.01300891 | 1.0038081 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.7225831E-5 | 1.7225831E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.382292E-5 | 7.382292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.169696E-4 | 8.984272E-4 | 9.184092E-4 | 1.0222411 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0051576863 | 0.009056309 | 0.009086038 | 1.0032827 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.910213E-6 | 1.7225831E-5 | 1.7225831E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.247165E-5 | 7.382292E-5 | 7.382292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.169696E-4 | 8.984272E-4 | 9.184092E-4 | 1.0222411 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0051576863 | 0.009056309 | 0.009086038 | 1.0032827 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.300162E-6 | 1.5485411E-5 | 1.5485411E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.557164E-5 | 6.6364366E-5 | 6.6364366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3299864E-4 | 8.0768805E-4 | 8.276719E-4 | 1.024742 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004321559 | 0.008155736 | 0.008185492 | 1.0036484 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.183114E-6 | 1.535662E-5 | 1.535662E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5070017E-5 | 6.581243E-5 | 6.581243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2689382E-4 | 8.0097327E-4 | 8.2095724E-4 | 1.0249497 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0042607468 | 0.008089079 | 0.008118836 | 1.0036787 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.1748823E-6 | 1.41434675E-5 | 1.41434675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0749135E-5 | 6.0613456E-5 | 6.0613456E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.743064E-4 | 7.3771947E-4 | 7.477121E-4 | 1.0135453 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037367654 | 0.0074604955 | 0.007470421 | 1.0013304 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1671807E-6 | 1.4133836E-5 | 1.4133836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0716128E-5 | 6.057218E-5 | 6.057218E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7390468E-4 | 7.372173E-4 | 7.4720994E-4 | 1.0135546 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037327618 | 0.0074555078 | 0.007465433 | 1.0013313 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.0649667E-6 | 1.3981088E-5 | 1.3981088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0278077E-5 | 5.9917576E-5 | 5.9917576E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6857324E-4 | 7.292529E-4 | 7.3924556E-4 | 1.0137026 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036796255 | 0.007376247 | 0.0073861736 | 1.0013458 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.02082E-6 | 1.3924522E-5 | 1.3924522E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.008888E-5 | 5.967516E-5 | 5.967516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6627054E-4 | 7.263034E-4 | 7.362961E-4 | 1.0137583 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036566744 | 0.0073467414 | 0.007356668 | 1.0013511 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.987146E-6 | 1.3884071E-5 | 1.3884071E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9944567E-5 | 5.9501806E-5 | 5.9501806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6451413E-4 | 7.241942E-4 | 7.34187E-4 | 1.0137985 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036391679 | 0.0073256698 | 0.0073355963 | 1.001355 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.9494554E-6 | 1.3840968E-5 | 1.3840968E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9783041E-5 | 5.9317084E-5 | 5.9317084E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.625482E-4 | 7.219467E-4 | 7.319395E-4 | 1.0138414 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036195726 | 0.007303293 | 0.00731322 | 1.0013592 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.92694E-6 | 1.3800064E-5 | 1.3800064E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9686547E-5 | 5.9141792E-5 | 5.9141792E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6137376E-4 | 7.19814E-4 | 7.298068E-4 | 1.0138825 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036078666 | 0.007282036 | 0.007291963 | 1.0013633 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.395867E-6 | 1.267865E-5 | 1.267865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.741057E-5 | 5.4335942E-5 | 5.4335942E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.336726E-4 | 6.613396E-4 | 6.71333E-4 | 1.0151109 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033317201 | 0.0067004682 | 0.0067104013 | 1.0014825 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.8664327E-6 | 1.1545374E-5 | 1.1545374E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5141611E-5 | 4.9479237E-5 | 4.9479237E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.060561E-4 | 6.022434E-4 | 6.122374E-4 | 1.0165945 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030563495 | 0.006105475 | 0.0061154137 | 1.0016279 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.7167474E-6 | 7.1198438E-6 | 7.1198438E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.592882E-5 | 3.051326E-5 | 3.051326E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9391612E-4 | 3.7143574E-4 | 3.7143574E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019374699 | 0.0037704008 | 0.0037704008 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.0903841E-6 | 1.2890899E-6 | 1.2890899E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6730665E-6 | 5.5246596E-6 | 5.5246596E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.68931E-5 | 6.726067E-5 | 6.726067E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6878536E-4 | 6.948055E-4 | 6.948055E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 2.6894583E-7 | 1.1075654E-7 | 1.1075654E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1526245E-6 | 4.7467077E-7 | 4.7467077E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4033113E-5 | 5.7791017E-6 | 5.7791017E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4032227E-4 | 6.4659966E-5 | 6.4659966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 5.2967013E-9 | 2.4615723E-9 | 2.4615723E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2700148E-8 | 1.0549595E-8 | 1.0549595E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637427E-7 | 1.2844131E-7 | 1.2844131E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637393E-6 | 1.4612236E-6 | 1.4612236E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Clemente
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.164222E-5 | 8.164222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.4985028E-4 | 3.5984677E-4 | 1.0285736 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003480294 | 0.0042516054 | 0.004301393 | 1.0117103 | 5.0E-5 | 0.03426291 | 0.04175791 | 0.041805826 | 1.0011474 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.164222E-5 | 8.164222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.4985028E-4 | 3.4985028E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003480294 | 0.0042516054 | 0.0042914352 | 1.0093682 | 4.0E-5 | 0.03426291 | 0.04175791 | 0.04179624 | 1.0009179 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.9400576E-5 | 4.645413E-5 | 4.645413E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6884868E-4 | 1.9907429E-4 | 1.9907429E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020537945 | 0.0024210894 | 0.0024310653 | 1.0041203 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020349167 | 0.023953792 | 0.023963552 | 1.0004075 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2590255E-5 | 3.7930426E-5 | 3.7930426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3966505E-4 | 1.6254901E-4 | 1.6254901E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016990956 | 0.001977268 | 0.0019872482 | 1.0050474 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01686163 | 0.019600548 | 0.019610353 | 1.0005002 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.9454652E-5 | 3.4098888E-5 | 3.4098888E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2622811E-4 | 1.4613006E-4 | 1.4613006E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015357438 | 0.001777708 | 0.0017876902 | 1.0056152 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015251739 | 0.017638046 | 0.01764787 | 1.000557 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.790836E-5 | 3.2248514E-5 | 3.2248514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1960178E-4 | 1.3820073E-4 | 1.3820073E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001455179 | 0.001681321 | 0.0016913041 | 1.0059377 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014456868 | 0.016689023 | 0.016698856 | 1.0005893 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2492153E-5 | 2.5763484E-5 | 2.5763484E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.639138E-5 | 1.1041034E-4 | 1.1041034E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011729331 | 0.0013434318 | 0.0013534183 | 1.0074337 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011667615 | 0.01335482 | 0.013364687 | 1.0007387 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9862755E-5 | 2.266709E-5 | 2.266709E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.512331E-5 | 9.714112E-5 | 9.714112E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010358836 | 0.0011820628 | 0.0011920509 | 1.0084498 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010310682 | 0.0117590455 | 0.011768928 | 1.0008404 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6697575E-5 | 1.897825E-5 | 1.897825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.155907E-5 | 8.133287E-5 | 8.133287E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7088346E-4 | 9.897873E-4 | 9.897873E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008674784 | 0.009854816 | 0.009854816 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.5218415E-5 | 1.7269886E-5 | 1.7269886E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.522015E-5 | 7.401175E-5 | 7.401175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.93766E-4 | 9.007293E-4 | 9.007293E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007909367 | 0.008971731 | 0.008971731 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.2392958E-5 | 1.4033402E-5 | 1.4033402E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3111595E-5 | 6.014181E-5 | 6.014181E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4644177E-4 | 7.319881E-4 | 7.319881E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064456454 | 0.007296557 | 0.007296557 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0934128E-5 | 1.2375478E-5 | 1.2375478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6859706E-5 | 5.3036725E-5 | 5.3036725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7036756E-4 | 6.4553815E-4 | 6.4553815E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056890585 | 0.006437376 | 0.006437376 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.5798805E-6 | 1.0845234E-5 | 1.0845234E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1055984E-5 | 4.6478784E-5 | 4.6478784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9974193E-4 | 5.6573946E-4 | 5.6573946E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049861963 | 0.0056437165 | 0.0056437165 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.0167365E-6 | 9.0841695E-6 | 9.0841695E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4356988E-5 | 3.8931612E-5 | 3.8931612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1821605E-4 | 4.7389636E-4 | 4.7389636E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041742986 | 0.004729561 | 0.004729561 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.9581017E-6 | 3.362475E-6 | 3.362475E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2677518E-5 | 1.4410556E-5 | 1.4410556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5433785E-4 | 1.7543945E-4 | 1.7543945E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001542307 | 0.0017535045 | 0.0017535045 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4156874E-5 | 2.4156874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03525366E-4 | 1.1352433E-4 | 1.0965847 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.0012596952 | 0.0012796699 | 1.0158569 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012934448 | 0.012983801 | 1.0038157 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4156874E-5 | 2.4156874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03525366E-4 | 1.1352433E-4 | 1.0965847 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.0012596952 | 0.0012796699 | 1.0158569 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012934448 | 0.012983801 | 1.0038157 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4156874E-5 | 2.4156874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03525366E-4 | 1.1352433E-4 | 1.0965847 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.0012596952 | 0.0012796699 | 1.0158569 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012934448 | 0.012983801 | 1.0038157 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4156874E-5 | 2.4156874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03525366E-4 | 1.1352433E-4 | 1.0965847 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.0012596952 | 0.0012796699 | 1.0158569 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012934448 | 0.012983801 | 1.0038157 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4156874E-5 | 2.4156874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03525366E-4 | 1.1352433E-4 | 1.0965847 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.0012596952 | 0.0012796699 | 1.0158569 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012934448 | 0.012983801 | 1.0038157 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7282445E-5 | 2.4042945E-5 | 2.4042945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16919524E-4 | 1.0303714E-4 | 1.1303611E-4 | 1.0970424 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014225657 | 0.0012537579 | 0.0012737329 | 1.0159321 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014134934 | 0.012875773 | 0.012925129 | 1.0038333 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.7282445E-5 | 2.4042945E-5 | 2.4042945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16919524E-4 | 1.0303714E-4 | 1.1303611E-4 | 1.0970424 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014225657 | 0.0012537579 | 0.0012737329 | 1.0159321 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014134934 | 0.012875773 | 0.012925129 | 1.0038333 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.7216198E-5 | 2.3968063E-5 | 2.3968063E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1663563E-4 | 1.02716236E-4 | 1.1271521E-4 | 1.0973456 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014191137 | 0.0012498554 | 0.0012698304 | 1.0159818 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014100855 | 0.012837182 | 0.01288654 | 1.003845 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.7078617E-5 | 2.3885274E-5 | 2.3885274E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1604605E-4 | 1.0236145E-4 | 1.1236043E-4 | 1.0976831 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001411945 | 0.0012455409 | 0.0012655159 | 1.0160372 | 2.0E-5 | 0.014030075 | 0.012794324 | 0.012843684 | 1.003858 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.6982952E-5 | 2.380478E-5 | 2.380478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.15636096E-4 | 1.0201651E-4 | 1.1201549E-4 | 1.0980134 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014069602 | 0.001241346 | 0.0012613211 | 1.0160916 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013980856 | 0.012752607 | 0.01280197 | 1.0038707 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.6449972E-5 | 2.3381777E-5 | 2.3381777E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1335209E-4 | 1.0020378E-4 | 1.1020278E-4 | 1.0997866 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001379188 | 0.0012193009 | 0.0012392765 | 1.0163828 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0137065975 | 0.012533962 | 0.012583335 | 1.0039392 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.6257849E-5 | 2.320781E-5 | 2.320781E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1252879E-4 | 9.9458266E-5 | 1.0945727E-4 | 1.1005347 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013691769 | 0.0012102344 | 0.0012302101 | 1.0165057 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013607717 | 0.012443866 | 0.012493243 | 1.003968 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.5270041E-5 | 2.2402495E-5 | 2.2402495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0829568E-4 | 9.600717E-5 | 1.0600621E-4 | 1.1041489 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013177024 | 0.0011682629 | 0.0011882395 | 1.0170994 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013099162 | 0.012024804 | 0.012074202 | 1.0041081 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.339701E-5 | 2.1134221E-5 | 2.1134221E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0026905E-4 | 9.0572095E-5 | 1.005712E-4 | 1.1103992 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001220092 | 0.0011021596 | 0.0011221375 | 1.0181262 | 2.0E-5 | 0.012134149 | 0.0113636935 | 0.011413125 | 1.00435 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.296333E-5 | 2.0864543E-5 | 2.0864543E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.841056E-5 | 8.941642E-5 | 9.941553E-5 | 1.1118263 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011974899 | 0.0010881033 | 0.0011080815 | 1.0183606 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011910575 | 0.011222781 | 0.01127222 | 1.0044053 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.2188895E-5 | 2.0387388E-5 | 2.0387388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.50918E-5 | 8.7371605E-5 | 9.737073E-5 | 1.1144437 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011571277 | 0.0010632322 | 0.0010832109 | 1.0187906 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011511209 | 0.010972362 | 0.011021813 | 1.004507 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.0013189E-5 | 1.897342E-5 | 1.897342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5767984E-5 | 8.131214E-5 | 9.131132E-5 | 1.1229728 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001043725 | 9.895273E-4 | 0.0010095076 | 1.0201917 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010388365 | 0.010230371 | 0.010279859 | 1.0048374 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7230794E-5 | 1.6754486E-5 | 1.6754486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.384417E-5 | 7.180296E-5 | 8.1802245E-5 | 1.13926 | 1.0E-5 | 8.986819E-4 | 8.738513E-4 | 8.938338E-4 | 1.0228672 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008950562 | 0.00906885 | 0.009118397 | 1.0054634 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.4478809E-5 | 1.5001435E-5 | 1.5001435E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.205057E-5 | 6.429028E-5 | 7.428964E-5 | 1.1555345 | 1.0E-5 | 7.552038E-4 | 7.8245375E-4 | 7.924459E-4 | 1.0127703 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0075264242 | 0.008147204 | 0.008186879 | 1.0048697 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.1114467E-5 | 1.1654299E-5 | 1.1654299E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7632562E-5 | 4.9946044E-5 | 5.9945545E-5 | 1.200206 | 1.0E-5 | 5.797721E-4 | 6.07924E-4 | 6.179179E-4 | 1.0164394 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057826187 | 0.006385478 | 0.0064152866 | 1.0046681 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 9.327402E-6 | 9.907502E-6 | 9.907502E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9973966E-5 | 4.2460037E-5 | 5.245961E-5 | 1.2355056 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8657437E-4 | 5.1682885E-4 | 5.268237E-4 | 1.0193387 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048551033 | 0.005454631 | 0.0054844674 | 1.0054699 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 7.0235833E-6 | 6.83352E-6 | 6.83352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0100724E-5 | 2.9286188E-5 | 2.9286188E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.664147E-4 | 3.565015E-4 | 3.565015E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003658111 | 0.0037909911 | 0.0038109154 | 1.0052557 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 2.0358202E-6 | 9.0045785E-7 | 9.0045785E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.724915E-6 | 3.8590997E-6 | 3.8590997E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06220665E-4 | 4.6983547E-5 | 4.6983547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001061699 | 5.331162E-4 | 5.331162E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.0051264E-7 | 6.625168E-8 | 6.625168E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5933965E-7 | 2.8393575E-7 | 2.8393575E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.046241E-5 | 3.4569127E-6 | 3.4569127E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0461917E-4 | 4.018605E-5 | 4.018605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coronado Bank alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.533492E-5 | 9.395612E-5 | 9.395612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.22824E-4 | 4.0260935E-4 | 4.0260935E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039233007 | 0.004891369 | 0.004921222 | 1.0061033 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03854755 | 0.04790637 | 0.047953974 | 1.0009937 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.049532E-5 | 5.049532E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.163905E-4 | 2.163905E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0026314508 | 0.0026414245 | 1.0037901 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021578677 | 0.026012238 | 0.026031718 | 1.0007489 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.049532E-5 | 5.049532E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.163905E-4 | 2.163905E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0026314508 | 0.0026414245 | 1.0037901 | 1.0E-5 | 0.021578677 | 0.026012238 | 0.026031718 | 1.0007489 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.1793104E-5 | 3.7712598E-5 | 3.7712598E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3624904E-4 | 1.616156E-4 | 1.616156E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016575698 | 0.001965926 | 0.0019759063 | 1.0050766 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016452603 | 0.019489251 | 0.019508861 | 1.0010062 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.9878007E-5 | 3.533716E-5 | 3.533716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2804232E-4 | 1.5143637E-4 | 1.5143637E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015578003 | 0.0018422103 | 0.0018521919 | 1.0054183 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015469253 | 0.01827316 | 0.018292794 | 1.0010746 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.4512565E-5 | 2.8765155E-5 | 2.8765155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0504962E-4 | 1.2327357E-4 | 1.2327357E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012782287 | 0.0014998491 | 0.0015098342 | 1.0066574 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012709012 | 0.014900234 | 0.014919936 | 1.0013223 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.1317413E-5 | 2.4907557E-5 | 2.4907557E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.135714E-5 | 1.06742424E-4 | 1.06742424E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011117056 | 0.0012988364 | 0.0013088235 | 1.0076892 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011061605 | 0.012914863 | 0.012934606 | 1.0015286 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8585655E-5 | 2.1635631E-5 | 2.1635631E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9650374E-5 | 9.2720955E-5 | 9.2720955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6931186E-4 | 0.0011283135 | 0.0011383021 | 1.0088528 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0096509475 | 0.01122801 | 0.011247786 | 1.0017613 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5862879E-5 | 1.8420104E-5 | 1.8420104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.798199E-5 | 7.8941026E-5 | 7.8941026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.273665E-4 | 9.607024E-4 | 9.7069284E-4 | 1.0103991 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008242928 | 0.009567476 | 0.009587284 | 1.0020704 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3021509E-5 | 1.5095776E-5 | 1.5095776E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5805274E-5 | 6.469468E-5 | 6.469468E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.792174E-4 | 7.873912E-4 | 7.973833E-4 | 1.0126902 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006771452 | 0.007847837 | 0.007857759 | 1.0012642 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0974371E-5 | 1.2720536E-5 | 1.2720536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7032172E-5 | 5.451554E-5 | 5.451554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7246623E-4 | 6.6354213E-4 | 6.735355E-4 | 1.0150607 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057099373 | 0.0066173584 | 0.0066272924 | 1.0015012 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.766221E-6 | 1.0164179E-5 | 1.0164179E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7568978E-5 | 4.356014E-5 | 4.356014E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.573063E-4 | 5.3023285E-4 | 5.3023285E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045636636 | 0.005291377 | 0.005291377 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.026024E-7 | 8.3318906E-7 | 8.3318906E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.43972E-6 | 3.5708053E-6 | 3.5708053E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1877785E-5 | 4.34737E-5 | 4.34737E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1869894E-4 | 4.3465305E-4 | 4.3465305E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.7293114E-7 | 3.7001442E-7 | 3.7001442E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5982754E-6 | 1.5857752E-6 | 1.5857752E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9458828E-5 | 1.9306643E-5 | 1.9306643E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9457124E-4 | 1.9304971E-4 | 1.9304971E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0557036E-7 | 1.96746E-7 | 1.96746E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.810155E-7 | 8.4319686E-7 | 8.4319686E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0726311E-5 | 1.0265874E-5 | 1.0265874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0725793E-4 | 1.0265403E-4 | 1.0265403E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.845446E-8 | 6.2794406E-8 | 6.2794406E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9337625E-7 | 2.6911886E-7 | 2.6911886E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5718497E-6 | 3.2765172E-6 | 3.2765172E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5717923E-5 | 3.2764696E-5 | 3.2764696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.0975145E-9 | 5.531938E-9 | 5.531938E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6132206E-8 | 2.3708305E-8 | 2.3708305E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1815955E-7 | 2.8864858E-7 | 2.8864858E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.181591E-6 | 2.8864831E-6 | 2.8864831E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Oceanic - West Huasna
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.195567E-5 | 2.7926751E-5 | 2.7926751E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3694567E-4 | 1.1968083E-4 | 1.3967844E-4 | 1.1670911 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016660384 | 0.0014561834 | 0.0014761542 | 1.0137146 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016536033 | 0.014470968 | 0.014520245 | 1.0034052 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1156782E-5 | 1.7573328E-5 | 1.7573328E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.066878E-5 | 7.531214E-5 | 9.5310636E-5 | 1.2655414 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0011033333 | 9.16549E-4 | 9.3653065E-4 | 1.021801 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010978713 | 0.009128696 | 0.0091683315 | 1.0043418 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6195117E-5 | 1.3327373E-5 | 1.3327373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9405796E-5 | 5.7116078E-5 | 7.7114935E-5 | 1.3501441 | 2.0E-5 | 8.44688E-4 | 6.95169E-4 | 7.1515504E-4 | 1.02875 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008414844 | 0.0069302376 | 0.0069699604 | 1.0057318 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3559345E-5 | 1.1179128E-5 | 1.1179128E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.811018E-5 | 4.7909674E-5 | 6.790872E-5 | 1.4174322 | 2.0E-5 | 7.072618E-4 | 5.831451E-4 | 6.0313346E-4 | 1.0342767 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0070501505 | 0.0058162673 | 0.005856035 | 1.0068372 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2120619E-5 | 1.0000972E-5 | 1.0000972E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1944477E-5 | 4.2860607E-5 | 5.2860178E-5 | 1.2333045 | 1.0E-5 | 6.322405E-4 | 5.2170345E-4 | 5.316982E-4 | 1.019158 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006304447 | 0.0052048545 | 0.0052346983 | 1.0057338 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.13511915E-5 | 9.367469E-6 | 9.367469E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8647056E-5 | 4.0145682E-5 | 5.0145278E-5 | 1.2490828 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9211696E-4 | 4.886645E-4 | 4.986596E-4 | 1.0204539 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0059054173 | 0.0048759584 | 0.004905812 | 1.0061226 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.850605E-6 | 8.135392E-6 | 8.135392E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2216197E-5 | 3.48655E-5 | 4.486515E-5 | 1.2868065 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1386096E-4 | 4.24405E-4 | 4.3440078E-4 | 1.0235524 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051267436 | 0.0042359773 | 0.0042558927 | 1.0047015 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.8558645E-6 | 7.3184096E-6 | 7.3184096E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7953152E-5 | 3.1364238E-5 | 4.136392E-5 | 1.3188245 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6198163E-4 | 3.8179284E-4 | 3.91789E-4 | 1.0261822 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004610224 | 0.0038113946 | 0.0038313183 | 1.0052274 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.67136E-6 | 6.3917505E-6 | 6.3917505E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2876844E-5 | 2.739293E-5 | 3.7392656E-5 | 1.3650477 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0020206E-4 | 3.3345804E-4 | 3.434547E-4 | 1.0299788 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003994821 | 0.0033295979 | 0.0033495312 | 1.0059867 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.534529E-6 | 5.4583143E-6 | 5.4583143E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8004823E-5 | 2.3392566E-5 | 3.339233E-5 | 1.4274763 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4090536E-4 | 2.847674E-4 | 2.9476456E-4 | 1.0351064 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034038287 | 0.0028440417 | 0.0028540131 | 1.0035061 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.460525E-6 | 4.569967E-6 | 4.569967E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3402039E-5 | 1.9585428E-5 | 2.9585231E-5 | 1.5105737 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8488258E-4 | 2.384266E-4 | 2.484242E-4 | 1.0419316 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028451765 | 0.0023817217 | 0.002391698 | 1.0041887 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.4825083E-6 | 3.7524592E-6 | 3.7524592E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9210609E-5 | 1.6081869E-5 | 2.6081709E-5 | 1.6218083 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3386406E-4 | 1.9577927E-4 | 2.0577731E-4 | 1.051068 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002336181 | 0.0019560799 | 0.0019660604 | 1.0051023 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.821708E-6 | 2.4249807E-6 | 2.4249807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2092979E-5 | 1.0392733E-5 | 1.0392733E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4722206E-4 | 1.2652419E-4 | 1.2652419E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014712457 | 0.001264524 | 0.001264524 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.0644757E-6 | 1.7687858E-6 | 1.7687858E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.847723E-6 | 7.5804883E-6 | 7.5804883E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0771569E-4 | 9.228854E-5 | 9.228854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001076635 | 9.225038E-4 | 9.225038E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6980367E-6 | 1.4380304E-6 | 1.4380304E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.27728E-6 | 6.162973E-6 | 6.162973E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8597284E-5 | 7.503161E-5 | 7.503161E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8561967E-4 | 7.500644E-4 | 7.500644E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3637683E-6 | 1.1303017E-6 | 1.1303017E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.844708E-6 | 4.844141E-6 | 4.844141E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1156996E-5 | 5.8975827E-5 | 5.8975827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1134215E-4 | 5.896032E-4 | 5.896032E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.802994E-7 | 7.6775723E-7 | 7.6775723E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2012766E-6 | 3.2903838E-6 | 3.2903838E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1149345E-5 | 4.0059687E-5 | 4.0059687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.113757E-4 | 4.0052604E-4 | 4.0052604E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.986191E-7 | 4.0053408E-7 | 4.0053408E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5655079E-6 | 1.7165735E-6 | 1.7165735E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1234613E-5 | 2.0899082E-5 | 2.0899082E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.123022E-4 | 2.0897246E-4 | 2.0897246E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.9189815E-7 | 1.5287587E-7 | 1.5287587E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2509914E-6 | 6.5518213E-7 | 6.5518213E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5230714E-5 | 7.976813E-6 | 7.976813E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.522967E-4 | 7.9766534E-5 | 7.9766534E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.2057845E-7 | 4.6221263E-8 | 4.6221263E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1676466E-7 | 1.9809112E-7 | 1.9809112E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2915915E-6 | 2.4117567E-6 | 2.4117567E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2914136E-5 | 2.4118559E-5 | 2.4118559E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.3806387E-9 | 9.0148433E-10 | 9.0148433E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4488451E-8 | 3.863505E-9 | 3.863505E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639688E-7 | 4.703817E-8 | 4.703817E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639674E-6 | 4.7140102E-7 | 4.7140102E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.4972978E-5 | 5.4972978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3557879E-4 | 2.3557879E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024678076 | 0.0028646677 | 0.0028646677 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.024405818 | 0.028305521 | 0.028354106 | 1.0017165 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.4972978E-5 | 5.4972978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3557879E-4 | 2.3557879E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024678076 | 0.0028646677 | 0.0028646677 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.024405818 | 0.028305521 | 0.028354106 | 1.0017165 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.3926055E-5 | 3.3926055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4538941E-4 | 1.4538941E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017687137 | 0.0017687137 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015745522 | 0.017550316 | 0.017589614 | 1.0022391 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.3926055E-5 | 3.3926055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4538941E-4 | 1.4538941E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017687137 | 0.0017687137 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015745522 | 0.017550316 | 0.017589614 | 1.0022391 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.5452082E-5 | 2.7913102E-5 | 2.7913102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.09075794E-4 | 1.1962221E-4 | 1.1962221E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013271887 | 0.0014554462 | 0.0014554462 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013192902 | 0.0144613115 | 0.014500733 | 1.002726 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3143784E-5 | 2.5128795E-5 | 2.5128795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9183875E-5 | 1.07690474E-4 | 1.07690474E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012068948 | 0.0013103575 | 0.0013103575 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012003611 | 0.013027978 | 0.013067457 | 1.0030303 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9118515E-5 | 2.035472E-5 | 2.035472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.193392E-5 | 8.7231645E-5 | 8.7231645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.97089E-4 | 0.0010615357 | 0.0010615357 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00992627 | 0.010565562 | 0.01060514 | 1.0037459 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.722807E-5 | 1.8146651E-5 | 1.8146651E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3832496E-5 | 7.776907E-5 | 7.776907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.985399E-4 | 9.4643276E-4 | 9.4643276E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008949154 | 0.009424667 | 0.00946429 | 1.0042042 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5317364E-5 | 1.5926713E-5 | 1.5926713E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.56442E-5 | 6.825558E-5 | 6.825558E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.98925E-4 | 8.3069917E-4 | 8.3069917E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007960589 | 0.008276427 | 0.008316097 | 1.004793 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3071226E-5 | 1.3329766E-5 | 1.3329766E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6018336E-5 | 5.7126334E-5 | 5.7126334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8180985E-4 | 6.952934E-4 | 6.952934E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067972173 | 0.006931441 | 0.006961233 | 1.0042981 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1836986E-5 | 1.1932885E-5 | 1.1932885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0728955E-5 | 5.1139945E-5 | 5.1139945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1745E-4 | 6.2245264E-4 | 6.2245264E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006157372 | 0.006207285 | 0.006237099 | 1.0048031 | 3.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0597169E-5 | 1.054227E-5 | 1.054227E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.541565E-5 | 4.518038E-5 | 4.518038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5279525E-4 | 5.499334E-4 | 5.499334E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055142213 | 0.0054858564 | 0.005515692 | 1.0054386 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.59113E-6 | 9.459195E-6 | 9.459195E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.11042E-5 | 4.0538784E-5 | 4.0538784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0032866E-4 | 4.93449E-4 | 4.93449E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004992037 | 0.004923652 | 0.004953504 | 1.006063 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.586084E-6 | 8.379618E-6 | 8.379618E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.679698E-5 | 3.591216E-5 | 3.591216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4791115E-4 | 4.3714384E-4 | 4.3714384E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004470094 | 0.0043629506 | 0.00439282 | 1.0068461 | 3.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.2622997E-6 | 6.9515527E-6 | 6.9515527E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.112377E-5 | 2.9792032E-5 | 2.9792032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.78866E-4 | 3.626586E-4 | 3.626586E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037822074 | 0.003620768 | 0.0036406955 | 1.0055037 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.627296E-6 | 5.2515716E-6 | 5.2515716E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.411676E-5 | 2.2506545E-5 | 2.2506545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9358198E-4 | 2.7398346E-4 | 2.7398346E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029319443 | 0.0027365286 | 0.0027465012 | 1.0036442 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.265244E-6 | 2.0608904E-6 | 2.0608904E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.708152E-6 | 8.832358E-6 | 8.832358E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18190335E-4 | 1.0752874E-4 | 1.0752874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001181275 | 0.0010747757 | 0.0010747757 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.3099874E-6 | 1.1016389E-6 | 1.1016389E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.61422E-6 | 4.721301E-6 | 4.721301E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8350986E-5 | 5.748035E-5 | 5.748035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.832996E-4 | 5.746572E-4 | 5.746572E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.903951E-7 | 6.0711716E-7 | 6.0711716E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3874032E-6 | 2.6019281E-6 | 2.6019281E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1240855E-5 | 3.1678028E-5 | 3.1678028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.12332E-4 | 3.1673646E-4 | 3.1673646E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.0753297E-9 | 5.090113E-9 | 5.090113E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.032284E-8 | 2.181477E-8 | 2.181477E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6918053E-7 | 2.6559482E-7 | 2.6559482E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.691799E-6 | 2.655946E-6 | 2.655946E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Cruz Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.16003E-5 | 3.16003E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3542359E-4 | 1.3542359E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016476715 | 0.0016876055 | 1.0242367 | 4.0E-5 | 0.015102667 | 0.016368285 | 0.01640763 | 1.0024037 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.16003E-5 | 3.16003E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3542359E-4 | 1.3542359E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016476715 | 0.0016876055 | 1.0242367 | 4.0E-5 | 0.015102667 | 0.016368285 | 0.01640763 | 1.0024037 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.16003E-5 | 3.16003E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3542359E-4 | 1.3542359E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016476715 | 0.0016876055 | 1.0242367 | 4.0E-5 | 0.015102667 | 0.016368285 | 0.01640763 | 1.0024037 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.7804621E-5 | 1.7804621E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.63034E-5 | 7.63034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.286161E-4 | 9.386068E-4 | 1.0107588 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008642701 | 0.00924923 | 0.009269045 | 1.0021423 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.7804621E-5 | 1.7804621E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.63034E-5 | 7.63034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.286161E-4 | 9.386068E-4 | 1.0107588 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008642701 | 0.00924923 | 0.009269045 | 1.0021423 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2238748E-5 | 1.3043176E-5 | 1.3043176E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2450723E-5 | 5.5898152E-5 | 5.5898152E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3840044E-4 | 6.8035116E-4 | 6.903444E-4 | 1.0146883 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0063656955 | 0.0067830817 | 0.006802946 | 1.0029285 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0489767E-5 | 1.1156786E-5 | 1.1156786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.495537E-5 | 4.7813934E-5 | 4.7813934E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4719415E-4 | 5.819814E-4 | 5.819814E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005458487 | 0.0058048135 | 0.005814756 | 1.0017127 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.699222E-6 | 9.236903E-6 | 9.236903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7281847E-5 | 3.958613E-5 | 3.958613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5381195E-4 | 4.818551E-4 | 4.818551E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045288634 | 0.0048081707 | 0.004818123 | 1.0020698 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.307732E-6 | 8.817019E-6 | 8.817019E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.560408E-5 | 3.7786678E-5 | 3.7786678E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3339343E-4 | 4.5995612E-4 | 4.5995612E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004325492 | 0.004590095 | 0.004600049 | 1.0021687 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.073121E-6 | 8.56505E-6 | 8.56505E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.459863E-5 | 3.6706842E-5 | 3.6706842E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2115687E-4 | 4.4681458E-4 | 4.4681458E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004203596 | 0.0044592135 | 0.004469169 | 1.0022326 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.617019E-6 | 8.074768E-6 | 8.074768E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.264396E-5 | 3.4605688E-5 | 3.4605688E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9736772E-4 | 4.212432E-4 | 4.212432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003966579 | 0.004204495 | 0.0042144526 | 1.0023685 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1224836E-6 | 7.5458834E-6 | 7.5458834E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.052457E-5 | 3.23391E-5 | 3.23391E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.715733E-4 | 3.9365777E-4 | 3.9365777E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003709526 | 0.0039296476 | 0.003939608 | 1.0025347 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.441115E-6 | 6.8274708E-6 | 6.8274708E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7604487E-5 | 2.9260262E-5 | 2.9260262E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.360328E-4 | 3.561857E-4 | 3.561857E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033552512 | 0.0035561763 | 0.0035561763 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.494274E-6 | 5.820068E-6 | 5.820068E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3546674E-5 | 2.4942912E-5 | 2.4942912E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8664304E-4 | 3.0363782E-4 | 3.0363782E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002862736 | 0.0030322527 | 0.0030322527 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.0802624E-6 | 4.312309E-6 | 4.312309E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7486722E-5 | 1.8481194E-5 | 1.8481194E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1288003E-4 | 2.2498539E-4 | 2.2498539E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021267622 | 0.002247585 | 0.002247585 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.3584746E-6 | 2.475337E-6 | 2.475337E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0107709E-5 | 1.0608544E-5 | 1.0608544E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2305441E-4 | 1.291514E-4 | 1.291514E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012298629 | 0.0012907686 | 0.0012907686 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.4981914E-7 | 9.861023E-7 | 9.861023E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0706473E-6 | 4.226146E-6 | 4.226146E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9559E-5 | 5.1452127E-5 | 5.1452127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.954795E-4 | 5.1440345E-4 | 5.1440345E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.6013532E-7 | 2.6416808E-7 | 2.6416808E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1148652E-6 | 1.1321483E-6 | 1.1321483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3573399E-5 | 1.378382E-5 | 1.378382E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.357257E-4 | 1.3782972E-4 | 1.3782972E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.1522263E-8 | 3.965714E-8 | 3.965714E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7795254E-7 | 1.6995918E-7 | 1.6995918E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.16657E-6 | 2.0692512E-6 | 2.0692512E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1665488E-5 | 2.0692341E-5 | 2.0692341E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.7242046E-10 | 5.9475846E-10 | 5.9475846E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3103735E-9 | 2.5489653E-9 | 2.5489653E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0303796E-8 | 3.103365E-8 | 3.103365E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.030379E-7 | 3.1033647E-7 | 3.1033647E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6794505E-5 | 1.6794505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.197478E-5 | 7.197478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.7599544E-4 | 8.8598666E-4 | 1.0114056 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008038137 | 0.008730852 | 0.008780415 | 1.0056769 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6794505E-5 | 1.6794505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.197478E-5 | 7.197478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.7599544E-4 | 8.8598666E-4 | 1.0114056 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008038137 | 0.008730852 | 0.008780415 | 1.0056769 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3681784E-5 | 1.3681784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.8635174E-5 | 5.8635174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.136981E-4 | 7.136981E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065657445 | 0.007118856 | 0.007118856 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3681784E-5 | 1.3681784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.8635174E-5 | 5.8635174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.136981E-4 | 7.136981E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065657445 | 0.007118856 | 0.007118856 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 9.417684E-6 | 1.0170288E-5 | 1.0170288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.036088E-5 | 4.358645E-5 | 4.358645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.912829E-4 | 5.305769E-4 | 5.305769E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004901982 | 0.0052971374 | 0.0052971374 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 9.368219E-6 | 1.0117714E-5 | 1.0117714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.014889E-5 | 4.3361142E-5 | 4.3361142E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8870314E-4 | 5.278351E-4 | 5.278351E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004876298 | 0.0052698497 | 0.0052698497 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 7.803798E-6 | 8.441975E-6 | 8.441975E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3444423E-5 | 3.617962E-5 | 3.617962E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0710976E-4 | 4.4043775E-4 | 4.4043775E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040636472 | 0.0043995655 | 0.0043995655 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.3108669E-6 | 2.443863E-6 | 2.443863E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.903678E-6 | 1.0473657E-5 | 1.0473657E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.205706E-4 | 1.2750951E-4 | 1.2750951E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001205052 | 0.0012743821 | 0.0012743821 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.0882828E-6 | 2.2063082E-6 | 2.2063082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.949753E-6 | 9.4555735E-6 | 9.4555735E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.08957785E-4 | 1.1511569E-4 | 1.1511569E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010890438 | 0.0011505774 | 0.0011505774 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.876935E-6 | 1.9810739E-6 | 1.9810739E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.043982E-6 | 8.49029E-6 | 8.49029E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7931086E-5 | 1.0336454E-4 | 1.0336454E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.788794E-4 | 0.0010331806 | 0.0010331806 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.5357559E-6 | 1.6202993E-6 | 1.6202993E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5817944E-6 | 6.944122E-6 | 6.944122E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.01304E-5 | 8.4541534E-5 | 8.4541534E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.010151E-4 | 8.4510614E-4 | 8.4510614E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.149775E-6 | 1.149775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.927598E-6 | 4.927598E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.999196E-5 | 5.999196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.9976743E-4 | 5.9976743E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.387348E-7 | 6.387348E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7374324E-6 | 2.7374324E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.33278E-5 | 3.33278E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.3323484E-4 | 3.3323484E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (Lake Isabella) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.001654E-6 | 4.001654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149843E-5 | 1.7149843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.087812E-4 | 2.4877285E-4 | 1.1915481 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020860345 | 0.0021359301 | 1.0239189 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.001654E-6 | 4.001654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149843E-5 | 1.7149843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.087812E-4 | 2.4877285E-4 | 1.1915481 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020860345 | 0.0021359301 | 1.0239189 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.001654E-6 | 4.001654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149843E-5 | 1.7149843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.087812E-4 | 2.4877285E-4 | 1.1915481 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020860345 | 0.0021359301 | 1.0239189 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.001654E-6 | 4.001654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149843E-5 | 1.7149843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.087812E-4 | 2.4877285E-4 | 1.1915481 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020860345 | 0.0021359301 | 1.0239189 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.001654E-6 | 4.001654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7149843E-5 | 1.7149843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.087812E-4 | 2.4877285E-4 | 1.1915481 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0022092736 | 0.0020860345 | 0.0021359301 | 1.0239189 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7857532E-6 | 2.5178756E-6 | 2.5178756E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1938888E-5 | 1.0790853E-5 | 1.0790853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4534626E-4 | 1.3137104E-4 | 1.4136973E-4 | 1.0761102 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014525123 | 0.0013129666 | 0.0013229534 | 1.0076064 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2233348E-6 | 1.94413E-6 | 1.94413E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.528543E-6 | 8.331959E-6 | 8.331959E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1600384E-4 | 1.0143697E-4 | 1.0143697E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001159433 | 0.0010139153 | 0.0010139153 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.1635126E-6 | 1.8835098E-6 | 1.8835098E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.272164E-6 | 8.07216E-6 | 8.07216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1288274E-4 | 9.82742E-5 | 9.82742E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011282542 | 9.823155E-4 | 9.823155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.8685711E-6 | 1.5831475E-6 | 1.5831475E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.008137E-6 | 6.7849005E-6 | 6.7849005E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.74947E-5 | 8.260308E-5 | 8.260308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.745194E-4 | 8.257287E-4 | 8.257287E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.5815071E-6 | 1.3064966E-6 | 1.3064966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.77787E-6 | 5.5992596E-6 | 5.5992596E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.251744E-5 | 6.816888E-5 | 6.816888E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.248681E-4 | 6.814824E-4 | 6.814824E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.3772564E-6 | 1.1210751E-6 | 1.1210751E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9025137E-6 | 4.804599E-6 | 4.804599E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.186073E-5 | 5.8494443E-5 | 5.8494443E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.18375E-4 | 5.847925E-4 | 5.847925E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0916998E-6 | 8.763804E-7 | 8.763804E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.678705E-6 | 3.7559107E-6 | 3.7559107E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6961744E-5 | 4.5727265E-5 | 4.5727265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6947145E-4 | 4.571799E-4 | 4.571799E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 7.6277024E-7 | 5.901475E-7 | 5.901475E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2690114E-6 | 2.5292013E-6 | 2.5292013E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9799485E-5 | 3.07926E-5 | 3.07926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9792358E-4 | 3.0788392E-4 | 3.0788392E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.3265916E-7 | 4.382455E-7 | 4.382455E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.282823E-6 | 1.8781938E-6 | 1.8781938E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7793016E-5 | 2.2866772E-5 | 2.2866772E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.778954E-4 | 2.2864458E-4 | 2.2864458E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.4946007E-7 | 3.0065846E-7 | 3.0065846E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.497685E-6 | 1.2885356E-6 | 1.2885356E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8234163E-5 | 1.568781E-5 | 1.568781E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8232666E-4 | 1.5686726E-4 | 1.5686726E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.8317026E-7 | 1.4244877E-7 | 1.4244877E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.850152E-7 | 6.1049457E-7 | 6.1049457E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.557518E-6 | 7.4327468E-6 | 7.4327468E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5571064E-5 | 7.4325064E-5 | 7.4325064E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7352892E-8 | 1.7352892E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.436954E-8 | 7.436954E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.054488E-7 | 9.054488E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.054456E-6 | 9.054456E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough north alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.329252E-5 | 8.8216555E-5 | 8.8216555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.14073E-4 | 3.7801982E-4 | 3.8801602E-4 | 1.0264436 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038171355 | 0.004593244 | 0.004613152 | 1.0043342 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03752231 | 0.045047008 | 0.04507566 | 1.000636 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.7940346E-5 | 4.4886667E-5 | 4.4886667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6259136E-4 | 1.923578E-4 | 2.0235586E-4 | 1.0519764 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019777524 | 0.0023395212 | 0.002349498 | 1.0042644 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019602431 | 0.023157615 | 0.023167383 | 1.0004219 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.329787E-5 | 3.329787E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.426975E-4 | 1.5269608E-4 | 1.0700684 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014935739 | 0.00173598 | 0.0017459627 | 1.0057504 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0148357535 | 0.017226852 | 0.01723668 | 1.0005705 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.329787E-5 | 3.329787E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.426975E-4 | 1.5269608E-4 | 1.0700684 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014935739 | 0.00173598 | 0.0017459627 | 1.0057504 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0148357535 | 0.017226852 | 0.01723668 | 1.0005705 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.2204576E-5 | 2.5449104E-5 | 2.5449104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5159E-5 | 1.0906308E-4 | 1.19061995E-4 | 1.09168 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001157945 | 0.0013270436 | 0.0013370303 | 1.0075256 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011519298 | 0.013192362 | 0.0132022295 | 1.000748 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.1004838E-5 | 2.4025423E-5 | 2.4025423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0017624E-5 | 1.0296209E-4 | 1.1296106E-4 | 1.0971131 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010954136 | 0.0012528513 | 0.0012628388 | 1.0079718 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010900296 | 0.012458966 | 0.012468842 | 1.0007926 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.820557E-5 | 2.0705387E-5 | 2.0705387E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.802154E-5 | 8.873439E-5 | 9.87335E-5 | 1.1126859 | 1.0E-5 | 9.4949827E-4 | 0.0010798111 | 0.0010898004 | 1.0092509 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009454516 | 0.010746314 | 0.010756207 | 1.0009205 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.5884485E-5 | 1.7984146E-5 | 1.7984146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.807459E-5 | 7.707265E-5 | 8.707188E-5 | 1.1297377 | 1.0E-5 | 8.284929E-4 | 9.379583E-4 | 9.479489E-4 | 1.0106515 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008254109 | 0.009340362 | 0.009350268 | 1.0010606 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.4331171E-5 | 1.620151E-5 | 1.620151E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.141786E-5 | 6.94332E-5 | 7.943251E-5 | 1.1440133 | 1.0E-5 | 7.4750587E-4 | 8.450234E-4 | 8.550149E-4 | 1.011824 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0074499645 | 0.008418369 | 0.008428285 | 1.0011779 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2574203E-5 | 1.4206222E-5 | 1.4206222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3888325E-5 | 6.0882394E-5 | 7.088178E-5 | 1.1642411 | 1.0E-5 | 6.558929E-4 | 7.409925E-4 | 7.5098505E-4 | 1.0134854 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0065396037 | 0.007385404 | 0.00739533 | 1.001344 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0883844E-5 | 1.2289594E-5 | 1.2289594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.664421E-5 | 5.266863E-5 | 6.266811E-5 | 1.1898563 | 1.0E-5 | 5.677453E-4 | 6.410529E-4 | 6.510465E-4 | 1.0155894 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00566297 | 0.006392165 | 0.0064021014 | 1.0015544 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.393088E-6 | 1.0607308E-5 | 1.0607308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.025547E-5 | 4.5459103E-5 | 5.5458648E-5 | 1.219968 | 1.0E-5 | 4.900001E-4 | 5.533248E-4 | 5.6331925E-4 | 1.0180626 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048892107 | 0.005519567 | 0.005529512 | 1.0018017 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.190791E-6 | 9.258879E-6 | 9.258879E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.510292E-5 | 3.968031E-5 | 4.9679915E-5 | 1.2520041 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2729423E-4 | 4.8300138E-4 | 4.9299654E-4 | 1.0206939 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042647356 | 0.004819596 | 0.0048295483 | 1.0020648 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.268162E-6 | 7.0899105E-6 | 7.0899105E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6863276E-5 | 3.038498E-5 | 3.038498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2701128E-4 | 3.6987473E-4 | 3.6987473E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003265305 | 0.0036926374 | 0.0036926374 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.985186E-6 | 5.6428376E-6 | 5.6428376E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1364907E-5 | 2.4183368E-5 | 2.4183368E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600867E-4 | 2.943931E-4 | 2.943931E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002597825 | 0.0029400727 | 0.0029400727 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.9697304E-6 | 1.9697304E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.441675E-6 | 8.441675E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 1.0277278E-4 | 1.0277278E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1216754E-4 | 0.0010272745 | 0.0010272745 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7533941E-7 | 1.7533941E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.514544E-7 | 7.514544E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.148921E-6 | 9.148921E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.148564E-5 | 9.148564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 07 (Orestimba)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9687902E-5 | 3.2758206E-5 | 4.2757878E-5 | 1.3052571 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2722766E-4 | 1.4038516E-4 | 1.5038376E-4 | 1.0712225 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015478961 | 0.0017079213 | 0.0017179041 | 1.0058451 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015371585 | 0.016955499 | 0.016975159 | 1.0011595 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9687902E-5 | 3.2758206E-5 | 4.2757878E-5 | 1.3052571 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2722766E-4 | 1.4038516E-4 | 1.5038376E-4 | 1.0712225 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015478961 | 0.0017079213 | 0.0017179041 | 1.0058451 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015371585 | 0.016955499 | 0.016975159 | 1.0011595 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9231524E-5 | 2.1159609E-5 | 3.1159398E-5 | 1.4725885 | 1.0E-5 | 8.2418206E-5 | 9.068102E-5 | 1.0068011E-4 | 1.1102667 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010029797 | 0.0011035053 | 0.0011134943 | 1.009052 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00998465 | 0.010982669 | 0.011002449 | 1.001801 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.324766E-5 | 1.4548831E-5 | 1.4548831E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6774446E-5 | 6.235069E-5 | 6.235069E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.910097E-4 | 7.588645E-4 | 7.688569E-4 | 1.0131676 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006888649 | 0.007563678 | 0.0075835264 | 1.0026243 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.818645E-6 | 8.573013E-6 | 8.573013E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3508048E-5 | 3.6740985E-5 | 3.6740985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.078841E-4 | 4.4723303E-4 | 4.5722857E-4 | 1.0223497 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004071363 | 0.0044636703 | 0.0044736257 | 1.0022303 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.3076565E-6 | 5.8179176E-6 | 5.8179176E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.27469E-5 | 2.4933704E-5 | 2.4933704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7690834E-4 | 3.035277E-4 | 3.1352465E-4 | 1.032936 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027656353 | 0.0030313404 | 0.0030413102 | 1.0032889 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.6003578E-6 | 3.948575E-6 | 3.948575E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5430012E-5 | 1.6922364E-5 | 1.6922364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8784421E-4 | 2.0601186E-4 | 2.160098E-4 | 1.0485309 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018768552 | 0.0020583628 | 0.0020683422 | 1.0048482 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.5361826E-6 | 2.7835245E-6 | 2.7835245E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0869308E-5 | 1.1929344E-5 | 1.1929344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3232579E-4 | 1.452314E-4 | 1.452314E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013224703 | 0.0014514948 | 0.0014514948 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.2115831E-6 | 1.3314072E-6 | 1.3314072E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1924885E-6 | 5.706024E-6 | 5.706024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3216714E-5 | 6.94696E-5 | 6.94696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3198735E-4 | 6.945739E-4 | 6.945739E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Rosa Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1143165E-5 | 4.7092555E-5 | 4.7092555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7631594E-4 | 2.0181073E-4 | 2.0181073E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002144533 | 0.0024544734 | 0.0024843998 | 1.0121926 | 3.0E-5 | 0.021239553 | 0.024294283 | 0.024323555 | 1.0012048 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3865625E-5 | 2.3865625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.0227741E-4 | 1.0227741E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010983539 | 0.001244545 | 0.0012545326 | 1.008025 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01092941 | 0.012378793 | 0.012398546 | 1.0015956 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3865625E-5 | 2.3865625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.0227741E-4 | 1.0227741E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010983539 | 0.001244545 | 0.0012545326 | 1.008025 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01092941 | 0.012378793 | 0.012398546 | 1.0015956 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5158236E-5 | 1.7074872E-5 | 1.7074872E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.496225E-5 | 7.317604E-5 | 7.317604E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.906284E-4 | 8.9056604E-4 | 9.0055715E-4 | 1.0112188 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007878214 | 0.008871225 | 0.008891047 | 1.0022345 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2341918E-5 | 1.3853272E-5 | 1.3853272E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2892858E-5 | 5.9369864E-5 | 5.9369864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.437803E-4 | 7.225965E-4 | 7.325893E-4 | 1.013829 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006419184 | 0.007203306 | 0.007223162 | 1.0027565 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.061158E-6 | 1.0117279E-5 | 1.0117279E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.883296E-5 | 4.3359076E-5 | 4.3359076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.726887E-4 | 5.277742E-4 | 5.3776894E-4 | 1.0189375 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004716845 | 0.0052657463 | 0.0052856407 | 1.0037781 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.5461685E-6 | 8.400934E-6 | 8.400934E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2340322E-5 | 3.600353E-5 | 3.600353E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.936723E-4 | 4.382591E-4 | 4.4825472E-4 | 1.0228076 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003929756 | 0.004374378 | 0.0043942905 | 1.0045521 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.5023775E-6 | 6.0875172E-6 | 6.0875172E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3581404E-5 | 2.6089117E-5 | 2.6089117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8706578E-4 | 3.1759197E-4 | 3.1759197E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028669522 | 0.0031717026 | 0.0031816708 | 1.0031428 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.7351679E-6 | 4.083221E-6 | 4.083221E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6007763E-5 | 1.7499415E-5 | 1.7499415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.948771E-4 | 2.1303704E-4 | 2.1303704E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019470629 | 0.0021285734 | 0.002138552 | 1.004688 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.456366E-6 | 2.6293096E-6 | 2.6293096E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0527241E-5 | 1.1268422E-5 | 1.1268422E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2816161E-4 | 1.3718443E-4 | 1.3718443E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012808773 | 0.0013710003 | 0.0013809867 | 1.0072839 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.3245157E-6 | 2.4828141E-6 | 2.4828141E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.962172E-6 | 1.0640589E-5 | 1.0640589E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2128269E-4 | 1.2954148E-4 | 1.2954148E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012121652 | 0.001294662 | 0.001304649 | 1.007714 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.2248344E-6 | 2.3732835E-6 | 2.3732835E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.53497E-6 | 1.0171175E-5 | 1.0171175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1608207E-4 | 1.2382703E-4 | 1.2382703E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011602144 | 0.0012375824 | 0.00124757 | 1.0080702 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.1350402E-6 | 2.2761858E-6 | 2.2761858E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.150141E-6 | 9.7550455E-6 | 9.7550455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1139726E-4 | 1.1876122E-4 | 1.1876122E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011134144 | 0.0011869795 | 0.0011869795 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.9793572E-6 | 2.1087483E-6 | 2.1087483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.482932E-6 | 9.0374615E-6 | 9.0374615E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.032748E-4 | 1.10025554E-4 | 1.10025554E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010322682 | 0.0010997126 | 0.0010997126 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6951194E-6 | 1.8045981E-6 | 1.8045981E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.264777E-6 | 7.733969E-6 | 7.733969E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.844508E-5 | 9.415702E-5 | 9.415702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.840988E-4 | 9.4117294E-4 | 9.4117294E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.987207E-7 | 9.5123346E-7 | 9.5123346E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8516546E-6 | 4.0767086E-6 | 4.0767086E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6892885E-5 | 4.9632807E-5 | 4.9632807E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.688299E-4 | 4.962184E-4 | 4.962184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.8783037E-7 | 4.0529738E-7 | 4.0529738E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6621291E-6 | 1.7369877E-6 | 1.7369877E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0236233E-5 | 2.1147627E-5 | 2.1147627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.023439E-4 | 2.1145679E-4 | 2.1145679E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.181804E-8 | 6.339095E-8 | 6.339095E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6493444E-7 | 2.7167548E-7 | 2.7167548E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225572E-6 | 3.307644E-6 | 3.307644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225525E-5 | 3.3075954E-5 | 3.3075954E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.3704449E-9 | 1.3964208E-9 | 1.3964208E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.873335E-9 | 5.9846608E-9 | 5.9846608E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507856E-8 | 7.2863244E-8 | 7.2863244E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507833E-7 | 7.2863224E-7 | 7.2863224E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Newport-Inglewood alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9668912E-5 | 3.0405881E-5 | 4.0405575E-5 | 1.3288738 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.3030715E-4 | 1.6030324E-4 | 1.2301953 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015858201 | 0.0016157726 | 1.0188876 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015361829 | 0.015792653 | 0.01583202 | 1.0024928 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9668912E-5 | 3.0405881E-5 | 4.0405575E-5 | 1.3288738 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.3030715E-4 | 1.6030324E-4 | 1.2301953 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015858201 | 0.0016157726 | 1.0188876 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015361829 | 0.015792653 | 0.01583202 | 1.0024928 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9668912E-5 | 3.0405881E-5 | 4.0405575E-5 | 1.3288738 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.3030715E-4 | 1.6030324E-4 | 1.2301953 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015858201 | 0.0016157726 | 1.0188876 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015361829 | 0.015792653 | 0.01583202 | 1.0024928 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.9668912E-5 | 3.0405881E-5 | 4.0405575E-5 | 1.3288738 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.3030715E-4 | 1.6030324E-4 | 1.2301953 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015858201 | 0.0016157726 | 1.0188876 | 3.0E-5 | 0.015361829 | 0.015792653 | 0.01583202 | 1.0024928 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.275942E-5 | 1.0272745E-5 | 2.0272642E-5 | 1.9734396 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4682085E-5 | 4.402533E-5 | 7.4024014E-5 | 1.6813959 | 3.0E-5 | 6.65551E-4 | 5.3588074E-4 | 5.6586467E-4 | 1.0559525 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0066356123 | 0.00534631 | 0.0053860964 | 1.0074418 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.275942E-5 | 1.0272745E-5 | 2.0272642E-5 | 1.9734396 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4682085E-5 | 4.402533E-5 | 7.4024014E-5 | 1.6813959 | 3.0E-5 | 6.65551E-4 | 5.3588074E-4 | 5.6586467E-4 | 1.0559525 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0066356123 | 0.00534631 | 0.0053860964 | 1.0074418 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1255358E-5 | 8.662081E-6 | 1.8661995E-5 | 2.154447 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8236358E-5 | 3.7122685E-5 | 6.7121575E-5 | 1.8081012 | 3.0E-5 | 5.871194E-4 | 4.5187667E-4 | 4.818631E-4 | 1.0663598 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005855706 | 0.0045097554 | 0.00453962 | 1.0066222 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0504745E-5 | 7.8999965E-6 | 1.7899918E-5 | 2.2658134 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5019555E-5 | 3.3856693E-5 | 5.3856016E-5 | 1.5907052 | 2.0E-5 | 5.4797524E-4 | 4.1212852E-4 | 4.321203E-4 | 1.0485085 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0054662596 | 0.0041137724 | 0.00413369 | 1.0048417 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0476007E-5 | 7.881377E-6 | 1.7881299E-5 | 2.2688038 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4896402E-5 | 3.37769E-5 | 5.3776224E-5 | 1.5921006 | 2.0E-5 | 5.464766E-4 | 4.111574E-4 | 4.311492E-4 | 1.0486232 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005451347 | 0.004104097 | 0.004124015 | 1.0048531 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.076797E-6 | 6.489782E-6 | 6.489782E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.889998E-5 | 2.7813057E-5 | 3.781278E-5 | 1.3595333 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7350433E-4 | 3.385717E-4 | 3.485683E-4 | 1.0295259 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004724967 | 0.0033805962 | 0.0033905625 | 1.002948 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.73795E-6 | 6.212175E-6 | 6.212175E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7447822E-5 | 2.6623338E-5 | 3.662307E-5 | 1.3756003 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5583185E-4 | 3.240912E-4 | 3.3408796E-4 | 1.0308455 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045489795 | 0.0032362172 | 0.003246185 | 1.00308 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.391299E-6 | 5.955877E-6 | 5.955877E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5962214E-5 | 2.552494E-5 | 3.5524685E-5 | 1.3917637 | 1.0E-5 | 4.37752E-4 | 3.1072207E-4 | 3.2071897E-4 | 1.0321732 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004368907 | 0.0031029058 | 0.003112875 | 1.0032128 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.796882E-6 | 5.496603E-6 | 5.496603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.341478E-5 | 2.3556659E-5 | 3.3556422E-5 | 1.4244984 | 1.0E-5 | 4.06749E-4 | 2.8676479E-4 | 2.9676192E-4 | 1.0348618 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040600533 | 0.0028639715 | 0.0028739427 | 1.0034816 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.4738833E-6 | 4.647826E-6 | 4.647826E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.774492E-5 | 1.9919102E-5 | 2.9918903E-5 | 1.5020206 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3774204E-4 | 2.4248824E-4 | 2.524858E-4 | 1.0412291 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033722918 | 0.0024222531 | 0.002432229 | 1.0041184 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.382145E-6 | 3.885766E-6 | 3.885766E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3066134E-5 | 1.6653177E-5 | 1.6653177E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8079396E-4 | 2.027337E-4 | 2.027337E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028043943 | 0.002025502 | 0.002025502 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.648244E-6 | 2.5737918E-6 | 2.5737918E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5635238E-5 | 1.103049E-5 | 1.103049E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9034238E-4 | 1.3428804E-4 | 1.3428804E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019017943 | 0.0013420794 | 0.0013420794 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.2906888E-6 | 1.5480056E-6 | 1.5480056E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.817201E-6 | 6.634293E-6 | 6.634293E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1951787E-4 | 8.07696E-5 | 8.07696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011945361 | 8.074091E-4 | 8.074091E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.0479874E-7 | 3.3975326E-7 | 3.3975326E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5919921E-6 | 1.4560846E-6 | 1.4560846E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1557047E-5 | 1.7727702E-5 | 1.7727702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1552566E-4 | 1.7726424E-4 | 1.7726424E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.16056995E-8 | 9.782997E-9 | 9.782997E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9738713E-8 | 4.1927127E-8 | 4.1927127E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0556863E-7 | 5.1046277E-7 | 5.1046277E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.05567E-6 | 5.1046277E-6 | 5.1046277E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Superstition Mtn)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.4193904E-5 | 9.600679E-5 | 1.06005835E-4 | 1.1041493 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7508775E-4 | 4.1140258E-4 | 4.3139435E-4 | 1.0485942 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033440501 | 0.0049987333 | 0.0050285836 | 1.0059716 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03294174 | 0.048827518 | 0.048865568 | 1.0007792 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.4193904E-5 | 9.600679E-5 | 1.06005835E-4 | 1.1041493 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7508775E-4 | 4.1140258E-4 | 4.3139435E-4 | 1.0485942 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0033440501 | 0.0049987333 | 0.0050285836 | 1.0059716 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03294174 | 0.048827518 | 0.048865568 | 1.0007792 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.7023593E-5 | 8.315478E-5 | 9.3153954E-5 | 1.1202477 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4436394E-4 | 3.563384E-4 | 3.7633124E-4 | 1.0561064 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002971072 | 0.0043314346 | 0.004361305 | 1.0068961 | 3.0E-5 | 0.029316625 | 0.042509668 | 0.042547967 | 1.000901 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.6940098E-5 | 8.3000145E-5 | 9.299931E-5 | 1.1204717 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4400617E-4 | 3.5567582E-4 | 3.756687E-4 | 1.056211 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002966728 | 0.0043234 | 0.0043532704 | 1.006909 | 3.0E-5 | 0.029274331 | 0.04243304 | 0.04247134 | 1.0009027 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.4171585E-5 | 7.749397E-5 | 8.7493194E-5 | 1.1290323 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3214328E-4 | 3.3208405E-4 | 3.5207742E-4 | 1.0602057 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028226813 | 0.0040372764 | 0.004067155 | 1.0074008 | 3.0E-5 | 0.02787096 | 0.039722674 | 0.039761085 | 1.000967 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.375144E-5 | 5.6431254E-5 | 6.643069E-5 | 1.1771967 | 1.0E-5 | 1.874927E-4 | 2.4183244E-4 | 2.5183003E-4 | 1.041341 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022803338 | 0.0029415104 | 0.0029614517 | 1.0067792 | 2.0E-5 | 0.022570757 | 0.029243087 | 0.02927221 | 1.0009959 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.772192E-5 | 2.5497384E-5 | 2.5497384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1880282E-4 | 1.0927004E-4 | 1.0927004E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014454646 | 0.0013295702 | 0.0013395569 | 1.0075113 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014360986 | 0.013544824 | 0.013564553 | 1.0014566 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.7124124E-5 | 2.470833E-5 | 2.470833E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1624106E-4 | 1.05888656E-4 | 1.05888656E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014143161 | 0.0012884511 | 0.0012984382 | 1.0077512 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014053487 | 0.013138371 | 0.013158107 | 1.0015023 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.5475807E-5 | 2.2173079E-5 | 2.2173079E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0917746E-4 | 9.502409E-5 | 9.502409E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001328425 | 0.0011563163 | 0.0011663047 | 1.0086381 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0132051185 | 0.011826167 | 0.0118459305 | 1.0016712 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.1162023E-5 | 1.7634069E-5 | 1.7634069E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.069123E-5 | 7.557242E-5 | 7.557242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011036064 | 9.1970956E-4 | 9.297004E-4 | 1.010863 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010981417 | 0.009450814 | 0.009470625 | 1.0020962 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.8754288E-5 | 1.6169039E-5 | 1.6169039E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037304E-5 | 6.929405E-5 | 6.929405E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.781026E-4 | 8.4333104E-4 | 8.533226E-4 | 1.0118477 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009738087 | 0.008673891 | 0.008693717 | 1.0022857 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.8678527E-5 | 1.6094182E-5 | 1.6094182E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0048376E-5 | 6.8973255E-5 | 6.8973255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7415317E-4 | 8.394283E-4 | 8.494199E-4 | 1.0119029 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009698939 | 0.008634894 | 0.008654721 | 1.0022962 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.7804578E-5 | 1.5388689E-5 | 1.5388689E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6303106E-5 | 6.594986E-5 | 6.594986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.285943E-4 | 8.026461E-4 | 8.12638E-4 | 1.0124488 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009247236 | 0.008266111 | 0.008285945 | 1.0023996 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.6583685E-5 | 1.45377235E-5 | 1.45377235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1070994E-5 | 6.230305E-5 | 6.230305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.649459E-4 | 7.5827766E-4 | 7.682701E-4 | 1.0131778 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00861587 | 0.007821431 | 0.007841275 | 1.0025371 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.6387552E-5 | 1.4402598E-5 | 1.4402598E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.023047E-5 | 6.172397E-5 | 6.172397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5472054E-4 | 7.5123226E-4 | 7.612247E-4 | 1.0133015 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008514405 | 0.007750798 | 0.007770643 | 1.0025604 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.5790754E-5 | 1.4043224E-5 | 1.4043224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.767291E-5 | 6.018387E-5 | 6.018387E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.236062E-4 | 7.324942E-4 | 7.424869E-4 | 1.013642 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008205604 | 0.00756133 | 0.007581179 | 1.002625 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.4248672E-5 | 1.3062019E-5 | 1.3062019E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.106431E-5 | 5.5978893E-5 | 5.5978893E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.432043E-4 | 6.813316E-4 | 6.913248E-4 | 1.0146672 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007407237 | 0.007043902 | 0.007063761 | 1.0028193 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.15449975E-5 | 1.0910498E-5 | 1.0910498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.947762E-5 | 4.675844E-5 | 4.675844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.022235E-4 | 5.691361E-4 | 5.791304E-4 | 1.0175605 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006005941 | 0.0059138797 | 0.0059337616 | 1.0033618 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 9.1391985E-6 | 9.520925E-6 | 9.520925E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9167408E-5 | 4.080333E-5 | 4.080333E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.767588E-4 | 4.9666787E-4 | 4.9666787E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047573727 | 0.005180316 | 0.0051902644 | 1.0019203 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 6.973017E-6 | 7.3879883E-6 | 7.3879883E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9884017E-5 | 3.1662425E-5 | 3.1662425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6377716E-4 | 3.8542238E-4 | 3.8542238E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036318225 | 0.0040550483 | 0.004065008 | 1.0024561 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 5.7638235E-6 | 6.2652807E-6 | 6.2652807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4701867E-5 | 2.685093E-5 | 2.685093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0070372E-4 | 3.2686154E-4 | 3.2686154E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030029714 | 0.0034563905 | 0.0034663558 | 1.0028832 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 5.1124434E-6 | 5.500487E-6 | 5.500487E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1910288E-5 | 2.3573306E-5 | 2.3573306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6672508E-4 | 2.8696767E-4 | 2.8696767E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026640517 | 0.0030429822 | 0.0030529518 | 1.0032762 | 1.0E-5 |
8.2 | 1.1075938E-6 | 5.34239E-7 | 5.34239E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7468216E-6 | 2.2895938E-6 | 2.2895938E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.779102E-5 | 2.7875469E-5 | 2.7875469E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.777599E-4 | 3.137892E-4 | 3.137892E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.3584393E-8 | 4.4787187E-9 | 4.4787187E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8218827E-8 | 1.9194509E-8 | 1.9194509E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0881396E-7 | 2.3369316E-7 | 2.3369316E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0881174E-6 | 2.6199132E-6 | 2.6199132E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ortigalita (North)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.711876E-5 | 1.05061335E-4 | 1.05061335E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3046713E-4 | 4.5019208E-4 | 4.5019208E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004016016 | 0.0054684305 | 0.005478376 | 1.0018187 | 1.0E-5 | 0.039442103 | 0.053459167 | 0.053497028 | 1.0007082 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.607858E-5 | 6.0243863E-5 | 6.0243863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.581637E-4 | 2.581637E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024014818 | 0.003138932 | 0.0031489006 | 1.0031759 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023756953 | 0.030977193 | 0.031006265 | 1.0009384 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.607858E-5 | 6.0243863E-5 | 6.0243863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.581637E-4 | 2.581637E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024014818 | 0.003138932 | 0.0031489006 | 1.0031759 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023756953 | 0.030977193 | 0.031006265 | 1.0009384 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.327423E-5 | 4.247865E-5 | 4.247865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4259605E-4 | 1.820402E-4 | 1.820402E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017347244 | 0.0022143337 | 0.0022243117 | 1.004506 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017212452 | 0.021946985 | 0.021966547 | 1.0008913 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7732503E-5 | 3.5000983E-5 | 3.5000983E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1884817E-4 | 1.4999688E-4 | 1.4999688E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001446016 | 0.0018249168 | 0.0018348986 | 1.0054697 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014366428 | 0.01812229 | 0.018141927 | 1.0010836 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7689714E-5 | 3.4950797E-5 | 3.4950797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.186648E-4 | 1.4978182E-4 | 1.4978182E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014437864 | 0.0018223028 | 0.0018322845 | 1.0054775 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014344421 | 0.018096576 | 0.018116213 | 1.0010852 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2976905E-5 | 2.8719844E-5 | 2.8719844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.846873E-5 | 1.2308064E-4 | 1.2308064E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011981975 | 0.001497715 | 0.0015077001 | 1.0066668 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011917574 | 0.014899525 | 0.014919227 | 1.0013223 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9871539E-5 | 2.4906E-5 | 2.4906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.516096E-5 | 1.0673703E-4 | 1.0673703E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010363415 | 0.0012989907 | 0.0013089776 | 1.0076883 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010315218 | 0.012937638 | 0.012947508 | 1.0007629 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.5640475E-6 | 7.6057445E-6 | 7.6057445E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.813133E-5 | 3.2595657E-5 | 3.2595657E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.424451E-4 | 3.967827E-4 | 3.967827E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034191788 | 0.00396103 | 0.00396103 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.6219683E-6 | 6.50205E-6 | 6.50205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4093928E-5 | 2.7865646E-5 | 2.7865646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.933041E-4 | 3.39214E-4 | 3.39214E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029291727 | 0.0033872193 | 0.0033872193 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.875591E-6 | 4.484902E-6 | 4.484902E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6609569E-5 | 1.9220879E-5 | 1.9220879E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0220275E-4 | 2.3399119E-4 | 2.3399119E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020201886 | 0.0023376564 | 0.0023376564 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.6017933E-6 | 1.8571035E-6 | 1.8571035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8648105E-6 | 7.958996E-6 | 7.958996E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.357586E-5 | 9.6897544E-5 | 9.6897544E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3544437E-4 | 9.6865767E-4 | 9.6865767E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Whittier alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.725419E-5 | 4.725419E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0250403E-4 | 2.0250403E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024630208 | 0.0024729962 | 1.00405 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02196019 | 0.024391243 | 0.024420511 | 1.0012 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.725419E-5 | 4.725419E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0250403E-4 | 2.0250403E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024630208 | 0.0024729962 | 1.00405 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02196019 | 0.024391243 | 0.024420511 | 1.0012 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.725419E-5 | 4.725419E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0250403E-4 | 2.0250403E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002218027 | 0.0024630208 | 0.0024729962 | 1.00405 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02196019 | 0.024391243 | 0.024420511 | 1.0012 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9617712E-5 | 1.8269577E-5 | 1.8269577E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.40732E-5 | 7.829594E-5 | 7.829594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010231105 | 9.528552E-4 | 9.628457E-4 | 1.0104848 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01018413 | 0.009490957 | 0.009510767 | 1.0020872 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5611336E-5 | 1.36051E-5 | 1.36051E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.690401E-5 | 5.83063E-5 | 5.83063E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.142519E-4 | 7.09654E-4 | 7.196469E-4 | 1.0140814 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008112748 | 0.0070758155 | 0.0070956736 | 1.0028065 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5150166E-5 | 1.3101744E-5 | 1.3101744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.492767E-5 | 5.6149158E-5 | 5.6149158E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9020765E-4 | 6.834075E-4 | 6.834075E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007874036 | 0.0068149804 | 0.006824912 | 1.0014573 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.295588E-5 | 1.0381392E-5 | 1.0381392E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.552402E-5 | 4.4490935E-5 | 4.4490935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7579525E-4 | 5.415444E-4 | 5.415444E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006737438 | 0.0054037785 | 0.005413724 | 1.0018406 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2542085E-5 | 9.900019E-6 | 9.900019E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3750682E-5 | 4.2427975E-5 | 4.2427975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.542181E-4 | 5.1644E-4 | 5.1644E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006522954 | 0.0051538968 | 0.005163845 | 1.0019302 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2195878E-5 | 9.496038E-6 | 9.496038E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2267E-5 | 4.0696683E-5 | 4.0696683E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.36165E-4 | 4.953713E-4 | 4.953713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063434686 | 0.0049441066 | 0.0049540573 | 1.0020126 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1580298E-5 | 8.773514E-6 | 8.773514E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9628903E-5 | 3.7600243E-5 | 3.7600243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.040644E-4 | 4.5768844E-4 | 4.5768844E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00602425 | 0.004568779 | 0.004578733 | 1.0021788 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0964795E-5 | 8.084532E-6 | 8.084532E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6991136E-5 | 3.4647543E-5 | 3.4647543E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7196687E-4 | 4.2175374E-4 | 4.2175374E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057049696 | 0.004210861 | 0.004220819 | 1.0023648 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0230601E-5 | 7.3270644E-6 | 7.3270644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3844695E-5 | 3.1401334E-5 | 3.1401334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.336784E-4 | 3.8224546E-4 | 3.8224546E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005323986 | 0.0038170721 | 0.003827034 | 1.0026098 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.40865E-6 | 6.5436275E-6 | 6.5436275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.032216E-5 | 2.8043822E-5 | 2.8043822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.908117E-4 | 3.4138127E-4 | 3.4138127E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048972913 | 0.0034096763 | 0.003419642 | 1.0029228 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.237384E-6 | 5.59803E-6 | 5.59803E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5302593E-5 | 2.399134E-5 | 2.399134E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2972428E-4 | 2.9205647E-4 | 2.9205647E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042889426 | 0.0029170616 | 0.0029270323 | 1.0034181 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.5316966E-6 | 5.028062E-6 | 5.028062E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2278298E-5 | 2.1548665E-5 | 2.1548665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9291743E-4 | 2.623244E-4 | 2.623244E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039222343 | 0.0026202612 | 0.002630235 | 1.0038065 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.149649E-6 | 3.9340284E-6 | 3.9340284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6355372E-5 | 1.6860018E-5 | 1.6860018E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.208294E-4 | 2.0525229E-4 | 2.0525229E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003203666 | 0.0020507164 | 0.0020606958 | 1.0048664 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.457711E-6 | 3.3955253E-6 | 3.3955253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.338998E-5 | 1.4552174E-5 | 1.4552174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8473578E-4 | 1.7715913E-4 | 1.7715913E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028437122 | 0.0017702598 | 0.0017802422 | 1.0056388 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.1676276E-6 | 2.3332907E-6 | 2.3332907E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7861139E-5 | 9.999782E-6 | 9.999782E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1743766E-4 | 1.21741294E-4 | 1.21741294E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021722503 | 0.001216819 | 0.0012268069 | 1.0082082 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.385222E-8 | 9.385222E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0222375E-7 | 4.0222375E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.8970664E-6 | 4.8970664E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.8969912E-5 | 4.8969912E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.43986E-9 | 3.43986E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4742258E-8 | 1.4742258E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7948697E-7 | 1.7948697E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7948685E-6 | 1.7948685E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Borrego)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.543992E-5 | 2.7937607E-5 | 2.7937607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5187653E-4 | 1.1972718E-4 | 1.1972718E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018475284 | 0.0014567159 | 0.0014667014 | 1.0068548 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018322436 | 0.014873888 | 0.0149132935 | 1.0026493 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.542281E-5 | 2.7937607E-5 | 2.7937607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5180321E-4 | 1.1972718E-4 | 1.1972718E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018466372 | 0.0014567159 | 0.0014667014 | 1.0068548 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018313672 | 0.014873888 | 0.0149132935 | 1.0026493 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.4688688E-5 | 2.7937607E-5 | 2.7937607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4865733E-4 | 1.1972718E-4 | 1.1972718E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018084005 | 0.0014567159 | 0.0014667014 | 1.0068548 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017937548 | 0.014873888 | 0.0149132935 | 1.0026493 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2087122E-5 | 2.7782957E-5 | 2.7782957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3750899E-4 | 1.1906445E-4 | 1.1906445E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016728862 | 0.001448658 | 0.0014586435 | 1.0068929 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016603488 | 0.014795046 | 0.014834454 | 1.0026636 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.1828724E-5 | 2.7749933E-5 | 2.7749933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.364017E-4 | 1.1892294E-4 | 1.1892294E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016594254 | 0.0014469373 | 0.0014569229 | 1.0069011 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016470885 | 0.01477824 | 0.014817649 | 1.0026667 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.1563577E-5 | 2.7489612E-5 | 2.7489612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3526545E-4 | 1.1780737E-4 | 1.1780737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016456128 | 0.0014333733 | 0.001443359 | 1.0069666 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0163348 | 0.01464565 | 0.014685065 | 1.0026911 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1467625E-5 | 2.7333826E-5 | 2.7333826E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3485427E-4 | 1.17139774E-4 | 1.17139774E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016406142 | 0.0014252559 | 0.0014352417 | 1.0070063 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016285548 | 0.014565809 | 0.014605227 | 1.0027062 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.1223695E-5 | 2.6951804E-5 | 2.6951804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3380898E-4 | 1.1550269E-4 | 1.1550269E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016279068 | 0.0014053503 | 0.0014153362 | 1.0071057 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01616033 | 0.0143702505 | 0.014409675 | 1.0027435 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.1015585E-5 | 2.677279E-5 | 2.677279E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3291716E-4 | 1.1473555E-4 | 1.1473555E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001617065 | 0.0013960223 | 0.0014060084 | 1.0071532 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016053487 | 0.014277506 | 0.014316935 | 1.0027616 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.6641965E-5 | 2.2194423E-5 | 2.2194423E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1417485E-4 | 9.511551E-5 | 9.511551E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013891924 | 0.00115742 | 0.0011674084 | 1.0086299 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0138054015 | 0.011887621 | 0.0119271455 | 1.0033249 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.3854353E-5 | 2.0488842E-5 | 2.0488842E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.02228936E-4 | 8.780638E-5 | 8.780638E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012439266 | 0.0010685209 | 0.0010785103 | 1.0093488 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012369866 | 0.0109878965 | 0.011027457 | 1.0036004 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.3672901E-5 | 2.0325326E-5 | 2.0325326E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0145135E-4 | 8.710565E-5 | 8.710565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012344702 | 0.0010599978 | 0.0010699872 | 1.009424 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0122763505 | 0.010903111 | 0.010942674 | 1.0036287 | 4.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.2717244E-5 | 1.9552634E-5 | 1.9552634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.735599E-5 | 8.379432E-5 | 8.379432E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011846646 | 0.0010197207 | 0.0010297105 | 1.0097966 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01178369 | 0.010500373 | 0.010539954 | 1.0037694 | 4.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.1016205E-5 | 1.8394156E-5 | 1.8394156E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.006634E-5 | 7.882972E-5 | 7.882972E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001096006 | 9.5933134E-4 | 9.6932176E-4 | 1.0104139 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010906163 | 0.009896015 | 0.009935619 | 1.004002 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0683625E-5 | 1.8196655E-5 | 1.8196655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.86411E-5 | 7.798335E-5 | 7.798335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001078671 | 9.4903575E-4 | 9.590263E-4 | 1.010527 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010734501 | 0.00979272 | 0.009832328 | 1.0040447 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.9993966E-5 | 1.7791614E-5 | 1.7791614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.568561E-5 | 7.6247554E-5 | 7.6247554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001042723 | 9.279206E-4 | 9.379114E-4 | 1.0107667 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010378438 | 0.009579609 | 0.009619226 | 1.0041355 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.788966E-5 | 1.64446E-5 | 1.64446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.666772E-5 | 7.047496E-5 | 7.047496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3302975E-4 | 8.5769664E-4 | 8.6768804E-4 | 1.0116491 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00929122 | 0.008871486 | 0.008911132 | 1.0044688 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.5125781E-5 | 1.424641E-5 | 1.424641E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4823165E-5 | 6.105462E-5 | 6.105462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.889362E-4 | 7.4308726E-4 | 7.5307983E-4 | 1.0134474 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007861412 | 0.007719164 | 0.007758855 | 1.0051419 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.250089E-5 | 1.26392615E-5 | 1.26392615E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3574146E-5 | 5.416714E-5 | 5.416714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5207E-4 | 6.5928604E-4 | 6.5928604E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006501599 | 0.0068726665 | 0.0069024605 | 1.0043352 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 9.561E-6 | 9.7623015E-6 | 9.7623015E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0975072E-5 | 4.1837768E-5 | 4.1837768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.987573E-4 | 5.092563E-4 | 5.092563E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049763937 | 0.005356682 | 0.005376575 | 1.0037136 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 8.01699E-6 | 8.30047E-6 | 8.30047E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4358076E-5 | 3.5572957E-5 | 3.5572957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1822926E-4 | 4.3301523E-4 | 4.3301523E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041744304 | 0.0045773094 | 0.004597218 | 1.0043494 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 6.541947E-6 | 6.4678825E-6 | 6.4678825E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8036617E-5 | 2.7719205E-5 | 2.7719205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4129233E-4 | 3.3742958E-4 | 3.3742958E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034076865 | 0.0035838904 | 0.0036038188 | 1.0055605 | 2.0E-5 |
8.2 | 1.7968189E-6 | 7.9801725E-7 | 7.9801725E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70063E-6 | 3.4200696E-6 | 3.4200696E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3751136E-5 | 4.1638574E-5 | 4.1638574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.371159E-4 | 4.7171253E-4 | 4.7171253E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.5167889E-7 | 4.90353E-8 | 4.90353E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.500522E-7 | 2.1015127E-7 | 2.1015127E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9143565E-6 | 2.5585891E-6 | 2.5585891E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.914075E-5 | 2.9729585E-5 | 2.9729585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Tin Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1815574E-6 | 4.1815574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7920858E-5 | 1.7920858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1816834E-4 | 2.2816616E-4 | 1.0458262 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021799072 | 0.0022198202 | 1.0183094 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1815574E-6 | 4.1815574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7920858E-5 | 1.7920858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1816834E-4 | 2.2816616E-4 | 1.0458262 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021799072 | 0.0022198202 | 1.0183094 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1815574E-6 | 4.1815574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7920858E-5 | 1.7920858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1816834E-4 | 2.2816616E-4 | 1.0458262 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021799072 | 0.0022198202 | 1.0183094 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1815574E-6 | 4.1815574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7920858E-5 | 1.7920858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1816834E-4 | 2.2816616E-4 | 1.0458262 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021799072 | 0.0022198202 | 1.0183094 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.1815574E-6 | 4.1815574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7920858E-5 | 1.7920858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1816834E-4 | 2.2816616E-4 | 1.0458262 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021285915 | 0.0021799072 | 0.0022198202 | 1.0183094 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3143427E-6 | 2.3731698E-6 | 2.3731698E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9185745E-6 | 1.0170693E-5 | 1.0170693E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2075195E-4 | 1.2382191E-4 | 1.2382191E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012068636 | 0.0012376052 | 0.0012475929 | 1.0080701 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3143427E-6 | 2.3731698E-6 | 2.3731698E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9185745E-6 | 1.0170693E-5 | 1.0170693E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2075195E-4 | 1.2382191E-4 | 1.2382191E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012068636 | 0.0012376052 | 0.0012475929 | 1.0080701 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7029532E-6 | 1.7498015E-6 | 1.7498015E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2983503E-6 | 7.4991312E-6 | 7.4991312E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.885379E-5 | 9.129863E-5 | 9.129863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.881827E-4 | 9.126639E-4 | 9.2265476E-4 | 1.010947 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2914646E-6 | 1.3299461E-6 | 1.3299461E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.534837E-6 | 5.699759E-6 | 5.699759E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.738455E-5 | 6.93928E-5 | 6.93928E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.736412E-4 | 6.937547E-4 | 6.937547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.8708974E-7 | 6.117047E-7 | 6.117047E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5160964E-6 | 2.6215894E-6 | 2.6215894E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0633044E-5 | 3.1917425E-5 | 3.1917425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0628822E-4 | 3.191325E-4 | 3.191325E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.6248786E-7 | 4.8320607E-7 | 4.8320607E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9820893E-6 | 2.0708817E-6 | 2.0708817E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.413167E-5 | 2.521273E-5 | 2.521273E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.412905E-4 | 2.5210239E-4 | 2.5210239E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.804606E-7 | 3.987187E-7 | 3.987187E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6305444E-6 | 1.7087934E-6 | 1.7087934E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9851697E-5 | 2.0804397E-5 | 2.0804397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9849923E-4 | 2.0802785E-4 | 2.0802785E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.5864858E-7 | 3.7617247E-7 | 3.7617247E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5370645E-6 | 1.6121669E-6 | 1.6121669E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.87136E-5 | 1.9627989E-5 | 1.9627989E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8712023E-4 | 1.9626587E-4 | 1.9626587E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.342063E-7 | 3.5063832E-7 | 3.5063832E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4323119E-6 | 1.5027349E-6 | 1.5027349E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7438259E-5 | 1.8295677E-5 | 1.8295677E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.743689E-4 | 1.8294502E-4 | 1.8294502E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.971242E-7 | 3.1166135E-7 | 3.1166135E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2733886E-6 | 1.3356911E-6 | 1.3356911E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5503398E-5 | 1.626195E-5 | 1.626195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5502315E-4 | 1.6261089E-4 | 1.6261089E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4326713E-7 | 1.5012674E-7 | 1.5012674E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.140018E-7 | 6.434003E-7 | 6.434003E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4754466E-6 | 7.833399E-6 | 7.833399E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.475195E-5 | 7.8333986E-5 | 7.8333986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Cayetano
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169705E-5 | 1.8169705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786786E-5 | 7.786786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4763254E-4 | 9.4763254E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012175002 | 0.009436973 | 0.0094765965 | 1.0041987 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169705E-5 | 1.8169705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786786E-5 | 7.786786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4763254E-4 | 9.4763254E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012175002 | 0.009436973 | 0.0094765965 | 1.0041987 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169705E-5 | 1.8169705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786786E-5 | 7.786786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4763254E-4 | 9.4763254E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012175002 | 0.009436973 | 0.0094765965 | 1.0041987 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169705E-5 | 1.8169705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786786E-5 | 7.786786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4763254E-4 | 9.4763254E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012175002 | 0.009436973 | 0.0094765965 | 1.0041987 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169705E-5 | 1.8169705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786786E-5 | 7.786786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4763254E-4 | 9.4763254E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012175002 | 0.009436973 | 0.0094765965 | 1.0041987 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169705E-5 | 1.8169705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786786E-5 | 7.786786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4763254E-4 | 9.4763254E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012175002 | 0.009436973 | 0.0094765965 | 1.0041987 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169705E-5 | 1.8169705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786786E-5 | 7.786786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4763254E-4 | 9.4763254E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012175002 | 0.009436973 | 0.0094765965 | 1.0041987 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8169705E-5 | 1.8169705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.786786E-5 | 7.786786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012242225 | 9.4763254E-4 | 9.4763254E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012175002 | 0.009436973 | 0.0094765965 | 1.0041987 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.3241924E-5 | 1.7937427E-5 | 1.7937427E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.960445E-5 | 7.687245E-5 | 7.687245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012120095 | 9.355238E-4 | 9.355238E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012054204 | 0.00931665 | 0.009356277 | 1.0042534 | 4.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2761007E-5 | 1.743285E-5 | 1.743285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7543525E-5 | 7.471009E-5 | 7.471009E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011869454 | 9.0921926E-4 | 9.0921926E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011806256 | 0.0090557635 | 0.0090954015 | 1.0043771 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.240283E-5 | 1.7066597E-5 | 1.7066597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.600859E-5 | 7.314052E-5 | 7.314052E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011682777 | 8.901255E-4 | 8.901255E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011621549 | 0.008866356 | 0.008906 | 1.0044714 | 4.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.1871154E-5 | 1.658647E-5 | 1.658647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.373015E-5 | 7.1082955E-5 | 7.1082955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011405671 | 8.650947E-4 | 8.650947E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011347309 | 0.008618011 | 0.008647752 | 1.0034511 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0714133E-5 | 1.5564987E-5 | 1.5564987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8771834E-5 | 6.67054E-5 | 6.67054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010802611 | 8.118389E-4 | 8.118389E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010750249 | 0.008089445 | 0.008109283 | 1.0024524 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.8408395E-5 | 1.3997194E-5 | 1.3997194E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8890735E-5 | 5.9986614E-5 | 5.9986614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.600714E-4 | 7.3009526E-4 | 7.3009526E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009559342 | 0.0072776377 | 0.007297492 | 1.0027281 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.6856795E-5 | 1.2850365E-5 | 1.2850365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2241404E-5 | 5.5071847E-5 | 5.5071847E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7918417E-4 | 6.702963E-4 | 6.702963E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00875714 | 0.006683365 | 0.0067032315 | 1.0029725 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2822778E-5 | 9.577654E-6 | 9.577654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.495361E-5 | 4.1046453E-5 | 4.1046453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.688548E-4 | 4.9962755E-4 | 4.9962755E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006668452 | 0.0049852324 | 0.0050051324 | 1.0039918 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.6272684E-6 | 3.855001E-6 | 3.855001E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4116642E-5 | 1.6521328E-5 | 1.6521328E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9358055E-4 | 2.0112871E-4 | 2.0112871E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029319301 | 0.0020094777 | 0.0020194575 | 1.0049664 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.5261346E-6 | 2.3407677E-6 | 2.3407677E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5111918E-5 | 1.0031824E-5 | 1.0031824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8397206E-4 | 1.2213067E-4 | 1.2213067E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018381984 | 0.0012206429 | 0.0012206429 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.4826929E-6 | 1.0564668E-6 | 1.0564668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.354383E-6 | 4.527707E-6 | 4.527707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.736187E-5 | 5.512346E-5 | 5.512346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.733494E-4 | 5.510999E-4 | 5.510999E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.7568166E-7 | 1.6978653E-7 | 1.6978653E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1814923E-6 | 7.2765636E-7 | 7.2765636E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4384574E-5 | 8.8591805E-6 | 8.8591805E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4383643E-4 | 8.858831E-5 | 8.858831E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.407832E-8 | 2.6889062E-8 | 2.6889062E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3176422E-7 | 1.15238834E-7 | 1.15238834E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8217257E-6 | 1.4030319E-6 | 1.4030319E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8216898E-5 | 1.40302345E-5 | 1.40302345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Stepovers Combined)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.144392E-5 | 1.9761661E-5 | 2.9761464E-5 | 1.5060203 | 1.0E-5 | 9.189928E-5 | 8.469015E-5 | 9.468931E-5 | 1.1180675 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011182994 | 0.0010306343 | 0.0010506137 | 1.0193856 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011126885 | 0.010264948 | 0.010304538 | 1.0038568 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.144392E-5 | 1.9761661E-5 | 2.9761464E-5 | 1.5060203 | 1.0E-5 | 9.189928E-5 | 8.469015E-5 | 9.468931E-5 | 1.1180675 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011182994 | 0.0010306343 | 0.0010506137 | 1.0193856 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011126885 | 0.010264948 | 0.010304538 | 1.0038568 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.144392E-5 | 1.9761661E-5 | 2.9761464E-5 | 1.5060203 | 1.0E-5 | 9.189928E-5 | 8.469015E-5 | 9.468931E-5 | 1.1180675 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011182994 | 0.0010306343 | 0.0010506137 | 1.0193856 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011126885 | 0.010264948 | 0.010304538 | 1.0038568 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.7742836E-5 | 1.7742836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4646774E-5 | 7.6038545E-5 | 7.6038545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010300872 | 9.253905E-4 | 9.353813E-4 | 1.0107962 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010253254 | 0.009221264 | 0.009250987 | 1.0032233 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.7742836E-5 | 1.7742836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4646774E-5 | 7.6038545E-5 | 7.6038545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010300872 | 9.253905E-4 | 9.353813E-4 | 1.0107962 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010253254 | 0.009221264 | 0.009250987 | 1.0032233 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.7742836E-5 | 1.7742836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4646774E-5 | 7.6038545E-5 | 7.6038545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010300872 | 9.253905E-4 | 9.353813E-4 | 1.0107962 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010253254 | 0.009221264 | 0.009250987 | 1.0032233 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.9188685E-5 | 1.7004708E-5 | 1.7004708E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2234634E-5 | 7.287538E-5 | 7.287538E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010007467 | 8.8691275E-4 | 8.9690386E-4 | 1.011265 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00996252 | 0.008839812 | 0.008869546 | 1.0033637 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7608272E-5 | 1.4733714E-5 | 1.4733714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.546184E-5 | 6.3143016E-5 | 6.3143016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.183606E-4 | 7.6850486E-4 | 7.7849714E-4 | 1.0130023 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009145746 | 0.0076648733 | 0.00768472 | 1.0025893 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.697165E-5 | 1.3784356E-5 | 1.3784356E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.273361E-5 | 5.9074522E-5 | 5.9074522E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8517193E-4 | 7.1900367E-4 | 7.2899647E-4 | 1.0138981 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008816543 | 0.007172671 | 0.0071925274 | 1.0027684 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.600365E-5 | 1.2847609E-5 | 1.2847609E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.858527E-5 | 5.5060063E-5 | 5.5060063E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.347058E-4 | 6.7015784E-4 | 6.8015116E-4 | 1.0149119 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008315775 | 0.0066868584 | 0.0067067244 | 1.0029709 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3314581E-5 | 1.0448295E-5 | 1.0448295E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7061243E-5 | 4.4777655E-5 | 4.4777655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.944992E-4 | 5.450343E-4 | 5.450343E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006923327 | 0.005440622 | 0.0054505677 | 1.0018281 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2865345E-5 | 9.938142E-6 | 9.938142E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5136024E-5 | 4.2591357E-5 | 4.2591357E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.710743E-4 | 5.18429E-4 | 5.18429E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066905143 | 0.005175369 | 0.0051853172 | 1.0019222 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1650051E-5 | 8.634271E-6 | 8.634271E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9927836E-5 | 3.7003505E-5 | 3.7003505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0770183E-4 | 4.504263E-4 | 4.504263E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060604266 | 0.0044965595 | 0.0045065144 | 1.002214 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.0008533E-5 | 7.2014072E-6 | 7.2014072E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2893007E-5 | 3.086282E-5 | 3.086282E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.220972E-4 | 3.7569145E-4 | 3.7569145E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005208723 | 0.0037509778 | 0.0037609402 | 1.002656 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.116759E-6 | 6.410374E-6 | 6.410374E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.907124E-5 | 2.747275E-5 | 2.747275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7558855E-4 | 3.3443078E-4 | 3.3443078E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00474572 | 0.0033394294 | 0.003349396 | 1.0029845 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.870524E-6 | 5.3827844E-6 | 5.3827844E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3730383E-5 | 2.306888E-5 | 2.306888E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1059E-4 | 2.8082868E-4 | 2.8082868E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040983222 | 0.0028048647 | 0.0028148366 | 1.0035552 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.9774537E-6 | 4.6778146E-6 | 4.6778146E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.990303E-5 | 2.004763E-5 | 2.004763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.640086E-4 | 2.4405372E-4 | 2.4405372E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003634129 | 0.0024379732 | 0.0024479488 | 1.0040917 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.1616954E-6 | 2.3284354E-6 | 2.3284354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7835715E-5 | 9.978974E-6 | 9.978974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.171282E-4 | 1.2148798E-4 | 1.2148798E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021691616 | 0.0012142888 | 0.0012242766 | 1.0082253 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.385222E-8 | 9.385222E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0222375E-7 | 4.0222375E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.8970664E-6 | 4.8970664E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.8969912E-5 | 4.8969912E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.43986E-9 | 3.43986E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4742258E-8 | 1.4742258E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7948697E-7 | 1.7948697E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7948685E-6 | 1.7948685E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3784705E-5 | 4.378437E-5 | 1.2959819 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4478425E-4 | 1.547828E-4 | 1.0690583 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017614437 | 0.0017814084 | 1.0113343 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.017487155 | 0.017526455 | 1.0022475 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3784705E-5 | 4.378437E-5 | 1.2959819 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4478425E-4 | 1.547828E-4 | 1.0690583 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017614437 | 0.0017814084 | 1.0113343 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.017487155 | 0.017526455 | 1.0022475 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3784705E-5 | 4.378437E-5 | 1.2959819 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4478425E-4 | 1.547828E-4 | 1.0690583 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017614437 | 0.0017814084 | 1.0113343 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.017487155 | 0.017526455 | 1.0022475 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.5916408E-5 | 1.5916408E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.821148E-5 | 6.821148E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.3017256E-4 | 8.3017256E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009254395 | 0.008272172 | 0.008292006 | 1.0023978 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.5916408E-5 | 1.5916408E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.821148E-5 | 6.821148E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.3017256E-4 | 8.3017256E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009254395 | 0.008272172 | 0.008292006 | 1.0023978 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3397557E-5 | 1.1336547E-5 | 1.1336547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.741684E-5 | 4.8584334E-5 | 4.8584334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.988258E-4 | 5.913607E-4 | 5.913607E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006966323 | 0.005898576 | 0.005908517 | 1.0016854 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0818695E-5 | 8.625564E-6 | 8.625564E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6365014E-5 | 3.6966205E-5 | 3.6966205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6434784E-4 | 4.4997496E-4 | 4.4997496E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005629168 | 0.004491075 | 0.004491075 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.067908E-6 | 6.8025797E-6 | 6.8025797E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8861883E-5 | 2.9153605E-5 | 2.9153605E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7304068E-4 | 3.548905E-4 | 3.548905E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00472035 | 0.003543555 | 0.003543555 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.295947E-6 | 4.9365044E-6 | 4.9365044E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.126797E-5 | 2.1156282E-5 | 2.1156282E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8062103E-4 | 2.575484E-4 | 2.575484E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037996976 | 0.0025726124 | 0.0025726124 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.2243444E-6 | 3.8323165E-6 | 3.8323165E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6675489E-5 | 1.6424114E-5 | 1.6424114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2472567E-4 | 1.9994576E-4 | 1.9994576E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032425157 | 0.0019977114 | 0.0019977114 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.9878413E-6 | 2.6796183E-6 | 2.6796183E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1376287E-5 | 1.1484029E-5 | 1.1484029E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.602252E-4 | 1.3980934E-4 | 1.3980934E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002599207 | 0.0013972401 | 0.0013972401 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.0252844E-6 | 1.8857542E-6 | 1.8857542E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7251105E-5 | 8.081779E-6 | 8.081779E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1001195E-4 | 9.839135E-5 | 9.839135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020981359 | 9.834907E-4 | 9.834907E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.3284066E-6 | 1.2819427E-6 | 1.2819427E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4264522E-5 | 5.494029E-6 | 5.494029E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.736567E-4 | 6.688786E-5 | 6.688786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017352107 | 6.686873E-4 | 6.686873E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.458226E-6 | 6.0571534E-7 | 6.0571534E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0535211E-5 | 2.5959205E-6 | 2.5959205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2825865E-4 | 3.160491E-5 | 3.160491E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012818464 | 3.1600794E-4 | 3.1600794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.965953E-6 | 3.1088774E-7 | 3.1088774E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.425486E-6 | 1.3323754E-6 | 1.3323754E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0257547E-4 | 1.6221551E-5 | 1.6221551E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010252813 | 1.622038E-4 | 1.622038E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2014192E-6 | 1.8243875E-7 | 1.8243875E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.148929E-6 | 7.818801E-7 | 7.818801E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2686406E-5 | 9.51935E-6 | 9.51935E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.266873E-4 | 9.51895E-5 | 9.51895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.5612175E-7 | 4.8945257E-8 | 4.8945257E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0976642E-6 | 2.0976537E-7 | 2.0976537E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363979E-5 | 2.553891E-6 | 2.553891E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363175E-4 | 2.5538651E-5 | 2.5538651E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Channel Islands Thrust
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092464E-5 | 2.4092464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03249935E-4 | 1.132489E-4 | 1.0968424 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564495 | 0.0012864119 | 1.0238467 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012504049 | 0.012533674 | 1.0023692 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092464E-5 | 2.4092464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03249935E-4 | 1.132489E-4 | 1.0968424 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564495 | 0.0012864119 | 1.0238467 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012504049 | 0.012533674 | 1.0023692 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092464E-5 | 2.4092464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03249935E-4 | 1.132489E-4 | 1.0968424 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564495 | 0.0012864119 | 1.0238467 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012504049 | 0.012533674 | 1.0023692 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092464E-5 | 2.4092464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03249935E-4 | 1.132489E-4 | 1.0968424 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564495 | 0.0012864119 | 1.0238467 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012504049 | 0.012533674 | 1.0023692 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092464E-5 | 2.4092464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03249935E-4 | 1.132489E-4 | 1.0968424 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564495 | 0.0012864119 | 1.0238467 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012504049 | 0.012533674 | 1.0023692 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092464E-5 | 2.4092464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03249935E-4 | 1.132489E-4 | 1.0968424 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564495 | 0.0012864119 | 1.0238467 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012504049 | 0.012533674 | 1.0023692 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4092464E-5 | 2.4092464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03249935E-4 | 1.132489E-4 | 1.0968424 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564495 | 0.0012864119 | 1.0238467 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012504049 | 0.012533674 | 1.0023692 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0601296E-5 | 1.13797205E-5 | 1.13797205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5433335E-5 | 4.8769347E-5 | 5.876886E-5 | 1.2050369 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5301044E-4 | 5.936099E-4 | 6.0360396E-4 | 1.016836 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005516363 | 0.005920745 | 0.005930686 | 1.001679 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0246747E-5 | 1.0996839E-5 | 1.0996839E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.391389E-5 | 4.7128484E-5 | 5.7128014E-5 | 1.2121758 | 1.0E-5 | 5.345204E-4 | 5.73643E-4 | 5.836373E-4 | 1.0174224 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053323656 | 0.005722113 | 0.0057320558 | 1.0017376 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.049551E-6 | 9.699792E-6 | 9.699792E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.878322E-5 | 4.1569896E-5 | 5.156948E-5 | 1.2405487 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7208337E-4 | 5.0600007E-4 | 5.15995E-4 | 1.0197529 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047108172 | 0.005048897 | 0.0050588464 | 1.0019706 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.6542195E-6 | 9.274744E-6 | 9.274744E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7088983E-5 | 3.974832E-5 | 4.9747923E-5 | 1.251573 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5146482E-4 | 4.838324E-4 | 4.9382757E-4 | 1.0206583 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004505487 | 0.0048282025 | 0.004838154 | 1.0020611 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.391028E-6 | 8.993062E-6 | 8.993062E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5961057E-5 | 3.8541148E-5 | 4.854076E-5 | 1.2594529 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3773788E-4 | 4.691415E-4 | 4.791368E-4 | 1.0213056 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004368766 | 0.0046819216 | 0.0046918746 | 1.0021259 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.965188E-6 | 6.371788E-6 | 6.371788E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556484E-5 | 2.730738E-5 | 2.730738E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1120746E-4 | 3.3241717E-4 | 3.3241717E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00310772 | 0.0033192576 | 0.0033192576 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.877518E-6 | 5.206082E-6 | 5.206082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0903482E-5 | 2.2311591E-5 | 2.2311591E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5447016E-4 | 2.7161022E-4 | 2.7161022E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025417898 | 0.0027128288 | 0.0027128288 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.8829853E-6 | 4.1419225E-6 | 4.1419225E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.664126E-5 | 1.775098E-5 | 1.775098E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0258849E-4 | 2.1609715E-4 | 2.1609715E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002024039 | 0.002158912 | 0.002158912 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3489616E-6 | 1.4278099E-6 | 1.4278099E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7812517E-6 | 6.119171E-6 | 6.119171E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.038446E-5 | 7.44984E-5 | 7.44984E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.036218E-4 | 7.447382E-4 | 7.447382E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.058192E-7 | 6.3538636E-7 | 6.3538636E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5963652E-6 | 2.7230817E-6 | 2.7230817E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.161029E-5 | 3.3153032E-5 | 3.3153032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1605794E-4 | 3.3148247E-4 | 3.3148247E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.2170494E-7 | 2.2608191E-7 | 2.2608191E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5016367E-7 | 9.689221E-7 | 9.689221E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1568181E-5 | 1.1796575E-5 | 1.1796575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1567579E-4 | 1.1796059E-4 | 1.1796059E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.1613102E-8 | 1.546692E-8 | 1.546692E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.262757E-8 | 6.62868E-8 | 6.62868E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277401E-6 | 8.070416E-7 | 8.070416E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277344E-5 | 8.070394E-6 | 8.070394E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Palos Verdes
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.6229655E-5 | 7.6229655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.26661E-4 | 3.26661E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0039703744 | 0.0039703744 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.031460393 | 0.03905102 | 0.03907985 | 1.0007383 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.6229655E-5 | 7.6229655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.26661E-4 | 3.26661E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0039703744 | 0.0039703744 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.031460393 | 0.03905102 | 0.03907985 | 1.0007383 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.6229655E-5 | 7.6229655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.26661E-4 | 3.26661E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031914865 | 0.0039703744 | 0.0039703744 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.031460393 | 0.03905102 | 0.03907985 | 1.0007383 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.9751296E-5 | 4.9751296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1320369E-4 | 2.1320369E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0025928721 | 0.0025928721 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021083709 | 0.0256479 | 0.025667386 | 1.0007598 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.9751296E-5 | 4.9751296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1320369E-4 | 2.1320369E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0025928721 | 0.0025928721 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021083709 | 0.0256479 | 0.025667386 | 1.0007598 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.0512005E-5 | 3.656312E-5 | 3.656312E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3075917E-4 | 1.5669035E-4 | 1.5669035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015908304 | 0.0019061512 | 0.0019061512 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015794903 | 0.018909952 | 0.018919762 | 1.0005188 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9255087E-5 | 3.515588E-5 | 3.515588E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2537291E-4 | 1.5066002E-4 | 1.5066002E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015253464 | 0.0018328556 | 0.0018328556 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015149189 | 0.018189006 | 0.018198824 | 1.0005398 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.287198E-5 | 2.7249374E-5 | 2.7249374E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.801909E-5 | 1.1677833E-4 | 1.1677833E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001192729 | 0.0014209405 | 0.0014209405 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011863477 | 0.014127782 | 0.014137641 | 1.0006979 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.1325764E-5 | 2.5432906E-5 | 2.5432906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.139293E-5 | 1.0899413E-4 | 1.0899413E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001112141 | 0.0013262859 | 0.0013262859 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011065915 | 0.013192742 | 0.0132026095 | 1.000748 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.9009392E-5 | 2.261445E-5 | 2.261445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1466285E-5 | 9.691596E-5 | 9.691596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.914007E-4 | 0.0011794005 | 0.0011794005 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009869894 | 0.011740098 | 0.011740098 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.7098473E-5 | 2.032016E-5 | 2.032016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3277115E-5 | 8.708398E-5 | 8.708398E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.917837E-4 | 0.0010598169 | 0.0010598169 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008882134 | 0.010556064 | 0.010556064 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.5982785E-5 | 1.8995514E-5 | 1.8995514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.849585E-5 | 8.140728E-5 | 8.140728E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.336179E-4 | 9.907677E-4 | 9.907677E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008304977 | 0.009871869 | 0.009871869 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.4468002E-5 | 1.7197919E-5 | 1.7197919E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.200425E-5 | 7.3703755E-5 | 7.3703755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.546402E-4 | 8.970578E-4 | 8.970578E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007520827 | 0.008942638 | 0.008942638 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.288233E-6 | 6.2039044E-6 | 6.2039044E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2663658E-5 | 2.6588086E-5 | 2.6588086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7589512E-4 | 3.236968E-4 | 3.236968E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027555283 | 0.0032356759 | 0.0032356759 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 8.279556E-7 | 8.408374E-7 | 8.408374E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5483763E-6 | 3.6035842E-6 | 3.6035842E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3200624E-5 | 4.3872828E-5 | 4.3872828E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3192226E-4 | 4.386489E-4 | 4.386489E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.559831E-7 | 6.6672516E-7 | 6.6672516E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8113532E-6 | 2.8573909E-6 | 2.8573909E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4227687E-5 | 3.4788245E-5 | 3.4788245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4222414E-4 | 3.4783463E-4 | 3.4783463E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.5018968E-7 | 3.5620155E-7 | 3.5620155E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.500812E-6 | 1.5265774E-6 | 1.5265774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8272232E-5 | 1.858597E-5 | 1.858597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8270731E-4 | 1.8584875E-4 | 1.8584875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.1986104E-7 | 1.2198421E-7 | 1.2198421E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1369005E-7 | 5.227894E-7 | 5.227894E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2541585E-6 | 6.3649427E-6 | 6.3649427E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2539824E-5 | 6.364765E-5 | 6.364765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.0445005E-8 | 3.1027707E-8 | 3.1027707E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3047858E-7 | 1.3297588E-7 | 1.3297588E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885756E-6 | 1.6189804E-6 | 1.6189804E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885644E-5 | 1.6189706E-5 | 1.6189706E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mono Lake 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.3829041E-5 | 2.3829041E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.02123464E-4 | 1.1212244E-4 | 1.0979106 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012431751 | 0.0012631502 | 1.0160679 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010557966 | 0.012414284 | 0.012443911 | 1.0023866 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.3829041E-5 | 2.3829041E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.02123464E-4 | 1.1212244E-4 | 1.0979106 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012431751 | 0.0012631502 | 1.0160679 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010557966 | 0.012414284 | 0.012443911 | 1.0023866 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.3829041E-5 | 2.3829041E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.02123464E-4 | 1.1212244E-4 | 1.0979106 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012431751 | 0.0012631502 | 1.0160679 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010557966 | 0.012414284 | 0.012443911 | 1.0023866 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.3829041E-5 | 2.3829041E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.02123464E-4 | 1.1212244E-4 | 1.0979106 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012431751 | 0.0012631502 | 1.0160679 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010557966 | 0.012414284 | 0.012443911 | 1.0023866 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.749821E-5 | 2.049174E-5 | 2.049174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.499018E-5 | 8.782174E-5 | 9.782086E-5 | 1.113857 | 1.0E-5 | 9.1262296E-4 | 0.0010692294 | 0.0010892081 | 1.0186851 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009088841 | 0.010692251 | 0.01072193 | 1.0027758 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.749821E-5 | 2.049174E-5 | 2.049174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.499018E-5 | 8.782174E-5 | 9.782086E-5 | 1.113857 | 1.0E-5 | 9.1262296E-4 | 0.0010692294 | 0.0010892081 | 1.0186851 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009088841 | 0.010692251 | 0.01072193 | 1.0027758 | 3.0E-5 |
San Pedro Basin
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.3449043E-5 | 6.3372674E-5 | 7.337204E-5 | 1.1577867 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2904722E-4 | 2.7157235E-4 | 2.8156964E-4 | 1.0368125 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027850836 | 0.0033019804 | 0.0033119475 | 1.0030185 | 1.0E-5 | 0.027504366 | 0.032590736 | 0.03261976 | 1.0008905 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.3449043E-5 | 6.3372674E-5 | 7.337204E-5 | 1.1577867 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2904722E-4 | 2.7157235E-4 | 2.8156964E-4 | 1.0368125 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027850836 | 0.0033019804 | 0.0033119475 | 1.0030185 | 1.0E-5 | 0.027504366 | 0.032590736 | 0.03261976 | 1.0008905 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.3189454E-5 | 2.664367E-5 | 2.664367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9379584E-5 | 1.14182425E-4 | 1.14182425E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012092749 | 0.0013893315 | 0.0013893315 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012027155 | 0.013811325 | 0.013811325 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.3189454E-5 | 2.664367E-5 | 2.664367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9379584E-5 | 1.14182425E-4 | 1.14182425E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012092749 | 0.0013893315 | 0.0013893315 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012027155 | 0.013811325 | 0.013811325 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.966056E-5 | 2.2464104E-5 | 2.2464104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.425682E-5 | 9.6271404E-5 | 9.6271404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001025344 | 0.0011715143 | 0.0011715143 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010206259 | 0.011657472 | 0.011657472 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.7342953E-5 | 1.9745738E-5 | 1.9745738E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4324824E-5 | 8.462205E-5 | 8.462205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.04529E-4 | 0.0010298234 | 0.0010298234 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009008561 | 0.010254235 | 0.010254235 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.439804E-5 | 1.6323187E-5 | 1.6323187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.170443E-5 | 6.995482E-5 | 6.995482E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.509924E-4 | 8.513992E-4 | 8.513992E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074845953 | 0.008484576 | 0.008484576 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.2634884E-5 | 1.4285702E-5 | 1.4285702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.414838E-5 | 6.122317E-5 | 6.122317E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.590571E-4 | 7.4516766E-4 | 7.4516766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006571059 | 0.007429711 | 0.007429711 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.146091E-5 | 1.2933553E-5 | 1.2933553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.911726E-5 | 5.5428503E-5 | 5.5428503E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9783855E-4 | 6.746628E-4 | 6.746628E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059623276 | 0.006729087 | 0.006729087 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 9.109035E-6 | 1.0235291E-5 | 1.0235291E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9038136E-5 | 4.386495E-5 | 4.386495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7518566E-4 | 5.339529E-4 | 5.339529E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047417083 | 0.005329454 | 0.005329454 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.9351028E-6 | 6.584128E-6 | 6.584128E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5435906E-5 | 2.821752E-5 | 2.821752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0963816E-4 | 3.4351778E-4 | 3.4351778E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030920706 | 0.0034321847 | 0.0034321847 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.1557585E-6 | 2.2096688E-6 | 2.2096688E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.238933E-6 | 9.469975E-6 | 9.469975E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1247819E-4 | 1.15291004E-4 | 1.15291004E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011242128 | 0.0011523273 | 0.0011523273 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.1251979E-6 | 2.1780147E-6 | 2.1780147E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.107958E-6 | 9.334317E-6 | 9.334317E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1088375E-4 | 1.1363953E-4 | 1.1363953E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011082845 | 0.0011358295 | 0.0011358295 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7145798E-6 | 1.7443027E-6 | 1.7443027E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3481783E-6 | 7.475562E-6 | 7.475562E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.94604E-5 | 9.101126E-5 | 9.101126E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9424395E-4 | 9.09749E-4 | 9.09749E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.4467993E-6 | 1.4641994E-6 | 1.4641994E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.200554E-6 | 6.2751255E-6 | 6.2751255E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.548913E-5 | 7.6397046E-5 | 7.6397046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.546349E-4 | 7.637151E-4 | 7.637151E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2803735E-6 | 1.2931607E-6 | 1.2931607E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.487303E-6 | 5.542106E-6 | 5.542106E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.680587E-5 | 6.747312E-5 | 6.747312E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.678579E-4 | 6.745334E-4 | 6.745334E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.755009E-7 | 6.7695254E-7 | 6.7695254E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8950008E-6 | 2.9012222E-6 | 2.9012222E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5246063E-5 | 3.5321867E-5 | 3.5321867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5240475E-4 | 3.5316823E-4 | 3.5316823E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.211885E-8 | 4.570025E-8 | 4.570025E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6622362E-7 | 1.958582E-7 | 1.958582E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412677E-6 | 2.3845712E-6 | 2.3845712E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412205E-5 | 2.3845478E-5 | 2.3845478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.6580573E-9 | 1.5138489E-9 | 1.5138489E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1391674E-8 | 6.487924E-9 | 6.487924E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869362E-7 | 7.8990475E-8 | 7.8990475E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869354E-6 | 7.8990473E-7 | 7.8990473E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (South Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1137423E-6 | 4.1137423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.763021E-5 | 1.763021E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.146273E-4 | 2.2462515E-4 | 1.0465823 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.002144264 | 0.0021741998 | 1.0139608 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1137423E-6 | 4.1137423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.763021E-5 | 1.763021E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.146273E-4 | 2.2462515E-4 | 1.0465823 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.002144264 | 0.0021741998 | 1.0139608 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1137423E-6 | 4.1137423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.763021E-5 | 1.763021E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.146273E-4 | 2.2462515E-4 | 1.0465823 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.002144264 | 0.0021741998 | 1.0139608 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1137423E-6 | 4.1137423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.763021E-5 | 1.763021E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.146273E-4 | 2.2462515E-4 | 1.0465823 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.002144264 | 0.0021741998 | 1.0139608 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1137423E-6 | 4.1137423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.763021E-5 | 1.763021E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.146273E-4 | 2.2462515E-4 | 1.0465823 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021396813 | 0.002144264 | 0.0021741998 | 1.0139608 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.9849807E-6 | 2.9731664E-6 | 2.9731664E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2792712E-5 | 1.2742081E-5 | 1.2742081E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5574014E-4 | 1.5512394E-4 | 1.6512239E-4 | 1.0644546 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015563103 | 0.0015501718 | 0.0015801252 | 1.0193228 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.9849807E-6 | 2.9731664E-6 | 2.9731664E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2792712E-5 | 1.2742081E-5 | 1.2742081E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5574014E-4 | 1.5512394E-4 | 1.6512239E-4 | 1.0644546 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015563103 | 0.0015501718 | 0.0015801252 | 1.0193228 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6756725E-6 | 2.6582313E-6 | 2.6582313E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1467117E-5 | 1.1392371E-5 | 1.1392371E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.396032E-4 | 1.3869339E-4 | 1.4869201E-4 | 1.0720915 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013951553 | 0.0013860792 | 0.0014060516 | 1.0144092 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.3283721E-6 | 2.304788E-6 | 2.304788E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9787E-6 | 9.877626E-6 | 9.877626E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.214839E-4 | 1.20253535E-4 | 1.3025233E-4 | 1.0831476 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001214175 | 0.001201892 | 0.0012218681 | 1.0166204 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.0972677E-6 | 2.0696496E-6 | 2.0696496E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.988259E-6 | 8.869896E-6 | 8.869896E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0942656E-4 | 1.07985696E-4 | 1.17984615E-4 | 1.0925949 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010937268 | 0.001079338 | 0.0010993165 | 1.0185099 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7132242E-6 | 1.6787104E-6 | 1.6787104E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3423685E-6 | 7.1944537E-6 | 7.1944537E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.938967E-5 | 8.758899E-5 | 9.758811E-5 | 1.1141596 | 1.0E-5 | 8.935372E-4 | 8.755485E-4 | 8.9553103E-4 | 1.0228229 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.4215541E-6 | 1.3815809E-6 | 1.3815809E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0923603E-6 | 5.921048E-6 | 5.921048E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.417196E-5 | 7.20864E-5 | 8.208568E-5 | 1.1387124 | 1.0E-5 | 7.414721E-4 | 7.2063284E-4 | 7.3062564E-4 | 1.0138667 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.097853E-7 | 8.603813E-7 | 8.603813E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.899074E-6 | 3.6873432E-6 | 3.6873432E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7470192E-5 | 4.489249E-5 | 5.489204E-5 | 1.2227445 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7460053E-4 | 4.488353E-4 | 4.588308E-4 | 1.0222698 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.144169E-7 | 5.6282306E-7 | 5.6282306E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6332125E-6 | 2.4120968E-6 | 2.4120968E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.205889E-5 | 2.9366887E-5 | 2.9366887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2054266E-4 | 2.9363058E-4 | 2.9363058E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.049844E-7 | 3.5728473E-7 | 3.5728473E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7356463E-6 | 1.5312195E-6 | 1.5312195E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1131287E-5 | 1.864244E-5 | 1.864244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1129279E-4 | 1.86409E-4 | 1.86409E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.9871162E-7 | 1.5830511E-7 | 1.5830511E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5162094E-7 | 6.784503E-7 | 6.784503E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0368436E-5 | 8.260102E-6 | 8.260102E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0367952E-4 | 8.259804E-5 | 8.259804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7352892E-8 | 1.7352892E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.436954E-8 | 7.436954E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.054488E-7 | 9.054488E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.054456E-6 | 9.054456E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pine Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2256366E-6 | 7.2256366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0966665E-5 | 3.0966665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.769569E-4 | 3.769569E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037634722 | 0.0037933593 | 1.0079414 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2256366E-6 | 7.2256366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0966665E-5 | 3.0966665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.769569E-4 | 3.769569E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037634722 | 0.0037933593 | 1.0079414 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2256366E-6 | 7.2256366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0966665E-5 | 3.0966665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.769569E-4 | 3.769569E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037634722 | 0.0037933593 | 1.0079414 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2256366E-6 | 7.2256366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0966665E-5 | 3.0966665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.769569E-4 | 3.769569E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037634722 | 0.0037933593 | 1.0079414 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2256366E-6 | 7.2256366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0966665E-5 | 3.0966665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.769569E-4 | 3.769569E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037634722 | 0.0037933593 | 1.0079414 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2256366E-6 | 7.2256366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0966665E-5 | 3.0966665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.769569E-4 | 3.769569E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037634722 | 0.0037933593 | 1.0079414 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2256366E-6 | 7.2256366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0966665E-5 | 3.0966665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.769569E-4 | 3.769569E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037634722 | 0.0037933593 | 1.0079414 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.0867933E-6 | 6.3972843E-6 | 6.3972843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6085996E-5 | 2.7416656E-5 | 2.7416656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1755073E-4 | 3.3374885E-4 | 3.3374885E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031709734 | 0.0033326952 | 0.003342662 | 1.0029906 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.6530425E-6 | 5.950764E-6 | 5.950764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.42271E-5 | 2.5503035E-5 | 2.5503035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.94925E-4 | 3.1045728E-4 | 3.1045728E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002945339 | 0.0031004404 | 0.0031004404 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.6015225E-6 | 4.8639945E-6 | 4.8639945E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9720663E-5 | 2.0845533E-5 | 2.0845533E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4007261E-4 | 2.5376625E-4 | 2.5376625E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023981342 | 0.002534909 | 0.002534909 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.4875965E-6 | 4.7476333E-6 | 4.7476333E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9232413E-5 | 2.0346848E-5 | 2.0346848E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3412947E-4 | 2.4769618E-4 | 2.4769618E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023388295 | 0.0024743448 | 0.0024743448 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.203907E-6 | 3.4295622E-6 | 3.4295622E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3730958E-5 | 1.4698045E-5 | 1.4698045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6716159E-4 | 1.7893467E-4 | 1.7893467E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016703589 | 0.001787972 | 0.001787972 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.2060601E-6 | 2.3786058E-6 | 2.3786058E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4545085E-6 | 1.0193987E-5 | 1.0193987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.15102564E-4 | 1.2410518E-4 | 1.2410518E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011504296 | 0.0012404036 | 0.0012404036 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3765207E-6 | 1.5217606E-6 | 1.5217606E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.899361E-6 | 6.5218155E-6 | 6.5218155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.182235E-5 | 7.9400306E-5 | 7.9400306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1799144E-4 | 7.9372845E-4 | 7.9372845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.1245983E-6 | 1.2588098E-6 | 1.2588098E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.819698E-6 | 5.3948884E-6 | 5.3948884E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8678244E-5 | 6.568087E-5 | 6.568087E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.866275E-4 | 6.5662287E-4 | 6.5662287E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.031682E-7 | 9.2779106E-7 | 9.2779106E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4421448E-6 | 3.9762417E-6 | 3.9762417E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1907308E-5 | 4.8409736E-5 | 4.8409736E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1899405E-4 | 4.8399865E-4 | 4.8399865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.8953444E-7 | 6.0038684E-7 | 6.0038684E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.098003E-6 | 2.5730842E-6 | 2.5730842E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5542888E-5 | 3.1326897E-5 | 3.1326897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5539953E-4 | 3.1322968E-4 | 3.1322968E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.634529E-8 | 6.788859E-8 | 6.788859E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.843369E-7 | 2.9095108E-7 | 2.9095108E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4617963E-6 | 3.542324E-6 | 3.542324E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4617424E-5 | 3.5422723E-5 | 3.5422723E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 9.235578E-9 | 9.4886214E-9 | 9.4886214E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9581046E-8 | 4.066552E-8 | 4.066552E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.818991E-7 | 4.951026E-7 | 4.951026E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8189804E-6 | 4.9510168E-6 | 4.9510168E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ventura-Pitas Point
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.373615E-5 | 3.373615E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4457693E-4 | 1.4457693E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017590597 | 0.0017690421 | 1.0056748 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.017476907 | 0.017506383 | 1.0016866 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.373615E-5 | 3.373615E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4457693E-4 | 1.4457693E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017590597 | 0.0017690421 | 1.0056748 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.017476907 | 0.017506383 | 1.0016866 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.373615E-5 | 3.373615E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4457693E-4 | 1.4457693E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017590597 | 0.0017690421 | 1.0056748 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.017476907 | 0.017506383 | 1.0016866 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.373615E-5 | 3.373615E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4457693E-4 | 1.4457693E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017590597 | 0.0017690421 | 1.0056748 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017163932 | 0.017476907 | 0.017506383 | 1.0016866 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.702E-5 | 1.702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.2940944E-5 | 7.2940944E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.877173E-4 | 8.977084E-4 | 1.0112549 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009738282 | 0.008844067 | 0.008863891 | 1.0022414 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.702E-5 | 1.702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.2940944E-5 | 7.2940944E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.877173E-4 | 8.977084E-4 | 1.0112549 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009738282 | 0.008844067 | 0.008863891 | 1.0022414 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.2122547E-5 | 1.2122547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.195275E-5 | 5.195275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.3234346E-4 | 6.3234346E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074657016 | 0.0063057165 | 0.0063156537 | 1.0015758 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.2122547E-5 | 1.2122547E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.195275E-5 | 5.195275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.3234346E-4 | 6.3234346E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074657016 | 0.0063057165 | 0.0063156537 | 1.0015758 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.3663846E-5 | 1.1344671E-5 | 1.1344671E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8558027E-5 | 4.8619124E-5 | 4.8619124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.127108E-4 | 5.91779E-4 | 5.91779E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007104293 | 0.0059022657 | 0.0059122066 | 1.0016843 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.3644157E-5 | 1.1322772E-5 | 1.1322772E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8473648E-5 | 4.852527E-5 | 4.852527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.116841E-4 | 5.90637E-4 | 5.90637E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007094092 | 0.005890906 | 0.005900847 | 1.0016875 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3568845E-5 | 1.1242336E-5 | 1.1242336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8150898E-5 | 4.8180562E-5 | 4.8180562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.077572E-4 | 5.8644236E-4 | 5.8644236E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007055073 | 0.005849181 | 0.005859123 | 1.0016997 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.306572E-5 | 1.0720774E-5 | 1.0720774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.599474E-5 | 4.5945377E-5 | 4.5945377E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.815227E-4 | 5.5924326E-4 | 5.5924326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067943637 | 0.005578582 | 0.0055885264 | 1.0017825 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.232604E-5 | 9.995358E-6 | 9.995358E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2824813E-5 | 4.2836553E-5 | 4.2836553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.429523E-4 | 5.21412E-4 | 5.21412E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064109527 | 0.0052020964 | 0.0052020964 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0917261E-5 | 8.844022E-6 | 8.844022E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.678742E-5 | 3.790241E-5 | 3.790241E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.69488E-4 | 4.6136568E-4 | 4.6136568E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056803077 | 0.0046042623 | 0.0046042623 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.039959E-5 | 8.4237345E-6 | 8.4237345E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.456891E-5 | 3.6101228E-5 | 3.6101228E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.424914E-4 | 4.3944534E-4 | 4.3944534E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054116896 | 0.004385944 | 0.004385944 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.015877E-6 | 7.297683E-6 | 7.297683E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.86389E-5 | 3.1275416E-5 | 3.1275416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7032707E-4 | 3.8071309E-4 | 3.8071309E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004693329 | 0.0038007724 | 0.0038007724 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.900162E-6 | 3.874175E-6 | 3.874175E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1000526E-5 | 1.6603502E-5 | 1.6603502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556514E-4 | 2.0212901E-4 | 2.0212901E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025535747 | 0.0020194654 | 0.0020194654 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.8850626E-6 | 3.126801E-6 | 3.126801E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6650163E-5 | 1.3400507E-5 | 1.3400507E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0269687E-4 | 1.6313905E-4 | 1.6313905E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002025121 | 0.0016302022 | 0.0016302022 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.4654719E-6 | 2.0299285E-6 | 2.0299285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0566265E-5 | 8.699665E-6 | 8.699665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2863669E-4 | 1.0591332E-4 | 1.0591332E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012856225 | 0.0010586332 | 0.0010586332 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.095894E-7 | 3.2765558E-7 | 3.2765558E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7553821E-6 | 1.4042375E-6 | 1.4042375E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1371567E-5 | 1.7096461E-5 | 1.7096461E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1369511E-4 | 1.7095177E-4 | 1.7095177E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.683643E-9 | 5.683643E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.4358469E-8 | 2.4358469E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.9656434E-7 | 2.9656434E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.9656417E-6 | 2.9656417E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Green Valley 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.9629346E-5 | 1.7303394E-4 | 1.7303394E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2691303E-4 | 7.413589E-4 | 7.513515E-4 | 1.0134788 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051852856 | 0.008987287 | 0.0090071075 | 1.0022054 | 2.0E-5 | 0.050659515 | 0.08553596 | 0.08556339 | 1.0003207 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.88615E-5 | 1.7150692E-4 | 1.7150692E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2362334E-4 | 7.348182E-4 | 7.4481085E-4 | 1.0135988 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051454236 | 0.008908314 | 0.008928135 | 1.002225 | 2.0E-5 | 0.050279044 | 0.08482352 | 0.084850974 | 1.0003237 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.696895E-5 | 1.678973E-4 | 1.678973E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.15515E-4 | 7.19358E-4 | 7.2935084E-4 | 1.0138913 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050471667 | 0.008721691 | 0.008741517 | 1.0022731 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04934063 | 0.08313239 | 0.0831599 | 1.0003309 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.275224E-5 | 1.5969055E-4 | 1.5969055E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9744904E-4 | 6.8420504E-4 | 6.941982E-4 | 1.0146055 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048282105 | 0.008297008 | 0.008316843 | 1.0023905 | 2.0E-5 | 0.047246475 | 0.07927127 | 0.0792989 | 1.0003484 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.391499E-5 | 1.4366291E-4 | 1.4366291E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.595861E-4 | 6.1555445E-4 | 6.255483E-4 | 1.0162355 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004369175 | 0.007467506 | 0.0074873567 | 1.0026582 | 2.0E-5 | 0.04284265 | 0.07164165 | 0.07166021 | 1.0002592 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.9519385E-5 | 9.9329474E-5 | 9.9329474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5505814E-4 | 4.2562658E-4 | 4.2562658E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031009112 | 0.005168581 | 0.0051785293 | 1.0019248 | 1.0E-5 | 0.030579966 | 0.05014932 | 0.05015882 | 1.0001894 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.5361558E-5 | 7.4021875E-5 | 7.4021875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9439218E-4 | 3.1719505E-4 | 3.1719505E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023641558 | 0.0038540706 | 0.003864032 | 1.0025847 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023391623 | 0.03766977 | 0.037679393 | 1.0002555 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.8808106E-5 | 6.264526E-5 | 6.264526E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6630985E-4 | 2.684546E-4 | 2.684546E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020229418 | 0.003262908 | 0.0032728754 | 1.0030547 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020046256 | 0.032009535 | 0.032019217 | 1.0003024 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.2284667E-5 | 3.1286363E-5 | 3.1286363E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.550222E-5 | 1.3407755E-4 | 1.3407755E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011621192 | 0.0016311705 | 0.0016411542 | 1.0061206 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011560607 | 0.01616706 | 0.016176898 | 1.0006086 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.8050168E-5 | 2.4449042E-5 | 2.4449042E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.735557E-5 | 1.0477744E-4 | 1.0477744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4139716E-4 | 0.0012749217 | 0.0012749217 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009374191 | 0.0126691805 | 0.0126691805 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.4763166E-5 | 1.958369E-5 | 1.958369E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.326917E-5 | 8.3927414E-5 | 8.3927414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7002996E-4 | 0.0010213386 | 0.0010213386 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007673672 | 0.01016629 | 0.01016629 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.2399713E-5 | 1.6304422E-5 | 1.6304422E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3140546E-5 | 6.987424E-5 | 6.987424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.467941E-4 | 8.503888E-4 | 8.503888E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006449148 | 0.008471988 | 0.008471988 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0584195E-5 | 1.3922401E-5 | 1.3922401E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5360044E-5 | 5.9666076E-5 | 5.9666076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.521186E-4 | 7.26194E-4 | 7.26194E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055074887 | 0.0072389776 | 0.0072389776 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.998173E-6 | 1.0544583E-5 | 1.0544583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4277433E-5 | 4.5190296E-5 | 4.5190296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1724785E-4 | 5.500541E-4 | 5.500541E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004164653 | 0.0054872488 | 0.0054872488 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.7571127E-6 | 8.933214E-6 | 8.933214E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8958733E-5 | 3.8284645E-5 | 3.8284645E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5251552E-4 | 4.6601682E-4 | 4.6601682E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035195686 | 0.004650733 | 0.004650733 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.69878E-6 | 7.516764E-6 | 7.516764E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4423114E-5 | 3.221431E-5 | 3.221431E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9731085E-4 | 3.921395E-4 | 3.921395E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002969134 | 0.0039148014 | 0.0039148014 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.503664E-6 | 5.9359104E-6 | 5.9359104E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9301275E-5 | 2.5439373E-5 | 2.5439373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3496768E-4 | 3.0968117E-4 | 3.0968117E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002347194 | 0.0030927255 | 0.0030927255 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.0873546E-6 | 1.410774E-6 | 1.410774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6600826E-6 | 6.0461603E-6 | 6.0461603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6735033E-5 | 7.3609546E-5 | 7.3609546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.672055E-4 | 7.3587993E-4 | 7.3587993E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.9373917E-8 | 6.178076E-8 | 6.178076E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1160248E-7 | 2.6477466E-7 | 2.6477466E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5762572E-6 | 3.223628E-6 | 3.223628E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5762274E-5 | 3.2228792E-5 | 3.2228792E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hosgri (Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1369135E-5 | 1.2083272E-5 | 1.2083272E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8723956E-5 | 5.178455E-5 | 5.178455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9305265E-4 | 6.3031726E-4 | 6.5030466E-4 | 1.03171 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005914725 | 0.0062875436 | 0.0063173547 | 1.0047413 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.934979E-6 | 7.3246824E-6 | 7.3246824E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9721E-5 | 3.139114E-5 | 3.139114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.617931E-4 | 3.8212427E-4 | 3.9212045E-4 | 1.0261595 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036120464 | 0.003815085 | 0.0038350085 | 1.0052223 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.934979E-6 | 7.3246824E-6 | 7.3246824E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9721E-5 | 3.139114E-5 | 3.139114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.617931E-4 | 3.8212427E-4 | 3.9212045E-4 | 1.0261595 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036120464 | 0.003815085 | 0.0038350085 | 1.0052223 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.5484676E-6 | 4.7694202E-6 | 4.7694202E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9493287E-5 | 2.0440213E-5 | 2.0440213E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3730492E-4 | 2.488316E-4 | 2.5882912E-4 | 1.0401778 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023705168 | 0.0024855726 | 0.0024955475 | 1.0040132 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.218095E-6 | 4.4169465E-6 | 4.4169465E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8077424E-5 | 1.8929635E-5 | 1.8929635E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2007042E-4 | 2.3044426E-4 | 2.4044195E-4 | 1.0433844 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002198526 | 0.0023020864 | 0.0023120635 | 1.0043339 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.717374E-6 | 3.8839553E-6 | 3.8839553E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5931506E-5 | 1.6645417E-5 | 1.6645417E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9394881E-4 | 2.026393E-4 | 2.1263727E-4 | 1.0493388 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019377962 | 0.002024564 | 0.0020345438 | 1.0049293 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.4605036E-6 | 3.6083798E-6 | 3.6083798E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4830645E-5 | 1.5464393E-5 | 1.5464393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8054814E-4 | 1.8826287E-4 | 1.9826098E-4 | 1.0531073 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018040152 | 0.0018810484 | 0.0018910296 | 1.0053061 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.123439E-6 | 3.2466369E-6 | 3.2466369E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.33860985E-5 | 1.3914084E-5 | 1.3914084E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6296357E-4 | 1.6939091E-4 | 1.7938922E-4 | 1.059025 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001628441 | 0.0016926288 | 0.0017026119 | 1.005898 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.8290783E-6 | 2.9306036E-6 | 2.9306036E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2124565E-5 | 1.255967E-5 | 1.255967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4760658E-4 | 1.5290333E-4 | 1.6290181E-4 | 1.0653908 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014750857 | 0.00152799 | 0.0015379747 | 1.0065346 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.454112E-6 | 2.5283766E-6 | 2.5283766E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0517581E-5 | 1.0835855E-5 | 1.0835855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2804402E-4 | 1.3191861E-4 | 1.4191729E-4 | 1.0757943 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012797028 | 0.0013184091 | 0.0013283959 | 1.0075749 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.1008145E-6 | 2.1499218E-6 | 2.1499218E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.003459E-6 | 9.213919E-6 | 9.213919E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.096116E-4 | 1.1217372E-4 | 1.221726E-4 | 1.0891374 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010955755 | 0.0011211747 | 0.0011311634 | 1.0089092 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.744384E-6 | 1.7686813E-6 | 1.7686813E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.47591E-6 | 7.5800403E-6 | 7.5800403E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1015405E-5 | 9.22831E-5 | 1.0228218E-4 | 1.1083522 | 1.0E-5 | 9.097813E-4 | 9.224495E-4 | 9.324403E-4 | 1.0108308 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.5456587E-6 | 1.5563312E-6 | 1.5563312E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6242346E-6 | 6.669974E-6 | 6.669974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.064707E-5 | 8.120392E-5 | 9.120311E-5 | 1.1231368 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0617814E-4 | 8.117437E-4 | 8.217356E-4 | 1.0123092 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.3775123E-6 | 1.3766486E-6 | 1.3766486E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9036106E-6 | 5.8999094E-6 | 5.8999094E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.187409E-5 | 7.182904E-5 | 8.182832E-5 | 1.1392095 | 1.0E-5 | 7.185085E-4 | 7.180592E-4 | 7.2805205E-4 | 1.0139164 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.214491E-6 | 1.2023839E-6 | 1.2023839E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2049513E-6 | 5.1530637E-6 | 5.1530637E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.336844E-5 | 6.2736755E-5 | 7.2736126E-5 | 1.1593862 | 1.0E-5 | 6.335037E-4 | 6.271913E-4 | 6.37185E-4 | 1.0159341 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.0101123E-6 | 9.842594E-7 | 9.842594E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3290456E-6 | 4.218248E-6 | 4.218248E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2704854E-5 | 5.135596E-5 | 6.135545E-5 | 1.1947093 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2692357E-4 | 5.134415E-4 | 5.234364E-4 | 1.0194664 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.1558215E-7 | 7.7662855E-7 | 7.7662855E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4953473E-6 | 3.3284039E-6 | 3.3284039E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.255502E-5 | 4.0522566E-5 | 5.052216E-5 | 1.2467661 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2546875E-4 | 4.051522E-4 | 4.1514816E-4 | 1.024672 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.757816E-7 | 4.1311552E-7 | 4.1311552E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0390623E-6 | 1.7704938E-6 | 1.7704938E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4825302E-5 | 2.155555E-5 | 3.1555333E-5 | 1.4639076 | 1.0E-5 | 2.482253E-4 | 2.1553472E-4 | 2.2553257E-4 | 1.0463862 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.782787E-7 | 2.0050045E-7 | 2.0050045E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1926223E-6 | 8.5928735E-7 | 8.5928735E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.452008E-5 | 1.0461774E-5 | 2.046167E-5 | 1.9558508 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4519131E-4 | 1.04612845E-4 | 1.146118E-4 | 1.0955806 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.6948086E-7 | 9.246029E-8 | 9.246029E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2634634E-7 | 3.9625832E-7 | 3.9625832E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.843231E-6 | 4.824434E-6 | 4.824434E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.842879E-5 | 4.8243302E-5 | 4.8243302E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.0225492E-7 | 4.475028E-8 | 4.475028E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.382353E-7 | 1.917869E-7 | 1.917869E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.335502E-6 | 2.335003E-6 | 2.335003E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.335374E-5 | 2.3349787E-5 | 2.3349787E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.43711345E-8 | 5.7894916E-9 | 5.7894916E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1590576E-8 | 2.4812106E-8 | 2.4812106E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4986497E-7 | 3.0208736E-7 | 3.0208736E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4986247E-6 | 3.02087E-6 | 3.02087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.8361215E-6 | 9.8361215E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2154184E-5 | 4.2154184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.1311695E-4 | 5.1311695E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004127522 | 0.00513448 | 0.005164326 | 1.0058129 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.8361215E-6 | 9.8361215E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2154184E-5 | 4.2154184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.1311695E-4 | 5.1311695E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004127522 | 0.00513448 | 0.005164326 | 1.0058129 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.8361215E-6 | 9.8361215E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2154184E-5 | 4.2154184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.1311695E-4 | 5.1311695E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004127522 | 0.00513448 | 0.005164326 | 1.0058129 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.8361215E-6 | 9.8361215E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2154184E-5 | 4.2154184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.1311695E-4 | 5.1311695E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004127522 | 0.00513448 | 0.005164326 | 1.0058129 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.3445207E-6 | 6.0959474E-6 | 6.0959474E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8619241E-5 | 2.6125233E-5 | 2.6125233E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2666567E-4 | 3.180293E-4 | 3.180293E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022643462 | 0.003189977 | 0.003189977 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 4.3445207E-6 | 6.0959474E-6 | 6.0959474E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8619241E-5 | 2.6125233E-5 | 2.6125233E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2666567E-4 | 3.180293E-4 | 3.180293E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022643462 | 0.003189977 | 0.003189977 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 4.040109E-6 | 5.7783523E-6 | 5.7783523E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7314638E-5 | 2.4764138E-5 | 2.4764138E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1078532E-4 | 3.014626E-4 | 3.014626E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002105855 | 0.0030247658 | 0.0030247658 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.3632055E-6 | 5.0718427E-6 | 5.0718427E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4413658E-5 | 2.173629E-5 | 2.173629E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7547216E-4 | 2.6460752E-4 | 2.6460752E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017533366 | 0.0026570975 | 0.0026570975 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.2902772E-6 | 4.9937494E-6 | 4.9937494E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4101111E-5 | 2.1401609E-5 | 2.1401609E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.716675E-4 | 2.6053374E-4 | 2.6053374E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017153495 | 0.0026164558 | 0.0026164558 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.031547E-6 | 4.695298E-6 | 4.695298E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.299228E-5 | 2.0122552E-5 | 2.0122552E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5816953E-4 | 2.449648E-4 | 2.449648E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00158057 | 0.0024611184 | 0.0024611184 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.8259715E-6 | 4.3743307E-6 | 4.3743307E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.211125E-5 | 1.8746998E-5 | 1.8746998E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4744449E-4 | 2.2822103E-4 | 2.2822103E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001473467 | 0.002294036 | 0.002294036 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.5962665E-6 | 4.0693362E-6 | 4.0693362E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1126809E-5 | 1.7439897E-5 | 1.7439897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3546048E-4 | 2.1231027E-4 | 2.1231027E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013537793 | 0.002135251 | 0.002135251 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.3247253E-6 | 3.6796541E-6 | 3.6796541E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.96307E-6 | 1.5769852E-5 | 1.5769852E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.21293626E-4 | 1.9198122E-4 | 1.9198122E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012122744 | 0.0019323515 | 0.0019323515 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.056928E-6 | 3.2379173E-6 | 3.2379173E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.815376E-6 | 1.38767155E-5 | 1.38767155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0732192E-4 | 1.6893608E-4 | 1.6893608E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001072701 | 0.0017023388 | 0.0017023388 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.8055999E-6 | 2.8279383E-6 | 2.8279383E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.738263E-6 | 1.211968E-5 | 1.211968E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4209274E-5 | 1.4754725E-4 | 1.4754725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4169343E-4 | 0.001488893 | 0.001488893 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4683443E-6 | 2.4270128E-6 | 2.4270128E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.292889E-6 | 1.04014425E-5 | 1.04014425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.661323E-5 | 1.266303E-4 | 1.266303E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.658682E-4 | 0.0012800317 | 0.0012800317 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.804088E-7 | 1.90246E-6 | 1.90246E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.201745E-6 | 8.153374E-6 | 8.153374E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1155046E-5 | 9.926286E-5 | 9.926286E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.114327E-4 | 0.0010066675 | 0.0010066675 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 7.3434086E-7 | 1.6305496E-6 | 1.6305496E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1471714E-6 | 6.988051E-6 | 6.988051E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.831614E-5 | 8.507623E-5 | 8.507623E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8309532E-4 | 8.649539E-4 | 8.649539E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.434184E-7 | 1.5239772E-6 | 1.5239772E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7575045E-6 | 6.5313143E-6 | 6.5313143E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.35721E-5 | 7.951588E-5 | 7.951588E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3567028E-4 | 8.0903934E-4 | 8.0903934E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.4943926E-7 | 7.5841467E-7 | 7.5841467E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.497596E-6 | 3.2503447E-6 | 3.2503447E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8233079E-5 | 3.9572238E-5 | 3.9572238E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8231584E-4 | 4.0455285E-4 | 4.0455285E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.717524E-8 | 5.846589E-8 | 5.846589E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8789387E-7 | 2.5056806E-7 | 2.5056806E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.505102E-6 | 3.050662E-6 | 3.050662E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5050467E-5 | 3.2770306E-5 | 3.2770306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.1984914E-8 | 1.297672E-8 | 1.297672E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.370782E-7 | 5.5614514E-8 | 5.5614514E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6689258E-6 | 6.7710647E-7 | 6.7710647E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6689133E-5 | 7.757018E-6 | 7.757018E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.21887656E-8 | 3.6555425E-9 | 3.6555425E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2237567E-8 | 1.5666611E-8 | 1.5666611E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.359922E-7 | 1.9074098E-7 | 1.9074098E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3599036E-6 | 2.2506617E-6 | 2.2506617E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cucamonga
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.1738218E-5 | 1.1738218E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.0305694E-5 | 5.0305694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.123024E-4 | 6.123024E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0061632637 | 0.0061072772 | 0.006137094 | 1.0048822 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.1738218E-5 | 1.1738218E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.0305694E-5 | 5.0305694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.123024E-4 | 6.123024E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0061632637 | 0.0061072772 | 0.006137094 | 1.0048822 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.1738218E-5 | 1.1738218E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.0305694E-5 | 5.0305694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.123024E-4 | 6.123024E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0061632637 | 0.0061072772 | 0.006137094 | 1.0048822 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.1738218E-5 | 1.1738218E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.0305694E-5 | 5.0305694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.123024E-4 | 6.123024E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0061632637 | 0.0061072772 | 0.006137094 | 1.0048822 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.1738218E-5 | 1.1738218E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.0305694E-5 | 5.0305694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.123024E-4 | 6.123024E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0061632637 | 0.0061072772 | 0.006137094 | 1.0048822 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.16988695E-5 | 1.1577246E-5 | 1.1577246E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.013705E-5 | 4.961584E-5 | 4.961584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.102476E-4 | 6.039081E-4 | 6.039081E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006085745 | 0.00602379 | 0.00605361 | 1.0049503 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.16988695E-5 | 1.1577246E-5 | 1.1577246E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.013705E-5 | 4.961584E-5 | 4.961584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.102476E-4 | 6.039081E-4 | 6.039081E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006085745 | 0.00602379 | 0.00605361 | 1.0049503 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1397107E-5 | 1.111612E-5 | 1.111612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.884383E-5 | 4.763966E-5 | 4.763966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9451134E-4 | 5.79861E-4 | 5.79861E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005929234 | 0.005784579 | 0.0058144056 | 1.0051562 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.058387E-5 | 9.786E-6 | 9.786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5358654E-5 | 4.1939333E-5 | 4.1939333E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.521017E-4 | 5.104928E-4 | 5.104928E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00550732 | 0.005094159 | 0.005114057 | 1.003906 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.690046E-6 | 8.580388E-6 | 8.580388E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1528107E-5 | 3.6772577E-5 | 3.6772577E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.054874E-4 | 4.4761453E-4 | 4.4761453E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005043391 | 0.0044680145 | 0.004487925 | 1.0044563 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.381461E-6 | 8.1879825E-6 | 8.1879825E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.020564E-5 | 3.509088E-5 | 3.509088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.893937E-4 | 4.271481E-4 | 4.271481E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048831734 | 0.0042641535 | 0.0042741112 | 1.0023352 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.946492E-6 | 7.782753E-6 | 7.782753E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8341543E-5 | 3.3354227E-5 | 3.3354227E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.667083E-4 | 4.0601238E-4 | 4.0601238E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046572937 | 0.0040535904 | 0.00406355 | 1.0024569 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.251016E-6 | 6.9760804E-6 | 6.9760804E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5361016E-5 | 2.9897144E-5 | 2.9897144E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3043532E-4 | 3.639372E-4 | 3.639372E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042960253 | 0.0036342915 | 0.0036342915 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.717881E-6 | 6.4871274E-6 | 6.4871274E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3076216E-5 | 2.780168E-5 | 2.780168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.026285E-4 | 3.384331E-4 | 3.384331E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004018998 | 0.0033800635 | 0.0033800635 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.275623E-6 | 6.03274E-6 | 6.03274E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.118087E-5 | 2.5854346E-5 | 2.5854346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7956095E-4 | 3.147314E-4 | 3.147314E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037891332 | 0.0031437431 | 0.0031437431 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.5109502E-6 | 5.101254E-6 | 5.101254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7903774E-5 | 2.1862334E-5 | 2.1862334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3967546E-4 | 2.6614155E-4 | 2.6614155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033915674 | 0.002659105 | 0.002659105 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.4495326E-6 | 3.9091433E-6 | 3.9091433E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.335493E-5 | 1.6753364E-5 | 1.6753364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8430918E-4 | 2.0395318E-4 | 2.0395318E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028394572 | 0.0020385322 | 0.0020385322 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.7997164E-6 | 3.2007692E-6 | 3.2007692E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.057005E-5 | 1.371751E-5 | 1.371751E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.504116E-4 | 1.6699792E-4 | 1.6699792E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002501296 | 0.001669611 | 0.001669611 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.3941733E-6 | 2.064492E-6 | 2.064492E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4546376E-5 | 8.847794E-6 | 8.847794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7708774E-4 | 1.0771657E-4 | 1.0771657E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017694668 | 0.0010767727 | 0.0010767727 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 9.750552E-7 | 5.156756E-7 | 5.156756E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.178801E-6 | 2.2100364E-6 | 2.2100364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0875715E-5 | 2.6906864E-5 | 2.6906864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.086407E-4 | 2.6903648E-4 | 2.6903648E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.133857E-7 | 6.053922E-8 | 6.053922E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8593864E-7 | 2.5945377E-7 | 2.5945377E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9162867E-6 | 3.1588452E-6 | 3.1588452E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916129E-5 | 3.158802E-5 | 3.158802E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Homestead Valley 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.539795E-5 | 6.2865324E-6 | 6.2865324E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5989545E-5 | 2.694212E-5 | 2.694212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0312655E-4 | 3.2799153E-4 | 3.2799153E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008002302 | 0.0032770955 | 0.00329703 | 1.006083 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.539795E-5 | 6.2865324E-6 | 6.2865324E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5989545E-5 | 2.694212E-5 | 2.694212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0312655E-4 | 3.2799153E-4 | 3.2799153E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008002302 | 0.0032770955 | 0.00329703 | 1.006083 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.539795E-5 | 6.2865324E-6 | 6.2865324E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5989545E-5 | 2.694212E-5 | 2.694212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0312655E-4 | 3.2799153E-4 | 3.2799153E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008002302 | 0.0032770955 | 0.00329703 | 1.006083 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.539795E-5 | 6.2865324E-6 | 6.2865324E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5989545E-5 | 2.694212E-5 | 2.694212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0312655E-4 | 3.2799153E-4 | 3.2799153E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008002302 | 0.0032770955 | 0.00329703 | 1.006083 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.539795E-5 | 6.2865324E-6 | 6.2865324E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5989545E-5 | 2.694212E-5 | 2.694212E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0312655E-4 | 3.2799153E-4 | 3.2799153E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008002302 | 0.0032770955 | 0.00329703 | 1.006083 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0265258E-5 | 2.8786992E-6 | 2.8786992E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3993223E-5 | 1.2337263E-5 | 1.2337263E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3548586E-4 | 1.5020277E-4 | 1.5020277E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005341973 | 0.0015016946 | 0.0015216646 | 1.0132983 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.664671E-6 | 5.343974E-7 | 5.343974E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8562565E-5 | 2.290273E-6 | 2.290273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.476937E-4 | 2.7883836E-5 | 2.7883836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003471502 | 2.78815E-4 | 2.78815E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 6.5954046E-6 | 5.343974E-7 | 5.343974E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8265715E-5 | 2.290273E-6 | 2.290273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4408073E-4 | 2.7883836E-5 | 2.7883836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034354846 | 2.78815E-4 | 2.78815E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 4.648189E-6 | 2.3258384E-7 | 2.3258384E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9920659E-5 | 9.967875E-7 | 9.967875E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4250703E-4 | 1.2135826E-5 | 1.2135826E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024224254 | 1.2135211E-4 | 1.2135211E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.1428534E-6 | 1.9343923E-7 | 1.9343923E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7754966E-5 | 8.2902505E-7 | 8.2902505E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1614527E-4 | 1.0093337E-5 | 1.0093337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021593515 | 1.0092908E-4 | 1.0092908E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.0673707E-6 | 1.5365488E-7 | 1.5365488E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3145808E-5 | 6.585207E-7 | 6.585207E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6003846E-4 | 8.017461E-6 | 8.017461E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015992324 | 8.017183E-5 | 8.017183E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.340854E-6 | 1.468579E-7 | 1.468579E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0032193E-5 | 6.2939085E-7 | 6.2939085E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.221351E-4 | 7.662808E-6 | 7.662808E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00122068 | 7.662553E-5 | 7.662553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.3754182E-6 | 1.3921084E-7 | 1.3921084E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8946357E-6 | 5.966178E-7 | 5.966178E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.176483E-5 | 7.263798E-6 | 7.263798E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.174166E-4 | 7.26357E-5 | 7.26357E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.2573237E-6 | 1.3825621E-7 | 1.3825621E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.388519E-6 | 5.9252653E-7 | 5.9252653E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.560324E-5 | 7.2139874E-6 | 7.2139874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.558388E-4 | 7.213763E-5 | 7.213763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.0994207E-6 | 1.3104754E-7 | 1.3104754E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7117946E-6 | 5.616322E-7 | 5.616322E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.736459E-5 | 6.8378517E-6 | 6.8378517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.734978E-4 | 6.83765E-5 | 6.83765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.5569126E-7 | 6.7722155E-8 | 6.7722155E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3815317E-6 | 2.9023778E-7 | 2.9023778E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8994764E-5 | 3.53364E-6 | 3.53364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.899098E-4 | 3.53359E-5 | 3.53359E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Dry Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.439428E-6 | 6.439428E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597347E-5 | 2.7597347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.359618E-4 | 3.559551E-4 | 1.0595106 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033561012 | 0.003376034 | 1.0059392 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.439428E-6 | 6.439428E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597347E-5 | 2.7597347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.359618E-4 | 3.559551E-4 | 1.0595106 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033561012 | 0.003376034 | 1.0059392 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.439428E-6 | 6.439428E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597347E-5 | 2.7597347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.359618E-4 | 3.559551E-4 | 1.0595106 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033561012 | 0.003376034 | 1.0059392 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.439428E-6 | 6.439428E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597347E-5 | 2.7597347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.359618E-4 | 3.559551E-4 | 1.0595106 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033561012 | 0.003376034 | 1.0059392 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.439428E-6 | 6.439428E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7597347E-5 | 2.7597347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.359618E-4 | 3.559551E-4 | 1.0595106 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033561012 | 0.003376034 | 1.0059392 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.8528623E-6 | 2.9521898E-6 | 2.9521898E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.22264955E-5 | 1.265223E-5 | 1.265223E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4884741E-4 | 1.5403872E-4 | 1.5403872E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014874774 | 0.0015401727 | 0.0015401727 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.8528623E-6 | 2.9521898E-6 | 2.9521898E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.22264955E-5 | 1.265223E-5 | 1.265223E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4884741E-4 | 1.5403872E-4 | 1.5403872E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014874774 | 0.0015401727 | 0.0015401727 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.541E-6 | 2.629377E-6 | 2.629377E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0889954E-5 | 1.12687585E-5 | 1.12687585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3257713E-4 | 1.3719713E-4 | 1.3719713E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013249806 | 0.0013719713 | 0.0013719713 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hunting Creek - Berryessa 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1270982E-4 | 2.0030378E-4 | 2.0030378E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8295266E-4 | 8.5803E-4 | 8.5803E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058641075 | 0.010386846 | 0.010396742 | 1.0009527 | 1.0E-5 | 0.057117578 | 0.098047175 | 0.09806521 | 1.0001839 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1239393E-4 | 1.9978514E-4 | 1.9978514E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8159933E-4 | 8.5580896E-4 | 8.5580896E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0058477195 | 0.010360087 | 0.0103699835 | 1.0009552 | 1.0E-5 | 0.056962132 | 0.09780563 | 0.09782367 | 1.0001845 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.596265E-5 | 1.2934435E-4 | 1.2934435E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2551357E-4 | 5.5419275E-4 | 5.5419275E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039559277 | 0.0067217983 | 0.006731731 | 1.0014777 | 1.0E-5 | 0.038862433 | 0.06459713 | 0.06461584 | 1.0002896 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.78794E-5 | 1.14488445E-4 | 1.14488445E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9087928E-4 | 4.905581E-4 | 4.905581E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003535705 | 0.0059530404 | 0.005962981 | 1.0016698 | 1.0E-5 | 0.034799766 | 0.05747059 | 0.05748944 | 1.000328 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.2165134E-5 | 1.04353014E-4 | 1.04353014E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6639478E-4 | 4.4714147E-4 | 4.4714147E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032385332 | 0.0054277675 | 0.005437713 | 1.0018324 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03191742 | 0.05255537 | 0.052574318 | 1.0003606 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.4368087E-5 | 9.070785E-5 | 9.070785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3298527E-4 | 3.8868075E-4 | 3.8868075E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028329059 | 0.0047200057 | 0.0047299587 | 1.0021087 | 1.0E-5 | 0.027970633 | 0.045884725 | 0.045894265 | 1.0002079 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.729947E-5 | 7.847478E-5 | 7.847478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0269625E-4 | 3.3626758E-4 | 3.3626758E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002465034 | 0.0040850053 | 0.004094965 | 1.002438 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02437869 | 0.03985579 | 0.03986539 | 1.0002409 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6875328E-5 | 6.044556E-5 | 6.044556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5802756E-4 | 2.5902913E-4 | 2.5902913E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019222875 | 0.003148478 | 0.0031584464 | 1.0031661 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019057442 | 0.030896181 | 0.030905873 | 1.0003136 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.0292036E-5 | 2.8977893E-5 | 2.8977893E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6962966E-5 | 1.24185E-4 | 1.24185E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010582599 | 0.0015108909 | 0.0015208758 | 1.0066086 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010532344 | 0.014979766 | 0.014989616 | 1.0006576 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.7871042E-5 | 2.4473658E-5 | 2.4473658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.658793E-5 | 1.048829E-4 | 1.048829E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.320591E-4 | 0.0012762009 | 0.0012762009 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009281595 | 0.012681042 | 0.012681042 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.6415532E-5 | 2.1907508E-5 | 2.1907508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.035038E-5 | 9.388596E-5 | 9.388596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.561793E-4 | 0.0011424635 | 0.0011424635 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008528882 | 0.011365471 | 0.011365471 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.5409885E-5 | 2.0347476E-5 | 2.0347476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6040695E-5 | 8.720057E-5 | 8.720057E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0374884E-4 | 0.0010611526 | 0.0010611526 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00800848 | 0.010561355 | 0.010561355 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.4497423E-5 | 1.9056028E-5 | 1.9056028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.213033E-5 | 8.166615E-5 | 8.166615E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5617427E-4 | 9.938349E-4 | 9.938349E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0075360634 | 0.0098946635 | 0.0098946635 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3615175E-5 | 1.782716E-5 | 1.782716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8349444E-5 | 7.63999E-5 | 7.63999E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.101729E-4 | 9.297747E-4 | 9.297747E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0070790765 | 0.009259497 | 0.009259497 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.2252825E-5 | 1.6027197E-5 | 1.6027197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.251105E-5 | 6.86862E-5 | 6.86862E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.391345E-4 | 8.359364E-4 | 8.359364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063729943 | 0.008328496 | 0.008328496 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.0913301E-5 | 1.4241974E-5 | 1.4241974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6770452E-5 | 6.103562E-5 | 6.103562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6928146E-4 | 7.4285804E-4 | 7.4285804E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056782532 | 0.0074042967 | 0.0074042967 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.623192E-6 | 1.1235188E-5 | 1.1235188E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6956015E-5 | 4.8149934E-5 | 4.8149934E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4984656E-4 | 5.860703E-4 | 5.860703E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00448937 | 0.005845666 | 0.005845666 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.0993634E-6 | 2.6627222E-6 | 2.6627222E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.997241E-6 | 1.1411617E-5 | 1.1411617E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.09535904E-4 | 1.3892766E-4 | 1.3892766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010948193 | 0.0013884408 | 0.0013884408 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.8428308E-7 | 2.1675214E-7 | 2.1675214E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.897844E-7 | 9.289374E-7 | 9.289374E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.615583E-6 | 1.13097585E-5 | 1.13097585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.615166E-5 | 1.13085036E-4 | 1.13085036E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Luis Range 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.965491E-6 | 8.965491E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.8423015E-5 | 3.8423015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.6770766E-4 | 4.6770766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046003438 | 0.004668016 | 0.0046879225 | 1.0042645 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.965491E-6 | 8.965491E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.8423015E-5 | 3.8423015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.6770766E-4 | 4.6770766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046003438 | 0.004668016 | 0.0046879225 | 1.0042645 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.965491E-6 | 8.965491E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.8423015E-5 | 3.8423015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.6770766E-4 | 4.6770766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046003438 | 0.004668016 | 0.0046879225 | 1.0042645 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.965491E-6 | 8.965491E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.8423015E-5 | 3.8423015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.6770766E-4 | 4.6770766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046003438 | 0.004668016 | 0.0046879225 | 1.0042645 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.9094193E-6 | 3.9412203E-6 | 3.9412203E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6754546E-5 | 1.6890835E-5 | 1.6890835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.039675E-4 | 2.056268E-4 | 2.056268E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020378039 | 0.0020543942 | 0.0020743532 | 1.0097152 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.9094193E-6 | 3.9412203E-6 | 3.9412203E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6754546E-5 | 1.6890835E-5 | 1.6890835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.039675E-4 | 2.056268E-4 | 2.056268E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020378039 | 0.0020543942 | 0.0020743532 | 1.0097152 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.0587726E-6 | 3.0754024E-6 | 3.0754024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3108959E-5 | 1.3180231E-5 | 1.3180231E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.595899E-4 | 1.6045761E-4 | 1.6045761E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015947534 | 0.0016034296 | 0.0016233975 | 1.0124533 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6160574E-6 | 2.62514E-6 | 2.62514E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1211626E-5 | 1.1250552E-5 | 1.1250552E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3649299E-4 | 1.3696692E-4 | 1.3696692E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013640919 | 0.0013688311 | 0.0013788175 | 1.0072955 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.5110312E-6 | 2.5181523E-6 | 2.5181523E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0761518E-5 | 1.0792038E-5 | 1.0792038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.310136E-4 | 1.313852E-4 | 1.313852E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013093639 | 0.001313081 | 0.0013230679 | 1.0076057 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.8564405E-6 | 1.8524969E-6 | 1.8524969E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.95615E-6 | 7.9392485E-6 | 7.9392485E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.686181E-5 | 9.6656084E-5 | 9.6656084E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.68196E-4 | 9.6614246E-4 | 9.6614246E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.546127E-6 | 1.5369626E-6 | 1.5369626E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.626242E-6 | 6.586966E-6 | 6.586966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.06715E-5 | 8.0193364E-5 | 8.0193364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0642226E-4 | 8.01645E-4 | 8.01645E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.3368208E-6 | 1.3235406E-6 | 1.3235406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7292195E-6 | 5.6723043E-6 | 5.6723043E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.975101E-5 | 6.905812E-5 | 6.905812E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.972912E-4 | 6.903671E-4 | 6.903671E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0623363E-6 | 1.0454435E-6 | 1.0454435E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5528623E-6 | 4.480464E-6 | 4.480464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5429686E-5 | 5.454829E-5 | 5.454829E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5415864E-4 | 5.453493E-4 | 5.453493E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.831679E-7 | 7.727446E-7 | 7.727446E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3564295E-6 | 3.3117583E-6 | 3.3117583E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.086376E-5 | 4.0319912E-5 | 4.0319912E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0856248E-4 | 4.031261E-4 | 4.031261E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9558846E-7 | 5.9106844E-7 | 5.9106844E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5525194E-6 | 2.533148E-6 | 2.533148E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.107648E-5 | 3.084064E-5 | 3.084064E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1072134E-4 | 3.083637E-4 | 3.083637E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.1616502E-7 | 4.1196725E-7 | 4.1196725E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7835631E-6 | 1.7655726E-6 | 1.7655726E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1714664E-5 | 2.1495636E-5 | 2.1495636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1712543E-4 | 2.1493562E-4 | 2.1493562E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.3816014E-7 | 2.3376865E-7 | 2.3376865E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0206859E-6 | 1.0018651E-6 | 1.0018651E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.242678E-5 | 1.2197641E-5 | 1.2197641E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2426086E-4 | 1.2196973E-4 | 1.2196973E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 9.918777E-8 | 9.387001E-8 | 9.387001E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2509038E-7 | 4.0229997E-7 | 4.0229997E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1754632E-6 | 4.897991E-6 | 4.897991E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1753424E-5 | 4.8978836E-5 | 4.8978836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.4982556E-8 | 2.9688334E-8 | 2.9688334E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4992524E-7 | 1.2723571E-7 | 1.2723571E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8253382E-6 | 1.5490937E-6 | 1.5490937E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8253233E-5 | 1.5490828E-5 | 1.5490828E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.6624908E-8 | 1.1478492E-8 | 1.1478492E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.12496E-8 | 4.9193538E-8 | 4.9193538E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6746354E-7 | 5.9893114E-7 | 5.9893114E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.674601E-6 | 5.9892955E-6 | 5.9892955E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.3352315E-9 | 3.0895082E-9 | 3.0895082E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.715099E-8 | 1.3240751E-8 | 1.3240751E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3056327E-7 | 1.6120613E-7 | 1.6120613E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3056278E-6 | 1.6120601E-6 | 1.6120601E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Newport-Inglewood (Offshore)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9626508E-5 | 1.8965668E-5 | 1.8965668E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.411089E-5 | 8.1278966E-5 | 9.1278154E-5 | 1.123023 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001023569 | 9.891348E-4 | 0.001009115 | 1.0201997 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010188672 | 0.0098486645 | 0.009868467 | 1.0020107 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.331886E-5 | 1.2218305E-5 | 1.2218305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.707958E-5 | 5.236312E-5 | 6.23626E-5 | 1.1909641 | 1.0E-5 | 6.947222E-4 | 6.37336E-4 | 6.573233E-4 | 1.0313606 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006925544 | 0.006355259 | 0.006375132 | 1.003127 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2250852E-5 | 1.1076226E-5 | 1.1076226E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2502597E-5 | 4.746868E-5 | 5.7468205E-5 | 1.2106552 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3903164E-4 | 5.777789E-4 | 5.9776736E-4 | 1.0345954 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006371971 | 0.0057628886 | 0.0057827733 | 1.0034505 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2106258E-5 | 1.0919084E-5 | 1.0919084E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1882926E-5 | 4.679524E-5 | 5.6794775E-5 | 1.213687 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3149154E-4 | 5.695841E-4 | 5.795784E-4 | 1.0175467 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062970007 | 0.005681359 | 0.0056913025 | 1.0017501 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1348758E-5 | 1.0109544E-5 | 1.0109544E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8636626E-5 | 4.33259E-5 | 5.3325468E-5 | 1.2307988 | 1.0E-5 | 5.919901E-4 | 5.2736595E-4 | 5.3736067E-4 | 1.0189521 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005904155 | 0.0052612405 | 0.005271188 | 1.0018907 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.100837E-5 | 9.743565E-6 | 9.743565E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7177873E-5 | 4.175747E-5 | 5.1757055E-5 | 1.2394681 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7423924E-4 | 5.082794E-4 | 5.182743E-4 | 1.0196642 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005727576 | 0.00507126 | 0.0050812094 | 1.001962 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0634696E-5 | 9.345713E-6 | 9.345713E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.557647E-5 | 4.0052444E-5 | 5.0052044E-5 | 1.2496626 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5475225E-4 | 4.8753017E-4 | 4.9752527E-4 | 1.0205015 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0055336943 | 0.0048646927 | 0.0048746443 | 1.0020456 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.9780855E-6 | 8.668068E-6 | 8.668068E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.276252E-5 | 3.714834E-5 | 4.714797E-5 | 1.269181 | 1.0E-5 | 5.205093E-4 | 4.5218787E-4 | 4.6218335E-4 | 1.0221047 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051929182 | 0.0045127566 | 0.0045227115 | 1.002206 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.59546E-6 | 8.273098E-6 | 8.273098E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1122752E-5 | 3.5455654E-5 | 4.5455297E-5 | 1.2820325 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0055445E-4 | 4.3158774E-4 | 4.4158343E-4 | 1.0231602 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004994285 | 0.0043075713 | 0.004317528 | 1.0023115 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.000614E-6 | 7.706979E-6 | 7.706979E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.857349E-5 | 3.3029493E-5 | 4.3029162E-5 | 1.3027498 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6953102E-4 | 4.0206054E-4 | 4.120565E-4 | 1.0248619 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004685402 | 0.004013403 | 0.004023363 | 1.0024817 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.4070194E-6 | 6.1489986E-6 | 6.1489986E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1743984E-5 | 2.6352585E-5 | 3.635232E-5 | 1.3794594 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8641447E-4 | 3.2079566E-4 | 3.3079245E-4 | 1.0311625 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0038574322 | 0.0032033455 | 0.0032133134 | 1.0031117 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 6.299615E-6 | 5.0566796E-6 | 5.0566796E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.699807E-5 | 2.1671305E-5 | 3.1671087E-5 | 1.4614297 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2865192E-4 | 2.6381633E-4 | 2.7381367E-4 | 1.0378952 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003281663 | 0.0026350461 | 0.0026450197 | 1.003785 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.096653E-6 | 3.892838E-6 | 3.892838E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1842614E-5 | 1.6683483E-5 | 2.6683318E-5 | 1.5993851 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6590136E-4 | 2.031026E-4 | 2.1310056E-4 | 1.0492262 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026558342 | 0.0020291808 | 0.0020391606 | 1.0049181 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.9753018E-6 | 2.9099233E-6 | 2.9099233E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7036897E-5 | 1.2471041E-5 | 2.2470917E-5 | 1.8018477 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0740448E-4 | 1.5182442E-4 | 1.618229E-4 | 1.0658555 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00207211 | 0.001517215 | 0.0015271999 | 1.0065811 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.0568392E-6 | 2.145007E-6 | 2.145007E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3100675E-5 | 9.192856E-6 | 9.192856E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5948903E-4 | 1.1191733E-4 | 1.1191733E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015937461 | 0.001118616 | 0.001118616 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7279019E-6 | 1.146984E-6 | 1.146984E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.405273E-6 | 4.915637E-6 | 4.915637E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.015547E-5 | 5.9846276E-5 | 5.9846276E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.01189E-4 | 5.983054E-4 | 5.983054E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.1156416E-6 | 7.223088E-7 | 7.223088E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7813123E-6 | 3.0956057E-6 | 3.0956057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.821092E-5 | 3.7688373E-5 | 3.7688373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8195676E-4 | 3.7682214E-4 | 3.7682214E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 9.117973E-8 | 6.734289E-8 | 6.734289E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.907702E-7 | 2.8861234E-7 | 2.8861234E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.757617E-6 | 3.51385E-6 | 3.51385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7575148E-5 | 3.5137975E-5 | 3.5137975E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Oak Ridge (Onshore)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9526804E-5 | 2.9526804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2653752E-4 | 1.2653752E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395436 | 0.0015495282 | 1.0064855 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293225 | 0.015312918 | 1.0012878 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9526804E-5 | 2.9526804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2653752E-4 | 1.2653752E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395436 | 0.0015495282 | 1.0064855 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293225 | 0.015312918 | 1.0012878 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9526804E-5 | 2.9526804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2653752E-4 | 1.2653752E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395436 | 0.0015495282 | 1.0064855 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293225 | 0.015312918 | 1.0012878 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9526804E-5 | 2.9526804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2653752E-4 | 1.2653752E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395436 | 0.0015495282 | 1.0064855 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293225 | 0.015312918 | 1.0012878 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9526804E-5 | 2.9526804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2653752E-4 | 1.2653752E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395436 | 0.0015495282 | 1.0064855 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293225 | 0.015312918 | 1.0012878 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9526804E-5 | 2.9526804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2653752E-4 | 1.2653752E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395436 | 0.0015495282 | 1.0064855 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293225 | 0.015312918 | 1.0012878 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9526804E-5 | 2.9526804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2653752E-4 | 1.2653752E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395436 | 0.0015495282 | 1.0064855 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015293225 | 0.015312918 | 1.0012878 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.098897E-5 | 2.886498E-5 | 2.886498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.328031E-4 | 1.2370141E-4 | 1.2370141E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016156785 | 0.0015050618 | 0.0015150467 | 1.0066342 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016039822 | 0.014953067 | 0.014972768 | 1.0013175 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.0449872E-5 | 2.8240156E-5 | 2.8240156E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3049292E-4 | 1.2102384E-4 | 1.2102384E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015875935 | 0.0014725066 | 0.0014824918 | 1.0067811 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015762992 | 0.014631804 | 0.014651512 | 1.0013468 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.697928E-5 | 2.4220424E-5 | 2.4220424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.15620365E-4 | 1.03797815E-4 | 1.03797815E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014067689 | 0.0012630273 | 0.0012730147 | 1.0079075 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0139789665 | 0.012561144 | 0.012580893 | 1.0015723 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.4893961E-5 | 2.1862621E-5 | 2.1862621E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0668404E-4 | 9.3693685E-5 | 9.3693685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012981043 | 0.0011401414 | 0.00115013 | 1.0087608 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012905477 | 0.011345143 | 0.011355029 | 1.0008714 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.0945363E-5 | 1.735493E-5 | 1.735493E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.976275E-5 | 7.4376185E-5 | 7.4376185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010923136 | 9.051586E-4 | 9.151495E-4 | 1.0110378 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0108696 | 0.009015591 | 0.009025501 | 1.0010992 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0439404E-5 | 1.6809854E-5 | 1.6809854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7594504E-5 | 7.204027E-5 | 7.204027E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010659413 | 8.7674195E-4 | 8.867332E-4 | 1.0113958 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010608427 | 0.008733687 | 0.008743599 | 1.001135 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.8463334E-5 | 1.538222E-5 | 1.538222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.912617E-5 | 6.592216E-5 | 6.592216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6293533E-4 | 8.023111E-4 | 8.123031E-4 | 1.012454 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009587734 | 0.007994948 | 0.0080048675 | 1.0012408 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.763139E-5 | 1.4517222E-5 | 1.4517222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.556091E-5 | 6.221521E-5 | 6.221521E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1956573E-4 | 7.5721083E-4 | 7.672033E-4 | 1.0131963 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009157699 | 0.007547051 | 0.0075569754 | 1.001315 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.3594944E-5 | 1.116355E-5 | 1.116355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8262744E-5 | 4.784292E-5 | 4.784292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0911803E-4 | 5.823344E-4 | 5.923286E-4 | 1.0171623 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007068595 | 0.0058083744 | 0.0058183162 | 1.0017116 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.9889534E-6 | 5.6367876E-6 | 5.6367876E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9952313E-5 | 2.415744E-5 | 2.415744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.646084E-4 | 2.9407756E-4 | 2.9407756E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036401073 | 0.0029369278 | 0.0029369278 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.0824193E-6 | 3.2833102E-6 | 3.2833102E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7495966E-5 | 1.4071255E-5 | 1.4071255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1299256E-4 | 1.7130419E-4 | 1.7130419E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021278851 | 0.0017117348 | 0.0017117348 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.7023609E-6 | 1.4370763E-6 | 1.4370763E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.295812E-6 | 6.1588844E-6 | 6.1588844E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.882289E-5 | 7.4981865E-5 | 7.4981865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8787393E-4 | 7.4956845E-4 | 7.4956845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.721225E-7 | 2.2617206E-7 | 2.2617206E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1662388E-6 | 9.693085E-7 | 9.693085E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4198865E-5 | 1.180127E-5 | 1.180127E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4197957E-4 | 1.1800671E-4 | 1.1800671E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 9.364255E-9 | 5.120952E-9 | 5.120952E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0132523E-8 | 2.1946938E-8 | 2.1946938E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8861335E-7 | 2.6720394E-7 | 2.6720394E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8861225E-6 | 2.6720365E-6 | 2.6720365E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Emerson-Copper Mtn 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1364202E-5 | 9.968256E-6 | 9.968256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1557646E-5 | 4.2720443E-5 | 4.2720443E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011141442 | 5.20006E-4 | 5.3000083E-4 | 1.0192206 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011085749 | 0.0051887617 | 0.005208658 | 1.0038345 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1364202E-5 | 9.968256E-6 | 9.968256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1557646E-5 | 4.2720443E-5 | 4.2720443E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011141442 | 5.20006E-4 | 5.3000083E-4 | 1.0192206 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011085749 | 0.0051887617 | 0.005208658 | 1.0038345 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1364202E-5 | 9.968256E-6 | 9.968256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1557646E-5 | 4.2720443E-5 | 4.2720443E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011141442 | 5.20006E-4 | 5.3000083E-4 | 1.0192206 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011085749 | 0.0051887617 | 0.005208658 | 1.0038345 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7751237E-5 | 8.089326E-6 | 8.089326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.607452E-5 | 3.4668115E-5 | 3.4668115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.258136E-4 | 4.2200883E-4 | 4.320046E-4 | 1.0236862 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00921966 | 0.004212697 | 0.004232613 | 1.0047276 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7751237E-5 | 8.089326E-6 | 8.089326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.607452E-5 | 3.4668115E-5 | 3.4668115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.258136E-4 | 4.2200883E-4 | 4.320046E-4 | 1.0236862 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00921966 | 0.004212697 | 0.004232613 | 1.0047276 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5886664E-5 | 6.603852E-6 | 6.603852E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.808392E-5 | 2.8301942E-5 | 2.8301942E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.286065E-4 | 3.4452634E-4 | 3.4452634E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008255237 | 0.0034403866 | 0.0034503522 | 1.0028967 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5886664E-5 | 6.603852E-6 | 6.603852E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.808392E-5 | 2.8301942E-5 | 2.8301942E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.286065E-4 | 3.4452634E-4 | 3.4452634E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008255237 | 0.0034403866 | 0.0034503522 | 1.0028967 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.428471E-5 | 5.4703914E-6 | 5.4703914E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.121875E-5 | 2.3444345E-5 | 2.3444345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.450834E-4 | 2.8540145E-4 | 2.8540145E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007425902 | 0.0028507372 | 0.0028607086 | 1.0034978 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.3490684E-5 | 5.073667E-6 | 5.073667E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7815934E-5 | 2.1744128E-5 | 2.1744128E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0368167E-4 | 2.6470647E-4 | 2.6470647E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007014576 | 0.0026442925 | 0.002654266 | 1.0037718 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2235421E-5 | 4.289603E-6 | 4.289603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2436466E-5 | 1.8383904E-5 | 1.8383904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.38227E-4 | 2.2380464E-4 | 2.2380464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063639707 | 0.0022361467 | 0.0022461244 | 1.004462 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1009851E-5 | 3.7188884E-6 | 3.7188884E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7184225E-5 | 1.5938014E-5 | 1.5938014E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.743165E-4 | 1.9403148E-4 | 1.9403148E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005728345 | 0.0019389585 | 0.0019489392 | 1.0051475 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.726373E-6 | 3.2116202E-6 | 3.2116202E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.168379E-5 | 1.3764033E-5 | 1.3764033E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.07382E-4 | 1.6756759E-4 | 1.6756759E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050622504 | 0.0016747436 | 0.0016847268 | 1.0059611 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.9335127E-6 | 1.1524539E-6 | 1.1524539E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6857803E-5 | 4.939079E-6 | 4.939079E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0522442E-4 | 6.013169E-5 | 6.013169E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00205035 | 6.011601E-4 | 6.1115413E-4 | 1.0166245 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.661632E-6 | 6.91127E-7 | 6.91127E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.14069435E-5 | 2.9619696E-6 | 2.9619696E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3887069E-4 | 3.6061392E-5 | 3.6061392E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013878393 | 3.6055644E-4 | 3.6055644E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0893426E-6 | 5.461661E-7 | 5.461661E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.954295E-6 | 2.34071E-6 | 2.34071E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0901308E-4 | 2.8497774E-5 | 2.8497774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010895962 | 2.8494175E-4 | 2.8494175E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6029638E-7 | 3.6029638E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5441265E-6 | 1.5441265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.8799583E-5 | 1.8799583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8798039E-4 | 1.8798039E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.119761E-8 | 7.119761E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.051326E-7 | 3.051326E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.7149848E-6 | 3.7149848E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.7149384E-5 | 3.7149384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hosgri
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9129049E-5 | 2.9129049E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.2483296E-4 | 1.2483296E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015037085 | 0.0015188089 | 0.0015287937 | 1.0065742 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01493574 | 0.015088068 | 0.015107767 | 1.0013056 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9129049E-5 | 2.9129049E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.2483296E-4 | 1.2483296E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015037085 | 0.0015188089 | 0.0015287937 | 1.0065742 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01493574 | 0.015088068 | 0.015107767 | 1.0013056 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9129049E-5 | 2.9129049E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.2483296E-4 | 1.2483296E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015037085 | 0.0015188089 | 0.0015287937 | 1.0065742 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01493574 | 0.015088068 | 0.015107767 | 1.0013056 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.2914428E-5 | 2.2642473E-5 | 2.2642473E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.8200995E-5 | 9.703559E-5 | 9.703559E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011949413 | 0.0011807729 | 0.0011907611 | 1.008459 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011885363 | 0.011746396 | 0.011766161 | 1.0016826 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0195741E-5 | 1.9697012E-5 | 1.9697012E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.65503E-5 | 8.441305E-5 | 8.441305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010532405 | 0.0010272462 | 0.001037236 | 1.0097247 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010482626 | 0.01022603 | 0.010245825 | 1.0019358 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9924333E-5 | 1.940943E-5 | 1.940943E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.53872E-5 | 8.318063E-5 | 8.318063E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010390934 | 0.0010122556 | 0.0010222455 | 1.009869 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010342481 | 0.010077489 | 0.010097287 | 1.0019646 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.809694E-5 | 1.745872E-5 | 1.745872E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7556004E-5 | 7.482094E-5 | 7.482094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.438353E-4 | 9.105656E-4 | 9.205565E-4 | 1.0109721 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009398366 | 0.009069294 | 0.009089112 | 1.0021852 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.675989E-5 | 1.6043165E-5 | 1.6043165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.182612E-5 | 6.875461E-5 | 6.875461E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7413215E-4 | 8.367671E-4 | 8.467587E-4 | 1.0119407 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008707017 | 0.008337073 | 0.0083569065 | 1.002379 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5401129E-5 | 1.4614462E-5 | 1.4614462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6003166E-5 | 6.263191E-5 | 6.263191E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.032922E-4 | 7.622776E-4 | 7.7226997E-4 | 1.0131086 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008003947 | 0.0075974963 | 0.0076173446 | 1.0026125 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.356559E-5 | 1.26903215E-5 | 1.26903215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8136946E-5 | 5.438596E-5 | 5.438596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0758746E-4 | 6.6194835E-4 | 6.719417E-4 | 1.0150969 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007053386 | 0.0066005746 | 0.0066204425 | 1.00301 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2030819E-5 | 1.1096295E-5 | 1.1096295E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.155963E-5 | 4.755468E-5 | 4.755468E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.275577E-4 | 5.7882455E-4 | 5.8881874E-4 | 1.0172664 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006257884 | 0.005773933 | 0.0057838755 | 1.001722 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0972698E-5 | 1.00225E-5 | 1.00225E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7025E-5 | 4.2952863E-5 | 4.2952863E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.72379E-4 | 5.228257E-4 | 5.328205E-4 | 1.0191169 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057090693 | 0.005216712 | 0.00522666 | 1.0019069 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.961926E-6 | 9.035055E-6 | 9.035055E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2693267E-5 | 3.872109E-5 | 3.872109E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1966653E-4 | 4.7132734E-4 | 4.8132264E-4 | 1.0212066 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00518453 | 0.0047040265 | 0.0047139795 | 1.0021158 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.700929E-6 | 7.828399E-6 | 7.828399E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7289166E-5 | 3.354985E-5 | 3.354985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.53901E-4 | 4.083929E-4 | 4.183888E-4 | 1.0244762 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00452975 | 0.004077167 | 0.004087126 | 1.0024427 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.866285E-6 | 6.9990288E-6 | 6.9990288E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3712215E-5 | 2.9995494E-5 | 2.9995494E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.103689E-4 | 3.6513395E-4 | 3.751303E-4 | 1.0273772 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004096119 | 0.0036460808 | 0.0036560444 | 1.0027326 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.8381305E-6 | 5.9599743E-6 | 5.9599743E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9305946E-5 | 2.5542497E-5 | 2.5542497E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5674145E-4 | 3.1093555E-4 | 3.2093242E-4 | 1.032151 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0035616932 | 0.003105743 | 0.003115712 | 1.0032098 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.503376E-6 | 4.595505E-6 | 4.595505E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3585684E-5 | 1.9694873E-5 | 1.9694873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8711787E-4 | 2.3975871E-4 | 2.497563E-4 | 1.0416986 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002867472 | 0.0023957368 | 0.0024057126 | 1.0041641 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.6144982E-6 | 2.6524476E-6 | 2.6524476E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5490614E-5 | 1.1367583E-5 | 1.1367583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8858191E-4 | 1.3839154E-4 | 1.4839016E-4 | 1.0722487 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018842196 | 0.001383788 | 0.0013937742 | 1.0072166 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.9853494E-6 | 1.1362964E-6 | 1.1362964E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.508612E-6 | 4.8698325E-6 | 4.8698325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0358743E-4 | 5.9288595E-5 | 6.9288006E-5 | 1.1686565 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010353916 | 5.9346115E-4 | 6.0345524E-4 | 1.0168403 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.1818757E-6 | 5.2964714E-7 | 5.2964714E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0651715E-6 | 2.2699141E-6 | 2.2699141E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1666724E-5 | 2.7635855E-5 | 2.7635855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1649614E-4 | 2.7701168E-4 | 2.7701168E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.962958E-7 | 2.714832E-7 | 2.714832E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9841215E-6 | 1.1634988E-6 | 1.1634988E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6331072E-5 | 1.4165506E-5 | 1.4165506E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6325134E-4 | 1.4221137E-4 | 1.4221137E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.5033264E-7 | 6.529415E-8 | 6.529415E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.442826E-7 | 2.7983205E-7 | 2.7983205E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.844113E-6 | 3.40695E-6 | 3.40695E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.843835E-5 | 3.4084936E-5 | 3.4084936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Concord 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.7865112E-5 | 9.758834E-5 | 9.758834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4796976E-4 | 4.181734E-4 | 4.2816924E-4 | 1.0239035 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030148525 | 0.0050798766 | 0.0050898255 | 1.0019586 | 1.0E-5 | 0.029742775 | 0.049259964 | 0.049278982 | 1.000386 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.7865112E-5 | 9.758834E-5 | 9.758834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4796976E-4 | 4.181734E-4 | 4.2816924E-4 | 1.0239035 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030148525 | 0.0050798766 | 0.0050898255 | 1.0019586 | 1.0E-5 | 0.029742775 | 0.049259964 | 0.049278982 | 1.000386 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.6789337E-5 | 9.5790725E-5 | 9.5790725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4336016E-4 | 4.1047184E-4 | 4.2046772E-4 | 1.0243522 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029588845 | 0.0049865968 | 0.004996547 | 1.0019953 | 1.0E-5 | 0.029197963 | 0.048376463 | 0.048395496 | 1.0003934 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.203322E-5 | 8.8034234E-5 | 8.8034234E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2298045E-4 | 3.7723943E-4 | 3.8723566E-4 | 1.0264983 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027114071 | 0.0045840014 | 0.004593956 | 1.0021715 | 1.0E-5 | 0.026785625 | 0.04454745 | 0.044566557 | 1.0004289 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.7120942E-5 | 7.8977384E-5 | 7.8977384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0193127E-4 | 3.384348E-4 | 3.484314E-4 | 1.0295378 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024557412 | 0.004113404 | 0.0041233627 | 1.002421 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024287801 | 0.04007295 | 0.040082548 | 1.0002395 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.9598437E-5 | 4.6676425E-5 | 4.6676425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2684427E-4 | 2.0002767E-4 | 2.0002767E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001543235 | 0.0024328271 | 0.0024328271 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015325619 | 0.02390995 | 0.02390995 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.0443718E-5 | 2.9985395E-5 | 2.9985395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7613E-5 | 1.2850271E-4 | 1.2850271E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010661662 | 0.0015634339 | 0.0015634339 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010610655 | 0.015467507 | 0.015467507 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.798539E-5 | 2.5558375E-5 | 2.5558375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7077966E-5 | 1.09531415E-4 | 1.09531415E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.380202E-4 | 0.0013327508 | 0.0013327508 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009340706 | 0.013218022 | 0.013218022 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.613555E-5 | 2.1960059E-5 | 2.1960059E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.915052E-5 | 9.411122E-5 | 9.411122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4158237E-4 | 0.0011452158 | 0.0011452158 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008384023 | 0.011378631 | 0.011378631 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.2916435E-5 | 1.7081753E-5 | 1.7081753E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5354973E-5 | 7.320549E-5 | 7.320549E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7373837E-4 | 8.9091825E-4 | 8.9091825E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006716994 | 0.008867901 | 0.008867901 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 9.81129E-6 | 1.2631409E-5 | 1.2631409E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2047708E-5 | 5.4133496E-5 | 5.4133496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.118106E-4 | 6.5887766E-4 | 6.5887766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005106334 | 0.0065697585 | 0.0065697585 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.0889195E-6 | 1.041878E-5 | 1.041878E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4666336E-5 | 4.4651155E-5 | 4.4651155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.219809E-4 | 5.434933E-4 | 5.434933E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004211805 | 0.0054221638 | 0.0054221638 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.267438E-6 | 8.11616E-6 | 8.11616E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6860173E-5 | 3.478308E-5 | 3.478308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2697353E-4 | 4.2340247E-4 | 4.2340247E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032649285 | 0.004226499 | 0.004226499 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.6761196E-6 | 4.840511E-6 | 4.840511E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5754704E-5 | 2.0744883E-5 | 2.0744883E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9179663E-4 | 2.525399E-4 | 2.525399E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019163118 | 0.002522705 | 0.002522705 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.8044356E-6 | 3.7099148E-6 | 3.7099148E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2018954E-5 | 1.5899539E-5 | 1.5899539E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4632095E-4 | 1.935598E-4 | 1.935598E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014622464 | 0.0019341072 | 0.0019341072 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.4578699E-6 | 3.2450284E-6 | 3.2450284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0533685E-5 | 1.3907191E-5 | 1.3907191E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2824008E-4 | 1.6930701E-4 | 1.6930701E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012816609 | 0.0016919606 | 0.0016919606 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.7713267E-6 | 2.3352045E-6 | 2.3352045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.591378E-6 | 1.00079815E-5 | 1.00079815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2421105E-5 | 1.2184045E-4 | 1.2184045E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2382677E-4 | 0.0012178407 | 0.0012178407 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.1912366E-7 | 6.82939E-7 | 6.82939E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2248137E-6 | 2.9268783E-6 | 2.9268783E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.708677E-5 | 3.5634173E-5 | 3.5634173E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.708347E-4 | 3.5629436E-4 | 3.5629436E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Simi-Santa Rosa
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.198912E-5 | 2.227606E-5 | 2.227606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4235686E-5 | 9.546558E-5 | 9.546558E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011467156 | 0.0011617175 | 0.0011617175 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011408163 | 0.011560893 | 0.011580662 | 1.0017099 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.198912E-5 | 2.227606E-5 | 2.227606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4235686E-5 | 9.546558E-5 | 9.546558E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011467156 | 0.0011617175 | 0.0011617175 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011408163 | 0.011560893 | 0.011580662 | 1.0017099 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.69983E-5 | 1.6669032E-5 | 1.6669032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.284782E-5 | 7.143691E-5 | 7.143691E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.865613E-4 | 8.694265E-4 | 8.694265E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008830327 | 0.008663172 | 0.008682999 | 1.0022886 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.69983E-5 | 1.6669032E-5 | 1.6669032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.284782E-5 | 7.143691E-5 | 7.143691E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.865613E-4 | 8.694265E-4 | 8.694265E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008830327 | 0.008663172 | 0.008682999 | 1.0022886 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4666188E-5 | 1.4052948E-5 | 1.4052948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.285358E-5 | 6.022567E-5 | 6.022567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6497364E-4 | 7.330258E-4 | 7.330258E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0076234564 | 0.007308554 | 0.007328408 | 1.0027165 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4666188E-5 | 1.4052948E-5 | 1.4052948E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.285358E-5 | 6.022567E-5 | 6.022567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6497364E-4 | 7.330258E-4 | 7.330258E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0076234564 | 0.007308554 | 0.007328408 | 1.0027165 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4377586E-5 | 1.3729979E-5 | 1.3729979E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1616774E-5 | 5.8841582E-5 | 5.8841582E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4992597E-4 | 7.1618566E-4 | 7.1618566E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007474003 | 0.007141244 | 0.0071611013 | 1.0027807 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3881404E-5 | 1.3207935E-5 | 1.3207935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9490372E-5 | 5.6604345E-5 | 5.6604345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.240546E-4 | 6.8896473E-4 | 6.8896473E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007217 | 0.0068707373 | 0.0068906 | 1.002891 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0176516E-5 | 9.15443E-6 | 9.15443E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3612912E-5 | 3.9232775E-5 | 3.9232775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.308578E-4 | 4.7757092E-4 | 4.7757092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052959146 | 0.00476708 | 0.0047869845 | 1.0041754 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.699797E-6 | 8.7749895E-6 | 8.7749895E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.15699E-5 | 3.760665E-5 | 3.760665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.05996E-4 | 4.5778122E-4 | 4.5778122E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005048454 | 0.00457 | 0.0045899088 | 1.0043564 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.4049476E-6 | 6.55954E-6 | 6.55954E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1735104E-5 | 2.8112083E-5 | 2.8112083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8630638E-4 | 3.422235E-4 | 3.422235E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038563553 | 0.0034182072 | 0.003428173 | 1.0029155 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.873439E-6 | 2.7596088E-6 | 2.7596088E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6600346E-5 | 1.1826844E-5 | 1.1826844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0209046E-4 | 1.4398254E-4 | 1.4398254E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020190678 | 0.0014389161 | 0.0014389161 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.417706E-6 | 2.3677424E-6 | 2.3677424E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4647229E-5 | 1.014743E-5 | 1.014743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7831543E-4 | 1.2353818E-4 | 1.2353818E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017817242 | 0.0012347173 | 0.0012347173 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.90225E-6 | 1.4074757E-6 | 1.4074757E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.152474E-6 | 6.032025E-6 | 6.032025E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9251854E-5 | 7.343745E-5 | 7.343745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.920754E-4 | 7.3413405E-4 | 7.3413405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.5170556E-6 | 1.102575E-6 | 1.102575E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5016507E-6 | 4.7253125E-6 | 4.7253125E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.915472E-5 | 5.7529174E-5 | 5.7529174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9126534E-4 | 5.7514396E-4 | 5.7514396E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.178732E-6 | 8.536041E-7 | 8.536041E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0516987E-6 | 3.658298E-6 | 3.658298E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1502695E-5 | 4.453888E-5 | 4.453888E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.148568E-4 | 4.4530048E-4 | 4.4530048E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.8722386E-7 | 4.794092E-7 | 4.794092E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9452417E-6 | 2.0546092E-6 | 2.0546092E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5857727E-5 | 2.5014582E-5 | 2.5014582E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5851944E-4 | 2.501178E-4 | 2.501178E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.5126515E-7 | 3.6739763E-7 | 3.6739763E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3625628E-6 | 1.5745603E-6 | 1.5745603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8763823E-5 | 1.9170104E-5 | 1.9170104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.87601E-4 | 1.9168462E-4 | 1.9168462E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.3860243E-7 | 2.0081673E-7 | 2.0081673E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4511525E-6 | 8.6064284E-7 | 8.6064284E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7667637E-5 | 1.0478277E-5 | 1.0478277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7666233E-4 | 1.0477788E-4 | 1.0477788E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.7955386E-7 | 1.4654596E-7 | 1.4654596E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1980875E-6 | 6.2805395E-7 | 6.2805395E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4586617E-5 | 7.64653E-6 | 7.64653E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.458566E-4 | 7.646272E-5 | 7.646272E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.6259015E-8 | 3.335591E-8 | 3.335591E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4111003E-7 | 1.429539E-7 | 1.429539E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9355108E-6 | 1.7404624E-6 | 1.7404624E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.935472E-5 | 1.7404502E-5 | 1.7404502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elysian Park (Upper)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.703685E-5 | 3.703685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5872237E-4 | 1.5872237E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019312033 | 0.001941184 | 1.0051681 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.019190663 | 0.019210279 | 1.0010222 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.703685E-5 | 3.703685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5872237E-4 | 1.5872237E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019312033 | 0.001941184 | 1.0051681 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.019190663 | 0.019210279 | 1.0010222 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.703685E-5 | 3.703685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5872237E-4 | 1.5872237E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019312033 | 0.001941184 | 1.0051681 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.019190663 | 0.019210279 | 1.0010222 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.703685E-5 | 3.703685E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5872237E-4 | 1.5872237E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019312033 | 0.001941184 | 1.0051681 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.019190663 | 0.019210279 | 1.0010222 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.120317E-5 | 2.120317E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.086854E-5 | 9.086854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011059346 | 0.0011159235 | 1.0090321 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010006315 | 0.01102112 | 0.011031009 | 1.0008974 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.120317E-5 | 2.120317E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.086854E-5 | 9.086854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011059346 | 0.0011159235 | 1.0090321 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010006315 | 0.01102112 | 0.011031009 | 1.0008974 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.813258E-6 | 9.665789E-6 | 9.665789E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.205614E-5 | 4.142419E-5 | 4.142419E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.119132E-4 | 5.042301E-4 | 5.1422504E-4 | 1.0198222 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005107356 | 0.005031584 | 0.005041533 | 1.0019774 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.801478E-6 | 9.653358E-6 | 9.653358E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2005657E-5 | 4.137092E-5 | 4.137092E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.112989E-4 | 5.035818E-4 | 5.135767E-4 | 1.0198478 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051012407 | 0.00502513 | 0.00503508 | 1.00198 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.102489E-6 | 7.773152E-6 | 7.773152E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4724493E-5 | 3.3313114E-5 | 3.3313114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2268867E-4 | 4.0551662E-4 | 4.1551256E-4 | 1.0246499 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004218856 | 0.0040482604 | 0.00405822 | 1.0024602 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.08275E-6 | 5.481535E-6 | 5.481535E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6068668E-5 | 2.3492086E-5 | 2.3492086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.173398E-4 | 2.859794E-4 | 2.9597653E-4 | 1.0349575 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031688702 | 0.0028561912 | 0.0028661627 | 1.0034912 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.5995934E-6 | 4.982854E-6 | 4.982854E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3998036E-5 | 2.1354917E-5 | 2.1354917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9213692E-4 | 2.5996577E-4 | 2.6996317E-4 | 1.0384566 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029175316 | 0.002596684 | 0.002606658 | 1.003841 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.709881E-6 | 4.08746E-6 | 4.08746E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0185047E-5 | 1.751757E-5 | 1.751757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4572524E-4 | 2.1325596E-4 | 2.1325596E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002454537 | 0.0021305545 | 0.0021305545 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.6063436E-6 | 2.977991E-6 | 2.977991E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5455667E-5 | 1.2762757E-5 | 1.2762757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.881565E-4 | 1.553756E-4 | 1.553756E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018799726 | 0.0015526809 | 0.0015526809 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.471135E-6 | 2.0954924E-6 | 2.0954924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0590536E-5 | 8.980652E-6 | 8.980652E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2893214E-4 | 1.0933402E-4 | 1.0933402E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012885736 | 0.0010928095 | 0.0010928095 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.163943E-6 | 1.0275255E-6 | 1.0275255E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.988318E-6 | 4.4036733E-6 | 4.4036733E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0731076E-5 | 5.3613436E-5 | 5.3613436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.071448E-4 | 5.36008E-4 | 5.36008E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.99459E-7 | 4.917695E-7 | 4.917695E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.140537E-6 | 2.107582E-6 | 2.107582E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6060725E-5 | 2.5659525E-5 | 2.5659525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.605767E-4 | 2.5656717E-4 | 2.5656717E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.4667852E-7 | 2.477887E-7 | 2.477887E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0571932E-6 | 1.0619511E-6 | 1.0619511E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2871251E-5 | 1.2929182E-5 | 1.2929182E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2870505E-4 | 1.2928467E-4 | 1.2928467E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.2312795E-8 | 7.3867355E-8 | 7.3867355E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.527691E-7 | 3.1657436E-7 | 3.1657436E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.294955E-6 | 3.854287E-6 | 3.854287E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2948723E-5 | 3.854232E-5 | 3.854232E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7819295E-8 | 1.7567944E-8 | 1.7567944E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1922555E-7 | 7.529118E-8 | 7.529118E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45157E-6 | 9.1666993E-7 | 9.1666993E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45156055E-5 | 9.166676E-6 | 9.166676E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Breckenridge 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1490393E-6 | 6.7380665E-7 | 6.7380665E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.924445E-6 | 2.8877396E-6 | 2.8877396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.995347E-5 | 3.5157685E-5 | 5.515698E-5 | 1.5688456 | 2.0E-5 | 5.9937296E-4 | 3.5152328E-4 | 3.7151625E-4 | 1.0568752 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1490393E-6 | 6.7380665E-7 | 6.7380665E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.924445E-6 | 2.8877396E-6 | 2.8877396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.995347E-5 | 3.5157685E-5 | 5.515698E-5 | 1.5688456 | 2.0E-5 | 5.9937296E-4 | 3.5152328E-4 | 3.7151625E-4 | 1.0568752 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1490393E-6 | 6.7380665E-7 | 6.7380665E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.924445E-6 | 2.8877396E-6 | 2.8877396E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.995347E-5 | 3.5157685E-5 | 5.515698E-5 | 1.5688456 | 2.0E-5 | 5.9937296E-4 | 3.5152328E-4 | 3.7151625E-4 | 1.0568752 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.064617E-6 | 5.886463E-7 | 5.886463E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5626366E-6 | 2.5227673E-6 | 2.5227673E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5548684E-5 | 3.0714273E-5 | 5.0713657E-5 | 1.6511431 | 2.0E-5 | 5.55348E-4 | 3.0710144E-4 | 3.2709527E-4 | 1.0651051 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.064617E-6 | 5.886463E-7 | 5.886463E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5626366E-6 | 2.5227673E-6 | 2.5227673E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5548684E-5 | 3.0714273E-5 | 5.0713657E-5 | 1.6511431 | 2.0E-5 | 5.55348E-4 | 3.0710144E-4 | 3.2709527E-4 | 1.0651051 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.064617E-6 | 5.886463E-7 | 5.886463E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5626366E-6 | 2.5227673E-6 | 2.5227673E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5548684E-5 | 3.0714273E-5 | 5.0713657E-5 | 1.6511431 | 2.0E-5 | 5.55348E-4 | 3.0710144E-4 | 3.2709527E-4 | 1.0651051 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.064617E-6 | 5.886463E-7 | 5.886463E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5626366E-6 | 2.5227673E-6 | 2.5227673E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5548684E-5 | 3.0714273E-5 | 5.0713657E-5 | 1.6511431 | 2.0E-5 | 5.55348E-4 | 3.0710144E-4 | 3.2709527E-4 | 1.0651051 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.4219524E-7 | 4.9540677E-7 | 4.9540677E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.037973E-6 | 2.1231701E-6 | 2.1231701E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.916122E-5 | 2.5849296E-5 | 4.584878E-5 | 1.7736955 | 2.0E-5 | 4.9150345E-4 | 2.5846355E-4 | 2.7845838E-4 | 1.0773604 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.556422E-7 | 4.311966E-7 | 4.311966E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.667033E-6 | 1.8479842E-6 | 1.8479842E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.464521E-5 | 2.249898E-5 | 4.249853E-5 | 1.8889092 | 2.0E-5 | 4.4636242E-4 | 2.2496741E-4 | 2.4496292E-4 | 1.0888817 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.7357794E-7 | 3.8420274E-7 | 3.8420274E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3153299E-6 | 1.6465822E-6 | 1.6465822E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0363393E-5 | 2.0046957E-5 | 4.0046554E-5 | 1.9976377 | 2.0E-5 | 4.035606E-4 | 2.0045179E-4 | 2.2044778E-4 | 1.0997546 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 6.8172454E-7 | 3.3471392E-7 | 3.3471392E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9216735E-6 | 1.4344874E-6 | 1.4344874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5570793E-5 | 1.7464747E-5 | 3.7464397E-5 | 2.145144 | 2.0E-5 | 3.55651E-4 | 1.7463397E-4 | 1.9463047E-4 | 1.1145053 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.5936397E-7 | 2.890968E-7 | 2.890968E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.397272E-6 | 1.2389856E-6 | 1.2389856E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9186394E-5 | 1.5084548E-5 | 2.5084397E-5 | 1.66292 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9182562E-4 | 1.5083542E-4 | 1.6083391E-4 | 1.0662874 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.8420822E-7 | 2.0468403E-7 | 2.0468403E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6466057E-6 | 8.7721696E-7 | 8.7721696E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.004724E-5 | 1.0680065E-5 | 2.0679958E-5 | 1.9363139 | 1.0E-5 | 2.004543E-4 | 1.06795604E-4 | 1.1679453E-4 | 1.0936269 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.6405158E-7 | 1.6473261E-7 | 1.6473261E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1316491E-6 | 7.0599674E-7 | 7.0599674E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.37777415E-5 | 8.595477E-6 | 8.595477E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3776887E-4 | 8.595151E-5 | 8.595151E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.792114E-7 | 1.2725386E-7 | 1.2725386E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6804866E-7 | 5.4537355E-7 | 5.4537355E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3509525E-6 | 6.639903E-6 | 6.639903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.350559E-5 | 6.639709E-5 | 6.639709E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3548703E-7 | 9.385448E-8 | 9.385448E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8065854E-7 | 4.0223344E-7 | 4.0223344E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0694946E-6 | 4.8971815E-6 | 4.8971815E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0692695E-5 | 4.897077E-5 | 4.897077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7352892E-8 | 1.7352892E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.436954E-8 | 7.436954E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.054488E-7 | 9.054488E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.054456E-6 | 9.054456E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Oceanside alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1617542E-5 | 1.14236045E-5 | 1.14236045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9788516E-5 | 4.8957478E-5 | 5.8956986E-5 | 1.2042489 | 1.0E-5 | 6.060066E-4 | 5.9591036E-4 | 6.1589846E-4 | 1.033542 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0060435664 | 0.0059447223 | 0.0059646037 | 1.0033443 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1617542E-5 | 1.14236045E-5 | 1.14236045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9788516E-5 | 4.8957478E-5 | 5.8956986E-5 | 1.2042489 | 1.0E-5 | 6.060066E-4 | 5.9591036E-4 | 6.1589846E-4 | 1.033542 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0060435664 | 0.0059447223 | 0.0059646037 | 1.0033443 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1617542E-5 | 1.14236045E-5 | 1.14236045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9788516E-5 | 4.8957478E-5 | 5.8956986E-5 | 1.2042489 | 1.0E-5 | 6.060066E-4 | 5.9591036E-4 | 6.1589846E-4 | 1.033542 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0060435664 | 0.0059447223 | 0.0059646037 | 1.0033443 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1617542E-5 | 1.14236045E-5 | 1.14236045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9788516E-5 | 4.8957478E-5 | 5.8956986E-5 | 1.2042489 | 1.0E-5 | 6.060066E-4 | 5.9591036E-4 | 6.1589846E-4 | 1.033542 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0060435664 | 0.0059447223 | 0.0059646037 | 1.0033443 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1617542E-5 | 1.14236045E-5 | 1.14236045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9788516E-5 | 4.8957478E-5 | 5.8956986E-5 | 1.2042489 | 1.0E-5 | 6.060066E-4 | 5.9591036E-4 | 6.1589846E-4 | 1.033542 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0060435664 | 0.0059447223 | 0.0059646037 | 1.0033443 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1617542E-5 | 1.14236045E-5 | 1.14236045E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9788516E-5 | 4.8957478E-5 | 5.8956986E-5 | 1.2042489 | 1.0E-5 | 6.060066E-4 | 5.9591036E-4 | 6.1589846E-4 | 1.033542 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0060435664 | 0.0059447223 | 0.0059646037 | 1.0033443 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.561768E-6 | 7.133676E-6 | 7.133676E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2407173E-5 | 3.0572544E-5 | 3.0572544E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9448592E-4 | 3.7215825E-4 | 3.821545E-4 | 1.0268602 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039378637 | 0.0037154614 | 0.0037254242 | 1.0026815 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.1042605E-6 | 6.655742E-6 | 6.655742E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0446476E-5 | 2.85243E-5 | 2.85243E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.706228E-4 | 3.472288E-4 | 3.5722533E-4 | 1.0287894 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037000529 | 0.003466946 | 0.0034769115 | 1.0028744 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.285554E-6 | 5.7997536E-6 | 5.7997536E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.693781E-5 | 2.4855854E-5 | 2.4855854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2791847E-4 | 3.0257856E-4 | 3.0257856E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032743502 | 0.0030217231 | 0.0030217231 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.148883E-6 | 5.656591E-6 | 5.656591E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.635209E-5 | 2.424231E-5 | 2.424231E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2078946E-4 | 2.9511072E-4 | 2.9511072E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003203268 | 0.002947245 | 0.002947245 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.253857E-6 | 4.7224416E-6 | 4.7224416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2516335E-5 | 2.023888E-5 | 2.023888E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7410188E-4 | 2.463808E-4 | 2.463808E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027376404 | 0.0024611081 | 0.0024611081 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.730754E-6 | 4.1785424E-6 | 4.1785424E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0274503E-5 | 1.7907916E-5 | 1.7907916E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.468141E-4 | 2.1800734E-4 | 2.1800734E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024654015 | 0.0021779612 | 0.0021779612 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.7998386E-6 | 3.2140467E-6 | 3.2140467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6284921E-5 | 1.3774415E-5 | 1.3774415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9825088E-4 | 1.6769071E-4 | 1.6769071E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001980741 | 0.001675654 | 0.001675654 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.2656465E-6 | 2.6983926E-6 | 2.6983926E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3995553E-5 | 1.1564489E-5 | 1.1564489E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7038253E-4 | 1.4078866E-4 | 1.4078866E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017025196 | 0.0014070058 | 0.0014070058 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.593703E-6 | 2.068042E-6 | 2.068042E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1115822E-5 | 8.863008E-6 | 8.863008E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3532673E-4 | 1.0790186E-4 | 1.0790186E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013524436 | 0.0010785036 | 0.0010785036 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.8715585E-6 | 1.413737E-6 | 1.413737E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.020941E-6 | 6.058859E-6 | 6.058859E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7650576E-5 | 7.3764175E-5 | 7.3764175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.7607676E-4 | 7.37403E-4 | 7.37403E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.2246786E-6 | 8.527019E-7 | 8.527019E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.248612E-6 | 3.6544318E-6 | 3.6544318E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.389998E-5 | 4.4491844E-5 | 4.4491844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3881604E-4 | 4.4483386E-4 | 4.4483386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.140719E-7 | 2.7347116E-7 | 2.7347116E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2031636E-6 | 1.1720188E-6 | 1.1720188E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6823185E-5 | 1.4269249E-5 | 1.4269249E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6819948E-4 | 1.4268467E-4 | 1.4268467E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.16056995E-8 | 9.782997E-9 | 9.782997E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9738713E-8 | 4.1927127E-8 | 4.1927127E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0556863E-7 | 5.1046277E-7 | 5.1046277E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.05567E-6 | 5.1046277E-6 | 5.1046277E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cerro Prieto
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9101528E-4 | 5.966484E-4 | 5.966484E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012466122 | 0.0025548008 | 0.0025548008 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015072231 | 0.030624343 | 0.030634036 | 1.0003165 | 1.0E-5 | 0.14089979 | 0.25411516 | 0.2541301 | 1.0000587 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9101528E-4 | 5.966484E-4 | 5.966484E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012466122 | 0.0025548008 | 0.0025548008 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015072231 | 0.030624343 | 0.030634036 | 1.0003165 | 1.0E-5 | 0.14089979 | 0.25411516 | 0.2541301 | 1.0000587 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9101528E-4 | 5.966484E-4 | 5.966484E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012466122 | 0.0025548008 | 0.0025548008 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015072231 | 0.030624343 | 0.030634036 | 1.0003165 | 1.0E-5 | 0.14089979 | 0.25411516 | 0.2541301 | 1.0000587 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.9101528E-4 | 5.966484E-4 | 5.966484E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012466122 | 0.0025548008 | 0.0025548008 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015072231 | 0.030624343 | 0.030634036 | 1.0003165 | 1.0E-5 | 0.14089979 | 0.25411516 | 0.2541301 | 1.0000587 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.508648E-4 | 5.1413494E-4 | 5.1413494E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010746918 | 0.0022017735 | 0.0022017735 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013006088 | 0.026448447 | 0.026458183 | 1.0003681 | 1.0E-5 | 0.12270685 | 0.22457185 | 0.22458737 | 1.000069 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.508648E-4 | 5.1413494E-4 | 5.1413494E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010746918 | 0.0022017735 | 0.0022017735 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013006088 | 0.026448447 | 0.026458183 | 1.0003681 | 1.0E-5 | 0.12270685 | 0.22457185 | 0.22458737 | 1.000069 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.294914E-4 | 4.7132466E-4 | 4.7132466E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.831638E-4 | 0.0020185867 | 0.0020185867 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011904482 | 0.024285955 | 0.024285955 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.11286586 | 0.2087305 | 0.20873842 | 1.0000379 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9621674E-4 | 4.0434048E-4 | 4.0434048E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4065786E-4 | 0.0017318954 | 0.0017318954 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010187071 | 0.020903496 | 0.020903496 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.09732539 | 0.18301067 | 0.18301885 | 1.0000446 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5476145E-4 | 3.0577224E-4 | 3.0577224E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6309475E-4 | 0.0013098966 | 0.0013098966 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008043335 | 0.015829215 | 0.015829215 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.07758363 | 0.14346853 | 0.14347708 | 1.0000597 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.20509176E-4 | 2.2592752E-4 | 2.2592752E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1636563E-4 | 9.679649E-4 | 9.679649E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006268645 | 0.01173624 | 0.01173624 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.060947374 | 0.1095611 | 0.109570004 | 1.0000813 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.3269155E-5 | 1.6725529E-4 | 1.6725529E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9966372E-4 | 7.1665464E-4 | 7.1665464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048550544 | 0.008698025 | 0.008698025 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.04750344 | 0.08322769 | 0.08323686 | 1.0001101 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.029709E-5 | 8.177973E-5 | 8.177973E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1554115E-4 | 3.504568E-4 | 3.504568E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026210553 | 0.004261885 | 0.004261885 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.025903556 | 0.042341046 | 0.042341046 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.5445185E-8 | 6.824737E-8 | 6.824737E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8047933E-7 | 2.9248872E-7 | 2.9248872E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4148304E-6 | 3.56105E-6 | 3.56105E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.414778E-5 | 3.56105E-5 | 3.56105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Gregorio (South) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.8770423E-5 | 1.6280614E-5 | 1.6280614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.044219E-5 | 6.977221E-5 | 6.977221E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.789435E-4 | 8.491494E-4 | 8.5914094E-4 | 1.0117664 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009746423 | 0.008471945 | 0.008491776 | 1.0023407 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.8770423E-5 | 1.6280614E-5 | 1.6280614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.044219E-5 | 6.977221E-5 | 6.977221E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.789435E-4 | 8.491494E-4 | 8.5914094E-4 | 1.0117664 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009746423 | 0.008471945 | 0.008491776 | 1.0023407 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.7508692E-5 | 1.49000925E-5 | 1.49000925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5035096E-5 | 6.3855994E-5 | 6.3855994E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1316935E-4 | 7.771724E-4 | 7.8716467E-4 | 1.0128572 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00909426 | 0.00775736 | 0.0077772047 | 1.0025582 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7508692E-5 | 1.49000925E-5 | 1.49000925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5035096E-5 | 6.3855994E-5 | 6.3855994E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1316935E-4 | 7.771724E-4 | 7.8716467E-4 | 1.0128572 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00909426 | 0.00775736 | 0.0077772047 | 1.0025582 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6004591E-5 | 1.3249896E-5 | 1.3249896E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.85893E-5 | 5.678404E-5 | 5.678404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.347548E-4 | 6.911274E-4 | 7.011205E-4 | 1.0144591 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008316261 | 0.0069023944 | 0.006922256 | 1.0028776 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.6004591E-5 | 1.3249896E-5 | 1.3249896E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.85893E-5 | 5.678404E-5 | 5.678404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.347548E-4 | 6.911274E-4 | 7.011205E-4 | 1.0144591 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008316261 | 0.0069023944 | 0.006922256 | 1.0028776 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5442201E-5 | 1.2634515E-5 | 1.2634515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.617918E-5 | 5.4146803E-5 | 5.4146803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0543366E-4 | 6.590388E-4 | 6.6903216E-4 | 1.0151637 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008025207 | 0.0065834397 | 0.006603308 | 1.0030179 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.489921E-5 | 1.2043013E-5 | 1.2043013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3852196E-5 | 5.1611896E-5 | 5.1611896E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7712315E-4 | 6.2819436E-4 | 6.381881E-4 | 1.0159086 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0077441116 | 0.0062767677 | 0.006296642 | 1.0031663 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.3876024E-5 | 1.0921941E-5 | 1.0921941E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9467322E-5 | 4.680748E-5 | 4.680748E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.237741E-4 | 5.6973245E-4 | 5.797267E-4 | 1.0175421 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0072142133 | 0.0056952653 | 0.0057151513 | 1.0034916 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.33922495E-5 | 1.03934335E-5 | 1.03934335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7394092E-5 | 4.4542525E-5 | 4.4542525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9854903E-4 | 5.421706E-4 | 5.5216515E-4 | 1.0184344 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0069635725 | 0.0054210173 | 0.005440909 | 1.0036694 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2807324E-5 | 9.753382E-6 | 9.753382E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4887376E-5 | 4.179954E-5 | 4.179954E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.680489E-4 | 5.087907E-4 | 5.187857E-4 | 1.0196445 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006660442 | 0.0050887894 | 0.0050987387 | 1.0019552 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2191438E-5 | 9.062252E-6 | 9.062252E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.224797E-5 | 3.8837643E-5 | 3.8837643E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3593336E-4 | 4.727458E-4 | 4.8274107E-4 | 1.021143 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0063411663 | 0.0047299243 | 0.004739877 | 1.0021042 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1769438E-5 | 8.582432E-6 | 8.582432E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0439474E-5 | 3.6781337E-5 | 3.6781337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1392755E-4 | 4.477208E-4 | 4.5771632E-4 | 1.0223254 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0061223423 | 0.00448071 | 0.0044906647 | 1.0022218 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.150374E-5 | 8.297856E-6 | 8.297856E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9300812E-5 | 3.5561752E-5 | 3.5561752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0007203E-4 | 4.328784E-4 | 4.4287406E-4 | 1.0230912 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0059845424 | 0.0043328474 | 0.004342804 | 1.002298 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.12514E-5 | 8.043592E-6 | 8.043592E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8219394E-5 | 3.4472083E-5 | 3.4472083E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8691297E-4 | 4.1961684E-4 | 4.2961267E-4 | 1.0238212 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005853653 | 0.0042007263 | 0.0042106844 | 1.0023706 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.059696E-5 | 7.3938627E-6 | 7.3938627E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5414752E-5 | 3.16876E-5 | 3.16876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5278436E-4 | 3.857283E-4 | 3.957244E-4 | 1.025915 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0055141128 | 0.0038630075 | 0.003872969 | 1.0025786 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 9.018592E-6 | 5.8375786E-6 | 5.8375786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8650534E-5 | 2.5017953E-5 | 2.5017953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7046866E-4 | 3.0455104E-4 | 3.14548E-4 | 1.0328252 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004694739 | 0.0030534004 | 0.0030633698 | 1.003265 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.243489E-6 | 3.2400142E-6 | 3.2400142E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6757538E-5 | 1.3885701E-5 | 1.3885701E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.257243E-4 | 1.690453E-4 | 1.7904362E-4 | 1.0591457 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003252473 | 0.001699415 | 0.001709398 | 1.0058744 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.1941963E-6 | 1.3812916E-6 | 1.3812916E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.368934E-5 | 5.9198073E-6 | 5.9198073E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6665498E-4 | 7.207127E-5 | 8.207055E-5 | 1.1387415 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016653005 | 7.264821E-4 | 7.364748E-4 | 1.013755 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.0098398E-6 | 6.918179E-7 | 6.918179E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6135715E-6 | 2.9649302E-6 | 2.9649302E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0486518E-4 | 3.609743E-5 | 3.609743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010481571 | 3.6583535E-4 | 3.6583535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 8.353119E-7 | 3.163373E-7 | 3.163373E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.579903E-6 | 1.3557305E-6 | 1.3557305E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.358445E-5 | 1.6505895E-5 | 1.6505895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3575902E-4 | 1.6623957E-4 | 1.6623957E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.5033264E-7 | 6.529415E-8 | 6.529415E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.442826E-7 | 2.7983205E-7 | 2.7983205E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.844113E-6 | 3.40695E-6 | 3.40695E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.843835E-5 | 3.4084936E-5 | 3.4084936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elmore Ranch
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.102099E-5 | 8.9544985E-5 | 8.9544985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9003167E-4 | 3.8371654E-4 | 3.8371654E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047383 | 0.004662391 | 0.004672344 | 1.0021348 | 1.0E-5 | 0.046385348 | 0.045843836 | 0.045862917 | 1.0004163 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.8306698E-5 | 4.1492767E-5 | 4.1492767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6416123E-4 | 1.778181E-4 | 1.778181E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019968306 | 0.002163262 | 0.0021732405 | 1.0046127 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019789828 | 0.021599138 | 0.021618707 | 1.000906 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.8306698E-5 | 4.1492767E-5 | 4.1492767E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6416123E-4 | 1.778181E-4 | 1.778181E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019968306 | 0.002163262 | 0.0021732405 | 1.0046127 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019789828 | 0.021599138 | 0.021618707 | 1.000906 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.3197924E-5 | 3.6551064E-5 | 3.6551064E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4226905E-4 | 1.5664198E-4 | 1.5664198E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017307495 | 0.0019060038 | 0.0019159848 | 1.0052366 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017173318 | 0.019057637 | 0.019077254 | 1.0010295 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.5148964E-5 | 2.7420736E-5 | 2.7420736E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0777682E-4 | 1.17515796E-4 | 1.17515796E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013113929 | 0.0014304637 | 0.0014404494 | 1.0069808 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01303681 | 0.014365338 | 0.01438505 | 1.0013722 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.5148964E-5 | 2.7420736E-5 | 2.7420736E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0777682E-4 | 1.17515796E-4 | 1.17515796E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013113929 | 0.0014304637 | 0.0014404494 | 1.0069808 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01303681 | 0.014365338 | 0.01438505 | 1.0013722 | 2.0E-5 |
Surprise Valley 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0396248E-5 | 4.4852346E-5 | 4.4852346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7311527E-4 | 1.9221136E-4 | 1.9221136E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002105641 | 0.0023378716 | 0.002357825 | 1.0085348 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020858008 | 0.023154497 | 0.023174034 | 1.0008438 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.0396248E-5 | 4.4852346E-5 | 4.4852346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7311527E-4 | 1.9221136E-4 | 1.9221136E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002105641 | 0.0023378716 | 0.002357825 | 1.0085348 | 2.0E-5 | 0.020858008 | 0.023154497 | 0.023174034 | 1.0008438 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.2295266E-5 | 2.4401732E-5 | 2.4401732E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.554764E-5 | 1.0457483E-4 | 1.0457483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011626717 | 0.0012724857 | 0.001282473 | 1.0078486 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011566074 | 0.012655229 | 0.012665103 | 1.0007802 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.572643E-5 | 1.7097118E-5 | 1.7097118E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7397246E-5 | 7.327137E-5 | 7.327137E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.202525E-4 | 8.9172425E-4 | 9.0171536E-4 | 1.0112042 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008172315 | 0.008882568 | 0.008892479 | 1.0011158 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.5714395E-5 | 1.708494E-5 | 1.708494E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.734567E-5 | 7.321918E-5 | 7.321918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1962504E-4 | 8.910894E-4 | 9.010805E-4 | 1.0112122 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008166086 | 0.00887627 | 0.008886181 | 1.0011166 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2733495E-5 | 1.3801842E-5 | 1.3801842E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.457098E-5 | 5.914945E-5 | 5.914945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.641992E-4 | 7.199133E-4 | 7.299061E-4 | 1.0138806 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0066221743 | 0.007176505 | 0.0071864333 | 1.0013834 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0983784E-5 | 1.1886758E-5 | 1.1886758E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7072506E-5 | 5.0942283E-5 | 5.0942283E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7295704E-4 | 6.2005117E-4 | 6.3004496E-4 | 1.0161177 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057148207 | 0.0061837607 | 0.006193699 | 1.0016072 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.104806E-6 | 9.839657E-6 | 9.839657E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.902001E-5 | 4.21693E-5 | 4.21693E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7496508E-4 | 5.132942E-4 | 5.132942E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004739512 | 0.005121483 | 0.005121483 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 6.2162403E-6 | 6.704244E-6 | 6.704244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6640759E-5 | 2.8732169E-5 | 2.8732169E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2430296E-4 | 3.4976026E-4 | 3.4976026E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003238301 | 0.0034923211 | 0.0034923211 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.1792696E-6 | 4.503303E-6 | 4.503303E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7911032E-5 | 1.9299736E-5 | 1.9299736E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1804498E-4 | 2.349505E-4 | 2.349505E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021783116 | 0.0023471743 | 0.0023471743 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.7478413E-6 | 2.9622909E-6 | 2.9622909E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.177641E-5 | 1.2695477E-5 | 1.2695477E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4336836E-4 | 1.5455773E-4 | 1.5455773E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001432759 | 0.0015446248 | 0.0015446248 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.128648E-7 | 8.7250567E-7 | 8.7250567E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4837017E-6 | 3.7393079E-6 | 3.7393079E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2413245E-5 | 4.552572E-5 | 4.552572E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2405148E-4 | 4.552228E-4 | 4.552228E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.8641045E-8 | 4.9402228E-8 | 4.9402228E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.084616E-7 | 2.1172382E-7 | 2.1172382E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.538017E-6 | 2.5777344E-6 | 2.5777344E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.537988E-5 | 2.5777057E-5 | 2.5777057E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.3911844E-9 | 5.4758322E-9 | 5.4758322E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3105075E-8 | 2.3467852E-8 | 2.3467852E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8130427E-7 | 2.857211E-7 | 2.857211E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8130391E-6 | 2.8572085E-6 | 2.8572085E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Peralta Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.8850067E-6 | 3.839602E-6 | 3.839602E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6649923E-5 | 1.6455375E-5 | 1.6455375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0269395E-4 | 2.003332E-4 | 2.103312E-4 | 1.0499068 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020250916 | 0.0020022537 | 0.0020222138 | 1.0099688 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.8850067E-6 | 3.839602E-6 | 3.839602E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6649923E-5 | 1.6455375E-5 | 1.6455375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0269395E-4 | 2.003332E-4 | 2.103312E-4 | 1.0499068 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020250916 | 0.0020022537 | 0.0020222138 | 1.0099688 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.8850067E-6 | 3.839602E-6 | 3.839602E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6649923E-5 | 1.6455375E-5 | 1.6455375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0269395E-4 | 2.003332E-4 | 2.103312E-4 | 1.0499068 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020250916 | 0.0020022537 | 0.0020222138 | 1.0099688 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.8850067E-6 | 3.839602E-6 | 3.839602E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6649923E-5 | 1.6455375E-5 | 1.6455375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0269395E-4 | 2.003332E-4 | 2.103312E-4 | 1.0499068 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020250916 | 0.0020022537 | 0.0020222138 | 1.0099688 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.8850067E-6 | 3.839602E-6 | 3.839602E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6649923E-5 | 1.6455375E-5 | 1.6455375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0269395E-4 | 2.003332E-4 | 2.103312E-4 | 1.0499068 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020250916 | 0.0020022537 | 0.0020222138 | 1.0099688 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.5587785E-6 | 1.4431548E-6 | 1.4431548E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6804623E-6 | 6.184936E-6 | 6.184936E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.133159E-5 | 7.5299235E-5 | 7.5299235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1301836E-4 | 7.527612E-4 | 7.6275365E-4 | 1.0132744 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5587785E-6 | 1.4431548E-6 | 1.4431548E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6804623E-6 | 6.184936E-6 | 6.184936E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.133159E-5 | 7.5299235E-5 | 7.5299235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1301836E-4 | 7.527612E-4 | 7.6275365E-4 | 1.0132744 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.5018579E-6 | 1.3837769E-6 | 1.3837769E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.436518E-6 | 5.9304602E-6 | 5.9304602E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.836179E-5 | 7.22012E-5 | 7.22012E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.833416E-4 | 7.2180096E-4 | 7.3179376E-4 | 1.0138443 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.4584314E-6 | 1.3382084E-6 | 1.3382084E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.250405E-6 | 5.735168E-6 | 5.735168E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6096025E-5 | 6.982367E-5 | 6.982367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6069974E-4 | 6.980407E-4 | 6.980407E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.1382393E-6 | 9.862803E-7 | 9.862803E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8781594E-6 | 4.2269094E-6 | 4.2269094E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9389975E-5 | 5.1461488E-5 | 5.1461488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.93741E-4 | 5.145039E-4 | 5.145039E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 9.970413E-7 | 8.3100537E-7 | 8.3100537E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.273027E-6 | 3.561447E-6 | 3.561447E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2022864E-5 | 4.3359825E-5 | 4.3359825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2010687E-4 | 4.3352047E-4 | 4.3352047E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.684443E-7 | 7.994486E-7 | 7.994486E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.150469E-6 | 3.426204E-6 | 3.426204E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.053079E-5 | 4.1713305E-5 | 4.1713305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.05193E-4 | 4.170615E-4 | 4.170615E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.240811E-7 | 7.503526E-7 | 7.503526E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.960342E-6 | 3.2157934E-6 | 3.2157934E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8216094E-5 | 3.9151648E-5 | 3.9151648E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8205635E-4 | 3.9145406E-4 | 3.9145406E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.158643E-7 | 6.350343E-7 | 6.350343E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4965567E-6 | 2.7215733E-6 | 2.7215733E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2569747E-5 | 3.3134715E-5 | 3.3134715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2561593E-4 | 3.3130386E-4 | 3.3130386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.3822824E-7 | 4.795954E-7 | 4.795954E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7352612E-6 | 2.0554075E-6 | 2.0554075E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3301294E-5 | 2.5024352E-5 | 2.5024352E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3296304E-4 | 2.5022047E-4 | 2.5022047E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.0292628E-7 | 2.7847733E-7 | 2.7847733E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7268258E-6 | 1.1934738E-6 | 1.1934738E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1023901E-5 | 1.4530476E-5 | 1.4530476E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1021912E-4 | 1.4529805E-4 | 1.4529805E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.672993E-7 | 2.4856251E-7 | 2.4856251E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5741389E-6 | 1.0652676E-6 | 1.0652676E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9164972E-5 | 1.29695845E-5 | 1.29695845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.916332E-4 | 1.2969099E-4 | 1.2969099E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.8466823E-7 | 1.7860746E-7 | 1.7860746E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2200061E-6 | 7.6546047E-7 | 7.6546047E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4853474E-5 | 9.319468E-6 | 9.319468E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.485248E-4 | 9.319337E-5 | 9.319337E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Wolf
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0037822E-5 | 1.0468807E-6 | 1.0468807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.587355E-5 | 4.486624E-6 | 1.4486579E-5 | 3.2288373 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001045009 | 5.462333E-5 | 7.462224E-5 | 1.3661239 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010401085 | 5.461041E-4 | 5.660932E-4 | 1.0366031 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.0037822E-5 | 1.0468807E-6 | 1.0468807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.587355E-5 | 4.486624E-6 | 1.4486579E-5 | 3.2288373 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001045009 | 5.462333E-5 | 7.462224E-5 | 1.3661239 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010401085 | 5.461041E-4 | 5.660932E-4 | 1.0366031 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.0037822E-5 | 1.0468807E-6 | 1.0468807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.587355E-5 | 4.486624E-6 | 1.4486579E-5 | 3.2288373 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001045009 | 5.462333E-5 | 7.462224E-5 | 1.3661239 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010401085 | 5.461041E-4 | 5.660932E-4 | 1.0366031 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0037822E-5 | 1.0468807E-6 | 1.0468807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.587355E-5 | 4.486624E-6 | 1.4486579E-5 | 3.2288373 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001045009 | 5.462333E-5 | 7.462224E-5 | 1.3661239 | 2.0E-5 | 0.010401085 | 5.461041E-4 | 5.660932E-4 | 1.0366031 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.132487E-5 | 1.0468807E-6 | 1.0468807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8534253E-5 | 4.486624E-6 | 1.4486579E-5 | 3.2288373 | 1.0E-5 | 5.907443E-4 | 5.462333E-5 | 7.462224E-5 | 1.3661239 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005891764 | 5.461041E-4 | 5.660932E-4 | 1.0366031 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.132487E-5 | 1.0468807E-6 | 1.0468807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8534253E-5 | 4.486624E-6 | 1.4486579E-5 | 3.2288373 | 1.0E-5 | 5.907443E-4 | 5.462333E-5 | 7.462224E-5 | 1.3661239 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005891764 | 5.461041E-4 | 5.660932E-4 | 1.0366031 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.347473E-6 | 1.0468807E-6 | 1.0468807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0059982E-5 | 4.486624E-6 | 1.4486579E-5 | 3.2288373 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8762115E-4 | 5.462333E-5 | 7.462224E-5 | 1.3661239 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0048655253 | 5.461041E-4 | 5.660932E-4 | 1.0366031 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.842647E-6 | 1.0047995E-6 | 1.0047995E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.361091E-5 | 4.306277E-6 | 1.4306233E-5 | 3.3221817 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0913603E-4 | 5.242771E-5 | 7.242666E-5 | 1.3814577 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004083836 | 5.2415836E-4 | 5.4414786E-4 | 1.0381364 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.26597E-6 | 9.734493E-7 | 9.734493E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.685388E-5 | 4.1719195E-6 | 1.4171877E-5 | 3.3969681 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2689696E-4 | 5.0791987E-5 | 7.079097E-5 | 1.3937429 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003264165 | 5.078087E-4 | 5.277985E-4 | 1.0393649 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.258436E-6 | 9.1829264E-7 | 9.1829264E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2535958E-5 | 3.935534E-6 | 1.3935495E-5 | 3.540941 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7434074E-4 | 4.7914124E-5 | 6.791317E-5 | 1.4173934 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0027400232 | 4.7904273E-4 | 4.9903314E-4 | 1.0417299 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.675028E-6 | 8.6608856E-7 | 8.6608856E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.003568E-5 | 3.7118032E-6 | 1.3711766E-5 | 3.6940985 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4390711E-4 | 4.5190314E-5 | 6.518941E-5 | 1.4425527 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0024363957 | 4.5181595E-4 | 4.7180694E-4 | 1.0442458 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.8270078E-6 | 6.8739206E-7 | 6.8739206E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2115692E-5 | 2.9459627E-6 | 2.9459627E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4749856E-4 | 3.586655E-5 | 4.586619E-5 | 1.2788013 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001474007 | 3.586117E-4 | 3.686081E-4 | 1.0278753 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.6881406E-6 | 2.2704238E-7 | 2.2704238E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2348685E-6 | 9.730385E-7 | 9.730385E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.808096E-5 | 1.184668E-5 | 1.184668E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8046055E-4 | 1.1846064E-4 | 1.1846064E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 9.086107E-7 | 1.5265095E-7 | 1.5265095E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8940398E-6 | 6.5421824E-7 | 6.5421824E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7408903E-5 | 7.965079E-6 | 7.965079E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.739879E-4 | 7.9648016E-5 | 7.9648016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.9717383E-7 | 9.003526E-8 | 9.003526E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.450304E-7 | 3.8586535E-7 | 3.8586535E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0288197E-5 | 4.6979007E-6 | 4.6979007E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.028772E-4 | 4.6978046E-5 | 4.6978046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.086975E-7 | 6.659755E-8 | 6.659755E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6584634E-7 | 2.8541805E-7 | 2.8541805E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6716644E-6 | 3.4749594E-6 | 3.4749594E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6715195E-5 | 3.4749075E-5 | 3.4749075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.4217808E-8 | 1.5821097E-8 | 1.5821097E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.03790605E-7 | 6.78047E-8 | 6.78047E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2636499E-6 | 8.255219E-7 | 8.255219E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2636427E-5 | 8.255193E-6 | 8.255193E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Temecula) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9514995E-5 | 2.2520182E-5 | 2.2520182E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.264867E-4 | 9.651162E-5 | 9.651162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015388876 | 0.0011744177 | 0.0011844059 | 1.0085049 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015282745 | 0.011705058 | 0.011724823 | 1.0016887 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9514995E-5 | 2.2520182E-5 | 2.2520182E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.264867E-4 | 9.651162E-5 | 9.651162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015388876 | 0.0011744177 | 0.0011844059 | 1.0085049 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015282745 | 0.011705058 | 0.011724823 | 1.0016887 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9514995E-5 | 2.2520182E-5 | 2.2520182E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.264867E-4 | 9.651162E-5 | 9.651162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015388876 | 0.0011744177 | 0.0011844059 | 1.0085049 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015282745 | 0.011705058 | 0.011724823 | 1.0016887 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3223649E-5 | 1.8409462E-5 | 1.8409462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.952613E-5 | 7.889541E-5 | 7.889541E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001211057 | 9.6014555E-4 | 9.701359E-4 | 1.0104051 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012044783 | 0.009568207 | 0.009588016 | 1.0020703 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.3223649E-5 | 1.8409462E-5 | 1.8409462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.952613E-5 | 7.889541E-5 | 7.889541E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001211057 | 9.6014555E-4 | 9.701359E-4 | 1.0104051 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012044783 | 0.009568207 | 0.009588016 | 1.0020703 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8338875E-5 | 1.4751217E-5 | 1.4751217E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8592806E-5 | 6.321802E-5 | 6.321802E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5644733E-4 | 7.694164E-4 | 7.7940867E-4 | 1.0129869 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009523412 | 0.007670364 | 0.0076902104 | 1.0025874 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.8223333E-5 | 1.4613768E-5 | 1.4613768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.809766E-5 | 6.2628984E-5 | 6.2628984E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.504242E-4 | 7.622498E-4 | 7.722422E-4 | 1.0131091 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009463696 | 0.0075991894 | 0.0076190373 | 1.0026119 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.7512752E-5 | 1.4028101E-5 | 1.4028101E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.505249E-5 | 6.0119095E-5 | 6.0119095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.13381E-4 | 7.3171273E-4 | 7.417054E-4 | 1.0136566 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00909636 | 0.007298725 | 0.007318579 | 1.0027202 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7417142E-5 | 1.3952066E-5 | 1.3952066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4642754E-5 | 5.979325E-5 | 5.979325E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.083966E-4 | 7.277482E-4 | 7.3774095E-4 | 1.013731 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009046922 | 0.0072597517 | 0.0072796065 | 1.0027349 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.6402591E-5 | 1.2989453E-5 | 1.2989453E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0294926E-5 | 5.566794E-5 | 5.566794E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5550465E-4 | 6.775541E-4 | 6.875473E-4 | 1.0147489 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008522186 | 0.0067602335 | 0.006780098 | 1.0029385 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.3912486E-5 | 1.0878907E-5 | 1.0878907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9623577E-5 | 4.662307E-5 | 4.662307E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2567526E-4 | 5.6749076E-4 | 5.6749076E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0072331014 | 0.0056640436 | 0.005673987 | 1.0017555 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3405147E-5 | 1.0328013E-5 | 1.0328013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7449364E-5 | 4.4262175E-5 | 4.4262175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9922156E-4 | 5.3876126E-4 | 5.3876126E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0069702556 | 0.0053777215 | 0.0053876676 | 1.0018495 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.21402E-5 | 8.99718E-6 | 8.99718E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.202839E-5 | 3.8558785E-5 | 3.8558785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.332616E-4 | 4.6935384E-4 | 4.6935384E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063146 | 0.004685053 | 0.004695006 | 1.0021244 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.05047775E-5 | 7.5721173E-6 | 7.5721173E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5019697E-5 | 3.2451535E-5 | 3.2451535E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4797693E-4 | 3.9502728E-4 | 3.9502728E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005466277 | 0.0039436673 | 0.0039536282 | 1.0025257 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.624483E-6 | 6.7871574E-6 | 6.7871574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.124713E-5 | 2.9087501E-5 | 2.9087501E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0206814E-4 | 3.5408416E-4 | 3.5408416E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005009353 | 0.0035353564 | 0.0035453208 | 1.0028186 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.215151E-6 | 5.6357917E-6 | 5.6357917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5207315E-5 | 2.4153176E-5 | 2.4153176E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2856473E-4 | 2.940265E-4 | 2.940265E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004277392 | 0.002936503 | 0.0029464737 | 1.0033954 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.975058E-6 | 4.6762525E-6 | 4.6762525E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9892764E-5 | 2.0040936E-5 | 2.0040936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6388362E-4 | 2.4397223E-4 | 2.4397223E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036328835 | 0.0024371601 | 0.0024471357 | 1.0040932 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 4.159604E-6 | 2.3270873E-6 | 2.3270873E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7826753E-5 | 9.973197E-6 | 9.973197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1701909E-4 | 1.2141765E-4 | 1.2141765E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021680726 | 0.0012135862 | 0.001223574 | 1.0082301 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.385222E-8 | 9.385222E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0222375E-7 | 4.0222375E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.8970664E-6 | 4.8970664E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.8969912E-5 | 4.8969912E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.43986E-9 | 3.43986E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4742258E-8 | 1.4742258E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7948697E-7 | 1.7948697E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7948685E-6 | 1.7948685E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Greenville (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.279693E |