Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions

Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)

Table Of Contents

Garlock (Central)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.5131142E-57.02476E-50.0925837461317.96310.092522.3625491E-43.0102677E-40.11320703376.069640.112940.00287260950.0036589060.1517749741.4809720.148660.0283575910.0361366570.209795925.8056260.18017
6.15.5131142E-57.02476E-50.0925837461317.96310.092522.3625491E-43.0102677E-40.11320703376.069640.112940.00287260950.0036589060.1517749741.4809720.148660.0283575910.0361366570.209795925.8056260.18017
6.24.216245E-55.1661802E-50.0563387541090.53020.056291.806837E-42.213891E-40.069745995315.038060.069540.00219760460.0026921120.0943746335.055980.091930.0217599890.0267013180.136255825.10296250.11256
6.34.216245E-55.1661802E-50.0563387541090.53020.056291.806837E-42.213891E-40.069745995315.038060.069540.00219760460.0026921120.0943746335.055980.091930.0217599890.0267013180.136255825.10296250.11256
6.43.6858168E-54.411026E-50.04383218993.695740.043791.5795401E-41.8903041E-40.054068845286.03250.053890.00192139370.00229904130.0737444132.0761570.071610.0190486550.0228660980.108345774.73827080.08748
6.53.39199E-54.0018425E-50.03975843993.503050.039721.453629E-41.7149639E-40.04889314285.09720.048730.00176835650.00208599070.06669094431.9708710.064740.0175435080.0207587830.098373444.7388830.07926
6.63.3571985E-53.947258E-50.0397079071005.96180.039671.4387199E-41.6915736E-40.048830923288.67160.048670.00175023420.00205756720.0665645732.35110.064640.0173651330.0204800420.097960074.7831970.0791
6.73.2580007E-53.808902E-50.038646621014.639340.038611.3962112E-41.6322857E-40.047425512290.546660.047270.00169856170.00198551780.0645310932.5008850.062670.0168563720.0197708740.0948074164.7953070.07655
6.83.2185937E-53.7516216E-50.03775611006.394170.037721.3793244E-41.60774E-40.04639334288.562470.046240.00167803370.00195568750.0632555732.3444180.061420.0166541920.0194778780.0930170344.7755220.075
6.93.165394E-53.672075E-50.036705375999.581240.036671.3565269E-41.5736527E-40.04509029286.532680.044940.00165032020.001914260.0616397132.2002830.059840.016381180.0190715180.090718544.7567550.07304
7.03.0903822E-53.562591E-50.0357343551003.043950.03571.3243823E-41.5267366E-40.043836005287.122250.043690.00161124280.00185723820.05986929732.2356570.058120.0159961040.0185134930.088130334.76032970.07093
7.13.0069863E-53.4392175E-50.034173217993.633540.034141.2886449E-41.4738683E-40.04197122284.769170.041830.00156779590.00179297870.0573931132.0099220.05570.015567810.017880990.084694544.73656940.06803
7.22.7957109E-53.128141E-50.028350396906.301640.028321.1981068E-41.3405642E-40.034829404259.811520.03470.00145771880.00163093450.04796524329.4096680.046410.0144819370.0162843520.0720413554.4239620.05668
7.32.4519275E-52.6714602E-50.020346172761.612370.020321.0507837E-41.1448621E-40.025181616219.953260.025070.00127857830.0013929930.03485631625.0226040.033510.0127124690.013928610.0543673973.90328960.04101
7.42.3225532E-52.5199166E-50.018344738727.989870.018329.95342E-51.0799204E-40.022635559209.603960.022530.00121115510.00131402440.03143439423.9222280.030160.0120457530.0131461960.0495611023.76999570.0369
7.52.097765E-52.2483406E-50.014612155649.908450.014598.9901114E-59.6353964E-50.018034626187.170560.017940.00109399650.001172490.02512437321.428220.023980.0108862640.01174065750.040627483.46040920.02923
7.61.511254E-51.5990969E-50.007765867485.64080.007756.476642E-56.8530964E-50.009657874140.927150.009597.882459E-48.34053E-40.01377325216.5136410.012950.0078545580.0083838670.024081152.87232020.01583
7.79.934069E-61.0678523E-50.002490652233.239380.002484.2573887E-54.5764296E-50.003065626166.987280.003025.182138E-45.570383E-40.00447485468.03329850.003920.005170070.0056274190.0105396191.87290470.00494
7.86.7562896E-68.42837E-60.0016784143199.138660.001672.8955206E-53.6121084E-50.00205604856.9209940.002023.5247262E-44.3968562E-40.0030785257.001650.002640.00351914060.0044464160.0077715651.74782670.00334
7.93.975453E-65.3710532E-69.653659E-4179.734949.6E-41.7037546E-52.3018596E-50.001182991951.3928760.001162.0741238E-42.8021546E-40.00182978116.52990770.001550.0020721890.00283356690.004768071.68270950.00194
8.01.6729537E-62.0775192E-62.6207697E-4126.1492.6E-47.169782E-68.903624E-63.7890032E-442.5557443.7E-48.7288594E-51.0839626E-46.0834206E-45.6122055.0E-48.7254314E-40.0010968540.0017261631.573746.3E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1489736E-73.1489736E-71.00.01.5742813E-61.3495595E-64.1349507E-530.639264.0E-51.9166706E-51.643078E-56.642996E-54.04301935.0E-51.9165053E-41.662928E-42.1628448E-41.30062455.0E-5

Tank Canyon

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.8284557E-55.796445E-50.041665554718.81220.041612.0691741E-42.4839927E-40.05557465223.731160.055340.00251630880.00302073360.0879833129.126470.085220.024880060.0298636160.143107644.792040.11673
6.11.7796336E-52.0873378E-50.014370574688.464230.014357.626778E-58.945448E-50.019377729216.621110.019299.281647E-40.00108860240.03208482329.4734120.031030.0092429750.0108366420.0536476344.95057730.04328
6.21.7796336E-52.0873378E-50.014370574688.464230.014357.626778E-58.945448E-50.019377729216.621110.019299.281647E-40.00108860240.03208482329.4734120.031030.0092429750.0108366420.0536476344.95057730.04328
6.31.3515912E-51.5759651E-50.0101356643.136050.010125.792405E-56.7539746E-50.013816611204.570070.013757.049971E-48.2200987E-40.02310367928.1063290.02230.0070276470.0081921570.0391266424.776110.03119
6.41.0870146E-51.2618114E-50.007572523600.13110.007564.658551E-55.4076605E-50.01033352191.090410.010285.67031E-46.582015E-40.0173472126.3554690.01670.0056558630.0065643820.0296220224.5125380.02321
6.57.964826E-69.196184E-60.0048491517527.30040.004843.4134522E-53.941168E-50.006459159163.889450.006424.1550855E-44.797421E-40.01081478122.5429060.010340.00414732470.0047882090.0190097863.97012420.01429
6.66.6317E-67.612378E-60.003477586456.833070.003472.8421264E-53.262412E-50.00476247145.980030.004733.4597394E-43.9713533E-40.00800411320.1546230.007610.00345435790.00396525160.014244333.59228920.01032
6.74.793663E-65.4308593E-60.0018454209339.802730.001842.0544108E-52.3274928E-50.002553216109.698130.002532.500958E-42.833398E-40.004362183615.3955930.004080.00249814520.00283031890.0083745822.95888280.00556
6.84.382823E-64.969325E-60.0017349607349.13410.001731.8783392E-52.1296957E-50.002361247110.872510.002342.286638E-42.5926388E-40.00399829415.4217180.003740.00228428650.00259012330.00764699142.95236560.00507
6.92.729601E-63.0735862E-67.130714E-4231.99987.1E-41.1698237E-51.3172453E-50.001073158581.469910.001061.4241673E-41.6036403E-40.00175010910.9133510.001590.0014232550.00160248080.00374903552.33951970.00215
7.01.8987357E-62.126971E-63.0212634E-4142.045353.0E-48.137413E-69.115562E-64.7911127E-452.5597084.7E-49.90685E-51.1097702E-48.0090045E-47.21681366.9E-49.902435E-40.00110928460.0020482421.8464539.4E-4
7.11.4928986E-61.6641525E-61.0166399E-461.0905461.0E-46.398121E-67.132066E-62.4713035E-434.6505972.4E-47.789434E-58.6830034E-54.7679618E-45.4911433.9E-47.786704E-48.6801895E-40.00142753291.64458725.6E-4
7.21.069082E-61.1828765E-64.118283E-534.815834.0E-54.581772E-65.0694644E-61.0506896E-420.7258511.0E-45.5781646E-56.171951E-52.3170903E-43.75422641.7E-45.576765E-46.1707594E-48.869094E-41.43727742.7E-4
7.38.776551E-79.770151E-72.0976995E-521.4704912.0E-53.7613736E-64.187204E-67.418691E-517.717537.0E-54.579376E-55.0978535E-51.7097242E-43.3538121.2E-44.5784327E-45.097194E-46.9962256E-41.37256411.9E-4
7.47.55721E-78.5103835E-72.0851021E-524.5006832.0E-53.2388E-63.6473052E-65.3647123E-514.7087015.0E-53.9431678E-54.4405555E-51.24402E-42.80149658.0E-53.942468E-44.4401767E-45.7395996E-41.29265121.3E-4
7.55.587665E-76.305732E-71.0630567E-516.8585781.0E-52.3947114E-62.7024564E-64.2702348E-515.8013094.0E-52.915522E-53.2902408E-59.290043E-52.82351476.0E-52.9151395E-43.2902407E-44.289912E-41.30382911.0E-4

Little Lake

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.8424427E-53.1205716E-50.0359100851150.75350.035881.2181328E-41.3373268E-40.04351793325.409850.043390.00148206770.00162711250.05872405736.0909650.057190.0147222230.0161653980.0852502665.2736260.07022
6.12.8424427E-53.1205716E-50.0359100851150.75350.035881.2181328E-41.3373268E-40.04351793325.409850.043390.00148206770.00162711250.05872405736.0909650.057190.0147222230.0161653980.0852502665.2736260.07022
6.22.8424427E-53.1205716E-50.0359100851150.75350.035881.2181328E-41.3373268E-40.04351793325.409850.043390.00148206770.00162711250.05872405736.0909650.057190.0147222230.0161653980.0852502665.2736260.07022
6.31.48860645E-51.6081383E-50.0244856891522.61070.024476.379586E-56.8918554E-50.029376898426.255280.029317.7643775E-48.387886E-40.0392165746.753820.038410.0077373050.0083590450.0546984266.54362150.04673
6.41.48860645E-51.6081383E-50.0244856891522.61070.024476.379586E-56.8918554E-50.029376898426.255280.029317.7643775E-48.387886E-40.0392165746.753820.038410.0077373050.0083590450.0546984266.54362150.04673
6.51.2797581E-51.376556E-50.0219834631596.99010.021975.4845623E-55.8994065E-50.026347443446.611760.026296.675408E-47.1804173E-40.03503338248.7901760.034340.0066553920.0071597670.0484917056.77280470.04163
6.69.661896E-61.0289033E-50.0177501071725.14830.017744.1407468E-54.40952E-50.021133166479.262270.021095.040193E-45.36743E-40.02789205351.9653740.027370.0050287770.00535607150.038378257.1653730.0332
6.77.767871E-68.199681E-60.0150480761835.20260.015043.329045E-53.5141096E-50.017874515508.64990.017844.0523586E-44.2777258E-40.02352788755.0009230.023110.0040449770.0042708430.03200197.49311070.02785
6.86.4235196E-66.735739E-60.0118366561757.29140.011832.752908E-52.8867207E-50.014058462487.00460.014033.35115E-43.5141438E-40.0184850452.601830.018140.0033461010.00350984720.0253130517.21200940.02188
6.93.1283696E-63.1121751E-60.0064530922073.4990.006451.3407229E-51.33378335E-50.007723235579.04720.007711.6322079E-41.6237753E-40.01011076262.2670020.009950.00163100950.00162273720.0135034278.3213880.0119
7.02.290603E-62.2286763E-60.003992221791.29650.003999.816834E-69.551441E-60.004809506503.53720.00481.19513395E-41.1628362E-40.00629556554.139740.006180.00119449140.00116232990.0086536137.4450570.0075
7.11.293693E-61.1776774E-60.00171117571453.00880.001715.5443866E-65.047183E-60.001995037395.277340.001996.750081E-56.1448416E-50.00254129641.356570.002486.7480316E-46.1438273E-40.0037824356.156480.00317
7.24.715842E-73.091732E-71.3030913E-4421.476171.3E-42.0210737E-61.3250274E-61.5132483E-4114.205061.5E-42.4606294E-51.6132095E-51.7612951E-410.9179571.6E-42.460357E-41.6130977E-43.812743E-42.36361552.2E-4
7.33.9430947E-72.3096938E-77.0230955E-5304.07047.0E-51.6898966E-69.898685E-78.098979E-581.818748.0E-52.0574296E-51.2051582E-59.205062E-57.63805258.0E-52.0572392E-41.2050936E-42.504937E-42.07862451.3E-4
7.43.547123E-71.9678579E-77.019677E-5356.716677.0E-51.5201948E-68.433674E-78.08433E-595.857758.0E-51.8508214E-51.02679505E-59.026713E-58.7911548.0E-51.8506673E-41.0267482E-42.1266352E-42.07123351.1E-4
7.52.6354266E-71.4422719E-72.0144224E-5139.670092.0E-51.129468E-66.1811636E-73.06181E-549.534523.0E-51.3751187E-57.525541E-63.7525315E-54.98639443.0E-51.3750336E-47.5252916E-51.1524991E-41.53150084.0E-5
7.61.269913E-77.572344E-87.572344E-81.00.05.4424834E-73.24529E-71.0324526E-531.8138771.0E-56.6262032E-63.9511337E-61.3951094E-53.5309091.0E-56.626006E-53.9510673E-55.950988E-51.50617242.0E-5

Owl Lake

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.0320643E-56.6358676E-50.021384943322.262970.021322.1564208E-42.843643E-40.02816643499.050520.027890.00262228120.0034575470.0432893512.5202480.039970.025915530.0341412950.0851386342.49371430.0528
6.15.0320643E-56.6358676E-50.021384943322.262970.021322.1564208E-42.843643E-40.02816643499.050520.027890.00262228120.0034575470.0432893512.5202480.039970.025915530.0341412950.0851386342.49371430.0528
6.22.4125871E-53.0980515E-50.01720045555.202150.017171.0339249E-41.3276804E-40.022149844166.831150.022020.00125807660.00161542520.0326252520.1960750.031060.0125097810.0160707550.055949413.48144220.04053
6.31.7433485E-52.2355545E-50.015522009694.324770.01557.471279E-59.580685E-50.019703928205.663040.019619.0924866E-40.0011659620.0285040524.446810.027370.0090553730.01162914650.046291313.98062850.03507
6.41.7433485E-52.2355545E-50.015522009694.324770.01557.471279E-59.580685E-50.019703928205.663040.019619.0924866E-40.0011659620.0285040524.446810.027370.0090553730.01162914650.046291313.98062850.03507
6.51.5182742E-51.9429277E-50.015059137775.07450.015046.506727E-58.3266525E-50.019011691228.323330.018937.919061E-40.00101343440.02717689226.8166280.026190.00789090.0101186780.043200514.2693830.03342
6.66.7271576E-68.547518E-60.0125284411465.74020.012522.8830356E-53.6631736E-50.015506065423.295930.015473.5095305E-44.4590578E-40.02089678346.863670.020460.00350399320.00446801870.0293463646.5680930.02499
6.76.682835E-68.479961E-60.0125283741477.40940.012522.8640408E-53.6342215E-50.0155057805426.660280.015473.4864116E-44.423823E-40.02088333547.2065350.020450.0034809470.00443293250.0292822876.6056240.02496
6.86.5774975E-68.326427E-60.0124882231499.82970.012482.8188972E-53.5684232E-50.015465134433.388460.015433.4314668E-44.3437455E-40.02082551347.943680.02040.00342617280.00435310560.0291347566.6928670.02489
6.96.363419E-67.999591E-60.01246791558.56730.012462.727151E-53.428354E-50.015423756449.88810.015393.3198006E-44.1732774E-40.02075883649.7422830.020350.00331484550.00418306470.0289091996.91100930.02483
7.06.1342453E-67.631779E-60.0124075381625.77260.01242.6289357E-53.2707245E-50.015312208468.15950.015283.2002592E-43.9814346E-40.02055011751.6148530.020160.00319565440.0039917390.0284537027.12814660.02456
7.15.842926E-67.142312E-60.01186705751661.51490.011862.504087E-53.060958E-50.014660162478.94030.014633.0482994E-43.7261334E-40.01959544852.589230.019230.00304412140.00373715950.0270696367.24337150.02342
7.24.77173E-65.358478E-60.00761531761421.17180.007612.045011E-52.2964727E-50.0093927495409.007660.009372.4895166E-42.7956374E-40.01264610545.235140.012370.00248672930.00280862120.017706666.3043960.01494
7.33.0494948E-62.710356E-60.0022427044827.45740.002241.3069198E-51.1615762E-50.0027815837239.466320.002771.5910587E-41.4141288E-40.003600923625.4639020.003460.00158991990.00142310890.00558717463.92603450.00417
7.42.7263884E-62.3055634E-60.0014723021638.586730.001471.1684469E-59.880949E-60.001829863185.191020.001821.4224913E-41.2029401E-40.00239002119.8681620.002270.00142158110.00121105780.00392776363.24325060.00272
7.52.6090431E-62.1655019E-60.0012921627596.70360.001291.1181565E-59.2806895E-60.0016392656176.631870.001631.3612706E-41.1298663E-40.00216275519.141690.002050.0013604370.00113781260.00354507053.1156890.00241
7.62.3008756E-61.8726826E-69.7187085E-4518.97269.7E-49.860858E-68.025758E-60.0011880163148.025440.001181.20049335E-49.770931E-50.001607561716.4524940.001510.0011998459.848307E-40.0027830582.82592540.0018
7.71.7184348E-61.341808E-64.613412E-4343.820564.6E-47.3646997E-65.750593E-65.657474E-498.38075.6E-48.966153E-57.0011265E-57.8996085E-411.28333957.2E-48.962536E-47.0769014E-40.00157707452.22848158.7E-4
7.88.4612907E-78.4054994E-72.2084036E-4262.73322.2E-43.6262625E-63.602352E-62.6360143E-473.1748052.6E-44.4148852E-54.3857777E-53.8384285E-48.7519913.4E-44.414008E-44.4386165E-48.636752E-41.94582084.2E-4
7.92.716738E-73.7681625E-78.037678E-5213.3058.0E-51.1643157E-61.6149258E-61.01614765E-462.922251.0E-41.4175452E-51.9661555E-51.49659E-47.61175781.3E-41.4174548E-41.9829652E-43.4826677E-41.75629291.5E-4
8.02.1995428E-83.3853325E-81.0033853E-5296.391941.0E-59.426611E-81.4508568E-72.0145082E-5138.849562.0E-51.1476893E-61.7664173E-62.1766382E-512.3223322.0E-51.14768345E-51.7869768E-53.7869413E-52.11918852.0E-5

Airport Lake

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.0241327861841.75370.024125.3086325E-55.615534E-50.029394507523.449950.029346.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0387474756.689360.038090.00644258880.00681683930.0526125137.7180220.04611
6.11.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.0241327861841.75370.024125.3086325E-55.615534E-50.029394507523.449950.029346.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0387474756.689360.038090.00644258880.00681683930.0526125137.7180220.04611
6.21.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.0241327861841.75370.024125.3086325E-55.615534E-50.029394507523.449950.029346.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0387474756.689360.038090.00644258880.00681683930.0526125137.7180220.04611
6.31.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.0241327861841.75370.024125.3086325E-55.615534E-50.029394507523.449950.029346.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0387474756.689360.038090.00644258880.00681683930.0526125137.7180220.04611
6.41.2387061E-51.3103157E-50.0241327861841.75370.024125.3086325E-55.615534E-50.029394507523.449950.029346.461343E-46.8350515E-40.0387474756.689360.038090.00644258880.00681683930.0526125137.7180220.04611
6.56.9922594E-67.384925E-60.0185472482511.50120.018542.996648E-53.1649324E-50.022360943706.52190.022333.6478083E-43.8526783E-40.02930412376.061690.028930.0036418260.00384653660.0387218710.0666840.03501
6.66.9922594E-67.384925E-60.0185472482511.50120.018542.996648E-53.1649324E-50.022360943706.52190.022333.6478083E-43.8526783E-40.02930412376.061690.028930.0036418260.00384653660.0387218710.0666840.03501
6.75.477277E-65.7860684E-60.0157256952717.8550.015722.3473833E-52.4797222E-50.018974327765.179570.018952.8575645E-43.0186825E-40.02495442382.666610.024660.00285389270.0030149660.0327849410.8740660.02986
6.83.9950432E-64.2190873E-60.0118741692814.3930.011871.7121502E-51.8081691E-50.01444782799.030330.014432.0843433E-42.2012512E-40.01895686.114660.018740.00208238930.00219934180.02476959311.2622760.02262
6.92.95695E-63.1230243E-60.0083930972687.490.008391.2672582E-51.3384334E-50.010203248762.327640.010191.5427776E-41.6294434E-40.0134407882.486940.013280.0015417070.00162847120.0175624810.7846430.01596
7.01.456072E-61.540812E-60.00364153532363.38720.003646.2402937E-66.603469E-60.004406574667.31210.00447.597293E-58.039528E-50.00577993771.893990.00577.594696E-48.0376083E-40.0076982159.5777440.0069
7.16.995192E-77.4089746E-70.00152073982052.56450.001522.997936E-63.1752747E-60.0017731696558.43030.001773.649926E-53.865897E-50.002268572858.6816670.002233.6493264E-43.865897E-40.00320549968.2917360.00282

Panamint Valley

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0211835E-53.3984263E-50.017323397509.747620.017291.2947287E-41.4563887E-40.022142434152.036580.0220.00157519230.00177174060.03367511619.0067980.031960.0156407360.0175830030.0581568263.30755930.0413
6.13.0211835E-53.3984263E-50.017323397509.747620.017291.2947287E-41.4563887E-40.022142434152.036580.0220.00157519230.00177174060.03367511619.0067980.031960.0156407360.0175830030.0581568263.30755930.0413
6.23.0211835E-53.3984263E-50.017323397509.747620.017291.2947287E-41.4563887E-40.022142434152.036580.0220.00157519230.00177174060.03367511619.0067980.031960.0156407360.0175830030.0581568263.30755930.0413
6.32.8573924E-53.2102445E-50.016691567519.946960.016661.2245393E-41.375748E-40.021194678154.05930.021060.0014898570.00167371410.0319729219.1029740.030350.014799080.0166180380.0550682733.3137650.0391
6.42.8573924E-53.2102445E-50.016691567519.946960.016661.2245393E-41.375748E-40.021194678154.05930.021060.0014898570.00167371410.0319729219.1029740.030350.014799080.0166180380.0550682733.3137650.0391
6.52.7468774E-53.0828138E-50.016450321533.613830.016421.1771801E-41.3211406E-40.020779386157.283680.020650.00143227450.00160732920.0311797219.3984640.029620.0142307820.0159638820.0533277363.34052420.03797
6.62.6135967E-52.9252153E-50.015968787545.901250.015941.1200648E-41.2536049E-40.020162849160.838940.020040.00136282570.00152522190.030081619.7227690.02860.0135449820.0151543430.0510125723.36620160.03641
6.72.4498746E-52.7341044E-50.015566916569.36070.015541.04990395E-41.17170785E-40.019544894166.806880.019430.00127750840.00142564590.02885648420.240990.027470.0127018930.0141715930.0483305453.41038230.03465
6.82.2244329E-52.4935374E-50.014804567593.717470.014789.532935E-51.0686163E-40.018434903172.511890.018330.00116001690.00130028570.02707672520.8236730.025810.0115398020.0129329550.0447362553.459090.03222
6.91.9902658E-52.2290182E-50.013651987612.46640.013638.529431E-59.552596E-50.016953915177.479680.016860.00103796350.00116242650.02448528421.0639420.023350.0103312880.0115690210.0401742123.4725680.02894
7.01.8353881E-52.056605E-50.013080297636.014040.013067.865712E-58.813734E-50.016146721183.199550.016069.5722964E-40.00107256160.02317882521.6107180.022130.0095311680.010679390.037687843.52902580.0273
7.11.7667631E-51.9772435E-50.012659523640.261170.012647.571623E-58.4736355E-50.015653417184.730830.015579.2145515E-40.00103119450.02248904521.8087330.021480.0091764370.01026959250.036566733.56067970.02657
7.21.6381597E-51.8158042E-50.011157956614.491150.011147.020495E-57.781795E-50.013756753176.781220.013688.544101E-49.470391E-40.01989907421.0118830.018970.0085113250.0094352690.032733353.46925470.02352
7.31.4520491E-51.596657E-50.00918582575.31580.009176.222919E-56.842646E-50.011397651166.56790.011337.57377E-48.327899E-40.01663961419.9805680.015820.00754800950.0083003990.0276087913.32620020.01947
7.41.2852287E-51.41454875E-50.008934019631.58090.008925.5080065E-56.06222E-50.011049956182.275740.010996.7039346E-47.378411E-40.01598658221.6666980.015260.00668374640.0073574290.0258999913.52025030.01868
7.51.1637851E-51.2836868E-50.008862724690.41160.008854.987555E-55.5014076E-50.0109544145199.120210.01096.070656E-46.696062E-40.01577948223.5653150.015120.0060540990.00667938450.0250160823.74526790.01846
7.63.0068115E-63.3330623E-60.00370332061111.08650.00371.2886271E-51.4284516E-50.0045642196319.52220.004551.5687906E-41.7390738E-40.00663278438.139750.006460.00156768350.00173979730.0094264015.41810270.0077

Garlock (East)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5092507E-56.2904815E-50.013722045218.139820.013661.9323928E-42.6956675E-40.01833469668.015430.018070.00235014970.0032774820.0297105639.0650580.026520.0232545040.032353770.066850362.06623080.03565
6.14.5092507E-56.2904815E-50.013722045218.139820.013661.9323928E-42.6956675E-40.01833469668.015430.018070.00235014970.0032774820.0297105639.0650580.026520.0232545040.032353770.066850362.06623080.03565
6.22.6674514E-53.4511588E-50.0108941365315.666050.010861.1431433E-41.4789861E-40.01409583595.307430.013950.00139088840.00179921140.02136394811.8740620.01960.013822150.0178727880.04313312.41333910.02572
6.32.6674514E-53.4511588E-50.0108941365315.666050.010861.1431433E-41.4789861E-40.01409583595.307430.013950.00139088840.00179921140.02136394811.8740620.01960.013822150.0178727880.04313312.41333910.02572
6.42.5312667E-53.2340467E-50.010831991334.936130.01081.0847834E-41.3859481E-40.013966678100.773450.013830.00131992370.00168611520.02103343812.4744970.019380.0131211120.0167722870.041746272.4890030.0254
6.52.5312667E-53.2340467E-50.010831991334.936130.01081.0847834E-41.3859481E-40.013966678100.773450.013830.00131992370.00168611520.02103343812.4744970.019380.0131211120.0167722870.041746272.4890030.0254
6.62.246556E-52.8134691E-50.010587838376.326780.010569.627742E-51.2057181E-40.0134889595111.874910.013370.00117154720.00146699690.01998978513.626330.018550.0116539010.0146131690.038301872.62105150.02404
6.72.2241198E-52.7804432E-50.010557512379.70610.010539.531594E-51.1915654E-40.013417572112.6045760.01330.00115985380.00144978890.01990299713.7282030.018480.0115381870.0144428290.0380272122.63294740.02393
6.81.9528685E-52.3898969E-50.010153657424.857540.010138.369167E-51.0242024E-40.012811119125.0838550.012710.00101846980.00124627280.01873445115.0323840.017510.0101381470.0124367230.034647022.7858640.02249
6.91.3318621E-51.5198818E-50.009495054624.72320.009485.7078556E-56.51362E-50.01183437181.686520.011776.9470983E-47.927504E-40.01659021720.9274160.015810.00692542040.0079407210.0277719853.49741390.01999
7.01.1760853E-51.3107653E-50.009302986709.7370.009295.0402683E-55.6174475E-50.0115755275206.063830.011526.134799E-46.8371464E-40.01600323223.4063050.015330.00611789060.0068574010.026005193.79228070.01928
7.11.0064758E-51.0902761E-50.009130803837.476260.009124.3133965E-54.67253E-50.0112962241.757680.011255.2502943E-45.6873553E-40.01540029527.078130.014840.0052379070.00571334730.0240281084.20560930.01842
7.29.768808E-61.0498628E-50.008980405855.38830.008974.186565E-54.499337E-50.011094497246.58070.011055.095951E-45.4766005E-40.01508969227.5530260.014550.00508428040.0055035840.0234940244.2688590.01809
7.39.344516E-69.9442705E-60.008259863830.61520.008254.004731E-54.2617627E-50.010282181241.265930.010244.8746695E-45.187495E-40.01400175126.9913540.013490.00486399050.0052152690.0219077564.20069550.01678
7.49.023491E-69.490441E-60.007319421771.24140.007313.867153E-54.0672705E-50.009090304223.49890.009054.7072413E-44.95081E-40.01247914525.2062680.011990.0046972830.00497872660.0198542943.98782590.01495
7.57.081253E-67.0873994E-60.0038070604537.1590.00383.0347876E-53.0374218E-50.004740231156.0610.004713.6942272E-43.697441E-40.00644749617.4377250.006080.0036880920.00372447450.0113360193.0436560.00764
7.66.116396E-65.9589424E-60.0022659455380.259670.002262.6212863E-52.5538076E-50.002895465113.378340.002873.1909486E-43.1088197E-40.003999734812.8657670.003690.00318637070.00313591260.00774142472.46863530.00462
7.74.797145E-64.7571157E-60.0013347508280.579860.001332.055903E-52.0387479E-50.001660354181.439890.001642.5027743E-42.481894E-40.00237766079.5800250.002130.00249995760.00250940650.0051228322.04145150.00262
7.83.4028885E-63.978375E-68.339751E-4209.627088.3E-41.4583726E-51.7050066E-50.001047032561.409290.001031.775424E-42.0756487E-40.00154728687.45447350.001340.00177400620.00210121410.0037477471.78361030.00165
7.92.5928412E-63.372436E-66.2337035E-4184.842766.2E-41.1112129E-51.4453217E-57.9444196E-454.9664467.8E-41.3528178E-41.7595377E-40.00121577076.90960360.001040.00135199450.00178124260.0030689451.72292350.00129
8.01.3743648E-61.6734741E-62.1167312E-4126.487242.1E-45.8901214E-67.1720124E-63.0716986E-442.8289643.0E-47.1709874E-58.731578E-55.072791E-45.8097074.2E-47.1686733E-48.837377E-40.0013932871.57658435.1E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1489736E-73.1489736E-71.00.01.5742813E-61.3495595E-64.1349507E-530.639264.0E-51.9166706E-51.643078E-56.642996E-54.04301935.0E-51.9165053E-41.662928E-42.1628448E-41.30062455.0E-5

Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5103672E-55.456906E-50.0091140745167.019090.009061.9328714E-42.3384714E-40.01147121849.0543480.011240.0023507310.00284354620.0184490446.48804140.015650.0232601950.0280926250.0468115621.66632930.01926
6.14.5103672E-55.456906E-50.0091140745167.019090.009061.9328714E-42.3384714E-40.01147121849.0543480.011240.0023507310.00284354620.0184490446.48804140.015650.0232601950.0280926250.0468115621.66632930.01926
6.23.9363465E-54.706271E-50.009076638192.862630.009031.6868966E-42.016826E-40.01138942656.4720270.011190.0020518620.00245285340.0179846627.33213950.015570.0203301960.0242741870.0429593361.76975380.01915
6.33.9363465E-54.706271E-50.009076638192.862630.009031.6868966E-42.016826E-40.01138942656.4720270.011190.0020518620.00245285340.0179846627.33213950.015570.0203301960.0242741870.0429593361.76975380.01915
6.43.2311684E-53.795112E-50.00900761237.34770.008971.384713E-41.6263791E-40.01126083369.238670.01110.00168458430.0019783870.0174078018.7989860.015460.0167187140.0196171180.0382443931.94954180.019
6.53.2311684E-53.795112E-50.00900761237.34770.008971.384713E-41.6263791E-40.01126083369.238670.01110.00168458430.0019783870.0174078018.7989860.015460.0167187140.0196171180.0382443931.94954180.019
6.62.9305844E-53.418196E-50.008983876262.825040.008951.2559042E-41.4648624E-40.01121486476.5591660.011070.00152799090.00178207270.0171745929.6374250.015420.0151752720.0176863240.0362815222.05138850.01893
6.72.7826512E-53.2344353E-50.008972055277.39170.008941.19251024E-41.3861163E-40.0111870880.708090.011050.00145091420.00168635060.0170603810.1167470.01540.0144147760.0167438180.035337192.1104620.01891
6.82.3389874E-52.6866792E-50.008956627333.371670.008931.0023846E-41.1513857E-40.011153867596.873420.011040.001219720.0014009580.01671946811.934310.015340.012130470.0139280670.0325155222.33453230.01885
6.92.069209E-52.357011E-50.00895336379.860750.008938.867737E-51.0101105E-40.011129897110.1849440.011030.00107911230.00122915190.0165403113.4566850.015330.0107388710.0122291580.0308091272.51931720.01881
7.01.7462342E-51.9633622E-50.008949459455.823060.008937.483646E-58.414151E-50.011113213132.077650.011039.1075303E-40.00102396410.01632827715.9461420.015320.0090702950.0101966880.0287752952.82202390.01877
7.11.4807709E-51.6441827E-50.008936295543.50990.008926.3460066E-57.046316E-50.011079688157.240840.011017.723524E-48.575678E-40.01612446518.8025530.015280.0076967350.0085461680.0270863553.16941520.0187
7.21.4180048E-51.5698413E-50.008925559568.56440.008916.077022E-56.727727E-50.011066537164.491470.0117.396263E-48.1880915E-40.01607630619.6337640.015270.00737169430.0081614690.0266989323.27133870.01869
7.31.3730402E-51.5172151E-50.0089250365588.25130.008915.8843252E-56.502197E-50.011064307170.162580.0117.161811E-47.9137104E-40.01604928620.2803550.015270.0071387740.0078890580.026431613.3504140.01869
7.41.2810095E-51.4109353E-50.008893984630.360840.008885.489925E-56.0467344E-50.011009805182.078540.010956.681934E-47.3595706E-40.01593476321.6517560.015210.0066618780.00733868960.0258121163.5172650.01861
7.51.1595659E-51.2800734E-50.008822688689.2330.008814.9694736E-55.485922E-50.010914263198.95040.010866.0486543E-46.67722E-40.0157276623.5542030.015070.0060322170.0066606320.0249281433.74260930.01839
7.62.997694E-63.3251877E-60.0036833131107.70080.003681.28471975E-51.4250767E-50.0045441864318.87310.004531.564034E-41.7349655E-40.00660238138.0548250.006430.00156293370.00173569550.0093724185.3998050.00765

Ash Hill

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1545662E-52.3194447E-50.0042030974181.211360.004189.2335285E-59.940143E-50.00606880861.0535240.005970.00112360230.00120962060.0111276099.1992560.009930.0111793810.0120383480.0260674042.16536380.0142
6.12.1545662E-52.3194447E-50.0042030974181.211360.004189.2335285E-59.940143E-50.00606880861.0535240.005970.00112360230.00120962060.0111276099.1992560.009930.0111793810.0120383480.0260674042.16536380.0142
6.22.1545662E-52.3194447E-50.0042030974181.211360.004189.2335285E-59.940143E-50.00606880861.0535240.005970.00112360230.00120962060.0111276099.1992560.009930.0111793810.0120383480.0260674042.16536380.0142
6.31.0025529E-51.0746934E-50.0016907288157.321980.001684.2965847E-54.605755E-50.002585940556.1458550.002545.229836E-45.6061964E-40.0048282268.6123020.004270.0052175450.00559336650.0116592472.08447770.0061
6.41.0025529E-51.0746934E-50.0016907288157.321980.001684.2965847E-54.605755E-50.002585940556.1458550.002545.229836E-45.6061964E-40.0048282268.6123020.004270.0052175450.00559336650.0116592472.08447770.0061
6.56.9617327E-67.456634E-60.001157448155.223940.001152.9835655E-53.195666E-50.001791900456.072830.001763.6318856E-43.8901155E-40.00326789128.4004990.002880.00362595570.00388416020.0079981192.05916290.00413
6.64.9919777E-65.3466883E-67.9534244E-4148.754237.9E-42.1394015E-52.2914215E-50.001282885355.9864430.001262.60441E-42.7895154E-40.00233837688.3827350.002060.00260135970.00278667270.00577831272.07355280.003
6.73.6630722E-63.924624E-65.839224E-4148.784295.8E-41.5698786E-51.681974E-59.368043E-455.6967169.2E-41.9111596E-42.0476682E-40.00173445358.4703840.001530.00190951680.00204634460.00431169942.10702510.00227
6.82.5599613E-62.744925E-64.127438E-4150.366154.1E-41.0971216E-51.1763939E-56.317567E-453.7028126.2E-41.3356637E-41.4322149E-40.00120306978.40006350.001060.00133486130.00143177690.00302948622.11589260.0016
6.91.7684905E-61.8968707E-62.8189633E-4148.611252.8E-47.579223E-68.129446E-64.3812595E-453.8937034.3E-49.2273134E-59.8976E-57.989067E-48.0717217.0E-49.223483E-49.8976E-40.00203872082.05981330.00105

Blackwater

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0708583E-53.3095846E-50.0043929517132.734220.004361.3160157E-41.4183241E-40.00639094645.059840.006250.00160107140.00172557840.0117881856.83143950.010080.0158958510.0171356330.0312299081.82251260.01434
6.13.0708583E-53.3095846E-50.0043929517132.734220.004361.3160157E-41.4183241E-40.00639094645.059840.006250.00160107140.00172557840.0117881856.83143950.010080.0158958510.0171356330.0312299081.82251260.01434
6.21.1707779E-51.2545122E-50.0017025239135.712020.001695.017523E-55.3763757E-50.002493632546.3812940.002446.107122E-46.5438676E-40.00463178247.078050.003980.0060903660.00652556960.0122380471.87539910.00575
6.31.1707779E-51.2545122E-50.0017025239135.712020.001695.017523E-55.3763757E-50.002493632546.3812940.002446.107122E-46.5438676E-40.00463178247.078050.003980.0060903660.00652556960.0122380471.87539910.00575
6.47.929244E-68.480098E-60.0011484704135.431270.001143.3982033E-53.6342793E-50.00165628445.573930.001624.136527E-44.423877E-40.00323115347.3038950.002790.00412883560.00441547580.0084177261.90641420.00402
6.55.8832115E-66.285991E-68.162809E-4129.857168.1E-42.521352E-52.6939697E-50.001196908244.429160.001173.0693135E-43.27944E-40.00227730446.9441870.001950.00306507780.00327485380.00610555341.86437430.00284
6.65.8832115E-66.285991E-68.162809E-4129.857168.1E-42.521352E-52.6939697E-50.001196908244.429160.001173.0693135E-43.27944E-40.00227730446.9441870.001950.00306507780.00327485380.00610555341.86437430.00284
6.73.0715053E-63.2814662E-63.7328026E-4113.7541053.7E-41.3163528E-51.4063357E-55.240562E-437.2639475.1E-41.6025416E-41.7120909E-49.810705E-45.73024758.1E-40.00160138650.00171088640.0029387821.71769560.00123
6.82.2722281E-62.4287538E-62.6242813E-4108.050532.6E-49.738084E-61.0408908E-53.7040515E-435.58543.6E-41.1855473E-41.26722E-46.6665356E-45.26075655.4E-40.0011849150.00126658760.00209553631.6544748.3E-4
6.99.952399E-71.0653489E-61.3106522E-4123.025631.3E-44.265307E-64.5657757E-61.9456491E-442.613771.9E-45.1928873E-55.5587418E-53.1557298E-45.67705732.6E-45.191674E-45.557858E-48.856023E-41.5934243.3E-4
7.04.7385504E-75.0755597E-77.050752E-5138.915767.0E-52.0308057E-62.1752398E-68.2175065E-537.7774738.0E-52.4724779E-52.6483543E-51.4648036E-45.53099541.2E-42.4722028E-42.6483546E-44.0479837E-41.52849021.4E-4

Garlock (West)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.5181727E-52.5197181E-50.0069350232275.23010.006911.0791722E-41.0798347E-40.00864706180.077640.008540.00131310020.00131390930.0123993259.4369720.01110.0130536830.0131417940.026888732.0460470.01393
6.12.5077732E-52.5098223E-50.006934925276.311370.006911.0747157E-41.075594E-40.00864664180.389450.008540.0013076810.00130875250.0123942259.470260.01110.0130001260.0130908350.026838482.05017330.01393
6.22.494612E-52.4979914E-50.006934807277.615330.006911.0690756E-41.070524E-40.00864613880.765470.008540.00130082240.00130258720.0123881299.5104030.01110.0129323410.0130299060.02677842.0551490.01393
6.32.4733758E-52.4799276E-50.006934628279.630250.006911.0599751E-41.06278305E-40.00864537181.346530.008540.00128975560.00129317360.0123788199.5724330.01110.0128229570.01293687150.0266866612.06283740.01393
6.42.3237335E-52.3178607E-50.0068830196296.95570.006869.958477E-59.933313E-50.008578490586.3608250.008480.00121177020.00120871260.01220540510.0978550.011010.0120518380.0121017310.0257446062.1273490.01381
6.52.2732203E-52.2992977E-50.006882835299.345120.006869.742009E-59.8537625E-50.00857770287.050020.008480.00118544420.00119903810.01219583710.17135050.011010.0117914030.0120060350.0256502332.13644480.01381
6.62.1319436E-52.1773201E-50.006881624316.059360.006869.136581E-59.3310395E-50.00857251991.8709950.008480.0011118110.00113546430.01212297410.6766660.0110.0110626490.0113769520.025019952.19917870.0138
6.71.970802E-52.0393094E-50.0068702535336.891170.006858.446021E-58.739606E-50.00855665697.9066540.008470.0010278180.00106352940.01202186211.3037430.010970.0102307710.01066468750.0242878352.2774070.01377
6.81.8744462E-51.9900775E-50.0068697645345.200870.006858.033094E-58.528626E-50.008554564100.304130.008479.775903E-40.00103786720.01198649211.5491580.010960.0097330090.0104104950.0240272472.30798320.01376
6.91.7559682E-51.8953151E-50.0068688234362.41060.006857.5253614E-58.122527E-50.008550538105.2694240.008479.158276E-49.884704E-40.01192764712.06677150.010950.00912062450.0099210730.0235346572.37218880.01375
7.01.6794445E-51.8215967E-50.0068580913376.487880.006847.197421E-57.806611E-50.008517407109.1050640.008448.759337E-49.5004175E-40.01184967712.47279550.010910.0087248910.0095399580.0230993552.42132690.01369
7.11.6337795E-51.771677E-50.0068575954387.068080.006847.0017246E-57.592681E-50.008515286112.1512450.008448.521265E-49.2401815E-40.01182393712.7962170.010910.0084886640.0092817210.0228347462.46018460.01368
7.21.5780008E-51.71654E-50.006847048398.886630.006836.762685E-57.3563926E-50.008502943115.585780.008438.2304585E-48.952741E-40.01178551613.1641430.01090.0082000420.0089965590.0225336662.50469830.01366
7.31.5058865E-51.6618484E-50.0068265055410.77790.006816.45364E-57.122013E-50.0084806215119.076180.008417.854473E-48.667614E-40.0117273413.5300670.010870.007826770.0087132630.0222145882.54951430.01362
7.41.4887923E-51.6454453E-50.006656345404.531560.006646.380382E-57.0517184E-50.00824994116.991910.008187.7653467E-48.5820974E-40.01132921613.2009880.010480.00773826750.0086281010.021714212.51668450.0132
7.51.4509299E-51.6046468E-50.0062159467387.371640.00626.218123E-56.876877E-50.0077582397112.816320.007697.567935E-48.369394E-40.01068868712.771160.009860.00754221340.0084164110.0206128882.44913050.0123
7.61.2756717E-51.4050529E-50.004093993291.376460.004085.4670498E-56.0215163E-50.0051299185.1929860.005076.6541E-47.328737E-40.0072580889.90360.006530.0066342110.0073813740.01552084652.10270430.0082
7.71.0328985E-51.146033E-50.002491432217.396180.002484.4266326E-54.9114777E-50.003068966662.4856030.003025.388092E-45.9780874E-40.00451546537.5533610.003920.00537504670.0060382860.0109484571.8131730.00494
7.87.0306583E-68.899537E-60.0016788847188.648540.001673.0131043E-53.8140315E-50.002058063253.960310.002023.667837E-44.6425956E-40.00310303396.68383460.002640.0036617890.00469506670.0080193851.7080450.00334
7.94.060633E-65.465412E-69.6546015E-4176.649119.6E-41.7402595E-52.3422985E-50.001183395950.5228420.001162.11856E-42.8513762E-40.00183469576.43442150.001550.00211654140.0028841430.0048185481.67070350.00194
8.01.6729537E-62.0775192E-62.6207697E-4126.1492.6E-47.169782E-68.903624E-63.7890032E-442.5557443.7E-48.7288594E-51.0839626E-46.0834206E-45.6122055.0E-48.7254314E-40.0010968540.0017261631.573746.3E-4
8.13.6733252E-73.1489736E-73.1489736E-71.00.01.5742813E-61.3495595E-64.1349507E-530.639264.0E-51.9166706E-51.643078E-56.642996E-54.04301935.0E-51.9165053E-41.662928E-42.1628448E-41.30062455.0E-5

McLean Lake

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7360222E-51.8501627E-50.0023884578129.094470.002377.439883E-57.9290556E-50.003589012245.2640570.003519.0542925E-49.6498354E-40.00734881737.6154840.006390.0090174910.00961277450.0196057822.03955480.01009
6.19.062689E-69.592193E-60.00127958133.398060.001273.8839516E-54.1108804E-50.001821035644.2979470.001784.727685E-45.003936E-40.00377875247.551560.003280.00471763960.0049935520.0102272852.04809860.00526
6.29.062689E-69.592193E-60.00127958133.398060.001273.8839516E-54.1108804E-50.001821035644.2979470.001784.727685E-45.003936E-40.00377875247.551560.003280.00471763960.0049935520.0102272852.04809860.00526
6.37.2575485E-67.66771E-60.0010376598135.328520.001033.110341E-53.2861237E-50.001422815643.2976880.001393.786182E-44.0001926E-40.00296899127.4221210.002570.00377973750.00399369650.0080374822.0125420.00406
6.47.2575485E-67.66771E-60.0010376598135.328520.001033.110341E-53.2861237E-50.001422815643.2976880.001393.786182E-44.0001926E-40.00296899127.4221210.002570.00377973750.00399369650.0080374822.0125420.00406
6.56.06582E-66.4038773E-68.8639825E-4138.415888.8E-42.5996113E-52.7444936E-50.00122741244.7227130.00123.164567E-43.3409733E-40.00256335227.67247150.002230.00316006430.00333658930.00679501152.03651430.00347
6.65.598744E-65.910262E-68.259054E-4139.74098.2E-42.3994397E-52.5329486E-50.001125301644.4265480.00112.9209262E-43.0834923E-40.00235771717.64625550.002050.00291708970.0030798430.00626001832.0325770.00319
6.75.246996E-65.539162E-67.6553493E-4138.20417.6E-42.2486933E-52.3739085E-50.001033715143.5448570.001012.73744E-42.8899137E-40.0021584517.4689110.001870.00273407040.00288677960.0057684371.99822560.00289
6.84.02324E-64.2469046E-65.642445E-4132.860185.6E-41.7242342E-51.8200926E-57.5818744E-441.6565327.4E-42.099053E-42.2157968E-40.00160127397.2266280.001380.00209707140.0022141720.00435941151.96886770.00215
6.96.835972E-77.1399285E-79.0713926E-5127.05169.0E-52.9296991E-63.0599674E-61.4305954E-446.751981.4E-43.56685E-53.7254784E-52.7724585E-47.44188552.4E-43.5662777E-43.7251666E-47.523751E-42.01970863.8E-4

Goldstone Lake

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.671352E-53.0376103E-50.001620327853.3421860.001591.1448149E-41.3017791E-40.002459874618.8962520.002330.0013929210.00158396010.00607683233.83648060.00450.0138422220.0157462020.023069051.46505490.00744
6.12.671352E-53.0376103E-50.001620327853.3421860.001591.1448149E-41.3017791E-40.002459874618.8962520.002330.0013929210.00158396010.00607683233.83648060.00450.0138422220.0157462020.023069051.46505490.00744
6.21.4197047E-51.6096254E-58.4608287E-452.563968.3E-46.0843064E-56.898268E-50.001228902617.8146550.001167.4051257E-48.3963916E-40.0030577753.6417730.002220.0073804980.0083743640.0120433791.43812450.0037
6.31.4197047E-51.6096254E-58.4608287E-452.563968.3E-46.0843064E-56.898268E-50.001228902617.8146550.001167.4051257E-48.3963916E-40.0030577753.6417730.002220.0073804980.0083743640.0120433791.43812450.0037
6.41.3238931E-51.500847E-58.049966E-453.6361587.9E-45.6737044E-56.432098E-50.00118424918.411550.001126.9055456E-47.8292453E-40.00290126473.7056760.002120.0068841260.0078112890.0113137151.44838010.00353
6.51.3238931E-51.500847E-58.049966E-453.6361587.9E-45.6737044E-56.432098E-50.00118424918.411550.001126.9055456E-47.8292453E-40.00290126473.7056760.002120.0068841260.0078112890.0113137151.44838010.00353
6.61.1328278E-51.2855176E-56.928464E-453.8963056.8E-44.8548856E-55.5092984E-50.00103503918.7871289.8E-45.90922E-46.706464E-40.0024994193.72688080.001830.00589353130.00669561370.0096755271.44505450.003
6.78.651175E-69.824575E-65.4981926E-455.9636735.4E-43.707594E-54.2105148E-58.320719E-419.761767.9E-44.5130608E-45.126002E-40.0019518623.80776720.001440.00450390620.00512305650.0074112731.44665070.0023
6.81.0215377E-61.1754802E-61.1754802E-61.00.04.378012E-65.037763E-61.5037713E-52.9849981.0E-55.3300988E-56.133315E-51.1133009E-41.81516985.0E-55.3288206E-46.131735E-47.231061E-41.17928461.1E-4
6.97.9360774E-79.283496E-79.283496E-71.00.03.4011714E-63.9786355E-61.3978595E-53.51341461.0E-54.1408475E-54.843888E-57.843743E-51.61930723.0E-54.140076E-44.842902E-45.442612E-41.12383276.0E-5
7.07.4382757E-78.747428E-78.747428E-71.00.03.1878285E-63.7488926E-61.3748855E-53.66744421.0E-53.8811122E-54.564188E-57.564051E-51.6572613.0E-53.8804344E-44.563317E-45.1630434E-41.13142346.0E-5
7.16.4709513E-77.711399E-77.711399E-71.00.02.773262E-63.3048816E-63.3048816E-61.00.03.376394E-54.023625E-56.0235445E-51.49704422.0E-53.375881E-44.022956E-44.522755E-41.12423675.0E-5
7.26.356704E-77.588459E-77.588459E-71.00.02.7242988E-63.252193E-63.252193E-61.00.03.3167835E-53.959479E-55.9594E-51.50509692.0E-53.3162883E-43.9588328E-44.458635E-41.12624985.0E-5
7.35.7695723E-76.896648E-76.896648E-71.00.02.4726714E-62.9557032E-62.9557032E-61.00.03.0104358E-53.598515E-55.598443E-51.55576482.0E-53.0100282E-43.5979896E-43.9978456E-41.11113324.0E-5
7.45.209647E-76.193583E-76.193583E-71.00.02.232704E-62.6543903E-62.6543903E-61.00.02.718283E-53.2316777E-55.2316132E-51.61885362.0E-52.7179506E-43.2312635E-43.6311342E-41.12375064.0E-5
7.54.512955E-75.3489487E-75.3489487E-71.00.01.934122E-62.2924048E-62.2924048E-61.00.02.3547682E-52.7909726E-53.790945E-51.3582881.0E-52.3545188E-42.7906752E-42.9906194E-41.07164732.0E-5
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-51.3587343E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.3586794E-41.00.0

Gravel Hills-Harper Lk

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0679566E-53.1464628E-50.002431389277.2737350.00241.3147724E-41.3484266E-40.003444396425.543820.003310.00159955990.001640690.0066624374.06075330.005030.0158809520.0163073370.0235768261.44578030.00739
6.13.0679566E-53.1464628E-50.002431389277.2737350.00241.3147724E-41.3484266E-40.003444396425.543820.003310.00159955990.001640690.0066624374.06075330.005030.0158809520.0163073370.0235768261.44578030.00739
6.21.514536E-51.36352E-56.2362687E-445.736546.1E-46.490707E-55.843533E-59.383839E-416.0585028.8E-47.8995706E-47.112298E-40.00206026972.89677070.001350.0078715480.0070907370.0092254921.30106250.00215
6.31.514536E-51.36352E-56.2362687E-445.736546.1E-46.490707E-55.843533E-59.383839E-416.0585028.8E-47.8995706E-47.112298E-40.00206026972.89677070.001350.0078715480.0070907370.0092254921.30106250.00215
6.41.2532521E-51.0689684E-53.9068563E-436.5479133.8E-45.37097E-54.581216E-55.9578696E-413.0049965.5E-46.537194E-45.5762613E-40.00135718012.4338538.0E-40.00651799650.0055628590.00687551641.2359680.00132
6.51.1094058E-59.083657E-63.1908083E-435.1269153.1E-44.7545094E-53.89294E-54.989115E-412.8158034.6E-45.787078E-44.7386638E-40.00108357732.28667266.1E-40.00577203040.0047289670.0056844271.20204419.6E-4
6.69.688328E-67.531688E-61.8753033E-424.8988441.8E-44.1520743E-53.227828E-53.322686E-410.2938763.0E-45.053978E-43.9291973E-48.027586E-42.043064.1E-40.00504249940.00392250670.00452015361.15236346.0E-4
6.78.974824E-66.749406E-61.3674852E-420.2608241.3E-43.8462964E-52.8925719E-52.7891848E-49.6425782.5E-44.6818596E-43.5211592E-46.819997E-41.93686143.3E-40.0046720080.0035158010.00399411331.13604654.8E-4
6.87.4780046E-65.1161865E-66.511588E-512.7274266.0E-53.20482E-52.1926337E-51.4192371E-46.47275071.2E-43.9011694E-42.6692182E-43.9688713E-41.4869041.3E-40.00389432810.00266615050.00286561741.07481462.0E-4
6.96.3409307E-63.907489E-63.390737E-58.6775353.0E-52.7175134E-51.674628E-58.674511E-55.1799637.0E-53.3080703E-42.0386786E-42.8385155E-41.3923318.0E-50.00330315020.00203690650.00215666231.05879281.2E-4
7.05.1239335E-62.6058492E-62.6058492E-61.00.02.195953E-51.1167879E-52.1167767E-51.89541521.0E-52.6732447E-41.359607E-41.4595933E-41.07354071.0E-50.00267003130.00135880050.00138875971.02204843.0E-5
7.14.438899E-62.0984692E-62.0984692E-61.00.01.9023713E-58.99341E-61.899332E-52.11191531.0E-52.315891E-41.0948948E-41.1948839E-41.0913231.0E-50.0023134790.00109437740.00112434451.02738293.0E-5
7.23.50367E-61.2615715E-61.2615715E-61.00.01.5015643E-55.406724E-65.406724E-61.00.01.8280011E-46.5824956E-56.5824956E-51.00.00.00182649826.580628E-46.780497E-41.03037232.0E-5
7.32.561638E-67.118686E-77.118686E-71.00.01.0978401E-53.050862E-63.050862E-61.00.01.3365384E-43.7143633E-53.7143633E-51.00.00.00133573493.7137623E-43.8137252E-41.02691691.0E-5
7.42.0368864E-65.304471E-75.304471E-71.00.08.729483E-62.2733427E-62.2733427E-61.00.01.06276275E-42.76776E-52.76776E-51.00.00.00106225472.767421E-42.8673932E-41.03612471.0E-5
7.51.1681728E-63.6028484E-73.6028484E-71.00.05.0064455E-61.544077E-61.544077E-61.00.06.0951766E-51.879898E-51.879898E-51.00.06.093505E-41.8797436E-41.9797249E-41.05318881.0E-5
7.61.3154387E-77.1196716E-87.1196716E-81.00.05.6375933E-73.0512876E-73.0512876E-71.00.06.863748E-63.714938E-63.714938E-61.00.06.863536E-53.7148915E-54.7148544E-51.26917681.0E-5

So Sierra Nevada

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0021810555196.853070.002174.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002827351259.5441740.002786.024253E-45.779681E-40.0047355648.1934690.004160.0060079480.0057659180.0116716692.02425150.00594
6.11.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0021810555196.853070.002174.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002827351259.5441740.002786.024253E-45.779681E-40.0047355648.1934690.004160.0060079480.0057659180.0116716692.02425150.00594
6.21.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0021810555196.853070.002174.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002827351259.5441740.002786.024253E-45.779681E-40.0047355648.1934690.004160.0060079480.0057659180.0116716692.02425150.00594
6.31.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0021810555196.853070.002174.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002827351259.5441740.002786.024253E-45.779681E-40.0047355648.1934690.004160.0060079480.0057659180.0116716692.02425150.00594
6.41.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0021810555196.853070.002174.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002827351259.5441740.002786.024253E-45.779681E-40.0047355648.1934690.004160.0060079480.0057659180.0116716692.02425150.00594
6.51.15488665E-51.1079612E-50.0021810555196.853070.002174.9494203E-54.7483256E-50.002827351259.5441740.002786.024253E-45.779681E-40.0047355648.1934690.004160.0060079480.0057659180.0116716692.02425150.00594
6.67.587044E-66.9356042E-60.0012669269182.670.001263.2515498E-52.9723697E-50.001579677653.1453970.001553.9580427E-43.6182883E-40.00261101487.216160.002250.0039510.00361268870.0067413451.86601880.00314
6.77.587044E-66.9356042E-60.0012669269182.670.001263.2515498E-52.9723697E-50.001579677653.1453970.001553.9580427E-43.6182883E-40.00261101487.216160.002250.0039510.00361268870.0067413451.86601880.00314
6.85.9026956E-65.179362E-69.351745E-4180.557889.3E-42.5297022E-52.2197082E-50.00115217251.906460.001133.0794772E-42.7021713E-40.00189977667.0305560.001630.00307521320.0026990020.00486314531.80183090.00217
6.95.0118915E-64.2523943E-67.842491E-4184.42537.8E-42.1479358E-51.8224424E-59.282078E-450.932089.1E-42.614798E-42.2186051E-40.00150157656.76811080.001280.00261172350.00221646270.00385282771.73827770.00164
7.04.4924795E-63.7138868E-67.037113E-4189.481087.0E-41.925334E-51.5916565E-57.9590414E-450.0047727.8E-42.3438422E-41.9376757E-40.00127355846.5726080.001080.00234137170.00193604910.00336328061.73718760.00143
7.13.9118436E-63.1119469E-65.1311037E-4164.884035.1E-41.6764936E-51.333685E-55.733294E-442.9883655.6E-42.0409399E-41.6236462E-49.5223635E-45.8648027.9E-40.00203906630.00162251610.00268079621.65224640.00106
7.23.4200818E-62.6054236E-64.2260432E-4162.201774.2E-41.4657411E-51.11660565E-54.7116092E-442.195824.6E-41.7843937E-41.3593875E-47.858504E-45.7809156.5E-40.00178296150.00135860580.0022074511.62479148.5E-4
7.32.6593618E-61.8283897E-61.9182805E-4104.916391.9E-41.13972155E-57.8359335E-62.2783421E-429.0755652.2E-41.3875226E-49.539862E-54.3536618E-44.5636533.4E-40.00138665659.536055E-40.00141316691.48191984.6E-4
7.42.2577992E-61.4364078E-61.514362E-4105.427021.5E-49.676246E-66.1560204E-61.7615498E-428.6150741.7E-41.1780193E-47.4947224E-53.249285E-44.33543062.5E-40.0011773957.4924453E-40.00106900481.42677693.2E-4
7.51.489319E-67.353661E-76.073532E-582.591966.0E-56.3827797E-63.1515651E-67.315134E-523.2111177.0E-57.770758E-53.8369635E-51.5836503E-44.1273531.2E-47.7680405E-43.8363054E-45.33573E-41.39085131.5E-4
7.61.0680322E-64.65941E-72.0465932E-543.923872.0E-54.577273E-61.9968884E-63.1996828E-516.0233423.0E-55.5726876E-52.4311848E-59.431015E-53.87918457.0E-55.5712904E-42.4309216E-43.2307272E-41.32901338.0E-5
7.75.509146E-71.5578539E-71.01557835E-565.1908651.0E-52.3610605E-66.676515E-71.0667645E-515.9778641.0E-52.8745531E-58.128628E-64.8128302E-55.920844.0E-52.8741814E-48.128342E-51.2128017E-41.49206534.0E-5

San Andreas (Mojave N)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.877682E-51.9402112E-40.003063464315.7893340.002874.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00433833665.21902470.003510.00514102770.0100736840.0146174461.45105270.004590.050237080.098322450.103543171.05309780.00579
6.19.877682E-51.9402112E-40.003063464315.7893340.002874.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00433833665.21902470.003510.00514102770.0100736840.0146174461.45105270.004590.050237080.098322450.103543171.05309780.00579
6.29.877682E-51.9402112E-40.003063464315.7893340.002874.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00433833665.21902470.003510.00514102770.0100736840.0146174461.45105270.004590.050237080.098322450.103543171.05309780.00579
6.39.877682E-51.9402112E-40.003063464315.7893340.002874.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00433833665.21902470.003510.00514102770.0100736840.0146174461.45105270.004590.050237080.098322450.103543171.05309780.00579
6.49.877682E-51.9402112E-40.003063464315.7893340.002874.2326056E-48.312543E-40.00433833665.21902470.003510.00514102770.0100736840.0146174461.45105270.004590.050237080.098322450.103543171.05309780.00579
6.59.861474E-51.937588E-40.003063202615.80936050.002874.2256617E-48.3013077E-40.0043372175.22473960.003510.00513261320.01006013250.0146039571.45166650.004590.0501567460.098200350.103421771.0531710.00579
6.69.861474E-51.937588E-40.003063202615.80936050.002874.2256617E-48.3013077E-40.0043372175.22473960.003510.00513261320.01006013250.0146039571.45166650.004590.0501567460.098200350.103421771.0531710.00579
6.79.8552715E-51.9365833E-40.003063102515.8170450.002874.223004E-48.2970044E-40.00433678835.22693250.003510.00512939270.0100549410.0145987891.4519020.004590.0501259980.098153560.103375251.05319920.00579
6.89.8464974E-51.9350994E-40.003062954615.8284090.002874.219245E-48.290649E-40.0043361555.23017550.003510.00512483760.0100472760.0145911581.45225020.004590.050082510.098083780.1033058761.05324110.00579
6.99.825824E-51.9319002E-40.003052637415.8012170.002864.2103877E-48.276947E-40.00432479755.22511240.00350.00511410460.0100307460.0145648061.45201610.004580.0499800220.0979329650.103146911.053240.00578
7.09.781462E-51.9250368E-40.003051953215.8539990.002864.1913814E-48.247551E-40.00432186855.2401840.00350.0050910730.0099952850.0145295081.4536360.004580.049760070.097609120.102824941.05343580.00578
7.19.7121134E-51.9152075E-40.00304097515.8780440.002854.1616702E-48.205452E-40.00430768175.24977970.003490.0050550680.00994449950.0144690531.45498050.004570.049416130.097145710.1023551751.05362530.00577
7.29.663819E-51.9082859E-40.003040284615.9320190.002854.1409794E-48.175807E-40.00430472755.2652020.003490.00502999360.0099087350.0144235511.455640.004560.0491765370.096818830.102021151.05373250.00576
7.39.6277574E-51.9035369E-40.003039811315.9692790.002854.125529E-48.1554666E-40.00430270055.27584840.003490.00501126940.0098841950.0143991231.45678260.004560.048997590.096592280.1017959041.05387210.00576
7.49.593308E-51.8975153E-40.003039210816.0167920.002854.1107697E-48.129676E-40.00430013055.2894240.003490.00499338240.0098530810.014368151.45823940.004560.048826610.096309860.101506081.05395320.00575
7.59.561707E-51.8921228E-40.00302867516.0067580.002844.0972308E-48.106579E-40.0042878375.28932950.003480.00497697430.0098252150.014330511.45854430.004550.0486697440.0960562450.101244881.05401670.00574
7.69.418194E-51.8573487E-40.003015209216.2339420.002834.0357444E-47.95764E-40.00426300245.35711960.003470.0049024540.0096454990.0141318051.46511910.004530.0479570250.0944374650.099608231.05475330.00571
7.78.202141E-51.6022482E-40.00267982116.725380.002523.51473E-46.8649714E-40.00375438955.4689080.003070.004270790.0083261280.0123424071.48237050.004050.041896390.0822379140.0869368541.05713840.00512
7.87.2859846E-51.4517571E-40.00184492912.7082480.00173.1221908E-46.2203326E-40.0026807524.309660.002060.0037946430.00754699860.0102762451.36163330.002750.0373049750.074727660.077975371.04346060.00351
7.95.3874453E-51.00462625E-40.001070365210.6543629.7E-42.3087008E-44.3048308E-40.00160997513.73992660.001180.00280722020.00522854740.0068400771.30821750.001620.027720220.0524258840.0543589331.0368720.00204
8.03.468538E-55.4261534E-53.2424688E-45.97563032.7E-41.4864317E-42.3252872E-46.1244034E-42.63382673.8E-40.00180822830.00282736360.00335586511.18692375.3E-40.0179358530.0289484620.0295990671.02247456.7E-4
8.11.9152367E-51.9401303E-51.9401303E-51.00.08.207899E-58.3145795E-51.2314247E-41.48104264.0E-59.988535E-40.00101183050.00106177991.04936545.0E-50.0099437570.010855950.01091531.00546696.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Mojave S)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.0031029854.59957460.002430.00133063760.0028881720.00588947862.03917170.003010.0160806050.0345655940.0385431871.11507370.004120.14965490.286545570.290341171.01324590.00532
6.13.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.0031029854.59957460.002430.00133063760.0028881720.00588947862.03917170.003010.0160806050.0345655940.0385431871.11507370.004120.14965490.286545570.290341171.01324590.00532
6.23.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.0031029854.59957460.002430.00133063760.0028881720.00588947862.03917170.003010.0160806050.0345655940.0385431871.11507370.004120.14965490.286545570.290341171.01324590.00532
6.33.1064058E-46.7462435E-40.0031029854.59957460.002430.00133063760.0028881720.00588947862.03917170.003010.0160806050.0345655940.0385431871.11507370.004120.14965490.286545570.290341171.01324590.00532
6.41.9872203E-44.3181062E-40.0027108266.27781250.002288.5138786E-40.00184933260.00466411752.52205440.002820.0103164780.022289310.026004611.16668530.00380.0985048560.196868390.200803741.01998970.0049
6.51.291105E-42.8754136E-40.00248690888.6488730.00225.5321335E-40.00123174090.0039384033.1974280.002710.0067145920.0148941550.0184109831.23612130.003570.0651529650.138007920.141964481.0286690.00459
6.61.291105E-42.8754136E-40.00248690888.6488730.00225.5321335E-40.00123174090.0039384033.1974280.002710.0067145920.0148941550.0184109831.23612130.003570.0651529650.138007920.141964481.0286690.00459
6.71.08001186E-42.4335351E-40.00236283759.7094860.002124.6278012E-40.00104252740.00363981683.49133940.00260.00561980160.01261920.016015791.26916050.003440.0547979060.119184310.12305991.03251760.0044
6.81.0624356E-42.3853009E-40.00235802459.8856480.002124.5525006E-40.00102187180.0036192153.54175040.00260.00552859250.0123705930.0157680381.27463890.003440.0539305660.117133080.1210176941.03316410.0044
6.91.0393785E-42.3223337E-40.002341743310.0835780.002114.4537184E-49.949068E-40.003582333.60066910.002590.00540892870.0120459630.0154346451.28131270.003430.052791560.1144334450.118321081.03397290.00439
7.01.0155622E-42.2592908E-40.002325454710.2928520.00214.3516833E-49.6790853E-40.00354541143.6629610.002580.0052853110.0117208380.015090871.28752480.003410.051613610.111697450.115579341.03475360.00437
7.19.885595E-52.188132E-40.002318353610.5951270.00214.2359953E-49.374342E-40.0035050253.73895570.002570.00514513530.0113537330.014715131.29606090.00340.050276290.108576070.112462681.03579620.00436
7.29.6411415E-52.1244297E-40.002311996910.8829060.00214.1312634E-49.101525E-40.00347781343.82113270.002570.0050182190.0110249870.0143875021.30499040.00340.0490640070.10576970.1096596051.03677710.00435
7.39.1180635E-51.9472656E-40.002264323411.6282210.002073.907156E-48.342756E-40.00337215654.04201750.002540.0047465910.0101101120.0134460411.32995960.003370.0464647860.097961760.101822491.03941050.00428
7.48.887388E-51.872126E-40.00225682512.0548770.002073.8083247E-48.020931E-40.00334005574.16417460.002540.00462678170.0097218550.0130590921.34327170.003370.0453162860.0945938450.098459931.04087030.00427
7.58.6750515E-51.80528E-40.00224015612.4089120.002063.7173493E-47.734621E-40.0032915134.2555580.002520.0045164840.0093763270.0126949161.35393270.003350.044257870.091556060.095416941.04216970.00425
7.68.453092E-51.7440386E-40.002224046312.7522760.002053.6222505E-47.4723107E-40.00325535564.3565580.002510.00440117530.0090596640.0123694051.36532710.003340.043150240.088714470.09256011.04334830.00422
7.78.259102E-51.6962511E-40.002219277413.08342550.002053.539135E-47.267622E-40.0032349384.45116420.002510.0043003860.00881250.0121230671.37566710.003340.0421811340.0864654260.090320541.04458560.00422
7.87.444844E-51.528469E-40.001852587112.1205410.00173.1902574E-46.5489375E-40.00271354484.14348840.002060.00387722230.0079442310.0106723851.34341310.002750.038102690.0782938750.0815290661.0413210.00351
7.95.2586525E-51.0007023E-40.001069973210.6922239.7E-42.2535135E-44.2880196E-40.0016082963.7506730.001180.00274020060.0052081780.00681974041.30942930.001620.0270665740.0522015880.05413511.03703930.00204
8.03.379877E-55.4075565E-53.2406097E-45.9927432.7E-41.4484383E-42.3173184E-46.116438E-42.63944653.8E-40.00176204710.00281768660.00334619331.18756765.3E-40.0174814090.0288359170.0294865971.02256496.7E-4
8.11.8668277E-51.9308145E-51.9308145E-51.00.08.000444E-58.274657E-51.2274327E-41.48336374.0E-59.736188E-40.00100697450.00105692411.04960375.0E-50.0096936420.0107986240.0108579761.00549636.0E-5
8.28.541571E-65.4596358E-65.4596358E-61.00.03.660622E-52.339823E-52.339823E-51.00.04.455896E-42.848363E-42.848363E-41.00.00.00444697170.0032402830.0032402831.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Coyote Canyon

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.5090034E-54.0364317E-50.001090321927.0120260.001051.503772E-41.7297991E-40.001742708410.0746290.001570.00182930470.00210425330.00510791972.4274260.003010.0181431940.0208692050.0256669451.22989570.0049
6.13.5090034E-54.0364317E-50.001090321927.0120260.001051.503772E-41.7297991E-40.001742708410.0746290.001570.00182930470.00210425330.00510791972.4274260.003010.0181431940.0208692050.0256669451.22989570.0049
6.21.841879E-52.1059794E-55.2104925E-424.7414255.0E-47.8935285E-59.025371E-57.9019053E-48.7552147.0E-49.606133E-40.00109838710.00253680532.30957340.001440.00956471450.0109396680.0133331941.21879330.00242
6.31.841879E-52.1059794E-55.2104925E-424.7414255.0E-47.8935285E-59.025371E-57.9019053E-48.7552147.0E-49.606133E-40.00109838710.00253680532.30957340.001440.00956471450.0109396680.0133331941.21879330.00242
6.41.712201E-51.9565212E-54.9955584E-425.532864.8E-47.337798E-58.3848776E-57.4379344E-48.8706536.6E-48.930107E-40.00102048130.00238908342.34113380.001370.0088943070.0101678710.0124444851.22390270.0023
6.51.4744935E-51.6836972E-54.4682974E-426.5386054.3E-46.3191044E-57.215698E-56.82113E-49.453186.1E-47.6907943E-48.782507E-40.00215712662.45616270.001280.0076642320.0087569940.01084851751.23884020.00211
6.61.2017839E-51.3724089E-53.4371956E-425.0449813.3E-45.150401E-55.88167E-55.3878844E-49.1604684.8E-46.268809E-47.159466E-40.00177518772.47949740.001060.00625115450.00714509380.008882591.24317340.00175
6.71.00956095E-51.1533517E-53.0153018E-426.143822.9E-44.326618E-54.942891E-54.4940913E-49.0920314.0E-45.266384E-46.017178E-40.00152116422.52803599.2E-40.0052539210.00600941250.00751033841.24976250.00151

Death Valley (So)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0684236E-52.5618314E-50.001275586349.791970.001258.864371E-51.0978825E-40.001949586217.7576940.001840.00107870290.00133586920.00469138053.51185630.003360.0107348170.0132799850.018618141.401970.00541
6.12.0684236E-52.5618314E-50.001275586349.791970.001258.864371E-51.0978825E-40.001949586217.7576940.001840.00107870290.00133586920.00469138053.51185630.003360.0107348170.0132799850.018618141.401970.00541
6.22.0684236E-52.5618314E-50.001275586349.791970.001258.864371E-51.0978825E-40.001949586217.7576940.001840.00107870290.00133586920.00469138053.51185630.003360.0107348170.0132799850.018618141.401970.00541
6.32.0240292E-52.51184E-50.001215088548.3744430.001198.6741224E-51.0764593E-40.001857457617.255250.001750.00105556260.0013098180.0044856533.42463830.003180.0105056280.0130225430.0180659981.38728640.00511
6.42.0240292E-52.51184E-50.001215088548.3744430.001198.6741224E-51.0764593E-40.001857457617.255250.001750.00105556260.0013098180.0044856533.42463830.003180.0105056280.0130225430.0180659981.38728640.00511
6.51.9962767E-52.4807652E-50.001174779147.3555150.001158.55519E-51.0631427E-40.001806133516.9886280.00170.00104109680.00129362440.004369643.37782760.003080.0103623270.012862490.0177586921.38065740.00496
6.61.8937297E-52.3311462E-50.001043287744.754280.001028.115732E-59.990252E-50.001639748716.4134860.001549.876423E-40.00121564910.0040122453.30049630.00280.0098326450.01209150350.0165074541.36521110.00447
6.71.8621096E-52.2912098E-59.928899E-443.3347439.7E-47.980225E-59.8191085E-50.001578045816.071170.001489.711593E-40.00119483540.00391158553.2737440.002720.0096692610.0118856250.0161641611.35997560.00433
6.81.7830353E-52.1806083E-59.217865E-442.2719849.0E-47.641356E-59.3451374E-50.001483321415.8726550.001399.29938E-40.00113719070.00369427943.24860170.002560.0092605610.011316090.0153301461.35472120.00406
6.91.3135183E-51.5304031E-56.452944E-442.1649976.3E-45.6292425E-56.558709E-50.001025524115.6360679.6E-46.8514474E-47.982367E-40.0025768163.22813490.001780.0068303620.0079551580.0107130431.34667870.00278
7.01.1507512E-51.3154237E-54.4314857E-433.6886564.3E-44.9316975E-55.637412E-57.3633576E-413.0615936.8E-46.002687E-46.861445E-40.00193528682.82052350.001250.00598649870.00684149240.0088278091.29033390.002
7.19.715903E-61.0865287E-52.3086289E-421.247752.2E-44.1638916E-54.6564706E-54.1654747E-48.9455623.7E-45.068359E-45.667821E-40.0012563912.21670916.9E-40.00505681480.0056538340.00672772761.18994080.00108
7.29.233269E-61.0286314E-52.0028435E-419.4709551.9E-43.9570554E-54.408348E-53.2407112E-47.35130552.8E-44.81665E-45.365884E-40.0010962882.04307035.6E-40.00480622330.00535335950.00625848771.16907679.1E-4
7.38.8041315E-69.808164E-61.3980689E-414.2541341.3E-43.7731446E-54.2034335E-52.2202676E-45.28203341.8E-44.592835E-45.1165203E-49.314372E-41.82045034.2E-40.00458335460.0051051670.00578169571.13251846.8E-4
7.48.708749E-69.707175E-61.2970601E-413.361871.2E-43.7322676E-54.160154E-52.0159488E-44.84585141.6E-44.5430884E-45.0638523E-48.761979E-41.7302993.7E-40.0045338120.00505273980.00567955661.12405486.3E-4
7.58.612678E-69.604817E-61.1960376E-412.45247651.1E-43.6910955E-54.1162875E-51.9115671E-44.64391041.5E-44.492982E-45.01047E-48.608666E-41.71813553.6E-40.0044839090.00499959850.0056065491.12139986.1E-4
7.68.319024E-69.283916E-61.0928299E-411.7712161.0E-43.5652476E-53.978763E-51.7978206E-44.51854131.4E-44.3398244E-44.8431093E-48.0415595E-41.66041253.2E-40.00433135870.00483297840.0053504651.10707415.2E-4
7.77.4718328E-68.34517E-68.83445E-510.5863048.0E-53.2021748E-53.5764548E-51.3576097E-43.79596521.0E-43.8979502E-44.353504E-46.952372E-41.59696012.6E-40.003891120.00434538070.00476355571.09623434.2E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-73.6482615E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.5635396E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035933E-52.9035744E-51.52531231.0E-51.8045233E-41.9034347E-42.0034157E-41.05252661.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

Nelson Lake

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.913453E-61.0192255E-58.501837E-483.414688.4E-44.2485535E-54.3680422E-50.001303625429.8446160.001265.1713863E-45.316897E-40.0031103185.84987450.002580.00515936830.0053052040.0095923381.80809990.00431
6.19.913453E-61.0192255E-58.501837E-483.414688.4E-44.2485535E-54.3680422E-50.001303625429.8446160.001265.1713863E-45.316897E-40.0031103185.84987450.002580.00515936830.0053052040.0095923381.80809990.00431
6.24.5596407E-64.696313E-64.346943E-492.560764.3E-41.954117E-52.0126909E-56.7011383E-433.2944266.5E-42.3788778E-42.4501883E-40.00152470526.22280840.001280.00237633290.00244761280.00448261951.83142520.00204
6.34.5596407E-64.696313E-64.346943E-492.560764.3E-41.954117E-52.0126909E-56.7011383E-433.2944266.5E-42.3788778E-42.4501883E-40.00152470526.22280840.001280.00237633290.00244761280.00448261951.83142520.00204
6.43.4025713E-63.5098972E-63.435087E-497.868593.4E-41.4582367E-51.5042335E-55.6503405E-437.5629235.5E-41.7752586E-41.8312587E-40.00118294286.4597250.0010.0017738410.00182983270.00337699641.8455220.00155
6.52.8352947E-62.927856E-62.7292708E-493.217382.7E-41.2151207E-51.2547898E-54.525424E-436.0651934.4E-41.479309E-41.5276071E-49.3264156E-46.1052457.8E-40.00147832460.00152663080.00276473771.81100620.00124
6.62.251518E-62.3290677E-62.1232858E-491.164632.1E-49.649328E-69.981683E-63.5997818E-436.0638773.5E-41.1747423E-41.2152085E-47.214479E-45.93682436.0E-40.00117412140.00121460580.0022133911.82231250.001
6.71.8911853E-61.9591396E-61.9195877E-497.9811551.9E-48.105055E-68.39629E-62.8839393E-434.3477862.8E-49.867457E-51.0222061E-45.921705E-45.79306364.9E-49.863076E-40.00102179350.00186093511.8212448.4E-4
6.81.4874814E-61.5438305E-61.7154356E-4111.115551.7E-46.374905E-66.6164025E-62.5661476E-438.7846342.5E-47.76117E-58.055224E-55.30516E-46.58598664.5E-47.75846E-48.0528157E-40.00154468571.91819327.4E-4
6.96.835972E-77.1399285E-79.0713926E-5127.05169.0E-52.9296991E-63.0599674E-61.4305954E-446.751981.4E-43.56685E-53.7254784E-52.7724585E-47.44188552.4E-43.5662777E-43.7251666E-47.523751E-42.01970863.8E-4

Towne Pass

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.849728E-63.894542E-60.0010538904270.607030.001051.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001616664196.859530.00162.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.003132600815.4166410.002930.00200672080.00203053190.0061022473.0052460.00408
6.13.849728E-63.894542E-60.0010538904270.607030.001051.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001616664196.859530.00162.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.003132600815.4166410.002930.00200672080.00203053190.0061022473.0052460.00408
6.23.849728E-63.894542E-60.0010538904270.607030.001051.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001616664196.859530.00162.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.003132600815.4166410.002930.00200672080.00203053190.0061022473.0052460.00408
6.33.849728E-63.894542E-60.0010538904270.607030.001051.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001616664196.859530.00162.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.003132600815.4166410.002930.00200672080.00203053190.0061022473.0052460.00408
6.43.849728E-63.894542E-60.0010538904270.607030.001051.649873E-51.6690812E-50.001616664196.859530.00162.0085352E-42.0319606E-40.003132600815.4166410.002930.00200672080.00203053190.0061022473.0052460.00408
6.51.1953545E-61.2030526E-61.0120293E-484.121791.0E-45.1229376E-65.15593E-62.251548E-443.6690942.2E-46.236998E-56.277176E-55.0274417E-48.0090824.4E-46.235248E-46.2755204E-40.0012071881.92364625.8E-4
6.61.1953545E-61.2030526E-61.0120293E-484.121791.0E-45.1229376E-65.15593E-62.251548E-443.6690942.2E-46.236998E-56.277176E-55.0274417E-48.0090824.4E-46.235248E-46.2755204E-40.0012071881.92364625.8E-4
6.78.375951E-78.410676E-76.0841016E-572.3378456.0E-53.5896885E-63.6045708E-61.4360406E-439.8394361.4E-44.370358E-54.3884826E-53.2387255E-47.3800582.8E-44.3694986E-44.3876728E-48.0860493E-41.84290163.7E-4
6.86.38041E-76.3921624E-74.0639192E-563.5765954.0E-52.7344586E-62.7394954E-61.0273922E-437.502971.0E-43.3291526E-53.3352884E-52.3334622E-46.99628262.0E-43.3286537E-43.334826E-46.0339255E-41.80936742.7E-4
6.95.3460053E-75.345339E-74.0534513E-575.831514.0E-52.2911431E-62.2908578E-69.2290655E-540.2865079.0E-52.789431E-52.7890868E-52.0788585E-47.4535451.8E-42.789081E-42.78877E-45.288073E-41.89620262.5E-4
7.03.557783E-73.5324283E-72.0353236E-557.6182562.0E-51.5247632E-61.513897E-64.1513835E-527.4218354.0E-51.8563835E-51.8431549E-51.2842953E-46.9679181.1E-41.8562283E-41.8430105E-43.342734E-41.81373571.5E-4
7.13.037942E-73.0002275E-72.0300016E-567.661592.0E-51.3019744E-61.2858112E-64.128576E-532.1087274.0E-51.5851423E-51.5654647E-51.1565308E-47.38777971.0E-41.5850292E-41.5653619E-42.9651428E-41.89422191.4E-4
7.22.0808248E-72.0217735E-72.0202173E-599.9230352.0E-58.917818E-78.6647407E-74.086644E-547.1640664.0E-51.0857389E-51.0549275E-51.0054833E-49.53130159.0E-51.0856859E-41.0548821E-42.354745E-42.23223521.3E-4
7.31.1162073E-71.0636902E-71.0636902E-71.00.04.7837443E-74.5586717E-71.0455863E-522.9362051.0E-55.8241935E-65.5501705E-65.5549892E-510.0086825.0E-55.8240406E-55.550052E-51.3549608E-42.44134788.0E-5

Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.744542E-54.396349E-50.001023920423.2902459.8E-41.604705E-41.8840231E-40.00165812538.80098150.001470.00195197760.00229155710.0046361722.02315350.002350.0193492060.0226972810.0261862521.15371750.00357
6.13.744542E-54.396349E-50.001023920423.2902459.8E-41.604705E-41.8840231E-40.00165812538.80098150.001470.00195197760.00229155710.0046361722.02315350.002350.0193492060.0226972810.0261862521.15371750.00357
6.23.744542E-54.396349E-50.001023920423.2902459.8E-41.604705E-41.8840231E-40.00165812538.80098150.001470.00195197760.00229155710.0046361722.02315350.002350.0193492060.0226972810.0261862521.15371750.00357
6.32.1079984E-52.5354384E-54.953425E-419.5367584.7E-49.0339665E-51.0865723E-47.8858336E-47.2575326.8E-40.00109933040.00132211890.00228084971.72514719.6E-40.0109390790.0131447470.0146546351.11486630.00153
6.42.1079984E-52.5354384E-54.953425E-419.5367584.7E-49.0339665E-51.0865723E-47.8858336E-47.2575326.8E-40.00109933040.00132211890.00228084971.72514719.6E-40.0109390790.0131447470.0146546351.11486630.00153
6.51.7397282E-52.0663285E-53.7065605E-417.9379063.5E-47.455765E-58.8554E-55.685115E-46.41994144.8E-49.073613E-40.00107762350.00175689071.63033826.8E-40.0090366540.0107252730.0118926181.10884050.00118
6.61.52050325E-51.7680086E-53.1767477E-417.9679433.0E-46.51628E-57.576964E-54.7573933E-46.27875954.0E-47.9306826E-49.221128E-40.00148159641.6067415.6E-40.0079024390.0091837290.010144821.10465169.7E-4
6.71.332523E-51.5264379E-52.6526058E-417.3777482.5E-45.7106878E-56.541716E-53.953956E-46.04421763.3E-46.950544E-47.9616875E-40.00126579461.58985714.7E-40.0069288450.00793379450.0087869711.1075378.6E-4
6.81.1525329E-51.3031365E-51.8302914E-414.0452791.7E-44.9393333E-55.5847537E-52.7583525E-44.93907642.2E-46.011979E-46.7973585E-40.0010294981.51455593.5E-40.005995740.00677701920.00744247861.09819356.7E-4
6.91.0253909E-51.1514835E-51.615131E-414.0265251.5E-44.3944583E-54.934838E-52.493385E-45.0526182.0E-45.3489394E-46.006545E-49.204623E-41.53243223.2E-40.00533608250.00599068960.0065672151.0962375.8E-4
7.08.104563E-68.99143E-69.899062E-511.009449.0E-53.4733377E-53.853415E-51.7852875E-44.63300131.4E-44.2279682E-44.6905465E-47.0894207E-41.51142742.4E-40.00421993340.00468089430.00505911561.0808013.8E-4
7.16.7986157E-67.5159796E-64.7515678E-56.32195434.0E-52.91366E-53.2210955E-51.2220806E-43.79399049.0E-53.5468035E-43.9209996E-45.720294E-41.45888661.8E-40.0035411480.0039142980.00419320171.07125262.8E-4
7.25.6893327E-66.280132E-63.6279944E-55.776943.0E-52.4382627E-52.6914584E-51.06912434E-43.97228628.0E-52.9681803E-43.276378E-44.7758865E-41.45767261.5E-40.0029642190.0032717460.0035209281.07616172.5E-4
7.34.253348E-64.707075E-63.4706933E-57.37335543.0E-51.8228506E-52.017303E-57.017202E-53.47850665.0E-52.2190946E-42.455808E-43.4555624E-41.40709791.0E-40.002216880.00245327530.00262285821.06912521.7E-4
7.42.5448119E-62.8520594E-62.2852002E-58.0124572.0E-51.0906291E-51.2223064E-54.22227E-53.45434643.0E-51.3277601E-41.4880729E-41.8880134E-41.2687644.0E-50.0013269670.00148723870.00155713461.04699717.0E-5
7.54.3706837E-84.562909E-84.562909E-81.00.01.8731501E-71.9555324E-71.9555324E-71.00.02.2805577E-62.3808586E-62.3808586E-61.00.02.2805343E-52.3808387E-52.3808387E-51.00.0

San Andreas (San Bernardino N)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4273766E-43.160784E-40.0016456585.20648670.001336.115894E-40.00135392450.00300169042.21702960.001650.00742070840.0163609390.0186134731.13767760.002290.071777480.150211630.15273551.01680210.00297
6.11.4273766E-43.160784E-40.0016456585.20648670.001336.115894E-40.00135392450.00300169042.21702960.001650.00742070840.0163609390.0186134731.13767760.002290.071777480.150211630.15273551.01680210.00297
6.21.4273766E-43.160784E-40.0016456585.20648670.001336.115894E-40.00135392450.00300169042.21702960.001650.00742070840.0163609390.0186134731.13767760.002290.071777480.150211630.15273551.01680210.00297
6.31.3730655E-43.0512668E-40.00163472085.35751530.001335.883239E-40.0013070360.00295487952.26074810.001650.00713934420.0157984550.0180424341.14203790.002280.069142910.14551350.148042781.01738180.00296
6.41.3730655E-43.0512668E-40.00163472085.35751530.001335.883239E-40.0013070360.00295487952.26074810.001650.00713934420.0157984550.0180424341.14203790.002280.069142910.14551350.148042781.01738180.00296
6.51.2942807E-42.8927144E-40.00161888675.59642740.001335.545738E-40.00123915090.00288710632.3299070.001650.00673105240.0149835480.0172195341.14922950.002270.065307880.138650880.141191861.01832640.00295
6.61.1125901E-42.5365927E-40.00156332696.16309830.001314.767372E-40.00108666050.00271488942.49837850.001630.0057888390.01315046850.0153708791.16884660.002250.0564034540.123004960.12553071.02053370.00288
6.71.02209575E-42.3500937E-40.00153470396.5303940.00134.3796748E-40.00100679570.00262516462.60744520.001620.00531922470.0121892670.0144019631.18152820.002240.0519369060.1147927640.117333311.02213160.00287
6.89.610582E-52.2026796E-40.00150998386.8552130.001294.1181705E-49.436647E-40.00253216432.68333050.001590.00500235150.0114288590.0136037161.19029510.00220.0489123460.108204690.110728471.02332410.00283
6.99.3877505E-52.1482339E-40.00150454637.00364260.001294.0227012E-49.203475E-40.0025088842.72601820.001590.00488664540.0111479070.0133233821.19514640.00220.047805770.1057982740.1083288641.0239190.00283
7.09.1019785E-52.0809306E-40.00147782887.1017690.001273.900265E-48.915232E-40.00246012352.7594610.001570.00473823770.01080049950.0129470631.19874670.002170.0463847440.102768150.10528041.02444580.0028
7.18.771155E-51.9983841E-40.00146958467.35386470.001273.758525E-48.5616973E-40.00241483422.82050850.001560.00456640640.0103742430.0125019381.2050940.002150.0447370560.099076440.101581011.02527920.00278
7.28.0830236E-51.8389444E-40.00145366097.9048660.001273.4636928E-47.8788114E-40.0023466522.9784340.001560.00420889440.0095503680.0116798361.22297220.002150.0413006580.091805180.0943208861.02740260.00277
7.37.7668235E-51.7333007E-40.00143311178.2681070.001263.328214E-47.426318E-40.00229148083.08562160.001550.00404457330.0090041380.011124871.23552850.002140.039717480.087067610.089569051.02872980.00274
7.47.520177E-51.655312E-40.00142532268.6105990.001263.2225347E-47.092266E-40.00225812733.18392920.001550.00391637950.0086007140.01072230751.24667660.002140.0384807440.083521570.086032721.03006590.00274
7.57.274697E-51.584075E-40.00140820948.8897910.001253.1173544E-46.7871273E-40.00220767433.25273750.001530.0037887750.0082320760.0103346241.25540920.002120.037248270.080236540.0827382951.03117980.00272
7.67.1185845E-51.5410586E-40.00140391339.1100580.001253.0504653E-46.602866E-40.00218927633.31564570.001530.00370761780.00800940950.0101124291.26256870.002120.0364636670.078226610.080724621.0319330.00271
7.76.709961E-51.4319421E-40.00139301539.7281530.001252.8753807E-46.135452E-40.00214260653.4921740.001530.0034951570.00744436630.0095485841.2826590.002120.0344069380.073055580.07556761.03438510.00271
7.86.300812E-51.320343E-40.001371870610.3902590.001242.7000686E-45.657386E-40.00208487873.6852330.001520.00328237870.0068661430.0089616561.3051950.002110.0323431750.067713850.070231021.03717360.0027
7.94.983037E-59.7241085E-50.001057147710.871419.6E-42.1354125E-44.1668097E-40.00158619353.80673360.001170.00259676480.00506130050.00666315161.316490.001610.0256662960.0506505070.052577691.03804860.00203
8.03.2211527E-55.3306234E-53.2329184E-46.06480362.7E-41.380421E-42.2843528E-46.0834846E-42.66311073.8E-40.00167936690.00277765420.0033061821.19027855.3E-40.0166673230.0283625680.0290135651.02295276.7E-4
8.11.743376E-51.8823403E-51.8823403E-51.00.07.471398E-58.066923E-51.20666E-41.4958124.0E-59.0926304E-49.81706E-40.00103165691.05088175.0E-50.0090555170.0104839790.010543351.0056636.0E-5
8.27.831616E-65.1540533E-65.1540533E-61.00.03.3563636E-52.2088612E-52.2088612E-51.00.04.0856065E-42.6889573E-42.6889573E-41.00.00.0040781030.00304136680.00304136681.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Bicycle Lake

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9621975E-52.2097078E-54.920867E-422.269314.7E-48.4091465E-59.4699084E-57.9463277E-48.3911357.0E-40.00102333270.00115248650.002570852.23069860.001420.010186330.0114784080.0137717781.19979860.00232
6.11.9621975E-52.2097078E-54.920867E-422.269314.7E-48.4091465E-59.4699084E-57.9463277E-48.3911357.0E-40.00102333270.00115248650.002570852.23069860.001420.010186330.0114784080.0137717781.19979860.00232
6.29.9971285E-61.125564E-53.0125238E-426.7645722.9E-44.2844134E-54.8237856E-54.4821858E-49.2918424.0E-45.2150246E-45.871897E-40.00142669642.4297038.4E-40.00520280330.0058614870.0072035741.2289670.00135
6.39.589428E-61.0798346E-53.0079522E-427.8556752.9E-44.10969E-54.62781E-54.462596E-49.6429984.0E-45.002399E-45.6334207E-40.00138288012.45477878.2E-40.00499115330.00562422960.0069368061.23337880.00132
6.49.589428E-61.0798346E-53.0079522E-427.8556752.9E-44.10969E-54.62781E-54.462596E-49.6429984.0E-45.002399E-45.6334207E-40.00138288012.45477878.2E-40.00499115330.00562422960.0069368061.23337880.00132
6.55.557707E-66.2856016E-61.8628447E-429.6366981.8E-42.3818526E-52.6938165E-52.7693145E-410.2802632.5E-42.8995197E-43.279497E-48.4777916E-42.5850895.2E-40.00289573940.00327729340.0040746721.24330398.0E-4
6.64.8742945E-65.5132896E-61.4551252E-426.3930471.4E-42.0889667E-52.3628318E-52.2362359E-49.4642192.0E-42.54302E-42.87663E-47.2753645E-42.52912764.4E-40.0025401120.00287547520.003553521.23580276.8E-4
6.73.991108E-64.5159104E-61.4451527E-432.001361.4E-41.7104636E-51.9353902E-52.1935003E-411.3336332.0E-42.0822904E-42.3563375E-46.2554184E-42.6547213.9E-40.00208034040.00235633740.00295492381.25403256.0E-4

Paradise

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.4851273E-51.6694768E-55.166864E-430.9490015.0E-46.364676E-57.154718E-58.214935E-411.4818437.5E-47.7462377E-48.707624E-40.00223956962.57196380.001370.00771929140.0086758840.0108072311.24566340.00215
6.11.4851273E-51.6694768E-55.166864E-430.9490015.0E-46.364676E-57.154718E-58.214935E-411.4818437.5E-47.7462377E-48.707624E-40.00223956962.57196380.001370.00771929140.0086758840.0108072311.24566340.00215
6.21.4851273E-51.6694768E-55.166864E-430.9490015.0E-46.364676E-57.154718E-58.214935E-411.4818437.5E-47.7462377E-48.707624E-40.00223956962.57196380.001370.00771929140.0086758840.0108072311.24566340.00215
6.31.0426831E-51.1888697E-52.718856E-422.8692512.6E-44.4685654E-55.09506E-54.2093176E-48.2615663.7E-45.43912E-46.201529E-40.00131971882.1280547.0E-40.00542582660.00618483170.00728796661.17836130.00111
6.41.0426831E-51.1888697E-52.718856E-422.8692512.6E-44.4685654E-55.09506E-54.2093176E-48.2615663.7E-45.43912E-46.201529E-40.00131971882.1280547.0E-40.00542582660.00618483170.00728796661.17836130.00111
6.59.25027E-61.0620037E-52.1061792E-419.8321272.0E-43.964341E-54.551368E-53.1550138E-46.93201262.7E-44.8255164E-45.5399304E-40.0010737051.93811995.2E-40.00481505130.00552661950.00635203251.14935228.3E-4
6.67.904275E-69.159602E-61.0915869E-411.9174041.0E-43.3875025E-53.925487E-51.7924937E-44.56629661.4E-44.1235037E-44.7782718E-47.277077E-41.52295172.5E-40.00411586040.0047683950.00517643941.08557284.1E-4
6.77.2061953E-68.407326E-67.840674E-59.3260027.0E-53.088333E-53.603092E-51.2602768E-43.49776469.0E-53.7593965E-44.3859181E-46.1851286E-41.41022431.8E-40.0037530430.0043776310.00466636151.06595592.9E-4
6.86.6948724E-67.842242E-65.784185E-57.3756785.0E-52.8691995E-53.3609194E-51.0360684E-43.08269337.0E-53.4926904E-44.091187E-45.490614E-41.3420591.4E-40.0034872060.00408401250.00431307361.05608712.3E-4
6.96.0421025E-67.1306963E-64.7130412E-56.60951044.0E-52.5894467E-53.0559786E-58.055826E-52.6360875.0E-53.1521954E-43.7200528E-44.619718E-41.2418429.0E-50.00314772780.00371416380.00385364381.03755351.4E-4
7.04.134091E-65.0803824E-61.5080332E-52.96834561.0E-51.7717413E-52.1772896E-54.177246E-51.91855342.0E-52.1568815E-42.650543E-43.250384E-41.22630876.0E-50.00215478920.00264753470.00275724361.04143811.1E-4
7.13.7674888E-64.631936E-61.463189E-53.15891461.0E-51.6146281E-51.9851012E-52.9850813E-51.50374271.0E-51.9656324E-42.4166079E-42.8165113E-41.16548124.0E-50.00196389460.00241413060.00250391341.03719069.0E-5
7.23.4065345E-64.156782E-61.4156741E-53.4056971.0E-51.4599351E-51.7814667E-52.7814489E-51.56132521.0E-51.777326E-42.168735E-42.5686482E-41.18439944.0E-50.00177590530.00216676670.00225657151.04144669.0E-5
7.32.9934936E-63.6293673E-61.3629331E-53.75529121.0E-51.2829195E-51.5554348E-52.555419E-51.64289711.0E-51.5618425E-41.8935918E-42.2935162E-41.21119884.0E-50.00156074530.00189212370.00197197241.04220068.0E-5
7.42.4049796E-62.8890186E-61.288899E-54.46137331.0E-51.0307015E-51.2381457E-52.2381333E-51.80764941.0E-51.2548068E-41.5073526E-41.9072923E-41.26532594.0E-50.00125409850.00150647150.00158635111.05302428.0E-5
7.51.2710091E-61.5134859E-61.1513471E-57.60725361.0E-55.44717E-66.4863593E-61.6486294E-52.5416871.0E-56.631728E-57.896981E-59.896823E-51.25324132.0E-56.6297496E-47.895401E-48.295085E-41.05062234.0E-5
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-51.3587343E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.3586794E-41.00.0

Garlic Springs

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6760017E-51.8776833E-52.2877289E-412.1837852.1E-47.182667E-58.0470316E-54.5044054E-45.59759863.7E-48.7413884E-49.794032E-40.00183856091.87722588.6E-40.0087070830.0097624130.0113467931.16229390.0016
6.19.852767E-61.0973587E-51.7097183E-415.5803051.6E-44.222546E-54.702921E-53.0701698E-46.52821872.6E-45.139737E-45.7250116E-40.00107221491.87286075.0E-40.0051278660.0057172210.00659219041.15304098.8E-4
6.29.852767E-61.0973587E-51.7097183E-415.5803051.6E-44.222546E-54.702921E-53.0701698E-46.52821872.6E-45.139737E-45.7250116E-40.00107221491.87286075.0E-40.0051278660.0057172210.00659219041.15304098.8E-4
6.34.3167724E-64.7780286E-67.4777694E-515.6503247.0E-51.8500323E-52.0477235E-51.3047497E-46.37170931.1E-42.2521814E-42.4930484E-44.5925248E-41.84213222.1E-40.00224990030.002492510.00283166251.13606873.4E-4
6.44.3167724E-64.7780286E-67.4777694E-515.6503247.0E-51.8500323E-52.0477235E-51.3047497E-46.37170931.1E-42.2521814E-42.4930484E-44.5925248E-41.84213222.1E-40.00224990030.002492510.00283166251.13606873.4E-4
6.54.3167724E-64.7780286E-67.4777694E-515.6503247.0E-51.8500323E-52.0477235E-51.3047497E-46.37170931.1E-42.2521814E-42.4930484E-44.5925248E-41.84213222.1E-40.00224990030.002492510.00283166251.13606873.4E-4
6.64.301311E-64.760897E-67.4760566E-515.7030417.0E-51.8434059E-52.0403815E-51.3040158E-46.3910391.1E-42.2441156E-42.4841115E-44.58359E-41.84516262.1E-40.00224185060.0024835930.00282274861.13655843.4E-4
6.73.8599724E-64.27106E-66.4270804E-515.0479766.0E-51.6542634E-51.8304541E-51.1830271E-46.4630251.0E-42.0138794E-42.228578E-44.0281768E-41.80750991.8E-40.00201205540.0022285780.00252790941.1343153.0E-4

Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6707214E-51.867027E-54.186628E-422.4240384.0E-47.160038E-58.001303E-56.899642E-48.6231496.1E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.00202270852.07727670.001050.008679770.0096954960.0111611481.15116820.00148
6.11.6707214E-51.867027E-54.186628E-422.4240384.0E-47.160038E-58.001303E-56.899642E-48.6231496.1E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.00202270852.07727670.001050.008679770.0096954960.0111611481.15116820.00148
6.21.6707214E-51.867027E-54.186628E-422.4240384.0E-47.160038E-58.001303E-56.899642E-48.6231496.1E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.00202270852.07727670.001050.008679770.0096954960.0111611481.15116820.00148
6.31.6707214E-51.867027E-54.186628E-422.4240384.0E-47.160038E-58.001303E-56.899642E-48.6231496.1E-48.71386E-49.737309E-40.00202270852.07727670.001050.008679770.0096954960.0111611481.15116820.00148
6.41.5515609E-51.7338214E-53.2733285E-418.8792723.1E-46.649377E-57.4304546E-55.6426815E-47.5939924.9E-48.0926094E-49.042885E-40.00177350171.96121248.7E-40.0080632020.0090067730.01026533451.1397350.00127
6.51.5515609E-51.7338214E-53.2733285E-418.8792723.1E-46.649377E-57.4304546E-55.6426815E-47.5939924.9E-48.0926094E-49.042885E-40.00177350171.96121248.7E-40.0080632020.0090067730.01026533451.1397350.00127
6.61.5041828E-51.6809145E-52.9680444E-417.657322.8E-46.4463384E-57.203723E-55.320041E-47.38512664.6E-47.8455906E-48.767063E-40.00169598741.93449898.2E-40.007817950.0087331320.00991273951.13507270.00119
6.71.4634985E-51.6356016E-52.863516E-417.5074182.7E-46.271985E-57.009536E-55.1006454E-47.2767234.4E-47.6334673E-48.5308263E-40.00163241721.91355117.8E-40.0076072990.0084987150.0096290271.13299790.00114
6.81.4209158E-51.5882048E-52.7587792E-417.3704242.6E-46.089497E-56.8064175E-54.7803627E-47.0233174.1E-47.4114406E-48.2837185E-40.0015277921.84433117.0E-40.0073867710.0082534560.0092749551.12376620.00103
6.91.3780098E-51.5404594E-52.554009E-416.5795292.4E-45.9056227E-56.6018045E-54.2599428E-46.45269443.6E-47.1877235E-48.0347876E-40.00144296451.79589636.4E-40.00716451930.0080063320.0089586471.11894519.6E-4
7.01.3585064E-51.5188155E-52.2518497E-414.8263542.1E-45.8220405E-56.50905E-53.7507032E-45.76228953.1E-47.086029E-47.9219416E-40.00138172681.74417695.9E-40.0070634760.0078942930.0087871891.11310649.0E-4
7.11.3398601E-51.49813395E-52.049785E-413.6822541.9E-45.742131E-56.420419E-53.5418558E-45.5165492.9E-46.9888023E-47.8141113E-40.00132098921.69051745.4E-40.00696686380.0077872240.00863060451.10830328.5E-4
7.21.3126312E-51.4679561E-51.7467722E-411.8993481.6E-45.6254412E-56.291092E-52.9289644E-44.6557332.3E-46.846822E-47.6567667E-40.00122532451.60031584.6E-40.0068257650.007630970.008385171.09883427.6E-4
7.31.2922429E-51.4453788E-51.4445191E-49.9940521.3E-45.5380664E-56.194336E-52.4193221E-43.90570021.8E-46.74051E-47.53905E-40.00116359581.54342514.1E-40.0067201010.0075140550.0081889451.0898176.8E-4
7.41.2768878E-51.4283772E-51.3428206E-49.4010231.2E-45.4722615E-56.1214756E-52.2120496E-43.61358881.6E-46.660441E-47.4504025E-40.00111476461.49624743.7E-40.00664051440.00742600350.0080612511.08554366.4E-4
7.51.2521929E-51.40120155E-51.2401048E-48.8502951.1E-45.366431E-56.005014E-52.1004114E-43.49776241.5E-46.531671E-47.3087064E-40.00109060751.49220323.6E-40.0065125060.00728524570.0079007291.08448356.2E-4
7.61.1301089E-51.2648149E-51.12646885E-48.9061961.0E-44.8432343E-55.4205255E-51.9419767E-43.58263541.4E-45.895042E-46.5975444E-49.795433E-41.48470893.2E-40.00587942820.006578510.00710502361.08003535.3E-4
7.79.189108E-61.0283358E-59.0282534E-58.779488.0E-53.93813E-54.407082E-51.440664E-43.2689751.0E-44.7936183E-45.3643517E-47.962957E-41.48442112.6E-40.0047832910.0053519140.00577961231.0799154.3E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-73.6482615E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.5635396E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035933E-52.9035744E-51.52531231.0E-51.8045233E-41.9034347E-42.0034157E-41.05252661.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

San Andreas (San Bernardino S)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2336002E-43.0005194E-49.198659E-43.0656896.2E-45.2857865E-40.00128532920.00210427521.63714898.2E-40.0064164720.0155415540.0166638361.07221170.001140.062343370.142946990.1442241.00893340.00149
6.11.2336002E-43.0005194E-49.198659E-43.0656896.2E-45.2857865E-40.00128532920.00210427521.63714898.2E-40.0064164720.0155415540.0166638361.07221170.001140.062343370.142946990.1442241.00893340.00149
6.21.2336002E-43.0005194E-49.198659E-43.0656896.2E-45.2857865E-40.00128532920.00210427521.63714898.2E-40.0064164720.0155415540.0166638361.07221170.001140.062343370.142946990.1442241.00893340.00149
6.31.1712257E-42.8793467E-49.0775616E-43.15264636.2E-45.018573E-40.00123344780.00205243631.66398328.2E-40.0060930080.0149186660.0160416591.07527430.001140.0592863220.137657790.138934051.00927130.00148
6.41.1712257E-42.8793467E-49.0775616E-43.15264636.2E-45.018573E-40.00123344780.00205243631.66398328.2E-40.0060930080.0149186660.0160416591.07527430.001140.0592863220.137657790.138934051.00927130.00148
6.51.0689076E-42.6806415E-48.7790063E-43.27496466.1E-44.5802278E-40.00114836530.00195743521.70454058.1E-40.00556217830.0138963350.0150007721.07947680.001120.054250030.12889890.130170721.00986670.00146
6.69.7648895E-52.505129E-48.503626E-43.39448626.0E-44.1842813E-40.00107320860.00187235011.74462828.0E-40.0050824690.0129923990.0140682371.08280520.001090.0496778860.1210777460.1223258151.0103080.00142
6.78.757013E-52.3122175E-48.2108536E-43.5510735.9E-43.7524657E-49.905964E-40.00177981381.79670947.9E-40.004559060.0119979020.0130550641.08811220.001070.044666560.1123730240.113597951.01090050.00138
6.88.562978E-52.2682057E-48.166867E-43.6005855.9E-43.6693315E-49.7174826E-40.00175099031.8018977.8E-40.0044582630.0117709210.0128184441.08899250.001060.0436987580.110378630.1115885151.01096120.00136
6.96.124075E-51.7066885E-47.6056813E-44.4563975.9E-42.6243398E-47.312337E-40.00149067792.03857957.6E-40.00319045270.0088666360.0098974151.11625360.001040.0314503460.084202620.085420631.01446520.00133
7.05.8598747E-51.6495936E-47.448637E-44.51543765.8E-42.5111332E-47.067779E-40.00144625492.0462657.4E-40.00305301860.0085712650.0095825221.11798230.001020.030114140.081515620.082718831.01476050.00131
7.15.613814E-51.5914452E-47.190554E-44.51825435.6E-42.4056983E-46.818704E-40.00139138632.04054367.1E-40.00292500390.0082703530.0092422481.11751569.8E-40.0288680210.078812680.079982591.01484420.00127
7.24.991222E-51.4520933E-47.05128E-44.8559425.6E-42.1389198E-46.221777E-40.00133173592.1404437.1E-40.0026010250.00754880630.0085214081.12884199.8E-40.0257079120.072261910.0734215751.01604820.00125
7.34.7410045E-51.371513E-46.970745E-45.0825225.6E-42.0317009E-45.8765925E-40.0012972422.2074737.1E-40.00247078970.00713136560.00810437651.13644119.8E-40.0244349820.0685419440.0696876351.01671520.00123
7.44.5556746E-51.3123035E-46.9115683E-45.26674565.6E-41.952286E-45.6229485E-40.00127189562.26197277.1E-40.0023743170.00682452930.007787911.14116439.7E-40.0234910860.065791430.066921821.01718140.00121
7.54.3084514E-51.2358342E-46.7351543E-45.4498855.5E-41.8463485E-45.2953605E-40.00121917062.30233746.9E-40.00224561150.00642811460.00737200771.14683839.5E-40.0222305450.0621902830.063306281.01794480.00119
7.63.408608E-59.836477E-56.4831064E-46.5908835.5E-41.4607502E-44.214953E-40.00111120452.6363396.9E-40.00177701250.0051196560.0060647921.18460939.5E-40.0176286960.050022440.051152911.02259930.00119
7.72.8315713E-58.2495724E-56.224512E-47.54525385.4E-41.2134742E-43.5350522E-40.00103326482.92291246.8E-40.00147640340.0042954420.00523140371.21789669.4E-40.014666330.0422724150.0433929561.02650760.00117
7.82.6222975E-57.463898E-56.045994E-48.1003185.3E-41.1237934E-43.1984213E-49.896278E-43.09411336.7E-40.00136735970.0038871310.0048135161.2383219.3E-40.0135897680.0384374750.0395528861.02901890.00116
7.92.1469694E-55.7884805E-55.4785644E-49.4645994.9E-49.200973E-52.4805416E-48.5790287E-43.45853046.1E-40.00111964280.003015880.00384337691.27437988.3E-40.0111401840.0301532650.0311522071.03312890.00103
8.01.2420249E-53.1321662E-52.1131603E-46.7466411.8E-45.322855E-51.342288E-43.8419524E-42.86224152.5E-46.478649E-40.00163301160.0019524891.1956373.2E-40.00645979350.016523690.0169072471.02321243.9E-4
8.14.9197724E-67.822525E-67.822525E-61.00.02.1084568E-53.3524673E-53.3524673E-51.00.02.566744E-44.080866E-44.080866E-41.00.00.0025637810.0043845570.0043945131.00227071.0E-5
8.22.5634774E-62.9065757E-62.9065757E-61.00.01.0986286E-51.2456694E-51.2456694E-51.00.01.3374983E-41.5164974E-41.5164974E-41.00.00.00133669340.0017049410.0017049411.00.0
8.35.2850464E-73.2080476E-73.2080476E-71.00.02.2650179E-61.3748769E-61.3748769E-61.00.02.7576245E-51.673901E-51.673901E-51.00.02.7572823E-41.986671E-41.986671E-41.00.0

Helendale-So Lockhart

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.7296055E-51.8103729E-53.4809776E-419.2279593.3E-47.412385E-57.7585224E-55.075519E-46.54186254.3E-49.0208417E-49.4421144E-40.00164355051.74065947.0E-40.0089843110.0094041160.0105928311.12640370.0012
6.11.7296055E-51.8103729E-53.4809776E-419.2279593.3E-47.412385E-57.7585224E-55.075519E-46.54186254.3E-49.0208417E-49.4421144E-40.00164355051.74065947.0E-40.0089843110.0094041160.0105928311.12640370.0012
6.21.7296055E-51.8103729E-53.4809776E-419.2279593.3E-47.412385E-57.7585224E-55.075519E-46.54186254.3E-49.0208417E-49.4421144E-40.00164355051.74065947.0E-40.0089843110.0094041160.0105928311.12640370.0012
6.31.0669118E-51.1135425E-52.3113297E-420.7565482.2E-44.5723988E-54.772239E-53.27709E-46.86698682.8E-45.5654737E-45.80868E-49.806356E-41.68822464.0E-40.00555155570.00579379360.0065195641.12526697.3E-4
6.41.0669118E-51.1135425E-52.3113297E-420.7565482.2E-44.5723988E-54.772239E-53.27709E-46.86698682.8E-45.5654737E-45.80868E-49.806356E-41.68822464.0E-40.00555155570.00579379360.0065195641.12526697.3E-4
6.58.790038E-69.170197E-62.0916836E-422.8095842.0E-43.767105E-53.930026E-52.9929006E-47.61547232.6E-44.585485E-44.7837716E-48.5819536E-41.79397233.8E-40.00457603440.0047736380.0054503921.1417696.8E-4
6.67.396949E-67.715537E-61.677143E-421.7372171.6E-43.1700827E-53.3066175E-52.4305923E-47.35069132.1E-43.858892E-44.025073E-47.223785E-41.79469663.2E-40.0038521980.004017890.0046055191.14625325.9E-4
6.76.4600285E-66.738031E-61.3673716E-420.293341.3E-42.7685543E-52.887696E-52.0887176E-47.2331631.8E-43.3701936E-43.5152107E-46.314226E-41.79625832.8E-40.00336508690.0035097320.0040378721.15047875.3E-4
6.85.600104E-65.836009E-69.583549E-516.4214069.0E-52.4000226E-52.5011232E-51.5500798E-46.19753461.3E-42.9216358E-43.044698E-45.244028E-41.72234762.2E-40.00291779750.0030405880.00344934151.13443234.1E-4
6.94.839122E-65.0395092E-69.503905E-518.8587919.0E-52.0738931E-52.159772E-51.4159513E-46.55602171.2E-42.5246723E-42.6292098E-44.628684E-41.76048482.0E-40.0025218060.0026261470.00298520131.13672293.6E-4
7.03.6937633E-63.845208E-68.38449E-521.8050378.0E-51.5830317E-51.647936E-51.2647755E-47.67490631.1E-41.9271708E-42.0061806E-43.6058595E-41.79737541.6E-40.00192550030.0020044010.00228383971.13941262.8E-4
7.12.7858857E-62.8978538E-64.2897736E-514.8032794.0E-51.1939455E-51.2419316E-58.2418446E-56.63631157.0E-51.4535317E-41.511949E-42.6117827E-41.72742781.1E-40.00145258140.00151094180.00171063961.13216782.0E-4
7.22.1672065E-62.2540128E-64.2253923E-518.7460884.0E-59.2879945E-69.66002E-67.9659345E-58.2462927.0E-51.1307546E-41.1760458E-42.2759165E-41.93522781.1E-40.00113017940.00117544170.00136521831.16145131.9E-4
7.31.4823496E-61.5422102E-62.1542179E-513.9683812.0E-56.3529114E-66.6094562E-63.6609257E-55.53892143.0E-57.734395E-58.046731E-51.4046249E-41.74558446.0E-57.731704E-48.0439687E-49.143084E-41.13663841.1E-4
7.44.2321457E-74.4108765E-74.4108765E-71.00.01.8137755E-61.8903745E-61.8903745E-61.00.02.2082493E-52.3015113E-52.3015113E-51.00.02.2080299E-42.3013182E-42.4012952E-41.04344331.0E-5
7.55.6942316E-85.9415648E-85.9415648E-81.00.02.440385E-72.5463845E-72.5463845E-71.00.02.9711643E-63.1002196E-63.1002196E-61.00.02.9711247E-53.1001844E-53.1001844E-51.00.0

Coyote Lake

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.980352E-52.1706745E-52.5170174E-411.5955552.3E-48.486947E-59.302599E-54.1299622E-44.43957853.2E-40.00103279590.00113207510.00177135051.56469366.4E-40.0102800910.0112702580.0124270721.1026430.00117
6.11.980352E-52.1706745E-52.5170174E-411.5955552.3E-48.486947E-59.302599E-54.1299622E-44.43957853.2E-40.00103279590.00113207510.00177135051.56469366.4E-40.0102800910.0112702580.0124270721.1026430.00117
6.21.980352E-52.1706745E-52.5170174E-411.5955552.3E-48.486947E-59.302599E-54.1299622E-44.43957853.2E-40.00103279590.00113207510.00177135051.56469366.4E-40.0102800910.0112702580.0124270721.1026430.00117
6.31.5344787E-51.682067E-51.8681781E-411.1064431.7E-46.576172E-57.2086936E-53.1206963E-44.32907342.4E-48.003548E-48.773662E-40.00133696271.52383654.6E-40.0079747840.008745070.0095876361.09634768.5E-4
6.41.5344787E-51.682067E-51.8681781E-411.1064431.7E-46.576172E-57.2086936E-53.1206963E-44.32907342.4E-48.003548E-48.773662E-40.00133696271.52383654.6E-40.0079747840.008745070.0095876361.09634768.5E-4
6.51.4189697E-51.5557987E-51.755555E-411.2839471.6E-46.081157E-56.6675726E-52.9666038E-44.44930122.3E-47.401293E-48.115349E-40.00125117771.54174244.4E-40.00737669130.0080916560.0088951021.09929318.1E-4
6.61.3469301E-51.4771577E-51.7476921E-411.8314521.6E-45.7724297E-56.330556E-52.93291E-44.6329422.3E-47.025667E-47.7053264E-40.00120020131.55762554.3E-40.00700349640.00768451440.0084485971.09943157.7E-4
6.71.3027966E-51.4281745E-51.642796E-411.50276851.5E-45.5832945E-56.120638E-52.8119292E-44.5941772.2E-46.7955407E-47.4499263E-40.00114469461.53651814.0E-40.0067747980.00743082860.0081554051.09750947.3E-4
6.85.695434E-66.2244176E-68.622392E-513.8525288.0E-52.4408775E-52.6675973E-51.266733E-44.7485921.0E-42.971363E-43.2476155E-44.847096E-41.49250911.6E-40.00296739330.00324581050.00352490161.08598512.8E-4
6.94.385688E-64.7930553E-67.479272E-515.6043937.0E-51.879567E-52.0541665E-51.0054002E-44.89444358.0E-52.2881327E-42.5009477E-43.9005978E-41.55964781.4E-40.0022857780.00250094780.00273037261.09173512.3E-4

San Andreas (Big Bend)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0179969E-42.0073925E-43.907011E-41.94631151.9E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00114977911.33690812.9E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0109552321.05127925.4E-40.0517340970.1014559050.10213881.00673097.6E-4
6.11.0179969E-42.0073925E-43.907011E-41.94631151.9E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00114977911.33690812.9E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0109552321.05127925.4E-40.0517340970.1014559050.10213881.00673097.6E-4
6.21.0179969E-42.0073925E-43.907011E-41.94631151.9E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00114977911.33690812.9E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0109552321.05127925.4E-40.0517340970.1014559050.10213881.00673097.6E-4
6.31.0179969E-42.0073925E-43.907011E-41.94631151.9E-44.362114E-48.6002843E-40.00114977911.33690812.9E-40.00529794860.0104208590.0109552321.05127925.4E-40.0517340970.1014559050.10213881.00673097.6E-4
6.49.1639464E-51.8430917E-43.1428522E-41.70520661.3E-43.9268145E-47.896575E-49.695154E-41.22776691.8E-40.00477042050.0095718180.0098887551.03311153.2E-40.0466930640.093786950.094158491.00396164.1E-4
6.59.1639464E-51.8430917E-43.1428522E-41.70520661.3E-43.9268145E-47.896575E-49.695154E-41.22776691.8E-40.00477042050.0095718180.0098887551.03311153.2E-40.0466930640.093786950.094158491.00396164.1E-4
6.69.042622E-51.8238011E-43.0235824E-41.65784651.2E-43.8748336E-47.813951E-49.4127015E-41.2046021.6E-40.00470740950.00947210.0097296371.0271892.6E-40.0460893250.092877210.093185631.00332073.4E-4
6.78.9836685E-51.8152347E-43.0150168E-41.66095161.2E-43.8495753E-47.7772595E-49.3760155E-41.2055681.6E-40.004676790.0094278150.0096853641.0273182.6E-40.0457958170.092471480.092780041.00333683.4E-4
6.88.9471854E-51.8099119E-42.9097128E-41.60765431.1E-43.8339442E-47.754462E-49.2532986E-41.1932871.5E-40.0046578410.0094002980.0096479481.02634492.5E-40.045614140.09221920.092518781.00324853.3E-4
6.98.858234E-51.7981093E-42.8979115E-41.61164371.1E-43.7958333E-47.7039085E-49.202753E-41.19455641.5E-40.0046116380.0093392780.0095869431.02651872.5E-40.045171030.091659110.091958861.00327033.3E-4
7.08.7433385E-51.7819891E-42.7818108E-41.56107071.0E-43.746607E-47.6348626E-49.033794E-41.18322931.4E-40.0045519570.0092559320.00949371051.02568942.4E-40.0445983860.090893230.091184141.00320073.2E-4
7.18.684964E-51.7731842E-42.6730247E-41.50747149.0E-53.7215967E-47.597149E-48.896162E-41.17098681.3E-40.00452163350.0092104050.0094382871.02474182.3E-40.044307310.090474750.09075671.00311643.1E-4
7.28.606521E-51.7622454E-42.6620866E-41.51062219.0E-53.6879873E-47.550296E-48.849314E-41.17204871.3E-40.00448088350.0091538420.0093718271.02381362.2E-40.0439160240.089955180.090228191.0030353.0E-4
7.38.568266E-51.7564454E-42.6562874E-41.51230859.0E-53.6715972E-47.5254537E-48.824475E-41.17261711.3E-40.00446101050.009123850.00934184251.02389262.2E-40.0437251480.089676230.089949331.00304533.0E-4
7.48.5432206E-51.752704E-42.652546E-41.51340239.0E-53.6608664E-47.509428E-48.808452E-41.17298571.3E-40.0044479990.0091045010.0093224991.02394392.2E-40.0436001570.089496420.089769571.00305213.0E-4
7.58.4791965E-51.7396381E-42.539499E-41.45978578.0E-53.633435E-47.4534636E-48.6525694E-41.1608791.2E-40.00441473770.0090369320.0092450351.0230282.1E-40.0432805750.088872090.089136321.00297312.9E-4
7.68.241105E-51.6841735E-42.3840556E-41.41556427.0E-53.531424E-47.2158914E-48.3150977E-41.15233141.1E-40.00429103520.0087500470.0089383841.02152421.9E-40.0420911760.086250320.08648791.00275442.6E-4
7.77.00432E-51.4205615E-41.8205047E-41.28153884.0E-53.001506E-46.0867006E-46.586396E-41.08209635.0E-50.00364821120.00738541740.0075144571.01747231.3E-40.0358889770.073522990.073699021.00239421.9E-4
7.86.415362E-51.2969968E-41.5969579E-41.23127353.0E-52.749151E-45.557374E-45.9571513E-41.07193654.0E-50.00334195470.00674514150.00685439961.0161981.1E-40.032921410.067255140.06741371.00235771.7E-4
7.94.939911E-59.341721E-51.03416285E-41.10703661.0E-52.116933E-44.0029807E-44.2029007E-41.04994272.0E-50.00257431950.0048627470.0049324071.01432517.0E-50.0254470130.0489158030.049010911.00194431.0E-4
8.03.344983E-55.2228E-56.2227475E-51.19145821.0E-51.4334853E-42.2381509E-42.3381285E-41.04466971.0E-50.00174387110.00272154530.00275146381.01099313.0E-50.0173024960.0279231610.0279620441.00139254.0E-5
8.11.9104898E-51.9171663E-51.9171663E-51.00.08.1875565E-58.2161685E-58.2161685E-51.00.09.963791E-49.9986E-49.9986E-41.00.00.0099192350.0107495520.0107594451.00092031.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Death Valley (No)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0074807E-52.2500084E-51.4249739E-46.33319331.2E-48.603206E-59.642541E-52.66409E-42.76285081.7E-40.0010469370.00117335450.00157288511.3405034.0E-40.0104201830.0116725060.0123445691.05757656.8E-4
6.12.0074807E-52.2500084E-51.4249739E-46.33319331.2E-48.603206E-59.642541E-52.66409E-42.76285081.7E-40.0010469370.00117335450.00157288511.3405034.0E-40.0104201830.0116725060.0123445691.05757656.8E-4
6.22.0074807E-52.2500084E-51.4249739E-46.33319331.2E-48.603206E-59.642541E-52.66409E-42.76285081.7E-40.0010469370.00117335450.00157288511.3405034.0E-40.0104201830.0116725060.0123445691.05757656.8E-4
6.31.9050609E-52.1336948E-51.4133439E-46.6239271.2E-48.164292E-59.1440896E-52.6142536E-42.85895441.7E-49.935491E-40.0011127310.00151228591.35907594.0E-40.0098911880.0110724190.0117448891.06073396.8E-4
6.41.9050609E-52.1336948E-51.4133439E-46.6239271.2E-48.164292E-59.1440896E-52.6142536E-42.85895441.7E-49.935491E-40.0011127310.00151228591.35907594.0E-40.0098911880.0110724190.0117448891.06073396.8E-4
6.51.8367004E-52.0561009E-51.4055854E-46.83616971.2E-47.8713354E-58.811567E-52.5810068E-42.92911241.7E-49.5791375E-40.00107228690.00147185791.37263454.0E-40.0095379510.01067191550.0113446581.06303866.8E-4
6.61.779439E-51.9910927E-51.3990854E-47.0267211.2E-47.625944E-58.53298E-52.5531527E-42.99210021.7E-49.280632E-40.00103840150.00142799661.37518733.9E-40.0092419690.0103362530.010989431.0631936.6E-4
6.71.7025437E-51.9043426E-51.3904113E-47.3012671.2E-47.296412E-58.161216E-52.5159828E-43.08285281.7E-48.87976E-49.931813E-40.0013827941.39228753.9E-40.0088443620.0098881450.0105416191.06608666.6E-4
6.81.6545107E-51.8512545E-51.3851032E-47.4819711.2E-47.090568E-57.93371E-52.493236E-43.14258531.7E-48.629347E-49.655073E-40.00135513071.40354283.9E-40.0085959150.0096138290.0102674841.06799116.6E-4
6.91.615478E-51.8087594E-51.3808542E-47.63426161.2E-46.9232934E-57.751599E-52.4750282E-43.1929261.7E-48.4258494E-49.433546E-40.00133298681.41302823.9E-40.0083939730.0093941960.01004799551.06959626.6E-4
7.01.5894311E-51.780555E-51.378034E-47.73935171.2E-46.81167E-57.6307304E-52.4629434E-43.2276641.7E-48.2900526E-49.286515E-40.00131828931.41957383.9E-40.0082591950.0092483970.0098923861.06963246.5E-4
7.11.5602263E-51.7483504E-51.374814E-47.8634931.2E-46.6865134E-57.492718E-52.4491444E-43.26869961.7E-48.137789E-49.118627E-40.00130150711.42730593.9E-40.0081080520.0090818940.0097259911.0709216.5E-4
7.21.5323829E-51.717063E-51.3716856E-47.9885581.2E-46.56719E-57.358637E-52.4357386E-43.31004021.7E-47.99262E-48.9555193E-40.00128520271.43509573.9E-40.0079639340.0089201070.0095643081.07221916.5E-4
7.31.4556212E-51.6302456E-51.2630066E-47.74733971.1E-46.238227E-56.9865826E-52.1985534E-43.14682251.5E-47.592395E-48.5029035E-40.00120998421.42302483.6E-40.00756650740.0084710140.0090857621.07257086.2E-4
7.41.411725E-51.580796E-51.2580623E-47.958411.1E-46.0501097E-56.7746674E-52.1773651E-43.2139811.5E-47.363519E-48.245094E-40.00118421261.43626323.6E-40.00733916740.0082151380.0088300441.07485046.2E-4
7.51.3503312E-51.5126289E-51.1512478E-47.61090661.0E-45.7870053E-56.482538E-52.048163E-43.15950821.4E-47.043401E-47.8896893E-40.00113869281.4432673.5E-40.0070211190.0078623040.00846750851.07697536.1E-4
7.61.1279839E-51.2626327E-51.12625065E-48.919861.0E-44.834127E-55.4111737E-51.9410416E-43.5870991.4E-45.88396E-46.5861654E-49.784058E-41.4855473.2E-40.0058684050.0065671990.0070937181.08017415.3E-4
7.79.189108E-61.0283358E-59.0282534E-58.779488.0E-53.93813E-54.407082E-51.440664E-43.2689751.0E-44.7936183E-45.3643517E-47.962957E-41.48442112.6E-40.0047832910.0053519140.00577961231.0799154.3E-4
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-73.6482615E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.5635396E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035933E-52.9035744E-51.52531231.0E-51.8045233E-41.9034347E-42.0034157E-41.05252661.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

San Andreas (Parkfield)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.556969E-47.778562E-48.877707E-41.14130431.1E-40.00237938480.00332995830.00350935871.05387471.8E-40.0285869630.0402350430.040570961.0083493.5E-40.251762840.33719730.337581721.00114015.8E-4
6.11.925858E-43.0278185E-43.7276064E-41.23111957.0E-58.2510663E-40.0012970850.00139695521.0769961.0E-40.00999948850.015773930.0159609341.01185521.9E-40.0956132560.149758250.14996231.00136262.4E-4
6.29.4306815E-51.8243887E-42.4242792E-41.32881726.0E-54.0410945E-47.8164786E-48.615853E-41.10226798.0E-50.00490893840.0094752460.009633731.01672611.6E-40.0480190630.09185650.0920472151.00207612.1E-4
6.39.283051E-51.794041E-42.3939334E-41.33438056.0E-53.9778434E-47.686494E-48.485879E-41.10399878.0E-50.00483227470.0093183550.0094768641.01701051.6E-40.0472853850.0905094740.090700461.00211022.1E-4
6.49.138826E-51.7702584E-42.370152E-41.33887366.0E-53.916052E-47.5846276E-48.384021E-41.10539658.0E-50.00475737450.0091953870.0093539161.017241.6E-40.0465680920.08941360.089604821.00213862.1E-4
6.59.000255E-51.746064E-42.3459591E-41.343576.0E-53.8566816E-47.4809964E-48.2803983E-41.10685778.0E-50.00468540470.0090702840.0092288331.017481.6E-40.0458784030.088296080.0884875361.00216842.1E-4
6.68.8109264E-51.7141816E-42.3140787E-41.34996136.0E-53.7755648E-47.3444354E-48.143848E-41.1088468.0E-50.00458706540.0089054040.009063981.01780661.6E-40.044935290.086827070.087018841.00220862.1E-4
6.78.738073E-51.7008898E-42.3007879E-41.35269656.0E-53.7443507E-47.287503E-48.08692E-41.1096978.0E-50.00454922160.0088366950.0089952811.01794641.6E-40.044572130.08622680.086418691.00222542.1E-4
6.88.710195E-51.6954402E-42.2953385E-41.35383056.0E-53.7324068E-47.26416E-48.063579E-41.11004978.0E-50.00453474050.0088085130.0089671031.01800431.6E-40.044433130.085974360.086166311.00223262.1E-4
6.98.6801556E-51.6895356E-42.2894342E-41.35506716.0E-53.7195362E-47.238869E-48.03829E-41.11043458.0E-50.00451913570.00877796950.0089266521.01693821.5E-40.0442833270.085700420.085883281.00213372.0E-4
7.08.5571606E-51.664819E-42.2647191E-41.36033956.0E-53.6668387E-47.132999E-47.932428E-41.11207478.0E-50.0044552410.0086501030.0087988051.01719081.5E-40.0436697270.084548360.084731451.00216562.0E-4
7.17.82589E-51.5128969E-42.112806E-41.39653026.0E-53.3535215E-46.4822397E-47.281721E-41.12333428.0E-50.00407527060.0078637380.0080026371.01766321.4E-40.0400134180.0774604450.077635731.00226281.9E-4
7.27.690929E-51.4866212E-42.0865319E-41.40353986.0E-53.2956956E-46.369685E-47.1691757E-41.12551498.0E-50.0040051290.00772768260.00786660051.01797661.4E-40.03933710.076233410.076408921.00230231.9E-4
7.37.5543794E-51.4562748E-42.0561874E-41.41195016.0E-53.2371894E-46.239692E-47.039193E-41.12813158.0E-50.0039341570.00757052560.0077094661.01835271.4E-40.0386523340.074797770.074973561.00235021.9E-4
7.47.4214564E-51.4263717E-42.0262861E-41.42058776.0E-53.1802364E-46.1115966E-46.911108E-41.13081878.0E-50.0038650650.00741564160.00755460331.0187391.4E-40.037985290.073371520.073547591.00239961.9E-4
7.56.149578E-51.1191443E-41.6190883E-41.44671995.0E-52.6352672E-44.795452E-45.3951645E-41.12505856.0E-50.00320371780.0058228650.00592228261.01707361.0E-40.031579230.0585594620.058681851.002091.3E-4
7.66.0643448E-51.102009E-41.6019538E-41.45366685.0E-52.598746E-44.7220418E-45.321758E-41.12700376.0E-50.00315938280.0057339620.0058333891.017341.0E-40.0311484170.057720420.0578429141.00212231.3E-4
7.75.1652263E-59.175265E-51.11750815E-41.21795742.0E-52.2134806E-43.9316638E-44.231546E-41.07627363.0E-50.0026915820.00477630460.00484597031.01458577.0E-50.0265921410.048536410.0486315531.00196031.0E-4
7.84.8090482E-58.560165E-51.0559994E-41.23362042.0E-52.060858E-43.6681266E-43.9680165E-41.08175563.0E-50.00250620720.0044568070.0045264951.01563637.0E-50.0247813050.0453022640.0453977361.00210741.0E-4
7.93.970278E-56.7507375E-57.75067E-51.1481221.0E-51.7014367E-42.8928524E-43.0927945E-41.06911592.0E-50.0020695310.00351636340.00357615251.0170036.0E-50.0205036360.035881760.035949251.00188097.0E-5
8.02.8982335E-54.0698153E-55.069775E-51.24570141.0E-51.2420409E-41.7440901E-41.8440725E-41.05732641.0E-50.00151113570.00212136280.00215129931.01411193.0E-50.0150090120.022011180.02205031.00177734.0E-5
8.11.8836186E-51.867974E-51.867974E-51.00.08.0724014E-58.005358E-58.005358E-51.00.09.823717E-49.742171E-49.742171E-41.00.00.0097804030.0104877110.0104976051.00094351.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Red Pass

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.258278E-68.551265E-61.4855007E-417.3717061.4E-43.539214E-53.6647863E-52.3664054E-46.4571442.0E-44.308141E-44.4611428E-47.659715E-41.7169853.2E-40.00429979850.0044539450.0050214061.12740655.7E-4
6.13.649988E-63.7753161E-68.377501E-522.1901998.0E-51.5642712E-51.6179853E-51.061784E-46.56238379.0E-51.9043336E-41.9697666E-43.469471E-41.76136151.5E-40.00190270260.0019684880.0022579171.14703122.9E-4
6.23.649988E-63.7753161E-68.377501E-522.1901998.0E-51.5642712E-51.6179853E-51.061784E-46.56238379.0E-51.9043336E-41.9697666E-43.469471E-41.76136151.5E-40.00190270260.0019684880.0022579171.14703122.9E-4
6.31.3924937E-61.4411166E-62.1441088E-514.8781072.0E-55.9678164E-66.1762075E-62.6176083E-54.2382132.0E-57.265574E-57.519415E-51.3518964E-41.79787456.0E-57.263199E-47.518258E-48.617431E-41.14620051.1E-4
6.41.3924937E-61.4411166E-62.1441088E-514.8781072.0E-55.9678164E-66.1762075E-62.6176083E-54.2382132.0E-57.265574E-57.519415E-51.3518964E-41.79787456.0E-57.263199E-47.518258E-48.617431E-41.14620051.1E-4
6.59.876812E-71.0221912E-62.1022171E-520.565792.0E-54.2329125E-64.3808195E-62.4380732E-55.56533582.0E-55.153449E-55.3336476E-59.333435E-51.74991584.0E-55.1522546E-45.333648E-46.133221E-41.14991128.0E-5

San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.31567E-52.3384395E-44.7378783E-42.02608542.4E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.00134146191.33904833.4E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0125731641.03665234.5E-40.0424638280.112581870.11308771.0044935.7E-4
6.18.31567E-52.3384395E-44.7378783E-42.02608542.4E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.00134146191.33904833.4E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0125731641.03665234.5E-40.0424638280.112581870.11308771.0044935.7E-4
6.28.31567E-52.3384395E-44.7378783E-42.02608542.4E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.00134146191.33904833.4E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0125731641.03665234.5E-40.0424638280.112581870.11308771.0044935.7E-4
6.38.31567E-52.3384395E-44.7378783E-42.02608542.4E-43.5633717E-40.00100180250.00134146191.33904833.4E-40.0043297780.0121286220.0125731641.03665234.5E-40.0424638280.112581870.11308771.0044935.7E-4
6.48.059055E-52.2941893E-44.6936388E-42.04588132.4E-43.4534236E-49.828559E-40.00132252181.34559063.4E-40.00419643940.0119008190.0123454641.03736264.5E-40.0411807450.1105629650.111069941.00458545.7E-4
6.58.059055E-52.2941893E-44.6936388E-42.04588132.4E-43.4534236E-49.828559E-40.00132252181.34559063.4E-40.00419643940.0119008190.0123454641.03736264.5E-40.0411807450.1105629650.111069941.00458545.7E-4
6.67.619237E-52.2186468E-44.6181143E-42.08150052.4E-43.2649786E-49.5050444E-40.00129018131.35736483.4E-40.00396786770.01151153350.0119563541.03864124.5E-40.038977640.107099540.10760851.00475225.7E-4
6.77.440636E-52.1862281E-44.5857034E-42.0975412.4E-43.188454E-49.3662075E-40.00127630231.36266713.4E-40.00387503460.0113442680.0117891641.03921764.5E-40.0380815640.10560810.1061179041.00482735.7E-4
6.87.3735864E-52.1709445E-44.5704233E-42.10526972.4E-43.1597257E-49.300753E-40.0012697591.36522193.4E-40.00384018150.0112654060.0117103371.03949534.5E-40.037744950.1049096960.10541991.00486335.7E-4
6.97.27575E-52.1478413E-44.547326E-42.1171612.4E-43.117806E-49.20181E-40.00125986811.36915253.4E-40.0037893230.0111461820.0115911661.03992264.5E-40.0372535620.103857530.104368331.00491835.7E-4
7.07.102591E-52.1062451E-44.5057395E-42.13922862.4E-43.0436125E-49.023664E-40.00123206861.3653753.3E-40.0036993030.0109314840.0113666751.03981074.4E-40.036383250.1019595340.102462431.00493245.6E-4
7.17.028513E-52.0898094E-44.4893078E-42.148192.4E-43.0118722E-48.953274E-40.00122503191.36825033.3E-40.00366078970.0108466410.0112818681.04012564.4E-40.0360106860.101202430.101696771.00488465.5E-4
7.26.8498244E-52.050596E-44.4501037E-42.17015152.4E-42.9353087E-48.7853306E-40.00120824321.37529613.3E-40.0035678830.01064418350.01107949951.04089714.4E-40.0351114050.099394490.099889821.00498355.5E-4
7.36.622592E-51.9733235E-44.37285E-42.21598222.4E-42.8379448E-48.4543816E-40.00117515911.39000013.3E-40.00344972430.0102451110.0106806031.04250734.4E-40.0339666120.0958912450.096388511.00518575.5E-4
7.45.1050705E-51.4690042E-43.7686664E-42.56545642.3E-42.1877038E-46.294222E-49.492208E-41.50808273.2E-40.0026602760.0076364820.0080532751.05457914.2E-40.026286540.072865540.0733383741.00648925.1E-4
7.53.9302922E-51.11307076E-43.312826E-42.9762942.2E-41.6843023E-44.7694342E-47.768003E-41.62870543.0E-40.00204870920.00579139540.00618907861.0686684.0E-40.0202992470.056011510.0564646241.00808974.8E-4
7.62.9851626E-58.4956984E-53.049383E-43.58932572.2E-41.2792926E-43.6405068E-46.639415E-41.82376113.0E-40.00155642590.00442333470.00482156551.09002954.0E-40.01545569950.0431961450.0436554141.01063224.8E-4
7.72.1135214E-56.353527E-52.7352193E-44.3050412.1E-49.0576345E-52.722656E-45.6218664E-42.06484632.9E-40.00110220910.00330980080.003698511.11744193.9E-40.0109675820.032584560.033029571.01365714.6E-4
7.81.883379E-55.564576E-52.5563463E-44.5939642.0E-48.0713755E-52.3846005E-45.183933E-42.17392092.8E-49.822468E-40.0028993890.00327828741.13068213.8E-40.00977916550.0286969780.0291340651.01523114.5E-4
7.91.5156185E-54.1662403E-52.4165407E-45.8002912.0E-46.495346E-51.7854095E-44.5849095E-42.56798772.8E-47.9052144E-40.00217157040.0025407671.17001373.7E-40.0078771520.0217609460.022191371.01977974.4E-4
8.01.1405907E-52.9976925E-51.8997212E-46.33727841.6E-44.8881542E-51.2846621E-43.4843796E-42.71229242.2E-45.9497025E-40.00156295510.0018325331.17247962.7E-40.0059337980.0157740130.0160988071.02059053.3E-4
8.14.3511436E-67.369465E-67.369465E-61.00.01.8647626E-53.158304E-53.158304E-51.00.02.2701119E-43.844558E-43.844558E-41.00.00.00226779420.00411654450.0041265031.00241921.0E-5
8.22.3042528E-62.7328301E-62.7328301E-61.00.09.875332E-61.1712076E-51.1712076E-51.00.01.2022553E-41.4258524E-41.4258524E-41.00.00.00120160510.00159796370.00159796371.00.0
8.35.202968E-73.1590292E-73.1590292E-71.00.02.2298414E-61.353869E-61.353869E-61.00.02.714798E-51.6483244E-51.6483244E-51.00.02.7144665E-41.955901E-41.955901E-41.00.0

Sierra Nevada (No Extension)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.7690465E-66.9762887E-61.769751E-425.3680881.7E-43.329549E-52.989824E-52.1989256E-47.3546991.9E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-46.738733E-41.85137083.1E-40.0040455880.00363741540.0040758151.1205254.4E-4
6.17.7690465E-66.9762887E-61.769751E-425.3680881.7E-43.329549E-52.989824E-52.1989256E-47.3546991.9E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-46.738733E-41.85137083.1E-40.0040455880.00363741540.0040758151.1205254.4E-4
6.27.7690465E-66.9762887E-61.769751E-425.3680881.7E-43.329549E-52.989824E-52.1989256E-47.3546991.9E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-46.738733E-41.85137083.1E-40.0040455880.00363741540.0040758151.1205254.4E-4
6.37.7690465E-66.9762887E-61.769751E-425.3680881.7E-43.329549E-52.989824E-52.1989256E-47.3546991.9E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-46.738733E-41.85137083.1E-40.0040455880.00363741540.0040758151.1205254.4E-4
6.47.7690465E-66.9762887E-61.769751E-425.3680881.7E-43.329549E-52.989824E-52.1989256E-47.3546991.9E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-46.738733E-41.85137083.1E-40.0040455880.00363741540.0040758151.1205254.4E-4
6.57.7690465E-66.9762887E-61.769751E-425.3680881.7E-43.329549E-52.989824E-52.1989256E-47.3546991.9E-44.0529718E-43.6398612E-46.738733E-41.85137083.1E-40.0040455880.00363741540.0040758151.1205254.4E-4
6.62.653E-61.6148208E-61.416146E-487.6967851.4E-41.136995E-56.9206426E-61.569196E-422.6741371.5E-41.3842035E-48.42556E-53.142362E-43.7295592.3E-40.00138334158.4224E-40.00115197891.36775613.1E-4
6.72.5902466E-61.5501544E-61.4154994E-491.3134461.4E-41.11010095E-56.643502E-61.566425E-423.5783021.5E-41.351464E-48.088166E-53.1086305E-43.84343052.3E-40.00135064248.0852525E-40.00111827461.38310413.1E-4
6.82.5853892E-61.5469546E-61.4154674E-491.500251.4E-41.1080193E-56.629789E-61.566288E-423.6250041.5E-41.34893E-48.071472E-53.1069617E-43.8493122.3E-40.00134811148.06857E-40.00111660691.38389683.1E-4
6.92.458257E-61.422029E-61.4142183E-499.4507451.4E-41.0535345E-56.0943958E-61.5609348E-425.6126271.5E-41.2826028E-47.419676E-52.9418044E-43.9648692.2E-40.00128186277.4172183E-40.00104149931.40416433.0E-4
7.02.4341468E-61.3989927E-61.4139879E-4101.071861.4E-41.0432016E-55.9956697E-61.5599477E-426.0179061.5E-41.270024E-47.299485E-52.929788E-44.01369142.2E-40.00126929847.297107E-40.00102949181.41082193.0E-4
7.12.3652476E-61.3339427E-61.4133376E-4105.95191.4E-41.0136736E-55.716885E-61.5571603E-427.2379151.5E-41.2340778E-46.9600865E-52.8958556E-44.16066032.2E-40.00123339266.957924E-49.955836E-41.43086313.0E-4
7.22.272158E-61.2502497E-61.4125007E-4112.977491.4E-49.737784E-65.358202E-61.553574E-428.9943141.5E-41.1855107E-46.523417E-52.852198E-44.3722462.2E-40.00118487846.5215176E-49.519561E-41.45971563.0E-4
7.32.1382127E-61.1419382E-61.211418E-4106.084371.2E-49.163737E-64.894012E-61.3489337E-427.5629441.3E-41.1156279E-45.9582977E-52.4957166E-44.188641.9E-40.0011150685.956712E-48.5551635E-41.43622242.6E-4
7.41.9048055E-69.574928E-71.20957375E-4126.327191.2E-48.163426E-64.103534E-61.34103E-432.679881.3E-49.9385186E-54.995939E-52.299504E-44.6027461.8E-49.934074E-44.9948227E-47.293674E-41.46024682.3E-4
7.51.5373403E-67.559763E-76.075593E-580.367516.0E-56.5885843E-63.2398946E-67.3239666E-522.6055727.0E-58.021306E-53.9445007E-51.5944027E-44.04209041.2E-48.0184115E-43.9438053E-45.443214E-41.38019341.5E-4
7.61.0680322E-64.65941E-72.0465932E-543.923872.0E-54.577273E-61.9968884E-63.1996828E-516.0233423.0E-55.5726876E-52.4311848E-59.431015E-53.87918457.0E-55.5712904E-42.4309216E-43.2307272E-41.32901338.0E-5
7.75.509146E-71.5578539E-71.01557835E-565.1908651.0E-52.3610605E-66.676515E-71.0667645E-515.9778641.0E-52.8745531E-58.128628E-64.8128302E-55.920844.0E-52.8741814E-48.128342E-51.2128017E-41.49206534.0E-5

Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6204086E-42.937271E-44.1369183E-41.40842251.2E-46.94276E-40.00125837780.0014281641.13492451.7E-40.0084200970.01523461750.0155300481.0193923.0E-40.0810811450.139624540.139977291.00252644.1E-4
6.11.6204086E-42.937271E-44.1369183E-41.40842251.2E-46.94276E-40.00125837780.0014281641.13492451.7E-40.0084200970.01523461750.0155300481.0193923.0E-40.0810811450.139624540.139977291.00252644.1E-4
6.21.6204086E-42.937271E-44.1369183E-41.40842251.2E-46.94276E-40.00125837780.0014281641.13492451.7E-40.0084200970.01523461750.0155300481.0193923.0E-40.0810811450.139624540.139977291.00252644.1E-4
6.31.0111737E-41.7703463E-42.4702222E-41.39533297.0E-54.332882E-47.5861585E-48.685324E-41.14489091.1E-40.0052625310.00921772050.0094158771.02149742.0E-40.05139640.087073930.087338681.00304062.9E-4
6.41.0111737E-41.7703463E-42.4702222E-41.39533297.0E-54.332882E-47.5861585E-48.685324E-41.14489091.1E-40.0052625310.00921772050.0094158771.02149742.0E-40.05139640.087073930.087338681.00304062.9E-4
6.53.6624708E-54.6391986E-55.639152E-51.21554451.0E-51.569536E-41.9880968E-42.4879974E-41.25144685.0E-50.0019092350.00241818140.0024880121.02887747.0E-50.018929150.0236970610.0237849281.00370799.0E-5
6.62.5051324E-52.6147465E-52.6147465E-51.00.01.073584E-41.12056E-41.4205264E-41.26769333.0E-50.00130630470.00136347250.00139343161.02197273.0E-50.0129865250.0135657590.0136150811.00363585.0E-5
6.72.2189772E-52.2072489E-52.2072489E-51.00.09.509556E-59.459316E-51.1459127E-41.21141182.0E-50.00115717340.00115109960.00117107661.01735472.0E-50.0115116630.01146632250.0115058651.00344854.0E-5
6.81.6654378E-51.44376E-51.44376E-51.00.07.137396E-56.187399E-57.187337E-51.16160881.0E-58.686314E-47.5306057E-47.630531E-41.01326921.0E-50.0086524390.00751007630.00752000141.00132161.0E-5
6.91.5042909E-51.2331886E-51.2331886E-51.00.06.446802E-55.2849886E-56.284936E-51.18920521.0E-57.8461546E-46.4326054E-46.532541E-41.01553581.0E-50.0078185090.0064179250.0064278611.00154821.0E-5
7.01.4361385E-51.1451172E-51.1451172E-51.00.06.154734E-54.9075545E-55.9075053E-51.20375751.0E-57.490812E-45.973339E-46.073279E-41.0167311.0E-50.0074656120.0059609820.00597092231.00166761.0E-5
7.11.3265571E-51.0244736E-51.0244736E-51.00.05.6851208E-54.3905282E-55.3904845E-51.2277531.0E-56.919436E-45.344183E-45.4441293E-41.01870191.0E-50.0068979310.00533460030.0053445471.00186461.0E-5
7.21.1596403E-58.504847E-68.504847E-61.00.04.9697923E-53.6448844E-54.644848E-51.27434711.0E-56.049042E-44.4367602E-44.536716E-41.0225291.0E-50.0060326030.0044293570.00443931251.00224771.0E-5
7.31.0150827E-57.238537E-67.238537E-61.00.04.3502816E-53.102194E-54.102163E-51.32234251.0E-55.2951806E-43.776281E-43.8762434E-41.02647111.0E-50.0052825810.0037702710.00378023341.00264231.0E-5
7.49.080705E-66.352307E-66.352307E-61.00.03.8916725E-52.7223898E-53.7223625E-51.36731431.0E-54.7370812E-43.314019E-43.4139858E-41.03016481.0E-50.0047269960.00330922570.00331919241.00301181.0E-5
7.57.671649E-65.225419E-65.225419E-61.00.03.287808E-52.2394468E-52.2394468E-51.00.04.0021708E-42.7261977E-42.7261977E-41.00.00.00399497060.00272297840.00272297841.00.0
7.66.990086E-64.687336E-64.687336E-61.00.02.9957167E-52.0088435E-52.0088435E-51.00.03.6466747E-42.445504E-42.445504E-41.00.00.00364069640.00244292920.00244292921.00.0
7.74.163505E-62.329331E-62.329331E-61.00.01.7843471E-59.982813E-69.982813E-61.00.02.172226E-41.2153471E-41.2153471E-41.00.00.00217010380.00121475550.00121475551.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.384417E-89.384417E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0218927E-74.0218927E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8966467E-64.8966467E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8965718E-54.8965718E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4397174E-93.4397174E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4741646E-81.4741646E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.7947953E-71.7947953E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.794794E-61.794794E-61.00.0

Baker

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.695525E-65.8348373E-61.2583414E-421.5660081.2E-42.4409164E-52.5006228E-51.9500198E-47.79813671.7E-42.9714106E-43.044123E-46.243149E-42.0508863.2E-40.00296744050.00304034860.0034790111.14428024.4E-4
6.15.695525E-65.8348373E-61.2583414E-421.5660081.2E-42.4409164E-52.5006228E-51.9500198E-47.79813671.7E-42.9714106E-43.044123E-46.243149E-42.0508863.2E-40.00296744050.00304034860.0034790111.14428024.4E-4
6.25.695525E-65.8348373E-61.2583414E-421.5660081.2E-42.4409164E-52.5006228E-51.9500198E-47.79813671.7E-42.9714106E-43.044123E-46.243149E-42.0508863.2E-40.00296744050.00304034860.0034790111.14428024.4E-4
6.33.2995713E-63.383667E-65.3383497E-515.7768175.0E-51.4140943E-51.4501353E-51.14499904E-47.89580871.0E-41.7215237E-41.7654014E-43.965013E-42.24595552.2E-40.00172019070.0017640460.00207349911.17542243.1E-4
6.43.2995713E-63.383667E-65.3383497E-515.7768175.0E-51.4140943E-51.4501353E-51.14499904E-47.89580871.0E-41.7215237E-41.7654014E-43.965013E-42.24595552.2E-40.00172019070.0017640460.00207349911.17542243.1E-4
6.52.782202E-62.8558404E-65.28557E-518.507935.0E-51.1923668E-51.223926E-51.12238034E-49.1703281.0E-41.4516099E-41.4900314E-43.5897185E-42.40915632.1E-40.0014506620.00148906510.00178861841.20116873.0E-4
6.62.3163404E-62.38092E-65.23808E-522.0002375.0E-59.927136E-61.0203904E-51.10202884E-410.8000711.0E-41.20856166E-41.2422565E-43.3419958E-42.6902622.1E-40.00120790470.00124158230.00153122231.23328292.9E-4
6.72.037056E-62.0965003E-64.2096417E-520.0793744.0E-58.7302105E-68.984972E-69.8984165E-511.0166369.0E-51.0628513E-41.093867E-42.9936593E-42.7367671.9E-40.00106234310.00109334480.00136304951.24667862.7E-4
6.81.8356744E-61.8915287E-64.1891453E-522.1468774.0E-57.867153E-68.106527E-69.81058E-512.1020759.0E-59.577837E-59.869264E-52.8867388E-42.9249791.9E-49.57371E-49.86502E-40.00125623561.27342432.7E-4
6.91.6310546E-61.6832072E-64.168314E-524.7641164.0E-56.9902153E-67.213726E-67.721322E-510.7036537.0E-58.510255E-58.782368E-52.5780874E-42.93552641.7E-48.5069967E-48.7790104E-40.00112768161.28452012.5E-4
7.01.2058036E-61.2508665E-63.1250827E-524.9833433.0E-55.1677193E-65.3608455E-66.5360524E-512.19220356.0E-56.291517E-56.5266366E-52.1525657E-43.2981241.5E-46.289736E-46.524743E-48.8232424E-41.35227432.3E-4
7.11.052382E-61.0951609E-63.109513E-528.3932063.0E-54.5102006E-64.693538E-66.469325E-513.7834736.0E-55.491031E-55.7142337E-51.9713433E-43.44988231.4E-45.4896745E-45.7127734E-47.8115735E-41.36738732.1E-4
7.21.0067454E-61.0487711E-63.104874E-529.6048773.0E-54.3146156E-64.4947255E-65.44945E-512.12415.0E-55.252918E-55.4721917E-51.8471481E-43.37551781.3E-45.251676E-45.470853E-47.269868E-41.32883631.8E-4
7.39.3596316E-79.767723E-73.0976742E-531.7133713.0E-54.0112645E-64.1861604E-65.418595E-512.9440695.0E-54.8836053E-55.096532E-51.709592E-43.35442231.2E-44.8825322E-45.095371E-46.5946067E-41.29423491.5E-4
7.48.8117395E-79.2076635E-72.0920748E-522.7210182.0E-53.7764542E-63.9461356E-63.3946017E-58.60234453.0E-54.5977362E-54.8043148E-51.280393E-42.66508988.0E-54.596785E-44.8032837E-45.9027557E-41.22891.1E-4
7.58.292386E-78.6745956E-72.0867443E-524.0558092.0E-53.5538749E-63.7176785E-63.3717566E-59.0695223.0E-54.326757E-54.5261804E-51.2525819E-42.76741488.0E-54.3259145E-44.5252658E-45.5248133E-41.22088151.0E-4
7.67.553842E-77.9144706E-71.0791439E-513.6350741.0E-53.2373566E-63.3919116E-62.3391844E-56.896362.0E-53.9414106E-54.129575E-51.0129327E-42.45287426.0E-53.9407116E-44.1288146E-44.928484E-41.19368028.0E-5
7.76.5285366E-76.852797E-76.852797E-71.00.02.797941E-62.9369096E-61.293688E-54.40492961.0E-53.40644E-53.5756293E-58.575451E-52.39830525.0E-53.405918E-43.5750607E-44.1748464E-41.16776936.0E-5
7.83.4586725E-73.6482615E-73.6482615E-71.00.01.4822873E-61.5635396E-61.5635396E-61.00.01.80467E-51.9035933E-52.9035744E-51.52531231.0E-51.8045233E-41.9034347E-42.0034157E-41.05252661.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.872328E-54.7265705E-51.4726097E-43.1155991.0E-41.6594635E-42.0255324E-43.1253096E-41.54295711.1E-40.00201852460.00246356060.00272292021.10527832.6E-40.020002880.0243883380.024807851.01720144.3E-4
6.13.872328E-54.7265705E-51.4726097E-43.1155991.0E-41.6594635E-42.0255324E-43.1253096E-41.54295711.1E-40.00201852460.00246356060.00272292021.10527832.6E-40.020002880.0243883380.024807851.01720144.3E-4
6.23.872328E-54.7265705E-51.4726097E-43.1155991.0E-41.6594635E-42.0255324E-43.1253096E-41.54295711.1E-40.00201852460.00246356060.00272292021.10527832.6E-40.020002880.0243883380.024807851.01720144.3E-4
6.32.8356371E-53.360979E-51.2360676E-43.67770129.0E-51.2152165E-41.4403443E-42.4402003E-41.69417851.0E-40.00147852190.00175227880.00200184061.14242142.5E-40.0146872350.0173918160.0177946851.02316434.1E-4
6.42.8356371E-53.360979E-51.2360676E-43.67770129.0E-51.2152165E-41.4403443E-42.4402003E-41.69417851.0E-40.00147852190.00175227880.00200184061.14242142.5E-40.0146872350.0173918160.0177946851.02316434.1E-4
6.52.4448687E-52.8607585E-51.18605014E-44.1459299.0E-51.0477588E-41.2259845E-42.2258618E-41.81557111.0E-40.00127489980.00149166160.00174128881.16734842.5E-40.0126761050.0148213920.0152253151.02725274.1E-4
6.62.1298161E-52.4660083E-51.14657865E-44.6495339.0E-59.127464E-51.0568197E-42.056714E-41.94613531.0E-40.00111070220.00128595120.00153562971.19415862.5E-40.0110516720.012788530.0131932871.031654.1E-4
6.71.8959729E-52.1781027E-51.1177907E-45.13194669.0E-58.125345E-59.334406E-51.9333472E-42.07120541.0E-49.888117E-40.0011358970.0013856131.21984042.5E-40.0098442340.011303570.0117089361.03586174.1E-4
6.81.6691629E-51.9018351E-51.0901664E-45.7321819.0E-57.153359E-58.150477E-51.8149662E-42.22682211.0E-48.7057345E-49.918857E-40.00124163771.25179522.5E-40.0086717080.0098763430.0102822941.04110344.1E-4
6.91.450505E-51.638954E-51.0638806E-46.4912179.0E-56.216302E-57.0239046E-51.7023202E-42.42360951.0E-47.5657194E-48.5483363E-40.00110461991.29220462.5E-40.0075400130.0085163860.0089228941.04773254.1E-4
7.01.2940855E-51.4537972E-59.453681E-56.5027518.0E-55.545963E-56.230414E-51.5229853E-42.44443689.0E-56.750118E-47.5829466E-49.981127E-41.31625962.4E-40.0067296510.00755768970.0079546661.05252624.0E-4
7.11.2544658E-51.4078208E-59.4077084E-56.68246178.0E-55.3761712E-56.0333812E-51.5032839E-42.49161089.0E-56.5435225E-47.343222E-49.7414595E-41.3265922.4E-40.0065242880.0073195510.0077166231.05424824.0E-4
7.21.2489416E-51.4015674E-59.4014555E-56.7078158.0E-55.3524967E-56.0065824E-51.5006041E-42.49826629.0E-56.514716E-47.310616E-49.708862E-41.32804972.4E-40.0064956510.00728715960.0076842451.0544914.0E-4
7.31.2368307E-51.3879812E-59.3878705E-56.76368678.0E-55.3005948E-55.9483587E-51.4947823E-42.51293259.0E-56.451563E-47.2397763E-49.6380385E-41.3312622.4E-40.00643286530.0072167820.0076138951.05502644.0E-4
7.41.2161707E-51.36478675E-59.364678E-56.86164148.0E-55.212056E-55.8489582E-51.4848432E-42.53864559.0E-56.3438306E-47.118836E-49.517127E-41.33689382.4E-40.0063257510.00709662070.0074937821.05596484.0E-4
7.51.1707948E-51.3145515E-59.314447E-57.08564578.0E-55.0175953E-55.6336736E-51.4633167E-42.59744679.0E-56.10721E-46.856895E-49.255249E-41.34977272.4E-40.00609045340.0068363210.00723358661.0581114.0E-4
7.61.0319538E-51.1579622E-59.1578695E-57.90860848.0E-54.4225842E-54.9626036E-51.3962157E-42.81347429.0E-55.383166E-46.040347E-48.438897E-41.39708822.4E-40.00537014430.00602446030.00642205081.06599594.0E-4
7.78.937764E-61.0022779E-59.0021975E-58.9817388.0E-53.830414E-54.295409E-51.3295023E-43.09517039.0E-54.6625308E-45.228456E-47.5272535E-41.43967042.3E-40.00465276050.0052166640.005604631.07437043.9E-4
7.83.108007E-73.284654E-73.284654E-71.00.01.3320023E-61.407708E-61.407708E-61.00.01.6217007E-51.7138715E-52.7138543E-51.58346431.0E-51.6215823E-41.7137431E-41.813726E-41.05834191.0E-5
7.92.5591178E-92.6696718E-92.6696718E-91.00.01.0967647E-81.14414505E-81.14414505E-81.00.01.335311E-71.3929966E-71.3929966E-71.00.01.3353102E-61.3929966E-61.3929966E-61.00.0

San Jacinto (San Bernardino)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.409352E-53.598562E-52.0597951E-45.72393941.7E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-43.641826E-42.36152552.1E-40.00177740.00187595210.0022053331.17558063.3E-40.017632510.0193499920.0197716731.02179224.3E-4
6.13.409352E-53.598562E-52.0597951E-45.72393941.7E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-43.641826E-42.36152552.1E-40.00177740.00187595210.0022053331.17558063.3E-40.017632510.0193499920.0197716731.02179224.3E-4
6.23.409352E-53.598562E-52.0597951E-45.72393941.7E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-43.641826E-42.36152552.1E-40.00177740.00187595210.0022053331.17558063.3E-40.017632510.0193499920.0197716731.02179224.3E-4
6.33.409352E-53.598562E-52.0597951E-45.72393941.7E-41.461069E-41.5421498E-43.641826E-42.36152552.1E-40.00177740.00187595210.0022053331.17558063.3E-40.017632510.0193499920.0197716731.02179224.3E-4
6.43.400795E-53.5878285E-52.0587219E-45.73807241.7E-41.4574021E-41.5375503E-43.6372273E-42.3655992.1E-40.00177294280.00187036190.00219974461.17610653.3E-40.0175886450.0192950740.0197167771.02185554.3E-4
6.53.341482E-53.5138914E-52.0513294E-45.8377711.7E-41.4319851E-41.5058667E-43.6055504E-42.39433572.1E-40.00174204770.00183185220.00216124771.17981553.3E-40.0172845460.0189166160.0193384811.02230134.3E-4
6.63.3364955E-53.5076133E-52.0507017E-45.84643031.7E-41.4298483E-41.5031763E-43.6028607E-42.39683182.1E-40.00173945010.00182858230.0021579791.18013763.3E-40.0172589760.018884480.019306361.022344.3E-4
6.73.335922E-53.5065907E-52.0505994E-45.84784361.7E-41.4296026E-41.5027382E-43.6024227E-42.39723922.1E-40.00173915140.00182804970.00215744651.18019023.3E-40.0172560350.0188792720.0193011541.02234634.3E-4
6.83.327683E-53.4959972E-52.0495403E-45.8625341.7E-41.4260718E-41.4981985E-43.597884E-42.40147332.1E-40.00173485970.0018225320.00215193071.18073683.3E-40.0172137840.0188250450.0192469491.0224124.3E-4
6.93.3235785E-53.4900928E-52.04895E-45.8707611.7E-41.4243131E-41.4956683E-43.5953542E-42.40384462.1E-40.00173272170.00181945670.00214885621.18104283.3E-40.0171927340.0187949110.0192168281.02244854.3E-4
7.03.3197095E-53.4840854E-52.0483493E-45.8791591.7E-41.422655E-41.4930942E-43.5927806E-42.40626532.1E-40.00173070630.00181632780.00214572861.18135523.3E-40.0171728940.018764290.0191862211.02248594.3E-4
7.13.3129716E-53.4721066E-52.0471516E-45.8959931.7E-41.4197677E-41.4879608E-43.5876484E-42.41111762.1E-40.00172719660.00181008840.0021394911.18198163.3E-40.0171383380.0187033660.0191253241.02256054.3E-4
7.23.3034008E-53.4588513E-52.0458263E-45.9147571.7E-41.4156665E-41.4822806E-43.5819694E-42.41652582.1E-40.00172221110.00180318430.00213258921.18267953.3E-40.0170892530.018635750.0190577361.02264394.3E-4
7.33.2956614E-53.4456265E-52.044504E-45.93362051.7E-41.4123498E-41.4766137E-43.5763034E-42.4219632.1E-40.00171817960.00179629610.00212570331.18338133.3E-40.0170495570.0185684950.0189905111.02272754.3E-4
7.43.2915937E-53.4377957E-52.0437212E-45.9448591.7E-41.4106068E-41.473258E-43.5729486E-42.42520242.1E-40.00171606080.00179221730.0021216261.18379953.3E-40.0170286930.0185287690.0189508011.02277724.3E-4
7.53.281791E-53.424287E-52.0423705E-45.9643671.7E-41.406406E-41.4674691E-43.567161E-42.43082522.1E-40.00171095420.00178518090.0021145921.18452533.3E-40.0169784110.0184596520.0188817141.02286414.3E-4
7.63.2521442E-53.396782E-52.0396204E-46.0045671.7E-41.3937015E-41.4556825E-43.555377E-42.44241212.1E-40.00169551090.00177085420.00210026981.18602073.3E-40.0168263280.0183172950.0187394191.02304514.3E-4
7.73.0287873E-53.245191E-52.0244639E-46.23835041.7E-41.297987E-41.3907222E-43.49043E-42.50979692.1E-40.00157915370.00169189030.0020213321.19471813.3E-40.015679790.0175281990.0179506611.02410194.3E-4
7.82.6316151E-52.9662837E-51.896581E-46.3937951.6E-41.1277862E-41.2712025E-43.2709484E-42.57311342.0E-40.00137221490.00154659130.00186609641.20658663.2E-40.0136377240.0160698780.0164831281.02571584.2E-4
7.92.0761147E-52.3417291E-51.8341355E-47.8323981.6E-48.897331E-51.0035596E-43.003359E-42.9927062.0E-40.00108271170.00122114980.00154075911.2617283.2E-40.0107745170.0127932720.0131881541.03086644.0E-4
8.01.5738568E-51.6032505E-58.603138E-55.366067.0E-56.744926E-56.8708934E-51.6870206E-42.45531491.0E-48.2088535E-48.3621085E-40.00101606041.21507671.8E-40.0081785960.0088657410.0090937021.02571262.3E-4
8.11.0105832E-58.329479E-68.329479E-61.00.04.3309992E-53.569728E-56.569621E-51.84037023.0E-55.2717153E-44.3452822E-44.7451083E-41.09201384.0E-50.0052592270.00467687940.0047166921.00851274.0E-5
8.24.189207E-61.577699E-61.577699E-61.00.01.7953622E-56.7615497E-66.7615497E-61.00.02.1856341E-48.231879E-58.231879E-51.00.00.00218348589.562628E-49.562628E-41.00.0
8.31.2758221E-63.612677E-73.612677E-71.00.05.4677976E-61.5482892E-61.5482892E-61.00.06.65684E-51.8850264E-51.8850264E-51.00.06.6548464E-42.2739546E-42.2739546E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Coachella) rev

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1925945E-43.273077E-44.772586E-41.45813431.5E-45.110118E-40.0014019980.00163167551.16382162.3E-40.00620383540.0169370680.0172319861.01741273.0E-40.0603347530.152676720.15299871.00210893.8E-4
6.11.1925945E-43.273077E-44.772586E-41.45813431.5E-45.110118E-40.0014019980.00163167551.16382162.3E-40.00620383540.0169370680.0172319861.01741273.0E-40.0603347530.152676720.15299871.00210893.8E-4
6.21.07432395E-43.0231563E-44.5227027E-41.49602021.5E-44.603433E-40.0012949990.00151471411.16966432.2E-40.0055902860.0156537310.0159391911.01823592.9E-40.054517310.141827840.142145351.00223883.7E-4
6.31.0718766E-43.0176868E-44.517234E-41.49691951.5E-44.592948E-40.00129265730.0015123731.16997212.2E-40.0055775860.015625630.0159110991.01826932.9E-40.0543965550.141596050.141913671.0022433.7E-4
6.41.0355944E-42.9384956E-44.4380547E-41.51031531.5E-44.4375064E-40.00125875140.00147847451.17455642.2E-40.00538928850.0152186620.0155042491.01876562.9E-40.0526044960.138157950.138476831.00230813.7E-4
6.51.0227914E-42.9104383E-44.410002E-41.51523631.5E-44.382655E-40.00124673850.00146646411.17624042.2E-40.00532283540.0150744390.0153600681.01894782.9E-40.0519713160.136942390.137261721.00233193.7E-4
6.61.0116757E-42.8870135E-44.3865805E-41.51941811.5E-44.3350324E-40.00123670870.00145643661.17767162.2E-40.00526513670.0149540080.0152396721.01910282.9E-40.0514212470.135919730.136239451.00235223.7E-4
6.71.0050676E-42.8728697E-44.3724387E-41.5219761.5E-44.3067214E-40.00123065280.0014503821.17854692.2E-40.0052308340.0148812880.0151669731.01919762.9E-40.0510940850.135304640.135624591.00236453.7E-4
6.89.976819E-52.8532353E-44.3528073E-41.5255691.5E-44.2750788E-40.0012222460.00144197711.17977652.2E-40.00519249360.0147803280.0150660421.01933062.9E-40.0507282950.134456280.134776531.00238183.7E-4
6.99.77719E-52.802926E-44.3025054E-41.53500511.5E-44.1895514E-40.00120070480.00142044061.18300572.2E-40.00508885550.01452158950.0148073791.01968032.9E-40.0497388880.132284760.132605821.0024273.7E-4
7.08.500761E-52.4763815E-43.97601E-41.60557251.5E-43.6426744E-40.00106087790.00128064461.20715552.2E-40.00442594060.012840470.0131267471.02229492.9E-40.043388230.118136160.118462441.0027623.7E-4
7.18.319876E-52.4366553E-43.93629E-41.6154481.5E-43.5651738E-40.00104386620.00126363651.2105352.2E-40.0043319630.0126357730.0129221091.02266072.9E-40.0424848460.116356320.116674431.0027343.6E-4
7.27.563917E-52.2414974E-43.7411612E-41.66904541.5E-43.2412758E-49.602912E-40.00118007991.22887722.2E-40.00393911450.0116295590.0119161871.02464642.9E-40.038700180.107762020.108083221.00298073.6E-4
7.37.082985E-52.07311E-43.572799E-41.72340061.5E-43.0352117E-48.881761E-40.00110798061.24747862.2E-40.00368910960.0107605530.0110474331.02666032.9E-40.036284650.100284030.100607931.00322993.6E-4
7.45.146215E-51.4274761E-42.8272762E-41.98061191.4E-42.2053342E-46.1163295E-48.215045E-41.34313322.1E-40.00268168840.00742139430.00768939031.03611142.7E-40.026495570.070850490.071157111.00432773.3E-4
7.54.0285166E-51.0942422E-42.4940888E-42.27928421.4E-41.7263928E-44.6887697E-46.687832E-41.42635122.0E-40.0020998570.00569370440.0059522241.04540442.6E-40.0208012540.0550130830.055306031.00532513.1E-4
7.63.1168736E-58.439599E-52.2438417E-42.65870641.4E-41.3357346E-43.616471E-45.6157477E-41.55282532.0E-40.00162504370.0043941910.00465304821.0589092.6E-40.0161321160.0428124780.0431092051.00693083.1E-4
7.72.2100989E-56.239345E-51.9238534E-43.0834221.3E-49.4715084E-52.6737314E-44.573223E-41.71042741.9E-40.0011525460.00325041520.00349960241.07666332.5E-40.0114658670.0319021680.03219261.00910383.0E-4
7.81.7484861E-55.180078E-51.8179405E-43.50948451.3E-47.493296E-52.2198448E-44.119423E-41.85572581.9E-49.1192697E-40.00269931420.00294863941.09236612.5E-40.0090819380.0266417880.0269337951.01096053.0E-4
7.91.3967285E-53.8226146E-51.6822117E-44.40068341.3E-45.985842E-51.6381606E-43.5378494E-42.15964751.9E-47.2853256E-40.00199263730.0022321591.12020342.4E-40.00726148770.0199110020.0201952291.01427482.9E-4
8.01.1887396E-53.106798E-51.6106394E-45.18424221.3E-45.094499E-51.331417E-43.231164E-42.4268611.9E-46.200787E-40.00161979580.0018594071.14792682.4E-40.0061835130.0162805670.0165658441.01752272.9E-4
8.15.100864E-68.973766E-68.973766E-61.00.02.1860664E-53.845843E-54.8458045E-51.26001111.0E-52.6612106E-44.6813092E-44.7812623E-41.02135161.0E-50.0026580260.0049180920.00493799341.00404662.0E-5
8.22.3004484E-62.7863473E-62.7863473E-61.00.09.859027E-61.19414335E-51.19414335E-51.00.01.2002704E-41.4537729E-41.4537729E-41.00.00.00119962230.00159737820.00159737821.00.0
8.31.0424446E-75.814421E-85.814421E-81.00.04.4676187E-72.4918944E-72.4918944E-71.00.05.439312E-63.0338776E-63.0338776E-61.00.05.4391792E-53.189592E-53.189592E-51.00.0

Ludlow

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2407607E-52.3657254E-56.3656305E-52.69077324.0E-59.602906E-51.0138454E-42.3137136E-42.2821171.3E-40.00116852670.0012337020.00146341811.18620072.3E-40.0116240130.0122730420.0126385011.02977743.7E-4
6.12.2407607E-52.3657254E-56.3656305E-52.69077324.0E-59.602906E-51.0138454E-42.3137136E-42.2821171.3E-40.00116852670.0012337020.00146341811.18620072.3E-40.0116240130.0122730420.0126385011.02977743.7E-4
6.21.0781252E-51.1365663E-52.136555E-51.8798331.0E-54.620455E-54.8709102E-58.870715E-51.82116174.0E-55.623952E-45.9287593E-46.828226E-41.15171249.0E-50.005609740.00591336140.00603265181.02017311.2E-4
6.31.0781252E-51.1365663E-52.136555E-51.8798331.0E-54.620455E-54.8709102E-58.870715E-51.82116174.0E-55.623952E-45.9287593E-46.828226E-41.15171249.0E-50.005609740.00591336140.00603265181.02017311.2E-4
6.47.814439E-68.237729E-61.8237646E-52.21391681.0E-53.3490025E-53.530408E-55.5303375E-51.56648672.0E-54.0766477E-44.2974384E-44.8971805E-41.13955816.0E-50.00406917740.00428927460.00436893151.01857118.0E-5
6.56.4986366E-66.85092E-61.685085E-52.45964811.0E-52.7851002E-52.9360759E-54.9360173E-51.68116132.0E-53.390332E-43.5740953E-43.9739523E-41.11187654.0E-50.0033851640.00356844320.00361826481.01396175.0E-5
6.65.582177E-65.8860055E-61.5885948E-52.6989351.0E-52.3923398E-52.5225498E-53.5225246E-51.39641431.0E-52.9122844E-43.0707786E-43.3706866E-41.09766513.0E-50.00290847060.0030666090.0030965171.00975283.0E-5
6.74.6858763E-64.940427E-61.4940378E-53.02410651.0E-52.0082172E-52.1173091E-53.117288E-51.47228771.0E-52.4447302E-42.5775246E-42.877447E-41.11636083.0E-50.00244204230.00257459120.00260451411.01162233.0E-5
6.83.5584908E-63.7520183E-61.3751981E-53.66522221.0E-51.5250586E-51.6079981E-52.607982E-51.62188121.0E-51.8566006E-41.957566E-42.2575073E-41.15322153.0E-50.00185505020.00195588260.0019858241.01530843.0E-5
6.92.532834E-62.6710034E-62.6710034E-61.00.01.0854958E-51.1447109E-51.1447109E-51.00.01.3215111E-41.3935992E-41.5935714E-41.14349332.0E-50.00132072540.00139275290.0014127251.014342.0E-5
7.01.7083285E-61.8019439E-61.8019439E-61.00.07.3213873E-67.722595E-67.722595E-61.00.08.913424E-59.40187E-51.1401682E-41.21270362.0E-58.9098496E-49.3980576E-49.5978694E-41.0212612.0E-5
7.11.0905424E-61.1497619E-61.1497619E-61.00.04.6737446E-64.9275427E-64.9275427E-61.00.05.6901354E-55.999128E-55.999128E-51.00.05.6886784E-45.997606E-45.997606E-41.00.0
7.26.06668E-76.387277E-76.387277E-71.00.02.600003E-62.7374022E-62.7374022E-61.00.03.1654577E-53.3327433E-53.3327433E-51.00.03.1650066E-43.3323118E-43.3323118E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Cholame) rev

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2302514E-42.5205986E-43.220422E-41.27764187.0E-55.27144E-40.00107981090.00119968141.11101061.2E-40.00639910860.0130679580.013314691.01888072.5E-40.062179490.124384120.1246905851.00246383.5E-4
6.11.2302514E-42.5205986E-43.220422E-41.27764187.0E-55.27144E-40.00107981090.00119968141.11101061.2E-40.00639910860.0130679580.013314691.01888072.5E-40.062179490.124384120.1246905851.00246383.5E-4
6.21.2203569E-42.502277E-43.2021018E-41.27967527.0E-55.2290526E-40.00107196530.00119183671.11182391.2E-40.0063478040.0129735780.0132203341.019022.5E-40.0616951360.1235713140.123878061.00248243.5E-4
6.31.2142645E-42.4908737E-43.1906995E-41.28095597.0E-55.202953E-40.00106708230.00118695421.11233621.2E-40.0063162120.0129148340.0131616041.01910762.5E-40.061396770.123065320.123372251.0024943.5E-4
6.41.1865206E-42.4414246E-43.1412535E-41.28664787.0E-55.0840975E-40.00104590680.00116578131.11461291.2E-40.0061723350.0126600440.0129068791.01949722.5E-40.0600368680.120859040.121166741.0025463.5E-4
6.51.17443946E-42.4207575E-43.120588E-41.28909567.0E-55.032341E-40.00103705660.00115693211.11559211.2E-40.0061096770.0125535360.0128003971.01966482.5E-40.0594440770.119930080.12023811.00256843.5E-4
6.61.13579066E-42.3516564E-43.0514918E-41.29759257.0E-54.866766E-40.0010074650.00112734411.11899091.2E-40.00590920170.0121973450.0124442951.02024632.5E-40.0575451850.11684920.117149471.00256973.4E-4
6.71.1271412E-42.336088E-43.0359245E-41.29957637.0E-54.829711E-40.0010007980.00112067781.11978441.2E-40.0058643310.0121170790.012364051.0203822.5E-40.0571196970.116152750.116453261.00258723.4E-4
6.81.1217975E-42.3249313E-43.0247684E-41.30101427.0E-54.8068175E-49.960202E-40.00111590061.12035951.2E-40.0058366080.0120595550.012306541.02048042.5E-40.0568567250.115650610.115951291.00259983.4E-4
6.91.1146753E-42.3098059E-43.0096443E-41.30298587.0E-54.7763053E-49.895428E-40.0011094241.12114811.2E-40.00579965770.0119815640.0122186881.01979082.4E-40.0565061270.114970270.115262321.00254033.3E-4
7.01.0965793E-42.2721413E-42.9719822E-41.30800947.0E-54.698779E-49.734129E-40.00109329611.12315761.2E-40.0057057680.0117873240.0120244951.02012092.4E-40.0556147360.113270110.113562731.00258343.3E-4
7.19.927982E-52.0540332E-42.7538894E-41.34072297.0E-54.2541555E-48.8000396E-49.998984E-41.1362431.2E-40.00516714060.0106617080.0108892561.02134252.3E-40.050486340.103365730.103652651.00277583.2E-4
7.29.696786E-52.0044584E-42.704318E-41.34915157.0E-54.1551032E-48.587718E-49.786687E-41.13961451.2E-40.005047110.0104057030.010633311.02187322.3E-40.049340090.101102330.101389981.00284523.2E-4
7.39.4727984E-51.9473763E-42.64724E-41.3593887.0E-54.0591392E-48.343239E-49.5422374E-41.14370911.2E-40.00493080870.0101108510.0103385251.02251782.3E-40.0482282680.098474120.098762611.00292963.2E-4
7.49.220358E-51.8844259E-42.5842938E-41.3713967.0E-53.9509835E-48.07362E-49.2726515E-41.14851221.2E-40.0047997170.0097855780.0100133271.0232742.3E-40.0469736530.095558310.0958477261.00302883.2E-4
7.57.71631E-51.5179155E-42.1178245E-41.3952196.0E-53.306571E-46.5037323E-47.5030816E-41.15365791.0E-40.00401832070.0078896170.0080781181.02389231.9E-40.039464330.0782891960.0785288441.0030612.6E-4
7.67.5634416E-51.4838556E-42.0837666E-41.4042926.0E-53.241072E-46.357833E-47.3571975E-41.15718631.0E-40.00393886720.0077132560.0078918671.02315641.8E-40.0386977940.0766548740.0768857151.00301132.5E-4
7.76.3783E-51.2359623E-41.5359253E-41.24269583.0E-52.7332708E-45.2959064E-45.6956947E-41.075494.0E-50.00332267980.00642873070.0065479591.01854621.2E-40.0327343640.064544880.064713261.00260881.8E-4
7.85.863422E-51.14169685E-41.4416626E-41.26273683.0E-52.512653E-44.892069E-45.291874E-41.0817254.0E-50.0030548640.00593984970.00604919621.0184091.1E-40.0301320940.059661620.059821481.00267931.7E-4
7.94.595283E-58.426815E-59.426731E-51.11865881.0E-51.9692584E-43.6109926E-43.8109202E-41.05536642.0E-50.00239493580.00438752770.00445722041.01588437.0E-50.0236928910.0443631370.0444587021.00215411.0E-4
8.03.2950178E-55.077396E-56.0773455E-51.19694141.0E-51.412074E-42.1758456E-42.2758238E-41.04594911.0E-50.00171784440.00264587530.0026757961.01130843.0E-50.0170462560.0271810720.0272199851.00143164.0E-5
8.11.9177472E-51.9183733E-51.9183733E-51.00.08.218658E-58.221342E-58.221342E-51.00.00.00100016220.00100048930.00100048931.00.00.0099567280.0107578870.0107677791.00091961.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

San Andreas (Carrizo) rev

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.232246E-41.32880788.0E-55.002454E-40.00104205970.00117192431.1246231.3E-40.0060734930.0126137570.012850731.01878682.4E-40.05910160.1206402260.1209481.00255123.5E-4
6.11.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.232246E-41.32880788.0E-55.002454E-40.00104205970.00117192431.1246231.3E-40.0060734930.0126137570.012850731.01878682.4E-40.05910160.1206402260.1209481.00255123.5E-4
6.21.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.232246E-41.32880788.0E-55.002454E-40.00104205970.00117192431.1246231.3E-40.0060734930.0126137570.012850731.01878682.4E-40.05910160.1206402260.1209481.00255123.5E-4
6.31.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.232246E-41.32880788.0E-55.002454E-40.00104205970.00117192431.1246231.3E-40.0060734930.0126137570.012850731.01878682.4E-40.05910160.1206402260.1209481.00255123.5E-4
6.41.1674632E-42.4324407E-43.232246E-41.32880788.0E-55.002454E-40.00104205970.00117192431.1246231.3E-40.0060734930.0126137570.012850731.01878682.4E-40.05910160.1206402260.1209481.00255123.5E-4
6.51.13136164E-42.3644442E-43.164255E-41.33826598.0E-54.847792E-40.00101294120.00114280951.12820911.3E-40.00588622550.0122632710.0125003281.01933062.4E-40.0573273340.117610080.1179100951.0025513.4E-4
6.61.13136164E-42.3644442E-43.164255E-41.33826598.0E-54.847792E-40.00101294120.00114280951.12820911.3E-40.00588622550.0122632710.0125003281.01933062.4E-40.0573273340.117610080.1179100951.0025513.4E-4
6.71.1149675E-42.3335687E-43.133382E-41.34274268.0E-54.777557E-49.997191E-40.00112958921.12990651.3E-40.00580117340.0121040880.0123411841.0195882.4E-40.056520510.11622910.1165295841.00258533.4E-4
6.81.1103589E-42.3237852E-43.1235992E-41.3441868.0E-54.7578133E-49.955293E-40.00112539981.13045381.3E-40.0057772630.0120536430.0122907511.0196712.4E-40.0562935840.115788940.116089571.00259643.4E-4
6.91.1053259E-42.3130233E-43.1128383E-41.34578768.0E-54.7362508E-49.909206E-40.00112079181.13106111.3E-40.00575114970.0119981520.0122352731.01976312.4E-40.056045690.115304450.115605241.00260873.4E-4
7.01.1005377E-42.3031076E-43.1029235E-41.34727688.0E-54.7157376E-49.866742E-40.0011165461.13162581.3E-40.00572630620.0119470210.0121841531.01984872.4E-40.0558097960.114856580.115157531.00262023.4E-4
7.11.0308142E-42.1540876E-42.9539154E-41.37130698.0E-54.417027E-49.228548E-40.00105273491.14073721.3E-40.00536447760.0111781880.0114155061.02123032.4E-40.0523681380.108090420.108393681.00280553.4E-4
7.21.0027479E-42.094876E-42.8947083E-41.38180428.0E-54.296783E-48.9749607E-40.00102737941.14471751.3E-40.00521879220.0108725660.0111099571.02183392.4E-40.0509792120.105390860.105695031.0028863.4E-4
7.39.816942E-52.0423878E-42.8422245E-41.39161848.0E-54.2065824E-48.7501644E-40.00100490261.14843871.3E-40.0051094930.0106015720.0108390271.02239812.4E-40.0499359850.102975460.103280451.00296183.4E-4
7.49.5634205E-51.9793298E-42.7791716E-41.40409728.0E-54.0979648E-48.4800937E-49.778992E-41.15317021.3E-40.00497786370.0102759010.0105134351.02311562.4E-40.0486782530.1000678840.1003738641.00305773.4E-4
7.58.052417E-51.6113915E-42.2112949E-41.3722896.0E-53.4505792E-46.9041376E-47.903447E-41.14474071.0E-40.00419299030.0083734710.008561881.02250081.9E-40.041147530.0828152450.083062891.00299022.7E-4
7.67.897024E-51.5767086E-42.1766139E-41.38047966.0E-53.384E-46.755574E-47.754899E-41.14792591.0E-40.00411223850.008193970.0083724951.02178741.8E-40.0403696970.081158660.081388371.00283042.5E-4
7.76.707427E-51.3277122E-41.6276725E-41.22592263.0E-52.8742946E-45.688955E-46.0887274E-41.07027174.0E-50.0034938390.00690433850.007023511.01726041.2E-40.0343941640.069053390.069220961.00242661.8E-4
7.86.147705E-51.2198445E-41.5198078E-41.2459033.0E-52.6344648E-45.226858E-45.626649E-41.07648784.0E-50.00320274360.0063451560.00645445851.01722611.1E-40.0315697640.06351720.06367641.00250651.7E-4
7.94.7636717E-58.8802946E-59.880206E-51.11259891.0E-52.0414138E-43.8052857E-44.0052095E-41.05253852.0E-50.00248258840.0046231010.00469277751.01507147.0E-50.0245503650.0466293660.0467247031.00204461.0E-4
8.03.3554235E-55.2138024E-56.213751E-51.19178861.0E-51.4379594E-42.2342955E-42.3342732E-41.04474691.0E-50.00174930970.0027168630.00274678161.01101223.0E-50.0173560340.0278819050.027920791.00139464.0E-5
8.11.9175432E-51.9183564E-51.9183564E-51.00.08.217783E-58.221269E-58.221269E-51.00.00.00100005580.00100048050.00100048051.00.00.0099556730.0107577710.0107676641.00091961.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.652694E-53.4401106E-51.6439664E-44.7788181.3E-41.5653463E-41.4742499E-43.173999E-42.15295891.7E-40.00190414310.00179342330.00207292131.1558462.8E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0188698171.0185423.5E-4
6.13.652694E-53.4401106E-51.6439664E-44.7788181.3E-41.5653463E-41.4742499E-43.173999E-42.15295891.7E-40.00190414310.00179342330.00207292131.1558462.8E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0188698171.0185423.5E-4
6.23.652694E-53.4401106E-51.6439664E-44.7788181.3E-41.5653463E-41.4742499E-43.173999E-42.15295891.7E-40.00190414310.00179342330.00207292131.1558462.8E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0188698171.0185423.5E-4
6.33.652694E-53.4401106E-51.6439664E-44.7788181.3E-41.5653463E-41.4742499E-43.173999E-42.15295891.7E-40.00190414310.00179342330.00207292131.1558462.8E-40.0188790990.0185263030.0188698171.0185423.5E-4
6.43.646941E-53.432268E-51.6431822E-44.7874531.3E-41.5628811E-41.4708891E-43.170639E-42.15559341.7E-40.00190114680.00178933890.00206883791.15620242.8E-40.0188496450.0184861810.0188297131.0185833.5E-4
6.53.646941E-53.432268E-51.6431822E-44.7874531.3E-41.5628811E-41.4708891E-43.170639E-42.15559341.7E-40.00190114680.00178933890.00206883791.15620242.8E-40.0188496450.0184861810.0188297131.0185833.5E-4
6.63.6442503E-53.4286066E-51.642816E-44.79149771.3E-41.561728E-41.4693203E-43.1690704E-42.15682771.7E-40.00189974550.0017874320.00206693151.15636932.8E-40.0188358690.018467450.0188109871.01860233.5E-4
6.73.6432113E-53.427164E-51.6426719E-44.79309371.3E-41.5612828E-41.4687021E-43.1684525E-42.15731451.7E-40.00189920440.00178668070.00206618031.15643512.8E-40.0188305490.0184600740.0188036131.01860993.5E-4
6.83.6409598E-53.4240697E-51.6423625E-44.79652171.3E-41.560318E-41.4673761E-43.1671266E-42.15836051.7E-40.00189803180.00178506890.00206456921.15657662.8E-40.0188190230.0184442290.0187877731.01862613.5E-4
6.93.638078E-53.4201123E-51.6419668E-44.8009151.3E-41.5590832E-41.4656801E-43.165431E-42.1597011.7E-40.00189653110.00178300750.00206250841.15675812.8E-40.0188042690.0184239630.0187675151.0186473.5E-4
7.03.6294874E-53.408314E-51.6407871E-44.81407261.3E-41.5554018E-41.4606243E-43.160376E-42.16371581.7E-40.00189205690.00177686230.00205636471.15730122.8E-40.0187602840.0183635450.0187071171.01870953.5E-4
7.13.6260717E-53.403942E-51.64035E-44.8189711.3E-41.5539382E-41.4587509E-43.158503E-42.16521051.7E-40.0018902780.00177458510.00205408831.15750342.8E-40.0187427960.0183411390.0186847191.01873283.5E-4
7.23.6210204E-53.397364E-51.6396922E-44.8263661.3E-41.5517735E-41.455932E-43.1556847E-42.16746691.7E-40.0018876470.00177115880.00205066291.15780852.8E-40.018716930.0183074080.0186510011.0187683.5E-4
7.33.6119454E-53.386193E-51.6385752E-44.83898971.3E-41.5478847E-41.4511449E-43.1508983E-42.17131881.7E-40.00188292060.00176533980.00204484561.15832972.8E-40.0186704620.018249960.0185935721.01882823.5E-4
7.43.607848E-53.380943E-51.6380503E-44.8449511.3E-41.5461289E-41.4488952E-43.1486488E-42.1731381.7E-40.00188078660.00176260520.00204211171.15857582.8E-40.0186494810.0182229560.0185665771.01885653.5E-4
7.53.5856774E-53.3619202E-51.6361484E-44.8667081.3E-41.5366284E-41.4407437E-43.1404986E-42.17977621.7E-40.00186923960.00175269670.0020322061.15947382.8E-40.0185359440.0181240570.0184677131.01896133.5E-4
7.63.286655E-53.2142278E-51.621381E-45.04438731.3E-41.4084904E-41.3774536E-43.0772193E-42.23399141.7E-40.0017134880.00167576170.00195529241.16680822.8E-40.0170033610.0173438040.0176877321.01983013.5E-4
7.72.8882527E-52.9235205E-51.5923141E-45.44656371.3E-41.237764E-41.2528773E-42.9526642E-42.35670691.7E-40.00150593570.00152431180.0018038851.18340952.8E-40.0149577130.0158303380.0161747971.02175943.5E-4
7.82.4950225E-52.6526219E-51.4652303E-45.5237061.2E-41.0692515E-41.1367885E-42.7366067E-42.40731381.6E-40.00130103620.00138316210.00165278871.19493482.7E-40.0129344550.014411760.014746861.02325193.4E-4
7.91.9881603E-52.150649E-51.4150392E-46.5795911.2E-48.520408E-59.216742E-52.5215268E-42.73581121.6E-40.0010368660.00112156150.00139125871.24046582.7E-40.0103204150.0117769980.0121129941.02852993.4E-4
8.01.563292E-51.5936288E-58.593517E-55.3924217.0E-56.6996516E-56.829659E-51.6828976E-42.4641021.0E-48.153773E-48.3119445E-40.00101104481.21637581.8E-40.008123920.0088103310.0090383051.02587572.3E-4
8.11.0045313E-58.300794E-68.300794E-61.00.04.305063E-53.557435E-56.557328E-51.84327423.0E-55.2401534E-44.3303217E-44.7301484E-41.09233194.0E-50.00522781440.00465876660.00469858061.0085464.0E-5
8.24.1554413E-61.5648296E-61.5648296E-61.00.01.7808914E-56.7063957E-66.7063957E-61.00.02.1680194E-48.164734E-58.164734E-51.00.00.00216590549.479703E-49.479703E-41.00.0
8.31.2758221E-63.612677E-73.612677E-71.00.05.4677976E-61.5482892E-61.5482892E-61.00.06.65684E-51.8850264E-51.8850264E-51.00.06.6548464E-42.2739546E-42.2739546E-41.00.0

Cady

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9892565E-52.1858728E-51.0185698E-44.65978538.0E-58.525106E-59.3677416E-51.9366805E-42.0673931.0E-40.00103743740.00114001670.00133978871.1752362.0E-40.0103260750.0113507010.0116967281.03048523.5E-4
6.11.9892565E-52.1858728E-51.0185698E-44.65978538.0E-58.525106E-59.3677416E-51.9366805E-42.0673931.0E-40.00103743740.00114001670.00133978871.1752362.0E-40.0103260750.0113507010.0116967281.03048523.5E-4
6.21.9892565E-52.1858728E-51.0185698E-44.65978538.0E-58.525106E-59.3677416E-51.9366805E-42.0673931.0E-40.00103743740.00114001670.00133978871.1752362.0E-40.0103260750.0113507010.0116967281.03048523.5E-4
6.31.1117327E-51.2176583E-56.2175975E-55.1061925.0E-54.764482E-55.2184492E-51.1218136E-42.14970686.0E-55.7992124E-46.351925E-47.251353E-41.14159939.0E-50.00578410220.00633687530.0065356081.03136132.0E-4
6.41.1117327E-51.2176583E-56.2175975E-55.1061925.0E-54.764482E-55.2184492E-51.1218136E-42.14970686.0E-55.7992124E-46.351925E-47.251353E-41.14159939.0E-50.00578410220.00633687530.0065356081.03136132.0E-4
6.56.103093E-66.672021E-61.6671955E-52.49878621.0E-52.615585E-52.8594131E-54.859356E-51.69942432.0E-53.1840094E-43.480905E-43.880766E-41.11487274.0E-50.00317945120.00347668650.00358630411.03152931.1E-4
6.65.817237E-66.3656585E-61.6365595E-52.57091931.0E-52.4930776E-52.728118E-54.728063E-51.73308612.0E-53.034899E-43.3211018E-43.720969E-41.1204024.0E-50.00303075770.00331736050.00342699561.03304891.1E-4
6.74.8846314E-65.3405684E-61.5340514E-52.87244991.0E-52.0933967E-52.2888014E-54.2887557E-51.87379982.0E-52.5484123E-42.7863772E-43.1862658E-41.14351564.0E-50.00254549180.00278403910.00287378861.03223729.0E-5
6.81.7788773E-61.9399079E-61.9399079E-61.00.07.6237375E-68.313874E-61.831379E-52.20279881.0E-59.281505E-51.01218284E-41.11217276E-41.09878641.0E-59.2776294E-40.00101187650.00104184611.02961793.0E-5
6.97.5455404E-78.297092E-78.297092E-71.00.03.233799E-63.5558937E-61.35558585E-53.81222251.0E-53.937079E-54.3292483E-55.329205E-51.23097691.0E-53.9363815E-44.3287344E-44.428691E-41.02309141.0E-5
7.06.8578805E-77.541816E-77.541816E-71.00.02.9390883E-63.2322048E-61.3232172E-54.09385351.0E-53.578281E-53.9351715E-54.9351318E-51.25410851.0E-53.577705E-43.9347992E-44.0347598E-41.02540421.0E-5

Scodie Lineament

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2919327E-63.0133303E-61.3301295E-444.1415021.3E-41.4108206E-51.2914227E-51.7291216E-413.38927651.6E-41.7175387E-41.5722254E-44.0718325E-42.58985282.5E-40.00171621180.00157142480.00190090621.20967053.3E-4
6.11.8663811E-61.5490382E-62.1549007E-513.9112182.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-64.6638455E-57.0252174.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.3081988E-41.61857875.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-48.8792946E-41.09893068.0E-5
6.21.8663811E-61.5490382E-62.1549007E-513.9112182.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-64.6638455E-57.0252174.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.3081988E-41.61857875.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-48.8792946E-41.09893068.0E-5
6.31.8663811E-61.5490382E-62.1549007E-513.9112182.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-64.6638455E-57.0252174.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.3081988E-41.61857875.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-48.8792946E-41.09893068.0E-5
6.41.8663811E-61.5490382E-62.1549007E-513.9112182.0E-57.998751E-66.6387206E-64.6638455E-57.0252174.0E-59.738045E-58.082393E-51.3081988E-41.61857875.0E-59.7337784E-48.079941E-48.8792946E-41.09893068.0E-5
6.51.8106311E-61.4909722E-62.1490941E-514.4140472.0E-57.759824E-66.389868E-62.638974E-54.12993532.0E-59.447177E-57.779436E-51.07792024E-41.38560213.0E-59.4431615E-47.7771995E-48.3767326E-41.07708866.0E-5
6.61.2414679E-68.9974395E-72.0899726E-523.2285252.0E-55.320566E-63.85604E-62.3855962E-56.1866482.0E-56.477596E-54.6946367E-57.694496E-51.63899713.0E-56.475708E-44.6937316E-45.193497E-41.1064755.0E-5
6.71.1062215E-67.594193E-72.0759404E-527.3358922.0E-54.7409408E-63.2546504E-62.3254586E-57.1450332.0E-55.7719422E-53.962472E-56.962353E-51.75707323.0E-55.770443E-43.9618355E-44.4616373E-41.12615425.0E-5
6.81.0006736E-66.5002786E-72.0650015E-531.767892.0E-54.288594E-62.7858312E-62.2785776E-58.1791662.0E-55.221238E-53.391703E-56.391601E-51.88448143.0E-55.220012E-43.3912458E-43.8910762E-41.14738855.0E-5
6.99.167364E-75.6315065E-72.0563139E-536.5144542.0E-53.9288643E-62.413501E-62.2413453E-59.2866972.0E-54.7832873E-52.9384037E-55.9383154E-52.02093243.0E-54.782258E-42.9380718E-43.437925E-41.17012975.0E-5
7.07.6987664E-74.113265E-71.0411322E-525.3115771.0E-53.2994672E-61.7628269E-61.176281E-56.67269661.0E-54.0170275E-52.1462245E-54.1461815E-51.9318492.0E-54.0163012E-42.1460558E-42.4459916E-41.13976133.0E-5
7.17.1038727E-73.5210306E-71.03521E-529.4007661.0E-53.0445133E-61.5090123E-61.1508997E-57.6268411.0E-53.706632E-51.8372106E-52.8371922E-51.54429341.0E-53.7060137E-41.8370937E-42.037057E-41.10884762.0E-5
7.22.0799602E-73.1178534E-83.1178534E-81.00.08.914113E-71.3362228E-71.3362228E-71.00.01.0852878E-51.6268501E-61.6268501E-61.00.01.08523476E-41.626839E-51.626839E-51.00.0
7.31.5048182E-71.5939106E-81.5939106E-81.00.06.449219E-76.8310456E-86.8310456E-81.00.07.851896E-68.316795E-78.316795E-71.00.07.851618E-58.316767E-68.316767E-61.00.0
7.45.9334678E-84.8638475E-94.8638475E-91.00.02.5429145E-72.084506E-82.084506E-81.00.03.095994E-62.5378858E-72.5378858E-71.00.03.095951E-52.5378843E-62.5378843E-61.00.0

White Wolf (Extension)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.222555E-66.066615E-61.5606571E-425.7253361.5E-43.5239045E-52.5999556E-52.359941E-49.0768512.1E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-45.864198E-41.85279642.7E-40.00428123870.00316119660.00349015351.10406093.3E-4
6.18.222555E-66.066615E-61.5606571E-425.7253361.5E-43.5239045E-52.5999556E-52.359941E-49.0768512.1E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-45.864198E-41.85279642.7E-40.00428123870.00316119660.00349015351.10406093.3E-4
6.28.222555E-66.066615E-61.5606571E-425.7253361.5E-43.5239045E-52.5999556E-52.359941E-49.0768512.1E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-45.864198E-41.85279642.7E-40.00428123870.00316119660.00349015351.10406093.3E-4
6.38.222555E-66.066615E-61.5606571E-425.7253361.5E-43.5239045E-52.5999556E-52.359941E-49.0768512.1E-44.289509E-43.1650523E-45.864198E-41.85279642.7E-40.00428123870.00316119660.00349015351.10406093.3E-4
6.45.821773E-63.5571256E-66.3556916E-517.867496.0E-52.4950215E-51.5244741E-51.0524337E-46.9035859.0E-53.0372653E-41.8559002E-43.0556775E-41.64646651.2E-40.00303311760.00185445860.00200418031.08073621.5E-4
6.55.766023E-63.4990599E-66.349885E-518.1474046.0E-52.4711293E-51.49958905E-58.499484E-55.6678767.0E-53.0081844E-41.8256076E-42.8254252E-41.54766291.0E-40.00300411580.00182421610.0019539791.07113351.3E-4
6.64.643576E-62.3325733E-64.233248E-518.1484034.0E-51.9900888E-59.9967065E-64.9996306E-55.0012784.0E-52.4226638E-41.2170354E-41.8169623E-41.49294136.0E-50.00242002420.00121641120.0012963141.06568728.0E-5
6.73.9529173E-61.6482975E-63.1648247E-519.2005673.0E-51.6940963E-57.064114E-63.7063903E-55.2467873.0E-52.0623671E-48.600239E-51.2599894E-41.46506334.0E-50.0020604548.597095E-49.1965793E-41.0697316.0E-5
6.83.4377522E-61.2244764E-62.1224452E-517.3334922.0E-51.473314E-55.247746E-62.524764E-54.811142.0E-51.7936122E-46.388952E-59.3887604E-51.46953063.0E-50.00179216526.3872064E-46.886887E-41.07823155.0E-5
6.93.1367306E-61.0033316E-62.1003312E-520.933572.0E-51.3443062E-54.299986E-62.42999E-55.65115832.0E-51.63657E-45.2351144E-58.234957E-51.57302333.0E-50.00163536525.233958E-45.733696E-41.095485.0E-5
7.02.8298145E-67.4282326E-71.0742816E-514.4621421.0E-51.2127721E-53.1835248E-61.3183493E-54.14116241.0E-51.47645E-43.8758775E-55.8758E-51.51599222.0E-50.00147546933.8752513E-44.175135E-41.07738443.0E-5
7.12.4091064E-65.4223835E-71.0542233E-519.4420641.0E-51.03247E-52.3238767E-61.2323853E-55.3031441.0E-51.2569598E-42.8292874E-53.829259E-51.35343591.0E-50.0012562492.8289677E-43.028911E-41.07067722.0E-5
7.21.3875518E-61.0740268E-71.0740268E-71.00.05.9466374E-64.6029712E-74.6029712E-71.00.07.23979E-55.604104E-65.604104E-61.00.07.2374323E-45.6039742E-55.6039742E-51.00.0
7.37.056077E-75.0002956E-85.0002956E-81.00.03.0240296E-62.1429837E-72.1429837E-71.00.03.681694E-52.60908E-62.60908E-61.00.03.681084E-42.609054E-52.609054E-51.00.0
7.45.9334678E-84.8638475E-94.8638475E-91.00.02.5429145E-72.084506E-82.084506E-81.00.03.095994E-62.5378858E-72.5378858E-71.00.03.095951E-52.5378843E-62.5378843E-61.00.0

Calico-Hidalgo

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0906612E-55.0704355E-58.0702834E-51.59163513.0E-51.7530227E-42.1728857E-42.8727335E-41.32208237.0E-50.00213221580.0026426780.00281222891.06415871.7E-40.021118730.0261528140.0264547081.01154343.1E-4
6.14.0906612E-55.0704355E-58.0702834E-51.59163513.0E-51.7530227E-42.1728857E-42.8727335E-41.32208237.0E-50.00213221580.0026426780.00281222891.06415871.7E-40.021118730.0261528140.0264547081.01154343.1E-4
6.24.0906612E-55.0704355E-58.0702834E-51.59163513.0E-51.7530227E-42.1728857E-42.8727335E-41.32208237.0E-50.00213221580.0026426780.00281222891.06415871.7E-40.021118730.0261528140.0264547081.01154343.1E-4
6.32.4242801E-53.0090967E-56.0090064E-51.99694693.0E-51.0389358E-41.289551E-41.8894736E-41.46521826.0E-50.00126417040.00156893120.00169872731.0827291.3E-40.012570030.0155822290.01579881.01389862.2E-4
6.42.4242801E-53.0090967E-56.0090064E-51.99694693.0E-51.0389358E-41.289551E-41.8894736E-41.46521826.0E-50.00126417040.00156893120.00169872731.0827291.3E-40.012570030.0155822290.01579881.01389862.2E-4
6.52.0286952E-52.5316054E-55.5315297E-52.18498873.0E-58.694118E-51.0849296E-41.4848862E-41.36864754.0E-50.00105799490.00132011860.00142997331.08321581.1E-40.0105297190.0131247010.0133122071.01428651.9E-4
6.62.0269223E-52.5297004E-55.5296245E-52.18588113.0E-58.6865206E-51.08411325E-41.4840698E-41.36892514.0E-50.00105707070.00131912580.00142898061.08327851.1E-40.0105205650.013114890.0133023991.01429741.9E-4
6.71.799852E-52.2540933E-55.2540257E-52.3308823.0E-57.713423E-59.660051E-51.3659665E-41.41403654.0E-59.3870464E-40.00117549110.00127537361.08497081.0E-40.0093474930.0116943460.011872241.0152121.8E-4
6.81.7458793E-52.184258E-55.1841926E-52.3734343.0E-57.4821255E-59.360778E-51.3360403E-41.4272754.0E-59.10568E-40.00113909330.00123897941.08768921.0E-40.0090684590.0113341310.011512091.01570131.8E-4
6.91.542884E-51.9026285E-53.9025905E-52.05115722.0E-56.612192E-58.153875E-51.11536305E-41.36789323.0E-58.04737E-49.922953E-40.0010822061.09060889.0E-50.0080182910.0098800430.01003846251.01603421.6E-4
7.01.468253E-51.803109E-53.8030732E-52.10917522.0E-56.292361E-57.727389E-51.07271575E-41.38819943.0E-57.658257E-49.4041653E-40.0010303321.09561239.0E-50.00763191840.0093657360.0095242371.01692351.6E-4
7.11.3139281E-51.620139E-52.6201227E-51.6172211.0E-55.6309986E-56.943275E-57.943205E-51.14401421.0E-56.853584E-48.4502844E-49.049777E-41.07094356.0E-50.00683248560.0084194490.0085384391.01413271.2E-4
7.21.1127404E-51.3867038E-52.38669E-51.72112451.0E-54.7688E-55.9428872E-56.942828E-51.16825841.0E-55.8044674E-47.233172E-47.8327383E-41.08289116.0E-50.00578932980.0072107370.0073298721.01652181.2E-4
7.39.808154E-61.2176586E-52.2176464E-51.82123831.0E-54.2034266E-55.2184383E-56.218386E-51.19161821.0E-55.11647E-46.351704E-46.851386E-41.07866915.0E-50.00510470570.0063346250.00643399171.01568631.0E-4
7.47.942452E-69.792348E-61.979225E-52.02119571.0E-53.4038632E-54.1966585E-55.1966163E-51.23827481.0E-54.1434157E-45.108328E-45.608073E-41.09782935.0E-50.00413569850.0050975270.00519701751.01951731.0E-4
7.54.7121216E-65.7729717E-61.5772914E-52.73220011.0E-52.019465E-52.4741115E-53.4740868E-51.40417551.0E-52.4584212E-43.011891E-43.3118005E-41.09957523.0E-50.00245570320.00300856140.0030683811.0198836.0E-5
7.62.21172E-72.6040198E-72.6040198E-71.00.09.478797E-71.1160082E-61.1160082E-61.00.01.1540374E-51.3587343E-51.3587343E-51.00.01.1539775E-41.3586794E-41.3586794E-41.00.0

San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.0667746E-53.5271103E-51.5526687E-44.40209871.2E-41.742787E-41.5115313E-43.1112894E-42.05836921.6E-40.00211977820.00183873720.0020982591.14114142.6E-40.0209967140.0189864950.019290611.01601743.1E-4
6.14.0667746E-53.5271103E-51.5526687E-44.40209871.2E-41.742787E-41.5115313E-43.1112894E-42.05836921.6E-40.00211977820.00183873720.0020982591.14114142.6E-40.0209967140.0189864950.019290611.01601743.1E-4
6.24.0667746E-53.5271103E-51.5526687E-44.40209871.2E-41.742787E-41.5115313E-43.1112894E-42.05836921.6E-40.00211977820.00183873720.0020982591.14114142.6E-40.0209967140.0189864950.019290611.01601743.1E-4
6.34.0667746E-53.5271103E-51.5526687E-44.40209871.2E-41.742787E-41.5115313E-43.1112894E-42.05836921.6E-40.00211977820.00183873720.0020982591.14114142.6E-40.0209967140.0189864950.019290611.01601743.1E-4
6.44.0577226E-53.5143014E-51.551388E-44.4144991.2E-41.738908E-41.5060425E-43.1058016E-42.0622271.6E-40.00211506480.00183206690.00209159051.14165622.6E-40.0209504720.0189210620.0192251971.01607383.1E-4
6.54.0577226E-53.5143014E-51.551388E-44.4144991.2E-41.738908E-41.5060425E-43.1058016E-42.0622271.6E-40.00211506480.00183206690.00209159051.14165622.6E-40.0209504720.0189210620.0192251971.01607383.1E-4
6.64.053861E-53.5088357E-51.5508414E-44.4198181.2E-41.7372532E-41.5037002E-43.1034596E-42.06388191.6E-40.00211305380.00182922060.0020887451.1418772.6E-40.0209307430.018893140.0191972831.0160983.1E-4
6.74.0516545E-53.505743E-51.5505322E-44.4228351.2E-41.7363077E-41.502375E-43.1021345E-42.06482051.6E-40.0021119050.00182761010.00208713491.14200232.6E-40.0209194680.0188773370.0191814841.01611193.1E-4
6.84.049434E-53.5028992E-51.5502478E-44.42561341.2E-41.7353562E-41.5011564E-43.1009162E-42.0656851.6E-40.00211074880.00182612890.0020856541.14211772.6E-40.0209081250.0188627490.0191669021.01612453.1E-4
6.94.046386E-53.4991554E-51.5498736E-44.4292791.2E-41.73405E-41.499552E-43.099312E-42.06682541.6E-40.00210916160.00182417880.00208370461.14226982.6E-40.0208925530.0188435220.0191476811.01614133.1E-4
7.04.036382E-53.4872126E-51.5486794E-44.4410241.2E-41.7297632E-41.4944343E-43.094195E-42.07047941.6E-40.00210395250.00181795840.0020774861.14275752.6E-40.020841440.0187821370.0190863141.0161953.1E-4
7.14.0343282E-53.485059E-51.548464E-44.44315051.2E-41.7288832E-41.4935112E-43.0932724E-42.0711411.6E-40.0021028830.00181683680.00207636441.14284592.6E-40.0208309480.0187710080.0190751891.01620483.1E-4
7.24.0257353E-53.475509E-51.5475092E-44.4526121.2E-41.725201E-41.489419E-43.0891807E-42.07408451.6E-40.00209840850.00181186260.00207139161.14323882.6E-40.0207870420.0187217460.0190259421.01624823.1E-4
7.33.9940667E-53.458276E-51.545786E-44.4698171.2E-41.7116306E-41.4820343E-43.081797E-42.07943731.6E-40.00208191850.00180288660.00206241781.14395322.6E-40.0206252170.0186303870.0189346111.01632953.1E-4
7.43.9721202E-53.4468165E-51.5446403E-44.48135331.2E-41.7022261E-41.4771236E-43.0768872E-42.08302621.6E-40.00207049030.00179691790.00205645061.14443222.6E-40.0205130520.0185695220.0188737641.0163843.1E-4
7.53.7036873E-53.3535776E-51.5353176E-44.57814841.2E-41.5871979E-41.4371685E-43.0369384E-42.11314031.6E-40.00193070060.00174835130.00200789681.14845162.6E-40.0191401240.0180711280.0183755271.01684443.1E-4
7.63.2940967E-53.13167E-51.5131294E-44.83170131.2E-41.4116794E-41.3420754E-42.9418606E-42.19202331.6E-40.00171736450.00163275450.00189232991.15898012.6E-40.017041530.0169040910.017208851.01802873.1E-4
7.72.8236149E-52.7882697E-51.4787936E-45.3036241.2E-41.2100645E-41.1949181E-42.7947268E-42.3388441.6E-40.00147225790.00145384290.00171346491.17857642.6E-40.0146254210.0151149120.0154202261.02019953.1E-4
7.82.4329287E-52.5206451E-51.3520368E-45.36385251.1E-41.042642E-41.08023174E-42.5800697E-42.38844081.5E-40.00126867740.00131438950.00156406091.18995242.5E-40.0126145890.0137123410.0140082271.02157813.0E-4
7.91.9370926E-52.0420413E-51.3041816E-46.38665681.1E-48.301561E-58.751312E-52.375E-42.71387861.5E-40.00101024650.00106495220.0013146861.23450232.5E-40.01005666050.0111994020.0114960421.02648713.0E-4
8.01.5583017E-51.5885415E-58.5884305E-55.4064887.0E-56.6782646E-56.807858E-51.6807177E-42.46879081.0E-48.127754E-48.2854216E-40.0010083931.2170691.8E-40.0080980910.0087816360.0090096161.0259612.3E-4
8.11.0024873E-58.291399E-68.291399E-61.00.04.2963035E-53.553409E-56.553302E-51.84422973.0E-55.229494E-44.3254215E-44.7252484E-41.09243664.0E-50.00521720430.00465306550.00469287951.00855654.0E-5
8.24.142796E-61.5602761E-61.5602761E-61.00.01.775472E-56.6868806E-66.6868806E-61.00.02.1614227E-48.140976E-58.140976E-51.00.00.00215932179.4514614E-49.4514614E-41.00.0
8.31.2750878E-63.609817E-73.609817E-71.00.05.4646503E-61.5470634E-61.5470634E-61.00.06.653009E-51.8835339E-51.8835339E-51.00.06.6510175E-42.272251E-42.272251E-41.00.0

Manix-Afton Hills

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3783202E-51.47110895E-51.3470932E-49.1569911.2E-45.906953E-56.30461E-52.0303727E-43.22045731.4E-47.189342E-47.6733343E-49.4719534E-41.23439861.8E-40.00716612770.0076485960.0079463011.03892293.0E-4
6.11.3783202E-51.47110895E-51.3470932E-49.1569911.2E-45.906953E-56.30461E-52.0303727E-43.22045731.4E-47.189342E-47.6733343E-49.4719534E-41.23439861.8E-40.00716612770.0076485960.0079463011.03892293.0E-4
6.21.3783202E-51.47110895E-51.3470932E-49.1569911.2E-45.906953E-56.30461E-52.0303727E-43.22045731.4E-47.189342E-47.6733343E-49.4719534E-41.23439861.8E-40.00716612770.0076485960.0079463011.03892293.0E-4
6.31.10494875E-51.1793136E-58.1792314E-56.93558657.0E-54.7354086E-55.054109E-51.4053655E-42.78063949.0E-55.763835E-46.151744E-47.351006E-41.19494661.2E-40.0057489080.00613575570.0063444671.03401572.1E-4
6.41.10494875E-51.1793136E-58.1792314E-56.93558657.0E-54.7354086E-55.054109E-51.4053655E-42.78063949.0E-55.763835E-46.151744E-47.351006E-41.19494661.2E-40.0057489080.00613575570.0063444671.03401572.1E-4
6.59.788949E-61.045432E-57.0453694E-56.73919446.0E-54.1951964E-54.480351E-51.2479993E-42.78549438.0E-55.1064545E-45.453555E-46.4530096E-41.18326661.0E-40.00509473630.00544109850.00561017361.03107371.7E-4
6.68.810006E-69.4136285E-66.9413065E-57.3736786.0E-53.775662E-54.0343548E-51.2034032E-42.9828898.0E-54.5958988E-44.9108086E-45.810367E-41.18317939.0E-50.00458640560.0049008390.0050600551.03248751.6E-4
6.78.80128E-69.404108E-66.940354E-57.38013036.0E-53.7719226E-54.0302748E-51.20299526E-42.98489648.0E-54.591348E-44.9058435E-45.805402E-41.18336469.0E-50.0045818740.00489589570.00505511281.03252041.6E-4
6.86.8994877E-67.380076E-65.7379708E-57.7749485.0E-52.9568899E-53.162856E-51.0162635E-43.21311957.0E-53.5994186E-43.8501783E-44.549909E-41.18173987.0E-50.0035935940.00384431290.00398377471.03627741.4E-4
6.94.9328037E-65.2709615E-63.5270805E-56.6915313.0E-52.1140417E-52.2589675E-57.258855E-53.21335085.0E-52.5735417E-42.7500073E-43.24987E-41.18176775.0E-50.00257056350.00274720950.00283696221.03267059.0E-5
7.03.347973E-63.59003E-62.3589959E-56.57096432.0E-51.4348378E-51.5385775E-54.5385314E-52.9498233.0E-51.746775E-41.8730981E-42.173042E-41.16013243.0E-50.00174540250.00187192190.00192182841.02666065.0E-5
7.11.2073567E-61.293482E-61.293482E-61.00.05.1743755E-65.543492E-65.543492E-61.00.06.29962E-56.749156E-56.749156E-51.00.06.297835E-46.7487074E-46.7487074E-41.00.0

San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.4349817E-46.10604761.2E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-42.4070057E-42.38992571.4E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00143525731.17114662.1E-40.00699927660.0122287440.0125250751.02423243.0E-4
6.11.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.4349817E-46.10604761.2E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-42.4070057E-42.38992571.4E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00143525731.17114662.1E-40.00699927660.0122287440.0125250751.02423243.0E-4
6.21.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.4349817E-46.10604761.2E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-42.4070057E-42.38992571.4E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00143525731.17114662.1E-40.00699927660.0122287440.0125250751.02423243.0E-4
6.31.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.4349817E-46.10604761.2E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-42.4070057E-42.38992571.4E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00143525731.17114662.1E-40.00699927660.0122287440.0125250751.02423243.0E-4
6.41.3461156E-52.3500992E-51.4349817E-46.10604761.2E-45.7689394E-51.00714664E-42.4070057E-42.38992571.4E-47.02142E-40.00122551460.00143525731.17114662.1E-40.00699927660.0122287440.0125250751.02423243.0E-4
6.51.3450706E-52.348995E-51.4348714E-46.10844761.2E-45.764461E-51.00667356E-42.4065326E-42.3905791.4E-47.0159714E-40.00122493920.0014346821.17122712.1E-40.0069938620.0122230540.0125193871.02424383.0E-4
6.61.3074523E-52.3104236E-51.4310147E-46.19373271.2E-45.6032466E-59.901441E-52.3900055E-42.41379551.4E-46.8198174E-40.0012048370.0014145841.17408742.1E-40.0067989260.0120242190.0123206121.02464963.0E-4
6.71.3050216E-52.3079532E-51.4307676E-46.1992921.2E-45.59283E-59.890855E-52.388947E-42.4153091.4E-46.8071426E-40.00120354960.00141329681.17427382.1E-40.00678632870.0120114840.012307881.02467613.0E-4
6.81.29049395E-52.2927941E-51.4292519E-46.2336691.2E-45.530571E-59.825892E-52.3824516E-42.42466711.4E-46.73139E-40.0011956490.00140539791.17542682.1E-40.00671103640.0119333290.0122297481.02483963.0E-4
6.91.2867369E-52.2887343E-51.428846E-46.24295231.2E-45.51447E-59.808494E-52.3807121E-42.42719441.4E-46.711799E-40.00119353320.00140328251.17573822.1E-40.0066915640.0119123970.0122088241.02488393.0E-4
7.01.2495996E-52.2287419E-51.4228474E-46.38408331.2E-45.3553173E-59.551403E-52.3550066E-42.46561311.4E-46.518148E-40.00116226580.00136203331.17187762.0E-40.00649906230.0116030.0118896351.02470352.9E-4
7.11.2452067E-52.2232492E-51.4222982E-46.39738561.2E-45.3364907E-59.527864E-52.3526531E-42.46923451.4E-46.4952404E-40.0011594030.00135917111.17230262.0E-40.00647628870.0115746710.0118613141.02476472.9E-4
7.21.2002777E-52.1611015E-51.3160864E-46.0898871.1E-45.143946E-59.261536E-52.2260332E-42.40352491.3E-46.2609545E-40.00112701140.00131679721.16839741.9E-40.0062433440.0112540580.0115309071.02459992.8E-4
7.31.1923425E-52.1480853E-51.3147849E-46.1207291.1E-45.109939E-59.205757E-52.2204561E-42.41202971.3E-46.219575E-40.00112022730.00131001441.16941851.9E-40.00620219620.0111869450.0114638131.02474922.8E-4
7.41.16105175E-52.0854808E-51.3085251E-46.2744531.1E-44.975841E-58.93747E-52.1936308E-42.45442031.3E-46.0564023E-40.00108759630.00127738971.17450711.9E-40.0060399230.0108644090.0111413671.02549222.8E-4
7.51.1037265E-51.9554842E-51.2955269E-46.62509541.1E-44.7301706E-58.380379E-52.137929E-42.55111271.3E-45.757461E-40.00101983570.00120964191.18611451.9E-40.0057425670.0101955270.0104726731.0271832.8E-4
7.61.0720915E-51.8996727E-51.2899464E-46.7903611.1E-44.5945973E-58.141202E-52.1140144E-42.5966861.3E-45.592486E-49.907428E-40.00118055451.19158531.9E-40.0055784330.0099072380.0101844651.02798212.8E-4
7.79.276279E-61.6442464E-51.2644066E-47.6898851.1E-43.9754876E-57.046581E-52.0045665E-42.84473631.3E-44.839081E-48.5758517E-40.00104742231.22136241.9E-40.00482855740.0085865760.0088641721.03232912.8E-4
7.85.8346777E-61.11555855E-51.2115436E-410.8604211.1E-42.5005522E-54.7808775E-51.7780256E-43.7190361.3E-43.043997E-45.819165E-47.7180594E-41.32631731.9E-40.00303983080.00584733350.0061256961.0476052.8E-4
7.94.690204E-68.509473E-61.18508535E-413.9266591.1E-42.0100719E-53.6468664E-51.6646393E-44.56457421.3E-42.4469878E-44.439156E-46.238357E-41.40530251.8E-40.0024442950.0044711650.0047399581.0601172.7E-4
8.02.9570454E-64.8470656E-62.484697E-55.1261882.0E-51.267299E-52.0772974E-55.077235E-52.44415433.0E-51.5428272E-42.5288164E-42.8287404E-41.11860263.0E-50.00154175660.0025499320.00259980471.01955835.0E-5
8.11.6376824E-62.1968672E-62.1968672E-61.00.07.01862E-69.415111E-61.9415018E-52.06211231.0E-58.544835E-51.1462297E-41.2462182E-41.08723261.0E-58.54155E-40.00116074450.00117073281.00860511.0E-5
8.26.9631557E-74.535001E-74.535001E-71.00.02.984206E-61.9435704E-61.9435704E-61.00.03.63321E-52.3662713E-52.3662713E-51.00.03.6326164E-42.4510184E-42.4510184E-41.00.0
8.31.7876137E-78.357368E-88.357368E-81.00.07.661199E-73.5817288E-73.5817288E-71.00.09.32747E-64.3607465E-64.3607465E-61.00.09.3270784E-54.5800018E-54.5800018E-51.00.0

Santa Ynez (East)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2269712E-53.6750775E-55.675004E-51.54418622.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.1748769E-41.38089936.0E-50.00168239790.00191642530.00206613771.07812071.5E-40.0166971780.0190564380.0193114841.01338362.6E-4
6.13.2269712E-53.6750775E-55.675004E-51.54418622.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.1748769E-41.38089936.0E-50.00168239790.00191642530.00206613771.07812071.5E-40.0166971780.0190564380.0193114841.01338362.6E-4
6.23.2269712E-53.6750775E-55.675004E-51.54418622.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.1748769E-41.38089936.0E-50.00168239790.00191642530.00206613771.07812071.5E-40.0166971780.0190564380.0193114841.01338362.6E-4
6.33.2269712E-53.6750775E-55.675004E-51.54418622.0E-51.3829143E-41.5749714E-42.1748769E-41.38089936.0E-50.00168239790.00191642530.00206613771.07812071.5E-40.0166971780.0190564380.0193114841.01338362.6E-4
6.41.4404779E-51.48492945E-52.4849145E-51.67342271.0E-56.1733306E-56.363831E-59.36364E-51.47138423.0E-57.513438E-47.7452604E-48.544641E-41.1032098.0E-50.00748808540.0077188170.0078279671.01414081.1E-4
6.51.4404779E-51.48492945E-52.4849145E-51.67342271.0E-56.1733306E-56.363831E-59.36364E-51.47138423.0E-57.513438E-47.7452604E-48.544641E-41.1032098.0E-50.00748808540.0077188170.0078279671.01414081.1E-4
6.61.280208E-51.301186E-52.301173E-51.76851961.0E-55.4864904E-55.5763932E-58.576226E-51.53795223.0E-56.6777546E-46.7871617E-47.5866183E-41.11778968.0E-50.0066577240.00676664340.0068758991.01614621.1E-4
6.71.2457027E-51.262838E-52.2628254E-51.79185721.0E-55.3386164E-55.4120515E-58.4118896E-51.55428843.0E-56.497827E-46.5871974E-47.3866703E-41.12136778.0E-50.006478860.006567870.0066771471.01663821.1E-4
6.81.2095134E-51.2230827E-52.2230704E-51.81759621.0E-55.1835254E-55.2416784E-58.2415216E-51.57230573.0E-56.309115E-46.3798914E-47.1793806E-41.1253148.0E-50.00629123250.0063617640.0064710641.01718081.1E-4
6.91.1104036E-51.115726E-52.1157148E-51.89626741.0E-54.758786E-54.781596E-56.7815E-51.41825042.0E-55.7922816E-45.82005E-46.519643E-41.12020397.0E-50.0057772070.00580495360.00587454761.01198867.0E-5
7.01.0577444E-51.05815925E-52.0581487E-51.94502741.0E-54.5331115E-54.53489E-56.5347995E-51.4410052.0E-55.5176654E-45.5198424E-46.219456E-41.12674527.0E-50.00550398560.005506270.00557588461.01264277.0E-5
7.11.0021775E-59.9809E-69.9809E-61.00.04.294976E-54.277459E-55.2774165E-51.23377361.0E-55.2278786E-45.206574E-45.7063135E-41.09598245.0E-50.00521559640.0051945080.00524424851.00957565.0E-5
7.28.874109E-68.748706E-68.748706E-61.00.03.8031343E-53.7493923E-54.7493548E-51.26669991.0E-54.629332E-44.56394E-44.963757E-41.08760364.0E-50.00461970.00455468470.0045945031.00874224.0E-5
7.37.5504267E-67.5050243E-67.5050243E-61.00.03.235857E-53.2164E-54.2163676E-51.31089661.0E-53.9389438E-43.9152734E-44.1151952E-41.0510622.0E-50.00393196940.00390848240.00392840431.0050972.0E-5
7.46.309394E-66.183062E-66.183062E-61.00.02.703998E-52.6498574E-52.6498574E-51.00.03.2916202E-43.2257332E-43.325701E-41.03099071.0E-50.0032867490.00322114840.0032311161.00309441.0E-5
7.54.6103073E-64.4408016E-64.4408016E-61.00.01.975831E-51.9031871E-51.9031871E-51.00.02.4053088E-42.316891E-42.316891E-41.00.00.0024027070.0023145450.0023145451.00.0
7.61.2858658E-61.3008196E-61.3008196E-61.00.05.5108417E-65.574929E-65.574929E-61.00.06.7092435E-56.787272E-56.787272E-51.00.06.707218E-46.7852676E-46.7852676E-41.00.0
7.75.3302307E-75.612138E-75.612138E-71.00.02.2843826E-62.4052001E-62.4052001E-61.00.02.7812002E-52.9282955E-52.9282955E-51.00.02.7808524E-42.9279455E-42.9279455E-41.00.0
7.84.613933E-84.80301E-84.80301E-81.00.01.9773998E-72.0584326E-72.0584326E-71.00.02.4074816E-62.5061388E-62.5061388E-61.00.02.4074554E-52.5061116E-52.5061116E-51.00.0

Lake Isabella (Seismicity)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.431637E-69.741651E-69.974078E-510.2385899.0E-54.0420677E-54.1749343E-51.7174392E-44.1136921.3E-44.920106E-45.0819275E-47.18086E-41.41301912.1E-40.0049092270.0050715990.00535017861.05492942.8E-4
6.19.431637E-69.741651E-69.974078E-510.2385899.0E-54.0420677E-54.1749343E-51.7174392E-44.1136921.3E-44.920106E-45.0819275E-47.18086E-41.41301912.1E-40.0049092270.0050715990.00535017861.05492942.8E-4
6.29.431637E-69.741651E-69.974078E-510.2385899.0E-54.0420677E-54.1749343E-51.7174392E-44.1136921.3E-44.920106E-45.0819275E-47.18086E-41.41301912.1E-40.0049092270.0050715990.00535017861.05492942.8E-4
6.39.431637E-69.741651E-69.974078E-510.2385899.0E-54.0420677E-54.1749343E-51.7174392E-44.1136921.3E-44.920106E-45.0819275E-47.18086E-41.41301912.1E-40.0049092270.0050715990.00535017861.05492942.8E-4
6.45.144063E-65.3000763E-67.529971E-514.2072887.0E-52.2045799E-52.2714434E-51.0271262E-44.52190978.0E-52.6837454E-42.765166E-43.964834E-41.43385031.2E-40.00268050660.00276206570.0029016791.05054661.4E-4
6.55.144063E-65.3000763E-67.529971E-514.2072887.0E-52.2045799E-52.2714434E-51.0271262E-44.52190978.0E-52.6837454E-42.765166E-43.964834E-41.43385031.2E-40.00268050660.00276206570.0029016791.05054661.4E-4
6.63.4009804E-63.498786E-67.3498544E-521.0068687.0E-51.4575549E-51.4994721E-59.499352E-56.3351318.0E-51.7744285E-41.8254704E-42.9252697E-41.60247451.1E-40.00177301230.00182412860.00195389151.0711371.3E-4
6.73.3880428E-63.4856528E-67.348541E-521.0822537.0E-51.4520103E-51.4938435E-59.493724E-56.3552338.0E-51.767679E-41.8186188E-42.9184186E-41.60474471.1E-40.00176627360.00181728820.0019470521.07140521.3E-4
6.82.6582E-62.7337003E-65.2733565E-519.2901785.0E-51.1392236E-51.1715813E-57.171511E-56.12122346.0E-51.3869164E-41.4263204E-42.3261919E-41.63090439.0E-50.00138605120.00142553690.00153538011.07705391.1E-4
6.92.406011E-62.4743288E-64.247423E-517.165964.0E-51.0311434E-51.0604231E-56.06037E-55.71504935.0E-51.2553448E-41.2910018E-42.0908985E-41.61959398.0E-50.00125463590.00129038140.00139025241.07739651.0E-4
7.01.6953097E-61.7429371E-64.1742867E-523.9497264.0E-57.265593E-67.469715E-65.746934E-57.69364555.0E-58.8455E-59.094104E-51.6093467E-41.76965957.0E-58.84198E-49.09141E-49.990592E-41.09890469.0E-5
7.13.5013824E-73.5714822E-73.5714822E-71.00.01.5005916E-61.5306344E-61.5306344E-61.00.01.826955E-51.8635317E-52.8635131E-51.53660551.0E-51.8268047E-41.863378E-41.9633592E-41.0536561.0E-5
7.22.2321095E-72.2750574E-72.2750574E-71.00.09.56618E-79.750242E-79.750242E-71.00.01.1646762E-51.1870856E-51.1870856E-51.00.01.1646151E-41.1870232E-41.1870232E-41.00.0
7.31.5760406E-71.6060922E-71.6060922E-71.00.06.7544585E-76.8832503E-76.8832503E-71.00.08.223522E-68.380326E-68.380326E-61.00.08.2232174E-58.3800165E-58.3800165E-51.00.0
7.41.1216497E-71.1431706E-71.1431706E-71.00.04.8070694E-74.899302E-74.899302E-71.00.05.852591E-65.964884E-65.964884E-61.00.05.8524372E-55.9647282E-55.9647282E-51.00.0
7.54.885185E-84.9787737E-84.9787737E-81.00.02.0936506E-72.13376E-72.13376E-71.00.02.5490165E-62.59785E-62.59785E-61.00.02.5489873E-52.5978214E-52.5978214E-51.00.0
7.61.504641E-91.5317903E-91.5317903E-91.00.06.4484613E-96.5648154E-96.5648154E-91.00.07.851001E-87.992663E-87.992663E-81.00.07.8509987E-77.992663E-77.992663E-71.00.0

San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.986481E-40.00122759290.00127753151.04068025.0E-50.00256311240.0052455470.0053251271.0151718.0E-50.0307628460.061204910.0613551181.00245421.6E-40.268354770.425934940.426066961.000312.3E-4
6.15.015945E-40.00102179860.00107174751.04888335.0E-50.002147920.00436785960.00443755371.01595627.0E-50.0258393510.051248370.0513811971.00259181.4E-40.230327760.372856680.372975831.00031961.9E-4
6.24.073338E-48.1073755E-48.60697E-41.06162235.0E-50.00174454840.00346714770.00352693951.01724536.0E-50.0210340580.040933170.0410578471.00304591.3E-40.191507820.313033460.31315711.0003951.8E-4
6.33.464099E-46.7391695E-47.1389E-41.05931454.0E-50.00148376920.00288295930.0029328151.01729335.0E-50.0179158730.0341895820.034295821.00310731.1E-40.165383590.27131660.271433171.00042971.6E-4
6.42.935057E-45.5442745E-45.944053E-41.07210654.0E-50.00125727510.00237253630.00242241771.02102455.0E-50.0152002480.028264510.0283714011.00378181.1E-40.142015770.232985290.233108011.00052681.6E-4
6.52.3409708E-44.2093755E-44.5092494E-41.07123953.0E-50.00100288750.00180196840.00184189641.02215794.0E-50.0121419650.0215874610.0216853021.00453231.0E-40.114995730.186823680.186945661.00065291.5E-4
6.61.5842178E-42.506933E-42.706883E-41.07975882.0E-56.7877385E-40.00107394970.00110391751.02790433.0E-50.00823280.0129955750.0130745351.0060768.0E-50.079343960.123146380.12325161.00085451.2E-4
6.71.5616413E-42.4605883E-42.660539E-41.08126142.0E-56.691031E-40.00105410690.00108407521.02843013.0E-50.00811594350.012757440.012836421.00619098.0E-50.07825860.121173510.121278971.00087031.2E-4
6.81.5538467E-42.4429744E-42.6429255E-41.08184742.0E-56.6576427E-40.00104656450.00107653311.02863533.0E-50.0080755960.0126668380.0127458261.00623578.0E-50.077883580.1204043550.120509911.00087671.2E-4
6.91.5153569E-42.3539034E-42.5538562E-41.08494522.0E-56.49277E-40.00100842760.00103839731.02971923.0E-50.0078763330.012209010.0122880341.00647268.0E-50.076029520.116474450.116580471.00091031.2E-4
7.01.4588932E-42.2396253E-42.4395806E-41.08928062.0E-56.250901E-49.5948833E-49.894596E-41.03123663.0E-50.00758394740.0116196970.0116987681.00680488.0E-50.0733028950.111320460.11142711.0009581.2E-4
7.11.1565079E-41.6281738E-41.8281412E-41.1228172.0E-54.955521E-46.9760304E-47.275821E-41.04297443.0E-50.0060166690.00846044350.0085397661.00937588.0E-50.0585635380.083670460.083780421.00131421.2E-4
7.21.0393792E-41.4615769E-41.6615476E-41.13681852.0E-54.4537216E-46.2624045E-46.562217E-41.04787493.0E-50.0054089330.00759799270.00767738471.0104498.0E-50.0527915950.075619690.0757306141.00146691.2E-4
7.39.332884E-51.2780898E-41.4780642E-41.15646352.0E-53.999194E-45.4763845E-45.77622E-41.05475073.0E-50.00485815340.0066472490.0067267171.0119558.0E-50.0475331020.066483260.066595281.0016851.2E-4
7.48.670252E-51.17032345E-41.3703E-41.17087292.0E-53.715293E-45.0147134E-45.314563E-41.0597943.0E-50.0045139910.0060884430.00616795571.01305968.0E-50.0442339370.0611516420.0612643061.00184241.2E-4
7.57.3036405E-59.005856E-51.0005766E-41.11102891.0E-53.129756E-43.8590826E-43.959044E-41.02590291.0E-50.00380382170.00468833230.0047281451.00849194.0E-50.037393670.0478777920.047934921.00119326.0E-5
7.66.3935775E-58.280385E-59.280301E-51.12075731.0E-52.7398168E-43.5482543E-43.648219E-41.02817291.0E-50.00333062540.0043114610.00435128851.00923764.0E-50.0328114740.043992010.0440493671.00130396.0E-5
7.75.5050095E-56.6618326E-56.6618326E-51.00.02.3590765E-42.854759E-42.854759E-41.00.00.00286839270.0034701340.003500031.00861533.0E-50.02831650.0357962140.0358444231.00134685.0E-5
7.85.027131E-56.162871E-56.162871E-51.00.02.1543067E-42.640963E-42.640963E-41.00.00.00261971350.0032106350.00324053881.0093143.0E-50.0258904530.033126660.0331750031.00145945.0E-5
7.93.7271806E-55.022507E-55.022507E-51.00.01.5972654E-42.1523255E-42.1523255E-41.00.00.00194293590.0026173090.00264723061.01143223.0E-50.0192603620.0270674660.0271063821.00143784.0E-5
8.02.7310243E-53.1427757E-53.1427757E-51.00.01.17038646E-41.3468343E-41.3468343E-41.00.00.00142401410.00163853830.00165850551.0121862.0E-50.0141492350.017213860.0172433441.00171283.0E-5
8.11.7940547E-51.7399378E-51.7399378E-51.00.07.688579E-57.456663E-57.456663E-51.00.09.3568244E-49.074711E-49.074711E-41.00.00.0093175250.0097986360.0098085381.00101051.0E-5
8.28.643924E-65.473668E-65.473668E-61.00.03.704486E-52.3458366E-52.3458366E-51.00.04.5092785E-42.8556827E-42.8556827E-41.00.00.00450013950.00324817930.00324817931.00.0
8.31.983087E-67.6564595E-77.6564595E-71.00.08.498917E-63.281336E-63.281336E-61.00.01.034694E-43.9949547E-53.9949547E-51.00.00.00103421244.717979E-44.717979E-41.00.0

Cleghorn Pass

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.0522846E-51.1040642E-56.104009E-55.5286725.0E-54.509713E-54.7316473E-51.1731316E-42.479337.0E-55.4891926E-45.759784E-46.959093E-41.20822111.2E-40.00547565330.0057500220.00593892951.03285341.9E-4
6.11.0522846E-51.1040642E-56.104009E-55.5286725.0E-54.509713E-54.7316473E-51.1731316E-42.479337.0E-55.4891926E-45.759784E-46.959093E-41.20822111.2E-40.00547565330.0057500220.00593892951.03285341.9E-4
6.22.1045846E-62.2082024E-62.2082024E-61.00.09.019617E-69.463714E-69.463714E-61.00.01.098083E-41.1521882E-41.3521651E-41.17356282.0E-50.00109754060.00115200230.00118196771.02601163.0E-5
6.32.1045846E-62.2082024E-62.2082024E-61.00.09.019617E-69.463714E-69.463714E-61.00.01.098083E-41.1521882E-41.3521651E-41.17356282.0E-50.00109754060.00115200230.00118196771.02601163.0E-5
6.41.7259927E-61.810877E-61.810877E-61.00.07.3970905E-67.760902E-67.760902E-61.00.09.005586E-59.4488976E-51.1448709E-41.21164492.0E-59.001937E-49.448898E-49.7486144E-41.03171973.0E-5

San Jacinto (Anza) rev

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.3015636E-54.3298347E-51.2329489E-42.84756578.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-42.955308E-41.59271821.1E-40.00328276910.00225675730.00244632851.08400151.9E-40.0323469680.023293610.0235182531.00964392.3E-4
6.16.3015636E-54.3298347E-51.2329489E-42.84756578.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-42.955308E-41.59271821.1E-40.00328276910.00225675730.00244632851.08400151.9E-40.0323469680.023293610.0235182531.00964392.3E-4
6.26.3015636E-54.3298347E-51.2329489E-42.84756578.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-42.955308E-41.59271821.1E-40.00328276910.00225675730.00244632851.08400151.9E-40.0323469680.023293610.0235182531.00964392.3E-4
6.36.3015636E-54.3298347E-51.2329489E-42.84756578.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-42.955308E-41.59271821.1E-40.00328276910.00225675730.00244632851.08400151.9E-40.0323469680.023293610.0235182531.00964392.3E-4
6.46.3015636E-54.3298347E-51.2329489E-42.84756578.0E-52.7003905E-41.8555121E-42.955308E-41.59271821.1E-40.00328276910.00225675730.00244632851.08400151.9E-40.0323469680.023293610.0235182531.00964392.3E-4
6.55.811017E-54.0080286E-51.2007708E-42.99591378.0E-52.4901982E-41.7176138E-42.8174248E-41.64031341.1E-40.00302760140.00208919470.00227879781.09075421.9E-40.029866840.0215908330.0218158681.01042272.3E-4
6.65.811017E-54.0080286E-51.2007708E-42.99591378.0E-52.4901982E-41.7176138E-42.8174248E-41.64031341.1E-40.00302760140.00208919470.00227879781.09075421.9E-40.029866840.0215908330.0218158681.01042272.3E-4
6.75.712442E-53.950301E-51.19499855E-43.0250828.0E-52.4479596E-41.6928767E-42.7926904E-41.64967161.1E-40.00297631770.00205913440.00224874331.09208181.9E-40.0293676930.0212829190.0215080231.01057682.3E-4
6.85.6967532E-53.93593E-51.1935615E-43.03247648.0E-52.4412372E-41.6867183E-42.786533E-41.65204391.1E-40.00296815530.00205165080.0022412611.09241831.9E-40.0292882290.021208520.0214336421.01061482.3E-4
6.95.6211324E-53.9064216E-51.1906109E-43.047838.0E-52.4088343E-41.6740736E-42.7738893E-41.65696981.1E-40.00292881160.00203628470.00222589771.09311721.9E-40.0289051090.0210475270.0212726871.01069762.3E-4
7.05.4383527E-53.7925012E-51.17921976E-43.1093468.0E-52.3305144E-41.6252567E-42.7250778E-41.67670621.1E-40.00283370940.0019769590.00216658341.09591721.9E-40.0279784650.020440950.020666251.0110222.3E-4
7.15.1393665E-53.638787E-51.1638496E-43.19845498.0E-52.2023996E-41.5593872E-42.6592155E-41.70529531.1E-40.00267812420.00189690480.00208654441.09997321.9E-40.0264607820.0196160770.0198415651.01149512.3E-4
7.24.785222E-53.4738845E-51.1473607E-43.30281768.0E-52.0506482E-41.4887229E-42.588559E-41.73877841.1E-40.00249380550.00181101670.00200067271.10472351.9E-40.0246600490.0187287830.0189544741.01205052.3E-4
7.34.2143256E-53.3834414E-51.1383171E-43.36437658.0E-51.8060145E-41.449966E-42.5498064E-41.75852861.1E-40.0021966050.00176390750.00195357231.10752531.9E-40.021750190.0182366950.0184625011.01238192.3E-4
7.44.0264713E-53.3472694E-51.13470014E-43.38992798.0E-51.7255165E-41.4344654E-42.5343074E-41.76672631.1E-40.0020987920.00174506590.00193473441.10868841.9E-40.0207908040.0180413890.018267241.01251842.3E-4
7.53.694492E-53.2186905E-51.1218433E-43.48540288.0E-51.5832575E-41.379366E-42.4792145E-41.79735781.1E-40.00192591180.00167808760.00186776881.11303411.9E-40.019093060.0173578880.0175838951.01302052.3E-4
7.63.200565E-52.9502702E-51.0950034E-43.7115368.0E-51.3715986E-41.2643404E-42.3642014E-41.86990891.1E-40.0016686420.00153824970.00172795751.1233271.9E-40.016561680.0159460160.016172351.01419372.3E-4
7.72.731642E-52.6091477E-51.0608939E-44.06605538.0E-51.1706512E-41.11815825E-42.2180352E-41.98365061.1E-40.0014243360.00136050850.001550251.13946371.9E-40.0141524120.01416680.0143935421.01600522.3E-4
7.82.3466424E-52.3503619E-59.350197E-53.97819477.0E-51.0056651E-41.0072591E-42.0071583E-41.99269321.0E-40.00122370940.00122564890.00140542831.1466811.8E-40.0121699280.0128087960.0130259791.01695572.2E-4
7.91.8611925E-51.890698E-58.8905654E-54.7022667.0E-57.9762955E-58.10274E-51.8101929E-42.23405051.0E-49.7068126E-49.860628E-40.00116588541.18236411.8E-40.00966452250.0103937050.0106114191.02094662.2E-4
8.01.5460775E-51.5739915E-58.5738815E-55.44722187.0E-56.6258784E-56.745504E-51.6744829E-42.4823691.0E-48.0640207E-48.2095637E-40.00100080861.21907651.8E-40.0080348210.0087027060.0089207911.02505952.2E-4
8.19.983884E-68.268954E-68.268954E-61.00.04.2787375E-53.5437897E-56.5436834E-51.84652143.0E-55.2081177E-44.313715E-44.7135423E-41.09268754.0E-50.00519592830.004639680.00467949451.00858134.0E-5
8.24.1226E-61.5522551E-61.5522551E-61.00.01.7668166E-56.6525045E-66.6525045E-61.00.02.1508869E-48.099126E-58.099126E-51.00.00.00214880649.401847E-49.401847E-41.00.0
8.31.2750878E-63.609817E-73.609817E-71.00.05.4646503E-61.5470634E-61.5470634E-61.00.06.653009E-51.8835339E-51.8835339E-51.00.06.6510175E-42.272251E-42.272251E-41.00.0

Santa Ynez (West)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.7352758E-55.497084E-51.14967545E-42.09142786.0E-52.0292461E-42.3556968E-43.2554846E-41.38196259.0E-50.00246780760.0028645580.00302409961.0556951.6E-40.0244058180.0283044560.0284890771.00652281.9E-4
6.14.7352758E-55.497084E-51.04968094E-41.90952315.0E-52.0292461E-42.3556968E-43.1555083E-41.33952228.0E-50.00246780760.0028645580.0030041571.04873311.4E-40.0244058180.0283044560.0284599271.00549281.6E-4
6.23.0415853E-53.3925004E-56.392399E-51.88427353.0E-51.3034715E-41.4538495E-41.953777E-41.34386465.0E-50.00158582120.00176865920.00187846461.0620841.1E-40.0157455220.017549780.0176676741.00671771.2E-4
6.33.0415853E-53.3925004E-56.392399E-51.88427353.0E-51.3034715E-41.4538495E-41.953777E-41.34386465.0E-50.00158582120.00176865920.00187846461.0620841.1E-40.0157455220.017549780.0176676741.00671771.2E-4
6.42.5452082E-52.7912318E-54.791176E-51.71650952.0E-51.09075794E-41.1961885E-41.5961406E-41.33435554.0E-50.00132718870.00145540560.00154527461.06174849.0E-50.0131929020.014460910.0145594641.00681521.0E-4
6.52.3143784E-52.5128133E-54.512763E-51.79590072.0E-59.9183875E-51.07687636E-41.4768333E-41.37140464.0E-50.00120689480.0013103230.00140020511.06859549.0E-50.0120036110.0130276380.0131263351.0075761.0E-4
6.61.9118515E-52.0354244E-54.0353836E-51.9825762.0E-58.193392E-58.722961E-51.2722611E-41.45851994.0E-59.97089E-40.0010615110.00115141541.08469499.0E-50.009926270.0105653170.010664261.0093651.0E-4
6.71.722807E-51.8146253E-53.814589E-52.1021362.0E-57.3832496E-57.776737E-51.17764255E-41.51431454.0E-58.985399E-49.4641204E-40.00103632691.0950069.0E-50.0089491540.0094244610.0095235181.01051071.0E-4
6.81.5317364E-51.5926391E-53.5926074E-52.25575732.0E-56.56442E-56.82542E-51.0825147E-41.58600454.0E-57.98925E-48.3068234E-49.206076E-41.10825479.0E-50.0079605890.0082762610.0083754331.01198281.0E-4
6.91.3071226E-51.332953E-52.3329396E-51.7502041.0E-55.6018336E-55.712532E-57.7124176E-51.35008742.0E-56.8180985E-46.952811E-47.5523934E-41.0862366.0E-50.00679721730.00693131840.00700083331.01002917.0E-5
7.01.1836986E-51.1932688E-51.1932688E-51.00.05.0728955E-55.1139097E-56.1138584E-51.19553511.0E-56.1745E-46.2244234E-46.6241744E-41.06422294.0E-50.0061573720.00620718250.0062469341.00640424.0E-5
7.11.0597169E-51.0542107E-51.0542107E-51.00.04.541565E-54.5179684E-55.5179233E-51.22132841.0E-55.5279525E-45.4992497E-45.7990843E-41.05452293.0E-50.00551422130.0054857720.00551560751.00543873.0E-5
7.29.59113E-69.45905E-69.45905E-61.00.04.11042E-54.053816E-55.0537757E-51.24667121.0E-55.0032866E-44.934414E-45.234266E-41.06076753.0E-50.0049920370.00492357650.00495342861.00606313.0E-5
7.38.586084E-68.379489E-68.379489E-61.00.03.679698E-53.591161E-54.591125E-51.27845141.0E-54.4791115E-44.3713715E-44.5712842E-41.04573232.0E-50.0044700940.0043628840.0043827971.00456422.0E-5
7.47.2622997E-66.9514485E-66.9514485E-61.00.03.112377E-52.9791589E-52.9791589E-51.00.03.78866E-43.6265317E-43.7264955E-41.02756451.0E-50.00378220740.0036207140.00363067771.00275181.0E-5
7.55.627296E-65.2514984E-65.2514984E-61.00.02.411676E-52.2506232E-52.2506232E-51.00.02.9358198E-42.7397962E-42.7397962E-41.00.00.00293194430.00273649050.00273649051.00.0
7.62.265244E-62.0608632E-62.0608632E-61.00.09.708152E-68.832241E-68.832241E-61.00.01.18190335E-41.0752732E-41.0752732E-41.00.00.0011812750.00107476150.00107476151.00.0
7.71.3099874E-61.1016228E-61.1016228E-61.00.05.61422E-64.7212325E-64.7212325E-61.00.06.8350986E-55.7479516E-55.7479516E-51.00.06.832996E-45.7464885E-45.7464885E-41.00.0
7.87.903951E-76.0710704E-76.0710704E-71.00.03.3874032E-62.601885E-62.601885E-61.00.04.1240855E-53.16775E-53.16775E-51.00.04.12332E-43.167312E-43.167312E-41.00.0
7.97.0753297E-95.090092E-95.090092E-91.00.03.032284E-82.181468E-82.181468E-81.00.03.6918053E-72.655937E-72.655937E-71.00.03.691799E-62.6559348E-62.6559348E-61.00.0

Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.169034E-54.7137048E-57.7135635E-51.6364123.0E-51.7866064E-42.0200513E-42.5199502E-41.24746855.0E-50.00217302330.00245746570.00256719531.04465151.1E-40.0215189680.024384830.0245506841.00680161.7E-4
6.11.73813E-51.6854203E-52.6854035E-51.59331381.0E-57.4489166E-57.223036E-58.2229635E-51.1384361.0E-59.065282E-48.790605E-49.090341E-41.03409733.0E-50.0090283910.0087571280.0088265161.00792357.0E-5
6.21.4622182E-51.3673262E-52.3673127E-51.73134431.0E-56.2664985E-55.85984E-56.8597816E-51.17064311.0E-57.6267915E-47.132059E-47.331916E-41.02802242.0E-50.0076006690.0071097670.00715941141.00698265.0E-5
6.31.3552434E-51.2482174E-52.2482049E-51.80113261.0E-55.8080568E-55.349395E-56.349342E-51.18692711.0E-57.069015E-46.510974E-46.7108433E-41.03069732.0E-50.007046570.0064924150.0065321551.0061214.0E-5
6.41.30977305E-51.1979128E-52.1979009E-51.83477521.0E-55.613192E-55.133813E-56.133762E-51.1947771.0E-56.831918E-46.2486547E-46.44853E-41.03198682.0E-50.0068109530.0062315840.0062713351.00637894.0E-5
6.51.225205E-51.1048776E-52.1048665E-51.90506771.0E-55.2507727E-54.735105E-55.735058E-51.21117851.0E-56.3909404E-45.7634927E-45.863435E-41.01734051.0E-50.0063725920.0057490090.00576889381.00345892.0E-5
6.61.1352241E-51.0063508E-52.0063408E-51.99367931.0E-54.8651553E-54.3128617E-55.3128188E-51.23185461.0E-55.921717E-45.249665E-45.349613E-41.01903881.0E-50.00590596160.00523766460.00525755951.00379852.0E-5
6.71.0864116E-59.517E-61.9516905E-52.05074121.0E-54.6559664E-54.0786515E-55.0786108E-51.2451691.0E-55.667165E-44.964647E-45.0645974E-41.02013241.0E-50.0056527340.00495394370.00497384461.00401722.0E-5
6.81.0666365E-59.299752E-69.299752E-61.00.04.571219E-53.985548E-53.985548E-51.00.05.564038E-44.8513446E-44.8513446E-41.00.00.0055501270.004841140.00485109171.00205561.0E-5
6.91.0038665E-58.592018E-68.592018E-61.00.04.302214E-53.682243E-53.682243E-51.00.05.236687E-44.4822265E-44.4822265E-41.00.00.0052243640.00447355070.00447355071.00.0
7.09.5379955E-68.025047E-68.025047E-61.00.04.0876483E-53.439261E-53.439261E-51.00.04.975576E-44.1865133E-44.1865133E-41.00.00.004964450.004178980.004178981.00.0
7.19.207389E-67.652347E-67.652347E-61.00.03.945964E-53.2795375E-53.2795375E-51.00.04.803152E-43.992122E-43.992122E-41.00.00.0047927840.0039853010.0039853011.00.0
7.27.638091E-65.9310923E-65.9310923E-61.00.03.2734264E-52.5418722E-52.5418722E-51.00.03.984668E-43.094293E-43.094293E-41.00.00.00397753060.00309019560.00309019561.00.0
7.37.2500147E-65.596131E-65.596131E-61.00.03.1071122E-52.3983199E-52.3983199E-51.00.03.7822526E-42.9195662E-42.9195662E-41.00.00.00377582150.00291594020.00291594021.00.0
7.46.3899715E-64.9184864E-64.9184864E-61.00.02.7385306E-52.1079059E-52.1079059E-51.00.03.3336508E-42.566075E-42.566075E-41.00.00.00332865420.0025633110.0025633111.00.0
7.55.379025E-64.0838477E-64.0838477E-61.00.02.305276E-51.7502087E-51.7502087E-51.00.02.806312E-42.1306718E-42.1306718E-41.00.00.00280277080.00212864020.00212864021.00.0
7.64.1270696E-63.0883373E-63.0883373E-61.00.01.768732E-51.32356645E-51.32356645E-51.00.02.1532185E-41.6113237E-41.6113237E-41.00.00.00215113330.00161016350.00161016351.00.0
7.72.5406805E-61.8282044E-61.8282044E-61.00.01.0888585E-57.835139E-67.835139E-61.00.01.3256045E-49.53887E-59.53887E-51.00.00.00132481429.534837E-49.534837E-41.00.0
7.84.8608285E-73.509864E-73.509864E-71.00.02.0832106E-61.5042266E-61.5042266E-61.00.02.5362791E-51.8313805E-51.8313805E-51.00.02.5359896E-41.8312308E-41.8312308E-41.00.0
7.92.0472514E-81.2688718E-81.2688718E-81.00.08.7739345E-85.438022E-85.438022E-81.00.01.068226E-66.6207895E-76.6207895E-71.00.01.0682209E-56.620771E-66.620771E-61.00.0
8.04.443582E-92.032067E-92.032067E-91.00.01.9043922E-88.7088585E-98.7088585E-91.00.02.3185973E-71.0603035E-71.0603035E-71.00.02.3185949E-61.0603031E-61.0603031E-61.00.0

Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.0240792E-52.40909E-57.4089694E-53.07542255.0E-51.2959696E-41.032432E-41.63237E-41.58109216.0E-50.00157670080.00125636180.00135623621.0794951.0E-40.0156556090.0125026130.0127001131.01579672.0E-4
6.13.0240792E-52.40909E-57.4089694E-53.07542255.0E-51.2959696E-41.032432E-41.63237E-41.58109216.0E-50.00157670080.00125636180.00135623621.0794951.0E-40.0156556090.0125026130.0127001131.01579672.0E-4
6.23.0240792E-52.40909E-57.4089694E-53.07542255.0E-51.2959696E-41.032432E-41.63237E-41.58109216.0E-50.00157670080.00125636180.00135623621.0794951.0E-40.0156556090.0125026130.0127001131.01579672.0E-4
6.32.0498217E-51.3638054E-51.3638054E-51.00.08.784654E-55.8447586E-55.8447586E-51.00.00.00106900697.1138324E-47.31369E-41.02809432.0E-50.010638790.00709268640.00717211931.01119928.0E-5
6.42.0498217E-51.3638054E-51.3638054E-51.00.08.784654E-55.8447586E-55.8447586E-51.00.00.00106900697.1138324E-47.31369E-41.02809432.0E-50.010638790.00709268640.00717211931.01119928.0E-5
6.51.7316182E-51.04769715E-51.04769715E-51.00.07.42101E-54.490059E-54.490059E-51.00.09.0313336E-45.465376E-45.665266E-41.0365742.0E-50.0089947180.005452930.00550265751.00911945.0E-5
6.61.5251077E-58.414133E-68.414133E-61.00.06.536012E-53.606011E-53.606011E-51.00.07.9546886E-44.3895066E-44.5894188E-41.04554322.0E-50.0079262740.00438155370.0044114221.00681693.0E-5
6.71.2997425E-56.4112146E-66.4112146E-61.00.05.570206E-52.7476372E-52.7476372E-51.00.06.7796157E-43.3447813E-43.4447477E-41.02988731.0E-50.00675896930.0033402070.00336014041.00596762.0E-5
6.81.035386E-54.333145E-64.333145E-61.00.04.437293E-51.8570496E-51.8570496E-51.00.05.401065E-42.260732E-42.260732E-41.00.00.00538795670.0022585190.0022585191.00.0
6.98.816252E-63.5805879E-63.5805879E-61.00.03.778339E-51.534529E-51.534529E-51.00.04.5991567E-41.8681347E-41.8681347E-41.00.00.004589650.00186662280.00186662281.00.0
7.06.8232207E-62.5674399E-62.5674399E-61.00.02.9242048E-51.100327E-51.100327E-51.00.03.5596377E-41.3395688E-41.3395688E-41.00.00.00355394110.00133879250.00133879251.00.0
7.15.837013E-62.2273143E-62.2273143E-61.00.02.501553E-59.5456E-69.5456E-61.00.03.045215E-41.1621177E-41.1621177E-41.00.00.00304104550.0011615390.0011615391.00.0
7.24.278052E-61.6275065E-61.6275065E-61.00.01.833438E-56.975011E-66.975011E-61.00.02.231982E-48.491768E-58.491768E-51.00.00.00222974188.4887556E-48.4887556E-41.00.0
7.31.8803692E-68.344788E-78.344788E-71.00.08.0587E-63.5763337E-63.5763337E-61.00.09.811026E-54.354114E-54.354114E-51.00.09.806695E-44.3534054E-44.3534054E-41.00.0

Cleghorn Lake

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5467183E-51.6794203E-59.679286E-55.76346838.0E-56.6286244E-57.197348E-51.7196628E-42.38930061.0E-48.067362E-48.759797E-40.00102584831.17108681.5E-40.0080381370.0087306960.0089289491.02270772.0E-4
6.11.5467183E-51.6794203E-59.679286E-55.76346838.0E-56.6286244E-57.197348E-51.7196628E-42.38930061.0E-48.067362E-48.759797E-40.00102584831.17108681.5E-40.0080381370.0087306960.0089289491.02270772.0E-4
6.21.2624631E-51.3681544E-58.3680585E-56.11631167.0E-55.410444E-55.863415E-51.3862946E-42.36431268.0E-56.585225E-47.1368564E-48.136142E-41.14001771.0E-40.00656574450.00711873170.00725773541.01952651.4E-4
6.31.2624631E-51.3681544E-58.3680585E-56.11631167.0E-55.410444E-55.863415E-51.3862946E-42.36431268.0E-56.585225E-47.1368564E-48.136142E-41.14001771.0E-40.00656574450.00711873170.00725773541.01952651.4E-4
6.49.417684E-61.0170118E-55.016971E-54.9330514.0E-54.036088E-54.3585722E-59.358354E-52.14711485.0E-54.912829E-45.3056807E-46.005309E-41.13186417.0E-50.0049019820.0052970490.00539651931.01877841.0E-4
6.59.368219E-61.0117545E-55.0117138E-54.95348834.0E-54.014889E-54.3360415E-59.335825E-52.15307555.0E-54.8870314E-45.2782625E-45.977893E-41.13254947.0E-50.0048762980.00526976170.00536923441.01887621.0E-4
6.67.803798E-68.441831E-63.8441576E-54.55370143.0E-53.3444423E-53.6179E-57.617755E-52.1055744.0E-54.0710976E-44.4043022E-45.004038E-41.13617046.0E-50.00406364720.00439949050.00447913861.0181048.0E-5
6.72.3108669E-62.4438336E-62.4438336E-61.00.09.903678E-61.0473532E-51.0473532E-51.00.01.205706E-41.2750797E-41.375067E-41.07841651.0E-50.0012050520.00127436670.0012843541.0078371.0E-5
6.82.0882828E-62.2062823E-62.2062823E-61.00.08.949753E-69.455462E-69.455462E-61.00.01.08957785E-41.1511434E-41.2511319E-41.08686021.0E-50.00108904380.00115056390.00116055241.00868141.0E-5
6.91.876935E-61.981051E-61.981051E-61.00.08.043982E-68.490192E-68.490192E-61.00.09.7931086E-51.03363345E-41.1336231E-41.09673611.0E-59.788794E-40.00103316860.00104315841.0096691.0E-5
7.01.5357559E-61.6202807E-61.6202807E-61.00.06.5817944E-66.9440425E-66.9440425E-61.00.08.01304E-58.454057E-59.453972E-51.11827641.0E-58.010151E-48.450965E-48.55088E-41.01182291.0E-5
7.11.0905424E-61.1497619E-61.1497619E-61.00.04.6737446E-64.9275427E-64.9275427E-61.00.05.6901354E-55.999128E-55.999128E-51.00.05.6886784E-45.997606E-45.997606E-41.00.0
7.26.06668E-76.387277E-76.387277E-71.00.02.600003E-62.7374022E-62.7374022E-61.00.03.1654577E-53.3327433E-53.3327433E-51.00.03.1650066E-43.3323118E-43.3323118E-41.00.0

Lost Hills

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.233523E-52.5106583E-56.510558E-52.59316784.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.675897E-41.55758086.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00144918071.10678211.4E-40.0115866860.0130330910.0132107451.0136311.8E-4
6.12.233523E-52.5106583E-56.510558E-52.59316784.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.675897E-41.55758086.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00144918071.10678211.4E-40.0115866860.0130330910.0132107451.0136311.8E-4
6.22.233523E-52.5106583E-56.510558E-52.59316784.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.675897E-41.55758086.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00144918071.10678211.4E-40.0115866860.0130330910.0132107451.0136311.8E-4
6.32.233523E-52.5106583E-56.510558E-52.59316784.0E-59.571891E-51.0759615E-41.675897E-41.55758086.0E-50.00116475460.0013093640.00144918071.10678211.4E-40.0115866860.0130330910.0132107451.0136311.8E-4
6.41.2288092E-51.3781108E-54.3780696E-53.17686323.0E-55.2662188E-55.906108E-59.905872E-51.6772254.0E-56.409735E-47.189252E-47.988677E-41.11119728.0E-50.0063912790.00717520060.00728441171.01522051.1E-4
6.51.2288092E-51.3781108E-54.3780696E-53.17686323.0E-55.2662188E-55.906108E-59.905872E-51.6772254.0E-56.409735E-47.189252E-47.988677E-41.11119728.0E-50.0063912790.00717520060.00728441171.01522051.1E-4
6.68.58281E-69.63377E-62.9633577E-53.07601052.0E-53.6782953E-54.12874E-56.128658E-51.48438932.0E-54.4774043E-45.026414E-45.326263E-41.05965473.0E-50.00446839350.0050232050.0050729541.00990385.0E-5
6.77.205685E-68.088302E-62.808814E-53.4726872.0E-53.088114E-53.466415E-55.466346E-51.5769452.0E-53.7591302E-44.2203604E-44.5202338E-41.0710543.0E-50.00375277760.00422036040.00426019171.00943794.0E-5

Mission Creek

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1549387E-51.6322783E-51.2632099E-47.73893741.1E-44.9496433E-56.995299E-51.999439E-42.85826091.3E-46.0245243E-48.5135986E-40.00102121511.19951061.7E-40.0060082180.0085101570.008698541.02213621.9E-4
6.11.1549387E-51.6322783E-51.2632099E-47.73893741.1E-44.9496433E-56.995299E-51.999439E-42.85826091.3E-46.0245243E-48.5135986E-40.00102121511.19951061.7E-40.0060082180.0085101570.008698541.02213621.9E-4
6.21.1549387E-51.6322783E-51.2632099E-47.73893741.1E-44.9496433E-56.995299E-51.999439E-42.85826091.3E-46.0245243E-48.5135986E-40.00102121511.19951061.7E-40.0060082180.0085101570.008698541.02213621.9E-4
6.31.1549387E-51.6322783E-51.2632099E-47.73893741.1E-44.9496433E-56.995299E-51.999439E-42.85826091.3E-46.0245243E-48.5135986E-40.00102121511.19951061.7E-40.0060082180.0085101570.008698541.02213621.9E-4
6.41.1549387E-51.6322783E-51.2632099E-47.73893741.1E-44.9496433E-56.995299E-51.999439E-42.85826091.3E-46.0245243E-48.5135986E-40.00102121511.19951061.7E-40.0060082180.0085101570.008698541.02213621.9E-4
6.51.1549387E-51.6322783E-51.2632099E-47.73893741.1E-44.9496433E-56.995299E-51.999439E-42.85826091.3E-46.0245243E-48.5135986E-40.00102121511.19951061.7E-40.0060082180.0085101570.008698541.02213621.9E-4
6.69.202681E-61.3846059E-51.13844675E-48.2221721.0E-43.9439463E-55.9338956E-51.7933184E-43.02216031.2E-44.800697E-47.2222133E-48.821058E-41.22137871.6E-40.0047903390.00722734020.0074060391.02472541.8E-4
6.79.019164E-61.3651728E-51.1365036E-48.324981.0E-43.8652986E-55.8506146E-51.7849913E-43.05094651.2E-44.7049852E-47.1208854E-48.719746E-41.22453121.6E-40.0046950360.00712666470.0073053821.02507721.8E-4
6.88.673558E-61.3273839E-51.1327251E-48.5335161.0E-43.717186E-55.688669E-51.7687987E-43.10933661.2E-44.524734E-46.923842E-48.522734E-41.23092561.6E-40.00451553240.00693085230.0071096051.02579081.8E-4
6.97.002255E-61.1478069E-51.1147692E-49.7121681.0E-43.000932E-54.9190832E-51.6918493E-43.4393591.2E-43.653022E-45.9874065E-47.5864483E-41.26706761.6E-40.00364702290.0059996760.00617859561.02982161.8E-4
7.05.84644E-69.675359E-61.09674394E-411.3354341.0E-42.5055931E-54.146519E-51.6146022E-43.89387371.2E-43.0501327E-45.047263E-46.646456E-41.31684351.6E-40.00304594960.0050639940.00524308251.03536511.8E-4
7.15.54703E-69.329834E-69.9328994E-510.6463849.0E-52.377277E-53.9984414E-51.4998001E-43.75096181.1E-42.8939504E-44.8670598E-46.3663296E-41.30804431.5E-40.00289018450.00488458760.0050537571.03463341.7E-4
7.24.384709E-67.681918E-69.768123E-512.71573459.0E-51.8791474E-53.292211E-51.4291849E-44.34110981.1E-42.2876218E-44.0075663E-45.506965E-41.3741421.5E-40.00228526820.0040285420.0041978571.04202891.7E-4
7.33.7888456E-66.915788E-69.6915166E-514.0136119.0E-51.623781E-52.9638775E-51.3963551E-44.71124461.1E-41.9767738E-43.6079568E-45.1074155E-41.41559781.5E-40.00197501620.003630270.0037996531.04665851.7E-4
7.42.1982462E-65.0241033E-69.502365E-518.9135559.0E-59.421021E-62.1531694E-51.3152932E-46.1086381.1E-41.1469489E-42.6211704E-44.120777E-41.57211351.5E-40.00114635720.00264603270.00281558281.06407711.7E-4
7.52.051923E-64.6153277E-69.4614916E-520.500159.0E-58.793926E-61.9779825E-51.2977765E-46.5611121.1E-41.0706078E-42.4079291E-43.907568E-41.62279191.5E-40.00107009220.00243359320.00260317931.06968561.7E-4
7.61.8733427E-64.1236603E-69.412329E-522.8251789.0E-58.028587E-61.7672712E-51.2767076E-47.22417551.1E-49.774366E-52.151441E-43.6511183E-41.69705711.5E-49.770069E-40.00217825130.0023478811.07787431.7E-4
7.71.8411953E-64.0433315E-69.404297E-523.2587819.0E-57.890813E-61.732845E-51.2732654E-47.3478321.1E-49.606641E-52.1095353E-43.609219E-41.71090711.5E-49.6024893E-40.00213652920.00230616591.07939831.7E-4
7.81.7194251E-63.71068E-69.371035E-525.2542259.0E-57.368944E-61.5902819E-51.2590108E-47.9169031.1E-48.97132E-51.9359968E-43.4357063E-41.77464461.5E-48.967699E-40.00196247570.0021321421.08645521.7E-4
7.91.4035052E-62.9502596E-69.2949995E-531.50579.0E-56.0150082E-61.2643909E-51.2264252E-49.6997311.1E-47.3230265E-51.5392878E-43.039057E-41.97432661.5E-47.3206134E-40.00156311740.00173285161.1085871.7E-4
8.03.9318823E-75.528477E-72.0552836E-537.1763042.0E-51.6850913E-62.3693453E-63.2369273E-513.66169553.0E-52.0515794E-52.8846403E-56.884525E-52.38661464.0E-52.0513899E-42.990952E-43.4908025E-41.16712085.0E-5
8.11.596793E-71.13775044E-71.13775044E-71.00.06.8433974E-74.876072E-74.876072E-71.00.08.331805E-65.936602E-65.936602E-61.00.08.331492E-56.5494125E-56.5494125E-51.00.0
8.24.9003038E-82.5435753E-82.5435753E-81.00.02.10013E-71.09010365E-71.09010365E-71.00.02.5569052E-61.3272004E-61.3272004E-61.00.02.556876E-51.4952613E-51.4952613E-51.00.0

Owens Valley

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.83821E-53.6210524E-66.3620835E-517.5697086.0E-52.0733538E-41.551871E-59.551747E-56.1549888.0E-50.0025213861.889249E-43.1890033E-41.68797411.3E-40.0249296910.00192971410.00209938621.08792591.7E-4
6.14.83821E-53.6210524E-66.3620835E-517.5697086.0E-52.0733538E-41.551871E-59.551747E-56.1549888.0E-50.0025213861.889249E-43.1890033E-41.68797411.3E-40.0249296910.00192971410.00209938621.08792591.7E-4
6.24.83821E-53.6210524E-66.3620835E-517.5697086.0E-52.0733538E-41.551871E-59.551747E-56.1549888.0E-50.0025213861.889249E-43.1890033E-41.68797411.3E-40.0249296910.00192971410.00209938621.08792591.7E-4
6.33.953008E-53.1530958E-66.3152904E-520.0288566.0E-51.6940363E-41.3513202E-58.3512256E-56.18004947.0E-50.0020605381.6451156E-42.844918E-41.72931211.2E-40.0204153640.00166216270.00182189681.09610011.6E-4
6.43.953008E-53.1530958E-66.3152904E-520.0288566.0E-51.6940363E-41.3513202E-58.3512256E-56.18004947.0E-50.0020605381.6451156E-42.844918E-41.72931211.2E-40.0204153640.00166216270.00182189681.09610011.6E-4
6.53.457342E-52.9707387E-66.297056E-521.1969366.0E-51.4816338E-41.273168E-58.273079E-56.49802647.0E-50.00180239651.5499788E-42.7497928E-41.77408421.2E-40.0178784770.00155631190.00171606281.10264721.6E-4
6.63.1127765E-52.8737306E-66.287356E-521.8787236.0E-51.3339789E-41.2315934E-58.231507E-56.6836247.0E-50.00162290921.4993687E-42.6991888E-41.80021681.2E-40.0161110810.00150134380.00166110361.10641121.6E-4
6.72.806885E-52.8101606E-66.2809995E-522.3510346.0E-51.2028952E-41.2043493E-58.204265E-56.8121977.0E-50.0014635411.4662035E-42.6660276E-41.81832031.2E-40.0145393970.00146560870.00162537421.10900961.6E-4
6.82.524524E-52.2351392E-66.2235005E-527.8439066.0E-51.0818939E-49.579134E-67.9578465E-58.307487.0E-50.00131640991.16620016E-42.3660602E-42.0288631.2E-40.013086390.0011658270.00132564061.13708161.6E-4
6.92.2704568E-51.6079711E-66.1607876E-538.3140456.0E-59.730166E-56.8912864E-67.689081E-511.1576857.0E-50.00118400398.38982E-52.0388814E-42.43018481.2E-40.0117771538.38853E-49.987188E-41.19057671.6E-4
7.02.0871712E-51.5393621E-66.153927E-539.9771236.0E-58.944713E-56.5972495E-67.6596785E-511.6104137.0E-50.00108847468.031857E-52.0030893E-42.49393061.2E-40.0108315868.030395E-49.6291106E-41.1990831.6E-4
7.11.944928E-51.3862556E-66.138617E-544.2826.0E-58.335139E-55.941082E-67.594067E-512.7822967.0E-50.00101433087.233028E-51.923216E-42.65893631.2E-40.0100971337.2319806E-48.8308234E-41.22107961.6E-4
7.21.7876306E-51.2487686E-66.124869E-549.047276.0E-57.6610486E-55.3518543E-67.535148E-514.0795097.0E-59.3233347E-46.515689E-51.8514907E-42.84158851.2E-40.0092843166.5148395E-48.113797E-41.24543321.6E-4
7.31.2618672E-51.1113839E-66.1111314E-554.9866876.0E-55.40789E-54.763065E-67.4762735E-515.6963487.0E-56.582117E-45.7988782E-51.7798183E-43.06924581.2E-40.00656265535.7983754E-47.397448E-41.27577941.6E-4
7.47.4874442E-68.547518E-76.08547E-571.1957556.0E-53.208865E-53.6632168E-67.366296E-520.1088187.0E-53.906093E-44.4598757E-51.5459386E-43.46632651.1E-40.0038992344.459579E-45.9589103E-41.33620461.5E-4
7.52.4734156E-66.0679935E-72.0606787E-533.9598052.0E-51.060031E-52.6005662E-63.260049E-512.5359193.0E-51.2905113E-43.1661435E-51.0165922E-43.21082147.0E-50.00128976213.1656958E-44.1653792E-41.31578641.0E-4
7.61.1328841E-63.1961991E-71.0319617E-532.287151.0E-54.8552088E-61.369799E-62.1369771E-515.6006622.0E-55.9110564E-51.6677177E-57.667617E-54.5976716.0E-55.9094845E-41.6675945E-42.3674777E-41.41969637.0E-5
7.74.8613185E-78.962742E-81.0089627E-5112.572991.0E-52.0834207E-63.8411747E-71.0384114E-527.0336931.0E-52.536535E-54.676621E-64.4676435E-59.5531444.0E-52.5362454E-44.676529E-58.676342E-51.85529524.0E-5

Red Mountain

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1810763E-54.7590016E-51.0758716E-42.26070866.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.6392995E-41.2941416.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.00258008531.04021721.0E-40.0215804520.024544110.0246611651.00476921.2E-4
6.14.1810763E-54.7590016E-51.0758716E-42.26070866.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.6392995E-41.2941416.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.00258008531.04021721.0E-40.0215804520.024544110.0246611651.00476921.2E-4
6.24.1810763E-54.7590016E-51.0758716E-42.26070866.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.6392995E-41.2941416.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.00258008531.04021721.0E-40.0215804520.024544110.0246611651.00476921.2E-4
6.34.1810763E-54.7590016E-51.0758716E-42.26070866.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.6392995E-41.2941416.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.00258008531.04021721.0E-40.0215804520.024544110.0246611651.00476921.2E-4
6.44.1810763E-54.7590016E-51.0758716E-42.26070866.0E-51.7917668E-42.039422E-42.6392995E-41.2941416.0E-50.00217929340.00248033340.00258008531.04021721.0E-40.0215804520.024544110.0246611651.00476921.2E-4
6.53.154503E-53.5359757E-56.53587E-51.84839213.0E-51.3518598E-41.5153353E-41.8152899E-41.1979463.0E-50.00164464670.00184345180.00191332271.03790227.0E-50.016325280.0182912440.0183894151.0053671.0E-4
6.63.1535834E-53.5349138E-56.534808E-51.8486473.0E-51.3514658E-41.5148803E-41.8148348E-41.19800543.0E-50.00164416760.00184289870.00191276971.03791377.0E-50.016320560.0182858050.0183839761.00536871.0E-4
6.72.8267326E-53.1469353E-56.146841E-51.95327843.0E-51.2114006E-41.3486217E-41.6485812E-41.22241943.0E-50.00147388240.00164079540.00170069691.03650766.0E-50.0146414520.016295570.0163841041.0054339.0E-5
6.82.8212884E-53.1407242E-56.1406296E-51.95516373.0E-51.20906756E-41.3459599E-41.6459195E-41.22285933.0E-50.00147104570.00163755950.00169746121.03657986.0E-50.0146134590.0162636880.0163522231.00544389.0E-5
6.92.4227871E-52.6706994E-54.670646E-51.74884752.0E-51.03829596E-41.1445395E-41.3445166E-41.17472282.0E-50.00126339230.00139266210.00144259241.03585245.0E-50.0125623360.01384703350.0139160641.00498527.0E-5
7.02.348524E-52.5835778E-54.5835262E-51.77410032.0E-51.0064714E-41.10720495E-41.3071828E-41.18061512.0E-50.00122469010.0013472640.00139719671.03706235.0E-50.0121796270.0133985980.013467661.00515447.0E-5
7.12.2311642E-52.4462845E-54.4462355E-51.81754642.0E-59.561782E-51.04836974E-41.2483487E-41.19075242.0E-50.00116352520.00127571760.00132565371.03914375.0E-50.011574520.012691460.0127605711.00544557.0E-5
7.21.6533986E-51.7670362E-53.7670008E-52.13181882.0E-57.085802E-57.572828E-59.572677E-51.26408212.0E-58.623549E-49.2166534E-49.716192E-41.05419965.0E-50.0085901610.0091847070.0092441561.00647266.0E-5
7.31.4703092E-51.5559537E-53.5559224E-52.28536532.0E-56.301173E-56.668237E-58.668104E-51.29990942.0E-57.668978E-48.1161706E-48.6157647E-41.06155545.0E-50.00764256580.0080926040.0081521181.00735416.0E-5
7.46.1331984E-65.5288874E-65.5288874E-61.00.02.6284872E-52.3695018E-52.3695018E-51.00.03.199713E-42.884492E-43.084434E-41.06931632.0E-50.00319510980.00288080240.0029107161.01038373.0E-5
7.55.954766E-65.338517E-65.338517E-61.00.02.5520176E-52.2879161E-52.2879161E-51.00.03.1066386E-42.785187E-42.9851313E-41.07178842.0E-50.0031022990.00278175040.00281166681.01075463.0E-5
7.64.9726646E-64.315309E-64.315309E-61.00.02.1311245E-51.8494053E-51.8494053E-51.00.02.5943352E-42.2514217E-42.4513766E-41.08881272.0E-50.00259130840.00224917540.0022791081.01330823.0E-5
7.73.3613894E-62.8526886E-62.8526886E-61.00.01.4405875E-51.22257525E-51.22257525E-51.00.01.7537741E-41.4883863E-41.5883715E-41.06717681.0E-50.00175239080.00148741570.00149740091.0067131.0E-5
7.81.1828961E-61.0122935E-61.0122935E-61.00.05.069545E-64.338394E-64.338394E-61.00.06.171996E-55.281869E-55.281869E-51.00.06.170282E-45.280643E-45.280643E-41.00.0
7.92.2967266E-71.861919E-71.861919E-71.00.09.843111E-77.97965E-77.97965E-71.00.01.19839215E-59.715184E-69.715184E-61.00.01.1983275E-49.714788E-59.714788E-51.00.0

Rose Canyon

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.5923203E-54.9714607E-51.1971113E-42.40796697.0E-51.9679888E-42.1304654E-42.8303164E-41.32849677.0E-50.00239339330.00259094780.0027006631.04234551.1E-40.0236777980.0256185180.0257646761.00570511.5E-4
6.14.5923203E-54.9714607E-59.9712124E-52.00569065.0E-51.9679888E-42.1304654E-42.630359E-41.23464055.0E-50.00239339330.00259094780.00266076651.02694717.0E-50.0236777980.0256185180.02572571.00418381.1E-4
6.22.8844734E-52.9669678E-55.966879E-52.01110343.0E-51.2361443E-41.2714976E-41.5714594E-41.23591223.0E-50.00150396650.0015469760.00158691421.02581694.0E-50.01493828650.0153648730.0154239521.0038456.0E-5
6.32.3171577E-52.3162425E-55.316173E-52.29517133.0E-59.9302975E-59.926383E-51.2926085E-41.30219483.0E-50.00120834310.00120788040.00123784421.02480693.0E-50.0120179380.0120121520.0120615511.00411255.0E-5
6.42.0066604E-51.9668067E-53.9667673E-52.01685672.0E-58.599689E-58.428905E-51.0428736E-41.23725882.0E-50.00104650920.0010257460.00104572551.0194782.0E-50.0104159460.0102114790.010251071.00387724.0E-5
6.51.776989E-51.7115402E-53.711506E-52.1685182.0E-57.615444E-57.33497E-59.334823E-51.27264642.0E-59.267859E-48.926737E-49.126558E-41.02238462.0E-50.0092293030.0088746630.00890439751.00335043.0E-5
6.61.5227364E-51.4340872E-53.4340585E-52.39459512.0E-56.52585E-56.145947E-58.145824E-51.32539772.0E-57.942326E-47.480173E-47.6800236E-41.02671732.0E-50.0079140.00744103360.00747081031.00400173.0E-5
6.71.2703898E-51.1674277E-52.1674161E-51.8565741.0E-55.4444143E-55.0031682E-56.003118E-51.19986331.0E-56.626558E-46.089697E-46.189636E-41.01641121.0E-50.0066068330.00606230930.0060821881.00327912.0E-5
6.81.1554917E-51.0610384E-51.0610384E-51.00.04.9520135E-54.547231E-54.547231E-51.00.06.0274085E-45.5348873E-45.5348873E-41.00.00.00601108650.0055044140.0055143591.00180671.0E-5
6.98.732078E-67.882285E-67.882285E-61.00.03.7422655E-53.37808E-53.37808E-51.00.04.5552556E-44.112066E-44.112066E-41.00.00.00454592940.0040895150.00409947431.00243531.0E-5
7.05.9337494E-65.107436E-65.107436E-61.00.02.5430107E-52.1888829E-52.1888829E-51.00.03.0956755E-42.6646405E-42.6646405E-41.00.00.00309136670.0026614610.00267143451.00374731.0E-5
7.15.013409E-64.17734E-64.17734E-61.00.02.1485863E-51.7902763E-51.7902763E-51.00.02.6155898E-42.1794444E-42.1794444E-41.00.00.00261251330.00217731880.0021872971.00458281.0E-5
7.24.120763E-63.2820917E-63.2820917E-61.00.01.7660293E-51.4066032E-51.4066032E-51.00.02.1499286E-41.7124058E-41.7124058E-41.00.00.00214784990.00171109580.00172107861.00583421.0E-5
7.33.2081239E-62.4404965E-62.4404965E-61.00.01.374903E-51.0459229E-51.0459229E-51.00.01.6738157E-41.2733374E-41.2733374E-41.00.00.00167255560.00127261480.00127261481.00.0
7.42.4194755E-61.7680321E-61.7680321E-61.00.01.0369139E-57.5772587E-67.5772587E-61.00.01.2623696E-49.224927E-59.224927E-51.00.00.00126165279.221151E-49.221151E-41.00.0
7.51.3842889E-69.3782967E-79.3782967E-71.00.05.9326535E-64.019264E-64.019264E-61.00.07.222766E-54.8933474E-54.8933474E-51.00.07.220419E-44.8923056E-44.8923056E-41.00.0
7.61.0021575E-66.4113493E-76.4113493E-71.00.04.2949537E-62.7477186E-62.7477186E-61.00.05.2289808E-53.345298E-53.345298E-51.00.05.2277505E-43.344816E-43.344816E-41.00.0
7.78.7620116E-86.449304E-86.449304E-81.00.03.7551473E-72.763987E-72.763987E-71.00.04.5718825E-63.3651493E-63.3651493E-61.00.04.5717883E-53.3651013E-53.3651013E-51.00.0

Santa Rosa Island

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.1143165E-54.709113E-59.708877E-52.0617215.0E-51.7631594E-42.0180462E-42.5179452E-41.24771445.0E-50.0021445330.00245439910.00255415361.04064321.0E-40.0212395530.0242935570.0244399121.00602451.5E-4
6.12.1061249E-52.3864959E-54.3864482E-51.83802882.0E-59.0259375E-51.0227455E-41.2227251E-41.19553212.0E-50.00109835390.00124451030.00126448541.01605062.0E-50.010929410.012378450.0124080791.00239363.0E-5
6.22.1061249E-52.3864959E-54.3864482E-51.83802882.0E-59.0259375E-51.0227455E-41.2227251E-41.19553212.0E-50.00109835390.00124451030.00126448541.01605062.0E-50.010929410.012378450.0124080791.00239363.0E-5
6.31.5158236E-51.7074419E-52.7074248E-51.58566151.0E-56.496225E-57.3174095E-58.317336E-51.13665041.0E-57.906284E-48.9054246E-49.005336E-41.01121911.0E-50.0078782140.008870990.0088908121.00223462.0E-5
6.41.2341918E-51.3852917E-52.3852777E-51.72185971.0E-55.2892858E-55.9368336E-56.936774E-51.168431.0E-56.437803E-47.225779E-47.325707E-41.01382941.0E-50.0064191840.00720312170.00721304961.00137831.0E-5
6.59.061158E-61.0117032E-52.011693E-51.98842231.0E-53.883296E-54.3358017E-55.335758E-51.23062791.0E-54.726887E-45.277613E-45.37756E-41.0189381.0E-50.0047168450.00526561770.00527556471.00188911.0E-5
6.67.5461685E-68.400734E-61.840065E-52.19036221.0E-53.2340322E-53.600267E-54.600231E-51.27774721.0E-53.936723E-44.3824868E-44.4824427E-41.02280811.0E-50.0039297560.00437427360.004384231.00227611.0E-5
6.75.5023775E-66.087381E-61.608732E-52.64273261.0E-52.3581404E-52.6088532E-53.6088273E-51.38330021.0E-52.8706578E-43.1758484E-43.2758166E-41.03147771.0E-50.00286695220.00317163160.00318159981.0031431.0E-5
6.83.7351679E-64.0831405E-64.0831405E-61.00.01.6007763E-51.7499071E-51.7499071E-51.00.01.948771E-42.1303285E-42.1303285E-41.00.00.00194706290.00212853150.00212853151.00.0
6.92.456366E-62.6292707E-62.6292707E-61.00.01.0527241E-51.1268255E-51.1268255E-51.00.01.2816161E-41.3718239E-41.3718239E-41.00.00.00128087730.00137097990.00137097991.00.0
7.02.3245157E-62.4827784E-62.4827784E-61.00.09.962172E-61.0640436E-51.0640436E-51.00.01.2128269E-41.2953962E-41.2953962E-41.00.00.00121216520.00129464340.00129464341.00.0
7.12.2248344E-62.37325E-62.37325E-61.00.09.53497E-61.0171032E-51.0171032E-51.00.01.1608207E-41.238253E-41.238253E-41.00.00.00116021440.00123756510.00123756511.00.0
7.22.1350402E-62.2761542E-62.2761542E-61.00.09.150141E-69.75491E-69.75491E-61.00.01.1139726E-41.1875957E-41.1875957E-41.00.00.00111341440.00118696290.00118696291.00.0
7.31.9793572E-62.1087192E-62.1087192E-61.00.08.482932E-69.037337E-69.037337E-61.00.01.032748E-41.1002403E-41.1002403E-41.00.00.00103226820.00109969740.00109969741.00.0
7.41.6951194E-61.8045735E-61.8045735E-61.00.07.264777E-67.733864E-67.733864E-61.00.08.844508E-59.415574E-59.415574E-51.00.08.840988E-49.411601E-49.411601E-41.00.0
7.58.987207E-79.512216E-79.512216E-71.00.03.8516546E-64.0766577E-64.0766577E-61.00.04.6892885E-54.9632188E-54.9632188E-51.00.04.688299E-44.962122E-44.962122E-41.00.0
7.63.8783037E-74.0529335E-74.0529335E-71.00.01.6621291E-61.7369704E-61.7369704E-61.00.02.0236233E-52.1147416E-52.1147416E-51.00.02.023439E-42.114547E-42.114547E-41.00.0
7.76.181804E-86.339047E-86.339047E-81.00.02.6493444E-72.7167343E-72.7167343E-71.00.03.225572E-63.307619E-63.307619E-61.00.03.225525E-53.3075703E-53.3075703E-51.00.0
7.81.3704449E-91.3964153E-91.3964153E-91.00.05.873335E-95.984637E-95.984637E-91.00.07.1507856E-87.286295E-87.286295E-81.00.07.1507833E-77.286294E-77.286294E-71.00.0

Deep Springs

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9810619E-52.311252E-57.311136E-53.16327985.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.490478E-41.50473155.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.00131567521.09111511.1E-40.0102837570.012042430.0122005041.01312641.6E-4
6.11.9810619E-52.311252E-57.311136E-53.16327985.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.490478E-41.50473155.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.00131567521.09111511.1E-40.0102837570.012042430.0122005041.01312641.6E-4
6.21.9810619E-52.311252E-57.311136E-53.16327985.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.490478E-41.50473155.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.00131567521.09111511.1E-40.0102837570.012042430.0122005041.01312641.6E-4
6.31.9810619E-52.311252E-57.311136E-53.16327985.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.490478E-41.50473155.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.00131567521.09111511.1E-40.0102837570.012042430.0122005041.01312641.6E-4
6.41.9810619E-52.311252E-57.311136E-53.16327985.0E-58.489989E-59.9052755E-51.490478E-41.50473155.0E-50.0010331660.00120580780.00131567521.09111511.1E-40.0102837570.012042430.0122005041.01312641.6E-4
6.51.7190405E-52.0050558E-56.0049755E-52.9949174.0E-57.367108E-58.593096E-51.2592753E-41.46544994.0E-58.9657627E-40.00104620920.00114610471.09548321.0E-40.0089296760.0104620610.0106005961.01324161.4E-4
6.61.7190405E-52.0050558E-56.0049755E-52.9949174.0E-57.367108E-58.593096E-51.2592753E-41.46544994.0E-58.9657627E-40.00104620920.00114610471.09548321.0E-40.0089296760.0104620610.0106005961.01324161.4E-4

San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.693995E-66.660123E-67.665966E-511.5102467.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-51.2854021E-44.5033771.0E-43.492233E-43.4745657E-44.774114E-41.37401751.3E-40.003486750.00354911670.00369858441.0421141.5E-4
6.16.693995E-66.660123E-67.665966E-511.5102467.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-51.2854021E-44.5033771.0E-43.492233E-43.4745657E-44.774114E-41.37401751.3E-40.003486750.00354911670.00369858441.0421141.5E-4
6.26.693995E-66.660123E-67.665966E-511.5102467.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-51.2854021E-44.5033771.0E-43.492233E-43.4745657E-44.774114E-41.37401751.3E-40.003486750.00354911670.00369858441.0421141.5E-4
6.36.693995E-66.660123E-67.665966E-511.5102467.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-51.2854021E-44.5033771.0E-43.492233E-43.4745657E-44.774114E-41.37401751.3E-40.003486750.00354911670.00369858441.0421141.5E-4
6.46.693995E-66.660123E-67.665966E-511.5102467.0E-52.8688235E-52.8543072E-51.2854021E-44.5033771.0E-43.492233E-43.4745657E-44.774114E-41.37401751.3E-40.003486750.00354911670.00369858441.0421141.5E-4
6.56.6561875E-66.620341E-67.661988E-511.5734037.0E-52.8526205E-52.8372582E-51.2836975E-44.52442931.0E-43.472512E-43.453815E-44.7533662E-41.37626541.3E-40.00346709070.00352843220.0036779031.04236191.5E-4
6.66.6561875E-66.620341E-67.661988E-511.5734037.0E-52.8526205E-52.8372582E-51.2836975E-44.52442931.0E-43.472512E-43.453815E-44.7533662E-41.37626541.3E-40.00346709070.00352843220.0036779031.04236191.5E-4
6.76.5802237E-66.539518E-67.653906E-511.7040837.0E-52.8200653E-52.8026205E-51.280234E-44.56798931.0E-43.4328885E-43.4116567E-44.7112134E-41.38091651.3E-40.00342759020.00348640650.00363588361.04287421.5E-4
6.86.575632E-66.5340073E-67.653355E-511.713117.0E-52.8180975E-52.8002589E-51.2799978E-44.57099871.0E-43.4304935E-43.4087826E-44.7083394E-41.38123791.3E-40.00342520260.00348354130.00363301881.04290961.5E-4
6.96.570433E-66.525401E-67.652494E-511.727247.0E-52.8158694E-52.7965707E-51.279629E-44.5757081.0E-43.4277816E-43.4042934E-44.703851E-41.38174071.3E-40.00342249920.00347906650.00362854451.0429651.5E-4
7.06.5643826E-66.5155223E-67.651507E-511.7435057.0E-52.8132765E-52.7923368E-51.2792058E-44.581131.0E-43.424626E-43.3991406E-44.6986988E-41.38231961.3E-40.00341935320.00347392960.00362340851.04302871.5E-4
7.16.557402E-66.504234E-67.650378E-511.7621517.0E-52.8102848E-52.7874992E-51.278722E-44.5873451.0E-43.4209844E-43.3932526E-44.6928113E-41.38298321.3E-40.00341572290.00346806060.00361754051.04310181.5E-4
7.26.546394E-66.4862006E-67.648575E-511.7920727.0E-52.8055672E-52.7797707E-51.2779492E-44.5973191.0E-43.4152428E-43.383846E-44.683406E-41.38404821.3E-40.00340999870.00345868830.00360816931.04321911.5E-4
7.36.5364216E-66.4669857E-67.646653E-511.8241397.0E-52.8012933E-52.771536E-51.2771258E-44.6080081.0E-43.4100408E-43.373823E-44.6733845E-41.38518951.3E-40.0034048130.00344871030.0035981931.04334451.5E-4
7.46.5269523E-66.4480723E-67.644762E-511.8558877.0E-52.7972354E-52.7634303E-51.2763155E-44.6185911.0E-43.4051016E-43.3639578E-44.6635204E-41.38631951.3E-40.00339988880.00343889230.00358837631.04346871.5E-4
7.56.5111835E-66.424346E-67.6423894E-511.8959817.0E-52.7904773E-52.753262E-51.2752987E-44.6319551.0E-43.3968766E-43.3515817E-44.651146E-41.38774661.3E-40.00339168870.00342656440.00357605031.04362561.5E-4
7.66.4768806E-66.383454E-67.638301E-511.9657797.0E-52.7757764E-52.7357375E-51.2735464E-44.65522151.0E-43.3789838E-43.330252E-44.629819E-41.39023091.3E-40.00337385040.00340529720.00354482051.04097251.4E-4
7.76.1655364E-66.1759456E-67.6175515E-512.3342277.0E-52.642346E-52.646807E-51.2646543E-44.7780371.0E-43.2165812E-43.2220117E-44.521593E-41.40334461.3E-40.00321192950.00329693620.00343647461.04232371.4E-4
7.85.5043524E-65.7370175E-66.5736676E-511.4583366.0E-52.3589868E-52.4586987E-51.1458477E-44.66038279.0E-52.871688E-42.993055E-44.1926958E-41.40080811.2E-40.00286797970.00306705850.00319665971.04225591.3E-4
7.93.889249E-64.0766436E-64.407648E-510.8119544.0E-51.6668104E-51.7471213E-58.746999E-55.00652077.0E-52.0291525E-42.126913E-43.1267002E-41.4700651.0E-40.00202730070.00219410730.0023038661.05002431.1E-4
8.02.668535E-62.5313454E-61.253132E-54.95045851.0E-51.1436528E-51.0848577E-55.0848143E-54.68707944.0E-51.3923083E-41.3207346E-41.8206685E-41.37852725.0E-50.00139143630.00137556650.00143548391.04355846.0E-5
8.11.5911459E-61.2185134E-61.2185134E-61.00.06.8191785E-65.2221894E-63.5222034E-56.74468663.0E-58.3020335E-56.357832E-59.357642E-51.47182893.0E-58.298933E-46.6911156E-46.9909147E-41.04480553.0E-5
8.26.1294963E-72.1802066E-72.1802066E-71.00.02.6269242E-69.3437393E-79.3437393E-71.00.03.1982334E-51.1375943E-51.1375943E-51.00.03.1977732E-41.2778955E-41.2778955E-41.00.0
8.31.762871E-74.7516316E-84.7516316E-81.00.07.5551594E-72.0364133E-72.0364133E-71.00.09.1983675E-62.4793305E-62.4793305E-61.00.09.197987E-52.8671833E-52.8671833E-51.00.0

San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7374346E-52.41444E-55.4143675E-52.2424943.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.634657E-41.57980756.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00135891911.07932531.0E-40.014182210.0129281950.0130565141.00992551.3E-4
6.12.7374346E-52.41444E-55.4143675E-52.2424943.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.634657E-41.57980756.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00135891911.07932531.0E-40.014182210.0129281950.0130565141.00992551.3E-4
6.22.7374346E-52.41444E-55.4143675E-52.2424943.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.634657E-41.57980756.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00135891911.07932531.0E-40.014182210.0129281950.0130565141.00992551.3E-4
6.32.7374346E-52.41444E-55.4143675E-52.2424943.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.634657E-41.57980756.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00135891911.07932531.0E-40.014182210.0129281950.0130565141.00992551.3E-4
6.42.7374346E-52.41444E-55.4143675E-52.2424943.0E-51.1731335E-41.034719E-41.634657E-41.57980756.0E-50.00142735420.0012590450.00135891911.07932531.0E-40.014182210.0129281950.0130565141.00992551.3E-4
6.52.7282445E-52.4030476E-55.4029755E-52.24838473.0E-51.16919524E-41.0298371E-41.6297752E-41.58255656.0E-50.00142256570.0012531080.00135298271.07970151.0E-40.0141349340.0128695220.0129978491.00997141.3E-4
6.62.7282445E-52.4030476E-55.4029755E-52.24838473.0E-51.16919524E-41.0298371E-41.6297752E-41.58255656.0E-50.00142256570.0012531080.00135298271.07970151.0E-40.0141349340.0128695220.0129978491.00997141.3E-4
6.72.7216198E-52.3955597E-55.395488E-52.2522873.0E-51.1663563E-41.02662816E-41.6265667E-41.58437756.0E-50.00141911370.00124920580.00134908081.07995081.0E-40.0141008550.0128309340.0129592661.01000181.3E-4
6.82.7078617E-52.3872815E-55.38721E-52.25662953.0E-51.1604605E-41.0230807E-41.6230193E-41.5864046.0E-50.0014119450.00124489170.00134476721.08022831.0E-40.0140300750.01278808250.012916421.01003581.3E-4
6.92.6982952E-52.3792329E-55.3791617E-52.26088073.0E-51.15636096E-41.0196315E-41.6195704E-41.58838786.0E-50.00140696020.00124069710.00134057311.08049991.0E-40.0139808560.0127463780.0128747221.0100691.3E-4
7.02.6449972E-52.3369357E-55.3368654E-52.28370243.0E-51.1335209E-41.0015055E-41.6014454E-41.5990386.0E-50.0013791880.00121865350.00131853171.08195781.0E-40.01370659750.0125277330.0126561051.0102471.3E-4
7.12.6257849E-52.3195396E-55.31947E-52.29333023.0E-51.1252879E-49.940507E-51.593991E-41.6035316.0E-50.00136917690.00120958730.00130946641.08257281.0E-40.0136077170.0124376610.0125660441.01032211.3E-4
7.22.5270041E-52.2390155E-55.2389485E-52.33984453.0E-51.0829568E-49.5954296E-51.5594854E-41.62523776.0E-50.00131770240.00116761980.0012675031.08554431.0E-40.0130991620.01201879050.0121373481.00986431.2E-4
7.32.339701E-52.1122027E-55.1121395E-52.42028833.0E-51.0026905E-49.051985E-51.5051442E-41.66277816.0E-50.0012200920.0011015240.00120141381.09068331.0E-40.0121341490.0113576420.0114762791.01044561.2E-4
7.42.296333E-52.0852396E-55.085177E-52.43865373.0E-59.841056E-58.936436E-51.49359E-41.67134866.0E-50.00119748990.00108747010.00118736131.09185661.0E-40.0119105750.0112167540.0113354071.01057831.2E-4
7.52.2188895E-52.037534E-55.037473E-52.4723383.0E-59.50918E-58.731998E-51.4731474E-41.6870686.0E-50.00115712770.00106260420.0011624981.09400841.0E-40.0115112090.0109663690.0110850531.01082251.2E-4
7.62.0013189E-51.8961666E-54.8961097E-52.58210953.0E-58.5767984E-58.126176E-51.4125688E-41.73829476.0E-50.0010437259.889146E-40.00108881571.10102091.0E-40.0103883650.0102243710.0103431451.01161671.2E-4
7.71.7230794E-51.6743043E-54.674254E-52.7917593.0E-57.384417E-57.175393E-51.3174962E-41.83613116.0E-58.986819E-48.732547E-49.731674E-41.11441411.0E-40.0089505620.009062920.0091818331.01312081.2E-4
7.81.4478809E-51.499039E-54.498994E-53.00125223.0E-56.205057E-56.424295E-51.242391E-41.93389466.0E-57.552038E-47.8187784E-48.817997E-41.12779721.0E-40.00752642420.0081413880.0082604111.01461951.2E-4
7.91.1114467E-51.1644517E-54.164417E-53.576293.0E-54.7632562E-54.990412E-51.0990113E-42.20224556.0E-55.797721E-46.074139E-47.073531E-41.16453241.0E-40.00578261870.00638035450.0064995891.01868771.2E-4
8.09.327402E-69.8986575E-63.989836E-54.0306843.0E-53.9973966E-54.2422133E-51.0241959E-42.41429626.0E-54.8657437E-45.163676E-46.16316E-41.19356051.0E-40.00485510330.005449940.0055692861.02189861.2E-4
8.17.0235833E-66.826985E-66.826985E-61.00.03.0100724E-52.9258183E-55.9257305E-52.0253243.0E-53.664147E-43.5616063E-43.961464E-41.11226894.0E-50.0036581110.00378745720.00382730571.01052124.0E-5
8.22.0358202E-68.9912584E-78.9912584E-71.00.08.724915E-63.853391E-63.853391E-61.00.01.06220665E-44.6914047E-54.6914047E-51.00.00.0010616995.3239096E-45.3239096E-41.00.0
8.32.0051264E-76.61379E-86.61379E-81.00.08.5933965E-72.8344812E-72.8344812E-71.00.01.046241E-53.450976E-63.450976E-61.00.01.0461917E-44.0120205E-54.0120205E-51.00.0

Santa Cruz Island

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9164563E-53.1599742E-55.1599112E-51.63289652.0E-51.2498499E-41.3542121E-41.6541715E-41.2215013.0E-50.00152063010.00164764260.00168757661.02423724.0E-50.0151026670.0163680.0164663621.00600951.0E-4
6.12.9164563E-53.1599742E-55.1599112E-51.63289652.0E-51.2498499E-41.3542121E-41.6541715E-41.2215013.0E-50.00152063010.00164764260.00168757661.02423724.0E-50.0151026670.0163680.0164663621.00600951.0E-4
6.22.9164563E-53.1599742E-55.1599112E-51.63289652.0E-51.2498499E-41.3542121E-41.6541715E-41.2215013.0E-50.00152063010.00164764260.00168757661.02423724.0E-50.0151026670.0163680.0164663621.00600951.0E-4
6.31.6635553E-51.780436E-51.780436E-51.00.07.1293274E-57.630227E-58.63015E-51.13104771.0E-58.6765E-49.286024E-49.485838E-41.02151782.0E-50.0086427010.0092490940.0093184471.00749837.0E-5
6.41.6635553E-51.780436E-51.780436E-51.00.07.1293274E-57.630227E-58.63015E-51.13104771.0E-58.6765E-49.286024E-49.485838E-41.02151782.0E-50.0086427010.0092490940.0093184471.00749837.0E-5
6.51.2238748E-51.3042996E-51.3042996E-51.00.05.2450723E-55.5897377E-55.5897377E-51.00.06.3840044E-46.8034173E-46.9033494E-41.01468851.0E-50.00636569550.0067829880.00682271641.00585714.0E-5
6.61.0489767E-51.1156636E-51.1156636E-51.00.04.495537E-54.781329E-54.781329E-51.00.05.4719415E-45.819736E-45.819736E-41.00.00.0054584870.0058047360.005824621.00342552.0E-5
6.78.699222E-69.236783E-69.236783E-61.00.03.7281847E-53.958561E-53.958561E-51.00.04.5381195E-44.818488E-44.818488E-41.00.00.00452886340.0048081080.004818061.00206981.0E-5
6.88.307732E-68.8169045E-68.8169045E-61.00.03.560408E-53.7786187E-53.7786187E-51.00.04.3339343E-44.5995016E-44.5995016E-41.00.00.0043254920.00459003540.00459998941.00216871.0E-5
6.98.073121E-68.564939E-68.564939E-61.00.03.459863E-53.670637E-53.670637E-51.00.04.2115687E-44.4680882E-44.4680882E-41.00.00.0042035960.0044591560.00446911161.00223261.0E-5
7.07.617019E-68.074665E-68.074665E-61.00.03.264396E-53.4605247E-53.4605247E-51.00.03.9736772E-44.2123784E-44.2123784E-41.00.00.0039665790.00420444130.00421439951.00236851.0E-5
7.17.1224836E-67.5457883E-67.5457883E-61.00.03.052457E-53.2338692E-53.2338692E-51.00.03.715733E-43.9365282E-43.9365282E-41.00.00.0037095260.00392959830.00393955881.00253471.0E-5
7.26.441115E-66.8273835E-66.8273835E-61.00.02.7604487E-52.9259889E-52.9259889E-51.00.03.360328E-43.5618115E-43.5618115E-41.00.00.00335525120.00355613120.00356609561.0028021.0E-5
7.35.494274E-65.8199944E-65.8199944E-61.00.02.3546674E-52.4942596E-52.4942596E-51.00.02.8664304E-43.03634E-43.03634E-41.00.00.0028627360.00303221450.00304218431.00328791.0E-5
7.44.0802624E-64.3122564E-64.3122564E-61.00.01.7486722E-51.8480969E-51.8480969E-51.00.02.1288003E-42.2498264E-42.2498264E-41.00.00.00212676220.00224755770.00225753521.00443921.0E-5
7.52.3584746E-62.4753099E-62.4753099E-61.00.01.0107709E-51.0608428E-51.0608428E-51.00.01.2305441E-41.2915001E-41.2915001E-41.00.00.00122986290.00129075450.00129075451.00.0
7.69.4981914E-79.860934E-79.860934E-71.00.04.0706473E-64.2261076E-64.2261076E-61.00.04.9559E-55.1451658E-55.1451658E-51.00.04.954795E-45.1439874E-45.1439874E-41.00.0
7.72.6013532E-72.6416632E-72.6416632E-71.00.01.1148652E-61.1321408E-61.1321408E-61.00.01.3573399E-51.3783729E-51.3783729E-51.00.01.357257E-41.378288E-41.378288E-41.00.0
7.84.1522263E-83.965698E-83.965698E-81.00.01.7795254E-71.6995848E-71.6995848E-71.00.02.16657E-62.0692428E-62.0692428E-61.00.02.1665488E-52.0692256E-52.0692256E-51.00.0
7.97.7242046E-105.9475225E-105.9475225E-101.00.03.3103735E-92.5489382E-92.5489382E-91.00.04.0303796E-83.1033323E-83.1033323E-81.00.04.030379E-73.103332E-73.103332E-71.00.0

Whittier alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.2554693E-54.7252182E-55.725171E-51.21162051.0E-51.8236451E-42.0249544E-42.4248734E-41.19749534.0E-50.0022180270.00246291630.00255269461.0364529.0E-50.021960190.0243902630.0244975821.00441.1E-4
6.14.2554693E-54.7252182E-55.725171E-51.21162051.0E-51.8236451E-42.0249544E-42.4248734E-41.19749534.0E-50.0022180270.00246291630.00255269461.0364529.0E-50.021960190.0243902630.0244975821.00441.1E-4
6.24.2554693E-54.7252182E-55.725171E-51.21162051.0E-51.8236451E-42.0249544E-42.4248734E-41.19749534.0E-50.0022180270.00246291630.00255269461.0364529.0E-50.021960190.0243902630.0244975821.00441.1E-4
6.31.9617712E-51.826841E-52.8268229E-51.5473831.0E-58.40732E-57.829095E-59.8289376E-51.25543742.0E-50.00102311059.527944E-49.827658E-41.03145643.0E-50.010184130.00949040.009530021.00417484.0E-5
6.41.5611336E-51.3604089E-51.3604089E-51.00.06.690401E-55.8301972E-56.8301386E-51.17151081.0E-58.142519E-47.096013E-47.295871E-41.02816492.0E-50.0081127480.00707533770.00710512561.00421013.0E-5
6.51.5150166E-51.3100744E-51.3100744E-51.00.06.492767E-55.614487E-56.6144305E-51.17810071.0E-57.9020765E-46.8335526E-47.033416E-41.02924742.0E-50.0078740360.0068145080.0068443031.00437243.0E-5
6.61.295588E-51.0380544E-51.0380544E-51.00.05.552402E-54.44873E-55.4486853E-51.22477331.0E-56.7579525E-45.415002E-45.5149477E-41.01845721.0E-50.0067374380.0054033430.00542323521.00368142.0E-5
6.71.2542085E-59.899189E-69.899189E-61.00.05.3750682E-54.2424414E-55.242399E-51.23570331.0E-56.542181E-45.163967E-45.2639155E-41.01935491.0E-50.0065229540.0051534640.00517336141.00386082.0E-5
6.81.2195878E-59.49523E-69.49523E-61.00.05.2267E-54.069322E-55.069281E-51.24573121.0E-56.36165E-44.9532915E-45.053242E-41.02017861.0E-50.00634346860.00494369630.0049536471.00201271.0E-5
6.91.1580298E-58.772739E-68.772739E-61.00.04.9628903E-53.759692E-54.7596546E-51.26596921.0E-56.040644E-44.5764804E-44.6764346E-41.02184081.0E-50.006024250.00456846460.00457841861.00217891.0E-5
7.01.0964795E-58.083794E-68.083794E-61.00.04.6991136E-53.4644378E-54.464403E-51.28863721.0E-55.7196687E-44.217152E-44.3171097E-41.02370271.0E-50.00570496960.0042104590.0042204171.0023651.0E-5
7.11.0230601E-57.32646E-67.32646E-61.00.04.3844695E-53.1398744E-54.139843E-51.3184741.0E-55.336784E-43.8221394E-43.9221012E-41.02615331.0E-50.0053239860.00381675920.0038267211.002611.0E-5
7.29.40865E-66.5430822E-66.5430822E-61.00.04.032216E-52.8041486E-53.8041206E-51.35660451.0E-54.908117E-43.4135283E-43.5134942E-41.02928521.0E-50.00489729130.00340940240.00341936831.0029231.0E-5
7.38.237384E-65.5975433E-65.5975433E-61.00.03.5302593E-52.3989258E-53.3989018E-51.41684331.0E-54.2972428E-42.920311E-43.020282E-41.0342331.0E-50.00428894260.00291679920.00292677011.00341841.0E-5
7.47.5316966E-65.0276153E-65.0276153E-61.00.03.2278298E-52.154675E-53.1546533E-51.46409711.0E-53.9291743E-42.623011E-42.722985E-41.03811411.0E-50.00392223430.00262002670.00263000051.00380671.0E-5
7.56.149649E-63.9336355E-63.9336355E-61.00.02.6355372E-51.6858336E-51.6858336E-51.00.03.208294E-42.052318E-42.052318E-41.00.00.0032036660.00205051180.00205051181.00.0
7.65.457711E-63.3951796E-63.3951796E-61.00.02.338998E-51.4550694E-51.4550694E-51.00.02.8473578E-41.771411E-41.771411E-41.00.00.00284371220.00177007980.00177007981.00.0
7.74.1676276E-62.3329922E-62.3329922E-61.00.01.7861139E-59.998504E-69.998504E-61.00.02.1743766E-41.2172572E-41.2172572E-41.00.00.00217225030.00121666350.00121666351.00.0
7.82.2692414E-79.384417E-89.384417E-81.00.09.725317E-74.0218927E-74.0218927E-71.00.01.1840509E-54.8966467E-64.8966467E-61.00.01.1839878E-44.8965718E-54.8965718E-51.00.0
7.96.676829E-93.4397174E-93.4397174E-91.00.02.861498E-81.4741646E-81.4741646E-81.00.03.4838732E-71.7947953E-71.7947953E-71.00.03.4838679E-61.794794E-61.794794E-61.00.0

Pleito

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6763008E-52.4764735E-55.4763994E-52.211373.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.4612642E-41.37685384.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.00136135661.05413287.0E-50.008708630.0129544120.0130629871.00838141.1E-4
6.11.6763008E-52.4764735E-55.4763994E-52.211373.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.4612642E-41.37685384.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.00136135661.05413287.0E-50.008708630.0129544120.0130629871.00838141.1E-4
6.21.6763008E-52.4764735E-55.4763994E-52.211373.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.4612642E-41.37685384.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.00136135661.05413287.0E-50.008708630.0129544120.0130629871.00838141.1E-4
6.31.6763008E-52.4764735E-55.4763994E-52.211373.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.4612642E-41.37685384.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.00136135661.05413287.0E-50.008708630.0129544120.0130629871.00838141.1E-4
6.41.6763008E-52.4764735E-55.4763994E-52.211373.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.4612642E-41.37685384.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.00136135661.05413287.0E-50.008708630.0129544120.0130629871.00838141.1E-4
6.51.6763008E-52.4764735E-55.4763994E-52.211373.0E-57.183948E-51.0613067E-41.4612642E-41.37685384.0E-58.742947E-40.0012914470.00136135661.05413287.0E-50.008708630.0129544120.0130629871.00838141.1E-4
6.69.910213E-61.721552E-53.7215177E-52.16172242.0E-54.247165E-57.3778734E-59.377726E-51.27106082.0E-55.169696E-48.9788967E-49.378537E-41.04450894.0E-50.00515768630.0090512260.0091106831.00656896.0E-5
6.79.910213E-61.721552E-53.7215177E-52.16172242.0E-54.247165E-57.3778734E-59.377726E-51.27106082.0E-55.169696E-48.9788967E-49.378537E-41.04450894.0E-50.00515768630.0090512260.0091106831.00656896.0E-5
6.88.300162E-61.5475129E-52.5474974E-51.64618811.0E-53.557164E-56.63203E-57.6319644E-51.15077341.0E-54.3299864E-48.07152E-48.371278E-41.03713773.0E-50.0043215590.0081506630.0082002551.00608445.0E-5
6.98.183114E-61.5346344E-52.5346191E-51.6516111.0E-53.5070017E-56.57684E-57.576774E-51.15203871.0E-54.2689382E-48.0043747E-48.204215E-41.02496642.0E-50.00426074680.0080840080.0081236851.00490814.0E-5
7.07.1748823E-61.4133306E-52.4133164E-51.70753861.0E-53.0749135E-56.0569906E-57.05693E-51.16508851.0E-53.743064E-47.3718966E-47.471823E-41.0135551.0E-50.00373676540.00745537550.00747522671.00266272.0E-5
7.17.1671807E-61.4123676E-52.4123534E-51.7080211.0E-53.0716128E-56.0528637E-57.052803E-51.16520111.0E-53.7390468E-47.366875E-47.4668013E-41.01356421.0E-50.00373276180.00745038830.0074702391.00266442.0E-5
7.27.0649667E-61.3970962E-51.3970962E-51.00.03.0278077E-55.987418E-55.987418E-51.00.03.6857324E-47.287248E-47.287248E-41.00.00.00367962550.00737113740.0073810641.00134661.0E-5
7.37.02082E-61.3914415E-51.3914415E-51.00.03.008888E-55.9631846E-55.9631846E-51.00.03.6627054E-47.257764E-47.257764E-41.00.00.00365667440.00734163730.00735156421.00135211.0E-5
7.46.987146E-61.3873975E-51.3873975E-51.00.02.9944567E-55.9458544E-55.9458544E-51.00.03.6451413E-47.2366785E-47.2366785E-41.00.00.00363916790.0073205710.0073304981.0013561.0E-5
7.56.9494554E-61.383088E-51.383088E-51.00.02.9783041E-55.9273858E-55.9273858E-51.00.03.625482E-47.2142074E-47.2142074E-41.00.00.00361957260.0072981990.0073081261.00136021.0E-5
7.66.92694E-61.3789992E-51.3789992E-51.00.02.9686547E-55.909863E-55.909863E-51.00.03.6137376E-47.192888E-47.192888E-41.00.00.00360786660.0072769510.00728687831.00136421.0E-5
7.76.395867E-61.26690065E-51.26690065E-51.00.02.741057E-55.4294615E-55.4294615E-51.00.03.336726E-46.6083675E-46.6083675E-41.00.00.00333172010.00669554530.00670547831.00148361.0E-5
7.85.8664327E-61.1536581E-51.1536581E-51.00.02.5141611E-54.9441554E-54.9441554E-51.00.03.060561E-46.0178485E-46.0178485E-41.00.00.00305634950.00610101640.00611095551.00162911.0E-5
7.93.7167474E-67.1145205E-67.1145205E-61.00.01.592882E-53.0490448E-53.0490448E-51.00.01.9391612E-43.7115812E-43.7115812E-41.00.00.00193746990.00376762430.00377758661.00264421.0E-5
8.01.0903841E-61.2879104E-61.2879104E-61.00.04.6730665E-65.5196047E-65.5196047E-61.00.05.68931E-56.719913E-56.719913E-51.00.05.6878536E-46.942094E-46.942094E-41.00.0
8.12.6894583E-71.1056095E-71.1056095E-71.00.01.1526245E-64.7383253E-74.7383253E-71.00.01.4033113E-55.768896E-65.768896E-61.00.01.4032227E-46.454915E-56.454915E-51.00.0
8.25.2967013E-92.4567874E-92.4567874E-91.00.02.2700148E-81.0529089E-81.0529089E-81.00.02.7637427E-71.2819166E-71.2819166E-71.00.02.7637393E-61.4588004E-61.4588004E-61.00.0

Big Pine (East)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.09.916913E-61.28172705E-56.281663E-54.90093665.0E-54.250036E-55.493013E-51.2492629E-42.27427637.0E-55.173191E-46.685912E-47.5853104E-41.13452149.0E-50.00516116430.0066704490.00678964841.01786981.2E-4
6.19.916913E-61.28172705E-56.281663E-54.90093665.0E-54.250036E-55.493013E-51.2492629E-42.27427637.0E-55.173191E-46.685912E-47.5853104E-41.13452149.0E-50.00516116430.0066704490.00678964841.01786981.2E-4
6.29.916913E-61.28172705E-56.281663E-54.90093665.0E-54.250036E-55.493013E-51.2492629E-42.27427637.0E-55.173191E-46.685912E-47.5853104E-41.13452149.0E-50.00516116430.0066704490.00678964841.01786981.2E-4
6.35.479711E-68.1132375E-65.8112833E-57.1627185.0E-52.3484265E-53.4770575E-51.04768136E-43.01312667.0E-52.858834E-44.232527E-45.132146E-41.2125499.0E-50.00285515890.00422725130.0043168711.02120049.0E-5
6.45.465009E-68.0975315E-65.8097125E-57.17467165.0E-52.3421257E-53.4703262E-51.0470083E-43.01703147.0E-52.851165E-44.2243348E-45.1239546E-41.21296139.0E-50.00284750970.004219090.0043087111.02124179.0E-5
6.54.826767E-67.4225877E-65.7422218E-57.73614555.0E-52.068598E-53.1810716E-51.0180849E-43.20044617.0E-52.518227E-43.8722943E-44.6719846E-41.20651598.0E-50.00251537510.00386829070.0039479811.02060098.0E-5
6.64.3146847E-66.8825234E-65.6882178E-58.2647285.0E-51.8491375E-52.949621E-57.9494734E-52.69508315.0E-52.2510924E-43.5905963E-44.190381E-41.16704326.0E-50.00224881340.00358750620.00364729091.01666476.0E-5
6.73.6968106E-65.9957474E-65.5995446E-59.3391935.0E-51.5843378E-52.5695816E-57.569453E-52.9457925.0E-51.9287605E-43.128032E-43.7278442E-41.19175396.0E-50.00192708730.00312624990.00318606241.01913246.0E-5
6.83.4671132E-65.7024477E-64.5702218E-58.0144924.0E-51.4858972E-52.4438841E-56.443786E-52.6366994.0E-51.8089297E-42.9750372E-43.4748882E-41.16801515.0E-50.00180745790.00297366660.0030235181.01676435.0E-5
6.92.7686972E-64.8254797E-63.4825334E-57.21696853.0E-51.1865792E-52.0680467E-55.0679846E-52.45061423.0E-51.4445644E-42.5175634E-42.9174628E-41.15884384.0E-50.00144362570.0025172560.00255715521.01585034.0E-5
7.02.1472624E-63.985277E-62.3985198E-56.01845172.0E-59.20252E-61.707965E-53.707931E-52.17096422.0E-51.12034926E-42.0792543E-42.3791919E-41.14425253.0E-50.00111978450.00207982380.00210976131.01439433.0E-5
7.11.7018335E-63.3450835E-61.334505E-53.9894521.0E-57.293552E-61.4335996E-52.4335852E-51.69753481.0E-58.879537E-51.7452713E-41.9452363E-41.11457542.0E-58.87599E-40.00174637920.00176634431.01143232.0E-5
7.21.25603E-62.794679E-61.2794651E-54.57821851.0E-55.3829745E-61.1977142E-52.1977023E-51.83491371.0E-56.553574E-51.4581217E-41.5581072E-41.06857131.0E-56.551642E-40.00145961730.00146960271.00684111.0E-5
7.31.112297E-62.610519E-61.2610492E-54.8306461.0E-54.7669787E-61.1187892E-52.118778E-51.89381351.0E-55.803642E-51.3620428E-41.4620292E-41.07340911.0E-55.802127E-40.0013635020.00137348831.00732411.0E-5
7.41.0137181E-62.4836752E-61.2483651E-55.02628141.0E-54.3444993E-61.064428E-52.0644173E-51.93946171.0E-55.2892992E-51.2958662E-41.3958532E-41.07715851.0E-55.288041E-40.00129719180.00130717891.0076991.0E-5
7.59.598608E-72.407328E-61.2407304E-55.1539731.0E-54.1136827E-61.03170805E-52.0316978E-51.96925641.0E-55.0082934E-51.2560343E-41.3560218E-41.07960571.0E-55.007165E-40.00125721320.00126720071.00794411.0E-5
7.67.929459E-72.0450152E-62.0450152E-61.00.03.3983351E-68.764322E-68.764322E-61.00.04.1373947E-51.0670057E-41.0670057E-41.00.04.1366243E-40.00106858250.00106858251.00.0
7.74.155788E-71.1606729E-61.1606729E-61.00.01.7810507E-64.974303E-64.974303E-61.00.02.1684076E-56.05605E-56.05605E-51.00.02.1681961E-46.085995E-46.085995E-41.00.0
7.81.14666925E-72.592197E-72.592197E-71.00.04.914296E-71.1109411E-61.1109411E-61.00.05.9831386E-61.3525627E-51.3525627E-51.00.05.9829777E-51.3636416E-41.3636416E-41.00.0
7.92.9231824E-84.1462318E-84.1462318E-81.00.01.2527924E-71.7769564E-71.7769564E-71.00.01.5252737E-62.1634426E-62.1634426E-61.00.01.5252632E-52.197062E-52.197062E-51.00.0

Dry Mountain

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.222801E-66.439381E-61.6439317E-52.55293421.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-53.759687E-51.36234631.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-43.9593922E-41.17853316.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.00345574131.02969671.0E-4
6.16.222801E-66.439381E-61.6439317E-52.55293421.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-53.759687E-51.36234631.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-43.9593922E-41.17853316.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.00345574131.02969671.0E-4
6.26.222801E-66.439381E-61.6439317E-52.55293421.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-53.759687E-51.36234631.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-43.9593922E-41.17853316.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.00345574131.02969671.0E-4
6.36.222801E-66.439381E-61.6439317E-52.55293421.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-53.759687E-51.36234631.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-43.9593922E-41.17853316.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.00345574131.02969671.0E-4
6.46.222801E-66.439381E-61.6439317E-52.55293421.0E-52.6668875E-52.7597147E-53.759687E-51.36234631.0E-53.2464517E-43.3595937E-43.9593922E-41.17853316.0E-50.00324171320.00335607680.00345574131.02969671.0E-4
6.52.8528623E-62.9521684E-61.2952139E-54.38733051.0E-51.22264955E-51.2652138E-52.2652011E-51.79037021.0E-51.4884741E-41.540376E-41.9403143E-41.25963694.0E-50.00148747740.00154016160.00160006921.03889696.0E-5
6.62.8528623E-62.9521684E-61.2952139E-54.38733051.0E-51.22264955E-51.2652138E-52.2652011E-51.79037021.0E-51.4884741E-41.540376E-41.9403143E-41.25963694.0E-50.00148747740.00154016160.00160006921.03889696.0E-5
6.72.541E-62.6293578E-61.2629332E-54.80321.0E-51.0889954E-51.1268677E-52.1268565E-51.88740561.0E-51.3257713E-41.3719614E-41.7719065E-41.29151344.0E-50.00132498060.00137196130.0014318791.0436736.0E-5

San Diego Trough north alt1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.329252E-58.821269E-51.0821093E-41.22670472.0E-53.14073E-43.7800326E-44.1798814E-41.10577924.0E-50.00381713550.00459304870.0046627271.01517057.0E-50.037522310.0450451370.045140631.002121.0E-4
6.13.7940346E-54.4884906E-55.488446E-51.2227821.0E-51.6259136E-41.9235026E-42.1234641E-41.10395692.0E-50.00197775240.0023394310.00235938421.00852912.0E-50.0196024310.0231567320.0231860371.00126553.0E-5
6.22.8645263E-53.329672E-54.329639E-51.30031991.0E-51.2275964E-41.4269259E-41.6268973E-41.14014152.0E-50.00149357390.00173592060.00175588591.01150132.0E-50.01483575350.0172262680.017255751.00171153.0E-5
6.32.8645263E-53.329672E-54.329639E-51.30031991.0E-51.2275964E-41.4269259E-41.6268973E-41.14014152.0E-50.00149357390.00173592060.00175588591.01150132.0E-50.01483575350.0172262680.017255751.00171153.0E-5
6.42.2204576E-52.544832E-52.544832E-51.00.09.5159E-51.0905972E-41.1905863E-41.09168291.0E-50.0011579450.00132700280.00133698951.00752581.0E-50.0115192980.0131919590.0132116951.00149612.0E-5
6.52.1004838E-52.4024695E-52.4024695E-51.00.09.0017624E-51.0295897E-41.1295794E-41.09711611.0E-50.00109541360.00125281350.0012628011.0079721.0E-50.0109002960.0124585920.0124783421.00158542.0E-5
6.61.820557E-52.070479E-52.070479E-51.00.07.802154E-58.8731824E-59.873094E-51.11268911.0E-59.4949827E-40.00107977990.00108976921.00925111.0E-50.0094545160.0107460050.0107657911.00184122.0E-5
6.71.5884485E-51.7983646E-51.7983646E-51.00.06.807459E-57.707051E-58.706974E-51.12974131.0E-58.284929E-49.3793223E-49.479229E-41.01065171.0E-50.0082541090.0093401040.009350011.00106061.0E-5
6.81.4331171E-51.6201066E-51.6201066E-51.00.06.141786E-56.94313E-57.94306E-51.14401721.0E-57.4750587E-48.450002E-48.549917E-41.01182441.0E-50.00744996450.0084181390.0084280551.00117791.0E-5
6.91.2574203E-51.4205835E-51.4205835E-51.00.05.3888325E-56.0880735E-57.088013E-51.16424561.0E-56.558929E-47.409723E-47.5096486E-41.01348581.0E-50.00653960370.0073852030.00739512971.00134411.0E-5
7.01.0883844E-51.2289262E-51.2289262E-51.00.04.664421E-55.2667205E-56.266668E-51.18986141.0E-55.677453E-46.4103556E-46.510292E-41.01558971.0E-50.005662970.0063919930.00640192861.00155451.0E-5
7.19.393088E-61.060702E-51.060702E-51.00.04.025547E-54.545787E-55.5457414E-51.21997391.0E-54.900001E-45.533098E-45.6330423E-41.01806311.0E-50.00488921070.0055194180.00552936271.00180171.0E-5
7.28.190791E-69.258625E-69.258625E-61.00.03.510292E-53.9679224E-54.9678827E-51.25201111.0E-54.2729423E-44.8298817E-44.929833E-41.02069451.0E-50.00426473560.0048194650.00482941651.0020651.0E-5
7.36.268162E-67.089716E-67.089716E-61.00.02.6863276E-53.0384144E-53.0384144E-51.00.03.2701128E-43.6986457E-43.6986457E-41.00.00.0032653050.0036925360.0036925361.00.0
7.44.985186E-65.6426816E-65.6426816E-61.00.02.1364907E-52.4182698E-52.4182698E-51.00.02.600867E-42.9438498E-42.9438498E-41.00.00.0025978250.00293999140.00293999141.00.0
7.51.7489613E-61.969678E-61.969678E-61.00.07.495527E-68.4414505E-68.4414505E-61.00.09.125422E-51.02770035E-41.02770035E-41.00.09.1216754E-40.00102724720.00102724721.00.0
7.61.6988751E-71.7533823E-71.7533823E-71.00.07.2808916E-77.5144936E-77.5144936E-71.00.08.864449E-69.14886E-69.14886E-61.00.08.8640954E-59.1485024E-59.1485024E-51.00.0

Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.6264497E-66.75733E-66.6756926E-59.8791876.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-59.895768E-53.41708147.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.3250722E-41.22684758.0E-50.00345162770.00352055020.0036301631.03113511.1E-4
6.16.6264497E-66.75733E-66.6756926E-59.8791876.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-59.895768E-53.41708147.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.3250722E-41.22684758.0E-50.00345162770.00352055020.0036301631.03113511.1E-4
6.26.6264497E-66.75733E-66.6756926E-59.8791876.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-59.895768E-53.41708147.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.3250722E-41.22684758.0E-50.00345162770.00352055020.0036301631.03113511.1E-4
6.36.6264497E-66.75733E-66.6756926E-59.8791876.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-59.895768E-53.41708147.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.3250722E-41.22684758.0E-50.00345162770.00352055020.0036301631.03113511.1E-4
6.46.6264497E-66.75733E-66.6756926E-59.8791876.0E-52.8398761E-52.895971E-59.895768E-53.41708147.0E-53.4570007E-43.5253543E-44.3250722E-41.22684758.0E-50.00345162770.00352055020.0036301631.03113511.1E-4
6.53.2162225E-63.2570915E-65.325693E-516.3510685.0E-51.3783738E-51.3958894E-56.395819E-54.5818965.0E-51.6780409E-41.6993708E-42.1992858E-41.29417665.0E-50.00167677440.0016981510.00176803221.04115137.0E-5
6.63.2162225E-63.2570915E-65.325693E-516.3510685.0E-51.3783738E-51.3958894E-56.395819E-54.5818965.0E-51.6780409E-41.6993708E-42.1992858E-41.29417665.0E-50.00167677440.0016981510.00176803221.04115137.0E-5
6.72.1908265E-62.2071222E-64.2207033E-519.1231064.0E-59.389223E-69.459062E-64.9458682E-55.2287094.0E-51.1430779E-41.1515819E-41.5515358E-41.34730834.0E-50.00114249010.00115100460.0012009471.04339035.0E-5
6.81.7303895E-61.736553E-63.17365E-518.2755743.0E-57.415934E-67.442349E-63.7442125E-55.03095533.0E-59.028525E-59.060693E-51.20604214E-41.33107053.0E-59.024858E-49.0570963E-49.456734E-41.04412424.0E-5
6.91.3700314E-61.3688623E-63.136882E-522.915983.0E-55.87155E-65.86654E-63.5866364E-56.1137173.0E-57.148377E-57.142283E-51.0142069E-41.42000383.0E-57.146078E-47.140033E-47.539747E-41.05598214.0E-5
7.01.1467797E-61.1413805E-62.1141357E-518.522622.0E-54.9147607E-64.8916218E-62.4891524E-55.08860352.0E-55.983557E-55.95539E-57.955271E-51.33581022.0E-55.981946E-45.9538253E-46.253647E-41.05035783.0E-5
7.19.3952065E-79.3026915E-72.093025E-522.4991342.0E-54.026511E-63.986862E-62.3986782E-56.0164572.0E-54.9021666E-54.853898E-56.853801E-51.412022.0E-54.901085E-44.8528553E-45.15271E-41.06178933.0E-5
7.26.858055E-76.7193014E-76.7193014E-71.00.02.939163E-62.8796974E-62.8796974E-61.00.03.5783723E-53.5059762E-53.5059762E-51.00.03.5777962E-43.5054318E-43.5054318E-41.00.0
7.35.1101983E-74.939301E-74.939301E-71.00.02.1900833E-62.1168414E-62.1168414E-61.00.02.6663936E-52.5772246E-52.5772246E-51.00.02.6660739E-42.5769303E-42.5769303E-41.00.0
7.43.4999414E-73.2995916E-73.2995916E-71.00.01.499974E-61.4141099E-61.4141099E-61.00.01.8262032E-51.7216655E-51.7216655E-51.00.01.826053E-41.7215345E-41.7215345E-41.00.0
7.51.7021522E-71.4750053E-71.4750053E-71.00.07.2949354E-76.32145E-76.32145E-71.00.08.881548E-67.696339E-67.696339E-61.00.08.8811925E-57.696081E-57.696081E-51.00.0
7.62.572245E-81.735264E-81.735264E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436845E-87.436845E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.0543557E-79.0543557E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054324E-69.054324E-61.00.0

Kern Canyon (South Kern) 2011

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.105075E-64.113726E-65.411352E-513.1543825.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-59.762873E-55.53760438.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-43.0460712E-41.41924329.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00225401951.05118991.1E-4
6.14.105075E-64.113726E-65.411352E-513.1543825.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-59.762873E-55.53760438.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-43.0460712E-41.41924329.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00225401951.05118991.1E-4
6.24.105075E-64.113726E-65.411352E-513.1543825.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-59.762873E-55.53760438.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-43.0460712E-41.41924329.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00225401951.05118991.1E-4
6.34.105075E-64.113726E-65.411352E-513.1543825.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-59.762873E-55.53760438.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-43.0460712E-41.41924329.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00225401951.05118991.1E-4
6.44.105075E-64.113726E-65.411352E-513.1543825.0E-51.7593058E-51.7630138E-59.762873E-55.53760438.0E-52.1417443E-42.1462643E-43.0460712E-41.41924329.0E-50.00213968130.00214425540.00225401951.05118991.1E-4
6.52.9849807E-62.973154E-64.2973035E-514.4536864.0E-51.2792712E-51.2742028E-56.274139E-54.9239725.0E-51.5574014E-41.551233E-42.0511553E-41.32227425.0E-50.00155631030.00155016540.00162005681.04508657.0E-5
6.62.9849807E-62.973154E-64.2973035E-514.4536864.0E-51.2792712E-51.2742028E-56.274139E-54.9239725.0E-51.5574014E-41.551233E-42.0511553E-41.32227425.0E-50.00155631030.00155016540.00162005681.04508657.0E-5
6.72.6756725E-62.6582202E-64.2658114E-516.0476234.0E-51.1467117E-51.1392323E-56.139175E-55.38887075.0E-51.396032E-41.386928E-41.8868588E-41.3604595.0E-50.00139515530.00138607340.00145597641.05043237.0E-5
6.82.3283721E-62.3047783E-64.2304688E-518.355214.0E-59.9787E-69.877584E-64.9877188E-55.04953344.0E-51.214839E-41.2025302E-41.6024821E-41.3325924.0E-50.0012141750.0012018870.00126181481.04986166.0E-5
6.92.0972677E-62.0696405E-64.2069558E-520.3269884.0E-58.988259E-68.869858E-64.8869504E-55.5096154.0E-51.0942656E-41.0798523E-41.4798091E-41.3703814.0E-50.00109372680.00107933340.00113926861.05552986.0E-5
7.01.7132242E-61.6787029E-63.1678654E-518.870913.0E-57.3423685E-67.1944214E-63.7194204E-55.16986753.0E-58.938967E-58.75886E-51.1758597E-41.34248033.0E-58.935372E-48.755446E-49.255009E-41.05705735.0E-5
7.11.4215541E-61.3815746E-62.1381547E-515.4762162.0E-56.0923603E-65.9210206E-62.5920903E-54.3777762.0E-57.417196E-57.208607E-59.208463E-51.27742612.0E-57.414721E-47.206296E-47.606007E-41.0554674.0E-5
7.29.097853E-78.60377E-78.60377E-71.00.03.899074E-63.6873246E-63.6873246E-61.00.04.7470192E-54.4892266E-54.4892266E-51.00.04.7460053E-44.4883305E-44.4883305E-41.00.0
7.36.144169E-75.628199E-75.628199E-71.00.02.6332125E-62.4120832E-62.4120832E-61.00.03.205889E-52.9366722E-52.9366722E-51.00.03.2054266E-42.9362892E-42.9362892E-41.00.0
7.44.049844E-73.5728252E-73.5728252E-71.00.01.7356463E-61.5312098E-61.5312098E-61.00.02.1131287E-51.8642324E-51.8642324E-51.00.02.1129279E-41.8640784E-41.8640784E-41.00.0
7.51.9871162E-71.5830383E-71.5830383E-71.00.08.5162094E-76.784448E-76.784448E-71.00.01.0368436E-58.260035E-68.260035E-61.00.01.0367952E-48.259736E-58.259736E-51.00.0
7.62.572245E-81.735264E-81.735264E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436845E-87.436845E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.0543557E-79.0543557E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054324E-69.054324E-61.00.0

Chino alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.939946E-54.894798E-56.8947E-51.40857712.0E-51.6884391E-42.0976314E-42.5975265E-41.23831425.0E-50.00205373620.0025513850.0026311811.03127558.0E-50.0203485950.0252801680.0253873881.00424121.1E-4
6.12.1505624E-52.6878823E-53.6878555E-51.37203011.0E-59.2163704E-51.15190494E-41.4518703E-41.26040823.0E-50.00112151540.00140165170.00145158151.03562225.0E-50.0111587220.0139474250.0140065891.00424186.0E-5
6.22.1505624E-52.6878823E-53.6878555E-51.37203011.0E-59.2163704E-51.15190494E-41.4518703E-41.26040823.0E-50.00112151540.00140165170.00145158151.03562225.0E-50.0111587220.0139474250.0140065891.00424186.0E-5
6.31.4290785E-51.8164832E-51.8164832E-51.00.06.1244784E-57.784722E-59.784566E-51.25689352.0E-57.454001E-49.4742293E-49.773945E-41.03163483.0E-50.0074290480.009446740.0094863621.00419434.0E-5
6.41.4290785E-51.8164832E-51.8164832E-51.00.06.1244784E-57.784722E-59.784566E-51.25689352.0E-57.454001E-49.4742293E-49.773945E-41.03163483.0E-50.0074290480.009446740.0094863621.00419434.0E-5
6.51.3017944E-51.6651793E-51.6651793E-51.00.05.5789995E-57.1363116E-59.136169E-51.28023682.0E-56.790315E-48.6854334E-48.985173E-41.03451063.0E-50.00676960360.0086642330.00870388651.00457674.0E-5
6.69.470016E-61.2039209E-51.2039209E-51.00.04.058515E-55.159578E-57.1594746E-51.38760862.0E-54.940122E-46.280315E-46.4801896E-41.03182552.0E-50.0049291540.0062732480.00630305941.00475223.0E-5
6.78.314155E-61.040749E-51.040749E-51.00.03.5631605E-54.4602948E-55.4602504E-51.22419051.0E-54.3372845E-45.4293784E-45.529324E-41.01840831.0E-50.0043288290.00542708070.00544697231.00366522.0E-5
6.83.4856364E-63.8134033E-63.8134033E-61.00.01.4938357E-51.6343065E-51.6343065E-51.00.01.8185932E-41.9896074E-41.9896074E-41.00.00.00181710560.00198945290.00198945291.00.0
6.92.2645952E-62.152909E-62.152909E-61.00.09.705372E-69.226722E-69.226722E-61.00.01.18156495E-41.12329755E-41.12329755E-41.00.00.00118093690.00112331380.00112331381.00.0
7.01.7864003E-61.5430741E-61.5430741E-61.00.07.655979E-66.613158E-66.613158E-61.00.09.3207556E-58.051228E-58.051228E-51.00.09.316847E-48.052856E-48.052856E-41.00.0
7.11.7315456E-61.4733466E-61.4733466E-61.00.07.420889E-66.314328E-66.314328E-61.00.09.034557E-57.687428E-57.687428E-51.00.09.0308854E-47.68921E-47.68921E-41.00.0
7.21.6008337E-61.3574178E-61.3574178E-61.00.06.860698E-65.817492E-65.817492E-61.00.08.352579E-57.082572E-57.082572E-51.00.08.34944E-47.0846075E-47.0846075E-41.00.0
7.31.3320939E-61.1217794E-61.1217794E-61.00.05.7089615E-64.8076176E-64.8076176E-61.00.06.9504385E-55.853122E-55.853122E-51.00.06.9482654E-45.8530655E-45.8530655E-41.00.0
7.41.114294E-69.237087E-79.237087E-71.00.04.775537E-63.9587458E-63.9587458E-61.00.05.8140613E-54.81967E-54.81967E-51.00.05.81254E-44.8187698E-44.8187698E-41.00.0
7.59.354081E-77.6233886E-77.6233886E-71.00.04.0088858E-63.2671626E-63.2671626E-61.00.04.8807087E-53.9777013E-53.9777013E-51.00.04.879637E-43.9770233E-43.9770233E-41.00.0
7.68.521771E-76.880688E-76.880688E-71.00.03.6521824E-62.948863E-62.948863E-61.00.04.4464414E-53.590185E-53.590185E-51.00.04.4455516E-43.5896365E-43.5896365E-41.00.0
7.72.1803626E-71.4186368E-71.4186368E-71.00.09.344408E-76.0798715E-76.0798715E-71.00.01.1376757E-57.4022278E-67.4022278E-61.00.01.13761744E-47.402077E-57.402077E-51.00.0

Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2521618E-44.763429E-44.9633335E-41.04196662.0E-59.6485513E-40.00203990940.00206984811.01467663.0E-50.0116839880.0245445310.0245933051.00198715.0E-50.110884230.213499230.213577881.00036841.0E-4
6.12.2521618E-44.763429E-44.9633335E-41.04196662.0E-59.6485513E-40.00203990940.00206984811.01467663.0E-50.0116839880.0245445310.0245933051.00198715.0E-50.110884230.213499230.213570011.00033159.0E-5
6.22.198148E-44.6718874E-44.8717938E-41.04278922.0E-59.417233E-40.00200073770.00203067761.01496453.0E-50.0114053430.0240785130.024127311.00202665.0E-50.108374280.209935720.209998941.00030118.0E-5
6.32.1704129E-44.615455E-44.8153626E-41.04331272.0E-59.298453E-40.00197658920.002006531.01514773.0E-50.0112622340.0237920340.0238408451.00205165.0E-50.1070827250.207826840.207890211.00030498.0E-5
6.41.876142E-44.004663E-44.204583E-41.04992182.0E-58.038131E-40.00171516950.00174511811.0174613.0E-50.009742590.0206786620.0207276271.0023685.0E-50.0932636860.184577870.18464311.00035358.0E-5
6.51.7390939E-43.7478763E-43.9478013E-41.05334352.0E-57.45113E-40.00160525610.0016352081.01865863.0E-50.0090340780.0193672930.0194163251.00253165.0E-50.0867552160.174400150.17446621.00037878.0E-5
6.61.591791E-43.4893592E-43.6892894E-41.05729712.0E-56.8201777E-40.00149459260.00152454781.02004233.0E-50.0082719960.0180450080.0180941061.00272085.0E-50.079707740.163807870.163874761.00040848.0E-5
6.71.4268003E-43.2059717E-43.4059078E-41.06236362.0E-56.1134255E-40.00137327260.00140323141.02181573.0E-50.0074177230.016591710.016640881.00296355.0E-50.071749560.151935940.152003781.00044668.0E-5
6.81.239713E-42.9055026E-43.1054445E-41.06881492.0E-55.3119735E-40.00124462740.001274591.02407363.0E-50.00644816740.0150494820.015088881.0026184.0E-50.062642430.138380510.138440821.00043587.0E-5
6.91.0180238E-42.6255674E-42.825515E-41.0761542.0E-54.3622297E-40.00112476220.00115472851.02664233.0E-50.0052980890.0136089980.0136484531.00289934.0E-50.051735430.124964730.125025971.00049027.0E-5
7.07.6619996E-52.2400476E-42.4400029E-41.08926382.0E-53.283301E-49.596704E-49.896416E-41.03123073.0E-50.00399009320.0116221030.0116616381.00340184.0E-50.0391920660.107269820.107332321.00058267.0E-5
7.17.5127435E-52.2083633E-42.4083191E-41.09054482.0E-53.2193496E-49.461013E-49.760729E-41.0316793.0E-50.00391251550.0114586480.01149818951.00345094.0E-50.0384434420.105833780.105896371.00059147.0E-5
7.26.788582E-52.0211334E-42.221093E-41.09893442.0E-52.9090676E-48.6591556E-48.9588953E-41.03461543.0E-50.00353603860.01049220.010531781.00377244.0E-50.0348030.0975036840.097566861.00064797.0E-5
7.36.399602E-51.8842232E-42.0841854E-41.10612452.0E-52.7423984E-48.0727716E-48.3725294E-41.03713193.0E-50.00333375860.0097848970.0098245051.0040484.0E-50.032841880.0913979860.091461591.00069587.0E-5
7.44.506759E-51.2530042E-41.3529917E-41.07979821.0E-51.9313251E-45.3689216E-45.568814E-41.03723142.0E-50.00234885260.0065172450.00653711471.00304882.0E-50.0232418050.0623645220.062402031.00060144.0E-5
7.53.43289E-59.336103E-51.0336009E-41.10710111.0E-51.4711556E-44.0005764E-44.1005365E-41.02498641.0E-50.00178966030.0048598860.0048698381.00204771.0E-50.017753160.0470570660.0470761251.00040512.0E-5
7.62.5980507E-57.053672E-58.053602E-51.14176011.0E-51.1134028E-43.0226534E-43.1226233E-41.03307351.0E-50.0013547250.00367389480.0036838581.00271191.0E-50.0134649590.035842980.0358622631.0005382.0E-5
7.71.7292105E-54.9412036E-54.9412036E-51.00.07.4106916E-52.1174872E-42.1174872E-41.00.09.018782E-40.00257499840.00257499841.00.00.0089822670.0252920970.0253018441.00038541.0E-5
7.81.2927471E-53.9697254E-53.9697254E-51.00.05.5402274E-51.7012001E-41.7012001E-41.00.06.743139E-40.00206924630.00206924631.00.00.00672271430.0204331450.020442941.00047951.0E-5
7.91.0200774E-52.8748475E-52.8748475E-51.00.04.371687E-51.2320194E-41.2320194E-41.00.05.321229E-40.00149895260.00149895261.00.00.0053085050.0149928950.0150027441.0006571.0E-5
8.08.650396E-62.3279512E-52.3279512E-51.00.03.70726E-59.976552E-59.976552E-51.00.04.5126543E-40.00121396930.00121396931.00.00.00450350160.0122121640.0122220411.00080881.0E-5
8.13.9368224E-67.3283345E-67.3283345E-61.00.01.6871985E-53.1406773E-53.1406773E-51.00.02.0539707E-43.8231048E-43.8231048E-41.00.00.00205207310.00400153130.00401149131.00248911.0E-5
8.21.7101195E-62.2178374E-62.2178374E-61.00.07.329063E-69.504983E-69.504983E-61.00.08.922769E-51.15717055E-41.15717055E-41.00.08.9191867E-40.001266690.001266691.00.0
8.33.0346666E-81.721086E-81.721086E-81.00.01.3005713E-77.376083E-87.376083E-81.00.01.5834444E-68.98038E-78.98038E-71.00.01.5834332E-59.36379E-69.36379E-61.00.0

San Pedro Basin

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.3449043E-56.337018E-51.13367016E-41.78896465.0E-52.2904722E-42.7156167E-43.315454E-41.22088436.0E-50.00278508360.00330185150.00337162031.02113027.0E-50.0275043660.032589480.0326862221.00296841.0E-4
6.15.3449043E-56.337018E-51.13367016E-41.78896465.0E-52.2904722E-42.7156167E-43.315454E-41.22088436.0E-50.00278508360.00330185150.00337162031.02113027.0E-50.0275043660.032589480.0326862221.00296841.0E-4
6.22.3189454E-52.6642829E-53.6642563E-51.37532561.0E-59.9379584E-51.1417881E-41.3417653E-41.17514382.0E-50.00120927490.00138928750.00140925971.01437592.0E-50.0120271550.013810890.0138404761.00214223.0E-5
6.32.3189454E-52.6642829E-53.6642563E-51.37532561.0E-59.9379584E-51.1417881E-41.3417653E-41.17514382.0E-50.00120927490.00138928750.00140925971.01437592.0E-50.0120271550.013810890.0138404761.00214223.0E-5
6.41.966056E-52.246342E-52.246342E-51.00.08.425682E-59.626848E-51.06267515E-41.10386621.0E-50.0010253440.00117147870.0011814671.00852621.0E-50.0102062590.0116571190.0116768861.00169562.0E-5
6.51.7342953E-51.9745152E-51.9745152E-51.00.07.4324824E-58.461954E-59.46187E-51.1181661.0E-59.04529E-40.00102979290.00103978271.00970071.0E-50.0090085610.0102539320.0102737281.00193052.0E-5
6.61.439804E-51.6322716E-51.6322716E-51.00.06.170443E-56.99528E-57.995211E-51.14294351.0E-57.509924E-48.513747E-48.613662E-41.01173571.0E-50.00748459530.0084843330.00850416351.00233732.0E-5
6.71.2634884E-51.4285298E-51.4285298E-51.00.05.414838E-56.122144E-57.122083E-51.16333151.0E-56.590571E-47.451466E-47.5513916E-41.01341021.0E-50.0065710590.0074295020.0074493531.0026722.0E-5
6.81.146091E-51.2933193E-51.2933193E-51.00.04.911726E-55.542696E-56.542641E-51.18040761.0E-55.9783855E-46.74644E-46.846373E-41.01481261.0E-50.00596232760.00672889970.00674876521.00295222.0E-5
6.99.109035E-61.0235013E-51.0235013E-51.00.03.9038136E-54.386376E-55.386332E-51.22796861.0E-54.7518566E-45.339384E-45.4393307E-41.01871871.0E-50.00474170830.00532930950.0053392561.00186651.0E-5
7.05.9351028E-66.583965E-66.583965E-61.00.02.5435906E-52.821682E-53.8216538E-51.35438851.0E-53.0963816E-43.4350925E-43.5350583E-41.02910131.0E-50.00309207060.00343209970.00344206531.00290371.0E-5
7.12.1557585E-62.2096492E-62.2096492E-61.00.09.238933E-69.469892E-69.469892E-61.00.01.1247819E-41.15289986E-41.15289986E-41.00.00.00112421280.00115231720.00115231721.00.0
7.22.1251979E-62.1779954E-62.1779954E-61.00.09.107958E-69.334234E-69.334234E-61.00.01.1088375E-41.13638525E-41.13638525E-41.00.00.00110828450.00113581950.00113581951.00.0
7.31.7145798E-61.7442885E-61.7442885E-61.00.07.3481783E-67.475501E-67.475501E-61.00.08.94604E-59.1010515E-59.1010515E-51.00.08.9424395E-49.0974156E-49.0974156E-41.00.0
7.41.4467993E-61.4641878E-61.4641878E-61.00.06.200554E-66.275076E-66.275076E-61.00.07.548913E-57.639644E-57.639644E-51.00.07.546349E-47.6370913E-47.6370913E-41.00.0
7.51.2803735E-61.2931506E-61.2931506E-61.00.05.487303E-65.5420624E-65.5420624E-61.00.06.680587E-56.747259E-56.747259E-51.00.06.678579E-46.745281E-46.745281E-41.00.0
7.66.755009E-76.76947E-76.76947E-71.00.02.8950008E-62.9011985E-62.9011985E-61.00.03.5246063E-53.532158E-53.532158E-51.00.03.5240475E-43.5316538E-43.5316538E-41.00.0
7.76.211885E-84.5699714E-84.5699714E-81.00.02.6622362E-71.9585592E-71.9585592E-71.00.03.2412677E-62.3845432E-62.3845432E-61.00.03.2412205E-52.3845198E-52.3845198E-51.00.0
7.82.6580573E-91.5138054E-91.5138054E-91.00.01.1391674E-86.4877375E-96.4877375E-91.00.01.3869362E-77.89882E-87.89882E-81.00.01.3869354E-67.89882E-77.89882E-71.00.0

Imperial

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.7496446E-45.055345E-45.2552443E-41.03954212.0E-50.00117788690.0021648170.00220473041.01843734.0E-50.01424676550.0260484090.0261068471.00224346.0E-50.133672490.228070290.228147481.00033841.0E-4
6.12.5356023E-44.8657708E-45.0656736E-41.04108352.0E-50.0010862340.0020837020.00211363961.01436753.0E-50.0131449280.025070940.0251196851.00194435.0E-50.1239401550.219495610.219565871.00032019.0E-5
6.22.4820742E-44.775311E-44.9752154E-41.04186212.0E-50.00106331240.00204499460.00207493341.014643.0E-50.012869190.0246106760.0246594461.00198165.0E-50.121489270.216001360.21606411.00029048.0E-5
6.32.3205351E-44.5892023E-44.7891107E-41.04356052.0E-59.94136E-40.00196535540.00199529651.01523453.0E-50.0120365990.0236611870.0237100031.00206325.0E-50.114051330.207938270.208001631.00030478.0E-5
6.42.0304754E-43.9878016E-44.1877216E-41.0501332.0E-58.6991355E-40.00170795290.00173790171.01753493.0E-50.0105398690.0205954180.020644391.00237775.0E-50.1005376350.185071130.185136321.00035238.0E-5
6.51.854992E-43.6990462E-43.8989724E-41.0540482.0E-57.9475436E-40.00158435480.00161430721.01890523.0E-50.0096332810.019114430.0191634731.00256595.0E-50.09226230.17330390.173370031.00038168.0E-5
6.61.6586106E-43.4036173E-43.6035493E-41.0587412.0E-57.106394E-40.00145788780.00148784421.02054773.0E-50.0086177630.0176076260.0176567441.00278975.0E-50.082911320.160780550.160847681.00041768.0E-5
6.71.4224656E-43.076812E-43.2767505E-41.06498232.0E-56.094856E-40.00131797560.0013479361.02273213.0E-50.00739526930.0159285220.0159777251.00308915.0E-50.071539550.146487980.146556261.00046618.0E-5
6.81.2317259E-42.779231E-42.9791755E-41.07194232.0E-55.2777573E-40.00119056150.00122052571.02516823.0E-50.00640675470.0144001310.0144395551.00273784.0E-50.062251660.132940890.133001581.00045667.0E-5
6.99.859898E-52.5015484E-42.7014982E-41.07993052.0E-54.2249862E-40.00107165590.00110162381.02796413.0E-50.00513179460.0129703190.01300981.0030444.0E-50.050148930.1194088760.1194705141.00051627.0E-5
7.07.3191884E-52.1267848E-42.3267423E-41.09401872.0E-53.136418E-49.11164E-49.411367E-41.0328953.0E-50.0038119040.0110376810.0110772391.00358394.0E-50.0374717640.102067560.102130421.00061587.0E-5
7.17.1760296E-52.0969207E-42.2968788E-41.09535792.0E-53.0750787E-48.9837395E-49.28347E-41.03336373.0E-50.0037374820.0108835280.0109230921.00363534.0E-50.036752450.100704060.100767011.00062517.0E-5
7.26.46614E-51.9137723E-42.113734E-41.10448562.0E-52.7709085E-48.199333E-48.4990874E-41.03655843.0E-50.00336836280.0099376170.009977221.00398524.0E-50.0331776250.0925110060.092574531.00068667.0E-5
7.36.088115E-51.780939E-41.9809033E-41.11228022.0E-52.6089314E-47.6303916E-47.930163E-41.03928653.0E-50.00317174760.0092510060.0092906361.00428394.0E-50.0312685850.086561350.086625291.00073867.0E-5
7.44.199346E-51.1511097E-41.2510981E-41.08686271.0E-51.7995955E-44.932403E-45.1323045E-41.04052822.0E-50.00218880570.0059888350.00600871541.00331952.0E-50.021673720.057440240.0574779441.00065644.0E-5
7.53.130448E-58.333871E-59.3337876E-51.11998221.0E-51.3415517E-43.5711733E-43.6711377E-41.0279921.0E-50.00163211530.00433929540.00434925171.00229451.0E-50.0162018030.0421335060.042152661.00045472.0E-5
7.62.3074248E-56.0849357E-57.084875E-51.16433021.0E-59.888588E-52.6075702E-42.7075442E-41.03833991.0E-50.00120327060.00317011820.00318008661.00314451.0E-50.0119677610.031028160.031047541.00062452.0E-5
7.71.45864815E-54.0128452E-54.0128452E-51.00.06.2511994E-51.7196777E-41.7196777E-41.00.07.608177E-40.00209170250.00209170251.00.00.0075821820.020629090.0206388831.00047481.0E-5
7.81.0352979E-53.096395E-53.096395E-51.00.04.4369157E-51.326959E-41.326959E-41.00.05.400606E-40.00161437780.00161437781.00.00.00538750.0160178930.0160277321.00061431.0E-5
7.98.137906E-62.2151205E-52.2151205E-51.00.03.4876273E-59.493029E-59.493029E-51.00.04.2453592E-40.00115516440.00115516441.00.00.0042372580.0116188420.01162872651.00085071.0E-5
8.06.93792E-61.8010365E-51.8010365E-51.00.02.9733603E-57.7185E-57.7185E-51.00.03.6194647E-49.3932304E-49.3932304E-41.00.00.00361357510.0095024150.009512321.00104241.0E-5
8.13.4286315E-66.380179E-66.380179E-61.00.01.4694053E-52.734334E-52.734334E-51.00.01.7888541E-43.3285443E-43.3285443E-41.00.00.00178741480.00348636740.00349633261.00285831.0E-5
8.21.4906886E-61.936633E-61.936633E-61.00.06.3886496E-68.2998295E-68.2998295E-61.00.07.7779034E-51.0104576E-41.0104576E-41.00.07.775182E-40.00110754230.00110754231.00.0
8.32.5758007E-81.4495866E-81.4495866E-81.00.01.10391454E-76.212514E-86.212514E-81.00.01.3440151E-67.563736E-77.563736E-71.00.01.344007E-57.884359E-67.884359E-61.00.0

Ventura-Pitas Point

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.3179622E-53.373519E-57.373384E-52.18566564.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.8456703E-41.27663724.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00180892171.0283755.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.017574751.0056221.0E-4
6.13.3179622E-53.373519E-57.373384E-52.18566564.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.8456703E-41.27663724.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00180892171.0283755.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.017574751.0056221.0E-4
6.23.3179622E-53.373519E-57.373384E-52.18566564.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.8456703E-41.27663724.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00180892171.0283755.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.017574751.0056221.0E-4
6.33.3179622E-53.373519E-57.373384E-52.18566564.0E-51.4219063E-41.4457281E-41.8456703E-41.27663724.0E-50.00172979620.00175900970.00180892171.0283755.0E-50.0171639320.0174764970.017574751.0056221.0E-4
6.41.8754668E-51.7019594E-51.7019594E-51.00.08.037467E-57.2939205E-57.2939205E-51.00.09.781223E-48.8769617E-48.8769617E-41.00.00.0097382820.0088439430.0088538541.00112071.0E-5
6.51.8754668E-51.7019594E-51.7019594E-51.00.08.037467E-57.2939205E-57.2939205E-51.00.09.781223E-48.8769617E-48.8769617E-41.00.00.0097382820.0088439430.0088538541.00112071.0E-5
6.61.4361558E-51.2122258E-51.2122258E-51.00.06.154808E-55.1951512E-55.1951512E-51.00.07.490902E-46.323284E-46.323284E-41.00.00.00746570160.0063056520.00631558941.00157581.0E-5
6.71.4361558E-51.2122258E-51.2122258E-51.00.06.154808E-55.1951512E-55.1951512E-51.00.07.490902E-46.323284E-46.323284E-41.00.00.00746570160.0063056520.00631558941.00157581.0E-5
6.81.3663846E-51.1344401E-51.1344401E-51.00.05.8558027E-54.8617967E-54.8617967E-51.00.07.127108E-45.917649E-45.917649E-41.00.00.0071042930.00590221070.00591215171.00168431.0E-5
6.91.3644157E-51.1322501E-51.1322501E-51.00.05.8473648E-54.8524114E-54.8524114E-51.00.07.116841E-45.906229E-45.906229E-41.00.00.0070940920.00589085140.00590079231.00168751.0E-5
7.01.3568845E-51.12420685E-51.12420685E-51.00.05.8150898E-54.8179416E-54.8179416E-51.00.07.077572E-45.8642845E-45.8642845E-41.00.00.0070550730.0058491280.00585906951.00169971.0E-5
7.11.306572E-51.0720521E-51.0720521E-51.00.05.599474E-54.594429E-54.594429E-51.00.06.815227E-45.5923004E-45.5923004E-41.00.00.00679436370.0055785360.00558848031.00178251.0E-5
7.21.232604E-59.995121E-69.995121E-61.00.05.2824813E-54.283554E-54.283554E-51.00.06.429523E-45.2139966E-45.2139966E-41.00.00.00641095270.0052020590.0052020591.00.0
7.31.0917261E-58.843812E-68.843812E-61.00.04.678742E-53.7901507E-53.7901507E-51.00.05.69488E-44.6135474E-44.6135474E-41.00.00.00568030770.0046042390.0046042391.00.0
7.41.039959E-58.42354E-68.42354E-61.00.04.456891E-53.6100395E-53.6100395E-51.00.05.424914E-44.394352E-44.394352E-41.00.00.00541168960.00438592770.00438592771.00.0
7.59.015877E-67.29752E-67.29752E-61.00.03.86389E-53.1274718E-53.1274718E-51.00.04.7032707E-43.8070456E-43.8070456E-41.00.00.0046933290.0038007720.0038007721.00.0
7.64.900162E-63.874119E-63.874119E-61.00.02.1000526E-51.6603262E-51.6603262E-51.00.02.556514E-42.0212609E-42.0212609E-41.00.00.00255357470.0020194360.0020194361.00.0
7.73.8850626E-63.12676E-63.12676E-61.00.01.6650163E-51.3400332E-51.3400332E-51.00.02.0269687E-41.6313691E-41.6313691E-41.00.00.0020251210.00163018090.00163018091.00.0
7.82.4654719E-62.029902E-62.029902E-61.00.01.0566265E-58.699551E-68.699551E-61.00.01.2863669E-41.0591193E-41.0591193E-41.00.00.00128562250.00105861920.00105861921.00.0
7.94.095894E-73.2765078E-73.2765078E-71.00.01.7553821E-61.4042168E-61.4042168E-61.00.02.1371567E-51.709621E-51.709621E-51.00.02.1369511E-41.7094925E-41.7094925E-41.00.0
8.07.791402E-95.6836056E-95.6836056E-91.00.03.3391725E-82.4358311E-82.4358311E-81.00.04.0654416E-72.965624E-72.965624E-71.00.04.065434E-62.9656223E-62.9656223E-61.00.0

Elysian Park (Upper)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.1876025E-53.7035275E-54.7034904E-51.27000281.0E-51.3660437E-41.5871569E-41.7871251E-41.12599152.0E-50.00166188950.0019311220.00198102561.02584175.0E-50.0164951590.0191898630.0192781351.00459999.0E-5
6.13.1876025E-53.7035275E-54.7034904E-51.27000281.0E-51.3660437E-41.5871569E-41.7871251E-41.12599152.0E-50.00166188950.0019311220.00198102561.02584175.0E-50.0164951590.0191898630.0192781351.00459999.0E-5
6.23.1876025E-53.7035275E-54.7034904E-51.27000281.0E-51.3660437E-41.5871569E-41.7871251E-41.12599152.0E-50.00166188950.0019311220.00198102561.02584175.0E-50.0164951590.0191898630.0192781351.00459999.0E-5
6.33.1876025E-53.7035275E-54.7034904E-51.27000281.0E-51.3660437E-41.5871569E-41.7871251E-41.12599152.0E-50.00166188950.0019311220.00198102561.02584175.0E-50.0164951590.0191898630.0192781351.00459999.0E-5
6.41.9273462E-52.120244E-52.120244E-51.00.08.259794E-59.086542E-59.086542E-51.00.00.0010051660.00110589670.00110589671.00.00.0100063150.0110207440.0110306341.00089741.0E-5
6.51.9273462E-52.120244E-52.120244E-51.00.08.259794E-59.086542E-59.086542E-51.00.00.0010051660.00110589670.00110589671.00.00.0100063150.0110207440.0110306341.00089741.0E-5
6.69.813258E-69.665589E-69.665589E-61.00.04.205614E-54.1423333E-54.1423333E-51.00.05.119132E-45.042196E-45.042196E-41.00.00.0051073560.00503147950.00504142931.00197741.0E-5
6.79.801478E-69.653158E-69.653158E-61.00.04.2005657E-54.137006E-54.137006E-51.00.05.112989E-45.0357135E-45.0357135E-41.00.00.00510124070.0050250260.00503497571.00198011.0E-5
6.88.102489E-67.772994E-67.772994E-61.00.03.4724493E-53.3312434E-53.3312434E-51.00.04.2268867E-44.0550836E-44.0550836E-41.00.00.0042188560.00404817840.00405813751.00246021.0E-5
6.96.08275E-65.481441E-65.481441E-61.00.02.6068668E-52.3491682E-52.3491682E-51.00.03.173398E-42.8597447E-42.8597447E-41.00.00.00316887020.00285614240.00285614241.00.0
7.05.5995934E-64.9827686E-64.9827686E-61.00.02.3998036E-52.1354552E-52.1354552E-51.00.02.9213692E-42.5996132E-42.5996132E-41.00.00.00291753160.00259663960.00259663961.00.0
7.14.709881E-64.0873906E-64.0873906E-61.00.02.0185047E-51.7517272E-51.7517272E-51.00.02.4572524E-42.1325232E-42.1325232E-41.00.00.0024545370.00213051840.00213051841.00.0
7.23.6063436E-62.9779412E-62.9779412E-61.00.01.5455667E-51.27625435E-51.27625435E-51.00.01.881565E-41.55373E-41.55373E-41.00.00.00187997260.00155265490.00155265491.00.0
7.32.471135E-62.0954562E-62.0954562E-61.00.01.0590536E-58.980496E-68.980496E-61.00.01.2893214E-41.0933213E-41.0933213E-41.00.00.00128857360.00109279060.00109279061.00.0
7.41.163943E-61.0275061E-61.0275061E-61.00.04.988318E-64.40359E-64.40359E-61.00.06.0731076E-55.361242E-55.361242E-51.00.06.071448E-45.3599785E-45.3599785E-41.00.0
7.54.99459E-74.917601E-74.917601E-71.00.02.140537E-62.1075416E-62.1075416E-61.00.02.6060725E-52.5659032E-52.5659032E-51.00.02.605767E-42.5656226E-42.5656226E-41.00.0
7.62.4667852E-72.4778313E-72.4778313E-71.00.01.0571932E-61.0619274E-61.0619274E-61.00.01.2871251E-51.2928893E-51.2928893E-51.00.01.2870505E-41.2928178E-41.2928178E-41.00.0
7.78.2312795E-87.3864214E-87.3864214E-81.00.03.527691E-73.165609E-73.165609E-71.00.04.294955E-63.854123E-63.854123E-61.00.04.2948723E-53.854068E-53.854068E-51.00.0
7.82.7819295E-81.7565618E-81.7565618E-81.00.01.1922555E-77.528122E-87.528122E-81.00.01.45157E-69.1654863E-79.1654863E-71.00.01.45156055E-59.165463E-69.165463E-61.00.0

Cleghorn

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.9267165E-69.831764E-62.9831568E-53.03420282.0E-53.39712E-54.2135514E-59.213341E-52.18659765.0E-54.1352084E-45.1288976E-45.928487E-41.15589898.0E-50.0041275220.0051322140.00522175241.01744639.0E-5
6.17.9267165E-69.831764E-62.9831568E-53.03420282.0E-53.39712E-54.2135514E-59.213341E-52.18659765.0E-54.1352084E-45.1288976E-45.928487E-41.15589898.0E-50.0041275220.0051322140.00522175241.01744639.0E-5
6.27.9267165E-69.831764E-62.9831568E-53.03420282.0E-53.39712E-54.2135514E-59.213341E-52.18659765.0E-54.1352084E-45.1288976E-45.928487E-41.15589898.0E-50.0041275220.0051322140.00522175241.01744639.0E-5
6.37.9267165E-69.831764E-62.9831568E-53.03420282.0E-53.39712E-54.2135514E-59.213341E-52.18659765.0E-54.1352084E-45.1288976E-45.928487E-41.15589898.0E-50.0041275220.0051322140.00522175241.01744639.0E-5
6.44.3445207E-66.0916254E-62.6091504E-54.2831762.0E-51.8619241E-52.6106709E-55.6105928E-52.14909983.0E-52.2666567E-43.1780385E-43.4779432E-41.09436793.0E-50.00226434620.00318772460.0032176291.0093813.0E-5
6.54.3445207E-66.0916254E-62.6091504E-54.2831762.0E-51.8619241E-52.6106709E-55.6105928E-52.14909983.0E-52.2666567E-43.1780385E-43.4779432E-41.09436793.0E-50.00226434620.00318772460.0032176291.0093813.0E-5
6.64.040109E-65.774033E-62.5773918E-54.4637632.0E-51.7314638E-52.4745626E-55.4744884E-52.21230553.0E-52.1078532E-43.0123728E-43.3122825E-41.09955933.0E-50.0021058550.00302251430.00305242371.00989563.0E-5
6.73.3632055E-65.06753E-62.506743E-54.94667632.0E-51.4413658E-52.1717806E-55.1717154E-52.3813253.0E-51.7547216E-42.643825E-42.943746E-41.1134423.0E-50.00175333660.00265484860.0026847691.011273.0E-5
6.83.2902772E-64.9894375E-62.4989338E-55.0084482.0E-51.4101111E-52.138313E-55.138249E-52.4029453.0E-51.716675E-42.6030882E-42.9030102E-41.11521773.0E-50.00171534950.00261420760.0026441291.01144583.0E-5
6.93.031547E-64.6911987E-62.4691104E-55.2632832.0E-51.299228E-52.0104984E-55.010438E-52.49213723.0E-51.5816953E-42.4475096E-42.7474362E-41.12254363.0E-50.001580570.00245898050.00248890671.01217023.0E-5
7.02.8259715E-64.3707637E-62.4370676E-55.5758392.0E-51.211125E-51.8731711E-54.8731148E-52.60153223.0E-51.4744449E-42.2803496E-42.5802813E-41.13152873.0E-50.0014734670.00229217480.0023221061.01305813.0E-5
7.12.5962665E-64.065983E-62.4065901E-55.918842.0E-51.1126809E-51.7425526E-54.7425005E-52.72158243.0E-51.3546048E-42.1213535E-42.4212898E-41.14138913.0E-50.00135377930.00213349590.00216343181.01403143.0E-5
7.22.3247253E-63.6765352E-62.3676463E-56.4398842.0E-59.96307E-61.5756486E-54.5756013E-52.90394783.0E-51.21293626E-41.9181852E-42.2181276E-41.15636783.0E-50.00121227440.00193071660.00196065871.01550833.0E-5
7.32.056928E-63.235253E-61.3235221E-54.09093861.0E-58.815376E-61.3865297E-53.386502E-52.44243032.0E-51.0732192E-41.6879707E-41.887937E-41.11846542.0E-50.0010727010.00170094230.00172090831.01173822.0E-5
7.41.8055999E-62.8256538E-61.2825625E-54.5389941.0E-57.738263E-61.210989E-53.210965E-52.65152262.0E-59.4209274E-51.4742807E-41.6742513E-41.13563942.0E-59.4169343E-40.00148767050.00150764071.01342382.0E-5
7.51.4683443E-62.4248943E-61.242487E-55.1238811.0E-56.292889E-61.0392363E-53.0392155E-52.924472.0E-57.661323E-51.2651978E-41.4651724E-41.1580582.0E-57.658682E-40.00127888120.00129885561.01561872.0E-5
7.69.804088E-71.9004091E-61.190039E-56.2620151.0E-54.201745E-68.144585E-61.8144503E-52.22779971.0E-55.1155046E-59.915586E-51.0915487E-41.10084131.0E-55.114327E-40.00100555830.00101554821.00993481.0E-5
7.77.3434086E-71.6285549E-61.1628538E-57.14040331.0E-53.1471714E-66.9795024E-61.6979433E-52.4327571.0E-53.831614E-58.4972155E-59.497131E-51.11767571.0E-53.8309532E-48.6387293E-48.738643E-41.01156581.0E-5
7.86.434184E-71.5221389E-61.1522124E-57.5696931.0E-52.7575045E-66.523436E-61.652337E-52.53292441.0E-53.35721E-57.9419966E-58.941917E-51.12590291.0E-53.3567028E-48.080443E-48.180362E-41.01236561.0E-5
7.93.4943926E-77.5750586E-77.5750586E-71.00.01.497596E-63.2464498E-63.2464498E-61.00.01.8233079E-53.9524817E-53.9524817E-51.00.01.8231584E-44.0401975E-44.0401975E-41.00.0
8.06.717524E-85.837515E-85.837515E-81.00.02.8789387E-72.501792E-72.501792E-71.00.03.505102E-63.0459275E-63.0459275E-61.00.03.5050467E-53.2751934E-53.2751934E-51.00.0
8.13.1984914E-81.2949885E-81.2949885E-81.00.01.370782E-75.549951E-85.549951E-81.00.01.6689258E-66.757063E-76.757063E-71.00.01.6689133E-57.741151E-67.741151E-61.00.0
8.21.21887656E-83.6471115E-93.6471115E-91.00.05.2237567E-81.563048E-81.563048E-81.00.06.359922E-71.9030107E-71.9030107E-71.00.06.3599036E-62.245849E-62.245849E-61.00.0

Oceanic - West Huasna

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.195567E-52.7926368E-56.792525E-52.43229824.0E-51.3694567E-41.19679185E-41.596744E-41.33418694.0E-50.00166603840.00145616340.00152606131.04800157.0E-50.0165360330.014470770.0145594681.00612949.0E-5
6.12.1156782E-51.7573117E-53.7572765E-52.1380822.0E-59.066878E-57.531123E-59.530973E-51.26554472.0E-50.00110333339.1653795E-49.565013E-41.04360254.0E-50.0109787130.0091285870.0091880391.00651286.0E-5
6.21.6195117E-51.3327227E-53.332696E-52.50066732.0E-56.9405796E-55.7115452E-57.711431E-51.3501482.0E-58.44688E-46.9516135E-47.251405E-41.04312543.0E-50.0084148440.00693016170.0069798151.00716485.0E-5
6.31.3559345E-51.1179013E-52.1178901E-51.89452341.0E-55.811018E-54.7909183E-55.7908703E-51.20871831.0E-57.072618E-45.8313913E-45.931333E-41.01713861.0E-50.00705015050.0058162080.00584603331.0051283.0E-5
6.41.2120619E-51.0000874E-52.0000774E-51.99990261.0E-55.1944477E-54.2860185E-55.285976E-51.23330681.0E-56.322405E-45.216983E-45.316931E-41.01915811.0E-50.0063044470.0052048040.00523464751.00573383.0E-5
6.51.13511915E-59.367378E-61.9367284E-52.06752441.0E-54.8647056E-54.0145293E-55.0144892E-51.24908521.0E-55.9211696E-44.886598E-44.9865484E-41.02045421.0E-50.00590541730.00487591140.0049057651.00612273.0E-5
6.69.850605E-68.1353155E-61.8135233E-52.22919871.0E-54.2216197E-53.4865174E-54.4864824E-51.28680921.0E-55.1386096E-44.2440102E-44.343968E-41.02355271.0E-50.00512674360.00423593770.0042658111.00705233.0E-5
6.78.8558645E-67.318341E-61.7318267E-52.366421.0E-53.7953152E-53.1363943E-54.136363E-51.31882751.0E-54.6198163E-43.8178926E-43.9178543E-41.02618241.0E-50.0046102240.00381135920.0038312831.00522742.0E-5
6.87.67136E-66.39169E-66.39169E-61.00.03.2876844E-52.739267E-52.739267E-51.00.04.0020206E-43.3345487E-43.3345487E-41.00.00.0039948210.00332956640.00332956641.00.0
6.96.534529E-65.458261E-65.458261E-61.00.02.8004823E-52.3392338E-52.3392338E-51.00.03.4090536E-42.8476462E-42.8476462E-41.00.00.00340382870.0028440140.0028440141.00.0
7.05.460525E-64.5699203E-64.5699203E-61.00.02.3402039E-51.9585226E-51.9585226E-51.00.02.8488258E-42.3842414E-42.3842414E-41.00.00.00284517650.00238169730.00238169731.00.0
7.14.4825083E-63.7524153E-63.7524153E-61.00.01.9210609E-51.6081682E-51.6081682E-51.00.02.3386406E-41.9577699E-41.9577699E-41.00.00.0023361810.0019560570.0019560571.00.0
7.22.821708E-62.424941E-62.424941E-61.00.01.2092979E-51.0392562E-51.0392562E-51.00.01.4722206E-41.265221E-41.265221E-41.00.00.00147124570.00126450320.00126450321.00.0
7.32.0644757E-61.7687502E-61.7687502E-61.00.08.847723E-67.580336E-67.580336E-61.00.01.0771569E-49.228668E-59.228668E-51.00.00.0010766359.224854E-49.224854E-41.00.0
7.41.6980367E-61.4379966E-61.4379966E-61.00.07.27728E-66.1628284E-66.1628284E-61.00.08.8597284E-57.502986E-57.502986E-51.00.08.8561967E-47.5004686E-47.5004686E-41.00.0
7.51.3637683E-61.1302697E-61.1302697E-61.00.05.844708E-64.844004E-64.844004E-61.00.07.1156996E-55.897415E-55.897415E-51.00.07.1134215E-45.8958656E-45.8958656E-41.00.0
7.69.802994E-77.6772847E-77.6772847E-71.00.04.2012766E-63.2902608E-63.2902608E-61.00.05.1149345E-54.005819E-54.005819E-51.00.05.113757E-44.0051117E-44.0051117E-41.00.0
7.75.986191E-74.0050708E-74.0050708E-71.00.02.5655079E-61.7164577E-61.7164577E-61.00.03.1234613E-52.0897673E-52.0897673E-51.00.03.123022E-42.0895849E-42.0895849E-41.00.0
7.82.9189815E-71.5285202E-71.5285202E-71.00.01.2509914E-66.5507993E-76.5507993E-71.00.01.5230714E-57.975569E-67.975569E-61.00.01.522967E-47.97542E-57.97542E-51.00.0
7.91.2057845E-74.6208047E-84.6208047E-81.00.05.1676466E-71.9803447E-71.9803447E-71.00.06.2915915E-62.411067E-62.411067E-61.00.06.2914136E-52.4111772E-52.4111772E-51.00.0
8.03.3806387E-99.0093144E-109.0093144E-101.00.01.4488451E-83.8611354E-93.8611354E-91.00.01.7639688E-74.7009323E-84.7009323E-81.00.01.7639674E-64.712806E-74.712806E-71.00.0

Pinto Mtn

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.4194956E-54.7853926E-54.7853926E-51.00.01.893932E-42.0507304E-42.0507304E-41.00.00.00230342360.00249406880.00252399381.01199853.0E-50.0227969380.0246783050.0247563311.00316178.0E-5
6.14.4194956E-54.7853926E-54.7853926E-51.00.01.893932E-42.0507304E-42.0507304E-41.00.00.00230342360.00249406880.00252399381.01199853.0E-50.0227969380.0246783050.0247563311.00316178.0E-5
6.24.4194956E-54.7853926E-54.7853926E-51.00.01.893932E-42.0507304E-42.0507304E-41.00.00.00230342360.00249406880.00252399381.01199853.0E-50.0227969380.0246783050.0247563311.00316178.0E-5
6.34.4194956E-54.7853926E-54.7853926E-51.00.01.893932E-42.0507304E-42.0507304E-41.00.00.00230342360.00249406880.00252399381.01199853.0E-50.0227969380.0246783050.0247563311.00316178.0E-5
6.43.729929E-53.960349E-53.960349E-51.00.01.5984432E-41.6971873E-41.6971873E-41.00.00.00194436730.00206446040.00208441911.00966782.0E-50.0192744270.0204628480.020521621.00287216.0E-5
6.53.729929E-53.960349E-53.960349E-51.00.01.5984432E-41.6971873E-41.6971873E-41.00.00.00194436730.00206446040.00208441911.00966782.0E-50.0192744270.0204628480.020521621.00287216.0E-5
6.63.0204548E-53.12056E-53.12056E-51.00.01.2944164E-41.3373162E-41.3373162E-41.00.00.00157481270.00162700120.00164696871.01227262.0E-50.0156369920.0161547640.0162039571.00304515.0E-5
6.72.9857754E-53.0814987E-53.0814987E-51.00.01.2795553E-41.3205773E-41.3205773E-41.00.00.00155674530.00160665170.00161663561.00621411.0E-50.0154588480.0159542040.0159935651.00246724.0E-5
6.82.4819734E-52.5009665E-52.5009665E-51.00.01.0636595E-41.0718E-41.0718E-41.00.00.00129423620.0013041570.0013141441.00765781.0E-50.0128672440.0129674030.0130068851.00304464.0E-5
6.92.331124E-52.3337945E-52.3337945E-51.00.09.990149E-51.0001605E-41.0001605E-41.00.00.0012156220.00121703550.00122702331.00820671.0E-50.0120899360.0121058970.0121454131.00326424.0E-5
7.02.1818534E-52.1761074E-52.1761074E-51.00.09.3504656E-59.3258524E-59.3258524E-51.00.00.00113782460.00113485090.00114483961.00880171.0E-50.0113201630.011292660.0113322071.00350214.0E-5
7.12.066081E-52.0540718E-52.0540718E-51.00.08.854332E-58.8028784E-58.8028784E-51.00.00.00107748180.00107124310.00108123241.00932491.0E-50.0107227240.01066284350.0107024171.00371134.0E-5
7.21.8990233E-51.9054001E-51.9054001E-51.00.08.138417E-58.165756E-58.165756E-51.00.09.904018E-49.937467E-40.00100373671.01005291.0E-50.0098599950.0098950290.0099346331.00400254.0E-5
7.31.3335872E-51.4906713E-51.4906713E-51.00.05.7152483E-56.388442E-56.388442E-51.00.06.956093E-47.77528E-47.875202E-41.01285121.0E-50.0069343590.0077493760.00778906561.00512174.0E-5
7.49.414066E-61.186096E-51.186096E-51.00.04.0345374E-55.083175E-55.083175E-51.00.04.910942E-46.1871024E-46.2870403E-41.01615261.0E-50.00490010340.00617082560.00621057861.00644214.0E-5
7.57.2101157E-69.158192E-69.158192E-61.00.03.090013E-53.9248847E-53.9248847E-51.00.03.7614413E-44.7775774E-44.87753E-41.02092111.0E-50.00375508070.0047680820.00480789131.00834914.0E-5
7.63.296375E-64.5455017E-64.5455017E-61.00.01.4127245E-51.9480583E-51.9480583E-51.00.01.7198564E-42.3715167E-42.3715167E-41.00.00.00171852590.00236912330.00237909961.0042111.0E-5
7.72.5741092E-63.5844084E-63.5844084E-61.00.01.103185E-51.5361667E-51.5361667E-51.00.01.3430449E-41.8701357E-41.8701357E-41.00.00.00134223350.00186869180.00186869181.00.0

San Jacinto (Clark) rev

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.482615E-52.1153059E-56.115221E-52.89093954.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.3064925E-41.44120364.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.00117307191.06338477.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115746751.00774599.0E-5
6.14.482615E-52.1153059E-56.115221E-52.89093954.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.3064925E-41.44120364.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.00117307191.06338477.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115746751.00774599.0E-5
6.24.482615E-52.1153059E-56.115221E-52.89093954.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.3064925E-41.44120364.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.00117307191.06338477.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115746751.00774599.0E-5
6.34.482615E-52.1153059E-56.115221E-52.89093954.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.3064925E-41.44120364.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.00117307191.06338477.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115746751.00774599.0E-5
6.44.482615E-52.1153059E-56.115221E-52.89093954.0E-51.9209793E-49.065287E-51.3064925E-41.44120364.0E-50.00233628340.00110314910.00117307191.06338477.0E-50.023118740.0114857090.0115746751.00774599.0E-5
6.53.7294863E-51.7354667E-55.7353973E-53.30481554.0E-51.5982533E-47.437504E-51.1437207E-41.53777484.0E-50.00194413669.051445E-49.750811E-41.07726577.0E-50.019272160.0094859020.0095750491.00939779.0E-5
6.63.7294863E-51.7354667E-55.7353973E-53.30481554.0E-51.5982533E-47.437504E-51.1437207E-41.53777484.0E-50.00194413669.051445E-49.750811E-41.07726577.0E-50.019272160.0094859020.0095750491.00939779.0E-5
6.73.6039248E-51.6602684E-55.660202E-53.4092094.0E-51.5444479E-47.115244E-51.11149595E-41.56213334.0E-50.00187874348.659408E-49.358802E-41.08076697.0E-50.018629390.0090881890.0091674631.00872278.0E-5
6.83.5031844E-51.6231123E-55.6230474E-53.46436124.0E-51.5012783E-46.956012E-51.0955734E-41.57500214.0E-50.00182627398.4656954E-49.1651024E-41.08261677.0E-50.018113380.0088887880.0089680771.00892018.0E-5
6.93.435112E-51.6061658E-55.6061017E-53.4903634.0E-51.4721078E-46.8833884E-51.0883113E-41.58106914.0E-50.00179081788.377344E-49.0767577E-41.08348877.0E-50.0177645480.0087965120.0088758081.00901458.0E-5
7.02.8959772E-51.43355255E-55.4334952E-53.7902314.0E-51.241074E-46.1436534E-51.01434074E-41.65103844.0E-50.00150996037.477359E-48.176835E-41.09354597.0E-50.0149974160.0078683310.0079477021.01008748.0E-5
7.12.6002877E-51.2827699E-55.2827185E-54.1182124.0E-51.11436144E-45.4974706E-59.497251E-51.72756734.0E-50.00135589076.6911365E-47.390668E-41.10454617.0E-50.0134764750.00704834330.00712777951.01127028.0E-5
7.22.2544838E-51.1260331E-55.125988E-54.55225324.0E-59.661716E-54.825768E-58.825575E-51.82884364.0E-50.0011756795.873803E-46.573392E-41.11910327.0E-50.0116947850.006192560.00627206451.01283878.0E-5
7.31.75334E-51.0810585E-55.081015E-54.70003754.0E-57.514098E-54.6330264E-58.632841E-51.86332654.0E-59.144575E-45.6392635E-46.338869E-41.12405977.0E-50.0091070360.00593321960.00601274471.01340348.0E-5
7.41.5924552E-51.0610475E-55.061005E-54.76981934.0E-56.82463E-54.547268E-58.547086E-51.87960914.0E-58.305819E-45.534906E-46.234519E-41.12640017.0E-50.0082748440.00582058630.00590012041.01366448.0E-5
7.51.3428931E-59.851045E-64.9850652E-55.0604434.0E-55.7551293E-54.221809E-58.22164E-51.94742124.0E-57.004617E-45.1388505E-45.838491E-41.13614737.0E-50.0069825790.0054062090.00548577631.01471788.0E-5
7.61.0688787E-58.614091E-64.8613747E-55.64351464.0E-54.5808283E-53.6917012E-57.691553E-52.08347134.0E-55.5757316E-44.4937237E-45.193409E-41.15570287.0E-50.0055617620.00474136140.0048209821.01679288.0E-5
7.78.81236E-67.4673385E-64.746704E-56.3566214.0E-53.776671E-53.200249E-57.200121E-52.2498634.0E-54.597127E-43.8956082E-44.5953356E-41.17961967.0E-50.00458762840.00413441940.00421408841.01926978.0E-5
7.87.780431E-66.695928E-63.669573E-55.4803053.0E-53.3344273E-52.8696519E-55.8695656E-52.0453933.0E-54.0589093E-43.4932428E-44.0930332E-41.17170016.0E-50.00405150370.00372262720.00379236671.0187347.0E-5
7.96.5437994E-65.7797783E-63.5779605E-56.19048073.0E-52.8044553E-52.4770245E-55.47695E-52.21110063.0E-53.4138895E-43.0153614E-43.6151806E-41.19892116.0E-50.00340864950.00323432940.0033041031.02157287.0E-5
8.05.4488164E-64.812793E-63.481265E-57.23335653.0E-52.3351862E-52.0626094E-55.0625476E-52.45443843.0E-52.8427184E-42.510939E-43.1107882E-41.23889456.0E-50.00283908450.00271070380.00278051381.02575357.0E-5
8.12.8397242E-61.3665673E-61.3665673E-61.00.01.217019E-55.856704E-65.856704E-61.00.01.4816198E-47.1303046E-57.1303046E-51.00.00.00148063258.113543E-48.113543E-41.00.0
8.22.030244E-66.3151083E-76.3151083E-71.00.08.701017E-62.7064723E-62.7064723E-61.00.01.05929736E-43.2950808E-53.2950808E-51.00.00.00105879253.9470522E-43.9470522E-41.00.0
8.31.0659804E-62.9230563E-72.9230563E-71.00.04.568479E-61.2527379E-61.2527379E-61.00.05.5619817E-51.5251981E-51.5251981E-51.00.05.5605895E-41.8556409E-41.8556409E-41.00.0

Blue Cut

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.1227985E-52.2719574E-56.271867E-52.76055654.0E-59.097391E-59.73663E-51.5736045E-41.61616976.0E-50.00110704450.00118484810.00125476521.05900937.0E-50.0110154580.0117911520.011880091.00754289.0E-5
6.12.1227985E-52.2719574E-56.271867E-52.76055654.0E-59.097391E-59.73663E-51.5736045E-41.61616976.0E-50.00110704450.00118484810.00125476521.05900937.0E-50.0110154580.0117911520.011880091.00754289.0E-5
6.22.1227985E-52.2719574E-56.271867E-52.76055654.0E-59.097391E-59.73663E-51.5736045E-41.61616976.0E-50.00110704450.00118484810.00125476521.05900937.0E-50.0110154580.0117911520.011880091.00754289.0E-5
6.31.1613981E-51.2353542E-52.2353419E-51.80947451.0E-54.9773254E-55.2942745E-57.2941686E-51.37774662.0E-56.0582085E-46.443998E-46.643869E-41.03101662.0E-50.00604171960.00642655930.00645636631.00463813.0E-5
6.41.1613981E-51.2353542E-52.2353419E-51.80947451.0E-54.9773254E-55.2942745E-57.2941686E-51.37774662.0E-56.0582085E-46.443998E-46.643869E-41.03101662.0E-50.00604171960.00642655930.00645636631.00463813.0E-5
6.58.931326E-69.4816E-61.9481506E-52.05466441.0E-53.8276554E-54.0634844E-55.063444E-51.24608421.0E-54.6591737E-44.946261E-45.0462113E-41.02020731.0E-50.00464941750.0049361610.00495606241.00403182.0E-5
6.67.345353E-67.79028E-61.7790202E-52.2836411.0E-53.1479703E-53.338653E-54.3386193E-51.2995121.0E-53.83198E-44.064132E-44.164091E-41.02459551.0E-50.00382537880.00405749070.004077411.00490922.0E-5
6.76.2775666E-66.655149E-66.655149E-61.00.02.690358E-52.8521798E-52.8521798E-51.00.03.2750185E-43.472051E-43.472051E-41.00.00.00327019630.0034673670.0034673671.00.0
6.85.5234095E-65.8551113E-65.8551113E-61.00.02.367154E-52.5093133E-52.5093133E-51.00.02.8816288E-43.0547334E-43.0547334E-41.00.00.0028778950.00305125050.00305125051.00.0
6.94.7780054E-65.0654203E-65.0654203E-61.00.02.0477004E-52.1708804E-52.1708804E-51.00.02.4927902E-42.642797E-42.642797E-41.00.00.00248999570.0026403460.0026403461.00.0
7.03.883171E-64.118487E-64.118487E-61.00.01.6642054E-51.7650578E-51.7650578E-51.00.02.0259817E-42.1488148E-42.1488148E-41.00.00.00202413560.00214741290.00214741291.00.0
7.12.8358215E-63.0097158E-63.0097158E-61.00.01.2153464E-51.2898756E-51.2898756E-51.00.01.4795837E-41.5703762E-41.5703762E-41.00.00.0014785990.00156991160.00156991161.00.0

White Mountains

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.503579E-53.3784127E-55.378345E-51.5919742.0E-51.5014476E-41.4478175E-41.6477886E-41.1381192.0E-50.00182647960.00176141340.00181132531.02833635.0E-50.0181154030.0174868570.0175654571.00449498.0E-5
6.13.503579E-53.3784127E-55.378345E-51.5919742.0E-51.5014476E-41.4478175E-41.6477886E-41.1381192.0E-50.00182647960.00176141340.00181132531.02833635.0E-50.0181154030.0174868570.0175654571.00449498.0E-5
6.23.503579E-53.3784127E-55.378345E-51.5919742.0E-51.5014476E-41.4478175E-41.6477886E-41.1381192.0E-50.00182647960.00176141340.00181132531.02833635.0E-50.0181154030.0174868570.0175654571.00449498.0E-5
6.31.7818425E-51.591616E-51.591616E-51.00.07.636245E-56.821041E-56.821041E-51.00.09.293162E-48.301596E-48.301596E-41.00.00.0092543950.00827204250.0082918771.00239782.0E-5
6.41.7818425E-51.591616E-51.591616E-51.00.07.636245E-56.821041E-56.821041E-51.00.09.293162E-48.301596E-48.301596E-41.00.00.0092543950.00827204250.0082918771.00239782.0E-5
6.51.3397557E-51.1336374E-51.1336374E-51.00.05.741684E-54.8583595E-54.8583595E-51.00.06.988258E-45.913517E-45.913517E-41.00.00.0069663230.0058984870.00591836871.00337062.0E-5
6.61.0818695E-58.625434E-68.625434E-61.00.04.6365014E-53.6965648E-53.6965648E-51.00.05.6434784E-44.4996818E-44.4996818E-41.00.00.0056291680.00449100740.00451091771.00443342.0E-5
6.79.067908E-66.802476E-66.802476E-61.00.03.8861883E-52.915316E-52.915316E-51.00.04.7304068E-43.548851E-43.548851E-41.00.00.004720350.0035435010.00355346551.0028121.0E-5
6.87.295947E-64.9364285E-64.9364285E-61.00.03.126797E-52.1155956E-52.1155956E-51.00.03.8062103E-42.5754445E-42.5754445E-41.00.00.00379969760.00257257280.0025825471.00387721.0E-5
6.96.2243444E-63.8322546E-63.8322546E-61.00.02.6675489E-51.6423846E-51.6423846E-51.00.03.2472567E-41.9994251E-41.9994251E-41.00.00.00324251570.0019976790.0020076591.00499581.0E-5
7.04.9878413E-62.679564E-62.679564E-61.00.02.1376287E-51.1483797E-51.1483797E-51.00.02.602252E-41.3980652E-41.3980652E-41.00.00.0025992070.00139721190.00139721191.00.0
7.14.0252844E-61.885702E-61.885702E-61.00.01.7251105E-58.081555E-68.081555E-61.00.02.1001195E-49.838863E-59.838863E-51.00.00.00209813599.834635E-49.834635E-41.00.0
7.23.3284066E-61.2818929E-61.2818929E-61.00.01.4264522E-55.4938155E-65.4938155E-61.00.01.736567E-46.688525E-56.688525E-51.00.00.00173521076.6866126E-46.6866126E-41.00.0
7.32.458226E-66.056684E-76.056684E-71.00.01.0535211E-52.5957193E-62.5957193E-61.00.01.2825865E-43.160246E-53.160246E-51.00.00.00128184643.1598343E-43.1598343E-41.00.0
7.41.965953E-63.1084684E-73.1084684E-71.00.08.425486E-61.3322001E-61.3322001E-61.00.01.0257547E-41.6219417E-51.6219417E-51.00.00.00102528131.6218246E-41.6218246E-41.00.0
7.51.2014192E-61.8241002E-71.8241002E-71.00.05.148929E-67.8175697E-77.8175697E-71.00.06.2686406E-59.51785E-69.51785E-61.00.06.266873E-49.517451E-59.517451E-51.00.0
7.62.5612175E-74.893784E-84.893784E-81.00.01.0976642E-62.0973359E-72.0973359E-71.00.01.3363979E-52.5535037E-62.5535037E-61.00.01.3363175E-42.553478E-52.553478E-51.00.0

San Jacinto (Borrego)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.543992E-52.7925962E-53.792568E-51.35807971.0E-51.5187653E-41.1967727E-41.5967249E-41.33419224.0E-50.00184752840.00145610920.00151602181.04114576.0E-50.0183224360.014868150.0149469621.00530068.0E-5
6.13.542281E-52.7925962E-53.792568E-51.35807971.0E-51.5180321E-41.1967727E-41.5967249E-41.33419224.0E-50.00184663720.00145610920.00151602181.04114576.0E-50.0183136720.014868150.0149469621.00530068.0E-5
6.23.4688688E-52.7925962E-53.792568E-51.35807971.0E-51.4865733E-41.1967727E-41.5967249E-41.33419234.0E-50.00180840050.00145610910.00151602181.04114576.0E-50.0179375480.014868150.0149469611.00530068.0E-5
6.33.2087122E-52.7771312E-53.7771035E-51.36007381.0E-51.3750899E-41.1901455E-41.5900978E-41.33605344.0E-50.00167288620.00144805120.00150796431.0413756.0E-50.0166034880.0147893080.0148681251.00532948.0E-5
6.43.1828724E-52.773829E-53.7738013E-51.36050251.0E-51.364017E-41.1887303E-41.5886828E-41.33645344.0E-50.00165942540.00144633060.00150624371.04142436.0E-50.0164708850.0147725020.014851321.00533558.0E-5
6.53.1563577E-52.7477974E-53.7477697E-51.36391781.0E-51.3526545E-41.17757496E-41.5775279E-41.33964114.0E-50.00164561280.00143276680.00149268091.04181716.0E-50.01633480.014639910.0147187381.00538468.0E-5
6.63.1467625E-52.7322194E-53.7321923E-51.36599281.0E-51.3485427E-41.17089934E-41.5708525E-41.34157784.0E-50.00164061420.00142464980.00148456441.04205566.0E-50.0162855480.0145602280.0146390631.00541448.0E-5
6.73.1223695E-52.6940217E-53.693995E-51.37118221.0E-51.3380898E-41.1545303E-41.5544842E-41.34642124.0E-50.00162790680.00140474640.00146466211.04265246.0E-50.016160330.014364510.014443361.00548928.0E-5
6.83.1015585E-52.6761221E-53.6760954E-51.3736651.0E-51.3291716E-41.1468597E-41.5468139E-41.34873844.0E-50.0016170650.00139541950.00144534971.03578155.0E-50.0160534870.0142717720.0143407721.00483487.0E-5
6.92.6641965E-52.2183434E-53.2183212E-51.45077681.0E-51.1417485E-49.506842E-51.3506462E-41.42070964.0E-50.00138919240.00115684730.00120678951.04317095.0E-50.01380540150.0118821910.0119513591.00582127.0E-5
7.02.3854353E-52.047825E-53.0478046E-51.4883131.0E-51.02228936E-48.776099E-51.2775748E-41.45574334.0E-50.00124392660.00106796890.00111791551.04676785.0E-50.0123698660.01098262050.0110518511.00630377.0E-5
7.12.3672901E-52.0314741E-53.0314537E-51.49224341.0E-51.0145135E-48.706028E-51.270568E-41.45941174.0E-50.00123447020.00105944610.00110939311.04714455.0E-50.01227635050.0108978580.0109670951.00635337.0E-5
7.22.2717244E-51.9542116E-52.9541921E-51.51170531.0E-59.735599E-58.3749255E-51.2374591E-41.47757634.0E-50.00118466460.00101917250.00106912151.04900945.0E-50.011783690.0104953220.0105546921.00565686.0E-5
7.32.1016205E-51.8383771E-52.8383587E-51.5439481.0E-59.006634E-57.878522E-51.1878207E-41.50766944.0E-50.0010960069.5879E-40.00100874211.05209915.0E-50.0109061630.0098909010.0099503071.00600626.0E-5
7.42.0683625E-51.8186302E-52.818612E-51.54985441.0E-58.86411E-57.7938974E-51.1793586E-41.5131824.0E-50.0010786719.48496E-49.984486E-41.0526655.0E-50.0107345010.00978762750.009847041.00607016.0E-5
7.51.9993966E-51.7781347E-52.7781169E-51.56237711.0E-58.568561E-57.6203556E-51.16200514E-41.52486994.0E-50.0010427239.2738547E-49.773391E-41.0538655.0E-50.0103784380.0095745480.0096339741.00620666.0E-5
7.61.788966E-51.6434618E-52.6434454E-51.60846171.0E-57.666772E-57.043219E-51.1042937E-41.56788224.0E-59.3302975E-48.5717626E-49.071334E-41.05828115.0E-50.009291220.0088664150.0089258831.00670716.0E-5
7.71.5125781E-51.4236738E-52.4236595E-51.70239811.0E-56.4823165E-56.101317E-51.0101073E-41.65555624.0E-57.889362E-47.4258295E-47.9254585E-41.06728265.0E-50.0078614120.0077141610.00777369831.00771786.0E-5
7.81.250089E-51.262994E-52.2629814E-51.79175941.0E-55.3574146E-55.4127195E-59.412503E-51.738964.0E-56.5207E-46.588E-47.0876704E-41.07584565.0E-50.0065015990.0068677590.0069273471.00867656.0E-5
7.99.561E-69.754065E-61.9753967E-52.02520371.0E-54.0975072E-54.180247E-58.18008E-51.95684124.0E-54.987573E-45.0882675E-45.5880134E-41.09821525.0E-50.00497639370.00535236070.00541203931.011156.0E-5
8.08.01699E-68.292994E-61.829291E-52.20582721.0E-53.4358076E-53.554092E-57.55395E-52.12542324.0E-54.1822926E-44.3262533E-44.8260367E-41.11552355.0E-50.00417443040.00457331860.00463304441.01305966.0E-5
8.16.541947E-66.461784E-66.461784E-61.00.02.8036617E-52.7693068E-55.769224E-52.08327363.0E-53.4129233E-43.3711144E-43.7709795E-41.11861524.0E-50.00340768650.00358057560.00362043221.01113144.0E-5
8.21.7968189E-67.9684827E-77.9684827E-71.00.07.70063E-63.4150596E-63.4150596E-61.00.09.3751136E-54.157758E-54.157758E-51.00.09.371159E-44.7107413E-44.7107413E-41.00.0
8.31.5167889E-74.8951257E-84.8951257E-81.00.06.500522E-72.0979108E-72.0979108E-71.00.07.9143565E-62.5542038E-62.5542038E-61.00.07.914075E-52.9679897E-52.9679897E-51.00.0

San Clemente

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.681379E-58.163834E-51.2163507E-41.48992594.0E-52.8631336E-43.4983488E-43.898209E-41.11429974.0E-50.0034802940.004251410.00432111231.01639517.0E-50.034262910.041756030.041832691.0018368.0E-5
6.16.681379E-58.163834E-51.2163507E-41.48992594.0E-52.8631336E-43.4983488E-43.898209E-41.11429974.0E-50.0034802940.004251410.00432111231.01639517.0E-50.034262910.041756030.041832691.0018368.0E-5
6.23.9400576E-54.6452373E-56.6451445E-51.43052852.0E-51.6884868E-41.9906677E-42.1906279E-41.10044882.0E-50.00205379450.00242099840.0024509261.01236153.0E-50.0203491670.0239529030.0239919461.001634.0E-5
6.33.2590255E-53.792912E-54.7928737E-51.26363971.0E-51.3966505E-41.6254342E-41.725418E-41.0615121.0E-50.00169909560.00197720020.00198718021.00504771.0E-50.016861630.0195998830.0196096861.00050021.0E-5
6.42.9454652E-53.4097764E-54.409742E-51.29326441.0E-51.2622811E-41.4612524E-41.5612377E-41.06842451.0E-50.00153574380.00177764930.00178763151.00561541.0E-50.0152517390.017637470.0176472941.0005571.0E-5
6.52.790836E-53.2247463E-54.224714E-51.3100921.0E-51.1960178E-41.3819624E-41.4819486E-41.07235091.0E-50.0014551790.00168126620.00169124941.00593791.0E-50.0144568680.0166884850.0166983181.00058931.0E-5
6.62.2492153E-52.5762702E-52.5762702E-51.00.09.639138E-51.1040699E-41.1040699E-41.00.00.00117293310.00134339090.00134339091.00.00.0116676150.0133544170.0133544171.00.0
6.71.9862755E-52.2666423E-52.2666423E-51.00.08.512331E-59.713826E-59.713826E-51.00.00.00103588360.00118202790.00118202791.00.00.0103106820.0117587010.0117587011.00.0
6.81.6697575E-51.897771E-51.897771E-51.00.07.155907E-58.133056E-58.133056E-51.00.08.7088346E-49.897591E-49.897591E-41.00.00.0086747840.00985453650.00985453651.00.0
6.91.5218415E-51.72694E-51.72694E-51.00.06.522015E-57.4009666E-57.4009666E-51.00.07.93766E-49.00704E-49.00704E-41.00.00.0079093670.0089714810.0089714811.00.0
7.01.2392958E-51.4033016E-51.4033016E-51.00.05.3111595E-56.014015E-56.014015E-51.00.06.4644177E-47.319679E-47.319679E-41.00.00.00644564540.00729635640.00729635641.00.0
7.11.0934128E-51.2375138E-51.2375138E-51.00.04.6859706E-55.303527E-55.303527E-51.00.05.7036756E-46.455204E-46.455204E-41.00.00.00568905850.00643719970.00643719971.00.0
7.29.5798805E-61.0844935E-51.0844935E-51.00.04.1055984E-54.6477508E-54.6477508E-51.00.04.9974193E-45.657239E-45.657239E-41.00.00.00498619630.00564356150.00564356151.00.0
7.38.0167365E-69.083918E-69.083918E-61.00.03.4356988E-53.8930535E-53.8930535E-51.00.04.1821605E-44.7388324E-44.7388324E-41.00.00.00417429860.00472942970.00472942971.00.0
7.42.9581017E-63.3623792E-63.3623792E-61.00.01.2677518E-51.4410146E-51.4410146E-51.00.01.5433785E-41.7543444E-41.7543444E-41.00.00.0015423070.00175345460.00175345461.00.0

Kern Canyon (Lake Isabella) 2011

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.2387383E-64.0016344E-62.4001554E-55.9979382.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-54.7149242E-52.74926573.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.6876765E-41.28732366.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.00216585721.03827058.0E-5
6.14.2387383E-64.0016344E-62.4001554E-55.9979382.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-54.7149242E-52.74926573.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.6876765E-41.28732366.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.00216585721.03827058.0E-5
6.24.2387383E-64.0016344E-62.4001554E-55.9979382.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-54.7149242E-52.74926573.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.6876765E-41.28732366.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.00216585721.03827058.0E-5
6.34.2387383E-64.0016344E-62.4001554E-55.9979382.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-54.7149242E-52.74926573.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.6876765E-41.28732366.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.00216585721.03827058.0E-5
6.44.2387383E-64.0016344E-62.4001554E-55.9979382.0E-51.8165894E-51.7149758E-54.7149242E-52.74926573.0E-52.2114732E-42.0878017E-42.6876765E-41.28732366.0E-50.00220927360.0020860240.00216585721.03827058.0E-5
6.52.7857532E-62.5178624E-62.2517812E-58.9432262.0E-51.1938888E-51.0790796E-54.0790474E-53.7801173.0E-51.4534626E-41.3137035E-41.8136378E-41.38055345.0E-50.00145251230.00131295960.00137288091.04563836.0E-5
6.62.2233348E-61.944119E-61.1944099E-56.14370781.0E-59.528543E-68.331913E-62.8331746E-53.40038922.0E-51.1600384E-41.014364E-41.3143336E-41.29572183.0E-50.0011594330.00101390960.0010538691.03941134.0E-5
6.72.1635126E-61.8834991E-61.18834805E-56.30925751.0E-59.272164E-68.072114E-62.8071952E-53.47764562.0E-51.1288274E-49.827364E-51.282707E-41.305243.0E-50.00112825429.8231E-40.00102227061.04068034.0E-5
6.81.8685711E-61.583138E-61.1583122E-57.3165591.0E-58.008137E-66.7848596E-61.6784792E-52.47385981.0E-59.74947E-58.2602586E-51.02600934E-41.24210322.0E-59.745194E-48.2572375E-48.5569895E-41.03630173.0E-5
6.91.5815071E-61.3064887E-61.1306475E-58.6540941.0E-56.77787E-65.5992255E-61.559917E-52.78595141.0E-58.251744E-56.816846E-58.81671E-51.29337082.0E-58.248681E-46.8147824E-47.114578E-41.04399193.0E-5
7.01.3772564E-61.1210681E-61.1121057E-59.9200541.0E-55.9025137E-64.8045686E-61.4804521E-53.08134221.0E-57.186073E-55.8494075E-57.849291E-51.3418952.0E-57.18375E-45.8478885E-46.1477127E-41.05127063.0E-5
7.11.0916998E-68.7637505E-78.7637505E-71.00.04.678705E-63.7558877E-63.7558877E-61.00.05.6961744E-54.5726985E-55.572653E-51.21867921.0E-55.6947145E-44.571771E-44.7716798E-41.04372672.0E-5
7.27.6277024E-75.901439E-75.901439E-71.00.03.2690114E-62.5291856E-62.5291856E-61.00.03.9799485E-53.0792406E-53.0792406E-51.00.03.9792358E-43.07882E-43.07882E-41.00.0
7.35.3265916E-74.3824264E-74.3824264E-71.00.02.282823E-61.8781814E-61.8781814E-61.00.02.7793016E-52.2866623E-52.2866623E-51.00.02.778954E-42.2864307E-42.2864307E-41.00.0
7.43.4946007E-73.0065647E-73.0065647E-71.00.01.497685E-61.2885271E-61.2885271E-61.00.01.8234163E-51.5687707E-51.5687707E-51.00.01.8232666E-41.5686621E-41.5686621E-41.00.0
7.51.8317026E-71.4244755E-71.4244755E-71.00.07.850152E-76.1048934E-76.1048934E-71.00.09.557518E-67.432683E-67.432683E-61.00.09.5571064E-57.432442E-57.432442E-51.00.0
7.62.572245E-81.735264E-81.735264E-81.00.01.10239064E-77.436845E-87.436845E-81.00.01.3421597E-69.0543557E-79.0543557E-71.00.01.3421517E-59.054324E-69.054324E-61.00.0

Big Pine (Central)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.2706755E-51.4250602E-53.425032E-52.40342952.0E-55.4456385E-56.107279E-51.0107034E-41.65491624.0E-56.628048E-47.433441E-47.8331435E-41.05377094.0E-50.0066083140.0074136390.007483121.00937217.0E-5
6.18.342579E-69.510835E-61.951074E-52.05142241.0E-53.5753423E-54.076021E-57.0758986E-51.7359823.0E-54.3521097E-44.9616426E-45.261494E-41.06043393.0E-50.00434359630.0049541550.00498400631.00602563.0E-5
6.26.923899E-67.967221E-61.7967142E-52.25513271.0E-52.9673516E-53.4144894E-56.4143875E-51.87857873.0E-53.6121515E-44.1565404E-44.4564158E-41.07214553.0E-50.0036062860.00415210940.0041819851.00719523.0E-5
6.32.728396E-63.4243646E-63.4243646E-61.00.01.1693074E-51.4675771E-51.4675771E-51.00.01.4235388E-41.7866373E-41.7866373E-41.00.00.00142262720.00178674330.00178674331.00.0
6.42.7136944E-63.4086581E-63.4086581E-61.00.01.1630066E-51.4608458E-51.4608458E-51.00.01.4158686E-41.7784433E-41.7784433E-41.00.00.00141496690.00177856230.00177856231.00.0
6.52.6971882E-63.3910032E-63.3910032E-61.00.01.1559327E-51.4532795E-51.4532795E-51.00.01.4072572E-41.7692328E-41.7692328E-41.00.00.00140636640.00176936660.00176936661.00.0
6.62.669092E-63.3610236E-63.3610236E-61.00.01.1438916E-51.4404312E-51.4404312E-51.00.01.3925991E-41.7535927E-41.7535927E-41.00.00.00139172670.00175375110.00175375111.00.0
6.72.6408059E-63.3310494E-63.3310494E-61.00.01.1317691E-51.4275853E-51.4275853E-51.00.01.3778417E-41.737955E-41.737955E-41.00.00.00137698770.00173813810.00173813811.00.0
6.82.1786943E-62.8545066E-62.8545066E-61.00.09.337228E-61.2233547E-51.2233547E-51.00.01.1367482E-41.4893398E-41.4893398E-41.00.00.00113616690.00148987040.00148987041.00.0
6.91.4411696E-62.0685677E-62.0685677E-61.00.06.1764263E-68.865261E-68.865261E-61.00.07.51954E-51.0792949E-41.0792949E-41.00.07.5169955E-40.00108025480.00108025481.00.0
7.01.0073411E-61.5543274E-61.5543274E-61.00.04.317169E-66.661387E-66.661387E-61.00.05.2560266E-58.109952E-58.109952E-51.00.05.2547833E-48.1217213E-48.1217213E-41.00.0
7.18.947104E-71.430316E-61.430316E-61.00.03.834468E-66.1299124E-66.1299124E-61.00.04.6683643E-57.462928E-57.462928E-51.00.04.6673836E-47.4751483E-47.4751483E-41.00.0
7.25.215166E-71.0112277E-61.0112277E-61.00.02.2350691E-64.333826E-64.333826E-61.00.02.7211627E-55.27631E-55.27631E-51.00.02.7208295E-45.289683E-45.289683E-41.00.0
7.34.4024807E-79.220183E-79.220183E-71.00.01.8867761E-63.951501E-63.951501E-61.00.02.2971257E-54.8108504E-54.8108504E-51.00.02.2968883E-44.824433E-44.824433E-41.00.0
7.43.6130905E-78.359109E-78.359109E-71.00.01.5484665E-63.5824705E-63.5824705E-61.00.01.8852415E-54.3615746E-54.3615746E-51.00.01.8850817E-44.3752496E-44.3752496E-41.00.0
7.53.408184E-78.1087245E-78.1087245E-71.00.01.4606494E-63.475163E-63.475163E-61.00.01.7783263E-54.230933E-54.230933E-51.00.01.778184E-44.2444657E-44.2444657E-41.00.0
7.63.1428627E-77.732167E-77.732167E-71.00.01.3469405E-63.313782E-63.313782E-61.00.01.6398877E-54.0344585E-54.0344585E-51.00.01.6397667E-44.0477706E-44.0477706E-41.00.0
7.71.7972785E-75.0782415E-75.0782415E-71.00.07.70262E-72.1763874E-62.1763874E-61.00.09.377899E-62.6497206E-52.6497206E-51.00.09.377503E-52.6633305E-42.6633305E-41.00.0
7.84.9230927E-81.1981747E-71.1981747E-71.00.02.1098968E-75.135033E-75.135033E-71.00.02.5687964E-66.2518866E-66.2518866E-61.00.02.5687666E-56.2971965E-56.2971965E-51.00.0
7.93.6805972E-94.1051638E-94.1051638E-91.00.01.5773987E-81.7593557E-81.7593557E-81.00.01.9204828E-72.1420155E-72.1420155E-71.00.01.920481E-62.1898923E-62.1898923E-61.00.0

Pine Mtn

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.894797E-67.2254716E-61.72254E-52.38398271.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-54.0965646E-51.32292531.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-43.9694074E-41.05303762.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.00382316071.01588316.0E-5
6.16.894797E-67.2254716E-61.72254E-52.38398271.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-54.0965646E-51.32292531.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-43.9694074E-41.05303762.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.00382316071.01588316.0E-5
6.26.894797E-67.2254716E-61.72254E-52.38398271.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-54.0965646E-51.32292531.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-43.9694074E-41.05303762.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.00382316071.01588316.0E-5
6.36.894797E-67.2254716E-61.72254E-52.38398271.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-54.0965646E-51.32292531.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-43.9694074E-41.05303762.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.00382316071.01588316.0E-5
6.46.894797E-67.2254716E-61.72254E-52.38398271.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-54.0965646E-51.32292531.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-43.9694074E-41.05303762.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.00382316071.01588316.0E-5
6.56.894797E-67.2254716E-61.72254E-52.38398271.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-54.0965646E-51.32292531.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-43.9694074E-41.05303762.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.00382316071.01588316.0E-5
6.66.894797E-67.2254716E-61.72254E-52.38398271.0E-52.9548795E-53.0965955E-54.0965646E-51.32292531.0E-53.596972E-43.7694827E-43.9694074E-41.05303762.0E-50.00359115540.00376338650.00382316071.01588316.0E-5
6.76.0867933E-66.397124E-61.639706E-52.56319261.0E-52.6085996E-52.7415968E-53.7415695E-51.3647411.0E-53.1755073E-43.337405E-43.537338E-41.05990682.0E-50.00317097340.00333261190.00338244531.01495335.0E-5
6.85.6530425E-65.950606E-61.5950547E-52.68049121.0E-52.42271E-52.5502359E-53.5502104E-51.39211061.0E-52.94925E-43.1044905E-43.3044282E-41.06440282.0E-50.0029453390.00310035820.00315020331.01607725.0E-5
6.94.6015225E-64.8638444E-61.48637955E-53.05597691.0E-51.9720663E-52.084489E-53.084468E-51.47972391.0E-52.4007261E-42.5375842E-42.7375337E-41.07879512.0E-50.00239813420.0025348310.00257472951.01574024.0E-5
7.04.4875965E-64.7474837E-61.4747436E-53.1063691.0E-51.9232413E-52.0346208E-53.0346004E-51.49148211.0E-52.3412947E-42.4768838E-42.676834E-41.08072662.0E-50.00233882950.00247426680.0025141681.01612644.0E-5
7.13.203907E-63.42942E-63.42942E-61.00.01.3730958E-51.4697435E-51.4697435E-51.00.01.6716159E-41.7892725E-41.8892546E-41.05587861.0E-50.00167035890.0017878980.00179788021.00558321.0E-5
7.22.2060601E-62.3784874E-62.3784874E-61.00.09.4545085E-61.019348E-51.019348E-51.00.01.15102564E-41.2409901E-41.3409776E-41.08057081.0E-50.00115042960.00124034190.00125032951.00805231.0E-5
7.31.3765207E-61.5216535E-61.5216535E-61.00.05.899361E-66.5213567E-66.5213567E-61.00.07.182235E-57.939472E-57.939472E-51.00.07.1799144E-47.9367263E-47.9367263E-41.00.0
7.41.1245983E-61.2587126E-61.2587126E-61.00.04.819698E-65.394472E-65.394472E-61.00.05.8678244E-56.56758E-56.56758E-51.00.05.866275E-46.565722E-46.565722E-41.00.0
7.58.031682E-79.276999E-79.276999E-71.00.03.4421448E-63.975851E-63.975851E-61.00.04.1907308E-54.840498E-54.840498E-51.00.04.1899405E-44.8395112E-44.8395112E-41.00.0
7.64.8953444E-76.0030544E-76.0030544E-71.00.02.098003E-62.5727354E-62.5727354E-61.00.02.5542888E-53.1322652E-53.1322652E-51.00.02.5539953E-43.1318725E-43.1318725E-41.00.0
7.76.634529E-86.788826E-86.788826E-81.00.02.843369E-72.9094966E-72.9094966E-71.00.03.4617963E-63.5423066E-63.5423066E-61.00.03.4617424E-53.542255E-53.542255E-51.00.0
7.89.235578E-99.488566E-99.488566E-91.00.03.9581046E-84.0665284E-84.0665284E-81.00.04.818991E-74.950997E-74.950997E-71.00.04.8189804E-64.950988E-64.950988E-61.00.0

Bullion Mountains

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6420427E-51.4692009E-54.469157E-53.04189633.0E-57.037136E-56.296445E-51.0296193E-41.63523914.0E-58.5643446E-47.6636096E-48.2631496E-41.0782326.0E-50.0085314130.00764097460.007710441.00909117.0E-5
6.11.6420427E-51.4692009E-54.469157E-53.04189633.0E-57.037136E-56.296445E-51.0296193E-41.63523914.0E-58.5643446E-47.6636096E-48.2631496E-41.0782326.0E-50.0085314130.00764097460.007710441.00909117.0E-5
6.21.6420427E-51.4692009E-54.469157E-53.04189633.0E-57.037136E-56.296445E-51.0296193E-41.63523914.0E-58.5643446E-47.6636096E-48.2631496E-41.0782326.0E-50.0085314130.00764097460.007710441.00909117.0E-5
6.31.2046778E-59.862255E-62.9862058E-53.02791382.0E-55.1628023E-54.2266256E-57.2264986E-51.70975613.0E-56.283899E-45.144933E-45.644676E-41.0971335.0E-50.00626615950.00513530340.00518504671.00968655.0E-5
6.41.2046778E-59.862255E-62.9862058E-53.02791382.0E-55.1628023E-54.2266256E-57.2264986E-51.70975613.0E-56.283899E-45.144933E-45.644676E-41.0971335.0E-50.00626615950.00513530340.00518504671.00968655.0E-5
6.51.0244343E-57.879378E-62.7879221E-53.53825122.0E-54.390359E-53.3768443E-56.376743E-51.88837343.0E-55.343951E-44.1107394E-44.5105748E-41.09726614.0E-50.0053311180.00410516650.00414500251.00970394.0E-5
6.69.605408E-67.1774166E-62.7177273E-53.78649782.0E-54.1165385E-53.0760108E-56.0759186E-51.97525913.0E-55.010733E-43.7446033E-44.1444536E-41.10678044.0E-50.004999450.00374029060.0037801411.01065434.0E-5
6.78.60418E-66.123926E-62.6123804E-54.26585872.0E-53.687454E-52.6245243E-55.6244455E-52.14303423.0E-54.48855E-43.195085E-43.594957E-41.12515234.0E-50.0044794950.00319240310.00323227541.01248984.0E-5
6.85.187994E-62.563117E-62.2563067E-58.8029792.0E-52.223407E-51.0984763E-54.0984432E-53.73102553.0E-52.7066618E-41.3373529E-41.7372993E-41.29905834.0E-50.00270336750.00133693960.00137688621.02987914.0E-5
6.94.5302368E-62.3442778E-62.2344231E-59.5313922.0E-51.9415156E-51.0046889E-53.0046687E-52.9906462.0E-52.3635388E-41.2231797E-41.523143E-41.24523233.0E-50.00236102660.00122289560.00125285891.02450193.0E-5
7.03.431668E-61.6882177E-62.1688184E-512.8467932.0E-51.4707065E-57.2352186E-62.7235074E-53.76423652.0E-51.7904381E-48.808879E-51.1808614E-41.34053553.0E-50.00178899628.8088785E-49.108614E-41.03402653.0E-5

San Diego Trough south

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.279495E-51.0425541E-41.0425541E-41.00.03.5478722E-44.4673498E-44.6672602E-41.04474932.0E-50.0043109820.00542591330.0054756421.0091655.0E-50.0422830540.052993030.053059321.0012517.0E-5
6.14.6961468E-55.773024E-55.773024E-51.00.02.0124791E-42.473905E-42.5738802E-41.0404121.0E-50.002447440.0030078860.00304776571.01325834.0E-50.0242066030.0296796360.0297281521.00163465.0E-5
6.23.5079658E-54.214258E-54.214258E-51.00.01.5033272E-41.8059829E-41.9059649E-41.05536151.0E-50.00182876420.0021965870.0022265211.01362753.0E-50.0181378760.0217511880.0217903161.0017994.0E-5
6.33.5079658E-54.214258E-54.214258E-51.00.01.5033272E-41.8059829E-41.9059649E-41.05536151.0E-50.00182876420.0021965870.0022265211.01362753.0E-50.0181378760.0217511880.0217903161.0017994.0E-5
6.42.7196904E-53.208715E-53.208715E-51.00.01.16552954E-41.3750911E-41.4750773E-41.07271241.0E-50.00141810850.00167289950.0016928661.01193522.0E-50.0140909290.0166046660.0166341681.00177673.0E-5
6.52.5584688E-53.0101632E-53.0101632E-51.00.01.0964406E-41.2900059E-41.3899931E-41.0775091.0E-50.00133409890.00156946270.00158943131.01272322.0E-50.0132611810.0155853320.0156148641.00189483.0E-5
6.62.2034688E-52.574271E-52.574271E-51.00.09.443096E-51.1032127E-41.2032017E-41.09063431.0E-50.00114909050.00134234120.00136231431.01487932.0E-50.0114316680.0133433250.0133630581.00147892.0E-5
6.71.9394853E-52.254176E-52.254176E-51.00.08.311815E-59.6604E-51.0660303E-41.10350541.0E-50.00101149360.00117552430.00119550081.01699362.0E-50.010069020.0116937660.0117135331.00169032.0E-5
6.81.7615313E-52.0403182E-52.0403182E-51.00.07.549201E-58.743931E-59.743843E-51.11435511.0E-59.1872766E-40.00106405790.00108403671.01877592.0E-50.0091493870.0105901980.0106099861.00186852.0E-5
6.91.5621423E-51.8026114E-51.8026114E-51.00.06.6947236E-57.725251E-58.7251734E-51.12943571.0E-58.147778E-49.40147E-49.601282E-41.02125322.0E-50.0081179690.0093621420.0093819551.00211632.0E-5
7.01.3444376E-51.544809E-51.544809E-51.00.05.7617483E-56.620443E-57.620377E-51.15103731.0E-57.0126704E-48.057436E-48.2572753E-41.02480192.0E-50.0069905820.0080285550.0080483951.00247112.0E-5
7.11.2268361E-51.407303E-51.407303E-51.00.05.2577634E-56.0311606E-57.0311005E-51.16579561.0E-56.399447E-47.3404907E-47.540344E-41.02722612.0E-50.00638104930.00731654930.0073364031.00271362.0E-5
7.21.0922655E-51.2513563E-51.2513563E-51.00.04.681054E-55.3628468E-56.362793E-51.18645811.0E-55.697693E-46.5273355E-46.727205E-41.03062032.0E-50.00568310640.00650844350.00652831371.0030532.0E-5
7.36.1106753E-66.928925E-66.928925E-61.00.02.6188345E-52.9695057E-52.9695057E-51.00.03.1879646E-43.6147775E-43.6147775E-41.00.00.00318339510.0036089430.0036089431.00.0
7.44.933187E-65.5895525E-65.5895525E-61.00.02.114206E-52.3955008E-52.3955008E-51.00.02.5737417E-42.9161357E-42.9161357E-41.00.00.0025707630.00291235050.00291235051.00.0
7.51.7489613E-61.969678E-61.969678E-61.00.07.495527E-68.4414505E-68.4414505E-61.00.09.125422E-51.02770035E-41.02770035E-41.00.09.1216754E-40.00102724720.00102724721.00.0
7.61.6988751E-71.7533823E-71.7533823E-71.00.07.2808916E-77.5144936E-77.5144936E-71.00.08.864449E-69.14886E-69.14886E-61.00.08.8640954E-59.1485024E-59.1485024E-51.00.0

Tin Mountain

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.083776E-64.1815365E-61.4181494E-53.39145541.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-53.792041E-52.11600352.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.6815635E-41.22913195.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00224974381.03204177.0E-5
6.14.083776E-64.1815365E-61.4181494E-53.39145541.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-53.792041E-52.11600352.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.6815635E-41.22913195.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00224974381.03204177.0E-5
6.24.083776E-64.1815365E-61.4181494E-53.39145541.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-53.792041E-52.11600352.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.6815635E-41.22913195.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00224974381.03204177.0E-5
6.34.083776E-64.1815365E-61.4181494E-53.39145541.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-53.792041E-52.11600352.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.6815635E-41.22913195.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00224974381.03204177.0E-5
6.44.083776E-64.1815365E-61.4181494E-53.39145541.0E-51.750178E-51.792077E-53.792041E-52.11600352.0E-52.1306332E-42.1816725E-42.6815635E-41.22913195.0E-50.00212859150.00217989650.00224974381.03204177.0E-5
6.52.3143427E-62.3731573E-61.2373133E-55.2137861.0E-59.9185745E-61.0170638E-53.0170435E-52.9664252.0E-51.2075195E-41.2382126E-41.4381878E-41.16150322.0E-50.00120686360.00123759860.00125757381.01614032.0E-5
6.62.3143427E-62.3731573E-61.2373133E-55.2137861.0E-59.9185745E-61.0170638E-53.0170435E-52.9664252.0E-51.2075195E-41.2382126E-41.4381878E-41.16150322.0E-50.00120686360.00123759860.00125757381.01614032.0E-5
6.71.7029532E-61.7497915E-61.1749774E-56.71495681.0E-57.2983503E-67.499088E-62.7498938E-53.6669712.0E-58.885379E-59.1298105E-51.1129628E-41.21904252.0E-58.881827E-49.1265864E-49.3264034E-41.0218942.0E-5
6.81.2914646E-61.3299378E-61.3299378E-61.00.05.534837E-65.6997237E-61.5699667E-52.7544611.0E-56.738455E-56.939237E-57.939168E-51.1440981.0E-56.736412E-46.9375033E-47.037434E-41.01440441.0E-5
6.95.8708974E-76.1169936E-76.1169936E-71.00.02.5160964E-62.6215664E-62.6215664E-61.00.03.0633044E-53.1917145E-53.1917145E-51.00.03.0628822E-43.191297E-43.191297E-41.00.0
7.04.6248786E-74.832015E-74.832015E-71.00.01.9820893E-62.0708624E-62.0708624E-61.00.02.413167E-52.5212494E-52.5212494E-51.00.02.412905E-42.5210003E-42.5210003E-41.00.0
7.13.804606E-73.987147E-73.987147E-71.00.01.6305444E-61.7087764E-61.7087764E-61.00.01.9851697E-52.0804187E-52.0804187E-51.00.01.9849923E-42.0802575E-42.0802575E-41.00.0
7.23.5864858E-73.7616863E-73.7616863E-71.00.01.5370645E-61.6121504E-61.6121504E-61.00.01.87136E-51.9627789E-51.9627789E-51.00.01.8712023E-41.9626386E-41.9626386E-41.00.0
7.33.342063E-73.506347E-73.506347E-71.00.01.4323119E-61.5027196E-61.5027196E-61.00.01.7438259E-51.829549E-51.829549E-51.00.01.743689E-41.8294314E-41.8294314E-41.00.0
7.42.971242E-73.1165817E-73.1165817E-71.00.01.2733886E-61.3356774E-61.3356774E-61.00.01.5503398E-51.6261785E-51.6261785E-51.00.01.5502315E-41.6260923E-41.6260923E-41.00.0
7.51.4326713E-71.5012525E-71.5012525E-71.00.06.140018E-76.433939E-76.433939E-71.00.07.4754466E-67.8333205E-67.8333205E-61.00.07.475195E-57.833321E-57.833321E-51.00.0

Channel Islands Thrust

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.2156251E-52.4092022E-53.409178E-51.41506521.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.2324598E-41.19368832.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00128638881.02384723.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.012563071.00473866.0E-5
6.12.2156251E-52.4092022E-53.409178E-51.41506521.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.2324598E-41.19368832.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00128638881.02384723.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.012563071.00473866.0E-5
6.22.2156251E-52.4092022E-53.409178E-51.41506521.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.2324598E-41.19368832.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00128638881.02384723.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.012563071.00473866.0E-5
6.32.2156251E-52.4092022E-53.409178E-51.41506521.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.2324598E-41.19368832.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00128638881.02384723.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.012563071.00473866.0E-5
6.42.2156251E-52.4092022E-53.409178E-51.41506521.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.2324598E-41.19368832.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00128638881.02384723.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.012563071.00473866.0E-5
6.52.2156251E-52.4092022E-53.409178E-51.41506521.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.2324598E-41.19368832.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00128638881.02384723.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.012563071.00473866.0E-5
6.62.2156251E-52.4092022E-53.409178E-51.41506521.0E-59.495191E-51.03248036E-41.2324598E-41.19368832.0E-50.00115542640.00125642660.00128638881.02384723.0E-50.0114943730.01250382050.012563071.00473866.0E-5
6.71.0601296E-51.1379544E-52.137943E-51.87875991.0E-54.5433335E-54.876859E-55.8768102E-51.205041.0E-55.5301044E-45.936007E-46.0359476E-41.01683631.0E-50.0055163630.0059206530.0059405351.0033582.0E-5
6.81.0246747E-51.0996669E-52.0996558E-51.90935621.0E-54.391389E-54.7127756E-55.7127287E-51.21217921.0E-55.345204E-45.7363417E-45.836284E-41.01742271.0E-50.00533236560.0057220250.00574191051.00347532.0E-5
6.99.049551E-69.699645E-61.9699548E-52.03095561.0E-53.878322E-54.1569267E-55.156885E-51.24055231.0E-54.7208337E-45.059924E-45.1598734E-41.01975311.0E-50.00471081720.00504882030.00506871941.00394132.0E-5
7.08.6542195E-69.274603E-61.927451E-52.07820321.0E-53.7088983E-53.9747716E-54.974732E-51.25157681.0E-54.5146482E-44.8382508E-44.9382023E-41.02065861.0E-50.0045054870.00482812940.00484803271.00412242.0E-5
7.18.391028E-68.992925E-61.8992836E-52.11197521.0E-53.5961057E-53.8540562E-54.8540176E-51.25945691.0E-54.3773788E-44.6913436E-44.791297E-41.02130581.0E-50.0043687660.00468185030.0047017571.00425182.0E-5
7.25.965188E-66.3716957E-61.6371632E-52.5694311.0E-52.556484E-52.7306984E-53.7306712E-51.36619661.0E-53.1120746E-43.3241237E-43.4240904E-41.03007321.0E-50.003107720.00331920940.0033391431.00600552.0E-5
7.34.877518E-65.206007E-65.206007E-61.00.02.0903482E-52.231127E-52.231127E-51.00.02.5447016E-42.716063E-42.716063E-41.00.00.00254178980.00271278970.00272276251.00367631.0E-5
7.43.8829853E-64.141863E-64.141863E-61.00.01.664126E-51.7750723E-51.7750723E-51.00.02.0258849E-42.1609403E-42.1609403E-41.00.00.0020240390.0021588810.00216885911.0046221.0E-5
7.51.3489616E-61.4277905E-61.4277905E-61.00.05.7812517E-66.119088E-66.119088E-61.00.07.038446E-57.449739E-57.449739E-51.00.07.036218E-47.4472814E-47.4472814E-41.00.0
7.66.058192E-76.35378E-76.35378E-71.00.02.5963652E-62.7230458E-62.7230458E-61.00.03.161029E-53.3152595E-53.3152595E-51.00.03.1605794E-43.314781E-43.314781E-41.00.0
7.72.2170494E-72.2607924E-72.2607924E-71.00.09.5016367E-79.689107E-79.689107E-71.00.01.1568181E-51.17964355E-51.17964355E-51.00.01.1567579E-41.179592E-41.179592E-41.00.0
7.82.1613102E-81.5466837E-81.5466837E-81.00.09.262757E-86.628645E-86.628645E-81.00.01.1277401E-68.070372E-78.070372E-71.00.01.1277344E-58.07035E-68.07035E-61.00.0

Simi-Santa Rosa

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.198912E-52.2275388E-54.2274944E-51.89783192.0E-59.4235686E-59.54627E-51.15460796E-41.20948592.0E-50.00114671560.00116168250.00120163621.03439284.0E-50.0114081630.0115605470.0116198541.005136.0E-5
6.12.198912E-52.2275388E-54.2274944E-51.89783192.0E-59.4235686E-59.54627E-51.15460796E-41.20948592.0E-50.00114671560.00116168250.00120163621.03439284.0E-50.0114081630.0115605470.0116198541.005136.0E-5
6.21.69983E-51.6668506E-53.666817E-52.19984772.0E-57.284782E-57.143466E-59.1433234E-51.27995612.0E-58.865613E-48.6939917E-48.993731E-41.03447663.0E-50.0088303270.00866290.0087025531.00457744.0E-5
6.31.69983E-51.6668506E-53.666817E-52.19984772.0E-57.284782E-57.143466E-59.1433234E-51.27995612.0E-58.865613E-48.6939917E-48.993731E-41.03447663.0E-50.0088303270.00866290.0087025531.00457744.0E-5
6.41.4666188E-51.4052489E-53.405221E-52.42321542.0E-56.285358E-56.0223705E-58.02225E-51.33207512.0E-57.6497364E-47.330018E-47.6297985E-41.04089763.0E-50.00762345640.00730831640.0073480241.00543324.0E-5
6.51.4666188E-51.4052489E-53.405221E-52.42321542.0E-56.285358E-56.0223705E-58.02225E-51.33207512.0E-57.6497364E-47.330018E-47.6297985E-41.04089763.0E-50.00762345640.00730831640.0073480241.00543324.0E-5
6.61.4377586E-51.3729529E-53.3729255E-52.45669412.0E-56.1616774E-55.883965E-57.883847E-51.33988692.0E-57.4992597E-47.1616215E-47.4614066E-41.041863.0E-50.0074740030.00714101040.00718072481.00556154.0E-5
6.71.3881404E-51.3207497E-53.3207234E-52.51427152.0E-55.9490372E-55.6602472E-57.660134E-51.35332142.0E-57.240546E-46.889419E-47.1892125E-41.04351513.0E-50.0072170.00687051050.0069102361.0057824.0E-5
6.81.0176516E-59.1541E-61.9154008E-52.09239671.0E-54.3612912E-53.923136E-54.9230966E-51.25488821.0E-55.308578E-44.775537E-44.975441E-41.04186012.0E-50.00529591460.0047669080.0047967651.00626343.0E-5
6.99.699797E-68.774672E-61.8774585E-52.13963371.0E-54.15699E-53.760529E-54.760491E-51.265911.0E-55.05996E-44.5776463E-44.7775547E-41.04367052.0E-50.0050484540.00456983460.00459969741.00653483.0E-5
7.07.4049476E-66.559291E-61.6559225E-52.52454521.0E-53.1735104E-52.8111013E-53.811073E-51.35572241.0E-53.8630638E-43.422105E-43.6220363E-41.05842352.0E-50.00385635530.00341807750.00343800921.00583122.0E-5
7.13.873439E-62.759473E-62.759473E-61.00.01.6600346E-51.1826261E-51.1826261E-51.00.02.0209046E-41.4397544E-41.53974E-41.06944631.0E-50.00201906780.00143884530.00144883081.006941.0E-5
7.23.417706E-62.367616E-62.367616E-61.00.01.4647229E-51.0146887E-51.0146887E-51.00.01.7831543E-41.2353157E-41.3353034E-41.0809411.0E-50.00178172420.00123465130.00124463891.00808941.0E-5
7.31.90225E-61.4073756E-61.4073756E-61.00.08.152474E-66.031596E-66.031596E-61.00.09.9251854E-57.343223E-58.343149E-51.136171.0E-59.920754E-47.340819E-47.440745E-41.01361251.0E-5
7.41.5170556E-61.1024792E-61.1024792E-61.00.06.5016507E-64.7249023E-64.7249023E-61.00.07.915472E-55.752418E-55.752418E-51.00.07.9126534E-45.75094E-45.75094E-41.00.0
7.51.178732E-68.5351127E-78.5351127E-71.00.05.0516987E-63.6579004E-63.6579004E-61.00.06.1502695E-54.4534037E-54.4534037E-51.00.06.148568E-44.4525208E-44.4525208E-41.00.0
7.66.8722386E-74.793211E-74.793211E-71.00.02.9452417E-62.0542318E-62.0542318E-61.00.03.5857727E-52.5009986E-52.5009986E-51.00.03.5851944E-42.5007184E-42.5007184E-41.00.0
7.75.5126515E-73.6731117E-73.6731117E-71.00.02.3625628E-61.5741898E-61.5741898E-61.00.02.8763823E-51.9165593E-51.9165593E-51.00.02.87601E-41.9163951E-41.9163951E-41.00.0
7.83.3860243E-72.0075514E-72.0075514E-71.00.01.4511525E-68.6037886E-78.6037886E-71.00.01.7667637E-51.0475063E-51.0475063E-51.00.01.7666233E-41.0474575E-41.0474575E-41.00.0
7.92.7955386E-71.4648724E-71.4648724E-71.00.01.1980875E-66.278023E-76.278023E-71.00.01.4586617E-57.643467E-67.643467E-61.00.01.458566E-47.643208E-57.643208E-51.00.0
8.05.6259015E-83.335318E-83.335318E-81.00.02.4111003E-71.429422E-71.429422E-71.00.02.9355108E-61.7403199E-61.7403199E-61.00.02.935472E-51.7403077E-51.7403077E-51.00.0

Palos Verdes

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.06.126063E-57.622572E-59.62242E-51.26235872.0E-52.6251914E-43.266441E-43.466376E-41.06120872.0E-50.00319148650.00397017370.0040100151.01003524.0E-50.0314603930.039049090.0391067451.00147656.0E-5
6.16.126063E-57.622572E-59.62242E-51.26235872.0E-52.6251914E-43.266441E-43.466376E-41.06120872.0E-50.00319148650.00397017370.0040100151.01003524.0E-50.0314603930.039049090.0391067451.00147656.0E-5
6.26.126063E-57.622572E-59.62242E-51.26235872.0E-52.6251914E-43.266441E-43.466376E-41.06120872.0E-50.00319148650.00397017370.0040100151.01003524.0E-50.0314603930.039049090.0391067451.00147656.0E-5
6.34.0838047E-54.9749007E-55.974851E-51.2009991.0E-51.7500846E-42.1319388E-42.2319175E-41.04689561.0E-50.00212864580.0025927540.00260272831.00384691.0E-50.0210837090.0256467460.0256759771.00113983.0E-5
6.44.0838047E-54.9749007E-55.974851E-51.2009991.0E-51.7500846E-42.1319388E-42.2319175E-41.04689561.0E-50.00212864580.0025927540.00260272831.00384691.0E-50.0210837090.0256467460.0256759771.00113983.0E-5
6.53.0512005E-53.6561592E-54.656123E-51.2735011.0E-51.3075917E-41.566838E-41.6668225E-41.06381291.0E-50.00159083040.0019060720.0019160531.00523641.0E-50.0157949030.0189091730.0189287941.00103772.0E-5
6.62.9255087E-53.5154393E-54.515404E-51.28444951.0E-51.2537291E-41.5065364E-41.6065213E-41.06636741.0E-50.00152534640.00183277820.00184275991.00544621.0E-50.0151491890.0181882440.018207881.00107962.0E-5
6.72.287198E-52.724828E-53.7248006E-51.36698571.0E-59.801909E-51.16773626E-41.2677246E-41.08562581.0E-50.0011927290.00142088330.00143086921.00702791.0E-50.0118634770.0141272170.0141469351.00139572.0E-5
6.82.1325764E-52.5431878E-53.5431625E-51.39319731.0E-59.139293E-51.0898972E-41.18988624E-41.09174181.0E-50.0011121410.00132623230.0013362191.00753021.0E-50.0110659150.0131922110.0132119481.00149612.0E-5
6.91.9009392E-52.2613547E-53.2613323E-51.44220281.0E-58.1466285E-59.6912096E-51.0691113E-41.10317621.0E-59.914007E-40.00117935350.00118934171.00846921.0E-50.0098698940.0117396330.0117593981.00168362.0E-5
7.01.7098473E-52.0319356E-53.0319152E-51.49213161.0E-57.3277115E-58.708052E-59.7079654E-51.11482621.0E-58.917837E-40.0010597750.00106976441.0094261.0E-50.0088821340.0105556460.0105754351.00187472.0E-5
7.11.5982785E-51.899476E-52.8994571E-51.5264511.0E-56.849585E-58.1404054E-59.1403235E-51.1228341.0E-58.336179E-49.907284E-40.00100071841.01008361.0E-50.0083049770.0098714790.0098912821.0020062.0E-5
7.21.4468002E-51.7197237E-52.7197064E-51.58147881.0E-56.200425E-57.370083E-58.370009E-51.13567361.0E-57.546402E-48.970222E-49.0701325E-41.0111381.0E-50.0075208270.0089422840.0089621051.00221662.0E-5
7.35.288233E-66.2036747E-66.2036747E-61.00.02.2663658E-52.6587102E-52.6587102E-51.00.02.7589512E-43.236848E-43.236848E-41.00.00.00275552830.00323555620.00323555621.00.0
7.48.279556E-78.408347E-78.408347E-71.00.03.5483763E-63.6035726E-63.6035726E-61.00.04.3200624E-54.3872686E-54.3872686E-51.00.04.3192226E-44.3864746E-44.3864746E-41.00.0
7.56.559831E-76.667229E-76.667229E-71.00.02.8113532E-62.857381E-62.857381E-61.00.03.4227687E-53.4788125E-53.4788125E-51.00.03.4222414E-43.4783344E-43.4783344E-41.00.0
7.63.5018968E-73.5620027E-73.5620027E-71.00.01.500812E-61.526572E-61.526572E-61.00.01.8272232E-51.8585903E-51.8585903E-51.00.01.8270731E-41.8584808E-41.8584808E-41.00.0
7.71.1986104E-71.2198376E-71.2198376E-71.00.05.1369005E-75.2278745E-75.2278745E-71.00.06.2541585E-66.364919E-66.364919E-61.00.06.2539824E-56.364741E-56.364741E-51.00.0
7.83.0445005E-83.1027582E-83.1027582E-81.00.01.3047858E-71.3297536E-71.3297536E-71.00.01.5885756E-61.6189739E-61.6189739E-61.00.01.5885644E-51.6189642E-51.6189642E-51.00.0

San Cayetano

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.3476267E-51.8169216E-51.8169216E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.786576E-58.786499E-51.12841621.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.6758804E-41.02108572.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0094961841.00629816.0E-5
6.12.3476267E-51.8169216E-51.8169216E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.786576E-58.786499E-51.12841621.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.6758804E-41.02108572.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0094961841.00629816.0E-5
6.22.3476267E-51.8169216E-51.8169216E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.786576E-58.786499E-51.12841621.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.6758804E-41.02108572.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0094961841.00629816.0E-5
6.32.3476267E-51.8169216E-51.8169216E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.786576E-58.786499E-51.12841621.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.6758804E-41.02108572.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0094961841.00629816.0E-5
6.42.3476267E-51.8169216E-51.8169216E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.786576E-58.786499E-51.12841621.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.6758804E-41.02108572.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0094961841.00629816.0E-5
6.52.3476267E-51.8169216E-51.8169216E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.786576E-58.786499E-51.12841621.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.6758804E-41.02108572.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0094961841.00629816.0E-5
6.62.3476267E-51.8169216E-51.8169216E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.786576E-58.786499E-51.12841621.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.6758804E-41.02108572.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0094961841.00629816.0E-5
6.72.3476267E-51.8169216E-51.8169216E-51.00.01.0060869E-47.786576E-58.786499E-51.12841621.0E-50.00122422259.4760704E-49.6758804E-41.02108572.0E-50.0121750020.009436750.0094961841.00629816.0E-5
6.82.3241924E-51.7936945E-51.7936945E-51.00.09.960445E-57.687038E-57.687038E-51.00.00.00121200959.354987E-49.4548933E-41.01067951.0E-50.0120542040.00931661950.0093562461.00425344.0E-5
6.92.2761007E-51.7432383E-51.7432383E-51.00.09.7543525E-57.47081E-57.47081E-51.00.00.00118694549.09195E-49.1918587E-41.01098871.0E-50.0118062560.0090557410.009085471.00328283.0E-5
7.02.240283E-51.7066137E-51.7066137E-51.00.09.600859E-57.313856E-57.313856E-51.00.00.00116827778.9010154E-49.0009265E-41.01122461.0E-50.0116215490.0088663360.00889607051.00335363.0E-5
7.12.1871154E-51.658602E-51.658602E-51.00.09.373015E-57.108103E-57.108103E-51.00.00.00114056718.6507126E-48.750626E-41.01154971.0E-50.0113473090.0086179960.0086477381.00345113.0E-5
7.22.0714133E-51.5564563E-51.5564563E-51.00.08.8771834E-56.670358E-56.670358E-51.00.00.00108026118.118168E-48.118168E-41.00.00.0107502490.0080894430.0080993621.00122621.0E-5
7.31.8408395E-51.3996829E-51.3996829E-51.00.07.8890735E-55.9985046E-55.9985046E-51.00.09.600714E-47.300762E-47.300762E-41.00.00.0095593420.00727764470.00728757171.00136411.0E-5
7.41.6856795E-51.285006E-51.285006E-51.00.07.2241404E-55.5070537E-55.5070537E-51.00.08.7918417E-46.7028037E-46.7028037E-41.00.00.008757140.00668340870.0066933421.00148631.0E-5
7.51.2822778E-59.577415E-69.577415E-61.00.05.495361E-54.1045427E-54.1045427E-51.00.06.688548E-44.9961504E-44.9961504E-41.00.00.0066684520.00498519230.00498519231.00.0
7.65.6272684E-63.854899E-63.854899E-61.00.02.4116642E-51.6520893E-51.6520893E-51.00.02.9358055E-42.0112342E-42.0112342E-41.00.00.00293193010.00200942480.00200942481.00.0
7.73.5261346E-62.3407094E-62.3407094E-61.00.01.5111918E-51.0031574E-51.0031574E-51.00.01.8397206E-41.2212765E-41.2212765E-41.00.00.00183819840.00122061270.00122061271.00.0
7.81.4826929E-61.0564395E-61.0564395E-61.00.06.354383E-64.52759E-64.52759E-61.00.07.736187E-55.5122033E-55.5122033E-51.00.07.733494E-45.510856E-45.510856E-41.00.0
7.92.7568166E-71.6977887E-71.6977887E-71.00.01.1814923E-67.276235E-77.276235E-71.00.01.4384574E-58.85878E-68.85878E-61.00.01.4383643E-48.858431E-58.858431E-51.00.0
8.05.407832E-82.688677E-82.688677E-81.00.02.3176422E-71.15229014E-71.15229014E-71.00.02.8217257E-61.4029123E-61.4029123E-61.00.02.8216898E-51.40290385E-51.40290385E-51.00.0

Independence rev 2011

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.422171E-64.3262253E-64.432605E-510.2458954.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-55.854011E-53.15735844.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-42.7570318E-41.22146885.0E-50.00230477080.00225514570.00231501041.02654586.0E-5
6.14.422171E-64.3262253E-64.432605E-510.2458954.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-55.854011E-53.15735844.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-42.7570318E-41.22146885.0E-50.00230477080.00225514570.00231501041.02654586.0E-5
6.24.422171E-64.3262253E-64.432605E-510.2458954.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-55.854011E-53.15735844.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-42.7570318E-41.22146885.0E-50.00230477080.00225514570.00231501041.02654586.0E-5
6.34.422171E-64.3262253E-64.432605E-510.2458954.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-55.854011E-53.15735844.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-42.7570318E-41.22146885.0E-50.00230477080.00225514570.00231501041.02654586.0E-5
6.44.422171E-64.3262253E-64.432605E-510.2458954.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-55.854011E-53.15735844.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-42.7570318E-41.22146885.0E-50.00230477080.00225514570.00231501041.02654586.0E-5
6.54.422171E-64.3262253E-64.432605E-510.2458954.0E-51.8952025E-51.8540852E-55.854011E-53.15735844.0E-52.3071647E-42.2571447E-42.7570318E-41.22146885.0E-50.00230477080.00225514570.00231501041.02654586.0E-5
6.62.663744E-62.5319846E-64.2531883E-516.7978444.0E-51.1415996E-51.08513195E-55.0850886E-54.68614774.0E-51.3898089E-41.321073E-41.8210069E-41.37843025.0E-50.00138893990.00132033590.00138025671.0453836.0E-5
6.72.663744E-62.5319846E-64.2531883E-516.7978444.0E-51.1415996E-51.08513195E-55.0850886E-54.68614774.0E-51.3898089E-41.321073E-41.8210069E-41.37843025.0E-50.00138893990.00132033590.00138025671.0453836.0E-5
6.81.9716529E-61.8322567E-64.1832183E-522.8309634.0E-58.449913E-67.852505E-64.785219E-56.09387544.0E-51.0287284E-49.560019E-51.455954E-41.52296155.0E-50.00102825239.5560355E-40.00101554611.06272766.0E-5
6.91.8788617E-61.7429976E-64.174293E-523.948934.0E-58.0522395E-67.4699688E-64.746967E-56.3547354.0E-59.80316E-59.09432E-51.4093865E-41.54974385.0E-59.798837E-49.090718E-49.690173E-41.06594136.0E-5
7.01.5045488E-61.3849498E-64.1384894E-529.8818744.0E-56.44805E-65.9354857E-64.593525E-57.73908854.0E-57.8502184E-57.226219E-51.2225859E-41.69187475.0E-57.8474457E-47.223921E-47.8234874E-41.08299746.0E-5
7.11.272341E-61.1625089E-64.1162464E-535.40834.0E-55.4528787E-64.9821715E-64.498197E-59.0285874.0E-56.6386776E-56.0656283E-51.1065325E-41.82426695.0E-56.636695E-46.064005E-46.663641E-41.09888456.0E-5
7.21.0416892E-69.409871E-74.0940948E-543.5085144.0E-54.464375E-64.032796E-64.4032633E-510.9186374.0E-55.4352407E-54.9098202E-59.909575E-52.01831725.0E-55.4339116E-44.908754E-45.508459E-41.12217066.0E-5
7.37.9450155E-77.2350036E-74.0723473E-556.286734.0E-53.4050022E-63.1007123E-64.3100586E-513.9002224.0E-54.1455114E-53.7750528E-58.774864E-52.32443485.0E-54.144738E-43.7744228E-44.3741963E-41.15890476.0E-5
7.45.3893444E-75.0195166E-74.050193E-580.688914.0E-52.309717E-62.1512196E-64.2151132E-519.5940634.0E-52.8120441E-52.6190788E-56.618974E-52.52721454.0E-52.8116882E-42.6187746E-43.1186437E-41.1908795.0E-5
7.53.8852085E-73.6825622E-73.0368245E-582.464993.0E-51.6650882E-61.57824E-63.1578194E-520.0084863.0E-52.027226E-51.9214905E-54.921433E-52.56125783.0E-52.0270412E-41.9213265E-42.221269E-41.15611213.0E-5
7.62.414929E-72.3457605E-71.0234574E-543.630091.0E-51.0349692E-61.0053255E-61.1005315E-510.9470171.0E-51.2600677E-51.2239771E-52.2239648E-51.81699871.0E-51.2599962E-41.223911E-41.3238986E-41.08169531.0E-5
7.76.8298014E-86.8589785E-86.8589785E-81.00.02.9270575E-72.939562E-72.939562E-71.00.03.5636867E-63.5789112E-63.5789112E-61.00.03.5636294E-53.5788584E-53.5788584E-51.00.0

San Luis Range 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.8368415E-68.965455E-68.965455E-61.00.03.787163E-53.8422855E-53.8422855E-51.00.04.609895E-44.6770574E-44.8769638E-41.04274192.0E-50.00460034380.0046679970.00471776351.01066125.0E-5
6.18.8368415E-68.965455E-68.965455E-61.00.03.787163E-53.8422855E-53.8422855E-51.00.04.609895E-44.6770574E-44.8769638E-41.04274192.0E-50.00460034380.0046679970.00471776351.01066125.0E-5
6.28.8368415E-68.965455E-68.965455E-61.00.03.787163E-53.8422855E-53.8422855E-51.00.04.609895E-44.6770574E-44.8769638E-41.04274192.0E-50.00460034380.0046679970.00471776351.01066125.0E-5
6.38.8368415E-68.965455E-68.965455E-61.00.03.787163E-53.8422855E-53.8422855E-51.00.04.609895E-44.6770574E-44.8769638E-41.04274192.0E-50.00460034380.0046679970.00471776351.01066125.0E-5
6.43.9094193E-63.941204E-63.941204E-61.00.01.6754546E-51.6890766E-51.6890766E-51.00.02.039675E-42.0562594E-42.0562594E-41.00.00.00203780390.00205438560.00207434451.00971532.0E-5
6.53.9094193E-63.941204E-63.941204E-61.00.01.6754546E-51.6890766E-51.6890766E-51.00.02.039675E-42.0562594E-42.0562594E-41.00.00.00203780390.00205438560.00207434451.00971532.0E-5
6.63.0587726E-63.0753893E-63.0753893E-61.00.01.3108959E-51.3180174E-51.3180174E-51.00.01.595899E-41.6045693E-41.6045693E-41.00.00.00159475340.00160342270.00161340661.00622671.0E-5
6.72.6160574E-62.6251284E-62.6251284E-61.00.01.1211626E-51.1250502E-51.1250502E-51.00.01.3649299E-41.3696631E-41.3696631E-41.00.00.00136409190.00136882510.00136882511.00.0
6.82.5110312E-62.5181412E-62.5181412E-61.00.01.0761518E-51.079199E-51.079199E-51.00.01.310136E-41.313846E-41.313846E-41.00.00.00130936390.00131307520.00131307521.00.0
6.91.8564405E-61.852488E-61.852488E-61.00.07.95615E-67.93921E-67.93921E-61.00.09.686181E-59.665562E-59.665562E-51.00.09.68196E-49.6613786E-49.6613786E-41.00.0
7.01.546127E-61.5369549E-61.5369549E-61.00.06.626242E-66.5869326E-66.5869326E-61.00.08.06715E-58.019296E-58.019296E-51.00.08.0642226E-48.016409E-48.016409E-41.00.0
7.11.3368208E-61.3235336E-61.3235336E-61.00.05.7292195E-65.6722747E-65.6722747E-61.00.06.975101E-56.905776E-56.905776E-51.00.06.972912E-46.903635E-46.903635E-41.00.0
7.21.0623363E-61.0454378E-61.0454378E-61.00.04.5528623E-64.4804397E-64.4804397E-61.00.05.5429686E-55.4547992E-55.4547992E-51.00.05.5415864E-45.453463E-45.453463E-41.00.0
7.37.831679E-77.727399E-77.727399E-71.00.03.3564295E-63.3117383E-63.3117383E-61.00.04.086376E-54.031967E-54.031967E-51.00.04.0856248E-44.0312367E-44.0312367E-41.00.0
7.45.9558846E-75.910646E-75.910646E-71.00.02.5525194E-62.5331315E-62.5331315E-61.00.03.107648E-53.084044E-53.084044E-51.00.03.1072134E-43.083617E-43.083617E-41.00.0
7.54.1616502E-74.1196404E-74.1196404E-71.00.01.7835631E-61.765559E-61.765559E-61.00.02.1714664E-52.1495469E-52.1495469E-51.00.02.1712543E-42.1493394E-42.1493394E-41.00.0
7.62.3816014E-72.3376614E-72.3376614E-71.00.01.0206859E-61.0018545E-61.0018545E-61.00.01.242678E-51.219751E-51.219751E-51.00.01.2426086E-41.2196843E-41.2196843E-41.00.0
7.79.918777E-89.3868096E-89.3868096E-81.00.04.2509038E-74.022918E-74.022918E-71.00.05.1754632E-64.8978914E-64.8978914E-61.00.05.1753424E-54.897784E-54.897784E-51.00.0
7.83.4982556E-82.968672E-82.968672E-81.00.01.4992524E-71.272288E-71.272288E-71.00.01.8253382E-61.5490094E-61.5490094E-61.00.01.8253233E-51.5489988E-51.5489988E-51.00.0
7.91.6624908E-81.1476994E-81.1476994E-81.00.07.12496E-84.9187115E-84.9187115E-81.00.08.6746354E-75.988529E-75.988529E-71.00.08.674601E-65.9885133E-65.9885133E-61.00.0
8.06.3352315E-93.0886564E-93.0886564E-91.00.02.715099E-81.32370985E-81.32370985E-81.00.03.3056327E-71.6116167E-71.6116167E-71.00.03.3056278E-61.6116155E-61.6116155E-61.00.0

Calaveras (Central) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5010907E-42.4804124E-42.5803875E-41.04030591.0E-56.4316596E-40.0010624980.00108247671.01880362.0E-50.00780246640.0128504430.0128800581.00230463.0E-50.075341360.1204112250.120446411.00029224.0E-5
6.11.4521465E-42.3965565E-42.4965324E-41.04171661.0E-56.222001E-40.00102659420.00104657361.01946192.0E-50.00754900560.0124197630.012449391.00238553.0E-50.072976570.116682730.116718061.00030284.0E-5
6.21.429998E-42.3896809E-42.489657E-41.04183661.0E-56.127123E-40.00102364990.00104362951.01951792.0E-50.0074342860.0123843720.0124141.00239243.0E-50.071904440.116336770.1163721161.00030394.0E-5
6.31.3536277E-42.3227946E-42.4227714E-41.04304161.0E-55.799972E-49.950127E-40.00101499281.02008022.0E-50.00703862640.0120405340.0120701731.00246163.0E-50.06819820.1132495250.1132851.00031324.0E-5
6.41.2993296E-42.2651516E-42.3651289E-41.04413711.0E-55.5673666E-49.703276E-49.903081E-41.02059162.0E-50.0067572230.0117433380.0117729861.00252463.0E-50.065554120.110527520.11056311.00032194.0E-5
6.51.0498927E-41.7981966E-41.8981787E-41.05560121.0E-54.498764E-47.7042676E-47.904113E-41.02593962.0E-50.0054634980.009339520.009369241.00318223.0E-50.0533111240.089207390.089243821.00040844.0E-5
6.61.0157505E-41.7469494E-41.8469318E-41.05723261.0E-54.35249E-47.4847665E-47.684617E-41.0267012.0E-50.00528628840.0090745670.0091042941.0032763.0E-50.051622930.086784870.08682141.00042094.0E-5
6.79.660386E-51.6728783E-41.7728616E-41.05976721.0E-54.1395082E-47.167497E-47.3673535E-41.02788382.0E-50.00502821060.0086914740.0087212131.00342173.0E-50.0491594970.083274010.083310681.00044044.0E-5
6.89.089927E-51.5643238E-41.6643082E-41.06391541.0E-53.8951015E-46.702511E-46.902377E-41.02981962.0E-50.00473197880.0081297420.0081594981.00366023.0E-50.0463247750.0781630.078199871.00047174.0E-5
6.97.353187E-51.2295779E-41.3295656E-41.08131871.0E-53.150985E-45.2685605E-45.4684555E-41.0379412.0E-50.00382957720.0063957280.0064255361.00466063.0E-50.0376425120.062189280.062226791.00060324.0E-5
7.05.746064E-59.3890936E-51.0389E-41.10649661.0E-52.4623662E-44.0232803E-44.2231998E-41.04969072.0E-50.00299380980.00488741320.0049172671.00610823.0E-50.029537970.047987130.0480156881.00059523.0E-5
7.14.9557195E-58.052768E-59.0526875E-51.12417091.0E-52.123707E-43.4507332E-43.6506643E-41.05793872.0E-50.00258254730.0041932370.0042231111.00712443.0E-50.02552740.0413734730.0414022321.00069513.0E-5
7.23.687595E-55.952694E-56.9526344E-51.16798111.0E-51.5803022E-42.5509068E-42.7508556E-41.07838342.0E-50.00192231990.0031013350.00313124181.00964323.0E-50.019057760.0308838230.0309128951.00094143.0E-5
7.32.5846984E-54.2473923E-55.2473497E-51.23542861.0E-51.1076809E-41.820185E-41.9201667E-41.05492951.0E-50.00134776710.00221384040.0022238181.00450711.0E-50.0133962230.0221752170.0221849961.0004411.0E-5
7.41.7747854E-52.993759E-53.993729E-51.33401821.0E-57.6060016E-51.2829766E-41.3829638E-41.07793381.0E-59.2563726E-40.00156090780.00157089221.00639651.0E-50.0092179110.0157086870.0157185291.00062661.0E-5
7.51.4883479E-52.6244672E-53.6244408E-51.38101971.0E-56.378478E-51.12472335E-41.224712E-41.08890081.0E-57.76303E-40.00136849320.00137847951.00729731.0E-50.00773596670.0138016670.0138115291.00071451.0E-5
7.68.166975E-61.4964299E-52.4964149E-51.66824711.0E-53.5000852E-56.413114E-57.41305E-51.15592051.0E-54.2605202E-47.805183E-47.905105E-41.0128021.0E-50.0042523610.0079392030.0079491241.00124961.0E-5
7.73.3858064E-66.254251E-66.254251E-61.00.01.4510518E-52.6803657E-52.6803657E-51.00.01.7665124E-43.2628572E-43.2628572E-41.00.00.00176510880.0033883630.0033883631.00.0
7.82.7721615E-65.366695E-65.366695E-61.00.01.1880637E-52.2999919E-52.2999919E-51.00.01.4463716E-42.7998807E-42.7998807E-41.00.00.00144543060.0029076150.0029076151.00.0
7.91.9736292E-64.128705E-64.128705E-61.00.08.4583835E-61.769433E-51.769433E-51.00.01.0297595E-42.1540721E-42.1540721E-41.00.00.00102928250.00222372990.00222372991.00.0
8.01.1767289E-62.5546633E-62.5546633E-61.00.05.0431145E-61.0948511E-51.0948511E-51.00.06.139818E-51.3329E-41.3329E-41.00.06.1381224E-40.0013661260.0013661261.00.0
8.17.5112825E-71.541076E-61.541076E-61.00.03.2191172E-66.604595E-66.604595E-61.00.03.9192048E-58.0408E-58.0408E-51.00.03.9185135E-48.2356273E-48.2356273E-41.00.0

Coronado Bank alt1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.07.533492E-59.3951705E-51.1394983E-41.21285532.0E-53.22824E-44.025903E-44.325782E-41.07448743.0E-50.00392330070.0048911210.00494087631.01017265.0E-50.038547550.0479040.0479516051.00099375.0E-5
6.14.1807285E-55.0493105E-56.04926E-51.19803681.0E-51.7916178E-42.1638138E-42.3637705E-41.09240942.0E-50.00217911230.00263133650.00267123131.01516144.0E-50.0215786770.0260111240.0260500831.00149774.0E-5
6.24.1807285E-55.0493105E-56.04926E-51.19803681.0E-51.7916178E-42.1638138E-42.3637705E-41.09240942.0E-50.00217911230.00263133650.00267123131.01516144.0E-50.0215786770.0260111240.0260500831.00149774.0E-5
6.33.1793104E-53.7711125E-54.771075E-51.26516381.0E-51.3624904E-41.6160926E-41.8160602E-41.12373532.0E-50.00165756980.0019658490.001995791.01523053.0E-50.0164526030.0194884950.019517911.00150943.0E-5
6.42.9878007E-53.5335797E-54.5335444E-51.28298911.0E-51.2804232E-41.5143053E-41.714275E-41.13205372.0E-50.00155780030.00184213950.00187208421.01625543.0E-50.0154692530.0182724630.0183019151.00161183.0E-5
6.52.4512565E-52.8764101E-53.8763814E-51.34764551.0E-51.0504962E-41.2326906E-41.4326659E-41.16222672.0E-50.00127822870.00149979430.00152974941.01997283.0E-50.0127090120.01489969250.0149292461.00198353.0E-5
6.62.1317413E-52.490667E-53.490642E-51.40148891.0E-59.135714E-51.0673863E-41.267365E-41.18735362.0E-50.00111170560.00129879030.00131876441.0153792.0E-50.0110616050.0129144070.0129341491.00152862.0E-5
6.71.8585655E-52.1634882E-53.1634663E-51.46220661.0E-57.9650374E-59.271774E-51.0271681E-41.10784421.0E-59.6931186E-40.00112827440.0011382631.00885311.0E-50.00965094750.0112276230.01123751051.00088071.0E-5
6.81.5862879E-51.8419476E-52.8419292E-51.54289361.0E-56.798199E-57.8938334E-58.8937544E-51.12667121.0E-58.273665E-49.606697E-49.7066007E-41.01039951.0E-50.0082429280.0095671510.00957705451.00103521.0E-5
6.91.3021509E-51.5095266E-52.5095114E-51.66244941.0E-55.5805274E-56.46925E-57.4691845E-51.15456751.0E-56.792174E-47.873646E-47.973567E-41.01269051.0E-50.0067714520.0078475730.0078574941.00126431.0E-5
7.01.0974371E-51.2720105E-52.2719978E-51.7861471.0E-54.7032172E-55.4513697E-56.451315E-51.18343021.0E-55.7246623E-46.635197E-46.7351304E-41.01506111.0E-50.00570993730.00661713540.00662706931.00150121.0E-5
7.18.766221E-61.0163833E-51.0163833E-51.00.03.7568978E-54.3558655E-54.3558655E-51.00.04.573063E-45.302148E-45.302148E-41.00.00.00456366360.0052911970.0052911971.00.0
7.28.026024E-78.331776E-78.331776E-71.00.03.43972E-63.5707562E-63.5707562E-61.00.04.1877785E-54.34731E-54.34731E-51.00.04.1869894E-44.3464705E-44.3464705E-41.00.0
7.33.7293114E-73.700106E-73.700106E-71.00.01.5982754E-61.5857588E-61.5857588E-61.00.01.9458828E-51.9306442E-51.9306442E-51.00.01.9457124E-41.9304773E-41.9304773E-41.00.0
7.42.0557036E-71.9674441E-71.9674441E-71.00.08.810155E-78.4319004E-78.4319004E-71.00.01.0726311E-51.02657905E-51.02657905E-51.00.01.0725793E-41.026532E-41.026532E-41.00.0
7.56.845446E-86.2794086E-86.2794086E-81.00.02.9337625E-72.6911746E-72.6911746E-71.00.03.5718497E-63.2765004E-63.2765004E-61.00.03.5717923E-53.276453E-53.276453E-51.00.0
7.66.0975145E-95.531901E-95.531901E-91.00.02.6132206E-82.3708148E-82.3708148E-81.00.03.1815955E-72.8864667E-72.8864667E-71.00.03.181591E-62.886464E-62.886464E-61.00.0

Cucamonga

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1848348E-51.1737109E-52.1736992E-51.85198861.0E-55.0777642E-55.0300943E-57.029994E-51.39758682.0E-56.180424E-46.122446E-46.522201E-41.06529334.0E-50.00616326370.0061067450.00615643941.00813775.0E-5
6.11.1848348E-51.1737109E-52.1736992E-51.85198861.0E-55.0777642E-55.0300943E-57.029994E-51.39758682.0E-56.180424E-46.122446E-46.522201E-41.06529334.0E-50.00616326370.0061067450.00615643941.00813775.0E-5
6.21.1848348E-51.1737109E-52.1736992E-51.85198861.0E-55.0777642E-55.0300943E-57.029994E-51.39758682.0E-56.180424E-46.122446E-46.522201E-41.06529334.0E-50.00616326370.0061067450.00615643941.00813775.0E-5
6.31.1848348E-51.1737109E-52.1736992E-51.85198861.0E-55.0777642E-55.0300943E-57.029994E-51.39758682.0E-56.180424E-46.122446E-46.522201E-41.06529334.0E-50.00616326370.0061067450.00615643941.00813775.0E-5
6.41.1848348E-51.1737109E-52.1736992E-51.85198861.0E-55.0777642E-55.0300943E-57.029994E-51.39758682.0E-56.180424E-46.122446E-46.522201E-41.06529334.0E-50.00616326370.0061067450.00615643941.00813775.0E-5
6.51.16988695E-51.157614E-52.1576025E-51.86383581.0E-55.013705E-54.9611102E-56.9610105E-51.40311562.0E-56.102476E-46.0385047E-46.4382626E-41.06620164.0E-50.0060857450.00602325940.0060729581.00825125.0E-5
6.61.16988695E-51.157614E-52.1576025E-51.86383581.0E-55.013705E-54.9611102E-56.9610105E-51.40311562.0E-56.102476E-46.0385047E-46.4382626E-41.06620164.0E-50.0060857450.00602325940.0060729581.00825125.0E-5
6.71.1397107E-51.1115039E-52.1114927E-51.89967191.0E-54.884383E-54.7635025E-56.763407E-51.41983912.0E-55.9451134E-45.798046E-46.1978144E-41.06894874.0E-50.0059292340.0057840610.00583377151.00859445.0E-5
6.81.058387E-59.785037E-61.9784939E-52.02195861.0E-54.5358654E-54.1935207E-56.193437E-51.47690622.0E-55.521017E-45.1044265E-45.5042224E-41.07832344.0E-50.005507320.0050937020.00514344731.00976615.0E-5
6.99.690046E-68.579504E-61.8579418E-52.16555861.0E-54.1528107E-53.6768783E-55.6768047E-51.54391972.0E-55.054874E-44.475684E-44.8755048E-41.08933194.0E-50.0050433910.00446759540.0045173721.01114175.0E-5
7.09.381461E-68.18712E-61.8187038E-52.22142081.0E-54.020564E-53.508719E-55.5086486E-51.56998862.0E-54.893937E-44.2710314E-44.6708604E-41.09361424.0E-50.00488317340.0042637470.0043135341.01167685.0E-5
7.18.946492E-67.781904E-61.7781826E-52.28502251.0E-53.8341543E-53.3350592E-55.3349926E-51.59966952.0E-54.667083E-44.0596814E-44.4595188E-41.09848994.0E-50.00465729370.00405319270.004102991.0122865.0E-5
7.28.251016E-66.9752878E-61.6975218E-52.43362261.0E-53.5361016E-52.9893748E-54.989315E-51.66901622.0E-54.3043532E-43.6389584E-44.038813E-41.10988154.0E-50.00429602530.00363392520.00368374351.01370925.0E-5
7.37.717881E-66.4863584E-61.6486294E-52.5416871.0E-53.3076216E-52.7798384E-54.779783E-51.71944632.0E-54.026285E-43.38393E-43.7837945E-41.11816574.0E-50.0040189980.00337971030.00342954141.01474425.0E-5
7.47.275623E-66.032004E-61.6031943E-52.65781381.0E-53.118087E-52.5851192E-54.5850673E-51.77363872.0E-53.7956095E-43.1469302E-43.5468044E-41.1270684.0E-50.00378913320.00314340460.00319324761.01585635.0E-5
7.56.5109502E-65.100593E-61.5100542E-52.96054631.0E-52.7903774E-52.1859503E-54.1859064E-51.91491392.0E-53.3967546E-42.661071E-43.0609645E-41.15027554.0E-50.00339156740.00265880160.00270866881.01875545.0E-5
7.65.4495326E-63.908547E-61.3908508E-53.55848551.0E-52.335493E-51.6750808E-52.675064E-51.59697621.0E-52.8430918E-42.0392207E-42.3391595E-41.14708513.0E-50.00283945720.00203826160.002078181.01958454.0E-5
7.74.7997164E-63.2002263E-61.3200194E-54.1247691.0E-52.057005E-51.3715184E-52.3715047E-51.72910891.0E-52.504116E-41.6696959E-41.969646E-41.17964343.0E-50.0025012960.00166937010.001699321.01794093.0E-5
7.83.3941733E-62.0641678E-62.0641678E-61.00.01.4546376E-58.846404E-68.846404E-61.00.01.7708774E-41.07699656E-41.17698575E-41.09284081.0E-50.00176946680.00107660320.00108659241.00927841.0E-5
7.99.750552E-75.155798E-75.155798E-71.00.04.178801E-62.2096258E-62.2096258E-61.00.05.0875715E-52.6901867E-52.6901867E-51.00.05.086407E-42.689865E-42.689865E-41.00.0
8.01.133857E-76.053372E-86.053372E-81.00.04.8593864E-72.594302E-72.594302E-71.00.05.9162867E-63.1585582E-63.1585582E-61.00.05.916129E-53.158515E-53.158515E-51.00.0

San Gabriel

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.083775E-51.198525E-52.198513E-51.83434891.0E-54.6446676E-55.1364408E-56.13639E-51.19467741.0E-55.653415E-46.251936E-46.6516857E-41.06394024.0E-50.00563905430.00624633250.006296021.00795475.0E-5
6.11.083775E-51.198525E-52.198513E-51.83434891.0E-54.6446676E-55.1364408E-56.13639E-51.19467741.0E-55.653415E-46.251936E-46.6516857E-41.06394024.0E-50.00563905430.00624633250.006296021.00795475.0E-5
6.21.083775E-51.198525E-52.198513E-51.83434891.0E-54.6446676E-55.1364408E-56.13639E-51.19467741.0E-55.653415E-46.251936E-46.6516857E-41.06394024.0E-50.00563905430.00624633250.006296021.00795475.0E-5
6.31.083775E-51.198525E-52.198513E-51.83434891.0E-54.6446676E-55.1364408E-56.13639E-51.19467741.0E-55.653415E-46.251936E-46.6516857E-41.06394024.0E-50.00563905430.00624633250.006296021.00795475.0E-5
6.41.083775E-51.198525E-52.198513E-51.83434891.0E-54.6446676E-55.1364408E-56.13639E-51.19467741.0E-55.653415E-46.251936E-46.6516857E-41.06394024.0E-50.00563905430.00624633250.006296021.00795475.0E-5
6.56.7317824E-67.717007E-61.771693E-52.2958291.0E-52.8850178E-53.3072472E-54.3072145E-51.30235621.0E-53.511943E-44.0258403E-44.2257598E-41.0496592.0E-50.0035063980.0040295330.0040594121.0074153.0E-5
6.66.7317824E-67.717007E-61.771693E-52.2958291.0E-52.8850178E-53.3072472E-54.3072145E-51.30235621.0E-53.511943E-44.0258403E-44.2257598E-41.0496592.0E-50.0035063980.0040295330.0040594121.0074153.0E-5
6.76.274881E-67.2459275E-61.7245855E-52.38007571.0E-52.6892068E-53.105361E-54.10533E-51.32201371.0E-53.2736175E-43.7801306E-43.980055E-41.05288832.0E-50.00326879930.00378467960.00380460381.00526452.0E-5
6.85.996209E-66.958647E-61.6958578E-52.43705081.0E-52.5697784E-52.9822439E-53.9822142E-51.3353081.0E-53.128256E-43.6302864E-43.8302137E-41.05507212.0E-50.0031238560.00363533250.00365525971.00548162.0E-5
6.95.686331E-66.6236917E-61.6623626E-52.5097221.0E-52.4369761E-52.8386947E-53.8386665E-51.35226461.0E-52.9666146E-43.4555717E-43.6555025E-41.05785752.0E-50.00296265730.00346117350.00348110431.00575842.0E-5
7.05.2329838E-66.1475757E-61.6147515E-52.62664751.0E-52.242688E-52.6346492E-53.6346228E-51.37954711.0E-52.7301308E-43.207221E-43.4071566E-41.06233932.0E-50.0027267790.00321355490.00323349071.00620372.0E-5
7.15.135671E-66.0377E-61.603764E-52.65624981.0E-52.2009834E-52.5875606E-53.5875346E-51.38645431.0E-52.6793676E-43.1499073E-43.3498442E-41.06347392.0E-50.00267613940.00315640540.00317634221.00631632.0E-5
7.24.989062E-65.8710784E-65.8710784E-61.00.02.1381518E-52.5161527E-52.5161527E-51.00.02.6028889E-43.0629928E-43.162962E-41.03263781.0E-50.00259984240.0030697340.00307970331.00324761.0E-5
7.34.8219395E-65.7026323E-65.7026323E-61.00.02.0665291E-52.4439627E-52.4439627E-51.00.02.5157086E-42.975126E-43.0750962E-41.0336021.0E-50.00251286270.0029821060.00299207631.00334331.0E-5
7.44.7118383E-65.5911896E-65.5911896E-61.00.02.0193436E-52.3962024E-52.3962024E-51.00.02.4582737E-42.9169934E-43.0169642E-41.03427181.0E-50.0024555560.00292412660.00293409731.00340991.0E-5
7.54.5506545E-65.4365555E-65.4365555E-61.00.01.9502659E-52.329932E-52.329932E-51.00.02.37419E-42.8363304E-42.936302E-41.03524681.0E-50.0023716550.00284367150.00285364311.00350651.0E-5
7.64.343636E-65.2294336E-65.2294336E-61.00.01.861545E-52.241167E-52.241167E-51.00.02.2661954E-42.7282868E-42.8282593E-41.0366431.0E-50.00226388570.00273588930.0027458621.00364511.0E-5
7.72.936235E-62.743946E-62.743946E-61.00.01.2583803E-51.1759716E-51.1759716E-51.00.01.5319703E-41.4316518E-41.5316374E-41.06983941.0E-50.00153091470.00143798490.00144797051.00694421.0E-5
7.81.4541639E-69.122518E-79.122518E-71.00.06.232116E-63.9096444E-63.9096444E-61.00.07.587337E-54.7598885E-54.7598885E-51.00.07.584747E-44.8078224E-44.8078224E-41.00.0
7.98.098958E-72.4165956E-72.4165956E-71.00.03.4709774E-61.0356835E-61.0356835E-61.00.04.225833E-51.2609373E-51.2609373E-51.00.04.2250296E-41.2917137E-41.2917137E-41.00.0
8.05.2473234E-77.672734E-87.672734E-81.00.02.248851E-63.2883142E-73.2883142E-71.00.02.7379416E-54.003515E-64.003515E-61.00.02.7376044E-44.215796E-54.215796E-51.00.0
8.13.3162388E-74.1457096E-84.1457096E-81.00.01.4212444E-61.7767324E-71.7767324E-71.00.01.7303513E-52.1631695E-62.1631695E-61.00.01.7302166E-42.294416E-52.294416E-51.00.0
8.21.0235345E-71.4032201E-81.4032201E-81.00.04.3865757E-76.013801E-86.013801E-81.00.05.340643E-67.3217996E-77.3217996E-71.00.05.3405143E-57.921925E-67.921925E-61.00.0

Hunting Creek - Berryessa 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.1270982E-42.0028367E-42.1028167E-41.04991911.0E-54.8295266E-48.579912E-48.879655E-41.03493543.0E-50.00586410750.0103861730.010415861.00285843.0E-50.0571175780.098040480.098076561.0003684.0E-5
6.11.1239393E-41.9976508E-41.9976508E-41.00.04.8159933E-48.557703E-48.657618E-41.01167541.0E-50.00584771950.0103594170.0103693131.00095531.0E-50.0569621320.097798950.0978171.00018452.0E-5
6.27.596265E-51.2933646E-41.2933646E-41.00.03.2551357E-45.5415573E-45.5415573E-41.00.00.00395592770.00672135870.00672135871.00.00.0388624330.064592290.064592291.00.0
6.36.78794E-51.1448377E-41.1448377E-41.00.02.9087928E-44.9052597E-44.9052597E-41.00.00.0035357050.0059526610.0059526611.00.00.0347997660.0574662130.0574662131.00.0
6.46.2165134E-51.0434825E-41.0434825E-41.00.02.6639478E-44.4711027E-44.4711027E-41.00.00.00323853320.00542741830.00542741831.00.00.031917420.052551380.052551381.00.0
6.55.4368087E-59.070258E-59.070258E-51.00.02.3298527E-43.886537E-43.886537E-41.00.00.00283290590.00471970160.00471970161.00.00.0279706330.0458811820.0458811821.00.0
6.64.729947E-57.847101E-57.847101E-51.00.02.0269625E-43.3624718E-43.3624718E-41.00.00.0024650340.0040847460.0040847461.00.00.024378690.039852690.039852691.00.0
6.73.6875328E-56.0443555E-56.0443555E-51.00.01.5802756E-42.5900968E-42.5900968E-41.00.00.00192228750.00314827240.00314827241.00.00.0190574420.030893710.030893711.00.0
6.82.0292036E-52.8976721E-52.8976721E-51.00.08.6962966E-51.2417998E-41.2417998E-41.00.00.00105825990.00151083020.00151083021.00.00.0105323440.01497907750.01497907751.00.0
6.91.7871042E-52.4472653E-52.4472653E-51.00.07.658793E-51.04878585E-41.04878585E-41.00.09.320591E-40.00127614860.00127614861.00.00.0092815950.0126803950.0126803951.00.0
7.01.6415532E-52.1906566E-52.1906566E-51.00.07.035038E-59.388191E-59.388191E-51.00.08.561793E-40.00114241440.00114241441.00.00.0085288820.0113650170.0113650171.00.0
7.11.5409885E-52.0346588E-52.0346588E-51.00.06.6040695E-58.719676E-58.719676E-51.00.08.0374884E-40.00106110620.00106110621.00.00.008008480.0105609240.0105609241.00.0
7.21.4497423E-51.905519E-51.905519E-51.00.06.213033E-58.166256E-58.166256E-51.00.07.5617427E-49.937913E-49.937913E-41.00.00.00753606340.009894250.009894251.00.0
7.31.3615175E-51.7826347E-51.7826347E-51.00.05.8349444E-57.6396405E-57.6396405E-51.00.07.101729E-49.297323E-49.297323E-41.00.00.00707907650.0092591240.0092591241.00.0
7.41.2252825E-51.6026455E-51.6026455E-51.00.05.251105E-56.868302E-56.868302E-51.00.06.391345E-48.3589775E-48.3589775E-41.00.00.00637299430.0083281720.0083281721.00.0
7.51.0913301E-51.4241286E-51.4241286E-51.00.04.6770452E-56.103267E-56.103267E-51.00.05.6928146E-47.428222E-47.428222E-41.00.00.00567825320.00740398650.00740398651.00.0
7.68.623192E-61.12347825E-51.12347825E-51.00.03.6956015E-54.8148195E-54.8148195E-51.00.04.4984656E-45.8604917E-45.8604917E-41.00.00.004489370.0058455040.0058455041.00.0
7.72.0993634E-62.66264E-62.66264E-61.00.08.997241E-61.1411265E-51.1411265E-51.00.01.09535904E-41.3892337E-41.3892337E-41.00.00.00109481930.00138839940.00138839941.00.0
7.81.8428308E-72.1674624E-72.1674624E-71.00.07.897844E-79.289122E-79.289122E-71.00.09.615583E-61.130945E-51.130945E-51.00.09.615166E-51.1308173E-41.1308173E-41.00.0

Calaveras (So) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5950744E-43.0713255E-43.271264E-41.06509852.0E-56.834242E-40.0013154090.00134536951.02277663.0E-50.008288990.0158583260.0158976911.00248234.0E-50.0798654260.144401850.144436081.0002374.0E-5
6.11.3584697E-42.603514E-42.8034617E-41.07679932.0E-55.8207137E-40.00111517540.0011451421.02687163.0E-50.0070637160.0134613850.0135008461.00293154.0E-50.068433610.1240299940.1240650341.00028254.0E-5
6.21.14676266E-42.1714384E-42.371395E-41.09208492.0E-54.9137714E-49.30223E-49.601951E-41.03222043.0E-50.00596611850.0112450580.0112846081.00351724.0E-50.0580846480.105020570.105056371.00034084.0E-5
6.38.691518E-51.5987935E-41.6987773E-41.06253721.0E-53.7244044E-46.849807E-47.04967E-41.02917792.0E-50.0045250380.0083011220.0083308731.0035843.0E-50.0443399920.07933650.079364121.00034813.0E-5
6.48.50982E-51.5694331E-41.6694174E-41.06370721.0E-53.646556E-46.724042E-46.923908E-41.0297242.0E-50.00443064750.0081491550.0081789111.00365143.0E-50.043433450.077942680.077970331.00035493.0E-5
6.58.4062965E-51.5518743E-41.6518588E-41.06442821.0E-53.602201E-46.6488347E-46.848702E-41.03006042.0E-50.0043768630.0080583650.0080881231.00369293.0E-50.0429165550.077113880.077141571.0003593.0E-5
6.68.194716E-51.5154552E-41.6154401E-41.06597671.0E-53.5115483E-46.492843E-46.6927134E-41.03078322.0E-50.00426693170.0078702090.0078999731.00378183.0E-50.041859270.075399190.075426931.00036793.0E-5
6.78.012326E-51.4822475E-41.5822327E-41.06745521.0E-53.433402E-46.350612E-46.550485E-41.0314732.0E-50.0041721570.0076987010.007728471.00386683.0E-50.0409469120.073841320.07386911.00037623.0E-5
6.87.119773E-51.2881879E-41.388175E-41.07761851.0E-53.0509746E-45.519494E-45.719383E-41.03621522.0E-50.00370823570.0066960660.0067258651.00445023.0E-50.0364696420.064685750.0647138061.00043383.0E-5
6.95.7343088E-59.919277E-51.0919179E-41.10080371.0E-52.4573295E-44.25043E-44.4503447E-41.0470342.0E-50.00298769420.0051626940.0051925391.00578093.0E-50.029478440.050510360.0505388451.0005643.0E-5
7.04.8746577E-58.2850725E-59.284989E-51.1206891.0E-52.0889717E-43.5502657E-43.7501947E-41.05631392.0E-50.00254035650.0043139480.00434381841.00692423.0E-50.0251151210.0424852450.042513971.00067623.0E-5
7.14.2998014E-57.265203E-58.2651306E-51.13763241.0E-51.8426418E-43.1132903E-43.313228E-41.06422072.0E-50.0022411080.0037839030.00381378971.00789833.0E-50.0221864120.0374235620.037452441.00077163.0E-5
7.23.221292E-55.390791E-56.390737E-51.18549161.0E-51.3804805E-42.3101359E-42.5100895E-41.0865552.0E-50.00167943930.00280899070.00283890661.010653.0E-50.0166680370.028036020.028065181.00104013.0E-5
7.32.3756531E-53.9473416E-54.9473023E-51.2533251.0E-51.0180973E-41.6916092E-41.7915922E-41.05910531.0E-50.00123882860.00205760570.00206758521.004851.0E-50.0123194520.0206431450.0206529391.00047451.0E-5
7.41.5997684E-52.7342163E-53.7341888E-51.36572551.0E-56.8559704E-51.1717545E-41.2717428E-41.08533221.0E-58.343947E-40.001425680.00143566581.00700411.0E-50.0083126870.0143760110.0143858671.00068561.0E-5
7.51.3814293E-52.4783874E-53.478363E-51.40347811.0E-55.9202768E-51.062123E-41.1621123E-41.0941411.0E-57.205553E-40.001292370.00130235711.00772771.0E-50.0071822340.0130550850.0130649541.0007561.0E-5
7.68.817309E-61.6430757E-52.6430593E-51.60860471.0E-53.7787922E-57.0415634E-58.041493E-51.14200391.0E-54.5997082E-48.569745E-48.669659E-41.01165891.0E-50.0045901990.0087192840.0087291971.00113691.0E-5
7.74.0352206E-67.707318E-67.707318E-61.00.01.7293689E-53.3030945E-53.3030945E-51.00.02.1053031E-44.0207763E-44.0207763E-41.00.00.00210330960.0041651720.0041651721.00.0
7.83.413169E-66.787282E-66.787282E-61.00.01.4627784E-52.9088029E-52.9088029E-51.00.01.7807873E-43.5408925E-43.5408925E-41.00.00.00177936090.00366651660.00366651661.00.0
7.92.4740732E-65.2791843E-65.2791843E-61.00.01.06031275E-52.262488E-52.262488E-51.00.01.2908543E-42.7542314E-42.7542314E-41.00.00.00129010470.00283479550.00283479551.00.0
8.01.5231818E-63.2889548E-63.2889548E-61.00.06.527906E-61.40954435E-51.40954435E-51.00.07.9474354E-51.7159856E-41.7159856E-41.00.07.944594E-40.00175643030.00175643031.00.0
8.11.0104524E-62.045782E-62.045782E-61.00.04.330503E-68.767608E-68.767608E-61.00.05.2722597E-51.0674043E-41.0674043E-41.00.05.271009E-40.0010929340.0010929341.00.0

Santa Susana East (connector)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.858397E-53.2021693E-54.2021373E-51.31227831.0E-51.2249697E-41.3723019E-41.4722883E-41.07286021.0E-50.00149038030.001669770.00168973661.01195762.0E-50.0148042440.0165993160.0166386531.00236984.0E-5
6.12.858397E-53.2021693E-54.2021373E-51.31227831.0E-51.2249697E-41.3723019E-41.4722883E-41.07286021.0E-50.00149038030.001669770.00168973661.01195762.0E-50.0148042440.0165993160.0166386531.00236984.0E-5
6.22.858397E-53.2021693E-54.2021373E-51.31227831.0E-51.2249697E-41.3723019E-41.4722883E-41.07286021.0E-50.00149038030.001669770.00168973661.01195762.0E-50.0148042440.0165993160.0166386531.00236984.0E-5
6.31.943582E-52.0367343E-52.0367343E-51.00.08.329371E-58.7286324E-58.7286324E-51.00.00.0010136290.0010623050.00107229431.00940351.0E-50.0100901810.0105838520.010603641.00186972.0E-5
6.41.943582E-52.0367343E-52.0367343E-51.00.08.329371E-58.7286324E-58.7286324E-51.00.00.0010136290.0010623050.00107229431.00940351.0E-50.0100901810.0105838520.010603641.00186972.0E-5
6.51.943582E-52.0367343E-52.0367343E-51.00.08.329371E-58.7286324E-58.7286324E-51.00.00.0010136290.0010623050.00107229431.00940351.0E-50.0100901810.0105838520.010603641.00186972.0E-5
6.61.943582E-52.0367343E-52.0367343E-51.00.08.329371E-58.7286324E-58.7286324E-51.00.00.0010136290.0010623050.00107229431.00940351.0E-50.0100901810.0105838520.010603641.00186972.0E-5
6.71.9404439E-52.0354766E-52.0354766E-51.00.08.3159226E-58.723242E-58.723242E-51.00.00.00101199330.00106164930.00107163881.00940931.0E-50.0100739710.0105773580.0105971471.00187092.0E-5
6.81.2217526E-51.1593157E-51.1593157E-51.00.05.2359774E-54.9684106E-54.9684106E-51.00.06.372938E-46.047529E-46.047529E-41.00.00.00635469240.0060332740.0060432141.00164751.0E-5
6.91.2217526E-51.1593157E-51.1593157E-51.00.05.2359774E-54.9684106E-54.9684106E-51.00.06.372938E-46.047529E-46.047529E-41.00.00.00635469240.0060332740.0060432141.00164751.0E-5
7.09.276017E-68.059273E-68.059273E-61.00.03.9753755E-53.4539302E-53.4539302E-51.00.04.8389446E-44.2043833E-44.2043833E-41.00.00.00482842140.00419730970.0042072681.00237251.0E-5
7.19.130355E-67.942446E-67.942446E-61.00.03.9129503E-53.4038632E-53.4038632E-51.00.04.7629757E-44.1434498E-44.1434498E-41.00.00.004752780.00413660470.00414656341.00240741.0E-5
7.28.851015E-67.741608E-67.741608E-61.00.03.7932372E-53.317792E-53.317792E-51.00.04.6172875E-44.038697E-44.038697E-41.00.00.00460770540.00403223470.0040421941.002471.0E-5
7.38.573006E-67.5503312E-67.5503312E-61.00.03.6740938E-53.235818E-53.235818E-51.00.04.472291E-43.9389305E-43.9389305E-41.00.00.0044633010.0039328170.00394277741.00253271.0E-5
7.47.852282E-66.8178556E-66.8178556E-61.00.03.36522E-52.921907E-52.921907E-51.00.04.096385E-43.5568717E-43.5568717E-41.00.00.00408884230.00355198680.00356195121.00280541.0E-5
7.54.8869324E-64.2790975E-64.2790975E-61.00.02.0943828E-51.833887E-51.833887E-51.00.02.5496128E-42.2325452E-42.2325452E-41.00.00.00254668950.002230570.002230571.00.0
7.61.3894544E-61.1568394E-61.1568394E-61.00.05.954791E-64.957875E-64.957875E-61.00.07.249717E-56.036068E-56.036068E-51.00.07.247352E-46.0346466E-46.0346466E-41.00.0
7.72.9924632E-72.3719332E-72.3719332E-71.00.01.2824837E-61.0165425E-61.0165425E-61.00.01.5614127E-51.2376341E-51.2376341E-51.00.01.5613029E-41.2375724E-41.2375724E-41.00.0
7.84.8188564E-82.6321862E-82.6321862E-81.00.02.065224E-71.12807975E-71.12807975E-71.00.02.5144072E-61.3734362E-61.3734362E-61.00.02.5143789E-51.3734286E-51.3734286E-51.00.0
7.92.6127251E-92.7681102E-92.7681102E-91.00.01.1197393E-81.186333E-81.186333E-81.00.01.3632825E-71.4443603E-71.4443603E-71.00.01.3632817E-61.4443604E-61.4443604E-61.00.0

Cerro Prieto

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9101528E-45.9654453E-45.9654453E-41.00.00.00124661220.00255435660.00255435661.00.00.0150722310.0308029280.030812621.00031461.0E-50.140899790.253862560.253884971.00008823.0E-5
6.12.9101528E-45.9654453E-45.9654453E-41.00.00.00124661220.00255435660.00255435661.00.00.0150722310.0308029280.030812621.00031461.0E-50.140899790.253862560.253884971.00008823.0E-5
6.22.9101528E-45.9654453E-45.9654453E-41.00.00.00124661220.00255435660.00255435661.00.00.0150722310.0308029280.030812621.00031461.0E-50.140899790.253862560.253884971.00008823.0E-5
6.32.9101528E-45.9654453E-45.9654453E-41.00.00.00124661220.00255435660.00255435661.00.00.0150722310.0308029280.030812621.00031461.0E-50.140899790.253862560.253884971.00008823.0E-5
6.42.508648E-45.140412E-45.140412E-41.00.00.00107469180.00220137250.00220137251.00.00.0130060880.0266294160.026639151.00036551.0E-50.122706850.22422220.224245461.00010383.0E-5
6.52.508648E-45.140412E-45.140412E-41.00.00.00107469180.00220137250.00220137251.00.00.0130060880.0266294160.026639151.00036551.0E-50.122706850.22422220.224245461.00010383.0E-5
6.62.294914E-44.7123645E-44.7123645E-41.00.09.831638E-40.00201820930.00201820931.00.00.0119044820.0243941940.024403951.00041.0E-50.112865860.208375630.208399371.0001143.0E-5
6.71.9621674E-44.0426268E-44.0426268E-41.00.08.4065786E-40.00173156240.00173156241.00.00.0101870710.0208889620.0208987541.00046871.0E-50.097325390.182647320.182671831.00013423.0E-5
6.81.5476145E-43.0572579E-43.0572579E-41.00.06.6309475E-40.00130969770.00130969771.00.00.0080433350.0158268250.0158366671.00062181.0E-50.077583630.143100570.14312631.00017963.0E-5
6.91.20509176E-42.2588465E-42.2588465E-41.00.05.1636563E-49.6778123E-49.6778123E-41.00.00.0062686450.0117340250.0117439071.00084221.0E-50.0609473740.109179580.109197391.00016322.0E-5
7.09.3269155E-51.6721459E-41.6721459E-41.00.03.9966372E-47.1648025E-47.1648025E-41.00.00.00485505440.0086959140.0087058271.001141.0E-50.047503440.0829432160.082952391.00011051.0E-5
7.15.029709E-58.174011E-58.174011E-51.00.02.1554115E-43.50287E-43.50287E-41.00.00.00262105530.0042598210.00426977871.00233761.0E-50.0259035560.042268130.042277711.00022661.0E-5
7.26.5445185E-86.824737E-86.824737E-81.00.02.8047933E-72.9248872E-72.9248872E-71.00.03.4148304E-63.56105E-63.56105E-61.00.03.414778E-53.56105E-53.56105E-51.00.0

Great Valley 07 (Orestimba)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.9687902E-53.27575E-53.27575E-51.00.01.2722766E-41.4038214E-41.6037932E-41.14244832.0E-50.00154789610.00170788440.00173783311.01753563.0E-50.0153715850.0169551350.0169944581.00231924.0E-5
6.12.9687902E-53.27575E-53.27575E-51.00.01.2722766E-41.4038214E-41.6037932E-41.14244832.0E-50.00154789610.00170788440.00173783311.01753563.0E-50.0153715850.0169551350.0169944581.00231924.0E-5
6.21.9231524E-52.1159167E-52.1159167E-51.00.08.2418206E-59.067912E-51.10677305E-41.22053792.0E-50.00100297970.00110348220.00113344911.02715673.0E-50.009984650.0109824410.0110220011.00360214.0E-5
6.31.324766E-51.4548534E-51.4548534E-51.00.05.6774446E-56.234942E-58.2348175E-51.32075292.0E-56.910097E-47.5884897E-47.888262E-41.03950363.0E-50.0068886490.00756352350.0076032211.00524854.0E-5
6.47.818645E-68.57284E-68.57284E-61.00.03.3508048E-53.6740246E-54.673988E-51.27217111.0E-54.078841E-44.4722404E-44.6721508E-41.04470032.0E-50.0040713630.00446358040.0044834911.00446072.0E-5
6.55.3076565E-65.8178007E-65.8178007E-61.00.02.27469E-52.4933206E-53.4932957E-51.40106151.0E-52.7690834E-43.035216E-43.1351857E-41.03293661.0E-50.00276563530.003031280.00304124971.0032891.0E-5
6.63.6003578E-63.9484953E-63.9484953E-61.00.01.5430012E-51.6922022E-52.6921853E-51.5909361.0E-51.8784421E-42.0600771E-42.1600565E-41.04853191.0E-50.00187685520.00205832140.00206830071.00484841.0E-5
6.72.5361826E-62.7834678E-62.7834678E-61.00.01.0869308E-51.1929101E-52.1928981E-51.83827611.0E-51.3232579E-41.4522845E-41.55227E-41.06884711.0E-50.00132247030.00145146530.00146145081.00687961.0E-5
6.81.2115831E-61.3313797E-61.3313797E-61.00.05.1924885E-65.7059065E-61.570585E-52.752561.0E-56.3216714E-56.9468166E-57.946747E-51.14394081.0E-56.3198735E-46.945596E-47.045527E-41.01438761.0E-5

Hunting Creek - Bartlett Springs connector 2011

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.940016E-56.7870766E-56.7870766E-51.00.02.1169778E-42.9084194E-43.1083613E-41.06874592.0E-50.0025743740.00353508190.0035550111.00563752.0E-50.0254475460.034774750.034813361.00111034.0E-5
6.14.940016E-56.7870766E-56.7870766E-51.00.02.1169778E-42.9084194E-43.1083613E-41.06874592.0E-50.0025743740.00353508190.0035550111.00563752.0E-50.0254475460.034774750.034813361.00111034.0E-5
6.24.472471E-56.100572E-56.100572E-51.00.01.9166325E-42.6142647E-42.8142123E-41.07648342.0E-50.00233100260.00317812180.00319805831.0062732.0E-50.023067030.0313178080.031346871.00092793.0E-5
6.34.472471E-56.100572E-56.100572E-51.00.01.9166325E-42.6142647E-42.8142123E-41.07648342.0E-50.00233100260.00317812180.00319805831.0062732.0E-50.023067030.0313178080.031346871.00092793.0E-5
6.44.0001003E-55.410516E-55.410516E-51.00.01.714216E-42.318579E-42.518533E-41.08623972.0E-50.00208506030.00281916860.00283911221.00707422.0E-50.020656050.0278291980.0278486421.00069872.0E-5
6.53.8033053E-55.126649E-55.126649E-51.00.01.6298861E-42.1969521E-42.3969082E-41.09101522.0E-50.00198258020.00267148480.00269143141.00746642.0E-50.0196498560.0263912730.0264107451.00073782.0E-5
6.63.653754E-54.912955E-54.912955E-51.00.01.5658008E-42.1053842E-42.2053631E-41.04748731.0E-50.00190469540.00256028890.0025702631.00389581.0E-50.0188845270.0253071990.0253169461.00038521.0E-5
6.73.372024E-54.5140216E-54.5140216E-51.00.01.4450731E-41.9344388E-42.0344194E-41.05168461.0E-50.00175795670.00235265350.002362631.00424051.0E-50.0174411480.0232788620.0232886281.00041961.0E-5
6.82.9650024E-53.9411647E-53.9411647E-51.00.01.2706534E-41.6889606E-41.7889438E-41.0591981.0E-50.00154592270.00205436070.002064341.00485771.0E-50.0153521240.0203519610.0203617591.00048141.0E-5
6.92.860775E-53.7812886E-53.7812886E-51.00.01.2259888E-41.620452E-41.7204358E-41.06170121.0E-50.00149161940.00197112190.00198110221.00506331.0E-50.0148164690.0195365550.019546361.00050191.0E-5
7.02.6696067E-53.5067544E-53.5067544E-51.00.01.144067E-41.5028086E-41.6027936E-41.0665321.0E-50.00139201150.00182814270.00183812441.005461.0E-50.0138332420.018131840.0181416571.00054161.0E-5
7.12.456087E-53.2013326E-53.2013326E-51.00.01.0525662E-41.3719281E-41.4719143E-41.07288011.0E-50.0012807460.00166905170.0016790351.00598141.0E-50.0127338970.0165666710.0165765061.00059371.0E-5
7.22.295761E-52.9823148E-52.9823148E-51.00.09.8386045E-51.2780727E-41.2780727E-41.00.00.00119719190.00155495220.00155495221.00.00.0119076270.0154423780.0154423781.00.0
7.32.1256936E-52.7542124E-52.7542124E-51.00.09.109797E-51.1803238E-41.1803238E-41.00.00.00110855350.00143610580.00143610581.00.00.0110303970.0142697410.0142697411.00.0
7.41.8784336E-52.430697E-52.430697E-51.00.08.050181E-51.0416861E-41.0416861E-41.00.09.796688E-40.00126752260.00126752261.00.00.0097536120.0126041940.0126041941.00.0
7.51.7248298E-52.2269056E-52.2269056E-51.00.07.391918E-59.543537E-59.543537E-51.00.08.9959445E-40.00116131370.00116131371.00.00.0089596150.0115536450.0115536451.00.0
7.61.0653709E-51.3722259E-51.3722259E-51.00.04.5657955E-55.880837E-55.880837E-51.00.05.557438E-47.157594E-47.157594E-41.00.00.00554356030.00713504150.00713504151.00.0
7.73.286316E-64.0903997E-64.0903997E-61.00.01.4084137E-51.7530168E-51.7530168E-51.00.01.7146087E-42.1340905E-42.1340905E-41.00.00.00171328630.00213208450.00213208451.00.0
7.85.1855085E-75.972095E-75.972095E-71.00.02.222359E-62.5594668E-62.5594668E-61.00.02.7056883E-53.1161075E-53.1161075E-51.00.02.705359E-43.1156064E-43.1156064E-41.00.0

La Panza 2011

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.04.6754544E-64.7175886E-61.47175415E-53.1197171.0E-52.0037509E-52.021809E-53.0217889E-51.49459651.0E-52.4392935E-42.4612944E-42.5612698E-41.0406191.0E-50.00243661760.00245876280.0024886891.01217133.0E-5
6.14.6754544E-64.7175886E-61.47175415E-53.1197171.0E-52.0037509E-52.021809E-53.0217889E-51.49459651.0E-52.4392935E-42.4612944E-42.5612698E-41.0406191.0E-50.00243661760.00245876280.0024886891.01217133.0E-5
6.24.6754544E-64.7175886E-61.47175415E-53.1197171.0E-52.0037509E-52.021809E-53.0217889E-51.49459651.0E-52.4392935E-42.4612944E-42.5612698E-41.0406191.0E-50.00243661760.00245876280.0024886891.01217133.0E-5
6.34.6754544E-64.7175886E-61.47175415E-53.1197171.0E-52.0037509E-52.021809E-53.0217889E-51.49459651.0E-52.4392935E-42.4612944E-42.5612698E-41.0406191.0E-50.00243661760.00245876280.0024886891.01217133.0E-5
6.44.6754544E-64.7175886E-61.47175415E-53.1197171.0E-52.0037509E-52.021809E-53.0217889E-51.49459651.0E-52.4392935E-42.4612944E-42.5612698E-41.0406191.0E-50.00243661760.00245876280.0024886891.01217133.0E-5
6.52.485343E-62.5006007E-62.5006007E-61.00.01.0651426E-51.0716818E-51.0716818E-51.00.01.296734E-41.3046984E-41.3046984E-41.00.00.00129597750.00130397070.00132394471.01531782.0E-5
6.62.485343E-62.5006007E-62.5006007E-61.00.01.0651426E-51.0716818E-51.0716818E-51.00.01.296734E-41.3046984E-41.3046984E-41.00.00.00129597750.00130397070.00132394471.01531782.0E-5
6.71.5108508E-61.514639E-61.514639E-61.00.06.4750584E-66.4912947E-66.4912947E-61.00.07.8830984E-57.902876E-57.902876E-51.00.07.880303E-47.9001737E-48.0000947E-41.0126481.0E-5
6.81.3865837E-61.3885118E-61.3885118E-61.00.05.942488E-65.950752E-65.950752E-61.00.07.234739E-57.244809E-57.244809E-51.00.07.232384E-47.242546E-47.342473E-41.01379731.0E-5
6.99.826583E-79.796303E-79.796303E-71.00.04.2113857E-64.198409E-64.198409E-61.00.05.1272415E-55.1114486E-55.1114486E-51.00.05.126059E-45.1103265E-45.2102754E-41.01955821.0E-5
7.06.7797646E-76.710231E-76.710231E-71.00.02.9056102E-62.8758104E-62.8758104E-61.00.03.537523E-53.501246E-53.501246E-51.00.03.5369597E-43.5007254E-43.5007254E-41.00.0
7.13.4979826E-73.3874045E-73.3874045E-71.00.01.4991346E-61.4517441E-61.4517441E-61.00.01.825181E-51.7674853E-51.7674853E-51.00.01.825031E-41.7673563E-41.7673563E-41.00.0
7.22.5088332E-72.3832064E-72.3832064E-71.00.01.0752137E-61.0213738E-61.0213738E-61.00.01.3090649E-51.2435164E-51.2435164E-51.00.01.3089878E-41.2434553E-41.2434553E-41.00.0
7.31.0159086E-78.644785E-88.644785E-81.00.04.3538932E-73.704907E-73.704907E-71.00.05.300852E-64.510716E-64.510716E-61.00.05.3007258E-54.510628E-54.510628E-51.00.0
7.43.5006252E-81.9403883E-81.9403883E-81.00.01.5002678E-78.315949E-88.315949E-81.00.01.8265745E-61.0124663E-61.0124663E-61.00.01.8265595E-51.012462E-51.012462E-51.00.0
7.52.592274E-81.0238468E-81.0238468E-81.00.01.1109746E-74.3879147E-84.3879147E-81.00.01.3526106E-65.342285E-75.342285E-71.00.01.3526024E-55.342273E-65.342273E-61.00.0
7.61.9016717E-85.2442264E-95.2442264E-91.00.08.150022E-82.2475257E-82.2475257E-81.00.09.922647E-72.736362E-72.736362E-71.00.09.922603E-62.736359E-62.736359E-61.00.0
7.71.17738495E-81.2393437E-91.2393437E-91.00.05.0459356E-85.3114735E-95.3114735E-91.00.06.1434247E-76.466719E-86.466719E-81.00.06.143408E-66.466717E-76.466717E-71.00.0
7.85.489079E-92.009185E-102.009185E-101.00.02.3524624E-88.61079E-108.61079E-101.00.02.8641225E-71.0483639E-81.0483639E-81.00.02.8641189E-61.0483638E-71.0483638E-71.00.0
7.92.5081048E-96.675449E-116.675449E-111.00.01.0749021E-82.8609015E-102.8609015E-101.00.01.3086932E-73.483148E-93.483148E-91.00.01.3086925E-63.483148E-83.483148E-81.00.0

Newport-Inglewood (Offshore)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.9626508E-51.8965342E-52.8965153E-51.52726761.0E-58.411089E-58.1277576E-59.1276765E-51.12302521.0E-50.0010235699.891179E-40.00101908821.03033.0E-50.0101886720.0098484970.0098881021.00402154.0E-5
6.11.331886E-51.2218078E-52.2217957E-51.81844931.0E-55.707958E-55.2362153E-56.236163E-51.19096771.0E-56.947222E-46.3732424E-46.4731785E-41.01568061.0E-50.0069255440.0063551420.0063750151.00312712.0E-5
6.21.2250852E-51.1076016E-52.1075904E-51.90284171.0E-55.2502597E-54.746778E-55.7467307E-51.21065931.0E-56.3903164E-45.7776796E-45.877622E-41.0172981.0E-50.0063719710.00576277960.00578266431.00345052.0E-5
6.31.2106258E-51.0918878E-52.091877E-51.9158351.0E-55.1882926E-54.6794354E-55.6793888E-51.2136911.0E-56.3149154E-45.695733E-45.795676E-41.0175471.0E-50.00629700070.0056812520.00570113861.00350032.0E-5
6.41.1348758E-51.0109348E-52.0109248E-51.98917341.0E-54.8636626E-54.3325064E-55.332463E-51.23080331.0E-55.919901E-45.2735576E-45.3735054E-41.01895251.0E-50.0059041550.00526113950.00528103441.00378142.0E-5
6.51.100837E-59.743376E-69.743376E-61.00.04.7177873E-54.175666E-54.175666E-51.00.05.7423924E-45.082695E-45.082695E-41.00.00.0057275760.0050711620.0050811111.0019621.0E-5
6.61.0634696E-59.34553E-69.34553E-61.00.04.557647E-54.0051662E-54.0051662E-51.00.05.5475225E-44.875206E-44.875206E-41.00.00.00553369430.00486459770.0048745491.00204561.0E-5
6.79.9780855E-68.667898E-68.667898E-61.00.04.276252E-53.7147613E-53.7147613E-51.00.05.205093E-44.5217903E-44.5217903E-41.00.00.00519291820.00451266860.00452262351.0022061.0E-5
6.89.59546E-68.272933E-68.272933E-61.00.04.1122752E-53.545495E-53.545495E-51.00.05.0055445E-44.3157916E-44.3157916E-41.00.00.0049942850.0043074860.0043174431.00231161.0E-5
6.99.000614E-67.706823E-67.706823E-61.00.03.857349E-53.3028828E-53.3028828E-51.00.04.6953102E-44.0205245E-44.0205245E-41.00.00.0046854020.00401332230.0040232821.00248171.0E-5
7.07.4070194E-66.148865E-66.148865E-61.00.03.1743984E-52.6352012E-52.6352012E-51.00.03.8641447E-43.2078868E-43.2078868E-41.00.00.00385743220.00320327580.00321324381.00311181.0E-5
7.16.299615E-65.0565613E-65.0565613E-61.00.02.699807E-52.1670798E-52.1670798E-51.00.03.2865192E-42.6381016E-42.6381016E-41.00.00.0032816630.00263498470.00264495821.00378511.0E-5
7.25.096653E-63.892733E-63.892733E-61.00.02.1842614E-51.6683034E-51.6683034E-51.00.02.6590136E-42.0309711E-42.0309711E-41.00.00.00265583420.00202912630.00203910591.00491821.0E-5
7.33.9753018E-62.9098787E-62.9098787E-61.00.01.7036897E-51.24708495E-51.24708495E-51.00.02.0740448E-41.518221E-41.518221E-41.00.00.002072110.00151719190.00151719191.00.0
7.43.0568392E-62.1449732E-62.1449732E-61.00.01.3100675E-59.19271E-69.19271E-61.00.01.5948903E-41.11915564E-41.11915564E-41.00.00.00159374610.00111859830.00111859831.00.0
7.51.7279019E-61.1469651E-61.1469651E-61.00.07.405273E-64.9155556E-64.9155556E-61.00.09.015547E-55.9845286E-55.9845286E-51.00.09.01189E-45.982956E-45.982956E-41.00.0
7.61.1156416E-67.222962E-77.222962E-71.00.04.7813123E-63.0955514E-63.0955514E-61.00.05.821092E-53.768771E-53.768771E-51.00.05.8195676E-43.7681553E-43.7681553E-41.00.0
7.79.117973E-86.7342256E-86.7342256E-81.00.03.907702E-72.8860964E-72.8860964E-71.00.04.757617E-63.5138169E-63.5138169E-61.00.04.7575148E-53.5137644E-53.5137644E-51.00.0

Mono Lake 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.02.0341662E-52.3828192E-54.3827713E-51.8393222.0E-58.717564E-51.0211982E-41.2211778E-41.19582832.0E-50.00106084660.00124313080.00126310591.01606852.0E-50.0105579660.0124138420.0124533451.00318224.0E-5
6.12.0341662E-52.3828192E-54.3827713E-51.8393222.0E-58.717564E-51.0211982E-41.2211778E-41.19582832.0E-50.00106084660.00124313080.00126310591.01606852.0E-50.0105579660.0124138420.0124533451.00318224.0E-5
6.22.0341662E-52.3828192E-54.3827713E-51.8393222.0E-58.717564E-51.0211982E-41.2211778E-41.19582832.0E-50.00106084660.00124313080.00126310591.01606852.0E-50.0105579660.0124138420.0124533451.00318224.0E-5
6.32.0341662E-52.3828192E-54.3827713E-51.8393222.0E-58.717564E-51.0211982E-41.2211778E-41.19582832.0E-50.00106084660.00124313080.00126310591.01606852.0E-50.0105579660.0124138420.0124533451.00318224.0E-5
6.41.749821E-52.049101E-53.0490804E-51.48800891.0E-57.499018E-58.781861E-59.7817734E-51.11386111.0E-59.1262296E-40.00106919140.00107918071.00934291.0E-50.0090888410.010691870.0107116571.00185062.0E-5
6.51.749821E-52.049101E-53.0490804E-51.48800891.0E-57.499018E-58.781861E-59.7817734E-51.11386111.0E-59.1262296E-40.00106919140.00107918071.00934291.0E-50.0090888410.010691870.0107116571.00185062.0E-5

Hayward (So) 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.8091932E-43.570673E-43.670637E-41.0279961.0E-57.751381E-40.00152940080.00154937021.0130572.0E-50.009396540.0184638850.018493331.00159483.0E-50.0900900660.16670850.166741821.00019994.0E-5
6.11.8091932E-43.570673E-43.670637E-41.0279961.0E-57.751381E-40.00152940080.00154937021.0130572.0E-50.009396540.0184638850.018493331.00159483.0E-50.0900900660.16670850.166741821.00019994.0E-5
6.21.8091932E-43.570673E-43.670637E-41.0279961.0E-57.751381E-40.00152940080.00154937021.0130572.0E-50.009396540.0184638850.018493331.00159483.0E-50.0900900660.16670850.166741821.00019994.0E-5
6.31.7322872E-43.4263515E-43.5263173E-41.02917551.0E-57.4219756E-40.00146761970.00148759031.01360752.0E-50.00899887550.0177241470.0177536161.00166263.0E-50.086430750.160659540.160693111.0002094.0E-5
6.41.6334097E-43.2345165E-43.334484E-41.03090661.0E-56.998449E-40.00138549360.00140546591.01441532.0E-50.0084873720.0167399270.0167694241.00176223.0E-50.0817044150.152566060.152599951.00022224.0E-5
6.51.5600289E-43.101982E-43.2019507E-41.03222741.0E-56.684125E-40.00132875180.00134872531.01503172.0E-50.0081075980.0160594430.0160889631.00183813.0E-50.0781810360.146842910.146877041.00023254.0E-5
6.61.4046066E-42.8034003E-42.9033722E-41.0356611.0E-56.018354E-40.00120091090.00122088681.0166342.0E-50.00730275550.0145245710.0145541351.00203553.0E-50.070673840.133930440.133965091.00025874.0E-5
6.71.14696966E-42.3272466E-42.4272234E-41.04295921.0E-54.914658E-49.970153E-40.00101699531.02003992.0E-50.00596719240.0120721630.0120919221.00163672.0E-50.0580948220.112741410.112768031.00023623.0E-5
6.89.3874296E-51.8862431E-41.9862242E-41.05300551.0E-54.0225635E-48.081431E-48.1813504E-41.0123641.0E-50.00488647870.0097954890.0098053921.00101091.0E-50.0478041730.0925929840.0926111341.0001962.0E-5
6.95.551852E-51.0729875E-41.1729768E-41.09318771.0E-52.3791482E-44.5977137E-44.6976676E-41.021741.0E-50.00289276540.0055834680.00559341161.0017811.0E-50.0285539810.0542460750.054255531.00017441.0E-5
7.04.2662363E-58.246792E-58.246792E-51.00.01.8282588E-43.5338648E-43.5338648E-41.00.00.00222363280.00429406580.00429406581.00.00.0220151380.042065090.042065091.00.0
7.13.305886E-56.302183E-56.302183E-51.00.01.4167312E-42.7006568E-42.7006568E-41.00.00.00172350560.0032831110.0032831111.00.00.0171019980.0324539020.0324539021.00.0
7.22.9856887E-55.701622E-55.701622E-51.00.01.2795182E-42.4433242E-42.4433242E-41.00.00.00155670010.00297070620.00297070621.00.00.0154584030.0294548010.0294548011.00.0
7.32.4559737E-54.599286E-54.599286E-51.00.01.0525176E-41.9709744E-41.9709744E-41.00.00.00128068690.00239703340.00239703341.00.00.0127333130.0238585160.0238585161.00.0
7.41.9002231E-53.505084E-53.505084E-51.00.08.143559E-51.502093E-41.502093E-41.00.09.910273E-40.0018272740.0018272741.00.00.0098661940.0182588080.0182588081.00.0
7.51.2783333E-52.3331182E-52.3331182E-51.00.05.4784563E-59.998698E-59.998698E-51.00.06.667979E-40.00121666750.00121666751.00.00.0066480070.0122094430.0122094431.00.0
7.64.8149627E-68.888056E-68.888056E-61.00.02.063539E-53.8091122E-53.8091122E-51.00.02.5120692E-44.6366194E-44.6366194E-41.00.00.00250923140.00468050870.00468050871.00.0
7.76.0838227E-71.205754E-61.205754E-61.00.02.6073499E-65.1675065E-65.1675065E-61.00.03.174402E-56.291258E-56.291258E-51.00.03.1739488E-46.5296254E-46.5296254E-41.00.0
7.84.5542808E-79.792941E-79.792941E-71.00.01.9518332E-64.196968E-64.196968E-61.00.02.376331E-55.109689E-55.109689E-51.00.02.3760769E-45.321693E-45.321693E-41.00.0
7.93.3016747E-77.3869535E-77.3869535E-71.00.01.4150027E-63.1658333E-63.1658333E-61.00.01.7227521E-53.854334E-53.854334E-51.00.01.7226185E-43.9932923E-43.9932923E-41.00.0
8.02.347038E-75.471963E-75.471963E-71.00.01.0058731E-62.3451248E-62.3451248E-61.00.01.2246436E-52.8551523E-52.8551523E-51.00.01.2245761E-42.9357258E-42.9357258E-41.00.0
8.11.18822804E-72.6060948E-72.6060948E-71.00.05.092405E-71.1168972E-61.1168972E-61.00.06.1999854E-61.359814E-51.359814E-51.00.06.199812E-51.3918082E-41.3918082E-41.00.0

Camp Rock 2011

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.6710783E-54.249999E-64.249999E-61.00.07.161568E-51.8214158E-52.8213975E-51.54901351.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-42.417309E-41.09017772.0E-50.0086816160.00221519380.00225510521.0180174.0E-5
6.11.6710783E-54.249999E-64.249999E-61.00.07.161568E-51.8214158E-52.8213975E-51.54901351.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-42.417309E-41.09017772.0E-50.0086816160.00221519380.00225510521.0180174.0E-5
6.21.6710783E-54.249999E-64.249999E-61.00.07.161568E-51.8214158E-52.8213975E-51.54901351.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-42.417309E-41.09017772.0E-50.0086816160.00221519380.00225510521.0180174.0E-5
6.31.6710783E-54.249999E-64.249999E-61.00.07.161568E-51.8214158E-52.8213975E-51.54901351.0E-58.7157206E-42.2173533E-42.417309E-41.09017772.0E-50.0086816160.00221519380.00225510521.0180174.0E-5
6.47.982846E-63.6820359E-63.6820359E-61.00.03.421175E-51.578006E-52.5779902E-51.63370111.0E-54.1644843E-41.9210564E-42.0210372E-41.05204471.0E-50.00415668870.00191943060.0019493731.01559963.0E-5
6.57.982846E-63.6820359E-63.6820359E-61.00.03.421175E-51.578006E-52.5779902E-51.63370111.0E-54.1644843E-41.9210564E-42.0210372E-41.05204471.0E-50.00415668870.00191943060.0019493731.01559963.0E-5
6.67.048869E-63.4242998E-63.4242998E-61.00.03.0209088E-51.467549E-52.4675343E-51.68139831.0E-53.677336E-41.7865976E-41.8865797E-41.05596231.0E-50.00367125660.00178519290.00181513931.01677493.0E-5
6.76.987307E-63.3622775E-63.3622775E-61.00.02.9945259E-51.4409683E-52.4409539E-51.69396781.0E-53.6452254E-41.7542407E-41.8542232E-41.05699471.0E-50.00363925170.00175288720.00178283451.01708463.0E-5
6.86.3737602E-63.1178672E-63.1178672E-61.00.02.731583E-51.3362222E-52.3362089E-51.74836851.0E-53.3251947E-41.6267318E-41.7267156E-41.0614631.0E-50.00332022370.00162556980.0016555211.01842513.0E-5
6.96.112211E-62.933078E-62.933078E-61.00.02.6194928E-51.2570275E-52.257015E-51.79551761.0E-53.1887658E-41.5303263E-41.630311E-41.06533551.0E-50.0031841940.00152930020.00155925441.01958683.0E-5
7.05.5140117E-62.64191E-62.64191E-61.00.02.3631264E-51.1322423E-52.132231E-51.88319311.0E-52.8767265E-41.3784204E-41.4784066E-41.07253681.0E-50.00287300530.00137759070.00140754941.02174713.0E-5
7.14.8151105E-62.1342612E-62.1342612E-61.00.02.0636026E-59.146803E-61.9146712E-52.09326821.0E-52.5121463E-41.1135685E-41.2135574E-41.08979141.0E-50.00250930830.00111303250.0011429991.02692343.0E-5
7.23.818335E-61.2937372E-61.2937372E-61.00.01.6364189E-55.5445767E-65.5445767E-61.00.01.9921579E-46.750321E-56.750321E-51.00.00.00199037286.7483535E-46.948218E-41.02961682.0E-5
7.32.7166698E-67.383078E-77.383078E-71.00.01.1642818E-53.1641725E-63.1641725E-61.00.01.4174209E-43.852314E-53.852314E-51.00.00.00141651723.8516664E-43.951628E-41.02595281.0E-5
7.42.0893426E-65.4614605E-75.4614605E-71.00.08.954295E-62.340624E-62.340624E-61.00.01.0901308E-42.8496728E-52.8496728E-51.00.00.00108959622.849313E-42.9492844E-41.03508621.0E-5
7.51.1681728E-63.6028484E-73.6028484E-71.00.05.0064455E-61.544077E-61.544077E-61.00.06.0951766E-51.879898E-51.879898E-51.00.06.093505E-41.8797436E-41.9797249E-41.05318881.0E-5
7.61.3154387E-77.1196716E-87.1196716E-81.00.05.6375933E-73.0512876E-73.0512876E-71.00.06.863748E-63.714938E-63.714938E-61.00.06.863536E-53.7148915E-54.7148544E-51.26917681.0E-5

Raymond

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5157413E-51.5810125E-51.5810125E-51.00.06.4958724E-56.775606E-57.775539E-51.14757821.0E-57.905855E-48.246429E-48.446264E-41.02423292.0E-50.0078777880.0082183550.0082580261.00482714.0E-5
6.11.5157413E-51.5810125E-51.5810125E-51.00.06.4958724E-56.775606E-57.775539E-51.14757821.0E-57.905855E-48.246429E-48.446264E-41.02423292.0E-50.0078777880.0082183550.0082580261.00482714.0E-5
6.21.5157413E-51.5810125E-51.5810125E-51.00.06.4958724E-56.775606E-57.775539E-51.14757821.0E-57.905855E-48.246429E-48.446264E-41.02423292.0E-50.0078777880.0082183550.0082580261.00482714.0E-5
6.31.5157413E-51.5810125E-51.5810125E-51.00.06.4958724E-56.775606E-57.775539E-51.14757821.0E-57.905855E-48.246429E-48.446264E-41.02423292.0E-50.0078777880.0082183550.0082580261.00482714.0E-5
6.41.3941944E-51.4454688E-51.4454688E-51.00.05.9749822E-56.194732E-57.1946706E-51.16141751.0E-57.2721124E-47.53971E-47.7395595E-41.02650622.0E-50.0072483610.0075164710.00754624561.00396123.0E-5
6.51.3941944E-51.4454688E-51.4454688E-51.00.05.9749822E-56.194732E-57.1946706E-51.16141751.0E-57.2721124E-47.53971E-47.7395595E-41.02650622.0E-50.0072483610.0075164710.00754624561.00396123.0E-5
6.61.0542609E-51.067111E-51.067111E-51.00.04.5181827E-54.573256E-55.57321E-51.21865261.0E-55.499499E-45.566571E-45.76646E-41.03590882.0E-50.0054859090.00555319660.00558302971.00537233.0E-5
6.71.0542609E-51.067111E-51.067111E-51.00.04.5181827E-54.573256E-55.57321E-51.21865261.0E-55.499499E-45.566571E-45.76646E-41.03590882.0E-50.0054859090.00555319660.00558302971.00537233.0E-5
6.81.0079132E-51.0176644E-51.0176644E-51.00.04.3195567E-54.3613487E-55.361305E-51.22927691.0E-55.257791E-45.308702E-45.508596E-41.0376542.0E-50.00524536850.00529657770.00532641871.00563413.0E-5
6.97.721598E-67.548902E-67.548902E-61.00.03.3092143E-53.2352043E-54.235172E-51.30908951.0E-54.0282236E-43.9381615E-44.1380827E-41.05076522.0E-50.00402092930.0039313240.00395124551.00506732.0E-5
7.07.137566E-66.911303E-66.911303E-61.00.03.058921E-52.961954E-53.9619244E-51.3376051.0E-53.7236E-43.605593E-43.8055208E-41.05544942.0E-50.00371736680.0035998690.0036197971.00553572.0E-5
7.15.654976E-65.299538E-65.299538E-61.00.02.4235387E-52.2712107E-53.271188E-51.44028381.0E-52.9502588E-42.7648505E-42.8648227E-41.03615831.0E-50.00294634510.00276144920.00277142161.00361131.0E-5
7.24.9358455E-64.526655E-64.526655E-61.00.02.1153453E-51.9399806E-52.9399613E-51.51545911.0E-52.5751285E-42.3616718E-42.4616483E-41.04233291.0E-50.00257214650.0023591920.00236916821.00422871.0E-5
7.34.2368597E-63.8056128E-63.8056128E-61.00.01.8157843E-51.6309668E-52.6309504E-51.61312331.0E-52.2104931E-41.9855222E-42.0855023E-41.05035461.0E-50.00220829550.00198377460.00199375491.00503091.0E-5
7.43.4999923E-63.0437407E-63.0437407E-61.00.01.49998805E-51.3044538E-52.3044407E-51.76659441.0E-51.8260824E-41.5880575E-41.6880417E-41.062961.0E-50.00182458260.00158694610.00159693021.00629141.0E-5
7.52.738017E-62.3020405E-62.3020405E-61.00.01.1734306E-59.865851E-61.9865753E-52.01358721.0E-51.428558E-41.20110184E-41.3010898E-41.0832471.0E-50.00142764010.00120047470.00121046271.00832011.0E-5
7.61.8186392E-61.442302E-61.442302E-61.00.07.794145E-66.1812802E-66.1812802E-61.00.09.488958E-57.5254524E-57.5254524E-51.00.09.4849075E-47.5230957E-47.5230957E-41.00.0
7.71.0660348E-67.6437E-77.6437E-71.00.04.5687125E-63.2758674E-63.2758674E-61.00.05.5622655E-53.988297E-53.988297E-51.00.05.5608735E-43.9877492E-43.9877492E-41.00.0
7.86.913602E-74.3202903E-74.3202903E-71.00.02.962969E-61.8515517E-61.8515517E-61.00.03.607355E-52.2542416E-52.2542416E-51.00.03.6067693E-42.2541684E-42.2541684E-41.00.0
7.97.425201E-85.322267E-85.322267E-81.00.03.1822285E-72.2809714E-72.2809714E-71.00.03.874356E-62.7770805E-62.7770805E-61.00.03.8742884E-52.7770588E-52.7770588E-51.00.0

Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.01.5183659E-43.0520977E-43.1520674E-41.03275431.0E-56.5056595E-40.00130681880.00132679261.01528432.0E-50.0078919120.0156962030.0157257341.00188123.0E-50.0761745940.138489050.13852351.00024884.0E-5
6.11.5024997E-43.021517E-43.1214865E-41.0330861.0E-56.437695E-40.00129372780.0013137021.01543922.0E-50.00780976140.0155395960.015569131.00190063.0E-50.0754093450.137158630.137193141.00025174.0E-5
6.21.2743923E-42.5313982E-42.6313728E-41.03949391.0E-55.460538E-40.00108399990.00110397831.01843022.0E-50.00662795830.0130468810.013076491.00226943.0E-50.0643372760.1172560750.117291381.00030114.0E-5
6.31.1525114E-42.2599236E-42.359901E-41.04423931.0E-54.9383997E-49.678718E-49.878525E-41.0206442.0E-50.00599593860.0116680790.0116977291.00254113.0E-50.0583671740.1063721250.1064078661.0003364.0E-5
6.41.07200925E-42.0840544E-42.1840337E-41.04797341.0E-54.5935164E-48.926123E-49.1259443E-41.02238622.0E-50.00557827440.0107729590.0108026361.00275483.0E-50.05440310.0991947650.09923081.00036324.0E-5
6.59.69631E-51.8734725E-41.9734538E-41.05336681.0E-54.1548995E-48.024631E-48.22447E-41.02490332.0E-50.00504686260.0096948420.0097245511.00306443.0E-50.049337730.0900865640.090122961.0004044.0E-5
6.68.0552316E-51.507068E-41.6070528E-41.0663441.0E-53.4517853E-46.4569083E-46.656779E-41.03095462.0E-50.00419445240.0078265080.0078562731.00380313.0E-50.041161610.07485630.074884061.00037073.0E-5
6.77.815757E-51.4611272E-41.5611126E-41.06843031.0E-53.34918E-46.26014E-46.4600154E-41.03192822.0E-50.0040700050.0075893120.0076190841.00392293.0E-50.0399626570.072705820.072733641.00038273.0E-5
6.86.965264E-51.2722758E-41.3722632E-41.07858931.0E-52.9847719E-45.4513285E-45.6512194E-41.03666832.0E-50.00362790520.00661359450.0066433961.00450613.0E-50.035692470.0638010650.0638291541.00044023.0E-5
6.95.8000453E-51.01439E-41.1143799E-41.09857141.0E-52.4854968E-44.346666E-44.5465791E-41.04599232.0E-50.00302189330.0052793220.0053091641.00565253.0E-50.0298112950.0515029650.051531421.00055253.0E-5
7.04.9865852E-58.568029E-59.5679425E-51.11670291.0E-52.1369329E-43.6715003E-43.8714267E-41.05445362.0E-50.00259861140.0044609790.0044908451.0066953.0E-50.0256843360.0437820180.0438107031.00065523.0E-5
7.14.283875E-57.1124625E-58.1123915E-51.14058831.0E-51.8358172E-43.0478454E-43.2477843E-41.06560022.0E-50.00223281630.0037044940.0037343831.00806833.0E-50.0221051460.036735820.0367647221.00078673.0E-5
7.23.450115E-55.5778568E-56.577801E-51.17927041.0E-51.478537E-42.3902925E-42.5902447E-41.08365182.0E-50.00179863230.00290632640.00293623941.01029233.0E-50.0178414420.0290790420.029108171.00100173.0E-5
7.32.5709045E-54.059001E-55.0589606E-51.2463561.0E-51.1017697E-41.7394568E-41.8394395E-41.05747931.0E-50.00134057910.00211574860.00212572751.00471651.0E-50.0133252080.021296860.0213066491.00045961.0E-5
7.41.8003093E-52.8511378E-53.8511094E-51.35072721.0E-57.715383E-51.2218591E-41.321847E-41.08183251.0E-59.3894306E-40.00148660060.00149658581.00671671.0E-50.0093498570.0150515890.0150614391.00065431.0E-5
7.51.5595824E-52.5823752E-53.5823494E-51.38723041.0E-56.683753E-51.10668545E-41.20667435E-41.09034991.0E-58.134431E-40.00134655890.00135654551.00741641.0E-50.0081047190.0136515710.0136614351.00072251.0E-5
7.61.1110309E-51.9223195E-52.9223003E-51.52019491.0E-54.761474E-58.2382525E-59.2381706E-51.1213751.0E-55.795553E-40.00100254710.0010125371.00996461.0E-50.00578046120.010203440.0102133381.000971.0E-5
7.76.2140443E-61.04376995E-51.04376995E-51.00.02.6631347E-54.4732235E-54.4732235E-51.00.03.241884E-45.4447894E-45.4447894E-41.00.00.00323715880.0056201020.0056201021.00.0
7.85.305533E-69.433651E-69.433651E-61.00.02.27378E-54.0429306E-54.0429306E-51.00.02.7679754E-44.9211574E-44.9211574E-41.00.00.00276453020.0050746220.0050746221.00.0
7.93.363505E-67.3854467E-67.3854467E-61.00.01.4414942E-53.1651532E-53.1651532E-51.00.01.7548777E-43.8528934E-43.8528934E-41.00.00.00175349260.0039487840.0039487841.00.0
8.02.0271132E-64.4134235E-64.4134235E-61.00.08.687599E-61.8914534E-51.8914534E-51.00.01.05766376E-42.3026018E-42.3026018E-41.00.00.00105716060.0023511940.0023511941.00.0
8.11.2206116E-62.3752666E-62.3752666E-61.00.05.2311816E-61.0179674E-51.0179674E-51.00.06.3687774E-51.2393051E-41.2393051E-41.00.06.366953E-40.00127056180.00127056181.00.0

San Gabriel (Extension)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.05.6486106E-65.7168368E-61.571678E-52.74920921.0E-52.4208108E-52.4500505E-53.450026E-51.40814481.0E-52.9469383E-42.9825408E-43.1824812E-41.06703692.0E-50.00294303360.00297866460.00301854551.01338894.0E-5
6.15.6486106E-65.7168368E-61.571678E-52.74920921.0E-52.4208108E-52.4500505E-53.450026E-51.40814481.0E-52.9469383E-42.9825408E-43.1824812E-41.06703692.0E-50.00294303360.00297866460.00301854551.01338894.0E-5
6.25.6486106E-65.7168368E-61.571678E-52.74920921.0E-52.4208108E-52.4500505E-53.450026E-51.40814481.0E-52.9469383E-42.9825408E-43.1824812E-41.06703692.0E-50.00294303360.00297866460.00301854551.01338894.0E-5
6.35.6486106E-65.7168368E-61.571678E-52.74920921.0E-52.4208108E-52.4500505E-53.450026E-51.40814481.0E-52.9469383E-42.9825408E-43.1824812E-41.06703692.0E-50.00294303360.00297866460.00301854551.01338894.0E-5
6.45.6486106E-65.7168368E-61.571678E-52.74920921.0E-52.4208108E-52.4500505E-53.450026E-51.40814481.0E-52.9469383E-42.9825408E-43.1824812E-41.06703692.0E-50.00294303360.00297866460.00301854551.01338894.0E-5
6.54.7134554E-64.7542608E-61.4754213E-53.10336641.0E-52.0200367E-52.0375248E-53.0375044E-51.49078151.0E-52.459117E-42.4804127E-42.680363E-41.08061172.0E-50.00245639750.00247772850.00251762941.01610394.0E-5
6.64.7134554E-64.7542608E-61.4754213E-53.10336641.0E-52.0200367E-52.0375248E-53.0375044E-51.49078151.0E-52.459117E-42.4804127E-42.680363E-41.08061172.0E-50.00245639750.00247772850.00251762941.01610394.0E-5
6.74.2468837E-64.274078E-61.42740355E-53.3396761.0E-51.8200803E-51.8317352E-52.8317168E-51.54592041.0E-52.2157225E-42.2299167E-42.4298721E-41.08966952.0E-50.00221351440.00222775130.00226766221.01791544.0E-5
6.84.1180615E-64.1414673E-61.4141426E-53.4145931.0E-51.7648716E-51.774903E-52.7748853E-51.56340111.0E-52.1485193E-42.1607373E-42.360694E-41.0925412.0E-50.00214644310.00215870770.00219862141.01848964.0E-5
6.93.863861E-63.879783E-63.879783E-61.00.01.65593E-51.6627539E-51.6627539E-51.00.02.0159081E-42.0242216E-42.1242014E-41.04939171.0E-50.00201408030.00202244540.0020523851.01480353.0E-5
7.03.6947372E-63.705682E-63.705682E-61.00.01.5834492E-51.5881402E-51.5881402E-51.00.01.9276788E-41.9333958E-42.0333765E-41.05171251.0E-50.00192600740.00193178030.00196172231.01549973.0E-5
7.13.5686835E-63.5729024E-63.5729024E-61.00.01.5294268E-51.5312353E-51.5312353E-51.00.01.861918E-41.8641262E-41.9641075E-41.05363441.0E-50.00186035880.00186262840.00189257251.01607633.0E-5
7.22.8023446E-62.776794E-62.776794E-61.00.01.2009994E-51.1900492E-51.1900492E-51.00.01.4621185E-41.4487897E-41.5487752E-41.06901311.0E-50.0014611570.0014478560.0014678271.01379362.0E-5
7.32.5843012E-62.5459692E-62.5459692E-61.00.01.1075529E-51.0911252E-51.0911252E-51.00.01.3483623E-41.3283649E-41.4283515E-41.07527051.0E-50.00134754440.00132758050.0013475541.0150452.0E-5
7.42.4464468E-62.396669E-62.396669E-61.00.01.04847295E-51.0271398E-51.0271398E-51.00.01.276441E-41.250472E-41.3504595E-41.07995981.0E-50.00127570820.0012497780.0012697531.01598292.0E-5
7.52.0420266E-61.8910376E-61.8910376E-61.00.08.751514E-68.104422E-68.104422E-61.00.01.0654447E-49.866691E-51.08665925E-41.10134111.0E-50.0010649349.862344E-40.00100621461.02025912.0E-5
7.61.8326596E-61.6398233E-61.6398233E-61.00.07.854232E-67.027795E-67.027795E-61.00.09.562107E-58.556007E-59.555921E-51.1168671.0E-59.5579936E-48.552735E-48.7525643E-41.02336432.0E-5
7.71.4786998E-61.2523672E-61.2523672E-61.00.06.3372695E-65.3672766E-65.3672766E-61.00.07.715353E-56.534465E-57.534399E-51.15302471.0E-57.7126746E-46.5325975E-46.6325325E-41.01529791.0E-5
7.87.6975533E-76.069207E-76.069207E-71.00.03.2989474E-62.6010862E-62.6010862E-61.00.04.0163945E-53.1667765E-53.1667765E-51.00.04.0156685E-43.166365E-43.166365E-41.00.0
7.91.7645915E-79.211899E-89.211899E-81.00.07.562533E-73.947956E-73.947956E-71.00.09.207345E-64.806626E-64.806626E-61.00.09.206964E-54.8069025E-54.8069025E-51.00.0
8.01.0463461E-72.4937416E-82.4937416E-81.00.04.4843398E-71.0687464E-71.0687464E-71.00.05.45967E-61.3011979E-61.3011979E-61.00.05.459536E-51.3015701E-51.3015701E-51.00.0
8.17.875717E-81.3857542E-81.3857542E-81.00.03.3753068E-75.9389468E-85.9389468E-81.00.04.109428E-67.2306653E-77.2306653E-71.00.04.109352E-57.234439E-67.234439E-61.00.0
8.21.33163E-81.7720816E-91.7720816E-91.00.05.7069855E-87.594638E-97.594638E-91.00.06.9482525E-79.246471E-89.246471E-81.00.06.9482307E-69.2664203E-79.2664203E-71.00.0

Santa Cruz Catalina Ridge alt1

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.03.2833184E-53.6558402E-54.6558034E-51.2735251.0E-51.4070606E-41.5667039E-41.6666882E-41.06381821.0E-50.001711750.00190595940.00192592131.01047342.0E-50.0169862470.0189130320.0189522771.0020754.0E-5
6.11.9835548E-52.1659505E-52.1659505E-51.00.08.500672E-59.282326E-59.282326E-51.00.00.00103446550.00112955750.00112955751.00.00.0102966320.0112402960.0112600711.00175932.0E-5
6.21.9835548E-52.1659505E-52.1659505E-51.00.08.500672E-59.282326E-59.282326E-51.00.00.00103446550.00112955750.00112955751.00.00.0102966320.0112402960.0112600711.00175932.0E-5
6.31.5728183E-51.703395E-51.703395E-51.00.06.7404755E-57.300063E-57.300063E-51.00.08.2034385E-48.884264E-48.884264E-41.00.00.0081732220.0088494270.008869251.00224012.0E-5
6.41.5728183E-51.703395E-51.703395E-51.00.06.7404755E-57.300063E-57.300063E-51.00.08.2034385E-48.884264E-48.884264E-41.00.00.0081732220.0088494270.008869251.00224012.0E-5
6.51.3707734E-51.4794522E-51.4794522E-51.00.05.8746107E-56.3403575E-56.3403575E-51.00.07.1499916E-47.716686E-47.716686E-41.00.00.00712703030.00769028950.0077101361.00258062.0E-5
6.61.2539813E-51.3510219E-51.3510219E-51.00.05.3740947E-55.789967E-55.789967E-51.00.06.540996E-47.0470315E-47.0470315E-41.00.00.00652177630.00702498850.0070448481.00282692.0E-5
6.71.1504083E-51.2377375E-51.2377375E-51.00.04.930228E-55.3044827E-55.3044827E-51.00.06.0008996E-46.456314E-46.456314E-41.00.00.0059847210.0064377860.0064576571.00308672.0E-5
6.81.012739E-51.0877071E-51.0877071E-51.00.04.340238E-54.6615194E-54.6615194E-51.00.05.282958E-45.673937E-45.673937E-41.00.00.00527041640.00565961930.00567950631.00351382.0E-5
6.98.9607865E-69.609117E-69.609117E-61.00.03.8402806E-54.1181287E-54.1181287E-51.00.04.6745385E-45.012679E-45.012679E-41.00.00.00466471770.0050014920.0050213921.00397882.0E-5
7.08.046829E-68.619746E-68.619746E-61.00.03.4485955E-53.694125E-53.694125E-51.00.04.1978562E-44.496677E-44.496677E-41.00.00.0041899350.00448766860.0045075791.00443662.0E-5
7.17.136131E-67.637656E-67.637656E-61.00.03.0583058E-53.2732405E-53.2732405E-51.00.03.7228514E-43.9844486E-43.9844486E-41.00.00.00371662060.0039773810.00399730171.00500852.0E-5
7.26.362014E-66.8049585E-66.8049585E-61.00.02.726549E-52.9163786E-52.9163786E-51.00.03.3190678E-43.550119E-43.550119E-41.00.00.00331411490.0035445160.0035644451.00562252.0E-5
7.35.004101E-65.351715E-65.351715E-61.00.02.1445969E-52.2935723E-52.2935723E-51.00.02.6107338E-42.792072E-42.792072E-41.00.00.0026076690.00278861870.00279859081.0035761.0E-5
7.43.4901443E-63.7320526E-63.7320526E-61.00.01.4957676E-51.5994416E-51.5994416E-51.00.01.8209449E-41.9471499E-41.9471499E-41.00.00.00181945340.00194548230.00195546291.00513021.0E-5
7.51.1215045E-61.189387E-61.189387E-61.00.04.806439E-65.097363E-65.097363E-61.00.05.851682E-56.205866E-56.205866E-51.00.05.850142E-46.2041637E-46.2041637E-41.00.0
7.62.8599047E-72.9951994E-72.9951994E-71.00.01.2256729E-61.2836562E-61.2836562E-61.00.01.4922465E-51.5628404E-51.5628404E-51.00.01.4921463E-41.5627318E-41.5627318E-41.00.0
7.72.0781519E-72.1744323E-72.1744323E-71.00.08.906362E-79.3189925E-79.3189925E-71.00.01.08434415E-51.13458145E-51.13458145E-51.00.01.0842913E-41.1345245E-41.1345245E-41.00.0
7.83.614776E-83.764102E-83.764102E-81.00.01.5491896E-71.6131864E-71.6131864E-71.00.01.8861368E-61.9640527E-61.9640527E-61.00.01.8861208E-51.9640367E-51.9640367E-51.00.0

Pitas Point (Lower West)

(top)

1 Week1 Month1 Year10 Year
MPDMPDMPDMPD
Magnitude1 wk TI Prob1 wk TD Prob1 wk ETAS Prob1 wk ETAS/TD Gain1 wk ETAS Triggered Only1 mo TI Prob1 mo TD Prob1 mo ETAS Prob1 mo ETAS/TD Gain1 mo ETAS Triggered Only1 yr TI Prob1 yr TD Prob1 yr ETAS Prob1 yr ETAS/TD Gain1 yr ETAS Triggered Only10 yr TI Prob10 yr TD Prob10 yr ETAS Prob10 yr ETAS/TD Gain10 yr ETAS Triggered Only
6.08.151497E-67.855796E-67.855796E-61.00.03.493452E-53.3667267E-53.3667267E-51.00.04.252448E-44.0982262E-44.2981442E-41.04878162.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.00413058561.00973824.0E-5
6.18.151497E-67.855796E-67.855796E-61.00.03.493452E-53.3667267E-53.3667267E-51.00.04.252448E-44.0982262E-44.2981442E-41.04878162.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.00413058561.00973824.0E-5
6.28.151497E-67.855796E-67.855796E-61.00.03.493452E-53.3667267E-53.3667267E-51.00.04.252448E-44.0982262E-44.2981442E-41.04878162.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.00413058561.00973824.0E-5
6.38.151497E-67.855796E-67.855796E-61.00.03.493452E-53.3667267E-53.3667267E-51.00.04.252448E-44.0982262E-44.2981442E-41.04878162.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.00413058561.00973824.0E-5
6.48.151497E-67.855796E-67.855796E-61.00.03.493452E-53.3667267E-53.3667267E-51.00.04.252448E-44.0982262E-44.2981442E-41.04878162.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.00413058561.00973824.0E-5
6.58.151497E-67.855796E-67.855796E-61.00.03.493452E-53.3667267E-53.3667267E-51.00.04.252448E-44.0982262E-44.2981442E-41.04878162.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.00413058561.00973824.0E-5
6.68.151497E-67.855796E-67.855796E-61.00.03.493452E-53.3667267E-53.3667267E-51.00.04.252448E-44.0982262E-44.2981442E-41.04878162.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.00413058561.00973824.0E-5
6.78.151497E-67.855796E-67.855796E-61.00.03.493452E-53.3667267E-53.3667267E-51.00.04.252448E-44.0982262E-44.2981442E-41.04878162.0E-50.00424431960.0040907490.00413058561.00973824.0E-5
6.88.151497E-67.855796E-67.8557