Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions
Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)
Table Of Contents
Tank Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.8284557E-5 | 5.7964142E-5 | 0.011407306 | 196.79936 | 0.01135 | 2.0691741E-4 | 2.4839793E-4 | 0.01537464 | 61.8952 | 0.01513 | 0.0025163088 | 0.0030207178 | 0.025392933 | 8.406259 | 0.02244 | 0.02488006 | 0.029863678 | 0.059637163 | 1.9969798 | 0.03069 |
6.1 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.0873285E-5 | 0.004150787 | 198.85643 | 0.00413 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.9454086E-5 | 0.005468973 | 61.137207 | 0.00538 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010885975 | 0.009389551 | 8.625365 | 0.00831 | 0.009242975 | 0.010836816 | 0.022291325 | 2.0569994 | 0.01158 |
6.2 | 1.7796336E-5 | 2.0873285E-5 | 0.004150787 | 198.85643 | 0.00413 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.9454086E-5 | 0.005468973 | 61.137207 | 0.00538 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010885975 | 0.009389551 | 8.625365 | 0.00831 | 0.009242975 | 0.010836816 | 0.022291325 | 2.0569994 | 0.01158 |
6.3 | 1.3515912E-5 | 1.5759586E-5 | 0.002975713 | 188.81923 | 0.00296 | 5.792405E-5 | 6.753947E-5 | 0.0038672828 | 57.259598 | 0.0038 | 7.049971E-4 | 8.2200643E-4 | 0.0066771894 | 8.123038 | 0.00586 | 0.007027647 | 0.0081923455 | 0.016553285 | 2.0205793 | 0.00843 |
6.4 | 1.0870146E-5 | 1.2618064E-5 | 0.0022425898 | 177.72852 | 0.00223 | 4.658551E-5 | 5.4076394E-5 | 0.0029539196 | 54.624935 | 0.0029 | 5.67031E-4 | 6.5819896E-4 | 0.00507529 | 7.710875 | 0.00442 | 0.005655863 | 0.0065645785 | 0.012862959 | 1.9594493 | 0.00634 |
6.5 | 7.964826E-6 | 9.19615E-6 | 0.0013991834 | 152.14882 | 0.00139 | 3.4134522E-5 | 3.9411534E-5 | 0.001929337 | 48.953613 | 0.00189 | 4.1550855E-4 | 4.7974035E-4 | 0.0034083347 | 7.1045403 | 0.00293 | 0.0041473247 | 0.004788422 | 0.008948406 | 1.8687589 | 0.00418 |
6.6 | 6.6317E-6 | 7.6123542E-6 | 0.001107604 | 145.50085 | 0.0011 | 2.8421264E-5 | 3.262402E-5 | 0.0015125758 | 46.36387 | 0.00148 | 3.4597394E-4 | 3.971341E-4 | 0.0026662326 | 6.7136836 | 0.00227 | 0.0034543579 | 0.0039654695 | 0.007122899 | 1.7962309 | 0.00317 |
6.7 | 4.793663E-6 | 5.4308466E-6 | 5.654278E-4 | 104.11412 | 5.6E-4 | 2.0544108E-5 | 2.3274873E-5 | 8.032567E-4 | 34.511753 | 7.8E-4 | 2.500958E-4 | 2.8333912E-4 | 0.0014929962 | 5.269291 | 0.00121 | 0.0024981452 | 0.0028305429 | 0.0046453914 | 1.6411662 | 0.00182 |
6.8 | 4.382823E-6 | 4.9693126E-6 | 5.349667E-4 | 107.65406 | 5.3E-4 | 1.8783392E-5 | 2.1296904E-5 | 7.3128176E-4 | 34.33747 | 7.1E-4 | 2.286638E-4 | 2.592632E-4 | 0.0013389832 | 5.164571 | 0.00108 | 0.0022842865 | 0.0025903475 | 0.004186203 | 1.6160778 | 0.0016 |
6.9 | 2.729601E-6 | 3.0735741E-6 | 2.530728E-4 | 82.33828 | 2.5E-4 | 1.1698237E-5 | 1.3172401E-5 | 3.331682E-4 | 25.292896 | 3.2E-4 | 1.4241673E-4 | 1.6036342E-4 | 6.402864E-4 | 3.9927216 | 4.8E-4 | 0.001423255 | 0.0016027166 | 0.0023515145 | 1.4672054 | 7.5E-4 |
7.0 | 1.8987357E-6 | 2.1269682E-6 | 1.0212675E-4 | 48.01518 | 1.0E-4 | 8.137413E-6 | 9.11555E-6 | 1.5911418E-4 | 17.455248 | 1.5E-4 | 9.90685E-5 | 1.1097687E-4 | 3.3095246E-4 | 2.982175 | 2.2E-4 | 9.902435E-4 | 0.0011092832 | 0.0014888616 | 1.3421836 | 3.8E-4 |
7.1 | 1.4928986E-6 | 1.6641504E-6 | 5.166407E-5 | 31.045311 | 5.0E-5 | 6.398121E-6 | 7.132057E-6 | 6.713163E-5 | 9.41266 | 6.0E-5 | 7.789434E-5 | 8.6829925E-5 | 1.8682124E-4 | 2.1515768 | 1.0E-4 | 7.786704E-4 | 8.6801784E-4 | 0.0010878269 | 1.253231 | 2.2E-4 |
7.2 | 1.069082E-6 | 1.182876E-6 | 2.1182852E-5 | 17.907923 | 2.0E-5 | 4.581772E-6 | 5.0694616E-6 | 3.5069308E-5 | 6.917758 | 3.0E-5 | 5.5781646E-5 | 6.171948E-5 | 9.171763E-5 | 1.4860402 | 3.0E-5 | 5.576765E-4 | 6.1707565E-4 | 6.870325E-4 | 1.1133683 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.776551E-7 | 9.77015E-7 | 1.0977005E-5 | 11.235248 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7613736E-6 | 4.187203E-6 | 2.418712E-5 | 5.7764378 | 2.0E-5 | 4.579376E-5 | 5.0978528E-5 | 7.0977505E-5 | 1.392302 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5784327E-4 | 5.0971936E-4 | 5.5969384E-4 | 1.0980432 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.55721E-7 | 8.510383E-7 | 1.0851029E-5 | 12.750342 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2388E-6 | 3.647305E-6 | 2.3647232E-5 | 6.483481 | 2.0E-5 | 3.9431678E-5 | 4.440555E-5 | 6.440466E-5 | 1.4503741 | 2.0E-5 | 3.942468E-4 | 4.4401764E-4 | 4.8399987E-4 | 1.0900465 | 4.0E-5 |
7.5 | 5.587665E-7 | 6.305732E-7 | 6.305732E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3947114E-6 | 2.7024564E-6 | 2.7024564E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.915522E-5 | 3.2902408E-5 | 3.2902408E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9151395E-4 | 3.2902407E-4 | 3.490175E-4 | 1.0607659 | 2.0E-5 |
Garlock (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.0246155E-5 | 0.00343001 | 48.828438 | 0.00336 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.010206E-4 | 0.004749681 | 15.778592 | 0.00445 | 0.0028726095 | 0.003658831 | 0.010473805 | 2.8626096 | 0.00684 | 0.028357591 | 0.036142167 | 0.045510866 | 1.259218 | 0.00972 |
6.1 | 5.5131142E-5 | 7.0246155E-5 | 0.00343001 | 48.828438 | 0.00336 | 2.3625491E-4 | 3.010206E-4 | 0.004749681 | 15.778592 | 0.00445 | 0.0028726095 | 0.003658831 | 0.010473805 | 2.8626096 | 0.00684 | 0.028357591 | 0.036142167 | 0.045510866 | 1.259218 | 0.00972 |
6.2 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.1660383E-5 | 0.0021715509 | 42.03513 | 0.00212 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.2138303E-4 | 0.0030507564 | 13.780445 | 0.00283 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0026920382 | 0.0069704894 | 2.5892982 | 0.00429 | 0.021759989 | 0.026709503 | 0.032588176 | 1.2200967 | 0.00604 |
6.3 | 4.216245E-5 | 5.1660383E-5 | 0.0021715509 | 42.03513 | 0.00212 | 1.806837E-4 | 2.2138303E-4 | 0.0030507564 | 13.780445 | 0.00283 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0026920382 | 0.0069704894 | 2.5892982 | 0.00429 | 0.021759989 | 0.026709503 | 0.032588176 | 1.2200967 | 0.00604 |
6.4 | 3.6858168E-5 | 4.4109085E-5 | 0.0017040359 | 38.632313 | 0.00166 | 1.5795401E-4 | 1.8902538E-4 | 0.0024685943 | 13.059592 | 0.00228 | 0.0019213937 | 0.00229898 | 0.005731072 | 2.4928758 | 0.00344 | 0.019048655 | 0.022869706 | 0.027579475 | 1.2059392 | 0.00482 |
6.5 | 3.39199E-5 | 4.001738E-5 | 0.001549957 | 38.732094 | 0.00151 | 1.453629E-4 | 1.7149192E-4 | 0.0022611334 | 13.185074 | 0.00209 | 0.0017683565 | 0.0020859365 | 0.005239345 | 2.5117471 | 0.00316 | 0.017543508 | 0.02075889 | 0.025008796 | 1.204727 | 0.00434 |
6.6 | 3.3571985E-5 | 3.9471543E-5 | 0.0015394123 | 39.00056 | 0.0015 | 1.4387199E-4 | 1.691529E-4 | 0.0022288044 | 13.1762705 | 0.00206 | 0.0017502342 | 0.0020575132 | 0.0051710936 | 2.5132737 | 0.00312 | 0.017365133 | 0.020480096 | 0.024672441 | 1.2047033 | 0.00428 |
6.7 | 3.2580007E-5 | 3.8087983E-5 | 0.0014880328 | 39.0683 | 0.00145 | 1.3962112E-4 | 1.6322412E-4 | 0.0021528993 | 13.189836 | 0.00199 | 0.0016985617 | 0.0019854638 | 0.0049994676 | 2.5180352 | 0.00302 | 0.016856372 | 0.019770922 | 0.023809467 | 1.2042668 | 0.00412 |
6.8 | 3.2185937E-5 | 3.751518E-5 | 0.0014674616 | 39.11647 | 0.00143 | 1.3793244E-4 | 1.6076956E-4 | 0.0021204546 | 13.189403 | 0.00196 | 0.0016780337 | 0.0019556335 | 0.004939786 | 2.5259264 | 0.00299 | 0.016654192 | 0.019477926 | 0.023478456 | 1.2053878 | 0.00408 |
6.9 | 3.165394E-5 | 3.6719717E-5 | 0.0013866702 | 37.763638 | 0.00135 | 1.3565269E-4 | 1.5736085E-4 | 0.0020270667 | 12.881645 | 0.00187 | 0.0016503202 | 0.0019142062 | 0.004798674 | 2.5068743 | 0.00289 | 0.01638118 | 0.01907158 | 0.022946248 | 1.2031645 | 0.00395 |
7.0 | 3.0903822E-5 | 3.5624882E-5 | 0.0013655775 | 38.332127 | 0.00133 | 1.3243823E-4 | 1.5266925E-4 | 0.00198239 | 12.984866 | 0.00183 | 0.0016112428 | 0.0018571847 | 0.0046519847 | 2.5048583 | 0.0028 | 0.015996104 | 0.018513601 | 0.022272695 | 1.2030449 | 0.00383 |
7.1 | 3.0069863E-5 | 3.4391156E-5 | 0.0013243468 | 38.508354 | 0.00129 | 1.2886449E-4 | 1.4738245E-4 | 0.001907123 | 12.93996 | 0.00176 | 0.0015677959 | 0.0017929256 | 0.0044781025 | 2.497651 | 0.00269 | 0.01556781 | 0.017881276 | 0.02146601 | 1.2004741 | 0.00365 |
7.2 | 2.7957109E-5 | 3.128042E-5 | 0.001161245 | 37.123707 | 0.00113 | 1.1981068E-4 | 1.3405216E-4 | 0.0016338511 | 12.188175 | 0.0015 | 0.0014577188 | 0.0016308826 | 0.0039271316 | 2.4079792 | 0.0023 | 0.014481937 | 0.016284546 | 0.019353738 | 1.1884727 | 0.00312 |
7.3 | 2.4519275E-5 | 2.671366E-5 | 8.866907E-4 | 33.192406 | 8.6E-4 | 1.0507837E-4 | 1.1448217E-4 | 0.0012943471 | 11.306102 | 0.00118 | 0.0012785783 | 0.001392944 | 0.0031405063 | 2.254582 | 0.00175 | 0.012712469 | 0.013928749 | 0.01630518 | 1.1706134 | 0.00241 |
7.4 | 2.3225532E-5 | 2.5198244E-5 | 8.3517784E-4 | 33.144287 | 8.1E-4 | 9.95342E-5 | 1.0798809E-4 | 0.0012078693 | 11.185209 | 0.0011 | 0.0012111551 | 0.0013139764 | 0.0029018873 | 2.2084775 | 0.00159 | 0.012045753 | 0.013146298 | 0.015297639 | 1.1636461 | 0.00218 |
7.5 | 2.097765E-5 | 2.2482514E-5 | 7.024672E-4 | 31.245049 | 6.8E-4 | 8.9901114E-5 | 9.635014E-5 | 9.562673E-4 | 9.924918 | 8.6E-4 | 0.0010939965 | 0.0011724435 | 0.0024409546 | 2.0819378 | 0.00127 | 0.010886264 | 0.011740618 | 0.013460189 | 1.1464634 | 0.00174 |
7.6 | 1.511254E-5 | 1.5990141E-5 | 4.1598376E-4 | 26.015015 | 4.0E-4 | 6.476642E-5 | 6.852741E-5 | 5.384952E-4 | 7.858099 | 4.7E-4 | 7.882459E-4 | 8.340097E-4 | 0.001473476 | 1.7667371 | 6.4E-4 | 0.007854558 | 0.008383859 | 0.009276314 | 1.1064491 | 9.0E-4 |
7.7 | 9.934069E-6 | 1.0677792E-5 | 1.2067662E-4 | 11.301646 | 1.1E-4 | 4.2573887E-5 | 4.576116E-5 | 1.6575567E-4 | 3.622191 | 1.2E-4 | 5.182138E-4 | 5.570001E-4 | 7.3689985E-4 | 1.3229797 | 1.8E-4 | 0.00517007 | 0.0056270165 | 0.0058756093 | 1.0441785 | 2.5E-4 |
7.8 | 6.7562896E-6 | 8.427758E-6 | 1.1842683E-4 | 14.051997 | 1.1E-4 | 2.8955206E-5 | 3.6118465E-5 | 1.4611449E-4 | 4.045424 | 1.1E-4 | 3.5247262E-4 | 4.3965373E-4 | 5.995834E-4 | 1.3637627 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0035191406 | 0.004446126 | 0.004655192 | 1.0470221 | 2.1E-4 |
7.9 | 3.975453E-6 | 5.3706963E-6 | 9.537021E-5 | 17.757513 | 9.0E-5 | 1.7037546E-5 | 2.3017068E-5 | 1.13015E-4 | 4.910052 | 9.0E-5 | 2.0741238E-4 | 2.8019687E-4 | 4.1016043E-4 | 1.4638295 | 1.3E-4 | 0.002072189 | 0.002833258 | 0.002972861 | 1.0492731 | 1.4E-4 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.077398E-6 | 1.20773775E-5 | 5.813704 | 1.0E-5 | 7.169782E-6 | 8.903104E-6 | 1.8903014E-5 | 2.1231937 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.0838993E-4 | 1.2838776E-4 | 1.184499 | 2.0E-5 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.0010967436 | 0.0011167217 | 1.0182158 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1487303E-7 | 3.1487303E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3494553E-6 | 1.3494553E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.642951E-5 | 1.642951E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6628111E-4 | 1.6628111E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Panamint Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3984004E-5 | 0.0015539323 | 45.725403 | 0.00152 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4563776E-4 | 0.0022753275 | 15.623197 | 0.00213 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017717272 | 0.0051357565 | 2.8987286 | 0.00337 | 0.015640736 | 0.017583862 | 0.022495942 | 1.2793517 | 0.005 |
6.1 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3984004E-5 | 0.0015539323 | 45.725403 | 0.00152 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4563776E-4 | 0.0022753275 | 15.623197 | 0.00213 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017717272 | 0.0051357565 | 2.8987286 | 0.00337 | 0.015640736 | 0.017583862 | 0.022495942 | 1.2793517 | 0.005 |
6.2 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3984004E-5 | 0.0015539323 | 45.725403 | 0.00152 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4563776E-4 | 0.0022753275 | 15.623197 | 0.00213 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017717272 | 0.0051357565 | 2.8987286 | 0.00337 | 0.015640736 | 0.017583862 | 0.022495942 | 1.2793517 | 0.005 |
6.3 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.2102194E-5 | 0.001502055 | 46.789795 | 0.00147 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.3757373E-4 | 0.0021572958 | 15.681016 | 0.00202 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016737011 | 0.0049082786 | 2.9325895 | 0.00324 | 0.01479908 | 0.0166189 | 0.021299794 | 1.2816609 | 0.00476 |
6.4 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.2102194E-5 | 0.001502055 | 46.789795 | 0.00147 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.3757373E-4 | 0.0021572958 | 15.681016 | 0.00202 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016737011 | 0.0049082786 | 2.9325895 | 0.00324 | 0.01479908 | 0.0166189 | 0.021299794 | 1.2816609 | 0.00476 |
6.5 | 2.7468774E-5 | 3.0827894E-5 | 0.0014607838 | 47.38513 | 0.00143 | 1.1771801E-4 | 1.3211301E-4 | 0.0021118515 | 15.985189 | 0.00198 | 0.0014322745 | 0.0016073164 | 0.004792189 | 2.9814844 | 0.00319 | 0.014230782 | 0.015964754 | 0.020550359 | 1.287233 | 0.00466 |
6.6 | 2.6135967E-5 | 2.9251982E-5 | 0.0013792125 | 47.14937 | 0.00135 | 1.1200648E-4 | 1.2535976E-4 | 0.001975128 | 15.755676 | 0.00185 | 0.0013628257 | 0.001525213 | 0.0045605763 | 2.9901242 | 0.00304 | 0.013544982 | 0.015155199 | 0.01952791 | 1.2885288 | 0.00444 |
6.7 | 2.4498746E-5 | 2.7340879E-5 | 0.0012173083 | 44.52338 | 0.00119 | 1.04990395E-4 | 1.1717007E-4 | 0.0017969732 | 15.3364525 | 0.00168 | 0.0012775084 | 0.0014256372 | 0.004161731 | 2.9192076 | 0.00274 | 0.012701893 | 0.014172449 | 0.018155191 | 1.2810202 | 0.00404 |
6.8 | 2.2244329E-5 | 2.4935209E-5 | 0.0010849087 | 43.50911 | 0.00106 | 9.532935E-5 | 1.0686093E-4 | 0.0016067006 | 15.035437 | 0.0015 | 0.0011600169 | 0.0013002771 | 0.0037271173 | 2.8664024 | 0.00243 | 0.011539802 | 0.012933811 | 0.016467508 | 1.2732139 | 0.00358 |
6.9 | 1.9902658E-5 | 2.2290018E-5 | 7.622735E-4 | 34.197975 | 7.4E-4 | 8.529431E-5 | 9.5525254E-5 | 0.0011654231 | 12.200156 | 0.00107 | 0.0010379635 | 0.0011624179 | 0.0029403488 | 2.5295107 | 0.00178 | 0.010331288 | 0.011569883 | 0.014169455 | 1.2246844 | 0.00263 |
7.0 | 1.8353881E-5 | 2.0565898E-5 | 5.9055415E-4 | 28.715216 | 5.7E-4 | 7.865712E-5 | 8.813668E-5 | 9.480609E-4 | 10.756712 | 8.6E-4 | 9.5722964E-4 | 0.0010725536 | 0.0025010197 | 2.3318367 | 0.00143 | 0.009531168 | 0.010680015 | 0.012787267 | 1.197308 | 0.00213 |
7.1 | 1.7667631E-5 | 1.9772282E-5 | 5.297622E-4 | 26.793175 | 5.1E-4 | 7.571623E-5 | 8.47357E-5 | 8.3467213E-4 | 9.850301 | 7.5E-4 | 9.2145515E-4 | 0.0010311864 | 0.0023098665 | 2.2400086 | 0.00128 | 0.009176437 | 0.010270224 | 0.01215071 | 1.1831008 | 0.0019 |
7.2 | 1.6381597E-5 | 1.8157898E-5 | 4.7814954E-4 | 26.332869 | 4.6E-4 | 7.020495E-5 | 7.781734E-5 | 7.277668E-4 | 9.352244 | 6.5E-4 | 8.544101E-4 | 9.470316E-4 | 0.0020359994 | 2.1498747 | 0.00109 | 0.008511325 | 0.009435871 | 0.010971245 | 1.1627167 | 0.00155 |
7.3 | 1.4520491E-5 | 1.596645E-5 | 4.1596006E-4 | 26.052132 | 4.0E-4 | 6.222919E-5 | 6.842594E-5 | 6.4838625E-4 | 9.475738 | 5.8E-4 | 7.57377E-4 | 8.3278364E-4 | 0.0017620091 | 2.1158066 | 9.3E-4 | 0.0075480095 | 0.008300997 | 0.0096298745 | 1.1600864 | 0.00134 |
7.4 | 1.2852287E-5 | 1.4145376E-5 | 4.0413986E-4 | 28.570457 | 3.9E-4 | 5.5080065E-5 | 6.062172E-5 | 6.00589E-4 | 9.907158 | 5.4E-4 | 6.7039346E-4 | 7.378353E-4 | 0.0015872081 | 2.1511686 | 8.5E-4 | 0.0066837464 | 0.007358031 | 0.008549201 | 1.1618872 | 0.0012 |
7.5 | 1.1637851E-5 | 1.2836758E-5 | 3.7283215E-4 | 29.044104 | 3.6E-4 | 4.987555E-5 | 5.5013606E-5 | 5.4498663E-4 | 9.906398 | 4.9E-4 | 6.070656E-4 | 6.696005E-4 | 0.0014690649 | 2.1939423 | 8.0E-4 | 0.006054099 | 0.006679987 | 0.0077925054 | 1.166545 | 0.00112 |
7.6 | 3.0068115E-6 | 3.3329961E-6 | 1.7333243E-4 | 52.00499 | 1.7E-4 | 1.2886271E-5 | 1.4284232E-5 | 2.3428109E-4 | 16.401379 | 2.2E-4 | 1.5687906E-4 | 1.7390393E-4 | 4.7385175E-4 | 2.7247906 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0015676835 | 0.0017402826 | 0.0021595517 | 1.2409201 | 4.2E-4 |
Owl Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.635841E-5 | 0.0014462668 | 21.79478 | 0.00138 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.8436191E-4 | 0.0021538301 | 7.574257 | 0.00187 | 0.0026222812 | 0.003457515 | 0.006347488 | 1.8358527 | 0.0029 | 0.02591553 | 0.03414095 | 0.037975408 | 1.1123127 | 0.00397 |
6.1 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.635841E-5 | 0.0014462668 | 21.79478 | 0.00138 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.8436191E-4 | 0.0021538301 | 7.574257 | 0.00187 | 0.0026222812 | 0.003457515 | 0.006347488 | 1.8358527 | 0.0029 | 0.02591553 | 0.03414095 | 0.037975408 | 1.1123127 | 0.00397 |
6.2 | 2.4125871E-5 | 3.09802E-5 | 9.509517E-4 | 30.695465 | 9.2E-4 | 1.0339249E-4 | 1.327667E-4 | 0.0013526047 | 10.187832 | 0.00122 | 0.0012580766 | 0.0016154092 | 0.003562259 | 2.2051744 | 0.00195 | 0.012509781 | 0.016070558 | 0.01870749 | 1.1640846 | 0.00268 |
6.3 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2355298E-5 | 7.2233967E-4 | 32.31179 | 7.0E-4 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.5805786E-5 | 0.0010557139 | 11.019312 | 9.6E-4 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011659492 | 0.0027241304 | 2.3364058 | 0.00156 | 0.009055373 | 0.011628982 | 0.013744095 | 1.181883 | 0.00214 |
6.4 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.2355298E-5 | 7.2233967E-4 | 32.31179 | 7.0E-4 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.5805786E-5 | 0.0010557139 | 11.019312 | 9.6E-4 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011659492 | 0.0027241304 | 2.3364058 | 0.00156 | 0.009055373 | 0.011628982 | 0.013744095 | 1.181883 | 0.00214 |
6.5 | 1.5182742E-5 | 1.9429051E-5 | 6.7941623E-4 | 34.96909 | 6.6E-4 | 6.506727E-5 | 8.3265564E-5 | 9.631923E-4 | 11.567715 | 8.8E-4 | 7.919061E-4 | 0.0010134227 | 0.0024419737 | 2.4096296 | 0.00143 | 0.0078909 | 0.010118514 | 0.012019087 | 1.1878312 | 0.00192 |
6.6 | 6.7271576E-6 | 8.547377E-6 | 5.085431E-4 | 59.496983 | 5.0E-4 | 2.8830356E-5 | 3.6631132E-5 | 6.6660804E-4 | 18.197857 | 6.3E-4 | 3.5095305E-4 | 4.4589842E-4 | 0.001435457 | 3.2192466 | 9.9E-4 | 0.0035039932 | 0.004467895 | 0.005781997 | 1.2941211 | 0.00132 |
6.7 | 6.682835E-6 | 8.47982E-6 | 5.084756E-4 | 59.963017 | 5.0E-4 | 2.8640408E-5 | 3.634161E-5 | 6.663187E-4 | 18.33487 | 6.3E-4 | 3.4864116E-4 | 4.4237493E-4 | 0.001431937 | 3.2369306 | 9.9E-4 | 0.003480947 | 0.0044328026 | 0.0057369955 | 1.2942141 | 0.00131 |
6.8 | 6.5774975E-6 | 8.326286E-6 | 5.0832215E-4 | 61.050285 | 5.0E-4 | 2.8188972E-5 | 3.5683628E-5 | 6.556615E-4 | 18.374296 | 6.2E-4 | 3.4314668E-4 | 4.343672E-4 | 0.0014139415 | 3.2551756 | 9.8E-4 | 0.0034261728 | 0.00435297 | 0.0056473115 | 1.2973467 | 0.0013 |
6.9 | 6.363419E-6 | 7.99945E-6 | 4.779957E-4 | 59.75357 | 4.7E-4 | 2.727151E-5 | 3.4282937E-5 | 6.1426306E-4 | 17.917458 | 5.8E-4 | 3.3198006E-4 | 4.173204E-4 | 0.0013569281 | 3.2515259 | 9.4E-4 | 0.0033148455 | 0.004182952 | 0.0054277233 | 1.297582 | 0.00125 |
7.0 | 6.1342453E-6 | 7.63164E-6 | 4.6762812E-4 | 61.274918 | 4.6E-4 | 2.6289357E-5 | 3.2706652E-5 | 6.02688E-4 | 18.427078 | 5.7E-4 | 3.2002592E-4 | 3.981362E-4 | 0.0013177699 | 3.3098469 | 9.2E-4 | 0.0031956544 | 0.0039916327 | 0.005216723 | 1.3069146 | 0.00123 |
7.1 | 5.842926E-6 | 7.1421773E-6 | 4.671389E-4 | 65.40567 | 4.6E-4 | 2.504087E-5 | 3.0609E-5 | 5.9059187E-4 | 19.294712 | 5.6E-4 | 3.0482994E-4 | 3.726063E-4 | 0.0012622747 | 3.3876903 | 8.9E-4 | 0.0030441214 | 0.0037371595 | 0.004892824 | 1.3092362 | 0.00116 |
7.2 | 4.77173E-6 | 5.3583553E-6 | 3.353566E-4 | 62.58573 | 3.3E-4 | 2.045011E-5 | 2.2964201E-5 | 4.1295524E-4 | 17.982565 | 3.9E-4 | 2.4895166E-4 | 2.7955734E-4 | 9.193784E-4 | 3.2886937 | 6.4E-4 | 0.0024867293 | 0.0028085853 | 0.003626282 | 1.291142 | 8.2E-4 |
7.3 | 3.0494948E-6 | 2.7102524E-6 | 1.4270988E-4 | 52.655567 | 1.4E-4 | 1.3069198E-5 | 1.1615316E-5 | 1.7161346E-4 | 14.7747555 | 1.6E-4 | 1.5910587E-4 | 1.4140746E-4 | 3.913721E-4 | 2.7676907 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0015899199 | 0.0014230711 | 0.0017526015 | 1.2315629 | 3.3E-4 |
7.4 | 2.7263884E-6 | 2.3054622E-6 | 1.0230523E-4 | 44.37515 | 1.0E-4 | 1.1684469E-5 | 9.880516E-6 | 1.2987934E-4 | 13.144996 | 1.2E-4 | 1.4224913E-4 | 1.20288736E-4 | 3.0026707E-4 | 2.4962194 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0014215811 | 0.0012110462 | 0.0014607435 | 1.2061831 | 2.5E-4 |
7.5 | 2.6090431E-6 | 2.165403E-6 | 7.2165254E-5 | 33.326477 | 7.0E-5 | 1.1181565E-5 | 9.280266E-6 | 8.927952E-5 | 9.620363 | 8.0E-5 | 1.3612706E-4 | 1.1298147E-4 | 2.4296678E-4 | 2.1505013 | 1.3E-4 | 0.001360437 | 0.0011377857 | 0.0013375581 | 1.17558 | 2.0E-4 |
7.6 | 2.3008756E-6 | 1.8725879E-6 | 6.187247E-5 | 33.04116 | 6.0E-5 | 9.860858E-6 | 8.025352E-6 | 6.802487E-5 | 8.476247 | 6.0E-5 | 1.20049335E-4 | 9.770437E-5 | 1.976946E-4 | 2.0233958 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001199845 | 9.84804E-4 | 0.0011046858 | 1.1217316 | 1.2E-4 |
7.7 | 1.7184348E-6 | 1.3417229E-6 | 2.1341695E-5 | 15.906188 | 2.0E-5 | 7.3646997E-6 | 5.7502284E-6 | 2.5750114E-5 | 4.4781027 | 2.0E-5 | 8.966153E-5 | 7.000682E-5 | 1.10004024E-4 | 1.5713329 | 4.0E-5 | 8.962536E-4 | 7.076213E-4 | 7.575859E-4 | 1.0706092 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 8.4612907E-7 | 8.404941E-7 | 2.0840478E-5 | 24.795506 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6262625E-6 | 3.6021129E-6 | 2.360204E-5 | 6.5522766 | 2.0E-5 | 4.4148852E-5 | 4.3854863E-5 | 7.3853545E-5 | 1.6840446 | 3.0E-5 | 4.414008E-4 | 4.4375105E-4 | 4.7373772E-4 | 1.0675755 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.716738E-7 | 3.767946E-7 | 2.0376787E-5 | 54.0793 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1643157E-6 | 1.614833E-6 | 2.16148E-5 | 13.385161 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4175452E-5 | 1.9660425E-5 | 4.9659837E-5 | 2.525878 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4174548E-4 | 1.981758E-4 | 2.2816985E-4 | 1.1513507 | 3.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.1995428E-8 | 3.385256E-8 | 3.385256E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.426611E-8 | 1.450824E-7 | 1.450824E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1476893E-6 | 1.7663774E-6 | 1.7663774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.14768345E-5 | 1.7869035E-5 | 1.7869035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Little Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.120563E-5 | 0.0013911632 | 44.580524 | 0.00136 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.337323E-4 | 0.0017935103 | 13.411198 | 0.00166 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016271078 | 0.0039732843 | 2.4419303 | 0.00235 | 0.014722223 | 0.016165353 | 0.019077504 | 1.1801476 | 0.00296 |
6.1 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.120563E-5 | 0.0013911632 | 44.580524 | 0.00136 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.337323E-4 | 0.0017935103 | 13.411198 | 0.00166 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016271078 | 0.0039732843 | 2.4419303 | 0.00235 | 0.014722223 | 0.016165353 | 0.019077504 | 1.1801476 | 0.00296 |
6.2 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.120563E-5 | 0.0013911632 | 44.580524 | 0.00136 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.337323E-4 | 0.0017935103 | 13.411198 | 0.00166 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016271078 | 0.0039732843 | 2.4419303 | 0.00235 | 0.014722223 | 0.016165353 | 0.019077504 | 1.1801476 | 0.00296 |
6.3 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.6081343E-5 | 6.860706E-4 | 42.662518 | 6.7E-4 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.891838E-5 | 8.9886115E-4 | 13.042401 | 8.3E-4 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.387865E-4 | 0.0019778302 | 2.3579664 | 0.00114 | 0.007737305 | 0.008359024 | 0.009737405 | 1.1648973 | 0.00139 |
6.4 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.6081343E-5 | 6.860706E-4 | 42.662518 | 6.7E-4 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.891838E-5 | 8.9886115E-4 | 13.042401 | 8.3E-4 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.387865E-4 | 0.0019778302 | 2.3579664 | 0.00114 | 0.007737305 | 0.008359024 | 0.009737405 | 1.1648973 | 0.00139 |
6.5 | 1.2797581E-5 | 1.3765525E-5 | 6.2375714E-4 | 45.312992 | 6.1E-4 | 5.4845623E-5 | 5.899392E-5 | 8.289485E-4 | 14.051423 | 7.7E-4 | 6.675408E-4 | 7.1804E-4 | 0.0017872717 | 2.4890978 | 0.00107 | 0.006655392 | 0.0071597495 | 0.008450442 | 1.1802706 | 0.0013 |
6.6 | 9.661896E-6 | 1.0289008E-5 | 5.702833E-4 | 55.426456 | 5.6E-4 | 4.1407468E-5 | 4.4095097E-5 | 7.640633E-4 | 17.327627 | 7.2E-4 | 5.040193E-4 | 5.367418E-4 | 0.0015262105 | 2.8434722 | 9.9E-4 | 0.005028777 | 0.005356059 | 0.0065496317 | 1.2228453 | 0.0012 |
6.7 | 7.767871E-6 | 8.199663E-6 | 4.6819588E-4 | 57.099407 | 4.6E-4 | 3.329045E-5 | 3.5141016E-5 | 6.451196E-4 | 18.358023 | 6.1E-4 | 4.0523586E-4 | 4.2777162E-4 | 0.001277408 | 2.9861917 | 8.5E-4 | 0.004044977 | 0.0042708335 | 0.005316349 | 1.2448037 | 0.00105 |
6.8 | 6.4235196E-6 | 6.735724E-6 | 4.1673298E-4 | 61.869064 | 4.1E-4 | 2.752908E-5 | 2.8867142E-5 | 5.088533E-4 | 17.627422 | 4.8E-4 | 3.35115E-4 | 3.5141362E-4 | 0.0010411711 | 2.9628081 | 6.9E-4 | 0.003346101 | 0.0035098395 | 0.004366821 | 1.2441654 | 8.6E-4 |
6.9 | 3.1283696E-6 | 3.11217E-6 | 1.9311158E-4 | 62.050465 | 1.9E-4 | 1.3407229E-5 | 1.3337811E-5 | 2.533346E-4 | 18.993717 | 2.4E-4 | 1.6322079E-4 | 1.6237726E-4 | 4.723269E-4 | 2.9088244 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0016310095 | 0.0016227345 | 0.002032069 | 1.25225 | 4.1E-4 |
7.0 | 2.290603E-6 | 2.2286722E-6 | 1.4222835E-4 | 63.81753 | 1.4E-4 | 9.816834E-6 | 9.551423E-6 | 1.795498E-4 | 18.798225 | 1.7E-4 | 1.19513395E-4 | 1.16283416E-4 | 3.1626015E-4 | 2.7197359 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0011944914 | 0.0011623278 | 0.0014220256 | 1.2234291 | 2.6E-4 |
7.1 | 1.293693E-6 | 1.1776749E-6 | 7.1177594E-5 | 60.43908 | 7.0E-5 | 5.5443866E-6 | 5.0471726E-6 | 8.504677E-5 | 16.850378 | 8.0E-5 | 6.750081E-5 | 6.144829E-5 | 1.5144276E-4 | 2.464556 | 9.0E-5 | 6.7480316E-4 | 6.143815E-4 | 7.243139E-4 | 1.1789318 | 1.1E-4 |
7.2 | 4.715842E-7 | 3.0917207E-7 | 3.0917207E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0210737E-6 | 1.3250225E-6 | 1.3250225E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4606294E-5 | 1.6132035E-5 | 1.6132035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.460357E-4 | 1.6130917E-4 | 1.6130917E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.9430947E-7 | 2.3096845E-7 | 2.3096845E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6898966E-6 | 9.898645E-7 | 9.898645E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0574296E-5 | 1.2051533E-5 | 1.2051533E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0572392E-4 | 1.2050887E-4 | 1.2050887E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.547123E-7 | 1.9678492E-7 | 1.9678492E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5201948E-6 | 8.433637E-7 | 8.433637E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8508214E-5 | 1.0267905E-5 | 1.0267905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8506673E-4 | 1.0267437E-4 | 1.0267437E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.6354266E-7 | 1.442265E-7 | 1.442265E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.129468E-6 | 6.1811346E-7 | 6.1811346E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3751187E-5 | 7.525506E-6 | 7.525506E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3750336E-4 | 7.525257E-5 | 7.525257E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.269913E-7 | 7.572318E-8 | 7.572318E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4424834E-7 | 3.2452786E-7 | 3.2452786E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6262032E-6 | 3.95112E-6 | 3.95112E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.626006E-5 | 3.9510534E-5 | 3.9510534E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlock (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.290427E-5 | 7.5286085E-4 | 11.968358 | 6.9E-4 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.695644E-4 | 0.0012692949 | 4.7086887 | 0.001 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0032774536 | 0.0049120784 | 1.4987484 | 0.00164 | 0.023254504 | 0.03235496 | 0.034793425 | 1.075366 | 0.00252 |
6.1 | 4.5092507E-5 | 6.290427E-5 | 7.5286085E-4 | 11.968358 | 6.9E-4 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.695644E-4 | 0.0012692949 | 4.7086887 | 0.001 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0032774536 | 0.0049120784 | 1.4987484 | 0.00164 | 0.023254504 | 0.03235496 | 0.034793425 | 1.075366 | 0.00252 |
6.2 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4511064E-5 | 5.044948E-4 | 14.618351 | 4.7E-4 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4789637E-4 | 8.677899E-4 | 5.8675537 | 7.2E-4 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0017991841 | 0.002877241 | 1.5991921 | 0.00108 | 0.01382215 | 0.017874004 | 0.019435585 | 1.087366 | 0.00159 |
6.3 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.4511064E-5 | 5.044948E-4 | 14.618351 | 4.7E-4 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.4789637E-4 | 8.677899E-4 | 5.8675537 | 7.2E-4 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0017991841 | 0.002877241 | 1.5991921 | 0.00108 | 0.01382215 | 0.017874004 | 0.019435585 | 1.087366 | 0.00159 |
6.4 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2339947E-5 | 4.9232505E-4 | 15.223435 | 4.6E-4 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3859257E-4 | 8.484942E-4 | 6.1222196 | 7.1E-4 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016860879 | 0.0027343177 | 1.6216933 | 0.00105 | 0.013121112 | 0.016773503 | 0.018297505 | 1.0908576 | 0.00155 |
6.5 | 2.5312667E-5 | 3.2339947E-5 | 4.9232505E-4 | 15.223435 | 4.6E-4 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.3859257E-4 | 8.484942E-4 | 6.1222196 | 7.1E-4 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0016860879 | 0.0027343177 | 1.6216933 | 0.00105 | 0.013121112 | 0.016773503 | 0.018297505 | 1.0908576 | 0.00155 |
6.6 | 2.246556E-5 | 2.8134184E-5 | 4.3812266E-4 | 15.572609 | 4.1E-4 | 9.627742E-5 | 1.2056964E-4 | 7.8049005E-4 | 6.473355 | 6.6E-4 | 0.0011715472 | 0.0014669704 | 0.002455518 | 1.6738702 | 9.9E-4 | 0.011653901 | 0.014614102 | 0.016042912 | 1.0977693 | 0.00145 |
6.7 | 2.2241198E-5 | 2.7803926E-5 | 4.3779254E-4 | 15.745708 | 4.1E-4 | 9.531594E-5 | 1.1915438E-4 | 7.790757E-4 | 6.538373 | 6.6E-4 | 0.0011598538 | 0.0014497626 | 0.0024383273 | 1.6818804 | 9.9E-4 | 0.011538187 | 0.014443748 | 0.015872804 | 1.0989394 | 0.00145 |
6.8 | 1.9528685E-5 | 2.3898472E-5 | 4.1388915E-4 | 17.318645 | 3.9E-4 | 8.369167E-5 | 1.0241811E-4 | 7.1235566E-4 | 6.9553676 | 6.1E-4 | 0.0010184698 | 0.0012462469 | 0.0021651003 | 1.7372965 | 9.2E-4 | 0.010138147 | 0.012437571 | 0.013780656 | 1.1079861 | 0.00136 |
6.9 | 1.3318621E-5 | 1.5198411E-5 | 3.651931E-4 | 24.028372 | 3.5E-4 | 5.7078556E-5 | 6.513445E-5 | 6.050993E-4 | 9.290003 | 5.4E-4 | 6.9470983E-4 | 7.9272914E-4 | 0.0015421347 | 1.9453486 | 7.5E-4 | 0.0069254204 | 0.007940531 | 0.009041717 | 1.1386791 | 0.00111 |
7.0 | 1.1760853E-5 | 1.3107256E-5 | 3.531028E-4 | 26.939491 | 3.4E-4 | 5.0402683E-5 | 5.6172772E-5 | 5.86143E-4 | 10.434647 | 5.3E-4 | 6.134799E-4 | 6.836939E-4 | 0.0013932085 | 2.0377665 | 7.1E-4 | 0.0061178906 | 0.006857147 | 0.007870153 | 1.1477299 | 0.00102 |
7.1 | 1.0064758E-5 | 1.0902388E-5 | 3.308989E-4 | 30.35105 | 3.2E-4 | 4.3133965E-5 | 4.67237E-5 | 5.267013E-4 | 11.272678 | 4.8E-4 | 5.2502943E-4 | 5.687161E-4 | 0.0012283408 | 2.1598487 | 6.6E-4 | 0.005237907 | 0.0057130987 | 0.006627843 | 1.1601135 | 9.2E-4 |
7.2 | 9.768808E-6 | 1.049826E-5 | 3.2049502E-4 | 30.528395 | 3.1E-4 | 4.186565E-5 | 4.4991786E-5 | 5.149706E-4 | 11.445882 | 4.7E-4 | 5.095951E-4 | 5.476408E-4 | 0.0011872903 | 2.1680093 | 6.4E-4 | 0.0050842804 | 0.0055033076 | 0.0063983547 | 1.1626381 | 9.0E-4 |
7.3 | 9.344516E-6 | 9.943912E-6 | 2.8994112E-4 | 29.157652 | 2.8E-4 | 4.004731E-5 | 4.261609E-5 | 4.7259778E-4 | 11.089656 | 4.3E-4 | 4.8746695E-4 | 5.1873084E-4 | 0.0011184196 | 2.1560693 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0048639905 | 0.0052149626 | 0.006030686 | 1.1564199 | 8.2E-4 |
7.4 | 9.023491E-6 | 9.490095E-6 | 2.7948755E-4 | 29.450445 | 2.7E-4 | 3.867153E-5 | 4.067122E-5 | 4.4065496E-4 | 10.834564 | 4.0E-4 | 4.7072413E-4 | 4.9506297E-4 | 0.0010547857 | 2.1306093 | 5.6E-4 | 0.004697283 | 0.004978356 | 0.0057345727 | 1.1519009 | 7.6E-4 |
7.5 | 7.081253E-6 | 7.0870797E-6 | 1.7708588E-4 | 24.987144 | 1.7E-4 | 3.0347876E-5 | 3.0372848E-5 | 2.3036677E-4 | 7.5846286 | 2.0E-4 | 3.6942272E-4 | 3.697274E-4 | 6.596202E-4 | 1.7840717 | 2.9E-4 | 0.003688092 | 0.0037239692 | 0.004102554 | 1.1016617 | 3.8E-4 |
7.6 | 6.116396E-6 | 5.958634E-6 | 1.0595804E-4 | 17.782269 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6212863E-5 | 2.5536756E-5 | 1.4553369E-4 | 5.698989 | 1.2E-4 | 3.1909486E-4 | 3.108659E-4 | 4.7081616E-4 | 1.5145314 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0031863707 | 0.003135549 | 0.0033747964 | 1.0763016 | 2.4E-4 |
7.7 | 4.797145E-6 | 4.7568233E-6 | 3.4756682E-5 | 7.3067 | 3.0E-5 | 2.055903E-5 | 2.0386226E-5 | 6.038541E-5 | 2.962069 | 4.0E-5 | 2.5027743E-4 | 2.4817415E-4 | 3.181568E-4 | 1.2819899 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0024999576 | 0.0025091725 | 0.0026089216 | 1.0397538 | 1.0E-4 |
7.8 | 3.4028885E-6 | 3.9781057E-6 | 3.3977987E-5 | 8.541247 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4583726E-5 | 1.7048915E-5 | 4.7048405E-5 | 2.7596128 | 3.0E-5 | 1.775424E-4 | 2.0755084E-4 | 2.675384E-4 | 1.2890258 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0017740062 | 0.002101066 | 0.0021808979 | 1.0379959 | 8.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.5928412E-6 | 3.3722088E-6 | 2.3372142E-5 | 6.930811 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1112129E-5 | 1.4452244E-5 | 3.4451954E-5 | 2.3838482 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3528178E-4 | 1.7594192E-4 | 2.2593312E-4 | 1.2841347 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0013519945 | 0.0017811462 | 0.0018410393 | 1.0336262 | 6.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.3743648E-6 | 1.673372E-6 | 1.1673355E-5 | 6.975948 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8901214E-6 | 7.1715745E-6 | 1.7171504E-5 | 2.394384 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1709874E-5 | 8.731045E-5 | 1.07308704E-4 | 1.2290477 | 2.0E-5 | 7.1686733E-4 | 8.8365114E-4 | 9.036335E-4 | 1.0226134 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1487303E-7 | 3.1487303E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3494553E-6 | 1.3494553E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.642951E-5 | 1.642951E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6628111E-4 | 1.6628111E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Blackwater
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.309578E-5 | 9.2306634E-4 | 27.890757 | 8.9E-4 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4183212E-4 | 0.0011516889 | 8.120086 | 0.00101 | 0.0016010714 | 0.001725575 | 0.003322814 | 1.9256272 | 0.0016 | 0.015895851 | 0.017135598 | 0.019268414 | 1.124467 | 0.00217 |
6.1 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.309578E-5 | 9.2306634E-4 | 27.890757 | 8.9E-4 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.4183212E-4 | 0.0011516889 | 8.120086 | 0.00101 | 0.0016010714 | 0.001725575 | 0.003322814 | 1.9256272 | 0.0016 | 0.015895851 | 0.017135598 | 0.019268414 | 1.124467 | 0.00217 |
6.2 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2545098E-5 | 3.625407E-4 | 28.898993 | 3.5E-4 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.376365E-5 | 4.437427E-4 | 8.253581 | 3.9E-4 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.543855E-4 | 0.0012839732 | 1.9621053 | 6.3E-4 | 0.006090366 | 0.006525557 | 0.0073799454 | 1.1309295 | 8.6E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2545098E-5 | 3.625407E-4 | 28.898993 | 3.5E-4 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.376365E-5 | 4.437427E-4 | 8.253581 | 3.9E-4 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.543855E-4 | 0.0012839732 | 1.9621053 | 6.3E-4 | 0.006090366 | 0.006525557 | 0.0073799454 | 1.1309295 | 8.6E-4 |
6.4 | 7.929244E-6 | 8.480082E-6 | 2.3847813E-4 | 28.122149 | 2.3E-4 | 3.3982033E-5 | 3.6342728E-5 | 3.0633292E-4 | 8.429002 | 2.7E-4 | 4.136527E-4 | 4.423869E-4 | 8.721967E-4 | 1.9715699 | 4.3E-4 | 0.0041288356 | 0.004415468 | 0.0049630394 | 1.1240121 | 5.5E-4 |
6.5 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.2859795E-6 | 1.5628504E-4 | 24.86248 | 1.5E-4 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6939648E-5 | 1.9693507E-4 | 7.3102317 | 1.7E-4 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.279434E-4 | 6.178483E-4 | 1.884009 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032748478 | 0.0036436361 | 1.1126124 | 3.7E-4 |
6.6 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.2859795E-6 | 1.5628504E-4 | 24.86248 | 1.5E-4 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.6939648E-5 | 1.9693507E-4 | 7.3102317 | 1.7E-4 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.279434E-4 | 6.178483E-4 | 1.884009 | 2.9E-4 | 0.0030650778 | 0.0032748478 | 0.0036436361 | 1.1126124 | 3.7E-4 |
6.7 | 3.0715053E-6 | 3.2814603E-6 | 4.328133E-5 | 13.189655 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3163528E-5 | 1.4063332E-5 | 5.406277E-5 | 3.8442361 | 4.0E-5 | 1.6025416E-4 | 1.7120877E-4 | 2.8118995E-4 | 1.6423805 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0016013865 | 0.0017108832 | 0.0018406608 | 1.0758542 | 1.3E-4 |
6.8 | 2.2722281E-6 | 2.4287492E-6 | 3.2428678E-5 | 13.352007 | 3.0E-5 | 9.738084E-6 | 1.0408889E-5 | 4.0408577E-5 | 3.882122 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1855473E-4 | 1.2672177E-4 | 2.267091E-4 | 1.7890304 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001184915 | 0.0012665853 | 0.0013864333 | 1.094623 | 1.2E-4 |
6.9 | 9.952399E-7 | 1.0653469E-6 | 1.1065336E-5 | 10.386604 | 1.0E-5 | 4.265307E-6 | 4.565767E-6 | 1.4565721E-5 | 3.1902025 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1928873E-5 | 5.5587312E-5 | 7.55862E-5 | 1.3597744 | 2.0E-5 | 5.191674E-4 | 5.5578473E-4 | 5.85768E-4 | 1.0539477 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.7385504E-7 | 5.07555E-7 | 5.07555E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0308057E-6 | 2.1752357E-6 | 2.1752357E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4724779E-5 | 2.6483494E-5 | 3.648323E-5 | 1.3775836 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4722028E-4 | 2.6483493E-4 | 2.748323E-4 | 1.0377494 | 1.0E-5 |
Ash Hill
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.31944E-5 | 6.131807E-4 | 26.436584 | 5.9E-4 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.940123E-5 | 9.1931975E-4 | 9.248574 | 8.2E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.001209618 | 0.0024880697 | 2.0569053 | 0.00128 | 0.011179381 | 0.012038324 | 0.013777137 | 1.1444397 | 0.00176 |
6.1 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.31944E-5 | 6.131807E-4 | 26.436584 | 5.9E-4 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.940123E-5 | 9.1931975E-4 | 9.248574 | 8.2E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.001209618 | 0.0024880697 | 2.0569053 | 0.00128 | 0.011179381 | 0.012038324 | 0.013777137 | 1.1444397 | 0.00176 |
6.2 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.31944E-5 | 6.131807E-4 | 26.436584 | 5.9E-4 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.940123E-5 | 9.1931975E-4 | 9.248574 | 8.2E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.001209618 | 0.0024880697 | 2.0569053 | 0.00128 | 0.011179381 | 0.012038324 | 0.013777137 | 1.1444397 | 0.00176 |
6.3 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0746914E-5 | 2.0074488E-4 | 18.679304 | 1.9E-4 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.6057463E-5 | 3.560432E-4 | 7.7304125 | 3.1E-4 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.606186E-4 | 0.0010603382 | 1.891372 | 5.0E-4 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055933557 | 0.00628944 | 1.1244485 | 7.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0746914E-5 | 2.0074488E-4 | 18.679304 | 1.9E-4 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.6057463E-5 | 3.560432E-4 | 7.7304125 | 3.1E-4 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.606186E-4 | 0.0010603382 | 1.891372 | 5.0E-4 | 0.005217545 | 0.0055933557 | 0.00628944 | 1.1244485 | 7.0E-4 |
6.5 | 6.9617327E-6 | 7.45662E-6 | 8.745602E-5 | 11.7286415 | 8.0E-5 | 2.9835655E-5 | 3.19566E-5 | 1.9195149E-4 | 6.0066304 | 1.6E-4 | 3.6318856E-4 | 3.8901082E-4 | 6.888941E-4 | 1.7708868 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0036259557 | 0.003884153 | 0.004322444 | 1.1128408 | 4.4E-4 |
6.6 | 4.9919777E-6 | 5.3466783E-6 | 6.534636E-5 | 12.221861 | 6.0E-5 | 2.1394015E-5 | 2.2914171E-5 | 1.5291119E-4 | 6.673215 | 1.3E-4 | 2.60441E-4 | 2.7895102E-4 | 4.9888965E-4 | 1.7884489 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0026013597 | 0.0027866673 | 0.0031157478 | 1.118091 | 3.3E-4 |
6.7 | 3.6630722E-6 | 3.924616E-6 | 3.3924498E-5 | 8.64403 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5698786E-5 | 1.6819708E-5 | 9.681836E-5 | 5.756245 | 8.0E-5 | 1.9111596E-4 | 2.0476643E-4 | 3.6473369E-4 | 1.781218 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0019095168 | 0.0020463406 | 0.0022858495 | 1.1170425 | 2.4E-4 |
6.8 | 2.5599613E-6 | 2.7449198E-6 | 3.2744836E-5 | 11.929251 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0971216E-5 | 1.17639165E-5 | 8.176309E-5 | 6.950329 | 7.0E-5 | 1.3356637E-4 | 1.4322122E-4 | 2.6320404E-4 | 1.8377447 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0013348613 | 0.0014317741 | 0.0015815594 | 1.1046151 | 1.5E-4 |
6.9 | 1.7684905E-6 | 1.896867E-6 | 3.189681E-5 | 16.815523 | 3.0E-5 | 7.579223E-6 | 8.12943E-6 | 5.8129022E-5 | 7.1504426 | 5.0E-5 | 9.2273134E-5 | 9.897581E-5 | 1.8896691E-4 | 1.9092231 | 9.0E-5 | 9.223483E-4 | 9.897582E-4 | 0.0011096394 | 1.1211218 | 1.2E-4 |
Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.4568674E-5 | 5.445419E-4 | 9.979021 | 4.9E-4 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3384552E-4 | 9.0368884E-4 | 3.8644693 | 6.7E-4 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028435262 | 0.0038506542 | 1.3541827 | 0.00101 | 0.023260195 | 0.028093081 | 0.02946347 | 1.0487803 | 0.00141 |
6.1 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.4568674E-5 | 5.445419E-4 | 9.979021 | 4.9E-4 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3384552E-4 | 9.0368884E-4 | 3.8644693 | 6.7E-4 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028435262 | 0.0038506542 | 1.3541827 | 0.00101 | 0.023260195 | 0.028093081 | 0.02946347 | 1.0487803 | 0.00141 |
6.2 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.7062385E-5 | 5.270398E-4 | 11.198749 | 4.8E-4 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.0168122E-4 | 8.615481E-4 | 4.271831 | 6.6E-4 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024528366 | 0.0034503837 | 1.4066912 | 0.001 | 0.020330196 | 0.024274675 | 0.02564069 | 1.0562732 | 0.0014 |
6.3 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.7062385E-5 | 5.270398E-4 | 11.198749 | 4.8E-4 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.0168122E-4 | 8.615481E-4 | 4.271831 | 6.6E-4 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024528366 | 0.0034503837 | 1.4066912 | 0.001 | 0.020330196 | 0.024274675 | 0.02564069 | 1.0562732 | 0.0014 |
6.4 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.7950864E-5 | 4.8793378E-4 | 12.856987 | 4.5E-4 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6263683E-4 | 7.925344E-4 | 4.873031 | 6.3E-4 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0019783739 | 0.0029464548 | 1.4893317 | 9.7E-4 | 0.016718714 | 0.019617645 | 0.020950964 | 1.0679654 | 0.00136 |
6.5 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.7950864E-5 | 4.8793378E-4 | 12.856987 | 4.5E-4 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6263683E-4 | 7.925344E-4 | 4.873031 | 6.3E-4 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0019783739 | 0.0029464548 | 1.4893317 | 9.7E-4 | 0.016718714 | 0.019617645 | 0.020950964 | 1.0679654 | 0.00136 |
6.6 | 2.9305844E-5 | 3.4181736E-5 | 4.741667E-4 | 13.871932 | 4.4E-4 | 1.2559042E-4 | 1.4648527E-4 | 7.663944E-4 | 5.2318873 | 6.2E-4 | 0.0015279909 | 0.0017820608 | 0.00274035 | 1.5377421 | 9.6E-4 | 0.015175272 | 0.017686864 | 0.019012988 | 1.0749779 | 0.00135 |
6.7 | 2.7826512E-5 | 3.2344138E-5 | 4.723299E-4 | 14.603262 | 4.4E-4 | 1.19251024E-4 | 1.386107E-4 | 7.5852475E-4 | 5.4723387 | 6.2E-4 | 0.0014509142 | 0.0016863393 | 0.0026447205 | 1.5683205 | 9.6E-4 | 0.014414776 | 0.016744364 | 0.01807176 | 1.0792742 | 0.00135 |
6.8 | 2.3389874E-5 | 2.686661E-5 | 4.5685505E-4 | 17.004566 | 4.3E-4 | 1.0023846E-4 | 1.15137795E-4 | 7.2506757E-4 | 6.2973895 | 6.1E-4 | 0.00121972 | 0.0014009486 | 0.0023496177 | 1.6771619 | 9.5E-4 | 0.01213047 | 0.013928632 | 0.0152499685 | 1.0948647 | 0.00134 |
6.9 | 2.069209E-5 | 2.3569948E-5 | 4.535598E-4 | 19.243141 | 4.3E-4 | 8.867737E-5 | 1.0101035E-4 | 7.109487E-4 | 7.038375 | 6.1E-4 | 0.0010791123 | 0.0012291434 | 0.0021679879 | 1.7638203 | 9.4E-4 | 0.010738871 | 0.012229734 | 0.013543468 | 1.1074214 | 0.00133 |
7.0 | 1.7462342E-5 | 1.9633484E-5 | 4.2962545E-4 | 21.882282 | 4.1E-4 | 7.483646E-5 | 8.414092E-5 | 6.740913E-4 | 8.0114565 | 5.9E-4 | 9.1075303E-4 | 0.0010239568 | 0.0019330251 | 1.8877994 | 9.1E-4 | 0.009070295 | 0.010197277 | 0.01148402 | 1.126185 | 0.0013 |
7.1 | 1.4807709E-5 | 1.6441705E-5 | 4.1643513E-4 | 25.327978 | 4.0E-4 | 6.3460066E-5 | 7.0462636E-5 | 6.4042246E-4 | 9.088823 | 5.7E-4 | 7.723524E-4 | 8.575615E-4 | 0.0017467983 | 2.0369365 | 8.9E-4 | 0.007696735 | 0.008546768 | 0.009815827 | 1.1484842 | 0.00128 |
7.2 | 1.4180048E-5 | 1.5698295E-5 | 4.1569202E-4 | 26.480074 | 4.0E-4 | 6.077022E-5 | 6.7276764E-5 | 6.3723844E-4 | 9.471894 | 5.7E-4 | 7.396263E-4 | 8.18803E-4 | 0.0016980824 | 2.0738597 | 8.8E-4 | 0.0073716943 | 0.008162071 | 0.009411787 | 1.1531125 | 0.00126 |
7.3 | 1.3730402E-5 | 1.5172035E-5 | 4.1516597E-4 | 27.363895 | 4.0E-4 | 5.8843252E-5 | 6.502148E-5 | 6.349844E-4 | 9.765764 | 5.7E-4 | 7.161811E-4 | 7.9136505E-4 | 0.0016706686 | 2.1111226 | 8.8E-4 | 0.007138774 | 0.007889661 | 0.00913972 | 1.1584426 | 0.00126 |
7.4 | 1.2810095E-5 | 1.4109242E-5 | 4.0410375E-4 | 28.641068 | 3.9E-4 | 5.489925E-5 | 6.0466868E-5 | 6.004342E-4 | 9.929971 | 5.4E-4 | 6.681934E-4 | 7.3595124E-4 | 0.0015853257 | 2.1541178 | 8.5E-4 | 0.006661878 | 0.0073392955 | 0.008530488 | 1.1623034 | 0.0012 |
7.5 | 1.1595659E-5 | 1.2800624E-5 | 3.7279603E-4 | 29.12327 | 3.6E-4 | 4.9694736E-5 | 5.4858752E-5 | 5.4483186E-4 | 9.93154 | 4.9E-4 | 6.0486543E-4 | 6.677163E-4 | 0.0014671821 | 2.1973135 | 8.0E-4 | 0.006032217 | 0.006661239 | 0.0077737784 | 1.1670169 | 0.00112 |
7.6 | 2.997694E-6 | 3.3251215E-6 | 1.7332456E-4 | 52.125782 | 1.7E-4 | 1.28471975E-5 | 1.4250483E-5 | 2.3424735E-4 | 16.437853 | 2.2E-4 | 1.564034E-4 | 1.734931E-4 | 4.7344106E-4 | 2.7288754 | 3.0E-4 | 0.0015629337 | 0.0017361854 | 0.0021554562 | 1.2414896 | 4.2E-4 |
Gravel Hills-Harper Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.146452E-5 | 4.6145098E-4 | 14.665757 | 4.3E-4 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.348422E-4 | 7.747559E-4 | 5.745649 | 6.4E-4 | 0.0015995599 | 0.0016406843 | 0.002559175 | 1.5598216 | 9.2E-4 | 0.015880952 | 0.016307283 | 0.01752706 | 1.0747997 | 0.00124 |
6.1 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.146452E-5 | 4.6145098E-4 | 14.665757 | 4.3E-4 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.348422E-4 | 7.747559E-4 | 5.745649 | 6.4E-4 | 0.0015995599 | 0.0016406843 | 0.002559175 | 1.5598216 | 9.2E-4 | 0.015880952 | 0.016307283 | 0.01752706 | 1.0747997 | 0.00124 |
6.2 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.3635164E-5 | 1.6363311E-4 | 12.000818 | 1.5E-4 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.8435176E-5 | 2.684229E-4 | 4.593516 | 2.1E-4 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.112279E-4 | 0.0010210074 | 1.4355559 | 3.1E-4 | 0.007871548 | 0.007090718 | 0.00750774 | 1.0588124 | 4.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.3635164E-5 | 1.6363311E-4 | 12.000818 | 1.5E-4 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.8435176E-5 | 2.684229E-4 | 4.593516 | 2.1E-4 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.112279E-4 | 0.0010210074 | 1.4355559 | 3.1E-4 | 0.007871548 | 0.007090718 | 0.00750774 | 1.0588124 | 4.2E-4 |
6.4 | 1.2532521E-5 | 1.0689658E-5 | 1.3068838E-4 | 12.225684 | 1.2E-4 | 5.37097E-5 | 4.581205E-5 | 2.0580471E-4 | 4.492371 | 1.6E-4 | 6.537194E-4 | 5.5762473E-4 | 8.0748537E-4 | 1.4480802 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0065179965 | 0.0055628456 | 0.0058711213 | 1.0554168 | 3.1E-4 |
6.5 | 1.1094058E-5 | 9.083636E-6 | 1.1908264E-4 | 13.109579 | 1.1E-4 | 4.7545094E-5 | 3.8929305E-5 | 1.8892347E-4 | 4.8529882 | 1.5E-4 | 5.787078E-4 | 4.7386528E-4 | 7.1375153E-4 | 1.5062331 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0057720304 | 0.0047289557 | 0.004997679 | 1.056825 | 2.7E-4 |
6.6 | 9.688328E-6 | 7.531671E-6 | 6.753122E-5 | 8.966299 | 6.0E-5 | 4.1520743E-5 | 3.2278207E-5 | 1.222753E-4 | 3.7881691 | 9.0E-5 | 5.053978E-4 | 3.9291885E-4 | 5.228678E-4 | 1.3307271 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0050424994 | 0.003922498 | 0.0040818704 | 1.0406303 | 1.6E-4 |
6.7 | 8.974824E-6 | 6.749391E-6 | 4.6749123E-5 | 6.9264207 | 4.0E-5 | 3.8462964E-5 | 2.8925653E-5 | 8.8923916E-5 | 3.0742233 | 6.0E-5 | 4.6818596E-4 | 3.5211514E-4 | 4.3208696E-4 | 1.2271184 | 8.0E-5 | 0.004672008 | 0.0035157932 | 0.0036154415 | 1.0283431 | 1.0E-4 |
6.8 | 7.4780046E-6 | 5.1161755E-6 | 2.5116073E-5 | 4.90915 | 2.0E-5 | 3.20482E-5 | 2.192629E-5 | 5.1925632E-5 | 2.3681905 | 3.0E-5 | 3.9011694E-4 | 2.6692127E-4 | 3.0691057E-4 | 1.1498169 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0038943281 | 0.0026661449 | 0.0027160116 | 1.0187037 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.3409307E-6 | 3.9074807E-6 | 1.3907442E-5 | 3.5591838 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7175134E-5 | 1.6746244E-5 | 2.6746076E-5 | 1.5971389 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3080703E-4 | 2.0386743E-4 | 2.138654E-4 | 1.0490415 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033031502 | 0.0020369024 | 0.002046882 | 1.0048994 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.1239335E-6 | 2.6058435E-6 | 1.2605818E-5 | 4.8375187 | 1.0E-5 | 2.195953E-5 | 1.1167855E-5 | 2.1167743E-5 | 1.8954171 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6732447E-4 | 1.359604E-4 | 1.4595904E-4 | 1.0735408 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026700313 | 0.0013587974 | 0.0013687839 | 1.0073495 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.438899E-6 | 2.0984642E-6 | 2.0984642E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9023713E-5 | 8.993388E-6 | 8.993388E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.315891E-4 | 1.0948922E-4 | 1.0948922E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002313479 | 0.0010943746 | 0.0010943746 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.50367E-6 | 1.2615674E-6 | 1.2615674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5015643E-5 | 5.406707E-6 | 5.406707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8280011E-4 | 6.582475E-5 | 6.582475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264982 | 6.580607E-4 | 6.580607E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.561638E-6 | 7.1186463E-7 | 7.1186463E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0978401E-5 | 3.050845E-6 | 3.050845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3365384E-4 | 3.7143425E-5 | 3.7143425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013357349 | 3.7137416E-4 | 3.7137416E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0368864E-6 | 5.304434E-7 | 5.304434E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.729483E-6 | 2.273327E-6 | 2.273327E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06276275E-4 | 2.767741E-5 | 2.767741E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010622547 | 2.7674017E-4 | 2.7674017E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6028206E-7 | 3.6028206E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5440651E-6 | 1.5440651E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.8798835E-5 | 1.8798835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8797291E-4 | 1.8797291E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.1196375E-8 | 7.1196375E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.051273E-7 | 3.051273E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.71492E-6 | 3.71492E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.7148737E-5 | 3.7148737E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Airport Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103137E-5 | 4.6309724E-4 | 35.342472 | 4.5E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615525E-5 | 6.66121E-4 | 11.862132 | 6.1E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835041E-4 | 0.0015728958 | 2.3012235 | 8.9E-4 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168286 | 0.007919262 | 1.1617223 | 0.00111 |
6.1 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103137E-5 | 4.6309724E-4 | 35.342472 | 4.5E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615525E-5 | 6.66121E-4 | 11.862132 | 6.1E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835041E-4 | 0.0015728958 | 2.3012235 | 8.9E-4 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168286 | 0.007919262 | 1.1617223 | 0.00111 |
6.2 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103137E-5 | 4.6309724E-4 | 35.342472 | 4.5E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615525E-5 | 6.66121E-4 | 11.862132 | 6.1E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835041E-4 | 0.0015728958 | 2.3012235 | 8.9E-4 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168286 | 0.007919262 | 1.1617223 | 0.00111 |
6.3 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103137E-5 | 4.6309724E-4 | 35.342472 | 4.5E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615525E-5 | 6.66121E-4 | 11.862132 | 6.1E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835041E-4 | 0.0015728958 | 2.3012235 | 8.9E-4 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168286 | 0.007919262 | 1.1617223 | 0.00111 |
6.4 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3103137E-5 | 4.6309724E-4 | 35.342472 | 4.5E-4 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.615525E-5 | 6.66121E-4 | 11.862132 | 6.1E-4 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.835041E-4 | 0.0015728958 | 2.3012235 | 8.9E-4 | 0.0064425888 | 0.0068168286 | 0.007919262 | 1.1617223 | 0.00111 |
6.5 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.384914E-6 | 3.7738218E-4 | 51.10177 | 3.7E-4 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.1649277E-5 | 5.216338E-4 | 16.481695 | 4.9E-4 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8526725E-4 | 0.0010849976 | 2.8162205 | 7.0E-4 | 0.003641826 | 0.0038465308 | 0.004703223 | 1.2227181 | 8.6E-4 |
6.6 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.384914E-6 | 3.7738218E-4 | 51.10177 | 3.7E-4 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.1649277E-5 | 5.216338E-4 | 16.481695 | 4.9E-4 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8526725E-4 | 0.0010849976 | 2.8162205 | 7.0E-4 | 0.003641826 | 0.0038465308 | 0.004703223 | 1.2227181 | 8.6E-4 |
6.7 | 5.477277E-6 | 5.78606E-6 | 3.257842E-4 | 56.30502 | 3.2E-4 | 2.3473833E-5 | 2.4797186E-5 | 4.5478652E-4 | 18.340248 | 4.3E-4 | 2.8575645E-4 | 3.0186778E-4 | 8.816927E-4 | 2.920791 | 5.8E-4 | 0.0028538927 | 0.0030149613 | 0.0037327905 | 1.2380891 | 7.2E-4 |
6.8 | 3.9950432E-6 | 4.219081E-6 | 2.842179E-4 | 67.36488 | 2.8E-4 | 1.7121502E-5 | 1.8081664E-5 | 3.480757E-4 | 19.250202 | 3.3E-4 | 2.0843433E-4 | 2.2012478E-4 | 6.700257E-4 | 3.043845 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0020823893 | 0.0021993385 | 0.0027880408 | 1.2676725 | 5.9E-4 |
6.9 | 2.95695E-6 | 3.1230197E-6 | 2.3312231E-4 | 74.64644 | 2.3E-4 | 1.2672582E-5 | 1.3384314E-5 | 2.833807E-4 | 21.172598 | 2.7E-4 | 1.5427776E-4 | 1.629441E-4 | 5.428822E-4 | 3.3317082 | 3.8E-4 | 0.001541707 | 0.0016284687 | 0.0021376382 | 1.3126676 | 5.1E-4 |
7.0 | 1.456072E-6 | 1.5408096E-6 | 1.3154061E-4 | 85.3711 | 1.3E-4 | 6.2402937E-6 | 6.6034586E-6 | 1.5660247E-4 | 23.71522 | 1.5E-4 | 7.597293E-5 | 8.0395155E-5 | 2.6038068E-4 | 3.238761 | 1.8E-4 | 7.594696E-4 | 8.0375955E-4 | 0.0010335747 | 1.2859253 | 2.3E-4 |
7.1 | 6.995192E-7 | 7.4089627E-7 | 7.074085E-5 | 95.480095 | 7.0E-5 | 2.997936E-6 | 3.1752697E-6 | 8.3175015E-5 | 26.19463 | 8.0E-5 | 3.649926E-5 | 3.865891E-5 | 1.2865543E-4 | 3.3279634 | 9.0E-5 | 3.6493264E-4 | 3.865891E-4 | 4.9654656E-4 | 1.2844298 | 1.1E-4 |
Goldstone Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0375995E-5 | 3.003678E-4 | 9.888328 | 2.7E-4 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3017745E-4 | 5.10128E-4 | 3.9187124 | 3.8E-4 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015839544 | 0.0022129565 | 1.3971087 | 6.3E-4 | 0.013842222 | 0.015746146 | 0.016661502 | 1.058132 | 9.3E-4 |
6.1 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0375995E-5 | 3.003678E-4 | 9.888328 | 2.7E-4 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3017745E-4 | 5.10128E-4 | 3.9187124 | 3.8E-4 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015839544 | 0.0022129565 | 1.3971087 | 6.3E-4 | 0.013842222 | 0.015746146 | 0.016661502 | 1.058132 | 9.3E-4 |
6.2 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6096199E-5 | 1.8609346E-4 | 11.561329 | 1.7E-4 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.8982445E-5 | 2.8896728E-4 | 4.1889973 | 2.2E-4 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.3963625E-4 | 0.0011793508 | 1.4045973 | 3.4E-4 | 0.007380498 | 0.008374335 | 0.008870148 | 1.0592062 | 5.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6096199E-5 | 1.8609346E-4 | 11.561329 | 1.7E-4 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.8982445E-5 | 2.8896728E-4 | 4.1889973 | 2.2E-4 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.3963625E-4 | 0.0011793508 | 1.4045973 | 3.4E-4 | 0.007380498 | 0.008374335 | 0.008870148 | 1.0592062 | 5.0E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.5008418E-5 | 1.8500586E-4 | 12.326806 | 1.7E-4 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.432076E-5 | 2.8430662E-4 | 4.4201374 | 2.2E-4 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.8292185E-4 | 0.0011226557 | 1.4339306 | 3.4E-4 | 0.006884126 | 0.0078112623 | 0.008287513 | 1.0609697 | 4.8E-4 |
6.5 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.5008418E-5 | 1.8500586E-4 | 12.326806 | 1.7E-4 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.432076E-5 | 2.8430662E-4 | 4.4201374 | 2.2E-4 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.8292185E-4 | 0.0011226557 | 1.4339306 | 3.4E-4 | 0.006884126 | 0.0078112623 | 0.008287513 | 1.0609697 | 4.8E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1328278E-5 | 1.2855132E-5 | 1.4285346E-4 | 11.112563 | 1.3E-4 | 4.8548856E-5 | 5.5092798E-5 | 2.2508344E-4 | 4.0855327 | 1.7E-4 | 5.90922E-4 | 6.7064405E-4 | 9.504563E-4 | 1.417229 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0058935313 | 0.006695591 | 0.0071028457 | 1.0608243 | 4.1E-4 |
6.7 | 8.651175E-6 | 9.824541E-6 | 1.1982346E-4 | 12.1963415 | 1.1E-4 | 3.707594E-5 | 4.2105006E-5 | 1.8209912E-4 | 4.32488 | 1.4E-4 | 4.5130608E-4 | 5.1259843E-4 | 7.424805E-4 | 1.4484643 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0045039062 | 0.005123039 | 0.0054811947 | 1.0699108 | 3.6E-4 |
6.8 | 1.0215377E-6 | 1.1754779E-6 | 1.1754779E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.378012E-6 | 5.037753E-6 | 5.037753E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3300988E-5 | 6.1333034E-5 | 7.133242E-5 | 1.1630343 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3288206E-4 | 6.131723E-4 | 6.231662E-4 | 1.0162987 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.9360774E-7 | 9.2834784E-7 | 9.2834784E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4011714E-6 | 3.978628E-6 | 3.978628E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1408475E-5 | 4.843879E-5 | 4.843879E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.140076E-4 | 4.842893E-4 | 4.842893E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.4382757E-7 | 8.7474115E-7 | 8.7474115E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1878285E-6 | 3.7488855E-6 | 3.7488855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8811122E-5 | 4.5641795E-5 | 4.5641795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8804344E-4 | 4.5633083E-4 | 4.5633083E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 6.4709513E-7 | 7.7113845E-7 | 7.7113845E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.773262E-6 | 3.3048752E-6 | 3.3048752E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.376394E-5 | 4.0236177E-5 | 4.0236177E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.375881E-4 | 4.0229486E-4 | 4.0229486E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.356704E-7 | 7.5884446E-7 | 7.5884446E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7242988E-6 | 3.2521868E-6 | 3.2521868E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3167835E-5 | 3.9594717E-5 | 3.9594717E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3162883E-4 | 3.9588255E-4 | 3.9588255E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.7695723E-7 | 6.8966335E-7 | 6.8966335E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4726714E-6 | 2.955697E-6 | 2.955697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0104358E-5 | 3.598508E-5 | 3.598508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0100282E-4 | 3.5979823E-4 | 3.5979823E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.209647E-7 | 6.193571E-7 | 6.193571E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.232704E-6 | 2.6543853E-6 | 2.6543853E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.718283E-5 | 3.231672E-5 | 3.231672E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7179506E-4 | 3.2312574E-4 | 3.2312574E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.512955E-7 | 5.3489373E-7 | 5.3489373E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.934122E-6 | 2.2924E-6 | 2.2924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3547682E-5 | 2.7909666E-5 | 2.7909666E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3545188E-4 | 2.790669E-4 | 2.790669E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlock (West)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.5181727E-5 | 2.519625E-5 | 3.851872E-4 | 15.28748 | 3.6E-4 | 1.0791722E-4 | 1.0797948E-4 | 5.47932E-4 | 5.074408 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0013131002 | 0.0013138608 | 0.0019430331 | 1.4788729 | 6.3E-4 | 0.013053683 | 0.013141131 | 0.014009567 | 1.0660853 | 8.8E-4 |
6.1 | 2.5077732E-5 | 2.5097293E-5 | 3.8508826E-4 | 15.343817 | 3.6E-4 | 1.0747157E-4 | 1.0755541E-4 | 5.4750807E-4 | 5.0904746 | 4.4E-4 | 0.001307681 | 0.0013087039 | 0.0019378795 | 1.4807622 | 6.3E-4 | 0.013000126 | 0.013090172 | 0.0139586525 | 1.066346 | 8.8E-4 |
6.2 | 2.494612E-5 | 2.4978985E-5 | 3.8497E-4 | 15.411755 | 3.6E-4 | 1.0690756E-4 | 1.0704842E-4 | 5.470013E-4 | 5.1098495 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0013008224 | 0.0013025387 | 0.0019317181 | 1.4830408 | 6.3E-4 | 0.012932341 | 0.013029243 | 0.013897778 | 1.0666604 | 8.8E-4 |
6.3 | 2.4733758E-5 | 2.4798346E-5 | 3.8478943E-4 | 15.516737 | 3.6E-4 | 1.0599751E-4 | 1.0627432E-4 | 5.4622756E-4 | 5.1397886 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0012897556 | 0.0012931252 | 0.0019223106 | 1.4865618 | 6.3E-4 | 0.012822957 | 0.012936208 | 0.013804825 | 1.0671461 | 8.8E-4 |
6.4 | 2.3237335E-5 | 2.3177683E-5 | 3.8316933E-4 | 16.531822 | 3.6E-4 | 9.958477E-5 | 9.932916E-5 | 5.392855E-4 | 5.429276 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0012117702 | 0.0012086645 | 0.0018279151 | 1.5123429 | 6.2E-4 | 0.012051838 | 0.012101071 | 0.012960543 | 1.0710244 | 8.7E-4 |
6.5 | 2.2732203E-5 | 2.2992053E-5 | 3.8298377E-4 | 16.657225 | 3.6E-4 | 9.742009E-5 | 9.853367E-5 | 5.384903E-4 | 5.465039 | 4.4E-4 | 0.0011854442 | 0.0011989899 | 0.0018182466 | 1.5164819 | 6.2E-4 | 0.011791403 | 0.012005375 | 0.01286493 | 1.0715976 | 8.7E-4 |
6.6 | 2.1319436E-5 | 2.1772283E-5 | 3.8176443E-4 | 17.534426 | 3.6E-4 | 9.136581E-5 | 9.330646E-5 | 5.332654E-4 | 5.715204 | 4.4E-4 | 0.001111811 | 0.0011354164 | 0.0017547124 | 1.5454352 | 6.2E-4 | 0.011062649 | 0.011376292 | 0.012226509 | 1.0747358 | 8.6E-4 |
6.7 | 1.970802E-5 | 2.0392179E-5 | 3.8038485E-4 | 18.653467 | 3.6E-4 | 8.446021E-5 | 8.739214E-5 | 5.2735367E-4 | 6.034338 | 4.4E-4 | 0.001027818 | 0.0010634817 | 0.0016828222 | 1.5823708 | 6.2E-4 | 0.010230771 | 0.01066403 | 0.011514859 | 1.079785 | 8.6E-4 |
6.8 | 1.8744462E-5 | 1.9899864E-5 | 3.798927E-4 | 19.090216 | 3.6E-4 | 8.033094E-5 | 8.528236E-5 | 5.252448E-4 | 6.158892 | 4.4E-4 | 9.775903E-4 | 0.0010378198 | 0.0016571763 | 1.5967863 | 6.2E-4 | 0.009733009 | 0.010409822 | 0.01126087 | 1.0817543 | 8.6E-4 |
6.9 | 1.7559682E-5 | 1.8952243E-5 | 3.7894543E-4 | 19.994753 | 3.6E-4 | 7.5253614E-5 | 8.1221384E-5 | 5.1118643E-4 | 6.293742 | 4.3E-4 | 9.158276E-4 | 9.884231E-4 | 0.0015978202 | 1.6165346 | 6.1E-4 | 0.0091206245 | 0.009920391 | 0.010761959 | 1.0848321 | 8.5E-4 |
7.0 | 1.6794445E-5 | 1.8215069E-5 | 3.7820853E-4 | 20.763496 | 3.6E-4 | 7.197421E-5 | 7.806226E-5 | 5.0802866E-4 | 6.507994 | 4.3E-4 | 8.759337E-4 | 9.4999495E-4 | 0.0015594155 | 1.6414987 | 6.1E-4 | 0.008724891 | 0.009539245 | 0.010381137 | 1.0882556 | 8.5E-4 |
7.1 | 1.6337795E-5 | 1.7715876E-5 | 3.777095E-4 | 21.320396 | 3.6E-4 | 7.0017246E-5 | 7.592298E-5 | 5.0589035E-4 | 6.663204 | 4.3E-4 | 8.521265E-4 | 9.2397165E-4 | 0.0015334081 | 1.6595834 | 6.1E-4 | 0.008488664 | 0.009281053 | 0.010123164 | 1.0907345 | 8.5E-4 |
7.2 | 1.5780008E-5 | 1.716451E-5 | 3.7715834E-4 | 21.973148 | 3.6E-4 | 6.762685E-5 | 7.356012E-5 | 4.9352925E-4 | 6.7091956 | 4.2E-4 | 8.2304585E-4 | 8.952278E-4 | 0.0014946907 | 1.6696205 | 6.0E-4 | 0.008200042 | 0.008995891 | 0.009828334 | 1.092536 | 8.4E-4 |
7.3 | 1.5058865E-5 | 1.6617598E-5 | 3.7661163E-4 | 22.66342 | 3.6E-4 | 6.45364E-5 | 7.1216346E-5 | 4.9118645E-4 | 6.897103 | 4.2E-4 | 7.854473E-4 | 8.667153E-4 | 0.0014661952 | 1.6916689 | 6.0E-4 | 0.00782677 | 0.008712597 | 0.009545278 | 1.0955721 | 8.4E-4 |
7.4 | 1.4887923E-5 | 1.645357E-5 | 3.7644766E-4 | 22.879389 | 3.6E-4 | 6.380382E-5 | 7.05134E-5 | 4.9048377E-4 | 6.9558945 | 4.2E-4 | 7.7653467E-4 | 8.5816375E-4 | 0.0014476575 | 1.6869245 | 5.9E-4 | 0.0077382675 | 0.0086274315 | 0.00942053 | 1.0919275 | 8.0E-4 |
7.5 | 1.4509299E-5 | 1.6045597E-5 | 3.460403E-4 | 21.566061 | 3.3E-4 | 6.218123E-5 | 6.876503E-5 | 4.487389E-4 | 6.5256844 | 3.8E-4 | 7.567935E-4 | 8.368939E-4 | 0.001376442 | 1.644703 | 5.4E-4 | 0.0075422134 | 0.00841572 | 0.0091594085 | 1.0883689 | 7.5E-4 |
7.6 | 1.2756717E-5 | 1.40496895E-5 | 2.4404646E-4 | 17.370237 | 2.3E-4 | 5.4670498E-5 | 6.021157E-5 | 3.101965E-4 | 5.151776 | 2.5E-4 | 6.6541E-4 | 7.3282997E-4 | 0.0010725808 | 1.4636148 | 3.4E-4 | 0.006634211 | 0.007380847 | 0.007857304 | 1.0645531 | 4.8E-4 |
7.7 | 1.0328985E-5 | 1.1459538E-5 | 1.2145828E-4 | 10.598881 | 1.1E-4 | 4.4266326E-5 | 4.9111382E-5 | 1.691055E-4 | 3.4433053 | 1.2E-4 | 5.388092E-4 | 5.977675E-4 | 7.776599E-4 | 1.3009404 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0053750467 | 0.006037873 | 0.0062863636 | 1.0411553 | 2.5E-4 |
7.8 | 7.0306583E-6 | 8.89889E-6 | 1.1889791E-4 | 13.360982 | 1.1E-4 | 3.0131043E-5 | 3.8137543E-5 | 1.4813335E-4 | 3.884187 | 1.1E-4 | 3.667837E-4 | 4.6422583E-4 | 6.2415155E-4 | 1.3444998 | 1.6E-4 | 0.003661789 | 0.004694754 | 0.0049037677 | 1.0445207 | 2.1E-4 |
7.9 | 4.060633E-6 | 5.46505E-6 | 9.546456E-5 | 17.468195 | 9.0E-5 | 1.7402595E-5 | 2.3421433E-5 | 1.1341932E-4 | 4.842544 | 9.0E-5 | 2.11856E-4 | 2.8511873E-4 | 4.1508165E-4 | 1.4558204 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0021165414 | 0.0028838275 | 0.0030234237 | 1.0484066 | 1.4E-4 |
8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 2.077398E-6 | 1.20773775E-5 | 5.813704 | 1.0E-5 | 7.169782E-6 | 8.903104E-6 | 1.8903014E-5 | 2.1231937 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7288594E-5 | 1.0838993E-4 | 1.2838776E-4 | 1.184499 | 2.0E-5 | 8.7254314E-4 | 0.0010967436 | 0.0011167217 | 1.0182158 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 3.1487303E-7 | 3.1487303E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.3494553E-6 | 1.3494553E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9166706E-5 | 1.642951E-5 | 1.642951E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9165053E-4 | 1.6628111E-4 | 1.6628111E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
McLean Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7360222E-5 | 1.8501594E-5 | 2.6849698E-4 | 14.512098 | 2.5E-4 | 7.439883E-5 | 7.929042E-5 | 3.8926583E-4 | 4.909368 | 3.1E-4 | 9.0542925E-4 | 9.6498185E-4 | 0.0014944704 | 1.5487031 | 5.3E-4 | 0.009017491 | 0.009612758 | 0.010434779 | 1.0855136 | 8.3E-4 |
6.1 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.592179E-6 | 1.3959093E-4 | 14.552579 | 1.3E-4 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.110874E-5 | 2.1110175E-4 | 5.135204 | 1.7E-4 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.0039287E-4 | 8.102377E-4 | 1.6192032 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0047176396 | 0.004993544 | 0.005461197 | 1.0936515 | 4.7E-4 |
6.2 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.592179E-6 | 1.3959093E-4 | 14.552579 | 1.3E-4 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.110874E-5 | 2.1110175E-4 | 5.135204 | 1.7E-4 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.0039287E-4 | 8.102377E-4 | 1.6192032 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0047176396 | 0.004993544 | 0.005461197 | 1.0936515 | 4.7E-4 |
6.3 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.667698E-6 | 1.0766693E-4 | 14.041624 | 1.0E-4 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.286119E-5 | 1.6285692E-4 | 4.9559045 | 1.3E-4 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0001865E-4 | 6.299266E-4 | 1.5747432 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0037797375 | 0.003993691 | 0.004332333 | 1.0847943 | 3.4E-4 |
6.4 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.667698E-6 | 1.0766693E-4 | 14.041624 | 1.0E-4 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.286119E-5 | 1.6285692E-4 | 4.9559045 | 1.3E-4 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0001865E-4 | 6.299266E-4 | 1.5747432 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0037797375 | 0.003993691 | 0.004332333 | 1.0847943 | 3.4E-4 |
6.5 | 6.06582E-6 | 6.4038677E-6 | 7.640342E-5 | 11.930824 | 7.0E-5 | 2.5996113E-5 | 2.7444894E-5 | 1.2744215E-4 | 4.6435647 | 1.0E-4 | 3.164567E-4 | 3.3409684E-4 | 5.240334E-4 | 1.5685074 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0031600643 | 0.0033365842 | 0.0036256167 | 1.0866252 | 2.9E-4 |
6.6 | 5.598744E-6 | 5.9102535E-6 | 7.590984E-5 | 12.843754 | 7.0E-5 | 2.3994397E-5 | 2.5329447E-5 | 1.15327166E-4 | 4.5530868 | 9.0E-5 | 2.9209262E-4 | 3.0834877E-4 | 4.882933E-4 | 1.5835745 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0029170897 | 0.0030798386 | 0.0033390378 | 1.08416 | 2.6E-4 |
6.7 | 5.246996E-6 | 5.539154E-6 | 7.553877E-5 | 13.637239 | 7.0E-5 | 2.2486933E-5 | 2.373905E-5 | 1.1373691E-4 | 4.7911315 | 9.0E-5 | 2.73744E-4 | 2.8899097E-4 | 4.6893893E-4 | 1.6226768 | 1.8E-4 | 0.0027340704 | 0.0028867754 | 0.003146025 | 1.0898058 | 2.6E-4 |
6.8 | 4.02324E-6 | 4.2468982E-6 | 4.4246728E-5 | 10.418599 | 4.0E-5 | 1.7242342E-5 | 1.8200899E-5 | 5.820017E-5 | 3.1976538 | 4.0E-5 | 2.099053E-4 | 2.2157936E-4 | 3.31555E-4 | 1.4963261 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0020970714 | 0.0022141687 | 0.0023837923 | 1.0766083 | 1.7E-4 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.13992E-7 | 1.0713985E-5 | 15.00575 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0599638E-6 | 1.3059933E-5 | 4.2680025 | 1.0E-5 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.725474E-5 | 4.725437E-5 | 1.2684122 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7251622E-4 | 3.9250878E-4 | 1.053669 | 2.0E-5 |
Coyote Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0364153E-5 | 2.003577E-4 | 4.963753 | 1.6E-4 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7297921E-4 | 4.3293423E-4 | 2.5028107 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0018293047 | 0.002104245 | 0.0025133821 | 1.1944343 | 4.1E-4 | 0.018143194 | 0.020869121 | 0.021476183 | 1.029089 | 6.2E-4 |
6.1 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0364153E-5 | 2.003577E-4 | 4.963753 | 1.6E-4 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7297921E-4 | 4.3293423E-4 | 2.5028107 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0018293047 | 0.002104245 | 0.0025133821 | 1.1944343 | 4.1E-4 | 0.018143194 | 0.020869121 | 0.021476183 | 1.029089 | 6.2E-4 |
6.2 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1059712E-5 | 1.11057816E-4 | 5.273473 | 9.0E-5 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.0253365E-5 | 2.4023982E-4 | 2.6618378 | 1.5E-4 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010983829 | 0.0013481082 | 1.2273574 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010939626 | 0.011275906 | 1.0307397 | 3.4E-4 |
6.3 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.1059712E-5 | 1.11057816E-4 | 5.273473 | 9.0E-5 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.0253365E-5 | 2.4023982E-4 | 2.6618378 | 1.5E-4 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0010983829 | 0.0013481082 | 1.2273574 | 2.5E-4 | 0.0095647145 | 0.010939626 | 0.011275906 | 1.0307397 | 3.4E-4 |
6.4 | 1.712201E-5 | 1.9565137E-5 | 1.0956338E-4 | 5.599929 | 9.0E-5 | 7.337798E-5 | 8.384846E-5 | 2.2383672E-4 | 2.6695387 | 1.4E-4 | 8.930107E-4 | 0.0010204775 | 0.0012602325 | 1.234944 | 2.4E-4 | 0.008894307 | 0.0101678325 | 0.010494477 | 1.0321254 | 3.3E-4 |
6.5 | 1.4744935E-5 | 1.6836908E-5 | 9.683556E-5 | 5.751386 | 8.0E-5 | 6.3191044E-5 | 7.215671E-5 | 2.0214733E-4 | 2.8015044 | 1.3E-4 | 7.6907943E-4 | 8.782473E-4 | 0.0010980541 | 1.250279 | 2.2E-4 | 0.007664232 | 0.008756962 | 0.009054335 | 1.0339584 | 3.0E-4 |
6.6 | 1.2017839E-5 | 1.3724037E-5 | 8.372308E-5 | 6.10047 | 7.0E-5 | 5.150401E-5 | 5.8816477E-5 | 1.7880942E-4 | 3.0401247 | 1.2E-4 | 6.268809E-4 | 7.1594387E-4 | 9.058079E-4 | 1.2651939 | 1.9E-4 | 0.0062511545 | 0.0071450667 | 0.0074131377 | 1.0375183 | 2.7E-4 |
6.7 | 1.00956095E-5 | 1.1533472E-5 | 8.1532664E-5 | 7.069221 | 7.0E-5 | 4.326618E-5 | 4.9428723E-5 | 1.4942378E-4 | 3.0230153 | 1.0E-4 | 5.266384E-4 | 6.017155E-4 | 7.516252E-4 | 1.2491373 | 1.5E-4 | 0.005253921 | 0.0060093896 | 0.0062280674 | 1.0363894 | 2.2E-4 |
Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3963413E-5 | 2.5395417E-4 | 5.7764893 | 2.1E-4 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8840199E-4 | 4.5835113E-4 | 2.4328358 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022915532 | 0.002730545 | 1.1915694 | 4.4E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022697242 | 0.023273852 | 1.0254043 | 5.9E-4 |
6.1 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3963413E-5 | 2.5395417E-4 | 5.7764893 | 2.1E-4 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8840199E-4 | 4.5835113E-4 | 2.4328358 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022915532 | 0.002730545 | 1.1915694 | 4.4E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022697242 | 0.023273852 | 1.0254043 | 5.9E-4 |
6.2 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.3963413E-5 | 2.5395417E-4 | 5.7764893 | 2.1E-4 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8840199E-4 | 4.5835113E-4 | 2.4328358 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0022915532 | 0.002730545 | 1.1915694 | 4.4E-4 | 0.019349206 | 0.022697242 | 0.023273852 | 1.0254043 | 5.9E-4 |
6.3 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.5354364E-5 | 1.3535157E-4 | 5.3383937 | 1.1E-4 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0865715E-4 | 2.3864303E-4 | 2.1962938 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0010993304 | 0.001322118 | 0.0015518138 | 1.1737334 | 2.3E-4 | 0.010939079 | 0.013144737 | 0.013421057 | 1.0210212 | 2.8E-4 |
6.4 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.5354364E-5 | 1.3535157E-4 | 5.3383937 | 1.1E-4 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0865715E-4 | 2.3864303E-4 | 2.1962938 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0010993304 | 0.001322118 | 0.0015518138 | 1.1737334 | 2.3E-4 | 0.010939079 | 0.013144737 | 0.013421057 | 1.0210212 | 2.8E-4 |
6.5 | 1.7397282E-5 | 2.066327E-5 | 1.00661615E-4 | 4.871524 | 8.0E-5 | 7.455765E-5 | 8.8553934E-5 | 1.8854508E-4 | 2.1291554 | 1.0E-4 | 9.073613E-4 | 0.0010776226 | 0.0012574287 | 1.1668544 | 1.8E-4 | 0.009036654 | 0.010725265 | 0.010942906 | 1.0202923 | 2.2E-4 |
6.6 | 1.52050325E-5 | 1.7680073E-5 | 9.767866E-5 | 5.5247884 | 8.0E-5 | 6.51628E-5 | 7.576958E-5 | 1.6576276E-4 | 2.1877217 | 9.0E-5 | 7.9306826E-4 | 9.2211214E-4 | 0.0010919553 | 1.1841893 | 1.7E-4 | 0.007902439 | 0.009183723 | 0.009391794 | 1.0226566 | 2.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.332523E-5 | 1.526437E-5 | 6.526361E-5 | 4.2755523 | 5.0E-5 | 5.7106878E-5 | 6.5417116E-5 | 1.254132E-4 | 1.9171312 | 6.0E-5 | 6.950544E-4 | 7.961682E-4 | 9.360567E-4 | 1.1757022 | 1.4E-4 | 0.006928845 | 0.007933789 | 0.00810244 | 1.0212574 | 1.7E-4 |
6.8 | 1.1525329E-5 | 1.30313565E-5 | 6.3030704E-5 | 4.836849 | 5.0E-5 | 4.9393333E-5 | 5.5847497E-5 | 1.15844145E-4 | 2.0742943 | 6.0E-5 | 6.011979E-4 | 6.797354E-4 | 7.996538E-4 | 1.1764193 | 1.2E-4 | 0.00599574 | 0.0067770146 | 0.0069259983 | 1.0219836 | 1.5E-4 |
6.9 | 1.0253909E-5 | 1.1514828E-5 | 5.1514366E-5 | 4.473742 | 4.0E-5 | 4.3944583E-5 | 4.9348346E-5 | 9.934588E-5 | 2.0131552 | 5.0E-5 | 5.3489394E-4 | 6.006541E-4 | 7.1058806E-4 | 1.1830237 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0053360825 | 0.005990686 | 0.0061298474 | 1.0232296 | 1.4E-4 |
7.0 | 8.104563E-6 | 8.991426E-6 | 2.8991246E-5 | 3.2243214 | 2.0E-5 | 3.4733377E-5 | 3.8534123E-5 | 6.8532965E-5 | 1.7785007 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2279682E-4 | 4.690544E-4 | 5.4901687E-4 | 1.170476 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0042199334 | 0.0046808915 | 0.004780424 | 1.0212635 | 1.0E-4 |
7.1 | 6.7986157E-6 | 7.515976E-6 | 2.7515825E-5 | 3.6609783 | 2.0E-5 | 2.91366E-5 | 3.221094E-5 | 6.2209976E-5 | 1.9313306 | 3.0E-5 | 3.5468035E-4 | 3.9209976E-4 | 4.6207232E-4 | 1.178456 | 7.0E-5 | 0.003541148 | 0.0039142957 | 0.0040039434 | 1.0229026 | 9.0E-5 |
7.2 | 5.6893327E-6 | 6.280129E-6 | 2.6280004E-5 | 4.184628 | 2.0E-5 | 2.4382627E-5 | 2.6914573E-5 | 4.6914036E-5 | 1.7430719 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9681803E-4 | 3.2763765E-4 | 3.87618E-4 | 1.1830691 | 6.0E-5 | 0.002964219 | 0.0032717446 | 0.0033514828 | 1.0243717 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.253348E-6 | 4.707073E-6 | 1.4707026E-5 | 3.1244524 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8228506E-5 | 2.0173025E-5 | 3.0172823E-5 | 1.4957014 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2190946E-4 | 2.4558074E-4 | 2.7557337E-4 | 1.1221294 | 3.0E-5 | 0.00221688 | 0.0024532743 | 0.0024931764 | 1.0162648 | 4.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.5448119E-6 | 2.852059E-6 | 1.28520305E-5 | 4.506229 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0906291E-5 | 1.2223062E-5 | 2.2222941E-5 | 1.8181156 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3277601E-4 | 1.4880727E-4 | 1.688043E-4 | 1.134382 | 2.0E-5 | 0.001326967 | 0.0014872384 | 0.0015171939 | 1.0201416 | 3.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.3706837E-8 | 4.5629037E-8 | 4.5629037E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8731501E-7 | 1.9555301E-7 | 1.9555301E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805577E-6 | 2.380856E-6 | 2.380856E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805343E-5 | 2.3808358E-5 | 2.3808358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Mojave S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7460246E-4 | 9.044473E-4 | 1.3407116 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0028880783 | 0.0031473273 | 1.0897653 | 2.6E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.03456449 | 0.03494101 | 1.0108932 | 3.9E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28653982 | 0.2869108 | 1.0012947 | 5.2E-4 |
6.1 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7460246E-4 | 9.044473E-4 | 1.3407116 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0028880783 | 0.0031473273 | 1.0897653 | 2.6E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.03456449 | 0.03494101 | 1.0108932 | 3.9E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28653982 | 0.2869108 | 1.0012947 | 5.2E-4 |
6.2 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7460246E-4 | 9.044473E-4 | 1.3407116 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0028880783 | 0.0031473273 | 1.0897653 | 2.6E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.03456449 | 0.03494101 | 1.0108932 | 3.9E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28653982 | 0.2869108 | 1.0012947 | 5.2E-4 |
6.3 | 3.1064058E-4 | 6.7460246E-4 | 9.044473E-4 | 1.3407116 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0013306376 | 0.0028880783 | 0.0031473273 | 1.0897653 | 2.6E-4 | 0.016080605 | 0.03456449 | 0.03494101 | 1.0108932 | 3.9E-4 | 0.1496549 | 0.28653982 | 0.2869108 | 1.0012947 | 5.2E-4 |
6.4 | 1.9872203E-4 | 4.3178877E-4 | 6.416981E-4 | 1.4861389 | 2.1E-4 | 8.5138786E-4 | 0.0018492391 | 0.0020887954 | 1.1295431 | 2.4E-4 | 0.010316478 | 0.022288196 | 0.02264017 | 1.015792 | 3.6E-4 | 0.098504856 | 0.1969439 | 0.19730526 | 1.0018349 | 4.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.8752213E-4 | 4.3747897E-4 | 1.521549 | 1.5E-4 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012316585 | 0.0014014491 | 1.1378553 | 1.7E-4 | 0.006714592 | 0.014893164 | 0.015149292 | 1.0171977 | 2.6E-4 | 0.065152965 | 0.13802564 | 0.13831009 | 1.0020609 | 3.3E-4 |
6.6 | 1.291105E-4 | 2.8752213E-4 | 4.3747897E-4 | 1.521549 | 1.5E-4 | 5.5321335E-4 | 0.0012316585 | 0.0014014491 | 1.1378553 | 1.7E-4 | 0.006714592 | 0.014893164 | 0.015149292 | 1.0171977 | 2.6E-4 | 0.065152965 | 0.13802564 | 0.13831009 | 1.0020609 | 3.3E-4 |
6.7 | 1.08001186E-4 | 2.4333477E-4 | 3.833007E-4 | 1.5751991 | 1.4E-4 | 4.6278012E-4 | 0.001042447 | 0.0011922907 | 1.1437422 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0056198016 | 0.012618233 | 0.012845332 | 1.0179976 | 2.3E-4 | 0.054797906 | 0.11918108 | 0.119445324 | 1.0022172 | 3.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.0624356E-4 | 2.3851135E-4 | 3.7847794E-4 | 1.5868342 | 1.4E-4 | 4.5525006E-4 | 0.0010217916 | 0.0011716383 | 1.146651 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0055285925 | 0.012369626 | 0.012596781 | 1.018364 | 2.3E-4 | 0.053930566 | 0.11712996 | 0.11739482 | 1.0022613 | 3.0E-4 |
6.9 | 1.0393785E-4 | 2.3221466E-4 | 3.7218214E-4 | 1.6027504 | 1.4E-4 | 4.4537184E-4 | 9.948266E-4 | 0.0011446773 | 1.15063 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0054089287 | 0.012044998 | 0.012272228 | 1.0188651 | 2.3E-4 | 0.05279156 | 0.11443016 | 0.11469583 | 1.0023217 | 3.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.0155622E-4 | 2.2591038E-4 | 3.6587875E-4 | 1.6195748 | 1.4E-4 | 4.3516833E-4 | 9.678285E-4 | 0.0011176834 | 1.1548362 | 1.5E-4 | 0.005285311 | 0.011719874 | 0.011947178 | 1.0193948 | 2.3E-4 | 0.05161361 | 0.11169463 | 0.11196112 | 1.0023859 | 3.0E-4 |
7.1 | 9.885595E-5 | 2.1879452E-4 | 3.587639E-4 | 1.6397297 | 1.4E-4 | 4.2359953E-4 | 9.373542E-4 | 0.0010872136 | 1.1598749 | 1.5E-4 | 0.0051451353 | 0.011352769 | 0.011580158 | 1.0200294 | 2.3E-4 | 0.05027629 | 0.10857561 | 0.108843036 | 1.0024631 | 3.0E-4 |
7.2 | 9.6411415E-5 | 2.1242435E-4 | 3.523946E-4 | 1.6589181 | 1.4E-4 | 4.1312634E-4 | 9.100727E-4 | 0.0010599362 | 1.164672 | 1.5E-4 | 0.005018219 | 0.011024025 | 0.01125149 | 1.0206336 | 2.3E-4 | 0.049064007 | 0.10576862 | 0.10603689 | 1.0025364 | 3.0E-4 |
7.3 | 9.1180635E-5 | 1.9470933E-4 | 3.1468595E-4 | 1.6161833 | 1.2E-4 | 3.907156E-4 | 8.3420175E-4 | 9.640933E-4 | 1.1557076 | 1.3E-4 | 0.004746591 | 0.010109222 | 0.010317098 | 1.0205631 | 2.1E-4 | 0.046464786 | 0.09795408 | 0.098206654 | 1.0025785 | 2.8E-4 |
7.4 | 8.887388E-5 | 1.8719549E-4 | 3.0717303E-4 | 1.6409211 | 1.2E-4 | 3.8083247E-4 | 8.020198E-4 | 9.3191554E-4 | 1.1619607 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0046267817 | 0.00972097 | 0.009928929 | 1.0213928 | 2.1E-4 | 0.045316286 | 0.09458638 | 0.09483989 | 1.0026803 | 2.8E-4 |
7.5 | 8.6750515E-5 | 1.8051128E-4 | 3.0048963E-4 | 1.6646584 | 1.2E-4 | 3.7173493E-4 | 7.733905E-4 | 9.0328994E-4 | 1.167961 | 1.3E-4 | 0.004516484 | 0.009375462 | 0.009583494 | 1.0221889 | 2.1E-4 | 0.04425787 | 0.09154962 | 0.09180398 | 1.0027784 | 2.8E-4 |
7.6 | 8.453092E-5 | 1.7438729E-4 | 2.9436636E-4 | 1.6880035 | 1.2E-4 | 3.6222505E-4 | 7.4716005E-4 | 8.770629E-4 | 1.1738622 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0044011753 | 0.009058807 | 0.009266905 | 1.0229719 | 2.1E-4 | 0.04315024 | 0.08870781 | 0.08896297 | 1.0028764 | 2.8E-4 |
7.7 | 8.259102E-5 | 1.6960864E-4 | 2.895883E-4 | 1.7073911 | 1.2E-4 | 3.539135E-4 | 7.2669174E-4 | 8.5659727E-4 | 1.1787629 | 1.3E-4 | 0.004300386 | 0.008811649 | 0.009019799 | 1.023622 | 2.1E-4 | 0.042181134 | 0.0864593 | 0.08671509 | 1.0029585 | 2.8E-4 |
7.8 | 7.444844E-5 | 1.5283158E-4 | 2.7281322E-4 | 1.7850581 | 1.2E-4 | 3.1902574E-4 | 6.548281E-4 | 7.8474294E-4 | 1.1983954 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0038772223 | 0.007943437 | 0.008131928 | 1.0237291 | 1.9E-4 | 0.03810269 | 0.07829051 | 0.078530155 | 1.0030609 | 2.6E-4 |
7.9 | 5.2586525E-5 | 1.0006018E-4 | 2.0005017E-4 | 1.9992986 | 1.0E-4 | 2.2535135E-4 | 4.2875885E-4 | 5.2871596E-4 | 1.2331313 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0027402006 | 0.0052076555 | 0.0053469264 | 1.0267435 | 1.4E-4 | 0.027066574 | 0.052197643 | 0.05234929 | 1.0029052 | 1.6E-4 |
8.0 | 3.379877E-5 | 5.406992E-5 | 7.4068834E-5 | 1.3698715 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4484383E-4 | 2.3170764E-4 | 2.5170302E-4 | 1.0862957 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017620471 | 0.0028173928 | 0.0028473083 | 1.0106181 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017481409 | 0.028833257 | 0.028872104 | 1.0013473 | 4.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.8668277E-5 | 1.930551E-5 | 1.930551E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.000444E-5 | 8.273527E-5 | 8.273527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.736188E-4 | 0.0010068371 | 0.0010068371 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009693642 | 0.010797266 | 0.010797266 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.541571E-6 | 5.458615E-6 | 5.458615E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.660622E-5 | 2.3393854E-5 | 2.3393854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.455896E-4 | 2.8478302E-4 | 2.8478302E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044469717 | 0.003239759 | 0.003239759 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6547434E-7 | 7.6547434E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9940594E-5 | 3.9940594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7170694E-4 | 4.7170694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (So)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5618123E-5 | 1.2561557E-4 | 4.9033866 | 1.0E-4 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.09787434E-4 | 3.2976328E-4 | 3.0036523 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013358593 | 0.0016853918 | 1.2616537 | 3.5E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.013281459 | 0.013814287 | 1.0401182 | 5.4E-4 |
6.1 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5618123E-5 | 1.2561557E-4 | 4.9033866 | 1.0E-4 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.09787434E-4 | 3.2976328E-4 | 3.0036523 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013358593 | 0.0016853918 | 1.2616537 | 3.5E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.013281459 | 0.013814287 | 1.0401182 | 5.4E-4 |
6.2 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5618123E-5 | 1.2561557E-4 | 4.9033866 | 1.0E-4 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.09787434E-4 | 3.2976328E-4 | 3.0036523 | 2.2E-4 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013358593 | 0.0016853918 | 1.2616537 | 3.5E-4 | 0.010734817 | 0.013281459 | 0.013814287 | 1.0401182 | 5.4E-4 |
6.3 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.511821E-5 | 1.251157E-4 | 4.9810753 | 1.0E-4 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0764512E-4 | 3.076236E-4 | 2.8577569 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0013098082 | 0.0016393759 | 1.2516153 | 3.3E-4 | 0.010505628 | 0.013024019 | 0.013527377 | 1.0386484 | 5.1E-4 |
6.4 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.511821E-5 | 1.251157E-4 | 4.9810753 | 1.0E-4 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0764512E-4 | 3.076236E-4 | 2.8577569 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0013098082 | 0.0016393759 | 1.2516153 | 3.3E-4 | 0.010505628 | 0.013024019 | 0.013527377 | 1.0386484 | 5.1E-4 |
6.5 | 1.9962767E-5 | 2.4807463E-5 | 1.2480498E-4 | 5.030945 | 1.0E-4 | 8.55519E-5 | 1.0631346E-4 | 3.062922E-4 | 2.8810294 | 2.0E-4 | 0.0010410968 | 0.0012936145 | 0.0016231877 | 1.2547692 | 3.3E-4 | 0.010362327 | 0.012863967 | 0.013367405 | 1.0391356 | 5.1E-4 |
6.6 | 1.8937297E-5 | 2.3311291E-5 | 1.13309194E-4 | 4.8607 | 9.0E-5 | 8.115732E-5 | 9.990179E-5 | 2.898828E-4 | 2.9016778 | 1.9E-4 | 9.876423E-4 | 0.0012156401 | 0.0015352512 | 1.2629158 | 3.2E-4 | 0.009832645 | 0.012092689 | 0.012586643 | 1.0408473 | 5.0E-4 |
6.7 | 1.8621096E-5 | 2.2911929E-5 | 1.1290987E-4 | 4.9279947 | 9.0E-5 | 7.980225E-5 | 9.8190365E-5 | 2.8817172E-4 | 2.9348266 | 1.9E-4 | 9.711593E-4 | 0.0011948266 | 0.0015144442 | 1.2675012 | 3.2E-4 | 0.009669261 | 0.011886794 | 0.0123808505 | 1.0415635 | 5.0E-4 |
6.8 | 1.7830353E-5 | 2.1805923E-5 | 1.0180418E-4 | 4.668648 | 8.0E-5 | 7.641356E-5 | 9.345069E-5 | 2.7343386E-4 | 2.9259696 | 1.8E-4 | 9.29938E-4 | 0.0011371822 | 0.0014468298 | 1.2722936 | 3.1E-4 | 0.009260561 | 0.011317186 | 0.0118016405 | 1.042807 | 4.9E-4 |
6.9 | 1.3135183E-5 | 1.5303958E-5 | 8.530289E-5 | 5.5739098 | 7.0E-5 | 5.6292425E-5 | 6.5586784E-5 | 1.8557892E-4 | 2.829517 | 1.2E-4 | 6.8514474E-4 | 7.9823297E-4 | 9.780893E-4 | 1.2253181 | 1.8E-4 | 0.006830362 | 0.007955219 | 0.008252832 | 1.0374111 | 3.0E-4 |
7.0 | 1.1507512E-5 | 1.3154176E-5 | 7.315339E-5 | 5.561229 | 6.0E-5 | 4.9316975E-5 | 5.6373854E-5 | 1.6636765E-4 | 2.9511492 | 1.1E-4 | 6.002687E-4 | 6.861413E-4 | 8.2604523E-4 | 1.2038996 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0059864987 | 0.0068414966 | 0.00705006 | 1.030485 | 2.1E-4 |
7.1 | 9.715903E-6 | 1.0865248E-5 | 5.0864815E-5 | 4.681422 | 4.0E-5 | 4.1638916E-5 | 4.6564543E-5 | 1.0656175E-4 | 2.288474 | 6.0E-5 | 5.068359E-4 | 5.667801E-4 | 6.567291E-4 | 1.1587018 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0050568148 | 0.005653847 | 0.0057632253 | 1.0193458 | 1.1E-4 |
7.2 | 9.233269E-6 | 1.028628E-5 | 3.0286074E-5 | 2.9443176 | 2.0E-5 | 3.9570554E-5 | 4.4083336E-5 | 8.408157E-5 | 1.9073324 | 4.0E-5 | 4.81665E-4 | 5.365867E-4 | 6.065491E-4 | 1.1303842 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0048062233 | 0.005353342 | 0.00544286 | 1.016722 | 9.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.8041315E-6 | 9.808134E-6 | 2.9807938E-5 | 3.0391037 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7731446E-5 | 4.2034208E-5 | 8.203252E-5 | 1.951566 | 4.0E-5 | 4.592835E-4 | 5.116505E-4 | 5.716198E-4 | 1.1172075 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0045833546 | 0.005105152 | 0.005184743 | 1.0155904 | 8.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.708749E-6 | 9.707145E-6 | 1.9707048E-5 | 2.030159 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7322676E-5 | 4.160141E-5 | 7.160016E-5 | 1.7210994 | 3.0E-5 | 4.5430884E-4 | 5.0638366E-4 | 5.5635837E-4 | 1.0986893 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004533812 | 0.0050527244 | 0.0051223706 | 1.0137839 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.612678E-6 | 9.604788E-6 | 1.9604691E-5 | 2.0411375 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6910955E-5 | 4.116275E-5 | 7.1161514E-5 | 1.7287843 | 3.0E-5 | 4.492982E-4 | 5.0104543E-4 | 5.510204E-4 | 1.0997413 | 5.0E-5 | 0.004483909 | 0.004999583 | 0.0050692335 | 1.0139312 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.319024E-6 | 9.283887E-6 | 9.283887E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5652476E-5 | 3.9787505E-5 | 5.978671E-5 | 1.5026504 | 2.0E-5 | 4.3398244E-4 | 4.8430942E-4 | 5.142949E-4 | 1.0619138 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0043313587 | 0.0048329635 | 0.0048827217 | 1.0102956 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 7.4718328E-6 | 8.345144E-6 | 8.345144E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2021748E-5 | 3.5764435E-5 | 5.5763718E-5 | 1.5591948 | 2.0E-5 | 3.8979502E-4 | 4.3534904E-4 | 4.553403E-4 | 1.0459201 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00389112 | 0.004345367 | 0.0043752366 | 1.0068738 | 3.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.648256E-7 | 3.648256E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635374E-6 | 1.5635374E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9035906E-5 | 1.9035906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.903432E-4 | 1.903432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696687E-9 | 2.6696687E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1441437E-8 | 1.1441437E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.392995E-7 | 1.392995E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3929949E-6 | 1.3929949E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Nelson Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0192248E-5 | 1.2019113E-4 | 11.792406 | 1.1E-4 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.368039E-5 | 2.2367253E-4 | 5.1206627 | 1.8E-4 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.316893E-4 | 7.915511E-4 | 1.4887474 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0051593683 | 0.0053052 | 0.005703078 | 1.0749977 | 4.0E-4 |
6.1 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0192248E-5 | 1.2019113E-4 | 11.792406 | 1.1E-4 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.368039E-5 | 2.2367253E-4 | 5.1206627 | 1.8E-4 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.316893E-4 | 7.915511E-4 | 1.4887474 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0051593683 | 0.0053052 | 0.005703078 | 1.0749977 | 4.0E-4 |
6.2 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.696309E-6 | 6.4696025E-5 | 13.775929 | 6.0E-5 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0126892E-5 | 1.1012508E-4 | 5.4715395 | 9.0E-5 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4501863E-4 | 3.7498676E-4 | 1.5304419 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0023763329 | 0.002447611 | 0.0026171948 | 1.0692855 | 1.7E-4 |
6.3 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.696309E-6 | 6.4696025E-5 | 13.775929 | 6.0E-5 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0126892E-5 | 1.1012508E-4 | 5.4715395 | 9.0E-5 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4501863E-4 | 3.7498676E-4 | 1.5304419 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0023763329 | 0.002447611 | 0.0026171948 | 1.0692855 | 1.7E-4 |
6.4 | 3.4025713E-6 | 3.5098942E-6 | 4.3509754E-5 | 12.396315 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4582367E-5 | 1.5042322E-5 | 7.504142E-5 | 4.988686 | 6.0E-5 | 1.7752586E-4 | 1.8312573E-4 | 2.831074E-4 | 1.545973 | 1.0E-4 | 0.001773841 | 0.0018298312 | 0.0019496116 | 1.0654598 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 2.8352947E-6 | 2.9278535E-6 | 2.2927796E-5 | 7.8309226 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2151207E-5 | 1.2547887E-5 | 5.2547384E-5 | 4.1877475 | 4.0E-5 | 1.479309E-4 | 1.5276058E-4 | 2.3274835E-4 | 1.5236154 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0014783246 | 0.0015266296 | 0.0016264769 | 1.0654038 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 2.251518E-6 | 2.3290654E-6 | 1.2329042E-5 | 5.2935576 | 1.0E-5 | 9.649328E-6 | 9.981674E-6 | 3.9981376E-5 | 4.005478 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1747423E-4 | 1.2152074E-4 | 1.8151345E-4 | 1.4936829 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0011741214 | 0.0012146046 | 0.0012945074 | 1.065785 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8911853E-6 | 1.9591378E-6 | 1.1959119E-5 | 6.104276 | 1.0E-5 | 8.105055E-6 | 8.396281E-6 | 3.839603E-5 | 4.5729804 | 3.0E-5 | 9.867457E-5 | 1.0222051E-4 | 1.6221438E-4 | 1.5869063 | 6.0E-5 | 9.863076E-4 | 0.0010217924 | 0.0011017107 | 1.0782138 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.4874814E-6 | 1.543829E-6 | 1.1543813E-5 | 7.4773917 | 1.0E-5 | 6.374905E-6 | 6.6163957E-6 | 2.6616264E-5 | 4.0227737 | 2.0E-5 | 7.76117E-5 | 8.055216E-5 | 1.3054814E-4 | 1.6206658 | 5.0E-5 | 7.75846E-4 | 8.0528075E-4 | 8.7522436E-4 | 1.0868562 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.13992E-7 | 1.0713985E-5 | 15.00575 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0599638E-6 | 1.3059933E-5 | 4.2680025 | 1.0E-5 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.725474E-5 | 4.725437E-5 | 1.2684122 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5662777E-4 | 3.7251622E-4 | 3.9250878E-4 | 1.053669 | 2.0E-5 |
So Sierra Nevada
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079595E-5 | 1.21078374E-4 | 10.92805 | 1.1E-4 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483187E-5 | 2.3747416E-4 | 5.0012264 | 1.9E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779672E-4 | 8.37817E-4 | 1.4495925 | 2.6E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.00576591 | 0.006213315 | 1.0775949 | 4.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079595E-5 | 1.21078374E-4 | 10.92805 | 1.1E-4 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483187E-5 | 2.3747416E-4 | 5.0012264 | 1.9E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779672E-4 | 8.37817E-4 | 1.4495925 | 2.6E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.00576591 | 0.006213315 | 1.0775949 | 4.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079595E-5 | 1.21078374E-4 | 10.92805 | 1.1E-4 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483187E-5 | 2.3747416E-4 | 5.0012264 | 1.9E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779672E-4 | 8.37817E-4 | 1.4495925 | 2.6E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.00576591 | 0.006213315 | 1.0775949 | 4.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079595E-5 | 1.21078374E-4 | 10.92805 | 1.1E-4 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483187E-5 | 2.3747416E-4 | 5.0012264 | 1.9E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779672E-4 | 8.37817E-4 | 1.4495925 | 2.6E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.00576591 | 0.006213315 | 1.0775949 | 4.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079595E-5 | 1.21078374E-4 | 10.92805 | 1.1E-4 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483187E-5 | 2.3747416E-4 | 5.0012264 | 1.9E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779672E-4 | 8.37817E-4 | 1.4495925 | 2.6E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.00576591 | 0.006213315 | 1.0775949 | 4.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1079595E-5 | 1.21078374E-4 | 10.92805 | 1.1E-4 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.7483187E-5 | 2.3747416E-4 | 5.0012264 | 1.9E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.779672E-4 | 8.37817E-4 | 1.4495925 | 2.6E-4 | 0.006007948 | 0.00576591 | 0.006213315 | 1.0775949 | 4.5E-4 |
6.6 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.9355933E-6 | 4.6935314E-5 | 6.7673106 | 4.0E-5 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.972365E-5 | 1.0972127E-4 | 3.6913795 | 8.0E-5 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.6182825E-4 | 4.917812E-4 | 1.3591565 | 1.3E-4 | 0.003951 | 0.0036126832 | 0.0038019966 | 1.0524025 | 1.9E-4 |
6.7 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.9355933E-6 | 4.6935314E-5 | 6.7673106 | 4.0E-5 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.972365E-5 | 1.0972127E-4 | 3.6913795 | 8.0E-5 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.6182825E-4 | 4.917812E-4 | 1.3591565 | 1.3E-4 | 0.003951 | 0.0036126832 | 0.0038019966 | 1.0524025 | 1.9E-4 |
6.8 | 5.9026956E-6 | 5.179353E-6 | 3.5179197E-5 | 6.792199 | 3.0E-5 | 2.5297022E-5 | 2.2197044E-5 | 8.2195715E-5 | 3.7030025 | 6.0E-5 | 3.0794772E-4 | 2.7021667E-4 | 3.5019504E-4 | 1.2959787 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0030752132 | 0.0026989973 | 0.0028186734 | 1.044341 | 1.2E-4 |
6.9 | 5.0118915E-6 | 4.2523866E-6 | 3.4252258E-5 | 8.0548315 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1479358E-5 | 1.8224391E-5 | 6.822348E-5 | 3.743526 | 5.0E-5 | 2.614798E-4 | 2.2186009E-4 | 2.9184457E-4 | 1.3154441 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0026117235 | 0.0022164586 | 0.0023262147 | 1.0495187 | 1.1E-4 |
7.0 | 4.4924795E-6 | 3.7138793E-6 | 3.3713768E-5 | 9.077777 | 3.0E-5 | 1.925334E-5 | 1.5916532E-5 | 6.591574E-5 | 4.141338 | 5.0E-5 | 2.3438422E-4 | 1.9376719E-4 | 2.637536E-4 | 1.3611883 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0023413717 | 0.0019360452 | 0.002025871 | 1.0463965 | 9.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.9118436E-6 | 3.1119403E-6 | 2.3111877E-5 | 7.426839 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6764936E-5 | 1.3336821E-5 | 4.3336422E-5 | 3.2493815 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0409399E-4 | 1.6236427E-4 | 1.923594E-4 | 1.1847397 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020390663 | 0.0016225125 | 0.0016524638 | 1.0184598 | 3.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.4200818E-6 | 2.6054174E-6 | 2.2605365E-5 | 8.676293 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4657411E-5 | 1.1166029E-5 | 4.1165695E-5 | 3.6866906 | 3.0E-5 | 1.7843937E-4 | 1.3593843E-4 | 1.6593435E-4 | 1.2206582 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0017829615 | 0.0013586025 | 0.0013885618 | 1.0220516 | 3.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.6593618E-6 | 1.8283843E-6 | 1.1828366E-5 | 6.4693 | 1.0E-5 | 1.13972155E-5 | 7.835911E-6 | 1.7835833E-5 | 2.276166 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3875226E-4 | 9.539833E-5 | 1.05397376E-4 | 1.1048137 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013866565 | 9.536027E-4 | 9.6359313E-4 | 1.0104766 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.2577992E-6 | 1.4364028E-6 | 1.4364028E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.676246E-6 | 6.155999E-6 | 6.155999E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1780193E-4 | 7.494696E-5 | 7.494696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001177395 | 7.4924197E-4 | 7.4924197E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.489319E-6 | 7.353621E-7 | 7.353621E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3827797E-6 | 3.151548E-6 | 3.151548E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.770758E-5 | 3.8369424E-5 | 3.8369424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7680405E-4 | 3.8362844E-4 | 3.8362844E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.659381E-7 | 4.659381E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.996876E-6 | 1.996876E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.4311697E-5 | 2.4311697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.4309063E-4 | 2.4309063E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5578398E-7 | 1.5578398E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.6764545E-7 | 6.6764545E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.128554E-6 | 8.128554E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.1282684E-5 | 8.1282684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bicycle Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.2097003E-5 | 7.20959E-5 | 3.2627003 | 5.0E-5 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.469877E-5 | 2.2468646E-4 | 2.372644 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011524827 | 0.0013622406 | 1.1820053 | 2.1E-4 | 0.01018633 | 0.01147837 | 0.0117848115 | 1.0266973 | 3.1E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.2097003E-5 | 7.20959E-5 | 3.2627003 | 5.0E-5 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.469877E-5 | 2.2468646E-4 | 2.372644 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011524827 | 0.0013622406 | 1.1820053 | 2.1E-4 | 0.01018633 | 0.01147837 | 0.0117848115 | 1.0266973 | 3.1E-4 |
6.2 | 9.9971285E-6 | 1.1255602E-5 | 3.125538E-5 | 2.7768729 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2844134E-5 | 4.8237696E-5 | 1.2823383E-4 | 2.658374 | 8.0E-5 | 5.2150246E-4 | 5.871877E-4 | 6.971231E-4 | 1.1872237 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0052028033 | 0.005861467 | 0.006010588 | 1.0254408 | 1.5E-4 |
6.3 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.079831E-5 | 3.0798095E-5 | 2.8521216 | 2.0E-5 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.6277943E-5 | 1.2627424E-4 | 2.7286053 | 8.0E-5 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.6334015E-4 | 6.732782E-4 | 1.195154 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0049911533 | 0.005624211 | 0.0057733674 | 1.0265204 | 1.5E-4 |
6.4 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.079831E-5 | 3.0798095E-5 | 2.8521216 | 2.0E-5 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.6277943E-5 | 1.2627424E-4 | 2.7286053 | 8.0E-5 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.6334015E-4 | 6.732782E-4 | 1.195154 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0049911533 | 0.005624211 | 0.0057733674 | 1.0265204 | 1.5E-4 |
6.5 | 5.557707E-6 | 6.2855797E-6 | 2.6285454E-5 | 4.181866 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3818526E-5 | 2.693807E-5 | 7.6936725E-5 | 2.856059 | 5.0E-5 | 2.8995197E-4 | 3.2794854E-4 | 3.9792559E-4 | 1.2133781 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0028957394 | 0.003277282 | 0.0033769542 | 1.030413 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 4.8742945E-6 | 5.5132705E-6 | 2.551316E-5 | 4.6275907 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0889667E-5 | 2.3628236E-5 | 7.362705E-5 | 3.1160624 | 5.0E-5 | 2.54302E-4 | 2.87662E-4 | 3.5764187E-4 | 1.2432711 | 7.0E-5 | 0.002540112 | 0.0028754652 | 0.0029751777 | 1.034677 | 1.0E-4 |
6.7 | 3.991108E-6 | 4.5158945E-6 | 2.4515804E-5 | 5.4287815 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7104636E-5 | 1.9353833E-5 | 6.9352864E-5 | 3.5834174 | 5.0E-5 | 2.0822904E-4 | 2.3563292E-4 | 3.0561644E-4 | 1.2970022 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0020803404 | 0.0023563292 | 0.002446117 | 1.038105 | 9.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Mojave N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9400376E-4 | 3.2397854E-4 | 1.6699601 | 1.3E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.311799E-4 | 9.7106356E-4 | 1.1682953 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010072787 | 0.010280672 | 1.0206382 | 2.1E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.09831417 | 0.0985937 | 1.0028431 | 3.1E-4 |
6.1 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9400376E-4 | 3.2397854E-4 | 1.6699601 | 1.3E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.311799E-4 | 9.7106356E-4 | 1.1682953 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010072787 | 0.010280672 | 1.0206382 | 2.1E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.09831417 | 0.0985937 | 1.0028431 | 3.1E-4 |
6.2 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9400376E-4 | 3.2397854E-4 | 1.6699601 | 1.3E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.311799E-4 | 9.7106356E-4 | 1.1682953 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010072787 | 0.010280672 | 1.0206382 | 2.1E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.09831417 | 0.0985937 | 1.0028431 | 3.1E-4 |
6.3 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9400376E-4 | 3.2397854E-4 | 1.6699601 | 1.3E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.311799E-4 | 9.7106356E-4 | 1.1682953 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010072787 | 0.010280672 | 1.0206382 | 2.1E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.09831417 | 0.0985937 | 1.0028431 | 3.1E-4 |
6.4 | 9.877682E-5 | 1.9400376E-4 | 3.2397854E-4 | 1.6699601 | 1.3E-4 | 4.2326056E-4 | 8.311799E-4 | 9.7106356E-4 | 1.1682953 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0051410277 | 0.010072787 | 0.010280672 | 1.0206382 | 2.1E-4 | 0.05023708 | 0.09831417 | 0.0985937 | 1.0028431 | 3.1E-4 |
6.5 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.9374143E-4 | 3.2371626E-4 | 1.6708673 | 1.3E-4 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.3005644E-4 | 9.699402E-4 | 1.1685232 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0051326132 | 0.010059236 | 0.010267123 | 1.0206664 | 2.1E-4 | 0.050156746 | 0.098192066 | 0.09847163 | 1.0028471 | 3.1E-4 |
6.6 | 9.861474E-5 | 1.9374143E-4 | 3.2371626E-4 | 1.6708673 | 1.3E-4 | 4.2256617E-4 | 8.3005644E-4 | 9.699402E-4 | 1.1685232 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0051326132 | 0.010059236 | 0.010267123 | 1.0206664 | 2.1E-4 | 0.050156746 | 0.098192066 | 0.09847163 | 1.0028471 | 3.1E-4 |
6.7 | 9.8552715E-5 | 1.9364097E-4 | 3.236158E-4 | 1.6712155 | 1.3E-4 | 4.223004E-4 | 8.296261E-4 | 9.6950994E-4 | 1.1686107 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0051293927 | 0.010054044 | 0.010261933 | 1.0206771 | 2.1E-4 | 0.050125998 | 0.09814528 | 0.09842485 | 1.0028486 | 3.1E-4 |
6.8 | 9.8464974E-5 | 1.9349258E-4 | 3.2346742E-4 | 1.6717304 | 1.3E-4 | 4.219245E-4 | 8.2899054E-4 | 9.688745E-4 | 1.16874 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0051248376 | 0.010046378 | 0.010254269 | 1.0206931 | 2.1E-4 | 0.05008251 | 0.0980755 | 0.09835509 | 1.0028508 | 3.1E-4 |
6.9 | 9.825824E-5 | 1.9317267E-4 | 3.2314757E-4 | 1.672843 | 1.3E-4 | 4.2103877E-4 | 8.2762045E-4 | 9.675046E-4 | 1.1690197 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0051141046 | 0.0100298505 | 0.010237744 | 1.0207275 | 2.1E-4 | 0.049980022 | 0.09792483 | 0.09820448 | 1.0028557 | 3.1E-4 |
7.0 | 9.781462E-5 | 1.9248636E-4 | 3.2246133E-4 | 1.6752425 | 1.3E-4 | 4.1913814E-4 | 8.246809E-4 | 9.6456544E-4 | 1.1696227 | 1.4E-4 | 0.005091073 | 0.00999439 | 0.010202291 | 1.0208018 | 2.1E-4 | 0.04976007 | 0.09760107 | 0.09788082 | 1.0028661 | 3.1E-4 |
7.1 | 9.7121134E-5 | 1.9150345E-4 | 3.2147855E-4 | 1.6787089 | 1.3E-4 | 4.1616702E-4 | 8.2047115E-4 | 9.6035626E-4 | 1.1704937 | 1.4E-4 | 0.005055068 | 0.009943605 | 0.010151518 | 1.0209091 | 2.1E-4 | 0.04941613 | 0.09713763 | 0.09741751 | 1.0028814 | 3.1E-4 |
7.2 | 9.663819E-5 | 1.9081132E-4 | 3.207865E-4 | 1.6811713 | 1.3E-4 | 4.1409794E-4 | 8.175067E-4 | 9.573922E-4 | 1.1711124 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0050299936 | 0.009907843 | 0.010115761 | 1.0209854 | 2.1E-4 | 0.049176537 | 0.09681076 | 0.09709074 | 1.0028921 | 3.1E-4 |
7.3 | 9.6277574E-5 | 1.9033643E-4 | 3.203117E-4 | 1.6828711 | 1.3E-4 | 4.125529E-4 | 8.1547274E-4 | 9.5535856E-4 | 1.1715395 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0050112694 | 0.009883304 | 0.010091228 | 1.0210379 | 2.1E-4 | 0.04899759 | 0.09658421 | 0.09686427 | 1.0028996 | 3.1E-4 |
7.4 | 9.593308E-5 | 1.897343E-4 | 3.1970962E-4 | 1.6850387 | 1.3E-4 | 4.1107697E-4 | 8.128938E-4 | 9.5277996E-4 | 1.1720842 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0049933824 | 0.00985219 | 0.01006012 | 1.021105 | 2.1E-4 | 0.04882661 | 0.09630179 | 0.096581936 | 1.0029091 | 3.1E-4 |
7.5 | 9.561707E-5 | 1.8919505E-4 | 3.1917045E-4 | 1.6869916 | 1.3E-4 | 4.0972308E-4 | 8.1058417E-4 | 9.504707E-4 | 1.172575 | 1.4E-4 | 0.0049769743 | 0.009824324 | 0.010032261 | 1.0211655 | 2.1E-4 | 0.048669744 | 0.09604819 | 0.096328415 | 1.0029175 | 3.1E-4 |
7.6 | 9.418194E-5 | 1.857177E-4 | 3.1569356E-4 | 1.6998571 | 1.3E-4 | 4.0357444E-4 | 7.9569034E-4 | 9.3557895E-4 | 1.1758078 | 1.4E-4 | 0.004902454 | 0.009644611 | 0.009852585 | 1.0215638 | 2.1E-4 | 0.047957025 | 0.09442954 | 0.09471027 | 1.0029728 | 3.1E-4 |
7.7 | 8.202141E-5 | 1.6020852E-4 | 2.801893E-4 | 1.7489038 | 1.2E-4 | 3.51473E-4 | 6.8642735E-4 | 8.163381E-4 | 1.1892564 | 1.3E-4 | 0.00427079 | 0.008325285 | 0.008523621 | 1.0238231 | 2.0E-4 | 0.04189639 | 0.08223154 | 0.08249769 | 1.0032367 | 2.9E-4 |
7.8 | 7.2859846E-5 | 1.4516065E-4 | 2.6514323E-4 | 1.8265504 | 1.2E-4 | 3.1221908E-4 | 6.2196876E-4 | 7.418941E-4 | 1.1928158 | 1.2E-4 | 0.003794643 | 0.007546219 | 0.0077248607 | 1.023673 | 1.8E-4 | 0.037304975 | 0.07472428 | 0.0749556 | 1.0030956 | 2.5E-4 |
7.9 | 5.3874453E-5 | 1.00452475E-4 | 2.0044243E-4 | 1.9953957 | 1.0E-4 | 2.3087008E-4 | 4.3043957E-4 | 5.3039653E-4 | 1.2322206 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0028072202 | 0.0052280203 | 0.0053672884 | 1.0266387 | 1.4E-4 | 0.02772022 | 0.052421875 | 0.052573487 | 1.0028921 | 1.6E-4 |
8.0 | 3.468538E-5 | 5.4255845E-5 | 7.425476E-5 | 1.3686038 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4864317E-4 | 2.3250433E-4 | 2.5249968E-4 | 1.0859998 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0018082283 | 0.0028270676 | 0.0028569826 | 1.0105817 | 3.0E-5 | 0.017935853 | 0.02894576 | 0.028984603 | 1.0013419 | 4.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9152367E-5 | 1.9398649E-5 | 1.9398649E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.207899E-5 | 8.313442E-5 | 8.313442E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.988535E-4 | 0.0010116922 | 0.0010116922 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009943757 | 0.0108545665 | 0.0108545665 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.472644E-6 | 5.472644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3453977E-5 | 2.3453977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8551483E-4 | 2.8551483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.003247653 | 0.003247653 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6547434E-7 | 7.6547434E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9940594E-5 | 3.9940594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7170694E-4 | 4.7170694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Paradise
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6694737E-5 | 1.1669307E-4 | 6.9898114 | 1.0E-4 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.1547045E-5 | 2.0153774E-4 | 2.8168564 | 1.3E-4 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.7076076E-4 | 0.0011105518 | 1.2753811 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008675868 | 0.008973265 | 1.0342786 | 3.0E-4 |
6.1 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6694737E-5 | 1.1669307E-4 | 6.9898114 | 1.0E-4 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.1547045E-5 | 2.0153774E-4 | 2.8168564 | 1.3E-4 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.7076076E-4 | 0.0011105518 | 1.2753811 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008675868 | 0.008973265 | 1.0342786 | 3.0E-4 |
6.2 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.6694737E-5 | 1.1669307E-4 | 6.9898114 | 1.0E-4 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.1547045E-5 | 2.0153774E-4 | 2.8168564 | 1.3E-4 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.7076076E-4 | 0.0011105518 | 1.2753811 | 2.4E-4 | 0.0077192914 | 0.008675868 | 0.008973265 | 1.0342786 | 3.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.1888677E-5 | 9.188773E-5 | 7.7290115 | 8.0E-5 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.095051E-5 | 1.4094592E-4 | 2.76633 | 9.0E-5 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.2015187E-4 | 7.4007746E-4 | 1.193381 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0054258266 | 0.006184821 | 0.006323955 | 1.0224961 | 1.4E-4 |
6.4 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.1888677E-5 | 9.188773E-5 | 7.7290115 | 8.0E-5 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.095051E-5 | 1.4094592E-4 | 2.76633 | 9.0E-5 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.2015187E-4 | 7.4007746E-4 | 1.193381 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0054258266 | 0.006184821 | 0.006323955 | 1.0224961 | 1.4E-4 |
6.5 | 9.25027E-6 | 1.062002E-5 | 8.061928E-5 | 7.591255 | 7.0E-5 | 3.964341E-5 | 4.5513603E-5 | 1.2550996E-4 | 2.7576363 | 8.0E-5 | 4.8255164E-4 | 5.539921E-4 | 6.539367E-4 | 1.180408 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0048150513 | 0.00552661 | 0.0056260577 | 1.0179943 | 1.0E-4 |
6.6 | 7.904275E-6 | 9.1595875E-6 | 4.915922E-5 | 5.3669686 | 4.0E-5 | 3.3875025E-5 | 3.925481E-5 | 8.925285E-5 | 2.2736793 | 5.0E-5 | 4.1235037E-4 | 4.7782643E-4 | 5.3779775E-4 | 1.1255087 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0041158604 | 0.004768387 | 0.004828101 | 1.0125228 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.2061953E-6 | 8.407313E-6 | 3.840706E-5 | 4.568292 | 3.0E-5 | 3.088333E-5 | 3.6030862E-5 | 7.602942E-5 | 2.1101193 | 4.0E-5 | 3.7593965E-4 | 4.3859115E-4 | 4.885692E-4 | 1.1139514 | 5.0E-5 | 0.003753043 | 0.0043776245 | 0.0044274055 | 1.0113717 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.6948724E-6 | 7.84223E-6 | 3.7841994E-5 | 4.8254128 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8691995E-5 | 3.3609143E-5 | 7.36078E-5 | 2.1901124 | 4.0E-5 | 3.4926904E-4 | 4.0911807E-4 | 4.5909762E-4 | 1.1221641 | 5.0E-5 | 0.003487206 | 0.0040840064 | 0.0041338024 | 1.0121928 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.0421025E-6 | 7.1306854E-6 | 2.7130543E-5 | 3.8047595 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5894467E-5 | 3.0559742E-5 | 5.055913E-5 | 1.6544358 | 2.0E-5 | 3.1521954E-4 | 3.7200472E-4 | 3.9199728E-4 | 1.0537428 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0031477278 | 0.0037141584 | 0.003734084 | 1.0053648 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.134091E-6 | 5.0803756E-6 | 1.5080324E-5 | 2.9683485 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7717413E-5 | 2.1772865E-5 | 3.1772648E-5 | 1.4592773 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1568815E-4 | 2.650539E-4 | 2.7505128E-4 | 1.0377182 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021547892 | 0.002647531 | 0.0026575045 | 1.0037671 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.7674888E-6 | 4.63193E-6 | 1.46318835E-5 | 3.1589172 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6146281E-5 | 1.9850986E-5 | 2.9850788E-5 | 1.5037433 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9656324E-4 | 2.4166047E-4 | 2.5165806E-4 | 1.0413704 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019638946 | 0.0024141273 | 0.0024241032 | 1.0041323 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.4065345E-6 | 4.156776E-6 | 1.4156734E-5 | 3.4057004 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4599351E-5 | 1.7814642E-5 | 2.7814463E-5 | 1.561326 | 1.0E-5 | 1.777326E-4 | 2.1687317E-4 | 2.2687101E-4 | 1.0460999 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017759053 | 0.0021667634 | 0.0021767418 | 1.0046052 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.9934936E-6 | 3.6293627E-6 | 1.36293265E-5 | 3.7552948 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2829195E-5 | 1.5554328E-5 | 2.555417E-5 | 1.642898 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5618425E-4 | 1.8935895E-4 | 1.9935706E-4 | 1.0527997 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015607453 | 0.0018921213 | 0.0019021024 | 1.0052751 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.4049796E-6 | 2.889017E-6 | 1.2888988E-5 | 4.461375 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0307015E-5 | 1.238145E-5 | 2.2381326E-5 | 1.8076499 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2548068E-4 | 1.5073517E-4 | 1.6073366E-4 | 1.0663315 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012540985 | 0.0015064707 | 0.0015164557 | 1.006628 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2710091E-6 | 1.5134848E-6 | 1.151347E-5 | 7.6072583 | 1.0E-5 | 5.44717E-6 | 6.4863543E-6 | 1.6486289E-5 | 2.5416882 | 1.0E-5 | 6.631728E-5 | 7.896975E-5 | 8.896896E-5 | 1.1266208 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6297496E-4 | 7.8953954E-4 | 7.9953164E-4 | 1.0126556 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Towne Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8945404E-6 | 6.389431E-5 | 16.406122 | 6.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690807E-5 | 1.066893E-4 | 6.3921003 | 9.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319599E-4 | 3.7316143E-4 | 1.8364607 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.002030531 | 0.002290003 | 1.1277853 | 2.6E-4 |
6.1 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8945404E-6 | 6.389431E-5 | 16.406122 | 6.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690807E-5 | 1.066893E-4 | 6.3921003 | 9.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319599E-4 | 3.7316143E-4 | 1.8364607 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.002030531 | 0.002290003 | 1.1277853 | 2.6E-4 |
6.2 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8945404E-6 | 6.389431E-5 | 16.406122 | 6.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690807E-5 | 1.066893E-4 | 6.3921003 | 9.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319599E-4 | 3.7316143E-4 | 1.8364607 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.002030531 | 0.002290003 | 1.1277853 | 2.6E-4 |
6.3 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8945404E-6 | 6.389431E-5 | 16.406122 | 6.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690807E-5 | 1.066893E-4 | 6.3921003 | 9.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319599E-4 | 3.7316143E-4 | 1.8364607 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.002030531 | 0.002290003 | 1.1277853 | 2.6E-4 |
6.4 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8945404E-6 | 6.389431E-5 | 16.406122 | 6.0E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6690807E-5 | 1.066893E-4 | 6.3921003 | 9.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0319599E-4 | 3.7316143E-4 | 1.8364607 | 1.7E-4 | 0.0020067208 | 0.002030531 | 0.002290003 | 1.1277853 | 2.6E-4 |
6.5 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2030522E-6 | 1.120304E-5 | 9.312181 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.155928E-6 | 1.5155877E-5 | 2.9395049 | 1.0E-5 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.277174E-5 | 9.276986E-5 | 1.477892 | 3.0E-5 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.275518E-4 | 6.675267E-4 | 1.0636997 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2030522E-6 | 1.120304E-5 | 9.312181 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.155928E-6 | 1.5155877E-5 | 2.9395049 | 1.0E-5 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.277174E-5 | 9.276986E-5 | 1.477892 | 3.0E-5 | 6.235248E-4 | 6.275518E-4 | 6.675267E-4 | 1.0636997 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.375951E-7 | 8.4106733E-7 | 1.0841059E-5 | 12.889645 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5896885E-6 | 3.6045697E-6 | 1.3604534E-5 | 3.7742462 | 1.0E-5 | 4.370358E-5 | 4.3884807E-5 | 5.388437E-5 | 1.2278593 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3694986E-4 | 4.3876714E-4 | 4.5875835E-4 | 1.0455623 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.38041E-7 | 6.3921595E-7 | 1.063921E-5 | 16.644156 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7344586E-6 | 2.7394944E-6 | 1.2739467E-5 | 4.6502986 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3291526E-5 | 3.3352873E-5 | 4.335254E-5 | 1.2998142 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3286537E-4 | 3.334825E-4 | 3.534758E-4 | 1.0599532 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.3460053E-7 | 5.345337E-7 | 5.345337E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2911431E-6 | 2.2908569E-6 | 2.2908569E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.789431E-5 | 2.789086E-5 | 2.789086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.789081E-4 | 2.788769E-4 | 2.8887411E-4 | 1.0358481 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.557783E-7 | 3.532427E-7 | 3.532427E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5247632E-6 | 1.5138964E-6 | 1.5138964E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8563835E-5 | 1.8431541E-5 | 1.8431541E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8562283E-4 | 1.8430098E-4 | 1.9429914E-4 | 1.054249 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.037942E-7 | 3.0002266E-7 | 3.0002266E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3019744E-6 | 1.2858108E-6 | 1.2858108E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5851423E-5 | 1.5654641E-5 | 1.5654641E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5850292E-4 | 1.5653613E-4 | 1.6653458E-4 | 1.063873 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.0808248E-7 | 2.0217729E-7 | 2.0217729E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.917818E-7 | 8.6647384E-7 | 8.6647384E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0857389E-5 | 1.0549273E-5 | 1.0549273E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0856859E-4 | 1.0548818E-4 | 1.1548713E-4 | 1.0947874 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.1162073E-7 | 1.0636901E-7 | 1.0636901E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7837443E-7 | 4.558671E-7 | 4.558671E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8241935E-6 | 5.55017E-6 | 5.55017E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8240406E-5 | 5.5500514E-5 | 6.549996E-5 | 1.1801685 | 1.0E-5 |
Garlic Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6760017E-5 | 1.8776773E-5 | 8.877546E-5 | 4.72794 | 7.0E-5 | 7.182667E-5 | 8.047006E-5 | 1.9046121E-4 | 2.366858 | 1.1E-4 | 8.7413884E-4 | 9.794E-4 | 0.0011891944 | 1.2142069 | 2.1E-4 | 0.008707083 | 0.009762382 | 0.010039648 | 1.0284015 | 2.8E-4 |
6.1 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0973554E-5 | 4.0973224E-5 | 3.7338154 | 3.0E-5 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.702907E-5 | 9.7026714E-5 | 2.0631223 | 5.0E-5 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.724994E-4 | 6.624479E-4 | 1.1571153 | 9.0E-5 | 0.005127866 | 0.005717204 | 0.005846461 | 1.0226084 | 1.3E-4 |
6.2 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0973554E-5 | 4.0973224E-5 | 3.7338154 | 3.0E-5 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.702907E-5 | 9.7026714E-5 | 2.0631223 | 5.0E-5 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.724994E-4 | 6.624479E-4 | 1.1571153 | 9.0E-5 | 0.005127866 | 0.005717204 | 0.005846461 | 1.0226084 | 1.3E-4 |
6.3 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.778015E-6 | 2.4777919E-5 | 5.1858187 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0477177E-5 | 5.0476563E-5 | 2.4650156 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4930414E-4 | 2.7929666E-4 | 1.120305 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024925028 | 0.0025523533 | 1.0240122 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.778015E-6 | 2.4777919E-5 | 5.1858187 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0477177E-5 | 5.0476563E-5 | 2.4650156 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4930414E-4 | 2.7929666E-4 | 1.120305 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024925028 | 0.0025523533 | 1.0240122 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.778015E-6 | 2.4777919E-5 | 5.1858187 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0477177E-5 | 5.0476563E-5 | 2.4650156 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4930414E-4 | 2.7929666E-4 | 1.120305 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0022499003 | 0.0024925028 | 0.0025523533 | 1.0240122 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.301311E-6 | 4.7608837E-6 | 2.4760788E-5 | 5.200881 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8434059E-5 | 2.0403757E-5 | 5.0403145E-5 | 2.4702876 | 3.0E-5 | 2.2441156E-4 | 2.4841045E-4 | 2.78403E-4 | 1.1207379 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0022418506 | 0.002483586 | 0.002543437 | 1.0240986 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.8599724E-6 | 4.2710476E-6 | 2.4270963E-5 | 5.6826715 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6542634E-5 | 1.830449E-5 | 4.830394E-5 | 2.6389122 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0138794E-4 | 2.2285717E-4 | 2.5285047E-4 | 1.1345854 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020120554 | 0.0022285716 | 0.002288438 | 1.0268631 | 6.0E-5 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.16063E-4 | 4.360251E-4 | 1.3795512 | 1.2E-4 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013538585 | 0.0014836825 | 1.0958918 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016360149 | 0.016537204 | 1.0108223 | 1.8E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.15021089 | 0.15042335 | 1.0014143 | 2.5E-4 |
6.1 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.16063E-4 | 4.360251E-4 | 1.3795512 | 1.2E-4 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013538585 | 0.0014836825 | 1.0958918 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016360149 | 0.016537204 | 1.0108223 | 1.8E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.15021089 | 0.15042335 | 1.0014143 | 2.5E-4 |
6.2 | 1.4273766E-4 | 3.16063E-4 | 4.360251E-4 | 1.3795512 | 1.2E-4 | 6.115894E-4 | 0.0013538585 | 0.0014836825 | 1.0958918 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0074207084 | 0.016360149 | 0.016537204 | 1.0108223 | 1.8E-4 | 0.07177748 | 0.15021089 | 0.15042335 | 1.0014143 | 2.5E-4 |
6.3 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.051113E-4 | 4.2507466E-4 | 1.3931792 | 1.2E-4 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0013069701 | 0.0014368002 | 1.0993367 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0071393442 | 0.015797663 | 0.015974822 | 1.0112141 | 1.8E-4 | 0.06914291 | 0.14551277 | 0.1457264 | 1.0014681 | 2.5E-4 |
6.4 | 1.3730655E-4 | 3.051113E-4 | 4.2507466E-4 | 1.3931792 | 1.2E-4 | 5.883239E-4 | 0.0013069701 | 0.0014368002 | 1.0993367 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0071393442 | 0.015797663 | 0.015974822 | 1.0112141 | 1.8E-4 | 0.06914291 | 0.14551277 | 0.1457264 | 1.0014681 | 2.5E-4 |
6.5 | 1.2942807E-4 | 2.8925604E-4 | 4.0922133E-4 | 1.4147373 | 1.2E-4 | 5.545738E-4 | 0.001239085 | 0.0013689239 | 1.1047862 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0067310524 | 0.014982755 | 0.015160059 | 1.0118338 | 1.8E-4 | 0.06530788 | 0.13865013 | 0.13885686 | 1.001491 | 2.4E-4 |
6.6 | 1.1125901E-4 | 2.5364384E-4 | 3.736134E-4 | 1.4729843 | 1.2E-4 | 4.767372E-4 | 0.0010865945 | 0.0012164533 | 1.1195098 | 1.3E-4 | 0.005788839 | 0.013149675 | 0.013327308 | 1.0135086 | 1.8E-4 | 0.056403454 | 0.123004206 | 0.123214684 | 1.0017111 | 2.4E-4 |
6.7 | 1.02209575E-4 | 2.3499398E-4 | 3.5496577E-4 | 1.5105314 | 1.2E-4 | 4.3796748E-4 | 0.0010067298 | 0.0011365989 | 1.129001 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0053192247 | 0.012188473 | 0.012366279 | 1.014588 | 1.8E-4 | 0.051936906 | 0.114792004 | 0.11500446 | 1.0018507 | 2.4E-4 |
6.8 | 9.610582E-5 | 2.2025258E-4 | 3.4022616E-4 | 1.5447091 | 1.2E-4 | 4.1181705E-4 | 9.4359886E-4 | 0.0010734762 | 1.1376404 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0050023515 | 0.011428066 | 0.011606009 | 1.0155706 | 1.8E-4 | 0.048912346 | 0.10820393 | 0.108417965 | 1.001978 | 2.4E-4 |
6.9 | 9.3877505E-5 | 2.1480804E-4 | 3.3478226E-4 | 1.5585183 | 1.2E-4 | 4.0227012E-4 | 9.202817E-4 | 0.001050162 | 1.141131 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0048866454 | 0.011147114 | 0.011325108 | 1.0159677 | 1.8E-4 | 0.04780577 | 0.10579752 | 0.10601213 | 1.0020285 | 2.4E-4 |
7.0 | 9.1019785E-5 | 2.080777E-4 | 3.2805273E-4 | 1.5765877 | 1.2E-4 | 3.900265E-4 | 8.914574E-4 | 0.0010213415 | 1.1456987 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0047382377 | 0.010799707 | 0.010977763 | 1.0164871 | 1.8E-4 | 0.046384744 | 0.10276893 | 0.102984264 | 1.0020953 | 2.4E-4 |
7.1 | 8.771155E-5 | 1.998233E-4 | 3.1979932E-4 | 1.6004106 | 1.2E-4 | 3.758525E-4 | 8.56105E-4 | 9.859938E-4 | 1.1517205 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0045664064 | 0.010373463 | 0.010551595 | 1.017172 | 1.8E-4 | 0.044737056 | 0.099074826 | 0.09929105 | 1.0021824 | 2.4E-4 |
7.2 | 8.0830236E-5 | 1.8387941E-4 | 3.0385735E-4 | 1.6524816 | 1.2E-4 | 3.4636928E-4 | 7.878168E-4 | 9.177144E-4 | 1.164883 | 1.3E-4 | 0.0042088944 | 0.009549593 | 0.009727873 | 1.018669 | 1.8E-4 | 0.041300658 | 0.09180283 | 0.092020795 | 1.0023743 | 2.4E-4 |
7.3 | 7.7668235E-5 | 1.7331538E-4 | 2.7329804E-4 | 1.5768828 | 1.0E-4 | 3.328214E-4 | 7.4256887E-4 | 8.5248717E-4 | 1.1480244 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0040445733 | 0.009003378 | 0.009161938 | 1.0176111 | 1.6E-4 | 0.03971748 | 0.08706429 | 0.087265134 | 1.0023068 | 2.2E-4 |
7.4 | 7.520177E-5 | 1.6551661E-4 | 2.6550007E-4 | 1.604069 | 1.0E-4 | 3.2225347E-4 | 7.091642E-4 | 8.1908616E-4 | 1.1550022 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0039163795 | 0.008599959 | 0.008758583 | 1.0184448 | 1.6E-4 | 0.038480744 | 0.0835185 | 0.08372012 | 1.0024141 | 2.2E-4 |
7.5 | 7.274697E-5 | 1.5839333E-4 | 2.583775E-4 | 1.6312397 | 1.0E-4 | 3.1173544E-4 | 6.786521E-4 | 7.885774E-4 | 1.161976 | 1.1E-4 | 0.003788775 | 0.008231343 | 0.008390026 | 1.0192779 | 1.6E-4 | 0.03724827 | 0.08023453 | 0.08042768 | 1.0024073 | 2.1E-4 |
7.6 | 7.1185845E-5 | 1.5409182E-4 | 2.540764E-4 | 1.6488638 | 1.0E-4 | 3.0504653E-4 | 6.602264E-4 | 7.7015377E-4 | 1.1664995 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0037076178 | 0.008008682 | 0.008167401 | 1.0198183 | 1.6E-4 | 0.036463667 | 0.07822441 | 0.07841799 | 1.0024745 | 2.1E-4 |
7.7 | 6.709961E-5 | 1.4318043E-4 | 2.431661E-4 | 1.6983196 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8753807E-4 | 6.134861E-4 | 7.234186E-4 | 1.1791931 | 1.1E-4 | 0.003495157 | 0.007443652 | 0.007602461 | 1.0213348 | 1.6E-4 | 0.034406938 | 0.07305382 | 0.073248476 | 1.0026646 | 2.1E-4 |
7.8 | 6.300812E-5 | 1.3202122E-4 | 2.3200801E-4 | 1.757354 | 1.0E-4 | 2.7000686E-4 | 5.6568254E-4 | 6.756203E-4 | 1.1943454 | 1.1E-4 | 0.0032823787 | 0.0068654646 | 0.007014435 | 1.0216985 | 1.5E-4 | 0.032343175 | 0.06771226 | 0.06789872 | 1.0027536 | 2.0E-4 |
7.9 | 4.983037E-5 | 9.723151E-5 | 1.9722179E-4 | 2.0283732 | 1.0E-4 | 2.1354125E-4 | 4.1663993E-4 | 5.165983E-4 | 1.2399154 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0025967648 | 0.005060803 | 0.0052000945 | 1.0275236 | 1.4E-4 | 0.025666296 | 0.050646737 | 0.050798636 | 1.0029992 | 1.6E-4 |
8.0 | 3.2211527E-5 | 5.3300802E-5 | 7.3299736E-5 | 1.3752089 | 2.0E-5 | 1.380421E-4 | 2.2841203E-4 | 2.4840745E-4 | 1.0875411 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016793669 | 0.0027773718 | 0.0028072884 | 1.0107716 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016667323 | 0.028359966 | 0.028398832 | 1.0013704 | 4.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.743376E-5 | 1.8820898E-5 | 1.8820898E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.471398E-5 | 8.06585E-5 | 8.06585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0926304E-4 | 9.815755E-4 | 9.815755E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009055517 | 0.010482702 | 0.010482702 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 7.831616E-6 | 5.153101E-6 | 5.153101E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3563636E-5 | 2.2084532E-5 | 2.2084532E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0856065E-4 | 2.6884608E-4 | 2.6884608E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004078103 | 0.0030408972 | 0.0030408972 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6547434E-7 | 7.6547434E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9940594E-5 | 3.9940594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7170694E-4 | 4.7170694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino S)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0004286E-4 | 3.6002486E-4 | 1.1999115 | 6.0E-5 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012852903 | 0.0013552004 | 1.0543925 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006416472 | 0.015541089 | 0.015659224 | 1.0076015 | 1.2E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.14294769 | 0.14311053 | 1.0011392 | 1.9E-4 |
6.1 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0004286E-4 | 3.6002486E-4 | 1.1999115 | 6.0E-5 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012852903 | 0.0013552004 | 1.0543925 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006416472 | 0.015541089 | 0.015659224 | 1.0076015 | 1.2E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.14294769 | 0.14311053 | 1.0011392 | 1.9E-4 |
6.2 | 1.2336002E-4 | 3.0004286E-4 | 3.6002486E-4 | 1.1999115 | 6.0E-5 | 5.2857865E-4 | 0.0012852903 | 0.0013552004 | 1.0543925 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006416472 | 0.015541089 | 0.015659224 | 1.0076015 | 1.2E-4 | 0.06234337 | 0.14294769 | 0.14311053 | 1.0011392 | 1.9E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.8792562E-4 | 3.4790835E-4 | 1.2083272 | 6.0E-5 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.001233409 | 0.0013033227 | 1.0566833 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006093008 | 0.014918202 | 0.015036412 | 1.0079238 | 1.2E-4 | 0.059286322 | 0.13765801 | 0.13782185 | 1.0011902 | 1.9E-4 |
6.4 | 1.1712257E-4 | 2.8792562E-4 | 3.4790835E-4 | 1.2083272 | 6.0E-5 | 5.018573E-4 | 0.001233409 | 0.0013033227 | 1.0566833 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006093008 | 0.014918202 | 0.015036412 | 1.0079238 | 1.2E-4 | 0.059286322 | 0.13765801 | 0.13782185 | 1.0011902 | 1.9E-4 |
6.5 | 1.0689076E-4 | 2.6805513E-4 | 3.2803905E-4 | 1.2237746 | 6.0E-5 | 4.5802278E-4 | 0.0011483267 | 0.0012182463 | 1.0608883 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0055621783 | 0.01389587 | 0.014014203 | 1.0085157 | 1.2E-4 | 0.05425003 | 0.12889913 | 0.12905593 | 1.0012164 | 1.8E-4 |
6.6 | 9.7648895E-5 | 2.505039E-4 | 3.1048886E-4 | 1.2394572 | 6.0E-5 | 4.1842813E-4 | 0.00107317 | 0.0011430949 | 1.0651573 | 7.0E-5 | 0.005082469 | 0.012991933 | 0.013110374 | 1.0091165 | 1.2E-4 | 0.049677886 | 0.12107798 | 0.12123618 | 1.0013067 | 1.8E-4 |
6.7 | 8.757013E-5 | 2.3121275E-4 | 2.9119887E-4 | 1.2594413 | 6.0E-5 | 3.7524657E-4 | 9.905577E-4 | 0.0010604884 | 1.0705973 | 7.0E-5 | 0.00455906 | 0.011997437 | 0.012115997 | 1.0098821 | 1.2E-4 | 0.04466656 | 0.11237315 | 0.11253292 | 1.0014218 | 1.8E-4 |
6.8 | 8.562978E-5 | 2.2681156E-4 | 2.8679796E-4 | 1.2644768 | 6.0E-5 | 3.6693315E-4 | 9.7170967E-4 | 0.0010416416 | 1.071968 | 7.0E-5 | 0.004458263 | 0.011770456 | 0.011889044 | 1.010075 | 1.2E-4 | 0.043698758 | 0.11037876 | 0.11053889 | 1.0014508 | 1.8E-4 |
6.9 | 6.124075E-5 | 1.7065984E-4 | 2.206513E-4 | 1.2929305 | 5.0E-5 | 2.6243398E-4 | 7.3119515E-4 | 7.8115857E-4 | 1.0683312 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0031904527 | 0.00886617 | 0.0089553725 | 1.0100609 | 9.0E-5 | 0.031450346 | 0.08420275 | 0.08433097 | 1.0015227 | 1.4E-4 |
7.0 | 5.8598747E-5 | 1.6495038E-4 | 2.1494213E-4 | 1.3030715 | 5.0E-5 | 2.5111332E-4 | 7.067395E-4 | 7.5670413E-4 | 1.0706974 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0030530186 | 0.0085708015 | 0.00866003 | 1.0104108 | 9.0E-5 | 0.03011414 | 0.0815164 | 0.08164499 | 1.0015775 | 1.4E-4 |
7.1 | 5.613814E-5 | 1.591358E-4 | 2.0912784E-4 | 1.3141471 | 5.0E-5 | 2.4056983E-4 | 6.818331E-4 | 7.31799E-4 | 1.0732818 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0029250039 | 0.008269901 | 0.0083591575 | 1.0107929 | 9.0E-5 | 0.028868021 | 0.078811035 | 0.07894 | 1.0016364 | 1.4E-4 |
7.2 | 4.991222E-5 | 1.4520068E-4 | 1.9519341E-4 | 1.344301 | 5.0E-5 | 2.1389198E-4 | 6.221406E-4 | 6.721095E-4 | 1.0803177 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002601025 | 0.0075483583 | 0.0076376786 | 1.0118331 | 9.0E-5 | 0.025707912 | 0.072260134 | 0.07239002 | 1.0017974 | 1.4E-4 |
7.3 | 4.7410045E-5 | 1.3714298E-4 | 1.8713613E-4 | 1.364533 | 5.0E-5 | 2.0317009E-4 | 5.8762357E-4 | 6.375942E-4 | 1.0850384 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0024707897 | 0.0071309344 | 0.0072202925 | 1.012531 | 9.0E-5 | 0.024434982 | 0.06853887 | 0.06866927 | 1.0019026 | 1.4E-4 |
7.4 | 4.5556746E-5 | 1.312221E-4 | 1.8121554E-4 | 1.3809834 | 5.0E-5 | 1.952286E-4 | 5.622595E-4 | 6.122314E-4 | 1.088877 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002374317 | 0.006824102 | 0.006913488 | 1.0130986 | 9.0E-5 | 0.023491086 | 0.06578871 | 0.065919496 | 1.001988 | 1.4E-4 |
7.5 | 4.3084514E-5 | 1.2357533E-4 | 1.7356916E-4 | 1.4045615 | 5.0E-5 | 1.8463485E-4 | 5.2950135E-4 | 5.794749E-4 | 1.0943785 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0022456115 | 0.006427695 | 0.006517117 | 1.013912 | 9.0E-5 | 0.022230545 | 0.06218916 | 0.06231108 | 1.0019604 | 1.3E-4 |
7.6 | 3.408608E-5 | 9.835737E-5 | 1.4835245E-4 | 1.5083003 | 5.0E-5 | 1.4607502E-4 | 4.214636E-4 | 4.7144253E-4 | 1.1185842 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0017770125 | 0.005119272 | 0.0052088113 | 1.0174906 | 9.0E-5 | 0.017628696 | 0.050020944 | 0.05014444 | 1.002469 | 1.3E-4 |
7.7 | 2.8315713E-5 | 8.248871E-5 | 1.324846E-4 | 1.6060935 | 5.0E-5 | 1.2134742E-4 | 3.534752E-4 | 4.034575E-4 | 1.1414026 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0014764034 | 0.004295077 | 0.0043846904 | 1.0208642 | 9.0E-5 | 0.01466633 | 0.04227132 | 0.042395823 | 1.0029454 | 1.3E-4 |
7.8 | 2.6222975E-5 | 7.463234E-5 | 1.2462861E-4 | 1.6699008 | 5.0E-5 | 1.1237934E-4 | 3.198137E-4 | 3.6979772E-4 | 1.156291 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0013673597 | 0.0038867863 | 0.0039664754 | 1.0205026 | 8.0E-5 | 0.013589768 | 0.038436614 | 0.038552 | 1.003002 | 1.2E-4 |
7.9 | 2.1469694E-5 | 5.787948E-5 | 1.07876585E-4 | 1.863814 | 5.0E-5 | 9.200973E-5 | 2.4803134E-4 | 2.9801895E-4 | 1.2015374 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0011196428 | 0.003015603 | 0.0030953616 | 1.0264487 | 8.0E-5 | 0.011140184 | 0.030151661 | 0.030248646 | 1.0032166 | 1.0E-4 |
8.0 | 1.2420249E-5 | 3.1318876E-5 | 4.1318563E-5 | 1.3192862 | 1.0E-5 | 5.322855E-5 | 1.3421685E-4 | 1.442155E-4 | 1.0744963 | 1.0E-5 | 6.478649E-4 | 0.0016328663 | 0.0016528337 | 1.0122284 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0064597935 | 0.01652268 | 0.016552184 | 1.0017856 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 4.9197724E-6 | 7.8215E-6 | 7.8215E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1084568E-5 | 3.3520282E-5 | 3.3520282E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.566744E-4 | 4.0803317E-4 | 4.0803317E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002563781 | 0.0043841708 | 0.0043841708 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.5634774E-6 | 2.906094E-6 | 2.906094E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0986286E-5 | 1.245463E-5 | 1.245463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3374983E-4 | 1.5162461E-4 | 1.5162461E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013366934 | 0.0017047176 | 0.0017047176 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.2850464E-7 | 3.2074206E-7 | 3.2074206E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2650179E-6 | 1.3746081E-6 | 1.3746081E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7576245E-5 | 1.6735738E-5 | 1.6735738E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7572823E-4 | 1.986336E-4 | 1.986336E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.867021E-5 | 8.86689E-5 | 4.7492185 | 7.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.0012775E-5 | 1.8000478E-4 | 2.2497005 | 1.0E-4 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.737278E-4 | 0.0011036012 | 1.1333776 | 1.3E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695467 | 0.009863818 | 1.017364 | 1.7E-4 |
6.1 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.867021E-5 | 8.86689E-5 | 4.7492185 | 7.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.0012775E-5 | 1.8000478E-4 | 2.2497005 | 1.0E-4 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.737278E-4 | 0.0011036012 | 1.1333776 | 1.3E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695467 | 0.009863818 | 1.017364 | 1.7E-4 |
6.2 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.867021E-5 | 8.86689E-5 | 4.7492185 | 7.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.0012775E-5 | 1.8000478E-4 | 2.2497005 | 1.0E-4 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.737278E-4 | 0.0011036012 | 1.1333776 | 1.3E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695467 | 0.009863818 | 1.017364 | 1.7E-4 |
6.3 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.867021E-5 | 8.86689E-5 | 4.7492185 | 7.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.0012775E-5 | 1.8000478E-4 | 2.2497005 | 1.0E-4 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.737278E-4 | 0.0011036012 | 1.1333776 | 1.3E-4 | 0.00867977 | 0.009695467 | 0.009863818 | 1.017364 | 1.7E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.733816E-5 | 7.733712E-5 | 4.460515 | 6.0E-5 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.430431E-5 | 1.5429837E-4 | 2.0765736 | 8.0E-5 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.0428564E-4 | 0.0010141862 | 1.121533 | 1.1E-4 | 0.008063202 | 0.009006744 | 0.009145483 | 1.0154039 | 1.4E-4 |
6.5 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.733816E-5 | 7.733712E-5 | 4.460515 | 6.0E-5 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.430431E-5 | 1.5429837E-4 | 2.0765736 | 8.0E-5 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.0428564E-4 | 0.0010141862 | 1.121533 | 1.1E-4 | 0.008063202 | 0.009006744 | 0.009145483 | 1.0154039 | 1.4E-4 |
6.6 | 1.5041828E-5 | 1.6809092E-5 | 7.6808086E-5 | 4.569437 | 6.0E-5 | 6.4463384E-5 | 7.203701E-5 | 1.5203125E-4 | 2.1104603 | 8.0E-5 | 7.8455906E-4 | 8.767036E-4 | 9.866072E-4 | 1.12536 | 1.1E-4 | 0.00781795 | 0.008733105 | 0.008871882 | 1.015891 | 1.4E-4 |
6.7 | 1.4634985E-5 | 1.6355965E-5 | 7.635498E-5 | 4.6683264 | 6.0E-5 | 6.271985E-5 | 7.009514E-5 | 1.5008953E-4 | 2.1412258 | 8.0E-5 | 7.6334673E-4 | 8.5307995E-4 | 9.6298615E-4 | 1.1288345 | 1.1E-4 | 0.007607299 | 0.008498689 | 0.008637499 | 1.0163331 | 1.4E-4 |
6.8 | 1.4209158E-5 | 1.5881998E-5 | 6.5881206E-5 | 4.1481686 | 5.0E-5 | 6.089497E-5 | 6.806396E-5 | 1.380592E-4 | 2.0283744 | 7.0E-5 | 7.4114406E-4 | 8.283693E-4 | 9.282864E-4 | 1.120619 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007386771 | 0.00825343 | 0.008382358 | 1.0156211 | 1.3E-4 |
6.9 | 1.3780098E-5 | 1.5404545E-5 | 6.540377E-5 | 4.2457457 | 5.0E-5 | 5.9056227E-5 | 6.6017834E-5 | 1.3601322E-4 | 2.0602496 | 7.0E-5 | 7.1877235E-4 | 8.034762E-4 | 9.033959E-4 | 1.1243593 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0071645193 | 0.008006307 | 0.008125347 | 1.0148681 | 1.2E-4 |
7.0 | 1.3585064E-5 | 1.5188108E-5 | 6.518735E-5 | 4.2919993 | 5.0E-5 | 5.8220405E-5 | 6.5090295E-5 | 1.3508573E-4 | 2.075359 | 7.0E-5 | 7.086029E-4 | 7.9219165E-4 | 8.9211244E-4 | 1.1261321 | 1.0E-4 | 0.007063476 | 0.007894269 | 0.008013322 | 1.0150809 | 1.2E-4 |
7.1 | 1.3398601E-5 | 1.4981292E-5 | 6.4980544E-5 | 4.3374457 | 5.0E-5 | 5.742131E-5 | 6.420399E-5 | 1.341995E-4 | 2.090205 | 7.0E-5 | 6.9888023E-4 | 7.814087E-4 | 8.813305E-4 | 1.127874 | 1.0E-4 | 0.0069668638 | 0.0077871997 | 0.007906265 | 1.0152899 | 1.2E-4 |
7.2 | 1.3126312E-5 | 1.4679515E-5 | 5.4678927E-5 | 3.724846 | 4.0E-5 | 5.6254412E-5 | 6.2910716E-5 | 1.2290695E-4 | 1.9536725 | 6.0E-5 | 6.846822E-4 | 7.656743E-4 | 8.5560535E-4 | 1.1174535 | 9.0E-5 | 0.006825765 | 0.007630946 | 0.0077401064 | 1.014305 | 1.1E-4 |
7.3 | 1.2922429E-5 | 1.4453743E-5 | 5.4453165E-5 | 3.7674093 | 4.0E-5 | 5.5380664E-5 | 6.194317E-5 | 1.21939454E-4 | 1.9685698 | 6.0E-5 | 6.74051E-4 | 7.5390254E-4 | 8.3384226E-4 | 1.1060345 | 8.0E-5 | 0.006720101 | 0.007514031 | 0.0076132794 | 1.0132084 | 1.0E-4 |
7.4 | 1.2768878E-5 | 1.4283726E-5 | 4.4283297E-5 | 3.1002624 | 3.0E-5 | 5.4722615E-5 | 6.121456E-5 | 1.112115E-4 | 1.8167491 | 5.0E-5 | 6.660441E-4 | 7.4503786E-4 | 8.149857E-4 | 1.093885 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0066405144 | 0.00742598 | 0.0075153117 | 1.0120296 | 9.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.2521929E-5 | 1.401197E-5 | 4.401155E-5 | 3.1409965 | 3.0E-5 | 5.366431E-5 | 6.004995E-5 | 1.10046945E-4 | 1.8325901 | 5.0E-5 | 6.531671E-4 | 7.308683E-4 | 8.0081716E-4 | 1.0957065 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006512506 | 0.007285223 | 0.007374567 | 1.0122638 | 9.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.1301089E-5 | 1.2648108E-5 | 3.2647855E-5 | 2.581244 | 2.0E-5 | 4.8432343E-5 | 5.4205084E-5 | 9.4202915E-5 | 1.7378982 | 4.0E-5 | 5.895042E-4 | 6.5975235E-4 | 7.097194E-4 | 1.075736 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0058794282 | 0.006578489 | 0.0066480287 | 1.0105708 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.02833255E-5 | 3.028312E-5 | 2.9448762 | 2.0E-5 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.407068E-5 | 8.406892E-5 | 1.9075929 | 4.0E-5 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.364335E-4 | 5.76412E-4 | 1.0745265 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004783291 | 0.005351897 | 0.0054016295 | 1.0092925 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.648256E-7 | 3.648256E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635374E-6 | 1.5635374E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9035906E-5 | 1.9035906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.903432E-4 | 1.903432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696687E-9 | 2.6696687E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1441437E-8 | 1.1441437E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.392995E-7 | 1.392995E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3929949E-6 | 1.3929949E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coyote Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.170669E-5 | 7.17056E-5 | 3.3033874 | 5.0E-5 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.302576E-5 | 1.7301831E-4 | 1.8598969 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011320722 | 0.0012219703 | 1.0794102 | 9.0E-5 | 0.010280091 | 0.01127023 | 0.011428426 | 1.0140367 | 1.6E-4 |
6.1 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.170669E-5 | 7.17056E-5 | 3.3033874 | 5.0E-5 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.302576E-5 | 1.7301831E-4 | 1.8598969 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011320722 | 0.0012219703 | 1.0794102 | 9.0E-5 | 0.010280091 | 0.01127023 | 0.011428426 | 1.0140367 | 1.6E-4 |
6.2 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.170669E-5 | 7.17056E-5 | 3.3033874 | 5.0E-5 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.302576E-5 | 1.7301831E-4 | 1.8598969 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0010327959 | 0.0011320722 | 0.0012219703 | 1.0794102 | 9.0E-5 | 0.010280091 | 0.01127023 | 0.011428426 | 1.0140367 | 1.6E-4 |
6.3 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.6820626E-5 | 5.6819954E-5 | 3.3779929 | 4.0E-5 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.2086754E-5 | 1.420817E-4 | 1.9709822 | 7.0E-5 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.77364E-4 | 9.572938E-4 | 1.0911022 | 8.0E-5 | 0.007974784 | 0.008745047 | 0.008883823 | 1.015869 | 1.4E-4 |
6.4 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.6820626E-5 | 5.6819954E-5 | 3.3779929 | 4.0E-5 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.2086754E-5 | 1.420817E-4 | 1.9709822 | 7.0E-5 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.77364E-4 | 9.572938E-4 | 1.0911022 | 8.0E-5 | 0.007974784 | 0.008745047 | 0.008883823 | 1.015869 | 1.4E-4 |
6.5 | 1.4189697E-5 | 1.5557947E-5 | 4.555748E-5 | 2.928245 | 3.0E-5 | 6.081157E-5 | 6.667555E-5 | 1.2667156E-4 | 1.8998201 | 6.0E-5 | 7.401293E-4 | 8.115328E-4 | 8.81476E-4 | 1.0861865 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0073766913 | 0.008091635 | 0.008220583 | 1.015936 | 1.3E-4 |
6.6 | 1.3469301E-5 | 1.4771539E-5 | 4.4771095E-5 | 3.0309026 | 3.0E-5 | 5.7724297E-5 | 6.33054E-5 | 1.1330223E-4 | 1.789772 | 5.0E-5 | 7.025667E-4 | 7.7053066E-4 | 8.3048444E-4 | 1.0778084 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0070034964 | 0.0076844944 | 0.007793649 | 1.0142045 | 1.1E-4 |
6.7 | 1.3027966E-5 | 1.4281708E-5 | 4.428128E-5 | 3.100559 | 3.0E-5 | 5.5832945E-5 | 6.120622E-5 | 1.1120316E-4 | 1.8168604 | 5.0E-5 | 6.7955407E-4 | 7.449907E-4 | 8.04946E-4 | 1.080478 | 6.0E-5 | 0.006774798 | 0.0074308095 | 0.007539992 | 1.0146933 | 1.1E-4 |
6.8 | 5.695434E-6 | 6.2244026E-6 | 1.622434E-5 | 2.60657 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4408775E-5 | 2.6675907E-5 | 3.667564E-5 | 1.3748602 | 1.0E-5 | 2.971363E-4 | 3.2476074E-4 | 3.347575E-4 | 1.0307819 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029673933 | 0.0032458024 | 0.0032657376 | 1.0061418 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.385688E-6 | 4.7930434E-6 | 1.4792996E-5 | 3.086347 | 1.0E-5 | 1.879567E-5 | 2.0541615E-5 | 3.054141E-5 | 1.4868066 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2881327E-4 | 2.5009416E-4 | 2.6009165E-4 | 1.0399749 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002285778 | 0.0025009417 | 0.0025208916 | 1.007977 | 2.0E-5 |
Helendale-So Lockhart
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8103707E-5 | 5.810298E-5 | 3.2094522 | 4.0E-5 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.758512E-5 | 1.3758047E-4 | 1.7732841 | 6.0E-5 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.442103E-4 | 0.0010541064 | 1.1163895 | 1.1E-4 | 0.008984311 | 0.009404104 | 0.009542788 | 1.0147471 | 1.4E-4 |
6.1 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8103707E-5 | 5.810298E-5 | 3.2094522 | 4.0E-5 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.758512E-5 | 1.3758047E-4 | 1.7732841 | 6.0E-5 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.442103E-4 | 0.0010541064 | 1.1163895 | 1.1E-4 | 0.008984311 | 0.009404104 | 0.009542788 | 1.0147471 | 1.4E-4 |
6.2 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.8103707E-5 | 5.810298E-5 | 3.2094522 | 4.0E-5 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.758512E-5 | 1.3758047E-4 | 1.7732841 | 6.0E-5 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.442103E-4 | 0.0010541064 | 1.1163895 | 1.1E-4 | 0.008984311 | 0.009404104 | 0.009542788 | 1.0147471 | 1.4E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1135411E-5 | 1.1135411E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.7722333E-5 | 5.7721856E-5 | 1.2095355 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.8086734E-4 | 6.308383E-4 | 1.0860282 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0055515557 | 0.0057937866 | 0.005853439 | 1.0102959 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1135411E-5 | 1.1135411E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.7722333E-5 | 5.7721856E-5 | 1.2095355 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.8086734E-4 | 6.308383E-4 | 1.0860282 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0055515557 | 0.0057937866 | 0.005853439 | 1.0102959 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.790038E-6 | 9.170186E-6 | 9.170186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.767105E-5 | 3.9300216E-5 | 3.9300216E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.585485E-4 | 4.783766E-4 | 5.0836225E-4 | 1.0626822 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0045760344 | 0.004773633 | 0.00480349 | 1.0062546 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.396949E-6 | 7.715528E-6 | 7.715528E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1700827E-5 | 3.3066135E-5 | 3.3066135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.858892E-4 | 4.0250685E-4 | 4.3249477E-4 | 1.074503 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003852198 | 0.0040178853 | 0.0040477645 | 1.0074366 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.4600285E-6 | 6.7380233E-6 | 6.7380233E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7685543E-5 | 2.8876928E-5 | 2.8876928E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3701936E-4 | 3.5152066E-4 | 3.815101E-4 | 1.0853134 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0033650869 | 0.003509728 | 0.0035396225 | 1.0085176 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.600104E-6 | 5.836003E-6 | 5.836003E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4000226E-5 | 2.5011204E-5 | 2.5011204E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9216358E-4 | 3.0446946E-4 | 3.2446336E-4 | 1.065668 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0029177975 | 0.0030405847 | 0.003060524 | 1.0065577 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.839122E-6 | 5.039504E-6 | 5.039504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0738931E-5 | 2.1597696E-5 | 2.1597696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5246723E-4 | 2.629207E-4 | 2.8291543E-4 | 1.0760486 | 2.0E-5 | 0.002521806 | 0.0026261439 | 0.0026460914 | 1.0075958 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.6937633E-6 | 3.845204E-6 | 3.845204E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5830317E-5 | 1.6479342E-5 | 1.6479342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9271708E-4 | 2.0061784E-4 | 2.2061382E-4 | 1.0996721 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019255003 | 0.0020043987 | 0.0020243586 | 1.009958 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.7858857E-6 | 2.8978507E-6 | 2.8978507E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1939455E-5 | 1.2419302E-5 | 1.2419302E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4535317E-4 | 1.5119473E-4 | 1.6119321E-4 | 1.0661299 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014525814 | 0.0015109401 | 0.0015209251 | 1.0066084 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.1672065E-6 | 2.2540103E-6 | 2.2540103E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2879945E-6 | 9.66001E-6 | 9.66001E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1307546E-4 | 1.1760445E-4 | 1.2760329E-4 | 1.0850208 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011301794 | 0.0011754404 | 0.0011854286 | 1.0084975 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.4823496E-6 | 1.5422086E-6 | 1.5422086E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3529114E-6 | 6.6094494E-6 | 6.6094494E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.734395E-5 | 8.046723E-5 | 9.046642E-5 | 1.1242642 | 1.0E-5 | 7.731704E-4 | 8.04396E-4 | 8.14388E-4 | 1.0124217 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.2321457E-7 | 4.4108717E-7 | 4.4108717E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8137755E-6 | 1.8903725E-6 | 1.8903725E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2082493E-5 | 2.3015087E-5 | 2.3015087E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2080299E-4 | 2.3013157E-4 | 2.3013157E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.6942316E-8 | 5.9415576E-8 | 5.9415576E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.440385E-7 | 2.5463817E-7 | 2.5463817E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711643E-6 | 3.1002162E-6 | 3.1002162E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711247E-5 | 3.1001808E-5 | 3.1001808E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Big Bend)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.007218E-4 | 2.4071377E-4 | 1.1992408 | 4.0E-5 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.599537E-4 | 9.2989346E-4 | 1.0813297 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010419957 | 0.010518916 | 1.0094969 | 1.0E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.10145083 | 0.101558656 | 1.0010629 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.007218E-4 | 2.4071377E-4 | 1.1992408 | 4.0E-5 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.599537E-4 | 9.2989346E-4 | 1.0813297 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010419957 | 0.010518916 | 1.0094969 | 1.0E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.10145083 | 0.101558656 | 1.0010629 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.007218E-4 | 2.4071377E-4 | 1.1992408 | 4.0E-5 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.599537E-4 | 9.2989346E-4 | 1.0813297 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010419957 | 0.010518916 | 1.0094969 | 1.0E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.10145083 | 0.101558656 | 1.0010629 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.0179969E-4 | 2.007218E-4 | 2.4071377E-4 | 1.1992408 | 4.0E-5 | 4.362114E-4 | 8.599537E-4 | 9.2989346E-4 | 1.0813297 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0052979486 | 0.010419957 | 0.010518916 | 1.0094969 | 1.0E-4 | 0.051734097 | 0.10145083 | 0.101558656 | 1.0010629 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8429171E-4 | 2.1428619E-4 | 1.1627554 | 3.0E-5 | 3.9268145E-4 | 7.895828E-4 | 8.295512E-4 | 1.0506197 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009570916 | 0.009640246 | 1.0072439 | 7.0E-5 | 0.046693064 | 0.09378183 | 0.09386339 | 1.0008696 | 9.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.1639464E-5 | 1.8429171E-4 | 2.1428619E-4 | 1.1627554 | 3.0E-5 | 3.9268145E-4 | 7.895828E-4 | 8.295512E-4 | 1.0506197 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0047704205 | 0.009570916 | 0.009640246 | 1.0072439 | 7.0E-5 | 0.046693064 | 0.09378183 | 0.09386339 | 1.0008696 | 9.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.042622E-5 | 1.8236267E-4 | 2.1235719E-4 | 1.1644773 | 3.0E-5 | 3.8748336E-4 | 7.813204E-4 | 8.112969E-4 | 1.0383666 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0047074095 | 0.009471198 | 0.009530629 | 1.0062749 | 6.0E-5 | 0.046089325 | 0.09287209 | 0.09294466 | 1.0007814 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.9836685E-5 | 1.8150604E-4 | 2.0150241E-4 | 1.1101692 | 2.0E-5 | 3.8495753E-4 | 7.776513E-4 | 7.9763576E-4 | 1.0256984 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00467679 | 0.009426914 | 0.009476443 | 1.0052539 | 5.0E-5 | 0.045795817 | 0.09246637 | 0.0925299 | 1.000687 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.9471854E-5 | 1.809739E-4 | 2.0097029E-4 | 1.1104932 | 2.0E-5 | 3.8339442E-4 | 7.753721E-4 | 7.953566E-4 | 1.0257741 | 2.0E-5 | 0.004657841 | 0.009399404 | 0.009439028 | 1.0042156 | 4.0E-5 | 0.04561414 | 0.09221354 | 0.09226801 | 1.0005907 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.858234E-5 | 1.7979364E-4 | 1.8979184E-4 | 1.0556093 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7958333E-4 | 7.703168E-4 | 7.803091E-4 | 1.0129716 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004611638 | 0.0093383845 | 0.009368104 | 1.0031825 | 3.0E-5 | 0.04517103 | 0.09165367 | 0.091699086 | 1.0004956 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.7433385E-5 | 1.7818164E-4 | 1.8817987E-4 | 1.0561125 | 1.0E-5 | 3.746607E-4 | 7.6341233E-4 | 7.7340467E-4 | 1.0130891 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004551957 | 0.0092550395 | 0.009284762 | 1.0032115 | 3.0E-5 | 0.044598386 | 0.09088798 | 0.090933435 | 1.0005001 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.684964E-5 | 1.7730116E-4 | 1.8729939E-4 | 1.0563912 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7215967E-4 | 7.5964106E-4 | 7.6963345E-4 | 1.0131541 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045216335 | 0.009209513 | 0.009239237 | 1.0032275 | 3.0E-5 | 0.04430731 | 0.09046952 | 0.09051499 | 1.0005027 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.606521E-5 | 1.7620731E-4 | 1.8620554E-4 | 1.0567414 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6879873E-4 | 7.549558E-4 | 7.6494826E-4 | 1.0132358 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044808835 | 0.009152951 | 0.009182676 | 1.0032476 | 3.0E-5 | 0.043916024 | 0.08995003 | 0.08999553 | 1.0005058 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 8.568266E-5 | 1.7562733E-4 | 1.8562557E-4 | 1.0569288 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6715972E-4 | 7.524716E-4 | 7.624641E-4 | 1.0132796 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044610105 | 0.009122959 | 0.009152686 | 1.0032583 | 3.0E-5 | 0.043725148 | 0.08967111 | 0.08971663 | 1.0005076 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.5432206E-5 | 1.752532E-4 | 1.8525144E-4 | 1.0570503 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6608664E-4 | 7.508691E-4 | 7.608616E-4 | 1.0133079 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004447999 | 0.009103612 | 0.009133339 | 1.0032654 | 3.0E-5 | 0.043600157 | 0.0894914 | 0.08953692 | 1.0005087 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.4791965E-5 | 1.7394664E-4 | 1.839449E-4 | 1.0574789 | 1.0E-5 | 3.633435E-4 | 7.452728E-4 | 7.5526536E-4 | 1.013408 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044147377 | 0.009036045 | 0.009065773 | 1.00329 | 3.0E-5 | 0.043280575 | 0.088867545 | 0.088913105 | 1.0005126 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 8.241105E-5 | 1.6840106E-4 | 1.7839938E-4 | 1.0593721 | 1.0E-5 | 3.531424E-4 | 7.215194E-4 | 7.3151215E-4 | 1.0138496 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0042910352 | 0.008749205 | 0.008778943 | 1.0033989 | 3.0E-5 | 0.042091176 | 0.086243145 | 0.08628883 | 1.0005298 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 7.00432E-5 | 1.4204094E-4 | 1.5203952E-4 | 1.0703923 | 1.0E-5 | 3.001506E-4 | 6.0860487E-4 | 6.185988E-4 | 1.0164211 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036482112 | 0.0073846295 | 0.007414408 | 1.0040325 | 3.0E-5 | 0.035888977 | 0.07351696 | 0.07356328 | 1.0006301 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.415362E-5 | 1.2968556E-4 | 1.3968426E-4 | 1.0770996 | 1.0E-5 | 2.749151E-4 | 5.556769E-4 | 5.6567136E-4 | 1.017986 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033419547 | 0.0067444094 | 0.0067642746 | 1.0029454 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03292141 | 0.067252055 | 0.06728937 | 1.0005548 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.939911E-5 | 9.3407485E-5 | 1.0340655E-4 | 1.1070478 | 1.0E-5 | 2.116933E-4 | 4.002564E-4 | 4.102524E-4 | 1.024974 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025743195 | 0.004862242 | 0.0048721936 | 1.0020467 | 1.0E-5 | 0.025447013 | 0.048912104 | 0.048931126 | 1.0003889 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.344983E-5 | 5.2222407E-5 | 6.222189E-5 | 1.1914787 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4334853E-4 | 2.2379112E-4 | 2.3378889E-4 | 1.0446745 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017438711 | 0.0027212542 | 0.002731227 | 1.0036647 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017302496 | 0.027920531 | 0.027939972 | 1.0006963 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9104898E-5 | 1.9169016E-5 | 1.9169016E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1875565E-5 | 8.215035E-5 | 8.215035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.963791E-4 | 9.997222E-4 | 9.997222E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009919235 | 0.010748157 | 0.010748157 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.472644E-6 | 5.472644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3453977E-5 | 2.3453977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8551483E-4 | 2.8551483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.003247653 | 0.003247653 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6547434E-7 | 7.6547434E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9940594E-5 | 3.9940594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7170694E-4 | 4.7170694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (No)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2500011E-5 | 7.2498886E-5 | 3.222171 | 5.0E-5 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.6425094E-5 | 1.7641738E-4 | 1.8295796 | 8.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011733507 | 0.0012732333 | 1.085126 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010420183 | 0.011672469 | 0.011791068 | 1.0101606 | 1.2E-4 |
6.1 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2500011E-5 | 7.2498886E-5 | 3.222171 | 5.0E-5 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.6425094E-5 | 1.7641738E-4 | 1.8295796 | 8.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011733507 | 0.0012732333 | 1.085126 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010420183 | 0.011672469 | 0.011791068 | 1.0101606 | 1.2E-4 |
6.2 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2500011E-5 | 7.2498886E-5 | 3.222171 | 5.0E-5 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.6425094E-5 | 1.7641738E-4 | 1.8295796 | 8.0E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011733507 | 0.0012732333 | 1.085126 | 1.0E-4 | 0.010420183 | 0.011672469 | 0.011791068 | 1.0101606 | 1.2E-4 |
6.3 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.1336878E-5 | 7.133581E-5 | 3.3433106 | 5.0E-5 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.14406E-5 | 1.7143329E-4 | 1.8748049 | 8.0E-5 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.0011127274 | 0.0012126162 | 1.0897692 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009891188 | 0.011072383 | 0.011191054 | 1.0107177 | 1.2E-4 |
6.4 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.1336878E-5 | 7.133581E-5 | 3.3433106 | 5.0E-5 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.14406E-5 | 1.7143329E-4 | 1.8748049 | 8.0E-5 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.0011127274 | 0.0012126162 | 1.0897692 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009891188 | 0.011072383 | 0.011191054 | 1.0107177 | 1.2E-4 |
6.5 | 1.8367004E-5 | 2.0560943E-5 | 7.0559916E-5 | 3.431745 | 5.0E-5 | 7.8713354E-5 | 8.811538E-5 | 1.6810834E-4 | 1.9078205 | 8.0E-5 | 9.5791375E-4 | 0.0010722834 | 0.0011721762 | 1.093159 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009537951 | 0.010671882 | 0.010790601 | 1.0111245 | 1.2E-4 |
6.6 | 1.779439E-5 | 1.9910865E-5 | 6.990987E-5 | 3.5111418 | 5.0E-5 | 7.625944E-5 | 8.532952E-5 | 1.653227E-4 | 1.9374619 | 8.0E-5 | 9.280632E-4 | 0.0010383982 | 0.0011382943 | 1.0962021 | 1.0E-4 | 0.009241969 | 0.01033622 | 0.01045498 | 1.0114896 | 1.2E-4 |
6.7 | 1.7025437E-5 | 1.9043366E-5 | 6.904241E-5 | 3.6255364 | 5.0E-5 | 7.296412E-5 | 8.16119E-5 | 1.6160538E-4 | 1.9801692 | 8.0E-5 | 8.87976E-4 | 9.931781E-4 | 0.0010930789 | 1.1005869 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008844362 | 0.009888114 | 0.010006928 | 1.0120158 | 1.2E-4 |
6.8 | 1.6545107E-5 | 1.8512486E-5 | 6.851156E-5 | 3.7008297 | 5.0E-5 | 7.090568E-5 | 7.933685E-5 | 1.593305E-4 | 2.0082786 | 8.0E-5 | 8.629347E-4 | 9.655042E-4 | 0.0010654076 | 1.1034728 | 1.0E-4 | 0.008595915 | 0.009613798 | 0.009732645 | 1.012362 | 1.2E-4 |
6.9 | 1.615478E-5 | 1.8087536E-5 | 6.808663E-5 | 3.7642846 | 5.0E-5 | 6.9232934E-5 | 7.7515746E-5 | 1.4751032E-4 | 1.9029723 | 7.0E-5 | 8.4258494E-4 | 9.4335165E-4 | 0.0010332668 | 1.0953145 | 9.0E-5 | 0.008393973 | 0.009394166 | 0.009503133 | 1.0115994 | 1.1E-4 |
7.0 | 1.5894311E-5 | 1.7805492E-5 | 6.7804605E-5 | 3.8080723 | 5.0E-5 | 6.81167E-5 | 7.630706E-5 | 1.4630171E-4 | 1.9172764 | 7.0E-5 | 8.2900526E-4 | 9.286485E-4 | 0.0010185649 | 1.096825 | 9.0E-5 | 0.008259195 | 0.0092483675 | 0.009357351 | 1.011784 | 1.1E-4 |
7.1 | 1.5602263E-5 | 1.7483448E-5 | 6.748257E-5 | 3.859798 | 5.0E-5 | 6.6865134E-5 | 7.492694E-5 | 1.449217E-4 | 1.9341735 | 7.0E-5 | 8.137789E-4 | 9.118598E-4 | 0.0010017777 | 1.0986093 | 9.0E-5 | 0.008108052 | 0.009081865 | 0.009190866 | 1.012002 | 1.1E-4 |
7.2 | 1.5323829E-5 | 1.7170574E-5 | 6.716972E-5 | 3.9119084 | 5.0E-5 | 6.56719E-5 | 7.358614E-5 | 1.4358098E-4 | 1.9511962 | 7.0E-5 | 7.99262E-4 | 8.95549E-4 | 9.854684E-4 | 1.100407 | 9.0E-5 | 0.007963934 | 0.008920078 | 0.009029097 | 1.0122217 | 1.1E-4 |
7.3 | 1.4556212E-5 | 1.6302403E-5 | 6.630159E-5 | 4.0669827 | 5.0E-5 | 6.238227E-5 | 6.98656E-5 | 1.3986071E-4 | 2.0018537 | 7.0E-5 | 7.592395E-4 | 8.502876E-4 | 9.402111E-4 | 1.1057565 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0075665074 | 0.008470987 | 0.008580055 | 1.0128756 | 1.1E-4 |
7.4 | 1.411725E-5 | 1.580791E-5 | 6.580712E-5 | 4.162924 | 5.0E-5 | 6.0501097E-5 | 6.7746456E-5 | 1.3774172E-4 | 2.0331943 | 7.0E-5 | 7.363519E-4 | 8.245068E-4 | 9.144326E-4 | 1.1090661 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0073391674 | 0.008215112 | 0.008324209 | 1.0132799 | 1.1E-4 |
7.5 | 1.3503312E-5 | 1.512624E-5 | 6.512548E-5 | 4.305464 | 5.0E-5 | 5.7870053E-5 | 6.4825166E-5 | 1.3482063E-4 | 2.0797575 | 7.0E-5 | 7.043401E-4 | 7.889664E-4 | 8.788954E-4 | 1.1139833 | 9.0E-5 | 0.007021119 | 0.007862279 | 0.007971414 | 1.0138808 | 1.1E-4 |
7.6 | 1.1279839E-5 | 1.2626287E-5 | 3.2626034E-5 | 2.583977 | 2.0E-5 | 4.834127E-5 | 5.4111566E-5 | 9.41094E-5 | 1.7391735 | 4.0E-5 | 5.88396E-4 | 6.5861444E-4 | 7.0858153E-4 | 1.0758669 | 5.0E-5 | 0.005868405 | 0.006567178 | 0.006636718 | 1.0105891 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.02833255E-5 | 3.028312E-5 | 2.9448762 | 2.0E-5 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.407068E-5 | 8.406892E-5 | 1.9075929 | 4.0E-5 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.364335E-4 | 5.76412E-4 | 1.0745265 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004783291 | 0.005351897 | 0.0054016295 | 1.0092925 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.648256E-7 | 3.648256E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635374E-6 | 1.5635374E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9035906E-5 | 1.9035906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.903432E-4 | 1.903432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696687E-9 | 2.6696687E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1441437E-8 | 1.1441437E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.392995E-7 | 1.392995E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3929949E-6 | 1.3929949E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.937252E-4 | 3.3371345E-4 | 1.1361417 | 4.0E-5 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012583698 | 0.0013182943 | 1.0476208 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008420097 | 0.015234572 | 0.015323201 | 1.0058177 | 9.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.13948786 | 0.1395653 | 1.0005553 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.937252E-4 | 3.3371345E-4 | 1.1361417 | 4.0E-5 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012583698 | 0.0013182943 | 1.0476208 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008420097 | 0.015234572 | 0.015323201 | 1.0058177 | 9.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.13948786 | 0.1395653 | 1.0005553 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.937252E-4 | 3.3371345E-4 | 1.1361417 | 4.0E-5 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012583698 | 0.0013182943 | 1.0476208 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008420097 | 0.015234572 | 0.015323201 | 1.0058177 | 9.0E-5 | 0.081081145 | 0.13948786 | 0.1395653 | 1.0005553 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7703425E-4 | 1.970307E-4 | 1.1129525 | 2.0E-5 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.586143E-4 | 7.885915E-4 | 1.0395157 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005262531 | 0.009217702 | 0.009257333 | 1.0042995 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0513964 | 0.08692913 | 0.08697478 | 1.0005252 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7703425E-4 | 1.970307E-4 | 1.1129525 | 2.0E-5 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.586143E-4 | 7.885915E-4 | 1.0395157 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005262531 | 0.009217702 | 0.009257333 | 1.0042995 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0513964 | 0.08692913 | 0.08697478 | 1.0005252 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.6624708E-5 | 4.639161E-5 | 5.639115E-5 | 1.2155463 | 1.0E-5 | 1.569536E-4 | 1.9880808E-4 | 2.0880609E-4 | 1.0502898 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001909235 | 0.0024181618 | 0.0024381136 | 1.0082507 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01892915 | 0.023697129 | 0.023716655 | 1.000824 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.5051324E-5 | 2.614718E-5 | 2.614718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.073584E-4 | 1.12054775E-4 | 1.12054775E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013063047 | 0.0013634576 | 0.001373444 | 1.0073243 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012986525 | 0.0135658905 | 0.013575755 | 1.0007272 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.2189772E-5 | 2.2072209E-5 | 2.2072209E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.509556E-5 | 9.459196E-5 | 9.459196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011571734 | 0.001151085 | 0.0011610735 | 1.0086775 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011511663 | 0.011466836 | 0.011476721 | 1.0008621 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6654378E-5 | 1.44374735E-5 | 1.44374735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.137396E-5 | 6.187345E-5 | 6.187345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.686314E-4 | 7.53054E-4 | 7.53054E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008652439 | 0.0075098155 | 0.0075098155 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.5042909E-5 | 1.2331781E-5 | 1.2331781E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.446802E-5 | 5.2849442E-5 | 5.2849442E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8461546E-4 | 6.4325513E-4 | 6.4325513E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007818509 | 0.006417556 | 0.006417556 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.4361385E-5 | 1.1451071E-5 | 1.1451071E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154734E-5 | 4.9075115E-5 | 4.9075115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490812E-4 | 5.9732865E-4 | 5.9732865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007465612 | 0.0059606205 | 0.0059606205 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.3265571E-5 | 1.0244655E-5 | 1.0244655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6851208E-5 | 4.390494E-5 | 4.390494E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.919436E-4 | 5.344141E-4 | 5.344141E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006897931 | 0.0053345314 | 0.0053345314 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.1596403E-5 | 8.504791E-6 | 8.504791E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9697923E-5 | 3.6448608E-5 | 3.6448608E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.049042E-4 | 4.436731E-4 | 4.436731E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006032603 | 0.0044293273 | 0.0044293273 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0150827E-5 | 7.2385E-6 | 7.2385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3502816E-5 | 3.1021784E-5 | 3.1021784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2951806E-4 | 3.776262E-4 | 3.776262E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005282581 | 0.003770243 | 0.003770243 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.080705E-6 | 6.3522734E-6 | 6.3522734E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8916725E-5 | 2.7223752E-5 | 2.7223752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7370812E-4 | 3.3140014E-4 | 3.3140014E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004726996 | 0.0033092108 | 0.0033092108 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.671649E-6 | 5.2253913E-6 | 5.2253913E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.287808E-5 | 2.2394348E-5 | 2.2394348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0021708E-4 | 2.7261834E-4 | 2.7261834E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039949706 | 0.002722964 | 0.002722964 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.990086E-6 | 4.6873092E-6 | 4.6873092E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9957167E-5 | 2.008832E-5 | 2.008832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6466747E-4 | 2.4454904E-4 | 2.4454904E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036406964 | 0.0024429155 | 0.0024429155 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.163505E-6 | 2.329326E-6 | 2.329326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7843471E-5 | 9.982792E-6 | 9.982792E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.172226E-4 | 1.2153445E-4 | 1.2153445E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021701038 | 0.0012147529 | 0.0012147529 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.384396E-8 | 9.384396E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0218833E-7 | 4.0218833E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.8966353E-6 | 4.8966353E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.89656E-5 | 4.89656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4396095E-9 | 3.4396095E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.47411825E-8 | 1.47411825E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7947389E-7 | 1.7947389E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7947376E-6 | 1.7947376E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cady
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1858672E-5 | 4.1858235E-5 | 1.9149487 | 2.0E-5 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.367717E-5 | 1.2367436E-4 | 1.3202188 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011400137 | 0.0012099339 | 1.0613328 | 7.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011350671 | 0.011449535 | 1.00871 | 1.0E-4 |
6.1 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1858672E-5 | 4.1858235E-5 | 1.9149487 | 2.0E-5 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.367717E-5 | 1.2367436E-4 | 1.3202188 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011400137 | 0.0012099339 | 1.0613328 | 7.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011350671 | 0.011449535 | 1.00871 | 1.0E-4 |
6.2 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1858672E-5 | 4.1858235E-5 | 1.9149487 | 2.0E-5 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.367717E-5 | 1.2367436E-4 | 1.3202188 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0010374374 | 0.0011400137 | 0.0012099339 | 1.0613328 | 7.0E-5 | 0.010326075 | 0.011350671 | 0.011449535 | 1.00871 | 1.0E-4 |
6.3 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2176552E-5 | 2.2176431E-5 | 1.8212405 | 1.0E-5 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.2184358E-5 | 6.218384E-5 | 1.1916183 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.3519087E-4 | 6.651718E-4 | 1.0471998 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0063368594 | 0.0063865427 | 1.0078404 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2176552E-5 | 2.2176431E-5 | 1.8212405 | 1.0E-5 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.2184358E-5 | 6.218384E-5 | 1.1916183 | 1.0E-5 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.3519087E-4 | 6.651718E-4 | 1.0471998 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0057841022 | 0.0063368594 | 0.0063865427 | 1.0078404 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.103093E-6 | 6.672004E-6 | 1.6671936E-5 | 2.49879 | 1.0E-5 | 2.615585E-5 | 2.859406E-5 | 3.8593775E-5 | 1.349713 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1840094E-4 | 3.4808964E-4 | 3.5808617E-4 | 1.0287182 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031794512 | 0.003476678 | 0.0035065736 | 1.0085989 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.817237E-6 | 6.3656425E-6 | 1.6365579E-5 | 2.5709233 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4930776E-5 | 2.728111E-5 | 3.728084E-5 | 1.366544 | 1.0E-5 | 3.034899E-4 | 3.3210934E-4 | 3.42106E-4 | 1.0301006 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030307577 | 0.0033173522 | 0.0033472527 | 1.0090134 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.8846314E-6 | 5.3405547E-6 | 1.5340502E-5 | 2.8724546 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0933967E-5 | 2.2887958E-5 | 3.288773E-5 | 1.436901 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5484123E-4 | 2.7863705E-4 | 2.8863424E-4 | 1.035879 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0025454918 | 0.0027840321 | 0.0028139488 | 1.0107458 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7788773E-6 | 1.9399033E-6 | 1.1939884E-5 | 6.1548862 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6237375E-6 | 8.313854E-6 | 1.831377E-5 | 2.2028017 | 1.0E-5 | 9.281505E-5 | 1.01218044E-4 | 1.1121703E-4 | 1.0987866 | 1.0E-5 | 9.2776294E-4 | 0.0010118741 | 0.0010218639 | 1.0098727 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.5455404E-7 | 8.29707E-7 | 8.29707E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.233799E-6 | 3.5558842E-6 | 3.5558842E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.937079E-5 | 4.3292366E-5 | 4.3292366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9363815E-4 | 4.3287227E-4 | 4.3287227E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.8578805E-7 | 7.541796E-7 | 7.541796E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9390883E-6 | 3.2321961E-6 | 3.2321961E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.578281E-5 | 3.935161E-5 | 3.935161E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.577705E-4 | 3.9347887E-4 | 3.9347887E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7265417E-5 | 8.726353E-5 | 1.8462447 | 4.0E-5 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0255202E-4 | 2.7253784E-4 | 1.3455203 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.002463546 | 0.002543349 | 1.0323935 | 8.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.024388196 | 0.024476001 | 1.0036004 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7265417E-5 | 8.726353E-5 | 1.8462447 | 4.0E-5 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0255202E-4 | 2.7253784E-4 | 1.3455203 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.002463546 | 0.002543349 | 1.0323935 | 8.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.024388196 | 0.024476001 | 1.0036004 | 9.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7265417E-5 | 8.726353E-5 | 1.8462447 | 4.0E-5 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0255202E-4 | 2.7253784E-4 | 1.3455203 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.002463546 | 0.002543349 | 1.0323935 | 8.0E-5 | 0.02000288 | 0.024388196 | 0.024476001 | 1.0036004 | 9.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.360962E-5 | 7.360827E-5 | 2.1900954 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.4403371E-4 | 2.0402507E-4 | 1.4165092 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0014785219 | 0.00175227 | 0.0018221474 | 1.0398781 | 7.0E-5 | 0.014687235 | 0.01739173 | 0.01747034 | 1.0045199 | 8.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.360962E-5 | 7.360827E-5 | 2.1900954 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.4403371E-4 | 2.0402507E-4 | 1.4165092 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0014785219 | 0.00175227 | 0.0018221474 | 1.0398781 | 7.0E-5 | 0.014687235 | 0.01739173 | 0.01747034 | 1.0045199 | 8.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.4448687E-5 | 2.8607454E-5 | 6.860631E-5 | 2.398197 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0477588E-4 | 1.2259788E-4 | 1.8259052E-4 | 1.4893448 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0012748998 | 0.0014916548 | 0.0015615504 | 1.0468577 | 7.0E-5 | 0.012676105 | 0.014821324 | 0.014900139 | 1.0053177 | 8.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.1298161E-5 | 2.465998E-5 | 6.465899E-5 | 2.6220214 | 4.0E-5 | 9.127464E-5 | 1.05681516E-4 | 1.6567518E-4 | 1.5676836 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0011107022 | 0.0012859458 | 0.0013558557 | 1.0543647 | 7.0E-5 | 0.011051672 | 0.012788476 | 0.0128674535 | 1.0061756 | 8.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.8959729E-5 | 2.178094E-5 | 6.178007E-5 | 2.8364282 | 4.0E-5 | 8.125345E-5 | 9.334368E-5 | 1.5333809E-4 | 1.6427258 | 6.0E-5 | 9.888117E-4 | 0.0011358925 | 0.0012058129 | 1.0615555 | 7.0E-5 | 0.009844234 | 0.011303525 | 0.011382621 | 1.0069975 | 8.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.6691629E-5 | 1.901828E-5 | 5.901752E-5 | 3.1031995 | 4.0E-5 | 7.153359E-5 | 8.150446E-5 | 1.4149958E-4 | 1.736096 | 6.0E-5 | 8.7057345E-4 | 9.918819E-4 | 0.0010618125 | 1.0705029 | 7.0E-5 | 0.008671708 | 0.009876307 | 0.009955517 | 1.0080202 | 8.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.450505E-5 | 1.6389482E-5 | 5.6388828E-5 | 3.4405496 | 4.0E-5 | 6.216302E-5 | 7.02388E-5 | 1.3023458E-4 | 1.8541688 | 6.0E-5 | 7.5657194E-4 | 8.5483067E-4 | 9.2477084E-4 | 1.0818175 | 7.0E-5 | 0.007540013 | 0.008516356 | 0.008595675 | 1.0093137 | 8.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2940855E-5 | 1.4537924E-5 | 5.4537344E-5 | 3.7513845 | 4.0E-5 | 5.545963E-5 | 6.230393E-5 | 1.2230019E-4 | 1.9629611 | 6.0E-5 | 6.750118E-4 | 7.5829215E-4 | 8.282391E-4 | 1.0922427 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006729651 | 0.007557665 | 0.0076370602 | 1.0105053 | 8.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2544658E-5 | 1.4078161E-5 | 5.4077598E-5 | 3.8412402 | 4.0E-5 | 5.3761712E-5 | 6.0333616E-5 | 1.2033E-4 | 1.9944105 | 6.0E-5 | 6.5435225E-4 | 7.343198E-4 | 8.042684E-4 | 1.0952563 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006524288 | 0.007319527 | 0.0073989416 | 1.0108497 | 8.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.2489416E-5 | 1.4015628E-5 | 5.401507E-5 | 3.853917 | 4.0E-5 | 5.3524967E-5 | 6.0065628E-5 | 1.20062025E-4 | 1.9988474 | 6.0E-5 | 6.514716E-4 | 7.3105923E-4 | 8.010081E-4 | 1.0956814 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006495651 | 0.007287136 | 0.007366553 | 1.0108982 | 8.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.2368307E-5 | 1.3879767E-5 | 5.3879212E-5 | 3.8818526 | 4.0E-5 | 5.3005948E-5 | 5.948339E-5 | 1.19479824E-4 | 2.008625 | 6.0E-5 | 6.451563E-4 | 7.2397524E-4 | 7.9392456E-4 | 1.0966184 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0064328653 | 0.0072167586 | 0.007296181 | 1.0110053 | 8.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.2161707E-5 | 1.3647823E-5 | 5.3647276E-5 | 3.9308302 | 4.0E-5 | 5.212056E-5 | 5.8489393E-5 | 1.18485885E-4 | 2.025767 | 6.0E-5 | 6.3438306E-4 | 7.1188126E-4 | 7.8183145E-4 | 1.098261 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006325751 | 0.0070965975 | 0.00717603 | 1.011193 | 8.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1707948E-5 | 1.3145472E-5 | 5.3144948E-5 | 4.042833 | 4.0E-5 | 5.0175953E-5 | 5.633655E-5 | 1.1633317E-4 | 2.0649679 | 6.0E-5 | 6.10721E-4 | 6.8568724E-4 | 7.556392E-4 | 1.1020174 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0060904534 | 0.006836299 | 0.006915752 | 1.0116222 | 8.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0319538E-5 | 1.1579585E-5 | 3.157935E-5 | 2.7271576 | 2.0E-5 | 4.4225842E-5 | 4.9625876E-5 | 8.962389E-5 | 1.805991 | 4.0E-5 | 5.383166E-4 | 6.040327E-4 | 6.5400254E-4 | 1.082727 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0053701443 | 0.0060244408 | 0.0060840794 | 1.0098994 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 8.937764E-6 | 1.0022746E-5 | 3.0022546E-5 | 2.995441 | 2.0E-5 | 3.830414E-5 | 4.295395E-5 | 8.295223E-5 | 1.9311899 | 4.0E-5 | 4.6625308E-4 | 5.228439E-4 | 5.6282297E-4 | 1.0764647 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0046527605 | 0.0052166474 | 0.0052564386 | 1.0076277 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.108007E-7 | 3.284649E-7 | 3.284649E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3320023E-6 | 1.407706E-6 | 1.407706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6217007E-5 | 1.713869E-5 | 1.713869E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6215823E-4 | 1.7137405E-4 | 1.7137405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696687E-9 | 2.6696687E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1441437E-8 | 1.1441437E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.392995E-7 | 1.392995E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3929949E-6 | 1.3929949E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Manix-Afton Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4711063E-5 | 2.4710916E-5 | 1.6797506 | 1.0E-5 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.304599E-5 | 9.30441E-5 | 1.4758132 | 3.0E-5 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.673321E-4 | 8.073014E-4 | 1.0520886 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007648582 | 0.0077279704 | 1.0103794 | 8.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4711063E-5 | 2.4710916E-5 | 1.6797506 | 1.0E-5 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.304599E-5 | 9.30441E-5 | 1.4758132 | 3.0E-5 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.673321E-4 | 8.073014E-4 | 1.0520886 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007648582 | 0.0077279704 | 1.0103794 | 8.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4711063E-5 | 2.4710916E-5 | 1.6797506 | 1.0E-5 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.304599E-5 | 9.30441E-5 | 1.4758132 | 3.0E-5 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.673321E-4 | 8.073014E-4 | 1.0520886 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0071661277 | 0.007648582 | 0.0077279704 | 1.0103794 | 8.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1793114E-5 | 2.1792997E-5 | 1.8479425 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.0541E-5 | 7.053999E-5 | 1.3956983 | 2.0E-5 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.151733E-4 | 6.4515485E-4 | 1.0487367 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005748908 | 0.0061357445 | 0.006195376 | 1.0097188 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.1793114E-5 | 2.1792997E-5 | 1.8479425 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.0541E-5 | 7.053999E-5 | 1.3956983 | 2.0E-5 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.151733E-4 | 6.4515485E-4 | 1.0487367 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005748908 | 0.0061357445 | 0.006195376 | 1.0097188 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.788949E-6 | 1.04543005E-5 | 2.0454196E-5 | 1.9565341 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1951964E-5 | 4.480343E-5 | 6.480253E-5 | 1.4463744 | 2.0E-5 | 5.1064545E-4 | 5.453545E-4 | 5.7533814E-4 | 1.05498 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0050947363 | 0.0054410887 | 0.0055007623 | 1.0109673 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.810006E-6 | 9.413611E-6 | 1.9413517E-5 | 2.0622816 | 1.0E-5 | 3.775662E-5 | 4.034347E-5 | 6.0342667E-5 | 1.4957231 | 2.0E-5 | 4.5958988E-4 | 4.9108E-4 | 5.2106526E-4 | 1.0610598 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0045864056 | 0.0049008303 | 0.004960536 | 1.0121828 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.80128E-6 | 9.404091E-6 | 1.9403997E-5 | 2.063357 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7719226E-5 | 4.0302675E-5 | 6.0301867E-5 | 1.496225 | 2.0E-5 | 4.591348E-4 | 4.905835E-4 | 5.2056875E-4 | 1.0611217 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004581874 | 0.004895887 | 0.004955593 | 1.0121952 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.8994877E-6 | 7.3800625E-6 | 1.7379989E-5 | 2.3549922 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9568899E-5 | 3.16285E-5 | 5.1627867E-5 | 1.6323211 | 2.0E-5 | 3.5994186E-4 | 3.850171E-4 | 4.1500558E-4 | 1.0778886 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003593594 | 0.0038443056 | 0.0038941135 | 1.0129563 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.9328037E-6 | 5.270952E-6 | 5.270952E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1140417E-5 | 2.2589633E-5 | 3.2589407E-5 | 1.442671 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5735417E-4 | 2.7500023E-4 | 2.9499474E-4 | 1.0727072 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0025705635 | 0.0027472044 | 0.0027870946 | 1.0145203 | 4.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.347973E-6 | 3.590023E-6 | 3.590023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4348378E-5 | 1.5385745E-5 | 1.5385745E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.746775E-4 | 1.8730946E-4 | 1.9730759E-4 | 1.0533776 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017454025 | 0.0018719183 | 0.0018918809 | 1.0106642 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2073567E-6 | 1.2934796E-6 | 1.2934796E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1743755E-6 | 5.543481E-6 | 5.543481E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.29962E-5 | 6.7491426E-5 | 6.7491426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.297835E-4 | 6.7486946E-4 | 6.7486946E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Red Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.258278E-6 | 8.5512565E-6 | 3.8551E-5 | 4.5082264 | 3.0E-5 | 3.539214E-5 | 3.664783E-5 | 6.664673E-5 | 1.8185724 | 3.0E-5 | 4.308141E-4 | 4.4611385E-4 | 4.9609155E-4 | 1.112029 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0042997985 | 0.004453941 | 0.0045435396 | 1.0201168 | 9.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7753127E-6 | 3.7753127E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6179838E-5 | 1.6179838E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9697649E-4 | 2.1697255E-4 | 1.1015149 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019027026 | 0.0019684862 | 0.0020084074 | 1.0202802 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7753127E-6 | 3.7753127E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6179838E-5 | 1.6179838E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.9697649E-4 | 2.1697255E-4 | 1.1015149 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0019027026 | 0.0019684862 | 0.0020084074 | 1.0202802 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4411153E-6 | 1.4411153E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.1762016E-6 | 6.1762016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.5194075E-5 | 9.5192576E-5 | 1.2659584 | 2.0E-5 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.518251E-4 | 7.7181007E-4 | 1.0265819 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4411153E-6 | 1.4411153E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.1762016E-6 | 6.1762016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.5194075E-5 | 9.5192576E-5 | 1.2659584 | 2.0E-5 | 7.263199E-4 | 7.518251E-4 | 7.7181007E-4 | 1.0265819 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.876812E-7 | 1.0221903E-6 | 1.0221903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2329125E-6 | 4.3808154E-6 | 4.3808154E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.153449E-5 | 5.333643E-5 | 5.333643E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1522546E-4 | 5.3336425E-4 | 5.3336425E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Lake
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6794165E-5 | 5.6793495E-5 | 3.3817396 | 4.0E-5 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.1973314E-5 | 1.31969E-4 | 1.8335823 | 6.0E-5 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.7597774E-4 | 9.3592517E-4 | 1.0684348 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008038137 | 0.008730675 | 0.008800064 | 1.0079477 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.6794165E-5 | 5.6793495E-5 | 3.3817396 | 4.0E-5 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.1973314E-5 | 1.31969E-4 | 1.8335823 | 6.0E-5 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.7597774E-4 | 9.3592517E-4 | 1.0684348 | 6.0E-5 | 0.008038137 | 0.008730675 | 0.008800064 | 1.0079477 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3681514E-5 | 3.368124E-5 | 2.4618065 | 2.0E-5 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.8634017E-5 | 9.863167E-5 | 1.6821579 | 4.0E-5 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.13684E-4 | 7.5365545E-4 | 1.0560073 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0065657445 | 0.007118716 | 0.00716836 | 1.0069737 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3681514E-5 | 3.368124E-5 | 2.4618065 | 2.0E-5 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.8634017E-5 | 9.863167E-5 | 1.6821579 | 4.0E-5 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.13684E-4 | 7.5365545E-4 | 1.0560073 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0065657445 | 0.007118716 | 0.00716836 | 1.0069737 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.417684E-6 | 1.0170096E-5 | 3.0169893E-5 | 2.9665298 | 2.0E-5 | 4.036088E-5 | 4.3585627E-5 | 8.358389E-5 | 1.9176937 | 4.0E-5 | 4.912829E-4 | 5.305669E-4 | 5.705457E-4 | 1.075351 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004901982 | 0.005297038 | 0.0053467727 | 1.0093893 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.368219E-6 | 1.0117523E-5 | 3.011732E-5 | 2.9767485 | 2.0E-5 | 4.014889E-5 | 4.3360324E-5 | 8.335859E-5 | 1.9224623 | 4.0E-5 | 4.8870314E-4 | 5.2782515E-4 | 5.6780403E-4 | 1.0757427 | 4.0E-5 | 0.004876298 | 0.00526975 | 0.005319487 | 1.0094382 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.803798E-6 | 8.4418125E-6 | 1.8441728E-5 | 2.1845698 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3444423E-5 | 3.617892E-5 | 5.6178196E-5 | 1.5527881 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0710976E-4 | 4.4042926E-4 | 4.6042044E-4 | 1.0453902 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0040636472 | 0.0043994808 | 0.0044293487 | 1.006789 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.3108669E-6 | 2.44383E-6 | 1.2443806E-5 | 5.091928 | 1.0E-5 | 9.903678E-6 | 1.0473515E-5 | 2.0473411E-5 | 1.9547793 | 1.0E-5 | 1.205706E-4 | 1.2750778E-4 | 1.375065E-4 | 1.0784166 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001205052 | 0.0012743649 | 0.001284352 | 1.007837 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.0882828E-6 | 2.2062789E-6 | 1.22062565E-5 | 5.5325084 | 1.0E-5 | 8.949753E-6 | 9.455448E-6 | 1.9455352E-5 | 2.0575814 | 1.0E-5 | 1.08957785E-4 | 1.1511416E-4 | 1.2511302E-4 | 1.0868603 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010890438 | 0.0011505622 | 0.0011605507 | 1.0086814 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.876935E-6 | 1.9810482E-6 | 1.1981028E-5 | 6.047823 | 1.0E-5 | 8.043982E-6 | 8.490179E-6 | 1.8490095E-5 | 2.1778214 | 1.0E-5 | 9.7931086E-5 | 1.0336319E-4 | 1.13362155E-4 | 1.0967362 | 1.0E-5 | 9.788794E-4 | 0.0010331671 | 0.0010431568 | 1.009669 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.5357559E-6 | 1.6202783E-6 | 1.6202783E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5817944E-6 | 6.944032E-6 | 6.944032E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.01304E-5 | 8.4540436E-5 | 8.4540436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.010151E-4 | 8.4509526E-4 | 8.4509526E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1497604E-6 | 1.1497604E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.9275354E-6 | 4.9275354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.999119E-5 | 5.999119E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.9975975E-4 | 5.9975975E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.387269E-7 | 6.387269E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7373983E-6 | 2.7373983E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3327386E-5 | 3.3327386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.332307E-4 | 3.332307E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3499637E-5 | 6.349869E-5 | 2.702114 | 4.0E-5 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0070886E-4 | 1.5070383E-4 | 1.4964306 | 5.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.001225444 | 0.0012953582 | 1.0570521 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012227687 | 0.012296831 | 1.0056547 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3499637E-5 | 6.349869E-5 | 2.702114 | 4.0E-5 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0070886E-4 | 1.5070383E-4 | 1.4964306 | 5.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.001225444 | 0.0012953582 | 1.0570521 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012227687 | 0.012296831 | 1.0056547 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3499637E-5 | 6.349869E-5 | 2.702114 | 4.0E-5 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0070886E-4 | 1.5070383E-4 | 1.4964306 | 5.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.001225444 | 0.0012953582 | 1.0570521 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012227687 | 0.012296831 | 1.0056547 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3499637E-5 | 6.349869E-5 | 2.702114 | 4.0E-5 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0070886E-4 | 1.5070383E-4 | 1.4964306 | 5.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.001225444 | 0.0012953582 | 1.0570521 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012227687 | 0.012296831 | 1.0056547 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3461156E-5 | 2.3499637E-5 | 6.349869E-5 | 2.702114 | 4.0E-5 | 5.7689394E-5 | 1.0070886E-4 | 1.5070383E-4 | 1.4964306 | 5.0E-5 | 7.02142E-4 | 0.001225444 | 0.0012953582 | 1.0570521 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0069992766 | 0.012227687 | 0.012296831 | 1.0056547 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3450706E-5 | 2.3488596E-5 | 6.3487656E-5 | 2.702914 | 4.0E-5 | 5.764461E-5 | 1.0066155E-4 | 1.5065652E-4 | 1.496664 | 5.0E-5 | 7.0159714E-4 | 0.0012248686 | 0.0012947829 | 1.057079 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006993862 | 0.012221997 | 0.012291141 | 1.0056574 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.3074523E-5 | 2.310288E-5 | 6.310196E-5 | 2.731346 | 4.0E-5 | 5.6032466E-5 | 9.9008605E-5 | 1.4900365E-4 | 1.5049566 | 5.0E-5 | 6.8198174E-4 | 0.0012047664 | 0.0012746821 | 1.0580325 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006798926 | 0.012023162 | 0.01209232 | 1.0057521 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3050216E-5 | 2.3078179E-5 | 6.3077256E-5 | 2.7331991 | 4.0E-5 | 5.59283E-5 | 9.890275E-5 | 1.488978E-4 | 1.5054971 | 5.0E-5 | 6.8071426E-4 | 0.001203479 | 0.0012733948 | 1.0580947 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0067863287 | 0.012010427 | 0.012079586 | 1.0057583 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.29049395E-5 | 2.2926586E-5 | 6.292567E-5 | 2.7446594 | 4.0E-5 | 5.530571E-5 | 9.825311E-5 | 1.482482E-4 | 1.5088397 | 5.0E-5 | 6.73139E-4 | 0.0011955785 | 0.0012654947 | 1.0584791 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0067110364 | 0.0119322715 | 0.012001436 | 1.0057964 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.2867369E-5 | 2.288599E-5 | 6.2885076E-5 | 2.7477543 | 4.0E-5 | 5.51447E-5 | 9.807914E-5 | 1.4807424E-4 | 1.5097424 | 5.0E-5 | 6.711799E-4 | 0.0011934626 | 0.0012633791 | 1.0585829 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006691564 | 0.01191134 | 0.011980507 | 1.0058068 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2495996E-5 | 2.2286069E-5 | 6.228518E-5 | 2.7948031 | 4.0E-5 | 5.3553173E-5 | 9.550824E-5 | 1.4550347E-4 | 1.523465 | 5.0E-5 | 6.518148E-4 | 0.0011621955 | 0.0012321142 | 1.0601609 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0064990623 | 0.011601944 | 0.011671132 | 1.0059634 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.2452067E-5 | 2.2231143E-5 | 6.2230254E-5 | 2.7992377 | 4.0E-5 | 5.3364907E-5 | 9.527286E-5 | 1.452681E-4 | 1.5247585 | 5.0E-5 | 6.4952404E-4 | 0.0011593327 | 0.0012292515 | 1.0603095 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0064762887 | 0.0115736155 | 0.011642805 | 1.0059782 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.2002777E-5 | 2.1609669E-5 | 6.160881E-5 | 2.8509831 | 4.0E-5 | 5.143946E-5 | 9.2609596E-5 | 1.4260497E-4 | 1.5398508 | 5.0E-5 | 6.2609545E-4 | 0.0011269413 | 0.0011968623 | 1.0620451 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006243344 | 0.011252979 | 0.011322191 | 1.0061506 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.1923425E-5 | 2.147951E-5 | 6.147865E-5 | 2.8621998 | 4.0E-5 | 5.109939E-5 | 9.205181E-5 | 1.4204721E-4 | 1.5431224 | 5.0E-5 | 6.219575E-4 | 0.0011201572 | 0.0011900788 | 1.0624212 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0062021962 | 0.011185858 | 0.011255076 | 1.0061879 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.16105175E-5 | 2.0853473E-5 | 6.085264E-5 | 2.9181056 | 4.0E-5 | 4.975841E-5 | 8.936898E-5 | 1.393645E-4 | 1.5594282 | 5.0E-5 | 6.0564023E-4 | 0.0010875268 | 0.0011574507 | 1.0642962 | 7.0E-5 | 0.006039923 | 0.010863296 | 0.010932535 | 1.0063738 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.1037265E-5 | 1.9553554E-5 | 5.955277E-5 | 3.0456238 | 4.0E-5 | 4.7301706E-5 | 8.3798266E-5 | 1.3379408E-4 | 1.596621 | 5.0E-5 | 5.757461E-4 | 0.0010197685 | 0.0010896972 | 1.068573 | 7.0E-5 | 0.005742567 | 0.01019476 | 0.010264046 | 1.0067962 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.0720915E-5 | 1.8995455E-5 | 5.8994694E-5 | 3.105727 | 4.0E-5 | 4.5945973E-5 | 8.1406564E-5 | 1.314025E-4 | 1.6141511 | 5.0E-5 | 5.592486E-4 | 9.906765E-4 | 0.001050617 | 1.0605047 | 6.0E-5 | 0.005578433 | 0.009906478 | 0.009965884 | 1.0059966 | 6.0E-5 |
7.7 | 9.276279E-6 | 1.6441258E-5 | 5.64406E-5 | 3.432864 | 4.0E-5 | 3.9754876E-5 | 7.0460635E-5 | 1.20457116E-4 | 1.709566 | 5.0E-5 | 4.839081E-4 | 8.575223E-4 | 9.1747084E-4 | 1.069909 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0048285574 | 0.008585833 | 0.008645318 | 1.0069282 | 6.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.8346777E-6 | 1.115459E-5 | 5.1154144E-5 | 4.585928 | 4.0E-5 | 2.5005522E-5 | 4.7804508E-5 | 9.780212E-5 | 2.0458765 | 5.0E-5 | 3.043997E-4 | 5.8186456E-4 | 6.418297E-4 | 1.1030568 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0030398308 | 0.0058467295 | 0.005906379 | 1.0102022 | 6.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.690204E-6 | 8.508639E-6 | 4.85083E-5 | 5.701064 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0100719E-5 | 3.6465088E-5 | 7.646363E-5 | 2.0968995 | 4.0E-5 | 2.4469878E-4 | 4.4387212E-4 | 4.938499E-4 | 1.1125951 | 5.0E-5 | 0.002444295 | 0.0044707404 | 0.0045205173 | 1.0111338 | 5.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.9570454E-6 | 4.8465567E-6 | 4.8465567E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.267299E-5 | 2.077079E-5 | 2.077079E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5428272E-4 | 2.5285507E-4 | 2.5285507E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015417566 | 0.002549722 | 0.002549722 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.6376824E-6 | 2.1966046E-6 | 2.1966046E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.01862E-6 | 9.413985E-6 | 9.413985E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.544835E-5 | 1.1460926E-4 | 1.1460926E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.54155E-4 | 0.0011606573 | 0.0011606573 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 6.9631557E-7 | 4.5341665E-7 | 4.5341665E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.984206E-6 | 1.9432127E-6 | 1.9432127E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.63321E-5 | 2.365836E-5 | 2.365836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6326164E-4 | 2.4506272E-4 | 2.4506272E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.7876137E-7 | 8.355595E-8 | 8.355595E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.661199E-7 | 3.5809688E-7 | 3.5809688E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.32747E-6 | 4.359821E-6 | 4.359821E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3270784E-5 | 4.5795394E-5 | 4.5795394E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3378068E-4 | 2.6377366E-4 | 1.1282954 | 3.0E-5 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010015318 | 0.0010315018 | 1.0299242 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.0121253645 | 0.012174759 | 1.0040736 | 5.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.112557374 | 0.1126195 | 1.0005519 | 7.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3378068E-4 | 2.6377366E-4 | 1.1282954 | 3.0E-5 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010015318 | 0.0010315018 | 1.0299242 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.0121253645 | 0.012174759 | 1.0040736 | 5.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.112557374 | 0.1126195 | 1.0005519 | 7.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3378068E-4 | 2.6377366E-4 | 1.1282954 | 3.0E-5 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010015318 | 0.0010315018 | 1.0299242 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.0121253645 | 0.012174759 | 1.0040736 | 5.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.112557374 | 0.1126195 | 1.0005519 | 7.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.31567E-5 | 2.3378068E-4 | 2.6377366E-4 | 1.1282954 | 3.0E-5 | 3.5633717E-4 | 0.0010015318 | 0.0010315018 | 1.0299242 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004329778 | 0.0121253645 | 0.012174759 | 1.0040736 | 5.0E-5 | 0.042463828 | 0.112557374 | 0.1126195 | 1.0005519 | 7.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.2935575E-4 | 2.5934886E-4 | 1.1307712 | 3.0E-5 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.825854E-4 | 0.0010125559 | 1.0305017 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0041964394 | 0.011897563 | 0.011946969 | 1.0041525 | 5.0E-5 | 0.041180745 | 0.11053843 | 0.11060069 | 1.0005633 | 7.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.059055E-5 | 2.2935575E-4 | 2.5934886E-4 | 1.1307712 | 3.0E-5 | 3.4534236E-4 | 9.825854E-4 | 0.0010125559 | 1.0305017 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0041964394 | 0.011897563 | 0.011946969 | 1.0041525 | 5.0E-5 | 0.041180745 | 0.11053843 | 0.11060069 | 1.0005633 | 7.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.619237E-5 | 2.2180163E-4 | 2.5179496E-4 | 1.135226 | 3.0E-5 | 3.2649786E-4 | 9.502344E-4 | 9.80206E-4 | 1.0315411 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0039678677 | 0.01150828 | 0.011557705 | 1.0042948 | 5.0E-5 | 0.03897764 | 0.107074894 | 0.1071374 | 1.0005838 | 7.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.440636E-5 | 2.1855978E-4 | 2.4855323E-4 | 1.1372322 | 3.0E-5 | 3.188454E-4 | 9.363508E-4 | 9.663227E-4 | 1.0320092 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0038750346 | 0.011341016 | 0.011390449 | 1.0043588 | 5.0E-5 | 0.038081564 | 0.105583355 | 0.10564596 | 1.000593 | 7.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.3735864E-5 | 2.1703144E-4 | 2.4702493E-4 | 1.1381989 | 3.0E-5 | 3.1597257E-4 | 9.298054E-4 | 9.597775E-4 | 1.0322348 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0038401815 | 0.011262154 | 0.011311591 | 1.0043896 | 5.0E-5 | 0.03774495 | 0.1048849 | 0.10494756 | 1.0005974 | 7.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.27575E-5 | 2.1472113E-4 | 2.447147E-4 | 1.1396861 | 3.0E-5 | 3.117806E-4 | 9.1991114E-4 | 9.4988354E-4 | 1.0325818 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003789323 | 0.01114293 | 0.011192373 | 1.0044372 | 5.0E-5 | 0.037253562 | 0.10383276 | 0.10389549 | 1.0006042 | 7.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.102591E-5 | 2.1056154E-4 | 2.4055522E-4 | 1.1424462 | 3.0E-5 | 3.0436125E-4 | 9.0209674E-4 | 9.3206967E-4 | 1.0332259 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003699303 | 0.010928233 | 0.010977686 | 1.0045253 | 5.0E-5 | 0.03638325 | 0.1019344 | 0.10199727 | 1.0006167 | 7.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.028513E-5 | 2.0891799E-4 | 2.3891171E-4 | 1.143567 | 3.0E-5 | 3.0118722E-4 | 8.950578E-4 | 9.250309E-4 | 1.0334874 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0036607897 | 0.010843391 | 0.0108928485 | 1.0045611 | 5.0E-5 | 0.036010686 | 0.101177305 | 0.101240225 | 1.0006218 | 7.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.8498244E-5 | 2.0499669E-4 | 2.3499054E-4 | 1.1463138 | 3.0E-5 | 2.9353087E-4 | 8.782636E-4 | 9.082373E-4 | 1.0341283 | 3.0E-5 | 0.003567883 | 0.010640934 | 0.010690402 | 1.0046488 | 5.0E-5 | 0.035111405 | 0.09936918 | 0.09943223 | 1.0006344 | 7.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.622592E-5 | 1.9727086E-4 | 2.2726493E-4 | 1.1520451 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8379448E-4 | 8.451747E-4 | 8.751494E-4 | 1.0354656 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0034497243 | 0.010241933 | 0.010291421 | 1.0048319 | 5.0E-5 | 0.033966612 | 0.09586687 | 0.09593015 | 1.0006602 | 7.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.1050705E-5 | 1.4687212E-4 | 1.7686772E-4 | 1.2042294 | 3.0E-5 | 2.1877038E-4 | 6.29301E-4 | 6.592821E-4 | 1.047642 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002660276 | 0.007635016 | 0.0076846345 | 1.0064988 | 5.0E-5 | 0.02628654 | 0.07285433 | 0.072919235 | 1.0008909 | 7.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.9302922E-5 | 1.1130129E-4 | 1.4129795E-4 | 1.2695086 | 3.0E-5 | 1.6843023E-4 | 4.7691865E-4 | 5.069043E-4 | 1.0628738 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0020487092 | 0.005791095 | 0.0058408054 | 1.0085839 | 5.0E-5 | 0.020299247 | 0.056009457 | 0.056075536 | 1.0011798 | 7.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.9851626E-5 | 8.49519E-5 | 1.1494935E-4 | 1.353111 | 3.0E-5 | 1.2792926E-4 | 3.6402888E-4 | 3.9401796E-4 | 1.082381 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0015564259 | 0.0044230702 | 0.0044728494 | 1.0112543 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0154556995 | 0.04319387 | 0.043260843 | 1.0015506 | 7.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.1135214E-5 | 6.3530715E-5 | 9.352881E-5 | 1.4721825 | 3.0E-5 | 9.0576345E-5 | 2.722461E-4 | 3.0223795E-4 | 1.1101644 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011022091 | 0.003309564 | 0.0033593986 | 1.0150577 | 5.0E-5 | 0.010967582 | 0.032582875 | 0.032650594 | 1.0020784 | 7.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.883379E-5 | 5.5641565E-5 | 8.563989E-5 | 1.5391353 | 3.0E-5 | 8.0713755E-5 | 2.3844207E-4 | 2.684349E-4 | 1.1257868 | 3.0E-5 | 9.822468E-4 | 0.0028991706 | 0.0029390547 | 1.013757 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0097791655 | 0.028695535 | 0.028753813 | 1.002031 | 6.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.5156185E-5 | 4.1659005E-5 | 7.1657756E-5 | 1.7201024 | 3.0E-5 | 6.495346E-5 | 1.7852637E-4 | 2.0852103E-4 | 1.1680124 | 3.0E-5 | 7.9052144E-4 | 0.0021713933 | 0.0022113065 | 1.0183814 | 4.0E-5 | 0.007877152 | 0.021759626 | 0.021808537 | 1.0022478 | 5.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.1405907E-5 | 2.9974355E-5 | 3.9974057E-5 | 1.3336085 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8881542E-5 | 1.284552E-4 | 1.3845392E-4 | 1.0778382 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9497025E-4 | 0.0015628211 | 0.0015827899 | 1.0127773 | 2.0E-5 | 0.005933798 | 0.015773011 | 0.015802538 | 1.001872 | 3.0E-5 |
8.1 | 4.3511436E-6 | 7.368541E-6 | 7.368541E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8647626E-5 | 3.157908E-5 | 3.157908E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2701119E-4 | 3.8440758E-4 | 3.8440758E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022677942 | 0.0041162004 | 0.0041162004 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.3042528E-6 | 2.7323963E-6 | 2.7323963E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.875332E-6 | 1.1710217E-5 | 1.1710217E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2022553E-4 | 1.4256261E-4 | 1.4256261E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012016051 | 0.0015977557 | 0.0015977557 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 5.202968E-7 | 3.1584074E-7 | 3.1584074E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2298414E-6 | 1.3536024E-6 | 1.3536024E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.714798E-5 | 1.6479999E-5 | 1.6479999E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7144665E-4 | 1.9555954E-4 | 1.9555954E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Cholame) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.5203943E-4 | 2.720344E-4 | 1.0793327 | 2.0E-5 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0010797235 | 0.001099702 | 1.0185033 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0063991086 | 0.0130669065 | 0.013116253 | 1.0037764 | 5.0E-5 | 0.06217949 | 0.124393165 | 0.12444571 | 1.0004224 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.2302514E-4 | 2.5203943E-4 | 2.720344E-4 | 1.0793327 | 2.0E-5 | 5.27144E-4 | 0.0010797235 | 0.001099702 | 1.0185033 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0063991086 | 0.0130669065 | 0.013116253 | 1.0037764 | 5.0E-5 | 0.06217949 | 0.124393165 | 0.12444571 | 1.0004224 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2203569E-4 | 2.502073E-4 | 2.7020226E-4 | 1.0799137 | 2.0E-5 | 5.2290526E-4 | 0.0010718779 | 0.0010918564 | 1.0186388 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006347804 | 0.012972526 | 0.013021878 | 1.0038043 | 5.0E-5 | 0.061695136 | 0.12358037 | 0.12363295 | 1.0004255 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2142645E-4 | 2.4906697E-4 | 2.6906197E-4 | 1.0802797 | 2.0E-5 | 5.202953E-4 | 0.0010669949 | 0.0010869735 | 1.0187242 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006316212 | 0.012913782 | 0.012963136 | 1.0038218 | 5.0E-5 | 0.06139677 | 0.12307438 | 0.123127 | 1.0004275 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1865206E-4 | 2.4412213E-4 | 2.6411726E-4 | 1.0819062 | 2.0E-5 | 5.0840975E-4 | 0.0010458198 | 0.0010657989 | 1.0191038 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006172335 | 0.0126589965 | 0.012708364 | 1.0038998 | 5.0E-5 | 0.060036868 | 0.120867655 | 0.120920405 | 1.0004364 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.17443946E-4 | 2.4205542E-4 | 2.620506E-4 | 1.0826057 | 2.0E-5 | 5.032341E-4 | 0.0010369696 | 0.0010569488 | 1.019267 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006109677 | 0.012552489 | 0.012601861 | 1.0039333 | 5.0E-5 | 0.059444077 | 0.1199394 | 0.119992204 | 1.0004402 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.13579066E-4 | 2.3514601E-4 | 2.5514132E-4 | 1.0850335 | 2.0E-5 | 4.866766E-4 | 0.0010073809 | 0.0010273608 | 1.0198334 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0059092017 | 0.012196333 | 0.012245723 | 1.0040495 | 5.0E-5 | 0.057545185 | 0.1168523 | 0.11690529 | 1.0004535 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1271412E-4 | 2.335892E-4 | 2.4358687E-4 | 1.0428002 | 1.0E-5 | 4.829711E-4 | 0.001000714 | 0.001010704 | 1.0099828 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005864331 | 0.012116069 | 0.012155585 | 1.0032614 | 4.0E-5 | 0.057119697 | 0.116155826 | 0.116200015 | 1.0003804 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1217975E-4 | 2.3247355E-4 | 2.4247123E-4 | 1.0430056 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8068175E-4 | 9.959363E-4 | 0.0010059264 | 1.0100307 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005836608 | 0.012058547 | 0.012098065 | 1.0032772 | 4.0E-5 | 0.056856725 | 0.11565359 | 0.1156978 | 1.0003823 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1146753E-4 | 2.3096106E-4 | 2.4095875E-4 | 1.0432874 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7763053E-4 | 9.894591E-4 | 9.994493E-4 | 1.0100965 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057996577 | 0.011980557 | 0.012020078 | 1.0032988 | 4.0E-5 | 0.056506127 | 0.114974126 | 0.11501838 | 1.0003849 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.0965793E-4 | 2.2719476E-4 | 2.3719248E-4 | 1.0440052 | 1.0E-5 | 4.698779E-4 | 9.7332994E-4 | 9.833202E-4 | 1.010264 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005705768 | 0.011786325 | 0.011825854 | 1.0033537 | 4.0E-5 | 0.055614736 | 0.11327481 | 0.11331914 | 1.0003914 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 9.927982E-5 | 2.0538457E-4 | 2.1538252E-4 | 1.0486791 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2541555E-4 | 8.799237E-4 | 8.8991487E-4 | 1.0113546 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051671406 | 0.010660741 | 0.010700314 | 1.003712 | 4.0E-5 | 0.05048634 | 0.10336788 | 0.10341272 | 1.0004337 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 9.696786E-5 | 2.0042722E-4 | 2.1042522E-4 | 1.0498834 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1551032E-4 | 8.586921E-4 | 8.686835E-4 | 1.0116357 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00504711 | 0.010404742 | 0.010444326 | 1.0038044 | 4.0E-5 | 0.04934009 | 0.1011037 | 0.10114865 | 1.0004445 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.4727984E-5 | 1.9472018E-4 | 2.0471824E-4 | 1.0513457 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0591392E-4 | 8.342492E-4 | 8.442408E-4 | 1.0119768 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049308087 | 0.01010995 | 0.010149546 | 1.0039165 | 4.0E-5 | 0.048228268 | 0.09847186 | 0.09851693 | 1.0004578 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.220358E-5 | 1.8842531E-4 | 1.9842343E-4 | 1.0530614 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9509835E-4 | 8.0728804E-4 | 8.1728E-4 | 1.0123771 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004799717 | 0.009784685 | 0.009824294 | 1.004048 | 4.0E-5 | 0.046973653 | 0.09555601 | 0.09560124 | 1.0004733 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.71631E-5 | 1.517759E-4 | 1.6177438E-4 | 1.0658766 | 1.0E-5 | 3.306571E-4 | 6.503062E-4 | 6.602997E-4 | 1.0153674 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0040183207 | 0.007888806 | 0.007918569 | 1.0037729 | 3.0E-5 | 0.03946433 | 0.07828588 | 0.078322746 | 1.000471 | 4.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.5634416E-5 | 1.483708E-4 | 1.5836931E-4 | 1.0673887 | 1.0E-5 | 3.241072E-4 | 6.3572003E-4 | 6.457137E-4 | 1.0157202 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039388672 | 0.0077124913 | 0.00774226 | 1.0038598 | 3.0E-5 | 0.038697794 | 0.07664891 | 0.07668585 | 1.0004818 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.3783E-5 | 1.2358253E-4 | 1.335813E-4 | 1.0809076 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7332708E-4 | 5.29532E-4 | 5.395267E-4 | 1.0188746 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033226798 | 0.0064280205 | 0.006457828 | 1.0046371 | 3.0E-5 | 0.032734364 | 0.06453964 | 0.064577065 | 1.0005797 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.863422E-5 | 1.1415685E-4 | 1.241557E-4 | 1.0875888 | 1.0E-5 | 2.512653E-4 | 4.891519E-4 | 4.9914705E-4 | 1.0204335 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003054864 | 0.0059391838 | 0.0059590647 | 1.0033475 | 2.0E-5 | 0.030132094 | 0.059658356 | 0.059686568 | 1.0004729 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.595283E-5 | 8.4259045E-5 | 9.4258205E-5 | 1.1186717 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9692584E-4 | 3.6106026E-4 | 3.7105664E-4 | 1.0276862 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023949358 | 0.0043870546 | 0.004397011 | 1.0022694 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023692891 | 0.04435963 | 0.044378746 | 1.0004308 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.2950178E-5 | 5.0768474E-5 | 6.076797E-5 | 1.1969626 | 1.0E-5 | 1.412074E-4 | 2.1756104E-4 | 2.2755886E-4 | 1.0459541 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017178444 | 0.0026455899 | 0.0026555634 | 1.0037699 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017046256 | 0.027178457 | 0.027197914 | 1.0007159 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9177472E-5 | 1.9181087E-5 | 1.9181087E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.218658E-5 | 8.220207E-5 | 8.220207E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010001622 | 0.0010003513 | 0.0010003513 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009956728 | 0.010756486 | 0.010756486 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.472644E-6 | 5.472644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3453977E-5 | 2.3453977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8551483E-4 | 2.8551483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.003247653 | 0.003247653 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6547434E-7 | 7.6547434E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9940594E-5 | 3.9940594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7170694E-4 | 4.7170694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4322356E-4 | 2.5322114E-4 | 1.0411044 | 1.0E-5 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010419718 | 0.0010519614 | 1.0095872 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.0126127 | 0.012652196 | 1.0031314 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12061794 | 0.120670706 | 1.0004374 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4322356E-4 | 2.5322114E-4 | 1.0411044 | 1.0E-5 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010419718 | 0.0010519614 | 1.0095872 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.0126127 | 0.012652196 | 1.0031314 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12061794 | 0.120670706 | 1.0004374 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4322356E-4 | 2.5322114E-4 | 1.0411044 | 1.0E-5 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010419718 | 0.0010519614 | 1.0095872 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.0126127 | 0.012652196 | 1.0031314 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12061794 | 0.120670706 | 1.0004374 | 6.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4322356E-4 | 2.5322114E-4 | 1.0411044 | 1.0E-5 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010419718 | 0.0010519614 | 1.0095872 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.0126127 | 0.012652196 | 1.0031314 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12061794 | 0.120670706 | 1.0004374 | 6.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1674632E-4 | 2.4322356E-4 | 2.5322114E-4 | 1.0411044 | 1.0E-5 | 5.002454E-4 | 0.0010419718 | 0.0010519614 | 1.0095872 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006073493 | 0.0126127 | 0.012652196 | 1.0031314 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0591016 | 0.12061794 | 0.120670706 | 1.0004374 | 6.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.3642433E-4 | 2.4642196E-4 | 1.0422869 | 1.0E-5 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010128552 | 0.001022845 | 1.0098631 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012262235 | 0.012301745 | 1.003222 | 4.0E-5 | 0.057327334 | 0.11758334 | 0.11763629 | 1.0004503 | 6.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.13136164E-4 | 2.3642433E-4 | 2.4642196E-4 | 1.0422869 | 1.0E-5 | 4.847792E-4 | 0.0010128552 | 0.001022845 | 1.0098631 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058862255 | 0.012262235 | 0.012301745 | 1.003222 | 4.0E-5 | 0.057327334 | 0.11758334 | 0.11763629 | 1.0004503 | 6.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1149675E-4 | 2.3333685E-4 | 2.433345E-4 | 1.0428464 | 1.0E-5 | 4.777557E-4 | 9.996332E-4 | 0.0010096233 | 1.0099937 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058011734 | 0.012103056 | 0.012142571 | 1.0032649 | 4.0E-5 | 0.05652051 | 0.11620166 | 0.11625469 | 1.0004563 | 6.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.1103589E-4 | 2.3235848E-4 | 2.4235615E-4 | 1.0430269 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7578133E-4 | 9.954434E-4 | 0.0010054335 | 1.0100358 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005777263 | 0.01205261 | 0.012092127 | 1.0032787 | 4.0E-5 | 0.056293584 | 0.11576148 | 0.11581454 | 1.0004584 | 6.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1053259E-4 | 2.312823E-4 | 2.4127998E-4 | 1.0432272 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7362508E-4 | 9.908348E-4 | 0.001000825 | 1.0100825 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057511497 | 0.011997119 | 0.012036639 | 1.0032941 | 4.0E-5 | 0.05604569 | 0.115277916 | 0.115331 | 1.0004605 | 6.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.1005377E-4 | 2.3029075E-4 | 2.4028844E-4 | 1.0434134 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7157376E-4 | 9.865885E-4 | 9.965787E-4 | 1.010126 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057263062 | 0.011945989 | 0.011985511 | 1.0033084 | 4.0E-5 | 0.055809796 | 0.11483013 | 0.114883244 | 1.0004625 | 6.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.0308142E-4 | 2.1538913E-4 | 2.2538698E-4 | 1.0464176 | 1.0E-5 | 4.417027E-4 | 9.227707E-4 | 9.3276147E-4 | 1.010827 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053644776 | 0.011177175 | 0.011216728 | 1.0035387 | 4.0E-5 | 0.052368138 | 0.108091824 | 0.10814534 | 1.0004951 | 6.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0027479E-4 | 2.0946808E-4 | 2.1946599E-4 | 1.04773 | 1.0E-5 | 4.296783E-4 | 8.974125E-4 | 9.0740353E-4 | 1.0111332 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052187922 | 0.010871558 | 0.010911124 | 1.0036393 | 4.0E-5 | 0.050979212 | 0.10539154 | 0.10544521 | 1.0005093 | 6.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.816942E-5 | 2.042204E-4 | 2.1421837E-4 | 1.0489568 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2065824E-4 | 8.749377E-4 | 8.84929E-4 | 1.0114194 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005109493 | 0.010600623 | 0.010640199 | 1.0037334 | 4.0E-5 | 0.049935985 | 0.10297247 | 0.10302629 | 1.0005227 | 6.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.5634205E-5 | 1.9791478E-4 | 2.079128E-4 | 1.0505168 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0979648E-4 | 8.4793137E-4 | 8.579229E-4 | 1.0117834 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049778637 | 0.010274961 | 0.01031455 | 1.003853 | 4.0E-5 | 0.048678253 | 0.100064956 | 0.10011895 | 1.0005397 | 6.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.052417E-5 | 1.6112256E-4 | 1.7112095E-4 | 1.0620545 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4505792E-4 | 6.903427E-4 | 7.003358E-4 | 1.0144756 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041929903 | 0.008372612 | 0.008402362 | 1.0035532 | 3.0E-5 | 0.04114753 | 0.08281128 | 0.08285714 | 1.0005537 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.897024E-5 | 1.5765514E-4 | 1.6765358E-4 | 1.0634196 | 1.0E-5 | 3.384E-4 | 6.754901E-4 | 6.854834E-4 | 1.0147941 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041122385 | 0.008193157 | 0.008222911 | 1.0036316 | 3.0E-5 | 0.040369697 | 0.0811521 | 0.081198044 | 1.0005661 | 5.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.707427E-5 | 1.3275658E-4 | 1.4275526E-4 | 1.0753158 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8742946E-4 | 5.688328E-4 | 5.788271E-4 | 1.0175699 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003493839 | 0.00690358 | 0.006933373 | 1.0043156 | 3.0E-5 | 0.034394164 | 0.06904754 | 0.069094084 | 1.0006741 | 5.0E-5 |
7.8 | 6.147705E-5 | 1.2197082E-4 | 1.319696E-4 | 1.0819768 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6344648E-4 | 5.226274E-4 | 5.3262216E-4 | 1.019124 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032027436 | 0.0063444492 | 0.0063643223 | 1.0031323 | 2.0E-5 | 0.031569764 | 0.06351423 | 0.063551694 | 1.0005897 | 4.0E-5 |
7.9 | 4.7636717E-5 | 8.879351E-5 | 9.8792625E-5 | 1.1126108 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0414138E-4 | 3.8048814E-4 | 3.9048432E-4 | 1.026272 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024825884 | 0.004622611 | 0.0046325647 | 1.0021533 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024550365 | 0.046625797 | 0.046644863 | 1.0004089 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.3554235E-5 | 5.2132433E-5 | 6.213191E-5 | 1.1918092 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4379594E-4 | 2.2340559E-4 | 2.3340335E-4 | 1.0447516 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017493097 | 0.002716572 | 0.0027265449 | 1.0036712 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017356034 | 0.027879264 | 0.027898706 | 1.0006974 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.9175432E-5 | 1.9180918E-5 | 1.9180918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.217783E-5 | 8.220134E-5 | 8.220134E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010000558 | 0.0010003424 | 0.0010003424 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009955673 | 0.010756371 | 0.010756371 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.472644E-6 | 5.472644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3453977E-5 | 2.3453977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8551483E-4 | 2.8551483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.003247653 | 0.003247653 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6547434E-7 | 7.6547434E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9940594E-5 | 3.9940594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7170694E-4 | 4.7170694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Pass
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.1040627E-5 | 3.1040407E-5 | 2.8114712 | 2.0E-5 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.731641E-5 | 7.7314995E-5 | 1.6339995 | 3.0E-5 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.7597767E-4 | 6.1595463E-4 | 1.0694071 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0054756533 | 0.0057500144 | 0.0058096694 | 1.0103748 | 6.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.1040627E-5 | 3.1040407E-5 | 2.8114712 | 2.0E-5 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.731641E-5 | 7.7314995E-5 | 1.6339995 | 3.0E-5 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.7597767E-4 | 6.1595463E-4 | 1.0694071 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0054756533 | 0.0057500144 | 0.0058096694 | 1.0103748 | 6.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2081995E-6 | 1.2208177E-5 | 5.5285664 | 1.0E-5 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.463702E-6 | 1.9463607E-5 | 2.056659 | 1.0E-5 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.15218674E-4 | 1.2521751E-4 | 1.0867815 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011520007 | 0.0011719777 | 1.0173411 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2081995E-6 | 1.2208177E-5 | 5.5285664 | 1.0E-5 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.463702E-6 | 1.9463607E-5 | 2.056659 | 1.0E-5 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.15218674E-4 | 1.2521751E-4 | 1.0867815 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010975406 | 0.0011520007 | 0.0011719777 | 1.0173411 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7259927E-6 | 1.8108747E-6 | 1.1810856E-5 | 6.5221834 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3970905E-6 | 7.760892E-6 | 1.7760814E-5 | 2.2885017 | 1.0E-5 | 9.005586E-5 | 9.448885E-5 | 1.0448791E-4 | 1.1058226 | 1.0E-5 | 9.001937E-4 | 9.4488857E-4 | 9.648696E-4 | 1.0211465 | 2.0E-5 |
Baker
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8348332E-6 | 1.5834776E-5 | 2.713835 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5006211E-5 | 3.500596E-5 | 1.3998907 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.044121E-4 | 3.1440906E-4 | 1.0328403 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030403468 | 0.0030901947 | 1.0163954 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8348332E-6 | 1.5834776E-5 | 2.713835 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5006211E-5 | 3.500596E-5 | 1.3998907 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.044121E-4 | 3.1440906E-4 | 1.0328403 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030403468 | 0.0030901947 | 1.0163954 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.8348332E-6 | 1.5834776E-5 | 2.713835 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5006211E-5 | 3.500596E-5 | 1.3998907 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.044121E-4 | 3.1440906E-4 | 1.0328403 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029674405 | 0.0030403468 | 0.0030901947 | 1.0163954 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.3836648E-6 | 1.3383631E-5 | 3.9553654 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.4501343E-5 | 2.4501198E-5 | 1.6895813 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.7654001E-4 | 1.8653825E-4 | 1.0566344 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017201907 | 0.0017640449 | 0.0018139567 | 1.028294 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.3836648E-6 | 1.3383631E-5 | 3.9553654 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.4501343E-5 | 2.4501198E-5 | 1.6895813 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.7654001E-4 | 1.8653825E-4 | 1.0566344 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017201907 | 0.0017640449 | 0.0018139567 | 1.028294 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.782202E-6 | 2.8558384E-6 | 1.28558095E-5 | 4.501589 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1923668E-5 | 1.2239252E-5 | 2.223913E-5 | 1.8170334 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4516099E-4 | 1.4900303E-4 | 1.5900155E-4 | 1.0671027 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001450662 | 0.001489064 | 0.0015290044 | 1.0268226 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.3163404E-6 | 2.3809182E-6 | 1.2380894E-5 | 5.2000504 | 1.0E-5 | 9.927136E-6 | 1.0203897E-5 | 2.0203794E-5 | 1.9800078 | 1.0E-5 | 1.20856166E-4 | 1.2422555E-4 | 1.3422432E-4 | 1.0804887 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012079047 | 0.0012415814 | 0.0012715441 | 1.0241327 | 3.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.037056E-6 | 2.0964987E-6 | 1.2096478E-5 | 5.7698474 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7302105E-6 | 8.984965E-6 | 1.8984874E-5 | 2.1129603 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0628513E-4 | 1.09386616E-4 | 1.1938553E-4 | 1.0914088 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010623431 | 0.0010933438 | 0.0011233111 | 1.0274087 | 3.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.8356744E-6 | 1.8915271E-6 | 1.1891509E-5 | 6.2867236 | 1.0E-5 | 7.867153E-6 | 8.10652E-6 | 1.8106439E-5 | 2.2335649 | 1.0E-5 | 9.577837E-5 | 9.869256E-5 | 1.0869157E-4 | 1.1013148 | 1.0E-5 | 9.57371E-4 | 9.865012E-4 | 0.0010164717 | 1.0303805 | 3.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.6310546E-6 | 1.6832057E-6 | 1.1683189E-5 | 6.9410343 | 1.0E-5 | 6.9902153E-6 | 7.2137195E-6 | 1.7213648E-5 | 2.3862374 | 1.0E-5 | 8.510255E-5 | 8.782361E-5 | 9.782273E-5 | 1.1138546 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5069967E-4 | 8.779003E-4 | 9.0787397E-4 | 1.0341425 | 3.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2058036E-6 | 1.2508652E-6 | 1.1250852E-5 | 8.994456 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1677193E-6 | 5.3608405E-6 | 1.5360787E-5 | 2.865369 | 1.0E-5 | 6.291517E-5 | 6.52663E-5 | 7.526565E-5 | 1.1532084 | 1.0E-5 | 6.289736E-4 | 6.5247365E-4 | 6.724606E-4 | 1.0306326 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.052382E-6 | 1.0951596E-6 | 1.1095149E-5 | 10.131079 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5102006E-6 | 4.693533E-6 | 1.4693486E-5 | 3.1305811 | 1.0E-5 | 5.491031E-5 | 5.7142275E-5 | 6.71417E-5 | 1.1749917 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4896745E-4 | 5.712767E-4 | 5.9126527E-4 | 1.0349894 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0067454E-6 | 1.0487698E-6 | 1.1048759E-5 | 10.53497 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3146156E-6 | 4.4947205E-6 | 1.4494675E-5 | 3.2248225 | 1.0E-5 | 5.252918E-5 | 5.4721855E-5 | 6.472131E-5 | 1.1827323 | 1.0E-5 | 5.251676E-4 | 5.4708467E-4 | 5.670737E-4 | 1.0365374 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.3596316E-7 | 9.767712E-7 | 1.0976762E-5 | 11.2378025 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0112645E-6 | 4.1861554E-6 | 1.4186114E-5 | 3.3888166 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8836053E-5 | 5.096526E-5 | 6.096475E-5 | 1.196202 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8825322E-4 | 5.095365E-4 | 5.295263E-4 | 1.0392313 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.8117395E-7 | 9.207652E-7 | 9.207652E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7764542E-6 | 3.9461306E-6 | 3.9461306E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5977362E-5 | 4.804309E-5 | 4.804309E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.596785E-4 | 4.803278E-4 | 4.90323E-4 | 1.0208092 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 8.292386E-7 | 8.674585E-7 | 8.674585E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5538749E-6 | 3.717674E-6 | 3.717674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.326757E-5 | 4.526175E-5 | 4.526175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3259145E-4 | 4.5252603E-4 | 4.625215E-4 | 1.0220882 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 7.553842E-7 | 7.9144604E-7 | 7.9144604E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2373566E-6 | 3.3919073E-6 | 3.3919073E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9414106E-5 | 4.1295694E-5 | 4.1295694E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9407116E-4 | 4.128809E-4 | 4.228768E-4 | 1.0242101 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 6.5285366E-7 | 6.8527874E-7 | 6.8527874E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.797941E-6 | 2.9369057E-6 | 2.9369057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.40644E-5 | 3.5756246E-5 | 3.5756246E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.405918E-4 | 3.575056E-4 | 3.67502E-4 | 1.0279616 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.648256E-7 | 3.648256E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5635374E-6 | 1.5635374E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.9035906E-5 | 1.9035906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8045233E-4 | 1.903432E-4 | 1.903432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6696687E-9 | 2.6696687E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1441437E-8 | 1.1441437E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.392995E-7 | 1.392995E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3353102E-6 | 1.3929949E-6 | 1.3929949E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Parkfield)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.556969E-4 | 7.778346E-4 | 7.778346E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023793848 | 0.0033298659 | 0.0033398326 | 1.0029931 | 1.0E-5 | 0.028586963 | 0.040046964 | 0.04006616 | 1.0004795 | 2.0E-5 | 0.25176284 | 0.3370342 | 0.33706737 | 1.0000983 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.925858E-4 | 3.0276488E-4 | 3.0276488E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2510663E-4 | 0.0012970122 | 0.0012970122 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0099994885 | 0.01577305 | 0.015782893 | 1.000624 | 1.0E-5 | 0.095613256 | 0.14968696 | 0.14970396 | 1.0001136 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.4306815E-5 | 1.824223E-4 | 1.824223E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0410945E-4 | 7.8157685E-4 | 7.8157685E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049089384 | 0.009474405 | 0.009484311 | 1.0010455 | 1.0E-5 | 0.048019063 | 0.09185756 | 0.091875724 | 1.0001978 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.283051E-5 | 1.7938759E-4 | 1.7938759E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9778434E-4 | 7.685786E-4 | 7.685786E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048322747 | 0.009317504 | 0.009327411 | 1.0010632 | 1.0E-5 | 0.047285385 | 0.09051052 | 0.090528704 | 1.000201 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 9.138826E-5 | 1.7700944E-4 | 1.7700944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.916052E-4 | 7.583925E-4 | 7.583925E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047573745 | 0.009194541 | 0.009204449 | 1.0010777 | 1.0E-5 | 0.046568092 | 0.08941416 | 0.08943237 | 1.0002037 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.000255E-5 | 1.7459E-4 | 1.7459E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8566816E-4 | 7.4802944E-4 | 7.4802944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046854047 | 0.0090694325 | 0.009079342 | 1.0010926 | 1.0E-5 | 0.045878403 | 0.08829737 | 0.0883156 | 1.0002065 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.8109264E-5 | 1.7140193E-4 | 1.7140193E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7755648E-4 | 7.3437404E-4 | 7.3437404E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045870654 | 0.008904563 | 0.008914474 | 1.001113 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04493529 | 0.086828575 | 0.086846836 | 1.0002103 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.738073E-5 | 1.7007279E-4 | 1.7007279E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7443507E-4 | 7.286809E-4 | 7.286809E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045492216 | 0.008835857 | 0.008845769 | 1.0011218 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04457213 | 0.086228445 | 0.08624672 | 1.000212 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.710195E-5 | 1.6952785E-4 | 1.6952785E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7324068E-4 | 7.2634674E-4 | 7.2634674E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045347405 | 0.008807677 | 0.008817589 | 1.0011253 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04443313 | 0.0859759 | 0.085994184 | 1.0002127 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 8.6801556E-5 | 1.6893743E-4 | 1.6893743E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7195362E-4 | 7.238178E-4 | 7.238178E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045191357 | 0.008777135 | 0.008787048 | 1.0011293 | 1.0E-5 | 0.044283327 | 0.08570191 | 0.0857202 | 1.0002134 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.5571606E-5 | 1.6646592E-4 | 1.6646592E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6668387E-4 | 7.1323145E-4 | 7.1323145E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004455241 | 0.008649277 | 0.00865919 | 1.0011462 | 1.0E-5 | 0.043669727 | 0.084549636 | 0.08456794 | 1.0002166 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.82589E-5 | 1.5127397E-4 | 1.5127397E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3535215E-4 | 6.481567E-4 | 6.481567E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040752706 | 0.007862925 | 0.007872846 | 1.0012618 | 1.0E-5 | 0.040013418 | 0.07746162 | 0.07748008 | 1.0002382 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.690929E-5 | 1.4864646E-4 | 1.4864646E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2956956E-4 | 6.369015E-4 | 6.369015E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004005129 | 0.0077268723 | 0.007736795 | 1.0012842 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0393371 | 0.07623468 | 0.07625316 | 1.0002424 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.5543794E-5 | 1.4561295E-4 | 1.4561295E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2371894E-4 | 6.23907E-4 | 6.23907E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003934157 | 0.007569774 | 0.007579698 | 1.0013111 | 1.0E-5 | 0.038652334 | 0.07479546 | 0.07481396 | 1.0002474 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.4214564E-5 | 1.4262283E-4 | 1.4262283E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1802364E-4 | 6.110982E-4 | 6.110982E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003865065 | 0.007414898 | 0.007424824 | 1.0013386 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03798529 | 0.0733692 | 0.073387735 | 1.0002526 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.149578E-5 | 1.1190168E-4 | 1.1190168E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6352672E-4 | 4.7949058E-4 | 4.7949058E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032037178 | 0.0058222036 | 0.0058321455 | 1.0017076 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03157923 | 0.058556058 | 0.058574885 | 1.0003215 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.0643448E-5 | 1.1018825E-4 | 1.1018825E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.598746E-4 | 4.7215E-4 | 4.7215E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031593828 | 0.0057333056 | 0.0057432484 | 1.0017341 | 1.0E-5 | 0.031148417 | 0.057717044 | 0.05773589 | 1.0003265 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.1652263E-5 | 9.174102E-5 | 9.174102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2134806E-4 | 3.9311658E-4 | 3.9311658E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002691582 | 0.0047757006 | 0.004785653 | 1.0020839 | 1.0E-5 | 0.026592141 | 0.048532683 | 0.048551712 | 1.0003921 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 4.8090482E-5 | 8.559073E-5 | 8.559073E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.060858E-4 | 3.6676586E-4 | 3.6676586E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025062072 | 0.0044562398 | 0.0044562398 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.024781305 | 0.045299396 | 0.045308944 | 1.0002108 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.970278E-5 | 6.74995E-5 | 6.74995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7014367E-4 | 2.892515E-4 | 2.892515E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002069531 | 0.0035159541 | 0.0035159541 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020503636 | 0.03587903 | 0.035888672 | 1.0002687 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.8982335E-5 | 4.069344E-5 | 4.069344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2420409E-4 | 1.7438881E-4 | 1.7438881E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015111357 | 0.0021211174 | 0.0021211174 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015009012 | 0.022008745 | 0.022018524 | 1.0004444 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.8836186E-5 | 1.867712E-5 | 1.867712E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0724014E-5 | 8.004235E-5 | 8.004235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.823717E-4 | 9.740805E-4 | 9.740805E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009780403 | 0.010486352 | 0.010486352 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.472644E-6 | 5.472644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3453977E-5 | 2.3453977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8551483E-4 | 2.8551483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.003247653 | 0.003247653 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6547434E-7 | 7.6547434E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9940594E-5 | 3.9940594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7170694E-4 | 4.7170694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Coachella) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.2724344E-4 | 3.2724344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.0014017228 | 0.0014117088 | 1.0071241 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062038354 | 0.016933769 | 0.016973091 | 1.0023222 | 4.0E-5 | 0.060334753 | 0.15264614 | 0.1526885 | 1.0002775 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1925945E-4 | 3.2724344E-4 | 3.2724344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.110118E-4 | 0.0014017228 | 0.0014117088 | 1.0071241 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062038354 | 0.016933769 | 0.016973091 | 1.0023222 | 4.0E-5 | 0.060334753 | 0.15264614 | 0.1526885 | 1.0002775 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.07432395E-4 | 3.0225134E-4 | 3.0225134E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.603433E-4 | 0.0012947238 | 0.0013047109 | 1.0077137 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005590286 | 0.015650427 | 0.015689801 | 1.0025158 | 4.0E-5 | 0.05451731 | 0.14180507 | 0.14184797 | 1.0003026 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0718766E-4 | 3.017044E-4 | 3.017044E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.592948E-4 | 0.0012923821 | 0.0013023692 | 1.0077276 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005577586 | 0.015622327 | 0.015661702 | 1.0025204 | 4.0E-5 | 0.054396555 | 0.1415733 | 0.14161621 | 1.0003031 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0355944E-4 | 2.9378527E-4 | 2.9378527E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4375064E-4 | 0.0012584762 | 0.0012684636 | 1.0079361 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053892885 | 0.015215358 | 0.015254749 | 1.0025889 | 4.0E-5 | 0.052604496 | 0.13813514 | 0.13817823 | 1.000312 | 5.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0227914E-4 | 2.9097957E-4 | 2.9097957E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.382655E-4 | 0.0012464633 | 0.0012564508 | 1.0080127 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053228354 | 0.015071134 | 0.015110531 | 1.002614 | 4.0E-5 | 0.051971316 | 0.1369198 | 0.13696295 | 1.0003152 | 5.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0116757E-4 | 2.8863706E-4 | 2.8863706E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3350324E-4 | 0.0012364335 | 0.0012464211 | 1.0080777 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052651367 | 0.014950704 | 0.014990105 | 1.0026355 | 4.0E-5 | 0.051421247 | 0.13589692 | 0.13594012 | 1.0003179 | 5.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0050676E-4 | 2.872227E-4 | 2.872227E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3067214E-4 | 0.0012303777 | 0.0012403653 | 1.0081176 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005230834 | 0.014877982 | 0.014917388 | 1.0026486 | 4.0E-5 | 0.051094085 | 0.13528183 | 0.13532507 | 1.0003196 | 5.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.976819E-5 | 2.8525927E-4 | 2.8525927E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2750788E-4 | 0.0012219709 | 0.0012319586 | 1.0081735 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051924936 | 0.014777023 | 0.014816432 | 1.002667 | 4.0E-5 | 0.050728295 | 0.13443343 | 0.1344767 | 1.000322 | 5.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.77719E-5 | 2.8022839E-4 | 2.8022839E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1895514E-4 | 0.00120043 | 0.001210418 | 1.0083203 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050888555 | 0.014518287 | 0.014557707 | 1.0027151 | 4.0E-5 | 0.049738888 | 0.1322617 | 0.13230507 | 1.0003281 | 5.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.500761E-5 | 2.4757453E-4 | 2.4757453E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6426744E-4 | 0.0010606055 | 0.0010705949 | 1.0094186 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044259406 | 0.012837193 | 0.012876679 | 1.003076 | 4.0E-5 | 0.04338823 | 0.11811238 | 0.11815647 | 1.0003734 | 5.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.319876E-5 | 2.4360199E-4 | 2.4360199E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5651738E-4 | 0.001043594 | 0.0010535836 | 1.0095723 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004331963 | 0.0126324985 | 0.012671993 | 1.0031264 | 4.0E-5 | 0.042484846 | 0.11633271 | 0.11637689 | 1.0003798 | 5.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.563917E-5 | 2.2408647E-4 | 2.2408647E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412758E-4 | 9.600202E-4 | 9.700106E-4 | 1.0104065 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039391145 | 0.011626295 | 0.011665829 | 1.0034004 | 4.0E-5 | 0.03870018 | 0.10773812 | 0.10778274 | 1.0004141 | 5.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.082985E-5 | 2.072494E-4 | 2.072494E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0352117E-4 | 8.8791223E-4 | 8.9790334E-4 | 1.0112524 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036891096 | 0.010757373 | 0.010796943 | 1.0036783 | 4.0E-5 | 0.03628465 | 0.100260876 | 0.10030586 | 1.0004487 | 5.0E-5 |
7.4 | 5.146215E-5 | 1.4271964E-4 | 1.4271964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2053342E-4 | 6.115131E-4 | 6.21507E-4 | 1.0163429 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026816884 | 0.007419945 | 0.0074596484 | 1.0053508 | 4.0E-5 | 0.02649557 | 0.07083952 | 0.07088598 | 1.0006558 | 5.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.0285166E-5 | 1.0941875E-4 | 1.0941875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7263928E-4 | 4.6885354E-4 | 4.7884884E-4 | 1.0213187 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002099857 | 0.005693421 | 0.005733193 | 1.0069857 | 4.0E-5 | 0.020801254 | 0.055011373 | 0.055058625 | 1.0008589 | 5.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.1168736E-5 | 8.439118E-5 | 8.439118E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3357346E-4 | 3.6162647E-4 | 3.7162285E-4 | 1.0276428 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016250437 | 0.004393941 | 0.004423809 | 1.0067976 | 3.0E-5 | 0.016132116 | 0.04281055 | 0.042848837 | 1.0008943 | 4.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.2100989E-5 | 6.238918E-5 | 6.238918E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4715084E-5 | 2.6735486E-4 | 2.7735217E-4 | 1.0373935 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001152546 | 0.0032501933 | 0.0032800958 | 1.0092002 | 3.0E-5 | 0.011465867 | 0.03190085 | 0.031939574 | 1.0012139 | 4.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.7484861E-5 | 5.1796946E-5 | 5.1796946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.493296E-5 | 2.2196803E-4 | 2.3196582E-4 | 1.0450416 | 1.0E-5 | 9.1192697E-4 | 0.0026991146 | 0.0027190605 | 1.0073898 | 2.0E-5 | 0.009081938 | 0.026640745 | 0.026669946 | 1.0010961 | 3.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.3967285E-5 | 3.822304E-5 | 3.822304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.985842E-5 | 1.6380275E-4 | 1.6380275E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2853256E-4 | 0.0019924755 | 0.0020024555 | 1.0050089 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0072614877 | 0.019910011 | 0.019929614 | 1.0009845 | 2.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.1887396E-5 | 3.1065316E-5 | 3.1065316E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.094499E-5 | 1.3313028E-4 | 1.3313028E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.200787E-4 | 0.0016196569 | 0.0016296408 | 1.0061642 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006183513 | 0.016279692 | 0.016299367 | 1.0012085 | 2.0E-5 |
8.1 | 5.100864E-6 | 8.972689E-6 | 8.972689E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1860664E-5 | 3.8453814E-5 | 3.8453814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6612106E-4 | 4.6807475E-4 | 4.6807475E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002658026 | 0.0049177213 | 0.0049177213 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.3004484E-6 | 2.78591E-6 | 2.78591E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.859027E-6 | 1.193956E-5 | 1.193956E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2002704E-4 | 1.4535447E-4 | 1.4535447E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011996223 | 0.0015971703 | 0.0015971703 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.0424446E-7 | 5.813156E-8 | 5.813156E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4676187E-7 | 2.491352E-7 | 2.491352E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.439312E-6 | 3.0332174E-6 | 3.0332174E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4391792E-5 | 3.1893844E-5 | 3.1893844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Wolf (Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066608E-6 | 6.066608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.5999527E-5 | 5.5998746E-5 | 2.1538372 | 3.0E-5 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1650488E-4 | 3.564922E-4 | 1.1263404 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.003161193 | 0.003211035 | 1.0157669 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066608E-6 | 6.066608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.5999527E-5 | 5.5998746E-5 | 2.1538372 | 3.0E-5 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1650488E-4 | 3.564922E-4 | 1.1263404 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.003161193 | 0.003211035 | 1.0157669 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066608E-6 | 6.066608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.5999527E-5 | 5.5998746E-5 | 2.1538372 | 3.0E-5 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1650488E-4 | 3.564922E-4 | 1.1263404 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.003161193 | 0.003211035 | 1.0157669 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.066608E-6 | 6.066608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.5999527E-5 | 5.5998746E-5 | 2.1538372 | 3.0E-5 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1650488E-4 | 3.564922E-4 | 1.1263404 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0042812387 | 0.003161193 | 0.003211035 | 1.0157669 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.821773E-6 | 3.5571218E-6 | 3.5571218E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4950215E-5 | 1.5244725E-5 | 2.5244572E-5 | 1.6559546 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0372653E-4 | 1.8558982E-4 | 1.9558796E-4 | 1.0538722 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030331176 | 0.0018544566 | 0.0018644381 | 1.0053824 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.766023E-6 | 3.499056E-6 | 3.499056E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4711293E-5 | 1.4995874E-5 | 2.4995725E-5 | 1.6668401 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0081844E-4 | 1.8256057E-4 | 1.9255874E-4 | 1.0547663 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030041158 | 0.0018242141 | 0.0018341959 | 1.0054718 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.643576E-6 | 2.3325706E-6 | 2.3325706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9900888E-5 | 9.996696E-6 | 9.996696E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4226638E-4 | 1.217034E-4 | 1.217034E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024200242 | 0.00121641 | 0.00121641 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.9529173E-6 | 1.6482956E-6 | 1.6482956E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6940963E-5 | 7.064106E-6 | 7.064106E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0623671E-4 | 8.6002285E-5 | 8.6002285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002060454 | 8.597085E-4 | 8.597085E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.4377522E-6 | 1.2244749E-6 | 1.2244749E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.473314E-5 | 5.2477394E-6 | 5.2477394E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7936122E-4 | 6.388945E-5 | 6.388945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017921652 | 6.387199E-4 | 6.387199E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.1367306E-6 | 1.0033302E-6 | 1.0033302E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3443062E-5 | 4.29998E-6 | 4.29998E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.63657E-4 | 5.235108E-5 | 5.235108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016353652 | 5.233951E-4 | 5.233951E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.8298145E-6 | 7.428222E-7 | 7.428222E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2127721E-5 | 3.18352E-6 | 3.18352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.47645E-4 | 3.8758717E-5 | 3.8758717E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014754693 | 3.8752457E-4 | 3.8752457E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.4091064E-6 | 5.4223744E-7 | 5.4223744E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.03247E-5 | 2.323873E-6 | 2.323873E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2569598E-4 | 2.8292827E-5 | 2.8292827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001256249 | 2.828963E-4 | 2.828963E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.3875518E-6 | 1.07402464E-7 | 1.07402464E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9466374E-6 | 4.602962E-7 | 4.602962E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.23979E-5 | 5.604093E-6 | 5.604093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2374323E-4 | 5.6039633E-5 | 5.6039633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.056077E-7 | 5.0002754E-8 | 5.0002754E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0240296E-6 | 2.142975E-7 | 2.142975E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.681694E-5 | 2.6090695E-6 | 2.6090695E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.681084E-4 | 2.6090434E-5 | 2.6090434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.8638475E-9 | 4.8638475E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 2.084506E-8 | 2.084506E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.5378858E-7 | 2.5378858E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095951E-5 | 2.5378843E-6 | 2.5378843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lost Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.51065E-5 | 4.5105997E-5 | 1.7965865 | 2.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0759579E-4 | 1.3759256E-4 | 1.2787913 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013093597 | 0.0013493074 | 1.0305092 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033048 | 0.013082396 | 1.0037864 | 5.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.51065E-5 | 4.5105997E-5 | 1.7965865 | 2.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0759579E-4 | 1.3759256E-4 | 1.2787913 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013093597 | 0.0013493074 | 1.0305092 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033048 | 0.013082396 | 1.0037864 | 5.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.51065E-5 | 4.5105997E-5 | 1.7965865 | 2.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0759579E-4 | 1.3759256E-4 | 1.2787913 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013093597 | 0.0013493074 | 1.0305092 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033048 | 0.013082396 | 1.0037864 | 5.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.51065E-5 | 4.5105997E-5 | 1.7965865 | 2.0E-5 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0759579E-4 | 1.3759256E-4 | 1.2787913 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0011647546 | 0.0013093597 | 0.0013493074 | 1.0305092 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011586686 | 0.013033048 | 0.013082396 | 1.0037864 | 5.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3781063E-5 | 2.3780925E-5 | 1.7256235 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.906089E-5 | 6.90603E-5 | 1.1693068 | 1.0E-5 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.189229E-4 | 7.3890854E-4 | 1.0277994 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006391279 | 0.007175178 | 0.0072049624 | 1.0041511 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3781063E-5 | 2.3780925E-5 | 1.7256235 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.906089E-5 | 6.90603E-5 | 1.1693068 | 1.0E-5 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.189229E-4 | 7.3890854E-4 | 1.0277994 | 2.0E-5 | 0.006391279 | 0.007175178 | 0.0072049624 | 1.0041511 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.58281E-6 | 9.633739E-6 | 9.633739E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6782953E-5 | 4.1287265E-5 | 4.1287265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4774043E-4 | 5.0263974E-4 | 5.126347E-4 | 1.019885 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0044683935 | 0.005023189 | 0.0050430885 | 1.0039616 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.205685E-6 | 8.0882755E-6 | 8.0882755E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.088114E-5 | 3.4664037E-5 | 3.4664037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7591302E-4 | 4.2203465E-4 | 4.3203044E-4 | 1.0236847 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037527776 | 0.0042203465 | 0.004230304 | 1.0023595 | 1.0E-5 |
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.986481E-4 | 0.0012275568 | 0.0012275568 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025631124 | 0.005245443 | 0.005245443 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.030762846 | 0.061203696 | 0.06122247 | 1.0003067 | 2.0E-5 | 0.26835477 | 0.42593017 | 0.42594737 | 1.0000404 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.015945E-4 | 0.0010217631 | 0.0010217631 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00214792 | 0.004367768 | 0.004367768 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.025839351 | 0.051247615 | 0.05126659 | 1.0003703 | 2.0E-5 | 0.23032776 | 0.37285197 | 0.37287077 | 1.0000504 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.073338E-4 | 8.107063E-4 | 8.107063E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017445484 | 0.003467065 | 0.003467065 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021034058 | 0.04093243 | 0.040942024 | 1.0002342 | 1.0E-5 | 0.19150782 | 0.3130283 | 0.3130489 | 1.0000658 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.464099E-4 | 6.7388907E-4 | 6.7388907E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014837692 | 0.0028828874 | 0.0028828874 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017915873 | 0.034188833 | 0.03419849 | 1.0002825 | 1.0E-5 | 0.16538359 | 0.27131107 | 0.27133292 | 1.0000806 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.935057E-4 | 5.543981E-4 | 5.543981E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012572751 | 0.0023724644 | 0.0023724644 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015200248 | 0.028263751 | 0.028273469 | 1.0003438 | 1.0E-5 | 0.14201577 | 0.23297946 | 0.23300247 | 1.0000988 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.3409708E-4 | 4.2091837E-4 | 4.2091837E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010028875 | 0.0018019082 | 0.0018019082 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012141965 | 0.021586698 | 0.021596482 | 1.0004532 | 1.0E-5 | 0.11499573 | 0.18681763 | 0.18684204 | 1.0001305 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5842178E-4 | 2.5067857E-4 | 2.5067857E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7877385E-4 | 0.0010738866 | 0.0010738866 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0082328 | 0.01299481 | 0.013004679 | 1.0007595 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07934396 | 0.12314034 | 0.12315788 | 1.0001425 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.5616413E-4 | 2.460442E-4 | 2.460442E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.691031E-4 | 0.0010540439 | 0.0010540439 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0081159435 | 0.01275668 | 0.012766552 | 1.0007739 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0782586 | 0.12116749 | 0.121185064 | 1.0001451 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5538467E-4 | 2.4428288E-4 | 2.4428288E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6576427E-4 | 0.0010465018 | 0.0010465018 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008075596 | 0.012666085 | 0.012675958 | 1.0007795 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07788358 | 0.12039834 | 0.12041594 | 1.0001462 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.5153569E-4 | 2.3537583E-4 | 2.3537583E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.49277E-4 | 0.0010083655 | 0.0010083655 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007876333 | 0.012208263 | 0.012218141 | 1.0008091 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07602952 | 0.116468415 | 0.11648609 | 1.0001518 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.4588932E-4 | 2.2394823E-4 | 2.2394823E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.250901E-4 | 9.594271E-4 | 9.594271E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0075839474 | 0.011618959 | 0.011628843 | 1.0008507 | 1.0E-5 | 0.073302895 | 0.111314535 | 0.11133231 | 1.0001596 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.1565079E-4 | 1.628044E-4 | 1.628044E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.955521E-4 | 6.9754745E-4 | 6.9754745E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006016669 | 0.008459772 | 0.008469687 | 1.0011721 | 1.0E-5 | 0.058563538 | 0.08366677 | 0.08368509 | 1.000219 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0393792E-4 | 1.4614522E-4 | 1.4614522E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4537216E-4 | 6.261871E-4 | 6.261871E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005408933 | 0.007597347 | 0.007607271 | 1.0013063 | 1.0E-5 | 0.052791595 | 0.07561691 | 0.0756354 | 1.0002445 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.332884E-5 | 1.2779726E-4 | 1.2779726E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.999194E-4 | 5.475882E-4 | 5.475882E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048581534 | 0.006646641 | 0.0066565746 | 1.0014945 | 1.0E-5 | 0.047533102 | 0.06648109 | 0.06649976 | 1.0002809 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 8.670252E-5 | 1.1702097E-4 | 1.1702097E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.715293E-4 | 5.014227E-4 | 5.014227E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004513991 | 0.0060878536 | 0.0060977926 | 1.0016326 | 1.0E-5 | 0.044233937 | 0.06114961 | 0.061168388 | 1.0003071 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.3036405E-5 | 9.0049005E-5 | 9.0049005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.129756E-4 | 3.8586732E-4 | 3.8586732E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038038217 | 0.004687836 | 0.004697789 | 1.0021232 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03739367 | 0.047874223 | 0.047893263 | 1.0003978 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 6.3935775E-5 | 8.279483E-5 | 8.279483E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7398168E-4 | 3.5478684E-4 | 3.5478684E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033306254 | 0.004310993 | 0.00432095 | 1.0023097 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032811474 | 0.043989062 | 0.044008184 | 1.0004346 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.5050095E-5 | 6.6610344E-5 | 6.6610344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3590765E-4 | 2.854417E-4 | 2.854417E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028683927 | 0.0034697189 | 0.0034796842 | 1.0028721 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0283165 | 0.035792835 | 0.035812117 | 1.0005388 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 5.027131E-5 | 6.162133E-5 | 6.162133E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1543067E-4 | 2.640647E-4 | 2.640647E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026197135 | 0.0032102512 | 0.0032102512 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.025890453 | 0.033123713 | 0.03313338 | 1.000292 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.7271806E-5 | 5.0219067E-5 | 5.0219067E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5972654E-4 | 2.1520683E-4 | 2.1520683E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019429359 | 0.0026169969 | 0.0026169969 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019260362 | 0.02706497 | 0.0270747 | 1.0003595 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.7310243E-5 | 3.142378E-5 | 3.142378E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.17038646E-4 | 1.3466639E-4 | 1.3466639E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014240141 | 0.0016383311 | 0.0016383311 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014149235 | 0.017211884 | 0.017221712 | 1.000571 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.7940547E-5 | 1.7396878E-5 | 1.7396878E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.688579E-5 | 7.455592E-5 | 7.455592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3568244E-4 | 9.073409E-4 | 9.073409E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009317525 | 0.009797363 | 0.009797363 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 5.472644E-6 | 5.472644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.704486E-5 | 2.3453977E-5 | 2.3453977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.8551483E-4 | 2.8551483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045001395 | 0.003247653 | 0.003247653 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 7.6547434E-7 | 7.6547434E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.498917E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 3.2806004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.9940594E-5 | 3.9940594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010342124 | 4.7170694E-4 | 4.7170694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3784054E-5 | 3.3784054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4478144E-4 | 1.4478144E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017614097 | 0.0017813744 | 1.0113345 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.01748682 | 0.01752612 | 1.0022475 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3784054E-5 | 3.3784054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4478144E-4 | 1.4478144E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017614097 | 0.0017813744 | 1.0113345 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.01748682 | 0.01752612 | 1.0022475 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.3784054E-5 | 3.3784054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4478144E-4 | 1.4478144E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017614097 | 0.0017813744 | 1.0113345 | 2.0E-5 | 0.018115403 | 0.01748682 | 0.01752612 | 1.0022475 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.591613E-5 | 1.591613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.821028E-5 | 6.821028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.30158E-4 | 8.401497E-4 | 1.0120358 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009254395 | 0.008272028 | 0.008281944 | 1.0011989 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.591613E-5 | 1.591613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.821028E-5 | 6.821028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.30158E-4 | 8.401497E-4 | 1.0120358 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009254395 | 0.008272028 | 0.008281944 | 1.0011989 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3397557E-5 | 1.1336354E-5 | 1.1336354E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.741684E-5 | 4.8583508E-5 | 4.8583508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.988258E-4 | 5.9135066E-4 | 6.0134474E-4 | 1.0169004 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006966323 | 0.005898476 | 0.005908417 | 1.0016854 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0818695E-5 | 8.6254195E-6 | 8.6254195E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6365014E-5 | 3.6965583E-5 | 3.6965583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6434784E-4 | 4.499674E-4 | 4.599629E-4 | 1.0222138 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005629168 | 0.0044909995 | 0.004500955 | 1.0022167 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.067908E-6 | 6.802464E-6 | 6.802464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8861883E-5 | 2.915311E-5 | 2.915311E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7304068E-4 | 3.548845E-4 | 3.6488095E-4 | 1.0281682 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00472035 | 0.003543495 | 0.0035534597 | 1.002812 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.295947E-6 | 4.9364203E-6 | 4.9364203E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.126797E-5 | 2.1155922E-5 | 2.1155922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8062103E-4 | 2.5754404E-4 | 2.5754404E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037996976 | 0.0025725686 | 0.0025725686 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.2243444E-6 | 3.8322482E-6 | 3.8322482E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6675489E-5 | 1.642382E-5 | 1.642382E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2472567E-4 | 1.999422E-4 | 1.999422E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032425157 | 0.0019976757 | 0.0019976757 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.9878413E-6 | 2.6795587E-6 | 2.6795587E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1376287E-5 | 1.1483774E-5 | 1.1483774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.602252E-4 | 1.3980624E-4 | 1.3980624E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002599207 | 0.0013972091 | 0.0013972091 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.0252844E-6 | 1.885697E-6 | 1.885697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7251105E-5 | 8.081534E-6 | 8.081534E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1001195E-4 | 9.8388366E-5 | 9.8388366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020981359 | 9.834609E-4 | 9.834609E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.3284066E-6 | 1.2818881E-6 | 1.2818881E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4264522E-5 | 5.4937955E-6 | 5.4937955E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.736567E-4 | 6.688501E-5 | 6.688501E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017352107 | 6.686588E-4 | 6.686588E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.458226E-6 | 6.05664E-7 | 6.05664E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0535211E-5 | 2.5957006E-6 | 2.5957006E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2825865E-4 | 3.1602234E-5 | 3.1602234E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012818464 | 3.1598116E-4 | 3.1598116E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.965953E-6 | 3.1084303E-7 | 3.1084303E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.425486E-6 | 1.3321838E-6 | 1.3321838E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0257547E-4 | 1.6219217E-5 | 1.6219217E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010252813 | 1.6218047E-4 | 1.6218047E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2014192E-6 | 1.8240732E-7 | 1.8240732E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.148929E-6 | 7.817454E-7 | 7.817454E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2686406E-5 | 9.51771E-6 | 9.51771E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.266873E-4 | 9.5173105E-5 | 9.5173105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.5612175E-7 | 4.893735E-8 | 4.893735E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0976642E-6 | 2.0973148E-7 | 2.0973148E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363979E-5 | 2.553478E-6 | 2.553478E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363175E-4 | 2.5534524E-5 | 2.5534524E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Imperial
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7496446E-4 | 5.0544227E-4 | 5.0544227E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011778869 | 0.0021644223 | 0.0021744007 | 1.0046102 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0142467655 | 0.026058238 | 0.026087455 | 1.0011213 | 3.0E-5 | 0.13367249 | 0.22804803 | 0.2280789 | 1.0001354 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.5356023E-4 | 4.864932E-4 | 4.864932E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001086234 | 0.0020833432 | 0.0020933223 | 1.00479 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013144928 | 0.025072256 | 0.025101503 | 1.0011666 | 3.0E-5 | 0.123940155 | 0.21948382 | 0.21951504 | 1.0001422 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.4820742E-4 | 4.7744758E-4 | 4.7744758E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010633124 | 0.0020446372 | 0.0020546168 | 1.0048808 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01286919 | 0.024612322 | 0.024641585 | 1.0011889 | 3.0E-5 | 0.12148927 | 0.21598965 | 0.216021 | 1.0001452 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3205351E-4 | 4.588405E-4 | 4.588405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.94136E-4 | 0.0019650143 | 0.0019749945 | 1.005079 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012036599 | 0.023659883 | 0.023689173 | 1.001238 | 3.0E-5 | 0.11405133 | 0.20792368 | 0.20795536 | 1.0001523 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0304754E-4 | 3.9870106E-4 | 3.9870106E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6991355E-4 | 0.0017076145 | 0.0017175974 | 1.0058461 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010539869 | 0.02059353 | 0.020622911 | 1.0014268 | 3.0E-5 | 0.100537635 | 0.18505521 | 0.18508781 | 1.0001762 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.854992E-4 | 3.6982604E-4 | 3.6982604E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9475436E-4 | 0.0015840183 | 0.0015940025 | 1.0063031 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009633281 | 0.01912025 | 0.019149676 | 1.001539 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0922623 | 0.17328814 | 0.17332122 | 1.0001909 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.6586106E-4 | 3.402928E-4 | 3.402928E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.106394E-4 | 0.0014575928 | 0.0014675782 | 1.0068506 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008617763 | 0.017604336 | 0.017633807 | 1.0016742 | 3.0E-5 | 0.08291132 | 0.16075848 | 0.16079205 | 1.0002089 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4224656E-4 | 3.076128E-4 | 3.076128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.094856E-4 | 0.0013176827 | 0.0013276695 | 1.0075791 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0073952693 | 0.01592529 | 0.015954813 | 1.0018538 | 3.0E-5 | 0.07153955 | 0.14646539 | 0.14649953 | 1.000233 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2317259E-4 | 2.778561E-4 | 2.778561E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2777573E-4 | 0.0011902746 | 0.0012002627 | 1.0083914 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064067547 | 0.014396684 | 0.014416397 | 1.0013692 | 2.0E-5 | 0.06225166 | 0.13291866 | 0.132936 | 1.0001304 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.859898E-5 | 2.5009012E-4 | 2.5009012E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2249862E-4 | 0.0010713787 | 0.0010813681 | 1.0093237 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051317946 | 0.012966984 | 0.012986724 | 1.0015224 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05014893 | 0.11938625 | 0.11940386 | 1.0001476 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.3191884E-5 | 2.1261652E-4 | 2.1261652E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.136418E-4 | 9.108986E-4 | 9.208895E-4 | 1.0109682 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003811904 | 0.011034482 | 0.011054262 | 1.0017926 | 2.0E-5 | 0.037471764 | 0.1020444 | 0.10206236 | 1.000176 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.1760296E-5 | 2.0963016E-4 | 2.0963016E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0750787E-4 | 8.981088E-4 | 9.080999E-4 | 1.0111245 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003737482 | 0.0108803315 | 0.010900114 | 1.0018182 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03675245 | 0.10068103 | 0.100699015 | 1.0001787 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.46614E-5 | 1.9131559E-4 | 1.9131559E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7709085E-4 | 8.196693E-4 | 8.296611E-4 | 1.01219 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033683628 | 0.009934432 | 0.009954233 | 1.0019932 | 2.0E-5 | 0.033177625 | 0.09248776 | 0.09250591 | 1.0001962 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.088115E-5 | 1.7803388E-4 | 1.7803388E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6089314E-4 | 7.627821E-4 | 7.727745E-4 | 1.0130999 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031717476 | 0.009247902 | 0.009267718 | 1.0021427 | 2.0E-5 | 0.031268585 | 0.086538635 | 0.086556904 | 1.0002111 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.199346E-5 | 1.1508458E-4 | 1.1508458E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7995955E-4 | 4.9312727E-4 | 5.0312234E-4 | 1.0202688 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021888057 | 0.005987466 | 0.0060073463 | 1.0033203 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02167372 | 0.057429686 | 0.057448536 | 1.0003283 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.130448E-5 | 8.33348E-5 | 8.33348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3415517E-4 | 3.5710057E-4 | 3.67097E-4 | 1.0279933 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016321153 | 0.004339092 | 0.0043590055 | 1.0045892 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016201803 | 0.042132407 | 0.042151563 | 1.0004547 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.3074248E-5 | 6.084606E-5 | 6.084606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.888588E-5 | 2.607429E-4 | 2.707403E-4 | 1.038342 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012032706 | 0.003169947 | 0.0031898837 | 1.0062892 | 2.0E-5 | 0.011967761 | 0.031026881 | 0.03104626 | 1.0006247 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.45864815E-5 | 4.012569E-5 | 4.012569E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2511994E-5 | 1.7195594E-4 | 1.8195422E-4 | 1.0581445 | 1.0E-5 | 7.608177E-4 | 0.0020915589 | 0.002111517 | 1.0095422 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007582182 | 0.0206284 | 0.020647988 | 1.0009495 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.0352979E-5 | 3.096157E-5 | 3.096157E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4369157E-5 | 1.3268572E-4 | 1.4268438E-4 | 1.075356 | 1.0E-5 | 5.400606E-4 | 0.0016142539 | 0.0016242377 | 1.0061848 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0053875 | 0.016017422 | 0.016027262 | 1.0006143 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 8.137906E-6 | 2.2149336E-5 | 2.2149336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4876273E-5 | 9.492228E-5 | 9.492228E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2453592E-4 | 0.001155067 | 0.001155067 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004237258 | 0.011618343 | 0.011618343 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.93792E-6 | 1.8008765E-5 | 1.8008765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9733603E-5 | 7.717814E-5 | 7.717814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6194647E-4 | 9.392395E-4 | 9.392395E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036135751 | 0.009501954 | 0.009501954 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.4286315E-6 | 6.3794105E-6 | 6.3794105E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4694053E-5 | 2.7340044E-5 | 2.7340044E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7888541E-4 | 3.3281432E-4 | 3.3281432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017874148 | 0.003486159 | 0.003486159 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.4906886E-6 | 1.9363238E-6 | 1.9363238E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3886496E-6 | 8.298504E-6 | 8.298504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7779034E-5 | 1.0102963E-4 | 1.0102963E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.775182E-4 | 0.0011074151 | 0.0011074151 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.5758007E-8 | 1.4492432E-8 | 1.4492432E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10391454E-7 | 6.211042E-8 | 6.211042E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3440151E-6 | 7.561944E-7 | 7.561944E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.344007E-5 | 7.885293E-6 | 7.885293E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Rose Canyon
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.971441E-5 | 5.971391E-5 | 1.201139 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.130457E-4 | 2.3304144E-4 | 1.0938566 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023933933 | 0.002590938 | 0.002610886 | 1.0076993 | 2.0E-5 | 0.023677798 | 0.02561842 | 0.025647653 | 1.0011411 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5923203E-5 | 4.971441E-5 | 4.971441E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9679888E-4 | 2.130457E-4 | 2.2304356E-4 | 1.0469283 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023933933 | 0.002590938 | 0.002600912 | 1.0038496 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023677798 | 0.02561842 | 0.025637908 | 1.0007607 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8844734E-5 | 2.9669607E-5 | 2.9669607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2361443E-4 | 1.2714945E-4 | 1.2714945E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015039665 | 0.0015469724 | 0.0015469724 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0149382865 | 0.015364838 | 0.015374684 | 1.0006409 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.3171577E-5 | 2.316239E-5 | 2.316239E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9302975E-5 | 9.926369E-5 | 9.926369E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012083431 | 0.0012078787 | 0.0012078787 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012017938 | 0.012012135 | 0.012022015 | 1.0008225 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0066604E-5 | 1.9668036E-5 | 1.9668036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.599689E-5 | 8.428891E-5 | 8.428891E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010465092 | 0.0010257445 | 0.0010257445 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010415946 | 0.010211463 | 0.01022136 | 1.0009693 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.776989E-5 | 1.7115373E-5 | 1.7115373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.615444E-5 | 7.3349576E-5 | 7.3349576E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.267859E-4 | 8.9267216E-4 | 8.9267216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009229303 | 0.008874648 | 0.008874648 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.5227364E-5 | 1.4340845E-5 | 1.4340845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.52585E-5 | 6.1459345E-5 | 6.1459345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.942326E-4 | 7.480159E-4 | 7.480159E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007914 | 0.007441019 | 0.007441019 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.2703898E-5 | 1.167425E-5 | 1.167425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4444143E-5 | 5.0031565E-5 | 5.0031565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.626558E-4 | 6.089683E-4 | 6.089683E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006606833 | 0.0060622953 | 0.0060622953 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.1554917E-5 | 1.0610358E-5 | 1.0610358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9520135E-5 | 4.5472192E-5 | 4.5472192E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0274085E-4 | 5.534874E-4 | 5.534874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060110865 | 0.0055044 | 0.0055044 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.732078E-6 | 7.88226E-6 | 7.88226E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7422655E-5 | 3.3780696E-5 | 3.3780696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5552556E-4 | 4.112053E-4 | 4.112053E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045459294 | 0.004089502 | 0.004089502 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.9337494E-6 | 5.1074267E-6 | 5.1074267E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5430107E-5 | 2.1888789E-5 | 2.1888789E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0956755E-4 | 2.6646355E-4 | 2.6646355E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030913667 | 0.0026614561 | 0.0026614561 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.013409E-6 | 4.1773346E-6 | 4.1773346E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1485863E-5 | 1.7902741E-5 | 1.7902741E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6155898E-4 | 2.1794418E-4 | 2.1794418E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026125133 | 0.002177316 | 0.002177316 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.120763E-6 | 3.2820874E-6 | 3.2820874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7660293E-5 | 1.4066013E-5 | 1.4066013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1499286E-4 | 1.7124035E-4 | 1.7124035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021478499 | 0.0017110935 | 0.0017110935 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.2081239E-6 | 2.4404928E-6 | 2.4404928E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.374903E-5 | 1.0459213E-5 | 1.0459213E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6738157E-4 | 1.2733355E-4 | 1.2733355E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016725556 | 0.0012726128 | 0.0012726128 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.4194755E-6 | 1.7680296E-6 | 1.7680296E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0369139E-5 | 7.577248E-6 | 7.577248E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2623696E-4 | 9.2249145E-5 | 9.2249145E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012616527 | 9.2211383E-4 | 9.2211383E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3842889E-6 | 9.378286E-7 | 9.378286E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9326535E-6 | 4.0192594E-6 | 4.0192594E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.222766E-5 | 4.893342E-5 | 4.893342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.220419E-4 | 4.8923E-4 | 4.8923E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.0021575E-6 | 6.4113425E-7 | 6.4113425E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2949537E-6 | 2.7477154E-6 | 2.7477154E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2289808E-5 | 3.3452943E-5 | 3.3452943E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2277505E-4 | 3.344812E-4 | 3.344812E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.7620116E-8 | 6.4492745E-8 | 6.4492745E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7551473E-7 | 2.7639746E-7 | 2.7639746E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5718825E-6 | 3.365134E-6 | 3.365134E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5717883E-5 | 3.365086E-5 | 3.365086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.762709E-4 | 4.762709E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0020396016 | 0.0020495811 | 1.004893 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011683988 | 0.024541805 | 0.024571069 | 1.0011925 | 3.0E-5 | 0.11088423 | 0.2134782 | 0.21350965 | 1.0001473 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2521618E-4 | 4.762709E-4 | 4.762709E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0020396016 | 0.0020495811 | 1.004893 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011683988 | 0.024541805 | 0.024571069 | 1.0011925 | 3.0E-5 | 0.11088423 | 0.2134782 | 0.21350965 | 1.0001473 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.198148E-4 | 4.6711712E-4 | 4.6711712E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.417233E-4 | 0.0020004313 | 0.0020104114 | 1.0049889 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011405343 | 0.024076113 | 0.02410539 | 1.001216 | 3.0E-5 | 0.10837428 | 0.20991476 | 0.20994636 | 1.0001506 | 4.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1704129E-4 | 4.6147394E-4 | 4.6147394E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.298453E-4 | 0.001976283 | 0.0019862633 | 1.0050501 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011262234 | 0.023789674 | 0.02381896 | 1.0012311 | 3.0E-5 | 0.107082725 | 0.20780581 | 0.2078375 | 1.0001525 | 4.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.876142E-4 | 4.0039537E-4 | 4.0039537E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.038131E-4 | 0.001714866 | 0.0017248489 | 1.0058213 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00974259 | 0.020675711 | 0.02070509 | 1.001421 | 3.0E-5 | 0.093263686 | 0.18455537 | 0.18458799 | 1.0001768 | 4.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7390939E-4 | 3.747172E-4 | 3.747172E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.45113E-4 | 0.0016049546 | 0.0016149386 | 1.0062207 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009034078 | 0.01936447 | 0.01939389 | 1.0015192 | 3.0E-5 | 0.086755216 | 0.17437774 | 0.17441078 | 1.0001894 | 4.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.591791E-4 | 3.4886636E-4 | 3.4886636E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8201777E-4 | 0.0014942948 | 0.0015042799 | 1.0066822 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008271996 | 0.018041687 | 0.018071147 | 1.0016328 | 3.0E-5 | 0.07970774 | 0.16378574 | 0.16381918 | 1.0002042 | 4.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4268003E-4 | 3.2052814E-4 | 3.2052814E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1134255E-4 | 0.001372977 | 0.0013829634 | 1.0072734 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007417723 | 0.016588448 | 0.01661795 | 1.0017785 | 3.0E-5 | 0.07174956 | 0.15191332 | 0.15194723 | 1.0002233 | 4.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.239713E-4 | 2.9048265E-4 | 2.9048265E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3119735E-4 | 0.0012443379 | 0.0012543254 | 1.0080264 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064481674 | 0.015046005 | 0.0150657045 | 1.0013093 | 2.0E-5 | 0.06264243 | 0.13835827 | 0.13837549 | 1.0001246 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0180238E-4 | 2.624914E-4 | 2.624914E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3622297E-4 | 0.0011244824 | 0.0011344712 | 1.008883 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005298089 | 0.013605632 | 0.01362536 | 1.00145 | 2.0E-5 | 0.05173543 | 0.12494206 | 0.12495956 | 1.0001401 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.6619996E-5 | 2.2394217E-4 | 2.2394217E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.283301E-4 | 9.594023E-4 | 9.693927E-4 | 1.0104132 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039900932 | 0.011618873 | 0.01163864 | 1.0017014 | 2.0E-5 | 0.039192066 | 0.10724665 | 0.107264504 | 1.0001665 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 7.5127435E-5 | 2.207738E-4 | 2.207738E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2193496E-4 | 9.458335E-4 | 9.5582404E-4 | 1.0105627 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039125155 | 0.011455421 | 0.011475192 | 1.0017259 | 2.0E-5 | 0.038443442 | 0.105810724 | 0.10582861 | 1.000169 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 6.788582E-5 | 2.0205107E-4 | 2.0205107E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9090676E-4 | 8.6564885E-4 | 8.756402E-4 | 1.0115421 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0035360386 | 0.010488983 | 0.010508774 | 1.0018867 | 2.0E-5 | 0.034803 | 0.097480394 | 0.09749845 | 1.0001851 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.399602E-5 | 1.883617E-4 | 1.883617E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7423984E-4 | 8.070175E-4 | 8.170094E-4 | 1.0123813 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033337586 | 0.009781763 | 0.0098015675 | 1.0020247 | 2.0E-5 | 0.03284188 | 0.09137522 | 0.09139339 | 1.0001988 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.506759E-5 | 1.2527342E-4 | 1.2527342E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9313251E-4 | 5.367765E-4 | 5.467711E-4 | 1.0186198 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023488526 | 0.006515845 | 0.006535715 | 1.0030495 | 2.0E-5 | 0.023241805 | 0.06235385 | 0.062372603 | 1.0003008 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.43289E-5 | 9.335652E-5 | 9.335652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4711556E-4 | 4.0003832E-4 | 4.1003432E-4 | 1.0249876 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017896603 | 0.004859652 | 0.0048795547 | 1.0040956 | 2.0E-5 | 0.01775316 | 0.047055796 | 0.047074854 | 1.0004051 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.5980507E-5 | 7.053283E-5 | 7.053283E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1134028E-4 | 3.0224866E-4 | 3.1224563E-4 | 1.0330753 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001354725 | 0.0036736925 | 0.0036936188 | 1.0054241 | 2.0E-5 | 0.013464959 | 0.03584152 | 0.035860803 | 1.000538 | 2.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7292105E-5 | 4.940868E-5 | 4.940868E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4106916E-5 | 2.1173434E-4 | 2.2173222E-4 | 1.047219 | 1.0E-5 | 9.018782E-4 | 0.0025748238 | 0.0025947723 | 1.0077475 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008982267 | 0.025291227 | 0.025310721 | 1.0007708 | 2.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.2927471E-5 | 3.9694296E-5 | 3.9694296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5402274E-5 | 1.7010733E-4 | 1.8010564E-4 | 1.0587764 | 1.0E-5 | 6.743139E-4 | 0.0020690921 | 0.0020790715 | 1.0048231 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0067227143 | 0.020432508 | 0.020442303 | 1.0004795 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.0200774E-5 | 2.8746123E-5 | 2.8746123E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.371687E-5 | 1.2319186E-4 | 1.2319186E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.321229E-4 | 0.00149883 | 0.00149883 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005308505 | 0.014992237 | 0.014992237 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 8.650396E-6 | 2.3277493E-5 | 2.3277493E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.70726E-5 | 9.975687E-5 | 9.975687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5126543E-4 | 0.0012138641 | 0.0012138641 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045035016 | 0.012211572 | 0.012211572 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.9368224E-6 | 7.3274655E-6 | 7.3274655E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6871985E-5 | 3.1403044E-5 | 3.1403044E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0539707E-4 | 3.8226513E-4 | 3.8226513E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020520731 | 0.004001267 | 0.004001267 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.7101195E-6 | 2.2174895E-6 | 2.2174895E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.329063E-6 | 9.503492E-6 | 9.503492E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.922769E-5 | 1.156989E-4 | 1.156989E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9191867E-4 | 0.0012665318 | 0.0012665318 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 3.0346666E-8 | 1.720686E-8 | 1.720686E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3005713E-7 | 7.3743685E-8 | 7.3743685E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834444E-6 | 8.9782924E-7 | 8.9782924E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834332E-5 | 9.364711E-6 | 9.364711E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ludlow
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3657218E-5 | 5.365651E-5 | 2.268082 | 3.0E-5 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.0138439E-4 | 1.4138033E-4 | 1.3944981 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011685267 | 0.0012337001 | 0.0012736508 | 1.0323828 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011624013 | 0.012273024 | 0.012312533 | 1.0032191 | 4.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3657218E-5 | 5.365651E-5 | 2.268082 | 3.0E-5 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.0138439E-4 | 1.4138033E-4 | 1.3944981 | 4.0E-5 | 0.0011685267 | 0.0012337001 | 0.0012736508 | 1.0323828 | 4.0E-5 | 0.011624013 | 0.012273024 | 0.012312533 | 1.0032191 | 4.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1365647E-5 | 3.136542E-5 | 2.7596686 | 2.0E-5 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.870903E-5 | 6.8708054E-5 | 1.4105815 | 2.0E-5 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.928751E-4 | 6.128632E-4 | 1.0337139 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00560974 | 0.0059133526 | 0.0059332345 | 1.0033622 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1365647E-5 | 3.136542E-5 | 2.7596686 | 2.0E-5 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.870903E-5 | 6.8708054E-5 | 1.4105815 | 2.0E-5 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.928751E-4 | 6.128632E-4 | 1.0337139 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00560974 | 0.0059133526 | 0.0059332345 | 1.0033622 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.814439E-6 | 8.237717E-6 | 2.8237551E-5 | 3.4278371 | 2.0E-5 | 3.3490025E-5 | 3.530403E-5 | 5.5303324E-5 | 1.5664876 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0766477E-4 | 4.297432E-4 | 4.4973462E-4 | 1.0465194 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0040691774 | 0.0042892685 | 0.0043091825 | 1.0046428 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.4986366E-6 | 6.85091E-6 | 2.6850772E-5 | 3.9193003 | 2.0E-5 | 2.7851002E-5 | 2.9360717E-5 | 4.936013E-5 | 1.6811622 | 2.0E-5 | 3.390332E-4 | 3.57409E-4 | 3.7740186E-4 | 1.0559382 | 2.0E-5 | 0.003385164 | 0.003568438 | 0.0035883668 | 1.0055847 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.582177E-6 | 5.885997E-6 | 2.588588E-5 | 4.397875 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3923398E-5 | 2.5225461E-5 | 4.522496E-5 | 1.7928298 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9122844E-4 | 3.0707743E-4 | 3.270713E-4 | 1.0651102 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0029084706 | 0.0030666045 | 0.0030865432 | 1.0065019 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.6858763E-6 | 4.9404202E-6 | 1.494037E-5 | 3.0241094 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0082172E-5 | 2.117306E-5 | 3.1172847E-5 | 1.4722883 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4447302E-4 | 2.5775208E-4 | 2.677495E-4 | 1.038787 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024420423 | 0.0025745875 | 0.002584562 | 1.0038741 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.5584908E-6 | 3.7520128E-6 | 1.37519755E-5 | 3.665226 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5250586E-5 | 1.607996E-5 | 2.6079797E-5 | 1.6218822 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8566006E-4 | 1.9575632E-4 | 2.0575436E-4 | 1.0510739 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018550502 | 0.0019558799 | 0.0019658604 | 1.0051028 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.532834E-6 | 2.6709995E-6 | 1.2670973E-5 | 4.743907 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0854958E-5 | 1.1447092E-5 | 2.1446978E-5 | 1.8735743 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3215111E-4 | 1.3935972E-4 | 1.4935833E-4 | 1.0717467 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013207254 | 0.0013927508 | 0.0014027369 | 1.0071701 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.7083285E-6 | 1.8019413E-6 | 1.8019413E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3213873E-6 | 7.722583E-6 | 7.722583E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.913424E-5 | 9.4018564E-5 | 9.4018564E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9098496E-4 | 9.3980436E-4 | 9.3980436E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1497604E-6 | 1.1497604E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.9275354E-6 | 4.9275354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6901354E-5 | 5.999119E-5 | 5.999119E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6886784E-4 | 5.9975975E-4 | 5.9975975E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.387269E-7 | 6.387269E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7373983E-6 | 2.7373983E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3327386E-5 | 3.3327386E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1650066E-4 | 3.332307E-4 | 3.332307E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Dry Mountain
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4393753E-6 | 2.6439246E-5 | 4.105871 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.759712E-5 | 4.7596568E-5 | 1.7246933 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3595905E-4 | 3.6594897E-4 | 1.0892665 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033560738 | 0.0033859732 | 1.008909 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4393753E-6 | 2.6439246E-5 | 4.105871 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.759712E-5 | 4.7596568E-5 | 1.7246933 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3595905E-4 | 3.6594897E-4 | 1.0892665 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033560738 | 0.0033859732 | 1.008909 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4393753E-6 | 2.6439246E-5 | 4.105871 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.759712E-5 | 4.7596568E-5 | 1.7246933 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3595905E-4 | 3.6594897E-4 | 1.0892665 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033560738 | 0.0033859732 | 1.008909 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4393753E-6 | 2.6439246E-5 | 4.105871 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.759712E-5 | 4.7596568E-5 | 1.7246933 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3595905E-4 | 3.6594897E-4 | 1.0892665 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033560738 | 0.0033859732 | 1.008909 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4393753E-6 | 2.6439246E-5 | 4.105871 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.759712E-5 | 4.7596568E-5 | 1.7246933 | 2.0E-5 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3595905E-4 | 3.6594897E-4 | 1.0892665 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0032417132 | 0.0033560738 | 0.0033859732 | 1.008909 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.8528623E-6 | 2.9521657E-6 | 1.2952136E-5 | 4.387334 | 1.0E-5 | 1.22264955E-5 | 1.2652126E-5 | 2.2652E-5 | 1.790371 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4884741E-4 | 1.5403745E-4 | 1.6403591E-4 | 1.0649092 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014874774 | 0.0015401602 | 0.0015501447 | 1.0064828 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.8528623E-6 | 2.9521657E-6 | 1.2952136E-5 | 4.387334 | 1.0E-5 | 1.22264955E-5 | 1.2652126E-5 | 2.2652E-5 | 1.790371 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4884741E-4 | 1.5403745E-4 | 1.6403591E-4 | 1.0649092 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014874774 | 0.0015401602 | 0.0015501447 | 1.0064828 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.541E-6 | 2.6293555E-6 | 1.2629329E-5 | 4.8032036 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0889954E-5 | 1.1268666E-5 | 2.1268554E-5 | 1.8874065 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3257713E-4 | 1.3719601E-4 | 1.4719465E-4 | 1.0728784 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013249806 | 0.0013719602 | 0.0013819464 | 1.0072788 | 1.0E-5 |
Sierra Nevada (No Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.976276E-6 | 3.6976067E-5 | 5.3002586 | 3.0E-5 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9898185E-5 | 5.9897287E-5 | 2.0033753 | 3.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398545E-4 | 3.9397454E-4 | 1.0823909 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374088 | 0.0036672996 | 1.0082176 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.976276E-6 | 3.6976067E-5 | 5.3002586 | 3.0E-5 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9898185E-5 | 5.9897287E-5 | 2.0033753 | 3.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398545E-4 | 3.9397454E-4 | 1.0823909 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374088 | 0.0036672996 | 1.0082176 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.976276E-6 | 3.6976067E-5 | 5.3002586 | 3.0E-5 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9898185E-5 | 5.9897287E-5 | 2.0033753 | 3.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398545E-4 | 3.9397454E-4 | 1.0823909 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374088 | 0.0036672996 | 1.0082176 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.976276E-6 | 3.6976067E-5 | 5.3002586 | 3.0E-5 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9898185E-5 | 5.9897287E-5 | 2.0033753 | 3.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398545E-4 | 3.9397454E-4 | 1.0823909 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374088 | 0.0036672996 | 1.0082176 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.976276E-6 | 3.6976067E-5 | 5.3002586 | 3.0E-5 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9898185E-5 | 5.9897287E-5 | 2.0033753 | 3.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398545E-4 | 3.9397454E-4 | 1.0823909 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374088 | 0.0036672996 | 1.0082176 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.7690465E-6 | 6.976276E-6 | 3.6976067E-5 | 5.3002586 | 3.0E-5 | 3.329549E-5 | 2.9898185E-5 | 5.9897287E-5 | 2.0033753 | 3.0E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.6398545E-4 | 3.9397454E-4 | 1.0823909 | 3.0E-5 | 0.004045588 | 0.0036374088 | 0.0036672996 | 1.0082176 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.653E-6 | 1.614815E-6 | 1.614815E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.136995E-5 | 6.9206176E-6 | 6.9206176E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3842035E-4 | 8.42553E-5 | 8.42553E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013833415 | 8.42237E-4 | 8.42237E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.5902466E-6 | 1.5501486E-6 | 1.5501486E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.11010095E-5 | 6.6434773E-6 | 6.6434773E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.351464E-4 | 8.0881364E-5 | 8.0881364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013506424 | 8.085222E-4 | 8.085222E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.5853892E-6 | 1.5469489E-6 | 1.5469489E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1080193E-5 | 6.6297644E-6 | 6.6297644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.34893E-4 | 8.071442E-5 | 8.071442E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013481114 | 8.06854E-4 | 8.06854E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.458257E-6 | 1.4220233E-6 | 1.4220233E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0535345E-5 | 6.094371E-6 | 6.094371E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2826028E-4 | 7.419646E-5 | 7.419646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012818627 | 7.4171886E-4 | 7.4171886E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.4341468E-6 | 1.3989873E-6 | 1.3989873E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0432016E-5 | 5.9956456E-6 | 5.9956456E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.270024E-4 | 7.299456E-5 | 7.299456E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012692984 | 7.2970777E-4 | 7.2970777E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.3652476E-6 | 1.3339372E-6 | 1.3339372E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0136736E-5 | 5.7168613E-6 | 5.7168613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2340778E-4 | 6.960058E-5 | 6.960058E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012333926 | 6.957895E-4 | 6.957895E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.272158E-6 | 1.2502445E-6 | 1.2502445E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.737784E-6 | 5.35818E-6 | 5.35818E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1855107E-4 | 6.52339E-5 | 6.52339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011848784 | 6.52149E-4 | 6.52149E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.1382127E-6 | 1.1419334E-6 | 1.1419334E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.163737E-6 | 4.893991E-6 | 4.893991E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1156279E-4 | 5.958272E-5 | 5.958272E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001115068 | 5.956686E-4 | 5.956686E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.9048055E-6 | 9.574882E-7 | 9.574882E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.163426E-6 | 4.1035146E-6 | 4.1035146E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9385186E-5 | 4.995915E-5 | 4.995915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.934074E-4 | 4.994799E-4 | 4.994799E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.5373403E-6 | 7.559723E-7 | 7.559723E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5885843E-6 | 3.239877E-6 | 3.239877E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.021306E-5 | 3.9444796E-5 | 3.9444796E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0184115E-4 | 3.943784E-4 | 3.943784E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.659381E-7 | 4.659381E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.577273E-6 | 1.996876E-6 | 1.996876E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.4311697E-5 | 2.4311697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5712904E-4 | 2.4309063E-4 | 2.4309063E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5578398E-7 | 1.5578398E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.6764545E-7 | 6.6764545E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.128554E-6 | 8.128554E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8741814E-4 | 8.1282684E-5 | 8.1282684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Rosa Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.1143165E-5 | 4.7090944E-5 | 6.7090004E-5 | 1.4246901 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7631594E-4 | 2.0180384E-4 | 2.3179778E-4 | 1.1486292 | 3.0E-5 | 0.002144533 | 0.0024543896 | 0.002484316 | 1.012193 | 3.0E-5 | 0.021239553 | 0.024293464 | 0.024322735 | 1.0012048 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3864874E-5 | 2.3864874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.02274185E-4 | 1.02274185E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012445059 | 0.0012445059 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01092941 | 0.012378406 | 0.012378406 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3864874E-5 | 2.3864874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.02274185E-4 | 1.02274185E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012445059 | 0.0012445059 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01092941 | 0.012378406 | 0.012378406 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.5158236E-5 | 1.707436E-5 | 1.707436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.496225E-5 | 7.317385E-5 | 7.317385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.906284E-4 | 8.9053944E-4 | 8.9053944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007878214 | 0.00887096 | 0.00887096 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.2341918E-5 | 1.3852871E-5 | 1.3852871E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2892858E-5 | 5.9368143E-5 | 5.9368143E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.437803E-4 | 7.225755E-4 | 7.225755E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006419184 | 0.007203098 | 0.007203098 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 9.061158E-6 | 1.0117E-5 | 1.0117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.883296E-5 | 4.335788E-5 | 4.335788E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.726887E-4 | 5.2775966E-4 | 5.2775966E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004716845 | 0.005265601 | 0.005265601 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 7.5461685E-6 | 8.400708E-6 | 8.400708E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2340322E-5 | 3.6002562E-5 | 3.6002562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.936723E-4 | 4.3824734E-4 | 4.3824734E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003929756 | 0.0043742605 | 0.0043742605 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 5.5023775E-6 | 6.0873635E-6 | 6.0873635E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3581404E-5 | 2.6088457E-5 | 2.6088457E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8706578E-4 | 3.1758394E-4 | 3.1758394E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028669522 | 0.0031716225 | 0.0031716225 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.7351679E-6 | 4.08313E-6 | 4.08313E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6007763E-5 | 1.7499025E-5 | 1.7499025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.948771E-4 | 2.1303231E-4 | 2.1303231E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019470629 | 0.002128526 | 0.002128526 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.456366E-6 | 2.6292657E-6 | 2.6292657E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0527241E-5 | 1.1268233E-5 | 1.1268233E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2816161E-4 | 1.3718213E-4 | 1.3718213E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012808773 | 0.0013709774 | 0.0013709774 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.3245157E-6 | 2.4827739E-6 | 2.4827739E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.962172E-6 | 1.0640416E-5 | 1.0640416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2128269E-4 | 1.2953939E-4 | 1.2953939E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012121652 | 0.001294641 | 0.001294641 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.2248344E-6 | 2.373246E-6 | 2.373246E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.53497E-6 | 1.0171014E-5 | 1.0171014E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1608207E-4 | 1.2382507E-4 | 1.2382507E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011602144 | 0.0012375629 | 0.0012375629 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.1350402E-6 | 2.27615E-6 | 2.27615E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.150141E-6 | 9.754892E-6 | 9.754892E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1139726E-4 | 1.1875936E-4 | 1.1875936E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011134144 | 0.0011869608 | 0.0011869608 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.9793572E-6 | 2.1087155E-6 | 2.1087155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.482932E-6 | 9.0373205E-6 | 9.0373205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.032748E-4 | 1.10023844E-4 | 1.10023844E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010322682 | 0.0010996955 | 0.0010996955 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6951194E-6 | 1.8045704E-6 | 1.8045704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.264777E-6 | 7.73385E-6 | 7.73385E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.844508E-5 | 9.415557E-5 | 9.415557E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.840988E-4 | 9.4115845E-4 | 9.4115845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.987207E-7 | 9.512201E-7 | 9.512201E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8516546E-6 | 4.0766513E-6 | 4.0766513E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6892885E-5 | 4.9632108E-5 | 4.9632108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.688299E-4 | 4.962114E-4 | 4.962114E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.8783037E-7 | 4.0529284E-7 | 4.0529284E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6621291E-6 | 1.7369682E-6 | 1.7369682E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0236233E-5 | 2.1147389E-5 | 2.1147389E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.023439E-4 | 2.1145442E-4 | 2.1145442E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.181804E-8 | 6.339041E-8 | 6.339041E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6493444E-7 | 2.7167314E-7 | 2.7167314E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225572E-6 | 3.3076155E-6 | 3.3076155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225525E-5 | 3.307567E-5 | 3.307567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.3704449E-9 | 1.3964147E-9 | 1.3964147E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.873335E-9 | 5.984634E-9 | 5.984634E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507856E-8 | 7.286292E-8 | 7.286292E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507833E-7 | 7.28629E-7 | 7.28629E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Independence rev 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.326221E-6 | 1.4326178E-5 | 3.311476 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540833E-5 | 2.8540648E-5 | 1.5393401 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571425E-4 | 2.4570973E-4 | 1.0885876 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551436 | 0.0022850758 | 1.0132729 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.326221E-6 | 1.4326178E-5 | 3.311476 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540833E-5 | 2.8540648E-5 | 1.5393401 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571425E-4 | 2.4570973E-4 | 1.0885876 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551436 | 0.0022850758 | 1.0132729 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.326221E-6 | 1.4326178E-5 | 3.311476 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540833E-5 | 2.8540648E-5 | 1.5393401 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571425E-4 | 2.4570973E-4 | 1.0885876 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551436 | 0.0022850758 | 1.0132729 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.326221E-6 | 1.4326178E-5 | 3.311476 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540833E-5 | 2.8540648E-5 | 1.5393401 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571425E-4 | 2.4570973E-4 | 1.0885876 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551436 | 0.0022850758 | 1.0132729 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.326221E-6 | 1.4326178E-5 | 3.311476 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540833E-5 | 2.8540648E-5 | 1.5393401 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571425E-4 | 2.4570973E-4 | 1.0885876 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551436 | 0.0022850758 | 1.0132729 | 3.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.326221E-6 | 1.4326178E-5 | 3.311476 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8540833E-5 | 2.8540648E-5 | 1.5393401 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.2571425E-4 | 2.4570973E-4 | 1.0885876 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023047708 | 0.0022551436 | 0.0022850758 | 1.0132729 | 3.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.663744E-6 | 2.5319814E-6 | 1.2531956E-5 | 4.949466 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1415996E-5 | 1.0851306E-5 | 2.0851197E-5 | 1.921538 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3898089E-4 | 1.3210713E-4 | 1.4210581E-4 | 1.0756861 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013889399 | 0.0013203343 | 0.0013403079 | 1.0151277 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.663744E-6 | 2.5319814E-6 | 1.2531956E-5 | 4.949466 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1415996E-5 | 1.0851306E-5 | 2.0851197E-5 | 1.921538 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3898089E-4 | 1.3210713E-4 | 1.4210581E-4 | 1.0756861 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013889399 | 0.0013203343 | 0.0013403079 | 1.0151277 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.9716529E-6 | 1.8322539E-6 | 1.1832236E-5 | 6.457749 | 1.0E-5 | 8.449913E-6 | 7.852494E-6 | 1.7852415E-5 | 2.2734709 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0287284E-4 | 9.5600044E-5 | 1.05599094E-4 | 1.1045924 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010282523 | 9.556021E-4 | 9.75583E-4 | 1.0209092 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.8788617E-6 | 1.7429949E-6 | 1.1742977E-5 | 6.7372413 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0522395E-6 | 7.4699574E-6 | 1.7469883E-5 | 2.3386858 | 1.0E-5 | 9.80316E-5 | 9.094306E-5 | 1.0094215E-4 | 1.1099489 | 1.0E-5 | 9.798837E-4 | 9.090704E-4 | 9.2905224E-4 | 1.0219805 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.5045488E-6 | 1.3849473E-6 | 1.1384934E-5 | 8.220482 | 1.0E-5 | 6.44805E-6 | 5.9354747E-6 | 1.5935415E-5 | 2.684775 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8502184E-5 | 7.226206E-5 | 8.226134E-5 | 1.1383752 | 1.0E-5 | 7.8474457E-4 | 7.223908E-4 | 7.423763E-4 | 1.0276659 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.272341E-6 | 1.1625067E-6 | 1.1162495E-5 | 9.602091 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4528787E-6 | 4.982162E-6 | 1.4982113E-5 | 3.0071507 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6386776E-5 | 6.0656166E-5 | 7.065556E-5 | 1.1648537 | 1.0E-5 | 6.636695E-4 | 6.063993E-4 | 6.263872E-4 | 1.0329616 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.0416892E-6 | 9.4098533E-7 | 1.0940976E-5 | 11.627148 | 1.0E-5 | 4.464375E-6 | 4.032788E-6 | 1.4032748E-5 | 3.4796638 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4352407E-5 | 4.909811E-5 | 5.909762E-5 | 1.2036638 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4339116E-4 | 4.9087446E-4 | 5.1086466E-4 | 1.0407236 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.9450155E-7 | 7.2349917E-7 | 7.2349917E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4050022E-6 | 3.100707E-6 | 3.100707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1455114E-5 | 3.7750466E-5 | 3.7750466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.144738E-4 | 3.7744167E-4 | 3.7744167E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.3893444E-7 | 5.0195126E-7 | 5.0195126E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.309717E-6 | 2.1512178E-6 | 2.1512178E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8120441E-5 | 2.6190768E-5 | 2.6190768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8116882E-4 | 2.6187726E-4 | 2.6187726E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.8852085E-7 | 3.6825597E-7 | 3.6825597E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6650882E-6 | 1.578239E-6 | 1.578239E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.027226E-5 | 1.9214893E-5 | 1.9214893E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0270412E-4 | 1.9213252E-4 | 1.9213252E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.414929E-7 | 2.345759E-7 | 2.345759E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0349692E-6 | 1.0053249E-6 | 1.0053249E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2600677E-5 | 1.2239763E-5 | 1.2239763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2599962E-4 | 1.2239101E-4 | 1.2239101E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.8298014E-8 | 6.85897E-8 | 6.85897E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9270575E-7 | 2.9395585E-7 | 2.9395585E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5636867E-6 | 3.578907E-6 | 3.578907E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5636294E-5 | 3.578854E-5 | 3.578854E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calico-Hidalgo
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.070417E-5 | 7.070316E-5 | 1.3944249 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1728777E-4 | 2.3728343E-4 | 1.0920238 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026426686 | 0.0026626156 | 1.0075481 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.02615272 | 0.026181934 | 1.0011171 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.070417E-5 | 7.070316E-5 | 1.3944249 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1728777E-4 | 2.3728343E-4 | 1.0920238 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026426686 | 0.0026626156 | 1.0075481 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.02615272 | 0.026181934 | 1.0011171 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.070417E-5 | 7.070316E-5 | 1.3944249 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1728777E-4 | 2.3728343E-4 | 1.0920238 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026426686 | 0.0026626156 | 1.0075481 | 2.0E-5 | 0.02111873 | 0.02615272 | 0.026181934 | 1.0011171 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0090901E-5 | 4.00906E-5 | 1.3323164 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.2895482E-4 | 1.3895353E-4 | 1.0775366 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015689277 | 0.001578912 | 1.0063637 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01257003 | 0.015582195 | 0.015601883 | 1.0012635 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0090901E-5 | 4.00906E-5 | 1.3323164 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.2895482E-4 | 1.3895353E-4 | 1.0775366 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015689277 | 0.001578912 | 1.0063637 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01257003 | 0.015582195 | 0.015601883 | 1.0012635 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.0286952E-5 | 2.531601E-5 | 3.531576E-5 | 1.3949969 | 1.0E-5 | 8.694118E-5 | 1.0849277E-4 | 1.1849169E-4 | 1.092162 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010579949 | 0.0013201162 | 0.001330103 | 1.0075651 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010529719 | 0.013124678 | 0.013144416 | 1.0015038 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.0269223E-5 | 2.529696E-5 | 3.5296707E-5 | 1.3952944 | 1.0E-5 | 8.6865206E-5 | 1.08411135E-4 | 1.18410055E-4 | 1.0922314 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010570707 | 0.0013191235 | 0.0013291104 | 1.0075707 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010520565 | 0.013114868 | 0.013134605 | 1.001505 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.799852E-5 | 2.2540898E-5 | 3.2540673E-5 | 1.4436281 | 1.0E-5 | 7.713423E-5 | 9.660036E-5 | 1.0659939E-4 | 1.1035093 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3870464E-4 | 0.0011754894 | 0.0011854776 | 1.0084971 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009347493 | 0.011694328 | 0.011714093 | 1.0016903 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.7458793E-5 | 2.1842547E-5 | 3.1842326E-5 | 1.4578121 | 1.0E-5 | 7.4821255E-5 | 9.360763E-5 | 1.036067E-4 | 1.1068189 | 1.0E-5 | 9.10568E-4 | 0.0011390916 | 0.0011490801 | 1.0087689 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009068459 | 0.011334113 | 0.011353887 | 1.0017446 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.542884E-5 | 1.9026254E-5 | 2.9026063E-5 | 1.5255796 | 1.0E-5 | 6.612192E-5 | 8.1538616E-5 | 9.15378E-5 | 1.1226313 | 1.0E-5 | 8.04737E-4 | 9.922937E-4 | 0.0010022838 | 1.0100677 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008018291 | 0.009880027 | 0.0098998295 | 1.0020043 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.468253E-5 | 1.8031062E-5 | 2.8030881E-5 | 1.5545886 | 1.0E-5 | 6.292361E-5 | 7.727376E-5 | 8.7272994E-5 | 1.1294 | 1.0E-5 | 7.658257E-4 | 9.40415E-4 | 9.504056E-4 | 1.0106236 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0076319184 | 0.009365721 | 0.009385534 | 1.0021155 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.3139281E-5 | 1.6201364E-5 | 2.6201202E-5 | 1.617222 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6309986E-5 | 6.943264E-5 | 7.943194E-5 | 1.1440145 | 1.0E-5 | 6.853584E-4 | 8.450271E-4 | 8.550186E-4 | 1.0118239 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0068324856 | 0.008419436 | 0.008439268 | 1.0023555 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.1127404E-5 | 1.3867016E-5 | 2.3866876E-5 | 1.7211257 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7688E-5 | 5.9428774E-5 | 6.942818E-5 | 1.1682587 | 1.0E-5 | 5.8044674E-4 | 7.2331604E-4 | 7.333088E-4 | 1.0138152 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057893298 | 0.0072107255 | 0.0072305813 | 1.0027536 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 9.808154E-6 | 1.2176565E-5 | 2.2176442E-5 | 1.8212397 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2034266E-5 | 5.2184296E-5 | 6.2183775E-5 | 1.1916186 | 1.0E-5 | 5.11647E-4 | 6.351693E-4 | 6.4516295E-4 | 1.0157338 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051047057 | 0.0063346145 | 0.0063544875 | 1.0031372 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.942452E-6 | 9.79233E-6 | 1.9792233E-5 | 2.0211973 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4038632E-5 | 4.1966505E-5 | 5.1966086E-5 | 1.2382753 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1434157E-4 | 5.108319E-4 | 5.208268E-4 | 1.0195659 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041356985 | 0.0050975177 | 0.005117416 | 1.0039035 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 4.7121216E-6 | 5.772962E-6 | 1.5772905E-5 | 2.732203 | 1.0E-5 | 2.019465E-5 | 2.4741075E-5 | 3.4740828E-5 | 1.4041761 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4584212E-4 | 3.0118861E-4 | 3.111856E-4 | 1.0331918 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024557032 | 0.0030085566 | 0.0030284964 | 1.0066277 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 2.6040198E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.1160082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.3587343E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1539775E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.3586794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Ynez (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.67506E-5 | 3.67506E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.574964E-4 | 1.574964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019164163 | 0.0019263972 | 1.005208 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016697178 | 0.01905635 | 0.019085778 | 1.0015442 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.67506E-5 | 3.67506E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.574964E-4 | 1.574964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019164163 | 0.0019263972 | 1.005208 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016697178 | 0.01905635 | 0.019085778 | 1.0015442 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.67506E-5 | 3.67506E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.574964E-4 | 1.574964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019164163 | 0.0019263972 | 1.005208 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016697178 | 0.01905635 | 0.019085778 | 1.0015442 | 3.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.67506E-5 | 3.67506E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.574964E-4 | 1.574964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019164163 | 0.0019263972 | 1.005208 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016697178 | 0.01905635 | 0.019085778 | 1.0015442 | 3.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.48492545E-5 | 1.48492545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.363814E-5 | 6.363814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.74524E-4 | 7.74524E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074880854 | 0.0077187964 | 0.0077187964 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.48492545E-5 | 1.48492545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.363814E-5 | 6.363814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.74524E-4 | 7.74524E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074880854 | 0.0077187964 | 0.0077187964 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.280208E-5 | 1.3011827E-5 | 1.3011827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4864904E-5 | 5.576379E-5 | 5.576379E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6777546E-4 | 6.787144E-4 | 6.787144E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006657724 | 0.0067666266 | 0.0067666266 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.2457027E-5 | 1.26283485E-5 | 1.26283485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3386164E-5 | 5.412038E-5 | 5.412038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.497827E-4 | 6.587181E-4 | 6.587181E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00647886 | 0.0065678535 | 0.0065678535 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.2095134E-5 | 1.22307965E-5 | 1.22307965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1835254E-5 | 5.2416657E-5 | 5.2416657E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.309115E-4 | 6.379875E-4 | 6.379875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0062912325 | 0.006361748 | 0.006361748 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.1104036E-5 | 1.1157232E-5 | 1.1157232E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.758786E-5 | 4.781584E-5 | 4.781584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7922816E-4 | 5.8200356E-4 | 5.8200356E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005777207 | 0.005804939 | 0.005804939 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0577444E-5 | 1.0581566E-5 | 1.0581566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5331115E-5 | 4.534879E-5 | 4.534879E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5176654E-4 | 5.5198284E-4 | 5.5198284E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055039856 | 0.0055062566 | 0.0055062566 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0021775E-5 | 9.980875E-6 | 9.980875E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.294976E-5 | 4.2774485E-5 | 4.2774485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2278786E-4 | 5.2065606E-4 | 5.2065606E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052155964 | 0.005194495 | 0.005194495 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.874109E-6 | 8.748684E-6 | 8.748684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8031343E-5 | 3.7493828E-5 | 3.7493828E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.629332E-4 | 4.5639282E-4 | 4.5639282E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046197 | 0.004554673 | 0.004554673 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.5504267E-6 | 7.5050116E-6 | 7.5050116E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.235857E-5 | 3.2163945E-5 | 3.2163945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9389438E-4 | 3.9152667E-4 | 3.9152667E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039319694 | 0.003908476 | 0.003908476 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.309394E-6 | 6.1830524E-6 | 6.1830524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.703998E-5 | 2.6498532E-5 | 2.6498532E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2916202E-4 | 3.225728E-4 | 3.225728E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003286749 | 0.0032211433 | 0.0032211433 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.6103073E-6 | 4.4407966E-6 | 4.4407966E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.975831E-5 | 1.903185E-5 | 1.903185E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4053088E-4 | 2.3168883E-4 | 2.3168883E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002402707 | 0.0023145422 | 0.0023145422 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.2858658E-6 | 1.300818E-6 | 1.300818E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5108417E-6 | 5.574923E-6 | 5.574923E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7092435E-5 | 6.787264E-5 | 6.787264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.707218E-4 | 6.78526E-4 | 6.78526E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.3302307E-7 | 5.61213E-7 | 5.61213E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2843826E-6 | 2.4051967E-6 | 2.4051967E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7812002E-5 | 2.9282914E-5 | 2.9282914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7808524E-4 | 2.9279414E-4 | 2.9279414E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.613933E-8 | 4.8030046E-8 | 4.8030046E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9773998E-7 | 2.0584304E-7 | 2.0584304E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074816E-6 | 2.506136E-6 | 2.506136E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4074554E-5 | 2.5061088E-5 | 2.5061088E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sheephole
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.5579695E-6 | 4.7412573E-6 | 2.4741163E-5 | 5.2182703 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9534009E-5 | 2.0319549E-5 | 4.031914E-5 | 1.9842539 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3780059E-4 | 2.4736795E-4 | 2.67363E-4 | 1.0808312 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023754628 | 0.0024714705 | 0.0025013965 | 1.0121086 | 3.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5579695E-6 | 4.7412573E-6 | 2.4741163E-5 | 5.2182703 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9534009E-5 | 2.0319549E-5 | 4.031914E-5 | 1.9842539 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3780059E-4 | 2.4736795E-4 | 2.67363E-4 | 1.0808312 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0023754628 | 0.0024714705 | 0.0025013965 | 1.0121086 | 3.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.6677674E-6 | 2.787391E-6 | 1.2787363E-5 | 4.5875745 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1433239E-5 | 1.1945912E-5 | 2.1945792E-5 | 1.8370965 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3919079E-4 | 1.4543286E-4 | 1.554314E-4 | 1.0687503 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013910364 | 0.0014534827 | 0.0014634681 | 1.00687 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.6677674E-6 | 2.787391E-6 | 1.2787363E-5 | 4.5875745 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1433239E-5 | 1.1945912E-5 | 2.1945792E-5 | 1.8370965 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3919079E-4 | 1.4543286E-4 | 1.554314E-4 | 1.0687503 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013910364 | 0.0014534827 | 0.0014634681 | 1.00687 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.2159759E-6 | 2.3228756E-6 | 1.2322853E-5 | 5.3049984 | 1.0E-5 | 9.497005E-6 | 9.955148E-6 | 1.9955049E-5 | 2.0044954 | 1.0E-5 | 1.156199E-4 | 1.21198E-4 | 1.3119678E-4 | 1.0824996 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011555976 | 0.0012113983 | 0.0012213863 | 1.0082449 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.1986082E-6 | 2.304756E-6 | 1.2304733E-5 | 5.338844 | 1.0E-5 | 9.4225725E-6 | 9.8774935E-6 | 1.9877394E-5 | 2.0123925 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1471378E-4 | 1.2025265E-4 | 1.3025144E-4 | 1.0831482 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011465458 | 0.0012019551 | 0.0012119431 | 1.0083097 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5232331E-6 | 1.6018896E-6 | 1.1601874E-5 | 7.2426176 | 1.0E-5 | 6.5281256E-6 | 6.8652243E-6 | 1.6865155E-5 | 2.4566066 | 1.0E-5 | 7.947703E-5 | 8.3581086E-5 | 9.358025E-5 | 1.1196343 | 1.0E-5 | 7.9448614E-4 | 8.3551527E-4 | 8.455069E-4 | 1.0119587 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3137362E-6 | 1.3828171E-6 | 1.1382804E-5 | 8.231605 | 1.0E-5 | 5.6302856E-6 | 5.926346E-6 | 1.5926287E-5 | 2.6873703 | 1.0E-5 | 6.854657E-5 | 7.215102E-5 | 8.21503E-5 | 1.1385882 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8525434E-4 | 7.2128983E-4 | 7.3128263E-4 | 1.013854 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2275751E-6 | 1.2922828E-6 | 1.129227E-5 | 8.7382345 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2610258E-6 | 5.538344E-6 | 1.5538288E-5 | 2.805584 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4051106E-5 | 6.742739E-5 | 7.742671E-5 | 1.1482977 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4032647E-4 | 6.7408266E-4 | 6.840759E-4 | 1.014825 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.1837088E-6 | 1.2461003E-6 | 1.12460875E-5 | 9.025026 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0730278E-6 | 5.3404196E-6 | 1.5340365E-5 | 2.872502 | 1.0E-5 | 6.176237E-5 | 6.5017804E-5 | 7.501715E-5 | 1.153794 | 1.0E-5 | 6.17452E-4 | 6.5000093E-4 | 6.5999443E-4 | 1.0153745 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.849371E-7 | 1.0366274E-6 | 1.0366274E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2211523E-6 | 4.4426815E-6 | 4.4426815E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1391315E-5 | 5.408841E-5 | 5.408841E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.137943E-4 | 5.4076256E-4 | 5.4076256E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.1643645E-7 | 8.591657E-7 | 8.591657E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4990085E-6 | 3.682134E-6 | 3.682134E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2599597E-5 | 4.4829147E-5 | 4.4829147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.259143E-4 | 4.4820967E-4 | 4.4820967E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.7295756E-7 | 6.0294934E-7 | 6.0294934E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.45553E-6 | 2.5840664E-6 | 2.5840664E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9895667E-5 | 3.1460622E-5 | 3.1460622E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9891645E-4 | 3.1456837E-4 | 3.1456837E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (East)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.2817004E-5 | 3.2816748E-5 | 2.5604072 | 2.0E-5 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.4928983E-5 | 7.4927884E-5 | 1.3640865 | 2.0E-5 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.6857727E-4 | 6.885639E-4 | 1.0298942 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0051611643 | 0.006670253 | 0.0066901194 | 1.0029784 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.2817004E-5 | 3.2816748E-5 | 2.5604072 | 2.0E-5 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.4928983E-5 | 7.4927884E-5 | 1.3640865 | 2.0E-5 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.6857727E-4 | 6.885639E-4 | 1.0298942 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0051611643 | 0.006670253 | 0.0066901194 | 1.0029784 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.2817004E-5 | 3.2816748E-5 | 2.5604072 | 2.0E-5 | 4.250036E-5 | 5.4928983E-5 | 7.4927884E-5 | 1.3640865 | 2.0E-5 | 5.173191E-4 | 6.6857727E-4 | 6.885639E-4 | 1.0298942 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0051611643 | 0.006670253 | 0.0066901194 | 1.0029784 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.479711E-6 | 8.112978E-6 | 2.8112816E-5 | 3.4651659 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3484265E-5 | 3.4769462E-5 | 5.4768767E-5 | 1.5751975 | 2.0E-5 | 2.858834E-4 | 4.2323917E-4 | 4.432307E-4 | 1.0472347 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028551589 | 0.004227059 | 0.0042469744 | 1.0047114 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.465009E-6 | 8.097271E-6 | 2.8097109E-5 | 3.4699478 | 2.0E-5 | 2.3421257E-5 | 3.470215E-5 | 5.4701457E-5 | 1.5763131 | 2.0E-5 | 2.851165E-4 | 4.2241995E-4 | 4.4241152E-4 | 1.0473262 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0028475097 | 0.004218898 | 0.0042388136 | 1.0047206 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.826767E-6 | 7.422329E-6 | 2.742218E-5 | 3.694552 | 2.0E-5 | 2.068598E-5 | 3.180961E-5 | 5.1808973E-5 | 1.6287208 | 2.0E-5 | 2.518227E-4 | 3.8721596E-4 | 4.072082E-4 | 1.0516307 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0025153751 | 0.0038680986 | 0.0038880215 | 1.0051506 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.3146847E-6 | 6.882266E-6 | 2.6882128E-5 | 3.9059997 | 2.0E-5 | 1.8491375E-5 | 2.9495106E-5 | 4.9494516E-5 | 1.6780586 | 2.0E-5 | 2.2510924E-4 | 3.590462E-4 | 3.79039E-4 | 1.0556831 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0022488134 | 0.0035873146 | 0.0036072428 | 1.0055552 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6968106E-6 | 5.9955223E-6 | 1.5995462E-5 | 2.6679013 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5843378E-5 | 2.5694852E-5 | 3.5694593E-5 | 1.389173 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9287605E-4 | 3.1279144E-4 | 3.227883E-4 | 1.0319601 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019270873 | 0.0031260753 | 0.003136044 | 1.0031888 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4671132E-6 | 5.70223E-6 | 1.5702173E-5 | 2.75369 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4858972E-5 | 2.4437906E-5 | 3.4437664E-5 | 1.4091903 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8089297E-4 | 2.9749234E-4 | 3.0748936E-4 | 1.0336043 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018074579 | 0.0029734957 | 0.002983466 | 1.003353 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.7686972E-6 | 4.8252696E-6 | 4.8252696E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1865792E-5 | 2.0679567E-5 | 2.0679567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4445644E-4 | 2.517454E-4 | 2.517454E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014436257 | 0.0025170888 | 0.0025170888 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.1472624E-6 | 3.985086E-6 | 3.985086E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.20252E-6 | 1.7078832E-5 | 1.7078832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.12034926E-4 | 2.0791547E-4 | 2.0791547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011197845 | 0.0020796808 | 0.0020796808 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.7018335E-6 | 3.3449014E-6 | 3.3449014E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.293552E-6 | 1.4335215E-5 | 1.4335215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.879537E-5 | 1.7451763E-4 | 1.7451763E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.87599E-4 | 0.0017462499 | 0.0017462499 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.25603E-6 | 2.7945132E-6 | 2.7945132E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3829745E-6 | 1.1976432E-5 | 1.1976432E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.553574E-5 | 1.4580353E-4 | 1.4580353E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.551642E-4 | 0.0014595026 | 0.0014595026 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.112297E-6 | 2.610364E-6 | 2.610364E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7669787E-6 | 1.1187228E-5 | 1.1187228E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.803642E-5 | 1.3619619E-4 | 1.3619619E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.802127E-4 | 0.0013634147 | 0.0013634147 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.0137181E-6 | 2.4835244E-6 | 2.4835244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3444993E-6 | 1.0643634E-5 | 1.0643634E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2892992E-5 | 1.2957875E-4 | 1.2957875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.288041E-4 | 0.001297109 | 0.001297109 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.598608E-7 | 2.4071812E-6 | 2.4071812E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1136827E-6 | 1.0316451E-5 | 1.0316451E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0082934E-5 | 1.2559578E-4 | 1.2559578E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.007165E-4 | 0.0012571341 | 0.0012571341 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 7.929459E-7 | 2.044886E-6 | 2.044886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3983351E-6 | 8.763768E-6 | 8.763768E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1373947E-5 | 1.06693835E-4 | 1.06693835E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1366243E-4 | 0.0010684839 | 0.0010684839 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.155788E-7 | 1.160584E-6 | 1.160584E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7810507E-6 | 4.9739224E-6 | 4.9739224E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1684076E-5 | 6.055586E-5 | 6.055586E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1681961E-4 | 6.085691E-4 | 6.085691E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.14666925E-7 | 2.5919704E-7 | 2.5919704E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.914296E-7 | 1.110844E-6 | 1.110844E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9831386E-6 | 1.3524445E-5 | 1.3524445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9829777E-5 | 1.3635166E-4 | 1.3635166E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.9231824E-8 | 4.1459394E-8 | 4.1459394E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2527924E-7 | 1.776831E-7 | 1.776831E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5252737E-6 | 2.16329E-6 | 2.16329E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5252632E-5 | 2.1966192E-5 | 2.1966192E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Oceanic - West Huasna
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.195567E-5 | 2.7926262E-5 | 3.7925984E-5 | 1.3580759 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3694567E-4 | 1.19678734E-4 | 1.2967753E-4 | 1.083547 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016660384 | 0.0014561578 | 0.0014661432 | 1.0068574 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016536033 | 0.014470716 | 0.0144904265 | 1.0013621 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1156782E-5 | 1.7573033E-5 | 1.7573033E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.066878E-5 | 7.5310876E-5 | 7.5310876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011033333 | 9.165336E-4 | 9.165336E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010978713 | 0.009128544 | 0.009138452 | 1.0010855 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6195117E-5 | 1.33271515E-5 | 1.33271515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9405796E-5 | 5.711513E-5 | 5.711513E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.44688E-4 | 6.951574E-4 | 6.951574E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008414844 | 0.0069301226 | 0.0069400533 | 1.001433 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3559345E-5 | 1.1178941E-5 | 1.1178941E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.811018E-5 | 4.7908874E-5 | 4.7908874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.072618E-4 | 5.831354E-4 | 5.831354E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0070501505 | 0.005816171 | 0.005826113 | 1.0017093 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2120619E-5 | 1.0000804E-5 | 1.0000804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1944477E-5 | 4.2859887E-5 | 4.2859887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.322405E-4 | 5.216947E-4 | 5.216947E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006304447 | 0.0052047675 | 0.0052147154 | 1.0019113 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.13511915E-5 | 9.36731E-6 | 9.36731E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8647056E-5 | 4.0144998E-5 | 4.0144998E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9211696E-4 | 4.8865617E-4 | 4.8865617E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059054173 | 0.004875876 | 0.004885827 | 1.0020409 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.850605E-6 | 8.135249E-6 | 8.135249E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2216197E-5 | 3.4864886E-5 | 3.4864886E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1386096E-4 | 4.2439753E-4 | 4.2439753E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051267436 | 0.0042359033 | 0.004245861 | 1.0023508 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.8558645E-6 | 7.318275E-6 | 7.318275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7953152E-5 | 3.136366E-5 | 3.136366E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6198163E-4 | 3.8178582E-4 | 3.8178582E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004610224 | 0.003811325 | 0.0038212868 | 1.0026138 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.67136E-6 | 6.3916254E-6 | 6.3916254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2876844E-5 | 2.7392392E-5 | 2.7392392E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0020206E-4 | 3.334515E-4 | 3.334515E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003994821 | 0.003329533 | 0.0033394995 | 1.0029935 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.534529E-6 | 5.458197E-6 | 5.458197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8004823E-5 | 2.3392064E-5 | 2.3392064E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4090536E-4 | 2.847613E-4 | 2.847613E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034038287 | 0.002843981 | 0.0028539526 | 1.0035062 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.460525E-6 | 4.569857E-6 | 4.569857E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3402039E-5 | 1.9584955E-5 | 1.9584955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8488258E-4 | 2.3842085E-4 | 2.3842085E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028451765 | 0.0023816647 | 0.0023916408 | 1.0041888 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.4825083E-6 | 3.7523525E-6 | 3.7523525E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9210609E-5 | 1.6081412E-5 | 1.6081412E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3386406E-4 | 1.9577371E-4 | 1.9577371E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002336181 | 0.0019560247 | 0.001966005 | 1.0051024 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.821708E-6 | 2.4248786E-6 | 2.4248786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2092979E-5 | 1.0392296E-5 | 1.0392296E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4722206E-4 | 1.2651886E-4 | 1.2651886E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014712457 | 0.001264471 | 0.001264471 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.0644757E-6 | 1.7686885E-6 | 1.7686885E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.847723E-6 | 7.5800717E-6 | 7.5800717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0771569E-4 | 9.2283466E-5 | 9.2283466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001076635 | 9.224534E-4 | 9.224534E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.6980367E-6 | 1.4379352E-6 | 1.4379352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.27728E-6 | 6.1625647E-6 | 6.1625647E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8597284E-5 | 7.502665E-5 | 7.502665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8561967E-4 | 7.5001497E-4 | 7.5001497E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3637683E-6 | 1.1302084E-6 | 1.1302084E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.844708E-6 | 4.843741E-6 | 4.843741E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1156996E-5 | 5.8970953E-5 | 5.8970953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1134215E-4 | 5.895547E-4 | 5.895547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.802994E-7 | 7.676674E-7 | 7.676674E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2012766E-6 | 3.2899989E-6 | 3.2899989E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1149345E-5 | 4.0055E-5 | 4.0055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.113757E-4 | 4.0047945E-4 | 4.0047945E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.986191E-7 | 4.0044617E-7 | 4.0044617E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5655079E-6 | 1.7161967E-6 | 1.7161967E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1234613E-5 | 2.0894495E-5 | 2.0894495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.123022E-4 | 2.0892687E-4 | 2.0892687E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.9189815E-7 | 1.5284915E-7 | 1.5284915E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2509914E-6 | 6.5506765E-7 | 6.5506765E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5230714E-5 | 7.975419E-6 | 7.975419E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.522967E-4 | 7.9752856E-5 | 7.9752856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.2057845E-7 | 4.620623E-8 | 4.620623E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1676466E-7 | 1.980267E-7 | 1.980267E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2915915E-6 | 2.4109722E-6 | 2.4109722E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2914136E-5 | 2.4110974E-5 | 2.4110974E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 3.3806387E-9 | 9.008415E-10 | 9.008415E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4488451E-8 | 3.860749E-9 | 3.860749E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639688E-7 | 4.700462E-8 | 4.700462E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639674E-6 | 4.713628E-7 | 4.713628E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elysian Park (Upper)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7035075E-5 | 3.7035075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5871483E-4 | 1.5871483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019311117 | 0.0019510731 | 1.0103368 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.01918976 | 0.019209376 | 1.0010222 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7035075E-5 | 3.7035075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5871483E-4 | 1.5871483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019311117 | 0.0019510731 | 1.0103368 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.01918976 | 0.019209376 | 1.0010222 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7035075E-5 | 3.7035075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5871483E-4 | 1.5871483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019311117 | 0.0019510731 | 1.0103368 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.01918976 | 0.019209376 | 1.0010222 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.7035075E-5 | 3.7035075E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.5871483E-4 | 1.5871483E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019311117 | 0.0019510731 | 1.0103368 | 2.0E-5 | 0.016495159 | 0.01918976 | 0.019209376 | 1.0010222 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.120235E-5 | 2.120235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.0865025E-5 | 9.0865025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011058919 | 0.0011158808 | 1.0090325 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010006315 | 0.011020696 | 0.0110305855 | 1.0008974 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.120235E-5 | 2.120235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.0865025E-5 | 9.0865025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011058919 | 0.0011158808 | 1.0090325 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010006315 | 0.011020696 | 0.0110305855 | 1.0008974 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.813258E-6 | 9.665563E-6 | 9.665563E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.205614E-5 | 4.1423224E-5 | 4.1423224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.119132E-4 | 5.0421833E-4 | 5.0421833E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005107356 | 0.0050314665 | 0.0050314665 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.801478E-6 | 9.653133E-6 | 9.653133E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2005657E-5 | 4.1369953E-5 | 4.1369953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.112989E-4 | 5.0357E-4 | 5.0357E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051012407 | 0.005025013 | 0.005025013 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 8.102489E-6 | 7.772975E-6 | 7.772975E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4724493E-5 | 3.331235E-5 | 3.331235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2268867E-4 | 4.0550734E-4 | 4.0550734E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004218856 | 0.004048168 | 0.004048168 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.08275E-6 | 5.4814295E-6 | 5.4814295E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6068668E-5 | 2.3491633E-5 | 2.3491633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.173398E-4 | 2.8597386E-4 | 2.8597386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031688702 | 0.0028561365 | 0.0028561365 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.5995934E-6 | 4.9827586E-6 | 4.9827586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3998036E-5 | 2.1354508E-5 | 2.1354508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9213692E-4 | 2.599608E-4 | 2.599608E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029175316 | 0.0025966342 | 0.0025966342 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.709881E-6 | 4.087382E-6 | 4.087382E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0185047E-5 | 1.7517235E-5 | 1.7517235E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4572524E-4 | 2.1325189E-4 | 2.1325189E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002454537 | 0.002130514 | 0.002130514 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.6063436E-6 | 2.9779353E-6 | 2.9779353E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5455667E-5 | 1.2762518E-5 | 1.2762518E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.881565E-4 | 1.5537269E-4 | 1.5537269E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018799726 | 0.0015526518 | 0.0015526518 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.471135E-6 | 2.0954517E-6 | 2.0954517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0590536E-5 | 8.980477E-6 | 8.980477E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2893214E-4 | 1.0933189E-4 | 1.0933189E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012885736 | 0.0010927882 | 0.0010927882 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.163943E-6 | 1.027504E-6 | 1.027504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.988318E-6 | 4.4035814E-6 | 4.4035814E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0731076E-5 | 5.3612315E-5 | 5.3612315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.071448E-4 | 5.359968E-4 | 5.359968E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.99459E-7 | 4.91759E-7 | 4.91759E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.140537E-6 | 2.107537E-6 | 2.107537E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6060725E-5 | 2.5658977E-5 | 2.5658977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.605767E-4 | 2.565617E-4 | 2.565617E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.4667852E-7 | 2.477825E-7 | 2.477825E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0571932E-6 | 1.0619246E-6 | 1.0619246E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2871251E-5 | 1.2928859E-5 | 1.2928859E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2870505E-4 | 1.2928144E-4 | 1.2928144E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 8.2312795E-8 | 7.386387E-8 | 7.386387E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.527691E-7 | 3.1655944E-7 | 3.1655944E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.294955E-6 | 3.8541057E-6 | 3.8541057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2948723E-5 | 3.8540504E-5 | 3.8540504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7819295E-8 | 1.756536E-8 | 1.756536E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1922555E-7 | 7.528011E-8 | 7.528011E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45157E-6 | 9.1653516E-7 | 9.1653516E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.45156055E-5 | 9.165329E-6 | 9.165329E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bullion Mountains
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.46919765E-5 | 2.469183E-5 | 1.6806337 | 1.0E-5 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.296431E-5 | 7.296368E-5 | 1.1588101 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.663592E-4 | 7.863439E-4 | 1.0260774 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.0076409574 | 0.007660805 | 1.0025975 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.46919765E-5 | 2.469183E-5 | 1.6806337 | 1.0E-5 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.296431E-5 | 7.296368E-5 | 1.1588101 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.663592E-4 | 7.863439E-4 | 1.0260774 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.0076409574 | 0.007660805 | 1.0025975 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.46919765E-5 | 2.469183E-5 | 1.6806337 | 1.0E-5 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.296431E-5 | 7.296368E-5 | 1.1588101 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.663592E-4 | 7.863439E-4 | 1.0260774 | 2.0E-5 | 0.008531413 | 0.0076409574 | 0.007660805 | 1.0025975 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2046778E-5 | 9.862235E-6 | 1.9862136E-5 | 2.013959 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1628023E-5 | 4.226617E-5 | 5.2265746E-5 | 1.2365859 | 1.0E-5 | 6.283899E-4 | 5.144923E-4 | 5.244871E-4 | 1.0194266 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062661595 | 0.005135293 | 0.0051452415 | 1.0019373 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2046778E-5 | 9.862235E-6 | 1.9862136E-5 | 2.013959 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1628023E-5 | 4.226617E-5 | 5.2265746E-5 | 1.2365859 | 1.0E-5 | 6.283899E-4 | 5.144923E-4 | 5.244871E-4 | 1.0194266 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062661595 | 0.005135293 | 0.0051452415 | 1.0019373 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0244343E-5 | 7.879364E-6 | 1.7879285E-5 | 2.269128 | 1.0E-5 | 4.390359E-5 | 3.376838E-5 | 4.3768043E-5 | 1.296125 | 1.0E-5 | 5.343951E-4 | 4.1107315E-4 | 4.2106907E-4 | 1.0243165 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005331118 | 0.004105159 | 0.0041151177 | 1.0024259 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.605408E-6 | 7.177404E-6 | 1.7177332E-5 | 2.3932514 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1165385E-5 | 3.0760053E-5 | 4.0759747E-5 | 1.325087 | 1.0E-5 | 5.010733E-4 | 3.7445966E-4 | 3.844559E-4 | 1.0266951 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00499945 | 0.003740284 | 0.0037502465 | 1.0026636 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.60418E-6 | 6.123916E-6 | 1.6123855E-5 | 2.632932 | 1.0E-5 | 3.687454E-5 | 2.6245201E-5 | 3.624494E-5 | 1.3810121 | 1.0E-5 | 4.48855E-4 | 3.1950796E-4 | 3.2950475E-4 | 1.0312881 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004479495 | 0.0031923978 | 0.003202366 | 1.0031224 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.187994E-6 | 2.563116E-6 | 2.563116E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.223407E-5 | 1.0984759E-5 | 1.0984759E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7066618E-4 | 1.3373523E-4 | 1.3373523E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027033675 | 0.001336939 | 0.001336939 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.5302368E-6 | 2.3442778E-6 | 2.3442778E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9415156E-5 | 1.0046889E-5 | 1.0046889E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3635388E-4 | 1.2231797E-4 | 1.2231797E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023610266 | 0.0012228956 | 0.0012228956 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.431668E-6 | 1.6882176E-6 | 1.6882176E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4707065E-5 | 7.235218E-6 | 7.235218E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7904381E-4 | 8.808878E-5 | 8.808878E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017889962 | 8.8088785E-4 | 8.8088785E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Cruz Island
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1599673E-5 | 4.1599356E-5 | 1.3164489 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3542091E-4 | 1.4541956E-4 | 1.0738338 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016476389 | 0.0016576224 | 1.0060593 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015102667 | 0.016367963 | 0.016387636 | 1.0012019 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1599673E-5 | 4.1599356E-5 | 1.3164489 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3542091E-4 | 1.4541956E-4 | 1.0738338 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016476389 | 0.0016576224 | 1.0060593 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015102667 | 0.016367963 | 0.016387636 | 1.0012019 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.1599673E-5 | 4.1599356E-5 | 1.3164489 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3542091E-4 | 1.4541956E-4 | 1.0738338 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016476389 | 0.0016576224 | 1.0060593 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015102667 | 0.016367963 | 0.016387636 | 1.0012019 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.7804325E-5 | 2.7804148E-5 | 1.5616512 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.630212E-5 | 8.630136E-5 | 1.131048 | 1.0E-5 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.2860067E-4 | 9.385914E-4 | 1.0107589 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008642701 | 0.009249076 | 0.009258984 | 1.0010712 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.7804325E-5 | 2.7804148E-5 | 1.5616512 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.630212E-5 | 8.630136E-5 | 1.131048 | 1.0E-5 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.2860067E-4 | 9.385914E-4 | 1.0107589 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008642701 | 0.009249076 | 0.009258984 | 1.0010712 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2238748E-5 | 1.3042973E-5 | 2.3042843E-5 | 1.7666863 | 1.0E-5 | 5.2450723E-5 | 5.589728E-5 | 6.589672E-5 | 1.1788896 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3840044E-4 | 6.8034057E-4 | 6.903338E-4 | 1.0146885 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0063656955 | 0.006782976 | 0.006792908 | 1.0014642 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0489767E-5 | 1.1156617E-5 | 2.1156506E-5 | 1.896319 | 1.0E-5 | 4.495537E-5 | 4.781321E-5 | 5.781273E-5 | 1.2091372 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4719415E-4 | 5.8197253E-4 | 5.9196673E-4 | 1.0171729 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005458487 | 0.005804726 | 0.005814668 | 1.0017127 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.699222E-6 | 9.236767E-6 | 9.236767E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7281847E-5 | 3.9585546E-5 | 3.9585546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5381195E-4 | 4.81848E-4 | 4.81848E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045288634 | 0.0048081 | 0.0048081 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 8.307732E-6 | 8.81689E-6 | 8.81689E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.560408E-5 | 3.7786125E-5 | 3.7786125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3339343E-4 | 4.599494E-4 | 4.599494E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004325492 | 0.004590028 | 0.004590028 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.073121E-6 | 8.564925E-6 | 8.564925E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.459863E-5 | 3.6706308E-5 | 3.6706308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2115687E-4 | 4.4680806E-4 | 4.4680806E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004203596 | 0.0044591487 | 0.0044591487 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.617019E-6 | 8.074651E-6 | 8.074651E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.264396E-5 | 3.4605193E-5 | 3.4605193E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9736772E-4 | 4.2123714E-4 | 4.2123714E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003966579 | 0.0042044343 | 0.0042044343 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 7.1224836E-6 | 7.545776E-6 | 7.545776E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.052457E-5 | 3.233864E-5 | 3.233864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.715733E-4 | 3.9365218E-4 | 3.9365218E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003709526 | 0.0039295917 | 0.0039295917 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.441115E-6 | 6.8273725E-6 | 6.8273725E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7604487E-5 | 2.9259842E-5 | 2.9259842E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.360328E-4 | 3.5618056E-4 | 3.5618056E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033552512 | 0.0035561253 | 0.0035561253 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.494274E-6 | 5.8199853E-6 | 5.8199853E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3546674E-5 | 2.4942556E-5 | 2.4942556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8664304E-4 | 3.036335E-4 | 3.036335E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002862736 | 0.0030322096 | 0.0030322096 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.0802624E-6 | 4.3122495E-6 | 4.3122495E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7486722E-5 | 1.848094E-5 | 1.848094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1288003E-4 | 2.2498229E-4 | 2.2498229E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021267622 | 0.002247554 | 0.002247554 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.3584746E-6 | 2.4753065E-6 | 2.4753065E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0107709E-5 | 1.06084135E-5 | 1.06084135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2305441E-4 | 1.2914982E-4 | 1.2914982E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012298629 | 0.0012907528 | 0.0012907528 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.4981914E-7 | 9.860922E-7 | 9.860922E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0706473E-6 | 4.2261026E-6 | 4.2261026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9559E-5 | 5.1451596E-5 | 5.1451596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.954795E-4 | 5.1439815E-4 | 5.1439815E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.6013532E-7 | 2.641661E-7 | 2.641661E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1148652E-6 | 1.1321399E-6 | 1.1321399E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3573399E-5 | 1.3783717E-5 | 1.3783717E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.357257E-4 | 1.3782868E-4 | 1.3782868E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.1522263E-8 | 3.9656964E-8 | 3.9656964E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7795254E-7 | 1.6995841E-7 | 1.6995841E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.16657E-6 | 2.0692419E-6 | 2.0692419E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1665488E-5 | 2.0692247E-5 | 2.0692247E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.7242046E-10 | 5.9475225E-10 | 5.9475225E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3103735E-9 | 2.5489382E-9 | 2.5489382E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0303796E-8 | 3.1033323E-8 | 3.1033323E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.030379E-7 | 3.103332E-7 | 3.103332E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4090827E-5 | 3.4090586E-5 | 1.4150858 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.0324288E-4 | 1.1324185E-4 | 1.096849 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012563579 | 0.0012663454 | 1.0079495 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012502574 | 0.012522325 | 1.0015796 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4090827E-5 | 3.4090586E-5 | 1.4150858 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.0324288E-4 | 1.1324185E-4 | 1.096849 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012563579 | 0.0012663454 | 1.0079495 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012502574 | 0.012522325 | 1.0015796 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4090827E-5 | 3.4090586E-5 | 1.4150858 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.0324288E-4 | 1.1324185E-4 | 1.096849 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012563579 | 0.0012663454 | 1.0079495 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015655609 | 0.012502574 | 0.012522325 | 1.0015796 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.3638019E-5 | 2.3637882E-5 | 1.7332344 | 1.0E-5 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.8447433E-5 | 6.844685E-5 | 1.1710839 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010690069 | 7.113814E-4 | 7.213743E-4 | 1.0140471 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01063879 | 0.0070926677 | 0.007102597 | 1.0013999 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.3638019E-5 | 2.3637882E-5 | 1.7332344 | 1.0E-5 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.8447433E-5 | 6.844685E-5 | 1.1710839 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010690069 | 7.113814E-4 | 7.213743E-4 | 1.0140471 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01063879 | 0.0070926677 | 0.007102597 | 1.0013999 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7316182E-5 | 1.0476945E-5 | 2.047684E-5 | 1.9544667 | 1.0E-5 | 7.42101E-5 | 4.4900476E-5 | 5.4900025E-5 | 1.2227048 | 1.0E-5 | 9.0313336E-4 | 5.465362E-4 | 5.565307E-4 | 1.0182871 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008994718 | 0.005452916 | 0.0054628616 | 1.0018239 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.5251077E-5 | 8.414112E-6 | 1.8414028E-5 | 2.1884696 | 1.0E-5 | 6.536012E-5 | 3.606002E-5 | 4.605966E-5 | 1.2773055 | 1.0E-5 | 7.9546886E-4 | 4.3894956E-4 | 4.4894515E-4 | 1.0227717 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007926274 | 0.0043815426 | 0.004391499 | 1.0022722 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.2997425E-5 | 6.4111982E-6 | 1.6411133E-5 | 2.5597608 | 1.0E-5 | 5.570206E-5 | 2.74763E-5 | 3.7476028E-5 | 1.36394 | 1.0E-5 | 6.7796157E-4 | 3.3447728E-4 | 3.4447393E-4 | 1.0298874 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0067589693 | 0.0033401987 | 0.0033501652 | 1.0029838 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.035386E-5 | 4.3331297E-6 | 4.3331297E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.437293E-5 | 1.8570428E-5 | 1.8570428E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.401065E-4 | 2.2607238E-4 | 2.2607238E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053879567 | 0.0022585108 | 0.0022585108 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.816252E-6 | 3.580573E-6 | 3.580573E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.778339E-5 | 1.5345226E-5 | 1.5345226E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5991567E-4 | 1.868127E-4 | 1.868127E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00458965 | 0.001866615 | 0.001866615 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 6.8232207E-6 | 2.567426E-6 | 2.567426E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9242048E-5 | 1.100321E-5 | 1.100321E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5596377E-4 | 1.3395616E-4 | 1.3395616E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035539411 | 0.0013387852 | 0.0013387852 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.837013E-6 | 2.2273025E-6 | 2.2273025E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.501553E-5 | 9.545549E-6 | 9.545549E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.045215E-4 | 1.1621116E-4 | 1.1621116E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030410455 | 0.0011615328 | 0.0011615328 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.278052E-6 | 1.6274947E-6 | 1.6274947E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.833438E-5 | 6.9749603E-6 | 6.9749603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.231982E-4 | 8.491707E-5 | 8.491707E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022297418 | 8.488694E-4 | 8.488694E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.8803692E-6 | 8.344683E-7 | 8.344683E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0587E-6 | 3.576289E-6 | 3.576289E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.811026E-5 | 4.3540593E-5 | 4.3540593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.806695E-4 | 4.353351E-4 | 4.353351E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Camp Rock 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.249992E-6 | 1.4249949E-5 | 3.3529356 | 1.0E-5 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8214127E-5 | 2.8213944E-5 | 1.5490144 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2173495E-4 | 2.3173275E-4 | 1.0450889 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.00221519 | 0.0022351458 | 1.0090085 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.249992E-6 | 1.4249949E-5 | 3.3529356 | 1.0E-5 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8214127E-5 | 2.8213944E-5 | 1.5490144 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2173495E-4 | 2.3173275E-4 | 1.0450889 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.00221519 | 0.0022351458 | 1.0090085 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.249992E-6 | 1.4249949E-5 | 3.3529356 | 1.0E-5 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8214127E-5 | 2.8213944E-5 | 1.5490144 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2173495E-4 | 2.3173275E-4 | 1.0450889 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.00221519 | 0.0022351458 | 1.0090085 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.249992E-6 | 1.4249949E-5 | 3.3529356 | 1.0E-5 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8214127E-5 | 2.8213944E-5 | 1.5490144 | 1.0E-5 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2173495E-4 | 2.3173275E-4 | 1.0450889 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008681616 | 0.00221519 | 0.0022351458 | 1.0090085 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.982846E-6 | 3.682029E-6 | 1.3681993E-5 | 3.715884 | 1.0E-5 | 3.421175E-5 | 1.5780031E-5 | 2.5779873E-5 | 1.6337023 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1644843E-4 | 1.9210529E-4 | 2.0210336E-4 | 1.0520447 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041566887 | 0.0019194271 | 0.0019393887 | 1.0103998 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 7.982846E-6 | 3.682029E-6 | 1.3681993E-5 | 3.715884 | 1.0E-5 | 3.421175E-5 | 1.5780031E-5 | 2.5779873E-5 | 1.6337023 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1644843E-4 | 1.9210529E-4 | 2.0210336E-4 | 1.0520447 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041566887 | 0.0019194271 | 0.0019393887 | 1.0103998 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 7.048869E-6 | 3.4242933E-6 | 1.3424259E-5 | 3.9203005 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0209088E-5 | 1.4675462E-5 | 2.4675315E-5 | 1.6813996 | 1.0E-5 | 3.677336E-4 | 1.7865942E-4 | 1.8865764E-4 | 1.0559624 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036712566 | 0.0017851895 | 0.0017951716 | 1.0055916 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.987307E-6 | 3.362271E-6 | 1.3362237E-5 | 3.9741702 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9945259E-5 | 1.4409655E-5 | 2.4409512E-5 | 1.6939691 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6452254E-4 | 1.7542373E-4 | 1.8542199E-4 | 1.0569948 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036392517 | 0.0017528838 | 0.0017628663 | 1.0056949 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.3737602E-6 | 3.117861E-6 | 1.3117829E-5 | 4.207317 | 1.0E-5 | 2.731583E-5 | 1.3362195E-5 | 2.3362061E-5 | 1.74837 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3251947E-4 | 1.6267286E-4 | 1.7267124E-4 | 1.0614631 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033202237 | 0.0016255665 | 0.0016355502 | 1.0061417 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 6.112211E-6 | 2.933072E-6 | 1.2933043E-5 | 4.4093847 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6194928E-5 | 1.2570249E-5 | 2.2570124E-5 | 1.7955191 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1887658E-4 | 1.5303232E-4 | 1.6303078E-4 | 1.0653356 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003184194 | 0.0015292971 | 0.0015392818 | 1.006529 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.5140117E-6 | 2.641904E-6 | 1.2641877E-5 | 4.7851386 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3631264E-5 | 1.1322398E-5 | 2.1322285E-5 | 1.8831952 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8767265E-4 | 1.3784174E-4 | 1.4784036E-4 | 1.072537 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028730053 | 0.0013775876 | 0.0013875738 | 1.0072491 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.8151105E-6 | 2.1342557E-6 | 2.1342557E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0636026E-5 | 9.14678E-6 | 9.14678E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5121463E-4 | 1.11356574E-4 | 1.11356574E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025093083 | 0.0011130297 | 0.0011130297 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.818335E-6 | 1.2937331E-6 | 1.2937331E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6364189E-5 | 5.544559E-6 | 5.544559E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9921579E-4 | 6.7502995E-5 | 6.7502995E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019903728 | 6.748332E-4 | 6.748332E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.7166698E-6 | 7.3830375E-7 | 7.3830375E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1642818E-5 | 3.1641553E-6 | 3.1641553E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4174209E-4 | 3.852293E-5 | 3.852293E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014165172 | 3.8516452E-4 | 3.8516452E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0893426E-6 | 5.461424E-7 | 5.461424E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.954295E-6 | 2.3406083E-6 | 2.3406083E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0901308E-4 | 2.8496537E-5 | 2.8496537E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010895962 | 2.8492938E-4 | 2.8492938E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6028206E-7 | 3.6028206E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5440651E-6 | 1.5440651E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.8798835E-5 | 1.8798835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8797291E-4 | 1.8797291E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.1196375E-8 | 7.1196375E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.051273E-7 | 3.051273E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.71492E-6 | 3.71492E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.7148737E-5 | 3.7148737E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5183659E-4 | 3.0520261E-4 | 3.0520261E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5056595E-4 | 0.0013068002 | 0.0013068002 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007891912 | 0.015695969 | 0.01570581 | 1.0006272 | 1.0E-5 | 0.076174594 | 0.1384846 | 0.13849321 | 1.0000622 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5024997E-4 | 3.0214462E-4 | 3.0214462E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.437695E-4 | 0.0012937093 | 0.0012937093 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0078097614 | 0.015539361 | 0.015549206 | 1.0006335 | 1.0E-5 | 0.075409345 | 0.13715418 | 0.1371628 | 1.000063 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2743923E-4 | 2.5312972E-4 | 2.5312972E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.460538E-4 | 0.0010839769 | 0.0010839769 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066279583 | 0.013046647 | 0.013056517 | 1.0007565 | 1.0E-5 | 0.064337276 | 0.11725156 | 0.11726039 | 1.0000753 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1525114E-4 | 2.2598551E-4 | 2.2598551E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9383997E-4 | 9.678517E-4 | 9.678517E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059959386 | 0.011667848 | 0.011677731 | 1.0008471 | 1.0E-5 | 0.058367174 | 0.10636757 | 0.10637651 | 1.000084 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.07200925E-4 | 2.0839735E-4 | 2.0839735E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5935164E-4 | 8.925907E-4 | 8.925907E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055782744 | 0.010772728 | 0.01078262 | 1.0009183 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0544031 | 0.09919019 | 0.0991992 | 1.0000908 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 9.69631E-5 | 1.8733864E-4 | 1.8733864E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1548995E-4 | 8.024415E-4 | 8.024415E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050468626 | 0.009694614 | 0.009704517 | 1.0010215 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04933773 | 0.09008199 | 0.09009109 | 1.000101 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.0552316E-5 | 1.5070252E-4 | 1.5070252E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4517853E-4 | 6.456723E-4 | 6.456723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041944524 | 0.0078262845 | 0.007836206 | 1.0012678 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04116161 | 0.07485166 | 0.074860916 | 1.0001236 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 7.815757E-5 | 1.4610846E-4 | 1.4610846E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.34918E-4 | 6.259958E-4 | 6.259958E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004070005 | 0.0075890897 | 0.007599014 | 1.0013077 | 1.0E-5 | 0.039962657 | 0.07270118 | 0.072710454 | 1.0001276 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 6.965264E-5 | 1.2722371E-4 | 1.2722371E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9847719E-4 | 5.4511573E-4 | 5.4511573E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036279052 | 0.006613387 | 0.0066233207 | 1.001502 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03569247 | 0.063796505 | 0.06380586 | 1.0001467 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.8000453E-5 | 1.0143533E-4 | 1.0143533E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4854968E-4 | 4.346509E-4 | 4.346509E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030218933 | 0.0052791317 | 0.005289079 | 1.0018842 | 1.0E-5 | 0.029811295 | 0.05150093 | 0.051510416 | 1.0001842 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.9865852E-5 | 8.567664E-5 | 8.567664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1369329E-4 | 3.6713443E-4 | 3.6713443E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025986114 | 0.0044607893 | 0.0044707446 | 1.0022317 | 1.0E-5 | 0.025684336 | 0.043780252 | 0.04378981 | 1.0002184 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.283875E-5 | 7.112113E-5 | 7.112113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8358172E-4 | 3.0476955E-4 | 3.0476955E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022328163 | 0.0037043123 | 0.0037142753 | 1.0026896 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022105146 | 0.036733795 | 0.03674343 | 1.0002623 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.450115E-5 | 5.577521E-5 | 5.577521E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.478537E-4 | 2.3901489E-4 | 2.3901489E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017986323 | 0.002906152 | 0.002906152 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017841442 | 0.029076809 | 0.029076809 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.5709045E-5 | 4.0586976E-5 | 4.0586976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1017697E-4 | 1.7393267E-4 | 1.7393267E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013405791 | 0.0021155905 | 0.0021155905 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013325208 | 0.021295162 | 0.021295162 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.8003093E-5 | 2.8508479E-5 | 2.8508479E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.715383E-5 | 1.2217349E-4 | 1.2217349E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3894306E-4 | 0.0014864496 | 0.0014864496 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009349857 | 0.015050137 | 0.015050137 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.5595824E-5 | 2.5820891E-5 | 2.5820891E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.683753E-5 | 1.1065628E-4 | 1.1065628E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.134431E-4 | 0.0013464098 | 0.0013464098 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008104719 | 0.013650169 | 0.013650169 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.1110309E-5 | 1.9220464E-5 | 1.9220464E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.761474E-5 | 8.2370825E-5 | 8.2370825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.795553E-4 | 0.0010024047 | 0.0010024047 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057804612 | 0.010202107 | 0.010202107 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.2140443E-6 | 1.04366445E-5 | 1.04366445E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6631347E-5 | 4.472771E-5 | 4.472771E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.241884E-4 | 5.444239E-4 | 5.444239E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032371588 | 0.0056196447 | 0.0056196447 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 5.305533E-6 | 9.432705E-6 | 9.432705E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.27378E-5 | 4.0425253E-5 | 4.0425253E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7679754E-4 | 4.920664E-4 | 4.920664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027645302 | 0.0050742165 | 0.0050742165 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.363505E-6 | 7.384745E-6 | 7.384745E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4414942E-5 | 3.1648524E-5 | 3.1648524E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7548777E-4 | 3.8525273E-4 | 3.8525273E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017534926 | 0.0039484617 | 0.0039484617 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 2.0271132E-6 | 4.4130247E-6 | 4.4130247E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.687599E-6 | 1.8912826E-5 | 1.8912826E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05766376E-4 | 2.3023938E-4 | 2.3023938E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010571606 | 0.002351026 | 0.002351026 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.2206116E-6 | 2.3750408E-6 | 2.3750408E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2311816E-6 | 1.0178706E-5 | 1.0178706E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3687774E-5 | 1.2391874E-4 | 1.2391874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.366953E-4 | 0.0012704867 | 0.0012704867 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.831569E-6 | 9.831569E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2134674E-5 | 5.213425E-5 | 1.2373242 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.128795E-4 | 5.228744E-4 | 1.0194877 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.005132171 | 0.005152068 | 1.003877 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.831569E-6 | 9.831569E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2134674E-5 | 5.213425E-5 | 1.2373242 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.128795E-4 | 5.228744E-4 | 1.0194877 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.005132171 | 0.005152068 | 1.003877 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.831569E-6 | 9.831569E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2134674E-5 | 5.213425E-5 | 1.2373242 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.128795E-4 | 5.228744E-4 | 1.0194877 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.005132171 | 0.005152068 | 1.003877 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.9267165E-6 | 9.831569E-6 | 9.831569E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.39712E-5 | 4.2134674E-5 | 5.213425E-5 | 1.2373242 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1352084E-4 | 5.128795E-4 | 5.228744E-4 | 1.0194877 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004127522 | 0.005132171 | 0.005152068 | 1.003877 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.3445207E-6 | 6.091434E-6 | 6.091434E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8619241E-5 | 2.610589E-5 | 2.610589E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2666567E-4 | 3.1779386E-4 | 3.1779386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022643462 | 0.0031876832 | 0.0031876832 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 4.3445207E-6 | 6.091434E-6 | 6.091434E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8619241E-5 | 2.610589E-5 | 2.610589E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2666567E-4 | 3.1779386E-4 | 3.1779386E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022643462 | 0.0031876832 | 0.0031876832 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 4.040109E-6 | 5.773842E-6 | 5.773842E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7314638E-5 | 2.4744808E-5 | 2.4744808E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1078532E-4 | 3.0122732E-4 | 3.0122732E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002105855 | 0.0030224733 | 0.0030224733 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.3632055E-6 | 5.0673398E-6 | 5.0673398E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4413658E-5 | 2.171699E-5 | 2.171699E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7547216E-4 | 2.643726E-4 | 2.643726E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017533366 | 0.0026548079 | 0.0026548079 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.2902772E-6 | 4.9892474E-6 | 4.9892474E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4101111E-5 | 2.1382315E-5 | 2.1382315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.716675E-4 | 2.602989E-4 | 2.602989E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017153495 | 0.0026141668 | 0.0026141668 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.031547E-6 | 4.69101E-6 | 4.69101E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.299228E-5 | 2.0104175E-5 | 2.0104175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5816953E-4 | 2.447411E-4 | 2.447411E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00158057 | 0.0024589403 | 0.0024589403 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.8259715E-6 | 4.370579E-6 | 4.370579E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.211125E-5 | 1.8730922E-5 | 1.8730922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4744449E-4 | 2.2802534E-4 | 2.2802534E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001473467 | 0.002292137 | 0.002292137 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.5962665E-6 | 4.0658E-6 | 4.0658E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1126809E-5 | 1.7424743E-5 | 1.7424743E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3546048E-4 | 2.1212581E-4 | 2.1212581E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013537793 | 0.0021334658 | 0.0021334658 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.3247253E-6 | 3.6763556E-6 | 3.6763556E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.96307E-6 | 1.5755715E-5 | 1.5755715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.21293626E-4 | 1.9180914E-4 | 1.9180914E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012122744 | 0.0019306873 | 0.0019306873 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.056928E-6 | 3.2350797E-6 | 3.2350797E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.815376E-6 | 1.3864555E-5 | 1.3864555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0732192E-4 | 1.6878804E-4 | 1.6878804E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001072701 | 0.0017009112 | 0.0017009112 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.8055999E-6 | 2.825487E-6 | 2.825487E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.738263E-6 | 1.2109174E-5 | 1.2109174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4209274E-5 | 1.4741936E-4 | 1.4741936E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4169343E-4 | 0.0014876479 | 0.0014876479 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4683443E-6 | 2.42473E-6 | 2.42473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.292889E-6 | 1.0391659E-5 | 1.0391659E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.661323E-5 | 1.2651121E-4 | 1.2651121E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.658682E-4 | 0.0012788613 | 0.0012788613 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.804088E-7 | 1.9002471E-6 | 1.9002471E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.201745E-6 | 8.143891E-6 | 8.143891E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1155046E-5 | 9.914741E-5 | 9.914741E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.114327E-4 | 0.0010055363 | 0.0010055363 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 7.3434086E-7 | 1.6283949E-6 | 1.6283949E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1471714E-6 | 6.9788166E-6 | 6.9788166E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.831614E-5 | 8.496381E-5 | 8.496381E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8309532E-4 | 8.6385064E-4 | 8.6385064E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.434184E-7 | 1.521984E-6 | 1.521984E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7575045E-6 | 6.5227723E-6 | 6.5227723E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.35721E-5 | 7.941188E-5 | 7.941188E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3567028E-4 | 8.0802006E-4 | 8.0802006E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.4943926E-7 | 7.574203E-7 | 7.574203E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.497596E-6 | 3.246083E-6 | 3.246083E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8233079E-5 | 3.9520353E-5 | 3.9520353E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8231584E-4 | 4.0402255E-4 | 4.0402255E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.717524E-8 | 5.8364506E-8 | 5.8364506E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8789387E-7 | 2.5013355E-7 | 2.5013355E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.505102E-6 | 3.045372E-6 | 3.045372E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5050467E-5 | 3.2745582E-5 | 3.2745582E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.1984914E-8 | 1.2946327E-8 | 1.2946327E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.370782E-7 | 5.5484257E-8 | 5.5484257E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6689258E-6 | 6.7552065E-7 | 6.7552065E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6689133E-5 | 7.739287E-6 | 7.739287E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.21887656E-8 | 3.6460996E-9 | 3.6460996E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2237567E-8 | 1.5626142E-8 | 1.5626142E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.359922E-7 | 1.9024826E-7 | 1.9024826E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3599036E-6 | 2.2450613E-6 | 2.2450613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ortigalita (South)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.72394E-5 | 4.325541E-5 | 5.325498E-5 | 1.231175 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5958765E-4 | 1.8536806E-4 | 1.953662E-4 | 1.0539367 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019412481 | 0.0022546765 | 0.002264654 | 1.0044252 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019243775 | 0.022334406 | 0.022353958 | 1.0008755 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.7299884E-5 | 3.1491905E-5 | 4.1491592E-5 | 1.317532 | 1.0E-5 | 1.16994255E-4 | 1.3495865E-4 | 1.449573E-4 | 1.0740868 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014234743 | 0.0016419389 | 0.0016519226 | 1.0060804 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014143906 | 0.016304005 | 0.01632368 | 1.0012066 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.7299884E-5 | 3.1491905E-5 | 4.1491592E-5 | 1.317532 | 1.0E-5 | 1.16994255E-4 | 1.3495865E-4 | 1.449573E-4 | 1.0740868 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014234743 | 0.0016419389 | 0.0016519226 | 1.0060804 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014143906 | 0.016304005 | 0.01632368 | 1.0012066 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.0546433E-5 | 2.3631357E-5 | 3.363112E-5 | 1.4231565 | 1.0E-5 | 8.805317E-5 | 1.0127342E-4 | 1.1127241E-4 | 1.0987326 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00107152 | 0.0012323254 | 0.0012423132 | 1.0081047 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010663681 | 0.012256982 | 0.012266859 | 1.0008059 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0546433E-5 | 2.3631357E-5 | 3.363112E-5 | 1.4231565 | 1.0E-5 | 8.805317E-5 | 1.0127342E-4 | 1.1127241E-4 | 1.0987326 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00107152 | 0.0012323254 | 0.0012423132 | 1.0081047 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010663681 | 0.012256982 | 0.012266859 | 1.0008059 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7779594E-5 | 2.0446892E-5 | 2.0446892E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.619603E-5 | 8.762667E-5 | 8.762667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.272918E-4 | 0.0010663462 | 0.0010663462 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009234319 | 0.010613761 | 0.010613761 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.6272212E-5 | 1.8714893E-5 | 1.8714893E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.973618E-5 | 8.0204285E-5 | 8.0204285E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.487073E-4 | 9.76062E-4 | 9.76062E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008454733 | 0.009719051 | 0.009719051 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.3051484E-5 | 1.5038697E-5 | 1.5038697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.593373E-5 | 6.445002E-5 | 6.445002E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.807804E-4 | 7.84406E-4 | 7.84406E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006786986 | 0.007817356 | 0.007817356 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.04277415E-5 | 1.19871875E-5 | 1.19871875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4689557E-5 | 5.1372688E-5 | 5.1372688E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.439595E-4 | 6.2529044E-4 | 6.2529044E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054262993 | 0.006236065 | 0.006236065 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.639968E-6 | 8.791468E-6 | 8.791468E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.274231E-5 | 3.7677208E-5 | 3.7677208E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9856473E-4 | 4.5862934E-4 | 4.5862934E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003978506 | 0.0045774146 | 0.0045774146 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.919831E-6 | 4.5333823E-6 | 4.5333823E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.679917E-5 | 1.942865E-5 | 1.942865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.045107E-4 | 2.3652024E-4 | 2.3652024E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020432258 | 0.0023628937 | 0.0023628937 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.6017933E-6 | 1.8570338E-6 | 1.8570338E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8648105E-6 | 7.958698E-6 | 7.958698E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.357586E-5 | 9.6893906E-5 | 9.6893906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3544437E-4 | 9.6862135E-4 | 9.6862135E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pinto Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.78536E-5 | 4.78536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0507166E-4 | 2.0507166E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024940518 | 0.002504027 | 1.0039996 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024678139 | 0.024697646 | 1.0007905 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.78536E-5 | 4.78536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0507166E-4 | 2.0507166E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024940518 | 0.002504027 | 1.0039996 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024678139 | 0.024697646 | 1.0007905 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.78536E-5 | 4.78536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0507166E-4 | 2.0507166E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024940518 | 0.002504027 | 1.0039996 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024678139 | 0.024697646 | 1.0007905 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.78536E-5 | 4.78536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.893932E-4 | 2.0507166E-4 | 2.0507166E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0024940518 | 0.002504027 | 1.0039996 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022796938 | 0.024678139 | 0.024697646 | 1.0007905 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.960321E-5 | 3.960321E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.6971752E-4 | 1.6971752E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0020644458 | 0.002074425 | 1.0048339 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019274427 | 0.020462705 | 0.020482294 | 1.0009574 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.960321E-5 | 3.960321E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.6971752E-4 | 1.6971752E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0020644458 | 0.002074425 | 1.0048339 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019274427 | 0.020462705 | 0.020482294 | 1.0009574 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.0204548E-5 | 3.120536E-5 | 3.120536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2944164E-4 | 1.337306E-4 | 1.337306E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015748127 | 0.0016269886 | 0.0016369724 | 1.0061363 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015636992 | 0.016154641 | 0.016174318 | 1.0012181 | 2.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.9857754E-5 | 3.0814746E-5 | 3.0814746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2795553E-4 | 1.3205671E-4 | 1.3205671E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015567453 | 0.0016066392 | 0.0016166231 | 1.0062141 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015458848 | 0.015954081 | 0.015973762 | 1.0012336 | 2.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.4819734E-5 | 2.500945E-5 | 2.500945E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0636595E-4 | 1.07179076E-4 | 1.07179076E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012942362 | 0.0013041458 | 0.0013141327 | 1.0076579 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012867244 | 0.012967292 | 0.0129870325 | 1.0015223 | 2.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.331124E-5 | 2.3337734E-5 | 2.3337734E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.990149E-5 | 1.00015146E-4 | 1.00015146E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001215622 | 0.0012170245 | 0.0012270124 | 1.0082067 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012089936 | 0.012105788 | 0.012125546 | 1.0016321 | 2.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.1818534E-5 | 2.1760867E-5 | 2.1760867E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3504656E-5 | 9.325764E-5 | 9.325764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011378246 | 0.0011348402 | 0.0011448287 | 1.0088018 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011320163 | 0.011292553 | 0.011312326 | 1.0017511 | 2.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.066081E-5 | 2.0540516E-5 | 2.0540516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.854332E-5 | 8.8027926E-5 | 8.8027926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010774818 | 0.0010712326 | 0.001081222 | 1.009325 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010722724 | 0.010662739 | 0.010682526 | 1.0018557 | 2.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.8990233E-5 | 1.9053807E-5 | 1.9053807E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.138417E-5 | 8.165672E-5 | 8.165672E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.904018E-4 | 9.937364E-4 | 0.0010037265 | 1.010053 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009859995 | 0.009894928 | 0.00991473 | 1.0020013 | 2.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.3335872E-5 | 1.490653E-5 | 1.490653E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7152483E-5 | 6.3883635E-5 | 6.3883635E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.956093E-4 | 7.775185E-4 | 7.875107E-4 | 1.0128515 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006934359 | 0.0077492814 | 0.0077691264 | 1.0025609 | 2.0E-5 |
7.4 | 9.414066E-6 | 1.1860794E-5 | 1.1860794E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0345374E-5 | 5.0831037E-5 | 5.0831037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.910942E-4 | 6.1870157E-4 | 6.2869536E-4 | 1.0161529 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049001034 | 0.0061707394 | 0.0061906157 | 1.0032212 | 2.0E-5 |
7.5 | 7.2101157E-6 | 9.158034E-6 | 9.158034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.090013E-5 | 3.924817E-5 | 3.924817E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7614413E-4 | 4.7774953E-4 | 4.8774475E-4 | 1.0209215 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0037550807 | 0.004768 | 0.0047879047 | 1.0041746 | 2.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.296375E-6 | 4.5453544E-6 | 4.5453544E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4127245E-5 | 1.9479952E-5 | 1.9479952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7198564E-4 | 2.37144E-4 | 2.37144E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017185259 | 0.0023690467 | 0.0023690467 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.5741092E-6 | 3.584271E-6 | 3.584271E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.103185E-5 | 1.5361078E-5 | 1.5361078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3430449E-4 | 1.870064E-4 | 1.870064E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013422335 | 0.0018686203 | 0.0018686203 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Raymond
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.581008E-5 | 3.5809764E-5 | 2.2649958 | 2.0E-5 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.7755864E-5 | 8.775451E-5 | 1.2951574 | 2.0E-5 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.246405E-4 | 8.44624E-4 | 1.024233 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007877788 | 0.008218332 | 0.008238168 | 1.0024136 | 2.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.581008E-5 | 3.5809764E-5 | 2.2649958 | 2.0E-5 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.7755864E-5 | 8.775451E-5 | 1.2951574 | 2.0E-5 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.246405E-4 | 8.44624E-4 | 1.024233 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007877788 | 0.008218332 | 0.008238168 | 1.0024136 | 2.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.581008E-5 | 3.5809764E-5 | 2.2649958 | 2.0E-5 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.7755864E-5 | 8.775451E-5 | 1.2951574 | 2.0E-5 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.246405E-4 | 8.44624E-4 | 1.024233 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007877788 | 0.008218332 | 0.008238168 | 1.0024136 | 2.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.581008E-5 | 3.5809764E-5 | 2.2649958 | 2.0E-5 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.7755864E-5 | 8.775451E-5 | 1.2951574 | 2.0E-5 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.246405E-4 | 8.44624E-4 | 1.024233 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007877788 | 0.008218332 | 0.008238168 | 1.0024136 | 2.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3941944E-5 | 1.4454646E-5 | 3.4454355E-5 | 2.383618 | 2.0E-5 | 5.9749822E-5 | 6.194714E-5 | 8.19459E-5 | 1.3228359 | 2.0E-5 | 7.2721124E-4 | 7.539688E-4 | 7.7395374E-4 | 1.0265063 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007248361 | 0.007516451 | 0.007536301 | 1.0026408 | 2.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3941944E-5 | 1.4454646E-5 | 3.4454355E-5 | 2.383618 | 2.0E-5 | 5.9749822E-5 | 6.194714E-5 | 8.19459E-5 | 1.3228359 | 2.0E-5 | 7.2721124E-4 | 7.539688E-4 | 7.7395374E-4 | 1.0265063 | 2.0E-5 | 0.007248361 | 0.007516451 | 0.007536301 | 1.0026408 | 2.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0542609E-5 | 1.06710795E-5 | 1.06710795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5181827E-5 | 4.5732424E-5 | 4.5732424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.499499E-4 | 5.566555E-4 | 5.566555E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005485909 | 0.0055531827 | 0.0055531827 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.0542609E-5 | 1.06710795E-5 | 1.06710795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5181827E-5 | 4.5732424E-5 | 4.5732424E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.499499E-4 | 5.566555E-4 | 5.566555E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005485909 | 0.0055531827 | 0.0055531827 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.0079132E-5 | 1.0176614E-5 | 1.0176614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3195567E-5 | 4.361336E-5 | 4.361336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.257791E-4 | 5.3086865E-4 | 5.3086865E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052453685 | 0.005296564 | 0.005296564 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 7.721598E-6 | 7.54888E-6 | 7.54888E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3092143E-5 | 3.235195E-5 | 3.235195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0282236E-4 | 3.93815E-4 | 3.93815E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040209293 | 0.0039313147 | 0.0039313147 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.137566E-6 | 6.9112825E-6 | 6.9112825E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.058921E-5 | 2.9619452E-5 | 2.9619452E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7236E-4 | 3.6055825E-4 | 3.6055825E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037173668 | 0.0035998605 | 0.0035998605 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.654976E-6 | 5.299521E-6 | 5.299521E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4235387E-5 | 2.2712036E-5 | 2.2712036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9502588E-4 | 2.7648418E-4 | 2.7648418E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029463451 | 0.0027614427 | 0.0027614427 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.9358455E-6 | 4.52664E-6 | 4.52664E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1153453E-5 | 1.9399742E-5 | 1.9399742E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5751285E-4 | 2.361664E-4 | 2.361664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025721465 | 0.002359186 | 0.002359186 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.2368597E-6 | 3.8055994E-6 | 3.8055994E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8157843E-5 | 1.630961E-5 | 1.630961E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2104931E-4 | 1.9855151E-4 | 1.9855151E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022082955 | 0.0019837697 | 0.0019837697 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.4999923E-6 | 3.0437288E-6 | 3.0437288E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.49998805E-5 | 1.3044487E-5 | 1.3044487E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8260824E-4 | 1.5880514E-4 | 1.5880514E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018245826 | 0.001586942 | 0.001586942 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.738017E-6 | 2.302031E-6 | 2.302031E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1734306E-5 | 9.865809E-6 | 9.865809E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.428558E-4 | 1.2010968E-4 | 1.2010968E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014276401 | 0.0012004718 | 0.0012004718 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.8186392E-6 | 1.4422955E-6 | 1.4422955E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.794145E-6 | 6.1812516E-6 | 6.1812516E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.488958E-5 | 7.525418E-5 | 7.525418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4849075E-4 | 7.5230823E-4 | 7.5230823E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.0660348E-6 | 7.643642E-7 | 7.643642E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5687125E-6 | 3.2758423E-6 | 3.2758423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5622655E-5 | 3.9882667E-5 | 3.9882667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5608735E-4 | 3.98774E-4 | 3.98774E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 6.913602E-7 | 4.32024E-7 | 4.32024E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.962969E-6 | 1.8515301E-6 | 1.8515301E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.607355E-5 | 2.2542152E-5 | 2.2542152E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6067693E-4 | 2.2541644E-4 | 2.2541644E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.425201E-8 | 5.3221317E-8 | 5.3221317E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1822285E-7 | 2.2809135E-7 | 2.2809135E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.874356E-6 | 2.77701E-6 | 2.77701E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8742884E-5 | 2.7769884E-5 | 2.7769884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lake Isabella (Seismicity)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741643E-6 | 1.9741547E-5 | 2.026511 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749303E-5 | 5.1748888E-5 | 1.239515 | 1.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.081923E-4 | 5.1818724E-4 | 1.0196676 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050715944 | 0.0050815437 | 1.0019617 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741643E-6 | 1.9741547E-5 | 2.026511 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749303E-5 | 5.1748888E-5 | 1.239515 | 1.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.081923E-4 | 5.1818724E-4 | 1.0196676 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050715944 | 0.0050815437 | 1.0019617 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741643E-6 | 1.9741547E-5 | 2.026511 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749303E-5 | 5.1748888E-5 | 1.239515 | 1.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.081923E-4 | 5.1818724E-4 | 1.0196676 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050715944 | 0.0050815437 | 1.0019617 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.741643E-6 | 1.9741547E-5 | 2.026511 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.1749303E-5 | 5.1748888E-5 | 1.239515 | 1.0E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.081923E-4 | 5.1818724E-4 | 1.0196676 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004909227 | 0.0050715944 | 0.0050815437 | 1.0019617 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.3000717E-6 | 1.5300018E-5 | 2.886757 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2714416E-5 | 3.271419E-5 | 1.4402391 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.7651637E-4 | 2.865136E-4 | 1.0361543 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027620634 | 0.0027720358 | 1.0036105 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.3000717E-6 | 1.5300018E-5 | 2.886757 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2714416E-5 | 3.271419E-5 | 1.4402391 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.7651637E-4 | 2.865136E-4 | 1.0361543 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026805066 | 0.0027620634 | 0.0027720358 | 1.0036105 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.4009804E-6 | 3.4987834E-6 | 1.3498749E-5 | 3.8581264 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4575549E-5 | 1.4994709E-5 | 2.4994559E-5 | 1.6668919 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7744285E-4 | 1.825469E-4 | 1.9254506E-4 | 1.0547705 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017730123 | 0.0018241272 | 0.001834109 | 1.0054721 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.3880428E-6 | 3.48565E-6 | 1.3485615E-5 | 3.8688953 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4520103E-5 | 1.4938424E-5 | 2.4938274E-5 | 1.6694046 | 1.0E-5 | 1.767679E-4 | 1.8186173E-4 | 1.9185992E-4 | 1.0549768 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017662736 | 0.0018172868 | 0.0018272686 | 1.0054927 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.6582E-6 | 2.733698E-6 | 2.733698E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1392236E-5 | 1.1715804E-5 | 1.1715804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869164E-4 | 1.4263192E-4 | 1.4263192E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013860512 | 0.0014255359 | 0.0014255359 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.406011E-6 | 2.474327E-6 | 2.474327E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0311434E-5 | 1.0604223E-5 | 1.0604223E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2553448E-4 | 1.2910008E-4 | 1.2910008E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012546359 | 0.0012903805 | 0.0012903805 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.6953097E-6 | 1.7429359E-6 | 1.7429359E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.265593E-6 | 7.4697095E-6 | 7.4697095E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8455E-5 | 9.0940965E-5 | 9.0940965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.84198E-4 | 9.091403E-4 | 9.091403E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.5013824E-7 | 3.5714805E-7 | 3.5714805E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5005916E-6 | 1.5306335E-6 | 1.5306335E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.826955E-5 | 1.8635306E-5 | 1.8635306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8268047E-4 | 1.863377E-4 | 1.863377E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.2321095E-7 | 2.2750562E-7 | 2.2750562E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.56618E-7 | 9.750237E-7 | 9.750237E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1646762E-5 | 1.187085E-5 | 1.187085E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1646151E-4 | 1.18702264E-4 | 1.18702264E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.5760406E-7 | 1.6060915E-7 | 1.6060915E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7544585E-7 | 6.883247E-7 | 6.883247E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.223522E-6 | 8.380322E-6 | 8.380322E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2232174E-5 | 8.380012E-5 | 8.380012E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.1216497E-7 | 1.14317004E-7 | 1.14317004E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8070694E-7 | 4.899299E-7 | 4.899299E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.852591E-6 | 5.964881E-6 | 5.964881E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8524372E-5 | 5.9647253E-5 | 5.9647253E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.885185E-8 | 4.978771E-8 | 4.978771E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0936506E-7 | 2.133759E-7 | 2.133759E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5490165E-6 | 2.5978486E-6 | 2.5978486E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5489873E-5 | 2.5978201E-5 | 2.5978201E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.504641E-9 | 1.5317896E-9 | 1.5317896E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4484613E-9 | 6.5648122E-9 | 6.5648122E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851001E-8 | 7.992659E-8 | 7.992659E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8509987E-7 | 7.992659E-7 | 7.992659E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cucamonga
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.1736978E-5 | 1.1736978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.030038E-5 | 5.030038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.122378E-4 | 6.122378E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0061632637 | 0.006106661 | 0.0061166 | 1.0016276 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.1736978E-5 | 1.1736978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.030038E-5 | 5.030038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.122378E-4 | 6.122378E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0061632637 | 0.006106661 | 0.0061166 | 1.0016276 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.1736978E-5 | 1.1736978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.030038E-5 | 5.030038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.122378E-4 | 6.122378E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0061632637 | 0.006106661 | 0.0061166 | 1.0016276 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.1736978E-5 | 1.1736978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.030038E-5 | 5.030038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.122378E-4 | 6.122378E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0061632637 | 0.006106661 | 0.0061166 | 1.0016276 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1848348E-5 | 1.1736978E-5 | 1.1736978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0777642E-5 | 5.030038E-5 | 5.030038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.180424E-4 | 6.122378E-4 | 6.122378E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0061632637 | 0.006106661 | 0.0061166 | 1.0016276 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.16988695E-5 | 1.15760095E-5 | 1.15760095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.013705E-5 | 4.9610542E-5 | 4.9610542E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.102476E-4 | 6.038436E-4 | 6.038436E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006085745 | 0.0060231755 | 0.006033115 | 1.0016502 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.16988695E-5 | 1.15760095E-5 | 1.15760095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.013705E-5 | 4.9610542E-5 | 4.9610542E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.102476E-4 | 6.038436E-4 | 6.038436E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006085745 | 0.0060231755 | 0.006033115 | 1.0016502 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.1397107E-5 | 1.1114914E-5 | 1.1114914E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.884383E-5 | 4.763449E-5 | 4.763449E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9451134E-4 | 5.7979807E-4 | 5.7979807E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005929234 | 0.0057839802 | 0.005793922 | 1.0017189 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.058387E-5 | 9.784932E-6 | 9.784932E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5358654E-5 | 4.1934756E-5 | 4.1934756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.521017E-4 | 5.104372E-4 | 5.104372E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00550732 | 0.005093632 | 0.0051035807 | 1.0019532 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.690046E-6 | 8.57941E-6 | 8.57941E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1528107E-5 | 3.6768382E-5 | 3.6768382E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.054874E-4 | 4.4756354E-4 | 4.4756354E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005043391 | 0.0044675325 | 0.004477488 | 1.0022284 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 9.381461E-6 | 8.18703E-6 | 8.18703E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.020564E-5 | 3.5086803E-5 | 3.5086803E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.893937E-4 | 4.2709845E-4 | 4.2709845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048831734 | 0.0042636883 | 0.0042736456 | 1.0023354 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.946492E-6 | 7.781815E-6 | 7.781815E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8341543E-5 | 3.335021E-5 | 3.335021E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.667083E-4 | 4.059635E-4 | 4.059635E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046572937 | 0.004053133 | 0.004063092 | 1.0024573 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 8.251016E-6 | 6.9752045E-6 | 6.9752045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5361016E-5 | 2.9893392E-5 | 2.9893392E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3043532E-4 | 3.638915E-4 | 3.638915E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042960253 | 0.0036338675 | 0.0036438312 | 1.0027419 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 7.717881E-6 | 6.486278E-6 | 6.486278E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3076216E-5 | 2.779804E-5 | 2.779804E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.026285E-4 | 3.3838878E-4 | 3.3838878E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004018998 | 0.0033796541 | 0.0033896205 | 1.0029489 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 7.275623E-6 | 6.0319257E-6 | 6.0319257E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.118087E-5 | 2.5850855E-5 | 2.5850855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7956095E-4 | 3.1468892E-4 | 3.1468892E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037891332 | 0.0031433494 | 0.003153318 | 1.0031713 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.5109502E-6 | 5.100523E-6 | 5.100523E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7903774E-5 | 2.1859203E-5 | 2.1859203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3967546E-4 | 2.6610342E-4 | 2.6610342E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033915674 | 0.0026587504 | 0.0026587504 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.4495326E-6 | 3.9084925E-6 | 3.9084925E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.335493E-5 | 1.6750575E-5 | 1.6750575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8430918E-4 | 2.0391923E-4 | 2.0391923E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028394572 | 0.0020382188 | 0.0020382188 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.7997164E-6 | 3.200177E-6 | 3.200177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.057005E-5 | 1.3714973E-5 | 1.3714973E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.504116E-4 | 1.6696703E-4 | 1.6696703E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002501296 | 0.0016693253 | 0.0016693253 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.3941733E-6 | 2.0641405E-6 | 2.0641405E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4546376E-5 | 8.846287E-6 | 8.846287E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7708774E-4 | 1.0769824E-4 | 1.0769824E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017694668 | 0.00107658 | 0.00107658 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 9.750552E-7 | 5.155719E-7 | 5.155719E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.178801E-6 | 2.209592E-6 | 2.209592E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0875715E-5 | 2.6901454E-5 | 2.6901454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.086407E-4 | 2.6898237E-4 | 2.6898237E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.133857E-7 | 6.053303E-8 | 6.053303E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8593864E-7 | 2.5942725E-7 | 2.5942725E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9162867E-6 | 3.1585225E-6 | 3.1585225E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916129E-5 | 3.158479E-5 | 3.158479E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Clemente
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.1637845E-5 | 9.1637026E-5 | 1.1224822 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.4983282E-4 | 3.598293E-4 | 1.0285751 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003480294 | 0.004251385 | 0.0042613423 | 1.0023422 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03426291 | 0.041755788 | 0.04176537 | 1.0002295 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.1637845E-5 | 8.1637845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.4983282E-4 | 3.4983282E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003480294 | 0.004251385 | 0.004251385 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03426291 | 0.041755788 | 0.041755788 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 3.9400576E-5 | 4.6452147E-5 | 4.6452147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6884868E-4 | 1.990658E-4 | 1.990658E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020537945 | 0.0024209868 | 0.0024209868 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020349167 | 0.02395279 | 0.02395279 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 3.2590255E-5 | 3.7928952E-5 | 3.7928952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3966505E-4 | 1.625427E-4 | 1.625427E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016990956 | 0.0019771913 | 0.0019771913 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01686163 | 0.019599797 | 0.019599797 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.9454652E-5 | 3.409762E-5 | 3.409762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2622811E-4 | 1.4612461E-4 | 1.4612461E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015357438 | 0.0017776417 | 0.0017776417 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015251739 | 0.017637396 | 0.017637396 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.790836E-5 | 3.2247328E-5 | 3.2247328E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1960178E-4 | 1.3819565E-4 | 1.3819565E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001455179 | 0.0016812593 | 0.0016812593 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014456868 | 0.016688416 | 0.016688416 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.2492153E-5 | 2.5762602E-5 | 2.5762602E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.639138E-5 | 1.1040656E-4 | 1.1040656E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011729331 | 0.0013433858 | 0.0013433858 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011667615 | 0.013354365 | 0.013354365 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.9862755E-5 | 2.2666338E-5 | 2.2666338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.512331E-5 | 9.713789E-5 | 9.713789E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010358836 | 0.0011820234 | 0.0011820234 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010310682 | 0.011758656 | 0.011758656 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.6697575E-5 | 1.897764E-5 | 1.897764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.155907E-5 | 8.133026E-5 | 8.133026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7088346E-4 | 9.897555E-4 | 9.897555E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008674784 | 0.009854501 | 0.009854501 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.5218415E-5 | 1.7269338E-5 | 1.7269338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.522015E-5 | 7.4009404E-5 | 7.4009404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.93766E-4 | 9.0070075E-4 | 9.0070075E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007909367 | 0.008971448 | 0.008971448 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.2392958E-5 | 1.4032966E-5 | 1.4032966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3111595E-5 | 6.013994E-5 | 6.013994E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4644177E-4 | 7.3196535E-4 | 7.3196535E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064456454 | 0.0072963308 | 0.0072963308 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0934128E-5 | 1.2375094E-5 | 1.2375094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6859706E-5 | 5.303508E-5 | 5.303508E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7036756E-4 | 6.455181E-4 | 6.455181E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056890585 | 0.0064371773 | 0.0064371773 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.5798805E-6 | 1.0844897E-5 | 1.0844897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1055984E-5 | 4.6477344E-5 | 4.6477344E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9974193E-4 | 5.6572194E-4 | 5.6572194E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0049861963 | 0.0056435415 | 0.0056435415 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.0167365E-6 | 9.083885E-6 | 9.083885E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4356988E-5 | 3.8930397E-5 | 3.8930397E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1821605E-4 | 4.7388155E-4 | 4.7388155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0041742986 | 0.004729413 | 0.004729413 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.9581017E-6 | 3.362367E-6 | 3.362367E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2677518E-5 | 1.4410093E-5 | 1.4410093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5433785E-4 | 1.754338E-4 | 1.754338E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001542307 | 0.0017534482 | 0.0017534482 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Juan
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.7490835E-6 | 8.7490835E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.749556E-5 | 3.749556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.5641765E-4 | 4.5641765E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004520337 | 0.004555343 | 0.0045652976 | 1.0021852 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.7490835E-6 | 8.7490835E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.749556E-5 | 3.749556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.5641765E-4 | 4.5641765E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004520337 | 0.004555343 | 0.0045652976 | 1.0021852 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.7490835E-6 | 8.7490835E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.749556E-5 | 3.749556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.5641765E-4 | 4.5641765E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004520337 | 0.004555343 | 0.0045652976 | 1.0021852 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.3054235E-6 | 6.2825075E-6 | 6.2825075E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7022963E-5 | 2.6924763E-5 | 2.6924763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2895492E-4 | 3.2776108E-4 | 3.2776108E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003284684 | 0.0032729763 | 0.0032829435 | 1.0030453 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.1490473E-6 | 6.1143965E-6 | 6.1143965E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6352795E-5 | 2.6204301E-5 | 2.6204301E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2079802E-4 | 3.1899204E-4 | 3.1899204E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032033534 | 0.0031855374 | 0.0031955056 | 1.0031292 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.204848E-6 | 5.1371658E-6 | 5.1371658E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.23063E-5 | 2.2016244E-5 | 2.2016244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7154534E-4 | 2.6801578E-4 | 2.6801578E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027121378 | 0.0026770788 | 0.0026870521 | 1.0037254 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.5179986E-6 | 4.4149815E-6 | 4.4149815E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9362706E-5 | 1.8921217E-5 | 1.8921217E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3571544E-4 | 2.3034225E-4 | 2.3034225E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023546559 | 0.0023011717 | 0.0023111487 | 1.0043356 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.9442616E-6 | 3.8197845E-6 | 3.8197845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6903869E-5 | 1.6370406E-5 | 1.6370406E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0578515E-4 | 1.9929213E-4 | 1.9929213E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002055947 | 0.0019912585 | 0.0019912585 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.4536245E-6 | 3.3162935E-6 | 3.3162935E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4801163E-5 | 1.4212612E-5 | 1.4212612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8018926E-4 | 1.7302543E-4 | 1.7302543E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018004322 | 0.0017290255 | 0.0017290255 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.059865E-6 | 2.911991E-6 | 2.911991E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3113641E-5 | 1.2479905E-5 | 1.2479905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.596469E-4 | 1.5193282E-4 | 1.5193282E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015953224 | 0.0015184036 | 0.0015184036 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.6504351E-6 | 2.4919616E-6 | 2.4919616E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1358958E-5 | 1.0679795E-5 | 1.0679795E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3828653E-4 | 1.300193E-4 | 1.300193E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013820052 | 0.0012995437 | 0.0012995437 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.2039317E-6 | 2.033802E-6 | 2.033802E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.445387E-6 | 8.716269E-6 | 8.716269E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1499152E-4 | 1.06115935E-4 | 1.06115935E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011493203 | 0.0010607622 | 0.0010607622 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0786707E-6 | 8.769938E-7 | 8.769938E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.622866E-6 | 3.7585394E-6 | 3.7585394E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.628194E-5 | 4.575927E-5 | 4.575927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6267687E-4 | 4.5755703E-4 | 4.5755703E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.846433E-7 | 4.8686206E-7 | 4.8686206E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9341822E-6 | 2.0865498E-6 | 2.0865498E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5723086E-5 | 2.540345E-5 | 2.540345E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.571734E-4 | 2.5403936E-4 | 2.5403936E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 5.23043E-7 | 3.2626332E-7 | 3.2626332E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2416111E-6 | 1.3982707E-6 | 1.3982707E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7291273E-5 | 1.7023813E-5 | 1.7023813E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7287923E-4 | 1.7025719E-4 | 1.7025719E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.648444E-7 | 2.7233258E-7 | 2.7233258E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9921886E-6 | 1.1671391E-6 | 1.1671391E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4254627E-5 | 1.4209826E-5 | 1.4209826E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.425198E-4 | 1.4211898E-4 | 1.4211898E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.9906567E-7 | 2.208186E-7 | 2.208186E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7102802E-6 | 9.463651E-7 | 9.463651E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0822463E-5 | 1.1521935E-5 | 1.1521935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0820512E-4 | 1.15237846E-4 | 1.15237846E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.8784601E-7 | 5.3659704E-8 | 5.3659704E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0505407E-7 | 2.2997014E-7 | 2.2997014E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.80149E-6 | 2.7998829E-6 | 2.7998829E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.801057E-5 | 2.8006976E-5 | 2.8006976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.00154914E-7 | 1.2411904E-8 | 1.2411904E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2923529E-7 | 5.3193872E-8 | 5.3193872E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.225927E-6 | 6.4763526E-7 | 6.4763526E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.225804E-5 | 6.482253E-6 | 6.482253E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.171429E-8 | 4.2941664E-9 | 4.2941664E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6448978E-7 | 1.8403565E-8 | 1.8403565E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2201583E-6 | 2.2406341E-7 | 2.2406341E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2201115E-5 | 2.2459535E-6 | 2.2459535E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.3974572E-8 | 3.372923E-10 | 3.372923E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.989102E-8 | 1.4455342E-9 | 1.4455342E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2917294E-7 | 1.7599382E-8 | 1.7599382E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2917055E-6 | 1.8032769E-7 | 1.8032769E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.8403477E-9 | 1.1289958E-10 | 1.1289958E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.887204E-9 | 4.838532E-10 | 4.838532E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602671E-8 | 5.8909144E-9 | 5.8909144E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602667E-7 | 6.019308E-8 | 6.019308E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5950744E-4 | 3.0713103E-4 | 3.0713103E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.834242E-4 | 0.0013153937 | 0.0013153937 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00828899 | 0.015858073 | 0.015867913 | 1.0006206 | 1.0E-5 | 0.079865426 | 0.14439669 | 0.14440526 | 1.0000592 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3584697E-4 | 2.6035146E-4 | 2.6035146E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8207137E-4 | 0.0011151606 | 0.0011151606 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007063716 | 0.013461149 | 0.013471015 | 1.0007329 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06843361 | 0.12402486 | 0.12403362 | 1.0000706 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.14676266E-4 | 2.1714337E-4 | 2.1714337E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9137714E-4 | 9.3020935E-4 | 9.3020935E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059661185 | 0.011244834 | 0.011254722 | 1.0008793 | 1.0E-5 | 0.058084648 | 0.105015434 | 0.10502438 | 1.0000852 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.691518E-5 | 1.5987532E-4 | 1.5987532E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7244044E-4 | 6.8496366E-4 | 6.8496366E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004525038 | 0.008300914 | 0.008310831 | 1.0011947 | 1.0E-5 | 0.044339992 | 0.07933137 | 0.07934058 | 1.0001161 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.50982E-5 | 1.5693929E-4 | 1.5693929E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.646556E-4 | 6.7238725E-4 | 6.7238725E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0044306475 | 0.008148949 | 0.008158866 | 1.0012171 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04343345 | 0.07793759 | 0.07794681 | 1.0001183 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.4062965E-5 | 1.5518344E-4 | 1.5518344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.602201E-4 | 6.648665E-4 | 6.648665E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004376863 | 0.008058159 | 0.008068078 | 1.001231 | 1.0E-5 | 0.042916555 | 0.07710881 | 0.07711804 | 1.0001197 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 8.194716E-5 | 1.5154164E-4 | 1.5154164E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5115483E-4 | 6.4926746E-4 | 6.4926746E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042669317 | 0.0078700045 | 0.007879926 | 1.0012606 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04185927 | 0.07539403 | 0.07540327 | 1.0001227 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.012326E-5 | 1.4822086E-4 | 1.4822086E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.433402E-4 | 6.3504453E-4 | 6.3504453E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004172157 | 0.007698498 | 0.0077084214 | 1.001289 | 1.0E-5 | 0.040946912 | 0.073836125 | 0.07384539 | 1.0001254 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 7.119773E-5 | 1.2881529E-4 | 1.2881529E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0509746E-4 | 5.519339E-4 | 5.519339E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0037082357 | 0.0066958778 | 0.006705811 | 1.0014834 | 1.0E-5 | 0.036469642 | 0.064680636 | 0.06468999 | 1.0001446 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.7343088E-5 | 9.9189514E-5 | 9.9189514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4573295E-4 | 4.2502902E-4 | 4.2502902E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029876942 | 0.005162525 | 0.0051724734 | 1.001927 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02947844 | 0.050507598 | 0.050517093 | 1.000188 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.8746577E-5 | 8.2847495E-5 | 8.2847495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0889717E-4 | 3.5501274E-4 | 3.5501274E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025403565 | 0.0043137805 | 0.004323737 | 1.0023081 | 1.0E-5 | 0.025115121 | 0.042482752 | 0.042492326 | 1.0002254 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.2998014E-5 | 7.264887E-5 | 7.264887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8426418E-4 | 3.113155E-4 | 3.113155E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002241108 | 0.003783739 | 0.003793701 | 1.0026329 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022186412 | 0.037421085 | 0.03743071 | 1.0002573 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.221292E-5 | 5.3904925E-5 | 5.3904925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3804805E-4 | 2.3100081E-4 | 2.3100081E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016794393 | 0.0028088356 | 0.0028088356 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016668037 | 0.028033655 | 0.028033655 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.3756531E-5 | 3.9470644E-5 | 3.9470644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0180973E-4 | 1.6914903E-4 | 1.6914903E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012388286 | 0.0020574613 | 0.0020574613 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012319452 | 0.020641495 | 0.020641495 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.5997684E-5 | 2.7339498E-5 | 2.7339498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8559704E-5 | 1.1716403E-4 | 1.1716403E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.343947E-4 | 0.0014255411 | 0.0014255411 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008312687 | 0.014374586 | 0.014374586 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3814293E-5 | 2.4781242E-5 | 2.4781242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9202768E-5 | 1.0620101E-4 | 1.0620101E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.205553E-4 | 0.0012922328 | 0.0012922328 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007182234 | 0.013053689 | 0.013053689 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.817309E-6 | 1.6428305E-5 | 1.6428305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7787922E-5 | 7.040513E-5 | 7.040513E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5997082E-4 | 8.568467E-4 | 8.568467E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004590199 | 0.008718077 | 0.008718077 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.0352206E-6 | 7.706533E-6 | 7.706533E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7293689E-5 | 3.3027583E-5 | 3.3027583E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1053031E-4 | 4.020367E-4 | 4.020367E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021033096 | 0.0041648396 | 0.0041648396 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.413169E-6 | 6.7865935E-6 | 6.7865935E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4627784E-5 | 2.9085077E-5 | 2.9085077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7807873E-4 | 3.5405334E-4 | 3.5405334E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017793609 | 0.0036662305 | 0.0036662305 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.4740732E-6 | 5.2786727E-6 | 5.2786727E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06031275E-5 | 2.2622688E-5 | 2.2622688E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2908543E-4 | 2.7539645E-4 | 2.7539645E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012901047 | 0.0028345648 | 0.0028345648 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.5231818E-6 | 3.288654E-6 | 3.288654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.527906E-6 | 1.4094155E-5 | 1.4094155E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9474354E-5 | 1.7158285E-4 | 1.7158285E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.944594E-4 | 0.0017563011 | 0.0017563011 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.0104524E-6 | 2.0455911E-6 | 2.0455911E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.330503E-6 | 8.7667895E-6 | 8.7667895E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2722597E-5 | 1.0673047E-4 | 1.0673047E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.271009E-4 | 0.0010928642 | 0.0010928642 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Superstition Mtn)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.4193904E-5 | 9.5994255E-5 | 1.059933E-4 | 1.1041629 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7508775E-4 | 4.1134856E-4 | 4.2134445E-4 | 1.0243003 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033440501 | 0.0049981014 | 0.005008051 | 1.0019908 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03294174 | 0.048819054 | 0.04882857 | 1.0001948 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.4193904E-5 | 9.5994255E-5 | 1.059933E-4 | 1.1041629 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7508775E-4 | 4.1134856E-4 | 4.2134445E-4 | 1.0243003 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033440501 | 0.0049981014 | 0.005008051 | 1.0019908 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03294174 | 0.048819054 | 0.04882857 | 1.0001948 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.7023593E-5 | 8.314343E-5 | 9.31426E-5 | 1.120264 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4436394E-4 | 3.5628938E-4 | 3.6628582E-4 | 1.0280571 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002971072 | 0.0043308414 | 0.004340798 | 1.0022991 | 1.0E-5 | 0.029316625 | 0.042501494 | 0.04251107 | 1.0002253 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.6940098E-5 | 8.298879E-5 | 9.298795E-5 | 1.1204882 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4400617E-4 | 3.5562683E-4 | 3.6562327E-4 | 1.0281093 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002966728 | 0.0043228064 | 0.004332763 | 1.0023034 | 1.0E-5 | 0.029274331 | 0.042424865 | 0.04243444 | 1.0002257 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.4171585E-5 | 7.74827E-5 | 8.748192E-5 | 1.1290511 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3214328E-4 | 3.3203574E-4 | 3.4203244E-4 | 1.0301073 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028226813 | 0.00403669 | 0.0040466497 | 1.0024673 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02787096 | 0.039714325 | 0.03972393 | 1.0002418 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.375144E-5 | 5.642031E-5 | 6.641975E-5 | 1.1772311 | 1.0E-5 | 1.874927E-4 | 2.4178556E-4 | 2.5178315E-4 | 1.0413489 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022803338 | 0.0029409411 | 0.0029509116 | 1.0033903 | 1.0E-5 | 0.022570757 | 0.029233973 | 0.029243682 | 1.0003321 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.772192E-5 | 2.5486897E-5 | 3.5486642E-5 | 1.3923484 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1880282E-4 | 1.092251E-4 | 1.1922401E-4 | 1.091544 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014454646 | 0.0013290237 | 0.0013390104 | 1.0075144 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014360986 | 0.0135393385 | 0.013549203 | 1.0007286 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.7124124E-5 | 2.4697933E-5 | 3.4697685E-5 | 1.4048822 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1624106E-4 | 1.058441E-4 | 1.1584304E-4 | 1.0944686 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014143161 | 0.0012879093 | 0.0012978964 | 1.0077546 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014053487 | 0.01313264 | 0.013142508 | 1.0007515 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.5475807E-5 | 2.216295E-5 | 3.216273E-5 | 1.4511935 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0917746E-4 | 9.4980685E-5 | 1.04979736E-4 | 1.1052746 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001328425 | 0.0011557884 | 0.0011657769 | 1.0086421 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0132051185 | 0.011820861 | 0.0118307425 | 1.000836 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.1162023E-5 | 1.7624629E-5 | 2.7624452E-5 | 1.5673778 | 1.0E-5 | 9.069123E-5 | 7.5531956E-5 | 8.55312E-5 | 1.1323843 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011036064 | 9.192174E-4 | 9.2920824E-4 | 1.0108688 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010981417 | 0.009445965 | 0.009455871 | 1.0010487 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.8754288E-5 | 1.6159998E-5 | 2.6159836E-5 | 1.618802 | 1.0E-5 | 8.037304E-5 | 6.925531E-5 | 7.925462E-5 | 1.1443833 | 1.0E-5 | 9.781026E-4 | 8.428597E-4 | 8.5285126E-4 | 1.0118544 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009738087 | 0.0086692935 | 0.0086792065 | 1.0011435 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.8678527E-5 | 1.6085145E-5 | 2.6084983E-5 | 1.6216817 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0048376E-5 | 6.8934525E-5 | 7.893384E-5 | 1.1450552 | 1.0E-5 | 9.7415317E-4 | 8.3895714E-4 | 8.489488E-4 | 1.0119096 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009698939 | 0.008630307 | 0.008640221 | 1.0011487 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.7804578E-5 | 1.537975E-5 | 2.5379595E-5 | 1.6501957 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6303106E-5 | 6.591156E-5 | 7.59109E-5 | 1.1517085 | 1.0E-5 | 9.285943E-4 | 8.0218003E-4 | 8.12172E-4 | 1.012456 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009247236 | 0.008261584 | 0.0082715005 | 1.0012004 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.6583685E-5 | 1.4528889E-5 | 2.4528743E-5 | 1.6882739 | 1.0E-5 | 7.1070994E-5 | 6.2265186E-5 | 7.2264564E-5 | 1.1605934 | 1.0E-5 | 8.649459E-4 | 7.57817E-4 | 7.6780946E-4 | 1.0131857 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00861587 | 0.007816916 | 0.007826838 | 1.0012692 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 1.6387552E-5 | 1.4393779E-5 | 2.4393634E-5 | 1.6947346 | 1.0E-5 | 7.023047E-5 | 6.168617E-5 | 7.168556E-5 | 1.1621009 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5472054E-4 | 7.507724E-4 | 7.607649E-4 | 1.0133096 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008514405 | 0.0077462983 | 0.0077562206 | 1.0012809 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.5790754E-5 | 1.4034489E-5 | 2.4034349E-5 | 1.7125204 | 1.0E-5 | 6.767291E-5 | 6.0146438E-5 | 7.0145834E-5 | 1.166251 | 1.0E-5 | 8.236062E-4 | 7.320388E-4 | 7.420315E-4 | 1.0136505 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008205604 | 0.0075569027 | 0.0075668273 | 1.0013133 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.4248672E-5 | 1.3053527E-5 | 2.3053397E-5 | 1.7660664 | 1.0E-5 | 6.106431E-5 | 5.59425E-5 | 6.594194E-5 | 1.178745 | 1.0E-5 | 7.432043E-4 | 6.808888E-4 | 6.90882E-4 | 1.0146767 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007407237 | 0.0070394916 | 0.0070494213 | 1.0014106 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.15449975E-5 | 1.0902346E-5 | 2.0902236E-5 | 1.9172238 | 1.0E-5 | 4.947762E-5 | 4.6723508E-5 | 5.6723038E-5 | 1.214015 | 1.0E-5 | 6.022235E-4 | 5.6871097E-4 | 5.787053E-4 | 1.0175736 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006005941 | 0.0059095933 | 0.0059195342 | 1.0016822 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 9.1391985E-6 | 9.513086E-6 | 1.951299E-5 | 2.0511737 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9167408E-5 | 4.0769737E-5 | 5.076933E-5 | 1.24527 | 1.0E-5 | 4.767588E-4 | 4.962591E-4 | 5.062541E-4 | 1.0201408 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0047573727 | 0.005176109 | 0.0051860567 | 1.001922 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 6.973017E-6 | 7.3810584E-6 | 1.7380984E-5 | 2.3548093 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9884017E-5 | 3.1632728E-5 | 4.163241E-5 | 1.3161182 | 1.0E-5 | 3.6377716E-4 | 3.8506094E-4 | 3.9505708E-4 | 1.02596 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036318225 | 0.0040514143 | 0.0040613734 | 1.0024582 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 5.7638235E-6 | 6.258963E-6 | 1.62589E-5 | 2.5976987 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4701867E-5 | 2.6823855E-5 | 3.6823585E-5 | 1.3727925 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0070372E-4 | 3.26532E-4 | 3.3652873E-4 | 1.0306149 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030029714 | 0.003453075 | 0.0034630403 | 1.0028859 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 5.1124434E-6 | 5.494747E-6 | 5.494747E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1910288E-5 | 2.3548704E-5 | 2.3548704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6672508E-4 | 2.8666825E-4 | 2.8666825E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026640517 | 0.0030399594 | 0.0030399594 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.1075938E-6 | 5.333862E-7 | 5.333862E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7468216E-6 | 2.2859388E-6 | 2.2859388E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.779102E-5 | 2.783097E-5 | 2.783097E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.777599E-4 | 3.1333236E-4 | 3.1333236E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.3584393E-8 | 4.470754E-9 | 4.470754E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8218827E-8 | 1.9160375E-8 | 1.9160375E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0881396E-7 | 2.3327756E-7 | 2.3327756E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0881174E-6 | 2.6155124E-6 | 2.6155124E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ortigalita (North)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.711876E-5 | 1.0505203E-4 | 1.0505203E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3046713E-4 | 4.501557E-4 | 4.501557E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004016016 | 0.0054680067 | 0.005477952 | 1.0018188 | 1.0E-5 | 0.039442103 | 0.05345516 | 0.053464625 | 1.000177 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.607858E-5 | 6.023939E-5 | 6.023939E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.5814556E-4 | 2.5814556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024014818 | 0.0031387117 | 0.0031387117 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023756953 | 0.03097507 | 0.03097507 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 4.607858E-5 | 6.023939E-5 | 6.023939E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.5814556E-4 | 2.5814556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024014818 | 0.0031387117 | 0.0031387117 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023756953 | 0.03097507 | 0.03097507 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 3.327423E-5 | 4.247581E-5 | 4.247581E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4259605E-4 | 1.8202818E-4 | 1.8202818E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017347244 | 0.0022141896 | 0.0022141896 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017212452 | 0.021945579 | 0.021945579 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.7732503E-5 | 3.499876E-5 | 3.499876E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1884817E-4 | 1.4998752E-4 | 1.4998752E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001446016 | 0.0018248028 | 0.0018248028 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014366428 | 0.01812117 | 0.01812117 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.7689714E-5 | 3.4948574E-5 | 3.4948574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.186648E-4 | 1.4977247E-4 | 1.4977247E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014437864 | 0.001822189 | 0.001822189 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014344421 | 0.018095456 | 0.018095456 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.2976905E-5 | 2.8718101E-5 | 2.8718101E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.846873E-5 | 1.2307316E-4 | 1.2307316E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011981975 | 0.0014976246 | 0.0014976246 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011917574 | 0.014898633 | 0.014898633 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.9871539E-5 | 2.4904462E-5 | 2.4904462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.516096E-5 | 1.0673045E-4 | 1.0673045E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010363415 | 0.0012989109 | 0.0012989109 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010315218 | 0.012936848 | 0.012936848 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 6.5640475E-6 | 7.6054603E-6 | 7.6054603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.813133E-5 | 3.259444E-5 | 3.259444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.424451E-4 | 3.967679E-4 | 3.967679E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034191788 | 0.0039608823 | 0.0039608823 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.6219683E-6 | 6.5018107E-6 | 6.5018107E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4093928E-5 | 2.7864618E-5 | 2.7864618E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.933041E-4 | 3.392015E-4 | 3.392015E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029291727 | 0.0033870947 | 0.0033870947 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.875591E-6 | 4.484736E-6 | 4.484736E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6609569E-5 | 1.9220168E-5 | 1.9220168E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0220275E-4 | 2.3398253E-4 | 2.3398253E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020201886 | 0.00233757 | 0.00233757 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.6017933E-6 | 1.8570338E-6 | 1.8570338E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8648105E-6 | 7.958698E-6 | 7.958698E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.357586E-5 | 9.6893906E-5 | 9.6893906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3544437E-4 | 9.6862135E-4 | 9.6862135E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Oak Ridge (Onshore)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9525989E-5 | 3.9525694E-5 | 1.3386747 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2653404E-4 | 1.3653276E-4 | 1.0790201 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395012 | 0.0015494858 | 1.0064856 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015292844 | 0.015302691 | 1.0006438 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9525989E-5 | 3.9525694E-5 | 1.3386747 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2653404E-4 | 1.3653276E-4 | 1.0790201 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395012 | 0.0015494858 | 1.0064856 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015292844 | 0.015302691 | 1.0006438 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9525989E-5 | 3.9525694E-5 | 1.3386747 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2653404E-4 | 1.3653276E-4 | 1.0790201 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395012 | 0.0015494858 | 1.0064856 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015292844 | 0.015302691 | 1.0006438 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9525989E-5 | 3.9525694E-5 | 1.3386747 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2653404E-4 | 1.3653276E-4 | 1.0790201 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395012 | 0.0015494858 | 1.0064856 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015292844 | 0.015302691 | 1.0006438 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9525989E-5 | 3.9525694E-5 | 1.3386747 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2653404E-4 | 1.3653276E-4 | 1.0790201 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395012 | 0.0015494858 | 1.0064856 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015292844 | 0.015302691 | 1.0006438 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9525989E-5 | 3.9525694E-5 | 1.3386747 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2653404E-4 | 1.3653276E-4 | 1.0790201 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395012 | 0.0015494858 | 1.0064856 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015292844 | 0.015302691 | 1.0006438 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9525989E-5 | 3.9525694E-5 | 1.3386747 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2653404E-4 | 1.3653276E-4 | 1.0790201 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015395012 | 0.0015494858 | 1.0064856 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01632816 | 0.015292844 | 0.015302691 | 1.0006438 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.098897E-5 | 2.8864195E-5 | 3.8863906E-5 | 1.34644 | 1.0E-5 | 1.328031E-4 | 1.2369803E-4 | 1.336968E-4 | 1.080832 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016156785 | 0.0015050209 | 0.0015150058 | 1.0066345 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016039822 | 0.014952701 | 0.014962551 | 1.0006588 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.0449872E-5 | 2.8239394E-5 | 3.823911E-5 | 1.3541052 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3049292E-4 | 1.21020574E-4 | 1.3101936E-4 | 1.0826206 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015875935 | 0.0014724669 | 0.001482452 | 1.0067813 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015762992 | 0.01463145 | 0.014641304 | 1.0006734 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.697928E-5 | 2.4219813E-5 | 3.421957E-5 | 1.412875 | 1.0E-5 | 1.15620365E-4 | 1.0379519E-4 | 1.1379415E-4 | 1.0963336 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014067689 | 0.0012629954 | 0.0012729828 | 1.0079076 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0139789665 | 0.012560867 | 0.012570741 | 1.0007861 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.4893961E-5 | 2.1862092E-5 | 2.1862092E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0668404E-4 | 9.3691415E-5 | 9.3691415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012981043 | 0.0011401138 | 0.0011401138 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012905477 | 0.011344908 | 0.011344908 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.0945363E-5 | 1.7354554E-5 | 1.7354554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.976275E-5 | 7.437457E-5 | 7.437457E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010923136 | 9.0513896E-4 | 9.0513896E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0108696 | 0.009015434 | 0.009015434 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.0439404E-5 | 1.6809494E-5 | 1.6809494E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7594504E-5 | 7.2038725E-5 | 7.2038725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010659413 | 8.767232E-4 | 8.767232E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010608427 | 0.008733539 | 0.008733539 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.8463334E-5 | 1.5381915E-5 | 1.5381915E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.912617E-5 | 6.5920845E-5 | 6.5920845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6293533E-4 | 8.0229517E-4 | 8.0229517E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009587734 | 0.007994827 | 0.007994827 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.763139E-5 | 1.4516949E-5 | 1.4516949E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.556091E-5 | 6.2214036E-5 | 6.2214036E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1956573E-4 | 7.5719657E-4 | 7.5719657E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009157699 | 0.0075469445 | 0.0075469445 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3594944E-5 | 1.1163342E-5 | 1.1163342E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8262744E-5 | 4.784203E-5 | 4.784203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0911803E-4 | 5.823236E-4 | 5.823236E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007068595 | 0.0058081965 | 0.0058081965 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.9889534E-6 | 5.636704E-6 | 5.636704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9952313E-5 | 2.4157081E-5 | 2.4157081E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.646084E-4 | 2.940732E-4 | 2.940732E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036401073 | 0.0029368845 | 0.0029368845 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.0824193E-6 | 3.2832643E-6 | 3.2832643E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7495966E-5 | 1.4071058E-5 | 1.4071058E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1299256E-4 | 1.7130178E-4 | 1.7130178E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021278851 | 0.0017117109 | 0.0017117109 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.7023609E-6 | 1.4370586E-6 | 1.4370586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.295812E-6 | 6.158808E-6 | 6.158808E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.882289E-5 | 7.498093E-5 | 7.498093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8787393E-4 | 7.4955914E-4 | 7.4955914E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.721225E-7 | 2.2616888E-7 | 2.2616888E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1662388E-6 | 9.692949E-7 | 9.692949E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4198865E-5 | 1.1801104E-5 | 1.1801104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4197957E-4 | 1.1800505E-4 | 1.1800505E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 9.364255E-9 | 5.12048E-9 | 5.12048E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0132523E-8 | 2.1944917E-8 | 2.1944917E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8861335E-7 | 2.6717933E-7 | 2.6717933E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8861225E-6 | 2.6717903E-6 | 2.6717903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Likely 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.5315949E-5 | 2.7104697E-5 | 3.7104426E-5 | 1.3689297 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0849241E-4 | 1.16158066E-4 | 1.261569E-4 | 1.0860796 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013200947 | 0.0014133515 | 0.0014233374 | 1.0070654 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013122803 | 0.014048284 | 0.014058144 | 1.0007018 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.5315949E-5 | 2.7104697E-5 | 3.7104426E-5 | 1.3689297 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0849241E-4 | 1.16158066E-4 | 1.261569E-4 | 1.0860796 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013200947 | 0.0014133515 | 0.0014233374 | 1.0070654 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013122803 | 0.014048284 | 0.014058144 | 1.0007018 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.6375941E-5 | 1.746581E-5 | 2.7465636E-5 | 1.5725372 | 1.0E-5 | 7.0180715E-5 | 7.48514E-5 | 8.4850646E-5 | 1.1335881 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5411523E-4 | 9.1094704E-4 | 9.209379E-4 | 1.0109676 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008508399 | 0.009073417 | 0.009083326 | 1.0010921 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1945543E-5 | 1.2712565E-5 | 1.2712565E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.119418E-5 | 5.4481312E-5 | 5.4481312E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2311086E-4 | 6.6311343E-4 | 6.6311343E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0062136655 | 0.006611903 | 0.006611903 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 9.192729E-6 | 9.7684715E-6 | 9.7684715E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.939681E-5 | 4.1864223E-5 | 4.1864223E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7955062E-4 | 5.095804E-4 | 5.095804E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004785171 | 0.0050844005 | 0.0050844005 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 7.67906E-6 | 8.152609E-6 | 8.152609E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2909844E-5 | 3.4939294E-5 | 3.4939294E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.006037E-4 | 4.2530475E-4 | 4.2530475E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039988225 | 0.004245101 | 0.004245101 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 6.4884057E-6 | 6.8847394E-6 | 6.8847394E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7807157E-5 | 2.95057E-5 | 2.95057E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3849955E-4 | 3.591741E-4 | 3.591741E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003379844 | 0.0035860809 | 0.0035860809 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 4.6060636E-6 | 4.8840334E-6 | 4.8840334E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9740122E-5 | 2.093141E-5 | 2.093141E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.403095E-4 | 2.5481093E-4 | 2.5481093E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002400498 | 0.0025452706 | 0.0025452706 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.2795615E-6 | 3.4773675E-6 | 3.4773675E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4055187E-5 | 1.4902922E-5 | 1.4902922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7110848E-4 | 1.8142852E-4 | 1.8142852E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017097679 | 0.0018128593 | 0.0018128593 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.3289967E-6 | 2.4705528E-6 | 2.4705528E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.981376E-6 | 1.0588044E-5 | 1.0588044E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2151648E-4 | 1.2890223E-4 | 1.2890223E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012145005 | 0.0012883176 | 0.0012883176 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.211292E-6 | 1.2863936E-6 | 1.2863936E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1912407E-6 | 5.5131054E-6 | 5.5131054E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.320152E-5 | 6.7120294E-5 | 6.7120294E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3183554E-4 | 6.710301E-4 | 6.710301E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (Central)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2706755E-5 | 1.4250498E-5 | 1.4250498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4456385E-5 | 6.107234E-5 | 6.107234E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.628048E-4 | 7.4333866E-4 | 7.4333866E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006608314 | 0.0074135745 | 0.0074235 | 1.0013388 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.342579E-6 | 9.5107425E-6 | 9.5107425E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5753423E-5 | 4.075981E-5 | 4.075981E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3521097E-4 | 4.961594E-4 | 4.961594E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0043435963 | 0.0049540955 | 0.004964046 | 1.0020086 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.923899E-6 | 7.967132E-6 | 7.967132E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9673516E-5 | 3.4144512E-5 | 3.4144512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6121515E-4 | 4.1564938E-4 | 4.1564938E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003606286 | 0.0041520516 | 0.0041620103 | 1.0023985 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.728396E-6 | 3.424285E-6 | 3.424285E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1693074E-5 | 1.467543E-5 | 1.467543E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4235388E-4 | 1.7865958E-4 | 1.7865958E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014226272 | 0.0017866908 | 0.0017866908 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.7136944E-6 | 3.4085786E-6 | 3.4085786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1630066E-5 | 1.46081165E-5 | 1.46081165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4158686E-4 | 1.7784018E-4 | 1.7784018E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014149669 | 0.0017785098 | 0.0017785098 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.6971882E-6 | 3.3909237E-6 | 3.3909237E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1559327E-5 | 1.4532454E-5 | 1.4532454E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4072572E-4 | 1.7691913E-4 | 1.7691913E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014063664 | 0.001769314 | 0.001769314 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.669092E-6 | 3.3609442E-6 | 3.3609442E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1438916E-5 | 1.4403972E-5 | 1.4403972E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3925991E-4 | 1.7535512E-4 | 1.7535512E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013917267 | 0.0017536987 | 0.0017536987 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.6408059E-6 | 3.3309698E-6 | 3.3309698E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1317691E-5 | 1.4275512E-5 | 1.4275512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3778417E-4 | 1.7379137E-4 | 1.7379137E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013769877 | 0.0017380856 | 0.0017380856 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.1786943E-6 | 2.8544275E-6 | 2.8544275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.337228E-6 | 1.2233208E-5 | 1.2233208E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1367482E-4 | 1.4892986E-4 | 1.4892986E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011361669 | 0.0014898182 | 0.0014898182 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.4411696E-6 | 2.0684924E-6 | 2.0684924E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1764263E-6 | 8.864939E-6 | 8.864939E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.51954E-5 | 1.0792556E-4 | 1.0792556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5169955E-4 | 0.0010802045 | 0.0010802045 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0073411E-6 | 1.554256E-6 | 1.554256E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.317169E-6 | 6.661081E-6 | 6.661081E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2560266E-5 | 8.109579E-5 | 8.109579E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2547833E-4 | 8.121238E-4 | 8.121238E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.947104E-7 | 1.4302454E-6 | 1.4302454E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.834468E-6 | 6.1296096E-6 | 6.1296096E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6683643E-5 | 7.462559E-5 | 7.462559E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6673836E-4 | 7.474669E-4 | 7.474669E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.215166E-7 | 1.0111658E-6 | 1.0111658E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2350691E-6 | 4.333561E-6 | 4.333561E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7211627E-5 | 5.2759868E-5 | 5.2759868E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7208295E-4 | 5.2892487E-4 | 5.2892487E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.4024807E-7 | 9.219577E-7 | 9.219577E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8867761E-6 | 3.9512415E-6 | 3.9512415E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2971257E-5 | 4.8105347E-5 | 4.8105347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2968883E-4 | 4.824004E-4 | 4.824004E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.6130905E-7 | 8.3585223E-7 | 8.3585223E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5484665E-6 | 3.5822193E-6 | 3.5822193E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8852415E-5 | 4.3612687E-5 | 4.3612687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8850817E-4 | 4.3748372E-4 | 4.3748372E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.408184E-7 | 8.1081475E-7 | 8.1081475E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4606494E-6 | 3.474916E-6 | 3.474916E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7783263E-5 | 4.2306317E-5 | 4.2306317E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.778184E-4 | 4.2440768E-4 | 4.2440768E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.1428627E-7 | 7.731605E-7 | 7.731605E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3469405E-6 | 3.313541E-6 | 3.313541E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6398877E-5 | 4.0341652E-5 | 4.0341652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6397667E-4 | 4.0474106E-4 | 4.0474106E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7972785E-7 | 5.077867E-7 | 5.077867E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70262E-7 | 2.176227E-6 | 2.176227E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377899E-6 | 2.6495252E-5 | 2.6495252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377503E-5 | 2.6631152E-4 | 2.6631152E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.9230927E-8 | 1.1980723E-7 | 1.1980723E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1098968E-7 | 5.1345944E-7 | 5.1345944E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687964E-6 | 6.2513527E-6 | 6.2513527E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687666E-5 | 6.296943E-5 | 6.296943E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 3.6805972E-9 | 4.104788E-9 | 4.104788E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5773987E-8 | 1.759195E-8 | 1.759195E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9204828E-7 | 2.1418197E-7 | 2.1418197E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.920481E-6 | 2.1900398E-6 | 2.1900398E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Channel Islands Thrust
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4091965E-5 | 3.4091725E-5 | 1.4150661 | 1.0E-5 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03247796E-4 | 1.13246766E-4 | 1.0968443 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564235 | 0.001266411 | 1.0079491 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012503792 | 0.012513666 | 1.0007898 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4091965E-5 | 3.4091725E-5 | 1.4150661 | 1.0E-5 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03247796E-4 | 1.13246766E-4 | 1.0968443 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564235 | 0.001266411 | 1.0079491 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012503792 | 0.012513666 | 1.0007898 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4091965E-5 | 3.4091725E-5 | 1.4150661 | 1.0E-5 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03247796E-4 | 1.13246766E-4 | 1.0968443 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564235 | 0.001266411 | 1.0079491 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012503792 | 0.012513666 | 1.0007898 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4091965E-5 | 3.4091725E-5 | 1.4150661 | 1.0E-5 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03247796E-4 | 1.13246766E-4 | 1.0968443 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564235 | 0.001266411 | 1.0079491 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012503792 | 0.012513666 | 1.0007898 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4091965E-5 | 3.4091725E-5 | 1.4150661 | 1.0E-5 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03247796E-4 | 1.13246766E-4 | 1.0968443 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564235 | 0.001266411 | 1.0079491 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012503792 | 0.012513666 | 1.0007898 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4091965E-5 | 3.4091725E-5 | 1.4150661 | 1.0E-5 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03247796E-4 | 1.13246766E-4 | 1.0968443 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564235 | 0.001266411 | 1.0079491 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012503792 | 0.012513666 | 1.0007898 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4091965E-5 | 3.4091725E-5 | 1.4150661 | 1.0E-5 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.03247796E-4 | 1.13246766E-4 | 1.0968443 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012564235 | 0.001266411 | 1.0079491 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011494373 | 0.012503792 | 0.012513666 | 1.0007898 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.0601296E-5 | 1.1379521E-5 | 1.1379521E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5433335E-5 | 4.8768492E-5 | 4.8768492E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5301044E-4 | 5.935995E-4 | 5.935995E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005516363 | 0.0059206416 | 0.0059206416 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.0246747E-5 | 1.0996648E-5 | 1.0996648E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.391389E-5 | 4.7127665E-5 | 4.7127665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.345204E-4 | 5.7363306E-4 | 5.7363306E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053323656 | 0.005722014 | 0.005722014 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 9.049551E-6 | 9.6996255E-6 | 9.6996255E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.878322E-5 | 4.1569187E-5 | 4.1569187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7208337E-4 | 5.059914E-4 | 5.059914E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047108172 | 0.0050488105 | 0.0050488105 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 8.6542195E-6 | 9.274585E-6 | 9.274585E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7088983E-5 | 3.974764E-5 | 3.974764E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5146482E-4 | 4.8382414E-4 | 4.8382414E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004505487 | 0.00482812 | 0.00482812 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.391028E-6 | 8.992907E-6 | 8.992907E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5961057E-5 | 3.8540486E-5 | 3.8540486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3773788E-4 | 4.6913346E-4 | 4.6913346E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004368766 | 0.0046818415 | 0.0046818415 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.965188E-6 | 6.371684E-6 | 6.371684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556484E-5 | 2.7306933E-5 | 2.7306933E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1120746E-4 | 3.3241173E-4 | 3.3241173E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00310772 | 0.0033192032 | 0.0033192032 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.877518E-6 | 5.2059972E-6 | 5.2059972E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0903482E-5 | 2.2311227E-5 | 2.2311227E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5447016E-4 | 2.716058E-4 | 2.716058E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025417898 | 0.0027127846 | 0.0027127846 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.8829853E-6 | 4.1418552E-6 | 4.1418552E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.664126E-5 | 1.775069E-5 | 1.775069E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0258849E-4 | 2.1609364E-4 | 2.1609364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002024039 | 0.002158877 | 0.002158877 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3489616E-6 | 1.4277881E-6 | 1.4277881E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7812517E-6 | 6.1190776E-6 | 6.1190776E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.038446E-5 | 7.4497264E-5 | 7.4497264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.036218E-4 | 7.4472686E-4 | 7.4472686E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.058192E-7 | 6.35377E-7 | 6.35377E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5963652E-6 | 2.7230412E-6 | 2.7230412E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.161029E-5 | 3.315254E-5 | 3.315254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1605794E-4 | 3.3147755E-4 | 3.3147755E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.2170494E-7 | 2.2607891E-7 | 2.2607891E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5016367E-7 | 9.689093E-7 | 9.689093E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1568181E-5 | 1.1796418E-5 | 1.1796418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1567579E-4 | 1.1795903E-4 | 1.1795903E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.1613102E-8 | 1.5466837E-8 | 1.5466837E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.262757E-8 | 6.628645E-8 | 6.628645E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277401E-6 | 8.070372E-7 | 8.070372E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277344E-5 | 8.07035E-6 | 8.07035E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Chino alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.939946E-5 | 4.8947586E-5 | 4.8947586E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6884391E-4 | 2.0976145E-4 | 2.0976145E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020537362 | 0.0025513647 | 0.0025613392 | 1.0039095 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020348595 | 0.025280679 | 0.025290426 | 1.0003855 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.6878566E-5 | 2.6878566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.15189396E-4 | 1.15189396E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0014016383 | 0.0014116243 | 1.0071245 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011158722 | 0.013948013 | 0.013957873 | 1.0007069 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.6878566E-5 | 2.6878566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.15189396E-4 | 1.15189396E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0014016383 | 0.0014116243 | 1.0071245 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011158722 | 0.013948013 | 0.013957873 | 1.0007069 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.8164625E-5 | 1.8164625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.784632E-5 | 7.784632E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.474121E-4 | 9.5740263E-4 | 1.010545 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007429048 | 0.009447355 | 0.00945726 | 1.0010484 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.8164625E-5 | 1.8164625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.784632E-5 | 7.784632E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.474121E-4 | 9.5740263E-4 | 1.010545 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007429048 | 0.009447355 | 0.00945726 | 1.0010484 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.3017944E-5 | 1.6651593E-5 | 1.6651593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5789995E-5 | 7.136226E-5 | 7.136226E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.790315E-4 | 8.685329E-4 | 8.785242E-4 | 1.0115037 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0067696036 | 0.008664853 | 0.008674766 | 1.001144 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.470016E-6 | 1.2039054E-5 | 1.2039054E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.058515E-5 | 5.1595114E-5 | 5.1595114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.940122E-4 | 6.280234E-4 | 6.3801714E-4 | 1.015913 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004929154 | 0.0062738704 | 0.0062838076 | 1.0015839 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 8.314155E-6 | 1.0407336E-5 | 1.0407336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5631605E-5 | 4.460229E-5 | 4.460229E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3372845E-4 | 5.429298E-4 | 5.5292435E-4 | 1.0184085 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004328829 | 0.0054278206 | 0.005437766 | 1.0018324 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.4856364E-6 | 3.8133721E-6 | 3.8133721E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4938357E-5 | 1.6342932E-5 | 1.6342932E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8185932E-4 | 1.9895911E-4 | 1.9895911E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018171056 | 0.0019895528 | 0.0019895528 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.2645952E-6 | 2.1528992E-6 | 2.1528992E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.705372E-6 | 9.22668E-6 | 9.22668E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.18156495E-4 | 1.1232925E-4 | 1.1232925E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011809369 | 0.0011233125 | 0.0011233125 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.7864003E-6 | 1.5430651E-6 | 1.5430651E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.655979E-6 | 6.6131197E-6 | 6.6131197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3207556E-5 | 8.051182E-5 | 8.051182E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.316847E-4 | 8.052882E-4 | 8.052882E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.7315456E-6 | 1.473338E-6 | 1.473338E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.420889E-6 | 6.3142907E-6 | 6.3142907E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.034557E-5 | 7.687383E-5 | 7.687383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0308854E-4 | 7.6892006E-4 | 7.6892006E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.6008337E-6 | 1.3574096E-6 | 1.3574096E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.860698E-6 | 5.817457E-6 | 5.817457E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.352579E-5 | 7.082529E-5 | 7.082529E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.34944E-4 | 7.084585E-4 | 7.084585E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3320939E-6 | 1.1217734E-6 | 1.1217734E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7089615E-6 | 4.8075917E-6 | 4.8075917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9504385E-5 | 5.8530903E-5 | 5.8530903E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9482654E-4 | 5.853048E-4 | 5.853048E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.114294E-6 | 9.237037E-7 | 9.237037E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.775537E-6 | 3.9587244E-6 | 3.9587244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8140613E-5 | 4.8196438E-5 | 4.8196438E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.81254E-4 | 4.818773E-4 | 4.818773E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.354081E-7 | 7.623351E-7 | 7.623351E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0088858E-6 | 3.2671464E-6 | 3.2671464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8807087E-5 | 3.9776816E-5 | 3.9776816E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.879637E-4 | 3.9770038E-4 | 3.9770038E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.521771E-7 | 6.8806514E-7 | 6.8806514E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6521824E-6 | 2.9488474E-6 | 2.9488474E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4464414E-5 | 3.590166E-5 | 3.590166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4455516E-4 | 3.5896176E-4 | 3.5896176E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.1803626E-7 | 1.4186267E-7 | 1.4186267E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.344408E-7 | 6.079828E-7 | 6.079828E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1376757E-5 | 7.4021755E-6 | 7.4021755E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13761744E-4 | 7.4020245E-5 | 7.4020245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Anza) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3291904E-5 | 5.329147E-5 | 1.23098 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8552359E-4 | 1.9552174E-4 | 1.0538915 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022564218 | 0.0022663993 | 1.0044218 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.02328549 | 0.023295255 | 1.0004195 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3291904E-5 | 5.329147E-5 | 1.23098 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8552359E-4 | 1.9552174E-4 | 1.0538915 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022564218 | 0.0022663993 | 1.0044218 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.02328549 | 0.023295255 | 1.0004195 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3291904E-5 | 5.329147E-5 | 1.23098 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8552359E-4 | 1.9552174E-4 | 1.0538915 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022564218 | 0.0022663993 | 1.0044218 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.02328549 | 0.023295255 | 1.0004195 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3291904E-5 | 5.329147E-5 | 1.23098 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8552359E-4 | 1.9552174E-4 | 1.0538915 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022564218 | 0.0022663993 | 1.0044218 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.02328549 | 0.023295255 | 1.0004195 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.3015636E-5 | 4.3291904E-5 | 5.329147E-5 | 1.23098 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7003905E-4 | 1.8552359E-4 | 1.9552174E-4 | 1.0538915 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032827691 | 0.0022564218 | 0.0022663993 | 1.0044218 | 1.0E-5 | 0.032346968 | 0.02328549 | 0.023295255 | 1.0004195 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.007384E-5 | 5.007344E-5 | 1.2495294 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.7173376E-4 | 1.8173203E-4 | 1.0582197 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030276014 | 0.002088859 | 0.002098838 | 1.0047773 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02986684 | 0.021582697 | 0.021592481 | 1.0004534 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.811017E-5 | 4.007384E-5 | 5.007344E-5 | 1.2495294 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4901982E-4 | 1.7173376E-4 | 1.8173203E-4 | 1.0582197 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030276014 | 0.002088859 | 0.002098838 | 1.0047773 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02986684 | 0.021582697 | 0.021592481 | 1.0004534 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 5.712442E-5 | 3.949657E-5 | 4.949617E-5 | 1.2531766 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4479596E-4 | 1.6926005E-4 | 1.7925835E-4 | 1.0590707 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029763177 | 0.002058799 | 0.0020687783 | 1.0048472 | 1.0E-5 | 0.029367693 | 0.021274779 | 0.021284567 | 1.00046 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 5.6967532E-5 | 3.9352853E-5 | 4.935246E-5 | 1.2541012 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4412372E-4 | 1.6864421E-4 | 1.7864253E-4 | 1.0592865 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029681553 | 0.0020513153 | 0.0020612949 | 1.0048649 | 1.0E-5 | 0.029288229 | 0.02120038 | 0.021210168 | 1.0004617 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 5.6211324E-5 | 3.9057773E-5 | 4.905738E-5 | 1.256021 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4088343E-4 | 1.6737974E-4 | 1.7737807E-4 | 1.0597343 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0029288116 | 0.0020359491 | 0.0020459287 | 1.0049018 | 1.0E-5 | 0.028905109 | 0.021039387 | 0.021049177 | 1.0004653 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.4383527E-5 | 3.7918566E-5 | 4.7918187E-5 | 1.263713 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3305144E-4 | 1.6249805E-4 | 1.7249642E-4 | 1.0615292 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028337094 | 0.0019766234 | 0.0019866037 | 1.0050491 | 1.0E-5 | 0.027978465 | 0.02043281 | 0.020442605 | 1.0004795 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.1393665E-5 | 3.6381425E-5 | 4.6381065E-5 | 1.2748555 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2023996E-4 | 1.5591111E-4 | 1.6590954E-4 | 1.0641291 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026781242 | 0.0018965693 | 0.0019065503 | 1.0052627 | 1.0E-5 | 0.026460782 | 0.01960793 | 0.019617734 | 1.0005 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.785222E-5 | 3.4732413E-5 | 4.4732067E-5 | 1.2879055 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0506482E-4 | 1.4884473E-4 | 1.5884325E-4 | 1.0671741 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0024938055 | 0.0018106819 | 0.0018206637 | 1.0055128 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024660049 | 0.018725147 | 0.01873496 | 1.000524 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 4.2143256E-5 | 3.3828E-5 | 4.3827662E-5 | 1.295603 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8060145E-4 | 1.449691E-4 | 1.5496765E-4 | 1.0689702 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002196605 | 0.0017635735 | 0.0017735558 | 1.0056603 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02175019 | 0.018233053 | 0.018242871 | 1.0005385 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 4.0264713E-5 | 3.3466327E-5 | 4.3465992E-5 | 1.2987978 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7255165E-4 | 1.4341925E-4 | 1.5341782E-4 | 1.0697156 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002098792 | 0.0017447342 | 0.0017547167 | 1.0057216 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020790804 | 0.018037783 | 0.018047603 | 1.0005444 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.694492E-5 | 3.2180662E-5 | 4.218034E-5 | 1.3107356 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5832575E-4 | 1.3790985E-4 | 1.4790847E-4 | 1.0725012 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019259118 | 0.0016777625 | 0.0016877457 | 1.0059503 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01909306 | 0.017354406 | 0.017364234 | 1.0005662 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.200565E-5 | 2.9496878E-5 | 3.9496583E-5 | 1.3390089 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3715986E-4 | 1.2640908E-4 | 1.3640782E-4 | 1.0790982 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001668642 | 0.0015379463 | 0.0015479309 | 1.0064921 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01656168 | 0.015942672 | 0.015952514 | 1.0006173 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.731642E-5 | 2.6088961E-5 | 3.60887E-5 | 1.3832939 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1706512E-4 | 1.1180505E-4 | 1.2180393E-4 | 1.0894314 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001424336 | 0.0013603775 | 0.0013703639 | 1.0073409 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014152412 | 0.014165312 | 0.01417517 | 1.000696 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.3466424E-5 | 2.3501236E-5 | 3.3501E-5 | 1.4254996 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0056651E-4 | 1.007157E-4 | 1.1071469E-4 | 1.0992794 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012237094 | 0.0012255247 | 0.0012355124 | 1.0081497 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012169928 | 0.01280721 | 0.012817082 | 1.0007708 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.8611925E-5 | 1.8904842E-5 | 2.8904653E-5 | 1.528955 | 1.0E-5 | 7.9762955E-5 | 8.101824E-5 | 9.101743E-5 | 1.123419 | 1.0E-5 | 9.7068126E-4 | 9.859514E-4 | 9.959416E-4 | 1.0101324 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0096645225 | 0.01039224 | 0.0104021365 | 1.0009522 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5460775E-5 | 1.5738E-5 | 2.5737843E-5 | 1.6353947 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6258784E-5 | 6.744683E-5 | 7.744616E-5 | 1.1482549 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0640207E-4 | 8.2085654E-4 | 8.308483E-4 | 1.0121723 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008034821 | 0.0087014325 | 0.0087113455 | 1.0011393 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 9.983884E-6 | 8.267833E-6 | 8.267833E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2787375E-5 | 3.543309E-5 | 3.543309E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2081177E-4 | 4.3131303E-4 | 4.3131303E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051959283 | 0.004638954 | 0.004638954 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.1226E-6 | 1.5519201E-6 | 1.5519201E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7668166E-5 | 6.6510697E-6 | 6.6510697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1508869E-4 | 8.097379E-5 | 8.097379E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021488064 | 9.3998964E-4 | 9.3998964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 3.6089054E-7 | 3.6089054E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.5466729E-6 | 1.5466729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 1.8830584E-5 | 1.8830584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.271723E-4 | 2.271723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Green Valley 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 9.9629346E-5 | 1.7302911E-4 | 1.8302738E-4 | 1.0577837 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2691303E-4 | 7.4132346E-4 | 7.513161E-4 | 1.0134794 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051852856 | 0.008986877 | 0.0089967875 | 1.0011027 | 1.0E-5 | 0.050659515 | 0.085538186 | 0.08554733 | 1.0001069 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.88615E-5 | 1.715021E-4 | 1.8150039E-4 | 1.0582983 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2362334E-4 | 7.347829E-4 | 7.447756E-4 | 1.0135995 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0051454236 | 0.008907905 | 0.008917816 | 1.0011126 | 1.0E-5 | 0.050279044 | 0.08482581 | 0.084834956 | 1.0001079 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 9.696895E-5 | 1.6789259E-4 | 1.7789092E-4 | 1.0595518 | 1.0E-5 | 4.15515E-4 | 7.1932294E-4 | 7.293158E-4 | 1.0138919 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0050471667 | 0.008721288 | 0.0087312 | 1.0011367 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04934063 | 0.083134584 | 0.083143756 | 1.0001103 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 9.275224E-5 | 1.5968595E-4 | 1.6968435E-4 | 1.0626129 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9744904E-4 | 6.8417034E-4 | 6.941635E-4 | 1.0146062 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048282105 | 0.00829661 | 0.0083065275 | 1.0011953 | 1.0E-5 | 0.047246475 | 0.07927365 | 0.07928285 | 1.0001161 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 8.391499E-5 | 1.4365945E-4 | 1.5365801E-4 | 1.069599 | 1.0E-5 | 3.595861E-4 | 6.155214E-4 | 6.2551524E-4 | 1.0162364 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004369175 | 0.007467142 | 0.0074770674 | 1.0013292 | 1.0E-5 | 0.04284265 | 0.07164658 | 0.07165586 | 1.0001296 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.9519385E-5 | 9.9327124E-5 | 1.0932613E-4 | 1.1006675 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5505814E-4 | 4.2560237E-4 | 4.3559814E-4 | 1.0234861 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031009112 | 0.0051683118 | 0.00517826 | 1.0019249 | 1.0E-5 | 0.030579966 | 0.050147183 | 0.050156683 | 1.0001894 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.5361558E-5 | 7.402032E-5 | 7.402032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9439218E-4 | 3.1717605E-4 | 3.1717605E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023641558 | 0.0038538422 | 0.0038538422 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.023391623 | 0.03766726 | 0.03766726 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.8808106E-5 | 6.2644474E-5 | 6.2644474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6630985E-4 | 2.684362E-4 | 2.684362E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020229418 | 0.0032627091 | 0.0032627091 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020046256 | 0.032007374 | 0.032007374 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.2284667E-5 | 3.1285686E-5 | 3.1285686E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.550222E-5 | 1.3407464E-4 | 1.3407464E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011621192 | 0.0016311355 | 0.0016311355 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011560607 | 0.016166652 | 0.016166652 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.8050168E-5 | 2.4448496E-5 | 2.4448496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.735557E-5 | 1.0477509E-4 | 1.0477509E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4139716E-4 | 0.0012748933 | 0.0012748933 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009374191 | 0.01266912 | 0.01266912 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.4763166E-5 | 1.9583209E-5 | 1.9583209E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.326917E-5 | 8.392534E-5 | 8.392534E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7002996E-4 | 0.0010213135 | 0.0010213135 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007673672 | 0.010166272 | 0.010166272 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.2399713E-5 | 1.6304017E-5 | 1.6304017E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3140546E-5 | 6.98725E-5 | 6.98725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.467941E-4 | 8.5036765E-4 | 8.5036765E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006449148 | 0.008471853 | 0.008471853 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0584195E-5 | 1.3922024E-5 | 1.3922024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5360044E-5 | 5.966446E-5 | 5.966446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.521186E-4 | 7.2617433E-4 | 7.2617433E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055074887 | 0.007238685 | 0.007238685 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.998173E-6 | 1.0544236E-5 | 1.0544236E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4277433E-5 | 4.5188805E-5 | 4.5188805E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1724785E-4 | 5.500359E-4 | 5.500359E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004164653 | 0.0054871747 | 0.0054871747 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.7571127E-6 | 8.932888E-6 | 8.932888E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8958733E-5 | 3.8283248E-5 | 3.8283248E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5251552E-4 | 4.659998E-4 | 4.659998E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035195686 | 0.004650622 | 0.004650622 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 5.69878E-6 | 7.516469E-6 | 7.516469E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4423114E-5 | 3.2213047E-5 | 3.2213047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9731085E-4 | 3.9212414E-4 | 3.9212414E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002969134 | 0.0039146906 | 0.0039146906 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.503664E-6 | 5.93581E-6 | 5.93581E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9301275E-5 | 2.5438942E-5 | 2.5438942E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3496768E-4 | 3.0967593E-4 | 3.0967593E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002347194 | 0.0030927174 | 0.0030927174 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.0873546E-6 | 1.4107492E-6 | 1.4107492E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6600826E-6 | 6.0460543E-6 | 6.0460543E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6735033E-5 | 7.360825E-5 | 7.360825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.672055E-4 | 7.358816E-4 | 7.358816E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.9373917E-8 | 6.177954E-8 | 6.177954E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1160248E-7 | 2.6476943E-7 | 2.6476943E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5762572E-6 | 3.2235644E-6 | 3.2235644E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5762274E-5 | 3.2227927E-5 | 3.2227927E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hayward (So) extension 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1721256E-4 | 2.3671667E-4 | 2.3671667E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.022428E-4 | 0.0010138705 | 0.0010138705 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060976758 | 0.012250477 | 0.012250477 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0593305 | 0.112844326 | 0.1128532 | 1.0000786 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.99169E-5 | 1.3807825E-4 | 1.3807825E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9960944E-4 | 5.915491E-4 | 5.915491E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036416445 | 0.0071722465 | 0.0071722465 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.035825435 | 0.06780454 | 0.06780454 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 6.99169E-5 | 1.3807825E-4 | 1.3807825E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9960944E-4 | 5.915491E-4 | 5.915491E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036416445 | 0.0071722465 | 0.0071722465 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.035825435 | 0.06780454 | 0.06780454 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 6.970908E-5 | 1.3775968E-4 | 1.3775968E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9871898E-4 | 5.901847E-4 | 5.901847E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036308395 | 0.007155783 | 0.007155783 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.035720866 | 0.0676535 | 0.0676535 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 6.9517155E-5 | 1.374289E-4 | 1.374289E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9789665E-4 | 5.887679E-4 | 5.887679E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0036208609 | 0.0071386965 | 0.0071386965 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03562429 | 0.067497544 | 0.067497544 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 4.786248E-5 | 9.415065E-5 | 9.415065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0510878E-4 | 4.0344274E-4 | 4.0344274E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024943394 | 0.0049012913 | 0.0049012913 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02466527 | 0.04690106 | 0.04690106 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 4.4662214E-5 | 8.881762E-5 | 8.881762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9139545E-4 | 3.8059402E-4 | 3.8059402E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023277493 | 0.0046243514 | 0.0046243514 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02303517 | 0.044292454 | 0.044292454 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.884542E-5 | 7.864917E-5 | 7.864917E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6646975E-4 | 3.3702684E-4 | 3.3702684E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002024885 | 0.004096026 | 0.004096026 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.020065336 | 0.039332174 | 0.039332174 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.4221863E-5 | 6.855756E-5 | 6.855756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4665688E-4 | 2.937874E-4 | 2.937874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017840851 | 0.003571416 | 0.003571416 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017698295 | 0.03441938 | 0.03441938 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.6927712E-5 | 3.0062087E-5 | 3.0062087E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2545314E-5 | 1.2883147E-4 | 1.2883147E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.828813E-4 | 0.0015674516 | 0.0015674516 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008793819 | 0.015463198 | 0.015463198 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.2509653E-5 | 2.2462904E-5 | 2.2462904E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3611697E-5 | 9.626628E-5 | 9.626628E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.525269E-4 | 0.0011714558 | 0.0011714558 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065061417 | 0.0115828235 | 0.0115828235 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.751583E-6 | 1.4925888E-5 | 1.4925888E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.750624E-5 | 6.396655E-5 | 6.396655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5654282E-4 | 7.7852036E-4 | 7.7852036E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045560603 | 0.0077639394 | 0.0077639394 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.354379E-6 | 1.1498852E-5 | 1.1498852E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7232769E-5 | 4.927989E-5 | 4.927989E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3150852E-4 | 5.998223E-4 | 5.998223E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033101442 | 0.006000782 | 0.006000782 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.645554E-6 | 8.818257E-6 | 8.818257E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9909365E-5 | 3.7792004E-5 | 3.7792004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4236954E-4 | 4.6002446E-4 | 4.6002446E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024210536 | 0.004611075 | 0.004611075 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.23437E-6 | 7.992597E-6 | 7.992597E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8147173E-5 | 3.4253557E-5 | 3.4253557E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2091944E-4 | 4.169611E-4 | 4.169611E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022069993 | 0.0041823364 | 0.0041823364 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.2187417E-6 | 3.9522592E-6 | 3.9522592E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.508858E-6 | 1.6938158E-5 | 1.6938158E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.157642E-4 | 2.0620518E-4 | 2.0620518E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011570391 | 0.0020736444 | 0.0020736444 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.7952495E-8 | 3.8784922E-8 | 3.8784922E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1979641E-7 | 1.6622108E-7 | 1.6622108E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4585203E-6 | 2.0237399E-6 | 2.0237399E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4585107E-5 | 2.0318716E-5 | 2.0318716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7192724E-8 | 2.343621E-8 | 2.343621E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.36831E-8 | 1.0044089E-7 | 1.0044089E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9709135E-7 | 1.2228672E-6 | 1.2228672E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.970877E-6 | 1.2286304E-5 | 1.2286304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Emerson-Copper Mtn 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1364202E-5 | 9.967977E-6 | 9.967977E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1557646E-5 | 4.2719254E-5 | 4.2719254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011141442 | 5.199915E-4 | 5.199915E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011085749 | 0.0051886174 | 0.005198566 | 1.0019172 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1364202E-5 | 9.967977E-6 | 9.967977E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1557646E-5 | 4.2719254E-5 | 4.2719254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011141442 | 5.199915E-4 | 5.199915E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011085749 | 0.0051886174 | 0.005198566 | 1.0019172 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1364202E-5 | 9.967977E-6 | 9.967977E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1557646E-5 | 4.2719254E-5 | 4.2719254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011141442 | 5.199915E-4 | 5.199915E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011085749 | 0.0051886174 | 0.005198566 | 1.0019172 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.7751237E-5 | 8.089092E-6 | 8.089092E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.607452E-5 | 3.466711E-5 | 3.466711E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.258136E-4 | 4.2199664E-4 | 4.2199664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00921966 | 0.0042125755 | 0.0042125755 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.7751237E-5 | 8.089092E-6 | 8.089092E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.607452E-5 | 3.466711E-5 | 3.466711E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.258136E-4 | 4.2199664E-4 | 4.2199664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00921966 | 0.0042125755 | 0.0042125755 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.5886664E-5 | 6.603731E-6 | 6.603731E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.808392E-5 | 2.8301425E-5 | 2.8301425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.286065E-4 | 3.4452006E-4 | 3.4452006E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008255237 | 0.0034403238 | 0.0034403238 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.5886664E-5 | 6.603731E-6 | 6.603731E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.808392E-5 | 2.8301425E-5 | 2.8301425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.286065E-4 | 3.4452006E-4 | 3.4452006E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008255237 | 0.0034403238 | 0.0034403238 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.428471E-5 | 5.4702955E-6 | 5.4702955E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.121875E-5 | 2.3443936E-5 | 2.3443936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.450834E-4 | 2.8539647E-4 | 2.8539647E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007425902 | 0.0028506874 | 0.0028506874 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.3490684E-5 | 5.0735807E-6 | 5.0735807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7815934E-5 | 2.1743757E-5 | 2.1743757E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0368167E-4 | 2.6470196E-4 | 2.6470196E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007014576 | 0.0026442474 | 0.0026442474 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.2235421E-5 | 4.2895367E-6 | 4.2895367E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2436466E-5 | 1.838362E-5 | 1.838362E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.38227E-4 | 2.238012E-4 | 2.238012E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063639707 | 0.0022361123 | 0.0022361123 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.1009851E-5 | 3.7188272E-6 | 3.7188272E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7184225E-5 | 1.5937752E-5 | 1.5937752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.743165E-4 | 1.940283E-4 | 1.940283E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005728345 | 0.0019389268 | 0.0019389268 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.726373E-6 | 3.2115622E-6 | 3.2115622E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.168379E-5 | 1.3763784E-5 | 1.3763784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.07382E-4 | 1.6756456E-4 | 1.6756456E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050622504 | 0.0016747133 | 0.0016747133 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.9335127E-6 | 1.1524072E-6 | 1.1524072E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6857803E-5 | 4.938879E-6 | 4.938879E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0522442E-4 | 6.0129252E-5 | 6.0129252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00205035 | 6.011358E-4 | 6.011358E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.661632E-6 | 6.91094E-7 | 6.91094E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.14069435E-5 | 2.961828E-6 | 2.961828E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3887069E-4 | 3.605967E-5 | 3.605967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013878393 | 3.605392E-4 | 3.605392E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0893426E-6 | 5.461424E-7 | 5.461424E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.954295E-6 | 2.3406083E-6 | 2.3406083E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0901308E-4 | 2.8496537E-5 | 2.8496537E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010895962 | 2.8492938E-4 | 2.8492938E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6028206E-7 | 3.6028206E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5440651E-6 | 1.5440651E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.8798835E-5 | 1.8798835E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.093505E-4 | 1.8797291E-4 | 1.8797291E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.1196375E-8 | 7.1196375E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.051273E-7 | 3.051273E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.71492E-6 | 3.71492E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.863536E-5 | 3.7148737E-5 | 3.7148737E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elsinore (Stepovers Combined)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.144392E-5 | 1.9759926E-5 | 2.9759727E-5 | 1.5060648 | 1.0E-5 | 9.189928E-5 | 8.468276E-5 | 9.468191E-5 | 1.1180778 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011182994 | 0.0010305439 | 0.0010405337 | 1.0096936 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011126885 | 0.010264172 | 0.010274069 | 1.0009643 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.144392E-5 | 1.9759926E-5 | 2.9759727E-5 | 1.5060648 | 1.0E-5 | 9.189928E-5 | 8.468276E-5 | 9.468191E-5 | 1.1180778 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011182994 | 0.0010305439 | 0.0010405337 | 1.0096936 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011126885 | 0.010264172 | 0.010274069 | 1.0009643 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.144392E-5 | 1.9759926E-5 | 2.9759727E-5 | 1.5060648 | 1.0E-5 | 9.189928E-5 | 8.468276E-5 | 9.468191E-5 | 1.1180778 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011182994 | 0.0010305439 | 0.0010405337 | 1.0096936 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011126885 | 0.010264172 | 0.010274069 | 1.0009643 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.774119E-5 | 1.774119E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4646774E-5 | 7.6031545E-5 | 7.6031545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010300872 | 9.2530495E-4 | 9.2530495E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010253254 | 0.009220534 | 0.009220534 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.774119E-5 | 1.774119E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4646774E-5 | 7.6031545E-5 | 7.6031545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010300872 | 9.2530495E-4 | 9.2530495E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010253254 | 0.009220534 | 0.009220534 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.774119E-5 | 1.774119E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4646774E-5 | 7.6031545E-5 | 7.6031545E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010300872 | 9.2530495E-4 | 9.2530495E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010253254 | 0.009220534 | 0.009220534 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.9188685E-5 | 1.7003118E-5 | 1.7003118E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2234634E-5 | 7.286856E-5 | 7.286856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010007467 | 8.8682986E-4 | 8.8682986E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00996252 | 0.008839108 | 0.008839108 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.7608272E-5 | 1.4732275E-5 | 1.4732275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.546184E-5 | 6.3136846E-5 | 6.3136846E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.183606E-4 | 7.684298E-4 | 7.684298E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009145746 | 0.007664254 | 0.007664254 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.697165E-5 | 1.378303E-5 | 1.378303E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.273361E-5 | 5.9068843E-5 | 5.9068843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8517193E-4 | 7.189345E-4 | 7.189345E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008816543 | 0.0071718874 | 0.0071718874 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.600365E-5 | 1.2846334E-5 | 1.2846334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.858527E-5 | 5.50546E-5 | 5.50546E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.347058E-4 | 6.7009137E-4 | 6.7009137E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008315775 | 0.006686092 | 0.006686092 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.3314581E-5 | 1.044729E-5 | 1.044729E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7061243E-5 | 4.477335E-5 | 4.477335E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.944992E-4 | 5.4498186E-4 | 5.4498186E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006923327 | 0.0054400126 | 0.0054400126 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.2865345E-5 | 9.937265E-6 | 9.937265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5136024E-5 | 4.2587595E-5 | 4.2587595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.710743E-4 | 5.1838317E-4 | 5.1838317E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066905143 | 0.005174955 | 0.005174955 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.1650051E-5 | 8.63353E-6 | 8.63353E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9927836E-5 | 3.700033E-5 | 3.700033E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0770183E-4 | 4.5038768E-4 | 4.5038768E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0060604266 | 0.004496211 | 0.004496211 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0008533E-5 | 7.2007847E-6 | 7.2007847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2893007E-5 | 3.086015E-5 | 3.086015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.220972E-4 | 3.75659E-4 | 3.75659E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005208723 | 0.0037506383 | 0.0037506383 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 9.116759E-6 | 6.4098203E-6 | 6.4098203E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.907124E-5 | 2.7470376E-5 | 2.7470376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7558855E-4 | 3.3440188E-4 | 3.3440188E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00474572 | 0.0033391395 | 0.0033391395 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 7.870524E-6 | 5.3822882E-6 | 5.3822882E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3730383E-5 | 2.3066752E-5 | 2.3066752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1059E-4 | 2.8080278E-4 | 2.8080278E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040983222 | 0.0028046062 | 0.0028046062 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.9774537E-6 | 4.6773716E-6 | 4.6773716E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.990303E-5 | 2.004573E-5 | 2.004573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.640086E-4 | 2.4403061E-4 | 2.4403061E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003634129 | 0.0024377427 | 0.0024377427 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.1616954E-6 | 2.328132E-6 | 2.328132E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7835715E-5 | 9.977675E-6 | 9.977675E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.171282E-4 | 1.2147216E-4 | 1.2147216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021691616 | 0.0012141307 | 0.0012141307 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.384396E-8 | 9.384396E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0218833E-7 | 4.0218833E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.8966353E-6 | 4.8966353E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1839878E-4 | 4.89656E-5 | 4.89656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.4396095E-9 | 3.4396095E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.47411825E-8 | 1.47411825E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.7947389E-7 | 1.7947389E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838679E-6 | 1.7947376E-6 | 1.7947376E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Coronado Bank alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.533492E-5 | 9.395107E-5 | 9.395107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.22824E-4 | 4.0258773E-4 | 4.0258773E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039233007 | 0.004891089 | 0.0049010403 | 1.0020345 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03854755 | 0.047903698 | 0.04791322 | 1.0001987 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.0492818E-5 | 5.0492818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.163802E-4 | 2.163802E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0026313218 | 0.0026313218 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021578677 | 0.02601098 | 0.02601098 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.0492818E-5 | 5.0492818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.163802E-4 | 2.163802E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0026313218 | 0.0026313218 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021578677 | 0.02601098 | 0.02601098 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 3.1793104E-5 | 3.7710935E-5 | 3.7710935E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3624904E-4 | 1.6160845E-4 | 1.6160845E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016575698 | 0.0019658392 | 0.0019658392 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.016452603 | 0.019488398 | 0.019488398 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.9878007E-5 | 3.5335623E-5 | 3.5335623E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2804232E-4 | 1.5142979E-4 | 1.5142979E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015578003 | 0.0018421304 | 0.0018421304 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015469253 | 0.018272376 | 0.018272376 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.4512565E-5 | 2.8763967E-5 | 2.8763967E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0504962E-4 | 1.2326847E-4 | 1.2326847E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012782287 | 0.0014997873 | 0.0014997873 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012709012 | 0.014899624 | 0.014899624 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.1317413E-5 | 2.4906556E-5 | 2.4906556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.135714E-5 | 1.06738145E-4 | 1.06738145E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011117056 | 0.0012987844 | 0.0012987844 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011061605 | 0.012914349 | 0.012914349 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.8585655E-5 | 2.1634785E-5 | 2.1634785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9650374E-5 | 9.271733E-5 | 9.271733E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6931186E-4 | 0.0011282694 | 0.0011282694 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0096509475 | 0.011227573 | 0.011227573 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.5862879E-5 | 1.8419396E-5 | 1.8419396E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.798199E-5 | 7.8937985E-5 | 7.8937985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.273665E-4 | 9.606655E-4 | 9.606655E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008242928 | 0.009567109 | 0.009567109 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.3021509E-5 | 1.50952E-5 | 1.50952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5805274E-5 | 6.469221E-5 | 6.469221E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.792174E-4 | 7.873612E-4 | 7.873612E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006771452 | 0.007847539 | 0.007847539 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0974371E-5 | 1.272005E-5 | 1.272005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7032172E-5 | 5.451346E-5 | 5.451346E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7246623E-4 | 6.635168E-4 | 6.635168E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057099373 | 0.006617107 | 0.006617107 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 8.766221E-6 | 1.0163789E-5 | 1.0163789E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7568978E-5 | 4.3558466E-5 | 4.3558466E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.573063E-4 | 5.302125E-4 | 5.302125E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045636636 | 0.005291174 | 0.005291174 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.026024E-7 | 8.3317616E-7 | 8.3317616E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.43972E-6 | 3.57075E-6 | 3.57075E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1877785E-5 | 4.3473025E-5 | 4.3473025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1869894E-4 | 4.346463E-4 | 4.346463E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.7293114E-7 | 3.7001016E-7 | 3.7001016E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5982754E-6 | 1.5857568E-6 | 1.5857568E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9458828E-5 | 1.9306419E-5 | 1.9306419E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9457124E-4 | 1.9304748E-4 | 1.9304748E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.0557036E-7 | 1.9674424E-7 | 1.9674424E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.810155E-7 | 8.431893E-7 | 8.431893E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0726311E-5 | 1.0265781E-5 | 1.0265781E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0725793E-4 | 1.026531E-4 | 1.026531E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.845446E-8 | 6.279406E-8 | 6.279406E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9337625E-7 | 2.6911735E-7 | 2.6911735E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5718497E-6 | 3.276499E-6 | 3.276499E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5717923E-5 | 3.2764518E-5 | 3.2764518E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.0975145E-9 | 5.531901E-9 | 5.531901E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6132206E-8 | 2.3708148E-8 | 2.3708148E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1815955E-7 | 2.8864667E-7 | 2.8864667E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.181591E-6 | 2.886464E-6 | 2.886464E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Rinconada 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5752368E-5 | 1.6274702E-5 | 2.6274538E-5 | 1.6144406 | 1.0E-5 | 6.75084E-5 | 6.974687E-5 | 7.9746176E-5 | 1.1433656 | 1.0E-5 | 8.2160486E-4 | 8.488405E-4 | 8.5883203E-4 | 1.0117707 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008185739 | 0.008456362 | 0.008466278 | 1.0011725 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.0966133E-5 | 1.1323019E-5 | 2.1322907E-5 | 1.8831466 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6996865E-5 | 4.8526326E-5 | 5.8525842E-5 | 1.2060637 | 1.0E-5 | 5.720366E-4 | 5.906486E-4 | 6.006427E-4 | 1.0169206 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057056635 | 0.005890884 | 0.005900825 | 1.0016875 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.0966133E-5 | 1.1323019E-5 | 2.1322907E-5 | 1.8831466 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6996865E-5 | 4.8526326E-5 | 5.8525842E-5 | 1.2060637 | 1.0E-5 | 5.720366E-4 | 5.906486E-4 | 6.006427E-4 | 1.0169206 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057056635 | 0.005890884 | 0.005900825 | 1.0016875 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 8.926149E-6 | 9.212764E-6 | 1.9212672E-5 | 2.0854406 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8254362E-5 | 3.948268E-5 | 4.948228E-5 | 1.2532656 | 1.0E-5 | 4.6564735E-4 | 4.805959E-4 | 4.905911E-4 | 1.0207975 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0046467283 | 0.0047956104 | 0.0048055626 | 1.0020752 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 7.676955E-6 | 7.9201845E-6 | 1.7920105E-5 | 2.2625868 | 1.0E-5 | 3.290082E-5 | 3.3943208E-5 | 4.3942866E-5 | 1.2945998 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0049385E-4 | 4.1318036E-4 | 4.231762E-4 | 1.0241925 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039977287 | 0.004124148 | 0.0041341064 | 1.0024147 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.1671026E-6 | 6.3589496E-6 | 1.6358887E-5 | 2.5725768 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6430173E-5 | 2.7252358E-5 | 3.7252084E-5 | 1.3669307 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2173982E-4 | 3.3174703E-4 | 3.417437E-4 | 1.0301335 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003212744 | 0.0033125298 | 0.0033224968 | 1.0030088 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.553456E-6 | 5.724808E-6 | 5.724808E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3800309E-5 | 2.4534662E-5 | 2.4534662E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.897302E-4 | 2.986686E-4 | 2.986686E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0028935277 | 0.0029826807 | 0.0029826807 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 4.787857E-6 | 4.9333057E-6 | 4.9333057E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0519226E-5 | 2.1142567E-5 | 2.1142567E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4979294E-4 | 2.573804E-4 | 2.573804E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024951235 | 0.002570829 | 0.002570829 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.9955166E-6 | 4.113473E-6 | 4.113473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7123532E-5 | 1.762905E-5 | 1.762905E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0845905E-4 | 2.1461258E-4 | 2.1461258E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002082636 | 0.0021440568 | 0.0021440568 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.4250072E-6 | 3.5224439E-6 | 3.5224439E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.46785205E-5 | 1.50961005E-5 | 1.50961005E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7869633E-4 | 1.8377954E-4 | 1.8377954E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001785527 | 0.0018362781 | 0.0018362781 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.7712713E-6 | 2.8466982E-6 | 2.8466982E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1876823E-5 | 1.2200077E-5 | 1.2200077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4459073E-4 | 1.4852583E-4 | 1.4852583E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014449668 | 0.0014842672 | 0.0014842672 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.227358E-6 | 2.285697E-6 | 2.285697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.545785E-6 | 9.795808E-6 | 9.795808E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16213734E-4 | 1.1925744E-4 | 1.1925744E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011615298 | 0.0011919355 | 0.0011919355 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.581796E-6 | 1.6209003E-6 | 1.6209003E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.779108E-6 | 6.946697E-6 | 6.946697E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.253252E-5 | 8.4572755E-5 | 8.4572755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.250187E-4 | 8.4540626E-4 | 8.4540626E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0306567E-6 | 1.0546472E-6 | 1.0546472E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4170924E-6 | 4.519909E-6 | 4.519909E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3776774E-5 | 5.5028504E-5 | 5.5028504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.376376E-4 | 5.50149E-4 | 5.50149E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 6.535541E-7 | 6.6827397E-7 | 6.6827397E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.800943E-6 | 2.8640281E-6 | 2.8640281E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4100947E-5 | 3.4868986E-5 | 3.4868986E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4095717E-4 | 3.4863528E-4 | 3.4863528E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.2656962E-7 | 3.331669E-7 | 3.331669E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3995833E-6 | 1.4278573E-6 | 1.4278573E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7039794E-5 | 1.7384024E-5 | 1.7384024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7038487E-4 | 1.7382669E-4 | 1.7382669E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 9.754343E-8 | 9.8210094E-8 | 9.8210094E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.180432E-7 | 4.209003E-7 | 4.209003E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.089664E-6 | 5.124449E-6 | 5.124449E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0895473E-5 | 5.124332E-5 | 5.124332E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.0001453E-9 | 5.8491194E-9 | 5.8491194E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5714908E-8 | 2.5067655E-8 | 2.5067655E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1307894E-7 | 3.0519865E-7 | 3.0519865E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1307852E-6 | 3.0519825E-6 | 3.0519825E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.400003E-11 | 7.4654394E-11 | 7.4654394E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.171432E-10 | 3.1994762E-10 | 3.1994762E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.861218E-9 | 3.8953623E-9 | 3.8953623E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.861218E-8 | 3.8953623E-8 | 3.8953623E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 06 (Midland) 2011 CFM alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2712525E-5 | 1.3210562E-5 | 1.3210562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4481112E-5 | 5.661561E-5 | 5.661561E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6310563E-4 | 6.8910245E-4 | 6.8910245E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066113044 | 0.0068721715 | 0.006882103 | 1.0014452 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.2712525E-5 | 1.3210562E-5 | 1.3210562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4481112E-5 | 5.661561E-5 | 5.661561E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6310563E-4 | 6.8910245E-4 | 6.8910245E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066113044 | 0.0068721715 | 0.006882103 | 1.0014452 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2712525E-5 | 1.3210562E-5 | 1.3210562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4481112E-5 | 5.661561E-5 | 5.661561E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6310563E-4 | 6.8910245E-4 | 6.8910245E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066113044 | 0.0068721715 | 0.006882103 | 1.0014452 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2712525E-5 | 1.3210562E-5 | 1.3210562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4481112E-5 | 5.661561E-5 | 5.661561E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6310563E-4 | 6.8910245E-4 | 6.8910245E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066113044 | 0.0068721715 | 0.006882103 | 1.0014452 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2712525E-5 | 1.3210562E-5 | 1.3210562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4481112E-5 | 5.661561E-5 | 5.661561E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6310563E-4 | 6.8910245E-4 | 6.8910245E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066113044 | 0.0068721715 | 0.006882103 | 1.0014452 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2712525E-5 | 1.3210562E-5 | 1.3210562E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4481112E-5 | 5.661561E-5 | 5.661561E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6310563E-4 | 6.8910245E-4 | 6.8910245E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066113044 | 0.0068721715 | 0.006882103 | 1.0014452 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 5.7574384E-6 | 5.9706404E-6 | 5.9706404E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4674504E-5 | 2.558823E-5 | 2.558823E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0037065E-4 | 3.114961E-4 | 3.114961E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029996498 | 0.0031109813 | 0.0031109813 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 5.7574384E-6 | 5.9706404E-6 | 5.9706404E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4674504E-5 | 2.558823E-5 | 2.558823E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0037065E-4 | 3.114961E-4 | 3.114961E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029996498 | 0.0031109813 | 0.0031109813 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.3474828E-6 | 3.4693815E-6 | 3.4693815E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4346277E-5 | 1.4868701E-5 | 1.4868701E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7465191E-4 | 1.8101289E-4 | 1.8101289E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017451472 | 0.0018088015 | 0.0018088015 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.035106E-6 | 2.1090336E-6 | 2.1090336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.721853E-6 | 9.038688E-6 | 9.038688E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0618339E-4 | 1.10041205E-4 | 1.10041205E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010613267 | 0.0010999395 | 0.0010999395 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.2424716E-6 | 1.287875E-6 | 1.287875E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3248673E-6 | 5.519455E-6 | 5.519455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.482833E-5 | 6.719774E-5 | 6.719774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.480942E-4 | 6.7181856E-4 | 6.7181856E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 6.6904556E-7 | 6.939028E-7 | 6.939028E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.867335E-6 | 2.9738671E-6 | 2.9738671E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4909244E-5 | 3.620649E-5 | 3.620649E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.490376E-4 | 3.6203142E-4 | 3.6203142E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.948168E-7 | 4.0957008E-7 | 4.0957008E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6920709E-6 | 1.7553003E-6 | 1.7553003E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0600768E-5 | 2.1370783E-5 | 2.1370783E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0598859E-4 | 2.1370783E-4 | 2.1370783E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5264533E-5 | 4.526418E-5 | 1.283561 | 1.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5112499E-4 | 1.6112346E-4 | 1.0661604 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.001838395 | 0.0018483767 | 1.0054295 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.018982861 | 0.018992672 | 1.0005168 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5264533E-5 | 4.526418E-5 | 1.283561 | 1.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5112499E-4 | 1.6112346E-4 | 1.0661604 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.001838395 | 0.0018483767 | 1.0054295 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.018982861 | 0.018992672 | 1.0005168 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5264533E-5 | 4.526418E-5 | 1.283561 | 1.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5112499E-4 | 1.6112346E-4 | 1.0661604 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.001838395 | 0.0018483767 | 1.0054295 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.018982861 | 0.018992672 | 1.0005168 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.0667746E-5 | 3.5264533E-5 | 4.526418E-5 | 1.283561 | 1.0E-5 | 1.742787E-4 | 1.5112499E-4 | 1.6112346E-4 | 1.0661604 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021197782 | 0.001838395 | 0.0018483767 | 1.0054295 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020996714 | 0.018982861 | 0.018992672 | 1.0005168 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.0577226E-5 | 3.5136447E-5 | 4.5136094E-5 | 1.2845948 | 1.0E-5 | 1.738908E-4 | 1.505761E-4 | 1.605746E-4 | 1.0664016 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0018317249 | 0.0018417066 | 1.0054493 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020950472 | 0.018917428 | 0.01892724 | 1.0005186 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.0577226E-5 | 3.5136447E-5 | 4.5136094E-5 | 1.2845948 | 1.0E-5 | 1.738908E-4 | 1.505761E-4 | 1.605746E-4 | 1.0664016 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021150648 | 0.0018317249 | 0.0018417066 | 1.0054493 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020950472 | 0.018917428 | 0.01892724 | 1.0005186 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.053861E-5 | 3.508179E-5 | 4.508144E-5 | 1.2850381 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7372532E-4 | 1.5034188E-4 | 1.6034038E-4 | 1.0665051 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021130538 | 0.0018288785 | 0.0018388602 | 1.0054579 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020930743 | 0.018889507 | 0.018899318 | 1.0005194 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.0516545E-5 | 3.5050864E-5 | 4.5050514E-5 | 1.2852896 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7363077E-4 | 1.5020935E-4 | 1.6020786E-4 | 1.0665637 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002111905 | 0.001827268 | 0.0018372497 | 1.0054626 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020919468 | 0.018873703 | 0.018883515 | 1.0005199 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.049434E-5 | 3.5022425E-5 | 4.5022076E-5 | 1.2855213 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7353562E-4 | 1.500875E-4 | 1.60086E-4 | 1.0666178 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021107488 | 0.0018257869 | 0.0018357686 | 1.005467 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020908125 | 0.018859116 | 0.018868927 | 1.0005202 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 4.046386E-5 | 3.4984987E-5 | 4.4984637E-5 | 1.2858269 | 1.0E-5 | 1.73405E-4 | 1.4992706E-4 | 1.5992556E-4 | 1.0666891 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021091616 | 0.0018238368 | 0.0018338186 | 1.0054729 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020892553 | 0.018839888 | 0.0188497 | 1.0005208 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 4.036382E-5 | 3.486556E-5 | 4.486521E-5 | 1.286806 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7297632E-4 | 1.4941528E-4 | 1.594138E-4 | 1.0669175 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021039525 | 0.0018176165 | 0.0018275983 | 1.0054917 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02084144 | 0.018778505 | 0.018788317 | 1.0005225 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.0343282E-5 | 3.4844023E-5 | 4.4843673E-5 | 1.2869833 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7288832E-4 | 1.49323E-4 | 1.593215E-4 | 1.0669589 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002102883 | 0.0018164949 | 0.0018264767 | 1.0054951 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020830948 | 0.018767375 | 0.018777188 | 1.0005229 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.0257353E-5 | 3.4748526E-5 | 4.4748176E-5 | 1.287772 | 1.0E-5 | 1.725201E-4 | 1.4891376E-4 | 1.5891227E-4 | 1.067143 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020984085 | 0.0018115207 | 0.0018215026 | 1.0055102 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020787042 | 0.018718114 | 0.018727928 | 1.0005243 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.9940667E-5 | 3.4576202E-5 | 4.4575856E-5 | 1.2892063 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7116306E-4 | 1.4817533E-4 | 1.5817385E-4 | 1.0674776 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020819185 | 0.0018025452 | 0.0018125272 | 1.0055377 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020625217 | 0.018626764 | 0.018636577 | 1.0005269 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.9721202E-5 | 3.4461642E-5 | 4.44613E-5 | 1.2901677 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7022261E-4 | 1.4768442E-4 | 1.5768294E-4 | 1.0677019 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020704903 | 0.0017965782 | 0.0018065602 | 1.0055561 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020513052 | 0.018565914 | 0.018575728 | 1.0005286 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.7036873E-5 | 3.352937E-5 | 4.3529035E-5 | 1.298236 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5871979E-4 | 1.4368941E-4 | 1.5368797E-4 | 1.0695846 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019307006 | 0.0017480177 | 0.0017580002 | 1.0057107 | 1.0E-5 | 0.019140124 | 0.018067606 | 0.018077426 | 1.0005435 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.2940967E-5 | 3.13107E-5 | 4.1310388E-5 | 1.3193697 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4116794E-4 | 1.3418183E-4 | 1.4418049E-4 | 1.0745157 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017173645 | 0.0016324419 | 0.0016424255 | 1.0061158 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01704153 | 0.016900703 | 0.016910534 | 1.0005817 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.8236149E-5 | 2.7880007E-5 | 3.787973E-5 | 1.35867 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2100645E-4 | 1.1948028E-4 | 1.2947909E-4 | 1.0836859 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014722579 | 0.0014537028 | 0.0014636882 | 1.006869 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014625421 | 0.015113378 | 0.015123228 | 1.0006517 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.4329287E-5 | 2.5203897E-5 | 3.5203644E-5 | 1.396754 | 1.0E-5 | 1.042642E-4 | 1.0801223E-4 | 1.1801115E-4 | 1.0925721 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012686774 | 0.0013142565 | 0.0013242433 | 1.0075989 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012614589 | 0.013710698 | 0.013720561 | 1.0007193 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.9370926E-5 | 2.041812E-5 | 3.0417916E-5 | 1.4897511 | 1.0E-5 | 8.301561E-5 | 8.75033E-5 | 9.750242E-5 | 1.1142714 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010102465 | 0.0010648328 | 0.001074822 | 1.0093812 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0100566605 | 0.011197893 | 0.011207781 | 1.000883 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5583017E-5 | 1.5883486E-5 | 2.5883328E-5 | 1.6295747 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6782646E-5 | 6.807031E-5 | 7.806963E-5 | 1.146897 | 1.0E-5 | 8.127754E-4 | 8.2844164E-4 | 8.3843333E-4 | 1.0120609 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008098091 | 0.008780348 | 0.008790261 | 1.0011289 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0024873E-5 | 8.290274E-6 | 8.290274E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2963035E-5 | 3.5529265E-5 | 3.5529265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.229494E-4 | 4.3248344E-4 | 4.3248344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052172043 | 0.0046523367 | 0.0046523367 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.142796E-6 | 1.5599394E-6 | 1.5599394E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.775472E-5 | 6.6854377E-6 | 6.6854377E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1614227E-4 | 8.139219E-5 | 8.139219E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021593217 | 9.449501E-4 | 9.449501E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 3.6089054E-7 | 3.6089054E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4646503E-6 | 1.5466729E-6 | 1.5466729E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653009E-5 | 1.8830584E-5 | 1.8830584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6510175E-4 | 2.271723E-4 | 2.271723E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Owens Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6210222E-6 | 1.3620986E-5 | 3.7616413 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.5518579E-5 | 2.5518424E-5 | 1.6443789 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002521386 | 1.8892331E-4 | 1.9892142E-4 | 1.0529215 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019296809 | 0.0019396616 | 1.0051723 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6210222E-6 | 1.3620986E-5 | 3.7616413 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.5518579E-5 | 2.5518424E-5 | 1.6443789 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002521386 | 1.8892331E-4 | 1.9892142E-4 | 1.0529215 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019296809 | 0.0019396616 | 1.0051723 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.6210222E-6 | 1.3620986E-5 | 3.7616413 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.5518579E-5 | 2.5518424E-5 | 1.6443789 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002521386 | 1.8892331E-4 | 1.9892142E-4 | 1.0529215 | 1.0E-5 | 0.024929691 | 0.0019296809 | 0.0019396616 | 1.0051723 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.1530674E-6 | 1.3153036E-5 | 4.171505 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.351308E-5 | 2.3512945E-5 | 1.7400137 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002060538 | 1.6451007E-4 | 1.7450842E-4 | 1.0607766 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020415364 | 0.0016621284 | 0.0016721118 | 1.0060064 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.1530674E-6 | 1.3153036E-5 | 4.171505 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.351308E-5 | 2.3512945E-5 | 1.7400137 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002060538 | 1.6451007E-4 | 1.7450842E-4 | 1.0607766 | 1.0E-5 | 0.020415364 | 0.0016621284 | 0.0016721118 | 1.0060064 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.457342E-5 | 2.9707103E-6 | 1.29706805E-5 | 4.366188 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4816338E-4 | 1.2731558E-5 | 2.273143E-5 | 1.7854398 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018023965 | 1.5499639E-4 | 1.6499484E-4 | 1.0645076 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017878477 | 0.0015562775 | 0.0015662619 | 1.0064156 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1127765E-5 | 2.8737022E-6 | 1.2873674E-5 | 4.4798217 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3339789E-4 | 1.23158125E-5 | 2.231569E-5 | 1.8119543 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016229092 | 1.4993538E-4 | 1.5993389E-4 | 1.0666854 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016111081 | 0.0015013095 | 0.0015112944 | 1.0066508 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.806885E-5 | 2.8101322E-6 | 1.2810104E-5 | 4.5585413 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2028952E-4 | 1.2043372E-5 | 2.2043252E-5 | 1.8303223 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001463541 | 1.4661888E-4 | 1.5661742E-4 | 1.068194 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014539397 | 0.0014655745 | 0.0014755599 | 1.0068133 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.524524E-5 | 2.2351205E-6 | 1.2235098E-5 | 5.4740214 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0818939E-4 | 9.579055E-6 | 1.957896E-5 | 2.0439343 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013164099 | 1.16619056E-4 | 1.2661789E-4 | 1.0857393 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01308639 | 0.0011657963 | 0.0011757846 | 1.0085678 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.2704568E-5 | 1.6079553E-6 | 1.1607939E-5 | 7.2190685 | 1.0E-5 | 9.730166E-5 | 6.8912186E-6 | 1.689115E-5 | 2.4511123 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011840039 | 8.389737E-5 | 9.389654E-5 | 1.1191832 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011777153 | 8.388229E-4 | 8.4881455E-4 | 1.0119115 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.0871712E-5 | 1.5393473E-6 | 1.1539332E-5 | 7.4962497 | 1.0E-5 | 8.944713E-5 | 6.5971863E-6 | 1.659712E-5 | 2.5157878 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010884746 | 8.03178E-5 | 9.031699E-5 | 1.1244954 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010831586 | 8.0301013E-4 | 8.1300206E-4 | 1.0124432 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 1.944928E-5 | 1.3862423E-6 | 1.1386229E-5 | 8.213736 | 1.0E-5 | 8.335139E-5 | 5.941025E-6 | 1.5940966E-5 | 2.6832013 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010143308 | 7.232959E-5 | 8.2328865E-5 | 1.138246 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010097133 | 7.2316936E-4 | 7.331621E-4 | 1.013818 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 1.7876306E-5 | 1.2487566E-6 | 1.1248744E-5 | 9.007956 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6610486E-5 | 5.351803E-6 | 1.535175E-5 | 2.868519 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3233347E-4 | 6.5156266E-5 | 7.515561E-5 | 1.1534672 | 1.0E-5 | 0.009284316 | 6.514696E-4 | 6.614631E-4 | 1.0153399 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 1.2618672E-5 | 1.111373E-6 | 1.111373E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.40789E-5 | 4.7630183E-6 | 4.7630183E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.582117E-4 | 5.798821E-5 | 5.798821E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065626553 | 5.7982403E-4 | 5.7982403E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.4874442E-6 | 8.5474284E-7 | 8.5474284E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.208865E-5 | 3.6631784E-6 | 3.6631784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.906093E-4 | 4.4598288E-5 | 4.4598288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003899234 | 4.4594568E-4 | 4.4594568E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.4734156E-6 | 6.0679236E-7 | 6.0679236E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.060031E-5 | 2.6005362E-6 | 2.6005362E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2905113E-4 | 3.166107E-5 | 3.166107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012897621 | 3.165659E-4 | 3.165659E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.1328841E-6 | 3.1961662E-7 | 3.1961662E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8552088E-6 | 1.3697849E-6 | 1.3697849E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9110564E-5 | 1.6677004E-5 | 1.6677004E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9094845E-4 | 1.6675772E-4 | 1.6675772E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 4.8613185E-7 | 8.962604E-8 | 8.962604E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0834207E-6 | 3.8411156E-7 | 3.8411156E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.536535E-5 | 4.676549E-6 | 4.676549E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5362454E-4 | 4.6764573E-5 | 4.6764573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ventura-Pitas Point
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.373506E-5 | 3.373506E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4457226E-4 | 1.4457226E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.001759003 | 0.001759003 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017163932 | 0.01747628 | 0.017486105 | 1.0005622 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.373506E-5 | 3.373506E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4457226E-4 | 1.4457226E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.001759003 | 0.001759003 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017163932 | 0.01747628 | 0.017486105 | 1.0005622 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.373506E-5 | 3.373506E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4457226E-4 | 1.4457226E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.001759003 | 0.001759003 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017163932 | 0.01747628 | 0.017486105 | 1.0005622 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.373506E-5 | 3.373506E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4457226E-4 | 1.4457226E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017297962 | 0.001759003 | 0.001759003 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.017163932 | 0.01747628 | 0.017486105 | 1.0005622 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.7019538E-5 | 1.7019538E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.2938965E-5 | 7.2938965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.876932E-4 | 8.876932E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009738282 | 0.008843759 | 0.00885367 | 1.0011207 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.7019538E-5 | 1.7019538E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.2938965E-5 | 7.2938965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.876932E-4 | 8.876932E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009738282 | 0.008843759 | 0.00885367 | 1.0011207 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.21222165E-5 | 1.21222165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.1951334E-5 | 5.1951334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.3232624E-4 | 6.3232624E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074657016 | 0.006305476 | 0.006305476 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.21222165E-5 | 1.21222165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.1951334E-5 | 5.1951334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.3232624E-4 | 6.3232624E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074657016 | 0.006305476 | 0.006305476 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.3663846E-5 | 1.1344362E-5 | 1.1344362E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8558027E-5 | 4.86178E-5 | 4.86178E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.127108E-4 | 5.917629E-4 | 5.917629E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007104293 | 0.005902036 | 0.005902036 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.3644157E-5 | 1.1322462E-5 | 1.1322462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8473648E-5 | 4.8523947E-5 | 4.8523947E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.116841E-4 | 5.9062085E-4 | 5.9062085E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007094092 | 0.0058906763 | 0.0058906763 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.3568845E-5 | 1.1242029E-5 | 1.1242029E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8150898E-5 | 4.817925E-5 | 4.817925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.077572E-4 | 5.864264E-4 | 5.864264E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007055073 | 0.0058489535 | 0.0058489535 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.306572E-5 | 1.0720488E-5 | 1.0720488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.599474E-5 | 4.5944147E-5 | 4.5944147E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.815227E-4 | 5.592283E-4 | 5.592283E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0067943637 | 0.0055783642 | 0.0055783642 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.232604E-5 | 9.995097E-6 | 9.995097E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2824813E-5 | 4.2835436E-5 | 4.2835436E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.429523E-4 | 5.213984E-4 | 5.213984E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0064109527 | 0.005201892 | 0.005201892 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.0917261E-5 | 8.84379E-6 | 8.84379E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.678742E-5 | 3.7901416E-5 | 3.7901416E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.69488E-4 | 4.613536E-4 | 4.613536E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056803077 | 0.004604073 | 0.004604073 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.039959E-5 | 8.423521E-6 | 8.423521E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.456891E-5 | 3.610031E-5 | 3.610031E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.424914E-4 | 4.394342E-4 | 4.394342E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054116896 | 0.004385763 | 0.004385763 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 9.015877E-6 | 7.2975085E-6 | 7.2975085E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.86389E-5 | 3.127467E-5 | 3.127467E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7032707E-4 | 3.80704E-4 | 3.80704E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004693329 | 0.0038006115 | 0.0038006115 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.900162E-6 | 3.874114E-6 | 3.874114E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1000526E-5 | 1.660324E-5 | 1.660324E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556514E-4 | 2.0212584E-4 | 2.0212584E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025535747 | 0.0020194335 | 0.0020194335 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.8850626E-6 | 3.126756E-6 | 3.126756E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6650163E-5 | 1.3400314E-5 | 1.3400314E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0269687E-4 | 1.631367E-4 | 1.631367E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002025121 | 0.0016301788 | 0.0016301788 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.4654719E-6 | 2.0299E-6 | 2.0299E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0566265E-5 | 8.699543E-6 | 8.699543E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2863669E-4 | 1.0591184E-4 | 1.0591184E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012856225 | 0.0010586183 | 0.0010586183 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 4.095894E-7 | 3.2765044E-7 | 3.2765044E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7553821E-6 | 1.4042155E-6 | 1.4042155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1371567E-5 | 1.7096192E-5 | 1.7096192E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1369511E-4 | 1.7094908E-4 | 1.7094908E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.6836047E-9 | 5.6836047E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.4358307E-8 | 2.4358307E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.9656238E-7 | 2.9656238E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.065434E-6 | 2.9656217E-6 | 2.9656217E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4142788E-5 | 3.4142544E-5 | 1.4141924 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03465E-4 | 1.1346396E-4 | 1.0966411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001258961 | 0.0012689484 | 1.007933 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012927159 | 0.01293703 | 1.0007635 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4142788E-5 | 3.4142544E-5 | 1.4141924 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03465E-4 | 1.1346396E-4 | 1.0966411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001258961 | 0.0012689484 | 1.007933 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012927159 | 0.01293703 | 1.0007635 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4142788E-5 | 3.4142544E-5 | 1.4141924 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03465E-4 | 1.1346396E-4 | 1.0966411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001258961 | 0.0012689484 | 1.007933 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012927159 | 0.01293703 | 1.0007635 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4142788E-5 | 3.4142544E-5 | 1.4141924 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03465E-4 | 1.1346396E-4 | 1.0966411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001258961 | 0.0012689484 | 1.007933 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012927159 | 0.01293703 | 1.0007635 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.7374346E-5 | 2.4142788E-5 | 3.4142544E-5 | 1.4141924 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1731335E-4 | 1.03465E-4 | 1.1346396E-4 | 1.0966411 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014273542 | 0.001258961 | 0.0012689484 | 1.007933 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01418221 | 0.012927159 | 0.01293703 | 1.0007635 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.7282445E-5 | 2.4028866E-5 | 3.4028624E-5 | 1.4161562 | 1.0E-5 | 1.16919524E-4 | 1.029768E-4 | 1.1297577E-4 | 1.0970993 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014225657 | 0.0012530241 | 0.0012630116 | 1.0079707 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014134934 | 0.012868487 | 0.012878358 | 1.0007671 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.7282445E-5 | 2.4028866E-5 | 3.4028624E-5 | 1.4161562 | 1.0E-5 | 1.16919524E-4 | 1.029768E-4 | 1.1297577E-4 | 1.0970993 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014225657 | 0.0012530241 | 0.0012630116 | 1.0079707 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014134934 | 0.012868487 | 0.012878358 | 1.0007671 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.7216198E-5 | 2.3953988E-5 | 3.3953747E-5 | 1.417457 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1663563E-4 | 1.0265592E-4 | 1.12654896E-4 | 1.0974028 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014191137 | 0.0012491219 | 0.0012591094 | 1.0079956 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014100855 | 0.012829898 | 0.01283977 | 1.0007694 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 2.7078617E-5 | 2.3871207E-5 | 3.387097E-5 | 1.4189047 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1604605E-4 | 1.0230118E-4 | 1.1230016E-4 | 1.0977405 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001411945 | 0.0012448078 | 0.0012547954 | 1.0080234 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014030075 | 0.012787037 | 0.012796909 | 1.000772 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.6982952E-5 | 2.379072E-5 | 3.3790482E-5 | 1.420322 | 1.0E-5 | 1.15636096E-4 | 1.0195626E-4 | 1.1195525E-4 | 1.0980712 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014069602 | 0.0012406133 | 0.0012506009 | 1.0080506 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013980856 | 0.012745332 | 0.012755205 | 1.0007746 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.6449972E-5 | 2.3367753E-5 | 3.336752E-5 | 1.4279301 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1335209E-4 | 1.0014368E-4 | 1.1014268E-4 | 1.0998465 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001379188 | 0.0012185699 | 0.0012285578 | 1.0081964 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0137065975 | 0.012526683 | 0.012536556 | 1.0007883 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.6257849E-5 | 2.3193794E-5 | 3.3193563E-5 | 1.4311398 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1252879E-4 | 9.93982E-5 | 1.0939721E-4 | 1.1005955 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013691769 | 0.0012095039 | 0.0012194917 | 1.0082579 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013607717 | 0.012436609 | 0.0124464845 | 1.000794 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.5270041E-5 | 2.2388584E-5 | 3.238836E-5 | 1.4466462 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0829568E-4 | 9.594756E-5 | 1.059466E-4 | 1.1042136 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013177024 | 0.0011675379 | 0.0011775262 | 1.008555 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013099162 | 0.01201761 | 0.012027489 | 1.0008221 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.339701E-5 | 2.1120475E-5 | 3.1120264E-5 | 1.4734643 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0026905E-4 | 9.051319E-5 | 1.0051229E-4 | 1.1104711 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001220092 | 0.0011014431 | 0.0011114321 | 1.009069 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012134149 | 0.011356557 | 0.011366443 | 1.0008706 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.296333E-5 | 2.0850846E-5 | 3.085064E-5 | 1.4795868 | 1.0E-5 | 9.841056E-5 | 8.9357716E-5 | 9.9356825E-5 | 1.1118997 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011974899 | 0.0010873893 | 0.0010973784 | 1.0091864 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011910575 | 0.011215675 | 0.011225562 | 1.0008816 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.2188895E-5 | 2.0373802E-5 | 3.0373598E-5 | 1.4908164 | 1.0E-5 | 9.50918E-5 | 8.731338E-5 | 9.731251E-5 | 1.11452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011571277 | 0.001062524 | 0.0010725134 | 1.0094016 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011511209 | 0.010965329 | 0.010975219 | 1.0009019 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 2.0013189E-5 | 1.8960156E-5 | 2.8959965E-5 | 1.5274118 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5767984E-5 | 8.125529E-5 | 9.125447E-5 | 1.1230589 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001043725 | 9.888359E-4 | 9.98826E-4 | 1.0101029 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010388365 | 0.010223334 | 0.010233231 | 1.0009681 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.7230794E-5 | 1.6741575E-5 | 2.6741407E-5 | 1.5973054 | 1.0E-5 | 7.384417E-5 | 7.1747636E-5 | 8.174692E-5 | 1.1393675 | 1.0E-5 | 8.986819E-4 | 8.731782E-4 | 8.831695E-4 | 1.0114424 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008950562 | 0.009061908 | 0.009071818 | 1.0010935 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.4478809E-5 | 1.4988977E-5 | 2.4988827E-5 | 1.6671469 | 1.0E-5 | 6.205057E-5 | 6.423689E-5 | 7.4236246E-5 | 1.1556637 | 1.0E-5 | 7.552038E-4 | 7.8180415E-4 | 7.9179637E-4 | 1.0127809 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0075264242 | 0.008140343 | 0.008150262 | 1.0012184 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.1114467E-5 | 1.1643263E-5 | 2.1643145E-5 | 1.8588558 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7632562E-5 | 4.9898747E-5 | 5.9898248E-5 | 1.2003958 | 1.0E-5 | 5.797721E-4 | 6.0734845E-4 | 6.1734236E-4 | 1.016455 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0057826187 | 0.0063794446 | 0.006389381 | 1.0015576 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 9.327402E-6 | 9.897503E-6 | 1.9897405E-5 | 2.010346 | 1.0E-5 | 3.9973966E-5 | 4.2417185E-5 | 5.241676E-5 | 1.2357435 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8657437E-4 | 5.1630737E-4 | 5.263022E-4 | 1.0193583 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0048551033 | 0.0054491456 | 0.005459091 | 1.0018251 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 7.0235833E-6 | 6.826148E-6 | 6.826148E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0100724E-5 | 2.9254594E-5 | 2.9254594E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.664147E-4 | 3.5611697E-4 | 3.5611697E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003658111 | 0.0037869003 | 0.0037869003 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 2.0358202E-6 | 8.9895474E-7 | 8.9895474E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.724915E-6 | 3.8526578E-6 | 3.8526578E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06220665E-4 | 4.690512E-5 | 4.690512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001061699 | 5.3228246E-4 | 5.3228246E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 2.0051264E-7 | 6.612408E-8 | 6.612408E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5933965E-7 | 2.8338889E-7 | 2.8338889E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.046241E-5 | 3.4502548E-6 | 3.4502548E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0461917E-4 | 4.0113817E-5 | 4.0113817E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Puente Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2101656E-5 | 8.098422E-6 | 8.098422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.4707093E-5 | 3.4707093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.2248255E-4 | 4.3247832E-4 | 1.0236596 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062946146 | 0.004217354 | 0.004227312 | 1.0023612 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.2101656E-5 | 8.098422E-6 | 8.098422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.4707093E-5 | 3.4707093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.2248255E-4 | 4.3247832E-4 | 1.0236596 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062946146 | 0.004217354 | 0.004227312 | 1.0023612 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2101656E-5 | 8.098422E-6 | 8.098422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.4707093E-5 | 3.4707093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.2248255E-4 | 4.3247832E-4 | 1.0236596 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062946146 | 0.004217354 | 0.004227312 | 1.0023612 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.2101656E-5 | 8.098422E-6 | 8.098422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.4707093E-5 | 3.4707093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.2248255E-4 | 4.3247832E-4 | 1.0236596 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062946146 | 0.004217354 | 0.004227312 | 1.0023612 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2101656E-5 | 8.098422E-6 | 8.098422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.4707093E-5 | 3.4707093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.2248255E-4 | 4.3247832E-4 | 1.0236596 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062946146 | 0.004217354 | 0.004227312 | 1.0023612 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.2101656E-5 | 8.098422E-6 | 8.098422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.4707093E-5 | 3.4707093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.2248255E-4 | 4.3247832E-4 | 1.0236596 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0062946146 | 0.004217354 | 0.004227312 | 1.0023612 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0222488E-5 | 6.3990556E-6 | 6.3990556E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3809923E-5 | 2.742425E-5 | 2.742425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.332553E-4 | 3.3384154E-4 | 3.3384154E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053197746 | 0.0033336454 | 0.0033336454 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.0222488E-5 | 6.3990556E-6 | 6.3990556E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3809923E-5 | 2.742425E-5 | 2.742425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.332553E-4 | 3.3384154E-4 | 3.3384154E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0053197746 | 0.0033336454 | 0.0033336454 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 8.6367845E-6 | 5.0281087E-6 | 5.0281087E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7014266E-5 | 2.1548862E-5 | 2.1548862E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.505555E-4 | 2.6232636E-4 | 2.6232636E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004496431 | 0.0026202232 | 0.0026202232 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 8.066481E-6 | 4.835991E-6 | 4.835991E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570177E-5 | 2.0725514E-5 | 2.0725514E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2081063E-4 | 2.5230445E-4 | 2.5230445E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042001465 | 0.0025202339 | 0.0025202339 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.393828E-6 | 4.417208E-6 | 4.417208E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.168745E-5 | 1.8930756E-5 | 1.8930756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.857264E-4 | 2.3045803E-4 | 2.3045803E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038505755 | 0.0023022357 | 0.0023022357 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 6.4660953E-6 | 3.804372E-6 | 3.804372E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7711543E-5 | 1.6304351E-5 | 1.6304351E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.373358E-4 | 1.9848775E-4 | 1.9848775E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0033682417 | 0.0019831406 | 0.0019831406 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.143232E-6 | 2.7864805E-6 | 2.7864805E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2042237E-5 | 1.1942006E-5 | 1.1942006E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6833118E-4 | 1.4538431E-4 | 1.4538431E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002680074 | 0.0014529017 | 0.0014529017 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.928255E-6 | 2.0913305E-6 | 2.0913305E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.683527E-5 | 8.962815E-6 | 8.962815E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0495013E-4 | 1.09116874E-4 | 1.09116874E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002047612 | 0.0010906396 | 0.0010906396 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 2.7894434E-6 | 1.3546374E-6 | 1.3546374E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1954703E-5 | 5.805576E-6 | 5.805576E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4553878E-4 | 7.0680646E-5 | 7.0680646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001454435 | 7.06586E-4 | 7.06586E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 2.041735E-6 | 8.78696E-7 | 8.78696E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.750263E-6 | 3.765835E-6 | 3.765835E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.06529245E-4 | 4.584811E-5 | 4.584811E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010647819 | 4.5838987E-4 | 4.5838987E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6959062E-6 | 6.6983114E-7 | 6.6983114E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.268149E-6 | 2.870702E-6 | 2.870702E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.848612E-5 | 3.4950266E-5 | 3.4950266E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.84509E-4 | 3.4945057E-4 | 3.4945057E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.4767965E-6 | 5.407121E-7 | 5.407121E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3291122E-6 | 2.3173357E-6 | 2.3173357E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.705422E-5 | 2.8213222E-5 | 2.8213222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.702751E-4 | 2.8209898E-4 | 2.8209898E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.8432911E-7 | 7.28111E-8 | 7.28111E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8998164E-7 | 3.1204755E-7 | 3.1204755E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.617985E-6 | 3.7991756E-6 | 3.7991756E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.617568E-5 | 3.799143E-5 | 3.799143E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Gillem - Big Crack 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.196852E-5 | 2.360444E-5 | 2.360444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4147406E-5 | 1.0115846E-4 | 1.0115846E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011456419 | 0.0012309974 | 0.0012309974 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011397537 | 0.012250645 | 0.012260523 | 1.0008063 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 9.992795E-6 | 1.0711869E-5 | 1.0711869E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2825563E-5 | 4.590731E-5 | 4.590731E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2127644E-4 | 5.5879646E-4 | 5.5879646E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052005537 | 0.005575724 | 0.005575724 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 9.992795E-6 | 1.0711869E-5 | 1.0711869E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2825563E-5 | 4.590731E-5 | 4.590731E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2127644E-4 | 5.5879646E-4 | 5.5879646E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052005537 | 0.005575724 | 0.005575724 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 4.6127884E-6 | 4.9426476E-6 | 4.9426476E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9768944E-5 | 2.1182628E-5 | 2.1182628E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.406603E-4 | 2.5787242E-4 | 2.5787242E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024039985 | 0.0025761703 | 0.0025761703 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 4.6127884E-6 | 4.9426476E-6 | 4.9426476E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9768944E-5 | 2.1182628E-5 | 2.1182628E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.406603E-4 | 2.5787242E-4 | 2.5787242E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024039985 | 0.0025761703 | 0.0025761703 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.716712E-6 | 2.9111059E-6 | 2.9111059E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1643E-5 | 1.2476122E-5 | 1.2476122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.417443E-4 | 1.5188863E-4 | 1.5188863E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014165393 | 0.0015180861 | 0.0015180861 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.3818255E-6 | 1.4820661E-6 | 1.4820661E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.922096E-6 | 6.351703E-6 | 6.351703E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.209913E-5 | 7.733047E-5 | 7.733047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2075747E-4 | 7.731565E-4 | 7.731565E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Newport-Inglewood (Offshore)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9626508E-5 | 1.8965293E-5 | 2.8965103E-5 | 1.527269 | 1.0E-5 | 8.411089E-5 | 8.1277365E-5 | 9.127655E-5 | 1.1230255 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001023569 | 9.891153E-4 | 9.991054E-4 | 1.0101 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010188672 | 0.009848471 | 0.009858373 | 1.0010054 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.331886E-5 | 1.2218042E-5 | 1.2218042E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.707958E-5 | 5.2361993E-5 | 5.2361993E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.947222E-4 | 6.3732226E-4 | 6.3732226E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006925544 | 0.0063551227 | 0.0063551227 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 1.2250852E-5 | 1.1075981E-5 | 1.1075981E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2502597E-5 | 4.746763E-5 | 4.746763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3903164E-4 | 5.7776616E-4 | 5.7776616E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006371971 | 0.0057627615 | 0.0057627615 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.2106258E-5 | 1.0918843E-5 | 1.0918843E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1882926E-5 | 4.6794208E-5 | 4.6794208E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3149154E-4 | 5.695715E-4 | 5.695715E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0062970007 | 0.005681234 | 0.005681234 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.1348758E-5 | 1.0109316E-5 | 1.0109316E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8636626E-5 | 4.3324922E-5 | 4.3324922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.919901E-4 | 5.273541E-4 | 5.273541E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005904155 | 0.0052611222 | 0.0052611222 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.100837E-5 | 9.743343E-6 | 9.743343E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7177873E-5 | 4.175652E-5 | 4.175652E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7423924E-4 | 5.0826784E-4 | 5.0826784E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005727576 | 0.005071145 | 0.005071145 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.0634696E-5 | 9.345498E-6 | 9.345498E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.557647E-5 | 4.0051524E-5 | 4.0051524E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5475225E-4 | 4.8751896E-4 | 4.8751896E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0055336943 | 0.0048645814 | 0.0048645814 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.9780855E-6 | 8.667869E-6 | 8.667869E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.276252E-5 | 3.7147485E-5 | 3.7147485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.205093E-4 | 4.5217745E-4 | 4.5217745E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0051929182 | 0.004512653 | 0.004512653 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 9.59546E-6 | 8.272904E-6 | 8.272904E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1122752E-5 | 3.5454825E-5 | 3.5454825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0055445E-4 | 4.3157765E-4 | 4.3157765E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004994285 | 0.0043074708 | 0.0043074708 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 9.000614E-6 | 7.706796E-6 | 7.706796E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.857349E-5 | 3.3028715E-5 | 3.3028715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6953102E-4 | 4.0205102E-4 | 4.0205102E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004685402 | 0.0040133083 | 0.0040133083 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 7.4070194E-6 | 6.148853E-6 | 6.148853E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1743984E-5 | 2.6351963E-5 | 2.6351963E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8641447E-4 | 3.2078807E-4 | 3.2078807E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038574322 | 0.0032032698 | 0.0032032698 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 6.299615E-6 | 5.0565545E-6 | 5.0565545E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.699807E-5 | 2.1670769E-5 | 2.1670769E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2865192E-4 | 2.6380978E-4 | 2.6380978E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003281663 | 0.002634981 | 0.002634981 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 5.096653E-6 | 3.8927265E-6 | 3.8927265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1842614E-5 | 1.6683009E-5 | 1.6683009E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6590136E-4 | 2.030968E-4 | 2.030968E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026558342 | 0.002029123 | 0.002029123 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 3.9753018E-6 | 2.9098735E-6 | 2.9098735E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7036897E-5 | 1.2470827E-5 | 1.2470827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0740448E-4 | 1.5182182E-4 | 1.5182182E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00207211 | 0.0015171891 | 0.0015171891 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.0568392E-6 | 2.1449691E-6 | 2.1449691E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3100675E-5 | 9.192692E-6 | 9.192692E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5948903E-4 | 1.11915346E-4 | 1.11915346E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015937461 | 0.0011185961 | 0.0011185961 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7279019E-6 | 1.1469632E-6 | 1.1469632E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.405273E-6 | 4.9155474E-6 | 4.9155474E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.015547E-5 | 5.9845188E-5 | 5.9845188E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.01189E-4 | 5.982946E-4 | 5.982946E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.1156416E-6 | 7.222953E-7 | 7.222953E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7813123E-6 | 3.0955478E-6 | 3.0955478E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.821092E-5 | 3.7687667E-5 | 3.7687667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8195676E-4 | 3.768151E-4 | 3.768151E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 9.117973E-8 | 6.7341965E-8 | 6.7341965E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.907702E-7 | 2.886084E-7 | 2.886084E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.757617E-6 | 3.5138016E-6 | 3.5138016E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7575148E-5 | 3.513749E-5 | 3.513749E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
King Range 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.2462566E-5 | 1.3021474E-5 | 1.3021474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.34099E-5 | 5.5805318E-5 | 6.5804765E-5 | 1.1791844 | 1.0E-5 | 6.5007154E-4 | 6.792529E-4 | 6.892461E-4 | 1.0147121 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064817313 | 0.0067761377 | 0.00678607 | 1.0014658 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.2462566E-5 | 1.3021474E-5 | 1.3021474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.34099E-5 | 5.5805318E-5 | 6.5804765E-5 | 1.1791844 | 1.0E-5 | 6.5007154E-4 | 6.792529E-4 | 6.892461E-4 | 1.0147121 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064817313 | 0.0067761377 | 0.00678607 | 1.0014658 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.2462566E-5 | 1.3021474E-5 | 1.3021474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.34099E-5 | 5.5805318E-5 | 6.5804765E-5 | 1.1791844 | 1.0E-5 | 6.5007154E-4 | 6.792529E-4 | 6.892461E-4 | 1.0147121 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0064817313 | 0.0067761377 | 0.00678607 | 1.0014658 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 7.988484E-6 | 8.2126E-6 | 8.2126E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.423591E-5 | 3.5196455E-5 | 3.5196455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1674246E-4 | 4.284455E-4 | 4.284455E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004159618 | 0.0042783963 | 0.0042783963 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 7.988484E-6 | 8.2126E-6 | 8.2126E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.423591E-5 | 3.5196455E-5 | 3.5196455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1674246E-4 | 4.284455E-4 | 4.284455E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004159618 | 0.0042783963 | 0.0042783963 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 5.0522513E-6 | 5.081072E-6 | 5.081072E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1652326E-5 | 2.1775844E-5 | 2.1775844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6358519E-4 | 2.650896E-4 | 2.650896E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026327274 | 0.0026487568 | 0.0026487568 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 4.53682E-6 | 4.537777E-6 | 4.537777E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.944337E-5 | 1.9447474E-5 | 1.9447474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3669732E-4 | 2.3674787E-4 | 2.3674787E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023644536 | 0.0023659475 | 0.0023659475 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 4.1144335E-6 | 4.0958103E-6 | 4.0958103E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7633167E-5 | 1.7553357E-5 | 1.7553357E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1466266E-4 | 2.1369157E-4 | 2.1369157E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021445542 | 0.0021358307 | 0.0021358307 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 3.8321214E-6 | 3.806276E-6 | 3.806276E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6423275E-5 | 1.6312511E-5 | 1.6312511E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9993502E-4 | 1.9858706E-4 | 1.9858706E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019975523 | 0.0019850596 | 0.0019850596 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 3.4999944E-6 | 3.4627258E-6 | 3.4627258E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.499989E-5 | 1.48401705E-5 | 1.48401705E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8260835E-4 | 1.8066436E-4 | 1.8066436E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018245836 | 0.0018061305 | 0.0018061305 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.9470837E-6 | 2.8858465E-6 | 2.8858465E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.26302975E-5 | 1.2367856E-5 | 1.2367856E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5376302E-4 | 1.5056842E-4 | 1.5056842E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015365666 | 0.0015056095 | 0.0015056095 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.4850247E-6 | 2.3971386E-6 | 2.3971386E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0650062E-5 | 1.0273411E-5 | 1.0273411E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.296568E-4 | 1.2507175E-4 | 1.2507175E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012958117 | 0.001250959 | 0.001250959 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.1800304E-6 | 2.0754587E-6 | 2.0754587E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.342954E-6 | 8.894793E-6 | 8.894793E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1374453E-4 | 1.0828881E-4 | 1.0828881E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011368633 | 0.0010832901 | 0.0010832901 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.0378504E-6 | 1.949098E-6 | 1.949098E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.733615E-6 | 8.353251E-6 | 8.353251E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0632657E-4 | 1.01696176E-4 | 1.01696176E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010627571 | 0.0010174096 | 0.0010174096 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.4577047E-6 | 1.4092544E-6 | 1.4092544E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.247291E-6 | 6.039648E-6 | 6.039648E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.605811E-5 | 7.3530304E-5 | 7.3530304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.603208E-4 | 7.3589745E-4 | 7.3589745E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.0685743E-7 | 6.534257E-7 | 6.534257E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.457956E-6 | 2.8003928E-6 | 2.8003928E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.20998E-5 | 3.4094297E-5 | 3.4094297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2091825E-4 | 3.4157035E-4 | 3.4157035E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.1239435E-7 | 1.3263886E-7 | 1.3263886E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3388321E-6 | 5.6845215E-7 | 5.6845215E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.630016E-5 | 6.9208836E-6 | 6.9208836E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6298964E-4 | 6.984884E-5 | 6.984884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.7747207E-7 | 4.7719123E-8 | 4.7719123E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.605944E-7 | 2.0451051E-7 | 2.0451051E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.260198E-6 | 2.4899127E-6 | 2.4899127E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2598115E-5 | 2.5304173E-5 | 2.5304173E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.1035538E-8 | 2.198198E-9 | 2.198198E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0152305E-8 | 9.42085E-9 | 9.42085E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0976038E-6 | 1.14698835E-7 | 1.14698835E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0975983E-5 | 1.1837726E-6 | 1.1837726E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.4782963E-9 | 8.666401E-13 | 8.666401E-13 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.335555E-9 | 3.713918E-12 | 3.713918E-12 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.713538E-8 | 4.5216608E-11 | 4.5216608E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7135354E-7 | 6.536939E-10 | 6.536939E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4394532E-5 | 4.4394186E-5 | 1.2907339 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4739682E-4 | 1.5739533E-4 | 1.067834 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017930809 | 0.001803063 | 1.005567 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.018522728 | 0.018532544 | 1.0005299 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4394532E-5 | 4.4394186E-5 | 1.2907339 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4739682E-4 | 1.5739533E-4 | 1.067834 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017930809 | 0.001803063 | 1.005567 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.018522728 | 0.018532544 | 1.0005299 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4394532E-5 | 4.4394186E-5 | 1.2907339 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4739682E-4 | 1.5739533E-4 | 1.067834 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017930809 | 0.001803063 | 1.005567 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.018522728 | 0.018532544 | 1.0005299 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.652694E-5 | 3.4394532E-5 | 4.4394186E-5 | 1.2907339 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5653463E-4 | 1.4739682E-4 | 1.5739533E-4 | 1.067834 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019041431 | 0.0017930809 | 0.001803063 | 1.005567 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018879099 | 0.018522728 | 0.018532544 | 1.0005299 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.646941E-5 | 3.4316105E-5 | 4.4315762E-5 | 1.2913984 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5628811E-4 | 1.4706074E-4 | 1.5705927E-4 | 1.0679891 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019011468 | 0.0017889964 | 0.0017989785 | 1.0055797 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018849645 | 0.01848261 | 0.018492425 | 1.0005311 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.646941E-5 | 3.4316105E-5 | 4.4315762E-5 | 1.2913984 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5628811E-4 | 1.4706074E-4 | 1.5705927E-4 | 1.0679891 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019011468 | 0.0017889964 | 0.0017989785 | 1.0055797 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018849645 | 0.01848261 | 0.018492425 | 1.0005311 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.6442503E-5 | 3.4279492E-5 | 4.427915E-5 | 1.2917097 | 1.0E-5 | 1.561728E-4 | 1.4690385E-4 | 1.5690239E-4 | 1.0680617 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018997455 | 0.0017870895 | 0.0017970717 | 1.0055857 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018835869 | 0.018463878 | 0.018473694 | 1.0005316 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.6432113E-5 | 3.4265067E-5 | 4.4264725E-5 | 1.2918324 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5612828E-4 | 1.4684204E-4 | 1.5684057E-4 | 1.0680904 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018992044 | 0.0017863383 | 0.0017963204 | 1.005588 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018830549 | 0.018456502 | 0.018466318 | 1.0005318 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.6409598E-5 | 3.4234123E-5 | 4.423378E-5 | 1.2920963 | 1.0E-5 | 1.560318E-4 | 1.4670944E-4 | 1.5670797E-4 | 1.068152 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018980318 | 0.0017847265 | 0.0017947087 | 1.0055931 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018819023 | 0.018440656 | 0.018450473 | 1.0005323 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.638078E-5 | 3.419455E-5 | 4.4194207E-5 | 1.2924343 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5590832E-4 | 1.4653984E-4 | 1.5653839E-4 | 1.0682309 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018965311 | 0.0017826651 | 0.0017926473 | 1.0055996 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018804269 | 0.01842039 | 0.018430207 | 1.0005329 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.6294874E-5 | 3.407657E-5 | 4.4076227E-5 | 1.2934468 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5554018E-4 | 1.4603428E-4 | 1.5603281E-4 | 1.068467 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018920569 | 0.0017765199 | 0.0017865022 | 1.0056189 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018760284 | 0.018359972 | 0.018369788 | 1.0005347 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.6260717E-5 | 3.403285E-5 | 4.403251E-5 | 1.2938237 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5539382E-4 | 1.4584693E-4 | 1.5584547E-4 | 1.068555 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001890278 | 0.0017742428 | 0.0017842251 | 1.0056262 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018742796 | 0.018337566 | 0.018347384 | 1.0005354 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.6210204E-5 | 3.396707E-5 | 4.396673E-5 | 1.2943928 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5517735E-4 | 1.4556505E-4 | 1.555636E-4 | 1.0686878 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001887647 | 0.0017708165 | 0.0017807988 | 1.0056372 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01871693 | 0.018303836 | 0.018313652 | 1.0005363 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.6119454E-5 | 3.385536E-5 | 4.385502E-5 | 1.2953643 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5478847E-4 | 1.4508633E-4 | 1.5508488E-4 | 1.0689145 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018829206 | 0.0017649976 | 0.00177498 | 1.0056558 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018670462 | 0.018246388 | 0.018256206 | 1.0005381 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.607848E-5 | 3.3802888E-5 | 4.380255E-5 | 1.2958227 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5461289E-4 | 1.4486148E-4 | 1.5486004E-4 | 1.0690215 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018807866 | 0.0017622644 | 0.0017722468 | 1.0056645 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018649481 | 0.0182194 | 0.018229218 | 1.0005388 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.5856774E-5 | 3.3612705E-5 | 4.361237E-5 | 1.2974966 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5366284E-4 | 1.4404651E-4 | 1.5404508E-4 | 1.069412 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018692396 | 0.0017523582 | 0.0017623407 | 1.0056967 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018535944 | 0.01812053 | 0.018130347 | 1.0005418 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.286655E-5 | 3.213617E-5 | 4.213585E-5 | 1.3111658 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4084904E-4 | 1.3771918E-4 | 1.4771782E-4 | 1.0726016 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001713488 | 0.0016754436 | 0.0016854268 | 1.0059586 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017003361 | 0.017340416 | 0.017350242 | 1.0005667 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 2.8882527E-5 | 2.9232393E-5 | 3.92321E-5 | 1.3420763 | 1.0E-5 | 1.237764E-4 | 1.2527568E-4 | 1.3527441E-4 | 1.079814 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015059357 | 0.0015241653 | 0.00153415 | 1.006551 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014957713 | 0.015828714 | 0.015838556 | 1.0006218 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.4950225E-5 | 2.6523543E-5 | 3.6523277E-5 | 1.3770136 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0692515E-4 | 1.1366738E-4 | 1.2366624E-4 | 1.087966 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013010362 | 0.0013830226 | 0.0013930089 | 1.0072205 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012934455 | 0.014410028 | 0.014419884 | 1.0006839 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.9881603E-5 | 2.1504095E-5 | 3.1503878E-5 | 1.4650177 | 1.0E-5 | 8.520408E-5 | 9.2157155E-5 | 1.02156235E-4 | 1.1085002 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001036866 | 0.0011214366 | 0.0011314254 | 1.0089071 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010320415 | 0.011775419 | 0.011785301 | 1.0008392 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.563292E-5 | 1.5934353E-5 | 2.5934192E-5 | 1.6275649 | 1.0E-5 | 6.6996516E-5 | 6.82883E-5 | 7.8287616E-5 | 1.146428 | 1.0E-5 | 8.153773E-4 | 8.310935E-4 | 8.410852E-4 | 1.0120224 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00812392 | 0.00880904 | 0.008818951 | 1.0011252 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0045313E-5 | 8.299667E-6 | 8.299667E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.305063E-5 | 3.556952E-5 | 3.556952E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2401534E-4 | 4.3297335E-4 | 4.3297335E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052278144 | 0.004658037 | 0.004658037 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.1554413E-6 | 1.5644919E-6 | 1.5644919E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7808914E-5 | 6.7049477E-6 | 6.7049477E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1680194E-4 | 8.162971E-5 | 8.162971E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021659054 | 9.4777363E-4 | 9.4777363E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 3.6117652E-7 | 3.6117652E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.5478985E-6 | 1.5478985E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 1.8845505E-5 | 1.8845505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.273426E-4 | 2.273426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.757326E-6 | 6.757326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8959692E-5 | 2.8959692E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253522E-4 | 3.625317E-4 | 1.028356 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.003520548 | 0.0035305128 | 1.0028305 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.757326E-6 | 6.757326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8959692E-5 | 2.8959692E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253522E-4 | 3.625317E-4 | 1.028356 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.003520548 | 0.0035305128 | 1.0028305 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.757326E-6 | 6.757326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8959692E-5 | 2.8959692E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253522E-4 | 3.625317E-4 | 1.028356 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.003520548 | 0.0035305128 | 1.0028305 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.757326E-6 | 6.757326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8959692E-5 | 2.8959692E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253522E-4 | 3.625317E-4 | 1.028356 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.003520548 | 0.0035305128 | 1.0028305 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.757326E-6 | 6.757326E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8959692E-5 | 2.8959692E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.5253522E-4 | 3.625317E-4 | 1.028356 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034516277 | 0.003520548 | 0.0035305128 | 1.0028305 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2570897E-6 | 3.2570897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3958886E-5 | 1.3958886E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.6993699E-4 | 1.6993699E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016767744 | 0.0016981501 | 0.0016981501 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2570897E-6 | 3.2570897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3958886E-5 | 1.3958886E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.6993699E-4 | 1.6993699E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016767744 | 0.0016981501 | 0.0016981501 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.1908265E-6 | 2.207121E-6 | 2.207121E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.389223E-6 | 9.459058E-6 | 9.459058E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1430779E-4 | 1.1515813E-4 | 1.1515813E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011424901 | 0.001151004 | 0.001151004 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.7303895E-6 | 1.7365521E-6 | 1.7365521E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.415934E-6 | 7.4423456E-6 | 7.4423456E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.028525E-5 | 9.060689E-5 | 9.060689E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.024858E-4 | 9.057092E-4 | 9.057092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.3700314E-6 | 1.3688617E-6 | 1.3688617E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.87155E-6 | 5.8665373E-6 | 5.8665373E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.148377E-5 | 7.142279E-5 | 7.142279E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.146078E-4 | 7.14003E-4 | 7.14003E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.1467797E-6 | 1.14138E-6 | 1.14138E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9147607E-6 | 4.8916195E-6 | 4.8916195E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.983557E-5 | 5.9553873E-5 | 5.9553873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.981946E-4 | 5.953823E-4 | 5.953823E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.3952065E-7 | 9.302687E-7 | 9.302687E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.026511E-6 | 3.98686E-6 | 3.98686E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9021666E-5 | 4.8538957E-5 | 4.8538957E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.901085E-4 | 4.8528533E-4 | 4.8528533E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 6.858055E-7 | 6.7192985E-7 | 6.7192985E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.939163E-6 | 2.8796962E-6 | 2.8796962E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5783723E-5 | 3.5059747E-5 | 3.5059747E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5777962E-4 | 3.5054304E-4 | 3.5054304E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.1101983E-7 | 4.9392986E-7 | 4.9392986E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1900833E-6 | 2.1168405E-6 | 2.1168405E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6663936E-5 | 2.5772233E-5 | 2.5772233E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6660739E-4 | 2.5769294E-4 | 2.5769294E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.4999414E-7 | 3.2995902E-7 | 3.2995902E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.499974E-6 | 1.4141093E-6 | 1.4141093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8262032E-5 | 1.7216647E-5 | 1.7216647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.826053E-4 | 1.7215338E-4 | 1.7215338E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7021522E-7 | 1.4750049E-7 | 1.4750049E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2949354E-7 | 6.321448E-7 | 6.321448E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.881548E-6 | 7.696336E-6 | 7.696336E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8811925E-5 | 7.696078E-5 | 7.696078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7352638E-8 | 1.7352638E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.436845E-8 | 7.436845E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.054355E-7 | 9.054355E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421517E-5 | 9.0543235E-6 | 9.0543235E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jose
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.0851277E-6 | 4.1256294E-6 | 1.4125588E-5 | 3.4238627 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1793223E-5 | 1.7681163E-5 | 2.7680986E-5 | 1.5655637 | 1.0E-5 | 2.653002E-4 | 2.1524953E-4 | 2.2524738E-4 | 1.0464478 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026498367 | 0.0021507414 | 0.0021607198 | 1.0046395 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.0851277E-6 | 4.1256294E-6 | 1.4125588E-5 | 3.4238627 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1793223E-5 | 1.7681163E-5 | 2.7680986E-5 | 1.5655637 | 1.0E-5 | 2.653002E-4 | 2.1524953E-4 | 2.2524738E-4 | 1.0464478 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026498367 | 0.0021507414 | 0.0021607198 | 1.0046395 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.0851277E-6 | 4.1256294E-6 | 1.4125588E-5 | 3.4238627 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1793223E-5 | 1.7681163E-5 | 2.7680986E-5 | 1.5655637 | 1.0E-5 | 2.653002E-4 | 2.1524953E-4 | 2.2524738E-4 | 1.0464478 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026498367 | 0.0021507414 | 0.0021607198 | 1.0046395 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.0851277E-6 | 4.1256294E-6 | 1.4125588E-5 | 3.4238627 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1793223E-5 | 1.7681163E-5 | 2.7680986E-5 | 1.5655637 | 1.0E-5 | 2.653002E-4 | 2.1524953E-4 | 2.2524738E-4 | 1.0464478 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026498367 | 0.0021507414 | 0.0021607198 | 1.0046395 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.3115124E-6 | 3.3237404E-6 | 1.3323707E-5 | 4.0086484 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8477778E-5 | 1.4244537E-5 | 2.4244395E-5 | 1.7020135 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2494372E-4 | 1.7341564E-4 | 1.8341391E-4 | 1.057655 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022471617 | 0.0017330928 | 0.0017430756 | 1.0057601 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.3115124E-6 | 3.3237404E-6 | 1.3323707E-5 | 4.0086484 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8477778E-5 | 1.4244537E-5 | 2.4244395E-5 | 1.7020135 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2494372E-4 | 1.7341564E-4 | 1.8341391E-4 | 1.057655 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022471617 | 0.0017330928 | 0.0017430756 | 1.0057601 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.110396E-6 | 2.0799453E-6 | 2.0799453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.33302E-5 | 8.914022E-6 | 8.914022E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.622831E-4 | 1.0852309E-4 | 1.0852309E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016216465 | 0.0010848009 | 0.0010848009 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.110396E-6 | 2.0799453E-6 | 2.0799453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.33302E-5 | 8.914022E-6 | 8.914022E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.622831E-4 | 1.0852309E-4 | 1.0852309E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016216465 | 0.0010848009 | 0.0010848009 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.856651E-6 | 1.902397E-6 | 1.902397E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2242733E-5 | 8.153106E-6 | 8.153106E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4904508E-4 | 9.925979E-5 | 9.925979E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014894515 | 9.922516E-4 | 9.922516E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 2.1618725E-6 | 1.4186304E-6 | 1.4186304E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.265135E-6 | 6.0798307E-6 | 6.0798307E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.12797185E-4 | 7.401951E-5 | 7.401951E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011273995 | 7.4002973E-4 | 7.4002973E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.9684312E-6 | 1.3255981E-6 | 1.3255981E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.436106E-6 | 5.6811227E-6 | 5.6811227E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.02704755E-4 | 6.916556E-5 | 6.916556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001026573 | 6.915209E-4 | 6.915209E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.6070337E-6 | 1.1154774E-6 | 1.1154774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.887269E-6 | 4.780609E-6 | 4.780609E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.384928E-5 | 5.8202422E-5 | 5.8202422E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3817646E-4 | 5.819504E-4 | 5.819504E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.0631658E-6 | 6.403476E-7 | 6.403476E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.556417E-6 | 2.744344E-6 | 2.744344E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5472963E-5 | 3.3411892E-5 | 3.3411892E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.545912E-4 | 3.341425E-4 | 3.341425E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.060711E-7 | 4.5822455E-7 | 4.5822455E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0260155E-6 | 1.963818E-6 | 1.963818E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6841117E-5 | 2.3909231E-5 | 2.3909231E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6835007E-4 | 2.3913995E-4 | 2.3913995E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.3677085E-7 | 2.3231391E-7 | 2.3231391E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4433028E-6 | 9.956307E-7 | 9.956307E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.757207E-5 | 1.2121739E-5 | 1.2121739E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7570681E-4 | 1.2128353E-4 | 1.2128353E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 3.129161E-7 | 1.9529121E-7 | 1.9529121E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3410682E-6 | 8.369621E-7 | 8.369621E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6327383E-5 | 1.0189968E-5 | 1.0189968E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6326184E-4 | 1.0196771E-4 | 1.0196771E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 2.8008668E-7 | 1.4240536E-7 | 1.4240536E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2003709E-6 | 6.103085E-7 | 6.103085E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.46144175E-5 | 7.4304826E-6 | 7.4304826E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4613457E-4 | 7.43752E-5 | 7.43752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.7852005E-7 | 1.4015122E-7 | 1.4015122E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1936568E-6 | 6.006479E-7 | 6.006479E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4532674E-5 | 7.312866E-6 | 7.312866E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4531724E-4 | 7.319911E-5 | 7.319911E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.1810797E-7 | 7.518584E-8 | 7.518584E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0617695E-7 | 3.2222496E-7 | 3.2222496E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1626865E-6 | 3.9230827E-6 | 3.9230827E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.162516E-5 | 3.927637E-5 | 3.927637E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (Central) 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.5010907E-4 | 2.48034E-4 | 2.48034E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4316596E-4 | 0.0010624757 | 0.0010624757 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0078024664 | 0.0128501635 | 0.0128600355 | 1.0007682 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07534136 | 0.1204081 | 0.1204169 | 1.0000731 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.4521465E-4 | 2.3964873E-4 | 2.3964873E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.222001E-4 | 0.001026572 | 0.001026572 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0075490056 | 0.012419487 | 0.012429363 | 1.0007952 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07297657 | 0.11667962 | 0.11668846 | 1.0000757 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.429998E-4 | 2.3896115E-4 | 2.3896115E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.127123E-4 | 0.0010236278 | 0.0010236278 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007434286 | 0.012384097 | 0.012393973 | 1.0007975 | 1.0E-5 | 0.07190444 | 0.11633368 | 0.116342515 | 1.0000759 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3536277E-4 | 2.3227293E-4 | 2.3227293E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.799972E-4 | 9.949915E-4 | 9.949915E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0070386264 | 0.012040272 | 0.012050152 | 1.0008205 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0681982 | 0.11324647 | 0.113255344 | 1.0000783 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.2993296E-4 | 2.2650881E-4 | 2.2650881E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5673666E-4 | 9.7030716E-4 | 9.7030716E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006757223 | 0.0117430845 | 0.011752967 | 1.0008416 | 1.0E-5 | 0.06555412 | 0.11052456 | 0.11053345 | 1.0000805 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.0498927E-4 | 1.7981516E-4 | 1.7981516E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.498764E-4 | 7.704075E-4 | 7.704075E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005463498 | 0.009339288 | 0.009349194 | 1.0010607 | 1.0E-5 | 0.053311124 | 0.08920434 | 0.08921345 | 1.000102 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.0157505E-4 | 1.7469049E-4 | 1.7469049E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.35249E-4 | 7.484576E-4 | 7.484576E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0052862884 | 0.009074337 | 0.009084246 | 1.001092 | 1.0E-5 | 0.05162293 | 0.08678174 | 0.086790875 | 1.0001053 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.660386E-5 | 1.6728343E-4 | 1.6728343E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1395082E-4 | 7.167309E-4 | 7.167309E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0050282106 | 0.008691247 | 0.008701161 | 1.0011406 | 1.0E-5 | 0.049159497 | 0.08327085 | 0.08328001 | 1.0001101 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 9.089927E-5 | 1.5642813E-4 | 1.5642813E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8951015E-4 | 6.7023304E-4 | 6.7023304E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047319788 | 0.008129524 | 0.008139443 | 1.0012201 | 1.0E-5 | 0.046324775 | 0.07815891 | 0.078168124 | 1.0001179 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.353187E-5 | 1.2295424E-4 | 1.2295424E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.150985E-4 | 5.268409E-4 | 5.268409E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038295772 | 0.0063955444 | 0.00640548 | 1.0015535 | 1.0E-5 | 0.037642512 | 0.06218619 | 0.06219557 | 1.0001508 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.746064E-5 | 9.388761E-5 | 9.388761E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4623662E-4 | 4.023138E-4 | 4.023138E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029938098 | 0.0048872405 | 0.0048971917 | 1.0020361 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02953797 | 0.047984343 | 0.047993865 | 1.0001984 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 4.9557195E-5 | 8.052448E-5 | 8.052448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.123707E-4 | 3.4505958E-4 | 3.4505958E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025825473 | 0.004193071 | 0.0042030285 | 1.0023749 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0255274 | 0.041370768 | 0.041380357 | 1.0002317 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.687595E-5 | 5.9523958E-5 | 5.9523958E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5803022E-4 | 2.550779E-4 | 2.550779E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019223199 | 0.0031011798 | 0.0031011798 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01905776 | 0.030881263 | 0.030881263 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 2.5846984E-5 | 4.2471165E-5 | 4.2471165E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1076809E-4 | 1.8200668E-4 | 1.8200668E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013477671 | 0.0022136967 | 0.0022136967 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.013396223 | 0.02217347 | 0.02217347 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.7747854E-5 | 2.9934954E-5 | 2.9934954E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6060016E-5 | 1.2828637E-4 | 1.2828637E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2563726E-4 | 0.0015607704 | 0.0015607704 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009217911 | 0.01570717 | 0.01570717 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.4883479E-5 | 2.6242093E-5 | 2.6242093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.378478E-5 | 1.1246128E-4 | 1.1246128E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.76303E-4 | 0.0013683588 | 0.0013683588 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0077359667 | 0.013800219 | 0.013800219 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.166975E-6 | 1.4961989E-5 | 1.4961989E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5000852E-5 | 6.412124E-5 | 6.412124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2605202E-4 | 7.803978E-4 | 7.803978E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004252361 | 0.007938044 | 0.007938044 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.3858064E-6 | 6.253606E-6 | 6.253606E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4510518E-5 | 2.6800893E-5 | 2.6800893E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7665124E-4 | 3.2625208E-4 | 3.2625208E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017651088 | 0.0033880768 | 0.0033880768 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.7721615E-6 | 5.3661397E-6 | 5.3661397E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1880637E-5 | 2.2997538E-5 | 2.2997538E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4463716E-4 | 2.7995912E-4 | 2.7995912E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014454306 | 0.0029073718 | 0.0029073718 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.9736292E-6 | 4.1283006E-6 | 4.1283006E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.4583835E-6 | 1.7692597E-5 | 1.7692597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0297595E-4 | 2.1538611E-4 | 2.1538611E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010292825 | 0.0022235236 | 0.0022235236 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.1767289E-6 | 2.5544323E-6 | 2.5544323E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0431145E-6 | 1.094752E-5 | 1.094752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.139818E-5 | 1.3327794E-4 | 1.3327794E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1381224E-4 | 0.0013659992 | 0.0013659992 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 7.5112825E-7 | 1.5409354E-6 | 1.5409354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2191172E-6 | 6.603992E-6 | 6.603992E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9192048E-5 | 8.040066E-5 | 8.040066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9185135E-4 | 8.234908E-4 | 8.234908E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Gabriel (Extension)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.7167777E-6 | 5.7167777E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.4500254E-5 | 2.4500254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.9825102E-4 | 2.9825102E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029430336 | 0.0029786346 | 0.0029886048 | 1.0033473 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.7167777E-6 | 5.7167777E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.4500254E-5 | 2.4500254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.9825102E-4 | 2.9825102E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029430336 | 0.0029786346 | 0.0029886048 | 1.0033473 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.7167777E-6 | 5.7167777E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.4500254E-5 | 2.4500254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.9825102E-4 | 2.9825102E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029430336 | 0.0029786346 | 0.0029886048 | 1.0033473 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.7167777E-6 | 5.7167777E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.4500254E-5 | 2.4500254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.9825102E-4 | 2.9825102E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029430336 | 0.0029786346 | 0.0029886048 | 1.0033473 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.7167777E-6 | 5.7167777E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.4500254E-5 | 2.4500254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.9825102E-4 | 2.9825102E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029430336 | 0.0029786346 | 0.0029886048 | 1.0033473 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 4.7134554E-6 | 4.7542026E-6 | 4.7542026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0200367E-5 | 2.0374999E-5 | 2.0374999E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.459117E-4 | 2.4803824E-4 | 2.4803824E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024563975 | 0.0024776987 | 0.002487674 | 1.004026 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.7134554E-6 | 4.7542026E-6 | 4.7542026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0200367E-5 | 2.0374999E-5 | 2.0374999E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.459117E-4 | 2.4803824E-4 | 2.4803824E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024563975 | 0.0024776987 | 0.002487674 | 1.004026 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 4.2468837E-6 | 4.2740203E-6 | 4.2740203E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8200803E-5 | 1.8317105E-5 | 1.8317105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2157225E-4 | 2.2298866E-4 | 2.2298866E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022135144 | 0.0022277217 | 0.0022376995 | 1.0044789 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 4.1180615E-6 | 4.14141E-6 | 4.14141E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7648716E-5 | 1.7748784E-5 | 1.7748784E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1485193E-4 | 2.1607072E-4 | 2.1607072E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021464431 | 0.0021586781 | 0.0021686566 | 1.0046225 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.863861E-6 | 3.879725E-6 | 3.879725E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.65593E-5 | 1.6627293E-5 | 1.6627293E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0159081E-4 | 2.0241916E-4 | 2.0241916E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020140803 | 0.002022416 | 0.002032396 | 1.0049345 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.6947372E-6 | 3.7056247E-6 | 3.7056247E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834492E-5 | 1.5881156E-5 | 1.5881156E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9276788E-4 | 1.933366E-4 | 1.933366E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019260074 | 0.0019317509 | 0.0019417315 | 1.0051666 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.5686835E-6 | 3.5728453E-6 | 3.5728453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5294268E-5 | 1.531211E-5 | 1.531211E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.861918E-4 | 1.8640964E-4 | 1.8640964E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018603588 | 0.001862599 | 0.0018725805 | 1.0053588 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.8023446E-6 | 2.7767378E-6 | 2.7767378E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2009994E-5 | 1.1900251E-5 | 1.1900251E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4621185E-4 | 1.4487603E-4 | 1.4487603E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001461157 | 0.0014478272 | 0.0014578127 | 1.0068969 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.5843012E-6 | 2.5459135E-6 | 2.5459135E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1075529E-5 | 1.0911013E-5 | 1.0911013E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3483623E-4 | 1.328336E-4 | 1.328336E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013475444 | 0.0013275521 | 0.0013375388 | 1.0075227 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.4464468E-6 | 2.3966138E-6 | 2.3966138E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.04847295E-5 | 1.0271162E-5 | 1.0271162E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.276441E-4 | 1.2504432E-4 | 1.2504432E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012757082 | 0.0012497497 | 0.0012597372 | 1.0079916 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.0420266E-6 | 1.8909876E-6 | 1.8909876E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.751514E-6 | 8.104207E-6 | 8.104207E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0654447E-4 | 9.866429E-5 | 9.866429E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001064934 | 9.862088E-4 | 9.862088E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.8326596E-6 | 1.6397767E-6 | 1.6397767E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.854232E-6 | 7.0275955E-6 | 7.0275955E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.562107E-5 | 8.5557636E-5 | 8.5557636E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5579936E-4 | 8.552497E-4 | 8.552497E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.4786998E-6 | 1.2523236E-6 | 1.2523236E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3372695E-6 | 5.36709E-6 | 5.36709E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.715353E-5 | 6.534237E-5 | 6.534237E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7126746E-4 | 6.5323664E-4 | 6.5323664E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 7.6975533E-7 | 6.0688444E-7 | 6.0688444E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2989474E-6 | 2.6009307E-6 | 2.6009307E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0163945E-5 | 3.1665873E-5 | 3.1665873E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0156685E-4 | 3.1661722E-4 | 3.1661722E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.7645915E-7 | 9.2108635E-8 | 9.2108635E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.562533E-7 | 3.9475123E-7 | 3.9475123E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.207345E-6 | 4.8060856E-6 | 4.8060856E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.206964E-5 | 4.806359E-5 | 4.806359E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 1.0463461E-7 | 2.4933069E-8 | 2.4933069E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4843398E-7 | 1.0685601E-7 | 1.0685601E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.45967E-6 | 1.3009711E-6 | 1.3009711E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.459536E-5 | 1.3013402E-5 | 1.3013402E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 7.875717E-8 | 1.3854784E-8 | 1.3854784E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3753068E-7 | 5.9377648E-8 | 5.9377648E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.109428E-6 | 7.229226E-7 | 7.229226E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.109352E-5 | 7.23297E-6 | 7.23297E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.33163E-8 | 1.7716609E-9 | 1.7716609E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7069855E-8 | 7.592834E-9 | 7.592834E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9482525E-7 | 9.244275E-8 | 9.244275E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9482307E-6 | 9.263639E-7 | 9.263639E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Gabriel
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.1984809E-5 | 1.1984809E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.136252E-5 | 5.136252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.251706E-4 | 6.351643E-4 | 1.0159856 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0056390543 | 0.006246196 | 0.0062561333 | 1.001591 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.1984809E-5 | 1.1984809E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.136252E-5 | 5.136252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.251706E-4 | 6.351643E-4 | 1.0159856 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0056390543 | 0.006246196 | 0.0062561333 | 1.001591 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.1984809E-5 | 1.1984809E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.136252E-5 | 5.136252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.251706E-4 | 6.351643E-4 | 1.0159856 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0056390543 | 0.006246196 | 0.0062561333 | 1.001591 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.1984809E-5 | 1.1984809E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.136252E-5 | 5.136252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.251706E-4 | 6.351643E-4 | 1.0159856 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0056390543 | 0.006246196 | 0.0062561333 | 1.001591 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.1984809E-5 | 1.1984809E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.136252E-5 | 5.136252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.251706E-4 | 6.351643E-4 | 1.0159856 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0056390543 | 0.006246196 | 0.0062561333 | 1.001591 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.7317824E-6 | 7.7165705E-6 | 7.7165705E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8850178E-5 | 3.3070603E-5 | 3.3070603E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.511943E-4 | 4.0256127E-4 | 4.0256127E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003506398 | 0.0040293983 | 0.0040293983 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 6.7317824E-6 | 7.7165705E-6 | 7.7165705E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8850178E-5 | 3.3070603E-5 | 3.3070603E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.511943E-4 | 4.0256127E-4 | 4.0256127E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003506398 | 0.0040293983 | 0.0040293983 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 6.274881E-6 | 7.245491E-6 | 7.245491E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6892068E-5 | 3.105174E-5 | 3.105174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2736175E-4 | 3.7799033E-4 | 3.7799033E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032687993 | 0.0037845452 | 0.0037845452 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 5.996209E-6 | 6.9582115E-6 | 6.9582115E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5697784E-5 | 2.982057E-5 | 2.982057E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.128256E-4 | 3.630059E-4 | 3.630059E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003123856 | 0.003635198 | 0.003635198 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.686331E-6 | 6.623257E-6 | 6.623257E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4369761E-5 | 2.8385084E-5 | 2.8385084E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9666146E-4 | 3.455345E-4 | 3.455345E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0029626573 | 0.0034610399 | 0.0034610399 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.2329838E-6 | 6.1471414E-6 | 6.1471414E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.242688E-5 | 2.634463E-5 | 2.634463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7301308E-4 | 3.2069944E-4 | 3.2069944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002726779 | 0.0032134214 | 0.0032134214 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 5.135671E-6 | 6.037267E-6 | 6.037267E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2009834E-5 | 2.587375E-5 | 2.587375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6793676E-4 | 3.149681E-4 | 3.149681E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0026761394 | 0.0031562725 | 0.0031562725 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 4.989062E-6 | 5.8706473E-6 | 5.8706473E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1381518E-5 | 2.515968E-5 | 2.515968E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6028889E-4 | 3.062768E-4 | 3.062768E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025998424 | 0.003069602 | 0.003069602 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 4.8219395E-6 | 5.7022025E-6 | 5.7022025E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0665291E-5 | 2.4437786E-5 | 2.4437786E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5157086E-4 | 2.9749016E-4 | 2.9749016E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025128627 | 0.002981975 | 0.002981975 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.7118383E-6 | 5.590761E-6 | 5.590761E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0193436E-5 | 2.3960187E-5 | 2.3960187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4582737E-4 | 2.9167696E-4 | 2.9167696E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002455556 | 0.0029239964 | 0.0029239964 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.5506545E-6 | 5.436129E-6 | 5.436129E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9502659E-5 | 2.329749E-5 | 2.329749E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.37419E-4 | 2.8361077E-4 | 2.8361077E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002371655 | 0.0028435425 | 0.0028435425 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.343636E-6 | 5.2290106E-6 | 5.2290106E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.861545E-5 | 2.2409857E-5 | 2.2409857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2661954E-4 | 2.7280662E-4 | 2.7280662E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0022638857 | 0.0027357617 | 0.0027357617 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.936235E-6 | 2.7436556E-6 | 2.7436556E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2583803E-5 | 1.1758471E-5 | 1.1758471E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5319703E-4 | 1.4315001E-4 | 1.4315001E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015309147 | 0.0014378818 | 0.0014378818 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.4541639E-6 | 9.121426E-7 | 9.121426E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.232116E-6 | 3.9091765E-6 | 3.9091765E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.587337E-5 | 4.759319E-5 | 4.759319E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.584747E-4 | 4.807264E-4 | 4.807264E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 8.098958E-7 | 2.4161702E-7 | 2.4161702E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4709774E-6 | 1.0355011E-6 | 1.0355011E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.225833E-5 | 1.2607153E-5 | 1.2607153E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2250296E-4 | 1.2914473E-4 | 1.2914473E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.2473234E-7 | 7.670804E-8 | 7.670804E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.248851E-6 | 3.2874868E-7 | 3.2874868E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7379416E-5 | 4.002508E-6 | 4.002508E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7376044E-4 | 4.214537E-5 | 4.214537E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 3.3162388E-7 | 4.144662E-8 | 4.144662E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4212444E-6 | 1.7762837E-7 | 1.7762837E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7303513E-5 | 2.162623E-6 | 2.162623E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7302166E-4 | 2.2937164E-5 | 2.2937164E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.0235345E-7 | 1.4029061E-8 | 1.4029061E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3865757E-7 | 6.012455E-8 | 6.012455E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.340643E-6 | 7.3201613E-7 | 7.3201613E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3405143E-5 | 7.919559E-6 | 7.919559E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough north alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 7.329252E-5 | 8.821221E-5 | 8.821221E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.14073E-4 | 3.7800116E-4 | 3.7800116E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038171355 | 0.0045930236 | 0.0045930236 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.03752231 | 0.0450449 | 0.045054447 | 1.000212 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.7940346E-5 | 4.488469E-5 | 4.488469E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6259136E-4 | 1.923493E-4 | 1.923493E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019777524 | 0.0023394194 | 0.0023394194 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019602431 | 0.02315662 | 0.02315662 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.3296576E-5 | 3.3296576E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4269195E-4 | 1.4269195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014935739 | 0.001735913 | 0.001735913 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0148357535 | 0.017226191 | 0.017226191 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.3296576E-5 | 3.3296576E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4269195E-4 | 1.4269195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014935739 | 0.001735913 | 0.001735913 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0148357535 | 0.017226191 | 0.017226191 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 2.2204576E-5 | 2.544822E-5 | 2.544822E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5159E-5 | 1.0905929E-4 | 1.0905929E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001157945 | 0.0013269975 | 0.0013269975 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011519298 | 0.013191907 | 0.013191907 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 2.1004838E-5 | 2.4024603E-5 | 2.4024603E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0017624E-5 | 1.0295857E-4 | 1.0295857E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010954136 | 0.0012528086 | 0.0012528086 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010900296 | 0.012458543 | 0.012458543 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.820557E-5 | 2.0704714E-5 | 2.0704714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.802154E-5 | 8.8731496E-5 | 8.8731496E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4949827E-4 | 0.001079776 | 0.001079776 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009454516 | 0.010745966 | 0.010745966 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.5884485E-5 | 1.7983582E-5 | 1.7983582E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.807459E-5 | 7.707023E-5 | 7.707023E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.284929E-4 | 9.379289E-4 | 9.379289E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008254109 | 0.00934007 | 0.00934007 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.4331171E-5 | 1.6201007E-5 | 1.6201007E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.141786E-5 | 6.943105E-5 | 6.943105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4750587E-4 | 8.4499724E-4 | 8.4499724E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074499645 | 0.008418109 | 0.008418109 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.2574203E-5 | 1.4205785E-5 | 1.4205785E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3888325E-5 | 6.0880524E-5 | 6.0880524E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.558929E-4 | 7.409697E-4 | 7.409697E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0065396037 | 0.0073851775 | 0.0073851775 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.0883844E-5 | 1.2289219E-5 | 1.2289219E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.664421E-5 | 5.2667023E-5 | 5.2667023E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.677453E-4 | 6.4103334E-4 | 6.4103334E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00566297 | 0.0063919704 | 0.0063919704 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.393088E-6 | 1.0606983E-5 | 1.0606983E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.025547E-5 | 4.545771E-5 | 4.545771E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.900001E-4 | 5.533079E-4 | 5.533079E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048892107 | 0.005519399 | 0.005519399 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.190791E-6 | 9.258593E-6 | 9.258593E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.510292E-5 | 3.9679086E-5 | 3.9679086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2729423E-4 | 4.8298645E-4 | 4.8298645E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0042647356 | 0.0048194476 | 0.0048194476 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 6.268162E-6 | 7.089691E-6 | 7.089691E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6863276E-5 | 3.0384037E-5 | 3.0384037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2701128E-4 | 3.6986326E-4 | 3.6986326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.003265305 | 0.0036925229 | 0.0036925229 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 4.985186E-6 | 5.6426616E-6 | 5.6426616E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1364907E-5 | 2.4182613E-5 | 2.4182613E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.600867E-4 | 2.9438394E-4 | 2.9438394E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002597825 | 0.002939981 | 0.002939981 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.969671E-6 | 1.969671E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.441422E-6 | 8.441422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.125422E-5 | 1.02769685E-4 | 1.02769685E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1216754E-4 | 0.0010272437 | 0.0010272437 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7533809E-7 | 1.7533809E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.5144874E-7 | 7.5144874E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.148852E-6 | 9.148852E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8640954E-5 | 9.148495E-5 | 9.148495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Blue Cut
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2719532E-5 | 3.2719305E-5 | 1.4401399 | 1.0E-5 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.7366115E-5 | 1.07365144E-4 | 1.1026951 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011848459 | 0.001194834 | 1.0084299 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.01179113 | 0.011801012 | 1.000838 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2719532E-5 | 3.2719305E-5 | 1.4401399 | 1.0E-5 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.7366115E-5 | 1.07365144E-4 | 1.1026951 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011848459 | 0.001194834 | 1.0084299 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.01179113 | 0.011801012 | 1.000838 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2719532E-5 | 3.2719305E-5 | 1.4401399 | 1.0E-5 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.7366115E-5 | 1.07365144E-4 | 1.1026951 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011848459 | 0.001194834 | 1.0084299 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011015458 | 0.01179113 | 0.011801012 | 1.000838 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2353521E-5 | 2.2353397E-5 | 1.8094758 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2942658E-5 | 6.294213E-5 | 1.1888736 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.443987E-4 | 6.5439224E-4 | 1.0155083 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060417196 | 0.006426548 | 0.006436484 | 1.001546 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2353521E-5 | 2.2353397E-5 | 1.8094758 | 1.0E-5 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.2942658E-5 | 6.294213E-5 | 1.1888736 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.443987E-4 | 6.5439224E-4 | 1.0155083 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0060417196 | 0.006426548 | 0.006436484 | 1.001546 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 8.931326E-6 | 9.481584E-6 | 9.481584E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8276554E-5 | 4.063478E-5 | 4.063478E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6591737E-4 | 4.946253E-4 | 4.946253E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046494175 | 0.004936153 | 0.004936153 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 7.345353E-6 | 7.790267E-6 | 7.790267E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1479703E-5 | 3.3386474E-5 | 3.3386474E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.83198E-4 | 4.0641252E-4 | 4.0641252E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038253788 | 0.004057484 | 0.004057484 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 6.2775666E-6 | 6.6551383E-6 | 6.6551383E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.690358E-5 | 2.8521752E-5 | 2.8521752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2750185E-4 | 3.4720454E-4 | 3.4720454E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0032701963 | 0.0034673614 | 0.0034673614 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 5.5234095E-6 | 5.855102E-6 | 5.855102E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.367154E-5 | 2.5093093E-5 | 2.5093093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8816288E-4 | 3.0547287E-4 | 3.0547287E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002877895 | 0.0030512456 | 0.0030512456 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.7780054E-6 | 5.0654126E-6 | 5.0654126E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0477004E-5 | 2.1708769E-5 | 2.1708769E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4927902E-4 | 2.6427925E-4 | 2.6427925E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0024899957 | 0.0026403419 | 0.0026403419 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 3.883171E-6 | 4.1184803E-6 | 4.1184803E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6642054E-5 | 1.765055E-5 | 1.765055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0259817E-4 | 2.1488115E-4 | 2.1488115E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020241356 | 0.0021474094 | 0.0021474094 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.8358215E-6 | 3.009711E-6 | 3.009711E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2153464E-5 | 1.2898735E-5 | 1.2898735E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4795837E-4 | 1.5703736E-4 | 1.5703736E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001478599 | 0.001569909 | 0.001569909 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Creek
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6322329E-5 | 1.6322329E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.995104E-5 | 6.995104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.513362E-4 | 8.613277E-4 | 1.0117363 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008509756 | 0.008519672 | 1.0011652 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6322329E-5 | 1.6322329E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.995104E-5 | 6.995104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.513362E-4 | 8.613277E-4 | 1.0117363 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008509756 | 0.008519672 | 1.0011652 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6322329E-5 | 1.6322329E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.995104E-5 | 6.995104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.513362E-4 | 8.613277E-4 | 1.0117363 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008509756 | 0.008519672 | 1.0011652 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6322329E-5 | 1.6322329E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.995104E-5 | 6.995104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.513362E-4 | 8.613277E-4 | 1.0117363 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008509756 | 0.008519672 | 1.0011652 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6322329E-5 | 1.6322329E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.995104E-5 | 6.995104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.513362E-4 | 8.613277E-4 | 1.0117363 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008509756 | 0.008519672 | 1.0011652 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.1549387E-5 | 1.6322329E-5 | 1.6322329E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9496433E-5 | 6.995104E-5 | 6.995104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0245243E-4 | 8.513362E-4 | 8.613277E-4 | 1.0117363 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006008218 | 0.008509756 | 0.008519672 | 1.0011652 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 9.202681E-6 | 1.3845609E-5 | 1.3845609E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9439463E-5 | 5.9337024E-5 | 5.9337024E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.800697E-4 | 7.221979E-4 | 7.321906E-4 | 1.0138366 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004790339 | 0.0072269416 | 0.0072368695 | 1.0013738 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 9.019164E-6 | 1.3651278E-5 | 1.3651278E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8652986E-5 | 5.8504218E-5 | 5.8504218E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7049852E-4 | 7.120651E-4 | 7.2205794E-4 | 1.0140337 | 1.0E-5 | 0.004695036 | 0.007126266 | 0.007136195 | 1.0013933 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 8.673558E-6 | 1.327339E-5 | 1.327339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.717186E-5 | 5.6884768E-5 | 5.6884768E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.524734E-4 | 6.923608E-4 | 7.023539E-4 | 1.0144334 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0045155324 | 0.0069304546 | 0.0069403853 | 1.0014329 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 7.002255E-6 | 1.1477623E-5 | 1.1477623E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.000932E-5 | 4.9188922E-5 | 4.9188922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.653022E-4 | 5.987174E-4 | 6.0871145E-4 | 1.0166924 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036470229 | 0.005999279 | 0.006009219 | 1.0016569 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 5.84644E-6 | 9.674926E-6 | 9.674926E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5055931E-5 | 4.1463336E-5 | 4.1463336E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0501327E-4 | 5.047037E-4 | 5.146987E-4 | 1.0198036 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0030459496 | 0.0050636036 | 0.005073553 | 1.0019649 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 5.54703E-6 | 9.329403E-6 | 9.329403E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.377277E-5 | 3.9982566E-5 | 3.9982566E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8939504E-4 | 4.8668348E-4 | 4.9667864E-4 | 1.0205373 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028901845 | 0.004884198 | 0.004894149 | 1.0020374 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 4.384709E-6 | 7.681513E-6 | 7.681513E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8791474E-5 | 3.2920376E-5 | 3.2920376E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2876218E-4 | 4.0073553E-4 | 4.1073153E-4 | 1.0249441 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022852682 | 0.004028155 | 0.0040381146 | 1.0024725 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.7888456E-6 | 6.9153903E-6 | 6.9153903E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.623781E-5 | 2.9637069E-5 | 2.9637069E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9767738E-4 | 3.6077492E-4 | 3.707713E-4 | 1.0277082 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019750162 | 0.003629908 | 0.0036398715 | 1.0027449 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.1982462E-6 | 5.0237163E-6 | 5.0237163E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.421021E-6 | 2.1530035E-5 | 2.1530035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1469489E-4 | 2.6209684E-4 | 2.720942E-4 | 1.0381439 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011463572 | 0.0026456737 | 0.0026556472 | 1.0037698 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 2.051923E-6 | 4.614947E-6 | 4.614947E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.793926E-6 | 1.9778196E-5 | 1.9778196E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0706078E-4 | 2.4077305E-4 | 2.5077065E-4 | 1.0415229 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010700922 | 0.0024334798 | 0.0024434554 | 1.0040994 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.8733427E-6 | 4.1232965E-6 | 4.1232965E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.028587E-6 | 1.7671153E-5 | 1.7671153E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.774366E-5 | 2.1512512E-4 | 2.2512296E-4 | 1.0464746 | 1.0E-5 | 9.770069E-4 | 0.0021779903 | 0.0021879685 | 1.0045813 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.8411953E-6 | 4.0429704E-6 | 4.0429704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.890813E-6 | 1.7326902E-5 | 1.7326902E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.606641E-5 | 2.109347E-4 | 2.2093259E-4 | 1.0473981 | 1.0E-5 | 9.6024893E-4 | 0.0021362707 | 0.0021462494 | 1.0046711 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.7194251E-6 | 3.7103412E-6 | 3.7103412E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.368944E-6 | 1.5901365E-5 | 1.5901365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.97132E-5 | 1.93582E-4 | 2.0358007E-4 | 1.0516477 | 1.0E-5 | 8.967699E-4 | 0.0019622566 | 0.001972237 | 1.0050862 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 1.4035052E-6 | 2.9499822E-6 | 2.9499822E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0150082E-6 | 1.264272E-5 | 1.264272E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3230265E-5 | 1.5391431E-4 | 1.6391277E-4 | 1.0649612 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3206134E-4 | 0.0015629107 | 0.0015728951 | 1.0063883 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 3.9318823E-7 | 5.5278144E-7 | 5.5278144E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6850913E-6 | 2.3690613E-6 | 2.3690613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0515794E-5 | 2.8842946E-5 | 2.8842946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0513899E-4 | 2.9905947E-4 | 2.9905947E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.596793E-7 | 1.1375019E-7 | 1.1375019E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8433974E-7 | 4.875007E-7 | 4.875007E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331805E-6 | 5.9353056E-6 | 5.9353056E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331492E-5 | 6.548086E-5 | 6.548086E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.9003038E-8 | 2.5429568E-8 | 2.5429568E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.10013E-7 | 1.08983855E-7 | 1.08983855E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5569052E-6 | 1.3268777E-6 | 1.3268777E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.556876E-5 | 1.4948596E-5 | 1.4948596E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Robinson Creek
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.3705327E-5 | 1.5284966E-5 | 1.5284966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8735794E-5 | 6.5506996E-5 | 6.5506996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1487366E-4 | 7.975477E-4 | 8.0753973E-4 | 1.0125284 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0071257832 | 0.007975477 | 0.007985397 | 1.0012438 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.3705327E-5 | 1.5284966E-5 | 1.5284966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8735794E-5 | 6.5506996E-5 | 6.5506996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1487366E-4 | 7.975477E-4 | 8.0753973E-4 | 1.0125284 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0071257832 | 0.007975477 | 0.007985397 | 1.0012438 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.3705327E-5 | 1.5284966E-5 | 1.5284966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8735794E-5 | 6.5506996E-5 | 6.5506996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1487366E-4 | 7.975477E-4 | 8.0753973E-4 | 1.0125284 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0071257832 | 0.007975477 | 0.007985397 | 1.0012438 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.3705327E-5 | 1.5284966E-5 | 1.5284966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8735794E-5 | 6.5506996E-5 | 6.5506996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1487366E-4 | 7.975477E-4 | 8.0753973E-4 | 1.0125284 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0071257832 | 0.007975477 | 0.007985397 | 1.0012438 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.3705327E-5 | 1.5284966E-5 | 1.5284966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8735794E-5 | 6.5506996E-5 | 6.5506996E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1487366E-4 | 7.975477E-4 | 8.0753973E-4 | 1.0125284 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0071257832 | 0.007975477 | 0.007985397 | 1.0012438 | 1.0E-5 |
Great Valley 05 Pittsburg - Kirby Hills alt1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 4.187212E-5 | 5.3442498E-5 | 5.3442498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.794396E-4 | 2.2902492E-4 | 2.2902492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002182488 | 0.0027857795 | 0.0027857795 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021611776 | 0.02760302 | 0.027612746 | 1.0003523 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.187212E-5 | 5.3442498E-5 | 5.3442498E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.794396E-4 | 2.2902492E-4 | 2.2902492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002182488 | 0.0027857795 | 0.0027857795 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021611776 | 0.02760302 | 0.027612746 | 1.0003523 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.7353306E-5 | 2.2154509E-5 | 2.2154509E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.436919E-5 | 9.494676E-5 | 9.494676E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.050688E-4 | 0.001155749 | 0.001155749 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009013915 | 0.011535117 | 0.011535117 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.7353306E-5 | 2.2154509E-5 | 2.2154509E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.436919E-5 | 9.494676E-5 | 9.494676E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.050688E-4 | 0.001155749 | 0.001155749 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009013915 | 0.011535117 | 0.011535117 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.4028824E-5 | 1.790093E-5 | 1.790093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0122147E-5 | 7.671827E-5 | 7.671827E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3174125E-4 | 9.340235E-4 | 9.340235E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0072933645 | 0.009338144 | 0.009338144 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 04b Gordon Valley
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.1181217E-5 | 2.3981866E-5 | 2.3981866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.077348E-5 | 1.0277632E-4 | 1.1277529E-4 | 1.0972887 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011046068 | 0.00125075 | 0.0012607375 | 1.0079852 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010991322 | 0.012453556 | 0.012463432 | 1.000793 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.1181217E-5 | 2.3981866E-5 | 2.3981866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.077348E-5 | 1.0277632E-4 | 1.1277529E-4 | 1.0972887 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011046068 | 0.00125075 | 0.0012607375 | 1.0079852 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010991322 | 0.012453556 | 0.012463432 | 1.000793 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.1181217E-5 | 2.3981866E-5 | 2.3981866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.077348E-5 | 1.0277632E-4 | 1.1277529E-4 | 1.0972887 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011046068 | 0.00125075 | 0.0012607375 | 1.0079852 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010991322 | 0.012453556 | 0.012463432 | 1.000793 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.1181217E-5 | 2.3981866E-5 | 2.3981866E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.077348E-5 | 1.0277632E-4 | 1.1277529E-4 | 1.0972887 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011046068 | 0.00125075 | 0.0012607375 | 1.0079852 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010991322 | 0.012453556 | 0.012463432 | 1.000793 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.0988268E-5 | 1.2254461E-5 | 1.2254461E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7091726E-5 | 5.251815E-5 | 5.251815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.731909E-4 | 6.392368E-4 | 6.392368E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005717147 | 0.006375568 | 0.006375568 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.0988268E-5 | 1.2254461E-5 | 1.2254461E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7091726E-5 | 5.251815E-5 | 5.251815E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.731909E-4 | 6.392368E-4 | 6.392368E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005717147 | 0.006375568 | 0.006375568 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.0517822E-5 | 1.1724026E-5 | 1.1724026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5075605E-5 | 5.0244944E-5 | 5.0244944E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4865726E-4 | 6.1157614E-4 | 6.1157614E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0054730466 | 0.0061004846 | 0.0061004846 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 7.789219E-6 | 8.677618E-6 | 8.677618E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3381937E-5 | 3.718929E-5 | 3.718929E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.063493E-4 | 4.5269073E-4 | 4.5269073E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004056071 | 0.004518203 | 0.004518203 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.5850853E-6 | 8.4523635E-6 | 8.4523635E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2507105E-5 | 3.622394E-5 | 3.622394E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.957021E-4 | 4.4094236E-4 | 4.4094236E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0039499826 | 0.004401187 | 0.004401187 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 6.604105E-6 | 7.3585265E-6 | 7.3585265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8303E-5 | 3.1536183E-5 | 3.1536183E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4453452E-4 | 3.8388927E-4 | 3.8388927E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034400085 | 0.0038326478 | 0.0038326478 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.3701115E-6 | 5.9884E-6 | 5.9884E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.301456E-5 | 2.5664334E-5 | 2.5664334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8016625E-4 | 3.1242138E-4 | 3.1242138E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027981328 | 0.0031201104 | 0.0031201104 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 4.4685607E-6 | 4.9864625E-6 | 4.9864625E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9150835E-5 | 2.1370393E-5 | 2.1370393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3313647E-4 | 2.6015594E-4 | 2.6015594E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023289204 | 0.0025987588 | 0.0025987588 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.833378E-6 | 3.1644092E-6 | 3.1644092E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2142991E-5 | 1.3561693E-5 | 1.3561693E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4783088E-4 | 1.6510284E-4 | 1.6510284E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014773258 | 0.0016499738 | 0.0016499738 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 7.0087293E-7 | 7.772793E-7 | 7.772793E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0037377E-6 | 3.331195E-6 | 3.331195E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.656989E-5 | 4.0557006E-5 | 4.0557006E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6563876E-4 | 4.05541E-4 | 4.05541E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 3.112171E-8 | 3.206834E-8 | 3.206834E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3337875E-7 | 1.3743573E-7 | 1.3743573E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6238852E-6 | 1.6732789E-6 | 1.6732789E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6238733E-5 | 1.673267E-5 | 1.673267E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Simi-Santa Rosa
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.198912E-5 | 2.2275311E-5 | 3.227509E-5 | 1.4489175 | 1.0E-5 | 9.4235686E-5 | 9.5462376E-5 | 1.0546142E-4 | 1.1047434 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011467156 | 0.0011616786 | 0.0011716669 | 1.0085982 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011408163 | 0.011560508 | 0.011570392 | 1.000855 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.198912E-5 | 2.2275311E-5 | 3.227509E-5 | 1.4489175 | 1.0E-5 | 9.4235686E-5 | 9.5462376E-5 | 1.0546142E-4 | 1.1047434 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011467156 | 0.0011616786 | 0.0011716669 | 1.0085982 | 1.0E-5 | 0.011408163 | 0.011560508 | 0.011570392 | 1.000855 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.69983E-5 | 1.6668448E-5 | 2.666828E-5 | 1.5999259 | 1.0E-5 | 7.284782E-5 | 7.1434406E-5 | 8.1433696E-5 | 1.1399785 | 1.0E-5 | 8.865613E-4 | 8.693961E-4 | 8.793874E-4 | 1.0114923 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008830327 | 0.008662869 | 0.008672782 | 1.0011444 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.69983E-5 | 1.6668448E-5 | 2.666828E-5 | 1.5999259 | 1.0E-5 | 7.284782E-5 | 7.1434406E-5 | 8.1433696E-5 | 1.1399785 | 1.0E-5 | 8.865613E-4 | 8.693961E-4 | 8.793874E-4 | 1.0114923 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008830327 | 0.008662869 | 0.008672782 | 1.0011444 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.4666188E-5 | 1.4052439E-5 | 2.4052299E-5 | 1.7116102 | 1.0E-5 | 6.285358E-5 | 6.0223487E-5 | 7.0222886E-5 | 1.1660382 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6497364E-4 | 7.329992E-4 | 7.4299186E-4 | 1.0136325 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0076234564 | 0.0073082903 | 0.0073182173 | 1.0013583 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.4666188E-5 | 1.4052439E-5 | 2.4052299E-5 | 1.7116102 | 1.0E-5 | 6.285358E-5 | 6.0223487E-5 | 7.0222886E-5 | 1.1660382 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6497364E-4 | 7.329992E-4 | 7.4299186E-4 | 1.0136325 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0076234564 | 0.0073082903 | 0.0073182173 | 1.0013583 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.4377586E-5 | 1.3729479E-5 | 2.3729343E-5 | 1.7283497 | 1.0E-5 | 6.1616774E-5 | 5.883944E-5 | 6.883885E-5 | 1.169944 | 1.0E-5 | 7.4992597E-4 | 7.161596E-4 | 7.2615244E-4 | 1.0139533 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007474003 | 0.007140985 | 0.0071509136 | 1.0013903 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.3881404E-5 | 1.320745E-5 | 2.3207318E-5 | 1.7571385 | 1.0E-5 | 5.9490372E-5 | 5.6602268E-5 | 6.66017E-5 | 1.1766614 | 1.0E-5 | 7.240546E-4 | 6.889394E-4 | 6.9893256E-4 | 1.014505 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007217 | 0.006870486 | 0.0068804175 | 1.0014455 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.0176516E-5 | 9.154065E-6 | 1.9153975E-5 | 2.0924008 | 1.0E-5 | 4.3612912E-5 | 3.9231214E-5 | 4.923082E-5 | 1.2548891 | 1.0E-5 | 5.308578E-4 | 4.7755192E-4 | 4.8754713E-4 | 1.0209302 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0052959146 | 0.0047668903 | 0.0047768424 | 1.0020878 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 9.699797E-6 | 8.774639E-6 | 1.8774552E-5 | 2.139638 | 1.0E-5 | 4.15699E-5 | 3.7605147E-5 | 4.760477E-5 | 1.2659111 | 1.0E-5 | 5.05996E-4 | 4.5776292E-4 | 4.6775833E-4 | 1.0218353 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005048454 | 0.004569818 | 0.0045797722 | 1.0021783 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 7.4049476E-6 | 6.5592662E-6 | 6.5592662E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1735104E-5 | 2.811091E-5 | 2.811091E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8630638E-4 | 3.4220924E-4 | 3.4220924E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0038563553 | 0.003418065 | 0.003418065 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.873439E-6 | 2.7594629E-6 | 2.7594629E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6600346E-5 | 1.1826218E-5 | 1.1826218E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0209046E-4 | 1.4397492E-4 | 1.4397492E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0020190678 | 0.0014388401 | 0.0014388401 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 3.417706E-6 | 2.3676068E-6 | 2.3676068E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4647229E-5 | 1.0146849E-5 | 1.0146849E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7831543E-4 | 1.235311E-4 | 1.235311E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017817242 | 0.0012346467 | 0.0012346467 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.90225E-6 | 1.4073679E-6 | 1.4073679E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.152474E-6 | 6.031563E-6 | 6.031563E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9251854E-5 | 7.3431824E-5 | 7.3431824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.920754E-4 | 7.340779E-4 | 7.340779E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.5170556E-6 | 1.1024721E-6 | 1.1024721E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5016507E-6 | 4.724872E-6 | 4.724872E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.915472E-5 | 5.752381E-5 | 5.752381E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9126534E-4 | 5.750903E-4 | 5.750903E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.178732E-6 | 8.5350433E-7 | 8.5350433E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0516987E-6 | 3.6578708E-6 | 3.6578708E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1502695E-5 | 4.4533674E-5 | 4.4533674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.148568E-4 | 4.4524847E-4 | 4.4524847E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.8722386E-7 | 4.793168E-7 | 4.793168E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9452417E-6 | 2.0542134E-6 | 2.0542134E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5857727E-5 | 2.500976E-5 | 2.500976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5851944E-4 | 2.500696E-4 | 2.500696E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 5.5126515E-7 | 3.6730708E-7 | 3.6730708E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3625628E-6 | 1.5741723E-6 | 1.5741723E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8763823E-5 | 1.916538E-5 | 1.916538E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.87601E-4 | 1.9163737E-4 | 1.9163737E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.3860243E-7 | 2.0075227E-7 | 2.0075227E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4511525E-6 | 8.603666E-7 | 8.603666E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7667637E-5 | 1.0474913E-5 | 1.0474913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7666233E-4 | 1.0474425E-4 | 1.0474425E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.7955386E-7 | 1.4648458E-7 | 1.4648458E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1980875E-6 | 6.2779094E-7 | 6.2779094E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4586617E-5 | 7.643328E-6 | 7.643328E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.458566E-4 | 7.64307E-5 | 7.64307E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 5.6259015E-8 | 3.335265E-8 | 3.335265E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4111003E-7 | 1.4293991E-7 | 1.4293991E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9355108E-6 | 1.7402922E-6 | 1.7402922E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.935472E-5 | 1.74028E-5 | 1.74028E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Susana East (connector)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.858397E-5 | 3.2021515E-5 | 3.2021515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2249697E-4 | 1.3722944E-4 | 1.4722807E-4 | 1.0728607 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014903803 | 0.0016697609 | 0.0016797442 | 1.0059788 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014804244 | 0.01659906 | 0.016608894 | 1.0005925 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.858397E-5 | 3.2021515E-5 | 3.2021515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2249697E-4 | 1.3722944E-4 | 1.4722807E-4 | 1.0728607 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014903803 | 0.0016697609 | 0.0016797442 | 1.0059788 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014804244 | 0.01659906 | 0.016608894 | 1.0005925 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.858397E-5 | 3.2021515E-5 | 3.2021515E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2249697E-4 | 1.3722944E-4 | 1.4722807E-4 | 1.0728607 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0014903803 | 0.0016697609 | 0.0016797442 | 1.0059788 | 1.0E-5 | 0.014804244 | 0.01659906 | 0.016608894 | 1.0005925 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.943582E-5 | 2.0367252E-5 | 2.0367252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.728594E-5 | 9.728506E-5 | 1.114556 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010623002 | 0.0010722895 | 1.0094036 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010090181 | 0.010583636 | 0.010593531 | 1.0009348 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.943582E-5 | 2.0367252E-5 | 2.0367252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.728594E-5 | 9.728506E-5 | 1.114556 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010623002 | 0.0010722895 | 1.0094036 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010090181 | 0.010583636 | 0.010593531 | 1.0009348 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.943582E-5 | 2.0367252E-5 | 2.0367252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.728594E-5 | 9.728506E-5 | 1.114556 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010623002 | 0.0010722895 | 1.0094036 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010090181 | 0.010583636 | 0.010593531 | 1.0009348 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.943582E-5 | 2.0367252E-5 | 2.0367252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.728594E-5 | 9.728506E-5 | 1.114556 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010623002 | 0.0010722895 | 1.0094036 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010090181 | 0.010583636 | 0.010593531 | 1.0009348 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.9404439E-5 | 2.0354675E-5 | 2.0354675E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.3159226E-5 | 8.723203E-5 | 9.723116E-5 | 1.1146268 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010119933 | 0.0010616446 | 0.001071634 | 1.0094093 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010073971 | 0.010577142 | 0.010587037 | 1.0009354 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.2217526E-5 | 1.1593124E-5 | 1.1593124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2359774E-5 | 4.9683968E-5 | 4.9683968E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.372938E-4 | 6.047512E-4 | 6.047512E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063546924 | 0.006033087 | 0.006033087 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.2217526E-5 | 1.1593124E-5 | 1.1593124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2359774E-5 | 4.9683968E-5 | 4.9683968E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.372938E-4 | 6.047512E-4 | 6.047512E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063546924 | 0.006033087 | 0.006033087 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 9.276017E-6 | 8.059261E-6 | 8.059261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9753755E-5 | 3.453925E-5 | 3.453925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8389446E-4 | 4.2043766E-4 | 4.2043766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0048284214 | 0.0041971332 | 0.0041971332 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 9.130355E-6 | 7.942434E-6 | 7.942434E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9129503E-5 | 3.403858E-5 | 3.403858E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7629757E-4 | 4.1434434E-4 | 4.1434434E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00475278 | 0.0041364282 | 0.0041364282 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 8.851015E-6 | 7.741596E-6 | 7.741596E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7932372E-5 | 3.3177865E-5 | 3.3177865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6172875E-4 | 4.0386908E-4 | 4.0386908E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0046077054 | 0.004032058 | 0.004032058 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.573006E-6 | 7.55032E-6 | 7.55032E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6740938E-5 | 3.235813E-5 | 3.235813E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.472291E-4 | 3.9389243E-4 | 3.9389243E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004463301 | 0.0039326404 | 0.0039326404 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.852282E-6 | 6.817847E-6 | 6.817847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.36522E-5 | 2.9219034E-5 | 2.9219034E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.096385E-4 | 3.556867E-4 | 3.556867E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040888423 | 0.0035518138 | 0.0035518138 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 4.8869324E-6 | 4.27909E-6 | 4.27909E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0943828E-5 | 1.8338837E-5 | 1.8338837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5496128E-4 | 2.2325412E-4 | 2.2325412E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0025466895 | 0.002230411 | 0.002230411 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 1.3894544E-6 | 1.1568352E-6 | 1.1568352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.954791E-6 | 4.957857E-6 | 4.957857E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.249717E-5 | 6.036046E-5 | 6.036046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.247352E-4 | 6.0346245E-4 | 6.0346245E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.9924632E-7 | 2.3719298E-7 | 2.3719298E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2824837E-6 | 1.016541E-6 | 1.016541E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5614127E-5 | 1.2376324E-5 | 1.2376324E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5613029E-4 | 1.2375705E-4 | 1.2375705E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 4.8188564E-8 | 2.6321734E-8 | 2.6321734E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.065224E-7 | 1.1280743E-7 | 1.1280743E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5144072E-6 | 1.3734297E-6 | 1.3734297E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5143789E-5 | 1.373422E-5 | 1.373422E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 2.6127251E-9 | 2.7681057E-9 | 2.7681057E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1197393E-8 | 1.186331E-8 | 1.186331E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3632825E-7 | 1.444358E-7 | 1.444358E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3632817E-6 | 1.4443581E-6 | 1.4443581E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Susana alt 1
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7198106E-5 | 2.7198106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.16558746E-4 | 1.2655758E-4 | 1.0857836 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014182925 | 0.0014282784 | 1.0070407 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013860362 | 0.014104164 | 0.014114023 | 1.000699 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7198106E-5 | 2.7198106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.16558746E-4 | 1.2655758E-4 | 1.0857836 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014182925 | 0.0014282784 | 1.0070407 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013860362 | 0.014104164 | 0.014114023 | 1.000699 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7198106E-5 | 2.7198106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.16558746E-4 | 1.2655758E-4 | 1.0857836 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014182925 | 0.0014282784 | 1.0070407 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013860362 | 0.014104164 | 0.014114023 | 1.000699 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7198106E-5 | 2.7198106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.16558746E-4 | 1.2655758E-4 | 1.0857836 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014182925 | 0.0014282784 | 1.0070407 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013860362 | 0.014104164 | 0.014114023 | 1.000699 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7198106E-5 | 2.7198106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.16558746E-4 | 1.2655758E-4 | 1.0857836 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014182925 | 0.0014282784 | 1.0070407 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013860362 | 0.014104164 | 0.014114023 | 1.000699 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7198106E-5 | 2.7198106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.16558746E-4 | 1.2655758E-4 | 1.0857836 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014182925 | 0.0014282784 | 1.0070407 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013860362 | 0.014104164 | 0.014114023 | 1.000699 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.6647976E-5 | 2.7074446E-5 | 2.7074446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.14200615E-4 | 1.1602882E-4 | 1.2602766E-4 | 1.0861754 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013895056 | 0.0014118492 | 0.001421835 | 1.0070729 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013808494 | 0.014040549 | 0.014050409 | 1.0007023 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 2.6647976E-5 | 2.7074446E-5 | 2.7074446E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.14200615E-4 | 1.1602882E-4 | 1.2602766E-4 | 1.0861754 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013895056 | 0.0014118492 | 0.001421835 | 1.0070729 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013808494 | 0.014040549 | 0.014050409 | 1.0007023 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.9073179E-5 | 1.7637421E-5 | 1.7637421E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1739636E-5 | 7.558686E-5 | 7.558686E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.947256E-4 | 9.1989967E-4 | 9.1989967E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009902848 | 0.009163169 | 0.009163169 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.9041876E-5 | 1.7619554E-5 | 1.7619554E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.160549E-5 | 7.551029E-5 | 7.551029E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.930939E-4 | 9.189682E-4 | 9.189682E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0098866755 | 0.0091539305 | 0.0091539305 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.5917482E-5 | 1.3864026E-5 | 1.3864026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8215995E-5 | 5.941593E-5 | 5.941593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.302132E-4 | 7.2315347E-4 | 7.2315347E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008271185 | 0.0072088856 | 0.0072088856 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.577788E-5 | 1.3744033E-5 | 1.3744033E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.761774E-5 | 5.8901696E-5 | 5.8901696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2293496E-4 | 7.1689684E-4 | 7.1689684E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008198941 | 0.007146723 | 0.007146723 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.5416446E-5 | 1.3470108E-5 | 1.3470108E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.606882E-5 | 5.7727782E-5 | 5.7727782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0409093E-4 | 7.0261373E-4 | 7.0261373E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008011877 | 0.007004795 | 0.007004795 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.4534083E-5 | 1.2718011E-5 | 1.2718011E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.228744E-5 | 5.450465E-5 | 5.450465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.580857E-4 | 6.633965E-4 | 6.633965E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007555048 | 0.0066149924 | 0.0066149924 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.2858995E-5 | 1.1229797E-5 | 1.1229797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5108816E-5 | 4.8126836E-5 | 4.8126836E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7074323E-4 | 5.857906E-4 | 5.857906E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0066872234 | 0.005843214 | 0.005843214 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.827668E-6 | 7.805483E-6 | 7.805483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7832317E-5 | 3.3451655E-5 | 3.3451655E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.605111E-4 | 4.0720025E-4 | 4.0720025E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0045955796 | 0.0040647383 | 0.0040647383 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.2533426E-6 | 2.8720037E-6 | 2.8720037E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3942822E-5 | 1.2308531E-5 | 1.2308531E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6974064E-4 | 1.4984643E-4 | 1.4984643E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016961104 | 0.0014974908 | 0.0014974908 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.2751709E-6 | 1.1491329E-6 | 1.1491329E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4650063E-6 | 4.9248465E-6 | 4.9248465E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.653442E-5 | 5.995845E-5 | 5.995845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6514505E-4 | 5.9943163E-4 | 5.9943163E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.067544E-7 | 3.2400467E-7 | 3.2400467E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3146611E-6 | 1.3885908E-6 | 1.3885908E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.600588E-5 | 1.6905971E-5 | 1.6905971E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6004729E-4 | 1.6904788E-4 | 1.6904788E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 7.622999E-8 | 8.087958E-8 | 8.087958E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2669993E-7 | 3.4662673E-7 | 3.4662673E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.977564E-6 | 4.2201746E-6 | 4.2201746E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.977493E-5 | 4.220115E-5 | 4.220115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Superstition Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.6865185E-5 | 1.4137082E-5 | 2.4136942E-5 | 1.7073495 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8653358E-4 | 6.058618E-5 | 7.058557E-5 | 1.1650442 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034829667 | 7.374033E-4 | 7.473959E-4 | 1.0135511 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03428881 | 0.0075197415 | 0.007529666 | 1.0013199 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.544851E-5 | 1.4137082E-5 | 2.4136942E-5 | 1.7073495 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8046346E-4 | 6.058618E-5 | 7.058557E-5 | 1.1650442 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034092965 | 7.374033E-4 | 7.473959E-4 | 1.0135511 | 1.0E-5 | 0.033574644 | 0.007519741 | 0.0075296657 | 1.0013199 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.544851E-5 | 1.4137082E-5 | 2.4136942E-5 | 1.7073495 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8046346E-4 | 6.058618E-5 | 7.058557E-5 | 1.1650442 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034092965 | 7.374033E-4 | 7.473959E-4 | 1.0135511 | 1.0E-5 | 0.033574644 | 0.007519741 | 0.0075296657 | 1.0013199 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 5.2402065E-5 | 1.4137081E-5 | 2.413694E-5 | 1.7073495 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2456095E-4 | 6.0586175E-5 | 7.058557E-5 | 1.1650442 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027306017 | 7.374032E-4 | 7.4739585E-4 | 1.0135511 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02697292 | 0.007519736 | 0.007529661 | 1.0013199 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 4.542238E-5 | 1.4137081E-5 | 2.413694E-5 | 1.7073497 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9465282E-4 | 6.0586175E-5 | 7.058557E-5 | 1.1650442 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023673223 | 7.374032E-4 | 7.4739585E-4 | 1.0135511 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023422617 | 0.0075197336 | 0.0075296587 | 1.0013199 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 2.9672969E-5 | 1.413708E-5 | 2.4136938E-5 | 1.7073497 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2716366E-4 | 6.0586168E-5 | 7.0585564E-5 | 1.1650442 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015471181 | 7.3740317E-4 | 7.473958E-4 | 1.0135511 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015363912 | 0.0075197285 | 0.007529653 | 1.0013199 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 2.6056105E-5 | 1.3802851E-5 | 2.3802713E-5 | 1.724478 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1166424E-4 | 5.9153823E-5 | 6.915323E-5 | 1.1690408 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013586642 | 7.1997585E-4 | 7.2996865E-4 | 1.0138793 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013503874 | 0.0073441984 | 0.0073541254 | 1.0013516 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.4611248E-5 | 1.3382752E-5 | 2.3382618E-5 | 1.7472205 | 1.0E-5 | 6.261813E-5 | 5.7353478E-5 | 6.735291E-5 | 1.1743473 | 1.0E-5 | 7.6210906E-4 | 6.9807086E-4 | 7.0806383E-4 | 1.0143152 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0075950073 | 0.007125342 | 0.0071352706 | 1.0013934 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.30607E-5 | 1.0978134E-5 | 2.0978025E-5 | 1.9108917 | 1.0E-5 | 5.597323E-5 | 4.7048346E-5 | 5.7047873E-5 | 1.2125373 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8126095E-4 | 5.7267176E-4 | 5.826661E-4 | 1.017452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006791762 | 0.0058736964 | 0.005883638 | 1.0016925 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.0443096E-5 | 8.194596E-6 | 1.8194514E-5 | 2.2203064 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4755358E-5 | 3.511924E-5 | 4.5118886E-5 | 1.2847342 | 1.0E-5 | 5.447602E-4 | 4.274952E-4 | 4.3749093E-4 | 1.0233821 | 1.0E-5 | 0.005434267 | 0.004409124 | 0.00441908 | 1.0022581 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 8.045912E-6 | 6.738993E-6 | 1.6738926E-5 | 2.4838912 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4482026E-5 | 2.8881084E-5 | 3.8880793E-5 | 1.3462374 | 1.0E-5 | 4.197378E-4 | 3.5157148E-4 | 3.6156797E-4 | 1.0284337 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041894587 | 0.0036332482 | 0.003643212 | 1.0027424 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 8.045912E-6 | 6.738993E-6 | 1.6738926E-5 | 2.4838912 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4482026E-5 | 2.8881084E-5 | 3.8880793E-5 | 1.3462374 | 1.0E-5 | 4.197378E-4 | 3.5157148E-4 | 3.6156797E-4 | 1.0284337 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041894587 | 0.0036332482 | 0.003643212 | 1.0027424 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 7.375506E-6 | 6.2459567E-6 | 1.6245895E-5 | 2.6010258 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1608928E-5 | 2.6768117E-5 | 3.6767848E-5 | 1.3735688 | 1.0E-5 | 3.8477074E-4 | 3.2585394E-4 | 3.3585067E-4 | 1.0306786 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003841052 | 0.0033736844 | 0.0033836504 | 1.0029541 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 6.6063913E-6 | 5.7984093E-6 | 1.579835E-5 | 2.724601 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8312797E-5 | 2.4850093E-5 | 3.4849843E-5 | 1.402403 | 1.0E-5 | 3.446538E-4 | 3.025086E-4 | 3.1250555E-4 | 1.033047 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0034411973 | 0.0031379715 | 0.0031479402 | 1.0031768 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 6.4313126E-6 | 5.679837E-6 | 1.567978E-5 | 2.760604 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7562477E-5 | 2.4341936E-5 | 3.4341694E-5 | 1.4108037 | 1.0E-5 | 3.355215E-4 | 2.9632347E-4 | 3.063205E-4 | 1.033737 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0033501536 | 0.0030757303 | 0.0030856996 | 1.0032413 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 6.0742927E-6 | 5.4756792E-6 | 1.5475625E-5 | 2.8262475 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6032423E-5 | 2.346699E-5 | 3.3466757E-5 | 1.4261205 | 1.0E-5 | 3.1689866E-4 | 2.8567383E-4 | 2.9567096E-4 | 1.034995 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031644711 | 0.0029675919 | 0.0029775624 | 1.0033598 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 5.6987187E-6 | 5.293912E-6 | 1.529386E-5 | 2.8889523 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4422852E-5 | 2.2688E-5 | 3.2687774E-5 | 1.4407517 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9730765E-4 | 2.7619206E-4 | 2.861893E-4 | 1.0361967 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002969102 | 0.0028708566 | 0.0028808278 | 1.0034733 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 5.1658035E-6 | 4.9249475E-6 | 1.4924898E-5 | 3.0304685 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2138971E-5 | 2.110675E-5 | 3.110654E-5 | 1.473772 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6950863E-4 | 2.56945E-4 | 2.6694243E-4 | 1.0389088 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00269182 | 0.0026759424 | 0.0026859154 | 1.003727 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 3.6864697E-6 | 4.1959875E-6 | 1.4195945E-5 | 3.3832192 | 1.0E-5 | 1.579906E-5 | 1.7982682E-5 | 2.7982502E-5 | 1.5560806 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9233658E-4 | 2.1891763E-4 | 2.2891544E-4 | 1.0456693 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0019217018 | 0.0022891504 | 0.0022991276 | 1.0043584 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 3.0265903E-6 | 3.5632684E-6 | 1.3563233E-5 | 3.8064022 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2971037E-5 | 1.5271064E-5 | 2.527091E-5 | 1.6548232 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5791094E-4 | 1.8590977E-4 | 1.9590791E-4 | 1.0537795 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015779877 | 0.001953402 | 0.0019633826 | 1.0051093 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 2.5271493E-6 | 3.0863368E-6 | 1.3086306E-5 | 4.240077 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0830595E-5 | 1.32270925E-5 | 2.3226961E-5 | 1.756014 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3185451E-4 | 1.6102837E-4 | 1.7102677E-4 | 1.0620909 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013177631 | 0.001697296 | 0.0017072791 | 1.0058817 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 2.3749135E-6 | 2.916997E-6 | 2.916997E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0178161E-5 | 1.2501358E-5 | 1.2501358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2391206E-4 | 1.5219381E-4 | 1.5219381E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012384299 | 0.0016048847 | 0.0016048847 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.7186406E-9 | 1.1436666E-9 | 1.1436666E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3656024E-9 | 4.901428E-9 | 4.901428E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9676206E-8 | 5.967489E-8 | 5.967489E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9676166E-7 | 6.3872676E-7 | 6.3872676E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (Borrego)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.543992E-5 | 2.7924447E-5 | 3.792417E-5 | 1.3580991 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5187653E-4 | 1.19670774E-4 | 1.2966958E-4 | 1.0835526 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018475284 | 0.0014560302 | 0.0014660156 | 1.006858 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018322436 | 0.014866998 | 0.01487685 | 1.0006627 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.542281E-5 | 2.7924447E-5 | 3.792417E-5 | 1.3580991 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5180321E-4 | 1.19670774E-4 | 1.2966958E-4 | 1.0835526 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018466372 | 0.0014560302 | 0.0014660156 | 1.006858 | 1.0E-5 | 0.018313672 | 0.014866998 | 0.01487685 | 1.0006627 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.4688688E-5 | 2.7924447E-5 | 3.792417E-5 | 1.3580992 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4865733E-4 | 1.19670774E-4 | 1.2966958E-4 | 1.0835526 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018084005 | 0.0014560302 | 0.0014660156 | 1.006858 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017937548 | 0.014866998 | 0.01487685 | 1.0006627 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.2087122E-5 | 2.7769796E-5 | 3.7769518E-5 | 1.3600935 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3750899E-4 | 1.1900805E-4 | 1.2900686E-4 | 1.0840179 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016728862 | 0.0014479723 | 0.0014579578 | 1.0068963 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016603488 | 0.014788155 | 0.014798008 | 1.0006663 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.1828724E-5 | 2.7736773E-5 | 3.7736496E-5 | 1.3605222 | 1.0E-5 | 1.364017E-4 | 1.18866534E-4 | 1.2886534E-4 | 1.084118 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016594254 | 0.0014462515 | 0.001456237 | 1.0069045 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016470885 | 0.014771349 | 0.014781201 | 1.000667 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.1563577E-5 | 2.7476459E-5 | 3.7476184E-5 | 1.3639379 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3526545E-4 | 1.17751006E-4 | 1.2774984E-4 | 1.0849149 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016456128 | 0.001432688 | 0.0014426736 | 1.0069699 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0163348 | 0.014638765 | 0.014648618 | 1.0006732 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.1467625E-5 | 2.732068E-5 | 3.7320406E-5 | 1.366013 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3485427E-4 | 1.17083444E-4 | 1.2708227E-4 | 1.0853992 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016406142 | 0.0014245709 | 0.0014345567 | 1.0070096 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016285548 | 0.014559092 | 0.014568946 | 1.0006769 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.1223695E-5 | 2.6938706E-5 | 3.6938436E-5 | 1.3712031 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3380898E-4 | 1.1544655E-4 | 1.254454E-4 | 1.0866102 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016279068 | 0.0014046676 | 0.0014146536 | 1.0071092 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01616033 | 0.01436336 | 0.014373216 | 1.0006862 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.1015585E-5 | 2.6759712E-5 | 3.6759444E-5 | 1.3736861 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3291716E-4 | 1.14679504E-4 | 1.2467836E-4 | 1.0871896 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001617065 | 0.0013953409 | 0.0014053269 | 1.0071567 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016053487 | 0.014270625 | 0.014280482 | 1.0006907 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 2.6641965E-5 | 2.2182034E-5 | 3.218181E-5 | 1.4508053 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1417485E-4 | 9.5062416E-5 | 1.0506146E-4 | 1.1051841 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013891924 | 0.0011567742 | 0.0011667627 | 1.0086347 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0138054015 | 0.011881202 | 0.011891083 | 1.0008317 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 2.3854353E-5 | 2.0476871E-5 | 3.0476667E-5 | 1.4883459 | 1.0E-5 | 1.02228936E-4 | 8.7755085E-5 | 9.775421E-5 | 1.1139435 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012439266 | 0.0010678971 | 0.0010778863 | 1.0093542 | 1.0E-5 | 0.012369866 | 0.010981717 | 0.010991607 | 1.0009006 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 2.3672901E-5 | 2.0313362E-5 | 3.031316E-5 | 1.4922768 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0145135E-4 | 8.705438E-5 | 9.705351E-5 | 1.1148608 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012344702 | 0.0010593743 | 0.0010693637 | 1.0094296 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0122763505 | 0.010896954 | 0.010906844 | 1.0009077 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 2.2717244E-5 | 1.954077E-5 | 2.9540573E-5 | 1.5117406 | 1.0E-5 | 9.735599E-5 | 8.374348E-5 | 9.3742645E-5 | 1.1194023 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011846646 | 0.0010191023 | 0.0010290921 | 1.0098026 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01178369 | 0.010494285 | 0.010504181 | 1.000943 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 2.1016205E-5 | 1.8382441E-5 | 2.8382257E-5 | 1.5439874 | 1.0E-5 | 9.006634E-5 | 7.877952E-5 | 8.877874E-5 | 1.1269265 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001096006 | 9.5872075E-4 | 9.6871116E-4 | 1.0104206 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010906163 | 0.009889957 | 0.009899858 | 1.0010011 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 2.0683625E-5 | 1.8184974E-5 | 2.8184793E-5 | 1.5498946 | 1.0E-5 | 8.86411E-5 | 7.793329E-5 | 8.793251E-5 | 1.1283048 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001078671 | 9.484268E-4 | 9.584173E-4 | 1.0105338 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010734501 | 0.009786689 | 0.0097965915 | 1.0010118 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 1.9993966E-5 | 1.778003E-5 | 2.7779852E-5 | 1.5624188 | 1.0E-5 | 8.568561E-5 | 7.619791E-5 | 8.619715E-5 | 1.1312271 | 1.0E-5 | 0.001042723 | 9.273168E-4 | 9.373075E-4 | 1.0107738 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010378438 | 0.009573653 | 0.009583558 | 1.0010345 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 1.788966E-5 | 1.6433327E-5 | 2.6433163E-5 | 1.6085095 | 1.0E-5 | 7.666772E-5 | 7.042666E-5 | 8.042595E-5 | 1.1419817 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3302975E-4 | 8.57109E-4 | 8.671004E-4 | 1.0116571 | 1.0E-5 | 0.00929122 | 0.008865524 | 0.008875435 | 1.001118 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 1.5125781E-5 | 1.4235488E-5 | 2.4235347E-5 | 1.7024597 | 1.0E-5 | 6.4823165E-5 | 6.1007817E-5 | 7.1007205E-5 | 1.1639035 | 1.0E-5 | 7.889362E-4 | 7.425178E-4 | 7.525104E-4 | 1.0134577 | 1.0E-5 | 0.007861412 | 0.007713296 | 0.0077232188 | 1.0012865 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 1.250089E-5 | 1.2628741E-5 | 2.2628616E-5 | 1.7918345 | 1.0E-5 | 5.3574146E-5 | 5.4122058E-5 | 6.4121516E-5 | 1.1847576 | 1.0E-5 | 6.5207E-4 | 6.587375E-4 | 6.687309E-4 | 1.0151706 | 1.0E-5 | 0.006501599 | 0.00686686 | 0.006876792 | 1.0014462 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 9.561E-6 | 9.753001E-6 | 1.9752904E-5 | 2.0253155 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0975072E-5 | 4.179791E-5 | 5.179749E-5 | 1.2392364 | 1.0E-5 | 4.987573E-4 | 5.087713E-4 | 5.187662E-4 | 1.0196452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0049763937 | 0.005351598 | 0.005361544 | 1.0018586 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 8.01699E-6 | 8.2920105E-6 | 1.8291927E-5 | 2.2059703 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4358076E-5 | 3.5536705E-5 | 4.553635E-5 | 1.2813892 | 1.0E-5 | 4.1822926E-4 | 4.3257402E-4 | 4.425697E-4 | 1.0231074 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0041744304 | 0.0045726597 | 0.004582614 | 1.0021769 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 6.541947E-6 | 6.4609976E-6 | 6.4609976E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8036617E-5 | 2.7689697E-5 | 2.7689697E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4129233E-4 | 3.3707044E-4 | 3.3707044E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0034076865 | 0.003580059 | 0.003580059 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 1.7968189E-6 | 7.966976E-7 | 7.966976E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70063E-6 | 3.4144139E-6 | 3.4144139E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3751136E-5 | 4.1569718E-5 | 4.1569718E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.371159E-4 | 4.7097838E-4 | 4.7097838E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.5167889E-7 | 4.8941292E-8 | 4.8941292E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.500522E-7 | 2.0974838E-7 | 2.0974838E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9143565E-6 | 2.553684E-6 | 2.553684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.914075E-5 | 2.9674611E-5 | 2.9674611E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hunting Creek - Berryessa 2011 CFM
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.1270982E-4 | 2.0028117E-4 | 2.1027916E-4 | 1.0499198 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8295266E-4 | 8.579866E-4 | 8.6797803E-4 | 1.0116452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058641075 | 0.010386083 | 0.0103959795 | 1.0009528 | 1.0E-5 | 0.057117578 | 0.09803986 | 0.09804887 | 1.000092 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.1239393E-4 | 1.997626E-4 | 2.097606E-4 | 1.0500494 | 1.0E-5 | 4.8159933E-4 | 8.557657E-4 | 8.657572E-4 | 1.0116755 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0058477195 | 0.010359327 | 0.010369224 | 1.0009553 | 1.0E-5 | 0.056962132 | 0.09779833 | 0.097807355 | 1.0000923 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 7.596265E-5 | 1.2933639E-4 | 1.393351E-4 | 1.0773077 | 1.0E-5 | 3.2551357E-4 | 5.541514E-4 | 5.6414586E-4 | 1.0180357 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0039559277 | 0.006721304 | 0.0067312364 | 1.0014778 | 1.0E-5 | 0.038862433 | 0.064591914 | 0.064601265 | 1.0001448 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.78794E-5 | 1.1448412E-4 | 1.2448298E-4 | 1.0873383 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9087928E-4 | 4.905234E-4 | 5.005185E-4 | 1.0203764 | 1.0E-5 | 0.003535705 | 0.0059526134 | 0.005962554 | 1.0016699 | 1.0E-5 | 0.034799766 | 0.057465896 | 0.057475325 | 1.000164 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.2165134E-5 | 1.0434877E-4 | 1.1434773E-4 | 1.0958225 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6639478E-4 | 4.471078E-4 | 4.5710334E-4 | 1.0223559 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0032385332 | 0.0054273745 | 0.0054373206 | 1.0018325 | 1.0E-5 | 0.03191742 | 0.052551147 | 0.05256062 | 1.0001802 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 5.4368087E-5 | 9.070333E-5 | 1.00702426E-4 | 1.1102395 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3298527E-4 | 3.8865174E-4 | 3.9864786E-4 | 1.02572 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028329059 | 0.004719664 | 0.0047296165 | 1.0021088 | 1.0E-5 | 0.027970633 | 0.045881007 | 0.045890547 | 1.0002079 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 4.729947E-5 | 7.847132E-5 | 7.847132E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0269625E-4 | 3.3624543E-4 | 3.3624543E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002465034 | 0.004084713 | 0.004084713 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.02437869 | 0.039852608 | 0.039852608 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 3.6875328E-5 | 6.044414E-5 | 6.044414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5802756E-4 | 2.5900805E-4 | 2.5900805E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0019222875 | 0.0031482463 | 0.0031482463 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.019057442 | 0.030893631 | 0.030893631 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.0292036E-5 | 2.89766E-5 | 2.89766E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6962966E-5 | 1.2417947E-4 | 1.2417947E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010582599 | 0.0015108241 | 0.0015108241 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010532344 | 0.014978971 | 0.014978971 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.7871042E-5 | 2.447255E-5 | 2.447255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.658793E-5 | 1.0487814E-4 | 1.0487814E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.320591E-4 | 0.0012761431 | 0.0012761431 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009281595 | 0.012680401 | 0.012680401 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.6415532E-5 | 2.1906475E-5 | 2.1906475E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.035038E-5 | 9.388151E-5 | 9.388151E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.561793E-4 | 0.0011424095 | 0.0011424095 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008528882 | 0.011364971 | 0.011364971 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.5409885E-5 | 2.03465E-5 | 2.03465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6040695E-5 | 8.719638E-5 | 8.719638E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0374884E-4 | 0.0010611017 | 0.0010611017 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00800848 | 0.010560882 | 0.010560882 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.4497423E-5 | 1.9055107E-5 | 1.9055107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.213033E-5 | 8.1662205E-5 | 8.1662205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5617427E-4 | 9.93787E-4 | 9.93787E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0075360634 | 0.009894209 | 0.009894209 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3615175E-5 | 1.7826267E-5 | 1.7826267E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8349444E-5 | 7.639606E-5 | 7.639606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.101729E-4 | 9.2972815E-4 | 9.2972815E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0070790765 | 0.009259084 | 0.009259084 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.2252825E-5 | 1.6026384E-5 | 1.6026384E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.251105E-5 | 6.868271E-5 | 6.868271E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.391345E-4 | 8.35894E-4 | 8.35894E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0063729943 | 0.008328133 | 0.008328133 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.0913301E-5 | 1.424122E-5 | 1.424122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6770452E-5 | 6.1032388E-5 | 6.1032388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6928146E-4 | 7.4281875E-4 | 7.4281875E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0056782532 | 0.0074039483 | 0.0074039483 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 8.623192E-6 | 1.1234731E-5 | 1.1234731E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6956015E-5 | 4.814797E-5 | 4.814797E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4984656E-4 | 5.8604643E-4 | 5.8604643E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00448937 | 0.005845472 | 0.005845472 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 2.0993634E-6 | 2.6626274E-6 | 2.6626274E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.997241E-6 | 1.1411211E-5 | 1.1411211E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.09535904E-4 | 1.3892271E-4 | 1.3892271E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010948193 | 0.0013884059 | 0.0013884059 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.8428308E-7 | 2.1674549E-7 | 2.1674549E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.897844E-7 | 9.2890895E-7 | 9.2890895E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.615583E-6 | 1.1309411E-5 | 1.1309411E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.615166E-5 | 1.1308134E-4 | 1.1308134E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Pedro Basin
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.3449043E-5 | 6.3369866E-5 | 7.336923E-5 | 1.1577938 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2904722E-4 | 2.715603E-4 | 2.815576E-4 | 1.0368142 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027850836 | 0.003301835 | 0.003311802 | 1.0030186 | 1.0E-5 | 0.027504366 | 0.03258932 | 0.032598995 | 1.0002968 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 5.3449043E-5 | 6.3369866E-5 | 7.336923E-5 | 1.1577938 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2904722E-4 | 2.715603E-4 | 2.815576E-4 | 1.0368142 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0027850836 | 0.003301835 | 0.003311802 | 1.0030186 | 1.0E-5 | 0.027504366 | 0.03258932 | 0.032598995 | 1.0002968 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.3189454E-5 | 2.6642721E-5 | 2.6642721E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9379584E-5 | 1.1417834E-4 | 1.1417834E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012092749 | 0.0013892819 | 0.0013892819 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012027155 | 0.013810834 | 0.013810834 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.3189454E-5 | 2.6642721E-5 | 2.6642721E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9379584E-5 | 1.1417834E-4 | 1.1417834E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012092749 | 0.0013892819 | 0.0013892819 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012027155 | 0.013810834 | 0.013810834 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.966056E-5 | 2.2463333E-5 | 2.2463333E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.425682E-5 | 9.62681E-5 | 9.62681E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001025344 | 0.0011714741 | 0.0011714741 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010206259 | 0.011657074 | 0.011657074 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.7342953E-5 | 1.9745077E-5 | 1.9745077E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4324824E-5 | 8.461922E-5 | 8.461922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.04529E-4 | 0.001029789 | 0.001029789 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009008561 | 0.010253894 | 0.010253894 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.439804E-5 | 1.6322656E-5 | 1.6322656E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.170443E-5 | 6.995255E-5 | 6.995255E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.509924E-4 | 8.5137156E-4 | 8.5137156E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0074845953 | 0.008484302 | 0.008484302 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 1.2634884E-5 | 1.4285246E-5 | 1.4285246E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.414838E-5 | 6.122122E-5 | 6.122122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.590571E-4 | 7.451439E-4 | 7.451439E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006571059 | 0.007429475 | 0.007429475 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.146091E-5 | 1.29331465E-5 | 1.29331465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.911726E-5 | 5.542676E-5 | 5.542676E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9783855E-4 | 6.7464163E-4 | 6.7464163E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0059623276 | 0.0067288755 | 0.0067288755 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 9.109035E-6 | 1.0234977E-5 | 1.0234977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9038136E-5 | 4.386361E-5 | 4.386361E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7518566E-4 | 5.3393655E-4 | 5.3393655E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0047417083 | 0.005329291 | 0.005329291 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 5.9351028E-6 | 6.583944E-6 | 6.583944E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5435906E-5 | 2.8216731E-5 | 2.8216731E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0963816E-4 | 3.4350815E-4 | 3.4350815E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0030920706 | 0.0034320888 | 0.0034320888 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 2.1557585E-6 | 2.2096465E-6 | 2.2096465E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.238933E-6 | 9.46988E-6 | 9.46988E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1247819E-4 | 1.1528984E-4 | 1.1528984E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011242128 | 0.0011523156 | 0.0011523156 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.1251979E-6 | 2.1779927E-6 | 2.1779927E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.107958E-6 | 9.334222E-6 | 9.334222E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1088375E-4 | 1.1363838E-4 | 1.1363838E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011082845 | 0.0011358181 | 0.0011358181 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7145798E-6 | 1.7442865E-6 | 1.7442865E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3481783E-6 | 7.4754926E-6 | 7.4754926E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.94604E-5 | 9.101041E-5 | 9.101041E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9424395E-4 | 9.097405E-4 | 9.097405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.4467993E-6 | 1.4641861E-6 | 1.4641861E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.200554E-6 | 6.2750687E-6 | 6.2750687E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.548913E-5 | 7.6396354E-5 | 7.6396354E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.546349E-4 | 7.637082E-4 | 7.637082E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.2803735E-6 | 1.293149E-6 | 1.293149E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.487303E-6 | 5.542056E-6 | 5.542056E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.680587E-5 | 6.7472516E-5 | 6.7472516E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.678579E-4 | 6.745274E-4 | 6.745274E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 6.755009E-7 | 6.769461E-7 | 6.769461E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8950008E-6 | 2.9011946E-6 | 2.9011946E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5246063E-5 | 3.532153E-5 | 3.532153E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5240475E-4 | 3.5316488E-4 | 3.5316488E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.211885E-8 | 4.5699434E-8 | 4.5699434E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6622362E-7 | 1.958547E-7 | 1.958547E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412677E-6 | 2.3845287E-6 | 2.3845287E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412205E-5 | 2.384505E-5 | 2.384505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 2.6580573E-9 | 1.5138054E-9 | 1.5138054E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1391674E-8 | 6.4877375E-9 | 6.4877375E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869362E-7 | 7.89882E-8 | 7.89882E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869354E-6 | 7.89882E-7 | 7.89882E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pine Mtn
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2254406E-6 | 7.2254406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0965824E-5 | 3.0965824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7694667E-4 | 3.7694667E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037633702 | 0.0037733328 | 1.0026472 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2254406E-6 | 7.2254406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0965824E-5 | 3.0965824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7694667E-4 | 3.7694667E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037633702 | 0.0037733328 | 1.0026472 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2254406E-6 | 7.2254406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0965824E-5 | 3.0965824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7694667E-4 | 3.7694667E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037633702 | 0.0037733328 | 1.0026472 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2254406E-6 | 7.2254406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0965824E-5 | 3.0965824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7694667E-4 | 3.7694667E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037633702 | 0.0037733328 | 1.0026472 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2254406E-6 | 7.2254406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0965824E-5 | 3.0965824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7694667E-4 | 3.7694667E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037633702 | 0.0037733328 | 1.0026472 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2254406E-6 | 7.2254406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0965824E-5 | 3.0965824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7694667E-4 | 3.7694667E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037633702 | 0.0037733328 | 1.0026472 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.2254406E-6 | 7.2254406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0965824E-5 | 3.0965824E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.7694667E-4 | 3.7694667E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035911554 | 0.0037633702 | 0.0037733328 | 1.0026472 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 6.0867933E-6 | 6.3970933E-6 | 6.3970933E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6085996E-5 | 2.741584E-5 | 2.741584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1755073E-4 | 3.337389E-4 | 3.337389E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0031709734 | 0.003332596 | 0.003332596 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 5.6530425E-6 | 5.950576E-6 | 5.950576E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.42271E-5 | 2.5502231E-5 | 2.5502231E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.94925E-4 | 3.1044747E-4 | 3.1044747E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002945339 | 0.0031003426 | 0.0031003426 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 4.6015225E-6 | 4.8638153E-6 | 4.8638153E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9720663E-5 | 2.0844765E-5 | 2.0844765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4007261E-4 | 2.537569E-4 | 2.537569E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023981342 | 0.0025348158 | 0.0025348158 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 4.4875965E-6 | 4.7474546E-6 | 4.7474546E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9232413E-5 | 2.0346082E-5 | 2.0346082E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3412947E-4 | 2.4768687E-4 | 2.4768687E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0023388295 | 0.0024742517 | 0.0024742517 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 3.203907E-6 | 3.4293919E-6 | 3.4293919E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3730958E-5 | 1.4697315E-5 | 1.4697315E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6716159E-4 | 1.7892578E-4 | 1.7892578E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0016703589 | 0.0017878833 | 0.0017878833 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 2.2060601E-6 | 2.3784671E-6 | 2.3784671E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4545085E-6 | 1.0193393E-5 | 1.0193393E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.15102564E-4 | 1.2409795E-4 | 1.2409795E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011504296 | 0.0012403313 | 0.0012403313 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.3765207E-6 | 1.5216344E-6 | 1.5216344E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.899361E-6 | 6.5212744E-6 | 6.5212744E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.182235E-5 | 7.9393714E-5 | 7.9393714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1799144E-4 | 7.936626E-4 | 7.936626E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.1245983E-6 | 1.2586951E-6 | 1.2586951E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.819698E-6 | 5.394397E-6 | 5.394397E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8678244E-5 | 6.567488E-5 | 6.567488E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.866275E-4 | 6.565631E-4 | 6.565631E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 8.031682E-7 | 9.2768295E-7 | 9.2768295E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4421448E-6 | 3.9757783E-6 | 3.9757783E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1907308E-5 | 4.8404094E-5 | 4.8404094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1899405E-4 | 4.8394228E-4 | 4.8394228E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 4.8953444E-7 | 6.002896E-7 | 6.002896E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.098003E-6 | 2.5726674E-6 | 2.5726674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5542888E-5 | 3.1321826E-5 | 3.1321826E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5539953E-4 | 3.1317896E-4 | 3.1317896E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 6.634529E-8 | 6.7888216E-8 | 6.7888216E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.843369E-7 | 2.9094946E-7 | 2.9094946E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4617963E-6 | 3.5423045E-6 | 3.5423045E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4617424E-5 | 3.5422527E-5 | 3.5422527E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 9.235578E-9 | 9.488559E-9 | 9.488559E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9581046E-8 | 4.0665252E-8 | 4.0665252E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.818991E-7 | 4.9509936E-7 | 4.9509936E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8189804E-6 | 4.950984E-6 | 4.950984E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 03a Dunnigan Hills
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.6591328E-5 | 1.810791E-5 | 1.810791E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.110376E-5 | 7.760341E-5 | 7.760341E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6534437E-4 | 9.444811E-4 | 9.5447164E-4 | 1.0105778 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008619824 | 0.009411503 | 0.009421408 | 1.0010525 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 8.041125E-6 | 8.769705E-6 | 8.769705E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4461507E-5 | 3.7584025E-5 | 3.7584025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.194881E-4 | 4.5750974E-4 | 4.5750974E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004186971 | 0.004567676 | 0.004567676 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.2 | 3.2807004E-6 | 3.5795601E-6 | 3.5795601E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4060069E-5 | 1.5340906E-5 | 1.5340906E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7116789E-4 | 1.8676367E-4 | 1.8676367E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0017103611 | 0.0018664751 | 0.0018664751 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.9339366E-6 | 2.1103756E-6 | 2.1103756E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.288273E-6 | 9.044452E-6 | 9.044452E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.00905054E-4 | 1.10113484E-4 | 1.10113484E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010085925 | 0.0011008692 | 0.0011008692 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.3142635E-6 | 1.4339831E-6 | 1.4339831E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6325457E-6 | 6.145642E-6 | 6.145642E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.857408E-5 | 7.482319E-5 | 7.482319E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8552926E-4 | 7.4823195E-4 | 7.4823195E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Deep Springs
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3112418E-5 | 2.3112418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.905232E-5 | 9.905232E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058024 | 0.0012058024 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010283757 | 0.012042377 | 0.012052257 | 1.0008204 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3112418E-5 | 2.3112418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.905232E-5 | 9.905232E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058024 | 0.0012058024 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010283757 | 0.012042377 | 0.012052257 | 1.0008204 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3112418E-5 | 2.3112418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.905232E-5 | 9.905232E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058024 | 0.0012058024 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010283757 | 0.012042377 | 0.012052257 | 1.0008204 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3112418E-5 | 2.3112418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.905232E-5 | 9.905232E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058024 | 0.0012058024 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010283757 | 0.012042377 | 0.012052257 | 1.0008204 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.3112418E-5 | 2.3112418E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.905232E-5 | 9.905232E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012058024 | 0.0012058024 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010283757 | 0.012042377 | 0.012052257 | 1.0008204 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.7190405E-5 | 2.005047E-5 | 2.005047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.593058E-5 | 8.593058E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.0010462046 | 0.0010462046 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008929676 | 0.010462015 | 0.01047191 | 1.0009458 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.7190405E-5 | 2.005047E-5 | 2.005047E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.593058E-5 | 8.593058E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.0010462046 | 0.0010462046 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008929676 | 0.010462015 | 0.01047191 | 1.0009458 | 1.0E-5 |
Hosgri
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9128265E-5 | 2.9128265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.248296E-4 | 1.248296E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015037085 | 0.001518768 | 0.001518768 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01493574 | 0.015087658 | 0.015097506 | 1.0006528 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9128265E-5 | 2.9128265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.248296E-4 | 1.248296E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015037085 | 0.001518768 | 0.001518768 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01493574 | 0.015087658 | 0.015097506 | 1.0006528 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9128265E-5 | 2.9128265E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.248296E-4 | 1.248296E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015037085 | 0.001518768 | 0.001518768 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.01493574 | 0.015087658 | 0.015097506 | 1.0006528 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 2.2914428E-5 | 2.2641834E-5 | 2.2641834E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.8200995E-5 | 9.7032855E-5 | 9.7032855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0011949413 | 0.0011807396 | 0.0011807396 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011885363 | 0.011746059 | 0.011755941 | 1.0008414 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 2.0195741E-5 | 1.9696432E-5 | 1.9696432E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.65503E-5 | 8.441056E-5 | 8.441056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010532405 | 0.001027216 | 0.001027216 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010482626 | 0.010225722 | 0.01023562 | 1.000968 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 1.9924333E-5 | 1.9408853E-5 | 1.9408853E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.53872E-5 | 8.317816E-5 | 8.317816E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010390934 | 0.0010122255 | 0.0010122255 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.010342481 | 0.010077183 | 0.010087082 | 1.0009823 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 1.809694E-5 | 1.7458176E-5 | 1.7458176E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7556004E-5 | 7.4818614E-5 | 7.4818614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.438353E-4 | 9.1053726E-4 | 9.1053726E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009398366 | 0.009069004 | 0.009078913 | 1.0010927 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 1.675989E-5 | 1.6042643E-5 | 1.6042643E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.182612E-5 | 6.875238E-5 | 6.875238E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7413215E-4 | 8.367399E-4 | 8.367399E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008707017 | 0.0083367955 | 0.008346712 | 1.0011895 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 1.5401129E-5 | 1.4613964E-5 | 1.4613964E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6003166E-5 | 6.262978E-5 | 6.262978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.032922E-4 | 7.622516E-4 | 7.622516E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008003947 | 0.0075972304 | 0.0076071545 | 1.0013063 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 1.356559E-5 | 1.2689852E-5 | 1.2689852E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8136946E-5 | 5.438395E-5 | 5.438395E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0758746E-4 | 6.619239E-4 | 6.619239E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007053386 | 0.0066003236 | 0.0066102576 | 1.0015051 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 1.2030819E-5 | 1.1095849E-5 | 1.1095849E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.155963E-5 | 4.7552774E-5 | 4.7552774E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.275577E-4 | 5.788013E-4 | 5.788013E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006257884 | 0.0057736943 | 0.0057736943 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.0972698E-5 | 1.0022069E-5 | 1.0022069E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7025E-5 | 4.295102E-5 | 4.295102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.72379E-4 | 5.228032E-4 | 5.228032E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0057090693 | 0.0052164807 | 0.0052164807 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 9.961926E-6 | 9.034636E-6 | 9.034636E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2693267E-5 | 3.8719292E-5 | 3.8719292E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1966653E-4 | 4.7130548E-4 | 4.7130548E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00518453 | 0.004703801 | 0.004703801 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 8.700929E-6 | 7.827994E-6 | 7.827994E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7289166E-5 | 3.3548113E-5 | 3.3548113E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.53901E-4 | 4.0837174E-4 | 4.0837174E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00452975 | 0.0040769484 | 0.0040769484 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 7.866285E-6 | 6.9986318E-6 | 6.9986318E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3712215E-5 | 2.9993791E-5 | 2.9993791E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.103689E-4 | 3.6511326E-4 | 3.6511326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004096119 | 0.0036458664 | 0.0036458664 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.8381305E-6 | 5.959588E-6 | 5.959588E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9305946E-5 | 2.5540841E-5 | 2.5540841E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5674145E-4 | 3.109154E-4 | 3.109154E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0035616932 | 0.0031055345 | 0.0031055345 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 5.503376E-6 | 4.595135E-6 | 4.595135E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3585684E-5 | 1.9693289E-5 | 1.9693289E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8711787E-4 | 2.3973943E-4 | 2.3973943E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002867472 | 0.0023955363 | 0.0023955363 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 3.6144982E-6 | 2.6521004E-6 | 2.6521004E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5490614E-5 | 1.1366095E-5 | 1.1366095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8858191E-4 | 1.3837342E-4 | 1.3837342E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018842196 | 0.0013835991 | 0.0013835991 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 1.9853494E-6 | 1.1360507E-6 | 1.1360507E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.508612E-6 | 4.86878E-6 | 4.86878E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0358743E-4 | 5.9275782E-5 | 5.9275782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010353916 | 5.933247E-4 | 5.933247E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.9 | 1.1818757E-6 | 5.294548E-7 | 5.294548E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0651715E-6 | 2.2690897E-6 | 2.2690897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1666724E-5 | 2.7625818E-5 | 2.7625818E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1649614E-4 | 2.7690132E-4 | 2.7690132E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.0 | 6.962958E-7 | 2.7134917E-7 | 2.7134917E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9841215E-6 | 1.1629244E-6 | 1.1629244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6331072E-5 | 1.4158512E-5 | 1.4158512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6325134E-4 | 1.4214648E-4 | 1.4214648E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.1 | 1.5033264E-7 | 6.526476E-8 | 6.526476E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.442826E-7 | 2.7970606E-7 | 2.7970606E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.844113E-6 | 3.4054162E-6 | 3.4054162E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.843835E-5 | 3.4072913E-5 | 3.4072913E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 5.4353277E-5 | 7.049955E-5 | 8.049884E-5 | 1.1418349 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3292181E-4 | 3.0210742E-4 | 3.121044E-4 | 1.0330908 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0028321352 | 0.0036719753 | 0.0036819386 | 1.0027133 | 1.0E-5 | 0.02796312 | 0.036115557 | 0.036125194 | 1.0002669 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 4.5578287E-5 | 5.8220034E-5 | 6.821945E-5 | 1.1717522 | 1.0E-5 | 1.953209E-4 | 2.4949145E-4 | 2.5948897E-4 | 1.0400715 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023754383 | 0.003033331 | 0.0030433005 | 1.0032867 | 1.0E-5 | 0.023502063 | 0.029919662 | 0.029929362 | 1.0003242 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 2.8536782E-5 | 3.4736157E-5 | 3.4736157E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2229476E-4 | 1.4886058E-4 | 1.4886058E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0014879217 | 0.0018108446 | 0.0018108446 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.014779986 | 0.017958151 | 0.017958151 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 2.3698774E-5 | 2.8213142E-5 | 2.8213142E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.01562226E-4 | 1.20907556E-4 | 1.20907556E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012358186 | 0.001471041 | 0.001471041 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.012289686 | 0.014611357 | 0.014611357 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 1.9191197E-5 | 2.2122744E-5 | 2.2122744E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2245395E-5 | 9.480823E-5 | 9.480823E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010008777 | 0.0011536834 | 0.0011536834 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009963818 | 0.011476952 | 0.011476952 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 1.5203241E-5 | 1.6801203E-5 | 1.6801203E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5155116E-5 | 7.200301E-5 | 7.200301E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9297484E-4 | 8.7629614E-4 | 8.7629614E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007901512 | 0.008729532 | 0.008729532 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 1.0984925E-5 | 1.1242511E-5 | 1.1242511E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.70774E-5 | 4.8181326E-5 | 4.8181326E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.730166E-4 | 5.8645353E-4 | 5.8645353E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005715413 | 0.0058494504 | 0.0058494504 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 9.134616E-6 | 9.019832E-6 | 9.019832E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9147766E-5 | 3.8655864E-5 | 3.8655864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7651984E-4 | 4.705359E-4 | 4.705359E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004754993 | 0.004695641 | 0.004695641 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 7.785589E-6 | 7.451889E-6 | 7.451889E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3366385E-5 | 3.1936288E-5 | 3.1936288E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0616E-4 | 3.8875695E-4 | 3.8875695E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0040541845 | 0.0038809727 | 0.0038809727 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 5.579095E-6 | 4.8984475E-6 | 4.8984475E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3910188E-5 | 2.0993186E-5 | 2.0993186E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9106764E-4 | 2.5556344E-4 | 2.5556344E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.002906867 | 0.002552833 | 0.002552833 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 2.6816688E-6 | 1.521583E-6 | 1.521583E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1492816E-5 | 6.5210543E-6 | 6.5210543E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3991605E-4 | 7.939103E-5 | 7.939103E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013982799 | 7.9363544E-4 | 7.9363544E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.4535575E-7 | 7.4535575E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.194378E-6 | 3.194378E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.88909E-5 | 3.88909E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.8884507E-4 | 3.8884507E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.4535575E-7 | 7.4535575E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.194378E-6 | 3.194378E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.88909E-5 | 3.88909E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010404752 | 3.8884507E-4 | 3.8884507E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 1.7087556E-6 | 6.5786514E-7 | 6.5786514E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3232177E-6 | 2.8194193E-6 | 2.8194193E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.915652E-5 | 3.432593E-5 | 3.432593E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9120766E-4 | 3.4321033E-4 | 3.4321033E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 1.3804846E-6 | 6.0737074E-7 | 6.0737074E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.603015E-6 | 2.603015E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.169129E-5 | 3.169129E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.168717E-4 | 3.168717E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 1.3804846E-6 | 6.0737074E-7 | 6.0737074E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.603015E-6 | 2.603015E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.169129E-5 | 3.169129E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.200583E-4 | 3.168717E-4 | 3.168717E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Bernardino)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.5978872E-5 | 4.597851E-5 | 1.2779309 | 1.0E-5 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5418605E-4 | 1.6418452E-4 | 1.0648468 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018756005 | 0.0018855818 | 1.0053216 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019346233 | 0.019356038 | 1.0005069 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.5978872E-5 | 4.597851E-5 | 1.2779309 | 1.0E-5 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5418605E-4 | 1.6418452E-4 | 1.0648468 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018756005 | 0.0018855818 | 1.0053216 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019346233 | 0.019356038 | 1.0005069 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.5978872E-5 | 4.597851E-5 | 1.2779309 | 1.0E-5 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5418605E-4 | 1.6418452E-4 | 1.0648468 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018756005 | 0.0018855818 | 1.0053216 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019346233 | 0.019356038 | 1.0005069 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 3.409352E-5 | 3.5978872E-5 | 4.597851E-5 | 1.2779309 | 1.0E-5 | 1.461069E-4 | 1.5418605E-4 | 1.6418452E-4 | 1.0648468 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017774 | 0.0018756005 | 0.0018855818 | 1.0053216 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01763251 | 0.019346233 | 0.019356038 | 1.0005069 | 1.0E-5 |
6.4 | 3.400795E-5 | 3.5871537E-5 | 4.5871177E-5 | 1.2787626 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4574021E-4 | 1.5372611E-4 | 1.6372457E-4 | 1.0650407 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017729428 | 0.0018700104 | 0.0018799916 | 1.0053376 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017588645 | 0.019291315 | 0.019301122 | 1.0005083 | 1.0E-5 |
6.5 | 3.341482E-5 | 3.5132172E-5 | 4.513182E-5 | 1.2846293 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4319851E-4 | 1.5055777E-4 | 1.6055626E-4 | 1.0664097 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017420477 | 0.001831501 | 0.0018414827 | 1.00545 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017284546 | 0.018912857 | 0.018922668 | 1.0005188 | 1.0E-5 |
6.6 | 3.3364955E-5 | 3.5069388E-5 | 4.506904E-5 | 1.285139 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4298483E-4 | 1.5028873E-4 | 1.6028724E-4 | 1.0665286 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017394501 | 0.0018282312 | 0.0018382128 | 1.0054598 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017258976 | 0.018880721 | 0.018890534 | 1.0005196 | 1.0E-5 |
6.7 | 3.335922E-5 | 3.5059165E-5 | 4.5058812E-5 | 1.2852222 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4296026E-4 | 1.5024492E-4 | 1.602434E-4 | 1.066548 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017391514 | 0.0018276984 | 0.0018376802 | 1.0054613 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017256035 | 0.018875511 | 0.018885324 | 1.0005198 | 1.0E-5 |
6.8 | 3.327683E-5 | 3.495323E-5 | 4.495288E-5 | 1.2860866 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4260718E-4 | 1.4979097E-4 | 1.5978947E-4 | 1.0667497 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017348597 | 0.0018221809 | 0.0018321627 | 1.0054779 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017213784 | 0.018821284 | 0.018831095 | 1.0005213 | 1.0E-5 |
6.9 | 3.3235785E-5 | 3.4894183E-5 | 4.4893837E-5 | 1.2865707 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4243131E-4 | 1.4953794E-4 | 1.5953644E-4 | 1.0668627 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017327217 | 0.0018191055 | 0.0018290873 | 1.0054872 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017192734 | 0.018791152 | 0.018800965 | 1.0005221 | 1.0E-5 |
7.0 | 3.3197095E-5 | 3.4834113E-5 | 4.4833767E-5 | 1.2870649 | 1.0E-5 | 1.422655E-4 | 1.4928053E-4 | 1.5927904E-4 | 1.066978 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017307063 | 0.0018159767 | 0.0018259586 | 1.0054966 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017172894 | 0.018760532 | 0.018770345 | 1.0005231 | 1.0E-5 |
7.1 | 3.3129716E-5 | 3.4714325E-5 | 4.471398E-5 | 1.2880555 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4197677E-4 | 1.487672E-4 | 1.5876572E-4 | 1.0672091 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017271966 | 0.0018097374 | 0.0018197193 | 1.0055157 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017138338 | 0.01869961 | 0.018709423 | 1.0005248 | 1.0E-5 |
7.2 | 3.3034008E-5 | 3.458177E-5 | 4.4581426E-5 | 1.2891597 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4156665E-4 | 1.4819918E-4 | 1.581977E-4 | 1.0674667 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017222111 | 0.0018028333 | 0.0018128152 | 1.0055368 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017089253 | 0.018631995 | 0.018641809 | 1.0005267 | 1.0E-5 |
7.3 | 3.2956614E-5 | 3.444953E-5 | 4.4449185E-5 | 1.2902697 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4123498E-4 | 1.476325E-4 | 1.5763102E-4 | 1.0677258 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017181796 | 0.0017959452 | 0.0018059273 | 1.0055581 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017049557 | 0.018564742 | 0.018574556 | 1.0005287 | 1.0E-5 |
7.4 | 3.2915937E-5 | 3.4371253E-5 | 4.4370907E-5 | 1.2909309 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4106068E-4 | 1.4729705E-4 | 1.5729558E-4 | 1.06788 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017160608 | 0.0017918679 | 0.00180185 | 1.0055708 | 1.0E-5 | 0.017028693 | 0.01852503 | 0.018534845 | 1.0005298 | 1.0E-5 |
7.5 | 3.281791E-5 | 3.4236204E-5 | 4.423586E-5 | 1.2920785 | 1.0E-5 | 1.406406E-4 | 1.4671835E-4 | 1.5671688E-4 | 1.0681478 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017109542 | 0.0017848337 | 0.0017948159 | 1.0055927 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016978411 | 0.018455938 | 0.018465752 | 1.0005318 | 1.0E-5 |
7.6 | 3.2521442E-5 | 3.3961413E-5 | 4.396107E-5 | 1.2944418 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3937015E-4 | 1.4554079E-4 | 1.5553934E-4 | 1.0686992 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0016955109 | 0.0017705205 | 0.0017805027 | 1.005638 | 1.0E-5 | 0.016826328 | 0.018313715 | 0.018323531 | 1.0005361 | 1.0E-5 |
7.7 | 3.0287873E-5 | 3.2448777E-5 | 4.2448453E-5 | 1.308168 | 1.0E-5 | 1.297987E-4 | 1.3905877E-4 | 1.4905739E-4 | 1.071902 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015791537 | 0.001691727 | 0.00170171 | 1.0059011 | 1.0E-5 | 0.01567979 | 0.017526435 | 0.017536258 | 1.0005605 | 1.0E-5 |
7.8 | 2.6316151E-5 | 2.9659845E-5 | 3.965955E-5 | 1.3371462 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1277862E-4 | 1.2710743E-4 | 1.3710617E-4 | 1.0786636 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013722149 | 0.0015464354 | 0.00155642 | 1.0064565 | 1.0E-5 | 0.013637724 | 0.016068002 | 0.01607784 | 1.0006124 | 1.0E-5 |
7.9 | 2.0761147E-5 | 2.3414696E-5 | 3.341446E-5 | 1.4270722 | 1.0E-5 | 8.897331E-5 | 1.00344834E-4 | 1.1034383E-4 | 1.0996463 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010827117 | 0.0012210145 | 0.0012310023 | 1.0081799 | 1.0E-5 | 0.010774517 | 0.012791605 | 0.012801477 | 1.0007718 | 1.0E-5 |
8.0 | 1.5738568E-5 | 1.6030555E-5 | 2.6030395E-5 | 1.6237987 | 1.0E-5 | 6.744926E-5 | 6.8700574E-5 | 7.8699886E-5 | 1.1455492 | 1.0E-5 | 8.2088535E-4 | 8.3610916E-4 | 8.461008E-4 | 1.0119501 | 1.0E-5 | 0.008178596 | 0.00886444 | 0.008874351 | 1.0011181 | 1.0E-5 |
8.1 | 1.0105832E-5 | 8.328345E-6 | 8.328345E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3309992E-5 | 3.569242E-5 | 3.569242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2717153E-4 | 4.3446908E-4 | 4.3446908E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.005259227 | 0.0046761446 | 0.0046761446 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.2 | 4.189207E-6 | 1.5773577E-6 | 1.5773577E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7953622E-5 | 6.7600868E-6 | 6.7600868E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1856341E-4 | 8.2300976E-5 | 8.2300976E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021834858 | 9.560642E-4 | 9.560642E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 3.6117652E-7 | 3.6117652E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4677976E-6 | 1.5478985E-6 | 1.5478985E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.65684E-5 | 1.8845505E-5 | 1.8845505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6548464E-4 | 2.273426E-4 | 2.273426E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Palos Verdes
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.622522E-5 | 8.6224456E-5 | 1.1311802 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2664195E-4 | 3.3663868E-4 | 1.0306046 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031914865 | 0.003970148 | 0.0039801085 | 1.0025088 | 1.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.03904884 | 0.03905845 | 1.000246 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.622522E-5 | 8.6224456E-5 | 1.1311802 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2664195E-4 | 3.3663868E-4 | 1.0306046 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031914865 | 0.003970148 | 0.0039801085 | 1.0025088 | 1.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.03904884 | 0.03905845 | 1.000246 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.622522E-5 | 8.6224456E-5 | 1.1311802 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.2664195E-4 | 3.3663868E-4 | 1.0306046 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0031914865 | 0.003970148 | 0.0039801085 | 1.0025088 | 1.0E-5 | 0.031460393 | 0.03904884 | 0.03905845 | 1.000246 | 1.0E-5 |
6.3 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.9748713E-5 | 4.9748713E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1319262E-4 | 2.1319262E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0025927392 | 0.0025927392 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021083709 | 0.025646599 | 0.025646599 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 4.0838047E-5 | 4.9748713E-5 | 4.9748713E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1319262E-4 | 2.1319262E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021286458 | 0.0025927392 | 0.0025927392 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.021083709 | 0.025646599 | 0.025646599 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 3.0512005E-5 | 3.65614E-5 | 3.65614E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3075917E-4 | 1.5668297E-4 | 1.5668297E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015908304 | 0.0019060619 | 0.0019060619 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015794903 | 0.018909073 | 0.018909073 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 2.9255087E-5 | 3.51542E-5 | 3.51542E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2537291E-4 | 1.5065282E-4 | 1.5065282E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015253464 | 0.0018327683 | 0.0018327683 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.015149189 | 0.018188147 | 0.018188147 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.287198E-5 | 2.724814E-5 | 2.724814E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.801909E-5 | 1.1677303E-4 | 1.1677303E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001192729 | 0.001420876 | 0.001420876 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011863477 | 0.0141271455 | 0.0141271455 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 2.1325764E-5 | 2.5431746E-5 | 2.5431746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.139293E-5 | 1.0898915E-4 | 1.0898915E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001112141 | 0.0013262255 | 0.0013262255 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.011065915 | 0.013192143 | 0.013192143 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.9 | 1.9009392E-5 | 2.2613433E-5 | 2.2613433E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1466285E-5 | 9.69116E-5 | 9.69116E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.914007E-4 | 0.0011793475 | 0.0011793475 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.009869894 | 0.011739573 | 0.011739573 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.0 | 1.7098473E-5 | 2.0319252E-5 | 2.0319252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3277115E-5 | 8.708009E-5 | 8.708009E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.917837E-4 | 0.0010597695 | 0.0010597695 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008882134 | 0.010555593 | 0.010555593 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.1 | 1.5982785E-5 | 1.8994664E-5 | 1.8994664E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.849585E-5 | 8.140364E-5 | 8.140364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.336179E-4 | 9.907234E-4 | 9.907234E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.008304977 | 0.00987143 | 0.00987143 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.2 | 1.4468002E-5 | 1.719715E-5 | 1.719715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.200425E-5 | 7.370046E-5 | 7.370046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.546402E-4 | 8.9701766E-4 | 8.9701766E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.007520827 | 0.008942238 | 0.008942238 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.3 | 5.288233E-6 | 6.203645E-6 | 6.203645E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2663658E-5 | 2.6586977E-5 | 2.6586977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7589512E-4 | 3.2368326E-4 | 3.2368326E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027555283 | 0.0032355408 | 0.0032355408 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.4 | 8.279556E-7 | 8.4083433E-7 | 8.4083433E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5483763E-6 | 3.603571E-6 | 3.603571E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3200624E-5 | 4.3872667E-5 | 4.3872667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3192226E-4 | 4.386473E-4 | 4.386473E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.5 | 6.559831E-7 | 6.667226E-7 | 6.667226E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8113532E-6 | 2.8573797E-6 | 2.8573797E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4227687E-5 | 3.478811E-5 | 3.478811E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4222414E-4 | 3.478333E-4 | 3.478333E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.6 | 3.5018968E-7 | 3.5620013E-7 | 3.5620013E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.500812E-6 | 1.5265713E-6 | 1.5265713E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8272232E-5 | 1.8585893E-5 | 1.8585893E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8270731E-4 | 1.85848E-4 | 1.85848E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.7 | 1.1986104E-7 | 1.219837E-7 | 1.219837E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1369005E-7 | 5.227872E-7 | 5.227872E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2541585E-6 | 6.3649163E-6 | 6.3649163E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2539824E-5 | 6.364738E-5 | 6.364738E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
7.8 | 3.0445005E-8 | 3.1027568E-8 | 3.1027568E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3047858E-7 | 1.3297529E-7 | 1.3297529E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885756E-6 | 1.6189731E-6 | 1.6189731E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885644E-5 | 1.6189633E-5 | 1.6189633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 07 (Orestimba)
(top)
1 Week | 1 Month | 1 Year | 10 Year |
 |  |  |  |
Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only | 10 yr TI Prob | 10 yr TD Prob | 10 yr ETAS Prob | 10 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 10 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
6.0 | 2.9687902E-5 | 3.275741E-5 | 4.275708E-5 | 1.3052645 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2722766E-4 | 1.4038174E-4 | 1.5038034E-4 | 1.0712243 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015478961 | 0.0017078797 | 0.0017178627 | 1.0058452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015371585 | 0.016955089 | 0.01696492 | 1.0005798 | 1.0E-5 |
6.1 | 2.9687902E-5 | 3.275741E-5 | 4.275708E-5 | 1.3052645 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2722766E-4 | 1.4038174E-4 | 1.5038034E-4 | 1.0712243 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0015478961 | 0.0017078797 | 0.0017178627 | 1.0058452 | 1.0E-5 | 0.015371585 | 0.016955089 | 0.01696492 | 1.0005798 | 1.0E-5 |
6.2 | 1.9231524E-5 | 2.1159109E-5 | 2.1159109E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.2418206E-5 | 9.067888E-5 | 9.067888E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0010029797 | 0.0011034793 | 0.0011034793 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.00998465 | 0.010982411 | 0.010982411 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.3 | 1.324766E-5 | 1.45484955E-5 | 1.45484955E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6774446E-5 | 6.234925E-5 | 6.234925E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.910097E-4 | 7.58847E-4 | 7.58847E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.006888649 | 0.007563504 | 0.007563504 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.4 | 7.818645E-6 | 8.572818E-6 | 8.572818E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3508048E-5 | 3.674015E-5 | 3.674015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.078841E-4 | 4.4722288E-4 | 4.4722288E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.004071363 | 0.0044635693 | 0.0044635693 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.5 | 5.3076565E-6 | 5.8177857E-6 | 5.8177857E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.27469E-5 | 2.4933142E-5 | 2.4933142E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7690834E-4 | 3.0352082E-4 | 3.0352082E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0027656353 | 0.0030312722 | 0.0030312722 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.6 | 3.6003578E-6 | 3.9484853E-6 | 3.9484853E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5430012E-5 | 1.6921978E-5 | 1.6921978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8784421E-4 | 2.0600717E-4 | 2.0600717E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0018768552 | 0.002058316 | 0.002058316 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.7 | 2.5361826E-6 | 2.7834608E-6 | 2.7834608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0869308E-5 | 1.192907E-5 | 1.192907E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3232579E-4 | 1.4522807E-4 | 1.4522807E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013224703 | 0.0014514616 | 0.0014514616 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
6.8 | 1.2115831E-6 | 1.3313763E-6 | 1.3313763E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1924885E-6 | 5.7058915E-6 | 5.7058915E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3216714E-5 | 6.9467984E-5 | 6.9467984E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3198735E-4 | 6.945578E-4 | 6.945578E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |